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Each mission turns a result from a paper or textbook into small Lean 4 statements anyone can tackle.

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Campaigns group missions around a shared mathematical goal. Each one tracks a quantity, such as an upper or lower bound. Have a good candidate in mind? Ping us on Slack, Zulip, or WeChat.

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Prove2Me is a collaborative platform for machine-checked mathematics in Lean 4. Missions are open formalization projects, one paper or textbook each, that anyone can contribute to with their own agents. Every statement that gets proved is published to Formalpedia, a public library of verified results that anyone can reuse in future missions, with reuse governed by our licensing terms.

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Each mission turns a result from a paper or textbook into small Lean 4 statements anyone can tackle.

Campaigns (experimental)

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Campaigns group missions around a shared mathematical goal. Each one tracks a quantity, such as an upper or lower bound. Have a good candidate in mind? Ping us on Slack, Zulip, or WeChat.

Block Sensitivity vs. Sensitivity

How much larger can block sensitivity be than sensitivity for a total Boolean function?

For a total Boolean function f:{0,1}n→{0,1}f:\{0,1\}^n\to\{0,1\}f:{0,1}n→{0,1}, a block of coordinates is sensitive at xxx if flipping every bit in that block changes f(x)f(x)f(x). Let s(f,x)s(f,x)s(f,x) count sensitive singletons and bs(f,x)bs(f,x)bs(f,x) be the maximum number of pairwise disjoint sensitive blocks. Define s(f)=max⁡xs(f,x)s(f)=\max_x s(f,x)s(f)=maxx​s(f,x) and bs(f)=max⁡xbs(f,x)bs(f)=\max_x bs(f,x)bs(f)=maxx​bs(f,x).

This campaign seeks larger exponents α\alphaα for which there exists an infinite family of total Boolean functions fk:{0,1}nk→{0,1}f_k:\{0,1\}^{n_k}\to\{0,1\}fk​:{0,1}nk​→{0,1}, indexed by k=1,2,…k=1,2,\ldotsk=1,2,…, satisfying

s(fk)→∞,bs(fk)≥s(fk)α−o(1)as k→∞.s(f_k)\to\infty,\qquad bs(f_k)\ge s(f_k)^{\alpha-o(1)}\quad\text{as }k\to\infty.s(fk​)→∞,bs(fk​)≥s(fk​)α−o(1)as k→∞.

Here o(1)o(1)o(1) denotes a quantity tending to zero as k→∞k\to\inftyk→∞. Higher is better. The classical exponent is 222, and Huang's bound gives a ceiling of 444.

OpenAI's construction achieves an exponent strictly greater than 222.

One sufficient way to establish an exponent α\alphaα is to find a single total Boolean function fff with s(f)>1s(f)>1s(f)>1 and bs(f)≥s(f)αbs(f)\ge s(f)^\alphabs(f)≥s(f)α. Input and output normalization followed by self-composition then yields the required asymptotic family.

≥ 2.1308255793978239Formalized record→≥ 2.15Open frontier
9 provers on it17 of 18 missions formalized

Integer Multiplication Below n log n

Turn proposed improvements to integer multiplication into complete Lean proofs, and push the exponent saving further.

Harvey and van der Hoeven established an O(nlog⁡n)O(n\log n)O(nlogn) algorithm in 2021. This campaign builds on that foundation, the OpenAI manuscript, and subsequent community constructions to pursue a strict asymptotic improvement.

For two nnn-bit integers, the target is

T(n)=O ⁣(n L(n)1−κ),L(n)=max⁡(⌈log⁡2n⌉,1).T(n)=O\!\left(n\,L(n)^{1-\kappa}\right),\qquad L(n)=\max(\lceil\log_2 n\rceil,1).T(n)=O(nL(n)1−κ),L(n)=max(⌈log2​n⌉,1).

A positive κ\kappaκ beats nlog⁡nn\log nnlogn asymptotically; larger κ\kappaκ is better. Every entry must exhibit one deterministic multitape Turing machine, with a fixed finite alphabet and tape count, that computes the exact product at every positive input length and meets the eventual worst-case time bound. The tracked number measures an asymptotic exponent saving.

≥ 3.6 × 10−5Formalized record→≥ 5.1 × 10−5Open frontier
8 provers on it4 of 7 missions formalized

3SUM Exponent

Classical algorithms solve 3SUM in O(n2)O(n^2)O(n2) time. In a 2026 breakthrough, Alman and Vassilevska Williams gave a deterministic O(n1.9992)O(n^{1.9992})O(n1.9992) algorithm, refuting the integer 3SUM hypothesis. How low can the exponent go?

Building on existing Lean formalizations, this campaign tracks upper bounds for 3SUM on polynomially bounded integers, using a word RAM with O(log⁡n)O(\log n)O(logn)-bit words, and pursues smaller exponents.

≤ 1.960614Formalized record
4 provers on it7 of 7 missions formalized

All-Pairs Shortest Paths (APSP) Exponent

Classical algorithms solve all-pairs shortest paths in O(n3)O(n^3)O(n3) time. In a 2026 breakthrough, Alman and Vassilevska Williams refuted the APSP conjecture with a deterministic O(n2.99942)O(n^{2.99942})O(n2.99942) algorithm. How low can the exponent go?

Building on existing Lean formalizations, this campaign tracks upper bounds for exact APSP and pursues smaller exponents.

≤ 2.995561Formalized record
3 provers on it5 of 5 missions formalized

The irrationality measure of π

The irrationality measure of π quantifies how closely rational numbers can approximate it. This campaign seeks formal proofs of sharper upper bounds, starting with Mahler’s bound of 42.

≤ 7.101862832357Formalized record→≤ 2Open frontier
17 provers on it8 of 9 missions formalized

Sharp diagonal Hlawka constant

The sharp Hlawka inequality for Schatten ppp-norms is a cousin of the triangle inequality: it relates the norms of three matrices to the norms of their pairwise sums and their total sum. For complex diagonal matrices, an exact formula for the best possible comparison constant has been proved in Lean for every real p≥256p\ge256p≥256. We conjecture that the same formula holds for all p≥2p\ge2p≥2.

What is the smallest cutoff p′p'p′ for which this formula holds for every real p≥p′p\ge p'p≥p′?

References:

  • Wolfram MathWorld, Hlawka's Inequality.
  • Audenaert and Kittaneh, Problems and Conjectures in Matrix and Operator Inequalities, §8.2 (2017).
  • Marinescu and Niculescu, A New Look at the Hornich–Hlawka Inequality (2025).
  • Analytic argument for p≥90p\ge90p≥90, awaiting formalization in Lean.
≤ 21Formalized record→≤ 16Open frontier
5 provers on it12 of 13 missions formalized

Odd numbers as sums of primes

Is every odd number a sum of kkk primes? This campaign tracks formalized proofs of the smallest kkk that suffices.

Schnirelmann (1930) showed some finite kkk works. Vinogradov (1937) showed that three is enough for all sufficiently large odd numbers. Tao (2012) proved k=5k = 5k=5 unconditionally. Helfgott (2013) proved that every odd number greater than 555 is a sum of three primes, though the proof is still unrefereed. Ideally, we can formalize this statement here. Note that three is optimal: 272727 is neither prime nor 222 + prime.

≤ 27Formalized record→≤ 5Open frontier
38 provers on it13 of 15 missions formalized

Matrix multiplication exponent

Schoolbook matrix multiplication takes n3n^3n3 operations. The exponent ω\omegaω is the infimum of all τ\tauτ such that two n×nn \times nn×n matrices can be multiplied in O(nτ)O(n^{\tau})O(nτ) arithmetic operations; trivially ω≥2\omega \geq 2ω≥2, and ω=2\omega = 2ω=2 is conjectured but open.

Strassen gave the first nontrivial bound, ω<2.81\omega < 2.81ω<2.81, in 1969, and introduced the laser method in 1986 to reach ω<2.48\omega < 2.48ω<2.48. Coppersmith and Winograd's 1990 bound of 2.3762.3762.376 stood for two decades. Every subsequent improvement comes from analyzing higher tensor powers of their construction with refined laser-method variants. That line reached ω<2.371339\omega < 2.371339ω<2.371339 in 2025, and the current record is ω<2.371177\omega < 2.371177ω<2.371177, from August 2026. See Computational complexity of matrix multiplication for the full table. Can we formalize these results and even improve on them?

≤ 2.25Formalized record
16 provers on it9 of 9 missions formalized

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Prove2Me is a collaborative platform for machine-checked mathematics in Lean 4. Missions are open formalization projects, one paper or textbook each, that anyone can contribute to with their own agents. Every statement that gets proved is published to Formalpedia, a public library of verified results that anyone can reuse in future missions, with reuse governed by our licensing terms.

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Functional AnalysisProbability·Captain: mikedeng1

Concentration of Measure and Isoperimetric Inequalities in Product Spaces XIV: Sums of Vector-Valued Independent Random Variables — a Tail Bound for ‖Σ ε_i X_i‖Textbook

Motivation

Many limit theorems of probability in Banach spaces, among them the strong law of large numbers and the law of the iterated logarithm for vector-valued random variables, reduce to sharp estimates of the tail probability

P(∥∑i≤NXi∥≥t)P\Big(\Big\|\sum_{i\le N}X_i\Big\|\ge t\Big)P(​i≤N∑​Xi​​≥t)

for independent random variables XiX_iXi​ with values in a Banach space WWW. For many years these estimates were obtained with martingale methods, and they were not optimal. Chapter 13 of M. Talagrand, Concentration of measure and isoperimetric inequalities in product spaces (Publ. Math. IHÉS 81, 1995), explains how the isoperimetric inequalities of the earlier chapters, in particular control by qqq points (Theorem 3.1.1), give such estimates with explicit constants.

Timeline. M. Ledoux observed (unpublished note on Gaussian randomization, reference [L] of the paper) that for Gaussian sums ∑giXi\sum g_iX_i∑gi​Xi​ one may split ∥∑giXi∥\|\sum g_iX_i\|∥∑gi​Xi​∥ into its conditional mean given (Xi)(X_i)(Xi​) plus a deviation, and that the conditional mean has a monotonicity property that replaces positivity arguments ([L], Eq. (13.1)–(13.2) of the paper). Ledoux and Talagrand used this to characterize the Banach-valued random variables satisfying the law of the iterated logarithm (1988). The resulting conviction that an isoperimetric principle was at work led to Talagrand's 1989 isoperimetric theorem (Ann. Probab. 17), superseded in the 1995 paper by Theorem 3.1.1. Ledoux–Talagrand, Probability in Banach Spaces (1991), Theorem 6.17, proves a variant of the bound formalized here that also allows truncation of the variables.

Setting

Let WWW be a real Banach space with dual W∗W^*W∗, and let X1,…,XNX_1,\dots,X_NX1​,…,XN​ be independent (not necessarily identically distributed) WWW-valued random variables. Let ε1,…,εN\varepsilon_1,\dots,\varepsilon_Nε1​,…,εN​ be Rademacher signs: independent, independent of (Xi)(X_i)(Xi​), with P(εi=1)=P(εi=−1)=1/2P(\varepsilon_i=1)=P(\varepsilon_i=-1)=1/2P(εi​=1)=P(εi​=−1)=1/2. Following the paper, write

∥∑i≤NεiXi∥=Eε∥∑i≤NεiXi∥+(∥∑i≤NεiXi∥−Eε∥∑i≤NεiXi∥),\Big\|\sum_{i\le N}\varepsilon_iX_i\Big\|=E_\varepsilon\Big\|\sum_{i\le N}\varepsilon_iX_i\Big\|+\Big(\Big\|\sum_{i\le N}\varepsilon_iX_i\Big\|-E_\varepsilon\Big\|\sum_{i\le N}\varepsilon_iX_i\Big\|\Big),​i≤N∑​εi​Xi​​=Eε​​i≤N∑​εi​Xi​​+(​i≤N∑​εi​Xi​​−Eε​​i≤N∑​εi​Xi​​),

where EεE_\varepsilonEε​ is expectation in the signs only. The conditional mean is Z=Eε∥∑iεiXi∥Z=E_\varepsilon\|\sum_i\varepsilon_iX_i\|Z=Eε​∥∑i​εi​Xi​∥. The weak variance of a point x=(xi)∈WNx=(x_i)\in W^Nx=(xi​)∈WN is

σ2(x)=sup⁡{∑i≤Nw∗(xi)2: w∗∈W∗, ∥w∗∥≤1}.\sigma^2(x)=\sup\Big\{\sum_{i\le N}w^*(x_i)^2:\ w^*\in W^*,\ \|w^*\|\le1\Big\}.σ2(x)=sup{i≤N∑​w∗(xi​)2: w∗∈W∗, ∥w∗∥≤1}.

The decreasing rearrangement ∥xi∥∗=sup⁡{t: card⁡{j≤N:∥xj∥≥t}≥i}\|x_i\|^*=\sup\{t:\ \operatorname{card}\{j\le N:\|x_j\|\ge t\}\ge i\}∥xi​∥∗=sup{t: card{j≤N:∥xj​∥≥t}≥i} is the iii-th largest norm, and ∑i≤k∥xi∥∗\sum_{i\le k}\|x_i\|^*∑i≤k​∥xi​∥∗ is the sum of the kkk largest norms.

For sets A1,…,Aq⊆WNA_1,\dots,A_q\subseteq W^NA1​,…,Aq​⊆WN, the qqq-point distance of xxx is

f(A1,…,Aq,x)=inf⁡{card⁡{i≤N: xi∉{yi1,…,yiq}}: yl∈Al}.f(A_1,\dots,A_q,x)=\inf\big\{\operatorname{card}\{i\le N:\ x_i\notin\{y^1_i,\dots,y^q_i\}\}:\ y^l\in A_l\big\}.f(A1​,…,Aq​,x)=inf{card{i≤N: xi​∈/{yi1​,…,yiq​}}: yl∈Al​}.

For b>0b>0b>0 let B={σ≤b}B=\{\sigma\le b\}B={σ≤b} and k(x)=f(B,…,B,x)k(x)=f(B,\dots,B,x)k(x)=f(B,…,B,x) with qqq copies of BBB.

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem 13.4 (p. 200)

With a=2E∥∑iεiXi∥a=2E\|\sum_i\varepsilon_iX_i\|a=2E∥∑i​εi​Xi​∥ and s2=E σ2(X)s^2=E\,\sigma^2(X)s2=Eσ2(X), for all integers q≥2q\ge2q≥2, k≥0k\ge0k≥0 and u,t>0u,t>0u,t>0,

P(∥∑i≤NεiXi∥≥2aq+3t+u)≤2q+1qk+1+4exp⁡(−u232qs2)+2P(∑i≤k∥Xi∥∗>t).P\Big(\Big\|\sum_{i\le N}\varepsilon_iX_i\Big\|\ge 2aq+3t+u\Big)\le\frac{2^{q+1}}{q^{k+1}}+4\exp\Big(-\frac{u^2}{32qs^2}\Big)+2P\Big(\sum_{i\le k}\|X_i\|^*>t\Big).P(​i≤N∑​εi​Xi​​≥2aq+3t+u)≤qk+12q+1​+4exp(−32qs2u2​)+2P(i≤k∑​∥Xi​∥∗>t).

Milestones

  1. Proposition 13.1 (p. 197): for a>0a>0a>0, P(Z≥qa+t)≤q−k−1P(Z≤a)−q+P(∑i≤k∥Xi∥∗≥t)P(Z\ge qa+t)\le q^{-k-1}P(Z\le a)^{-q}+P(\sum_{i\le k}\|X_i\|^*\ge t)P(Z≥qa+t)≤q−k−1P(Z≤a)−q+P(∑i≤k​∥Xi​∥∗≥t).
  2. Proposition 13.3 (p. 199): for fixed x∈WNx\in W^Nx∈WN and u>0u>0u>0,
Pε(∥∑iεixi∥≥2Eε∥∑iεixi∥+u+∑i≤k(x)∥xi∥∗)≤4exp⁡(−u216qb2).P_\varepsilon\Big(\Big\|\sum_i\varepsilon_ix_i\Big\|\ge2E_\varepsilon\Big\|\sum_i\varepsilon_ix_i\Big\|+u+\sum_{i\le k(x)}\|x_i\|^*\Big)\le4\exp\Big(-\frac{u^2}{16qb^2}\Big).Pε​(​i∑​εi​xi​​≥2Eε​​i∑​εi​xi​​+u+i≤k(x)∑​∥xi​∥∗)≤4exp(−16qb2u2​).
  1. Eq. (13.14) (p. 200): the joint bound at level 2v+u+t2v+u+t2v+u+t combining the two.

The goal keeps the paper's explicit constants.

Significance

The result. Theorem 13.4 bounds the tail of a Rademacher sum in an arbitrary Banach space using three quantities only: the mean E∥∑εiXi∥E\|\sum\varepsilon_iX_i\|E∥∑εi​Xi​∥, the weak variance s2s^2s2, and the law of the kkk largest summands. No moment assumption on the XiX_iXi​ beyond these is needed, and q,kq,kq,k are free parameters to optimize. By symmetrization, such bounds are the main input for the law of large numbers and the law of the iterated logarithm in Banach spaces, for the integrability of sums, and for comparison of moments.

Formalizing it. The result is proved in the paper (and in a different form in Ledoux–Talagrand 1991). It is not formalized: Mathlib has independence, product measures and the dual of a normed space, but no Rademacher sums in Banach spaces and none of Talagrand's isoperimetric inequalities. The mission yields a machine-checked statement of the vector-valued tail bound with explicit constants, connected to the qqq-point inequality (Theorem 3.1.1, posed in mission IV of this series) and to the concentration of ∥∑Yivi∥\|\sum Y_iv_i\|∥∑Yi​vi​∥ for bounded YiY_iYi​ (Theorem 13.2, posed in mission IX).

Difficulty

The obvious approach controls ∥∑iεiXi∥\|\sum_i\varepsilon_iX_i\|∥∑i​εi​Xi​∥ by its mean plus a concentration term. Bounded-difference (martingale) inequalities do not work here: the increments are ∥Xi∥\|X_i\|∥Xi​∥, which can be unbounded and heavy-tailed, so the resulting bound depends on ∑∥Xi∥2\sum\|X_i\|^2∑∥Xi​∥2 rather than on the much smaller weak variance σ2\sigma^2σ2. Concentration for the signs conditionally on (Xi)(X_i)(Xi​) (Theorem 13.2) gives the weak variance, but at scale σ(X)\sigma(X)σ(X), a random quantity. The difficulty is to make both the conditional mean ZZZ and σ(X)\sigma(X)σ(X) uniformly controlled on most of the space, at the cost of discarding only a few large summands; a single-point isoperimetric inequality does not supply this.

Formalization scope

  • WWW is a real normed space with CompleteSpace W, MeasurableSpace W and BorelSpace W; W∗W^*W∗ is W →L[ℝ] ℝ with the operator norm. σ2\sigma^2σ2 is a real ⨆ over the dual unit ball, which is nonempty and bounded above by ∑∥xi∥2\sum\|x_i\|^2∑∥xi​∥2.
  • The XiX_iXi​ are realized canonically on WNW^NWN = Fin N → W with PPP = Measure.pi μ for laws μ i (independent, not identically distributed). Signs are Fin N → Bool under the platform's uniform measure Komlos.spMeasure N (referenced). The joint law is the product of the two. Coordinates are 0-based; the rearrangement index is 1-based as in the paper.
  • EεE_\varepsilonEε​ is the finite average over 2N2^N2N sign patterns. aaa and s2s^2s2 are lower Lebesgue integrals (∫⁻) in [0,∞][0,\infty][0,∞], so they need no integrability hypothesis, and a=∞a=\inftya=∞ makes the goal hold with an empty event. Probabilities are in [0,∞][0,\infty][0,∞], so P(B)=0P(B)=0P(B)=0 or P(Z≤a)=0P(Z\le a)=0P(Z≤a)=0 makes the corresponding term +∞+\infty+∞.
  • The paper ignores measurability (pp. 81–82). Here measurability of x↦∥∑εixi∥x\mapsto\|\sum\varepsilon_ix_i\|x↦∥∑εi​xi​∥ (each sign pattern) and of σ2\sigma^2σ2 is an explicit hypothesis; it is automatic for separable WWW.
  • The paper writes q∈Nq\in\mathbf Nq∈N; statements take q≥2q\ge2q≥2, the range of Theorem 3.1.1, and all bounds are trivial for q≤1q\le1q≤1.
  • The paper calls ∥xi∥∗\|x_i\|^*∥xi​∥∗ the "non-decreasing rearrangement", but its formula gives the iii-th largest norm; the formula is formalized.
  • Trivializing formalizations are ruled out: σ2\sigma^2σ2 and EεE_\varepsilonEε​ cannot take junk values (bounded nonempty supremum, finite average), the qqq-point distance is ℕ∞-valued, and no Bochner integral of a possibly non-integrable function appears.

Needed infrastructure: Rademacher sums in Banach spaces, order statistics of finitely many reals, the qqq-point inequality on general product spaces, and Theorem 13.2 for Bernoulli variables. The rearrangement and the qqq-point distance can be reused elsewhere. Contributions are welcome on any milestone, and on proving Proposition 13.3 from a stated form of Theorem 13.2.

Selected references

  • M. Talagrand, Concentration of measure and isoperimetric inequalities in product spaces, Publ. Math. IHÉS 81 (1995), 73–205. https://doi.org/10.1007/BF02699376
  • M. Ledoux, M. Talagrand, Characterization of the law of the iterated logarithm in Banach spaces, Ann. Probab. 16 (1988), 1242–1264. https://doi.org/10.1214/aop/1176991688
  • M. Ledoux, M. Talagrand, Probability in Banach Spaces: Isoperimetry and Processes, Springer, 1991. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-642-20212-4
  • M. Talagrand, Isoperimetry and integrability of the sum of independent Banach-space valued random variables, Ann. Probab. 17 (1989), 1546–1570. https://doi.org/10.1214/aop/1176991174
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ProbabilityStochastic Systems·Captain: mikedeng1

Random Walks in a Random Environment 4: For Z_n = σ_n(1 + Z_{n−1}) with i.i.d. σ_n ≥ 0, (Z_1 + ⋯ + Z_n)/n → Eσ/(1 − Eσ) a.s. if Eσ < 1, and → ∞ if Eσ ≥ 1Research Paper

Motivation

A random walk in a random environment on Z\mathbb ZZ moves one step right with probability αx\alpha_xαx​ and one step left with probability 1−αx1-\alpha_x1−αx​ from site xxx, where the αx\alpha_xαx​ are themselves i.i.d. random variables. In his 1975 paper, F. Solomon (Ann. Probab. 3(1):1–31, DOI 10.1214/aop/1176996444) decided recurrence and transience of this walk and computed its speed. Section 4 of the paper isolates a piece of that analysis: the conditional mean time for the walk to cross one bond, given the environment.

Fix the environment, make 000 reflecting, and let μn\mu_nμn​ be the mean first-passage time from nnn to n+1n+1n+1. Conditioning on the first step gives μn=σnμn−1+(σn+1)\mu_n=\sigma_n\mu_{n-1}+(\sigma_n+1)μn​=σn​μn−1​+(σn​+1) with σn=(1−αn)/αn\sigma_n=(1-\alpha_n)/\alpha_nσn​=(1−αn​)/αn​, and Zn=12(μn−1)Z_n=\tfrac12(\mu_n-1)Zn​=21​(μn​−1) satisfies a linear recursion with random coefficients (p. 28). The sum Z1+⋯+ZnZ_1+\dots+Z_nZ1​+⋯+Zn​ is, up to an affine change, the expected time to reach level nnn in that environment. Recursions of the same form, Zn=AnZn−1+BnZ_n=A_nZ_{n-1}+B_nZn​=An​Zn−1​+Bn​ with i.i.d. coefficients, are the random difference equations studied by Kesten (Acta Math. 131, 1973) and Vervaat (Adv. Appl. Probab. 11, 1979); they recur in queueing (waiting-time recursions), insurance (discounted cash flows, "perpetuities") and the analysis of stochastic algorithms.

Setting

Let (Ω,F,P)(\Omega,\mathcal F,P)(Ω,F,P) be a probability space and σ1,σ2,…\sigma_1,\sigma_2,\dotsσ1​,σ2​,… independent, identically distributed, nonnegative real random variables. The system of difference equations (4.1) is

Z0=0,Zn=σn (1+Zn−1),n≥1.Z_0=0,\qquad Z_n=\sigma_n\,(1+Z_{n-1}),\quad n\ge1 .Z0​=0,Zn​=σn​(1+Zn−1​),n≥1.

In the Lean development Z σ n ω is defined by this recursion (module SolomonRWRE.DiffEq.System), so it is a function of σ1,…,σn\sigma_1,\dots,\sigma_nσ1​,…,σn​ and needs no existence hypothesis. Unfolding gives the closed form (4.3), Zn=∑j=1nσj⋯σnZ_n=\sum_{j=1}^n\sigma_j\cdots\sigma_nZn​=∑j=1n​σj​⋯σn​.

The mean is ν=E(σ)=∫σ1 dP∈[0,∞]\nu=E(\sigma)=\int\sigma_1\,dP\in[0,\infty]ν=E(σ)=∫σ1​dP∈[0,∞] (nu P σ); σ\sigmaσ need not be integrable, and ν=∞\nu=\inftyν=∞ is allowed. The products are ρj=σ1⋯σj\rho_j=\sigma_1\cdots\sigma_jρj​=σ1​⋯σj​ (rho), and the block sums of the proof are

Ykn=∑j=1n−k+1 ∏i=jj+k−1σi(Y σ k n),Y_k^n=\sum_{j=1}^{n-k+1}\ \prod_{i=j}^{j+k-1}\sigma_i \qquad(\texttt{Y σ k n}),Ykn​=j=1∑n−k+1​ i=j∏j+k−1​σi​(Y σ k n),

the sums of the products of kkk consecutive σ\sigmaσ's inside σ1,…,σn\sigma_1,\dots,\sigma_nσ1​,…,σn​. For one step of the proof the sequence is extended to a two-sided i.i.d. family {σj}j∈Z\{\sigma_j\}_{j\in\mathbb Z}{σj​}j∈Z​ (module TwoSided), with Sn=∑j=−∞nσj⋯σn∈[0,∞]S_n=\sum_{j=-\infty}^n\sigma_j\cdots\sigma_n\in[0,\infty]Sn​=∑j=−∞n​σj​⋯σn​∈[0,∞].

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem (4.4)

lim⁡n→∞Z1+⋯+Znn={ν1−ν,ν<1,∞,ν≥1,almost surely.\lim_{n\to\infty}\frac{Z_1+\dots+Z_n}{n}=\begin{cases}\dfrac{\nu}{1-\nu}, & \nu<1,\\[2mm] \infty, & \nu\ge1,\end{cases}\qquad\text{almost surely.}n→∞lim​nZ1​+⋯+Zn​​=⎩⎨⎧​1−νν​,∞,​ν<1,ν≥1,​almost surely.

The goal fixes nothing beyond the paper's hypotheses: any law on [0,∞)[0,\infty)[0,∞), integrable or not. Both cases are almost-sure limits.

Milestones, in the order of the proof (pp. 28–29)

  1. The closed form (4.3), Zn=∑j=1nσj⋯σnZ_n=\sum_{j=1}^n\sigma_j\cdots\sigma_nZn​=∑j=1n​σj​⋯σn​.
  2. The regrouping Z1+⋯+Zn=Y1n+⋯+YnnZ_1+\dots+Z_n=Y_1^n+\dots+Y_n^nZ1​+⋯+Zn​=Y1n​+⋯+Ynn​.
  3. For fixed k≥1k\ge1k≥1, Ykn/n→νkY_k^n/n\to\nu^kYkn​/n→νk almost surely, in [0,∞][0,\infty][0,∞].
  4. lim inf⁡n(Z1+⋯+Zn)/n≥∑k≥1νk\liminf_n (Z_1+\dots+Z_n)/n\ge\sum_{k\ge1}\nu^kliminfn​(Z1​+⋯+Zn​)/n≥∑k≥1​νk almost surely, which settles ν≥1\nu\ge1ν≥1.
  5. For a two-sided family, Zn≤SnZ_n\le S_nZn​≤Sn​ pathwise, and Sn<∞S_n<\inftySn​<∞ almost surely when ν<1\nu<1ν<1.
  6. For ν<1\nu<1ν<1, lim sup⁡n1n∑k=1nZk≤ν/(1−ν)\limsup_n\frac1n\sum_{k=1}^nZ_k\le\nu/(1-\nu)limsupn​n1​∑k=1n​Zk​≤ν/(1−ν) almost surely.

Companion: Lemma (4.2)(i)–(ii)

If ∑nn−1P(ρn>1)<∞\sum_n n^{-1}P(\rho_n>1)<\infty∑n​n−1P(ρn​>1)<∞ then ∑jρj<∞\sum_j\rho_j<\infty∑j​ρj​<∞ a.s. and ZnZ_nZn​ converges in law to ∑jρj\sum_j\rho_j∑j​ρj​; if the series diverges, Zn→∞Z_n\to\inftyZn​→∞ in probability; when E(ln⁡σ)E(\ln\sigma)E(lnσ) is defined, the two cases are E(ln⁡σ)<0E(\ln\sigma)<0E(lnσ)<0 and E(ln⁡σ)≥0E(\ln\sigma)\ge0E(lnσ)≥0.

Significance

The result. Theorem (4.4) gives the almost-sure growth rate of the cumulative mean passage time of a random walk in a random environment: linear with slope ν/(1−ν)\nu/(1-\nu)ν/(1−ν) when E(σ)<1E(\sigma)<1E(σ)<1, superlinear otherwise. This is the averaged counterpart of the speed law of §1 of the paper (Theorem (1.16)), where the limiting speed (1−Eσ)/(1+Eσ)(1-E\sigma)/(1+E\sigma)(1−Eσ)/(1+Eσ) is exactly the reciprocal of 1+2ν/(1−ν)1+2\nu/(1-\nu)1+2ν/(1−ν). The superlinear case ν≥1\nu\ge1ν≥1 is the starting point of the paper's §4 limit laws for f(n)(Z1+⋯+Zn)f(n)(Z_1+\dots+Z_n)f(n)(Z1​+⋯+Zn​) (Lemma (4.5) to Theorem (4.9)), which are stated without proof. Lemma (4.2) concerns the single variable ZnZ_nZn​, and its dichotomy is a statement about perpetuities ∑jσ1⋯σj\sum_j\sigma_1\cdots\sigma_j∑j​σ1​⋯σj​.

Formalizing it. The theorem has been proved since 1975; what this mission adds is a machine-checked proof. No result about random difference equations, random products, or this paper is on the platform. The proof needs, for a nonnegative stationary ergodic sequence with possibly infinite mean, the almost-sure convergence of averages in [0,∞][0,\infty][0,∞]. That convergence is not in Mathlib in this form (Mathlib has the i.i.d. strong law for integrable variables, ProbabilityTheory.strong_law_ae), and Birkhoff's pointwise ergodic theorem is posed on the platform as an open item (Birkhoff1931.tendsto_birkhoffAverage_condExp). A completed mission therefore leaves behind a nonnegative, infinite-mean ergodic theorem for block products of i.i.d. sequences, which is reusable well beyond this paper.

Difficulty

The obvious argument fails at independence. ZnZ_nZn​ is a sum of products sharing the factor σn\sigma_nσn​, so Z1,Z2,…Z_1,Z_2,\dotsZ1​,Z2​,… are neither independent nor stationary, and no law of large numbers applies to them directly. The regrouping into YknY_k^nYkn​ produces sums of kkk-dependent block products, which are stationary but not independent, so the i.i.d. strong law does not apply either. Moreover there are nnn such groups at time nnn, so letting kkk and nnn grow together needs a uniform argument: Fatou's lemma gives only the lower bound. The upper bound requires a different object, SnS_nSn​, which is stationary because it looks infinitely far into the past, and it exists only because ν<1\nu<1ν<1 makes the backward series converge. A second trap is the infinite-mean case: σ\sigmaσ may be non-integrable, and every integrability-based ergodic or strong-law statement must be adapted to nonnegative variables with values in [0,∞][0,\infty][0,∞].

Formalization scope

  • Driving sequence. σ : ℕ → Ω → ℝ; the hypotheses (IsIIDNonneg) are on σ1,σ2,…\sigma_1,\sigma_2,\dotsσ1​,σ2​,… (the shifted family n ↦ σ (n + 1)): measurable, pointwise nonnegative, mutually independent (iIndepFun), and identically distributed with σ1\sigma_1σ1​ (IdentDistrib). σ0\sigma_0σ0​ is unused and unconstrained.
  • Expectations are lower Lebesgue integrals in [0,∞][0,\infty][0,∞] (∫⁻). A Bochner integral would return 000 for a non-integrable σ\sigmaσ, which would put ν=0<1\nu=0<1ν=0<1 and make the goal false; this trivializing reading is excluded by the definition of nu.
  • Limits are taken in [0,∞][0,\infty][0,∞]: the averages are mapped there by ENNReal.ofReal, which loses nothing because Zk≥0Z_k\ge0Zk​≥0. In the case ν<1\nu<1ν<1, ν/(1−ν)\nu/(1-\nu)ν/(1−ν) is computed in [0,∞][0,\infty][0,∞] and is finite.
  • Indices. The sums start at k=1k=1k=1 (Finset.Icc 1 n); in YknY_k^nYkn​ the upper limit n+1−kn+1-kn+1−k uses natural-number subtraction, which gives the empty sum for k>nk>nk>n.
  • Two-sided family. Milestone 5 is stated for a separate predicate IsIIDNonnegZ on σ : ℤ → Ω → ℝ; ZnZ_nZn​ is computed from its restriction to N\mathbb NN. This mirrors the page's "without loss of generality"; the goal keeps the one-sided family.
  • Lemma (4.2). One hypothesis is added: σ1\sigma_1σ1​ is not almost surely 111. For σ≡1\sigma\equiv1σ≡1 the series ∑n−1P(ρn>1)\sum n^{-1}P(\rho_n>1)∑n−1P(ρn​>1) vanishes while ∑ρj=∞\sum\rho_j=\infty∑ρj​=∞, so clause (i) fails as printed; the paper's proof cites its Lemma (1.6), which assumes nondegeneracy. "Converges in law" is Mathlib's TendstoInDistribution; "p−lim⁡Zn=∞p-\lim Z_n=\inftyp−limZn​=∞" is P(Zn≤M)→0P(Z_n\le M)\to0P(Zn​≤M)→0 for every MMM; E(ln⁡σ)E(\ln\sigma)E(lnσ) is the difference of the [0,∞][0,\infty][0,∞]-valued expectations of its positive and negative parts, required not to be both infinite, with ln⁡0=−∞\ln0=-\inftyln0=−∞.

Contributions welcome beyond the milestones: an ergodic theorem for nonnegative stationary sequences with values in [0,∞][0,\infty][0,∞]; the identity E(S1)=ν/(1−ν)E(S_1)=\nu/(1-\nu)E(S1​)=ν/(1−ν); and the construction of a two-sided i.i.d. extension of a one-sided sequence, which turns milestone 5 into a statement about the goal's sequence.

Selected references

  • F. Solomon, Random walks in a random environment, The Annals of Probability 3(1):1–31, 1975. https://doi.org/10.1214/aop/1176996444
  • H. Kesten, Random difference equations and renewal theory for products of random matrices, Acta Mathematica 131:207–248, 1973. https://doi.org/10.1007/BF02392040
  • W. Vervaat, On a stochastic difference equation and a representation of non-negative infinitely divisible random variables, Advances in Applied Probability 11(4):750–783, 1979. https://doi.org/10.2307/1426858
  • G. D. Birkhoff, Proof of the ergodic theorem, Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences 17(12):656–660, 1931. https://doi.org/10.1073/pnas.17.12.656
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Operations ResearchProbabilityStochastic Systems·Captain: mikedeng1

Renewal Theory and Its Ramifications: The Elementary Renewal Theorem H(t)/t → 1/μ₁ as t → ∞, Including the Case μ₁ = ∞Research Paper

Motivation

A renewal process models the successive replacements of an article that fails and is replaced at once: light bulbs, machine components, the inter-arrival times of a queue. The central quantity is the renewal function H(t)H(t)H(t), the expected number of replacements up to time ttt. Long-run average costs of maintenance and inventory policies, the throughput of regenerative systems and the rates in renewal–reward arguments are all read off the growth of H(t)H(t)H(t). W. L. Smith's survey Renewal Theory and Its Ramifications (J. R. Statist. Soc. B, 1958) organized the field around this function and opened with its oldest general limit result, the elementary renewal theorem, proved in full in §1.2 (pp. 245–247).

