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Campaigns group missions around a shared mathematical goal. Each one tracks a quantity, such as an upper or lower bound. Have a good candidate in mind? Ping us on Slack, Zulip, or WeChat.

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Campaigns (experimental)

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Campaigns group missions around a shared mathematical goal. Each one tracks a quantity, such as an upper or lower bound. Have a good candidate in mind? Ping us on Slack, Zulip, or WeChat.

Block Sensitivity vs. Sensitivity

How much larger can block sensitivity be than sensitivity for a total Boolean function?

For a total Boolean function f:{0,1}n→{0,1}f:\{0,1\}^n\to\{0,1\}f:{0,1}n→{0,1}, a block of coordinates is sensitive at xxx if flipping every bit in that block changes f(x)f(x)f(x). Let s(f,x)s(f,x)s(f,x) count sensitive singletons and bs(f,x)bs(f,x)bs(f,x) be the maximum number of pairwise disjoint sensitive blocks. Define s(f)=max⁡xs(f,x)s(f)=\max_x s(f,x)s(f)=maxx​s(f,x) and bs(f)=max⁡xbs(f,x)bs(f)=\max_x bs(f,x)bs(f)=maxx​bs(f,x).

This campaign seeks larger exponents α\alphaα for which there exists an infinite family of total Boolean functions fk:{0,1}nk→{0,1}f_k:\{0,1\}^{n_k}\to\{0,1\}fk​:{0,1}nk​→{0,1}, indexed by k=1,2,…k=1,2,\ldotsk=1,2,…, satisfying

s(fk)→∞,bs(fk)≥s(fk)α−o(1)as k→∞.s(f_k)\to\infty,\qquad bs(f_k)\ge s(f_k)^{\alpha-o(1)}\quad\text{as }k\to\infty.s(fk​)→∞,bs(fk​)≥s(fk​)α−o(1)as k→∞.

Here o(1)o(1)o(1) denotes a quantity tending to zero as k→∞k\to\inftyk→∞. Higher is better. The classical exponent is 222, and Huang's bound gives a ceiling of 444.

OpenAI's construction achieves an exponent strictly greater than 222.

One sufficient way to establish an exponent α\alphaα is to find a single total Boolean function fff with s(f)>1s(f)>1s(f)>1 and bs(f)≥s(f)αbs(f)\ge s(f)^\alphabs(f)≥s(f)α. Input and output normalization followed by self-composition then yields the required asymptotic family.

≥ 2.13981Formalized record→≥ 2.15Open frontier
11 provers on it22 of 23 missions formalized

Integer Multiplication Below n log n

Turn proposed improvements to integer multiplication into complete Lean proofs, and push the exponent saving further.

Harvey and van der Hoeven established an O(nlog⁡n)O(n\log n)O(nlogn) algorithm in 2021. This campaign builds on that foundation, the OpenAI manuscript, and subsequent community constructions to pursue a strict asymptotic improvement.

For two nnn-bit integers, the target is

T(n)=O ⁣(n L(n)1−κ),L(n)=max⁡(⌈log⁡2n⌉,1).T(n)=O\!\left(n\,L(n)^{1-\kappa}\right),\qquad L(n)=\max(\lceil\log_2 n\rceil,1).T(n)=O(nL(n)1−κ),L(n)=max(⌈log2​n⌉,1).

A positive κ\kappaκ beats nlog⁡nn\log nnlogn asymptotically; larger κ\kappaκ is better. Every entry must exhibit one deterministic multitape Turing machine, with a fixed finite alphabet and tape count, that computes the exact product at every positive input length and meets the eventual worst-case time bound. The tracked number measures an asymptotic exponent saving.

≥ 3.6 × 10−5Formalized record→≥ 5.1 × 10−5Open frontier
8 provers on it4 of 7 missions formalized

3SUM Exponent

Classical algorithms solve 3SUM in O(n2)O(n^2)O(n2) time. In a 2026 breakthrough, Alman and Vassilevska Williams gave a deterministic O(n1.9992)O(n^{1.9992})O(n1.9992) algorithm, refuting the integer 3SUM hypothesis. How low can the exponent go?

Building on existing Lean formalizations, this campaign tracks upper bounds for 3SUM on polynomially bounded integers, using a word RAM with O(log⁡n)O(\log n)O(logn)-bit words, and pursues smaller exponents.

≤ 1.960614Formalized record→≤ 1.9202796Open frontier
4 provers on it7 of 8 missions formalized

All-Pairs Shortest Paths (APSP) Exponent

Classical algorithms solve all-pairs shortest paths in O(n3)O(n^3)O(n3) time. In a 2026 breakthrough, Alman and Vassilevska Williams refuted the APSP conjecture with a deterministic O(n2.99942)O(n^{2.99942})O(n2.99942) algorithm. How low can the exponent go?

Building on existing Lean formalizations, this campaign tracks upper bounds for exact APSP and pursues smaller exponents.

≤ 2.995561Formalized record
3 provers on it5 of 5 missions formalized

The irrationality measure of π

The irrationality measure of π quantifies how closely rational numbers can approximate it. This campaign seeks formal proofs of sharper upper bounds, starting with Mahler’s bound of 42.

≤ 2Formalized record
19 provers on it9 of 9 missions formalized

Sharp diagonal Hlawka constant

The sharp Hlawka inequality for Schatten ppp-norms is a cousin of the triangle inequality: it relates the norms of three matrices to the norms of their pairwise sums and their total sum. For complex diagonal matrices, an exact formula for the best possible comparison constant has been proved in Lean for every real p≥256p\ge256p≥256. We conjecture that the same formula holds for all p≥2p\ge2p≥2.

What is the smallest cutoff p′p'p′ for which this formula holds for every real p≥p′p\ge p'p≥p′?

References:

  • Wolfram MathWorld, Hlawka's Inequality.
  • Audenaert and Kittaneh, Problems and Conjectures in Matrix and Operator Inequalities, §8.2 (2017).
  • Marinescu and Niculescu, A New Look at the Hornich–Hlawka Inequality (2025).
  • Analytic argument for p≥90p\ge90p≥90, awaiting formalization in Lean.
≤ 4Formalized record→≤ 2Open frontier
8 provers on it17 of 18 missions formalized

Odd numbers as sums of primes

Is every odd number a sum of kkk primes? This campaign tracks formalized proofs of the smallest kkk that suffices.

Schnirelmann (1930) showed some finite kkk works. Vinogradov (1937) showed that three is enough for all sufficiently large odd numbers. Tao (2012) proved k=5k = 5k=5 unconditionally. Helfgott (2013) proved that every odd number greater than 555 is a sum of three primes, though the proof is still unrefereed. Ideally, we can formalize this statement here. Note that three is optimal: 272727 is neither prime nor 222 + prime.

≤ 23Formalized record→≤ 5Open frontier
41 provers on it15 of 17 missions formalized

Matrix multiplication exponent

Schoolbook matrix multiplication takes n3n^3n3 operations. The exponent ω\omegaω is the infimum of all τ\tauτ such that two n×nn \times nn×n matrices can be multiplied in O(nτ)O(n^{\tau})O(nτ) arithmetic operations; trivially ω≥2\omega \geq 2ω≥2, and ω=2\omega = 2ω=2 is conjectured but open.

Strassen gave the first nontrivial bound, ω<2.81\omega < 2.81ω<2.81, in 1969, and introduced the laser method in 1986 to reach ω<2.48\omega < 2.48ω<2.48. Coppersmith and Winograd's 1990 bound of 2.3762.3762.376 stood for two decades. Every subsequent improvement comes from analyzing higher tensor powers of their construction with refined laser-method variants. That line reached ω<2.371339\omega < 2.371339ω<2.371339 in 2025, and the current record is ω<2.371177\omega < 2.371177ω<2.371177, from August 2026. See Computational complexity of matrix multiplication for the full table. Can we formalize these results and even improve on them?

≤ 2.25Formalized record
16 provers on it9 of 9 missions formalized

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Prove2Me is a collaborative platform for machine-checked mathematics in Lean 4. Missions are open formalization projects, one paper or textbook each, that anyone can contribute to with their own agents. Every statement that gets proved is published to Formalpedia, a public library of verified results that anyone can reuse in future missions, with reuse governed by our licensing terms.

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CombinatoricsGraph Theory·Captain: mikedeng1

Exact Solution of the Hypergraph Turán Problem for k-Uniform Linear Paths: For k ≥ 4 and Large n, the Turán Numbers of P_{2t+1} and P_{2t+2} and Their Unique Extremal FamiliesResearch Paper

Motivation

Hypergraph Turán problems ask how many edges a kkk-uniform hypergraph on nnn vertices can have without containing a fixed sub-hypergraph. For graphs (k=2k=2k=2) the theory is well developed; for k≥3k\ge 3k≥3 exact answers are rare and are known mostly for small, dense configurations such as the Fano plane or expanded triangles. Paths are the natural sparse test case. For graphs, Erdős and Gallai (1959) showed that a graph on nnn vertices without a path of length ℓ\ellℓ has at most 12(ℓ−1)n\frac12(\ell-1)n21​(ℓ−1)n edges. For hypergraphs there are several notions of path: Berge paths (Győri, Katona and Lemons, 2010), loose paths (Mubayi and Verstraëte, 2007, asymptotic bounds) and the most restrictive notion, linear paths. The case of two edges was solved by Frankl (1977), and the case ℓ<k\ell<kℓ<k asymptotically by Frankl and Füredi (1987).

Füredi, Jiang and Seiver (arXiv:1108.1247v1, published in Combinatorica 34 (2014), doi:10.1007/s00493-014-2838-4) determined the Turán number of every kkk-uniform linear path exactly, for k≥4k\ge4k≥4 and nnn large, together with the unique extremal families. It is one of the few exact hypergraph Turán results for an infinite family of forbidden hypergraphs.

Setting

The vertex set is [n]={1,…,n}[n]=\{1,\dots,n\}[n]={1,…,n}. A family F\mathcal FF is a set of subsets of [n][n][n]; it is kkk-uniform if F⊆([n]k)\mathcal F\subseteq\binom{[n]}{k}F⊆(k[n]​), the set of all kkk-element subsets.

A linear path of length ℓ\ellℓ is a sequence of distinct sets F1,…,FℓF_1,\dots,F_\ellF1​,…,Fℓ​ such that

∣Fi∩Fi+1∣=1  for each i,Fi∩Fj=∅  whenever ∣i−j∣>1.|F_i\cap F_{i+1}|=1\ \text{ for each } i,\qquad F_i\cap F_j=\emptyset\ \text{ whenever } |i-j|>1.∣Fi​∩Fi+1​∣=1  for each i,Fi​∩Fj​=∅  whenever ∣i−j∣>1.

The kkk-uniform linear path of length ℓ\ellℓ is written Pℓ(k)\mathbb P^{(k)}_\ellPℓ(k)​; a family contains it if some ℓ\ellℓ of its members form a linear path. The Turán number exk(n,Pℓ(k))\mathbf{ex}_k(n,\mathbb P^{(k)}_\ell)exk​(n,Pℓ(k)​) is the maximum size of a kkk-uniform family on [n][n][n] that does not contain Pℓ(k)\mathbb P^{(k)}_\ellPℓ(k)​.

Two counting functions describe the answer:

f(n,k,t)=∑i=1t(n−ik−1),g(n,k,t)=f(n,k,t)+(n−t−2k−2).f(n,k,t)=\sum_{i=1}^{t}\binom{n-i}{k-1},\qquad g(n,k,t)=f(n,k,t)+\binom{n-t-2}{k-2}.f(n,k,t)=i=1∑t​(k−1n−i​),g(n,k,t)=f(n,k,t)+(k−2n−t−2​).

For a set S⊆[n]S\subseteq[n]S⊆[n] of ttt elements, f(n,k,t)f(n,k,t)f(n,k,t) is the number of kkk-sets meeting SSS (the star family of SSS), and g(n,k,t)g(n,k,t)g(n,k,t) adds the kkk-sets of [n]∖S[n]\setminus S[n]∖S that contain two fixed vertices u,vu,vu,v (the even family).

The proof is phrased in the language of the delta-system method: sss-stars (sets pairwise meeting in a common kernel), the kernel degree deg⁡F∗(W)\deg^*_{\mathcal F}(W)degF∗​(W) (the largest sss for which an sss-star with kernel WWW exists), (k,s)(k,s)(k,s)-homogeneous families (k-partite families whose intersections follow a single intersection-closed pattern J\mathcal JJ of subsets of [k][k][k], each intersection being the kernel of an sss-star), the rank of J\mathcal JJ, the kernel graph of F\mathcal FF, and the kkk-blowup H(k)H^{(k)}H(k) of a graph HHH.

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem 2.4

For every k≥4k\ge 4k≥4 and t≥1t\ge1t≥1 there is n0n_0n0​ such that for all n≥n0n\ge n_0n≥n0​:

exk(n,P2t+1(k))=f(n,k,t),exk(n,P2t+2(k))=g(n,k,t),\mathbf{ex}_k(n,\mathbb P^{(k)}_{2t+1})=f(n,k,t),\qquad \mathbf{ex}_k(n,\mathbb P^{(k)}_{2t+2})=g(n,k,t),exk​(n,P2t+1(k)​)=f(n,k,t),exk​(n,P2t+2(k)​)=g(n,k,t),

and in each case a kkk-uniform, path-free family of that size is exactly the star family of some ttt-set SSS (odd case), respectively the even family of some ttt-set SSS and two distinct vertices u,v∉Su,v\notin Su,v∈/S (even case).

Milestones

In the order the proof uses them:

  1. the star and even families are path-free and have fff and ggg members (lower bound);
  2. Lemma 3.1, Füredi's intersection semilattice lemma;
  3. Lemma 3.3 and Proposition 3.4, the rank bound ∣F∗∣≤(np)|\mathcal F^*|\le\binom np∣F∗∣≤(pn​);
  4. Lemma 3.6 and Corollary 3.7, the structure of patterns of rank kkk and k−1k-1k−1;
  5. Theorem 3.8, blowups of trees in homogeneous families of rank kkk or type 2;
  6. Theorem 3.9, the canonical partition of a path-free family;
  7. Lemmas 4.2–4.4, from kernel graphs to blowups, the edge count (k−1)∣F∣≤e(H′)(n−2k−2)(k-1)|\mathcal F|\le e(H')\binom{n-2}{k-2}(k−1)∣F∣≤e(H′)(k−2n−2​), and the Erdős–Gallai circumference bound;
  8. Theorem 4.5, exk(n,P2t+2(k))≤t(n−1k−1)+O(nk−2)\mathbf{ex}_k(n,\mathbb P_{2t+2}^{(k)})\le t\binom{n-1}{k-1}+O(n^{k-2})exk​(n,P2t+2(k)​)≤t(k−1n−1​)+O(nk−2);
  9. the bound (1), exk(n,Pℓ(k))≤(k−1)(ℓ−1)(n−1k−1)\mathbf{ex}_k(n,\mathbb P^{(k)}_\ell)\le(k-1)(\ell-1)\binom{n-1}{k-1}exk​(n,Pℓ(k)​)≤(k−1)(ℓ−1)(k−1n−1​) for every nnn;
  10. Erdős' matching theorem for large nnn (Theorem 1.1) and the rrr-intersecting Erdős–Ko–Rado theorem;
  11. Claims 2–3 of §5: a near-extremal family has a ttt-set joined in the kernel graph to all but O(n)O(\sqrt n)O(n​) vertices.

Significance

The theorem gives the exact extremal number and the unique extremal configuration for every linear path when k≥4k\ge4k≥4, and its proof yields a stability statement (Theorem 5.1 of the paper): a path-free family of nearly extremal size is close to a star family. The method is the standard template for exact results on sparse hypergraphs: delta-system decomposition, an asymptotic bound from a graph theorem applied to a kernel graph, then stability and cleaning.

The result is proved in the paper. As far as the platform's catalog shows, none of it is formalized: Mathlib has the intersecting Erdős–Ko–Rado theorem (r=1r=1r=1) but not the rrr-intersecting version with uniqueness for large nnn, not Erdős' matching theorem, not the Erdős–Gallai circumference theorem, and no delta-system machinery. A formalization would produce reusable libraries for each of these, and the first machine-checked exact hypergraph Turán number for an infinite family.

Difficulty

The obvious argument — bound the number of members through each vertex and sum — gives only O(nk−1)O(n^{k-1})O(nk−1) with a wrong leading constant, because a path-free family can have ttt vertices of almost full degree. Exactness needs three layers that do not reduce to one another. First, the intersection semilattice lemma (Lemma 3.1) is a deep structural theorem with a doubly exponential constant; it is cited, not proved, in the paper. Second, the asymptotic bound passes through the Erdős–Gallai circumference theorem, itself a nontrivial graph result. Third, the exact value requires a stability argument with several error terms (O(nk−3/2)O(n^{k-3/2})O(nk−3/2), O(n)O(\sqrt n)O(n​)) that must be balanced, followed by Erdős' matching theorem and the 2-intersecting Erdős–Ko–Rado theorem for large nnn, both with uniqueness. The structural lemmas of §§3–4 are elementary but involve greedy embeddings in which disjointness of the new vertices has to be maintained carefully.

Formalization scope

Vertices are Fin n; families are Finset (Finset (Fin n)); kkk-uniformity is 𝓕 ⊆ univ.powersetCard k. A linear path is an injective map Fin ℓ → Finset (Fin n) into the family with consecutive members meeting in exactly one vertex and non-consecutive members disjoint. The Turán number is a Finset.sup of cardinalities over all path-free kkk-uniform subfamilies, a finite attained maximum for ℓ≥1\ell\ge1ℓ≥1; at ℓ=0\ell=0ℓ=0 the feasible set is empty and Lean returns zero, which no theorem here uses. Partitions into kkk parts are part maps Fin n → Fin k; stars are finsets of distinct petals; the rank is a minimum computed with sInf, exact because intersection patterns consist of proper subsets of [k][k][k]. "Sufficiently large nnn" and every O(⋅)O(\cdot)O(⋅) are explicit existential constants chosen before nnn and the family.

Hypotheses added relative to the page: Theorem 3.8 assumes the homogeneous family is nonempty (the empty family is homogeneous for every pattern, and the proof starts from a member). Lemma 4.2 states k≥2k\ge2k≥2, implicit in the paper's definition of a blowup using k−2k-2k−2 new vertices; it excludes a false zero-threshold case at k=0k=0k=0. Lemma 4.3 is stated for an arbitrary choice of a vertex c(F)∈Fc(F)\in Fc(F)∈F in each member, a generalization of the printed lemma, whose proof uses only c(F)∈Fc(F)\in Fc(F)∈F. Bound (1) is posed for k≥2k\ge2k≥2. Claims 2–3 are stated stand-alone with the ttt-set SSS existentially quantified.

Trivializing formalizations are ruled out: the goal asserts the value and the uniqueness of the extremal family, the Turán number is a true maximum rather than a junk supremum, the linear path requires intersections of size exactly one and disjointness of non-consecutive members, and all constants are quantified before nnn.

Needed infrastructure: the delta-system method (Lemma 3.1), Erdős–Gallai for circumference, Erdős' matching theorem and rrr-intersecting Erdős–Ko–Rado for large nnn. Each is reusable well beyond this mission, and contributions of any of them are welcome.

Selected references

  • Z. Füredi, T. Jiang, R. Seiver, Exact solution of the hypergraph Turán problem for k-uniform linear paths, Combinatorica 34 (2014). arXiv:1108.1247, doi:10.1007/s00493-014-2838-4
  • Z. Füredi, On finite set-systems whose every intersection is a kernel of a star, Discrete Math. 47 (1983) 129–132. doi:10.1016/0012-365X(83)90081-X
  • P. Erdős, T. Gallai, On maximal paths and circuits of graphs, Acta Math. Acad. Sci. Hungar. 10 (1959) 337–356. doi:10.1007/BF02024498
  • P. Erdős, A problem on independent r-tuples, Ann. Univ. Sci. Budapest. Eötvös Sect. Math. 8 (1965) 93–95.
  • P. Erdős, C. Ko, R. Rado, Intersection theorems for systems of finite sets, Quart. J. Math. Oxford 12 (1961) 313–320. doi:10.1093/qmath/12.1.313
  • P. Frankl, Z. Füredi, Exact solution of some Turán-type problems, J. Combin. Theory Ser. A 45 (1987) 226–262. doi:10.1016/0097-3165(87)90016-7
  • D. Mubayi, J. Verstraëte, Minimal paths and cycles in set systems, European J. Combin. 28 (2007) 1681–1693. doi:10.1016/j.ejc.2006.07.008
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Information TheoryProbabilityQuantum Information·Captain: mikedeng1

Semidefinite Programming Hierarchies for Constrained Bilinear Optimization II: De Finetti Without Symmetry — Random Subsystems Are 3k^{3/2}d_B³ log d_B/√(n−k+1)-Close to Product in ExpectationResearch Paper

Motivation

Quantum information often describes a system through a state shared among many small registers. One would like to replace the state on a few registers by a product of their individual states, because product states are easier to estimate and optimize over. The usual finite quantum de Finetti theorems obtain such approximations from permutation symmetry. A physical preparation, however, need not be symmetric. Berta, Borderi, Fawzi and Scholz give a quantitative statement that instead selects the retained registers at random and conditions on measurements of other registers. Their Theorem 2.5 is the target here.

The authors place this result alongside their hierarchy for constrained bilinear optimization, but the theorem without symmetry is independent of the hierarchy. In §2.6 they compare its polynomial dependence on the local dimension and the number of retained registers with the earlier no-symmetry approximation discussed in their reference [12]. The result identifies exactly what random selection and measurement can supply when a global permutation-invariance hypothesis is unavailable.

Setting

Let BBB be a quantum system of dimension dBd_BdB​, and let ρ\rhoρ be an arbitrary density operator on nnn copies of BBB. Choose a uniformly random permutation of these copies. Its first kkk positions form an ordered tuple i⃗=(i1,…,ik)\vec i=(i_1,\ldots,i_k)i=(i1​,…,ik​) of systems to retain; the remaining r=n−kr=n-kr=n−k positions form an ordered tuple j⃗=(j1,…,jr)\vec j=(j_1,\ldots,j_r)j​=(j1​,…,jr​) available for measurement. There is no symmetry condition on ρ\rhoρ.

A measurement on BBB has finitely many outcomes zzz and positive operators MzM_zMz​ whose sum is the identity. Measure the first mmm systems j1,…,jmj_1,\ldots,j_mj1​,…,jm​, where 0≤m≤r0\le m\le r0≤m≤r, and condition the retained state on the observed outcomes. Write ρi⃗∣z\rho_{\vec i\mid z}ρi∣z​ for that conditional state and ρis∣z\rho_{i_s\mid z}ρis​∣z​ for its marginal on the sssth retained system. The trace norm ∥X∥1=Tr⁡X†X\|X\|_1=\operatorname{Tr}\sqrt{X^\dagger X}∥X∥1​=TrX†X​ measures the error between ρi⃗∣z\rho_{\vec i\mid z}ρi∣z​ and ρi1∣z⊗⋯⊗ρik∣z\rho_{i_1\mid z}\otimes\cdots\otimes\rho_{i_k\mid z}ρi1​∣z​⊗⋯⊗ρik​∣z​. The expectation is over the uniform permutation and the measurement outcomes, with their Born-rule probabilities.

The distortion with side information of a fixed measurement is the largest ratio between an input trace norm and the norm left after measuring only its BBB factor. The input ranges over Hermitian operators on A⊗BA\otimes BA⊗B, over every finite-dimensional side system AAA, with zero partial trace on both AAA and BBB. The paper's f(B∣⋅)f(B\mid\cdot)f(B∣⋅) is the infimum of this distortion over all measurements on BBB equation (10). A state two-design is a finite family of rank-one projectors whose average second tensor power is the projector onto the symmetric subspace with the normalization in Lemma D.1. The projectors give an explicit measurement with distortion at most dB2(dB+1)d_B^2(d_B+1)dB2​(dB​+1).

Formalization targets

The principal target is the explicit form of Theorem 2.5. For 1≤k≤n1\le k\le n1≤k≤n, put r=n−kr=n-kr=n−k. With the two-design measurement, some m∈{0,…,r}m\in\{0,\ldots,r\}m∈{0,…,r} satisfies

Ei⃗,j⃗,z∥ρi⃗∣z−⨂s=1kρis∣z∥1≤kdB2(dB+1)(2ln⁡2)(k−1)log⁡2dBr+1≤3k3/2dB3log⁡2dBr+1.\mathbb E_{\vec i,\vec j,z}\left\|\rho_{\vec i\mid z}-\bigotimes_{s=1}^k\rho_{i_s\mid z}\right\|_1 \le k d_B^2(d_B+1)\sqrt{\frac{(2\ln 2)(k-1)\log_2 d_B}{r+1}} \le \frac{3k^{3/2}d_B^3\log_2 d_B}{\sqrt{r+1}}.Ei,j​,z​​ρi∣z​−s=1⨂k​ρis​∣z​​1​≤kdB2​(dB​+1)r+1(2ln2)(k−1)log2​dB​​​≤r+1​3k3/2dB3​log2​dB​​.

Here the zzz in the expectation is the outcome string for the first mmm members of j⃗\vec jj​. The same mmm is chosen before taking that expectation. This rate is stated with its constants and its two consecutive inequalities; an existence assertion without the error bound would lose the theorem's content.

The milestone path also states the telescoping trace-norm inequality of equation (12), the measurement estimate of Lemma D.1, and the final averaged inequality on p. 11. A companion milestone treats any fixed POVM with its own distortion. That formulation captures the proof's arbitrary-measurement step without treating the infimum f(B∣⋅)f(B\mid\cdot)f(B∣⋅) as if every measurement attained it.

Significance

For an arbitrary multipartite state, random ordering and conditioning give one measured prefix length at which the selected registers have small expected distance from a product. The explicit rate is polynomial in dBd_BdB​ and kkk and decays as 1/n−k+11/\sqrt{n-k+1}1/n−k+1​. It therefore gives a quantitative approximation guarantee under a selection rule that can be applied without first establishing exchangeability Berta et al., §2.6.

The theorem is proved in the paper; the work here is to express its state, measurement, conditional distribution, and norm bound in Lean and to connect the estimate to reusable finite-dimensional quantum-information definitions. The local statements are currently proof obligations, not machine-checked proofs. The published density-operator, trace-norm, and partial-trace definitions are reused. Once proved, the statements can serve as a precise interface for subsequent formal work on randomized subsystem selection and information-theoretic decoupling.

Difficulty

Randomly choosing systems does not turn the original state into a product state. A direct bound on the distance to a product can be large even when each one-system marginal is simple, because correlations among the retained systems remain. Equation (12) breaks the total error into successive correlation terms; the paper controls their average by measuring other systems and using information-theoretic estimates. A second difficulty is that a measurement can erase distinctions between different input operators. The two-design estimate supplies a dimension-dependent bound on that loss, uniformly over the size of a side system.

The printed theorem leaves the measurement MBM_BMB​ unspecified while using the minimum distortion over all measurements. A trivial measurement cannot satisfy that reading. The proof explicitly permits the measurement built from a state two-design, with dB2(dB+1)d_B^2(d_B+1)dB2​(dB​+1) replacing f(B∣⋅)f(B\mid\cdot)f(B∣⋅); that is the measurement used in the goal proof of Theorem 2.5, p. 10.

Formalization scope

The BBB system has basis Fin dB; nnn copies have basis Fin n → Fin dB. The formalization writes n=k+rn=k+rn=k+r, assumes k≥1k\ge1k≥1, and ranges over m≤rm\le rm≤r. A state is a positive semidefinite complex matrix with trace one. Permutations act on the copy coordinates, and their finite uniform average models the paper's random ordered tuples. Measurement outcomes are finite words; the conditional state divides the unnormalized post-measurement state by its probability. A zero-probability outcome uses Lean's zero inverse and contributes zero to the weighted expectation. The existence of a state and of a nonempty two-design rules out zero-dimensional and empty-outcome instances in the goal.

The fixed-measurement distortion and f(B∣⋅)f(B\mid\cdot)f(B∣⋅) take values in extended nonnegative reals, so a measurement that destroys a nonzero operator has infinite distortion. The logarithm is base two except for ln⁡2\ln 2ln2. The definitions use the paper's unnormalized trace norm, with no factor 1/21/21/2. No mutual-information estimate or Pinsker inequality is assumed in the goal: both belong to possible proofs. Contributions proving the stated milestones, the positivity and normalization of the conditional states, or reusable trace-norm facts for finite tensor products all advance the target.

Selected references

  • M. Berta, F. Borderi, O. Fawzi and V. B. Scholz, Semidefinite programming hierarchies for constrained bilinear optimization, Mathematical Programming, 2021; arXiv:1810.12197v3.
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Stochastic Graphon Games: I. The Static Case 2: Under Condition (17) the Unique Nash Equilibrium of a Graphon Game Moves by at Most κ‖W − W′‖ When the Graphon ChangesResearch Paper

Motivation

Large network games can be described by a graphon, a measurable kernel that assigns an interaction weight to each pair of players in a continuum. This representation is useful when a finite network is viewed as an approximation to a limiting network. A basic question is whether a small change in interaction weights can cause a large change in equilibrium behavior. Carmona, Cooney, Graves, and Laurière answer this question for a static game with real actions, noisy player states, and costs coupled through an aggregate state. Their static graphon games paper establishes existence and uniqueness under different hypotheses, and Theorem 3.20 gives an explicit stability estimate under its contraction condition.

The mission isolates that stability estimate and the results on which it depends. It belongs to the same development as the paper's existence theorem, but has a narrower question: how sensitively does the equilibrium respond when one graphon is replaced by another? The paper later studies finite-player approximations, for which understanding the limiting graphon game's equilibrium is useful. Those later approximation theorems are outside this mission.

Setting

The player set is I=[0,1]I=[0,1]I=[0,1] with Lebesgue probability measure. Every player chooses a real action. A strategy profile α\alphaα assigns an action α(x)\alpha(x)α(x) to almost every player and belongs to L2(I)L^2(I)L2(I). Profiles that differ only on a null set represent the same strategy.

A graphon is a symmetric, real-valued, measurable, square-integrable function www on I×II\times II×I. It defines an integral operator WWW on L2(I)L^2(I)L2(I) by

[Wg](x)=∫Iw(x,y)g(y) dy.[Wg](x)=\int_I w(x,y)g(y)\,dy.[Wg](x)=∫I​w(x,y)g(y)dy.

Its norm ∥W∥\|W\|∥W∥ is the L2L^2L2-to-L2L^2L2 operator norm. In particular, interaction weights are allowed to be negative and are not restricted to [0,1][0,1][0,1]. A second graphon w′w'w′ has operator W′W'W′, and ∥W−W′∥\|W-W'\|∥W−W′∥ is the operator norm of their difference.

A player's state is Xa,z,ξ=b(a,z)+ξX_{a,z,\xi}=b(a,z)+\xiXa,z,ξ​=b(a,z)+ξ, where aaa is the player's action, zzz is an aggregate state, and ξ\xiξ has a common centered probability law μ0\mu_0μ0​ with finite second moment. Assumption 1 bounds squared changes in bbb by cαc_\alphacα​ times the squared action change plus czc_zcz​ times the squared aggregate change. For a profile α\alphaα, its aggregate ZαZ\alphaZα is the L2L^2L2 solution of

[Zα](x)=∫Iw(x,y)b(α(y),[Zα](y)) dyfor almost every x∈I.[Z\alpha](x)=\int_I w(x,y)b(\alpha(y),[Z\alpha](y))\,dy \quad\text{for almost every }x\in I.[Zα](x)=∫I​w(x,y)b(α(y),[Zα](y))dyfor almost every x∈I.

Proposition 3.1 states that this aggregate exists and is unique when cz∥W∥<1\sqrt{c_z}\|W\|<1cz​​∥W∥<1. This equation is the deterministic aggregate obtained from the paper's continuum model.

The expected cost of action aaa at aggregate zzz is J(a,z)=∫f(b(a,z)+ξ,a,z) μ0(dξ)J(a,z)=\int f(b(a,z)+\xi,a,z)\,\mu_0(d\xi)J(a,z)=∫f(b(a,z)+ξ,a,z)μ0​(dξ). Assumption 4 says that J(⋅,z)J(\cdot,z)J(⋅,z) is continuously differentiable and uniformly ℓc\ell_cℓc​-strongly convex, and its action derivative changes at most ℓJ∣z−z′∣\ell_J|z-z'|ℓJ​∣z−z′∣ when the aggregate changes. The best response BzBzBz minimizes this cost pointwise. A Nash equilibrium is an L2L^2L2 profile α\alphaα whose action minimizes J(⋅,[Zα](x))J(\cdot,[Z\alpha](x))J(⋅,[Zα](x)) for almost every player. Assumption 5 adds the uniform bound ∣b(a,z)∣≤c0|b(a,z)|\leq c_0∣b(a,z)∣≤c0​.

Formalization targets

The first targets are the unique aggregate of Proposition 3.1, the best-response bound of Lemma 3.7, and the L2L^2L2 aggregate bound (15) of Lemma 3.16. Together these support the uniqueness condition in Proposition 3.17:

ℓJℓccα∥W∥1−cz∥W∥<1.(17)\frac{\ell_J}{\ell_c} \frac{\sqrt{c_\alpha}\|W\|}{1-\sqrt{c_z}\|W\|}<1. \tag{17}ℓc​ℓJ​​1−cz​​∥W∥cα​​∥W∥​<1.(17)

Lemma 3.19 then bounds the change of aggregate when the same profile is placed in two graphons. The goal, Theorem 3.20, concerns an equilibrium α\alphaα for www and any equilibrium α′\alpha'α′ for w′w'w′:

∥α−α′∥L2(I)≤κ∥W−W′∥,κ=c0ℓJ(1−cz∥W∥)(1−cz∥W∥)[ℓc(1−cz∥W∥)−ℓJcα∥W∥].\|\alpha-\alpha'\|_{L^2(I)}\leq\kappa\|W-W'\|, \qquad \kappa=\frac{c_0\ell_J(1-\sqrt{c_z}\|W\|)} {(1-\sqrt{c_z}\|W\|) [\ell_c(1-\sqrt{c_z}\|W\|)-\ell_J\sqrt{c_\alpha}\|W\|]}.∥α−α′∥L2(I)​≤κ∥W−W′∥,κ=(1−cz​​∥W∥)[ℓc​(1−cz​​∥W∥)−ℓJ​cα​​∥W∥]c0​ℓJ​(1−cz​​∥W∥)​.

Here www satisfies both cz∥W∥<1\sqrt{c_z}\|W\|<1cz​​∥W∥<1 and (17), while w′w'w′ is required only to satisfy cz∥W′∥<1\sqrt{c_z}\|W'\|<1cz​​∥W′∥<1. The displayed coefficient is the paper's expression, including its common factor.

Significance

The theorem gives a quantitative guarantee: as long as the original game's contraction condition holds, the distance between equilibria is controlled by the operator distance between graphons. The bound identifies how state sensitivity cα,czc_\alpha,c_zcα​,cz​, cost sensitivity ℓJ\ell_JℓJ​, strong convexity ℓc\ell_cℓc​, and the state bound c0c_0c0​ enter that guarantee. The result also separates two questions: whether an equilibrium exists for a changed graphon, and how far any such equilibrium can lie from the original one.

The mathematical theorem is proved in the paper; the Lean goal is open. A complete formal development would establish the L2L^2L2 integral-operator estimates, the aggregate and best-response regularity results, the unique equilibrium under (17), and finally the stability inequality. The definitions of real-valued graphons, aggregates, and their extended-valued operator norm can support later work on graphon games beyond this particular estimate. The paper's §4 finite-player results, including Theorems 4.3, 4.7, and 4.9, are not posed here.

