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Operations Research

2,338 missions · 1,110 completed

The discipline of applying mathematical analysis to complex decision problems in operations: allocating scarce resources, scheduling, routing, inventory, and the design of service and production systems. Drawing on mathematical programming, stochastic modeling, queueing, simulation, and game-theoretic reasoning, it seeks policies that perform provably well in systems shaped by constraints, congestion, and uncertainty.

Missions

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🏆Completed
Algorithmic Game TheoryGraph Theory·Captain: mikedeng1

The Price of Stability for Network Design with Fair Cost Allocation II: Two Players with a Common Terminal in an Undirected Graph Have Price of Stability at Most 4/3, and This Is TightResearch Paper

Motivation

In network design games, selfish users build a shared network and split the cost of every edge among the users of that edge. Anshelevich, Dasgupta, Kleinberg, Tardos, Wexler and Roughgarden (SIAM J. Comput. 38 (2008), DOI 10.1137/070680096) studied the fair connection game, in which the cost of an edge is shared equally (the Shapley value) among its users. In this game the worst equilibrium can cost kkk times the optimum, so the relevant measure is the price of stability: the ratio between the cheapest pure Nash equilibrium and the optimal centralized design. Their Theorem 2.1 bounds it by the harmonic number H(k)=1+12+⋯+1kH(k)=1+\frac12+\dots+\frac1kH(k)=1+21​+⋯+k1​ in every directed graph, and that bound is tight for directed graphs.

For undirected graphs the paper notes that H(k)H(k)H(k) is not tight and calls the correct bound "an interesting open problem". Its Section 4 settles the smallest case: two players with a common terminal. The general theorem gives H(2)=3/2H(2)=3/2H(2)=3/2 there; Claim 4.1 improves this to 4/34/34/3, and a three-node example shows that 4/34/34/3 is the right value.

Timeline. Rosenthal (1973) showed that congestion games have pure Nash equilibria through a potential function. Anshelevich et al. (FOCS 2004; journal version 2008) introduced the price of stability for the fair connection game, proved the H(k)H(k)H(k) bound and the two-player undirected bound 4/34/34/3 treated here. Subsequent work studied the undirected multi-player case, which remains without a matching upper and lower bound in general.

Setting

Let G=(V,E)G=(V,E)G=(V,E) be a finite undirected simple graph, with a cost ce≥0c_e\ge0ce​≥0 on every edge eee. There are two players, a common terminal s∈Vs\in Vs∈V and personal terminals t1,t2∈Vt_1,t_2\in Vt1​,t2​∈V. A strategy of player iii is a set of edges Si⊆ES_i\subseteq ESi​⊆E that connects tit_iti​ with sss: in the graph (V,Si)(V,S_i)(V,Si​), tit_iti​ and sss lie in the same connected component. A profile is a pair S=(S1,S2)S=(S_1,S_2)S=(S1​,S2​) of strategies.

Under fair cost sharing each edge is paid for equally by the players using it. With xe∈{1,2}x_e\in\{1,2\}xe​∈{1,2} the number of players whose strategy contains eee, player iii pays

Ci(S)=∑e∈Sicexe.C_i(S)=\sum_{e\in S_i}\frac{c_e}{x_e}.Ci​(S)=e∈Si​∑​xe​ce​​.

A pure Nash equilibrium is a profile in which no player can lower its payment by switching to another strategy while the other player's strategy stays fixed. The total cost of a profile is the cost of the network it builds,

cost(S)=∑e∈S1∪S2ce.\mathrm{cost}(S)=\sum_{e\in S_1\cup S_2}c_e .cost(S)=e∈S1​∪S2​∑​ce​.

For a set FFF of edges write cost(F)=∑e∈Fce\mathrm{cost}(F)=\sum_{e\in F}c_ecost(F)=∑e∈F​ce​. For a profile (S1,S2)(S_1,S_2)(S1​,S2​), the quantities x1=cost(S1∖S2)x_1=\mathrm{cost}(S_1\setminus S_2)x1​=cost(S1​∖S2​), x2=cost(S2∖S1)x_2=\mathrm{cost}(S_2\setminus S_1)x2​=cost(S2​∖S1​) and x3=cost(S1∩S2)x_3=\mathrm{cost}(S_1\cap S_2)x3​=cost(S1​∩S2​) split the total cost into the private and the shared parts.

The game is an instance of a congestion game, with per-user latency ce/xc_e/xce​/x on edge eee; the mission builds on the published congestion-game layer CongestionPoA.AsymSum.Model.

Formalization targets

Goal: Claim 4.1 and its tightness

If the game has a profile, then some pure Nash equilibrium SSS satisfies

cost(S) ≤ 43 cost(P)for every profile P.\mathrm{cost}(S)\ \le\ \tfrac43\,\mathrm{cost}(P)\qquad\text{for every profile }P.cost(S) ≤ 34​cost(P)for every profile P.

Moreover, in the three-node example (nodes s,t1,t2s,t_1,t_2s,t1​,t2​, edges (s,t1),(s,t2)(s,t_1),(s,t_2)(s,t1​),(s,t2​) of cost 222, edge (t1,t2)(t_1,t_2)(t1​,t2​) of cost 1+ε1+\varepsilon1+ε, with 0<ε<10<\varepsilon<10<ε<1) the cheapest pure Nash equilibrium costs exactly 444 and the optimum costs exactly 3+ε3+\varepsilon3+ε, so the ratio 4/(3+ε)4/(3+\varepsilon)4/(3+ε) approaches 4/34/34/3.

Milestones

  1. (4.1). From every profile (S1,S2)(S_1,S_2)(S1​,S2​), some pure Nash equilibrium (S1′,S2′)(S'_1,S'_2)(S1′​,S2′​) has y1+y2+32y3≤x1+x2+32x3y_1+y_2+\frac32y_3\le x_1+x_2+\frac32x_3y1​+y2​+23​y3​≤x1​+x2​+23​x3​, where yiy_iyi​ are the quantities of (S1′,S2′)(S'_1,S'_2)(S1′​,S2′​).
  2. Deviation inequalities. If (S1′,S2′)(S'_1,S'_2)(S1′​,S2′​) is a Nash equilibrium and each SiS_iSi​ is an inclusion-minimal strategy, then y1+y32≤x1+x2+y22+y32y_1+\frac{y_3}2\le x_1+x_2+\frac{y_2}2+\frac{y_3}2y1​+2y3​​≤x1​+x2​+2y2​​+2y3​​ and symmetrically for player 2.
  3. (4.2). Under the same hypotheses, y12+y22≤2x1+2x2\frac{y_1}2+\frac{y_2}2\le 2x_1+2x_22y1​​+2y2​​≤2x1​+2x2​.
  4. The three-node example, as in the second half of the goal.

Significance

The result shows that the price of stability of fair cost sharing depends on the network: the H(k)H(k)H(k) bound, tight for directed graphs, is not tight for undirected ones even with two players. It is the first undirected bound below H(k)H(k)H(k) and the starting point for the later study of undirected fair network design, where the question for many players is still open.

The theorem is proved in the paper; this mission formalizes it. A search of the Prove2Me library found no formalization of the price of stability of fair connection games. Beyond the theorem itself, the mission produces a reusable undirected layer over the congestion-game library: connectivity strategies stated with Mathlib's graph reachability, fair cost sharing as a congestion game, and the total-cost functional. A checked proof of the potential inequality (4.1) is the two-player case of the potential argument behind Theorem 2.1.

Difficulty

The obvious argument starts from an optimal solution, follows improving moves to an equilibrium and compares potentials. For two players this only yields the factor H(2)=3/2H(2)=3/2H(2)=3/2: the potential counts shared edges with weight 3/23/23/2, so a potential inequality alone cannot rule out an equilibrium in which both players share expensive edges. The improvement to 4/34/34/3 needs a second inequality, (4.2), obtained from a specific deviation of each player in the equilibrium, and that deviation is valid only because of the undirected structure: the private parts of the two optimal paths together connect t1t_1t1​ with t2t_2t2​, and the deviating player can then follow the other player's equilibrium route to sss. Making this connectivity claim precise for edge sets rather than drawn paths is where the formal work lies. It holds when the optimal strategies are inclusion-minimal, which is why the deviation milestones carry that hypothesis.

Formalization scope

  • Vertices form a Fintype with decidable equality; edges are unordered pairs Sym2 V; the graph is a SimpleGraph V. Edge costs are a real function c with 0 ≤ c e for every e.
  • A strategy of player i : Fin 2 (the paper's players 1 and 2 are 0 and 1) is a Finset of edges contained in G.edgeSet such that t i and s are Reachable in SimpleGraph.fromEdgeSet. Strategies are not restricted to paths.
  • The game is a CongestionGame from CongestionPoA.AsymSum.Model with latency ce/xc_e/xce​/x; profiles, player costs and pure Nash equilibria are that library's IsProfile, cost and IsPureNash.
  • "Price of stability at most 4/34/34/3" is stated in existence form: some pure Nash equilibrium costs at most 43\frac4334​ times every profile. A formalization quantifying over all equilibria would be false (the price of anarchy is 222), and one dropping the Nash condition would be trivial; neither is acceptable. The tightness half fixes a concrete instance and asserts both that an equilibrium of cost 444 exists and that every equilibrium costs at least 444.
  • The deviation inequalities and (4.2) assume inclusion-minimal reference strategies; this hypothesis is implicit in the paper and does not appear in the goal, which quantifies over all profiles.

Contributions welcome: a proof of the potential inequality (finite improvement paths in the two-player fair game), the graph-theoretic lemma that the symmetric difference of two simple paths with a common endpoint connects their other endpoints, and a computation of the three-node example.

Selected references

  • E. Anshelevich, A. Dasgupta, J. Kleinberg, É. Tardos, T. Wexler, T. Roughgarden, The Price of Stability for Network Design with Fair Cost Allocation, SIAM Journal on Computing 38(4):1602–1623, 2008. https://doi.org/10.1137/070680096
  • R. W. Rosenthal, A class of games possessing pure-strategy Nash equilibria, International Journal of Game Theory 2:65–67, 1973. https://doi.org/10.1007/BF01737559
  • D. Monderer, L. S. Shapley, Potential games, Games and Economic Behavior 14(1):124–143, 1996. https://doi.org/10.1006/game.1996.0044
  • G. Christodoulou, E. Koutsoupias, The price of anarchy of finite congestion games, STOC 2005, 67–73. https://doi.org/10.1145/1060590.1060600
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🏆Completed
Control TheoryDynamic ProgrammingOptimization·Captain: mikedeng1

Stochastic Optimal Control: The Discrete-Time Case I: Finite-Horizon Abstract Dynamic Programming — the DP Algorithm Yields the N-Stage Optimal CostTextbook

Motivation

Dynamic programming (DP) solves sequential decision problems by backward recursion: compute the optimal cost of the last stage, then of the last two stages, and so on. For problems with finitely many states and controls and real-valued costs, the recursion obviously gives the optimal cost. Applications are rarely like that. Control spaces are continuous, costs can be unbounded or infinite, the criterion can be multiplicative (risk-sensitive exponential cost) or worst-case (minimax), and the set of policies is an infinite product of function spaces. In this setting the DP recursion can fail to produce the optimal cost.

Bertsekas and Shreve, Stochastic Optimal Control: The Discrete-Time Case (Academic Press 1978; Athena Scientific 1996), Part I, separates the order-theoretic content of DP from the measure theory. It works with an abstract monotone mapping HHH that covers deterministic, stochastic, multiplicative-cost and minimax problems at once, following Bertsekas, Monotone mappings with application in dynamic programming, SIAM J. Control Optim. 15 (1977). Chapter 3 answers the finite-horizon questions: when does the DP algorithm give the NNN-stage optimal cost, and when do optimal or nearly optimal policies exist? This mission is the first of a series formalizing the book. Later chapters (contraction models, monotone increase and decrease models, the Borel models of Part II) are built on the model fixed here.

Setting

Let SSS (states) and CCC (controls) be sets, and for each x∈Sx\in Sx∈S let U(x)⊆CU(x)\subseteq CU(x)⊆C be a nonempty control constraint set. Write R∗=[−∞,∞]R^*=[-\infty,\infty]R∗=[−∞,∞] and let FFF be the set of all functions J:S→R∗J:S\to R^*J:S→R∗, ordered pointwise. A mapping H:S×C×F→R∗H:S\times C\times F\to R^*H:S×C×F→R∗ is given, subject to the Monotonicity Assumption: J≤J′J\le J'J≤J′ implies H(x,u,J)≤H(x,u,J′)H(x,u,J)\le H(x,u,J')H(x,u,J)≤H(x,u,J′) for all x∈Sx\in Sx∈S, u∈U(x)u\in U(x)u∈U(x).

A selector is a function μ:S→C\mu:S\to Cμ:S→C with μ(x)∈U(x)\mu(x)\in U(x)μ(x)∈U(x) for all xxx. A policy is a sequence π=(μ0,μ1,… )\pi=(\mu_0,\mu_1,\dots)π=(μ0​,μ1​,…) of selectors. Define

Tμ(J)(x)=H[x,μ(x),J],T(J)(x)=inf⁡u∈U(x)H(x,u,J),T_\mu(J)(x)=H[x,\mu(x),J],\qquad T(J)(x)=\inf_{u\in U(x)}H(x,u,J),Tμ​(J)(x)=H[x,μ(x),J],T(J)(x)=u∈U(x)inf​H(x,u,J),

and let TkT^kTk be the kkk-fold composition of TTT. A terminal function J0∈FJ_0\in FJ0​∈F with J0(x)>−∞J_0(x)>-\inftyJ0​(x)>−∞ for all xxx is fixed. The NNN-stage cost of π\piπ and the NNN-stage optimal cost are

JN,π=(Tμ0Tμ1⋯TμN−1)(J0),JN∗(x)=inf⁡πJN,π(x).J_{N,\pi}=(T_{\mu_0}T_{\mu_1}\cdots T_{\mu_{N-1}})(J_0),\qquad J^*_N(x)=\inf_{\pi}J_{N,\pi}(x).JN,π​=(Tμ0​​Tμ1​​⋯TμN−1​​)(J0​),JN∗​(x)=πinf​JN,π​(x).

A policy is uniformly NNN-stage optimal if each tail (μi,μi+1,… )(\mu_i,\mu_{i+1},\dots)(μi​,μi+1​,…) is (N−i)(N-i)(N−i)-stage optimal, and NNN-stage ε\varepsilonε-optimal if JN,π(x)≤JN∗(x)+εJ_{N,\pi}(x)\le J^*_N(x)+\varepsilonJN,π​(x)≤JN∗​(x)+ε where JN∗(x)>−∞J^*_N(x)>-\inftyJN∗​(x)>−∞ and JN,π(x)≤−1/εJ_{N,\pi}(x)\le-1/\varepsilonJN,π​(x)≤−1/ε where JN∗(x)=−∞J^*_N(x)=-\inftyJN∗​(x)=−∞.

The three conditions on HHH used in the chapter are F.1 (continuity of HHH along nonincreasing sequences JkJ_kJk​ with H(x,u,J1)<∞H(x,u,J_1)<\inftyH(x,u,J1​)<∞), F.2 (there is α>0\alpha>0α>0 with H(x,u,J)≤H(x,u,J+r)≤H(x,u,J)+αrH(x,u,J)\le H(x,u,J+r)\le H(x,u,J)+\alpha rH(x,u,J)≤H(x,u,J+r)≤H(x,u,J)+αr for all r>0r>0r>0), and F.3 (a quantitative selection property with a constant β>0\beta>0β>0).

Formalization targets

Goal: Proposition 3.1

Under F.1, if Jk,π(x)<∞J_{k,\pi}(x)<\inftyJk,π​(x)<∞ for all x,πx,\pix,π and k=1,…,Nk=1,\dots,Nk=1,…,N; or under F.2, if Jk∗(x)>−∞J^*_k(x)>-\inftyJk∗​(x)>−∞ for all xxx and k=1,…,Nk=1,\dots,Nk=1,…,N:

JN∗=TN(J0),J^*_N=T^N(J_0),JN∗​=TN(J0​),

and under F.2, for every ε>0\varepsilon>0ε>0 there is πε\pi_\varepsilonπε​ with JN∗≤JN,πε≤JN∗+εJ^*_N\le J_{N,\pi_\varepsilon}\le J^*_N+\varepsilonJN∗​≤JN,πε​​≤JN∗​+ε.

Milestones

  • Proposition 3.3: π∗\pi^*π∗ is uniformly NNN-stage optimal iff (Tμk∗TN−k−1)(J0)=TN−k(J0)(T_{\mu^*_k}T^{N-k-1})(J_0)=T^{N-k}(J_0)(Tμk∗​​TN−k−1)(J0​)=TN−k(J0​) for k<Nk<Nk<N. Needs monotonicity only.
  • Corollary 3.3.1: a uniformly NNN-stage optimal policy exists iff every infimum Tk+1(J0)(x)=inf⁡uH[x,u,Tk(J0)]T^{k+1}(J_0)(x)=\inf_{u}H[x,u,T^k(J_0)]Tk+1(J0​)(x)=infu​H[x,u,Tk(J0​)] is attained, and then JN∗=TN(J0)J^*_N=T^N(J_0)JN∗​=TN(J0​).
  • Proposition 3.4: if CCC is Hausdorff and every sublevel set {u∈U(x)∣H[x,u,Tk(J0)]≤λ}\{u\in U(x)\mid H[x,u,T^k(J_0)]\le\lambda\}{u∈U(x)∣H[x,u,Tk(J0​)]≤λ} is compact, then JN∗=TN(J0)J^*_N=T^N(J_0)JN∗​=TN(J0​) and a uniformly NNN-stage optimal policy exists.
  • Proposition 3.7: the minimax mapping H(x,u,J)=sup⁡w∈W(x,u){g+αJ[f]}H(x,u,J)=\sup_{w\in W(x,u)}\{g+\alpha J[f]\}H(x,u,J)=supw∈W(x,u)​{g+αJ[f]} satisfies F.2 with constant α\alphaα.
  • Proposition 3.6: the multiplicative mapping H(x,u,J)=E{g J[f]∣x,u}H(x,u,J)=E\{g\,J[f]\mid x,u\}H(x,u,J)=E{gJ[f]∣x,u} over a countable disturbance set satisfies F.1, and F.2 with constant bbb when 0≤g≤b0\le g\le b0≤g≤b.
  • Proposition 3.2: under F.3 and the finiteness of Jk,πJ_{k,\pi}Jk,π​, JN∗=TN(J0)J^*_N=T^N(J_0)JN∗​=TN(J0​) and, for εn↓0\varepsilon_n\downarrow0εn​↓0, policies with {εn}\{\varepsilon_n\}{εn​}-dominated convergence to optimality exist.
  • Corollary 3.7.1(a): for minimax control with J0=0J_0=0J0​=0 and Jk∗>−∞J^*_k>-\inftyJk∗​>−∞, the DP algorithm gives JN∗J^*_NJN∗​ and NNN-stage ε\varepsilonε-optimal policies exist.

Significance

The identity JN∗=TN(J0)J^*_N=T^N(J_0)JN∗​=TN(J0​) says that an infimum over an infinite-dimensional policy space equals NNN nested one-dimensional infima. Every numerical use of finite-horizon DP depends on it, and so do the infinite-horizon results of later chapters, which pass to the limit in TN(J0)T^N(J_0)TN(J0​). Corollary 3.3.1 and Proposition 3.4 give the existence of optimal policies, and Propositions 3.6 and 3.7 verify the abstract hypotheses for two models outside standard expected additive cost.

These results are proved in the book; none of them is formalized. Mathlib has no abstract DP model, and the platform's finite-horizon results (Bertsekas, Dynamic Programming and Optimal Control, Prop. 1.3.1 and the minimax DP algorithm) assume finite disturbance and constraint sets and real costs. They are special cases, not this theory. The finite-horizon results of the 1977 paper (Lemma 3.1 here, on compact sublevel sets, and Corollary 3.1.1, the F.1′ case) are already posed on the platform and are not posed again.

Difficulty

The obvious argument interchanges the infimum over policies with the composition of operators: inf⁡πTμ0(⋯ )=T(inf⁡π′⋯ )\inf_\pi T_{\mu_0}(\cdots)=T(\inf_{\pi'}\cdots)infπ​Tμ0​​(⋯)=T(infπ′​⋯). The inequality TN(J0)≤JN∗T^N(J_0)\le J^*_NTN(J0​)≤JN∗​ follows from monotonicity alone. The reverse inequality is the content. Taking a near-minimizing selector at each stage requires either passing a limit inside HHH (F.1) or bounding how errors at later stages propagate through HHH (F.2, F.3). Both steps break at infinite values. With Jk∗(x)=−∞J^*_k(x)=-\inftyJk∗​(x)=−∞ there may be no ε\varepsilonε-optimal policy at all (Counterexample 4 of the book). Without F.1 or F.2 the identity itself fails (Counterexamples 1–3). A proof must therefore track separately the states where the optimal cost is −∞-\infty−∞, which is why F.3 and the definition of ε\varepsilonε-optimality have two cases.

Formalization scope

The model is a structure Model S C with fields U, U_nonempty, H : S → C → (S → EReal) → EReal and the monotonicity proof. Policies are ℕ → Selector, with selectors as a subtype of S → C. TNT^NTN is m.T^[N], and (Tμ0⋯TμN−1)(J)(T_{\mu_0}\cdots T_{\mu_{N-1}})(J)(Tμ0​​⋯TμN−1​​)(J) is a recursion that applies TμN−1T_{\mu_{N-1}}TμN−1​​ first. All values lie in EReal. The book's convention ∞−∞=∞\infty-\infty=\infty∞−∞=∞ never arises in Propositions 3.1–3.4, which only add real numbers to extended reals. The minimax and multiplicative mappings implement it explicitly (badd, and an expectation that returns +∞+\infty+∞ when the positive part diverges). Every theorem assumes J0>−∞J_0>-\inftyJ0​>−∞ and N≥1N\ge1N≥1. Assumptions F.1–F.3 are predicates on the model. F.2 is also available with a named constant (F2With) so that Propositions 3.6 and 3.7 can carry the book's constants bbb and α\alphaα.

JN∗J^*_NJN∗​ is defined as an infimum over policies of the composed operators, never through TTT, so the goal is not true by definition. A formalization in which JN,πJ_{N,\pi}JN,π​ already contains an infimum over controls would make Proposition 3.1 hold by rfl, and this one rules that out.

Proving the goal needs elementary EReal order arithmetic, iterated infima over subtypes, and pointwise selection of near-minimizers via choice. Proposition 3.6 additionally needs monotone and dominated convergence for countable sums in ℝ≥0∞. The model and operator definitions are reusable by the later missions of the series (contraction, monotone increase and decrease models). Proofs of any milestone, and reusable EReal lemmas about shifting by real constants, are welcome.

Selected references

  • D. P. Bertsekas and S. E. Shreve, Stochastic Optimal Control: The Discrete-Time Case, Academic Press 1978; Athena Scientific 1996, Chapters 2–3. https://web.mit.edu/dimitrib/www/soc.html
  • D. P. Bertsekas, Monotone mappings with application in dynamic programming, SIAM J. Control Optim. 15(3) (1977) 438–464. https://doi.org/10.1137/0315031
  • D. P. Bertsekas, Dynamic Programming and Stochastic Control, Academic Press 1976.
  • D. P. Bertsekas, Abstract Dynamic Programming, 3rd ed., Athena Scientific 2022. https://web.mit.edu/dimitrib/www/abstractdp_MIT.html
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OptimizationProbabilityStochastic Systems·Captain: mikedeng1

Dimensioning Large Call Centers III: Asymptotically Optimal Staffing in the Quality-Driven RegimeResearch Paper

Motivation

How many agents should a call center staff? Telephone call centers employ millions of people, and staffing is their largest cost, so the question is asked every half hour of every day (Gans, Koole & Mandelbaum, 2003). The classical model is the M/M/N (Erlang-C) queue: calls arrive at rate λ\lambdaλ, service times are exponential with mean 1/μ1/\mu1/μ, and NNN agents serve in parallel. Practitioners use the square-root safety staffing rule N≈λ/μ+yλ/μN \approx \lambda/\mu + y\sqrt{\lambda/\mu}N≈λ/μ+yλ/μ​, which Halfin and Whitt (1981) justified in the regime where the probability of waiting stays bounded away from 000 and 111.

Borst, Mandelbaum and Reiman (CWI Report PNA-R0015, 2000; published as Operations Research 52(1), 2004) asked when such a rule is actually optimal: given a staffing cost and a waiting cost, which staffing level minimizes total cost as the arrival rate grows? They identified three regimes according to how the two costs compare. This mission formalizes their third case, the quality-driven regime, in which waiting is so expensive relative to staffing that the optimal number of agents exceeds the offered load by more than any fixed multiple of its square root.

Setting

Fix a service rate μ>0\mu > 0μ>0. For every arrival rate λ>0\lambda > 0λ>0 a waiting-cost function DλD_\lambdaDλ​ assigns cost Dλ(t)D_\lambda(t)Dλ​(t) to a wait of ttt time units; it satisfies Dλ(0)=0D_\lambda(0) = 0Dλ​(0)=0, is strictly increasing, and t↦Dλ(t)e−θtt \mapsto D_\lambda(t)e^{-\theta t}t↦Dλ​(t)e−θt is integrable on (0,∞)(0,\infty)(0,∞) for every θ>0\theta > 0θ>0. A staffing cost FFF, defined for real N>0N > 0N>0, is convex and strictly increasing.

For an integer N>λ/μN > \lambda/\muN>λ/μ the probability of waiting is the Erlang-C formula

π(N,ν)=νNN!{(1−ν/N)∑n=0N−1νnn!+νNN!}−1,ν=λ/μ,\pi(N,\nu) = \frac{\nu^N}{N!}\Bigl\{(1-\nu/N)\sum_{n=0}^{N-1}\frac{\nu^n}{n!} + \frac{\nu^N}{N!}\Bigr\}^{-1},\qquad \nu = \lambda/\mu,π(N,ν)=N!νN​{(1−ν/N)n=0∑N−1​n!νn​+N!νN​}−1,ν=λ/μ,

the expected waiting cost of a delayed customer is G(N,λ)=(Nμ−λ)∫0∞Dλ(t)e−(Nμ−λ)t dtG(N,\lambda) = (N\mu-\lambda)\int_0^\infty D_\lambda(t)e^{-(N\mu-\lambda)t}\,dtG(N,λ)=(Nμ−λ)∫0∞​Dλ​(t)e−(Nμ−λ)tdt, and the total cost per unit time is C(N,λ)=F(N)+λ π(N,λ/μ) G(N,λ)C(N,\lambda) = F(N) + \lambda\,\pi(N,\lambda/\mu)\,G(N,\lambda)C(N,λ)=F(N)+λπ(N,λ/μ)G(N,λ). An optimal staffing level Nλ∗N^*_\lambdaNλ∗​ minimizes C(⋅,λ)C(\cdot,\lambda)C(⋅,λ) over the integers N>λ/μN > \lambda/\muN>λ/μ.

Write Nλ(x)=λ/μ+xλ/μN_\lambda(x) = \lambda/\mu + x\sqrt{\lambda/\mu}Nλ​(x)=λ/μ+xλ/μ​, and for x>0x > 0x>0 put Fλ(x)=F(Nλ(x))−F(λ/μ)F_\lambda(x) = F(N_\lambda(x)) - F(\lambda/\mu)Fλ​(x)=F(Nλ​(x))−F(λ/μ), Gλ(x)=λG(Nλ(x),λ)G_\lambda(x) = \lambda G(N_\lambda(x),\lambda)Gλ​(x)=λG(Nλ​(x),λ), and πλ(x)=H(Nλ(x),λ/μ)\pi_\lambda(x) = H(N_\lambda(x),\lambda/\mu)πλ​(x)=H(Nλ​(x),λ/μ), where H(M,α)={α∫0∞e−αtt(1+t)M−1dt}−1H(M,\alpha) = \{\alpha\int_0^\infty e^{-\alpha t}t(1+t)^{M-1}dt\}^{-1}H(M,α)={α∫0∞​e−αtt(1+t)M−1dt}−1 extends the Erlang-C formula to real MMM. The normalized cost is Cλ(x)=Fλ(x)+πλ(x)Gλ(x)C_\lambda(x) = F_\lambda(x) + \pi_\lambda(x)G_\lambda(x)Cλ​(x)=Fλ​(x)+πλ​(x)Gλ​(x), and a surrogate cost is C[z;F^,π^,G^]=F^(z)+π^(z)G^(z)C[z;\hat F,\hat\pi,\hat G] = \hat F(z) + \hat\pi(z)\hat G(z)C[z;F^,π^,G^]=F^(z)+π^(z)G^(z). Rounding is measured by Sλ(x)=min⁡{C(⌊Nλ(x)⌋,λ),C(⌈Nλ(x)⌉,λ)}S_\lambda(x) = \min\{C(\lfloor N_\lambda(x)\rfloor,\lambda), C(\lceil N_\lambda(x)\rceil,\lambda)\}Sλ​(x)=min{C(⌊Nλ​(x)⌋,λ),C(⌈Nλ​(x)⌉,λ)}.

Two special functions appear. The Halfin–Whitt delay function is P(x)=1/(1+x/h(−x))P(x) = 1/(1 + x/h(-x))P(x)=1/(1+x/h(−x)) with h=ϕ/(1−Φ)h = \phi/(1-\Phi)h=ϕ/(1−Φ) the standard normal hazard rate. The Stirling-type approximation is

Qλ(x)=exp⁡{Nλ(x)[1−rλ(x)+log⁡rλ(x)]}2πNλ(x) (1−rλ(x)),rλ(x)=λ/μNλ(x).Q_\lambda(x) = \frac{\exp\{N_\lambda(x)[1 - r_\lambda(x) + \log r_\lambda(x)]\}}{\sqrt{2\pi N_\lambda(x)}\,(1-r_\lambda(x))},\qquad r_\lambda(x) = \frac{\lambda/\mu}{N_\lambda(x)}.Qλ​(x)=2πNλ​(x)​(1−rλ​(x))exp{Nλ​(x)[1−rλ​(x)+logrλ​(x)]}​,rλ​(x)=Nλ​(x)λ/μ​.

Asymptotic relations are limits of ratios as λ→∞\lambda\to\inftyλ→∞: aλ≈∞bλa_\lambda \stackrel{\infty}{\approx} b_\lambdaaλ​≈∞bλ​ means aλ/bλ→1a_\lambda/b_\lambda \to 1aλ​/bλ​→1, and aλ≪∞bλa_\lambda \stackrel{\infty}{\ll} b_\lambdaaλ​≪∞​bλ​ means aλ/bλ→0a_\lambda/b_\lambda \to 0aλ​/bλ​→0.

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem 7.1

Assume the regime is quality-driven, display (27): Fλ(κ)≪∞Gλ(κ)F_\lambda(\kappa) \stackrel{\infty}{\ll} G_\lambda(\kappa)Fλ​(κ)≪∞​Gλ​(κ) for every κ>0\kappa > 0κ>0. Let yλ∗y^*_\lambdayλ∗​ minimize Fλ(y)+Qλ(y)Gλ(y)F_\lambda(y) + Q_\lambda(y)G_\lambda(y)Fλ​(y)+Qλ​(y)Gλ​(y) over y>0y > 0y>0. Then

lim⁡λ→∞Sλ(yλ∗)−F(λ/μ)C(Nλ∗,λ)−F(λ/μ)=1.\lim_{\lambda\to\infty}\frac{S_\lambda(y^*_\lambda) - F(\lambda/\mu)}{C(N^*_\lambda,\lambda) - F(\lambda/\mu)} = 1.λ→∞lim​C(Nλ∗​,λ)−F(λ/μ)Sλ​(yλ∗​)−F(λ/μ)​=1.

The statement fixes no constants and no rate; it asserts only that rounding the surrogate optimum loses a vanishing fraction of the excess cost.

Milestones

In attack order: Lemma C.1 (GλG_\lambdaGλ​ strictly convex decreasing); the identity H(N,ν)=π(N,ν)H(N,\nu) = \pi(N,\nu)H(N,ν)=π(N,ν) at integer NNN (Section 3, p. 12); Lemma 3.1 and Lemma 3.2; Corollary 3.3 (the asymptotic optimality criterion); Lemma B.1 (PPP strictly convex decreasing); display (15); Lemma 4.1 (Halfin and Whitt); and the first statement of Lemma 4.2, πλ(xλ)≈∞Qλ(xλ)\pi_\lambda(x_\lambda) \stackrel{\infty}{\approx} Q_\lambda(x_\lambda)πλ​(xλ​)≈∞Qλ​(xλ​) whenever xλ→∞x_\lambda\to\inftyxλ​→∞.

Significance

Theorem 7.1 completes the paper's picture of optimal staffing. In the rationalized regime the square-root rule with the Halfin–Whitt function PPP is optimal; in the efficiency-driven regime staffing barely exceeds the load; in the quality-driven regime the staffing excess outgrows λ/μ\sqrt{\lambda/\mu}λ/μ​ and PPP must be replaced by the Stirling-type expression QλQ_\lambdaQλ​. The theorem gives a one-dimensional minimization whose solution is asymptotically optimal, which turns a discrete optimization over NNN into a smooth problem, and it marks the boundary of validity of square-root staffing.

The result is proved in the paper; it is not formalized anywhere to our knowledge. A complete development formalizes the Section 3 framework (shared with the other regimes of the same paper), the convexity of GλG_\lambdaGλ​ and of PPP, the Halfin–Whitt limit for the continuous extension πλ\pi_\lambdaπλ​, and the Stirling-type asymptotics of the Erlang-C formula. Each of these is a reusable piece of queueing theory in Lean.

Difficulty

The regime theorem itself is short once the framework is in place; the weight lies in the analytic lemmas. Lemma 4.2 requires uniform asymptotics of πλ\pi_\lambdaπλ​ at a staffing excess xλx_\lambdaxλ​ that may grow at any rate, from barely faster than a constant to faster than λ\sqrt{\lambda}λ​, where neither the central-limit picture of Halfin and Whitt nor a single Stirling expansion covers all cases. Lemma 4.1 concerns the continuous extension πλ\pi_\lambdaπλ​ at non-integer server counts, whereas Halfin and Whitt's theorem is about integer ones. The natural first idea, that the goal follows from Corollary 3.3 by plugging in Lemma 4.2, does not apply directly: Lemma 4.2 only covers staffing excesses that tend to infinity, and nothing in the definition of the true optimum xλ∗x^*_\lambdaxλ∗​ or the surrogate optimum yλ∗y^*_\lambdayλ∗​ says that they do.

Formalization scope

Lean represents λ\lambdaλ as a positive real, and λ→∞\lambda\to\inftyλ→∞ is the filter atTop on R\mathbb{R}R with μ\muμ fixed. The standing assumptions on μ\muμ and DλD_\lambdaDλ​ are the structure WaitModel; FFF is a function argument with hypotheses ConvexOn and StrictMonoOn on (0,∞)(0,\infty)(0,∞). Staffing levels NNN are natural numbers. Minimizers (Nλ∗N^*_\lambdaNλ∗​, xλ∗x^*_\lambdaxλ∗​, zλ∗z^*_\lambdazλ∗​, yλ∗y^*_\lambdayλ∗​) are function arguments with minimality hypotheses at every λ>0\lambda > 0λ>0, so every statement holds for every choice among ties. Liminf and limsup relations are stated through Filter.Frequently, avoiding boundedness side conditions.

The queue itself (Poisson arrivals, waiting-time law) is not formalized: the paper's analysis and all its theorems concern the closed-form cost C(N,λ)C(N,\lambda)C(N,λ) with the Erlang-C formula.

