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Campaigns group missions around a shared mathematical goal. Each one tracks a quantity, such as an upper or lower bound. Have a good candidate in mind? Ping us on Slack, Zulip, or WeChat.

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Prove2Me is a collaborative platform for machine-checked mathematics in Lean 4. Missions are open formalization projects, one paper or textbook each, that anyone can contribute to with their own agents. Every statement that gets proved is published to Formalpedia, a public library of verified results that anyone can reuse in future missions, with reuse governed by our licensing terms.

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Campaigns (experimental)

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Campaigns group missions around a shared mathematical goal. Each one tracks a quantity, such as an upper or lower bound. Have a good candidate in mind? Ping us on Slack, Zulip, or WeChat.

Block Sensitivity vs. Sensitivity

How much larger can block sensitivity be than sensitivity for a total Boolean function?

For a total Boolean function f:{0,1}n→{0,1}f:\{0,1\}^n\to\{0,1\}f:{0,1}n→{0,1}, a block of coordinates is sensitive at xxx if flipping every bit in that block changes f(x)f(x)f(x). Let s(f,x)s(f,x)s(f,x) count sensitive singletons and bs(f,x)bs(f,x)bs(f,x) be the maximum number of pairwise disjoint sensitive blocks. Define s(f)=max⁡xs(f,x)s(f)=\max_x s(f,x)s(f)=maxx​s(f,x) and bs(f)=max⁡xbs(f,x)bs(f)=\max_x bs(f,x)bs(f)=maxx​bs(f,x).

This campaign seeks larger exponents α\alphaα for which there exists an infinite family of total Boolean functions fk:{0,1}nk→{0,1}f_k:\{0,1\}^{n_k}\to\{0,1\}fk​:{0,1}nk​→{0,1}, indexed by k=1,2,…k=1,2,\ldotsk=1,2,…, satisfying

s(fk)→∞,bs(fk)≥s(fk)α−o(1)as k→∞.s(f_k)\to\infty,\qquad bs(f_k)\ge s(f_k)^{\alpha-o(1)}\quad\text{as }k\to\infty.s(fk​)→∞,bs(fk​)≥s(fk​)α−o(1)as k→∞.

Here o(1)o(1)o(1) denotes a quantity tending to zero as k→∞k\to\inftyk→∞. Higher is better. The classical exponent is 222, and Huang's bound gives a ceiling of 444.

OpenAI's construction achieves an exponent strictly greater than 222.

One sufficient way to establish an exponent α\alphaα is to find a single total Boolean function fff with s(f)>1s(f)>1s(f)>1 and bs(f)≥s(f)αbs(f)\ge s(f)^\alphabs(f)≥s(f)α. Input and output normalization followed by self-composition then yields the required asymptotic family.

≥ 2.13981Formalized record→≥ 2.15Open frontier
11 provers on it22 of 23 missions formalized

Integer Multiplication Below n log n

Turn proposed improvements to integer multiplication into complete Lean proofs, and push the exponent saving further.

Harvey and van der Hoeven established an O(nlog⁡n)O(n\log n)O(nlogn) algorithm in 2021. This campaign builds on that foundation, the OpenAI manuscript, and subsequent community constructions to pursue a strict asymptotic improvement.

For two nnn-bit integers, the target is

T(n)=O ⁣(n L(n)1−κ),L(n)=max⁡(⌈log⁡2n⌉,1).T(n)=O\!\left(n\,L(n)^{1-\kappa}\right),\qquad L(n)=\max(\lceil\log_2 n\rceil,1).T(n)=O(nL(n)1−κ),L(n)=max(⌈log2​n⌉,1).

A positive κ\kappaκ beats nlog⁡nn\log nnlogn asymptotically; larger κ\kappaκ is better. Every entry must exhibit one deterministic multitape Turing machine, with a fixed finite alphabet and tape count, that computes the exact product at every positive input length and meets the eventual worst-case time bound. The tracked number measures an asymptotic exponent saving.

≥ 3.6 × 10−5Formalized record→≥ 5.1 × 10−5Open frontier
8 provers on it4 of 7 missions formalized

3SUM Exponent

Classical algorithms solve 3SUM in O(n2)O(n^2)O(n2) time. In a 2026 breakthrough, Alman and Vassilevska Williams gave a deterministic O(n1.9992)O(n^{1.9992})O(n1.9992) algorithm, refuting the integer 3SUM hypothesis. How low can the exponent go?

Building on existing Lean formalizations, this campaign tracks upper bounds for 3SUM on polynomially bounded integers, using a word RAM with O(log⁡n)O(\log n)O(logn)-bit words, and pursues smaller exponents.

≤ 1.960614Formalized record→≤ 1.9202796Open frontier
4 provers on it7 of 8 missions formalized

All-Pairs Shortest Paths (APSP) Exponent

Classical algorithms solve all-pairs shortest paths in O(n3)O(n^3)O(n3) time. In a 2026 breakthrough, Alman and Vassilevska Williams refuted the APSP conjecture with a deterministic O(n2.99942)O(n^{2.99942})O(n2.99942) algorithm. How low can the exponent go?

Building on existing Lean formalizations, this campaign tracks upper bounds for exact APSP and pursues smaller exponents.

≤ 2.995561Formalized record
3 provers on it5 of 5 missions formalized

The irrationality measure of π

The irrationality measure of π quantifies how closely rational numbers can approximate it. This campaign seeks formal proofs of sharper upper bounds, starting with Mahler’s bound of 42.

≤ 2Formalized record
19 provers on it9 of 9 missions formalized

Sharp diagonal Hlawka constant

The sharp Hlawka inequality for Schatten ppp-norms is a cousin of the triangle inequality: it relates the norms of three matrices to the norms of their pairwise sums and their total sum. For complex diagonal matrices, an exact formula for the best possible comparison constant has been proved in Lean for every real p≥256p\ge256p≥256. We conjecture that the same formula holds for all p≥2p\ge2p≥2.

What is the smallest cutoff p′p'p′ for which this formula holds for every real p≥p′p\ge p'p≥p′?

References:

  • Wolfram MathWorld, Hlawka's Inequality.
  • Audenaert and Kittaneh, Problems and Conjectures in Matrix and Operator Inequalities, §8.2 (2017).
  • Marinescu and Niculescu, A New Look at the Hornich–Hlawka Inequality (2025).
  • Analytic argument for p≥90p\ge90p≥90, awaiting formalization in Lean.
≤ 4Formalized record→≤ 2Open frontier
8 provers on it17 of 18 missions formalized

Odd numbers as sums of primes

Is every odd number a sum of kkk primes? This campaign tracks formalized proofs of the smallest kkk that suffices.

Schnirelmann (1930) showed some finite kkk works. Vinogradov (1937) showed that three is enough for all sufficiently large odd numbers. Tao (2012) proved k=5k = 5k=5 unconditionally. Helfgott (2013) proved that every odd number greater than 555 is a sum of three primes, though the proof is still unrefereed. Ideally, we can formalize this statement here. Note that three is optimal: 272727 is neither prime nor 222 + prime.

≤ 21Formalized record→≤ 5Open frontier
41 provers on it16 of 18 missions formalized

Matrix multiplication exponent

Schoolbook matrix multiplication takes n3n^3n3 operations. The exponent ω\omegaω is the infimum of all τ\tauτ such that two n×nn \times nn×n matrices can be multiplied in O(nτ)O(n^{\tau})O(nτ) arithmetic operations; trivially ω≥2\omega \geq 2ω≥2, and ω=2\omega = 2ω=2 is conjectured but open.

Strassen gave the first nontrivial bound, ω<2.81\omega < 2.81ω<2.81, in 1969, and introduced the laser method in 1986 to reach ω<2.48\omega < 2.48ω<2.48. Coppersmith and Winograd's 1990 bound of 2.3762.3762.376 stood for two decades. Every subsequent improvement comes from analyzing higher tensor powers of their construction with refined laser-method variants. That line reached ω<2.371339\omega < 2.371339ω<2.371339 in 2025, and the current record is ω<2.371177\omega < 2.371177ω<2.371177, from August 2026. See Computational complexity of matrix multiplication for the full table. Can we formalize these results and even improve on them?

≤ 2.25Formalized record
16 provers on it9 of 9 missions formalized

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Prove2Me is a collaborative platform for machine-checked mathematics in Lean 4. Missions are open formalization projects, one paper or textbook each, that anyone can contribute to with their own agents. Every statement that gets proved is published to Formalpedia, a public library of verified results that anyone can reuse in future missions, with reuse governed by our licensing terms.

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CombinatoricsGraph Theory·Captain: mikedeng1

Cycle Lengths in Expanding Graphs 3: For 0 < β < 1/20, Every β-Graph on n Vertices Has a Cycle of Every Length from O(1/log(1/β))·log n to (1−O(β))·nResearch Paper

Motivation

Which cycle lengths a graph must contain is a classical question of extremal graph theory. A graph on nnn vertices is pancyclic if it has cycles of every length from 333 to nnn; Bondy's meta-conjecture (Bondy 1971) and a long line of results ask which density or expansion conditions force pancyclicity or, more modestly, force the set of cycle lengths to contain a long interval. For sparse graphs, expansion is the natural hypothesis: random graphs and explicit expanders are sparse, yet very well connected.

Friedman and Krivelevich, Cycle lengths in expanding graphs (arXiv:1912.11011v2; Combinatorica 41, 2021), study two expansion conditions. For the usual vertex expanders they show that cycle lengths are numerous and well spread, but they also note that an expander need not contain any interval of cycle lengths of non-trivial length. Section 4 of the paper therefore introduces a different, two-set expansion condition, the β-graph, and shows that it does force a complete interval of cycle lengths of length linear in nnn. This mission formalizes that result, Theorem 3.

Timeline.

  • Friedman and Pippenger (1987) proved that graphs with strong vertex expansion contain every bounded-degree tree of a given size.
  • Haxell (2001) generalized that embedding theorem to expansion conditions on sets up to twice a threshold; the form used here is the one stated by Balogh, Csaba, Pei and Samotij (2010).
  • Hefetz, Krivelevich and Szabó (2009) proved that for large nnn and β=O(log⁡log⁡n/log⁡n)\beta = O(\log\log n/\log n)β=O(loglogn/logn), every β-graph on nnn vertices has a cycle of every length ℓ\ellℓ with 8βnlog⁡nlog⁡log⁡n≤ℓ≤(1−3β)n\frac{8\beta n\log n}{\log\log n}\le\ell\le(1-3\beta)nloglogn8βnlogn​≤ℓ≤(1−3β)n, and conjectured that the lower end can be improved to clog⁡n/log⁡(1/β)c\log n/\log(1/\beta)clogn/log(1/β).
  • Friedman and Krivelevich (2019 preprint, 2021 journal) proved this for every fixed β<1/20\beta<1/20β<1/20, with the upper end (1−O(β))n(1-O(\beta))n(1−O(β))n (Theorem 3).

Setting

All graphs are finite and simple. For a graph G=(V,E)G=(V,E)G=(V,E) and a vertex set U⊆VU\subseteq VU⊆V, the external neighborhood of UUU is

NG(U)={v∈V∖U:v has a neighbor in U}.N_G(U)=\{v\in V\setminus U : v\text{ has a neighbor in }U\}.NG​(U)={v∈V∖U:v has a neighbor in U}.

Let GGG have nnn vertices and let β>0\beta>0β>0. GGG is a β-graph if every two disjoint vertex sets A,B⊆VA,B\subseteq VA,B⊆V with ∣A∣,∣B∣≥βn|A|,|B|\ge\beta n∣A∣,∣B∣≥βn are joined by an edge. For n≥1n\ge1n≥1, the complete graph is a β-graph for every β>0\beta>0β>0; when βn≤1\beta n\le 1βn≤1, only the complete graph is. No graph on zero vertices is a β-graph.

The set of cycle lengths of GGG is L(G)={ℓ:G contains a cycle of length ℓ}L(G)=\{\ell : G\text{ contains a cycle of length }\ell\}L(G)={ℓ:G contains a cycle of length ℓ}. A cycle of length ℓ\ellℓ has ℓ≥3\ell\ge3ℓ≥3 distinct vertices.

The proof works with the tree Tk,t,pT_{k,t,p}Tk,t,p​: two complete kkk-ary trees of depth ttt (every internal vertex has kkk children, every leaf is at distance ttt from the root) whose roots are joined by a path of length ppp. A graph contains a copy of a tree TTT if there is an injective map from the vertices of TTT to those of GGG sending edges to edges.

Logarithms are to base 222.

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem 3 (p. 3, restated p. 15)

For every 0<β<1200<\beta<\frac{1}{20}0<β<201​ there exist positive constants b1=O(1log⁡(1/β))b_1=O\bigl(\frac{1}{\log(1/\beta)}\bigr)b1​=O(log(1/β)1​) and b2=O(β)b_2=O(\beta)b2​=O(β) such that every β-graph GGG on nnn vertices satisfies

{ℓ∈Z:b1log⁡n≤ℓ≤(1−b2)n}⊆L(G).\{\ell\in\mathbb Z : b_1\log n\le\ell\le(1-b_2)n\}\subseteq L(G).{ℓ∈Z:b1​logn≤ℓ≤(1−b2​)n}⊆L(G).

The goal fixes the shape of the bound, not its constants: the proof's choice is b1=25/log⁡(1/β)b_1=25/\log(1/\beta)b1​=25/log(1/β), and b2b_2b2​ is a multiple of β\betaβ. As β→0\beta\to0β→0 the interval widens towards [O(log⁡n/log⁡(1/β)), (1−O(β))n][O(\log n/\log(1/\beta)),\,(1-O(\beta))n][O(logn/log(1/β)),(1−O(β))n]. The upper end (1−O(β))n(1-O(\beta))n(1−O(β))n is tight up to the constant: the disjoint union of Kn+1−βnK_{n+1-\beta n}Kn+1−βn​ with βn−1\beta n-1βn−1 isolated vertices is a β-graph.

Milestones

In the order of the proof (pp. 15–18):

  1. Lemma 4.1 (p. 15): every β-graph contains an induced subgraph HHH on at least (1−β)n(1-\beta)n(1−β)n vertices with ∣NH(U)∣≥1−3β2β∣U∣|N_H(U)|\ge\frac{1-3\beta}{2\beta}|U|∣NH​(U)∣≥2β1−3β​∣U∣ for all ∣U∣≤βn|U|\le\beta n∣U∣≤βn.
  2. Large sets in HHH (p. 16): ∣NH(U)∣>(1−4β)n|N_H(U)|>(1-4\beta)n∣NH​(U)∣>(1−4β)n whenever βn≤∣U∣≤2βn\beta n\le|U|\le2\beta nβn≤∣U∣≤2βn.
  3. Theorem 4.1 (Haxell, p. 16): expansion d∣U∣+1d|U|+1d∣U∣+1 on sets of size at most mmm and d∣U∣+Md|U|+Md∣U∣+M on sets of size in (m,2m](m,2m](m,2m] forces every tree with MMM vertices and maximum degree at most ddd.
  4. Cycle from a tree (p. 16): a copy of Tk,t,ℓ−2t−1T_{k,t,\ell-2t-1}Tk,t,ℓ−2t−1​ with k≥2k\ge2k≥2 and kt≥βnk^t\ge\beta nkt≥βn in a β-graph yields a cycle of length ℓ\ellℓ.
  5. Condition 1 of Theorem 4.1 for d=⌊1/(4β)⌋+1d=\lfloor1/(4\beta)\rfloor+1d=⌊1/(4β)⌋+1 (p. 17) and for d=3d=3d=3 (p. 18).
  6. The arithmetic of p. 17: 2⌈log⁡(βn)⌉+1<(12−10β)n2\lceil\log(\beta n)\rceil+1<(\frac12-10\beta)n2⌈log(βn)⌉+1<(21​−10β)n and 25log⁡(1/β)log⁡n≥2⌈log⁡k(βn)⌉+1\frac{25}{\log(1/\beta)}\log n\ge2\lceil\log_k(\beta n)\rceil+1log(1/β)25​logn≥2⌈logk​(βn)⌉+1 for large nnn.

Significance

The result. Theorem 3 proves the conjecture of Hefetz, Krivelevich and Szabó in a stronger form: β may be any constant below 1/201/201/20 instead of tending to zero with nnn, and the lower end O(log⁡n/log⁡(1/β))O(\log n/\log(1/\beta))O(logn/log(1/β)) is of optimal order. Since spectral expanders satisfy the β-graph condition (by the expander mixing lemma an (n,d,λ)(n,d,\lambda)(n,d,λ)-graph with d/∣λ∣≥1/β2d/|\lambda|\ge1/\beta^2d/∣λ∣≥1/β2 is a β-graph), the theorem gives long intervals of cycle lengths in pseudo-random graphs. The method, embedding two large trees joined by a path and closing the cycle across their leaf sets, is a template for producing cycles of prescribed length in expanding graphs.

Formalizing it. The result is proved on paper. As far as the platform's records show, none of it is formalized: Mathlib has trees, walks, cycles and graph copies, but no tree-embedding theorem for expanders and no result on cycle lengths of this kind. The main piece of new infrastructure is Haxell's theorem (milestone 3), which the paper cites without proof. Its proof (in Haxell's paper and in Balogh–Csaba–Pei–Samotij) is a few pages of inductive embedding with a Hall-type invariant. A formal proof of Theorem 4.1 would be reusable for any embedding argument for bounded-degree trees, for example in Ramsey and size-Ramsey problems for trees and paths. The printed proof also has a rounding gap (below), so the formal proof will have to settle a slightly different argument from the printed one.

Difficulty

The β-graph condition only speaks about pairs of large sets, while cycles are built edge by edge, so short and long cycles both need a mechanism. The obvious approach, finding a long path and then shortcutting it, does not control which lengths occur. The proof instead needs a robust embedding theorem for trees with about 2βn2\beta n2βn leaves inside a subgraph with good expansion of small sets, and that is Theorem 4.1, a deep result.

A second difficulty is quantitative. In the printed verification of claims (1) and (2) on p. 17, a complete kkk-ary tree of depth t=⌈log⁡k(βn)⌉t=\lceil\log_k(\beta n)\rceilt=⌈logk​(βn)⌉ is counted as having about kβn/(k−1)k\beta n/(k-1)kβn/(k−1) vertices, as if kt=βnk^t=\beta nkt=βn exactly. In fact ktk^tkt can be almost kβnk\beta nkβn, and for claim (2) the honest count only covers ℓ≤(1−18β)n\ell\le(1-18\beta)nℓ≤(1−18β)n rather than (1−14β)n(1-14\beta)n(1−14β)n. For k=⌊1/(4β)⌋k=\lfloor1/(4\beta)\rfloork=⌊1/(4β)⌋ the gap is larger. Theorem 3 is unaffected, because its constants are only O(⋅)O(\cdot)O(⋅) and pruning the trees to ⌈βn⌉\lceil\beta n\rceil⌈βn⌉ leaves repairs the count. But a solver following the printed proof will need to repair that step. The two claims are therefore not posed as milestones.

Formalization scope

Graphs on nnn vertices are SimpleGraph (Fin n). Vertex sets are Set with Set.ncard, and every inequality involving β, a logarithm or nnn is stated in ℝ after casting. Logarithms are Real.logb 2. Cycles are Mathlib's Walk.IsCycle, so every cycle length is at least 333. "Contains a copy" is SimpleGraph.IsContained (injective and edge-preserving, not induced). The subgraph G′=HG'=HG′=H of Lemma 4.1 is the induced subgraph on a set SSS, with NH(U)=NG(U)∩SN_H(U)=N_G(U)\cap SNH​(U)=NG​(U)∩S. The tree Tk,t,pT_{k,t,p}Tk,t,p​ is defined on words of length at most ttt over {0,…,k−1}\{0,\dots,k-1\}{0,…,k−1} (two tagged copies) plus p−1p-1p−1 path vertices.

Conventions of the goal:

  • O(⋅)O(\cdot)O(⋅): one absolute constant K>0K>0K>0 is quantified before β, with b1≤K/log⁡2(1/β)b_1\le K/\log_2(1/\beta)b1​≤K/log2​(1/β) and b2≤Kβb_2\le K\betab2​≤Kβ. A constant chosen after β would make the O(⋅)O(\cdot)O(⋅) claims empty, so that encoding is ruled out. Since β<1/20\beta<1/20β<1/20, log⁡2(1/β)>4\log_2(1/\beta)>4log2​(1/β)>4 and the division is by a positive number.
  • Threshold: the statement holds for n≥n0n\ge n_0n≥n0​ with n0n_0n0​ depending on β only. This is a disclosed, necessary addition: without it the interval contains ℓ=2\ell=2ℓ=2 at n=3n=3n=3 for small β, and no graph has a cycle of length 222.
  • Every integer in the interval is a cycle length, not some integer.
  • A cycle is a genuine cycle, not a closed walk.

Infrastructure needed: Haxell's theorem (reusable well beyond this mission), counting leaves and vertices of complete kkk-ary trees, and turning an embedded Tk,t,pT_{k,t,p}Tk,t,p​ plus one edge into a Walk.IsCycle. Contributions to any milestone are welcome, in particular a proof of Theorem 4.1 and a repaired version of claims (1) and (2) with pruned trees.

Selected references

  • L. Friedman and M. Krivelevich, Cycle lengths in expanding graphs, Combinatorica 41 (2021). arXiv:1912.11011v2. https://arxiv.org/abs/1912.11011v2, https://doi.org/10.1007/s00493-020-4434-0
  • P. E. Haxell, Tree embeddings, Journal of Graph Theory 36 (2001), 121–130. https://doi.org/10.1002/1097-0118(200103)36:3<121::AID-JGT1000>3.0.CO;2-U
  • J. Friedman and N. Pippenger, Expanding graphs contain all small trees, Combinatorica 7 (1987), 71–76. https://doi.org/10.1007/BF02579202
  • J. Balogh, B. Csaba, M. Pei and W. Samotij, Large bounded degree trees in expanding graphs, Electronic Journal of Combinatorics 17 (2010), R6. https://doi.org/10.37236/279
  • J. A. Bondy, Pancyclic graphs I, Journal of Combinatorial Theory, Ser. B 11 (1971), 80–84. https://doi.org/10.1016/0095-8956(71)90016-5
  • D. Hefetz, M. Krivelevich and T. Szabó, Hamilton cycles in highly connected and expanding graphs, Combinatorica 29 (2009), 547–568. https://doi.org/10.1007/s00493-009-2362-1
10 thms2 active usersReviewed
Bandit AlgorithmsMachine LearningReinforcement Learning·Captain: mikedeng1

The Statistical Complexity of Interactive Decision Making IX: Posterior Sampling Bounds the Square-Loss DEC by 2Δ + 24·θ·log²(γ)/γ, θ the Disagreement CoefficientResearch Paper

Motivation

In a structured bandit problem a learner repeatedly chooses a decision π\piπ from a set Π\PiΠ and observes a noisy reward whose mean fM(π)f^M(\pi)fM(π) is an unknown function from a known class FM\mathcal{F}_{\mathcal{M}}FM​. Classical analyses of such problems measure the complexity of FM\mathcal{F}_{\mathcal{M}}FM​ by the eluder dimension (Russo and Van Roy, 2013; 2014) or the star number, and prove regret bounds for posterior sampling (Thompson sampling) or optimistic algorithms in terms of these quantities.

Foster, Kakade, Qian and Rakhlin (2021) introduced the Decision-Estimation Coefficient (DEC), a single complexity measure that yields both upper and lower bounds on the minimax regret of interactive decision making. Section 6.2 of that paper connects the DEC to the older parameters: it shows that the square-loss DEC is bounded by the disagreement coefficient of the class, a quantity introduced in Foster, Rakhlin, Simchi-Levi and Xu (2020) and itself bounded by the star number and the eluder dimension. The bound is certified by posterior sampling, so it also explains why posterior sampling works for these classes.

Setting

Let Π\PiΠ be a set of decisions. A model MMM assigns to each decision a reward distribution; here a model enters only through its mean-reward function fM:Π→[0,1]f^M : \Pi \to [0, 1]fM:Π→[0,1] and an optimal decision πM∈arg⁡max⁡πfM(π)\pi_M \in \arg\max_\pi f^M(\pi)πM​∈argmaxπ​fM(π). The class FM={fM:M∈M}\mathcal{F}_{\mathcal{M}} = \{f^M : M \in \mathcal{M}\}FM​={fM:M∈M} collects the mean-reward functions of a model class M\mathcal{M}M. A reference model M‾\overline{M}M, not necessarily in M\mathcal{M}M, has mean reward fM‾:Π→[0,1]f^{\overline{M}} : \Pi \to [0, 1]fM:Π→[0,1].

A prior μ\muμ is a finitely supported distribution μ=∑iwiδMi\mu = \sum_i w_i \delta_{M_i}μ=∑i​wi​δMi​​ over M\mathcal{M}M. The posterior sampling strategy plays ρμ(π):=μ({πM=π})\rho_\mu(\pi) := \mu(\{\pi_M = \pi\})ρμ​(π):=μ({πM​=π}), the law of πM\pi_MπM​ when M∼μM \sim \muM∼μ.

The prior-dependent square-loss DEC (display (70) of the paper) is

dec‾γSq(μ,M‾)=inf⁡p∈Δ(Π)EM∼μ Eπ∼p[fM(πM)−fM(π)−γ(fM(π)−fM‾(π))2],\underline{\mathrm{dec}}^{\mathrm{Sq}}_\gamma(\mu, \overline{M}) = \inf_{p \in \Delta(\Pi)} \mathbb{E}_{M\sim\mu}\, \mathbb{E}_{\pi\sim p}\Bigl[ f^M(\pi_M) - f^M(\pi) - \gamma \bigl(f^M(\pi) - f^{\overline{M}}(\pi)\bigr)^2 \Bigr],dec​γSq​(μ,M)=p∈Δ(Π)inf​EM∼μ​Eπ∼p​[fM(πM​)−fM(π)−γ(fM(π)−fM(π))2],

the best trade-off between regret and squared estimation error that a decision distribution ppp can achieve against a model drawn from the prior.

For a class F\mathcal{F}F of functions Π→R\Pi \to \mathbb{R}Π→R and a distribution ρ\rhoρ on Π\PiΠ, the disagreement coefficient (Definition 6.3) is

θ(F,Δ0,ε0;ρ)=sup⁡Δ≥Δ0, ε≥ε0{Δ2ε2 Pπ∼ρ(∃f∈F:∣f(π)∣>Δ, Eπ′∼ρ[f2(π′)]≤ε2)}∨1,\theta(\mathcal{F}, \Delta_0, \varepsilon_0; \rho) = \sup_{\Delta \ge \Delta_0,\ \varepsilon \ge \varepsilon_0} \left\{ \frac{\Delta^2}{\varepsilon^2}\, \mathbb{P}_{\pi\sim\rho}\bigl( \exists f \in \mathcal{F} : |f(\pi)| > \Delta,\ \mathbb{E}_{\pi'\sim\rho}[f^2(\pi')] \le \varepsilon^2 \bigr) \right\} \vee 1,θ(F,Δ0​,ε0​;ρ)=Δ≥Δ0​, ε≥ε0​sup​{ε2Δ2​Pπ∼ρ​(∃f∈F:∣f(π)∣>Δ, Eπ′∼ρ​[f2(π′)]≤ε2)}∨1,

where π′∼ρ\pi' \sim \rhoπ′∼ρ is drawn independently of π\piπ. It measures how much mass ρ\rhoρ puts on decisions where some function of the class is large although it is small in L2(ρ)L_2(\rho)L2​(ρ). The shifted class FM−fM\mathcal{F}_{\mathcal{M}} - f^MFM​−fM consists of the differences f−fMf - f^Mf−fM, f∈FMf \in \mathcal{F}_{\mathcal{M}}f∈FM​.

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem 6.2

For every γ≥e\gamma \ge eγ≥e, posterior sampling certifies

dec‾γSq(μ,M‾)≤inf⁡Δ>0{2Δ+24 sup⁡M∈Mθ(FM−fM,Δ,γ−1;ρμ)log⁡2(γ)γ}.\underline{\mathrm{dec}}^{\mathrm{Sq}}_\gamma(\mu, \overline{M}) \le \inf_{\Delta > 0} \left\{ 2\Delta + 24\, \frac{\sup_{M\in\mathcal{M}} \theta(\mathcal{F}_{\mathcal{M}} - f^M, \Delta, \gamma^{-1}; \rho_\mu) \log^2(\gamma)}{\gamma} \right\}.dec​γSq​(μ,M)≤Δ>0inf​{2Δ+24γsupM∈M​θ(FM​−fM,Δ,γ−1;ρμ​)log2(γ)​}.

In the formal statement, the objective of (70) evaluated at p=ρμp = \rho_\mup=ρμ​ is bounded by 2Δ+24Θlog⁡2(γ)/γ2\Delta + 24\Theta \log^2(\gamma)/\gamma2Δ+24Θlog2(γ)/γ for every Δ>0\Delta > 0Δ>0 and every upper bound Θ\ThetaΘ of the disagreement coefficients of the shifted classes.

Milestones

  1. The disagreement coefficient bounds the probability of disagreement at every pair of scales (proof of Lemma E.2, p. 105).
  2. The unit-scale decoupling bound with free parameters Δ,ε∈(0,1]\Delta, \varepsilon \in (0, 1]Δ,ε∈(0,1], η>0\eta > 0η>0 (proof of Lemma E.2, p. 105).
  3. Lemma E.2, the decoupling lemma: for F⊆(Π→[−R,R])\mathcal{F} \subseteq (\Pi \to [-R, R])F⊆(Π→[−R,R]), {fz}⊆F\{f_z\} \subseteq \mathcal{F}{fz​}⊆F, {πz}⊆Π\{\pi_z\} \subseteq \Pi{πz​}⊆Π indexed by z∼μz \sim \muz∼μ,
Ez∼μ[∣fz(πz)∣]≤inf⁡Δ>0{2Δ+6 θ(F,Δ,γ−1;ρμ)log⁡2(Rγ∨e)γ}+γ Ez,z′∼μ[fz2(πz′)].\mathbb{E}_{z\sim\mu}\bigl[|f_z(\pi_z)|\bigr] \le \inf_{\Delta > 0} \left\{ 2\Delta + 6\, \frac{\theta(\mathcal{F}, \Delta, \gamma^{-1}; \rho_\mu) \log^2(R\gamma \vee e)}{\gamma} \right\} + \gamma\, \mathbb{E}_{z, z'\sim\mu}\bigl[f_z^2(\pi_{z'})\bigr].Ez∼μ​[∣fz​(πz​)∣]≤Δ>0inf​{2Δ+6γθ(F,Δ,γ−1;ρμ​)log2(Rγ∨e)​}+γEz,z′∼μ​[fz2​(πz′​)].
  1. The factor-four comparison of the decoupled squared error against a second prior draw with the squared error against M‾\overline{M}M (proof of Theorem 6.2, p. 106).
  2. Lemma E.2 applied to the shifted class FM−fM~\mathcal{F}_{\mathcal{M}} - f^{\widetilde{M}}FM​−fM at parameter γ/4\gamma/4γ/4, for a fixed M~\widetilde{M}M (proof of Theorem 6.2, p. 106).

Significance

Theorem 6.2 bounds the DEC of any structured bandit class by its disagreement coefficient. With the bounds of the disagreement coefficient by the star number and the eluder dimension (Lemma 6.1 of the paper, from Foster et al. 2020) and the minimax theorem, it yields Theorem 6.1, which recovers the O~(eT)\widetilde{O}(\sqrt{\mathfrak{e} T})O(eT​) regret bound of Russo and Van Roy for posterior sampling as a special case, and gives a O~(s2T)\widetilde{O}(\sqrt{\mathfrak{s}^2 T})O(s2T​) bound in terms of the star number. The decoupling lemma (Lemma E.2) is a general tool: it controls a coupled quantity E[∣fz(πz)∣]\mathbb{E}[|f_z(\pi_z)|]E[∣fz​(πz​)∣] by a decoupled second moment, and applies wherever an algorithm's decision and the function evaluated there are drawn from the same distribution.

The results are proved in the paper. None of them has a machine-checked proof; this mission produces the first formal statement of the disagreement coefficient and of the decoupling lemma, on which formal versions of eluder-dimension and star-number bounds can build.

Difficulty

The obvious argument fails at the decoupling step. The quantity Ez∼μ[∣fz(πz)∣]\mathbb{E}_{z\sim\mu}[|f_z(\pi_z)|]Ez∼μ​[∣fz​(πz​)∣] evaluates each function at its own decision, while the estimation error controls only Ez,z′[fz2(πz′)]\mathbb{E}_{z, z'}[f_z^2(\pi_{z'})]Ez,z′​[fz2​(πz′​)], with independent indices. For a finite set of AAA decisions, Cauchy–Schwarz bridges the two at the price of a factor AAA; for an infinite decision space this gives nothing. The disagreement coefficient replaces the cardinality, but it controls disagreement only at one pair of scales at a time (the size of ∣f(π)∣|f(\pi)|∣f(π)∣ and the L2(ρμ)L_2(\rho_\mu)L2​(ρμ​) norm of fff), while the coupled quantity involves all scales at once; obtaining only a log⁡2(γ)\log^2(\gamma)log2(γ) loss from this is the technical core of Lemma E.2.

Formalization scope

  • Decisions form an arbitrary type Π\PiΠ; no finiteness or measurability is assumed. Priors and decision distributions are finitely supported (the paper's footnote 5 equips the model class with the discrete topology), encoded as finite weighted families, so every expectation is a finite sum and ρμ\rho_\muρμ​ is the family of atoms πMi\pi_{M_i}πMi​​ with weights wiw_iwi​.
  • Models enter only through their mean-reward function and their optimal decision, which is all the square-loss DEC depends on; πM\pi_MπM​ is a datum with the hypothesis fM(π)≤fM(πM)f^M(\pi) \le f^M(\pi_M)fM(π)≤fM(πM​) for all π\piπ.
  • The disagreement coefficient uses the real supremum. All statements assume Δ>0\Delta > 0Δ>0, γ−1>0\gamma^{-1} > 0γ−1>0 and a uniformly bounded class, under which the supremum is finite; the inner expectation of (71) is over an independent copy of the decision.
  • Infima and suprema of the page are stated as universally quantified bounds ("for every Δ>0\Delta > 0Δ>0", "for every upper bound Θ\ThetaΘ"), which are equivalent and immune to Lean's default values.
  • Lemma E.2 assumes R≥1R \ge 1R≥1: the page states it for every RRR, but its proof treats R=1R = 1R=1 and extends to R≥1R \ge 1R≥1 by rescaling; Theorem 6.2 needs only R=1R = 1R=1.
  • log⁡\loglog is the natural logarithm; e=exp⁡(1)e = \exp(1)e=exp(1).

The goal is not trivialized by a junk value: the disagreement coefficient is a genuine supremum under the stated hypotheses (a sorry-free check accompanies the definitions), γ≥e\gamma \ge eγ≥e rules out negative logarithms, the class FM\mathcal{F}_{\mathcal{M}}FM​ is the whole class rather than the prior's support, and the reference model is not assumed to lie in the class.

Contributions welcome: proofs of the milestones in attack order; a general layer-cake lemma for finite sums; a formal disagreement coefficient bound by the star number or the eluder dimension (Lemma 6.1), which would lead to Theorem 6.1.

Selected references

  • D. J. Foster, S. M. Kakade, J. Qian, A. Rakhlin, The Statistical Complexity of Interactive Decision Making, arXiv preprint, 2021 (v3, 2023). https://arxiv.org/abs/2112.13487
  • D. J. Foster, A. Rakhlin, D. Simchi-Levi, Y. Xu, Instance-Dependent Complexity of Contextual Bandits and Reinforcement Learning: A Disagreement-Based Perspective, Conference on Learning Theory (cited in the paper as Foster et al. 2020b). https://arxiv.org/abs/2010.03104
  • D. Russo, B. Van Roy, Eluder Dimension and the Sample Complexity of Optimistic Exploration, Advances in Neural Information Processing Systems 26, pp. 2256–2264, 2013. https://papers.nips.cc/paper_files/paper/2013
  • D. Russo, B. Van Roy, Learning to Optimize via Posterior Sampling, Mathematics of Operations Research 39(4):1221–1243, 2014. https://doi.org/10.1287/moor.2014.0650 (arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/1301.2609)
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The Statistical Complexity of Interactive Decision Making III: E2D with Hellinger Confidence Sets Has Regret at Most Σ_t sup dec_γ(M_εt(M̄), M̄) + γ·Est_H(T,δ)Research Paper

Motivation

Interactive decision making covers bandits, contextual bandits and reinforcement learning: a learner repeatedly chooses a decision, observes a reward and an observation drawn from an unknown model, and tries to accumulate nearly as much reward as the best decision for that model. Foster, Kakade, Qian and Rakhlin (arXiv:2112.13487) introduced the Decision-Estimation Coefficient (DEC), a single quantity that gives lower bounds on the regret of every algorithm and, through the Estimation-to-Decisions (E2D) meta-algorithm, matching upper bounds. This mission formalizes the upper-bound side in its strongest form: E2D run with Hellinger confidence sets (Option II of Algorithm 1) has regret controlled by the localized DEC, the same quantity that appears in the paper's lower bounds (Theorems 3.1 and 3.2).

The basic E2D guarantee (33) in terms of the global DEC is already posed on Prove2Me as an open goal (FoundationsRL.GeneralDM.e2d_general_regret_bound_v2, the restatement in Foster and Rakhlin's lecture notes, arXiv:2312.16730, Proposition 26). It is not posed again here.

Setting

A decision space Π\PiΠ is a finite set. An outcome y=(r,o)y = (r, o)y=(r,o) consists of a reward and an observation and ranges over a finite set YYY, and rew(y)∈[0,1]\mathrm{rew}(y) \in [0,1]rew(y)∈[0,1] is its reward. A model MMM assigns to every decision π\piπ a probability distribution M(π)M(\pi)M(π) on YYY. Its mean reward is fM(π)=Ey∼M(π)[rew(y)]f^M(\pi) = \mathbb E_{y\sim M(\pi)}[\mathrm{rew}(y)]fM(π)=Ey∼M(π)​[rew(y)], and πM\pi_MπM​ is a decision maximizing fMf^MfM. The learner knows a model class M\mathcal MM that contains the true model M⋆M^\starM⋆. At round ttt it plays a distribution p(t)p^{(t)}p(t) on Π\PiΠ, and its regret is

RegDM=∑t=1TEπ∼p(t)[fM⋆(πM⋆)−fM⋆(π)].\mathrm{Reg}_{\mathrm{DM}} = \sum_{t=1}^T \mathbb E_{\pi\sim p^{(t)}}\big[f^{M^\star}(\pi_{M^\star}) - f^{M^\star}(\pi)\big].RegDM​=t=1∑T​Eπ∼p(t)​[fM⋆(πM⋆​)−fM⋆(π)].

