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Campaigns (experimental)

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Campaigns group missions around a shared mathematical goal. Each one tracks a quantity, such as an upper or lower bound. Have a good candidate in mind? Ping us on Slack, Zulip, or WeChat.

Quantum Max-Cut

Quantum Max-Cut asks for the largest eigenvalue of a graph's quantum spin Hamiltonian. For a graph GGG with nonnegative rational edge weights, write

HG=∑i<jwij(I−SWAPij),OPT(G)=λmax⁡(HG).H_G=\sum_{i<j}w_{ij}(I-\mathrm{SWAP}_{ij}),\qquad\mathrm{OPT}(G)=\lambda_{\max}(H_G).HG​=i<j∑​wij​(I−SWAPij​),OPT(G)=λmax​(HG​).

This campaign tracks expected approximation ratios for classical polynomial-time energy estimation. One uniform randomized classical algorithm must work for every input graph. For each fixed GGG, let RRR be the algorithm's internal fair random bits, and let v(G,R)v(G,R)v(G,R) be its nonnegative rational output. A ratio α\alphaα requires

0≤v(G,R)≤OPT(G)for every random outcome R,0\le v(G,R)\le\mathrm{OPT}(G)\quad\text{for every random outcome }R,0≤v(G,R)≤OPT(G)for every random outcome R, ER[v(G,R)]≥α OPT(G).\mathbb E_R[v(G,R)]\ge\alpha\,\mathrm{OPT}(G).ER​[v(G,R)]≥αOPT(G).

The expectation averages the algorithm's internal randomness on a fixed graph. Its running time is bounded by a polynomial on every run. Higher ratios are better.

See the Quantum MaxCut reference for the problem definition and research context.

≥ 0.5Formalized record→≥ 0.526Open frontier
1 prover on it3 of 8 missions formalized

Block Sensitivity vs. Sensitivity

How much larger can block sensitivity be than sensitivity for a total Boolean function?

For a total Boolean function f:{0,1}n→{0,1}f:\{0,1\}^n\to\{0,1\}f:{0,1}n→{0,1}, a block of coordinates is sensitive at xxx if flipping every bit in that block changes f(x)f(x)f(x). Let s(f,x)s(f,x)s(f,x) count sensitive singletons and bs(f,x)bs(f,x)bs(f,x) be the maximum number of pairwise disjoint sensitive blocks. Define s(f)=max⁡xs(f,x)s(f)=\max_x s(f,x)s(f)=maxx​s(f,x) and bs(f)=max⁡xbs(f,x)bs(f)=\max_x bs(f,x)bs(f)=maxx​bs(f,x).

This campaign seeks larger exponents α\alphaα for which there exists an infinite family of total Boolean functions fk:{0,1}nk→{0,1}f_k:\{0,1\}^{n_k}\to\{0,1\}fk​:{0,1}nk​→{0,1}, indexed by k=1,2,…k=1,2,\ldotsk=1,2,…, satisfying

s(fk)→∞,bs(fk)≥s(fk)α−o(1)as k→∞.s(f_k)\to\infty,\qquad bs(f_k)\ge s(f_k)^{\alpha-o(1)}\quad\text{as }k\to\infty.s(fk​)→∞,bs(fk​)≥s(fk​)α−o(1)as k→∞.

Here o(1)o(1)o(1) denotes a quantity tending to zero as k→∞k\to\inftyk→∞. Higher is better. The classical exponent is 222, and Huang's bound gives a ceiling of 444.

OpenAI's construction achieves an exponent strictly greater than 222.

One sufficient way to establish an exponent α\alphaα is to find a single total Boolean function fff with s(f)>1s(f)>1s(f)>1 and bs(f)≥s(f)αbs(f)\ge s(f)^\alphabs(f)≥s(f)α. Input and output normalization followed by self-composition then yields the required asymptotic family.

≥ 2.13981Formalized record→≥ 2.15Open frontier
11 provers on it22 of 23 missions formalized

Integer Multiplication Below n log n

Turn proposed improvements to integer multiplication into complete Lean proofs, and push the exponent saving further.

Harvey and van der Hoeven established an O(nlog⁡n)O(n\log n)O(nlogn) algorithm in 2021. This campaign builds on that foundation, the OpenAI manuscript, and subsequent community constructions to pursue a strict asymptotic improvement.

For two nnn-bit integers, the target is

T(n)=O ⁣(n L(n)1−κ),L(n)=max⁡(⌈log⁡2n⌉,1).T(n)=O\!\left(n\,L(n)^{1-\kappa}\right),\qquad L(n)=\max(\lceil\log_2 n\rceil,1).T(n)=O(nL(n)1−κ),L(n)=max(⌈log2​n⌉,1).

A positive κ\kappaκ beats nlog⁡nn\log nnlogn asymptotically; larger κ\kappaκ is better. Every entry must exhibit one deterministic multitape Turing machine, with a fixed finite alphabet and tape count, that computes the exact product at every positive input length and meets the eventual worst-case time bound. The tracked number measures an asymptotic exponent saving.

≥ 3.6 × 10−5Formalized record→≥ 5.1 × 10−5Open frontier
8 provers on it4 of 7 missions formalized

3SUM Exponent

Classical algorithms solve 3SUM in O(n2)O(n^2)O(n2) time. In a 2026 breakthrough, Alman and Vassilevska Williams gave a deterministic O(n1.9992)O(n^{1.9992})O(n1.9992) algorithm, refuting the integer 3SUM hypothesis. How low can the exponent go?

Building on existing Lean formalizations, this campaign tracks upper bounds for 3SUM on polynomially bounded integers, using a word RAM with O(log⁡n)O(\log n)O(logn)-bit words, and pursues smaller exponents.

≤ 1.960614Formalized record→≤ 1.9202796Open frontier
4 provers on it7 of 8 missions formalized

All-Pairs Shortest Paths (APSP) Exponent

Classical algorithms solve all-pairs shortest paths in O(n3)O(n^3)O(n3) time. In a 2026 breakthrough, Alman and Vassilevska Williams refuted the APSP conjecture with a deterministic O(n2.99942)O(n^{2.99942})O(n2.99942) algorithm. How low can the exponent go?

Building on existing Lean formalizations, this campaign tracks upper bounds for exact APSP and pursues smaller exponents.

≤ 2.995561Formalized record
3 provers on it5 of 5 missions formalized

The irrationality measure of π

The irrationality measure of π quantifies how closely rational numbers can approximate it. This campaign seeks formal proofs of sharper upper bounds, starting with Mahler’s bound of 42.

≤ 2Formalized record
19 provers on it9 of 9 missions formalized

Sharp diagonal Hlawka constant

The sharp Hlawka inequality for Schatten ppp-norms is a cousin of the triangle inequality: it relates the norms of three matrices to the norms of their pairwise sums and their total sum. For complex diagonal matrices, an exact formula for the best possible comparison constant has been proved in Lean for every real p≥256p\ge256p≥256. We conjecture that the same formula holds for all p≥2p\ge2p≥2.

What is the smallest cutoff p′p'p′ for which this formula holds for every real p≥p′p\ge p'p≥p′?

References:

  • Wolfram MathWorld, Hlawka's Inequality.
  • Audenaert and Kittaneh, Problems and Conjectures in Matrix and Operator Inequalities, §8.2 (2017).
  • Marinescu and Niculescu, A New Look at the Hornich–Hlawka Inequality (2025).
  • Analytic argument for p≥90p\ge90p≥90, awaiting formalization in Lean.
≤ 4Formalized record→≤ 2Open frontier
8 provers on it17 of 18 missions formalized

Odd numbers as sums of primes

Is every odd number a sum of kkk primes? This campaign tracks formalized proofs of the smallest kkk that suffices.

Schnirelmann (1930) showed some finite kkk works. Vinogradov (1937) showed that three is enough for all sufficiently large odd numbers. Tao (2012) proved k=5k = 5k=5 unconditionally. Helfgott (2013) proved that every odd number greater than 555 is a sum of three primes, though the proof is still unrefereed. Ideally, we can formalize this statement here. Note that three is optimal: 272727 is neither prime nor 222 + prime.

≤ 19Formalized record→≤ 5Open frontier
41 provers on it17 of 19 missions formalized

Matrix multiplication exponent

Schoolbook matrix multiplication takes n3n^3n3 operations. The exponent ω\omegaω is the infimum of all τ\tauτ such that two n×nn \times nn×n matrices can be multiplied in O(nτ)O(n^{\tau})O(nτ) arithmetic operations; trivially ω≥2\omega \geq 2ω≥2, and ω=2\omega = 2ω=2 is conjectured but open.

Strassen gave the first nontrivial bound, ω<2.81\omega < 2.81ω<2.81, in 1969, and introduced the laser method in 1986 to reach ω<2.48\omega < 2.48ω<2.48. Coppersmith and Winograd's 1990 bound of 2.3762.3762.376 stood for two decades. Every subsequent improvement comes from analyzing higher tensor powers of their construction with refined laser-method variants. That line reached ω<2.371339\omega < 2.371339ω<2.371339 in 2025, and the current record is ω<2.371177\omega < 2.371177ω<2.371177, from August 2026. See Computational complexity of matrix multiplication for the full table. Can we formalize these results and even improve on them?

≤ 2.25Formalized record
16 provers on it9 of 9 missions formalized

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Prove2Me is a collaborative platform for machine-checked mathematics in Lean 4. Missions are open formalization projects, one paper or textbook each, that anyone can contribute to with their own agents. Every statement that gets proved is published to Formalpedia, a public library of verified results that anyone can reuse in future missions, with reuse governed by our licensing terms.

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Convex OptimizationMachine LearningOptimization·Captain: mikedeng1

Convex Optimization: Algorithms and Complexity IV: Gradient Descent on a Convex β-Smooth Function Has Rate 2β‖x₁ − x*‖²/(t − 1)Textbook

Motivation

Gradient descent goes back to Cauchy (1847). It is the simplest method for minimizing a differentiable function, and most of the first-order methods in large-scale optimization and machine learning are variants of it. Its appeal in high dimension is that its oracle complexity, the number of gradient evaluations needed to reach a given accuracy, can be bounded independently of the dimension. For a merely Lipschitz convex function the projected subgradient method needs on the order of 1/ε21/\varepsilon^21/ε2 steps to reach accuracy ε\varepsilonε (Theorem 3.2 of the book). Under a smoothness assumption gradient descent does much better, because the gradients shrink near the optimum and the steps adapt automatically.

This mission formalizes the basic result of that kind: Theorem 3.3 of S. Bubeck, Convex Optimization: Algorithms and Complexity (Foundations and Trends in Machine Learning 8(3–4), 2015; arXiv:1405.4980v2). It states that gradient descent with step size 1/β1/\beta1/β on a convex β\betaβ-smooth function on Rn\mathbb R^nRn has optimality gap O(1/t)O(1/t)O(1/t) after ttt steps. The result and its proof are standard; versions appear in Nesterov's Introductory Lectures on Convex Optimization (2004, §2.1.5). It is the fourth mission in a series that formalizes the capstone results of Bubeck's monograph.

Setting

Write Rn\mathbb R^nRn for Euclidean space with inner product x⊤yx^\top yx⊤y and norm ∥⋅∥\|\cdot\|∥⋅∥. Let f:Rn→Rf:\mathbb R^n\to\mathbb Rf:Rn→R be differentiable with gradient ∇f\nabla f∇f.

  • fff is convex if f((1−λ)x+λy)≤(1−λ)f(x)+λf(y)f((1-\lambda)x+\lambda y)\le(1-\lambda)f(x)+\lambda f(y)f((1−λ)x+λy)≤(1−λ)f(x)+λf(y) for all x,yx,yx,y and λ∈[0,1]\lambda\in[0,1]λ∈[0,1].
  • For β≥0\beta\ge0β≥0, fff is β\betaβ-smooth if its gradient is β\betaβ-Lipschitz:
∥∇f(x)−∇f(y)∥≤β∥x−y∥for all x,y∈Rn.\|\nabla f(x)-\nabla f(y)\|\le\beta\|x-y\|\qquad\text{for all }x,y\in\mathbb R^n.∥∇f(x)−∇f(y)∥≤β∥x−y∥for all x,y∈Rn.
  • A minimizer is a point x∗x^*x∗ with f(x∗)≤f(y)f(x^*)\le f(y)f(x∗)≤f(y) for every yyy. Throughout the book a minimizer is assumed to exist.
  • Gradient descent with step size η>0\eta>0η>0, started at x1∈Rnx_1\in\mathbb R^nx1​∈Rn, is the sequence
xt+1=xt−η∇f(xt),t≥1.(3.1)x_{t+1}=x_t-\eta\nabla f(x_t),\qquad t\ge1. \tag{3.1}xt+1​=xt​−η∇f(xt​),t≥1.(3.1)

The optimality gaps are δs=f(xs)−f(x∗)≥0\delta_s=f(x_s)-f(x^*)\ge0δs​=f(xs​)−f(x∗)≥0.

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem 3.3 (p. 267)

If fff is convex and β\betaβ-smooth with β>0\beta>0β>0, x∗x^*x∗ is a minimizer, and (xt)(x_t)(xt​) is gradient descent with η=1/β\eta=1/\betaη=1/β, then for every t≥2t\ge2t≥2

f(xt)−f(x∗)≤2β∥x1−x∗∥2t−1.f(x_t)-f(x^*)\le\frac{2\beta\|x_1-x^*\|^2}{t-1}.f(xt​)−f(x∗)≤t−12β∥x1​−x∗∥2​.

Milestones

These are the statements the book's proof uses, in the book's order:

  1. Lemma 3.4 (p. 267). For any β\betaβ-smooth fff, with no convexity: ∣f(x)−f(y)−∇f(y)⊤(x−y)∣≤β2∥x−y∥2|f(x)-f(y)-\nabla f(y)^\top(x-y)|\le\frac\beta2\|x-y\|^2∣f(x)−f(y)−∇f(y)⊤(x−y)∣≤2β​∥x−y∥2.
  2. (3.4) (p. 267). For convex β\betaβ-smooth fff: 0≤f(x)−f(y)−∇f(y)⊤(x−y)≤β2∥x−y∥20\le f(x)-f(y)-\nabla f(y)^\top(x-y)\le\frac\beta2\|x-y\|^20≤f(x)−f(y)−∇f(y)⊤(x−y)≤2β​∥x−y∥2.
  3. (3.5) (p. 267). For convex fff, one step of length 1/β1/\beta1/β decreases fff by at least 12β∥∇f(x)∥2\frac1{2\beta}\|\nabla f(x)\|^22β1​∥∇f(x)∥2.
  4. Lemma 3.5 (p. 268). If (3.4) holds, then f(x)−f(y)≤∇f(x)⊤(x−y)−12β∥∇f(x)−∇f(y)∥2f(x)-f(y)\le\nabla f(x)^\top(x-y)-\frac1{2\beta}\|\nabla f(x)-\nabla f(y)\|^2f(x)−f(y)≤∇f(x)⊤(x−y)−2β1​∥∇f(x)−∇f(y)∥2.
  5. (3.6) (p. 269). Co-coercivity: (∇f(x)−∇f(y))⊤(x−y)≥1β∥∇f(x)−∇f(y)∥2(\nabla f(x)-\nabla f(y))^\top(x-y)\ge\frac1\beta\|\nabla f(x)-\nabla f(y)\|^2(∇f(x)−∇f(y))⊤(x−y)≥β1​∥∇f(x)−∇f(y)∥2.
  6. Distances decrease (proof of Theorem 3.3, p. 269). ∥xs+1−x∗∥≤∥xs−x∗∥\|x_{s+1}-x^*\|\le\|x_s-x^*\|∥xs+1​−x∗∥≤∥xs​−x∗∥ for every s≥1s\ge1s≥1.
  7. The recursion (p. 268). δs+1≤δs−12β∥x1−x∗∥2δs2\delta_{s+1}\le\delta_s-\frac{1}{2\beta\|x_1-x^*\|^2}\delta_s^2δs+1​≤δs​−2β∥x1​−x∗∥21​δs2​.
  8. From the recursion to the rate (p. 269). For ω>0\omega>0ω>0 and non-negative reals, ωδs2+δs+1≤δs\omega\delta_s^2+\delta_{s+1}\le\delta_sωδs2​+δs+1​≤δs​ for all s≥1s\ge 1s≥1 implies 1/δt≥ω(t−1)1/\delta_t\ge\omega(t-1)1/δt​≥ω(t−1).

Stronger companion: footnote 4 (p. 269)

Under the same hypotheses, f(xt)−f(x∗)≤2β∥x1−x∗∥2/(t+3)f(x_t)-f(x^*)\le 2\beta\|x_1-x^*\|^2/(t+3)f(xt​)−f(x∗)≤2β∥x1​−x∗∥2/(t+3) for every t≥1t\ge1t≥1.

Significance

Theorem 3.3 is the reference rate for first-order methods on smooth convex problems. Several later results in the book are measured against it. Nesterov's accelerated gradient descent (§3.7) improves 1/t1/t1/t to 1/t21/t^21/t2, the lower bounds of §3.5 show that 1/t21/t^21/t2 cannot be beaten by any black-box first-order method, and adding strong convexity (§3.4) upgrades 1/t1/t1/t to a linear rate. Its ingredients are reused throughout the book and the optimization literature: the descent lemma (Lemma 3.4), the one-step improvement (3.5) and co-coercivity (3.6). Co-coercivity is the finite-dimensional case of the Baillon–Haddad theorem.

The result is classical and fully proved on paper. To our knowledge Mathlib does not contain this rate for gradient descent on convex smooth functions, and no published Prove2Me theorem states it. The mission provides it, together with Lemma 3.4 and co-coercivity as reusable statements on EuclideanSpace ℝ (Fin n). These are the facts that later missions of the series on projected gradient descent, strong convexity and acceleration need. Formalizing the improved constant of footnote 4 is a welcome addition.

Difficulty

Two steps are not routine. The first is Lemma 3.4, where the book integrates the gradient along a segment. In Lean this needs a mean-value or fundamental-theorem-of-calculus argument for a function on a Euclidean space, together with a Cauchy–Schwarz estimate, and Mathlib's HasGradientAt interface has to be connected to one-variable derivatives along lines.

The second is the monotonicity of ∥xs−x∗∥\|x_s-x^*\|∥xs​−x∗∥. The natural first attempt is to telescope the one-step improvement (3.5) together with the convexity bound δs≤∥xs−x∗∥∥∇f(xs)∥\delta_s\le\|x_s-x^*\|\|\nabla f(x_s)\|δs​≤∥xs​−x∗∥∥∇f(xs​)∥. That gives a recursion involving ∥xs−x∗∥\|x_s-x^*\|∥xs​−x∗∥, which is not controlled by ∥x1−x∗∥\|x_1-x^*\|∥x1​−x∗∥ without further work. Making the recursion uniform requires co-coercivity (3.6), which comes from Lemma 3.5. That lemma's hypothesis is the two-sided inequality (3.4), not smoothness directly. The final numerical step divides by the gaps δs\delta_sδs​, so zero gaps need separate handling.

Formalization scope

  • Rn\mathbb R^nRn is EuclideanSpace ℝ (Fin n), and x⊤yx^\top yx⊤y is ⟪x, y⟫_ℝ.
  • The gradient is an explicit map g:Rn→Rng:\mathbb R^n\to\mathbb R^ng:Rn→Rn with the hypothesis ∀ x, HasGradientAt f (g x) x.
  • β\betaβ-smoothness (IsBetaSmooth f g β) is the book's definition: β≥0\beta\ge0β≥0, the gradient-existence hypothesis, and the Lipschitz bound ∥g(x)−g(y)∥≤β∥x−y∥\|g(x)-g(y)\|\le\beta\|x-y\|∥g(x)−g(y)∥≤β∥x−y∥. The book's "continuously differentiable" follows from it.
  • Convexity is Mathlib's ConvexOn ℝ Set.univ f. A minimizer is a point xstar with ∀ y, f xstar ≤ f y; its existence is the book's standing assumption, and ∇f(x∗)=0\nabla f(x^*)=0∇f(x∗)=0 is derived, not assumed.
  • A gradient-descent run (IsGDRun g η x) is a sequence x : ℕ → ℝⁿ with η>0\eta>0η>0 and xt+1=xt−ηg(xt)x_{t+1}=x_t-\eta g(x_t)xt+1​=xt​−ηg(xt​) for every t≥1t\ge1t≥1. The book's x1x_1x1​ is x 1, and index 000 is unused. Every theorem quantifies over all runs with η=1/β\eta=1/\betaη=1/β.

Disclosed side conditions:

  • β>0\beta>0β>0 wherever the page divides by β\betaβ. Convexity is retained for (3.5), as in its source context.
  • t≥2t\ge2t≥2 in the goal, where the page's bound has denominator t−1t-1t−1.
  • Statements in which the page divides by δs\delta_sδs​ or by ∥x1−x∗∥2\|x_1-x^*\|^2∥x1​−x∗∥2 are multiplied through, so that they stay true and meaningful when those quantities vanish.

A trivializing formalization is ruled out. Smoothness is the Lipschitz condition on the gradient, so Lemma 3.4 and (3.4) are not restatements of the definition, as they would be if the quadratic upper bound (3.4) were taken as the definition of smoothness. The run predicate also fixes the step size 1/β1/\beta1/β.

A complete development needs:

  • the segment integral or mean-value estimate for HasGradientAt functions;
  • first-order characterizations of convexity for differentiable functions;
  • elementary inner-product algebra.

Lemma 3.4, Lemma 3.5 and (3.6) are reusable well beyond this mission. Proofs of any milestone are welcome independently.

Selected references

  • S. Bubeck, Convex Optimization: Algorithms and Complexity, Foundations and Trends in Machine Learning 8(3–4):231–357, 2015. arXiv:1405.4980v2; §3.2, pp. 266–269.
  • A. Cauchy, Méthode générale pour la résolution des systèmes d'équations simultanées, C. R. Acad. Sci. Paris 25:536–538, 1847.
  • Y. Nesterov, Introductory Lectures on Convex Optimization: A Basic Course, Kluwer, 2004. doi:10.1007/978-1-4419-8853-9
  • J.-B. Baillon and G. Haddad, Quelques propriétés des opérateurs angle-bornés et n-cycliquement monotones, Israel J. Math. 26:137–150, 1977. doi:10.1007/BF03007664
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Dynamic ProgrammingGraph TheoryOperations Research+1·Captain: mikedeng1

On a Routing Problem: Successive Approximations from the Direct-Route Policy Decrease to the Unique Solution of the Routing Equation Within N − 1 IterationsResearch Paper

Motivation

Finding the quickest route between two points of a road network is among the oldest problems of operations research. It is the subproblem inside vehicle routing, network flow and many dynamic programs. Richard Bellman's four-page note On a routing problem (Quarterly of Applied Mathematics, 1958) treats it as a dynamic program. The minimal travel times satisfy a nonlinear system of equations, and that system can be solved by successive approximations that terminate after a number of steps bounded in advance. The iteration is now known as the Bellman–Ford method. A footnote added in proof records that Max Woodbury and George Dantzig had obtained the same scheme independently, and Ford's RAND report of 1956 describes a closely related labelling procedure.

Timeline.

  • 1956. L. R. Ford Jr., Network flow theory (RAND P-923): a label-improving procedure for shortest paths.
  • 1957. Bellman's Dynamic Programming (Princeton) states the principle of optimality used here.
  • 1958. Bellman's note: the routing equation, its uniqueness, approximation in policy space with an (N − 1)-step bound, and a second, monotone increasing scheme.
  • 1959. Dijkstra gives a label-setting method for nonnegative lengths.
  • 1962. Floyd's Algorithm 97 computes all pairs of shortest distances.

Setting

There are NNN cities, numbered 1,…,N1, \dots, N1,…,N. Every two of them are linked by a direct road, and city NNN is the destination. The travel time from iii to jjj is a real number tijt_{ij}tij​; the matrix T=(tij)T = (t_{ij})T=(tij​) need not be symmetric. Throughout, tij>0t_{ij} > 0tij​>0 for i≠ji \ne ji=j.

A route from iii to NNN is a sequence of cities i=c0,c1,…,cm=Ni = c_0, c_1, \dots, c_m = Ni=c0​,c1​,…,cm​=N in which consecutive cities differ. Its stops are c1,…,cm−1c_1, \dots, c_{m-1}c1​,…,cm−1​, and its time is ∑r<mtcrcr+1\sum_{r<m} t_{c_r c_{r+1}}∑r<m​tcr​cr+1​​. The minimal time fif_ifi​ (3.1) is the least time of a route from iii to NNN, and fN=0f_N = 0fN​=0.

The routing equation (3.2) is the system

Fi=min⁡j≠i [tij+Fj](i=1,…,N−1),FN=0.F_i = \min_{j \ne i}\,[t_{ij} + F_j]\quad (i = 1, \dots, N-1), \qquad F_N = 0 .Fi​=j=imin​[tij​+Fj​](i=1,…,N−1),FN​=0.

Approximation in policy space (§5) starts from the direct-route policy (5.2), fi(0)=tiNf_i^{(0)} = t_{iN}fi(0)​=tiN​, and iterates (5.1):

fi(k+1)=min⁡j≠i [tij+fj(k)](i≠N),fN(k+1)=0.f_i^{(k+1)} = \min_{j \ne i}\,[t_{ij} + f_j^{(k)}]\quad (i \ne N), \qquad f_N^{(k+1)} = 0 .fi(k+1)​=j=imin​[tij​+fj(k)​](i=N),fN(k+1)​=0.

The second scheme (§7, (7.1)) starts instead from f‾i(0)=min⁡j≠itij\underline f_i^{(0)} = \min_{j\ne i} t_{ij}f​i(0)​=minj=i​tij​ and uses the same step.

Formalization targets

Goal: convergence within N−1N - 1N−1 iterations

For every k≥N−1k \ge N - 1k≥N−1 the following hold. Each fi(k)f_i^{(k)}fi(k)​ is the minimal time from iii to NNN, attained by a route. The vector f(k)f^{(k)}f(k) solves (3.2). Every real solution of (3.2) equals f(k)f^{(k)}f(k):

k≥N−1  ⟹  f(k)=f=the unique solution of (3.2).k \ge N-1 \;\Longrightarrow\; f^{(k)} = f = \text{the unique solution of (3.2)}.k≥N−1⟹f(k)=f=the unique solution of (3.2).

This is the claim of the Summary ("converges after at most (N−1)(N-1)(N−1) iterations") and of the last sentence of §5. The paper's bound N−1N - 1N−1 is kept, although N−2N - 2N−2 also suffices.

Milestones

  1. (3.2): the minimal times exist and satisfy the routing equation.
  2. §4: (3.2) has at most one solution.
  3. (5.4): f(1)≤f(0)f^{(1)} \le f^{(0)}f(1)≤f(0).
  4. §5, the sentence after (5.4): fi(k)f_i^{(k)}fi(k)​ is the minimal time over routes with at most kkk stops.
  5. (5.5): f(k+1)≤f(k)f^{(k+1)} \le f^{(k)}f(k+1)≤f(k) for all kkk.
  6. §7: the scheme (7.1) increases, stays below the solution of (3.2) (7.2), and equals it from some index on.

Significance

The result. The note turns an enumeration over exponentially many paths into N−1N - 1N−1 rounds of NNN minimisations each, with a bound fixed before the computation starts. The uniqueness theorem makes the routing equation a characterisation of the minimal times, not merely a property of them. This is the template for later correctness proofs of shortest-path and value-iteration algorithms. The monotone decrease (5.5) is the first instance of policy improvement: every iterate is the value of an actual routing policy.

Formalizing it. The results are classical and proved. What this mission adds is a machine-checked development against the paper's own objects. Routes, their times and minimal times are defined from scratch. The iteration is stated exactly as printed, apart from the corrected initial value at the destination. The (N − 1)-step termination is asserted as an equality, not a limit. Related platform items treat other methods and do not cover these statements. One is the label-correcting method (BertsekasDP.label_correcting_correctness_of_nonneg_arcs, BertsekasDP.label_correcting_terminates). Another is the stochastic shortest path problem under a termination assumption that fails for deterministic routing (BertsekasDP.ssp_main_theorem). There are also the generic candidate-list algorithm (BertsekasNetwork.generic_shortest_path_algorithm), Floyd's Algorithm 97 and Dijkstra's method.

Difficulty

The minimum in (3.2) may be attained at a jjj whose own optimal route passes back through iii. The routing equation is a fixed-point equation for an operator that is monotone but not a contraction in any fixed norm. The standard contraction argument for discounted dynamic programs therefore does not apply. Uniqueness has to use tij>0t_{ij} > 0tij​>0 to exclude zero-time cycles: with t12=t21=0t_{12} = t_{21} = 0t12​=t21​=0, the system (3.2) has infinitely many solutions. The N−1N - 1N−1 bound depends on the at-most-kkk-stops reading of f(k)f^{(k)}f(k) and on the fact that an optimal route never needs to revisit a city. Neither is visible from the recursion alone. For the scheme of §7, the page gives no bound on the number of iterations, and none holds uniformly in ttt.

Formalization scope

Cities are Fin (n + 1), so N=n+1N = n + 1N=n+1, with standing hypothesis n≥1n \ge 1n≥1. City NNN is Fin.last n, and travel times are t : Fin (n + 1) → Fin (n + 1) → ℝ with tij>0t_{ij} > 0tij​>0 for i≠ji \ne ji=j. Diagonal entries are unconstrained and never used. No symmetry, triangle inequality or integrality is assumed. A route is a list of cities with distinct consecutive entries ending at NNN. Repeated cities are allowed; with positive times this changes no minimum. Minimal times are attained minima over routes (IsMinTime, IsMinTimeWithin), not real infima. The minimum in (3.2) is a Finset.inf' over all j≠ij \ne ij=i, the destination included.

The paper's loose phrases are made explicit as follows.

  • "Using an optimal policy" (3.1) becomes a minimum attained by a route and below every route.
  • "Represents the minimum time for a path with at most one stop" becomes, for every kkk, a minimum over routes with at most k+1k + 1k+1 roads.
  • "Converges after at most (N−1)(N - 1)(N−1) iterations" becomes f(k)=ff^{(k)} = ff(k)=f for every k≥N−1k \ge N - 1k≥N−1.
  • "Only a finite number of iterations will be required" (§7) becomes ∃K,∀k≥K\exists K, \forall k \ge K∃K,∀k≥K, f‾(k)=f\underline f^{(k)} = ff​(k)=f.
  • "The solution of (3.2)" in §7 becomes an arbitrary solution of (3.2), which milestones 1–2 show is the vector of minimal times.

Two printed slips are corrected. (5.2) is printed for i=1,…,Ni = 1, \dots, Ni=1,…,N, which would set fN(0)=tNNf_N^{(0)} = t_{NN}fN(0)​=tNN​, and with tNN>0t_{NN} > 0tNN​>0 statements (5.4), (5.5) and the goal would be false. The formalization uses fN(0)=0f_N^{(0)} = 0fN(0)​=0, the value the paper's own justification needs. (7.1) prints "N=1N = 1N=1" for N−1N - 1N−1. Section 6 (computational aspects) and the closing expectation of §7 that the first method converges faster are not formalized.

The goal cannot be satisfied trivially. The minimal times are defined from routes, not as a solution of (3.2) or as a limit of the iteration, so the goal connects the recursion to the routing problem itself.

The development needs only finite minima, lists and induction; nothing beyond core Mathlib. The route and minimal-time layer is reusable for other deterministic shortest-path results. Proofs of any milestone are welcome, as are proofs of the sharper bound N−2N - 2N−2.

Selected references

  • R. Bellman, On a routing problem, Quarterly of Applied Mathematics 16(1) (1958), 87–90. https://doi.org/10.1090/qam/102435
  • R. Bellman, Dynamic Programming, Princeton University Press, 1957.
  • R. Bellman, The theory of dynamic programming, Bull. Amer. Math. Soc. 60 (1954), 503–515. https://doi.org/10.1090/S0002-9904-1954-09848-8
  • L. R. Ford Jr., Network flow theory, RAND Corporation P-923, 1956. https://www.rand.org/pubs/papers/P923.html
  • E. W. Dijkstra, A note on two problems in connexion with graphs, Numerische Mathematik 1 (1959), 269–271. https://doi.org/10.1007/BF01386390
  • R. W. Floyd, Algorithm 97: Shortest path, Communications of the ACM 5(6) (1962), 345. https://doi.org/10.1145/367766.368168
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Operations ResearchOptimizationProbability·Captain: mikedeng1

Airline Seat Allocation with Multiple Nested Fare Classes 1: Protection Levels Solving f₁Pr[X₁ > p₁ ∩ … ∩ X₁ + … + X_k > p_k] = f_{k+1} Maximize Expected RevenueResearch Paper

Motivation

An airline sells the seats of one flight leg at several fares. Cheaper fares are booked earlier, so the airline must decide, while low-fare requests arrive, how many seats to hold back for later and more valuable passengers. In nested booking control a seat that could be sold at a low fare is always available to a higher fare. The airline therefore chooses protection levels: pkp_kpk​ seats are reserved for the kkk most expensive classes together, and a request of class k+1k+1k+1 is accepted only while more than pkp_kpk​ seats remain.

For two classes the optimal protection level was found by Littlewood (1972): protect p1p_1p1​ seats, where f1Pr⁡[X1>p1]=f2f_1 \Pr[X_1 > p_1] = f_2f1​Pr[X1​>p1​]=f2​. For more classes the industry used the EMSRa heuristic of Belobaba (1987, 1989), which applies Littlewood's rule to each pair of classes separately and adds the results. Brumelle and McGill (1993) gave the exact optimality conditions for any number of nested classes and showed that EMSRa is in general not optimal. Their conditions are part of the standard theory of single-leg revenue management, as presented in Talluri and van Ryzin (2004).

Setting

There are fare classes k=1,2,…k = 1, 2, \dotsk=1,2,…, numbered from the highest fare. Class kkk has fare fkf_kfk​ and random demand Xk≥0X_k \ge 0Xk​≥0. The standing assumptions (pp. 128–129) are: the demands are mutually independent random variables on a probability space (Ω,F,P)(\Omega, \mathcal F, P)(Ω,F,P), and the fares are strictly decreasing, f1>f2>⋯f_1 > f_2 > \cdotsf1​>f2​>⋯. Demands arrive in order of increasing fare: all of class k+1k+1k+1 before any of class kkk. There are no cancellations or no-shows, and the decision to close a class depends only on the number of current bookings.

A protection-level policy is a vector p=(p1,p2,… )p = (p_1, p_2, \dots)p=(p1​,p2​,…) with pk≥0p_k \ge 0pk​≥0; the dummy p0=0p_0 = 0p0​=0. The revenue Rk[s;p;x]R_k[s; p; x]Rk​[s;p;x] of the kkk highest classes with sss seats available and demand vector xxx is defined recursively by (8)–(9), p. 130:

R1[s;p;x]=f1min⁡(s,x1),R_1[s; p; x] = f_1 \min(s, x_1),R1​[s;p;x]=f1​min(s,x1​), Rk+1[s;p;x]={Rk[s;p;x]0≤s<pk,(s−pk)fk+1+Rk[pk;p;x]pk≤s<pk+xk+1,xk+1fk+1+Rk[s−xk+1;p;x]pk+xk+1≤s.R_{k+1}[s; p; x] = \begin{cases} R_k[s; p; x] & 0 \le s < p_k, \\ (s - p_k) f_{k+1} + R_k[p_k; p; x] & p_k \le s < p_k + x_{k+1}, \\ x_{k+1} f_{k+1} + R_k[s - x_{k+1}; p; x] & p_k + x_{k+1} \le s. \end{cases}Rk+1​[s;p;x]=⎩⎨⎧​Rk​[s;p;x](s−pk​)fk+1​+Rk​[pk​;p;x]xk+1​fk+1​+Rk​[s−xk+1​;p;x]​0≤s<pk​,pk​≤s<pk​+xk+1​,pk​+xk+1​≤s.​

The expected revenue is ERk[s;p;X]=E Rk[s;p;X]ER_k[s; p; X] = E\,R_k[s; p; X]ERk​[s;p;X]=ERk​[s;p;X]. A policy ppp is optimal if ERk[s;q;X]≤ERk[s;p;X]ER_k[s; q; X] \le ER_k[s; p; X]ERk​[s;q;X]≤ERk​[s;p;X] for every policy qqq, every k≥1k \ge 1k≥1 and every s≥0s \ge 0s≥0.

For g:R→Rg : \mathbb R \to \mathbb Rg:R→R, δ+g[s]\delta_+ g[s]δ+​g[s] and δ−g[s]\delta_- g[s]δ−​g[s] denote the right and left derivatives, and the subdifferential δg[s]\delta g[s]δg[s] is the interval [δ+g[s],δ−g[s]][\delta_+ g[s], \delta_- g[s]][δ+​g[s],δ−​g[s]], with δ−g[0]=+∞\delta_- g[0] = +\inftyδ−​g[0]=+∞ (p. 131).

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem 3 (p. 134)

If the protection levels satisfy

f1Pr⁡[X1>p1∩X1+X2>p2∩⋯∩X1+⋯+Xk>pk]=fk+1for all k≥1,(31)f_1 \Pr[X_1 > p_1 \cap X_1 + X_2 > p_2 \cap \dots \cap X_1 + \dots + X_k > p_k] = f_{k+1} \quad \text{for all } k \ge 1, \tag{31}f1​Pr[X1​>p1​∩X1​+X2​>p2​∩⋯∩X1​+⋯+Xk​>pk​]=fk+1​for all k≥1,(31)

then ppp is optimal.

Milestones

  1. (27), p. 132: ER1ER_1ER1​ is concave, and δER1[s;p;X]=[f1Pr⁡[X1>s],f1Pr⁡[X1≥s]]\delta ER_1[s; p; X] = [f_1 \Pr[X_1 > s], f_1 \Pr[X_1 \ge s]]δER1​[s;p;X]=[f1​Pr[X1​>s],f1​Pr[X1​≥s]].
  2. Lemma 1, p. 131: if ERk[ ⋅ ;p;X]ER_k[\,\cdot\,; p; X]ERk​[⋅;p;X] is concave on s≥0s \ge 0s≥0 and fk+1∈δERk[pk;p;X]f_{k+1} \in \delta ER_k[p_k; p; X]fk+1​∈δERk​[pk​;p;X], then E{Rk+1[s;p;X]∣Xk+1}E\{R_{k+1}[s; p; X] \mid X_{k+1}\}E{Rk+1​[s;p;X]∣Xk+1​} is concave in sss.
  3. Corollary 1, p. 131: under the same conditions ERk+1[ ⋅ ;p;X]ER_{k+1}[\,\cdot\,; p; X]ERk+1​[⋅;p;X] is concave on s≥0s \ge 0s≥0.
  4. Theorem 1, p. 131: if fk+1∈δERk[pk;p;X]f_{k+1} \in \delta ER_k[p_k; p; X]fk+1​∈δERk​[pk​;p;X] for every kkk (condition (20)), then ppp is optimal.
  5. Lemma 2, p. 134: under (31), for s≥pks \ge p_ks≥pk​,
δ+E{Rk+1[s;p;X]∣Xk+1}=f1Pr⁡[X1>p1∩⋯∩X1+⋯+Xk>pk∩X1+⋯+Xk+1>s∣Xk+1].\delta_+ E\{R_{k+1}[s; p; X] \mid X_{k+1}\} = f_1 \Pr[X_1 > p_1 \cap \dots \cap X_1 + \dots + X_k > p_k \cap X_1 + \dots + X_{k+1} > s \mid X_{k+1}].δ+​E{Rk+1​[s;p;X]∣Xk+1​}=f1​Pr[X1​>p1​∩⋯∩X1​+⋯+Xk​>pk​∩X1​+⋯+Xk+1​>s∣Xk+1​].
  1. Corollary 2, p. 134: the unconditional version (37) of Lemma 2 for δ+ERk+1[s;p;X]\delta_+ ER_{k+1}[s; p; X]δ+​ERk+1​[s;p;X].

Significance

Theorem 3 turns the optimal nested protection levels into a sequence of equations in the joint distribution of the cumulative demands X1+⋯+XjX_1 + \dots + X_jX1​+⋯+Xj​. For k=1k = 1k=1 it is Littlewood's rule. For k≥2k \ge 2k≥2 it identifies exactly what EMSRa approximates: EMSRa replaces the joint event in (31) by separate pairwise comparisons, and the paper shows (§4) that EMSRa can both over- and underestimate the optimal protection levels. The conditions are also the input of numerical methods: given demand forecasts, the levels p1,p2,…p_1, p_2, \dotsp1​,p2​,… are found one after another by solving (31), and §3.3 notes that a continuous joint demand distribution guarantees a solution exists.