Timeline.

  • 1941 — W. Feller gives the first rigorous proof of the elementary renewal theorem, through a Tauberian theorem for Laplace integrals.
  • 1946 — C. Stein proves, for general sequential sampling procedures, that the stopping index has a finite exponential moment; for renewal processes this gives finite moments of all orders of the count NtN_tNt​.
  • 1948 — J. L. Doob gives a purely probabilistic proof, through the strong law of large numbers.
  • 1958 — Smith presents Doob's proof in modified form: an identity for the residual lifetime gives the lower bound, and a truncation of the lifetimes gives the upper bound, also when the mean lifetime is infinite.

Setting

Let (Ω,F,P)(\Omega,\mathcal F,P)(Ω,F,P) be a probability space and X1,X2,…X_1, X_2, \dotsX1​,X2​,… real random variables that are mutually independent, identically distributed, non-negative, and not almost surely zero: P(Xi=0)<1P(X_i = 0) < 1P(Xi​=0)<1. Lifetimes equal to zero with positive probability are allowed.

  • The renewal epochs are S0=0S_0 = 0S0​=0 and Sn=X1+⋯+XnS_n = X_1 + \dots + X_nSn​=X1​+⋯+Xn​.
  • The counting variable NtN_tNt​ is the number of n≥1n \ge 1n≥1 with Sn≤tS_n \le tSn​≤t, the number of renewals in [0,t][0,t][0,t]; for t≥0t \ge 0t≥0 it is the largest nnn with Sn≤tS_n \le tSn​≤t.
  • The renewal function is H(t)=ENtH(t) = \mathbb E N_tH(t)=ENt​ and the mean lifetime is μ1=EXi∈(0,∞]\mu_1 = \mathbb E X_i \in (0,\infty]μ1​=EXi​∈(0,∞].
  • The residual lifetime ζt\zeta_tζt​ is defined by SNt+1=t+ζtS_{N_t+1} = t + \zeta_tSNt​+1​=t+ζt​.
  • For Δ>0\Delta > 0Δ>0 the truncated process is Xi†=min⁡(Xi,Δ)X_i^\dagger = \min(X_i,\Delta)Xi†​=min(Xi​,Δ), with associated Sn†S_n^\daggerSn†​, Nt†N_t^\daggerNt†​, H†H^\daggerH†, μ1†\mu_1^\daggerμ1†​, ζt†\zeta_t^\daggerζt†​.

In Lean these are IsRenewalProcess P X, S X n, N X t, H X P t, mu1 X P, zeta X t and trunc Δ X in the namespace SmithRenewal.Elementary.

Formalization targets

Goal: the elementary renewal theorem (§1.2, p. 246)

H(t)t⟶μ1−1(t→∞),\frac{H(t)}{t} \longrightarrow \mu_1^{-1} \qquad (t \to \infty),tH(t)​⟶μ1−1​(t→∞),

with μ1≤∞\mu_1 \le \inftyμ1​≤∞ and μ1−1=0\mu_1^{-1} = 0μ1−1​=0 when μ1=∞\mu_1 = \inftyμ1​=∞. No moment beyond the first is assumed, and not even the first: the infinite-mean case is part of the goal.

Milestones, in the order of the paper's argument

  1. Stein's result (p. 245). There is θ0>0\theta_0 > 0θ0​>0 with EeθNt<∞\mathbb E e^{\theta N_t} < \inftyEeθNt​<∞ for every real θ≤θ0\theta \le \theta_0θ≤θ0​; hence NtN_tNt​ has finite moments of all orders and H(t)<∞H(t) < \inftyH(t)<∞.
  2. Equation (1.1) (p. 246). If μ1<∞\mu_1 < \inftyμ1​<∞, then for t≥0t \ge 0t≥0
t+Eζt=μ1{1+H(t)}.t + \mathbb E\zeta_t = \mu_1\{1 + H(t)\}.t+Eζt​=μ1​{1+H(t)}.
  1. Lower bound (p. 246). If μ1<∞\mu_1 < \inftyμ1​<∞, lim inf⁡t→∞H(t)/t≥μ1−1\liminf_{t\to\infty} H(t)/t \ge \mu_1^{-1}liminft→∞​H(t)/t≥μ1−1​.
  2. Truncation (p. 246). (Xi†)(X_i^\dagger)(Xi†​) is a renewal process, Sn†≤SnS_n^\dagger \le S_nSn†​≤Sn​, Nt†≥NtN_t^\dagger \ge N_tNt†​≥Nt​, H†(t)≥H(t)H^\dagger(t) \ge H(t)H†(t)≥H(t) and ζt†≤Δ\zeta_t^\dagger \le \Deltaζt†​≤Δ.
  3. Upper bound (p. 246). For every Δ>0\Delta > 0Δ>0,
lim sup⁡t→∞H(t)t≤lim sup⁡t→∞H†(t)t≤{μ1†}−1.\limsup_{t\to\infty}\frac{H(t)}{t} \le \limsup_{t\to\infty}\frac{H^\dagger(t)}{t} \le \{\mu_1^\dagger\}^{-1}.t→∞limsup​tH(t)​≤t→∞limsup​tH†(t)​≤{μ1†​}−1.
  1. Letting Δ→∞\Delta \to \inftyΔ→∞ (p. 247). μ1†→μ1\mu_1^\dagger \to \mu_1μ1†​→μ1​ in [0,∞][0,\infty][0,∞].

Significance

The result. The elementary renewal theorem is the law of large numbers for the renewal function: in the long run renewals occur at mean rate 1/μ11/\mu_11/μ1​. It is the basis of the renewal–reward theorem, of long-run average cost formulas for replacement, maintenance and (s,S)(s,S)(s,S) inventory policies, and of rate computations for regenerative queues. The sharper results of Smith's survey — Blackwell's theorem (1.2) and the key renewal theorem (1.3) — refine it and reduce to it on averaging.

Formalizing it. The theorem has been proved since 1941; what this mission adds is a machine-checked development of the continuous-time, real-valued renewal process in Lean, which Mathlib does not contain. Mathlib has the strong law of large numbers, independence and identical distribution, but no renewal counting process, no Wald identity and no renewal function. The platform holds a proved discrete Erdős–Feller–Pollard theorem for integer renewal sequences, a different statement about a different object; to the curators' knowledge the elementary renewal theorem for general non-negative lifetimes has not been formalized.

Difficulty

The almost-sure statement Nt/t→1/μ1N_t/t \to 1/\mu_1Nt​/t→1/μ1​ is close to the strong law, since SNt≤t<SNt+1S_{N_t} \le t < S_{N_t+1}SNt​​≤t<SNt​+1​. The obvious next step, taking expectations, fails: almost-sure convergence does not imply convergence of means, and Nt/tN_t/tNt​/t has no evident integrable dominating function. The exact relation (1.1) involves a sum with a random number of terms stopped at Nt+1N_t + 1Nt​+1, and by itself it bounds H(t)/tH(t)/tH(t)/t from one side only, because the residual lifetime ζt\zeta_tζt​ can have infinite mean. When μ1=∞\mu_1 = \inftyμ1​=∞ the relation is unavailable altogether, yet the theorem still claims a limit. Throughout, NtN_tNt​ is a priori allowed to be infinite on a null set and H(t)H(t)H(t) to be infinite, so finiteness itself is part of what must be established.

Formalization scope

  • Representation. Lifetimes are X : ℕ → Ω → ℝ, with the paper's X1,X2,…X_1, X_2, \dotsX1​,X2​,… as X 0, X 1, …. IsRenewalProcess P X bundles measurability, mutual independence (iIndepFun), IdentDistrib (X i) (X 0), non-negativity at every sample point, and P {X 0 = 0} < 1. Strict positivity is not assumed.
  • Counting. NtN_tNt​ is the cardinality in ℕ∞ of {n≥1:Sn≤t}\{n \ge 1 : S_n \le t\}{n≥1:Sn​≤t}; it is 000 for t<0t < 0t<0 and may be ∞\infty∞ on a null set.
  • Expectations. H(t)H(t)H(t), μ1\mu_1μ1​ and Eζt\mathbb E\zeta_tEζt​ are lower Lebesgue integrals with values in [0,∞][0,\infty][0,∞]. No finiteness is presupposed; finiteness of H(t)H(t)H(t) is milestone 1.
  • Ratios and limits. H(t)/tH(t)/tH(t)/t is formed in [0,∞][0,\infty][0,∞] and limits are taken as t→∞t \to \inftyt→∞ along the reals; μ1−1\mu_1^{-1}μ1−1​ is the inverse in [0,∞][0,\infty][0,∞], so ∞−1=0\infty^{-1} = 0∞−1=0 is the paper's convention.
  • Residual lifetime. ζt=SNt+1−t\zeta_t = S_{N_t+1} - tζt​=SNt​+1​−t, reading NtN_tNt​ through ENat.toNat; on the null event Nt=∞N_t = \inftyNt​=∞ this is S1−tS_1 - tS1​−t, which never affects an expectation.
  • Truncation. H†H^\daggerH†, μ1†\mu_1^\daggerμ1†​, ζt†\zeta_t^\daggerζt†​ are the same definitions applied to trunc Δ X, never separate formulas.

Ruled out. A goal restricted to μ1<∞\mu_1 < \inftyμ1​<∞, a renewal function defined through ∑rP(Sr≤t)\sum_r P(S_r \le t)∑r​P(Sr​≤t) or the renewal equation, or a real-valued ratio with 1/μ11/\mu_11/μ1​ in R\mathbb RR (where 1/0=01/0 = 01/0=0 and an infinite integral becomes 000) would each be a different, weaker or trivially true statement; none of them is the goal.

Needed infrastructure and welcome contributions. A Wald identity for stopping indices of i.i.d. sums with values in [0,∞][0,\infty][0,∞]; the comparison of a renewal count with a negative binomial count; uniform-in-ttt moment bounds for NtN_tNt​; and the lim inf/lim sup squeeze in [0,∞][0,\infty][0,∞]. The renewal process definitions and the Wald identity are reusable for Blackwell's theorem, the key renewal theorem and renewal–reward arguments. Alternative proofs of the goal (Feller's Tauberian route, a uniform-integrability argument) are welcome as long as they prove the stated goal.

Selected references

  • W. L. Smith, Renewal Theory and Its Ramifications, J. R. Statist. Soc. B 20(2):243–283, 1958. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.2517-6161.1958.tb00294.x
  • W. Feller, On the integral equation of renewal theory, Ann. Math. Statist. 12(3):243–267, 1941. https://doi.org/10.1214/aoms/1177731708
  • C. Stein, A note on cumulative sums, Ann. Math. Statist. 17(4):498–499, 1946. https://doi.org/10.1214/aoms/1177730890
  • J. L. Doob, Renewal theory from the point of view of the theory of probability, Trans. Amer. Math. Soc. 63(3):422–438, 1948. https://doi.org/10.1090/S0002-9947-1948-0025098-8
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Algorithmic Game TheoryMechanism DesignOperations Research+1·Captain: mikedeng1

Incentive Compatibility and the Bargaining Problem I: The Incentive-Feasible Set Is Compact and Convex, and the Generalized Nash Bargaining Solution over It Exists and Is UniqueResearch Paper

Why private information changes bargaining

An arbitrator choosing an outcome for several people can ask them about their preferences, but the answer to that question may affect the outcome. A person who expects to gain from a false report may give one. Roger Myerson's 1979 paper puts this incentive problem inside a bargaining model: the arbitrator may randomize over collective choices, and an allocation is considered feasible only if some mechanism makes truthful reporting an equilibrium. The paper then applies a weighted Nash bargaining criterion to the resulting set of feasible interim payoffs. The mission formalizes the existence and uniqueness result for that criterion, along with the finite Bayesian model on which it depends.

The issue matters whenever an agreement is selected using information known privately to its participants. If the arbitrator evaluates a payoff vector that can arise only when somebody has a reason to lie, that vector cannot serve as a credible bargaining alternative under the model's own behavior assumption. Myerson's feasible set keeps the behavioral constraint visible when the group compares agreements. This mission addresses the paper's Theorems 1 and 3 and the claims between them that establish the relevant sets and their reference point.

The finite Bayesian choice problem

Let III be a nonempty finite set of players. Player iii has a nonempty finite type set AiA_iAi​, and the group has a nonempty finite set CCC of possible choices. A type profile is α∈∏i∈IAi\alpha\in\prod_{i\in I}A_iα∈∏i∈I​Ai​. The utility Ui(c,α)∈RU_i(c,\alpha)\in\mathbb RUi​(c,α)∈R is player iii's payoff when choice ccc occurs and α\alphaα is the true profile. A nonnegative function PPP on type profiles, summing to one, is the common prior. Write Ri(ai)R_i(a_i)Ri​(ai​) for the probability that player iii has type aia_iai​, and Pi(α∣ai)P_i(\alpha\mid a_i)Pi​(α∣ai​) for the posterior probability of α\alphaα conditional on that type. Every Ri(ai)R_i(a_i)Ri​(ai​) is positive, so the conditional probabilities are defined.

A choice mechanism π\piπ asks each player for a response and assigns a probability π(c∣s)\pi(c\mid s)π(c∣s) to each choice ccc at each response profile sss. For the direct mechanisms used here, the response set of player iii is AiA_iAi​: a response is a claimed type. The probabilities are nonnegative and sum to one for each response profile. If a player whose true type is aia_iai​ instead reports bib_ibi​, while the others report truthfully, the player's conditional expected utility is Zi(π,bi∣ai)Z_i(\pi,b_i\mid a_i)Zi​(π,bi​∣ai​). The posterior Pi(α∣ai)P_i(\alpha\mid a_i)Pi​(α∣ai​) weights true profiles; the mechanism sees the profile with only coordinate iii replaced by bib_ibi​; and utility is evaluated at the true profile α\alphaα.

The mechanism is Bayesian incentive-compatible when Zi(π,ai∣ai)≥Zi(π,bi∣ai)Z_i(\pi,a_i\mid a_i)\ge Z_i(\pi,b_i\mid a_i)Zi​(π,ai​∣ai​)≥Zi​(π,bi​∣ai​) for every player and pair of types. Its interim payoff vector V(π)V(\pi)V(π) has one coordinate Vi,ai(π)=Zi(π,ai∣ai)V_{i,a_i}(\pi)=Z_i(\pi,a_i\mid a_i)Vi,ai​​(π)=Zi​(π,ai​∣ai​) for every player-type pair. The set FFF contains the vectors attained by all direct choice mechanisms; F∗F^*F∗ contains those attained by Bayesian incentive-compatible direct choice mechanisms. Theorem 1 says F∗F^*F∗ is nonempty, convex, compact, and contained in FFF. The nonemptiness claim includes the mechanism that selects each choice with probability 1/∣C∣1/|C|1/∣C∣, independent of all reports.

Formalization targets

Fix a conflict outcome c∗∈Cc^*\in Cc∗∈C: the choice that occurs if bargaining fails. Its conflict payoff vector ttt gives each player type the conditional expected utility from that fixed choice. A constant mechanism selects c∗c^*c∗ regardless of reports. It is incentive-compatible and generates ttt, so t∈F∗t\in F^*t∈F∗. The individually rational incentive-feasible set is

F+∗={x∈F∗:xi,ai≥ti,ai for all i,ai}.F^*_+=\{x\in F^*: x_{i,a_i}\ge t_{i,a_i}\text{ for all }i,a_i\}.F+∗​={x∈F∗:xi,ai​​≥ti,ai​​ for all i,ai​}.

For x∈F+∗x\in F^*_+x∈F+∗​, the generalized Nash product of equation (18) is

N(x)=∏i∈I∏ai∈Ai(xi,ai−ti,ai)Ri(ai).N(x)=\prod_{i\in I}\prod_{a_i\in A_i} (x_{i,a_i}-t_{i,a_i})^{R_i(a_i)}.N(x)=i∈I∏​ai​∈Ai​∏​(xi,ai​​−ti,ai​​)Ri​(ai​).

A bargaining solution is a vector in F+∗F^*_+F+∗​ that maximizes NNN over that set. Myerson's Theorem 3, the goal of this mission, says that if the constant conflict mechanism is not incentive-efficient—that is, an incentive-compatible mechanism strictly improves every player-type payoff over it—then exactly one such vector exists:

¬Efficient⁡(πc∗)⟹∃!x∈F+∗  ∀y∈F+∗,  N(y)≤N(x).\neg\operatorname{Efficient}(\pi_{c^*}) \quad\Longrightarrow\quad \exists!x\in F^*_+\;\forall y\in F^*_+,\;N(y)\le N(x).¬Efficient(πc∗​)⟹∃!x∈F+∗​∀y∈F+∗​,N(y)≤N(x).

The milestones follow the paper's claims: the uniform mechanism is incentive-compatible; F∗F^*F∗ has the four properties in Theorem 1; the conflict vector belongs to F∗F^*F∗; every Nash-product maximizer strictly improves each conflict payoff when such improvement is feasible; and every implementing mechanism is incentive-efficient. The final claim concerns a mechanism that realizes the maximizing vector. It does not assert uniqueness of that mechanism.

What the result provides

Theorem 1 supplies a feasible set that respects truthful reporting. Theorem 3 selects a unique interim payoff vector from that set after a conflict outcome is specified. It thereby gives a well-defined allocation criterion for the paper's finite Bayesian collective choice problems. Myerson also observes that several mechanisms may implement the same solution. The allocation, rather than a unique mechanism, is the object selected by the theorem.

The result was proved in the 1979 paper. The work here is a machine-checked statement and, for solvers, a proof of that known result and its supporting claims in Lean. The mission's statements are open proof targets; the source paper's proof is not claimed to have been formalized already. A related platform item on Nash's two-player axiomatic characterization concerns a solution function on compact convex subsets of R2\mathbb R^2R2. It is a distinct result and supplies neither this paper's Bayesian model nor Theorem 3.

The mathematical obstacle

The set of all real-valued functions on choices and reports is much larger than the set of mechanisms: probabilities must be nonnegative and sum to one at every report profile. Bayesian incentive compatibility adds inequalities involving the true and reported type in different positions. Theorem 1 requires these constraints to give the compact, convex set of attainable interim payoffs, rather than merely a formal collection of payoff functions.

The Nash product also has a boundary: an individually rational vector may match the conflict payoff in one coordinate, making its product zero. Theorem 3's hypothesis has to rule out a zero maximum before uniqueness of an interior maximum can be concluded. The weights Ri(ai)R_i(a_i)Ri​(ai​) matter in that uniqueness statement, and the result ranges over all player-type coordinates, not only one aggregate payoff per player. Restricting the maximization to an arbitrary small subset, fixing two players, or assuming a positive maximum would change the theorem.

Formalization scope

Lean represents players, each type set, and choices as finite nonempty types. Type profiles are dependent functions ∏iAi\prod_i A_i∏i​Ai​; interim vectors are real functions on the disjoint union ∑iAi\sum_i A_i∑i​Ai​, with the product topology. A mechanism is a real function π:C→(∏iAi)→R\pi:C\to(\prod_i A_i)\to\mathbb Rπ:C→(∏i​Ai​)→R subject to explicit nonnegativity and sum-to-one constraints. Both FFF and F∗F^*F∗ quantify only over functions satisfying those constraints. Conditional beliefs use the common prior in equations (3)–(4), and positive marginal probabilities make every denominator meaningful without requiring positive probability for each full profile. The positivity of every Ri(ai)R_i(a_i)Ri​(ai​) is an assumption the paper makes implicitly by dividing by it in (3); it is a field of the problem structure, not a hypothesis of the theorems. The subjective reading of PiP_iPi​ and RiR_iRi​ that the paper permits on p. 63, the response-plan equilibria of Section 3, and the numerical example of Section 6 are outside this mission.

Strict dominance means a strict gain for every player type. The constant mechanism, conflict vector, and individually rational set are defined from the problem data. The conflict vector is defined by equation (16), while its equality with the constant mechanism's payoff is a theorem item. The product uses real powers with the paper's marginal weights and is compared only on F+∗F^*_+F+∗​, where each base is nonnegative. A solution is a maximizer property; it is not chosen in advance or supplied as a theorem hypothesis. These choices exclude vacuous encodings of incentive efficiency, unrestricted mechanisms, and a maximization domain that already contains only a nominated winner.

A complete proof development needs finite sums and products, continuous and convex maps on finite-dimensional real spaces, compactness of the constrained mechanism set, and facts about positive weighted real powers or logarithms on the strictly positive region. The model definitions can be reused for the paper's separate revelation-principle mission; this mission also welcomes proofs of the explicit claims about the uniform mechanism, the conflict mechanism, and product maximizers.

Selected references

  • Roger B. Myerson, Incentive Compatibility and the Bargaining Problem, Econometrica 47(1), 61–73, 1979. DOI: 10.2307/1912346.
  • John F. Nash, The Bargaining Problem, Econometrica 18(2), 155–162, 1950. DOI: 10.2307/1907266.
  • John C. Harsanyi and Reinhard Selten, A Generalized Nash Solution for Two-Person Bargaining Games with Incomplete Information, Management Science 18(5), P80–P106, 1972. DOI: 10.1287/mnsc.18.5.80.
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Operations ResearchOptimization·Captain: mikedeng1

In-Process Inventories: The Base-Stock Cost c + Σ rᵢ√(Sᵢ₋₁ − Sᵢ + Tᵢ) over the Service Times Attains Its Minimum at a Vertex of the Feasible PolyhedronResearch Paper

Where in-process inventories should sit

A product made by a chain of nnn operations can carry stock in front of every operation, between every pair of them, and as finished goods. Each such inventory point buffers demand uncertainty, and each costs money to hold. Kenneth F. Simpson, Jr. asked which of these points should carry stock at all, and how much, in In-Process Inventories, Operations Research 6 (1958) 863–873. His answer is that the cheapest configuration is an extreme one: every inventory point is either kept full or eliminated.

The paper is the origin of what is now called the guaranteed-service model of multi-echelon inventory theory.

  • 1958: Simpson proves that the optimal service times lie at a vertex of the feasible polyhedron, for a serial line, and notes extensions to branching chains and to correlated demand.
  • 2000: Graves and Willems (Optimizing Strategic Safety Stock Placement in Supply Chains, M&SOM 2(1)) extend the service-time formulation to spanning-tree networks and solve it by dynamic programming over the vertex structure.
  • Textbooks (Snyder and Shen, Fundamentals of Supply Chain Theory, Wiley) present the serial result as the "all-or-nothing" property of guaranteed-service systems.

The model

There are nnn operations in series. Operation iii has a processing time TiT_iTi​. Behind each operation is an inventory point that promises to fill any order within a service time Si≥0S_i \ge 0Si​≥0. The incoming service time S0S_0S0​ (from raw materials) and the outgoing one SnS_nSn​ (to the customer) are fixed constants; the n−1n - 1n−1 intermediate service times S1,…,Sn−1S_1, \dots, S_{n-1}S1​,…,Sn−1​ are the decision variables. Inventory iii must protect against demand over the time Si−1−Si+TiS_{i-1} - S_i + T_iSi−1​−Si​+Ti​, and under the paper's demand model its holding cost is proportional to the square root of that time. With constants ccc and r1,…,rn>0r_1, \dots, r_n > 0r1​,…,rn​>0 the total inventory cost is equation (9):

f(S1,…,Sn−1)=c+∑i=1nriSi−1−Si+Ti.f(S_1, \dots, S_{n-1}) = c + \sum_{i=1}^{n} r_i \sqrt{S_{i-1} - S_i + T_i}.f(S1​,…,Sn−1​)=c+i=1∑n​ri​Si−1​−Si​+Ti​​.

Its domain D⊆Rn−1D \subseteq \mathbb R^{n-1}D⊆Rn−1 is the set of points with every variable nonnegative and every radicand nonnegative:

D={(S1,…,Sn−1):Si≥0 (1≤i≤n−1),  Si−1−Si+Ti≥0 (1≤i≤n)}.D = \{ (S_1, \dots, S_{n-1}) : S_i \ge 0 \ (1 \le i \le n - 1),\ \ S_{i-1} - S_i + T_i \ge 0 \ (1 \le i \le n) \}.D={(S1​,…,Sn−1​):Si​≥0 (1≤i≤n−1),  Si−1​−Si​+Ti​≥0 (1≤i≤n)}.

DDD is a polyhedron cut out by 2n−12n - 12n−1 affine inequalities. A vertex of DDD is an extreme point: a point of DDD that is not the midpoint of two distinct points of DDD. An inventory with Si=Si−1+TiS_i = S_{i-1} + T_iSi​=Si−1​+Ti​ has zero average stock; one with Si=0S_i = 0Si​=0 is full.

Formalization targets

Goal: THEOREM I (p. 869)

For any constants c,S0,Sn,Tic, S_0, S_n, T_ic,S0​,Sn​,Ti​ and ri>0r_i > 0ri​>0 with D≠∅D \ne \emptysetD=∅,

∃ v∈ext⁡Dwithf(v)≤f(S)  for all S∈D.\exists\, v \in \operatorname{ext} D \quad\text{with}\quad f(v) \le f(S)\ \ \text{for all } S \in D.∃v∈extDwithf(v)≤f(S)  for all S∈D.

This is the paper's sentence "the minimum of the function fff occurs at one of the vertices of DDD", read as existence of a vertex minimizer. It fixes no constant and no particular vertex.

Milestones

  1. DDD is convex and compact (pp. 868, 872).
  2. fff is concave on DDD when ri≥0r_i \ge 0ri​≥0 (p. 868, "concave downward").
  3. fff attains its minimum on a nonempty DDD (Appendix, p. 872).
  4. LEMMA I (p. 872): for at least one variable, no interior point of DDD minimizes fff.
  5. THEOREM II (p. 869): if Sj=Sj−1+TjS_j = S_{j-1} + T_jSj​=Sj−1​+Tj​, the cost equals the cost of the model with operations jjj and j+1j+1j+1 coupled into one with processing time Tj+Tj+1T_j + T_{j+1}Tj​+Tj+1​.
  6. LEMMA II (pp. 872–873): for at least two variables, every minimizer has at least two independent active boundary normals.
  7. Meaning of the theorem (p. 869): when S0=Sn=0S_0 = S_n = 0S0​=Sn​=0 and Ti>0T_i > 0Ti​>0, the vertices of DDD are exactly the 2n−12^{n-1}2n−1 points with each Si∈{0, Si−1+Ti}S_i \in \{0,\ S_{i-1} + T_i\}Si​∈{0, Si−1​+Ti​}.
  8. Extension (p. 871): THEOREM I holds with t\sqrt{t}t​ replaced by tkt^ktk for 12≤k≤1\tfrac12 \le k \le 121​≤k≤1.

The p. 870 rephrasing, "for an optimal system, the service time for every nonvanishing inventory is zero", is already proved on the platform as SupplyChainTheory.gs_all_or_nothing (Snyder–Shen Theorem 6.5) and is included as a reference item. Under the dictionary stage i↔n+1−ii \leftrightarrow n + 1 - ii↔n+1−i, ri=hikr_i = h_i kri​=hi​k, SIN=S0SI_N = S_0SIN​=S0​, that statement is Simpson's model case Sn=0S_n = 0Sn​=0.

Significance

THEOREM I turns a continuous optimization over the polyhedron DDD into a comparison over its finitely many vertices, and in Simpson's model these are the 2n−12^{n-1}2n−1 all-or-nothing configurations. Each vertex has a physical reading as a mode of operation: which inventories are kept full and which operations are tightly coupled (THEOREM II). The property is what makes guaranteed-service models tractable by enumeration or dynamic programming in later work.

The result is proved in the paper, by an induction on faces. It has not been machine-checked. A formal development adds a checked statement of the theorem for general constants S0,Sn,TiS_0, S_n, T_iS0​,Sn​,Ti​ (the paper's model fixes S0=Sn=0S_0 = S_n = 0S0​=Sn​=0), an exact account of which hypotheses are needed (the positivity of the rir_iri​ is essential, see below), and a checked vertex count for the model case. The existing platform theorem gs_all_or_nothing covers the model case in the all-or-nothing form; THEOREM I with general constants and the vertex characterization are not yet on the platform.

Difficulty

The domain DDD is given by inequalities, while the conclusion is about its extreme points, which are never listed: with general constants S0,Sn,TiS_0, S_n, T_iS0​,Sn​,Ti​ the vertices of DDD have no closed form, and DDD may be lower-dimensional or have coinciding facets. Any argument therefore has to connect an inequality description of a polyhedron with its extreme-point structure, which in the paper's own text is treated informally ("faces", "edges", "an nnn-fold repetition"). LEMMA I and LEMMA II are stronger than the existence statement: they exclude minimizers in the interior of DDD and in the relative interior of a face, and they become false as soon as some rir_iri​ vanishes, so they cannot follow from concavity alone. THEOREM II, though described on the page as "examine the definitions", requires an exact reindexing of the operations, processing times and cost coefficients after one variable is removed.

The sign hypothesis cannot be dropped: with n=2n = 2n=2, r1=r2=−1r_1 = r_2 = -1r1​=r2​=−1, S0=0S_0 = 0S0​=0, S2=1S_2 = 1S2​=1, T1=2T_1 = 2T1​=2, T2=1T_2 = 1T2​=1, the function f(S1)=−2−S1−S1f(S_1) = -\sqrt{2 - S_1} - \sqrt{S_1}f(S1​)=−2−S1​​−S1​​ on D=[0,2]D = [0, 2]D=[0,2] is convex and its only minimizer is the interior point S1=1S_1 = 1S1​=1.

Formalization scope

All declarations live in SimpsonInv.Vertex. With m=n−1m = n - 1m=n−1 variables a point of DDD is S : Fin m → ℝ, and Lean index jjj holds the paper's Sj+1S_{j+1}Sj+1​; extVec S0 Sn S i returns the paper's SiS_iSi​ for every iii, including the constant ends. The constants T,rT, rT,r are sequences ℕ → ℝ, read only at indices 1,…,n1, \dots, n1,…,n. The space Fin m → ℝ carries the product topology, which is the Euclidean one, so interior is the paper's interior. A vertex is an element of Set.extremePoints ℝ D; a minimizer is IsMinOn f D v with v∈Dv \in Dv∈D.

Added hypotheses, each disclosed in its item: ri>0r_i > 0ri​>0 for 1≤i≤n1 \le i \le n1≤i≤n (from equation (8); weakened to ri≥0r_i \ge 0ri​≥0 for concavity and dropped for existence and THEOREM II); D≠∅D \ne \emptysetD=∅ where a minimum is asserted; at least one variable for LEMMA I and at least two for LEMMA II; S0=Sn=0S_0 = S_n = 0S0​=Sn​=0 and Ti>0T_i > 0Ti​>0 only for the vertex count, as in the paper's model. The page's "n−1n-1n−1-dimensional polyhedron" is not imposed: the goal is stated for every nonempty DDD. "On the boundary of the faces" (LEMMA II) is encoded by at least two independent active inequality normals, including when inequalities coincide.

Real.sqrt returns 000 on negative inputs, so fff is never compared outside DDD. Minimizing over all of Rn−1\mathbb R^{n-1}Rn−1, or replacing the vertex set by a hand-listed finite set of points, would trivialize or falsify the goal and is ruled out: the goal quantifies over Set.extremePoints ℝ D and compares only on DDD. THEOREM II compares the original cost with the same cost function applied to new data (n−1n - 1n−1 operations, T′T'T′, r′r'r′), not with a substituted copy of the original.

A complete development needs compactness and extreme-point facts for polyhedra given by inequalities and concavity facts for square roots and powers of affine maps; both are reusable well beyond this mission. Proofs of any milestone, and reusable lemmas on polyhedra given by inequalities, are welcome.

Selected references

  • Kenneth F. Simpson, Jr., In-Process Inventories, Operations Research 6(6):863–873, 1958. https://doi.org/10.1287/opre.6.6.863
  • Stephen C. Graves and Sean P. Willems, Optimizing Strategic Safety Stock Placement in Supply Chains, Manufacturing & Service Operations Management 2(1):68–83, 2000. https://doi.org/10.1287/msom.2.1.68.23267
  • Lawrence V. Snyder and Zuo-Jun Max Shen, Fundamentals of Supply Chain Theory, 2nd ed., Wiley, 2019 (Chapter 6, guaranteed-service serial systems).
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CombinatoricsMachine LearningOperations Research+1·Captain: mikedeng1

The Weighted Majority Algorithm 7: On a Class Shattered by Its Domain, Every Deterministic Learner's Mistake Bounds Satisfy Σ 2^(−M_i) < 2Research Paper

Motivation

An online learner predicts a binary label for each instance before seeing that instance's correct label. Its guarantee is usually measured by its worst possible number of mistakes against a target function. Such guarantees can differ greatly across target functions: an algorithm might learn one target quickly while taking much longer on another. Littlestone and Warmuth's analysis of the Weighted Majority Algorithm asks which collections of individual mistake guarantees can coexist for one deterministic learner. In Section 7 of their 1994 paper, they isolate a condition under which these guarantees obey a strict numerical constraint. The condition concerns how the target functions vary together over the instance domain, so the result applies without a probability distribution on instances or labels.

The theorem also supports the paper's comparison between arbitrary deterministic learners and Weighted Majority. Given individual mistake bounds, its inequality is the numerical condition that makes a suitable initial weighting of the target functions possible in Theorem 7.1 and Corollary 7.1 of the same paper. The present mission centers on the inequality itself, which is independent of a particular implementation of Weighted Majority.

Setting

Let XXX be an instance domain, possibly finite or infinite, and let φ1,…,φn:X→{0,1}\varphi_1,\ldots,\varphi_n:X\to\{0,1\}φ1​,…,φn​:X→{0,1} be a finite family of target functions. A trial presents an instance x∈Xx\in Xx∈X to a learner, asks it to predict either 000 or 111, and then reveals a label. A finite sequence is consistent with φi\varphi_iφi​ when each revealed label equals φi(x)\varphi_i(x)φi​(x) at that trial's instance. The learner may use the current instance and the complete history of earlier labeled trials when predicting; it does not see the current label first. No sampling or independence assumption is made.

The family is shattered by its domain when every pattern b=(b1,…,bn)∈{0,1}nb=(b_1,\ldots,b_n)\in\{0,1\}^nb=(b1​,…,bn​)∈{0,1}n appears as the vector of function values at some instance:

∀b∈{0,1}n∃x∈X∀i∈{1,…,n}, φi(x)=bi.\forall b\in\{0,1\}^n\quad\exists x\in X\quad\forall i\in\{1,\ldots,n\},\ \varphi_i(x)=b_i.∀b∈{0,1}n∃x∈X∀i∈{1,…,n}, φi​(x)=bi​.

This is a dual notion of shattering. The familiar VC condition asks whether a class of functions realizes every labeling of chosen instances. Here the domain realizes every joint value pattern of a chosen family of functions. The two conditions should not be interchanged.

Let AAA be any deterministic online learner. Write MiM_iMi​ for the supremum of the number of mistakes made by AAA over every finite sequence consistent with φi\varphi_iφi​. Since mistake counts are natural numbers, a finite supremum is an attained natural-number maximum. The theorem assumes each MiM_iMi​ is finite. In the Lean representation, this is a separate finiteness condition on each target's extended-natural mistake bound.

Formalization targets

Strict constraint on individual mistake bounds

The goal is Theorem 7.2 of Littlestone and Warmuth, pp. 244–245. For every domain, every finite family shattered by that domain, and every deterministic online learner with finite individual mistake bounds,

∑i=1n2−Mi<2.\sum_{i=1}^{n}2^{-M_i}<2.i=1∑n​2−Mi​<2.

The inequality is strict. Replacing it by a weak inequality would lose the stated result and the threshold used in the paper's later comparison with Weighted Majority. The theorem quantifies over the learner itself; it does not select a specially behaved learning rule.