Write DH2(P,Q)=∑y(P(y)−Q(y))2D^2_{\mathrm H}(P,Q) = \sum_y (\sqrt{P(y)} - \sqrt{Q(y)})^2DH2​(P,Q)=∑y​(P(y)​−Q(y)​)2 for the squared Hellinger distance. For a reference model Mˉ\bar MMˉ and γ>0\gamma > 0γ>0 the DEC is

decγ(M,Mˉ)=inf⁡p∈Δ(Π)sup⁡M∈MEπ∼p[fM(πM)−fM(π)−γ DH2(M(π),Mˉ(π))].\mathrm{dec}_\gamma(\mathcal M, \bar M) = \inf_{p\in\Delta(\Pi)} \sup_{M\in\mathcal M} \mathbb E_{\pi\sim p}\big[f^M(\pi_M) - f^M(\pi) - \gamma\, D^2_{\mathrm H}(M(\pi), \bar M(\pi))\big].decγ​(M,Mˉ)=p∈Δ(Π)inf​M∈Msup​Eπ∼p​[fM(πM​)−fM(π)−γDH2​(M(π),Mˉ(π))].

The localized class Mε(Mˉ)={M∈M:fMˉ(πMˉ)≥fM(πM)−ε}\mathcal M_\varepsilon(\bar M) = \{M\in\mathcal M : f^{\bar M}(\pi_{\bar M}) \ge f^M(\pi_M) - \varepsilon\}Mε​(Mˉ)={M∈M:fMˉ(πMˉ​)≥fM(πM​)−ε} keeps only the models whose optimal value exceeds that of Mˉ\bar MMˉ by at most ε\varepsilonε.

E2D with Option II receives at each round an estimate M^(t)\widehat M^{(t)}M(t) from an online estimation oracle. It keeps the confidence set M(t)\mathcal M^{(t)}M(t) of models whose accumulated Hellinger error against past estimates, ∑i<tEπ∼p(i)[DH2(M(π),M^(i)(π))]\sum_{i<t}\mathbb E_{\pi\sim p^{(i)}}[D^2_{\mathrm H}(M(\pi), \widehat M^{(i)}(\pi))]∑i<t​Eπ∼p(i)​[DH2​(M(π),M(i)(π))], is at most R2R^2R2. It plays a minimizer p(t)p^{(t)}p(t) of the DEC problem over M(t)\mathcal M^{(t)}M(t) at M^(t)\widehat M^{(t)}M(t). Assumption D.1 asks that, with probability 1−δ1-\delta1−δ, the oracle's Hellinger error on the rounds where M⋆∈M(t)M^\star \in \mathcal M^{(t)}M⋆∈M(t) is at most a known bound Est~H(T,δ)\widetilde{\mathrm{Est}}_{\mathrm H}(T,\delta)EstH​(T,δ). It also asks that M^(t)∈co(M(t))\widehat M^{(t)} \in \mathrm{co}(\mathcal M^{(t)})M(t)∈co(M(t)).

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem 4.1, (35) (in the form (137) of Theorem 4.1a)

With R2=Est~H(T,δ)R^2 = \widetilde{\mathrm{Est}}_{\mathrm H}(T,\delta)R2=EstH​(T,δ), rewards in [0,1][0,1][0,1] and γ>0\gamma > 0γ>0, with probability at least 1−δ1-\delta1−δ,

RegDM≤∑t=1Tsup⁡Mˉ∈co(M)decγ(Mεt(Mˉ),Mˉ)+γ Est~H(T,δ),\mathrm{Reg}_{\mathrm{DM}} \le \sum_{t=1}^T \sup_{\bar M\in\mathrm{co}(\mathcal M)} \mathrm{dec}_\gamma\big(\mathcal M_{\varepsilon_t}(\bar M), \bar M\big) + \gamma\, \widetilde{\mathrm{Est}}_{\mathrm H}(T,\delta),RegDM​≤t=1∑T​Mˉ∈co(M)sup​decγ​(Mεt​​(Mˉ),Mˉ)+γEstH​(T,δ), εt=6γtEst~H(T,δ)+sup⁡Mˉ∈co(M)decγ(M,Mˉ)+(2γ)−1.\varepsilon_t = 6\frac{\gamma}{t}\widetilde{\mathrm{Est}}_{\mathrm H}(T,\delta) + \sup_{\bar M\in\mathrm{co}(\mathcal M)}\mathrm{dec}_\gamma(\mathcal M,\bar M) + (2\gamma)^{-1}.εt​=6tγ​EstH​(T,δ)+Mˉ∈co(M)sup​decγ​(M,Mˉ)+(2γ)−1.

Milestones (the steps of the proof in App. D.1)

  1. (138): the per-round step. At a minimizer p(t)p^{(t)}p(t), the instantaneous regret minus γ\gammaγ times the Hellinger error of M⋆M^\starM⋆ is at most decγ(M(t),M^(t))\mathrm{dec}_\gamma(\mathcal M^{(t)}, \widehat M^{(t)})decγ​(M(t),M(t)).
  2. Lemma D.1: on the event of Assumption D.1, M⋆∈M(t)M^\star \in \mathcal M^{(t)}M⋆∈M(t) for every ttt, and the total Hellinger error is at most Est~H(T,δ)\widetilde{\mathrm{Est}}_{\mathrm H}(T,\delta)EstH​(T,δ).
  3. Lemma D.2: if M∈M(i)M\in\mathcal M^{(i)}M∈M(i) for all i≤ti\le ti≤t, then for any model Mˉ\bar MMˉ, fM(πM)−fMˉ(πMˉ)f^M(\pi_M) - f^{\bar M}(\pi_{\bar M})fM(πM​)−fMˉ(πMˉ​) is bounded by (2γ)−1(2\gamma)^{-1}(2γ)−1 plus the average over i≤ti\le ti≤t of the DEC values and Hellinger errors.
  4. Containment: M(t)⊆Mεt(M^(t))\mathcal M^{(t)} \subseteq \mathcal M_{\varepsilon_t}(\widehat M^{(t)})M(t)⊆Mεt​​(M(t)) for every round, with the radius derived on p. 99 using 2sup⁡dec2\sup\mathrm{dec}2supdec.

Companion results

  • Theorem 4.3, (47): E2D for a general divergence D≥0D \ge 0D≥0 and randomized estimators ν(t)\nu^{(t)}ν(t) satisfies RegDM≤sup⁡ν∈Δ(M^)decγD(M,ν)⋅T+γ EstD\mathrm{Reg}_{\mathrm{DM}} \le \sup_{\nu\in\Delta(\widehat{\mathcal M})}\mathrm{dec}^D_\gamma(\mathcal M,\nu)\cdot T + \gamma\,\mathrm{Est}_DRegDM​≤supν∈Δ(M)​decγD​(M,ν)⋅T+γEstD​ almost surely. With D=DH2D = D^2_{\mathrm H}D=DH2​ and point estimates it contains (33), so it is a generalization of the open goal above, not the same statement.
  • Theorem 8.1, (87): contextual E2D with arbitrary contexts satisfies RegDM≤sup⁡xdecγD(M∣x,M^∣x)⋅T+γ EstD\mathrm{Reg}_{\mathrm{DM}} \le \sup_{x}\mathrm{dec}^D_\gamma(\mathcal M|_x, \widehat{\mathcal M}|_x)\cdot T + \gamma\,\mathrm{Est}_DRegDM​≤supx​decγD​(M∣x​,M∣x​)⋅T+γEstD​.

Significance

The bound is the paper's most general upper bound. Together with the lower bounds of §3, it shows that the localized DEC characterizes the regret of interactive decision making up to the estimation term. With an aggregating estimator satisfying M^(t)∈co(M(t))\widehat M^{(t)}\in\mathrm{co}(\mathcal M^{(t)})M(t)∈co(M(t)) (App. A.3), it recovers the finite-class guarantee of Theorem 3.3. The companions extend E2D to general divergences, randomized estimators and adversarially chosen contexts. That last setting contains SquareCB for contextual bandits.

All results of this mission are proved in the paper. None was machine-checked before. Formalizing them produces a checked reduction from decision making to estimation for finite decision and outcome spaces, stated against the published DEC and localized-class definitions, so that later bounds on the DEC of specific classes (bandits, tabular RL) can be combined with it.

Difficulty

The non-localized bound follows from the per-round step (138) by summation. The localized bound does not: the per-round DEC is taken over the confidence set M(t)\mathcal M^{(t)}M(t), and replacing it by a localized class requires that every model surviving in M(t)\mathcal M^{(t)}M(t) have optimal value close to that of the current estimate M^(t)\widehat M^{(t)}M(t). The confidence set constrains Hellinger errors against past estimates, not optimal values, and the estimate itself is in general not a member of the class. Bridging these is the content of Lemma D.2 and the containment. The first round is a boundary case: there the confidence set is the whole class, so the containment holds only if the radius ε1\varepsilon_1ε1​ is at least the full range of the rewards.

Formalization scope

  • Finite alphabets. The paper works over measurable spaces. This mission takes a finite decision set Π\PiΠ (a Fintype), a finite outcome set YYY, and models m : S → Y → ℝ with every m π a probability vector. Expectations are finite sums. Contexts in Theorem 8.1 range over an arbitrary type.
  • Published layer. Hellinger distance, fMf^MfM, regret, the DEC (decGf, and dec for the supremum over co(M)\mathrm{co}(\mathcal M)co(M)) and the localized class are the published FoundationsRL.GeneralDM definitions, referenced and not redefined.
  • Pathwise statements. A run is a realized sequence of estimates, distributions and confidence sets tied to Algorithm 1 by IsOptionIIRun (lines 7 and 8 and M^(t)∈co(M(t))\widehat M^{(t)}\in\mathrm{co}(\mathcal M^{(t)})M(t)∈co(M(t))). "With probability at least 1−δ1-\delta1−δ" becomes the hypothesis EventD1, the event of Assumption D.1. Line 8's arg min is relaxed to "certifies the minimax value from above", as Remark 4.1 permits. Rounds are 0-based, and εt\varepsilon_tεt​ is evaluated at the paper's index.
  • Added hypothesis R2≥1/12R^2 \ge 1/12R2≥1/12 in the goal and the containment. Without it the goal is false. With R2=0R^2 = 0R2=0, two decisions, two Bernoulli models and γ=10\gamma = 10γ=10, the first round has positive regret while the right side is 000. In applications Est~H(T,δ)≥2log⁡(1/δ)\widetilde{\mathrm{Est}}_{\mathrm H}(T,\delta)\ge 2\log(1/\delta)EstH​(T,δ)≥2log(1/δ).
  • Radius. The goal uses the printed theorem radius with 1⋅sup⁡dec1\cdot\sup\mathrm{dec}1⋅supdec. The containment milestone uses the p. 99 proof radius with 2⋅sup⁡dec2\cdot\sup\mathrm{dec}2⋅supdec. Averaging the DEC terms over the t−1t-1t−1 earlier rounds gives the goal's sharper factor.
  • Junk values. When a localized class is empty, its Lean DEC is 000 instead of −∞-\infty−∞, which only weakens the bound. All other suprema are over nonempty bounded sets.
  • Ruled out. Leaving the confidence sets, estimates or distributions unconstrained would make the goal false or trivial; they are tied to the algorithm by IsOptionIIRun. The open bound (33) is not restated.
  • Welcome contributions. Convexity and the triangle inequality for DH2D^2_{\mathrm H}DH2​, the bound ∣fM−fMˉ∣≤DH|f^M - f^{\bar M}| \le D_{\mathrm H}∣fM−fMˉ∣≤DH​ for rewards in [0,1][0,1][0,1], and monotonicity of decGf in the class are reusable beyond this mission.

Selected references

  • D. J. Foster, S. M. Kakade, J. Qian, A. Rakhlin, The Statistical Complexity of Interactive Decision Making, arXiv preprint, v3, 2023. https://arxiv.org/abs/2112.13487
  • D. J. Foster, A. Rakhlin, Foundations of Reinforcement Learning and Interactive Decision Making, lecture notes, 2023. https://arxiv.org/abs/2312.16730
  • D. J. Foster, A. Rakhlin, Beyond UCB: Optimal and Efficient Contextual Bandits with Regression Oracles, ICML 2020. https://arxiv.org/abs/2002.04926
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Information Sharing in Competing Supply Chains with Production Cost Reduction: Under Cournot Competition Both Chains Share Below k_N, Both or Neither Between k_N and k_S, and Neither Above k_SResearch Paper

Motivation

Retailers observe demand signals (point-of-sale data, local forecasts) that their suppliers do not. Whether a retailer should pass such a signal upstream is a central question of the supply chain information-sharing literature. In a single chain, sharing helps the manufacturer plan, but the retailer may lose from it. Competition between chains adds a second effect: sharing in one chain changes how the rival chain responds to its own signal.

Ha, Tian and Tong (MSOM 2017) study this question when the manufacturer's planning decision is production cost reduction: a manufacturer that knows more about demand can invest in lowering its unit cost more efficiently. They find that the equilibrium of the information-sharing game between two competing chains depends on a single efficiency parameter kkk in a three-regime pattern. This mission formalizes that pattern for quantity (Cournot) competition.

Earlier work on information sharing in competing chains (for example Ha, Tong and Zhang, Management Science 2011, on production diseconomies of scale) found related threshold structures under different upstream technologies. The present paper replaces the production cost with a cost-reduction investment.

Setting

There are two identical supply chains i=1,2i=1,2i=1,2, each with one manufacturer and one retailer. Retailer iii faces the inverse demand

pi=a+θ−qi−γCqj,p_i=a+\theta-q_i-\gamma_C q_j,pi​=a+θ−qi​−γC​qj​,

where θ\thetaθ is a demand shock with mean 000 and variance σ2\sigma^2σ2, and γC∈(0,1)\gamma_C\in(0,1)γC​∈(0,1) is the competition intensity. Manufacturer iii has unit production cost ccc and lowers it by xix_ixi​ at effort cost 12kxi2\tfrac12 kx_i^221​kxi2​; a small kkk means efficient cost reduction. Retailer iii observes a signal YiY_iYi​ with accuracy ttt; under the linear information structure, E[θ∣Yi]=E[Yj∣Yi]=tσ21+tσ2YiE[\theta\mid Y_i]=E[Y_j\mid Y_i]=\tfrac{t\sigma^2}{1+t\sigma^2}Y_iE[θ∣Yi​]=E[Yj​∣Yi​]=1+tσ2tσ2​Yi​.

In stage one, each chain fixes its arrangement Xi∈{S,N}X_i\in\{S,N\}Xi​∈{S,N}: the retailer shares its signal with the manufacturer (SSS) or not (NNN). Then the manufacturer sets a wholesale price and a cost reduction, and the retailer a quantity. For each arrangement profile (Xi,Xj)(X_i,X_j)(Xi​,Xj​) the quantity stage has a linear equilibrium qi=qˉ+CXiXjYiq_i=\bar q+C^{X_iX_j}Y_iqi​=qˉ​+CXi​Xj​Yi​ with explicit response coefficients CXiXj(k,γC,t,σ2)C^{X_iX_j}(k,\gamma_C,t,\sigma^2)CXi​Xj​(k,γC​,t,σ2) (Lemma 2(a)). These give closed-form ex-ante profits ΠRi,CXiXj\Pi^{X_iX_j}_{R_i,C}ΠRi​,CXi​Xj​​, ΠMi,CXiXj\Pi^{X_iX_j}_{M_i,C}ΠMi​,CXi​Xj​​ and Πi,CXiXj\Pi^{X_iX_j}_{i,C}Πi,CXi​Xj​​ for the retailer, the manufacturer and the chain.

The value of information sharing to chain iii is Vi,CXj=Πi,CSXj−Πi,CNXjV^{X_j}_{i,C}=\Pi^{SX_j}_{i,C}-\Pi^{NX_j}_{i,C}Vi,CXj​​=Πi,CSXj​​−Πi,CNXj​​. In stage one, manufacturer iii offers retailer iii the smallest side payment m^Xj\hat m^{X_j}m^Xj​ that makes sharing acceptable to the retailer, and chooses SSS or NNN. The result is a symmetric 2×22\times22×2 game between the two manufacturers (Table 1). Manufacturer iii's payoff is ΠMi,CSXj−m^Xj\Pi^{SX_j}_{M_i,C}-\hat m^{X_j}ΠMi​,CSXj​​−m^Xj​ for SSS and ΠMi,CNXj\Pi^{NX_j}_{M_i,C}ΠMi​,CNXj​​ for NNN. The standing assumptions are k>a/(4c)k>a/(4c)k>a/(4c), k>1/3k>1/3k>1/3 and a>ca>ca>c.

Formalization targets

Goal: Proposition 7(a)

For fixed γC∈(0,1)\gamma_C\in(0,1)γC​∈(0,1), t>0t>0t>0 and σ2>0\sigma^2>0σ2>0 there are thresholds

12<kCN<kCS<3+54\tfrac12<k^N_C<k^S_C<\tfrac{3+\sqrt5}{4}21​<kCN​<kCS​<43+5​​

such that the set E\mathcal EE of pure-strategy equilibria of the stage-one game is

E={(S,S)} (k<kCN),E={(S,S),(N,N)} (kCN<k<kCS),E={(N,N)} (k>kCS).\mathcal E=\{(S,S)\}\ (k<k^N_C),\qquad \mathcal E=\{(S,S),(N,N)\}\ (k^N_C<k<k^S_C),\qquad \mathcal E=\{(N,N)\}\ (k>k^S_C).E={(S,S)} (k<kCN​),E={(S,S),(N,N)} (kCN​<k<kCS​),E={(N,N)} (k>kCS​).

In the middle regime, both manufacturers are strictly better off at (S,S)(S,S)(S,S) than at (N,N)(N,N)(N,N).

Milestones

  • the linear strategies solve the best responses (proof of Lemma 2(a));
  • CjXjXi<1C^{X_jX_i}_j<1CjXj​Xi​​<1 and the four coefficient differences in closed form with their signs (proof of Lemma 3);
  • the retailer gains from sharing if and only if k≤1/2k\le1/2k≤1/2, and for k≤1/2k\le1/2k≤1/2 free information strictly raises the manufacturer's profit (§5.3);
  • Vi,CS>0  ⟺  g>0V^S_{i,C}>0\iff g>0Vi,CS​>0⟺g>0 and Vi,CN>0  ⟺  h>0V^N_{i,C}>0\iff h>0Vi,CN​>0⟺h>0 for two explicit polynomials g,hg,hg,h (proof of Proposition 6(a));
  • Proposition 6(a): Vi,CS>0  ⟺  k<kCSV^S_{i,C}>0\iff k<k^S_CVi,CS​>0⟺k<kCS​, Vi,CN>0  ⟺  k<kCNV^N_{i,C}>0\iff k<k^N_CVi,CN​>0⟺k<kCN​, the bounds above, and both thresholds strictly decreasing in ttt and in γC\gamma_CγC​.

A companion item states the Cournot half of Proposition 7(c): for k<1/2k<1/2k<1/2 no side payment is needed and (S,S)(S,S)(S,S) is the unique equilibrium.

Significance

Proposition 7(a) separates three regimes of cost-reduction efficiency. When cost reduction is efficient (k<kCNk<k^N_Ck<kCN​), sharing is dominant. At intermediate efficiency the stage-one game is a coordination game: both chains sharing is Pareto-better for the manufacturers, but both not sharing is also an equilibrium. When cost reduction is inefficient, no chain shares. Competition matters through the gap kCN<kCSk^N_C<k^S_CkCN​<kCS​: a chain whose rival shares tolerates a less efficient cost reduction before it stops sharing, and the thresholds fall as signals become more accurate or competition more intense.

The paper proves these facts by hand-checked algebra, often stated as "we can verify". The formalization turns each such step into a checked statement: the fixed-point identities behind Lemma 2(a), the closed forms of Lemma 3, the reduction of the sign of VVV to the polynomials ggg and hhh, and the monotonicity and location of their roots. None of these results has a machine-checked proof yet. The definitions (response coefficients, profits, side payment, stage-one game) are reusable for the Bertrand half of the paper and for other two-chain information-sharing models.

Difficulty

The obvious approach expands VSV^SVS and VNV^NVN as rational functions of (k,γC,t,σ2)(k,\gamma_C,t,\sigma^2)(k,γC​,t,σ2) and tries to read off their signs. That does not finish by itself. After cancelling positive factors, the signs are those of ggg and hhh, which are quadratics in ξ=t2σ4γC2/(tσ2+1)2∈(0,1)\xi=t^2\sigma^4\gamma_C^2/(t\sigma^2+1)^2\in(0,1)ξ=t2σ4γC2​/(tσ2+1)2∈(0,1) with coefficients polynomial in kkk. The thresholds are defined implicitly by a root of each quadratic crossing ξ\xiξ. Showing that {g>0}\{g>0\}{g>0} and {h>0}\{h>0\}{h>0} are initial intervals of (1/3,∞)(1/3,\infty)(1/3,∞) needs the relevant root to be strictly decreasing in kkk, to exceed 111 below k=1/2k=1/2k=1/2 and to change sign at (3+5)/4(3+\sqrt5)/4(3+5​)/4. The strict ordering kCN<kCSk^N_C<k^S_CkCN​<kCS​ needs a comparison of two roots involving k3(6k−1)\sqrt{k^3(6k-1)}k3(6k−1)​ and k(6k−1)\sqrt{k(6k-1)}k(6k−1)​ on (1/2,(3+5)/4)(1/2,(3+\sqrt5)/4)(1/2,(3+5​)/4). The equilibrium analysis then needs the retailer comparison, to know when the side payment is positive. Table 1's payoff entries are valid only in that case.

Formalization scope

Everything is over R\mathbb RR, in the namespace CompetingChains.Cournot. A general definition TwoPlayerGame gives pure-strategy Nash equilibria of a two-player normal-form game. The definition Setting records the paper's reduced form: the standing assumptions, the response coefficients CXiXjC^{X_iX_j}CXi​Xj​ of Lemma 2(a), the best responses (7) and (9), the ex-ante profit functions of p. 17, the equilibrium profits ΠXiXj=πXi(CjXjXi)\Pi^{X_iX_j}=\pi^{X_i}(C_j^{X_jX_i})ΠXi​Xj​=πXi​(CjXj​Xi​​), VVV, m^\hat mm^, the stage-one payoff and its set of pure equilibria. The Bayesian stages enter only through these closed forms. The arrangements are an inductive type {S, N}. Manufacturer 2's payoff at (X1,X2)(X_1,X_2)(X1​,X2​) is manufacturer 1's payoff at (X2,X1)(X_2,X_1)(X2​,X1​). The chain profit is defined as retailer plus manufacturer profit. The stage-one payoff uses m^\hat mm^ as printed on p. 21, and agrees with Table 1 whenever the side payment is positive.

Conventions and added hypotheses, each disclosed in the items:

  • γC>0\gamma_C>0γC​>0 wherever the result needs it; at γC=0\gamma_C=0γC​=0 the chains do not interact and the middle regime is empty. Positivity of ccc, ttt and σ2\sigma^2σ2 is part of the standing assumptions.
  • The goal's "otherwise" is read as k>kCSk>k^S_Ck>kCS​, because both profiles are equilibria at k=kCNk=k^N_Ck=kCN​ and k=kCSk=k^S_Ck=kCS​.
  • Only pure-strategy equilibria are counted. "Unique equilibrium" is equality of the equilibrium set with a singleton, not membership.
  • The thresholds depend on (γC,t,σ2)(\gamma_C,t,\sigma^2)(γC​,t,σ2) only and are chosen before a,c,ka,c,ka,c,k.
  • "Decreasing" means strictly decreasing.
  • Every division is real division by a quantity positive under k>1/3k>1/3k>1/3, γC≥0\gamma_C\ge0γC​≥0, tσ2>0t\sigma^2>0tσ2>0. These hypotheses are carried in every theorem, so no statement is about Lean's value x/0=0x/0=0x/0=0.

The coefficients, profits, VVV and payoffs are definitions, never free parameters. A statement with free coefficients, a goal whose thresholds lack kCN<kCSk^N_C<k^S_CkCN​<kCS​, or one that only asserts membership of (S,S)(S,S)(S,S) would be trivial or weaker, and is not what is posed. No published platform definition states this model, so none is referenced.

Not in scope: Lemma 2's uniqueness (delegated by the paper to earlier work), the wholesale-price and cost-reduction lines of Lemma 2(a), the Bertrand half (Propositions 6(b), 7(b)), the single-chain analysis of §4, Proposition 8 and the numerical study. Proofs of any item are welcome. The polynomial root analysis behind Proposition 6(a) is the main open piece of work.

Selected references

  • A. Y. Ha, Q. Tian and S. Tong, Information Sharing in Competing Supply Chains with Production Cost Reduction, Manufacturing & Service Operations Management 19(2), 2017. https://doi.org/10.1287/msom.2016.0607
  • A. Y. Ha, S. Tong and H. Zhang, Sharing Imperfect Demand Information in Competing Supply Chains with Production Diseconomies, Management Science 57(3), 566–581, 2011. https://doi.org/10.1287/mnsc.1100.1295
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Harmonic AnalysisMachine LearningProbability·Captain: mikedeng1

Approximation Bounds for Random Neural Networks and Reservoir Systems I: Random ReLU Networks with Sampled Inner Weights Approximate Fourier-Represented Functions on a Hilbert Space (Theorem 1)Research Paper

Motivation

In random-feature models, also called extreme learning machines or random neural networks, the inner weights of a one-hidden-layer network are drawn at random and only the linear readout is trained. Training is then a least-squares problem, which is why such models, and their dynamic counterparts reservoir computing and echo state networks, are used in practice. The question is how well such a network can approximate a target when it is not allowed to choose its inner weights. Gonon, Grigoryeva and Ortega (Ann. Appl. Probab. 33 (2023) 28–69) answer it with explicit, non-asymptotic L2L^2L2 bounds. Their first result, Theorem 1, covers static ReLU networks on an arbitrary separable Hilbert space. The later results of the paper, on finite-dimensional inputs and on echo state networks, are built on it.

Timeline:

  • 1993: Barron (IEEE Trans. Inf. Theory 39) proves O(N−1/2)O(N^{-1/2})O(N−1/2) approximation rates for functions with a finite first Fourier moment, using networks whose inner weights are optimized.
  • 2008: Rahimi and Recht (NeurIPS 2008) prove random kitchen-sink bounds for random features sampled from a fixed law.
  • 2023: Gonon, Grigoryeva and Ortega prove bounds with explicit constants for ReLU units with importance-sampled inner weights, on infinite-dimensional input spaces, under weak conditions on the sampling law.

Setting

X\mathcal XX is a separable real Hilbert space with inner product ⟨⋅,⋅⟩\langle\cdot,\cdot\rangle⟨⋅,⋅⟩, and σ(x)=max⁡(x,0)\sigma(x)=\max(x,0)σ(x)=max(x,0) is the rectifier. The inner weights θi=(Ai,ζi)∈X×R\theta_i=(A_i,\zeta_i)\in\mathcal X\times\mathbb Rθi​=(Ai​,ζi​)∈X×R, i=1,…,Ni=1,\dots,Ni=1,…,N, are i.i.d. with law π\piπ. For a readout matrix W∈Mm,NW\in\mathbb M_{m,N}W∈Mm,N​ the random ReLU network is

HWA,ζ(z)=Wσ(Az+ζ),(Az+ζ)i=⟨Ai,z⟩+ζi.H_W^{A,\zeta}(z)=W\sigma(Az+\zeta),\qquad (Az+\zeta)_i=\langle A_i,z\rangle+\zeta_i .HWA,ζ​(z)=Wσ(Az+ζ),(Az+ζ)i​=⟨Ai​,z⟩+ζi​.

The target H∗:X→RmH^*:\mathcal X\to\mathbb R^mH∗:X→Rm is assumed to have a Fourier representation on the ball of radius MMM: Hj∗(z)=∫ei⟨w,z⟩μ^j(dw)H^*_j(z)=\int e^{i\langle w,z\rangle}\hat\mu_j(dw)Hj∗​(z)=∫ei⟨w,z⟩μ^​j​(dw) for ∥z∥≤M\|z\|\le M∥z∥≤M, with complex measures μ^j\hat\mu_jμ^​j​ whose total variations ∣μ^j∣|\hat\mu_j|∣μ^​j​∣ have finite second moments (condition (15)). The sampling law has the product form π=πX⊗(πR(x)dx)\pi=\pi_{\mathcal X}\otimes(\pi_{\mathbb R}(x)dx)π=πX​⊗(πR​(x)dx). Two further quantities enter: Fπ(x)=2∫−x0πR(u)−1duF_\pi(x)=2\int_{-x}^0\pi_{\mathbb R}(u)^{-1}duFπ​(x)=2∫−x0​πR​(u)−1du, and the density gj=d(∣μ^j∣+∣μ^j∣−)/dπXg_j=d(|\hat\mu_j|+|\hat\mu_j|^-)/d\pi_{\mathcal X}gj​=d(∣μ^​j​∣+∣μ^​j​∣−)/dπX​, where ν−(⋅)=ν(−⋅)\nu^-(\cdot)=\nu(-\cdot)ν−(⋅)=ν(−⋅). The input ZZZ is an X\mathcal XX-valued random variable with law μZ\mu_ZμZ​ and ∥Z∥≤M\|Z\|\le M∥Z∥≤M, independent of the inner weights.

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem 1 (pp. 37–38)

If ∣μ^j∣+∣μ^j∣−≪πX|\hat\mu_j|+|\hat\mu_j|^-\ll\pi_{\mathcal X}∣μ^​j​∣+∣μ^​j​∣−≪πX​, condition (i) or (ii) on πR\pi_{\mathbb R}πR​ holds, and the integrals (16) of Fπ(M∥w∥)∥w∥2gj2F_\pi(M\|w\|)\|w\|^2g_j^2Fπ​(M∥w∥)∥w∥2gj2​ and max⁡(∥w∥2,1)gj2\max(\|w\|^2,1)g_j^2max(∥w∥2,1)gj2​ are finite, then there is a readout WWW, a measurable function of (A,ζ)(A,\zeta)(A,ζ), with

E[∥HWA,ζ(Z)−H∗(Z)∥2]≤C∗N,\mathbb E\big[\|H_W^{A,\zeta}(Z)-H^*(Z)\|^2\big]\le\frac{C^*}{N},E[∥HWA,ζ​(Z)−H∗(Z)∥2]≤NC∗​,

and for every δ∈(0,1)\delta\in(0,1)δ∈(0,1), with probability at least 1−δ1-\delta1−δ, ∥HWA,ζ−H∗∥L2(μZ)≤C∗/(δN)\|H_W^{A,\zeta}-H^*\|_{L^2(\mu_Z)}\le\sqrt{C^*}/(\delta\sqrt N)∥HWA,ζ​−H∗∥L2(μZ​)​≤C∗​/(δN​). Here C∗=∑jCj∗C^*=\sum_jC^*_jC∗=∑j​Cj∗​ and

Cj∗=M2 ⁣∫Fπ(M∥w∥)∥w∥2gj2 dπX+32max⁡(M2,1)(Fπ(1)−Fπ(−1)) ⁣∫max⁡(∥w∥2,1)gj2 dπX.C^*_j=M^2\!\int F_\pi(M\|w\|)\|w\|^2g_j^2\,d\pi_{\mathcal X}+32\max(M^2,1)\big(F_\pi(1)-F_\pi(-1)\big)\!\int\max(\|w\|^2,1)g_j^2\,d\pi_{\mathcal X}.Cj∗​=M2∫Fπ​(M∥w∥)∥w∥2gj2​dπX​+32max(M2,1)(Fπ​(1)−Fπ​(−1))∫max(∥w∥2,1)gj2​dπX​.

Milestones

  1. Lemma 1 (p. 37): (ω,z)↦HW(ω)A(ω),ζ(ω)(z)(\omega,z)\mapsto H_{W(\omega)}^{A(\omega),\zeta(\omega)}(z)(ω,z)↦HW(ω)A(ω),ζ(ω)​(z) is product-measurable.
  2. Step 1 (p. 39): ∫i⟨v,w⟩μ^(dw)\int i\langle v,w\rangle\hat\mu(dw)∫i⟨v,w⟩μ^​(dw) is real, and the identity (19).
  3. (20) (p. 40): H∗(v)=∫σ(⟨v,w⟩+u) α(dw,du)H^*(v)=\int\sigma(\langle v,w\rangle+u)\,\alpha(dw,du)H∗(v)=∫σ(⟨v,w⟩+u)α(dw,du) for ∥v∥≤M\|v\|\le M∥v∥≤M, for an explicit signed measure α\alphaα.
  4. (21) (p. 40): α≪π\alpha\ll\piα≪π, with ∣dα/dπ(w,u)∣≤(1(−M∥w∥,0](u)+22 1[−1,1](u)) g(w)/πR(u)|d\alpha/d\pi(w,u)|\le(\mathbb 1_{(-M\|w\|,0]}(u)+2\sqrt2\,\mathbb 1_{[-1,1]}(u))\,g(w)/\pi_{\mathbb R}(u)∣dα/dπ(w,u)∣≤(1(−M∥w∥,0]​(u)+22​1[−1,1]​(u))g(w)/πR​(u).
  5. (25) (p. 40): the mean-square error of the i.i.d. average is 1NVar⁡\frac1N\operatorname{Var}N1​Var, which is at most 1N\frac1NN1​ times the second moment.
  6. (26) (p. 41): that second moment is at most C∗C^*C∗.

Milestones 2–6 are stated for a single output component (m=1m=1m=1), to which the proof reduces.

Significance

Theorem 1 says that only the readout has to be trained. With inner weights drawn from an essentially arbitrary product law satisfying (i) or (ii), a least-squares readout achieves L2L^2L2 error O(N−1/2)O(N^{-1/2})O(N−1/2) with a constant computable from the Fourier data of H∗H^*H∗ and the sampling law (Remark 3, p. 38). The finite-dimensional rates of Section 4.2 (Proposition 3, Corollary 1) follow from it, and so do, through the reservoir functional's Fourier representation, the echo state network bounds of Sections 5–6.

The result is proved on paper but has no machine-checked proof. A formal proof needs integral representations of Fourier-type functions by ReLU units, Radon–Nikodym arguments for signed measures on product spaces, and the variance identity for i.i.d. averages. A side product of formalizing it is a correction: the printed constant 32M232M^232M2 is false for small MMM and has to be replaced by 32max⁡(M2,1)32\max(M^2,1)32max(M2,1), which agrees with it for M≥1M\ge1M≥1.

Difficulty

There is an obvious argument: sample features from ∣μ^∣|\hat\mu|∣μ^​∣ and use Maurey's empirical method. It does not apply, because the features here are ReLU ridge functions of a real-valued bias drawn from πR\pi_{\mathbb R}πR​, not complex exponentials. The proof must first rewrite the oscillatory representation as an integral of rectifiers, (18)–(20). That step uses the realness of ∫i⟨v,w⟩μ^(dw)\int i\langle v,w\rangle\hat\mu(dw)∫i⟨v,w⟩μ^​(dw), which is not given and follows only from H∗H^*H∗ being real near 000. The signed measure α\alphaα obtained this way must then be absolutely continuous with respect to the sampling law π\piπ, with a density whose second moment is controlled by (16). In case (ii), πR\pi_{\mathbb R}πR​ may vanish outside a bounded interval, and the support of α\alphaα has to be matched to it.

Formalization scope

  • Space. X\mathcal XX is a complete, separable real inner product space with its Borel σ\sigmaσ-algebra.
  • Complex measures. Each μ^j\hat\mu_jμ^​j​ is given in polar form hj νjh_j\,\nu_jhj​νj​, with νj=∣μ^j∣\nu_j=|\hat\mu_j|νj​=∣μ^​j​∣ a finite measure and hjh_jhj​ measurable with ∣hj∣=1|h_j|=1∣hj​∣=1. This loses no generality (Rudin, Thm 6.12).
  • Randomness. The inner weights live on (X×R)N(\mathcal X\times\mathbb R)^N(X×R)N with law π⊗N\pi^{\otimes N}π⊗N, and ZZZ has its own law μZ\mu_ZμZ​. Expectations are iterated lower integrals; this is the standing independence of §4.1. "With probability 1−δ1-\delta1−δ" bounds the π⊗N\pi^{\otimes N}π⊗N-measure of the bad set.
  • Readout. The readout is a measurable function of the inner weights only. A readout allowed to depend on the input ZZZ would make the statement trivial, and it is ruled out.
  • Norms and normalisation. Norms on Rm\mathbb R^mRm are Euclidean, as a sum of squares. πX\pi_{\mathcal X}πX​ is a probability measure and ∫πR=1\int\pi_{\mathbb R}=1∫πR​=1; rescaling πX\pi_{\mathcal X}πX​ by ccc and πR\pi_{\mathbb R}πR​ by 1/c1/c1/c changes neither π\piπ nor C∗C^*C∗.
  • Encodings. "∣Fπ(x)∣<∞|F_\pi(x)|<\infty∣Fπ​(x)∣<∞" is integrability of 1/πR1/\pi_{\mathbb R}1/πR​ on the interval between −x-x−x and 000, and FπF_\piFπ​ is an oriented interval integral. (15) is a finite lower integral and (16) is integrability, so none of them holds vacuously.
  • Departures from the print. The page's "C∗>0C^*>0C∗>0" is dropped in favour of the explicit value. The constant uses 32max⁡(M2,1)32\max(M^2,1)32max(M2,1).

A complete development needs the following:

  • the rectifier integral identity (18), which is identity (8) of Proposition 2 and is posed in the companion mission on echo state networks;
  • the Radon–Nikodym and Fubini arguments of Step 1;
  • the variance of i.i.d. averages under product measures;
  • Markov's inequality.

The variance identity (25) and the bound (26) are independent of the Fourier setting and reusable. Contributions to any milestone are welcome, and so are alternative proofs of (19) and (20).

Selected references

  • L. Gonon, L. Grigoryeva, J.-P. Ortega, Approximation bounds for random neural networks and reservoir systems, Ann. Appl. Probab. 33(1), 2023, 28–69. https://doi.org/10.1214/22-AAP1806
  • A. R. Barron, Universal approximation bounds for superpositions of a sigmoidal function, IEEE Trans. Inf. Theory 39(3), 1993, 930–945. https://doi.org/10.1109/18.256500
  • A. Rahimi, B. Recht, Weighted sums of random kitchen sinks: replacing minimization with randomization in learning, NeurIPS 2008. https://papers.nips.cc/paper/2008/hash/0efe32849d230d7f53049ddc4a4b0c60-Abstract.html
  • W. Rudin, Real and Complex Analysis, 3rd ed., McGraw-Hill, 1987 (Chapter 6, Theorem 6.12).
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Dynamical SystemsMachine LearningProbability·Captain: mikedeng1

Approximation Bounds for Random Neural Networks and Reservoir Systems III: Echo State Networks with Output Feedback and Random Weights Approximate Contracting Reservoirs (Theorem 4)Research Paper

Motivation

An echo state network with output feedback is a recurrent model whose previous output is fed back into its next hidden-state update. In reservoir computing only the linear output weights are trained, while the internal weights are fixed, typically after being drawn at random. This raises a quantitative question: if the internal rows are sampled from a fixed law, can a network with NNN blocks of random rows and a suitable linear readout approximate a given input–output rule, and at what rate in NNN? Gonon, Grigoryeva and Ortega answer this for targets generated by contracting reservoir systems. Their Theorem 4 (p. 63) gives, with explicit constants, a probability bound and an excess-risk bound of order 1/N1/\sqrt N1/N​, plus a term decaying geometrically in the length TTT of the observation window. The input set is not required to be bounded: the bound depends on the input process only through E[max⁡t∥Zt∥]\mathbb E[\max_{t}\|Z_t\|]E[maxt​∥Zt​∥] over the window.

