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Optimization

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Convex OptimizationOperations Research·Captain: mikedeng1

Scenarios and Policy Aggregation in Optimization Under Uncertainty 1: In the Convex Case Progressive Hedging Converges to Optimal Solutions of (P) and (D) Exactly When They ExistResearch Paper

Motivation

Decisions under uncertainty are often modelled by a finite set of scenarios: possible futures s∈Ss\in Ss∈S with weights psp_sps​, each with its own optimization problem. Solving every scenario separately is easy but useless in practice, because the decision taken today cannot depend on which scenario will be revealed tomorrow. Progressive hedging, introduced by Rockafellar and Wets in Scenarios and policy aggregation in optimization under uncertainty (IIASA Working Paper WP-87-119, 1987; Mathematics of Operations Research 16(1), 1991), restores this nonanticipativity by iterating between scenario-wise solves and an averaging step, guided by price systems that act as multipliers. It is the standard decomposition method for multistage stochastic programs and is implemented in widely used software such as PySP/mpi-sppy. This mission formalizes the paper's convergence theorem in the convex case, Theorem 5.1, together with the duality theory of §4 and the proof steps of §5 it rests on.

Setting

Let SSS be a finite set of scenarios with weights ps>0p_s>0ps​>0, ∑sps=1\sum_s p_s=1∑s​ps​=1. For each sss the scenario subproblem (Ps)(P_s)(Ps​) is to minimize fs(x)f_s(x)fs​(x) over x∈Cs⊂Rnx\in C_s\subset\mathbb R^nx∈Cs​⊂Rn, where CsC_sCs​ is nonempty and closed and fsf_sfs​ is locally Lipschitz with bounded level sets {x∈Cs∣fs(x)≤α}\{x\in C_s\mid f_s(x)\le\alpha\}{x∈Cs​∣fs​(x)≤α}. The convex case is when every fsf_sfs​ and CsC_sCs​ is convex.

A decision vector is split by time, x=(x1,…,xT)x=(x_1,\dots,x_T)x=(x1​,…,xT​). A policy is a map X:S→RnX:S\to\mathbb R^nX:S→Rn; the policy space E\mathcal EE carries the inner product ⟨X,Y⟩=∑spsX(s)⋅Y(s)\langle X,Y\rangle=\sum_s p_s X(s)\cdot Y(s)⟨X,Y⟩=∑s​ps​X(s)⋅Y(s) and norm ∥X∥=⟨X,X⟩1/2\|X\|=\langle X,X\rangle^{1/2}∥X∥=⟨X,X⟩1/2. At each time ttt the scenarios are partitioned into bundles A∈AtA\in\mathcal A_tA∈At​ of scenarios that cannot yet be told apart. The aggregation X^=JX\hat X=JXX^=JX replaces Xt(s)X_t(s)Xt​(s) by its ppp-weighted average over the bundle of sss at time ttt, and K=I−JK=I-JK=I−J. The implementable policies are N={X∣Xt\mathcal N=\{X\mid X_tN={X∣Xt​ constant on each A∈At}A\in\mathcal A_t\}A∈At​}, the price systems are M={W∣JW=0}=N⊥\mathcal M=\{W\mid JW=0\}=\mathcal N^\perpM={W∣JW=0}=N⊥, and the admissible policies are C={X∣X(s)∈Cs ∀s}\mathcal C=\{X\mid X(s)\in C_s\ \forall s\}C={X∣X(s)∈Cs​ ∀s}. With F(X)=∑spsfs(X(s))F(X)=\sum_s p_s f_s(X(s))F(X)=∑s​ps​fs​(X(s)) the problem is

(P)minimize F(X) subject to X∈C∩N.(P)\qquad \text{minimize } F(X) \text{ subject to } X\in\mathcal C\cap\mathcal N .(P)minimize F(X) subject to X∈C∩N.

Its Lagrangian is L(X,W)=F(X)+⟨X,W⟩L(X,W)=F(X)+\langle X,W\rangleL(X,W)=F(X)+⟨X,W⟩ on C×M\mathcal C\times\mathcal MC×M, the dual is (D)(D)(D): maximize G(W)=inf⁡X∈CL(X,W)G(W)=\inf_{X\in\mathcal C}L(X,W)G(W)=infX∈C​L(X,W) over W∈MW\in\mathcal MW∈M with G(W)>−∞G(W)>-\inftyG(W)>−∞.

The progressive hedging algorithm fixes r>0r>0r>0, starts from any X0X^0X0 and any W0∈MW^0\in\mathcal MW0∈M, and in iteration ν\nuν sets X^ν=JXν\hat X^\nu=JX^\nuX^ν=JXν, lets Xν+1(s)X^{\nu+1}(s)Xν+1(s) minimize

fs(x)+x⋅Wν(s)+12r ∣x−X^ν(s)∣2over x∈Csf_s(x)+x\cdot W^\nu(s)+\tfrac12 r\,|x-\hat X^\nu(s)|^2\quad\text{over } x\in C_sfs​(x)+x⋅Wν(s)+21​r∣x−X^ν(s)∣2over x∈Cs​

for every scenario, and updates Wν+1=Wν+rKXν+1W^{\nu+1}=W^\nu+rKX^{\nu+1}Wν+1=Wν+rKXν+1.

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem 5.1

In the convex case with exact minimization, the sequences {X^ν}\{\hat X^\nu\}{X^ν} and {Wν}\{W^\nu\}{Wν} are bounded if and only if (P) and (D) have optimal solutions. In that case there are optimal X∗X^*X∗ for (P) and W∗W^*W∗ for (D) with

X^ν→X∗,Wν→W∗,\hat X^\nu\to X^*,\qquad W^\nu\to W^*,X^ν→X∗,Wν→W∗,

and, with ∥(X,W)∥r=(∥X∥2+r−2∥W∥2)1/2\|(X,W)\|_r=(\|X\|^2+r^{-2}\|W\|^2)^{1/2}∥(X,W)∥r​=(∥X∥2+r−2∥W∥2)1/2,

∥(X^ν+1,Wν+1)−(X∗,W∗)∥r≤∥(X^ν,Wν)−(X∗,W∗)∥r\|(\hat X^{\nu+1},W^{\nu+1})-(X^*,W^*)\|_r\le\|(\hat X^{\nu},W^{\nu})-(X^*,W^*)\|_r∥(X^ν+1,Wν+1)−(X∗,W∗)∥r​≤∥(X^ν,Wν)−(X∗,W∗)∥r​

for all ν≥0\nu\ge0ν≥0, strictly unless (X^ν,Wν)=(X∗,W∗)(\hat X^\nu,W^\nu)=(X^*,W^*)(X^ν,Wν)=(X∗,W∗), and the step lengths ∥(X^ν+1,Wν+1)−(X^ν,Wν)∥r\|(\hat X^{\nu+1},W^{\nu+1})-(\hat X^\nu,W^\nu)\|_r∥(X^ν+1,Wν+1)−(X^ν,Wν)∥r​ are nonincreasing from ν=1\nu=1ν=1 on.

Milestones

  1. Propositions 3.1–3.3: existence for the scenario subproblems, the lower bound α^=min⁡CF=E{min⁡(Ps)}≤min⁡(P)\hat\alpha=\min_{\mathcal C}F=E\{\min(P_s)\}\le\min(P)α^=minC​F=E{min(Ps​)}≤min(P), well-posedness of every modified subproblem (unique solution in the convex case), and compact level sets of FFF on C\mathcal CC.
  2. Theorem 4.2 and Proposition 4.4 (in the convex case): the scenario-wise subgradient conditions −W∗(s)∈∂fs(X∗(s))+NCs(X∗(s))-W^*(s)\in\partial f_s(X^*(s))+N_{C_s}(X^*(s))−W∗(s)∈∂fs​(X∗(s))+NCs​​(X∗(s)) are equivalent to a saddle point of LLL, and the analogous conditions are necessary and sufficient for the iterates.
  3. Proposition 4.5 and Theorem 4.6: the perturbation function Φ(U)=min⁡{F(X)∣X∈C, KX=U}\Phi(U)=\min\{F(X)\mid X\in\mathcal C,\ KX=U\}Φ(U)=min{F(X)∣X∈C, KX=U} and the duality −∞<min⁡(P)=sup⁡(D)-\infty<\min(P)=\sup(D)−∞<min(P)=sup(D), argmax⁡(D)=−∂Φ(0)\operatorname{argmax}(D)=-\partial\Phi(0)argmax(D)=−∂Φ(0).
  4. Proposition 5.3: each iteration is the unique saddle point of a proximal saddle function.
  5. From the proof of Theorem 5.1: firm nonexpansiveness (5.26) of the iteration map in ∥⋅∥r\|\cdot\|_r∥⋅∥r​, and the identification of its fixed points with primal–dual optimal pairs.

Significance

Theorem 5.1 is the guarantee behind progressive hedging in the convex case: solving only small scenario problems and averaging, the method finds a nonanticipative optimal policy and an optimal price system whenever these exist, with a distance to the solution that never increases. The dual sequence WνW^\nuWν converges to a solution of (D), which gives the prices of information that the paper interprets economically. Boundedness of the iterates is an exact test for solvability.

The result is classical and fully proved on paper; its proof reduces the algorithm to Rockafellar's proximal point algorithm for a maximal monotone operator. No machine-checked version is known to exist. The mission produces a formal statement and, eventually, a proof of the full chain from scenario data to convergence, including the duality theorem of §4, which is of independent use for scenario-based stochastic programming. A related platform mission in this series treats the nonconvex case (limits of the algorithm satisfy first-order conditions).

Difficulty

The algorithm is not a proximal point method in the variable XXX: it acts on the pair (X^,W)(\hat X,W)(X^,W), and the averaged policy X^ν\hat X^\nuX^ν is in general not admissible while XνX^\nuXν is in general not implementable. The step that fails in a direct attempt is showing that the map (X^ν,Wν)↦(X^ν+1,Wν+1)(\hat X^\nu,W^\nu)\mapsto(\hat X^{\nu+1},W^{\nu+1})(X^ν,Wν)↦(X^ν+1,Wν+1) is firmly nonexpansive, which requires recognizing it as the resolvent of the monotone operator of a saddle function restricted to N×M\mathcal N\times\mathcal MN×M, in the rescaled norm ∥⋅∥r\|\cdot\|_r∥⋅∥r​ rather than in the original product norm. A second difficulty is duality: identifying the fixed points of the iteration with optimal pairs of (P) and (D) needs the convex duality theory of §4 for an extended-real-valued perturbation function without any constraint qualification.

Formalization scope

Rn\mathbb R^nRn is EuclideanSpace ℝ (Fin n); policies are functions S → EuclideanSpace ℝ (Fin n) with S a Fintype. Time periods are a monotone map assigning each coordinate to its period, and each At\mathcal A_tAt​ is a Setoid S; no refinement between periods is assumed. The standing assumptions of §3 are fields of the model structure, and the convex case is a separate hypothesis.

The inner product (2.2), norm (2.3) and ∥⋅∥r\|\cdot\|_r∥⋅∥r​ (5.2) are explicit weighted sums. Mathlib's norm on a function type is the sup norm; it is used only for topology (boundedness, convergence, local Lipschitz continuity, compactness), which coincides with that of (2.3) in finite dimension. Stating (5.3) or (5.26) with Mathlib's sup norm would change the inequalities and is ruled out. Optimal values min⁡(P)\min(P)min(P), sup⁡(D)\sup(D)sup(D), GGG, Φ\PhiΦ, α^\hat\alphaα^ and ℓ\ellℓ are EReal infima and suprema, so that infeasibility gives +∞+\infty+∞ and an unbounded dual objective gives −∞-\infty−∞; real-valued sInf would silently return 000 there. A solution of (D) must have G(W∗)>−∞G(W^*)>-\inftyG(W∗)>−∞. The algorithm is a predicate on sequences, with X0X^0X0 arbitrary and W0∈MW^0\in\mathcal MW0∈M; Proposition 3.2 shows the predicate is satisfiable.

Subgradients and normal cones are those of convex analysis; the normal cone is the published definition FirstOrderOpt.ConvexTheory.normalCone. Not formalized: the nonconvex (Clarke) parts of §4, the linear-quadratic case and its rate result, and inexact minimization.

A complete development needs: separable minimization over product sets, finite-dimensional compactness arguments, convex duality for a perturbation function on a subspace, and the convergence of the proximal point algorithm for maximal monotone operators (Rockafellar 1976, Theorem 1 and Proposition 1). The last two are reusable well beyond this mission; contributions of either as standalone results are welcome.

Selected references

  • R. T. Rockafellar and R. J.-B. Wets, Scenarios and policy aggregation in optimization under uncertainty, IIASA Working Paper WP-87-119, 1987; Mathematics of Operations Research 16(1):119–147, 1991. https://pure.iiasa.ac.at/id/eprint/2933/ — https://doi.org/10.1287/moor.16.1.119
  • R. T. Rockafellar, Monotone operators and the proximal point algorithm, SIAM Journal on Control and Optimization 14(5):877–898, 1976. https://doi.org/10.1137/0314056
  • G. J. Minty, Monotone (nonlinear) operators in Hilbert space, Duke Mathematical Journal 29(3):341–346, 1962. https://doi.org/10.1215/S0012-7094-62-02933-2
  • R. T. Rockafellar, Convex Analysis, Princeton University Press, 1970. https://doi.org/10.1515/9781400873173
15 thms1 active userReviewed
Linear algebraOperations Research·Captain: mikedeng1

Strongly Regular Generalized Equations II: Schur-Complement Criterion — A₁₁ Nonsingular and (A/A₁₁) Positive Definite Make (A + ∂ψ_{ℝʳ×K})⁻¹ Lipschitz on ℝ^{r+s}; for K = ℝˢ₊, P-Matrix IffResearch Paper

Motivation

A constrained system can be written as a generalized equation: a smooth or linear expression must balance the normal cone of a feasible set. This form includes variational inequalities and the first-order conditions of many optimization problems. It is useful to know whether a small change in the right-hand side determines one nearby solution and how far that solution moves. In the linear finite-dimensional case, Robinson's Theorem 3.1 gives matrix conditions that guarantee something stronger: a unique solution for every right-hand side, with one Lipschitz bound valid over the entire space. The theorem also identifies an exact matrix criterion when the feasible set is a product with a nonnegative orthant.

The question is relevant whenever some coordinates of a system are free and others are constrained by inequalities. Eliminating the free coordinates produces a smaller matrix, the Schur complement. The resulting condition can be checked on the reduced block, and in the orthant case it becomes the familiar P-matrix criterion from linear complementarity. Robinson states both claims in a single theorem and relates them to the behavior of a generalized equation rather than to an isolated matrix property Robinson, pp. 51–52.

Setting

Let r,sr,sr,s be positive integers and give Rr+s\mathbb R^{r+s}Rr+s its Euclidean norm. Write w=(w1,w2)w=(w_1,w_2)w=(w1​,w2​), with w1∈Rrw_1\in\mathbb R^rw1​∈Rr and w2∈Rsw_2\in\mathbb R^sw2​∈Rs. Let K⊆RsK\subseteq\mathbb R^sK⊆Rs be nonempty, closed, and convex, and put D=Rr×KD=\mathbb R^r\times KD=Rr×K. For w∈Dw\in Dw∈D, the normal cone is

ND(w)={v∈Rr+s:⟨v,c−w⟩≤0 for every c∈D}.N_D(w)=\{v\in\mathbb R^{r+s}:\langle v,c-w\rangle\leq0\text{ for every }c\in D\}.ND​(w)={v∈Rr+s:⟨v,c−w⟩≤0 for every c∈D}.

For w∉Dw\notin Dw∈/D, ND(w)N_D(w)ND​(w) is empty. Thus the inclusion y∈Aw+ND(w)y\in Aw+N_D(w)y∈Aw+ND​(w) itself enforces feasibility. This is Robinson's indicator-subdifferential convention Robinson, pp. 43 and 51.

Partition the real square matrix AAA into blocks A11A_{11}A11​, A12A_{12}A12​, A21A_{21}A21​, and A22A_{22}A22​, where A11A_{11}A11​ is r×rr\times rr×r. When A11A_{11}A11​ is nonsingular, its Schur complement in AAA is

A/A11=A22−A21A11−1A12.A/A_{11}=A_{22}-A_{21}A_{11}^{-1}A_{12}.A/A11​=A22​−A21​A11−1​A12​.

A real matrix MMM is positive definite in the theorem's sense when v⊤Mv>0v^\top Mv>0v⊤Mv>0 for every nonzero vvv. Symmetry is not assumed. A P-matrix has strictly positive determinants for every nonempty principal submatrix. Write R+s\mathbb R^s_+R+s​ for the vectors with all components nonnegative. These conventions are stated or used in Theorem 3.1 and its proof.

Formalization targets

General closed convex set

For TK(w)=Aw+NRr×K(w)T_K(w)=Aw+N_{\mathbb R^r\times K}(w)TK​(w)=Aw+NRr×K​(w), the first target is the sufficient condition

det⁡A11≠0andv⊤(A/A11)v>0  (v≠0)⟹TK−1:Rr+s→Rr+s is Lipschitz.\det A_{11}\ne0\quad\text{and}\quad v^\top(A/A_{11})v>0\;(v\ne0) \quad\Longrightarrow\quad T_K^{-1}:\mathbb R^{r+s}\to\mathbb R^{r+s}\text{ is Lipschitz}.detA11​=0andv⊤(A/A11​)v>0(v=0)⟹TK−1​:Rr+s→Rr+s is Lipschitz.

Here “is Lipschitz” includes that exactly one inverse value exists at every yyy. The assertion holds for every nonempty closed convex KKK; it is not restricted to polyhedral sets.

Nonnegative orthant

When K=R+sK=\mathbb R^s_+K=R+s​, the second target is an equivalence:

TR+s−1 is everywhere defined, single-valued and Lipschitz⟺det⁡A11≠0 and A/A11 is a P-matrix.T_{\mathbb R^s_+}^{-1}\text{ is everywhere defined, single-valued and Lipschitz} \quad\Longleftrightarrow\quad \det A_{11}\ne0\text{ and }A/A_{11}\text{ is a P-matrix}.TR+s​−1​ is everywhere defined, single-valued and Lipschitz⟺detA11​=0 and A/A11​ is a P-matrix.

The goal theorem is the conjunction of these two statements, matching Theorem 3.1. Its milestones record the paper's local upper Lipschitz assertion for polyhedral multifunctions, the block reduction, the reduced inverse result, the complementarity characterization, and the necessity of nonsingularity.

Significance

The first part gives a global sensitivity guarantee for a generalized equation with an arbitrary nonempty closed convex lower-block constraint. For any two right-hand sides, their unique solutions differ by at most a fixed multiple of the distance between those right-hand sides. The second part tells when this guarantee holds for the orthant model: the P-matrix condition is necessary as well as sufficient. These are the precise conclusions of Robinson's theorem; the mission concerns their machine-checked formalization, not an unresolved mathematical conjecture.

A complete development would provide reusable definitions of the normal-cone generalized equation, an explicitly nonsymmetric notion of positive definiteness, P-matrices, and the global inverse property. It would also formalize the linear complementarity characterization quoted in the paper. The current draft has Lean-checked statements with proof placeholders. No proof of Theorem 3.1 or of its milestones is claimed here.

Difficulty

Nonsingularity of the full matrix AAA alone does not decide whether the constrained inverse exists uniquely: the normal cone can change as w2w_2w2​ reaches different faces of KKK. A pointwise uniqueness argument also does not by itself supply one Lipschitz constant on all of Rr+s\mathbb R^{r+s}Rr+s. For the orthant case, checking only the full determinant or leading principal minors would miss the criterion Robinson invokes; every nonempty principal minor matters. The difficulty is to connect a global statement about all right-hand sides with the reduced matrix condition while preserving the normal cone's behavior at boundary points Robinson, pp. 51–52.

Formalization scope

Lean represents Rr+s\mathbb R^{r+s}Rr+s as a Euclidean space indexed by the disjoint union of Fin(r)\mathrm{Fin}(r)Fin(r) and Fin(s)\mathrm{Fin}(s)Fin(s). This gives the paper's Euclidean norm rather than the sup norm of a product type. The normal cone is empty off its set, and the inverse property explicitly requires existence for every right-hand side, uniqueness, and one global real Lipschitz bound. The Schur complement appears only with a nonsingular A11A_{11}A11​ in the substantive claims; matrix inversion on a singular input would otherwise be totalized by Lean. Positive definiteness does not add a symmetry hypothesis. The goal retains r,s>0r,s>0r,s>0 as printed; the paper's later remark about zero-dimensional blocks is outside this theorem.

The polyhedral milestones use finite intersections of closed half-spaces. The reduced-operator milestone uses a nonempty closed convex KKK, matching the theorem's setting. The LCP milestone allows any finite dimension; at dimension zero, both its universal uniqueness statement and its empty-minor P-matrix condition hold. A weaker encoding in which the inverse is merely single-valued where it happens to exist would erase the global conclusion and is excluded here.

Solvers can contribute the block-normal-cone equivalence, the global inverse statement for the reduced operator, the polyhedral Lipschitz result, the P-matrix characterization, and the final theorem. The normal-cone and matrix definitions can also serve later generalized-equation missions that use the same conventions.

Selected references

  • S. M. Robinson, Strongly Regular Generalized Equations, Mathematics of Operations Research 5(1), 43–62, 1980. DOI 10.1287/moor.5.1.43.
8 thms1 active userReviewed
Functional AnalysisOperations Research·Captain: mikedeng1

Strongly Regular Generalized Equations I: Implicit-Function Theorem — the Solution x(p) of 0 ∈ f(p, x) + ∂ψ_C(x) Is Locally Unique with ‖x(p) − x(q)‖ ≤ (λ + ε)‖f(p, x(q)) − f(q, x(q))‖Research Paper

Motivation

Many problems of optimization and equilibrium can be written as one inclusion. Some examples are the Karush–Kuhn–Tucker conditions of a nonlinear program, nonlinear complementarity problems, variational inequalities and the equilibrium conditions of economic and traffic models. In each of them a point xxx has to satisfy 0∈f(x)+∂ψC(x)0 \in f(x) + \partial\psi_C(x)0∈f(x)+∂ψC​(x). In applications the data fff depend on parameters: estimated coefficients, prices, or the iterate of an algorithm. One then wants to know whether a solution persists under a perturbation of the parameter, whether it stays locally unique, and how fast it moves. For a smooth equation f(p,x)=0f(p, x) = 0f(p,x)=0 the classical implicit-function theorem answers all three questions. Inequality constraints make the solution set nonsmooth, and the classical theorem no longer applies.

S. M. Robinson's paper Strongly regular generalized equations (Math. Oper. Res. 5 (1980) 43–62) introduced the condition of strong regularity and proved an implicit-function theorem for generalized equations under it. The condition and the theorem became the starting point of the stability theory of variational inequalities and nonlinear programs. Later work characterises strong regularity for nonlinear programs (Robinson's own §4, through the strong second-order sufficient condition), and develops it in the theory of metric regularity and of single-valued Lipschitz localisations (Dontchev–Rockafellar, Implicit Functions and Solution Mappings, Springer 2009/2014). Its sensitivity results underlie the convergence analysis of Newton and sequential quadratic programming methods for these problems.

This mission formalizes §1–§2 of the paper: the definition, the implicit-function theorem (Theorem 2.1) with its proof, and the three results derived from it.

Setting

Let XXX be a real normed linear space and X′X'X′ its topological dual, the continuous linear functionals on XXX. Let C⊆XC \subseteq XC⊆X be closed and convex. The normal-cone operator of CCC is

∂ψC(x)={{y∈X′:y(c−x)≤0 for all c∈C},x∈C,∅,x∉C.\partial\psi_C(x) = \begin{cases} \{y \in X' : y(c - x) \le 0 \text{ for all } c \in C\}, & x \in C, \\ \emptyset, & x \notin C. \end{cases}∂ψC​(x)={{y∈X′:y(c−x)≤0 for all c∈C},∅,​x∈C,x∈/C.​

A generalized equation is the inclusion 0∈f(x)+∂ψC(x)0 \in f(x) + \partial\psi_C(x)0∈f(x)+∂ψC​(x), for a function fff from an open set Ω⊆X\Omega \subseteq XΩ⊆X to X′X'X′. For C=XC = XC=X it is the equation f(x)=0f(x) = 0f(x)=0. For CCC the nonnegative orthant of Rn\mathbb R^nRn it is the nonlinear complementarity problem. For a general closed convex CCC it is the variational inequality over CCC.

Let x0∈Ωx_0 \in \Omegax0​∈Ω solve the generalized equation, and let fff be Fréchet differentiable at x0x_0x0​. Linearising fff gives the multifunction

Tx=f(x0)+f′(x0)(x−x0)+∂ψC(x).T x = f(x_0) + f'(x_0)(x - x_0) + \partial\psi_C(x).Tx=f(x0​)+f′(x0​)(x−x0​)+∂ψC​(x).

The generalized equation is strongly regular at x0x_0x0​ with associated Lipschitz constant λ\lambdaλ if there are neighbourhoods UUU of 000 in X′X'X′ and VVV of x0x_0x0​ with the following property: for every y∈Uy \in Uy∈U the inclusion y∈Txy \in Txy∈Tx has exactly one solution s(y)s(y)s(y) in VVV, and ∥s(y1)−s(y2)∥≤λ∥y1−y2∥\|s(y_1) - s(y_2)\| \le \lambda \|y_1 - y_2\|∥s(y1​)−s(y2​)∥≤λ∥y1​−y2​∥ on UUU. The condition depends only on f(x0)f(x_0)f(x0​), f′(x0)f'(x_0)f′(x0​) and CCC.

In the parametric problem the function is f(p,x)f(p, x)f(p,x), with ppp in a topological space PPP and base point p0p_0p0​. Its partial derivative in xxx is f′(p,x)f'(p, x)f′(p,x).

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem 2.1 (p. 45)

Assume that f′f'f′ exists on P×ΩP \times \OmegaP×Ω, that fff and f′f'f′ are continuous at (p0,x0)(p_0, x_0)(p0​,x0​), and that x0x_0x0​ solves 0∈f(p0,x)+∂ψC(x)0 \in f(p_0, x) + \partial\psi_C(x)0∈f(p0​,x)+∂ψC​(x), strongly regularly with constant λ\lambdaλ. Then for every ε>0\varepsilon > 0ε>0 there are neighbourhoods NεN_\varepsilonNε​ of p0p_0p0​ and WεW_\varepsilonWε​ of x0x_0x0​, and a function x:Nε→Wεx : N_\varepsilon \to W_\varepsilonx:Nε​→Wε​, with two properties. First, x(p)x(p)x(p) is the unique solution in WεW_\varepsilonWε​ of 0∈f(p,x)+∂ψC(x)0 \in f(p, x) + \partial\psi_C(x)0∈f(p,x)+∂ψC​(x). Second,

∥x(p)−x(q)∥≤(λ+ε) ∥f(p,x(q))−f(q,x(q))∥(p,q∈Nε).\|x(p) - x(q)\| \le (\lambda + \varepsilon)\,\|f(p, x(q)) - f(q, x(q))\| \qquad (p, q \in N_\varepsilon).∥x(p)−x(q)∥≤(λ+ε)∥f(p,x(q))−f(q,x(q))∥(p,q∈Nε​).

Milestones: the steps of the proof (p. 46)

Write LLL for the linearisation at (p0,x0)(p_0, x_0)(p0​,x0​), r(p,x)=f(p0,x0)+f′(p0,x0)(x−x0)−f(p,x)r(p, x) = f(p_0, x_0) + f'(p_0, x_0)(x - x_0) - f(p, x)r(p,x)=f(p0​,x0​)+f′(p0​,x0​)(x−x0​)−f(p,x) for the residual, and Φp(x)=V∩L−1[r(p,x)]\Phi_p(x) = V \cap L^{-1}[r(p, x)]Φp​(x)=V∩L−1[r(p,x)]. The milestones are four claims of the proof:

  1. On the closed ball VεV_\varepsilonVε​, the fixed points of Φp\Phi_pΦp​ are exactly the solutions of the perturbed inclusion.
  2. ∥Φp(x1)−Φp(x2)∥≤λδ∥x1−x2∥\|\Phi_p(x_1) - \Phi_p(x_2)\| \le \lambda\delta \|x_1 - x_2\|∥Φp​(x1​)−Φp​(x2​)∥≤λδ∥x1​−x2​∥ on VεV_\varepsilonVε​.
  3. Φp\Phi_pΦp​ maps VεV_\varepsilonVε​ into itself.
  4. The contraction principle on VεV_\varepsilonVε​, with the bound ∥x(p)−x∥≤(1−λδ)−1∥Φp(x)−x∥\|x(p) - x\| \le (1 - \lambda\delta)^{-1} \|\Phi_p(x) - x\|∥x(p)−x∥≤(1−λδ)−1∥Φp​(x)−x∥ (2.5).

Companion results

  • Corollary 2.2 (pp. 46–47). If PPP lies in a normed space and ∥f(p,x)−f(q,x)∥≤ν∥p−q∥\|f(p, x) - f(q, x)\| \le \nu \|p - q\|∥f(p,x)−f(q,x)∥≤ν∥p−q∥, then x(⋅)x(\cdot)x(⋅) is Lipschitzian with modulus ν(λ+ε)\nu(\lambda + \varepsilon)ν(λ+ε).
  • Theorem 2.3 (p. 47). Let Φp(x0)\Phi_p(x_0)Φp​(x0​) be the unique local solution of the linear generalized equation 0∈f(p,x0)+f′(p0,x0)(x−x0)+∂ψC(x)0 \in f(p, x_0) + f'(p_0, x_0)(x - x_0) + \partial\psi_C(x)0∈f(p,x0​)+f′(p0​,x0​)(x−x0​)+∂ψC​(x). Then ∥x(p)−Φp(x0)∥≤αε(p)∥p−p0∥\|x(p) - \Phi_p(x_0)\| \le \alpha_\varepsilon(p)\|p - p_0\|∥x(p)−Φp​(x0​)∥≤αε​(p)∥p−p0​∥, with αε(p)→0\alpha_\varepsilon(p) \to 0αε​(p)→0.
  • Theorem 2.4 (p. 48). This is a perturbation lemma for linear generalized equations 0∈Ax+a+∂ψC(x)0 \in Ax + a + \partial\psi_C(x)0∈Ax+a+∂ψC​(x). Near (A0,a0)(A_0, a_0)(A0​,a0​) the localised inverse stays single-valued, and it is Lipschitzian with modulus λ(1−λ∥A−A0∥)−1\lambda(1 - \lambda\|A - A_0\|)^{-1}λ(1−λ∥A−A0​∥)−1.
  • The case C=XC = XC=X (remark on p. 45). There strong regularity is equivalent to f′(x0)f'(x_0)f′(x0​) having a continuous linear inverse.
  • Strong regularity is the weakest possible condition (remark on p. 47). For the canonical perturbation f(p,x)=f(x0)+f′(x0)(x−x0)−pf(p,x) = f(x_0) + f'(x_0)(x - x_0) - pf(p,x)=f(x0​)+f′(x0​)(x−x0​)−p, p∈X′p \in X'p∈X′, locally unique solvability with a Lipschitzian solution map x(⋅)x(\cdot)x(⋅) near p0=0p_0 = 0p0​=0 is exactly strong regularity at x0x_0x0​.

Significance

Theorem 2.1 reduces the stability of a nonsmooth problem to a property of one linearised problem at the base point. Once strong regularity is checked at x0x_0x0​, the solution exists, is locally unique and moves in a Lipschitz manner for every nearby parameter. Corollary 2.2 and Theorem 2.3 make this quantitative. Theorem 2.3 shows that a linear complementarity problem or a quadratic program approximates the nonlinear solution to first order. Theorem 2.4 is the analogue of Banach's perturbation lemma, which keeps an operator invertible under small perturbations. The later sections of the paper give checkable criteria for strong regularity: a Schur-complement test, a reduced-form test over polyhedral sets, and second-order conditions for nonlinear programs. Those criteria are the subject of the companion missions II–IV.

The theorems have been proved since 1980 and have been restated in textbooks. No machine-checked version of strong regularity or of this implicit-function theorem is known. Mathlib has the classical implicit- and inverse-function theorems for C1C^1C1 maps between Banach spaces, and the contraction mapping principle. It has nothing on normal-cone operators, generalized equations or Lipschitz localisations. The formalization adds this layer. It also shows that Theorem 2.1 needs no completeness of XXX.

Difficulty

The obvious approach is to apply the classical implicit-function theorem. It fails because x↦f(x)+∂ψC(x)x \mapsto f(x) + \partial\psi_C(x)x↦f(x)+∂ψC​(x) is set-valued and is not differentiable in any useful sense. The inverse is localised only to a neighbourhood VVV and is single-valued only there. So every step must keep the iterates inside sets on which strong regularity says something. The neighbourhoods have to be chosen in the right order: δ\deltaδ from ε\varepsilonε, then UUU and VVV, then the ball radius ρ\rhoρ, then the parameter neighbourhood. The estimate (2.4) has to come out with the constant λ+ε\lambda + \varepsilonλ+ε and no larger. The page applies the contraction principle in a space it calls only normed. A faithful proof must also obtain the fixed point without completeness of XXX, for example through the completeness of X′X'X′.

Formalization scope

  • X′X'X′ is StrongDual ℝ X, the normal cone is a Set (StrongDual ℝ X) that is empty off CCC, and an inclusion 0∈f(x)+∂ψC(x)0 \in f(x) + \partial\psi_C(x)0∈f(x)+∂ψC​(x) is written −f(x)∈∂ψC(x)-f(x) \in \partial\psi_C(x)−f(x)∈∂ψC​(x).
  • Strong regularity is a predicate on (C,f(x0),f′(x0),x0,λ)(C, f(x_0), f'(x_0), x_0, \lambda)(C,f(x0​),f′(x0​),x0​,λ) with real λ\lambdaλ. It requires existence, uniqueness in VVV and the Lipschitz bound.
  • fff is a total function P×X→X′P \times X \to X'P×X→X′ whose values off P×ΩP \times \OmegaP×Ω carry no hypothesis. The conclusion therefore asserts Wε⊆ΩW_\varepsilon \subseteq \OmegaWε​⊆Ω.
  • Differentiability is HasFDerivAt at every point of Ω\OmegaΩ, for every ppp. Continuity of f′f'f′ at (p0,x0)(p_0, x_0)(p0​,x0​) is joint and in operator norm.
  • Uniqueness is uniqueness within WεW_\varepsilonWε​, never global. Global uniqueness is false in general. Dropping uniqueness, or quantifying ε\varepsilonε after the neighbourhoods, would trivialize the goal, and the statements are written to exclude both.
  • Theorem 2.1, Corollary 2.2 and Theorem 2.3 do not assume completeness, as printed. Theorem 2.4 assumes a Banach space, as printed.
  • The contraction-principle milestone assumes completeness, under which the principle as invoked holds.
  • Corollary 2.2 asks for its Lipschitz hypothesis on Nε×VεN_\varepsilon \times V_\varepsilonNε​×Vε​, sets that Theorem 2.1 produces. It is therefore stated on fixed neighbourhoods given in advance.
  • Theorem 2.4 also asserts λ∥A−A0∥<1\lambda\|A - A_0\| < 1λ∥A−A0​∥<1, which its proof secures.

A complete development needs the following:

  • the mean-value inequality for Fréchet-differentiable maps on convex sets;
  • the contraction principle on a closed ball;
  • a fixed-point argument that obtains the fixed point through the complete space X′X'X′.

The definitions of normal cone and strong regularity are reusable for variational inequalities in general. Contributions are welcome at any level: proofs of the milestones, the goal from the milestones, or the companion results from the goal.

Selected references

  • S. M. Robinson, Strongly regular generalized equations, Mathematics of Operations Research 5(1):43–62, 1980. https://doi.org/10.1287/moor.5.1.43
  • A. L. Dontchev and R. T. Rockafellar, Implicit Functions and Solution Mappings, 2nd ed., Springer, 2014. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-1-4939-1037-3
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Operations ResearchProbabilityStatistics·Captain: mikedeng1

Asymptotic Theory for Solutions in Statistical Estimation and Stochastic Programming: Generalized M-Estimates Converge in Distribution to the Inverse Contingent Derivative at a GaussianResearch Paper

Motivation

Maximum likelihood estimates, least-squares fits and sample-average approximations of stochastic programs solve 0=fˉν(x)0 = \bar f^\nu(x)0=fˉ​ν(x), where fˉν\bar f^\nufˉ​ν averages a random integrand over ν\nuν observations. Their classical asymptotic theory rests on the implicit function theorem and needs a smooth, unconstrained problem.

When the estimate is constrained to a set, for example a nonnegativity constraint, a simplex or a polyhedron, the first-order conditions become a generalized equation

0∈f(z,x)+N(x),0 \in f(z, x) + N(x),0∈f(z,x)+N(x),

where NNN is a multifunction such as the normal cone of the constraint set. The same form describes optimality conditions of stochastic programs and variational inequalities. Aitchison and Silvey (1958) treated equality-constrained maximum likelihood. Huber (1967) allowed nonsmooth estimating functions but required an open parameter domain. Dupačová and Wets (1988) and Shapiro (1989) derived limit laws for solutions of stochastic programs under smoothness of the expected gradient. King and Rockafellar (1993) gave a general theory that needs neither smoothness of the expected map nor single-valuedness of NNN: the limit law of the normalized error is the image of a Gaussian under a contingent derivative, a positively homogeneous and generally nonlinear map, so the limit is generally not normal.

Setting

Let ZZZ be a separable Banach space with norm ∥⋅∥\|\cdot\|∥⋅∥, and let ∣⋅∣|\cdot|∣⋅∣ be the Euclidean norm on Rn\mathbb R^nRn and Rm\mathbb R^mRm. A multifunction G:Z⇉RnG : Z \rightrightarrows \mathbb R^nG:Z⇉Rn assigns a set G(z)⊆RnG(z) \subseteq \mathbb R^nG(z)⊆Rn to each zzz. Its graph is gph⁡G\operatorname{gph} GgphG and its inverse is G−1(x)={z∣x∈G(z)}G^{-1}(x) = \{z \mid x \in G(z)\}G−1(x)={z∣x∈G(z)}.