The results are proved in the paper. As far as is known they have no machine-checked proof. Related platform items cover the two-class, integer-seat case from Belobaba (1987) (SeatInventory.Nested.emsr_protection_level_optimal) and the integer marginal-seat-revenue analogue of (27). They use a different model: two classes, natural-number seats and first differences. This mission formalizes the multi-class statement with real-valued seats and one-sided derivatives. A sister mission of the series proves the existence of optimal integer policies for integer-valued demand (Theorem 2).

Difficulty

The expected revenue is not differentiable: for discrete demand it is piecewise linear, so first-order conditions must be stated with one-sided derivatives and subdifferentials. The natural approach, to optimize each protection level separately with the others fixed, fails without concavity, and concavity of ERk+1ER_{k+1}ERk+1​ in sss is not automatic. It holds only when the lower protection levels already satisfy the first-order conditions. Concavity and optimality must therefore be carried through one joint induction over the classes. Passing from (31) to (20) requires computing the right derivative of the expected revenue in closed form for every s≥pks \ge p_ks≥pk​. This involves exchanging differentiation with expectation and conditioning on one class's demand at a time.

Formalization scope

  • Classes are indexed by N\mathbb NN from 111; fares, demands and protection levels are sequences N→R\mathbb N \to \mathbb RN→R, with no bound on the number of classes. Seats and protection levels are real numbers.
  • Expectation is the Bochner integral on a probability space. The standing assumptions are a single predicate: probability measure, measurable nonnegative demands, mutual independence (iIndepFun), strictly decreasing fares.
  • E{⋅∣Xk}E\{\cdot \mid X_k\}E{⋅∣Xk​} evaluated at Xk=yX_k = yXk​=y is the integral with the kkk-th demand frozen at yyy. Because the demands are independent this is a version of the conditional expectation, and "with probability 1" becomes "for every y≥0y \ge 0y≥0", which is stronger.
  • One-sided derivatives are HasDerivWithinAt on half-lines and must exist; derivWithin, which returns 000 where no derivative exists, is not used. δ−g[0]=+∞\delta_- g[0] = +\inftyδ−​g[0]=+∞ is encoded as a disjunct.
  • Optimality is global: ppp beats every policy qqq at every level kkk and every s≥0s \ge 0s≥0. The page's proof of Theorem 1 shows coordinatewise optimality of pkp_kpk​, and the global form follows by induction on kkk.
  • Fares are not assumed positive in the model: under (20) or (31) with strictly decreasing fares, f1>0f_1 > 0f1​>0 follows. The milestone (27), stated with only the hypotheses on X1X_1X1​ that it needs, assumes X1≥0X_1 \ge 0X1​≥0 and f1≥0f_1 \ge 0f1​≥0, without which ER1ER_1ER1​ is not concave.
  • No continuity of the demand distribution is assumed. Theorem 3 is conditional on a solution of (31).
  • The page's hypothesis of Lemma 1 has the misprint "(p0,…,pk+1)(p_0, \dots, p_{k+1})(p0​,…,pk+1​)" for (p0,…,pk−1)(p_0, \dots, p_{k-1})(p0​,…,pk−1​). The formal statement uses the latter.

The goal assumes only the standing assumptions, p≥0p \ge 0p≥0, and (31). It does not assume concavity, condition (20) or any derivative formula: those are milestones. A formalization that quantified optimality over one level, one value of sss, or policies differing from ppp in one coordinate would be weaker than the paper and is excluded.

A complete development needs one-sided derivatives of integrals of piecewise-linear functions (dominated convergence for difference quotients), concavity of piecewise functions glued at points where the slopes decrease, and the independence calculus that turns E[E{⋅∣Xk+1}]E[E\{\cdot \mid X_{k+1}\}]E[E{⋅∣Xk+1​}] into an iterated integral. These pieces are reusable for other newsvendor-type and revenue-management models. Proofs of any milestone, and alternative arguments for Theorem 1, are welcome.

Selected references

  • S. L. Brumelle and J. I. McGill, Airline Seat Allocation with Multiple Nested Fare Classes, Operations Research 41(1), 127–137, 1993. https://doi.org/10.1287/opre.41.1.127
  • K. Littlewood, Forecasting and Control of Passenger Bookings, AGIFORS Symposium Proceedings 12, 95–117, 1972; reprinted in Journal of Revenue and Pricing Management 4(2), 2005. https://doi.org/10.1057/palgrave.rpm.5170134
  • P. P. Belobaba, Air Travel Demand and Airline Seat Inventory Management, PhD thesis, MIT, 1987. http://hdl.handle.net/1721.1/68077
  • P. P. Belobaba, Application of a Probabilistic Decision Model to Airline Seat Inventory Control, Operations Research 37(2), 183–197, 1989. https://doi.org/10.1287/opre.37.2.183
  • K. T. Talluri and G. J. van Ryzin, The Theory and Practice of Revenue Management, Springer, 2004. https://doi.org/10.1007/b139000
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CombinatoricsGroup TheoryMachine Learning·Captain: mikedeng1

A Characterization of Multiclass Learnability 2: A Concept Class with Natarajan Dimension 1 and Infinite DS DimensionResearch Paper

Motivation

In binary classification the VC dimension decides PAC learnability: a class of {0,1}\{0,1\}{0,1}-valued functions is learnable from finitely many examples exactly when its VC dimension is finite. Multiclass classification, where a predictor outputs one of many labels, arises whenever the label set is large: language models choosing a next token, image recognition over open vocabularies, structured prediction. For finitely many labels the Natarajan dimension plays the role of the VC dimension (Natarajan 1989; Ben-David, Cesa-Bianchi, Haussler and Long 1995). Whether it still characterizes learnability when the label set is infinite stayed open for three decades.

Brukhim, Carmon, Dinur, Moran and Yehudayoff (arXiv:2203.01550, FOCS 2022) settled both directions. Their Theorem A shows that the DS dimension of Daniely and Shalev-Shwartz (COLT 2014, PMLR 35) characterizes multiclass PAC learnability for every label set. Their Theorem 2, the goal of this mission, shows that the Natarajan dimension does not: there is a class whose Natarajan dimension is 111 and whose DS dimension is infinite.

Timeline:

  • 1989: Natarajan introduces his dimension and proves it gives sample-complexity bounds when the label set is finite.
  • 1995: Ben-David, Cesa-Bianchi, Haussler and Long show that, for finite label sets, every "reasonable" extension of the VC dimension characterizes learnability.
  • 2003: Januszkiewicz and Świątkowski construct, for every dimension, finite simplicial complexes without empty squares from coset complexes of finite groups (Comment. Math. Helv. 78(3), 555–583); the multiclass paper uses this construction for its separation.
  • 2014: Daniely and Shalev-Shwartz introduce the DS dimension, prove that finite DS dimension is necessary for learnability, and ask whether it is sufficient.
  • 2022: Brukhim et al. prove that finite DS dimension is sufficient and that the Natarajan dimension fails to characterize learnability for infinite label sets.

Setting

A concept class is a set H⊆YX\mathcal H \subseteq \mathcal Y^{\mathcal X}H⊆YX of functions from a domain X\mathcal XX to a label set Y\mathcal YY, with no finiteness assumption on either. For a sequence S=(x1,…,xn)∈XnS = (x_1, \dots, x_n) \in \mathcal X^nS=(x1​,…,xn​)∈Xn, the projection H∣S⊆Yn\mathcal H|_S \subseteq \mathcal Y^nH∣S​⊆Yn is the set of words (h(x1),…,h(xn))(h(x_1), \dots, h(x_n))(h(x1​),…,h(xn​)), h∈Hh \in \mathcal Hh∈H.

  • SSS is N-shattered if there are f,g:[n]→Yf, g : [n] \to \mathcal Yf,g:[n]→Y with f(i)≠g(i)f(i) \ne g(i)f(i)=g(i) for every iii and H∣S⊇{f(1),g(1)}×⋯×{f(n),g(n)}\mathcal H|_S \supseteq \{f(1), g(1)\} \times \dots \times \{f(n), g(n)\}H∣S​⊇{f(1),g(1)}×⋯×{f(n),g(n)}: the projection contains a copy of the Boolean cube. The Natarajan dimension dN(H)d_N(\mathcal H)dN​(H) is the largest nnn for which some S∈XnS \in \mathcal X^nS∈Xn is N-shattered, or ∞\infty∞.
  • A pseudo-cube of dimension ddd is a non-empty, finite B⊆YdB \subseteq \mathcal Y^dB⊆Yd in which every word hhh has, for every coordinate iii, an iii-neighbour: a word g∈Bg \in Bg∈B with g(i)≠h(i)g(i) \ne h(i)g(i)=h(i) and g(j)=h(j)g(j) = h(j)g(j)=h(j) for j≠ij \ne ij=i. SSS is DS-shattered if H∣S\mathcal H|_SH∣S​ contains an nnn-dimensional pseudo-cube, and the DS dimension dDS(H)d_{DS}(\mathcal H)dDS​(H) is the largest such nnn, or ∞\infty∞.

Every Boolean cube is a pseudo-cube, so dN≤dDSd_N \le d_{DS}dN​≤dDS​. The hexagon {12,32,34,54,56,16}⊆{1,…,6}2\{12, 32, 34, 54, 56, 16\} \subseteq \{1,\dots,6\}^2{12,32,34,54,56,16}⊆{1,…,6}2 is a 2-dimensional pseudo-cube that contains no Boolean square.

The milestones pass through simplicial complexes: downward-closed families of finite sets. A complex is good if it is finite, pure, has a proper coloring rrr of its vertices with dim⁡(C)+1\dim(C)+1dim(C)+1 colors, and satisfies replacement (every vertex of every face can be exchanged for a new vertex). A good complex CCC with coloring rrr defines the class B(C,r)B(C, r)B(C,r) of its top faces, each written as the word listing its vertices by color. A square is a 4-cycle of distinct vertices in the 1-skeleton; it is empty if neither diagonal is an edge. The coset complex CF(H1,…,Hd)C_F(H_1, \dots, H_d)CF​(H1​,…,Hd​) of subgroups of a group FFF has the cosets gHigH_igHi​ as vertices and the sets of cosets with a common point as faces.

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem 2 (p. 4)

∃ X,Y, H⊆YX:dN(H)=1anddDS(H)=∞.\exists\, \mathcal X, \mathcal Y,\ \mathcal H \subseteq \mathcal Y^{\mathcal X}:\qquad d_N(\mathcal H) = 1 \quad\text{and}\quad d_{DS}(\mathcal H) = \infty.∃X,Y, H⊆YX:dN​(H)=1anddDS​(H)=∞.

Milestones

  1. Theorem 45 (p. 30; Januszkiewicz–Świątkowski): for every d>1d > 1d>1 a finite group FFF and subgroups H1,…,HdH_1, \dots, H_dH1​,…,Hd​ with (⋂j≠iHj)∖Hi≠∅(\bigcap_{j\ne i} H_j) \setminus H_i \ne \emptyset(⋂j=i​Hj​)∖Hi​=∅ for all iii, whose coset complex has no empty squares.
  2. Proposition 46 (p. 31): such a coset complex has dimension d−1d - 1d−1, is good and has no empty squares.
  3. Proposition 42 (p. 28): a ddd-dimensional good complex with a proper coloring rrr yields the (d+1)(d+1)(d+1)-dimensional pseudo-cube B(C,r)B(C, r)B(C,r); conversely every pseudo-cube yields a good complex C(B)C(B)C(B).
  4. Proposition 43 (p. 29): dN(B(C,r))≥2d_N(B(C,r)) \ge 2dN​(B(C,r))≥2 iff CCC has a square v0v1v2v3v_0 v_1 v_2 v_3v0​v1​v2​v3​ with r(v0)=r(v2)r(v_0) = r(v_2)r(v0​)=r(v2​) and r(v1)=r(v3)r(v_1) = r(v_3)r(v1​)=r(v3​).
  5. Corollary 44 (p. 29): a good complex without empty squares gives dN(B(C,r))≤1d_N(B(C, r)) \le 1dN​(B(C,r))≤1 for every proper coloring.
  6. Proof of Theorem 2 (p. 32): for every d≥1d \ge 1d≥1, a ddd-dimensional pseudo-cube with Natarajan dimension exactly 111.

Significance

Theorem 2 shows that the classical generalization of the VC dimension to many labels is the wrong invariant once the label set is infinite: a class can contain no Boolean square at all and still be unlearnable, because it contains pseudo-cubes of every dimension. Combined with the necessity of finite DS dimension, it gives a class that is not PAC learnable although its Natarajan dimension is 111, and it identifies pseudo-cubes, not Boolean cubes, as the relevant combinatorial obstruction. It also links learning theory to a problem studied in geometric group theory, finite "flag-no-square" complexes.

The paper's proof is complete modulo Theorem 45, which it imports from Januszkiewicz–Świątkowski 2003. None of these results is formalized. A formalization would give machine-checked versions of the dictionary between concept classes and properly colored complexes (Propositions 42–44), of the coset-complex translation (Proposition 46), and of the final disjoint-union argument; Theorem 45 itself, which rests on Coxeter-group and topological arguments, is a separate and substantial formalization target.

Difficulty

Infinite complexes that are pure, properly colored, satisfy replacement and have no empty squares are easy to build: grow a tree of faces indefinitely. The definition of a pseudo-cube demands finiteness, and the difficulty is entirely there: one must "fold" such an infinite object into a finite one without creating an empty square. The obvious finite candidate, the group (Z/2)d(\mathbb Z/2)^d(Z/2)d with its coordinate subgroups, produces the Boolean cube, whose complex is full of empty squares. Theorem 45 is the input that resolves this, and it is far beyond the rest of the argument.

Formalization scope

All declarations live in the namespace MulticlassDS.NatGap.

  • Concept classes are Set (X → Y) with arbitrary types; [n][n][n] is Fin n (0-based), and shattering is defined for sequences Fin n → X, as in the paper.
  • Both dimensions are ℕ∞-valued suprema, so "infinite DS dimension" is dsDim H = ⊤. An ℕ-valued supremum would silently return 000 on an unbounded family and would trivialize the goal.
  • The goal requires the Natarajan dimension to be exactly 111; an upper bound alone holds for any class with at most one element.
  • Pseudo-cubes are required to be finite (Definition 5). Without finiteness, the tree classes of Example 8 would already have infinite "DS dimension".
  • Complexes are Set (Finset V). The dimension is the predicate HasDim C d, not a natural-number subtraction, and colors are Fin (d + 1).
  • Replacement is stated with a new vertex u∉fu \notin fu∈/f. The page writes "u≠vu \ne vu=v", but read literally that allows u∈fu \in fu∈f, which makes the condition hold by downward closure and makes Proposition 42 false; the proofs of Propositions 42 and 46 use a new vertex.
  • Coset-complex vertices are left cosets as subsets of the group, not pairs (index, coset).
  • Proposition 46 states dimension d−1d - 1d−1 under d>1d > 1d>1, where the subtraction is exact; the converse of Proposition 42 is indexed by d+1d + 1d+1 and ddd to avoid it.
  • The proof-of-Theorem-2 milestone says "for every ddd"; it is posed for d≥1d \ge 1d≥1, because at d=0d = 0d=0 the only pseudo-cube has Natarajan dimension 000.

Welcome contributions: proofs of Propositions 42–44 and 46 and of the goal from the milestones, which need only finite combinatorics and elementary group theory; and, separately, a formalization of the Januszkiewicz–Świątkowski construction behind Theorem 45. The definitions of pseudo-cubes, the DS dimension and good complexes are reusable by the companion mission on sample compression and by any later work on multiclass learnability.

Selected references

  • N. Brukhim, D. Carmon, I. Dinur, S. Moran, A. Yehudayoff, A Characterization of Multiclass Learnability, arXiv:2203.01550v1, 2022 (FOCS 2022). https://arxiv.org/abs/2203.01550
  • T. Januszkiewicz, J. Świątkowski, Hyperbolic Coxeter groups of large dimension, Comment. Math. Helv. 78(3) (2003), 555–583 (reference [Januszkiewicz and Świątkowski 2003] of arXiv:2203.01550v1, p. 33).
  • A. Daniely, S. Shalev-Shwartz, Optimal learners for multiclass problems, COLT 2014, PMLR 35, 287–316. https://proceedings.mlr.press/v35/
  • B. K. Natarajan, On learning sets and functions, Machine Learning 4 (1989), 67–97. https://doi.org/10.1007/BF00114804
  • S. Ben-David, N. Cesa-Bianchi, D. Haussler, P. M. Long, Characterizations of learnability for classes of {0,…,n}-valued functions, J. Comput. Syst. Sci. 50(1) (1995), 74–86. https://doi.org/10.1006/jcss.1995.1008
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Discrete-Time Controlled Markov Processes with Average Cost Criterion: A Survey 4: Under Sennott's Conditions an Average-Cost Optimal Stationary Policy ExistsResearch Paper

Motivation

Many controlled queueing, inventory and maintenance systems are modelled as controlled Markov processes (CMPs) on a countable state space whose one-stage cost grows without bound: the holding cost of a queue grows with its length. For such systems the natural performance measure is the long-run average cost, and the basic question is whether some simple policy, one that looks only at the current state and never randomizes, is optimal among all policies, including those that use the whole history.

When the cost is bounded, the classical answer goes through a bounded solution of the average cost optimality equation (ACOE). For unbounded costs, bounded solutions are rare: in many queueing models the relative value function grows with the state, and growth conditions such as (5.2) of the survey may fail (Arapostathis et al. 1993, p. 307). Sennott (1986; 1989) replaced boundedness by one-sided conditions on the discounted value functions, which are often easy to verify for queueing models because the relative values are bounded below. This mission formalizes Sennott's existence theorem in the form given in the survey of Arapostathis, Borkar, Fernández-Gaucherand, Ghosh and Marcus, Theorem 5.9.

Timeline. For bounded costs, Ross (1983, the survey's Theorem 5.2) obtained a bounded ACOE solution, and with it an optimal stationary policy, when the differential discounted values are uniformly bounded. Federgruen, Hordijk and Tijms (1979) treated unbounded costs under Lyapunov-type recurrence conditions, which restrict how fast the cost may grow (survey, Remark 5.7). Sennott (1986, 1989) replaced these by a uniform lower bound and a pointwise, one-step integrable upper bound on the differential discounted values. The survey (1993, Theorem 5.9) states the result with compact action sets and continuous data, and Sennott's 1999 book (§7.2) gives the finite-action version in textbook form.

Setting

The state space is S={0,1,2,… }S=\{0,1,2,\dots\}S={0,1,2,…}. For each state iii the set U(i)U(i)U(i) of admissible actions is a nonempty compact subset of a metric space AAA. Choosing a∈U(i)a\in U(i)a∈U(i) in state iii costs c(i,a)≥0c(i,a)\ge0c(i,a)≥0, and the next state is jjj with probability P(j∣i,a)P(j\mid i,a)P(j∣i,a). For fixed i,ji,ji,j, the maps a↦c(i,a)a\mapsto c(i,a)a↦c(i,a) and a↦P(j∣i,a)a\mapsto P(j\mid i,a)a↦P(j∣i,a) are continuous on U(i)U(i)U(i).

An admissible policy π∈Π\pi\in\Piπ∈Π chooses the action at time ttt according to a probability distribution πt(⋅∣ht)\pi_t(\cdot\mid h_t)πt​(⋅∣ht​) concentrated on U(xt)U(x_t)U(xt​), where ht=(x0,a0,…,xt)h_t=(x_0,a_0,\dots,x_t)ht​=(x0​,a0​,…,xt​) is the history; it may use the whole history and may randomize. A stationary deterministic policy f∈ΠSDf\in\Pi_{SD}f∈ΠSD​ is a map f:S→Af:S\to Af:S→A with f(i)∈U(i)f(i)\in U(i)f(i)∈U(i), applied at every step. Given an initial state iii and a policy π\piπ, the states and actions (Xt,At)(X_t,A_t)(Xt​,At​) form a stochastic process with law PiπP^\pi_iPiπ​ and expectation EiπE^\pi_iEiπ​.

For β∈(0,1)\beta\in(0,1)β∈(0,1), the discounted cost and the average cost of π\piπ from iii are

Jβ(i,π)=Eiπ∑t=0∞βtc(Xt,At),J(i,π)=lim sup⁡N→∞1N Eiπ∑t=0N−1c(Xt,At),J_\beta(i,\pi)=E^\pi_i\sum_{t=0}^\infty\beta^tc(X_t,A_t),\qquad J(i,\pi)=\limsup_{N\to\infty}\frac1N\,E^\pi_i\sum_{t=0}^{N-1}c(X_t,A_t),Jβ​(i,π)=Eiπ​t=0∑∞​βtc(Xt​,At​),J(i,π)=N→∞limsup​N1​Eiπ​t=0∑N−1​c(Xt​,At​),

both in [0,∞][0,\infty][0,∞]. The optimal values are Jβ∗(i)=inf⁡π∈ΠJβ(i,π)J^*_\beta(i)=\inf_{\pi\in\Pi}J_\beta(i,\pi)Jβ∗​(i)=infπ∈Π​Jβ​(i,π) and J∗(i)=inf⁡π∈ΠJ(i,π)J^*(i)=\inf_{\pi\in\Pi}J(i,\pi)J∗(i)=infπ∈Π​J(i,π), and the differential discounted value is hβ(i)=Jβ∗(i)−Jβ∗(0)h_\beta(i)=J^*_\beta(i)-J^*_\beta(0)hβ​(i)=Jβ∗​(i)−Jβ∗​(0). A policy f∈ΠSDf\in\Pi_{SD}f∈ΠSD​ is AC-optimal if J(i,f)=J∗(i)J(i,f)=J^*(i)J(i,f)=J∗(i) for every iii.

Sennott's conditions (Assumptions 5.14–5.16) are:

  1. Jβ∗(i)<∞J^*_\beta(i)<\inftyJβ∗​(i)<∞ for all i∈Si\in Si∈S and β∈(0,1)\beta\in(0,1)β∈(0,1);
  2. there is a nonnegative integer LLL with hβ(i)≥−Lh_\beta(i)\ge-Lhβ​(i)≥−L for all iii and β\betaβ;
  3. there is M:S→R+M:S\to\mathbb R_+M:S→R+​ with hβ(i)≤M(i)h_\beta(i)\le M(i)hβ​(i)≤M(i) for all iii and β\betaβ, and for each iii some a(i)∈U(i)a(i)\in U(i)a(i)∈U(i) with ∑jP(j∣i,a(i))M(j)<∞\sum_jP(j\mid i,a(i))M(j)<\infty∑j​P(j∣i,a(i))M(j)<∞.

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem 5.9

Under Assumptions 5.14–5.16, there is f∈ΠSD with J(i,f)=inf⁡π∈ΠJ(i,π)  for every i∈S.\text{Under Assumptions 5.14–5.16, there is } f\in\Pi_{SD}\text{ with } J(i,f)=\inf_{\pi\in\Pi}J(i,\pi)\ \text{ for every } i\in S.Under Assumptions 5.14–5.16, there is f∈ΠSD​ with J(i,f)=π∈Πinf​J(i,π)  for every i∈S.

The goal asserts only existence. It does not fix the optimal cost, and it does not claim that the optimal cost is constant or that an optimality equation holds.

Milestones

  1. Theorem 2.1 (i), (iii), countable form: the discounted cost optimality equation Jβ∗(i)=inf⁡a∈U(i){c(i,a)+β∑jP(j∣i,a)Jβ∗(j)}J^*_\beta(i)=\inf_{a\in U(i)}\{c(i,a)+\beta\sum_jP(j\mid i,a)J^*_\beta(j)\}Jβ∗​(i)=infa∈U(i)​{c(i,a)+β∑j​P(j∣i,a)Jβ∗​(j)} and a β\betaβ-discount optimal fβ∈ΠSDf_\beta\in\Pi_{SD}fβ​∈ΠSD​.
  2. Display (5.15): (1−β)Jβ∗(0)+hβ(i)=c(i,fβ(i))+β∑jP(j∣i,fβ(i))hβ(j)(1-\beta)J^*_\beta(0)+h_\beta(i)=c(i,f_\beta(i))+\beta\sum_jP(j\mid i,f_\beta(i))h_\beta(j)(1−β)Jβ∗​(0)+hβ​(i)=c(i,fβ​(i))+β∑j​P(j∣i,fβ​(i))hβ​(j).
  3. The limit objects: along a subsequence βn→1\beta_n\to1βn​→1, fβn→ff_{\beta_n}\to ffβn​​→f, hβn→h≥−Lh_{\beta_n}\to h\ge-Lhβn​​→h≥−L pointwise, and (1−βn)Jβn∗(i)→ρ∗(1-\beta_n)J^*_{\beta_n}(i)\to\rho^*(1−βn​)Jβn​∗​(i)→ρ∗, a constant.
  4. The average cost optimality inequality (ACOI) ρ∗+h(i)≥c(i,f(i))+∑jP(j∣i,f(i))h(j)\rho^*+h(i)\ge c(i,f(i))+\sum_jP(j\mid i,f(i))h(j)ρ∗+h(i)≥c(i,f(i))+∑j​P(j∣i,f(i))h(j).
  5. An ACOI along fff with hhh bounded below gives J(i,f)≤ρJ(i,f)\le\rhoJ(i,f)≤ρ.
  6. Theorem A.2: the Abelian inequalities between Cesàro and Abel means (already on the platform).
  7. J(i,π)≥ρ∗J(i,\pi)\ge\rho^*J(i,π)≥ρ∗ for every π∈Π\pi\in\Piπ∈Π.

Significance

The result. Theorem 5.9 is the standard existence theorem for average-optimal stationary policies with unbounded costs on countable state spaces. Its conditions are verified routinely for controlled queues, where relative values are monotone in the queue length and hence bounded below. It shows that randomization and memory do not reduce the long-run average cost, and the ACOI it produces is the starting point for value and policy iteration and for structural results such as threshold policies.

Formalizing it. The theorem is proved in the literature (Sennott 1989; Sennott 1999, Theorem 7.2.3; survey, p. 308). It has no machine-checked proof. The finite-action version, SennottDP.SEN.thm_7_2_3_sen_acoi, is posed on Prove2Me and still open; this mission poses the compact-action version, which needs continuity and compactness arguments that the finite case avoids. A formal proof also requires a general theory of history-dependent policies on path space (Ionescu-Tulcea), the discounted optimality equation with unbounded costs, and the passage from Abel to Cesàro means. All three are reusable well beyond this paper.

Difficulty

The obvious argument lets β→1\beta\to1β→1 in the discounted optimality equation (5.6). Two steps fail without more structure. First, hβh_\betahβ​ need not converge, and with unbounded costs it is not uniformly bounded, so the limit has to be taken pointwise along a subsequence, with only a lower bound uniform in the state. Second, the limit cannot be passed through the infinite sum ∑jP(j∣i,a)hβ(j)\sum_jP(j\mid i,a)h_\beta(j)∑j​P(j∣i,a)hβ​(j) by dominated convergence, because no integrable dominating function exists for every action. Only an inequality survives (Fatou), so the limit is an ACOI, not an equation. The inequality then has to be turned into optimality against all of Π\PiΠ, which includes history-dependent randomized policies whose costs are not described by any optimality equation. The lower bound for these comes from comparing Cesàro and Abel means, not from dynamic programming.

Formalization scope

The Lean development uses the following representation and conventions.

  • States, actions, model. The state space is ℕ. The action space is a metric space with its Borel σ-algebra. U i is nonempty and compact, c is measurable and nonnegative on admissible pairs, P is a Markov kernel, and c(i,⋅)c(i,\cdot)c(i,⋅), P(j∣i,⋅)P(j\mid i,\cdot)P(j∣i,⋅) are continuous on U(i)U(i)U(i).
  • Policies. Π\PiΠ consists of all history-dependent randomized policies, with admissibility required almost surely. J∗J^*J∗ and Jβ∗J^*_\betaJβ∗​ are infima over all of Π\PiΠ, never over stationary policies only. Restricting the infimum to ΠSD\Pi_{SD}ΠSD​ would drop the Tauberian half of the theorem and is not the paper's statement.
  • Costs. Costs are lower Lebesgue integrals in [0,∞][0,\infty][0,∞] against the Ionescu-Tulcea path measure, and the average cost is a limsup in [0,∞][0,\infty][0,∞].
  • Explicit hypotheses. hβh_\betahβ​ is a difference of real parts and is used only under Assumption 5.14, so it is never read off an infinite Jβ∗J^*_\betaJβ∗​. The quantifiers over iii and β\betaβ in Assumption 5.15, implicit on the page, are universal, and LLL is a natural number as printed. Every series ∑jP(j∣i,a)h(j)\sum_jP(j\mid i,a)h(j)∑j​P(j∣i,a)h(j) carries a summability hypothesis or conclusion.
  • Corrected claim. Remark 5.8(a) as printed claims that any scalar ρ\rhoρ satisfying the ACOI with hhh bounded below is the optimal average cost. That is false (h≡0h\equiv0h≡0, ρ=sup⁡c\rho=\sup cρ=supc), so only the inequality J(i,f)≤ρJ(i,f)\le\rhoJ(i,f)≤ρ, which the proof uses, is stated.
  • Sequences. The milestones about limits are stated for any sequence βn∈(0,1)\beta_n\in(0,1)βn​∈(0,1) with βn→1\beta_n\to1βn​→1, not only increasing ones.

A trivializing formalization is excluded. Sennott's conditions are satisfiable (a one-action, zero-cost model satisfies all three), and AC-optimality is measured against all admissible policies, so the goal cannot hold vacuously or by a junk value.

Welcome contributions: the Markov property of the path measure for history-dependent policies; the discounted optimality equation for nonnegative unbounded costs; a measurable-selection or compactness argument for minimizing actions on compact U(i)U(i)U(i); Fatou's lemma for series with converging weights; and the Abelian inequalities in a form applied to expected costs.

Selected references

  • A. Arapostathis, V. S. Borkar, E. Fernández-Gaucherand, M. K. Ghosh, S. I. Marcus, Discrete-time controlled Markov processes with average cost criterion: a survey, SIAM J. Control Optim. 31(2) (1993) 282–344. https://doi.org/10.1137/0331018
  • L. I. Sennott, Average cost optimal stationary policies in infinite state Markov decision processes with unbounded costs, Oper. Res. 37(4) (1989) 626–633. https://doi.org/10.1287/opre.37.4.626
  • L. I. Sennott, Stochastic Dynamic Programming and the Control of Queueing Systems, Wiley, 1999. https://doi.org/10.1002/9780470317037
  • L. I. Sennott, A new condition for the existence of optimal stationary policies in average cost Markov decision processes, Oper. Res. Lett. 5 (1986) 17–23 (reference [155] of the survey; no stable link checked).
  • S. M. Ross, Introduction to Stochastic Dynamic Programming, Academic Press, New York, 1983 (reference [150] of the survey).
  • A. Federgruen, A. Hordijk, H. C. Tijms, Denumerable state semi-Markov decision processes with unbounded costs, average cost criterion, Stochastic Process. Appl. 9 (1979) 223–235 (reference [53] of the survey).
  • R. Sznajder, J. A. Filar, Some comments on a theorem of Hardy and Littlewood, J. Optim. Theory Appl. 75 (1992) (reference [176] of the survey, cited for Theorem A.2).
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CombinatoricsMachine LearningTheoretical Computer Science·Captain: mikedeng1

A Characterization of Multiclass Learnability 1: Classes of Finite DS Dimension Have n → r Sample Compression Schemes with r Polylogarithmic in nResearch Paper

Motivation

In multiclass classification a learner sees examples (x,y)(x, y)(x,y) with xxx in a domain X\mathcal XX and a label yyy in a set Y\mathcal YY, and must predict labels of new points. When Y\mathcal YY is finite, the Natarajan dimension characterizes PAC learnability, extending the role of the VC dimension in binary classification (Natarajan 1989; Ben-David, Cesa-Bianchi, Haussler, Long 1995). Label sets in practice are often unbounded: structured prediction, ranking, and language modelling all predict from very large or infinite label spaces. For infinite Y\mathcal YY the Natarajan dimension fails to characterize learnability, and the question of which combinatorial parameter does was left open by Daniely and Shalev-Shwartz.

Timeline:

  • 1989–1995. Natarajan, then Ben-David et al. and Haussler–Long: for finite Y\mathcal YY, learnability is equivalent to finite Natarajan dimension, with sample complexity depending on log⁡∣Y∣\log|\mathcal Y|log∣Y∣.
  • 2011–2015. Daniely, Sabato, Ben-David and Shalev-Shwartz show that ERM can fail for multiclass problems with many labels. Daniely and Shalev-Shwartz (COLT 2014) introduce the DS dimension, prove that finite DS dimension is necessary for learnability, and ask whether it is sufficient.
  • 2022. Brukhim, Carmon, Dinur, Moran, Yehudayoff prove sufficiency, so the DS dimension characterizes multiclass PAC learnability, and show that the Natarajan dimension does not.

Setting

A concept class is a set H⊆YX\mathcal H\subseteq\mathcal Y^{\mathcal X}H⊆YX of functions. For a sequence S=(x1,…,xn)S=(x_1,\dots,x_n)S=(x1​,…,xn​) the projection H∣S⊆Yn\mathcal H|_S\subseteq\mathcal Y^nH∣S​⊆Yn is the set of label words (h(x1),…,h(xn))(h(x_1),\dots,h(x_n))(h(x1​),…,h(xn​)), h∈Hh\in\mathcal Hh∈H. A finite non-empty set B⊆YdB\subseteq\mathcal Y^dB⊆Yd is a pseudo-cube if every h∈Bh\in Bh∈B has, in every coordinate iii, a neighbour g∈Bg\in Bg∈B that differs from hhh exactly in coordinate iii. The sequence SSS is DS-shattered if H∣S\mathcal H|_SH∣S​ contains an nnn-dimensional pseudo-cube, and the DS dimension dDS(H)d_{DS}(\mathcal H)dDS​(H) is the maximum length of a DS-shattered sequence. The Natarajan dimension dN(H)≤dDS(H)d_N(\mathcal H)\le d_{DS}(\mathcal H)dN​(H)≤dDS​(H) is the same with Boolean cubes ∏i{f(i),g(i)}\prod_i\{f(i),g(i)\}∏i​{f(i),g(i)}, f(i)≠g(i)f(i)\ne g(i)f(i)=g(i), in place of pseudo-cubes.

A sample S∈(X×Y)nS\in(\mathcal X\times\mathcal Y)^nS∈(X×Y)n is H\mathcal HH-realizable if some h∈Hh\in\mathcal Hh∈H is consistent with it. An n→rn\to rn→r sample compression scheme for H\mathcal HH (Littlestone and Warmuth 1986) is a single reconstruction function ρ:(X×Y)r→YX\rho:(\mathcal X\times\mathcal Y)^r\to\mathcal Y^{\mathcal X}ρ:(X×Y)r→YX such that every realizable sample of size nnn contains rrr of its examples S′S'S′ with ρ(S′)\rho(S')ρ(S′) consistent with the whole sample. Logarithms are base 222 throughout.

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem 36 (p. 22)

For H\mathcal HH with dDS(H)=dDS<∞d_{DS}(\mathcal H)=d_{DS}<\inftydDS​(H)=dDS​<∞ and dN(H)=dNd_N(\mathcal H)=d_NdN​(H)=dN​, and all integers n,t>0n,t>0n,t>0, there is an n→rn\to rn→r sample compression scheme, r≤nr\le nr≤n, with

r≤(dDS+t+1t+1(dDS+t)+103dNlog⁡((dDS+t+1t+1)log⁡(2n)))log⁡(2n).r\le\left(\frac{d_{DS}+t+1}{t+1}(d_{DS}+t)+10^3d_N\log\left(\binom{d_{DS}+t+1}{t+1}\log(2n)\right)\right)\log(2n).r≤(t+1dDS​+t+1​(dDS​+t)+103dN​log((t+1dDS​+t+1​)log(2n)))log(2n).

Milestones

The scheme combines two components, each with its own chain of results:

  • List learning from the DS dimension. Lemma 13 (orientations of out-degree ≤d\le d≤d on Yd+1\mathcal Y^{d+1}Yd+1), Claim 16 (the one-inclusion algorithm is right on some leave-one-out example), Fact 14 (leave-one-out symmetrization), Proposition 32 (a list PAC learner with list size (d+tt)\binom{d+t}{t}(td+t​) and success probability t+1d+t+1\frac{t+1}{d+t+1}d+t+1t+1​), Lemma 39 (an n→r1n\to r_1n→r1​ list compression scheme with r1≤dDS+t+1t+1(dDS+t)log⁡(2n)r_1\le\frac{d_{DS}+t+1}{t+1}(d_{DS}+t)\log(2n)r1​≤t+1dDS​+t+1​(dDS​+t)log(2n) and menu size ≤(dDS+t+1t+1)log⁡(2n)\le\binom{d_{DS}+t+1}{t+1}\log(2n)≤(t+1dDS​+t+1​)log(2n)).
  • Learning from a menu via shifting. Claim 22, Corollary 23, Claim 26, Proposition 27 (avd⁡≤4dE\operatorname{avd}\le4d_Eavd≤4dE​), Corollary 28, Lemma 29 (dE≤5dNlog⁡pd_E\le5d_N\log pdE​≤5dN​logp), Lemma 17 (orientations of out-degree ≤20dNlog⁡p\le20d_N\log p≤20dN​logp on [p]n[p]^n[p]n), Proposition 34 (error ≤20dNlog⁡(p)/n\le20d_N\log(p)/n≤20dN​log(p)/n given a ppp-menu), Lemma 40 (an n→r2n\to r_2n→r2​ compression scheme given a ppp-menu with r2≤103dNlog⁡(p)log⁡(2n)r_2\le10^3d_N\log(p)\log(2n)r2​≤103dN​log(p)log(2n)).

Significance

Theorem 36 is the algorithmic heart of the characterization: by the standard "compression implies generalization" argument it gives PAC learnability of every class of finite DS dimension, with sample complexity O~(dDS3/2/ϵ)\tilde O(d_{DS}^{3/2}/\epsilon)O~(dDS3/2​/ϵ) in the realizable case (t=⌈dDS1/2⌉t=\lceil d_{DS}^{1/2}\rceilt=⌈dDS1/2​⌉), and with the agnostic case following by known reductions. It also exhibits sample compression schemes of size polylogarithmic in nnn for multiclass classes with infinitely many labels, in contrast to the constant-size schemes known for finite VC classes.

The result is proved in the paper; none of it is formalized. The formalization would produce a machine-checked theory of one-inclusion graphs and their orientations, multiclass shifting, the exponential dimension, list learning, and sample compression schemes for arbitrary label sets. These objects recur throughout learning theory (one-inclusion graphs in optimal PAC learning, shifting in VC theory), so the infrastructure is reusable beyond this mission.

Difficulty

The natural first idea, running empirical risk minimization or bounding the Natarajan dimension, fails: classes with Natarajan dimension 111 and infinitely many labels can be unlearnable, and ERM can fail even for learnable classes. The DS dimension gives only a weak guarantee: by Claim 16, among d+1d+1d+1 leave-one-out runs, one is correct. Turning this into a learner requires a list learner whose menus are still of unbounded total size, and then learning with a menu of size ppp, where the obstacle is controlling one-inclusion graph orientations over [p]n[p]^n[p]n by the Natarajan dimension. Multiclass shifting does not preserve the average degree (Example 20), so the binary argument breaks down, and a new potential (avd⁡′\operatorname{avd}'avd′) and a new dimension (dEd_EdE​) are needed. Lemma 13 for infinite classes needs a compactness argument.