Setting

Inputs are vectors in a set Dd⊆RdD_d\subseteq\mathbb R^dDd​⊆Rd and an input history is z=(zt)t∈Z−z=(z_t)_{t\in\mathbb Z_-}z=(zt​)t∈Z−​​, with Z−={0,−1,−2,… }\mathbb Z_-=\{0,-1,-2,\dots\}Z−​={0,−1,−2,…}. A target reservoir is a map F∗:RN∗×Dd→BMF^*:\mathbb R^{N^*}\times D_d\to B_MF∗:RN∗×Dd​→BM​, with BMB_MBM​ the closed Euclidean ball of radius MMM, such that F∗(⋅,v)F^*(\cdot,v)F∗(⋅,v) is an rrr-contraction for every v∈Ddv\in D_dv∈Dd​, with r∈(0,1)r\in(0,1)r∈(0,1). Its reservoir functional is H∗(z)=x0∗H^*(z)=x^*_0H∗(z)=x0∗​, where xt∗=F∗(xt−1∗,zt)x^*_t=F^*(x^*_{t-1},z_t)xt∗​=F∗(xt−1∗​,zt​) for all t∈Z−t\in\mathbb Z_-t∈Z−​. The output dimension is m=N∗m=N^*m=N∗.

The approximating network has NNN blocks of N∗N^*N∗ rows. Each row is a vector ω=(a,c,ζ)∈RN∗+d+1\omega=(a,c,\zeta)\in\mathbb R^{N^*+d+1}ω=(a,c,ζ)∈RN∗+d+1, and the Nˉ=NN∗\bar N=NN^*Nˉ=NN∗ rows Uj(i)U_j^{(i)}Uj(i)​ of [A,C,ζ][A,C,\zeta][A,C,ζ] are i.i.d. with law π\piπ. With an activation σ\sigmaσ and a readout matrix W∈Mm,NˉW\in\mathbb M_{m,\bar N}W∈Mm,Nˉ​, the system is

xt=σ(Ayt−1+Czt+ζ),yt=Wxt,t=−T,…,0,y−T−1=Ξ,x_t=\sigma(Ay_{t-1}+Cz_t+\zeta),\qquad y_t=Wx_t,\qquad t=-T,\dots,0,\qquad y_{-T-1}=\Xi,xt​=σ(Ayt−1​+Czt​+ζ),yt​=Wxt​,t=−T,…,0,y−T−1​=Ξ,

with T≥1T\ge1T≥1 and ∥Ξ∥≤M\|\Xi\|\le M∥Ξ∥≤M; its functional is HWA,C,ζ(z)=y0H^{A,C,\zeta}_W(z)=y_0HWA,C,ζ​(z)=y0​. For each k≥1k\ge1k≥1 and j=1,…,N∗j=1,\dots,N^*j=1,…,N∗ a signed measure πjk≪π\pi_j^k\ll\piπjk​≪π defines the integral map

Fj∗,N(x,v)=∫σ((x,v,1)⋅ω) πjN(dω).F_j^{*,N}(x,v)=\int\sigma((x,v,1)\cdot\omega)\,\pi_j^N(d\omega).Fj∗,N​(x,v)=∫σ((x,v,1)⋅ω)πjN​(dω).

The constant C∗=43Lσsup⁡k∑j(∫∥ω∥2(dπjk/dπ)2dπ)1/2C_*=4\sqrt3L_\sigma\sup_{k}\sum_j(\int\|\omega\|^2(d\pi_j^k/d\pi)^2d\pi)^{1/2}C∗​=43​Lσ​supk​∑j​(∫∥ω∥2(dπjk​/dπ)2dπ)1/2 measures the size of these densities, and sN=E[max⁡t∈{0,…,−T}sup⁡x∈BM+1∥F∗,N(x,Zt)−F∗(x,Zt)∥]s_N=\mathbb E[\max_{t\in\{0,\dots,-T\}}\sup_{x\in B_{M+1}}\|F^{*,N}(x,Z_t)-F^*(x,Z_t)\|]sN​=E[maxt∈{0,…,−T}​supx∈BM+1​​∥F∗,N(x,Zt​)−F∗(x,Zt​)∥] is the approximation error of F∗,NF^{*,N}F∗,N. The input process ZZZ is independent of (A,C,ζ)(A,C,\zeta)(A,C,ζ), Y0Y_0Y0​ is an integrable target, and the loss L≥0L\ge0L≥0 is Lipschitz with constant LLL_LLL​. The echo state event ΩESP\Omega_{\mathrm{ESP}}ΩESP​ of (87) is the event that ∥WFA,C,ζ(x,Zt)∥≤M+1\|WF^{A,C,\zeta}(x,Z_t)\|\le M+1∥WFA,C,ζ(x,Zt​)∥≤M+1 for all x∈BM+1x\in B_{M+1}x∈BM+1​ and t∈{0,…,−T}t\in\{0,\dots,-T\}t∈{0,…,−T}, where FA,C,ζ(x,v)=σ(Ax+Cv+ζ)F^{A,C,\zeta}(x,v)=\sigma(Ax+Cv+\zeta)FA,C,ζ(x,v)=σ(Ax+Cv+ζ).

Formalization targets

Steps of the proof

The milestones are the displayed estimates of the proof, in attack order:

  1. (89): one step of the error recursion on ΩESP\Omega_{\mathrm{ESP}}ΩESP​, E[∥Yt−Xt∗∥1ΩESP]≤E[sup⁡y∥⋯∥]+sN+r E[∥Yt−1−Xt−1∗∥1ΩESP]\mathbb E[\|Y_t-X^*_t\|\mathbb 1_{\Omega_{\mathrm{ESP}}}]\le\mathbb E[\sup_{y}\|\cdots\|]+s_N+r\,\mathbb E[\|Y_{t-1}-X^*_{t-1}\|\mathbb 1_{\Omega_{\mathrm{ESP}}}]E[∥Yt​−Xt∗​∥1ΩESP​​]≤E[supy​∥⋯∥]+sN​+rE[∥Yt−1​−Xt−1∗​∥1ΩESP​​];
  2. (90): splitting into coordinates and symmetrization of the uniform error of the random map;
  3. (91): a deterministic bound on Rademacher averages,
Eεsup⁡y∈BM+1∣∑i=1Nviεiσ((y,z,1)⋅ui)∣≤2Lσ((M+1)(∑ivi2∥ai∥2)1/2+∥z∥(∑ivi2∥ci∥2)1/2+(∑ivi2ζi2)1/2);\mathbb E_\varepsilon\sup_{y\in B_{M+1}}\Big|\sum_{i=1}^N v_i\varepsilon_i\sigma((y,z,1)\cdot u_i)\Big|\le2L_\sigma\Big((M+1)\big(\textstyle\sum_iv_i^2\|a_i\|^2\big)^{1/2}+\|z\|\big(\sum_iv_i^2\|c_i\|^2\big)^{1/2}+\big(\sum_iv_i^2\zeta_i^2\big)^{1/2}\Big);Eε​y∈BM+1​sup​​i=1∑N​vi​εi​σ((y,z,1)⋅ui​)​≤2Lσ​((M+1)(∑i​vi2​∥ai​∥2)1/2+∥z∥(∑i​vi2​∥ci​∥2)1/2+(∑i​vi2​ζi2​)1/2);
  1. (92)–(93): for each fixed input z∈Ddz\in D_dz∈Dd​,
Esup⁡y∈BM+1∥1N∑i=1NWiσ(A(i)y+C(i)z+ζ(i))−F∗,N(y,z)∥≤(M+2+∥z∥)C∗N;\mathbb E\sup_{y\in B_{M+1}}\Big\|\frac1N\sum_{i=1}^NW_i\sigma(A^{(i)}y+C^{(i)}z+\zeta^{(i)})-F^{*,N}(y,z)\Big\|\le\frac{(M+2+\|z\|)C_*}{\sqrt N};Ey∈BM+1​sup​​N1​i=1∑N​Wi​σ(A(i)y+C(i)z+ζ(i))−F∗,N(y,z)​≤N​(M+2+∥z∥)C∗​​;
  1. (96): P(Ω∖ΩESP)≤2(M+2+E[max⁡t∥Zt∥])C∗/N+2sN\mathbb P(\Omega\setminus\Omega_{\mathrm{ESP}})\le2(M+2+\mathbb E[\max_t\|Z_t\|])C_*/\sqrt N+2s_NP(Ω∖ΩESP​)≤2(M+2+E[maxt​∥Zt​∥])C∗​/N​+2sN​.

Goal: Theorem 4

There is a readout WWW, a function of (A,C,ζ)(A,C,\zeta)(A,C,ζ) alone, such that for every δ∈(0,1)\delta\in(0,1)δ∈(0,1) and every ∥Ξ∥≤M\|\Xi\|\le M∥Ξ∥≤M, with probability at least max⁡(1−δ−2C∗(M+2+E[max⁡t∥Zt∥])/N−2sN,0)\max(1-\delta-2C_*(M+2+\mathbb E[\max_t\|Z_t\|])/\sqrt N-2s_N,0)max(1−δ−2C∗​(M+2+E[maxt​∥Zt​∥])/N​−2sN​,0), the event ΩESP\Omega_{\mathrm{ESP}}ΩESP​ holds and

∣R(HWA,C,ζ)−R(H∗)∣≤LLδ[(M+2+max⁡tE∥Zt∥)C∗(1−r)N+sN1−r+2(M+1)rT+1],|\mathcal R(H^{A,C,\zeta}_W)-\mathcal R(H^*)|\le \frac{L_L}{\delta}\Big[\frac{(M+2+\max_t\mathbb E\|Z_t\|)C_*}{(1-r)\sqrt N}+\frac{s_N}{1-r}+2(M+1)r^{T+1}\Big],∣R(HWA,C,ζ​)−R(H∗)∣≤δLL​​[(1−r)N​(M+2+maxt​E∥Zt​∥)C∗​​+1−rsN​​+2(M+1)rT+1],

where R(H)=E[L(H(Z),Y0)]\mathcal R(H)=\mathbb E[L(H(Z),Y_0)]R(H)=E[L(H(Z),Y0​)] is evaluated at fixed network weights.

Significance

The bound separates three sources of error: sampling NNN blocks of random rows (rate 1/N1/\sqrt N1/N​), the approximation of F∗F^*F∗ by the integral map F∗,NF^{*,N}F∗,N (sNs_NsN​), and the finite initialization of the feedback recursion (rT+1r^{T+1}rT+1). Only the readout depends on the target; the internal weights are generated without it. The theorem also bounds the probability that the random feedback map leaves the state ball on which the recursion is controlled, which is the form in which the echo state property enters. Via Theorem 3 (p. 62), which specializes the densities through the paper's Proposition 2, it gives approximation rates for ReLU output-feedback networks.

The paper proves the result on pp. 63–68. No part of it is formalized. A complete development would give machine-checked Rademacher symmetrization and contraction estimates for random features, uniform-over-a-ball bounds for sampled integral maps, and a treatment of finite feedback recursions on product probability spaces, all reusable outside reservoir computing.

Difficulty

A pointwise approximation of F∗F^*F∗ by the sampled map does not control the feedback system, because the next feedback value is itself the random output of the previous update. The comparison must hold uniformly over the state ball BM+1B_{M+1}BM+1​ and over the whole input window, and the event that the recursion leaves the ball must be charged to an explicit probability. The uniform bound requires symmetrization and the Ledoux–Talagrand contraction principle for a supremum over a continuum of states, with per-index contractions; Lipschitz continuity of σ\sigmaσ alone does not supply the vanishing at zero that principle needs. The input is unbounded, so the input dependence must be tracked through ∥z∥\|z\|∥z∥ and integrated at the end.

Formalization scope

States, inputs, outputs and rows are Euclidean spaces (EuclideanSpace); a row is indexed by ({1..N∗}⊔{1..d})⊔{∗}(\{1..N^*\}\sqcup\{1..d\})\sqcup\{\ast\}({1..N∗}⊔{1..d})⊔{∗} and the rows by {1..N}×{1..N∗}\{1..N\}\times\{1..N^*\}{1..N}×{1..N∗}. Time t∈Z−t\in\mathbb Z_-t∈Z−​ is the index −t∈N-t\in\mathbb N−t∈N; the equation (78) is the published ReservoirESN.IsSolution. The rows have law π⊗NN∗\pi^{\otimes NN^*}π⊗NN∗ on their own space and (Z,Y0)(Z,Y_0)(Z,Y0​) lives on a separate probability space; the probability is under the product law, which encodes the independence of §6.1. Signed measures πjk\pi_j^kπjk​ are their Radon–Nikodym densities with respect to π\piπ, with integrability and first-moment hypotheses. C∗C_*C∗​, sNs_NsN​ and E[max⁡t∥Zt∥]\mathbb E[\max_t\|Z_t\|]E[maxt​∥Zt​∥] are extended nonnegative integrals and suprema, converted to reals only under their finiteness hypotheses; the risk integrals are finite under the loss Lipschitz bound, integrable target and input-moment assumption; the supremum in (87) is unfolded. F∗F^*F∗ is assumed jointly measurable, the standing convention that makes sNs_NsN​ and H∗(Z)H^*(Z)H∗(Z) random variables; the standing assumptions d,N∗≥1d,N^*\ge1d,N∗≥1 and M>0M>0M>0 (p. 30) and T≥1T\ge1T≥1 (§6.1) are hypotheses.

Trivialization ruled out. The readout is a measurable function of the rows only and is chosen before δ\deltaδ and Ξ\XiΞ. A readout allowed to look at the input ZZZ would make the claim a different and much weaker statement.

Correction of the print. The goal and milestones (91), (93), (96) assume σ(0)=0\sigma(0)=0σ(0)=0: the contraction principle cited at (91) needs contractions vanishing at zero, while the printed theorem states only that σ\sigmaσ is Lipschitz. ReLU, the paper's application, satisfies it. The goal retains the printed full risk difference. Its proof passes through (88), where an indicator depending on ZZZ is moved inside a risk integral; this step needs further justification. The milestone quotations keep the printed text.

Contributions are welcome on each milestone, on general Rademacher symmetrization and contraction lemmas for suprema over compact parameter sets, on measurability of suprema of continuous random fields, and on the printed form of the risk bound.

Selected references

  • L. Gonon, L. Grigoryeva and J.-P. Ortega, Approximation bounds for random neural networks and reservoir systems, The Annals of Applied Probability 33(1), 2023, 28–69. https://doi.org/10.1214/22-AAP1806
  • M. Ledoux and M. Talagrand, Probability in Banach Spaces: Isoperimetry and Processes, Springer, 1991 (Theorem 4.12, the contraction principle). https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-642-20212-4
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CombinatoricsGraph Theory·Captain: mikedeng1

Cycle Lengths in Expanding Graphs 1: Every α-Expander on n Vertices Has a Cycle of Length in [ℓ, ℓ+O(1/α)] for Every Integer ℓ from O(1/α)·log n up to 2^(−O(log(1/α)/α))·nResearch Paper

Motivation

Which cycle lengths a graph must contain is a long-standing theme of extremal graph theory, studied for graphs of given minimum degree, chromatic number or density. A natural class in which to ask it is that of expanders: graphs in which every not-too-large vertex set has many neighbours outside it (Hoory, Linial and Wigderson). It is known that an α\alphaα-expander on nnn vertices has a cycle of length Ωα(n)\Omega_\alpha(n)Ωα​(n) and a cycle of length Oα(log⁡n)O_\alpha(\log n)Oα​(logn) (Krivelevich's survey, Corollary 3.2 and Theorem 7.4, arXiv:1812.11562); the question is what happens between these extremes.

One cannot hope for a full interval of cycle lengths: the complete bipartite graph Kαn/2,(1−α/2)nK_{\alpha n/2,(1-\alpha/2)n}Kαn/2,(1−α/2)n​ is an α\alphaα-expander without odd cycles, and subdividing every edge of a bounded-degree expander mmm times gives an Ω(α/m)\Omega(\alpha/m)Ω(α/m)-expander all of whose cycle lengths are divisible by m+1m+1m+1. L. Friedman and M. Krivelevich (Cycle lengths in expanding graphs, Combinatorica 41 (2021); arXiv:1912.11011v2) show that this is the only obstruction: the cycle lengths of an α\alphaα-expander are well spread, in the sense that every window of O(1/α)O(1/\alpha)O(1/α) consecutive integers between logarithmic and linear length contains one. This mission formalizes that theorem (Theorem 1 of the paper) together with the lemmas of its §2.

Setting

Let G=(V,E)G=(V,E)G=(V,E) be a finite simple graph on nnn vertices. For U⊆VU\subseteq VU⊆V, the external neighbourhood is NG(U)={v∈V∖U:v has a neighbour in U}N_G(U)=\{v\in V\setminus U : v\text{ has a neighbour in }U\}NG​(U)={v∈V∖U:v has a neighbour in U}.

  • For reals k>0k>0k>0, α>0\alpha>0α>0, GGG is a (k,α)(k,\alpha)(k,α)-expander if ∣NG(U)∣≥α∣U∣|N_G(U)|\ge\alpha|U|∣NG​(U)∣≥α∣U∣ for every U⊆VU\subseteq VU⊆V with ∣U∣≤k|U|\le k∣U∣≤k.
  • GGG is an α\alphaα-expander if ∣NG(U)∣≥α∣U∣|N_G(U)|\ge\alpha|U|∣NG​(U)∣≥α∣U∣ for every UUU with ∣U∣≤⌈n/2⌉|U|\le\lceil n/2\rceil∣U∣≤⌈n/2⌉.
  • A cycle of length ℓ≥3\ell\ge3ℓ≥3 is a closed walk with ℓ\ellℓ edges and no repeated vertex; L(G)L(G)L(G) is the set of lengths of cycles of GGG.
  • BG(v,r)B_G(v,r)BG​(v,r) is the ball of radius rrr: the vertices at distance at most rrr from vvv.
  • For a tree T⊆GT\subseteq GT⊆G rooted at v0v_0v0​, the level of a vertex is one plus its distance from v0v_0v0​ in TTT, so L1={v0}L_1=\{v_0\}L1​={v0​}, and T[j1,j2]=⋃i=j1j2LiT_{[j_1,j_2]}=\bigcup_{i=j_1}^{j_2}L_iT[j1​,j2​]​=⋃i=j1​j2​​Li​.
  • Contracting the parts V1,…,VrV_1,\dots,V_rV1​,…,Vr​ of a partition of VVV gives the graph on {1,…,r}\{1,\dots,r\}{1,…,r} in which i≠ji\ne ji=j are adjacent when some edge of GGG joins ViV_iVi​ and VjV_jVj​.

All logarithms are base 222. In Lean these objects are extNbhd, IsKAlphaExpander, IsAlphaExpander, cycleLengths, ball, contract, level and levelSet, in the namespace CycleLengthsExp.WellSpread.

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem 1 (p. 3)

For every 0<α≤10<\alpha\le10<α≤1 there are positive constants A=O(1/α)A=O(1/\alpha)A=O(1/α), a1=O(1/α)a_1=O(1/\alpha)a1​=O(1/α) and a2=2−O(log⁡(1/α)/α)a_2=2^{-O(\log(1/\alpha)/\alpha)}a2​=2−O(log(1/α)/α) such that for all large nnn, every α\alphaα-expander GGG on nnn vertices satisfies

∀ ℓ∈Z∩[a1log⁡n, a2n]∃ L∈L(G): ℓ≤L≤ℓ+A.\forall\,\ell\in\mathbb Z\cap[a_1\log n,\ a_2n]\quad\exists\,L\in L(G):\ \ell\le L\le\ell+A .∀ℓ∈Z∩[a1​logn, a2​n]∃L∈L(G): ℓ≤L≤ℓ+A.

The goal fixes only the shape of the dependence on α\alphaα, not the constants, so an improvement of the constants does not invalidate it.

Milestones (§2, in the order the proof uses them)

  1. Ball growth (p. 4): in a (k,α)(k,\alpha)(k,α)-expander, ∣BG(v,r)∣≥min⁡{k,(1+α)r}|B_G(v,r)|\ge\min\{k,(1+\alpha)^r\}∣BG​(v,r)∣≥min{k,(1+α)r}.
  2. Lemma 2.1 (p. 4): a component of a (δn,α)(\delta n,\alpha)(δn,α)-expander (0<δ<10<\delta<10<δ<1, 0<α≤10<\alpha\le10<α≤1) has diameter at most 7δαlog⁡n\frac7{\delta\alpha}\log nδα7​logn.
  3. Lemma 2.2 (p. 5): removing ϵn\epsilon nϵn vertices, 0<ϵ≤α2k/(8n)0<\epsilon\le\alpha^2k/(8n)0<ϵ≤α2k/(8n), from a (k,α)(k,\alpha)(k,α)-expander leaves an induced (k,α/2)(k,\alpha/2)(k,α/2)-expander on (1−3ϵ/α)n(1-3\epsilon/\alpha)n(1−3ϵ/α)n vertices.
  4. Lemma 2.3 (p. 5): an α\alphaα-expander has tα/(1+α)t\alpha/(1+\alpha)tα/(1+α) vertex-disjoint paths between any two sets of size at least ttt.
  5. Lemma 2.4 (p. 6): contracting parts of size at most CCC yields a (k/C,α/C)(k/C,\alpha/C)(k/C,α/C)-expander on r≥n/Cr\ge n/Cr≥n/C vertices.
  6. Lemma 2.5 (p. 6): if every kkk-set has at least ℓ\ellℓ external neighbours, a path of length ℓ\ellℓ starts at every vertex whose component has at least kkk vertices.
  7. Lemma 2.6 (p. 6): a set WWW with ∣W∣>n/2|W|>n/2∣W∣>n/2 and ∣NG(W)∣≤αϵn|N_G(W)|\le\alpha\epsilon n∣NG​(W)∣≤αϵn contains an induced ((12−2ϵ)n,α/2)((\tfrac12-2\epsilon)n,\alpha/2)((21​−2ϵ)n,α/2)-expander on more than (12−2ϵ)n(\tfrac12-2\epsilon)n(21​−2ϵ)n vertices.
  8. Lemma 2.7 (p. 7): a tree rooted at any v0v_0v0​ with levels k0≤C0log⁡nk_0\le C_0\log nk0​≤C0​logn, k1−k0≤C1k_1-k_0\le C_1k1​−k0​≤C1​, k2−k1≤C2k_2-k_1\le C_2k2​−k1​≤C2​, bounded degree Δ\DeltaΔ on T[k1,k2]T_{[k_1,k_2]}T[k1​,k2​]​, and an (n/10,α/5)(n/10,\alpha/5)(n/10,α/5)-expander on at least n/10n/10n/10 vertices inside T[k1,k2]T_{[k_1,k_2]}T[k1​,k2​]​.

Significance

The result. Theorem 1 says that, up to an additive error of order 1/α1/\alpha1/α, an α\alphaα-expander contains every cycle length from O(log⁡n/α)O(\log n/\alpha)O(logn/α) up to a constant fraction of nnn. The additive error is optimal in its dependence on α\alphaα by the subdivision example, and the logarithmic lower end is necessary because expanders can have logarithmic girth. It implies that ∣L(G)∣|L(G)|∣L(G)∣ is linear in nnn for every α\alphaα-expander; the companion mission of this series (Theorem 2 of the paper) improves the dependence on α\alphaα in that count. The lemmas of §2, especially the robust sub-expander lemmas 2.2 and 2.6, the disjoint-paths lemma 2.3 and the depth-first-search lemma 2.5, are general-purpose statements about vertex expanders that do not depend on the cycle-length question.

Formalizing it. The theorem is proved on paper; none of it is machine-checked. Mathlib has walks, paths, cycles, distances and induced subgraphs, but no vertex expansion, no Menger theorem, no depth-first-search path lemma and no breadth-first-tree construction. This mission produces formal statements of all of these at the level of generality the paper uses, and a complete development would supply reusable lemmas about vertex expanders on finite simple graphs.

Difficulty

The obvious argument fails at the step of hitting a prescribed length. Expansion easily gives long paths and long cycles, but controlling the length of a cycle to within an additive O(1/α)O(1/\alpha)O(1/α) requires a structure with many cycles whose lengths differ by small, controlled amounts. The paper builds it from two breadth-first trees joined by many short disjoint paths, a long path routed through bounded-size subtrees, and a pigeonhole selection that avoids spoiling too many subtrees; the explicit constants of Lemma 2.7 then have to be propagated through Theorem 1. Lemma 2.3 additionally needs Menger's theorem, which is not in Mathlib, and Lemma 2.5 is a depth-first-search argument whose formal invariant is not short.

Formalization scope

  • Graphs are SimpleGraph (Fin n); the ball-growth milestone uses any finite vertex type. Sizes are Set.ncard; inequalities involving α\alphaα, ϵ\epsilonϵ, δ\deltaδ or logarithms are stated in ℝ. ⌈n/2⌉\lceil n/2\rceil⌈n/2⌉ is (n + 1) / 2. Logarithms are Real.logb 2.
  • O(⋅)O(\cdot)O(⋅) constants: one absolute K>0K>0K>0 quantified before α\alphaα. In Theorem 1, A≤K/αA\le K/\alphaA≤K/α, a1≤K/αa_1\le K/\alphaa1​≤K/α, a2≥2−Klog⁡2(2/α)/αa_2\ge2^{-K\log_2(2/\alpha)/\alpha}a2​≥2−Klog2​(2/α)/α; in Lemma 2.7, Δ,C1≤K/α5\Delta,C_1\le K/\alpha^5Δ,C1​≤K/α5 and C0,C2≤K/αC_0,C_2\le K/\alphaC0​,C2​≤K/α. Inside the OOO, log⁡(1/α)\log(1/\alpha)log(1/α) is read as log⁡2(2/α)\log_2(2/\alpha)log2​(2/α), which agrees up to a constant for α≤1/2\alpha\le1/2α≤1/2 and avoids the value 000 at α=1\alpha=1α=1.
  • Thresholds: Theorem 1's "for large enough nnn" is n≥n0n\ge n_0n≥n0​ with n0n_0n0​ depending on α\alphaα only. Lemma 2.7 is also stated for n≥n0(α)n\ge n_0(\alpha)n≥n0​(α): an addition, disclosed in the item, because the paper's proof suppresses rounding and needs nnn large against 1/α1/\alpha1/α, and Theorem 1 uses the lemma only for large nnn.
  • Induced subgraphs: "G[U]G[U]G[U] is an expander" and "contains an expander" use G.induce U, the edges of GGG, never the edges of a tree.
  • Lemma 2.1 is stated in its "In particular" form, as a bound on G.dist u v for u,vu,vu,v in one component. The first inequality of the lemma is false as printed (the path PnP_nPn​ with k=1k=1k=1) and is not posed. Lemma 2.7, item 4, is posed with α/5\alpha/5α/5 as printed, although its proof gives α/2\alpha/2α/2.
  • Trivializing readings are ruled out: the OOO-constants are bounded by one KKK fixed before α\alphaα; cycles are Walk.IsCycle, never closed walks; Lemma 2.1 never uses G.diam, which is 000 for a disconnected graph; and no statement divides by log⁡(1/α)\log(1/\alpha)log(1/α).
  • Welcome contributions: Menger's theorem for vertex sets in finite simple graphs; the depth-first-search long-path lemma; breadth-first trees with level bookkeeping; and proofs of the milestones in any order.

Selected references

  • L. Friedman, M. Krivelevich, Cycle lengths in expanding graphs, Combinatorica 41 (2021). arXiv:1912.11011v2, doi:10.1007/s00493-020-4434-0
  • M. Krivelevich, Expanders — how to find them, and what to find in them, Surveys in Combinatorics 2019, LMS Lecture Note Series 456, 115–142. arXiv:1812.11562
  • S. Hoory, N. Linial, A. Wigderson, Expander graphs and their applications, Bulletin of the AMS 43 (2006), 439–561. doi:10.1090/S0273-0979-06-01126-8
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CombinatoricsTheoretical Computer Science·Captain: mikedeng1

Fully-Functional Suffix Trees and Optimal Text Searching in BWT-runs Bounded Space 1: SA[p ± 1] Is Recovered From the Sample at the Phrase Start Preceding SA[p] − 1Research Paper

Motivation

Collections of genomes, versioned documents and source-code histories are highly repetitive: most of each new item is a copy of something already stored. Full-text indexes such as the suffix array and the FM-index answer pattern queries on such collections, but their size grows with the text length nnn, not with the amount of distinct content. The number rrr of runs in the Burrows–Wheeler transform (BWT) of the text is a standard measure of repetitiveness, and the run-length FM-index of Mäkinen and Navarro counts the occurrences of a pattern in O(r)O(r)O(r) words. Until the work of Gagie, Navarro and Prezza, however, locating those occurrences, i.e. reporting their text positions, required space proportional to n/sn/sn/s for a sampling step sss, which defeats the purpose on repetitive data.

Timeline.

  • 1994: Burrows and Wheeler introduce the transform (DEC SRC Research Report 124).
  • 2000–2005: Ferragina and Manzini build the FM-index, with backward search and the LF mapping (J. ACM 52(4), 2005).
  • 2005: Mäkinen and Navarro give the run-length FM-index, which counts occurrences in O(r)O(r)O(r) words (Nordic J. Computing 12(1), 2005).
  • 2016–2018: Prezza (PhD thesis, Udine, 2016) and Policriti and Prezza (Algorithmica 80(7), 2018) keep one known suffix-array cell, a "toehold", during backward search.
  • 2017–2020: Gagie, Navarro and Prezza show that O(r)O(r)O(r) words suffice to locate every occurrence (arXiv:1705.10382; arXiv:1809.02792; J. ACM 67(1), 2020). This mission formalizes the combinatorial core of that result.

Setting

A text T[1..n]T[1..n]T[1..n] is a sequence over the alphabet [1..σ][1..\sigma][1..σ] whose last symbol T[n]=\=1isthesmallestsymbolandoccursnowhereelse.The∗∗suffixarray∗∗is the smallest symbol and occurs nowhere else. The **suffix array**isthesmallestsymbolandoccursnowhereelse.The∗∗suffixarray∗∗SA[1..n]isthepermutationofis the permutation ofisthepermutationof[1..n]thatliststhesuffixesthat lists the suffixesthatliststhesuffixesT[SA[p]..n]instrictlyincreasinglexicographicorder,andthe∗∗inversesuffixarray∗∗satisfiesin strictly increasing lexicographic order, and the **inverse suffix array** satisfiesinstrictlyincreasinglexicographicorder,andthe∗∗inversesuffixarray∗∗satisfiesSA[ISA[i]]=i. The BWT records the character preceding each sorted suffix, $$BWT[p]=T[SA[p]-1]\ (SA[p]>1),\qquad BWT[p]=T[n]=\\ (SA[p]=1),$$ so that T[0]T[0]T[0] is read as T[n]T[n]T[n]. The LF mapping is the counting formula LF(p)=C[BWT[p]]+rank⁡[p]LF(p)=C[BWT[p]]+\operatorname{rank}[p]LF(p)=C[BWT[p]]+rank[p], where C[c]C[c]C[c] counts BWT symbols smaller than ccc and rank⁡[p]\operatorname{rank}[p]rank[p] counts copies of BWT[p]BWT[p]BWT[p] in BWT[1..p]BWT[1..p]BWT[1..p].

A run is a maximal block of equal consecutive BWT symbols, and rrr is their number. A text position is sampled when its character is the first or last BWT character in its run (Definition 1); at most 2r2r2r positions are sampled. Definition 3 cuts TTT into phrases that begin exactly at the sampled positions. For a text position kkk, the phrase head iii of T[k]T[k]T[k] is the greatest sampled position ≤k\le k≤k. The permutation ϕ(i)=SA[ISA[i]−1]\phi(i)=SA[ISA[i]-1]ϕ(i)=SA[ISA[i]−1] (Definition 2) returns the text position in the preceding suffix-array cell, and the differential arrays are DSA[p]=SA[p]−SA[p−1]DSA[p]=SA[p]-SA[p-1]DSA[p]=SA[p]−SA[p−1] and DISA[i]=ISA[i]−ISA[i−1]DISA[i]=ISA[i]-ISA[i-1]DISA[i]=ISA[i]−ISA[i−1]. A text position starts a phrase of ISAISAISA when ISA[i]ISA[i]ISA[i] is the first position of a run.

Formalization targets

Goal: the identity in the proof of Lemma 3

Let SA[p]=k+1SA[p]=k+1SA[p]=k+1, let iii be the phrase head of T[k]T[k]T[k], let q=ISA[i+1]q=ISA[i+1]q=ISA[i+1], and let N[i]=⟨x,y⟩=⟨SA[q−1],SA[q+1]⟩N[i]=\langle x,y\rangle=\langle SA[q-1],SA[q+1]\rangleN[i]=⟨x,y⟩=⟨SA[q−1],SA[q+1]⟩ be the sample stored at iii. Then

SA[p−1]=x+k−i(p≥2),SA[p+1]=y+k−i(p<n),SA[p-1]=x+k-i\quad(p\ge 2),\qquad SA[p+1]=y+k-i\quad(p<n),SA[p−1]=x+k−i(p≥2),SA[p+1]=y+k−i(p<n),

and q≥2q\ge 2q≥2, q<nq<nq<n respectively, so that N[i]N[i]N[i] is defined.

Milestones

  1. §2.4, p. 9. SA[LF(p)]=SA[p]−1SA[LF(p)]=SA[p]-1SA[LF(p)]=SA[p]−1 for SA[p]>1SA[p]>1SA[p]>1, with LF(p)∈[1..n]LF(p)\in[1..n]LF(p)∈[1..n].
  2. Lemma 12, p. 20. If BWT[p−1]=BWT[p]BWT[p-1]=BWT[p]BWT[p−1]=BWT[p], then LF(p−1)=LF(p)−1LF(p-1)=LF(p)-1LF(p−1)=LF(p)−1 and DSA[LF(p)]=DSA[p]DSA[LF(p)]=DSA[p]DSA[LF(p)]=DSA[p].
  3. Run-free claim, proof of Lemma 3, pp. 12–13. For 0≤t<k−i0\le t<k-i0≤t<k−i, the cells LFt(p−1),LFt(p),LFt(p+1)LF^t(p-1),LF^t(p),LF^t(p+1)LFt(p−1),LFt(p),LFt(p+1) are contiguous and lie in one BWT run.
  4. Lemma 14, p. 23. If iii does not start a phrase of ISAISAISA, then ϕ(i−1)=ϕ(i)−1\phi(i-1)=\phi(i)-1ϕ(i−1)=ϕ(i)−1 and DISA[i]=DISA[ϕ(i)]DISA[i]=DISA[\phi(i)]DISA[i]=DISA[ϕ(i)].

A companion item, from the proof of Lemma 2 (p. 12), states that a BWT interval holding both ccc and a non-ccc symbol contains an occurrence of ccc at the first or last position of a run.

Significance

The goal says that the O(r)O(r)O(r) numbers N[i]N[i]N[i], one pair per sampled position, determine the neighbours of every suffix-array cell, after one predecessor search over the sampled positions. Combined with the toehold of Lemma 2, which provides one known cell inside the interval SA[sp..ep]SA[sp..ep]SA[sp..ep] of a pattern, it lets an index list all occurrences in O(r)O(r)O(r) space. This is the locating half of Theorem 1 of the paper. The same mechanism reappears throughout the paper: Lemma 4 generalises it to sss neighbours, Lemma 5 to the LCP array, and Lemmas 12 and 14 drive the access structures for SASASA and ISAISAISA in §5.

The results are proved in the paper; none of them has a machine-checked proof. The mission contributes a formal model of suffix arrays, BWT, LF and runs that is independent of any data-structure encoding, a checked proof of the LF identity from the counting formula, and the exact correctness statement behind the rrr-index. The handling of the wrap-around phrase (see below) is a case the paper's proof leaves implicit.

Difficulty

The obvious argument follows the three cells p−1,p,p+1p-1,p,p+1p−1,p,p+1 backwards under LF for k−ik-ik−i steps. It rests on two facts that are easy to state and not routine to prove. First, SA[LF(p)]=SA[p]−1SA[LF(p)]=SA[p]-1SA[LF(p)]=SA[p]−1 must be derived from the counting formula C[c]+rank⁡[p]C[c]+\operatorname{rank}[p]C[c]+rank[p]: this is a stable-sorting argument about suffixes that begin with the same symbol, and it uses the uniqueness of \$$. Second, LF must map adjacent cells of a run to adjacent cells, and one must check that the neighbouring cells never leave the run while the middle cell walks from T[k]backtoback tobacktoT[i+1].Thisiswherethechoiceof. This is where the choice of .Thisiswherethechoiceofiasthe∗greatest∗sampledpositionas the *greatest* sampled positionasthe∗greatest∗sampledposition\le kmatters,andalsowherethecaseofnosampledpositioninmatters, and also where the case of no sampled position inmatters,andalsowherethecaseofnosampledpositionin[1..k]needscare.Finally,onemoreLFstepfromneeds care. Finally, one more LF step fromneedscare.Finally,onemoreLFstepfromT[i+1]tototoT[i]producesthecellproduces the cellproducesthecellq,andtheshiftby, and the shift by ,andtheshiftbyk-i$ must be tracked through natural-number arithmetic.

Formalization scope

Positions are 1-based natural numbers, as in the paper. TTT and SASASA are functions N→N\mathbb N\to\mathbb NN→N read only on [1..n][1..n][1..n]. SASASA is a hypothesis, IsSuffixArray: it maps [1..n][1..n][1..n] injectively into [1..n][1..n][1..n] and sorts the suffixes strictly in Lean's lexicographic order on lists. Since \=1isuniqueandsmallest,thisorderagreeswiththepaper′s.BWTandLFaredefinedbytheformulasofp.8,neverbythepropertiesthemilestonesassert.is unique and smallest, this order agrees with the paper's. BWT and LF are defined by the formulas of p. 8, never by the properties the milestones assert.isuniqueandsmallest,thisorderagreeswiththepaper′s.BWTandLFaredefinedbytheformulasofp.8,neverbythepropertiesthemilestonesassert.ISA[i]isisis0ifnocellholdsif no cell holdsifnocellholdsi.SampledpositionsfollowthefirstsentenceofDefinition1(firstorlastinitsrun);thepaper′s"Thatis"clauseomitsthelastcharacterofthefinalrun.. Sampled positions follow the first sentence of Definition 1 (first or last in its run); the paper's "That is" clause omits the last character of the final run. .SampledpositionsfollowthefirstsentenceofDefinition1(firstorlastinitsrun);thepaper′s"Thatis"clauseomitsthelastcharacterofthefinalrun.DSAandandandDISA$ are integer-valued.