For sets AtA_tAt​ indexed by t↓0t \downarrow 0t↓0, the upper limit lim sup⁡At\limsup A_tlimsupAt​ consists of the points xxx with x=lim⁡xkx = \lim x_kx=limxk​, xk∈Atkx_k \in A_{t_k}xk​∈Atk​​ for some tk↓0t_k \downarrow 0tk​↓0, and the lower limit of the points reachable along every such sequence. The contingent derivative of GGG at (z,x)∈gph⁡G(z, x) \in \operatorname{gph} G(z,x)∈gphG is the multifunction DG(z∣x)DG(z|x)DG(z∣x) with

gph⁡DG(z∣x)=lim sup⁡t↓0t−1[gph⁡G−(z,x)].\operatorname{gph} DG(z|x) = \limsup_{t \downarrow 0} t^{-1}\big[\operatorname{gph} G - (z,x)\big].gphDG(z∣x)=t↓0limsup​t−1[gphG−(z,x)].

GGG is proto-differentiable when this upper limit equals the lower limit, and semi-differentiable when t−1[G(z+tw′)−x]→DG(z∣x)(w)t^{-1}[G(z + t w') - x] \to DG(z|x)(w)t−1[G(z+tw′)−x]→DG(z∣x)(w) as t↓0t \downarrow 0t↓0 and w′→ww' \to ww′→w. A single-valued ggg is B-differentiable at zzz when t−1[g(z+tw′)−g(z)]→Dg(z)(w)t^{-1}[g(z + tw') - g(z)] \to Dg(z)(w)t−1[g(z+tw′)−g(z)]→Dg(z)(w) in the same sense.

The deterministic problem is 0∈f(z,x)+N(x)0 \in f(z, x) + N(x)0∈f(z,x)+N(x) with f:Z×Rn→Rmf : Z \times \mathbb R^n \to \mathbb R^mf:Z×Rn→Rm, data zzz and solution map J(z)J(z)J(z). At a reference pair (z∗,x∗)(z^*, x^*)(z∗,x∗) set F=f(z∗,⋅)+NF = f(z^*, \cdot) + NF=f(z∗,⋅)+N. The analytical assumptions M.1–M.4 are as follows. fff is jointly continuous and B-differentiable in each variable, with the zzz-derivative Dzf(z∗,x∗)D_z f(z^*, x^*)Dz​f(z∗,x∗) strong (uniform in xxx near x∗x^*x∗). NNN is closed and proto-differentiable. FFF is subinvertible: 0∈F(x∗)0 \in F(x^*)0∈F(x∗), and a closed-graph, convex-valued selection of F−1F^{-1}F−1 near 000 passes through x∗x^*x∗. The contingent derivative DF−1(0∣x∗)DF^{-1}(0|x^*)DF−1(0∣x∗) is at most single-valued.

The statistical problem has i.i.d. random elements s1,s2,…s_1, s_2, \dotss1​,s2​,… of a measurable space SSS and an integrand f:U×S→Rmf : U \times S \to \mathbb R^mf:U×S→Rm on a compact neighborhood UUU of x∗x^*x∗. It satisfies the probabilistic assumptions P.1–P.4: continuity in xxx, measurability in sss, a finite second moment at one point, and a Lipschitz bound ∣f(x1,s)−f(x2,s)∣≤a(s)∣x1−x2∣|f(x_1,s) - f(x_2,s)| \le a(s)|x_1 - x_2|∣f(x1​,s)−f(x2​,s)∣≤a(s)∣x1​−x2​∣ with Ea(s1)2<∞E a(s_1)^2 < \inftyEa(s1​)2<∞. The M-estimate xνx^\nuxν is a measurable solution of

0∈fˉν(x)+N(x),fˉν(x)=1ν∑i=1νf(x,si),0 \in \bar f^\nu(x) + N(x), \qquad \bar f^\nu(x) = \frac1\nu\sum_{i=1}^\nu f(x, s_i),0∈fˉ​ν(x)+N(x),fˉ​ν(x)=ν1​i=1∑ν​f(x,si​),

and the true equation is 0∈Ef(x)+N(x)0 \in Ef(x) + N(x)0∈Ef(x)+N(x) with F=Ef+NF = Ef + NF=Ef+N.

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem 2.7 (asymptotic distribution of M-estimates)

Under P.1–P.4 on a compact neighborhood UUU of x∗x^*x∗, B-differentiability of EfEfEf at x∗x^*x∗, and M.2–M.4 for F=Ef+NF = Ef + NF=Ef+N, every sequence of measurable solutions xνx^\nuxν of (2.5) with xν→x∗x^\nu \to x^*xν→x∗ almost surely satisfies

ν [xν−x∗]→ D DF−1(0∣x∗)(−w∗),w∗∼N(0,cov⁡f(x∗,s1)).\sqrt\nu\,[x^\nu - x^*] \xrightarrow{\ \mathcal D\ } DF^{-1}(0|x^*)(-w^*), \qquad w^* \sim \mathcal N\big(0, \operatorname{cov} f(x^*, s_1)\big).ν​[xν−x∗] D ​DF−1(0∣x∗)(−w∗),w∗∼N(0,covf(x∗,s1​)).

The goal fixes the limit law completely: the map is the contingent derivative of F−1F^{-1}F−1, and the Gaussian has the covariance of the integrand at x∗x^*x∗.

Milestones

  • Theorem 2.4 gives bounds in probability, P{∣xν−x∗∣>δ}≤P{αλ∥zν−z∗∥>δ}P\{|x^\nu - x^*| > \delta\} \le P\{\alpha\lambda\|z^\nu - z^*\| > \delta\}P{∣xν−x∗∣>δ}≤P{αλ∥zν−z∗∥>δ}. Its proof uses the upper-Lipschitz property U∩F−1(y)⊆x∗+λ∣y∣BU \cap F^{-1}(y) \subseteq x^* + \lambda|y|BU∩F−1(y)⊆x∗+λ∣y∣B (a display of the proof).
  • Theorem 2.6 is the abstract limit theorem: if τν−1[zν−z∗]→Dw\tau_\nu^{-1}[z^\nu - z^*] \to_{\mathcal D} wτν−1​[zν−z∗]→D​w, then τν−1[xν−x∗]→DDF−1(0∣x∗)(−Dzf(z∗,x∗)(w))\tau_\nu^{-1}[x^\nu - x^*] \to_{\mathcal D} DF^{-1}(0|x^*)(-D_z f(z^*,x^*)(w))τν−1​[xν−x∗]→D​DF−1(0∣x∗)(−Dz​f(z∗,x∗)(w)). Its proof uses two displays: semi-differentiability of the localized solution map, with DJ(z∗∣x∗)(w)=DF−1(0∣x∗)(−Dzf(z∗,x∗)(w))DJ(z^*|x^*)(w) = DF^{-1}(0|x^*)(-D_z f(z^*,x^*)(w))DJ(z∗∣x∗)(w)=DF−1(0∣x∗)(−Dz​f(z∗,x∗)(w)), and a Lipschitz bound ∣x−x∗∣≤λ∥z−z∗∥|x - x^*| \le \lambda\|z - z^*\|∣x−x∗∣≤λ∥z−z∗∥ on U∩J(z)U \cap J(z)U∩J(z).
  • Proposition A1, Corollary A2 and Theorem A3 concern the space Cm(U)C_m(U)Cm​(U) under P.1–P.4. The integrand and the empirical means are random elements of Cm(U)C_m(U)Cm​(U), and ν(fˉν−Ef)\sqrt\nu(\bar f^\nu - Ef)ν​(fˉ​ν−Ef) converges in distribution to a Gaussian element of Cm(U)C_m(U)Cm​(U).

The three displays (Theorem 2.4's upper-Lipschitz inclusion, and Theorem 2.6's semi-differentiability and Lipschitz bound) are statements the paper cites from King and Rockafellar, Sensitivity analysis for nonsmooth generalized equations ([12]: Proposition 2.1, Theorem 4.1, Remark 4.3). They are cited results, not this paper's own, and are milestones because the proofs of Theorems 2.4 and 2.6 rest on them.

Significance

Theorem 2.7 gives the limit law of constrained and nonsmooth M-estimates in a form that can be computed. When NNN is the normal cone of a polyhedron, DF−1(0∣x∗)DF^{-1}(0|x^*)DF−1(0∣x∗) is piecewise linear, and the limit is the solution of a random linear complementarity or quadratic problem driven by a Gaussian vector. This underlies the asymptotic theory of sample-average approximation in stochastic programming, where the paper applies it to stochastic programs (§3) and to piecewise linear-quadratic tracking problems (§4). Theorem 2.6 separates the deterministic sensitivity analysis from the probability, so any data sequence with a known limit law yields a limit law for the solutions.

The result is proved in the paper modulo the cited theorems of [12] and [11], but none of it is machine-checked. Mathlib has the real-valued i.i.d. central limit theorem, Gaussian measures on Banach spaces and convergence in distribution. It has no multivariate or Banach-space central limit theorem, no contingent derivatives and no set-valued implicit function theorem. Formalizing the mission produces these, along with a checked version of the cited sensitivity results.

Difficulty

The classical argument linearizes FFF at x∗x^*x∗, inverts the Jacobian and applies the delta method. Here FFF is set-valued and its derivative is only positively homogeneous. There is no Jacobian to invert, and the solution map need not be differentiable or even single-valued away from x∗x^*x∗. The replacement for the implicit function theorem is the semi-differentiability of the localized solution map under M.1–M.4. Proving it means controlling both the upper and the lower set limits of difference quotients of solution sets, and subinvertibility is what supplies existence of nearby solutions.

The probabilistic side cannot work coordinate by coordinate either. The estimate solves an equation in the whole function fˉν\bar f^\nufˉ​ν, so convergence of fˉν\bar f^\nufˉ​ν at finitely many points is not enough. The central limit theorem must hold in the sup norm on Cm(U)C_m(U)Cm​(U), which requires tightness of the empirical process, and only then can the deterministic sensitivity result be composed with it.

Formalization scope

Points live in EuclideanSpace ℝ (Fin n), and ZZZ is a real normed space with [CompleteSpace Z] [SeparableSpace Z] where the paper says "separable Banach". Set limits are Kuratowski limits along filters (t↓0t \downarrow 0t↓0 is 𝓝[>] 0, and (t,w′)→(0+,w)(t,w') \to (0^+,w)(t,w′)→(0+,w) is the product filter). The contingent derivative is defined by (2.2) alone. M.4's printed sum formula equals it under M.1, and this is not assumed. "B-differentiable" is read as the limit (2.4). Products carry Lean's max norm. s1s_1s1​ is s 0, empirical means sum over Finset.range ν, and (2.5) is required for ν≥1\nu \ge 1ν≥1. F=Ef+NF = Ef + NF=Ef+N is empty off UUU. Convergence in distribution is Mathlib's TendstoInDistribution, with the limit on its own probability space. The law of w∗w^*w∗ is fixed through linear functionals: ⟨ℓ,w∗⟩∼N(0,Var⁡⟨ℓ,f(x∗,s1)⟩)\langle\ell, w^*\rangle \sim \mathcal N(0, \operatorname{Var}\langle\ell, f(x^*,s_1)\rangle)⟨ℓ,w∗⟩∼N(0,Var⟨ℓ,f(x∗,s1​)⟩). In Appendix A1–A3 the integrand is S → C(↥U, Rn m) with the Borel σ-algebra, and "Gaussian" is IsGaussian.

Explicit choices relative to the printed text:

  1. The paper states that an almost surely convergent sequence of solutions "converges to the point x∗x^*x∗" (Theorems 2.6 and 2.7). This is false when the true equation has a second solution: f(z,x)=x2−x−zf(z,x) = x^2 - x - zf(z,x)=x2−x−z, N≡{0}N \equiv \{0\}N≡{0}, z∗=x∗=0z^* = x^* = 0z∗=x∗=0 satisfies M.1–M.4 with J(0)={0,1}J(0) = \{0, 1\}J(0)={0,1}. The formalization assumes xν→x∗x^\nu \to x^*xν→x∗ almost surely instead.
  2. 0∈F(x∗)0 \in F(x^*)0∈F(x∗) (presupposed by DF−1(0∣x∗)DF^{-1}(0|x^*)DF−1(0∣x∗)) is explicit in Theorem 2.4 and the upper-Lipschitz display.
  3. The threshold for "all sufficiently small δ\deltaδ" in Theorem 2.4 is chosen with UUU and λ\lambdaλ, before the random elements.
  4. Proposition A1 and Corollary A2 carry P.1–P.4, as stated or inherited on the Appendix page, though their measurability conclusions use only P.1.
  5. In the limit theorems, the single-valued map DF−1(0∣x∗)DF^{-1}(0|x^*)DF−1(0∣x∗) is a function LLL whose values lie in the contingent derivative at every point.

The conclusion of the goal names its limit: the image of the stated Gaussian under a map LLL whose values lie in the contingent derivative of F−1F^{-1}F−1. A statement asserting only that ν(xν−x∗)\sqrt\nu(x^\nu - x^*)ν​(xν−x∗) converges in distribution to some limit, or replacing DF−1(0∣x∗)DF^{-1}(0|x^*)DF−1(0∣x∗) by a linear map, is a different and weaker theorem. A sorry-free check confirms that the goal's hypotheses can all be met (a degenerate instance with f(x,s)=xf(x,s) = xf(x,s)=x, N≡{0}N \equiv \{0\}N≡{0}).

A complete development needs Kuratowski set convergence and contingent derivatives (reusable across set-valued analysis), a central limit theorem in C(K)C(K)C(K) for Lipschitz-indexed processes (reusable for empirical-process theory), and a continuous-mapping argument for random closed sets. Contributions to any of these layers are welcome, as are proofs of the cited [12] statements.

Selected references

  • A. J. King and R. T. Rockafellar, Asymptotic theory for solutions in statistical estimation and stochastic programming, Mathematics of Operations Research 18(1) (1993). https://doi.org/10.1287/moor.18.1.148
  • A. J. King and R. T. Rockafellar, Sensitivity analysis for nonsmooth generalized equations, Mathematical Programming 55 (1992) 193–212. https://doi.org/10.1007/BF01581199
  • A. J. King, Generalized delta theorems for multivalued mappings and measurable selections, Mathematics of Operations Research 14(4) (1989) 720–736. https://doi.org/10.1287/moor.14.4.720
  • J. Dupačová and R. J.-B. Wets, Asymptotic behavior of statistical estimators and of optimal solutions of stochastic optimization problems, Annals of Statistics 16(4) (1988) 1517–1549. https://doi.org/10.1214/aos/1176351052
  • A. Shapiro, Asymptotic properties of statistical estimators in stochastic programming, Annals of Statistics 17(2) (1989) 841–858. https://doi.org/10.1214/aos/1176347146
  • P. J. Huber, The behavior of maximum likelihood estimates under nonstandard conditions, Proc. Fifth Berkeley Symp. Math. Statist. Probab. 1 (1967) 221–233. https://projecteuclid.org/euclid.bsmsp/1200512988
  • A. Araujo and E. Giné, The Central Limit Theorem for Real and Banach Valued Random Variables, Wiley, 1980.
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ProbabilityStatisticsStochastic Systems·Captain: mikedeng1

Stochastic Estimation of the Maximum of a Regression Function: The Kiefer–Wolfowitz Iterates z_n Converge in Probability to the Maximizer θResearch Paper

Motivation

Many problems in statistics, engineering and operations research ask for the input level xxx at which an unknown response function is largest, when the response can only be measured with noise: the dose that maximizes a yield, the setting that maximizes throughput in a simulation, the parameter that maximizes an expected reward. Robbins and Monro (1951) had shown how to find, by sequential noisy measurements, the root of an unknown increasing function. Kiefer and Wolfowitz (1952) adapted the idea to maximization: at each step, measure the response at two points zn±cnz_n\pm c_nzn​±cn​ placed symmetrically about the current estimate, and move the estimate in the direction of the observed difference. Their scheme is the origin of finite-difference stochastic approximation, the gradient-free ancestor of simultaneous-perturbation and zeroth-order methods in simulation optimization and machine learning.

Timeline. 1951: Robbins and Monro, root finding, convergence in mean square. 1952: Wolfowitz, convergence in probability for Robbins–Monro under weaker conditions; Kiefer and Wolfowitz, the present paper, convergence in probability of the maximization scheme. 1954: Blum proved almost-sure convergence of both schemes under related conditions (doi:10.1214/aoms/1177728794). Later work (Spall 1992, among many) extended the finite-difference idea to many dimensions.

Setting

For each level x∈Rx\in\mathbb Rx∈R, an observation taken at xxx is a random number with distribution H(⋅∣x)H(\cdot\mid x)H(⋅∣x); the family depends measurably on xxx. The regression function is the mean observation,

M(x)=∫−∞∞y dH(y∣x),M(x)=\int_{-\infty}^{\infty}y\,dH(y\mid x),M(x)=∫−∞∞​ydH(y∣x),

and the observations have uniformly bounded variance: ∫(y−M(x))2 dH(y∣x)≤S\int (y-M(x))^2\,dH(y\mid x)\le S∫(y−M(x))2dH(y∣x)≤S for all xxx. The function MMM is unimodal about an unknown point θ\thetaθ: strictly increasing for x<θx<\thetax<θ and strictly decreasing for x>θx>\thetax>θ.

Two sequences of positive numbers ana_nan​ (step sizes) and cnc_ncn​ (probe widths) satisfy

cn→0,∑an=∞,∑ancn<∞,∑an2cn−2<∞,c_n\to0,\qquad \sum a_n=\infty,\qquad \sum a_nc_n<\infty,\qquad \sum a_n^2c_n^{-2}<\infty,cn​→0,∑an​=∞,∑an​cn​<∞,∑an2​cn−2​<∞,

for example an=n−1a_n=n^{-1}an​=n−1, cn=n−1/3c_n=n^{-1/3}cn​=n−1/3. Starting from an arbitrary number z1z_1z1​, the Kiefer–Wolfowitz process is

zn+1=zn+an y2n−y2n−1cn,z_{n+1}=z_n+a_n\,\frac{y_{2n}-y_{2n-1}}{c_n},zn+1​=zn​+an​cn​y2n​−y2n−1​​,

where, given everything observed so far, y2n−1y_{2n-1}y2n−1​ and y2ny_{2n}y2n​ are independent with laws H(⋅∣zn−cn)H(\cdot\mid z_n-c_n)H(⋅∣zn​−cn​) and H(⋅∣zn+cn)H(\cdot\mid z_n+c_n)H(⋅∣zn​+cn​).

The paper imposes three regularity conditions on MMM:

  1. Condition 1 (Lipschitz near θ\thetaθ): for some β,B>0\beta,B>0β,B>0, ∣x′−θ∣+∣x′′−θ∣<β|x'-\theta|+|x''-\theta|<\beta∣x′−θ∣+∣x′′−θ∣<β and x′≠x′′x'\neq x''x′=x′′ imply ∣M(x′)−M(x′′)∣<B∣x′−x′′∣|M(x')-M(x'')|<B|x'-x''|∣M(x′)−M(x′′)∣<B∣x′−x′′∣.
  2. Condition 2 (bounded oscillation): for some ρ,R>0\rho,R>0ρ,R>0, ∣x′−x′′∣<ρ|x'-x''|<\rho∣x′−x′′∣<ρ implies ∣M(x′)−M(x′′)∣<R|M(x')-M(x'')|<R∣M(x′)−M(x′′)∣<R.
  3. Condition 3 (no flat regions away from θ\thetaθ): for every δ>0\delta>0δ>0 there is π(δ)>0\pi(\delta)>0π(δ)>0 such that ∣z−θ∣>δ|z-\theta|>\delta∣z−θ∣>δ implies ∣M(z+ε)−M(z−ε)∣/ε>π(δ)|M(z+\varepsilon)-M(z-\varepsilon)|/\varepsilon>\pi(\delta)∣M(z+ε)−M(z−ε)∣/ε>π(δ) for all 0<ε<δ/20<\varepsilon<\delta/20<ε<δ/2.

In the Lean development these objects are regFun H (MMM), SecondMomentBound H S, Unimodal, Cond1, Cond2, Cond3, StepSizes a c and the structure IsKWProcess, all in the namespace KieferWolfowitz.Convergence.

Formalization targets

Goal: convergence in probability

for every η>0,P{∣zn−θ∣>η}⟶0(n→∞).\text{for every }\eta>0,\qquad P\{|z_n-\theta|>\eta\}\longrightarrow 0\quad(n\to\infty).for every η>0,P{∣zn​−θ∣>η}⟶0(n→∞).

This is the theorem of the paper (stated on p. 462, proved in §3 in the form (3.22)). It fixes no rate and no constants, so it is the stable form of the result.

Milestones, in the order of the paper's proof

  1. (3.6) The one-step identity for bn=E(zn−θ)2b_n=E(z_n-\theta)^2bn​=E(zn​−θ)2: bn+1=bn+2ancnE Un(zn)+an2cn2E(y2n−y2n−1)2b_{n+1}=b_n+2\frac{a_n}{c_n}E\,U_n(z_n)+\frac{a_n^2}{c_n^2}E(y_{2n}-y_{2n-1})^2bn+1​=bn​+2cn​an​​EUn​(zn​)+cn2​an2​​E(y2n​−y2n−1​)2, with Un(z)=(z−θ)(M(z+cn)−M(z−cn))U_n(z)=(z-\theta)(M(z+c_n)-M(z-c_n))Un​(z)=(z−θ)(M(z+cn​)−M(z−cn​)).
  2. (3.8) 0≤Un+(z)<2Bcn20\le U_n^+(z)<2Bc_n^20≤Un+​(z)<2Bcn2​ whenever cn<12βc_n<\frac12\betacn​<21​β.
  3. (3.11)–(3.12) E{(y2n−y2n−1)2∣zn}≤2S+R2E\{(y_{2n}-y_{2n-1})^2\mid z_n\}\le 2S+R^2E{(y2n​−y2n−1​)2∣zn​}≤2S+R2 whenever cn<ρ/2c_n<\rho/2cn​<ρ/2.
  4. (3.15) ∑(an/cn)Nn\sum (a_n/c_n)N_n∑(an​/cn​)Nn​ converges, where Nn=E Un−(zn)N_n=E\,U_n^-(z_n)Nn​=EUn−​(zn​).
  5. (3.18) lim inf⁡nE{Kn∣zn−θ∣}=0\liminf_n E\{K_n|z_n-\theta|\}=0liminfn​E{Kn​∣zn​−θ∣}=0, with Kn=∣(M(zn+cn)−M(zn−cn))/cn∣K_n=|(M(z_n+c_n)-M(z_n-c_n))/c_n|Kn​=∣(M(zn​+cn​)−M(zn​−cn​))/cn​∣.
  6. After (3.19) Along any n1<n2<⋯n_1<n_2<\cdotsn1​<n2​<⋯ with E{Knj∣znj−θ∣}→0E\{K_{n_j}|z_{n_j}-\theta|\}\to0E{Knj​​∣znj​​−θ∣}→0, znj→θz_{n_j}\to\thetaznj​​→θ in probability.
  7. (3.28) If N0N_0N0​ satisfies (3.25)–(3.27) for s>0s>0s>0, then E{(zn−θ)2∣zN0}<(zN0−θ)2+sE\{(z_n-\theta)^2\mid z_{N_0}\}<(z_{N_0}-\theta)^2+sE{(zn​−θ)2∣zN0​​}<(zN0​​−θ)2+s for all n>N0n>N_0n>N0​.

Significance

The result shows that the maximizer of a function observable only through noise can be located consistently using function evaluations alone, without gradients and without a parametric model of MMM. The conditions are qualitative: no differentiability, no specific noise distribution, and the noise may change shape with xxx. This is the template for gradient-free stochastic optimization: simulation optimization with finite-difference gradient estimates, simultaneous-perturbation methods, and zeroth-order methods in learning are all analysed by refining the same bias–variance balance between the probe width cnc_ncn​ and the step ana_nan​.

The theorem has been proved since 1952 and is not open. To our knowledge no machine-checked proof of it exists. A formalization produces a checked proof of a founding result of stochastic approximation and, along the way, the probabilistic infrastructure such proofs share: processes defined through conditional laws given a filtration, recursions for second moments, conditional Chebyshev arguments, and the passage from subsequence convergence to full convergence by a restart bound. Alternative proofs (via supermartingale convergence, which would give almost-sure convergence under stronger hypotheses) are welcome as separate developments but are not the goal.

Difficulty

The obvious approach is to show that E(zn−θ)2E(z_n-\theta)^2E(zn​−θ)2 decreases. It does not: the drift term 2ancnE Un(zn)2\frac{a_n}{c_n}E\,U_n(z_n)2cn​an​​EUn​(zn​) is negative only on average and only once the probes straddle θ\thetaθ correctly, while the noise term an2cn2en\frac{a_n^2}{c_n^2}e_ncn2​an2​​en​ is always positive and the finite-difference estimate of the slope has a bias of order cnc_ncn​. A one-step contraction is therefore unavailable, and summability arguments alone give smallness only along a subsequence; turning that into convergence of the whole sequence is where the difficulty lies, and it is also where Condition 3, which forbids flat stretches of MMM away from θ\thetaθ, cannot be dispensed with. The argument needs integrability of quantities the paper treats as finite without comment, and the conditional statements require the conditional law of the observation pair, not just its unconditional moments.

Formalization scope

  • Observations. HHH is a Markov kernel Kernel ℝ ℝ. Every H(⋅∣x)H(\cdot\mid x)H(⋅∣x) has ∫y2 dH<∞\int y^2\,dH<\infty∫y2dH<∞, so MMM and the variance in (2.2) are genuine integrals.
  • The process. On a probability space with a filtration (Fn)(\mathcal F_n)(Fn​), znz_nzn​ is Fn\mathcal F_nFn​-measurable, the pair (y2n−1,y2n)(y_{2n-1},y_{2n})(y2n−1​,y2n​) is Fn+1\mathcal F_{n+1}Fn+1​-measurable, and P(y2n−1∈A,y2n∈B∣Fn)=H(A∣zn−cn)H(B∣zn+cn)P(y_{2n-1}\in A, y_{2n}\in B\mid\mathcal F_n)=H(A\mid z_n-c_n)H(B\mid z_n+c_n)P(y2n−1​∈A,y2n​∈B∣Fn​)=H(A∣zn​−cn​)H(B∣zn​+cn​) a.s. for all Borel A,BA,BA,B. This is the reading of "independent chance variables with respective distributions H(y∣zn−cn)H(y\mid z_n-c_n)H(y∣zn​−cn​) and H(y∣zn+cn)H(y\mid z_n+c_n)H(y∣zn​+cn​)". The starting point z1z_1z1​ is a deterministic number.
  • Indices are 0-based: Lean's z 0 is z1z_1z1​, a n, c n are an+1a_{n+1}an+1​, cn+1c_{n+1}cn+1​.
  • Condition 1 as printed has a strict inequality that fails at x′=x′′x'=x''x′=x′′, which makes it unsatisfiable; the formalization adds x′≠x′′x'\neq x''x′=x′′. Condition 3's infimum over 12δ>ε>0\frac12\delta>\varepsilon>021​δ>ε>0 is stated pointwise, which is equivalent since π(δ)\pi(\delta)π(δ) is existential, with π(δ)\pi(\delta)π(δ) uniform in zzz.
  • Explicit readings of loose phrases. "For nnn sufficiently large" in (3.10)–(3.12) is the hypothesis cn<ρ/2c_n<\rho/2cn​<ρ/2; conditioning "on znz_nzn​" or "on zN0=zz_{N_0}=zzN0​​=z" is conditioning on Fn\mathcal F_nFn​ or FN0\mathcal F_{N_0}FN0​​; "converges stochastically" is Mathlib's TendstoInMeasure; "lim inf⁡=0\liminf=0liminf=0" for a nonnegative sequence is "below every ε>0\varepsilon>0ε>0 infinitely often".
  • Integrability of every expectation in a milestone is either a hypothesis or part of the conclusion, so no statement holds by Lean's convention that the integral of a non-integrable function is 000.
  • Ruled out. A formalization in which the observations are arbitrary random variables not tied to HHH, in which ∑an=∞\sum a_n=\infty∑an​=∞ is dropped, or in which π(δ)\pi(\delta)π(δ) may depend on zzz, would make the goal false or a different theorem; the hypotheses here are jointly satisfiable (checked for H(⋅∣x)=δ−∣x∣H(\cdot\mid x)=\delta_{-|x|}H(⋅∣x)=δ−∣x∣​, θ=0\theta=0θ=0, an=n−1a_n=n^{-1}an​=n−1, cn=n−1/3c_n=n^{-1/3}cn​=n−1/3).
  • Not formalized. The remark on p. 463 that truncating zn±cnz_n\pm c_nzn​±cn​ to an interval [C1,C2][C_1,C_2][C1​,C2​] preserves the conclusion (asserted without proof), the motivational discussion (a)–(c), and §4's further problems.
  • Distinct from the Kiefer–Wolfowitz equivalence theorem of optimal experimental design (1960), which is already on the platform under BanditAlgorithm.kiefer_wolfowitz_equivalence; the two results share authors and nothing else.

Useful infrastructure, reusable beyond this mission: conditional expectations of functions of a pair with a given conditional law, tail-sum bounds, and the passage from a restart bound plus subsequence convergence in probability to full convergence. Contributions of any milestone, of intermediate lemmas such as (3.7), (3.9), (3.13) and (3.29), and of the final assembly are welcome.

Selected references

  • J. Kiefer and J. Wolfowitz, Stochastic estimation of the maximum of a regression function, Ann. Math. Statist. 23 (1952), 462–466. https://doi.org/10.1214/aoms/1177729392
  • H. Robbins and S. Monro, A stochastic approximation method, Ann. Math. Statist. 22 (1951), 400–407. https://doi.org/10.1214/aoms/1177729586
  • J. Wolfowitz, On the stochastic approximation method of Robbins and Monro, Ann. Math. Statist. 23 (1952), 457–461. https://doi.org/10.1214/aoms/1177729391
  • J. R. Blum, Approximation methods which converge with probability one, Ann. Math. Statist. 25 (1954), 382–386. https://doi.org/10.1214/aoms/1177728794
  • J. C. Spall, Multivariate stochastic approximation using a simultaneous perturbation gradient approximation, IEEE Trans. Automat. Control 37 (1992), 332–341. https://doi.org/10.1109/9.119632
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Globally Convergent Inexact Newton Methods I: Inexact Newton Backtracking Converges to Every Limit Point Where F′ Is Invertible, That Point Is a Zero of F, and Initial Steps Are Eventually AcceptedResearch Paper

Motivation

Newton's method for a nonlinear system F(x)=0F(x) = 0F(x)=0, with F:Rn→RnF:\mathbb R^n\to\mathbb R^nF:Rn→Rn, solves the linear system F′(xk)sk=−F(xk)F'(x_k)s_k = -F(x_k)F′(xk​)sk​=−F(xk​) at every step. For large systems that solve is itself iterative (a Krylov method such as GMRES), and it is stopped early. The resulting inexact Newton methods, introduced by Dembo, Eisenstat and Steihaug (SIAM J. Numer. Anal. 19 (1982)), accept any step with ∥F(xk)+F′(xk)sk∥≤ηk∥F(xk)∥\|F(x_k)+F'(x_k)s_k\|\le\eta_k\|F(x_k)\|∥F(xk​)+F′(xk​)sk​∥≤ηk​∥F(xk​)∥, where the forcing term ηk∈[0,1)\eta_k\in[0,1)ηk​∈[0,1) controls how accurately the linear system is solved. Their theory is local: it applies once the iterates are near a solution with invertible derivative.

Practical solvers (Newton–Krylov codes in large-scale simulation, nonlinear solver libraries such as PETSc's SNES and SUNDIALS' KINSOL) combine such inexact steps with a globalization, most often backtracking along the step. Eisenstat and Walker (SIAM J. Optim. 4 (1994)) gave the global convergence theory for this combination: what can be said about the iterates from an arbitrary starting point, with no assumption that a solution exists or that F′F'F′ is invertible anywhere.

Timeline. Dembo, Eisenstat and Steihaug (1982) proved local convergence of inexact Newton methods. Dembo and Steihaug (Math. Program. 26 (1983)) studied truncated Newton methods for unconstrained minimization. Brown and Saad (1990) studied globalized Newton–Krylov methods with line searches and model trust regions, under the inner-product norm. Eisenstat and Walker (1994) gave the general framework treated here, for an arbitrary norm. Their 1996 paper (SIAM J. Sci. Comput. 17) proposed the forcing-term choices that are now standard.

Setting

Let EEE be Rn\mathbb R^nRn with an arbitrary norm ∥⋅∥\|\cdot\|∥⋅∥, and let F:E→EF:E\to EF:E→E be continuously differentiable with derivative F′(x)F'(x)F′(x). A point x∗x_*x∗​ is a limit point of (xk)(x_k)(xk​) if every ball Nδ(x∗)={y:∥y−x∗∥<δ}N_\delta(x_*)=\{y:\|y-x_*\|<\delta\}Nδ​(x∗​)={y:∥y−x∗​∥<δ} contains xkx_kxk​ for infinitely many kkk.

Algorithm GIN (global inexact Newton method). Fix t∈(0,1)t\in(0,1)t∈(0,1). At each kkk, find a level ηk∈[0,1)\eta_k\in[0,1)ηk​∈[0,1) and a step sks_ksk​ with

∥F(xk)+F′(xk)sk∥≤ηk∥F(xk)∥(2.1),∥F(xk+sk)∥≤[1−t(1−ηk)] ∥F(xk)∥(2.2),\|F(x_k)+F'(x_k)s_k\|\le\eta_k\|F(x_k)\| \quad (2.1),\qquad \|F(x_k+s_k)\|\le[1-t(1-\eta_k)]\,\|F(x_k)\| \quad (2.2),∥F(xk​)+F′(xk​)sk​∥≤ηk​∥F(xk​)∥(2.1),∥F(xk​+sk​)∥≤[1−t(1−ηk​)]∥F(xk​)∥(2.2),

and set xk+1=xk+skx_{k+1}=x_k+s_kxk+1​=xk​+sk​. Condition (2.1) says that sks_ksk​ reduces the norm of the local linear model by the factor ηk\eta_kηk​. Condition (2.2) asks that ∥F∥\|F\|∥F∥ itself decrease by a fixed fraction ttt of that predicted reduction.

Algorithm MR (minimum reduction method). Fix ηmax⁡∈[0,1)\eta_{\max}\in[0,1)ηmax​∈[0,1) and 0<θmin⁡<θmax⁡<10<\theta_{\min}<\theta_{\max}<10<θmin​<θmax​<1. At step kkk, choose ηˉk∈[0,ηmax⁡]\bar\eta_k\in[0,\eta_{\max}]ηˉ​k​∈[0,ηmax​] and a curve σk\sigma_kσk​ with ∥F(xk)+F′(xk)σk(η)∥≤η∥F(xk)∥\|F(x_k)+F'(x_k)\sigma_k(\eta)\|\le\eta\|F(x_k)\|∥F(xk​)+F′(xk​)σk​(η)∥≤η∥F(xk​)∥ for ηˉk≤η≤1\bar\eta_k\le\eta\le1ηˉ​k​≤η≤1 (5.1). Start at ηk=ηˉk\eta_k=\bar\eta_kηk​=ηˉ​k​. While (2.2) fails for sk=σk(ηk)s_k=\sigma_k(\eta_k)sk​=σk​(ηk​), replace ηk\eta_kηk​ by 1−θ(1−ηk)1-\theta(1-\eta_k)1−θ(1−ηk​) for some θ∈[θmin⁡,θmax⁡]\theta\in[\theta_{\min},\theta_{\max}]θ∈[θmin​,θmax​]. Then set xk+1=xk+σk(ηk)x_{k+1}=x_k+\sigma_k(\eta_k)xk+1​=xk​+σk​(ηk​).

Algorithm INB (inexact Newton backtracking). Choose ηˉk∈[0,ηmax⁡]\bar\eta_k\in[0,\eta_{\max}]ηˉ​k​∈[0,ηmax​] and an inexact Newton step sˉk\bar s_ksˉk​ at level ηˉk\bar\eta_kηˉ​k​. While (2.2) fails, shorten the step, sk←θsks_k\leftarrow\theta s_ksk​←θsk​, and raise the level, ηk←1−θ(1−ηk)\eta_k\leftarrow1-\theta(1-\eta_k)ηk​←1−θ(1−ηk​). INB is MR with the backtracking curve σk(η)=1−η1−ηˉksˉk\sigma_k(\eta)=\frac{1-\eta}{1-\bar\eta_k}\bar s_kσk​(η)=1−ηˉ​k​1−η​sˉk​ (6.1).

An algorithm does not break down if it produces an infinite sequence of iterates, in particular if every while-loop exits.

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem 6.1 (global convergence of Algorithm INB)

If Algorithm INB does not break down and x∗x_*x∗​ is a limit point of (xk)(x_k)(xk​) at which F′(x∗)F'(x_*)F′(x∗​) is invertible, then

F(x∗)=0,xk→x∗,sk=sˉk and ηk=ηˉk for all sufficiently large k.F(x_*)=0,\qquad x_k\to x_*,\qquad s_k=\bar s_k\ \text{and}\ \eta_k=\bar\eta_k\ \text{for all sufficiently large }k.F(x∗​)=0,xk​→x∗​,sk​=sˉk​ and ηk​=ηˉ​k​ for all sufficiently large k.

The statement assumes no solution, bounded level set, Lipschitz derivative or particular norm. The last clause says that backtracking eventually stops, so the local rate is governed by the forcing terms ηˉk\bar\eta_kηˉ​k​.