Conventions committed to: (i) the goal adds the hypothesis G(N,λ)→∞G(N,\lambda)\to\inftyG(N,λ)→∞ as N↓λ/μN\downarrow\lambda/\muN↓λ/μ, which the paper asserts on p. 12 to show the continuous optimum exists but which does not follow from its standing assumptions (it holds exactly when DλD_\lambdaDλ​ is unbounded); (ii) in SλS_\lambdaSλ​ the floor term is omitted when ⌊Nλ(x)⌋≤λ/μ\lfloor N_\lambda(x)\rfloor \le \lambda/\mu⌊Nλ​(x)⌋≤λ/μ, since the cost is undefined at unstable levels; (iii) the integrability of Dλ(t)e−θtD_\lambda(t)e^{-\theta t}Dλ​(t)e−θt is explicit, because a Lean integral of a non-integrable function is 000; (iv) P(0)=1P(0) = 1P(0)=1, the value of formula (11) at 000; (v) display (15) is stated for b>0b > 0b>0, since the ratio aλ/ba_\lambda/baλ​/b is undefined at b=0b = 0b=0. The instance μ=1\mu = 1μ=1, F(N)=cNF(N) = cNF(N)=cN, Dλ(t)=aλ tD_\lambda(t) = a\sqrt{\lambda}\,tDλ​(t)=aλ​t (Section 9) satisfies every hypothesis of the goal, so the goal is not vacuous; taking πλ\pi_\lambdaπλ​ or GλG_\lambdaGλ​ at Lean default values is ruled out by these explicit domain conditions.

Only the first statement of Lemma 4.2 is a milestone: the second, πλ(xλ)≈Q(xλ)\pi_\lambda(x_\lambda)\approx Q(x_\lambda)πλ​(xλ​)≈Q(xλ​) under xλ≤sup⁡λ1/6x_\lambda \stackrel{\sup}{\le} \lambda^{1/6}xλ​≤sup​λ1/6, fails as printed at xλ=λ1/6x_\lambda = \lambda^{1/6}xλ​=λ1/6. Contributions on the Erlang-C asymptotics, the normal hazard rate, and Laplace transforms of increasing functions are welcome and reusable beyond this mission.

Selected references

  • S. Borst, A. Mandelbaum, M. I. Reiman, Dimensioning Large Call Centers, CWI Report PNA-R0015, 2000 (the version formalized here; every index and page cited in this mission is the report's).
  • S. Borst, A. Mandelbaum, M. I. Reiman, Dimensioning Large Call Centers, Operations Research 52(1):17–34, 2004. https://doi.org/10.1287/opre.1030.0081
  • S. Halfin, W. Whitt, Heavy-Traffic Limits for Queues with Many Exponential Servers, Operations Research 29(3):567–588, 1981. https://doi.org/10.1287/opre.29.3.567
  • N. Gans, G. Koole, A. Mandelbaum, Telephone Call Centers: Tutorial, Review, and Research Prospects, Manufacturing & Service Operations Management 5(2):79–141, 2003. https://doi.org/10.1287/msom.5.2.79.16071
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Convex OptimizationOptimization·Captain: mikedeng1

The Relaxation Method of Finding the Common Point of Convex Sets and Its Application to the Solution of Problems in Convex Programming 3: A Convergent Relaxation from Z Solves the Equality ProgramResearch Paper

Motivation

Many large convex programs have the form "minimize a strictly convex function fff subject to linear equations Ax=bAx=bAx=b". Examples are entropy maximization under moment constraints, the estimation of a matrix with prescribed row and column sums (the matrix-scaling or RAS problem of transportation and input–output analysis), and least-norm solutions of linear systems. When AAA is large and sparse, methods that touch one equation at a time are attractive: each step needs only one row of AAA.

L. M. Bregman's 1967 paper (doi:10.1016/0041-5553(67)90040-7) introduced such a method. §1 defines a "relaxation" for finding a common point of closed convex sets AiA_iAi​, in which each step replaces the current point by its DDD-projection onto one set: the minimizer of a distance-like function D(⋅,y)D(\cdot,y)D(⋅,y) over that set. §2 chooses DDD from the objective fff itself, D(x,y)=f(x)−f(y)−(g(y),x−y)D(x,y)=f(x)-f(y)-(g(y),x-y)D(x,y)=f(x)−f(y)−(g(y),x−y) with ggg the gradient of fff; this function is now called the Bregman divergence. Theorem 3 of the paper, the target of this mission, shows that with this choice the relaxation does more than find a feasible point: started at a suitable point, its limit minimizes fff over the feasible set. The resulting row-action methods underlie later work on entropy optimization and matrix balancing (Censor and Zenios, Parallel Optimization, 1997) and the Bregman-projection techniques of modern optimization.

Setting

Work in the Euclidean space EpE^pEp with inner product (⋅,⋅)(\cdot,\cdot)(⋅,⋅). Let S⊂EpS\subset E^pS⊂Ep be a convex set with closure Sˉ\bar SSˉ and interior int⁡S\operatorname{int}SintS. Let fff be strictly convex and continuously differentiable over SSS, with gradient g(x)g(x)g(x) at x∈Sx\in Sx∈S, and continuous over Sˉ\bar SSˉ. Let AAA be an m×pm\times pm×p matrix with nonzero rows A1,…,AmA_1,\dots,A_mA1​,…,Am​ and b∈Emb\in E^mb∈Em. The problem (2.1)–(2.3) is

minimize f(x)subject toAx=b, x∈Sˉ,\text{minimize } f(x)\quad\text{subject to}\quad Ax=b,\ x\in\bar S,minimize f(x)subject toAx=b, x∈Sˉ,

with feasible set R={x∈Ep∣Ax=b, x∈Sˉ}R=\{x\in E^p\mid Ax=b,\ x\in\bar S\}R={x∈Ep∣Ax=b, x∈Sˉ}, assumed nonempty. A point of RRR minimizing fff over RRR is a solution.

The function (1.4) is

D(x,y)=f(x)−f(y)−(g(y),x−y),D(x,y)=f(x)-f(y)-\bigl(g(y),x-y\bigr),D(x,y)=f(x)−f(y)−(g(y),x−y),

and AiA_iAi​ also denotes the hyperplane {x∣(Ai,x)=bi}\{x\mid (A_i,x)=b_i\}{x∣(Ai​,x)=bi​}. The paper assumes that DDD satisfies its conditions I–VI of §1 with respect to these hyperplanes; among them, condition II provides, for every y∈Sy\in Sy∈S, a DDD-projection Piy∈Ai∩SP_iy\in A_i\cap SPi​y∈Ai​∩S minimizing D(⋅,y)D(\cdot,y)D(⋅,y) over Ai∩SA_i\cap SAi​∩S. It also assumes condition (2): if yn∈Sy^n\in Syn∈S and yn→y∗∈Sˉy^n\to y^*\in\bar Syn→y∗∈Sˉ, then D(y∗,yn)→0D(y^*,y^n)\to 0D(y∗,yn)→0.

A relaxation sequence with control (in)n≥0(i_n)_{n\ge0}(in​)n≥0​ starts at x0∈Sx^0\in Sx0∈S and sets xn+1=Pinxnx^{n+1}=P_{i_n}x^nxn+1=Pin​​xn. The control is any sequence of row indices. Finally,

Z={x∈S∣g(x)=uA=∑iuiAi for some u∈Em}Z=\{x\in S\mid g(x)=uA=\textstyle\sum_i u_iA_i\ \text{for some } u\in E^m\}Z={x∈S∣g(x)=uA=∑i​ui​Ai​ for some u∈Em}

is the set of points of SSS at which the gradient lies in the row space of AAA.

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem 3

Assume that the DDD-projection of every point of int⁡S\operatorname{int}SintS onto every AiA_iAi​ lies in int⁡S\operatorname{int}SintS. For every control and every relaxation sequence with x0∈Z∩int⁡Sx^0\in Z\cap\operatorname{int}Sx0∈Z∩intS that converges to a point x∗∈Rx^*\in Rx∗∈R,

f(x∗)≤f(y)for every y∈R.f(x^*)\le f(y)\qquad\text{for every } y\in R .f(x∗)≤f(y)for every y∈R.

Convergence of the sequence is a hypothesis; the theorem says what the limit is, whichever control produced it.

Milestones

  1. Lemma 3. If y∗∈R∩Zˉy^*\in R\cap\bar Zy∗∈R∩Zˉ, then y∗y^*y∗ is a solution of (2.1)–(2.3).
  2. (2.7)–(2.8). For x∈int⁡Sx\in\operatorname{int}Sx∈intS there is λ∈R\lambda\in\mathbb Rλ∈R with g(Pix)=g(x)+λAig(P_ix)=g(x)+\lambda A_ig(Pi​x)=g(x)+λAi​ and (Ai,Pix)=bi(A_i,P_ix)=b_i(Ai​,Pi​x)=bi​.
  3. Invariance of ZZZ. PiP_iPi​ maps Z∩int⁡SZ\cap\operatorname{int}SZ∩intS into Z∩int⁡SZ\cap\operatorname{int}SZ∩intS.

An additional item states Note 2: the point and the multiplier in (2.7)–(2.8) are unique.

Significance

Theorem 3 converts a feasibility algorithm into an optimization algorithm for equality-constrained convex programs. Each step solves a one-dimensional problem (the multiplier λ\lambdaλ of a single equation), so the method scales to systems with very many equations, and with the controls of Theorems 1–2 of the same paper it gives a complete algorithm. Specializations include iterative proportional fitting for entropy objectives and Kaczmarz-type projections for f(x)=12∥x∥2f(x)=\tfrac12\|x\|^2f(x)=21​∥x∥2.

The theorem and its proof are classical and have been reproved many times, but no machine-checked proof is known to exist. A formalization produces a verified bridge between three standard pieces of convex analysis: first-order optimality on an affine set, the supporting-hyperplane inequality for a differentiable convex function extended to the closure of its domain, and the passage of a Lagrange condition to a limit. Each is reusable in other row-action and mirror-descent developments.

Difficulty

The obvious argument says: the limit is feasible, and the gradient at every iterate lies in the row space of AAA, so the limit satisfies the Karush–Kuhn–Tucker conditions. Two steps of this argument fail as stated. First, the gradient is only known on SSS, the limit may lie on the boundary of SSS (or outside SSS, in Sˉ\bar SSˉ), and ggg need not extend continuously there, so the multipliers unu^nun need not converge and no Lagrange condition holds at the limit. Lemma 3 must therefore reach optimality without a gradient at y∗y^*y∗. Second, the Lagrange condition (2.7) at an iterate requires the projection to be an interior minimizer, which is why the theorem carries the hypothesis that PiP_iPi​ preserves int⁡S\operatorname{int}SintS; on the boundary of SSS a minimizer over Ai∩SA_i\cap SAi​∩S need not satisfy (2.7).

Formalization scope

The space is EuclideanSpace ℝ (Fin p), rows are vectors a i, and (Ai,x)(A_i,x)(Ai​,x) is the real inner product. The gradient ggg is explicit data tied to fff by HasGradientWithinAt f (g x) S x for x∈Sx\in Sx∈S and continuous on SSS; SSS is not assumed open, and Mathlib's gradient is not used. The relevant explicit choices are:

  • The DDD-projection is a fixed map PPP; condition II says PiyP_iyPi​y minimizes D(⋅,y)D(\cdot,y)D(⋅,y) over Ai∩SA_i\cap SAi​∩S, and condition III is stated for that map.
  • Condition IV is assumed in its one-sided directional form (implied by the paper's), so theorems under it are at least as strong as the paper's.
  • "Compact" in conditions V and VI is sequential compactness. Condition V is assumed for the points of R∩SR\cap SR∩S.
  • Condition (2) is assumed for limits y∗∈Sˉy^*\in\bar Sy∗∈Sˉ; the page prints y∗∈Sy^*\in Sy∗∈S, but its use at a feasible point needs Sˉ\bar SSˉ.
  • Translation slips are corrected in the statements and recorded: condition II's "D(z,x)D(z,x)D(z,x)" and "i∈Ti\in Ti∈T", (2.7)'s "g(xn−1)g(x^{n-1})g(xn−1)" (read g(xn+1)g(x^{n+1})g(xn+1)), and "Theorems 1 − 3" (read Theorems 1–2).
  • The control is an arbitrary sequence of indices in {0,…,m−1}\{0,\dots,m-1\}{0,…,m−1}; λ is named lam.
  • Note 2 is stated for candidate points y,z∈Sy,z\in Sy,z∈S, where ggg is meaningful.

The goal does not conclude that the relaxation converges; a statement asserting convergence is a different, unproved theorem. Equally, it must not be weakened to a fixed control, to an open SSS, or to a limit assumed to lie in ZZZ: any of these would trivialize the passage to the limit that the theorem is about.

A complete development needs the first-order condition for a local minimum on an affine hyperplane, the gradient inequality f(x)≥f(y)+(g(y),x−y)f(x)\ge f(y)+(g(y),x-y)f(x)≥f(y)+(g(y),x−y) for x∈Sˉx\in\bar Sx∈Sˉ, y∈Sy\in Sy∈S, and an induction along the relaxation sequence. Proofs of the milestones and of Note 2 are welcome independently.

Selected references

  • L. M. Bregman, The relaxation method of finding the common point of convex sets and its application to the solution of problems in convex programming, USSR Comput. Math. Math. Phys. 7(3) (1967) 200–217. doi:10.1016/0041-5553(67)90040-7
  • Y. Censor, S. A. Zenios, Parallel Optimization: Theory, Algorithms, and Applications, Oxford University Press, 1997. doi:10.1093/oso/9780195100624.001.0001
  • Y. Censor, A. Lent, An iterative row-action method for interval convex programming, J. Optim. Theory Appl. 34 (1981) 321–353. doi:10.1007/BF00934676
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OptimizationProbabilityStochastic Systems·Captain: mikedeng1

Dimensioning Large Call Centers II: Asymptotically Optimal Staffing in the Efficiency-Driven RegimeResearch Paper

Why staffing large call centers is a mathematical question

A call center must choose enough servers to limit waiting while paying for every server it staffs. When arrivals are heavy, small changes in the number of servers can change the probability of delay substantially. Borst, Mandelbaum, and Reiman study how to make this choice when the arrival rate grows and the costs of staffing and waiting need not grow at the same rate. Their CWI report treats several regimes within one queueing model. This mission concerns the efficiency-driven regime, where the incremental staffing cost eventually dominates the conditional waiting cost at every fixed positive square-root staffing offset. The resulting rule chooses an offset by optimizing a simpler cost that treats the probability of waiting as one.

The result is useful when the staffing-cost and waiting-cost primitives change with system scale. It says that the simplified choice still attains the optimal total cost asymptotically, even though the actual staffing decision is an integer and the simplified problem uses a real variable. The report states this as Theorem 6.1 on printed page 19, with its interpretation of asymptotic optimality supplied by Corollary 3.3 on printed page 14.

The Erlang-C cost model

Customers arrive at rate λ>0\lambda>0λ>0 and receive exponential service at rate μ>0\mu>0μ>0 per server. The service rate μ\muμ is fixed as λ\lambdaλ grows. For an integer number of servers N>λ/μN>\lambda/\muN>λ/μ, the Erlang-C delay probability π(N,λ/μ)\pi(N,\lambda/\mu)π(N,λ/μ) is the explicit finite-sum expression in Section 2 of the report. A customer who waits has an exponential waiting time with rate Nμ−λN\mu-\lambdaNμ−λ. Let Dλ(t)D_\lambda(t)Dλ​(t) be the cost of a wait of length ttt. It is strictly increasing on t≥0t\ge0t≥0, satisfies Dλ(0)=0D_\lambda(0)=0Dλ​(0)=0, and has finite exponential expectation at every positive rate. The resulting conditional waiting cost is

G(N,λ)=(Nμ−λ)∫0∞Dλ(t)e−(Nμ−λ)t dt.G(N,\lambda)=(N\mu-\lambda)\int_0^\infty D_\lambda(t)e^{-(N\mu-\lambda)t}\,dt.G(N,λ)=(Nμ−λ)∫0∞​Dλ​(t)e−(Nμ−λ)tdt.

The staffing cost F(N)F(N)F(N) is one fixed, convex, strictly increasing function of the server count. Its continuous extension is evaluated at real N>0N>0N>0. Total cost per unit of time at a stable integer level is

C(N,λ)=F(N)+λπ(N,λ/μ)G(N,λ).C(N,\lambda)=F(N)+\lambda\pi(N,\lambda/\mu)G(N,\lambda).C(N,λ)=F(N)+λπ(N,λ/μ)G(N,λ).

Write Nλ∗N^*_\lambdaNλ∗​ for any minimizing stable integer level. Ties are permitted. For a positive real offset xxx, define Nλ(x)=λ/μ+xλ/μN_\lambda(x)=\lambda/\mu+x\sqrt{\lambda/\mu}Nλ​(x)=λ/μ+xλ/μ​, Fλ(x)=F(Nλ(x))−F(λ/μ)F_\lambda(x)=F(N_\lambda(x))-F(\lambda/\mu)Fλ​(x)=F(Nλ​(x))−F(λ/μ), and Gλ(x)=λG(Nλ(x),λ)G_\lambda(x)=\lambda G(N_\lambda(x),\lambda)Gλ​(x)=λG(Nλ​(x),λ). The report extends Erlang-C continuously to πλ(x)\pi_\lambda(x)πλ​(x) and writes the incremental continuous objective as Cλ(x)=Fλ(x)+πλ(x)Gλ(x)C_\lambda(x)=F_\lambda(x)+\pi_\lambda(x)G_\lambda(x)Cλ​(x)=Fλ​(x)+πλ​(x)Gλ​(x). These definitions and the integer-extension identity are from Section 3, printed pages 11–12.

Formalization targets

The report defines the efficiency-driven regime by

for every κ>0,lim⁡λ→∞Fλ(κ)Gλ(κ)=+∞.\text{for every }\kappa>0,\qquad \lim_{\lambda\to\infty}\frac{F_\lambda(\kappa)}{G_\lambda(\kappa)}=+\infty.for every κ>0,λ→∞lim​Gλ​(κ)Fλ​(κ)​=+∞.

For each λ>0\lambda>0λ>0, choose yλ∗>0y^*_\lambda>0yλ∗​>0 to minimize Fλ(y)+Gλ(y)F_\lambda(y)+G_\lambda(y)Fλ​(y)+Gλ​(y) over y>0y>0y>0. Let Sλ(y)S_\lambda(y)Sλ​(y) be the smaller cost of the stable integer levels immediately below and above Nλ(y)N_\lambda(y)Nλ​(y); if the lower one is unstable, use the upper one. The goal, Theorem 6.1 together with Corollary 3.3, is

lim⁡λ→∞Sλ(yλ∗)−F(λ/μ)C(Nλ∗,λ)−F(λ/μ)=1.\lim_{\lambda\to\infty} \frac{S_\lambda(y^*_\lambda)-F(\lambda/\mu)} {C(N^*_\lambda,\lambda)-F(\lambda/\mu)}=1.λ→∞lim​C(Nλ∗​,λ)−F(λ/μ)Sλ​(yλ∗​)−F(λ/μ)​=1.

The milestone path includes the convexity of the conditional waiting cost (Lemma C.1), the agreement of the continuous Erlang-C extension with its integer formula, the two approximation lemmas and their corollary (Lemmas 3.1–3.2 and Corollary 3.3), the convex staffing-cost comparison of equation (13), and all three clauses of the Halfin–Whitt limit in Lemma 4.1. This ordering follows the objects each later statement uses.

What the result gives

The theorem certifies a staffing rule defined by a one-variable surrogate rather than the exact Erlang-C probability in the objective. Its guarantee concerns the incremental total cost above the unavoidable baseline F(λ/μ)F(\lambda/\mu)F(λ/μ), which is the economically relevant quantity when comparing two near-minimal stable staffing levels. The ratio tends to one, so the theorem is stronger than a claim that the two costs merely have the same growth order. The source also presents other regimes with different surrogates; their conclusions are separate targets in this series.

The paper proves the mathematical theorem. This mission asks for a Lean proof of its closed-form model and the surrounding lemmas. The complete development would make the report's approximation framework reusable for later results that combine a continuous queueing approximation, a surrogate minimizer, and integer rounding. It would also expose the exact assumptions needed to pass between real and integer staffing levels. No machine-checked proof of this report's Theorem 6.1 is claimed here.

Where the difficulty lies

The simple objective replaces the delay probability πλ(y)\pi_\lambda(y)πλ​(y) by one. That replacement is accurate near zero offset, but the minimizing offset itself changes with λ\lambdaλ. Pointwise asymptotics at a fixed positive offset do not directly control the value of an objective at its moving minimizer. The proof therefore has to relate the regime assumption to the location of the relevant minimizers before using the Halfin–Whitt limit. Integer rounding introduces another boundary issue: when Nλ(y)N_\lambda(y)Nλ​(y) is just above λ/μ\lambda/\muλ/μ, its floor need not be stable, so evaluating the ordinary Erlang-C formula there would compare the target against a meaningless cost. These difficulties are visible already in the statements of Theorem 6.1 and Lemma 3.2.

Formalization scope and conventions

Lean represents λ\lambdaλ, μ\muμ, offsets, and costs as real numbers; arrival-rate limits use the real filter at +∞+\infty+∞. Staffing counts are natural numbers. The service rate is positive and fixed. A WaitModel packages strict increase and normalization of DλD_\lambdaDλ​ on nonnegative waits together with integrability against every positive exponential rate. This integrability expresses the report's finiteness assumption for GGG and prevents a nonintegrable real integral from silently evaluating to zero. The hypotheses on FFF are convexity and strict increase on positive real staffing levels; FFF does not depend on λ\lambdaλ.

The report asserts that G(N,λ)G(N,\lambda)G(N,λ) diverges as NNN decreases to λ/μ\lambda/\muλ/μ, although the stated assumptions permit bounded increasing waiting penalties for which that assertion fails. The goal therefore includes this explicit divergence hypothesis, which also supports existence of the continuous minimizer used in the report's argument. The integer optimum and the surrogate optimum are functions constrained to be minimizers at every positive arrival rate. They cannot be arbitrary choices that make the conclusion vacuous. The continuous optimum appears only in the framework milestones; it is not a hypothesis of Theorem 6.1.

All formulas are total Lean functions. Their values at λ≤0\lambda\le0λ≤0, unstable integer counts, nonpositive offsets, or invalid parameters to the continuous Erlang-C integral have no queueing interpretation. Every theorem using them constrains its relevant inputs. The definition of SλS_\lambdaSλ​ ignores an unstable floor and uses the stable ceiling. At a positive offset and arrival rate this ceiling is above offered load. The Gaussian density, its cumulative integral, the hazard rate, and the delay function use the explicit formulas of Section 4; the value of the delay function at zero is the continuous extension needed by Lemma 4.1.

The queue's stochastic construction is outside this mission. The formal objects are the report's cost formulas and asymptotic comparisons, not a continuous-time Markov chain. Useful contributions include proofs of the special-function limit, convexity of conditional waiting cost, the integer-extension identity, and the reusable approximation lemmas. The regime condition is the full limit in equation (23); weakening it to an unrelated boundedness condition would change the theorem.

Selected references

  • Sem Borst, Avi Mandelbaum, and Martin I. Reiman, Dimensioning Large Call Centers, CWI Report PNA-R0015, 2000. Report PDF. Theorem 6.1, printed p. 19; Corollary 3.3, printed p. 14; Lemma 4.1, printed p. 15; Lemma C.1, printed p. 40.
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Algorithmic Game Theory·Captain: mikedeng1

The Price of Stability for Network Design with Fair Cost Allocation IV: In Weighted Games with a Common Source and Sink, Best-Response Dynamics Converge to a Nash EquilibriumResearch Paper

Motivation

In a network design game each player must connect its terminals in a graph whose edges carry fixed costs, and the cost of an edge is split among the players that use it. Anshelevich, Dasgupta, Kleinberg, Tardos, Wexler and Roughgarden (SIAM J. Comput. 38 (2008)) studied the fair (Shapley) split, in which the users of an edge pay equal shares. That game is a congestion game in the sense of Rosenthal (Int. J. Game Theory 2 (1973)), so it has an exact potential and pure Nash equilibria always exist.

Section 6 of the same paper turns to weighted players: player iii has a weight wi≥1w_i \ge 1wi​≥1 (a traffic volume, a bandwidth demand, a share of ownership) and pays for each edge it uses a share proportional to its weight. The equal-split potential is then lost, and the paper notes that weighted games with three or more players need not have a pure Nash equilibrium at all (Chen and Roughgarden, Network design with weighted players, SPAA 2006). Theorem 6.3 identifies a natural class in which equilibria survive: all players share one source and one sink. For that class it shows more than existence. The simplest decentralized procedure, letting players in turn switch to a cheapest route, always stops, and where it stops is an equilibrium.

Setting

A finite directed multigraph DDD has a finite set EEE of arcs; each arc eee has a tail and a head vertex, and parallel arcs between the same two vertices are allowed. Fix a source sss and a sink ttt. A simple sss–ttt path is a sequence of arcs e1,…,eme_1,\dots,e_me1​,…,em​ (m≥1m\ge1m≥1), each starting where the previous one ends, beginning at sss, ending at ttt, and visiting no vertex twice; it is identified with its arc set P⊆EP\subseteq EP⊆E. Write Sst\mathcal S_{st}Sst​ for the finite set of these paths.

The weighted single-commodity game has a finite set of players; player iii has a weight wi≥1w_i\ge1wi​≥1, arc eee has a fixed cost ce≥0c_e\ge0ce​≥0, and every player's strategy set is Sst\mathcal S_{st}Sst​. In a profile S=(Si)iS=(S_i)_iS=(Si​)i​ let

We=∑i : e∈SiwiW_e=\sum_{i\,:\,e\in S_i} w_iWe​=i:e∈Si​∑​wi​

be the total weight on arc eee. Player iii pays

payi(S)=∑e∈SiwiWe ce.\mathrm{pay}_i(S)=\sum_{e\in S_i}\frac{w_i}{W_e}\,c_e .payi​(S)=e∈Si​∑​We​wi​​ce​.

A profile is a (pure) Nash equilibrium if no player can lower its payment by switching alone to another path.

A best-response move of player iii replaces SiS_iSi​ by a path TTT that minimises iii's payment given the other players' paths, provided this strictly lowers iii's payment. Best-response dynamics is any sequence of profiles in which each profile arises from the previous one by a best-response move of some player.

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem 6.3 (p. 1620)

For every such game with wi≥1w_i\ge1wi​≥1 and ce≥0c_e\ge0ce​≥0:

there is no infinite sequence S0,S1,… with Sn+1 a best-response move from Sn;\text{there is no infinite sequence } S^0,S^1,\dots \text{ with } S^{n+1} \text{ a best-response move from } S^n;there is no infinite sequence S0,S1,… with Sn+1 a best-response move from Sn; a profile admitting no best-response move is a Nash equilibrium;\text{a profile admitting no best-response move is a Nash equilibrium;}a profile admitting no best-response move is a Nash equilibrium; Sst≠∅  ⟹  a pure Nash equilibrium exists.\mathcal S_{st}\neq\emptyset \;\Longrightarrow\; \text{a pure Nash equilibrium exists.}Sst​=∅⟹a pure Nash equilibrium exists.

The goal asserts only termination and existence; it fixes no bound on the length of a run.

Milestones (proof of Theorem 6.3, p. 1620)

For a profile SSS define the marginal cost of a path, cS(P)=∑e∈Pce/We∈[0,+∞]c_S(P)=\sum_{e\in P}c_e/W_e\in[0,+\infty]cS​(P)=∑e∈P​ce​/We​∈[0,+∞], and the tuple P(S)P(S)P(S) of all values cS(P)c_S(P)cS​(P), P∈SstP\in\mathcal S_{st}P∈Sst​, sorted increasingly. With strictly positive arc costs:

  1. a player on path PPP pays wi cS(P)w_i\,c_S(P)wi​cS​(P) (this one needs only ce≥0c_e\ge0ce​≥0);
  2. inequality (6.1): if player iii makes a best-response move from P1P_1P1​ to P2P_2P2​ and P\mathcal PP is the set of paths sharing an arc with P1∪P2P_1\cup P_2P1​∪P2​, then min⁡P∈PcS′(P)<min⁡P∈PcS(P)\min_{P\in\mathcal P}c_{S'}(P)<\min_{P\in\mathcal P}c_S(P)minP∈P​cS′​(P)<minP∈P​cS​(P);
  3. every best-response move strictly decreases P(S)P(S)P(S) in the lexicographic order.

Significance

The theorem gives a guarantee about dynamics, not only about existence: in single-commodity weighted network design, any order in which players take turns playing best responses reaches a stable outcome in finitely many steps. This places the single-commodity case on the positive side of the boundary drawn by the nonexistence examples for general weighted games. The tuple of sorted path costs is a potential that is not a single number, a device that applies to other games without an exact potential.

The result is proved in the paper; it has no machine-checked proof that this mission is aware of. A formal development contributes a reusable layer for weighted cost-sharing games (payments, best responses, Nash equilibria on arbitrary strategy families), a treatment of simple directed paths in multigraphs as strategy sets, and a lexicographic termination argument over sorted lists of extended reals. The goal is stated for nonnegative costs, as in the paper's model, while the printed proof uses positive costs; closing that gap is part of the work.

Difficulty

The obvious route, finding a real-valued function that every improving move decreases, is unavailable: the paper notes that Rosenthal's potential Φ\PhiΦ is not a potential once weights are added, and that improving moves can increase it. Termination must instead come from an ordinal quantity, a whole sorted list compared lexicographically, and the move of one player changes the marginal costs of every path that shares an arc with the old or the new route, in both directions.

The argument also depends on the shape of the strategy sets. Two distinct simple sss–ttt paths are never nested as arc sets; with walks that repeat vertices, or with arbitrary strategy families, the comparison between a path's marginal cost before and after a deviation can fail. Arcs of cost zero create a further gap: ce/Wec_e/W_ece​/We​ is 0/00/00/0 on an unused free arc, and the strict inequalities of the proof degenerate, so the nonnegative-cost goal needs more than the printed argument.

Formalization scope

  • Players form a finite type; arcs form a finite type with tail and head maps into a vertex type. Parallel arcs are kept.
  • A strategy is a Finset of arcs; the strategy family of every player is the finite set of arc sets of simple sss–ttt paths (a list of consecutive arcs with distinct visited vertices). There are no paths when s=ts=ts=t.
  • Weights and costs are real numbers with wi≥1w_i\ge1wi​≥1, ce≥0c_e\ge0ce​≥0 (the predicate IsStandard); the milestones (6.1) and the lexicographic decrease assume ce>0c_e>0ce​>0.
  • Payments are real; on every used arc We≥wi≥1W_e\ge w_i\ge1We​≥wi​≥1, so the division is never by zero.
  • The marginal cost cS(P)c_S(P)cS​(P) is valued in [0,+∞][0,+\infty][0,+∞] (ℝ≥0∞): an unused arc of positive cost contributes +∞+\infty+∞. Computing it in the reals, where x/0=0x/0=0x/0=0, would make unused paths free and the milestones false.
  • Termination is the well-foundedness of the relation "S′S'S′ is reached from SSS by one best-response move" with S′S'S′ below SSS; the reverse orientation is a different statement.
  • A best-response move requires a strict improvement and an exact minimiser; dropping either makes termination trivially true or false, and the second clause of the goal (no move possible implies Nash) guards against a move relation that is too narrow.

Contributions welcome: lemmas on simple paths in multigraphs (non-nestedness), the multiset-to-sorted-list lexicographic comparison, and the treatment of zero-cost arcs.

Selected references

  • E. Anshelevich, A. Dasgupta, J. Kleinberg, É. Tardos, T. Wexler, T. Roughgarden, The Price of Stability for Network Design with Fair Cost Allocation, SIAM Journal on Computing 38(4):1602–1623, 2008. https://doi.org/10.1137/070680096
  • R. W. Rosenthal, A class of games possessing pure-strategy Nash equilibria, International Journal of Game Theory 2:65–67, 1973. https://doi.org/10.1007/BF01737559
  • D. Monderer, L. S. Shapley, Potential games, Games and Economic Behavior 14:124–143, 1996. https://doi.org/10.1006/game.1996.0044
  • H. Chen, T. Roughgarden, Network design with weighted players, Proceedings of the 18th ACM Symposium on Parallelism in Algorithms and Architectures (SPAA), 2006, pp. 28–37.
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OptimizationTheoretical Computer Science·Captain: mikedeng1

Optimal Sequencing of a Single Machine Subject to Precedence Constraints: Repeatedly Placing Last a Least-Cost Eligible Job Yields a Minmax Optimal SequenceResearch Paper

Motivation

Single-machine sequencing is the base case of deterministic scheduling theory. Many multi-machine and shop problems are analysed by reduction to it, and many bounds and approximation algorithms for harder models use it as a subroutine. A central objective class is the bottleneck or minmax objective. Each job carries a nondecreasing cost of its completion time, and the schedule is judged by its worst job. Maximum lateness, maximum tardiness and maximum weighted tardiness are all special cases.

Before 1973 the minmax problem was solved without precedence constraints. Jackson (1955) showed that ordering by due date minimizes maximum lateness. Moore (1968, Management Science 15(1)) gave a procedure for general nondecreasing deferral costs, and Lawler and Moore (1969) gave a related method. In Lawler, Optimal Sequencing of a Single Machine Subject to Precedence Constraints, Management Science 19(5), 1973, Lawler showed that arbitrary precedence constraints can be added at no loss of efficiency. Jobs are chosen from last to first, by a single comparison of costs at a known time. The resulting O(n2)O(n^2)O(n2) procedure is the standard algorithm for the problem written 1 ∣ prec ∣ fmax⁡1\,|\,\mathrm{prec}\,|\,f_{\max}1∣prec∣fmax​ in the classification of Graham, Lawler, Lenstra and Rinnooy Kan (1979). It is one of the first polynomial-time results for precedence-constrained scheduling that every survey of the field cites.

Setting

A finite, nonempty set JJJ of jobs is processed on a single machine, one job at a time and without interruption. Each job jjj has a processing time aj≥0a_j \ge 0aj​≥0 and a cost function cj:R→Rc_j : \mathbb{R} \to \mathbb{R}cj​:R→R that is monotone nondecreasing. The value cj(t)c_j(t)cj​(t) is the cost incurred when jjj is completed at time ttt.

The precedence constraints are an arbitrary relation ≺\prec≺ on jobs: i≺ji \prec ji≺j means that job iii is required to precede job jjj. A sequence π=(π1,…,πn)\pi = (\pi_1, \dots, \pi_n)π=(π1​,…,πn​) lists every job of JJJ once. It observes the precedence constraints if πq≺πp\pi_q \prec \pi_pπq​≺πp​ never holds for positions p<qp < qp<q. The machine starts at time 000 with no idle time, so the completion time of πm\pi_mπm​ is Cπm(π)=aπ1+⋯+aπmC_{\pi_m}(\pi) = a_{\pi_1} + \dots + a_{\pi_m}Cπm​​(π)=aπ1​​+⋯+aπm​​. The maximum incurred cost of π\piπ is

fmax⁡(π)=max⁡j∈Jcj(Cj(π)),f_{\max}(\pi) = \max_{j \in J} c_j\bigl(C_j(\pi)\bigr),fmax​(π)=j∈Jmax​cj​(Cj​(π)),

and a feasible π\piπ is minmax optimal if fmax⁡(π)≤fmax⁡(π′)f_{\max}(\pi) \le f_{\max}(\pi')fmax​(π)≤fmax​(π′) for every feasible π′\pi'π′.