Formalization scope

Lean conventions:

  • A class is H : Set (X → Y) with arbitrary types X, Y; sequences and samples are functions on Fin n ([n][n][n] is 0-based).
  • The DS, Natarajan and exponential dimensions are suprema in ℕ∞, so unbounded families give ⊤; hypotheses are written dsDim H = dDS with dDS : ℕ. A pseudo-cube is required to be finite.
  • Logarithms are Real.logb 2. Menu sizes use Set.encard.
  • A compression scheme is a reconstruction function fixed before the sample (∃ ρ, ∀ S, ∃ S'); a subsample may repeat and reorder examples. Theorem 36 states r≤nr\le nr≤n explicitly.
  • Orientations of the one-inclusion graph of V⊆YmV\subseteq\mathcal Y^mV⊆Ym are maps sending a direction iii and a vertex vvv to the head of the edge of direction iii through vvv; the out-degree of vvv counts directions whose head is not vvv.
  • Classes over [p][p][p] use labels Fin p; the shifting condition 1≤g(i)≤∣ef∣1\le g(i)\le|e_f|1≤g(i)≤∣ef​∣ becomes g(i)<∣ef∣g(i)<|e_f|g(i)<∣ef​∣.
  • The one-inclusion algorithm (Algorithms 1 and 3) is parametrized by a permutation-equivariant choice of minimal orientations, the reading under which the paper's leave-one-out proofs are valid; statements about the algorithm hold for every such choice. Its default output on non-realizable input requires a non-empty label set, assumed in Claim 16 and Propositions 32 and 34. Lemma 40 assumes a non-empty label set because it is false for X≠∅=Y\mathcal X\ne\emptyset=\mathcal YX=∅=Y.
  • Distributions are discrete (PMF), and i.i.d. probabilities are sums over Zm\mathcal Z^mZm. The measure-theoretic generality of the paper is not attempted.

A trivial formalization is ruled out by these choices. Placing the reconstruction function after the sample would let it output the consistent hypothesis. A dimension in ℕ defined by sSup would be 000 for infinite dimension. Pseudo-cubes without finiteness would change the dimension (Example 8).

Contributions welcome: proofs of any milestone, in particular the shifting results of §3 (self-contained combinatorics on finite classes), Fact 14 (pure discrete probability), and Lemma 13; general-purpose lemmas about one-inclusion graphs, orientations and sample compression schemes are reusable by other learning-theory missions.

Selected references

  • N. Brukhim, D. Carmon, I. Dinur, S. Moran, A. Yehudayoff, A Characterization of Multiclass Learnability, FOCS 2022; arXiv:2203.01550v1 (2022). https://arxiv.org/abs/2203.01550
  • A. Daniely, S. Shalev-Shwartz, Optimal Learners for Multiclass Problems, COLT 2014. https://arxiv.org/abs/1405.2690
  • N. Littlestone, M. Warmuth, Relating Data Compression and Learnability, unpublished technical report, University of California, Santa Cruz, 1986 (no stable link).
  • D. Haussler, N. Littlestone, M. Warmuth, Predicting {0,1}-Functions on Randomly Drawn Points, Information and Computation 115(2), 1994. https://doi.org/10.1006/inco.1994.1097
  • D. Haussler, P. M. Long, A Generalization of Sauer's Lemma, Journal of Combinatorial Theory, Series A 71(2), 1995. https://doi.org/10.1016/0097-3165(95)90006-3
  • S. Ben-David, N. Cesa-Bianchi, D. Haussler, P. M. Long, Characterizations of Learnability for Classes of {0,…,n}-Valued Functions, JCSS 50(1), 1995. https://doi.org/10.1006/jcss.1995.1008
  • B. K. Natarajan, On Learning Sets and Functions, Machine Learning 4, 1989. https://doi.org/10.1007/BF00114804
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Dynamic Pricing Without Knowing the Demand Function: Risk Bounds and Near-Optimal Algorithms III: With One Unknown Parameter, Staged Re-estimation Has Regret O((log log n)(log n)^{1/2}/n^{1/2})Research Paper

Motivation

A seller with a fixed stock of a single product and a finite selling season must post prices without knowing how demand responds to price. Revenue management treats this as a constrained stochastic control problem; with the demand curve known, the problem was solved by Gallego and van Ryzin (Management Science, 1994). When the curve is unknown, every price posted also serves as an experiment, so the seller faces an exploration–exploitation trade-off. Unlike a multi-armed bandit, this problem has a continuum of actions and a hard inventory constraint.

Besbes and Zeevi (Operations Research, 2009) measure a pricing policy by its worst-case relative revenue loss against a full-information benchmark, in an asymptotic regime where inventory and demand grow together. They give three upper bounds. This mission takes the third, Proposition 5: when the demand model has a single unknown scalar parameter, a policy that keeps re-estimating that parameter in stages of growing length has regret O((log⁡log⁡n)(log⁡n)1/2/n1/2)O\big((\log\log n)(\log n)^{1/2}/n^{1/2}\big)O((loglogn)(logn)1/2/n1/2). The paper's lower bound for parametric families (Proposition 4) is of order n−1/2n^{-1/2}n−1/2, so the rate is optimal up to logarithmic factors.

Setting

Market. Prices lie in [p‾,p‾]∪{p∞}[\underline p,\overline p]\cup\{p_\infty\}[p​,p​]∪{p∞​} with 0<p‾<p‾<p∞0<\underline p<\overline p<p_\infty0<p​<p​<p∞​. Posting the off price p∞p_\inftyp∞​ stops demand. The seller starts with inventory x>0x>0x>0 and sells over the horizon [0,T][0,T][0,T], T>0T>0T>0.

Demand. A demand function λ\lambdaλ maps a price to a demand rate. The class L(M,K‾,K‾,m)\mathcal L(M,\underline K,\overline K,m)L(M,K​,K,m) consists of the functions that are non-increasing with an inverse γ\gammaγ on [p‾,p‾][\underline p,\overline p][p​,p​], have a concave revenue rate r(l)=lγ(l)r(l)=l\gamma(l)r(l)=lγ(l), are bounded by MMM, are K‾\overline KK-Lipschitz with a K‾−1\underline K^{-1}K​−1-Lipschitz inverse, and attain a revenue rate max⁡ppλ(p)≥m\max_p p\lambda(p)\ge mmaxp​pλ(p)≥m. The parametric family is λ(p;θ)\lambda(p;\theta)λ(p;θ), θ∈Θ=[θlo,θhi]\theta\in\Theta=[\theta_{\mathrm{lo}},\theta_{\mathrm{hi}}]θ∈Θ=[θlo​,θhi​], with every member in the class (Assumption 1). Assumption 2 adds a test price p1p_1p1​, differentiability of λ(p1;⋅)\sqrt{\lambda(p_1;\cdot)}λ(p1​;⋅)​ and the Lipschitz bound ∣λ(p;θ)−λ(p;θ′)∣≤K‾2∣θ−θ′∣|\lambda(p;\theta)-\lambda(p;\theta')|\le\overline K_2|\theta-\theta'|∣λ(p;θ)−λ(p;θ′)∣≤K2​∣θ−θ′∣. Assumption 3 requires inf⁡p,θλ(p;θ)>l0>0\inf_{p,\theta}\lambda(p;\theta)>l_0>0infp,θ​λ(p;θ)>l0​>0 and an α\alphaα-Lipschitz solution map d↦g(p,d)d\mapsto g(p,d)d↦g(p,d) of the equation λ(p;⋅)=d\lambda(p;\cdot)=dλ(p;⋅)=d.

Demand process. Let NNN be a unit-rate Poisson process. Under a price path p(⋅)p(\cdot)p(⋅) and parameter θ∗\theta^*θ∗, the cumulative demand up to time ttt is N(∫0tλ(p(s);θ∗) ds)N\big(\int_0^t\lambda(p(s);\theta^*)\,ds\big)N(∫0t​λ(p(s);θ∗)ds). Sales stop when the inventory runs out.

Benchmark and regret. The deterministic relaxation JD(x,T∣θ)J^D(x,T\mid\theta)JD(x,T∣θ) is the supremum of ∫0Tp(s)λ(p(s);θ) ds\int_0^T p(s)\lambda(p(s);\theta)\,ds∫0T​p(s)λ(p(s);θ)ds over price paths with ∫0Tλ(p(s);θ) ds≤x\int_0^T\lambda(p(s);\theta)\,ds\le x∫0T​λ(p(s);θ)ds≤x. In the market of size nnn the inventory is nxnxnx and the demand nλn\lambdanλ. If Jnπ(x,T;θ)J^\pi_n(x,T;\theta)Jnπ​(x,T;θ) is the expected revenue of a policy π\piπ, its regret is Rnπ=1−Jnπ/JnD\mathcal R^\pi_n=1-J^\pi_n/J^D_nRnπ​=1−Jnπ​/JnD​.

Algorithm 3. Start from p^1=p1\hat p_1=p_1p^​1​=p1​ and use stages of lengths Δn(1),…,Δn(ℓn)\Delta^{(1)}_n,\dots,\Delta^{(\ell_n)}_nΔn(1)​,…,Δn(ℓn​)​ summing to TTT. Stage iii applies p^i\hat p_ip^​i​, estimates the demand rate d^i\hat d_id^i​ from the stage's demand, solves for θ^i=g(p^i,d^i)\hat\theta_i=g(\hat p_i,\hat d_i)θ^i​=g(p^​i​,d^i​), and sets p^i+1=max⁡{pu(θ^i),pc(θ^i)}\hat p_{i+1}=\max\{p^u(\hat\theta_i),p^c(\hat\theta_i)\}p^​i+1​=max{pu(θ^i​),pc(θ^i​)}. Here pu(θ)p^u(\theta)pu(θ) maximizes pλ(p;θ)p\lambda(p;\theta)pλ(p;θ) and pc(θ)p^c(\theta)pc(θ) minimizes ∣λ(p;θ)−x/T∣|\lambda(p;\theta)-x/T|∣λ(p;θ)−x/T∣. The tuning (19)–(20) is ℓn=(log⁡2)−1log⁡log⁡n\ell_n=(\log2)^{-1}\log\log nℓn​=(log2)−1loglogn stages with Δn(m)=βnn(aℓn/am)−1\Delta^{(m)}_n=\beta_n n^{(a_{\ell_n}/a_m)-1}Δn(m)​=βn​n(aℓn​​/am​)−1 and am=2m−1/(2m−1)a_m=2^{m-1}/(2^m-1)am​=2m−1/(2m−1).

Formalization targets

Goal: Proposition 5

∃ C>0, ∃ n0,∀n≥n0, ∀θ∈Θ:Rnπn(x,T;θ)≤C (log⁡log⁡n)(log⁡n)1/2n1/2.\exists\,C>0,\ \exists\,n_0,\quad \forall n\ge n_0,\ \forall\theta\in\Theta:\qquad \mathcal R^{\pi_n}_n(x,T;\theta)\le C\,\frac{(\log\log n)(\log n)^{1/2}}{n^{1/2}} .∃C>0, ∃n0​,∀n≥n0​, ∀θ∈Θ:Rnπn​​(x,T;θ)≤Cn1/2(loglogn)(logn)1/2​.

The constants are uniform in θ\thetaθ and nnn. This is the paper's (21): sup⁡θRnπ=O(⋅)\sup_\theta\mathcal R^{\pi}_n=O(\cdot)supθ​Rnπ​=O(⋅).

Milestones, in proof order

  1. Fact 1: JnD=nJDJ^D_n=nJ^DJnD​=nJD and JD≥mmin⁡{T,x/M}J^D\ge m\min\{T,x/M\}JD≥mmin{T,x/M} on the class.
  2. Lemma 1: the deterministic relaxation is solved by the fixed price pD=max⁡{pu,pc}p^D=\max\{p^u,p^c\}pD=max{pu,pc}.
  3. Lemma 2: Poisson deviation bounds at scale (log⁡n/rn)1/2(\log n/r_n)^{1/2}(logn/rn​)1/2.
  4. (A-27): a revenue lower bound that splits the loss into stage-wise terms and an overflow term.
  5. The per-stage revenue gap r(pD)−E r(p^i)≤C2(nΔn(i−1))−1/2r(p^D)-\mathbb E\,r(\hat p_i)\le C_2(n\Delta^{(i-1)}_n)^{-1/2}r(pD)−Er(p^​i​)≤C2​(nΔn(i−1)​)−1/2.
  6. (A-30): the stage-iii demand rate rarely exceeds the run-out rate.
  7. The overflow bound E[(Yn−nx)+]≤nC8(log⁡n)1/2naℓn−1\mathbb E[(Y_n-nx)^+]\le nC_8(\log n)^{1/2}n^{a_{\ell_n}-1}E[(Yn​−nx)+]≤nC8​(logn)1/2naℓn​​−1.
  8. (A-31): the revenue ratio before the exponents are evaluated.
  9. The rate estimate naℓn−1≤e n−1/2n^{a_{\ell_n}-1}\le e\,n^{-1/2}naℓn​​−1≤en−1/2.

Milestones 6–8 hold in the case λ(p‾;θ∗)≤x/T\lambda(\overline p;\theta^*)\le x/Tλ(p​;θ∗)≤x/T, the only case the paper's proof treats in detail.

Significance

Proposition 5 shows that with one unknown parameter, learning while earning reaches the n−1/2n^{-1/2}n−1/2 rate, up to logarithms. The learn-then-price policies of Propositions 1 and 3 stop learning after an initial phase and reach only n−1/4n^{-1/4}n−1/4 and n−1/3n^{-1/3}n−1/3. The paper leaves open whether the multi-parameter case attains the lower bound.

The analysis combines a continuous-time controlled Poisson model, an inventory constraint and a staged estimator, which also appear in later work on dynamic pricing with learning. A formal development would provide a time-changed Poisson demand model with random stage boundaries, a deterministic-relaxation benchmark, and concentration bounds stated for the scales this literature uses.

The result is proved in the paper, but parts of the proof are only sketched. The case λ(p‾;θ∗)>x/T\lambda(\overline p;\theta^*)>x/Tλ(p​;θ∗)>x/T is dismissed with "a similar result holds". The per-stage gap is obtained "by parallel reasoning". Display (A-30) has a typographical error in its threshold. To our knowledge, none of these results has been machine-checked.

Difficulty

The naive argument conditions each stage on its start time, as if that time were deterministic. It is not: the stage boundaries Λi=∑j≤inλ(p^j;θ∗)Δn(j)\Lambda_i=\sum_{j\le i}n\lambda(\hat p_j;\theta^*)\Delta^{(j)}_nΛi​=∑j≤i​nλ(p^​j​;θ∗)Δn(j)​ depend on all earlier observations, so every per-stage estimate needs the strong Markov property of the Poisson process at a random time. The inventory constraint makes the revenue a nonlinear function of the whole demand path. Bounding the loss therefore means controlling estimation error and overflow at the same time. The geometric stage lengths (20) are chosen so that the stage losses Δn(i)/(nΔn(i−1))1/2\Delta^{(i)}_n/(n\Delta^{(i-1)}_n)^{1/2}Δn(i)​/(nΔn(i−1)​)1/2 are all of the same order. That balance has to be checked exactly, including the rounding of ℓn\ell_nℓn​ to an integer.

Formalization scope

  • Poisson process. A structure on an arbitrary probability space: N(0)=0N(0)=0N(0)=0, monotone right-continuous paths, measurable marginals, Poisson increments, and independent increments over finite partitions. No process is published on the platform.
  • Class and family. Conditions on λ\lambdaλ are imposed on [p‾,p‾]∪{p∞}[\underline p,\overline p]\cup\{p_\infty\}[p​,p​]∪{p∞​}, the only prices a path uses. The inverse γ\gammaγ is Function.invFunOn. Θ\ThetaΘ is a nonempty closed interval of R\mathbb RR.
  • Assumption 3. As printed it cannot hold for d>sup⁡θλ(p;θ)d>\sup_\theta\lambda(p;\theta)d>supθ​λ(p;θ). It is read as an α\alphaα-Lipschitz map g(p,⋅):[0,∞)→Θg(p,\cdot):[0,\infty)\to\Thetag(p,⋅):[0,∞)→Θ that inverts λ(p;⋅)\lambda(p;\cdot)λ(p;⋅) on Θ\ThetaΘ. ggg is jointly measurable, so that estimates at random prices are random variables.
  • Selections. pu,pcp^u,p^cpu,pc are any measurable selections of the maximizer and minimizer; the statements hold for each.
  • Inventory. The inventory is ⌊nx⌋\lfloor nx\rfloor⌊nx⌋ units, and sales are capped cumulative counts.
  • Time change. Eq. (1) is applied stage by stage with random stage boundaries.
  • Typos. In Algorithm 3, "λ(pi,θ)\lambda(p_i,\theta)λ(pi​,θ)" is read as λ(p^i;θ)\lambda(\hat p_i;\theta)λ(p^​i​;θ) and "x/tx/tx/t" as x/Tx/Tx/T.
  • Stages. ℓn=⌈log⁡2log⁡n⌉\ell_n=\lceil\log_2\log n\rceilℓn​=⌈log2​logn⌉.
  • Integrals. Expectations are lower Lebesgue integrals of nonnegative quantities, converted to reals. The relaxation is a real supremum over measurable paths.
  • Asymptotics. The O(⋅)O(\cdot)O(⋅) is rendered with an explicit n0n_0n0​. The clause "asymptotically optimal" is omitted, since it needs the second half of Lemma 1.
  • Ruled out. Each of the following would trivialize the statement: removing the inventory cap, replacing the random stage boundaries by deterministic ones, fixing θ\thetaθ, letting CCC depend on θ\thetaθ, or using a non-measurable selection (whose expectation would be a junk value).

Contributions are welcome on every milestone. The Poisson process structure, its strong Markov property at stage boundaries, and Lemma 2 can be reused in other Poisson-demand pricing and queueing missions. Lemma 1 and Fact 1 are deterministic, and the rate estimate already has a local proof.

Selected references

  • O. Besbes and A. Zeevi, Dynamic Pricing Without Knowing the Demand Function: Risk Bounds and Near-Optimal Algorithms, Operations Research 57(6):1407–1420, 2009. https://doi.org/10.1287/opre.1080.0640
  • G. Gallego and G. van Ryzin, Optimal Dynamic Pricing of Inventories with Stochastic Demand over Finite Horizons, Management Science 40(8):999–1020, 1994. https://doi.org/10.1287/mnsc.40.8.999
  • K. Talluri and G. van Ryzin, The Theory and Practice of Revenue Management, Springer, 2005. https://doi.org/10.1007/b139000
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On the Approximability of Single-Machine Scheduling with Precedence Constraints 6: The Optimal Value of S_G Lies Between n² − an²(ln 1/a + 2) and n² − an²Research Paper

Motivation

The problem 1 ∣ prec ∣ ∑wjCj1\,|\,\mathrm{prec}\,|\,\sum w_jC_j1∣prec∣∑wj​Cj​ asks for a single-machine sequence of jobs, respecting precedence constraints, that minimizes the weighted sum of completion times. It has been known to be strongly NP-hard since Lawler (1978) and Lenstra and Rinnooy Kan (1978), several different 2-approximation algorithms are known, and closing the approximability gap is listed by Schuurman and Woeginger (1999) as one of ten outstanding open problems in scheduling theory. Ambühl, Mastrolilli, Mutsanas and Svensson (Math. Oper. Res. 36(4), 2011) give the first inapproximability result for this problem: under a widely believed complexity assumption it has no polynomial-time approximation scheme (PTAS). The bridge to that result is a quantitative link, Lemma 9.1, between the optimal value of a special bipartite scheduling instance and the maximum edge biclique of a bipartite graph, a problem whose hardness of approximation was established by Ambühl, Mastrolilli and Svensson (FOCS 2007). This mission formalizes that link.

Setting

A schedule of a finite job set is a sequence σ\sigmaσ listing every job once; the machine processes the jobs in that order from time 000 without idle time or pre-emption. Job jjj has a processing time pjp_jpj​ and a weight wjw_jwj​; its completion time CjC_jCj​ is the sum of the processing times of the jobs up to and including jjj, and the value of σ\sigmaσ is val(σ)=∑jwjCj\mathrm{val}(\sigma)=\sum_j w_jC_jval(σ)=∑j​wj​Cj​. Precedence constraints are a relation PPP on jobs: (i,j)∈P(i,j)\in P(i,j)∈P with i≠ji\ne ji=j means job iii must be completed before job jjj starts. A schedule respecting all of them is feasible, and a feasible schedule σ∗\sigma^*σ∗ of least value is optimal.

Let G=(U,V,E)G=(U,V,E)G=(U,V,E) be an nnn-by-nnn bipartite graph: ∣U∣=∣V∣=n|U|=|V|=n∣U∣=∣V∣=n and E⊆U×VE\subseteq U\times VE⊆U×V. An edge biclique is a pair A⊆UA\subseteq UA⊆U, B⊆VB\subseteq VB⊆V with A×B⊆EA\times B\subseteq EA×B⊆E, of value ∣A∣⋅∣B∣|A|\cdot|B|∣A∣⋅∣B∣; the maximum edge biclique problem (Definition 9.1) asks for one of largest value. The bipartite scheduling instance SGS_GSG​ has jobs U∪VU\cup VU∪V and precedence constraints

P=(U×V)∖E,P=(U\times V)\setminus E,P=(U×V)∖E,

so u∈Uu\in Uu∈U must precede v∈Vv\in Vv∈V exactly when (u,v)(u,v)(u,v) is not an edge. Jobs of UUU have p=1p=1p=1, w=0w=0w=0; jobs of VVV have p=0p=0p=0, w=1w=1w=1. Thus val(σ)=∑v∈VCv\mathrm{val}(\sigma)=\sum_{v\in V}C_vval(σ)=∑v∈V​Cv​, where CvC_vCv​ is the number of UUU-jobs scheduled before vvv. For i≥1i\ge1i≥1, σ(i)\sigma(i)σ(i) denotes the number of VVV-jobs scheduled before iii jobs of UUU have been scheduled.

In the Lean development these are weightedCompletion, IsOptimalSchedule, IsEdgeBiclique, maxBicliqueValue, precSG, procSG, weightSG, valSG, IsOptimalSG and vBefore in the namespace SingleMachinePrec.Biclique.

Formalization targets

Goal: Lemma 9.1 (p. 666)

If a maximum edge biclique of GGG has value an2an^2an2 with a∈(0,1]a\in(0,1]a∈(0,1], then SGS_GSG​ has an optimal schedule and every optimal schedule σ∗\sigma^*σ∗ satisfies

n2−an2(ln⁡1a+2)≤val(σ∗)≤n2−an2.n^2-an^2\Bigl(\ln\frac1a+2\Bigr)\le\mathrm{val}(\sigma^*)\le n^2-an^2 .n2−an2(lna1​+2)≤val(σ∗)≤n2−an2.

Milestones (proof of Lemma 9.1, §9, p. 666)

  1. For every edge biclique (A,B)(A,B)(A,B), a schedule in the block order U∖A→B→A→V∖BU\setminus A\to B\to A\to V\setminus BU∖A→B→A→V∖B exists, and every such schedule is feasible with
val(σ)=n2−∣A∣⋅∣B∣.\mathrm{val}(\sigma)=n^2-|A|\cdot|B| .val(σ)=n2−∣A∣⋅∣B∣.
  1. For every schedule, σ(n+1)=n\sigma(n+1)=nσ(n+1)=n and
val(σ)=∑i=1n(σ(i+1)−σ(i))i=n2−∑i=1nσ(i).\mathrm{val}(\sigma)=\sum_{i=1}^n\bigl(\sigma(i+1)-\sigma(i)\bigr)i=n^2-\sum_{i=1}^n\sigma(i).val(σ)=i=1∑n​(σ(i+1)−σ(i))i=n2−i=1∑n​σ(i).
  1. For every feasible schedule and i=1,…,ni=1,\dots,ni=1,…,n,
σ(i)(n−i+1)≤an2,σ(i)≤n.\sigma(i)(n-i+1)\le an^2,\qquad \sigma(i)\le n .σ(i)(n−i+1)≤an2,σ(i)≤n.

Significance

Lemma 9.1 shows that the optimal value of SGS_GSG​ determines the maximum edge biclique of GGG up to a factor of order ln⁡(1/a)\ln(1/a)ln(1/a) in the "area above the work line" n2−val(σ∗)n^2-\mathrm{val}(\sigma^*)n2−val(σ∗). Combined with the hardness of approximating maximum edge biclique (Theorem 9.1, cited from Ambühl, Mastrolilli and Svensson 2007) it yields Theorem 9.2: 1 ∣ prec ∣ ∑wjCj1\,|\,\mathrm{prec}\,|\,\sum w_jC_j1∣prec∣∑wj​Cj​ has no PTAS unless SAT can be decided by a probabilistic algorithm in time 2Nϵ2^{N^\epsilon}2Nϵ for every ϵ>0\epsilon>0ϵ>0. It also makes precise the two-dimensional Gantt chart picture of Eastman, Even and Isaacs (1964) and of Goemans and Williamson (2000), in which every point on the work line of a schedule defines an edge biclique.

The lemma is proved in the paper; it is not formalized anywhere to our knowledge. A formal proof certifies the combinatorial core of the no-PTAS result independently of the complexity-theoretic layer, and its definitions (the bipartite instance SGS_GSG​, edge bicliques, the profile σ(i)\sigma(i)σ(i)) are reusable for the gap inequality behind Theorem 9.2.

Difficulty

The upper bound is a direct computation on one explicit schedule. The lower bound is a statement about every feasible schedule, of which there are exponentially many, and it must hold with the explicit constant 222 and the factor ln⁡(1/a)\ln(1/a)ln(1/a) for every a∈(0,1]a\in(0,1]a∈(0,1]. The printed argument splits the sum at i=(1−a)ni=(1-a)ni=(1−a)n and uses ⌊an⌋\lfloor an\rfloor⌊an⌋, treating ananan as an integer; for general aaa (for example n=3n=3n=3, value 222, an=2/3an=2/3an=2/3) the split point is not an integer, so the printed estimate does not apply verbatim and the constant 222 has to be re-checked for non-integral ananan. On the formal side, the value identity requires relating completion times in a list to counting UUU-jobs before each VVV-job, with ties among zero-length jobs.

Formalization scope

Jobs are the disjoint union U ⊕ V of two finite types with Fintype.card U = Fintype.card V = n; EEE is a relation U → V → Prop. A schedule is a duplicate-free list containing every job; feasibility is the published LawlerPrec.MinMax.IsFeasible and completion times are the published MooreLateJobs.Shared.completionTime (time 000 start, no idle time). Processing times and weights are reals, here in {0,1}\{0,1\}{0,1}. The maximum edge biclique value is the maximum of ∣A∣⋅∣B∣|A|\cdot|B|∣A∣⋅∣B∣ over all edge bicliques, the empty ones included, so the hypothesis a>0a>0a>0 means E≠∅E\ne\emptysetE=∅. The logarithm is natural (Real.log).

Conventions and readings committed to:

  • The goal is stated for every optimal schedule, and the existence of an optimal schedule is a separate conclusion, so the bounds cannot hold vacuously. Proving the bounds for one particular schedule, or for an optimal value defined as an infimum that could be a junk default, would not be this lemma.
  • No integrality hypothesis on ananan is added.
  • Milestones 2 and 3 are stated for every schedule (respectively every feasible schedule), not only for σ∗\sigma^*σ∗; milestone 1 states the value of the block-order schedule as an equality, where the paper writes "≤⋯=\le\cdots=≤⋯=".
  • The paper's P=(U×V)∖EP=(U\times V)\setminus EP=(U×V)∖E is irreflexive; feasibility only constrains distinct jobs, so it agrees with the reflexive partial order of §1.

Not formalized: Theorem 9.1 (cited hardness of maximum edge biclique) and Theorem 9.2 (no PTAS under a complexity assumption); no polynomial-time or complexity-theoretic statement appears in the mission. Contributions welcome: proofs of the three milestones and of the goal; Mathlib's bounds on harmonic numbers (Mathlib/NumberTheory/Harmonic/Bounds.lean) are the relevant library.

Selected references

  • C. Ambühl, M. Mastrolilli, N. Mutsanas, O. Svensson, On the Approximability of Single-Machine Scheduling with Precedence Constraints, Mathematics of Operations Research 36(4):653–669, 2011. https://doi.org/10.1287/moor.1110.0512
  • C. Ambühl, M. Mastrolilli, O. Svensson, Inapproximability results for sparsest cut, optimal linear arrangement, and precedence constraint scheduling, Proc. 48th IEEE FOCS, 329–337, 2007 (reference [4] of the paper).
  • W. L. Eastman, S. Even, I. M. Isaacs, Bounds for the optimal scheduling of n jobs on m processors, Management Science 11(2):268–279, 1964 (reference [11]).
  • M. X. Goemans, D. P. Williamson, Two-dimensional Gantt charts and a scheduling algorithm of Lawler, SIAM J. Discrete Math. 13(3):281–294, 2000 (reference [15]).
  • P. Schuurman, G. J. Woeginger, Polynomial time approximation algorithms for machine scheduling: ten open problems, J. Scheduling 2(5):203–213, 1999 (reference [36]).
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Dynamic Pricing Without Knowing the Demand Function: Risk Bounds and Near-Optimal Algorithms II: The Parametric Learn-then-Price Policy Has Regret at Most C(log n)^{1/2}/n^{1/3}Research Paper

Why learn demand while pricing?

A seller with a fixed inventory must choose prices before knowing how customers respond to them. A price that earns a high margin can sell too slowly; a price that sells quickly can exhaust stock before the selling season ends. Learning demand uses time and inventory, so the seller must account for the cost of its own experiments. This mission formalizes the parametric policy and regret bound of Besbes and Zeevi (2009), Proposition 3. Their setting differs from a finite-arm bandit: the permitted ordinary prices form an interval, customer arrivals are random, and the available stock caps total sales.

The paper first analyzes a nonparametric class with a slower upper bound in Proposition 1, then imposes a known finite-dimensional form on the unknown demand curve in Section 5. Proposition 3 shows how that additional information improves the regret rate for its Algorithm 2. The authors also prove a lower bound for a suitable parametric family in Proposition 4; that result is outside this mission's capstone, which concerns the performance guarantee of the concrete policy.

Market, demand, and policy

The selling horizon has length T>0T>0T>0, and the initial stock is x>0x>0x>0. An ordinary price ppp lies in [p‾,p‾][\underline p,\overline p][p​,p​], with 0<p‾<p‾0<\underline p<\overline p0<p​<p​. The special price p∞>0p_\infty>0p∞​>0 stops demand. At parameter θ∈Θ⊆Rk\theta\in\Theta\subseteq\mathbb R^kθ∈Θ⊆Rk, the demand rate is λ(p;θ)≥0\lambda(p;\theta)\ge0λ(p;θ)≥0. The parameter set Θ\ThetaΘ is nonempty, compact, and convex; kkk is positive. The seller knows the family λ(⋅;θ)\lambda(\cdot;\theta)λ(⋅;θ) but does not know the true parameter θ∗\theta^*θ∗.

For each parameter, demand is nonincreasing in the price and has an inverse γ(⋅;θ)\gamma(\cdot;\theta)γ(⋅;θ) on the attainable rate interval. The rate revenue is r(ℓ;θ)=ℓγ(ℓ;θ)r(\ell;\theta)=\ell\gamma(\ell;\theta)r(ℓ;θ)=ℓγ(ℓ;θ), a concave function of the rate. Every member of the family satisfies Assumption 1 with the same positive constants M,K‾,K‾,mM,\underline K,\overline K,mM,K​,K,m: demand is at most MMM, its price variation is at most K‾\overline KK times the price difference, its inverse is K‾−1\underline K^{-1}K​−1-Lipschitz, and some ordinary price earns revenue rate at least mmm. These conditions define the class in which the bound is uniform. See §§3–4.2 of the source.

Customer requests follow a unit-rate Poisson process NNN run on a demand-dependent clock. Under price p(t)p(t)p(t), cumulative requests at time ttt equal N(∫0tλ(p(s);θ∗) ds)N(\int_0^t\lambda(p(s);\theta^*)\,ds)N(∫0t​λ(p(s);θ∗)ds). The market of size nnn has stock nxnxnx and rate nλn\lambdanλ. Sales stop when stock runs out. The deterministic relaxation JnDJ_n^DJnD​ is the best integrated rate revenue over measurable price paths satisfying the expected-demand stock constraint, with the same scaling. The policy revenue JnπJ_n^\piJnπ​ is its expected sales revenue, and its relative regret is Rnπ=1−Jnπ/JnDR_n^\pi=1-J_n^\pi/J_n^DRnπ​=1−Jnπ​/JnD​. Fact 1 states JnD=nJDJ_n^D=nJ^DJnD​=nJD and gives a positive uniform lower bound on JDJ^DJD.

Assumption 2 selects kkk distinct ordinary test prices. Their mean rates identify the parameter through a Lipschitz inverse map ggg, and demand changes at most K‾2∥θ−θ′∥∞\overline K_2\|\theta-\theta'\|_\inftyK2​∥θ−θ′∥∞​ as the parameter varies. The square root of each test-price rate is differentiable on Θ\ThetaΘ. Algorithm 2 spends τn\tau_nτn​ time units testing these prices in equal subintervals, estimates each rate from its Poisson count increment, and sets θ^=g(d^)\widehat\theta=g(\widehat d)θ=g(d). It then posts p^=max⁡{pu(θ^),pc(θ^)}\widehat p=\max\{p^u(\widehat\theta),p^c(\widehat\theta)\}p​=max{pu(θ),pc(θ)}, where pup^upu maximizes revenue rate and pcp^cpc minimizes the distance of demand to x/Tx/Tx/T. It keeps that price until time TTT or stock-out. See §5.1–5.2.

Formalization targets

The capstone is the uniform bound in Proposition 3, equation (17). With τn≍n−1/3\tau_n\asymp n^{-1/3}τn​≍n−1/3, the mission asks for one constant C>0C>0C>0, independent of nnn, θ∗\theta^*θ∗, the optimizer choices, and the probability space, such that

∀θ∗∈Θ,Rnπ(x,T;θ∗)≤Clog⁡nn1/3(n≥2).\forall\theta^*\in\Theta,\qquad R_n^\pi(x,T;\theta^*)\le C\frac{\sqrt{\log n}}{n^{1/3}}\quad(n\ge2).∀θ∗∈Θ,Rnπ​(x,T;θ∗)≤Cn1/3logn​​(n≥2).

The intermediate quantitative target is equation (A-25), which retains the learning time:

Rnπ≤C3mD(τn+log⁡nnτn),mD=mmin⁡{T,x/M}.R_n^\pi\le\frac{C_3}{m^D}\left(\tau_n+\frac{\sqrt{\log n}}{\sqrt{n\tau_n}}\right),\qquad m^D=m\min\{T,x/M\}.Rnπ​≤mDC3​​(τn​+nτn​​logn​​),mD=mmin{T,x/M}.

The milestone list also carries Fact 1, the optimal deterministic price path and value from the first assertion of Lemma 1, both Poisson tails of Lemma 2, the pricing-phase revenue bound (A-17), the deterministic stability bounds (A-19), (A-22), and (A-23), and the parameter-estimation bound of Lemma 6. The paper's assertion that the policy is “asymptotically optimal” follows from the displayed regret estimate together with nonnegative regret; the displayed numerical estimate is the formal goal.

What the result provides

A finite-dimensional demand model lets the seller learn from a fixed set of kkk prices rather than probing an increasingly fine price grid. Proposition 3 quantifies the resulting revenue loss at O(log⁡n n−1/3)O(\sqrt{\log n}\,n^{-1/3})O(logn​n−1/3), compared with the paper's O(log⁡n n−1/4)O(\sqrt{\log n}\,n^{-1/4})O(logn​n−1/4) upper bound for its nonparametric learn-then-price policy. Both guarantees compare actual expected revenue with the full-information deterministic benchmark, including stock-out. These rates are proved in the article; the mission seeks machine-checked Lean proofs of the stated model, auxiliary bounds, and capstone. No such proof is claimed here.

The formalization would also provide reusable interfaces for a unit-rate Poisson counting process, deterministic inventory-constrained revenue optimization, measurable price selectors, and a random price chosen from normalized count observations. The later single-parameter policy in the paper uses related ideas but is a separate mission with different stages and a different rate.

Main difficulty

A rate estimate can be close to the true rate while the selected price changes between two different optimizers: the unconstrained revenue maximizer and the price that matches inventory to expected demand. A bound for only one optimizer does not control the maximum of the two. The learning price is random, and the number of requests in the pricing phase is evaluated at a random Poisson clock. Stock-out further couples the learning phase to the amount available for later sales. These features prevent a direct substitution of an ordinary parameter-estimation bound into the final revenue formula.

Formalization scope

Lean uses Fin(k)→R\mathrm{Fin}(k)\to\mathbb RFin(k)→R with its sup norm for parameter vectors, a finite positive off price, and a Poisson process on an arbitrary probability space. Each demand curve is defined on all real prices but is constrained on [p‾,p‾][\underline p,\overline p][p​,p​] and at p∞p_\inftyp∞​; the inverse and concavity conditions apply on the attainable rate interval. The deterministic benchmark is a real supremum over measurable, integrable admissible price paths. The class assumptions make its value nonempty and bounded. Policy revenue uses a nonnegative integral of pathwise revenue, avoiding a default zero from a nonintegrable signed expectation.

Inventory is measured in whole units, so the cap is ⌊nx⌋\lfloor nx\rfloor⌊nx⌋, equal to the paper's nxnxnx when that quantity is integral. Test-price observations remain uncapped in the formula for d^\widehat dd; if stock runs out during learning, capped later sales are already zero. The continuous optimizer choices are measurable selections satisfying the actual max/min properties for every member of Θ\ThetaΘ. The bound is uniform over these choices and over all unit-rate Poisson processes.

The printed Assumption 2(i)b asks for a solution to the test-rate equations for every vector in Rk\mathbb R^kRk. Such a solution cannot always lie in compact Θ\ThetaΘ, although the proof applies Assumption 2(ii) to θ^\widehat\thetaθ. Here ggg is a Lipschitz map into Θ\ThetaΘ that recovers each true parameter from its test-rate vector; it can be viewed as the unconstrained inverse followed by a nonexpansive projection in the paper's box example. This explicit convention is required to make the estimate and subsequent use of Assumption 2(ii) coherent. It is an interpretive repair of the printed condition.

The paper prints the regret bound for n≥1n\ge1n≥1, where log⁡1=0\sqrt{\log1}=0log1​=0. The exploration policy can lose revenue at n=1n=1n=1, so the formal theorem starts at n≥2n\ge2n≥2. The comparison τn≍n−1/3\tau_n\asymp n^{-1/3}τn​≍n−1/3 is encoded by positive lower and upper multipliers after a fixed threshold, with 0<τn≤T0<\tau_n\le T0<τn​≤T for all relevant market sizes. This admits the usual finite initial adjustments and leaves the bound uniform over the sequence. No fixed demand curve, known parameter, finite price grid, or uncapped sales model can satisfy this target by substitution.

Selected references

  • Omar Besbes and Assaf Zeevi, Dynamic Pricing Without Knowing the Demand Function: Risk Bounds and Near-Optimal Algorithms, Operations Research 57(6), 2009, authors' final manuscript revised December 16, 2007. DOI: 10.1287/opre.1080.0640.
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Discrete-Time Controlled Markov Processes with Average Cost Criterion: A Survey 3: A Uniform Lower Bound on the Probability of Moving to State 0 Reduces Average Cost to Discounted CostResearch Paper

Why average cost is a control problem

A controller acting over an indefinite horizon must decide whether a lower cost today is worth a higher cost later. Average cost measures the expected expenditure per stage as the horizon grows. It is appropriate when operation has no natural terminal date, but its limiting definition makes it difficult to compute an optimal policy directly. Discounted cost assigns less weight to distant stages and has a more direct optimality equation. Arapostathis, Borkar, Fernández-Gaucherand, Ghosh and Marcus survey these criteria for controlled Markov processes and state a condition under which solving one discounted problem yields a solution to an average-cost problem (Arapostathis et al., 1993, §5.1).

The condition is a common lower bound on the one-step probability of moving to a distinguished state. Ross's reduction, reported as Theorem 5.6 of the survey, uses that bound to define a new transition law and a specific discount factor. The survey's theorem states the reduction informally; its proof specifies the transformed law, the optimality equation and the resulting average-cost policy. Those claims are the targets of this mission (Arapostathis et al., 1993, pp. 303–304).

Controlled process and criteria

The state space is S={0,1,2,…}S=\{0,1,2,\ldots\}S={0,1,2,…}. In state iii, the controller may choose an action aaa from a nonempty compact set U(i)U(i)U(i) in a metric action space. Choosing aaa incurs the one-stage cost c(i,a)≥0c(i,a)\ge0c(i,a)≥0 and moves the state to jjj with probability P(j∣i,a)P(j\mid i,a)P(j∣i,a). The cost is measurable, and for each fixed i,ji,ji,j its value and P(j∣i,a)P(j\mid i,a)P(j∣i,a) vary continuously with aaa on U(i)U(i)U(i). Section 5 imposes these state and continuity conventions; §5.1 additionally assumes the costs are bounded (Arapostathis et al., 1993, pp. 284–288, 299, 301).