Milestones

In attack order:

  1. Lemmas 1.1 and 1.2. Continuity of y↦F′(y)−1y\mapsto F'(y)^{-1}y↦F′(y)−1 at an invertible point, and a uniform linearization error ∥F(z)−F(y)−F′(y)(z−y)∥≤ε∥z−y∥\|F(z)-F(y)-F'(y)(z-y)\|\le\varepsilon\|z-y\|∥F(z)−F(y)−F′(y)(z−y)∥≤ε∥z−y∥ near xxx.
  2. Theorem 3.3. If F(xk)→0F(x_k)\to0F(xk​)→0, the steps satisfy (2.1) with a fixed η\etaη, and ∥F(xk)∥\|F(x_k)\|∥F(xk​)∥ is nonincreasing, then an invertible limit point is a zero and the limit.
  3. Theorem 3.4. A GIN run with ∑k(1−ηk)=∞\sum_k(1-\eta_k)=\infty∑k​(1−ηk​)=∞ has F(xk)→0F(x_k)\to0F(xk​)→0, plus the conclusion of Theorem 3.3 at invertible limit points.
  4. Theorem 3.5. A GIN run converges to a limit point near which ∥sk∥≤Γ(1−ηk)∥F(xk)∥\|s_k\|\le\Gamma(1-\eta_k)\|F(x_k)\|∥sk​∥≤Γ(1−ηk​)∥F(xk​)∥ (3.2).
  5. Lemma 5.1. The while-loop terminates, with 1−ηk≥min⁡{1−ηˉk,θmin⁡δ/(Γ∥F(xk)∥)}1-\eta_k\ge\min\{1-\bar\eta_k,\theta_{\min}\delta/(\Gamma\|F(x_k)\|)\}1−ηk​≥min{1−ηˉ​k​,θmin​δ/(Γ∥F(xk​)∥)}.
  6. MR runs are GIN runs (§5).
  7. Theorem 5.2 for MR. Under ∥σk(η)∥≤Γ(1−η)∥F(xk)∥\|\sigma_k(\eta)\|\le\Gamma(1-\eta)\|F(x_k)\|∥σk​(η)∥≤Γ(1−η)∥F(xk​)∥ near a limit point x∗x_*x∗​ (5.6): F(x∗)=0F(x_*)=0F(x∗​)=0, xk→x∗x_k\to x_*xk​→x∗​, and ηk=ηˉk\eta_k=\bar\eta_kηk​=ηˉ​k​ eventually.
  8. INB runs are MR runs with the curve (6.1), and sk=σk(ηk)s_k=\sigma_k(\eta_k)sk​=σk​(ηk​) throughout the loop (§6).

Further items, which are not milestones: Corollary 6.2 (exact Newton with backtracking takes full Newton steps eventually), Theorem 5.2 for Algorithm TL, Lemma 3.1 (existence of acceptable GIN steps), and Proposition 2.1 (the Goldstein–Armijo alpha condition implies (2.2) in the Euclidean norm).

Significance

The result. Theorem 6.1 is the global convergence guarantee for the inexact Newton backtracking method that Newton–Krylov solvers implement. It separates three outcomes: the iterates diverge, they accumulate only at points where F′F'F′ is singular, or they converge to a solution with invertible derivative and eventually take the unmodified inexact Newton steps. In the third case the local theory of Dembo, Eisenstat and Steihaug applies from some iteration on, so the forcing terms alone set the convergence rate. Theorem 5.2 is the template: §§6–8 of the paper derive the convergence of backtracking, equality-curve and dogleg-type methods from it by verifying (5.6).

Formalizing it. The results are proved on paper and none of them has a machine-checked proof that we know of. The mission produces a library of algorithm-run predicates with explicit while-loops for inexact Newton methods. It also checks the paper's reduction chain (INB is a run of MR, MR is a run of GIN) and the global convergence theorems in an arbitrary finite-dimensional norm.

Difficulty

The obvious argument fails at both ends. Sufficient decrease (2.2) alone gives monotonicity of ∥F(xk)∥\|F(x_k)\|∥F(xk​)∥, but not convergence of the iterates. On the page, F(x)=x2−1F(x)=x^2-1F(x)=x2−1 admits sequences satisfying (2.2) with both ±1\pm1±1 as limit points. Convergence of ∥F(xk)∥\|F(x_k)\|∥F(xk​)∥ to 000 needs ∑(1−ηk)=∞\sum(1-\eta_k)=\infty∑(1−ηk​)=∞, and nothing in the algorithm states this. In Theorem 5.2 it has to be derived from the exit level of the while-loop, which depends on a neighbourhood of x∗x_*x∗​ where the linearization error is uniformly controlled. A solver must combine a limit-point argument (only infinitely many iterates are near x∗x_*x∗​, not all of them) with the loop's worst-case backtracking factor θmin⁡\theta_{\min}θmin​. The invertibility of F′(x∗)F'(x_*)F′(x∗​) enters only through the bound (5.6) for the backtracking curve, which must be established uniformly in kkk.

Formalization scope

  • Space and norm. EEE is a finite-dimensional real normed space ([NormedAddCommGroup E] [NormedSpace ℝ E] [FiniteDimensional ℝ E]). This is exactly "Rn\mathbb R^nRn with an arbitrary norm". Fin n → ℝ (sup norm) and EuclideanSpace would each fix one norm. Only Proposition 2.1 assumes an inner product space, as the page does.
  • Derivative. F′F'F′ is fderiv ℝ F, with ContDiff ℝ 1 F (the paper's standing assumption). Invertibility is ContinuousLinearMap.IsInvertible, and F′(x)−1F'(x)^{-1}F′(x)−1 is ContinuousLinearMap.inverse.
  • Runs. An algorithm that does not break down is a predicate on infinite sequences (IsGINRun, IsMRRun, IsINBRun, plus IsTLRun, IsENBRun). The steps and levels the algorithm says to "find" or "choose" are data constrained only by the stated conditions. A while-loop is recorded by its number of passes mkm_kmk​ and factors θk,j∈[θmin⁡,θmax⁡]\theta_{k,j}\in[\theta_{\min},\theta_{\max}]θk,j​∈[θmin​,θmax​]. Every trial before the last fails the loop's test and the last one passes it. Termination is part of the run.
  • Limit point is MapClusterPt xstar atTop x. "For all sufficiently large kkk" is ∀ᶠ k in atTop. The paper's "whenever xkx_kxk​ is sufficiently near x∗x_*x∗​ [and kkk is sufficiently large]" is ∃ Γ, ∃ δ > 0, [∃ K,] ∀ k [≥ K], x k ∈ ball xstar δ → …. Γ\GammaΓ precedes kkk ("independent of kkk"), and the "kkk large" clause appears only in (3.2), where the page has it.
  • Hypotheses as printed. Theorems 3.5 and 5.2 do not assume F′(x∗)F'(x_*)F′(x∗​) invertible. Theorem 5.2 does not assume ∑(1−ηk)=∞\sum(1-\eta_k)=\infty∑(1−ηk​)=∞. Lemma 5.1 is stated for one iteration of the loop shared by MR and TL, for every choice of factors.
  • Trivializing readings ruled out. A run predicate without the "rejected" clause would allow needless backtracking, and one without the "accepted" clause would drop (2.2). Both clauses are present. A sorry-free check (F = id on R\mathbb RR) confirms that the INB, GIN and ENB run predicates and the goal's hypotheses are satisfiable, so the goal is not vacuous.
  • Infrastructure. Continuity of operator inversion and uniform differentiability on neighbourhoods are in Mathlib. The run predicates and trial-level recursions are reusable for any line-search or backtracking analysis. Each milestone is stated independently; contributions in any order are welcome.

Selected references

  • S. C. Eisenstat and H. F. Walker, Globally Convergent Inexact Newton Methods, SIAM J. Optim. 4(2) (1994) 393–422. https://doi.org/10.1137/0804022
  • R. S. Dembo, S. C. Eisenstat and T. Steihaug, Inexact Newton Methods, SIAM J. Numer. Anal. 19(2) (1982) 400–408. https://doi.org/10.1137/0719025
  • R. S. Dembo and T. Steihaug, Truncated-Newton algorithms for large-scale unconstrained optimization, Math. Program. 26 (1983) 190–212. https://doi.org/10.1007/BF02592055
  • P. N. Brown and Y. Saad, Hybrid Krylov Methods for Nonlinear Systems of Equations, SIAM J. Sci. Stat. Comput. 11(3) (1990) 450–481. https://doi.org/10.1137/0911026
  • S. C. Eisenstat and H. F. Walker, Choosing the Forcing Terms in an Inexact Newton Method, SIAM J. Sci. Comput. 17(1) (1996) 16–32. https://doi.org/10.1137/0917003
  • J. E. Dennis and R. B. Schnabel, Numerical Methods for Unconstrained Optimization and Nonlinear Equations, SIAM Classics in Applied Mathematics 16 (1996). https://doi.org/10.1137/1.9781611971200
12 thms1 active userReviewed
Operations ResearchProbabilityStochastic Systems·Captain: mikedeng1

Mean-Variance Hedging in Continuous Time: The Feedback Futures Strategy Φ(G*) Minimizes the Expected Squared Deviation of Terminal Wealth from Any Target LevelResearch Paper

Motivation

A firm that will receive or deliver a quantity of a commodity, currency or security at a future date carries price risk until that date. When the asset itself cannot be traded in the meantime, the standard instrument for reducing that risk is a futures contract on a correlated asset: the firm takes a position in futures and adjusts it over time, and the gains or losses of the futures position offset part of the movement of its commitment. Choosing that position is the hedging problem. The classical answer, the minimum-variance hedge ratio, is a static one-period rule. Duffie and Richardson (Ann. Appl. Probab. 1991) solved the dynamic version in continuous time with a quadratic criterion: minimize the expected squared deviation of terminal wealth from a target. Their explicit feedback solution became a reference point for the later literature on mean-variance hedging in incomplete markets (Schweizer, Gouriéroux–Laurent–Pham, and others), where the same quadratic criterion is studied under general semimartingale prices.

Setting

Fix a horizon T>0T>0T>0 and a probability space (Ω,F,P)(\Omega,\mathcal F,P)(Ω,F,P) carrying a two-dimensional standard Brownian motion (B,ε)(B,\varepsilon)(B,ε) with its filtration F\mathbb FF. Let μ,σ,m,v,ρ\mu,\sigma,m,v,\rhoμ,σ,m,v,ρ be bounded measurable functions on [0,T][0,T][0,T], with ∣v∣|v|∣v∣ bounded away from zero and ρt∈[−1,1]\rho_t\in[-1,1]ρt​∈[−1,1]. The Brownian motion ξt=∫0tρs dBs+∫0t1−ρs2 dεs\xi_t=\int_0^t\rho_s\,dB_s+\int_0^t\sqrt{1-\rho_s^2}\,d\varepsilon_sξt​=∫0t​ρs​dBs​+∫0t​1−ρs2​​dεs​ has instantaneous correlation ρ\rhoρ with BBB. The committed asset SSS and the futures price FFF follow

dSt=μtSt dt+σtSt dBt,dFt=mtFt dt+vtFt dξt,S0,F0>0.dS_t=\mu_tS_t\,dt+\sigma_tS_t\,dB_t,\qquad dF_t=m_tF_t\,dt+v_tF_t\,d\xi_t,\qquad S_0,F_0>0.dSt​=μt​St​dt+σt​St​dBt​,dFt​=mt​Ft​dt+vt​Ft​dξt​,S0​,F0​>0.

The hedger is committed to kkk units of SSS at time TTT. A trading strategy is a progressively measurable process θ\thetaθ (the futures position) with E∫0Tθt2Ft2 dt<∞E\int_0^T\theta_t^2F_t^2\,dt<\inftyE∫0T​θt2​Ft2​dt<∞; Θ\ThetaΘ denotes the set of them. Its futures gain is the stochastic integral G(θ)t=∫0tθs dFsG(\theta)_t=\int_0^t\theta_s\,dF_sG(θ)t​=∫0t​θs​dFs​, and the terminal wealth is W(θ)=kST+G(θ)TW(\theta)=kS_T+G(\theta)_TW(θ)=kST​+G(θ)T​. Given a target level L∈RL\in\mathbb RL∈R, problem (3) is

min⁡θ∈ΘE[(W(θ)−L)2].\min_{\theta\in\Theta}E\big[(W(\theta)-L)^2\big].θ∈Θmin​E[(W(θ)−L)2].

With γt=mtσtρt/vt−μt\gamma_t=m_t\sigma_t\rho_t/v_t-\mu_tγt​=mt​σt​ρt​/vt​−μt​, the tracking process is Zt=kexp⁡(−∫tTγs ds)StZ_t=k\exp(-\int_t^T\gamma_s\,ds)S_tZt​=kexp(−∫tT​γs​ds)St​, so that ZT=kSTZ_T=kS_TZT​=kST​, and the feedback map is

Φ(Gt∗)=1Ft[mtvt2(L−Zt−Gt∗)−σtρtvtZt],\Phi(G^*_t)=\frac1{F_t}\Big[\frac{m_t}{v_t^2}(L-Z_t-G^*_t)-\frac{\sigma_t\rho_t}{v_t}Z_t\Big],Φ(Gt∗​)=Ft​1​[vt2​mt​​(L−Zt​−Gt∗​)−vt​σt​ρt​​Zt​],

where G∗G^*G∗ solves dGt∗=Φ(Gt∗) dFtdG^*_t=\Phi(G^*_t)\,dF_tdGt∗​=Φ(Gt∗​)dFt​, G0∗=0G^*_0=0G0∗​=0. The strategy φ=Φ(G∗)\varphi=\Phi(G^*)φ=Φ(G∗) depends only on the gains realized so far and the current price StS_tSt​.

Formalization targets

Goal: Proposition 1

φt=Φ(Gt∗)  solves  min⁡θ∈ΘE[(kST+G(θ)T−L)2]\varphi_t=\Phi(G^*_t)\ \text{ solves }\ \min_{\theta\in\Theta}E\big[(kS_T+G(\theta)_T-L)^2\big]φt​=Φ(Gt∗​)  solves  θ∈Θmin​E[(kST​+G(θ)T​−L)2]

for every commitment kkk, every target LLL and every solution G∗G^*G∗ of (10). No constant is hard-coded: the statement is the paper's for arbitrary coefficients satisfying the standing hypotheses.

Milestones

  1. Lemma 1: φ∈Θ\varphi\in\Thetaφ∈Θ is optimal iff E[(L−kST−G(φ)T) G(θ)T]=0E[(L-kS_T-G(\varphi)_T)\,G(\theta)_T]=0E[(L−kST​−G(φ)T​)G(θ)T​]=0 for every θ∈Θ\theta\in\Thetaθ∈Θ.
  2. Existence (§3.3): equation (10) has a solution with Gt∗∈L2(P)G^*_t\in L^2(P)Gt∗​∈L2(P).
  3. Itô dynamics of ZZZ: dZt=(γt+μt)Zt dt+σtZt dBtdZ_t=(\gamma_t+\mu_t)Z_t\,dt+\sigma_tZ_t\,dB_tdZt​=(γt​+μt​)Zt​dt+σt​Zt​dBt​.
  4. Moment equations for E(ZtGt)E(Z_tG_t)E(Zt​Gt​), E(Gt∗Gt)E(G^*_tG_t)E(Gt∗​Gt​) and E(Gt)E(G_t)E(Gt​), with G=G(θ)G=G(\theta)G=G(θ).
  5. Lemma 2: Ht=E[(L−Zt−Gt∗)G(θ)t]H_t=E[(L-Z_t-G^*_t)G(\theta)_t]Ht​=E[(L−Zt​−Gt∗​)G(θ)t​] satisfies H˙t=−(mt2/vt2)Ht\dot H_t=-(m_t^2/v_t^2)H_tH˙t​=−(mt2​/vt2​)Ht​.
  6. The solution of (13): Ht=H0exp⁡(−∫0tms2/vs2 ds)H_t=H_0\exp(-\int_0^tm_s^2/v_s^2\,ds)Ht​=H0​exp(−∫0t​ms2​/vs2​ds).

Two further items, not milestones, formalize §4: Lemma 3 (a solution of (3) is mean-variance efficient) and §4.1 (maximizing the quadratic utility E[W−cW2]E[W-cW^2]E[W−cW2], c>0c>0c>0, is problem (3) with L=1/(2c)L=1/(2c)L=1/(2c)).

Significance

Proposition 1 gives the optimal dynamic hedge in closed feedback form for every target level at once. Varying LLL traces out the whole mean-variance frontier of terminal wealth (Lemma 3), and the choice L=1/(2c)L=1/(2c)L=1/(2c) solves the quadratic-utility problem (§4.1); the minimum-variance hedge of §4.3 of the paper is obtained by optimizing over LLL. The result is also an instance of a general pattern: a quadratic hedging problem in an incomplete market reduces to an L2L^2L2 projection onto the space of attainable gains, and the projection is computed by a linear SDE.

The result is proved in the paper, in six pages. No machine-checked version of it, or of any continuous-time hedging result, exists on the platform. A formalization requires Itô's formula for products of Itô processes, the zero-mean property of square-integrable stochastic integrals, Fubini's theorem for moments, and existence for a linear SDE with an Itô-process forcing term; each of these is reusable well beyond this paper.

Difficulty

The projection step (Lemma 1) is Hilbert-space geometry and the final ODE step is Grönwall. The difficulty lies in between: the orthogonality E[(L−kST−GT∗)G(θ)T]=0E[(L-kS_T-G^*_T)G(\theta)_T]=0E[(L−kST​−GT∗​)G(θ)T​]=0 must be verified against every trading strategy θ\thetaθ, about which only E∫0Tθt2Ft2 dt<∞E\int_0^T\theta_t^2F_t^2\,dt<\inftyE∫0T​θt2​Ft2​dt<∞ is known. A computation that treats θ\thetaθ as bounded, continuous or simple does not suffice. Making the paper's moment computations rigorous requires controlling the integrability of products such as ZtθtFtZ_t\theta_tF_tZt​θt​Ft​ and Gt∗G(θ)tG^*_tG(\theta)_tGt∗​G(θ)t​, proving that the stochastic-integral parts of Itô's product rule are true martingales rather than local martingales, and differentiating expectations in time when the coefficients are only measurable, so that derivatives exist only almost everywhere.

Formalization scope

The stochastic layer is the published definition file Peng1990_SMP_Stochastic (the L2L^2L2 Itô integral and Itô processes on R≥0\mathbb R_{\ge0}R≥0​ time), imported, not redefined. The mission commits to the following conventions.

  • (B,ε)(B,\varepsilon)(B,ε) is one R2\mathbb R^2R2-valued standard Brownian motion; BBB is coordinate 0, ε\varepsilonε coordinate 1, and dξd\xidξ is expanded as ρ dB+1−ρ2 dε\rho\,dB+\sqrt{1-\rho^2}\,d\varepsilonρdB+1−ρ2​dε.
  • The filtration is the natural filtration of (B,ε)(B,\varepsilon)(B,ε), not its augmentation, and trading strategies are progressively measurable instead of predictable. Neither change alters the space of terminal gains.
  • Gains are relations: a gain process is any version of the Itô integral, and every statement quantifies over all versions.
  • The objective E[(W−L)2]E[(W-L)^2]E[(W−L)2] and variances take values in [0,∞][0,\infty][0,∞], so a non-square-integrable wealth cannot be optimal through a junk value 000; inner products carry explicit integrability.
  • ρt∈[−1,1]\rho_t\in[-1,1]ρt​∈[−1,1] (§3.1), not [0,1][0,1][0,1] (§2). The sign of vvv is free; only ∣v∣≥δ>0|v|\ge\delta>0∣v∣≥δ>0 is assumed.
  • "Φ(G∗)\Phi(G^*)Φ(G∗) defined by (9)–(11)" means: for every solution of (10), where a solution includes that Φ(G∗)\Phi(G^*)Φ(G∗) is a trading strategy. The paper takes this membership for granted.
  • Lemma 2 and the moment equations are stated in integral form (Ht=H0−∫0t(m2/v2)H dsH_t=H_0-\int_0^t(m^2/v^2)H\,dsHt​=H0​−∫0t​(m2/v2)Hds), which is the paper's "for almost every ttt" derivative together with absolute continuity; continuity of the coefficients is not assumed.
  • The display for dZdZdZ in the proof of Lemma 2 omits dtdtdt; the drift is (γt+μt)Zt dt(\gamma_t+\mu_t)Z_t\,dt(γt​+μt​)Zt​dt.
  • In §4.1, c>0c>0c>0 is assumed explicitly.

Proposition 1 would hold vacuously if equation (10) had no solution; the existence milestone rules this out and must be proved, not assumed. Contributions are welcome on Itô's product formula and the martingale property of Itô integrals in the Peng framework, on the existence of solutions of linear SDEs, and on the Grönwall-type uniqueness for (13).

Selected references

  • D. Duffie, H. R. Richardson, Mean-Variance Hedging in Continuous Time, The Annals of Applied Probability 1(1) (1991) 1–15. https://doi.org/10.1214/aoap/1177005978
  • S. Peng, A General Stochastic Maximum Principle for Optimal Control Problems, SIAM J. Control Optim. 28(4) (1990) 966–979. https://doi.org/10.1137/0328054
  • P. Protter, Stochastic Integration and Differential Equations, Springer, 1990. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-662-02619-9
  • D. G. Luenberger, Optimization by Vector Space Methods, Wiley, 1969.
  • M. Schweizer, Mean-Variance Hedging for General Claims, The Annals of Applied Probability 2(1) (1992) 171–179. https://doi.org/10.1214/aoap/1177005776
11 thms1 active userReviewed
Convex OptimizationOperations ResearchProbability·Captain: mikedeng1

Deterministic Equivalents for Optimizing and Satisficing under Chance Constraints 1: Under Normality, the E-Model Chance Constraints Are Equivalent to the Convex Program (29)Research Paper

Motivation

Chance-constrained programming replaces a linear program max⁡c′x\max c'xmaxc′x subject to Ax≤bAx\le bAx≤b by a problem in which some data are random and each constraint only has to hold with a prescribed probability. Charnes and Cooper introduced the idea in 1959 for scheduling heating-oil production against weather-dependent demand, and the formulation is now a standard modelling tool in operations research, finance, energy systems and engineering design (Charnes and Cooper 1959; Prékopa 1995).

A chance-constrained problem is not directly solvable: its constraints are probabilities of events that depend on the decision. The 1963 paper of Charnes and Cooper (doi:10.1287/opre.11.1.18) asks when such a problem has a deterministic equivalent, an ordinary mathematical program with the same feasible decisions and corresponding objective values, and when that equivalent is a convex program. Its first answer, for the expected-value ('E') model under linear decision rules and normality, is the subject of this mission. The resulting constraint form, a mean slack dominating KαK_\alphaKα​ standard deviations, is an early instance of the second-order-cone reformulation of individual normal chance constraints used throughout modern stochastic and robust optimization.

Timeline. 1959: Charnes and Cooper, chance-constrained programming with the heating-oil model. 1963: this paper, deterministic equivalents for the E, V and P models under linear decision rules x=Dbx=Dbx=Db. 1965: Miller and Wagner treat joint chance constraints with independent rows (doi:10.1287/opre.13.6.930). 1971: Prékopa's logarithmically concave measures give convexity of joint chance constraints under log-concave laws.

Setting

Let (Ω,F,P)(\Omega,\mathcal F,P)(Ω,F,P) be a probability space. The data are a constant m×nm\times nm×n matrix AAA with rows a1′,…,am′a_1',\dots,a_m'a1′​,…,am′​, a random right-hand side b:Ω→Rmb:\Omega\to\mathbb R^mb:Ω→Rm and random objective coefficients c:Ω→Rnc:\Omega\to\mathbb R^nc:Ω→Rn. A linear decision rule is an n×mn\times mn×m real matrix DDD; it chooses x=Dbx=Dbx=Db after bbb is observed. Write μb=Eb\mu_b=Ebμb​=Eb, μc=Ec\mu_c=Ecμc​=Ec and b^=b−μb\hat b=b-\mu_bb^=b−μb​.

The E-model (18) is

max⁡ E(c′Db)subject toP(ai′Db≤bi)≥αi(i=1,…,m),\max\ E(c'Db)\quad\text{subject to}\quad P(a_i'Db\le b_i)\ge\alpha_i\qquad(i=1,\dots,m),max E(c′Db)subject toP(ai′​Db≤bi​)≥αi​(i=1,…,m),

with one probability level αi\alpha_iαi​ per row: the constraints are row-wise, as in (3) of the paper, not a single joint constraint.

For 12<α<1\tfrac12<\alpha<121​<α<1 let Kα=Φ−1(α)>0K_\alpha=\Phi^{-1}(\alpha)>0Kα​=Φ−1(α)>0 be the standard normal α\alphaα-quantile. With the moment functions (30),

σi2(D)=E(ai′Db−bi)2,μi(D)=μbi−ai′Dμb,\sigma_i^2(D)=E(a_i'Db-b_i)^2,\qquad \mu_i(D)=\mu_{b_i}-a_i'D\mu_b,σi2​(D)=E(ai′​Db−bi​)2,μi​(D)=μbi​​−ai′​Dμb​,

the paper's deterministic program (29) in the variables (D,v)(D,v)(D,v), v∈Rmv\in\mathbb R^mv∈Rm, is

min⁡ −μc′Dμbs.t.μi(D)−vi≥0,−Kαi2σi2(D)+Kαi2μi2(D)+vi2≥0,vi≥0.\min\ -\mu_c'D\mu_b\quad\text{s.t.}\quad \mu_i(D)-v_i\ge0,\quad -K_{\alpha_i}^2\sigma_i^2(D)+K_{\alpha_i}^2\mu_i^2(D)+v_i^2\ge0,\quad v_i\ge0 .min −μc′​Dμb​s.t.μi​(D)−vi​≥0,−Kαi​2​σi2​(D)+Kαi​2​μi2​(D)+vi2​≥0,vi​≥0.

Formalization targets

Goal: (18) is equivalent to the convex program (29)

Assume every bkb_kbk​ is square integrable, every cjc_jcj​ and cjbkc_jb_kcj​bk​ integrable, bbb and ccc uncorrelated (E(cjbk)=Ecj EbkE(c_jb_k)=E c_j\,E b_kE(cj​bk​)=Ecj​Ebk​), every variate ai′Db−bia_i'Db-b_iai′​Db−bi​ normal (for every DDD and iii, zero variance allowed), and 12<αi<1\tfrac12<\alpha_i<121​<αi​<1. Then

(∀D: D feasible for (18)  ⟺  ∃v, (D,v) feasible for (29)) ∧ (∀D: E(c′Db)=μc′Dμb) ∧ {(D,v) feasible for (29)} is convex.\Big(\forall D:\ D\text{ feasible for (18)}\iff\exists v,\ (D,v)\text{ feasible for (29)}\Big)\ \wedge\ \Big(\forall D:\ E(c'Db)=\mu_c'D\mu_b\Big)\ \wedge\ \{(D,v)\ \text{feasible for (29)}\}\ \text{is convex}.(∀D: D feasible for (18)⟺∃v, (D,v) feasible for (29)) ∧ (∀D: E(c′Db)=μc′​Dμb​) ∧ {(D,v) feasible for (29)} is convex.

Milestones, in the order of the paper

  1. (19a): E(c′Db)=(Ec)′D(Eb)E(c'Db)=(Ec)'D(Eb)E(c′Db)=(Ec)′D(Eb) for uncorrelated bbb, ccc.
  2. (22)–(27): with positive variance, P(ai′Db≤bi)≥αi  ⟺  (−μbi+ai′Dμb)/E[b^i−ai′Db^]2≤−KαiP(a_i'Db\le b_i)\ge\alpha_i\iff(-\mu_{b_i}+a_i'D\mu_b)/\sqrt{E[\hat b_i-a_i'D\hat b]^2}\le-K_{\alpha_i}P(ai′​Db≤bi​)≥αi​⟺(−μbi​​+ai′​Dμb​)/E[b^i​−ai′​Db^]2​≤−Kαi​​.
  3. (28a)–(28b): (27) holds iff some viv_ivi​ satisfies μbi−ai′Dμb≥vi≥KαiE[b^i−ai′Db^]2≥0\mu_{b_i}-a_i'D\mu_b\ge v_i\ge K_{\alpha_i}\sqrt{E[\hat b_i-a_i'D\hat b]^2}\ge0μbi​​−ai′​Dμb​≥vi​≥Kαi​​E[b^i​−ai′​Db^]2​≥0.
  4. (28c)–(28d): for vi≥0v_i\ge0vi​≥0, that pair is equivalent to its squared form.
  5. Footnote ‡ to (30): σi2(D)−μi2(D)=E[b^i−ai′Db^]2\sigma_i^2(D)-\mu_i^2(D)=E[\hat b_i-a_i'D\hat b]^2σi2​(D)−μi2​(D)=E[b^i​−ai′​Db^]2.
  6. The convexity paragraph after (30): the feasible set of (29) is convex in (D,v)(D,v)(D,v).
  7. 'V Model' (32)–(34): under the same normal chance assumptions and square integrability of each cjbkc_jb_kcj​bk​, the chance constraints of (32) are equivalent to (33) for some vvv; the pair feasible set and V(D)=E(c′Db−z0)2V(D)=E(c'Db-z^0)^2V(D)=E(c′Db−z0)2 are convex.

Significance

The result. The theorem turns a problem whose constraints are probabilities into a finite-dimensional convex program whose data are the first two moments of bbb and the means of ccc. The optimal rules of (18) minimize (29), whose optimal value is the negative of the maximum in (18). The slack variables viv_ivi​ separate each constraint into a "quality" part (the mean slack μi(D)\mu_i(D)μi​(D)) and a "risk" part (KαiK_{\alpha_i}Kαi​​ standard deviations), which is the interpretation the paper develops in (31) and its Appendix. The same constraint set serves the V-model (33), so only the objective changes between the two models.

Formalizing it. The result is classical and its proof is elementary, but the paper's argument is informal in ways that matter for a machine-checked version: it divides by a standard deviation it then allows to vanish, writes FiF_iFi​ for what must be an upper-tail function, and labels a variance as σi2(D)\sigma_i^2(D)σi2​(D) while defining σi2(D)\sigma_i^2(D)σi2​(D) as a raw second moment. This mission produces a statement in which each of these points is settled, with every hypothesis explicit. No machine-checked version of the result is known to exist.

Difficulty

The chance-constraint step itself is a one-dimensional fact about the normal law, but three points need care. The variance of ai′Db−bia_i'Db-b_iai′​Db−bi​ may be zero for some DDD and iii; then the law is a point mass, the quotient in (27) is undefined, and the equivalence must be argued separately, as footnote † of p. 28 indicates. The quadratic constraint of (29) alone, vi2≥Kαi2(σi2(D)−μi2(D))v_i^2\ge K_{\alpha_i}^2(\sigma_i^2(D)-\mu_i^2(D))vi2​≥Kαi​2​(σi2​(D)−μi2​(D)), describes both nappes of a hyperboloid and is not convex; convexity needs vi≥0v_i\ge0vi​≥0 and the positive semidefiniteness of D↦Var⁡(ai′Db−bi)D\mapsto\operatorname{Var}(a_i'Db-b_i)D↦Var(ai′​Db−bi​), which comes from square integrability of bbb and not from normality. Finally, the identity relating σi2\sigma_i^2σi2​, μi2\mu_i^2μi2​ and the variance requires the integrals to be genuine, so the integrability hypotheses cannot be dropped.

Formalization scope

Everything is in the namespace ChanceDetEquiv.EModel. The probability space is (Ω, P) with [IsProbabilityMeasure P]; A : Matrix (Fin m) (Fin n) ℝ, b : Ω → Fin m → ℝ, c : Ω → Fin n → ℝ, D : Matrix (Fin n) (Fin m) ℝ; ai′Dba_i'Dbai′​Db is (A *ᵥ (D *ᵥ b ω)) i. Expectations are Bochner integrals and probabilities are P.real. Explicit readings of the paper's phrases:

  • "deterministic equivalent for (18)" is the conjunction of an iff between feasible sets (with the auxiliary vvv existentially quantified) and E(c′Db)=μc′DμbE(c'Db)=\mu_c'D\mu_bE(c′Db)=μc′​Dμb​ for every DDD; (29) minimizes the negative of this mean;
  • "is a convex programming problem" is Convex ℝ of the feasible set of (29) in (D,v)(D,v)(D,v), vi≥0v_i\ge0vi​≥0 included; for the V model it also asserts ConvexOn ℝ of VVV;
  • "normally distributed" is: for every DDD and iii, the law of ai′Db−bia_i'Db-b_iai′​Db−bi​ is gaussianReal μ s for some μ\muμ and s≥0s\ge0s≥0; joint normality of bbb is not assumed, since it would be a stronger hypothesis;
  • "bbb and ccc are uncorrelated" is E(cjbk)=Ecj EbkE(c_jb_k)=E c_j\,E b_kE(cj​bk​)=Ecj​Ebk​ for all j,kj,kj,k;
  • Kα=Φ−1(α)K_\alpha=\Phi^{-1}(\alpha)Kα​=Φ−1(α), using the published definition Cohen2019_Robust_Phi; FiF_iFi​ in (26)–(27) is read as the upper-tail function of ziz_izi​, and αi<1\alpha_i<1αi​<1 is added so that KαiK_{\alpha_i}Kαi​​ is finite;
  • σi2(D)\sigma_i^2(D)σi2​(D) is the raw second moment exactly as printed in (30).

Positive variance is a hypothesis of milestones 2 and 3, where (27) has a denominator. The goal and later milestones admit zero variance. The statements admit no trivializing reading: the normality hypothesis is satisfied by constant and by Gaussian bbb, the integrability hypotheses rule out the junk value 000 of non-integrable expectations, and αi<1\alpha_i<1αi​<1 rules out the junk value of Φ−1(1)\Phi^{-1}(1)Φ−1(1).

A complete development needs: the normal CDF and quantile, the law of an affine image of a random variable, variance as EX2−(EX)2E X^2-(EX)^2EX2−(EX)2 in L2L^2L2, and convexity of the epigraph of a seminorm composed with an affine map. The convexity milestones need no probability beyond L2L^2L2 and are reusable for any second-order-cone representation of individual chance constraints. Proofs of any milestone, and of the goal from the milestones, are welcome.

The related open platform item KallMayer.Chance.chapter2_theorem2_5 (convexity of a single normal chance-feasible set in xxx) is credited here and not restated: no item of this mission states the convexity of the set of DDD feasible for (18). Related published items that are about other models: DRCVRP.RCI.prob_le_iff_valueAtRisk_le (chance constraints and value-at-risk for a general law) and the log-concavity results of NumStochOpt.LogConcave.

Selected references

  • A. Charnes and W. W. Cooper, Deterministic Equivalents for Optimizing and Satisficing under Chance Constraints, Operations Research 11(1), 1963, 18–39. https://doi.org/10.1287/opre.11.1.18
  • A. Charnes and W. W. Cooper, Chance-Constrained Programming, Management Science 6(1), 1959, 73–79. https://doi.org/10.1287/mnsc.6.1.73
  • A. Prékopa, Stochastic Programming, Kluwer, 1995. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-94-017-3087-7
  • P. Kall and J. Mayer, Stochastic Linear Programming, 2nd ed., Springer, 2011. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-1-4419-7729-8
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CombinatoricsOperations Research·Captain: mikedeng1

Optimization and Approximation in Deterministic Sequencing and Scheduling: A Survey 2: The Optimal Preemptive Open Shop Makespan Equals the Largest Machine Load or Job LengthResearch Paper

Motivation

Open shops model production and service systems in which every job must visit every machine, but the order of the visits is free: a car that needs an inspection, a wash and a tyre change, a patient who needs several tests, a student who sits several exams. The survey of Graham, Lawler, Lenstra and Rinnooy Kan (Ann. Discrete Math. 5, 1979) fixed the three-field notation α∣β∣γ\alpha|\beta|\gammaα∣β∣γ that the scheduling literature still uses, and classified the complexity of the problems it can express. Among the polynomially solvable cases, the preemptive open shop with makespan objective, O∣pmtn∣Cmax⁡O|pmtn|C_{\max}O∣pmtn∣Cmax​, is one of the few multi-machine problems whose optimal value has a closed form for any number of machines and jobs.

Timeline.

  • 1976: Gonzalez and Sahni (J. ACM 23) prove that the optimal preemptive open-shop makespan is the largest machine load or job length, and give a polynomial algorithm. In the same paper they solve O2∥Cmax⁡O2\|C_{\max}O2∥Cmax​ in linear time and show O3∥Cmax⁡O3\|C_{\max}O3∥Cmax​ NP-hard.
  • 1978: Lawler and Labetoulle (J. ACM 25) give a linear-programming treatment of preemptive scheduling on unrelated machines and reformulate the open-shop construction in terms of decrementing sets, found by an assignment problem through the Birkhoff–von Neumann theorem.
  • 1979: the survey (§5.2.2, p. 313) presents this construction as the standard argument and records the O(r+min⁡{m4,n4,r2})O(r+\min\{m^4,n^4,r^2\})O(r+min{m4,n4,r2}) bound of Gonzalez (1976), where rrr is the number of nonzero processing times.

Setting

There are mmm machines M1,…,MmM_1,\dots,M_mM1​,…,Mm​ and nnn jobs J1,…,JnJ_1,\dots,J_nJ1​,…,Jn​. Job JjJ_jJj​ consists of operations O1j,…,OmjO_{1j},\dots,O_{mj}O1j​,…,Omj​; operation OijO_{ij}Oij​ must be processed on machine MiM_iMi​ for pij≥0p_{ij}\ge 0pij​≥0 time units. The processing-time matrix is P=(pij)P=(p_{ij})P=(pij​): its rows are machines and its columns are jobs. Every job is available at time 000.

Preemption is allowed: an operation may be interrupted and resumed later. A schedule is a finite list of pieces (i,j,s,e)(i,j,s,e)(i,j,s,e), each meaning that MiM_iMi​ processes JjJ_jJj​ during [s,e)[s,e)[s,e). A schedule is feasible if

  1. every piece satisfies 0≤s≤e0\le s\le e0≤s≤e;
  2. each machine processes at most one job at a time, and each job is processed on at most one machine at a time: two pieces that share a machine or a job do not overlap;
  3. for every pair (i,j)(i,j)(i,j) the pieces of OijO_{ij}Oij​ have total length exactly pijp_{ij}pij​.

The makespan Cmax⁡C_{\max}Cmax​ is the time at which the last piece ends, and Cmax⁡∗C^*_{\max}Cmax∗​ is its minimum over feasible schedules. The load of machine MiM_iMi​ is the row sum ∑jpij\sum_j p_{ij}∑j​pij​, the length of job JjJ_jJj​ is the column sum ∑ipij\sum_i p_{ij}∑i​pij​, and

C=max⁡{max⁡j∑ipij, max⁡i∑jpij}.C=\max\Big\{\max_j \sum_i p_{ij},\ \max_i \sum_j p_{ij}\Big\}.C=max{jmax​i∑​pij​, imax​j∑​pij​}.