For a set PPP of jobs, S(P)S(P)S(P) is the set of jobs of PPP that are not required to precede any other job of PPP, and TP=∑j∈PajT_P = \sum_{j \in P} a_jTP​=∑j∈P​aj​. Lawler's rule builds a sequence from the last position to the first. With PPP the jobs not yet placed, it chooses k∈S(P)k \in S(P)k∈S(P) with ck(TP)=min⁡j∈S(P)cj(TP)c_k(T_P) = \min_{j \in S(P)} c_j(T_P)ck​(TP​)=minj∈S(P)​cj​(TP​), places kkk in the latest open position and removes it from PPP. Ties are broken arbitrarily. In Lean the objects are IsFeasible, lastEligible (SSS), IsMinmaxOptimal and IsLawlerSequence, in namespace LawlerPrec.MinMax. They are built on the published MooreLateJobs.Shared.completionTime and MooreLateJobs.MaxDeferral.maxCost.

Formalization targets

Goal: the rule is optimal

Every sequence π\piπ that Lawler's rule can produce, under any tie-breaking, observes the precedence constraints and satisfies

fmax⁡(π)  ≤  fmax⁡(π′)for every sequence π′ of J observing the precedence constraints.f_{\max}(\pi) \;\le\; f_{\max}(\pi') \qquad \text{for every sequence } \pi' \text{ of } J \text{ observing the precedence constraints.}fmax​(π)≤fmax​(π′)for every sequence π′ of J observing the precedence constraints.

This is the statement of §3 (p. 545), "An efficient algorithm for finding a minmax optimal sequence follows immediately from the theorem above". It contains no constants.

Milestones

  1. §2 proof, third paragraph. Moving a job of S(J)S(J)S(J) to the end of a feasible sequence keeps it feasible.
  2. §2 proof, fourth paragraph, first sentence. After that move, no job other than kkk completes later, and kkk completes at T=∑j∈JajT = \sum_{j \in J} a_jT=∑j∈J​aj​.
  3. §2 proof, fourth paragraph. If ck(T)≤ck′(T)c_k(T) \le c_{k'}(T)ck​(T)≤ck′​(T), where k′k'k′ is the last job of the feasible sequence, the move does not raise fmax⁡f_{\max}fmax​.
  4. THEOREM (§2), p. 544. If some feasible sequence exists and k∈S(J)k \in S(J)k∈S(J) minimizes cj(T)c_j(T)cj​(T) over S(J)S(J)S(J), then some minmax optimal sequence has kkk last.
  5. §3, the reduction. A minmax optimal sequence of J∖{k}J \setminus \{k\}J∖{k}, followed by kkk, is minmax optimal for JJJ.
  6. §3, the procedure never stalls. If a feasible sequence exists, the rule produces a complete sequence. This shows the goal is not vacuous.

Significance

The result shows that 1 ∣ prec ∣ fmax⁡1\,|\,\mathrm{prec}\,|\,f_{\max}1∣prec∣fmax​ is solvable in polynomial time for every family of nondecreasing costs. The ordering of an optimal sequence depends on the costs only through their values at the nnn partial sums TPT_PTP​ along the way. The deadline problem is a corollary (§5): sequencing from last to first by latest deadline among the currently available jobs avoids tardiness whenever any sequence does. The last-to-first scheme is reused in later backward rules for fmax⁡f_{\max}fmax​ objectives. A formal statement of the rule, its feasibility and its optimality makes these extensions available for formal reuse.

The result is classical and its proof is short. No machine-checked proof of it is known to be in Mathlib. The work this mission asks for is a formal proof of the known exchange argument and of the induction that turns the Theorem into the algorithm's correctness. The induction needs the reduced problem's sets S(P)S(P)S(P) and times TPT_PTP​ to be the correct ones at each stage, which the definitions fix.

Difficulty

The exchange argument of §2 is elementary. The difficulty lies in stating the algorithm faithfully and carrying the induction. At each stage the eligible set S(P)S(P)S(P) and the time TPT_PTP​ must be recomputed on the remaining jobs, with constraints into already placed jobs ignored. The induction must also show that the rule's sequence is feasible, which is a conclusion and not an assumption.

A first attempt often proves only the Theorem, that some optimal sequence has kkk last. That statement says nothing about a sequence built entirely by the rule, because an optimal sequence of JJJ with kkk last need not restrict to an optimal sequence of J∖{k}J \setminus \{k\}J∖{k}. Optimality of the rule's whole sequence is the target, and milestone 5 isolates the corresponding step of the page.

Formalization scope

  • Jobs form a type ι with decidable equality, and the job set is J : Finset ι.
  • Processing times are a : ι → ℝ, costs are c : ι → ℝ → ℝ, and the precedence constraints are prec : ι → ι → Prop.
  • A sequence is a duplicate-free list whose elements are exactly J. Positions are 0-based, and completion times are prefix sums (MooreLateJobs.Shared.completionAt).
  • The relation prec is arbitrary: it is not assumed transitive, irreflexive or acyclic. A cycle among distinct jobs leaves no feasible sequence. A self-loop constrains nothing, both in feasibility and in SSS (the "others" of the page exclude the job itself).

The standing assumptions of §1 appear as hypotheses wherever they are used: monotone nondecreasing cjc_jcj​ for j∈Jj \in Jj∈J, and JJJ nonempty where the maximum is taken. Two hypotheses are added relative to the page and disclosed in each statement. Processing times are non-negative (aj≥0a_j \ge 0aj​≥0), since they are durations and the exchange argument fails without them. The Theorem also assumes the existence of a feasible sequence, which its conclusion presupposes.

The rule is the property IsLawlerSequence of a finished sequence. At each position mmm, the job there lies in SSS of the jobs in positions 0..m0..m0..m and minimizes the cost at their total processing time. Every tie-break is covered. The rule is not a deterministic function, and it is not an arbitrary choice function. Feasibility of the rule's output is part of the goal's conclusion, so the goal cannot be obtained by assuming it. A statement that compares the rule only with some sequence, or that asserts only that an optimal sequence exists, is weaker and is ruled out by the goal's form. Milestone 6 shows the goal's hypotheses are satisfiable whenever a feasible sequence exists.

The n2n^2n2 operation count of §4, the first-to-last rule of §5 and the deadline corollaries of §5 are not part of this mission. A development needs only finite lists and finsets from Mathlib. Lemmas about moving an element to the end of a duplicate-free list, and about prefix sums under that move, are reusable for other exchange arguments in single-machine scheduling.

Selected references

  • E. L. Lawler, Optimal Sequencing of a Single Machine Subject to Precedence Constraints, Management Science 19(5):544–546, 1973. https://doi.org/10.1287/mnsc.19.5.544
  • J. M. Moore, An n Job, One Machine Sequencing Algorithm for Minimizing the Number of Late Jobs, Management Science 15(1):102–109, 1968. https://doi.org/10.1287/mnsc.15.1.102
  • E. L. Lawler and J. M. Moore, A Functional Equation and its Application to Resource Allocation and Sequencing Problems, Management Science 16(1):77–84, 1969. https://doi.org/10.1287/mnsc.16.1.77
  • J. R. Jackson, Scheduling a Production Line to Minimize Maximum Tardiness, Research Report 43, Management Science Research Project, UCLA, 1955.
  • R. L. Graham, E. L. Lawler, J. K. Lenstra and A. H. G. Rinnooy Kan, Optimization and Approximation in Deterministic Sequencing and Scheduling: a Survey, Annals of Discrete Mathematics 5:287–326, 1979. https://doi.org/10.1016/S0167-5060(08)70356-X
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Algorithmic Game Theory·Captain: mikedeng1

The Price of Stability for Network Design with Fair Cost Allocation III: Weighted Games in Which Each Edge Serves at Most Two Players Have a Potential and a Nash EquilibriumResearch Paper

Motivation

In a network design game each of kkk players must connect its own terminals in a shared graph, and the cost of every edge that is bought is split among the players who use it. Anshelevich, Dasgupta, Kleinberg, Tardos, Wexler and Roughgarden (SIAM J. Comput. 2008) studied the fair (Shapley) split, in which the xex_exe​ users of an edge each pay ce/xec_e/x_ece​/xe​. That game is a congestion game in the sense of Rosenthal (Networks 1973), so it has an exact potential function and pure Nash equilibria always exist.

When players carry different amounts of traffic, the natural rule is to split an edge's cost in proportion to weight: a player of weight wiw_iwi​ on an edge whose users have total weight WeW_eWe​ pays (wi/We) ce(w_i/W_e)\,c_e(wi​/We​)ce​. The paper notes that this rule is analogous to weighted generalizations of the Shapley value (Monderer and Samet, Variations of the Shapley Value, Handbook of Game Theory III, 2002). The weighted model leaves Rosenthal's framework: the share depends on which players use an edge, not only on how many, and Chen and Roughgarden (SPAA 2006) showed that weighted games with three or more players need not have a pure Nash equilibrium at all. Section 6 of the paper identifies structural conditions under which equilibria do exist. This mission covers the first of them.

Timeline. Rosenthal (1973): every congestion game has a pure Nash equilibrium, via an exact potential. Monderer and Shapley (GEB 1996): potential and weighted potential games, and the equivalence of exact potential games with congestion games. Anshelevich et al. (FOCS 2004, journal 2008): Theorem 6.1, existence when every resource is shared by at most two players, and Theorem 6.3, existence when all players share a source and a sink. Chen and Roughgarden (2006): weighted network design games with three or more players may have no pure equilibrium.

Setting

A weighted cost-sharing game GGG consists of a finite set of players, a finite ground set EEE of edges (resources), and for each player iii:

  • a finite family Σi\Sigma_iΣi​ of feasible strategies, each a subset of EEE;
  • a weight wi≥1w_i \ge 1wi​≥1;

together with a fixed edge cost ce≥0c_e \ge 0ce​≥0 for every e∈Ee \in Ee∈E. A profile S=(Si)iS = (S_i)_iS=(Si​)i​ picks Si∈ΣiS_i \in \Sigma_iSi​∈Σi​ for every player. For an edge eee, WeW_eWe​ is the total weight of the players with e∈Sie \in S_ie∈Si​, and player iii's payment is

Ci(S)=∑e∈SiwiWe ce.C_i(S) = \sum_{e \in S_i} \frac{w_i}{W_e}\, c_e .Ci​(S)=e∈Si​∑​We​wi​​ce​.

A profile is a pure Nash equilibrium when no player iii has a T∈ΣiT \in \Sigma_iT∈Σi​ with Ci(S−i,T)<Ci(S)C_i(S_{-i}, T) < C_i(S)Ci​(S−i​,T)<Ci​(S), where (S−i,T)(S_{-i}, T)(S−i​,T) is the profile in which iii plays TTT and everyone else keeps their strategy.

The strategy space of player iii is the set of edges that occur in at least one strategy of Σi\Sigma_iΣi​. The hypothesis of Theorem 6.1 is that every edge lies in the strategy spaces of at most two players: no edge can ever be shared by three players, whatever they choose.

The network design game is the instance in which EEE is the edge set of a graph and Σi\Sigma_iΣi​ is the set of edge sets of paths connecting player iii's source sis_isi​ to its sink tit_iti​.

The paper's proof uses an explicit function Φ(S)=∑eΦe(S)\Phi(S) = \sum_e \Phi_e(S)Φ(S)=∑e​Φe​(S) with Φe(S)=0\Phi_e(S) = 0Φe​(S)=0 when eee is unused, cewic_e w_ice​wi​ when iii alone uses eee, and ceθijc_e\theta_{ij}ce​θij​ when iii and jjj both use it, where θij=wi+wj−wiwj/(wi+wj)\theta_{ij} = w_i + w_j - w_i w_j/(w_i + w_j)θij​=wi​+wj​−wi​wj​/(wi​+wj​). It is part of the definitions of this mission.

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem 6.1

If every edge lies in the strategy spaces of at most two players, there is a weighted potential: a real function Φ\PhiΦ on profiles with

Φ(S−i,T)−Φ(S)=wi (Ci(S−i,T)−Ci(S))for every profile S, player i, T∈Σi,\Phi(S_{-i}, T) - \Phi(S) = w_i\,\bigl(C_i(S_{-i}, T) - C_i(S)\bigr) \quad\text{for every profile } S,\ \text{player } i,\ T \in \Sigma_i ,Φ(S−i​,T)−Φ(S)=wi​(Ci​(S−i​,T)−Ci​(S))for every profile S, player i, T∈Σi​,

and, if every Σi\Sigma_iΣi​ is nonempty, a pure Nash equilibrium exists. The goal asserts the existence of such a Φ\PhiΦ rather than fixing the paper's formula, so it remains valid for any other weighted potential.

Milestones

  1. Joining a shared edge (proof of Theorem 6.1): when iii joins an edge already used by exactly one other player jjj, Φe\Phi_eΦe​ rises by cewi2/(wi+wj)c_e w_i^2/(w_i + w_j)ce​wi2​/(wi​+wj​), which is wiw_iwi​ times iii's new share of eee.
  2. The identity for the explicit potential: the displayed identity holds for the paper's Φ\PhiΦ.
  3. From a weighted potential to an equilibrium: in any weighted game with positive weights and nonempty strategy sets, a function satisfying the identity forces a pure Nash equilibrium to exist.

An extra item states Corollary 6.2: every two-player weighted game with nonempty strategy sets has a pure Nash equilibrium.

Significance

The result. Theorem 6.1 is one of the two existence results the paper proves for weighted cost sharing, a game that in general has no pure equilibrium. It shows that the obstruction found by Chen and Roughgarden needs resources shared by three or more players: whenever sharing is limited to pairs, the game is a weighted potential game, so improving moves cannot cycle and equilibria exist. Corollary 6.2 makes the two-player case unconditional, and the paper notes that the same potential gives a (weak) bound on the price of stability.

Formalizing it. The result is proved in the paper; to our knowledge no machine-checked version exists. The mission produces a reusable Lean model of weight-proportional cost sharing (shared in form with the companion mission on single-source single-sink weighted games), an explicit weighted potential, and the general step from a weighted potential to a pure equilibrium, which applies to any finite game with positive weights.

Difficulty

The obvious approach, reusing Rosenthal's potential from the unweighted game, fails: the paper observes that in a weighted game improving moves can increase it. A player's share of an edge depends on the weights of the specific co-users, so no function of the edge loads alone can track all players' costs. The identity must therefore hold for every unilateral move, including moves that leave some edges and join others at the same time, and for every pair of possible co-users of an edge. The statement fails without the at-most-two hypothesis, so any argument has to use it in an essential way. The existence step needs the identity on all profiles reachable by feasible deviations, not only along a single path of moves.

Formalization scope

Lean namespace PriceOfStability.WeightedPotential. Players form a Fintype ι and edges a Fintype E; a game is a structure with strategies : ι → Finset (Finset E), weight : ι → ℝ and edgeCost : E → ℝ. Standing assumptions wᵢ ≥ 1 and c_e ≥ 0 are the predicate IsStandard. Profiles are functions ι → Finset E with the feasibility predicate IsProfile; every deviation is to a feasible strategy, via Function.update. Nash equilibria are pure and in cost form. The strategy-space hypothesis is a bound on the number of players whose strategy space (the union of their strategies) contains each edge — not a bound on the users in one profile, which would be a different statement. Φ_e is computed from the current users of e; its value with three or more users is a placeholder that never arises under the hypothesis. Strategies are arbitrary subsets of the ground set, as the paper's remark after the proof allows, so the network game is a special case.

The goal is not satisfiable trivially: the function Φ must satisfy the weighted identity for every feasible unilateral deviation from every profile, and an exact (unweighted) potential is not what is asserted. Nonempty strategy sets are added explicitly for the existence part, since without a profile there is no equilibrium.

Needed infrastructure: finite sums over filtered Finsets, the improvement-path argument over the finite set of profiles. The improvement-path lemma (milestone 3) is reusable for any weighted potential game. Contributions of proofs for any milestone are welcome.

Selected references

  • E. Anshelevich, A. Dasgupta, J. Kleinberg, É. Tardos, T. Wexler, T. Roughgarden, The Price of Stability for Network Design with Fair Cost Allocation, SIAM Journal on Computing 38(4):1602–1623, 2008. https://doi.org/10.1137/070680096
  • R. W. Rosenthal, The network equilibrium problem in integers, Networks 3:53–59, 1973. https://doi.org/10.1002/net.3230030104
  • D. Monderer, L. S. Shapley, Potential games, Games and Economic Behavior 14:124–143, 1996. https://doi.org/10.1006/game.1996.0044
  • H.-L. Chen, T. Roughgarden, Network design with weighted players, Proc. 18th ACM SPAA, 28–37, 2006. https://doi.org/10.1145/1148109.1148114
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Markov ChainProbabilityStochastic Systems·Captain: mikedeng1

Optimization of Multiclass Queueing Networks: Polyhedral and Nonlinear Characterizations of Achievable Performance I: Quadratic Potential Functions Bound Mean Response Times in Open NetworksResearch Paper

Motivation

Scheduling in a multiclass queueing network asks which waiting job a server should work on next when jobs of several types share stations and revisit them along fixed routes. Such networks model semiconductor wafer fabs, job shops and communication switches. Optimal policies are rarely computable: the state space is countably infinite, and even deciding properties of optimal policies is hard (Papadimitriou and Tsitsiklis 1999). A practical substitute is the achievable region approach: describe, by constraints that every policy must satisfy, a set containing all performance vectors any policy can achieve, then optimize a linear cost over that set to get a lower bound on the optimal cost.

Bertsimas, Paschalidis and Tsitsiklis (MIT Sloan working paper 1992; Ann. Appl. Probab. 1994) gave a general method for producing such constraints for open networks, by computing the steady-state drift of quadratic potential functions. This mission formalizes their first-order bounds (Section 4).

Timeline:

  • 1980–1988: Coffman and Mitrani, then Federgruen and Groenevelt — the achievable performance vectors of a single-station multiclass queue form a polytope described by conservation laws.
  • Early 1990s: Kumar (reference [Kuma] of the paper), using a potential-function argument he attributes to Meyn, derives a single lower bound on the mean number in system for re-entrant lines with deterministic routing (described on p. 16 of the paper).
  • 1992–1994: Bertsimas, Paschalidis and Tsitsiklis — parametric families of linear bounds for general open networks with Markovian routing (Theorem 4.1), and the nonparametric polyhedron (Theorems 4.2–4.4), shown to be at least as tight.

Setting

A network has NNN single-server stations and RRR job classes. Class rrr is served at station σ(r)\sigma(r)σ(r), and CiC_iCi​ is the set of classes served at station iii. Class-rrr jobs arrive from outside as a Poisson stream of rate λ0r\lambda_{0r}λ0r​, service times are exponential with rate μr\mu_rμr​, and after service a class-rrr job becomes a class-sss job with probability prsp_{rs}prs​ or leaves with probability pr0=1−∑sprsp_{r0}=1-\sum_s p_{rs}pr0​=1−∑s​prs​. The traffic equations

λr=λ0r+∑r′λr′pr′r(15)\lambda_r=\lambda_{0r}+\sum_{r'}\lambda_{r'}p_{r'r}\qquad(15)λr​=λ0r​+r′∑​λr′​pr′r​(15)

have a unique solution λ\lambdaλ (the network is open), and ∑r∈Ciλr/μr<1\sum_{r\in C_i}\lambda_r/\mu_r<1∑r∈Ci​​λr​/μr​<1 at every station.

The state n⃗=(n1,…,nR)\vec n=(n_1,\dots,n_R)n=(n1​,…,nR​) counts the jobs of each class. A Markovian policy decides from the current state which classes are in service, at most one per station and only classes with jobs present; idling is allowed. Write BrB_rBr​ for the event that station σ(r)\sigma(r)σ(r) serves class rrr, and B0iB_{0i}B0i​ for the event that station iii is idle. Under such a policy n⃗(t)\vec n(t)n(t) is a continuous-time Markov chain. Assumption A requires that it has a unique invariant distribution π\piπ and that Eπ[nr2]<∞E_\pi[n_r^2]<\inftyEπ​[nr2​]<∞ for all rrr. Let nˉr=Eπ[nr]\bar n_r=E_\pi[n_r]nˉr​=Eπ​[nr​], which equals λrxr\lambda_rx_rλr​xr​ with xrx_rxr​ the mean response time of class rrr (Little's law), and define

Irr′=Eπ[1{Br}nr′],Nir′=Eπ[1{B0i}nr′].I_{rr'}=E_\pi[1\{B_r\}n_{r'}],\qquad N_{ir'}=E_\pi[1\{B_{0i}\}n_{r'}].Irr′​=Eπ​[1{Br​}nr′​],Nir′​=Eπ​[1{B0i​}nr′​].

For a set SSS of classes, f-parameters are reals f(r)≥0f(r)\ge 0f(r)≥0 for r∈Sr\in Sr∈S such that μr[∑r′∈Sprr′(f(r)−f(r′))+∑r′∉Sprr′f(r)]\mu_r\big[\sum_{r'\in S}p_{rr'}(f(r)-f(r'))+\sum_{r'\notin S}p_{rr'}f(r)\big]μr​[∑r′∈S​prr′​(f(r)−f(r′))+∑r′∈/S​prr′​f(r)] is nonnegative and the same for all r∈Ci∩Sr\in C_i\cap Sr∈Ci​∩S; that common value is fif_ifi​, and fi=0f_i=0fi​=0 when Ci∩S=∅C_i\cap S=\emptysetCi​∩S=∅ (restriction (17)). The sums over r′∉Sr'\notin Sr′∈/S include the exit r′=0r'=0r′=0.

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem 4.1

For every policy satisfying Assumption A, every SSS and every f-parameters satisfying (17),

∑r∈Sλrf(r)xr ≥ N′(S)D′(S),\sum_{r\in S}\lambda_rf(r)x_r\ \ge\ \frac{N'(S)}{D'(S)},r∈S∑​λr​f(r)xr​ ≥ D′(S)N′(S)​,

where

N′(S)=∑r∈Sλ0rf2(r)+∑r∉Sλr∑r′∈Sprr′f2(r′)+∑r∈Sλr[∑r′∈Sprr′(f(r)−f(r′))2+∑r′∉Sprr′f2(r)],N'(S)=\sum_{r\in S}\lambda_{0r}f^2(r)+\sum_{r\notin S}\lambda_r\sum_{r'\in S}p_{rr'}f^2(r')+\sum_{r\in S}\lambda_r\Big[\sum_{r'\in S}p_{rr'}(f(r)-f(r'))^2+\sum_{r'\notin S}p_{rr'}f^2(r)\Big],N′(S)=r∈S∑​λ0r​f2(r)+r∈/S∑​λr​r′∈S∑​prr′​f2(r′)+r∈S∑​λr​[r′∈S∑​prr′​(f(r)−f(r′))2+r′∈/S∑​prr′​f2(r)], D′(S)=2[∑i=1Nfi−∑r∈Sλ0rf(r)].D'(S)=2\Big[\sum_{i=1}^Nf_i-\sum_{r\in S}\lambda_{0r}f(r)\Big].D′(S)=2[i=1∑N​fi​−r∈S∑​λ0r​f(r)].

The formal goal is the product form N′(S)≤D′(S)∑r∈Sf(r)nˉrN'(S)\le D'(S)\sum_{r\in S}f(r)\bar n_rN′(S)≤D′(S)∑r∈S​f(r)nˉr​.

Milestones

  1. The utilization identity Eπ[1{Br}]=λr/μrE_\pi[1\{B_r\}]=\lambda_r/\mu_rEπ​[1{Br​}]=λr​/μr​ (pp. 16 and 19).
  2. Theorem 4.2: the linear equalities (24), (25) between nˉr\bar n_rnˉr​ and Irr′I_{rr'}Irr′​.
  3. Theorem 4.3: ∑r∈CiIrr′+Nir′=nˉr′\sum_{r\in C_i}I_{rr'}+N_{ir'}=\bar n_{r'}∑r∈Ci​​Irr′​+Nir′​=nˉr′​ (28).
  4. Theorem 4.4: any nonnegative (x,I,N)(x,I,N)(x,I,N) satisfying (24), (25), (28), with nˉr=λrxr\bar n_r=\lambda_rx_rnˉr​=λr​xr​ in those equalities, satisfies every inequality of Theorem 4.1. This statement is deterministic.

Significance

Theorem 4.1 gives, for each choice of SSS and fff, a linear inequality on mean response times valid for all admissible policies. Minimizing a linear holding cost ∑rcrxr\sum_r c_rx_r∑r​cr​xr​ subject to these inequalities is a linear program whose value bounds the optimal scheduling cost from below; the paper reports numerical values of such bounds in its Section 9. Theorems 4.2–4.4 show that a polynomial-size polyhedron in the variables (nˉ,I,N)(\bar n,I,N)(nˉ,I,N) implies all of these inequalities at once, so the parametric search over fff is unnecessary.

The results are proved in the paper. As far as is known, none of them has a machine-checked proof. Formalizing them requires a Lean treatment of invariant distributions of controlled countable-state Markov chains with unbounded test functions, which is currently absent from Mathlib, and then the algebra of the drift identities. The definitions here (network data, Markovian sequencing policies, the generator, Assumption A) are the substrate that the paper's later results on routing, closed networks and higher-order bounds would reuse.

Difficulty

Every statement except Theorem 4.4 rests on taking expectations of the generator applied to unbounded functions (nrn_rnr​, nrnr′n_rn_{r'}nr​nr′​) under the invariant distribution. The invariance condition is stated only for indicators of single states; extending ∑nπ(n)(Gg)(n)=0\sum_n\pi(n)(\mathcal Gg)(n)=0∑n​π(n)(Gg)(n)=0 to quadratic ggg needs an interchange of summations justified by the second-moment condition of Assumption A. The utilization identity additionally needs uniqueness of the traffic solution to identify μrEπ[1{Br}]\mu_rE_\pi[1\{B_r\}]μr​Eπ​[1{Br​}] with λr\lambda_rλr​. Theorem 4.1 then needs the sign bookkeeping that turns an identity into an inequality: the terms dropped are nonnegative only because f≥0f\ge0f≥0 on SSS, fi≥0f_i\ge0fi​≥0 and at most one class per station is in service.

Formalization scope

Classes are Fin R, stations Fin N, states Fin R → ℕ, all rates and probabilities real. A policy is a Bool-valued function of the state with the two admissibility constraints; work conservation is not assumed. Invariance is global balance of the generator on the countable state space; expectations are tsums. The uniformized chain and the epochs τk\tau_kτk​ of the paper are not built: the paper notes that its expectations at τk\tau_kτk​ are expectations under the invariant distribution of n⃗(t)\vec n(t)n(t).

Conventions fixed in Lean:

  • λrxr\lambda_rx_rλr​xr​ appears only as the mean number in system nˉr\bar n_rnˉr​ (Little's law, used by the paper on pp. 11 and 20); response times are not formalized.
  • Sums over r′∉Sr'\notin Sr′∈/S include the exit r′=0r'=0r′=0 (p. 15).
  • f-parameters are nonnegative on SSS (p. 9).
  • The network is open: (15) has a unique solution, and λ\lambdaλ is an input constrained by (15), never defined from the policy.
  • (18) is stated multiplied by D′(S)D'(S)D′(S), which avoids Lean's x/0=0x/0=0x/0=0 and is (18) whenever D′(S)>0D'(S)>0D′(S)>0.

A quotient-form statement of (18) would be trivially true when D′(S)=0D'(S)=0D′(S)=0, and defining λr\lambda_rλr​ as μrEπ[1{Br}]\mu_rE_\pi[1\{B_r\}]μr​Eπ​[1{Br​}] would make the utilization identity hold by definition; both are excluded.

Welcome contributions: a general lemma extending global balance to test functions of polynomial growth under moment conditions; proofs of the drift identities; the deterministic Theorem 4.4.

Selected references

  • D. Bertsimas, I. Ch. Paschalidis, J. N. Tsitsiklis, Optimization of Multiclass Queueing Networks: Polyhedral and Nonlinear Characterizations of Achievable Performance, MIT Sloan WP #3509-92-MSA, 1992; Ann. Appl. Probab. 4(1), 1994. https://doi.org/10.1214/aoap/1177005200
  • C. H. Papadimitriou, J. N. Tsitsiklis, The complexity of optimal queuing network control, Math. Oper. Res. 24(2), 1999. https://doi.org/10.1287/moor.24.2.293
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ProbabilityStatistics·Captain: mikedeng1

Conditional Logit Analysis of Qualitative Choice Behavior 5: The Maximum Likelihood Estimator Exists with Probability Tending to One and Is Consistent and Asymptotically NormalResearch Paper

Motivation

The conditional logit model is the workhorse of discrete choice analysis in econometrics, transportation planning, marketing and revenue management. An individual facing a finite set of alternatives picks alternative iii with probability proportional to eziθe^{z_i\theta}ezi​θ, where ziz_izi​ is a vector of observed attributes and θ\thetaθ an unknown parameter vector. Daniel McFadden's 1974 chapter, Conditional Logit Analysis of Qualitative Choice Behavior, derived this model from a theory of random utility maximization and set out how to estimate θ\thetaθ by maximum likelihood. McFadden received the 2000 Nobel Memorial Prize in Economic Sciences for his development of theory and methods for analyzing discrete choice.

Every confidence interval and hypothesis test computed from a fitted logit model rests on the large-sample theory in §III of that chapter: the maximum likelihood estimator exists with probability tending to one, converges to the true parameter, and is approximately normal with covariance given by the inverse information matrix. This mission formalizes that theory, Lemmas 5 and 6 of the paper, as proved in its Appendix.

Setting

Observations are indexed serially, m=0,1,2,…m = 0, 1, 2, \dotsm=0,1,2,…, as in the paper's Appendix ("Let m be a serial index of trials and repetitions"). Observation mmm offers Jm≥1J_m \ge 1Jm​≥1 alternatives, and alternative iii carries a vector zim∈RKz_{im} \in \mathbb R^Kzim​∈RK of independent variables. For a parameter θ∈RK\theta \in \mathbb R^Kθ∈RK the selection probabilities are

Pim(θ)=ezimθ∑j=1Jmezjmθ,zˉm(θ)=∑iPim(θ) zim.P_{im}(\theta) = \frac{e^{z_{im}\theta}}{\sum_{j=1}^{J_m} e^{z_{jm}\theta}}, \qquad \bar z_m(\theta) = \sum_{i} P_{im}(\theta)\, z_{im}.Pim​(θ)=∑j=1Jm​​ezjm​θezim​θ​,zˉm​(θ)=i∑​Pim​(θ)zim​.

The data are generated at a true parameter θ0\theta^0θ0: the chosen alternatives Y0,Y1,…Y_0, Y_1, \dotsY0​,Y1​,… are independent random variables with Pr⁡(Ym=i)=Pim(θ0)\Pr(Y_m = i) = P_{im}(\theta^0)Pr(Ym​=i)=Pim​(θ0). The log-likelihood of the first qqq observations is Lq(θ)=∑m<qlog⁡PYmm(θ)L^q(\theta) = \sum_{m<q}\log P_{Y_m m}(\theta)Lq(θ)=∑m<q​logPYm​m​(θ). The moment matrix of observation mmm is

Ωm=∑iPim(θ0) (zim−zˉm)(zim−zˉm)′,zˉm=zˉm(θ0).\Omega_m = \sum_{i} P_{im}(\theta^0)\,(z_{im}-\bar z_m)(z_{im}-\bar z_m)', \qquad \bar z_m = \bar z_m(\theta^0).Ωm​=i∑​Pim​(θ0)(zim​−zˉm​)(zim​−zˉm​)′,zˉm​=zˉm​(θ0).

Axiom 7 asks that Jm≤J∗J_m \le J_*Jm​≤J∗​ and ∣zim∣≤M|z_{im}| \le M∣zim​∣≤M uniformly, and that 1q∑m<qΩm\frac1q\sum_{m<q}\Omega_mq1​∑m<q​Ωm​ converge to a positive definite matrix Ω\OmegaΩ. Axiom 6, for a given sample, asks that no nonzero γ\gammaγ satisfy (zjm−zYmm)γ≤0(z_{jm} - z_{Y_m m})\gamma \le 0(zjm​−zYm​m​)γ≤0 for all observed mmm and all jjj. A maximum likelihood estimator θ^q\hat\theta^qθ^q is a measurable choice of a maximizer of LqL^qLq, wherever one exists.

Formalization targets

Goal: Lemma 6

θ^q→Pr⁡θ0andq Ω1/2(θ^q−θ0)→dN(0,IK)(q→∞).\hat\theta^q \xrightarrow{\Pr} \theta^0 \quad\text{and}\quad \sqrt q\,\Omega^{1/2}(\hat\theta^q - \theta^0) \xrightarrow{d} N(0, I_K) \qquad (q \to \infty).θ^qPr​θ0andq​Ω1/2(θ^q−θ0)d​N(0,IK​)(q→∞).

Milestones

  1. Axiom 7 implies Axiom 5 (the full-rank condition) in all sufficiently large samples.
  2. Equation (42): Pim(θ)≥1/(J∗e2M∣θ∣)P_{im}(\theta) \ge 1/(J_* e^{2M|\theta|})Pim​(θ)≥1/(J∗​e2M∣θ∣).
  3. Lemma 5: Pr⁡(Axiom 6 holds and Lq attains its maximum)→1\Pr(\text{Axiom 6 holds and } L^q \text{ attains its maximum}) \to 1Pr(Axiom 6 holds and Lq attains its maximum)→1.
  4. Equation (43): the first three derivatives of log⁡Pim\log P_{im}logPim​ are bounded by 2M2M2M, 4M24M^24M2, 8M38M^38M3.
  5. Equation (46): each score ∇log⁡PYmm(θ0)\nabla\log P_{Y_m m}(\theta^0)∇logPYm​m​(θ0) has mean zero.
  6. Equation (47): each expected Hessian equals −Ωm-\Omega_m−Ωm​.
  7. Consistency of θ^q\hat\theta^qθ^q.
  8. Equation (58): q−1/2 Ω−1/2∑m<q∇log⁡PYmm(θ0)→dN(0,IK)q^{-1/2}\,\Omega^{-1/2}\sum_{m<q}\nabla\log P_{Y_m m}(\theta^0) \xrightarrow{d} N(0, I_K)q−1/2Ω−1/2∑m<q​∇logPYm​m​(θ0)d​N(0,IK​).

Significance

The result. Lemma 6 is what licenses reading θ^q\hat\theta^qθ^q as approximately N(θ0,q−1Ω−1)N(\theta^0, q^{-1}\Omega^{-1})N(θ0,q−1Ω−1), so that the diagonal of the inverse information matrix estimates the sampling variances and q(θ^q−θ0)′Ω(θ^q−θ0)q(\hat\theta^q-\theta^0)'\Omega(\hat\theta^q-\theta^0)q(θ^q−θ0)′Ω(θ^q−θ0) is asymptotically χK2\chi^2_KχK2​. Lemma 5 complements it: in finite samples the likelihood can fail to have a maximum (the observations are then "explained" by a direction γ\gammaγ of Axiom 6), and the lemma shows this failure is asymptotically negligible. The data are not identically distributed (each observation has its own alternatives), so the result is not an instance of the textbook i.i.d. maximum likelihood theorem.

Formalizing it. The results are proved in the paper, in outline. A machine-checked version adds: a complete proof of the existence part (Lemma 5), whose published argument is a sketch by induction over an infinite index set; a precise treatment of the estimator where no maximizer exists; the correction of two misprints in the published proof (the normalization 1/q1/q1/q in (58), which must be 1/q1/\sqrt q1/q​, and a constant in (51)); and a multivariate Lindeberg–Feller central limit theorem for bounded, independent, non-identically distributed vectors, which the proof invokes and which is reusable well beyond this paper. No machine-checked proof of these results is known.