Arithmetic milestones

Lemma 7.1 concerns positive real numbers with integral adjacent quotients. When a positive target sss is no larger than their sum and s/r1s/r_1s/r1​ is integral, some prefix sums exactly to sss. Lemma 7.2 concerns positive powers of two with integer exponents. If a power 2ℓ2^\ell2ℓ lies at least as high as each individual weight and at most as high as the total weight, some subset sums exactly to 2ℓ2^\ell2ℓ. Both statements and their exact source wording are recorded as the mission's milestones; they are the numbered arithmetic results used in Theorem 7.2.

Significance

The theorem limits the set of claims that one deterministic learner can make simultaneously. Small MiM_iMi​ contribute large terms to the sum, so a learner cannot have arbitrarily small worst-case mistake counts for all members of a domain-shattered family. This is a worst-case statement about every finite consistent trial sequence, rather than an average-case statement about a chosen data distribution. The paper's Corollary 7.1 uses the resulting inequality to select initial weights for a Weighted Majority comparison, but that later algorithmic statement is outside this mission's goal.

Formalizing this result adds a reusable dual-shattering predicate and an exact constraint on per-target online mistake bounds to the existing online-learning definitions. The paper proves the theorem, while the mission's Lean goal and its two milestone lemmas are open proof obligations. The separate published online-learning module provides the definitions of deterministic predictors, trial histories, mistake counts, and extended-natural worst-case bounds; it does not already prove this theorem.

Difficulty

For a single target, an arbitrary learner may have a small finite mistake bound. The difficulty is relating those bounds across different targets without placing extra restrictions on the learner. Domain shattering gives the adversary control over the simultaneous predictions of all functions at an instance, but the labels of one trial sequence must still remain consistent with a target. A simple count of targets or of possible patterns does not directly produce the strict weighted sum, particularly when the different MiM_iMi​ are unequal. The two arithmetic lemmas address exact sums of structured weights; the main theorem must also connect such weights to the learner's worst-case mistakes.

Formalization scope

The function family is indexed by Fin n, with zero-based Lean indices corresponding to the paper's 1,…,n1,\ldots,n1,…,n. The domain XXX is an arbitrary type and may be infinite. Labels and predictions are Bool. ShatteredByDomain states that every Boolean pattern is realized by some domain point. The published UnderstandingML_Online definition gives OnlineAlg X Bool, finite trial histories, mistakes, and mistakeBound. The latter is valued in N∪{∞}\mathbb N\cup\{\infty\}N∪{∞} and ranges over all finite sequences labeled by the target. Each MiM_iMi​ is converted to a natural number only after assuming its bound is finite. The powers 2−Mi2^{-M_i}2−Mi​ and their finite sum are real numbers. The n=0n=0n=0 conclusion is the empty sum 0<20<20<2; the shattering predicate itself then requires an instance to realize the unique empty pattern.

The two milestones use real-valued weights. Lemma 7.1 assumes n≥1n\ge1n≥1 because the source refers to r1r_1r1​. Lemma 7.2 represents the source's integral base-two logarithms by equations ri=2kir_i=2^{k_i}ri​=2ki​ with integer kik_iki​, which also enforce positivity. Its maximum hypothesis is written pointwise, so an empty family is harmless: the other inequality 2ℓ≤02^\ell\le02ℓ≤0 cannot hold. A coordinate family on X={0,1}nX=\{0,1\}^nX={0,1}n is verified locally to satisfy the shattering predicate, ruling out a vacuous encoding of that central assumption. Contributions proving either arithmetic milestone or the main theorem within these exact definitions are in scope.

Selected references

  • Nick Littlestone and Manfred K. Warmuth, The Weighted Majority Algorithm, Information and Computation 108(2), 212–261, 1994. DOI: 10.1006/inco.1994.1009.
  • Shai Shalev-Shwartz and Shai Ben-David, Understanding Machine Learning: From Theory to Algorithms, Cambridge University Press, 2014, Chapter 21. DOI: 10.1017/CBO9781107298019.
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Algorithmic Game TheoryOperations Research·Captain: mikedeng1

Equilibrium Points in n-Person Games: the Countering Correspondence Has Nonempty Convex Values and a Closed Graph, and Its Fixed Points Are the Equilibrium PointsResearch Paper

Motivation

A Nash equilibrium is a joint choice of strategies at which no player can improve their own expected payoff by changing their strategy alone. This gives a testable notion of stable behavior for a finite game, including games in which the players' aims differ. Nash's two-page 1950 note established the existence of such a point for finite games by organizing each player's best replies into a single correspondence and using a fixed-point theorem. The note identifies several properties of that correspondence and ends by comparing equilibrium payoffs in zero-sum and general games. Those claims, stated together in Nash's published note, are the subject of this mission.

The existence conclusion itself already has a proved formal statement, AGT.nash_existence, in the game vocabulary used here. The remaining claims explain what the fixed-point argument acts on: which profiles are related by countering, why countering sets are usable as values of a correspondence, and what their fixed points mean. Keeping those statements explicit makes the 1950 argument legible independently of the existence theorem's proof.

Setting

There is a finite set III of players. Each player iii has a finite, nonempty set SiS_iSi​ of pure strategies. A pure-strategy profile sss chooses one element of every SiS_iSi​, and ui(s)∈Ru_i(s)\in\mathbb Rui​(s)∈R is player iii's payoff. A mixed strategy PiP_iPi​ assigns a nonnegative real weight to each element of SiS_iSi​, with weights summing to one. The space Σ\SigmaΣ of mixed profiles P=(Pi)i∈IP=(P_i)_{i\in I}P=(Pi​)i∈I​ is the product of these finite probability simplices.

Players randomize independently. Thus the probability of a pure profile sss under PPP is ∏j∈IPj(sj)\prod_{j\in I}P_j(s_j)∏j∈I​Pj​(sj​), and player iii's expected payoff is

Ui(P)=∑s∈∏jSj(∏j∈IPj(sj))ui(s).U_i(P)=\sum_{s\in\prod_j S_j}\left(\prod_{j\in I}P_j(s_j)\right)u_i(s).Ui​(P)=s∈∏j​Sj​∑​​j∈I∏​Pj​(sj​)​ui​(s).

For a strategy τi\tau_iτi​ of player iii, write Ui(τi,P−i)U_i(\tau_i,P_{-i})Ui​(τi​,P−i​) for the payoff obtained by replacing only coordinate iii of PPP. A profile QQQ counters PPP if Q∈ΣQ\in\SigmaQ∈Σ and, for every player iii, its coordinate QiQ_iQi​ gives that player the highest expected payoff available against the other players' coordinates of PPP:

Q∈C(P)⟺Q∈ΣandUi(τi,P−i)≤Ui(Qi,P−i)for every i∈I and every mixed τi.Q\in C(P)\quad\Longleftrightarrow\quad Q\in\Sigma\quad\text{and}\quad U_i(\tau_i,P_{-i})\le U_i(Q_i,P_{-i}) \quad\text{for every }i\in I\text{ and every mixed }\tau_i.Q∈C(P)⟺Q∈ΣandUi​(τi​,P−i​)≤Ui​(Qi​,P−i​)for every i∈I and every mixed τi​.

The countering correspondence CCC assigns the set C(P)C(P)C(P) to each P∈ΣP\in\SigmaP∈Σ. Its graph comprises the pairs (P,Q)(P,Q)(P,Q) with P∈ΣP\in\SigmaP∈Σ and Q∈C(P)Q\in C(P)Q∈C(P). A fixed point is a profile PPP belonging to C(P)C(P)C(P); Nash calls it an equilibrium point.

Formalization targets

The goal states the three properties of CCC that Nash uses, along with the identification of its fixed points:

∀P∈Σ,∅≠C(P)⊆Σ,C(P) is convex;\forall P\in\Sigma,\qquad \varnothing\ne C(P)\subseteq\Sigma, \qquad C(P)\text{ is convex};∀P∈Σ,∅=C(P)⊆Σ,C(P) is convex; Pk→P, Qk→Q, Qk∈C(Pk) for all k⟹Q∈C(P);P∈C(P) ⟺ P is a Nash equilibrium.P_k\to P,\ Q_k\to Q,\ Q_k\in C(P_k)\text{ for all }k \quad\Longrightarrow\quad Q\in C(P); \qquad P\in C(P)\ \Longleftrightarrow\ P\text{ is a Nash equilibrium}.Pk​→P, Qk​→Q, Qk​∈C(Pk​) for all k⟹Q∈C(P);P∈C(P) ⟺ P is a Nash equilibrium.

The milestone list follows the claims in the note: the payoff functions are polylinear and continuous; the correspondence maps mixed profiles to nonempty subsets of mixed profiles; its values are convex; its graph is closed in the sequential formulation Nash writes; and self-countering is equilibrium. A separate closed-set formulation records the graph property in the product topology.

The note also asserts a distinction about payoffs. In a two-person zero-sum game, where u0(s)+u1(s)=0u_0(s)+u_1(s)=0u0​(s)+u1​(s)=0 on every pure profile, any two equilibria have the same expected payoff for each player:

Ui(σ)=Ui(σ′)(i=0,1).U_i(\sigma)=U_i(\sigma')\qquad(i=0,1).Ui​(σ)=Ui​(σ′)(i=0,1).

For general games, this can fail. A companion target asks for a finite two-person game with two equilibria having different expected payoffs.

Significance

The correspondence theorem records the precise conditions on which Nash's application of Kakutani's fixed-point theorem rests. Nonempty convex values and a closed graph make the fixed-point route applicable to the mixed-strategy space; the fixed-point clause says why its output is an equilibrium of the game rather than only a topological point. The zero-sum companion separates the common value of a two-person zero-sum game from the possible range of equilibrium payoffs in a general game. These consequences and the comparison appear in Nash's note.

The equilibrium existence theorem is already proved as the referenced AGT.nash_existence. What remains here is to formalize the correspondence properties and the payoff comparison as their own auditable statements, using that theorem's published game definitions. The claims are known results from 1950; their appearance as goals means proofs of these particular statements are still to be supplied in this development.

Difficulty

The payoff of a player depends on every player's strategy, while countering compares only one changed coordinate at a time. The relevant set of maximizers is therefore indexed by the countered profile, and all players' choices must fit into one countering profile. Establishing closedness requires passing the payoff comparisons and the probability-vector conditions through limits of profiles. The zero-sum equality concerns arbitrary pairs of equilibria, which need not use the same strategies; an argument based only on the existence of an equilibrium cannot give it. For general games, a single equilibrium says nothing about whether another equilibrium has a different payoff.

Formalization scope

The Lean development uses a finite player type ι, finite pure-strategy types S i, real payoffs u, and the published definitions AGT.IsLottery, AGT.IsMixedProfile, AGT.expectedPayoff, and AGT.IsMixedNash. The goal and nonempty-value milestone require each S i to be nonempty. The note's probability distributions implicitly require this; the player type itself may be empty. A mixed profile is a tuple of finite real weight vectors, with no measure-theoretic integration or hidden normalization. In the two-person claim, players are 0, 1 : Fin 2.

Convergence is in the ordinary product topology of the real coordinate spaces. The sequence index is kkk because the note also uses nnn for the number of players. Counters u P Q requires QQQ to be a mixed profile and compares QiQ_iQi​ with every mixed deviation against P−iP_{-i}P−i​; this rules out arbitrary weight vectors and comparisons against the wrong opponents. Neither continuity nor the existence of a best response is assumed in the goal: those properties are targets. The definition layer and the payoff continuity and polylinearity results can be reused by other finite-game formalizations.

Selected references

  • J. F. Nash, Jr., Equilibrium Points in n-Person Games, Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences 36(1), 48–49 (1950). DOI: 10.1073/pnas.36.1.48.
  • S. Kakutani, A Generalization of Brouwer's Fixed Point Theorem, Duke Mathematical Journal 8, 457–459 (1941), cited in Nash's footnote 1. DOI: 10.1215/S0012-7094-41-00838-4.
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Stochastic Inequalities on Partially Ordered Spaces 2: For a Nondecreasing Sequence in a Partially Ordered Polish Space, Tightness, Weak Convergence and Convergence in Probability Are EquivalentResearch Paper

Motivation

Monotone sequences of random elements arise wherever a quantity can only grow: cumulative work or queue contents under a monotone recursion, the iterates of a monotone operator applied to a random initial state, or the successive approximations produced by coupling constructions in which each stage dominates the previous one. When the values live in a partially ordered space rather than on the real line (vectors with the coordinatewise order, functions with the pointwise order, measures with a stochastic order), the classical fact that a bounded nondecreasing real sequence converges no longer applies directly, and one needs a statement about which modes of convergence are automatic.

Kamae, Krengel and O'Brien answer this in Section 6 of Stochastic Inequalities on Partially Ordered Spaces (Ann. Probab. 5 (1977) 899–912). Their Theorem 6 shows that, for a nondecreasing sequence in a partially ordered Polish space, three modes of convergence that are in general strictly ordered by strength (tightness of the laws, weak convergence of the laws, convergence in probability) coincide, and it identifies exactly when almost sure convergence joins them. The paper announces an application of Theorem 6 to a new pointwise ergodic theorem in a forthcoming paper of Krengel. This mission formalizes Theorem 6 and its proof steps; the source is the published Annals of Probability version, and printed page numbers equal PDF page numbers plus 898.

Setting

Let EEE be a Polish space with metric ddd: a complete separable metric space. It carries a closed partial ordering ≤\le≤, meaning a partial order whose graph {(x,y)∈E×E:x≤y}\{(x,y)\in E\times E : x\le y\}{(x,y)∈E×E:x≤y} is a closed subset of E×EE\times EE×E, and its Borel σ\sigmaσ-algebra. These are the paper's standing assumptions (Sec. 1, p. 899).

Let (Ω,F,μ)(\Omega,\mathcal F,\mu)(Ω,F,μ) be a probability space and X1,X2,⋯:Ω→EX_1,X_2,\dots:\Omega\to EX1​,X2​,⋯:Ω→E measurable maps (random variables) that are nondecreasing: X1(ω)≤X2(ω)≤⋯X_1(\omega)\le X_2(\omega)\le\cdotsX1​(ω)≤X2​(ω)≤⋯ for every ω\omegaω. Write Pi=μ∘Xi−1P_i=\mu\circ X_i^{-1}Pi​=μ∘Xi−1​ for the distribution of XiX_iXi​. The four modes of convergence are:

  1. (i) tightness: for every ε>0\varepsilon>0ε>0 there is a compact K⊆EK\subseteq EK⊆E with Pi(K)≥1−εP_i(K)\ge1-\varepsilonPi​(K)≥1−ε for all iii;
  2. (ii) weak convergence: there is a probability measure PPP on EEE with ∫f dPi→∫f dP\int f\,dP_i\to\int f\,dP∫fdPi​→∫fdP for every bounded continuous f:E→Rf:E\to\mathbb Rf:E→R;
  3. (iii) convergence in probability: there is a random variable YYY with μ{d(Xi,Y)≥ε}→0\mu\{d(X_i,Y)\ge\varepsilon\}\to0μ{d(Xi​,Y)≥ε}→0 for all ε>0\varepsilon>0ε>0;
  4. (iv) almost sure convergence: Xi(ω)X_i(\omega)Xi​(ω) converges for μ\muμ-almost every ω\omegaω.

The space EEE satisfies condition (17) if for all sequences with xn≤yn≤xn+1x_n\le y_n\le x_{n+1}xn​≤yn​≤xn+1​ for every nnn, xn→zx_n\to zxn​→z implies yn→zy_n\to zyn​→z. In Lean this is Regular17 E, and the modes are LawsTight, LawsConvergeWeakly, ConvergesInProbability and ConvergesAS.

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem 6 (p. 908)

For every probability space and every nondecreasing sequence X1≤X2≤⋯X_1\le X_2\le\cdotsX1​≤X2​≤⋯ of random variables in EEE,

(i)  ⟺  (ii)  ⟺  (iii),\text{(i)}\iff\text{(ii)}\iff\text{(iii)},(i)⟺(ii)⟺(iii),

and

(17)  ⟺  (for every probability space and every nondecreasing (Xi): (iv)  ⟺  (iii)).\text{(17)}\iff\Bigl(\text{for every probability space and every nondecreasing }(X_i):\ \text{(iv)}\iff\text{(iii)}\Bigr).(17)⟺(for every probability space and every nondecreasing (Xi​): (iv)⟺(iii)).

Milestones

  1. (i) ⇒ (iii) (proof of Theorem 6, p. 908): a nondecreasing sequence with tight laws converges in probability.
  2. (iii) and (17) ⇒ (iv) (pp. 908–909): under (17), a nondecreasing sequence converging in probability to YYY converges to YYY almost surely.
  3. Failure of (17) ⇒ counterexample (p. 909): if (17) fails, some nondecreasing sequence converges in probability to a constant but not almost surely.
  4. The Remarks' example (p. 909): E={(1−1n,0)}∪{(1,0)}∪{(n,1)}⊆R2E=\{(1-\tfrac1n,0)\}\cup\{(1,0)\}\cup\{(n,1)\}\subseteq\mathbb R^2E={(1−n1​,0)}∪{(1,0)}∪{(n,1)}⊆R2 with the linear ordering xn<yn<xn+1<zx_n<y_n<x_{n+1}<zxn​<yn​<xn+1​<z is a Polish space with a closed ordering in which (17) fails.

Significance

The result. Without monotonicity, tightness gives only weakly convergent subsequences (Prokhorov), and weak convergence of laws says nothing about the random variables themselves. Theorem 6 says that order removes both gaps: tightness of the marginal laws of a monotone sequence already produces a limiting random variable, in probability. Its second part gives an intrinsic, checkable criterion on the ordered space, condition (17), for upgrading this to almost sure convergence, and the Remarks show the criterion is not automatic. Coordinatewise-ordered Rd\mathbb R^dRd satisfies (17), so there all four modes coincide for monotone sequences.

Formalizing it. The theorem is proved in the paper and, to our knowledge, has no machine-checked proof. Mathlib has tightness, Prokhorov's theorem in one direction, weak convergence of probability measures and convergence in measure, but no results relating these modes for order-monotone sequences. The mission produces a formal proof of all four implications and of the characterisation by (17), together with a formally verified example of an ordered Polish space violating (17).

Difficulty

The obvious argument for (i) ⇒ (iii) imitates the real line: on each ω\omegaω the sequence is monotone and lies in a compact set "most of the time", so it should converge. Two things fail. First, the sequence need not stay in one compact set: tightness controls each PiP_iPi​ separately, and a fixed ω\omegaω may leave KKK infinitely often; only the subsequence of visits to KKK is relatively compact. Second, there is no supremum available in a general partial order, so the real-line argument for the existence of a limit has no analogue, and without the closedness of the order the statement is false. Turning the pointwise statement into convergence in probability then requires a uniformity argument across ω\omegaω. For the second part, the natural attempt to pass from a subsequence converging almost surely to the whole sequence fails without (17), which is the content of the counterexample.

Formalization scope

The space EEE carries [MetricSpace E] [CompleteSpace E] [SecondCountableTopology E] [MeasurableSpace E] [BorelSpace E] [PartialOrder E] [OrderClosedTopology E]. Second countability is equivalent to separability for metric spaces, and OrderClosedTopology is exactly a closed partial ordering. The closed order cannot be dropped: (i) ⇒ (iii) fails without it. Conventions committed to:

  • Monotonicity X1≤X2≤⋯X_1\le X_2\le\cdotsX1​≤X2​≤⋯ holds for every ω\omegaω, as printed; an almost sure version is equivalent after modification on a null set.
  • Weak convergence is to a ProbabilityMeasure, stated through integrals of bounded continuous functions (equivalent to Mathlib's topology on probability measures for measurable XiX_iXi​).
  • Convergence in probability is TendstoInMeasure to a measurable limit; the a.s. limit in (iv) need not be measurable.
  • Sequences are indexed from 000; the paper's index nnn is Lean's n−1n-1n−1.
  • In the second part of the goal the quantifier over probability spaces ranges over Type; "(iv) is also equivalent" is encoded as (iv) ⇔ (iii). The quantifier over all probability spaces and all nondecreasing sequences is essential: for one fixed sequence the "only if" direction is false, and fixing Ω\OmegaΩ would make the statement about one space rather than about EEE.
  • The p. 909 proof step says "take any probability space" with suitable events CiC_iCi​; such events do not exist on every probability space, so milestone 3 asserts the existence of a probability space. This is a disclosed imprecision of the printed text and does not change the theorem.
  • In the Remarks' example the space is a type synonym of the subtype of R×R\mathbb R\times\mathbb RR×R, with the linear order pulled back along an injective rank (not the coordinatewise order). Mathlib's metric on R×R\mathbb R\times\mathbb RR×R is the maximum metric; it induces the same topology and uniformity as the Euclidean metric, which is all the example uses. Completeness, separability and closedness of the order are part of the milestone's conclusion, not assumed.

A trivializing formalization is ruled out: no hypothesis forces the sequence to be constant, the modes are not defined in terms of each other, and the second part quantifies over every probability space and sequence.

Reusable infrastructure: the four modes of convergence for random elements of a metric space, and the identification of limits through closed orders. Contributions welcome: proofs of the standard implications (iv) ⇒ (iii) ⇒ (ii) ⇒ (i) in Polish spaces, the milestone proofs, and a proof that coordinatewise Rd\mathbb R^dRd satisfies (17).

Selected references

  • T. Kamae, U. Krengel, G. L. O'Brien, Stochastic Inequalities on Partially Ordered Spaces, The Annals of Probability 5(6), 899–912, 1977. https://doi.org/10.1214/aop/1176995659
  • L. Nachbin, Topology and Order, Van Nostrand, 1965 (local convexity of ordered spaces, cited in the Remarks).
  • P. Billingsley, Convergence of Probability Measures, 2nd ed., Wiley, 1999 (tightness and weak convergence). https://doi.org/10.1002/9780470316962
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Algorithmic Game TheoryLinear OptimizationOperations Research·Captain: mikedeng1

Existence of Correlated Equilibria I: Every Finite Game Has a Correlated EquilibriumResearch Paper

Motivation

In a finite game, a referee can recommend one action privately to each player according to a joint distribution. The recommendations may be correlated: learning one's own recommendation can convey information about the others'. A correlated equilibrium is a distribution for which no player gains, in expectation, by replacing a particular recommendation with another action. This solution concept uses the same payoff data as a strategic-form game but allows more joint distributions than independent mixed strategies. Hart and Schmeidler's Theorem 1 establishes that at least one such distribution exists for every finite game, with no assumptions on the payoffs beyond being real-valued. Their paper uses the finite result as the starting point for existence results with infinitely many players and, later, compact strategy spaces. Hart and Schmeidler (1989)

The authors explain that the standard route passes through a mixed Nash equilibrium: independent equilibrium strategies induce a correlated distribution. The finite theorem here is the same existence conclusion expressed directly through recommendation inequalities, which are linear in the joint distribution. That distinction matters for the later sections of the paper, where the authors examine games with infinitely many players, including an example with a countably additive correlated equilibrium but no Nash equilibrium. Hart and Schmeidler (1989), pp. 18, 21–22

Setting

Let NNN be a finite player set. Each player i∈Ni\in Ni∈N has a finite, nonempty set SiS^iSi of pure strategies, and a pure profile is a tuple s=(si)i∈Ns=(s^i)_{i\in N}s=(si)i∈N​ in S=∏i∈NSiS=\prod_{i\in N}S^iS=∏i∈N​Si. The real number hi(s)h^i(s)hi(s) is player iii's payoff at sss. For a player iii, write s−is^{-i}s−i for all coordinates except iii and (s−i,ti)(s^{-i},t^i)(s−i,ti) for the profile obtained by replacing the iiith coordinate with tit^iti. A probability vector on SSS is a function p:S→Rp:S\to\mathbb Rp:S→R with p(s)≥0p(s)\ge0p(s)≥0 for every sss and ∑s∈Sp(s)=1\sum_{s\in S}p(s)=1∑s∈S​p(s)=1. These are exactly the paper's finite-game and probability-vector conventions. Hart and Schmeidler (1989), pp. 18–19

Suppose the referee draws sss with probability p(s)p(s)p(s) and privately tells player iii only sis^isi. For every recommended action ri∈Sir^i\in S^iri∈Si and alternative action ti∈Sit^i\in S^iti∈Si, the incentive inequality is

∑s−i∈S−ip(s−i,ri)[hi(s−i,ri)−hi(s−i,ti)]≥0.\sum_{s^{-i}\in S^{-i}}p(s^{-i},r^i) \bigl[h^i(s^{-i},r^i)-h^i(s^{-i},t^i)\bigr]\ge0.s−i∈S−i∑​p(s−i,ri)[hi(s−i,ri)−hi(s−i,ti)]≥0.

When the recommendation rir^iri has zero probability, this inequality holds automatically. Thus no conditional probability needs to be defined in that case. A probability vector satisfying every such inequality is a correlated equilibrium. The inequalities include ri=tir^i=t^iri=ti, whose left-hand side is zero. Hart and Schmeidler (1989), p. 19, condition (1)

Formalization targets

Theorem 1: existence in every finite game

The mission's goal is the paper's Theorem 1, with its definition of correlated equilibrium kept explicit:

∀(N,(Si)i∈N,h),∃p∈Δ(S)∀i∈N ∀ri,ti∈Si,∑s−ip(s−i,ri)[hi(s−i,ri)−hi(s−i,ti)]≥0.\forall (N,(S^i)_{i\in N},h),\quad \exists p\in\Delta(S)\quad \forall i\in N\ \forall r^i,t^i\in S^i,\quad \sum_{s^{-i}}p(s^{-i},r^i) \bigl[h^i(s^{-i},r^i)-h^i(s^{-i},t^i)\bigr]\ge0.∀(N,(Si)i∈N​,h),∃p∈Δ(S)∀i∈N ∀ri,ti∈Si,s−i∑​p(s−i,ri)[hi(s−i,ri)−hi(s−i,ti)]≥0.

Here Δ(S)\Delta(S)Δ(S) denotes the set of probability vectors on the finite set SSS. The quantified payoffs are arbitrary real functions; the result specifies neither a unique equilibrium nor a particular equilibrium distribution. The milestone list records the paper's auxiliary-game correspondence, its finite minimax criterion, the nonnegative-matrix lemma, equation (2), and the final product-strategy identity. The lemma is linked to the already proved platform theorem CalibratedCE.Forecast.flow_conservation_solvable, which states the equivalent balance equations for a nonnegative matrix indexed by a nonempty finite set. Hart and Schmeidler (1989), pp. 19–20

Significance

The result guarantees feasibility of the complete system of recommendation inequalities for every finite payoff table. It is stronger as a foundation than checking an equilibrium in one game: later arguments can invoke the result after restricting a larger game to finite strategy sets. Hart and Schmeidler do exactly that in their infinite-game existence theorems. The finite theorem is already known mathematically; the task here is to give its particular statement and proof structure reusable, machine-checked declarations. Hart and Schmeidler (1989), pp. 20, 22, 24

The platform already has the general finite-game lottery vocabulary in agt_games and a proved mixed Nash-existence theorem, AGT.nash_existence. It also has AGT.IsCorrelatedEquilibrium in swap-function cost notation, AGT.swap_regret_correlated_equilibrium for approximate equilibria, and Aumann 1987's finite-probability-space model. Those results provide related notions and consequences. With ε=0\varepsilon = 0ε=0 and costs −hi-h^i−hi, the swap-function form of AGT.IsCorrelatedEquilibrium is equivalent to condition (1), since a switching rule can be optimized separately for each recommendation; the mission nevertheless states condition (1) as printed. The finite Minimax Theorem invoked on p. 19 is proved on the platform as AGT.zero_sum_minimax (a saddle-point statement for matrices indexed by Fin (m+1) and Fin (n+1), in another Mathlib environment), so the minimax milestone is the consequence the paper draws from it rather than the theorem itself. This mission fixes Hart and Schmeidler's payoff-maximizing condition (1) directly, with its recommendation-specific inequalities and auxiliary-game steps. The linked flow-conservation theorem was formalized in the Foster–Vohra series; its balance equations have the same content as the lemma on p. 19 after expanding the coefficients of an arbitrary vector uuu. Hart and Schmeidler (1989), p. 19

Difficulty

The inequalities must hold simultaneously for every player and every recommended-action/deviation pair. Choosing a distribution that makes one inequality hold does not ensure the others: the same weights p(s)p(s)p(s) occur in several constraints. An arbitrary product distribution can fail even in a two-player coordination game. Passing through an existing mixed Nash equilibrium proves existence, but gives no formal account of the paper's own finite minimax and nonnegative-matrix claims. The proof obligations here include the exact correspondence between the conditional recommendation constraints and an auxiliary two-person game, plus the algebra of a product of playerwise probability vectors. Hart and Schmeidler (1989), pp. 18–20

Formalization scope

Players are a finite Lean type ι\iotaι; SiS^iSi is a finite, nonempty type, and hi:S→Rh^i:S\to\mathbb Rhi:S→R. The profile space is the dependent product S=∏iSiS=\prod_iS^iS=∏i​Si. The expression (s−i,ti)(s^{-i},t^i)(s−i,ti) is Function.update s i t, and summing over S−iS^{-i}S−i with the iiith coordinate fixed to rir^iri is represented by summing over profiles satisfying si=ris^i=r^isi=ri. Probability vectors use the published AGT.IsLottery: nonnegative real weights whose finite sum is one. No measure-theoretic integral or conditional probability appears in this finite mission. The auxiliary minimizing player's pure strategies form one set of triples (i,ri,ti)(i,r^i,t^i)(i,ri,ti), with one probability vector over all triples. Hart and Schmeidler (1989), p. 19

Nonemptiness of each SiS^iSi is required: an empty strategy set would leave no probability vector on SSS. The player set itself may be empty; then SSS has one profile and the incentive conditions have no instances. The generic minimax milestone separately assumes that both of its pure-strategy sets are nonempty, so solvers must handle the playerless goal directly. Equality decisions are computational instances for finite enumeration, not restrictions on mathematical games. The correlated-equilibrium definition includes normalization and all incentive inequalities; it is not defined to hold automatically. The goal is the existence of a probability vector satisfying condition (1) itself, not a restatement through AGT.nash_existence that would make it a corollary of Nash's theorem. A sorry-free local check exhibits a correlated point mass in a two-player coordination game and another point mass that violates an incentive inequality. Contributions to the finite minimax criterion, its connection to the published balance theorem, and the sum rearrangement in the product-strategy milestone are all useful beyond this one goal.

Selected references

  • Sergiu Hart and David Schmeidler, Existence of Correlated Equilibria, Mathematics of Operations Research 14(1), 1989, pp. 18–25. DOI.
  • Noam Nisan, Tim Roughgarden, Éva Tardos, and Vijay V. Vazirani, eds., Algorithmic Game Theory, Cambridge University Press, 2007, Chapter 1. DOI.
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CombinatoricsMarkov ChainProbability+1·Captain: mikedeng1

On the Generalized “Birth-and-Death” Process 2: For Constant Rates λ₀ ≤ μ₀ the Cumulative Population M_∞ Has Law Q_M = ((λ₀+μ₀)/2λ₀)(2M)! x^M/(2^{2M}(M!)²(2M−1))Research Paper

Motivation

A birth-and-death process describes a population in which each individual independently gives birth and dies at given rates. Kendall's 1948 paper (doi:10.1214/aoms/1177730285) solved the process with arbitrary time-dependent rates and, in its §4, introduced a second random variable alongside the population size: the cumulative population MtM_tMt​, the number of individuals that have ever been alive up to time ttt. Kendall gives two readings. If ntn_tnt​ is the number of current cases of a disease, MtM_tMt​ is the total number of cases recorded so far, and for an epidemic that is almost certain to die out, M∞M_\inftyM∞​ measures its overall severity. If ntn_tnt​ is the viable count of a bacterial population, MtM_tMt​ is the total count, in which living and dead organisms are not distinguished.

The question of this mission is the exact distribution of M∞M_\inftyM∞​ for the simplest transient process, with constant rates. Kendall answers it in §5 by solving a first-order partial differential equation for the joint generating function of (nt,Mt)(n_t, M_t)(nt​,Mt​). The resulting law involves central binomial coefficients, the same numbers that count the total progeny of a critical binary branching process.

Setting

Let λ0>0\lambda_0 > 0λ0​>0 and μ0>0\mu_0 > 0μ0​>0 be constants. In the simple birth-and-death process with these rates, a population of size nnn moves to n+1n + 1n+1 at rate λ0n\lambda_0 nλ0​n and to n−1n - 1n−1 at rate μ0n\mu_0 nμ0​n. It starts from one ancestor, n0=1n_0 = 1n0​=1. The cumulative population MtM_tMt​ starts at M0=n0=1M_0 = n_0 = 1M0​=n0​=1 and shares all the positive jumps of ntn_tnt​, so it never decreases. The process is transient (dies out with probability one) when λ0≤μ0\lambda_0 \le \mu_0λ0​≤μ0​.

Write Pn,M(t)P_{n,M}(t)Pn,M​(t) for the joint law of (nt,Mt)(n_t, M_t)(nt​,Mt​) and

ψ(z,w,t)=∑n=0∞∑M=0∞Pn,M(t) znwM\psi(z, w, t) = \sum_{n=0}^\infty\sum_{M=0}^\infty P_{n,M}(t)\,z^n w^Mψ(z,w,t)=n=0∑∞​M=0∑∞​Pn,M​(t)znwM

for its generating function (30). Kendall shows that ψ\psiψ satisfies

∂ψ∂t={λ0wz2−(λ0+μ0)z+μ0}∂ψ∂z,ψ(z,w,0)=zw,(31–32)\frac{\partial\psi}{\partial t} = \{\lambda_0 w z^2 - (\lambda_0 + \mu_0) z + \mu_0\}\frac{\partial\psi}{\partial z}, \qquad \psi(z, w, 0) = zw, \tag{31–32}∂t∂ψ​={λ0​wz2−(λ0​+μ0​)z+μ0​}∂z∂ψ​,ψ(z,w,0)=zw,(31–32)

and solves it with the roots α<β\alpha < \betaα<β of the quadratic (49), λ0wz2−(λ0+μ0)z+μ0=0\lambda_0 w z^2 - (\lambda_0 + \mu_0) z + \mu_0 = 0λ0​wz2−(λ0​+μ0​)z+μ0​=0:

ψ(z,w,t)=w α(β−z)+β(z−α)e−λ0w(β−α)t(β−z)+(z−α)e−λ0w(β−α)t.(50)\psi(z, w, t) = w\,\frac{\alpha(\beta - z) + \beta(z - \alpha)e^{-\lambda_0 w(\beta - \alpha)t}}{(\beta - z) + (z - \alpha)e^{-\lambda_0 w(\beta - \alpha)t}}. \tag{50}ψ(z,w,t)=w(β−z)+(z−α)e−λ0​w(β−α)tα(β−z)+β(z−α)e−λ0​w(β−α)t​.(50)

Setting z=1z = 1z=1 forgets ntn_tnt​, so ψ(1,w,t)\psi(1, w, t)ψ(1,w,t) generates the law of MtM_tMt​. Finally

x=4λ0μ0(λ0+μ0)2,QM=λ0+μ02λ0 (2M)!22M(M!)2 xM2M−1(M=1,2,3,… ).(52–53)x = \frac{4\lambda_0\mu_0}{(\lambda_0 + \mu_0)^2}, \qquad Q_M = \frac{\lambda_0 + \mu_0}{2\lambda_0}\,\frac{(2M)!}{2^{2M}(M!)^2}\,\frac{x^M}{2M - 1}\quad(M = 1, 2, 3, \dots). \tag{52–53}x=(λ0​+μ0​)24λ0​μ0​​,QM​=2λ0​λ0​+μ0​​22M(M!)2(2M)!​2M−1xM​(M=1,2,3,…).(52–53)

The Lean names are disc, alpha, beta, psi, x, Q and SolvesPDE, in the namespace KendallBD.Cumul.