A row or column is tight if its sum equals CCC and slack otherwise. A decrementing set is a set SSS of strictly positive entries of PPP with exactly one element in each tight row and each tight column and at most one in each slack row and each slack column.

Formalization targets

Goal: Cmax⁡∗=CC^*_{\max}=CCmax∗​=C

For every T≥0T\ge 0T≥0,

(∃ feasible schedule with Cmax⁡≤T)  ⟺  (∑jpij≤T ∀i  and  ∑ipij≤T ∀j).\big(\exists \text{ feasible schedule with } C_{\max}\le T\big)\iff \Big(\sum_j p_{ij}\le T\ \forall i\ \text{ and }\ \sum_i p_{ij}\le T\ \forall j\Big).(∃ feasible schedule with Cmax​≤T)⟺(j∑​pij​≤T ∀i  and  i∑​pij​≤T ∀j).

This says that the optimal makespan is exactly the largest machine load or job length, and that it is attained.

Milestones (all from §5.2.2, p. 313)

  1. Lower bound Cmax⁡∗≥CC^*_{\max}\ge CCmax∗​≥C.
  2. Existence of a decrementing set for every nonzero nonnegative PPP.
  3. Positive step: for a decrementing set, the largest δ\deltaδ satisfying the constraints (1)–(3) of the survey exists and is positive.
  4. Step property: after replacing each pij∈Sp_{ij}\in Spij​∈S by max⁡{0,pij−δ}\max\{0,p_{ij}-\delta\}max{0,pij​−δ}, the largest line sum is exactly C−δC-\deltaC−δ.
  5. Partial schedule: for each pij∈Sp_{ij}\in Spij​∈S, MiM_iMi​ processes JjJ_jJj​ for min⁡{pij,δ}\min\{p_{ij},\delta\}min{pij​,δ} time units, with no machine or job used twice.
  6. Termination: every run of the procedure reaches P′=(0)P'=(0)P′=(0) within a bounded number of stages.
  7. Joining: the concatenated partial schedules form a feasible schedule with Cmax⁡≤CC_{\max}\le CCmax​≤C.

Significance

The result. The theorem turns an optimization over continuous-time schedules into the computation of m+nm+nm+n sums. It certifies optimality by a counting argument, it is the base case for preemptive open shops with release dates and due dates, and it is used elsewhere in the survey (§4.4.6) to reduce problems on unrelated machines with preemption to open-shop instances. Because a nonnegative matrix whose row and column sums are all equal is a multiple of a doubly stochastic matrix, the theorem is a scheduling form of the Birkhoff–von Neumann decomposition. It also underlies timetabling and edge-colouring results for bipartite multigraphs.

Formalizing it. The theorem has been proved since 1976 and is textbook material. No machine-checked proof is known to exist: Mathlib has the Birkhoff–von Neumann theorem for doubly stochastic matrices but no model of open-shop schedules. A formalization adds a reusable model of preemptive multi-machine schedules with both disjointness requirements, a checked proof of the decrementing-set construction, and a termination argument the survey asserts without proof.

Difficulty

The lower bound is a one-line counting argument. The difficulty is the construction of a schedule of length exactly CCC. Scheduling each machine's operations back to back gives length max⁡i∑jpij\max_i\sum_j p_{ij}maxi​∑j​pij​, but may run one job on two machines at once. Scheduling job by job has the symmetric defect. A greedy list schedule that only respects both constraints can leave machines idle and overshoot CCC. The construction must keep every tight line busy at every moment while never letting a slack line fall behind. The existence of the decrementing set at each stage is the combinatorial core: it is a Hall-type matching condition, not a local choice. Termination is also not automatic, because a careless choice of step length can produce infinitely many shrinking steps.

Formalization scope

All objects live in the namespace SchedSurvey.OPmtn. Machines and jobs are Fin m and Fin n, both 0-based, and processing times and piece endpoints are real numbers; integer data are a special case. A schedule is a List of pieces. Feasibility requires nonnegative start times, disjointness for pieces sharing a machine or a job (touching intervals allowed), and exactly pijp_{ij}pij​ units of processing for every pair (i,j)(i,j)(i,j). Every theorem assumes pij≥0p_{ij}\ge 0pij​≥0.

"CCC is the maximum" is the predicate IsMaxLoad P C: all line sums are at most CCC and one equals CCC. The goal is stated in threshold form and mentions no maximum at all. The display defining CCC on p. 313 prints max⁡i{∑ipij}\max_i\{\sum_i p_{ij}\}maxi​{∑i​pij​} for the second term; the following sentence shows it means the row sums ∑jpij\sum_j p_{ij}∑j​pij​, and the formalization uses those. The hypothesis T≥0T\ge 0T≥0 matters only for P=0P=0P=0, where the empty schedule finishes by every TTT.

A trivializing formalization is ruled out: the goal mentions neither decrementing sets nor δ\deltaδ. Its "if" direction asserts that a schedule exists. Feasibility counts work per pair (machine, job), not per job, and forbids a job from running on two machines at once. Without either requirement the statement would be a different and easier theorem.

A complete development needs: list sums of interval lengths over disjoint intervals, the existence of decrementing sets (via Birkhoff–von Neumann, König's theorem or Hall's theorem on the bipartite graph of positive entries), the step and termination lemmas, and concatenation of schedules. The schedule model and the decrementing-set lemma are reusable for other preemptive shop problems. Contributions of alternative proofs of any milestone, for example a direct Hall-theorem proof of the existence of decrementing sets, are welcome.

Selected references

  • R. L. Graham, E. L. Lawler, J. K. Lenstra, A. H. G. Rinnooy Kan, Optimization and approximation in deterministic sequencing and scheduling: a survey, Annals of Discrete Mathematics 5 (1979) 287–326. https://doi.org/10.1016/S0167-5060(08)70356-X
  • T. Gonzalez, S. Sahni, Open shop scheduling to minimize finish time, Journal of the ACM 23 (1976) 665–679. https://doi.org/10.1145/321978.321985
  • E. L. Lawler, J. Labetoulle, On preemptive scheduling of unrelated parallel processors by linear programming, Journal of the ACM 25 (1978) 612–619. https://doi.org/10.1145/322077.322090
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Algorithmic Game TheoryConvex OptimizationOperations Research·Captain: mikedeng1

Cooperative Fuzzy Games 1: A Balanced Game without Side Payments Has a Nonempty Core Containing the Core of Its Fuzzy ExtensionResearch Paper

Motivation

A game without side payments (an NTU game) describes cooperation in which utility cannot be transferred between players: each coalition AAA of players is assigned the set V(A)V(A)V(A) of payoff vectors it can secure on its own. The core is the set of payoffs to the grand coalition that no coalition can improve upon. Whether the core is nonempty is the basic stability question of cooperative game theory. For games with side payments the answer is the Bondareva–Shapley theorem. For NTU games it is Scarf's theorem (Scarf 1967): a balanced game has a nonempty core. Billera (1970) gave a convex version, in which the payoff sets are convex and balancedness is stated with weighted Minkowski sums.

Aubin's paper (Aubin 1981) obtains Billera's version of the theorem by a different route. Players may join coalitions at fractional rates of participation, and the paper first proves a core existence theorem for these fuzzy games. The game on ordinary coalitions is then embedded into a fuzzy game whose core lies inside the core of the original game.

Setting

The players are N={1,…,n}N = \{1,\dots,n\}N={1,…,n}. A coalition A⊆NA \subseteq NA⊆N is identified with its characteristic vector τA∈{0,1}n\tau^A \in \{0,1\}^nτA∈{0,1}n, and τN=(1,…,1)\tau^N = (1,\dots,1)τN=(1,…,1). A fuzzy coalition is a vector τ∈[0,1]n\tau \in [0,1]^nτ∈[0,1]n of participation rates with support Aτ={i:τi>0}A_\tau = \{i : \tau_i > 0\}Aτ​={i:τi​>0}. Write (τ⋅c)i=τici(\tau\cdot c)_i = \tau_i c_i(τ⋅c)i​=τi​ci​, Rτ=τ⋅Rn\mathbb{R}^\tau = \tau\cdot\mathbb{R}^nRτ=τ⋅Rn for the vectors vanishing off AτA_\tauAτ​, R+τ\mathbb{R}^\tau_+R+τ​ for its nonnegative part, and R˚+τ\mathring{\mathbb{R}}^\tau_+R˚+τ​ for the vectors strictly positive on AτA_\tauAτ​.

A fuzzy game without side payments assigns to each τ≥0\tau \ge 0τ≥0 a nonempty, closed, convex set V(τ)⊆RτV(\tau)\subseteq\mathbb{R}^\tauV(τ)⊆Rτ. Each V(τ)V(\tau)V(τ) is comprehensive, meaning V(τ)=V(τ)−R+τV(\tau) = V(\tau)-\mathbb{R}^\tau_+V(τ)=V(τ)−R+τ​, and bounded above, meaning V(τ)⊆C−R+τV(\tau)\subseteq C-\mathbb{R}^\tau_+V(τ)⊆C−R+τ​ for some CCC. The map is positively homogeneous: V(tτ)=tV(τ)V(t\tau) = tV(\tau)V(tτ)=tV(τ) for every t>0t>0t>0. Its core is the set of c∈V(τN)c\in V(\tau^N)c∈V(τN) such that τ⋅c∉V(τ)−R˚+τ\tau\cdot c\notin V(\tau)-\mathring{\mathbb{R}}^\tau_+τ⋅c∈/V(τ)−R˚+τ​ for every fuzzy coalition τ≠0\tau\neq 0τ=0. With the support function v(τ,λ)=sup⁡c∈V(τ)∑iλiciv(\tau,\lambda)=\sup_{c\in V(\tau)}\sum_i\lambda_i c_iv(τ,λ)=supc∈V(τ)​∑i​λi​ci​ and the simplex MnM^nMn, a weak (resp. strong) canonical cooperative equilibrium is a c∈V(τN)c\in V(\tau^N)c∈V(τN) together with a λˉ∈Mn\bar\lambda\in M^nλˉ∈Mn (resp. λˉ\bar\lambdaλˉ with all coordinates positive) satisfying ∑iλˉiτici≥v(τ,λˉ)\sum_i\bar\lambda^i\tau_ic_i\ge v(\tau,\bar\lambda)∑i​λˉiτi​ci​≥v(τ,λˉ) for every τ∈[0,1]n\tau\in[0,1]^nτ∈[0,1]n.

A usual NTU game lives on a family C\mathcal{C}C of coalitions that contains NNN and every singleton. For each A∈CA\in\mathcal{C}A∈C, the set V(A)⊆RAV(A)\subseteq\mathbb{R}^AV(A)⊆RA is nonempty, closed, convex, comprehensive and bounded above. A balance of τ\tauτ is a vector of weights m≥0m\ge 0m≥0 on C\mathcal{C}C with ∑A∋im(A)=τi\sum_{A\ni i}m(A)=\tau_i∑A∋i​m(A)=τi​ for every iii, and C(τ)\mathcal{C}(\tau)C(τ) is the set of balances of τ\tauτ. The fuzzy extension of the game is

πV(τ)=⋃m∈C(τ) ∑A∈Cm(A) V(A),\pi V(\tau)=\bigcup_{m\in\mathcal{C}(\tau)}\ \sum_{A\in\mathcal{C}} m(A)\,V(A),πV(τ)=m∈C(τ)⋃​ A∈C∑​m(A)V(A),

and the game is balanced if V(N)=πV(τN)V(N)=\pi V(\tau^N)V(N)=πV(τN).

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem 7.1

For a balanced game without side payments,

∅≠core⁡(πV)⊆core⁡(V),CCEstrong(V)⊆core⁡(πV)⊆CCEweak(V),\emptyset\neq\operatorname{core}(\pi V)\subseteq\operatorname{core}(V),\qquad \mathrm{CCE}_{\rm strong}(V)\subseteq\operatorname{core}(\pi V)\subseteq\mathrm{CCE}_{\rm weak}(V),∅=core(πV)⊆core(V),CCEstrong​(V)⊆core(πV)⊆CCEweak​(V),

and in particular core⁡(V)≠∅\operatorname{core}(V)\neq\emptysetcore(V)=∅.

Milestones

  • Proposition 3.1: c∈V(τN)c\in V(\tau^N)c∈V(τN) is in the core iff the maximum complaint α(c)=sup⁡τ≠0inf⁡λ∈Mτ[v(τ,λ)−∑iλiτici]\alpha(c)=\sup_{\tau\neq0}\inf_{\lambda\in M^\tau}[v(\tau,\lambda)-\sum_i\lambda^i\tau_ic_i]α(c)=supτ=0​infλ∈Mτ​[v(τ,λ)−∑i​λiτi​ci​] is ≤0\le 0≤0.
  • Proof of Theorem 3.1(b): if VVV is superadditive, V(τ)+V(σ)⊆V(τ+σ)V(\tau)+V(\sigma)\subseteq V(\tau+\sigma)V(τ)+V(σ)⊆V(τ+σ), then τ↦v(τ,λ)\tau\mapsto v(\tau,\lambda)τ↦v(τ,λ) is concave on R+n\mathbb{R}^n_+R+n​.
  • Theorem 3.1: strong equilibria lie in the core, and for a superadditive game the core lies in the set of weak equilibria.
  • Theorem 5.1: a superadditive fuzzy game has a nonempty core.
  • §7, (6), (7), (11): πV\pi VπV is a superadditive fuzzy game that extends VVV, and its support function is πv(τ,λ)=sup⁡m∈C(τ)∑Am(A)v(A,λ)\pi v(\tau,\lambda)=\sup_{m\in\mathcal{C}(\tau)}\sum_A m(A)v(A,\lambda)πv(τ,λ)=supm∈C(τ)​∑A​m(A)v(A,λ).
  • §7 and the proof of Theorem 7.1: under balancedness, core⁡(πV)⊆core⁡(V)\operatorname{core}(\pi V)\subseteq\operatorname{core}(V)core(πV)⊆core(V), and the equilibria of VVV coincide with those of πV\pi VπV.

Significance

Theorem 7.1 gives the core existence result for convex NTU games under Billera's balancedness condition. Its proof goes through a statement about fuzzy coalitions, Theorem 5.1, which uses no combinatorial pivoting. That theorem also has independent uses. Its fuzzy core is the solution concept that §4 of the paper identifies with Walras equilibria of exchange economies. The canonical cooperative equilibria give a price-like certificate, a common rate of transfer λˉ\bar\lambdaλˉ, that sandwiches the core.

The results are classical and proved. Prove2Me holds no statement of Scarf's or Billera's theorem, of NTU cores, or of balancedness for games without side payments, and Mathlib has none of these notions. The mission produces faithful statements of the paper's chain of results, and their proofs once solvers close them. It also builds reusable infrastructure: support functions of comprehensive sets, Minkowski combinations indexed by balances, and positively homogeneous set-valued maps.

Difficulty

Most of §7 is bookkeeping with Minkowski sums. The hard part is Theorem 5.1, the existence of a point in the fuzzy core. The core is defined by infinitely many exclusion conditions, one for each τ∈[0,1]n\tau\in[0,1]^nτ∈[0,1]n, so a finite intersection argument does not apply directly. The paper's route works with prices: it uses the superdifferential of the concave map τ↦v(τ,λ)\tau\mapsto v(\tau,\lambda)τ↦v(τ,λ) at τN\tau^NτN, Ky Fan's inequality on a truncated simplex where all λi≥ε\lambda_i\ge\varepsilonλi​≥ε, and a limit as ε→0\varepsilon\to0ε→0. That limit requires compactness of the approximating payoffs, and at the boundary of the simplex the superdifferential map is not upper semicontinuous. Theorem 3.1(b) needs a minisup theorem for a function that is concave in τ\tauτ and convex and lower semicontinuous in λ\lambdaλ. Mathlib has neither Ky Fan's inequality nor this minimax theorem in that form.

Formalization scope

All statements import one definitions file, FuzzyGames.NTUCore.Basic. The formalization commits to the following conventions.

  • Players are Fin n, and payoffs, fuzzy coalitions and rates of transfer are Fin n → ℝ, ordered coordinatewise. Rτ\mathbb{R}^\tauRτ is encoded as "vanishes where τi=0\tau_i=0τi​=0", which equals τ⋅Rn\tau\cdot\mathbb{R}^nτ⋅Rn for τ≥0\tau\ge0τ≥0.
  • Fuzzy games are defined directly on the orthant τ≥0\tau\ge0τ≥0, the paper's extension of VVV from [0,1]n[0,1]^n[0,1]n by homogeneity. Homogeneity holds for every t>0t>0t>0, and superadditivity holds on R+n\mathbb{R}^n_+R+n​.
  • Support functions, α\alphaα and πv\pi vπv take values in EReal, so an unbounded supremum is +∞+\infty+∞ and never a junk 000.
  • The supremum defining α(c)\alpha(c)α(c) ranges over τ≠0\tau\neq0τ=0. Since M0=∅M^0=\emptysetM0=∅, including τ=0\tau=0τ=0 would make α≡+∞\alpha\equiv+\inftyα≡+∞ and Proposition 3.1 false. Blocking coalitions are likewise τ≠0\tau\neq0τ=0, as in §3 (4).
  • C\mathcal{C}C is a finite family of nonempty coalitions that contains NNN and every singleton. "∀A≠∅\forall A\neq\emptyset∀A=∅" in §7 ranges over C\mathcal{C}C.
  • The paper leaves n≥1n\ge1n≥1 implicit. Theorem 3.1(b) and Theorem 5.1 carry 0<n0<n0<n: for n=0n=0n=0 the simplex is empty while the core is not.
  • In §7 (11), πv(τ,λ)\pi v(\tau,\lambda)πv(τ,λ), which the paper uses without defining it, is taken to be the extension §6 (2) applied to A↦v(A,λ)A\mapsto v(A,\lambda)A↦v(A,λ), for λ≥0\lambda\ge0λ≥0.
  • The §7 sentence after (5) is stated with two extra conclusions: πV(τ)\pi V(\tau)πV(τ) is nonempty and contained in Rτ\mathbb{R}^\tauRτ. These are the remaining requirements of §3 (3) that are needed to apply Theorem 5.1.
  • Sums and scalings of sets are Mathlib's pointwise operations.

The fuzzy-game axioms are a Prop-valued structure and are hypotheses of every theorem. The core and the equilibria are defined for an arbitrary set-valued map, so the theorems about πV\pi VπV do not presuppose that it is a fuzzy game. That fact is the content of the §7 milestones and is not assumed. Non-vacuity has been checked locally on a concrete instance: V(τ)={c∈Rτ:c≤τ}V(\tau)=\{c\in\mathbb{R}^\tau: c\le\tau\}V(τ)={c∈Rτ:c≤τ} is a superadditive fuzzy game, and V(A)={c∈RA:c≤τA}V(A)=\{c\in\mathbb{R}^A:c\le\tau^A\}V(A)={c∈RA:c≤τA} is a balanced game on every admissible C\mathcal{C}C, with (1,…,1)(1,\dots,1)(1,…,1) in both cores.

Contributions are welcome at every level: the §7 Minkowski-sum lemmas, the support-function identities, and a minisup or Ky Fan theorem in the form the proofs need. Reusable pieces include support functions of comprehensive sets and Sion-type minimax.

Selected references

  • J.-P. Aubin, Cooperative Fuzzy Games, Mathematics of Operations Research 6(1) (1981) 1–13. https://doi.org/10.1287/moor.6.1.1
  • H. E. Scarf, The Core of an N Person Game, Econometrica 35(1) (1967) 50–69. https://doi.org/10.2307/1909888
  • L. J. Billera, Some Theorems on the Core of an n-Person Game without Side-Payments, SIAM Journal on Applied Mathematics 18(3) (1970) 567–579. https://doi.org/10.1137/0118053
  • K. Fan, A Minimax Inequality and Applications, in O. Shisha (ed.), Inequalities III, Academic Press (1972) 103–113.
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Numerical Analysis·Captain: mikedeng1

Truncated-Newton Algorithms for Large-Scale Unconstrained Optimization 1: Truncated-Newton CG Iterates Have ‖g(x_k)‖ → 0 and Converge to Any Limit Point with Positive Definite HessianResearch Paper

Motivation

Large scale unconstrained optimization often makes an exact Newton step expensive. At each iterate, Newton's method asks for a solution of a linear system involving the Hessian, and the cost of solving that system can dominate the cost of evaluating the objective. Dembo and Steihaug's 1983 truncated Newton method uses conjugate gradients to stop the linear solve early, either when the residual is small enough or when the current direction has insufficient positive curvature. The resulting direction is paired with a line search. The question for this mission is whether those early exits still give a globally reliable optimization method under the paper's assumptions. The answer, in Theorem 2.1, is that every resulting run has gradient norm tending to zero, and a positive definite Hessian at one limit point makes the whole sequence converge to that point.

Setting

The objective is a twice continuously differentiable function f:Rn→Rf:\mathbb R^n\to\mathbb Rf:Rn→R. Write g(x)=∇f(x)g(x)=\nabla f(x)g(x)=∇f(x) for its gradient and H(x)=Dg(x)H(x)=Dg(x)H(x)=Dg(x) for its Hessian. For every initial point x0x_0x0​, the paper assumes that the sublevel set L(x0)={x:f(x)≤f(x0)}L(x_0)=\{x:f(x)\le f(x_0)\}L(x0​)={x:f(x)≤f(x0​)} is bounded. The formalization uses the Euclidean norm and its inner product, so the operator norm of HHH is also Euclidean.

At a major iterate xkx_kxk​, the minor conjugate-gradient iteration starts at p0=0p_0=0p0​=0 with residual and direction r0=d0=−g(xk)r_0=d_0=-g(x_k)r0​=d0​=−g(xk​). It maintains a scalar δi\delta_iδi​, initialized to ∥r0∥2\|r_0\|^2∥r0​∥2, alongside the usual conjugate-gradient state. Before taking its next conjugate-gradient step, it checks whether ⟨di,H(xk)di⟩≤εδi\langle d_i,H(x_k)d_i\rangle\le\varepsilon\delta_i⟨di​,H(xk​)di​⟩≤εδi​. If so, it returns d0=−g(xk)d_0=-g(x_k)d0​=−g(xk​) when i=0i=0i=0 and the current approximation pip_ipi​ otherwise. If this first test fails, it takes a conjugate-gradient step and checks whether ∥ri+1∥≤ηk∥g(xk)∥\|r_{i+1}\|\le\eta_k\|g(x_k)\|∥ri+1​∥≤ηk​∥g(xk​)∥. If so, it returns pi+1p_{i+1}pi+1​. A TNCG direction is the direction returned by the first exit that occurs. The forcing value ηk\eta_kηk​ sets the residual tolerance.

The major iteration chooses a positive step length λk\lambda_kλk​. With pkp_kpk​ the minor iteration's output and 0<α<1/20<\alpha<1/20<α<1/2, α<β<1\alpha<\beta<1α<β<1, the line search requires both sufficient decrease and a curvature condition:

f(xk+λkpk)≤f(xk)+αλk⟨g(xk),pk⟩,⟨g(xk+λkpk),pk⟩≥β⟨g(xk),pk⟩.f(x_k+\lambda_k p_k)\le f(x_k)+\alpha\lambda_k\langle g(x_k),p_k\rangle, \qquad \langle g(x_k+\lambda_kp_k),p_k\rangle\ge\beta\langle g(x_k),p_k\rangle.f(xk​+λk​pk​)≤f(xk​)+αλk​⟨g(xk​),pk​⟩,⟨g(xk​+λk​pk​),pk​⟩≥β⟨g(xk​),pk​⟩.

The update is xk+1=xk+λkpkx_{k+1}=x_k+\lambda_kp_kxk+1​=xk​+λk​pk​. A run is a sequence satisfying this rule from its specified starting point. The paper also states an alternative function-value curvature condition; this mission defines it because the local unit-step theorem discusses both choices, although the main run uses the displayed gradient condition.

Formalization targets

Global convergence

For every starting point there is a TNCG run, and every run satisfies

∥g(xk)∥⟶0.\|g(x_k)\|\longrightarrow0.∥g(xk​)∥⟶0.

If x∗x^*x∗ is a limit point of that run and H(x∗)H(x^*)H(x∗) is positive definite, then

xk⟶x∗.x_k\longrightarrow x^*.xk​⟶x∗.

The existence clause is the formal meaning of the paper's assertion that the iterates are well defined. The six milestones follow the paper's appendix: the conjugate-gradient relations of Theorem A.1; the uniform descent and direction bounds of Lemma A.2; the line-search existence and directional-derivative limit used in the proof of Theorem A.3; Theorem A.3 itself; and eventual unit-step admissibility in Theorem A.4. The companion Theorem 2.2 addresses the eventual residual exit and unit-step behavior when a run converges to a point with positive definite Hessian. These results are all stated in the original paper.

Significance

The target shows that the computational shortcut in the inner linear solve preserves a global first-order guarantee: no TNCG run can maintain a gradient norm bounded away from zero. It also identifies when the sequence has one limit, rather than merely having stationary accumulation points. The local companion result describes the regime where the truncated method can take full steps and the residual stopping test governs the minor iteration.

The mathematical results are proved in the 1983 paper, while this mission's Lean statements are open proof targets. A complete formalization would connect the finite-dimensional conjugate-gradient recurrence, the line-search argument on bounded sublevel sets, and the convergence statement in one machine-checked development. The conjugate-gradient identities and line-search facts could be reused in other optimization algorithms; the exact first-exit model and the global conclusion are specific to this method.

Difficulty

The minor iteration is not an ordinary positive definite conjugate-gradient solve. The Hessian may be indefinite away from a solution, and the iteration must stop at insufficient curvature before using a later residual state. A convergence argument that assumes positive definiteness at every iterate would therefore miss the case the algorithm was designed to handle. The line search must work for the returned direction, including the first iteration's steepest-descent fallback. The limit-point conclusion adds a separate issue: a vanishing gradient norm alone does not force an entire sequence to converge to a chosen limit point.

Formalization scope

Lean represents Rn\mathbb R^nRn as EuclideanSpace ℝ (Fin n), uses its Euclidean norm and inner product, and defines H(x)H(x)H(x) as the derivative of the gradient. The objective is C2C^2C2 and every sublevel set is bounded, as specified at the start of the paper. The TNCG recurrence is total, but an admissible direction must come from its first actual exit, with the curvature test preceding the residual test. At i=0i=0i=0, the curvature exit returns −g-g−g, not the zero initial approximation. This prevents a false stationary run. The residual test is written as a product inequality, equivalent to the paper's quotient when the residual test is reached.

Step lengths are positive. A run is extended through stationary points by zero directions, giving an infinite sequence on which a limit can be stated. Theorem 2.1 imposes no extra restriction on the forcing sequence and no upper bound on step lengths. Theorem A.1 corrects the printed Krylov-space index from Hk−1gH^{k-1}gHk−1g to HkgH^kgHkg. Theorem A.4 adds g(x∗)=0g(x^*)=0g(x∗)=0, needed for the conclusion and true in the paper's applications. Theorem 2.2 requires nonnegative forcing values and guards its residual-exit conclusion at stationary iterates. These corrections are recorded item by item in the moderation notes. Contributions to the conjugate-gradient identities, bounded-level-set line search, and isolated-limit-point argument are all within scope.

Selected references

  • R. S. Dembo and T. Steihaug, Truncated-Newton algorithms for large-scale unconstrained optimization, Mathematical Programming 26 (1983), 190–212. DOI: 10.1007/BF02592055.
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Linear algebraNumerical Analysis·Captain: mikedeng1

Truncated-Newton Algorithms for Large-Scale Unconstrained Optimization 2: Exact CG Meets Nonpositive Curvature Unless g Is Orthogonal to the Nonpositive Eigenspaces of HResearch Paper

Motivation

Truncated-Newton methods minimize a smooth function f:Rn→Rf:\mathbb{R}^n\to\mathbb{R}f:Rn→R by taking, at each iterate xkx_kxk​, a search direction obtained by solving the Newton equation H(xk)p=−g(xk)H(x_k)p=-g(x_k)H(xk​)p=−g(xk​) only approximately, with the linear conjugate gradient (CG) method. Here ggg is the gradient and HHH the Hessian of fff. The approach was analysed by Dembo and Steihaug (Math. Programming 26, 1983), building on the inexact Newton framework of Dembo, Eisenstat and Steihaug (SIAM J. Numer. Anal. 19, 1982), and Newton–CG with curvature tests remains a standard large-scale method (Nocedal and Wright, Numerical Optimization, Ch. 7).

Away from a minimizer the Hessian need not be positive definite, and CG on an indefinite system can produce directions along which fff curves downward. The Dembo–Steihaug method stops CG when it meets such a direction. A practical question follows: started at or near a stationary point that is not a local minimizer, will the method ever notice the nonpositive curvature? Theorem 2.4 of the paper answers it for exact CG: it does, except in a degenerate case described by the eigenspaces of HHH.

Setting

Fix a symmetric linear operator HHH on Rn\mathbb{R}^nRn, with the Euclidean inner product uTvu^{\mathsf T}vuTv and norm ∥⋅∥\|\cdot\|∥⋅∥, and a vector g∈Rng\in\mathbb{R}^ng∈Rn. In the paper these are H(xk)H(x_k)H(xk​) and g(xk)g(x_k)g(xk​) at the current iterate.

The TNCG minor iteration (p. 194) runs CG on Hp=−gHp=-gHp=−g from p0=0p_0=0p0​=0. Its state at iteration iii is (pi,ri,di,δi)(p_i,r_i,d_i,\delta_i)(pi​,ri​,di​,δi​):

p0=0,r0=−g,d0=r0,δ0=r0Tr0,p_0=0,\quad r_0=-g,\quad d_0=r_0,\quad \delta_0=r_0^{\mathsf T}r_0,p0​=0,r0​=−g,d0​=r0​,δ0​=r0T​r0​,

and, writing qi=Hdiq_i=Hd_iqi​=Hdi​,

αi=riTridiTqi,  pi+1=pi+αidi,  ri+1=ri−αiqi,  βi=ri+1Tri+1riTri,  di+1=ri+1+βidi,  δi+1=ri+1Tri+1+βi2δi.\alpha_i=\frac{r_i^{\mathsf T}r_i}{d_i^{\mathsf T}q_i},\ \ p_{i+1}=p_i+\alpha_id_i,\ \ r_{i+1}=r_i-\alpha_iq_i,\ \ \beta_i=\frac{r_{i+1}^{\mathsf T}r_{i+1}}{r_i^{\mathsf T}r_i},\ \ d_{i+1}=r_{i+1}+\beta_id_i,\ \ \delta_{i+1}=r_{i+1}^{\mathsf T}r_{i+1}+\beta_i^2\delta_i .αi​=diT​qi​riT​ri​​,  pi+1​=pi​+αi​di​,  ri+1​=ri​−αi​qi​,  βi​=riT​ri​ri+1T​ri+1​​,  di+1​=ri+1​+βi​di​,  δi+1​=ri+1T​ri+1​+βi2​δi​.

At iteration iii the method first applies the curvature test (2.1), diTHdi≤ε δid_i^{\mathsf T}Hd_i\le\varepsilon\,\delta_idiT​Hdi​≤εδi​, and stops if it holds; otherwise it computes ri+1r_{i+1}ri+1​ and applies the truncation test (2.2), ∥ri+1∥/∥g∥≤η\|r_{i+1}\|/\|g\|\le\eta∥ri+1​∥/∥g∥≤η, and stops if it holds. With ε=η=0\varepsilon=\eta=0ε=η=0, (2.1) reads diTHdi≤0d_i^{\mathsf T}Hd_i\le0diT​Hdi​≤0 and (2.2) reads ri+1=0r_{i+1}=0ri+1​=0. The method exits through (2.1) at iii when no test fired at any iteration j<ij<ij<i and (2.1) holds at iii.

For μ∈R\mu\in\mathbb{R}μ∈R the eigenspace is E(μ,H)={v:Hv=μv}E(\mu,H)=\{v: Hv=\mu v\}E(μ,H)={v:Hv=μv} (A.21). The span of vectors v1,…,vmv_1,\dots,v_mv1​,…,vm​ is written [v1,…,vm][v_1,\dots,v_m][v1​,…,vm​]; the Krylov space of ggg is [g,Hg,…,Hmg][g,Hg,\dots,H^{m}g][g,Hg,…,Hmg].

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem 2.4 (p. 197)

Let ηk=ε=0\eta_k=\varepsilon=0ηk​=ε=0. If HHH is not positive definite, then either the minor iteration exits through (2.1) at some iteration iii, so that

diTHdi≤0at an iteration i the method reaches,d_i^{\mathsf T}Hd_i\le 0 \quad\text{at an iteration } i \text{ the method reaches},diT​Hdi​≤0at an iteration i the method reaches,

or

gTv=0for every v with Hv=μv, μ≤0.g^{\mathsf T}v=0\quad\text{for every } v \text{ with } Hv=\mu v,\ \mu\le0 .gTv=0for every v with Hv=μv, μ≤0.

Milestones

  1. Theorem A.1, (A.2) and (A.5), at ε=0\varepsilon=0ε=0 (p. 206). If diTHdi>0d_i^{\mathsf T}Hd_i>0diT​Hdi​>0 for i=0,…,ki=0,\dots,ki=0,…,k, then diTHdj=0d_i^{\mathsf T}Hd_j=0diT​Hdj​=0 for i≠j≤ki\ne j\le ki=j≤k, and [d0,…,dk]=[g,Hg,…,Hkg][d_0,\dots,d_k]=[g,Hg,\dots,H^kg][d0​,…,dk​]=[g,Hg,…,Hkg].
  2. Theorem A.5 (p. 210). If ggg has a nonzero projection on each eigenspace of HHH, kkk is the number of distinct eigenvalues, and vectors d0,…,dk−1d_0,\dots,d_{k-1}d0​,…,dk−1​ are HHH-conjugate with (di,Hdi)>0(d_i,Hd_i)>0(di​,Hdi​)>0 and span [g,…,Hk−1g][g,\dots,H^{k-1}g][g,…,Hk−1g], then HHH is positive definite.
  3. The first sentence of the proof of Theorem 2.4 (p. 211). If ggg is not orthogonal to any eigenspace of HHH, and exact CG passes the curvature test up to iteration iii and ends with ri+1=0r_{i+1}=0ri+1​=0, then HHH is positive definite.

Significance

The theorem is the theoretical justification, given in the paper on p. 197, for using the direction of negative curvature did_idi​ produced in case (ii) of the minor iteration: with exact arithmetic and no truncation, CG either produces a direction of nonpositive curvature or the gradient lies entirely in the span of eigenvectors with positive eigenvalues. The paper draws the consequence that if xk→x∗x_k\to x^*xk​→x∗ and the method terminates through (2.2), then, outside this rare case, x∗x^*x∗ is a strong local minimizer. Theorem A.5 is a self-contained statement about conjugate families in Krylov spaces, usable in any analysis of CG on indefinite systems.

The result is proved in the paper (Appendix, pp. 206–211), with the CG relations of Theorem A.1 cited from Hestenes and Stiefel. No machine-checked proof of these statements is known to this mission. Formalizing them produces a Lean development of CG on a symmetric, possibly indefinite operator, with its conjugacy and Krylov-span relations, which classical treatments state only for positive definite systems.

Difficulty

The CG relations of Theorem A.1 are usually proved for positive definite HHH, where every denominator is positive. Here HHH is indefinite, and the relations hold only as long as the curvature along the directions has stayed positive; the induction must carry that hypothesis and must also show the residuals do not vanish early. The passage from "CG ended with r=0r=0r=0" to a statement about all eigenspaces is the second obstacle: the CG run sees only the Krylov space of ggg, so one must relate that space to the eigenspaces that ggg meets, using symmetry of HHH and a count of distinct eigenvalues. A direct argument via "the directions span Rn\mathbb{R}^nRn" fails, because when ggg misses an eigenspace the Krylov space is a proper subspace.

Formalization scope

Rn\mathbb{R}^nRn is EuclideanSpace ℝ (Fin n); HHH is a continuous linear map that is self-adjoint (IsSelfAdjoint H), as the paper's HHH is a Hessian. Positive definiteness is vTHv>0v^{\mathsf T}Hv>0vTHv>0 for all v≠0v\ne0v=0. The CG recursion is total and carries no stopping test; division by zero returns 000 in Lean, so states after a would-be stop are junk, and the statements read the iteration only through first-exit predicates. The test (2.2) is encoded in the product form ∥ri+1∥≤η∥g∥\|r_{i+1}\|\le\eta\|g\|∥ri+1​∥≤η∥g∥.

Theorem 2.4 is stated for an arbitrary symmetric HHH and vector ggg rather than at an iterate of a run of the full algorithm. It uses nothing else about fff or the run, and every such pair occurs as the Hessian and gradient of an admissible objective. The paper's (A.5) prints Hk−1gH^{k-1}gHk−1g as the last Krylov vector; the correct HkgH^kgHkg is used.

A trivializing formalization exists and is ruled out: the first alternative is not "diTHdi≤0d_i^{\mathsf T}Hd_i\le0diT​Hdi​≤0 for some iii" over the unstopped recursion, which holds automatically once a residual vanishes (the recursion then continues with d=0d=0d=0); it requires that iteration iii is reached with no earlier exit. The goal does not assume conjugacy, the Krylov span identity, or the hypotheses of Theorem A.5.

A complete development needs the spectral theorem for self-adjoint operators on finite-dimensional spaces (in Mathlib), finiteness of the set of eigenvalues, and the CG invariants. The CG lemmas are reusable for any Newton–CG or trust-region CG analysis. Proofs of the milestones, and of auxiliary CG invariants such as (A.3)–(A.4), are welcome.