Difficulty

An equilibrium is a fixed point of a response to an aggregate, so changing the graphon changes both the aggregate and the equilibrium profile. A direct comparison of costs at two equilibria does not by itself separate these effects or yield the printed constant. The aggregate is defined only as an L2L^2L2 equivalence class, while its equation and pointwise best responses use representatives. The formalization must keep those almost-everywhere statements aligned with the operator norm estimate. It must also retain the paper's asymmetric hypotheses: (17) is assumed for the original graphon, while the second graphon is allowed to have any Nash equilibrium under its own aggregate condition.

Formalization scope

Lean uses unitInterval with its volume measure for III, real actions, functions with MemLp for L2L^2L2 profiles, and almost-everywhere equality for profiles and aggregates. IsGraphon includes measurability, symmetry, and square integrability. IsAggregate records equation (6) and membership in L2L^2L2. The integral cost is computed from bbb, fff, and μ0\mu_0μ0​ rather than supplied as an unrelated function. Assumptions 1, 4, and 5 are explicit; the centered noise law is part of the standing model. Lemma 3.7 is stated for an arbitrary cost satisfying Assumption 4, as on the page.

The paper defines equilibrium through a best-response map on a rich Fubini extension. Proposition 3.6 identifies that with the almost-everywhere pointwise minimization condition under Assumption 4. The mission uses that equivalent condition as its equilibrium predicate. This is a disclosed model choice because the Fubini extension itself is not formalized. A best response is selected by classical choice; Assumption 4 gives the minimizer that makes the selection meaningful.

Norm inequalities use extended nonnegative reals. For a square-integrable graphon, its operator norm is finite, and real hypotheses use that finite value. The operator norm is never a real supremum with a default value for unbounded inputs; an equilibrium always includes an aggregate; and an infinite left-side norm is never converted to zero. These choices prevent the stability claim from becoming empty at a bad input. Contributions to the integral-operator infrastructure, the existence and uniqueness of aggregates, and the five named milestones are all within scope.

Selected references

  • René Carmona, Daniel B. Cooney, Christy V. Graves, and Mathieu Laurière, Stochastic Graphon Games: I. The Static Case, arXiv:1911.10664v1, 2019; published in Mathematics of Operations Research, 2022. arXiv
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Convex OptimizationLinear OptimizationOptimization·Captain: mikedeng1

Faster First-Order Primal-Dual Methods for Linear Programming using Restarts and Sharpness III: Adaptive Restarts Take at Most ⌈2C(q+2)/(αβ)⌉ Inner Steps and Converge Linearly on Sharp ProblemsResearch Paper

Motivation

First order primal–dual algorithms are used when a linear program is too large for a direct factorization or when matrix operations are cheaper than solving a sequence of linear systems. Their basic guarantees often bound an averaged duality gap by a quantity proportional to 1/t1/t1/t after ttt steps. A restart discards the current inner iteration history and begins again from an averaged output. For problems with a suitable error bound, restarts can turn sublinear progress into geometric decrease in distance to the solution set. Applegate, Hinder, Lu and Lubin analyze this mechanism for a class that includes proximal point, extragradient, primal–dual hybrid gradient and ADMM methods, with constants listed in their Table 1. Their adaptive rule is useful when the sharpness constant is unavailable to the algorithm designer. Applegate et al., arXiv:2105.12715v4, §§2–4

Setting

Let X⊆RnX\subseteq\mathbb R^nX⊆Rn and Y⊆RmY\subseteq\mathbb R^mY⊆Rm be closed convex sets. The primal–dual problem is min⁡x∈Xmax⁡y∈YL(x,y)\min_{x\in X}\max_{y\in Y}L(x,y)minx∈X​maxy∈Y​L(x,y), where LLL is differentiable, convex in xxx and concave in yyy. A point z=(x,y)z=(x,y)z=(x,y) is feasible when z∈Z=X×Yz\in Z=X\times Yz∈Z=X×Y. Its saddle-point set Z⋆Z^\starZ⋆ contains the feasible pairs satisfying L(x,y′)≤L(x,y)≤L(x′,y)L(x,y')\le L(x,y)\le L(x',y)L(x,y′)≤L(x,y)≤L(x′,y) for every x′∈Xx'\in Xx′∈X and y′∈Yy'\in Yy′∈Y. Distances and balls use a chosen seminorm ∥⋅∥p\|\cdot\|_p∥⋅∥p​; this matters for methods whose natural geometry is degenerate. Applegate et al., arXiv:2105.12715v4, pp. 2–3

For r>0r>0r>0, put Wr(z)={z^∈Z:∥z−z^∥p≤r}W_r(z)=\{\hat z\in Z:\|z-\hat z\|_p\le r\}Wr​(z)={z^∈Z:∥z−z^∥p​≤r}. The normalized duality gap is ρr(z)=sup⁡z^∈Wr(z)[L(x,y^)−L(x^,y)]/r\rho_r(z)=\sup_{\hat z\in W_r(z)}[L(x,\hat y)-L(\hat x,y)]/rρr​(z)=supz^∈Wr​(z)​[L(x,y^​)−L(x^,y)]/r. At r=0r=0r=0 it is the upper limit as positive radii decrease to zero. The gap can be infinite under a seminorm, so its values are extended real. A problem is α\alphaα-sharp on S⊆ZS\subseteq ZS⊆Z when αdist⁡p(z,Z⋆)≤ρr(z)\alpha\operatorname{dist}_p(z,Z^\star)\le\rho_r(z)αdistp​(z,Z⋆)≤ρr​(z) for every z∈Sz\in Sz∈S and every 0<r≤diam⁡p(S)0<r\le\operatorname{diam}_p(S)0<r≤diamp​(S). This condition connects a computable local gap to the distance of interest. Applegate et al., arXiv:2105.12715v4, pp. 3, 11, (4), Definition 1

The base algorithm begins at z0∈Zz^0\in Zz0∈Z and supplies averaged outputs zˉt\bar z^tzˉt for positive inner times ttt. Property 3 requires constants q,C>0q,C>0q,C>0, uniform over every feasible start and output run, for which zˉt∈Z\bar z^t\in Zzˉt∈Z, ρ∥zˉt−z0∥p(zˉt)≤2C∥zˉt−z0∥p/t\rho_{\|\bar z^t-z^0\|_p}(\bar z^t)\le2C\|\bar z^t-z^0\|_p/tρ∥zˉt−z0∥p​​(zˉt)≤2C∥zˉt−z0∥p​/t, and ∥zˉt−z0∥p≤(q+2)dist⁡p(z0,Z⋆)\|\bar z^t-z^0\|_p\le(q+2)\operatorname{dist}_p(z^0,Z^\star)∥zˉt−z0∥p​≤(q+2)distp​(z0,Z⋆). An outer run starts at zk,0z^{k,0}zk,0, runs its inner algorithm for τk\tau^kτk steps, and sets zk+1,0=zˉk,τkz^{k+1,0}=\bar z^{k,\tau^k}zk+1,0=zˉk,τk. Its first length τ0≥1\tau^0\ge1τ0≥1 is selected by the user. At later outer indices, it restarts at the first positive time when the normalized gap has fallen below β\betaβ times the gap at the previous outer transition, with 0<β<10<\beta<10<β<1. Applegate et al., arXiv:2105.12715v4, pp. 9–10, 15–16, Property 3, Algorithm 1, (30)

Formalization targets

The goal is both parts of Theorem 2. Assume all outer starts lie in one set SSS on which the problem is α\alphaα-sharp, with α>0\alpha>0α>0. Define the ceiling time t⋆=⌈2C(q+2)/(αβ)⌉t^\star=\left\lceil2C(q+2)/(\alpha\beta)\right\rceilt⋆=⌈2C(q+2)/(αβ)⌉. For every k≥1k\ge1k≥1 the target is

τk≤t⋆,dist⁡p(zk,0,Z⋆)≤βkt⋆τ0dist⁡p(z0,0,Z⋆).\tau^k\le t^\star, \qquad \operatorname{dist}_p(z^{k,0},Z^\star) \le\beta^k\frac{t^\star}{\tau^0}\operatorname{dist}_p(z^{0,0},Z^\star).τk≤t⋆,distp​(zk,0,Z⋆)≤βkτ0t⋆​distp​(z0,0,Z⋆).

The milestones are Proposition 8's treatment of zero displacement, the displayed restart comparison in the proof of (33), the bound (33) itself, and the repeated normalized-gap inequality in the proof of part (ii). Each is tied to the arXiv version's printed page and label. The assertion begins at k=1k=1k=1: the first interval is free and need not be at most t⋆t^\start⋆. Applegate et al., arXiv:2105.12715v4, pp. 17–18

Significance

The first conclusion gives a uniform bound on the inner work of every subsequent adaptive interval. The second translates the gap-based restart rule into a geometric distance guarantee while retaining the user-selected first interval as a visible factor. Together, they explain why an algorithm that does not know α\alphaα can have the same characteristic restart scale as one using a fixed frequency chosen from α\alphaα. The paper proves this theorem and gives linear-programming settings in which its sharpness premise holds; this mission asks for a machine-checked statement and, eventually, a machine-checked proof of that known result. Applegate et al., arXiv:2105.12715v4, Theorems 1–2 and Lemma 5

Formalizing the result also produces reusable interfaces for saddle sets, seminorm distances, localized duality gaps, uniform algorithm properties, and first-trigger restart runs. Those interfaces can support other primal–dual analyses without committing to a particular inner update map. A complete proof can later connect Property 3 to the paper's individual algorithms, while this mission preserves the abstract theorem that they share. Applegate et al., arXiv:2105.12715v4, Proposition 4 and §4

Difficulty

The restart test uses a gap evaluated at the moving radius ∥zˉk,t−zk,0∥p\|\bar z^{k,t}-z^{k,0}\|_p∥zˉk,t−zk,0∥p​, whereas sharpness relates a gap at the radius of the previous outer transition to distance from Z⋆Z^\starZ⋆. This mismatch must be reconciled while preserving the exact ceiling constant. A zero seminorm displacement is a separate boundary case: sharpness only speaks about positive radii, but the algorithm can still encounter radius zero. The theorem also needs the first qualifying time; knowing merely that a later time satisfies the test gives no upper bound on the interval length. Applegate et al., arXiv:2105.12715v4, pp. 16–18

Formalization scope

Lean represents xxx and yyy by finite-dimensional Euclidean spaces and zzz by their product, allowing either dimension to be zero. The geometry on that product is an explicit Seminorm, never the product type's default norm. Z⋆Z^\starZ⋆ is the set of saddle pairs. The standing problem predicate includes closed convex feasible sets, separate convexity and concavity, and differentiability on the whole ambient product space. It also requires Z⋆≠∅Z^\star\ne\varnothingZ⋆=∅, a disclosed strengthening of the paper's standing feasibility and finite-optimum assumptions so the real-valued distance to Z⋆Z^\starZ⋆ cannot collapse to an empty-infimum default. The infimum defining distance is over saddle points only; the supremum defining the gap is over feasible pairs only. The normalized gap and diameter use extended reals so an unbounded seminorm ball does not silently acquire value zero. Applegate et al., arXiv:2105.12715v4, pp. 2–4

The base method is a relation from a start to possible averaged-output sequences. Property 3 fixes q,Cq,Cq,C before quantifying over starts, runs and positive times. The theorem assumes initial feasibility; Property 3 then makes restarted outer points feasible. An adaptive run records the positive first interval and the first qualifying positive time for each later interval. The ceiling is Nat.ceil; the factor t⋆/τ0t^\star/\tau^0t⋆/τ0 is division in the reals. A formalization with arbitrarily chosen qualifying restart times, sharpness only along one chosen trajectory, a real-valued supremum over an unbounded ball, or a vacuous solution set would change the result. Contributions to the gap and seminorm infrastructure and to either half of Theorem 2 are useful; the individual algorithm implementations are outside this mission's core. Applegate et al., arXiv:2105.12715v4, pp. 9–10, 16–18

Selected references

  • D. Applegate, O. Hinder, H. Lu and M. Lubin, Faster First-Order Primal-Dual Methods for Linear Programming using Restarts and Sharpness, Mathematical Programming, 2022; mission citation basis: arXiv:2105.12715v4.
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Machine LearningOptimization·Captain: mikedeng1

Certifying Some Distributional Robustness with Principled Adversarial Training 3: The Softmax Loss of a Smooth Deep Network Has a (√2·β_L(θ)+α_L(θ)²)-Lipschitz Input GradientResearch Paper

Motivation

Sinha, Namkoong, Volpi and Duchi (arXiv:1710.10571, ICLR 2018) train classifiers against adversarial perturbations by solving a Lagrangian relaxation of a Wasserstein distributionally robust problem. The inner problem, sup⁡z{ℓ(θ;z)−γ c(z,z0)}\sup_z \{\ell(\theta;z)-\gamma\, c(z,z_0)\}supz​{ℓ(θ;z)−γc(z,z0​)}, is strongly concave, and hence solvable by gradient ascent with the paper's certificates, exactly when the penalty γ\gammaγ exceeds the input-smoothness constant LzzL_{zz}Lzz​ of the loss: the Lipschitz constant of z↦∇zℓ(θ;z)z\mapsto\nabla_z\ell(\theta;z)z↦∇z​ℓ(θ;z). For a deep network this constant is not given; §4 of the paper ("Bounds on smoothness of neural networks") supplies an explicit upper bound in terms of the weights' spectral norms and per-layer constants of the activations. The bound tells a practitioner how large γ\gammaγ must be for the robustness guarantees to apply, and it is of the same type as the spectral-norm Lipschitz bounds used for adversarial robustness and generalization of deep networks (Szegedy et al. 2014; Bartlett, Foster, Telgarsky 2017), but at the level of the derivative rather than the function.

Setting

A layered network of depth LLL has widths dl,Id_{l,I}dl,I​ (pre-activation of layer lll) and dl,Od_{l,O}dl,O​ (output of layer lll), with d0,O=pd_{0,O}=pd0,O​=p the input dimension and dL,O=Kd_{L,O}=KdL,O​=K the number of classes. Its parameters are weight matrices θl:Rdl−1,O→Rdl,I\theta_l:\mathbb R^{d_{l-1,O}}\to\mathbb R^{d_{l,I}}θl​:Rdl−1,O​→Rdl,I​, and each linear layer is followed by a nonlinear operation σl:Rdl,I→Rdl,O\sigma_l:\mathbb R^{d_{l,I}}\to\mathbb R^{d_{l,O}}σl​:Rdl,I​→Rdl,O​ (an activation, possibly combined with pooling). The output of the first lll layers is

F0(θ;x)=x,Fl(θ;x)=σl(θl⋅Fl−1(θ;x)),F_0(\theta;x)=x,\qquad F_l(\theta;x)=\sigma_l\big(\theta_l\cdot F_{l-1}(\theta;x)\big),F0​(θ;x)=x,Fl​(θ;x)=σl​(θl​⋅Fl−1​(θ;x)),

and its Jacobian in xxx is JxFl(θ;x)J_xF_l(\theta;x)Jx​Fl​(θ;x). All spaces carry the Euclidean norm ∥⋅∥2\|\cdot\|_2∥⋅∥2​, and ∥⋅∥op\|\cdot\|_{\mathrm{op}}∥⋅∥op​ is the ℓ2\ell_2ℓ2​-operator (spectral) norm.

Assumption E. For l=1,…,Ll=1,\dots,Ll=1,…,L, the map σl\sigma_lσl​ is Ll0L^0_lLl0​-Lipschitz for ∥⋅∥2\|\cdot\|_2∥⋅∥2​, its Jacobian JσlJ\sigma_lJσl​ is Ll1L^1_lLl1​-Lipschitz from ∥⋅∥2\|\cdot\|_2∥⋅∥2​ to ∥⋅∥op\|\cdot\|_{\mathrm{op}}∥⋅∥op​, and Ll0>0L^0_l>0Ll0​>0. From these constants define

αl(θ)=∏j=1lLj0 ∥θj∥op,βl(θ)=αl(θ)∑j=1lLj1(Lj0)2 αj(θ).\alpha_l(\theta)=\prod_{j=1}^{l}L^0_j\,\|\theta_j\|_{\mathrm{op}},\qquad \beta_l(\theta)=\alpha_l(\theta)\sum_{j=1}^{l}\frac{L^1_j}{(L^0_j)^2}\,\alpha_j(\theta).αl​(θ)=j=1∏l​Lj0​∥θj​∥op​,βl​(θ)=αl​(θ)j=1∑l​(Lj0​)2Lj1​​αj​(θ).

The classification loss is the softmax loss ℓ(θ;(x,y))=−log⁡py(θ;x)\ell(\theta;(x,y))=-\log p_y(\theta;x)ℓ(θ;(x,y))=−logpy​(θ;x) with py(θ;x)=exp⁡(FL,y(θ;x))/∑k=1Kexp⁡(FL,k(θ;x))p_y(\theta;x)=\exp(F_{L,y}(\theta;x))/\sum_{k=1}^K\exp(F_{L,k}(\theta;x))py​(θ;x)=exp(FL,y​(θ;x))/∑k=1K​exp(FL,k​(θ;x)), for a class y∈{1,…,K}y\in\{1,\dots,K\}y∈{1,…,K}.

Formalization targets

Goal: Corollary 4

Under Assumption E, for every class yyy and all inputs x,x′x,x'x,x′,

∥∇xℓ(θ;(x,y))−∇xℓ(θ;(x′,y))∥2≤(2 βL(θ)+αL(θ)2) ∥x−x′∥2.\big\|\nabla_x\ell(\theta;(x,y))-\nabla_x\ell(\theta;(x',y))\big\|_2\le\big(\sqrt2\,\beta_L(\theta)+\alpha_L(\theta)^2\big)\,\|x-x'\|_2 .​∇x​ℓ(θ;(x,y))−∇x​ℓ(θ;(x′,y))​2​≤(2​βL​(θ)+αL​(θ)2)∥x−x′∥2​.

Proposition 5

Under Assumption E, for l=1,…,Ll=1,\dots,Ll=1,…,L,

∥Fl(θ;x)−Fl(θ;x′)∥2≤αl(θ)∥x−x′∥2,∥JxFl(θ;x)−JxFl(θ;x′)∥op≤βl(θ)∥x−x′∥2.\|F_l(\theta;x)-F_l(\theta;x')\|_2\le\alpha_l(\theta)\|x-x'\|_2,\qquad \|J_xF_l(\theta;x)-J_xF_l(\theta;x')\|_{\mathrm{op}}\le\beta_l(\theta)\|x-x'\|_2 .∥Fl​(θ;x)−Fl​(θ;x′)∥2​≤αl​(θ)∥x−x′∥2​,∥Jx​Fl​(θ;x)−Jx​Fl​(θ;x′)∥op​≤βl​(θ)∥x−x′∥2​.

Milestones

In the order the paper's proof uses them: Lemma 6 (the chain rule for JxFlJ_xF_lJx​Fl​, recursively and as a product); Proposition 5, first part; the telescoping representation (34) of JxFl(θ;x)−JxFl(θ;x′)J_xF_l(\theta;x)-J_xF_l(\theta;x')Jx​Fl​(θ;x)−Jx​Fl​(θ;x′); Proposition 5, second part; the softmax constants of §B.9 (gradient p(v)−eyp(v)-e_yp(v)−ey​, Lipschitz constant 2\sqrt22​, smoothness constant 111); and the recursion of §B.9 for αl,βl\alpha_l,\beta_lαl​,βl​ with its instance βL+1=2 βL+αL2\beta_{L+1}=\sqrt2\,\beta_L+\alpha_L^2βL+1​=2​βL​+αL2​ for a softmax output layer.

Significance

Corollary 4 converts the abstract hypothesis γ>Lzz\gamma>L_{zz}γ>Lzz​ of the paper's convergence and certification results (missions 1 and 2 of this series) into a checkable condition on a trained network: Lzz≤2 βL(θ)+αL(θ)2L_{zz}\le\sqrt2\,\beta_L(\theta)+\alpha_L(\theta)^2Lzz​≤2​βL​(θ)+αL​(θ)2, computable from spectral norms of the weights and from constants of standard activations (the paper lists average pooling, sigmoid and ELU). Proposition 5 is a reusable statement about any composition of smooth maps with linear layers, independent of the softmax and of robust optimization.

The results are proved in the paper (§B.8–§B.9). No machine-checked proof of them is known to exist. This mission produces a formal development of the input Jacobian of a layered network with varying widths, the telescoping estimate for its variation, and the smoothness constants of the softmax loss, all with the paper's explicit constants.

Difficulty

The function-level bound (first part of Proposition 5) is a direct induction. The derivative-level bound is not: the obvious induction on JxFl+1=Jσl+1⋅θl+1⋅JxFlJ_xF_{l+1}=J\sigma_{l+1}\cdot\theta_{l+1}\cdot J_xF_lJx​Fl+1​=Jσl+1​⋅θl+1​⋅Jx​Fl​ needs both a bound on ∥JxFl∥op\|J_xF_l\|_{\mathrm{op}}∥Jx​Fl​∥op​, which comes from the Lipschitz half and the differentiability of every layer, and a bound on the variation of the Jacobian of the previous layers, and the two must be combined so that the constant comes out as exactly βl(θ)\beta_l(\theta)βl​(θ) of (21), whose definition uses quotients by (Lj0)2(L^0_j)^2(Lj0​)2. For the corollary, the softmax loss must be shown to have Lipschitz constant 2\sqrt22​ (a supremum that is not attained) and a 111-Lipschitz derivative; the paper's eigenvalue argument for the latter is loose and its displayed initial condition for the recursion of the constants is misprinted, so the printed text cannot be transcribed line by line. In Lean, the widths change from layer to layer, so the network is a family of maps between different Euclidean spaces, and every product of Jacobians is a dependently typed composition.

Formalization scope

  • Inputs, pre-activations and outputs are EuclideanSpace ℝ (Fin n); weights are continuous linear maps, so ‖θ l‖ is the spectral norm; Jacobians are Fréchet derivatives with the operator norm. A Frobenius or entrywise norm would state a different theorem and is not used.
  • Layers are indexed from 000 in Lean: Lean layer l is the paper's layer l+1l+1l+1 (θ l, σ l, L0 l, L1 l); F l, α L0 l, β L0 L1 l carry the paper's index lll. Widths vary with the layer; they are not collapsed to a single dimension.
  • Assumption E is stated for the first LLL layers and includes two hypotheses implicit on the page: each σl\sigma_lσl​ is differentiable (the assumption speaks of its Jacobian) and Ll1≥0L^1_l\ge0Ll1​≥0. The paper's Ll0>0L^0_l>0Ll0​>0 is kept.
  • αl\alpha_lαl​ and βl\beta_lβl​ are the explicit product and sum of (21); they are definitions, not free parameters. Consequently α0=1\alpha_0=1α0​=1 and β0=0\beta_0=0β0​=0; the paper's "β0(θ)=α0(θ)=1\beta_0(\theta)=\alpha_0(\theta)=1β0​(θ)=α0​(θ)=1" in §B.9 is a misprint and is not followed. The recursion βl+1=(αl+1/αl)βl+…\beta_{l+1}=(\alpha_{l+1}/\alpha_l)\beta_l+\dotsβl+1​=(αl+1​/αl​)βl​+… is stated in the division-free form βl+1=Ll+10∥θl+1∥opβl+…\beta_{l+1}=L^0_{l+1}\|\theta_{l+1}\|_{\mathrm{op}}\beta_l+\dotsβl+1​=Ll+10​∥θl+1​∥op​βl​+…, and in the paper's form when αl≠0\alpha_l\ne0αl​=0.
  • In (34) the first displayed line (a "product of differences") is a misprint; only the telescoped sum is formalized.
  • The softmax loss is real-valued on RK\mathbb R^KRK with K=dL,OK=d_{L,O}K=dL,O​ and a class yyy in Fin K; the goal uses Mathlib's gradient, whose norm equals the operator norm of the derivative.
  • The goal is not trivialized by free constants: a version with α,β\alpha,\betaα,β as arbitrary parameters, or with the loss not tied to FLF_LFL​, would not be Corollary 4 and is not what is posed.
  • Not formalized: the Hessian formula ∇2σy=diag⁡p−ppT\nabla^2\sigma_y=\operatorname{diag}p-pp^T∇2σy​=diagp−ppT and the eigenvalue argument (only their conclusion L1=1L^1=1L1=1 is stated); attainment of sup⁡x∥p(x)−ey∥2=2\sup_x\|p(x)-e_y\|_2=\sqrt2supx​∥p(x)−ey​∥2​=2​ (the value of the supremum, for K≥2K\ge2K≥2, is stated; it is not attained); Examples 1–3 (constants of pooling, sigmoid and ELU).

A complete development needs the chain rule for the network map, the mean value inequality for the softmax loss, and the algebra of (21). The definitions of the layered network and of the softmax loss are independent of robust optimization and are reusable for other Lipschitz and smoothness bounds of deep networks. Proofs of any milestone, and alternative arguments with sharper constants stated as separate theorems, are welcome.

Selected references

  • A. Sinha, H. Namkoong, R. Volpi, J. Duchi, Certifying Some Distributional Robustness with Principled Adversarial Training, ICLR 2018; arXiv:1710.10571v5, 2020. https://arxiv.org/abs/1710.10571
  • C. Szegedy et al., Intriguing properties of neural networks, ICLR 2014. https://arxiv.org/abs/1312.6199
  • P. Bartlett, D. Foster, M. Telgarsky, Spectrally-normalized margin bounds for neural networks, NeurIPS 2017. https://arxiv.org/abs/1706.08498
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OptimizationProbability·Captain: visuddhi

VC Theory for Inventory Policies: Xie–Ma–Xin BoundsResearch Paper

Learning inventory policies from historical demand

An inventory policy chooses how much stock to order before demand is observed. Its quality is assessed by the holding and backlogging costs it incurs on future demand. A policy chosen to perform well on historical demand can overfit those observations. A useful statistical guarantee therefore controls the difference between historical and future costs simultaneously over the policies that the procedure may select. Xie, Ma and Xin establish such guarantees for stationary base-stock, (s,S)(s,S)(s,S), and nonstationary base-stock policy classes.

This formalization covers the principal bound families in that paper. Its first goal is the expected generalization and estimation bound for nonstationary base-stock policies with no fixed ordering cost, Corollary 4.10. Its supporting targets include Theorem 4.9 and the constructive product-sample partition in Lemma 4.12. The other principal bounds remain in the explicit scope below and await their own full Lean declarations. The companion inventory-information project needs these results as proved dependencies; merely citing the paper does not close that project's formal proof obligations.

Demand, policy classes and statistical errors

There are T+LT+LT+L periods, a deterministic lead time L≥0L\ge0L≥0, and demand bounded by U>0U>0U>0. The first order arrives in period L+1L+1L+1. Average loss means the sum of holding and backlogging costs in periods L+1,…,T+LL+1,\ldots,T+LL+1,…,T+L, divided by the positive horizon TTT. The initial pipeline is empty, and initial inventory is nonpositive for the base-stock models. Holding and backlogging cost coefficients are h,b∈[0,1]h,b\in[0,1]h,b∈[0,1]. Nonstationary base-stock policies in the first goal have no fixed ordering cost and use levels St∈[0,(L+1)U]S^t\in[0,(L+1)U]St∈[0,(L+1)U].

The Lean model indexes the first period by zero. It uses the source's explicit finite-maximum formula for post-replenishment inventory, with the demand interval summed up to, but excluding, the observation period. In mathematical notation the inventory in period L+k+1L+k+1L+k+1 is max⁡0≤j≤k(Sj−∑j≤r<k+Ldr)\max_{0\le j\le k}(S_j-\sum_{j\le r<k+L}d_r)max0≤j≤k​(Sj​−∑j≤r<k+L​dr​). Cost is evaluated after subtracting the current demand dL+kd_{L+k}dL+k​. This is a backlog model; applications to lost sales require a separate equivalence argument.

Data comprise N>0N>0N>0 IID demand trajectories from a probability measure μ\muμ on the bounded trajectory space. Different periods of the same trajectory can be dependent. Generalization error is the one-sided supremum GE=sup⁡S(R(S)−R^(S))\mathrm{GE}=\sup_S(R(S)-\widehat R(S))GE=supS​(R(S)−R(S)), where RRR is expected average loss and R^\widehat RR is empirical average loss. Estimation error is R(S^)−R(S∗)R(\widehat S)-R(S_*)R(S)−R(S∗​), for an empirical minimizer and a best-in-class population policy. It is not the error relative to every history-dependent inventory policy. These conventions follow Sections 3 and 4.

Formalization targets

The first goal, Corollary 4.10, asserts the existence of one absolute constant C>0C>0C>0 such that

EEE≤EGE≤C(L+1)U/N.\mathbb E\mathrm{EE}\le\mathbb E\mathrm{GE}\le C(L+1)U/\sqrt N.EEE≤EGE≤C(L+1)U/N​.

The constant is quantified before the horizon, lead time, support, costs, demand distribution, sample size, and policy selections. The first inequality explicitly refers to actual minimizers, with an integrable selected risk. The GE conclusion holds independently of whether a particular selector has been supplied.

Its principal complexity target is Theorem 4.9: for each relevant period and 0<γ≤10<\gamma\le10<γ≤1, the normalized inventory class has fat-shattering dimension at most 2/γ+12/\gamma+12/γ+1. The Lean statement says directly that every γ\gammaγ-shattered indexed sample has cardinality at most that number. It uses the source convention of a strict upper label and non-strict lower label.

Lemma 4.12 partitions all NDN^DND product indices into ND−1N^{D-1}ND−1 groups of NNN indices. Every coordinate of every group traverses the original row indices exactly once. The formal statement uses a bijection between anchor-offset pairs and complete index tuples, together with a coordinate-permutation assertion. The dimension D=d+1D=d+1D=d+1 is positive, and N=1N=1N=1 and D=1D=1D=1 are included.

The full scope also retains Theorem 4.1 and Corollary 4.2 (stationary policies), Theorem 4.4 and Corollary 4.5 ((s,S)(s,S)(s,S) upper bounds), Theorem 4.7 and Corollary 4.8 ((s,S)(s,S)(s,S) fat-shattering and GE lower bounds), and the expected Product ERM comparison in equation (4.7). They are catalogued with their assumptions but are not yet all encoded. The GE lower bound is not asserted to be a minimax policy-regret lower bound.

What the formalization supplies

The nonstationary policy vector grows with the horizon, while the expected average-loss bound has no horizon factor. A verified version supplies a reusable statistical ingredient for finite-horizon inventory learning. Total-cost bounds require multiplication by the horizon. Absolute uniform deviation, period-dependent costs, high-probability statements, initial-state reductions, and censoring require further bridge theorems. They are not attributed to Corollary 4.10 without those proofs.

The cyclic partition has a complete locally checked Lean proof with axiom dependencies only propext and Quot.sound. The two statistical targets remain open. Neither a drafted declaration nor a local proof is described as a server-verified contribution.

Mathematical difficulty

Ordinary pseudodimension can grow with the horizon for the nonstationary class, so it does not by itself give the desired horizon-free rate. A full proof needs scale-sensitive complexity, probability, and integration infrastructure. For Product ERM, coordinate independence must be explicit: the groups in the partition need not be independent of each other. The expected comparison transfers upper bounds; it cannot reverse direction to transfer a GE lower bound.

Formalization scope and conventions

The shared environment is Lean 4.33.1 and Mathlib revision 0df444a360eaa60ab8c11dca51a86af692955474. Demand and policy coordinates are bounded real subtypes with their usual measurable structures. Probability is over IID whole trajectories. Finite maximum indices are nonempty. Positive T,N,UT,N,UT,N,U prevent zero denominators in the targets. General definitions remain total, and their behavior outside these hypotheses is exposed in the independent read-backs.

Complete proofs must establish the boundedness and measurability needed for the real suprema and integrals to have their usual meaning. They may not assume the convergence bound, replace arbitrary probability measures by finite-support distributions, or silently restrict the policy class. The (s,S)(s,S)(s,S) branch additionally needs explicit unbounded-domain conventions when holding or backlogging costs vanish. Reusable contributions include shattering, symmetrization, entropy bounds, selection and integrability facts, and finite-product sampling.

Selected references

  • Yaqi Xie, Will Ma and Linwei Xin, VC Theory for Inventory Policies, arXiv:2404.11509v3, 2026. https://arxiv.org/abs/2404.11509v3
  • Hanzhang Qin, David Simchi-Levi and Ruihao Zhu, Information Limits of Multistage Inventory Control: Learning, Valuation, and Censoring, arXiv:2609.37380v1, 2026. https://arxiv.org/abs/2609.37380v1
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Computational GeometryLinear algebraMachine Learning·Captain: mikedeng1

Turning Big Data into Tiny Data: Constant-Size Coresets for k-Means, PCA, and Projective Clustering I: The Rank-m SVD Truncation Plus Its Residual Preserves the Cost of Every j-Dimensional ShapeResearch Paper

Motivation

Large data sets make clustering and subspace fitting expensive because a candidate solution must be evaluated against every input point. A dimensionality reduction replaces the data by a lower-rank matrix whose costs approximate those of the original input for an entire class of candidate solutions. Feldman, Schmidt, and Sohler study reductions that retain enough information for kkk-means, principal component analysis, and projective clustering. Their journal paper identifies a rank truncation and one residual scalar that preserve the fitting cost of every shape lying in a low-dimensional linear subspace Feldman, Schmidt, and Sohler (2020), Theorem 22.

The published article also records that some coreset sizes in its 2013 conference version were incorrect. This mission uses the 2020 journal statement and its page numbering throughout. The authors cite earlier SVD-based approximations to kkk-means on p. 613, while their Theorem 22 gives a uniform cost guarantee for arbitrary nonempty shapes contained in a jjj-dimensional subspace Feldman, Schmidt, and Sohler (2020), pp. 603, 613, 620.

Setting

The input is a real matrix A∈Rn×dA\in\mathbb R^{n\times d}A∈Rn×d. Its nnn rows are points in Rd\mathbb R^dRd. For a nonempty set of candidate locations or shapes C⊆RdC\subseteq\mathbb R^dC⊆Rd, let dist⁡(ai,C)\operatorname{dist}(a_i,C)dist(ai​,C) be the infimum of Euclidean distances from row aia_iai​ to points of CCC. The shape cost is

dist⁡2(A,C)=∑i=1ndist⁡(ai,C)2.\operatorname{dist}^2(A,C)=\sum_{i=1}^{n}\operatorname{dist}(a_i,C)^2.dist2(A,C)=i=1∑n​dist(ai​,C)2.

The set CCC need not be closed and need not be a subspace. For example, it can be a finite set of cluster centers. The restriction is that all of its points lie in some linear subspace of dimension jjj. This matches the paper's shape class in §5; the affine case is treated separately Feldman, Schmidt, and Sohler (2020), pp. 619–620.

Fix a singular value decomposition A=UΣVTA=U\Sigma V^TA=UΣVT, where UUU and VVV are orthogonal and the diagonal entries of the rectangular matrix Σ\SigmaΣ are nonnegative and nonincreasing. The entry σi\sigma_iσi​ is indexed from one. The rank-mmm truncation A(m)=UΣ(m)VTA^{(m)}=U\Sigma^{(m)}V^TA(m)=UΣ(m)VT keeps the first mmm diagonal entries and sets the rest to zero. Its squared Frobenius residual is Δ=∥A−A(m)∥F2\Delta=\|A-A^{(m)}\|_F^2Δ=∥A−A(m)∥F2​. The corrected cost of CCC is dist⁡2(A(m),C)+Δ\operatorname{dist}^2(A^{(m)},C)+\Deltadist2(A(m),C)+Δ Feldman, Schmidt, and Sohler (2020), Definition 1 and §2.