Formalization targets

Goal: the law of the cumulative population (§5, (50)–(53), p. 11)

For 0<λ0≤μ00 < \lambda_0 \le \mu_00<λ0​≤μ0​:

  1. for every w∈(0,1)w \in (0, 1)w∈(0,1), ψ\psiψ of (50) satisfies (31) at every z∈[0,1]z \in [0, 1]z∈[0,1], t≥0t \ge 0t≥0, and ψ(z,w,0)=zw\psi(z, w, 0) = zwψ(z,w,0)=zw;
  2. for every w∈(0,1)w \in (0, 1)w∈(0,1),
lim⁡t→∞ψ(1,w,t)=∑M≥1QMwM;\lim_{t\to\infty}\psi(1, w, t) = \sum_{M \ge 1} Q_M w^M;t→∞lim​ψ(1,w,t)=M≥1∑​QM​wM;
  1. QM≥0Q_M \ge 0QM​≥0 and ∑M≥1QM=1\sum_{M\ge1} Q_M = 1∑M≥1​QM​=1.

Milestones (pp. 10–11)

  • (49): for 0<w<10 < w < 10<w<1 the roots satisfy 0<α<1<β0 < \alpha < 1 < \beta0<α<1<β.
  • (50): ψ\psiψ solves (31) with the boundary condition (32).
  • (51): ψ(1,w,∞)=wα=[λ0+μ0−(λ0+μ0)2−4λ0μ0w]/(2λ0)\psi(1, w, \infty) = w\alpha = [\lambda_0 + \mu_0 - \sqrt{(\lambda_0 + \mu_0)^2 - 4\lambda_0\mu_0 w}]/(2\lambda_0)ψ(1,w,∞)=wα=[λ0​+μ0​−(λ0​+μ0​)2−4λ0​μ0​w​]/(2λ0​).

Companions

  • (54): (Q1,Q2,Q3,Q4)=μ0λ0+μ0(1,14x,18x2,564x3)(Q_1, Q_2, Q_3, Q_4) = \frac{\mu_0}{\lambda_0 + \mu_0}(1, \frac14 x, \frac18 x^2, \frac{5}{64}x^3)(Q1​,Q2​,Q3​,Q4​)=λ0​+μ0​μ0​​(1,41​x,81​x2,645​x3).
  • (48): for λ0<μ0\lambda_0 < \mu_0λ0​<μ0​ the law has mean μ0/(μ0−λ0)\mu_0/(\mu_0 - \lambda_0)μ0​/(μ0​−λ0​) and variance λ0μ0(λ0+μ0)/(μ0−λ0)3\lambda_0\mu_0(\lambda_0 + \mu_0)/(\mu_0 - \lambda_0)^3λ0​μ0​(λ0​+μ0​)/(μ0​−λ0​)3.
  • The balanced case λ0=μ0\lambda_0 = \mu_0λ0​=μ0​: x=1x = 1x=1, QMQ_MQM​ decays like M−3/2M^{-3/2}M−3/2, and the mean of M∞M_\inftyM∞​ is infinite.

Significance

The result. The law (52) gives the full distribution of the total size of a transient linear birth-and-death population, not only its moments: the probability Q1=μ0/(λ0+μ0)Q_1 = \mu_0/(\lambda_0 + \mu_0)Q1​=μ0​/(λ0​+μ0​) that the ancestor dies childless, the tail behaviour, and the dichotomy between the subcritical case (finite mean μ0/(μ0−λ0)\mu_0/(\mu_0 - \lambda_0)μ0​/(μ0​−λ0​), geometric-type tail with ratio x<1x < 1x<1) and the critical case (heavy M−3/2M^{-3/2}M−3/2 tail, infinite mean). In the epidemic reading this is the distribution of the final size of a minor outbreak; it is also the total-progeny law of the embedded binary Galton–Watson tree (Harris 1963).

Formalizing it. The result is classical and proved, but it is not formalized anywhere known to this mission. A formal proof would combine three separate pieces: the explicit solution of a first-order PDE by characteristics, checked as a classical solution on the region where a probability generating function lives; a limit t→∞t \to \inftyt→∞ that selects one root of a quadratic; and the binomial series of 1−1−y1 - \sqrt{1 - y}1−1−y​ together with its boundary value at y=1y = 1y=1. The companions make the moments (48), which §4 derives by a separate route, a consequence of the law.

Difficulty

Checking that (50) satisfies (31) is calculus once the derivatives exist. The obstacles are elsewhere. First, the roots must be ordered as 0<α<1<β0 < \alpha < 1 < \beta0<α<1<β, which fails at w=1w = 1w=1 when λ0<μ0\lambda_0 < \mu_0λ0​<μ0​ (the roots are then 111 and μ0/λ0\mu_0/\lambda_0μ0​/λ0​): every statement about α\alphaα, β\betaβ, ψ\psiψ has to be made for 0<w<10 < w < 10<w<1, and the law is identified from the power series on that interval. Second, the normalization ∑QM=1\sum Q_M = 1∑QM​=1 is a statement at the boundary y=xw=xy = xw = xy=xw=x of the series for 1−1−y1 - \sqrt{1 - y}1−1−y​; at λ0=μ0\lambda_0 = \mu_0λ0​=μ0​ this is y=1y = 1y=1, the edge of the disc of convergence, where convergence of the series is not automatic and where the value 1−x=(μ0−λ0)/(λ0+μ0)\sqrt{1 - x} = (\mu_0 - \lambda_0)/(\lambda_0 + \mu_0)1−x​=(μ0​−λ0​)/(λ0​+μ0​) uses λ0≤μ0\lambda_0 \le \mu_0λ0​≤μ0​. For λ0>μ0\lambda_0 > \mu_0λ0​>μ0​ the same series sums to μ0/λ0<1\mu_0/\lambda_0 < 1μ0​/λ0​<1, so the hypothesis is essential. Third, the asymptotic M−3/2M^{-3/2}M−3/2 in the balanced case needs the asymptotics of central binomial coefficients.

Formalization scope

All objects are real functions; the process and the joint law Pn,M(t)P_{n,M}(t)Pn,M​(t) are not constructed, exactly as in the paper. "The law of M∞M_\inftyM∞​" is read, as on p. 11, as the coefficients of the generating function lim⁡t→∞ψ(1,w,t)\lim_{t\to\infty}\psi(1, w, t)limt→∞​ψ(1,w,t), and ψ\psiψ is tied to the process through the equation (31) and the boundary condition (32). The committed conventions are:

  • constant rates 0<λ0≤μ00 < \lambda_0 \le \mu_00<λ0​≤μ0​ (strict λ0<μ0\lambda_0 < \mu_0λ0​<μ0​ for the moment companion, λ0=μ0\lambda_0 = \mu_0λ0​=μ0​ for the balanced companion);
  • α\alphaα and β\betaβ are given by the quadratic formula, α\alphaα with the minus sign, Real.sqrt the nonnegative root;
  • statements about α\alphaα, β\betaβ, ψ\psiψ hold for w∈(0,1)w \in (0, 1)w∈(0,1); (31) is asserted for z∈[0,1]z \in [0, 1]z∈[0,1], t≥0t \ge 0t≥0, and the boundary condition for every real zzz;
  • (31) is SolvesPDE: both partial derivatives exist as HasDerivAt facts and satisfy the equation, never an equation between deriv values;
  • Q0=0Q_0 = 0Q0​=0 (since M∞≥M0=1M_\infty \ge M_0 = 1M∞​≥M0​=1), and QMQ_MQM​ keeps the printed shape (2M)!/(22M(M!)2)(2M)!/(2^{2M}(M!)^2)(2M)!/(22M(M!)2) with 2M−12M - 12M−1 in the reals;
  • "infinite mean" is non-summability of ∑MQM\sum M Q_M∑MQM​; the variance is stated through the second moment.

A goal that only asserted the power series identity 1−1−y=∑M≥1(2M)!22M(M!)2(2M−1)yM1 - \sqrt{1 - y} = \sum_{M\ge1}\frac{(2M)!}{2^{2M}(M!)^2(2M-1)}y^M1−1−y​=∑M≥1​22M(M!)2(2M−1)(2M)!​yM would be a different and easier theorem with no birth-and-death content; the goal therefore ties QMQ_MQM​ to ψ\psiψ of (50) and ψ\psiψ to the equation (31)–(32).

A complete development needs the binomial series for 1−y\sqrt{1 - y}1−y​ with real coefficients (Mathlib has Nat.centralBinom and general binomial series, and the platform has the generating function of the central binomial coefficients as a proof tool), the boundary behaviour of a power series with nonnegative coefficients, and Stirling-type asymptotics of (2MM)4−M\binom{2M}{M}4^{-M}(M2M​)4−M. These are reusable well beyond this mission. Contributions proving any milestone or companion, or the series lemma on its own, are welcome.

Selected references

  • D. G. Kendall, On the generalized "birth-and-death" process, Annals of Mathematical Statistics 19(1):1–15, 1948. doi:10.1214/aoms/1177730285
  • T. E. Harris, The Theory of Branching Processes, Springer, 1963. doi:10.1007/978-3-642-51866-9
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CombinatoricsDiscrete GeometryGroup Theory·Captain: mikedeng1

Some Polyhedra Related to Combinatorial Problems IV: In a Group All of Whose Elements Have Order 2, or All Order 3, the Irreducible Solutions of the Group Equation Are Exactly the VerticesResearch Paper

Motivation

Every pure integer program min⁡{c⋅x:Ax=b, x≥0 integer}\min\{c\cdot x : Ax = b,\ x \ge 0 \text{ integer}\}min{c⋅x:Ax=b, x≥0 integer} can be relaxed, by dropping the nonnegativity of the basic variables of an optimal linear-programming basis, to a problem over a finite Abelian group: find nonnegative integers t(g)t(g)t(g), one for each nonzero group element, with ∑t(g)⋅g=g0\sum t(g)\cdot g = g_0∑t(g)⋅g=g0​. R. E. Gomory's 1969 paper Some polyhedra related to combinatorial problems (Linear Algebra Appl. 2 (1969) 451–558) studies the convex hulls of the solutions of these group equations, the corner polyhedra, and the master polyhedron P(G,g0)P(\mathcal G, g_0)P(G,g0​) that contains all of them as faces. These polyhedra are the source of the group-theoretic approach to cutting planes: their faces are valid inequalities for every integer program with the same group, and their vertices are the candidate optimal solutions of the group relaxation.

The paper's first section shows that every vertex of such a polyhedron is an irreducible solution, and remarks (p. 460) that the converse fails in general: a typical group has many irreducible solutions that are not vertices. Section 3F identifies a family of groups where the two notions coincide, which is what makes the vertices of these polyhedra countable in closed form.

Setting

Let G\mathcal GG be a finite Abelian group written additively, with zero 0ˉ\bar 00ˉ, and G+=G∖{0ˉ}\mathcal G^+ = \mathcal G\setminus\{\bar 0\}G+=G∖{0ˉ}. For g0∈Gg_0 \in \mathcal Gg0​∈G the group equation is

∑g∈G+t(g)⋅g=g0,t(g)∈{0,1,2,…}.\sum_{g\in\mathcal G^+} t(g)\cdot g = g_0, \qquad t(g) \in \{0, 1, 2, \ldots\}.g∈G+∑​t(g)⋅g=g0​,t(g)∈{0,1,2,…}.

The master polyhedron P(G,g0)P(\mathcal G, g_0)P(G,g0​) is the convex hull in RG+\mathbb R^{\mathcal G^+}RG+ of its nonnegative integer solutions (for g0=0ˉg_0 = \bar 0g0​=0ˉ the solution t=0t = 0t=0 is excluded). A vertex is an extreme point of P(G,g0)P(\mathcal G, g_0)P(G,g0​).

A nonnegative integer vector ttt is irreducible if any two integer vectors r,sr, sr,s with 0≤r,s≤t0 \le r, s \le t0≤r,s≤t and ∑r(g)⋅g=∑s(g)⋅g\sum r(g)\cdot g = \sum s(g)\cdot g∑r(g)⋅g=∑s(g)⋅g are equal. A finite set SSS of group elements is independent if ∑g∈Ssgg=0ˉ\sum_{g\in S} s_g g = \bar 0∑g∈S​sg​g=0ˉ with integers sgs_gsg​ forces sgg=0ˉs_g g = \bar 0sg​g=0ˉ for each ggg.

The groups of §3F are those in which every nonzero element has order 2, the groups G2,G2,2,…\mathcal G_2, \mathcal G_{2,2}, \ldotsG2​,G2,2​,…, or every nonzero element has order 3, the groups G3,G3,3,…\mathcal G_3, \mathcal G_{3,3}, \ldotsG3​,G3,3​,….

Formalization targets

Goal: THEOREM 23 (p. 505)

If every nonzero element of G\mathcal GG has order ppp, with p=2p = 2p=2 or p=3p = 3p=3, and g0≠0ˉg_0 \ne \bar 0g0​=0ˉ, then for every nonnegative integer solution ttt of the group equation

t irreducible  ⟺  t∈vert⁡P(G,g0),t \text{ irreducible} \iff t \in \operatorname{vert} P(\mathcal G, g_0),t irreducible⟺t∈vertP(G,g0​),

and the support {g:t(g)>0}\{g : t(g) > 0\}{g:t(g)>0} of such a vertex is an independent set.

Milestones

  1. THEOREM 2 (p. 460), for P(G,g0)P(\mathcal G, g_0)P(G,g0​) with g0≠0ˉg_0 \ne \bar 0g0​=0ˉ: every vertex is an irreducible integer solution.
  2. The LEMMA of p. 505: for p∈{2,3}p \in \{2, 3\}p∈{2,3}, p>t>0p > t > 0p>t>0 and p>s≥0p > s \ge 0p>s≥0 there are 0≤t′,t′′≤t0 \le t', t'' \le t0≤t′,t′′≤t with t′+s≡t′′(modp)t' + s \equiv t'' \pmod pt′+s≡t′′(modp).
  3. The support of an irreducible solution is independent (p. 506).
  4. A solution vanishing off the support of an irreducible ttt agrees with ttt modulo ppp and dominates it (p. 506, corrected).
  5. An irreducible ttt minimizes π\piπ, the indicator of the complement of its support, every minimizer dominates ttt, and ttt is a vertex (p. 506, corrected).
  6. The vertex characterization (p. 506): a nonzero ttt is a vertex of some P(G,g0)P(\mathcal G, g_0)P(G,g0​), g0≠0ˉg_0 \ne \bar 0g0​=0ˉ, iff its support is independent and t(g)<pt(g) < pt(g)<p for all ggg.

Significance

THEOREM 23 turns a polyhedral question into a combinatorial one for the elementary Abelian 2- and 3-groups: the vertices of P(G,g0)P(\mathcal G, g_0)P(G,g0​) are read off from independent subsets of the group and residues below ppp. Gomory uses this on pp. 506–507 to count all vertices of all P(Gsn,g0)P(\mathcal G_{s^n}, g_0)P(Gsn​,g0​) exactly and to derive their asymptotic number. It also marks the boundary of the general picture: groups with elements of other orders have irreducible solutions that are not vertices.

The result has been proved since 1969; no machine-checked proof exists. The mission produces a Lean statement and, once solved, a verified proof of the theorem together with the general fact that vertices of the master polyhedron are irreducible, a reusable layer for the other group-polyhedron results of the same paper. Two sentences of the printed proof (p. 506) are false as written (see Formalization scope); formalization records their corrected forms.

Difficulty

The direction "vertex ⇒\Rightarrow⇒ irreducible" holds in every group and is a midpoint argument. The difficulty is the converse: showing that an irreducible solution cannot be written as a proper convex combination of other solutions, which are infinitely many and unbounded. The natural route, exhibiting a linear objective that ttt uniquely minimizes, does not work with the objective printed on the page: solutions with the same support as ttt but larger entries are tied with it. The argument must control those solutions through the arithmetic of residues modulo ppp, and this is where the exponent 2 or 3 is used; the analogous residue statement fails for p=5p = 5p=5.

Formalization scope

  • T-space vectors are functions on the subtype {g : G // g ≠ 0}; integer solutions are N\mathbb NN-valued and cast to R\mathbb RR; vertices are Set.extremePoints ℝ of the convex hull of the cast solutions.
  • "All elements of G\mathcal GG are of order 2 or all of order 3" is read as: there is p∈{2,3}p \in \{2, 3\}p∈{2,3} with every nonzero element of order ppp. Groups mixing orders 2 and 3 are excluded, as on the page.
  • g0≠0ˉg_0 \ne \bar 0g0​=0ˉ is a hypothesis of the whole of THEOREM 23 (the page attaches it to the second sentence only). At g0=0ˉg_0 = \bar 0g0​=0ˉ the solution t=0t = 0t=0 is excluded (footnote p. 474) and every nonzero solution is reducible, so the first sentence would fail. THEOREM 2 is restated for P(G,g0)P(\mathcal G, g_0)P(G,g0​), g0≠0ˉg_0 \ne \bar 0g0​=0ˉ, for the same reason.
  • "Independent" is the page's definition with integer coefficients; the gloss "part of a group basis" is not formalized.
  • The letter TTT on pp. 505–506 is the support of ttt, not the solution set.
  • The page's claim that ttt is the only solution vanishing off its support, and the unique minimizer of π\piπ, fail literally (in Z2\mathbb Z_2Z2​ with g0=1g_0 = 1g0​=1, t=(1)t = (1)t=(1) and u=(3)u = (3)u=(3)). Milestones 4 and 5 state the corrected conclusions; the goal theorem is unaffected.
  • The vertex characterization adds t≠0t \ne 0t=0, which the page leaves implicit.
  • Ruled out: stating the order hypothesis for all elements including 0ˉ\bar 00ˉ (unsatisfiable, so the theorem would be vacuous), dropping g0≠0ˉg_0 \ne \bar 0g0​=0ˉ (false statement), or replacing the master polyhedron by a bounded truncation (a different polyhedron with extra vertices).
  • Needed: convex hulls of infinite sets of lattice points and their extreme points (Mathlib's convexHull, extremePoints_convexHull_subset), and finite sums in Abelian groups. Contributions welcome: any of the milestones, and a general lemma that a unique minimizer of a nonnegative linear function over the integer solutions is a vertex.

Selected references

  • R. E. Gomory, Some polyhedra related to combinatorial problems, Linear Algebra and Its Applications 2 (1969), 451–558. https://doi.org/10.1016/0024-3795(69)90017-2
  • R. E. Gomory, On the relation between integer and noninteger solutions to linear programs, Proc. Natl. Acad. Sci. USA 53 (1965), 260–265. https://doi.org/10.1073/pnas.53.2.260
  • R. E. Gomory and E. L. Johnson, Some continuous functions related to corner polyhedra, Mathematical Programming 3 (1972), 23–85. https://doi.org/10.1007/BF01584976
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Convex OptimizationOperations ResearchOptimization+1·Captain: mikedeng1

Loss Networks 2: The Erlang Fixed Point Is E_j = 1 − exp(−y_j) for the Unique Optimum y of the Strictly Convex Revised Dual ProblemResearch Paper

Motivation

A loss network is a model of a circuit-switched network: telephone networks, and more generally any system in which a request seizes several resources at once and is lost if any of them is unavailable. Exact loss probabilities in such networks are given by a product-form distribution over a state space whose size grows exponentially with the number of routes, so practitioners compute an approximation instead: the Erlang fixed point, also called the reduced-load approximation. It pretends that links block independently, computes the traffic offered to each link after thinning by the other links, and applies Erlang's single-link formula link by link. Reduced-load approximations of this kind recur throughout §§3–4 of Kelly 1991, where they appear as limits of networks with fixed and with alternative routing.

An approximation defined by a fixed point equation raises an immediate question: does the equation have exactly one solution? Under fixed routing it does, and Kelly's Theorem 3.7 (Ann. Appl. Probab. 1991, p. 338, citing Kelly 1986, reference [33] of the paper) proves it by identifying the fixed point with the optimum of a strictly convex program, the revised dual problem. The convex characterization is specific to fixed routing; the paper notes (p. 337) that for networks with dynamic routing and control nonuniquely determined behaviour can occur.

Setting

There are JJJ links, link jjj having Cj≥1C_j \ge 1Cj​≥1 circuits, and a finite set of routes rrr. A call on route rrr uses Ajr∈Z+A_{jr} \in \mathbb Z_+Ajr​∈Z+​ circuits of link jjj, and calls on route rrr arrive as a Poisson stream of rate νr>0\nu_r > 0νr​>0.

Erlang's formula (1.1) gives the blocking probability of a single link with CCC circuits offered Poisson traffic of intensity ν\nuν:

E(ν,C)=νCC![∑n=0Cνnn!]−1.E(\nu, C) = \frac{\nu^C}{C!}\Big[\sum_{n=0}^{C} \frac{\nu^n}{n!}\Big]^{-1}.E(ν,C)=C!νC​[n=0∑C​n!νn​]−1.

The Erlang fixed point equations (3.1)–(3.2) for the vector of link blocking probabilities (E1,…,EJ)(E_1, \dots, E_J)(E1​,…,EJ​) are

Ej=E(ρj,Cj),ρj=(1−Ej)−1∑rAjr νr∏i(1−Ei)Air,j=1,…,J.E_j = E(\rho_j, C_j), \qquad \rho_j = (1 - E_j)^{-1} \sum_r A_{jr}\,\nu_r \prod_i (1 - E_i)^{A_{ir}}, \qquad j = 1, \dots, J.Ej​=E(ρj​,Cj​),ρj​=(1−Ej​)−1r∑​Ajr​νr​i∏​(1−Ei​)Air​,j=1,…,J.

The utilization function U(y,C)U(y, C)U(y,C) is defined by the implicit relation (3.4),

U(−log⁡(1−E(ν,C)), C)=ν (1−E(ν,C)),ν≥0:U\big(-\log(1 - E(\nu, C)),\, C\big) = \nu\,\big(1 - E(\nu, C)\big), \qquad \nu \ge 0:U(−log(1−E(ν,C)),C)=ν(1−E(ν,C)),ν≥0:

the mean number of busy circuits on a single link whose blocking probability is 1−e−y1 - e^{-y}1−e−y.

The revised dual problem (3.5) is

minimize∑rνrexp⁡(−∑jyjAjr)+∑j∫0yjU(z,Cj) dzsubject to y≥0,\text{minimize} \quad \sum_r \nu_r \exp\Big(-\sum_j y_j A_{jr}\Big) + \sum_j \int_0^{y_j} U(z, C_j)\,dz \qquad \text{subject to } y \ge 0,minimizer∑​νr​exp(−j∑​yj​Ajr​)+j∑​∫0yj​​U(z,Cj​)dzsubject to y≥0,

and its stationarity conditions (3.6) are

∑rAjr νrexp⁡(−∑iyiAir)=U(yj,Cj),j=1,…,J.\sum_r A_{jr}\,\nu_r \exp\Big(-\sum_i y_i A_{ir}\Big) = U(y_j, C_j), \qquad j = 1, \dots, J.r∑​Ajr​νr​exp(−i∑​yi​Air​)=U(yj​,Cj​),j=1,…,J.

The revised dual differs from the dual problem (2.3) of §2, whose optimum gives the limiting blocking probabilities of a large network, only in its last term: ∑jyjCj\sum_j y_j C_j∑j​yj​Cj​ becomes ∑j∫0yjU(z,Cj) dz\sum_j \int_0^{y_j} U(z, C_j)\,dz∑j​∫0yj​​U(z,Cj​)dz.

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem 3.7

The revised dual problem (3.5) has an optimum yyy, every optimum equals yyy, and

E∈[0,1]J solves (3.1)–(3.2)  ⟺  Ej=1−exp⁡(−yj) for every j.E \in [0,1]^J \text{ solves (3.1)–(3.2)} \iff E_j = 1 - \exp(-y_j) \text{ for every } j.E∈[0,1]J solves (3.1)–(3.2)⟺Ej​=1−exp(−yj​) for every j.

The goal states the characterization, not only the existence and uniqueness of the fixed point: the solution is 1−e−y1 - e^{-y}1−e−y for the optimum yyy of (3.5).

Milestones (p. 338, in the order the argument uses them)

  1. (3.4) defines a function: ν↦−log⁡(1−E(ν,C))\nu \mapsto -\log(1 - E(\nu, C))ν↦−log(1−E(ν,C)) is a continuous strictly increasing bijection of [0,∞)[0,\infty)[0,∞) onto itself for C≥1C \ge 1C≥1, UUU satisfies (3.4), and U≥0U \ge 0U≥0.
  2. y↦U(y,C)y \mapsto U(y, C)y↦U(y,C) is strictly increasing on [0,∞)[0, \infty)[0,∞).
  3. y↦∫0yU(z,C) dzy \mapsto \int_0^y U(z, C)\,dzy↦∫0y​U(z,C)dz is strictly convex, and so is the objective of (3.5) on y≥0y \ge 0y≥0.
  4. (3.5) has exactly one optimum.
  5. A vector y≥0y \ge 0y≥0 is optimal for (3.5) if and only if it satisfies (3.6).
  6. A solution of (3.1)–(3.2) in [0,1]J[0,1]^J[0,1]J has all Ej<1E_j < 1Ej​<1; and for y≥0y \ge 0y≥0, Ej=1−e−yjE_j = 1 - e^{-y_j}Ej​=1−e−yj​ solves (3.1)–(3.2) if and only if yyy satisfies (3.6).

Significance

The theorem turns a nonlinear system of JJJ equations into a smooth strictly convex minimization over the nonnegative orthant. Uniqueness of the fixed point follows at once, and the program gives a computational handle: any convex-minimization method computes the Erlang fixed point, without relying on the convergence of repeated substitution. The comparison with the dual problem (2.3) also explains the approximation: (3.6) relaxes the conditions (2.7), which force a link's carried traffic to equal its capacity before it can block, into a smooth relation in which blocking grows with carried traffic as Erlang's formula prescribes (Remark 3.8).

On Prove2Me, existence and uniqueness of the fixed point alone is already the Proved theorem KellyStochasticNetworks.erlang_fixed_point_unique (Kelly–Yudovina, Stochastic Networks, Theorem 3.20), referenced by this mission. Also referenced: KellyStochasticNetworks.erlang_strictMono (Proved: ν↦E(ν,C)\nu \mapsto E(\nu, C)ν↦E(ν,C) and ν↦ν(1−E(ν,C))\nu \mapsto \nu(1 - E(\nu, C))ν↦ν(1−E(ν,C)) are strictly increasing for C≥1C \ge 1C≥1) and KellyStochasticNetworks.erlang_mean_busy_circuits (Proved: the mean number of busy circuits is ν(1−E(ν,C))\nu(1 - E(\nu, C))ν(1−E(ν,C)), the reading of UUU as a utilization). What this mission adds is the revised dual problem itself, the utilization function UUU, and the identification of the fixed point with the optimum of (3.5); none of these is formalized on the platform.

Difficulty

The function UUU is defined only implicitly, through the inverse of ν↦−log⁡(1−E(ν,C))\nu \mapsto -\log(1 - E(\nu, C))ν↦−log(1−E(ν,C)), so every property of the objective of (3.5) passes through properties of Erlang's formula: monotonicity, continuity, and the limit E(ν,C)→1E(\nu, C) \to 1E(ν,C)→1 as ν→∞\nu \to \inftyν→∞. Differentiating ∫0yU\int_0^{y} U∫0y​U needs continuity of UUU, which must be derived from the inverse.

The paper's sentence "strictly convex: it thus has a unique minimum" covers only uniqueness. Existence of a minimizer on the unbounded set y≥0y \ge 0y≥0 is a separate fact, a growth estimate for the integral terms, and it is part of milestone 4. The first term of (3.5) is not strictly convex when AAA has rank less than JJJ, so strict convexity must come from the separable integral terms. Finally, optimality over y≥0y \ge 0y≥0 yields only one-sided conditions at coordinates with yj=0y_j = 0yj​=0; that (3.6) is an equality there uses U(0,C)=0U(0, C) = 0U(0,C)=0.

Formalization scope

Lean namespace KellyLossNetworks.RevisedDual. Links are Fin J, routes Fin R, the incidence matrix is A : Fin J → Fin R → ℕ, rates ν : Fin R → ℝ, capacities C : Fin J → ℕ, following the published Kelly–Yudovina definitions. Every statement assumes νr>0\nu_r > 0νr​>0 and Cj≥1C_j \ge 1Cj​≥1; the paper uses both without stating them, and a link with Cj=0C_j = 0Cj​=0 makes (3.4) meaningless, since E(ν,0)=1E(\nu, 0) = 1E(ν,0)=1.

Erlang's formula is the published KellyStochasticNetworks.erlang and the fixed point equations (3.1)–(3.2) are the published KellyStochasticNetworks.ErlangFixedPoint, whose factor (1−Ej)−1(1 - E_j)^{-1}(1−Ej​)−1 is Lean's total inverse; milestone 6 shows that no solution in [0,1]J[0,1]^J[0,1]J reaches Ej=1E_j = 1Ej​=1. Solutions are sought in [0,1]J[0,1]^J[0,1]J, as on p. 338.

UUU is defined by choice: U(y,C)=ν(1−E(ν,C))U(y, C) = \nu(1 - E(\nu, C))U(y,C)=ν(1−E(ν,C)) for a ν≥0\nu \ge 0ν≥0 with −log⁡(1−E(ν,C))=y-\log(1 - E(\nu, C)) = y−log(1−E(ν,C))=y, and 000 if none exists. For C≥1C \ge 1C≥1, y≥0y \ge 0y≥0 the ν\nuν is unique, and that (3.4) holds is milestone 1, a theorem, not an axiom built into the definition. Values at y<0y < 0y<0 or C=0C = 0C=0 are placeholders that no statement uses. The integral in (3.5) is the interval integral ∫0yj\int_0^{y_j}∫0yj​​. An optimum of (3.5) is a y≥0y \ge 0y≥0 whose objective value is at most that of every z≥0z \ge 0z≥0.

A trivializing formalization is ruled out: replacing UUU by any closed form other than the one fixed by (3.4) (for instance U(z,C)=CU(z, C) = CU(z,C)=C, the fluid utilization of Remark 3.8) would change the problem and reduce (3.5) to the dual (2.3); and the goal asserts the identification E=1−e−yE = 1 - e^{-y}E=1−e−y rather than restating the existence and uniqueness that is already Proved.

A complete development needs: inverse-function arguments for a strictly increasing continuous map of [0,∞)[0, \infty)[0,∞), derivatives of interval integrals with continuous integrands, strict convexity of separable sums, and first-order optimality conditions for convex functions on the nonnegative orthant. The facts about Erlang's formula and about UUU are reusable in any reduced-load analysis. Proofs of individual milestones are welcome independently.

Selected references

  • F. P. Kelly, Loss networks, The Annals of Applied Probability 1(3):319–378, 1991. https://doi.org/10.1214/aoap/1177005872
  • F. P. Kelly, Blocking probabilities in large circuit-switched networks, Advances in Applied Probability 18:473–505, 1986 (reference [33] of Kelly 1991; DOI not verified offline).
  • F. P. Kelly and E. Yudovina, Stochastic Networks, Cambridge University Press, 2014 (the source of the Proved platform items referenced here; DOI not verified offline).
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Numerical AnalysisOperations ResearchOptimization·Captain: mikedeng1

Global Convergence Properties of Conjugate Gradient Methods for Optimization I: Conjugate Gradient Methods with |β_k| ≤ β_k^FR Are Globally Convergent under Strong Wolfe Line SearchesResearch Paper

Motivation

Nonlinear conjugate gradient methods minimize a smooth function fff of nnn variables using only function values, gradients and a few vectors of storage. They are the method of choice when nnn is so large that quasi-Newton matrices cannot be stored, and they remain a standard component of large-scale optimization software. Their convergence theory is delicate: the classical results assume exact line searches, while practical codes accept any steplength satisfying inexpensive inexact conditions.

Gilbert and Nocedal (INRIA RR-1268, 1990; journal version SIAM J. Optim. 2 (1992)) organized the global convergence theory of these methods around a single device and proved two families of results. This mission covers the first: every conjugate gradient method whose parameter βk\beta_kβk​ is bounded in absolute value by the Fletcher–Reeves value converges under the strong Wolfe line search.

Timeline. Fletcher and Reeves (1964) and Polak and Ribière (1969) introduced the two best-known choices of βk\beta_kβk​. Zoutendijk (1970) and Wolfe (1969, 1971) established the summability condition now called Zoutendijk's condition. Al-Baali (1985) proved that the Fletcher–Reeves method with the strong Wolfe line search and σ2<12\sigma_2 < \tfrac12σ2​<21​ generates descent directions and satisfies lim inf⁡∥gk∥=0\liminf\|g_k\| = 0liminf∥gk​∥=0. Touati-Ahmed and Storey (1990) treated nonnegative hybrids. Gilbert and Nocedal (1990) extended Al-Baali's theorem to every βk\beta_kβk​ with ∣βk∣≤βkFR|\beta_k| \le \beta_k^{FR}∣βk​∣≤βkFR​, which admits negative values and yields a convergent modification of the Polak–Ribière method.

Setting

Let EEE be a finite-dimensional real inner product space and f:E→Rf : E \to \mathbb Rf:E→R continuously differentiable, with gradient g=∇fg = \nabla fg=∇f for that inner product. Starting from x1x_1x1​, the method generates

d1=−g1,dk=−gk+βkdk−1 (k≥2),xk+1=xk+αkdk,d_1 = -g_1,\qquad d_k = -g_k + \beta_k d_{k-1}\ (k\ge 2),\qquad x_{k+1} = x_k + \alpha_k d_k,d1​=−g1​,dk​=−gk​+βk​dk−1​ (k≥2),xk+1​=xk​+αk​dk​,

where gk=g(xk)g_k = g(x_k)gk​=g(xk​), βk\beta_kβk​ is a scalar and αk>0\alpha_k > 0αk​>0 a steplength found by a one-dimensional search. The Fletcher–Reeves and Polak–Ribière scalars are

βkFR=∥gk∥2∥gk−1∥2,βkPR=⟨gk,gk−gk−1⟩∥gk−1∥2.\beta_k^{FR} = \frac{\|g_k\|^2}{\|g_{k-1}\|^2},\qquad \beta_k^{PR} = \frac{\langle g_k, g_k - g_{k-1}\rangle}{\|g_{k-1}\|^2}.βkFR​=∥gk−1​∥2∥gk​∥2​,βkPR​=∥gk−1​∥2⟨gk​,gk​−gk−1​⟩​.

Assumptions 2.1: the level set L={x:f(x)≤f(x1)}\mathcal L = \{x : f(x) \le f(x_1)\}L={x:f(x)≤f(x1​)} is bounded, and on an open neighbourhood N\mathcal NN of L\mathcal LL the gradient is Lipschitz: ∥g(x)−g(x~)∥≤L∥x−x~∥\|g(x) - g(\tilde x)\| \le L\|x - \tilde x\|∥g(x)−g(x~)∥≤L∥x−x~∥.

A steplength satisfies the Wolfe conditions with 0<σ1<σ2<10 < \sigma_1 < \sigma_2 < 10<σ1​<σ2​<1 if

f(xk+αkdk)≤f(xk)+σ1αk⟨gk,dk⟩,⟨g(xk+αkdk),dk⟩≥σ2⟨gk,dk⟩,f(x_k + \alpha_k d_k) \le f(x_k) + \sigma_1\alpha_k\langle g_k, d_k\rangle,\qquad \langle g(x_k+\alpha_k d_k), d_k\rangle \ge \sigma_2\langle g_k, d_k\rangle,f(xk​+αk​dk​)≤f(xk​)+σ1​αk​⟨gk​,dk​⟩,⟨g(xk​+αk​dk​),dk​⟩≥σ2​⟨gk​,dk​⟩,

and the strong Wolfe conditions if the second inequality is replaced by ∣⟨g(xk+αkdk),dk⟩∣≤−σ2⟨gk,dk⟩|\langle g(x_k+\alpha_k d_k), d_k\rangle| \le -\sigma_2\langle g_k, d_k\rangle∣⟨g(xk​+αk​dk​),dk​⟩∣≤−σ2​⟨gk​,dk​⟩. The angle θk\theta_kθk​ between −gk-g_k−gk​ and dkd_kdk​ is given by cos⁡θk=−⟨gk,dk⟩/(∥gk∥∥dk∥)\cos\theta_k = -\langle g_k, d_k\rangle/(\|g_k\|\|d_k\|)cosθk​=−⟨gk​,dk​⟩/(∥gk​∥∥dk​∥), and the Zoutendijk condition is ∑k≥1cos⁡2θk∥gk∥2<∞\sum_{k\ge1}\cos^2\theta_k\|g_k\|^2 < \infty∑k≥1​cos2θk​∥gk​∥2<∞.