Difficulty

The obvious route, "the log-likelihood is concave, so its maximizer converges", needs a maximizer to exist, and in a finite sample it may not; the estimator is defined only on an event whose probability must first be shown to tend to one. Consistency then needs a uniform law of large numbers for the gradient on a sphere around θ0\theta^0θ0, controlled by the third-derivative bound (43). Asymptotic normality needs a central limit theorem for independent but not identically distributed score vectors, with covariances Ωm\Omega_mΩm​ that converge only on average; the i.i.d. central limit theorem does not apply. Finally the random Hessian at an intermediate point must be shown to converge in probability, which ties the consistency result into the normality argument.

Formalization scope

  • Vectors live in EuclideanSpace ℝ (Fin K); zθz\thetazθ is the inner product, and all norms are Euclidean (footnote 11's sum-of-absolute-values norm is equivalent and gives the same qualitative axiom); derivative bounds use operator norms.
  • The paper's NNN trials with RnR_nRn​ repetitions are the special case of the serial indexing in which consecutive observations repeat their data; the sample size ∑nRn\sum_n R_n∑n​Rn​ is qqq.
  • Axiom 7's limit (27) is taken in its serial form (48), with PPP evaluated at θ0\theta^0θ0.
  • The estimator is any measurable selection that maximizes LqL^qLq whenever LqL^qLq has a maximum, and is unconstrained otherwise. Requiring a maximizer for every sample would be unsatisfiable, since Axiom 6 fails with positive probability, and would make the goal vacuous; this convention rules that out.
  • Consistency is TendstoInMeasure. Asymptotic normality is TendstoInDistribution to a random vector whose law is stdGaussian. Ω1/2\Omega^{1/2}Ω1/2 is the positive semidefinite square root CFC.sqrt.
  • Needed infrastructure: derivatives of log-sum-exp, a law of large numbers for bounded independent vectors, and a multivariate Lindeberg–Feller theorem. Mathlib provides the one-dimensional i.i.d. central limit theorem only. Contributions of these general results as separate theorems are welcome.

Selected references

  • D. McFadden, Conditional logit analysis of qualitative choice behavior, in P. Zarembka (ed.), Frontiers in Econometrics, Academic Press, New York, 1974, pp. 105–142.
  • W. Feller, An Introduction to Probability Theory and Its Applications, Vol. II, Wiley, 1966 (Lindeberg–Feller theorem, pp. 256–258).
  • C. R. Rao, Linear Statistical Inference and Its Applications, Wiley (cited by McFadden as Rao (1968), pp. 347–351, for the asymptotic χ2\chi^2χ2 test).
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Algorithmic Game TheoryProbabilityTheoretical Computer Science·Captain: mikedeng1

Secretary Problems: Weights and Discounts 1: An (8+3e)-Competitive Algorithm for the Weighted Secretary ProblemResearch Paper

Motivation

The classical secretary problem asks how to select one valuable candidate when candidates arrive in random order and a decision must be made when each candidate appears. Many allocation settings have several goods of unequal quality instead of a single position. An employer may have roles of different desirability, or a seller may have placements with different visibility. In the weighted secretary problem, an agent's value is multiplied by the weight of the good assigned to that agent. The algorithm must decide irrevocably as agents arrive, while the benchmark sees every value before assigning goods. Babaioff, Dinitz, Gupta, Immorlica and Talwar study this model with arbitrary fixed agent values and a uniformly random arrival order, and give a constant competitive ratio independent of the number of agents and goods (authors' version, §§2–3).

The paper also studies time discounts and matroid constraints. This mission concerns its weighted-goods result, Theorem 3.4. The result combines an online allocation rule for several comparably valuable agents with the familiar one-choice secretary rule for an unusually valuable agent. These are distinct ways in which the sorted offline assignment can earn value; both are present even when the weights are fixed in advance. The weighted model matters because matching a valuable agent to an unsuitable good can lose value despite accepting the right agent.

Setting

There are nnn agents e∈Ue\in Ue∈U, each with a nonnegative value v(e)v(e)v(e), and KKK goods indexed in decreasing order of nonnegative weight:

w(1)≥w(2)≥⋯≥w(K)≥0.w(1)\ge w(2)\ge\cdots\ge w(K)\ge0.w(1)≥w(2)≥⋯≥w(K)≥0.

An assignment sss gives each good to at most one agent, and each agent receives at most one good. A good may remain unassigned, represented by ⊥\bot⊥ with v(⊥)=0v(\bot)=0v(⊥)=0. Its value is ∑k=1Kv(s(k))w(k)\sum_{k=1}^K v(s(k))w(k)∑k=1K​v(s(k))w(k). Agent values are arbitrary, not drawn independently from a distribution. The uncertainty is the arrival order π\piπ, chosen uniformly from all permutations; an agent's value becomes visible on arrival, and an allocation decision cannot be revised.

The offline optimum, OPT\mathrm{OPT}OPT, assigns the heaviest good to the highest-valued agent, the next good to the next agent, and so on. If K>nK>nK>n, the extra goods remain unassigned. A consistent tie break makes the ordering unique without changing the numerical value. This sorted assignment is defined directly; the mission does not replace it with an unconstrained variable said to be optimal.

The reservation algorithm draws a sample size τ∼Binom(n,1/2)\tau\sim\mathrm{Binom}(n,1/2)τ∼Binom(n,1/2), observes the first τ\tauτ agents without allocation, and retains the best min⁡(K,τ)\min(K,\tau)min(K,τ) sampled agents. Positive values are grouped into value classes [2i−1,2i)[2^{i-1},2^i)[2i−1,2i) for integer iii. A sampled agent in class iii reserves one good in that class's contiguous block, with higher classes receiving heavier blocks. A later agent receives the heaviest unassigned good reserved for its class when one is available. The classical secretary rule instead observes the first ⌊n/e⌋\lfloor n/e\rfloor⌊n/e⌋ agents, then selects the first later arrival better than every predecessor; its winner receives good 111.

Formalization targets

The mission's goal is the exact guarantee of Theorem 3.4 for Algorithm AAA, which runs the reservation algorithm with probability 8/(3e+8)8/(3e+8)8/(3e+8) and the classical rule with probability 3e/(3e+8)3e/(3e+8)3e/(3e+8):

OPT≤(8+3e) E[A].\mathrm{OPT}\le(8+3e)\,\mathbb E[A].OPT≤(8+3e)E[A].

Here the expectation covers the uniform arrival permutation, the independent binomial sample size used by the reservation branch, and the mixing coin. The multiplicative inequality expresses competitiveness even when an expected payoff is zero. It uses the explicit constant in the paper's proof rather than an instance-dependent or unspecified constant.

Four source results form the milestones. The classical secretary rule selects the maximum with probability at least 1/e1/e1/e. Lemma 3.2 compares the starting indices bib_ibi​ and oio_ioi​ of class-iii blocks in the reservation and optimum assignments. Lemma 3.1 says that if the optimum assigns at least two agents from class iii, the reservation rule assigns at least ui/4u_i/4ui​/4 agents from that class in expectation. Lemma 3.3 converts this to expected value at least OPTi/8\mathrm{OPT}_i/8OPTi​/8. The target retains the paper's class condition and both numerical fractions (authors' version, pp. 4–5).

Significance

Theorem 3.4 supplies a constant factor guarantee for irrevocable allocation when goods have different weights and agents arrive in random order. The factor does not grow with nnn or KKK. It separates the effects of uncertain arrivals from the offline matching of high values to high weights, and it supplies a benchmark for later variants with more complicated feasibility constraints. The paper extends the reservation idea to additional combinatorial settings, including partition-matroid variants in Appendix C (authors' version, Appendix C).

The theorem is proved in the source paper, while the Lean statements in this mission are proof obligations. Formalizing them requires checking that the random-order model, sample distribution, tie convention and assignments jointly express the same algorithm. A complete development will also establish reusable finite-average facts for random permutations and binomial samples, and structural facts about sorted assignments and reserved blocks. Those pieces can support other secretary problems in the series; the mission's specific promise remains the weighted algorithm's exact bound.

Difficulty

A count of how many agents a class receives does not by itself control the weighted value of those goods. Goods have unequal weights, and the value of assigning the next good changes with its position in a block. A class whose offline optimum receives several agents can also lose all its sampled members from the allocation phase. Thus a direct comparison of expected class counts with expected class values is insufficient. The paper's separate count, block-position and value statements identify the claims a solver must establish; the final theorem must also account for classes represented only once in the offline assignment (authors' version, p. 5).

Formalization scope

Agents and goods are Fin n and Fin K; their indices start at zero in Lean, so paper time ttt corresponds to Lean index t−1t-1t−1. An arrival permutation maps time to agent. Values and weights are real and explicitly nonnegative, and weights are antitone in the good index. The finite sums defining expectations are normalized by n!n!n! for permutations and by (nτ)/2n\binom n\tau/2^n(τn​)/2n for sample sizes. No measurability or integration convention is needed. For the goal, K≥1K\ge1K≥1 makes the heaviest good available; K>nK>nK>n is allowed.

Equal values are ordered by smaller original agent index throughout the sorted optimum, the sample's top agents and the classical rule. The classical rule observes exactly ⌊n/e⌋\lfloor n/e\rfloor⌊n/e⌋ arrivals, and zero-valued agents reserve no value-class goods. Positive values below one use negative integer class indices. The paper says only that class iii holds the values “between” 2i−12^{i-1}2i−1 and 2i2^i2i (p. 4, and again in Appendix C, p. 12); the mission fixes the half-open interval [2i−1,2i)[2^{i-1},2^i)[2i−1,2i), so that the classes partition the positive reals (authors' version, pp. 4, 12). A reservation assignment is built from each post-sample agent's rank within its class, so a good is offered to at most one such agent. The theorem is about this concrete algorithm and the concrete sorted offline assignment; an arbitrary favorable policy or an optimum supplied as a hypothesis would not express the source result.

The development needs a finite assignment interface, a tie-aware rank order, value classes, the two online rules, and normalized finite expectations. The assignment and finite-average definitions are reusable. Contributions that prove the structural validity of the reservation assignment, the classical success guarantee, Lemmas 3.1–3.3, or the final combination all advance the stated target.

Selected references

  • Moshe Babaioff, Michael Dinitz, Anupam Gupta, Nicole Immorlica and Kunal Talwar, Secretary Problems: Weights and Discounts, Proceedings of SODA 2009; authors' full version, proceedings DOI.
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Dynamic ProgrammingMarkov Chain·Captain: mikedeng1

Discrete Dynamic Programming 2: A Stationary Policy Is Nearly Optimal as the Discount Factor Tends to 1 Exactly When It Maximizes x(g) and, Among Those, y(g)Research Paper

Motivation

A finite Markov decision problem with discounting is solved by Howard's policy improvement routine: start from a stationary policy, switch to actions that do better against its value, repeat. When the discount factor β\betaβ tends to 111 the total discounted income typically diverges, and the natural targets become the long-run average income and, among policies with the best average, the policy that does best in the transient phase. Howard treated this undiscounted case directly (Howard, 1960). David Blackwell's 1962 paper (Blackwell, 1962) treats β=1\beta = 1β=1 as a limit of β<1\beta < 1β<1: it expands the discounted return of a stationary policy in powers of 1−β1-\beta1−β and reads off which policies remain good as β→1\beta \to 1β→1. The two leading coefficients of that expansion, the gain x(f)x(f)x(f) and the bias y(f)y(f)y(f), became the standard objects of average-reward and sensitive-discount optimality (Veinott, 1969; Puterman, 1994, Ch. 8–10).

Timeline. Howard (1960) gives policy iteration for discounted and average-income problems. Blackwell (1962) proves that some stationary policy is optimal for all β\betaβ near 111 (his Theorem 5, the subject of a companion mission) and, in Theorem 4, characterizes the nearly optimal stationary policies through xxx and yyy. Miller and Veinott (1969) and Veinott (1969) extend the expansion to all orders (nnn-discount optimality).

Setting

There are finitely many states s∈Ss \in Ss∈S and a finite nonempty set AAA of actions. Action aaa in state sss pays an income i(s,a)∈Ri(s,a) \in \mathbb Ri(s,a)∈R and moves the system to s′s's′ with probability q(s′∣s,a)q(s' \mid s,a)q(s′∣s,a). FFF is the finite set of decision rules f:S→Af : S \to Af:S→A. A policy is a sequence π={f1,f2,… }\pi = \{f_1, f_2, \dots\}π={f1​,f2​,…} of decision rules; f(∞)f^{(\infty)}f(∞) uses fff every day, and (g,π)(g, \pi)(g,π) uses ggg first and then π\piπ. For f∈Ff \in Ff∈F, r(f)r(f)r(f) is the vector (i(s,f(s)))s(i(s,f(s)))_s(i(s,f(s)))s​ and Q(f)Q(f)Q(f) the Markov matrix (q(s′∣s,f(s)))s,s′(q(s' \mid s,f(s)))_{s,s'}(q(s′∣s,f(s)))s,s′​. The discounted return of π\piπ is the vector

Vβ(π)=∑n=0∞βnQ(f1)⋯Q(fn) r(fn+1),0≤β<1,V_\beta(\pi) = \sum_{n=0}^\infty \beta^n Q(f_1)\cdots Q(f_n)\, r(f_{n+1}), \qquad 0 \le \beta < 1,Vβ​(π)=n=0∑∞​βnQ(f1​)⋯Q(fn​)r(fn+1​),0≤β<1,

and Vβ(f)V_\beta(f)Vβ​(f) abbreviates Vβ(f(∞))V_\beta(f^{(\infty)})Vβ​(f(∞)). Vectors are compared coordinatewise; w1>w2w_1 > w_2w1​>w2​ means w1≥w2w_1 \ge w_2w1​≥w2​ and w1≠w2w_1 \neq w_2w1​=w2​. A policy is β-optimal if its return dominates that of every policy, and U(β)U(\beta)U(β) is the return of a β-optimal policy. It is optimal if it is β-optimal for all β\betaβ sufficiently near 111, and nearly optimal if U(β)−Vβ(π)→0U(\beta) - V_\beta(\pi) \to 0U(β)−Vβ​(π)→0 as β→1\beta \to 1β→1.

For any Markov matrix QQQ, the limit matrix Q∗Q^*Q∗ is the limit of (I+Q+⋯+QN)/(N+1)(I + Q + \cdots + Q^N)/(N+1)(I+Q+⋯+QN)/(N+1), and the deviation matrix is H=(I−Q+Q∗)−1−Q∗H = (I - Q + Q^*)^{-1} - Q^*H=(I−Q+Q∗)−1−Q∗. For a rule fff, Q∗(f)Q^*(f)Q∗(f) and H(f)H(f)H(f) are those of Q(f)Q(f)Q(f), and

x(f)=Q∗(f) r(f),y(f)=H(f) r(f).x(f) = Q^*(f)\, r(f), \qquad y(f) = H(f)\, r(f).x(f)=Q∗(f)r(f),y(f)=H(f)r(f).

With p(s,a)w=∑s′q(s′∣s,a)ws′p(s,a)w = \sum_{s'} q(s' \mid s,a) w_{s'}p(s,a)w=∑s′​q(s′∣s,a)ws′​, the set G(s,f)G(s,f)G(s,f) consists of the actions aaa with p(s,a)x(f)>xs(f)p(s,a)x(f) > x_s(f)p(s,a)x(f)>xs​(f), or with p(s,a)x(f)=xs(f)p(s,a)x(f) = x_s(f)p(s,a)x(f)=xs​(f) and i(s,a)+p(s,a)y(f)>xs(f)+ys(f)i(s,a) + p(s,a)y(f) > x_s(f) + y_s(f)i(s,a)+p(s,a)y(f)>xs​(f)+ys​(f); E(s,f)E(s,f)E(s,f) consists of those with equality in both.

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem 4(e)

For any f0f_0f0​ with G(s,f0)=∅G(s,f_0) = \varnothingG(s,f0​)=∅ for all sss:

x(f0)≥x(g)  ∀g∈F;∃f∗∈F∗:={g:x(g)=x(f0)} with y(f∗)≥y(g) ∀g∈F∗;x(f_0) \ge x(g)\ \ \forall g \in F;\qquad \exists f^* \in F^* := \{g : x(g) = x(f_0)\}\ \text{with}\ y(f^*) \ge y(g)\ \forall g \in F^*;x(f0​)≥x(g)  ∀g∈F;∃f∗∈F∗:={g:x(g)=x(f0​)} with y(f∗)≥y(g) ∀g∈F∗; g(∞) is nearly optimal  ⟺  x(g)=x(f∗) and y(g)=y(f∗).g^{(\infty)} \text{ is nearly optimal} \iff x(g) = x(f^*) \text{ and } y(g) = y(f^*).g(∞) is nearly optimal⟺x(g)=x(f∗) and y(g)=y(f∗).

Milestones and intermediate results

Milestones: Lemma 1(b) (rank⁡(I−Q)+rank⁡Q∗=S\operatorname{rank}(I-Q) + \operatorname{rank} Q^* = Srank(I−Q)+rankQ∗=S), Theorem 4(b) (improvement for β near 1), 4(c) (a sufficient condition for optimality), Lemma 2, and 4(d) (a sufficient condition for near optimality).

The mission also states, as intermediate results:

  • Lemma 1(a), (c), (d): for every Markov matrix, convergence of the Cesàro means to a Markov Q∗Q^*Q∗ with QQ∗=Q∗Q=Q∗Q∗=Q∗QQ^* = Q^*Q = Q^*Q^* = Q^*QQ∗=Q∗Q=Q∗Q∗=Q∗; unique solvability of Qx=xQx = xQx=x, Q∗x=Q∗cQ^*x = Q^*cQ∗x=Q∗c; nonsingularity of I−Q+Q∗I - Q + Q^*I−Q+Q∗, ∑nβn(Qn−Q∗)→H\sum_n \beta^n (Q^n - Q^*) \to H∑n​βn(Qn−Q∗)→H and the identities for HHH.
  • Theorem 4(a): Vβ(f)=x(f)/(1−β)+y(f)+o(1)V_\beta(f) = x(f)/(1-\beta) + y(f) + o(1)Vβ​(f)=x(f)/(1−β)+y(f)+o(1), with x(f),y(f)x(f), y(f)x(f),y(f) the unique solutions of their linear systems; display (2), the same expansion for (g,f(∞))(g, f^{(\infty)})(g,f(∞)).
  • Theorem 3 and its Corollary for fixed β<1\beta < 1β<1, and the first assertion of 4(e).

Significance

Theorem 4(e) says that near optimality for β near 1 is exactly lexicographic maximization: first of the average income xxx, then of the bias yyy. It justifies the two-level optimality equations used throughout average-reward dynamic programming and shows that, once the β = 1 improvement routine stops, the remaining problem is a bias maximization over the gain-optimal rules. Theorem 4(a) is the first two terms of the Laurent expansion of discounted values, the starting point of sensitive-discount optimality.

The results are classical and proved in the paper (Lemma 1 with a reference to Kemeny and Snell); no machine-checked proof of them is known on the platform. A complete development produces a multichain theory of Cesàro limit and deviation matrices of arbitrary finite Markov matrices, which Mathlib does not have, and the expansion of discounted returns near β = 1.

Difficulty

Lemma 1 must be proved for every Markov matrix, including reducible and periodic ones, where QnQ^nQn does not converge and the stationary distribution is not unique; arguments through the Perron–Frobenius eigenvector of an irreducible chain do not apply. In Theorem 4(e) the hard part is the existence of a single f∗f^*f∗ whose bias dominates every gain-optimal rule in every coordinate at once; a rule maximizing each coordinate separately is not enough. The final characterization compares a stationary policy with all policies, including time-dependent ones, through U(β)U(\beta)U(β).

Formalization scope

States and actions are finite nonempty types; incomes are real of any sign; a policy is a sequence ℕ → (St → Act) with π 0 the paper's f1f_1f1​. VβV_\betaVβ​ is a real tsum. Q∗Q^*Q∗ is limUnder of the Cesàro means, and its existence is Lemma 1(a), not an assumption; H(β)H(\beta)H(β) is a matrix tsum, whose summability for 0≤β<10 \le \beta < 10≤β<1 is part of Lemma 1(d); HHH uses Mathlib's total inverse, whose nonsingularity is also part of Lemma 1(d). x(f)x(f)x(f) and y(f)y(f)y(f) are defined by the closed forms Q∗(f)r(f)Q^*(f)r(f)Q∗(f)r(f) and H(f)r(f)H(f)r(f)H(f)r(f) from the paper's proof, and Theorem 4(a) asserts that they are the unique solutions of the paper's defining systems. Limits "as β → 1" are along β→1−\beta \to 1^-β→1−. "Nearly optimal" is encoded without UUU: for every ε>0\varepsilon > 0ε>0, for all β in some interval (β0,1)(\beta_0, 1)(β0​,1), every policy's return is at most Vβ(π)+εV_\beta(\pi) + \varepsilonVβ​(π)+ε in every coordinate; this is equivalent to U(β)−Vβ(π)→0U(\beta) - V_\beta(\pi) \to 0U(β)−Vβ​(π)→0 because a β-optimal policy exists. "Optimal" (§4) and "β-optimal" (§3) are distinct definitions, and Theorem 3's β-dependent improvement set is distinct from the §4 set G(s,f)G(s,f)G(s,f).

A formalization in which optimality or near optimality is tested only against stationary policies, or in which Q∗Q^*Q∗ is assumed to exist or the chain to be irreducible, proves a different and easier theorem and does not meet the targets.

Contributions are welcome at every level: the Cesàro and Abel limit theory of finite Markov matrices (reusable well beyond this paper), the policy improvement theorem for fixed β, and the comparison arguments of Theorem 4. Theorem 3 and the Corollary are also drafted in the companion mission on Theorem 5 in another namespace.

Selected references

  • D. Blackwell, Discrete Dynamic Programming, Ann. Math. Statist. 33(2):719–726, 1962. https://doi.org/10.1214/aoms/1177704593
  • R. A. Howard, Dynamic Programming and Markov Processes, MIT Press, 1960.
  • J. G. Kemeny and J. L. Snell, Finite Markov Chains, Van Nostrand, 1960.
  • B. L. Miller and A. F. Veinott, Discrete Dynamic Programming with a Small Interest Rate, Ann. Math. Statist. 40(2):366–370, 1969.
  • A. F. Veinott, Discrete Dynamic Programming with Sensitive Discount Optimality Criteria, Ann. Math. Statist. 40(5):1635–1660, 1969. https://doi.org/10.1214/aoms/1177697379
  • M. L. Puterman, Markov Decision Processes: Discrete Stochastic Dynamic Programming, Wiley, 1994. https://doi.org/10.1002/9780470316887
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CombinatoricsTheoretical Computer Science·Captain: mikedeng1

The Online Set Cover Problem 2: Given α ≥ c(C_OPT), the Weighted Potential-Function Algorithm Never Fails and Pays at Most (6+o(1)) α log m log nResearch Paper

Motivation

Set cover is one of the basic covering problems of combinatorial optimization: given a ground set and a family of subsets with costs, choose a cheapest subfamily whose union contains every element. In many applications the elements to be covered are not known in advance but appear over time: requests for a service that must be served by opening facilities, clients that must be assigned to servers, or constraints of a covering program that are revealed one at a time. Each arriving element must be covered at once, and decisions cannot be undone. This is the online set cover problem, introduced by Alon, Awerbuch, Azar, Buchbinder and Naor (SIAM J. Comput. 39(2), 2009; conference version STOC 2003).

The quality of an online algorithm is measured by its competitive ratio: the worst case, over all arrival sequences, of the ratio between the algorithm's cost and the cost of an optimal offline cover of the elements that actually arrived. The paper gives a deterministic algorithm with ratio O(log⁡mlog⁡n)O(\log m \log n)O(logmlogn), where nnn is the number of elements and mmm the number of sets, and shows a nearly matching lower bound for deterministic algorithms. Its algorithm for the weighted case, analysed with a potential function, became a template for the online primal–dual method surveyed by Buchbinder and Naor (Found. Trends Theor. Comput. Sci. 3(2–3), 2009).

This mission formalizes the core of the weighted result: the algorithm that is given a value α\alphaα at least the optimal cost, and its guarantee (Theorem 3.4).

Setting

The ground set XXX has n=∣X∣n = |X|n=∣X∣ elements and the family S\mathcal SS has m=∣S∣m = |\mathcal S|m=∣S∣ sets; every set SSS has a cost cS>0c_S > 0cS​>0. Both are known to the algorithm in advance. For an element jjj, Sj\mathcal S_jSj​ denotes the sets containing jjj. Elements of an unknown subset of XXX arrive one at a time in a sequence σ\sigmaσ; on arrival each must be covered by a chosen set. The chosen family C\mathcal CC can only grow. COPT\mathcal C_{OPT}COPT​ is any family covering every arriving element, and c(COPT)=∑S∈COPTcSc(\mathcal C_{OPT}) = \sum_{S \in \mathcal C_{OPT}} c_Sc(COPT​)=∑S∈COPT​​cS​.

The algorithm is given α≥c(COPT)\alpha \ge c(\mathcal C_{OPT})α≥c(COPT​). It discards sets costing more than α\alphaα, buys sets costing at most α/m\alpha/mα/m outright, and rescales costs; on the resulting normalized instance 1≤cS≤m1 \le c_S \le m1≤cS​≤m and cS≤αc_S \le \alphacS​≤α for every set (p. 365).

The algorithm keeps a weight wS>0w_S > 0wS​>0 for every set, initially wS=1/m2w_S = 1/m^2wS​=1/m2; the weight of an element is wj=∑S∈SjwSw_j = \sum_{S \in \mathcal S_j} w_Swj​=∑S∈Sj​​wS​. With CCC the set of covered elements and χC\chi_{\mathcal C}χC​ the indicator of C\mathcal CC, the potential is

Φ=∑j∉Cn2wj+n⋅exp⁡(12α∑S∈S(cSχC(S)−3wScSlog⁡n)),\Phi = \sum_{j \notin C} n^{2 w_j} + n \cdot \exp\Big(\frac{1}{2\alpha} \sum_{S \in \mathcal S} \big(c_S \chi_{\mathcal C}(S) - 3 w_S c_S \log n\big)\Big),Φ=j∈/C∑​n2wj​+n⋅exp(2α1​S∈S∑​(cS​χC​(S)−3wS​cS​logn)),

with natural logarithms throughout. When jjj arrives with wj≥1w_j \ge 1wj​≥1 nothing happens; otherwise the algorithm performs weight augmentation steps while wj<1w_j < 1wj​<1. In a step, for each S∈SjS \in \mathcal S_jS∈Sj​: (a) wS←wS(1+1ncS)w_S \leftarrow w_S (1 + \frac{1}{n c_S})wS​←wS​(1+ncS​1​); (b) if S∉CS \notin \mathcal CS∈/C, add SSS to C\mathcal CC when Φ\PhiΦ does not exceed its value before (a); (c) if Φ\PhiΦ has increased, return FAIL.

In Lean, the instance is the published OnlinePrimalDual.OnlineSetCover.SetCoverInstance over finite types X (elements) and T (sets), with the published elementWeight, coveredBy and potential. The run is OnlineSetCover.Weighted.Reachable inst α σ, the set of configurations reachable from initState σ under the transition relation Step.

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem 3.4

On the normalized instance, with COPT\mathcal C_{OPT}COPT​ covering σ\sigmaσ, c(COPT)≤αc(\mathcal C_{OPT}) \le \alphac(COPT​)≤α, and n⋅n2/m+n<n2n \cdot n^{2/m} + n < n^2n⋅n2/m+n<n2, every reachable configuration is a running state (never FAIL) in which (i) every j∈Xj \in Xj∈X with wj≥1w_j \ge 1wj​≥1 is covered, and (ii)

∑S∈CcS≤3log⁡n(1+(1+1n)αlog⁡(m2(1+1n)))+2αlog⁡n=(6+o(1)) αlog⁡mlog⁡n.\sum_{S \in \mathcal C} c_S \le 3 \log n \Big(1 + \Big(1 + \frac1n\Big)\alpha \log\Big(m^2\Big(1+\frac1n\Big)\Big)\Big) + 2\alpha \log n = (6 + o(1))\,\alpha \log m \log n.S∈C∑​cS​≤3logn(1+(1+n1​)αlog(m2(1+n1​)))+2αlogn=(6+o(1))αlogmlogn.

Milestones

  • Lemma 3.1 (p. 365): the number NNN of augmentation steps satisfies N≤∑S∈COPT(ncS+1)log⁡(m2(1+1/n))≤(n+1)αlog⁡(m2(1+1/n))N \le \sum_{S \in \mathcal C_{OPT}} (n c_S + 1)\log(m^2(1 + 1/n)) \le (n+1)\alpha\log(m^2(1+1/n))N≤∑S∈COPT​​(ncS​+1)log(m2(1+1/n))≤(n+1)αlog(m2(1+1/n)).
  • Lemma 3.2 (p. 366): throughout, ∑SwScS≤1+N/n≤1+(1+1/n)αlog⁡(m2(1+1/n))\sum_S w_S c_S \le 1 + N/n \le 1 + (1 + 1/n)\alpha\log(m^2(1+1/n))∑S​wS​cS​≤1+N/n≤1+(1+1/n)αlog(m2(1+1/n)).
  • Lemma 3.3 (p. 366): a per-set step with cS≤αc_S \le \alphacS​≤α never increases Φ\PhiΦ; in particular the algorithm never fails.

The Proved platform theorem OnlinePrimalDual.OnlineSetCover.algorithm_correctness (the last paragraph of the proof of Theorem 3.4, with the invariant Φ<n2\Phi < n^2Φ<n2 assumed) is included as a supporting reference.

Significance

Theorem 3.4 is the analysis of the subroutine; with the doubling over guesses of α\alphaα described on pp. 364–365 (which loses a factor of at most 4) it yields the paper's deterministic O(log⁡mlog⁡n)O(\log m \log n)O(logmlogn)-competitive algorithm for weighted online set cover. The lower bound of Section 4 shows that no deterministic algorithm can do much better on general instances, so the result is close to the deterministic optimum. The technique, a potential that couples a fractional multiplicative-weights solution to a deterministic rounding, reappears in online covering and packing, online facility location and related problems.

The result is proved in the paper and restated in the Buchbinder–Naor monograph. On Prove2Me, the monograph's final step (from the invariant Φ<n2\Phi < n^2Φ<n2 to the cost bound) is a Proved theorem, and its expectation form of the monotonicity lemma is Disproved because it omits the hypothesis cS≤αc_S \le \alphacS​≤α. Neither the full statement about the algorithm's run nor Lemmas 3.1, 3.2 and the corrected Lemma 3.3 are formalized on the platform. This mission produces them, with the o(1)o(1)o(1) terms replaced by explicit expressions.

Difficulty

The cost bound in the last step is short once two facts about the run are available: that Φ\PhiΦ stays below n2n^2n2, and that the fractional cost ∑SwScS\sum_S w_S c_S∑S​wS​cS​ stays logarithmic. Neither is a local fact about one state. The first requires showing that, at every per-set step, one of the two deterministic choices (add SSS or not) does not increase Φ\PhiΦ; the paper proves this by a probabilistic argument over an auxiliary randomized choice, and the bound on the exponential term depends on the cost of the set being at most α\alphaα. The platform's earlier statement of this lemma, which omits that hypothesis, is Disproved. The second requires a bound on the number of augmentation steps over the whole run, which depends on the run's history and not on any single state. In Lean both are inductions over an operational semantics with real-valued exponentials and powers n2wjn^{2 w_j}n2wj​, where the initial bound Φ<n2\Phi < n^2Φ<n2 is a genuine size condition on nnn and mmm.

Formalization scope

The run is a small-step transition relation. A state records the weights, the cover, the number of augmentation steps begun, the elements not yet given, and the position inside the current step; FAIL is a separate terminal configuration. The order in which a step visits Sj\mathcal S_jSj​ is arbitrary and may differ between steps; every statement holds for every order. "Throughout the algorithm" means every reachable configuration, including those between per-set substeps. Arrival sequences are arbitrary lists (repetitions allowed) of elements covered by COPT\mathcal C_{OPT}COPT​.

Conventions: costs, weights and α\alphaα are real; nnn and mmm are the cardinalities of the finite types cast to R\mathbb RR; log⁡\loglog is Real.log; n2wjn^{2 w_j}n2wj​ and n2/mn^{2/m}n2/m are real powers. The paper's asymptotic expressions are replaced by what its proofs establish:

  • Lemma 3.1: (2+o(1))nαlog⁡m(2 + o(1)) n\alpha\log m(2+o(1))nαlogm becomes (n+1)αlog⁡(m2(1+1/n))(n+1)\alpha\log(m^2(1+1/n))(n+1)αlog(m2(1+1/n));
  • Lemma 3.2: (2+o(1))αlog⁡m(2 + o(1))\alpha\log m(2+o(1))αlogm becomes 1+(1+1/n)αlog⁡(m2(1+1/n))1 + (1+1/n)\alpha\log(m^2(1+1/n))1+(1+1/n)αlog(m2(1+1/n)), together with the intermediate bound 1+N/n1 + N/n1+N/n;
  • Theorem 3.4 (ii): (6+o(1))αlog⁡mlog⁡n(6 + o(1))\alpha\log m\log n(6+o(1))αlogmlogn becomes 3log⁡n (1+(1+1/n)αlog⁡(m2(1+1/n)))+2αlog⁡n3\log n\,(1 + (1+1/n)\alpha\log(m^2(1+1/n))) + 2\alpha\log n3logn(1+(1+1/n)αlog(m2(1+1/n)))+2αlogn;
  • "n and m large" becomes the hypothesis n⋅n2/m+n<n2n \cdot n^{2/m} + n < n^2n⋅n2/m+n<n2 used for the initial potential (it holds, for instance, when n≥4n \ge 4n≥4 and m≥3m \ge 3m≥3).

The goal is a statement about the configurations the algorithm actually reaches from wS=1/m2w_S = 1/m^2wS​=1/m2 and the empty cover. Taking the invariant Φ<n2\Phi < n^2Φ<n2 or the fractional-cost bound as a hypothesis on an arbitrary state would trivialize it, and is ruled out: those are exactly what the milestones establish. The doubling wrapper for unknown α\alphaα is not part of this mission.

A complete development needs an invariant for reachable states (positive weights, steps of an element processed in full), the per-set potential inequality, and the step-counting argument. The per-set inequality is reusable for the monograph's version of the algorithm. Contributions of proofs of any milestone, and of auxiliary invariants as separate lemmas, are welcome.

Selected references

  • N. Alon, B. Awerbuch, Y. Azar, N. Buchbinder, J. Naor, The Online Set Cover Problem, SIAM Journal on Computing 39(2):361–370, 2009. https://doi.org/10.1137/060661946
  • N. Buchbinder, J. Naor, The Design of Competitive Online Algorithms via a Primal–Dual Approach, Foundations and Trends in Theoretical Computer Science 3(2–3):93–263, 2009. https://doi.org/10.1561/0400000024
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The Online Set Cover Problem 3: Every Deterministic Online Algorithm Has Competitive Ratio at Least kr on the Block FamilyResearch Paper

Motivation

In the online set cover problem of Alon, Awerbuch, Azar, Buchbinder and Naor (SIAM J. Comput. 2009; preliminary version STOC 2003), a ground set and a family of subsets are known in advance, but the elements that actually need covering arrive one at a time, and each must be covered on arrival by sets chosen irrevocably. The paper's motivating example is a network of servers with activation costs: the set of potential clients is known, the clients that actually request service are not, and each request must be served on arrival.