Formalization targets

Linear subspace estimates

The milestones first record the matrix Pythagorean identity, the jσm+12j\sigma_{m+1}^2jσm+12​ projection and residual bounds, and the lower bound on the cost of a linear jjj-subspace. They then state the residual-corrected approximation in Corollary 16:

∥AY∥F2≤∥A(m)Y∥F2+Δ≤(1+ε)∥AY∥F2,m≥⌈j/ε⌉+j−1.\|AY\|_F^2\le\|A^{(m)}Y\|_F^2+\Delta\le(1+\varepsilon)\|AY\|_F^2, \qquad m\ge\lceil j/\varepsilon\rceil+j-1.∥AY∥F2​≤∥A(m)Y∥F2​+Δ≤(1+ε)∥AY∥F2​,m≥⌈j/ε⌉+j−1.

Here YYY has d−jd-jd−j orthonormal columns spanning the complement of the candidate subspace. Corollary 20, Corollary 21, and display (9) connect these linear estimates to costs of general sets CCC Feldman, Schmidt, and Sohler (2020), pp. 604, 613–615, 619–620.

Goal: uniform shape-cost preservation

The goal is Theorem 22. For 1≤j≤d−11\le j\le d-11≤j≤d−1, 0<ε≤10<\varepsilon\le10<ε≤1, and ⌈8j/ε2⌉−1≤m≤min⁡{n,d}−1\lceil8j/\varepsilon^2\rceil-1\le m\le\min\{n,d\}-1⌈8j/ε2⌉−1≤m≤min{n,d}−1, every nonempty CCC contained in a linear jjj-dimensional subspace satisfies

∣(dist⁡2(A(m),C)+∥A−A(m)∥F2)−dist⁡2(A,C)∣≤εdist⁡2(A,C).\left|\bigl(\operatorname{dist}^2(A^{(m)},C)+\|A-A^{(m)}\|_F^2\bigr) -\operatorname{dist}^2(A,C)\right| \le\varepsilon\operatorname{dist}^2(A,C).​(dist2(A(m),C)+∥A−A(m)∥F2​)−dist2(A,C)​≤εdist2(A,C).

The quantifier over CCC makes this a guarantee for every admissible candidate on the same reduced data, rather than a statement about one selected optimum Feldman, Schmidt, and Sohler (2020), Theorem 22, p. 620.

Significance

The theorem preserves objective values after replacing AAA by a rank-mmm matrix and one number. For a fixed jjj and accuracy parameter, the rank threshold depends on jjj and ε\varepsilonε, with no direct dependence on the number of points nnn or ambient dimension ddd except the upper bound on feasible mmm. In the paper, the result leads to a guarantee for kkk-means candidates, since kkk centers span a linear subspace of dimension at most kkk Feldman, Schmidt, and Sohler (2020), Corollary 23, p. 621.

The result is proved in the paper, but this mission's Lean theorems are posed with sorry; they do not yet have machine-checked proofs. A completed development would connect a reusable rectangular SVD model, matrix projection identities, infimum distances to arbitrary nonempty sets, and a uniform cost inequality. The SVD definition is already published in the platform library; the row-cost and singular-value conventions here supply the interface needed for this paper Feldman, Schmidt, and Sohler (2020), §§2, 3, 5.

Difficulty

The linear subspace bound compares a projection cost with a tail sum of squared singular values. The paper recalls that fact in §3 without proving it, so the formal development needs a suitable singular-value inequality or a derivation from existing matrix approximation results. For general shapes CCC, a bound on the cost of one linear subspace does not by itself control the distance from each projected point to every point of CCC. The remaining milestones state the projection error, the squared-distance perturbation bound, and the Pythagorean cost split that address that gap Feldman, Schmidt, and Sohler (2020), pp. 613, 619–621.

The proof printed after Theorem 22 invokes earlier corollaries under a stronger rank threshold than the theorem states. The mission keeps the printed theorem threshold, whose claim remains valid; a formal proof must bridge that discrepancy Feldman, Schmidt, and Sohler (2020), pp. 620–621.

Formalization scope

Matrices are Matrix (Fin n) (Fin d) ℝ, and rows are points of EuclideanSpace ℝ (Fin d). Squared Frobenius norm is an explicit finite sum of squared entries. Shape cost sums squared Metric.infDist values over rows. Since Mathlib assigns a real default value to distance from the empty set while the paper assigns infinity, every theorem about a general shape CCC requires C.Nonempty. This is the page's own requirement for Theorem 22 and Corollary 21, and is also needed for display (9).

The SVD and its truncation use the published ProjLikeRetr.FixedRank.IsSVD and truncSVD. Every SVD statement quantifies over an arbitrary valid triple (U,Σ,V)(U,\Sigma,V)(U,Σ,V); tied singular values do not fix a unique truncation. The local σi\sigma_iσi​ is one-based, while truncSVD m keeps zero-based diagonal positions below mmm. Orthonormal columns of XXX satisfy XTX=IX^TX=IXTX=I, their orthogonal complement has d−jd-jd−j columns, and projection in ambient coordinates is AXXTAXX^TAXXT. Theorem 22 quantifies over arbitrary nonempty CCC contained in a linear jjj-subspace; it does not restrict CCC to subspaces or replace linear containment by affine containment.

The integer inequalities in Lean use additive forms such as ⌈8j/ε2⌉≤m+1\lceil8j/\varepsilon^2\rceil\le m+1⌈8j/ε2⌉≤m+1 to avoid truncated natural-number subtraction. The theorem retains the printed mmm threshold, including the proof gap described above. Running-time clauses are outside the mission's mathematical statements. Contributions are welcome toward the singular-value lower bound, the projection and infimum-distance identities, and the final uniform inequality; the matrix and distance definitions are reusable in the companion affine-subspace mission.

Selected references

  • Dan Feldman, Melanie Schmidt, and Christian Sohler, Turning Big Data into Tiny Data: Constant-Size Coresets for k-Means, PCA, and Projective Clustering, SIAM Journal on Computing 49(3):601–657, 2020. DOI: 10.1137/18M1209854.
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Convex OptimizationInformation TheoryOptimization+1·Captain: mikedeng1

Semidefinite Programming Hierarchies for Constrained Bilinear Optimization I: The Linearly Constrained de Finetti SDP Hierarchy Satisfies Q ≤ SDPₙ ≤ Q + ‖G‖∞·d_B²(d_B+1)·√((2 ln 2) log d_A / n)Research Paper

Motivation

Many problems in quantum information theory ask for the maximum of a linear functional over pairs of quantum states, one on each of two systems, subject to linear constraints on each state. The best success probability of an approximate quantum error-correcting code of given size is of this form: the encoder and the decoder are quantum channels, their Choi matrices are states with fixed marginals, and the objective is bilinear in the two (Berta, Borderi, Fawzi & Scholz, arXiv:1810.12197, §4). Such constrained bilinear programs are nonconvex. Seesaw methods give lower bounds that often converge in practice, but they offer no guarantee of global optimality. What is needed is a hierarchy of efficiently computable outer bounds that converges to the optimum, with an explicit rate.

For the unconstrained problem, the optimisation over separable states, such a hierarchy is classical: the Doherty–Parrilo–Spedalieri hierarchy of nnn-extendible states, whose convergence follows from finite quantum de Finetti theorems (Christandl, König, Mitchison & Renner 2007; Brandão & Harrow 2013). The standard de Finetti approximant is, however, a mixture of product states that need not satisfy the linear constraints, so it says nothing about the constrained problem. The paper proves a de Finetti theorem with linear constraints (Theorem 2.3) and derives from it a semidefinite hierarchy for constrained bilinear programs with a convergence guarantee (Theorem 3.1).

Setting

A ddd-dimensional quantum system has operator space S=Cd×d\mathcal S=\mathbb C^{d\times d}S=Cd×d; a state is a positive semidefinite W∈SW\in\mathcal SW∈S with Tr W=1\mathrm{Tr}\,W=1TrW=1. Let AAA and BBB be systems of dimensions dAd_AdA​ and dBd_BdB​. The data are an objective GAB∈SA⊗SBG_{AB}\in\mathcal S_A\otimes\mathcal S_BGAB​∈SA​⊗SB​, arbitrary linear maps ΛA→CA:SA→SCA\Lambda_{A\to C_A}:\mathcal S_A\to\mathcal S_{C_A}ΛA→CA​​:SA​→SCA​​ and ΓB→CB:SB→SCB\Gamma_{B\to C_B}:\mathcal S_B\to\mathcal S_{C_B}ΓB→CB​​:SB​→SCB​​, and matrices XCAX_{C_A}XCA​​, YCBY_{C_B}YCB​​. The constrained bilinear program is

Q=max⁡ Tr[GAB(WA⊗WB)]s.t. WA,WB states,ΛA→CA(WA)=XCA,ΓB→CB(WB)=YCB.Q=\max\ \mathrm{Tr}[G_{AB}(W_A\otimes W_B)]\quad\text{s.t. } W_A,W_B\ \text{states},\quad \Lambda_{A\to C_A}(W_A)=X_{C_A},\quad \Gamma_{B\to C_B}(W_B)=Y_{C_B}.Q=max Tr[GAB​(WA​⊗WB​)]s.t. WA​,WB​ states,ΛA→CA​​(WA​)=XCA​​,ΓB→CB​​(WB​)=YCB​​.

For n≥1n\ge1n≥1 let B1,…,BnB_1,\dots,B_nB1​,…,Bn​ be copies of BBB. A state WAB1nW_{AB_1^n}WAB1n​​ on A⊗B1⋯BnA\otimes B_1\cdots B_nA⊗B1​⋯Bn​ is symmetric with respect to AAA if it is invariant under every permutation UB1nπ\mathcal U^\pi_{B_1^n}UB1n​π​ of the copies B1,…,BnB_1,\dots,B_nB1​,…,Bn​, π∈Sn\pi\in\mathfrak S_nπ∈Sn​. Write WB1n=TrAWAB1nW_{B_1^n}=\mathrm{Tr}_A W_{AB_1^n}WB1n​​=TrA​WAB1n​​, WB1n−1=TrBnWB1nW_{B_1^{n-1}}=\mathrm{Tr}_{B_n}W_{B_1^n}WB1n−1​​=TrBn​​WB1n​​ and WAB1=TrB2nWAB1nW_{AB_1}=\mathrm{Tr}_{B_2^n}W_{AB_1^n}WAB1​​=TrB2n​​WAB1n​​. The level-nnn program is

SDPn=max⁡ Tr[GABWAB1]s.t. WAB1n a state, symmetric with respect to A,\mathrm{SDP}_n=\max\ \mathrm{Tr}[G_{AB}W_{AB_1}]\quad\text{s.t. } W_{AB_1^n}\ \text{a state, symmetric with respect to } A,SDPn​=max Tr[GAB​WAB1​​]s.t. WAB1n​​ a state, symmetric with respect to A, (ΛA→CA⊗IB1n)(WAB1n)=XCA⊗WB1n,(IB1n−1⊗ΓBn→CB)(WB1n)=WB1n−1⊗YCB.(\Lambda_{A\to C_A}\otimes\mathcal I_{B_1^n})(W_{AB_1^n})=X_{C_A}\otimes W_{B_1^n},\qquad (\mathcal I_{B_1^{n-1}}\otimes\Gamma_{B_n\to C_B})(W_{B_1^n})=W_{B_1^{n-1}}\otimes Y_{C_B}.(ΛA→CA​​⊗IB1n​​)(WAB1n​​)=XCA​​⊗WB1n​​,(IB1n−1​​⊗ΓBn​→CB​​)(WB1n​​)=WB1n−1​​⊗YCB​​.

It is a semidefinite program of size polynomial in dAd_AdA​ and dBnd_B^ndBn​.

The rate involves the trace norm ∥X∥1=Tr∣X∣\|X\|_1=\mathrm{Tr}|X|∥X∥1​=Tr∣X∣, the Schatten ∞\infty∞-norm ∥G∥∞\|G\|_\infty∥G∥∞​ (largest singular value), and the minimal distortion with side information of BBB,

f(B∣⋅)=inf⁡MB sup⁡ξAB†=ξABξA=0, ξB=0∥ξAB∥1∥(IA⊗MB)(ξAB)∥1,f(B|\cdot)=\inf_{\mathcal M_B}\ \sup_{\substack{\xi_{AB}^\dagger=\xi_{AB}\\ \xi_A=0,\ \xi_B=0}}\frac{\|\xi_{AB}\|_1}{\|(\mathcal I_A\otimes\mathcal M_B)(\xi_{AB})\|_1},f(B∣⋅)=MB​inf​ ξAB†​=ξAB​ξA​=0, ξB​=0​sup​∥(IA​⊗MB​)(ξAB​)∥1​∥ξAB​∥1​​,

the infimum over measurements MB\mathcal M_BMB​ on BBB and the supremum over all finite-dimensional AAA; f(A,B)f(A,B)f(A,B) is the analogue with product measurements MA⊗MB\mathcal M_A\otimes\mathcal M_BMA​⊗MB​. Throughout, log⁡\loglog is base 2.

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem 3.1 with its explicit rate

Q ≤ SDPn ≤ Q+∥GAB∥∞ dB2(dB+1)(2ln⁡2)log⁡dAn(n≥1),Q=lim⁡n→∞SDPn.Q\ \le\ \mathrm{SDP}_n\ \le\ Q+\|G_{AB}\|_\infty\,d_B^2(d_B+1)\sqrt{\frac{(2\ln2)\log d_A}{n}}\quad(n\ge1),\qquad Q=\lim_{n\to\infty}\mathrm{SDP}_n.Q ≤ SDPn​ ≤ Q+∥GAB​∥∞​dB2​(dB​+1)n(2ln2)logdA​​​(n≥1),Q=n→∞lim​SDPn​.

The page states 0≤SDPn−Q≤poly(d)/n0\le\mathrm{SDP}_n-Q\le\mathrm{poly}(d)/\sqrt n0≤SDPn​−Q≤poly(d)/n​ with d=max⁡{dA,dB}d=\max\{d_A,d_B\}d=max{dA​,dB​}. The goal makes explicit the rate the proof gives.

Milestones, in attack order

  1. Lemma 2.1 (p. 6): for a permutation-invariant classical-quantum state ρAZ1n\rho_{AZ_1^n}ρAZ1n​​ there is 0≤m<n0\le m<n0≤m<n with Ez1m∥ρAZm+1∣z1m−ρA∣z1m⊗ρZm+1∣z1m∥12≤(2ln⁡2)log⁡dA/n\mathbf E_{z_1^m}\|\rho_{AZ_{m+1}|z_1^m}-\rho_{A|z_1^m}\otimes\rho_{Z_{m+1}|z_1^m}\|_1^2\le(2\ln2)\log d_A/nEz1m​​∥ρAZm+1​∣z1m​​−ρA∣z1m​​⊗ρZm+1​∣z1m​​∥12​≤(2ln2)logdA​/n.
  2. Lemma D.1 (p. 29): for a state two-design {Pz}\{P_z\}{Pz​} and MB\mathcal M_BMB​ with effects dBtPz\frac{d_B}{t}P_ztdB​​Pz​, ∥(IA⊗MB)(ξAB)∥1≥∥ξAB∥1/(dB2(dB+1))\|(\mathcal I_A\otimes\mathcal M_B)(\xi_{AB})\|_1\ge\|\xi_{AB}\|_1/(d_B^2(d_B+1))∥(IA​⊗MB​)(ξAB​)∥1​≥∥ξAB​∥1​/(dB2​(dB​+1)) for every Hermitian ξAB\xi_{AB}ξAB​.
  3. Existence of state two-designs in every dimension (p. 29).
  4. f(B∣⋅)≤dB2(dB+1)f(B|\cdot)\le d_B^2(d_B+1)f(B∣⋅)≤dB2​(dB​+1) (p. 6).
  5. Conditional constraints (p. 8): the states obtained by measuring B1,…,BmB_1,\dots,B_mB1​,…,Bm​ and conditioning satisfy Λ(ρA∣z1m)=XCA\Lambda(\rho_{A|z_1^m})=X_{C_A}Λ(ρA∣z1m​​)=XCA​​ and Γ(ρBm+1∣z1m)=YCB\Gamma(\rho_{B_{m+1}|z_1^m})=Y_{C_B}Γ(ρBm+1​∣z1m​​)=YCB​​.
  6. Theorem 2.3 (p. 7): under the constraints of SDPn\mathrm{SDP}_nSDPn​, ∥ρAB−∑ipiσAi⊗ωBi∥1≤min⁡{f(A,B),f(B∣⋅)}(2ln⁡2)log⁡dA/n\|\rho_{AB}-\sum_ip_i\sigma^i_A\otimes\omega^i_B\|_1\le\min\{f(A,B),f(B|\cdot)\}\sqrt{(2\ln2)\log d_A/n}∥ρAB​−∑i​pi​σAi​⊗ωBi​∥1​≤min{f(A,B),f(B∣⋅)}(2ln2)logdA​/n​ with states Λ(σAi)=XCA\Lambda(\sigma^i_A)=X_{C_A}Λ(σAi​)=XCA​​, Γ(ωBi)=YCB\Gamma(\omega^i_B)=Y_{C_B}Γ(ωBi​)=YCB​​.
  7. Eq. (3) (p. 2): QQQ equals the maximum over mixtures of feasible product states.
  8. Hölder step (p. 11): Tr[GW]≤Tr[GV]+∥G∥∞∥W−V∥1\mathrm{Tr}[GW]\le\mathrm{Tr}[GV]+\|G\|_\infty\|W-V\|_1Tr[GW]≤Tr[GV]+∥G∥∞​∥W−V∥1​.
  9. 0≤SDPn−Q0\le\mathrm{SDP}_n-Q0≤SDPn​−Q (p. 11).

Significance

Theorem 3.1 turns a nonconvex problem into a sequence of semidefinite programs whose values decrease to the optimum at rate O(1/n)O(1/\sqrt n)O(1/n​), with a constant that depends polynomially on dBd_BdB​ and logarithmically on dAd_AdA​. Every level is a certified upper bound; together with any feasible point it brackets QQQ. The same argument applied to channel fidelities gives converging outer bounds on the success probability of approximate quantum error correction (§4 of the paper), and the constrained de Finetti theorem is the key step there as well. Theorem 2.3 is of independent interest: it is the first finite de Finetti theorem in which the approximating separable state inherits linear constraints of the extension.

The results are proved in the paper; none of them has been machine-checked. A complete formalization requires the quantum relative entropy and mutual information with their chain rule, the quantum Pinsker inequality, state two-designs and their existence, and a weighted Hölder inequality for Schatten norms; most of this is absent from Mathlib, and each piece is reusable beyond this mission.

Difficulty

The obvious route measures every copy BiB_iBi​ with a fixed informationally complete measurement and uses the resulting classical de Finetti statement. This approximates ρAB\rho_{AB}ρAB​ by a mixture of product states, but the states in the mixture need not satisfy Γ(ωi)=Y\Gamma(\omega^i)=YΓ(ωi)=Y, and projecting them onto the constraint set destroys the error bound. The paper instead conditions on the outcomes of only mmm copies and keeps Bm+1B_{m+1}Bm+1​ quantum; the constraint on BnB_nBn​ then transfers to the conditional state of Bm+1B_{m+1}Bm+1​ by symmetry. Making this rigorous needs the chain rule of conditional mutual information with classical conditioning, and the distortion of the measurement must be bounded independently of the side system AAA, which is what Lemma D.1 provides. The Schatten-norm estimate there is elementary but requires a weighted Hölder inequality and a careful choice of weight.

Formalization scope

Systems are finite index types: A⊗B1⋯BNA\otimes B_1\cdots B_NA⊗B1​⋯BN​ is indexed by Fin dA × (Fin N → Fin dB), ⊗\otimes⊗ is Mathlib's Kronecker product, and the permutation action permutes the word in Fin N → Fin dB. States, trace norm and partial traces are the published definitions WildeQIT_IsDensityOperator, WildeQIT_traceNorm and WildeQIT_partialTrace. The linear maps Λ\LambdaΛ, Γ\GammaΓ are arbitrary C\mathbb CC-linear maps (not assumed positive or trace preserving), applied blockwise to one tensor factor. The objective is the real part of Tr[G W]\mathrm{Tr}[G\,W]Tr[GW], equal to Tr[G W]\mathrm{Tr}[G\,W]Tr[GW] for Hermitian GGG. Each "max" is the supremum of the set of objective values over the feasible set, never over all matrices. Wherever the page has n≥1n\ge1n≥1 copies of BBB, the Lean has n + 1: SDPval … n is the page's SDPn+1\mathrm{SDP}_{n+1}SDPn+1​, and the bounds have denominator n+1n+1n+1. The distortions f(A,B)f(A,B)f(A,B) and f(B∣⋅)f(B|\cdot)f(B∣⋅) take values in [0,∞][0,\infty][0,∞]; the standalone bound on f(B∣⋅)f(B|\cdot)f(B∣⋅) assumes dB≥1d_B\ge1dB​≥1.

No feasibility hypothesis is added to the goal. The feasible sets of QQQ and of every level are empty or nonempty together, and the empty case reads 0≤0≤0+…0\le0\le0+\dots0≤0≤0+…. The goal mentions only QQQ, SDPn\mathrm{SDP}_nSDPn​, GGG, dAd_AdA​, dBd_BdB​ and nnn; a formalization in which QQQ or SDPn\mathrm{SDP}_nSDPn​ were free real numbers, or in which the de Finetti mixture was not required to satisfy the constraints, would be a different and much weaker statement.

Contributions are welcome at every milestone, and especially in the reusable infrastructure: quantum relative entropy and mutual information on matrices, the quantum Pinsker inequality, unitary and state designs, and Hölder inequalities for Schatten norms.

Selected references

  • M. Berta, F. Borderi, O. Fawzi, V. B. Scholz, Semidefinite programming hierarchies for constrained bilinear optimization, Mathematical Programming, 2021; arXiv:1810.12197v3. https://arxiv.org/abs/1810.12197
  • F. G. S. L. Brandão, A. W. Harrow, Quantum de Finetti theorems under local measurements with applications, STOC 2013. https://arxiv.org/abs/1210.6367
  • M. Christandl, R. König, G. Mitchison, R. Renner, One-and-a-half quantum de Finetti theorems, Communications in Mathematical Physics 273, 2007. https://arxiv.org/abs/quant-ph/0602130
  • A. C. Doherty, P. A. Parrilo, F. M. Spedalieri, Complete family of separability criteria, Physical Review A 69, 2004. https://arxiv.org/abs/quant-ph/0308032
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Personalized Dynamic Pricing with Machine Learning: High-Dimensional Features and Heterogeneous Elasticity 2: Under Unknown Sparsity, Lasso-Based ILQX Pricing Has Regret at Most Cs√T(log d + log T)Research Paper

Motivation

Online sellers of loans, insurance, travel and retail goods observe data about each arriving customer before quoting a price. Using that data to price individually is attractive only if the seller can learn, from its own sales, how demand responds to price for customers with given characteristics. Two features make this hard in practice. The number of recorded characteristics ddd is often large, possibly larger than the selling horizon TTT, while only a few of them matter. And price sensitivity is itself heterogeneous: different customers respond to the same price change differently.

Ban and Keskin (Management Science 67(9), 2021) model both features and ask how fast the revenue lost to learning can grow. Their answer is that a seller who learns with lasso-regularized quasi-likelihood estimation and occasional price experiments loses revenue of order sTs\sqrt TsT​ up to logarithmic factors, where sss is the number of relevant characteristics, and that no policy can do better than order sTs\sqrt TsT​. This mission formalizes the upper bound for the general (nonlinear-link) model with unknown sparsity, Theorem 3 of the paper.

Setting

In each period t=1,2,…,Tt = 1, 2, \dots, Tt=1,2,…,T a customer arrives with a raw feature vector Zt∈RdZ_t \in \mathbb R^dZt​∈Rd. The ZtZ_tZt​ are i.i.d., take values in a compact set Z\mathcal ZZ inside a ball of radius zmax⁡z_{\max}zmax​, have mean zero and positive definite covariance ΣZ\Sigma_ZΣZ​. The seller sees the augmented vector Xt=[1;Zt]∈Rd+1X_t = [1; Z_t] \in \mathbb R^{d+1}Xt​=[1;Zt​]∈Rd+1, charges a price pt∈[ℓ,u]p_t \in [\ell, u]pt​∈[ℓ,u] with 0<ℓ<u0 < \ell < u0<ℓ<u, and observes the demand

Dt=g(α⋅Xt+(β⋅Xt) pt)+εt.D_t = g\big(\alpha \cdot X_t + (\beta \cdot X_t)\, p_t\big) + \varepsilon_t .Dt​=g(α⋅Xt​+(β⋅Xt​)pt​)+εt​.

Here θ=(α,β)\theta = (\alpha, \beta)θ=(α,β) is an unknown parameter in a compact rectangle Θ⊂R2(d+1)\Theta \subset \mathbb R^{2(d+1)}Θ⊂R2(d+1), the link ggg is known, differentiable and increasing with ℓ~≤g′≤u~\tilde\ell \le g' \le \tilde uℓ~≤g′≤u~ on the relevant domain, and the demand shocks εt\varepsilon_tεt​ form a sub-Gaussian martingale difference sequence. The term β⋅Xt\beta \cdot X_tβ⋅Xt​ is the customer's own price sensitivity. With u(p,x)=[1;p]⊗xu(p, x) = [1; p] \otimes xu(p,x)=[1;p]⊗x the argument of ggg is θ⋅u(p,x)\theta \cdot u(p, x)θ⋅u(p,x).

The sparsity of θ\thetaθ is s=∣S∣s = |\mathcal S|s=∣S∣, S={i:αi≠0}∪{i:βi≠0}\mathcal S = \{i : \alpha_i \neq 0\} \cup \{i : \beta_i \neq 0\}S={i:αi​=0}∪{i:βi​=0}. The seller does not know S\mathcal SS.

The expected revenue of price ppp is r(p,θ,x)=p g(θ⋅u(p,x))r(p, \theta, x) = p\, g(\theta \cdot u(p,x))r(p,θ,x)=pg(θ⋅u(p,x)), and the clairvoyant price φ(θ,x)\varphi(\theta, x)φ(θ,x) maximizes it; it is assumed to lie in the interior of [ℓ,u][\ell, u][ℓ,u] for θ∈Θ\theta \in \Thetaθ∈Θ, x∈X={1}×Zx \in \mathcal X = \{1\} \times \mathcal Zx∈X={1}×Z. The regret of a policy over TTT periods is

Δθπ(T)=E[∑t=1Tr∗(θ,Xt)−r(pt,θ,Xt)],r∗(θ,x)=r(φ(θ,x),θ,x).\Delta^\pi_\theta(T) = \mathbb E\Big[\sum_{t=1}^T r^*(\theta, X_t) - r(p_t, \theta, X_t)\Big], \qquad r^*(\theta,x) = r(\varphi(\theta,x),\theta,x).Δθπ​(T)=E[t=1∑T​r∗(θ,Xt​)−r(pt​,θ,Xt​)],r∗(θ,x)=r(φ(θ,x),θ,x).

The policy ILQX(m1,m2,λ)(m_1, m_2, \lambda)(m1​,m2​,λ) charges the experimental price m1m_1m1​ in periods M1={1,4,9,… }M_1 = \{1, 4, 9, \dots\}M1​={1,4,9,…} and m2m_2m2​ in periods M2={2,5,10,… }M_2 = \{2, 5, 10, \dots\}M2​={2,5,10,…}, and otherwise charges φ(PΘθ^t,Xt)\varphi(\mathcal P_\Theta \hat\theta_t, X_t)φ(PΘ​θ^t​,Xt​), where θ^t\hat\theta_tθ^t​ maximizes the lasso-penalized quasi-likelihood

Qt−1(θ~,λt)=∑k=1t−1χk∫Dkg(θ~⋅uk)Dk−yg′(g−1(y)) dy−λt∥θ~∥1Q_{t-1}(\tilde\theta, \lambda_t) = \sum_{k=1}^{t-1} \chi_k \int_{D_k}^{g(\tilde\theta \cdot u_k)} \frac{D_k - y}{g'(g^{-1}(y))}\, dy - \lambda_t \|\tilde\theta\|_1Qt−1​(θ~,λt​)=k=1∑t−1​χk​∫Dk​g(θ~⋅uk​)​g′(g−1(y))Dk​−y​dy−λt​∥θ~∥1​

over the experimental periods (χk=I{k∈M1∪M2}\chi_k = \mathbb I\{k \in M_1 \cup M_2\}χk​=I{k∈M1​∪M2​}), and PΘ\mathcal P_\ThetaPΘ​ is the projection onto Θ\ThetaΘ. The regularization level is λt+1=c~ t1/4log⁡d+log⁡t\lambda_{t+1} = \tilde c\, t^{1/4} \sqrt{\log d + \log t}λt+1​=c~t1/4logd+logt​ for a constant c~>0\tilde c > 0c~>0.

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem 3

There is a finite constant C~>0\tilde C > 0C~>0 such that

Δθπ(T)≤C~ sT (log⁡d+log⁡T)for all θ∈Θ, T≥2.\Delta^\pi_\theta(T) \le \tilde C\, s \sqrt T\, (\log d + \log T) \qquad \text{for all } \theta \in \Theta,\ T \ge 2 .Δθπ​(T)≤C~sT​(logd+logT)for all θ∈Θ, T≥2.

C~\tilde CC~ is fixed with the model and is uniform over Θ\ThetaΘ; since s=s(θ)s = s(\theta)s=s(θ) varies over Θ\ThetaΘ, the factor sss carries content.

Milestones

  1. The counting property of the schedule (7): for t≥5t \ge 5t≥5 each experimental price is charged at least 14t\tfrac14 \sqrt t41​t​ times in periods 1,…,t1, \dots, t1,…,t.
  2. Lemma 3, the estimation error of the lasso quasi-likelihood estimate:
P{∥θ^t+1(lasso)(λt+1)−θ∥2≤ρ3s(log⁡d+log⁡t)t}≥1−κ3s(log⁡d+log⁡t)t,t≥t1.\mathbb P\Big\{\|\hat\theta^{(\mathrm{lasso})}_{t+1}(\lambda_{t+1}) - \theta\|^2 \le \rho_3 \frac{s(\log d + \log t)}{\sqrt t}\Big\} \ge 1 - \kappa_3 \frac{s(\log d + \log t)}{\sqrt t}, \qquad t \ge t_1 .P{∥θ^t+1(lasso)​(λt+1​)−θ∥2≤ρ3​t​s(logd+logt)​}≥1−κ3​t​s(logd+logt)​,t≥t1​.

Significance

Theorem 3 says that a seller facing many potentially relevant customer characteristics, without knowing which matter and under a nonlinear demand link such as logit, loses revenue at a rate governed by the number sss of relevant characteristics and only logarithmically by the total number ddd. Combined with the paper's sTs\sqrt TsT​ lower bound (Theorem 1, for the linear model), it makes ILQX first-order optimal up to logarithmic factors. An unregularized policy would pay order dTd\sqrt TdT​, which is linear in TTT when ddd exceeds T\sqrt TT​.

The paper's proofs are in its electronic companion, which this mission does not reproduce; no machine-checked version of the result exists. A complete formalization would also produce a reusable high-probability error bound for lasso-regularized quasi-likelihood estimation under adaptively collected data (Lemma 3), and a machine-checked model of feature-based dynamic pricing on which related policies can be stated.

Difficulty

The estimation error must be controlled on data collected by the policy itself. The design vectors uk=[1;mi(k)]⊗Xku_k = [1; m_{i(k)}] \otimes X_kuk​=[1;mi(k)​]⊗Xk​ use only two prices, so the information about the price sensitivity accrues only from the Θ(t)\Theta(\sqrt t)Θ(t​) experimental periods. Standard lasso error bounds assume a fixed or i.i.d. design and a restricted-eigenvalue condition on it; here a restricted-eigenvalue-type property of the random Kronecker design must be derived from ΣZ≻0\Sigma_Z \succ 0ΣZ​≻0 and m1≠m2m_1 \ne m_2m1​=m2​, and the noise enters through a martingale whose conditional law may depend on past prices. The quasi-likelihood is not a least-squares objective, so the curvature comes from the bounds ℓ~≤g′≤u~\tilde\ell \le g' \le \tilde uℓ~≤g′≤u~, which hold only on the bounded domain {θ⋅u(p,x):θ∈Θ}\{\theta \cdot u(p,x) : \theta \in \Theta\}{θ⋅u(p,x):θ∈Θ} and not at an unconstrained estimate. Finally, the regret bound has to turn a squared-error bound holding with probability 1−O(slog⁡(dt)/t)1 - O(s \log(dt)/\sqrt t)1−O(slog(dt)/t​) into an expected revenue loss, which requires the revenue loss to be second order in the parameter error at an interior optimum.

Formalization scope

  • Coordinates. x∈Rd+1x \in \mathbb R^{d+1}x∈Rd+1 is Fin (d+1) → ℝ with the intercept at index 0; θ\thetaθ is Fin 2 × Fin (d+1) → ℝ with θ(0,i)=αi\theta(0,i) = \alpha_iθ(0,i)=αi​, θ(1,i)=βi\theta(1,i) = \beta_iθ(1,i)=βi​. Periods are 1-based. d≥1d \ge 1d≥1.
  • Objective. The integrated form ∑kχk(Dk (θ~⋅uk)−∫0θ~⋅ukg)−λ∥θ~∥1\sum_k \chi_k \big(D_k\,(\tilde\theta \cdot u_k) - \int_0^{\tilde\theta \cdot u_k} g\big) - \lambda \|\tilde\theta\|_1∑k​χk​(Dk​(θ~⋅uk​)−∫0θ~⋅uk​​g)−λ∥θ~∥1​, which differs from the paper's (17) by a term not depending on θ~\tilde\thetaθ~ and therefore has the same maximizers.
  • Estimator. Any measurable selection that is a maximizer whenever one exists; the theorems hold for every such selection. The paper's claim that (17) is strictly concave with a unique maximizer fails when 2(d+1)2(d+1)2(d+1) exceeds the rank of the design.
  • Policy. The price is defined by strong recursion over the realized history; the estimator sees θ\thetaθ only through the realized demands.
  • Regret is a lower Lebesgue integral of nonnegative losses; conditional moments of the shocks use the conditional Lebesgue expectation; probabilities are compared in [0,∞][0, \infty][0,∞].
  • Standing assumptions formalized: i.i.d. measurable features in a compact Z\mathcal ZZ inside a Euclidean ball, mean zero, positive definite ΣZ\Sigma_ZΣZ​; fresh customers (Zt+1Z_{t+1}Zt+1​ independent of the past); sub-Gaussian martingale-difference shocks; m1≠m2m_1 \ne m_2m1​=m2​ in [ℓ,u][\ell, u][ℓ,u]; ggg differentiable and increasing with derivative bounds on the relevant domain (endnote 2 states them as a consequence, which is false; here they are a hypothesis); φ\varphiφ an unconstrained revenue maximizer in (ℓ,u)(\ell, u)(ℓ,u) whose pricing map after projection and feature augmentation is measurable. The processes are constrained only at the used periods t≥1t\ge1t≥1.
  • Added hypotheses, per θ\thetaθ: s(θ)≥1s(\theta) \ge 1s(θ)≥1 (the paper's s∈{1,…,d+1}s \in \{1, \dots, d+1\}s∈{1,…,d+1}), and almost surely every realized demand lies in the closure of the range of ggg, which guarantees that a maximizer of (17) exists (true for the linear link and for binary demand under a logit link).
  • Not formalized: the paper's support condition on continuous features; Remark 7's independence of C~\tilde CC~ from ddd; dependence of the shock law on θ\thetaθ (the shocks are one fixed process).
  • Ruled-out trivializations. The regret cannot vanish by non-integrability; the estimator cannot be an arbitrary function, since it must maximize the objective; C~\tilde CC~ and κ3,ρ3,t1\kappa_3, \rho_3, t_1κ3​,ρ3​,t1​ are chosen before θ\thetaθ, so they cannot absorb sss; the hypotheses are jointly satisfiable (a linear-link instance with d=1d = 1d=1 is checked).