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem 3.2

Under Assumptions 2.1, for any method of the above form with

∣βk∣≤βkFR(k≥2)|\beta_k| \le \beta_k^{FR}\quad (k \ge 2)∣βk​∣≤βkFR​(k≥2)

and steplengths satisfying the strong Wolfe conditions with 0<σ1<σ2<120 < \sigma_1 < \sigma_2 < \tfrac120<σ1​<σ2​<21​,

lim inf⁡k→∞∥gk∥=0.\liminf_{k\to\infty}\|g_k\| = 0 .k→∞liminf​∥gk​∥=0.

The sequence βk\beta_kβk​ is arbitrary within the bound; the statement contains no constants.

Milestones

  • Theorem 2.1 (i) (Zoutendijk): for any iteration xk+1=xk+αkdkx_{k+1} = x_k + \alpha_k d_kxk+1​=xk​+αk​dk​ with descent directions and Wolfe steps, ∑k≥1cos⁡2θk∥gk∥2<∞\sum_{k\ge1}\cos^2\theta_k\|g_k\|^2 < \infty∑k≥1​cos2θk​∥gk​∥2<∞.
  • Lemma 3.1: under ∣βk∣≤βkFR|\beta_k| \le \beta_k^{FR}∣βk​∣≤βkFR​ and the strong Wolfe curvature condition with σ2<12\sigma_2 < \tfrac12σ2​<21​, every dkd_kdk​ is a descent direction and
−∑j=0k−1σ2j≤⟨gk,dk⟩∥gk∥2≤−2+∑j=0k−1σ2j.-\sum_{j=0}^{k-1}\sigma_2^j \le \frac{\langle g_k, d_k\rangle}{\|g_k\|^2} \le -2 + \sum_{j=0}^{k-1}\sigma_2^j .−j=0∑k−1​σ2j​≤∥gk​∥2⟨gk​,dk​⟩​≤−2+j=0∑k−1​σ2j​.
  • (3.5): there are c1,c2>0c_1, c_2 > 0c1​,c2​>0 with c1∥gk∥/∥dk∥≤cos⁡θk≤c2∥gk∥/∥dk∥c_1\|g_k\|/\|d_k\| \le \cos\theta_k \le c_2\|g_k\|/\|d_k\|c1​∥gk​∥/∥dk​∥≤cosθk​≤c2​∥gk​∥/∥dk​∥.

Further statements

Theorem 2.1 (ii) (the same conclusion for an ideal line search that does no worse than the first stationary point along dkd_kdk​) and the convergence of the hybrid method (3.7), βk=max⁡(−βkFR,min⁡(βkPR,βkFR))\beta_k = \max(-\beta_k^{FR}, \min(\beta_k^{PR}, \beta_k^{FR}))βk​=max(−βkFR​,min(βkPR​,βkFR​)).

Significance

Theorem 3.2 shows that descent and global convergence of Fletcher–Reeves-type methods do not depend on the exact formula for βk\beta_kβk​, only on the bound ∣βk∣≤βkFR|\beta_k| \le \beta_k^{FR}∣βk​∣≤βkFR​. Its main consequence is the hybrid method (3.7), which keeps the Polak–Ribière choice whenever it lies in [−βkFR,βkFR][-\beta_k^{FR}, \beta_k^{FR}][−βkFR​,βkFR​], and so retains the practical efficiency of Polak–Ribière while inheriting the convergence guarantee of Fletcher–Reeves. Lemma 3.1 also shows that, under these conditions, descent need not be enforced by the line search.

The results are proved in the paper. To our knowledge none of them, nor Zoutendijk's theorem for general iterations, has a machine-checked proof in Lean; Mathlib has no theory of line search methods. A formalization would provide a reusable Zoutendijk theorem for any descent method with Wolfe steps, and a verified convergence statement for the conjugate gradient methods used in practice.

Difficulty

The obvious route to convergence of a descent method is to show cos⁡θk\cos\theta_kcosθk​ bounded away from zero and apply Zoutendijk's condition. For conjugate gradient methods this fails: dkd_kdk​ accumulates previous directions and cos⁡θk\cos\theta_kcosθk​ can tend to zero. The argument must instead control the growth of ∥dk∥\|d_k\|∥dk​∥, which requires bounding ⟨gk,dk−1⟩\langle g_k, d_{k-1}\rangle⟨gk​,dk−1​⟩ through the line search, and this in turn requires knowing that every dkd_kdk​ is a descent direction with ⟨gk,dk⟩\langle g_k, d_k\rangle⟨gk​,dk​⟩ comparable to ∥gk∥2\|g_k\|^2∥gk​∥2. The threshold σ2<12\sigma_2 < \tfrac12σ2​<21​ is exactly what keeps the geometric series in these bounds below 222; the result fails without it.

Formalization scope

All items live in the namespace NonlinCG.FRBound. The space is a finite-dimensional real inner product space E (the paper uses "the scalar product used to compute the gradient"), and gradient f is the gradient for that product. Conventions committed to:

  • Indexing follows the paper: sequences ℕ → E, used from index 1; index 0 is never constrained.
  • Smoothness: every statement assumes fff globally C1C^1C1, from (1.1) "f is smooth", in addition to Assumptions 2.1 (bounded level set; C1C^1C1 and Lipschitz gradient on an open neighbourhood N\mathcal NN of L\mathcal LL, with L>0L > 0L>0).
  • Steplengths are positive, as in the paper's line searches.
  • βk\beta_kβk​ is a free sequence constrained by ∣βk∣≤βkFR|\beta_k| \le \beta_k^{FR}∣βk​∣≤βkFR​, not the Fletcher–Reeves formula. Fixing βk=βkFR\beta_k = \beta_k^{FR}βk​=βkFR​ would state Al-Baali's theorem instead.
  • Division: βFR\beta^{FR}βFR, βPR\beta^{PR}βPR, cos⁡θk\cos\theta_kcosθk​ are Lean divisions (value 0 on a zero denominator). Theorem 3.2 does not assume gk≠0g_k \ne 0gk​=0; Lemma 3.1 and (3.5) assume it, since the paper divides by ∥gk∥2\|g_k\|^2∥gk​∥2 there and descent is impossible at gk=0g_k = 0gk​=0.
  • Zoutendijk's sum is the summability of ⟨gk,dk⟩2/∥dk∥2\langle g_k, d_k\rangle^2/\|d_k\|^2⟨gk​,dk​⟩2/∥dk​∥2, which equals cos⁡2θk∥gk∥2\cos^2\theta_k\|g_k\|^2cos2θk​∥gk​∥2 under descent.
  • liminf is stated as: for every ε>0\varepsilon > 0ε>0 and KKK there is k≥Kk \ge Kk≥K with ∥gk∥<ε\|g_k\| < \varepsilon∥gk​∥<ε.
  • (3.5) asserts existence of the constants only, as the paper does.

The goal does not assume Zoutendijk's condition or descent: both are consequences (Theorem 2.1 and Lemma 3.1) and assuming either would remove part of the theorem's content. The hypotheses are jointly satisfiable (for f(x)=x2/2f(x) = x^2/2f(x)=x2/2 on R\mathbb RR, x1=1x_1 = 1x1​=1, βk=0\beta_k = 0βk​=0, αk=0.9\alpha_k = 0.9αk​=0.9, σ1=0.1\sigma_1 = 0.1σ1​=0.1, σ2=0.25\sigma_2 = 0.25σ2​=0.25), so the goal is not vacuous.

Needed infrastructure: line-search conditions, the descent lemma for functions with Lipschitz gradient on a set, and summability arguments for ∑∥dk∥−2\sum\|d_k\|^{-2}∑∥dk​∥−2. Zoutendijk's theorem is reusable for any descent method. Proofs of any item, and alternative arguments, are welcome.

Selected references

  • J. C. Gilbert, J. Nocedal, Global convergence properties of conjugate gradient methods for optimization, INRIA Rapport de Recherche 1268, 1990. https://hal.inria.fr/inria-00075291 ; SIAM J. Optim. 2(1) (1992) 21–42, https://doi.org/10.1137/0802003
  • M. Al-Baali, Descent property and global convergence of the Fletcher–Reeves method with inexact line search, IMA J. Numer. Anal. 5 (1985) 121–124. https://doi.org/10.1093/imanum/5.1.121
  • R. Fletcher, C. M. Reeves, Function minimization by conjugate gradients, Comput. J. 7 (1964) 149–154. https://doi.org/10.1093/comjnl/7.2.149
  • P. Wolfe, Convergence conditions for ascent methods, SIAM Rev. 11 (1969) 226–235. https://doi.org/10.1137/1011036
  • D. Touati-Ahmed, C. Storey, Efficient hybrid conjugate gradient techniques, J. Optim. Theory Appl. 64 (1990) 379–397. https://doi.org/10.1007/BF00939455
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Linear OptimizationOperations ResearchOptimization·Captain: mikedeng1

The Computational Algorithm for the Parametric Objective Function: The Basis Entered at a Characteristic Value λ̄ Is Optimal on an Interval Whose Left Endpoint Is λ̄Research Paper

Motivation

A linear program often has two objectives that pull in different directions, for example cost and risk, or two policy goals whose relative weight is a matter of judgment. Gass and Saaty (NRLQ 1955) put the question in its simplest form: let every cost coefficient be an affine function dj+λdj′d_j + \lambda d'_jdj​+λdj′​ of one real parameter λ\lambdaλ, and find, for every value of λ\lambdaλ, an optimal solution. Their paper turned this into a procedure that runs the simplex method once and then walks along the λ\lambdaλ-axis, changing one basis column at a time. This parametric objective function method became a standard chapter of linear programming texts and is the prototype of parametric and sensitivity analysis in optimization software.

Timeline.

  • 1951: Dantzig publishes the simplex method (Cowles Commission Monograph No. 13, Ch. XXI; the paper's reference [1]), with the optimality test zj−cj≤0z_j - c_j \le 0zj​−cj​≤0 for a minimization problem.
  • 1954: Gass and Saaty summarize the parametric procedure (J. Oper. Res. Soc. Amer. 2 (1954), 316–319).
  • 1955: the present paper gives the procedure in detail, proves the THEOREM that makes it work, and reports computations on the National Bureau of Standards SEAC computer.

Setting

For each real λ\lambdaλ the problem is

minimize ∑j=1n(dj+λdj′) xjsubject toxj≥0 (j=1,…,n),∑j=1naijxj=ai0 (i=1,…,m).\text{minimize } \sum_{j=1}^n (d_j + \lambda d'_j)\,x_j \quad\text{subject to}\quad x_j \ge 0\ (j = 1,\dots,n),\qquad \sum_{j=1}^n a_{ij}x_j = a_{i0}\ (i = 1,\dots,m).minimize j=1∑n​(dj​+λdj′​)xj​subject toxj​≥0 (j=1,…,n),j=1∑n​aij​xj​=ai0​ (i=1,…,m).

Write A=(aij)A = (a_{ij})A=(aij​), an m×nm\times nm×n real matrix with columns A1,…,AnA_1,\dots,A_nA1​,…,An​, and b=(ai0)b = (a_{i0})b=(ai0​). A basis is a list of mmm linearly independent columns AB(1),…,AB(m)A_{B(1)},\dots,A_{B(m)}AB(1)​,…,AB(m)​; its basic solution xxx has xj=0x_j = 0xj​=0 off the basis and Ax=bAx = bAx=b, and it is a basic feasible solution when also x≥0x \ge 0x≥0. Every column has coordinates yijy_{ij}yij​ in the basis, Aj=∑iyijAB(i)A_j = \sum_i y_{ij}A_{B(i)}Aj​=∑i​yij​AB(i)​. For a cost vector ccc the simplex method uses zj=∑iyijcB(i)z_j = \sum_i y_{ij}c_{B(i)}zj​=∑i​yij​cB(i)​; for the cost c=d+λd′c = d + \lambda d'c=d+λd′ the number zj−cjz_j - c_jzj​−cj​ is affine in λ\lambdaλ:

zj−cj=αj+λβj.z_j - c_j = \alpha_j + \lambda\beta_j .zj​−cj​=αj​+λβj​.

The basis is optimal at λ\lambdaλ when αj+λβj≤0\alpha_j + \lambda\beta_j \le 0αj​+λβj​≤0 for all jjj (inequalities (3)). The critical values of the basis are

λ‾=max⁡βj<0(−αjβj) (−∞ if all βj≥0),λˉ=min⁡βj>0(−αjβj) (+∞ if all βj≤0).\underline\lambda = \max_{\beta_j<0}\Big(-\frac{\alpha_j}{\beta_j}\Big)\ (-\infty \text{ if all }\beta_j\ge 0),\qquad \bar\lambda = \min_{\beta_j>0}\Big(-\frac{\alpha_j}{\beta_j}\Big)\ (+\infty \text{ if all }\beta_j\le 0).λ​=βj​<0max​(−βj​αj​​) (−∞ if all βj​≥0),λˉ=βj​>0min​(−βj​αj​​) (+∞ if all βj​≤0).

The paper assumes throughout that the problem is nondegenerate: no basic feasible solution has more than n−mn - mn−m zero components.

Case A is the situation where the current basis is optimal for some λ\lambdaλ, so that (3) is consistent. If λˉ\bar\lambdaλˉ is finite, attained at an index sss with βs>0\beta_s > 0βs​>0, and some yis>0y_{is} > 0yis​>0, the method brings AsA_sAs​ into the basis and removes the column ArA_rAr​, r=B(ℓ)r = B(\ell)r=B(ℓ), chosen by the simplex ratio test; yrs>0y_{rs} > 0yrs​>0. Call the new basis B′B'B′ and its basic feasible solution x′x'x′.

Formalization targets

Goal: the THEOREM (p. 41)

λˉ=min⁡{λ∈R:x′ minimizes (d+λd′)⊤x over Ax=b, x≥0}.\bar\lambda = \min\big\{\lambda\in\mathbb R : x' \text{ minimizes } (d+\lambda d')^{\top}x \text{ over } Ax = b,\ x \ge 0\big\}.λˉ=min{λ∈R:x′ minimizes (d+λd′)⊤x over Ax=b, x≥0}.

This contains both sentences of the paper's THEOREM: the new basis yields a minimum for at least one λ\lambdaλ (namely λˉ\bar\lambdaλˉ), and the left end λ‾′\underline\lambda'λ​′ of its interval of optimality equals λˉ\bar\lambdaλˉ. The statement uses "least element" and so does not presuppose that the set is an interval.

Milestones

  1. (3): under nondegeneracy, a basic feasible solution is a minimum at λ\lambdaλ if and only if αj+λβj≤0\alpha_j + \lambda\beta_j \le 0αj​+λβj​≤0 for all jjj.
  2. (4)–(5): if (3) is consistent, it holds exactly for λ‾≤λ≤λˉ\underline\lambda \le \lambda \le \bar\lambdaλ​≤λ≤λˉ.
  3. The reduced-cost optimality criterion and its nondegenerate converse, and feasibility of the basis after a simplex pivot (both already proved on the platform).
  4. [1]: λˉ\bar\lambdaλˉ satisfies the inequalities (3') αj′+λβj′≤0\alpha'_j + \lambda\beta'_j \le 0αj′​+λβj′​≤0 of the new basis.
  5. (7): αr′=−αs/yrs\alpha'_r = -\alpha_s/y_{rs}αr′​=−αs​/yrs​ and βr′=−βs/yrs\beta'_r = -\beta_s/y_{rs}βr′​=−βs​/yrs​.
  6. (7)–(8): no λ<λˉ\lambda < \bar\lambdaλ<λˉ satisfies (3').
  7. Case A stop: in the nondegenerate Case A setup, if every yis≤0y_{is} \le 0yis​≤0, there is no minimum for any λ>λˉ\lambda > \bar\lambdaλ>λˉ.
  8. Summary (4): under the section's standing assumptions, the set of λ\lambdaλ for which a minimum exists is closed and connected.

Significance

The THEOREM is what makes the parametric procedure correct. The optimality intervals of successive bases meet end to end: the basis entered at λˉ\bar\lambdaλˉ takes over exactly where the old one stops, with no gap and no overlap. Together with the stopping rule this gives the paper's summary: starting from one optimal basis, the procedure produces a finite list of bases and characteristic values covering every λ\lambdaλ for which the problem has a minimum, and that set is a closed interval. The same structure underlies the piecewise linear, concave optimal value as a function of λ\lambdaλ, the parametric right-hand-side method by duality, and the shadow-vertex simplex method.

The result is classical and its proof is short, but as printed it contains a sign slip: display (8) on p. 41 states the inequality in the wrong direction, so the contradiction the authors claim does not follow from what they wrote. The formal development states the corrected argument. To our knowledge none of these parametric statements has a machine-checked proof; the fixed-cost facts they rest on (the reduced-cost optimality criterion, Bertsimas–Tsitsiklis Theorem 3.1, and the feasibility of the pivoted basis, Theorem 3.2) are already proved on the platform in Shuze Chen's LinearOptimization library and are reused here as reference items.

Difficulty

The natural first idea is to observe that λˉ\bar\lambdaλˉ satisfies (3') and conclude. This proves only that the new basis is optimal at λˉ\bar\lambdaλˉ. The statement that nothing below λˉ\bar\lambdaλˉ works is a statement about optimality, not about the inequalities (3'): one must know that failure of (3') at λ\lambdaλ means that x′x'x′ is not optimal at λ\lambdaλ. That converse of the optimality test is false for a degenerate basic solution, which can be optimal while some zj−cjz_j - c_jzj​−cj​ is positive. The nondegeneracy assumption is therefore essential, and it must be transported to the new basic solution. The other ingredient is the pivot update of zj−cjz_j - c_jzj​−cj​ when one column leaves and another enters, which the paper uses through (7) without writing it down.

Formalization scope

The problem data are A : Matrix (Fin m) (Fin n) ℝ, b : Fin m → ℝ and cost vectors d d' : Fin n → ℝ; the parameter λ\lambdaλ is the Lean variable t (λ is a Lean keyword). Indices are 0-based. Feasible set, optimality, bases, reduced costs, basic directions, the coordinates yijy_{ij}yij​ (pivotColumn) and basic feasible solutions (IsSimplexState) are the published LinearOptimization definitions. The commitments and readings of the paper's phrases are:

  • Sign. The platform's reduced cost is cˉj=cj−cB′B−1Aj=−(zj−cj)\bar c_j = c_j - c_B'B^{-1}A_j = -(z_j - c_j)cˉj​=cj​−cB′​B−1Aj​=−(zj​−cj​); αj\alpha_jαj​ and βj\beta_jβj​ are defined as the negatives of the reduced costs for ddd and d′d'd′, and (3), (3'), (5), (7) are stated in the paper's sign.
  • "Yields a minimum" means that the point is feasible and its cost is at most that of every feasible point (IsLpOptimal), never a comparison of values.
  • λˉ\bar\lambdaλˉ is finite in the THEOREM; it is the real number −αs/βs-\alpha_s/\beta_s−αs​/βs​ for an index sss with βs>0\beta_s > 0βs​>0 attaining the minimum. As a function, (5) is valued in WithTop ℝ and WithBot ℝ; no real infimum of a possibly empty set is used.
  • Nondegeneracy is stated for every basic feasible solution, including in the Case A stopping rule and Summary (4). The stopping rule also carries Case A consistency, and Summary (4) carries the section's available basic feasible solution. Linear independence of the rows of AAA is assumed where the platform's criteria need it; it follows from the existence of a basis.
  • "By the simplex method" is the reduced-cost optimality criterion; "the simplex prescription" is the ratio test; "no minimum" in the stopping rule is the unbounded outcome, optimal value −∞-\infty−∞, with the absence of a minimizer stated explicitly.
  • The paper's interval δ≤λ≤ϕ\delta \le \lambda \le \phiδ≤λ≤ϕ of interest plays no role in the THEOREM and is dropped.

The goal is not satisfied by a degenerate reading: its set is defined by optimality, not by the inequalities (3'), and its hypotheses hold on an explicit instance, so the statement is neither the definition of the critical value restated nor vacuous.

Not formalized: Case B (the search for a first λ\lambdaλ with a minimum), Summary (1)–(2) on the whole procedure, the no-repetition remark, the computing experience (§3) and the worked example (§4). Contributions welcome include the pivot-update formula for reduced costs, which is reusable for any simplex-based argument, and the closedness of the set of cost vectors with a finite optimum.

Selected references

  • S. Gass and T. Saaty, The computational algorithm for the parametric objective function, Naval Research Logistics Quarterly 2 (1955), 39–45. https://doi.org/10.1002/nav.3800020106
  • T. Saaty and S. Gass, The parametric objective function, Journal of the Operations Research Society of America 2 (1954), 316–319. https://doi.org/10.1287/opre.2.3.316
  • G. B. Dantzig, Maximization of a linear function of variables subject to linear inequalities, in T. C. Koopmans (ed.), Activity Analysis of Production and Allocation, Wiley, 1951, Ch. XXI (Cowles Commission Monograph No. 13).
  • D. Bertsimas and J. N. Tsitsiklis, Introduction to Linear Optimization, Athena Scientific, 1997, §3.1–3.2 and §5.2.
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Dynamic ProgrammingLinear OptimizationMarkov Chain+2·Captain: mikedeng1

Linear Programming and Finite Markovian Control Problems V: Average Reward — an Extreme Optimal Solution of the Multichain Linear Program Yields a Pure Stationary Average Optimal PolicyTextbook

Motivation

A Markov decision problem with the average reward criterion asks for a policy that maximises the long-run reward per period of a controlled finite Markov chain. It is the standard model for repeated operational decisions with no natural horizon: inventory replenishment, machine maintenance, queue admission and routing. For finitely many states and actions, Howard (1960) and Blackwell (1962) showed that a pure stationary average optimal policy exists, and policy iteration finds one.

Linear programming formulations are older for the discounted problem (d'Epenoux, 1960) and for chains with a single recurrent class (Manne, 1960). Without a structural assumption, a stationary policy can split the state space into several recurrent classes, the multichain case, and the gain becomes a vector rather than a number. Denardo and Fox (1968) gave a linear programming approach for this case. Hordijk and Kallenberg (1979) showed that a single pair of dual linear programs suffices: an optimal policy can be read off an extreme optimal solution of the dual program. Kallenberg's tract (1983, Chapter 4) is the systematic account of this theory, and this mission formalizes its §4.2–4.4.

Setting

Let EEE be a finite set of states. Each state iii has a nonempty finite set A(i)A(i)A(i) of actions, a reward ria∈Rr_{ia}\in\mathbb Rria​∈R for each action, and transition probabilities piaj≥0p_{iaj}\ge 0piaj​≥0 with ∑jpiaj=1\sum_j p_{iaj}=1∑j​piaj​=1. A policy RRR chooses, at each epoch t=1,2,…t=1,2,\dotst=1,2,…, a probability distribution on A(Xt)A(X_t)A(Xt​) that may depend on the whole history. A stationary policy π∞\pi^\inftyπ∞ uses fixed weights πia\pi_{ia}πia​ at every epoch. A pure stationary policy f∞f^\inftyf∞ always plays f(i)∈A(i)f(i)\in A(i)f(i)∈A(i). Write P(π)ij=∑apiajπiaP(\pi)_{ij}=\sum_a p_{iaj}\pi_{ia}P(π)ij​=∑a​piaj​πia​, r(π)i=∑ariaπiar(\pi)_i=\sum_a r_{ia}\pi_{ia}r(π)i​=∑a​ria​πia​, and P(f)P(f)P(f), r(f)r(f)r(f) in the pure case.

The average reward of RRR from state iii is

ϕi(R)=lim inf⁡T→∞1T∑t=1T∑j∑aPR(Xt=j, Yt=a∣X1=i) rja,\phi_i(R)=\liminf_{T\to\infty}\frac1T\sum_{t=1}^T\sum_j\sum_a\mathbb P_R(X_t=j,\ Y_t=a\mid X_1=i)\,r_{ja},ϕi​(R)=T→∞liminf​T1​t=1∑T​j∑​a∑​PR​(Xt​=j, Yt​=a∣X1​=i)rja​,

and ϕ^i(R)\hat\phi_i(R)ϕ^​i​(R) is the same expression with lim sup⁡\limsuplimsup. The AMD-value-vector is ϕi=sup⁡Rϕi(R)\phi_i=\sup_R\phi_i(R)ϕi​=supR​ϕi​(R), where RRR ranges over all policies, and R∗R^*R∗ is average optimal if ϕ(R∗)=ϕ\phi(R^*)=\phiϕ(R∗)=ϕ. A policy is Blackwell optimal if it maximises the discounted reward vα(R)=∑t≥1αt−1ER[rXtYt]v^\alpha(R)=\sum_{t\ge1}\alpha^{t-1}\mathbb E_R[r_{X_tY_t}]vα(R)=∑t≥1​αt−1ER​[rXt​Yt​​] for all discount factors α\alphaα in some interval [α0,1)[\alpha_0,1)[α0​,1).

For a stochastic matrix PPP, the stationary matrix P∗P^*P∗ is the Cesàro limit of PnP^nPn, and the deviation matrix is D=(I−P+P∗)−1−P∗D=(I-P+P^*)^{-1}-P^*D=(I−P+P∗)−1−P∗. For a pure policy, ϕ(f∞)=P∗(f)r(f)\phi(f^\infty)=P^*(f)r(f)ϕ(f∞)=P∗(f)r(f) and u(f∞)=D(f)r(f)u(f^\infty)=D(f)r(f)u(f∞)=D(f)r(f).

A vector ϕ~\tilde\phiϕ~​ is AMD-superharmonic if some u~\tilde uu~ satisfies ϕ~i≥∑jpiajϕ~j\tilde\phi_i\ge\sum_jp_{iaj}\tilde\phi_jϕ~​i​≥∑j​piaj​ϕ~​j​ and ϕ~i+u~i≥ria+∑jpiaju~j\tilde\phi_i+\tilde u_i\ge r_{ia}+\sum_jp_{iaj}\tilde u_jϕ~​i​+u~i​≥ria​+∑j​piaj​u~j​ for all a∈A(i)a\in A(i)a∈A(i), i∈Ei\in Ei∈E. For weights βj>0\beta_j>0βj​>0 with ∑jβj=1\sum_j\beta_j=1∑j​βj​=1, the primal program (4.2.10) minimises ∑jβjϕ~j\sum_j\beta_j\tilde\phi_j∑j​βj​ϕ~​j​ over such pairs. Its dual is

max⁡{∑i,ariaxia ∣ ∑i,a(δij−piaj)xia=0,  ∑axja+∑i,a(δij−piaj)yia=βj  (j∈E),  x,y≥0}.(4.2.11)\max\Big\{\sum_{i,a}r_{ia}x_{ia}\ \Big|\ \sum_{i,a}(\delta_{ij}-p_{iaj})x_{ia}=0,\ \ \sum_ax_{ja}+\sum_{i,a}(\delta_{ij}-p_{iaj})y_{ia}=\beta_j\ \ (j\in E),\ \ x,y\ge0\Big\}.\tag{4.2.11}max{i,a∑​ria​xia​ ​ i,a∑​(δij​−piaj​)xia​=0,  a∑​xja​+i,a∑​(δij​−piaj​)yia​=βj​  (j∈E),  x,y≥0}.(4.2.11)

Write Ex={i∣∑axia>0}E_x=\{i\mid\sum_ax_{ia}>0\}Ex​={i∣∑a​xia​>0}.

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem 4.2.4

If (x∗,y∗)(x^*,y^*)(x∗,y∗) is an optimal solution of (4.2.11) and an extreme point of its feasible set, then a decision rule f∗f_*f∗​ with

xif∗(i)∗>0  (i∈Ex∗),yif∗(i)∗>0  (i∈E∖Ex∗)x^*_{if_*(i)}>0\ \ (i\in E_{x^*}),\qquad y^*_{if_*(i)}>0\ \ (i\in E\setminus E_{x^*})xif∗​(i)∗​>0  (i∈Ex∗​),yif∗​(i)∗​>0  (i∈E∖Ex∗​)

exists, and every such f∗∞f_*^\inftyf∗∞​ is average optimal.

The goal is stated for every finite model, with no assumption on the chain structure, and for every rule-conforming f∗f_*f∗​.

Milestones

  1. Optimality equations (Theorem 4.2.1): a Blackwell optimal pure policy gives (ϕ∘,u∘)(\phi^\circ,u^\circ)(ϕ∘,u∘) with ϕi∘=max⁡a∈A(i)∑jpiajϕj∘\phi^\circ_i=\max_{a\in A(i)}\sum_jp_{iaj}\phi^\circ_jϕi∘​=maxa∈A(i)​∑j​piaj​ϕj∘​ and ϕi∘+ui∘=max⁡a∈Aˉ(i){ria+∑jpiajuj∘}\phi^\circ_i+u^\circ_i=\max_{a\in\bar A(i)}\{r_{ia}+\sum_jp_{iaj}u^\circ_j\}ϕi∘​+ui∘​=maxa∈Aˉ(i)​{ria​+∑j​piaj​uj∘​}.
  2. Superharmonic characterisation (Theorem 4.2.2): ϕ\phiϕ is the smallest AMD-superharmonic vector.
  3. Lim sup optimality (Theorem 4.2.3): a pure stationary average optimal f∞f^\inftyf∞ satisfies ϕ^(f∞)≥ϕ^(R)\hat\phi(f^\infty)\ge\hat\phi(R)ϕ^​(f∞)≥ϕ^​(R) for every RRR.
  4. The three propositions inside the proof of Theorem 4.2.4: complementary slackness along f∗f_*f∗​ (4.2.1), closedness of Ex∗E_{x^*}Ex∗​ under P(f∗)P(f_*)P(f∗​) (4.2.2), and transience of E∖Ex∗E\setminus E_{x^*}E∖Ex∗​ under P(f∗)P(f_*)P(f∗​) (4.2.3).
  5. The policy–solution correspondence (§4.3): the representative (x(π),y(π))(x(\pi),y(\pi))(x(π),y(π)) is feasible (Theorem 4.3.1); the map is one-to-one with inverse (4.3.1) (Theorem 4.3.2); ExE_xEx​ is closed under, and is exactly the recurrent set of, P(π(x,y))P(\pi(x,y))P(π(x,y)) (Propositions 4.3.2–4.3.3); the correspondence preserves optimality (Theorem 4.3.3); pure policies map to extreme points (Theorem 4.3.4).
  6. Policy evaluation (Theorem 4.4.1): the system (I−P(f))ϕ~=0(I-P(f))\tilde\phi=0(I−P(f))ϕ~​=0, ϕ~+(I−P(f))u~=r(f)\tilde\phi+(I-P(f))\tilde u=r(f)ϕ~​+(I−P(f))u~=r(f), u~+(I−P(f))z~=0\tilde u+(I-P(f))\tilde z=0u~+(I−P(f))z~=0 is solvable, and every solution has ϕ~=ϕ(f∞)\tilde\phi=\phi(f^\infty)ϕ~​=ϕ(f∞) and u~=u(f∞)\tilde u=u(f^\infty)u~=u(f∞).

Significance

Theorem 4.2.4 reduces the multichain average reward problem to one linear program. Combined with Theorems 4.3.3 and 4.3.4, every pure stationary average optimal policy arises from some extreme optimal solution, so enumerating extreme optimal solutions enumerates all of them (Remark 4.2.5). The same program is the starting point for the constrained average reward problems of §4.7, where a policy must also satisfy linear constraints on its state–action frequencies. Theorem 4.4.1 is the evaluation step of multichain policy iteration.

The results are proved in the tract and, earlier, in Hordijk and Kallenberg (1979). None of them is formalized in a proof assistant. The platform has machine-checked average reward results only for unichain models, where the gain is a scalar. This mission adds the multichain theory, with general history-dependent randomized policies as competitors, and also yields reusable statements about stationary and deviation matrices of finite chains.

Difficulty

Under a unichain assumption, the dual variables xxx form a stationary distribution and the yyy-variables are unnecessary, so the obvious argument reads a policy off xxx alone. In the multichain case the xxx-part of an optimal solution can vanish on whole sets of states, and on those states the policy must be read off yyy. The argument then has to show that these states are transient under the selected policy, which is where extremality is essential. For a non-extreme optimal solution the book passes instead to the randomized policy (4.3.1), which needs the separate argument of Theorem 4.3.3. A second obstacle is that optimality is against all history-dependent randomized policies, so the comparison of ϕ(f∗∞)\phi(f_*^\infty)ϕ(f∗∞​) with ϕ\phiϕ must pass through the superharmonic characterisation (Theorem 4.2.2), whose proof uses the existence of a Blackwell optimal policy.

Formalization scope

The model is the published MarkovDecisionProcesses.StationaryMDP: finite state and action types, a nonempty Finset of admissible actions per state, and stochastic rows. General policies are the published AvgHRPolicy (decision rules depending on the epoch and the full history). The criteria are the published gainInf, gainSup and optGainInf; all values are real. Average optimality is the book's lim inf notion, ϕi(R∗)=sup⁡Rϕi(R)\phi_i(R^*)=\sup_R\phi_i(R)ϕi​(R∗)=supR​ϕi​(R) for every iii. It is not Puterman's stronger IsAverageOptimal. The stationary and deviation matrices are the published Cesàro limitMatrix and deviationMatrix. Their existence and invertibility (Theorem 2.4.1) are never assumed as hypotheses. LP variables are indexed by admissible state–action pairs, so Set.extremePoints is the book's notion of extreme feasible solution. Recurrence is the classical finite-chain notion: every state accessible from iii leads back to iii. The ergodic set of a recurrent state is the set of states accessible from it.

A formalization that assumes a unichain or ergodic model trivializes the mission (it reduces Theorem 4.2.4 to known unichain results). No statement here makes such an assumption, and the weights βj\beta_jβj​ are strictly positive and sum to one, as in (4.2.10).

The proofs need finite Markov chain theory: the Cesàro limit, P∗P=PP∗=P∗P^*P=PP^*=P^*P∗P=PP∗=P∗, P∗D=0P^*D=0P∗D=0, transience versus P⋅j∗=0P^*_{\cdot j}=0P⋅j∗​=0, and positivity of the stationary distribution on ergodic sets. They also need LP duality with complementary slackness and the existence of a Blackwell optimal pure policy. The last result is posed separately on the platform (Blackwell 1962, Theorem 5). LP duality is available as proved platform theorems (LinearOptimization.*), whose sign conventions must be matched. Contributions on the Markov chain layer are reusable across the whole series.

Selected references

  • L. C. M. Kallenberg, Linear Programming and Finite Markovian Control Problems, Mathematical Centre Tracts 148, Mathematisch Centrum, Amsterdam, 1983. https://ir.cwi.nl/pub/13008
  • A. Hordijk and L. C. M. Kallenberg, Linear programming and Markov decision chains, Management Science 25(4):352–362, 1979. https://doi.org/10.1287/mnsc.25.4.352
  • D. Blackwell, Discrete dynamic programming, Annals of Mathematical Statistics 33(2):719–726, 1962. https://doi.org/10.1214/aoms/1177704593
  • E. V. Denardo and B. L. Fox, Multichain Markov renewal programs, SIAM Journal on Applied Mathematics 16(3):468–487, 1968.
  • J. G. Kemeny and J. L. Snell, Finite Markov Chains, Van Nostrand, 1960.
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Dynamic ProgrammingLinear OptimizationMarkov Chain+1·Captain: mikedeng1

Linear Programming and Markov Decision Chains 1: A Pure Policy Read Off a Simplex-Optimal Solution of One Dual LP Is Average Optimal in Every Finite Multichain MDPResearch Paper

Motivation

A Markov decision chain with finitely many states and actions is the basic model of sequential decision making under uncertainty in operations research. Inventory control, maintenance, queueing control and many other problems reduce to it. Under the average reward criterion the decision maker optimizes the long-run reward per period. For the discounted criterion one linear program yields an optimal pure stationary policy (d'Epenoux 1960). For the average criterion, De Ghellinck (1960) and Manne (1960, DOI 10.1287/mnsc.6.3.259) gave linear programs for the unichain case, where every stationary policy has a single recurrent class. In a multichain model the optimal average reward may differ from state to state, and the unichain construction no longer applies.