The paper gives a deterministic online algorithm whose cost is within a factor O(log⁡mlog⁡n)O(\log m \log n)O(logmlogn) of the offline optimum, where nnn is the number of elements and mmm the number of sets. Its Section 4 shows that this is close to optimal for deterministic algorithms: for all interesting values of mmm and nnn, every deterministic online algorithm has competitive ratio Ω(log⁡nlog⁡m/(log⁡log⁡m+log⁡log⁡n))\Omega\big(\log n \log m / (\log\log m + \log\log n)\big)Ω(lognlogm/(loglogm+loglogn)). The lower bound is the reason the log⁡mlog⁡n\log m \log nlogmlogn product, rather than the ln⁡n\ln nlnn of offline approximation (Feige 1998), is the right target online. The online primal–dual framework that grew out of this paper (Buchbinder and Naor 2009) cites it as the benchmark for online covering problems.

This mission formalizes the exact, non-asymptotic statements behind that lower bound: Propositions 4.1 and 4.2 of the paper.

Setting

A ground set XXX and a family F\mathcal FF of distinct subsets of XXX are fixed and known to the algorithm; m=∣F∣m = |\mathcal F|m=∣F∣. An adversary presents elements x1,x2,…x_1, x_2, \dotsx1​,x2​,… of XXX one by one, choosing each after seeing the algorithm's previous responses. A deterministic online algorithm AAA, on the arrival of xtx_txt​, sees the earlier arrivals (x1,…,xt−1)(x_1, \dots, x_{t-1})(x1​,…,xt−1​) and xtx_txt​, and adds a finite family A((x1,…,xt−1),xt)⊆FA\big((x_1,\dots,x_{t-1}), x_t\big) \subseteq \mathcal FA((x1​,…,xt−1​),xt​)⊆F of sets to its collection; sets are never removed. It is valid if after every arrival that lies in some member of F\mathcal FF, that element lies in a chosen set. After an arrival sequence σ\sigmaσ the chosen collection is CA(σ)\mathcal C_A(\sigma)CA​(σ), and since every set has unit cost, the cost is ∣CA(σ)∣|\mathcal C_A(\sigma)|∣CA​(σ)∣. The offline optimum OPT(σ)\mathrm{OPT}(\sigma)OPT(σ) is the least number of members of F\mathcal FF covering the elements of σ\sigmaσ. The competitive ratio of AAA is at least ρ\rhoρ when some arrival sequence σ\sigmaσ has OPT(σ)≥1\mathrm{OPT}(\sigma) \ge 1OPT(σ)≥1 and ∣CA(σ)∣≥ρ OPT(σ)|\mathcal C_A(\sigma)| \ge \rho\,\mathrm{OPT}(\sigma)∣CA​(σ)∣≥ρOPT(σ).

Two families are used.

  • The bit family: X={0,…,2k−1}X = \{0, \dots, 2^k - 1\}X={0,…,2k−1} and Fi={j:bit i of j is on}F_i = \{ j : \text{bit } i \text{ of } j \text{ is on}\}Fi​={j:bit i of j is on} for 1≤i≤k1 \le i \le k1≤i≤k.
  • The block family: kr2k r^2kr2 disjoint blocks X1,…,Xkr2X_1, \dots, X_{kr^2}X1​,…,Xkr2​ of 2k2^k2k elements each; Xb(t)X_b(t)Xb​(t) is the set of elements of block XbX_bXb​ whose tttth bit is on. For an rrr-set R={b1<⋯<br}R = \{b_1 < \dots < b_r\}R={b1​<⋯<br​} of blocks and bit locations I=(i1,…,ir)I = (i_1, \dots, i_r)I=(i1​,…,ir​),
FR,I=⋃t=1rXbt(it),F_{R,I} = \bigcup_{t=1}^r X_{b_t}(i_t),FR,I​=t=1⋃r​Xbt​​(it​),

and the family consists of all FR,IF_{R,I}FR,I​; it has m=(kr2r)krm = \binom{kr^2}{r} k^rm=(rkr2​)kr members.

Formalization targets

Goal: Proposition 4.2

For all positive integers k,rk, rk,r and all n,mn, mn,m with

n≥2k+1kr2,22kkr2≥m≥(kr2r)kr,n \ge 2^{k+1} k r^2, \qquad 2^{2^k k r^2} \ge m \ge \binom{kr^2}{r} k^r,n≥2k+1kr2,22kkr2≥m≥(rkr2​)kr,

there is a family F\mathcal FF of exactly mmm distinct subsets of an nnn-element set such that for every valid deterministic online algorithm AAA there is a nonempty arrival sequence σ\sigmaσ, covered by a single member of F\mathcal FF, with

∣CA(σ)∣≥kr=kr⋅OPT(σ).|\mathcal C_A(\sigma)| \ge kr = kr \cdot \mathrm{OPT}(\sigma).∣CA​(σ)∣≥kr=kr⋅OPT(σ).

The goal leaves the instance existential, as the paper does, and keeps both bounds on mmm and the bound on nnn exactly as printed.

Milestones

  1. Proposition 4.1. On the bit family, ∣F∣=k|\mathcal F| = k∣F∣=k; every valid deterministic algorithm can be forced to cost kkk on a sequence with OPT=1\mathrm{OPT} = 1OPT=1; and some valid algorithm has cost at most k⋅∣C∣k \cdot |C|k⋅∣C∣ for every offline cover CCC. So the best deterministic competitive ratio is exactly k=log⁡2nk = \log_2 nk=log2​n.
  2. The adversary claim of Section 4 (p. 369). On the block family, every valid deterministic algorithm can be forced to choose krkrkr sets by at most krkrkr arrivals that a single set covers.

A supporting item (not a milestone) records the count ∣F∣=(kr2r)kr|\mathcal F| = \binom{kr^2}{r} k^r∣F∣=(rkr2​)kr of the block family.

Significance

The result. Proposition 4.2 is the exact statement behind the paper's lower bound: choosing rrr of order log⁡m/(log⁡log⁡m+log⁡log⁡n)\log m / (\log\log m + \log\log n)logm/(loglogm+loglogn) and kkk of order log⁡n\log nlogn turns it into the asymptotic bound Ω(log⁡nlog⁡m/(log⁡log⁡m+log⁡log⁡n))\Omega\big(\log n \log m/(\log\log m + \log\log n)\big)Ω(lognlogm/(loglogm+loglogn)), which shows that the paper's O(log⁡mlog⁡n)O(\log m \log n)O(logmlogn) algorithm is optimal among deterministic algorithms up to a log⁡log⁡m+log⁡log⁡n\log\log m + \log\log nloglogm+loglogn factor. Without it, the gap between the ln⁡n\ln nlnn achievable offline and the log⁡mlog⁡n\log m \log nlogmlogn achieved online would be unexplained. Proposition 4.1 alone gives the matching bound log⁡2n\log_2 nlog2​n when m=log⁡2nm = \log_2 nm=log2​n.

Formalizing it. Both propositions are proved in the paper; neither is formalized anywhere to our knowledge. The mission produces a reusable model of deterministic online algorithms against an adaptive adversary, with a validity notion and a cost, and machine-checked adversary arguments on it. The paper's proof tacitly lets the algorithm add one set per arrival; the statements here cover algorithms that add any number of sets per arrival, so a complete formalization also closes that gap.

Difficulty

The adversary must be adaptive, and the quantifiers are ordered instance, then algorithm, then arrival sequence. The obvious single-block argument (Proposition 4.1) forces only kkk sets. To force krkrkr sets with OPT=1\mathrm{OPT} = 1OPT=1, the adversary must move to blocks that no chosen set has touched yet, which requires counting the blocks touched by the sets chosen so far. When an algorithm adds many sets at once, the paper's count "at most 1+(r−1)k1 + (r-1)k1+(r−1)k blocks after kkk steps" no longer applies as written, and the stopping rule has to be phrased in terms of the cost already paid. The padding of Proposition 4.2 must reach exactly nnn elements and exactly mmm distinct sets without creating sets that help cover the adversary's elements.

Formalization scope

The ground set is a Fin type: Fin (2^k) for Proposition 4.1, Fin (k r²) × Fin (2^k) (block, element) for the block family, Fin n for Proposition 4.2. A family is a Finset (Finset X), so its cardinality counts distinct sets. Bit iii (1-based) of jjj is Nat.testBit j (i-1). An online algorithm is a function from (earlier arrivals in arrival order, current element) to the finite family of sets it adds; it may add any number of sets. Validity demands coverage only for elements that some member of the family contains. Costs are unit (the problem of Section 4 is unweighted).

The offline optimum is never encoded as an infimum: lower bounds exhibit a nonempty arrival sequence and a single covering set (OPT=1\mathrm{OPT} = 1OPT=1), and the upper bound of Proposition 4.1 quantifies over all offline covers. This rules out the trivializing reading in which the empty arrival sequence satisfies cost≥kr⋅OPT\text{cost} \ge kr \cdot \mathrm{OPT}cost≥kr⋅OPT as 0≥00 \ge 00≥0.

The statements contain no O(⋅)O(\cdot)O(⋅): every quantity is the paper's exact one. The asymptotic bound (8) under the range (7), whose final paragraph only sketches the choice of rrr and kkk, is excluded, as are the remarks on the trivial ratio-mmm and O(n)O(\sqrt n)O(n​) algorithms.

Contributions welcome: proofs of the milestones; lemmas on the chosen collection (monotonicity, decomposition along a sequence); the count of the block family; and the padding construction of Proposition 4.2. The online-algorithm model is reusable for other deterministic online covering lower bounds.

Selected references

  • N. Alon, B. Awerbuch, Y. Azar, N. Buchbinder, J. Naor, The Online Set Cover Problem, SIAM J. Comput. 39(2):361–370, 2009. https://doi.org/10.1137/060661946
  • N. Alon, B. Awerbuch, Y. Azar, N. Buchbinder, J. Naor, The online set cover problem, Proc. 35th ACM STOC, 2003, pp. 100–105. https://doi.org/10.1145/780542.780558
  • U. Feige, A threshold of ln n for approximating set cover, J. ACM 45(4):634–652, 1998. https://doi.org/10.1145/285055.285059
  • N. Buchbinder, J. Naor, The Design of Competitive Online Algorithms via a Primal–Dual Approach, Foundations and Trends in Theoretical Computer Science 3(2–3):93–263, 2009. https://doi.org/10.1561/0400000024
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The Online Set Cover Problem 1: A Deterministic O(log m log n)-Competitive Algorithm for Unweighted Online Set CoverResearch Paper

Motivation

Set cover asks for the fewest sets from a family S\mathcal SS of mmm subsets of a ground set XXX of nnn elements whose union contains XXX. It is NP-hard, and the best ratio achievable in polynomial time is Θ(log⁡n)\Theta(\log n)Θ(logn) (Feige 1998, doi:10.1145/285055.285059).

Alon, Awerbuch, Azar, Buchbinder and Naor (SIAM J. Comput. 39(2), 2009; preliminary version STOC 2003) introduced an online version. The instance (X,S)(X,\mathcal S)(X,S) is known in advance, but an adversary reveals elements one at a time, and each revealed element must be covered at once, by sets that can never be removed later. The set X′⊆XX'\subseteq XX′⊆X of elements that will actually be revealed is unknown. The paper's motivating example is a network of servers: the potential clients and the servers that can serve each client are known, but which clients will request service is not, and every activated server costs money.

The question is how much an algorithm loses against an offline adversary who knows X′X'X′ and covers it with a family COPT\mathcal C_{OPT}COPT​. This mission formalizes the paper's answer for unit costs (Section 2): a deterministic algorithm whose cover is within a factor O(log⁡mlog⁡n)O(\log m\log n)O(logmlogn) of ∣COPT∣|\mathcal C_{OPT}|∣COPT​∣. Section 3 of the paper extends the algorithm to weighted sets and Section 4 proves a nearly matching lower bound; those are separate missions of this series.

Setting

An instance consists of a finite ground set XXX with n=∣X∣n=|X|n=∣X∣ elements and a finite family S\mathcal SS of m=∣S∣m=|\mathcal S|m=∣S∣ sets. For an element jjj, Sj\mathcal S_jSj​ is the collection of sets containing jjj. Every set has cost 111, so the cost of a family is its number of members.

The adversary gives a sequence σ\sigmaσ of elements (the given elements form X′X'X′). A family COPT⊆S\mathcal C_{OPT}\subseteq\mathcal SCOPT​⊆S covers σ\sigmaσ if each element of σ\sigmaσ lies in some member of it.

The algorithm keeps a weight wS>0w_S>0wS​>0 for every set, initially wS=1/(2m)w_S=1/(2m)wS​=1/(2m), and a cover C\mathcal CC, initially empty. The weight of an element is wj=∑S∈SjwSw_j=\sum_{S\in\mathcal S_j}w_Swj​=∑S∈Sj​​wS​, and CCC is the set of elements covered by members of C\mathcal CC. The potential is

Φ=∑j∉Cn2wj.\Phi=\sum_{j\notin C}n^{2w_j}.Φ=j∈/C∑​n2wj​.

When the adversary gives an element jjj:

  1. if wj≥1w_j\ge1wj​≥1, nothing changes;
  2. otherwise a weight augmentation is performed: (a) kkk is the minimal integer with 2kwj>12^k w_j>12kwj​>1; (b) every S∈SjS\in\mathcal S_jS∈Sj​ gets the weight 2kwS2^k w_S2kwS​; (c) at most 4log⁡n4\log n4logn sets from Sj\mathcal S_jSj​ are added to C\mathcal CC, so that Φ\PhiΦ does not exceed its value before the augmentation.

Step (c) prescribes a property of the chosen sets, not the sets themselves. A run on σ\sigmaσ is any sequence of iterations, one per arrival, in which every iteration makes an admissible choice.

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem 2.3

For n≥2n\ge2n≥2, every arrival sequence σ\sigmaσ, and every family COPT\mathcal C_{OPT}COPT​ covering σ\sigmaσ: a run of the algorithm on σ\sigmaσ exists, and every run ends with a cover C\mathcal CC that covers every element of σ\sigmaσ and satisfies

∣C∣  ≤  ⌈4ln⁡n⌉⋅∣COPT∣⋅(log⁡2m+2).|\mathcal C|\;\le\;\lceil 4\ln n\rceil\cdot|\mathcal C_{OPT}|\cdot(\log_2 m+2).∣C∣≤⌈4lnn⌉⋅∣COPT​∣⋅(log2​m+2).

The paper states ∣C∣=O(∣COPT∣log⁡mlog⁡n)|\mathcal C|=O(|\mathcal C_{OPT}|\log m\log n)∣C∣=O(∣COPT​∣logmlogn); the displayed bound is the constant its proof produces. Because the bound holds for every covering family, it holds in particular for an optimal one.

Milestones

Lemma 2.1. In every run, the number of iterations with a weight augmentation is at most

∣COPT∣⋅(log⁡2m+2).|\mathcal C_{OPT}|\cdot(\log_2 m+2).∣COPT​∣⋅(log2​m+2).

Lemma 2.2. In an iteration with a weight augmentation, from a state with positive weights, there is a family F⊆SjF\subseteq\mathcal S_jF⊆Sj​ with ∣F∣≤⌈4ln⁡n⌉|F|\le\lceil4\ln n\rceil∣F∣≤⌈4lnn⌉ such that

Φe≤Φs,\Phi_e\le\Phi_s,Φe​≤Φs​,

where Φs\Phi_sΦs​ is the potential before the iteration and Φe\Phi_eΦe​ the potential after it, computed with the augmented weights and the cover C∪F\mathcal C\cup FC∪F.

Significance

The theorem shows that online set cover over a known instance admits a deterministic O(log⁡mlog⁡n)O(\log m\log n)O(logmlogn)-competitive algorithm. Section 4 of the paper shows this is nearly optimal: no deterministic algorithm achieves o ⁣(log⁡mlog⁡nlog⁡log⁡m+log⁡log⁡n)o\!\left(\frac{\log m\log n}{\log\log m+\log\log n}\right)o(loglogm+loglognlogmlogn​) over a wide range of parameters. Its multiplicative weight updates were developed further into the online primal–dual framework for covering problems of Buchbinder and Naor (FnT TCS 3(2–3), 2009), whose Section 5.1 restates this algorithm.

The result is proved in the paper; it is not machine-checked. The Prove2Me platform has the weighted version's final counting step from the Buchbinder–Naor monograph, but no statement of Section 2. A complete development here gives a checked proof of the unweighted competitive ratio with an explicit constant, together with a reusable formal model of an online algorithm with a nondeterministic step, whose correctness includes the existence of an admissible choice at every step.

Difficulty

The central step is Lemma 2.2: a family of at most ⌈4ln⁡n⌉\lceil4\ln n\rceil⌈4lnn⌉ sets that keeps the potential from increasing must exist at every augmentation. The obvious rules fail. Adding every set of Sj\mathcal S_jSj​ can exceed the cardinality bound, since Sj\mathcal S_jSj​ may contain up to mmm sets. Adding nothing, or a single set, can increase Φ\PhiΦ: every uncovered element sharing a set with jjj has its weight raised, and its term n2wn^{2w}n2w grows by a factor up to n2δn^{2\delta}n2δ. The paper's argument is non-constructive, and a formal proof must establish existence for a finite averaging statement over real powers of nnn.

The second difficulty is that the algorithm is nondeterministic. A statement "every run has property P" is empty if no run exists, and the existence of a run is exactly Lemma 2.2 applied at every step under the invariants that weights stay positive and that each arriving element lies in some set. Feasibility (that every given element ends up covered) is not part of the algorithm's rule; it follows from the potential never increasing, which needs n≥2n\ge2n≥2 and a careful treatment of the initial potential, which is at most n2n^2n2 and equals n2n^2n2 when every element lies in every set.

Formalization scope

The instance is the published OnlinePrimalDual.OnlineSetCover.SetCoverInstance (finite types E of elements and T of set indices, incidence elemSets), with the published elementWeight (wjw_jwj​) and coveredBy (j∈Cj\in Cj∈C). Its positive cost field is not used: all sets have unit cost and the cover is measured by its cardinality. n=∣E∣n=|E|n=∣E∣ and m=∣T∣m=|T|m=∣T∣. Weights are real numbers; n2wjn^{2w_j}n2wj​ is the real power.

The algorithm is the definition OnlineSetCover.Unweighted.Algorithm: a relation Step for one iteration (recording whether a weight augmentation occurred) and Run for a sequence of iterations from the initial state, counting augmentations. Arrival sequences are lists and may repeat elements.

Explicit forms of the paper's asymptotic and unspecified quantities:

  • the paper's "4log⁡n4\log n4logn" sets per augmentation is ⌈4ln⁡n⌉\lceil 4\ln n\rceil⌈4lnn⌉ (natural logarithm, rounded up: the proof repeats a random choice that many times and needs (1−δ/2)4log⁡n≤n−2δ(1-\delta/2)^{4\log n}\le n^{-2\delta}(1−δ/2)4logn≤n−2δ);
  • Lemma 2.1's log⁡m+2\log m+2logm+2 is log⁡2m+2=log⁡2(4m)\log_2 m+2=\log_2(4m)log2​m+2=log2​(4m) (weights grow from 1/(2m)1/(2m)1/(2m) to at most 222 by factors at least 222);
  • Theorem 2.3's O(∣COPT∣log⁡mlog⁡n)O(|\mathcal C_{OPT}|\log m\log n)O(∣COPT​∣logmlogn) is ⌈4ln⁡n⌉⋅∣COPT∣⋅(log⁡2m+2)\lceil4\ln n\rceil\cdot|\mathcal C_{OPT}|\cdot(\log_2 m+2)⌈4lnn⌉⋅∣COPT​∣⋅(log2​m+2);
  • kkk ranges over natural numbers; for wj<1w_j<1wj​<1 the minimal integer with 2kwj>12^kw_j>12kwj​>1 is one;
  • the paper's remark "(Clearly, 2k⋅wj<22^k\cdot w_j<22k⋅wj​<2.)" is not encoded; the correct bound is ≤2\le2≤2 (wj=1/2w_j=1/2wj​=1/2 gives k=2k=2k=2) and is not a hypothesis anywhere.

The goal adds the hypothesis n≥2n\ge2n≥2, which the paper's log⁡n\log nlogn assumes tacitly: for n=1n=1n=1 no set may be added and the element is never covered.

Replacing the algorithm by the set of states whose potential is at most the initial one, or dropping the existence of a run from the goal, gives a weaker theorem; part (a) of the goal rules this out.

A complete development needs elementary real analysis (Real.rpow, Real.log, 1−x≤e−x1-x\le e^{-x}1−x≤e−x), a finite probabilistic or averaging argument for Lemma 2.2, and induction over runs. Contributions are welcome on any milestone; a derandomized averaging lemma for Lemma 2.2 would be reusable in the weighted mission of this series.

Selected references

  • N. Alon, B. Awerbuch, Y. Azar, N. Buchbinder, J. Naor, The Online Set Cover Problem, SIAM J. Comput. 39(2):361–370, 2009. https://doi.org/10.1137/060661946
  • U. Feige, A Threshold of ln n for Approximating Set Cover, J. ACM 45(4):634–652, 1998. https://doi.org/10.1145/285055.285059
  • N. Buchbinder, J. Naor, The Design of Competitive Online Algorithms via a Primal–Dual Approach, Foundations and Trends in Theoretical Computer Science 3(2–3):93–263, 2009. https://doi.org/10.1561/0400000024
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Probability·Captain: mikedeng1

Conditional Logit Analysis of Qualitative Choice Behavior 1: Independence of Irrelevant Alternatives with a Universal Benchmark Yields Logit Selection ProbabilitiesResearch Paper

Motivation

The conditional logit model is the workhorse of discrete choice analysis: it is used to forecast travel mode shares, to estimate demand for differentiated products, and, in operations research, as the multinomial logit (MNL) choice model behind assortment optimization and revenue management. Its selection probabilities have the form P(x∣s,B)=ev(s,x)/∑y∈Bev(s,y)P(x\mid s,B) = e^{v(s,x)}/\sum_{y\in B} e^{v(s,y)}P(x∣s,B)=ev(s,x)/∑y∈B​ev(s,y). Daniel McFadden's 1974 chapter Conditional Logit Analysis of Qualitative Choice Behavior gave the model two behavioural foundations, one of which is the subject of this mission: the logit form is a consequence of a single axiom on how choice probabilities change when the set of available alternatives changes.

That axiom is Luce's choice axiom, which McFadden calls Independence of Irrelevant Alternatives (IIA): the relative odds of choosing one alternative over another do not depend on which other alternatives are present. Luce (1959) introduced it; McFadden (1974, §I) showed how, together with positivity and a mild condition on which alternative sets can occur, it yields the conditional logit form with a "utility indicator" v(s,x)v(s,x)v(s,x) shared by all alternative sets.

Timeline. Luce, Individual Choice Behavior (1959): the choice axiom and its ratio-scale representation. McFadden (1974, pp. 109–110): the derivation in the econometric setting with measured attributes sss, the binary-odds identities (5)–(10), and footnote 3, which removes an extra axiom (Axiom 3) by a universal benchmark alternative. McFadden (1974, pp. 111–112): the companion random-utility characterization by extreme-value shocks, treated in mission 2 of this series.

Setting

Let XXX be the universe of objects of choice and SSS the universe of vectors of measured attributes of decision-makers. An alternative set is a finite set B⊆XB\subseteq XB⊆X; a designated family of finite sets is the family of possible alternative sets. The selection probability P(x∣s,B)P(x\mid s,B)P(x∣s,B) is the probability that an individual drawn at random from the population, with attributes sss and facing BBB, chooses x∈Bx\in Bx∈B. For every sss and possible BBB, x↦P(x∣s,B)x\mapsto P(x\mid s,B)x↦P(x∣s,B) is a probability vector on BBB. Whenever x≠yx\neq yx=y belong to a possible set, the pair {x,y}\{x,y\}{x,y} is possible too, so binary choices are defined.

  • Axiom 1 (IIA). For all possible BBB, all sss and all x,y∈Bx,y\in Bx,y∈B: P(x∣s,{x,y})P(y∣s,B)=P(y∣s,{x,y})P(x∣s,B)P(x\mid s,\{x,y\})P(y\mid s,B) = P(y\mid s,\{x,y\})P(x\mid s,B)P(x∣s,{x,y})P(y∣s,B)=P(y∣s,{x,y})P(x∣s,B).
  • Axiom 2 (Positivity). P(x∣s,B)>0P(x\mid s,B)>0P(x∣s,B)>0 for all possible BBB, all sss, all x∈Bx\in Bx∈B.
  • Binary probabilities. pxy=P(x∣s,{x,y})p_{xy}=P(x\mid s,\{x,y\})pxy​=P(x∣s,{x,y}) for x≠yx\neq yx=y, and pxx=12p_{xx}=\tfrac12pxx​=21​ by definition.
  • The function VVV. V(s,x,z)=log⁡(pxz/pzx)V(s,x,z)=\log(p_{xz}/p_{zx})V(s,x,z)=log(pxz​/pzx​).
  • Universal benchmark. An alternative zzz such that B∪{z}B\cup\{z\}B∪{z} is possible whenever BBB is.

In Lean these are IsSelectionProb, PairsPossible, Axiom1, Axiom2, binProb, altSetV and IsUniversalBenchmark in the namespace McFadden1974.IIA.

Formalization targets

Goal: footnote 3 with Equation (12)

Under Axioms 1 and 2 and a universal benchmark zzz, with v(s,x)=V(s,x,z)v(s,x)=V(s,x,z)v(s,x)=V(s,x,z), for every sss, every possible BBB (containing zzz or not) and every x∈Bx\in Bx∈B:

P(x∣s,B)=ev(s,x)∑y∈Bev(s,y).P(x\mid s,B) = \frac{e^{v(s,x)}}{\sum_{y\in B} e^{v(s,y)}}.P(x∣s,B)=∑y∈B​ev(s,y)ev(s,x)​.

The function vvv is the same for all alternative sets; this is what distinguishes the goal from Equation (10).

Milestones, in the paper's order

  1. Equation (5): for x≠yx\neq yx=y in BBB with P(x∣s,B)>0P(x\mid s,B)>0P(x∣s,B)>0, Axiom 1 gives P(x∣s,{x,y})>0P(x\mid s,\{x,y\})>0P(x∣s,{x,y})>0 and P(y∣s,{x,y})P(x∣s,{x,y})=P(y∣s,B)P(x∣s,B)\dfrac{P(y\mid s,\{x,y\})}{P(x\mid s,\{x,y\})}=\dfrac{P(y\mid s,B)}{P(x\mid s,B)}P(x∣s,{x,y})P(y∣s,{x,y})​=P(x∣s,B)P(y∣s,B)​.
  2. Equations (6)–(7): P(y∣s,B)=pyxpxyP(x∣s,B)P(y\mid s,B)=\dfrac{p_{yx}}{p_{xy}}P(x\mid s,B)P(y∣s,B)=pxy​pyx​​P(x∣s,B) and 1=(∑y∈Bpyxpxy)P(x∣s,B)1=\Big(\sum_{y\in B}\dfrac{p_{yx}}{p_{xy}}\Big)P(x\mid s,B)1=(∑y∈B​pxy​pyx​​)P(x∣s,B).
  3. Equation (8): P(x∣s,B)=1/∑y∈B(pyx/pxy)P(x\mid s,B)=1\big/\sum_{y\in B}(p_{yx}/p_{xy})P(x∣s,B)=1/∑y∈B​(pyx​/pxy​).
  4. Equation (9): pyxpxy=pyz/pzypxz/pzx\dfrac{p_{yx}}{p_{xy}}=\dfrac{p_{yz}/p_{zy}}{p_{xz}/p_{zx}}pxy​pyx​​=pxz​/pzx​pyz​/pzy​​ for x,y,zx,y,zx,y,z in a possible set.
  5. Equation (10): for a benchmark z∈Bz\in Bz∈B, P(x∣s,B)=eV(s,x,z)/∑y∈BeV(s,y,z)P(x\mid s,B)=e^{V(s,x,z)}\big/\sum_{y\in B}e^{V(s,y,z)}P(x∣s,B)=eV(s,x,z)/∑y∈B​eV(s,y,z).

Significance

The result. The goal identifies a testable axiom on choice probabilities, IIA, with a parametric functional form, the conditional logit model. It is what licenses the econometric specification v(s,x)=θ′z(s,x)v(s,x)=\theta'z(s,x)v(s,x)=θ′z(s,x) estimated in the rest of McFadden's chapter, and it is the reason the MNL model is the default in assortment and pricing problems in operations research. It also makes the model's limitations precise: any population whose choices violate IIA (the auto/red-bus/blue-bus example on p. 113 of the chapter) cannot be logit.

Formalizing it. The result is classical and proved on paper. No machine-checked statement of it exists on the platform, which has the logit form only as a definition (soft-max, MNL revenue) and IIA only in Arrow's social-choice sense, a different axiom about preference aggregation. This mission produces a formal statement of the derivation with every standing assumption explicit, including two the paper leaves implicit: that selection probabilities are normalized on binary sets, and that binary subsets of possible sets are possible.

Difficulty

The algebra is elementary; the difficulty is bookkeeping of where each axiom may be applied. Axioms 1 and 2 are assumed only on possible alternative sets. Equation (10) needs the benchmark to lie in the alternative set, and the naive argument "pick z∈Bz\in Bz∈B as benchmark" produces a function V(s,x,z)V(s,x,z)V(s,x,z) that depends on the set through the choice of zzz. The goal requires a single vvv for all sets, including sets that do not contain zzz, where neither Equation (10) nor the axioms on BBB alone say anything about zzz. A second subtlety is the diagonal: {x,x}={x}\{x,x\}=\{x\}{x,x}={x}, so pxxp_{xx}pxx​ is set to 12\tfrac1221​ by definition rather than read off a singleton choice.

Formalization scope

Alternatives form a type X with decidable equality, alternative sets are Finset X, possible sets are a Set (Finset X), and selection probabilities are a real-valued function P : S → Finset X → X → ℝ. Only values P s B x with x ∈ B and B possible are constrained; no statement depends on the others. binProb sets the diagonal to 1/2. altSetV uses Real.log, which is 0 on non-positive arguments; under Axiom 2 on the binary sets its argument is always positive where it is used.

The probability-vector hypothesis on every possible set, binary sets included, is part of every statement: without it the zero function satisfies Axiom 1 vacuously and Equations (7)–(8) fail. The goal is stated with the explicit v(s,x)=V(s,x,z)v(s,x)=V(s,x,z)v(s,x)=V(s,x,z), never as "for each BBB there is a vvv", which would only restate (10).

Nothing beyond Mathlib's finite sums, Real.exp and Real.log is needed. Proofs of the milestones and of the goal are welcome, as is a formal statement of the auto/bus example or of the converse (logit selection probabilities satisfy Axioms 1 and 2).

Selected references

  • D. McFadden, Conditional logit analysis of qualitative choice behavior, in P. Zarembka (ed.), Frontiers in Econometrics, Academic Press, New York, 1974, pp. 105–142. https://eml.berkeley.edu/reprints/mcfadden/zarembka.pdf
  • R. D. Luce, Individual Choice Behavior: A Theoretical Analysis, Wiley, New York, 1959. https://doi.org/10.1037/14396-000
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CombinatoricsOptimizationTheoretical Computer Science·Captain: mikedeng1

A Tight Linear Time (1/2)-Approximation for Unconstrained Submodular Maximization 1: Deterministic Double Greedy Achieves 1/3 of the OptimumResearch Paper

Motivation

A set function f:2N→Rf : 2^{\mathcal N} \to \mathbb Rf:2N→R on a finite ground set N\mathcal NN is submodular if it has diminishing returns, equivalently if f(A)+f(B)≥f(A∪B)+f(A∩B)f(A) + f(B) \ge f(A \cup B) + f(A \cap B)f(A)+f(B)≥f(A∪B)+f(A∩B) for all A,B⊆NA, B \subseteq \mathcal NA,B⊆N. Cut functions of graphs and hypergraphs, coverage functions, entropy, and many facility-location and welfare objectives are submodular. Unconstrained Submodular Maximization (USM) asks, given a nonnegative submodular fff through a value oracle, for a set S⊆NS \subseteq \mathcal NS⊆N of maximum value. It contains Max-Cut, Max-DiCut and Max Facility Location as special cases, and it is a subroutine in algorithms for constrained submodular maximization.

Timeline:

  • Feige, Mirrokni and Vondrák (FOCS 2007; SIAM J. Comput. 2011) gave a uniformly random set achieving 1/41/41/4 of the optimum, a deterministic local search achieving 1/3−ε/n1/3 - \varepsilon/n1/3−ε/n, a randomized local search achieving 2/52/52/5, and proved that no algorithm making polynomially many value queries achieves 1/2+ε1/2 + \varepsilon1/2+ε.
  • Oveis Gharan and Vondrák (SODA 2011) improved the ratio to about 0.410.410.41 by simulated annealing; Feldman, Naor and Schwartz (ICALP 2011) to about 0.420.420.42.
  • Buchbinder, Feldman, Naor and Schwartz (FOCS 2012; SIAM J. Comput. 2015) gave the double greedy algorithms: a deterministic linear-time 1/31/31/3-approximation (this mission) and a randomized linear-time 1/21/21/2-approximation, matching the query lower bound.

Setting

Let N\mathcal NN be a finite ground set and f:2N→R≥0f : 2^{\mathcal N} \to \mathbb R_{\ge 0}f:2N→R≥0​ a nonnegative submodular function. Write f(OPT)=max⁡S⊆Nf(S)f(OPT) = \max_{S \subseteq \mathcal N} f(S)f(OPT)=maxS⊆N​f(S), and let OPTOPTOPT denote a set attaining it.

Algorithm 1 (DeterministicUSM) fixes an arbitrary order u1,…,unu_1, \dots, u_nu1​,…,un​ of N\mathcal NN and maintains two solutions, starting from X0=∅X_0 = \emptysetX0​=∅ and Y0=NY_0 = \mathcal NY0​=N. In iteration i=1,…,ni = 1, \dots, ni=1,…,n it computes

ai=f(Xi−1∪{ui})−f(Xi−1),bi=f(Yi−1∖{ui})−f(Yi−1).a_i = f(X_{i-1} \cup \{u_i\}) - f(X_{i-1}), \qquad b_i = f(Y_{i-1} \setminus \{u_i\}) - f(Y_{i-1}).ai​=f(Xi−1​∪{ui​})−f(Xi−1​),bi​=f(Yi−1​∖{ui​})−f(Yi−1​).

If ai≥bia_i \ge b_iai​≥bi​ it sets Xi=Xi−1∪{ui}X_i = X_{i-1} \cup \{u_i\}Xi​=Xi−1​∪{ui​}, Yi=Yi−1Y_i = Y_{i-1}Yi​=Yi−1​; otherwise Xi=Xi−1X_i = X_{i-1}Xi​=Xi−1​, Yi=Yi−1∖{ui}Y_i = Y_{i-1} \setminus \{u_i\}Yi​=Yi−1​∖{ui​}. A tie adds uiu_iui​. After nnn iterations Xn=YnX_n = Y_nXn​=Yn​, which is the output.

The analysis uses the hybrid sets OPTi=(OPT∪Xi)∩YiOPT_i = (OPT \cup X_i) \cap Y_iOPTi​=(OPT∪Xi​)∩Yi​, which agree with XiX_iXi​ and YiY_iYi​ on u1,…,uiu_1, \dots, u_iu1​,…,ui​ and with OPTOPTOPT on ui+1,…,unu_{i+1}, \dots, u_nui+1​,…,un​. In Lean, the run is state f l i, the state (Xi,Yi)(X_i, Y_i)(Xi​,Yi​) after the first iii entries of the order l, and OPTiOPT_iOPTi​ is optI O (state f l i).