An admissible policy π\piπ chooses a probability law for the next action from the entire observed history, and assigns probability one to admissible actions. A stationary deterministic policy is a map fff with f(i)∈U(i)f(i)\in U(i)f(i)∈U(i); it always takes action f(i)f(i)f(i) in state iii. These are distinct classes. Let JN(i,π)J_N(i,\pi)JN​(i,π) be expected cost over the first NNN stages from iii, and let Jβ(i,π)J_\beta(i,\pi)Jβ​(i,π) be expected cost when stage ttt is weighted by βt\beta^tβt, where 0<β<10<\beta<10<β<1. The average-cost criterion is J(i,π)=lim sup⁡N→∞JN(i,π)/NJ(i,\pi)=\limsup_{N\to\infty}J_N(i,\pi)/NJ(i,π)=limsupN→∞​JN​(i,π)/N. The optimal values J∗(i)J^*(i)J∗(i) and Jβ∗(i)J_\beta^*(i)Jβ∗​(i) are infima over all admissible policies, including randomized and history-dependent ones (Arapostathis et al., 1993, pp. 285–287).

The average cost optimality equation, or ACOE, asks for a scalar ρ\rhoρ and a real function hhh such that, for each state iii,

ρ+h(i)=min⁡a∈U(i){c(i,a)+∑j∈SP(j∣i,a)h(j)}.\rho+h(i)=\min_{a\in U(i)}\left\{c(i,a)+\sum_{j\in S}P(j\mid i,a)h(j)\right\}.ρ+h(i)=a∈U(i)min​⎩⎨⎧​c(i,a)+j∈S∑​P(j∣i,a)h(j)⎭⎬⎫​.

The minimum is attained. The survey's verification theorem identifies ρ\rhoρ with the optimal average cost when the terminal contribution of h(Xt)h(X_t)h(Xt​) vanishes after division by ttt (Arapostathis et al., 1993, p. 299, (5.1), Theorem 5.1).

Formalization targets

The reduction

Assume that P(0∣i,a)≥αP(0\mid i,a)\ge\alphaP(0∣i,a)≥α on every admissible state-action pair for a single constant 0<α<10<\alpha<10<α<1. The transformed process M~\widetilde MM has the same admissible actions and costs and has transition probabilities

P~(j∣i,a)=P(j∣i,a)−α1{j=0}1−α.\widetilde P(j\mid i,a)=\frac{P(j\mid i,a)-\alpha\mathbf1_{\{j=0\}}}{1-\alpha}.P(j∣i,a)=1−αP(j∣i,a)−α1{j=0}​​.

Write J~1−α∗\widetilde J^*_{1-\alpha}J1−α∗​ for its discounted value at discount factor 1−α1-\alpha1−α. The goal states that this value is finite, a stationary deterministic discounted-optimal policy exists, and every such policy is average-cost optimal for the original process. It also identifies a constant optimal average cost for every initial state:

J∗(i)=αJ~1−α∗(0),i∈S.J^*(i)=\alpha\widetilde J^*_{1-\alpha}(0),\qquad i\in S.J∗(i)=αJ1−α∗​(0),i∈S.

The goal does not assume the average optimality that it asserts. It requires the transformed law to satisfy the displayed formula at every admissible state-action pair (Arapostathis et al., 1993, Theorem 5.6 and proof, pp. 303–304).

Supporting targets

The milestones establish that the transformed law gives a controlled Markov process, that the discounted problem has an optimal stationary deterministic policy, and that the transformed discounted value satisfies the original ACOE with ρ=αJ~1−α∗(0)\rho=\alpha\widetilde J^*_{1-\alpha}(0)ρ=αJ1−α∗​(0). The final milestone is the ACOE verification theorem needed to identify the average cost. The source gives the first two discounted claims through Theorem 2.1 and writes out the transformed equation in the proof of Theorem 5.6 (Arapostathis et al., 1993, pp. 289, 299, 304).

What the result supplies

The theorem replaces an average-cost optimization problem by one discounted problem with a prescribed discount factor and transition law. It yields a stationary deterministic policy that is optimal even when compared with every history-dependent randomized policy, and it shows that the optimal average cost is independent of the initial state. Without the common return probability, neither this particular law nor this fixed discount factor follows from the survey's argument (Arapostathis et al., 1993, Theorem 5.6).

The survey reports this as a known result of Ross rather than an open conjecture. The formalization work is to give the path measures, value functions, transformed process and verification result machine-checkable meanings. The Lean declarations here are open theorem statements awaiting proofs; compiling a statement with sorry does not establish the mathematical theorem. The policy and cost definitions can also support the other countable-state missions drawn from §5.

Difficulty

The transformed probabilities have to form a measurable stochastic kernel, preserve the action continuity assumptions and yield a controlled process with the original feasible actions and costs. The discounted value must be finite and uniformly bounded before its real form can enter the ACOE. A simple comparison of numerical optimal values is insufficient: a policy chosen in the transformed model must be shown optimal for the original model against the full policy class. The verification theorem also requires control of the terminal expectation of h(Xt)h(X_t)h(Xt​) for arbitrary admissible policies, rather than only the stationary policies named in its printed condition (Arapostathis et al., 1993, pp. 299–300, 304).

Formalization scope

Lean uses N\mathbb NN for the countable state space and Mathlib probability kernels for the transition and randomized decision rules. Strategic path measures are constructed from those kernels. Nonnegative expected costs and their infima live in [0,∞][0,\infty][0,∞], so an unbounded integral cannot silently become a finite real value. The transformed discounted value is converted to a real only in conclusions that also assert its finiteness. The ACOE uses real sums with explicit summability and an attained minimum. The model requires a Borel metric action space, nonempty compact action sets, measurable costs, and coordinatewise action continuity of the transition probabilities.

The source's §5.1 bounded-cost assumption is explicit in the goal and its discounted milestones. The displayed transformation needs α<1\alpha<1α<1; the paper's theorem sentence gives only α>0\alpha>0α>0, so the case α=1\alpha=1α=1 is excluded from this version. The paper prints (5.2) for stationary deterministic policies, but the proof uses it for all admissible policies to compare with J∗J^*J∗; the verification milestone takes the stronger, proof-supported hypothesis. Expectations in that condition are explicitly integrable. The converse part of Theorem 5.1 is not used and is outside this mission.

The transformed process is represented by another CMP constrained to have exactly the source's action sets, admissible costs and transition formula. A milestone poses its existence. This representation keeps the definition layer free of an unproved stochastic-kernel construction. The discount-optimal policy conclusion ranges over every stationary deterministic policy attaining the transformed discounted value, while the values themselves take infima over all admissible policies. Definitions of admissible path laws and the verification theorem are reusable contributions; proofs of the transformed kernel, stationary discounted existence and ACOE identity are welcome.

Selected references

  • A. Arapostathis, V. S. Borkar, E. Fernández-Gaucherand, M. K. Ghosh and S. I. Marcus, Discrete-time controlled Markov processes with average cost criterion: a survey, SIAM Journal on Control and Optimization 31(2), 282–344, 1993. DOI: 10.1137/0331018.
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On the Approximability of Single-Machine Scheduling with Precedence Constraints 4: Vertex Cover in Connected Graphs of Degree ≤ 3 Reduces to Weighted Vertex Cover for Interval-Order InstancesResearch Paper

Motivation

In the single-machine scheduling problem 1∣prec∣∑wjCj1|\mathrm{prec}|\sum w_jC_j1∣prec∣∑wj​Cj​, a set NNN of nnn jobs, each with a processing time pj≥0p_j\ge 0pj​≥0 and a weight wj≥0w_j\ge 0wj​≥0, is processed on one machine without interruption, subject to precedence constraints given by a partial order PPP on NNN. The aim is to minimize the weighted sum of completion times ∑jwjCj\sum_j w_jC_j∑j​wj​Cj​. The problem is strongly NP-hard for general precedence constraints (Lawler 1978; Lenstra and Rinnooy Kan 1978), and its approximability was a recurring open question in scheduling theory (Schuurman and Woeginger 1999).

A line of work by Chudak and Hochbaum, Correa and Schulz, and Ambühl and Mastrolilli showed that the problem is a special case of minimum weighted vertex cover in a graph GPSG^S_PGPS​ built from the instance. Many problems on partial orders become polynomial when the order is an interval order, so it is natural to ask whether this one does too. Section 7 of Ambühl, Mastrolilli, Mutsanas and Svensson (Math. Oper. Res. 2011) answers no: the problem stays NP-hard on interval orders. The proof is a reduction from vertex cover in connected graphs of maximum degree 3. This mission formalizes the correctness of that reduction.

Setting

A poset P=(N,P)P=(N,P)P=(N,P) is read as a reflexive relation: (x,y)∈P(x,y)\in P(x,y)∈P means x≤yx\le yx≤y. Jobs x,yx,yx,y are incomparable if neither (x,y)(x,y)(x,y) nor (y,x)(y,x)(y,x) is in PPP, and inc⁡(P)\operatorname{inc}(P)inc(P) is the set of ordered incomparable pairs. The vertex cover graph GPSG^S_PGPS​ has one node (i,j)(i,j)(i,j) for each incomparable pair, weighted piwjp_iw_jpi​wj​. Two nodes (i,j)(i,j)(i,j) and (k,ℓ)(k,\ell)(k,ℓ) are adjacent if j=kj=kj=k and i=ℓi=\elli=ℓ, or j=kj=kj=k and (i,ℓ)∈P(i,\ell)\in P(i,ℓ)∈P, or (i,ℓ)∈P(i,\ell)\in P(i,ℓ)∈P and (k,j)∈P(k,j)\in P(k,j)∈P. Write w(CI)w(C_I)w(CI​) for the minimum weight of a vertex cover of GISG^S_IGIS​.

A poset is an interval order if each element xxx can be assigned a closed real interval [ax,bx][a_x,b_x][ax​,bx​] such that x<yx<yx<y if and only if bx<ayb_x<a_ybx​<ay​.

The reduction starts from a graph G=(V,E)G=(V,E)G=(V,E) with vertices v1,…,vNv_1,\dots,v_Nv1​,…,vN​ and a spanning tree T=(V,ET)T=(V,E_T)T=(V,ET​) rooted at v1v_1v1​, numbered so that each parent comes before its children. The paper uses a breadth-first search tree.

  • Stage 1. The graph G′G'G′ is built from TTT. Each viv_ivi​ gets a pendant path vi−u1i−u2iv_i - u^i_1 - u^i_2vi​−u1i​−u2i​. Each non-tree edge {vi,vj}∈E∖ET\{v_i,v_j\}\in E\setminus E_T{vi​,vj​}∈E∖ET​ with i<ji<ji<j gets the path vi−e1ij−e2ij−u2jv_i - e^{ij}_1 - e^{ij}_2 - u^j_2vi​−e1ij​−e2ij​−u2j​. The non-tree edges themselves are not edges of G′G'G′.
  • Stage 2. The scheduling instance SSS has jobs s0s_0s0​, s1,…,sNs_1,\dots,s_Ns1​,…,sN​, m1,…,mNm_1,\dots,m_Nm1​,…,mN​, e1,…,eNe_1,\dots,e_Ne1​,…,eN​, and bijb_{ij}bij​ for each non-tree edge. Their intervals, processing times and weights are given in a table on p. 662. For example, sjs_jsj​ has interval [i,j][i,j][i,j], processing time 1/kj1/k^j1/kj and weight kik^iki, where viv_ivi​ is the parent of vjv_jvj​. The precedence constraints III are the interval order of these intervals. With nnn the number of jobs, the parameter is k=n2+1k=n^2+1k=n2+1.
  • The set DDD. It is {(s0,s1)}∪{(si,sj):vi parent of vj}∪{(si,mi),(mi,ei)}∪{(si,bij),(bij,mj)}\{(s_0,s_1)\}\cup\{(s_i,s_j): v_i \text{ parent of } v_j\}\cup\{(s_i,m_i),(m_i,e_i)\}\cup\{(s_i,b_{ij}),(b_{ij},m_j)\}{(s0​,s1​)}∪{(si​,sj​):vi​ parent of vj​}∪{(si​,mi​),(mi​,ei​)}∪{(si​,bij​),(bij​,mj​)}. The graph GI′G'_IGI′​ is the subgraph of GISG^S_IGIS​ induced by DDD.

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem 7.1 (p. 661)

For every connected graph GGG of maximum degree at most 333, every parent-first spanning tree TTT and every m∈Nm\in\mathbb Nm∈N, the precedence constraints III of SSS form an interval order, and

G has a vertex cover of size≤m  ⟺  ⌊w(CI)⌋≤m+∣V∣+∣E∖ET∣.G \text{ has a vertex cover of size} \le m \iff \lfloor w(C_I)\rfloor \le m + |V| + |E\setminus E_T|.G has a vertex cover of size≤m⟺⌊w(CI​)⌋≤m+∣V∣+∣E∖ET​∣.

Milestones, in the order the proof uses them

  • Claim 1 (p. 662): τ(G′)=τ(G)+∣V∣+∣E∖ET∣\tau(G') = \tau(G)+|V|+|E\setminus E_T|τ(G′)=τ(G)+∣V∣+∣E∖ET​∣, where τ\tauτ is the vertex cover number.
  • Remark 7.1 (p. 662): for jobs with intervals [a,b][a,b][a,b] and [c,d][c,d][c,d] and a≤da\le da≤d, pi≤1/k⌈b⌉p_i\le 1/k^{\lceil b\rceil}pi​≤1/k⌈b⌉ and wj≤k⌈c⌉w_j\le k^{\lceil c\rceil}wj​≤k⌈c⌉. On incomparable pairs piwj∈{1}∪[0,1/k]p_iw_j\in\{1\}\cup[0,1/k]pi​wj​∈{1}∪[0,1/k]. Moreover, piwj≥kp_iw_j\ge kpi​wj​≥k forces b<cb<cb<c, and piwj=1p_iw_j=1pi​wj​=1 forces ⌈b⌉=⌈c⌉\lceil b\rceil=\lceil c\rceil⌈b⌉=⌈c⌉.
  • Claim 2 (p. 663): an incomparable pair (i,j)(i,j)(i,j) has piwj=1p_iw_j=1pi​wj​=1 if it is in DDD, and piwj≤1/kp_iw_j\le 1/kpi​wj​≤1/k otherwise.
  • Claim 3 (p. 663): GI′≅G′G'_I\cong G'GI′​≅G′.
  • §7, p. 664: with k=n2+1k=n^2+1k=n2+1, ∑(i,j)∈inc⁡(I)∖Dpiwj<1\sum_{(i,j)\in\operatorname{inc}(I)\setminus D}p_iw_j<1∑(i,j)∈inc(I)∖D​pi​wj​<1, and hence w(CI′)=⌊w(CI)⌋w(C'_I)=\lfloor w(C_I)\rfloorw(CI′​)=⌊w(CI​)⌋.

Significance

The result. Interval orders are a standard tractable class: several scheduling and order-theoretic problems that are hard in general become polynomial on them (Papadimitriou and Yannakakis 1979). Theorem 7.1 puts 1∣prec∣∑wjCj1|\mathrm{prec}|\sum w_jC_j1∣prec∣∑wj​Cj​ outside this pattern. Section 6 of the same paper shows that the problem nonetheless has a 3/23/23/2-approximation on interval orders, so hardness and approximability are separated on this class. The paper also remarks that the proof makes weighted vertex cover NP-hard to approximate within some factor r>1r>1r>1 on the graphs GISG^S_IGIS​ arising from interval orders.

Formalizing it. The theorem is proved in the paper. Nothing in this mission is open, and none of it has been machine-checked before. The work splits into the following parts:

  • a gadget argument on unweighted vertex covers (Claim 1, after Alimonti and Kann);
  • an exact case analysis of incomparable pairs in a concrete interval order (Remark 7.1, Claim 2);
  • a graph isomorphism (Claim 3);
  • a rounding argument that links weighted and unweighted optima.

The definitions of GPSG^S_PGPS​ and of minimum-weight vertex covers are shared with the other missions of this series.

Difficulty

The construction is explicit, and each step is elementary. The work is in the bookkeeping. Claim 2 requires classifying every incomparable pair of jobs, including pairs of different kinds such as (bij,sℓ)(b_{ij}, s_\ell)(bij​,sℓ​), by comparing ceilings of interval endpoints. Half-integer endpoints (mim_imi​, bijb_{ij}bij​) are exactly what separates weight-one pairs from comparable ones. Claim 3 requires checking adjacency in GISG^S_IGIS​ for all pairs of nodes of DDD in both directions. The paper writes out two cases in each direction and calls the rest similar.

Claim 1 has a direction that is not simply local. A vertex cover of G′G'G′ that misses both endpoints of a non-tree edge has to be repaired by swapping gadget vertices, and the repair must be repeated without increasing the size.

A natural first idea is to treat the light nodes (weight at most 1/k1/k1/k) as negligible one at a time. This does not suffice: the argument needs their total weight to stay below 111, which is what forces kkk to grow with n2n^2n2.

Formalization scope

  • Graph and tree. GGG is a SimpleGraph (Fin N); vertex vi+1v_{i+1}vi+1​ is i, and the root is index 0. The tree is a TreeLayout: a parent function returning none exactly at the root, with each parent of smaller index and adjacent in GGG. The statements hold for every such layout. This is stronger than the paper's breadth-first tree, and the proof uses only "parent before child".
  • Hypotheses of the goal. Connectivity and the degree bound ((G.neighborSet v).ncard ≤ 3) are kept as in the paper. They matter only for the NP-completeness of the source problem.
  • Jobs. The jobs form an inductive type with one constructor per row of the table. Their order is a PartialOrder instance: x≤yx\le yx≤y iff x=yx=yx=y or bx<ayb_x<a_ybx​<ay​. Processing times and weights are real numbers. Section 1 of the paper asks for nonnegative integers, but the instance uses 1/kj1/k^j1/kj and the formalization follows the instance as printed.
  • Constants. The constants are explicit: k=n2+1k=n^2+1k=n2+1 with nnn the cardinality of the job type, and c=∣V∣+∣E∖ET∣c=|V|+|E\setminus E_T|c=∣V∣+∣E∖ET​∣. Remark 7.1 and Claim 2 are stated for every real k>1k>1k>1.
  • Optimum values. w(CI)w(C_I)w(CI​) is a minimum over the finite family of vertex covers. Unweighted cover numbers are Mathlib's SimpleGraph.vertexCoverNum. The floor is Nat.floor, which agrees with the integer floor because w(CI)≥0w(C_I)\ge 0w(CI​)≥0.
  • Not formalized. The goal's wording ("NP-hard") is not formalized. Neither are the NP-completeness of degree-3 vertex cover (Garey, Johnson and Stockmeyer), the polynomial size of the construction, or Theorem 2.1 (cited), which turns a vertex cover of GISG^S_IGIS​ into a schedule. What is stated is the correctness of the reduction: the instance has interval-order constraints, and its optimum decides the vertex cover question.
  • No trivialization. The instance SSS is built from GGG and TTT exactly as in the table. The goal quantifies over all graphs and layouts, never over an instance SSS assumed to have the properties.
  • Contributions. Contributions are welcome on any milestone. Claims 1 and 3 are independent of the weights, and Claim 2 is independent of the graph theory.

Selected references

  • C. Ambühl, M. Mastrolilli, N. Mutsanas, O. Svensson, On the Approximability of Single-Machine Scheduling with Precedence Constraints, Math. Oper. Res. 36(4):653–669, 2011. https://doi.org/10.1287/moor.1110.0512
  • C. Ambühl, M. Mastrolilli, Single machine precedence constrained scheduling is a vertex cover problem, Algorithmica 53(4):488–503, 2009. https://doi.org/10.1007/s00453-008-9251-1
  • J. R. Correa, A. S. Schulz, Single machine scheduling with precedence constraints, Math. Oper. Res. 30(4):1005–1021, 2005. https://doi.org/10.1287/moor.1050.0158
  • P. Alimonti, V. Kann, Some APX-completeness results for cubic graphs, Theoret. Comput. Sci. 237(1–2):123–134, 2000. https://doi.org/10.1016/S0304-3975(98)00158-3
  • M. R. Garey, D. S. Johnson, L. Stockmeyer, Some simplified NP-complete graph problems, Theoret. Comput. Sci. 1(3):237–267, 1976. https://doi.org/10.1016/0304-3975(76)90059-1
  • C. H. Papadimitriou, M. Yannakakis, Scheduling interval-ordered tasks, SIAM J. Comput. 8(3):405–409, 1979. https://doi.org/10.1137/0208031
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On the Approximability of Single-Machine Scheduling with Precedence Constraints 5: An r-Approximate Vertex Cover of the Variable-Cost Graph Yields an (r + ε)-Approximate Vertex Cover of GResearch Paper

Why the variable cost matters

The problem 1∣prec∣∑wjCj1|\mathrm{prec}|\sum w_jC_j1∣prec∣∑wj​Cj​ asks for an order in which to process jobs on one machine, respecting precedence constraints, so as to minimize the weighted sum of completion times. It is strongly NP-hard, and for decades the best approximation ratio known has been 222, achieved by several unrelated algorithms (LP relaxations, Sidney decompositions, primal–dual methods).

Correa and Schulz (2005) and Ambühl and Mastrolilli (2009) showed that the problem is a special case of weighted vertex cover: its objective splits into a fixed cost, the same for every feasible solution, and a variable cost, which equals the weight of a vertex cover in an auxiliary graph GPSG^S_{\mathbf P}GPS​. Approximating vertex cover in GPSG^S_{\mathbf P}GPS​ within a factor α\alphaα therefore approximates the scheduling problem within α\alphaα. Uhan observed that the classical 2-approximations owe their guarantee to the fixed cost and can be arbitrarily bad on the variable cost alone.

Section 8 of Ambühl, Mastrolilli, Mutsanas and Svensson, Math. Oper. Res. 36(4) (2011) (DOI), proves the converse: approximating the variable cost is as hard as approximating vertex cover itself. A better-than-2 algorithm for 1∣prec∣∑wjCj1|\mathrm{prec}|\sum w_jC_j1∣prec∣∑wj​Cj​ must therefore either exploit the fixed cost or improve on the best known approximation for vertex cover, a long-standing open question.

Setting

Scheduling instance. A finite set NNN of jobs, a partial order P=(N,P)\mathbf P = (N,P)P=(N,P) (reflexive; (i,j)∈P(i,j) \in P(i,j)∈P, i≠ji \ne ji=j, means iii precedes jjj), processing times pj≥0p_j \ge 0pj​≥0 and weights wj≥0w_j \ge 0wj​≥0.

Incomparable pairs. Jobs x,yx,yx,y are incomparable, x∥yx \parallel yx∥y, if neither (x,y)(x,y)(x,y) nor (y,x)(y,x)(y,x) lies in PPP. The set inc⁡(P)\operatorname{inc}(\mathbf P)inc(P) consists of the ordered pairs (x,y)(x,y)(x,y) with x∥yx \parallel yx∥y.

The vertex cover graph GPSG^S_{\mathbf P}GPS​. One node per incomparable pair (i,j)(i,j)(i,j), of weight w(i,j)=piwjw_{(i,j)} = p_i w_jw(i,j)​=pi​wj​. Distinct nodes (i,j)(i,j)(i,j) and (k,ℓ)(k,\ell)(k,ℓ) are adjacent when, in one of the two orders, j=kj=kj=k and i=ℓi=\elli=ℓ, or j=kj=kj=k and (i,ℓ)∈P(i,\ell)\in P(i,ℓ)∈P, or (i,ℓ),(k,j)∈P(i,\ell),(k,j) \in P(i,ℓ),(k,j)∈P. For a set CCC of nodes, w(C)=∑u∈Cwuw(C) = \sum_{u\in C} w_uw(C)=∑u∈C​wu​; for a vertex cover CCC this is the variable cost, and τw(GPS)\tau_w(G^S_{\mathbf P})τw​(GPS​) is its minimum over all vertex covers.

The instance S(G,k)S(G,k)S(G,k). Given a graph G=(V,E)G=(V,E)G=(V,E) with V={v1,…,vn}V = \{v_1,\dots,v_n\}V={v1​,…,vn​} and k>0k > 0k>0, the instance has jobs vi′v'_ivi′​ (processing time k−ik^{-i}k−i, weight 000) and vi′′v''_ivi′′​ (processing time 000, weight kik^{i}ki), and precedence constraints vi′<vj′′v'_i < v''_jvi′​<vj′′​ and vj′<vi′′v'_j < v''_ivj′​<vi′′​ for each edge {vi,vj}∈E\{v_i,v_j\} \in E{vi​,vj​}∈E, plus vi′<vj′′v'_i < v''_jvi′​<vj′′​ for all i<ji<ji<j. The nodes (vi′,vi′′)(v'_i, v''_i)(vi′​,vi′′​) of GPSG^S_{\mathbf P}GPS​ have weight 111 and are called heavy; all others are light. For a set CCC of nodes, CG={vi:(vi′,vi′′)∈C}C_G = \{v_i : (v'_i,v''_i)\in C\}CG​={vi​:(vi′​,vi′′​)∈C}. The vertex cover number of GGG is τ(G)\tau(G)τ(G).

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem 8.1

For every graph GGG on nnn vertices, every r≥1r \ge 1r≥1, ε>0\varepsilon>0ε>0 and every k≥1k \ge 1k≥1 with k>n2r/εk > n^2r/\varepsilonk>n2r/ε: if CCC is a vertex cover of GPSG^S_{\mathbf P}GPS​ for S=S(G,k)S = S(G,k)S=S(G,k) with w(C)≤r τw(GPS)w(C) \le r\,\tau_w(G^S_{\mathbf P})w(C)≤rτw​(GPS​), then CGC_GCG​ is a vertex cover of GGG,

∣CG∣≤r(τ(G)+n2k),|C_G| \le r\Bigl(\tau(G) + \frac{n^2}{k}\Bigr),∣CG​∣≤r(τ(G)+kn2​),

and, when E≠∅E \ne \emptysetE=∅,

∣CG∣≤r(1+n2k)τ(G)<(r+ε) τ(G).|C_G| \le r\Bigl(1+\frac{n^2}{k}\Bigr)\tau(G) < (r+\varepsilon)\,\tau(G).∣CG​∣≤r(1+kn2​)τ(G)<(r+ε)τ(G).

The paper words the theorem as "approximating the variable cost of 1∣prec∣∑wjCj1|\mathrm{prec}|\sum w_jC_j1∣prec∣∑wj​Cj​ is as hard as approximating vertex cover"; the statement above is the mathematical content its proof establishes.

Milestones (§8, p. 664)

  1. In GPSG^S_{\mathbf P}GPS​, every heavy node has weight 111, every light node has weight at most 1/k1/k1/k, and the light nodes have total weight at most n2/kn^2/kn2/k (for k≥1k \ge 1k≥1).
  2. Heavy nodes (vi′,vi′′)(v'_i,v''_i)(vi′​,vi′′​) and (vj′,vj′′)(v'_j,v''_j)(vj′​,vj′′​) are adjacent if and only if {vi,vj}∈E\{v_i,v_j\}\in E{vi​,vj​}∈E; for k>1k>1k>1 the subgraph induced by the weight-1 nodes is isomorphic to GGG via (vi′,vi′′)↦vi(v'_i,v''_i) \mapsto v_i(vi′​,vi′′​)↦vi​.

Significance

The result. Theorem 8.1 is one half of an equivalence: by Theorem 2.1 (Correa–Schulz, Ambühl–Mastrolilli), minimizing the variable cost is a special case of weighted vertex cover; by Theorem 8.1, it is also as hard to approximate. Any hardness of approximation for vertex cover (NP-hardness of factor 1.361.361.36 by Dinur and Safra; factor 2−δ2-\delta2−δ under the unique games conjecture by Khot and Regev) transfers to the variable cost. It also explains why the known 2-approximations must rely on the fixed cost, and it frames the later result of Bansal and Khot that the full objective is hard to approximate within 2−δ2-\delta2−δ under a variant of the unique games conjecture.

Formalizing it. The theorem is proved in the paper; no machine-checked version exists. The mission produces a checked account of the reduction: the vertex cover graph of an arbitrary precedence-constrained instance, the adjacency-poset instance built from a graph, and the quantitative transfer of approximation ratios. The definition of GPSG^S_{\mathbf P}GPS​ is shared with the other missions of this series.

Difficulty

The construction is short; the care is in the bookkeeping. One must check that the precedence relation is a partial order, determine exactly which ordered pairs are incomparable, verify that two heavy nodes are adjacent only through the third clause of the adjacency rule and only when the corresponding vertices are adjacent in GGG, and bound the weights of all remaining nodes, including the many nodes of weight 000. The transfer then compares an approximate cover of GPSG^S_{\mathbf P}GPS​ with an optimal one whose heavy part comes from an optimal cover of GGG; the additive error n2/kn^2/kn2/k must be converted into a multiplicative one, which requires τ(G)≥1\tau(G)\ge 1τ(G)≥1.

A first reading of the page suggests that GPSG^S_{\mathbf P}GPS​ has at most n2n^2n2 nodes; it does not. The pairs (vi′,vj′)(v'_i,v'_j)(vi′​,vj′​) and (vi′′,vj′′)(v''_i,v''_j)(vi′′​,vj′′​) with i≠ji\ne ji=j are incomparable nodes of weight 000, so there can be up to 4n2−2n4n^2-2n4n2−2n nodes. Only nodes of positive weight are few.

Formalization scope

  • Model. Jobs form a finite type; precedence constraints are an explicit reflexive partial-order relation P : N → N → Prop. Processing times and weights are nonnegative reals. The vertex cover graph is a SimpleGraph on the subtype of incomparable ordered pairs, using the symmetric closure of the printed adjacency rule without loops. Vertex covers are Mathlib's SimpleGraph.IsVertexCover; τ(G)\tau(G)τ(G) is Mathlib's vertexCoverNum, finite for a finite graph and converted with toNat; τw(GPS)\tau_w(G^S_{\mathbf P})τw​(GPS​) is a minimum over finite vertex covers.
  • The instance. The graph is a SimpleGraph (Fin n); i : Fin n stands for vi+1v_{i+1}vi+1​, so exponents are i+1i+1i+1 and the order i<ji<ji<j is that of Fin n. Jobs are Fin n ⊕ Fin n (v′v'v′ left, v′′v''v′′ right). The parameter kkk is in R≥0\mathbb R_{\ge 0}R≥0​.
  • Added hypotheses. k≥1k \ge 1k≥1, implicit in the page ("k>n2r/εk > n^2r/\varepsilonk>n2r/ε" does not imply it when ε\varepsilonε is large, and for k<1k<1k<1 the light nodes outweigh the heavy ones). The isomorphism with GGG is stated for k>1k > 1k>1, since at k=1k=1k=1 some light nodes also have weight 111. The multiplicative bound requires E≠∅E \ne \emptysetE=∅; the additive bound holds for every graph.
  • Not formalized. The phrases "approximation algorithm", "polynomial time" and "as hard as"; the passage from vertex covers of GPSG^S_{\mathbf P}GPS​ to schedules (Theorem 2.1, cited from Correa–Schulz and Ambühl–Mastrolilli); the fixed cost. What is stated instead is the explicit map C↦CGC \mapsto C_GC↦CG​ and the ratio it achieves, r(1+n2/k)<r+εr(1+n^2/k) < r+\varepsilonr(1+n2/k)<r+ε. The false count "at most n2n^2n2 vertices" is not stated.
  • Ruled out. The goal is not a statement about an arbitrary graph or an assumed cover of GGG: it concerns the specific instance S(G,k)S(G,k)S(G,k) and every CCC that is an rrr-approximate vertex cover of its graph, and the fact that CGC_GCG​ covers GGG is a conclusion, not a hypothesis.
  • Welcome contributions. Proofs of the two milestones and of the goal; general lemmas on GPSG^S_{\mathbf P}GPS​ (weights of vertex covers, behaviour under induced subgraphs) are reusable across the series.

Selected references

  • C. Ambühl, M. Mastrolilli, N. Mutsanas, O. Svensson, On the Approximability of Single-Machine Scheduling with Precedence Constraints, Mathematics of Operations Research 36(4):653–669, 2011. https://doi.org/10.1287/moor.1110.0512
  • J. R. Correa, A. S. Schulz, Single-Machine Scheduling with Precedence Constraints, Mathematics of Operations Research 30(4):1005–1021, 2005. https://doi.org/10.1287/moor.1050.0158
  • C. Ambühl, M. Mastrolilli, Single Machine Precedence Constrained Scheduling Is a Vertex Cover Problem, Algorithmica 53(4):488–503, 2009. https://doi.org/10.1007/s00453-008-9251-6
  • I. Dinur, S. Safra, On the Hardness of Approximating Minimum Vertex Cover, Annals of Mathematics 162(1):439–485, 2005. https://doi.org/10.4007/annals.2005.162.439
  • S. Khot, O. Regev, Vertex Cover Might Be Hard to Approximate to within 2 − ε, Journal of Computer and System Sciences 74(3):335–349, 2008. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jcss.2007.06.019
  • N. Bansal, S. Khot, Optimal Long Code Test with One Free Bit, FOCS 2009, 453–462. https://doi.org/10.1109/FOCS.2009.23
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Optimality of Affine Policies in Multistage Robust Optimization: In One-Dimensional Constrained Min-Max Control, Disturbance-Affine Policies with Affine Stage Costs Attain the Optimal ValueResearch Paper

Motivation

Multistage robust optimization chooses decisions over time while an adversary picks the uncertain data from a known set; every later decision may react to what has been observed. The exact problem is a nested min-max over functions of the past, and is intractable in general. The standard workaround, proposed by Ben-Tal, Goryashko, Guslitzer and Nemirovski (Math. Program. 2004), restricts every decision to an affine function of the observed disturbances. The restricted problem is a single convex (often linear) program, which is why disturbance-affine policies are used throughout robust control, inventory management and model predictive control. The price is suboptimality, and before this paper there was no nontrivial multistage problem in which that price was known to be zero.

Bertsimas, Iancu and Parrilo (arXiv:0904.3986, 2009; Math. Oper. Res. 35(2), 2010) proved that for one-dimensional linear dynamics with box constraints on controls and disturbances, linear control costs and convex state costs, disturbance-affine policies are exactly optimal. Their companion paper (Bertsimas & Goyal, Math. Program. 2012) shows how poorly affine policies can perform in other settings, so the one-dimensional result marks one side of the boundary between models where affine policies are exact and models where they are not.

Setting

Fix a horizon TTT and an initial state x1∈Rx_1\in\mathbb Rx1​∈R. For each stage k=1,…,Tk=1,\dots,Tk=1,…,T there are a per-unit control cost ck≥0c_k\ge0ck​≥0, control bounds Lk≤UkL_k\le U_kLk​≤Uk​, disturbance bounds w‾k≤w‾k\underline w_k\le\overline w_kw​k​≤wk​, and a state cost hk:R→Rh_k:\mathbb R\to\mathbb Rhk​:R→R that is convex and coercive. The state evolves as

xk+1=xk+uk+wk,uk∈[Lk,Uk],wk∈Wk=[w‾k,w‾k].x_{k+1}=x_k+u_k+w_k,\qquad u_k\in[L_k,U_k],\qquad w_k\in\mathcal W_k=[\underline w_k,\overline w_k].xk+1​=xk​+uk​+wk​,uk​∈[Lk​,Uk​],wk​∈Wk​=[w​k​,wk​].

The controller chooses uku_kuk​ after seeing xkx_kxk​; the adversary then chooses wkw_kwk​. The min-max value JmMJ_{mM}JmM​ is the value of the nested problem min⁡u1[c1u1+max⁡w1[h1(x2)+min⁡u2[⋯ ]]]\min_{u_1}[c_1u_1+\max_{w_1}[h_1(x_2)+\min_{u_2}[\cdots]]]minu1​​[c1​u1​+maxw1​​[h1​(x2​)+minu2​​[⋯]]], computed by the Bellman recursion with JT+1∗≡0J^*_{T+1}\equiv0JT+1∗​≡0:

gk(y)=max⁡w∈Wk[hk(y+w)+Jk+1∗(y+w)],Jk∗(x)=min⁡Lk≤u≤Uk[cku+gk(x+u)],JmM=J1∗(x1).g_k(y)=\max_{w\in\mathcal W_k}\big[h_k(y+w)+J^*_{k+1}(y+w)\big],\qquad J^*_k(x)=\min_{L_k\le u\le U_k}\big[c_ku+g_k(x+u)\big],\qquad J_{mM}=J^*_1(x_1).gk​(y)=w∈Wk​max​[hk​(y+w)+Jk+1∗​(y+w)],Jk∗​(x)=Lk​≤u≤Uk​min​[ck​u+gk​(x+u)],JmM​=J1∗​(x1​).

An affine control policy and an affine running cost at stage kkk are

qk(w)=qk,0+∑t=1k−1qk,twt,zk(w)=zk,0+∑t=1kzk,twt,q_k(w)=q_{k,0}+\sum_{t=1}^{k-1}q_{k,t}w_t,\qquad z_k(w)=z_{k,0}+\sum_{t=1}^{k}z_{k,t}w_t,qk​(w)=qk,0​+t=1∑k−1​qk,t​wt​,zk​(w)=zk,0​+t=1∑k​zk,t​wt​,

so qkq_kqk​ sees the disturbances before stage kkk and zkz_kzk​ those up to stage kkk. Under these policies the state after stage kkk is x1+∑t≤k(qt(w)+wt)x_1+\sum_{t\le k}(q_t(w)+w_t)x1​+∑t≤k​(qt​(w)+wt​).

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem 3.1

There exist affine policies qkq_kqk​ and affine costs zkz_kzk​ such that, for every k=1,…,Tk=1,\dots,Tk=1,…,T,

Lk≤qk(w)≤Uk∀w∈W1×⋯×Wk−1,L_k\le q_k(w)\le U_k\quad\forall w\in\mathcal W_1\times\dots\times\mathcal W_{k-1},Lk​≤qk​(w)≤Uk​∀w∈W1​×⋯×Wk−1​, zk(w)≥hk(x1+∑t=1k(qt(w)+wt))∀w∈W1×⋯×Wk,z_k(w)\ge h_k\Big(x_1+\sum_{t=1}^k(q_t(w)+w_t)\Big)\quad\forall w\in\mathcal W_1\times\dots\times\mathcal W_k,zk​(w)≥hk​(x1​+t=1∑k​(qt​(w)+wt​))∀w∈W1​×⋯×Wk​, JmM=max⁡w1,…,wk[∑t=1k(ctqt(w)+zt(w))+Jk+1∗(x1+∑t=1k(qt(w)+wt))].J_{mM}=\max_{w_1,\dots,w_k}\Big[\sum_{t=1}^k\big(c_tq_t(w)+z_t(w)\big)+J^*_{k+1}\Big(x_1+\sum_{t=1}^k(q_t(w)+w_t)\Big)\Big].JmM​=w1​,…,wk​max​[t=1∑k​(ct​qt​(w)+zt​(w))+Jk+1∗​(x1​+t=1∑k​(qt​(w)+wt​))].

At k=Tk=Tk=T this says that affine policies are robustly feasible and attain the min-max value.

Milestones

  1. Lemma 7.1 (with (8)–(9), P2): Jk∗J^*_kJk∗​ and gkg_kgk​ are convex, and the optimal control is the clamp max⁡(Lk,min⁡(Uk,y∗−x))\max(L_k,\min(U_k,y^*-x))max(Lk​,min(Uk​,y∗−x)) for a minimizer y∗y^*y∗ of cky+gk(y)c_ky+g_k(y)ck​y+gk​(y).
  2. P3: the clamp is non-increasing and 1-Lipschitz.
  3. Lemma 4.1: the maximum of θ1+f(θ2)\theta_1+f(\theta_2)θ1​+f(θ2​), fff convex, over a planar zonogon Θ=π([0,1]k)\Theta=\pi([0,1]^k)Θ=π([0,1]k) is attained at one of the k+1k+1k+1 vertices on its right side.
  4. Corollary 4.1: the maximum of θ1+f(θ2)\theta_1+f(\theta_2)θ1​+f(θ2​) is unchanged when a polygon is replaced by its convex hull, its vertex set, its right side, or the zonogon hull of its vertices.
  5. Lemma 4.2: after the optimal control is applied, the worst case is reached on the right side of conv⁡{v~0,…,v~k}\operatorname{conv}\{\tilde v_0,\dots,\tilde v_k\}conv{v~0​,…,v~k​}.
  6. Lemma 4.4: the matching-and-alignment system (37) defining the affine controller is feasible, and its solutions satisfy −bi≤qi≤0-b_i\le q_i\le0−bi​≤qi​≤0 and L≤q(w)≤UL\le q(w)\le UL≤q(w)≤U.
  7. Lemma 4.8 and Lemma 4.9: the affine cost defined by system (51)–(53) dominates the convex cost, first at the hypercube vertices, then on the whole hypercube.