Selected references

  • R. S. Dembo and T. Steihaug, Truncated-Newton algorithms for large-scale unconstrained optimization, Mathematical Programming 26 (1983) 190–212. https://doi.org/10.1007/BF02592055
  • R. S. Dembo, S. C. Eisenstat and T. Steihaug, Inexact Newton methods, SIAM Journal on Numerical Analysis 19 (1982) 400–408. https://doi.org/10.1137/0719025
  • M. R. Hestenes and E. Stiefel, Methods of conjugate gradients for solving linear systems, Journal of Research of the National Bureau of Standards 49 (1952) 409–436. https://doi.org/10.6028/jres.049.044
  • T. Steihaug, The conjugate gradient method and trust regions in large scale optimization, SIAM Journal on Numerical Analysis 20 (1983) 626–637. https://doi.org/10.1137/0720042
  • J. Nocedal and S. J. Wright, Numerical Optimization, 2nd ed., Springer, 2006. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-0-387-40065-5
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Numerical Analysis·Captain: mikedeng1

On the Convergence of Interior-Reflective Newton Methods for Nonlinear Minimization Subject to Bounds 1: The Interior-Reflective Line Search Algorithm Drives D_k²g_k to ZeroResearch Paper

Motivation

Minimizing a smooth function subject to simple bounds on the variables, l≤x≤ul\le x\le ul≤x≤u, is one of the most common problems in nonlinear optimization: it arises on its own (nonnegativity constraints, box-constrained least squares, parameter estimation with physical ranges) and as the subproblem of augmented Lagrangian and penalty methods. The classical approaches are active-set methods, which follow the boundary of the box and must guess which bounds are tight, and projected-gradient methods, which project trial points onto the box.

Coleman and Li proposed an alternative that never touches the boundary: an interior-reflective Newton method. Every iterate is strictly feasible; a new affine scaling D(x)D(x)D(x) measures how far each variable is from the bound its gradient points toward; and the line search follows a reflective path, which bounces off the faces of the box instead of stopping at them or being projected back. The method is the basis of the trust-region-reflective algorithm in MATLAB's Optimization Toolbox (fmincon, lsqnonlin), so its convergence theory underlies a widely used solver.

Timeline:

  • 1992–1994: Coleman and Li introduce the interior-reflective approach and analyse its convergence (Math. Programming 67, 1994), proving first-order global convergence (Theorem 8) and local quadratic convergence (Theorem 13).
  • 1996: Coleman and Li extend the approach to trust-region subproblems (SIAM J. Optim. 6, 1996), the version implemented in MATLAB.

This mission is the first of two drawn from the 1994 paper; the second treats the local quadratic rate.

Setting

The problem (1.1) is

min⁡x∈Rnf(x)subject tol≤x≤u,\min_{x\in\mathbb R^n} f(x)\quad\text{subject to}\quad l\le x\le u,x∈Rnmin​f(x)subject tol≤x≤u,

with l∈(R∪{−∞})nl\in(\mathbb R\cup\{-\infty\})^nl∈(R∪{−∞})n, u∈(R∪{+∞})nu\in(\mathbb R\cup\{+\infty\})^nu∈(R∪{+∞})n, l≤ul\le ul≤u. The feasible box is F={x:l≤x≤u}\mathcal F=\{x:l\le x\le u\}F={x:l≤x≤u} and its strict interior is int⁡(F)={x:l<x<u}\operatorname{int}(\mathcal F)=\{x:l<x<u\}int(F)={x:l<x<u}. Write g(x)=∇f(x)g(x)=\nabla f(x)g(x)=∇f(x) and H(x)=∇2f(x)H(x)=\nabla^2 f(x)H(x)=∇2f(x), and gk=g(xk)g_k=g(x_k)gk​=g(xk​), Hk=H(xk)H_k=H(x_k)Hk​=H(xk​) along a sequence.

The standing assumption (p. 191): for the starting point x1x_1x1​, the level set L={x∈F:f(x)≤f(x1)}\mathcal L=\{x\in\mathcal F: f(x)\le f(x_1)\}L={x∈F:f(x)≤f(x1​)} is compact, and fff is twice continuously differentiable on an open set D⊇FD\supseteq\mathcal FD⊇F.

The scaling vector v(x)v(x)v(x) (Definition 2) has components vi=xi−uiv_i=x_i-u_ivi​=xi​−ui​ if gi<0g_i<0gi​<0 and ui<∞u_i<\inftyui​<∞; vi=xi−liv_i=x_i-l_ivi​=xi​−li​ if gi≥0g_i\ge0gi​≥0 and li>−∞l_i>-\inftyli​>−∞; vi=−1v_i=-1vi​=−1 if gi<0g_i<0gi​<0 and ui=∞u_i=\inftyui​=∞; vi=1v_i=1vi​=1 if gi≥0g_i\ge0gi​≥0 and li=−∞l_i=-\inftyli​=−∞. The scaling matrix is D(x)=diag⁡(∣v(x)∣1/2)D(x)=\operatorname{diag}(|v(x)|^{1/2})D(x)=diag(∣v(x)∣1/2), and Dk=D(xk)D_k=D(x_k)Dk​=D(xk​). The system D(x)2g(x)=0D(x)^2g(x)=0D(x)2g(x)=0 is equivalent to the first-order optimality conditions of (1.1).

The reflective transformation RRR (Fig. 6) folds Rn\mathbb R^nRn onto F\mathcal FF coordinate by coordinate: a coordinate with one finite bound is reflected about it, and a coordinate with two finite bounds is folded periodically (a triangle wave between lil_ili​ and uiu_iui​). The reflective path from xxx in the direction sss is p(α)=R(x+αs)−xp(\alpha)=R(x+\alpha s)-xp(α)=R(x+αs)−x: it moves along sss and reverses the corresponding component of the direction whenever it meets a face. A breakpoint is a stepsize at which the path lies on the boundary.

The interior-reflective algorithm (Fig. 9), with 0<σl<σu<10<\sigma_l<\sigma_u<10<σl​<σu​<1 and ρ>0\rho>0ρ>0, starts at x1∈int⁡(F)x_1\in\operatorname{int}(\mathcal F)x1​∈int(F); at each step it chooses a descent direction sks_ksk​ and a stepsize αk>0\alpha_k>0αk​>0 that is not a breakpoint and satisfies

f(xk+1)<f(xk)+σl(αkgkTsk+12αk2min⁡(skTHksk,0))(3.4)f(x_{k+1})<f(x_k)+\sigma_l\big(\alpha_kg_k^{T}s_k+\tfrac12\alpha_k^2\min(s_k^{T}H_ks_k,0)\big)\qquad(3.4)f(xk+1​)<f(xk​)+σl​(αk​gkT​sk​+21​αk2​min(skT​Hk​sk​,0))(3.4)

and either

f(xk+1)>f(xk)+σu(αkgkTsk+12αk2min⁡(skTHksk,0))(3.5)f(x_{k+1})>f(x_k)+\sigma_u\big(\alpha_kg_k^{T}s_k+\tfrac12\alpha_k^2\min(s_k^{T}H_ks_k,0)\big)\qquad(3.5)f(xk+1​)>f(xk​)+σu​(αk​gkT​sk​+21​αk2​min(skT​Hk​sk​,0))(3.5)

or αk>ρ\alpha_k>\rhoαk​>ρ; then xk+1=xk+pk(αk)x_{k+1}=x_k+p_k(\alpha_k)xk+1​=xk​+pk​(αk​).

The directions {sk}\{s_k\}{sk​} are constraint-compatible (Definition 3) if {Dk−2sk}\{D_k^{-2}s_k\}{Dk−2​sk​} is bounded, and consistent (Definition 4) if skTgk→0s_k^{T}g_k\to0skT​gk​→0 implies Dkgk→0D_kg_k\to0Dk​gk​→0.

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem 8

If {xk}\{x_k\}{xk​} is generated by the algorithm of Fig. 9 and {sk}\{s_k\}{sk​} is both consistent and constraint-compatible, then

Dk2gk→0andαk2min⁡(skTHksk,0)→0.D_k^2g_k\to0\qquad\text{and}\qquad\alpha_k^2\min(s_k^{T}H_ks_k,0)\to0 .Dk2​gk​→0andαk2​min(skT​Hk​sk​,0)→0.

No constants are involved; the statement is the paper's.

Milestones

  1. The iterates stay in L\mathcal LL and f(xk)f(x_k)f(xk​) strictly decreases (proof of Theorem 8, p. 207).
  2. Theorem 3: constraint compatibility bounds the breakpoints BRk(j)=∣vkj∣/∣skj∣BR_k(j)=|v_{kj}|/|s_{kj}|BRk​(j)=∣vkj​∣/∣skj​∣ away from zero.
  3. Lemma 7, in its one-sided form: if αk→0\alpha_k\to0αk​→0, then f(xk+1)−f(xk)≤αkgkTsk+Cαk2f(x_{k+1})-f(x_k)\le\alpha_kg_k^{T}s_k+C\alpha_k^2f(xk+1​)−f(xk​)≤αk​gkT​sk​+Cαk2​ eventually.
  4. αkgkTsk→0\alpha_kg_k^{T}s_k\to0αk​gkT​sk​→0 and αk2min⁡(skTHksk,0)→0\alpha_k^2\min(s_k^{T}H_ks_k,0)\to0αk2​min(skT​Hk​sk​,0)→0 (proof of Theorem 8, p. 208).
  5. gkTsk→0g_k^{T}s_k\to0gkT​sk​→0 for constraint-compatible directions (proof of Theorem 8, p. 208).

Companion results: Theorem 2 (the acceptable stepsize interval exists, so the algorithm is well defined), and Theorems 5 (1)–(2) and 6 (1)–(2) (the scaled steepest-descent directions −Dk2gk-D_k^2g_k−Dk2​gk​ and −Dk2sgn⁡(gk)-D_k^2\operatorname{sgn}(g_k)−Dk2​sgn(gk​) are constraint-compatible and consistent).

Significance

Theorem 8 is the global first-order convergence theorem of the interior-reflective approach. With Theorems 5 and 6 it shows that the simplest instance, scaled steepest descent along the reflective path, reaches first-order points from any strictly feasible start; the paper's later second-order and quadratic results for the trust-region variant are built on it. Constraint compatibility and consistency isolate exactly what a search direction must satisfy, so the theorem applies to any direction rule that can be checked against these two conditions.

The result has been proved since 1994 but, to our knowledge, not machine-checked. A formalization requires a precise model of the reflective path, which the paper describes by an algorithm (Fig. 4) and a coordinate formula (Fig. 6), and a careful treatment of points where the scaling degenerates. The formal statements also make explicit a point the printed text leaves loose: Lemma 7 is printed as an equality but only an inequality holds, and only the inequality is used.

Difficulty

The argument has the shape of a standard sufficient-decrease proof, but the step that is routine for straight-line searches fails here. The path is not a line: as α\alphaα grows, components of the direction are reversed at breakpoints, so f(xk+pk(α))−f(xk)f(x_k+p_k(\alpha))-f(x_k)f(xk​+pk​(α))−f(xk​) is not αgkTsk+O(α2)\alpha g_k^{T}s_k+O(\alpha^2)αgkT​sk​+O(α2) in general, since a reflected component changes the linear term by an amount of order α\alphaα. Lemma 7 must show that, for constraint-compatible directions, only components whose reflection decreases the linear term can be reflected at small steps, and the Taylor remainders must be controlled uniformly over a run, on a neighbourhood of the compact level set inside the open set where fff is C2C^2C2. The scaling also degenerates at the boundary, where vvv vanishes; the iterates must be kept strictly interior for Dk−2D_k^{-2}Dk−2​ to be meaningful.

Formalization scope

Points are EuclideanSpace ℝ (Fin n); the bounds are EReal vectors with li≠+∞l_i\neq+\inftyli​=+∞, ui≠−∞u_i\neq-\inftyui​=−∞ and l≤ul\le ul≤u. The box and the level set are the published LewisTorczon.BoundPS.box and levelSet. The gradient is Mathlib's gradient, and sTH(x)ss^{T}H(x)ssTH(x)s is the inner product of the derivative of the gradient map applied to sss with sss. D(x)D(x)D(x) is never formed as a matrix: D2gD^2gD2g, DgDgDg, D−2sD^{-2}sD−2s and D2sgn⁡(g)D^2\operatorname{sgn}(g)D2sgn(g) are written componentwise. The reflective path is R(x+αs)−xR(x+\alpha s)-xR(x+αs)−x with RRR the transformation of Fig. 6, which the paper describes as the same method as Fig. 4 in another notation (p. 199); "not a breakpoint" is the requirement that the new iterate be interior. Descent direction is footnote 3's: strict decrease along the path for all small α>0\alpha>0α>0. Sequences start at index 0, which is the paper's x1x_1x1​. The standing compactness and smoothness assumption is carried as explicit hypotheses.

The goal does not assume gkTsk→0g_k^{T}s_k\to0gkT​sk​→0, αk→0\alpha_k\to0αk​→0, or anything about breakpoints; a version of Theorem 8 that did, or one whose algorithm projected onto the box instead of reflecting, or whose run predicate no sequence can satisfy, would not be the paper's theorem. Lemma 7 keeps the paper's assumption αk→0\alpha_k\to0αk​→0 and records the one-sided upper bound established by its proof. Theorem 3 uses the breakpoint distance in the direction of motion and applies its bound when that distance equals ∣vkj∣/∣skj∣|v_{kj}|/|s_{kj}|∣vkj​∣/∣skj​∣.

A complete development needs Taylor's theorem with uniform remainder along piecewise linear paths in a box, and basic facts about the reflection RRR (it maps into F\mathcal FF, is the identity on F\mathcal FF, and is continuous). These are reusable for any reflective or projected line search. Proofs of the milestones in any order are welcome, as are independent proofs of the companion results.

Selected references

  • T. F. Coleman and Y. Li, On the convergence of interior-reflective Newton methods for nonlinear minimization subject to bounds, Mathematical Programming 67 (1994), 189–224. https://doi.org/10.1007/BF01582221
  • T. F. Coleman and Y. Li, An interior trust region approach for nonlinear minimization subject to bounds, SIAM Journal on Optimization 6 (1996), 418–445. https://doi.org/10.1137/0806023
  • R. M. Lewis and V. Torczon, Pattern search algorithms for bound constrained minimization, SIAM Journal on Optimization 9 (1999), 1082–1099 (source of the published box and level-set definitions reused here). https://doi.org/10.1137/S1052623496300507
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Dynamic ProgrammingGraph TheoryOperations Research·Captain: mikedeng1

The Complexity of Markov Decision Processes II: The Optimal Average Cost of a Deterministic Process Is the Least Mean Cost of a Cycle Reachable from the Initial StateResearch Paper

Motivation

A Markov decision process describes repeated choices whose costs and subsequent states depend on the current state. Such models are used when a decision affects both today's expense and the options available tomorrow. Papadimitriou and Tsitsiklis studied how the computational difficulty of finding an optimal policy changes between stochastic and deterministic transitions. Their general finite-state problems are P-complete, while their deterministic cases admit highly parallel algorithms Papadimitriou and Tsitsiklis, 1987. The contrast makes the deterministic case a useful setting in which to isolate the precise graph problem hidden inside long-run optimization.

This mission concerns their infinite-horizon average-cost case. When transitions are certain, every decision is an arc in a directed graph. The long-run cost of a policy can be related to the mean cost of a cycle reachable from the initial state. That relation is the mathematical claim supporting the algorithm in the paper's Theorem 3, whose headline says that the deterministic average-cost problem is in NC Papadimitriou and Tsitsiklis, p. 446.

Setting

Let SSS be a finite set of states and s0∈Ss_0\in Ss0​∈S the initial state. At each s∈Ss\in Ss∈S there is a finite, nonempty decision set DsD_sDs​. A decision d∈Dsd\in D_sd∈Ds​ has a real cost c(s,d)c(s,d)c(s,d) and moves the process with certainty to next⁡(s,d)∈S\operatorname{next}(s,d)\in Snext(s,d)∈S. All of these data are stationary: they do not change with time. A policy δ(s,t)\delta(s,t)δ(s,t) chooses a decision for each state and each time t=0,1,2,…t=0,1,2,\ldotst=0,1,2,…. It generates a trajectory by st+1=next⁡(st,δ(st,t))s_{t+1}=\operatorname{next}(s_t,\delta(s_t,t))st+1​=next(st​,δ(st​,t)). The corresponding directed graph has a state for each node and a decision for each arc. It may contain loops and parallel arcs, since different decisions can lead to the same next state.

The paper prints the finite average with T+1T+1T+1 cost terms and denominator TTT:

aTδ(s0)=1T∑t=0Tc(st,δ(st,t)).a_T^\delta(s_0)=\frac{1}{T}\sum_{t=0}^{T}c(s_t,\delta(s_t,t)).aTδ​(s0​)=T1​t=0∑T​c(st​,δ(st​,t)).

A time-dependent policy's averages may fail to converge. We use the upper limit gδ(s0)=lim sup⁡T→∞aTδ(s0)g^\delta(s_0)=\limsup_{T\to\infty}a_T^\delta(s_0)gδ(s0​)=limsupT→∞​aTδ​(s0​) and optimize over all policies, g∗(s0)=inf⁡δgδ(s0)g^*(s_0)=\inf_\delta g^\delta(s_0)g∗(s0​)=infδ​gδ(s0​). A state uuu is reachable if some finite walk of decision arcs goes from s0s_0s0​ to uuu. A simple cycle CCC is a positive-length closed sequence of decision arcs with distinct states before it returns to its start; its mean cost is mean⁡(C)=c(C)/∣C∣\operatorname{mean}(C)=c(C)/|C|mean(C)=c(C)/∣C∣. A loop is a one-arc simple cycle.

For states u,vu,vu,v, the min-plus adjacency entry AuvA_{uv}Auv​ is the least cost of a decision arc from uuu to vvv, or +∞+\infty+∞ when no such arc exists. A min-plus product uses addition in place of multiplication and minimum in place of addition. Thus (Ak)uv(A^k)_{uv}(Ak)uv​ represents the least cost of a kkk-arc walk from uuu to vvv, when such a walk exists Papadimitriou and Tsitsiklis, pp. 445–446.

Formalization targets

Reachable cycles

The first target identifies the value of the original policy optimization problem:

g∗(s0)=min⁡C simple cycleC reachable from s0mean⁡(C).g^*(s_0)=\min_{\substack{C\text{ simple cycle}\\C\text{ reachable from }s_0}}\operatorname{mean}(C).g∗(s0​)=C simple cycleC reachable from s0​​min​mean(C).

It also states that a policy attains this value with convergent finite averages. The milestone for following a reachable cycle gives the attainable direction; the milestone saying that no policy can improve the least mean gives the reverse direction. The latter is formulated with lim inf⁡\liminfliminf, so it applies even when a policy's averages oscillate.

Min-plus calculation

The second target identifies the finite graph calculation used in the paper:

g∗(s0)=min⁡u reachable from s01≤k≤∣S∣(Ak)uu<+∞(Ak)uuk.g^*(s_0)=\min_{\substack{u\text{ reachable from }s_0\\1\leq k\leq |S|\\(A^k)_{uu}<+\infty}}\frac{(A^k)_{uu}}{k}.g∗(s0​)=u reachable from s0​1≤k≤∣S∣(Ak)uu​<+∞​min​k(Ak)uu​​.

The milestones establish what a min-plus power says about decision walks and why closed walks of lengths from 111 through ∣S∣|S|∣S∣ recover the least simple-cycle mean. The restriction to reachable uuu is essential: a cheap cycle in a disconnected component cannot be used from s0s_0s0​.

Significance

The result reduces optimization over infinitely many decision times and all state-and-time policies to finitely many closed-walk calculations. It also guarantees that an optimal long-run value is realized by a trajectory with a genuine limiting average, despite the nonconvergence possible for other policies. The finite formula lets one determine the value by comparing graph quantities indexed by states and lengths; it is the correctness statement beneath the paper's parallel algorithm Papadimitriou and Tsitsiklis, p. 446.

Formalizing the identity creates a reusable bridge between deterministic decision processes, weighted directed walks and min-plus powers. Related proved tropical-algebra results on maximum cycle means use dense matrices and a max-plus convention, rather than the reachable, possibly missing-arc, minimum-cost process here; for example, the platform's TropicalLA.tpow_isGreatest concerns greatest walk weights. The present mission keeps the policy optimum and reachability explicit. The paper proves the result mathematically; these Lean statements are open proof targets in the proposal.

Difficulty

An arbitrary policy can keep changing its choices at repeated visits to the same state. Its averages can oscillate, so one cannot simply assume that its infinite trajectory becomes periodic or that its printed limit exists. The lower-bound claim must apply to every such trajectory. There is a second distinction between a closed walk and a simple cycle: a diagonal min-plus entry allows repeated states, whereas the cycle characterization is stated using simple cycles. Finally, an unrestricted matrix calculation would include cycles unreachable from the chosen initial state.

Formalization scope

Lean represents the general finite stationary deterministic process in its own definition, then defines policies, finite walks, simple cycles, average costs and min-plus powers on top of it. Decisions are arcs, so parallel arcs remain distinguishable; AuvA_{uv}Auv​ takes their least cost and uses WithTop ℝ for a missing arc. Decision sets are explicitly nonempty because a policy has to make a choice at every state. The finite state set is automatically nonempty once s0s_0s0​ is supplied. Policy time starts at zero. The printed T+1T+1T+1 terms divided by TTT are retained; Lean's T=0T=0T=0 quotient is zero and has no effect on the limit. The optimum is the infimum over all policies δ(s,t)\delta(s,t)δ(s,t), not a quantity defined by cycles or by stationary policies. Finite states and finite decision sets bound the one-step costs and hence the averages; this gives real limsup and infimum their intended values.

The paper's Theorem 3 asserts membership in NC. This mission formalizes the exact optimization identity that makes that algorithm correct. Its processor count and parallel-time bound are outside the scope, as are membership in P, log-space computability of reductions, PSPACE membership and the paper's Corollaries 1–2. Contributions to the finite-walk and min-plus lemmas, the lower bound for arbitrary policy paths, and the cycle-attainment statement are all needed; the graph definitions can be reused in other deterministic control problems.

Selected references

  • Christos H. Papadimitriou and John N. Tsitsiklis, The Complexity of Markov Decision Processes, Mathematics of Operations Research 12(3), 1987, pp. 441–450. DOI.
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Operations ResearchProbability·Captain: mikedeng1

Wait-and-Judge Scenario Optimization 2: Over Generic Sets, P^N{V(x_N) > ε(s_N)} ≤ γ*, the Least ξ(1) over Degree-N Polynomials Feasible for (31)Research Paper

Motivation

A solution of a scenario optimization program is chosen after observing finitely many uncertain constraints. Its future reliability depends on constraints that were not sampled. The usual advance question asks how many samples are needed to make every output reliable. Campi and Garatti instead ask what can be certified after solving the program, when the number of sampled constraints that actually determined its solution is visible. Their wait-and-judge result uses that observed number to set a violation threshold. This mission concerns their extension from convex programs in finite-dimensional spaces to programs over an arbitrary decision set, with no convexity requirement.

The generic extension matters when a dimension bound on the number of influential constraints is unavailable. A decision may be a combinatorial object, a function, or an element of an infinite-dimensional space. The paper allows the support count to range from zero to the full sample size NNN, and its threshold includes the case of NNN support constraints. The paper's Section 6 gives the model and its two probability guarantees.

Setting

Let SSS be a set of decisions. A subset X⊆SX\subseteq SX⊆S is the domain; a real function f:S→Rf:S\to\mathbb Rf:S→R is the cost. An uncertain outcome δ\deltaδ belongs to a measurable space Δ\DeltaΔ with probability measure PPP, and imposes a constraint set Xδ⊆SX_\delta\subseteq SXδ​⊆S. For a sample ω=(δ(1),…,δ(N))\omega=(\delta^{(1)},\ldots,\delta^{(N)})ω=(δ(1),…,δ(N)) of NNN independent outcomes, the program minimizes f(x)f(x)f(x) over x∈Xx\in Xx∈X that belongs to every sampled Xδ(i)X_{\delta^{(i)}}Xδ(i)​. The sample law is PNP^NPN. There is no algebraic or topological condition on the feasible sets or on fff.

A fixed finite sequence of real tie-break functions is minimized lexicographically after the original cost. This selects one solution xN∗(ω)x_N^*(\omega)xN∗​(ω) whenever the program has a selected minimizer. Assumption 1 requires existence and uniqueness for every finite sample, including the empty one. A sampled constraint is a support constraint if removing it changes this selected solution. The number of support constraints is sN∗(ω)s_N^*(\omega)sN∗​(ω). Assumption 2 says that, with probability one, keeping only the support constraints gives the same selected solution. Both assumptions are part of the source's generic setting; they are substantive restrictions even though the sets and cost are otherwise arbitrary.

The violation of a decision is V(x)=P{δ:x∉Xδ}V(x)=P\{\delta:x\notin X_\delta\}V(x)=P{δ:x∈/Xδ​}. Thus V(xN∗)V(x_N^*)V(xN∗​) is the probability that a fresh constraint rejects the computed solution. Since the solution and support count depend on the sample, the wait-and-judge event uses a threshold function ε\varepsilonε evaluated at the observed count, {V(xN∗)>ε(sN∗)}\{V(x_N^*)>\varepsilon(s_N^*)\}{V(xN∗​)>ε(sN∗​)}. For each k≥0k\ge0k≥0, the paper also uses a generalized distribution function Fk(v)=Pk{V(xk∗)≤v, sk∗=k}F_k(v)=P^k\{V(x_k^*)\le v,\ s_k^*=k\}Fk​(v)=Pk{V(xk∗​)≤v, sk∗​=k}. It need not have total mass one.

Formalization targets

Variational bound, Theorem 3

For any N≥1N\ge1N≥1 and any [0,1][0,1][0,1]-valued ε\varepsilonε on {0,…,N}\{0,\ldots,N\}{0,…,N}, let γ∗\gamma^*γ∗ be the infimum of feasible values q(1)q(1)q(1) over real polynomials of degree at most NNN satisfying

q(k)(t)k!≥(Nk)tN−k1[0,1−ε(k))(t),0≤k≤N,0≤t≤1.\frac{q^{(k)}(t)}{k!}\ge {N\choose k}t^{N-k}{\bf1}_{[0,1-\varepsilon(k))}(t),\qquad 0\le k\le N,\quad 0\le t\le1.k!q(k)(t)​≥(kN​)tN−k1[0,1−ε(k))​(t),0≤k≤N,0≤t≤1.

The goal is the paper's Theorem 3:

PN{V(xN∗)>ε(sN∗)}≤γ∗.P^N\{V(x_N^*)>\varepsilon(s_N^*)\}\le\gamma^*.PN{V(xN∗​)>ε(sN∗​)}≤γ∗.

The polynomial value retains the full dependence on the chosen threshold function. The source prints an extraneous ddd in Theorem 3's range for kkk; its generic setting and variational problem use 0≤k≤N0\le k\le N0≤k≤N.

Explicit confidence bound, Theorem 4

For 0<β<10<\beta<10<β<1, the paper's Theorem 4 defines t(k)∈(0,1)t(k)\in(0,1)t(k)∈(0,1) as the unique root of

βN+1∑m=kN(mk)tm−k−(Nk)tN−k=0(0≤k<N).\frac{\beta}{N+1}\sum_{m=k}^{N}{m\choose k}t^{m-k}-{N\choose k}t^{N-k}=0\qquad(0\le k<N).N+1β​m=k∑N​(km​)tm−k−(kN​)tN−k=0(0≤k<N).

With ε(k)=1−t(k)\varepsilon(k)=1-t(k)ε(k)=1−t(k) for k<Nk<Nk<N and ε(N)=1\varepsilon(N)=1ε(N)=1, its conclusion is

PN{V(xN∗)>ε(sN∗)}≤β.P^N\{V(x_N^*)>\varepsilon(s_N^*)\}\le\beta.PN{V(xN∗​)>ε(sN∗​)}≤β.

The terminal value ε(N)=1\varepsilon(N)=1ε(N)=1 is essential because the paper gives examples with sN∗=Ns_N^*=NsN∗​=N and V(xN∗)=1V(x_N^*)=1V(xN∗​)=1.

Significance

Theorem 3 makes the observed support count a usable statistic for assessing the solution's future constraint violation without a dimension bound. Theorem 4 turns it into a certificate at any chosen confidence parameter β\betaβ. The confidence threshold depends on the count seen after the program is solved. These statements do not claim that every generic program satisfies Assumptions 1–2; they say what follows for programs that do.

A formal development must make the statistical objects and the analytic value agree exactly: the solution must come from the feasible set and the fixed tie-break rule, the support count must record changes of solution, and γ∗\gamma^*γ∗ must be the value of the derivative-constrained polynomial problem. The reusable outputs include the generic scenario model, its generalized violation distributions, and the finite moment and dual formulations. The statements are known results of Campi and Garatti; this mission asks for machine-checked proofs of those results and their selected intermediate claims.

Difficulty

The observed support count is data-dependent. Conditioning on sN∗=ks_N^*=ksN∗​=k therefore cannot be treated as conditioning on a fixed subset of kkk sample coordinates. Symmetry across possible support subsets must agree with the selected solution under removal of nonsupport constraints. Assumption 2 is what rules out a degenerate change of solution when only support constraints remain. In the generic setting the possible count grows with NNN, so the distributional characterization has one measure FkF_kFk​ for every k≥0k\ge0k≥0 and moment equations for every sample size. The resulting infinite family must still be related to the finite degree-NNN polynomial value in (31). No convexity or finite-dimensional geometry is available to supply a fixed support bound.

Formalization scope

Lean represents the decision set by an arbitrary type SSS, with a measurable structure only to state the paper's implicit measurability convention. Samples are functions Fin N → Δ with zero-based indices and product law Measure.pi. The published generic violation definition is reused. The domain, constraint family, cost, finite lexicographic tie-break, selected solution, support set, and FkF_kFk​ are defined locally. A Nonempty S instance provides an unused fallback value to the total solution selector; Assumption 1 already implies that SSS is nonempty.

The source takes measurability for granted in a footnote. Here the constraint relation is jointly measurable, every solution map is measurable, and each support event is measurable. These pins assign probabilities to the events the paper uses. The FkF_kFk​ are finite measures on R\mathbb RR, so the paper's Stieltjes integrals are represented as integrals over (ε(k),1](\varepsilon(k),1](ε(k),1] or [0,1][0,1][0,1] against those measures. The polynomial class PN\mathcal P_NPN​ means degree at most NNN, matching the N+1N+1N+1 coefficients in (36). The value γ∗\gamma^*γ∗ is a real infimum; a separate sanity proof gives a feasible polynomial and a zero lower bound on all feasible values.

The goal retains Assumptions 1–2 and states the actual tail bound. It does not assume the moment equations or a favorable value of γ∗\gamma^*γ∗, and no support count is fixed in advance. Contributions toward the distributional decomposition, the moment equations, the finite weak-duality inequality, the polynomial identity, and the explicit-root theorem are within scope.

Selected references

  • M. C. Campi and S. Garatti, Wait-and-judge scenario optimization, Mathematical Programming, 2018. DOI: 10.1007/s10107-016-1056-9. The mission uses the authors' accepted manuscript, especially Sections 6–7 and Theorems 3–4.
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Algorithmic Game TheoryCombinatoricsOperations Research+1·Captain: mikedeng1

Assortment Optimisation Under a General Discrete Choice Model: A Tight Analysis of Revenue-Ordered Assortments V: Stackelberg Matroid Pricing Is an Assortment Problem Under a Regular Choice ModelResearch Paper

Motivation

In Stackelberg network pricing a leader sets prices on some resources, and a follower then buys the cheapest structure available to them, paying the leader for the priced resources they use. The Stackelberg Minimum Spanning Tree problem, introduced by Cardinal, Demaine, Fiorini, Joret, Langerman, Newman and Weimann (Algorithmica 2011), is the version in which the follower buys a minimum spanning tree. The best known approximation factors for it are those of uniform pricing, which gives every priced edge the same price (Berbeglia–Joret, p. 21).

Independently, revenue management studies assortment optimisation: a seller chooses which products to offer, and customers choose among the offered products according to a discrete choice model. Berbeglia and Joret (arXiv:1606.01371, Algorithmica 2020) analyse the revenue-ordered heuristic (offer every product whose revenue is at least some threshold) under any regular choice model, and prove tight approximation bounds.

§4.6 of that paper shows that the two problems are the same problem: a Stackelberg Matroid pricing instance is an assortment problem under a regular choice model, and uniform pricing is the revenue-ordered heuristic on that model. The bounds of Cardinal et al. on uniform pricing thus become special cases of the general bounds on revenue-ordered assortments. This mission formalizes that correspondence (Theorem 4.16).

Setting

Choice model. Let C\mathcal CC be a finite set of products. A system of choice probabilities assigns to each offered set S⊆CS\subseteq\mathcal CS⊆C and product xxx a probability P(x,S)\mathcal P(x,S)P(x,S), with no-purchase probability P(0,S)=1−∑x∈SP(x,S)\mathcal P(0,S)=1-\sum_{x\in S}\mathcal P(x,S)P(0,S)=1−∑x∈S​P(x,S). It is regular if (i) all probabilities are nonnegative, (ii) P(x,S)=0\mathcal P(x,S)=0P(x,S)=0 for x∉Sx\notin Sx∈/S, (iii) ∑x∈SP(x,S)≤1\sum_{x\in S}\mathcal P(x,S)\le1∑x∈S​P(x,S)≤1, and (iv) P(x,S)≥P(x,S′)\mathcal P(x,S)\ge\mathcal P(x,S')P(x,S)≥P(x,S′) whenever S⊆S′S\subseteq S'S⊆S′ and x∈S∪{0}x\in S\cup\{0\}x∈S∪{0}. With revenues r:C→R>0r:\mathcal C\to\mathbb R_{>0}r:C→R>0​, rev(S)=∑x∈SP(x,S)r(x)\mathrm{rev}(S)=\sum_{x\in S}\mathcal P(x,S)r(x)rev(S)=∑x∈S​P(x,S)r(x) and OPT=max⁡Srev(S)\mathrm{OPT}=\max_S\mathrm{rev}(S)OPT=maxS​rev(S). The revenue-ordered assortment generated by yyy is {y′∈C:r(y′)≥r(y)}\{y'\in\mathcal C:r(y')\ge r(y)\}{y′∈C:r(y′)≥r(y)}.

Greedy algorithm. Given a family of independent sets, a linear ordering LLL and a set FFF, greedy(F,L)\mathrm{greedy}(F,L)greedy(F,L) scans FFF in the order induced by LLL, starting from ∅\emptyset∅, and adds each element that keeps the current set independent.

Stackelberg Matroid problem. An instance is a matroid M=(E,X)M=(E,\mathcal X)M=(E,X), a bipartition E=R⊔BE=R\sqcup BE=R⊔B into red and blue elements, and red costs c:R→R>0c:R\to\mathbb R_{>0}c:R→R>0​; some base of MMM lies inside RRR. The leader chooses prices p:B→R>0p:B\to\mathbb R_{>0}p:B→R>0​. The customer buys a minimum-weight base by running greedy on R∪BR\cup BR∪B with an ordering L∗L^*L∗ that is non-decreasing in weight (ccc on RRR, ppp on BBB) and puts blue elements first on ties. The leader earns revStack(p,L∗)=∑e∈B∩greedyM(R∪B,L∗)p(e)\mathrm{rev}_{\mathrm{Stack}}(p,L^*)=\sum_{e\in B\cap\mathrm{greedy}_M(R\cup B,L^*)}p(e)revStack​(p,L∗)=∑e∈B∩greedyM​(R∪B,L∗)​p(e).

The assortment instance. Let c1<⋯<ckc_1<\dots<c_kc1​<⋯<ck​ be the distinct red costs. Products are C=B×{c1,…,ck}\mathcal C=B\times\{c_1,\dots,c_k\}C=B×{c1​,…,ck​} with r((e,q))=∣B∣ qr((e,q))=|B|\,qr((e,q))=∣B∣q. The auxiliary matroid M′M'M′ on R∪CR\cup\mathcal CR∪C declares XXX independent when it holds at most one pair (e,q)(e,q)(e,q) per blue eee and (R∩X)∪{e:(e,q)∈X}(R\cap X)\cup\{e:(e,q)\in X\}(R∩X)∪{e:(e,q)∈X} is independent in MMM. With an ordering LLL of R∪CR\cup\mathcal CR∪C that is non-decreasing in cost and puts products before red elements on ties, P((e,q),S)=1/∣B∣\mathcal P((e,q),S)=1/|B|P((e,q),S)=1/∣B∣ if (e,q)∈greedyM′(R∪S,L)(e,q)\in\mathrm{greedy}_{M'}(R\cup S,L)(e,q)∈greedyM′​(R∪S,L) and 000 otherwise.

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem 4.16 (p. 24)

For the instance above, with B≠∅B\ne\emptysetB=∅ and every admissible LLL:

P is regular,r>0,max⁡S⊆Crev(S)=max⁡p>0, L∗revStack(p,L∗),\mathcal P\ \text{is regular},\quad r>0,\qquad \max_{S\subseteq\mathcal C}\mathrm{rev}(S)=\max_{p>0,\ L^*}\mathrm{rev}_{\mathrm{Stack}}(p,L^*),P is regular,r>0,S⊆Cmax​rev(S)=p>0, L∗max​revStack​(p,L∗),

and uniform pricing corresponds to revenue-ordered assortments: for each cic_ici​ some revenue-ordered assortment earns the revenue of the uniform price cic_ici​, and every revenue-ordered assortment earns the revenue of some uniform price cic_ici​.

Milestones

  1. Lemma 4.14 (p. 23): for F⊆F′F\subseteq F'F⊆F′, ∣greedyM(F′,L)∣≥∣greedyM(F,L)∣|\mathrm{greedy}_M(F',L)|\ge|\mathrm{greedy}_M(F,L)|∣greedyM​(F′,L)∣≥∣greedyM​(F,L)∣ and F∩greedyM(F′,L)⊆greedyM(F,L)F\cap\mathrm{greedy}_M(F',L)\subseteq\mathrm{greedy}_M(F,L)F∩greedyM​(F′,L)⊆greedyM​(F,L).
  2. Property (14) (p. 31): orderings agreeing on a block partition make greedy pick the same number of elements per block.
  3. Lemma 4.15 (p. 23): the Stackelberg revenue does not depend on the compatible ordering.
  4. M′M'M′ is a matroid (p. 32).
  5. Regularity of P\mathcal PP (pp. 32–33).
  6. rev(S)\mathrm{rev}(S)rev(S) equals the Stackelberg revenue of pS(e)=min⁡{q:(e,q)∈S}p_S(e)=\min\{q:(e,q)\in S\}pS​(e)=min{q:(e,q)∈S} (pp. 33–34).
  7. Rounding prices up to the cost levels does not decrease revenue (p. 34).
  8. For prices in {c1,…,ck}∪{+∞}\{c_1,\dots,c_k\}\cup\{+\infty\}{c1​,…,ck​}∪{+∞}, rev(Sp)\mathrm{rev}(S_p)rev(Sp​) equals the Stackelberg revenue of ppp (pp. 34–35).