Hordijk and Kallenberg (Management Science 25(4):352–362, 1979, DOI 10.1287/mnsc.25.4.352) proved that in the general multichain case an average optimal policy can be found by solving only one linear program. This mission formalizes that result, Theorem 7 of the paper, together with the chain of results its proof rests on.

Timeline, following the paper's introduction:

  • 1960: d'Epenoux introduces linear programming for the discounted case; De Ghellinck and Manne treat the unichain average case.
  • 1962: Blackwell (DOI 10.1214/aoms/1177704593) proves that some pure stationary policy is discounted-optimal for all discount factors near 1, and expands the discounted value near α=1\alpha = 1α=1.
  • 1968–1970: Denardo and Fox (DOI 10.1137/0116038) and Denardo (DOI 10.1287/mnsc.16.5.281) give the first analysis of linear programs for the multichain case. Derman's 1970 monograph streamlines it: in the worst case two linear programs and one search problem must be solved. Denardo and Fox record Bruce Miller's conjecture that the policy of Theorem 7 below is optimal.
  • 1979: Hordijk and Kallenberg prove the conjecture (Theorem 7), so one linear program suffices.

Setting

The state space is a finite nonempty set EEE. In state iii a finite nonempty set A(i)A(i)A(i) of actions is available; choosing a∈A(i)a \in A(i)a∈A(i) earns the reward riar_{ia}ria​ and moves the system to state jjj with probability piajp_{iaj}piaj​ (piaj≥0p_{iaj} \ge 0piaj​≥0, ∑jpiaj=1\sum_j p_{iaj} = 1∑j​piaj​=1). A policy RRR chooses actions at times t=1,2,…t = 1, 2, \dotst=1,2,…, possibly at random and using the whole history. For a policy RRR and an initial state iii,

φi(R)=lim inf⁡T→∞1T∑t=1T∑j∑aPR(Xt=j,Yt=a∣X1=i) rja\varphi_i(R) = \liminf_{T\to\infty}\frac1T\sum_{t=1}^T\sum_j\sum_a \mathbf P_R(X_t=j,Y_t=a\mid X_1=i)\,r_{ja}φi​(R)=T→∞liminf​T1​t=1∑T​j∑​a∑​PR​(Xt​=j,Yt​=a∣X1​=i)rja​

is the average expected reward, and φi=sup⁡Rφi(R)\varphi_i = \sup_R \varphi_i(R)φi​=supR​φi​(R) is the optimal one. A policy R∗R^*R∗ is average optimal if φi(R∗)=φi\varphi_i(R^*) = \varphi_iφi​(R∗)=φi​ for every i∈Ei \in Ei∈E. A decision rule fff picks f(i)∈A(i)f(i) \in A(i)f(i)∈A(i) in every state; f∞f^\inftyf∞ is the pure stationary policy that always applies fff. Its transition matrix is P(f)=(pif(i)j)P(f) = (p_{if(i)j})P(f)=(pif(i)j​) and its reward vector r(f)=(rif(i))r(f) = (r_{if(i)})r(f)=(rif(i)​). The α-discounted value viα(R)=∑t≥1αt−1∑j∑aPR(Xt=j,Yt=a∣X1=i) rjav_i^\alpha(R)=\sum_{t\ge1}\alpha^{t-1}\sum_j\sum_a\mathbf P_R(X_t=j,Y_t=a\mid X_1=i)\,r_{ja}viα​(R)=∑t≥1​αt−1∑j​∑a​PR​(Xt​=j,Yt​=a∣X1​=i)rja​ enters through Theorems 1, 3, 4 and 5.

Fix weights βj>0\beta_j > 0βj​>0 with ∑jβj=1\sum_j \beta_j = 1∑j​βj​=1. The dual program has a variable pair xia,yiax_{ia}, y_{ia}xia​,yia​ for every state iii and every a∈A(i)a \in A(i)a∈A(i):

max⁡∑i∑ariaxias.t.∑i∑a(δij−piaj)xia=0,∑axja+∑i∑a(δij−piaj)yia=βj,x,y≥0,\max \sum_i\sum_a r_{ia}x_{ia}\quad\text{s.t.}\quad \sum_i\sum_a(\delta_{ij}-p_{iaj})x_{ia}=0,\quad \sum_a x_{ja}+\sum_i\sum_a(\delta_{ij}-p_{iaj})y_{ia}=\beta_j,\quad x,y\ge0,maxi∑​a∑​ria​xia​s.t.i∑​a∑​(δij​−piaj​)xia​=0,a∑​xja​+i∑​a∑​(δij​−piaj​)yia​=βj​,x,y≥0,

for all j∈Ej \in Ej∈E. Its linear programming dual, the primal program, minimizes ∑jβjφ~j\sum_j\beta_j\tilde\varphi_j∑j​βj​φ~​j​ over superharmonic pairs (φ~,u~)(\tilde\varphi,\tilde u)(φ~​,u~): φ~i≥∑jpiajφ~j\tilde\varphi_i \ge \sum_j p_{iaj}\tilde\varphi_jφ~​i​≥∑j​piaj​φ~​j​ and φ~i+u~i≥ria+∑jpiaju~j\tilde\varphi_i + \tilde u_i \ge r_{ia} + \sum_j p_{iaj}\tilde u_jφ~​i​+u~i​≥ria​+∑j​piaj​u~j​ for all a∈A(i)a \in A(i)a∈A(i), i∈Ei \in Ei∈E. For a dual solution (x,y)(x, y)(x,y) put Ex={i∣∑axia>0}E_x = \{i \mid \sum_a x_{ia} > 0\}Ex​={i∣∑a​xia​>0}.

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem 7

Let (x,y)(x, y)(x,y) be an optimal solution of the dual program that is an extreme point of its feasible set, which is what the simplex method returns. Let fff be any decision rule with

xif(i)>0  (i∈Ex),yif(i)>0  (i∉Ex).x_{if(i)} > 0 \ \ (i \in E_x), \qquad y_{if(i)} > 0 \ \ (i \notin E_x).xif(i)​>0  (i∈Ex​),yif(i)​>0  (i∈/Ex​).

Then f∞f^\inftyf∞ is average optimal: φi(f∞)=φi\varphi_i(f^\infty) = \varphi_iφi​(f∞)=φi​ for every i∈Ei \in Ei∈E, the comparison running over all policies.

Milestones

In the order the proof uses them:

  1. Theorem 1 (Blackwell): some pure stationary f0∞f_0^\inftyf0∞​ is α-discounted optimal for all α near 1.
  2. Theorem 2a: φ(f∞)=P∗(f)r(f)\varphi(f^\infty) = P^*(f)r(f)φ(f∞)=P∗(f)r(f). The other clauses of Theorem 2 are Blackwell's Lemma 1(a), (d), referenced as published theorems.
  3. Theorem 3 (Blackwell): viα(f∞)−φi(f∞)/(1−α)→(D(f)r(f))iv_i^\alpha(f^\infty) - \varphi_i(f^\infty)/(1-\alpha) \to (D(f)r(f))_iviα​(f∞)−φi​(f∞)/(1−α)→(D(f)r(f))i​ as α↑1\alpha \uparrow 1α↑1.
  4. Theorem 4 (Derman): the policy of Theorem 1 is average optimal.
  5. Theorem 5: φ0=φ(f0∞)\varphi^0 = \varphi(f_0^\infty)φ0=φ(f0∞​) and u0=D(f0)r(f0)u^0 = D(f_0)r(f_0)u0=D(f0​)r(f0​) solve the two nested optimality equations.
  6. Proof of Theorem 6: (φ0,u0+Mφ0)(\varphi^0, u^0 + M\varphi^0)(φ0,u0+Mφ0) is superharmonic for some MMM.
  7. Theorem 6: φ\varphiφ is the smallest function that admits uuu with (φ,u)(\varphi, u)(φ,u) superharmonic.
  8. §3.2: (φ(f0∞),D(f0)r(f0)+Mφ(f0∞))(\varphi(f_0^\infty), D(f_0)r(f_0) + M\varphi(f_0^\infty))(φ(f0∞​),D(f0​)r(f0​)+Mφ(f0∞​)) is primal optimal for all large MMM.
  9. Proof of Theorem 7: ∑axja+∑ayja≥βj>0\sum_a x_{ja} + \sum_a y_{ja} \ge \beta_j > 0∑a​xja​+∑a​yja​≥βj​>0, so the rule always defines a policy; and every primal optimum has first component φ\varphiφ.
  10. Propositions 1–3: φ\varphiφ is P(f)P(f)P(f)-harmonic and the gain–bias equation holds on ExE_xEx​; ExE_xEx​ is closed under P(f)P(f)P(f); at an extreme optimal dual solution, the states outside ExE_xEx​ are transient under P(f)P(f)P(f).

Significance

Theorem 7 turns the multichain average-reward problem into one linear program and one pass over its solution. No unichain or communicating assumption is required, and neither the second linear program nor the search step of the earlier Denardo–Fox–Derman procedure is needed. The rule is local: any action with a positive xxx-variable, otherwise any action with a positive yyy-variable, gives an optimal policy. The paper's later results (Theorem 8, the correspondence between optimal dual solutions and optimal randomized stationary policies, and Theorem 10, on extreme points) build on the same program. Companion missions of this series formalize them.

The results are proved in the paper; no machine-checked proof of any of them is known. The formalization adds a machine-checked link between linear programming duality (complementary slackness, extreme points of polyhedra) and the limit theory of finite Markov chains (Cesàro limit matrices, transient states), over the history-dependent policy class of the published average-reward model.

Difficulty

The obvious argument reads fff off any optimal dual solution and uses complementary slackness to obtain φ=P(f)φ\varphi = P(f)\varphiφ=P(f)φ and φ+(I−P(f))u=r(f)\varphi + (I - P(f))u = r(f)φ+(I−P(f))u=r(f). The second equation holds only on ExE_xEx​, and outside ExE_xEx​ nothing controls the reward of fff. The argument closes only when E∖ExE \setminus E_xE∖Ex​ is transient under P(f)P(f)P(f), so that the stationary distribution of fff ignores those states. Transience is not a consequence of optimality. It uses extremality: an ergodic set inside E∖ExE\setminus E_xE∖Ex​ would make the corresponding yyy-columns of the constraint matrix linearly dependent. For a general optimal solution the paper proves optimality only of a randomized stationary policy built from (x,y)(x, y)(x,y) (its Theorem 8(b), a companion mission), not of a pure selection. The extremality hypothesis is therefore part of the statement.

Upstream of the linear program, Theorem 6 depends on Derman's theorem and Blackwell's expansion of the discounted value near α=1\alpha = 1α=1. Both compare against all history-dependent policies and need the full limit theory of P∗P^*P∗ and DDD.

Formalization scope

The model is the published MarkovDecisionProcesses.StationaryMDP (finite nonempty S, finite A, nonempty admissible sets, stochastic transitions) with history-dependent randomized policies AvgHRPolicy. φi(R)\varphi_i(R)φi​(R) is gainInf (the lim inf of the average of the first TTT expected rewards) and φi\varphi_iφi​ is optGainInf, a real supremum that is finite because rewards are bounded. P∗P^*P∗ and DDD are the published limitMatrix and deviationMatrix; the identities of Theorem 2 are the published Blackwell Lemma 1(a), (d). Conventions:

  • Average optimality is Hordijk and Kallenberg's φ(R∗)=φ\varphi(R^*) = \varphiφ(R∗)=φ, not the stronger Puterman criterion IsAverageOptimal in the published file.
  • The discounted value is the limit of the NNN-epoch discounted reward, defined by the same backward recursion as totalReward. "α near enough to 1" means some α0∈[0,1)\alpha_0 \in [0,1)α0​∈[0,1) such that the property holds on [α0,1)[\alpha_0, 1)[α0​,1).
  • Dual variables are indexed by the admissible pairs only (Pair M), so the feasible set lies in (Pair M → ℝ) × (Pair M → ℝ) and its extreme points are those of the paper's polyhedron.
  • "The simplex method is used" is encoded as "(x,y)(x, y)(x,y) is an extreme point of the feasible set" (Set.extremePoints). A goal without extremality is a different and unproved statement, and any version that quantifies over some fff instead of every fff obeying the rule is weaker than the paper's. Both are ruled out.
  • "Transient" is the negation of the published IsRecurrent. Maxima over A(i)A(i)A(i) and A0(i)A^0(i)A0(i) are stated as an upper bound plus attainment, so that A0(i)≠∅A^0(i) \ne \emptysetA0(i)=∅ is part of Theorem 5.

A complete development needs Cesàro limits of stochastic matrices, the deviation matrix, Abelian limits of discounted values, linear programming duality with complementary slackness, and the characterization of extreme points of {z≥0:Az=b}\{z \ge 0 : Az = b\}{z≥0:Az=b} by linear independence of the active columns. The last two are reusable well beyond this mission, as is the identification of gainInf of a stationary policy with P∗rP^*rP∗r. Contributions to any of them, including proofs of individual milestones, are welcome.

Selected references

  • A. Hordijk, L. C. M. Kallenberg, Linear Programming and Markov Decision Chains, Management Science 25(4):352–362, 1979. https://doi.org/10.1287/mnsc.25.4.352
  • D. Blackwell, Discrete Dynamic Programming, Annals of Mathematical Statistics 33(2):719–726, 1962. https://doi.org/10.1214/aoms/1177704593
  • A. S. Manne, Linear Programming and Sequential Decisions, Management Science 6(3):259–267, 1960. https://doi.org/10.1287/mnsc.6.3.259
  • E. V. Denardo, On Linear Programming in a Markov Decision Problem, Management Science 16(5):281–288, 1970. https://doi.org/10.1287/mnsc.16.5.281
  • E. V. Denardo, B. L. Fox, Multichain Markov Renewal Programs, SIAM Journal on Applied Mathematics 16(3):468–487, 1968. https://doi.org/10.1137/0116038
  • J. G. Kemeny, J. L. Snell, Finite Markov Chains, Van Nostrand, 1960.
  • C. Derman, Finite State Markovian Decision Processes, Academic Press, 1970.
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Convex OptimizationOperations ResearchOptimization+1·Captain: mikedeng1

Deterministic Equivalents for Optimizing and Satisficing under Chance Constraints 2: The Fractional P-Model Program (38) Has the Same Supremum as the Convex Program (39)Research Paper

Motivation

A chance constraint limits the probability of violating a requirement rather than requiring that requirement to hold for every realization of uncertain data. Charnes and Cooper developed deterministic optimization problems for several ways of judging decisions under such constraints. Their P model gives a satisficing objective: increase the probability of reaching a specified aspiration level while meeting prescribed reliability levels for the resource constraints. The paper's concrete decision rule makes the decision vector depend linearly on the random right-hand side, and its P-model section moves from a fractional deterministic program to a convex one. The result explains how a risk-adjusted ratio can be optimized without retaining a fractional objective. The source is Charnes and Cooper, 1963, pp. 30–33, especially equations (35) and (38)–(39b).

The related linear-fractional change of variables was already being used for linear programs Charnes and Cooper, 1962; the present section applies it to constraints built from second moments rather than linear equations. That distinction matters because the normalized feasible set contains a boundary at zero scale, and because second-moment inequalities require their own convexity claim. The paper cites fractional programming results for its local-to-global assertion about (38); the mission focuses on its explicit transformed program (39). Charnes and Cooper, 1963, p. 32.

Setting

Let m,nm,nm,n be positive integers and (Ω,P)(\Omega,P)(Ω,P) a probability space. A fixed real m×nm\times nm×n matrix AAA has rows ai′a_i'ai′​. Random vectors b:Ω→Rmb:\Omega\to\mathbb R^mb:Ω→Rm and c:Ω→Rnc:\Omega\to\mathbb R^nc:Ω→Rn give the right-hand side and objective coefficients. The paper restricts decisions to the linear decision rule x=Dbx=Dbx=Db, where the real n×mn\times mn×m matrix DDD is chosen before bbb is realized. Write μb=E[b]\mu_b=E[b]μb​=E[b] and μc=E[c]\mu_c=E[c]μc​=E[c]. A number z0z_0z0​ is the given aspiration value. For each row iii, its reliability level αi\alpha_iαi​ is strictly between 1/21/21/2 and 111, and Ki=Φ−1(αi)>0K_i=\Phi^{-1}(\alpha_i)>0Ki​=Φ−1(αi​)>0 is the corresponding standard-normal quantile. These are the objects of equations (5), (19b), (21), and (27) in Charnes and Cooper, 1963.

The residual ai′Db−bia_i'Db-b_iai′​Db−bi​ has raw second moment σi2(D)=E[(ai′Db−bi)2]\sigma_i^2(D)=E[(a_i'Db-b_i)^2]σi2​(D)=E[(ai′​Db−bi​)2] and negative mean μi(D)=μbi−ai′Dμb\mu_i(D)=\mu_{b_i}-a_i'D\mu_bμi​(D)=μbi​​−ai′​Dμb​. The aspiration error has raw second moment V(D)=E[(c′Db−z0)2]V(D)=E[(c'Db-z_0)^2]V(D)=E[(c′Db−z0​)2]. These definitions come from equations (30) and (34). The expected linear objective appearing in the deterministic programs is μc′Dμb\mu_c'D\mu_bμc′​Dμb​; the model records the paper's assumption that the components of bbb and ccc are uncorrelated. Charnes and Cooper, 1963, pp. 26, 28, 30.

Program (38) chooses (D,v,v0,w0)(D,v,v_0,w_0)(D,v,v0​,w0​) and maximizes v0/w0v_0/w_0v0​/w0​. Its inequalities bound the mean objective below by z0+v0z_0+v_0z0​+v0​, bound w0w_0w0​ below by the root-mean-square aspiration error, and bound each nonnegative viv_ivi​ between the row's risk term and μi(D)\mu_i(D)μi​(D). The denominator satisfies w0>0w_0>0w0​>0. Program (39) introduces a nonnegative scale ttt and barred variables. It fixes wˉ0=1\bar w_0=1wˉ0​=1 and maximizes the linear objective vˉ0\bar v_0vˉ0​. The barred moments are calculated from Dˉ\bar DDˉ and ttt by equation (39b), rather than declared to be scaled copies of the unbarred moments. Charnes and Cooper, 1963, pp. 32–33.

Formalization targets

Convex transformed program

Let F39F_{39}F39​ contain every point satisfying all of (39), including t=0t=0t=0. The paper's convex-programming claim becomes

F39 is convex.F_{39}\text{ is convex}.F39​ is convex.

The source states the claim after displaying the barred moments, in the paragraph following (39b). Charnes and Cooper, 1963, p. 33.

Equal optimal values

Let F38F_{38}F38​ be the feasible set of (38). Provided F38F_{38}F38​ is nonempty, the mission goal states that the normalized substitution sends each point of F38F_{38}F38​ to a point of F39F_{39}F39​ with the same objective, and that

sup⁡(D,v,v0,w0)∈F38v0w0=sup⁡(Dˉ,vˉ,vˉ0,wˉ0,t)∈F39vˉ0.\sup_{(D,v,v_0,w_0)\in F_{38}}\frac{v_0}{w_0} =\sup_{(\bar D,\bar v,\bar v_0,\bar w_0,t)\in F_{39}}\bar v_0.(D,v,v0​,w0​)∈F38​sup​w0​v0​​=(Dˉ,vˉ,vˉ0​,wˉ0​,t)∈F39​sup​vˉ0​.

The suprema may be infinite. The equality concerns the complete program (39), including t=0t=0t=0. Positive-scale points have an inverse substitution; zero-scale points are retained in the comparison. This is the precise optimal-value reading of the paper's statement that (38) can be replaced by one convex program. Charnes and Cooper, 1963, pp. 32–33.

Significance

The result places the P model alongside the paper's E and V models as an optimization problem with convex feasible constraints and a nonfractional objective. A solver of (39) can compare aspiration and resource reliability within the same matrix decision rule. Equality of suprema says the transformed model has the same best attainable value even when the best value is only approached, and even when points at t=0t=0t=0 occur in the transformed feasible set. The forward and inverse substitution statements identify how positive-scale solutions correspond. Charnes and Cooper, 1963, pp. 30–33.

The paper result is a published mathematical claim. The present formalization states its definitions and assertions in Lean; its theorem proofs are still open. The standard Gaussian CDF and its inverse are available as a separately published Prove2Me definition, while the model-specific second moments and feasible sets must be formalized for this mission. The previously published Derman linear-fractional lemma concerns a polyhedral linear program and does not assert this P-model result. Completing the mission would add reusable formal machinery for expected-square constraints, a normalized perspective program, and equality of optimal values at a scale boundary.

Difficulty

The pointwise substitution t=1/w0t=1/w_0t=1/w0​ only reaches points of (39) with t>0t>0t>0, while (39) explicitly permits t=0t=0t=0. Therefore a bijection of feasible points at positive scale alone does not establish equality of the displayed suprema. The proof also has to reconcile the squared form of the row constraints with convexity: σˉi2\bar\sigma_i^2σˉi2​ is a raw second moment and μˉi2\bar\mu_i^2μˉ​i2​ is the square of its mean, so their difference is the variance term relevant to the risk bound. Taking the fourth inequality as a generic difference of quadratics would obscure that claim. The paper prints a conflicting square and sign in (38), which must be resolved against its earlier (29) and later (39). Charnes and Cooper, 1963, pp. 28, 32–33.

Formalization scope

Lean uses finite index types Fin m and Fin n, real matrices and scalars, a probability measure PPP, and Bochner integrals for the moments. Square integrability is stated for every component of bbb and ccc and every product cjbkc_jb_kcj​bk​; this keeps the expected squares meaningful. The paper assumes bbb and ccc are uncorrelated, so the same componentwise equalities are recorded. It also assumes that each row residual has a Gaussian law under a decision matrix; the Lean theorem retains this standing assumption even though the substitution from (38) to (39) is algebraic. The quantile KiK_iKi​ is imported from the published Cohen2019.Robust.PhiInvReal, with 1/2<αi<11/2<\alpha_i<11/2<αi​<1 excluding its junk endpoint values. The theorem concerns (38) onward; it does not assert the paper's analogous reduction from the original probability model (35), because the text does not establish a distributional theorem for its random objective. Charnes and Cooper, 1963, pp. 26–27, 31–33.

The source phrase “replace ... by one convex programming problem” is made explicit as convexity of the (39) feasible set, feasibility and value preservation of the forward scaling, and equality of extended-real suprema. The normalization wˉ0=1\bar w_0=1wˉ0​=1, strict w0>0w_0>0w0​>0, and weak t≥0t\ge0t≥0 are separate conditions. The t=0t=0t=0 slice is included, and the main theorem assumes F38F_{38}F38​ nonempty. The barred functions are genuine expectations of the homogenized expressions of (39b). The square-and-sign discrepancy in printed (38) is resolved in favor of the form printed in (29) and (39), consistent with the nearby statement that the row constraints are the same as before. These choices exclude a vacuous denominator, an artificially smaller transformed set, and a trivially defined scaling identity. Reusable contributions include moment lemmas, convexity results for expected-square constraints, and supremum comparison for normalized programs.

Selected references

  • A. Charnes and W. W. Cooper, Deterministic Equivalents for Optimizing and Satisficing under Chance Constraints, Operations Research 11(1), 1963, pp. 18–39. DOI.
  • A. Charnes and W. W. Cooper, Programming with Linear Fractional Functionals, Naval Research Logistics Quarterly 9(3–4), 1962, pp. 181–186. DOI.
  • C. Derman, On Sequential Decisions and Markov Chains, Management Science 9(1), 1962, pp. 16–24. DOI.
  • J. Cohen, E. Rosenfeld, and Z. Kolter, Certified Adversarial Robustness via Randomized Smoothing, ICML, 2019. arXiv.
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Dynamic ProgrammingMachine LearningOperations Research+1·Captain: mikedeng1

Stable Function Approximation in Dynamic Programming I: In a Discounted Finite MDP, Value Iteration Through an Averager Converges to V₀ with ‖V₀ − V*‖ ≤ 2γε/(1 − γ)Research Paper

Motivation

Value iteration computes the optimal value function of a Markov decision process by applying the dynamic programming backup to every state until the values stop changing. When the state space is too large for a lookup table, practitioners replace the table by a function approximator: after each backup, the new values are computed only at a sample of states and an approximator (a neural net, a spline, a nearest-neighbour rule) is fitted to them. This approximate value iteration is the basis of much of reinforcement learning, and in the early 1990s it was known to work well in some experiments and to diverge in others, with no theory separating the two. Boyan and Moore (NIPS 7, 1995) exhibited divergence with linear regression and neural nets, and Tsitsiklis and Van Roy (1996) later studied the same question for feature-based architectures.

Gordon's technical report (CMU-CS-95-103, 1995; a shorter, differently numbered version appeared at ICML 1995) isolated a property of the approximator that guarantees convergence: the approximator must not exaggerate differences between target value functions in max norm. It identified a broad class with this property, the averagers (k-nearest-neighbour, kernel averaging, linear and bilinear interpolation on a mesh), and proved that in a discounted problem approximate value iteration through an averager always converges, with an explicit error bound. This mission formalizes that discounted theory: the report's §2–§3 and its error bound of §6.1.

Setting

A finite Markov decision process MMM has states 1,…,n1,\dots,n1,…,n, a finite nonempty set U(i)U(i)U(i) of actions at each state iii, an expected one-step cost ciac_{ia}cia​ for action aaa at state iii, and transition probabilities paij≥0p_{aij}\ge0paij​≥0 with ∑jpaij=1\sum_j p_{aij}=1∑j​paij​=1. It is discounted with factor 0≤γ<10\le\gamma<10≤γ<1. A value function is a vector V∈RnV\in\mathbb R^nV∈Rn, measured in the max norm ∥V∥=max⁡i∣V(i)∣\|V\|=\max_i|V(i)|∥V∥=maxi​∣V(i)∣.

The parallel value backup operator TMT_MTM​ updates every state at once:

(TMV)(i)=min⁡a∈U(i)(cia+γ∑j=1npaijV(j)).(T_MV)(i)=\min_{a\in U(i)}\Big(c_{ia}+\gamma\sum_{j=1}^n p_{aij}V(j)\Big).(TM​V)(i)=a∈U(i)min​(cia​+γj=1∑n​paij​V(j)).

Its fixed point V∗V^*V∗ is the optimal value function, the minimal expected discounted cost from each state.

A function approximator is studied through its mapping MFM_FMF​: the function sending a vector of target values to the vector of fitted values. Two operators MFM_FMF​ and TTT are compatible if the iterates (MF∘T)k(x0)(M_F\circ T)^k(x_0)(MF​∘T)k(x0​) converge from every initial guess x0x_0x0​.

An averager AAA is given by constants kik_iki​ and nonnegative weights βi,βij\beta_i,\beta_{ij}βi​,βij​ with βi+∑jβij=1\beta_i+\sum_j\beta_{ij}=1βi​+∑j​βij​=1 for every iii; its mapping is

MA(Y)i=βiki+∑j=1nβijYj.M_A(Y)_i=\beta_ik_i+\sum_{j=1}^n\beta_{ij}Y_j .MA​(Y)i​=βi​ki​+j=1∑n​βij​Yj​.

The weights are fixed in advance and do not depend on the targets YYY.

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem 6.2 (p. 12)

Let VAV^AVA be any fixed point of MAM_AMA​ and ε=∥VA−V∗∥\varepsilon=\|V^A-V^*\|ε=∥VA−V∗∥. Then there is V0V_0V0​ such that (TM∘MA)k(V)→V0(T_M\circ M_A)^k(V)\to V_0(TM​∘MA​)k(V)→V0​ from every initial guess VVV, and

∥V0−V∗∥≤2γε1−γ.\|V_0-V^*\|\le\frac{2\gamma\varepsilon}{1-\gamma}.∥V0​−V∗∥≤1−γ2γε​.

The goal has two parts: convergence from every start to a common limit V0V_0V0​, and the error bound on that limit.

Milestones

  1. Theorem 2.2, first clause (p. 4). ∥TMV−TMW∥≤γ∥V−W∥\|T_MV-T_MW\|\le\gamma\|V-W\|∥TM​V−TM​W∥≤γ∥V−W∥.
  2. Theorem 3.2 (p. 7). MAM_AMA​ is a max-norm nonexpansion, ∥MA(Y)−MA(Z)∥≤∥Y−Z∥\|M_A(Y)-M_A(Z)\|\le\|Y-Z\|∥MA​(Y)−MA​(Z)∥≤∥Y−Z∥, and is compatible with TMT_MTM​ for every discounted MDP.
  3. Theorem 3.1 (p. 5). If MFM_FMF​ is any max-norm nonexpansion, then MFM_FMF​ is compatible with TMT_MTM​ and ∥MF(TMV)−MF(TMW)∥≤γ∥V−W∥\|M_F(T_MV)-M_F(T_MW)\|\le\gamma\|V-W\|∥MF​(TM​V)−MF​(TM​W)∥≤γ∥V−W∥.
  4. Corollary 3.1 (p. 6). There is V∞V_\inftyV∞​ with ∥(MF∘TM)k(V)−V∞∥≤γk∥V−V∞∥\|(M_F\circ T_M)^k(V)-V_\infty\|\le\gamma^k\|V-V_\infty\|∥(MF​∘TM​)k(V)−V∞​∥≤γk∥V−V∞​∥ for all VVV and kkk.

A further item, not a milestone, is the display after the proof of Theorem 6.2 (p. 13), the bound on the fitted output: ∥V∗−MA(V0)∥≤2ε+2γε/(1−γ)\|V^*-M_A(V_0)\|\le2\varepsilon+2\gamma\varepsilon/(1-\gamma)∥V∗−MA​(V0​)∥≤2ε+2γε/(1−γ).

Significance

Theorem 6.2 gives a guarantee that depends only on how well the approximator can represent V∗V^*V∗, not on how the iteration is started: if some fixed point of the averager lies within ε\varepsilonε of V∗V^*V∗, approximate value iteration finds a function within 2γε/(1−γ)2\gamma\varepsilon/(1-\gamma)2γε/(1−γ) of V∗V^*V∗. Theorems 3.1 and 3.2 explain why: an averager is a max-norm nonexpansion, and composing a nonexpansion with a γ\gammaγ-contraction leaves a γ\gammaγ-contraction. Together they separate the approximators that are safe to use with value iteration from those that are not (linear regression is not a nonexpansion: the report's Figure 2 shows it can expand max-norm distances).

All results of this mission are proved in the report; none is open. The contraction of the discounted Bellman operator and the identification of its fixed point with the optimal value function are proved on Prove2Me (BertsekasDP.discounted_main_theorem, used here as a reference item). No machine-checked proof of Gordon's averager results or of the 2γε/(1−γ)2\gamma\varepsilon/(1-\gamma)2γε/(1−γ) bound is known to exist; this mission produces one, on top of the published finite MDP model.

Difficulty

Each step is short on paper; the difficulty is in the bookkeeping that a formal proof cannot skip. The nonexpansion of an averager rests on nonnegative weights summing to at most one, which must be extracted from the row constraint βi+∑jβij=1\beta_i+\sum_j\beta_{ij}=1βi​+∑j​βij​=1 in the max norm on Rn\mathbb R^nRn. The goal's convergence clause asks for one limit V0V_0V0​ shared by all initial guesses, which needs completeness of Rn\mathbb R^nRn and the contraction-mapping theorem applied to TM∘MAT_M\circ M_ATM​∘MA​, not to TMT_MTM​. The error bound compares three different fixed points (V∗V^*V∗ of TMT_MTM​, VAV^AVA of MAM_AMA​, V0V_0V0​ of TM∘MAT_M\circ M_ATM​∘MA​) in a chain of triangle inequalities. The order of composition matters throughout: the compatibility results iterate MF∘TMM_F\circ T_MMF​∘TM​ (fit after the backup), while the goal iterates TM∘MAT_M\circ M_ATM​∘MA​ (back up after the fit), and the two may not be interchanged.

Formalization scope

  • The MDP is the published BertsekasSSPModel (Fin n states, a finite action type, nonempty admissible action sets U(i)U(i)U(i), costs g, transition probabilities p), and TMT_MTM​ is its BertsekasDiscountedBellmanOp M γ. That model allows substochastic rows; every statement adds the hypothesis ∑jpaij=1\sum_j p_{aij}=1∑j​paij​=1 for admissible aaa, which makes it the report's MDP. Action sets may depend on the state, a harmless generalization of the report's single action set. The initial-state distribution S0S_0S0​ never enters a statement and is omitted.
  • The discount satisfies 0≤γ<10\le\gamma<10≤γ<1 in every item. Theorem 6.2's page says only "with discount factor γ\gammaγ"; it belongs to the report's discounted discussion and its proof uses that TMT_MTM​ is a γ\gammaγ-contraction.
  • ∥⋅∥\|\cdot\|∥⋅∥ on Fin n → ℝ is Mathlib's sup norm, i.e. the max norm.
  • V∗V^*V∗ is a hypothesis: a fixed point of TMT_MTM​. Theorem 2.2's last clause, proved on the platform as BertsekasDP.discounted_main_theorem, identifies it with the optimal value function.
  • The averager acts on whole value functions Rn→Rn\mathbb R^n\to\mathbb R^nRn→Rn, indexed by the states. The report's approximator fits a sample X0X_0X0​ of states; ignoring the value at a state jjj outside the sample is the special case βij=0\beta_{ij}=0βij​=0.
  • Theorem 3.1 is printed with "X=S×AX=S\times AX=S×A" and MF∈R∣X∣↦R∣X∣M_F\in\mathbb R^{|X|}\mapsto\mathbb R^{|X|}MF​∈R∣X∣↦R∣X∣; since TMT_MTM​ acts on value functions of the state, MFM_FMF​ is stated on Rn\mathbb R^nRn.
  • "Converges at the rate γ\gammaγ" (Corollary 3.1) is the geometric rate of the contraction-mapping theorem, γk\gamma^kγk times the initial distance to the limit.
  • Theorem 6.2 keeps ε=∥VA−V∗∥\varepsilon=\|V^A-V^*\|ε=∥VA−V∗∥ as an equality, as printed, and its conclusion keeps the convergence clause. A statement asserting only the existence of some V0V_0V0​ with ∥V0−V∗∥≤2γε/(1−γ)\|V_0-V^*\|\le2\gamma\varepsilon/(1-\gamma)∥V0​−V∗∥≤2γε/(1−γ) would be trivial (V0=V∗V_0=V^*V0​=V∗) and is not the theorem.
  • Lemma 2.1 and the Contraction Mapping theorem (Theorem 2.1) are in Mathlib (LipschitzWith.comp, ContractingWith) and are not posed.

Proofs of any item are welcome, as are reusable lemmas on max-norm nonexpansions of row-stochastic linear maps, which also serve the nondiscounted companion mission (Stable Function Approximation in Dynamic Programming II).

Selected references

  • G. J. Gordon, Stable Function Approximation in Dynamic Programming, Technical Report CMU-CS-95-103, Carnegie Mellon University, 1995; shorter version in Machine Learning Proceedings 1995 (ICML), 1995. https://doi.org/10.1016/B978-1-55860-377-6.50040-2
  • D. P. Bertsekas and J. N. Tsitsiklis, Parallel and Distributed Computation: Numerical Methods, Prentice Hall, 1989 (the report's [BT89]; no DOI).
  • J. A. Boyan and A. W. Moore, Generalization in Reinforcement Learning: Safely Approximating the Value Function, Advances in Neural Information Processing Systems 7, MIT Press, 1995 (the report's [BM95]).
  • J. N. Tsitsiklis and B. Van Roy, Feature-Based Methods for Large Scale Dynamic Programming, Machine Learning 22, 1996, pp. 59–94. https://doi.org/10.1007/BF00114724
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Linear OptimizationOperations ResearchOptimization·Captain: mikedeng1

A Linear Programming Approach to the Cutting Stock Problem—Part II 2: For a Linear-Fractional Objective, a Basic Feasible Solution with No Improving Edge Is a Global MinimumResearch Paper

Motivation

In the cutting stock problem, stock rolls of length LLL are cut into pieces of lengths l1,…,lml_1,\dots,l_ml1​,…,lm​ to fill orders. Part I of Gilmore and Gomory's work (Opns. Res. 9 (1961)) solved its linear programming relaxation by the simplex method with column generation: the columns (cutting patterns) are too many to list, so each simplex iteration finds an improving column by solving a knapsack problem. Part II (Opns. Res. 11 (1963)) extends the method in several directions. One of them, customer tolerances, lets the amount produced of each length lie in a range [Ni′,Ni′′][N_i',N_i''][Ni′​,Ni′′​] instead of matching a fixed demand. Total roll usage then stops being a good measure of quality, because overproducing within the tolerance is free. The natural objective becomes the fraction of waste: total waste divided by total material cut. This objective is a ratio of two linear functions, not a linear one.