Significance

The theorem is one of the few exact optimality results for affine policies in multistage robust optimization. Combined with linear programming duality it has a computational corollary: when the hkh_khk​ are piecewise affine, an optimal policy for the full min-max problem is obtained from a single linear program (the affinely adjustable robust counterpart, p. 5), instead of a dynamic program over a continuous state. The construction also shows what is special about one dimension: the relevant uncertainty enters only through a planar zonogon, whose right side has at most k+1k+1k+1 vertices, matching the k+1k+1k+1 coefficients of an affine policy.

The result is proved in the literature, not formalized; no machine-checked proof of it, or of the zonogon lemmas it uses, is known. The formalization adds a checked proof of the main theorem and of the planar convexity facts (Lemma 4.1, Corollary 4.1) that are reusable for other zonotope arguments. It also closes the gaps the preprint leaves to the reader: Assumption 2 is removed by an infinitesimal perturbation argument, footnote 4 assumes a unique minimizer of cky+gk(y)c_ky+g_k(y)ck​y+gk​(y), and Lemma 4.3 is proved in one sub-case only.

Difficulty

Dynamic programming gives the optimal control as a function of the current state, uk∗(xk)u^*_k(x_k)uk∗​(xk​), which is piecewise affine in xkx_kxk​ with up to three pieces. Since xkx_kxk​ is affine in past disturbances, the obvious idea is to substitute; but the composition is piecewise affine, not affine, in the disturbances, and no single affine function reproduces it. An affine policy is necessarily suboptimal at some disturbance sequences. The theorem asserts only that it is never suboptimal at the worst case, and that the excess cost it causes can be absorbed into an affine cost zkz_kzk​ that still dominates hkh_khk​. Establishing this requires controlling where a convex objective is maximized over a zonogon, and showing that the affine controller and the affine cost can be chosen to reproduce exactly the right-side vertices that matter, at every stage, while staying feasible. A naive matching of all 2k2^k2k vertices of the disturbance box is overdetermined.

Formalization scope

Stages are indexed by Fin T (0-based). The model is the reduced form (DP) of §2, with dynamics coefficients equal to 1; the paper notes that this is without loss of generality. The standing hypotheses are those of Problem 1.1 (ck≥0c_k\ge0ck​≥0, hkh_khk​ convex and coercive) plus two disclosed additions, Lk≤UkL_k\le U_kLk​≤Uk​ and w‾k≤w‾k\underline w_k\le\overline w_kw​k​≤wk​: the page writes both as intervals but does not say they are nonempty. Jk∗J^*_kJk∗​ is defined by the Bellman recursion with sSup/sInf over images of nonempty compact intervals of continuous functions, so the values are attained maxima and minima. The max in (14) is stated with IsGreatest, which asserts attainment.

The goal carries none of the proof's normalizations (Assumptions 1–3 of p. 10, the unique minimizer of footnote 4). The milestones of §4 are stated in the paper's simplified notation: the unit hypercube, generators ordered as in (32) (cross-multiplied), the clamp form of the optimal control law (the printed (8) has misprinted thresholds), and, where the paper divides by bib_ibi​, the hypothesis bi>0b_i>0bi​>0. Lemma 4.4 takes Lemma 4.3's conclusions as hypotheses; Lemmas 4.8–4.9 take system (51)–(53) (with two misprints of (53) corrected) as hypotheses instead of "computed by Algorithm 2". Every fraction in a system is cross-multiplied.

Trivializing formalizations are ruled out. (14) uses a maximum over a nonempty box of a continuous function, with the true Jk+1∗J^*_{k+1}Jk+1∗​. The policies read only past disturbances (sums over t<kt<kt<k, resp. t≤kt\le kt≤k). JmMJ_{mM}JmM​ is the Bellman value over all state-feedback controls, not the value of the affine problem.

The development needs convexity of value functions under partial minimization and maximization, extreme points of planar polygons, and maxima of convex functions over polytopes. Contributions of independent planar-geometry lemmas are welcome, as are proofs of Lemma 4.3 (not stated here) and of the remaining construction lemmas 4.5–4.7.

Selected references

  • D. Bertsimas, D. A. Iancu, P. A. Parrilo, Optimality of Affine Policies in Multi-stage Robust Optimization, arXiv:0904.3986v1, 2009; Mathematics of Operations Research 35(2):363–394, 2010. https://arxiv.org/abs/0904.3986, https://doi.org/10.1287/moor.1100.0444
  • A. Ben-Tal, A. Goryashko, E. Guslitzer, A. Nemirovski, Adjustable robust solutions of uncertain linear programs, Mathematical Programming 99(2):351–376, 2004. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10107-003-0454-y
  • D. Bertsimas, V. Goyal, On the power and limitations of affine policies in two-stage adaptive optimization, Mathematical Programming 134(2):491–531, 2012. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10107-011-0444-4
  • G. M. Ziegler, Lectures on Polytopes, Springer GTM 152, 1995 (Chapter 7, zonotopes). https://doi.org/10.1007/978-1-4613-8431-1
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Assortment Optimisation Under a General Discrete Choice Model: A Tight Analysis of Revenue-Ordered Assortments I: Revenue-Ordered Assortments Earn OPT/(1 + ln(r_k/r_1)) Under Any Regular Choice ModelResearch Paper

Motivation

A retailer, an airline or an online platform decides which products to show a customer. Showing more is not always better: a customer who would have bought an expensive product may switch to a cheap one once it is offered. The assortment problem asks for the set of products that maximises expected revenue, given a model of how customers choose. It is a central problem of revenue management (Talluri and van Ryzin, 2004), and it is NP-hard even for mixtures of two multinomial logit models (Rusmevichientong, Shmoys, Tong and Topaloglu, 2014).

The standard heuristic in practice is revenue-ordered assortments: sort the products by price and only consider the sets consisting of the most expensive products down to some threshold. It is optimal under the multinomial logit model (Talluri and van Ryzin, 2004), but not in general. Berbeglia and Joret (arXiv:1606.01371) ask how much revenue the heuristic can lose under every reasonable choice model, and answer with guarantees that depend only on the prices.

Timeline:

  • 2004: Talluri and van Ryzin prove revenue-ordered assortments optimal under the multinomial logit model.
  • 2014: Rusmevichientong et al. show NP-hardness of the assortment problem for mixtures of logits, and prove that revenue-ordered assortments earn at least OPT/(e(1+ln⁡(rk/r1)))\mathrm{OPT}/(e(1+\ln(r_k/r_1)))OPT/(e(1+ln(rk​/r1​))) under mixed logit models.
  • 2016–2019: Berbeglia and Joret prove the guarantees 1/k1/k1/k and 1/(1+ln⁡(rk/r1))1/(1+\ln(r_k/r_1))1/(1+ln(rk​/r1​)) under any regular choice model and show them tight (arXiv v1 2016, v3 2019; Algorithmica 2020). Aouad, Farias, Levi and Segev (2018) show that under random utility models no efficient algorithm does essentially better than these ratios.

Setting

There is a finite nonempty set C\mathcal CC of products. For a choice set S⊆CS\subseteq\mathcal CS⊆C, P(x,S)\mathcal P(x,S)P(x,S) is the probability that a customer offered SSS buys product xxx, and P(0,S)=1−∑x∈SP(x,S)\mathcal P(0,S)=1-\sum_{x\in S}\mathcal P(x,S)P(0,S)=1−∑x∈S​P(x,S) is the probability that the customer buys nothing. The system P\mathcal PP is a regular discrete choice model if

  1. P(x,S)≥0\mathcal P(x,S)\ge0P(x,S)≥0 for every x∈C∪{0}x\in\mathcal C\cup\{0\}x∈C∪{0};
  2. P(x,S)=0\mathcal P(x,S)=0P(x,S)=0 whenever x∉Sx\notin Sx∈/S;
  3. ∑x∈SP(x,S)≤1\sum_{x\in S}\mathcal P(x,S)\le1∑x∈S​P(x,S)≤1;
  4. P(x,S)≥P(x,S′)\mathcal P(x,S)\ge\mathcal P(x,S')P(x,S)≥P(x,S′) whenever S⊆S′S\subseteq S'S⊆S′ and x∈S∪{0}x\in S\cup\{0\}x∈S∪{0}.

Axiom 4, regularity, says that adding products never makes a given product, or leaving without buying, more likely. Every random utility model is regular.

Each product has a positive price r(x)>0r(x)>0r(x)>0. The revenue of SSS is rev⁡(S)=∑x∈SP(x,S) r(x)\operatorname{rev}(S)=\sum_{x\in S}\mathcal P(x,S)\,r(x)rev(S)=∑x∈S​P(x,S)r(x), and OPT=max⁡S⊆Crev⁡(S)\mathrm{OPT}=\max_{S\subseteq\mathcal C}\operatorname{rev}(S)OPT=maxS⊆C​rev(S). Let 0<r1<⋯<rk0<r_1<\cdots<r_k0<r1​<⋯<rk​ be the distinct prices, so kkk counts price levels and not products, and set r0=0r_0=0r0​=0. The revenue-ordered assortments are Si={x∈C:r(x)≥ri}S_i=\{x\in\mathcal C : r(x)\ge r_i\}Si​={x∈C:r(x)≥ri​}, i=1,…,ki=1,\dots,ki=1,…,k, and the heuristic earns

RO=max⁡1≤i≤krev⁡(Si).\mathrm{RO}=\max_{1\le i\le k}\operatorname{rev}(S_i).RO=1≤i≤kmax​rev(Si​).

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem 3.2

OPT  ≤  (∑i=1kri−ri−1ri) ROand∑i=1kri−ri−1ri  ≤  1+ln⁡rkr1.\mathrm{OPT}\;\le\;\Big(\sum_{i=1}^{k}\frac{r_i-r_{i-1}}{r_i}\Big)\,\mathrm{RO} \qquad\text{and}\qquad \sum_{i=1}^{k}\frac{r_i-r_{i-1}}{r_i}\;\le\;1+\ln\frac{r_k}{r_1}.OPT≤(i=1∑k​ri​ri​−ri−1​​)ROandi=1∑k​ri​ri​−ri−1​​≤1+lnr1​rk​​.

The goal fixes no constant beyond the paper's own quantities. Both parts are required: the sum form is the sharper bound, and the paper shows it is attained (Theorem 3.4, a later mission of this series).

Milestones

  • Lemma 2.1: ∑x∈SP(x,S)≤∑x∈S′P(x,S′)\sum_{x\in S}\mathcal P(x,S)\le\sum_{x\in S'}\mathcal P(x,S')∑x∈S​P(x,S)≤∑x∈S′​P(x,S′) for S⊆S′S\subseteq S'S⊆S′.
  • Inequality (5): rev⁡(Si)≥ri∑x∈S∗∩SiP(x,S∗)\operatorname{rev}(S_i)\ge r_i\sum_{x\in S^*\cap S_i}\mathcal P(x,S^*)rev(Si​)≥ri​∑x∈S∗∩Si​​P(x,S∗) for every S∗S^*S∗ and i∈[k]i\in[k]i∈[k].
  • Theorem 3.1: OPT≤k⋅RO\mathrm{OPT}\le k\cdot\mathrm{RO}OPT≤k⋅RO.
  • Rearrangement (proof of Theorem 3.2): rev⁡(S∗)=∑ℓ(rℓ−rℓ−1)∑x∈S∗∩SℓP(x,S∗)\operatorname{rev}(S^*)=\sum_{\ell}(r_\ell-r_{\ell-1})\sum_{x\in S^*\cap S_\ell}\mathcal P(x,S^*)rev(S∗)=∑ℓ​(rℓ​−rℓ−1​)∑x∈S∗∩Sℓ​​P(x,S∗), and rev⁡(S∗)≤∑ℓrℓ−rℓ−1rℓrev⁡(Sℓ)\operatorname{rev}(S^*)\le\sum_\ell\frac{r_\ell-r_{\ell-1}}{r_\ell}\operatorname{rev}(S_\ell)rev(S∗)≤∑ℓ​rℓ​rℓ​−rℓ−1​​rev(Sℓ​).
  • Logarithmic bound: ∑ℓ=1kaℓ−aℓ−1aℓ≤1+ln⁡(ak/a1)\sum_{\ell=1}^k\frac{a_\ell-a_{\ell-1}}{a_\ell}\le1+\ln(a_k/a_1)∑ℓ=1k​aℓ​aℓ​−aℓ−1​​≤1+ln(ak​/a1​) for 0=a0<a1<⋯<ak0=a_0<a_1<\cdots<a_k0=a0​<a1​<⋯<ak​.

Significance

The theorem shows that a pricing-only quantity controls the loss of the most common heuristic in revenue management, uniformly over all regular choice models, including every random utility model, mixtures of logits and Markov chain models. Combined with the hardness result of Aouad et al., it shows that revenue-ordered assortments achieve essentially the best ratio, as a function of kkk or of rk/r1r_k/r_1rk​/r1​, that an efficient algorithm can achieve. The same analysis transfers to the envy-free pricing and Stackelberg problems studied in the later sections of the paper.

The result is proved in the paper; to our knowledge it has no machine-checked proof. This mission produces a Lean formalization of regular choice models, the revenue-ordered heuristic and its two guarantees, on which the paper's tightness examples, the purchase-probability bound (Theorem 3.3) and the applications to pricing can build.

Difficulty

The argument is short, but two points are easy to get wrong. First, revenues of SiS_iSi​ and of an optimal S∗S^*S∗ involve choice probabilities evaluated at different sets, so the comparison must pass through S∗∩SiS^*\cap S_iS∗∩Si​, using regularity once for products and once for the no-purchase option. A model that only assumes regularity for products does not satisfy the theorem. Second, the bound runs over distinct price levels, not products, and the first summand uses the convention r0=0r_0=0r0​=0; indexing by products or dropping r0r_0r0​ gives a different quantity. The comparison of the sum with ln⁡(rk/r1)\ln(r_k/r_1)ln(rk​/r1​) is a Riemann-sum estimate for ∫dt/t\int dt/t∫dt/t and needs a real-analysis lemma not phrased this way in Mathlib.

Formalization scope

  • Products are a finite nonempty type C with decidable equality; choice sets are Finset C. The choice probabilities are P : C → Finset C → ℝ, defined on all pairs. The no-purchase option is not a product: P(0,S)\mathcal P(0,S)P(0,S) is the derived quantity noPurchase P S = 1 - ∑ x ∈ S, P x S.
  • IsRegular P carries axioms (i)–(iv), with (i) and (iv) each split into a product case and a no-purchase case. The no-purchase case of (i) is redundant with (iii) and is kept to match the page.
  • r : C → ℝ with the hypothesis ∀ x, 0 < r x. revenue P r S is rev⁡(S)\operatorname{rev}(S)rev(S) and opt P r is the maximum over all Finset C (Finset.sup'), including the empty set.
  • Price levels are 1-based: level r i is rir_iri​ for 1≤i≤k1\le i\le k1≤i≤k and level r 0 = 0; numVals r is kkk, the number of distinct values. roSet r i is SiS_iSi​; roValue P r is the maximum over i∈{1,…,k}i\in\{1,\dots,k\}i∈{1,…,k} only.
  • Approximation guarantees are stated in product form, OPT≤D⋅RO\mathrm{OPT}\le D\cdot\mathrm{RO}OPT≤D⋅RO, never as a ratio. ln⁡\lnln is Real.log, applied to rk/r1≥1r_k/r_1\ge1rk​/r1​≥1.
  • Ruled out: a maximum over all subsets in place of RO\mathrm{RO}RO (which makes the bound trivial), a regularity axiom without its no-purchase case, the logarithmic form alone in place of the sum form, and any specific choice model (logit, Markov chain, random utility) in place of an arbitrary regular P\mathcal PP.

Needed infrastructure: finite sums over price levels and summation by parts, the comparison of (b−a)/b(b-a)/b(b−a)/b with ln⁡(b/a)\ln(b/a)ln(b/a), and the sorted enumeration of a finite set of reals (Finset.orderEmbOfFin). The regular model and the revenue-ordered sets are shared with the other missions of this series. Contributions of any milestone, alternative proofs of the logarithmic bound, and proofs that specific choice models are regular are welcome.

Selected references

  • G. Berbeglia and G. Joret, Assortment Optimisation Under a General Discrete Choice Model: A Tight Analysis of Revenue-Ordered Assortments, arXiv:1606.01371v3, 2019; Algorithmica 82, 2020. https://arxiv.org/abs/1606.01371
  • K. Talluri and G. van Ryzin, Revenue Management Under a General Discrete Choice Model of Consumer Behavior, Management Science 50(1), 2004. https://doi.org/10.1287/mnsc.1030.0147
  • A. Aouad, V. Farias, R. Levi and D. Segev, The Approximability of Assortment Optimization Under Ranking Preferences, Operations Research 66(6), 2018. https://doi.org/10.1287/opre.2018.1724
  • P. Rusmevichientong, D. Shmoys, C. Tong and H. Topaloglu, Assortment Optimization under the Multinomial Logit Model with Random Choice Parameters, Production and Operations Management 23(11), 2014. https://doi.org/10.1111/poms.12191
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Optimal Dynamic Pricing of Inventories with Stochastic Demand over Finite Horizons 2: The Optimal Revenue Is Strictly Concave in Stock and Time; the Optimal Price Falls with Stock, Rises with TimeResearch Paper

Why the shape of the optimal pricing policy matters

A retailer holding a fixed stock of a perishable or seasonal good (fashion items, airline seats, hotel rooms, concert tickets) must sell it before a deadline, after which unsold units are worthless. Demand is random and depends on the posted price, and the firm may change its price at any time. Dynamic pricing asks how the price should depend on the remaining stock and the remaining time.

Gallego and van Ryzin (Management Science 40(8), 1994) posed this problem as a continuous-time intensity control problem and established its basic structure. Their Theorem 1 says that the optimal expected revenue is strictly increasing and strictly concave in both the stock and the time remaining, and that the optimal price falls as stock grows and rises with the time left to sell. The paper is a standard reference of revenue management; the structural result is the continuous-time counterpart of the monotonicity of marginal values in discrete-time models (Talluri and van Ryzin, The Theory and Practice of Revenue Management, 2004, Proposition 5.2), and it is what makes the optimal policy computable by restricting attention to monotone policies. The paper credits a slightly weaker version to Kincaid and Darling (1963). The source formalized here is the published 1994 article.

The model and the Hamilton–Jacobi system

The firm chooses a demand rate λ\lambdaλ from a set Λ⊆[0,∞)\Lambda \subseteq [0,\infty)Λ⊆[0,∞) of allowable rates, an interval containing 000; the market then sets the price p(λ)p(\lambda)p(λ), where ppp is the inverse demand function, strictly decreasing and nonnegative on the positive rates. The rate 000 corresponds to the null price at which nothing sells. The revenue rate is

r(λ)=λ p(λ),r(0)=0.r(\lambda) = \lambda\,p(\lambda), \qquad r(0) = 0.r(λ)=λp(λ),r(0)=0.

The demand function is regular when rrr is continuous, bounded and concave on Λ\LambdaΛ and has a least maximizer λ∗=min⁡{λ:r(λ)=max⁡μ∈Λr(μ)}\lambda^* = \min\{\lambda : r(\lambda) = \max_{\mu\in\Lambda} r(\mu)\}λ∗=min{λ:r(λ)=maxμ∈Λ​r(μ)}. The exponential demand λ(p)=ae−p\lambda(p) = ae^{-p}λ(p)=ae−p, with Λ=[0,a]\Lambda=[0,a]Λ=[0,a], p(λ)=log⁡(a/λ)p(\lambda)=\log(a/\lambda)p(λ)=log(a/λ) and λ∗=a/e\lambda^*=a/eλ∗=a/e, is the running example.

With nnn units in stock and time remaining ttt, write J(n,t)J(n,t)J(n,t) for the optimal expected revenue. The paper derives the Hamilton–Jacobi system

∂J(n,t)∂t=sup⁡λ∈Λ[r(λ)−λ(J(n,t)−J(n−1,t))],n≥1, t>0,(8)\frac{\partial J(n,t)}{\partial t} = \sup_{\lambda\in\Lambda}\big[r(\lambda) - \lambda\big(J(n,t)-J(n-1,t)\big)\big], \qquad n\ge1,\ t>0, \tag{8}∂t∂J(n,t)​=λ∈Λsup​[r(λ)−λ(J(n,t)−J(n−1,t))],n≥1, t>0,(8)

with J(n,0)=0J(n,0)=0J(n,0)=0 and J(0,t)=0J(0,t)=0J(0,t)=0. The difference J(n,t)−J(n−1,t)J(n,t)-J(n-1,t)J(n,t)−J(n−1,t) is the marginal value of an item; a rate attaining the supremum is an optimal intensity λ∗(n,t)\lambda^*(n,t)λ∗(n,t), and p(λ∗(n,t))p(\lambda^*(n,t))p(λ∗(n,t)) is the optimal price p∗(n,t)p^*(n,t)p∗(n,t).

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem 1 (p. 1005)

For the solution JJJ of (8), with rrr strictly concave, differentiable on the interior of Λ\LambdaΛ, and λ∗\lambda^*λ∗ interior:

J(n,t) strictly increasing in n (t>0) and in t (n≥1);J(n+1,t)−J(n,t)<J(n,t)−J(n−1,t);J(n,t)\ \text{strictly increasing in } n\ (t>0)\ \text{and in } t\ (n\ge1);\qquad J(n+1,t)-J(n,t) < J(n,t)-J(n-1,t);J(n,t) strictly increasing in n (t>0) and in t (n≥1);J(n+1,t)−J(n,t)<J(n,t)−J(n−1,t); t↦J(n,t) strictly concave;∃ λ∗(n,t): λ∗ ⁣↑n, λ∗ ⁣↓t,p∗ ⁣↓n, p∗ ⁣↑t (strictly).t\mapsto J(n,t)\ \text{strictly concave};\qquad \exists\,\lambda^*(n,t):\ \lambda^*\!\uparrow_n,\ \lambda^*\!\downarrow_t,\quad p^*\!\downarrow_n,\ p^*\!\uparrow_t\ \text{(strictly)}.t↦J(n,t) strictly concave;∃λ∗(n,t): λ∗↑n​, λ∗↓t​,p∗↓n​, p∗↑t​ (strictly).

Milestones

  1. The supremum in (8) is a maximum over [0,λ∗][0,\lambda^*][0,λ∗] whenever the marginal value is nonnegative (proof of Proposition 1).
  2. Proposition 1: (8) has a unique solution, and λ∗(n,s)≤λ∗\lambda^*(n,s)\le\lambda^*λ∗(n,s)≤λ∗.
  3. Eq. (26): J(n,t)−J(n−1,t)=r′(λ∗(n,t))>0J(n,t)-J(n-1,t) = r'(\lambda^*(n,t)) > 0J(n,t)−J(n−1,t)=r′(λ∗(n,t))>0 for t>0t>0t>0.
  4. The case n=1n=1n=1 of Theorem 1: λ∗(1,t)\lambda^*(1,t)λ∗(1,t) strictly decreasing and J(1,t)J(1,t)J(1,t) strictly concave in ttt.
  5. λ∗(n,0+)=λ∗\lambda^*(n,0^+) = \lambda^*λ∗(n,0+)=λ∗.
  6. Eqs. (9)–(10), exponential demand: J(n,t)=log⁡∑i=0n(λ∗t)i/i!J(n,t) = \log\sum_{i=0}^n(\lambda^*t)^i/i!J(n,t)=log∑i=0n​(λ∗t)i/i! and p∗(n,t)=J(n,t)−J(n−1,t)+1p^*(n,t) = J(n,t)-J(n-1,t)+1p∗(n,t)=J(n,t)−J(n−1,t)+1.
  7. Proposition 3, exponential demand: λ∗(n,t)≤λD(n,t)=min⁡{λ∗,n/t}\lambda^*(n,t)\le\lambda^D(n,t)=\min\{\lambda^*,n/t\}λ∗(n,t)≤λD(n,t)=min{λ∗,n/t} and p∗(n,t)≥p(λD(n,t))p^*(n,t)\ge p(\lambda^D(n,t))p∗(n,t)≥p(λD(n,t)).

Significance

Theorem 1 is the qualitative backbone of single-product dynamic pricing. Concavity of JJJ in nnn means that each additional unit is worth less than the previous one, which is the basis of bid-price and marginal-value reasoning in revenue management; the monotone price path justifies markdown practice as the deadline approaches and reduces the policy search to monotone policies. Proposition 3 answers, for exponential demand, a question raised by Mills (1959): the stochastic optimal price is never below the deterministic one. The closed form (9)–(10) is one of the few exactly solvable intensity control problems in pricing.

The results are proved in the paper; none of them has a machine-checked proof. Formalizing them requires the comparison and monotonicity theory of a countable system of coupled ordinary differential equations whose right-hand side is a convex conjugate, a theory that Mathlib does not package. A complete development would also certify the corrected hypotheses of Theorem 1 described below.

Difficulty

The value functions are defined only implicitly by (8), a triangular infinite system of ODEs in which each J(n,⋅)J(n,\cdot)J(n,⋅) is driven by J(n−1,⋅)J(n-1,\cdot)J(n−1,⋅) through the nonsmooth map Δ↦sup⁡λ[r(λ)−λΔ]\Delta\mapsto\sup_\lambda[r(\lambda)-\lambda\Delta]Δ↦supλ​[r(λ)−λΔ]. Monotonicity of the optimal intensity in ttt is a statement about the time derivative of a marginal value, and the paper establishes it by an induction on nnn combined with an argument by contradiction on the first interval where monotonicity could fail. The obvious approach of differentiating (8) twice in ttt needs second derivatives of rrr and of JJJ that the hypotheses do not provide, and the paper's own proof of Proposition 1 assumes that JJJ is nondecreasing in nnn, which is only established in Theorem 1; a rigorous development must break this circularity.

Formalization scope

A regular demand function is a Lean structure (GVRPricing.Structure.Model) holding Λ\LambdaΛ, ppp and λ∗\lambda^*λ∗ with the paper's standing assumptions of §2.1: 0∈Λ⊆[0,∞)0\in\Lambda\subseteq[0,\infty)0∈Λ⊆[0,∞) an interval, ppp strictly decreasing and nonnegative on Λ∖{0}\Lambda\setminus\{0\}Λ∖{0}, r(λ)=λp(λ)r(\lambda)=\lambda p(\lambda)r(λ)=λp(λ) continuous, concave and bounded on Λ\LambdaΛ, and λ∗\lambda^*λ∗ the least maximizer. The definition IsHJBSolution encodes (8) for J:N→R→RJ:\mathbb N\to\mathbb R\to\mathbb RJ:N→R→R, with the second argument the time remaining, the two-sided derivative at each t>0t>0t>0, continuity on [0,∞)[0,\infty)[0,∞), the boundary conditions, and the requirement that the set inside the supremum be bounded above, so that the real supremum is never a default value. An optimal intensity at (n,t)(n,t)(n,t) is any ℓ∈Λ\ell\in\Lambdaℓ∈Λ maximizing λ↦r(λ)−λ(J(n,t)−J(n−1,t))\lambda\mapsto r(\lambda)-\lambda(J(n,t)-J(n-1,t))λ↦r(λ)−λ(J(n,t)−J(n−1,t)) over Λ\LambdaΛ.

All theorems are about solutions of (8), on which the paper's proofs operate. The identification of the solution of (8) with the supremum of expected revenue over non-anticipating pricing policies is Brémaud's verification theorem, which the paper cites and does not prove; it is not part of this mission.

Added hypotheses and corrected statements.

  • As printed, Theorem 1 assumes only a regular demand function and is false: for r(λ)=λr(\lambda)=\sqrt\lambdar(λ)=λ​ on [0,1][0,1][0,1] and r=1r=1r=1 beyond, λ∗(1,t)=1\lambda^*(1,t)=1λ∗(1,t)=1 for all t∈(0,ln⁡2]t\in(0,\ln2]t∈(0,ln2]; for r(λ)=λ−λ2/4r(\lambda)=\lambda-\lambda^2/4r(λ)=λ−λ2/4 on Λ=[0,1]\Lambda=[0,1]Λ=[0,1], λ∗=1\lambda^*=1λ∗=1 is on the boundary and λ∗(1,t)=1\lambda^*(1,t)=1λ∗(1,t)=1 for small ttt. The goal, eq. (26) and the case n=1n=1n=1 therefore assume that rrr is strictly concave, differentiable on the interior of Λ\LambdaΛ, and that λ∗\lambda^*λ∗ is interior; the appendix proof uses all three. Proposition 1, the restriction lemma and λ∗(n,0+)=λ∗\lambda^*(n,0^+)=\lambda^*λ∗(n,0+)=λ∗ use only the printed assumptions.
  • Strict claims in nnn are made for t>0t>0t>0, since J(n,0)=0J(n,0)=0J(n,0)=0 for all nnn; optimal intensities are considered for n≥1n\ge1n≥1, t>0t>0t>0.
  • Proposition 1's bound "λ∗(n,s)≤λ∗\lambda^*(n,s)\le\lambda^*λ∗(n,s)≤λ∗ for 0≤s0\le s0≤s" is read at s=0s=0s=0 as "λ∗\lambda^*λ∗ is optimal", since every maximizer of rrr is optimal there.
  • Proposition 3 is stated for n≥1n\ge1n≥1, t>0t>0t>0 (the page says n≥0n\ge0n≥0, t≥0t\ge0t≥0, where n/tn/tn/t or the optimal intensity is undefined).
  • The exponential results use the paper's normalization α=1\alpha=1α=1 of λ(p)=ae−αp\lambda(p)=ae^{-\alpha p}λ(p)=ae−αp.
  • The case n=1n=1n=1 omits the displayed identities involving r′′r''r′′ and λ∗′\lambda^{*\prime}λ∗′, which presuppose second derivatives; its conclusions are stated.

A formalization that defines JJJ by a formula, or postulates a monotone function as the optimal intensity, would trivialize the goal: the goal quantifies over every solution of (8), and the optimal intensity it asserts must maximize the right-hand side of (8) at every (n,t)(n,t)(n,t).

A complete development needs comparison principles for scalar ODEs with Lipschitz right-hand sides, properties of the concave conjugate Δ↦sup⁡λ[r(λ)−λΔ]\Delta\mapsto\sup_\lambda[r(\lambda)-\lambda\Delta]Δ↦supλ​[r(λ)−λΔ] (monotonicity, Lipschitz continuity, envelope theorem), and monotone comparative statics of maximizers. These are reusable well beyond this mission; contributions of any of them, or of the milestones in any order, are welcome.

Selected references

  • G. Gallego, G. van Ryzin, Optimal Dynamic Pricing of Inventories with Stochastic Demand over Finite Horizons, Management Science 40(8), 999–1020, 1994. https://doi.org/10.1287/mnsc.40.8.999
  • P. Brémaud, Point Processes and Queues: Martingale Dynamics, Springer, 1981. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-1-4684-9477-8
  • W. M. Kincaid, D. A. Darling, An Inventory Pricing Problem, Journal of Mathematical Analysis and Applications 7, 183–208, 1963. https://doi.org/10.1016/0022-247X(63)90047-7
  • K. T. Talluri, G. J. van Ryzin, The Theory and Practice of Revenue Management, Springer, 2004. https://doi.org/10.1007/b139000
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CombinatoricsOperations Research·Captain: mikedeng1

On the Abstract Properties of Linear Dependence 2: The Rank Postulates and the Circuit Postulates Are EquivalentResearch Paper

Motivation

Hassler Whitney's 1935 paper On the Abstract Properties of Linear Dependence introduced matroids: finite sets of elements carrying an abstract notion of dependence that captures what linearly dependent columns of a matrix and cycles of a graph have in common. A distinctive feature of the paper is that it gives several independent axiom systems for the same structure: one in terms of rank, one in terms of independent sets, one in terms of bases, and one in terms of circuits (minimal dependent sets). It then proves they are interchangeable. These equivalences, now called cryptomorphisms, are what allow matroid theory to move freely between the algebraic picture (rank of a set of vectors) and the combinatorial one (cycles of a graph, minimal dependent column sets). Every textbook on the subject relies on them, for example J. Oxley, Matroid Theory, Chapter 1.

This mission treats one of them: the equivalence of Whitney's rank postulates (§2) and circuit postulates (§8). The circuit side is the one used in combinatorial optimization, where circuits appear as cycles in network flows, as minimal infeasible subsystems, and in the exchange arguments behind the greedy algorithm.

Setting

Let MMM be a finite set of elements. For subsets we write N+eN + eN+e for N∪{e}N \cup \{e\}N∪{e} and P1+P2P_1 + P_2P1​+P2​ for P1∪P2P_1 \cup P_2P1​∪P2​.

Rank system. A function rrr assigning an integer r(N)r(N)r(N) to each N⊆MN \subseteq MN⊆M satisfies the rank postulates if

  • (R1)(\mathrm R_1)(R1​) the rank of the null subset is zero;
  • (R2)(\mathrm R_2)(R2​) for any subset NNN and any element eee not in NNN, r(N+e)=r(N)+kr(N+e) = r(N) + kr(N+e)=r(N)+k with k=0k = 0k=0 or 111;
  • (R3)(\mathrm R_3)(R3​) for any subset NNN and elements e1,e2e_1, e_2e1​,e2​ not in NNN, if r(N+e1)=r(N+e2)=r(N)r(N+e_1) = r(N+e_2) = r(N)r(N+e1​)=r(N+e2​)=r(N), then r(N+e1+e2)=r(N)r(N+e_1+e_2) = r(N)r(N+e1​+e2​)=r(N).

With ρ(N)\rho(N)ρ(N) the number of elements of NNN, the nullity is n(N)=ρ(N)−r(N)n(N) = \rho(N) - r(N)n(N)=ρ(N)−r(N). An element eee is dependent on NNN if r(N+e)=r(N)r(N+e) = r(N)r(N+e)=r(N). A circuit of rrr is a minimal dependent set: a subset PPP with n(P)>0n(P) > 0n(P)>0 such that n(N)=0n(N) = 0n(N)=0 for every proper subset NNN of PPP. In Lean these are IsRankSystem r, nullity r N, IsDependentOn r e N and circuitsOfRank r P.

Circuit system. A family of subsets, called circuits, satisfies the circuit postulates (§8, p. 516) if

(C₁) No proper subset of a circuit is a circuit.

(C₂) If P₁ and P₂ are circuits, e₁ is in both P₁ and P₂, and e₂ is in P₁ but not in P₂, then there is a circuit P₃ in P₁ + P₂ containing e₂ but not e₁.

In Lean this is IsCircuitSystem C for a predicate C : Finset α → Prop.

Rank from circuits. Whitney defines (p. 516):

Let e₁, ⋯, e_p be any ordered set of elements of M. Set Γᵢ = 0 if there is a circuit in e₁ + ⋯ + eᵢ containing eᵢ, and set Γᵢ = 1 otherwise (compare Theorem 5). Let the "rank" of (e₁, ⋯, e_p) be r(e₁, ⋯, e_p) = Σ_{i=1}^{p} Γᵢ.

In Lean, rankSeq C l is this sum for a list l, and rankOfCircuits C N is its value on the enumeration N.toList of a subset NNN.

Formalization targets

Goal: the two systems are equivalent

For every finite set MMM:

(1)r satisfies (R)  ⟹  C(r) satisfies (C), ∅∉C(r), rC(r)=r;\text{(1)}\quad r \text{ satisfies } (\mathrm R) \;\Longrightarrow\; \mathcal C(r) \text{ satisfies } (\mathrm C),\ \emptyset \notin \mathcal C(r),\ r_{\mathcal C(r)} = r;(1)r satisfies (R)⟹C(r) satisfies (C), ∅∈/C(r), rC(r)​=r; (2)C satisfies (C), ∅∉C  ⟹  rC satisfies (R), C(rC)=C,\text{(2)}\quad \mathcal C \text{ satisfies } (\mathrm C),\ \emptyset \notin \mathcal C \;\Longrightarrow\; r_{\mathcal C} \text{ satisfies } (\mathrm R),\ \mathcal C(r_{\mathcal C}) = \mathcal C,(2)C satisfies (C), ∅∈/C⟹rC​ satisfies (R), C(rC​)=C,

where C(r)\mathcal C(r)C(r) is the family of circuits of rrr and rCr_{\mathcal C}rC​ is the rank defined from C\mathcal CC. This is Whitney's closing sentence of §8 (p. 517): "The definitions of rank and of circuits under the two systems (R), (C) agree, and hence the systems are equivalent."

Milestones, in the order the argument uses them

  • Lemma 5 (p. 512): each element of a circuit is dependent on the rest of the circuit.
  • Lemma 6 (p. 512): if e∉P1e \notin P_1e∈/P1​ is dependent on P1P_1P1​ but on no proper subset of P1P_1P1​, then P1+eP_1 + eP1​+e is a circuit.
  • Theorem 4 (p. 512): for e∉Ne \notin Ne∈/N, some circuit in N+eN + eN+e contains eee if and only if eee is dependent on NNN.
  • Theorem 5 (p. 513): if N=e1+⋯+epN = e_1 + \cdots + e_pN=e1​+⋯+ep​ is formed element by element, n(N)n(N)n(N) is the number of indices iii for which some circuit in e1+⋯+eie_1 + \cdots + e_ie1​+⋯+ei​ contains eie_iei​.
  • §5 (pp. 512–513): the circuits of a rank system satisfy (C1)(\mathrm C_1)(C1​) and (C2)(\mathrm C_2)(C2​).
  • Lemma 7 (p. 516): r(e1,…,eq−2,eq−1,eq)=r(e1,…,eq−2,eq,eq−1)r(e_1, \dots, e_{q-2}, e_{q-1}, e_q) = r(e_1, \dots, e_{q-2}, e_q, e_{q-1})r(e1​,…,eq−2​,eq−1​,eq​)=r(e1​,…,eq−2​,eq​,eq−1​) under (C1)(\mathrm C_1)(C1​), (C2)(\mathrm C_2)(C2​).
  • Lemma 8 (p. 517): the rank of a subset defined from circuits does not depend on the ordering of its elements.
  • §8 (p. 517): the rank defined from circuits satisfies (R1)(\mathrm R_1)(R1​)–(R3)(\mathrm R_3)(R3​).

Significance

The equivalence makes the circuit postulates a complete description of a matroid: everything stated about rank, nullity, independence and bases can be phrased through circuits and back. Downstream in the same paper, the fundamental sets of circuits of §9 (Theorem 9) and the binary-matroid characterization of the Appendix are stated in terms of circuits, and they depend on circuits and rank being interchangeable. Theorem 5, read on its own, expresses the nullity of a set as a count of circuit-closing steps. This is the abstract form of the fact that the cycle space of a graph has dimension equal to the number of non-tree edges.

On the formal side, Mathlib's Matroid is built on the base axioms and proves circuit elimination (Matroid.IsCircuit.strong_elimination) as a theorem about that structure. Whitney's own route is different: rank defined from circuits by an ordered sum of Γi\Gamma_iΓi​, with order-independence (Lemmas 7 and 8) as the central step. That route has no machine-checked version that we know of, on Prove2Me or elsewhere. This mission formalizes the 1935 argument as stated: the rank and circuit systems as Whitney wrote them, and the two translations between them.

Difficulty

The obvious definition of the rank of a set from its circuits enumerates the set and counts the elements that do not close a circuit with their predecessors. This definition depends on the enumeration, and nothing in (C1)(\mathrm C_1)(C1​), (C2)(\mathrm C_2)(C2​) obviously prevents two orderings from giving different counts. Lemma 7, the swap of two adjacent elements, is where (C2)(\mathrm C_2)(C2​) does real work, through a case analysis on which of the two swapped elements closes a circuit. In the other direction, (C2)(\mathrm C_2)(C2​) for circuits of a rank function requires turning the local postulate (R3)(\mathrm R_3)(R3​) into a statement about unions of two circuits. Defining the circuit rank as a maximum over orderings, or as the size of a largest circuit-free subset, sidesteps exactly the step the paper proves and is not this mission.