Significance

Theorem 4.16 transfers every guarantee for revenue-ordered assortments under regular models to uniform pricing in Stackelberg Matroid pricing. Specialising Theorems 3.1, 3.2 and 3.3 of the paper through it gives exactly the three bounds on uniform pricing proved by Cardinal et al. for Stackelberg Minimum Spanning Tree (Theorem 3 of their paper), which those authors showed to be tight (p. 24). It also places uniform pricing inside a general picture: it is a threshold policy for a regular choice model whose purchase probabilities come from a matroid greedy algorithm, and the paper notes that the argument extends to polymatroids.

The result is proved in the paper, with two steps left to the reader (M′M'M′ is a matroid) or justified briefly (rounding prices). No machine-checked proof exists. A formalization also produces a reusable greedy algorithm on finite matroids with its monotonicity properties (Lemma 4.14, (14)), which Mathlib at the pinned revision does not have.

Difficulty

The obvious argument identifies the customer's run of greedy on (M,R∪B)(M,R\cup B)(M,R∪B) with the run of greedy on (M′,R∪S)(M',R\cup S)(M′,R∪S) step by step. That identification fails as stated: the choice probabilities are defined with one fixed ordering LLL of R∪CR\cup\mathcal CR∪C, while the customer's ordering L∗L^*L∗ is any ordering compatible with the prices, and ties among blue elements of equal price, or between a product and a red element of equal cost, may be broken differently. Equality of revenues therefore needs the tie-independence property (14) applied to M′M'M′ as well as to MMM, which in turn needs M′M'M′ to be a matroid. A second gap is axiom (iv) for the no-purchase option: it requires that offering more products never decreases the number of products greedy selects, which is Lemma 4.14 (i)–(ii) for M′M'M′ combined, not a pointwise statement. Finally, the paper's "+∞+\infty+∞" price must be handled with the red base: without a base inside RRR, a blue element priced above all costs can still be bought and the optimum is unbounded.

Formalization scope

  • Elements and orderings. The matroid is a Mathlib Matroid α; RRR, BBB are Finset α with R∪BR\cup BR∪B equal to the ground set; costs and prices are functions α → ℝ, used only on RRR and BBB. A linear ordering is a duplicate-free List covering the set; greedy on FFF scans the whole list and skips elements outside FFF, so FFF is never re-sorted.
  • Greedy is defined for an arbitrary independence predicate on finite sets, so that it applies to M′M'M′ before M′M'M′ is shown to be a matroid.
  • Customer model. Compatibility (15a)–(15b), including blue priority on ties, is part of the definition of an admissible customer ordering. The red base is a field of every instance.
  • Assortment instance. Elements of R∪CR\cup\mathcal CR∪C live in α ⊕ (α × ℝ). The paper's conditions (1)–(2) for M′M'M′ contain two typos (a missing "∈X\in X∈X" and X\mathcal XX for XXX); the intended conditions are formalized. The price +∞+\infty+∞ is the real number 1+∑f∈Rc(f)1+\sum_{f\in R}c(f)1+∑f∈R​c(f), strictly above every red cost.
  • Goal shape. The theorem is stated for the explicit instance of the proof, for every admissible LLL. The optimum of the Stackelberg side is a maximum (IsGreatest) over positive real prices and all compatible customer orderings. Cost levels are quantified as elements of the set of red costs rather than by index.
  • Ruled out. An existential statement ("some regular instance has the same optimum") is met by a single product with revenue OPTStack\mathrm{OPT}_{\mathrm{Stack}}OPTStack​ and is not this theorem; so is a customer model without tie-breaking, a formalization without the red base, or Lemma 4.14 only for F=F′F=F'F=F′.

Contributions welcome: proofs of Lemma 4.14 and (14) for Mathlib matroids (reusable beyond this mission), the matroid property of parallel extensions such as M′M'M′, and the three revenue identities.

Selected references

  • G. Berbeglia and G. Joret, Assortment Optimisation Under a General Discrete Choice Model: A Tight Analysis of Revenue-Ordered Assortments, arXiv:1606.01371v3, 2019 (Algorithmica, 2020). https://arxiv.org/abs/1606.01371
  • J. Cardinal, E. D. Demaine, S. Fiorini, G. Joret, S. Langerman, I. Newman and O. Weimann, The Stackelberg Minimum Spanning Tree Game, Algorithmica 59(2):129–144, 2011. https://doi.org/10.1007/s00453-009-9299-y
  • A. Schrijver, Combinatorial Optimization: Polyhedra and Efficiency, Vol. B, Algorithms and Combinatorics 24, Springer, 2003 (matroids and the greedy algorithm). https://link.springer.com/book/9783540443896
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Convex OptimizationOperations Research·Captain: mikedeng1

A Numerically Stable Dual Method for Solving Strictly Convex Quadratic Programs: The Dual Algorithm Solves the QP or Detects Its Infeasibility in Finitely Many StepsResearch Paper

Motivation

Strictly convex quadratic programs — minimize a positive definite quadratic subject to linear inequalities — are the subproblems solved at every iteration of successive quadratic programming (SQP) methods for nonlinear optimization, and they arise directly in least-squares estimation with constraints, portfolio selection and model predictive control. In SQP the unconstrained minimizer of the quadratic model is available at no cost, while a feasible point is not.

D. Goldfarb and A. Idnani (Math. Programming 27 (1983) 1–33) proposed a dual active-set method that exploits this asymmetry. It starts at the unconstrained minimizer, which is optimal for the problem with all constraints removed, and adds violated constraints one at a time while keeping the current point optimal for the subproblem defined by the current active set. No phase 1 is needed. The method, usually called the Goldfarb–Idnani algorithm, is the basis of widely used solvers (for example the quadprog package in R and QuadProg++), and the paper proves that it terminates finitely with a correct answer.

Earlier dual methods for quadratic programming include the modified-simplex methods of Lemke (Management Science 8 (1962) 442–453) and of Van de Panne and Whinston (1964), which the paper compares with its own in Section 7.

Setting

Fix n,m∈Nn, m \in \mathbb Nn,m∈N, a vector a∈Rna \in \mathbb R^na∈Rn, a symmetric positive definite n×nn\times nn×n matrix GGG, an n×mn\times mn×m matrix CCC with columns n1,…,nmn_1,\dots,n_mn1​,…,nm​, and b∈Rmb \in \mathbb R^mb∈Rm. The quadratic program (1.1) is

min⁡x f(x)=aTx+12xTGxsubject tosi(x)=niTx−bi≥0,i∈K={1,…,m}.\min_x\ f(x) = a^{\mathsf T}x + \tfrac12 x^{\mathsf T}Gx \quad\text{subject to}\quad s_i(x) = n_i^{\mathsf T}x - b_i \ge 0,\quad i \in K = \{1,\dots,m\}.xmin​ f(x)=aTx+21​xTGxsubject tosi​(x)=niT​x−bi​≥0,i∈K={1,…,m}.

The gradient is g(x)=Gx+ag(x) = Gx + ag(x)=Gx+a. For J⊆KJ \subseteq KJ⊆K, the subproblem P(J)P(J)P(J) keeps only the constraints indexed by JJJ; P(∅)P(\emptyset)P(∅) is solved by x0=−G−1ax^0 = -G^{-1}ax0=−G−1a. A set A⊆KA \subseteq KA⊆K is linearly independent if the normals nin_ini​, i∈Ai\in Ai∈A, are.

For an independent AAA, let NNN be the matrix with columns nin_ini​, i∈Ai\in Ai∈A, and define

N∗=(NTG−1N)−1NTG−1,H=G−1−G−1N(NTG−1N)−1NTG−1.N^* = (N^{\mathsf T}G^{-1}N)^{-1}N^{\mathsf T}G^{-1},\qquad H = G^{-1} - G^{-1}N(N^{\mathsf T}G^{-1}N)^{-1}N^{\mathsf T}G^{-1}.N∗=(NTG−1N)−1NTG−1,H=G−1−G−1N(NTG−1N)−1NTG−1.

The multipliers are u(x)=N∗g(x)u(x) = N^*g(x)u(x)=N∗g(x); for a constraint p∉Ap \notin Ap∈/A with normal n+=npn^+ = n_pn+=np​ the infeasibility multipliers are r=N∗n+r = N^*n^+r=N∗n+; a superscript +++ denotes the same objects for A+=A∪{p}A^+ = A\cup\{p\}A+=A∪{p}.

An S-pair (x,A)(x, A)(x,A) is an independent active set AAA with si(x)=0s_i(x) = 0si​(x)=0 for i∈Ai\in Ai∈A and xxx optimal for P(A)P(A)P(A). A V-triple (x,A,p)(x, A, p)(x,A,p) has p∉Ap\notin Ap∈/A, A+A^+A+ independent, sp(x)<0s_p(x) < 0sp​(x)<0, si(x)=0s_i(x) = 0si​(x)=0 for i∈Ai \in Ai∈A, H+g(x)=0H^+g(x) = 0H+g(x)=0 and u+(x)=(N+)∗g(x)≥0u^+(x) = (N^+)^*g(x) \ge 0u+(x)=(N+)∗g(x)≥0.

The dual algorithm starts from (x0,∅)(x^0, \emptyset)(x0,∅). In Step 1 it stops if xxx is feasible; otherwise it picks any violated constraint ppp. In Step 2 it moves along the primal direction z=Hn+z = Hn^+z=Hn+ and the dual direction (−r;1)(-r; 1)(−r;1) with step t=min⁡{t1,t2}t = \min\{t_1, t_2\}t=min{t1​,t2​}, where t1t_1t1​ is the largest step that keeps the multipliers nonnegative and t2=−sp(x)/zTn+t_2 = -s_p(x)/z^{\mathsf T}n^+t2​=−sp​(x)/zTn+ makes constraint ppp active. If both are infinite it reports infeasibility. A full step (t=t2t = t_2t=t2​) adds ppp and returns to Step 1. A partial step (t=t1<t2t = t_1 < t_2t=t1​<t2​), or a dual step (z=0z = 0z=0), drops a constraint kkk attaining t1t_1t1​ and repeats Step 2.

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem 3 (p. 11)

For every choice of the violated constraint ppp and of the dropped constraint kkk:

no run from (x0,∅) is infinite, and every run that cannot continue ends in {STOP at an optimal x of (1.1), orSTOP with {x:CTx≥b}=∅.\text{no run from } (x^0,\emptyset) \text{ is infinite, and every run that cannot continue ends in } \begin{cases}\text{STOP at an optimal } x \text{ of (1.1)}, \text{ or}\\ \text{STOP with } \{x : C^{\mathsf T}x \ge b\} = \emptyset.\end{cases}no run from (x0,∅) is infinite, and every run that cannot continue ends in {STOP at an optimal x of (1.1), orSTOP with {x:CTx≥b}=∅.​

Milestones, in attack order

  1. Properties (2.6)–(2.9) (p. 5): Hw=0  ⟺  w∈range⁡NHw = 0 \iff w \in \operatorname{range} NHw=0⟺w∈rangeN; H⪰0H \succeq 0H⪰0; HGH=HHGH = HHGH=H; N∗GH=0N^*GH = 0N∗GH=0.
  2. Optimality conditions (2.3)–(2.4) (p. 5): on the manifold of AAA, xxx solves P(A)P(A)P(A) iff N∗g(x)≥0N^*g(x) \ge 0N∗g(x)≥0 and Hg(x)=0Hg(x) = 0Hg(x)=0.
  3. Lemma 1 (p. 8): along xˉ=x+tHn+\bar x = x + tHn^+xˉ=x+tHn+ from a V-triple, H+g(xˉ)=0H^+g(\bar x) = 0H+g(xˉ)=0, the constraints of AAA stay active, u+(xˉ)=u+(x)+t(−r;1)u^+(\bar x) = u^+(x) + t(-r;1)u+(xˉ)=u+(x)+t(−r;1) and sp(xˉ)=sp(x)+t zTn+s_p(\bar x) = s_p(x) + t\,z^{\mathsf T}n^+sp​(xˉ)=sp​(x)+tzTn+.
  4. Theorem 1 (pp. 8–9): the step t=min⁡{t1,t2}t = \min\{t_1,t_2\}t=min{t1​,t2​} increases sps_psp​ and fff; a partial step yields a V-triple, a full step an S-pair.
  5. Theorem 2 (p. 10): if np=Nrn_p = Nrnp​=Nr and sp(x)<0s_p(x) < 0sp​(x)<0 at an S-pair, then r≤0r \le 0r≤0 means P(A∪{p})P(A\cup\{p\})P(A∪{p}) is infeasible; otherwise dropping a minimizing kkk gives a V-triple.
  6. One round of Step 2 (p. 11): from an S-pair and a violated ppp, at most ∣A∣|A|∣A∣ partial or dual steps and one final step end either in infeasibility of (1.1) or in a new S-pair (xˉ,Aˉ∪{p})(\bar x, \bar A \cup\{p\})(xˉ,Aˉ∪{p}) with Aˉ⊆A\bar A\subseteq AAˉ⊆A and f(xˉ)>f(x)f(\bar x) > f(x)f(xˉ)>f(x).

Significance

Theorem 3 is the correctness certificate of the Goldfarb–Idnani method: whatever rule an implementation uses to choose the entering and leaving constraints, it cannot cycle and its answer is right. In particular the infeasibility verdict is a proof that (1.1) has no feasible point, which matters in SQP where infeasible subproblems trigger a different branch of the outer method. The intermediate results (the operator identities, Lemma 1, Theorems 1–2) are the standard analysis of dual active-set methods for quadratic programming.

The result is proved in the paper; to our knowledge it has not been machine-checked. A formal development produces verified projector identities for N∗N^*N∗ and HHH, a verified KKT characterization for equality-active subproblems, and a verified finite-termination proof for a nondeterministic algorithm with an explicit step relation. The platform already has a proved KKT sufficiency theorem for general convex programs (ConvexOptimization.kkt_sufficient_for_convex), stated over EuclideanSpace with general convex functions and gradient fields; it can serve as background for the sufficiency half of milestone 2, but it is not stated in this mission's matrix objects.

Difficulty

The obvious termination argument is that fff increases strictly at every iteration and there are finitely many active sets. It fails as stated: partial steps may leave xxx unchanged (the dual steps of Step 2(c)(ii)), so fff is only nondecreasing between consecutive states. A termination proof therefore needs a measure that also decreases along steps that do not move xxx. Any such argument relies on invariants (independence of A+A^+A+, nonnegativity of the multipliers, sp<0s_p < 0sp​<0 along partial steps) that hold only on reachable states, and the operators N∗N^*N∗ and HHH are meaningful only while those invariants hold. Correctness of the infeasibility verdict requires the dependent case (Theorem 2), not only Theorem 1.

Formalization scope

Vectors are Fin n → ℝ, GGG is Matrix (Fin n) (Fin n) ℝ with G.PosDef, CCC is Matrix (Fin n) (Fin m) ℝ, and active sets are Finset (Fin m). Multiplier vectors are indexed by constraint index (Fin m → ℝ, zero off the active set), not by position in AAA. Lean's matrix inverse returns 000 for singular matrices, so every statement about N∗N^*N∗ and HHH assumes G≻0G \succ 0G≻0 and an independent active set (directly, or through an S-pair or V-triple).

The algorithm is the inductive relation Step on states step1 x A u, step2 x A p u⁺, stopOptimal x, stopInfeasible, with one transition per admissible choice of ppp and kkk. Infinite step lengths are separate transitions; a tie t1=t2t_1 = t_2t1​=t2​ takes the full step, as the paper tests t=t2t = t_2t=t2​ first. The running value of fff and the factorizations of Section 4 are not part of the state.

Explicit readings of the paper's words:

  • "solves the QPP or indicates infeasibility in a finite number of steps" is: no infinite sequence of Step transitions from the Step-0 state, and every reachable state without a successor is a STOP whose verdict is correct (optimal for (1.1), or (1.1) infeasible);
  • "S-pair" is: AAA independent and active at xxx, with xxx optimal for P(A)P(A)P(A) (the reading every use in the paper needs);
  • in Theorem 1 the partial-step clause carries t<t2t < t_2t<t2​ (as in its proof), and the multiplier printed uj+1+u^+_{j+1}uj+1+​ in (3.16) is uq+1+u^+_{q+1}uq+1+​, the entry belonging to ppp;
  • "an S-pair can never reoccur" is expressed as the strict increase f(xˉ)>f(x)f(\bar x) > f(x)f(xˉ)>f(x) in milestone 6.

Property (2.10), printed HH+=H+HH^+ = H^+HH+=H+, is false unless G=IG = IG=I and is not formalized. Equality constraints (1.2), Section 4 (numerically stable implementation), Sections 5–6 (computations), Section 7 (comparisons) and the Appendix example are out of scope.

A trivializing formalization is ruled out: the goal quantifies over every run of the relation (not one selection rule, not "some run terminates"), the infeasibility verdict is about (1.1) itself, and the algorithm is a relation that always has a successor until a STOP, so correctness cannot hold because a run gets stuck.

Needed infrastructure: Schur-complement and projector identities for N∗N^*N∗ and HHH; first-order optimality for convex quadratics on affine subspaces with inequality multipliers; well-foundedness arguments for a nondeterministic relation. The operator identities and the KKT characterization are reusable for other active-set and SQP analyses. Contributions of proofs of any milestone, and of reusable lemmas about N∗N^*N∗ and HHH, are welcome.

Selected references

  • D. Goldfarb and A. Idnani, A numerically stable dual method for solving strictly convex quadratic programs, Mathematical Programming 27 (1983) 1–33. https://doi.org/10.1007/BF02591962
  • C. E. Lemke, A method of solution for quadratic programs, Management Science 8 (1962) 442–453. https://doi.org/10.1287/mnsc.8.4.442
  • J. Nocedal and S. J. Wright, Numerical Optimization, 2nd ed., Springer, 2006, Chapter 16. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-0-387-40065-5
9 thms1 active userReviewed
Operations ResearchProbabilityStatistics·Captain: mikedeng1

Statistics of Robust Optimization: A Generalized Empirical Likelihood Approach 2: Empirical Likelihood Intervals for the Optimal Value inf_x E[ℓ(x;ξ)] Have Exact Coverage P(χ²₁ ≤ ρ)Research Paper

Why coverage of an optimal value matters

Many stochastic optimization problems choose a decision by minimizing an expected loss. The optimum depends on an unknown distribution, so a data-based optimum alone gives no measure of uncertainty about the best achievable expected loss. This mission concerns a confidence set for that optimal value, rather than a confidence set for the decision itself. The result of Duchi, Glynn, and Namkoong shows that a broad class of divergence neighborhoods of the empirical distribution yields a calibrated limit for this set. The same construction covers nonsmooth losses and constrained decisions when the regularity assumptions below hold.

The paper develops generalized empirical likelihood for smooth functionals of a distribution and then applies it to optimization. Its Theorem 3 states the exact asymptotic coverage result for the optimal value; Appendix C identifies the functional derivative, while Appendix B gives the uniform linearization and expansion on which calibration rests. The statistical result is proved in the paper. The mission asks for a machine-checked development of its statements and proof under an explicit nondegeneracy condition required by the paper's general coverage theorem.

Decisions, losses, and divergence neighborhoods

Let X⊆Rd\mathcal X\subseteq\mathbb R^dX⊆Rd be a nonempty compact decision set. An observation ξ\xiξ has population law P0P_0P0​, and ℓ(x;ξ)∈R\ell(x;\xi)\in\mathbb Rℓ(x;ξ)∈R is the loss at decision xxx. The quantity of interest is the optimal-value functional

Topt(P)=inf⁡x∈XEP[ℓ(x;ξ)].T_{\rm opt}(P)=\inf_{x\in\mathcal X}\mathbb E_P[\ell(x;\xi)].Topt​(P)=x∈Xinf​EP​[ℓ(x;ξ)].

The observations ξ1,…,ξn\xi_1,\ldots,\xi_nξ1​,…,ξn​ are independent and identically distributed with law P0P_0P0​. Write P^n\widehat P_nPn​ for their empirical distribution. A candidate distribution supported on the indexed observations is represented by nonnegative weights pip_ipi​ with ∑ipi=1\sum_i p_i=1∑i​pi​=1. Indexed weights also cover samples with repeated observations. For a convex divergence generator fff normalized by f(1)=f′(1)=0f(1)=f'(1)=0f(1)=f′(1)=0 and f′′(1)=2f''(1)=2f′′(1)=2, its divergence from the empirical law is Df(p∥P^n)=n−1∑if(npi)D_f(p\|\widehat P_n)=n^{-1}\sum_i f(np_i)Df​(p∥Pn​)=n−1∑i​f(npi​). Assumption A further requires fff to be three times continuously differentiable near 111; it permits f(0)=+∞f(0)=+\inftyf(0)=+∞.

At radius ρ/n\rho/nρ/n, the divergence ball consists of the weights with ∑if(npi)≤ρ\sum_i f(np_i)\le\rho∑i​f(npi​)≤ρ. The confidence set is its image under ToptT_{\rm opt}Topt​:

Cn,ρ={Topt(p):Df(p∥P^n)≤ρ/n}.C_{n,\rho}=\{T_{\rm opt}(p):D_f(p\|\widehat P_n)\le\rho/n\}.Cn,ρ​={Topt​(p):Df​(p∥Pn​)≤ρ/n}.

Assumption B makes X\mathcal XX compact and requires ℓ(⋅;ξ)\ell(\cdot;\xi)ℓ(⋅;ξ) to be Lipschitz on it with a measurable random coefficient M(ξ)M(\xi)M(ξ). The theorem adds finite second moments for MMM and for the loss at one feasible decision. These conditions control losses at every feasible decision. They also make the population and weighted empirical infima finite on the cases used in the limit.

Formalization targets

The goal is the exact asymptotic coverage of the population optimal value, with x⋆x^\starx⋆ the unique optimizer and Var⁡P0(ℓ(x⋆;ξ))>0\operatorname{Var}_{P_0}(\ell(x^\star;\xi))>0VarP0​​(ℓ(x⋆;ξ))>0:

P∗ ⁣(Topt(P0)∈Cn,ρ)⟶P(χ12≤ρ),ρ≥0.P^*\!\left(T_{\rm opt}(P_0)\in C_{n,\rho}\right)\longrightarrow P(\chi_1^2\le\rho),\qquad \rho\ge0.P∗(Topt​(P0​)∈Cn,ρ​)⟶P(χ12​≤ρ),ρ≥0.

Here P∗P^*P∗ denotes outer probability, and χ12\chi_1^2χ12​ is the square of a standard normal variable. The milestone statements follow the paper's path to this theorem. Lemma 17 gives the directional derivative of an optimal-value functional. Lemma 13 bounds feasible empirical weights relative to uniform weights. Lemma 16 makes the nonlinear remainder uniformly negligible on the divergence ball. The display after (37) then gives a first-order expansion of the upper endpoint of Cn,ρC_{n,\rho}Cn,ρ​; the next display gives its one-sided Gaussian coverage limit. The goal concerns membership in the image set Cn,ρC_{n,\rho}Cn,ρ​, including both sides of that interval.

What the result provides

The limit specifies a radius through a one degree of freedom chi square quantile. It applies to the value of a constrained stochastic optimization problem without requiring the optimizer or the loss to be differentiable. The positive variance condition ensures that the influence function supplies a genuine Gaussian scale. Without such a condition, a deterministic optimal loss can make coverage identically one, so the stated chi square limit would fail. The general theorem in the paper explicitly requires positive influence variance; this mission makes the condition visible in the specialized optimal-value statement.

A complete formalization would connect finite-sample divergence geometry to an asymptotic confidence claim about an optimization functional. The empirical mean and variance definitions, divergence ball, and normalized generator already exist as reusable declarations. This mission adds the optimal-value functional, its influence function, the nonlinear remainder, and the statistical limits. Those definitions can also support later confidence statements for other stochastic optimization models. The result is proved in the source paper; the Lean statements here are open targets awaiting proofs.

The mathematical obstacle

Pointwise control of each loss ℓ(x;ξ)\ell(x;\xi)ℓ(x;ξ) is insufficient for the optimal value: the decision minimizing an empirical weighted objective can move with the weights. A pointwise mean expansion therefore does not by itself control the infimum over xxx. The required limit combines uniform control over the loss class with sensitivity of the infimum functional near its population minimizer. The uniform remainder in Lemma 16 is stronger than a statement for the ordinary empirical distribution because it covers every distribution in the shrinking divergence ball. The final event is membership in the image of that ball; bounds on its upper endpoint alone do not establish two-sided coverage.

Formalization scope

Lean represents decisions by EuclideanSpace ℝ (Fin d) and assumes a nonempty compact feasible set. Assumption B uses its Euclidean norm. The paper allows any norm in finite dimension; norm equivalence permits this choice after rescaling the Lipschitz coefficient. The population law is the pushforward of the first measurable observation from a probability space. Samples are indexed from zero, so the first nnn observations are indices 0,…,n−10,\ldots,n-10,…,n−1. Independence and identical distribution are explicit hypotheses. Loss measurability is explicit so the population integrals have their intended values. Square integrability and compact Lipschitz control keep the real infima meaningful.

The generator takes values in EReal so a divergence infinite at zero is representable. The ball uses the published probability uncertainty set with radius ρ/n\rho/nρ/n and includes nonnegativity and unit mass. Its weights represent distributions absolutely continuous with respect to the empirical law. With tied observations, equal splitting across copies preserves the induced distribution and does not increase a convex divergence. The upper endpoint is sup⁡pinf⁡x\sup_p\inf_xsupp​infx​; the different minimax expression inf⁡xsup⁡p\inf_x\sup_pinfx​supp​ is not substituted. The chi square target uses the standard Gaussian measure of {z:z2≤ρ}\{z:z^2\le\rho\}{z:z2≤ρ}.

Mathlib measures are outer measures on arbitrary sets, so the probability of a possibly nonmeasurable membership or supremum event is the paper's outer probability. The Lemma 17 milestone expresses a signed measure through its action H(x)H(x)H(x) on the losses, as Appendix C.2 does, and uses positive directional steps. Real suprema and infima are used only where the hypotheses provide nonempty bounded values. The variance hypothesis rules out the trivial deterministic-loss counterexample. Useful contributions include the compactness and continuity facts needed for those extrema, the action-level derivative, empirical process limits, and the final two-sided event argument.

Selected references

  • John C. Duchi, Peter W. Glynn, and Hongseok Namkoong, Statistics of Robust Optimization: A Generalized Empirical Likelihood Approach, arXiv:1610.03425v3, 2018; published in Mathematics of Operations Research 46(3), 2021. arXiv preprint
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ProbabilityStatistics·Captain: mikedeng1

Statistics of Robust Optimization: A Generalized Empirical Likelihood Approach 1: The f-Divergence Robust Mean Is the Sample Mean plus √(ρ·s_n²/n) up to o(n^(−1/2)) Almost SurelyResearch Paper

Motivation

Distributionally robust optimization replaces the average of a loss over a sample by its worst-case average over all distributions close to the sample. When closeness is measured by an fff-divergence, the worst case over a ball of radius ρ/n\rho/nρ/n around the empirical distribution is also the upper endpoint of a generalized empirical likelihood confidence interval. Empirical likelihood (Owen, 1988–2001) is the case f(t)=−2log⁡t+2t−2f(t)=-2\log t+2t-2f(t)=−2logt+2t−2; the χ2\chi^2χ2, Cressie–Read and other divergences give the rest of the family.

Duchi, Glynn and Namkoong (arXiv:1610.03425, Mathematics of Operations Research 46(3), 2021) show that these robust objects behave, to first order, like the sample mean plus a variance penalty. Their Lemma 1 is the scalar version of that statement and, in the authors' words (p. 7), an expansion "that essentially gives all of the major distributional convergence results in this paper": with the central limit theorem it yields the asymptotically exact χ12\chi^2_1χ12​ coverage of empirical likelihood intervals for a mean, and its uniform extension yields the coverage results for optimal values of stochastic programs.

Timeline. Owen (1988, 1990) proved the χ2\chi^2χ2 calibration of empirical likelihood for means of i.i.d. data. Its extension to smooth fff-divergences is, as the paper notes (p. 6), essentially due to Baggerly (1998), Corcoran (1998) and Bertail, Gautherat and Harari-Kermadec (2014). Lam (arXiv:1605.09349) proved an in-probability version of the expansion below for f(t)=−2log⁡tf(t)=-2\log tf(t)=−2logt. Namkoong and Duchi (2017, arXiv:1610.02581) proved a finite-sample, high-probability version for the χ2\chi^2χ2 divergence and bounded variables. Duchi, Glynn and Namkoong proved the almost-sure version for every smooth fff and for stationary ergodic data.

Setting

Let f:[0,∞)→(−∞,+∞]f:[0,\infty)\to(-\infty,+\infty]f:[0,∞)→(−∞,+∞] be convex and lower semicontinuous, as every divergence generator in the paper is. Assumption A asks that fff be finite on (0,∞)(0,\infty)(0,∞), three times differentiable near 111, with f(1)=f′(1)=0f(1)=f'(1)=0f(1)=f′(1)=0 and f′′(1)=2f''(1)=2f′′(1)=2; the value f(0)f(0)f(0) may be +∞+\infty+∞.

Let z=(z1,…,zn)z=(z_1,\dots,z_n)z=(z1​,…,zn​) be a sample with empirical distribution P^n\widehat P_nPn​. A distribution P≪P^nP\ll\widehat P_nP≪Pn​ is a weight vector p≥0p\ge0p≥0 with ∑ipi=1\sum_ip_i=1∑i​pi​=1, and Df(P∥P^n)=∑i=1n1nf(npi)D_f(P\|\widehat P_n)=\sum_{i=1}^n\frac1nf(np_i)Df​(P∥Pn​)=∑i=1n​n1​f(npi​). The robust mean is

sup⁡P: Df(P∥P^n)≤ρ/nEP[Z]=sup⁡{∑ipizi:p≥0, ∑ipi=1, ∑i1nf(npi)≤ρn}.\sup_{P:\,D_f(P\|\widehat P_n)\le\rho/n}E_P[Z]=\sup\Big\{\sum_ip_iz_i : p\ge0,\ \sum_ip_i=1,\ \sum_i\tfrac1nf(np_i)\le\tfrac\rho n\Big\}.P:Df​(P∥Pn​)≤ρ/nsup​EP​[Z]=sup{i∑​pi​zi​:p≥0, i∑​pi​=1, i∑​n1​f(npi​)≤nρ​}.

The sample mean is EP^n[Z]=1n∑iziE_{\widehat P_n}[Z]=\frac1n\sum_iz_iEPn​​[Z]=n1​∑i​zi​ and the sample variance is sn2=EP^n[Z2]−EP^n[Z]2s_n^2=E_{\widehat P_n}[Z^2]-E_{\widehat P_n}[Z]^2sn2​=EPn​​[Z2]−EPn​​[Z]2 (normalised by 1/n1/n1/n).

A sequence Z1,Z2,…Z_1,Z_2,\dotsZ1​,Z2​,… of real random variables is strictly stationary and ergodic if the law μZ\mu_ZμZ​ of the path (Z1,Z2,… )(Z_1,Z_2,\dots)(Z1​,Z2​,…) on RN\mathbb R^{\mathbb N}RN is invariant under the left shift θ\thetaθ and every θ\thetaθ-invariant measurable set of paths has μZ\mu_ZμZ​-measure 000 or 111. Every i.i.d. sequence qualifies (Kolmogorov's 000–111 law), as do stationary Markov chains started in a unique invariant law and stationary mixing sequences.

Formalization targets

Goal: Lemma 1, the almost-sure variance expansion (p. 7)

Let Z1,Z2,…Z_1,Z_2,\dotsZ1​,Z2​,… be strictly stationary and ergodic with E[Z12]<∞E[Z_1^2]<\inftyE[Z12​]<∞, let fff satisfy Assumption A and ρ≥0\rho\ge0ρ≥0. Then almost surely

n  ∣sup⁡P: Df(P∥P^n)≤ρ/nEP[Z]−EP^n[Z]−ρn sn2∣  ⟶  0.\sqrt n\;\Big|\sup_{P:\,D_f(P\|\widehat P_n)\le\rho/n}E_P[Z]-E_{\widehat P_n}[Z]-\sqrt{\frac\rho n\,s_n^2}\Big|\;\longrightarrow\;0 .n​​P:Df​(P∥Pn​)≤ρ/nsup​EP​[Z]−EPn​​[Z]−nρ​sn2​​​⟶0.

This is the paper's (8), "≤ϵn/n\le\epsilon_n/\sqrt n≤ϵn​/n​ with ϵn→0\epsilon_n\to0ϵn​→0 a.s.", with ϵn\epsilon_nϵn​ taken to be the left-hand side. No rate is asserted, so the goal is not tied to any constant.

Milestones (Appendix A, pp. 31–33)

  1. (30): there are 0<c,C<∞0<c,C<\infty0<c,C<∞ depending only on fff with 2(1−Cϵ)hϵ(t)≤f(t+1)2(1-C\epsilon)h_\epsilon(t)\le f(t+1)2(1−Cϵ)hϵ​(t)≤f(t+1) for t≥−1t\ge-1t≥−1 and f(t+1)≤(1+Cϵ)t2f(t+1)\le(1+C\epsilon)t^2f(t+1)≤(1+Cϵ)t2 for ∣t∣≤ϵ|t|\le\epsilon∣t∣≤ϵ, whenever 0<ϵ≤c0<\epsilon\le c0<ϵ≤c. Here hϵh_\epsilonhϵ​ is the Huber function, t2/2t^2/2t2/2 for ∣t∣≤ϵ|t|\le\epsilon∣t∣≤ϵ and ϵ∣t∣−ϵ2/2\epsilon|t|-\epsilon^2/2ϵ∣t∣−ϵ2/2 otherwise.
  2. (32): with the sets Usm⊂U⊂Ubig\mathcal U_{\rm sm}\subset\mathcal U\subset\mathcal U_{\rm big}Usm​⊂U⊂Ubig​ of (31), sup⁡UsmuTz≤(robust mean)−EP^n[Z]=sup⁡UuTz≤sup⁡UbiguTz\sup_{\mathcal U_{\rm sm}}u^Tz\le(\text{robust mean})-E_{\widehat P_n}[Z]=\sup_{\mathcal U}u^Tz\le\sup_{\mathcal U_{\rm big}}u^TzsupUsm​​uTz≤(robust mean)−EPn​​[Z]=supU​uTz≤supUbig​​uTz.
  3. Lemma 8: sup⁡u∈UsmuTz=ρsn(z)2/n /1+Cϵ\sup_{u\in\mathcal U_{\rm sm}}u^Tz=\sqrt{\rho s_n(z)^2/n}\,/\sqrt{1+C\epsilon}supu∈Usm​​uTz=ρsn​(z)2/n​/1+Cϵ​ when ∥z−zˉn∥∞/n≤ϵsn(z)(1+Cϵ)/ρ\|z-\bar z_n\|_\infty/\sqrt n\le\epsilon s_n(z)\sqrt{(1+C\epsilon)/\rho}∥z−zˉn​∥∞​/n​≤ϵsn​(z)(1+Cϵ)/ρ​.
  4. Lemma 9: sup⁡u∈UbiguTz≤ρsn(z)2/n /1−Cϵ\sup_{u\in\mathcal U_{\rm big}}u^Tz\le\sqrt{\rho s_n(z)^2/n}\,/\sqrt{1-C\epsilon}supu∈Ubig​​uTz≤ρsn​(z)2/n​/1−Cϵ​ under the same condition with 1−Cϵ1-C\epsilon1−Cϵ.
  5. Lemma 6: on the event max⁡i≤n∣zi−zˉn∣/n≤ϵsn(1−Cϵ)/ρ\max_{i\le n}|z_i-\bar z_n|/\sqrt n\le\epsilon s_n\sqrt{(1-C\epsilon)/\rho}maxi≤n​∣zi​−zˉn​∣/n​≤ϵsn​(1−Cϵ)/ρ​, the robust mean lies between EP^n[Z]+ρsn2/n/1+CϵE_{\widehat P_n}[Z]+\sqrt{\rho s_n^2/n}/\sqrt{1+C\epsilon}EPn​​[Z]+ρsn2​/n​/1+Cϵ​ and EP^n[Z]+ρsn2/n/1−CϵE_{\widehat P_n}[Z]+\sqrt{\rho s_n^2/n}/\sqrt{1-C\epsilon}EPn​​[Z]+ρsn2​/n​/1−Cϵ​.
  6. Lemma 7: for identically distributed (possibly dependent) ZiZ_iZi​ with E∣Z1∣k<∞E|Z_1|^k<\inftyE∣Z1​∣k<∞, P(∣Zn∣≥ϵn1/k i.o.)=0P(|Z_n|\ge\epsilon n^{1/k}\text{ i.o.})=0P(∣Zn​∣≥ϵn1/k i.o.)=0 for every ϵ>0\epsilon>0ϵ>0 and max⁡i≤n∣Zi∣/n1/k→0\max_{i\le n}|Z_i|/n^{1/k}\to0maxi≤n​∣Zi​∣/n1/k→0 almost surely.

Significance

The result. The expansion says the robust mean is a variance-regularised mean, EP^n[Z]+ρ sn2/nE_{\widehat P_n}[Z]+\sqrt{\rho\,s_n^2/n}EPn​​[Z]+ρsn2​/n​, up to o(n−1/2)o(n^{-1/2})o(n−1/2), for every smooth divergence at once. Combined with the central limit theorem and Slutsky's lemma, it gives P(E[Z]∈{EP[Z]:Df(P∥P^n)≤ρ/n})→P(χ12≤ρ)P\big(E[Z]\in\{E_P[Z]:D_f(P\|\widehat P_n)\le\rho/n\}\big)\to P(\chi^2_1\le\rho)P(E[Z]∈{EP​[Z]:Df​(P∥Pn​)≤ρ/n})→P(χ12​≤ρ), the exact asymptotic coverage of generalized empirical likelihood intervals (the paper's Proposition 1 for d=1d=1d=1). The paper's uniform expansion (Theorem 2) and its coverage theorem for optimal values (Theorem 3) rest on the same mechanism. Because the statement is almost sure and allows stationary ergodic data, it also covers time series and simulation output.