Contributions welcome: existence of a measurable maximizer of the objective, the counting lemma, and supporting lemmas for Lemma 3 and the regret bound.

Selected references

  • G.-Y. Ban and N. B. Keskin, Personalized Dynamic Pricing with Machine Learning: High-Dimensional Features and Heterogeneous Elasticity, Management Science 67(9):5549–5568, 2021. https://doi.org/10.1287/mnsc.2020.3680
  • A. V. den Boer and B. Zwart, Simultaneously Learning and Optimizing Using Controlled Variance Pricing, Management Science 60(3):770–783, 2014. https://doi.org/10.1287/mnsc.2013.1788
  • N. B. Keskin and A. Zeevi, Dynamic Pricing with an Unknown Demand Model: Asymptotically Optimal Semi-Myopic Policies, Operations Research 62(5):1142–1167, 2014. https://doi.org/10.1287/opre.2014.1294
  • A. Javanmard and H. Nazerzadeh, Dynamic Pricing in High-Dimensions, Journal of Machine Learning Research 20(9):1–49, 2019. https://jmlr.org/papers/v20/17-357.html
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Faster First-Order Primal-Dual Methods for Linear Programming using Restarts and Sharpness II: Fixed-Frequency Restarts Shrink the Distance to the Solution Set by β per Restart on Sharp ProblemsResearch Paper

Motivation

Linear programs at very large scale are increasingly solved by first-order primal-dual methods, which use only matrix-vector products instead of matrix factorizations. Such methods parallelize well and have a small memory footprint, but on their own they are slow to reach moderate or high accuracy. Applegate, Hinder, Lu and Lubin (arXiv:2105.12715, Math. Program. 2022) showed that periodically restarting a primal-dual method from the average of its iterates turns its sublinear ergodic rate into a linear rate on sharp problems, a class that contains every linear program. The analysis underlies PDLP, a restarted PDHG solver studied computationally by Applegate et al. (arXiv:2106.04756) and shipped in Google OR-Tools.

This mission formalizes the paper's first convergence theorem: with restarts at a fixed frequency, the distance from the restart points to the solution set shrinks by a factor β\betaβ per restart.

Setting

Let X⊆RnX \subseteq \mathbb R^nX⊆Rn and Y⊆RmY \subseteq \mathbb R^mY⊆Rm be closed convex sets and let L(x,y)L(x, y)L(x,y) be differentiable, convex in xxx and concave in yyy. Problem (1) is

min⁡x∈Xmax⁡y∈YL(x,y),\min_{x \in X} \max_{y \in Y} L(x, y),x∈Xmin​y∈Ymax​L(x,y),

with feasible region Z=X×YZ = X \times YZ=X×Y and primal-dual points z=(x,y)z = (x, y)z=(x,y). Its solution set Z⋆Z^\starZ⋆ is the set of saddle points z⋆∈Zz^\star \in Zz⋆∈Z: L(x⋆,y′)≤L(x⋆,y⋆)≤L(x′,y⋆)L(x^\star, y') \le L(x^\star, y^\star) \le L(x', y^\star)L(x⋆,y′)≤L(x⋆,y⋆)≤L(x′,y⋆) for all x′∈Xx' \in Xx′∈X, y′∈Yy' \in Yy′∈Y. Throughout, Z⋆≠∅Z^\star \neq \emptysetZ⋆=∅.

Distances are measured in a semi-norm ∥⋅∥\|\cdot\|∥⋅∥, which the paper allows in order to cover ADMM. Write dist⁡(z,Z⋆)=inf⁡z⋆∈Z⋆∥z−z⋆∥\operatorname{dist}(z, Z^\star) = \inf_{z^\star \in Z^\star}\|z - z^\star\|dist(z,Z⋆)=infz⋆∈Z⋆​∥z−z⋆∥, diam⁡(S)=sup⁡s,s′∈S∥s−s′∥\operatorname{diam}(S) = \sup_{s, s' \in S}\|s - s'\|diam(S)=sups,s′∈S​∥s−s′∥, and Wr(z)={z^∈Z:∥z−z^∥≤r}W_r(z) = \{\hat z \in Z : \|z - \hat z\| \le r\}Wr​(z)={z^∈Z:∥z−z^∥≤r}. The primal-dual gap (3) at zzz is sup⁡z^∈Z{L(x,y^)−L(x^,y)}\sup_{\hat z \in Z}\{L(x, \hat y) - L(\hat x, y)\}supz^∈Z​{L(x,y^​)−L(x^,y)}, and the normalized duality gap (4a)–(4b) is

ρr(z)=1rsup⁡z^∈Wr(z){L(x,y^)−L(x^,y)}(r>0),ρ0(z)=lim sup⁡r→0+ρr(z).\rho_r(z) = \frac{1}{r}\sup_{\hat z \in W_r(z)}\{L(x, \hat y) - L(\hat x, y)\} \quad (r > 0), \qquad \rho_0(z) = \limsup_{r \to 0^+}\rho_r(z).ρr​(z)=r1​z^∈Wr​(z)sup​{L(x,y^​)−L(x^,y)}(r>0),ρ0​(z)=r→0+limsup​ρr​(z).

By Definition 1, problem (1) is α\alphaα-sharp on S⊆ZS \subseteq ZS⊆Z if αdist⁡(z,Z⋆)≤ρr(z)\alpha\operatorname{dist}(z, Z^\star) \le \rho_r(z)αdist(z,Z⋆)≤ρr​(z) for all z∈Sz \in Sz∈S and all r∈(0,diam⁡(S)]r \in (0, \operatorname{diam}(S)]r∈(0,diam(S)].

The base method is abstract. From a start z0z^0z0 it outputs averaged points zˉt\bar z^tzˉt, t≥1t \ge 1t≥1. It has Property 3 with constants q,C>0q, C > 0q,C>0 if, for every start z0∈Zz^0 \in Zz0∈Z and every t≥1t \ge 1t≥1, zˉt∈Z\bar z^t \in Zzˉt∈Z and

i. ρ∥zˉt−z0∥(zˉt)≤2C∥zˉt−z0∥/t\rho_{\|\bar z^t - z^0\|}(\bar z^t) \le 2C\|\bar z^t - z^0\|/tρ∥zˉt−z0∥​(zˉt)≤2C∥zˉt−z0∥/t,

ii. ∥zˉt−z0∥≤(q+2)dist⁡(z0,Z⋆)\|\bar z^t - z^0\| \le (q + 2)\operatorname{dist}(z^0, Z^\star)∥zˉt−z0∥≤(q+2)dist(z0,Z⋆).

Algorithm 1 with fixed-frequency restarts (29) runs the base method from zn,0z^{n,0}zn,0 for

t⋆=⌈2C(q+2)αβ⌉t^\star = \left\lceil \frac{2C(q+2)}{\alpha\beta}\right\rceilt⋆=⌈αβ2C(q+2)​⌉

steps, sets zn+1,0=zˉn,t⋆z^{n+1,0} = \bar z^{n,t^\star}zn+1,0=zˉn,t⋆, and repeats, with β∈(0,1)\beta \in (0, 1)β∈(0,1).

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem 1 (p. 17)

If the base method has Property 3 and (1) is α\alphaα-sharp on WR(z0,0)W_R(z^{0,0})WR​(z0,0) with R=q+21−βdist⁡(z0,0,Z⋆)R = \frac{q+2}{1-\beta}\operatorname{dist}(z^{0,0}, Z^\star)R=1−βq+2​dist(z0,0,Z⋆), then for every n≥0n \ge 0n≥0

dist⁡(zn,0,Z⋆)≤βndist⁡(z0,0,Z⋆).(31)\operatorname{dist}(z^{n,0}, Z^\star) \le \beta^n \operatorname{dist}(z^{0,0}, Z^\star). \tag{31}dist(zn,0,Z⋆)≤βndist(z0,0,Z⋆).(31)

Milestones

  1. Proposition 5 (p. 11): for z∈Zz \in Zz∈Z, ρr(z)\rho_r(z)ρr​(z) is non-increasing in r∈[0,∞)r \in [0, \infty)r∈[0,∞).
  2. Proposition 6 (p. 11): for z∈Zz \in Zz∈Z and r≥0r \ge 0r≥0, the primal-dual gap at zzz is zero if and only if ρr(z)=0\rho_r(z) = 0ρr​(z)=0.
  3. Proposition 8 (p. 17): under Property 3, ∥zˉt−z0∥=0\|\bar z^t - z^0\| = 0∥zˉt−z0∥=0 implies zˉt∈Z⋆\bar z^t \in Z^\starzˉt∈Z⋆.
  4. First display of the proof of Theorem 1 (p. 17): if (31) holds for all n≤Nn \le Nn≤N, then ∥zN+1,0−z0,0∥≤R\|z^{N+1,0} - z^{0,0}\| \le R∥zN+1,0−z0,0∥≤R, so zN+1,0∈WR(z0,0)z^{N+1,0} \in W_R(z^{0,0})zN+1,0∈WR​(z0,0).
  5. Display (32) (p. 17): if zN,0,zN+1,0∈WR(z0,0)z^{N,0}, z^{N+1,0} \in W_R(z^{0,0})zN,0,zN+1,0∈WR​(z0,0), then
dist⁡(zN+1,0,Z⋆)≤βdist⁡(zN,0,Z⋆).\operatorname{dist}(z^{N+1,0}, Z^\star) \le \beta\operatorname{dist}(z^{N,0}, Z^\star).dist(zN+1,0,Z⋆)≤βdist(zN,0,Z⋆).

Companion statements

Proposition 2 (p. 8) and Proposition 4 (p. 10) show where Property 3 comes from. A generic algorithm (6) with iterates ztz^tzt and targets z^t\hat z^tz^t has Property 1 with CCC if L(x^t+1,y)−L(x,y^t+1)≤C2∥z−zt∥2−C2∥z−zt+1∥2L(\hat x^{t+1}, y) - L(x, \hat y^{t+1}) \le \frac C2\|z - z^t\|^2 - \frac C2\|z - z^{t+1}\|^2L(x^t+1,y)−L(x,y^​t+1)≤2C​∥z−zt∥2−2C​∥z−zt+1∥2 for every z∈Zz \in Zz∈Z (12). It has Property 2 with qqq if ∥z^t−zt∥≤qdist⁡(zt,Z⋆)\|\hat z^t - z^t\| \le q\operatorname{dist}(z^t, Z^\star)∥z^t−zt∥≤qdist(zt,Z⋆) or ∥z^t−zt−1∥≤qdist⁡(zt,Z⋆)\|\hat z^t - z^{t-1}\| \le q\operatorname{dist}(z^t, Z^\star)∥z^t−zt−1∥≤qdist(zt,Z⋆).

  • Proposition 2: Property 1 gives non-expansiveness ∥zt+1−z⋆∥≤∥zt−z⋆∥\|z^{t+1} - z^\star\| \le \|z^t - z^\star\|∥zt+1−z⋆∥≤∥zt−z⋆∥ and the ergodic rate L(xˉt,y)−L(x,yˉt)≤C∥z−z0∥2/(2t)L(\bar x^t, y) - L(x, \bar y^t) \le C\|z - z^0\|^2/(2t)L(xˉt,y)−L(x,yˉ​t)≤C∥z−z0∥2/(2t).
  • Proposition 4: Properties 1 and 2 give Property 3 for the averages zˉt=1t∑i=1tz^i\bar z^t = \frac1t\sum_{i=1}^t \hat z^izˉt=t1​∑i=1t​z^i, with the same qqq and CCC.

Fact 1 (p. 11), that rρr(z)r\rho_r(z)rρr​(z) is non-decreasing in rrr, is included as well.

Significance

Theorem 1 converts any primal-dual method with an O(1/t)O(1/t)O(1/t) ergodic rate on the normalized duality gap into a linearly convergent method on sharp problems. The rate is O(Cαlog⁡1ϵ)O\big(\frac{C}{\alpha}\log\frac1\epsilon\big)O(αC​logϵ1​) iterations to reach dist⁡(z,Z⋆)≤ϵ\operatorname{dist}(z, Z^\star) \le \epsilondist(z,Z⋆)≤ϵ (Remark 3). Through Proposition 4 it applies to PPM, EGM, PDHG and ADMM. Combined with the paper's Lemma 5, which shows that linear programs are sharp with α\alphaα the inverse of a Hoffman constant, it yields linear convergence of restarted PDHG for LP. The paper also shows that this rate matches a lower bound for a general class of primal-dual methods.

The result is proved in the paper. As far as is known, no part of it, and no normalized duality gap or primal-dual sharpness notion, has a machine-checked proof. The mission adds a checked version of the restart argument, with every degenerate case resolved: zero displacements, unbounded balls, and semi-norms that are not norms.

Difficulty

Each proof is short, but the statements are delicate in ways the paper passes over.

  • The paper's argmax over Wr(z)W_r(z)Wr​(z) need not exist under a semi-norm, and ρr(z)\rho_r(z)ρr​(z) may be +∞+\infty+∞. Proposition 5 therefore has to be proved with suprema, through the convex-combination scaling z+r1r2(z^−z)z + \frac{r_1}{r_2}(\hat z - z)z+r2​r1​​(z^−z), not with a maximizer.
  • Sharpness is only available at radii in (0,diam⁡(WR(z0,0))](0, \operatorname{diam}(W_R(z^{0,0}))](0,diam(WR​(z0,0))] and only at points of WR(z0,0)W_R(z^{0,0})WR​(z0,0). So the induction in Theorem 1 must carry two facts together: the contraction (31), and the fact that every restart point stays in WR(z0,0)W_R(z^{0,0})WR​(z0,0).
  • The step size r=∥zN+1,0−zN,0∥r = \|z^{N+1,0} - z^{N,0}\|r=∥zN+1,0−zN,0∥ may be zero, which is why Proposition 8, and through it Propositions 5 and 6 at r=0r = 0r=0, is needed.

A direct contraction argument that applies sharpness at an arbitrary radius, or on all of ZZZ, does not prove the theorem as stated.

Formalization scope

  • Rn\mathbb R^nRn and Rm\mathbb R^mRm are EuclideanSpace ℝ (Fin n) and EuclideanSpace ℝ (Fin m). n=0n = 0n=0 and m=0m = 0m=0 are allowed.
  • The semi-norm is an arbitrary Seminorm ℝ on their product, never the product's built-in norm.
  • The primal-dual gap, ρr\rho_rρr​ and diam⁡\operatorname{diam}diam are suprema in EReal, so unbounded sets give +∞+\infty+∞ and not a junk 000. dist⁡(⋅,Z⋆)\operatorname{dist}(\cdot, Z^\star)dist(⋅,Z⋆) is a real infimum over the nonempty set Z⋆Z^\starZ⋆.
  • The base method is a map from starts to sets of admissible output sequences, because a primal-dual step can be an argmin and need not be single-valued. Property 3 quantifies over every start in ZZZ and every run, with qqq and CCC fixed first.
  • The restart length is the natural number ⌈2C(q+2)/(αβ)⌉\lceil 2C(q+2)/(\alpha\beta)\rceil⌈2C(q+2)/(αβ)⌉, and every inner loop has exactly this length.

Standing assumptions and added hypotheses:

  • XXX and YYY are closed and convex, and LLL is convex-concave and differentiable on the whole space.
  • Z⋆≠∅Z^\star \neq \emptysetZ⋆=∅ replaces the page's "non-empty feasible region and bounded optimal value".
  • α>0\alpha > 0α>0 is assumed.
  • Property 1 is required for every t≥0t \ge 0t≥0, although the paper's N\mathbb NN starts at one: the proof of Proposition 2 telescopes from z0z^0z0.
  • The iterates of a generic algorithm stay in ZZZ, which the page leaves implicit.

Departures from the page:

  • Proposition 8 asserts only zˉt∈Z⋆\bar z^t \in Z^\starzˉt∈Z⋆. The page's "zˉn,t=zn,0\bar z^{n,t} = z^{n,0}zˉn,t=zn,0" does not follow under a semi-norm.
  • Milestones that do not use a standing assumption drop it.

The goal is not trivialized by its hypotheses. A companion check file exhibits L(x,y)=xyL(x, y) = xyL(x,y)=xy on R×R\mathbb R \times \mathbb RR×R, with the sup norm and an oracle base method, on which every hypothesis of Theorem 1 holds and dist⁡(z0,0,Z⋆)=1\operatorname{dist}(z^{0,0}, Z^\star) = 1dist(z0,0,Z⋆)=1. Sharpness is assumed only where Definition 1 and the theorem assume it: replacing WR(z0,0)W_R(z^{0,0})WR​(z0,0) by ZZZ, or the radius range by all r>0r > 0r>0, would weaken the theorem.

A complete development needs elementary facts about suprema in EReal, Jensen's inequality for convex-concave functions on averages, and geometric sums. The definitions of ρr\rho_rρr​, sharpness and Property 3 are reusable for the adaptive-restart theorem of the same paper (Theorem 2, a separate mission) and for other restart analyses. Proofs of any milestone or companion are welcome.

Selected references

  • D. Applegate, O. Hinder, H. Lu, M. Lubin, Faster First-Order Primal-Dual Methods for Linear Programming using Restarts and Sharpness, Math. Program. (2022); arXiv:2105.12715v4. https://arxiv.org/abs/2105.12715 · https://doi.org/10.1007/s10107-022-01901-9
  • D. Applegate, M. Díaz, O. Hinder, H. Lu, M. Lubin, B. O'Donoghue, W. Schudy, Practical Large-Scale Linear Programming using Primal-Dual Hybrid Gradient, NeurIPS 2021. https://arxiv.org/abs/2106.04756
  • A. Chambolle, T. Pock, A First-Order Primal-Dual Algorithm for Convex Problems with Applications to Imaging, J. Math. Imaging Vision 40 (2011). https://doi.org/10.1007/s10851-010-0251-1
  • A. Nemirovski, Prox-Method with Rate of Convergence O(1/t) for Variational Inequalities with Lipschitz Continuous Monotone Operators and Smooth Convex-Concave Saddle Point Problems, SIAM J. Optim. 15 (2004). https://doi.org/10.1137/S1052623403425629
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Algorithmic Game TheoryOperations ResearchTheoretical Computer Science·Captain: mikedeng1

Prophet Inequalities Made Easy: Stochastic Optimization by Pricing Nonstochastic Inputs III: Under a Consistent Allocation Rule, (α, β)-Balanced Prices Are Closed Under Maxima of ValuationsResearch Paper

Motivation

Posted prices turn an offline allocation problem into a sequential choice process: each agent sees a menu of outcomes and prices, then chooses an outcome without revealing its full valuation. The balanced prices framework of Dütting, Feldman, Kesselheim, and Lucier gives welfare guarantees by comparing the revenue collected from an allocation with the welfare that remains feasible after it. Its appeal is that the comparison can be checked in a deterministic full-information setting before any probability distribution over valuations enters the analysis. Dütting et al., 2020

One valuation class at a time would make that framework difficult to reuse. Combinatorial auction valuations are often built by taking pointwise maxima of simpler valuations or by adding values from separate markets. Section 5 of the paper asks whether a price construction balanced for the simple class remains balanced after these operations. Theorem 5.3 gives the maximum closure result; Theorem 5.4 gives addition across markets. Appendix B extends both to the weaker balancing condition used elsewhere in the paper. Dütting et al., 2020, §5 and Appendix B

Setting

There are nnn agents in a fixed order. Agent iii receives an outcome xix_ixi​ from a space XiX_iXi​ containing a null outcome. A profile x=(xi)ix=(x_i)_ix=(xi​)i​ is feasible when it lies in F\mathcal FF. The model assumes downward closure: removing the outcomes of any group of agents from a feasible profile keeps it feasible. For a set of agents SSS, write xSx_SxS​ for the profile retaining xix_ixi​ on SSS and assigning the null outcome elsewhere. The prefix x[i−1]x_{[i-1]}x[i−1]​ retains only the agents before iii. Dütting et al., 2020, §2

A valuation profile vvv assigns each agent a function vi:Xi→Rv_i:X_i\to\mathbb Rvi​:Xi​→R. The welfare of xxx is v(x)=∑ivi(xi)v(x)=\sum_i v_i(x_i)v(x)=∑i​vi​(xi​). Every base valuation takes values in [0,1][0,1][0,1], the normalization stated in §2. For any set SSS of profiles, v(OPT⁡(v,S))v(\operatorname{OPT}(v,S))v(OPT(v,S)) denotes the best welfare achievable in SSS. An allocation rule ALG chooses a feasible profile from a valuation profile. A pricing rule assigns a nonnegative, possibly infinite price pi(xi∣y)p_i(x_i\mid y)pi​(xi​∣y) to outcome xix_ixi​ when the partial profile is yyy; an infeasible extension has infinite price. Dütting et al., 2020, pp. 547–548

An exchange-compatible family (Fx)x∈X(\mathcal F_x)_{x\in X}(Fx​)x∈X​ specifies a set of comparison profiles for each profile xxx. It is exchange compatible when replacing any one coordinate of xxx by the corresponding coordinate of any y∈Fxy\in\mathcal F_xy∈Fx​ gives a feasible profile. This property is required for every xxx in the full outcome space. A rule pvp^vpv is (α,β)(\alpha,\beta)(α,β)-balanced for valuation vvv, ALG, and that family, for constants α>0\alpha>0α>0 and β≥0\beta\ge0β≥0 (Definition 3.1), when both inequalities hold for every feasible xxx and every x′∈Fxx'\in\mathcal F_xx′∈Fx​:

v(ALG⁡(v))−v(OPT⁡(v,Fx))α≤∑ipiv(xi∣x[i−1]),∑ipiv(xi′∣x[i−1])≤βv(OPT⁡(v,Fx)).\frac{v(\operatorname{ALG}(v))-v(\operatorname{OPT}(v,\mathcal F_x))}{\alpha} \le \sum_i p_i^v(x_i\mid x_{[i-1]}), \qquad \sum_i p_i^v(x'_i\mid x_{[i-1]}) \le \beta v(\operatorname{OPT}(v,\mathcal F_x)).αv(ALG(v))−v(OPT(v,Fx​))​≤i∑​piv​(xi​∣x[i−1]​),i∑​piv​(xi′​∣x[i−1]​)≤βv(OPT(v,Fx​)).

The maximum extension Vimax⁡V_i^{\max}Vimax​ of a base valuation space ViV_iVi​ consists of nonempty finite pointwise maxima of elements of ViV_iVi​. A base profile v~\tilde vv~ supports an extended profile vvv at xxx if v~i≤vi\tilde v_i\le v_iv~i​≤vi​ at every outcome and v~i(xi)=vi(xi)\tilde v_i(x_i)=v_i(x_i)v~i​(xi​)=vi​(xi​) for every agent. ALG is consistent when v~(ALG⁡(v~))≥v~(ALG⁡(v))\tilde v(\operatorname{ALG}(\tilde v))\ge\tilde v(\operatorname{ALG}(v))v~(ALG(v~))≥v~(ALG(v)) whenever v~\tilde vv~ supports vvv at ALG⁡(v)\operatorname{ALG}(v)ALG(v). The optimal allocation rule has this property by Lemma 5.2. Dütting et al., 2020, p. 554

Formalization targets

Closure under maxima

The goal is Theorem 5.3. Given one exchange-compatible family and a collection (pw)w∈V(p^w)_{w\in V}(pw)w∈V​ balanced for every base profile, consistency of ALG preserves the same constants for every extended profile and every corresponding supporting base profile:

v∈Vmax⁡,v~∈V supports v at ALG⁡(v)⟹pv~ is (α,β)-balanced for v.v\in V^{\max},\quad \tilde v\in V\text{ supports }v\text{ at }\operatorname{ALG}(v) \quad\Longrightarrow\quad p^{\tilde v}\text{ is }(\alpha,\beta)\text{-balanced for }v.v∈Vmax,v~∈V supports v at ALG(v)⟹pv~ is (α,β)-balanced for v.

The milestone list records the welfare supremum comparison and the two price inequalities in the paper's proof. The family Fx\mathcal F_xFx​ remains the same for all base and extended profiles. Dütting et al., 2020, Theorem 5.3 and proof

Closure under addition and weak balancedness

Theorem 5.4 treats mmm separate allocation problems. The joint outcome and feasible set are products; values and prices add across components; ALG applies each component's rule. It asserts balancedness with the same α\alphaα and β\betaβ. Appendix B changes the second balancedness bound to β1v(OPT⁡(v,Fx))+β2v(ALG⁡(v))\beta_1v(\operatorname{OPT}(v,\mathcal F_x))+\beta_2v(\operatorname{ALG}(v))β1​v(OPT(v,Fx​))+β2​v(ALG(v)) and requires strong consistency for maximum closure. Theorems B.2 and B.3 preserve α,β1,β2\alpha,\beta_1,\beta_2α,β1​,β2​ under maxima and addition, respectively. Dütting et al., 2020, Theorems 5.4, B.2, B.3

Significance

The maximum closure theorem lets a balanced-price construction for a simple valuation class cover finite maxima of that class without worsening its balancing constants. The addition theorem lets separately priced markets be combined by summing prices. Together these two operations account for the XOS composition discussed immediately after Theorem 5.4; the paper uses the results to connect its general framework to combinatorial auctions and multidimensional matroid settings. Dütting et al., 2020, p. 555

These results have paper proofs. The work here is to state their exact deterministic content in Lean so later formalizations of the price constructions can import the closure theorems. The definitions of supporting valuations, exchange-compatible families, and extended-real prices are reusable beyond this mission. The companion statements keep the product-market and weak-balancedness variants alongside the central theorem, while their proofs remain to be formalized.

Difficulty

For maximum closure, the prices are indexed by a base profile v~\tilde vv~ but must be balanced for a different profile vvv that is pointwise larger. A supporting profile agrees with vvv only at ALG's outcome ALG⁡(v)\operatorname{ALG}(v)ALG(v), while condition (a) refers to ALG⁡(v~)\operatorname{ALG}(\tilde v)ALG(v~), an outcome ALG chooses for a different input, and both conditions refer to optimal welfare over Fx\mathcal F_xFx​, where v~\tilde vv~ and vvv can differ. Balancedness of pv~p^{\tilde v}pv~ for v~\tilde vv~ therefore says nothing about vvv on its own; without a hypothesis tying ALG's choices for vvv and v~\tilde vv~ together the statement is false, which is why consistency (Definition 5.1) is part of the theorem. The formal statement must keep the real-valued optimum meaningful for maxima of base valuations, so the [0,1][0,1][0,1] normalization of §2 is carried through to Vmax⁡V^{\max}Vmax. Dütting et al., 2020, Definition 5.1 and Theorem 5.3

For addition, a direct product of the component comparison families has an edge case: a component family can be empty while another is nonempty. The paper's displayed product family then makes the lower balancedness inequality too strong. The theorem statements ask for an exchange-compatible family to exist, as the printed theorems do; they do not require that failing product family. This discrepancy is recorded for review. Dütting et al., 2020, proof of Theorem 5.4

Formalization scope

Agents and markets use zero-based finite indices; the paper writes agent indices from one. A profile's prefix contains exactly the agents with smaller indices. Valuations are functions to R\mathbb RR with base values in [0,1][0,1][0,1]. The maximum extension uses a nonempty finite set of base functions, so its maximum is defined at every outcome. Optimal welfare is a real supremum; bounded valuations keep it finite, and the empty set has value zero. Prices are extended nonnegative reals so +∞+\infty+∞ is retained. The lower balancedness inequality embeds its real right side using ofReal, which handles a negative lower bound consistently with nonnegative prices. The upper inequality keeps the price sum in extended reals.

The maximum theorem quantifies over every extended profile and every supporting base profile, including genuinely new maxima. It keeps one exchange-compatible family for all valuations. The maximum-closure theorems require every base price to satisfy the pricing-rule condition and conclude it for the supporting price. ALG feasibility is assumed on Vmax⁡V^{\max}Vmax, which contains the base profiles. The product theorems construct joint outcomes, additive values, componentwise ALG, and summed prices from the component data; they do not admit an unrelated joint allocation rule. Downward closure and a zero price for the null outcome at feasible partial allocations are included for the product statements. The latter is a disclosed assumption satisfied by the paper's pricing examples and needed to handle empty component families. No distribution or posted-price run is part of this deterministic mission. Lemma 5.2 and the strong-consistency companion take an optimal rule to be one that attains the welfare supremum over F\mathcal FF on every profile in Vmax⁡V^{\max}Vmax, the profiles to which Definitions 5.1 and B.1 apply it; the product companions additionally conclude that the summed prices form a pricing rule (infinite off F\mathcal FF). Their ALG feasibility premise concerns the component profiles supplied in the theorem.

The development needs finite dependent products and sums, finite maxima, real suprema of bounded sets, and extended nonnegative arithmetic. Contributions proving the three maximum-closure milestones, the goal, or the product-market companions are all within scope. A proof that specializes the supporting profile to v~=v\tilde v=vv~=v would lose the intended maximum extension and does not satisfy the goal's universal quantification.

Selected references

  • P. Dütting, M. Feldman, T. Kesselheim, and B. Lucier, Prophet Inequalities Made Easy: Stochastic Optimization by Pricing Nonstochastic Inputs, SIAM Journal on Computing 49(3):540–582, 2020. DOI: 10.1137/20M1323850.
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Regret in Online Combinatorial Optimization II: Under Bandit Feedback Every Strategy Has Minimax Regret at Least 0.02 m√(dn) on Some Set of Actions with m OnesResearch Paper

Why bandit feedback matters

An online player repeatedly chooses a subset of coordinates and pays the sum of their losses. In many applications the player sees only that sum, not the losses of the selected coordinates. This bandit feedback makes it harder to identify which coordinate within each chosen subset is responsible for a favorable or unfavorable outcome. Audibert, Bubeck and Lugosi studied how this information limit changes regret in online combinatorial optimization. Their Theorem 5 establishes a lower bound that scales linearly with the number of selected coordinates and with the square root of the ambient dimension and horizon. Audibert, Bubeck and Lugosi, 2013, pp. 13–14

The result is part of a comparison among full-information, semi-bandit and bandit feedback in the same action model. Under full information the player sees the complete loss vector after each round; under semi-bandit feedback the player sees losses at selected coordinates; under bandit feedback the player sees only one scalar. The paper proves upper bounds for semi-bandit play and a bandit lower bound. The latter is the target of this mission. Audibert, Bubeck and Lugosi, 2013, pp. 2–3, 14

The game and its regret

Fix a dimension ddd, a horizon nnn, and a finite nonempty set A⊆{0,1}d\mathcal A\subseteq\{0,1\}^dA⊆{0,1}d. Each action a∈Aa\in\mathcal Aa∈A has exactly mmm entries equal to one. At round ttt, the player selects a probability distribution on A\mathcal AA, draws an action ata_tat​, and simultaneously an adversary selects a loss vector zt∈[0,1]dz_t\in[0,1]^dzt​∈[0,1]d. The player pays the scalar atTzta_t^\mathsf Tz_tatT​zt​. In the bandit protocol, that scalar is the only new information made available for the next round. A player strategy can use every previous action and observed scalar loss, and can randomize at every round. Audibert, Bubeck and Lugosi, 2013, pp. 2–3

The paper measures performance by pseudo-regret against the best fixed action in expectation:

Rn=E∑t=1natTzt−min⁡a∈AE∑t=1naTzt.R_n=\mathbb E\sum_{t=1}^{n}a_t^\mathsf Tz_t- \min_{a\in\mathcal A}\mathbb E\sum_{t=1}^{n}a^\mathsf Tz_t.Rn​=Et=1∑n​atT​zt​−a∈Amin​Et=1∑n​aTzt​.

The expectation covers the player's randomization and, when present, the adversary's randomization. This benchmark chooses one action for the whole horizon after comparing expected cumulative losses. It is the sole notion of regret used in the paper. Audibert, Bubeck and Lugosi, 2013, p. 2 and footnote 1

For the lower bound, the appendix arranges the ddd coordinates as mmm parallel games with k=d/mk=d/mk=d/m choices per game. An action selects one coordinate from each game. The adversary can associate a favoured choice α\alphaα with each game and assign independent Bernoulli losses whose means are 1/2−ϵ1/2-\epsilon1/2−ϵ at the favoured coordinates and 1/21/21/2 elsewhere. The player still sees only the sum of the mmm selected losses. These are the α\alphaα-adversaries that underlie the milestone statements. Audibert, Bubeck and Lugosi, 2013, pp. 16–17

Formalization targets

The goal is Theorem 5 with the divisibility condition used by its appendix construction. For n≥d≥2mn\ge d\ge2mn≥d≥2m and m∣dm\mid dm∣d, there is an action set A\mathcal AA such that every bandit strategy faces some bounded loss law with

Rn≥0.02 mdn.R_n\ge0.02\,m\sqrt{dn}.Rn​≥0.02mdn​.

The order of the choices is part of the claim: the action set is fixed first; then each player strategy may face its own adversary. The lower bound retains the paper's explicit constant 0.020.020.02. Audibert, Bubeck and Lugosi, 2013, p. 14, Theorem 5; p. 16

The milestones follow the appendix's stated results: Lemma 5 bounds a logarithm; Lemma 4 and its corrected second case bound the divergence between sums of independent Bernoulli variables; the one-round observation bound and the horizon bound control information revealed by bandit feedback. Equations (9), (10), and (11) connect that information to expected regret and symmetry. The final averaged bound on the chance of selecting a favoured choice closes the path to the goal. The milestones are stated for deterministic players, as in the first three steps of the appendix; the passage to randomized players (the appendix's fourth step) is part of the goal's proof and is not a separate milestone. Audibert, Bubeck and Lugosi, 2013, pp. 17–18, 20–21

What the result establishes

The theorem prevents a uniform regret guarantee of smaller order than mdnm\sqrt{dn}mdn​ for this bandit action model. It shows that aggregating mmm selected losses into a single observation imposes a cost beyond what a player can avoid by choosing a different randomized strategy. In particular, the quantifier over every strategy makes the claim about the feedback model, rather than about one named algorithm. The paper proves the result in Appendix B, with the Bernoulli-sum estimate in Appendix C. Audibert, Bubeck and Lugosi, 2013, pp. 14, 16–18, 20–21

The formalization work is to prove the existing paper result in Lean from a finite protocol that represents all behavioural player strategies, together with the finite laws of the appendix's adversaries. The resulting definitions of action paths, scalar observations, finite probability laws, and divergence estimates can support other finite-horizon bandit lower bounds. These statements are drafted as open Lean theorems; compilation checks their types, while proofs remain for solvers. The paper's mathematical proof does not itself constitute a machine-checked proof.

Where the difficulty lies

A scalar bandit observation sums losses from several games. The player cannot separate the contribution of the favoured coordinate in one game from the other selected losses by inspecting that observation. A bound for the divergence of a single Bernoulli variable therefore does not directly bound the information available to the player. The appendix's central estimate concerns sums of independent Bernoulli variables, followed by the law of the whole sequence of scalar observations. Audibert, Bubeck and Lugosi, 2013, pp. 16, 18, 20

There is also a correction to make explicit. Lemma 4 is false for some parameters allowed by its printed statement: taking n=ℓ=1n=\ell=1n=ℓ=1, p=q=1/2p=q=1/2p=q=1/2, and p′=0.001p'=0.001p′=0.001 violates the displayed bound. The error is in the second case of its proof, which applies Lemma 5 outside its range when p′<pp'<pp′<p. The mission states Lemma 4 with the additional condition p(1−p′)≤2p′(1−p)p(1-p')\le2p'(1-p)p(1−p′)≤2p′(1−p), which holds whenever p≤p′p\le p'p≤p′, and states the corrected second case separately: for q=p>p′q=p>p'q=p>p′, KL(B,B′)≤(p′−p)2/((1−p)p′(n+2))\mathrm{KL}(\mathcal B,\mathcal B')\le(p'-p)^2/((1-p)p'(n+2))KL(B,B′)≤(p′−p)2/((1−p)p′(n+2)). Through the corrected case, the one-round bound used by the goal holds for the full range 0<ϵ<1/20<\epsilon<1/20<ϵ<1/2, so Theorem 5 and its constant are unaffected. Audibert, Bubeck and Lugosi, 2013, pp. 20–21, Lemmas 4–5

Formalization scope

Actions are functions Fin(d)→R\mathrm{Fin}(d)\to\mathbb RFin(d)→R constrained to zero or one, with coordinate sum mmm. Coordinates and rounds are indexed from zero. A behavioural strategy maps every history of chosen actions and real-valued observed losses to a probability distribution on the finite action set. Its domain includes every real history, even though the appendix's particular Bernoulli adversaries generate integer observations. The strategy may randomize; restricting the goal to deterministic players or allowing it to inspect an unobserved loss vector would change the game.