Formalization scope

  • The elements form a finite type α with [Fintype α] [DecidableEq α]. The ground set is all of α, and subsets are Finset α. Whitney's matroid is a finite set e1,…,ene_1, \dots, e_ne1​,…,en​.
  • Ranks and nullities are integers (ℤ), so that n(N)=ρ(N)−r(N)n(N) = \rho(N) - r(N)n(N)=ρ(N)−r(N) is a true difference.
  • Ordered sets of elements are lists. Lemmas 7, 8 and Theorem 5 assume the list has no repetitions, as Whitney's "ordered set of elements" means. "A circuit in e1+⋯+eie_1 + \cdots + e_ie1​+⋯+ei​" means a circuit contained in {e1,…,ei}\{e_1, \dots, e_i\}{e1​,…,ei​}.
  • The rank of a subset from circuits is computed along one fixed enumeration N.toList. Its independence from the enumeration is Lemma 8, and the definition does not build it in.
  • Tacit hypothesis made explicit. Whitney's circuits are nonempty, since a circuit of a rank system has positive nullity. The family {∅}\{\emptyset\}{∅} satisfies (C1)(\mathrm C_1)(C1​), (C2)(\mathrm C_2)(C2​) vacuously, but its circuit rank is ρ\rhoρ, which has no circuits, so the round trip fails. Part (2) of the goal therefore assumes ∅∉C\emptyset \notin \mathcal C∅∈/C, and part (1) asserts ∅∉C(r)\emptyset \notin \mathcal C(r)∅∈/C(r).
  • Lemma 6 assumes e∉P1e \notin P_1e∈/P1​, which the paper leaves tacit.
  • Ruled out. Neither system may be encoded as Mathlib's Matroid in the statements. Doing so would turn the equivalence into a library lemma. The statements are about Whitney's postulates on bare functions and predicates.

The development needs only finite sets, lists and permutations from Mathlib. The definitions IsRankSystem and IsCircuitSystem can be reused for the other cryptomorphisms of the paper. Contributions are welcome on any milestone, and so are local helper lemmas, such as monotonicity of rank under (R1)(\mathrm R_1)(R1​)–(R3)(\mathrm R_3)(R3​) or invariance of rankSeq under prefix-preserving changes.

Selected references

  • H. Whitney, On the Abstract Properties of Linear Dependence, American Journal of Mathematics 57 (1935), no. 3, 509–533. https://doi.org/10.2307/2371182
  • J. Oxley, Matroid Theory, 2nd ed., Oxford Graduate Texts in Mathematics 21, Oxford University Press, 2011. https://doi.org/10.1093/acprof:oso/9780198566946.001.0001
  • Mathlib, Mathlib/Combinatorics/Matroid/Circuit.lean (circuits of Mathlib's Matroid). https://github.com/leanprover-community/mathlib4
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Dynamic ProgrammingOperations ResearchProbability·Captain: mikedeng1

Computational Issues in an Infinite-Horizon, Multiechelon Inventory Model 1: The Decomposition Policy Is Optimal for Discounted CostsResearch Paper

Motivation

Distribution systems often move stock in two stages. A depot orders from an outside supplier and ships to a retail outlet, where customer demand arrives and unmet demand is backordered. Stock held anywhere costs money, a shortage at the outlet costs more, and each order carries a fixed charge. The basic question is what ordering and shipping rule minimizes total cost.

Clark and Scarf (Management Science 6, 1960) showed that over a finite planning horizon this two-echelon problem decomposes. The outlet solves its own single-location problem, and the depot solves a second single-location problem in which the outlet's shortfall is charged through an induced penalty cost. Federgruen and Zipkin (Operations Research 32(4), 1984) carried the decomposition to the infinite horizon. In the infinite-horizon problems the induced penalty becomes stationary and explicit, which makes the system computable with single-location tools. This mission covers the discounted-cost half of that paper (§§1–2).

Timeline:

  • 1960: Clark and Scarf, finite-horizon decomposition, with a nonstationary penalty P^n\hat P_nP^n​ built from the outlet's optimal cost functions.
  • 1963: Iglehart (Management Science 9) proved, for the single-location discounted problem, that the finite-horizon value functions converge uniformly and that an (s,S)(s,S)(s,S) policy is optimal.
  • 1984: Federgruen and Zipkin combine the two results and prove that a stationary policy built from the decomposition is optimal for the infinite-horizon discounted and average-cost problems.

Setting

Time is discrete. The cost data are a fixed order cost KKK, an order cost rate cdc^dcd, a shipment cost rate crc^rcr, a holding cost rate hdh^dhd on all system stock, an extra holding cost rate hrh^rhr at the outlet, and a backorder penalty rate prp^rpr; all are positive. The discount factor α\alphaα satisfies 0≤α<10 \le \alpha < 10≤α<1, shipments take lll periods and orders take LLL periods. One-period demands are independent copies of a nonnegative continuous random variable uuu with mean μ<∞\mu < \inftyμ<∞, and u(i)u^{(i)}u(i) denotes the sum of iii copies.

The state is (y^,vd,xr)(\hat y, v^d, x^r)(y^​,vd,xr):

  • y^=(y1,…,yL)\hat y = (y^1, \dots, y^L)y^​=(y1,…,yL) lists the outstanding orders, yiy^iyi placed iii periods ago;
  • vdv^dvd is the depot's echelon inventory (its own stock plus xrx^rxr);
  • xrx^rxr is the outlet's stock plus shipments in transit.

An action is an order y≥0y \ge 0y≥0 and a shipment z≥0z \ge 0z≥0 with xr+z≤vd+yLx^r + z \le v^d + y^Lxr+z≤vd+yL. With demand uuu, the next state is ((y,y1,…,yL−1),vd+yL−u,xr+z−u)((y, y^1, \dots, y^{L-1}), v^d + y^L - u, x^r + z - u)((y,y1,…,yL−1),vd+yL−u,xr+z−u). The one-period cost is

cd(y)+hd(vd+yL)+crz+R(xr+z),c^d(y) + h^d(v^d + y^L) + c^r z + R(x^r + z),cd(y)+hd(vd+yL)+crz+R(xr+z),

where cd(y)=K+cdyc^d(y) = K + c^d ycd(y)=K+cdy for y>0y > 0y>0, cd(0)=0c^d(0) = 0cd(0)=0, and

R(x)=αl{−hd(x−lμ)+prE[u(l+1)−x]++(hd+hr)E[x−u(l+1)]+}.R(x) = \alpha^l\{-h^d(x - l\mu) + p^r E[u^{(l+1)} - x]^+ + (h^d + h^r)E[x - u^{(l+1)}]^+\}.R(x)=αl{−hd(x−lμ)+prE[u(l+1)−x]++(hd+hr)E[x−u(l+1)]+}.

Bα(s∣π)B^\alpha(s \mid \pi)Bα(s∣π) is the expected total discounted cost of a policy π\piπ from state sss.

The critical number xr∗x^{r*}xr∗ minimizes (1−α)crx+R(x)(1-\alpha)c^r x + R(x)(1−α)crx+R(x). The stationary induced penalty is P(x)=0P(x) = 0P(x)=0 for x≥xr∗x \ge x^{r*}x≥xr∗ and P(x)=(1−α)cr(x−xr∗)+R(x)−R(xr∗)P(x) = (1-\alpha)c^r(x - x^{r*}) + R(x) - R(x^{r*})P(x)=(1−α)cr(x−xr∗)+R(x)−R(xr∗) otherwise. The depot problem IHαdIH^d_\alphaIHαd​ has state (y^,vd)(\hat y, v^d)(y^​,vd), action y≥0y \ge 0y≥0 and one-period cost cd(y)+hd(vd+yL)+P(vd+yL)c^d(y) + h^d(v^d + y^L) + P(v^d + y^L)cd(y)+hd(vd+yL)+P(vd+yL). The policy πα∗\pi_\alpha^*πα∗​ orders by an optimal stationary policy σd\sigma^dσd of IHαdIH^d_\alphaIHαd​ and ships z=max⁡{0,min⁡{xr∗,vd+yL}−xr}z = \max\{0, \min\{x^{r*}, v^d + y^L\} - x^r\}z=max{0,min{xr∗,vd+yL}−xr}: up to the critical number when the depot has the stock, otherwise as much as it has.

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem 1 (p. 827)

Assume αlpr≥(1−αl)hd\alpha^l p^r \ge (1-\alpha^l)h^dαlpr≥(1−αl)hd. For every state with y^≥0\hat y \ge 0y^​≥0 and xr≤vdx^r \le v^dxr≤vd, and every admissible policy π\piπ,

Bα(y^,vd,xr∣πα∗)≤Bα(y^,vd,xr∣π).B^\alpha(\hat y, v^d, x^r \mid \pi_\alpha^*) \le B^\alpha(\hat y, v^d, x^r \mid \pi).Bα(y^​,vd,xr∣πα∗​)≤Bα(y^​,vd,xr∣π).

The goal leaves the form of σd\sigma^dσd open: any optimal stationary depot policy will do, and no (s,S)(s,S)(s,S) structure is assumed.

Milestones

The milestones follow the paper's own route. Write g^n\hat g_ng^​n​, gnrg_n^rgnr​, g^nd\hat g_n^dg^​nd​, gndg_n^dgnd​ for the nnn-period optimal costs of the system, of the outlet, of the depot with penalties P^n\hat P_nP^n​, and of the depot with penalty PPP.

  • Eq. (4): g^n=g^nd+gnr\hat g_n = \hat g_n^d + g_n^rg^​n​=g^​nd​+gnr​.
  • Property (e): gnr→gr=Brαg_n^r \to g^r = B^{r\alpha}gnr​→gr=Brα.
  • §2 claim (Iglehart): gnr→grg_n^r \to g^rgnr​→gr uniformly on (−∞,xr∗](-\infty, x^{r*}](−∞,xr∗].
  • Lemma 1: P^n→P\hat P_n \to PP^n​→P uniformly on R\mathbb RR.
  • Lemma 2: g^nd−gnd→0\hat g_n^d - g_n^d \to 0g^​nd​−gnd​→0 uniformly.
  • Lemma 3: g^n→gd+gr\hat g_n \to g^d + g^rg^​n​→gd+gr.
  • Lemma 4: ggg satisfies the optimality equation (8), and πα∗\pi_\alpha^*πα∗​ attains it.

Significance

The theorem shows that, under discounting, the infinite-horizon two-echelon problem is solved by two single-location problems, with a penalty PPP that is written in terms of RRR alone. Computing PPP does not require the outlet's optimal cost functions. The rest of the paper relies on this: its computational sections evaluate PPP in closed form for normal demand, and they treat several outlets by relaxation. A machine-checked version also gives an infinite-horizon decomposition theorem against which future multi-echelon formalizations can be checked.

The result was proved in 1984 and is not open. It has not been formalized. The paper's proof is short only because it cites Iglehart's convergence results and Propositions 9.12 and 9.16 of Bertsekas and Shreve (1978) for its last step, so a formal proof must also supply these.

Difficulty

The obvious argument passes to the limit in the finite-horizon decomposition (4). That fails as stated, because the depot program (3) has nonstationary penalties P^n\hat P_nP^n​, built from the outlet's optimal costs gn−1rg_{n-1}^rgn−1r​, and its value functions are not those of any stationary problem. The comparison of P^n\hat P_nP^n​ with PPP needs uniform control over the whole real line. The first few P^n−P\hat P_n - PP^n​−P are in fact unbounded, since g0r=0g_0^r = 0g0r​=0 has the wrong slope. The uniform control therefore holds only for large nnn, and the error has to be propagated through the depot recursion.

The second obstacle is that the one-period costs are unbounded in both directions: hdvh^d vhdv is negative for negative vvv. Contraction arguments for bounded costs therefore do not apply. Lower boundedness on the feasible set needs the cost relation αlpr≥(1−αl)hd\alpha^l p^r \ge (1-\alpha^l)h^dαlpr≥(1−αl)hd, and passing from the optimality equation to optimality of a policy needs the theory of models with costs bounded below.

Formalization scope

Everything lives in the namespace FZEchelon.Discounted.

  • Model. The data form a structure Model. The pipeline y^\hat yy^​ is a vector indexed by {0,…,L−1}\{0, \dots, L-1\}{0,…,L−1}, whose index kkk is the paper's yk+1y^{k+1}yk+1. For L=0L = 0L=0 the current order arrives at once.
  • Policies and cost. Time runs forward with weight αk\alpha^kαk; the paper counts periods remaining. Policies are measurable, non-anticipative, deterministic and history dependent, and they must be feasible along every demand path. BαB^\alphaBα is an extended real: the expectation of the positive part of the discounted cost sum minus that of the negative part, under the product law of the demands.
  • Finite-horizon programs. These are real infima over the feasible actions.
  • Hypotheses. Statements quantify over the physical states y^≥0\hat y \ge 0y^​≥0, xr≤vdx^r \le v^dxr≤vd. The standing assumptions of §1 are bundled in StandingAssumptions: positive costs, 0≤α≤10 \le \alpha \le 10≤α≤1, demand nonnegative, atomless and of finite mean. The §2 statements add α<1\alpha < 1α<1 and the cost relation, which the paper names in the proof of Theorem 1. The critical numbers xr∗x^{r*}xr∗ and xnr∗x_n^{r*}xnr∗​ enter as minimizers. The depot policy σd\sigma^dσd enters as a measurable, nonnegative stationary policy that is optimal for IHαdIH_\alpha^dIHαd​; that is the paper's definition of πα∗\pi_\alpha^*πα∗​, and its existence is Iglehart's.
  • Ruled out. Comparing πα∗\pi_\alpha^*πα∗​ only against stationary policies, or reading BαB^\alphaBα as a bare series or a truncated sum, would trivialize or change the theorem. The comparison class is all admissible history-dependent policies.
  • Corrections. Where the paper says "bounded" for every nnn (§2 claim, Lemmas 1 and 2), the statements claim boundedness only where it holds: n≥1n \ge 1n≥1, n≥2n \ge 2n≥2, and eventually, respectively. The moderation notes give the counterexample at n=1n = 1n=1. Lemma 2 also carries the standing assumption of p. 821 that never ordering is not optimal. The statement is false without it.
  • Infrastructure. A complete development needs the convexity theory of the single-location newsvendor function RRR, value iteration for discounted models with costs bounded below, and the Markov property for the product measure on demand sequences. The control-system file is reusable for other inventory and queueing missions. Formalizations of Iglehart's theorem and of Bertsekas–Shreve Propositions 9.12 and 9.16 are welcome.

Selected references

  • A. Federgruen, P. Zipkin, Computational Issues in an Infinite-Horizon, Multiechelon Inventory Model, Operations Research 32(4):818–836, 1984. https://doi.org/10.1287/opre.32.4.818
  • A. J. Clark, H. Scarf, Optimal Policies for a Multi-Echelon Inventory Problem, Management Science 6(4):475–490, 1960. https://doi.org/10.1287/mnsc.6.4.475
  • D. L. Iglehart, Optimality of (s, S) Policies in the Infinite Horizon Dynamic Inventory Problem, Management Science 9(2):259–267, 1963. https://doi.org/10.1287/mnsc.9.2.259
  • D. P. Bertsekas, S. E. Shreve, Stochastic Optimal Control: The Discrete-Time Case, Academic Press, 1978. https://web.mit.edu/dimitrib/www/soc.html
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Computational Issues in an Infinite-Horizon, Multiechelon Inventory Model 2: The Decomposition Policy Is Average-Cost OptimalResearch Paper

Motivation

Many supply chains move stock through a central warehouse to the retail locations that face customer demand. Deciding how much the warehouse should order from outside, and how much it should ship to each retailer and when, is a stochastic dynamic program whose state contains every stock level and every outstanding order. Exact solution is out of reach except for the smallest systems, so structural results that reduce such a problem to single-location problems matter in practice.

Timeline.

  • Clark and Scarf (Management Science 1960) showed that the finite-horizon, discounted problem of a serial system decomposes: an optimal policy is obtained by solving the most downstream location alone, charging its shortfalls to the upstream location through an induced penalty cost, and then solving the upstream location as a single-location problem with that penalty.
  • Iglehart (Management Science 1963, and a 1963 chapter in Multistage Inventory Models and Techniques) established the infinite-horizon theory of the single-location problem with a fixed order cost: optimality of stationary (s,S)(s,S)(s,S) policies under discounted and average costs, and the convergence of value iteration.
  • Federgruen and Zipkin (Operations Research 1984) carried the decomposition to the infinite horizon for a depot and one retail outlet, under discounted costs (Theorem 1) and under the average-cost criterion (Theorem 2). This mission is about the average-cost case, §3 of that paper.

Setting

Time is divided into periods. A depot orders from an outside supplier with lead time L≥0L \ge 0L≥0 and supplies a retail outlet with shipment lead time l≥0l \ge 0l≥0. The demand uuu in each period is a nonnegative random variable with law ν\nuν and finite mean μ\muμ; demands in different periods are independent and identically distributed. Unmet demand at the outlet is backordered.

The state is (y~,vd,xr)(\tilde y, v^d, x^r)(y~​,vd,xr):

  • y~=(y1,…,yL)\tilde y = (y^1,\dots,y^L)y~​=(y1,…,yL) lists the orders placed 1,…,L1,\dots,L1,…,L periods ago;
  • vdv^dvd is the depot's echelon inventory, its own stock plus the outlet's inventory position;
  • xrx^rxr is the outlet's inventory position, its stock plus shipments in transit.

In each period the decision is an order y≥0y \ge 0y≥0 and a shipment z≥0z \ge 0z≥0 with xr+z≤vd+yLx^r + z \le v^d + y^Lxr+z≤vd+yL, where yLy^LyL is the order arriving now. The state then moves to ((y,y1,…,yL−1), vd+yL−u, xr+z−u)((y, y^1,\dots,y^{L-1}),\, v^d + y^L - u,\, x^r + z - u)((y,y1,…,yL−1),vd+yL−u,xr+z−u).

Costs are a fixed order cost KKK, proportional order and shipment rates cdc^dcd and crc^rcr, a holding rate hdh^dhd on system inventory, an extra holding rate hrh^rhr at the outlet and a backorder penalty rate prp^rpr. After the paper's accounting transformation, the one-period cost is

cd(y)+D(vd+yL)+crz+R(xr+z),c^d(y) + D(v^d + y^L) + c^r z + R(x^r + z),cd(y)+D(vd+yL)+crz+R(xr+z),

with cd(y)=K+cdyc^d(y) = K + c^d ycd(y)=K+cdy for y>0y > 0y>0 and cd(0)=0c^d(0) = 0cd(0)=0, D(v)=hdvD(v) = h^d vD(v)=hdv, and, at α=1\alpha = 1α=1,

R(x)=−hd(x−lμ)+prE[u(l+1)−x]++(hd+hr)E[x−u(l+1)]+,R(x) = -h^d(x - l\mu) + p^r E[u^{(l+1)} - x]^+ + (h^d + h^r) E[x - u^{(l+1)}]^+ ,R(x)=−hd(x−lμ)+prE[u(l+1)−x]++(hd+hr)E[x−u(l+1)]+,

where u(l+1)u^{(l+1)}u(l+1) is the demand over l+1l + 1l+1 periods. The critical number xr∗x^{r*}xr∗ is a minimizer of RRR. The stationary induced penalty is P(x)=R(x)−R(xr∗)P(x) = R(x) - R(x^{r*})P(x)=R(x)−R(xr∗) for x<xr∗x < x^{r*}x<xr∗ and 000 otherwise.

For a policy π\piπ and initial state sss, Bn(s∣π)B_n(s \mid \pi)Bn​(s∣π) is the expected cost of the first nnn periods and B(s∣π)=lim sup⁡nBn(s∣π)/nB(s \mid \pi) = \limsup_n B_n(s \mid \pi)/nB(s∣π)=limsupn​Bn​(s∣π)/n is the average cost. Problem IH asks for a policy minimizing B(s∣⋅)B(s\mid\cdot)B(s∣⋅) from every state. The depot problem IHd^dd has states (y~,vd)(\tilde y, v^d)(y~​,vd), orders y≥0y \ge 0y≥0 and one-period cost cd(y)+D(vd+yL)+P(vd+yL)c^d(y) + D(v^d + y^L) + P(v^d + y^L)cd(y)+D(vd+yL)+P(vd+yL). Its minimal average cost is ada^dad. The outlet problem has states xrx^rxr, shipments z≥0z \ge 0z≥0 and one-period cost crz+R(xr+z)c^r z + R(x^r + z)crz+R(xr+z). The policy π∗\pi^*π∗ orders by an optimal stationary policy of IHd^dd and ships z=max⁡(0,min⁡(xr∗,vd+yL)−xr)z = \max(0, \min(x^{r*}, v^d + y^L) - x^r)z=max(0,min(xr∗,vd+yL)−xr): up to the critical number if the depot has the stock, otherwise as much as it has.

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem 2 (p. 828)

With α=1\alpha = 1α=1 and cd=cr=0c^d = c^r = 0cd=cr=0, the policy π∗\pi^*π∗ is measurable and feasible from every physical state, and for every such state sss and every measurable feasible policy π\piπ,

B(s∣π∗)≤B(s∣π).B(s \mid \pi^*) \le B(s \mid \pi).B(s∣π∗)≤B(s∣π).

Milestones

  • Property (f) (p. 824): gnr(x)/n→Br(x)=crμ+R(xr∗)g^r_n(x)/n \to B^r(x) = c^r\mu + R(x^{r*})gnr​(x)/n→Br(x)=crμ+R(xr∗) for the outlet program gnrg^r_ngnr​.
  • Eq. (4) (p. 823), for 0≤α≤10 \le \alpha \le 10≤α≤1: g^n(y~,vd,xr)=g^nd(y~,vd)+gnr(xr)\hat g_n(\tilde y, v^d, x^r) = \hat g^d_n(\tilde y, v^d) + g^r_n(x^r)g^​n​(y~​,vd,xr)=g^​nd​(y~​,vd)+gnr​(xr).
  • §3 claims (p. 828): with cr=0c^r = 0cr=0, xr∗x^{r*}xr∗ is the critical number of every period, gnr(x)=nR(xr∗)g^r_n(x) = nR(x^{r*})gnr​(x)=nR(xr∗) for x≤xr∗x \le x^{r*}x≤xr∗, P^n=P\hat P_n = PP^n​=P, g^nd=gnd\hat g^d_n = g^d_ng^​nd​=gnd​ and g^n=gn\hat g_n = g_ng^​n​=gn​.
  • §3 display (p. 828): g^n(y~,vd,xr)/n→a=ad+R(xr∗)\hat g_n(\tilde y, v^d, x^r)/n \to a = a^d + R(x^{r*})g^​n​(y~​,vd,xr)/n→a=ad+R(xr∗).
  • Lemma 5 (p. 828): B(s∣π∗)=aB(s \mid \pi^*) = aB(s∣π∗)=a.
  • Proof of Theorem 2 (p. 828): g^n(s)≤Bn(s∣π)\hat g_n(s) \le B_n(s \mid \pi)g^​n​(s)≤Bn​(s∣π) for every measurable feasible π\piπ.

Significance

The result. Theorem 2 reduces an average-cost problem with a multidimensional state to two problems with smaller states: a single-location (s,S)(s,S)(s,S)-type problem for the depot with a known convex penalty PPP, and a myopic critical-number rule for the outlet. The optimal system cost is the sum ad+ara^d + a^rad+ar of their optimal costs. The paper uses this to compute optimal policies with standard single-location software, and its §5 builds heuristics for several outlets on the same decomposition.

Formalizing it. The result is proved in the paper; nothing here is open. To our knowledge none of it has been machine-checked. A formal proof has to make precise what the paper leaves to "standard arguments":

  • the class of measurable history-dependent policies;
  • the expected costs of policies with unbounded one-period costs;
  • the passage from history-dependent to Markov policies;
  • the transient of π∗\pi^*π∗ when the outlet starts above its critical number.

Difficulty

The obvious argument would identify the average-cost optimal value through an average-cost optimality equation on the full state space and verify that π∗\pi^*π∗ attains it. No such equation is available here. The state space is unbounded, the one-period costs are unbounded both above and below in the state, and the depot's fixed cost makes its value functions KKK-convex rather than convex.

The paper's route avoids that equation but needs three separate facts:

  • value iteration for the whole system, divided by nnn, converges to ad+ara^d + a^rad+ar, which rests on Iglehart's convergence for the depot and on the stationarity of the penalties when cr=0c^r = 0cr=0;
  • the finite-horizon value bounds the cost of every history-dependent policy, not only of Markov ones;
  • π∗\pi^*π∗ achieves aaa from every state, including states with xr>xr∗x^r > x^{r*}xr>xr∗, where it does not ship at all until demand has brought the outlet below its critical number.

Formalization scope

  • Representation. A state is a triple in (Fin L→R)×R×R(\mathrm{Fin}\,L \to \mathbb R) \times \mathbb R \times \mathbb R(FinL→R)×R×R. For L=0L = 0L=0 the order placed now arrives at once. Time runs forward in Lean; the paper numbers periods backward. Finite-horizon value functions keep the paper's index nnn (periods remaining). Each "min" of programs (1), (2), (3), (5) is a real infimum over the constraint set.
  • Policies and costs. Policies are deterministic, history-dependent and measurable, and they must be feasible along every demand realization. BnB_nBn​ is an extended real (expected positive part minus expected negative part of each period's cost). BBB is a lim sup⁡\limsuplimsup in the extended reals, and the optimal average costs are infima in the extended reals.
  • Standing assumptions (p. 821):
    • K,hd,hr,pr>0K, h^d, h^r, p^r > 0K,hd,hr,pr>0;
    • demands i.i.d., nonnegative, without atoms ("for convenience we shall assume uuu is continuous") and with finite mean.
  • Added hypotheses.
    • States are restricted to the physical ones, y~≥0\tilde y \ge 0y~​≥0 and xr≤vdx^r \le v^dxr≤vd.
    • cd=cr=0c^d = c^r = 0cd=cr=0. The paper reduces to this case "without loss of generality", on the grounds that average proportional costs equal cdμc^d\mucdμ and crμc^r\mucrμ "under all interesting policies" (p. 827). That class is never specified, and the proofs are written for cd=cr=0c^d = c^r = 0cd=cr=0. The general-cost version is the paper's informal reduction and is not part of the goal.
    • Eq. (4) is stated for 0≤α≤10 \le \alpha \le 10≤α≤1 with K,hd,hr,pr>0K, h^d, h^r, p^r > 0K,hd,hr,pr>0 and cd,cr≥0c^d, c^r \ge 0cd,cr≥0 (so that it covers §3's case cd=cr=0c^d = c^r = 0cd=cr=0), and with the relation αlpr≥(1−αl)hd\alpha^l p^r \ge (1 - \alpha^l)h^dαlpr≥(1−αl)hd, which the paper names on p. 827; it holds automatically at α=1\alpha = 1α=1.
  • Ruling out trivial readings.
    • π∗\pi^*π∗ is built from a depot rule σd\sigma^dσd assumed optimal for IHd^dd from every depot state. Its existence is Iglehart's theorem, cited and not formalized; no (s,S)(s,S)(s,S) form is required.
    • The goal quantifies over all measurable feasible policies, and π∗\pi^*π∗'s own feasibility is a conclusion, so a vacuous policy class cannot satisfy it.
    • A sorry-free check in the workspace exhibits an instance (exponential demand) meeting every standing hypothesis other than the optimality of σd\sigma^dσd, including the existence of xr∗x^{r*}xr∗.
  • Reusable infrastructure. The definitions of history-dependent policies and of extended-real expected and average costs for controlled processes driven by i.i.d. real noise are generic, and could be reused for other inventory and queueing models. Contributions are welcome on any milestone, and especially on a formal version of the Markov reduction (Dynkin–Yushkevich III.1) for this setting and on Iglehart's convergence of gnd/ng^d_n/ngnd​/n.

Selected references

  • A. Federgruen and P. Zipkin, Computational Issues in an Infinite-Horizon, Multiechelon Inventory Model, Operations Research 32(4):818–836, 1984. https://doi.org/10.1287/opre.32.4.818
  • A. J. Clark and H. Scarf, Optimal Policies for a Multi-Echelon Inventory Problem, Management Science 6(4):475–490, 1960. https://doi.org/10.1287/mnsc.6.4.475
  • D. L. Iglehart, Optimality of (s, S) Policies in the Infinite Horizon Dynamic Inventory Problem, Management Science 9(2):259–267, 1963. https://doi.org/10.1287/mnsc.9.2.259
  • D. L. Iglehart, Dynamic Programming and Stationary Analyses of Inventory Problems, Chapter 1 in H. Scarf, D. Gilford and M. Shelly (eds.), Multistage Inventory Models and Techniques, Stanford University Press, 1963.
  • E. B. Dynkin and A. A. Yushkevich, Controlled Markov Processes, Springer, 1979.
  • D. P. Bertsekas and S. E. Shreve, Stochastic Optimal Control: The Discrete-Time Case, Academic Press, 1978.
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Non-Strongly-Convex Smooth Stochastic Approximation with Convergence Rate O(1/n): Averaged Constant-Step-Size LMS Has Expected Excess Risk at Most (1/2n)[σ√d/(1−√(γR²)) + R‖θ₀−θ*‖/√(γR²)]²Research Paper

Motivation

Least-squares regression fitted by stochastic gradient descent — the least-mean-square (LMS) algorithm — is the basic large-scale learning procedure: each observation is touched once, at a cost linear in the dimension. Classical analyses of stochastic approximation give the rate O(1/n)O(1/\sqrt n)O(1/n​) for non-strongly-convex objectives, and O(1/(μn))O(1/(\mu n))O(1/(μn)) when the objective is μ\muμ-strongly convex. For least squares, μ\muμ is the smallest eigenvalue of the input covariance, which in high-dimensional problems is close to zero, so the strongly convex rate is often worse than the non-strongly-convex one.

F. Bach and E. Moulines (arXiv:1306.2119, NeurIPS 2013) showed that for the square loss this dichotomy disappears: averaged LMS with a constant step size reaches the rate O(1/n)O(1/n)O(1/n) with no strong-convexity assumption, and with a constant that does not involve the smallest eigenvalue. Averaging of stochastic approximation iterates goes back to Polyak and Juditsky (SIAM J. Control Optim. 1992), whose guarantees are asymptotic and use decreasing step sizes. The proof technique for the expansion of the noise process is adapted from Aguech, Moulines and Priouret (SIAM J. Control Optim. 2000). This mission formalizes the non-asymptotic bound in expectation (Theorem 1 of the paper) and the chain of lemmas of its Appendix A.

Setting

Let H=Rd\mathcal H=\mathbb R^dH=Rd with d≥1d\ge1d≥1, inner product ⟨⋅,⋅⟩\langle\cdot,\cdot\rangle⟨⋅,⋅⟩ and norm ∥⋅∥\|\cdot\|∥⋅∥. For a∈Ha\in\mathcal Ha∈H, a⊗aa\otimes aa⊗a is the operator b↦⟨a,b⟩ab\mapsto\langle a,b\rangle ab↦⟨a,b⟩a. For self-adjoint operators, A≼BA\preccurlyeq BA≼B means that B−AB-AB−A is positive semi-definite.

The data are independent and identically distributed pairs (xn,zn)∈H×H(x_n,z_n)\in\mathcal H\times\mathcal H(xn​,zn​)∈H×H, n≥1n\ge1n≥1, with finite second moments. The covariance operator is H=E[xn⊗xn]H=\mathbb E[x_n\otimes x_n]H=E[xn​⊗xn​], assumed invertible (its eigenvalues may be arbitrarily small). The least-squares objective

f(θ)=12 E[⟨θ,xn⟩2−2⟨θ,zn⟩]f(\theta)=\tfrac12\,\mathbb E\big[\langle\theta,x_n\rangle^2-2\langle\theta,z_n\rangle\big]f(θ)=21​E[⟨θ,xn​⟩2−2⟨θ,zn​⟩]

attains its global minimum at θ∗\theta^*θ∗, and ξn=zn−⟨θ∗,xn⟩xn\xi_n=z_n-\langle\theta^*,x_n\rangle x_nξn​=zn​−⟨θ∗,xn​⟩xn​ is the residual. The model need not be well specified: E[ξn∣xn]\mathbb E[\xi_n\mid x_n]E[ξn​∣xn​] need not vanish. Two constants R,σ>0R,\sigma>0R,σ>0 satisfy

E[ξn⊗ξn]≼σ2H,E[∥xn∥2xn⊗xn]≼R2H.\mathbb E[\xi_n\otimes\xi_n]\preccurlyeq\sigma^2H,\qquad \mathbb E\big[\|x_n\|^2x_n\otimes x_n\big]\preccurlyeq R^2H .E[ξn​⊗ξn​]≼σ2H,E[∥xn​∥2xn​⊗xn​]≼R2H.

These are assumptions (A1)–(A6) of §2.1. The LMS recursion with constant step size γ\gammaγ, started at θ0∈H\theta_0\in\mathcal Hθ0​∈H, is

θn=θn−1−γ(⟨θn−1,xn⟩xn−zn)=(I−γxn⊗xn)θn−1+γzn,\theta_n=\theta_{n-1}-\gamma\big(\langle\theta_{n-1},x_n\rangle x_n-z_n\big)=(I-\gamma x_n\otimes x_n)\theta_{n-1}+\gamma z_n ,θn​=θn−1​−γ(⟨θn−1​,xn​⟩xn​−zn​)=(I−γxn​⊗xn​)θn−1​+γzn​,

and its average is θˉn−1=n−1∑k=0n−1θk\bar\theta_{n-1}=n^{-1}\sum_{k=0}^{n-1}\theta_kθˉn−1​=n−1∑k=0n−1​θk​.

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem 1, Eq. (2)

For every step size 0<γ<1/R20<\gamma<1/R^20<γ<1/R2 and every n≥1n\ge1n≥1,

E[f(θˉn−1)−f(θ∗)]≤12n[σd1−γR2+R∥θ0−θ∗∥1γR2]2.\mathbb E\big[f(\bar\theta_{n-1})-f(\theta^*)\big]\le\frac{1}{2n}\left[\frac{\sigma\sqrt d}{1-\sqrt{\gamma R^2}}+R\|\theta_0-\theta^*\|\frac{1}{\sqrt{\gamma R^2}}\right]^2 .E[f(θˉn−1​)−f(θ∗)]≤2n1​[1−γR2​σd​​+R∥θ0​−θ∗∥γR2​1​]2.

The constants are the paper's. A companion item states the case γ=1/(4R2)\gamma=1/(4R^2)γ=1/(4R2), where the bound reads 2n[σd+R∥θ0−θ∗∥]2\frac2n\big[\sigma\sqrt d+R\|\theta_0-\theta^*\|\big]^2n2​[σd​+R∥θ0​−θ∗∥]2.

Milestones (Appendix A)

  1. The excess risk is a quadratic form: f(θ)−f(θ∗)=12⟨θ−θ∗,H(θ−θ∗)⟩f(\theta)-f(\theta^*)=\tfrac12\langle\theta-\theta^*,H(\theta-\theta^*)\ranglef(θ)−f(θ∗)=21​⟨θ−θ∗,H(θ−θ∗)⟩.
  2. Consequences of (A6): E∥xn∥2≤R2\mathbb E\|x_n\|^2\le R^2E∥xn​∥2≤R2, tr⁡H≤R2\operatorname{tr}H\le R^2trH≤R2, H≼R2IH\preccurlyeq R^2IH≼R2I, and γH≼I\gamma H\preccurlyeq IγH≼I for γ≤1/R2\gamma\le1/R^2γ≤1/R2.
  3. Lemma 1: for a recursion αn=(I−γxn⊗xn)αn−1+γξn\alpha_n=(I-\gamma x_n\otimes x_n)\alpha_{n-1}+\gamma\xi_nαn​=(I−γxn​⊗xn​)αn−1​+γξn​ with martingale-difference noise and γR2≤1\gamma R^2\le1γR2≤1,
(1−γR2) E⟨αˉn−1,Hαˉn−1⟩+12nγE∥αn∥2≤12nγ∥α0∥2+γn∑k=1nE∥ξk∥2.(1-\gamma R^2)\,\mathbb E\langle\bar\alpha_{n-1},H\bar\alpha_{n-1}\rangle+\tfrac{1}{2n\gamma}\mathbb E\|\alpha_n\|^2\le\tfrac{1}{2n\gamma}\|\alpha_0\|^2+\tfrac{\gamma}{n}\textstyle\sum_{k=1}^{n}\mathbb E\|\xi_k\|^2 .(1−γR2)E⟨αˉn−1​,Hαˉn−1​⟩+2nγ1​E∥αn​∥2≤2nγ1​∥α0​∥2+nγ​∑k=1n​E∥ξk​∥2.
  1. Lemma 3: (1−(1−u)n)2≤nu(1-(1-u)^n)^2\le nu(1−(1−u)n)2≤nu for u∈[0,1]u\in[0,1]u∈[0,1] and n>0n>0n>0.
  2. Lemma 2: for αn=(I−γH)αn−1+γξn\alpha_n=(I-\gamma H)\alpha_{n-1}+\gamma\xi_nαn​=(I−γH)αn−1​+γξn​ with E[ξn⊗ξn]≼C\mathbb E[\xi_n\otimes\xi_n]\preccurlyeq CE[ξn​⊗ξn​]≼C, the second-moment bound (13) and
E⟨αˉn−1,Hαˉn−1⟩≤1nγ∥α0∥2+1ntr⁡(CH−1).\mathbb E\langle\bar\alpha_{n-1},H\bar\alpha_{n-1}\rangle\le\tfrac{1}{n\gamma}\|\alpha_0\|^2+\tfrac1n\operatorname{tr}(CH^{-1}).E⟨αˉn−1​,Hαˉn−1​⟩≤nγ1​∥α0​∥2+n1​tr(CH−1).
  1. The pathwise decomposition θn−θ∗=M1n(θ0−θ∗)+γ∑k=1nMk+1nξk\theta_n-\theta^*=M^n_1(\theta_0-\theta^*)+\gamma\sum_{k=1}^nM^n_{k+1}\xi_kθn​−θ∗=M1n​(θ0​−θ∗)+γ∑k=1n​Mk+1n​ξk​ (A.2).
  2. The initial-condition bound E⟨ηˉn−1,Hηˉn−1⟩≤∥η0∥2/(nγ)\mathbb E\langle\bar\eta_{n-1},H\bar\eta_{n-1}\rangle\le\|\eta_0\|^2/(n\gamma)E⟨ηˉ​n−1​,Hηˉ​n−1​⟩≤∥η0​∥2/(nγ) for the noise-free process (A.3).
  3. The expansion of the noise process (A.4): the remainder recursion (16), the covariance bound (17) E[ηn−1r⊗ηn−1r]≼γr+1R2rσ2I\mathbb E[\eta^r_{n-1}\otimes\eta^r_{n-1}]\preccurlyeq\gamma^{r+1}R^{2r}\sigma^2IE[ηn−1r​⊗ηn−1r​]≼γr+1R2rσ2I, the order-rrr bound 1nγrR2rdσ2\frac1n\gamma^rR^{2r}d\sigma^2n1​γrR2rdσ2, the remainder bound γr+2σ2R2r+41−γR2\frac{\gamma^{r+2}\sigma^2R^{2r+4}}{1-\gamma R^2}1−γR2γr+2σ2R2r+4​, and the noise bound
(E⟨ηˉn−1,Hηˉn−1⟩)1/2≤σdn⋅11−γR2(η0=0, γR2<1).\big(\mathbb E\langle\bar\eta_{n-1},H\bar\eta_{n-1}\rangle\big)^{1/2}\le\frac{\sigma\sqrt d}{\sqrt n}\cdot\frac{1}{1-\sqrt{\gamma R^2}}\quad(\eta_0=0,\ \gamma R^2<1).(E⟨ηˉ​n−1​,Hηˉ​n−1​⟩)1/2≤n​σd​​⋅1−γR2​1​(η0​=0, γR2<1).

Significance

The result. Theorem 1 gives a finite-sample, dimension-explicit bound with two terms: a variance term σ2d/n\sigma^2d/nσ2d/n, which matches the minimax rate for least-squares regression, and a bias term R2∥θ0−θ∗∥2/(γn)R^2\|\theta_0-\theta^*\|^2/(\gamma n)R2∥θ0​−θ∗∥2/(γn). Neither involves the smallest eigenvalue of HHH, so the guarantee survives ill-conditioning, which is the regime of high-dimensional learning. The bound is the basis for the paper's later results: the high-probability bound (Theorem 2) and the constant-step algorithm for logistic regression (Theorem 3), whose analysis invokes Theorem 1 for the quadratic approximations.