Formalizing it. The lemma is proved in the paper; no machine-checked version of it, of (30), or of Lemmas 6–9 exists. A complete development would give the first formal link between fff-divergence balls and variance regularisation for general fff, and a formal almost-sure theory for empirical likelihood beyond the i.i.d. case. The χ2\chi^2χ2-only finite-sample expansion of Namkoong and Duchi (2017) is posed, not proved, on the platform.

Difficulty

The obvious route is a second-order Taylor expansion of fff around 111 inside the supremum. It fails because the optimal weights npinp_inpi​ are close to 111 only if no single observation is large compared with n sn\sqrt n\,s_nn​sn​; a heavy observation drives a weight to 000, where fff may be infinite and is not approximated by its Taylor polynomial. The argument has to sandwich the divergence ball between a quadratic ball and a Huber ball valid on all of [0,∞)[0,\infty)[0,∞), then show that the event "no observation of order n\sqrt nn​" holds eventually almost surely, which under only a second moment and no independence needs a Borel–Cantelli argument for identically distributed variables (Lemma 7). The sample variance limit needs Birkhoff's pointwise ergodic theorem, which Mathlib does not yet contain.

Formalization scope

  • Samples. Z:N→Ω→RZ:\mathbb N\to\Omega\to\mathbb RZ:N→Ω→R on a probability space; Lean's Z 0 is the paper's Z1Z_1Z1​ and the nnn-th sample vector is fun i : Fin n => Z i ω. Stationary ergodicity is IsStationaryErgodic: each Z i measurable and Mathlib's Ergodic for the left shift on the path law (which includes shift invariance). The mixing display on p. 7 implies this; the Lean hypothesis is the weaker standard notion named in the lemma.
  • Divergence. f:R→f:\mathbb R\tof:R→ EReal, using the published IsPhiDivergenceFunction (convex on [0,∞)[0,\infty)[0,∞), finite on (0,∞)(0,\infty)(0,∞), f(1)=0f(1)=0f(1)=0, f(0)=+∞f(0)=+\inftyf(0)=+∞ allowed); AssumptionA adds lower semicontinuity on [0,∞)[0,\infty)[0,∞) (the paper's standing condition on divergence generators), three-times differentiability on an interval (a,b)∋1(a,b)\ni1(a,b)∋1, f′(1)=0f'(1)=0f′(1)=0, f′′(1)=2f''(1)=2f′′(1)=2. The reading "finite on (0,∞)(0,\infty)(0,∞)" follows the paper's remark that only the behaviour at 000 is unrestricted.
  • Robust mean. Distributions are weight vectors on the sample (P≪P^nP\ll\widehat P_nP≪Pn​), the ball is the published probUncertaintySet, and the supremum is a real sSup of a non-empty bounded set. Mean and variance are the published empMean, empVar.
  • Constants. In (32) and Lemmas 6, 8, 9 the constant CCC is a parameter, and the two inequalities of (30) at the given ϵ\epsilonϵ and CCC are hypotheses; (30) itself asserts that such c,Cc,Cc,C exist. ϵ>0\epsilon>0ϵ>0 throughout, ϵ<1\epsilon<1ϵ<1 where the sets (31) are used, and Cϵ<1C\epsilon<1Cϵ<1 wherever 1−Cϵ\sqrt{1-C\epsilon}1−Cϵ​ appears.
  • Ruling out trivialisations. The ball always contains the uniform weights, so the robust mean is never the junk value of an empty supremum; the goal's limit statement makes n=0n=0n=0 irrelevant. A formalization that assumes i.i.d. data, a finite moment of order above two, or a specific fff proves a different, weaker statement.
  • Infrastructure. Needed: Birkhoff's pointwise ergodic theorem for the shift (not in Mathlib; posed but unproved on the platform as PalmQueueing.Ergodic.discrete_pointwise, for bijective flows), Borel–Cantelli (in Mathlib), and elementary convex analysis of the Huber function. The pointwise ergodic theorem and Lemma 7 are reusable well beyond this mission. Proofs of any milestone, and of the ergodic theorem for one-sided shifts, are welcome.

Selected references

  • J. C. Duchi, P. W. Glynn, H. Namkoong, Statistics of Robust Optimization: A Generalized Empirical Likelihood Approach, arXiv:1610.03425v3 (2018); Mathematics of Operations Research 46(3), 2021. https://arxiv.org/abs/1610.03425
  • A. B. Owen, Empirical likelihood ratio confidence regions, Annals of Statistics 18(1), 1990. https://doi.org/10.1214/aos/1176347494
  • K. A. Baggerly, Empirical likelihood as a goodness-of-fit measure, Biometrika 85(3), 1998. https://doi.org/10.1093/biomet/85.3.535
  • H. Lam, Recovering best statistical guarantees via the empirical divergence-based distributionally robust optimization, Operations Research, 2019. https://arxiv.org/abs/1605.09349
  • S. A. Corcoran, Bartlett adjustment of empirical discrepancy statistics, Biometrika 85(4), 1998. https://doi.org/10.1093/biomet/85.4.967
  • H. Namkoong, J. C. Duchi, Variance-based regularization with convex objectives, NeurIPS 2017. https://arxiv.org/abs/1610.02581
  • A. Ben-Tal, D. den Hertog, A. De Waegenaere, B. Melenberg, G. Rennen, Robust solutions of optimization problems affected by uncertain probabilities, Management Science 59(2), 2013. https://doi.org/10.1287/mnsc.1120.1641
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Machine LearningOperations ResearchProbability+1·Captain: mikedeng1

From Predictive to Prescriptive Analytics 1: The k-Nearest-Neighbor Predictive Prescription Is Asymptotically Optimal and ConsistentResearch Paper

Motivation

Operations research has long studied the stochastic problem min⁡z∈ZE[c(z;Y)]\min_{z\in\mathcal Z}\mathbb E[c(z;Y)]minz∈Z​E[c(z;Y)]: choose a decision zzz before an uncertain quantity YYY (demand, prices, returns) is revealed. In practice the decision maker also observes covariates XXX before deciding (web-search volume before stocking a product, weather before routing a shipment) and should solve the conditional problem instead. Bertsimas and Kallus (arXiv:1402.5481v4; Management Science 66(3), 2020) proposed predictive prescriptions: reweight historical observations (xi,yi)(x^i,y^i)(xi,yi) by how relevant they are to the current xxx, using weights borrowed from a nonparametric regression method, and minimize the reweighted sample cost. Their asymptotic theorems guarantee that this procedure converges to the decision that full knowledge of the conditional distribution would give.

The unconditional special case, sample average approximation (SAA) with i.i.d. draws of YYY and no covariate, has a classical consistency theory (Dupačová–Wets 1988; Shapiro 2003). This mission conditions that theory on XXX, with kkk-nearest-neighbour weights.

Setting

Decisions zzz lie in a set Z⊆Rdz\mathcal Z\subseteq\mathbb R^{d_z}Z⊆Rdz​, covariates XXX in X⊆Rdx\mathcal X\subseteq\mathbb R^{d_x}X⊆Rdx​, uncertainty YYY in Y⊆Rdy\mathcal Y\subseteq\mathbb R^{d_y}Y⊆Rdy​; all three spaces carry the Euclidean norm. A cost c(z;y)∈Rc(z;y)\in\mathbb Rc(z;y)∈R is given. Let μ\muμ be the joint law of (X,Y)(X,Y)(X,Y), μX\mu_XμX​ the law of XXX and μY∣x\mu_{Y|x}μY∣x​ the conditional law of YYY given X=xX=xX=x. The conditional cost and the full-information problem (2) are

C(z∣x)=E[c(z;Y)∣X=x],v∗(x)=min⁡z∈ZC(z∣x),Z∗(x)=arg⁡min⁡z∈ZC(z∣x).C(z\mid x)=\mathbb E\big[c(z;Y)\mid X=x\big],\qquad v^*(x)=\min_{z\in\mathcal Z}C(z\mid x),\qquad \mathcal Z^*(x)=\arg\min_{z\in\mathcal Z}C(z\mid x).C(z∣x)=E[c(z;Y)∣X=x],v∗(x)=z∈Zmin​C(z∣x),Z∗(x)=argz∈Zmin​C(z∣x).

The data are SN={(x1,y1),…,(xN,yN)}S_N=\{(x^1,y^1),\dots,(x^N,y^N)\}SN​={(x1,y1),…,(xN,yN)}, the first NNN terms of an i.i.d. sequence with law μ\muμ. The kNN weights (12) are wN,i(x)=1kI[xiw_{N,i}(x)=\frac1k\mathbb I[x^iwN,i​(x)=k1​I[xi is one of the kkk nearest neighbours of xxx among x1,…,xN]x^1,\dots,x^N]x1,…,xN], with ties among equidistant points broken by lower index first. The predictive prescription (3) is any

z^N(x)∈arg⁡min⁡z∈Z C^N(z∣x),C^N(z∣x)=∑i=1NwN,i(x) c(z;yi).\hat z_N(x)\in\arg\min_{z\in\mathcal Z}\ \widehat C_N(z\mid x),\qquad \widehat C_N(z\mid x)=\sum_{i=1}^N w_{N,i}(x)\,c(z;y^i).z^N​(x)∈argz∈Zmin​ CN​(z∣x),CN​(z∣x)=i=1∑N​wN,i​(x)c(z;yi).

The paper's standing assumptions: Assumption 3 (E∣c(z;Y)∣<∞\mathbb E|c(z;Y)|<\inftyE∣c(z;Y)∣<∞ for every z∈Zz\in\mathcal Zz∈Z, and Z∗(x)≠∅\mathcal Z^*(x)\ne\emptysetZ∗(x)=∅ for a.e. xxx); Assumption 4 (c(z;y)c(z;y)c(z;y) is equicontinuous in zzz, uniformly over y∈Yy\in\mathcal Yy∈Y); Assumption 5 (Z\mathcal ZZ closed and nonempty, and either bounded, or ccc is bounded below for large ∥z∥\|z\|∥z∥ and for each xxx there is a set DxD_xDx​ of positive conditional probability on which c(z;y)→∞c(z;y)\to\inftyc(z;y)→∞ uniformly as ∥z∥→∞\|z\|\to\infty∥z∥→∞).

Definition 1. z^N\hat z_Nz^N​ is asymptotically optimal if, with probability 1, for μX\mu_XμX​-a.e. xxx, C(z^N(x)∣x)→v∗(x)C(\hat z_N(x)\mid x)\to v^*(x)C(z^N​(x)∣x)→v∗(x); it is consistent if, with probability 1, for μX\mu_XμX​-a.e. xxx, inf⁡z∈Z∗(x)∥z^N(x)−z∥→0\inf_{z\in\mathcal Z^*(x)}\|\hat z_N(x)-z\|\to0infz∈Z∗(x)​∥z^N​(x)−z∥→0.

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem 5 (kNN), p. 19 (= Theorem 15, p. 43)

Under Assumptions 3, 4, 5 and i.i.d. sampling, with k=min⁡{⌈CNδ⌉,N−1}k=\min\{\lceil CN^\delta\rceil,N-1\}k=min{⌈CNδ⌉,N−1}, C>0C>0C>0, 0<δ<10<\delta<10<δ<1: with probability 1, for μX\mu_XμX​-a.e. xxx, Z∗(x)\mathcal Z^*(x)Z∗(x) is nonempty, the argmin is eventually nonempty, and every selection z^N(x)\hat z_N(x)z^N​(x) from it satisfies

lim⁡N→∞C(z^N(x)∣x)=v∗(x)andlim⁡N→∞inf⁡z∈Z∗(x)∥z^N(x)−z∥=0.\lim_{N\to\infty}C(\hat z_N(x)\mid x)=v^*(x)\qquad\text{and}\qquad\lim_{N\to\infty}\inf_{z\in\mathcal Z^*(x)}\|\hat z_N(x)-z\|=0 .N→∞lim​C(z^N​(x)∣x)=v∗(x)andN→∞lim​z∈Z∗(x)inf​∥z^N​(x)−z∥=0.

The goal covers both cases of Assumption 5, including unbounded Z\mathcal ZZ such as the newsvendor's [0,∞)[0,\infty)[0,∞).

Milestones, in the order the proof uses them

  1. Walk step (proof of Theorem 15, p. 47). For any measurable hhh with E∣h(Y)∣<∞\mathbb E|h(Y)|<\inftyE∣h(Y)∣<∞, ∑iwN,i(x)h(yi)→E[h(Y)∣X=x]\sum_i w_{N,i}(x)h(y^i)\to\mathbb E[h(Y)\mid X=x]∑i​wN,i​(x)h(yi)→E[h(Y)∣X=x] a.s., for μX\mu_XμX​-a.e. xxx.
  2. Lemma 7 (p. 47). Fixed-zzz and fixed-DDD almost-sure convergence upgrade to convergence for all z∈Zz\in\mathcal Zz∈Z simultaneously and weak convergence μ^Y∣x,N→μY∣x\hat\mu_{Y|x,N}\to\mu_{Y|x}μ^​Y∣x,N​→μY∣x​, off one null set.
  3. Lemma 5 (p. 45). Along one sample path, pointwise convergence C^N(⋅∣x)→C(⋅∣x)\widehat C_N(\cdot\mid x)\to C(\cdot\mid x)CN​(⋅∣x)→C(⋅∣x) is uniform on compact subsets of Z\mathcal ZZ.
  4. Lemma 6, case 1 (pp. 45–47). For bounded Z\mathcal ZZ, the minima and minimizers of C^N(⋅∣x)\widehat C_N(\cdot\mid x)CN​(⋅∣x) converge to v∗(x)v^*(x)v∗(x) and to Z∗(x)\mathcal Z^*(x)Z∗(x).

Significance

Theorem 5 says that a decision computed from data alone, with no model of the conditional distribution, performs asymptotically as well as the decision a decision maker with full knowledge of μY∣x\mu_{Y|x}μY∣x​ would take, for almost every covariate value and under mild conditions on the cost. It justifies the kNN prescription in the paper's newsvendor and shipment-planning experiments, and its proof skeleton (a pointwise strong law for the weights, then Lemmas 5–7) is reused for kernel, local-linear and recursive-kernel weights (Theorems 6–9), which could follow as missions of the same shape.

The result is proved in the paper; it has not been machine-checked anywhere. Formalizing it requires a strong law for nearest-neighbour regression with integrable responses (Walk 2010, building on Devroye, Györfi, Krzyżak and Lugosi 1994), which Mathlib does not have, and a careful treatment of conditional laws at a point. One of the paper's lemmas (Lemma 6) is false as printed for unbounded Z\mathcal ZZ; the formalization isolates the correct statement.

Difficulty

The deterministic optimization part (Lemmas 5 and 6 for bounded Z\mathcal ZZ) is a compactness argument. The central difficulty is the probabilistic input. A natural first idea, applying the strong law of large numbers to C^N(z∣x)\widehat C_N(z\mid x)CN​(z∣x), fails: the kNN weights depend on all of x1,…,xNx^1,\dots,x^Nx1,…,xN and on xxx, the effective sample size kNk_NkN​ grows sublinearly, and convergence is required for almost every xxx simultaneously, including xxx that are atoms of μX\mu_XμX​ where ties are the rule. A second difficulty is the exchange of quantifiers: the strong law gives a null set depending on zzz and on the set DDD, and the conclusion needs one null set for all z∈Zz\in\mathcal Zz∈Z. Finally, for unbounded Z\mathcal ZZ the minimizers of C^N(⋅∣x)\widehat C_N(\cdot\mid x)CN​(⋅∣x) must be kept bounded, and weak convergence of μ^Y∣x,N\hat\mu_{Y|x,N}μ^​Y∣x,N​ alone does not do so.

Formalization scope

All spaces are EuclideanSpace ℝ (Fin d), so kNN distances and ∥z−z′∥\|z-z'\|∥z−z′∥ are Euclidean. The data are a measurable, mutually independent sequence S i : Ω → ℝ^{d_x} × ℝ^{d_y} with each term of law μ\muμ; samples are indexed from 000. The following readings are explicit in the Lean:

  • μY∣x\mu_{Y|x}μY∣x​ is the fixed version μ.condKernel x of the conditional law, and C(z∣x)C(z\mid x)C(z∣x) is its Bochner integral; Assumption 5's "for every x∈Xx\in\mathcal Xx∈X" refers to this version, and DxD_xDx​ is measurable.
  • Quantifier order is "with probability 1, for μX\mu_XμX​-a.e. xxx" (Definition 1), and the selection z^N\hat z_Nz^N​ is quantified inside both a.e. quantifiers: Z∗(x)\mathcal Z^*(x)Z∗(x) is nonempty, the argmin is nonempty for all large NNN, and every sequence lying in it for all large NNN is covered.
  • v∗(x)v^*(x)v∗(x) is never a real infimum; it is read as C(z⋆∣x)C(z^\star\mid x)C(z⋆∣x) for z⋆∈Z∗(x)z^\star\in\mathcal Z^*(x)z⋆∈Z∗(x), nonempty a.e. by Assumption 3.
  • Ties are broken lower-index-first, so the weights sum to 111 for N≥2N\ge2N≥2; at N≤1N\le1N≤1 the formula gives k=0k=0k=0 and all weights 000.
  • Lemmas 5–7 assume weights that are eventually nonnegative and sum to 111, the reading of the paper's Eμ^Y∣x,N\mathbb E_{\hat\mu_{Y|x,N}}Eμ^​Y∣x,N​​ notation; weak convergence is tested against bounded continuous functions.
  • Lemma 6 is posed for bounded Z\mathcal ZZ only, without its unused weak-convergence hypothesis; the goal is posed for both cases.

A formalization that replaces the conditional law by an arbitrary kernel unrelated to μ\muμ, takes z^N\hat z_Nz^N​ to be a fixed measurable selection chosen outside the almost-sure quantifier, or reads inf⁡z∈Z∗(x)\inf_{z\in\mathcal Z^*(x)}infz∈Z∗(x)​ on an empty set as 000 without Assumption 3 would trivialize or weaken the result and is ruled out by the statements above.

Needed infrastructure: nearest-neighbour ranks and their combinatorics (Stone's lemma: a point is among the kkk nearest neighbours of at most a bounded number of others), a strong law for kNN regression, portmanteau-type characterizations of weak convergence for weighted empirical measures, and stability of minimizers under locally uniform convergence. The kNN strong law and the stability lemmas are reusable well beyond this mission. Related platform items, credited but not reused (they concern unconditional SAA): SolutionQuality.SRP.prop1_i, SolutionQuality.SRP.prop1_ii, SolutionQuality.SRP.fbar_tendstoUniformlyOn (Bayraksan–Morton 2006) and DupacovaWets.Consistency.consistency_of_measurable_estimates (Dupačová–Wets 1988). Proofs of any milestone, and alternative routes to the goal, are welcome.

Selected references

  • D. Bertsimas, N. Kallus, From Predictive to Prescriptive Analytics, arXiv:1402.5481v4, 2018; Management Science 66(3), 2020. https://arxiv.org/abs/1402.5481v4 , https://doi.org/10.1287/mnsc.2018.3253
  • H. Walk, Strong laws of large numbers and nonparametric estimation, in Recent Developments in Applied Probability and Statistics, Physica-Verlag, 2010. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-7908-2598-5_8
  • L. Devroye, L. Györfi, A. Krzyżak, G. Lugosi, On the strong universal consistency of nearest neighbor regression function estimates, Annals of Statistics 22(3), 1994. https://doi.org/10.1214/aos/1176325633
  • J. Dupačová, R. Wets, Asymptotic behavior of statistical estimators and of optimal solutions of stochastic optimization problems, Annals of Statistics 16(4), 1988. https://doi.org/10.1214/aos/1176351052
  • A. Shapiro, Monte Carlo sampling methods, in Handbooks in OR & MS 10, 2003. https://doi.org/10.1016/S0927-0507(03)10006-0
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Convex OptimizationNumerical AnalysisOperations Research·Captain: mikedeng1

Projected Newton Methods for Optimization Problems with Simple Constraints: The Projected Newton Method Converges Superlinearly to the Minimum of a Convex Function over the Nonnegative OrthantResearch Paper

Motivation

Smooth optimization with nonnegative variables appears when the variables are Lagrange multipliers for inequality constraints or when an objective incorporates an augmented Lagrangian or an exact penalty. Bertsekas studies how to retain a Newton-like convergence rate in this setting while using an iteration that projects a scaled gradient step onto the nonnegative orthant. His 1982 paper also discusses large optimal-control examples, where repeatedly solving a quadratic subproblem may be costly. These are the applications motivating the method, rather than assumptions of the theorem. Bertsekas, 1982.

The paper contrasts a partly diagonal scaling matrix with two other approaches: a fully diagonal projected gradient step, which generally has a linear rate, and a constrained Newton step defined by a quadratic program. The main theoretical question is whether the simpler projected iteration can still identify binding coordinates and converge superlinearly near the solution. The mission covers the nonnegative-orthant method in §2 and its stated convergence results. The paper's later extension to general linear constraints and its computational examples concern different objects. Bertsekas, 1982.

Setting

Fix a dimension n≥1n\ge1n≥1 and a continuously differentiable function f:Rn→Rf:\mathbb R^n\to\mathbb Rf:Rn→R. Problem (1) minimizes f(x)f(x)f(x) over the nonnegative orthant R+n={x:xi≥0 for every i}\mathbb R_+^n=\{x:x^i\ge0\text{ for every }i\}R+n​={x:xi≥0 for every i}. The positive part [z]+[z]^+[z]+ replaces each negative coordinate of zzz by zero. A feasible xxx is critical when every partial derivative ∂if(x)\partial_i f(x)∂i​f(x) is nonnegative and ∂if(x)=0\partial_i f(x)=0∂i​f(x)=0 wherever xi>0x^i>0xi>0. This is the paper's componentwise first-order condition.

For a feasible iterate xkx_kxk​, the binding set is B(xk)={i:xki=0}B(x_k)=\{i:x_k^i=0\}B(xk​)={i:xki​=0}. The paper selects a larger working set Ik+I_k^+Ik+​ using a fixed ε>0\varepsilon>0ε>0 and the projected-gradient residual wk=∥xk−[xk−M∇f(xk)]+∥w_k=\|x_k-[x_k-M\nabla f(x_k)]^+\|wk​=∥xk​−[xk​−M∇f(xk​)]+∥, where MMM is fixed, diagonal and positive definite. More precisely, Ik+I_k^+Ik+​ contains the indices with 0≤xki≤min⁡(ε,wk)0\le x_k^i\le\min(\varepsilon,w_k)0≤xki​≤min(ε,wk​) and ∂if(xk)>0\partial_i f(x_k)>0∂i​f(xk​)>0. The matrix DkD_kDk​ is symmetric positive definite and has zero off-diagonal entries in the rows indexed by Ik+I_k^+Ik+​. The projected arc and update are

pk=Dk∇f(xk),xk(a)=[xk−apk]+,xk+1=xk(βmk).p_k=D_k\nabla f(x_k),\qquad x_k(a)=[x_k-a p_k]^+,\qquad x_{k+1}=x_k(\beta^{m_k}).pk​=Dk​∇f(xk​),xk​(a)=[xk​−apk​]+,xk+1​=xk​(βmk​).

Here 0<β<10<\beta<10<β<1, and mkm_kmk​ is the first nonnegative integer passing the paper's two-sum Armijo test (37), with 0<σ<1/20<\sigma<1/20<σ<1/2. One sum uses the scaled gradient outside Ik+I_k^+Ik+​; the other uses the actual projected displacement on Ik+I_k^+Ik+​. These details define the algorithm whose rate is at issue. Bertsekas, 1982, pp. 228–229.

Formalization targets

The first targets establish the fixed-point and descent properties of the projected arc, positivity of the Armijo right-hand side, well-defined step selection, criticality of limit points, and local attraction with finite binding-set identification. Proposition 3 identifies both the working set and the actual binding set:

Ik+=B(xk)=B(x∗)for all sufficiently late k.I_k^+=B(x_k)=B(x^*)\quad\text{for all sufficiently late }k.Ik+​=B(xk​)=B(x∗)for all sufficiently late k.

The goal is Proposition 4. Let fff be convex and C2C^2C2, let x∗x^*x∗ be the unique minimizer on R+n\mathbb R_+^nR+n​ satisfying Assumption (C), and suppose the Hessian quadratic form has uniform positive lower and finite upper bounds on the initial, unrestricted sublevel set. The scaling matrix is Dk=Hk−1D_k=H_k^{-1}Dk​=Hk−1​, where HkH_kHk​ retains Hessian entries except for off-diagonal entries touching Ik+I_k^+Ik+​. Then

xk⟶x∗,∀c>0 ∃K ∀k≥K: ∥xk+1−x∗∥≤c∥xk−x∗∥.x_k\longrightarrow x^*,\qquad \forall c>0\ \exists K\ \forall k\ge K:\ \|x_{k+1}-x^*\|\le c\|x_k-x^*\|.xk​⟶x∗,∀c>0 ∃K ∀k≥K: ∥xk+1​−x∗∥≤c∥xk​−x∗∥.

If the Hessian is Lipschitz in a neighborhood of x∗x^*x∗, the same proposition states an at-least-quadratic error bound: ∥xk+1−x∗∥≤C∥xk−x∗∥2\|x_{k+1}-x^*\|\le C\|x_k-x^*\|^2∥xk+1​−x∗∥≤C∥xk​−x∗∥2 eventually for some C>0C>0C>0. The separate final milestone records the paper's claim that the initial unit trial is eventually accepted. Bertsekas, 1982, pp. 233–236.

Significance

Proposition 4 says that this specific orthant-projected Newton iteration converges to the unique constrained optimum with a superlinear rate under its stated smoothness and curvature conditions. Proposition 3 supplies a distinct finite-identification statement: the working and binding coordinates eventually match those at the optimum. These facts specify the behavior of an algorithm that does not define its direction by solving a quadratic program at every step. The paper proves the preceding propositions and states Proposition 4 with its proof left to the reader, referring to its earlier discussion and standard unconstrained Newton results. Bertsekas, 1982, pp. 234–236.

Formalizing the claims would provide machine-checked statements and, once solved, proofs for the exact projected arc, two-part line search, matrix selection, identification result and rate conclusion. The local mission items are open proof obligations; their compilation checks the definitions and theorem types, not the mathematical claims. The geometry definitions can also support other orthant-constrained algorithms, while the enlarged working set and Armijo rule belong to this paper's method.

Difficulty

A positive definite matrix by itself does not make projection along [x−aD∇f(x)]+[x-aD\nabla f(x)]^+[x−aD∇f(x)]+ a descent move. An off-diagonal coupling can push coordinates against the boundary in a way that defeats the usual unconstrained descent calculation; the paper gives such a situation before Proposition 1. The partly diagonal condition is therefore substantive. A second obstacle is that the exact active set I+(x)I^+(x)I+(x) can jump at a boundary point: iterates approaching that point from the interior need not have the same indexed rows. The enlarged Ik+I_k^+Ik+​ and its dependence on the residual are central to the finite-identification and rate claims. Bertsekas, 1982, pp. 225–229.

Formalization scope

Lean represents Rn\mathbb R^nRn as EuclideanSpace ℝ (Fin n), with the Euclidean norm and zero-based coordinates. The dimension is positive. gradient and the derivative of gradient represent first and second derivatives; the paper's MMM is diag μ with every μi>0\mu^i>0μi>0. The run predicate includes a feasible initial point and the first acceptable integer mkm_kmk​, and the matrix choices are indexed by iteration. Propositions 1–3 use the paper's explicit admissibility condition. Proposition 4 constructs DkD_kDk​ from HkH_kHk​ and does not assume its invertibility, admissibility, convergence or eventual active-set equality.

Assumption (C) includes local C2C^2C2 smoothness, curvature bounds on directions zero at the binding coordinates, and strict complementarity. A local minimum is required to be feasible as well as locally minimal on the orthant. Limit points use subsequential convergence. Superlinearity uses a uniform eventual error inequality, which also covers an iterate that reaches the solution exactly; a ratio with a zero denominator would distort this case. The paper's Proposition 4 display mistakenly binds a direction to the level set while leaving the Hessian's point free. The formalization states the intended reading: every point in the unrestricted initial level set and every direction satisfy the Hessian bounds. The displayed level set has no x≥0x\ge0x≥0 restriction, so neither does the Lean hypothesis.

A definition that accepts any Armijo exponent or a goal that assumes the eventual identification or convergence conclusion would erase the paper's claim. Contributions can build the matrix and projected-arc lemmas, the convergence and identification proofs, and the final rate proof. The local inverse-Hessian observation before Proposition 4 is discussed in the notes but has no separate milestone until its full local setting can be captured without weakening it.

Selected references

  • Dimitri P. Bertsekas, Projected Newton Methods for Optimization Problems with Simple Constraints, SIAM Journal on Control and Optimization 20(2), 221–246, 1982. DOI: 10.1137/0320018.
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Convex OptimizationOperations ResearchProbability·Captain: mikedeng1

Optimality and Duality Theory for Stochastic Optimization Problems with Nonlinear Dominance Constraints 1: Under Uniform Dominance, Optimal Solutions Have Concave Utility and L∞ MultipliersResearch Paper

Motivation

Stochastic programs often optimize a decision that changes several random outcomes at once. A reference outcome may be acceptable even when no fixed threshold captures its risk: one wants the new outcome to be preferable under every increasing concave assessment of gains. Second order stochastic dominance expresses that comparison. Dentcheva and Ruszczyński study optimization with several such constraints, each imposed on a nonlinear outcome operator, and show how the constraint multipliers can be represented by utility functions rather than scalar penalties (Dentcheva–Ruszczyński, 2004). Their earlier paper, Optimization with stochastic dominance constraints, treats the pure dominance case without the nonlinear decision map; the present result adds decision dependent outcomes, multiple constraints, and split variables. Ogryczak and Ruszczyński's second performance function supplies the stochastic order used here (Ogryczak–Ruszczyński, 2002).

The utility interpretation matters when a modeler wants a certificate explaining why a solution satisfies a risk preference expressed by dominance. The theorem identifies a concave utility for each binding dominance constraint and an essentially bounded multiplier for each comparison between the split outcome and the outcome produced by the decision. The source is a revised April 2003 author manuscript, later published in Mathematical Programming in 2004; the page and equation numbers below follow that manuscript (author manuscript).

Setting

Work on a probability space (Ω,F,P)(\Omega,\mathcal F,P)(Ω,F,P). An integrable random outcome is a measurable real function with finite expected absolute value; L1\mathcal L^1L1 denotes these outcomes, and L∞\mathcal L^\inftyL∞ denotes essentially bounded ones. The decisions lie in a convex set ZZZ inside a separable locally convex Hausdorff real vector space Z\mathcal ZZ. An integrable objective outcome H(z)H(z)H(z) and integrable constraint outcomes Gi(z)G_i(z)Gi​(z) depend continuously in the L1\mathcal L^1L1 norm on zzz. Almost every realized map z↦H(z)(ω)z\mapsto H(z)(\omega)z↦H(z)(ω) and z↦Gi(z)(ω)z\mapsto G_i(z)(\omega)z↦Gi​(z)(ω) is concave and continuous on all of Z\mathcal ZZ. Fixed integrable outcomes YiY_iYi​ serve as references; the iiith comparison is required over a bounded interval [ai,bi][a_i,b_i][ai​,bi​].

For an outcome XXX, its second performance function is the area below its distribution function:

F2(X;η)=∫−∞ηP{X≤ξ} dξ.F_2(X;\eta)=\int_{-\infty}^{\eta}P\{X\le\xi\}\,d\xi.F2​(X;η)=∫−∞η​P{X≤ξ}dξ.

The split program (11)–(14) chooses z∈Zz\in Zz∈Z and X=(X1,…,Xm)∈(L1)mX=(X_1,\ldots,X_m)\in(\mathcal L^1)^mX=(X1​,…,Xm​)∈(L1)m to maximize EH(z)\mathbb E H(z)EH(z), subject to F2(Xi;η)≤F2(Yi;η)F_2(X_i;\eta)\le F_2(Y_i;\eta)F2​(Xi​;η)≤F2​(Yi​;η) for every η∈[ai,bi]\eta\in[a_i,b_i]η∈[ai​,bi​], and Xi≤Gi(z)X_i\le G_i(z)Xi​≤Gi​(z) almost surely. Larger outcomes are preferred, so a dominating XiX_iXi​ has the smaller F2F_2F2​ curve. The split variables expose the dominance and decision coupling as separate constraints (manuscript, pp. 3–4).

The utility cone U1([a,b])\mathcal U_1([a,b])U1​([a,b]) consists of concave nondecreasing functions u:R→Ru:\mathbb R\to\mathbb Ru:R→R that vanish for t≥bt\ge bt≥b and are affine with a nonnegative slope for t≤at\le at≤a. Given uiu_iui​ in these cones and θi∈L∞\theta_i\in\mathcal L^\inftyθi​∈L∞, the Lagrangian is

L(z,X,u,θ)=E ⁣[H(z)+∑i=1m(ui(Xi)−ui(Yi)+θi(Gi(z)−Xi))].L(z,X,u,\theta)=\mathbb E\!\left[H(z)+\sum_{i=1}^m\bigl(u_i(X_i)-u_i(Y_i)+\theta_i(G_i(z)-X_i)\bigr)\right].L(z,X,u,θ)=E[H(z)+i=1∑m​(ui​(Xi​)−ui​(Yi​)+θi​(Gi​(z)−Xi​))].

Uniform dominance means one decision z~∈Z\tilde z\in Zz~∈Z makes every dominance inequality uniformly strict on its interval: for each iii, F2(Yi;η)−F2(Gi(z~);η)F_2(Y_i;\eta)-F_2(G_i(\tilde z);\eta)F2​(Yi​;η)−F2​(Gi​(z~);η) has a positive lower bound over [ai,bi][a_i,b_i][ai​,bi​] (Definition 1, p. 7).

Formalization targets

Utility and bounded multiplier characterization

Theorem 2 is the goal. Under uniform dominance, every optimum (z^,X^)(\hat z,\hat X)(z^,X^) of the split program admits u^i∈U1([ai,bi])\hat u_i\in\mathcal U_1([a_i,b_i])u^i​∈U1​([ai​,bi​]) and nonnegative θ^i∈L∞\hat\theta_i\in\mathcal L^\inftyθ^i​∈L∞ with

L(z^,X^,u^,θ^)=max⁡z∈Z, X∈(L1)mL(z,X,u^,θ^),L(\hat z,\hat X,\hat u,\hat\theta)=\max_{z\in Z,\,X\in(\mathcal L^1)^m}L(z,X,\hat u,\hat\theta),L(z^,X^,u^,θ^)=z∈Z,X∈(L1)mmax​L(z,X,u^,θ^), Eu^i(X^i)=Eu^i(Yi),θ^i(X^i−Gi(z^))=0almost surely.\mathbb E\hat u_i(\hat X_i)=\mathbb E\hat u_i(Y_i),\qquad \hat\theta_i\bigl(\hat X_i-G_i(\hat z)\bigr)=0\quad\text{almost surely}.Eu^i​(X^i​)=Eu^i​(Yi​),θ^i​(X^i​−Gi​(z^))=0almost surely.

Conversely, an attained Lagrangian maximum satisfying the split constraints and these complementarity equations is a primal optimum. The milestone list follows the source's measure multiplier equations (23)–(24), the measure to utility identity (25), Theorem 1's expected concave subgradient characterization, and the converse's weak duality inequality (manuscript, pp. 5, 8–10).

Significance

The result gives a concrete optimality certificate in a program whose constraints compare entire outcome distributions. Each utility multiplier represents the active part of one dominance constraint. Each θi\theta_iθi​ accounts for the almost sure inequality linking a split outcome to the decision. The equalities show exactly where those constraints are complementary, while the Lagrangian maximum compares the proposed solution with all integrable split outcomes. The paper derives a dual problem from the same Lagrangian in its following section (manuscript, p. 11).

The mathematical theorem is proved in the paper. This mission seeks a machine checked version of its definitions, measure identity, subgradient statement, and both directions of Theorem 2. The published second performance definition is reused as a reference; the nonlinear split program and its utility and measure Lagrangians require a development specific to this paper. The 2003 pure dominance mission contains related local drafts, but those items are not published and cannot currently be imported as platform theorems.

Difficulty

The dominance inequality contains a continuum of thresholds for each outcome. A scalar multiplier at one threshold cannot capture the whole constraint, while the dual object for continuous functions on [ai,bi][a_i,b_i][ai​,bi​] is a measure. The split inequality lives in L1\mathcal L^1L1, where the nonnegative cone has empty interior, so an ordinary interior point argument applied to all constraints at once does not match the paper's setting. The source also needs a subgradient of expected concave utility represented by an almost surely selected, essentially bounded random vector; the conclusion is stronger than merely knowing that the expected objective has a deterministic supporting functional (manuscript, pp. 5–9).

Formalization scope

The Lean development keeps the general separable locally convex Hausdorff decision space, the convex set ZZZ, and a finite index type for the mmm dominance constraints. Operators are function representatives with explicit integrability, continuity in L1\mathcal L^1L1, and samplewise concavity and continuity. Almost sure comparisons use the probability measure PPP; the null set for each realization condition precedes the quantifier over decisions. Split outcomes range only over integrable functions, and utility multipliers range over the exact cone U1([ai,bi])\mathcal U_1([a_i,b_i])U1​([ai​,bi​]). The L∞\mathcal L^\inftyL∞ condition includes almost sure strong measurability and essential boundedness. Maxima in Theorems 1 and 2 are attained maxima, expressed by membership and comparison against every competitor, never a real supremum with a default value.