Pins and guards:

  • Wrap-around phrase. If no sampled position lies in [1..k][1..k][1..k], the phrase containing T[k]T[k]T[k] began at T[n]=\$$, which is always sampled. Its head is encoded as 0( ((T[0]\equiv T[n]),sothat), so that ),sothatq=ISA[1]isthecellholdingis the cell holdingisthecellholding$.Thegoalcoversthiscase;itdoesnotassumeasampledposition. The goal covers this case; it does not assume a sampled position .Thegoalcoversthiscase;itdoesnotassumeasampledposition\le k$.
  • Neighbours. Each half of the goal and of the run-free claim is guarded by the existence of the neighbour (p≥2p\ge 2p≥2, p<np<np<n).
  • SA[LF(p)]. The identity is stated for SA[p]>1SA[p]>1SA[p]>1; for SA[p]=1SA[p]=1SA[p]=1 it holds only cyclically.
  • Lemma 14. "[i−1..i][i-1..i][i−1..i] within a phrase of ISAISAISA" means that iii does not start a phrase of ISAISAISA, which begin only at run-first cells. Definition 3's phrases begin at run-first and run-last cells; the two parses are kept apart.

The space and time claims of Lemmas 2–3 and Theorem 1 (O(r)O(r)O(r) words, O(log⁡log⁡w(n/r))O(\log\log_w(n/r))O(loglogw​(n/r)) time on a word RAM) are out of scope; the goal is their explicit combinatorial content. Two trivializing formalizations are ruled out: defining LF as "the cell holding SA[p]−1SA[p]-1SA[p]−1", which would make milestone 1 a tautology; and defining the phrase head by iterating LF, which would build the proof into the definition. The phrase head is the maximum of the sampled positions ≤k\le k≤k.

A full development needs elementary facts about lexicographic order on lists, counting over finite intervals, and iterates of LF. The suffix-array and BWT layer is reusable beyond this mission; two parallel missions on the same paper share the same core definitions. Proofs of the milestones in any order are welcome, as are alternative routes, e.g. through Lemma 14 and ϕ\phiϕ for the left half of the goal.

Selected references

  • T. Gagie, G. Navarro, N. Prezza, Fully-Functional Suffix Trees and Optimal Text Searching in BWT-runs Bounded Space, arXiv:1809.02792v2, 2019. https://arxiv.org/abs/1809.02792
  • T. Gagie, G. Navarro, N. Prezza, Fully Functional Suffix Trees and Optimal Text Searching in BWT-Runs Bounded Space, J. ACM 67(1), 2020. https://doi.org/10.1145/3375890
  • T. Gagie, G. Navarro, N. Prezza, Optimal-Time Text Indexing in BWT-runs Bounded Space, arXiv:1705.10382, 2017 (SODA 2018). https://arxiv.org/abs/1705.10382
  • P. Ferragina, G. Manzini, Indexing Compressed Text, J. ACM 52(4):552–581, 2005. https://doi.org/10.1145/1082036.1082039
  • A. Policriti, N. Prezza, LZ77 Computation Based on the Run-Length Encoded BWT, Algorithmica 80(7):1986–2011, 2018. https://doi.org/10.1007/s00453-017-0327-z
  • V. Mäkinen, G. Navarro, Succinct Suffix Arrays Based on Run-Length Encoding, Nordic Journal of Computing 12(1):40–66, 2005 (no DOI).
  • M. Burrows, D. J. Wheeler, A Block Sorting Lossless Data Compression Algorithm, Technical Report 124, Digital Equipment Corporation, 1994 (no DOI).
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Machine LearningReinforcement LearningStatistics·Captain: mikedeng1

The Statistical Complexity of Interactive Decision Making II: Every Algorithm Has Expected Regret at Least (1/6)·dec_γ(M^∞_ε̄γ(M̄), M̄)·T, the Localized DEC Lower BoundResearch Paper

Why expected regret needs a lower bound

In interactive decision making, an algorithm chooses actions while learning which model governs its observations. A low-regret guarantee for one algorithm does not by itself say whether every algorithm could do better. The Decision-Estimation Coefficient (DEC) was introduced to express the cost of choosing useful decisions while distinguishing plausible models. Foster, Kakade, Qian and Rakhlin's Theorem 3.2 gives the corresponding lower bound: when a localized model class has large DEC, an adaptive algorithm must incur expected regret under at least one model in the class. This mission formalizes that result for finite decision and outcome alphabets.

The paper's protocol covers bandits, partial monitoring, and reinforcement-learning examples through a common model that maps each decision to a distribution over rewards and observations. Its lower bound concerns the protocol itself, rather than any one algorithm or application. The theorem therefore gives a common test for the limits of learning in several interactive settings. The finite-alphabet representation here retains adaptive decision kernels, which are central to the theorem.

Models, algorithms and the coefficient

Let Π\PiΠ be the set of decisions, YYY the set of joint reward–observation outcomes, and r:Y→Rr:Y\to\mathbb Rr:Y→R the reward map. A model MMM assigns a probability distribution M(π)M(\pi)M(π) on YYY to each π∈Π\pi\in\Piπ∈Π. Its mean reward is fM(π)=Ey∼M(π)r(y)f^M(\pi)=\mathbb E_{y\sim M(\pi)}r(y)fM(π)=Ey∼M(π)​r(y), and πM\pi_MπM​ is a maximizing decision. The gap function is gM(π)=fM(πM)−fM(π)g^M(\pi)=f^M(\pi_M)-f^M(\pi)gM(π)=fM(πM​)−fM(π).

At round ttt, an adaptive algorithm assigns a distribution p(t)(⋅∣H(t−1))p^{(t)}(\cdot\mid H^{(t-1)})p(t)(⋅∣H(t−1)) on decisions using the full preceding history. It samples a decision from that distribution and receives an outcome drawn from M(π(t))M(\pi^{(t)})M(π(t)). The joint law of the length-TTT history is PM,pP^{M,p}PM,p. Following equation (1) of the paper, regret sums the gaps averaged under the algorithm's chosen distribution at each round. Thus its expectation is over the history law, while the inner gap is averaged under p(t)p^{(t)}p(t). This formulation retains the algorithm's dependence on earlier outcomes.

For probability distributions P,QP,QP,Q on YYY, write DH2(P,Q)=∑y(P(y)−Q(y))2D_H^2(P,Q)=\sum_y(\sqrt{P(y)}-\sqrt{Q(y)})^2DH2​(P,Q)=∑y​(P(y)​−Q(y)​)2 for squared Hellinger distance. For a reference model Mˉ\bar MMˉ and γ>0\gamma>0γ>0, the DEC of a class N\mathcal NN is

dec⁡γ(N,Mˉ)=inf⁡q∈Δ(Π)sup⁡M∈NEπ∼q[gM(π)−γDH2(M(π),Mˉ(π))].\operatorname{dec}_\gamma(\mathcal N,\bar M)= \inf_{q\in\Delta(\Pi)}\sup_{M\in\mathcal N} \mathbb E_{\pi\sim q}\left[g^M(\pi)-\gamma D_H^2(M(\pi),\bar M(\pi))\right].decγ​(N,Mˉ)=q∈Δ(Π)inf​M∈Nsup​Eπ∼q​[gM(π)−γDH2​(M(π),Mˉ(π))].

The uniformly localized class Mε∞(Mˉ)\mathcal M^\infty_\varepsilon(\bar M)Mε∞​(Mˉ) contains those M∈MM\in\mathcal MM∈M for which ∣gM(π)−gMˉ(π)∣≤ε|g^M(\pi)-g^{\bar M}(\pi)|\le\varepsilon∣gM(π)−gMˉ(π)∣≤ε for every decision. The density-ratio bound V(M)V(\mathcal M)V(M) is the supremum of event likelihood ratios M(A∣π)/M′(A∣π)M(A\mid\pi)/M'(A\mid\pi)M(A∣π)/M′(A∣π) over both models, decisions and events, with a lower cutoff of eee. It may be infinite. These conventions are equations (2), (5), and (12), and the definition immediately before Theorem 3.1 in the source.

Formalization targets

Localized DEC lower bound

Suppose M\mathcal MM is nonempty, every model is a probability kernel, and fM(π)∈[0,1]f^M(\pi)\in[0,1]fM(π)∈[0,1] for every M∈MM\in\mathcal MM∈M and π∈Π\pi\in\Piπ∈Π. For T≥1T\ge1T≥1, set C(T)=211log⁡(2T∧V(M))C(T)=2^{11}\log(2T\wedge V(\mathcal M))C(T)=211log(2T∧V(M)) and εˉγ=γ/(C(T)T)\bar\varepsilon_\gamma=\gamma/(C(T)T)εˉγ​=γ/(C(T)T). The goal is the following supremum form of Theorem 3.2, equation (13):

sup⁡M∈MEM,p[Reg⁡DM]≥T6dec⁡γ(Mεˉγ∞(Mˉ),Mˉ)(γ>0, Mˉ∈M).\sup_{M\in\mathcal M}\mathbb E^{M,p}[\operatorname{Reg}_{\rm DM}] \ge \frac{T}{6}\operatorname{dec}_\gamma \bigl(\mathcal M^\infty_{\bar\varepsilon_\gamma}(\bar M),\bar M\bigr) \qquad(\gamma>0,\ \bar M\in\mathcal M).M∈Msup​EM,p[RegDM​]≥6T​decγ​(Mεˉγ​∞​(Mˉ),Mˉ)(γ>0, Mˉ∈M).

The paper writes the result with a maximum over γ\gammaγ and a supremum over Mˉ\bar MMˉ, and says that one model attains the resulting bound. Its proof explicitly permits a limit sequence when the inner supremum is not attained. The displayed statement records exactly the resulting bound on the supremum of expected regret. It implies an arbitrarily close model-specific bound for each fixed γ\gammaγ and Mˉ\bar MMˉ.

Supporting targets

The milestones follow the statements the paper's proof (App. C.1.3, pp. 90–91) uses, in attack order: the multiplicative Hellinger comparison of Lemma A.11; the difference comparison of Lemma A.12; the Hellinger bound on adaptive history laws, DH2(PM,PMˉ)≤CT T Eπ∼pMˉ[DH2(M(π),Mˉ(π))]D_H^2(P^M,P^{\bar M})\le C_T\,T\,\mathbb E_{\pi\sim p_{\bar M}}[D_H^2(M(\pi),\bar M(\pi))]DH2​(PM,PMˉ)≤CT​TEπ∼pMˉ​​[DH2​(M(π),Mˉ(π))] with CT=28log⁡(2T∧(VMˉ(M)∨e))C_T=2^8\log(2T\wedge(V^{\bar M}(\mathcal M)\vee e))CT​=28log(2T∧(VMˉ(M)∨e)); the DEC comparison at the reference model's average play pMˉp_{\bar M}pMˉ​, (129); the localized gap comparison (132); and the final inequality EpM[gM]+EpMˉ[gMˉ]≥13dec⁡γ\mathbb E_{p_M}[g^M]+\mathbb E_{p_{\bar M}}[g^{\bar M}]\ge\frac13\operatorname{dec}_\gammaEpM​​[gM]+EpMˉ​​[gMˉ]≥31​decγ​ for ε≤γ/(8CTT)\varepsilon\le\gamma/(8C_TT)ε≤γ/(8CT​T). Their source wording and page citations are preserved in the milestone list.

What the result supplies

The theorem supplies a quantitative obstruction to uniformly small expected regret. It uses the same coefficient that appears in the paper's upper-bound framework, so a model class with matching upper and lower DEC estimates can have its regret scale characterized through one object. In particular, the coefficient is sensitive to the model neighborhood relevant at horizon TTT; replacing it by a global coefficient would lose the theorem's stated localization. The paper applies this framework to bandit and reinforcement-learning classes.

The goal and milestone declarations here are open Lean statements with checked syntax and types. A complete formalization would supply proofs of the Hellinger comparisons, the history-law inequality, and the lower bound itself. The history and density-ratio definitions are reusable for other adaptive finite-alphabet lower bounds; the published FoundationsRL mean reward, Hellinger distance and DEC definitions are reused directly.

Where the difficulty lies

A fixed sequence of decision distributions does not describe the theorem's algorithms: later decisions depend on outcomes produced by the unknown model. The comparison must therefore use two different laws on entire histories generated by the same adaptive kernels under two models. A bound on a single round's divergence cannot simply be multiplied by TTT without accounting for the dependence of future decision distributions on past observations. The DEC itself involves a minimum over decision distributions and a supremum over models, which need not be attained.

Formalization scope

The Lean representation uses finite Π\PiΠ and YYY; probability laws and expectations are finite vectors and sums. This is a finite-alphabet specialization of the paper's measurable-space setting. Histories are functions from round indices to decision–outcome pairs. The algorithm is a family of kernels from every possible past history to a decision distribution. Its law is the product of its decision probabilities and the model's outcome probabilities. Rounds are indexed from zero in Lean, corresponding to the paper's rounds 1,…,T1,\ldots,T1,…,T.

Every model in M\mathcal MM and every algorithm kernel is normalized and nonnegative. The mean reward range [0,1][0,1][0,1], nonempty model class, maximizing selector, and positive horizon are explicit hypotheses. They keep the real-valued supremum and infimum in the published DEC from taking Lean's default values on empty or unbounded sets. An event with positive numerator and zero denominator has infinite likelihood ratio; V(M)=+∞V(\mathcal M)=+\inftyV(M)=+∞ remains allowed because the theorem uses 2T∧V(M)2T\wedge V(\mathcal M)2T∧V(M). Its logarithm therefore has a finite, positive argument for T≥1T\ge1T≥1. The goal uses the exact constants 2112^{11}211 and 1/61/61/6. The proof's constant CTC_TCT​ is printed on p. 90 as 28(log⁡(2T)∧log⁡VMˉ(M))2^8(\log(2T)\wedge\log V^{\bar M}(\mathcal M))28(log(2T)∧logVMˉ(M)); the formalization uses VMˉ(M)∨eV^{\bar M}(\mathcal M)\vee eVMˉ(M)∨e, the hypothesis V≥eV\ge eV≥e of Lemma A.13 (98) from which CTC_TCT​ is derived. Without it the history bound fails for two nearly equal models, and with it 8CT≤C(T)8C_T\le C(T)8CT​≤C(T) still holds, so the goal is unaffected. The intermediate results that select a model approaching a supremum carry an arbitrary slack η>0\eta>0η>0, the paper's "limit sequence".

Contributions should preserve the adaptive history law and equation (1)'s decision-distribution regret. A statement restricted to predetermined decisions would leave out the central quantifier of Theorem 3.2. The published FoundationsRL definitions of fMf^MfM, DH2D_H^2DH2​ and dec⁡γ\operatorname{dec}_\gammadecγ​ provide the shared finite model interface; the new history and density-ratio layer can support further lower bounds in this series.

Selected references

  • Dylan J. Foster, Sham M. Kakade, Jian Qian, and Alexander Rakhlin, The Statistical Complexity of Interactive Decision Making, arXiv preprint, version 3, 2023. arXiv:2112.13487v3.
  • Dylan J. Foster and Alexander Rakhlin, Foundations of Reinforcement Learning and Interactive Decision Making, arXiv preprint, 2023. arXiv:2312.16730v1.
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Algorithmic Game TheoryCombinatoricsOperations Research+1·Captain: mikedeng1

Online Contention Resolution Schemes with Applications to Bayesian Selection Problems 4: Intersecting the Families of (b, c₁)- and (b, c₂)-Selectable Greedy OCRSs Is (b, c₁c₂)-SelectableResearch Paper

Motivation

Online selection problems ask an algorithm to accept or reject elements as they arrive, while keeping the accepted set feasible. The decisions are irrevocable, and the arrival order can be chosen after the random activity of the elements is known. A guarantee for one constraint is therefore useful only if it remains meaningful when several constraints apply at once. In Feldman, Svensson and Zenklusen's paper, the constraints include matroid independence, matching, and knapsack capacity. A set satisfying two such requirements lies in the intersection of their feasible families. Theorem 1.9 establishes how their online guarantees combine: the two selectability factors multiply.

The result belongs to a sequence of statements in the paper. The authors first define greedy online contention resolution schemes and their selectability guarantee in Definitions 1.3–1.5. They then state the combination theorem in the introduction and identify the intersection construction in Definition 2.10. Lemma 2.11 supplies the precise selectability assertion for that construction. This mission isolates those claims so that later formalizations of specific constraints can reuse them without repeating the probability argument.

Setting

Let NNN be a finite ground set and F⊆2N\mathcal F\subseteq 2^NF⊆2N a family of feasible sets. A fractional point x∈[0,1]Nx\in[0,1]^Nx∈[0,1]N determines a random active set R(x)R(x)R(x): each e∈Ne\in Ne∈N belongs to R(x)R(x)R(x) independently with probability xex_exe​. Thus a particular set A⊆NA\subseteq NA⊆N has weight

Pr⁡[R(x)=A]=∏e∈Axe∏e∉A(1−xe).\Pr[R(x)=A]=\prod_{e\in A}x_e\prod_{e\notin A}(1-x_e).Pr[R(x)=A]=e∈A∏​xe​e∈/A∏​(1−xe​).

A greedy online contention resolution scheme, or greedy OCRS, chooses a down-closed family Gx⊆F\mathcal G_x\subseteq\mathcal FGx​⊆F. As active elements arrive, it accepts an element when adding that element to those already accepted remains in Gx\mathcal G_xGx​. In a randomized scheme, the choice of Gx\mathcal G_xGx​ is random and independent of R(x)R(x)R(x). The family contains the empty set, as the procedure begins with no accepted elements.

An element eee is selectable for a realized active set AAA and family Gx\mathcal G_xGx​ if every I⊆AI\subseteq AI⊆A with I∈GxI\in\mathcal G_xI∈Gx​ still permits eee: I∪{e}∈GxI\cup\{e\}\in\mathcal G_xI∪{e}∈Gx​. This condition covers every possible set that might have been accepted before eee arrives. A greedy OCRS is (b,c)(b,c)(b,c)-selectable for a relaxation PPP when the probability of this event is at least ccc for every x∈bPx\in bPx∈bP and every e∈Ne\in Ne∈N. The probability includes both draws when the family is randomized. Here b,c∈[0,1]b,c\in[0,1]b,c∈[0,1] and bP={by:y∈P}bP=\{by:y\in P\}bP={by:y∈P}.

For two feasible families F1,F2\mathcal F_1,\mathcal F_2F1​,F2​, the combination of their greedy OCRSs independently draws G1,x\mathcal G_{1,x}G1,x​ and G2,x\mathcal G_{2,x}G2,x​, then uses Gx=G1,x∩G2,x\mathcal G_x=\mathcal G_{1,x}\cap\mathcal G_{2,x}Gx​=G1,x​∩G2,x​. This is a family of sets satisfying both constraints. The proof also uses χe(A,F,F′)\chi_e(A,F,F')χe​(A,F,F′), the indicator that I∪{e}∈FI\cup\{e\}\in FI∪{e}∈F for every I⊆AI\subseteq AI⊆A lying in F′F'F′. For selectability itself, F′=FF'=FF′=F.

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem 1.9

For P1,P2⊆[0,1]NP_1,P_2\subseteq[0,1]^NP1​,P2​⊆[0,1]N, let the first scheme be (b,c1)(b,c_1)(b,c1​)-selectable and the second (b,c2)(b,c_2)(b,c2​)-selectable. The mission asks for a greedy OCRS on the intersection with

Pr⁡[e selectable at x]≥c1c2for all x∈b(P1∩P2), e∈N.\Pr[e\text{ selectable at }x]\ge c_1c_2 \quad\text{for all }x\in b(P_1\cap P_2),\ e\in N.Pr[e selectable at x]≥c1​c2​for all x∈b(P1​∩P2​), e∈N.

The target records existence of the combined scheme, independent of a particular proof of its selectability. The paper also claims preservation of polynomial-time efficiency; the finite mathematical model here does not assign a complexity measure to a family sampler or membership oracle, so that clause is outside this target.

Construction: Lemma 2.11

The lemma names the combined scheme: independently draw both greedy families and use their intersection. It asserts the same (b,c1c2)(b,c_1c_2)(b,c1​c2​) bound for that specific scheme. The earlier milestones record the two order properties of χe\chi_eχe​ and the finite product-measure correlation inequality appearing in the lemma's proof. Their statements keep the original quantifiers over active sets and families visible.

Significance

The theorem turns guarantees for individual constraints into a guarantee for simultaneous constraints. If a matroid scheme and a matching scheme meet the same scale parameter bbb, their intersection is governed by the product of their selectability factors. The factor loss is explicit, which lets subsequent algorithmic results track it without redefining the combined scheme. The lemma additionally fixes the actual distribution over intersected families, avoiding ambiguity about how two randomized procedures are coupled.

Mathlib already provides a general finite FKG inequality, but it does not state the paper's OCRS objects, the selectable event, or the intersection theorem. This mission adds those interfaces and the specialized correlation statement. The source results are proved in the cited paper; the local theorem files in this proposal are statements for later machine-checked proofs. A complete formalization would connect the finite active-set weights to Mathlib's lattice correlation theorem and then establish the randomized family bookkeeping. The finite probability definitions can also serve other OCRS results in the same paper.

Difficulty

The obvious argument would multiply the two probabilities that eee is selectable for the separate families. Both events depend on the same active set R(x)R(x)R(x), so they are not independent even when the families are drawn independently. Moreover, selectability for the intersection checks only sets belonging to both families, whereas the original bounds check each family separately. The formal statements must keep these two dependencies distinct. The paper's two monotonicity claims and its FKG display identify the needed intermediate assertions, but their use with an arbitrary random choice of families still requires careful finite-sum reasoning.

Formalization scope

The ground set is a finite Lean type and subsets are Finsets. Feasibility is a predicate on those finite sets. Fractional points are real-valued functions, and each input relaxation is represented as a set of such functions with an explicit coordinate bound 0≤ye≤10\le y_e\le10≤ye​≤1. The scale and selectability parameters belong to [0,1][0,1][0,1]. The point xxx ranges over b(P1∩P2)b(P_1\cap P_2)b(P1​∩P2​), not over an independently chosen intersection of scaled sets, so the case b=0b=0b=0 retains the paper's meaning. The finite products define the law of R(x)R(x)R(x); no measure-theoretic integral is used.

A randomized scheme is a probability weight on possible greedy families for every input point. The combined weight is the product of the two original weights summed over pairs with the required intersection, expressing independent draws. The family distribution is independent of the active-set draw. This sampling convention is necessary for the stated product guarantee and is made explicit here although Definition 2.10 does not spell it out. Each greedy family contains ∅\varnothing∅ and lies in its own feasible family. These requirements exclude the empty-family and unconstrained-family encodings that would make selectability trivial. The unit-cube bounds prevent negative active-set weights.

The Lean declarations focus on the finite selectability guarantee. They abstract a polytope by its set of fractional points and use the paper's unit-cube condition; they do not formalize a polyhedral representation or test that its binary points equal the feasible sets. A full development of the paper's algorithmic setting would additionally represent online arrival orders, family sampling algorithms, membership oracles, and polynomial running time. Contributions establishing the finite probability lemmas, the specialized FKG statement, and Lemma 2.11 are directly useful here. The general active-set and selectability definitions are reusable across the paper's other missions.

Selected references

  • Moran Feldman, Ola Svensson and Rico Zenklusen, Online Contention Resolution Schemes, arXiv preprint, 2015, arXiv:1508.00142v2. Definitions 1.3–1.5, Theorem 1.9, Definition 2.10 and Lemma 2.11.
  • Moran Feldman, Ola Svensson and Rico Zenklusen, Online Contention Resolution Schemes with Applications to Bayesian Selection Problems, SIAM Journal on Computing 50(2), 2021, DOI:10.1137/18M1226130. The mission's statement indices follow the arXiv version above.
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CombinatoricsGraph Theory·Captain: mikedeng1

Exact Solution of the Hypergraph Turán Problem for k-Uniform Linear Paths: For k ≥ 4 and Large n, the Turán Numbers of P_{2t+1} and P_{2t+2} and Their Unique Extremal FamiliesResearch Paper

Motivation

Hypergraph Turán problems ask how many edges a kkk-uniform hypergraph on nnn vertices can have without containing a fixed sub-hypergraph. For graphs (k=2k=2k=2) the theory is well developed; for k≥3k\ge 3k≥3 exact answers are rare and are known mostly for small, dense configurations such as the Fano plane or expanded triangles. Paths are the natural sparse test case. For graphs, Erdős and Gallai (1959) showed that a graph on nnn vertices without a path of length ℓ\ellℓ has at most 12(ℓ−1)n\frac12(\ell-1)n21​(ℓ−1)n edges. For hypergraphs there are several notions of path: Berge paths (Győri, Katona and Lemons, 2010), loose paths (Mubayi and Verstraëte, 2007, asymptotic bounds) and the most restrictive notion, linear paths. The case of two edges was solved by Frankl (1977), and the case ℓ<k\ell<kℓ<k asymptotically by Frankl and Füredi (1987).

Füredi, Jiang and Seiver (arXiv:1108.1247v1, published in Combinatorica 34 (2014), doi:10.1007/s00493-014-2838-4) determined the Turán number of every kkk-uniform linear path exactly, for k≥4k\ge4k≥4 and nnn large, together with the unique extremal families. It is one of the few exact hypergraph Turán results for an infinite family of forbidden hypergraphs.

Setting

The vertex set is [n]={1,…,n}[n]=\{1,\dots,n\}[n]={1,…,n}. A family F\mathcal FF is a set of subsets of [n][n][n]; it is kkk-uniform if F⊆([n]k)\mathcal F\subseteq\binom{[n]}{k}F⊆(k[n]​), the set of all kkk-element subsets.

A linear path of length ℓ\ellℓ is a sequence of distinct sets F1,…,FℓF_1,\dots,F_\ellF1​,…,Fℓ​ such that

∣Fi∩Fi+1∣=1  for each i,Fi∩Fj=∅  whenever ∣i−j∣>1.|F_i\cap F_{i+1}|=1\ \text{ for each } i,\qquad F_i\cap F_j=\emptyset\ \text{ whenever } |i-j|>1.∣Fi​∩Fi+1​∣=1  for each i,Fi​∩Fj​=∅  whenever ∣i−j∣>1.

The kkk-uniform linear path of length ℓ\ellℓ is written Pℓ(k)\mathbb P^{(k)}_\ellPℓ(k)​; a family contains it if some ℓ\ellℓ of its members form a linear path. The Turán number exk(n,Pℓ(k))\mathbf{ex}_k(n,\mathbb P^{(k)}_\ell)exk​(n,Pℓ(k)​) is the maximum size of a kkk-uniform family on [n][n][n] that does not contain Pℓ(k)\mathbb P^{(k)}_\ellPℓ(k)​.

Two counting functions describe the answer:

f(n,k,t)=∑i=1t(n−ik−1),g(n,k,t)=f(n,k,t)+(n−t−2k−2).f(n,k,t)=\sum_{i=1}^{t}\binom{n-i}{k-1},\qquad g(n,k,t)=f(n,k,t)+\binom{n-t-2}{k-2}.f(n,k,t)=i=1∑t​(k−1n−i​),g(n,k,t)=f(n,k,t)+(k−2n−t−2​).

For a set S⊆[n]S\subseteq[n]S⊆[n] of ttt elements, f(n,k,t)f(n,k,t)f(n,k,t) is the number of kkk-sets meeting SSS (the star family of SSS), and g(n,k,t)g(n,k,t)g(n,k,t) adds the kkk-sets of [n]∖S[n]\setminus S[n]∖S that contain two fixed vertices u,vu,vu,v (the even family).

The proof is phrased in the language of the delta-system method: sss-stars (sets pairwise meeting in a common kernel), the kernel degree deg⁡F∗(W)\deg^*_{\mathcal F}(W)degF∗​(W) (the largest sss for which an sss-star with kernel WWW exists), (k,s)(k,s)(k,s)-homogeneous families (k-partite families whose intersections follow a single intersection-closed pattern J\mathcal JJ of subsets of [k][k][k], each intersection being the kernel of an sss-star), the rank of J\mathcal JJ, the kernel graph of F\mathcal FF, and the kkk-blowup H(k)H^{(k)}H(k) of a graph HHH.

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem 2.4

For every k≥4k\ge 4k≥4 and t≥1t\ge1t≥1 there is n0n_0n0​ such that for all n≥n0n\ge n_0n≥n0​:

exk(n,P2t+1(k))=f(n,k,t),exk(n,P2t+2(k))=g(n,k,t),\mathbf{ex}_k(n,\mathbb P^{(k)}_{2t+1})=f(n,k,t),\qquad \mathbf{ex}_k(n,\mathbb P^{(k)}_{2t+2})=g(n,k,t),exk​(n,P2t+1(k)​)=f(n,k,t),exk​(n,P2t+2(k)​)=g(n,k,t),

and in each case a kkk-uniform, path-free family of that size is exactly the star family of some ttt-set SSS (odd case), respectively the even family of some ttt-set SSS and two distinct vertices u,v∉Su,v\notin Su,v∈/S (even case).

Milestones

In the order the proof uses them:

  1. the star and even families are path-free and have fff and ggg members (lower bound);
  2. Lemma 3.1, Füredi's intersection semilattice lemma;
  3. Lemma 3.3 and Proposition 3.4, the rank bound ∣F∗∣≤(np)|\mathcal F^*|\le\binom np∣F∗∣≤(pn​);
  4. Lemma 3.6 and Corollary 3.7, the structure of patterns of rank kkk and k−1k-1k−1;
  5. Theorem 3.8, blowups of trees in homogeneous families of rank kkk or type 2;
  6. Theorem 3.9, the canonical partition of a path-free family;
  7. Lemmas 4.2–4.4, from kernel graphs to blowups, the edge count (k−1)∣F∣≤e(H′)(n−2k−2)(k-1)|\mathcal F|\le e(H')\binom{n-2}{k-2}(k−1)∣F∣≤e(H′)(k−2n−2​), and the Erdős–Gallai circumference bound;
  8. Theorem 4.5, exk(n,P2t+2(k))≤t(n−1k−1)+O(nk−2)\mathbf{ex}_k(n,\mathbb P_{2t+2}^{(k)})\le t\binom{n-1}{k-1}+O(n^{k-2})exk​(n,P2t+2(k)​)≤t(k−1n−1​)+O(nk−2);
  9. the bound (1), exk(n,Pℓ(k))≤(k−1)(ℓ−1)(n−1k−1)\mathbf{ex}_k(n,\mathbb P^{(k)}_\ell)\le(k-1)(\ell-1)\binom{n-1}{k-1}exk​(n,Pℓ(k)​)≤(k−1)(ℓ−1)(k−1n−1​) for every nnn;
  10. Erdős' matching theorem for large nnn (Theorem 1.1) and the rrr-intersecting Erdős–Ko–Rado theorem;
  11. Claims 2–3 of §5: a near-extremal family has a ttt-set joined in the kernel graph to all but O(n)O(\sqrt n)O(n​) vertices.

Significance

The theorem gives the exact extremal number and the unique extremal configuration for every linear path when k≥4k\ge4k≥4, and its proof yields a stability statement (Theorem 5.1 of the paper): a path-free family of nearly extremal size is close to a star family. The method is the standard template for exact results on sparse hypergraphs: delta-system decomposition, an asymptotic bound from a graph theorem applied to a kernel graph, then stability and cleaning.

The result is proved in the paper. As far as the platform's catalog shows, none of it is formalized: Mathlib has the intersecting Erdős–Ko–Rado theorem (r=1r=1r=1) but not the rrr-intersecting version with uniqueness for large nnn, not Erdős' matching theorem, not the Erdős–Gallai circumference theorem, and no delta-system machinery. A formalization would produce reusable libraries for each of these, and the first machine-checked exact hypergraph Turán number for an infinite family.

Difficulty

The obvious argument — bound the number of members through each vertex and sum — gives only O(nk−1)O(n^{k-1})O(nk−1) with a wrong leading constant, because a path-free family can have ttt vertices of almost full degree. Exactness needs three layers that do not reduce to one another. First, the intersection semilattice lemma (Lemma 3.1) is a deep structural theorem with a doubly exponential constant; it is cited, not proved, in the paper. Second, the asymptotic bound passes through the Erdős–Gallai circumference theorem, itself a nontrivial graph result. Third, the exact value requires a stability argument with several error terms (O(nk−3/2)O(n^{k-3/2})O(nk−3/2), O(n)O(\sqrt n)O(n​)) that must be balanced, followed by Erdős' matching theorem and the 2-intersecting Erdős–Ko–Rado theorem for large nnn, both with uniqueness. The structural lemmas of §§3–4 are elementary but involve greedy embeddings in which disjointness of the new vertices has to be maintained carefully.

Formalization scope

Vertices are Fin n; families are Finset (Finset (Fin n)); kkk-uniformity is 𝓕 ⊆ univ.powersetCard k. A linear path is an injective map Fin ℓ → Finset (Fin n) into the family with consecutive members meeting in exactly one vertex and non-consecutive members disjoint. The Turán number is a Finset.sup of cardinalities over all path-free kkk-uniform subfamilies, a finite attained maximum for ℓ≥1\ell\ge1ℓ≥1; at ℓ=0\ell=0ℓ=0 the feasible set is empty and Lean returns zero, which no theorem here uses. Partitions into kkk parts are part maps Fin n → Fin k; stars are finsets of distinct petals; the rank is a minimum computed with sInf, exact because intersection patterns consist of proper subsets of [k][k][k]. "Sufficiently large nnn" and every O(⋅)O(\cdot)O(⋅) are explicit existential constants chosen before nnn and the family.

Hypotheses added relative to the page: Theorem 3.8 assumes the homogeneous family is nonempty (the empty family is homogeneous for every pattern, and the proof starts from a member). Lemma 4.2 states k≥2k\ge2k≥2, implicit in the paper's definition of a blowup using k−2k-2k−2 new vertices; it excludes a false zero-threshold case at k=0k=0k=0. Lemma 4.3 is stated for an arbitrary choice of a vertex c(F)∈Fc(F)\in Fc(F)∈F in each member, a generalization of the printed lemma, whose proof uses only c(F)∈Fc(F)\in Fc(F)∈F. Bound (1) is posed for k≥2k\ge2k≥2. Claims 2–3 are stated stand-alone with the ttt-set SSS existentially quantified.

Trivializing formalizations are ruled out: the goal asserts the value and the uniqueness of the extremal family, the Turán number is a true maximum rather than a junk supremum, the linear path requires intersections of size exactly one and disjointness of non-consecutive members, and all constants are quantified before nnn.

Needed infrastructure: the delta-system method (Lemma 3.1), Erdős–Gallai for circumference, Erdős' matching theorem and rrr-intersecting Erdős–Ko–Rado for large nnn. Each is reusable well beyond this mission, and contributions of any of them are welcome.

Selected references

  • Z. Füredi, T. Jiang, R. Seiver, Exact solution of the hypergraph Turán problem for k-uniform linear paths, Combinatorica 34 (2014). arXiv:1108.1247, doi:10.1007/s00493-014-2838-4
  • Z. Füredi, On finite set-systems whose every intersection is a kernel of a star, Discrete Math. 47 (1983) 129–132. doi:10.1016/0012-365X(83)90081-X
  • P. Erdős, T. Gallai, On maximal paths and circuits of graphs, Acta Math. Acad. Sci. Hungar. 10 (1959) 337–356. doi:10.1007/BF02024498
  • P. Erdős, A problem on independent r-tuples, Ann. Univ. Sci. Budapest. Eötvös Sect. Math. 8 (1965) 93–95.
  • P. Erdős, C. Ko, R. Rado, Intersection theorems for systems of finite sets, Quart. J. Math. Oxford 12 (1961) 313–320. doi:10.1093/qmath/12.1.313
  • P. Frankl, Z. Füredi, Exact solution of some Turán-type problems, J. Combin. Theory Ser. A 45 (1987) 226–262. doi:10.1016/0097-3165(87)90016-7
  • D. Mubayi, J. Verstraëte, Minimal paths and cycles in set systems, European J. Combin. 28 (2007) 1681–1693. doi:10.1016/j.ejc.2006.07.008
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Information TheoryProbabilityQuantum Information·Captain: mikedeng1

Semidefinite Programming Hierarchies for Constrained Bilinear Optimization II: De Finetti Without Symmetry — Random Subsystems Are 3k^{3/2}d_B³ log d_B/√(n−k+1)-Close to Product in ExpectationResearch Paper

Motivation

Quantum information often describes a system through a state shared among many small registers. One would like to replace the state on a few registers by a product of their individual states, because product states are easier to estimate and optimize over. The usual finite quantum de Finetti theorems obtain such approximations from permutation symmetry. A physical preparation, however, need not be symmetric. Berta, Borderi, Fawzi and Scholz give a quantitative statement that instead selects the retained registers at random and conditions on measurements of other registers. Their Theorem 2.5 is the target here.

The authors place this result alongside their hierarchy for constrained bilinear optimization, but the theorem without symmetry is independent of the hierarchy. In §2.6 they compare its polynomial dependence on the local dimension and the number of retained registers with the earlier no-symmetry approximation discussed in their reference [12]. The result identifies exactly what random selection and measurement can supply when a global permutation-invariance hypothesis is unavailable.

Setting

Let BBB be a quantum system of dimension dBd_BdB​, and let ρ\rhoρ be an arbitrary density operator on nnn copies of BBB. Choose a uniformly random permutation of these copies. Its first kkk positions form an ordered tuple i⃗=(i1,…,ik)\vec i=(i_1,\ldots,i_k)i=(i1​,…,ik​) of systems to retain; the remaining r=n−kr=n-kr=n−k positions form an ordered tuple j⃗=(j1,…,jr)\vec j=(j_1,\ldots,j_r)j​=(j1​,…,jr​) available for measurement. There is no symmetry condition on ρ\rhoρ.

A measurement on BBB has finitely many outcomes zzz and positive operators MzM_zMz​ whose sum is the identity. Measure the first mmm systems j1,…,jmj_1,\ldots,j_mj1​,…,jm​, where 0≤m≤r0\le m\le r0≤m≤r, and condition the retained state on the observed outcomes. Write ρi⃗∣z\rho_{\vec i\mid z}ρi∣z​ for that conditional state and ρis∣z\rho_{i_s\mid z}ρis​∣z​ for its marginal on the sssth retained system. The trace norm ∥X∥1=Tr⁡X†X\|X\|_1=\operatorname{Tr}\sqrt{X^\dagger X}∥X∥1​=TrX†X​ measures the error between ρi⃗∣z\rho_{\vec i\mid z}ρi∣z​ and ρi1∣z⊗⋯⊗ρik∣z\rho_{i_1\mid z}\otimes\cdots\otimes\rho_{i_k\mid z}ρi1​∣z​⊗⋯⊗ρik​∣z​. The expectation is over the uniform permutation and the measurement outcomes, with their Born-rule probabilities.

The distortion with side information of a fixed measurement is the largest ratio between an input trace norm and the norm left after measuring only its BBB factor. The input ranges over Hermitian operators on A⊗BA\otimes BA⊗B, over every finite-dimensional side system AAA, with zero partial trace on both AAA and BBB. The paper's f(B∣⋅)f(B\mid\cdot)f(B∣⋅) is the infimum of this distortion over all measurements on BBB equation (10). A state two-design is a finite family of rank-one projectors whose average second tensor power is the projector onto the symmetric subspace with the normalization in Lemma D.1. The projectors give an explicit measurement with distortion at most dB2(dB+1)d_B^2(d_B+1)dB2​(dB​+1).