The goal's exhibited adversary is an oblivious, finitely supported probability law on loss sequences in [0,1]n×d[0,1]^{n\times d}[0,1]n×d. It belongs to the broader adversary class of the paper, so this existential formulation is stronger. All expectations are finite sums. The regret comparator is a minimum over the nonempty action set, not a default value assigned to an empty set. The action set has binary entries and equal coordinate sums, and every loss lies in the unit interval; these clauses rule out trivial lower bounds from malformed actions or unbounded losses.

The hypothesis m∣dm\mid dm∣d is added to the printed theorem because Appendix B assumes it to partition coordinates into equally sized games. When m=0m=0m=0, it forces d=0d=0d=0 and the claimed lower bound is zero. The milestone model uses functions Fin(m)→Fin(k)\mathrm{Fin}(m)\to\mathrm{Fin}(k)Fin(m)→Fin(k) with d=mkd=mkd=mk, deterministic players, finite Bernoulli product laws, and a finite real KL sum. Its log ratios are meaningful on the common support ensured by the stated parameter bounds. Reusable contributions include the finite bandit protocol and observation laws, as well as proofs of the KL and averaging milestones.

Selected references

  • Jean-Yves Audibert, Sébastien Bubeck and Gábor Lugosi, Regret in Online Combinatorial Optimization, Mathematics of Operations Research 39(1), 2014. arXiv:1204.4710v2; DOI:10.1287/moor.2013.0598.
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Partially Observable Total-Cost Markov Decision Processes with Weakly Continuous Transition Probabilities 2: Setwise-Continuous Observations Do Not Make the Belief Transition Weakly ContinuousResearch Paper

Motivation

A partially observable Markov decision process describes a controlled system whose state is hidden but whose observations are available to a decision maker. The distribution of the hidden state conditional on the observations is the belief state. Replacing the hidden state by this distribution turns the model into a fully observed decision process, provided the resulting belief transition has the regularity needed by the usual existence and dynamic programming results. Feinberg, Kasyanov, and Zgurovsky give sufficient conditions for that regularity in their study of total-cost POMDPs, Theorems 3.6 and 3.7.

Their observation-kernel condition is continuity in total variation. Example 4.1 of the same paper tests its sharpness: the authors construct a two-state model with setwise-continuous observations for which the belief transition fails to be weakly continuous. This matters when selecting assumptions for a POMDP theorem. Setwise convergence already requires convergence of the probabilities of every fixed observation event, so it can look adequate for belief updates. The example shows that it is still too weak for the stated conclusion.

Setting

The hidden state space is X={1,2}X=\{1,2\}X={1,2} and the observation space is Y=[0,1]Y=[0,1]Y=[0,1] with Lebesgue probability measure mmm. The action space is A={0}∪{1/n:n=1,2,…}A=\{0\}\cup\{1/n:n=1,2,\ldots\}A={0}∪{1/n:n=1,2,…}, equipped with the topology inherited from R\mathbb RR. The state does not move: its transition law P(⋅∣x,a)P(\cdot\mid x,a)P(⋅∣x,a) is the point mass at xxx for every action. Its continuity in total variation is immediate from this fixed-state behavior.

At hidden state 1 the observation law is always mmm. At hidden state 2, action zero also produces mmm. Under action 1/n1/n1/n, state 2 produces a law m(n)=f(n)mm^{(n)}=f^{(n)}mm(n)=f(n)m. The density f(n)f^{(n)}f(n) equals zero on the open left half of each cell in the 2n2^n2n-part dyadic partition and equals two elsewhere, including the cell endpoints. Equation (4.1) gives the exact intervals. These laws oscillate more rapidly as nnn grows, and the paper establishes m(n)(C)→m(C)m^{(n)}(C)\to m(C)m(n)(C)→m(C) for every fixed Borel set CCC. Thus the observation kernel Q(⋅∣a,x)Q(\cdot\mid a,x)Q(⋅∣a,x) is setwise continuous even at the accumulation action zero. Example 4.1, pp. 13–14.

A belief z∈P(X)z\in\mathcal P(X)z∈P(X) assigns a probability to each hidden state. For a current belief zzz and an action aaa, the joint law R(⋅∣z,a)R(\cdot\mid z,a)R(⋅∣z,a) covers the next state and its observation, and R′(⋅∣z,a)R'(\cdot\mid z,a)R′(⋅∣z,a) is the observation marginal. A filter H(z,a,y)H(z,a,y)H(z,a,y) is a conditional law of the next state given observation yyy: it satisfies the disintegration identity (3.3). The belief transition qH(⋅∣z,a)q_H(\cdot\mid z,a)qH​(⋅∣z,a) is the law of the random posterior H(z,a,y)H(z,a,y)H(z,a,y) when yyy has law R′(⋅∣z,a)R'(\cdot\mid z,a)R′(⋅∣z,a). These objects are defined in (3.1)–(3.5) of the paper. Different versions of HHH agree only almost everywhere for each current belief and action, yet they yield the same belief transition.

Formalization targets

Example 4.1: failure of weak belief continuity

At the uniform belief z=(1/2,1/2)z=(1/2,1/2)z=(1/2,1/2), action zero reveals nothing, while every positive-index action produces the same two-point posterior law:

qH(⋅∣z,0)=δz,qH(⋅∣z,1/n)=34δ(1/3,2/3)+14δ(1,0)(n≥1).q_H(\cdot\mid z,0)=\delta_z,\qquad q_H(\cdot\mid z,1/n)=\tfrac34\delta_{(1/3,2/3)}+\tfrac14\delta_{(1,0)} \quad(n\ge1).qH​(⋅∣z,0)=δz​,qH​(⋅∣z,1/n)=43​δ(1/3,2/3)​+41​δ(1,0)​(n≥1).

The mission's goal asserts that PPP is total-variation continuous, QQQ is a setwise-continuous probability kernel, a valid filter exists, and the positive-index laws fail to converge weakly to the zero-action law as 1/n→01/n\to01/n→0. It states the failure for every filter satisfying (3.3), so it is a property of the POMDP rather than of a selected version of its conditional distribution. The milestone list follows the paper's assertions: setwise convergence of the dyadic laws, setwise continuity of QQQ, the two posterior values almost everywhere, and the explicit laws of qHq_HqH​.

Significance

The example identifies a precise boundary of the sufficient condition in Theorems 3.6 and 3.7. Those theorems use total-variation continuity of the observation law to obtain a weakly continuous belief transition; replacing that premise by setwise continuity makes their continuity conclusion false in this model. The explicit law also shows the size of the discrepancy: the positive-index belief transition has two fixed atoms, while the zero-action transition is concentrated at the original belief. Example 4.1, pp. 13–14.

A machine-checked development would add reusable definitions of sequential kernel continuity, the joint state-observation law, conditional filters, and the belief transition on the Borel space of probability measures. It would also formalize a concrete setwise-convergent sequence of densities whose induced posterior laws do not converge weakly. The paper proves the example; the Lean statements in this proposal are open proof targets, with no completed machine-checked proof claimed here.

Difficulty

Setwise continuity controls Q(C∣a,x)Q(C\mid a,x)Q(C∣a,x) for each fixed Borel set CCC. A posterior is a probability measure determined by the observation, and the belief transition tests the distribution of those posterior measures. The observation regions distinguishing the states change with nnn, so convergence on fixed observation sets does not imply convergence of their posterior distributions. This is the gap in the immediate argument that tries to pass from setwise convergence of QQQ to weak convergence of qHq_HqH​.

The conditional filter adds a second precision issue. Equation (3.3) determines its values only almost surely under the observation marginal, and different versions may disagree on null observations. Any claim about a posterior value at every yyy would exceed the source; the posterior milestone therefore has an almost-everywhere qualifier, while the goal quantifies over every valid version of HHH.

Formalization scope

Lean represents XXX by Fin 2, with 0 for the paper's state 1 and 1 for state 2; YYY by unitInterval; and AAA by the specified subtype of R\mathbb RR. Positive integers are a subtype of N\mathbb NN, so the density and the action 1/n1/n1/n are never evaluated at n=0n=0n=0. The measure mmm is volume on unitInterval, which has total mass one. The density follows (4.1) literally, with open zero intervals and density two at their endpoints. The general transition PPP and observation law QQQ use Mathlib kernels; the example instantiates them directly. The goal includes the probability-kernel property of the concrete QQQ and existence of a valid HHH, guarding the universal filter clause against vacuity.

Weak, setwise, and total-variation convergence are sequential, as on page 4. The weak test class consists of bounded continuous real functions; the setwise test class consists of all Borel sets. The target space of qHq_HqH​ carries the Borel σ-algebra of the weak topology on P(X)\mathcal P(X)P(X), stated explicitly because Mathlib's default measurable structure on that type is the Giry σ-algebra. The filter predicate requires measurability in yyy for fixed (z,a)(z,a)(z,a) in both structures. Joint measurability in (z,a,y)(z,a,y)(z,a,y) is described in the paper but is not encoded in this local predicate; only the fixed-parameter property is used by (3.3) and (3.5). This choice and its quantifier effect are recorded in the moderation notes.

No cost, initial observation kernel, initial prior, or discount factor enters Example 4.1. Contributions on the dyadic law, kernel continuity, conditional posterior values, and the resulting belief-law identity are all within scope. A filter hard-coded to return the prior belief, a discrete topology on AAA, or a claim for only one version of HHH would change the counterexample and is excluded by the definitions and goal.

Selected references

  • E. A. Feinberg, P. O. Kasyanov, and M. Z. Zgurovsky, Partially Observable Total-Cost Markov Decision Processes with Weakly Continuous Transition Probabilities, Mathematics of Operations Research 41(2), 2016; arXiv:1401.2168v2. This mission follows the pinned preprint's numbering and pages.
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Partially Observable Total-Cost Markov Decision Processes with Weakly Continuous Transition Probabilities 1: The Belief MDP Satisfies Assumption (W*) Under Total-Variation-Continuous ObservationsResearch Paper

Motivation

A partially observable Markov decision process (POMDP) models a controller that cannot see the state of the system it steers, only noisy observations of it. Inventory control with unrecorded demand, machine maintenance with imperfect inspection, and target tracking from sensor readings all have this form. The standard way to solve a POMDP is to replace it by its belief MDP, also called the completely observable MDP (COMDP): the state becomes the posterior distribution of the hidden state given everything observed so far. The belief MDP is fully observed, so the theory of Markov decision processes applies to it, but only if the belief MDP satisfies that theory's hypotheses. For MDPs with Borel state and action spaces, unbounded costs and possibly noncompact action sets, the hypothesis that yields optimality equations, convergence of value iterations and stationary optimal policies is Assumption (W*) of Feinberg, Kasyanov and Zadoianchuk (Math. Oper. Res. 2012): the cost is K\mathbb KK-inf-compact and the transition probability is weakly continuous.

Before Feinberg, Kasyanov and Zgurovsky (arXiv:1401.2168v2, published in Math. Oper. Res. 41(2), 2016), sufficient conditions for the belief MDP to be weakly continuous required a weakly continuous filter (Hernández-Lerma, 1989, as recalled on p. 11 of arXiv:1401.2168v2), a condition that fails in many natural models. The paper replaces it by a condition on the primitive data of the POMDP.

Setting

Let X\mathbb XX (states), Y\mathbb YY (observations) and A\mathbb AA (actions) be Borel subsets of Polish spaces. Let P(dx′∣x,a)P(dx' \mid x, a)P(dx′∣x,a) be the transition kernel on X\mathbb XX given X×A\mathbb X \times \mathbb AX×A, Q(dy∣a,x)Q(dy \mid a, x)Q(dy∣a,x) the observation kernel on Y\mathbb YY given A×X\mathbb A \times \mathbb XA×X, and c:X×A→R∪{+∞}c : \mathbb X \times \mathbb A \to \mathbb R \cup \{+\infty\}c:X×A→R∪{+∞} a Borel one-step cost bounded below. P(X)\mathbb P(\mathbb X)P(X) is the set of probability measures on X\mathbb XX with the topology of weak convergence (∫f dμn→∫f dμ\int f\,d\mu_n \to \int f\,d\mu∫fdμn​→∫fdμ for bounded continuous fff). A sequence μn\mu_nμn​ converges setwise if μn(C)→μ(C)\mu_n(C) \to \mu(C)μn​(C)→μ(C) for every Borel CCC, and in the total variation if sup⁡f∣∫f dμn−∫f dμ∣→0\sup_f |\int f\,d\mu_n - \int f\,d\mu| \to 0supf​∣∫fdμn​−∫fdμ∣→0 over Borel fff with values in [−1,1][-1, 1][−1,1]. A kernel is weakly (setwise, total-variation) continuous if xn→xx_n \to xxn​→x implies the corresponding convergence of the measures.

For a belief z∈P(X)z \in \mathbb P(\mathbb X)z∈P(X) and an action aaa, let R(B×C∣z,a)=∫X∫BQ(C∣a,x′) P(dx′∣x,a) z(dx)R(B \times C \mid z, a) = \int_{\mathbb X} \int_B Q(C \mid a, x')\,P(dx' \mid x, a)\,z(dx)R(B×C∣z,a)=∫X​∫B​Q(C∣a,x′)P(dx′∣x,a)z(dx) be the joint law of the next state and observation (3.1), and R′(C∣z,a)=R(X×C∣z,a)R'(C \mid z, a) = R(\mathbb X \times C \mid z, a)R′(C∣z,a)=R(X×C∣z,a) its observation marginal (3.2). A filter is a kernel H(dx∣z,a,y)H(dx \mid z, a, y)H(dx∣z,a,y) with R(B×C∣z,a)=∫CH(B∣z,a,y) R′(dy∣z,a)R(B \times C \mid z, a) = \int_C H(B \mid z, a, y)\,R'(dy \mid z, a)R(B×C∣z,a)=∫C​H(B∣z,a,y)R′(dy∣z,a) (3.3): H(z,a,y)H(z, a, y)H(z,a,y) is the posterior after observing yyy. The belief MDP has state space P(X)\mathbb P(\mathbb X)P(X), action set A\mathbb AA, cost cˉ(z,a)=∫c(x,a) z(dx)\bar c(z, a) = \int c(x, a)\,z(dx)cˉ(z,a)=∫c(x,a)z(dx) (3.8), and transition q(⋅∣z,a)q(\cdot \mid z, a)q(⋅∣z,a), the law of H(z,a,y)H(z, a, y)H(z,a,y) when y∼R′(⋅∣z,a)y \sim R'(\cdot \mid z, a)y∼R′(⋅∣z,a) (3.5). A cost is K\mathbb KK-inf-compact on S1×S2\mathbb S_1 \times \mathbb S_2S1​×S2​ if its restriction to K×S2K \times \mathbb S_2K×S2​ has compact level sets for every compact K⊆S1K \subseteq \mathbb S_1K⊆S1​.

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem 3.6

If either Assumption (D) (0≤α<10 \le \alpha < 10≤α<1) or Assumption (P) (c≥0c \ge 0c≥0 and 0≤α≤10 \le \alpha \le 10≤α≤1) holds, ccc is bounded below and K\mathbb KK-inf-compact on X×A\mathbb X \times \mathbb AX×A, PPP is weakly continuous and QQQ is continuous in the total variation, then the belief MDP satisfies Assumption (W*):

cˉ is bounded below and K-inf-compact on P(X)×A,(zn,an)→(z,a)  ⟹  q(⋅∣zn,an)→q(⋅∣z,a) weakly.\bar c \text{ is bounded below and } \mathbb K\text{-inf-compact on } \mathbb P(\mathbb X) \times \mathbb A, \qquad (z_n, a_n) \to (z, a) \implies q(\cdot \mid z_n, a_n) \to q(\cdot \mid z, a) \text{ weakly}.cˉ is bounded below and K-inf-compact on P(X)×A,(zn​,an​)→(z,a)⟹q(⋅∣zn​,an​)→q(⋅∣z,a) weakly.

The two halves

  • Cost half (Theorem 3.4, through Lemma 6.1 and Lemma 5.1(ii)): cˉ\bar ccˉ is bounded below by the same constant as ccc and K\mathbb KK-inf-compact.
  • Transition half (Theorem 3.7): under the hypotheses on PPP and QQQ, R′R'R′ is setwise continuous and Assumption (H) holds: whenever zn→zz_n \to zzn​→z and an→aa_n \to aan​→a, along a subsequence H(znk,ank,y)→H(z,a,y)H(z_{n_k}, a_{n_k}, y) \to H(z, a, y)H(znk​​,ank​​,y)→H(z,a,y) weakly for R′(⋅∣z,a)R'(\cdot \mid z, a)R′(⋅∣z,a)-almost every yyy. Theorem 3.5 then gives weak continuity of qqq. The route runs through Theorem 5.2, Lemma 5.3, Corollary 5.4, Theorem 5.5 and Lemma 5.6.

Significance

Theorem 3.6 supplies the hypothesis under which the cited general MDP theory gives stationary optimal policies, optimality equations and convergence of value iterations for total-cost POMDPs in terms of PPP, QQQ and ccc alone, without compactness of the action set, boundedness of the cost or continuity of the filter. It covers, for example, observation kernels with densities continuous in (a,x)(a, x)(a,x), and the paper applies it to inventory control with incomplete records and to the Kalman filter. Example 4.1 of the same paper shows that total-variation continuity of QQQ cannot be weakened to setwise continuity.

The result is proved in the paper; this proposal poses its formal statement and the supporting results as proof targets. Completing them would provide a checked bridge from POMDPs to the general MDP theory under weak continuity, together with reusable facts about weak, setwise and total-variation convergence: equicontinuity of integrals against weakly continuous kernels (Theorem 5.2), the convergence-in-probability criterion (Theorem 5.5), and the generalized Fatou lemmas.

Difficulty

The posterior H(z,a,y)H(z, a, y)H(z,a,y) is defined only for R′(⋅∣z,a)R'(\cdot \mid z, a)R′(⋅∣z,a)-almost every yyy and has no continuous version in general, so weak continuity of qqq cannot be read off from continuity of HHH. The tempting argument, that continuous PPP and QQQ make the Bayes posterior move continuously, fails: Y\mathbb YY need not be countable and QQQ need not have densities. What has to be controlled is the joint law RRR on sets (O1∖O2)×C(\mathcal O_1 \setminus \mathcal O_2) \times C(O1​∖O2​)×C uniformly in the observation set CCC; convergence for each fixed CCC is not enough. Turning this uniform control into almost-sure convergence of posteriors along a subsequence requires a diagonal argument over a countable base of X\mathbb XX. On the cost side, the difficulty is that ccc may take the value +∞+\infty+∞ and is not continuous; K\mathbb KK-inf-compactness has to be transported through integration against a weakly converging sequence of measures.

Formalization scope

All definitions live in FeinbergPOMDP.WStar.Model. X,Y,A\mathbb X, \mathbb Y, \mathbb AX,Y,A are separable metrizable spaces with their Borel σ-algebras (PolishSpace is not assumed, since Borel subsets of Polish spaces need not be Polish); X\mathbb XX is additionally nonempty and standard Borel in Theorems 3.6 and 3.7, where a filter must exist. P(X)\mathbb P(\mathbb X)P(X) is Mathlib's ProbabilityMeasure with the weak topology. All continuity notions are the paper's sequential ones; total variation is the supremum over Borel functions with values in [−1,1][-1, 1][−1,1], written in ε\varepsilonε–NNN form, while the set-indexed suprema of (5.15) and (5.17) keep their set form. The cost is written c=ℓ+fc = \ell + fc=ℓ+f with ℓ∈R\ell \in \mathbb Rℓ∈R and fff taking values in [0,∞][0, \infty][0,∞], so cˉ=ℓ+∫f dz\bar c = \ell + \int f\,dzcˉ=ℓ+∫fdz, exact even when c=+∞c = +\inftyc=+∞ on a set of positive measure. K\mathbb KK-inf-compactness is the published FeinbergLiang.ACOE.KInfCompact. A filter is a map H:P(X)→A→Y→P(X)H : \mathbb P(\mathbb X) \to \mathbb A \to \mathbb Y \to \mathbb P(\mathbb X)H:P(X)→A→Y→P(X) that satisfies (3.3) and is jointly Borel measurable in (z,a,y)(z,a,y)(z,a,y), as the paper's stochastic kernel is; qqq is the image of R′R'R′ under H(z,a,⋅)H(z, a, \cdot)H(z,a,⋅) for the Borel σ-algebra of the weak topology on P(X)\mathbb P(\mathbb X)P(X).

Since qqq does not depend on the choice of filter, every statement about qqq is made for every filter satisfying (3.3). A fixed filter that ignores the observation, such as H(z,a,y)=zH(z, a, y) = zH(z,a,y)=z, would make qqq a point mass and the weak continuity trivial; it satisfies (3.3) only when observations carry no information, and is excluded by quantifying over all filters.

The goal states the Assumption (W*) conclusion of Theorem 3.6. Its tail, "statements (i)–(vi) of Theorem 3.1 hold", invokes Theorem 2.1 of Feinberg et al. (2012) applied to the belief MDP; it is cited rather than proved in this paper. Generalized Fatou's lemmas 5.1(i) and 5.1(ii) are referenced from the published Schäl (1993) items. A complete development needs weak and setwise convergence on ProbabilityMeasure, portmanteau-type arguments, disintegration (Measure.condKernel) and the identification of the Borel and Giry σ-algebras on P(X)\mathbb P(\mathbb X)P(X); the last is missing from Mathlib and is a welcome contribution in its own right. Proofs of any milestone, and alternative arguments for Theorem 3.7, are welcome.

Selected references

  • E. A. Feinberg, P. O. Kasyanov, M. Z. Zgurovsky, Partially Observable Total-Cost Markov Decision Processes with Weakly Continuous Transition Probabilities, arXiv:1401.2168v2 (2014); Mathematics of Operations Research 41(2), 2016. https://arxiv.org/abs/1401.2168v2
  • E. A. Feinberg, P. O. Kasyanov, N. V. Zadoianchuk, Average-cost Markov decision processes with weakly continuous transition probabilities, Mathematics of Operations Research 37(4), 2012. https://doi.org/10.1287/moor.1120.0555
  • D. P. Bertsekas, S. E. Shreve, Stochastic Optimal Control: The Discrete-Time Case, Academic Press, 1978. https://web.mit.edu/dimitrib/www/soc.html
  • M. Schäl, Average optimality in dynamic programming with general state space, Mathematics of Operations Research 18(1), 1993. https://doi.org/10.1287/moor.18.1.163
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Machine LearningOptimal TransportProbability+1·Captain: mikedeng1

Wasserstein Distributionally Robust Optimization and Variation Regularization III: With Probability 1 − e^(−t), E_Pn[(ρ − d(z, D_f))₊] ≤ Cρ² + 2ρ·E[Rademacher] + ρ√(t/2n) for Every fResearch Paper

Motivation

Wasserstein distributionally robust optimization (DRO) replaces the empirical risk EPn[f]\mathbb E_{P_n}[f]EPn​​[f] of a loss fff by its worst case over all distributions within Wasserstein distance ρ\rhoρ of the empirical law PnP_nPn​. Gao, Chen and Kleywegt (arXiv:1712.06050; Operations Research, 2024, doi:10.1287/opre.2022.2383) show that, for small radii, this worst-case risk is the empirical risk plus ρ\rhoρ times a variation of the loss (a norm of its gradient or local slope), up to a remainder. This links DRO to gradient-norm regularization, as used in adversarial training and in data-driven newsvendor and pricing models.

For smooth losses the remainder is of order ρ2\rho^2ρ2. Many losses used in practice are only piecewise smooth: hinge, ReLU networks, newsvendor costs, θz∧1\theta z \wedge 1θz∧1. Near the set Df\mathcal D_fDf​ where the pieces meet, the first-order expansion fails, and the paper's Theorem 1(I)–(II) carries an extra boundary term M EPn[(ρ−d(z,Df))+]M\,\mathbb E_{P_n}[(\rho - d(z,\mathcal D_f))_+]MEPn​​[(ρ−d(z,Df​))+​]. Theorem 1(III) shows that this term is small with high probability, uniformly over the loss class, provided the data distribution does not concentrate near the non-smooth points. This mission formalizes that probabilistic bound.

Setting

Let (Z,d)(\mathcal Z, d)(Z,d) be a metric space with its Borel σ\sigmaσ-algebra, PtrueP_{\rm true}Ptrue​ a probability measure on Z\mathcal ZZ, and z1,…,znz_1, \dots, z_nz1​,…,zn​ an i.i.d. sample from PtrueP_{\rm true}Ptrue​, with empirical law Pn=1n∑iδziP_n = \frac1n\sum_i \delta_{z_i}Pn​=n1​∑i​δzi​​. The sampling law is the product P⊗=Ptrue⊗nP_\otimes = P_{\rm true}^{\otimes n}P⊗​=Ptrue⊗n​ on Zn\mathcal Z^nZn, and E⊗\mathbb E_\otimesE⊗​ is its expectation. The formal statements also assume the metric space is second countable.

Let F\mathcal FF be a set of losses f:Z→Rf : \mathcal Z \to \mathbb Rf:Z→R, and for each fff let Df⊆Z\mathcal D_f \subseteq \mathcal ZDf​⊆Z be its non-smooth set: for a piecewise smooth fff with pieces Zf,1,…,Zf,Kf\mathcal Z_{f,1}, \dots, \mathcal Z_{f,K_f}Zf,1​,…,Zf,Kf​​, the union of the pairwise intersections of their closures (Assumption 1). The paper assumes Df\mathcal D_fDf​ is PtrueP_{\rm true}Ptrue​-null. The distance to a set is d(z,D)=inf⁡z~∈Dd(z,z~)d(z, D) = \inf_{\tilde z\in D} d(z,\tilde z)d(z,D)=infz~∈D​d(z,z~), with d(z,∅)=+∞d(z,\varnothing) = +\inftyd(z,∅)=+∞.

The objects of the mission are:

  • the boundary gap (ρ−d(z,Df))+(\rho - d(z, \mathcal D_f))_+(ρ−d(z,Df​))+​ and the near indicator 1{d(z,Df)<ρ}\mathbf 1\{d(z,\mathcal D_f) < \rho\}1{d(z,Df​)<ρ};
  • the indicator class Iρ={z↦1{d(z,Df)<ρ}:f∈F, Df≠∅}\mathcal I_\rho = \{z\mapsto \mathbf 1\{d(z,\mathcal D_f)<\rho\} : f\in\mathcal F,\ \mathcal D_f\neq\varnothing\}Iρ​={z↦1{d(z,Df​)<ρ}:f∈F, Df​=∅};
  • the empirical Rademacher complexity Rn(H)=Eσ[sup⁡h∈H1n∑iσih(zi)]\mathfrak R_n(\mathcal H) = \mathbb E_\sigma\bigl[\sup_{h\in\mathcal H}\frac1n\sum_i\sigma_i h(z_i)\bigr]Rn​(H)=Eσ​[suph∈H​n1​∑i​σi​h(zi​)] of a class H\mathcal HH, with i.i.d. uniform signs σi\sigma_iσi​, and the Rademacher complexity E⊗[Rn(H)]\mathbb E_\otimes[\mathfrak R_n(\mathcal H)]E⊗​[Rn​(H)];
  • Assumption 3 (bounded density):
lim sup⁡δ↓0 sup⁡f∈F: Df≠∅Ptrue{z:0<d(z,Df)<δ}δ<∞.\limsup_{\delta\downarrow 0}\ \sup_{f\in\mathcal F:\,\mathcal D_f\ne\varnothing}\frac{P_{\rm true}\{z : 0 < d(z,\mathcal D_f) < \delta\}}{\delta} < \infty.δ↓0limsup​ f∈F:Df​=∅sup​δPtrue​{z:0<d(z,Df​)<δ}​<∞.

In Lean the boundary gap is the shared WassVarReg.PInf.boundaryGap; nearIndicator, indicatorClass, empRademacher, rademacher and Assumption3 are in WassVarReg.Boundary. The sample law is the published MinimaxWass.DataDep.sampleLaw.

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem 1(III), first display (p. 8)

Under Assumption 3 there exist ρˉ,C>0\bar\rho, C > 0ρˉ​,C>0 such that for all n≥1n\ge1n≥1, t>0t>0t>0 and 0≤ρ<ρˉ0\le\rho<\bar\rho0≤ρ<ρˉ​, with probability at least 1−e−t1-e^{-t}1−e−t, for every f∈Ff\in\mathcal Ff∈F,

EPn[(ρ−d(z,Df))+]≤Cρ2+2ρ E⊗[Rn(Iρ)]+ρt2n.\mathbb E_{P_n}\bigl[(\rho - d(z,\mathcal D_f))_+\bigr] \le C\rho^2 + 2\rho\,\mathbb E_\otimes[\mathfrak R_n(\mathcal I_\rho)] + \rho\sqrt{\frac{t}{2n}}.EPn​​[(ρ−d(z,Df​))+​]≤Cρ2+2ρE⊗​[Rn​(Iρ​)]+ρ2nt​​.

The constants CCC and ρˉ\bar\rhoρˉ​ are left unspecified; they depend only on Assumption 3.

Milestones

  1. Lemma EC.5 (p. ec4): for a class H\mathcal HH of measurable functions with values in [0,M][0,M][0,M], with probability at least 1−e−t1-e^{-t}1−e−t, EPn[h]≤EPtrue[h]+2 E⊗[Rn(H)]+Mt/(2n)\mathbb E_{P_n}[h] \le \mathbb E_{P_{\rm true}}[h] + 2\,\mathbb E_\otimes[\mathfrak R_n(\mathcal H)] + M\sqrt{t/(2n)}EPn​​[h]≤EPtrue​​[h]+2E⊗​[Rn​(H)]+Mt/(2n)​ for all h∈Hh\in\mathcal Hh∈H.
  2. Assumption 3 bounds the true mass (proof of Lemma EC.11, p. ec11): EPtrue[1{d(z,Df)<ρ}]≤Cρ\mathbb E_{P_{\rm true}}[\mathbf 1\{d(z,\mathcal D_f)<\rho\}] \le C\rhoEPtrue​​[1{d(z,Df​)<ρ}]≤Cρ for 0≤ρ<ρˉ0\le\rho<\bar\rho0≤ρ<ρˉ​, uniformly in fff.
  3. Lemma EC.11 (p. ec11): with probability at least 1−e−t1-e^{-t}1−e−t, for every fff, EPn[1{d(z,Df)<ρ}]≤Cρ+2 E⊗[Rn(Iρ)]+t/(2n)\mathbb E_{P_n}[\mathbf 1\{d(z,\mathcal D_f)<\rho\}] \le C\rho + 2\,\mathbb E_\otimes[\mathfrak R_n(\mathcal I_\rho)] + \sqrt{t/(2n)}EPn​​[1{d(z,Df​)<ρ}]≤Cρ+2E⊗​[Rn​(Iρ​)]+t/(2n)​.
  4. Gap versus mass (p. ec11): EPn[(ρ−d(z,Df))+]≤ρ EPn[1{d(z,Df)<ρ}]\mathbb E_{P_n}[(\rho-d(z,\mathcal D_f))_+] \le \rho\,\mathbb E_{P_n}[\mathbf 1\{d(z,\mathcal D_f)<\rho\}]EPn​​[(ρ−d(z,Df​))+​]≤ρEPn​​[1{d(z,Df​)<ρ}].

Significance

The result. With ρn=ρ0/n\rho_n = \rho_0/\sqrt nρn​=ρ0​/n​ and a class Iρ\mathcal I_\rhoIρ​ of bounded complexity, the right side of the goal is Op(1/n)O_p(1/n)Op​(1/n). Combined with Theorem 1(I)–(II), it gives the paper's conclusion that ppp-Wasserstein DRO with p∈(1,∞]p\in(1,\infty]p∈(1,∞] is asymptotically equivalent to empirical variation regularization, min⁡f{EPn[f]+ρnVPn,q(f)}+Op(1/n)\min_f\{\mathbb E_{P_n}[f] + \rho_n\mathcal V_{P_n,q}(f)\} + O_p(1/n)minf​{EPn​​[f]+ρn​VPn​,q​(f)}+Op​(1/n), for non-smooth losses, uniformly over the class. Without it, the boundary term is only bounded by MρM\rhoMρ, and the expansion has no better accuracy than first order. Assumption 3 is the condition under which the non-smooth set does not matter statistically.

Formalizing it. The result is proved in the paper; it has no machine-checked proof. Its proof composes a uniform deviation bound (McDiarmid's inequality plus symmetrization) with a bounded-density estimate. The mission produces a general Rademacher deviation bound for bounded classes on an arbitrary metric space with a measurability guard, reusable by any statistical-learning mission, and fixes the printed constant of Lemma EC.5 (M2t/nM\sqrt{2t/n}M2t/n​ on the page, Mt/(2n)M\sqrt{t/(2n)}Mt/(2n)​ from its proof).

Difficulty

The deterministic parts are short. The difficulty is in Lemma EC.5. McDiarmid's inequality must be applied to the uniform deviation over an arbitrary, possibly uncountable, class. Symmetrization must then be carried out with Bochner integrals over Zn×Zn\mathcal Z^n\times\mathcal Z^nZn×Zn and a finite sign space. Neither tool is in Mathlib in this form. A tempting shortcut, bounding each fixed hhh by Hoeffding's inequality and taking a union bound, fails: the class is infinite, and the bound must hold simultaneously for all fff inside a single event. A second point is Assumption 3: it controls only the shell 0<d(z,Df)<δ0 < d(z,\mathcal D_f) < \delta0<d(z,Df​)<δ, so the mass of {d=0}\{d = 0\}{d=0} has to come from the null closure of Df\mathcal D_fDf​.

Formalization scope

  • Space and sample. Z\mathcal ZZ is a metric space with [MeasurableSpace Z] [BorelSpace Z] [SecondCountableTopology Z] in the goal-level statements. Second countability is an added technical hypothesis used throughout this paper's mission series. A sample is ω : Fin n → Z with n≥1n\ge1n≥1, and its law is Measure.pi. Empirical means are 1n∑i:Fin n\frac1n\sum_{i : \mathrm{Fin}\,n}n1​∑i:Finn​.
  • Distance to a set. Metric.infEDist, which is +∞+\infty+∞ on ∅\varnothing∅. A loss with Df=∅\mathcal D_f=\varnothingDf​=∅ thus has boundary gap 000 and is excluded from Iρ\mathcal I_\rhoIρ​, as on the page. The real-valued Metric.infDist (which is 000 on ∅\varnothing∅) would give such a loss gap ρ\rhoρ and is not used.
  • The non-smooth sets are an arbitrary family D : (Z → ℝ) → Set Z. The goal-level statements assume each Df\mathcal D_fDf​ is closed and PtrueP_{\rm true}Ptrue​-null, the standing consequence of its construction in Assumption 1. The details of the piecewise smooth loss model are not needed for this probability estimate.
  • Probabilities are written as P⊗{ω:¬ ∀f∈F,… }≤e−tP_\otimes\{\omega : \neg\,\forall f\in\mathcal F, \dots\}\le e^{-t}P⊗​{ω:¬∀f∈F,…}≤e−t, with the quantifier over F\mathcal FF inside the event (an outer measure for uncountable F\mathcal FF).
  • Rademacher complexity. The sign expectation is an average over {±1}n\{\pm1\}^n{±1}n. Suprema are real suprema of classes with values in [0,M][0,M][0,M]; an empty class gives 000. E⊗\mathbb E_\otimesE⊗​ is a Bochner integral.
  • Measurability guard (added): the uniform deviation, the empirical Rademacher complexity and the double-sample deviation of the class are measurable. This holds, for instance, for countable F\mathcal FF, and the paper leaves it implicit.
  • Quantifier order. ρˉ\bar\rhoρˉ​ and CCC are chosen before nnn and ttt, which is stronger than the page's order. The radius satisfies ρ≥0\rho\ge0ρ≥0.
  • Not stated. The second display of Theorem 1(III) and the "Moreover" part of Lemma EC.11, which use Dudley's entropy integral: their proof bounds the empirical Rademacher complexity, while Lemma EC.5 needs its expectation.
  • Trivialization ruled out. The Rademacher term is that of the specific class Iρ\mathcal I_\rhoIρ​ built from the sets Df\mathcal D_fDf​. It is not a free constant, and no hypothesis assumes the conclusion of Lemma EC.5.