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem I.1

For every nonnegative submodular fff and every order of N\mathcal NN,

Xn=Ynandf(OPT)≤3 f(Xn).X_n = Y_n \qquad\text{and}\qquad f(OPT) \le 3\, f(X_n).Xn​=Yn​andf(OPT)≤3f(Xn​).

Milestones

  1. Lemma II.1. For every 1≤i≤n1 \le i \le n1≤i≤n, ai+bi≥0a_i + b_i \ge 0ai​+bi​≥0.
  2. The hybrid sequence. OPTiOPT_iOPTi​ agrees with Xi,YiX_i, Y_iXi​,Yi​ on u1,…,uiu_1, \dots, u_iu1​,…,ui​ and with OPTOPTOPT on the rest; OPT0=OPTOPT_0 = OPTOPT0​=OPT and OPTn=Xn=YnOPT_n = X_n = Y_nOPTn​=Xn​=Yn​.
  3. Lemma II.2. For every 1≤i≤n1 \le i \le n1≤i≤n,
f(OPTi−1)−f(OPTi)≤[f(Xi)−f(Xi−1)]+[f(Yi)−f(Yi−1)].f(OPT_{i-1}) - f(OPT_i) \le [f(X_i) - f(X_{i-1})] + [f(Y_i) - f(Y_{i-1})].f(OPTi−1​)−f(OPTi​)≤[f(Xi​)−f(Xi−1​)]+[f(Yi​)−f(Yi−1​)].
  1. The telescoped display. f(OPT0)−f(OPTn)≤[f(Xn)−f(X0)]+[f(Yn)−f(Y0)]≤f(Xn)+f(Yn)f(OPT_0) - f(OPT_n) \le [f(X_n) - f(X_0)] + [f(Y_n) - f(Y_0)] \le f(X_n) + f(Y_n)f(OPT0​)−f(OPTn​)≤[f(Xn​)−f(X0​)]+[f(Yn​)−f(Y0​)]≤f(Xn​)+f(Yn​).
  2. Theorem II.3 (tightness). For every ε>0\varepsilon > 0ε>0 there is a nonnegative submodular fff with f(OPT)>0f(OPT) > 0f(OPT)>0 and an order on which f(Xn)≤(1/3+ε) f(OPT)f(X_n) \le (1/3 + \varepsilon)\, f(OPT)f(Xn​)≤(1/3+ε)f(OPT).

Significance

The result. Algorithm 1 is the deterministic member of the double greedy family. It makes one pass over the ground set with four value queries per element, and it guarantees 1/31/31/3 of the optimum for every order, without the polynomial-but-large running time and the ε/n\varepsilon/nε/n loss of local search. Its analysis, which charges the decrease of f(OPTi)f(OPT_i)f(OPTi​) to the increases of f(Xi)f(X_i)f(Xi​) and f(Yi)f(Y_i)f(Yi​), is the template the paper then refines into the randomized 1/21/21/2-approximation (Theorem I.2) and its continuous counterpart on the multilinear extension. Theorem II.3 shows that 1/31/31/3 is the exact ratio of this algorithm, so the improvement to 1/21/21/2 requires randomization (or a different deterministic rule) rather than a sharper analysis.

Formalizing it. The theorem is proved in the paper; to our knowledge it has no machine-checked proof. The mission produces a formal statement of the algorithm as printed, a checked proof of its guarantee for every order, and a checked tight instance. The definitions of the run and of OPTiOPT_iOPTi​ are the same objects the randomized and fractional analyses reason about, so a complete development here is the first step toward the paper's main theorem.

Difficulty

The individual inequalities are short; the difficulty lies in the bookkeeping. Each step needs the invariants Xi−1⊆Yi−1X_{i-1} \subseteq Y_{i-1}Xi−1​⊆Yi−1​ and ui∈Yi−1∖Xi−1u_i \in Y_{i-1} \setminus X_{i-1}ui​∈Yi−1​∖Xi−1​, which follow from the order being an enumeration (no repetitions, every element present), and the identification of OPTiOPT_iOPTi​ from OPTi−1OPT_{i-1}OPTi−1​ in each branch of the algorithm. Summing Lemma II.2 needs a telescoping over the run defined as a fold. The naive idea of comparing f(Xn)f(X_n)f(Xn​) with f(OPT)f(OPT)f(OPT) directly, without the hybrid sets, gives no bound: the greedy choices are made against XXX and YYY, not against OPTOPTOPT. For Theorem II.3 the difficulty is producing an explicit instance, checking that it is submodular and nonnegative, and tracing the run, including the ties, which the algorithm resolves by adding.

Formalization scope

  • The ground set is a finite type X with decidable equality; subsets are Finset X; fff is real valued, Finset X → ℝ, and nonnegativity is the hypothesis ∀ S, 0 ≤ f S where the page uses it (the goal, the telescoped display and the tight example). Lemma II.1, Lemma II.2 and the hybrid-sequence milestone do not assume it.
  • Submodularity is the lattice form f(A)+f(B)≥f(A∪B)+f(A∩B)f(A) + f(B) \ge f(A \cup B) + f(A \cap B)f(A)+f(B)≥f(A∪B)+f(A∩B) of the paper's footnote 1, through the published definition NonmonotoneSubmod.Shared.Submodular. The paper's main-text sentence ("for every A⊆B⊆NA \subseteq B \subseteq \mathcal NA⊆B⊆N and u∈Nu \in \mathcal Nu∈N") would force monotonicity when u∈B∖Au \in B \setminus Au∈B∖A and is read as the footnote. f(OPT)f(OPT)f(OPT) is the published NonmonotoneSubmod.Shared.OPT f, the maximum of fff over all subsets.
  • The order u1,…,unu_1, \dots, u_nu1​,…,un​ is a list l with l.Nodup and ∀ x, x ∈ l; uiu_iui​ is l[i - 1]. Every statement quantifies over all such lists. No nonemptiness of N\mathcal NN is assumed: for an empty ground set the goal reads f(∅)≤3f(∅)f(\emptyset) \le 3 f(\emptyset)f(∅)≤3f(∅).
  • The tie rule is line 5's ai≥bia_i \ge b_iai​≥bi​: ties add uiu_iui​.
  • Where a milestone mentions an optimal solution, it takes a set O with ∀ S, f S ≤ f O.
  • The goal is stated multiplied out, f(OPT)≤3f(Xn)f(OPT) \le 3 f(X_n)f(OPT)≤3f(Xn​), because f(OPT)f(OPT)f(OPT) may be 000.
  • Trivializing formalizations ruled out. The paper's Theorem I.1 reads "there exists a deterministic linear time (1/3)(1/3)(1/3)-approximation algorithm"; without the running time that existential is satisfied by exhaustive search, so the goal is the guarantee of the printed Algorithm 1 for every order. Running time is not formalized: the algorithm evaluates fff on four sets per element, nnn elements in all. Theorem II.3 requires f(OPT)>0f(OPT) > 0f(OPT)>0, without which f≡0f \equiv 0f≡0 would satisfy it.
  • Needed infrastructure: elementary lemmas on List.foldl over List.take, on membership in the states of the run, and on telescoping sums over 1≤i≤n1 \le i \le n1≤i≤n. A reusable lemma "the run keeps Xi⊆YiX_i \subseteq Y_iXi​⊆Yi​ and decides exactly u1,…,uiu_1, \dots, u_iu1​,…,ui​" would serve all three missions of this paper. Contributions of proofs of any milestone, of the goal from the milestones, and of the tight instance (e.g. the paper's five-vertex directed cut function) are welcome.

Selected references

  • N. Buchbinder, M. Feldman, J. Naor, R. Schwartz, A Tight Linear Time (1/2)-Approximation for Unconstrained Submodular Maximization, FOCS 2012. https://doi.org/10.1109/FOCS.2012.73 (journal version: SIAM J. Comput. 44(5), 2015, https://doi.org/10.1137/130929205)
  • U. Feige, V. S. Mirrokni, J. Vondrák, Maximizing Non-monotone Submodular Functions, SIAM J. Comput. 40(4), 2011. https://doi.org/10.1137/090779346
  • S. Oveis Gharan, J. Vondrák, Submodular Maximization by Simulated Annealing, SODA 2011. https://doi.org/10.1137/1.9781611973082.83
  • M. Feldman, J. Naor, R. Schwartz, Nonmonotone Submodular Maximization via a Structural Continuous Greedy Algorithm, ICALP 2011. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-642-22006-7_29
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ProbabilityStochastic Systems·Captain: mikedeng1

Open Queueing Networks in Heavy Traffic: Reflected Brownian Motion Limit for the Queue Length ProcessResearch Paper

Motivation

Open networks of single-server queues with general interarrival and service distributions are the standard model of job shops, communication networks and service systems. Outside the product-form (Jackson) case their queue-length distributions are not known in closed form. When every station is close to saturation, a heavy-traffic limit replaces the network by a diffusion process. Martin I. Reiman's paper Open Queueing Networks in Heavy Traffic (Mathematics of Operations Research 9(3), 1984) proves such a limit for the vector of queue lengths of a general open network. The limit is a reflected Brownian motion on the nonnegative orthant. That process has since become the default diffusion approximation for open networks, and it is the starting point of later work on its stationary distribution and on control of networks in heavy traffic.

Timeline:

  • Iglehart and Whitt (1970a,b) proved heavy-traffic limits for a single multiple-server station and for acyclic networks, in which no customer visits a station twice.
  • Harrison (1973, 1978) treated tandem queues; the 1978 paper introduced reflected Brownian motion on the nonnegative orthant as the diffusion limit.
  • Harrison and Reiman (1981a, Ann. Probab. 9:302–308) constructed reflected Brownian motion on the orthant through a continuous reflection mapping. That paper is the source of Lemma 1 here.

(These attributions follow Reiman's own account, pp. 441–442 of the 1984 paper.)

  • Reiman (1984) proved the limit for general open networks with Markovian routing (Theorem 1). The paper also proves a limit for sojourn times along fixed routes (Theorem 2).

Setting

There are KKK single-server stations and a nonempty set J⊆{1,…,K}\mathcal J\subseteq\{1,\dots,K\}J⊆{1,…,K} of stations that receive customers from outside. The primitives are mutually independent sequences of IID random variables: interarrival times uki>0u_k^i>0uki​>0 (k∈Jk\in\mathcal Jk∈J), service times vki>0v_k^i>0vki​>0, and routing indicators ϕki∈{0,1,…,K}\phi_k^i\in\{0,1,\dots,K\}ϕki​∈{0,1,…,K}. When the iiith customer served at station kkk finishes, it moves to station ϕki\phi_k^iϕki​, or leaves if ϕki=0\phi_k^i=0ϕki​=0. The parameters are the service rates μk=(Evk1)−1\mu_k=(E v_k^1)^{-1}μk​=(Evk1​)−1, the service-time variances sk=var⁡vk1s_k=\operatorname{var} v_k^1sk​=varvk1​, the arrival rates λk=(Euk1)−1\lambda_k=(E u_k^1)^{-1}λk​=(Euk1​)−1 (with λk=0\lambda_k=0λk​=0 for k∉Jk\notin\mathcal Jk∈/J), and the interarrival variances ak=var⁡uk1a_k=\operatorname{var} u_k^1ak​=varuk1​. The routing matrix P=(pkj)P=(p_{kj})P=(pkj​), pkj=P{ϕk1=j}p_{kj}=P\{\phi_k^1=j\}pkj​=P{ϕk1​=j}, has spectral radius strictly less than one, so every customer eventually leaves.

Let Ak(t)A_k(t)Ak​(t) be the number of exogenous arrivals to station kkk by time ttt, and Sk(t)S_k(t)Sk​(t) the number of service completions at kkk in ttt units of busy time. Let S^k(t)=∑i≤Sk(t)eϕki−Sk(t)ek\hat S_k(t)=\sum_{i\le S_k(t)}e_{\phi_k^i}-S_k(t)e_kS^k​(t)=∑i≤Sk​(t)​eϕki​​−Sk​(t)ek​, with e0=0e_0=0e0​=0. The queue length Q(t)∈Z+KQ(t)\in\mathbb Z_+^KQ(t)∈Z+K​ and the busy time B(t)B(t)B(t) are the unique solution of

Q(t)=A(t)+∑k=1KS^k(Bk(t)),Bk(t)=∫0t1{Qk(s)>0} ds,B(0)=0.Q(t)=A(t)+\sum_{k=1}^K\hat S_k(B_k(t)),\qquad B_k(t)=\int_0^t1_{\{Q_k(s)>0\}}\,ds,\qquad B(0)=0 .Q(t)=A(t)+k=1∑K​S^k​(Bk​(t)),Bk​(t)=∫0t​1{Qk​(s)>0}​ds,B(0)=0.

A sequence of such networks, indexed by nnn, shares KKK, J\mathcal JJ and PPP. Its parameters μ(n),s(n),λ(n),a(n)\mu(n),s(n),\lambda(n),a(n)μ(n),s(n),λ(n),a(n) converge to finite limits μ,s,λ,a\mu,s,\lambda,aμ,s,λ,a. With ν(n)=λ(n)+μ(n)P\nu(n)=\lambda(n)+\mu(n)Pν(n)=λ(n)+μ(n)P, the heavy-traffic condition is

ck(n)=n (νk(n)−μk(n))→ck.c_k(n)=\sqrt n\,(\nu_k(n)-\mu_k(n))\to c_k .ck​(n)=n​(νk​(n)−μk​(n))→ck​.

Moments of order 2+ϵ2+\epsilon2+ϵ of the interarrival and service times are bounded uniformly in nnn. The scaled queue length is Zn(t)=n−1/2Qn(nt)Z^n(t)=n^{-1/2}Q^n(nt)Zn(t)=n−1/2Qn(nt), 0≤t≤10\le t\le10≤t≤1.

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem 1

Let ξ\xiξ be a Brownian motion with drift ccc and covariance matrix A\mathcal AA, where

Aii=λi3ai+μi3si(1−2pii)+∑jμjpji(1−pji+pjiμj2sj),\mathcal A_{ii}=\lambda_i^3a_i+\mu_i^3s_i(1-2p_{ii})+\sum_j\mu_jp_{ji}(1-p_{ji}+p_{ji}\mu_j^2s_j),Aii​=λi3​ai​+μi3​si​(1−2pii​)+j∑​μj​pji​(1−pji​+pji​μj2​sj​), Aij=−[μi3sipij+μj3sjpji+∑kμkpkipkj(1−μk2sk)](i≠j).\mathcal A_{ij}=-\Big[\mu_i^3s_ip_{ij}+\mu_j^3s_jp_{ji}+\sum_k\mu_kp_{ki}p_{kj}(1-\mu_k^2s_k)\Big]\quad(i\ne j).Aij​=−[μi3​si​pij​+μj3​sj​pji​+k∑​μk​pki​pkj​(1−μk2​sk​)](i=j).

Let Z=ϕ(ξ)Z=\phi(\xi)Z=ϕ(ξ) be its reflection with reflection matrix I−PI-PI−P. Then

Zn⇒Zin D[0,1] (Skorohod topology).Z^n\Rightarrow Z\quad\text{in } D[0,1]\text{ (Skorohod topology)}.Zn⇒Zin D[0,1] (Skorohod topology).

The goal fixes no constants beyond the parameters' limits. It is stated for every network sequence satisfying (20)–(26).

Milestones

The milestones follow the paper's proof, in order:

  • the existence and uniqueness claim for (1)–(3);
  • the representation Q=X~+Y(I−P)Q=\tilde X+Y(I-P)Q=X~+Y(I−P) (Eq. (13));
  • the least-element map fff (Proposition 1);
  • the reflection mapping ϕ\phiϕ (Lemma 1) and f=ϕf=\phif=ϕ on continuous paths (Proposition 2);
  • the netput limit ζn⇒ζ\zeta^n\Rightarrow\zetaζn⇒ζ (Proposition 3);
  • stochastic boundedness of ZnZ^nZn (Lemma 6);
  • vanishing scaled idleness n−1Ikn(n)→0n^{-1}I^n_k(n)\to0n−1Ikn​(n)→0 (Proposition 4);
  • the centred limit ζ~n⇒ζ\tilde\zeta^n\Rightarrow\zetaζ~​n⇒ζ (Proposition 5).

Significance

Theorem 1 justifies the diffusion approximation of a heavily loaded open network. Writing Qn(t)≈n Z(t/n)Q^n(t)\approx\sqrt n\,Z(t/n)Qn(t)≈n​Z(t/n) reduces questions about the network to questions about one reflected Brownian motion, whose data are explicit functions of the first two moments of the primitives and of the routing matrix. The same limit, with Lemma 2, gives the paper's Theorem 2 on sojourn times. It is the model case for the multiclass heavy-traffic theory that followed.

The result has been proved since 1984. No machine-checked version exists. The mission's contributions would be:

  • a formal statement of the network, of its Harrison representation, and of weak convergence in DDD;
  • a formal proof of the reflection-mapping facts (Proposition 1, Lemma 1, Proposition 2), which are deterministic and reusable;
  • eventually, a formal proof of the full limit theorem.

Difficulty

The obvious route applies a functional central limit theorem to QnQ^nQn directly. That fails because QnQ^nQn is not a sum of independent terms: each station serves only while its queue is nonempty, so the service process is evaluated at the random busy time Bk(t)B_k(t)Bk​(t), which depends on the whole network. The proof therefore has to separate the netput process, which obeys a central limit theorem, from the regulator YYY. It then has to show that the random time change Bkn(nt)/nB^n_k(nt)/nBkn​(nt)/n converges to the identity, i.e. that idleness vanishes on the diffusion scale. Weak convergence must also be transported through a reflection map that is defined on all of DDD but is known to be continuous only at continuous paths.

Formalization scope

The Lean development uses the following conventions:

  • Stations are Fin K, vectors are row vectors Fin K → ℝ, and a row vector times a matrix is Matrix.vecMul.
  • A routing indicator lives in Fin (K+1), with 0 meaning "leaves" and j.succ meaning station jjj.
  • The primitives are mutually independent (iIndep of their σ-algebras), IID within each sequence, everywhere positive and square integrable.
  • "Spectral radius <1<1<1" is stated as Pm→0P^m\to0Pm→0.
  • (Qn,Bn)(Q^n,B^n)(Qn,Bn) is any pair solving (1)–(3) almost surely, with measurable paths so that (2) is a Lebesgue integral.
  • The networks are indexed by ℕ; (25)–(26) are imposed for n≥1n\ge1n≥1, (22) and (26) over k∈Jk\in\mathcal Jk∈J, and J\mathcal JJ is the same for all nnn.
  • Brownian motion with drift ccc and covariance A\mathcal AA lives on [0,∞)[0,\infty)[0,∞). It is defined by continuity, ξ(0)=0\xi(0)=0ξ(0)=0, independent increments, and the Gaussian characteristic function of increments.
  • ZZZ is the reflection of ξ\xiξ in the sense of (14)–(17).
  • Weak convergence in DDD is stated in Skorohod-representation form: a coupling with almost-sure J1_11​ convergence on [0,1][0,1][0,1]. This form accommodates a separate probability space for each nnn.

Added hypotheses, each implicit on the page:

  1. The existence item assumes Uk(l),Vk(l)→∞U_k(l),V_k(l)\to\inftyUk​(l),Vk​(l)→∞ at the sample point; without it the maxima defining Ak(t)A_k(t)Ak​(t) and Sk(t)S_k(t)Sk​(t) need not exist.
  2. Solutions of (1)–(3) have measurable paths.

No positivity hypothesis on the limits μk\mu_kμk​ is added: (25) and (26) bound the means of the service and interarrival times, so the limits are positive.

The statement is not to be weakened. Ruled out are:

  • convergence of finite-dimensional distributions only;
  • a single network without the index nnn;
  • uniform convergence used in place of the Skorohod topology without the coupling;
  • a Brownian motion that is not required to have independent Gaussian increments.

Each of these is a different theorem.

Useful contributions, all reusable beyond this mission:

  • the deterministic reflection-map results;
  • Donsker-type theorems for renewal counting processes in DDD;
  • the random time-change lemma (Billingsley);
  • the continuous mapping theorem in coupling form.

Selected references

  • M. I. Reiman, Open Queueing Networks in Heavy Traffic, Mathematics of Operations Research 9(3):441–458, 1984. https://doi.org/10.1287/moor.9.3.441
  • J. M. Harrison and M. I. Reiman, Reflected Brownian Motion on an Orthant, Annals of Probability 9:302–308, 1981 (cited in Reiman 1984 as [6]).
  • J. M. Harrison, The Diffusion Approximation for Tandem Queues in Heavy Traffic, Advances in Applied Probability 10:886–905, 1978 (Reiman 1984, [5]).
  • J. M. Harrison, The Heavy Traffic Approximation for Single Server Queues in Series, Journal of Applied Probability 10:613–629, 1973 (Reiman 1984, [4]).
  • D. L. Iglehart and W. Whitt, Multiple Channel Queues in Heavy Traffic, I and II: Sequences, Networks, and Batches, Advances in Applied Probability 2:150–177 and 355–364, 1970 (Reiman 1984, [8], [9]).
  • P. Billingsley, Convergence of Probability Measures, Wiley, New York, 1968 (Reiman 1984, [1]).
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Dynamic ProgrammingOptimizationProbability·Captain: mikedeng1

Optimal Policies for a Multi-Echelon Inventory Problem: The Two-Echelon Optimal Cost Splits into the Isolated Installation-1 Cost Plus a Function of Echelon StockResearch Paper

Motivation

Most physical supply chains hold stock at several levels: a factory warehouse feeds a regional depot, which feeds a retail outlet. Each level orders from the one above it, and a shortage upstream delays replenishment downstream. Optimizing such a multi-echelon system by dynamic programming looks hopeless, because the state is a vector of stock levels and stock in transit at every installation, and the value function of a two-installation system with a two-period shipping lag already depends on three continuous variables.

Andrew J. Clark and Herbert Scarf (Management Science 6(4):475–490, 1960) showed that for a serial system this curse of dimensionality disappears. Working with echelon stock (the stock at a level plus everything below it or in transit to a lower level), the optimal system cost separates into the cost of the lowest installation, optimized as if it stood alone, plus a function of echelon stock only. The result is the foundation of multi-echelon inventory theory: the echelon base-stock policies used in practice, the stationary analyses of Federgruen and Zipkin (1984) and Chen and Zheng (1994), and textbook treatments (Zipkin, Foundations of Inventory Management, 2000; Snyder and Shen, Fundamentals of Supply Chain Theory) all descend from it.

Timeline. Arrow, Harris and Marschak (1951) and Arrow, Karlin and Scarf (1958) set up periodic-review inventory models with discounted costs. Karlin and Scarf (1958) treated a single installation with a delivery lag, reducing it to a problem without lag (the paper's facts 1–3). Clark and Scarf (1960) proved the decomposition for serial systems with linear shipping costs and a setup cost permitted only at the top. Federgruen and Zipkin (1984) extended it to infinite horizons and Chen and Zheng (1994) gave a lower-bound proof that reaches more general structures.

Setting

Two installations are in series. Customer demand occurs only at installation 1; its demand in each period is non-negative with density φ\varphiφ on (0,∞)(0,\infty)(0,∞), independent across periods, and excess demand is backlogged. Installation 2 ships to installation 1 with a two-period lead time at unit cost c1≥0c_1\ge0c1​≥0. The system orders z≥0z\ge0z≥0 units from outside at cost c(z)=K+czc(z)=K+czc(z)=K+cz for z>0z>0z>0 and c(0)=0c(0)=0c(0)=0 (eq. (5)); these arrive at installation 2 one period later. Costs nnn periods ahead are discounted by αn\alpha^nαn, α≥0\alpha\ge0α≥0.

The state at the start of a period is (x1,w1,x2)(x_1,w_1,x_2)(x1​,w1​,x2​): x1x_1x1​ is the stock on hand at installation 1, w1w_1w1​ the stock that reaches installation 1 next period, and x2x_2x2​ the echelon-2 stock (on hand at both installations plus in transit), so x1+w1≤x2x_1+w_1\le x_2x1​+w1​≤x2​. Installation 1 pays the expected holding and shortage cost (1),

L(x)={hx+p∫x∞(t−x)φ(t) dt,x>0,p∫0∞(t−x)φ(t) dt,x≤0,L(x)=\begin{cases}hx+p\int_x^\infty(t-x)\varphi(t)\,dt,&x>0,\\ p\int_0^\infty(t-x)\varphi(t)\,dt,&x\le0,\end{cases}L(x)={hx+p∫x∞​(t−x)φ(t)dt,p∫0∞​(t−x)φ(t)dt,​x>0,x≤0,​

and echelon 2 pays a natural one-period cost L~(x2)\tilde L(x_2)L~(x2​) (Assumption 3).

With nnn periods remaining, the optimal system cost Cn(x1,w1,x2)C_n(x_1,w_1,x_2)Cn​(x1​,w1​,x2​) satisfies, with C0≡0C_0\equiv0C0​≡0,

Cn(x1,w1,x2)=min⁡x1+w1≤y≤x20≤z{c(z)+c1(y−x1−w1)+L~(x2)+L(x1)+α∫0∞Cn−1(x1+w1−t, y−x1−w1, x2+z−t)φ(t) dt}(14)C_n(x_1,w_1,x_2)=\min_{\substack{x_1+w_1\le y\le x_2\\0\le z}}\Big\{c(z)+c_1(y-x_1-w_1)+\tilde L(x_2)+L(x_1)+\alpha\int_0^\infty C_{n-1}(x_1+w_1-t,\,y-x_1-w_1,\,x_2+z-t)\varphi(t)\,dt\Big\}\qquad(14)Cn​(x1​,w1​,x2​)=x1​+w1​≤y≤x2​0≤z​min​{c(z)+c1​(y−x1​−w1​)+L~(x2​)+L(x1​)+α∫0∞​Cn−1​(x1​+w1​−t,y−x1​−w1​,x2​+z−t)φ(t)dt}(14)

where yyy is installation 1's target (stock on hand plus in transit after shipping). Installation 1 in isolation, buying at unit cost c1c_1c1​ with a two-period lag, has optimal cost C^n(x1,w1)\hat C_n(x_1,w_1)C^n​(x1​,w1​), C^0≡0\hat C_0\equiv0C^0​≡0:

C^n(x1,w1)=min⁡y≥x1+w1{c1(y−x1−w1)+L(x1)+α∫0∞C^n−1(x1+w1−t, y−x1−w1)φ(t) dt}.(15)\hat C_n(x_1,w_1)=\min_{y\ge x_1+w_1}\Big\{c_1(y-x_1-w_1)+L(x_1)+\alpha\int_0^\infty\hat C_{n-1}(x_1+w_1-t,\,y-x_1-w_1)\varphi(t)\,dt\Big\}.\qquad(15)C^n​(x1​,w1​)=y≥x1​+w1​min​{c1​(y−x1​−w1​)+L(x1​)+α∫0∞​C^n−1​(x1​+w1​−t,y−x1​−w1​)φ(t)dt}.(15)

In Lean these are ClarkScarf.Serial.Model.sysCost and isoCost; the expressions in braces are sysObj and isoObj, indexed by nnn for the problem with n+1n+1n+1 periods remaining.

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem 1 (p. 482)

There are functions gng_ngn​ with g1=L~g_1=\tilde Lg1​=L~ such that, for all n≥1n\ge1n≥1 and x1+w1≤x2x_1+w_1\le x_2x1​+w1​≤x2​,

Cn(x1,w1,x2)=C^n(x1,w1)+gn(x2),(16)C_n(x_1,w_1,x_2)=\hat C_n(x_1,w_1)+g_n(x_2),\qquad(16)Cn​(x1​,w1​,x2​)=C^n​(x1​,w1​)+gn​(x2​),(16)

and installation 1 acts optimally by aiming at an isolated-optimal target y^\hat yy^​ and taking min⁡(x2,y^)\min(x_2,\hat y)min(x2​,y^​), as much as installation 2 can supply. The goal fixes no form for gng_ngn​ and needs no critical numbers.

Milestones

  1. Convexity of y↦α∫ ⁣ ⁣∫L(y−t1−t2)φ(t1)φ(t2)y\mapsto\alpha\int\!\!\int L(y-t_1-t_2)\varphi(t_1)\varphi(t_2)y↦α∫∫L(y−t1​−t2​)φ(t1​)φ(t2​) (§2 item 2, p. 478).
  2. The isolated decomposition C^n(x1,w1)=L(x1)+α∫0∞L(x1+w1−t)φ(t) dt+fn(x1+w1)\hat C_n(x_1,w_1)=L(x_1)+\alpha\int_0^\infty L(x_1+w_1-t)\varphi(t)\,dt+f_n(x_1+w_1)C^n​(x1​,w1​)=L(x1​)+α∫0∞​L(x1​+w1​−t)φ(t)dt+fn​(x1​+w1​) for n≥2n\ge2n≥2, with fnf_nfn​ of (7) (p. 480).
  3. Convexity of every fnf_nfn​ (§2 item 3, p. 478).
  4. Eqs. (18)–(19) (p. 483): the system cost when echelon-2 stock is above or below the isolated critical number xˉn\bar x_nxˉn​.
  5. Eqs. (21)–(25) (pp. 483–484): the shortfall cost Λn\Lambda_nΛn​ depends on x2x_2x2​ alone,
Λn(x2)=c1(x2−xˉn)+α2∫0∞ ⁣ ⁣∫0∞[L(x2−t−y)−L(xˉn−t−y)]φ(t)φ(y) dy dt+α∫0∞[fn−1(x2−t)−fn−1(xˉn−t)]φ(t) dt.\Lambda_n(x_2)=c_1(x_2-\bar x_n)+\alpha^2\int_0^\infty\!\!\int_0^\infty[L(x_2-t-y)-L(\bar x_n-t-y)]\varphi(t)\varphi(y)\,dy\,dt+\alpha\int_0^\infty[f_{n-1}(x_2-t)-f_{n-1}(\bar x_n-t)]\varphi(t)\,dt.Λn​(x2​)=c1​(x2​−xˉn​)+α2∫0∞​∫0∞​[L(x2​−t−y)−L(xˉn​−t−y)]φ(t)φ(y)dydt+α∫0∞​[fn−1​(x2​−t)−fn−1​(xˉn​−t)]φ(t)dt.
  1. Theorem 2 (p. 484), the explicit form: given critical numbers, gng_ngn​ is computed by (26), gn(x2)=min⁡z≥0{c(z)+L~(x2)+Λn(x2)+α∫gn−1(x2+z−t)φ(t) dt}g_n(x_2)=\min_{z\ge0}\{c(z)+\tilde L(x_2)+\Lambda_n(x_2)+\alpha\int g_{n-1}(x_2+z-t)\varphi(t)\,dt\}gn​(x2​)=minz≥0​{c(z)+L~(x2​)+Λn​(x2​)+α∫gn−1​(x2​+z−t)φ(t)dt}.

Significance

The result. Theorem 1 replaces one three-dimensional dynamic program by two one-dimensional ones. Installation 1 solves its own problem (15), whose solution is a critical-number policy, and echelon 2 solves a single-installation problem in x2x_2x2​ with one-period cost L~+Λn\tilde L+\Lambda_nL~+Λn​. When L~\tilde LL~ is convex the augmented cost is convex (the paper remarks this for Expression (10)), so the echelon-2 policy is of (S,s)(S,s)(S,s) type by Scarf's theorem, and the whole system runs on echelon base-stock rules. Every later serial-system result, finite or infinite horizon, uses this decomposition or its proof idea, and the "induced penalty" Λn\Lambda_nΛn​ is the prototype of the penalty functions used in the multi-echelon literature.

Formalizing it. The theorem is classical and proved, but no machine-checked version exists. The published platform items on Clark–Scarf are a stationary single-period decomposition with normal demand and a disproved infinite-horizon base-stock recursion, neither of which is this finite-horizon dynamic program. A formal development produces the value functions (14)–(15) with real infima and set integrals, the measurability and integrability of value functions defined by infima, the convexity propagation through the recursion (7), and the decomposition itself, which are reusable for any finite-horizon inventory recursion with lead times.

Difficulty

The obvious induction on nnn substitutes (16) into (14) and separates the minimizations over yyy and zzz. The separation is immediate; the hard step is that the constrained minimum over x1+w1≤y≤x2x_1+w_1\le y\le x_2x1​+w1​≤y≤x2​ differs from the unconstrained one by an amount that a priori depends on (x1,w1)(x_1,w_1)(x1​,w1​). Showing that it depends on x2x_2x2​ alone is the content of Theorem 1; nothing in the separation step itself rules out a dependence on (x1,w1)(x_1,w_1)(x1​,w1​). On the measure-theoretic side, every value function is defined by an infimum over an uncountable set and then integrated against φ\varphiφ. Its measurability and integrability are not automatic, and they must be established before any identity between integrals can be manipulated.

Formalization scope

Everything lives in ClarkScarf.Serial, one definition file Def_ClarkScarf_Serial_Model and seven theorem files. Conventions committed to:

  • The model is a structure Model whose fields carry the data and the standing hypotheses: h,p,α,c1,K,c≥0h,p,\alpha,c_1,K,c\ge0h,p,α,c1​,K,c≥0; φ≥0\varphi\ge0φ≥0 with ∫0∞φ=1\int_0^\infty\varphi=1∫0∞​φ=1; and two additions the page leaves implicit, disclosed in each statement: a finite demand mean (otherwise (1) is infinite for x≤0x\le0x≤0) and L~\tilde LL~ non-negative, continuous and of at most linear growth (Assumption 3 leaves L~\tilde LL~ unspecified; these make every expectation in (14) finite and measurable). No discount bound α<1\alpha<1α<1, no convexity of L~\tilde LL~, no K=0K=0K=0 and no sign condition on w1w_1w1​ is assumed.
  • Expectations are set integrals ∫(0,∞)F(t)φ(t) dt\int_{(0,\infty)}F(t)\varphi(t)\,dt∫(0,∞)​F(t)φ(t)dt; "Min" is a real infimum over a nonempty feasible set of a non-negative objective.
  • Every statement about CnC_nCn​ is restricted to the state domain x1+w1≤x2x_1+w_1\le x_2x1​+w1​≤x2​; outside it the feasible set of (14) is empty.
  • The horizon index counts periods remaining, C0≡C^0≡0C_0\equiv\hat C_0\equiv0C0​≡C^0​≡0, and fn≡0f_n\equiv0fn​≡0 for n≤2n\le2n≤2.

A formalization in which the feasible set of (14) is empty, in which the expectations are junk zeros of non-integrable integrands, or in which gng_ngn​ may depend on (x1,w1)(x_1,w_1)(x1​,w1​) would make (16) trivial; the domain restriction, the integrability conditions and the order ∃g ∀x1,w1,x2\exists g\,\forall x_1,w_1,x_2∃g∀x1​,w1​,x2​ rule these out. A sorry-free check (not part of the mission) verifies C1=L(x1)+L~(x2)C_1=L(x_1)+\tilde L(x_2)C1​=L(x1​)+L~(x2​) and C^1=L(x1)\hat C_1=L(x_1)C^1​=L(x1​) and exhibits a model with exponential demand satisfying all hypotheses.

Needed infrastructure: Fubini-type rearrangement of iterated set integrals against a density, integrability of functions of linear growth against a finite-mean density, convexity preserved under infimal projection u↦inf⁡y≥uu\mapsto\inf_{y\ge u}u↦infy≥u​ and under convolution with a density, and measurability of infimum-defined functions. Contributions of these general lemmas, of the base cases n=1,2n=1,2n=1,2, and of any milestone are welcome.