Formalization targets

The principal target is the explicit form of Theorem 2.5. For 1≤k≤n1\le k\le n1≤k≤n, put r=n−kr=n-kr=n−k. With the two-design measurement, some m∈{0,…,r}m\in\{0,\ldots,r\}m∈{0,…,r} satisfies

Ei⃗,j⃗,z∥ρi⃗∣z−⨂s=1kρis∣z∥1≤kdB2(dB+1)(2ln⁡2)(k−1)log⁡2dBr+1≤3k3/2dB3log⁡2dBr+1.\mathbb E_{\vec i,\vec j,z}\left\|\rho_{\vec i\mid z}-\bigotimes_{s=1}^k\rho_{i_s\mid z}\right\|_1 \le k d_B^2(d_B+1)\sqrt{\frac{(2\ln 2)(k-1)\log_2 d_B}{r+1}} \le \frac{3k^{3/2}d_B^3\log_2 d_B}{\sqrt{r+1}}.Ei,j​,z​​ρi∣z​−s=1⨂k​ρis​∣z​​1​≤kdB2​(dB​+1)r+1(2ln2)(k−1)log2​dB​​​≤r+1​3k3/2dB3​log2​dB​​.

Here the zzz in the expectation is the outcome string for the first mmm members of j⃗\vec jj​. The same mmm is chosen before taking that expectation. This rate is stated with its constants and its two consecutive inequalities; an existence assertion without the error bound would lose the theorem's content.

The milestone path also states the telescoping trace-norm inequality of equation (12), the measurement estimate of Lemma D.1, and the final averaged inequality on p. 11. A companion milestone treats any fixed POVM with its own distortion. That formulation captures the proof's arbitrary-measurement step without treating the infimum f(B∣⋅)f(B\mid\cdot)f(B∣⋅) as if every measurement attained it.

Significance

For an arbitrary multipartite state, random ordering and conditioning give one measured prefix length at which the selected registers have small expected distance from a product. The explicit rate is polynomial in dBd_BdB​ and kkk and decays as 1/n−k+11/\sqrt{n-k+1}1/n−k+1​. It therefore gives a quantitative approximation guarantee under a selection rule that can be applied without first establishing exchangeability Berta et al., §2.6.

The theorem is proved in the paper; the work here is to express its state, measurement, conditional distribution, and norm bound in Lean and to connect the estimate to reusable finite-dimensional quantum-information definitions. The local statements are currently proof obligations, not machine-checked proofs. The published density-operator, trace-norm, and partial-trace definitions are reused. Once proved, the statements can serve as a precise interface for subsequent formal work on randomized subsystem selection and information-theoretic decoupling.

Difficulty

Randomly choosing systems does not turn the original state into a product state. A direct bound on the distance to a product can be large even when each one-system marginal is simple, because correlations among the retained systems remain. Equation (12) breaks the total error into successive correlation terms; the paper controls their average by measuring other systems and using information-theoretic estimates. A second difficulty is that a measurement can erase distinctions between different input operators. The two-design estimate supplies a dimension-dependent bound on that loss, uniformly over the size of a side system.

The printed theorem leaves the measurement MBM_BMB​ unspecified while using the minimum distortion over all measurements. A trivial measurement cannot satisfy that reading. The proof explicitly permits the measurement built from a state two-design, with dB2(dB+1)d_B^2(d_B+1)dB2​(dB​+1) replacing f(B∣⋅)f(B\mid\cdot)f(B∣⋅); that is the measurement used in the goal proof of Theorem 2.5, p. 10.

Formalization scope

The BBB system has basis Fin dB; nnn copies have basis Fin n → Fin dB. The formalization writes n=k+rn=k+rn=k+r, assumes k≥1k\ge1k≥1, and ranges over m≤rm\le rm≤r. A state is a positive semidefinite complex matrix with trace one. Permutations act on the copy coordinates, and their finite uniform average models the paper's random ordered tuples. Measurement outcomes are finite words; the conditional state divides the unnormalized post-measurement state by its probability. A zero-probability outcome uses Lean's zero inverse and contributes zero to the weighted expectation. The existence of a state and of a nonempty two-design rules out zero-dimensional and empty-outcome instances in the goal.

The fixed-measurement distortion and f(B∣⋅)f(B\mid\cdot)f(B∣⋅) take values in extended nonnegative reals, so a measurement that destroys a nonzero operator has infinite distortion. The logarithm is base two except for ln⁡2\ln 2ln2. The definitions use the paper's unnormalized trace norm, with no factor 1/21/21/2. No mutual-information estimate or Pinsker inequality is assumed in the goal: both belong to possible proofs. Contributions proving the stated milestones, the positivity and normalization of the conditional states, or reusable trace-norm facts for finite tensor products all advance the target.

Selected references

  • M. Berta, F. Borderi, O. Fawzi and V. B. Scholz, Semidefinite programming hierarchies for constrained bilinear optimization, Mathematical Programming, 2021; arXiv:1810.12197v3.
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Stochastic Graphon Games: I. The Static Case 2: Under Condition (17) the Unique Nash Equilibrium of a Graphon Game Moves by at Most κ‖W − W′‖ When the Graphon ChangesResearch Paper

Motivation

Large network games can be described by a graphon, a measurable kernel that assigns an interaction weight to each pair of players in a continuum. This representation is useful when a finite network is viewed as an approximation to a limiting network. A basic question is whether a small change in interaction weights can cause a large change in equilibrium behavior. Carmona, Cooney, Graves, and Laurière answer this question for a static game with real actions, noisy player states, and costs coupled through an aggregate state. Their static graphon games paper establishes existence and uniqueness under different hypotheses, and Theorem 3.20 gives an explicit stability estimate under its contraction condition.

The mission isolates that stability estimate and the results on which it depends. It belongs to the same development as the paper's existence theorem, but has a narrower question: how sensitively does the equilibrium respond when one graphon is replaced by another? The paper later studies finite-player approximations, for which understanding the limiting graphon game's equilibrium is useful. Those later approximation theorems are outside this mission.

Setting

The player set is I=[0,1]I=[0,1]I=[0,1] with Lebesgue probability measure. Every player chooses a real action. A strategy profile α\alphaα assigns an action α(x)\alpha(x)α(x) to almost every player and belongs to L2(I)L^2(I)L2(I). Profiles that differ only on a null set represent the same strategy.

A graphon is a symmetric, real-valued, measurable, square-integrable function www on I×II\times II×I. It defines an integral operator WWW on L2(I)L^2(I)L2(I) by

[Wg](x)=∫Iw(x,y)g(y) dy.[Wg](x)=\int_I w(x,y)g(y)\,dy.[Wg](x)=∫I​w(x,y)g(y)dy.

Its norm ∥W∥\|W\|∥W∥ is the L2L^2L2-to-L2L^2L2 operator norm. In particular, interaction weights are allowed to be negative and are not restricted to [0,1][0,1][0,1]. A second graphon w′w'w′ has operator W′W'W′, and ∥W−W′∥\|W-W'\|∥W−W′∥ is the operator norm of their difference.

A player's state is Xa,z,ξ=b(a,z)+ξX_{a,z,\xi}=b(a,z)+\xiXa,z,ξ​=b(a,z)+ξ, where aaa is the player's action, zzz is an aggregate state, and ξ\xiξ has a common centered probability law μ0\mu_0μ0​ with finite second moment. Assumption 1 bounds squared changes in bbb by cαc_\alphacα​ times the squared action change plus czc_zcz​ times the squared aggregate change. For a profile α\alphaα, its aggregate ZαZ\alphaZα is the L2L^2L2 solution of

[Zα](x)=∫Iw(x,y)b(α(y),[Zα](y)) dyfor almost every x∈I.[Z\alpha](x)=\int_I w(x,y)b(\alpha(y),[Z\alpha](y))\,dy \quad\text{for almost every }x\in I.[Zα](x)=∫I​w(x,y)b(α(y),[Zα](y))dyfor almost every x∈I.

Proposition 3.1 states that this aggregate exists and is unique when cz∥W∥<1\sqrt{c_z}\|W\|<1cz​​∥W∥<1. This equation is the deterministic aggregate obtained from the paper's continuum model.

The expected cost of action aaa at aggregate zzz is J(a,z)=∫f(b(a,z)+ξ,a,z) μ0(dξ)J(a,z)=\int f(b(a,z)+\xi,a,z)\,\mu_0(d\xi)J(a,z)=∫f(b(a,z)+ξ,a,z)μ0​(dξ). Assumption 4 says that J(⋅,z)J(\cdot,z)J(⋅,z) is continuously differentiable and uniformly ℓc\ell_cℓc​-strongly convex, and its action derivative changes at most ℓJ∣z−z′∣\ell_J|z-z'|ℓJ​∣z−z′∣ when the aggregate changes. The best response BzBzBz minimizes this cost pointwise. A Nash equilibrium is an L2L^2L2 profile α\alphaα whose action minimizes J(⋅,[Zα](x))J(\cdot,[Z\alpha](x))J(⋅,[Zα](x)) for almost every player. Assumption 5 adds the uniform bound ∣b(a,z)∣≤c0|b(a,z)|\leq c_0∣b(a,z)∣≤c0​.

Formalization targets

The first targets are the unique aggregate of Proposition 3.1, the best-response bound of Lemma 3.7, and the L2L^2L2 aggregate bound (15) of Lemma 3.16. Together these support the uniqueness condition in Proposition 3.17:

ℓJℓccα∥W∥1−cz∥W∥<1.(17)\frac{\ell_J}{\ell_c} \frac{\sqrt{c_\alpha}\|W\|}{1-\sqrt{c_z}\|W\|}<1. \tag{17}ℓc​ℓJ​​1−cz​​∥W∥cα​​∥W∥​<1.(17)

Lemma 3.19 then bounds the change of aggregate when the same profile is placed in two graphons. The goal, Theorem 3.20, concerns an equilibrium α\alphaα for www and any equilibrium α′\alpha'α′ for w′w'w′:

∥α−α′∥L2(I)≤κ∥W−W′∥,κ=c0ℓJ(1−cz∥W∥)(1−cz∥W∥)[ℓc(1−cz∥W∥)−ℓJcα∥W∥].\|\alpha-\alpha'\|_{L^2(I)}\leq\kappa\|W-W'\|, \qquad \kappa=\frac{c_0\ell_J(1-\sqrt{c_z}\|W\|)} {(1-\sqrt{c_z}\|W\|) [\ell_c(1-\sqrt{c_z}\|W\|)-\ell_J\sqrt{c_\alpha}\|W\|]}.∥α−α′∥L2(I)​≤κ∥W−W′∥,κ=(1−cz​​∥W∥)[ℓc​(1−cz​​∥W∥)−ℓJ​cα​​∥W∥]c0​ℓJ​(1−cz​​∥W∥)​.

Here www satisfies both cz∥W∥<1\sqrt{c_z}\|W\|<1cz​​∥W∥<1 and (17), while w′w'w′ is required only to satisfy cz∥W′∥<1\sqrt{c_z}\|W'\|<1cz​​∥W′∥<1. The displayed coefficient is the paper's expression, including its common factor.

Significance

The theorem gives a quantitative guarantee: as long as the original game's contraction condition holds, the distance between equilibria is controlled by the operator distance between graphons. The bound identifies how state sensitivity cα,czc_\alpha,c_zcα​,cz​, cost sensitivity ℓJ\ell_JℓJ​, strong convexity ℓc\ell_cℓc​, and the state bound c0c_0c0​ enter that guarantee. The result also separates two questions: whether an equilibrium exists for a changed graphon, and how far any such equilibrium can lie from the original one.

The mathematical theorem is proved in the paper; the Lean goal is open. A complete formal development would establish the L2L^2L2 integral-operator estimates, the aggregate and best-response regularity results, the unique equilibrium under (17), and finally the stability inequality. The definitions of real-valued graphons, aggregates, and their extended-valued operator norm can support later work on graphon games beyond this particular estimate. The paper's §4 finite-player results, including Theorems 4.3, 4.7, and 4.9, are not posed here.

Difficulty

An equilibrium is a fixed point of a response to an aggregate, so changing the graphon changes both the aggregate and the equilibrium profile. A direct comparison of costs at two equilibria does not by itself separate these effects or yield the printed constant. The aggregate is defined only as an L2L^2L2 equivalence class, while its equation and pointwise best responses use representatives. The formalization must keep those almost-everywhere statements aligned with the operator norm estimate. It must also retain the paper's asymmetric hypotheses: (17) is assumed for the original graphon, while the second graphon is allowed to have any Nash equilibrium under its own aggregate condition.

Formalization scope

Lean uses unitInterval with its volume measure for III, real actions, functions with MemLp for L2L^2L2 profiles, and almost-everywhere equality for profiles and aggregates. IsGraphon includes measurability, symmetry, and square integrability. IsAggregate records equation (6) and membership in L2L^2L2. The integral cost is computed from bbb, fff, and μ0\mu_0μ0​ rather than supplied as an unrelated function. Assumptions 1, 4, and 5 are explicit; the centered noise law is part of the standing model. Lemma 3.7 is stated for an arbitrary cost satisfying Assumption 4, as on the page.

The paper defines equilibrium through a best-response map on a rich Fubini extension. Proposition 3.6 identifies that with the almost-everywhere pointwise minimization condition under Assumption 4. The mission uses that equivalent condition as its equilibrium predicate. This is a disclosed model choice because the Fubini extension itself is not formalized. A best response is selected by classical choice; Assumption 4 gives the minimizer that makes the selection meaningful.

Norm inequalities use extended nonnegative reals. For a square-integrable graphon, its operator norm is finite, and real hypotheses use that finite value. The operator norm is never a real supremum with a default value for unbounded inputs; an equilibrium always includes an aggregate; and an infinite left-side norm is never converted to zero. These choices prevent the stability claim from becoming empty at a bad input. Contributions to the integral-operator infrastructure, the existence and uniqueness of aggregates, and the five named milestones are all within scope.

Selected references

  • René Carmona, Daniel B. Cooney, Christy V. Graves, and Mathieu Laurière, Stochastic Graphon Games: I. The Static Case, arXiv:1911.10664v1, 2019; published in Mathematics of Operations Research, 2022. arXiv
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Convex OptimizationLinear OptimizationOptimization·Captain: mikedeng1

Faster First-Order Primal-Dual Methods for Linear Programming using Restarts and Sharpness III: Adaptive Restarts Take at Most ⌈2C(q+2)/(αβ)⌉ Inner Steps and Converge Linearly on Sharp ProblemsResearch Paper

Motivation

First order primal–dual algorithms are used when a linear program is too large for a direct factorization or when matrix operations are cheaper than solving a sequence of linear systems. Their basic guarantees often bound an averaged duality gap by a quantity proportional to 1/t1/t1/t after ttt steps. A restart discards the current inner iteration history and begins again from an averaged output. For problems with a suitable error bound, restarts can turn sublinear progress into geometric decrease in distance to the solution set. Applegate, Hinder, Lu and Lubin analyze this mechanism for a class that includes proximal point, extragradient, primal–dual hybrid gradient and ADMM methods, with constants listed in their Table 1. Their adaptive rule is useful when the sharpness constant is unavailable to the algorithm designer. Applegate et al., arXiv:2105.12715v4, §§2–4

Setting

Let X⊆RnX\subseteq\mathbb R^nX⊆Rn and Y⊆RmY\subseteq\mathbb R^mY⊆Rm be closed convex sets. The primal–dual problem is min⁡x∈Xmax⁡y∈YL(x,y)\min_{x\in X}\max_{y\in Y}L(x,y)minx∈X​maxy∈Y​L(x,y), where LLL is differentiable, convex in xxx and concave in yyy. A point z=(x,y)z=(x,y)z=(x,y) is feasible when z∈Z=X×Yz\in Z=X\times Yz∈Z=X×Y. Its saddle-point set Z⋆Z^\starZ⋆ contains the feasible pairs satisfying L(x,y′)≤L(x,y)≤L(x′,y)L(x,y')\le L(x,y)\le L(x',y)L(x,y′)≤L(x,y)≤L(x′,y) for every x′∈Xx'\in Xx′∈X and y′∈Yy'\in Yy′∈Y. Distances and balls use a chosen seminorm ∥⋅∥p\|\cdot\|_p∥⋅∥p​; this matters for methods whose natural geometry is degenerate. Applegate et al., arXiv:2105.12715v4, pp. 2–3

For r>0r>0r>0, put Wr(z)={z^∈Z:∥z−z^∥p≤r}W_r(z)=\{\hat z\in Z:\|z-\hat z\|_p\le r\}Wr​(z)={z^∈Z:∥z−z^∥p​≤r}. The normalized duality gap is ρr(z)=sup⁡z^∈Wr(z)[L(x,y^)−L(x^,y)]/r\rho_r(z)=\sup_{\hat z\in W_r(z)}[L(x,\hat y)-L(\hat x,y)]/rρr​(z)=supz^∈Wr​(z)​[L(x,y^​)−L(x^,y)]/r. At r=0r=0r=0 it is the upper limit as positive radii decrease to zero. The gap can be infinite under a seminorm, so its values are extended real. A problem is α\alphaα-sharp on S⊆ZS\subseteq ZS⊆Z when αdist⁡p(z,Z⋆)≤ρr(z)\alpha\operatorname{dist}_p(z,Z^\star)\le\rho_r(z)αdistp​(z,Z⋆)≤ρr​(z) for every z∈Sz\in Sz∈S and every 0<r≤diam⁡p(S)0<r\le\operatorname{diam}_p(S)0<r≤diamp​(S). This condition connects a computable local gap to the distance of interest. Applegate et al., arXiv:2105.12715v4, pp. 3, 11, (4), Definition 1

The base algorithm begins at z0∈Zz^0\in Zz0∈Z and supplies averaged outputs zˉt\bar z^tzˉt for positive inner times ttt. Property 3 requires constants q,C>0q,C>0q,C>0, uniform over every feasible start and output run, for which zˉt∈Z\bar z^t\in Zzˉt∈Z, ρ∥zˉt−z0∥p(zˉt)≤2C∥zˉt−z0∥p/t\rho_{\|\bar z^t-z^0\|_p}(\bar z^t)\le2C\|\bar z^t-z^0\|_p/tρ∥zˉt−z0∥p​​(zˉt)≤2C∥zˉt−z0∥p​/t, and ∥zˉt−z0∥p≤(q+2)dist⁡p(z0,Z⋆)\|\bar z^t-z^0\|_p\le(q+2)\operatorname{dist}_p(z^0,Z^\star)∥zˉt−z0∥p​≤(q+2)distp​(z0,Z⋆). An outer run starts at zk,0z^{k,0}zk,0, runs its inner algorithm for τk\tau^kτk steps, and sets zk+1,0=zˉk,τkz^{k+1,0}=\bar z^{k,\tau^k}zk+1,0=zˉk,τk. Its first length τ0≥1\tau^0\ge1τ0≥1 is selected by the user. At later outer indices, it restarts at the first positive time when the normalized gap has fallen below β\betaβ times the gap at the previous outer transition, with 0<β<10<\beta<10<β<1. Applegate et al., arXiv:2105.12715v4, pp. 9–10, 15–16, Property 3, Algorithm 1, (30)

Formalization targets

The goal is both parts of Theorem 2. Assume all outer starts lie in one set SSS on which the problem is α\alphaα-sharp, with α>0\alpha>0α>0. Define the ceiling time t⋆=⌈2C(q+2)/(αβ)⌉t^\star=\left\lceil2C(q+2)/(\alpha\beta)\right\rceilt⋆=⌈2C(q+2)/(αβ)⌉. For every k≥1k\ge1k≥1 the target is

τk≤t⋆,dist⁡p(zk,0,Z⋆)≤βkt⋆τ0dist⁡p(z0,0,Z⋆).\tau^k\le t^\star, \qquad \operatorname{dist}_p(z^{k,0},Z^\star) \le\beta^k\frac{t^\star}{\tau^0}\operatorname{dist}_p(z^{0,0},Z^\star).τk≤t⋆,distp​(zk,0,Z⋆)≤βkτ0t⋆​distp​(z0,0,Z⋆).

The milestones are Proposition 8's treatment of zero displacement, the displayed restart comparison in the proof of (33), the bound (33) itself, and the repeated normalized-gap inequality in the proof of part (ii). Each is tied to the arXiv version's printed page and label. The assertion begins at k=1k=1k=1: the first interval is free and need not be at most t⋆t^\start⋆. Applegate et al., arXiv:2105.12715v4, pp. 17–18

Significance

The first conclusion gives a uniform bound on the inner work of every subsequent adaptive interval. The second translates the gap-based restart rule into a geometric distance guarantee while retaining the user-selected first interval as a visible factor. Together, they explain why an algorithm that does not know α\alphaα can have the same characteristic restart scale as one using a fixed frequency chosen from α\alphaα. The paper proves this theorem and gives linear-programming settings in which its sharpness premise holds; this mission asks for a machine-checked statement and, eventually, a machine-checked proof of that known result. Applegate et al., arXiv:2105.12715v4, Theorems 1–2 and Lemma 5

Formalizing the result also produces reusable interfaces for saddle sets, seminorm distances, localized duality gaps, uniform algorithm properties, and first-trigger restart runs. Those interfaces can support other primal–dual analyses without committing to a particular inner update map. A complete proof can later connect Property 3 to the paper's individual algorithms, while this mission preserves the abstract theorem that they share. Applegate et al., arXiv:2105.12715v4, Proposition 4 and §4

Difficulty

The restart test uses a gap evaluated at the moving radius ∥zˉk,t−zk,0∥p\|\bar z^{k,t}-z^{k,0}\|_p∥zˉk,t−zk,0∥p​, whereas sharpness relates a gap at the radius of the previous outer transition to distance from Z⋆Z^\starZ⋆. This mismatch must be reconciled while preserving the exact ceiling constant. A zero seminorm displacement is a separate boundary case: sharpness only speaks about positive radii, but the algorithm can still encounter radius zero. The theorem also needs the first qualifying time; knowing merely that a later time satisfies the test gives no upper bound on the interval length. Applegate et al., arXiv:2105.12715v4, pp. 16–18

Formalization scope

Lean represents xxx and yyy by finite-dimensional Euclidean spaces and zzz by their product, allowing either dimension to be zero. The geometry on that product is an explicit Seminorm, never the product type's default norm. Z⋆Z^\starZ⋆ is the set of saddle pairs. The standing problem predicate includes closed convex feasible sets, separate convexity and concavity, and differentiability on the whole ambient product space. It also requires Z⋆≠∅Z^\star\ne\varnothingZ⋆=∅, a disclosed strengthening of the paper's standing feasibility and finite-optimum assumptions so the real-valued distance to Z⋆Z^\starZ⋆ cannot collapse to an empty-infimum default. The infimum defining distance is over saddle points only; the supremum defining the gap is over feasible pairs only. The normalized gap and diameter use extended reals so an unbounded seminorm ball does not silently acquire value zero. Applegate et al., arXiv:2105.12715v4, pp. 2–4

The base method is a relation from a start to possible averaged-output sequences. Property 3 fixes q,Cq,Cq,C before quantifying over starts, runs and positive times. The theorem assumes initial feasibility; Property 3 then makes restarted outer points feasible. An adaptive run records the positive first interval and the first qualifying positive time for each later interval. The ceiling is Nat.ceil; the factor t⋆/τ0t^\star/\tau^0t⋆/τ0 is division in the reals. A formalization with arbitrarily chosen qualifying restart times, sharpness only along one chosen trajectory, a real-valued supremum over an unbounded ball, or a vacuous solution set would change the result. Contributions to the gap and seminorm infrastructure and to either half of Theorem 2 are useful; the individual algorithm implementations are outside this mission's core. Applegate et al., arXiv:2105.12715v4, pp. 9–10, 16–18

Selected references

  • D. Applegate, O. Hinder, H. Lu and M. Lubin, Faster First-Order Primal-Dual Methods for Linear Programming using Restarts and Sharpness, Mathematical Programming, 2022; mission citation basis: arXiv:2105.12715v4.
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Machine LearningOptimization·Captain: mikedeng1

Certifying Some Distributional Robustness with Principled Adversarial Training 3: The Softmax Loss of a Smooth Deep Network Has a (√2·β_L(θ)+α_L(θ)²)-Lipschitz Input GradientResearch Paper

Motivation

Sinha, Namkoong, Volpi and Duchi (arXiv:1710.10571, ICLR 2018) train classifiers against adversarial perturbations by solving a Lagrangian relaxation of a Wasserstein distributionally robust problem. The inner problem, sup⁡z{ℓ(θ;z)−γ c(z,z0)}\sup_z \{\ell(\theta;z)-\gamma\, c(z,z_0)\}supz​{ℓ(θ;z)−γc(z,z0​)}, is strongly concave, and hence solvable by gradient ascent with the paper's certificates, exactly when the penalty γ\gammaγ exceeds the input-smoothness constant LzzL_{zz}Lzz​ of the loss: the Lipschitz constant of z↦∇zℓ(θ;z)z\mapsto\nabla_z\ell(\theta;z)z↦∇z​ℓ(θ;z). For a deep network this constant is not given; §4 of the paper ("Bounds on smoothness of neural networks") supplies an explicit upper bound in terms of the weights' spectral norms and per-layer constants of the activations. The bound tells a practitioner how large γ\gammaγ must be for the robustness guarantees to apply, and it is of the same type as the spectral-norm Lipschitz bounds used for adversarial robustness and generalization of deep networks (Szegedy et al. 2014; Bartlett, Foster, Telgarsky 2017), but at the level of the derivative rather than the function.

Setting

A layered network of depth LLL has widths dl,Id_{l,I}dl,I​ (pre-activation of layer lll) and dl,Od_{l,O}dl,O​ (output of layer lll), with d0,O=pd_{0,O}=pd0,O​=p the input dimension and dL,O=Kd_{L,O}=KdL,O​=K the number of classes. Its parameters are weight matrices θl:Rdl−1,O→Rdl,I\theta_l:\mathbb R^{d_{l-1,O}}\to\mathbb R^{d_{l,I}}θl​:Rdl−1,O​→Rdl,I​, and each linear layer is followed by a nonlinear operation σl:Rdl,I→Rdl,O\sigma_l:\mathbb R^{d_{l,I}}\to\mathbb R^{d_{l,O}}σl​:Rdl,I​→Rdl,O​ (an activation, possibly combined with pooling). The output of the first lll layers is

F0(θ;x)=x,Fl(θ;x)=σl(θl⋅Fl−1(θ;x)),F_0(\theta;x)=x,\qquad F_l(\theta;x)=\sigma_l\big(\theta_l\cdot F_{l-1}(\theta;x)\big),F0​(θ;x)=x,Fl​(θ;x)=σl​(θl​⋅Fl−1​(θ;x)),

and its Jacobian in xxx is JxFl(θ;x)J_xF_l(\theta;x)Jx​Fl​(θ;x). All spaces carry the Euclidean norm ∥⋅∥2\|\cdot\|_2∥⋅∥2​, and ∥⋅∥op\|\cdot\|_{\mathrm{op}}∥⋅∥op​ is the ℓ2\ell_2ℓ2​-operator (spectral) norm.

Assumption E. For l=1,…,Ll=1,\dots,Ll=1,…,L, the map σl\sigma_lσl​ is Ll0L^0_lLl0​-Lipschitz for ∥⋅∥2\|\cdot\|_2∥⋅∥2​, its Jacobian JσlJ\sigma_lJσl​ is Ll1L^1_lLl1​-Lipschitz from ∥⋅∥2\|\cdot\|_2∥⋅∥2​ to ∥⋅∥op\|\cdot\|_{\mathrm{op}}∥⋅∥op​, and Ll0>0L^0_l>0Ll0​>0. From these constants define

αl(θ)=∏j=1lLj0 ∥θj∥op,βl(θ)=αl(θ)∑j=1lLj1(Lj0)2 αj(θ).\alpha_l(\theta)=\prod_{j=1}^{l}L^0_j\,\|\theta_j\|_{\mathrm{op}},\qquad \beta_l(\theta)=\alpha_l(\theta)\sum_{j=1}^{l}\frac{L^1_j}{(L^0_j)^2}\,\alpha_j(\theta).αl​(θ)=j=1∏l​Lj0​∥θj​∥op​,βl​(θ)=αl​(θ)j=1∑l​(Lj0​)2Lj1​​αj​(θ).

The classification loss is the softmax loss ℓ(θ;(x,y))=−log⁡py(θ;x)\ell(\theta;(x,y))=-\log p_y(\theta;x)ℓ(θ;(x,y))=−logpy​(θ;x) with py(θ;x)=exp⁡(FL,y(θ;x))/∑k=1Kexp⁡(FL,k(θ;x))p_y(\theta;x)=\exp(F_{L,y}(\theta;x))/\sum_{k=1}^K\exp(F_{L,k}(\theta;x))py​(θ;x)=exp(FL,y​(θ;x))/∑k=1K​exp(FL,k​(θ;x)), for a class y∈{1,…,K}y\in\{1,\dots,K\}y∈{1,…,K}.

Formalization targets

Goal: Corollary 4

Under Assumption E, for every class yyy and all inputs x,x′x,x'x,x′,

∥∇xℓ(θ;(x,y))−∇xℓ(θ;(x′,y))∥2≤(2 βL(θ)+αL(θ)2) ∥x−x′∥2.\big\|\nabla_x\ell(\theta;(x,y))-\nabla_x\ell(\theta;(x',y))\big\|_2\le\big(\sqrt2\,\beta_L(\theta)+\alpha_L(\theta)^2\big)\,\|x-x'\|_2 .​∇x​ℓ(θ;(x,y))−∇x​ℓ(θ;(x′,y))​2​≤(2​βL​(θ)+αL​(θ)2)∥x−x′∥2​.

Proposition 5

Under Assumption E, for l=1,…,Ll=1,\dots,Ll=1,…,L,

∥Fl(θ;x)−Fl(θ;x′)∥2≤αl(θ)∥x−x′∥2,∥JxFl(θ;x)−JxFl(θ;x′)∥op≤βl(θ)∥x−x′∥2.\|F_l(\theta;x)-F_l(\theta;x')\|_2\le\alpha_l(\theta)\|x-x'\|_2,\qquad \|J_xF_l(\theta;x)-J_xF_l(\theta;x')\|_{\mathrm{op}}\le\beta_l(\theta)\|x-x'\|_2 .∥Fl​(θ;x)−Fl​(θ;x′)∥2​≤αl​(θ)∥x−x′∥2​,∥Jx​Fl​(θ;x)−Jx​Fl​(θ;x′)∥op​≤βl​(θ)∥x−x′∥2​.

Milestones

In the order the paper's proof uses them: Lemma 6 (the chain rule for JxFlJ_xF_lJx​Fl​, recursively and as a product); Proposition 5, first part; the telescoping representation (34) of JxFl(θ;x)−JxFl(θ;x′)J_xF_l(\theta;x)-J_xF_l(\theta;x')Jx​Fl​(θ;x)−Jx​Fl​(θ;x′); Proposition 5, second part; the softmax constants of §B.9 (gradient p(v)−eyp(v)-e_yp(v)−ey​, Lipschitz constant 2\sqrt22​, smoothness constant 111); and the recursion of §B.9 for αl,βl\alpha_l,\beta_lαl​,βl​ with its instance βL+1=2 βL+αL2\beta_{L+1}=\sqrt2\,\beta_L+\alpha_L^2βL+1​=2​βL​+αL2​ for a softmax output layer.

Significance

Corollary 4 converts the abstract hypothesis γ>Lzz\gamma>L_{zz}γ>Lzz​ of the paper's convergence and certification results (missions 1 and 2 of this series) into a checkable condition on a trained network: Lzz≤2 βL(θ)+αL(θ)2L_{zz}\le\sqrt2\,\beta_L(\theta)+\alpha_L(\theta)^2Lzz​≤2​βL​(θ)+αL​(θ)2, computable from spectral norms of the weights and from constants of standard activations (the paper lists average pooling, sigmoid and ELU). Proposition 5 is a reusable statement about any composition of smooth maps with linear layers, independent of the softmax and of robust optimization.

The results are proved in the paper (§B.8–§B.9). No machine-checked proof of them is known to exist. This mission produces a formal development of the input Jacobian of a layered network with varying widths, the telescoping estimate for its variation, and the smoothness constants of the softmax loss, all with the paper's explicit constants.

Difficulty

The function-level bound (first part of Proposition 5) is a direct induction. The derivative-level bound is not: the obvious induction on JxFl+1=Jσl+1⋅θl+1⋅JxFlJ_xF_{l+1}=J\sigma_{l+1}\cdot\theta_{l+1}\cdot J_xF_lJx​Fl+1​=Jσl+1​⋅θl+1​⋅Jx​Fl​ needs both a bound on ∥JxFl∥op\|J_xF_l\|_{\mathrm{op}}∥Jx​Fl​∥op​, which comes from the Lipschitz half and the differentiability of every layer, and a bound on the variation of the Jacobian of the previous layers, and the two must be combined so that the constant comes out as exactly βl(θ)\beta_l(\theta)βl​(θ) of (21), whose definition uses quotients by (Lj0)2(L^0_j)^2(Lj0​)2. For the corollary, the softmax loss must be shown to have Lipschitz constant 2\sqrt22​ (a supremum that is not attained) and a 111-Lipschitz derivative; the paper's eigenvalue argument for the latter is loose and its displayed initial condition for the recursion of the constants is misprinted, so the printed text cannot be transcribed line by line. In Lean, the widths change from layer to layer, so the network is a family of maps between different Euclidean spaces, and every product of Jacobians is a dependently typed composition.

Formalization scope

  • Inputs, pre-activations and outputs are EuclideanSpace ℝ (Fin n); weights are continuous linear maps, so ‖θ l‖ is the spectral norm; Jacobians are Fréchet derivatives with the operator norm. A Frobenius or entrywise norm would state a different theorem and is not used.
  • Layers are indexed from 000 in Lean: Lean layer l is the paper's layer l+1l+1l+1 (θ l, σ l, L0 l, L1 l); F l, α L0 l, β L0 L1 l carry the paper's index lll. Widths vary with the layer; they are not collapsed to a single dimension.
  • Assumption E is stated for the first LLL layers and includes two hypotheses implicit on the page: each σl\sigma_lσl​ is differentiable (the assumption speaks of its Jacobian) and Ll1≥0L^1_l\ge0Ll1​≥0. The paper's Ll0>0L^0_l>0Ll0​>0 is kept.
  • αl\alpha_lαl​ and βl\beta_lβl​ are the explicit product and sum of (21); they are definitions, not free parameters. Consequently α0=1\alpha_0=1α0​=1 and β0=0\beta_0=0β0​=0; the paper's "β0(θ)=α0(θ)=1\beta_0(\theta)=\alpha_0(\theta)=1β0​(θ)=α0​(θ)=1" in §B.9 is a misprint and is not followed. The recursion βl+1=(αl+1/αl)βl+…\beta_{l+1}=(\alpha_{l+1}/\alpha_l)\beta_l+\dotsβl+1​=(αl+1​/αl​)βl​+… is stated in the division-free form βl+1=Ll+10∥θl+1∥opβl+…\beta_{l+1}=L^0_{l+1}\|\theta_{l+1}\|_{\mathrm{op}}\beta_l+\dotsβl+1​=Ll+10​∥θl+1​∥op​βl​+…, and in the paper's form when αl≠0\alpha_l\ne0αl​=0.
  • In (34) the first displayed line (a "product of differences") is a misprint; only the telescoped sum is formalized.
  • The softmax loss is real-valued on RK\mathbb R^KRK with K=dL,OK=d_{L,O}K=dL,O​ and a class yyy in Fin K; the goal uses Mathlib's gradient, whose norm equals the operator norm of the derivative.
  • The goal is not trivialized by free constants: a version with α,β\alpha,\betaα,β as arbitrary parameters, or with the loss not tied to FLF_LFL​, would not be Corollary 4 and is not what is posed.
  • Not formalized: the Hessian formula ∇2σy=diag⁡p−ppT\nabla^2\sigma_y=\operatorname{diag}p-pp^T∇2σy​=diagp−ppT and the eigenvalue argument (only their conclusion L1=1L^1=1L1=1 is stated); attainment of sup⁡x∥p(x)−ey∥2=2\sup_x\|p(x)-e_y\|_2=\sqrt2supx​∥p(x)−ey​∥2​=2​ (the value of the supremum, for K≥2K\ge2K≥2, is stated; it is not attained); Examples 1–3 (constants of pooling, sigmoid and ELU).

A complete development needs the chain rule for the network map, the mean value inequality for the softmax loss, and the algebra of (21). The definitions of the layered network and of the softmax loss are independent of robust optimization and are reusable for other Lipschitz and smoothness bounds of deep networks. Proofs of any milestone, and alternative arguments with sharper constants stated as separate theorems, are welcome.

Selected references

  • A. Sinha, H. Namkoong, R. Volpi, J. Duchi, Certifying Some Distributional Robustness with Principled Adversarial Training, ICLR 2018; arXiv:1710.10571v5, 2020. https://arxiv.org/abs/1710.10571
  • C. Szegedy et al., Intriguing properties of neural networks, ICLR 2014. https://arxiv.org/abs/1312.6199
  • P. Bartlett, D. Foster, M. Telgarsky, Spectrally-normalized margin bounds for neural networks, NeurIPS 2017. https://arxiv.org/abs/1706.08498
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OptimizationProbability·Captain: visuddhi

VC Theory for Inventory Policies: Xie–Ma–Xin BoundsResearch Paper

Learning inventory policies from historical demand

An inventory policy chooses how much stock to order before demand is observed. Its quality is assessed by the holding and backlogging costs it incurs on future demand. A policy chosen to perform well on historical demand can overfit those observations. A useful statistical guarantee therefore controls the difference between historical and future costs simultaneously over the policies that the procedure may select. Xie, Ma and Xin establish such guarantees for stationary base-stock, (s,S)(s,S)(s,S), and nonstationary base-stock policy classes.

This formalization covers the principal bound families in that paper. Its first goal is the expected generalization and estimation bound for nonstationary base-stock policies with no fixed ordering cost, Corollary 4.10. Its supporting targets include Theorem 4.9 and the constructive product-sample partition in Lemma 4.12. The other principal bounds remain in the explicit scope below and await their own full Lean declarations. The companion inventory-information project needs these results as proved dependencies; merely citing the paper does not close that project's formal proof obligations.

Demand, policy classes and statistical errors

There are T+LT+LT+L periods, a deterministic lead time L≥0L\ge0L≥0, and demand bounded by U>0U>0U>0. The first order arrives in period L+1L+1L+1. Average loss means the sum of holding and backlogging costs in periods L+1,…,T+LL+1,\ldots,T+LL+1,…,T+L, divided by the positive horizon TTT. The initial pipeline is empty, and initial inventory is nonpositive for the base-stock models. Holding and backlogging cost coefficients are h,b∈[0,1]h,b\in[0,1]h,b∈[0,1]. Nonstationary base-stock policies in the first goal have no fixed ordering cost and use levels St∈[0,(L+1)U]S^t\in[0,(L+1)U]St∈[0,(L+1)U].

The Lean model indexes the first period by zero. It uses the source's explicit finite-maximum formula for post-replenishment inventory, with the demand interval summed up to, but excluding, the observation period. In mathematical notation the inventory in period L+k+1L+k+1L+k+1 is max⁡0≤j≤k(Sj−∑j≤r<k+Ldr)\max_{0\le j\le k}(S_j-\sum_{j\le r<k+L}d_r)max0≤j≤k​(Sj​−∑j≤r<k+L​dr​). Cost is evaluated after subtracting the current demand dL+kd_{L+k}dL+k​. This is a backlog model; applications to lost sales require a separate equivalence argument.