The paper's answer, on p. 882, is that the ordinary simplex method still works for such an objective. It moves from vertex to vertex, at each vertex asks whether some edge improves the objective, and stops when none does. Ratio objectives of this kind, called linear-fractional programs, were studied in the same years by Isbell and Marlow (1956), Martos (1960–61, in Hungarian; in English in 1964), Charnes and Cooper (1962) and Dinkelbach (1962; see also 1967). Gilmore and Gomory say that their method is closest to Martos's. They derive the edge test for the ratio and show that, for cutting stock, choosing the entering column is again a knapsack problem.

Setting

Let AAA be a real m×nm\times nm×n matrix, b∈Rmb\in\mathbb R^mb∈Rm and c,d∈Rnc,d\in\mathbb R^nc,d∈Rn. The linear-fractional program is

minimizeζ(x)=z1(x)z2(x)=∑icixi∑idixisubject toAx=b, x≥0.\text{minimize}\quad \zeta(x)=\frac{z_1(x)}{z_2(x)}=\frac{\sum_i c_ix_i}{\sum_i d_ix_i}\qquad\text{subject to}\quad Ax=b,\ x\ge 0 .minimizeζ(x)=z2​(x)z1​(x)​=∑i​di​xi​∑i​ci​xi​​subject toAx=b, x≥0.

In the cutting stock instance (p. 881), column jjj is either a cutting pattern aj∈Z≥0ma_j\in\mathbb Z^m_{\ge0}aj​∈Z≥0m​ with ∑iaijli≤L\sum_ia_{ij}l_i\le L∑i​aij​li​≤L or a slack column −ei-e_i−ei​. The right-hand side is bi=Ni′b_i=N_i'bi​=Ni′​. The numerator coefficient of a pattern is its waste wj=L−∑iaijliw_j=L-\sum_ia_{ij}l_iwj​=L−∑i​aij​li​ (eq. (4)), and dj=1d_j=1dj​=1 on patterns and 000 on slacks, so ζ\zetaζ is waste per roll cut. The paper drops the upper bounds si≤Ni′′−Ni′s_i\le N_i''-N_i'si​≤Ni′′​−Ni′​ on the slacks from the discussion (p. 882), and so does this mission.

A basis is a set BBB of mmm column indices whose columns of AAA are linearly independent. A basic feasible solution xˉ\bar xxˉ with basis BBB is a feasible point with xˉk=0\bar x_k=0xˉk​=0 for every k∉Bk\notin Bk∈/B. For a nonbasic j∉Bj\notin Bj∈/B, the edge direction of xjx_jxj​ is the vector vvv with Av=0Av=0Av=0, vj=1v_j=1vj​=1 and vk=0v_k=0vk​=0 for the other nonbasic kkk. This is "the edge that would be traced out if xjx_jxj​ were increased, but all other nonbasic variables kept zero" (p. 883). The quantity the simplex test inspects is the rate of change along the edge,

dζdxj=ddτ ζ(xˉ+τv)∣τ=0.\frac{d\zeta}{dx_j}=\frac{d}{d\tau}\,\zeta(\bar x+\tau v)\Big|_{\tau=0}.dxj​dζ​=dτd​ζ(xˉ+τv)​τ=0​.

Formalization targets

Goal: the edge criterion (p. 882)

Assume ∑idixi>0\sum_id_ix_i>0∑i​di​xi​>0 for every feasible xxx. Let xˉ\bar xxˉ be a basic feasible solution with basis BBB, and suppose dζ/dxj≥0d\zeta/dx_j\ge0dζ/dxj​≥0 for every j∉Bj\notin Bj∈/B and every edge direction of xjx_jxj​. Then

ζ(xˉ)≤ζ(x)for every x≥0 with Ax=b.\zeta(\bar x)\le\zeta(x)\qquad\text{for every } x\ge0 \text{ with } Ax=b .ζ(xˉ)≤ζ(x)for every x≥0 with Ax=b.

Milestones (p. 882–883)

  1. Monotonicity along lines. On an interval where the denominator does not vanish, τ↦ζ(x+τv)\tau\mapsto\zeta(x+\tau v)τ↦ζ(x+τv) is strictly increasing, strictly decreasing or constant. Moreover f′(τ) D(τ)2f'(\tau)\,D(\tau)^2f′(τ)D(τ)2 is constant, where DDD is the denominator.
  2. Equation (5), first line.
dζdxj=z2 (dz1/dxj)−z1 (dz2/dxj)z22.\frac{d\zeta}{dx_j}=\frac{z_2\,(dz_1/dx_j)-z_1\,(dz_2/dx_j)}{z_2^2}.dxj​dζ​=z22​z2​(dz1​/dxj​)−z1​(dz2​/dxj​)​.
  1. The edge test. If dζ/dxj<0d\zeta/dx_j<0dζ/dxj​<0, increasing xjx_jxj​ strictly decreases ζ\zetaζ along any segment where the denominator does not vanish. Otherwise ζ\zetaζ does not decrease anywhere on that segment.
  2. Column choice is a knapsack problem. With k=Lz2−z1k=Lz_2-z_1k=Lz2​−z1​ and Πˉi=−(z1Πi2−z2Πi1−z2li)\bar\Pi_i=-(z_1\Pi^2_i-z_2\Pi^1_i-z_2l_i)Πˉi​=−(z1​Πi2​−z2​Πi1​−z2​li​), the numerator of dζ/dxjd\zeta/dx_jdζ/dxj​ for pattern aaa equals k−∑iΠˉiaik-\sum_i\bar\Pi_ia_ik−∑i​Πˉi​ai​. Hence, for z2≠0z_2\ne0z2​=0, the most negative dζ/dxjd\zeta/dx_jdζ/dxj​ is attained exactly by the patterns maximizing ∑iΠˉiai\sum_i\bar\Pi_ia_i∑i​Πˉi​ai​ subject to ∑iaili≤L\sum_ia_il_i\le L∑i​ai​li​≤L.

Significance

The result. The edge criterion turns a nonconvex problem into one the simplex method solves. A ratio of linear functions is neither convex nor concave, so a point where no feasible direction improves the objective locally is not obviously a global minimum. The criterion says that, on a polyhedron where the denominator keeps its sign, this local test at a vertex certifies global optimality, exactly as for a linear objective. It underlies the convergence of Martos's method and of every simplex-type algorithm for linear-fractional programming. Together with milestone 4, it is what makes column generation with a knapsack pricing step applicable to the waste-fraction objective of cutting stock.

Formalizing it. The result is classical and proved; no machine-checked version is known to exist. The published platform items closest to it are Derman's Charnes–Cooper transformation of a linear-fractional program into a linear program and Matoušek's reduced-cost optimality criterion for a linear objective. Neither states an edge criterion for a ratio. A formal proof here also settles the paper's own imprecisions (see below), and yields reusable lemmas about ratios of affine functions along lines.

Difficulty

The obvious argument does not reach the goal. Along any single segment the objective is monotone (milestone 1), so a nonnegative derivative at xˉ\bar xxˉ in the direction of the segment would settle it. But the test at xˉ\bar xxˉ inspects only the n−mn-mn−m edge directions, while a feasible point xxx lies in the direction x−xˉx-\bar xx−xˉ, which is in general not an edge. Monotonicity along each edge says nothing directly about other directions, and ζ\zetaζ is neither convex nor concave, so local optimality along a few lines does not by itself transfer to the whole polyhedron. The step that has to be supplied is the passage from the edges to all feasible directions at a basic solution. It fails without the basis: at a feasible point that is not basic, or with linearly dependent columns, the edge directions need not reach every feasible point. At a degenerate vertex some edge directions leave the feasible set at once, and a test restricted to the feasible edges does not certify optimality.

Formalization scope

The feasible set and the objective are the published definitions DermanSeqDecisions.LinProg.IsFeasible11 (x≥0x\ge0x≥0, Ax=bAx=bAx=b) and DermanSeqDecisions.LinProg.fracObj ((∑cixi)/(∑dixi)(\sum c_ix_i)/(\sum d_ix_i)(∑ci​xi​)/(∑di​xi​)). The basis is the published MatousekLP.BFS.IsBasis. Indices are 0-based. A mission definition adds the basic feasible solution and the relational edge direction. The edge direction is given by its defining equations, not through a basis inverse, and is not required to be feasible.

Committed conventions and disclosed choices:

  • The goal is stated for minimization, the paper's problem; the paper's sentence says "maximize", which is the same statement for −c-c−c.
  • "In a domain where the denominator does not vanish" is the hypothesis ∑idixi>0\sum_id_ix_i>0∑i​di​xi​>0 for every feasible xxx (the paper's footnote: ∑jxj>0\sum_jx_j>0∑j​xj​>0). It is not required on all of Rn\mathbb R^nRn, where it would be unsatisfiable for the cutting stock ddd.
  • The derivative in the test is Mathlib's deriv of τ↦ζ(xˉ+τv)\tau\mapsto\zeta(\bar x+\tau v)τ↦ζ(xˉ+τv) at 000: the actual rate of change, not a formula assumed to equal it.
  • The page says that along a line the derivative "will have the same value". This is false when the denominator varies along the line. Milestone 1 states the correct version: the derivative times the squared denominator is constant, so the sign is constant.
  • In the formula after substituting (4), the page prints the coefficient −li-l_i−li​ where −z2li-z_2l_i−z2​li​ is meant. Milestone 4 uses the corrected coefficient.
  • The slack upper bounds are dropped, as on p. 882.

The following would trivialize the goal and are excluded: an edge hypothesis over all directions vvv instead of the edge directions, which turns the goal into quasi-convexity along segments; an edge hypothesis stated as the global inequality; a positivity hypothesis on the denominator over all of Rn\mathbb R^nRn; and dropping the basis, under which the goal is false.

The development needs elementary real calculus (derivatives of quotients, monotonicity from the sign of the derivative) and the linear algebra of a basis (existence, uniqueness and spanning of the edge directions). The lemmas about ratios of affine functions along lines and about edge directions of a basis are reusable for any simplex-type method. Contributions of proofs of the milestones, and of auxiliary lemmas on edge directions, are welcome.

Selected references

  • P. C. Gilmore and R. E. Gomory, A linear programming approach to the cutting stock problem—Part II, Operations Research 11(6), 863–888, 1963. https://doi.org/10.1287/opre.11.6.863
  • P. C. Gilmore and R. E. Gomory, A linear programming approach to the cutting stock problem, Operations Research 9(6), 849–859, 1961. https://doi.org/10.1287/opre.9.6.849
  • B. Martos, Hyperbolic programming, Naval Research Logistics Quarterly 11(2), 135–155, 1964. https://doi.org/10.1002/nav.3800110204
  • A. Charnes and W. W. Cooper, Programming with linear fractional functionals, Naval Research Logistics Quarterly 9(3–4), 181–186, 1962. https://doi.org/10.1002/nav.3800090303
  • W. Dinkelbach, Die Maximierung eines Quotienten zweier linearer Funktionen unter linearen Nebenbedingungen, Zeitschrift für Wahrscheinlichkeitstheorie 1, 141–145, 1962 (cited by the paper as [11]).
  • W. Dinkelbach, On nonlinear fractional programming, Management Science 13(7), 492–498, 1967. https://doi.org/10.1287/mnsc.13.7.492
  • J. R. Isbell and W. H. Marlow, Attrition games, Naval Research Logistics Quarterly 3, 71–94, 1956 (cited by the paper as [9]).
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CombinatoricsGraph Theory·Captain: mikedeng1

The Intersection Graphs of Subtrees in Trees Are Exactly the Chordal Graphs: A Finite Graph Is a Subtree Graph If and Only If It Is ChordalResearch Paper

Motivation

Chordal graphs (graphs in which every long cycle has a shortcut edge) appear wherever a sparse symmetric structure has to be eliminated without creating new interactions: Gaussian elimination on sparse symmetric matrices (Rose 1970), acyclic database schemes, junction trees for probabilistic graphical models, and phylogenetic and scheduling problems. In all of these applications the useful object is not the graph itself but a tree representation of it: a tree on which every vertex of the graph is a connected piece, and adjacency is overlap.

The theorem of this mission says that such tree representations exist exactly for chordal graphs. It extends the theory of interval graphs (intersection graphs of intervals on a line, i.e. of subpaths of a path), whose characterization was asked by Hajós (1957) and given by Lekkerkerker–Boland (1962), Gilmore–Hoffman (1964) and Fulkerson–Gross (1965), from paths to arbitrary trees.

Timeline. Dirac (1961) proved that every chordal graph has a simplicial vertex, a vertex whose neighbourhood is a complete subgraph. Rose (1970) used this to recognize chordal graphs efficiently, and Gavril (1972) showed that a chordal graph has at most as many maximal cliques as vertices. Renz (1970) studied intersection graphs of arcs in trees. Gavril (1974), together with Buneman (1974) and Walter (1972/1978) independently, proved that the intersection graphs of subtrees of trees are exactly the chordal graphs, and gave an algorithm that builds such a representation.

Setting

All graphs are finite and simple: a graph GGG has a finite vertex set VVV and a symmetric irreflexive adjacency relation. A completely connected set is a set of pairwise adjacent vertices, and a clique is a maximal completely connected set. The set of cliques of GGG is μ(G)\mu(G)μ(G), and μv(G)⊆μ(G)\mu_v(G) \subseteq \mu(G)μv​(G)⊆μ(G) is the set of cliques containing the vertex vvv. For a vertex vvv, Γv\Gamma vΓv is the set of its neighbours; vvv is simplicial if Γv\Gamma vΓv is completely connected.

GGG is chordal if every simple circuit v1,…,vk,v1v_1, \dots, v_k, v_1v1​,…,vk​,v1​ with k>3k > 3k>3 vertices has a chord: an edge of GGG joining two vertices of the circuit that are not consecutive on it.

A tree TTT is a connected graph without simple circuits. A subtree of TTT is a nonempty set of tree vertices that induces a connected subgraph of TTT. A family (vˉ)v∈V(\bar v)_{v \in V}(vˉ)v∈V​ of subtrees of TTT represents GGG if, for all distinct u,v∈Vu, v \in Vu,v∈V,

u∼Gv  ⟺  uˉ∩vˉ≠∅.u \sim_G v \iff \bar u \cap \bar v \neq \varnothing.u∼G​v⟺uˉ∩vˉ=∅.

GGG is a subtree graph if it has such a representation on some tree, and a proper subtree graph if it has one in which no subtree is contained in another.

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem 3 (p. 51)

G is a subtree graph  ⟺  G is chordalG \text{ is a subtree graph} \iff G \text{ is chordal}G is a subtree graph⟺G is chordal

for every finite simple graph GGG. The paper calls this "the main theorem of this paper".

Milestones

  1. The three-point remark (p. 50): subtrees of a tree that each contain two of three given points have a common point.
  2. Lemma 1 (p. 50): for every completely connected set AAA of a subtree graph, ⋂v∈Avˉ≠∅\bigcap_{v \in A} \bar v \neq \varnothing⋂v∈A​vˉ=∅.
  3. For two different cliques A1≠A2A_1 \neq A_2A1​=A2​, (⋂v∈A1vˉ)∩(⋂v∈A2vˉ)=∅\big(\bigcap_{v\in A_1}\bar v\big) \cap \big(\bigcap_{v \in A_2} \bar v\big) = \varnothing(⋂v∈A1​​vˉ)∩(⋂v∈A2​​vˉ)=∅ (p. 50).
  4. Theorem 2 (p. 51): GGG is a subtree graph if and only if there is a tree TTT with vertex set μ(G)\mu(G)μ(G) such that T(μv(G))T(\mu_v(G))T(μv​(G)) is connected for every v∈Vv \in Vv∈V (a clique tree).
  5. Subtree graphs are chordal (proof of Theorem 3, p. 51).
  6. Dirac–Rose (cited, p. 48): every nonempty finite chordal graph has a simplicial vertex.
  7. For a simplicial vertex vvv, {v}∪Γv\{v\} \cup \Gamma v{v}∪Γv is a clique (p. 52).
  8. Induced subgraphs of chordal graphs are chordal (p. 52).
  9. Every finite chordal graph has a clique tree (pp. 51–52).

Companion statements (§3 and §1)

G subtree graph  ⟹  G proper subtree graph,subtree  ⟺  proper subtree  ⟺  chordal,G \text{ subtree graph} \implies G \text{ proper subtree graph}, \qquad \text{subtree} \iff \text{proper subtree} \iff \text{chordal},G subtree graph⟹G proper subtree graph,subtree⟺proper subtree⟺chordal,

and, cited on p. 49, ∣μ(G)∣≤∣V∣|\mu(G)| \le |V|∣μ(G)∣≤∣V∣ for a nonempty finite chordal graph.

Significance

The result. The theorem turns a forbidden-structure condition (no chordless cycle of length at least four) into a constructive geometric one (a tree model), and Theorem 2 makes the tree canonical: its vertices are the maximal cliques. Clique trees are the data structure behind junction-tree inference, multifrontal sparse Cholesky factorization, and dynamic programming over tree decompositions; the treewidth of a graph is defined through chordal supergraphs and their clique trees. The proper-subtree result of §3 shows a contrast with interval graphs, where proper interval graphs form a strictly smaller class.

Formalizing it. The theorem is classical and fully proved in the literature, but Mathlib has no notion of chordal graph, no Helly property for subtrees, no clique trees and no simplicial-vertex theorem. This mission produces those definitions together with the characterization, the Helly property for finite families of subtrees, the Dirac–Rose theorem under the cycle–chord definition, and closure of chordality under induced subgraphs. As far as is known, none of these results has a machine-checked proof in Lean under the cycle–chord definition.

Difficulty

The "only if" direction is short on paper but rests on tree facts that are not packaged in Mathlib: a connected vertex set of a tree contains the unique path between any two of its vertices, and three pairwise paths of a tree meet. The "if" direction must produce a tree on the set μ(G)\mu(G)μ(G) of maximal cliques, and the maximal cliques of a graph are not stable under passing to induced subgraphs: a clique of a subgraph need not be a clique of GGG, and two cliques of GGG may restrict to the same set. Relating μ(G)\mu(G)μ(G) to μ(G1)\mu(G_1)μ(G1​) for a smaller graph G1G_1G1​ is the step where informal arguments are routinely loose, and it is where a formal proof spends most of its effort. The Dirac–Rose theorem is cited rather than proved in the paper and needs a separate development.

A tempting shortcut is to define chordality as the existence of a perfect elimination ordering. This builds the Dirac–Rose theorem into the definition and changes the theorem being proved; it is excluded here.

Formalization scope

  • Graphs are G : SimpleGraph V with [Fintype V] in the goal, Theorem 2, the clique-tree claim, Dirac–Rose and the clique count. Milestones whose claims hold for infinite graphs (Lemma 1 for finite AAA, the three-point remark, the clique-disjointness claim, subtree ⇒ chordal, induced chordality, the simplicial clique, subtree ⇒ proper subtree) are stated without finiteness, which makes them stronger. VVV may be empty in the goal and in Theorem 2; Dirac–Rose and the clique count assume VVV nonempty, which they need.
  • Chordality is the cycle–chord definition: for every cycle walk c of length at least 4 there are vertices x, y on c with G.Adj x y and s(x, y) not an edge of c.
  • The paper's trees are topological and its subtrees connected closed portions that may end inside an edge. Here a tree is a combinatorial tree T : SimpleGraph β with T.IsTree (not necessarily finite), and a subtree is a vertex set s with (T.induce s).Connected; subdividing the topological tree at all end-points shows the class of subtree graphs is the same. The tree type lives in the same universe as V.
  • The representing family is indexed by V; adjacency is compared only for distinct vertices. A clique is Maximal G.IsClique s; μ(G)\mu(G)μ(G) is the subtype of such sets.
  • Two trivializing formalizations are ruled out: chordality as a perfect elimination ordering, and representations by sets that need not be connected (with arbitrary sets every graph is an intersection graph, and the "only if" half would be false).
  • Needed infrastructure: paths and connected sets in trees, Helly's property for subtrees, maximal cliques and their behaviour under induced subgraphs, and simplicial vertices. The tree lemmas and the Dirac–Rose theorem are reusable well beyond this mission. Proofs of any milestone, alternative routes (for example via perfect elimination orderings proved equivalent to the cycle–chord definition), and the clique-count bound are all welcome.

Selected references

  • F. Gavril, Algorithms for minimum coloring, maximum clique, minimum covering by cliques, and maximum independent set of a chordal graph, SIAM J. Comput. 1 (1972) 180–187. https://doi.org/10.1137/0201013
  • F. Gavril, The intersection graphs of subtrees in trees are exactly the chordal graphs, J. Combin. Theory Ser. B 16 (1974) 47–56. https://doi.org/10.1016/0095-8956(74)90094-X
  • G. A. Dirac, On rigid circuit graphs, Abh. Math. Sem. Univ. Hamburg 25 (1961) 71–76. https://doi.org/10.1007/BF02992776
  • D. J. Rose, Triangulated graphs and the elimination process, J. Math. Anal. Appl. 32 (1970) 597–609. https://doi.org/10.1016/0022-247X(70)90282-9
  • P. Buneman, A characterisation of rigid circuit graphs, Discrete Math. 9 (1974) 205–212. https://doi.org/10.1016/0012-365X(74)90002-8
  • J. R. Walter, Representations of chordal graphs as subtrees of a tree, J. Graph Theory 2 (1978) 265–267. https://doi.org/10.1002/jgt.3190020311
  • D. R. Fulkerson and O. A. Gross, Incidence matrices and interval graphs, Pacific J. Math. 15 (1965) 835–855. https://doi.org/10.2140/pjm.1965.15.835
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Algorithmic Game TheoryFunctional AnalysisOperations Research+1·Captain: mikedeng1

A Variational Inequality Formulation of the Dynamic Network User Equilibrium Problem I: Route-Departure Equilibria Are Exactly the Solutions of the Path-Integral Variational InequalityResearch Paper

Motivation

Commuters choose not only a route but also a departure time, trading travel delay against the penalty of arriving early or late. Static traffic assignment, in the tradition of Wardrop's user-equilibrium principle, ignores the time dimension; dynamic traffic assignment adds it, and its central modelling question is what "equilibrium" means when flows, delays and costs all vary over a time horizon. Friesz, Bernstein, Smith, Tobin and Wie (Oper. Res. 41(1), 1993) proposed the simultaneous route-departure (SRD) equilibrium of a path-based dynamic model and showed that it is equivalent to an infinite-dimensional variational inequality. That equivalence is the starting point of a large literature on dynamic user equilibrium: existence theory, solution algorithms and differential-variational formulations all take the variational inequality as their definition of the problem.

Timeline, as far as this mission is concerned:

  • 1952: Wardrop states the static user-equilibrium criterion (equal and minimal travel times on used routes).
  • 1979–1980: Smith and Dafermos formulate static user equilibrium as a finite-dimensional variational inequality.
  • 1989: Friesz, Luque, Tobin and Wie treat dynamic route choice with a fixed departure schedule as an optimal-control problem.
  • 1993: Friesz et al. (this paper) formulate simultaneous route and departure-time equilibrium and prove its equivalence with a variational inequality on (L2[0,T])∣P∣(L^2[0,T])^{|P|}(L2[0,T])∣P∣ (Theorem 2, p. 187).

Setting

A traffic network has a finite set PPP of paths. Each path ppp connects exactly one origin–destination (OD) pair klklkl; PklP_{kl}Pkl​ denotes the paths of pair klklkl. Travellers depart during the horizon [0,T][0,T][0,T], T>0T>0T>0, which carries Lebesgue measure ν\nuν; "∀ν(t)\forall_\nu(t)∀ν​(t)" means "for ν\nuν-almost every t∈[0,T]t\in[0,T]t∈[0,T]".

A vector of departure-time densities h=(hp)p∈Ph=(h_p)_{p\in P}h=(hp​)p∈P​ assigns to each path a square-integrable, almost everywhere nonnegative function hph_php​ on [0,T][0,T][0,T]: hp(t)h_p(t)hp​(t) is the rate at which travellers depart at time ttt on path ppp. The set of such vectors is H+H_+H+​. Each OD pair has a fixed travel demand QklQ_{kl}Qkl​, and the feasible set is

Λ={h∈H+:∑p∈Pkl∫0Thp(t) dν(t)=Qkl for every OD pair kl}.(38)\Lambda=\Big\{h\in H_+ : \sum_{p\in P_{kl}}\int_0^T h_p(t)\,d\nu(t)=Q_{kl}\ \text{for every OD pair } kl\Big\}.\qquad(38)Λ={h∈H+​:p∈Pkl​∑​∫0T​hp​(t)dν(t)=Qkl​ for every OD pair kl}.(38)

A cost operator gives the effective delay Cp(t,h)≥0C_p(t,h)\ge 0Cp​(t,h)≥0 of departing at time ttt on path ppp when the densities are hhh: travel time plus a penalty for early or late arrival (13). Because densities are defined only up to null sets, the relevant lowest achievable cost on a path is an essential infimum,

μp(h)=ess inf⁡{Cp(t,h):t∈[0,T]}=sup⁡{x∈R: ν{t:Cp(t,h)<x}=0},\mu_p(h)=\operatorname{ess\,inf}\{C_p(t,h):t\in[0,T]\}=\sup\{x\in\mathbb R:\ \nu\{t: C_p(t,h)<x\}=0\},μp​(h)=essinf{Cp​(t,h):t∈[0,T]}=sup{x∈R: ν{t:Cp​(t,h)<x}=0},

and the lowest achievable cost for pair klklkl is μkl(h)=min⁡p∈Pklμp(h)\mu_{kl}(h)=\min_{p\in P_{kl}}\mu_p(h)μkl​(h)=minp∈Pkl​​μp​(h).

Definition 3. For h∈Λh\in\Lambdah∈Λ and a nonnegative vector μ=(μkl)\mu=(\mu_{kl})μ=(μkl​), the pair (h,μ)(h,\mu)(h,μ) is an SRD equilibrium if for every OD pair klklkl and every p∈Pklp\in P_{kl}p∈Pkl​:

hp(t)>0 ⇒ Cp(t,h)=μkl∀ν(t),Cp(t,h)≥μkl∀ν(t).h_p(t)>0\ \Rightarrow\ C_p(t,h)=\mu_{kl}\quad\forall_\nu(t),\qquad C_p(t,h)\ge\mu_{kl}\quad\forall_\nu(t).hp​(t)>0 ⇒ Cp​(t,h)=μkl​∀ν​(t),Cp​(t,h)≥μkl​∀ν​(t).

No positive-measure set of travellers can lower its cost by switching route or departure time.

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem 2 (PIE VIP)

For h∗h^*h∗ with nonnegative, square-integrable costs Cp(⋅,h∗)C_p(\cdot,h^*)Cp​(⋅,h∗):

(∃ μ∗: (h∗,μ∗) SRD equilibrium) ⟹ h∗∈Λ and ∑p∈P∫0TCp(t,h∗) [hp(t)−hp∗(t)] dν(t)≥0  ∀h∈Λ,(39)\big(\exists\,\mu^*:\ (h^*,\mu^*)\ \text{SRD equilibrium}\big)\ \Longrightarrow\ h^*\in\Lambda\ \text{and}\ \sum_{p\in P}\int_0^T C_p(t,h^*)\,[h_p(t)-h^*_p(t)]\,d\nu(t)\ge 0\ \ \forall h\in\Lambda,\qquad(39)(∃μ∗: (h∗,μ∗) SRD equilibrium) ⟹ h∗∈Λ and p∈P∑​∫0T​Cp​(t,h∗)[hp​(t)−hp∗​(t)]dν(t)≥0  ∀h∈Λ,(39)

and conversely, if h∗∈Λh^*\in\Lambdah∗∈Λ solves (39), then (h∗,μ(h∗))(h^*,\mu(h^*))(h∗,μ(h∗)) with μkl∗=μkl(h∗)\mu^*_{kl}=\mu_{kl}(h^*)μkl∗​=μkl​(h∗) is an SRD equilibrium. The formal goal states the two directions as two conjuncts; the second names the equilibrium cost vector explicitly, which is stronger than an equivalence with an existential μ∗\mu^*μ∗.

Milestones

  1. Lemma 2: a measurable function positive on a set of positive measure exceeds some ε0>0\varepsilon_0>0ε0​>0 on a set of positive measure.
  2. The pointwise inequality (42) at an equilibrium, and the necessity half of Theorem 2.
  3. Condition (17) holds by construction for μ∗=μ(h∗)\mu^*=\mu(h^*)μ∗=μ(h∗).
  4. The positive-measure sets (44)–(46) and (47) produced by a failure of (16).
  5. Feasibility (50) of the mass-shifted vector (48)–(49), the value bound (54), and the sufficiency half of Theorem 2.

Significance

The result. Theorem 2 converts an equilibrium defined by almost-everywhere complementarity conditions into a single variational inequality over a convex subset of a Hilbert space. This is what makes dynamic user equilibrium accessible to the general theory of variational inequalities: existence via monotonicity or compactness arguments, and projection-type algorithms in function space or after time discretization. The sufficiency half also identifies the equilibrium cost levels: they are the essential infima μkl(h∗)\mu_{kl}(h^*)μkl​(h∗), so the multiplier μ∗\mu^*μ∗ need not be found separately.

Formalizing it. The theorem is proved in the paper; no machine-checked version is known. A formal proof requires essential infima, the shifting of mass between paths on sets of prescribed measure (the paper cites Halmos, Proposition 41.2, for the nonatomicity of Lebesgue measure), and careful integrability bookkeeping. The development is a self-contained template for "complementarity conditions a.e. ⇔ variational inequality in L2L^2L2" arguments, which recur in continuous-time equilibrium models.

Difficulty

Necessity is routine once integrability is in place, though the paper's text asserts the per-path identity ∫0T[hp−hp∗] dν=0\int_0^T[h_p-h^*_p]\,d\nu=0∫0T​[hp​−hp∗​]dν=0, which is false; only the sum over PklP_{kl}Pkl​ vanishes, and that suffices. Sufficiency is the substantive half. The obvious approach, testing (39) against a perturbation that moves flow from an expensive to a cheap route, has to be carried out with sets rather than points: the costs are only defined almost everywhere, the minimal cost is an essential infimum that need not be attained at any time, and the perturbation must keep the demand constraints exact. This forces the choice of sets of exactly equal positive measure inside the positive-measure sets Sp(ε,δ)S_p(\varepsilon,\delta)Sp​(ε,δ) and Tq(ε)T_q(\varepsilon)Tq​(ε), a nonatomicity argument that a pointwise proof would miss.

Formalization scope

Densities are plain functions R→R\mathbb R\to\mathbb RR→R with a square-integrability condition with respect to ν=\nu=ν= Lebesgue measure restricted to [0,T][0,T][0,T], not L2L^2L2 equivalence classes; every pointwise condition is ν\nuν-almost everywhere, and values outside [0,T][0,T][0,T] are unconstrained. Paths and OD pairs are finite types, with a map sending each path to its OD pair. The essential infimum is the literal formula (12), a real supremum; it is not the pointwise infimum, which changes when CCC is altered on a null set and makes sufficiency false. μkl\mu_{kl}μkl​ is a real infimum over PklP_{kl}Pkl​; for a pair with no paths it is an unused default value.

The cost operator C is abstract, with the paper's measurability assumption strengthened to square-integrability so that every integral in (39) is a genuine Lebesgue integral. The network dynamics (3)–(11) that produce C in the paper are not formalized. Nonnegativity (the codomain R+\mathbb R_+R+​ of (13)) and square-integrability are assumed only at h∗h^*h∗, which makes the formal statements stronger than the paper's. Without integrability, Lean's integral of a non-integrable function is 000, so (39) could hold vacuously; the added hypothesis excludes that trivialization. The goal quantifies over every cost operator satisfying these hypotheses and never fixes one. In the milestones, the reduction from p=qp=qp=q to p≠qp\ne qp=q (p. 188) is taken as the hypothesis p≠qp\ne qp=q.

A complete development needs: properties of the real essential infimum (12) on a finite measure space; Lemma 2 (continuity of measure from below); the existence of measurable subsets of prescribed measure in Lebesgue measure (nonatomicity, available in Mathlib in some form); and integral bookkeeping for products of L2L^2L2 functions on a finite measure. The essential-infimum and mass-shift lemmas are reusable for other continuous-time equilibrium models. Proofs of any milestone, and cleaner restatements of the essential-infimum API, are welcome.

Selected references

  • T. L. Friesz, D. Bernstein, T. E. Smith, R. L. Tobin and B. W. Wie, A variational inequality formulation of the dynamic network user equilibrium problem, Operations Research 41(1):179–191, 1993. https://doi.org/10.1287/opre.41.1.179
  • J. G. Wardrop, Some theoretical aspects of road traffic research, Proceedings of the Institution of Civil Engineers 1(3):325–362, 1952. https://doi.org/10.1680/ipeds.1952.11259
  • M. J. Smith, The existence, uniqueness and stability of traffic equilibria, Transportation Research B 13(4):295–304, 1979. https://doi.org/10.1016/0191-2615(79)90022-5
  • S. Dafermos, Traffic equilibrium and variational inequalities, Transportation Science 14(1):42–54, 1980. https://doi.org/10.1287/trsc.14.1.42
  • T. L. Friesz, J. Luque, R. L. Tobin and B. W. Wie, Dynamic network traffic assignment considered as a continuous time optimal control problem, Operations Research 37(6):893–901, 1989. https://doi.org/10.1287/opre.37.6.893
  • P. R. Halmos, Measure Theory, Van Nostrand, 1950 (Proposition 41.2, nonatomicity of Lebesgue measure).
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Matching, Euler Tours and the Chinese Postman I: The Convex Hull of Nonnegative Integer Parity Solutions Is the Polyhedron of Odd-Set InequalitiesResearch Paper

Motivation

The Chinese postman problem, posed by Meigu Guan (Kwan Mei-Ko) in 1962, asks for a shortest closed walk in a graph that traverses every edge at least once: the route of a postman who must cover every street and return to the post office. It is the basic model of arc routing (street sweeping, snow ploughing, meter reading, inspection of networks), and it is one of the first combinatorial optimization problems shown to be solvable in polynomial time by matching methods.

Edmonds and Johnson, Matching, Euler tours and the Chinese postman (Mathematical Programming 5, 1973), reduce the postman problem to a parity problem: choose nonnegative integers xex_exe​, the number of extra traversals of each edge, so that every node becomes even, at minimum total length. Their §3 gives a complete linear description of this parity problem. The description is the first instance of what is now called the TTT-join polyhedron (with TTT the set of odd-degree nodes), a standard object of polyhedral combinatorics and a frequent example of total dual integrality.

Timeline:

  • 1962: Guan states the postman problem and an optimality criterion for it.
  • 1965: Edmonds proves the matching polyhedron theorem and gives the blossom algorithm for weighted matching (Edmonds 1965).
  • 1973: Edmonds and Johnson specialise both to the postman problem, giving the polyhedron in the edge variables alone (this mission) and a blossom algorithm that solves it (Edmonds–Johnson 1973).

Setting

A graph GGG has a finite set NNN of nodes and a finite set EEE of edges; each edge meets two different nodes, and several edges may meet the same pair of nodes. The degree of a node nnn is the number of edges meeting it, ∑e∈Eane\sum_{e\in E} a_{ne}∑e∈E​ane​, where ane=1a_{ne}=1ane​=1 if eee meets nnn and 000 otherwise. Set bn=1b_n=1bn​=1 when the degree of nnn is odd (an odd node) and bn=0b_n=0bn​=0 otherwise.

An edge eee meets a set S⊆NS\subseteq NS⊆N when exactly one of its two ends lies in SSS. A set S⊆NS\subseteq NS⊆N is an odd set when it contains an odd number of odd nodes, and any number of even nodes.