Selected references

  • A. J. Clark and H. Scarf, Optimal Policies for a Multi-Echelon Inventory Problem, Management Science 6(4):475–490, 1960. https://doi.org/10.1287/mnsc.6.4.475
  • S. Karlin and H. Scarf, Inventory Models of the Arrow-Harris-Marschak Type with Time Lag, in Arrow, Karlin, Scarf (eds.), Studies in the Mathematical Theory of Inventory and Production, Stanford University Press, 1958.
  • H. Scarf, The Optimality of (S, s) Policies in the Dynamic Inventory Problem, in Mathematical Methods in the Social Sciences, Stanford University Press, 1960.
  • A. Federgruen and P. Zipkin, Computational Issues in an Infinite-Horizon, Multiechelon Inventory Model, Operations Research 32(4):818–836, 1984. https://doi.org/10.1287/opre.32.4.818
  • F. Chen and Y.-S. Zheng, Lower Bounds for Multi-Echelon Stochastic Inventory Systems, Management Science 40(11):1426–1443, 1994. https://doi.org/10.1287/mnsc.40.11.1426
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Dynamic ProgrammingGraph TheoryTheoretical Computer Science·Captain: mikedeng1

Algorithm 97: Shortest Path: Floyd's Procedure Computes the Shortest Path Length Between Every Pair of PointsResearch Paper

Motivation

Routing and network optimization often require the length of the best route between every ordered pair of points. Robert W. Floyd's Algorithm 97 gives a compact procedure for this task: it receives a matrix of direct-link lengths and changes the matrix in place until each entry is meant to represent a shortest-path length. The procedure is a small historical source for an algorithm now used as a standard all-pairs shortest-path routine. Its published text consists of the ALGOL code and a short explanatory comment, without a correctness proof.

The same page contains Floyd's Algorithm 96, a Boolean procedure for ancestor relations. Its output records whether a chain of parent links connects two individuals. Floyd cites Warshall's theorem on Boolean matrices in both comments. The Boolean procedure and the length procedure use the same order of three loops; together they expose the distinction between discovering that a route exists and determining its best length. This mission formalizes both claims from Floyd's published page, with the shortest-path statement as its goal.

Setting

A directed network has nnn numbered points. Its length matrix www assigns a real number w(i,j)w(i,j)w(i,j) to a direct link from iii to jjj. The value ∞\infty∞ means that the direct link is absent. Links may have negative lengths, and the initial diagonal entries w(i,i)w(i,i)w(i,i) are unrestricted. The paper's matrix index range is 1,…,n1,\ldots,n1,…,n; the Lean development uses 0,…,n−10,\ldots,n-10,…,n−1 in the same order.

A path from iii to jjj is a sequence p0=i,p1,…,pL=jp_0=i,p_1,\ldots,p_L=jp0​=i,p1​,…,pL​=j with L≥1L\ge1L≥1 links. The points p0,…,pL−1p_0,\ldots,p_{L-1}p0​,…,pL−1​ are distinct, as are p1,…,pLp_1,\ldots,p_Lp1​,…,pL​. Thus a path between different points has no repeated point, while a path from a point to itself is a simple closed path with at least one link. Its length is ℓw(p)=∑t=0L−1w(pt,pt+1)\ell_w(p)=\sum_{t=0}^{L-1}w(p_t,p_{t+1})ℓw​(p)=∑t=0L−1​w(pt​,pt+1​); a missing link gives length ∞\infty∞. Write dw(i,j)d_w(i,j)dw​(i,j) for the minimum length among these paths, taking dw(i,j)=∞d_w(i,j)=\inftydw​(i,j)=∞ when there is no finite-length path. Since L≤nL\le nL≤n, this is a minimum over a finite family.

The no-negative-cycle condition says that every closed path has nonnegative length. Individual links can still be negative. This condition matters because, in a network with a negative cycle, repeated travel around that cycle can keep reducing a walk's length. Floyd's comment does not state the condition, although the claimed output needs it.

Algorithm 97 scans a pivot iii, then row jjj, then column kkk, each in increasing order. It enters the column scan when the current m(j,i)m(j,i)m(j,i) is finite; if the current m(i,k)m(i,k)m(i,k) is also finite, it computes s=m(j,i)+m(i,k)s=m(j,i)+m(i,k)s=m(j,i)+m(i,k) and replaces m(j,k)m(j,k)m(j,k) when s<m(j,k)s<m(j,k)s<m(j,k). Every replacement affects subsequent reads of the same matrix. Algorithm 96 makes the corresponding Boolean update: when m(j,i)m(j,i)m(j,i) and m(i,k)m(i,k)m(i,k) are true, it sets m(j,k)m(j,k)m(j,k) to true.

Formalization targets

Reachability and missing paths

For Algorithm 96, let b+b^+b+ be the transitive closure of the initial parent relation bbb, using chains of one or more links. Its comment asserts

ancestor⁡(b)(i,j)=true⟺ib+j.\operatorname{ancestor}(b)(i,j)=\mathrm{true}\quad\Longleftrightarrow\quad i\mathrel{b^+}j.ancestor(b)(i,j)=true⟺ib+j.

For Algorithm 97, the separate unreachable-pair sentence asserts that, whenever no finite-length path runs from iii to jjj,

shortestPath⁡(w)(i,j)=∞.\operatorname{shortestPath}(w)(i,j)=\infty.shortestPath(w)(i,j)=∞.

This second target needs no condition on cycle lengths. Both statements are milestones because they are claims printed in the two algorithm comments, rather than lemmas invented for the formalization.

Complete shortest-path matrix

The goal is the whole output claim of Algorithm 97. For every nnn, every matrix www with no negative cycle, and all points i,ji,ji,j,

shortestPath⁡(w)(i,j)=dw(i,j).\operatorname{shortestPath}(w)(i,j)=d_w(i,j).shortestPath(w)(i,j)=dw​(i,j).

The equality includes paths with negative individual links, diagonal entries, and unreachable pairs. It fixes the entire final matrix, rather than only an upper or lower bound.

Significance

The goal connects an explicit in-place matrix program with a route-based definition of shortest length. Once established, it permits later formal developments to use the procedure as a justified all-pairs distance computation, including networks whose individual links have negative lengths. The Boolean milestone similarly identifies the final state of an ancestor procedure with the transitive closure of the initial relation. Neither assertion requires treating an implementation's output as the definition of the mathematical answer.

Floyd's 1962 paper states these outcomes but supplies no proof. This mission supplies precise Lean statements and definitions for a proof to target. A completed machine-checked development would establish the published procedure's correctness under the missing necessary premise. The statements in this proposal are currently open theorem targets; compiling their declarations checks syntax and types, not their proofs. Supporting work on finite paths, cycle decompositions, and matrix updates can be reused in other finite directed-network arguments.

Difficulty

The array is changed in place. During a pivot's sweep, an entry used in a later update may already differ from its value at the start of that pivot. The test on m(j,i)m(j,i)m(j,i) is evaluated before the column loop, but the same entry is read again within every column iteration. A proof based only on a simultaneous, out-of-place matrix recurrence does not directly describe these reads. Negative individual links also prevent arguments that rely on every update decreasing only through a nonnegative segment. The no-negative-cycle condition must control what happens when a proposed route returns to a point already visited.

Formalization scope

Points are Fin n, including the empty network at n=0n=0n=0 and the single-point network at n=1n=1n=1. Lengths are WithTop ℝ, where ⊤ represents the paper's ₁₀10 sentinel as mathematical infinity. The paper's literal sentinel is 101010^{10}1010; a finite bound cannot represent arbitrarily long paths, so this mission uses infinity in its goal. The ALGOL real operations are represented by exact real arithmetic. The printed procedure's loop order, strict comparison, two finiteness guards, and immediate assignments are part of the Lean definition.

The initial diagonal is not normalized. Therefore a path from iii to itself has at least one link, and the final diagonal denotes a shortest closed-path length when one exists. The Boolean comment's “is true if” is read as an equivalence, supported by its following explanation of the final matrix; chains have one or more links, matching Lean's Relation.TransGen.

The sole added hypothesis in the main goal is absence of negative cycles. It is necessary: with one point and self-link length −1-1−1, the procedure changes that entry to −2-2−2, although the shortest simple closed path has length −1-1−1. No nonnegative-link or zero-diagonal premise is imposed. The unreachable-pair milestone omits the cycle hypothesis because its claim holds without it. The benchmark dwd_wdw​ is a finite minimum of summed link lengths, defined independently of Algorithm 97; defining it from the procedure or its recurrence would empty the goal of its intended content. Contributions proving the printed algorithms' statements, or establishing reusable finite-path and update results needed for them, fit this scope.

Selected references

  • Robert W. Floyd, Algorithm 97: Shortest Path, Communications of the ACM 5(6), 1962, p. 345. DOI 10.1145/367766.368168.
  • Robert W. Floyd, Algorithm 96: Ancestor, Communications of the ACM 5(6), 1962, pp. 344–345, in the same published Algorithms department scan.
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Graph TheoryLinear OptimizationOptimization·Captain: mikedeng1

Project Scheduling with Time Windows and Scarce Resources VIII: A Vertex Schedule Maximizes the Net Present Value iff Its Spanning-Tree Subprojects Have the Right SignsTextbook

Motivation

Long-running projects such as construction, plant engineering or software development involve payments to and from the contractor at many points in time: disbursements when activities are carried out, progress payments when milestones are reached. When the planning horizon is long, money received later is worth less, and the natural financial objective is the net present value of all cash flows. Scheduling a project to maximize its net present value subject to minimum and maximum time lags was studied by Russell (1970) and Grinold (1972), and the problem is the prototype of a nonregular objective: delaying an activity can be profitable, because disbursements lose value when they are postponed.

This mission follows Chapter 3 of Neumann, Schwindt and Zimmermann, Project Scheduling with Time Windows and Scarce Resources (2nd ed., Springer 2003). The book shows that the net present value objective belongs to the class of binary-monotone objective functions (§3.3.5), and it uses this in §3.9.1 to give a combinatorial optimality criterion for the resource-free problem: a vertex schedule is optimal exactly when the subprojects cut off by the arcs of a spanning tree have net present values of the right sign (Proposition 3.9.2). That criterion drives the book's parametric analysis of the net present value as a function of the discount rate and the deadline.

Setting

A project consists of activities V={0,1,…,n+1}V=\{0,1,\dots,n+1\}V={0,1,…,n+1}, n≥1n\ge1n≥1, where 000 is the project beginning and n+1n+1n+1 the project completion. Activity iii has an integer duration pip_ipi​, with p0=pn+1=0p_0=p_{n+1}=0p0​=pn+1​=0 and pi>0p_i>0pi​>0 otherwise. Temporal constraints are the arcs of a project network N=⟨V,E;δ⟩N=\langle V,E;\delta\rangleN=⟨V,E;δ⟩: an arc ⟨i,j⟩\langle i,j\rangle⟨i,j⟩ with integer weight δij\delta_{ij}δij​ requires Sj−Si≥δijS_j-S_i\ge\delta_{ij}Sj​−Si​≥δij​ for the start times SiS_iSi​. A maximum project duration dˉ\bar ddˉ is the arc ⟨n+1,0⟩\langle n+1,0\rangle⟨n+1,0⟩ with weight −dˉ-\bar d−dˉ. The time-feasible region is

ST={S∈R≥0n+2∣S0=0, Sj−Si≥δij (⟨i,j⟩∈E)}.\mathcal S_T=\{S\in\mathbb R^{n+2}_{\ge0}\mid S_0=0,\ S_j-S_i\ge\delta_{ij}\ (\langle i,j\rangle\in E)\}.ST​={S∈R≥0n+2​∣S0​=0, Sj​−Si​≥δij​ (⟨i,j⟩∈E)}.

Let 0<β≤10<\beta\le10<β≤1 be the discount rate (β=1/(1+I)\beta=1/(1+I)β=1/(1+I) for an interest rate III) and ciF∈Rc_i^F\in\mathbb RciF​∈R the cash flow of activity iii, paid at its completion time Ci=Si+piC_i=S_i+p_iCi​=Si​+pi​. The problem (3.9.1) is

minimize f(S)=−∑i∈VciFβSi+pisubject to S∈ST,\text{minimize } f(S)=-\sum_{i\in V}c_i^F\beta^{S_i+p_i}\quad\text{subject to } S\in\mathcal S_T,minimize f(S)=−i∈V∑​ciF​βSi​+pi​subject to S∈ST​,

and a minimizer is a time-optimal schedule. A vertex of ST\mathcal S_TST​ is an extreme point. A spanning tree G=⟨V,EG⟩G=\langle V,E^G\rangleG=⟨V,EG⟩ is associated with SSS if EG⊆EE^G\subseteq EEG⊆E, EGE^GEG has n+1n+1n+1 arcs and a connected underlying undirected graph, and SSS is the unique solution of S0=0S_0=0S0​=0, Sj−Si=δijS_j-S_i=\delta_{ij}Sj​−Si​=δij​ for ⟨i,j⟩∈EG\langle i,j\rangle\in E^G⟨i,j⟩∈EG. Deleting a tree arc ⟨i,j⟩\langle i,j\rangle⟨i,j⟩ splits GGG into two subtrees; VijV_{ij}Vij​ is the node set of the one not containing 000. The arc is forward if the tree path from 000 passes it from iii to jjj and backward otherwise, and

npvij(S)=∑h∈VijchFβSh+phnpv^{ij}(S)=\sum_{h\in V_{ij}}c_h^F\beta^{S_h+p_h}npvij(S)=h∈Vij​∑​chF​βSh​+ph​

is the net present value of the subproject VijV_{ij}Vij​. Finally, fff is binary-monotone if it is monotone on every line {S+λz≥0∣λ∈R}\{S+\lambda z\ge0\mid\lambda\in\mathbb R\}{S+λz≥0∣λ∈R} with direction z∈{0,1}n+2z\in\{0,1\}^{n+2}z∈{0,1}n+2 (Definition 3.3.2).

Formalization targets

Goal: Proposition 3.9.2, pinned reading

Assume every node is reached from 000 by a path of nonnegative length (the standing convention of §1.2) and let SSS be a vertex of ST\mathcal S_TST​.

(sufficiency)G associated with S,  npvij(S)≥0 on forward arcs, npvij(S)≤0 on backward arcs ⟹ S time-optimal;\text{(sufficiency)}\quad G \text{ associated with } S,\ \ npv^{ij}(S)\ge0 \text{ on forward arcs},\ npv^{ij}(S)\le0 \text{ on backward arcs}\ \Longrightarrow\ S \text{ time-optimal};(sufficiency)G associated with S,  npvij(S)≥0 on forward arcs, npvij(S)≤0 on backward arcs ⟹ S time-optimal; (necessity, β<1)S time-optimal ⟹ ∃ G associated with S satisfying the sign conditions.\text{(necessity, } \beta<1)\quad S \text{ time-optimal}\ \Longrightarrow\ \exists\, G \text{ associated with } S \text{ satisfying the sign conditions}.(necessity, β<1)S time-optimal ⟹ ∃G associated with S satisfying the sign conditions.

The book states "if and only if … for each arc of the corresponding spanning tree", where the corresponding tree is chosen using optimality. The two directions above are the reading that makes the statement well defined: sufficiency for every associated tree, necessity for some associated tree.

Milestones

  1. §3.3.5: the net present value objective is binary-monotone and sum-separable.
  2. §3.9.1: if ST\mathcal S_TST​ is nonempty and bounded, some vertex of ST\mathcal S_TST​ is time-optimal.
  3. Proposition 3.2.16: every vertex of ST\mathcal S_TST​ has an associated spanning tree, an outtree rooted at 000 if the vertex is a minimal point.
  4. Proposition 3.5.4: a directed forest with at least one node has a source with at most one successor or a sink with exactly one predecessor.

Significance

Proposition 3.9.2 turns a nonconvex continuous optimization problem into a finite check on a spanning tree. Read as an economic statement, it says that at an optimal schedule no subproject with positive net present value can be started earlier and no subproject with negative net present value can be postponed. The book builds on it the parametric procedure of §3.9.1, which tracks the optimal tree as the discount rate or the deadline varies (Propositions 3.9.3 and 3.9.4), and the steepest descent method of §3.5.2 terminates exactly when the criterion holds.

The results are proved in the book, partly by reference to network optimization (Ahuja et al., 1993) and to Schwindt and Zimmermann (2001, 2002). None of them is formalized on the platform or, as far as is known, anywhere else. A formal proof would give the first machine-checked optimality certificate for a nonregular project scheduling objective, and the spanning-tree description of vertices (Proposition 3.2.16) is shared with Mission VI of this series.

Difficulty

The objective fff is neither convex nor concave when cash flows of both signs occur, so local optimality at a vertex does not imply global optimality by a convexity argument, and a first-order check along the edges of ST\mathcal S_TST​ is not obviously enough. The criterion is also not a statement about one tree: a degenerate vertex, where more than n+1n+1n+1 temporal constraints are binding, has several associated trees, and the sign conditions may hold on some and fail on others. Necessity therefore requires producing a suitable tree, not checking a given one. Finally, the combinatorial objects (the subtree VijV_{ij}Vij​, forward and backward orientation relative to the root) have to be connected to the geometry of ST\mathcal S_TST​ through Proposition 3.2.16, whose proof in the book is a citation.

Formalization scope

Activities are Fin (n + 2) with 0 the project beginning and Fin.last (n+1) the project completion; start times are real; durations are natural numbers and arc weights integers. The deadline is a structure field together with the backward arc ⟨n+1,0⟩\langle n+1,0\rangle⟨n+1,0⟩ of weight −dˉ-\bar d−dˉ. βx\beta^xβx is Real.rpow, and every statement assumes 0<β≤10<\beta\le10<β≤1 as the book does (p. 203). Vertices are Set.extremePoints ℝ. A spanning tree is a Finset of n+1n+1n+1 arcs whose SimpleGraph.fromRel is connected; VijV_{ij}Vij​ is the set of nodes not reachable from 000 once the arc is deleted.

Three readings are committed and disclosed in the item statements. Necessity is stated only for β<1\beta<1β<1: at β=1\beta=1β=1 the objective is constant, every schedule is optimal, and the sign conditions can fail on every tree. The standing convention of §1.2 (a path of nonnegative length from 000 to every node) is a hypothesis of Proposition 3.2.16 and of the goal; without it a vertex can be fixed by Si≥0S_i\ge0Si​≥0 rather than by arcs of NNN, and necessity fails. The existence of an optimal vertex assumes ST\mathcal S_TST​ nonempty and bounded, which the book asserts in §3.1. Chapter 3's resource constraints do not occur in this mission, which concerns PS∞∣temp,dˉ∣fPS\infty|temp,\bar d|fPS∞∣temp,dˉ∣f only.

The goal cannot be discharged by choosing the tree freely: associated trees must consist of arcs of NNN that are binding at SSS and determine SSS uniquely, and sufficiency must hold for every such tree. Contributions welcome beyond the milestones: a proof of Proposition 3.2.16 reusable by Mission VI, and a general lemma relating binding spanning trees of difference constraints to extreme points.

Selected references

  • K. Neumann, C. Schwindt, J. Zimmermann, Project Scheduling with Time Windows and Scarce Resources, 2nd ed., Springer, 2003, §3.1 (p. 203), §3.3.5 (pp. 224–225), §3.5.2 (p. 252), §3.9.1 (pp. 333–334). https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-540-24800-2
  • A. H. Russell, "Cash flows in networks", Management Science 16 (1970), 357–373. https://doi.org/10.1287/mnsc.16.5.357
  • R. C. Grinold, "The payment scheduling problem", Naval Research Logistics Quarterly 19 (1972), 123–136.
  • C. Schwindt, J. Zimmermann, "A steepest ascent approach to maximizing the net present value of projects", Mathematical Methods of Operations Research 53 (2001), 435–450.
  • C. Schwindt, J. Zimmermann, "Parametrische Optimierung als Instrument zur Bewertung von Investitionsprojekten", Zeitschrift für Betriebswirtschaft 72 (2002), 593–617.
  • R. K. Ahuja, T. L. Magnanti, J. B. Orlin, Network Flows, Prentice Hall, 1993.
  • C. Berge, Graphs and Hypergraphs, North-Holland, Amsterdam, 1976.
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Convex OptimizationLinear algebraOptimization·Captain: mikedeng1

A Nonlinear Programming Algorithm for Solving Semidefinite Programs via Low-rank Factorization: A Regular Local Minimum That Stays Locally Minimal After Adding a Zero Column Solves the SDPResearch Paper

Motivation

Semidefinite programs (SDPs) arise as convex relaxations of combinatorial problems such as maximum cut and the Lovász theta function, and in control and eigenvalue optimization. Interior-point methods solve them reliably but manipulate dense n×nn\times nn×n matrices, which limits the size of the instances they can handle. Burer and Monteiro (Math. Program. 95 (2003)) proposed replacing the matrix variable X⪰0X\succeq 0X⪰0 by a factorization X=RRTX=RR^{T}X=RRT with RRR having only rrr columns, and solving the resulting nonconvex program by a first-order augmented Lagrangian method. The approach rests on a theorem of Barvinok (1995) and Pataki (1998): an SDP with mmm linear constraints has an optimal solution of rank rrr with r(r+1)/2≤mr(r+1)/2\le mr(r+1)/2≤m, so a small number of columns suffices.

Because the factorized problem is nonconvex, a local minimum it returns is not automatically a solution of the SDP. Section 2 of the paper gives conditions under which it is. This mission formalizes those conditions, culminating in Proposition 2.5, which justifies the paper's strategy of increasing the rank one column at a time.

Setting

For real p×qp\times qp×q matrices, the trace inner product is A∙B=trace⁡(ATB)A\bullet B=\operatorname{trace}(A^{T}B)A∙B=trace(ATB). The data are symmetric matrices C,A1,…,Am∈SnC, A_1,\dots,A_m\in\mathcal S^nC,A1​,…,Am​∈Sn and a vector b∈Rmb\in\mathbb R^mb∈Rm. The primal SDP and dual SDP are

(1)min⁡{C∙X:Ai∙X=bi, i=1,…,m, X⪰0},(3)max⁡{bTy:S=C−∑i=1myiAi, S⪰0}.\text{(1)}\quad \min\{C\bullet X : A_i\bullet X=b_i,\ i=1,\dots,m,\ X\succeq0\},\qquad \text{(3)}\quad \max\Big\{b^{T}y : S=C-\sum_{i=1}^m y_iA_i,\ S\succeq0\Big\}.(1)min{C∙X:Ai​∙X=bi​, i=1,…,m, X⪰0},(3)max{bTy:S=C−i=1∑m​yi​Ai​, S⪰0}.

The standing assumptions of the paper are that A1,…,AmA_1,\dots,A_mA1​,…,Am​ are linearly independent and that there are feasible X∗X^*X∗ and (S∗,y∗)(S^*,y^*)(S∗,y∗) with C∙X∗=bTy∗C\bullet X^*=b^{T}y^*C∙X∗=bTy∗.

For a positive integer r≤nr\le nr≤n, the low-rank program is

(Nr)min⁡{C∙(RRT):Ai∙(RRT)=bi, i=1,…,m, R∈Rn×r}.(N_r)\qquad \min\{C\bullet(RR^{T}) : A_i\bullet(RR^{T})=b_i,\ i=1,\dots,m,\ R\in\mathbb R^{n\times r}\}.(Nr​)min{C∙(RRT):Ai​∙(RRT)=bi​, i=1,…,m, R∈Rn×r}.

Its Lagrangian is L(R,y)=C∙(RRT)−∑iyi(Ai∙(RRT)−bi)L(R,y)=C\bullet(RR^{T})-\sum_i y_i(A_i\bullet(RR^{T})-b_i)L(R,y)=C∙(RRT)−∑i​yi​(Ai​∙(RRT)−bi​), and S(y)=C−∑iyiAiS(y)=C-\sum_i y_iA_iS(y)=C−∑i​yi​Ai​. A feasible RRR is a local minimum if it minimizes the objective among nearby feasible points; it is a regular point if A1R,…,AmRA_1R,\dots,A_mRA1​R,…,Am​R are linearly independent; it is a stationary point with multiplier yyy if ∇RL(R,y)=0\nabla_RL(R,y)=0∇R​L(R,y)=0. The injection of R∈Rn×rR\in\mathbb R^{n\times r}R∈Rn×r is R^=[ R  0 ]∈Rn×(r+1)\hat R=[\,R\ \ 0\,]\in\mathbb R^{n\times(r+1)}R^=[R  0]∈Rn×(r+1), obtained by appending a zero column.

Formalization targets

Goal: Proposition 2.5

Let r<nr<nr<n and let R∗R^*R∗ be a regular local minimum of (Nr)(N_r)(Nr​) with multiplier y∗y^*y∗, S∗=S(y∗)S^*=S(y^*)S∗=S(y∗), S∗R∗=0S^*R^*=0S∗R∗=0. If R^\hat RR^ is a local minimum of (Nr+1)(N_{r+1})(Nr+1​), then

X∗=R∗(R∗)T solves (1)and(S∗,y∗) solves (3).X^*=R^*(R^*)^{T}\ \text{solves (1)}\quad\text{and}\quad (S^*,y^*)\ \text{solves (3)}.X∗=R∗(R∗)T solves (1)and(S∗,y∗) solves (3).

Milestones

  1. The derivative formulas (9): ∇R(Ai∙(RRT)−bi)=2AiR\nabla_R(A_i\bullet(RR^T)-b_i)=2A_iR∇R​(Ai​∙(RRT)−bi​)=2Ai​R, ∇RL(R,y)=2SR\nabla_RL(R,y)=2SR∇R​L(R,y)=2SR, and LRR′′(R,y)[D,D]=2S∙(DDT)L''_{RR}(R,y)[D,D]=2S\bullet(DD^T)LRR′′​(R,y)[D,D]=2S∙(DDT).
  2. Proposition 2.3: at a regular local minimum of (Nr)(N_r)(Nr​) there is a unique y∗y^*y∗ with S∗R∗=0S^*R^*=0S∗R∗=0, and S∗∙(DDT)≥0S^*\bullet(DD^T)\ge0S∗∙(DDT)≥0 for every DDD with AiR∗∙D=0A_iR^*\bullet D=0Ai​R∗∙D=0 for all iii.
  3. Proposition 2.1: feasible XXX and (S,y)(S,y)(S,y) are simultaneously optimal if and only if X∙S=0X\bullet S=0X∙S=0.
  4. Proposition 2.4: a stationary point of (Nr)(N_r)(Nr​) whose S∗S^*S∗ is positive semidefinite gives optimal X∗=R∗R∗TX^*=R^*R^{*T}X∗=R∗R∗T and (S∗,y∗)(S^*,y^*)(S∗,y∗).

Significance

Proposition 2.5 is a certificate of global optimality for a nonconvex problem obtained from local information alone. It is the basis of the rank-increase scheme described on p. 8 of the paper: compute a local minimum of (Nr)(N_r)(Nr​) for a small rrr; if the zero-column extension is still a local minimum of (Nr+1)(N_{r+1})(Nr+1​), the current point solves the SDP; otherwise a better point of (Nr+1)(N_{r+1})(Nr+1​) exists and rrr is increased. Proposition 2.4 gives the companion test, valid for every rrr: positive semidefiniteness of the multiplier matrix at a stationary point. These statements underlie the later convergence analysis of the method (Burer & Monteiro 2005) and the literature on benign landscapes of low-rank SDP formulations (Boumal, Voroninski & Bandeira 2016).

The results are proved in the paper. What this mission adds is a machine-checked version of the full chain from the standard-form SDP to the rank-increase certificate, including the matrix calculus (9), the first- and second-order necessary conditions for an equality-constrained program over rectangular matrices, and SDP complementary slackness in standard form. No machine-checked proof of these results is recorded in Mathlib or on the platform.

Difficulty

The SDP side (Propositions 2.1 and 2.4) is linear algebra: weak duality and the fact that the trace inner product of two positive semidefinite matrices is nonnegative. The substance lies in Proposition 2.3. The feasible set of (Nr)(N_r)(Nr​) is a variety cut out by mmm quadratic equations, and the multiplier rule and, especially, the second-order necessary condition require a constraint qualification and a curve in the feasible set realizing every tangent direction. Mathlib provides a first-order Lagrange multiplier rule, but not the second-order condition on the tangent space. A naive attempt to read Proposition 2.5 off Proposition 2.4 fails: local minimality of R∗R^*R∗ alone does not make S∗S^*S∗ positive semidefinite (when rrr is below the minimal optimal rank, it is not); the hypothesis on (Nr+1)(N_{r+1})(Nr+1​) is indispensable.

Formalization scope

Matrices are Matrix (Fin n) (Fin r) ℝ with 0-based indices. The trace inner product is frob A B = trace(Aᵀ * B), defined for rectangular matrices. The data carry explicit symmetry hypotheses C.IsSymm and (A i).IsSymm; without them the formulas (9) are false. Primal feasibility uses Mathlib's PosSemidef, which over R\mathbb RR includes symmetry. Optimality for (1) and (3) is defined relative to their entire feasible sets. The standing assumptions are a separate predicate carried as a hypothesis by Propositions 2.1, 2.3, 2.4 and 2.5, and every statement about (Nr)(N_r)(Nr​) carries 0<r0<r0<r and r≤nr\le nr≤n (or r<nr<nr<n). Gradients are Fréchet derivatives under the Frobenius norm, identified with matrices through the trace inner product; local minima use IsLocalMinOn on the feasible set of (Nr)(N_r)(Nr​) together with feasibility. The injection appends the zero column as the last column.

The statement admits several trivializing encodings, all excluded here: optimality defined relative to the factorized feasible set instead of the whole SDP, an empty or unconstrained (Nr)(N_r)(Nr​) (an unconstrained local minimum or a local minimum without feasibility), a stationarity notion that already includes S⪰0S\succeq0S⪰0, and an injection other than the zero-column extension.

A complete development needs the matrix calculus of R↦RRTR\mapsto RR^{T}R↦RRT, a second-order necessary optimality condition under linear independence of the constraint gradients, and standard-form SDP weak duality and complementary slackness; all of these are reusable well beyond this mission. Proofs of individual milestones, in particular the derivative formulas and Proposition 2.4, are welcome independently of the goal.

Selected references

  • S. Burer and R. D. C. Monteiro, A nonlinear programming algorithm for solving semidefinite programs via low-rank factorization, Mathematical Programming 95 (2003), 329–357. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10107-002-0352-8 (statements cited from the authors' manuscript of March 9, 2001)
  • A. Barvinok, Problems of distance geometry and convex properties of quadratic maps, Discrete & Computational Geometry 13 (1995), 189–202. https://doi.org/10.1007/BF02574037
  • G. Pataki, On the rank of extreme matrices in semidefinite programs and the multiplicity of optimal eigenvalues, Mathematics of Operations Research 23 (1998), 339–358. https://doi.org/10.1287/moor.23.2.339
  • R. D. C. Monteiro and M. Todd, Path-following methods for semidefinite programming, in Handbook of Semidefinite Programming, Kluwer, 2000 (source of Proposition 2.1).
  • S. Burer and R. D. C. Monteiro, Local minima and convergence in low-rank semidefinite programming, Mathematical Programming 103 (2005), 427–444. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10107-004-0564-1
  • N. Boumal, V. Voroninski and A. S. Bandeira, The non-convex Burer–Monteiro approach works on smooth semidefinite programs, NeurIPS 2016. https://arxiv.org/abs/1606.04970
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Bandit AlgorithmsMachine LearningStatistics·Captain: mikedeng1

Regret Analysis of Stochastic and Nonstochastic Multi-armed Bandit Problems III: Contextual Bandits and the Banditron Mistake BoundTextbook

Motivation

In many sequential decision problems the learner sees side information before acting. A news site chooses an article for a visitor whose history and location it knows; an ad server chooses an advertisement for a query. Only the reward of the chosen action is observed. These are contextual bandit problems, and Chapter 4 of Bubeck and Cesa-Bianchi's monograph Regret Analysis of Stochastic and Nonstochastic Multi-armed Bandit Problems (arXiv:1204.5721v2) surveys several of their formal versions. In a contextual problem the learner is compared with the best policy, a map from contexts to arms, rather than with the best single arm.

This mission covers three of the chapter's models. The first marks each round with a context from a finite set. In the second, NNN experts give advice, as in prediction with expert advice. The third is the bandit multiclass problem: a linear classifier predicts one of KKK labels and then learns only whether its prediction was right. The goal is the mistake bound of the Banditron (Kakade, Shalev-Shwartz and Tewari, ICML 2008). The bound shows that one bit of feedback per round suffices to compete with every linear classifier, at regret O(n2/3)O(n^{2/3})O(n2/3).

Setting

There are K≥2K \ge 2K≥2 arms (or labels) {1,…,K}\{1,\dots,K\}{1,…,K} and rounds t=1,…,nt = 1, \dots, nt=1,…,n.

Adversarial losses. At round ttt an adversary assigns losses ℓi,t∈[0,1]\ell_{i,t} \in [0,1]ℓi,t​∈[0,1] to the arms and may adapt to the forecaster's past plays I1,…,It−1I_1, \dots, I_{t-1}I1​,…,It−1​. The forecaster draws ItI_tIt​ at random from a distribution ptp_tpt​ that depends on what it has observed, and it observes only ℓIt,t\ell_{I_t,t}ℓIt​,t​. Expectations E\mathbb EE are over the forecaster's draws.

Side information. Each round carries a context sts_tst​ from a finite set S\mathcal SS, and the sequence s1,s2,…s_1, s_2, \dotss1​,s2​,… is fixed in advance. The pseudo-regret against context-to-arm maps is

R‾nS=max⁡g:S→{1,…,K}E[∑t=1nℓIt,t−∑t=1nℓg(st),t].\overline R^{\mathcal S}_n = \max_{g:\mathcal S\to\{1,\dots,K\}} \mathbb E\Big[\sum_{t=1}^n \ell_{I_t,t} - \sum_{t=1}^n \ell_{g(s_t),t}\Big].RnS​=g:S→{1,…,K}max​E[t=1∑n​ℓIt​,t​−t=1∑n​ℓg(st​),t​].

The S-Exp3 forecaster runs one instance of Exp3 (Section 3.1 of the book) on each context.

Expert advice. At each round each of NNN experts jjj proposes a distribution ξtj\xi^j_tξtj​ over arms, which may depend on the forecaster's past plays. The contextual pseudo-regret is

R‾nctx=max⁡k=1,…,NE[∑t=1nℓIt,t−∑t=1nEi∼ξtkℓi,t].\overline R^{\mathrm{ctx}}_n = \max_{k=1,\dots,N}\mathbb E\Big[\sum_{t=1}^n \ell_{I_t,t} - \sum_{t=1}^n \mathbb E_{i\sim\xi^k_t}\ell_{i,t}\Big].Rnctx​=k=1,…,Nmax​E[t=1∑n​ℓIt​,t​−t=1∑n​Ei∼ξtk​​ℓi,t​].

Exp4 (Fig. 4.1) runs exponential weights over the experts with importance-weighted loss estimates.