Data comprise N>0N>0N>0 IID demand trajectories from a probability measure μ\muμ on the bounded trajectory space. Different periods of the same trajectory can be dependent. Generalization error is the one-sided supremum GE=sup⁡S(R(S)−R^(S))\mathrm{GE}=\sup_S(R(S)-\widehat R(S))GE=supS​(R(S)−R(S)), where RRR is expected average loss and R^\widehat RR is empirical average loss. Estimation error is R(S^)−R(S∗)R(\widehat S)-R(S_*)R(S)−R(S∗​), for an empirical minimizer and a best-in-class population policy. It is not the error relative to every history-dependent inventory policy. These conventions follow Sections 3 and 4.

Formalization targets

The first goal, Corollary 4.10, asserts the existence of one absolute constant C>0C>0C>0 such that

EEE≤EGE≤C(L+1)U/N.\mathbb E\mathrm{EE}\le\mathbb E\mathrm{GE}\le C(L+1)U/\sqrt N.EEE≤EGE≤C(L+1)U/N​.

The constant is quantified before the horizon, lead time, support, costs, demand distribution, sample size, and policy selections. The first inequality explicitly refers to actual minimizers, with an integrable selected risk. The GE conclusion holds independently of whether a particular selector has been supplied.

Its principal complexity target is Theorem 4.9: for each relevant period and 0<γ≤10<\gamma\le10<γ≤1, the normalized inventory class has fat-shattering dimension at most 2/γ+12/\gamma+12/γ+1. The Lean statement says directly that every γ\gammaγ-shattered indexed sample has cardinality at most that number. It uses the source convention of a strict upper label and non-strict lower label.

Lemma 4.12 partitions all NDN^DND product indices into ND−1N^{D-1}ND−1 groups of NNN indices. Every coordinate of every group traverses the original row indices exactly once. The formal statement uses a bijection between anchor-offset pairs and complete index tuples, together with a coordinate-permutation assertion. The dimension D=d+1D=d+1D=d+1 is positive, and N=1N=1N=1 and D=1D=1D=1 are included.

The full scope also retains Theorem 4.1 and Corollary 4.2 (stationary policies), Theorem 4.4 and Corollary 4.5 ((s,S)(s,S)(s,S) upper bounds), Theorem 4.7 and Corollary 4.8 ((s,S)(s,S)(s,S) fat-shattering and GE lower bounds), and the expected Product ERM comparison in equation (4.7). They are catalogued with their assumptions but are not yet all encoded. The GE lower bound is not asserted to be a minimax policy-regret lower bound.

What the formalization supplies

The nonstationary policy vector grows with the horizon, while the expected average-loss bound has no horizon factor. A verified version supplies a reusable statistical ingredient for finite-horizon inventory learning. Total-cost bounds require multiplication by the horizon. Absolute uniform deviation, period-dependent costs, high-probability statements, initial-state reductions, and censoring require further bridge theorems. They are not attributed to Corollary 4.10 without those proofs.

The cyclic partition has a complete locally checked Lean proof with axiom dependencies only propext and Quot.sound. The two statistical targets remain open. Neither a drafted declaration nor a local proof is described as a server-verified contribution.

Mathematical difficulty

Ordinary pseudodimension can grow with the horizon for the nonstationary class, so it does not by itself give the desired horizon-free rate. A full proof needs scale-sensitive complexity, probability, and integration infrastructure. For Product ERM, coordinate independence must be explicit: the groups in the partition need not be independent of each other. The expected comparison transfers upper bounds; it cannot reverse direction to transfer a GE lower bound.

Formalization scope and conventions

The shared environment is Lean 4.33.1 and Mathlib revision 0df444a360eaa60ab8c11dca51a86af692955474. Demand and policy coordinates are bounded real subtypes with their usual measurable structures. Probability is over IID whole trajectories. Finite maximum indices are nonempty. Positive T,N,UT,N,UT,N,U prevent zero denominators in the targets. General definitions remain total, and their behavior outside these hypotheses is exposed in the independent read-backs.

Complete proofs must establish the boundedness and measurability needed for the real suprema and integrals to have their usual meaning. They may not assume the convergence bound, replace arbitrary probability measures by finite-support distributions, or silently restrict the policy class. The (s,S)(s,S)(s,S) branch additionally needs explicit unbounded-domain conventions when holding or backlogging costs vanish. Reusable contributions include shattering, symmetrization, entropy bounds, selection and integrability facts, and finite-product sampling.

Selected references

  • Yaqi Xie, Will Ma and Linwei Xin, VC Theory for Inventory Policies, arXiv:2404.11509v3, 2026. https://arxiv.org/abs/2404.11509v3
  • Hanzhang Qin, David Simchi-Levi and Ruihao Zhu, Information Limits of Multistage Inventory Control: Learning, Valuation, and Censoring, arXiv:2609.37380v1, 2026. https://arxiv.org/abs/2609.37380v1
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Computational GeometryLinear algebraMachine Learning·Captain: mikedeng1

Turning Big Data into Tiny Data: Constant-Size Coresets for k-Means, PCA, and Projective Clustering I: The Rank-m SVD Truncation Plus Its Residual Preserves the Cost of Every j-Dimensional ShapeResearch Paper

Motivation

Large data sets make clustering and subspace fitting expensive because a candidate solution must be evaluated against every input point. A dimensionality reduction replaces the data by a lower-rank matrix whose costs approximate those of the original input for an entire class of candidate solutions. Feldman, Schmidt, and Sohler study reductions that retain enough information for kkk-means, principal component analysis, and projective clustering. Their journal paper identifies a rank truncation and one residual scalar that preserve the fitting cost of every shape lying in a low-dimensional linear subspace Feldman, Schmidt, and Sohler (2020), Theorem 22.

The published article also records that some coreset sizes in its 2013 conference version were incorrect. This mission uses the 2020 journal statement and its page numbering throughout. The authors cite earlier SVD-based approximations to kkk-means on p. 613, while their Theorem 22 gives a uniform cost guarantee for arbitrary nonempty shapes contained in a jjj-dimensional subspace Feldman, Schmidt, and Sohler (2020), pp. 603, 613, 620.

Setting

The input is a real matrix A∈Rn×dA\in\mathbb R^{n\times d}A∈Rn×d. Its nnn rows are points in Rd\mathbb R^dRd. For a nonempty set of candidate locations or shapes C⊆RdC\subseteq\mathbb R^dC⊆Rd, let dist⁡(ai,C)\operatorname{dist}(a_i,C)dist(ai​,C) be the infimum of Euclidean distances from row aia_iai​ to points of CCC. The shape cost is

dist⁡2(A,C)=∑i=1ndist⁡(ai,C)2.\operatorname{dist}^2(A,C)=\sum_{i=1}^{n}\operatorname{dist}(a_i,C)^2.dist2(A,C)=i=1∑n​dist(ai​,C)2.

The set CCC need not be closed and need not be a subspace. For example, it can be a finite set of cluster centers. The restriction is that all of its points lie in some linear subspace of dimension jjj. This matches the paper's shape class in §5; the affine case is treated separately Feldman, Schmidt, and Sohler (2020), pp. 619–620.

Fix a singular value decomposition A=UΣVTA=U\Sigma V^TA=UΣVT, where UUU and VVV are orthogonal and the diagonal entries of the rectangular matrix Σ\SigmaΣ are nonnegative and nonincreasing. The entry σi\sigma_iσi​ is indexed from one. The rank-mmm truncation A(m)=UΣ(m)VTA^{(m)}=U\Sigma^{(m)}V^TA(m)=UΣ(m)VT keeps the first mmm diagonal entries and sets the rest to zero. Its squared Frobenius residual is Δ=∥A−A(m)∥F2\Delta=\|A-A^{(m)}\|_F^2Δ=∥A−A(m)∥F2​. The corrected cost of CCC is dist⁡2(A(m),C)+Δ\operatorname{dist}^2(A^{(m)},C)+\Deltadist2(A(m),C)+Δ Feldman, Schmidt, and Sohler (2020), Definition 1 and §2.

Formalization targets

Linear subspace estimates

The milestones first record the matrix Pythagorean identity, the jσm+12j\sigma_{m+1}^2jσm+12​ projection and residual bounds, and the lower bound on the cost of a linear jjj-subspace. They then state the residual-corrected approximation in Corollary 16:

∥AY∥F2≤∥A(m)Y∥F2+Δ≤(1+ε)∥AY∥F2,m≥⌈j/ε⌉+j−1.\|AY\|_F^2\le\|A^{(m)}Y\|_F^2+\Delta\le(1+\varepsilon)\|AY\|_F^2, \qquad m\ge\lceil j/\varepsilon\rceil+j-1.∥AY∥F2​≤∥A(m)Y∥F2​+Δ≤(1+ε)∥AY∥F2​,m≥⌈j/ε⌉+j−1.

Here YYY has d−jd-jd−j orthonormal columns spanning the complement of the candidate subspace. Corollary 20, Corollary 21, and display (9) connect these linear estimates to costs of general sets CCC Feldman, Schmidt, and Sohler (2020), pp. 604, 613–615, 619–620.

Goal: uniform shape-cost preservation

The goal is Theorem 22. For 1≤j≤d−11\le j\le d-11≤j≤d−1, 0<ε≤10<\varepsilon\le10<ε≤1, and ⌈8j/ε2⌉−1≤m≤min⁡{n,d}−1\lceil8j/\varepsilon^2\rceil-1\le m\le\min\{n,d\}-1⌈8j/ε2⌉−1≤m≤min{n,d}−1, every nonempty CCC contained in a linear jjj-dimensional subspace satisfies

∣(dist⁡2(A(m),C)+∥A−A(m)∥F2)−dist⁡2(A,C)∣≤εdist⁡2(A,C).\left|\bigl(\operatorname{dist}^2(A^{(m)},C)+\|A-A^{(m)}\|_F^2\bigr) -\operatorname{dist}^2(A,C)\right| \le\varepsilon\operatorname{dist}^2(A,C).​(dist2(A(m),C)+∥A−A(m)∥F2​)−dist2(A,C)​≤εdist2(A,C).

The quantifier over CCC makes this a guarantee for every admissible candidate on the same reduced data, rather than a statement about one selected optimum Feldman, Schmidt, and Sohler (2020), Theorem 22, p. 620.

Significance

The theorem preserves objective values after replacing AAA by a rank-mmm matrix and one number. For a fixed jjj and accuracy parameter, the rank threshold depends on jjj and ε\varepsilonε, with no direct dependence on the number of points nnn or ambient dimension ddd except the upper bound on feasible mmm. In the paper, the result leads to a guarantee for kkk-means candidates, since kkk centers span a linear subspace of dimension at most kkk Feldman, Schmidt, and Sohler (2020), Corollary 23, p. 621.

The result is proved in the paper, but this mission's Lean theorems are posed with sorry; they do not yet have machine-checked proofs. A completed development would connect a reusable rectangular SVD model, matrix projection identities, infimum distances to arbitrary nonempty sets, and a uniform cost inequality. The SVD definition is already published in the platform library; the row-cost and singular-value conventions here supply the interface needed for this paper Feldman, Schmidt, and Sohler (2020), §§2, 3, 5.

Difficulty

The linear subspace bound compares a projection cost with a tail sum of squared singular values. The paper recalls that fact in §3 without proving it, so the formal development needs a suitable singular-value inequality or a derivation from existing matrix approximation results. For general shapes CCC, a bound on the cost of one linear subspace does not by itself control the distance from each projected point to every point of CCC. The remaining milestones state the projection error, the squared-distance perturbation bound, and the Pythagorean cost split that address that gap Feldman, Schmidt, and Sohler (2020), pp. 613, 619–621.

The proof printed after Theorem 22 invokes earlier corollaries under a stronger rank threshold than the theorem states. The mission keeps the printed theorem threshold, whose claim remains valid; a formal proof must bridge that discrepancy Feldman, Schmidt, and Sohler (2020), pp. 620–621.

Formalization scope

Matrices are Matrix (Fin n) (Fin d) ℝ, and rows are points of EuclideanSpace ℝ (Fin d). Squared Frobenius norm is an explicit finite sum of squared entries. Shape cost sums squared Metric.infDist values over rows. Since Mathlib assigns a real default value to distance from the empty set while the paper assigns infinity, every theorem about a general shape CCC requires C.Nonempty. This is the page's own requirement for Theorem 22 and Corollary 21, and is also needed for display (9).

The SVD and its truncation use the published ProjLikeRetr.FixedRank.IsSVD and truncSVD. Every SVD statement quantifies over an arbitrary valid triple (U,Σ,V)(U,\Sigma,V)(U,Σ,V); tied singular values do not fix a unique truncation. The local σi\sigma_iσi​ is one-based, while truncSVD m keeps zero-based diagonal positions below mmm. Orthonormal columns of XXX satisfy XTX=IX^TX=IXTX=I, their orthogonal complement has d−jd-jd−j columns, and projection in ambient coordinates is AXXTAXX^TAXXT. Theorem 22 quantifies over arbitrary nonempty CCC contained in a linear jjj-subspace; it does not restrict CCC to subspaces or replace linear containment by affine containment.

The integer inequalities in Lean use additive forms such as ⌈8j/ε2⌉≤m+1\lceil8j/\varepsilon^2\rceil\le m+1⌈8j/ε2⌉≤m+1 to avoid truncated natural-number subtraction. The theorem retains the printed mmm threshold, including the proof gap described above. Running-time clauses are outside the mission's mathematical statements. Contributions are welcome toward the singular-value lower bound, the projection and infimum-distance identities, and the final uniform inequality; the matrix and distance definitions are reusable in the companion affine-subspace mission.

Selected references

  • Dan Feldman, Melanie Schmidt, and Christian Sohler, Turning Big Data into Tiny Data: Constant-Size Coresets for k-Means, PCA, and Projective Clustering, SIAM Journal on Computing 49(3):601–657, 2020. DOI: 10.1137/18M1209854.
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Convex OptimizationInformation TheoryOptimization+1·Captain: mikedeng1

Semidefinite Programming Hierarchies for Constrained Bilinear Optimization I: The Linearly Constrained de Finetti SDP Hierarchy Satisfies Q ≤ SDPₙ ≤ Q + ‖G‖∞·d_B²(d_B+1)·√((2 ln 2) log d_A / n)Research Paper

Motivation

Many problems in quantum information theory ask for the maximum of a linear functional over pairs of quantum states, one on each of two systems, subject to linear constraints on each state. The best success probability of an approximate quantum error-correcting code of given size is of this form: the encoder and the decoder are quantum channels, their Choi matrices are states with fixed marginals, and the objective is bilinear in the two (Berta, Borderi, Fawzi & Scholz, arXiv:1810.12197, §4). Such constrained bilinear programs are nonconvex. Seesaw methods give lower bounds that often converge in practice, but they offer no guarantee of global optimality. What is needed is a hierarchy of efficiently computable outer bounds that converges to the optimum, with an explicit rate.

For the unconstrained problem, the optimisation over separable states, such a hierarchy is classical: the Doherty–Parrilo–Spedalieri hierarchy of nnn-extendible states, whose convergence follows from finite quantum de Finetti theorems (Christandl, König, Mitchison & Renner 2007; Brandão & Harrow 2013). The standard de Finetti approximant is, however, a mixture of product states that need not satisfy the linear constraints, so it says nothing about the constrained problem. The paper proves a de Finetti theorem with linear constraints (Theorem 2.3) and derives from it a semidefinite hierarchy for constrained bilinear programs with a convergence guarantee (Theorem 3.1).

Setting

A ddd-dimensional quantum system has operator space S=Cd×d\mathcal S=\mathbb C^{d\times d}S=Cd×d; a state is a positive semidefinite W∈SW\in\mathcal SW∈S with Tr W=1\mathrm{Tr}\,W=1TrW=1. Let AAA and BBB be systems of dimensions dAd_AdA​ and dBd_BdB​. The data are an objective GAB∈SA⊗SBG_{AB}\in\mathcal S_A\otimes\mathcal S_BGAB​∈SA​⊗SB​, arbitrary linear maps ΛA→CA:SA→SCA\Lambda_{A\to C_A}:\mathcal S_A\to\mathcal S_{C_A}ΛA→CA​​:SA​→SCA​​ and ΓB→CB:SB→SCB\Gamma_{B\to C_B}:\mathcal S_B\to\mathcal S_{C_B}ΓB→CB​​:SB​→SCB​​, and matrices XCAX_{C_A}XCA​​, YCBY_{C_B}YCB​​. The constrained bilinear program is

Q=max⁡ Tr[GAB(WA⊗WB)]s.t. WA,WB states,ΛA→CA(WA)=XCA,ΓB→CB(WB)=YCB.Q=\max\ \mathrm{Tr}[G_{AB}(W_A\otimes W_B)]\quad\text{s.t. } W_A,W_B\ \text{states},\quad \Lambda_{A\to C_A}(W_A)=X_{C_A},\quad \Gamma_{B\to C_B}(W_B)=Y_{C_B}.Q=max Tr[GAB​(WA​⊗WB​)]s.t. WA​,WB​ states,ΛA→CA​​(WA​)=XCA​​,ΓB→CB​​(WB​)=YCB​​.

For n≥1n\ge1n≥1 let B1,…,BnB_1,\dots,B_nB1​,…,Bn​ be copies of BBB. A state WAB1nW_{AB_1^n}WAB1n​​ on A⊗B1⋯BnA\otimes B_1\cdots B_nA⊗B1​⋯Bn​ is symmetric with respect to AAA if it is invariant under every permutation UB1nπ\mathcal U^\pi_{B_1^n}UB1n​π​ of the copies B1,…,BnB_1,\dots,B_nB1​,…,Bn​, π∈Sn\pi\in\mathfrak S_nπ∈Sn​. Write WB1n=TrAWAB1nW_{B_1^n}=\mathrm{Tr}_A W_{AB_1^n}WB1n​​=TrA​WAB1n​​, WB1n−1=TrBnWB1nW_{B_1^{n-1}}=\mathrm{Tr}_{B_n}W_{B_1^n}WB1n−1​​=TrBn​​WB1n​​ and WAB1=TrB2nWAB1nW_{AB_1}=\mathrm{Tr}_{B_2^n}W_{AB_1^n}WAB1​​=TrB2n​​WAB1n​​. The level-nnn program is

SDPn=max⁡ Tr[GABWAB1]s.t. WAB1n a state, symmetric with respect to A,\mathrm{SDP}_n=\max\ \mathrm{Tr}[G_{AB}W_{AB_1}]\quad\text{s.t. } W_{AB_1^n}\ \text{a state, symmetric with respect to } A,SDPn​=max Tr[GAB​WAB1​​]s.t. WAB1n​​ a state, symmetric with respect to A, (ΛA→CA⊗IB1n)(WAB1n)=XCA⊗WB1n,(IB1n−1⊗ΓBn→CB)(WB1n)=WB1n−1⊗YCB.(\Lambda_{A\to C_A}\otimes\mathcal I_{B_1^n})(W_{AB_1^n})=X_{C_A}\otimes W_{B_1^n},\qquad (\mathcal I_{B_1^{n-1}}\otimes\Gamma_{B_n\to C_B})(W_{B_1^n})=W_{B_1^{n-1}}\otimes Y_{C_B}.(ΛA→CA​​⊗IB1n​​)(WAB1n​​)=XCA​​⊗WB1n​​,(IB1n−1​​⊗ΓBn​→CB​​)(WB1n​​)=WB1n−1​​⊗YCB​​.

It is a semidefinite program of size polynomial in dAd_AdA​ and dBnd_B^ndBn​.

The rate involves the trace norm ∥X∥1=Tr∣X∣\|X\|_1=\mathrm{Tr}|X|∥X∥1​=Tr∣X∣, the Schatten ∞\infty∞-norm ∥G∥∞\|G\|_\infty∥G∥∞​ (largest singular value), and the minimal distortion with side information of BBB,

f(B∣⋅)=inf⁡MB sup⁡ξAB†=ξABξA=0, ξB=0∥ξAB∥1∥(IA⊗MB)(ξAB)∥1,f(B|\cdot)=\inf_{\mathcal M_B}\ \sup_{\substack{\xi_{AB}^\dagger=\xi_{AB}\\ \xi_A=0,\ \xi_B=0}}\frac{\|\xi_{AB}\|_1}{\|(\mathcal I_A\otimes\mathcal M_B)(\xi_{AB})\|_1},f(B∣⋅)=MB​inf​ ξAB†​=ξAB​ξA​=0, ξB​=0​sup​∥(IA​⊗MB​)(ξAB​)∥1​∥ξAB​∥1​​,

the infimum over measurements MB\mathcal M_BMB​ on BBB and the supremum over all finite-dimensional AAA; f(A,B)f(A,B)f(A,B) is the analogue with product measurements MA⊗MB\mathcal M_A\otimes\mathcal M_BMA​⊗MB​. Throughout, log⁡\loglog is base 2.

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem 3.1 with its explicit rate

Q ≤ SDPn ≤ Q+∥GAB∥∞ dB2(dB+1)(2ln⁡2)log⁡dAn(n≥1),Q=lim⁡n→∞SDPn.Q\ \le\ \mathrm{SDP}_n\ \le\ Q+\|G_{AB}\|_\infty\,d_B^2(d_B+1)\sqrt{\frac{(2\ln2)\log d_A}{n}}\quad(n\ge1),\qquad Q=\lim_{n\to\infty}\mathrm{SDP}_n.Q ≤ SDPn​ ≤ Q+∥GAB​∥∞​dB2​(dB​+1)n(2ln2)logdA​​​(n≥1),Q=n→∞lim​SDPn​.

The page states 0≤SDPn−Q≤poly(d)/n0\le\mathrm{SDP}_n-Q\le\mathrm{poly}(d)/\sqrt n0≤SDPn​−Q≤poly(d)/n​ with d=max⁡{dA,dB}d=\max\{d_A,d_B\}d=max{dA​,dB​}. The goal makes explicit the rate the proof gives.

Milestones, in attack order

  1. Lemma 2.1 (p. 6): for a permutation-invariant classical-quantum state ρAZ1n\rho_{AZ_1^n}ρAZ1n​​ there is 0≤m<n0\le m<n0≤m<n with Ez1m∥ρAZm+1∣z1m−ρA∣z1m⊗ρZm+1∣z1m∥12≤(2ln⁡2)log⁡dA/n\mathbf E_{z_1^m}\|\rho_{AZ_{m+1}|z_1^m}-\rho_{A|z_1^m}\otimes\rho_{Z_{m+1}|z_1^m}\|_1^2\le(2\ln2)\log d_A/nEz1m​​∥ρAZm+1​∣z1m​​−ρA∣z1m​​⊗ρZm+1​∣z1m​​∥12​≤(2ln2)logdA​/n.
  2. Lemma D.1 (p. 29): for a state two-design {Pz}\{P_z\}{Pz​} and MB\mathcal M_BMB​ with effects dBtPz\frac{d_B}{t}P_ztdB​​Pz​, ∥(IA⊗MB)(ξAB)∥1≥∥ξAB∥1/(dB2(dB+1))\|(\mathcal I_A\otimes\mathcal M_B)(\xi_{AB})\|_1\ge\|\xi_{AB}\|_1/(d_B^2(d_B+1))∥(IA​⊗MB​)(ξAB​)∥1​≥∥ξAB​∥1​/(dB2​(dB​+1)) for every Hermitian ξAB\xi_{AB}ξAB​.
  3. Existence of state two-designs in every dimension (p. 29).
  4. f(B∣⋅)≤dB2(dB+1)f(B|\cdot)\le d_B^2(d_B+1)f(B∣⋅)≤dB2​(dB​+1) (p. 6).
  5. Conditional constraints (p. 8): the states obtained by measuring B1,…,BmB_1,\dots,B_mB1​,…,Bm​ and conditioning satisfy Λ(ρA∣z1m)=XCA\Lambda(\rho_{A|z_1^m})=X_{C_A}Λ(ρA∣z1m​​)=XCA​​ and Γ(ρBm+1∣z1m)=YCB\Gamma(\rho_{B_{m+1}|z_1^m})=Y_{C_B}Γ(ρBm+1​∣z1m​​)=YCB​​.
  6. Theorem 2.3 (p. 7): under the constraints of SDPn\mathrm{SDP}_nSDPn​, ∥ρAB−∑ipiσAi⊗ωBi∥1≤min⁡{f(A,B),f(B∣⋅)}(2ln⁡2)log⁡dA/n\|\rho_{AB}-\sum_ip_i\sigma^i_A\otimes\omega^i_B\|_1\le\min\{f(A,B),f(B|\cdot)\}\sqrt{(2\ln2)\log d_A/n}∥ρAB​−∑i​pi​σAi​⊗ωBi​∥1​≤min{f(A,B),f(B∣⋅)}(2ln2)logdA​/n​ with states Λ(σAi)=XCA\Lambda(\sigma^i_A)=X_{C_A}Λ(σAi​)=XCA​​, Γ(ωBi)=YCB\Gamma(\omega^i_B)=Y_{C_B}Γ(ωBi​)=YCB​​.
  7. Eq. (3) (p. 2): QQQ equals the maximum over mixtures of feasible product states.
  8. Hölder step (p. 11): Tr[GW]≤Tr[GV]+∥G∥∞∥W−V∥1\mathrm{Tr}[GW]\le\mathrm{Tr}[GV]+\|G\|_\infty\|W-V\|_1Tr[GW]≤Tr[GV]+∥G∥∞​∥W−V∥1​.
  9. 0≤SDPn−Q0\le\mathrm{SDP}_n-Q0≤SDPn​−Q (p. 11).

Significance

Theorem 3.1 turns a nonconvex problem into a sequence of semidefinite programs whose values decrease to the optimum at rate O(1/n)O(1/\sqrt n)O(1/n​), with a constant that depends polynomially on dBd_BdB​ and logarithmically on dAd_AdA​. Every level is a certified upper bound; together with any feasible point it brackets QQQ. The same argument applied to channel fidelities gives converging outer bounds on the success probability of approximate quantum error correction (§4 of the paper), and the constrained de Finetti theorem is the key step there as well. Theorem 2.3 is of independent interest: it is the first finite de Finetti theorem in which the approximating separable state inherits linear constraints of the extension.

The results are proved in the paper; none of them has been machine-checked. A complete formalization requires the quantum relative entropy and mutual information with their chain rule, the quantum Pinsker inequality, state two-designs and their existence, and a weighted Hölder inequality for Schatten norms; most of this is absent from Mathlib, and each piece is reusable beyond this mission.

Difficulty

The obvious route measures every copy BiB_iBi​ with a fixed informationally complete measurement and uses the resulting classical de Finetti statement. This approximates ρAB\rho_{AB}ρAB​ by a mixture of product states, but the states in the mixture need not satisfy Γ(ωi)=Y\Gamma(\omega^i)=YΓ(ωi)=Y, and projecting them onto the constraint set destroys the error bound. The paper instead conditions on the outcomes of only mmm copies and keeps Bm+1B_{m+1}Bm+1​ quantum; the constraint on BnB_nBn​ then transfers to the conditional state of Bm+1B_{m+1}Bm+1​ by symmetry. Making this rigorous needs the chain rule of conditional mutual information with classical conditioning, and the distortion of the measurement must be bounded independently of the side system AAA, which is what Lemma D.1 provides. The Schatten-norm estimate there is elementary but requires a weighted Hölder inequality and a careful choice of weight.

Formalization scope

Systems are finite index types: A⊗B1⋯BNA\otimes B_1\cdots B_NA⊗B1​⋯BN​ is indexed by Fin dA × (Fin N → Fin dB), ⊗\otimes⊗ is Mathlib's Kronecker product, and the permutation action permutes the word in Fin N → Fin dB. States, trace norm and partial traces are the published definitions WildeQIT_IsDensityOperator, WildeQIT_traceNorm and WildeQIT_partialTrace. The linear maps Λ\LambdaΛ, Γ\GammaΓ are arbitrary C\mathbb CC-linear maps (not assumed positive or trace preserving), applied blockwise to one tensor factor. The objective is the real part of Tr[G W]\mathrm{Tr}[G\,W]Tr[GW], equal to Tr[G W]\mathrm{Tr}[G\,W]Tr[GW] for Hermitian GGG. Each "max" is the supremum of the set of objective values over the feasible set, never over all matrices. Wherever the page has n≥1n\ge1n≥1 copies of BBB, the Lean has n + 1: SDPval … n is the page's SDPn+1\mathrm{SDP}_{n+1}SDPn+1​, and the bounds have denominator n+1n+1n+1. The distortions f(A,B)f(A,B)f(A,B) and f(B∣⋅)f(B|\cdot)f(B∣⋅) take values in [0,∞][0,\infty][0,∞]; the standalone bound on f(B∣⋅)f(B|\cdot)f(B∣⋅) assumes dB≥1d_B\ge1dB​≥1.

No feasibility hypothesis is added to the goal. The feasible sets of QQQ and of every level are empty or nonempty together, and the empty case reads 0≤0≤0+…0\le0\le0+\dots0≤0≤0+…. The goal mentions only QQQ, SDPn\mathrm{SDP}_nSDPn​, GGG, dAd_AdA​, dBd_BdB​ and nnn; a formalization in which QQQ or SDPn\mathrm{SDP}_nSDPn​ were free real numbers, or in which the de Finetti mixture was not required to satisfy the constraints, would be a different and much weaker statement.

Contributions are welcome at every milestone, and especially in the reusable infrastructure: quantum relative entropy and mutual information on matrices, the quantum Pinsker inequality, unitary and state designs, and Hölder inequalities for Schatten norms.

Selected references

  • M. Berta, F. Borderi, O. Fawzi, V. B. Scholz, Semidefinite programming hierarchies for constrained bilinear optimization, Mathematical Programming, 2021; arXiv:1810.12197v3. https://arxiv.org/abs/1810.12197
  • F. G. S. L. Brandão, A. W. Harrow, Quantum de Finetti theorems under local measurements with applications, STOC 2013. https://arxiv.org/abs/1210.6367
  • M. Christandl, R. König, G. Mitchison, R. Renner, One-and-a-half quantum de Finetti theorems, Communications in Mathematical Physics 273, 2007. https://arxiv.org/abs/quant-ph/0602130
  • A. C. Doherty, P. A. Parrilo, F. M. Spedalieri, Complete family of separability criteria, Physical Review A 69, 2004. https://arxiv.org/abs/quant-ph/0308032
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Personalized Dynamic Pricing with Machine Learning: High-Dimensional Features and Heterogeneous Elasticity 2: Under Unknown Sparsity, Lasso-Based ILQX Pricing Has Regret at Most Cs√T(log d + log T)Research Paper

Motivation

Online sellers of loans, insurance, travel and retail goods observe data about each arriving customer before quoting a price. Using that data to price individually is attractive only if the seller can learn, from its own sales, how demand responds to price for customers with given characteristics. Two features make this hard in practice. The number of recorded characteristics ddd is often large, possibly larger than the selling horizon TTT, while only a few of them matter. And price sensitivity is itself heterogeneous: different customers respond to the same price change differently.

Ban and Keskin (Management Science 67(9), 2021) model both features and ask how fast the revenue lost to learning can grow. Their answer is that a seller who learns with lasso-regularized quasi-likelihood estimation and occasional price experiments loses revenue of order sTs\sqrt TsT​ up to logarithmic factors, where sss is the number of relevant characteristics, and that no policy can do better than order sTs\sqrt TsT​. This mission formalizes the upper bound for the general (nonlinear-link) model with unknown sparsity, Theorem 3 of the paper.

Setting

In each period t=1,2,…,Tt = 1, 2, \dots, Tt=1,2,…,T a customer arrives with a raw feature vector Zt∈RdZ_t \in \mathbb R^dZt​∈Rd. The ZtZ_tZt​ are i.i.d., take values in a compact set Z\mathcal ZZ inside a ball of radius zmax⁡z_{\max}zmax​, have mean zero and positive definite covariance ΣZ\Sigma_ZΣZ​. The seller sees the augmented vector Xt=[1;Zt]∈Rd+1X_t = [1; Z_t] \in \mathbb R^{d+1}Xt​=[1;Zt​]∈Rd+1, charges a price pt∈[ℓ,u]p_t \in [\ell, u]pt​∈[ℓ,u] with 0<ℓ<u0 < \ell < u0<ℓ<u, and observes the demand

Dt=g(α⋅Xt+(β⋅Xt) pt)+εt.D_t = g\big(\alpha \cdot X_t + (\beta \cdot X_t)\, p_t\big) + \varepsilon_t .Dt​=g(α⋅Xt​+(β⋅Xt​)pt​)+εt​.

Here θ=(α,β)\theta = (\alpha, \beta)θ=(α,β) is an unknown parameter in a compact rectangle Θ⊂R2(d+1)\Theta \subset \mathbb R^{2(d+1)}Θ⊂R2(d+1), the link ggg is known, differentiable and increasing with ℓ~≤g′≤u~\tilde\ell \le g' \le \tilde uℓ~≤g′≤u~ on the relevant domain, and the demand shocks εt\varepsilon_tεt​ form a sub-Gaussian martingale difference sequence. The term β⋅Xt\beta \cdot X_tβ⋅Xt​ is the customer's own price sensitivity. With u(p,x)=[1;p]⊗xu(p, x) = [1; p] \otimes xu(p,x)=[1;p]⊗x the argument of ggg is θ⋅u(p,x)\theta \cdot u(p, x)θ⋅u(p,x).

The sparsity of θ\thetaθ is s=∣S∣s = |\mathcal S|s=∣S∣, S={i:αi≠0}∪{i:βi≠0}\mathcal S = \{i : \alpha_i \neq 0\} \cup \{i : \beta_i \neq 0\}S={i:αi​=0}∪{i:βi​=0}. The seller does not know S\mathcal SS.

The expected revenue of price ppp is r(p,θ,x)=p g(θ⋅u(p,x))r(p, \theta, x) = p\, g(\theta \cdot u(p,x))r(p,θ,x)=pg(θ⋅u(p,x)), and the clairvoyant price φ(θ,x)\varphi(\theta, x)φ(θ,x) maximizes it; it is assumed to lie in the interior of [ℓ,u][\ell, u][ℓ,u] for θ∈Θ\theta \in \Thetaθ∈Θ, x∈X={1}×Zx \in \mathcal X = \{1\} \times \mathcal Zx∈X={1}×Z. The regret of a policy over TTT periods is

Δθπ(T)=E[∑t=1Tr∗(θ,Xt)−r(pt,θ,Xt)],r∗(θ,x)=r(φ(θ,x),θ,x).\Delta^\pi_\theta(T) = \mathbb E\Big[\sum_{t=1}^T r^*(\theta, X_t) - r(p_t, \theta, X_t)\Big], \qquad r^*(\theta,x) = r(\varphi(\theta,x),\theta,x).Δθπ​(T)=E[t=1∑T​r∗(θ,Xt​)−r(pt​,θ,Xt​)],r∗(θ,x)=r(φ(θ,x),θ,x).

The policy ILQX(m1,m2,λ)(m_1, m_2, \lambda)(m1​,m2​,λ) charges the experimental price m1m_1m1​ in periods M1={1,4,9,… }M_1 = \{1, 4, 9, \dots\}M1​={1,4,9,…} and m2m_2m2​ in periods M2={2,5,10,… }M_2 = \{2, 5, 10, \dots\}M2​={2,5,10,…}, and otherwise charges φ(PΘθ^t,Xt)\varphi(\mathcal P_\Theta \hat\theta_t, X_t)φ(PΘ​θ^t​,Xt​), where θ^t\hat\theta_tθ^t​ maximizes the lasso-penalized quasi-likelihood

Qt−1(θ~,λt)=∑k=1t−1χk∫Dkg(θ~⋅uk)Dk−yg′(g−1(y)) dy−λt∥θ~∥1Q_{t-1}(\tilde\theta, \lambda_t) = \sum_{k=1}^{t-1} \chi_k \int_{D_k}^{g(\tilde\theta \cdot u_k)} \frac{D_k - y}{g'(g^{-1}(y))}\, dy - \lambda_t \|\tilde\theta\|_1Qt−1​(θ~,λt​)=k=1∑t−1​χk​∫Dk​g(θ~⋅uk​)​g′(g−1(y))Dk​−y​dy−λt​∥θ~∥1​

over the experimental periods (χk=I{k∈M1∪M2}\chi_k = \mathbb I\{k \in M_1 \cup M_2\}χk​=I{k∈M1​∪M2​}), and PΘ\mathcal P_\ThetaPΘ​ is the projection onto Θ\ThetaΘ. The regularization level is λt+1=c~ t1/4log⁡d+log⁡t\lambda_{t+1} = \tilde c\, t^{1/4} \sqrt{\log d + \log t}λt+1​=c~t1/4logd+logt​ for a constant c~>0\tilde c > 0c~>0.

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem 3

There is a finite constant C~>0\tilde C > 0C~>0 such that

Δθπ(T)≤C~ sT (log⁡d+log⁡T)for all θ∈Θ, T≥2.\Delta^\pi_\theta(T) \le \tilde C\, s \sqrt T\, (\log d + \log T) \qquad \text{for all } \theta \in \Theta,\ T \ge 2 .Δθπ​(T)≤C~sT​(logd+logT)for all θ∈Θ, T≥2.

C~\tilde CC~ is fixed with the model and is uniform over Θ\ThetaΘ; since s=s(θ)s = s(\theta)s=s(θ) varies over Θ\ThetaΘ, the factor sss carries content.

Milestones

  1. The counting property of the schedule (7): for t≥5t \ge 5t≥5 each experimental price is charged at least 14t\tfrac14 \sqrt t41​t​ times in periods 1,…,t1, \dots, t1,…,t.
  2. Lemma 3, the estimation error of the lasso quasi-likelihood estimate:
P{∥θ^t+1(lasso)(λt+1)−θ∥2≤ρ3s(log⁡d+log⁡t)t}≥1−κ3s(log⁡d+log⁡t)t,t≥t1.\mathbb P\Big\{\|\hat\theta^{(\mathrm{lasso})}_{t+1}(\lambda_{t+1}) - \theta\|^2 \le \rho_3 \frac{s(\log d + \log t)}{\sqrt t}\Big\} \ge 1 - \kappa_3 \frac{s(\log d + \log t)}{\sqrt t}, \qquad t \ge t_1 .P{∥θ^t+1(lasso)​(λt+1​)−θ∥2≤ρ3​t​s(logd+logt)​}≥1−κ3​t​s(logd+logt)​,t≥t1​.

Significance

Theorem 3 says that a seller facing many potentially relevant customer characteristics, without knowing which matter and under a nonlinear demand link such as logit, loses revenue at a rate governed by the number sss of relevant characteristics and only logarithmically by the total number ddd. Combined with the paper's sTs\sqrt TsT​ lower bound (Theorem 1, for the linear model), it makes ILQX first-order optimal up to logarithmic factors. An unregularized policy would pay order dTd\sqrt TdT​, which is linear in TTT when ddd exceeds T\sqrt TT​.

The paper's proofs are in its electronic companion, which this mission does not reproduce; no machine-checked version of the result exists. A complete formalization would also produce a reusable high-probability error bound for lasso-regularized quasi-likelihood estimation under adaptively collected data (Lemma 3), and a machine-checked model of feature-based dynamic pricing on which related policies can be stated.