The parity points X⊆REX\subseteq\mathbb R^EX⊆RE are the vectors with

xe∈Z,xe≥0(e∈E),∑e∈Eanexe≡bn(mod2)(n∈N),x_e\in\mathbb Z,\quad x_e\ge 0\quad(e\in E),\qquad \sum_{e\in E}a_{ne}x_e\equiv b_n \pmod 2\quad(n\in N),xe​∈Z,xe​≥0(e∈E),e∈E∑​ane​xe​≡bn​(mod2)(n∈N),

the conditions (3.1), (3.2), (3.6) of the paper. Adding xex_exe​ copies of each edge eee to GGG makes every degree even, and an Euler tour of the enlarged graph is a postman tour of GGG. The postman polyhedron is

P={x∈RE: xe≥0 (e∈E),  ∑{xe:e meets S}≥1 for every odd set S},P=\Big\{x\in\mathbb R^E:\ x_e\ge 0\ (e\in E),\ \ \sum\{x_e : e\text{ meets }S\}\ge 1\ \text{for every odd set } S\Big\},P={x∈RE: xe​≥0 (e∈E),  ∑{xe​:e meets S}≥1 for every odd set S},

the conditions (3.2) and (3.5). For lengths c∈REc\in\mathbb R^Ec∈RE the objective is z=∑ecexez=\sum_e c_e x_ez=∑e​ce​xe​. The dual linear program has a variable ySy_SyS​ for each odd set, constraints yS≥0y_S\ge 0yS​≥0 and ∑{yS:e meets S}≤ce\sum\{y_S: e\text{ meets }S\}\le c_e∑{yS​:e meets S}≤ce​, and objective v=∑SySv=\sum_S y_Sv=∑S​yS​.

Formalization targets

Goal: the polyhedron theorem (p. 93)

conv⁡X=P.\operatorname{conv} X = P .convX=P.

Both inclusions are claimed. The equality is between subsets of RE\mathbb R^ERE, so it also asserts that the convex hull of XXX is closed.

Milestones

In the paper's order of argument:

  1. (3.13), p. 95: an integer solution of (3.6) has ∑{xe:e meets S}≡1(mod2)\sum\{x_e : e\text{ meets }S\}\equiv 1 \pmod 2∑{xe​:e meets S}≡1(mod2) for every odd set SSS.
  2. p. 95: conv⁡X⊆P\operatorname{conv}X\subseteq PconvX⊆P.
  3. (3.10), p. 94: weak duality, v≤zv\le zv≤z for x∈Px\in Px∈P and yyy dual feasible.
  4. (3.11)–(3.12), p. 95: complementary slackness makes xxx and yyy optimal.
  5. p. 95: for c≥0c\ge 0c≥0 there is an integral parity point xxx and a dual feasible yyy satisfying (3.11) and (3.12). The paper proves this with the algorithm of §4.
  6. p. 96: if some ce<0c_e<0ce​<0, zzz is unbounded below on PPP and on XXX.
  7. (3.19), p. 96: for c≥0c\ge 0c≥0, the minimum of zzz over PPP is attained at a parity point.

There are two companion statements. The first (pp. 93–94) says that in ∑eanexe−2wn=bn\sum_e a_{ne}x_e-2w_n=b_n∑e​ane​xe​−2wn​=bn​ with x≥0x\ge 0x≥0, integrality of wnw_nwn​ already forces wn≥0w_n\ge 0wn​≥0. The second (p. 91) is the polyhedron theorem in the variables (x,w)(x,w)(x,w): the convex hull of the integer solutions of (3.1)–(3.3) is the set of solutions of (3.2), (3.2′), (3.3), (3.5).

Significance

The theorem turns the parity problem, an integer program, into a linear program over an explicitly described polyhedron. Optimal postman tours therefore come with dual certificates: a packing of odd cuts whose total value matches the tour's extra length. The same description underlies the theory of TTT-joins and TTT-cuts (Schrijver 2003, Chapter 29).

No machine-checked proof of the TTT-join polyhedron theorem exists, on Prove2Me or, to our knowledge, in Mathlib. This mission states it in the multigraph setting of the paper. Milestones 1–4 and 6 are elementary and can serve as warm-ups. Milestone 5, total dual integrality of the odd-cut system, is the substantive step. The paper obtains it from a blossom algorithm; the milestone is stated as an existence result, so any proof of it closes it.

Difficulty

The inclusion conv⁡X⊆P\operatorname{conv}X\subseteq PconvX⊆P is a parity count. The reverse inclusion is the theorem. Two first ideas fail. Total unimodularity does not apply, because the odd-cut constraint matrix is not totally unimodular and PPP has many constraints whose tightness interacts. Reading the result off the matching polyhedron theorem needs the auxiliary loops wnw_nwn​ and an elimination step, and the 1965 matching polyhedron describes perfect matchings of a simple graph, not this parity system on a multigraph. Some argument for integrality of the minimum for every c≥0c\ge 0c≥0 is needed, and the paper's is an algorithm with a dual certificate. A further point is that PPP and XXX are unbounded: equality of hulls is not just agreement of minima over bounded objectives, and the case of objectives with a negative coefficient has to be handled separately (milestone 6).

Formalization scope

A graph is the local ChinesePostman.Polyhedron.Graph V E: a map ends : E → Sym2 V with a proof that no edge is a loop, over finite types V and E. Mathlib's SimpleGraph is not used, because the paper allows parallel edges. Degrees, odd nodes and bnb_nbn​ are computed from the graph; the set of odd nodes is never a free parameter. "eee meets SSS" means exactly one end in SSS. Odd sets range over all subsets S⊆NS\subseteq NS⊆N with an odd number of odd nodes, with no nonemptiness or properness condition. Parity points are real images of integer vectors E → ℤ, so integrality is part of XXX. Dual variables are functions Finset V → ℝ whose values matter only on odd sets: the sign condition and every sum are restricted to the odd sets. Lengths ccc are arbitrary reals except where the page assumes ce≥0c_e\ge 0ce​≥0 (milestones 5 and 7).

Trivializing readings are ruled out: (3.5) taken over nonempty proper sets only, "meets" read as "has at least one end in", the odd nodes taken as an arbitrary set TTT, or XXX allowed to contain non-integral points would each give a different, and in some cases false or trivial, statement.

Every definition the statements need is in one file, ChinesePostman.Polyhedron.Setting. A complete development needs finite-dimensional convexity (Mathlib's convexHull) and linear programming duality or an integrality argument. A Lean proof of total dual integrality for odd-cut systems would be reusable for matching and TTT-join problems beyond this paper. Proofs of any milestone, and alternative proofs of milestone 5, are welcome.

Selected references

  • J. Edmonds and E. L. Johnson, Matching, Euler tours and the Chinese postman, Mathematical Programming 5 (1973) 88–124. https://doi.org/10.1007/BF01580113
  • J. Edmonds, Maximum matching and a polyhedron with 0,1-vertices, Journal of Research of the National Bureau of Standards 69B (1965) 125–130. https://doi.org/10.6028/jres.069B.013
  • M. Guan (Kwan Mei-Ko), Graphic programming using odd or even points, Chinese Mathematics 1 (1962) 273–277.
  • A. Schrijver, Combinatorial Optimization: Polyhedra and Efficiency, Springer, 2003, Chapter 29 (T-joins and T-cuts). https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-540-44389-6
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A New Optimization Algorithm for the Vehicle Routing Problem with Time Windows: With No Negative Marginal Cost Column, the Set Covering LP Is Optimal and Bounds the VRPTW Optimum from BelowResearch Paper

Motivation

The vehicle routing problem with time windows (VRPTW) asks for minimum-cost routes from a central depot that serve every customer exactly once, respecting vehicle capacity and a time interval in which each customer's service must begin. It models school bus routing, parcel and retail distribution, and dial-a-ride services. Desrochers, Desrosiers and Solomon (Oper. Res. 40 (1992) 342–354) gave an optimization algorithm for the VRPTW that solved benchmark instances with up to 100 customers to optimality, a size far beyond earlier exact methods. Their method, which solves the linear relaxation of a set partitioning model by column generation with routes priced out by a resource-constrained shortest path dynamic program, is the template that later exact vehicle routing algorithms ("branch-and-price") follow.

The mathematical core of the method is a certificate: once the pricing subproblem reports that no route has negative marginal cost (reduced cost), the current linear programming solution is optimal over all routes the subproblem can generate, its value bounds every VRPTW solution from below, and an integral solution covering each customer exactly once is VRPTW-optimal. This mission formalizes that certificate and the lemmas of the paper it rests on.

Setting

The nodes are a depot ddd and customers N∖{d}N\setminus\{d\}N∖{d}. An arc set AAA carries, for each arc (i,j)(i,j)(i,j), a cost cijc_{ij}cij​ and a duration tijt_{ij}tij​; each node has a demand qiq_iqi​ and a time window [ai,bi][a_i,b_i][ai​,bi​]; vehicles have capacity QQQ.

A path (d,i1,…,iK,d)(d, i_1, \dots, i_K, d)(d,i1​,…,iK​,d) uses arcs of AAA and passes through the depot only at its ends. It is resource-feasible when there are service start times T0=0,T1,…,TK+1T_0 = 0, T_1, \dots, T_{K+1}T0​=0,T1​,…,TK+1​ with Tk+tikik+1≤Tk+1T_k + t_{i_k i_{k+1}} \le T_{k+1}Tk​+tik​ik+1​​≤Tk+1​ (waiting is allowed) and aik≤Tk≤bika_{i_k}\le T_k\le b_{i_k}aik​​≤Tk​≤bik​​, and its load ∑k=1Kqik\sum_{k=1}^{K} q_{i_k}∑k=1K​qik​​ is at most QQQ. Its cost is cr=∑k=0Kcikik+1c_r = \sum_{k=0}^{K} c_{i_k i_{k+1}}cr​=∑k=0K​cik​ik+1​​, and γir\gamma_{ir}γir​ is the number of visits of rrr to customer iii. The paper uses three solution spaces:

  1. feasible routes RRR: resource-feasible paths visiting each customer at most once;
  2. second-model paths: resource-feasible paths where customers may repeat (the state-space relaxation that tracks load and time but not the set of visited customers);
  3. third-model paths: second-model paths with no 2-cycle (i,j,i)(i, j, i)(i,j,i).

A VRPTW solution is a set of feasible routes covering each customer exactly once; its cost is the sum of the route costs.

The set covering type model (Sec. 4) over a column set R\mathcal RR is

min⁡∑rcrxrs.t.∑rγirxr≥1 (i≠d),∑rxr−Xd=0,∑rcrxr−Xc=0,\min \sum_r c_r x_r \quad\text{s.t.}\quad \sum_r \gamma_{ir}x_r \ge 1\ (i \ne d),\quad \sum_r x_r - X_d = 0,\quad \sum_r c_r x_r - X_c = 0,minr∑​cr​xr​s.t.r∑​γir​xr​≥1 (i=d),r∑​xr​−Xd​=0,r∑​cr​xr​−Xc​=0,

with xr∈{0,1}x_r\in\{0,1\}xr​∈{0,1} and Xd,Xc≥0X_d, X_c\ge 0Xd​,Xc​≥0 integer. Its LP relaxation replaces xr∈{0,1}x_r\in\{0,1\}xr​∈{0,1} by xr≥0x_r\ge 0xr​≥0 and drops integrality. For dual values πi\pi_iπi​, πd\pi_dπd​, πc\pi_cπc​ of the three rows, the marginal cost of a column and of an arc are

cˉr=cr−∑i≠dπiγir−πd−πccr,cˉij=(1−πc)cij−πi(πi:=πd at i=d).\bar c_r = c_r - \sum_{i\ne d}\pi_i\gamma_{ir} - \pi_d - \pi_c c_r,\qquad \bar c_{ij} = (1-\pi_c)c_{ij} - \pi_i\quad(\pi_i := \pi_d \text{ at } i = d).cˉr​=cr​−i=d∑​πi​γir​−πd​−πc​cr​,cˉij​=(1−πc​)cij​−πi​(πi​:=πd​ at i=d).

Formalization targets

Goal: the column generation certificate

Let R0R_0R0​ be a finite set of third-model paths, zˉ=(xˉ,Xˉd,Xˉc)\bar z = (\bar x, \bar X_d, \bar X_c)zˉ=(xˉ,Xˉd​,Xˉc​) an optimal solution of the LP relaxation restricted to R0R_0R0​, and (π,πd,πc)(\pi,\pi_d,\pi_c)(π,πd​,πc​) an optimal solution of its dual. If every third-model path has nonnegative marginal cost, ∑k=0Kcˉikik+1≥0\sum_{k=0}^{K}\bar c_{i_k i_{k+1}} \ge 0∑k=0K​cˉik​ik+1​​≥0, then

zˉ is optimal for the LP relaxation over all third-model paths,\bar z \text{ is optimal for the LP relaxation over all third-model paths},zˉ is optimal for the LP relaxation over all third-model paths,

and, when arc costs are nonnegative, ∑rcrxˉr≤cost(S)\sum_r c_r \bar x_r \le \text{cost}(S)∑r​cr​xˉr​≤cost(S) for every VRPTW solution SSS; if moreover xˉ\bar xxˉ is integral and covers each customer exactly once, its support is an optimal VRPTW solution.

Milestones

  1. Feasible routes ⊆\subseteq⊆ third-model paths ⊆\subseteq⊆ second-model paths (Sec. 3, p. 346).
  2. cˉr=∑k=0Kcˉikik+1\bar c_r = \sum_{k=0}^{K}\bar c_{i_k i_{k+1}}cˉr​=∑k=0K​cˉik​ik+1​​ for every path (Sec. 4.1, p. 347).
  3. Nonnegative column marginal costs over all third-model paths make the restricted optimum optimal (Sec. 4, p. 346).
  4. Every VRPTW solution is a feasible LP point of equal cost (Sec. 2, p. 344).
  5. An integral, exactly covering LP point is a VRPTW solution of equal cost (Sec. 5, p. 348).
  6. Under the strict triangle inequality, LP optima over routes do not overcover (Sec. 5, p. 348).
  7. The four time window reduction conditions preserve the set of paths (Sec. 6.1, p. 349).
  8. The Figure 1 example has 11, 22 and 12 solutions in the three models (pp. 345–346).

Significance

The certificate is the correctness statement of column generation for vehicle routing: it says when the algorithm may stop, what the value it stops with means, and when the branch-and-bound tree can be skipped. The same argument, with a different subproblem, underlies branch-and-price for crew scheduling, cutting stock and many other set partitioning formulations. Milestone 2 is the observation that turns pricing into a shortest path problem on the original network, and milestone 7 is the preprocessing used before every dynamic program over time windows.

The paper's results are classical and their proofs are short in prose. None of them, nor any VRPTW column generation statement, has a machine-checked proof on the platform; the closest existing items concern split deliveries (Desaulniers 2010) or general finite LP duality. The mission produces a reusable formal model of resource-constrained paths, the set covering LP and its restricted dual, on which later branch-and-price papers can build.

Difficulty

The goal combines three ingredients that do not fit together automatically. First, LP duality for the restricted problem: the hypothesis gives an optimal dual, but optimality over all columns needs equality of the restricted primal and dual values, which is strong duality for a finite LP with equality rows and sign-constrained auxiliary variables. Second, the column set of the full LP is infinite in general: a nonelementary path can repeat customers, so the comparison must go through the finitely many columns a given feasible point uses. Third, the pricing hypothesis is about arc sums along node sequences while the LP is about column costs and visit counts; matching them needs the depot to appear exactly at the two ends of a path.

The tempting shortcut of quantifying the pricing hypothesis over the current columns only gives dual feasibility for the restricted LP, which says nothing about columns not yet generated. The lower bound also fails for arbitrary real costs, because row (4) with Xc≥0X_c \ge 0Xc​≥0 excludes negative-cost solutions from the LP while the VRPTW still contains them.

Formalization scope

Nodes are Fin (n+1) with the depot 0. A path is the list of its customers; its node sequence is 0 :: p ++ [0], so a path visits at least one customer and meets the depot only at its ends. The arc set is an arbitrary relation; costs, durations, demands and windows are arbitrary reals, and every sign or triangle condition a statement needs appears in its own hypotheses. The committed readings:

  • service times are indexed by position (a second-model path may visit a node twice), with T0=0T_0 = 0T0​=0;
  • the depot's window also applies at the return (0≤k≤K+10 \le k \le K+10≤k≤K+1, where the page prints 0≤k≤K0\le k\le K0≤k≤K);
  • the capacity constraint is load ≤Q\le Q≤Q (the page says "less than"; the recurrences and Figure 1 use ≤\le≤);
  • a 2-cycle is a pattern of the customer list, so (d,i,d)(d, i, d)(d,i,d) is not one;
  • the LP relaxation keeps Xd,Xc≥0X_d, X_c \ge 0Xd​,Xc​≥0, relaxes xr∈{0,1}x_r\in\{0,1\}xr​∈{0,1} to xr≥0x_r\ge 0xr​≥0 with no upper bound, and is the root LP without branching rows; its dual is that of the restricted LP, with πi,πd,πc≥0\pi_i, \pi_d, \pi_c \ge 0πi​,πd​,πc​≥0;
  • LP points are finitely supported functions on lists (Finsupp); VRPTW solutions are Finsets of routes;
  • clauses 2–3 of the goal and milestone 4 assume nonnegative arc costs (the paper's costs are distances);
  • milestone 6 adds complete arcs, positive costs, a triangle inequality on durations and nonnegative demands; milestone 7 applies the conditions at customers only; milestone 8 lists (d,2,1,2,1,d)(d,2,1,2,1,d)(d,2,1,2,1,d) where the page prints (d,2,1,2,d)(d,2,1,2,d)(d,2,1,2,d) twice.

The goal is not to be trivialized: the pricing hypothesis ranges over all third-model paths, not the current columns; equality of primal and dual values is not assumed; the full column set is not R0R_0R0​; and "covered exactly once" is not presupposed to mean elementary columns, which must be derived from integrality.

Contributions welcome: proofs of the milestones, a reusable finite LP strong duality interface for Finsupp-indexed columns, and lemmas about arc sums over node sequences.

Selected references

  • M. Desrochers, J. Desrosiers, M. Solomon, A new optimization algorithm for the vehicle routing problem with time windows, Operations Research 40(2), 1992, 342–354. https://doi.org/10.1287/opre.40.2.342
  • N. Christofides, A. Mingozzi, P. Toth, State-space relaxation procedures for the computation of bounds to routing problems, Networks 11(2), 1981, 145–164. https://doi.org/10.1002/net.3230110207
  • D. J. Houck, J.-C. Picard, M. Queyranne, R. R. Vemuganti, The travelling salesman problem as a constrained shortest path problem: theory and computational experience, Opsearch 17, 1980, 93–109.
  • G. Desaulniers, Branch-and-price-and-cut for the split-delivery vehicle routing problem with time windows, Operations Research 58(1), 2010, 179–192. https://doi.org/10.1287/opre.1090.0713
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Information TheoryOptimizationProbability+1·Captain: mikedeng1

I-Divergence Geometry of Probability Distributions and Minimization Problems 1: Cyclic I-Projections onto Linear Sets of a Finite Space Converge to the I-Projection onto Their IntersectionResearch Paper

Motivation

Fitting a probability distribution to prescribed margins or moments is a basic task in statistics and information theory. Starting from a reference distribution, one can enforce one constraint at a time by choosing the closest distribution in I-divergence, then cycle through the constraints. In a contingency table this procedure is iterative proportional fitting. A single projection onto the intersection is the desired answer, but each step of the iteration sees only one constraint set. Csiszár's 1975 paper proves that cyclic I-projections converge to the joint I-projection when the underlying set is finite and the constraint sets are linear. This mission formalizes that result together with the geometric statements needed to identify its limit.

Setting

Let (X,X)(X,\mathcal X)(X,X) be a measurable space. A probability distribution (PD) is a probability measure on it. For PDs PPP and QQQ, the I-divergence I(P∥Q)I(P\|Q)I(P∥Q) is the Kullback–Leibler divergence: integrate the logarithm of the density of PPP relative to QQQ against PPP, with value +∞+\infty+∞ when PPP is not absolutely continuous with respect to QQQ or the integral diverges. It takes values in [0,+∞][0,+\infty][0,+∞] and vanishes exactly when P=QP=QP=Q. The logarithmic conventions are log⁡0=−∞\log0=-\inftylog0=−∞ and 0⋅(±∞)=00\cdot(\pm\infty)=00⋅(±∞)=0 (Csiszár 1975, (1.1)–(1.3)).

Given a PD RRR and a set E\mathcal EE of PDs that contains at least one PPP with finite I(P∥R)I(P\|R)I(P∥R), an I-projection QQQ of RRR onto E\mathcal EE minimizes I(P∥R)I(P\|R)I(P∥R) over P∈EP\in\mathcal EP∈E and itself has finite divergence. The variation distance is the L1L^1L1 distance between the densities of two PDs relative to a common dominating measure. A set of PDs is linear here when every real affine combination of two members that is still a PD also belongs to the set. This includes distributions satisfying fixed linear moment constraints (Csiszár 1975, pp. 147 and 150–151).

For the goal, XXX is finite. Choose k≥1k\ge1k≥1 linear sets E1,…,Ek\mathcal E_1,\ldots,\mathcal E_kE1​,…,Ek​, and write E=⋂i=1kEi\mathcal E=\bigcap_{i=1}^k\mathcal E_iE=⋂i=1k​Ei​. Beginning with Q0=RQ_0=RQ0​=R, let QnQ_nQn​ be the I-projection of Qn−1Q_{n-1}Qn−1​ onto Ei\mathcal E_iEi​ when n=mk+in=mk+in=mk+i and 1≤i≤k1\le i\le k1≤i≤k. The common feasible set is assumed nonempty and contains a PD absolutely continuous with respect to RRR. These assumptions ensure that the intended finite-divergence projection problem is present (Csiszár 1975, Theorem 3.2).

Formalization targets

The goal is the convergence statement of Theorem 3.2:

∀x∈X,Qn({x})⟶Q({x}),Q=proj⁡EI(R).\forall x\in X,\qquad Q_n(\{x\})\longrightarrow Q(\{x\}), \quad Q=\operatorname{proj}^{I}_{\mathcal E}(R).∀x∈X,Qn​({x})⟶Q({x}),Q=projEI​(R).

The goal also asserts existence of the cyclic sequence. On finite XXX, convergence of every point mass is equivalent to convergence in variation distance. The target fixes no rate. Its milestones include existence on variation-closed convex sets (Theorem 2.1), the identity (2.6) and the tangent-hyperplane Lemma 2.1, the Pythagorean characterization and transitivity of I-projections (Theorems 2.2–2.3), the density form under general linear constraints (Theorem 3.1) and the finite-moment exponential-density characterization (Corollary 3.1(A)), and the finite-space identity used in Theorem 3.2's proof. The two displayed identities in that proof are also targets:

I(Q∥R)=I(Q∥Qn)+∑i=1nI(Qi∥Qi−1),I(P∥Qn)=I(P∥Q)+I(Q∥Qn)(P∈E).I(Q\|R)=I(Q\|Q_n)+\sum_{i=1}^{n}I(Q_i\|Q_{i-1}),\qquad I(P\|Q_n)=I(P\|Q)+I(Q\|Q_n)\quad(P\in\mathcal E).I(Q∥R)=I(Q∥Qn​)+i=1∑n​I(Qi​∥Qi−1​),I(P∥Qn​)=I(P∥Q)+I(Q∥Qn​)(P∈E).

They specify the divergence relationships that the eventual convergence theorem must preserve (Csiszár 1975, (3.14)–(3.15)).

Significance

The theorem justifies enforcing finitely many linear distribution constraints one at a time while still obtaining the same I-projection as a simultaneous minimization. It gives a precise limit for the iterative proportional fitting procedure discussed by Csiszár, including cases in which the initial distribution has zero probabilities; strict positivity of RRR is not required (Csiszár 1975, p. 155). The accompanying identities make the relation between a partial iterate and the final solution explicit. The result was proved in 1975. The work here is to provide machine-checked proofs of that known result and its supporting geometry, while keeping the source's extended-value and boundary conventions visible.

Difficulty

Successive projections minimize divergence over different sets. Minimization for one set by itself does not identify the minimizer over their intersection, and ordinary metric projection facts do not directly apply because I-divergence is asymmetric and can be infinite. The paper's statements need to handle zero densities and feasible distributions at infinite divergence without turning extended-real expressions into default values. On the finite space, convergence of a subsequence is available, but the formal claim must still identify every possible limit as the joint I-projection. These are the mathematical and representation difficulties faced by a complete proof (Csiszár 1975, §§2–3).

Formalization scope

Lean uses Measure X and Mathlib's InformationTheory.klDiv : ℝ≥0∞ for I(P∥Q)I(P\|Q)I(P∥Q). A projection is a finite-divergence minimizer over the stated feasible set; no real-valued infimum or implicit arbitrary witness replaces it. Variation distance uses the densities relative to P+QP+QP+Q, which dominates both PDs and gives the value of (1.6). Variation closure is expressed by sequential convergence in this distance. The integral ∫log⁡qR dP\int\log q_R\,dP∫logqR​dP is represented in extended reals using positive and negative logarithmic parts and ENNReal.log; the theorem hypotheses keep the indeterminate +∞−(+∞)+\infty-(+\infty)+∞−(+∞) case out. Density equations are RRR-almost everywhere, and a claim that QQQ has an RRR-density explicitly includes Q≪RQ\ll RQ≪R.

For moment constraints, every integral is accompanied by integrability. Real affine combinations are tested through their values on measurable sets; the candidate combination must be a PD. The goal assumes a finite carrier with measurable singleton sets and k≥1k\ge1k≥1. Lean indexes the sets by Fin k from zero, so Qs (n+1) is projected onto the set at n % k; this is the paper's rule (3.13) shifted by one. The goal asserts existence of a recursive sequence before speaking about every such sequence, and the required feasible witness has P≪RP\ll RP≪R. These choices rule out an empty cyclic schedule, junk integrals, and a vacuous convergence assertion. Reusable contributions include the variation-distance and I-projection interfaces, their Pythagorean geometry, and the finite-moment density characterization; the mission's main closure remains Theorem 3.2.

Selected references

  • I. Csiszár, I-Divergence Geometry of Probability Distributions and Minimization Problems, The Annals of Probability 3(1), 146–158 (1975). DOI: 10.1214/aop/1176996454.
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CombinatoricsOperations ResearchOptimization·Captain: mikedeng1

Scheduling of Vehicles from a Central Depot to a Number of Delivery Points: The Savings Procedure Always Ends in a Feasible Truck Allocation Whose Mileage Is the Initial Less the Linked SavingsResearch Paper

Motivation

Delivering goods from one depot to many customers with a fleet of trucks is the vehicle routing problem. Dantzig and Ramser formulated it in 1959 as the "truck dispatching problem" (Management Sci. 6 (1959), doi:10.1287/mnsc.6.1.80). Five years later Clarke and Wright proposed the savings procedure (Oper. Res. 12 (1964), 568–581, doi:10.1287/opre.12.4.568): start with one truck per customer and repeatedly join two routes where joining saves the most distance, as long as the trucks can still carry the loads. On the twelve-customer example of Dantzig and Ramser it reached 290 units against their 294.

The savings procedure became the standard construction heuristic for vehicle routing. It appears in every textbook treatment of the problem, is the initial solution of many metaheuristics, and is the benchmark against which later construction methods are compared. The paper states the procedure and its bookkeeping (the half matrix, the vector QQQ, Table II) but proves nothing about it. That every run of the procedure ends, and ends in a feasible allocation, is left to the reader.

Setting

A depot P0P_0P0​ serves customers P1,…,PMP_1,\dots,P_MP1​,…,PM​. The distance dy,zd_{y,z}dy,z​ between every two points is given, and customer PjP_jPj​ requires a load qjq_jqj​. Trucks come in nnn capacity classes: xix_ixi​ trucks of capacity CiC_iCi​ are available, with C1<⋯<CnC_1<\dots<C_nC1​<⋯<Cn​, and the trucks of the smallest capacity are unlimited, x1=∞x_1=\inftyx1​=∞ (p. 569).

A run is the ordered list of customers Pa1,…,PakP_{a_1},\dots,P_{a_k}Pa1​​,…,Pak​​ served by one truck, which drives P0Pa1⋯PakP0P_0P_{a_1}\cdots P_{a_k}P_0P0​Pa1​​⋯Pak​​P0​. Its load is ∑iqai\sum_i q_{a_i}∑i​qai​​. A state of the procedure is a list of runs; its mileage is the total length of its runs. A list of runs is an allocation if every customer lies on exactly one run, and it is feasible if each run can be given a truck of capacity at least its load without using more trucks of any class than are available.

The saving of the cell (y:z)(y:z)(y:z) is d0,y+d0,z−dy,zd_{0,y}+d_{0,z}-d_{y,z}d0,y​+d0,z​−dy,z​. The half matrix records ty,z=1t_{y,z}=1ty,z​=1 if PyP_yPy​ and PzP_zPz​ are adjacent on a run, and ty,0∈{0,1,2}t_{y,0}\in\{0,1,2\}ty,0​∈{0,1,2} counts how many ends of runs lie at PyP_yPy​. Table II counts, for each capacity level CiC_iCi​, the runs with load above CiC_iCi​ and the trucks with capacity above CiC_iCi​.

The procedure starts with the runs [P1],…,[PM][P_1],\dots,[P_M][P1​],…,[PM​], so ty,0=2t_{y,0}=2ty,0​=2 for every customer. A cell (y:z)(y:z)(y:z) is admissible if (I) ty,0>0t_{y,0}>0ty,0​>0 and tz,0>0t_{z,0}>0tz,0​>0; (II) PyP_yPy​ and PzP_zPz​ are on different runs; (III) after replacing those two runs by one run of load Qy+QzQ_y+Q_zQy​+Qz​, no column of Table II has more runs than trucks. A step links an admissible cell of maximum saving, ties broken arbitrarily, by joining the two runs end to end at PyP_yPy​ and PzP_zPz​. The procedure stops when no cell is admissible.

Formalization targets

Goal: correctness of the procedure

Assume symmetric distances, C1<⋯<CnC_1<\dots<C_nC1​<⋯<Cn​, x1=∞x_1=\inftyx1​=∞, and that the initial one-truck-per-customer allocation passes the Table II test. Then every run of the procedure is finite whatever the tie-breaks; at every reachable state from which a link is possible a step exists; and every final state SSS is a feasible allocation satisfying relation (A), ∑z≠yty,z=2\sum_{z\ne y}t_{y,z}=2∑z=y​ty,z​=2 for every customer, with

mileage(S)=2∑j=1Md0,j−∑1≤y<z≤Mty,z=1(d0,y+d0,z−dy,z).\text{mileage}(S)=2\sum_{j=1}^M d_{0,j}-\sum_{\substack{1\le y<z\le M\\ t_{y,z}=1}}\bigl(d_{0,y}+d_{0,z}-d_{y,z}\bigr).mileage(S)=2j=1∑M​d0,j​−1≤y<z≤Mty,z​=1​∑​(d0,y​+d0,z​−dy,z​).

Milestones

mileage(link(S,y,z))=mileage(S)−(d0,y+d0,z−dy,z)for admissible (y:z),\text{mileage}(\text{link}(S,y,z))=\text{mileage}(S)-(d_{0,y}+d_{0,z}-d_{y,z})\quad\text{for admissible }(y:z),mileage(link(S,y,z))=mileage(S)−(d0,y​+d0,z​−dy,z​)for admissible (y:z),

relation (A) at every reachable state, the permanence of links between customers, and

#{runs with load>Ci}≤∑k>ixk  (i=1,…,n)  ⟺  the runs can be allocated to trucks,\#\{\text{runs with load}>C_i\}\le\sum_{k>i}x_k\ \ (i=1,\dots,n)\iff\text{the runs can be allocated to trucks},#{runs with load>Ci​}≤k>i∑​xk​  (i=1,…,n)⟺the runs can be allocated to trucks,

which together give feasibility of every reachable state. Two further milestones: when Cn≥∑jqjC_n\ge\sum_j q_jCn​≥∑j​qj​ and the distances are a metric, the optimum equals the traveling salesman optimum (p. 569); and on the data of Table I every run of the procedure ends with total distance 290.

Significance

The goal is the specification the paper's procedure meets: it always terminates, never gets stuck, and outputs routes the fleet can actually drive, with the mileage the half-matrix bookkeeping predicts. The equivalence of the Table II test with truck feasibility is the reason the procedure can check capacities by counting columns instead of solving an assignment problem; it is a nested-class instance of Hall's marriage condition and is reusable for any routing or bin-assignment problem with ordered vehicle classes.

None of these statements is formalized anywhere, and the paper does not prove them. The paper makes no claim of optimality ("near-optimal", p. 568, is not quantified), and the mission does not either. A formal model of the procedure as a nondeterministic transition system is a base on which later results about savings heuristics (worst-case ratios, parallel and sequential variants) can be stated.

Difficulty

The obvious argument for termination, "each link removes a run", needs the invariant that every reachable state is a partition of the customers into runs; the procedure manipulates ordered lists and reverses runs, so the invariant must be carried through every step. Feasibility is not preserved by an arbitrary link but only by one that passes condition (III), and turning the column test into an actual assignment of runs to trucks is a matching argument that fails without both x1=∞x_1=\inftyx1​=∞ and the ordering of the capacities. Because ties are broken arbitrarily, every statement must hold for all runs of a nondeterministic procedure, not for one canonical execution. The worked example requires following every tie-break.

Formalization scope

Points are Fin (M+1) with depot 0, and a run's length is SupplyChainTheory.routeCost from the referenced module SupplyChainTheory_vrp. Capacity class i : Fin (n+1) is the paper's Ci+1C_{i+1}Ci+1​; availabilities are in ℕ∞; loads and capacities are real. A state is a list of runs, each an ordered list of customers; the matrix ttt and the vector QQQ are computed from the state. The procedure is a step relation, and every invariant is stated for reachable states. Termination is Acc of the step relation at the initial state.

Choices committed to:

  • distances are arbitrary real, symmetric numbers (the half matrix, p. 573); no nonnegativity or triangle inequality is assumed in the goal, and savings may be negative;
  • every run: ties are free, as the paper suggests choosing randomly;
  • reachable states: invariants are not claimed for arbitrary lists of runs;
  • Table II is read cumulatively: column "Over CiC_iCi​" compares runs with load >Ci>C_i>Ci​ against all trucks of capacity >Ci>C_i>Ci​, as the printed Tables II, IV and VI show;
  • x1=∞x_1=\inftyx1​=∞ and C1<⋯<CnC_1<\dots<C_nC1​<⋯<Cn​ are hypotheses; qj≤Cnq_j\le C_nqj​≤Cn​ is not separately assumed, since it follows from the initial Table II test;
  • the initial one-truck-per-customer allocation is assumed feasible (p. 572);
  • the metric hypotheses enter only the traveling-salesman milestone.

A correctness claim only about final states, without termination and progress, would hold for a procedure with no moves; a step relation with a fixed tie-break would prove less than the paper; invariants for arbitrary states are false; and a mileage identity for an arbitrary partition says nothing about the procedure's output. None of these is the target.

Not formalized: the informal C1≪∑qjC_1\ll\sum q_jC1​≪∑qj​, the shadow-cost reading of p. 571, the decomposition savings (2)–(5) of the general scheme, the load-splitting reduction of pp. 572–573, the Dantzig–Ramser methods, and the empirical comparisons and appendices.

Contributions welcome: proofs of the milestones, in particular the Table II equivalence, which needs a Hall-type argument for nested classes, and a decision procedure for the worked example.

Selected references

  • G. Clarke and J. W. Wright, Scheduling of vehicles from a central depot to a number of delivery points, Operations Research 12(4) (1964), 568–581. https://doi.org/10.1287/opre.12.4.568
  • G. B. Dantzig and J. H. Ramser, The truck dispatching problem, Management Science 6(1) (1959), 80–91. https://doi.org/10.1287/mnsc.6.1.80
  • P. Hall, On representatives of subsets, Journal of the London Mathematical Society 10 (1935), 26–30. https://doi.org/10.1112/jlms/s1-10.37.26
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