Contributions welcome: a general McDiarmid inequality for product measures, a symmetrization lemma for measurable classes, and proofs of the milestones in any order.

Selected references

  • R. Gao, X. Chen, A. J. Kleywegt, Wasserstein Distributionally Robust Optimization and Variation Regularization, Operations Research, 2024. arXiv:1712.06050, doi:10.1287/opre.2022.2383
  • S. Shalev-Shwartz, S. Ben-David, Understanding Machine Learning: From Theory to Algorithms, Cambridge University Press, 2014, Theorem 26.5. doi:10.1017/CBO9781107298019
  • C. McDiarmid, On the method of bounded differences, Surveys in Combinatorics, LMS Lecture Note Series 141, 1989. doi:10.1017/CBO9781107359949.008
  • M. J. Wainwright, High-Dimensional Statistics: A Non-Asymptotic Viewpoint, Cambridge University Press, 2019, Ch. 5. doi:10.1017/9781108627771
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Bandit AlgorithmsInformation TheoryOperations Research+1·Captain: mikedeng1

Data-Based Dynamic Pricing and Inventory Control with Censored Demand and Limited Price Changes 2: Any Policy with at Most m Price Changes Has Regret at Least KT^(1/(m+1)) on a Bernoulli InstanceResearch Paper

Why limited price changes matter

A seller learning a demand curve normally adjusts prices as new observations arrive. A price-change limit prevents that continual adjustment: a price may have to be chosen before the seller knows which demand curve it faces, then held through a block of sales. This matters when repricing is operationally costly, constrained by contracts, or visible to customers. Chen, Chao and Wang study pricing jointly with inventory replenishment under censored demand. Their Theorem 2 asks how much regret is unavoidable when the seller can change price at most mmm times, regardless of the learning policy it uses (SSRN revision, pp. 10–11, 35–42).

The lower bound is paired with their Theorem 1: in the well-separated setting an algorithm attains regret proportional to T1/(m+1)T^{1/(m+1)}T1/(m+1) for large horizons, while Theorem 2 asserts the same exponent cannot be improved uniformly over admissible policies (SSRN revision, p. 10). The paper appeared as an Operations Research technical note in 2020 (DOI 10.1287/opre.2020.1993); this mission cites the authors' SSRN revision dated 2020-02-10, whose page and result numbers are used throughout.

Bernoulli pricing setting

The horizon has TTT periods. At each period the seller posts a price pt∈[1,6]p_t\in[1,6]pt​∈[1,6] and replenishes inventory to one unit. Demand dtd_tdt​ is either zero or one, so all demand can be served and the observed sale equals demand. The unknown scalar parameter zzz belongs to [1/6,5/6][1/6,5/6][1/6,5/6]. Conditional on the posted price, the probability of one unit of demand is

ν(p,z)=max⁡{0,1−pz/2}.\nu(p,z)=\max\{0,1-pz/2\}.ν(p,z)=max{0,1−pz/2}.

Holding and shortage costs are zero. Hence expected one-period revenue is rz(p)=pν(p,z)r_z(p)=p\nu(p,z)rz​(p)=pν(p,z). The clairvoyant benchmark is G∗(z)=1/(2z)G^*(z)=1/(2z)G∗(z)=1/(2z): it is attained by the feasible price p∗=1/zp^*=1/zp∗=1/z. The local Lean sanity check proves this maximum property, so the benchmark does not rely on a default value of a supremum. The model is the explicit Bernoulli construction in the proof of Theorem 2 (SSRN revision, p. 35).

An admissible randomized policy may draw random bits and use past posted prices and observed sales when choosing its next price. Its action cannot depend on future demand or on the unknown parameter. Every realized seed and demand path must satisfy the price-change constraint

∑t=1T−11{pt≠pt+1}≤m,m≥1.\sum_{t=1}^{T-1}\mathbf 1\{p_t\ne p_{t+1}\}\le m,\qquad m\ge1.t=1∑T−1​1{pt​=pt+1​}≤m,m≥1.

The regret Rπ(T,z)R_\pi(T,z)Rπ​(T,z) is the expected sum of G∗(z)−rz(pt)G^*(z)-r_z(p_t)G∗(z)−rz​(pt​) under the policy and the demand law at parameter zzz. The paper's admissibility and change constraint are stated on pp. 5–6; its randomized policy factorization is displayed in (49) on p. 35 (SSRN revision).

Formalization targets

The goal is the minimax reading of Theorem 2. For each fixed m≥1m\ge1m≥1, there is a positive constant K7K_7K7​ and a horizon threshold T0T_0T0​, independent of the policy and the horizon, such that

∀T≥T0  ∀π admissible with at most m changes,∃z∈[1/6,5/6]: Rπ(T,z)≥K7T1/(m+1).\forall T\ge T_0\;\forall\pi\text{ admissible with at most }m\text{ changes},\quad \exists z\in[1/6,5/6]:\ R_\pi(T,z)\ge K_7T^{1/(m+1)}.∀T≥T0​∀π admissible with at most m changes,∃z∈[1/6,5/6]: Rπ​(T,z)≥K7​T1/(m+1).

The parameter is selected after the policy. The proof's objective (56) is a worst-case parameter choice for each policy (SSRN revision, p. 37). The printed theorem sentence can also be read as one fixed instance defeating every algorithm; that order is false because a policy supplied with that instance's zzz can post 1/z1/z1/z in every period.

Five milestones expose the source's quantitative ingredients. The hierarchy (50) constructs parameters zζz_\zetazζ​ from signs ζ∈{±1}m+1\zeta\in\{\pm1\}^{m+1}ζ∈{±1}m+1 and scales εℓ=T−ℓ/[2(m+1)]\varepsilon_\ell=T^{-\ell/[2(m+1)]}εℓ​=T−ℓ/[2(m+1)]. Its parameters lie in [1/6,5/6][1/6,5/6][1/6,5/6] for large TTT. Different signs are separated at scale εℓ/8\varepsilon_\ell/8εℓ​/8. Lemma 1 bounds one-period regret by the squared error in a nearest-instance selection. The pointwise inequality underlying (57) gives a cost of at least 10−4εℓ210^{-4}\varepsilon_\ell^210−4εℓ2​ for a wrong sign. A corrected Lemma 2 supplies a quadratic Bernoulli relative-entropy bound under an explicit interior condition (SSRN revision, pp. 36–37).

What the result establishes

The exponent 1/(m+1)1/(m+1)1/(m+1) quantifies the cost of the change budget: fixing mmm leaves a polynomial regret floor even though the Bernoulli demand law is one-dimensional and observed without censoring. Since the constructed instance fixes inventory at a level that serves every demand, a lower bound here also applies to policies in the joint pricing and inventory setting whenever that instance is admitted. It identifies the information loss caused by limited repricing, independently of lost sales and censoring.

The paper states the lower bound and gives a proof, but its printed Lemma 2 is false at prices where ν(p,z)=0\nu(p,z)=0ν(p,z)=0. The subsequent Lemma 3 applies that unrestricted bound. Therefore the source proof does not, as printed, establish the minimax claim for every admissible price policy. The Lean goal is an open target; the four elementary milestones and corrected information bound are also open Lean statements. Formalizing this mission requires an argument that handles prices at the zero-demand kink, or a different route to the lower bound. No machine-checked proof of this specific result is claimed here.

Where the argument is difficult

The natural comparison of two nearby parameters uses the relative entropy between their observed demand laws. Away from the kink, this information is quadratic in the parameter difference. At a price that makes demand impossible under one parameter but possible under the other, the divergence in the printed direction can be linear in that difference. The unrestricted 108∣z−z′∣2108|z-z'|^2108∣z−z′∣2 bound of Lemma 2 therefore fails at exactly the prices an arbitrary policy may choose. Restricting the policy's prices would change the target. A faithful proof must retain those prices while still controlling the policy's information and regret (SSRN revision, Lemmas 2–3, pp. 36–40).

Formalization scope

Lean represents the horizon by Fin T; its index zero is period one in the paper. Bernoulli demand paths have type Fin T → Bool. A policy's price at a period depends on a random seed and only the earlier demand bits; with inventory level one, these bits are exactly the observed sales. A probability measure on the seed models adaptive randomization, including a pre-sampled stream of random choices. Prices are measurable functions of the seed for each finite history. The budget holds on every seed and path, not only on average.

Path probabilities are finite products of conditional Bernoulli probabilities. Regret is a finite sum of nonnegative gaps integrated over the seed with lintegral, so it cannot become zero through non-integrability of a real-valued expectation. The exponent of TTT and the scales εℓ\varepsilon_\ellεℓ​ use real division. The arg-min in (51) is any genuine nearest-instance selection; a local proof checks that one exists. The hierarchy's validity and separation statements require a large-horizon threshold, which the unqualified printed prose omits. The corrected Lemma 2 adds pz≤11/6pz\le11/6pz≤11/6 to keep the Bernoulli probabilities in the interior. Its verbatim milestone retains the printed statement, and its formal statement and note disclose the correction. Lemma 3 is not stated because its printed proof relies on Lemma 2 outside that interior region.

The named Bernoulli family strengthens the theorem's existential instance wording, while also exposing a limitation: at p≥2/zp\ge2/zp≥2/z it violates the positive-mean and identifiability conditions stated earlier in the paper. That discrepancy is recorded rather than hidden in an assumption. Definitions for randomized adapted policies, finite path laws, the parameter hierarchy, and Bernoulli relative entropy are reusable; contributions that establish the open goal or repair the information comparison are in scope.

Selected references

  • B. Chen, X. Chao, and Y. Wang, Data-Based Dynamic Pricing and Inventory Control with Censored Demand and Limited Price Changes, SSRN 2700747, revision of 2020-02-10. Preprint.
  • B. Chen, X. Chao, and Y. Wang, Technical Note—Data-Based Dynamic Pricing and Inventory Control with Censored Demand and Limited Price Changes, Operations Research, 2020. DOI 10.1287/opre.2020.1993.
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Convex OptimizationLinear OptimizationOptimization·Captain: mikedeng1

Faster First-Order Primal-Dual Methods for Linear Programming using Restarts and Sharpness I: The LP Saddle-Point Problem Is 1/(H(K)√(1+4R²))-Sharp on Every Ball W_R(0)Research Paper

Motivation

First-order primal-dual methods (PDHG, extragradient, ADMM) are the engine of a new generation of large-scale linear programming solvers, such as PDLP, because they need only matrix–vector products with the constraint matrix. Their textbook guarantees for convex–concave saddle-point problems are sublinear, O(1/t)O(1/t)O(1/t) for the averaged iterate, while in practice restarted variants converge linearly on linear programs. Applegate, Hinder, Lu and Lubin (arXiv:2105.12715v4, Math. Program. 2022) explain this gap through a sharpness condition on the normalized duality gap, and show that restarts turn sharpness into linear convergence.

This mission formalizes the part of that paper which shows that linear programming is sharp: Lemma 5 (p. 15), together with the bound of the KKT residual by the normalized duality gap (Lemma 4, p. 14) and the bilinear results of §3.2. The restart theorems that consume this property are the subject of the companion missions II and III of this series.

Setting

Let A∈Rm×nA\in\mathbb R^{m\times n}A∈Rm×n, b∈Rmb\in\mathbb R^mb∈Rm, c∈Rnc\in\mathbb R^nc∈Rn. The standard-form LP and its dual are

min⁡x∈Rnc⊤x  s.t. Ax=b, x≥0(17),max⁡y∈Rmb⊤y  s.t. A⊤y≤c(18),\min_{x\in\mathbb R^n} c^\top x\ \text{ s.t. } Ax=b,\ x\ge0 \qquad (17), \qquad\quad \max_{y\in\mathbb R^m} b^\top y\ \text{ s.t. } A^\top y\le c \qquad (18),x∈Rnmin​c⊤x  s.t. Ax=b, x≥0(17),y∈Rmmax​b⊤y  s.t. A⊤y≤c(18),

and their Lagrangian form is the saddle-point problem

min⁡x≥0 max⁡y∈Rm L(x,y)=c⊤x+y⊤b−y⊤Ax.(19)\min_{x\ge0}\ \max_{y\in\mathbb R^m}\ L(x,y)=c^\top x+y^\top b-y^\top Ax. \qquad (19)x≥0min​ y∈Rmmax​ L(x,y)=c⊤x+y⊤b−y⊤Ax.(19)

A primal-dual point is z=(x,y)z=(x,y)z=(x,y), the feasible region is Z={x≥0}×RmZ=\{x\ge0\}\times\mathbb R^mZ={x≥0}×Rm, and Z⋆Z^\starZ⋆ is the set of saddle points of LLL on ZZZ. On Rn+m\mathbb R^{n+m}Rn+m the norm is the Euclidean norm ∥(x,y)∥=∥x∥22+∥y∥22\|(x,y)\|=\sqrt{\|x\|_2^2+\|y\|_2^2}∥(x,y)∥=∥x∥22​+∥y∥22​​, and dist⁡(z,Z⋆)=inf⁡z^∈Z⋆∥z−z^∥\operatorname{dist}(z,Z^\star)=\inf_{\hat z\in Z^\star}\|z-\hat z\|dist(z,Z⋆)=infz^∈Z⋆​∥z−z^∥.

For r>0r>0r>0 let Wr(z)={z^∈Z:∥z−z^∥≤r}W_r(z)=\{\hat z\in Z:\|z-\hat z\|\le r\}Wr​(z)={z^∈Z:∥z−z^∥≤r}. The normalized duality gap (4a) is

ρr(z)=sup⁡z^∈Wr(z)L(x,y^)−L(x^,y)r.\rho_r(z)=\sup_{\hat z\in W_r(z)}\frac{L(x,\hat y)-L(\hat x,y)}{r}.ρr​(z)=z^∈Wr​(z)sup​rL(x,y^​)−L(x^,y)​.

The problem is α\alphaα-sharp on a set S⊆ZS\subseteq ZS⊆Z (Definition 1) if α dist⁡(z,Z⋆)≤ρr(z)\alpha\,\operatorname{dist}(z,Z^\star)\le\rho_r(z)αdist(z,Z⋆)≤ρr​(z) for all z∈Sz\in Sz∈S and all r∈(0,diam⁡(S)]r\in(0,\operatorname{diam}(S)]r∈(0,diam(S)].

The KKT system (20) collects primal feasibility, dual feasibility and a nonpositive duality gap as Kz≥hKz\ge hKz≥h, with

K=(I0−A0A00−A⊤−c⊤b⊤),h=(0−bb−c0).K=\begin{pmatrix} I & 0\\ -A & 0\\ A & 0\\ 0 & -A^\top\\ -c^\top & b^\top\end{pmatrix},\qquad h=\begin{pmatrix}0\\-b\\b\\-c\\0\end{pmatrix}.K=​I−AA0−c⊤​000−A⊤b⊤​​,h=​0−bb−c0​​.

The KKT residual ∥(h−Kz)+∥\|(h-Kz)^+\|∥(h−Kz)+∥ is the Euclidean norm of the componentwise positive part, a standard stopping criterion of LP solvers. A Hoffman constant H(K)H(K)H(K) (Hoffman 1952) is a constant with

dist⁡(z,Z⋆)≤H(K) ∥(h−Kz)+∥for all z∈Rn+m.(26)\operatorname{dist}(z,Z^\star)\le H(K)\,\|(h-Kz)^+\|\quad\text{for all } z\in\mathbb R^{n+m}. \qquad (26)dist(z,Z⋆)≤H(K)∥(h−Kz)+∥for all z∈Rn+m.(26)

Formalization targets

Goal: Lemma 5 (Sharpness of linear programming), p. 15

If (19) has a solution and H(K)>0H(K)>0H(K)>0 satisfies (26), then for every R∈(0,∞)R\in(0,\infty)R∈(0,∞) the problem (19) is α\alphaα-sharp on WR(0)={z∈Z:∥z∥≤R}W_R(0)=\{z\in Z:\|z\|\le R\}WR​(0)={z∈Z:∥z∥≤R} with

α=1H(K)1+4R2.\alpha=\frac{1}{H(K)\sqrt{1+4R^2}}.α=H(K)1+4R2​1​.

Milestones (proof of Lemma 4, p. 14)

With v=((−c+A⊤y)+, b−Ax)v=\big((-c+A^\top y)^+,\ b-Ax\big)v=((−c+A⊤y)+, b−Ax):

(22)ρr(z)≥∥v∥(z∈Z, r>0),(25)ρr(z)≥1R (c⊤x−b⊤y)+(z∈WR(0), 0<r≤R),\text{(22)}\quad \rho_r(z)\ge\|v\|\quad (z\in Z,\ r>0),\qquad\qquad \text{(25)}\quad \rho_r(z)\ge\tfrac1R\,(c^\top x-b^\top y)^+\quad (z\in W_R(0),\ 0<r\le R),(22)ρr​(z)≥∥v∥(z∈Z, r>0),(25)ρr​(z)≥R1​(c⊤x−b⊤y)+(z∈WR​(0), 0<r≤R),

and their combination, Lemma 4:

∥(h−Kz)+∥≤ρr(z)1+R2(R>0, r∈(0,R], z∈WR(0)).\|(h-Kz)^+\|\le\rho_r(z)\sqrt{1+R^2}\qquad (R>0,\ r\in(0,R],\ z\in W_R(0)).∥(h−Kz)+∥≤ρr​(z)1+R2​(R>0, r∈(0,R], z∈WR​(0)).

Companion statements

  • §3.3, p. 13: if (17) and (18) are feasible, Z⋆={z:Kz≥h}Z^\star=\{z: Kz\ge h\}Z⋆={z:Kz≥h}, so that (26) is Hoffman's bound for a polyhedron.
  • Lemma 2, p. 12: for S={z:Hz=h}≠∅S=\{z:Hz=h\}\neq\emptysetS={z:Hz=h}=∅, dist⁡(S,z)≤∥Hz−h∥/σmin⁡+(H)\operatorname{dist}(S,z)\le\|Hz-h\|/\sigma^+_{\min}(H)dist(S,z)≤∥Hz−h∥/σmin+​(H).
  • Lemma 3, p. 12: the unconstrained bilinear problem L(x,y)=c⊤x−y⊤Ax+b⊤yL(x,y)=c^\top x-y^\top Ax+b^\top yL(x,y)=c⊤x−y⊤Ax+b⊤y on Rn+m\mathbb R^{n+m}Rn+m is σmin⁡+(A)\sigma^+_{\min}(A)σmin+​(A)-sharp on all of Rn+m\mathbb R^{n+m}Rn+m; with the identities (14) and (15) from its proof.

Significance

Lemma 5 is the input that makes the paper's restart theorems apply to linear programming: combined with Theorems 1 and 2 (missions II and III), it yields linear convergence of restarted PDHG, extragradient and ADMM on any feasible LP, with a rate governed by the Hoffman constant of the KKT system. Lemma 4 is of independent use: it shows that the normalized duality gap, which restart schemes can monitor, controls the KKT residual that solvers report.

The results are proved in the paper. As far as the platform and Mathlib show, none of them is formalized: there is no normalized duality gap, no primal-dual sharpness and no Hoffman bound for KKT systems in Mathlib. The remaining work is to formalize the paper's proofs. Strong duality for standard-form LP, needed for the §3.3 companion, exists on the platform (Polyhedral.lp_strong_duality, LinearOptimization.lp_strong_duality) in a different form.

Difficulty

The sharpness inequality relates two quantities of different nature: dist⁡(z,Z⋆)\operatorname{dist}(z,Z^\star)dist(z,Z⋆) is a geometric distance to an implicitly defined polyhedron, while ρr(z)\rho_r(z)ρr​(z) is a supremum of a bilinear gap over a truncated ball Wr(z)W_r(z)Wr​(z) that is cut by the constraint x≥0x\ge0x≥0. The unconstrained argument of Lemma 3, which identifies ρr(z)\rho_r(z)ρr​(z) with ∥F(z)∥\|F(z)\|∥F(z)∥, fails once x≥0x\ge0x≥0 is imposed, because the ball is no longer symmetric around zzz and the maximizing direction may leave ZZZ. Control of the duality-gap row of the KKT system also depends on the size of zzz, which is why the constant degrades with RRR and sharpness is claimed only on bounded sets WR(0)W_R(0)WR​(0). In Lean the normalized duality gap is an extended-real supremum over a set defined by a non-default norm, so each lower bound requires exhibiting a feasible point of Wr(z)W_r(z)Wr​(z) and computing its gap.

Formalization scope

Vectors live in EuclideanSpace ℝ (Fin n) and EuclideanSpace ℝ (Fin m), and a primal-dual point is a pair. The norm on pairs is the L2L^2L2 norm of WithLp 2, eucl. The norm instance of the bare product type is the sup norm and is not used: with the sup norm the constants 1+R2\sqrt{1+R^2}1+R2​ and 1+4R2\sqrt{1+4R^2}1+4R2​ would describe different statements. ρr\rho_rρr​ and diam⁡\operatorname{diam}diam are suprema in EReal. dist⁡(z,Z⋆)\operatorname{dist}(z,Z^\star)dist(z,Z⋆) is a real infimum, and every statement that uses it assumes Z⋆≠∅Z^\star\neq\emptysetZ⋆=∅ ("(19) has a solution"). Z⋆Z^\starZ⋆ is defined as the set of saddle points of LLL on ZZZ. KKK and hhh are encoded row block by row block exactly as (20) prints them; the page's "A⊤y≥cA^\top y\ge cA⊤y≥c" in (18) is a misprint for A⊤y≤cA^\top y\le cA⊤y≤c, which is what (20) encodes.

The Hoffman constant enters only through its defining property (26), quantified over all z∈Rn+mz\in\mathbb R^{n+m}z∈Rn+m, together with H(K)>0H(K)>0H(K)>0. Lemma 5 is stated for every such constant. Sharpness follows Definition 1 literally, with r∈(0,diam⁡(WR(0))]r\in(0,\operatorname{diam}(W_R(0))]r∈(0,diam(WR​(0))]; replacing that range by (0,2R](0,2R](0,2R] would be a different statement. A formalization that restricts (26) to z∈Zz\in Zz∈Z, uses the sup norm, or takes a real-valued supremum for ρr\rho_rρr​ would trivialize or change the goal and is ruled out. σmin⁡+(H)\sigma^+_{\min}(H)σmin+​(H) is the least σ>0\sigma>0σ>0 with σ2\sigma^2σ2 an eigenvalue of H⊤HH^\top HH⊤H; its Lean value for H=0H=0H=0 is 000.

Contributions welcome: proofs of (22) and (25), whose combination gives Lemma 4 and then Lemma 5; general lemmas on suprema over Euclidean balls in WithLp 2 products; and a Hoffman-type existence theorem for {Kz≥h}\{Kz\ge h\}{Kz≥h}, which this mission does not pose. The bilinear statements (Lemmas 2–3) need a minimum-nonzero-singular-value API and are reusable beyond this mission.

Selected references

  • D. Applegate, O. Hinder, H. Lu, M. Lubin, Faster First-Order Primal-Dual Methods for Linear Programming using Restarts and Sharpness, Math. Program. (2022); cited from arXiv:2105.12715v4. https://arxiv.org/abs/2105.12715 · https://doi.org/10.1007/s10107-022-01901-9
  • A. J. Hoffman, On approximate solutions of systems of linear inequalities, J. Res. Natl. Bur. Stand. 49 (1952) 263–265. https://doi.org/10.6028/jres.049.027
  • D. Applegate, M. Díaz, O. Hinder, H. Lu, M. Lubin, B. O'Donoghue, W. Schudy, Practical Large-Scale Linear Programming using Primal-Dual Hybrid Gradient, NeurIPS 2021. https://arxiv.org/abs/2106.04756
  • A. Chambolle, T. Pock, A first-order primal-dual algorithm for convex problems with applications to imaging, J. Math. Imaging Vis. 40 (2011) 120–145. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10851-010-0251-1
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Operations ResearchProbability·Captain: mikedeng1

Robust Dynamic Pricing with Strategic Customers: Over Horizon T the Simple Robust Pricing Policy Earns at Least V*_β(x₀)/(1 + e^{−βT}/(βT))Research Paper

Motivation

A seller with a fixed stock must choose prices before knowing when customers will arrive or what they will be willing to pay. If customers can wait for a later price, the seller must also account for how today's price changes their purchasing decisions. Chen and Farias study this problem with strategic customers and identify a simple inventory-based policy that can be compared with the best attainable revenue. Their Theorem 1 shows that this policy, with discount rate β=1/(1.42T)\beta=1/(1.42T)β=1/(1.42T) for a season of length TTT, earns at least 0.290.290.29 of the optimal expected revenue. The policy posts the price that is optimal in the canonical discounted revenue-management problem with myopic customers (Gallego and van Ryzin, 1994; Farias and Van Roy, 2010) at the current inventory level. This mission targets the lower-bound half of its argument, stated as Lemma 9: a comparison between the policy's revenue over a fixed selling season and a discounted, infinite-horizon value. The latter comparison is meaningful independently of the paper's strategic-customer benchmark.

Setting

The seller begins with inventory x0∈Nx_0\in\mathbb Nx0​∈N and sells at most one item to each customer. Customers arrive at rate λ>0\lambda>0λ>0. Their nonnegative valuations have density fff with total mass one. Write Fˉ(p)=∫p∞f(v) dv\bar F(p)=\int_p^\infty f(v)\,dvFˉ(p)=∫p∞​f(v)dv for the probability that a valuation exceeds price ppp. A customer who behaves myopically buys at a posted price ppp exactly when the valuation is high enough, so sales occur at rate λFˉ(p)\lambda\bar F(p)λFˉ(p) while that price is posted.

The paper's Assumption 1 concerns the virtual value ψ(p)=p−Fˉ(p)/f(p)\psi(p)=p-\bar F(p)/f(p)ψ(p)=p−Fˉ(p)/f(p): it is nondecreasing on nonnegative prices and has a nonnegative root. The simple policy is built from a discount rate β>0\beta>0β>0 and an infinite-horizon Bellman value V:N→RV:\mathbb N\to\mathbb RV:N→R. It has V(0)=0V(0)=0V(0)=0 and, for x≥1x\ge1x≥1, satisfies the sign-corrected recursion

βV(x)=sup⁡p≥0λFˉ(p)(p+V(x−1)−V(x)).\beta V(x)=\sup_{p\ge0}\lambda\bar F(p)\bigl(p+V(x-1)-V(x)\bigr).βV(x)=p≥0sup​λFˉ(p)(p+V(x−1)−V(x)).

At inventory x≥1x\ge1x≥1 the root price π(x)\pi(x)π(x) is the unique nonnegative solution of ψ(π(x))=V(x)−V(x−1)\psi(\pi(x))=V(x)-V(x-1)ψ(π(x))=V(x)−V(x−1). The price posted just before a sale is π(x)\pi(x)π(x), and the inventory then becomes x−1x-1x−1. At zero inventory the posted price is infinity and there are no more sales. The expected sum of prices paid at sales by time TTT is denoted J(x0,T)J(x_0,T)J(x0​,T). These objects come from §§2–3.1 of the paper.

Formalization targets

The goal is Lemma 9, for every λ,β,T>0\lambda,\beta,T>0λ,β,T>0 and every initial inventory x0x_0x0​:

V(x0)≤(1+e−βTβT)J(x0,T).V(x_0)\le\left(1+\frac{e^{-\beta T}}{\beta T}\right)J(x_0,T).V(x0​)≤(1+βTe−βT​)J(x0​,T).

The coefficient is part of the target. No choice of β\betaβ is fixed. The milestones follow the results stated in the paper: inventory monotonicity of VVV, price monotonicity, pathwise monotonicity of the price and its revenue rate (Lemma 7), the expected-rate identity, revenue-per-time monotonicity (Lemma 8), the identification of VVV with discounted policy revenue, and the comparison through an independent exponential horizon. The last milestone evaluates E[max⁡{1,X/T}]\mathbb E[\max\{1,X/T\}]E[max{1,X/T}] exactly for X∼Exp⁡(β)X\sim\operatorname{Exp}(\beta)X∼Exp(β).

Significance

The bound quantifies how much of the discounted value this explicit policy earns within a finite selling season. Its factor depends only on the dimensionless product βT\beta TβT; it does not depend on inventory, arrival rate or valuation density. Together with the paper's separate upper bound on its strategic benchmark, Lemma 9 contributes to the advertised 0.290.290.29 comparison. The full comparison requires definitions and equilibrium arguments beyond this mission, so the goal here is precisely the fixed-horizon lower bound.

Chen and Farias proved these statements in the published paper. The Lean items in this proposal are statements awaiting machine-checked proofs. A completed development would establish the discounted-value verification step and the fixed-horizon comparison for an explicit pure-death sales process. Its constructions of inventory-dependent sale times and finite-horizon revenue could also be reused in other pricing models with Poisson arrivals.

Difficulty

The Bellman value is specified by an optimization equation, while J(x0,T)J(x_0,T)J(x0​,T) is defined from the actual sales process. Their equality at an exponential horizon does not follow by unfolding a definition. The price chosen through the virtual-value equation must be connected to the Bellman optimum, and the inventory-dependent process must be related to the same value. The paper also relies on the fact that the root price falls as inventory rises, citing Lemma 1 of Farias and Van Roy; that fact does not follow merely from monotonicity of ψ\psiψ without control of the marginal values V(x)−V(x−1)V(x)-V(x-1)V(x)−V(x−1). Lemma 8 then concerns expected revenue over two different horizons, including paths that sell out early.

Formalization scope

The Lean model uses a nonnegative integrable density on R\mathbb RR, zero on negative valuations and normalized to mass one. It adds f(p)>0f(p)>0f(p)>0 for every p≥0p\ge0p≥0. This disclosed condition excludes bounded-support densities: without it the paper's quotient Fˉ(p)/f(p)\bar F(p)/f(p)Fˉ(p)/f(p) can divide by zero and Lean would assign a spurious value. The paper says the root equation has a unique solution under Assumption 1, but nondecreasing ψ\psiψ alone does not guarantee existence or uniqueness. Accordingly, the root policy is characterized by its equation and an explicit uniqueness condition. The Bellman recursion uses a least-upper-bound predicate rather than a real supremum with a default value on an empty or unbounded set. The corrected sign in the recursion matches the paper's root equation and discounted-revenue equation.

For stock x0x_0x0​, the model uses x0x_0x0​ independent rate-one exponential clocks. At inventory xxx, the next holding time is the next clock divided by λFˉ(π(x))\lambda\bar F(\pi(x))λFˉ(π(x)). Sales are numbered 1,…,x01,\ldots,x_01,…,x0​, and sale kkk earns π(x0−k+1)\pi(x_0-k+1)π(x0​−k+1). The law is the myopic sales process with intensity λFˉ(π(x))\lambda\bar F(\pi(x))λFˉ(π(x)). Expected revenues are lower integrals in the extended nonnegative reals; nonnegative prices make their real-to-extended conversion exact. An independent X∼Exp⁡(β)X\sim\operatorname{Exp}(\beta)X∼Exp(β) is represented by an outer integral over its law. The factor λ\lambdaλ missing from the paper's printed compensator display is restored, and the paper's intermediate 1+e−βT/T1+e^{-\beta T}/T1+e−βT/T is read with the missing β\betaβ restored.

The strategic-customer types, stopping rules, perfect Bayesian equilibrium, and the identification of the strategic policy's revenue with myopic-sales revenue are not formalized here. Neither are Theorem 1's OPT\mathrm{OPT}OPT and J∗J^*J∗ benchmarks: their specification is not pinned down sufficiently in the paper for this proposal. In particular, JJJ is constructed from sale times and payments, never from VVV, and VVV is specified by the Bellman equation, never as the policy's revenue. Contributions toward the goal include the individual milestones and reusable facts about the clock process, its revenue, and the exponential horizon.

Selected references

  • Y. Chen and V. F. Farias, Robust Dynamic Pricing with Strategic Customers, Mathematics of Operations Research 43(4):1119–1142, 2018. DOI: 10.1287/moor.2017.0897.
  • G. Gallego and G. van Ryzin, Optimal Dynamic Pricing of Inventories with Stochastic Demand over Finite Horizons, Management Science 40(8):999–1020, 1994. DOI: 10.1287/mnsc.40.8.999.
  • V. F. Farias and B. Van Roy, Dynamic Pricing with a Prior on Market Response, Operations Research 58(1):16–29, 2010. DOI: 10.1287/opre.1090.0729.
  • P. Brémaud, Point Processes and Queues: Martingale Dynamics, Springer, 1981. DOI: 10.1007/978-1-4684-9477-8.
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Bandit AlgorithmsMachine LearningOperations Research+1·Captain: mikedeng1

Personalized Dynamic Pricing with Machine Learning: High-Dimensional Features and Heterogeneous Elasticity 1: Under Known Sparsity, ILSX Pricing Has Regret at Most Cs√T log TResearch Paper

Motivation

A seller who changes prices while learning demand faces two costs: a price experiment may earn less revenue now, while insufficient experimentation leaves later prices poorly calibrated. Customer features make the balance harder because both willingness to buy and sensitivity to price may vary between customers. Ban and Keskin study this problem when the number of recorded features can be large relative to the selling horizon. Their known-support policy, ILSX, provides the upper bound formalized here Ban and Keskin, 2021, §§2 and 4.1.

The paper's result is a statement about learning a demand model while serving sequential customers, rather than about fitting that model after all observations are available. A price at period ttt must use information then available, including the arriving customer's features but excluding that customer's demand shock. The seller therefore needs a policy whose expected revenue loss can be bounded uniformly over the unknown parameters in a specified model Ban and Keskin, 2021, pp. 5552–5556.

Setting

In each period t=1,2,…t=1,2,\ldotst=1,2,…, a customer arrives with a feature vector Zt∈RdZ_t\in\mathbb R^dZt​∈Rd. The seller observes the augmented vector Xt=[1;Zt]X_t=[1;Z_t]Xt​=[1;Zt​], posts a price pt∈[ℓ,u]p_t\in[\ell,u]pt​∈[ℓ,u] with 0<ℓ<u0<\ell<u0<ℓ<u, and then observes demand. In the linear demand model, demand equals

Dt=α⋅Xt+(β⋅Xt)pt+εt.D_t=\alpha\cdot X_t+(\beta\cdot X_t)p_t+\varepsilon_t.Dt​=α⋅Xt​+(β⋅Xt​)pt​+εt​.