Difficulty

The estimation error must be controlled on data collected by the policy itself. The design vectors uk=[1;mi(k)]⊗Xku_k = [1; m_{i(k)}] \otimes X_kuk​=[1;mi(k)​]⊗Xk​ use only two prices, so the information about the price sensitivity accrues only from the Θ(t)\Theta(\sqrt t)Θ(t​) experimental periods. Standard lasso error bounds assume a fixed or i.i.d. design and a restricted-eigenvalue condition on it; here a restricted-eigenvalue-type property of the random Kronecker design must be derived from ΣZ≻0\Sigma_Z \succ 0ΣZ​≻0 and m1≠m2m_1 \ne m_2m1​=m2​, and the noise enters through a martingale whose conditional law may depend on past prices. The quasi-likelihood is not a least-squares objective, so the curvature comes from the bounds ℓ~≤g′≤u~\tilde\ell \le g' \le \tilde uℓ~≤g′≤u~, which hold only on the bounded domain {θ⋅u(p,x):θ∈Θ}\{\theta \cdot u(p,x) : \theta \in \Theta\}{θ⋅u(p,x):θ∈Θ} and not at an unconstrained estimate. Finally, the regret bound has to turn a squared-error bound holding with probability 1−O(slog⁡(dt)/t)1 - O(s \log(dt)/\sqrt t)1−O(slog(dt)/t​) into an expected revenue loss, which requires the revenue loss to be second order in the parameter error at an interior optimum.

Formalization scope

  • Coordinates. x∈Rd+1x \in \mathbb R^{d+1}x∈Rd+1 is Fin (d+1) → ℝ with the intercept at index 0; θ\thetaθ is Fin 2 × Fin (d+1) → ℝ with θ(0,i)=αi\theta(0,i) = \alpha_iθ(0,i)=αi​, θ(1,i)=βi\theta(1,i) = \beta_iθ(1,i)=βi​. Periods are 1-based. d≥1d \ge 1d≥1.
  • Objective. The integrated form ∑kχk(Dk (θ~⋅uk)−∫0θ~⋅ukg)−λ∥θ~∥1\sum_k \chi_k \big(D_k\,(\tilde\theta \cdot u_k) - \int_0^{\tilde\theta \cdot u_k} g\big) - \lambda \|\tilde\theta\|_1∑k​χk​(Dk​(θ~⋅uk​)−∫0θ~⋅uk​​g)−λ∥θ~∥1​, which differs from the paper's (17) by a term not depending on θ~\tilde\thetaθ~ and therefore has the same maximizers.
  • Estimator. Any measurable selection that is a maximizer whenever one exists; the theorems hold for every such selection. The paper's claim that (17) is strictly concave with a unique maximizer fails when 2(d+1)2(d+1)2(d+1) exceeds the rank of the design.
  • Policy. The price is defined by strong recursion over the realized history; the estimator sees θ\thetaθ only through the realized demands.
  • Regret is a lower Lebesgue integral of nonnegative losses; conditional moments of the shocks use the conditional Lebesgue expectation; probabilities are compared in [0,∞][0, \infty][0,∞].
  • Standing assumptions formalized: i.i.d. measurable features in a compact Z\mathcal ZZ inside a Euclidean ball, mean zero, positive definite ΣZ\Sigma_ZΣZ​; fresh customers (Zt+1Z_{t+1}Zt+1​ independent of the past); sub-Gaussian martingale-difference shocks; m1≠m2m_1 \ne m_2m1​=m2​ in [ℓ,u][\ell, u][ℓ,u]; ggg differentiable and increasing with derivative bounds on the relevant domain (endnote 2 states them as a consequence, which is false; here they are a hypothesis); φ\varphiφ an unconstrained revenue maximizer in (ℓ,u)(\ell, u)(ℓ,u) whose pricing map after projection and feature augmentation is measurable. The processes are constrained only at the used periods t≥1t\ge1t≥1.
  • Added hypotheses, per θ\thetaθ: s(θ)≥1s(\theta) \ge 1s(θ)≥1 (the paper's s∈{1,…,d+1}s \in \{1, \dots, d+1\}s∈{1,…,d+1}), and almost surely every realized demand lies in the closure of the range of ggg, which guarantees that a maximizer of (17) exists (true for the linear link and for binary demand under a logit link).
  • Not formalized: the paper's support condition on continuous features; Remark 7's independence of C~\tilde CC~ from ddd; dependence of the shock law on θ\thetaθ (the shocks are one fixed process).
  • Ruled-out trivializations. The regret cannot vanish by non-integrability; the estimator cannot be an arbitrary function, since it must maximize the objective; C~\tilde CC~ and κ3,ρ3,t1\kappa_3, \rho_3, t_1κ3​,ρ3​,t1​ are chosen before θ\thetaθ, so they cannot absorb sss; the hypotheses are jointly satisfiable (a linear-link instance with d=1d = 1d=1 is checked).

Contributions welcome: existence of a measurable maximizer of the objective, the counting lemma, and supporting lemmas for Lemma 3 and the regret bound.

Selected references

  • G.-Y. Ban and N. B. Keskin, Personalized Dynamic Pricing with Machine Learning: High-Dimensional Features and Heterogeneous Elasticity, Management Science 67(9):5549–5568, 2021. https://doi.org/10.1287/mnsc.2020.3680
  • A. V. den Boer and B. Zwart, Simultaneously Learning and Optimizing Using Controlled Variance Pricing, Management Science 60(3):770–783, 2014. https://doi.org/10.1287/mnsc.2013.1788
  • N. B. Keskin and A. Zeevi, Dynamic Pricing with an Unknown Demand Model: Asymptotically Optimal Semi-Myopic Policies, Operations Research 62(5):1142–1167, 2014. https://doi.org/10.1287/opre.2014.1294
  • A. Javanmard and H. Nazerzadeh, Dynamic Pricing in High-Dimensions, Journal of Machine Learning Research 20(9):1–49, 2019. https://jmlr.org/papers/v20/17-357.html
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Faster First-Order Primal-Dual Methods for Linear Programming using Restarts and Sharpness II: Fixed-Frequency Restarts Shrink the Distance to the Solution Set by β per Restart on Sharp ProblemsResearch Paper

Motivation

Linear programs at very large scale are increasingly solved by first-order primal-dual methods, which use only matrix-vector products instead of matrix factorizations. Such methods parallelize well and have a small memory footprint, but on their own they are slow to reach moderate or high accuracy. Applegate, Hinder, Lu and Lubin (arXiv:2105.12715, Math. Program. 2022) showed that periodically restarting a primal-dual method from the average of its iterates turns its sublinear ergodic rate into a linear rate on sharp problems, a class that contains every linear program. The analysis underlies PDLP, a restarted PDHG solver studied computationally by Applegate et al. (arXiv:2106.04756) and shipped in Google OR-Tools.

This mission formalizes the paper's first convergence theorem: with restarts at a fixed frequency, the distance from the restart points to the solution set shrinks by a factor β\betaβ per restart.

Setting

Let X⊆RnX \subseteq \mathbb R^nX⊆Rn and Y⊆RmY \subseteq \mathbb R^mY⊆Rm be closed convex sets and let L(x,y)L(x, y)L(x,y) be differentiable, convex in xxx and concave in yyy. Problem (1) is

min⁡x∈Xmax⁡y∈YL(x,y),\min_{x \in X} \max_{y \in Y} L(x, y),x∈Xmin​y∈Ymax​L(x,y),

with feasible region Z=X×YZ = X \times YZ=X×Y and primal-dual points z=(x,y)z = (x, y)z=(x,y). Its solution set Z⋆Z^\starZ⋆ is the set of saddle points z⋆∈Zz^\star \in Zz⋆∈Z: L(x⋆,y′)≤L(x⋆,y⋆)≤L(x′,y⋆)L(x^\star, y') \le L(x^\star, y^\star) \le L(x', y^\star)L(x⋆,y′)≤L(x⋆,y⋆)≤L(x′,y⋆) for all x′∈Xx' \in Xx′∈X, y′∈Yy' \in Yy′∈Y. Throughout, Z⋆≠∅Z^\star \neq \emptysetZ⋆=∅.

Distances are measured in a semi-norm ∥⋅∥\|\cdot\|∥⋅∥, which the paper allows in order to cover ADMM. Write dist⁡(z,Z⋆)=inf⁡z⋆∈Z⋆∥z−z⋆∥\operatorname{dist}(z, Z^\star) = \inf_{z^\star \in Z^\star}\|z - z^\star\|dist(z,Z⋆)=infz⋆∈Z⋆​∥z−z⋆∥, diam⁡(S)=sup⁡s,s′∈S∥s−s′∥\operatorname{diam}(S) = \sup_{s, s' \in S}\|s - s'\|diam(S)=sups,s′∈S​∥s−s′∥, and Wr(z)={z^∈Z:∥z−z^∥≤r}W_r(z) = \{\hat z \in Z : \|z - \hat z\| \le r\}Wr​(z)={z^∈Z:∥z−z^∥≤r}. The primal-dual gap (3) at zzz is sup⁡z^∈Z{L(x,y^)−L(x^,y)}\sup_{\hat z \in Z}\{L(x, \hat y) - L(\hat x, y)\}supz^∈Z​{L(x,y^​)−L(x^,y)}, and the normalized duality gap (4a)–(4b) is

ρr(z)=1rsup⁡z^∈Wr(z){L(x,y^)−L(x^,y)}(r>0),ρ0(z)=lim sup⁡r→0+ρr(z).\rho_r(z) = \frac{1}{r}\sup_{\hat z \in W_r(z)}\{L(x, \hat y) - L(\hat x, y)\} \quad (r > 0), \qquad \rho_0(z) = \limsup_{r \to 0^+}\rho_r(z).ρr​(z)=r1​z^∈Wr​(z)sup​{L(x,y^​)−L(x^,y)}(r>0),ρ0​(z)=r→0+limsup​ρr​(z).

By Definition 1, problem (1) is α\alphaα-sharp on S⊆ZS \subseteq ZS⊆Z if αdist⁡(z,Z⋆)≤ρr(z)\alpha\operatorname{dist}(z, Z^\star) \le \rho_r(z)αdist(z,Z⋆)≤ρr​(z) for all z∈Sz \in Sz∈S and all r∈(0,diam⁡(S)]r \in (0, \operatorname{diam}(S)]r∈(0,diam(S)].

The base method is abstract. From a start z0z^0z0 it outputs averaged points zˉt\bar z^tzˉt, t≥1t \ge 1t≥1. It has Property 3 with constants q,C>0q, C > 0q,C>0 if, for every start z0∈Zz^0 \in Zz0∈Z and every t≥1t \ge 1t≥1, zˉt∈Z\bar z^t \in Zzˉt∈Z and

i. ρ∥zˉt−z0∥(zˉt)≤2C∥zˉt−z0∥/t\rho_{\|\bar z^t - z^0\|}(\bar z^t) \le 2C\|\bar z^t - z^0\|/tρ∥zˉt−z0∥​(zˉt)≤2C∥zˉt−z0∥/t,

ii. ∥zˉt−z0∥≤(q+2)dist⁡(z0,Z⋆)\|\bar z^t - z^0\| \le (q + 2)\operatorname{dist}(z^0, Z^\star)∥zˉt−z0∥≤(q+2)dist(z0,Z⋆).

Algorithm 1 with fixed-frequency restarts (29) runs the base method from zn,0z^{n,0}zn,0 for

t⋆=⌈2C(q+2)αβ⌉t^\star = \left\lceil \frac{2C(q+2)}{\alpha\beta}\right\rceilt⋆=⌈αβ2C(q+2)​⌉

steps, sets zn+1,0=zˉn,t⋆z^{n+1,0} = \bar z^{n,t^\star}zn+1,0=zˉn,t⋆, and repeats, with β∈(0,1)\beta \in (0, 1)β∈(0,1).

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem 1 (p. 17)

If the base method has Property 3 and (1) is α\alphaα-sharp on WR(z0,0)W_R(z^{0,0})WR​(z0,0) with R=q+21−βdist⁡(z0,0,Z⋆)R = \frac{q+2}{1-\beta}\operatorname{dist}(z^{0,0}, Z^\star)R=1−βq+2​dist(z0,0,Z⋆), then for every n≥0n \ge 0n≥0

dist⁡(zn,0,Z⋆)≤βndist⁡(z0,0,Z⋆).(31)\operatorname{dist}(z^{n,0}, Z^\star) \le \beta^n \operatorname{dist}(z^{0,0}, Z^\star). \tag{31}dist(zn,0,Z⋆)≤βndist(z0,0,Z⋆).(31)

Milestones

  1. Proposition 5 (p. 11): for z∈Zz \in Zz∈Z, ρr(z)\rho_r(z)ρr​(z) is non-increasing in r∈[0,∞)r \in [0, \infty)r∈[0,∞).
  2. Proposition 6 (p. 11): for z∈Zz \in Zz∈Z and r≥0r \ge 0r≥0, the primal-dual gap at zzz is zero if and only if ρr(z)=0\rho_r(z) = 0ρr​(z)=0.
  3. Proposition 8 (p. 17): under Property 3, ∥zˉt−z0∥=0\|\bar z^t - z^0\| = 0∥zˉt−z0∥=0 implies zˉt∈Z⋆\bar z^t \in Z^\starzˉt∈Z⋆.
  4. First display of the proof of Theorem 1 (p. 17): if (31) holds for all n≤Nn \le Nn≤N, then ∥zN+1,0−z0,0∥≤R\|z^{N+1,0} - z^{0,0}\| \le R∥zN+1,0−z0,0∥≤R, so zN+1,0∈WR(z0,0)z^{N+1,0} \in W_R(z^{0,0})zN+1,0∈WR​(z0,0).
  5. Display (32) (p. 17): if zN,0,zN+1,0∈WR(z0,0)z^{N,0}, z^{N+1,0} \in W_R(z^{0,0})zN,0,zN+1,0∈WR​(z0,0), then
dist⁡(zN+1,0,Z⋆)≤βdist⁡(zN,0,Z⋆).\operatorname{dist}(z^{N+1,0}, Z^\star) \le \beta\operatorname{dist}(z^{N,0}, Z^\star).dist(zN+1,0,Z⋆)≤βdist(zN,0,Z⋆).

Companion statements

Proposition 2 (p. 8) and Proposition 4 (p. 10) show where Property 3 comes from. A generic algorithm (6) with iterates ztz^tzt and targets z^t\hat z^tz^t has Property 1 with CCC if L(x^t+1,y)−L(x,y^t+1)≤C2∥z−zt∥2−C2∥z−zt+1∥2L(\hat x^{t+1}, y) - L(x, \hat y^{t+1}) \le \frac C2\|z - z^t\|^2 - \frac C2\|z - z^{t+1}\|^2L(x^t+1,y)−L(x,y^​t+1)≤2C​∥z−zt∥2−2C​∥z−zt+1∥2 for every z∈Zz \in Zz∈Z (12). It has Property 2 with qqq if ∥z^t−zt∥≤qdist⁡(zt,Z⋆)\|\hat z^t - z^t\| \le q\operatorname{dist}(z^t, Z^\star)∥z^t−zt∥≤qdist(zt,Z⋆) or ∥z^t−zt−1∥≤qdist⁡(zt,Z⋆)\|\hat z^t - z^{t-1}\| \le q\operatorname{dist}(z^t, Z^\star)∥z^t−zt−1∥≤qdist(zt,Z⋆).

  • Proposition 2: Property 1 gives non-expansiveness ∥zt+1−z⋆∥≤∥zt−z⋆∥\|z^{t+1} - z^\star\| \le \|z^t - z^\star\|∥zt+1−z⋆∥≤∥zt−z⋆∥ and the ergodic rate L(xˉt,y)−L(x,yˉt)≤C∥z−z0∥2/(2t)L(\bar x^t, y) - L(x, \bar y^t) \le C\|z - z^0\|^2/(2t)L(xˉt,y)−L(x,yˉ​t)≤C∥z−z0∥2/(2t).
  • Proposition 4: Properties 1 and 2 give Property 3 for the averages zˉt=1t∑i=1tz^i\bar z^t = \frac1t\sum_{i=1}^t \hat z^izˉt=t1​∑i=1t​z^i, with the same qqq and CCC.

Fact 1 (p. 11), that rρr(z)r\rho_r(z)rρr​(z) is non-decreasing in rrr, is included as well.

Significance

Theorem 1 converts any primal-dual method with an O(1/t)O(1/t)O(1/t) ergodic rate on the normalized duality gap into a linearly convergent method on sharp problems. The rate is O(Cαlog⁡1ϵ)O\big(\frac{C}{\alpha}\log\frac1\epsilon\big)O(αC​logϵ1​) iterations to reach dist⁡(z,Z⋆)≤ϵ\operatorname{dist}(z, Z^\star) \le \epsilondist(z,Z⋆)≤ϵ (Remark 3). Through Proposition 4 it applies to PPM, EGM, PDHG and ADMM. Combined with the paper's Lemma 5, which shows that linear programs are sharp with α\alphaα the inverse of a Hoffman constant, it yields linear convergence of restarted PDHG for LP. The paper also shows that this rate matches a lower bound for a general class of primal-dual methods.

The result is proved in the paper. As far as is known, no part of it, and no normalized duality gap or primal-dual sharpness notion, has a machine-checked proof. The mission adds a checked version of the restart argument, with every degenerate case resolved: zero displacements, unbounded balls, and semi-norms that are not norms.

Difficulty

Each proof is short, but the statements are delicate in ways the paper passes over.

  • The paper's argmax over Wr(z)W_r(z)Wr​(z) need not exist under a semi-norm, and ρr(z)\rho_r(z)ρr​(z) may be +∞+\infty+∞. Proposition 5 therefore has to be proved with suprema, through the convex-combination scaling z+r1r2(z^−z)z + \frac{r_1}{r_2}(\hat z - z)z+r2​r1​​(z^−z), not with a maximizer.
  • Sharpness is only available at radii in (0,diam⁡(WR(z0,0))](0, \operatorname{diam}(W_R(z^{0,0}))](0,diam(WR​(z0,0))] and only at points of WR(z0,0)W_R(z^{0,0})WR​(z0,0). So the induction in Theorem 1 must carry two facts together: the contraction (31), and the fact that every restart point stays in WR(z0,0)W_R(z^{0,0})WR​(z0,0).
  • The step size r=∥zN+1,0−zN,0∥r = \|z^{N+1,0} - z^{N,0}\|r=∥zN+1,0−zN,0∥ may be zero, which is why Proposition 8, and through it Propositions 5 and 6 at r=0r = 0r=0, is needed.

A direct contraction argument that applies sharpness at an arbitrary radius, or on all of ZZZ, does not prove the theorem as stated.

Formalization scope

  • Rn\mathbb R^nRn and Rm\mathbb R^mRm are EuclideanSpace ℝ (Fin n) and EuclideanSpace ℝ (Fin m). n=0n = 0n=0 and m=0m = 0m=0 are allowed.
  • The semi-norm is an arbitrary Seminorm ℝ on their product, never the product's built-in norm.
  • The primal-dual gap, ρr\rho_rρr​ and diam⁡\operatorname{diam}diam are suprema in EReal, so unbounded sets give +∞+\infty+∞ and not a junk 000. dist⁡(⋅,Z⋆)\operatorname{dist}(\cdot, Z^\star)dist(⋅,Z⋆) is a real infimum over the nonempty set Z⋆Z^\starZ⋆.
  • The base method is a map from starts to sets of admissible output sequences, because a primal-dual step can be an argmin and need not be single-valued. Property 3 quantifies over every start in ZZZ and every run, with qqq and CCC fixed first.
  • The restart length is the natural number ⌈2C(q+2)/(αβ)⌉\lceil 2C(q+2)/(\alpha\beta)\rceil⌈2C(q+2)/(αβ)⌉, and every inner loop has exactly this length.

Standing assumptions and added hypotheses:

  • XXX and YYY are closed and convex, and LLL is convex-concave and differentiable on the whole space.
  • Z⋆≠∅Z^\star \neq \emptysetZ⋆=∅ replaces the page's "non-empty feasible region and bounded optimal value".
  • α>0\alpha > 0α>0 is assumed.
  • Property 1 is required for every t≥0t \ge 0t≥0, although the paper's N\mathbb NN starts at one: the proof of Proposition 2 telescopes from z0z^0z0.
  • The iterates of a generic algorithm stay in ZZZ, which the page leaves implicit.

Departures from the page:

  • Proposition 8 asserts only zˉt∈Z⋆\bar z^t \in Z^\starzˉt∈Z⋆. The page's "zˉn,t=zn,0\bar z^{n,t} = z^{n,0}zˉn,t=zn,0" does not follow under a semi-norm.
  • Milestones that do not use a standing assumption drop it.

The goal is not trivialized by its hypotheses. A companion check file exhibits L(x,y)=xyL(x, y) = xyL(x,y)=xy on R×R\mathbb R \times \mathbb RR×R, with the sup norm and an oracle base method, on which every hypothesis of Theorem 1 holds and dist⁡(z0,0,Z⋆)=1\operatorname{dist}(z^{0,0}, Z^\star) = 1dist(z0,0,Z⋆)=1. Sharpness is assumed only where Definition 1 and the theorem assume it: replacing WR(z0,0)W_R(z^{0,0})WR​(z0,0) by ZZZ, or the radius range by all r>0r > 0r>0, would weaken the theorem.

A complete development needs elementary facts about suprema in EReal, Jensen's inequality for convex-concave functions on averages, and geometric sums. The definitions of ρr\rho_rρr​, sharpness and Property 3 are reusable for the adaptive-restart theorem of the same paper (Theorem 2, a separate mission) and for other restart analyses. Proofs of any milestone or companion are welcome.

Selected references

  • D. Applegate, O. Hinder, H. Lu, M. Lubin, Faster First-Order Primal-Dual Methods for Linear Programming using Restarts and Sharpness, Math. Program. (2022); arXiv:2105.12715v4. https://arxiv.org/abs/2105.12715 · https://doi.org/10.1007/s10107-022-01901-9
  • D. Applegate, M. Díaz, O. Hinder, H. Lu, M. Lubin, B. O'Donoghue, W. Schudy, Practical Large-Scale Linear Programming using Primal-Dual Hybrid Gradient, NeurIPS 2021. https://arxiv.org/abs/2106.04756
  • A. Chambolle, T. Pock, A First-Order Primal-Dual Algorithm for Convex Problems with Applications to Imaging, J. Math. Imaging Vision 40 (2011). https://doi.org/10.1007/s10851-010-0251-1
  • A. Nemirovski, Prox-Method with Rate of Convergence O(1/t) for Variational Inequalities with Lipschitz Continuous Monotone Operators and Smooth Convex-Concave Saddle Point Problems, SIAM J. Optim. 15 (2004). https://doi.org/10.1137/S1052623403425629
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Prophet Inequalities Made Easy: Stochastic Optimization by Pricing Nonstochastic Inputs III: Under a Consistent Allocation Rule, (α, β)-Balanced Prices Are Closed Under Maxima of ValuationsResearch Paper

Motivation

Posted prices turn an offline allocation problem into a sequential choice process: each agent sees a menu of outcomes and prices, then chooses an outcome without revealing its full valuation. The balanced prices framework of Dütting, Feldman, Kesselheim, and Lucier gives welfare guarantees by comparing the revenue collected from an allocation with the welfare that remains feasible after it. Its appeal is that the comparison can be checked in a deterministic full-information setting before any probability distribution over valuations enters the analysis. Dütting et al., 2020

One valuation class at a time would make that framework difficult to reuse. Combinatorial auction valuations are often built by taking pointwise maxima of simpler valuations or by adding values from separate markets. Section 5 of the paper asks whether a price construction balanced for the simple class remains balanced after these operations. Theorem 5.3 gives the maximum closure result; Theorem 5.4 gives addition across markets. Appendix B extends both to the weaker balancing condition used elsewhere in the paper. Dütting et al., 2020, §5 and Appendix B

Setting

There are nnn agents in a fixed order. Agent iii receives an outcome xix_ixi​ from a space XiX_iXi​ containing a null outcome. A profile x=(xi)ix=(x_i)_ix=(xi​)i​ is feasible when it lies in F\mathcal FF. The model assumes downward closure: removing the outcomes of any group of agents from a feasible profile keeps it feasible. For a set of agents SSS, write xSx_SxS​ for the profile retaining xix_ixi​ on SSS and assigning the null outcome elsewhere. The prefix x[i−1]x_{[i-1]}x[i−1]​ retains only the agents before iii. Dütting et al., 2020, §2

A valuation profile vvv assigns each agent a function vi:Xi→Rv_i:X_i\to\mathbb Rvi​:Xi​→R. The welfare of xxx is v(x)=∑ivi(xi)v(x)=\sum_i v_i(x_i)v(x)=∑i​vi​(xi​). Every base valuation takes values in [0,1][0,1][0,1], the normalization stated in §2. For any set SSS of profiles, v(OPT⁡(v,S))v(\operatorname{OPT}(v,S))v(OPT(v,S)) denotes the best welfare achievable in SSS. An allocation rule ALG chooses a feasible profile from a valuation profile. A pricing rule assigns a nonnegative, possibly infinite price pi(xi∣y)p_i(x_i\mid y)pi​(xi​∣y) to outcome xix_ixi​ when the partial profile is yyy; an infeasible extension has infinite price. Dütting et al., 2020, pp. 547–548

An exchange-compatible family (Fx)x∈X(\mathcal F_x)_{x\in X}(Fx​)x∈X​ specifies a set of comparison profiles for each profile xxx. It is exchange compatible when replacing any one coordinate of xxx by the corresponding coordinate of any y∈Fxy\in\mathcal F_xy∈Fx​ gives a feasible profile. This property is required for every xxx in the full outcome space. A rule pvp^vpv is (α,β)(\alpha,\beta)(α,β)-balanced for valuation vvv, ALG, and that family, for constants α>0\alpha>0α>0 and β≥0\beta\ge0β≥0 (Definition 3.1), when both inequalities hold for every feasible xxx and every x′∈Fxx'\in\mathcal F_xx′∈Fx​:

v(ALG⁡(v))−v(OPT⁡(v,Fx))α≤∑ipiv(xi∣x[i−1]),∑ipiv(xi′∣x[i−1])≤βv(OPT⁡(v,Fx)).\frac{v(\operatorname{ALG}(v))-v(\operatorname{OPT}(v,\mathcal F_x))}{\alpha} \le \sum_i p_i^v(x_i\mid x_{[i-1]}), \qquad \sum_i p_i^v(x'_i\mid x_{[i-1]}) \le \beta v(\operatorname{OPT}(v,\mathcal F_x)).αv(ALG(v))−v(OPT(v,Fx​))​≤i∑​piv​(xi​∣x[i−1]​),i∑​piv​(xi′​∣x[i−1]​)≤βv(OPT(v,Fx​)).

The maximum extension Vimax⁡V_i^{\max}Vimax​ of a base valuation space ViV_iVi​ consists of nonempty finite pointwise maxima of elements of ViV_iVi​. A base profile v~\tilde vv~ supports an extended profile vvv at xxx if v~i≤vi\tilde v_i\le v_iv~i​≤vi​ at every outcome and v~i(xi)=vi(xi)\tilde v_i(x_i)=v_i(x_i)v~i​(xi​)=vi​(xi​) for every agent. ALG is consistent when v~(ALG⁡(v~))≥v~(ALG⁡(v))\tilde v(\operatorname{ALG}(\tilde v))\ge\tilde v(\operatorname{ALG}(v))v~(ALG(v~))≥v~(ALG(v)) whenever v~\tilde vv~ supports vvv at ALG⁡(v)\operatorname{ALG}(v)ALG(v). The optimal allocation rule has this property by Lemma 5.2. Dütting et al., 2020, p. 554

Formalization targets

Closure under maxima

The goal is Theorem 5.3. Given one exchange-compatible family and a collection (pw)w∈V(p^w)_{w\in V}(pw)w∈V​ balanced for every base profile, consistency of ALG preserves the same constants for every extended profile and every corresponding supporting base profile:

v∈Vmax⁡,v~∈V supports v at ALG⁡(v)⟹pv~ is (α,β)-balanced for v.v\in V^{\max},\quad \tilde v\in V\text{ supports }v\text{ at }\operatorname{ALG}(v) \quad\Longrightarrow\quad p^{\tilde v}\text{ is }(\alpha,\beta)\text{-balanced for }v.v∈Vmax,v~∈V supports v at ALG(v)⟹pv~ is (α,β)-balanced for v.

The milestone list records the welfare supremum comparison and the two price inequalities in the paper's proof. The family Fx\mathcal F_xFx​ remains the same for all base and extended profiles. Dütting et al., 2020, Theorem 5.3 and proof

Closure under addition and weak balancedness

Theorem 5.4 treats mmm separate allocation problems. The joint outcome and feasible set are products; values and prices add across components; ALG applies each component's rule. It asserts balancedness with the same α\alphaα and β\betaβ. Appendix B changes the second balancedness bound to β1v(OPT⁡(v,Fx))+β2v(ALG⁡(v))\beta_1v(\operatorname{OPT}(v,\mathcal F_x))+\beta_2v(\operatorname{ALG}(v))β1​v(OPT(v,Fx​))+β2​v(ALG(v)) and requires strong consistency for maximum closure. Theorems B.2 and B.3 preserve α,β1,β2\alpha,\beta_1,\beta_2α,β1​,β2​ under maxima and addition, respectively. Dütting et al., 2020, Theorems 5.4, B.2, B.3

Significance

The maximum closure theorem lets a balanced-price construction for a simple valuation class cover finite maxima of that class without worsening its balancing constants. The addition theorem lets separately priced markets be combined by summing prices. Together these two operations account for the XOS composition discussed immediately after Theorem 5.4; the paper uses the results to connect its general framework to combinatorial auctions and multidimensional matroid settings. Dütting et al., 2020, p. 555

These results have paper proofs. The work here is to state their exact deterministic content in Lean so later formalizations of the price constructions can import the closure theorems. The definitions of supporting valuations, exchange-compatible families, and extended-real prices are reusable beyond this mission. The companion statements keep the product-market and weak-balancedness variants alongside the central theorem, while their proofs remain to be formalized.

Difficulty

For maximum closure, the prices are indexed by a base profile v~\tilde vv~ but must be balanced for a different profile vvv that is pointwise larger. A supporting profile agrees with vvv only at ALG's outcome ALG⁡(v)\operatorname{ALG}(v)ALG(v), while condition (a) refers to ALG⁡(v~)\operatorname{ALG}(\tilde v)ALG(v~), an outcome ALG chooses for a different input, and both conditions refer to optimal welfare over Fx\mathcal F_xFx​, where v~\tilde vv~ and vvv can differ. Balancedness of pv~p^{\tilde v}pv~ for v~\tilde vv~ therefore says nothing about vvv on its own; without a hypothesis tying ALG's choices for vvv and v~\tilde vv~ together the statement is false, which is why consistency (Definition 5.1) is part of the theorem. The formal statement must keep the real-valued optimum meaningful for maxima of base valuations, so the [0,1][0,1][0,1] normalization of §2 is carried through to Vmax⁡V^{\max}Vmax. Dütting et al., 2020, Definition 5.1 and Theorem 5.3

For addition, a direct product of the component comparison families has an edge case: a component family can be empty while another is nonempty. The paper's displayed product family then makes the lower balancedness inequality too strong. The theorem statements ask for an exchange-compatible family to exist, as the printed theorems do; they do not require that failing product family. This discrepancy is recorded for review. Dütting et al., 2020, proof of Theorem 5.4

Formalization scope

Agents and markets use zero-based finite indices; the paper writes agent indices from one. A profile's prefix contains exactly the agents with smaller indices. Valuations are functions to R\mathbb RR with base values in [0,1][0,1][0,1]. The maximum extension uses a nonempty finite set of base functions, so its maximum is defined at every outcome. Optimal welfare is a real supremum; bounded valuations keep it finite, and the empty set has value zero. Prices are extended nonnegative reals so +∞+\infty+∞ is retained. The lower balancedness inequality embeds its real right side using ofReal, which handles a negative lower bound consistently with nonnegative prices. The upper inequality keeps the price sum in extended reals.

The maximum theorem quantifies over every extended profile and every supporting base profile, including genuinely new maxima. It keeps one exchange-compatible family for all valuations. The maximum-closure theorems require every base price to satisfy the pricing-rule condition and conclude it for the supporting price. ALG feasibility is assumed on Vmax⁡V^{\max}Vmax, which contains the base profiles. The product theorems construct joint outcomes, additive values, componentwise ALG, and summed prices from the component data; they do not admit an unrelated joint allocation rule. Downward closure and a zero price for the null outcome at feasible partial allocations are included for the product statements. The latter is a disclosed assumption satisfied by the paper's pricing examples and needed to handle empty component families. No distribution or posted-price run is part of this deterministic mission. Lemma 5.2 and the strong-consistency companion take an optimal rule to be one that attains the welfare supremum over F\mathcal FF on every profile in Vmax⁡V^{\max}Vmax, the profiles to which Definitions 5.1 and B.1 apply it; the product companions additionally conclude that the summed prices form a pricing rule (infinite off F\mathcal FF). Their ALG feasibility premise concerns the component profiles supplied in the theorem.

The development needs finite dependent products and sums, finite maxima, real suprema of bounded sets, and extended nonnegative arithmetic. Contributions proving the three maximum-closure milestones, the goal, or the product-market companions are all within scope. A proof that specializes the supporting profile to v~=v\tilde v=vv~=v would lose the intended maximum extension and does not satisfy the goal's universal quantification.

Selected references

  • P. Dütting, M. Feldman, T. Kesselheim, and B. Lucier, Prophet Inequalities Made Easy: Stochastic Optimization by Pricing Nonstochastic Inputs, SIAM Journal on Computing 49(3):540–582, 2020. DOI: 10.1137/20M1323850.
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Regret in Online Combinatorial Optimization II: Under Bandit Feedback Every Strategy Has Minimax Regret at Least 0.02 m√(dn) on Some Set of Actions with m OnesResearch Paper

Why bandit feedback matters

An online player repeatedly chooses a subset of coordinates and pays the sum of their losses. In many applications the player sees only that sum, not the losses of the selected coordinates. This bandit feedback makes it harder to identify which coordinate within each chosen subset is responsible for a favorable or unfavorable outcome. Audibert, Bubeck and Lugosi studied how this information limit changes regret in online combinatorial optimization. Their Theorem 5 establishes a lower bound that scales linearly with the number of selected coordinates and with the square root of the ambient dimension and horizon. Audibert, Bubeck and Lugosi, 2013, pp. 13–14

The result is part of a comparison among full-information, semi-bandit and bandit feedback in the same action model. Under full information the player sees the complete loss vector after each round; under semi-bandit feedback the player sees losses at selected coordinates; under bandit feedback the player sees only one scalar. The paper proves upper bounds for semi-bandit play and a bandit lower bound. The latter is the target of this mission. Audibert, Bubeck and Lugosi, 2013, pp. 2–3, 14

The game and its regret

Fix a dimension ddd, a horizon nnn, and a finite nonempty set A⊆{0,1}d\mathcal A\subseteq\{0,1\}^dA⊆{0,1}d. Each action a∈Aa\in\mathcal Aa∈A has exactly mmm entries equal to one. At round ttt, the player selects a probability distribution on A\mathcal AA, draws an action ata_tat​, and simultaneously an adversary selects a loss vector zt∈[0,1]dz_t\in[0,1]^dzt​∈[0,1]d. The player pays the scalar atTzta_t^\mathsf Tz_tatT​zt​. In the bandit protocol, that scalar is the only new information made available for the next round. A player strategy can use every previous action and observed scalar loss, and can randomize at every round. Audibert, Bubeck and Lugosi, 2013, pp. 2–3

The paper measures performance by pseudo-regret against the best fixed action in expectation:

Rn=E∑t=1natTzt−min⁡a∈AE∑t=1naTzt.R_n=\mathbb E\sum_{t=1}^{n}a_t^\mathsf Tz_t- \min_{a\in\mathcal A}\mathbb E\sum_{t=1}^{n}a^\mathsf Tz_t.Rn​=Et=1∑n​atT​zt​−a∈Amin​Et=1∑n​aTzt​.

The expectation covers the player's randomization and, when present, the adversary's randomization. This benchmark chooses one action for the whole horizon after comparing expected cumulative losses. It is the sole notion of regret used in the paper. Audibert, Bubeck and Lugosi, 2013, p. 2 and footnote 1

For the lower bound, the appendix arranges the ddd coordinates as mmm parallel games with k=d/mk=d/mk=d/m choices per game. An action selects one coordinate from each game. The adversary can associate a favoured choice α\alphaα with each game and assign independent Bernoulli losses whose means are 1/2−ϵ1/2-\epsilon1/2−ϵ at the favoured coordinates and 1/21/21/2 elsewhere. The player still sees only the sum of the mmm selected losses. These are the α\alphaα-adversaries that underlie the milestone statements. Audibert, Bubeck and Lugosi, 2013, pp. 16–17

Formalization targets

The goal is Theorem 5 with the divisibility condition used by its appendix construction. For n≥d≥2mn\ge d\ge2mn≥d≥2m and m∣dm\mid dm∣d, there is an action set A\mathcal AA such that every bandit strategy faces some bounded loss law with

Rn≥0.02 mdn.R_n\ge0.02\,m\sqrt{dn}.Rn​≥0.02mdn​.

The order of the choices is part of the claim: the action set is fixed first; then each player strategy may face its own adversary. The lower bound retains the paper's explicit constant 0.020.020.02. Audibert, Bubeck and Lugosi, 2013, p. 14, Theorem 5; p. 16

The milestones follow the appendix's stated results: Lemma 5 bounds a logarithm; Lemma 4 and its corrected second case bound the divergence between sums of independent Bernoulli variables; the one-round observation bound and the horizon bound control information revealed by bandit feedback. Equations (9), (10), and (11) connect that information to expected regret and symmetry. The final averaged bound on the chance of selecting a favoured choice closes the path to the goal. The milestones are stated for deterministic players, as in the first three steps of the appendix; the passage to randomized players (the appendix's fourth step) is part of the goal's proof and is not a separate milestone. Audibert, Bubeck and Lugosi, 2013, pp. 17–18, 20–21

What the result establishes

The theorem prevents a uniform regret guarantee of smaller order than mdnm\sqrt{dn}mdn​ for this bandit action model. It shows that aggregating mmm selected losses into a single observation imposes a cost beyond what a player can avoid by choosing a different randomized strategy. In particular, the quantifier over every strategy makes the claim about the feedback model, rather than about one named algorithm. The paper proves the result in Appendix B, with the Bernoulli-sum estimate in Appendix C. Audibert, Bubeck and Lugosi, 2013, pp. 14, 16–18, 20–21

The formalization work is to prove the existing paper result in Lean from a finite protocol that represents all behavioural player strategies, together with the finite laws of the appendix's adversaries. The resulting definitions of action paths, scalar observations, finite probability laws, and divergence estimates can support other finite-horizon bandit lower bounds. These statements are drafted as open Lean theorems; compilation checks their types, while proofs remain for solvers. The paper's mathematical proof does not itself constitute a machine-checked proof.