Formalizing it. The result is proved in the paper; nothing here is open. To our knowledge no part of it has been machine-checked. A formalization yields a reusable layer for linear stochastic approximation in finite dimension: martingale-difference noise in Rd\mathbb R^dRd, second-moment bounds for linear recursions driven by random operators, Loewner-order arguments, and averaging. The lemmas are stated for an abstract filtration and an abstract operator HHH, so they apply beyond this model. The mission also records the corrections the appendix needs (an "===" that should be "≼\preccurlyeq≼" in (13), an index in (16), and the exponent of ∥η0∥\|\eta_0\|∥η0​∥ in A.5).

Difficulty

Two steps resist the naive approach. First, the obvious one-step analysis — expand ∥θn−θ∗∥2\|\theta_n-\theta^*\|^2∥θn​−θ∗∥2 and take expectations — yields the bias part and Lemma 1, but on the noise it gives only γ∑kE∥ξk∥2/n\gamma\sum_k\mathbb E\|\xi_k\|^2/nγ∑k​E∥ξk​∥2/n, which does not decrease with nnn. The σ2d/n\sigma^2d/nσ2d/n rate requires averaging to cancel the noise, and this cancellation is visible only for the recursion with xn⊗xnx_n\otimes x_nxn​⊗xn​ replaced by its mean HHH. The random recursion is therefore expanded in powers of γ\gammaγ around the mean recursion, and each term ηr\eta^rηr needs its own covariance bound, by induction on rrr, using the independence of xnx_nxn​ from ηn−1r\eta^{r}_{n-1}ηn−1r​. Second, the induction relies on Loewner-order bookkeeping: sums of (I−γH)2kH(I-\gamma H)^{2k}H(I−γH)2kH must be bounded uniformly in nnn without dividing by small eigenvalues.

Formalization scope

The space H\mathcal HH is EuclideanSpace ℝ (Fin d). Operators are continuous linear maps, and H−1H^{-1}H−1 is an explicit two-sided inverse. Observations are indexed from 111. Averages are pˉn−1=n−1∑k=0n−1pk\bar p_{n-1}=n^{-1}\sum_{k=0}^{n-1}p_kpˉ​n−1​=n−1∑k=0n−1​pk​, with n≥1n\ge1n≥1 in every statement that uses them. The covariance operator is defined by its bilinear form, ⟨v,Hw⟩=E[⟨x1,v⟩⟨x1,w⟩]\langle v,Hw\rangle=\mathbb E[\langle x_1,v\rangle\langle x_1,w\rangle]⟨v,Hw⟩=E[⟨x1​,v⟩⟨x1​,w⟩]. Every Loewner inequality whose sides are expectations is an inequality of quadratic forms (for example E⟨ξ1,v⟩2≤σ2⟨v,Hv⟩\mathbb E\langle\xi_1,v\rangle^2\le\sigma^2\langle v,Hv\rangleE⟨ξ1​,v⟩2≤σ2⟨v,Hv⟩ for all vvv), which is the same order for self-adjoint operators.

Lean's Bochner integral is 000 on non-integrable functions, so every moment assumption carries the integrability of its integrand, and every bounded expectation in a conclusion is paired with an integrability conjunct. Without these, a heavy-tailed xnx_nxn​ would satisfy (A6) vacuously and a conclusion could hold through the value 000; neither formalization is acceptable. Independence is of the pairs (xn,zn)(x_n,z_n)(xn​,zn​), not of xnx_nxn​ and znz_nzn​ separately. (A4) is attainment of the minimum, not a gradient condition.

The following hypotheses are added to the page and disclosed in each item:

  • γ>0\gamma>0γ>0 (a step size, and γR2\sqrt{\gamma R^2}γR2​ is a denominator);
  • n≥1n\ge1n≥1;
  • the positivity and self-adjointness of HHH in Lemma 2;
  • γR2<1\gamma R^2<1γR2<1 instead of ≤1\le1≤1 in the remainder bound, which divides by 1−γR21-\gamma R^21−γR2.

A complete development needs:

  • conditional expectations of Rd\mathbb R^dRd-valued martingale differences, and the orthogonality of their sums;
  • independence of a fresh observation from the past iterates;
  • spectral calculus for (I−γH)k(I-\gamma H)^k(I−γH)k;
  • Minkowski's inequality in L2L^2L2.

All of these are reusable for other stochastic-approximation missions. Proofs of any milestone are welcome, as are alternative arguments for the noise bound that avoid the expansion.

Selected references

  • F. Bach and E. Moulines, Non-strongly-convex smooth stochastic approximation with convergence rate O(1/n), Advances in Neural Information Processing Systems 26, 2013. https://arxiv.org/abs/1306.2119
  • B. T. Polyak and A. B. Juditsky, Acceleration of stochastic approximation by averaging, SIAM Journal on Control and Optimization 30(4), 1992. https://doi.org/10.1137/0330046
  • R. Aguech, E. Moulines and P. Priouret, On a perturbation approach for the analysis of stochastic tracking algorithms, SIAM Journal on Control and Optimization 39(3), 2000. https://doi.org/10.1137/S0363012997331639
  • F. Bach and E. Moulines, Non-asymptotic analysis of stochastic approximation algorithms for machine learning, Advances in Neural Information Processing Systems 24, 2011. https://hal.science/hal-00608041
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Operations ResearchProbabilityStatistics·Captain: mikedeng1

Simultaneously Learning and Optimizing Using Controlled Variance Pricing 1: Controlled Variance Pricing Has Regret O(T^α + T^(1−α) log T)Research Paper

Motivation

A firm that sets prices without knowing how demand responds to them has to learn the demand curve from its own sales. Each price it charges is both a revenue decision and an experiment. The natural policy, certainty equivalent pricing, re-estimates the demand parameters after every period and charges the price that would be optimal if the estimates were exact. den Boer and Zwart show that this policy can fail: with positive probability its prices settle at a suboptimal value, because they converge too fast for the estimates to keep improving (den Boer–Zwart 2014, Proposition 1, the subject of the companion mission). The same phenomenon was found by Lai and Robbins (1982) for a linear control problem.

Their remedy, Controlled Variance Pricing (CVP), keeps certainty equivalent pricing but forces the sample variance of the chosen prices to decay no faster than tα−1t^{\alpha-1}tα−1. The main result is that this small amount of enforced exploration gives regret O(Tα+T1−αlog⁡T)O(T^\alpha + T^{1-\alpha}\log T)O(Tα+T1−αlogT), hence O(T1/2+δ)O(T^{1/2+\delta})O(T1/2+δ) for every δ>0\delta > 0δ>0, for a broad class of demand models that are specified only through their first two moments. Keskin and Zeevi (2014) later placed CVP in a larger family of semi-myopic policies with Tlog⁡T\sqrt T\log TT​logT regret for linear demand.

Setting

A seller chooses in each period t=1,2,…t = 1, 2, \dotst=1,2,… a price pt∈[pl,ph]p_t \in [p_l, p_h]pt​∈[pl​,ph​], with 0<pl<ph0 < p_l < p_h0<pl​<ph​, and then observes demand dtd_tdt​. Demand at price ppp has mean h(a0(0)+a1(0)p)h(a_0^{(0)} + a_1^{(0)}p)h(a0(0)​+a1(0)​p) and variance σ2v(h(a0(0)+a1(0)p))\sigma^2 v(h(a_0^{(0)} + a_1^{(0)}p))σ2v(h(a0(0)​+a1(0)​p)), where the link hhh and variance function vvv are known and C2C^2C2 on [0,∞)[0,\infty)[0,∞), h˙>0\dot h > 0h˙>0, and the parameter a(0)=(a0(0),a1(0))a^{(0)} = (a_0^{(0)}, a_1^{(0)})a(0)=(a0(0)​,a1(0)​) with a0(0)>0>a1(0)a_0^{(0)} > 0 > a_1^{(0)}a0(0)​>0>a1(0)​ is unknown. The noise et=dt−h(a0(0)+a1(0)pt)e_t = d_t - h(a_0^{(0)} + a_1^{(0)}p_t)et​=dt​−h(a0(0)​+a1(0)​pt​) is a martingale difference with conditional variance σ2v(⋅)\sigma^2 v(\cdot)σ2v(⋅) and a uniformly bounded conditional moment of some order r>3r > 3r>3.

The expected revenue is r(p,a)=p h(a0+a1p)r(p, a) = p\,h(a_0 + a_1p)r(p,a)=ph(a0​+a1​p). Near a(0)a^{(0)}a(0) it has a unique maximizer p(a)p(a)p(a) in the open interval (pl,ph)(p_l, p_h)(pl​,ph​) with ∂p2r<0\partial_p^2 r < 0∂p2​r<0 there, and popt=p(a(0))p_{\mathrm{opt}} = p(a^{(0)})popt​=p(a(0)). The regret of a policy is

Regret⁡(T)=E[∑t=1Tr(popt,a(0))−r(pt,a(0))].\operatorname{Regret}(T) = \mathbb E\Big[\sum_{t=1}^T r(p_{\mathrm{opt}}, a^{(0)}) - r(p_t, a^{(0)})\Big].Regret(T)=E[t=1∑T​r(popt​,a(0))−r(pt​,a(0))].

The estimate a^t\hat a_ta^t​ is the maximum quasi-likelihood estimate (MQLE), the root of the quasi-score equation (3), ∑i≤th˙σ2v(h)(1,pi)⊤(di−h(a^0+a^1pi))=0\sum_{i\le t} \frac{\dot h}{\sigma^2 v(h)}(1, p_i)^\top(d_i - h(\hat a_0 + \hat a_1 p_i)) = 0∑i≤t​σ2v(h)h˙​(1,pi​)⊤(di​−h(a^0​+a^1​pi​))=0. With pˉt\bar p_tpˉ​t​ and Var⁡(p)t\operatorname{Var}(p)_tVar(p)t​ the sample mean and variance of p1,…,ptp_1,\dots,p_tp1​,…,pt​, the taboo interval is TI(t)=(pˉt−wt,pˉt+wt)\mathrm{TI}(t) = (\bar p_t - w_t, \bar p_t + w_t)TI(t)=(pˉ​t​−wt​,pˉ​t​+wt​) with wt=c[(t+1)α−tα](t+1)/tw_t = \sqrt{c[(t+1)^\alpha - t^\alpha](t+1)/t}wt​=c[(t+1)α−tα](t+1)/t​. CVP starts from two distinct prices p1,p2p_1, p_2p1​,p2​, fixes α∈(0,1)\alpha \in (0,1)α∈(0,1) and 0<c<2−α(p1−p2)2min⁡{1,(3α)−1}0 < c < 2^{-\alpha}(p_1-p_2)^2\min\{1,(3\alpha)^{-1}\}0<c<2−α(p1​−p2​)2min{1,(3α)−1}, and for t≥2t \ge 2t≥2: if a^t\hat a_ta^t​ does not exist or has the wrong signs, it charges whichever of p1,p2p_1, p_2p1​,p2​ is farther from pˉt\bar p_tpˉ​t​; otherwise it charges p(a^t)p(\hat a_t)p(a^t​) if that keeps Var⁡(p)t+1≥c(t+1)α−1\operatorname{Var}(p)_{t+1} \ge c(t+1)^{\alpha-1}Var(p)t+1​≥c(t+1)α−1, and the best price outside TI(t)\mathrm{TI}(t)TI(t) if not.

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem 1

Regret⁡(T,CVP)=O(Tα+T1−αlog⁡T)(1/2<α<1),\operatorname{Regret}(T, \mathrm{CVP}) = O\big(T^\alpha + T^{1-\alpha}\log T\big) \qquad (1/2 < \alpha < 1),Regret(T,CVP)=O(Tα+T1−αlogT)(1/2<α<1),

stated as: there is K>0K > 0K>0, depending on the model, α\alphaα, ccc and the initial prices but not on TTT, with Regret⁡(T)≤K(Tα+T1−αlog⁡T)\operatorname{Regret}(T) \le K(T^\alpha + T^{1-\alpha}\log T)Regret(T)≤K(Tα+T1−αlogT) for all T≥1T \ge 1T≥1. The constant is left free, so the statement survives any sharpening of the constants.

Milestones

  1. Proposition 2: Var⁡(p)t≥c tα−1\operatorname{Var}(p)_t \ge c\,t^{\alpha-1}Var(p)t​≥ctα−1 for all t≥2t \ge 2t≥2 along every CVP path.
  2. Lemma 1: λmax⁡(Pt)≤(1+ph2)t\lambda_{\max}(P_t) \le (1+p_h^2)tλmax​(Pt​)≤(1+ph2​)t and tVar⁡(p)t≤(1+ph2)λmin⁡(Pt)t\operatorname{Var}(p)_t \le (1+p_h^2)\lambda_{\min}(P_t)tVar(p)t​≤(1+ph2​)λmin​(Pt​) for the design matrix Pt=∑i≤t(1,pi)⊤(1,pi)P_t = \sum_{i\le t}(1,p_i)^\top(1,p_i)Pt​=∑i≤t​(1,pi​)⊤(1,pi​).
  3. Proposition 3: a^t\hat a_ta^t​ eventually exists, a^t→a(0)\hat a_t \to a^{(0)}a^t​→a(0) a.s., and for some ρ0\rho_0ρ0​, E[Tρ01/2]<∞\mathbb E[T_{\rho_0}^{1/2}] < \inftyE[Tρ0​1/2​]<∞ and E[∥a^t−a(0)∥21t>Tρ0]=O(log⁡t/tα)\mathbb E[\|\hat a_t - a^{(0)}\|^2\mathbf 1_{t > T_{\rho_0}}] = O(\log t/t^\alpha)E[∥a^t​−a(0)∥21t>Tρ0​​​]=O(logt/tα).
  4. Eq. (11): in the normal–linear case, E∥a^t−a(0)∥2=O(log⁡t/tα)\mathbb E\|\hat a_t - a^{(0)}\|^2 = O(\log t / t^\alpha)E∥a^t​−a(0)∥2=O(logt/tα).
  5. Eqs. (17), (18), (20): the quadratic revenue gap, the local Lipschitz bound on p(a)p(a)p(a), and ∣pt+1−p(a^t)∣≤∣TI(t)∣|p_{t+1} - p(\hat a_t)| \le |\mathrm{TI}(t)|∣pt+1​−p(a^t​)∣≤∣TI(t)∣ for large ttt.
  6. The closing bound E[(pt−popt)2]=O(tα−1+log⁡t/tα)\mathbb E[(p_t - p_{\mathrm{opt}})^2] = O(t^{\alpha-1} + \log t/t^\alpha)E[(pt​−popt​)2]=O(tα−1+logt/tα).

Significance

The theorem shows that a policy that is certainty equivalent almost all of the time, with a single interpretable tuning parameter α\alphaα, attains regret O(T1/2+δ)O(T^{1/2+\delta})O(T1/2+δ) in generalized linear demand models, without distributional assumptions beyond two moments. It explains the role of α\alphaα precisely: TαT^\alphaTα is the cost of exploration and T1−αlog⁡TT^{1-\alpha}\log TT1−αlogT the cost of estimation error. Proposition 2 and Lemma 1 are reusable for any policy that enforces a variance floor on its actions, and (11) is a self-contained rate for least squares under adaptively chosen designs.

The result is proved in the paper, with Proposition 3 delegated to den Boer and Zwart (2012) for general links. To our knowledge none of it has been machine-checked. A formalization would verify the delegated consistency argument, fix the conditions under which it applies (see Formalization scope), and provide a Lean development of adaptive least squares and quasi-likelihood rates that the related Keskin–Zeevi missions also need.

Difficulty

The deterministic parts are short. The difficulty is Proposition 3. The prices are chosen adaptively from past data, so the regressors are not independent of the noise, and standard rates for (quasi-)likelihood estimates do not apply. The natural argument, bounding ∥a^t−a(0)∥2\|\hat a_t - a^{(0)}\|^2∥a^t​−a(0)∥2 by Qt/λmin⁡(Pt)Q_t/\lambda_{\min}(P_t)Qt​/λmin​(Pt​) with QtQ_tQt​ a self-normalized martingale quadratic form, needs a bound E[Qt]=O(log⁡t)\mathbb E[Q_t] = O(\log t)E[Qt​]=O(logt) that holds in expectation and not only almost surely, as in Lai and Wei (1982). For a non-linear link the MQLE is defined only implicitly, and its existence near a(0)a^{(0)}a(0) has to be shown first, with a moment bound on the last time it fails. That is the random time TρT_\rhoTρ​. Turning almost-sure consistency into a rate in expectation is where most of the work lies.

Formalization scope

All declarations live in the namespace CVPricing.Regret. Periods are 1-based. Prices, demands and parameters are real; a=(a0,a1)∈R×Ra = (a_0, a_1) \in \mathbb R \times \mathbb Ra=(a0​,a1​)∈R×R with the Euclidean norm (euclidNorm), not Mathlib's sup norm. The design matrix, sample mean and tVar⁡(p)tt\operatorname{Var}(p)_ttVar(p)t​ are the published Keskin–Zeevi definitions fisherOf, avgPriceOf, infoMetricOf. Every O(⋅)O(\cdot)O(⋅) is "there is K>0K > 0K>0 such that for all ttt", with KKK quantified after the model data. Rates are stated for t≥2t \ge 2t≥2 and the regret for T≥1T \ge 1T≥1. hhh and vvv are total functions constrained on [0,∞)[0,\infty)[0,∞). A root of (3) counts only where a^0+a^1pi≥0\hat a_0 + \hat a_1 p_i \ge 0a^0​+a^1​pi​≥0 for every observed pip_ipi​. CVP is a predicate on a realized path that allows every maximizer in (7) and (8).

Disclosed deviations from the page:

  • the model requires a0(0)+a1(0)ph>0a_0^{(0)} + a_1^{(0)}p_h > 0a0(0)​+a1(0)​ph​>0 (printed: ≥0\ge 0≥0), because in the boundary case the policy's case (c) fires infinitely often and the proof of Theorem 1 does not cover it;
  • (3) is assumed to have at most one root (the page notes roots need not be unique, and the policy cannot select the root nearest a(0)a^{(0)}a(0));
  • the neighbourhood assumption is read as a unique maximizer over [pl,ph][p_l, p_h][pl​,ph​] lying in (pl,ph)(p_l, p_h)(pl​,ph​);
  • the demand process is given by its conditional mean, its conditional variance and (2), with integrable noise moments, not by a fixed law D(p)D(p)D(p);
  • the initial prices are deterministic.

Corrected slips: Proposition 2 is stated for c≤2−α(p1−p2)2min⁡{1/2,(3α)−1}c \le 2^{-\alpha}(p_1-p_2)^2\min\{1/2,(3\alpha)^{-1}\}c≤2−α(p1​−p2​)2min{1/2,(3α)−1}, because the printed range fails at t=2t=2t=2 (Var⁡(p)2=(p1−p2)2/4\operatorname{Var}(p)_2 = (p_1-p_2)^2/4Var(p)2​=(p1​−p2​)2/4, not /2/2/2). Theorem 1 keeps the printed range. Eq. (20) is stated for pt+1p_{t+1}pt+1​ and for ttt beyond an explicit threshold.

The goal does not assume the variance bound, consistency or (20). The policy contains the variance check and the taboo interval, and the regret is the expectation over the actual price process. A statement that assumed any of these, or that dropped the taboo step, would be trivial or false. Contributions are welcome on adaptive least squares (Sherman–Morrison and determinant-ratio bounds), martingale last-time moment bounds, and the implicit-function step (18).

Selected references

  • A. V. den Boer, B. Zwart, Simultaneously Learning and Optimizing Using Controlled Variance Pricing, Management Science 60(3):770–783, 2014. https://doi.org/10.1287/mnsc.2013.1788
  • A. V. den Boer, B. Zwart, Mean square convergence rates for maximum quasi-likelihood estimators, Stochastic Systems 4(2):375–403, 2014 (cited as 2012 working paper). https://doi.org/10.1214/12-SSY086
  • T. L. Lai, C. Z. Wei, Least squares estimates in stochastic regression models with applications to identification and control of dynamic systems, Annals of Statistics 10(1):154–166, 1982. https://doi.org/10.1214/aos/1176345697
  • T. L. Lai, H. Robbins, Iterated least squares in multiperiod control, Advances in Applied Mathematics 3(1):50–73, 1982. https://doi.org/10.1016/S0196-8858(82)80005-5
  • N. B. Keskin, A. Zeevi, Dynamic Pricing with an Unknown Demand Model: Asymptotically Optimal Semi-Myopic Policies, Operations Research 62(5):1142–1167, 2014. https://doi.org/10.1287/opre.2014.1294
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Operations ResearchProbabilityReinforcement Learning+1·Captain: mikedeng1

Learning in Structured MDPs with Convex Cost Functions: Improved Regret Bounds for Inventory Management: Base-Stock Values from Any Two Starting States Differ by at Most 36 max(h,p)LxResearch Paper

Motivation

The lost-sales inventory problem with lead times is a basic model of operations management. A retailer reviews one product's stock each period and places an order that arrives LLL periods later. Demand that cannot be met from stock on hand is lost, and the retailer pays a holding cost hhh per unit left on the shelf and a penalty ppp per unit of lost demand. The optimal policy depends on the whole pipeline of outstanding orders, so the state space grows with LLL, and the problem is computationally hard for long lead times. Simple base-stock (order-up-to) policies are therefore the standard heuristic, and Huh, Janakiraman, Muckstadt and Rusmevichientong (Management Science 2009) showed they are asymptotically optimal as the lost-sales penalty grows.

Agrawal and Jia (arXiv:1905.04337) study the learning version, in which the demand distribution is unknown and only sales, not demands, are observed. They give an algorithm whose regret against the best base-stock policy is O~(LT)\tilde O(L\sqrt T)O~(LT​), improving the earlier bound of Zhang, Chao and Shi, which grows exponentially in LLL. The improvement rests on one structural fact: started from two different states, the base-stock system accumulates expected costs that differ by an amount linear in LLL and independent of the horizon. That fact, Lemma 2.5 of the paper, is the goal of this mission.

Setting

Fix a lead time L≥0L\ge 0L≥0 and a base-stock level xxx. A state is a vector s=(s(0),s(1),…,s(L))\mathbf s=(s(0),s(1),\dots,s(L))s=(s(0),s(1),…,s(L)) of real numbers. Its entry s(0)s(0)s(0) is the on-hand inventory after the current period's arrival, and s(1),…,s(L)s(1),\dots,s(L)s(1),…,s(L) are the outstanding orders, s(L)s(L)s(L) the most recent. Under a base-stock policy with level xxx the states lie in

Sx={s:s(i)≥0 for all i, ∑i=0Ls(i)=x}.\mathcal S^x=\Big\{\mathbf s : s(i)\ge 0\ \text{for all } i,\ \sum_{i=0}^{L}s(i)=x\Big\}.Sx={s:s(i)≥0 for all i, i=0∑L​s(i)=x}.

In each period ttt a demand dt≥0d_t\ge 0dt​≥0 is drawn, independently across periods, from a distribution FFF on [0,∞)[0,\infty)[0,∞). The sales are yt=min⁡{st(0),dt}y_t=\min\{s_t(0),d_t\}yt​=min{st​(0),dt​} and the on-hand inventory is It=st(0)I_t=s_t(0)It​=st​(0). The policy reorders exactly what was sold, so for L≥1L\ge 1L≥1 the next state is

st+1=(st(0)−yt+st(1), st(2), …, st(L), yt),\mathbf s_{t+1}=\big(s_t(0)-y_t+s_t(1),\ s_t(2),\ \dots,\ s_t(L),\ y_t\big),st+1​=(st​(0)−yt​+st​(1), st​(2), …, st​(L), yt​),

and for L=0L=0L=0 the state (x)(x)(x) never changes. The pseudo-cost of period ttt is Ctx=h(st(0)−yt)−p ytC^x_t=h(s_t(0)-y_t)-p\,y_tCtx​=h(st​(0)−yt​)−pyt​, and the value over horizon TTT from the start state s\mathbf ss is

VTx(s)=E[∑t=1TCtx ∣ s1=s].V^x_T(\mathbf s)=\mathbb E\Big[\sum_{t=1}^{T}C^x_t\ \Big|\ \mathbf s_1=\mathbf s\Big].VTx​(s)=E[t=1∑T​Ctx​ ​ s1​=s].

Along a demand path, nTx(s)=∑t=1Tytn^x_T(\mathbf s)=\sum_{t=1}^T y_tnTx​(s)=∑t=1T​yt​ is the total sales and mTx(s)=∑t=1TItm^x_T(\mathbf s)=\sum_{t=1}^T I_tmTx​(s)=∑t=1T​It​ the total on-hand inventory.

States are compared by the order of Definition B.1: s′⪰s\mathbf s'\succeq\mathbf ss′⪰s if s′−s=δ\mathbf s'-\mathbf s=\deltas′−s=δ with ∑iδi=0\sum_i\delta_i=0∑i​δi​=0 and some 0≤k≤L−10\le k\le L-10≤k≤L−1 such that δi≥0\delta_i\ge 0δi​≥0 for i≤ki\le ki≤k and δi≤0\delta_i\le 0δi​≤0 for i>ki>ki>k. Thus s′\mathbf s's′ holds the same total, shifted toward the shelf. The state s^=(x,0,…,0)\hat{\mathbf s}=(x,0,\dots,0)s^=(x,0,…,0) dominates every state of Sx\mathcal S^xSx.

Formalization targets

Goal: Lemma 2.5 (p. 8)

For every xxx, every horizon TTT, all costs h,p≥0h,p\ge 0h,p≥0, every demand law FFF and all s,s′∈Sx\mathbf s,\mathbf s'\in\mathcal S^xs,s′∈Sx,

VTx(s)−VTx(s′)≤36max⁡(h,p) L x.V^x_T(\mathbf s)-V^x_T(\mathbf s')\le 36\max(h,p)\,L\,x .VTx​(s)−VTx​(s′)≤36max(h,p)Lx.

The constant is the paper's printed one. The proof's last display gives 18(h+p)Lx18(h+p)Lx18(h+p)Lx, a stronger bound, which is deliberately not the goal.

Milestones (Appendix B and the proof of Lemma 2.5)

All of the following hold for L≥1L\ge 1L≥1, along any single demand path that drives both chains:

  1. Lemma B.2 (p. 20). If s1′⪰s1\mathbf s'_1\succeq\mathbf s_1s1′​⪰s1​ then for t≤L+1t\le L+1t≤L+1 the cumulative sales satisfy Yt′−Yt≤max⁡0≤k≤t−1(δ0+⋯+δk)Y'_t-Y_t\le\max_{0\le k\le t-1}(\delta_0+\dots+\delta_k)Yt′​−Yt​≤max0≤k≤t−1​(δ0​+⋯+δk​).
  2. Lemma B.3 (p. 20). If moreover It′≥ItI'_t\ge I_tIt′​≥It​ for t=1,…,L+1t=1,\dots,L+1t=1,…,L+1, then nT(sL+1′)=nT(sL+1)n_T(\mathbf s'_{L+1})=n_T(\mathbf s_{L+1})nT​(sL+1′​)=nT​(sL+1​) for every TTT.
  3. Lemma B.5 (p. 21). At the successive first crossing times σi,τi\sigma_i,\tau_iσi​,τi​ of Definition B.4, the state order alternates: sσi′⪰sσi\mathbf s'_{\sigma_i}\succeq\mathbf s_{\sigma_i}sσi​′​⪰sσi​​ and sτi′⪯sτi\mathbf s'_{\tau_i}\preceq\mathbf s_{\tau_i}sτi​′​⪯sτi​​ whenever these times exist.
  4. Lemma B.6 (p. 21). If s′⪰s\mathbf s'\succeq\mathbf ss′⪰s in Sx\mathcal S^xSx then ∣nTx(s′)−nTx(s)∣≤3x|n^x_T(\mathbf s')-n^x_T(\mathbf s)|\le 3x∣nTx​(s′)−nTx​(s)∣≤3x.
  5. Lemma B.7 (p. 23). If s′⪰s\mathbf s'\succeq\mathbf ss′⪰s in Sx\mathcal S^xSx then ∣mTx(s)−mTx(s′)∣≤6Lx|m^x_T(\mathbf s)-m^x_T(\mathbf s')|\le 6Lx∣mTx​(s)−mTx​(s′)∣≤6Lx.
  6. Proof of Lemma 2.5 (p. 9). s^⪰s\hat{\mathbf s}\succeq\mathbf ss^⪰s for every s∈Sx\mathbf s\in\mathcal S^xs∈Sx.
  7. Proof of Lemma 2.5 (p. 9). ∣VTx(s)−VTx(s^)∣≤9(h+p)Lx|V^x_T(\mathbf s)-V^x_T(\hat{\mathbf s})|\le 9(h+p)Lx∣VTx​(s)−VTx​(s^)∣≤9(h+p)Lx.

Significance

Lemma 2.5 bounds the dependence of the base-stock chain's finite-horizon cost on its starting state, uniformly in the horizon. In the paper it yields three consequences: the long-run average cost (the loss) of a base-stock policy does not depend on the initial state (Lemma 2.6), the bias of the chain is bounded by 36max⁡(h,p)Lx36\max(h,p)Lx36max(h,p)Lx (Lemma 2.8), and finite-horizon average costs concentrate around the loss (Lemma 2.10). These feed the regret bound of Theorem 1.3. The lemma is also a statement about the base-stock lost-sales system alone, without any learning, so it is of independent interest for coupling arguments on lost-sales chains.

The paper's proof is complete on paper, but nothing in it has a machine-checked proof. Neither the lost-sales base-stock chain with lead times started from an arbitrary pipeline state nor any of the coupling lemmas of Appendix B is formalized elsewhere. This mission produces a checked proof of the goal and of the pathwise comparison lemmas. Theorem 1.3 is not posed: its supporting lemmas rely on limits whose existence the paper settles only by an informal discretization (Remark 4).

Difficulty

The obvious argument couples the two chains on a common demand path and waits until they coalesce. Coalescence is guaranteed only after LLL consecutive periods of zero demand, an event of probability exponentially small in LLL, so this argument gives a bound exponential in LLL. That is the bound of earlier work.

The linear bound needs a finer pathwise accounting. The two coupled chains do not stay ordered: the one that starts with more inventory on the shelf sells more at first, then runs short and sells less. The order ⪰\succeq⪰ between the two states alternates along a sequence of times, and the sales gained in one phase must be shown to be lost again in the next, so that the cumulative difference stays bounded by a constant multiple of xxx for every horizon. Turning this alternation into a bound requires tracking how the pipeline vectors evolve between alternation times, including the boundary cases in which the chains coalesce or the horizon ends inside a phase.

Formalization scope

All declarations live in the namespace LostSalesLearning.ValueGap. A state is a function Fin (L + 1) → ℝ, a demand path is a function ℕ → ℝ≥0, and time is 0-based: traj s d 0 is the paper's s1\mathbf s_1s1​, traj s d t is st+1\mathbf s_{t+1}st+1​, and ∑t=1T\sum_{t=1}^T∑t=1T​ is a sum over Finset.range T. The demand law FFF is a probability measure on ℝ≥0, and the demand path has the product law Measure.infinitePi (fun _ => F). The value is the expectation of the summed pseudo-costs, which equals Definition 2.4 by the tower property and is the form used in the paper's proof.

Committed conventions:

  • The costs satisfy h≥0h\ge 0h≥0 and p≥0p\ge 0p≥0, the reading of "per unit holding cost and per unit lost sales penalty".
  • No assumption is placed on FFF. The paper's assumptions F(0)>0F(0)>0F(0)>0 and bounded demand belong to other results.
  • The goal holds for every L≥0L\ge 0L≥0; the Appendix B milestones carry L≥1L\ge 1L≥1, as Appendix B does.
  • The order ⪰\succeq⪰ is Definition B.1 verbatim, with the equal-sum clause and the split index k≤L−1k\le L-1k≤L−1.
  • The pathwise milestones quantify over every demand path and drive both chains with the same path.
  • The first crossing times of Definition B.4 are represented by alternationTimes; an absent next crossing is none.

Two trivializing formalizations are ruled out. A comparison of the two values on different or fixed demand paths would be a different statement: the goal compares two expectations under the same law, and each pathwise milestone uses one common path. A Bochner integral of a non-integrable function would be 000. The integrand here is measurable and bounded by T(h+p)xT(h+p)xT(h+p)x on Sx\mathcal S^xSx, so the values are genuine expectations.

A complete development needs the elementary dynamics of the chain, including invariance of Sx\mathcal S^xSx and the shift of trajectories, which is reusable for other lost-sales models. It also needs the alternation times of Definition B.4, and measurability of the trajectory in the demand path. Proofs of individual milestones, alternative proofs of the goal, and sharper constants as separate statements are all welcome.

Selected references

  • S. Agrawal and R. Jia, Learning in Structured MDPs with Convex Cost Functions: Improved Regret Bounds for Inventory Management, arXiv:1905.04337v1, 2019. https://arxiv.org/abs/1905.04337
  • W. T. Huh, G. Janakiraman, J. A. Muckstadt and P. Rusmevichientong, Asymptotic Optimality of Order-Up-To Policies in Lost Sales Inventory Systems, Management Science 55(3), 2009. https://doi.org/10.1287/mnsc.1080.0945
  • H. Zhang, X. Chao and C. Shi, Closing the Gap: A Learning Algorithm for Lost-Sales Inventory Systems with Lead Times, Management Science 66(5), 2020. https://doi.org/10.1287/mnsc.2019.3288
  • M. L. Puterman, Markov Decision Processes: Discrete Stochastic Dynamic Programming, Wiley, 1994. https://doi.org/10.1002/9780470316887
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Convex OptimizationOperations ResearchOptimization·Captain: mikedeng1

The Relaxation Method of Finding the Common Point of Convex Sets and Its Application to the Solution of Problems in Convex Programming 4: The Primal-Dual Relaxation Solves the Inequality ProgramResearch Paper

Motivation

Many large convex programs have far more constraints than can be handled at once, but each constraint on its own is simple: a single linear equation or inequality. Row-action methods exploit this by touching one constraint per iteration. L. M. Bregman's 1967 paper (DOI 10.1016/0041-5553(67)90040-7) introduced the general framework behind most of them. A strictly convex function fff induces the "distance" D(x,y)=f(x)−f(y)−(g(y),x−y)D(x,y)=f(x)-f(y)-(g(y),x-y)D(x,y)=f(x)−f(y)−(g(y),x−y), now called the Bregman distance, and the method moves from point to point by DDD-projections onto one constraint at a time. For f(x)=∥x∥2/2f(x)=\|x\|^2/2f(x)=∥x∥2/2 this reduces to Hildreth's method for quadratic programming; for entropy-type fff it gives the balancing (matrix scaling) methods used for transportation and traffic problems. The later literature on Bregman projections, mirror descent and entropic regularisation starts from this paper.

This mission formalizes the last main result of the paper, Theorem 4 (p. 212), which treats linear inequality constraints. Here a plain projection cycle does not minimize fff. Bregman's fix carries a vector of nonnegative multipliers unu^nun along with the primal point xnx^nxn and lets each step either move towards a violated constraint or relax a multiplier. The result is a primal–dual method.

Timeline. Hildreth (1957) gave the quadratic case. Bregman (1967) proved the general theorem stated here. Censor and Lent (1981) revisited the method for interval constraints under explicit assumptions on Bregman functions (DOI 10.1007/BF00934676).

Setting

Let EpE^pEp be ppp-dimensional Euclidean space and S⊂EpS\subset E^pS⊂Ep a convex set. Let fff be strictly convex on SSS, continuously differentiable over SSS with gradient g(x)g(x)g(x), and continuous over the closure Sˉ\bar SSˉ. Let AAA be an m×pm\times pm×p matrix (m≥1m\ge1m≥1) with nonzero rows A1,…,AmA_1,\dots,A_mA1​,…,Am​, and b∈Emb\in E^mb∈Em. The inequality program (2.11)–(2.13) is

minimize f(x)subject toAx≥b,x∈Sˉ,\text{minimize } f(x)\quad\text{subject to}\quad Ax\ge b,\quad x\in\bar S,minimize f(x)subject toAx≥b,x∈Sˉ,

with feasible set R={x∣Ax≥b, x∈Sˉ}R=\{x \mid Ax\ge b,\ x\in\bar S\}R={x∣Ax≥b, x∈Sˉ}, assumed nonempty. The Bregman function is D(x,y)=f(x)−f(y)−(g(y),x−y)D(x,y)=f(x)-f(y)-(g(y),x-y)D(x,y)=f(x)−f(y)−(g(y),x−y) (1.4). The DDD-projection PiyP_iyPi​y of y∈Sy\in Sy∈S onto the hyperplane Ai={x∣(Ai,x)=bi}A_i=\{x \mid (A_i,x)=b_i\}Ai​={x∣(Ai​,x)=bi​} minimizes D(⋅,y)D(\cdot,y)D(⋅,y) over Ai∩SA_i\cap SAi​∩S. The standing hypotheses ("the conditions of Theorem 3") are that DDD satisfies the abstract conditions I–VI of §1 for these hyperplanes, together with condition (2) of Note 1: yn→y∗∈Sˉy^n\to y^*\in\bar Syn→y∗∈Sˉ implies D(y∗,yn)→0D(y^*,y^n)\to0D(y∗,yn)→0. In addition, DDD-projections of interior points of SSS stay in the interior. Condition V (compact sublevel sets of D(z,⋅)D(z,\cdot)D(z,⋅)) is used for z∈Rz\in Rz∈R.

Write Z0={x∈S∣g(x)=uA for some u≥0}Z_0=\{x\in S \mid g(x)=uA \text{ for some } u\ge0\}Z0​={x∈S∣g(x)=uA for some u≥0}, where uA=∑iuiAiuA=\sum_iu_iA_iuA=∑i​ui​Ai​, and φ(x,u)=f(x)−(u,Ax−b)\varphi(x,u)=f(x)-(u,Ax-b)φ(x,u)=f(x)−(u,Ax−b). A run of the method is a sequence of pairs (xn,un)(x^n,u^n)(xn,un) with x0∈int⁡Sx^0\in\operatorname{int}Sx0∈intS, u0≥0u^0\ge0u0≥0, g(x0)=u0Ag(x^0)=u^0Ag(x0)=u0A, and cyclic indices ini_nin​. Each step with i=ini=i_ni=in​ is one of the following:

  • (a) if (Ai,xn)<bi(A_i,x^n)<b_i(Ai​,xn)<bi​: g(xn+1)=g(xn)+λnAig(x^{n+1})=g(x^n)+\lambda_nA_ig(xn+1)=g(xn)+λn​Ai​, (Ai,xn+1)=bi(A_i,x^{n+1})=b_i(Ai​,xn+1)=bi​, and uiu_iui​ increases by λn\lambda_nλn​;
  • (b) if (Ai,xn)=bi(A_i,x^n)=b_i(Ai​,xn)=bi​, or (Ai,xn)>bi(A_i,x^n)>b_i(Ai​,xn)>bi​ with ui=0u_i=0ui​=0: nothing changes;
  • (c) if (Ai,xn)>bi(A_i,x^n)>b_i(Ai​,xn)>bi​ and ui>0u_i>0ui​>0: g(xn+1)=g(xn)−μnAig(x^{n+1})=g(x^n)-\mu_nA_ig(xn+1)=g(xn)−μn​Ai​ with μn=min⁡(μn′,ui)\mu_n=\min(\mu_n',u_i)μn​=min(μn′​,ui​), where μn′\mu_n'μn′​ is the step that would reach the hyperplane, and uiu_iui​ decreases by μn\mu_nμn​.

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem 4

For every run of the method,

xn→x∗,x∗∈R,f(x∗)=min⁡y∈Rf(y).x^n\to x^*,\qquad x^*\in R,\qquad f(x^*)=\min_{y\in R}f(y).xn→x∗,x∗∈R,f(x∗)=y∈Rmin​f(y).