The intercept and slope vectors α,β\alpha,\betaα,β are unknown. The seller knows the sparsity structure S\mathcal SS: outside this set of coordinate indices, both parameter vectors vanish. The compressed parameter θS=(αS,βS)\theta_{\mathcal S}=(\alpha_{\mathcal S},\beta_{\mathcal S})θS​=(αS​,βS​) lies in a compact coordinate rectangle ΘS\Theta_{\mathcal S}ΘS​, and s=∣S∣≥1s=|\mathcal S|\ge1s=∣S∣≥1. The compressed customer vector is XS,t=(Xt,i)i∈SX_{\mathcal S,t}=(X_{t,i})_{i\in\mathcal S}XS,t​=(Xt,i​)i∈S​ Ban and Keskin, 2021, pp. 5552–5555.

At price ppp, expected single-period revenue is r(p,θS,x)=p[αS⋅x+(βS⋅x)p]r(p,\theta_{\mathcal S},x)=p[\alpha_{\mathcal S}\cdot x+(\beta_{\mathcal S}\cdot x)p]r(p,θS​,x)=p[αS​⋅x+(βS​⋅x)p]. The clairvoyant price is φ(θS,x)=−(αS⋅x)/(2βS⋅x)\varphi(\theta_{\mathcal S},x)=-(\alpha_{\mathcal S}\cdot x)/(2\beta_{\mathcal S}\cdot x)φ(θS​,x)=−(αS​⋅x)/(2βS​⋅x) when the slope is negative. The paper assumes this price is in (ℓ,u)(\ell,u)(ℓ,u) throughout its model domain. Expected regret ΔθSπ(T)\Delta^{\pi}_{\theta_{\mathcal S}}(T)ΔθS​π​(T) is the expected sum, through period TTT, of the clairvoyant revenue minus the revenue at the policy's price Ban and Keskin, 2021, (2)–(4), p. 5553–5554.

The ILSX policy charges one fixed experimental price m1m_1m1​ at periods 1,4,9,…1,4,9,\ldots1,4,9,… and a distinct price m2m_2m2​ at periods 2,5,10,…2,5,10,\ldots2,5,10,…. At every other period it estimates the compressed demand parameter by least squares using experimental observations, projects the estimate onto ΘS\Theta_{\mathcal S}ΘS​, and applies φ\varphiφ to the projected estimate and the current customer vector. Both prices lie in [ℓ,u][\ell,u][ℓ,u] Ban and Keskin, 2021, (7), (8), (12), pp. 5555–5556.

Formalization targets

The goal is Theorem 2: for the stated model and ILSX policy, a finite positive constant CCC exists such that

ΔθSILSX(m1,m2)(T)≤CsTlog⁡T(θS∈ΘS, T≥2).\Delta^{\mathrm{ILSX}(m_1,m_2)}_{\theta_{\mathcal S}}(T)\le Cs\sqrt T\log T\qquad(\theta_{\mathcal S}\in\Theta_{\mathcal S},\ T\ge2).ΔθS​ILSX(m1​,m2​)​(T)≤CsT​logT(θS​∈ΘS​, T≥2).

The constant is chosen after the model, shock process, experimental prices, and estimator selection are fixed, but before the parameter and horizon. The theorem and Remark 5 are on pp. 5556–5557 of Ban and Keskin, 2021.

The milestones reproduce the paper's route into this claim: the experimental-period count following (7); the growth bound (15) for the price-variation statistic JtJ_tJt​; Lemma 1's minimum-eigenvalue probability bound for the experimental information matrix J~S,t\widetilde{\mathcal J}_{\mathcal S,t}J​S,t​; and Lemma 2's high-probability bound for its noise-driven estimation error. The least-squares error identity (11) is included as a supporting item on invertible samples, not as a milestone. The constants and thresholds in these targets remain existential where the article leaves them existential Ban and Keskin, 2021, pp. 5555–5556.

Significance

The theorem gives a guarantee for a concrete pricing policy under feature-dependent price sensitivity. The bound grows with the horizon at order Tlog⁡T\sqrt T\log TT​logT for a fixed known support, with an explicit factor sss in the published statement. It lets a seller compare the cost of this policy with the revenue of a seller who knew the demand coefficients before pricing. The paper presents its result as matching its lower-bound benchmark up to logarithmic factors, under the paper's respective hypotheses Ban and Keskin, 2021, Theorems 1–2, pp. 5554–5556.

The mathematical result was published in 2021. This mission seeks a machine-checked statement and proof of the known-support guarantee and its stated intermediate results. The checked Prove2Me prior-art catalog contains featureless dynamic-pricing results and separate least-squares results, but no matching formalization of ILSX. A completed development would add reusable definitions for a feature-dependent price regressor, experimental information matrix, nonanticipating estimator selection, and expected regret. The article places its proofs in an electronic companion, which is not included in the held source PDF; this mission does not reproduce those proofs as source material.

Difficulty

The policy learns from a sparse set of deliberately chosen periods, while its regret accumulates at every period. A pointwise least-squares identity alone does not control the regret: the information matrix can be singular at early periods, and the customer features and shocks are random. In particular, the printed inverse identity (11) says “for all t≥2t\ge2t≥2”, although at t=2t=2t=2 the matrix has rank at most two and cannot be invertible when s≥2s\ge2s≥2. The formal statement therefore confines the inverse identity to invertible samples. Lemma 2's event also includes invertibility so a default inverse of a singular matrix cannot make its error bound automatic Ban and Keskin, 2021, (9)–(11), Lemma 2, p. 5556.

Formalization scope

Lean uses one-based periods and a support subtype of the augmented feature coordinates. Coordinate zero is the paper's intercept coordinate one. The parameter has coordinates (j,i)(j,i)(j,i) for demand intercept or price slope j∈{0,1}j\in\{0,1\}j∈{0,1} and support index i∈Si\in\mathcal Si∈S. The regressor [1;p]⊗XS,t[1;p]\otimes X_{\mathcal S,t}[1;p]⊗XS,t​ gives the information matrix in (10). Euclidean squared norms are explicit sums of squares, and the minimum-eigenvalue claim is the equivalent Rayleigh inequality. The parameter rectangle is nonempty, and its Euclidean projection is coordinatewise clamping.

The standing assumptions are d≥1d\ge1d≥1, s≥1s\ge1s≥1, 0<ℓ<u0<\ell<u0<ℓ<u, distinct experimental prices in [ℓ,u][\ell,u][ℓ,u], bounded i.i.d. features with mean zero and positive-definite covariance, and a fixed shock process with conditional mean zero, bounded conditional second moment, and finite conditional exponential moments near zero. The feature process is measurable and integrable. The model additionally states independence of the next customer's features from the past primitives, the reading of the paper's joint probability construction used here. The slope is negative and the clairvoyant price lies in (ℓ,u)(\ell,u)(ℓ,u) for every allowed parameter and realized feature. These conditions ensure that the price formula represents a genuine revenue maximum. The phrase about continuous features having positive measure in the interior of their domains is omitted because the page does not specify the domains or a reference measure Ban and Keskin, 2021, §2, pp. 5552–5554.

The estimator is any measurable minimizer of the experimental least-squares objective for histories with at least two observations. Its type depends only on earlier observations; at nonexperimental periods the recorded pseudo-observations are ignored by the objective. The shock law is fixed while the parameter varies. Expected regret uses a nonnegative integral, and conditional second and exponential moments use nonnegative conditional expectations. The theorem binds CCC before the parameter and horizon, while leaving support size fixed with the model. Consequently, the stronger uniformity in sss suggested by Remark 5 is outside this statement. These choices exclude vacuous integrals, unconstrained estimators, and accidental bounds from a singular matrix inverse. Work on the probability estimates, least-squares identity, and regret bound is welcome under these exact definitions.

Selected references

  • G.-Y. Ban and N. B. Keskin, Personalized Dynamic Pricing with Machine Learning: High-Dimensional Features and Heterogeneous Elasticity, Management Science 67(9):5549–5568, 2021. DOI: 10.1287/mnsc.2020.3680.
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Machine LearningOperations ResearchOptimal Transport+1·Captain: mikedeng1

Wasserstein Distributionally Robust Optimization and Variation Regularization II: The ∞-Wasserstein Regularizer Equals ρ Times the Mean Local Slope up to ρ²‖H‖ Plus a Boundary TermResearch Paper

Motivation

In distributionally robust optimization, a decision is judged against probability laws near a nominal law rather than against the nominal law alone. The nominal law is often the empirical distribution of observed data. For a loss function, this produces a worst-case expected loss that depends on the size and geometry of the permitted changes to the data. The infinity-Wasserstein model restricts how far any observation can be moved, apart from null events in a coupling. It is a mathematical form of the bounded perturbations used in adversarial learning. Gao, Chen and Kleywegt study when this robust loss behaves like a regularizer based on variation or local slope.

For a finite data set, the nominal law has finite support. This makes the infinity-Wasserstein case especially concrete: each atom of the empirical law has a radius-limited set of possible destinations. Yet the objective still ranges over all probability measures, and the loss need not be bounded on a metric ball. The paper's finite-support duality result and its local-slope estimate together identify the regularization term that this distributional model produces.

Setting

Let (Z,d)(Z,d)(Z,d) be a metric space and let P,QP,QP,Q be probability laws on its Borel sets. A coupling π\piπ of PPP and QQQ is a joint law on Z×ZZ\times ZZ×Z with those two marginals. The infinity-Wasserstein distance is

W∞(P,Q)=inf⁡π∈Γ(P,Q)ess sup⁡(z~,z)∼πd(z~,z).W_\infty(P,Q)=\inf_{\pi\in\Gamma(P,Q)} \operatorname*{ess\,sup}_{(\tilde z,z)\sim\pi}d(\tilde z,z).W∞​(P,Q)=π∈Γ(P,Q)inf​(z~,z)∼πesssup​d(z~,z).

Given a real loss fff and a radius ρ≥0\rho\ge0ρ≥0, the robust value is the supremum of EP[f]\mathbb E_P[f]EP​[f] over all PPP satisfying W∞(P,Q)≤ρW_\infty(P,Q)\le\rhoW∞​(P,Q)≤ρ. The regularizer RQ,∞(ρ;f)R_{Q,\infty}(\rho;f)RQ,∞​(ρ;f) is this robust value minus EQ[f]\mathbb E_Q[f]EQ​[f]. For observations z1,…,znz_1,\ldots,z_nz1​,…,zn​, the empirical law is Pn=n−1∑i=1nδziP_n=n^{-1}\sum_{i=1}^n\delta_{z_i}Pn​=n−1∑i=1n​δzi​​.

The one-sided local slope ∣∂f∣(z)|\partial f|(z)∣∂f∣(z) records the greatest limiting rate at which fff can increase under a perturbation that tends to zzz. The local growth Gf(δ,z)G_f(\delta,z)Gf​(δ,z) is the largest increase f(z~)−f(z)f(\tilde z)-f(z)f(z~)−f(z) among destinations with d(z~,z)≤δd(\tilde z,z)\le\deltad(z~,z)≤δ. A set DfD_fDf​ marks the interfaces between pieces of a piecewise loss. Its boundary contribution at zzz is (δ−d(z,Df))+(\delta-d(z,D_f))_+(δ−d(z,Df​))+​, where the distance to an empty set is infinite. These objects appear in Definition 2 and Assumption 5(I).

Formalization targets

Finite-support transport duality

For a nominal law Q=∑jqjδzjQ=\sum_j q_j\delta_{z_j}Q=∑j​qj​δzj​​, the first targets assert that an optimal coupling exists when W∞(P,Q)W_\infty(P,Q)W∞​(P,Q) is finite and that

sup⁡P:W∞(P,Q)≤ρEP[f]=∑jqjsup⁡d(z~,zj)≤ρf(z~).\sup_{P:W_\infty(P,Q)\le\rho}\mathbb E_P[f] =\sum_j q_j\sup_{d(\tilde z,z_j)\le\rho}f(\tilde z).P:W∞​(P,Q)≤ρsup​EP​[f]=j∑​qj​d(z~,zj​)≤ρsup​f(z~).

This is Lemma EC.2 in the appendix. The values are allowed to be infinite when a local loss supremum is infinite; the printed assertion of unconditional finiteness is not included.

Consistency

For an upper semicontinuous loss, the Proposition 1 case p=∞p=\inftyp=∞ asserts

lim⁡ρ↓0RPn,∞(ρ;f)=0=RPn,∞(0;f).\lim_{\rho\downarrow0}R_{P_n,\infty}(\rho;f)=0=R_{P_n,\infty}(0;f).ρ↓0lim​RPn​,∞​(ρ;f)=0=RPn​,∞​(0;f).

It is a companion statement: it says that the regularizer vanishes, while the main target says at which rate.

Local-slope regularization

The main target is Theorem 1(I), in its general-metric form from Appendix B under Assumption 5(I). If δ0>0\delta_0>0δ0​>0, M≥0M\ge0M≥0, and the local growth obeys

∣Gf(δ,z)−δ∣∂f∣(z)∣≤H(z)δ2+M(δ−d(z,Df))+(0≤δ<δ0),|G_f(\delta,z)-\delta|\partial f|(z)| \le H(z)\delta^2+M(\delta-d(z,D_f))_+ \quad(0\le\delta<\delta_0),∣Gf​(δ,z)−δ∣∂f∣(z)∣≤H(z)δ2+M(δ−d(z,Df​))+​(0≤δ<δ0​),

then, for a sufficiently small radius, every nonempty empirical sample and every loss in the class satisfy

∣RPn,∞(ρ;f)−ρ1n∑i=1n∣∂f∣(zi)∣≤ρ21n∑i=1n∣H(zi)∣+M1n∑i=1n(ρ−d(zi,Df))+.\left|R_{P_n,\infty}(\rho;f) -\rho\frac1n\sum_{i=1}^n|\partial f|(z_i)\right| \le\rho^2\frac1n\sum_{i=1}^n|H(z_i)| +M\frac1n\sum_{i=1}^n(\rho-d(z_i,D_f))_+.​RPn​,∞​(ρ;f)−ρn1​i=1∑n​∣∂f∣(zi​)​≤ρ2n1​i=1∑n​∣H(zi​)∣+Mn1​i=1∑n​(ρ−d(zi​,Df​))+​.

The finite-support duality and the identity between the empirical regularizer and the average of Gf(ρ,zi)G_f(\rho,z_i)Gf​(ρ,zi​) are the mission's intermediate targets. The printed ρn2\rho_n^2ρn2​ in Lemma EC.9 is read as ρ2\rho^2ρ2, as in Theorem 1(I).

Significance

The estimate gives a precise first-order description of infinity-Wasserstein robustness: the mean local slope is its leading regularization term. The quadratic term measures local curvature or growth, while the boundary term records the effect of sample points close to interfaces between loss pieces. Setting M=0M=0M=0 gives the smooth-loss regime, where that interface correction vanishes. The result makes it possible to compare bounded data perturbations with explicit variation penalties using the same loss class and sample.

The paper proves the result. The formalization work here is to express its objects and quantified conditions in Lean, establish finite-support duality for the extended-real robust value, and then formalize the known local estimate. No machine-checked proof of these mission targets is claimed here. The transport and duality definitions can support other finite-support distributionally robust models; the local-slope definitions can be reused for other metric-space perturbation bounds.

Difficulty

The robust value is a supremum over probability laws, whereas the target bound is a finite average of pointwise quantities. Relating the two requires control of the infinity-Wasserstein constraint at every nominal atom, including cases where an infimum over couplings must be attained. A direct substitution of a pointwise supremum into an expectation does not establish the reverse inequality, and extended-real values need care when a loss is unbounded. At the local level, a slope is only a limit near a point; the inequality needed here holds uniformly for all losses, all points, and all sufficiently small radii, with a correction near DfD_fDf​.

Formalization scope

The Lean metric space uses its Borel measurable structure and is second countable, so the distance on the product is measurable. It has no isolated points, matching §3.4. Losses in the class are measurable. Sample indices are Fin n with n>0n>0n>0, and PnP_nPn​ is the published empirical probability law. Infinity-Wasserstein distance takes values in [0,+∞][0,+\infty][0,+∞]; robust values and local growth use extended reals. The theorem explicitly requires finite local slopes and finite growth values in the range where Assumption 5(I)'s real inequality is used. The regularizer is built from the supremum over all probability laws in the Wasserstein ball, and its finite-sample result states finiteness before converting its value to a real number. This rules out replacing the regularizer by the easier average of local growth.

The paper defines DfD_fDf​ from intersections of closures of pieces and assumes it is null under a true law. The deterministic estimate uses only distances to DfD_fDf​, so this mission treats DfD_fDf​ as supplied data and does not require nullity. Likewise, H∈L1(Ptrue)H\in L^1(P_{\rm true})H∈L1(Ptrue​) is needed for the paper's statistical setting but the target evaluates HHH only at finite sample points, so no true law appears in this statement. The radius bound is placed before the sample because Assumption 5(I) supplies one common δ0\delta_0δ0​. These generalizations and the positive-radius reading of Assumption 5(I) are explicit in the item statements. Contributions toward the optimal-coupling lemma, extended-real finite-support duality, and the local estimate all advance the target.

Selected references

  • R. Gao and A. J. Kleywegt, Distributionally Robust Stochastic Optimization with Wasserstein Distance, Mathematics of Operations Research, 2023; arXiv:1604.02199. Source of the duality theory for finite ppp that Lemma EC.1 quotes.
  • R. Gao, X. Chen and A. J. Kleywegt, Wasserstein Distributionally Robust Optimization and Variation Regularization, Operations Research, 2024; arXiv:1712.06050, source preprint dated 2020-10-30, especially Theorem 1(I), Assumption 5(I), Lemmas EC.2 and EC.9.
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Bandit AlgorithmsMachine LearningProbability+1·Captain: mikedeng1

The Multi-Armed Bandit Problem with Covariates I: Successive Elimination Has Expected Regret at Most 392γ²(1 + n/T)(K/Δ)log(TΔ²/18γ²) + nΔ⁻ Under a Random HorizonResearch Paper

Motivation

In a multi-armed bandit, a decision maker repeatedly chooses an arm, observes a reward, and tries to learn which arm has the highest average reward while losing little reward during learning. A policy that requires the number of future pulls in advance cannot be used unchanged when stopping time is uncertain. Perchet and Rigollet study successive elimination (SE), which removes poorly performing arms from a shrinking active set and can run without knowing the realized horizon. Their Theorem 2.1 bounds its expected regret when the horizon is random and independent of rewards Perchet and Rigollet, 2013, Theorem 2.1.

The static-bandit theorem also supplies a concentration and elimination analysis used in the paper's broader study of bandits with covariates. This mission isolates that theorem and the intermediate estimates that make its quantitative constant explicit. The paper proves the result in §2, with a concentration lemma in the Appendix; the goal here is a machine-checked statement and, eventually, a machine-checked proof of that known result.

Setting

There are K+1≥2K+1\ge2K+1≥2 arms. For each arm iii, the reward stack Yi,1,Yi,2,…Y_{i,1},Y_{i,2},\ldotsYi,1​,Yi,2​,… lists the rewards that successive pulls of that arm will reveal. Rewards lie in [0,1][0,1][0,1], are identically distributed along each arm, and have mean fif_ifi​. The stacks are mutually independent. Arms are indexed so that f1≤⋯≤fK+1f_1\le\cdots\le f_{K+1}f1​≤⋯≤fK+1​, and the last arm, denoted ∗*∗, is uniquely best. Its gap from arm iii is Δi=f∗−fi\Delta_i=f_*-f_iΔi​=f∗​−fi​. A gap is zero only for the best arm.

The policy works in rounds. At the start of round τ\tauτ, a nonempty set IτI_\tauIτ​ is active. It pulls each arm in IτI_\tauIτ​ once, in increasing index order, and computes the mean Yˉi(τ)\bar Y_i(\tau)Yˉi​(τ) from that arm's first τ\tauτ rewards. It retains an arm when its mean is within γU(τ,T)\gamma U(\tau,T)γU(τ,T) of the largest active mean, where T≥1T\ge1T≥1 is an integer, γ≥1\gamma\ge1γ≥1, and

log⁡‾(x)=max⁡{log⁡x,1},U(τ,T)=22log⁡‾(T/τ)τ.\overline{\log}(x)=\max\{\log x,1\},\qquad U(\tau,T)=2\sqrt{\frac{2\overline{\log}(T/\tau)}{\tau}}.log​(x)=max{logx,1},U(τ,T)=2τ2log​(T/τ)​​.

Concatenating the rounds gives the pull sequence π^1,π^2,…\widehat\pi_1,\widehat\pi_2,\ldotsπ1​,π2​,…. For a horizon NNN, its regret is RN(π^)=∑t=1NΔπ^tR_N(\widehat\pi)=\sum_{t=1}^{N}\Delta_{\widehat\pi_t}RN​(π)=∑t=1N​Δπt​​. If NNN is random, independent of the reward stacks, and has mean nnn, the paper studies ERN(π^)\mathbb E R_N(\widehat\pi)ERN​(π). For a threshold Δ>0\Delta>0Δ>0, let Δ−\Delta^-Δ− be the largest arm gap strictly smaller than Δ\DeltaΔ, or zero if none exists.

Formalization targets

The goal is Theorem 2.1, for every positive threshold Δ\DeltaΔ:

ERN(π^)≤392γ2(1+nT)KΔ log⁡‾ ⁣(TΔ218γ2)+nΔ−.\mathbb E R_N(\widehat\pi) \le 392\gamma^2\left(1+\frac nT\right) \frac K\Delta\, \overline{\log}\!\left(\frac{T\Delta^2}{18\gamma^2}\right) +n\Delta^-.ERN​(π)≤392γ2(1+Tn​)ΔK​log​(18γ2TΔ2​)+nΔ−.

The KKK in this formula counts suboptimal arms; there are K+1K+1K+1 arms in total. The paper writes Δ≥0\Delta\ge0Δ≥0 under a convention that division by zero is infinite. The real-valued Lean goal states the informative positive-threshold case.

The milestones include the Appendix's maximal Hoeffding–Azuma inequality and Lemma A.1, which controls all empirical averages up to a fixed time. In §2 they continue with the stopping-round estimate (2.2), the empirical-gap tail (2.5), the bound Φj(τ)≤4τ/T\Phi_j(\tau)\le4\tau/TΦj​(τ)≤4τ/T for a false elimination of the best arm, and the final comparison for ϕ(x)=log⁡‾(ax2)/x\phi(x)=\overline{\log}(a x^2)/xϕ(x)=log​(ax2)/x. Each has its own statement so that a proof of the goal can import the exact estimate it needs.

Significance

The bound separates the cost of learning arms with gaps above Δ\DeltaΔ from the remaining regret represented by nΔ−n\Delta^-nΔ−. It applies when the policy uses a tuning value TTT but the number of pulls actually made is the random variable NNN. Thus it gives a quantitative guarantee without asking the algorithm to know its stopping time in advance. Its constants and dependence on TTT, nnn, KKK, and γ\gammaγ are explicit Perchet and Rigollet, 2013, §2.

The result is proved in the paper, while the Lean declarations in this proposal are open statements. Completing them would add a reusable formal account of elimination on a reward stack and of the Appendix's time-uniform concentration estimate. Mathlib and existing platform theorems contain related Hoeffding–Azuma tools, but this paper's peeling inequality, its particular stopping rule, and the random-horizon regret conclusion still require proofs in the stated model.

Difficulty

An ordinary concentration bound at one sample size does not control every round in which an arm could eliminate the best arm. Taking a naive union bound over all rounds loses the dependence on TTT needed for the displayed regret constant. The Appendix instead states a maximal inequality and a bound that holds across a range of sample sizes. The regret calculation must then account for both kinds of error: removing the best arm and retaining a suboptimal arm for too long.

The stopping round depends on the gap through U(τ,T)U(\tau,T)U(τ,T), which itself contains log⁡‾(T/τ)\overline{\log}(T/\tau)log​(T/τ). Its upper bound, the event decomposition across ordered arms, and the final comparison of gap-dependent terms all retain the paper's exact constants. A proof that only establishes the asymptotic rate would not close this goal.

Formalization scope

Lean uses Fin (K+1) with zero-based indices, so its last element is the paper's arm K+1K+1K+1. The published stochastic-bandit definition supplies the mutually independent reward stack and arm means. The [0,1] bound, sorted means, and unique best arm are explicit assumptions. A separate martingale-difference definition supplies the Appendix's adapted, integrable sequence, including centering of its first term; the page's one-line definition leaves that first-step condition unstated. The concentration milestones require a nondegenerate interval a<ba<ba<b: the displayed maximal exponent divides by (b−a)2(b-a)^2(b−a)2, and Lemma A.1 is false at a=b=0a=b=0a=b=0 for a zero sequence and δ<1\delta<1δ<1.

The SE policy is a function of observed rewards in the stack. It uses the end-of-round test described in the text and proof of §2, with equality retained, since Policy 1's pseudocode tests at a different point in the round. The active set starts with all arms and remains nonempty; the total Lean pull function has a fallback value that is unreachable under the theorem's parameters. The policy never reads the unknown means. Empirical means and UUU are used only at positive rounds.

The horizon is measurable and integrable, has mean nnn, and is independent of the entire reward stack. Since regret is bounded by the horizon, its expectation is a genuine integral rather than the default value of a non-integrable Lean integral. The positive-threshold condition avoids Lean's zero-valued division at Δ=0\Delta=0Δ=0. Finite maxima are taken over finite arm sets, and log⁡‾\overline{\log}log​ is kept distinct from the ordinary logarithm in the Appendix's bounds. The paper's printed nnn in the logarithm of (2.7) and the final ϕ\phiϕ comparison is read as TTT, consistently with (2.2) and Theorem 2.1. Contributions to the concentration lemmas, stopping-round analysis, elimination events, and final regret proof all fit this scope.

Selected references

  • V. Perchet and P. Rigollet, The multi-armed bandit problem with covariates, Annals of Statistics 41(2), 2013, 693–721. arXiv:1110.6084v3; DOI:10.1214/13-AOS1101.
  • S. Bubeck and N. Cesa-Bianchi, Regret Analysis of Stochastic and Nonstochastic Multi-armed Bandit Problems, Foundations and Trends in Machine Learning 5(1), 2012. arXiv:1204.5721.
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CombinatoricsGeometry & TopologyGraph Theory·Captain: mikedeng1

Planar Graphs Have Bounded Queue-Number 2: Every Graph of Euler Genus g Has Queue-Number at Most 4g + 49Research Paper

Motivation

A queue layout of a graph places its vertices on a line and splits its edges into classes, called queues, so that inside one queue no edge is nested inside another. The minimum number of queues is the queue-number. Queue layouts were introduced by Heath, Leighton and Rosenberg (1992) and Heath and Rosenberg (1992) as the dual of stack layouts (book embeddings): reading the vertex order from left to right, the edges of one queue are opened and closed in first-in first-out order. Queue layouts are closely tied to track layouts and, through them, to three-dimensional grid drawings of graphs (§9 of the paper).

Whether planar graphs have bounded queue-number was asked by Heath, Leighton and Rosenberg in 1992 and stayed open for 27 years. The best general bounds before 2019 grew with the number of vertices: O(n)O(\sqrt n)O(n​) by Heath, Leighton and Rosenberg (1992), O(log⁡2n)O(\log^2 n)O(log2n) by Di Battista, Frati and Pach (2013), and O(log⁡n)O(\log n)O(logn) by Dujmović (2015); for Euler genus ggg, Dujmović, Morin and Wood (2017) had O(g+log⁡n)O(g + \log n)O(g+logn). Dujmović, Joret, Micek, Morin, Ueckerdt and Wood (arXiv:1904.04791, J. ACM 2020) proved that every planar graph has queue-number at most 494949 (Theorem 1), and extended the result to every graph embeddable in a fixed surface (Theorem 2) and to every proper minor-closed class (Theorem 3).

This mission is Theorem 2: graphs of Euler genus ggg have queue-number at most 4g+494g + 494g+49. It is the second mission of a two-mission series; the first poses Theorem 1.

Setting

All graphs are finite and simple. A linear ordering ⪯\preceq⪯ of the vertex set V(G)V(G)V(G) is fixed. Two edges vwvwvw and xyxyxy with four distinct ends nest if v≺x≺y≺wv \prec x \prec y \prec wv≺x≺y≺w (after renaming the ends). A queue is a set of edges no two of which nest. A kkk-queue layout of GGG is a linear ordering together with a partition of E(G)E(G)E(G) into kkk queues, and qn⁡(G)≤k\operatorname{qn}(G) \le kqn(G)≤k means that a kkk-queue layout exists.

A layering of GGG is an ordered partition (V0,V1,… )(V_0, V_1, \dots)(V0​,V1​,…) of V(G)V(G)V(G) such that every edge joins two vertices of the same or of consecutive layers. A BFS layering takes one root rrr in each connected component and puts vvv in layer dist⁡(r,v)\operatorname{dist}(r, v)dist(r,v). A BFS spanning tree of a connected graph GGG rooted at rrr is a spanning tree TTT with dist⁡T(r,v)=dist⁡G(r,v)\operatorname{dist}_T(r, v) = \operatorname{dist}_G(r, v)distT​(r,v)=distG​(r,v) for every vvv. A path in TTT is vertical if the distance to rrr grows by exactly one at every step.

The Euler genus of the orientable surface with hhh handles is 2h2h2h, and that of the non-orientable surface with ccc cross-caps is ccc; the Euler genus of a graph is the least Euler genus of a surface it embeds in (footnote 2 of the paper). Planar graphs are exactly the graphs of Euler genus 000. Combinatorially, an embedding of a graph is described by an embedding scheme: a cyclic order of the edges at each vertex (a rotation system) together with a sign on every edge (twisted or not). Tracing faces through the scheme gives a face count fff, and with nnn vertices, mmm edges and ccc components the scheme has Euler genus 2c−n+m−f2c - n + m - f2c−n+m−f.

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem 2 with the paper's bound

Euler genus of G≤g ⟹ qn⁡(G)≤4g+49.\text{Euler genus of } G \le g \ \Longrightarrow\ \operatorname{qn}(G) \le 4g + 49 .Euler genus of G≤g ⟹ qn(G)≤4g+49.

The paper states Theorem 2 as qn⁡(G)=O(g)\operatorname{qn}(G) = O(g)qn(G)=O(g) and proves the explicit bound 4g+494g + 494g+49 in §5. The goal poses that explicit bound, for every finite graph, connected or not.

Milestones

  1. Lemma 18 (p. 18). Every BFS layering (V0,V1,… )(V_0, V_1, \dots)(V0​,V1​,…) of a planar graph GGG admits a 494949-queue layout whose vertex ordering lists V0V_0V0​, then V1V_1V1​, then V2V_2V2​, and so on.
  2. Lemma 21 (p. 19). If GGG is connected with Euler genus at most ggg and TTT is a BFS spanning tree with layering (Vi)(V_i)(Vi​), there is a connected (or empty) subgraph ZZZ with at most 2g2g2g vertices in each layer such that G−V(Z)G - V(Z)G−V(Z) is planar and sits inside a connected planar graph G+G^+G+ whose own BFS layering (Wi)(W_i)(Wi​) satisfies Wi∩(V(G)∖V(Z))=Vi∖V(Z)W_i \cap (V(G)\setminus V(Z)) = V_i \setminus V(Z)Wi​∩(V(G)∖V(Z))=Vi​∖V(Z); vertical paths of the BFS tree of G+G^+G+ restrict to vertical paths of TTT.
  3. The 4g4g4g-queue step (p. 23). If GGG has a layering with at most 2g2g2g vertices of ZZZ per layer and G−ZG - ZG−Z has a 494949-queue layout ordered layer by layer, then qn⁡(G)≤4g+49\operatorname{qn}(G) \le 4g + 49qn(G)≤4g+49.

Significance

The result. Theorem 2 settles boundedness of the queue-number for every class of graphs embeddable in a fixed surface, with a bound linear in the Euler genus. Through the connection between queue-number and track-number, the paper derives from it (§9, Theorems 54 and 58) that a graph of Euler genus ggg with nnn vertices has track-number gO(g4/7)g^{O(g^{4/7})}gO(g4/7) and a three-dimensional grid drawing of volume gO(g4/7)ng^{O(g^{4/7})} ngO(g4/7)n, linear in nnn for every fixed surface. It is also a step on the paper's route to Theorem 3 (proper minor-closed classes), since graphs on surfaces are the basic pieces of the Robertson–Seymour graph minor structure theorem. Lemma 21 is of independent use: it reduces a graph on a surface to a planar graph while controlling BFS layers.

Formalizing it. The result is proved; as far as is known it has no machine-checked proof. A formalization needs queue layouts, layerings, BFS layerings and vertical paths, and, independently of queues, a usable combinatorial theory of graphs on surfaces, which Lean's Mathlib does not have. The Euler genus definition of this mission (embedding schemes and face tracing) and Lemma 21 are reusable well beyond queue layouts.

Difficulty

The obvious reduction, deleting few vertices to make the graph planar, is not enough: a planar subgraph alone does not control how the deleted vertices interact with a queue layout. The deleted set must be thin in every BFS layer, and the planar remainder must carry a BFS layering compatible with the original one, which is what Lemma 21 provides. Its proof cuts the surface along a subgraph made of tree paths and must show that the cut graph is planar by an Euler-characteristic count over face-tracing data, and that distances from a new root agree with the old BFS distances. In Lean, the main obstacle is the surface side: Euler's formula for embedding schemes, the cutting operation on rotation systems, and the passage between the combinatorial notion of Euler genus and the drawing-based notion of planarity. The planar input, Lemma 18, is itself the whole of mission 1's argument (Theorem 15 with Lemmas 5 and 8).

Formalization scope

  • Graphs are SimpleGraph V on a finite type V : Type with decidable equality and adjacency.
  • "qn⁡(G)≤k\operatorname{qn}(G) \le kqn(G)≤k" is HasQueueLayout G k: an injective map ord : V → ℕ (the linear ordering) and an assignment of the edges of GGG (G.edgeSet, not all unordered pairs) to Fin k such that no two edges in one queue nest; nesting uses strict inequalities, so edges sharing an end never nest. Queues may be empty.
  • A layering is a layer function L : V → ℕ; a BFS layering takes one root per component. Vertical paths are nonempty lists indexed from 000 with distance d+id + id+i, d≥0d \ge 0d≥0.
  • Euler genus is combinatorial: EulerGenusLE G g asks for an embedding scheme (rotation permutation of the darts, cyclic at every vertex, and a symmetric edge signature) whose Euler genus 2c−n+m−f2c - n + m - f2c−n+m−f, computed in Z\mathbb ZZ, is at most ggg. The face count is half the number of face-tracing orbits plus the number of isolated vertices. Equivalence with footnote 2's topological definition is the Heffter–Edmonds–Ringel rotation principle and its non-orientable extension, with additivity over components; it is not part of the mission.
  • Planarity is the published RobertsonSeymour1986.GM5.IsPlanar: a crossing-free drawing in R2\mathbb R^2R2 by simple arcs. "Euler genus 000 iff planar" is a theorem connecting the two definitions, not built into either.
  • "Euler genus ggg" is read as "at most ggg" throughout; every bound is monotone in ggg. In Lemma 21, "ZZZ is connected" reads "empty or connected" (the paper takes Z=∅Z = \emptysetZ=∅ when g=0g = 0g=0), and the restriction of a vertical path may be empty.
  • Trivializing formalizations are ruled out: queues indexed on all pairs Sym2 V would deny edgeless graphs a 000-queue layout; non-strict nesting would forbid adjacent edges in one queue; a drawing that tolerates crossings would make every graph planar; a face count without halving, or without isolated vertices, would make the Euler genus too small or too large (the sanity checks confirm K3K_3K3​ has a scheme of Euler genus 000, a twisted K3K_3K3​ one of genus 111, and two isolated vertices genus 000).
  • Welcome contributions: Euler's formula for embedding schemes, face-tracing lemmas, the planar case (Lemma 18, via mission 1's results), the cutting construction of Lemma 21, and the purely combinatorial 4g4g4g-queue step.