Where the difficulty lies

A scalar bandit observation sums losses from several games. The player cannot separate the contribution of the favoured coordinate in one game from the other selected losses by inspecting that observation. A bound for the divergence of a single Bernoulli variable therefore does not directly bound the information available to the player. The appendix's central estimate concerns sums of independent Bernoulli variables, followed by the law of the whole sequence of scalar observations. Audibert, Bubeck and Lugosi, 2013, pp. 16, 18, 20

There is also a correction to make explicit. Lemma 4 is false for some parameters allowed by its printed statement: taking n=ℓ=1n=\ell=1n=ℓ=1, p=q=1/2p=q=1/2p=q=1/2, and p′=0.001p'=0.001p′=0.001 violates the displayed bound. The error is in the second case of its proof, which applies Lemma 5 outside its range when p′<pp'<pp′<p. The mission states Lemma 4 with the additional condition p(1−p′)≤2p′(1−p)p(1-p')\le2p'(1-p)p(1−p′)≤2p′(1−p), which holds whenever p≤p′p\le p'p≤p′, and states the corrected second case separately: for q=p>p′q=p>p'q=p>p′, KL(B,B′)≤(p′−p)2/((1−p)p′(n+2))\mathrm{KL}(\mathcal B,\mathcal B')\le(p'-p)^2/((1-p)p'(n+2))KL(B,B′)≤(p′−p)2/((1−p)p′(n+2)). Through the corrected case, the one-round bound used by the goal holds for the full range 0<ϵ<1/20<\epsilon<1/20<ϵ<1/2, so Theorem 5 and its constant are unaffected. Audibert, Bubeck and Lugosi, 2013, pp. 20–21, Lemmas 4–5

Formalization scope

Actions are functions Fin(d)→R\mathrm{Fin}(d)\to\mathbb RFin(d)→R constrained to zero or one, with coordinate sum mmm. Coordinates and rounds are indexed from zero. A behavioural strategy maps every history of chosen actions and real-valued observed losses to a probability distribution on the finite action set. Its domain includes every real history, even though the appendix's particular Bernoulli adversaries generate integer observations. The strategy may randomize; restricting the goal to deterministic players or allowing it to inspect an unobserved loss vector would change the game.

The goal's exhibited adversary is an oblivious, finitely supported probability law on loss sequences in [0,1]n×d[0,1]^{n\times d}[0,1]n×d. It belongs to the broader adversary class of the paper, so this existential formulation is stronger. All expectations are finite sums. The regret comparator is a minimum over the nonempty action set, not a default value assigned to an empty set. The action set has binary entries and equal coordinate sums, and every loss lies in the unit interval; these clauses rule out trivial lower bounds from malformed actions or unbounded losses.

The hypothesis m∣dm\mid dm∣d is added to the printed theorem because Appendix B assumes it to partition coordinates into equally sized games. When m=0m=0m=0, it forces d=0d=0d=0 and the claimed lower bound is zero. The milestone model uses functions Fin(m)→Fin(k)\mathrm{Fin}(m)\to\mathrm{Fin}(k)Fin(m)→Fin(k) with d=mkd=mkd=mk, deterministic players, finite Bernoulli product laws, and a finite real KL sum. Its log ratios are meaningful on the common support ensured by the stated parameter bounds. Reusable contributions include the finite bandit protocol and observation laws, as well as proofs of the KL and averaging milestones.

Selected references

  • Jean-Yves Audibert, Sébastien Bubeck and Gábor Lugosi, Regret in Online Combinatorial Optimization, Mathematics of Operations Research 39(1), 2014. arXiv:1204.4710v2; DOI:10.1287/moor.2013.0598.
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Partially Observable Total-Cost Markov Decision Processes with Weakly Continuous Transition Probabilities 2: Setwise-Continuous Observations Do Not Make the Belief Transition Weakly ContinuousResearch Paper

Motivation

A partially observable Markov decision process describes a controlled system whose state is hidden but whose observations are available to a decision maker. The distribution of the hidden state conditional on the observations is the belief state. Replacing the hidden state by this distribution turns the model into a fully observed decision process, provided the resulting belief transition has the regularity needed by the usual existence and dynamic programming results. Feinberg, Kasyanov, and Zgurovsky give sufficient conditions for that regularity in their study of total-cost POMDPs, Theorems 3.6 and 3.7.

Their observation-kernel condition is continuity in total variation. Example 4.1 of the same paper tests its sharpness: the authors construct a two-state model with setwise-continuous observations for which the belief transition fails to be weakly continuous. This matters when selecting assumptions for a POMDP theorem. Setwise convergence already requires convergence of the probabilities of every fixed observation event, so it can look adequate for belief updates. The example shows that it is still too weak for the stated conclusion.

Setting

The hidden state space is X={1,2}X=\{1,2\}X={1,2} and the observation space is Y=[0,1]Y=[0,1]Y=[0,1] with Lebesgue probability measure mmm. The action space is A={0}∪{1/n:n=1,2,…}A=\{0\}\cup\{1/n:n=1,2,\ldots\}A={0}∪{1/n:n=1,2,…}, equipped with the topology inherited from R\mathbb RR. The state does not move: its transition law P(⋅∣x,a)P(\cdot\mid x,a)P(⋅∣x,a) is the point mass at xxx for every action. Its continuity in total variation is immediate from this fixed-state behavior.

At hidden state 1 the observation law is always mmm. At hidden state 2, action zero also produces mmm. Under action 1/n1/n1/n, state 2 produces a law m(n)=f(n)mm^{(n)}=f^{(n)}mm(n)=f(n)m. The density f(n)f^{(n)}f(n) equals zero on the open left half of each cell in the 2n2^n2n-part dyadic partition and equals two elsewhere, including the cell endpoints. Equation (4.1) gives the exact intervals. These laws oscillate more rapidly as nnn grows, and the paper establishes m(n)(C)→m(C)m^{(n)}(C)\to m(C)m(n)(C)→m(C) for every fixed Borel set CCC. Thus the observation kernel Q(⋅∣a,x)Q(\cdot\mid a,x)Q(⋅∣a,x) is setwise continuous even at the accumulation action zero. Example 4.1, pp. 13–14.

A belief z∈P(X)z\in\mathcal P(X)z∈P(X) assigns a probability to each hidden state. For a current belief zzz and an action aaa, the joint law R(⋅∣z,a)R(\cdot\mid z,a)R(⋅∣z,a) covers the next state and its observation, and R′(⋅∣z,a)R'(\cdot\mid z,a)R′(⋅∣z,a) is the observation marginal. A filter H(z,a,y)H(z,a,y)H(z,a,y) is a conditional law of the next state given observation yyy: it satisfies the disintegration identity (3.3). The belief transition qH(⋅∣z,a)q_H(\cdot\mid z,a)qH​(⋅∣z,a) is the law of the random posterior H(z,a,y)H(z,a,y)H(z,a,y) when yyy has law R′(⋅∣z,a)R'(\cdot\mid z,a)R′(⋅∣z,a). These objects are defined in (3.1)–(3.5) of the paper. Different versions of HHH agree only almost everywhere for each current belief and action, yet they yield the same belief transition.

Formalization targets

Example 4.1: failure of weak belief continuity

At the uniform belief z=(1/2,1/2)z=(1/2,1/2)z=(1/2,1/2), action zero reveals nothing, while every positive-index action produces the same two-point posterior law:

qH(⋅∣z,0)=δz,qH(⋅∣z,1/n)=34δ(1/3,2/3)+14δ(1,0)(n≥1).q_H(\cdot\mid z,0)=\delta_z,\qquad q_H(\cdot\mid z,1/n)=\tfrac34\delta_{(1/3,2/3)}+\tfrac14\delta_{(1,0)} \quad(n\ge1).qH​(⋅∣z,0)=δz​,qH​(⋅∣z,1/n)=43​δ(1/3,2/3)​+41​δ(1,0)​(n≥1).

The mission's goal asserts that PPP is total-variation continuous, QQQ is a setwise-continuous probability kernel, a valid filter exists, and the positive-index laws fail to converge weakly to the zero-action law as 1/n→01/n\to01/n→0. It states the failure for every filter satisfying (3.3), so it is a property of the POMDP rather than of a selected version of its conditional distribution. The milestone list follows the paper's assertions: setwise convergence of the dyadic laws, setwise continuity of QQQ, the two posterior values almost everywhere, and the explicit laws of qHq_HqH​.

Significance

The example identifies a precise boundary of the sufficient condition in Theorems 3.6 and 3.7. Those theorems use total-variation continuity of the observation law to obtain a weakly continuous belief transition; replacing that premise by setwise continuity makes their continuity conclusion false in this model. The explicit law also shows the size of the discrepancy: the positive-index belief transition has two fixed atoms, while the zero-action transition is concentrated at the original belief. Example 4.1, pp. 13–14.

A machine-checked development would add reusable definitions of sequential kernel continuity, the joint state-observation law, conditional filters, and the belief transition on the Borel space of probability measures. It would also formalize a concrete setwise-convergent sequence of densities whose induced posterior laws do not converge weakly. The paper proves the example; the Lean statements in this proposal are open proof targets, with no completed machine-checked proof claimed here.

Difficulty

Setwise continuity controls Q(C∣a,x)Q(C\mid a,x)Q(C∣a,x) for each fixed Borel set CCC. A posterior is a probability measure determined by the observation, and the belief transition tests the distribution of those posterior measures. The observation regions distinguishing the states change with nnn, so convergence on fixed observation sets does not imply convergence of their posterior distributions. This is the gap in the immediate argument that tries to pass from setwise convergence of QQQ to weak convergence of qHq_HqH​.

The conditional filter adds a second precision issue. Equation (3.3) determines its values only almost surely under the observation marginal, and different versions may disagree on null observations. Any claim about a posterior value at every yyy would exceed the source; the posterior milestone therefore has an almost-everywhere qualifier, while the goal quantifies over every valid version of HHH.

Formalization scope

Lean represents XXX by Fin 2, with 0 for the paper's state 1 and 1 for state 2; YYY by unitInterval; and AAA by the specified subtype of R\mathbb RR. Positive integers are a subtype of N\mathbb NN, so the density and the action 1/n1/n1/n are never evaluated at n=0n=0n=0. The measure mmm is volume on unitInterval, which has total mass one. The density follows (4.1) literally, with open zero intervals and density two at their endpoints. The general transition PPP and observation law QQQ use Mathlib kernels; the example instantiates them directly. The goal includes the probability-kernel property of the concrete QQQ and existence of a valid HHH, guarding the universal filter clause against vacuity.

Weak, setwise, and total-variation convergence are sequential, as on page 4. The weak test class consists of bounded continuous real functions; the setwise test class consists of all Borel sets. The target space of qHq_HqH​ carries the Borel σ-algebra of the weak topology on P(X)\mathcal P(X)P(X), stated explicitly because Mathlib's default measurable structure on that type is the Giry σ-algebra. The filter predicate requires measurability in yyy for fixed (z,a)(z,a)(z,a) in both structures. Joint measurability in (z,a,y)(z,a,y)(z,a,y) is described in the paper but is not encoded in this local predicate; only the fixed-parameter property is used by (3.3) and (3.5). This choice and its quantifier effect are recorded in the moderation notes.

No cost, initial observation kernel, initial prior, or discount factor enters Example 4.1. Contributions on the dyadic law, kernel continuity, conditional posterior values, and the resulting belief-law identity are all within scope. A filter hard-coded to return the prior belief, a discrete topology on AAA, or a claim for only one version of HHH would change the counterexample and is excluded by the definitions and goal.

Selected references

  • E. A. Feinberg, P. O. Kasyanov, and M. Z. Zgurovsky, Partially Observable Total-Cost Markov Decision Processes with Weakly Continuous Transition Probabilities, Mathematics of Operations Research 41(2), 2016; arXiv:1401.2168v2. This mission follows the pinned preprint's numbering and pages.
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Partially Observable Total-Cost Markov Decision Processes with Weakly Continuous Transition Probabilities 1: The Belief MDP Satisfies Assumption (W*) Under Total-Variation-Continuous ObservationsResearch Paper

Motivation

A partially observable Markov decision process (POMDP) models a controller that cannot see the state of the system it steers, only noisy observations of it. Inventory control with unrecorded demand, machine maintenance with imperfect inspection, and target tracking from sensor readings all have this form. The standard way to solve a POMDP is to replace it by its belief MDP, also called the completely observable MDP (COMDP): the state becomes the posterior distribution of the hidden state given everything observed so far. The belief MDP is fully observed, so the theory of Markov decision processes applies to it, but only if the belief MDP satisfies that theory's hypotheses. For MDPs with Borel state and action spaces, unbounded costs and possibly noncompact action sets, the hypothesis that yields optimality equations, convergence of value iterations and stationary optimal policies is Assumption (W*) of Feinberg, Kasyanov and Zadoianchuk (Math. Oper. Res. 2012): the cost is K\mathbb KK-inf-compact and the transition probability is weakly continuous.

Before Feinberg, Kasyanov and Zgurovsky (arXiv:1401.2168v2, published in Math. Oper. Res. 41(2), 2016), sufficient conditions for the belief MDP to be weakly continuous required a weakly continuous filter (Hernández-Lerma, 1989, as recalled on p. 11 of arXiv:1401.2168v2), a condition that fails in many natural models. The paper replaces it by a condition on the primitive data of the POMDP.

Setting

Let X\mathbb XX (states), Y\mathbb YY (observations) and A\mathbb AA (actions) be Borel subsets of Polish spaces. Let P(dx′∣x,a)P(dx' \mid x, a)P(dx′∣x,a) be the transition kernel on X\mathbb XX given X×A\mathbb X \times \mathbb AX×A, Q(dy∣a,x)Q(dy \mid a, x)Q(dy∣a,x) the observation kernel on Y\mathbb YY given A×X\mathbb A \times \mathbb XA×X, and c:X×A→R∪{+∞}c : \mathbb X \times \mathbb A \to \mathbb R \cup \{+\infty\}c:X×A→R∪{+∞} a Borel one-step cost bounded below. P(X)\mathbb P(\mathbb X)P(X) is the set of probability measures on X\mathbb XX with the topology of weak convergence (∫f dμn→∫f dμ\int f\,d\mu_n \to \int f\,d\mu∫fdμn​→∫fdμ for bounded continuous fff). A sequence μn\mu_nμn​ converges setwise if μn(C)→μ(C)\mu_n(C) \to \mu(C)μn​(C)→μ(C) for every Borel CCC, and in the total variation if sup⁡f∣∫f dμn−∫f dμ∣→0\sup_f |\int f\,d\mu_n - \int f\,d\mu| \to 0supf​∣∫fdμn​−∫fdμ∣→0 over Borel fff with values in [−1,1][-1, 1][−1,1]. A kernel is weakly (setwise, total-variation) continuous if xn→xx_n \to xxn​→x implies the corresponding convergence of the measures.

For a belief z∈P(X)z \in \mathbb P(\mathbb X)z∈P(X) and an action aaa, let R(B×C∣z,a)=∫X∫BQ(C∣a,x′) P(dx′∣x,a) z(dx)R(B \times C \mid z, a) = \int_{\mathbb X} \int_B Q(C \mid a, x')\,P(dx' \mid x, a)\,z(dx)R(B×C∣z,a)=∫X​∫B​Q(C∣a,x′)P(dx′∣x,a)z(dx) be the joint law of the next state and observation (3.1), and R′(C∣z,a)=R(X×C∣z,a)R'(C \mid z, a) = R(\mathbb X \times C \mid z, a)R′(C∣z,a)=R(X×C∣z,a) its observation marginal (3.2). A filter is a kernel H(dx∣z,a,y)H(dx \mid z, a, y)H(dx∣z,a,y) with R(B×C∣z,a)=∫CH(B∣z,a,y) R′(dy∣z,a)R(B \times C \mid z, a) = \int_C H(B \mid z, a, y)\,R'(dy \mid z, a)R(B×C∣z,a)=∫C​H(B∣z,a,y)R′(dy∣z,a) (3.3): H(z,a,y)H(z, a, y)H(z,a,y) is the posterior after observing yyy. The belief MDP has state space P(X)\mathbb P(\mathbb X)P(X), action set A\mathbb AA, cost cˉ(z,a)=∫c(x,a) z(dx)\bar c(z, a) = \int c(x, a)\,z(dx)cˉ(z,a)=∫c(x,a)z(dx) (3.8), and transition q(⋅∣z,a)q(\cdot \mid z, a)q(⋅∣z,a), the law of H(z,a,y)H(z, a, y)H(z,a,y) when y∼R′(⋅∣z,a)y \sim R'(\cdot \mid z, a)y∼R′(⋅∣z,a) (3.5). A cost is K\mathbb KK-inf-compact on S1×S2\mathbb S_1 \times \mathbb S_2S1​×S2​ if its restriction to K×S2K \times \mathbb S_2K×S2​ has compact level sets for every compact K⊆S1K \subseteq \mathbb S_1K⊆S1​.

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem 3.6

If either Assumption (D) (0≤α<10 \le \alpha < 10≤α<1) or Assumption (P) (c≥0c \ge 0c≥0 and 0≤α≤10 \le \alpha \le 10≤α≤1) holds, ccc is bounded below and K\mathbb KK-inf-compact on X×A\mathbb X \times \mathbb AX×A, PPP is weakly continuous and QQQ is continuous in the total variation, then the belief MDP satisfies Assumption (W*):

cˉ is bounded below and K-inf-compact on P(X)×A,(zn,an)→(z,a)  ⟹  q(⋅∣zn,an)→q(⋅∣z,a) weakly.\bar c \text{ is bounded below and } \mathbb K\text{-inf-compact on } \mathbb P(\mathbb X) \times \mathbb A, \qquad (z_n, a_n) \to (z, a) \implies q(\cdot \mid z_n, a_n) \to q(\cdot \mid z, a) \text{ weakly}.cˉ is bounded below and K-inf-compact on P(X)×A,(zn​,an​)→(z,a)⟹q(⋅∣zn​,an​)→q(⋅∣z,a) weakly.

The two halves

  • Cost half (Theorem 3.4, through Lemma 6.1 and Lemma 5.1(ii)): cˉ\bar ccˉ is bounded below by the same constant as ccc and K\mathbb KK-inf-compact.
  • Transition half (Theorem 3.7): under the hypotheses on PPP and QQQ, R′R'R′ is setwise continuous and Assumption (H) holds: whenever zn→zz_n \to zzn​→z and an→aa_n \to aan​→a, along a subsequence H(znk,ank,y)→H(z,a,y)H(z_{n_k}, a_{n_k}, y) \to H(z, a, y)H(znk​​,ank​​,y)→H(z,a,y) weakly for R′(⋅∣z,a)R'(\cdot \mid z, a)R′(⋅∣z,a)-almost every yyy. Theorem 3.5 then gives weak continuity of qqq. The route runs through Theorem 5.2, Lemma 5.3, Corollary 5.4, Theorem 5.5 and Lemma 5.6.

Significance

Theorem 3.6 supplies the hypothesis under which the cited general MDP theory gives stationary optimal policies, optimality equations and convergence of value iterations for total-cost POMDPs in terms of PPP, QQQ and ccc alone, without compactness of the action set, boundedness of the cost or continuity of the filter. It covers, for example, observation kernels with densities continuous in (a,x)(a, x)(a,x), and the paper applies it to inventory control with incomplete records and to the Kalman filter. Example 4.1 of the same paper shows that total-variation continuity of QQQ cannot be weakened to setwise continuity.

The result is proved in the paper; this proposal poses its formal statement and the supporting results as proof targets. Completing them would provide a checked bridge from POMDPs to the general MDP theory under weak continuity, together with reusable facts about weak, setwise and total-variation convergence: equicontinuity of integrals against weakly continuous kernels (Theorem 5.2), the convergence-in-probability criterion (Theorem 5.5), and the generalized Fatou lemmas.

Difficulty

The posterior H(z,a,y)H(z, a, y)H(z,a,y) is defined only for R′(⋅∣z,a)R'(\cdot \mid z, a)R′(⋅∣z,a)-almost every yyy and has no continuous version in general, so weak continuity of qqq cannot be read off from continuity of HHH. The tempting argument, that continuous PPP and QQQ make the Bayes posterior move continuously, fails: Y\mathbb YY need not be countable and QQQ need not have densities. What has to be controlled is the joint law RRR on sets (O1∖O2)×C(\mathcal O_1 \setminus \mathcal O_2) \times C(O1​∖O2​)×C uniformly in the observation set CCC; convergence for each fixed CCC is not enough. Turning this uniform control into almost-sure convergence of posteriors along a subsequence requires a diagonal argument over a countable base of X\mathbb XX. On the cost side, the difficulty is that ccc may take the value +∞+\infty+∞ and is not continuous; K\mathbb KK-inf-compactness has to be transported through integration against a weakly converging sequence of measures.

Formalization scope

All definitions live in FeinbergPOMDP.WStar.Model. X,Y,A\mathbb X, \mathbb Y, \mathbb AX,Y,A are separable metrizable spaces with their Borel σ-algebras (PolishSpace is not assumed, since Borel subsets of Polish spaces need not be Polish); X\mathbb XX is additionally nonempty and standard Borel in Theorems 3.6 and 3.7, where a filter must exist. P(X)\mathbb P(\mathbb X)P(X) is Mathlib's ProbabilityMeasure with the weak topology. All continuity notions are the paper's sequential ones; total variation is the supremum over Borel functions with values in [−1,1][-1, 1][−1,1], written in ε\varepsilonε–NNN form, while the set-indexed suprema of (5.15) and (5.17) keep their set form. The cost is written c=ℓ+fc = \ell + fc=ℓ+f with ℓ∈R\ell \in \mathbb Rℓ∈R and fff taking values in [0,∞][0, \infty][0,∞], so cˉ=ℓ+∫f dz\bar c = \ell + \int f\,dzcˉ=ℓ+∫fdz, exact even when c=+∞c = +\inftyc=+∞ on a set of positive measure. K\mathbb KK-inf-compactness is the published FeinbergLiang.ACOE.KInfCompact. A filter is a map H:P(X)→A→Y→P(X)H : \mathbb P(\mathbb X) \to \mathbb A \to \mathbb Y \to \mathbb P(\mathbb X)H:P(X)→A→Y→P(X) that satisfies (3.3) and is jointly Borel measurable in (z,a,y)(z,a,y)(z,a,y), as the paper's stochastic kernel is; qqq is the image of R′R'R′ under H(z,a,⋅)H(z, a, \cdot)H(z,a,⋅) for the Borel σ-algebra of the weak topology on P(X)\mathbb P(\mathbb X)P(X).

Since qqq does not depend on the choice of filter, every statement about qqq is made for every filter satisfying (3.3). A fixed filter that ignores the observation, such as H(z,a,y)=zH(z, a, y) = zH(z,a,y)=z, would make qqq a point mass and the weak continuity trivial; it satisfies (3.3) only when observations carry no information, and is excluded by quantifying over all filters.

The goal states the Assumption (W*) conclusion of Theorem 3.6. Its tail, "statements (i)–(vi) of Theorem 3.1 hold", invokes Theorem 2.1 of Feinberg et al. (2012) applied to the belief MDP; it is cited rather than proved in this paper. Generalized Fatou's lemmas 5.1(i) and 5.1(ii) are referenced from the published Schäl (1993) items. A complete development needs weak and setwise convergence on ProbabilityMeasure, portmanteau-type arguments, disintegration (Measure.condKernel) and the identification of the Borel and Giry σ-algebras on P(X)\mathbb P(\mathbb X)P(X); the last is missing from Mathlib and is a welcome contribution in its own right. Proofs of any milestone, and alternative arguments for Theorem 3.7, are welcome.

Selected references

  • E. A. Feinberg, P. O. Kasyanov, M. Z. Zgurovsky, Partially Observable Total-Cost Markov Decision Processes with Weakly Continuous Transition Probabilities, arXiv:1401.2168v2 (2014); Mathematics of Operations Research 41(2), 2016. https://arxiv.org/abs/1401.2168v2
  • E. A. Feinberg, P. O. Kasyanov, N. V. Zadoianchuk, Average-cost Markov decision processes with weakly continuous transition probabilities, Mathematics of Operations Research 37(4), 2012. https://doi.org/10.1287/moor.1120.0555
  • D. P. Bertsekas, S. E. Shreve, Stochastic Optimal Control: The Discrete-Time Case, Academic Press, 1978. https://web.mit.edu/dimitrib/www/soc.html
  • M. Schäl, Average optimality in dynamic programming with general state space, Mathematics of Operations Research 18(1), 1993. https://doi.org/10.1287/moor.18.1.163
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Machine LearningOptimal TransportProbability+1·Captain: mikedeng1

Wasserstein Distributionally Robust Optimization and Variation Regularization III: With Probability 1 − e^(−t), E_Pn[(ρ − d(z, D_f))₊] ≤ Cρ² + 2ρ·E[Rademacher] + ρ√(t/2n) for Every fResearch Paper

Motivation

Wasserstein distributionally robust optimization (DRO) replaces the empirical risk EPn[f]\mathbb E_{P_n}[f]EPn​​[f] of a loss fff by its worst case over all distributions within Wasserstein distance ρ\rhoρ of the empirical law PnP_nPn​. Gao, Chen and Kleywegt (arXiv:1712.06050; Operations Research, 2024, doi:10.1287/opre.2022.2383) show that, for small radii, this worst-case risk is the empirical risk plus ρ\rhoρ times a variation of the loss (a norm of its gradient or local slope), up to a remainder. This links DRO to gradient-norm regularization, as used in adversarial training and in data-driven newsvendor and pricing models.

For smooth losses the remainder is of order ρ2\rho^2ρ2. Many losses used in practice are only piecewise smooth: hinge, ReLU networks, newsvendor costs, θz∧1\theta z \wedge 1θz∧1. Near the set Df\mathcal D_fDf​ where the pieces meet, the first-order expansion fails, and the paper's Theorem 1(I)–(II) carries an extra boundary term M EPn[(ρ−d(z,Df))+]M\,\mathbb E_{P_n}[(\rho - d(z,\mathcal D_f))_+]MEPn​​[(ρ−d(z,Df​))+​]. Theorem 1(III) shows that this term is small with high probability, uniformly over the loss class, provided the data distribution does not concentrate near the non-smooth points. This mission formalizes that probabilistic bound.

Setting

Let (Z,d)(\mathcal Z, d)(Z,d) be a metric space with its Borel σ\sigmaσ-algebra, PtrueP_{\rm true}Ptrue​ a probability measure on Z\mathcal ZZ, and z1,…,znz_1, \dots, z_nz1​,…,zn​ an i.i.d. sample from PtrueP_{\rm true}Ptrue​, with empirical law Pn=1n∑iδziP_n = \frac1n\sum_i \delta_{z_i}Pn​=n1​∑i​δzi​​. The sampling law is the product P⊗=Ptrue⊗nP_\otimes = P_{\rm true}^{\otimes n}P⊗​=Ptrue⊗n​ on Zn\mathcal Z^nZn, and E⊗\mathbb E_\otimesE⊗​ is its expectation. The formal statements also assume the metric space is second countable.

Let F\mathcal FF be a set of losses f:Z→Rf : \mathcal Z \to \mathbb Rf:Z→R, and for each fff let Df⊆Z\mathcal D_f \subseteq \mathcal ZDf​⊆Z be its non-smooth set: for a piecewise smooth fff with pieces Zf,1,…,Zf,Kf\mathcal Z_{f,1}, \dots, \mathcal Z_{f,K_f}Zf,1​,…,Zf,Kf​​, the union of the pairwise intersections of their closures (Assumption 1). The paper assumes Df\mathcal D_fDf​ is PtrueP_{\rm true}Ptrue​-null. The distance to a set is d(z,D)=inf⁡z~∈Dd(z,z~)d(z, D) = \inf_{\tilde z\in D} d(z,\tilde z)d(z,D)=infz~∈D​d(z,z~), with d(z,∅)=+∞d(z,\varnothing) = +\inftyd(z,∅)=+∞.

The objects of the mission are:

  • the boundary gap (ρ−d(z,Df))+(\rho - d(z, \mathcal D_f))_+(ρ−d(z,Df​))+​ and the near indicator 1{d(z,Df)<ρ}\mathbf 1\{d(z,\mathcal D_f) < \rho\}1{d(z,Df​)<ρ};
  • the indicator class Iρ={z↦1{d(z,Df)<ρ}:f∈F, Df≠∅}\mathcal I_\rho = \{z\mapsto \mathbf 1\{d(z,\mathcal D_f)<\rho\} : f\in\mathcal F,\ \mathcal D_f\neq\varnothing\}Iρ​={z↦1{d(z,Df​)<ρ}:f∈F, Df​=∅};
  • the empirical Rademacher complexity Rn(H)=Eσ[sup⁡h∈H1n∑iσih(zi)]\mathfrak R_n(\mathcal H) = \mathbb E_\sigma\bigl[\sup_{h\in\mathcal H}\frac1n\sum_i\sigma_i h(z_i)\bigr]Rn​(H)=Eσ​[suph∈H​n1​∑i​σi​h(zi​)] of a class H\mathcal HH, with i.i.d. uniform signs σi\sigma_iσi​, and the Rademacher complexity E⊗[Rn(H)]\mathbb E_\otimes[\mathfrak R_n(\mathcal H)]E⊗​[Rn​(H)];
  • Assumption 3 (bounded density):
lim sup⁡δ↓0 sup⁡f∈F: Df≠∅Ptrue{z:0<d(z,Df)<δ}δ<∞.\limsup_{\delta\downarrow 0}\ \sup_{f\in\mathcal F:\,\mathcal D_f\ne\varnothing}\frac{P_{\rm true}\{z : 0 < d(z,\mathcal D_f) < \delta\}}{\delta} < \infty.δ↓0limsup​ f∈F:Df​=∅sup​δPtrue​{z:0<d(z,Df​)<δ}​<∞.

In Lean the boundary gap is the shared WassVarReg.PInf.boundaryGap; nearIndicator, indicatorClass, empRademacher, rademacher and Assumption3 are in WassVarReg.Boundary. The sample law is the published MinimaxWass.DataDep.sampleLaw.

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem 1(III), first display (p. 8)

Under Assumption 3 there exist ρˉ,C>0\bar\rho, C > 0ρˉ​,C>0 such that for all n≥1n\ge1n≥1, t>0t>0t>0 and 0≤ρ<ρˉ0\le\rho<\bar\rho0≤ρ<ρˉ​, with probability at least 1−e−t1-e^{-t}1−e−t, for every f∈Ff\in\mathcal Ff∈F,

EPn[(ρ−d(z,Df))+]≤Cρ2+2ρ E⊗[Rn(Iρ)]+ρt2n.\mathbb E_{P_n}\bigl[(\rho - d(z,\mathcal D_f))_+\bigr] \le C\rho^2 + 2\rho\,\mathbb E_\otimes[\mathfrak R_n(\mathcal I_\rho)] + \rho\sqrt{\frac{t}{2n}}.EPn​​[(ρ−d(z,Df​))+​]≤Cρ2+2ρE⊗​[Rn​(Iρ​)]+ρ2nt​​.

The constants CCC and ρˉ\bar\rhoρˉ​ are left unspecified; they depend only on Assumption 3.

Milestones

  1. Lemma EC.5 (p. ec4): for a class H\mathcal HH of measurable functions with values in [0,M][0,M][0,M], with probability at least 1−e−t1-e^{-t}1−e−t, EPn[h]≤EPtrue[h]+2 E⊗[Rn(H)]+Mt/(2n)\mathbb E_{P_n}[h] \le \mathbb E_{P_{\rm true}}[h] + 2\,\mathbb E_\otimes[\mathfrak R_n(\mathcal H)] + M\sqrt{t/(2n)}EPn​​[h]≤EPtrue​​[h]+2E⊗​[Rn​(H)]+Mt/(2n)​ for all h∈Hh\in\mathcal Hh∈H.
  2. Assumption 3 bounds the true mass (proof of Lemma EC.11, p. ec11): EPtrue[1{d(z,Df)<ρ}]≤Cρ\mathbb E_{P_{\rm true}}[\mathbf 1\{d(z,\mathcal D_f)<\rho\}] \le C\rhoEPtrue​​[1{d(z,Df​)<ρ}]≤Cρ for 0≤ρ<ρˉ0\le\rho<\bar\rho0≤ρ<ρˉ​, uniformly in fff.
  3. Lemma EC.11 (p. ec11): with probability at least 1−e−t1-e^{-t}1−e−t, for every fff, EPn[1{d(z,Df)<ρ}]≤Cρ+2 E⊗[Rn(Iρ)]+t/(2n)\mathbb E_{P_n}[\mathbf 1\{d(z,\mathcal D_f)<\rho\}] \le C\rho + 2\,\mathbb E_\otimes[\mathfrak R_n(\mathcal I_\rho)] + \sqrt{t/(2n)}EPn​​[1{d(z,Df​)<ρ}]≤Cρ+2E⊗​[Rn​(Iρ​)]+t/(2n)​.
  4. Gap versus mass (p. ec11): EPn[(ρ−d(z,Df))+]≤ρ EPn[1{d(z,Df)<ρ}]\mathbb E_{P_n}[(\rho-d(z,\mathcal D_f))_+] \le \rho\,\mathbb E_{P_n}[\mathbf 1\{d(z,\mathcal D_f)<\rho\}]EPn​​[(ρ−d(z,Df​))+​]≤ρEPn​​[1{d(z,Df​)<ρ}].

Significance

The result. With ρn=ρ0/n\rho_n = \rho_0/\sqrt nρn​=ρ0​/n​ and a class Iρ\mathcal I_\rhoIρ​ of bounded complexity, the right side of the goal is Op(1/n)O_p(1/n)Op​(1/n). Combined with Theorem 1(I)–(II), it gives the paper's conclusion that ppp-Wasserstein DRO with p∈(1,∞]p\in(1,\infty]p∈(1,∞] is asymptotically equivalent to empirical variation regularization, min⁡f{EPn[f]+ρnVPn,q(f)}+Op(1/n)\min_f\{\mathbb E_{P_n}[f] + \rho_n\mathcal V_{P_n,q}(f)\} + O_p(1/n)minf​{EPn​​[f]+ρn​VPn​,q​(f)}+Op​(1/n), for non-smooth losses, uniformly over the class. Without it, the boundary term is only bounded by MρM\rhoMρ, and the expansion has no better accuracy than first order. Assumption 3 is the condition under which the non-smooth set does not matter statistically.

Formalizing it. The result is proved in the paper; it has no machine-checked proof. Its proof composes a uniform deviation bound (McDiarmid's inequality plus symmetrization) with a bounded-density estimate. The mission produces a general Rademacher deviation bound for bounded classes on an arbitrary metric space with a measurability guard, reusable by any statistical-learning mission, and fixes the printed constant of Lemma EC.5 (M2t/nM\sqrt{2t/n}M2t/n​ on the page, Mt/(2n)M\sqrt{t/(2n)}Mt/(2n)​ from its proof).

Difficulty

The deterministic parts are short. The difficulty is in Lemma EC.5. McDiarmid's inequality must be applied to the uniform deviation over an arbitrary, possibly uncountable, class. Symmetrization must then be carried out with Bochner integrals over Zn×Zn\mathcal Z^n\times\mathcal Z^nZn×Zn and a finite sign space. Neither tool is in Mathlib in this form. A tempting shortcut, bounding each fixed hhh by Hoeffding's inequality and taking a union bound, fails: the class is infinite, and the bound must hold simultaneously for all fff inside a single event. A second point is Assumption 3: it controls only the shell 0<d(z,Df)<δ0 < d(z,\mathcal D_f) < \delta0<d(z,Df​)<δ, so the mass of {d=0}\{d = 0\}{d=0} has to come from the null closure of Df\mathcal D_fDf​.

Formalization scope

  • Space and sample. Z\mathcal ZZ is a metric space with [MeasurableSpace Z] [BorelSpace Z] [SecondCountableTopology Z] in the goal-level statements. Second countability is an added technical hypothesis used throughout this paper's mission series. A sample is ω : Fin n → Z with n≥1n\ge1n≥1, and its law is Measure.pi. Empirical means are 1n∑i:Fin n\frac1n\sum_{i : \mathrm{Fin}\,n}n1​∑i:Finn​.
  • Distance to a set. Metric.infEDist, which is +∞+\infty+∞ on ∅\varnothing∅. A loss with Df=∅\mathcal D_f=\varnothingDf​=∅ thus has boundary gap 000 and is excluded from Iρ\mathcal I_\rhoIρ​, as on the page. The real-valued Metric.infDist (which is 000 on ∅\varnothing∅) would give such a loss gap ρ\rhoρ and is not used.
  • The non-smooth sets are an arbitrary family D : (Z → ℝ) → Set Z. The goal-level statements assume each Df\mathcal D_fDf​ is closed and PtrueP_{\rm true}Ptrue​-null, the standing consequence of its construction in Assumption 1. The details of the piecewise smooth loss model are not needed for this probability estimate.
  • Probabilities are written as P⊗{ω:¬ ∀f∈F,… }≤e−tP_\otimes\{\omega : \neg\,\forall f\in\mathcal F, \dots\}\le e^{-t}P⊗​{ω:¬∀f∈F,…}≤e−t, with the quantifier over F\mathcal FF inside the event (an outer measure for uncountable F\mathcal FF).
  • Rademacher complexity. The sign expectation is an average over {±1}n\{\pm1\}^n{±1}n. Suprema are real suprema of classes with values in [0,M][0,M][0,M]; an empty class gives 000. E⊗\mathbb E_\otimesE⊗​ is a Bochner integral.
  • Measurability guard (added): the uniform deviation, the empirical Rademacher complexity and the double-sample deviation of the class are measurable. This holds, for instance, for countable F\mathcal FF, and the paper leaves it implicit.
  • Quantifier order. ρˉ\bar\rhoρˉ​ and CCC are chosen before nnn and ttt, which is stronger than the page's order. The radius satisfies ρ≥0\rho\ge0ρ≥0.
  • Not stated. The second display of Theorem 1(III) and the "Moreover" part of Lemma EC.11, which use Dudley's entropy integral: their proof bounds the empirical Rademacher complexity, while Lemma EC.5 needs its expectation.
  • Trivialization ruled out. The Rademacher term is that of the specific class Iρ\mathcal I_\rhoIρ​ built from the sets Df\mathcal D_fDf​. It is not a free constant, and no hypothesis assumes the conclusion of Lemma EC.5.

Contributions welcome: a general McDiarmid inequality for product measures, a symmetrization lemma for measurable classes, and proofs of the milestones in any order.

Selected references

  • R. Gao, X. Chen, A. J. Kleywegt, Wasserstein Distributionally Robust Optimization and Variation Regularization, Operations Research, 2024. arXiv:1712.06050, doi:10.1287/opre.2022.2383
  • S. Shalev-Shwartz, S. Ben-David, Understanding Machine Learning: From Theory to Algorithms, Cambridge University Press, 2014, Theorem 26.5. doi:10.1017/CBO9781107298019
  • C. McDiarmid, On the method of bounded differences, Surveys in Combinatorics, LMS Lecture Note Series 141, 1989. doi:10.1017/CBO9781107359949.008
  • M. J. Wainwright, High-Dimensional Statistics: A Non-Asymptotic Viewpoint, Cambridge University Press, 2019, Ch. 5. doi:10.1017/9781108627771
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