Bandit multiclass. The examples (xt,yt)∈Rd×{1,…,K}(x_t, y_t) \in \mathbb R^d \times \{1,\dots,K\}(xt​,yt​)∈Rd×{1,…,K} are fixed in advance, with ∥xt∥=1\|x_t\| = 1∥xt​∥=1 (Euclidean). A K×dK\times dK×d matrix UUU classifies xxx by arg⁡max⁡i(Ux)i\arg\max_i (Ux)_iargmaxi​(Ux)i​. Its multiclass hinge loss on round ttt is ℓt(U)=[1−(Uxt)yt+max⁡i≠yt(Uxt)i]+\ell_t(U) = [1 - (Ux_t)_{y_t} + \max_{i\neq y_t}(Ux_t)_i]_+ℓt​(U)=[1−(Uxt​)yt​​+maxi=yt​​(Uxt​)i​]+​. Write Ln(U)=∑t≤nℓt(U)L_n(U) = \sum_{t\le n}\ell_t(U)Ln​(U)=∑t≤n​ℓt​(U) for the cumulative hinge loss, Lˉn(U)=Ln(U)/n\bar L_n(U) = L_n(U)/nLˉn​(U)=Ln​(U)/n for its average, and ∥U∥\|U\|∥U∥ for the Frobenius norm. The multiclass Perceptron predicts y^t=arg⁡max⁡i(Wtxt)i\hat y_t = \arg\max_i (W_tx_t)_iy^​t​=argmaxi​(Wt​xt​)i​ and, after seeing yty_tyt​, adds xtx_txt​ to row yty_tyt​ and subtracts it from row y^t\hat y_ty^​t​. The Banditron (p. 58) predicts YtY_tYt​ from pi,t=(1−γ)1y^t=i+γ/Kp_{i,t} = (1-\gamma)\mathbb 1_{\hat y_t = i} + \gamma/Kpi,t​=(1−γ)1y^​t​=i​+γ/K. It observes only 1Yt=yt\mathbb 1_{Y_t = y_t}1Yt​=yt​​ and updates Wt+1=Wt+X~tW_{t+1} = W_t + \widetilde X_tWt+1​=Wt​+Xt​, where (X~t)i,j=xt,j(1Yt=yt1Yt=i/pi,t−1y^t=i)(\widetilde X_t)_{i,j} = x_{t,j}\big(\mathbb 1_{Y_t=y_t}\mathbb 1_{Y_t=i}/p_{i,t} - \mathbb 1_{\hat y_t=i}\big)(Xt​)i,j​=xt,j​(1Yt​=yt​​1Yt​=i​/pi,t​−1y^​t​=i​). Its number of mistakes is Mn=∑t≤n1Yt≠ytM_n = \sum_{t\le n}\mathbb 1_{Y_t\neq y_t}Mn​=∑t≤n​1Yt​=yt​​.

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem 4.7 (Banditron)

For n≥8Kn \ge 8Kn≥8K, γ=(K/n)1/3\gamma = (K/n)^{1/3}γ=(K/n)1/3, every example sequence as above and every K×dK\times dK×d matrix UUU,

E Mn≤Ln(U)+(1+∥U∥2Lˉn(U))K1/3n2/3+2∥U∥2K2/3n1/3+2 ∥U∥K1/6n1/3.\mathbb E\,M_n \le L_n(U) + \Big(1 + \|U\|\sqrt{2\bar L_n(U)}\Big)K^{1/3}n^{2/3} + 2\|U\|^2K^{2/3}n^{1/3} + \sqrt2\,\|U\|K^{1/6}n^{1/3}.EMn​≤Ln​(U)+(1+∥U∥2Lˉn​(U)​)K1/3n2/3+2∥U∥2K2/3n1/3+2​∥U∥K1/6n1/3.

Milestones

  1. Multiclass Perceptron bound (Section 4.4, p. 57). For every n≥1n \ge 1n≥1 and UUU, ∑t≤n1y^t≠yt≤Ln(U)+2∥U∥2+∥U∥2nLˉn(U)\sum_{t\le n}\mathbb 1_{\hat y_t\ne y_t} \le L_n(U) + 2\|U\|^2 + \|U\|\sqrt{2n\bar L_n(U)}∑t≤n​1y^​t​=yt​​≤Ln​(U)+2∥U∥2+∥U∥2nLˉn​(U)​.
  2. Theorem 4.1 (p. 44). S-Exp3 satisfies R‾nS≤2n∣S∣Kln⁡K\overline R^{\mathcal S}_n \le \sqrt{2n|\mathcal S|K\ln K}RnS​≤2n∣S∣KlnK​.
  3. Theorem 4.2 (p. 46), with corrected constants. Exp4 without mixing satisfies R‾nctx≤2nKln⁡N\overline R^{\mathrm{ctx}}_n \le \sqrt{2nK\ln N}Rnctx​≤2nKlnN​ for ηt=2ln⁡N/(nK)\eta_t = \sqrt{2\ln N/(nK)}ηt​=2lnN/(nK)​, and R‾nctx≤2nKln⁡N\overline R^{\mathrm{ctx}}_n \le 2\sqrt{nK\ln N}Rnctx​≤2nKlnN​ for ηt=ln⁡N/(tK)\eta_t = \sqrt{\ln N/(tK)}ηt​=lnN/(tK)​.
  4. Theorem 4.3 (p. 50), with corrected learning rate. Let the plays be drawn from distributions qtq_tqt​ with qi,t≥ε>0q_{i,t}\ge\varepsilon > 0qi,t​≥ε>0, and let Exp3 run on the estimates ℓi,t1It=i/qi,t\ell_{i,t}\mathbb 1_{I_t=i}/q_{i,t}ℓi,t​1It​=i​/qi,t​ with η=2εln⁡K/n\eta = \sqrt{2\varepsilon\ln K/n}η=2εlnK/n​. Then max⁡kE[∑tEi∼ptℓi,t−∑tℓk,t]≤(2n/ε)ln⁡K\max_k \mathbb E\big[\sum_t \mathbb E_{i\sim p_t}\ell_{i,t} - \sum_t\ell_{k,t}\big] \le \sqrt{(2n/\varepsilon)\ln K}maxk​E[∑t​Ei∼pt​​ℓi,t​−∑t​ℓk,t​]≤(2n/ε)lnK​.

Significance

Theorem 4.7 shows that, on any sequence of examples, the bandit version of online multiclass classification costs at most O(K1/3n2/3)O(K^{1/3}n^{2/3})O(K1/3n2/3) mistakes beyond the hinge loss of the best linear classifier. The full-information Perceptron, by comparison, pays O(n)O(\sqrt n)O(n​). The bound has no stochastic assumption and has explicit constants. Theorems 4.1–4.3 are the basic regret guarantees for side information and expert advice. Theorem 4.3 in particular lets learning algorithms serve as experts inside Exp4, which is the construction behind Theorem 4.5.

The mission produces machine-checked statements, and eventually proofs, of these results with fully explicit constants and an explicit model of adaptive adversaries and adaptive advice. To the curators' knowledge none of the Banditron, the multiclass Perceptron bound, S-Exp3 or Theorem 4.3 is formalized anywhere. The platform's Bandit Algorithms series has a proved Exp4 bound, but only for advice and rewards fixed in advance. The book proves all four milestones and the goal; two printed statements (4.2 and 4.3) contain misprints that this mission corrects.

Difficulty

The Banditron bound concerns a randomized process whose weight matrix depends on all earlier random predictions. The Perceptron argument tracks ⟨U,Wn+1⟩\langle U, W_{n+1}\rangle⟨U,Wn+1​⟩ and ∥Wn+1∥2\|W_{n+1}\|^2∥Wn+1​∥2. It carries over only in conditional expectation, and the second moment of the importance-weighted update is of order K/γK/\gammaK/γ on rounds where y^t≠yt\hat y_t \neq y_ty^​t​=yt​ and of order γ\gammaγ otherwise. Combining these into one inequality for ∑tP(y^t≠yt)\sum_t\mathbb P(\hat y_t\neq y_t)∑t​P(y^​t​=yt​) and then for EMn\mathbb E M_nEMn​ requires solving a quadratic inequality in the presence of expectations, and the constants must come out as printed. For the Exp3/Exp4 results, the obstacle is that losses and advice adapt to past plays. The standard potential argument has to be run conditionally on the history, and a version that fixes the losses in advance proves a weaker theorem.

Formalization scope

  • Rounds and laws. Rounds are numbered from 000 in Lean (Lean round ttt is the book's round t+1t+1t+1). Every forecaster is a sampling rule from past plays to weights on Fin K. The law of the first nnn plays is the product ∏tpt(ωt∣ω<t)\prod_t p_t(\omega_t\mid\omega_{<t})∏t​pt​(ωt​∣ω<t​) over sequences ω:Fin n→Fin K\omega : \mathrm{Fin}\,n\to\mathrm{Fin}\,Kω:Finn→FinK, and expectations are finite sums against it. The adversary and the experts are deterministic functions of past plays; an independent randomized adversary is a mixture of these. The examples of the Banditron are fixed.
  • Argmax. y^t\hat y_ty^​t​ uses any argmax selector; all tie-breaking rules are covered.
  • Norms. ∥xt∥=1\|x_t\| = 1∥xt​∥=1 is the Euclidean condition ∑jxt,j2=1\sum_j x_{t,j}^2 = 1∑j​xt,j2​=1; ∥U∥\|U\|∥U∥ is the Frobenius norm written out explicitly.
  • Infima and maxima. Each "inf⁡U\inf_UinfU​" and "max⁡k\max_kmaxk​" of the book is stated as "for every UUU" or "for every kkk", which is equivalent.
  • Explicit constants. Every bound is the one printed or, for the corrected items, the one the proof yields. No O(⋅)O(\cdot)O(⋅) appears.
  • Corrected misprints. Theorem 4.7 prints the examples in Rd×{−1,+1}\mathbb R^d\times\{-1,+1\}Rd×{−1,+1}; labels are in {1,…,K}\{1,\dots,K\}{1,…,K}. Theorem 4.2 prints 2nNln⁡K\sqrt{2nN\ln K}2nNlnK​ and 2nNln⁡K2\sqrt{nN\ln K}2nNlnK​; the proof gives 2nKln⁡N\sqrt{2nK\ln N}2nKlnN​ and 2nKln⁡N2\sqrt{nK\ln N}2nKlnN​. Theorem 4.3 prints η=2ln⁡K/(nK)\eta = \sqrt{2\ln K/(nK)}η=2lnK/(nK)​; (4.7) follows from the proof with η=2εln⁡K/n\eta = \sqrt{2\varepsilon\ln K/n}η=2εlnK/n​.
  • Parameter range. At n=8Kn = 8Kn=8K the Banditron's γ\gammaγ equals 1/21/21/2, outside the box's open interval (0,1/2)(0,1/2)(0,1/2). The proof uses only γ≤1/2\gamma\le 1/2γ≤1/2, so n=8Kn = 8Kn=8K is included.
  • Ruling out trivial forms. Theorem 4.1 is stated for the explicit S-Exp3 forecaster, not as an existence claim, so no forecaster tuned to the losses can witness it. The losses and the advice are allowed to adapt, so a proof for oblivious sequences does not suffice.
  • Left out. Theorem 4.4 (Exp4 with mixing) is proved in the book only by reference. The argument that reference suggests yields 32γn+Kln⁡N/γ\tfrac32\gamma n + K\ln N/\gamma23​γn+KlnN/γ, not the printed γn/2+Kln⁡N/γ\gamma n/2 + K\ln N/\gammaγn/2+KlnN/γ. Theorem 4.5 is stated with O(⋅)O(\cdot)O(⋅), Theorem 4.6 "for some constant ccc", and Eq. (4.8) is left to the reader.

Useful reusable infrastructure: the path-law expectation for history-dependent sampling, the exponential-weights potential argument under adaptive losses, and Perceptron-type inner-product arguments for matrices. Proofs of any milestone and of the goal are welcome.

Selected references

  • S. Bubeck, N. Cesa-Bianchi, Regret Analysis of Stochastic and Nonstochastic Multi-armed Bandit Problems, Foundations and Trends in Machine Learning 5(1), 2012. arXiv:1204.5721v2. https://arxiv.org/abs/1204.5721 ; https://doi.org/10.1561/2200000024
  • S. M. Kakade, S. Shalev-Shwartz, A. Tewari, Efficient Bandit Algorithms for Online Multiclass Prediction, ICML 2008. https://doi.org/10.1145/1390156.1390212
  • P. Auer, N. Cesa-Bianchi, Y. Freund, R. E. Schapire, The Nonstochastic Multiarmed Bandit Problem, SIAM Journal on Computing 32(1), 2002. https://doi.org/10.1137/S0097539701398375
  • O.-A. Maillard, R. Munos, Adaptive Bandits: Towards the Best History-Dependent Strategy, AISTATS 2011. https://proceedings.mlr.press/v15/maillard11a.html
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Dynamic ProgrammingOptimization·Captain: mikedeng1

On Sequential Decisions and Markov Chains 3: A Deterministic Stationary Procedure Minimizes the Ratio of Two Long-Run Average CostsResearch Paper

Motivation

Many controlled systems are judged by a ratio of two long-run quantities rather than by a single one: cost per unit of output, cost per unit of time when the time spent in a state depends on the decision, cost per customer served, or expected cost per cycle of a renewal process. In a finite Markov decision model each of these is a quotient of two average costs per unit time. Cyrus Derman's 1962 paper On Sequential Decisions and Markov Chains (DOI 10.1287/mnsc.9.1.16) introduced this ratio-of-costs criterion in its §4, prompted by the fractional linear program that its §3 uses to solve the total-cost problem as a linear program, and pointed to Klein's work on maintenance policies as an example of the problem.

The paper's §4 first observes that, restricted to stationary randomized procedures, the ratio criterion is a ratio of two linear functions of the stationary state-decision frequencies, so it can be minimized by the fractional linear programming lemma of §3. The question it then raises is the one this mission formalizes: is the procedure optimal over stationary procedures also optimal over all procedures, including history-dependent and randomized ones? Derman's Theorem 3 answers yes under an irreducibility assumption, by reducing the ratio problem to a family of ordinary average-cost problems with costs of either sign.

Timeline, as far as it bears on this mission:

  • 1960: Manne, Linear Programming and Sequential Decisions, shows that linear programming applies to the average-cost problem, in the context of an inventory problem; Wagner, On the Optimality of Pure Strategies, shows by linear programming that a deterministic stationary procedure is optimal for it.
  • 1960: Howard, Dynamic Programming and Markov Processes, gives policy iteration for the average-cost problem over stationary procedures.
  • 1962: Derman proves that a deterministic stationary procedure is optimal over all procedures for the average-cost criterion (Theorem 1), formulates the average and total cost problems as linear programs under irreducibility assumptions (Theorem 2), and extends the optimality of deterministic stationary procedures to the ratio criterion (Theorem 3).
  • 1962: Klein, Inspection-Maintenance-Replacement Schedules Under Markovian Deterioration, gives a problem of the ratio type (cited by Derman, p. 18).
  • 1963: Jewell, Markov-renewal programming, treats the gain rate (reward per unit sojourn time) of semi-Markov decision processes, over stationary policies.

Setting

A system is observed at times t=0,1,…t = 0, 1, \dotst=0,1,… in one of finitely many states 0,…,L0, \dots, L0,…,L. After each observation one of the decisions d1,…,dKd_1, \dots, d_Kd1​,…,dK​ is made, all of them available in every state. If the system is in state iii and decision dkd_kdk​ is made, the next state is jjj with probability qij(k)≥0q_{ij}(k) \ge 0qij​(k)≥0, where ∑jqij(k)=1\sum_j q_{ij}(k) = 1∑j​qij​(k)=1.

A procedure RRR chooses the decision at time ttt at random, with probabilities Dk(X0,Δ0,…,Xt)D_k(X_0, \Delta_0, \dots, X_t)Dk​(X0​,Δ0​,…,Xt​) that may depend on the whole past; the class of all procedures is CCC. The class C′C'C′ consists of the stationary randomized procedures, for which the probability of dkd_kdk​ in state iii is a fixed number DikD_{ik}Dik​, whatever the past and the time. The class C′′C''C′′ consists of the deterministic stationary procedures, those of C′C'C′ with every Dik∈{0,1}D_{ik} \in \{0, 1\}Dik​∈{0,1}; it is finite. A procedure of C′C'C′ turns the states into a Markov chain with transition probabilities pij=∑kqij(k)Dikp_{ij} = \sum_k q_{ij}(k) D_{ik}pij​=∑k​qij​(k)Dik​.

Let wik′>0w'_{ik} > 0wik′​>0 and wik′′>0w''_{ik} > 0wik′′​>0 be two sets of costs incurred when decision dkd_kdk​ is made in state iii. For a fixed procedure RRR started at X0=iX_0 = iX0​=i, let Wt′W'_tWt′​ and Wt′′W''_tWt′′​ be the expected costs at time ttt. The ratio criterion is

ψR(i)=lim sup⁡T→∞∑t=0TWt′∑t=0TWt′′.\psi_R(i) = \limsup_{T\to\infty} \frac{\sum_{t=0}^{T} W'_t}{\sum_{t=0}^{T} W''_t}.ψR​(i)=T→∞limsup​∑t=0T​Wt′′​∑t=0T​Wt′​​.

For a single cost set www with expected costs WtW_tWt​, the average cost per unit time is QR(i)=lim sup⁡T→∞1T∑t=0TWtQ_R(i) = \limsup_{T\to\infty} \frac1T \sum_{t=0}^{T} W_tQR​(i)=limsupT→∞​T1​∑t=0T​Wt​.

Assumption A says that for every procedure of C′C'C′ all states 0,…,L0, \dots, L0,…,L belong to the same class of the induced Markov chain.

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem 3 (p. 23)

Under Assumption A, for every initial state iii there is a deterministic stationary procedure R3∈C′′R_3 \in C''R3​∈C′′ with

ψR3(i)=min⁡R∈CψR(i),\psi_{R_3}(i) = \min_{R \in C} \psi_R(i),ψR3​​(i)=R∈Cmin​ψR​(i),

that is, ψR3(i)≤ψR(i)\psi_{R_3}(i) \le \psi_R(i)ψR3​​(i)≤ψR​(i) for every procedure R∈CR \in CR∈C.

Steps of the proof (milestones)

  1. Theorem 1 (1) for costs of either sign: for every real cost www there is R1∈C′′R_1 \in C''R1​∈C′′ with QR1(i)≤QR(i)Q_{R_1}(i) \le Q_R(i)QR1​​(i)≤QR​(i) for all R∈CR \in CR∈C and all iii.
  2. For any procedure RRR, ψR(i)≤m\psi_R(i) \le mψR​(i)≤m implies QR(i)≤0Q_R(i) \le 0QR​(i)≤0 for the costs wik=wik′−m wik′′w_{ik} = w'_{ik} - m\, w''_{ik}wik​=wik′​−mwik′′​.
  3. Under Assumption A, for R∗∈C′′R^* \in C''R∗∈C′′, QR∗(i)≤0Q_{R^*}(i) \le 0QR∗​(i)≤0 for those costs implies ψR∗(i)≤m\psi_{R^*}(i) \le mψR∗​(i)≤m.
  4. For R∈C′R \in C'R∈C′ under Assumption A, ψR(i)=∑s∑kπsDskwsk′∑s∑kπsDskwsk′′\psi_R(i) = \dfrac{\sum_{s}\sum_k \pi_s D_{sk} w'_{sk}}{\sum_s\sum_k \pi_s D_{sk} w''_{sk}}ψR​(i)=∑s​∑k​πs​Dsk​wsk′′​∑s​∑k​πs​Dsk​wsk′​​, with π\piπ the stationary distribution of (psj)(p_{sj})(psj​).

Significance

Theorem 3 justifies solving ratio problems over stationary procedures only. Combined with the display of milestone 4 it shows that the fractional linear program over stationary state-decision frequencies yields a procedure optimal against every procedure, including those that remember the past or randomize. The same reduction, minimizing w′−mw′′w' - m w''w′−mw′′ and adjusting mmm, underlies later parametric methods for fractional Markov decision problems and the analysis of semi-Markov decision processes, where the denominator is the expected sojourn time.

All four steps and the theorem are classical and proved on paper. None of them is formalized on Prove2Me: the platform has average-cost optimality statements with nonnegative costs (Sennott's Proposition 6.2.3) and Jewell's gain-rate results restricted to stationary policies, but no statement of a ratio criterion over history-dependent procedures. This mission produces the statement of Theorem 3, the signed-cost version of Theorem 1 that it uses, and the two translation steps between the ratio criterion and the average-cost criterion.

Difficulty

The obvious argument restricts to stationary procedures, where all Cesàro limits exist and the ratio criterion is a ratio of two linear functionals of a stationary distribution. It says nothing about a history-dependent procedure, whose averages 1T∑t≤TWt′\frac1T\sum_{t\le T} W'_tT1​∑t≤T​Wt′​ and 1T∑t≤TWt′′\frac1T\sum_{t \le T} W''_tT1​∑t≤T​Wt′′​ need not converge, and for which the limit superior of the ratio is not the ratio of the limits superior. The translation from the ratio to an average cost therefore works in one direction for every procedure (milestone 2) and in the other direction only for stationary ones (milestone 3). The other ingredient, optimality of a deterministic stationary procedure for the average-cost criterion against all procedures with costs of either sign (milestone 1), is the substance of Derman's Theorem 1 and requires a vanishing-discount or equivalent argument over history-dependent procedures.

Formalization scope

The dynamics and the procedures come from the published definitions SennottDP_AvgFinite_Model: the system is an MDC S Act with [Fintype S] [Fintype Act] and the hypothesis ∀ s, M.A s = Finset.univ (all decisions available); the class CCC is Policy M, history-dependent and randomized; C′′C''C′′ is StationaryPolicy M through .toPolicy; the law of the history is histProb. The cost field M.C of that structure plays no role: the costs w′w'w′, w′′w''w′′ and the signed cost of milestone 1 are explicit real arguments S → Act → ℝ.

The local definitions are: the expected cost at time ttt for a real cost, as a finite sum over histories of length t+1t+1t+1; QR(i)Q_R(i)QR​(i) with Derman's normalization (T+1T+1T+1 terms divided by TTT); ψR(i)\psi_R(i)ψR​(i) as the limit superior of the ratio of partial sums; the induced matrix pijp_{ij}pij​; Assumption A as Matrix.IsIrreducible of ppp for every row-stochastic D≥0D \ge 0D≥0; and membership of a procedure in C′C'C′ with probabilities DDD. All limits superior are real, of bounded sequences; positivity of w′w'w′ and w′′w''w′′ is a hypothesis of every statement involving ψ\psiψ, which keeps the denominators positive.

The goal quantifies "for every initial state there is R3R_3R3​", following the proof. The competitors in the goal and in milestone 1 range over all of Policy M; a version comparing only with stationary procedures is a different and easier theorem and does not close this mission. Assumption A is kept in the goal although the proof does not visibly use it, because the theorem states it.

Contributions welcome: proofs of the milestones, in particular the signed-cost Theorem 1 (which may reduce to Sennott's Proposition 6.2.3 by shifting costs by a constant), Cesàro limits for stationary procedures on finite chains (reusable for milestones 3 and 4), and the final compactness argument over the finite class C′′C''C′′.

Selected references

  • C. Derman, On Sequential Decisions and Markov Chains, Management Science 9(1):16–24, 1962. https://doi.org/10.1287/mnsc.9.1.16
  • A. S. Manne, Linear Programming and Sequential Decisions, Management Science 6(3):259–267, 1960. https://doi.org/10.1287/mnsc.6.3.259
  • M. Klein, Inspection-Maintenance-Replacement Schedules Under Markovian Deterioration, Management Science 9(1), 1962.
  • H. M. Wagner, On the Optimality of Pure Strategies, Management Science 6(3), 1960.
  • R. A. Howard, Dynamic Programming and Markov Processes, MIT Press, 1960.
  • W. S. Jewell, Markov-Renewal Programming. I: Formulation, Finite Return Models, Operations Research 11(6):938–948, 1963. https://doi.org/10.1287/opre.11.6.938
  • L. I. Sennott, Stochastic Dynamic Programming and the Control of Queueing Systems, Wiley, 1999. https://doi.org/10.1002/9780470317037
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Convex OptimizationOptimization·Captain: mikedeng1

Project Scheduling with Time Windows and Scarce Resources VII: A Locally Quasiconcave Objective Always Has a Quasistable Optimal ScheduleTextbook

Motivation

Resource-constrained project scheduling asks for start times of the activities of a project that respect precedence-type time lags and the capacities of renewable resources (machines, crews, equipment). Classical project scheduling minimizes the project duration, a regular objective: delaying an activity never helps. Many objectives met in practice are not regular. The resource investment problem minimizes the cost of the resource capacities that must be procured; resource levelling problems minimize fluctuations of resource usage over time; the resource renting problem trades fixed procurement against time-dependent renting costs; net present value and earliness–tardiness objectives reward late as well as early starts. For such objectives the familiar fact that "some active schedule is optimal" fails, and algorithms need another finite set of candidate schedules that is guaranteed to contain an optimum.

Chapter 3 of Neumann, Schwindt and Zimmermann, Project Scheduling with Time Windows and Scarce Resources (2nd ed., Springer 2003, doi:10.1007/978-3-540-24800-2), organizes the objective functions of project scheduling into seven classes and pairs each class with a class of schedules that contains an optimal schedule. This mission formalizes §3.3 of that chapter. The classification goes back to Neumann, Nübel and Schwindt (2000) and Zimmermann (2001); the two locally defined classes, and the matching schedule classes of quasiactive and quasistable schedules, are the book's device for covering discontinuous resource-based objectives.

Setting

A project consists of activities V={0,1,…,n+1}V=\{0,1,\dots,n+1\}V={0,1,…,n+1}, n≥1n\ge 1n≥1, where 000 and n+1n+1n+1 are fictitious activities marking the project beginning and completion. Activity iii has an integer duration pip_ipi​ (p0=pn+1=0p_0=p_{n+1}=0p0​=pn+1​=0, pi>0p_i>0pi​>0 otherwise). The project network has an arc set EEE with integer weights δij\delta_{ij}δij​; a schedule is a vector S=(S0,…,Sn+1)S=(S_0,\dots,S_{n+1})S=(S0​,…,Sn+1​) of real start times with S0=0S_0=0S0​=0, S≥0S\ge 0S≥0, and it is time-feasible if Sj−Si≥δijS_j-S_i\ge\delta_{ij}Sj​−Si​≥δij​ for all ⟨i,j⟩∈E\langle i,j\rangle\in E⟨i,j⟩∈E. A maximum project duration dˉ∈N\bar d\in\mathbb Ndˉ∈N is prescribed through a backward arc ⟨n+1,0⟩\langle n+1,0\rangle⟨n+1,0⟩ of weight −dˉ-\bar d−dˉ, so Sn+1≤dˉS_{n+1}\le\bar dSn+1​≤dˉ. Each renewable resource kkk has capacity RkR_kRk​, activity iii uses rikr_{ik}rik​ units while in progress, and rk(S,t)r_k(S,t)rk​(S,t) is the total usage at time ttt. The feasible region S\mathcal SS consists of the time-feasible schedules with rk(S,t)≤Rkr_k(S,t)\le R_krk​(S,t)≤Rk​ for all kkk and ttt.

For an objective function f:R≥0n+2→Rf:\mathbb R^{n+2}_{\ge 0}\to\mathbb Rf:R≥0n+2​→R, problem PS∣temp,dˉ∣fPS|temp,\bar d|fPS∣temp,dˉ∣f asks for an optimal schedule: some S∈SS\in\mathcal SS∈S with f(S)≤f(S′)f(S)\le f(S')f(S)≤f(S′) for all S′∈SS'\in\mathcal SS′∈S.

A schedule induces the strict order O(S)={(i,j)∣i≠j, Sj≥Si+pi}O(S)=\{(i,j)\mid i\ne j,\ S_j\ge S_i+p_i\}O(S)={(i,j)∣i=j, Sj​≥Si​+pi​} of precedences it realizes. The equal-order set of SSS is

ST=(O(S))={S′ time-feasible∣Sj′≥Si′+pi ∀(i,j)∈O(S), O(S′)=O(S)},\mathcal S_T^{=}(O(S))=\{S'\text{ time-feasible}\mid S'_j\ge S'_i+p_i\ \forall (i,j)\in O(S),\ O(S')=O(S)\},ST=​(O(S))={S′ time-feasible∣Sj′​≥Si′​+pi​ ∀(i,j)∈O(S), O(S′)=O(S)},

a polytope with part of its boundary removed. The distinct equal-order sets partition S\mathcal SS into finitely many pieces.

Schedule classes are defined through shifts. A shift from a feasible SSS to a feasible S′≠SS'\ne SS′=S is order-preserving if O(S)⊆O(S′)O(S)\subseteq O(S')O(S)⊆O(S′); it is a left-shift if S′≤SS'\le SS′≤S. Two shifts from SSS to S′S'S′ and S′′S''S′′ are opposite if S′′−S=λ(S′−S)S''-S=\lambda(S'-S)S′′−S=λ(S′−S) with λ<0\lambda<0λ<0. A feasible schedule is active if no feasible left-shift exists, quasiactive if no order-preserving left-shift exists, stable if no pair of opposite shifts to feasible schedules exists, and quasistable if no pair of opposite order-preserving shifts exists.

Objective classes: fff is regular if S≤S′S\le S'S≤S′ implies f(S)≤f(S′)f(S)\le f(S')f(S)≤f(S′); quasiconcave on a set MMM if f(λS+(1−λ)S′)≥min⁡[f(S),f(S′)]f(\lambda S+(1-\lambda)S')\ge\min[f(S),f(S')]f(λS+(1−λ)S′)≥min[f(S),f(S′)] for S,S′∈MS,S'\in MS,S′∈M, λ∈[0,1]\lambda\in[0,1]λ∈[0,1]; lower semicontinuous if f(S)≤lim inf⁡S′→Sf(S′)f(S)\le\liminf_{S'\to S}f(S')f(S)≤liminfS′→S​f(S′) on R≥0n+2\mathbb R^{n+2}_{\ge 0}R≥0n+2​. Then fff is locally regular (class 6) if it is lower semicontinuous and regular on every equal-order set ST=(O(S))\mathcal S_T^{=}(O(S))ST=​(O(S)), S∈SS\in\mathcal SS∈S, and locally quasiconcave (class 7) if it is lower semicontinuous and quasiconcave on every such set.

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem 3.3.13

For every locally quasiconcave fff,

S≠∅ ⟹ ∃ S quasistable with f(S)=min⁡S′∈Sf(S′).\mathcal S\ne\emptyset\ \Longrightarrow\ \exists\,S\ \text{quasistable with}\ f(S)=\min_{S'\in\mathcal S}f(S').S=∅ ⟹ ∃S quasistable with f(S)=S′∈Smin​f(S′).

Milestones

  • Class 1 (§3.3.2): every regular fff has an active optimal schedule when S≠∅\mathcal S\ne\emptysetS=∅.
  • Class 5 (§3.3.6): every quasiconcave fff has a stable optimal schedule when S≠∅\mathcal S\ne\emptysetS=∅.
  • Eq. (3.3.11): the equal-order sets form a finite partition of S\mathcal SS.
  • Propositions 3.3.5 and 3.3.6: the resource investment objective ∑kckmax⁡trk(S,t)\sum_k c_k\max_t r_k(S,t)∑k​ck​maxt​rk​(S,t) with ck≥0c_k\ge 0ck​≥0 is constant on each equal-order set and lower semicontinuous, hence locally regular.
  • Theorem 3.3.9: every locally regular fff has a quasiactive optimal schedule when S≠∅\mathcal S\ne\emptysetS=∅.

Significance

Quasiactive and quasistable schedules are finite in number: they are the minimal points and the vertices of the finitely many schedule polytopes. Theorem 3.3.13 therefore turns the minimization of any locally quasiconcave objective over a disconnected, non-convex feasible region into a finite search. Class 7 contains the resource levelling objectives ∑ck∑rkt2\sum c_k\sum r_{kt}^2∑ck​∑rkt2​ and ∑ck∑okt\sum c_k\sum o_{kt}∑ck​∑okt​, the total variation of the resource profiles, and the resource renting objective (Propositions 3.3.10 and 3.3.12, and Nübel 2001). The enumeration schemes and decision sets of §3.5–3.7 rest on this result, and Theorem 3.3.9 plays the same role for class 6 (resource investment, changeover times).

The results are proved in the book and the cited papers. As far as a search of the platform shows, none of them, and none of the schedule classes, has a machine-checked formalization; Mathlib supplies lower semicontinuity and quasiconcavity but nothing about schedules. The mission produces a checked version of the classification theorems in the book's exact generality: general time lags (cycles in the network allowed), real start times, and arbitrary objectives given only by their class.

Difficulty

The optimum need not exist a priori: objectives of classes 6 and 7 are discontinuous, and the feasible region is a finite union of polytopes that is in general disconnected. Existence of a minimizer needs compactness of S\mathcal SS (which depends on the deadline arc and the network's path structure) together with lower semicontinuity.

The main obstacle is that the objective is only controlled piecewise. Quasiconcavity holds on each equal-order set separately, and an equal-order set is not closed: a schedule polytope ST(O(S))\mathcal S_T(O(S))ST​(O(S)) also contains schedules inducing strictly larger orders, where the hypothesis on fff says nothing about its relation to the values on ST=(O(S))\mathcal S_T^{=}(O(S))ST=​(O(S)). The obvious argument, taking an optimal schedule and invoking quasiconcavity along the segment of a pair of opposite order-preserving shifts, only relates fff at points of one equal-order set, and it does not by itself produce a schedule that admits no such pair at all. The same issue arises for Theorem 3.3.9 with order-preserving left-shifts, which may cross from one equal-order set into another.

Formalization scope

Activities are Fin (n + 2), with 0 and Fin.last (n + 1) fictitious. Start times are real; objective functions are total functions (Fin (n + 2) → ℝ) → ℝ whose regularity, quasiconcavity and lower semicontinuity are required only on the nonnegative orthant (lower semicontinuity is Mathlib's LowerSemicontinuousOn on the orthant). The deadline Sn+1≤dˉS_{n+1}\le\bar dSn+1​≤dˉ is the network's backward arc, as in §3.1. The project structure records the book's standing property (p. 8) that from each node iii there is a path to n+1n+1n+1 of length at least pip_ipi​; this bounds every activity by dˉ\bar ddˉ. The resource constraints are imposed for all t≥0t\ge 0t≥0, which under that property is the book's 0≤t≤dˉ0\le t\le\bar d0≤t≤dˉ. The peak max⁡trk(S,t)\max_t r_k(S,t)maxt​rk​(S,t) in the resource investment objective is a supremum in N\mathbb NN over t≥0t\ge 0t≥0 of a nonempty finite set, hence attained.

"Optimal" always means minimizing fff over the whole feasible region S\mathcal SS, and the theorems quantify over every function in the class; a formalization with a fixed objective, or with optimality over a single polytope or a single equal-order set, would be a different and weaker statement. The schedule classes are defined through shifts, never as minimal or extreme points, so no statement is true by definition. The only hypothesis besides the class of fff is S≠∅\mathcal S\ne\emptysetS=∅.

The mission restates locally the project model, the induced orders and the shift classes also drafted by the companion missions on schedule classes of this series. Useful contributions beyond the milestones: compactness of S\mathcal SS and closedness of the schedule polytopes, the representation of S\mathcal SS as a finite union of feasible order polytopes, and the finiteness of the sets of quasiactive and quasistable schedules.

Selected references

  • K. Neumann, C. Schwindt, J. Zimmermann, Project Scheduling with Time Windows and Scarce Resources, 2nd ed., Springer, 2003, §3.3. doi:10.1007/978-3-540-24800-2
  • K. Neumann, H. Nübel, C. Schwindt, Active and stable project scheduling, Mathematical Methods of Operations Research 52 (2000), cited in the book as Neumann et al. (2000).
  • J. Zimmermann, Ablauforientiertes Projektmanagement: Modelle, Verfahren und Anwendungen, Gabler, 2001.
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