The source prints a strictly positive affine slope in its definition of U1\mathcal U_1U1​, but immediately calls this class a cone and later uses the zero measure. The formalization uses c≥0c\ge0c≥0; with c>0c>0c>0, Theorem 2 is false for a slack dominance constraint. Uniform dominance is expressed as a positive lower bound rather than a real infimum. The measure milestone uses finite nonnegative measures supported on closed intervals, including endpoint atoms. These conditions exclude default zero integrals, an empty interval disguised by an infimum, and a vacuous utility class. Contributions to the measure to utility correspondence, integration identities, and expected concave subgradient infrastructure can be reused beyond this program.

Selected references

  • D. Dentcheva and A. Ruszczyński, Optimality and duality theory for stochastic optimization problems with nonlinear dominance constraints, Mathematical Programming (2004), DOI; revised author manuscript, April 2003.
  • D. Dentcheva and A. Ruszczyński, Optimization with stochastic dominance constraints, manuscript submitted for publication (2002), cited as reference [6] in the 2003 author manuscript.
  • W. Ogryczak and A. Ruszczyński, Dual stochastic dominance and related mean risk models, SIAM Journal on Optimization 13 (2002), DOI.
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CombinatoricsGraph TheoryOperations Research+1·Captain: mikedeng1

Maximal Flow Through a Network II: In an ab-Planar Network Some Chain from Source to Sink Meets Every Cut Exactly OnceResearch Paper

Motivation

The maximum flow problem asks how much of a commodity can be shipped from a source to a sink through a network whose arcs have limited capacities. L. R. Ford, Jr. and D. R. Fulkerson's 1956 paper Maximal Flow Through a Network proved the minimal cut theorem: the largest flow value equals the smallest total capacity of a set of arcs that separates source from sink. That theorem is formalized in the companion mission Maximal Flow Through a Network I.

The second section of the same paper treats a special class of networks, those that remain planar after an arc from source to sink is added. For these networks the paper shows that one particular source–sink chain crosses every minimal separating set exactly once. This structural fact turns the minimal cut theorem into a simple computing procedure: repeatedly push as much flow as possible along such a chain and delete the arcs it saturates. The paper notes that G. Dantzig had conjectured, before the minimal cut theorem was proved, that this procedure yields a maximal flow on planar networks. The same "uppermost path" idea underlies later algorithms for maximum flow in planar graphs with source and sink on a common face (Itai and Shiloach, 1979).

The statement is short and purely combinatorial in its conclusion, but its hypothesis is topological. This mission isolates that theorem.

Setting

A network NNN has a finite set VVV of vertices and a finite set EEE of arcs. Each arc eee joins two distinct end vertices, written tail(e)\mathrm{tail}(e)tail(e) and head(e)\mathrm{head}(e)head(e); arcs carry no direction, and two arcs may join the same pair of vertices. Two distinct vertices are distinguished, the source aaa and the sink bbb, and each arc carries a positive capacity (capacities play no role in the target below).

A chain joining uuu and www is a set CCC of distinct arcs that can be arranged as α1(v0v1),α2(v1v2),…,αk(vk−1vk)\alpha_1(v_0v_1), \alpha_2(v_1v_2), \dots, \alpha_k(v_{k-1}v_k)α1​(v0​v1​),α2​(v1​v2​),…,αk​(vk−1​vk​) with v0=uv_0 = uv0​=u, vk=wv_k = wvk​=w, and the vertices v0,…,vkv_0, \dots, v_kv0​,…,vk​ pairwise distinct; each arc may be traversed in either direction. The empty set is the null chain from uuu to uuu.

A set DDD of arcs is a disconnecting set if every chain joining aaa and bbb contains an arc of DDD. A disconnecting set none of whose proper subsets is disconnecting is a cut.

The network is ab-planar if the graph of NNN, together with one additional arc joining aaa and bbb, can be drawn in the plane without crossings: vertices go to distinct points of R2\mathbb R^2R2; each arc, including the added arc ababab, goes to an injective continuous path between the points of its end vertices; no arc passes through a vertex other than its ends; and two distinct arcs meet only at endpoints of both. In Lean the drawing is the structure ABPlaneDrawing N, and NNN is ab-planar when Nonempty (ABPlaneDrawing N). The section's standing assumption is that no arc of NNN already joins aaa and bbb.

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem 2 (p. 403)

If NNN is ab-planar, no arc of NNN joins aaa and bbb, and some chain joins aaa and bbb, then

∃ T a chain joining a and b  such that  ∣T∩D∣=1  for every cut D of N.\exists\, T \text{ a chain joining } a \text{ and } b \ \text{ such that }\ |T \cap D| = 1 \ \text{ for every cut } D \text{ of } N.∃T a chain joining a and b  such that  ∣T∩D∣=1  for every cut D of N.

This is FordFulkerson56.Planar.ab_planar_exists_chain_meeting_each_cut_once. "Precisely once" is exact cardinality one, neither "at least once" (true of every chain) nor "at most once".

Milestone: a chain meeting a cut in one prescribed arc (proof of Theorem 2, p. 403)

For every network NNN, every cut DDD and every arc α∈D\alpha \in Dα∈D, there is a chain CCC joining aaa and bbb with C∩D={α}C \cap D = \{\alpha\}C∩D={α}. No planarity is involved; the statement is what the minimality of a cut provides to the proof.

Further item: the Fig. 2 example (p. 403)

In the "gas, water, electricity" graph K3,3K_{3,3}K3,3​ with the arc ababab removed, every chain joining aaa and bbb meets some cut in three arcs. This network is not ab-planar, so the example shows that the planarity hypothesis of Theorem 2 cannot be dropped.

Significance

Theorem 2 and the minimal cut theorem together give the paper's procedure for planar networks: if TTT meets every cut once, then imposing a flow kkk on TTT lowers the value of every cut by exactly kkk, so the minimal cut value, and hence the maximal flow value, drops by kkk. Saturated arcs can then be deleted and the step repeated. Without the "exactly once" property the reduction could overshoot the cut structure, and the greedy step would not be justified. The theorem is also one of the earliest instances of the link between planarity and cut structure that later underlies planar duality arguments for minimum cuts.

The result has been known since 1956 and is not open. No machine-checked version is recorded on the platform, and Mathlib, at the pinned revision, has neither planar graphs nor the Jordan curve theorem. A formal proof would be the first formalized statement about source–sink planar networks in this library, and the counterexample item records, as a checkable fact, that the hypothesis is necessary.

Difficulty

The conclusion is combinatorial while the hypothesis is a drawing in R2\mathbb R^2R2. The paper's proof normalises the drawing (the added arc ababab on the outer boundary, the graph in a vertical strip with aaa on the left line and bbb on the right), selects the "top-most" chain from aaa to bbb, and argues that a chain meeting a cut below the top-most chain must cross another such chain. Each of these steps rests on plane topology: the existence of the outer region, the meaning of "top-most", and the fact that two chains with interleaved endpoints on a boundary must intersect, which is a form of the Jordan curve theorem.

The naive purely combinatorial route fails: the analogous statement for arbitrary networks is false (Fig. 2), so any argument has to use the drawing somewhere. Replacing the drawing by a combinatorial embedding (rotation systems, faces) is possible but then requires proving that the two notions agree, which is again Jordan-curve territory.

Formalization scope

Conventions committed to in the Lean statements:

  • Vertices and arcs are finite types V, E with decidable equality. Arcs are undirected, may be parallel, and have two distinct end vertices. Source and sink are distinct, capacities are positive (structure Network).
  • A chain is a Finset E that is the arc set of some arrangement as a simple path (IsChainWalk, IsChain); the null chain is allowed.
  • IsDisconnecting and IsCut quantify over all chains joining source and sink; a cut is a disconnecting set no proper subset of which is disconnecting.
  • ab-planarity is a plane drawing of the graph with the extra arc indexed by none : Option E, with injective Paths in ℝ × ℝ as arcs.

Hypotheses of the goal: hno_ab, the standing assumption of §2 (no arc joins aaa and bbb, p. 403); hconn, that some chain joins aaa and bbb. The second is not stated in the paper; its proof starts from "the chain joining a and b which is top-most", which presupposes one, and without it the statement is false (if aaa and bbb are disconnected, the empty set is a cut and no chain exists).

The drawing structure is satisfiable (a three-vertex path network has an explicit drawing), so the planarity hypothesis is not vacuous; and it covers the added arc ababab and all crossings, so K3,3K_{3,3}K3,3​ minus ababab is not ab-planar and the goal is not refuted by the paper's own example. A formalization that dropped the arc ababab from the drawing, or quantified over disconnecting sets instead of cuts, would state a false theorem and is ruled out.

A complete development needs basic plane topology for paths in R2\mathbb R^2R2 (a Jordan-curve-type separation lemma for simple closed curves, or an equivalent statement about crossing paths in a strip), together with combinatorial lemmas about chains (concatenation and shortcutting of chains at a common vertex). The topological lemmas are reusable well beyond this mission. Proofs through a combinatorial embedding are welcome, provided the equivalence with ABPlaneDrawing is proved.

Selected references

  • L. R. Ford, Jr. and D. R. Fulkerson, Maximal Flow Through a Network, Canadian Journal of Mathematics 8 (1956), 399–404. https://doi.org/10.4153/CJM-1956-045-5
  • H. Whitney, Non-separable and planar graphs, Transactions of the American Mathematical Society 34 (1932), 339–362. https://doi.org/10.1090/S0002-9947-1932-1501641-2
  • A. Itai and Y. Shiloach, Maximum flow in planar networks, SIAM Journal on Computing 8 (1979), 135–150. https://doi.org/10.1137/0208012
  • H. Whitney, Planar graphs, Fundamenta Mathematicae 21 (1933), 73–84. https://doi.org/10.4064/fm-21-1-73-84
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AnalysisDynamical SystemsOperations Research·Captain: mikedeng1

The Łojasiewicz Inequality for Nonsmooth Subanalytic Functions with Applications to Subgradient Dynamical Systems III: Bounded Subgradient Trajectories Converge with Łojasiewicz RatesResearch Paper

Motivation

Many optimization algorithms are discretizations of a continuous-time descent: the gradient flow x˙=−∇f(x)\dot x=-\nabla f(x)x˙=−∇f(x) for smooth objectives, and its nonsmooth analogue, the subgradient dynamical system, for objectives with kinks or constraints. A basic question about such a flow is whether a bounded trajectory actually converges, rather than merely accumulating on a continuum of critical points, and how fast. For real-analytic fff this was settled by Łojasiewicz through his gradient inequality, which forces bounded gradient trajectories to have finite length. Without some such structure the answer is negative: there are smooth functions whose bounded gradient trajectories spiral forever around a circle of critical points.

Bolte, Daniilidis and Lewis (SIAM J. Optim. 17 (2007) 1205–1223) extended the Łojasiewicz inequality to nonsmooth subanalytic functions, possibly taking the value +∞+\infty+∞, by replacing ∥∇f∥\|\nabla f\|∥∇f∥ with the least norm of a limiting subgradient. Section 4 of the paper turns this inequality into convergence results for subgradient trajectories of convex and lower-C2C^2C2 functions. This mission formalizes that section. The same "Łojasiewicz argument" later became the Kurdyka–Łojasiewicz framework behind convergence proofs for proximal, alternating and splitting algorithms (Attouch–Bolte 2009; Bolte–Sabach–Teboulle 2014).

Timeline. Łojasiewicz (1963, 1984) proved the gradient inequality for real-analytic functions and finite length of bounded analytic gradient trajectories. Kurdyka (Ann. Inst. Fourier 1998) extended it to C1C^1C1 functions definable in an o-minimal structure. Kurdyka, Mostowski and Parusiński (2000) proved Thom's gradient conjecture for analytic functions. Bolte, Daniilidis and Lewis (2007) gave the nonsmooth subanalytic version and the trajectory results formalized here.

Setting

Let f:Rn→R∪{+∞}f:\mathbb R^n\to\mathbb R\cup\{+\infty\}f:Rn→R∪{+∞} with domain dom⁡f={x:f(x)<+∞}\operatorname{dom} f=\{x: f(x)<+\infty\}domf={x:f(x)<+∞}. The Fréchet subdifferential ∂^f(x)\hat\partial f(x)∂^f(x) is the set of x∗x^*x∗ with lim inf⁡y→x, y≠x(f(y)−f(x)−⟨x∗,y−x⟩)/∥y−x∥≥0\liminf_{y\to x,\,y\neq x}\big(f(y)-f(x)-\langle x^*,y-x\rangle\big)/\|y-x\|\ge0liminfy→x,y=x​(f(y)−f(x)−⟨x∗,y−x⟩)/∥y−x∥≥0. The limiting subdifferential ∂f(x)\partial f(x)∂f(x) is the set of limits of xk∗∈∂^f(xk)x_k^*\in\hat\partial f(x_k)xk∗​∈∂^f(xk​) with xk→xx_k\to xxk​→x and f(xk)→f(x)f(x_k)\to f(x)f(xk​)→f(x). The nonsmooth slope is mf(x)=inf⁡{∥x∗∥:x∗∈∂f(x)}m_f(x)=\inf\{\|x^*\|: x^*\in\partial f(x)\}mf​(x)=inf{∥x∗∥:x∗∈∂f(x)}, equal to +∞+\infty+∞ when ∂f(x)=∅\partial f(x)=\emptyset∂f(x)=∅, and crit⁡f={x:0∈∂f(x)}\operatorname{crit} f=\{x: 0\in\partial f(x)\}critf={x:0∈∂f(x)} is the set of critical points.

The standing assumptions of Section 4 are:

  • (H1)(\mathcal H1)(H1) fff is either lower semicontinuous and convex, or lower-C2C^2C2 with dom⁡f=Rn\operatorname{dom} f=\mathbb R^ndomf=Rn. Lower-C2C^2C2 means that near each point f=max⁡s∈SF(⋅,s)f=\max_{s\in S}F(\cdot,s)f=maxs∈S​F(⋅,s) for a compact space SSS and a jointly continuous FFF with jointly continuous first and second xxx-derivatives.
  • (H2)(\mathcal H2)(H2) fff is somewhere finite and bounded from below.
  • (H3)(\mathcal H3)(H3) fff is subanalytic: its graph is locally the projection of a bounded set defined by finitely many real-analytic equalities and strict inequalities.

A trajectory of the subgradient system (G)(\mathcal G)(G) is an absolutely continuous curve x:[0,T)→Rnx:[0,T)\to\mathbb R^nx:[0,T)→Rn, T∈(0,+∞]T\in(0,+\infty]T∈(0,+∞], with x˙(t)+∂f(x(t))∋0\dot x(t)+\partial f(x(t))\ni0x˙(t)+∂f(x(t))∋0 for almost every ttt and ∂f(x(t))≠∅\partial f(x(t))\neq\emptyset∂f(x(t))=∅ for every ttt. It is maximal if it admits no extension to a longer interval. The Łojasiewicz inequality holds around aaa with exponent θ\thetaθ if ∣f−f(a)∣θ/mf|f-f(a)|^\theta/m_f∣f−f(a)∣θ/mf​ is bounded near aaa, with 00=10^0=100=1 and ∞/∞=0/0=0\infty/\infty=0/0=0∞/∞=0/0=0. A Łojasiewicz exponent at a∈dom⁡fa\in\operatorname{dom} fa∈domf is any such θ∈[0,1)\theta\in[0,1)θ∈[0,1).

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem 4.7

Under (H1)(\mathcal H1)(H1)–(H3)(\mathcal H3)(H3), every bounded maximal trajectory xxx is defined on [0,+∞)[0,+\infty)[0,+∞) and converges to a critical point aaa. For every Łojasiewicz exponent θ\thetaθ at aaa there are k,k′>0k,k'>0k,k′>0 and t0≥0t_0\ge0t0​≥0 such that for t≥t0t\ge t_0t≥t0​

∥x(t)−a∥≤{k (t+1)−1−θ2θ−1,θ∈(12,1),k e−k′t,θ=12,\|x(t)-a\|\le \begin{cases} k\,(t+1)^{-\frac{1-\theta}{2\theta-1}}, & \theta\in(\tfrac12,1),\\[2pt] k\,e^{-k't}, & \theta=\tfrac12,\end{cases}∥x(t)−a∥≤{k(t+1)−2θ−11−θ​,ke−k′t,​θ∈(21​,1),θ=21​,​

and for θ∈[0,12)\theta\in[0,\tfrac12)θ∈[0,21​), x(t)=ax(t)=ax(t)=a for all large ttt. The constants are existential, so the goal survives any later sharpening of them.

Milestones

  1. Corollary 4.1(i): for almost every ttt, ddtf(x(t))=⟨x˙(t),x∗⟩\frac{d}{dt}f(x(t))=\langle\dot x(t),x^*\rangledtd​f(x(t))=⟨x˙(t),x∗⟩ for every x∗∈∂f(x(t))x^*\in\partial f(x(t))x∗∈∂f(x(t)).
  2. Corollary 4.1(iii): every trajectory extends to a maximal one on [0,+∞)[0,+\infty)[0,+∞) with x˙∈L2\dot x\in L^2x˙∈L2.
  3. Corollary 4.2: ∥x˙(t)∥=mf(x(t))\|\dot x(t)\|=m_f(x(t))∥x˙(t)∥=mf​(x(t)) and ddtf(x(t))=−mf(x(t))2\frac{d}{dt}f(x(t))=-m_f(x(t))^2dtd​f(x(t))=−mf​(x(t))2 almost everywhere.
  4. Inequality (20): the Łojasiewicz inequality holds around every point of dom⁡∂f\operatorname{dom}\partial fdom∂f.
  5. Theorem 4.5: bounded maximal trajectories have finite length ∫0∞∥x˙∥<∞\int_0^\infty\|\dot x\|<\infty∫0∞​∥x˙∥<∞ and converge to a critical point.
  6. The tail bound ∫t∞∥x˙∥≤c1−θ(f(x(t))−f(a))1−θ\int_t^\infty\|\dot x\|\le\frac{c}{1-\theta}(f(x(t))-f(a))^{1-\theta}∫t∞​∥x˙∥≤1−θc​(f(x(t))−f(a))1−θ.
  7. Inequality (27): ∫t∞∥x˙∥≤c1/θ1−θ∥x˙(t)∥(1−θ)/θ\int_t^\infty\|\dot x\|\le\frac{c^{1/\theta}}{1-\theta}\|\dot x(t)\|^{(1-\theta)/\theta}∫t∞​∥x˙∥≤1−θc1/θ​∥x˙(t)∥(1−θ)/θ for almost every large ttt.

Significance

Theorem 4.5 says that for convex or lower-C2C^2C2 subanalytic objectives, including constrained problems through indicator functions of subanalytic sets, the subgradient flow never oscillates indefinitely: bounded trajectories converge to one critical point. Theorem 4.7 adds rates that depend only on the Łojasiewicz exponent at the limit: exponential at θ=12\theta=\tfrac12θ=21​, polynomial above it, finite time below it. These are continuous-time templates for the convergence analyses of proximal and splitting methods under the Kurdyka–Łojasiewicz property.

On the formalization side, the results are proved on paper but, to our knowledge, not formalized in any proof assistant. A development would provide reusable infrastructure: a Lean notion of a trajectory of a differential inclusion on [0,T)[0,T)[0,T), a chain rule for f∘xf\circ xf∘x along absolutely continuous curves, and a comparison lemma for the differential inequality σ˙≤−Lσα\dot\sigma\le-L\sigma^\alphaσ˙≤−Lσα. The analysis of Section 4 uses subanalyticity only through inequality (20), so Theorems 4.5 and 4.7 can be attacked with (20) as an imported milestone, independently of the subanalytic geometry.

Difficulty

Compactness gives cluster points of a bounded trajectory, and the decrease of fff gives convergence of f(x(t))f(x(t))f(x(t)). Neither gives convergence of x(t)x(t)x(t). The usual first idea, that ∫0∞∥x˙∥2<∞\int_0^\infty\|\dot x\|^2<\infty∫0∞​∥x˙∥2<∞ forces convergence, fails, since square-integrable speed allows infinite length. The difficulty is to control ∫∥x˙∥\int\|\dot x\|∫∥x˙∥ rather than ∫∥x˙∥2\int\|\dot x\|^2∫∥x˙∥2. That needs a lower bound on the slope in terms of the function gap near the cluster point, which is exactly what (20) supplies, plus a trapping argument showing the tail of the trajectory stays in the ball where (20) holds. In the nonsmooth setting the chain rule itself is nontrivial: f∘xf\circ xf∘x is differentiable almost everywhere with derivative ⟨x˙,x∗⟩\langle\dot x,x^*\rangle⟨x˙,x∗⟩ for every x∗∈∂f(x(t))x^*\in\partial f(x(t))x∗∈∂f(x(t)), which relies on ∂f=∂^f\partial f=\hat\partial f∂f=∂^f for convex and lower-C2C^2C2 functions. Global existence on [0,+∞)[0,+\infty)[0,+∞) (Corollary 4.1(iii)) must also be established before any asymptotic statement makes sense.

Formalization scope

Space Rn\mathbb R^nRn is EuclideanSpace ℝ (Fin n). Functions take values in EReal; "bounded from below" by a real number excludes −∞-\infty−∞. The limiting subdifferential is the published NonconvexSplitting.Shared.LimitingSubdiff, and convexity is the published MoreauProx.Characterization.EConvex (convex epigraph). The slope mfm_fmf​ is valued in [0,+∞][0,+\infty][0,+∞]. The Łojasiewicz inequality is encoded as ∣f(y)−f(a)∣θ≤C∥v∥|f(y)-f(a)|^\theta\le C\|v\|∣f(y)−f(a)∣θ≤C∥v∥ for yyy near aaa and every v∈∂f(y)v\in\partial f(y)v∈∂f(y), which is the bounded ratio under the paper's conventions. Times are real numbers and T∈[0,+∞]T\in[0,+\infty]T∈[0,+∞]. Curves are functions R→Rn\mathbb R\to\mathbb R^nR→Rn whose values outside [0,T)[0,T)[0,T) are irrelevant. "Absolutely continuous on [0,T)[0,T)[0,T)" means absolutely continuous on every compact [0,b]⊆[0,T)[0,b]\subseteq[0,T)[0,b]⊆[0,T). Velocities appear only "for almost every ttt". Lengths are lower Lebesgue integrals ∫−∥x˙∥\int^-\|\dot x\|∫−∥x˙∥ in [0,+∞][0,+\infty][0,+∞], never Bochner integrals (which would vanish for a non-integrable speed).

Two trivializations are ruled out. Maximality is a hypothesis and T=+∞T=+\inftyT=+∞ is a conclusion: assuming T=+∞T=+\inftyT=+∞ would narrow the theorem, and dropping maximality would make it false. Rates are claimed for every Łojasiewicz exponent at the limit, not for one chosen exponent. Corollary 4.1(iii) is stated as "defined on R+\mathbb R_+R+​ with x^˙∈L2\dot{\hat x}\in L^2x^˙∈L2", because the printed x^∈W1,2(R+)\hat x\in W^{1,2}(\mathbb R_+)x^∈W1,2(R+​) would fail for any trajectory with nonzero limit.

Needed infrastructure: absolutely continuous curves and their a.e. derivatives (Mathlib's AbsolutelyContinuousOnInterval), chain rules for convex and lower-C2C^2C2 functions, existence and uniqueness for monotone differential inclusions (Brézis), and an ODE comparison principle. Contributions to any of these are reusable well beyond this mission.

Selected references

  • J. Bolte, A. Daniilidis, A. Lewis, The Łojasiewicz inequality for nonsmooth subanalytic functions with applications to subgradient dynamical systems, SIAM J. Optim. 17(4) (2007) 1205–1223. https://doi.org/10.1137/050644641
  • H. Brézis, Opérateurs maximaux monotones et semi-groupes de contractions dans les espaces de Hilbert, North-Holland, 1973.
  • J.-P. Aubin, A. Cellina, Differential Inclusions, Springer, 1984. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-642-69512-4
  • R. T. Rockafellar, R. J.-B. Wets, Variational Analysis, Springer, 1998. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-642-02431-3
  • K. Kurdyka, On gradients of functions definable in o-minimal structures, Ann. Inst. Fourier 48 (1998) 769–783. https://doi.org/10.5802/aif.1638
  • H. Attouch, J. Bolte, On the convergence of the proximal algorithm for nonsmooth functions involving analytic features, Math. Program. 116 (2009) 5–16. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10107-007-0133-5
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Operations ResearchProbabilityStatistics·Captain: mikedeng1

Asymptotic Behavior of Statistical Estimators and of Optimal Solutions of Stochastic Optimization Problems: Optimal Solutions Under Estimated Distributions Are Strongly ConsistentResearch Paper

Motivation

Many estimation procedures in statistics, and most stochastic optimization models in operations research, have the same shape: a decision or parameter x∈Rnx\in\mathbb R^nx∈Rn is chosen to minimize an expected loss Ef(x)=∫f(x,ξ) P(dξ)Ef(x)=\int f(x,\xi)\,P(d\xi)Ef(x)=∫f(x,ξ)P(dξ) under a distribution PPP that is not known. In practice PPP is replaced by an estimate PνP^\nuPν built from the information available at stage ν\nuν (an empirical measure, a smoothed or parametric fit, a Bayesian posterior), and the minimizer of the estimated problem is used in place of the true one. The basic question is whether this is justified: do the estimated solutions converge to a true solution, and the estimated optimal values to the true optimal value, as information accumulates?

For maximum likelihood this is Wald's consistency theorem (Wald 1949); Huber extended it to M-estimators under non-standard conditions (Huber 1967). Both settings are unconstrained, or constrained to an open set, and assume finite-valued criteria. Constrained least squares, L1L^1L1 and Huber regression with inequality constraints, variance-component models with Heywood cases, and two-stage stochastic programs with recourse all lead instead to criteria that take the value +∞+\infty+∞ off a closed feasible set and are only lower semicontinuous in xxx.

J. Dupačová and R. Wets (IIASA WP-86-41, 1986; journal version Ann. Statist. 16 (1988)) proved consistency in this generality by combining epi-convergence of functions with the theory of measurable multifunctions and normal integrands. This mission formalizes their §3.

Setting

Ξ\XiΞ is a Polish space with its Borel σ\sigmaσ-field and PPP is a probability measure on it. The integrand is f:Rn×Ξ→(−∞,∞]f:\mathbb R^n\times\Xi\to(-\infty,\infty]f:Rn×Ξ→(−∞,∞], and the true problem is to minimize

Ef(x)=∫Ξf(x,ξ) P(dξ),Ef(x)=\int_\Xi f(x,\xi)\,P(d\xi),Ef(x)=∫Ξ​f(x,ξ)P(dξ),

with the convention that Ef(x)=+∞Ef(x)=+\inftyEf(x)=+∞ whenever ξ↦f(x,ξ)\xi\mapsto f(x,\xi)ξ↦f(x,ξ) is not bounded above by a summable function. The effective domain of a function h:Rn→[−∞,∞]h:\mathbb R^n\to[-\infty,\infty]h:Rn→[−∞,∞] is dom⁡h={x:h(x)<∞}\operatorname{dom}h=\{x: h(x)<\infty\}domh={x:h(x)<∞}, and argmin⁡h={x:h(x)=inf⁡h}\operatorname{argmin}h=\{x: h(x)=\inf h\}argminh={x:h(x)=infh}.

Information arrives on a probability space (Z,F,μ)(Z,\mathcal F,\mu)(Z,F,μ) with an increasing sequence of σ\sigmaσ-fields F1⊆F2⊆⋯⊆F\mathcal F^1\subseteq\mathcal F^2\subseteq\dots\subseteq\mathcal FF1⊆F2⊆⋯⊆F. Each sample ζ∈Z\zeta\in Zζ∈Z yields probability measures Pν(⋅,ζ)P^\nu(\cdot,\zeta)Pν(⋅,ζ) on Ξ\XiΞ, and ζ↦Pν(A,ζ)\zeta\mapsto P^\nu(A,\zeta)ζ↦Pν(A,ζ) is Fν\mathcal F^\nuFν-measurable for every Borel AAA: the estimate at stage ν\nuν uses only stage-ν\nuν information. The estimated problem minimizes

Eνf(x,ζ)=∫Ξf(x,ξ) Pν(dξ,ζ).E^\nu f(x,\zeta)=\int_\Xi f(x,\xi)\,P^\nu(d\xi,\zeta).Eνf(x,ζ)=∫Ξ​f(x,ξ)Pν(dξ,ζ).

A sequence gνg^\nugν epi-converges to ggg if, at every xxx, lim inf⁡gν(xν)≥g(x)\liminf g^\nu(x^\nu)\ge g(x)liminfgν(xν)≥g(x) along every sequence xν→xx^\nu\to xxν→x, and lim sup⁡gν(xν)≤g(x)\limsup g^\nu(x^\nu)\le g(x)limsupgν(xν)≤g(x) along some sequence xν→xx^\nu\to xxν→x.

The standing hypotheses are Assumption 3.4: dom⁡f=S×Ξ\operatorname{dom}f=S\times\Xidomf=S×Ξ with SSS closed and nonempty; f(x,⋅)f(x,\cdot)f(x,⋅) is continuous for x∈Sx\in Sx∈S; f(⋅,ξ)f(\cdot,\xi)f(⋅,ξ) is lower semicontinuous; and fff is locally lower Lipschitz on SSS with a bounded continuous modulus β(ξ)\beta(\xi)β(ξ). Assumption 3.5 asks that, for μ\muμ-almost every ζ\zetaζ, Pν(⋅,ζ)P^\nu(\cdot,\zeta)Pν(⋅,ζ) converge in distribution to PPP, that ∣f(x,⋅)∣|f(x,\cdot)|∣f(x,⋅)∣ be uniformly tight along P=P0,P1,…P=P^0,P^1,\dotsP=P0,P1,… for each x∈Sx\in Sx∈S, and that ∫inf⁡xf(x,ξ) Pν(dξ,ζ)>−∞\int\inf_x f(x,\xi)\,P^\nu(d\xi,\zeta)>-\infty∫infx​f(x,ξ)Pν(dξ,ζ)>−∞ for all ν\nuν.

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem 3.9, "In particular" (pp. 21–22)

Let D⊆RnD\subseteq\mathbb R^nD⊆Rn be compact, suppose (argmin⁡Eνf)∩D≠∅(\operatorname{argmin}E^\nu f)\cap D\neq\emptyset(argminEνf)∩D=∅ μ\muμ-a.s. for every ν\nuν, and suppose {x∗}=argmin⁡Ef∩D\{x^*\}=\operatorname{argmin}Ef\cap D{x∗}=argminEf∩D. Then there are Fν\mathcal F^\nuFν-measurable selections xνx^\nuxν of argmin⁡Eνf\operatorname{argmin}E^\nu fargminEνf with

xν(ζ)→x∗andinf⁡Eνf(⋅,ζ)→inf⁡Effor μ-almost every ζ.x^\nu(\zeta)\to x^*\quad\text{and}\quad \inf E^\nu f(\cdot,\zeta)\to\inf Ef\qquad\text{for }\mu\text{-almost every }\zeta .xν(ζ)→x∗andinfEνf(⋅,ζ)→infEffor μ-almost every ζ.

The goal does not assume that EfEfEf has a unique global minimizer, and it does not assume convexity.

Milestones

In attack order:

  • Proposition 3.3: epi-convergence gives lim sup⁡(inf⁡gν)≤inf⁡g\limsup(\inf g^\nu)\le\inf glimsup(infgν)≤infg, limits of minimizers are minimizers, and the minimum is attained in the closure of a bounded DDD.
  • Lemma 3.6: almost surely, EfEfEf and every EνfE^\nu fEνf are proper and l.s.c., with domain SSS.
  • Theorem 3.7: almost surely, EνfE^\nu fEνf epi-converges and converges pointwise to EfEfEf.
  • Theorem 3.8: almost surely, the epigraphs of EνfE^\nu fEνf are closed, and they depend Fν\mathcal F^\nuFν-measurably on ζ\zetaζ.
  • Theorem 3.9:
    • (3.14) lim sup⁡(inf⁡Eνf)≤inf⁡Ef\limsup(\inf E^\nu f)\le\inf Eflimsup(infEνf)≤infEf a.s.;
    • (i) cluster points of estimated minimizers minimize EfEfEf;
    • (ii) ζ↦argmin⁡Eνf(⋅,ζ)\zeta\mapsto\operatorname{argmin}E^\nu f(\cdot,\zeta)ζ↦argminEνf(⋅,ζ) is closed-valued and Fν\mathcal F^\nuFν-measurable.
  • Proposition 3.1: the measurable selection theorem.

Significance

The result separates two things: the statistical input, which is only convergence in distribution of PνP^\nuPν plus a tightness condition, and the variational output, which is convergence of optimal values and solutions. It therefore applies to any estimator PνP^\nuPν that converges weakly almost surely: empirical measures, kernel estimates, parametric fits. It also covers constrained and nonsmooth problems: the feasible set enters through f=+∞f=+\inftyf=+∞ off SSS, and only lower semicontinuity in xxx is required. Asymptotic distribution results for constrained estimators, such as the second part of the same paper and the subsequent literature on sample average approximation, start from this consistency.

The theorem is proved on paper. To the best of current knowledge none of it is machine-checked. Mathlib has weak convergence of probability measures, lower semicontinuity and extended-real integrals. It does not have epi-convergence, Effros-measurable multifunctions, normal integrands or the Kuratowski–Ryll-Nardzewski selection theorem. A formal proof produces these as reusable components. It also has to supply the details that the paper's proof of Theorem 3.8 leaves as a sketch.

Difficulty

Pointwise convergence Eνf(x)→Ef(x)E^\nu f(x)\to Ef(x)Eνf(x)→Ef(x) is not enough to move minimizers to the limit, and uniform convergence fails because fff is +∞+\infty+∞ off SSS and need not be bounded. Epi-convergence is the right notion. Proving it needs a liminf inequality along moving points xν→xx^\nu\to xxν→x under moving measures PνP^\nuPν. That combines Fatou's lemma, the lower Lipschitz bound and the tightness condition, and the integrands are extended-real-valued, so care is needed.

The second difficulty is measurability. The exceptional null set lies in F\mathcal FF but not in Fν\mathcal F^\nuFν, so "Fν\mathcal F^\nuFν-measurable" has to be understood on a full-measure set in the trace σ\sigmaσ-field. The paper's argument for Theorem 3.8 appeals to continuity of P↦epi⁡EPfP\mapsto\operatorname{epi}E_PfP↦epiEP​f in the epi-topology, and it remarks itself that Theorem 3.7 gives this only along sequences satisfying Assumption 3.5. A solver will have to rebuild this step, for example through the normal-integrand structure of EνfE^\nu fEνf.

Formalization scope

  • Rn\mathbb R^nRn is EuclideanSpace ℝ (Fin n) with its Euclidean norm.
  • Ξ\XiΞ is a Polish space with its Borel σ\sigmaσ-algebra. This is exactly a closed subset of a Polish space with the relative Borel field.
  • fff is EReal-valued. Every expectation is the mission's expect: +∞+\infty+∞ when ∫f+=∞\int f^+=\infty∫f+=∞, and ∫f+−∫f−\int f^+-\int f^-∫f+−∫f− otherwise, both computed as Lebesgue integrals of [0,∞][0,\infty][0,∞]-valued functions. A Bochner integral, which would assign 000 to non-integrable functions, is never used for EfEfEf or EνfE^\nu fEνf.
  • The sample index is shifted: Lean's Pν k and 𝔽 k are the paper's Pk+1P^{k+1}Pk+1 and Fk+1\mathcal F^{k+1}Fk+1, and P=P0P=P^0P=P0 is a separate argument.
  • Infima, lim inf⁡\liminfliminf and lim sup⁡\limsuplimsup are taken in [−∞,∞][-\infty,\infty][−∞,∞].
  • Measurability on the full-measure set Z0Z_0Z0​ uses the trace σ\sigmaσ-field.
  • The selections in the goal are total, Fν\mathcal F^\nuFν-measurable maps Z→RnZ\to\mathbb R^nZ→Rn that select almost surely. This is equivalent to the paper's maps Z0→RnZ_0\to\mathbb R^nZ0​→Rn.
  • "Random l.s.c. function" in Theorem 3.8 is encoded by the equivalent conditions (3.4i)–(3.4ii): nonempty, closed and measurable epigraphs.
  • Lower Lipschitz (3.10) is written additively.
  • The hypothesis that Ξ\XiΞ is the support of PPP is omitted. It is unused in §3, and omitting it strengthens every statement.
  • Nothing beyond the page is assumed: no convexity, no compact SSS, no bounded fff, no unique minimizer, no i.i.d. sampling, no empirical PνP^\nuPν, no completeness of μ\muμ or Fν\mathcal F^\nuFν.

The hypotheses are not vacuous. A sorry-free check verifies all of them, including those of the goal, for f(x,ξ)=∥x∥2f(x,\xi)=\|x\|^2f(x,ξ)=∥x∥2 with Dirac measures. Defining the expectation through a Bochner integral, or dropping S≠∅S\neq\emptysetS=∅ (which makes every argmin⁡\operatorname{argmin}argmin all of Rn\mathbb R^nRn), would trivialize or change the statements; the definitions above rule both out.

Contributions are welcome on any milestone. Proposition 3.1 (Kuratowski–Ryll-Nardzewski for Rm\mathbb R^mRm-valued multifunctions) and Proposition 3.3 (deterministic epi-convergence facts) are independent of the probabilistic setting and reusable beyond this mission.

Selected references

  • J. Dupačová, R. Wets, Asymptotic Behavior of Statistical Estimators and Optimal Solutions for Stochastic Optimization Problems, IIASA Working Paper WP-86-41, 1986. https://pure.iiasa.ac.at/id/eprint/2818/ — journal version: Ann. Statist. 16(4), 1517–1549, 1988. https://doi.org/10.1214/aos/1176351052
  • A. Wald, Note on the consistency of the maximum likelihood estimate, Ann. Math. Statist. 20, 595–601, 1949. https://doi.org/10.1214/aoms/1177729938
  • P. J. Huber, The behavior of maximum likelihood estimates under nonstandard conditions, Proc. Fifth Berkeley Symp. Math. Statist. Probab. 1, 221–233, 1967. https://projecteuclid.org/euclid.bsmsp/1200512988
  • R. T. Rockafellar, R. J.-B. Wets, Variational Analysis, Springer, 1998 (Ch. 7 epi-convergence; Ch. 14 measurable multifunctions and normal integrands). https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-642-02431-3
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