Selected references

  • V. Dujmović, G. Joret, P. Micek, P. Morin, T. Ueckerdt, D. R. Wood, Planar graphs have bounded queue-number, J. ACM 67(4), 2020; arXiv:1904.04791v5. https://arxiv.org/abs/1904.04791 , https://doi.org/10.1145/3385731
  • L. S. Heath, F. T. Leighton, A. L. Rosenberg, Comparing queues and stacks as mechanisms for laying out graphs, SIAM J. Discrete Math. 5(3), 1992. https://doi.org/10.1137/0405031
  • L. S. Heath, A. L. Rosenberg, Laying out graphs using queues, SIAM J. Comput. 21(5), 1992. https://doi.org/10.1137/0221055
  • V. Dujmović, Graph layouts via layered separators, J. Combin. Theory Ser. B 110, 2015. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jctb.2014.07.005
  • V. Dujmović, P. Morin, D. R. Wood, Layered separators in minor-closed graph classes with applications, J. Combin. Theory Ser. B 127, 2017. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jctb.2017.05.006
  • B. Mohar, C. Thomassen, Graphs on Surfaces, Johns Hopkins University Press, 2001.
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Harmonic AnalysisOperations ResearchOptimization·Captain: mikedeng1

The Sum-of-Squares Hierarchy on the Sphere, and Applications in Quantum Information Theory I: If 0 ⪯ F ⪯ I on S^{d−1} for a Degree-2n Matrix Polynomial F, Then F + C′ₙ(d/ℓ)²·I Is ℓ-SOS for ℓ ≥ CₙdResearch Paper

Motivation

Maximizing a homogeneous polynomial ppp over the unit sphere, pmax⁡=max⁡x∈Sd−1p(x)p_{\max}=\max_{x\in S^{d-1}}p(x)pmax​=maxx∈Sd−1​p(x), covers the largest stable set of a graph (degree three), the 2→42\to42→4 norm of a matrix (degree four) and the best separable state problem of quantum information. For quadratic ppp it is an eigenvalue problem; for degree at least three it is NP-hard. The sum-of-squares hierarchy of Parrilo and Lasserre replaces "γ−p≥0\gamma-p\ge0γ−p≥0 on the sphere" by "γ−p\gamma-pγ−p is a sum of squares of polynomials of degree at most ℓ\ellℓ on the sphere", giving upper bounds pℓ≥pmax⁡p_\ell\ge p_{\max}pℓ​≥pmax​ that are computable by a semidefinite program of size dO(ℓ)d^{O(\ell)}dO(ℓ) and decrease to pmax⁡p_{\max}pmax​. How fast they converge decides how large ℓ\ellℓ has to be for a given accuracy. Fang–Fawzi, §1–1.1

Timeline:

  • 1995. Reznick shows, for pmin⁡=0p_{\min}=0pmin​=0, that pℓ/pmax⁡→1p_\ell/p_{\max}\to1pℓ​/pmax​→1 at rate d/ℓd/\elld/ℓ for ℓ\ellℓ large enough. Rez95
  • 2012. Doherty and Wehner study the same hierarchy on the hypersphere and obtain the same rate. DW12
  • 2019. De Klerk and Laurent prove a rate O(1/ℓ2)O(1/\ell^2)O(1/ℓ2) for a hierarchy of lower bounds on pmax⁡p_{\max}pmax​, and ask whether the upper bounds pℓp_\ellpℓ​ converge at the same rate. dKL19
  • 2019. Fang and Fawzi answer this: for ℓ≥Cnd\ell\ge C_ndℓ≥Cn​d the error is O((d/ℓ)2)O((d/\ell)^2)O((d/ℓ)2), and the statement holds for symmetric matrix-valued polynomials with constants that do not depend on the matrix size. Fang–Fawzi, Theorems 1–2

Setting

Write x=(x1,…,xd)x=(x_1,\dots,x_d)x=(x1​,…,xd​), ∥x∥2=∑ixi2\|x\|^2=\sum_ix_i^2∥x∥2=∑i​xi2​, and Sd−1={x∈Rd:∥x∥2=1}S^{d-1}=\{x\in\mathbb R^d:\|x\|^2=1\}Sd−1={x∈Rd:∥x∥2=1}. A k×kk\times kk×k matrix polynomial FFF has a real polynomial in each entry, and F(x)F(x)F(x) is the real matrix of values. A⪰0A\succeq0A⪰0 means that the symmetric matrix AAA is positive semidefinite. A matrix polynomial GGG is ℓ\ellℓ-sos on Sd−1S^{d-1}Sd−1 if there are finitely many k×kk\times kk×k matrix polynomials UjU_jUj​, each entry of total degree at most ℓ\ellℓ, with

G(x)=∑jUj(x)Uj(x)Tfor all x∈Sd−1.G(x)=\sum_jU_j(x)U_j(x)^{\mathsf T}\qquad\text{for all }x\in S^{d-1}.G(x)=j∑​Uj​(x)Uj​(x)Tfor all x∈Sd−1.

For a scalar polynomial ppp, pℓp_\ellpℓ​ is the least γ\gammaγ such that γ−p\gamma-pγ−p (a 1×11\times11×1 matrix) is ℓ\ellℓ-sos on Sd−1S^{d-1}Sd−1, and pmin⁡p_{\min}pmin​ is the minimum of ppp on Sd−1S^{d-1}Sd−1. The level value is +∞+\infty+∞ when no such γ\gammaγ exists.

The milestones use three further objects. A harmonic decomposition of a homogeneous fff of degree 2n2n2n is f=∑k=0n∥x∥2(n−k)f2kf=\sum_{k=0}^n\|x\|^{2(n-k)}f_{2k}f=∑k=0n​∥x∥2(n−k)f2k​ with f2kf_{2k}f2k​ homogeneous of degree 2k2k2k and Δf2k=0\Delta f_{2k}=0Δf2k​=0. B2nB_{2n}B2n​ is the least constant with max⁡Sd−1∣f2k∣≤B2nmax⁡Sd−1∣f∣\max_{S^{d-1}}|f_{2k}|\le B_{2n}\max_{S^{d-1}}|f|maxSd−1​∣f2k​∣≤B2n​maxSd−1​∣f∣ for all such fff in all dimensions. The Gegenbauer coefficients λi(ϕ)\lambda_i(\phi)λi​(ϕ) of a univariate polynomial ϕ\phiϕ are its coefficients against the orthogonal polynomials CiC_iCi​ for the weight (1−t2)(d−3)/2(1-t^2)^{(d-3)/2}(1−t2)(d−3)/2 on [−1,1][-1,1][−1,1], equation (9). For qqq of degree at most ℓ\ellℓ, the kernel error is

ρ2n(d,ℓ)=min⁡deg⁡q≤ℓ, λ0(q2)=1 ∑k=1n∣λ2k(q2)−1−1∣.\rho_{2n}(d,\ell)=\min_{\deg q\le\ell,\ \lambda_0(q^2)=1}\ \sum_{k=1}^n\big|\lambda_{2k}(q^2)^{-1}-1\big|.ρ2n​(d,ℓ)=degq≤ℓ, λ0​(q2)=1min​ k=1∑n​​λ2k​(q2)−1−1​.

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem 2 (p. 3)

For every nnn there are constants Cn,Cn′C_n,C'_nCn​,Cn′​ depending only on nnn such that, for all d,k,ℓd,k,\elld,k,ℓ and every k×kk\times kk×k matrix polynomial FFF, homogeneous of degree 2n2n2n with n≤dn\le dn≤d, symmetric at every xxx, with 0⪯F(x)⪯I0\preceq F(x)\preceq I0⪯F(x)⪯I on Sd−1S^{d-1}Sd−1:

ℓ≥Cnd ⟹ F+Cn′(dℓ)2I is ℓ-sos on Sd−1.\ell\ge C_nd\ \Longrightarrow\ F+C'_n\Big(\frac d\ell\Big)^2I\ \text{is }\ell\text{-sos on }S^{d-1}.ℓ≥Cn​d ⟹ F+Cn′​(ℓd​)2I is ℓ-sos on Sd−1.

The goal fixes only the shape (d/ℓ)2(d/\ell)^2(d/ℓ)2 and the regime ℓ≥Cnd\ell\ge C_ndℓ≥Cn​d, and leaves the constants open.

Milestones

They follow the paper's proof, in attack order:

  1. Harmonic projection: Lemma 16 (Reznick's bound on Δkf\Delta^kfΔkf), Proposition 5 (B2nB_{2n}B2n​ is independent of ddd, with B2≤2B_2\le2B2​≤2, B4≤9B_4\le9B4​≤9), the explicit value (34), and Proposition 17 (matrices, spectral norm).
  2. Kernels: the Funk–Hecke formula (8), Remark 1, and the first part of Theorem 6: F+B2n2∑k∣λ2k−1−1∣ IF+\frac{B_{2n}}2\sum_k|\lambda_{2k}^{-1}-1|\,IF+2B2n​​∑k​∣λ2k−1​−1∣I is ℓ\ellℓ-sos for every admissible qqq.
  3. The kernel error: Ci′(1)/Ci(1)=i(i+d−2)/(d−1)C_i'(1)/C_i(1)=i(i+d-2)/(d-1)Ci′​(1)/Ci​(1)=i(i+d−2)/(d−1), Proposition 18 (tangent line at 111), Proposition 8 (spectra of Toeplitz matrices of linear functions), the value of h′(1)h'(1)h′(1) and the eigenvalue comparison from the proof of Proposition 7, Proposition 9 (ρ≤ρ~/(1−ρ~)\rho\le\tilde\rho/(1-\tilde\rho)ρ≤ρ~​/(1−ρ~​)), and the second part of Theorem 6:
ρ2n(d,ℓ)≤Cn(dℓ)2(ℓ≥Cn′d).\rho_{2n}(d,\ell)\le C_n\Big(\frac d\ell\Big)^2\qquad(\ell\ge C'_nd).ρ2n​(d,ℓ)≤Cn​(ℓd​)2(ℓ≥Cn′​d).
  1. Corollary: Theorem 1, 1≤pℓ−pmin⁡pmax⁡−pmin⁡≤1+(Cnd/ℓ)21\le\frac{p_\ell-p_{\min}}{p_{\max}-p_{\min}}\le1+(C_nd/\ell)^21≤pmax​−pmin​pℓ​−pmin​​≤1+(Cn​d/ℓ)2 for ℓ≥Cnd\ell\ge C_ndℓ≥Cn​d.

Significance

Theorem 2 says how the level must grow with the dimension: ℓ=Θ(d/ε)\ell=\Theta(d/\sqrt\varepsilon)ℓ=Θ(d/ε​) suffices for relative error ε\varepsilonε, where Reznick's analysis needs ℓ=Θ(d/ε)\ell=\Theta(d/\varepsilon)ℓ=Θ(d/ε). Theorem 10 of the paper shows that, for n=1n=1n=1, the kernel error of this technique really is of order (d/ℓ)2(d/\ell)^2(d/ℓ)2. Independence of the matrix size gives certificates for polynomials that are bihomogeneous of degree (2n,2)(2n,2)(2n,2) on Sk−1×Sd−1S^{k-1}\times S^{d-1}Sk−1×Sd−1. The paper's Theorem 15 uses this, together with the DPS duality of the companion mission, to bound the convergence of the DPS hierarchy for separability. Fang–Fawzi, pp. 3, 10, 14

The theorem is proved in the 2019 preprint and was published in Mathematical Programming in 2021. No machine-checked proof of it or of its ingredients is known. Proving it formally takes reusable infrastructure: degree-bounded matrix SOS on the sphere, harmonic decomposition of homogeneous polynomials, Gegenbauer polynomials with their coefficients and the Funk–Hecke formula, and spectra of Jacobi matrices of orthogonal polynomials. The milestones also correct the printed text, as listed under Formalization scope.

Difficulty

Positive semidefiniteness of F+δIF+\delta IF+δI at each point of the sphere does not give a factorization with factors of prescribed degree, and Reznick's kernel ⟨x,y⟩2ℓ\langle x,y\rangle^{2\ell}⟨x,y⟩2ℓ only reaches error d/ℓd/\elld/ℓ. Two estimates must be uniform at once. First, harmonic projection of a degree-2n2n2n form must be bounded in sup norm independently of ddd; the L2L^2L2 bound is easy, and the sup-norm bound is the content of Proposition 5. Second, the kernel error ρ2n(d,ℓ)\rho_{2n}(d,\ell)ρ2n​(d,ℓ) must be bounded throughout the regime ℓ≥Cnd\ell\ge C_ndℓ≥Cn​d, which comes down to the location of the largest zero of a Gegenbauer polynomial. The printed bounds on that zero and on λmax⁡\lambda_{\max}λmax​ in Proposition 7 are false in small dimensions, so the paper's explicit constants cannot be relied on.

Formalization scope

  • Objects. Rd\mathbb R^dRd is Fin d → ℝ (0-based coordinates), and Sd−1S^{d-1}Sd−1 is the equation ∑ixi2=1\sum_ix_i^2=1∑i​xi2​=1, not the sup-norm sphere. Matrix polynomials are matrices over MvPolynomial (Fin d) ℝ, evaluated entrywise, and homogeneity is entrywise.
  • ℓ\ellℓ-sos. A finite family of k×kk\times kk×k factors, every entry of total degree at most ℓ\ellℓ, with equality on the sphere only. Without the degree bound the level disappears; with equality on all of Rd\mathbb R^dRd Theorem 2 becomes false. Neither change is a faithful reading.
  • Constants. In the goal the constants are chosen before ddd, kkk, ℓ\ellℓ and FFF. No assumption d≥2d\ge2d≥2 is added: the cases d=0,1d=0,1d=0,1 are true and elementary.
  • Standing assumption d≥2d\ge2d≥2. Every milestone that uses the Gegenbauer objects assumes it, as §2–3 do: the weight (1−t2)(d−3)/2(1-t^2)^{(d-3)/2}(1−t2)(d−3)/2, ωd−1/ωd\omega_{d-1}/\omega_dωd−1​/ωd​ and the divisions by d−1d-1d−1 need it. Gegenbauer polynomials are normalized by Ci(1)C_i(1)Ci​(1) and defined by their three-term recurrence. σ\sigmaσ is the normalized surface measure built from Mathlib's Measure.toSphere.
  • B2nB_{2n}B2n​. It is not defined (it would be a real infimum). Statements quantify over every constant BBB with the defining property, and B2nB_{2n}B2n​ is one of them.
  • ρ2n\rho_{2n}ρ2n​. It takes values in [0,∞][0,\infty][0,∞], with ∣λ−1−1∣=∞|\lambda^{-1}-1|=\infty∣λ−1−1∣=∞ at λ=0\lambda=0λ=0 and ∞\infty∞ on an empty feasible set. Its sum runs over k=1,…,nk=1,\dots,nk=1,…,n, following (12), (13) and (16); (10) prints 2n2n2n, a slip. Its minimum is over deg⁡q≤ℓ\deg q\le\elldegq≤ℓ, as in (13). The first part of Theorem 6 is posed per polynomial qqq, which is what (12) proves and implies the printed form.
  • Other conventions. Proposition 17's spectral norm is written as max⁡∥y∥=1∣yTAy∣\max_{\|y\|=1}|y^{\mathsf T}Ay|max∥y∥=1​∣yTAy∣, and homogeneity of FFF is explicit there. Theorem 1 is stated cross-multiplied, so that it is meaningful when ppp is constant on the sphere. Its level value is extended real to record infeasibility; the theorem asserts a finite attained value and a degree-bounded SOS certificate.
  • Not posed. Proposition 7 (λmax⁡(T[h])≥1−7n12d2ℓ2\lambda_{\max}(\mathcal T[h])\ge1-\frac{7n}{12}\frac{d^2}{\ell^2}λmax​(T[h])≥1−127n​ℓ2d2​) fails, for example, at d=2d=2d=2, n=1n=1n=1, ℓ=10\ell=10ℓ=10. The zero bound it quotes and the explicit constants at the end of p. 9 are not posed either; the true first inequality of its proof is.

Proofs of any milestone are welcome. So are reusable developments of Gegenbauer polynomials, spherical harmonics, the Funk–Hecke formula, Jacobi matrices, and Carathéodory-type finite quadratures that turn an integral of squares into a finite sum of squares.

Selected references

  • K. Fang, H. Fawzi, The sum-of-squares hierarchy on the sphere, and applications in quantum information theory, arXiv preprint, 2019. https://arxiv.org/abs/1908.05155v1
  • B. Reznick, Uniform denominators in Hilbert's seventeenth problem, Mathematische Zeitschrift 220(1), 75–97, 1995. https://doi.org/10.1007/BF02572604
  • A. C. Doherty, S. Wehner, Convergence of SDP hierarchies for polynomial optimization on the hypersphere, arXiv preprint, 2012. https://arxiv.org/abs/1210.5048
  • E. de Klerk, M. Laurent, Convergence analysis of a Lasserre hierarchy of upper bounds for polynomial minimization on the sphere, arXiv preprint, 2019. https://arxiv.org/abs/1904.08828
  • J. B. Lasserre, Global optimization with polynomials and the problem of moments, SIAM Journal on Optimization 11(3), 796–817, 2001. https://doi.org/10.1137/S1052623400366802
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Operations ResearchOptimizationProbability·Captain: mikedeng1

On the Heavy-Tail Behavior of the Distributionally Robust Newsvendor 2: Below the Critical Ratio η₀ = 1 − (m₁^α/m_α)^{1/(α−1)} the Robust Newsvendor Orders Nothing; Above It Orders at Least q₀Research Paper

Motivation

The newsvendor problem is the basic single-period inventory decision: a retailer orders q≥0q\ge0q≥0 units at unit cost ccc before a random demand d~\tilde dd~ is observed, sells at unit price p>cp>cp>c, and loses unsold units. When the demand law is known, the optimal order is a quantile of that law. In practice the law is rarely known, and a distributionally robust newsvendor instead hedges against the worst law in an ambiguity set of laws consistent with partial information.

Scarf (1958; reference [42] of arXiv:1806.05379) solved the case where only the mean and the variance of demand are known, and observed that for a range of small profit margins the robust newsvendor orders nothing. Demand data in retail and spare-parts settings are often heavy tailed: Pareto fits with exponent close to 111 have been reported, so a finite mean is plausible while a finite variance is not. Das, Dhara and Natarajan (arXiv:1806.05379) therefore replace the variance by an α\alphaα-th moment for an arbitrary real α>1\alpha>1α>1. This mission formalizes their result that the zero-order phenomenon survives for every such α\alphaα.

Setting

Write the critical ratio as η=1−c/p∈[0,1)\eta=1-c/p\in[0,1)η=1−c/p∈[0,1). A demand law is a probability measure FFF on [0,∞)[0,\infty)[0,∞). Fix a real α>1\alpha>1α>1 and two moments m1,mαm_1,m_\alpham1​,mα​ with

mα>m1α>0.m_\alpha>m_1^\alpha>0 .mα​>m1α​>0.

The ambiguity set is

F1,α={F: ∫0∞w dF(w)=m1, ∫0∞wα dF(w)=mα},\mathcal F_{1,\alpha}=\Big\{F:\ \int_0^\infty w\,dF(w)=m_1,\ \int_0^\infty w^\alpha\,dF(w)=m_\alpha\Big\},F1,α​={F: ∫0∞​wdF(w)=m1​, ∫0∞​wαdF(w)=mα​},

the laws on [0,∞)[0,\infty)[0,∞) with mean m1m_1m1​ and α\alphaα-th moment mαm_\alphamα​. The worst-case expected shortage is

Π1,α(q)=sup⁡F∈F1,αEF[d~−q]+,\Pi_{1,\alpha}(q)=\sup_{F\in\mathcal F_{1,\alpha}}\mathbb E_F[\tilde d-q]^+ ,Π1,α​(q)=F∈F1,α​sup​EF​[d~−q]+,

and the robust newsvendor problem (3.2) is

min⁡q≥0 ((1−η)q+Π1,α(q)).\min_{q\ge0}\ \big((1-\eta)q+\Pi_{1,\alpha}(q)\big).q≥0min​ ((1−η)q+Π1,α​(q)).

An optimal order quantity is a minimizer q∗≥0q^*\ge0q∗≥0 of this objective. Two thresholds appear:

η0=1−(m1αmα)1/(α−1),q0=α−1α(mαm1)1/(α−1).\eta_0=1-\Big(\frac{m_1^\alpha}{m_\alpha}\Big)^{1/(\alpha-1)},\qquad q_0=\frac{\alpha-1}{\alpha}\Big(\frac{m_\alpha}{m_1}\Big)^{1/(\alpha-1)} .η0​=1−(mα​m1α​​)1/(α−1),q0​=αα−1​(m1​mα​​)1/(α−1).

In Lean these are ambiguitySet, worstCase, robustCost, eta0, q0 and IsOptimalOrder in the namespace HeavyTailNV.ZeroOrder.

Formalization targets

Goal: Proposition 3.2 (p. 13)

η0∈(0,1)\eta_0\in(0,1)η0​∈(0,1), and

  • for every η∈[0,η0)\eta\in[0,\eta_0)η∈[0,η0​) the set of optimal order quantities is exactly {0}\{0\}{0};
  • for every η∈(η0,1)\eta\in(\eta_0,1)η∈(η0​,1) an optimal order quantity exists, and every optimal order quantity q∗q^*q∗ satisfies q∗>0q^*>0q∗>0 and
q∗≥q0;q^*\ge q_0 ;q∗≥q0​;
  • for η=η0\eta=\eta_0η=η0​ every q∈[0,q0]q\in[0,q_0]q∈[0,q0​] is optimal.

Milestones

  1. Proposition 3.1 (p. 12): for 0≤q≤q00\le q\le q_00≤q≤q0​,
Π1,α(q)=m1−q(m1αmα)1/(α−1),\Pi_{1,\alpha}(q)=m_1-q\Big(\frac{m_1^\alpha}{m_\alpha}\Big)^{1/(\alpha-1)},Π1,α​(q)=m1​−q(mα​m1α​​)1/(α−1),

and the two-point law with mass (m1α/mα)1/(α−1)(m_1^\alpha/m_\alpha)^{1/(\alpha-1)}(m1α​/mα​)1/(α−1) at (mα/m1)1/(α−1)(m_\alpha/m_1)^{1/(\alpha-1)}(mα​/m1​)1/(α−1) and the rest at 000 lies in F1,α\mathcal F_{1,\alpha}F1,α​ and attains the supremum. 2. Properties of Π\PiΠ (§2.1, p. 6): Π1,α\Pi_{1,\alpha}Π1,α​ is non-increasing and convex, Π1,α(q)+q=m1\Pi_{1,\alpha}(q)+q=m_1Π1,α​(q)+q=m1​ for q≤0q\le0q≤0, and Π1,α(q)→0\Pi_{1,\alpha}(q)\to0Π1,α​(q)→0 as q→∞q\to\inftyq→∞. 3. Display (3.10) (p. 14): for η∈[0,1)\eta\in[0,1)η∈[0,1) and 0≤q≤q00\le q\le q_00≤q≤q0​,

(1−η)q+Π1,α(q)=m1−q(η−η0).(1-\eta)q+\Pi_{1,\alpha}(q)=m_1-q(\eta-\eta_0).(1−η)q+Π1,α​(q)=m1​−q(η−η0​).

Significance

Proposition 3.2 shows that for every finite moment order α>1\alpha>1α>1, however high, there is a nonempty interval [0,η0)[0,\eta_0)[0,η0​) of critical ratios in which the robust newsvendor orders nothing, and it gives the threshold η0\eta_0η0​ and the minimum positive order q0q_0q0​ in closed form. For α=2\alpha=2α=2 it recovers Scarf's zero-order region. The worst-case law associated with Π1,α\Pi_{1,\alpha}Π1,α​ therefore carries a positive mass at zero demand, which is the low-service-level counterpart of the paper's heavy-tail result for high critical ratios (the companion mission of this series).

The results are proved in the paper: the proof of Proposition 3.1 follows the statement on pp. 12–13 and the proof of Proposition 3.2 is on p. 14. None of them has a machine-checked proof. Formalizing them requires a usable treatment of moment-constrained suprema over probability measures on [0,∞)[0,\infty)[0,∞), of the stop-loss transform q↦E[d~−q]+q\mapsto\mathbb E[\tilde d-q]^+q↦E[d~−q]+, and of minimizers of convex functions on a half-line. These pieces recur across robust inventory and pricing models.

Difficulty

The closed form of Proposition 3.1 is the central step. The lower bound is a computation with a two-point law. The matching upper bound has to hold against every law in F1,α\mathcal F_{1,\alpha}F1,α​, including laws with unbounded support and non-integer α\alphaα. The paper obtains it from a dual certificate for the moment problem (3.3)–(3.4), and weak duality for this semi-infinite problem is not available off the shelf. The closed form also holds only on [0,q0][0,q_0][0,q0​]. To conclude anything about minimizers on all of [0,∞)[0,\infty)[0,∞), where no closed form is known for general α\alphaα (the dual leads to equations awα+bw+c=0aw^\alpha+bw+c=0awα+bw+c=0, p. 11), one needs convexity of Π1,α\Pi_{1,\alpha}Π1,α​ on the whole line. Inspecting the objective on [0,q0][0,q_0][0,q0​] alone does not determine the global minimizers.

Formalization scope

  • Demand laws are Measure ℝ with IsProbabilityMeasure F and F (Set.Iio 0) = 0. Moments are Bochner integrals, and the set requires Integrable (fun w => w) F and Integrable (fun w => w ^ α) F (real rpow), so that the moment equalities are genuine.
  • Π1,α\Pi_{1,\alpha}Π1,α​ is a real sSup. Under the standing hypotheses α>1\alpha>1α>1, m1>0m_1>0m1​>0, mα>m1αm_\alpha>m_1^\alphamα​>m1α​ the set is nonempty (it contains the two-point law of Proposition 3.1) and the expectations are bounded above by m1+∣q∣m_1+|q|m1​+∣q∣, so the value is not Lean's default for an empty or unbounded set. Every statement carries these standing hypotheses of (3.1); no other hypothesis is added except the range η∈[0,1)\eta\in[0,1)η∈[0,1) in (3.10), which is the paper's standing range of the critical ratio.
  • Optimality is minimization over q∈[0,∞)q\in[0,\infty)q∈[0,∞), as in (3.2), not over R\mathbb RR. Over R\mathbb RR the objective equals m1−ηqm_1-\eta qm1​−ηq for q≤0q\le0q≤0, and part (a) would fail at η=0\eta=0η=0.
  • Trivializing readings are ruled out. Part (a) asserts that {0}\{0\}{0} is the whole set of minimizers, not only that 000 is a minimizer. Part (b) asserts that a minimizer exists, so its lower bound is not vacuous. Dropping the support constraint, the normalization, or the integrability clauses would change the problem or let junk integrals satisfy the moment constraints.
  • The unit cost and price never appear; everything is stated in η\etaη.
  • The ambiguity set, worst-case value and objective come from the shared HeavyTailNV.Tail.Model. This mission defines the thresholds, optimality predicate and two-point law in HeavyTailNV.ZeroOrder.Model. Contributions to the general moment-problem duality used by Proposition 3.1 are welcome and reusable well beyond this mission.

Selected references

  • B. Das, A. Dhara and K. Natarajan, On the heavy-tail behavior of the distributionally robust newsvendor, Operations Research 69(4), 2021; preprint arXiv:1806.05379v2, 2019. https://arxiv.org/abs/1806.05379
  • H. Scarf, A min–max solution of an inventory problem, in K. Arrow, S. Karlin and H. Scarf (eds.), Studies in the Mathematical Theory of Inventory and Production, pp. 201–209, Stanford University Press, 1958 (no DOI; reference [42] of https://arxiv.org/abs/1806.05379).
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Operations ResearchProbabilityStatistics·Captain: mikedeng1

Robust Sample Average Approximation 2: Pearson's χ² Test and the G-Test on a Known Finite Support, with Thresholds √(Q/N), Are Uniformly ConsistentResearch Paper

Motivation

A decision made from sampled data can be sensitive to the distribution chosen to represent future uncertainty. Robust sample average approximation addresses this by optimizing against every distribution that passes a goodness of fit test, rather than against one fitted distribution. The resulting set of plausible laws is a data driven uncertainty set. Its finite sample coverage and its behavior as the sample grows serve different purposes: coverage protects against sampling error at a chosen sample size, while convergence asks whether the uncertainty set eventually stops admitting laws far from the true one. Bertsimas, Gupta, and Kallus distinguish these properties in their Robust Sample Average Approximation paper.

This mission concerns the two tests the paper assigns to a known finite support: Pearson's χ2\chi^2χ2 test and the G test. Both compare the empirical frequencies of the observed support points with the probabilities under a proposed law. Their confidence regions give concrete uncertainty sets for discrete data. The paper's Theorem 4 states that both tests have the stronger convergence property it calls uniform consistency. That property is used in its general characterization of when robust sample average approximation converges for every admissible cost function (Theorem 2 and Table 1, pp. 13–14).

Setting

Fix a known set of nnn possible observations, labelled j=1,…,nj=1,\ldots,nj=1,…,n. A probability law FFF on this support is specified by probabilities pF(j)p_F(j)pF​(j), each nonnegative and summing to one. A sample of size NNN consists of independent observations ξ1,…,ξN\xi^1,\ldots,\xi^Nξ1,…,ξN from an unknown true law FFF. Its empirical frequency at label jjj is

p^N(j)=1N∑i=1N1{ξi=j}.\widehat p_N(j)=\frac1N\sum_{i=1}^N\mathbf 1\{\xi^i=j\}.p​N​(j)=N1​i=1∑N​1{ξi=j}.

To assess a hypothetical law F0F_0F0​ with probabilities p0(j)p_0(j)p0​(j), Pearson's statistic and the G statistic are, in the paper's normalization,

XN(F0)=(∑j=1n(p0(j)−p^N(j))2p0(j))1/2,GN(F0)=(2∑j=1np^N(j)log⁡p^N(j)p0(j))1/2.X_N(F_0)=\left(\sum_{j=1}^n\frac{(p_0(j)-\widehat p_N(j))^2}{p_0(j)}\right)^{1/2},\qquad G_N(F_0)=\left(2\sum_{j=1}^n\widehat p_N(j)\log\frac{\widehat p_N(j)}{p_0(j)}\right)^{1/2}.XN​(F0​)=(j=1∑n​p0​(j)(p0​(j)−p​N​(j))2​)1/2,GN​(F0​)=(2j=1∑n​p​N​(j)logp0​(j)p​N​(j)​)1/2.

The confidence region for each test is the set of hypothetical laws whose statistic is at most Q/N\sqrt{Q/N}Q/N​, where Q≥0Q\ge0Q≥0 is fixed across sample sizes. An observed point to which F0F_0F0​ assigns zero probability makes either statistic infinite. A term with zero empirical frequency contributes zero to the G sum, including when its hypothetical probability is zero. These conventions make the regions describe the same tests at the boundary of the probability simplex as they do in its interior (§3.1, p. 8; §10.6, p. 38).

A sequence of laws FNF_NFN​ is weakly convergent to FFF when expectations of every bounded continuous function converge. On this finite support, weak convergence can be measured by the total variation distance

dTV(q,q′)=12∑j=1n∣q(j)−q′(j)∣.d_{\mathrm{TV}}(q,q')=\frac12\sum_{j=1}^n|q(j)-q'(j)|.dTV​(q,q′)=21​j=1∑n​∣q(j)−q′(j)∣.

The paper's Definition 3 calls a test uniformly consistent when, for every true law FFF, almost surely every sequence FNF_NFN​ that fails to converge weakly to FFF lies outside the confidence region infinitely often (Definition 3, p. 13). The almost sure event applies to all such sequences at once; this is stronger than a statement about one fixed false hypothesis.

Formalization targets

Goal: both tests are uniformly consistent

For the Pearson and G confidence regions FNχ2\mathcal F_N^{\chi^2}FNχ2​ and FNG\mathcal F_N^GFNG​ with fixed Q≥0Q\ge0Q≥0, the target is

UC⁡(FNχ2)andUC⁡(FNG).\operatorname{UC}(\mathcal F_N^{\chi^2})\quad\text{and}\quad\operatorname{UC}(\mathcal F_N^G).UC(FNχ2​)andUC(FNG​).

Here UC⁡\operatorname{UC}UC has the quantifier order of Definition 3: every generating FFF, almost every infinite sample, and every nonconvergent sequence FNF_NFN​. This is Theorem 4, p. 14. Its four milestone claims are the finite support description of weak convergence, almost sure convergence of empirical frequencies, and the paper's total variation bounds for XNX_NXN​ and GNG_NGN​ (§10.6, p. 38).

Significance

The result says that distributions retained by either test cannot remain persistently separated from the data generating law as the sample grows. In the paper's framework, that is the statistical condition needed for its general theorem to turn test based confidence regions into convergent robust optimization values and decisions under its separate assumptions on the cost and feasible set (Theorem 2, p. 13). Theorem 4 itself concerns the tests; it does not assume a cost function or assert optimization convergence directly.

The paper proves Theorem 4, so the open work here is its Lean formalization. A complete development would also leave reusable statements for finite probability vectors, their empirical frequencies under an infinite product law, total variation, and the boundary aware Pearson and G divergences. These pieces can support other discrete goodness of fit and distributionally robust optimization results. The mission does not claim that Theorem 4 already has a machine checked proof.

Difficulty

Pointwise convergence of empirical frequencies does not by itself state uniform consistency. The latter quantifies over all moving hypothetical laws FNF_NFN​ on one almost sure sample event, including laws chosen differently at every NNN. A direct argument about one fixed F0≠FF_0\ne FF0​=F therefore does not address the target. The finite support makes weak convergence concrete, but the formal statement must still relate that topology to a finite total variation sum and keep the quantifiers in the order required by Definition 3.

The boundary of the probability simplex is another source of difficulty. Lean's real division and logarithm have default values at zero. Using those defaults in the test statistics would accept some laws that assign zero probability to an actually observed category. Both statistics must instead retain the paper's infinite penalty there. The G expression also contains individual logarithmic terms that may be negative before summation, so its extended value cannot be built by coercing each term directly to a nonnegative extended real.

Formalization scope

The known support is represented by Fin n. Its members are labels for the paper's distinct points ξ^1,…,ξ^n\hat\xi^1,\ldots,\hat\xi^nξ^​1,…,ξ^​n; coordinates in Euclidean space are irrelevant to these tests. Laws use Mathlib's ProbabilityMeasure (Fin n) and its weak topology. The data are coordinates of the canonical infinite product law, with Lean index zero corresponding to the paper's first observation. The empty support has no probability law; all substantive instances have n≥1n\ge1n≥1. The empty sample N=0N=0N=0 is defined by total operations but has no bearing on an eventual or infinitely often assertion.

Pearson's statistic lives in [0,+∞][0,+\infty][0,+∞]. The squared G statistic uses extended real arithmetic so finite negative summands can be combined with an infinite boundary term. Its region compares GN2G_N^2GN2​ with Q/NQ/NQ/N, equivalent to the paper's GN≤Q/NG_N\le\sqrt{Q/N}GN​≤Q/N​ at positive NNN. The free Q≥0Q\ge0Q≥0 stands for a fixed threshold constant, including the paper's chi square quantile; no particular quantile value is built into the theorem. This makes explicit the only property of that threshold used in §10.6: independence from NNN.

Contributions may prove the four milestone statements, connect Mathlib's finite probability and strong law interfaces to the empirical frequencies, or establish finite support versions of Cauchy–Schwarz and Pinsker with the correct infinite boundary cases. A proof of the goal must use the stated regions and preserve simultaneous quantification over every moving sequence of laws; replacing uniform consistency by convergence of p^N\widehat p_Np​N​ would remove its main claim.

Selected references

  • Dimitris Bertsimas, Vishal Gupta, Nathan Kallus, Robust Sample Average Approximation, arXiv:1408.4445v3, 2016; published in Mathematical Programming (2018). Preprint · Publication DOI.
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