Milestones (steps 1–4 of the proof)

  1. un≥0u^n\ge0un≥0 and g(xn)=unAg(x^n)=u^nAg(xn)=unA for all nnn (step 1, (2.20)–(2.21)).
  2. φ(xn+1,un+1)−φ(xn,un)≥D(xn+1,xn)\varphi(x^{n+1},u^{n+1})-\varphi(x^n,u^n)\ge D(x^{n+1},x^n)φ(xn+1,un+1)−φ(xn,un)≥D(xn+1,xn) (step 2, (2.22)–(2.24)).
  3. For z∈Rz\in Rz∈R: D(z,xn)≤f(z)−φ(x0,u0)D(z,x^n)\le f(z)-\varphi(x^0,u^0)D(z,xn)≤f(z)−φ(x0,u0) and φ(xn,un)≤f(z)\varphi(x^n,u^n)\le f(z)φ(xn,un)≤f(z) (step 3, (2.25)–(2.26)).
  4. {xn}\{x^n\}{xn} lies in a compact set, and lim⁡φ(xn,un)\lim\varphi(x^n,u^n)limφ(xn,un) exists and is at most f(z)f(z)f(z) for every z∈Rz\in Rz∈R (step 3, (2.27)).
  5. D(xn+1,xn)→0D(x^{n+1},x^n)\to0D(xn+1,xn)→0, and every limiting point of {xn}\{x^n\}{xn} lies in RRR (step 4).

Significance

Theorem 4 says that a method using one constraint per step and only fff's gradient converges to the minimizer of a strictly convex function over a polyhedron intersected with Sˉ\bar SSˉ. Its multipliers unu^nun form a dual sequence. Note 4 of the paper deduces from the theorem that the optimal value equals sup⁡φ(x,u)\sup\varphi(x,u)supφ(x,u) over dual-feasible pairs (g(x)=uAg(x)=uAg(x)=uA, u≥0u\ge0u≥0). The theorem is the convergence statement behind Hildreth's algorithm, behind entropy-based balancing for linear inequality systems, and behind the later "interval convex programming" methods.

The theorem is proved on paper, but no machine-checked proof of it, or of any Bregman-projection row-action method, is known to exist. The formalization adds two things. It makes the paper's standing hypotheses explicit, since several are stated once or left implicit. It also forces a complete argument for the convergence of the whole sequence: the printed proof gets this from condition (2) by an argument that assumes a monotonicity property established in §1 for the pure projection method but not for the primal–dual one. A Lean proof of the goal therefore also supplies a complete proof of the paper's claim.

Difficulty

The standard argument for projection methods uses a Fejér-type property: D(z,xn)D(z,x^n)D(z,xn) decreases for every feasible zzz. That fails here. In case (c) the point moves away from the hyperplane of a satisfied constraint, and D(z,xn)D(z,x^n)D(z,xn) can increase. So any argument has to control primal and dual quantities together. To pass from "every limiting point is feasible" to "the whole sequence converges to an optimal point", complementary slackness has to hold in the limit, and this depends on the cyclic order and on the cap μn≤ui\mu_n\le u_iμn​≤ui​. The naive route, applying the §1 convergence theorems to the hyperplanes AiA_iAi​, does not apply, because the iterates are not DDD-projections onto fixed sets in case (c).

Formalization scope

  • EpE^pEp is EuclideanSpace ℝ (Fin p); the rows are vectors aia_iai​, and uAuAuA is ∑iuiai\sum_iu_ia_i∑i​ui​ai​. The gradient ggg is explicit data tied to fff by HasGradientWithinAt on SSS. SSS is not assumed open, and fff is continuous on Sˉ\bar SSˉ.
  • The DDD-projections form a fixed map PPP. Condition IV is assumed in the one-sided form the proofs use, which the paper's two-sided IV implies. "Compact" means sequentially compact, which agrees with compact in EpE^pEp. Condition (2) is read with y∗∈Sˉy^*\in\bar Sy∗∈Sˉ.
  • Condition V is assumed for z∈Rz\in Rz∈R, the inequality-feasible set, where the proof applies it. The §1 form (for zzz in the intersection of the hyperplanes) could hold vacuously for an inequality system.
  • Step (a) is encoded by its defining conditions (2.14)–(2.15). Every new point, and the auxiliary point of case (c), lies in SSS. The run starts with u0≥0u^0\ge0u0≥0, and the cyclic control is in=n mod mi_n=n\bmod min​=nmodm over indices 0,…,m−10,\dots,m-10,…,m−1.
  • Translation slips are corrected: the Z0Z_0Z0​ set-builder, which breaks off, is completed; "μn′=uinn\mu_n'=u_{i_n}^nμn′​=uin​n​" is read as μn′′=uinn\mu_n''=u_{i_n}^nμn′′​=uin​n​; "Theorems 1–3" in Theorem 3 means Theorems 1–2.
  • The goal quantifies over every run from every admissible start and asserts convergence of the whole sequence together with optimality of the limit. Neither "some limiting point is optimal" nor a single constructed run is an acceptable substitute. The hypotheses are jointly satisfiable, for example by Hildreth's case f=∥x∥2/2f=\|x\|^2/2f=∥x∥2/2, S=EpS=E^pS=Ep with a run that takes a case (a) step, so the goal is not vacuous.
  • Needed infrastructure: Bregman distances of differentiable strictly convex functions on non-open convex sets, the strict monotonicity of the gradient, and subsequence and compactness arguments in EpE^pEp. These are reusable for the companion missions on Theorems 1–3 of the same paper. Contributions are welcome: proofs of the milestones, the full-convergence argument, and the duality statement of Note 4.

Selected references

  • L. M. Bregman, The relaxation method of finding the common point of convex sets and its application to the solution of problems in convex programming, USSR Comput. Math. Math. Phys. 7(3) (1967) 200–217. https://doi.org/10.1016/0041-5553(67)90040-7
  • C. Hildreth, A quadratic programming procedure, Naval Res. Logist. Quart. 4 (1957) 79–85. https://doi.org/10.1002/nav.3800040113
  • Y. Censor, A. Lent, An iterative row-action method for interval convex programming, J. Optim. Theory Appl. 34 (1981) 321–353. https://doi.org/10.1007/BF00934676
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Machine LearningOperations ResearchOptimization·Captain: mikedeng1

Oracle-Based Robust Optimization via Online Learning 2: Follow the Perturbed Leader with an ε-Approximate Linear Oracle Has Expected Regret at Most 2√(DRAT) + 2εTResearch Paper

Motivation

Many decision problems are solved repeatedly against data that arrive over time: routing traffic, allocating budgets, choosing portfolios or combinatorial structures. Online linear optimization models this. At each round t=1,…,Tt = 1, \ldots, Tt=1,…,T a learner picks a decision xtx_txt​ from a fixed domain K⊆Rn\mathcal K\subseteq\mathbb R^nK⊆Rn, then a reward vector ftf_tft​ is revealed and the learner earns ft⋅xtf_t\cdot x_tft​⋅xt​. Performance is measured by regret, the gap to the best fixed decision in hindsight. When K\mathcal KK is combinatorial (paths, spanning trees, assignments), the only computationally reasonable access to K\mathcal KK is a procedure that optimizes a linear function over it, and in practice such procedures are often only approximate.

Follow the Perturbed Leader (FPL), introduced by Hannan (1957) and analysed for linear optimization by Kalai and Vempala (JCSS 2005), uses exactly one call to an exact linear optimizer per round and achieves regret O(T)O(\sqrt T)O(T​) over arbitrary, not necessarily convex, domains. Ben-Tal, Hazan, Koren and Mannor (arXiv:1402.6361, Operations Research 2015) needed a version of FPL that works with an additively approximate linear optimizer, as a building block for oracle-based robust optimization with linearly parametrized uncertainty sets. Their §3.3 analyses this variant and proves Theorem 6, the goal of this mission.

Setting

Fix a dimension nnn, a domain K⊆Rn\mathcal K\subseteq\mathbb R^nK⊆Rn (arbitrary: not necessarily convex, closed or bounded) and ϵ>0\epsilon > 0ϵ>0. An ϵ\epsilonϵ-approximate linear optimization procedure over K\mathcal KK is a map Mϵ:Rn→RnM_\epsilon:\mathbb R^n\to\mathbb R^nMϵ​:Rn→Rn such that, for every g∈Rng\in\mathbb R^ng∈Rn,

Mϵ(g)∈Kandg⋅Mϵ(g)  ≥  g⋅x−ϵfor all x∈K.M_\epsilon(g)\in\mathcal K \qquad\text{and}\qquad g\cdot M_\epsilon(g)\;\ge\; g\cdot x-\epsilon\quad\text{for all }x\in\mathcal K .Mϵ​(g)∈Kandg⋅Mϵ​(g)≥g⋅x−ϵfor all x∈K.

Reward vectors f1,…,fT∈Rnf_1,\ldots,f_T\in\mathbb R^nf1​,…,fT​∈Rn are fixed in advance (an oblivious adversary). Write f1:t=∑τ=1tfτf_{1:t}=\sum_{\tau=1}^t f_\tauf1:t​=∑τ=1t​fτ​, with f1:0=0f_{1:0}=0f1:0​=0, and ∥v∥1=∑i∣vi∣\|v\|_1=\sum_i|v_i|∥v∥1​=∑i​∣vi​∣.

Follow the Approximate Perturbed Leader with parameter η>0\eta>0η>0 plays at round ttt

xt=Mϵ(f1:t−1+pt),pt uniform on the cube [0,1/η]n.x_t = M_\epsilon\big(f_{1:t-1}+p_t\big),\qquad p_t \text{ uniform on the cube } [0,1/\eta]^n .xt​=Mϵ​(f1:t−1​+pt​),pt​ uniform on the cube [0,1/η]n.

Three scale parameters enter the bound: DDD bounds the ℓ1\ell_1ℓ1​ diameter of K\mathcal KK, ∥x−y∥1≤D\|x-y\|_1\le D∥x−y∥1​≤D for x,y∈Kx,y\in\mathcal Kx,y∈K; AAA bounds ∥ft∥1\|f_t\|_1∥ft​∥1​; and RRR bounds how much each reward varies over the domain, ∣ft⋅x−ft⋅y∣≤R|f_t\cdot x-f_t\cdot y|\le R∣ft​⋅x−ft​⋅y∣≤R for x,y∈Kx,y\in\mathcal Kx,y∈K.

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem 6 (p. 11)

With η=D/(RAT)\eta=\sqrt{D/(RAT)}η=D/(RAT)​, for every x∗∈Kx^*\in\mathcal Kx∗∈K,

∑t=1Tft⋅x∗−E[∑t=1Tft⋅xt]  ≤  2DRAT+2ϵT.\sum_{t=1}^T f_t\cdot x^* - \mathbf E\Big[\sum_{t=1}^T f_t\cdot x_t\Big]\;\le\;2\sqrt{DRAT}+2\epsilon T .t=1∑T​ft​⋅x∗−E[t=1∑T​ft​⋅xt​]≤2DRAT​+2ϵT.

The bound for every η\etaη (proof of Theorem 6, p. 13)

For every η>0\eta>0η>0 and x∈Kx\in\mathcal Kx∈K,

E[∑t=1Tft⋅xt]  ≥  f1:T⋅x−Dη−ηRAT−2ϵT.\mathbf E\Big[\sum_{t=1}^T f_t\cdot x_t\Big]\;\ge\; f_{1:T}\cdot x-\frac D\eta-\eta RAT-2\epsilon T .E[t=1∑T​ft​⋅xt​]≥f1:T​⋅x−ηD​−ηRAT−2ϵT.

Supporting lemmas (pp. 12–13)

  • Lemma 7 (approximate be-the-leader): ∑t=1TMϵ(f1:t)⋅ft≥Mϵ(f1:T)⋅f1:T−ϵT\sum_{t=1}^T M_\epsilon(f_{1:t})\cdot f_t\ge M_\epsilon(f_{1:T})\cdot f_{1:T}-\epsilon T∑t=1T​Mϵ​(f1:t​)⋅ft​≥Mϵ​(f1:T​)⋅f1:T​−ϵT.
  • Lemma 8 (be the approximate perturbed leader): for T≥2T\ge2T≥2, p∈[0,1/η]np\in[0,1/\eta]^np∈[0,1/η]n and x∈Kx\in\mathcal Kx∈K, ∑t=1TMϵ(f1:t+p)⋅ft≥f1:T⋅x−D/η−2ϵT\sum_{t=1}^T M_\epsilon(f_{1:t}+p)\cdot f_t\ge f_{1:T}\cdot x-D/\eta-2\epsilon T∑t=1T​Mϵ​(f1:t​+p)⋅ft​≥f1:T​⋅x−D/η−2ϵT.
  • Lemma 9 (stability): for ppp uniform on [0,1/η]n[0,1/\eta]^n[0,1/η]n, E[Mϵ(f1:t−1+p)⋅ft]−E[Mϵ(f1:t+p)⋅ft]≥−ηRA\mathbf E[M_\epsilon(f_{1:t-1}+p)\cdot f_t]-\mathbf E[M_\epsilon(f_{1:t}+p)\cdot f_t]\ge-\eta RAE[Mϵ​(f1:t−1​+p)⋅ft​]−E[Mϵ​(f1:t​+p)⋅ft​]≥−ηRA.

Significance

Theorem 6 shows that perturbed-leader online linear optimization is robust to additive error in its optimization subroutine: an ϵ\epsilonϵ-approximate oracle costs only 2ϵT2\epsilon T2ϵT extra regret, so the average regret is 2DRA/T+2ϵ2\sqrt{DRA/T}+2\epsilon2DRA/T​+2ϵ. This allows the algorithm to be run over domains where exact linear optimization is intractable but a good additive approximation is available, and the paper invokes it as the online-learning primitive of its oracle-based scheme for linearly parametrized uncertainty in §3.2 (that application is not part of this mission). Unlike online gradient methods, it requires no convexity of K\mathcal KK and no projection.

On the formal side, no regret bound for Follow the Perturbed Leader, exact or approximate, is currently formalized on the platform, and the Kalai–Vempala stability argument (comparing a uniform distribution on a cube with its translate) is a reusable piece of measure theory. The mission's statements are proved on paper; the work here is to formalize those proofs, with one correction to a hypothesis, explained under Formalization scope.

Difficulty

Lemmas 7 and 8 are deterministic and combinatorial. The substance is Lemma 9. It compares the expectations of one bounded function of Mϵ(⋅)M_\epsilon(\cdot)Mϵ​(⋅) under the uniform law on a cube and under its translate by ftf_tft​. The natural first attempt, a pointwise comparison of Mϵ(f1:t−1+p)M_\epsilon(f_{1:t-1}+p)Mϵ​(f1:t−1​+p) and Mϵ(f1:t+p)M_\epsilon(f_{1:t}+p)Mϵ​(f1:t​+p), fails: an approximate (even an exact) maximizer can jump arbitrarily under an arbitrarily small change of its input, and MϵM_\epsilonMϵ​ is not assumed continuous or even consistent between nearby inputs. Any valid argument must therefore control the two distributions as a whole rather than the decisions point by point, which in the formal development involves Lebesgue measure on Rn\mathbb R^nRn, conditioning on a box and translation invariance.

A second subtlety is that the stability bound depends on how RRR is read, which is the reason for the correction below.

Formalization scope

Vectors are Fin n → ℝ with dotProduct. All ℓ1\ell_1ℓ1​ quantities are written as ∑i∣vi∣\sum_i|v_i|∑i​∣vi​∣, never with the default norm (the sup norm). Rewards are a function f : ℕ → Fin n → ℝ read at t=1,…,Tt=1,\ldots,Tt=1,…,T, and f1:tf_{1:t}f1:t​ is prefixSum f t. The perturbation law is Lebesgue measure conditioned on the cube [0,1/η]n[0,1/\eta]^n[0,1/η]n (ProbabilityTheory.cond volume), a probability measure for η>0\eta>0η>0. Maxima over K\mathcal KK are expressed as "for every x∈Kx\in\mathcal Kx∈K", so neither attainment nor boundedness of K\mathcal KK is presupposed.

Conventions and deviations, each also stated in the affected item:

  1. RRR is an oscillation bound. The paper takes R≥max⁡t,x∣ft⋅x∣R\ge\max_{t,x}|f_t\cdot x|R≥maxt,x​∣ft​⋅x∣. With that reading Lemma 9 is false (for K={−1,1}\mathcal K=\{-1,1\}K={−1,1}, the exact maximizer, f1:t−1=−Af_{1:t-1}=-Af1:t−1​=−A, ft=A=Rf_t=A=Rft​=A=R, ηA≤1\eta A\le1ηA≤1, the left side is −2ηRA-2\eta RA−2ηRA), and the printed constant in Theorem 6 does not follow. The proof's step "they can differ by at most RRR" is correct when R≥∣ft⋅x−ft⋅y∣R\ge|f_t\cdot x-f_t\cdot y|R≥∣ft​⋅x−ft​⋅y∣ for x,y∈Kx,y\in\mathcal Kx,y∈K; Lemma 9, the display and Theorem 6 are stated with that hypothesis. The printed hypothesis implies it with 2R2R2R; for non-negative rewards the two coincide.
  2. Expected reward. E[∑tft⋅xt]\mathbf E[\sum_t f_t\cdot x_t]E[∑t​ft​⋅xt​] is written as ∑t∫ft⋅Mϵ(f1:t−1+p) dμη(p)\sum_t\int f_t\cdot M_\epsilon(f_{1:t-1}+p)\,d\mu_\eta(p)∑t​∫ft​⋅Mϵ​(f1:t−1​+p)dμη​(p), which by linearity of expectation is the same for independent or shared perturbations (the paper makes the same observation).
  3. Printed typos. In (13) the summand ftf_tft​ is fτf_\taufτ​ and round ttt uses f1:t−1f_{1:t-1}f1:t−1​; in Lemma 8 and the display, max⁡xf1:t⋅x\max_{x}f_{1:t}\cdot xmaxx​f1:t​⋅x means f1:Tf_{1:T}f1:T​.
  4. Added hypotheses. MϵM_\epsilonMϵ​ is measurable (otherwise every expectation would be a Bochner integral of a non-measurable function and equal 000); an approximate maximizer can always be chosen measurable. D,R,A>0D,R,A>0D,R,A>0 and T≥1T\ge1T≥1 make η=D/(RAT)\eta=\sqrt{D/(RAT)}η=D/(RAT)​ a positive real. The display is stated for T≥1T\ge1T≥1 (Lemma 8 needs T≥2T\ge2T≥2 as printed; the case T=1T=1T=1 also holds).
  5. No O(⋅)O(\cdot)O(⋅) appears: all constants are the paper's explicit ones.

A trivializing formalization is ruled out: MϵM_\epsilonMϵ​ must return points of K\mathcal KK (otherwise DDD would not bound ∥Mϵ(⋅)−Mϵ(⋅)∥1\|M_\epsilon(\cdot)-M_\epsilon(\cdot)\|_1∥Mϵ​(⋅)−Mϵ​(⋅)∥1​), it must be measurable, and the perturbation law is the normalized uniform distribution, not Lebesgue measure restricted to the cube (which is not a probability measure for η≠1\eta\neq1η=1).

Needed infrastructure: the overlap estimate for a cube and its translate, vol([0,1/η]n∩(v+[0,1/η]n))≥(1−η∥v∥1) η−n\mathrm{vol}([0,1/\eta]^n\cap(v+[0,1/\eta]^n))\ge(1-\eta\|v\|_1)\,\eta^{-n}vol([0,1/η]n∩(v+[0,1/η]n))≥(1−η∥v∥1​)η−n, and the integrability of bounded measurable functions of MϵM_\epsilonMϵ​. Both are reusable for any perturbation-based online-learning analysis; contributions of these as standalone lemmas are welcome.

Selected references

  • A. Ben-Tal, E. Hazan, T. Koren, S. Mannor, Oracle-Based Robust Optimization via Online Learning, Operations Research 63(3), 2015; preprint arXiv:1402.6361v1, 2014. https://arxiv.org/abs/1402.6361
  • A. Kalai, S. Vempala, Efficient algorithms for online decision problems, Journal of Computer and System Sciences 71(3), 291–307, 2005. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jcss.2004.10.016
  • J. Hannan, Approximation to Bayes risk in repeated play, Contributions to the Theory of Games III, Annals of Mathematics Studies 39, 97–139, 1957.
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Convex OptimizationOperations ResearchProbability·Captain: mikedeng1

Optimization with Stochastic Dominance Constraints: Lagrange Multipliers of a Second-Order Dominance Constraint Are Concave Nondecreasing Utility FunctionsResearch Paper

Motivation

A decision maker choosing a random outcome XXX (a portfolio return, a policy's cost savings, a schedule's throughput) often has a reference outcome YYY, the result of a benchmark policy, and wants the new outcome to be preferable to it for every risk-averse decision maker, not just on average. Expected-utility theory (von Neumann and Morgenstern) makes this precise: XXX is preferred to YYY by every decision maker with a concave nondecreasing utility function uuu exactly when XXX dominates YYY in the second order, X⪰(2)YX\succeq_{(2)}YX⪰(2)​Y. Requiring X⪰(2)YX\succeq_{(2)}YX⪰(2)​Y as a constraint in an optimization problem avoids having to elicit any particular utility function, which is rarely possible in practice and impossible when several decision makers must agree.

Dentcheva and Ruszczyński (preprint 2002, published in SIAM J. Optim. 14(2), 2003) introduced optimization problems with stochastic dominance constraints and developed their optimality and duality theory. The central finding is that the Lagrange multiplier of a second-order dominance constraint is itself a concave nondecreasing utility function: the optimal solution maximizes the objective plus an expected utility, for a utility function implied by the problem. This interpretation underlies the later literature on dominance-constrained portfolio optimization, risk-averse stochastic programming, and the dual (quantile) theory of stochastic orders.

Setting

Let (Ω,F,P)(\Omega,\mathcal F,P)(Ω,F,P) be a probability space and L1=L1(Ω,F,P)\mathcal L^1=\mathcal L^1(\Omega,\mathcal F,P)L1=L1(Ω,F,P) the space of integrable random variables with its norm topology. For X∈L1X\in\mathcal L^1X∈L1 the distribution function is F(X;η)=P[X≤η]F(X;\eta)=P[X\le\eta]F(X;η)=P[X≤η] and the second-order shortfall function is

F2(X;η)=∫−∞ηF(X;α) dα,η∈R.(2.1)F_2(X;\eta)=\int_{-\infty}^{\eta}F(X;\alpha)\,d\alpha,\qquad \eta\in\mathbb R. \tag{2.1}F2​(X;η)=∫−∞η​F(X;α)dα,η∈R.(2.1)

Changing the order of integration gives F2(X;η)=E[(η−X)+]F_2(X;\eta)=\mathbb E[(\eta-X)_+]F2​(X;η)=E[(η−X)+​] (2.6), where (⋅)+=max⁡(0,⋅)(\cdot)_+=\max(0,\cdot)(⋅)+​=max(0,⋅). The relation X⪰(2)YX\succeq_{(2)}YX⪰(2)​Y means F2(X;η)≤F2(Y;η)F_2(X;\eta)\le F_2(Y;\eta)F2​(X;η)≤F2​(Y;η) for all η\etaη, and A2(Y)={X∈L1:X⪰(2)Y}A_2(Y)=\{X\in\mathcal L^1:X\succeq_{(2)}Y\}A2​(Y)={X∈L1:X⪰(2)​Y}.

The problem data are a reference outcome Y∈L1Y\in\mathcal L^1Y∈L1, a convex closed set C⊆L1C\subseteq\mathcal L^1C⊆L1, a functional fff that is concave and continuous on CCC, and an interval [a,b][a,b][a,b]. The paper studies the relaxation in which dominance is enforced on [a,b][a,b][a,b]:

max⁡f(X)subject toE[(η−X)+]≤E[(η−Y)+]  for all η∈[a,b],X∈C.(3.1–3.3)\max f(X)\quad\text{subject to}\quad\mathbb E[(\eta-X)_+]\le\mathbb E[(\eta-Y)_+]\ \ \text{for all }\eta\in[a,b],\qquad X\in C. \tag{3.1–3.3}maxf(X)subject toE[(η−X)+​]≤E[(η−Y)+​]  for all η∈[a,b],X∈C.(3.1–3.3)

The uniform dominance condition (Definition 4.1) asks for some X~∈C\tilde X\in CX~∈C with inf⁡η∈[a,b]{F2(Y;η)−F2(X~;η)}>0\inf_{\eta\in[a,b]}\{F_2(Y;\eta)-F_2(\tilde X;\eta)\}>0infη∈[a,b]​{F2​(Y;η)−F2​(X~;η)}>0.

The multiplier class U1\mathcal U_1U1​ consists of the functions u:R→Ru:\mathbb R\to\mathbb Ru:R→R that are concave and nondecreasing, vanish on [b,∞)[b,\infty)[b,∞), and are affine on (−∞,a](-\infty,a](−∞,a]: u(t)=u(a)+c(t−a)u(t)=u(a)+c(t-a)u(t)=u(a)+c(t−a) for t≤at\le at≤a, with a constant c≥0c\ge0c≥0. The Lagrangian is

L(X,u)=f(X)+E[u(X)]−E[u(Y)].(4.1)L(X,u)=f(X)+\mathbb E[u(X)]-\mathbb E[u(Y)]. \tag{4.1}L(X,u)=f(X)+E[u(X)]−E[u(Y)].(4.1)

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem 4.2

Assume the uniform dominance condition. If X^\hat XX^ is an optimal solution of (3.1)–(3.3), there is u^∈U1\hat u\in\mathcal U_1u^∈U1​ with

L(X^,u^)=max⁡X∈CL(X,u^)(4.2)andE[u^(X^)]=E[u^(Y)].(4.3)L(\hat X,\hat u)=\max_{X\in C}L(X,\hat u)\quad(4.2)\qquad\text{and}\qquad\mathbb E[\hat u(\hat X)]=\mathbb E[\hat u(Y)].\quad(4.3)L(X^,u^)=X∈Cmax​L(X,u^)(4.2)andE[u^(X^)]=E[u^(Y)].(4.3)

Conversely, if for some u^∈U1\hat u\in\mathcal U_1u^∈U1​ a maximizer X^∈C\hat X\in CX^∈C of L(⋅,u^)L(\cdot,\hat u)L(⋅,u^) satisfies (3.2) and (4.3), then X^\hat XX^ is optimal for (3.1)–(3.3).

Milestones

The milestones follow the paper's proof. They are: finiteness of E[u(X)]\mathbb E[u(X)]E[u(X)] for u∈U1u\in\mathcal U_1u∈U1​; the identity (2.6), already proved on the platform; Proposition 2.3 (convexity and closedness of A2(Y)A_2(Y)A2​(Y), and its recession cone); the concavity of the constraint operator G(X)(η)=F2(Y;η)−F2(X;η)G(X)(\eta)=F_2(Y;\eta)-F_2(X;\eta)G(X)(η)=F2​(Y;η)−F2​(X;η) with respect to the cone of nonnegative functions; the existence of a nonnegative measure multiplier μ^\hat\muμ^​ on [a,b][a,b][a,b] satisfying (4.5)–(4.6); the facts that the function uμ(t)=−∫tbμ([τ,b]) dτu_\mu(t)=-\int_t^b\mu([\tau,b])\,d\tauuμ​(t)=−∫tb​μ([τ,b])dτ (t<bt<bt<b), uμ(t)=0u_\mu(t)=0uμ​(t)=0 (t≥bt\ge bt≥b) of a nonnegative measure lies in U1\mathcal U_1U1​ and that every u∈U1u\in\mathcal U_1u∈U1​ is uμu_\muuμ​ for exactly one μ\muμ; the key identity

∫abF2(X;η) dμ(η)=−E[uμ(X)];(4.9)\int_a^b F_2(X;\eta)\,d\mu(\eta)=-\mathbb E[u_\mu(X)]; \tag{4.9}∫ab​F2​(X;η)dμ(η)=−E[uμ​(X)];(4.9)

and the weak-duality step: (3.2) implies E[u(X)]≥E[u(Y)]\mathbb E[u(X)]\ge\mathbb E[u(Y)]E[u(X)]≥E[u(Y)] for every u∈U1u\in\mathcal U_1u∈U1​.

Further: Theorem 5.1

With D(u)=sup⁡X∈CL(X,u)D(u)=\sup_{X\in C}L(X,u)D(u)=supX∈C​L(X,u), the dual problem min⁡u∈U1D(u)\min_{u\in\mathcal U_1}D(u)minu∈U1​​D(u) has a solution, its value equals the primal optimal value, and its solutions are exactly the u^∈U1\hat u\in\mathcal U_1u^∈U1​ satisfying (4.2)–(4.3).

Significance

Theorem 4.2 turns an infinite family of constraints, one for each η∈[a,b]\eta\in[a,b]η∈[a,b], into a single scalar trade-off: at the optimum, the decision maker behaves as an expected-utility maximizer for an implicit utility u^\hat uu^, and the dominance constraint is active exactly in the sense E[u^(X^)]=E[u^(Y)]\mathbb E[\hat u(\hat X)]=\mathbb E[\hat u(Y)]E[u^(X^)]=E[u^(Y)]. Theorem 5.1 makes U1\mathcal U_1U1​ the space of dual variables, which is the starting point of dual decomposition and cutting-plane methods for dominance-constrained problems and of their extensions to several constraints and to higher orders (Sections 6–7 of the paper, not part of this mission).

All results are proved in the paper. Apart from the identity (2.6), which is proved on the platform, none of them is formalized as far as the platform records show. A machine-checked development would provide, on top of the paper, a rigorous treatment of the measure–utility correspondence that the paper obtains from a textbook theorem "after an obvious adaptation", and a careful account of the multiplier class itself (see the scope section on the constant ccc). The definitions of F2F_2F2​ and of the identity (2.6) are shared with the platform's missions on Dual Stochastic Dominance and Related Mean-Risk Models (Ogryczak and Ruszczyński, 2002).

Difficulty

The necessity half needs a Lagrange multiplier for a constraint taking values in the infinite-dimensional space C([a,b])\mathcal C([a,b])C([a,b]); finite-dimensional convex duality does not apply, and the multiplier first appears as a nonnegative measure on [a,b][a,b][a,b], an element of the dual of C([a,b])\mathcal C([a,b])C([a,b]). A Slater-type point is required: without the uniform dominance condition the multiplier may not exist. This is why the dominance relation, which the paper first poses on all of R\mathbb RR, is relaxed to a bounded interval [a,b][a,b][a,b]: for a reference outcome with a smallest value y1y_1y1​, F2(Y;y1)=0F_2(Y;y_1)=0F2​(Y;y1​)=0, so no X~\tilde XX~ can dominate YYY strictly near y1y_1y1​.

The second obstacle is the translation of that measure into a utility function. The identity (4.9) requires an interchange of integrals over R×[a,b]\mathbb R\times[a,b]R×[a,b] and an integration by parts against the distribution function of an arbitrary integrable XXX, followed by a limit in which the integrability of XXX controls the linear growth of uuu at −∞-\infty−∞. The converse direction needs every u∈U1u\in\mathcal U_1u∈U1​ to be represented by a unique measure, through the left derivative of a concave function.

Formalization scope

Outcomes are elements of Mathlib's L1L^1L1 space Ω →₁[P] ℝ over a probability measure P, coerced to functions inside integrals; no statement is pointwise in ω\omegaω. F2F_2F2​ is the published definition DualSSD.Shared.secondPerformance, a Bochner integral of P[X≤α]P[X\le\alpha]P[X≤α] over (−∞,η](-\infty,\eta](−∞,η]. The problem data form a structure whose fields include every standing assumption of the paper: CCC convex and closed, fff concave and continuous on CCC. The constraint (3.2) is stated in its printed expectation form, while Definition 4.1 and the proof objects use F2F_2F2​, as printed; their equality is (2.6).

Committed conventions:

  • U1\mathcal U_1U1​ uses c≥0c\ge0c≥0. The paper prints c>0c>0c>0. With c>0c>0c>0 the necessity half of Theorem 4.2 is false: take Y≡0Y\equiv0Y≡0, [a,b]=[1,2][a,b]=[1,2][a,b]=[1,2], f(X)=EXf(X)=\mathbb EXf(X)=EX and CCC the constant random variables with values in [0,1][0,1][0,1]. Then X~≡1\tilde X\equiv1X~≡1 satisfies Definition 4.1, X^≡1\hat X\equiv1X^≡1 is optimal, and (4.3) forces c=0c=0c=0. The proof itself produces c=μ([a,b])c=\mu([a,b])c=μ([a,b]), which vanishes for the zero multiplier of a slack constraint, and the paper calls U1\mathcal U_1U1​ a convex cone, which must contain 000.
  • Definition 4.1's infimum is encoded as a positive lower bound ε\varepsilonε on [a,b][a,b][a,b]. "=max⁡X∈C=\max_{X\in C}=maxX∈C​" is encoded as membership in CCC plus an upper bound over CCC.
  • A nonnegative measure in rca([a,b])\mathbf{rca}([a,b])rca([a,b]) is a finite Borel measure on R\mathbb RR giving zero mass to the complement of [a,b][a,b][a,b], which is the paper's own extension by zero. Integrals ∫ab⋅ dμ\int_a^b\cdot\,d\mu∫ab​⋅dμ are over the closed interval, so atoms at aaa and bbb count.
  • No relation between aaa and bbb is assumed. For a>ba>ba>b every statement remains meaningful: the constraint is vacuous and U1={0}\mathcal U_1=\{0\}U1​={0}.
  • Theorem 5.1's dual function takes values in the extended reals.

A trivializing formalization is ruled out: a junk-valued expectation (a Bochner integral of a non-integrable function, which Lean sets to 000) cannot occur for u∈U1u\in\mathcal U_1u∈U1​, and its integrability is a milestone. Dropping the concavity of fff or the convexity of CCC would make the necessity half false, so these assumptions are fields of the problem data.

Infrastructure a complete development needs: convex duality for cone constraints in C([a,b])\mathcal C([a,b])C([a,b]) (or a direct separation argument in R×C([a,b])\mathbb R\times\mathcal C([a,b])R×C([a,b])), the Riesz representation of nonnegative functionals on C([a,b])\mathcal C([a,b])C([a,b]), Fubini and integration by parts for Stieltjes measures, and the measure of a left-continuous monotone function. These pieces are reusable beyond this mission. Contributions to any milestone are welcome. The extensions to several dominance constraints and to higher-order dominance are not included.

Selected references

  • D. Dentcheva and A. Ruszczyński, Optimization with stochastic dominance constraints, preprint dated December 27, 2002 (Stochastic Programming E-Print Series); published in SIAM Journal on Optimization 14(2):548–566, 2003. https://doi.org/10.1137/S1052623402420528
  • W. Ogryczak and A. Ruszczyński, Dual stochastic dominance and related mean-risk models, SIAM Journal on Optimization 13(1):60–78, 2002. https://doi.org/10.1137/S1052623400375075
  • J. F. Bonnans and A. Shapiro, Perturbation Analysis of Optimization Problems, Springer, 2000. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-1-4612-1394-9
  • J. von Neumann and O. Morgenstern, Theory of Games and Economic Behavior, Princeton University Press, 1944.
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Bandit AlgorithmsConvex OptimizationMachine Learning·Captain: mikedeng1

Online Convex Optimization in the Bandit Setting: Gradient Descent without a Gradient: Bandit Gradient Descent Has Expected Regret ≤ 3Cn^{5/6}∛(12dR/r)Research Paper

Motivation

In online convex optimization a decision maker picks points x1,x2,…,xnx_1,x_2,\dots,x_nx1​,x2​,…,xn​ in a convex set S⊆RdS\subseteq\mathbb R^dS⊆Rd, and after each choice pays ct(xt)c_t(x_t)ct​(xt​) for a convex cost function ctc_tct​ chosen in advance by an adversary. Performance is measured by regret: the total cost paid minus the cost of the best fixed point in hindsight. Zinkevich (ICML 2003) showed that projected gradient descent has regret O(n)O(\sqrt n)O(n​) when the whole function ctc_tct​, or at least its gradient at xtx_txt​, is revealed after each round.

In many applications only the number ct(xt)c_t(x_t)ct​(xt​) is observed: a seller sets a price and sees revenue, a router picks a path and sees its delay, an advertiser places a bid and sees the cost. This is the bandit setting. Flaxman, Kalai and McMahan (arXiv:cs/0408007, SODA 2005) gave the first simple algorithm for bandit convex optimization against an oblivious adversary with general bounded convex costs: a randomized gradient descent that estimates the gradient from a single function value, with expected regret O(n5/6)O(n^{5/6})O(n5/6). The same one-point gradient estimate is the starting point of later work on bandit convex optimization and on zeroth-order (derivative-free) stochastic optimization; see, e.g., Bubeck and Cesa-Bianchi's survey (arXiv:1204.5721, Ch. 6) and Hazan's textbook (arXiv:1909.05207, Ch. 6).

Timeline. Zinkevich (2003): O(n)O(\sqrt n)O(n​) regret with full gradient feedback. Kleinberg (NIPS 2004), independently: O(n3/4)O(n^{3/4})O(n3/4) bandit regret for Lipschitz costs by a different reduction. Flaxman, Kalai, McMahan (2004/2005): O(n5/6)O(n^{5/6})O(n5/6) for bounded convex costs and O(n3/4)O(n^{3/4})O(n3/4) for Lipschitz costs, with one function value per round. Later work (Bubeck, Lee, Eldan 2017 and others) reached O~(n)\tilde O(\sqrt n)O~(n​) with more complex algorithms.

Setting

Let B={x∈Rd:∣x∣≤1}\mathbb B=\{x\in\mathbb R^d : |x|\le1\}B={x∈Rd:∣x∣≤1} and S={x:∣x∣=1}\mathbb S=\{x : |x|=1\}S={x:∣x∣=1} be the closed unit ball and the unit sphere, d≥1d\ge1d≥1. The feasible set SSS is closed and convex with

rB⊆S⊆RB,r>0.r\mathbb B\subseteq S\subseteq R\mathbb B,\qquad r>0 .rB⊆S⊆RB,r>0.

The costs c1,c2,…c_1,c_2,\dotsc1​,c2​,… are fixed before play (an oblivious adversary); each is convex on SSS with ∣ct(x)∣≤C|c_t(x)|\le C∣ct​(x)∣≤C for x∈Sx\in Sx∈S, where C>0C>0C>0. For K⊆RdK\subseteq\mathbb R^dK⊆Rd, PK(z)P_K(z)PK​(z) is the nearest point of KKK to zzz.

The bandit gradient descent algorithm BGD(α,δ,ν)\mathrm{BGD}(\alpha,\delta,\nu)BGD(α,δ,ν) (Figure 1 of the paper) keeps an iterate yty_tyt​ with y1=0y_1=0y1​=0. At period ttt it draws a unit vector utu_tut​ uniformly from S\mathbb SS, independently of the past, plays

xt=yt+δut,x_t=y_t+\delta u_t ,xt​=yt​+δut​,

observes only ct(xt)c_t(x_t)ct​(xt​), and updates

yt+1=P(1−α)S(yt−ν ct(xt) ut).y_{t+1}=P_{(1-\alpha)S}\big(y_t-\nu\,c_t(x_t)\,u_t\big).yt+1​=P(1−α)S​(yt​−νct​(xt​)ut​).

The smoothed cost is c^t(x)=Ev∈B[ct(x+δv)]\hat c_t(x)=\mathbb E_{v\in\mathbb B}[c_t(x+\delta v)]c^t​(x)=Ev∈B​[ct​(x+δv)] with vvv uniform on B\mathbb BB. The expected regret after nnn rounds is

E[∑t=1nct(xt)]−min⁡x∈S∑t=1nct(x).\mathbb E\Big[\sum_{t=1}^n c_t(x_t)\Big]-\min_{x\in S}\sum_{t=1}^n c_t(x).E[t=1∑n​ct​(xt​)]−x∈Smin​t=1∑n​ct​(x).

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem 1 (p. 8)

For every n≥(3Rd/2r)2n\ge(3Rd/2r)^2n≥(3Rd/2r)2, with ν=R/(Cn)\nu=R/(C\sqrt n)ν=R/(Cn​), δ=rR2d2/(12n)3\delta=\sqrt[3]{rR^2d^2/(12n)}δ=3rR2d2/(12n)​ and α=3Rd/(2rn)3\alpha=\sqrt[3]{3Rd/(2r\sqrt n)}α=33Rd/(2rn​)​,

E[∑t=1nct(xt)]−min⁡x∈S∑t=1nct(x)≤3Cn5/612 dRr3.\mathbb E\Big[\sum_{t=1}^n c_t(x_t)\Big]-\min_{x\in S}\sum_{t=1}^n c_t(x)\le 3Cn^{5/6}\sqrt[3]{\frac{12\,dR}{r}} .E[t=1∑n​ct​(xt​)]−x∈Smin​t=1∑n​ct​(x)≤3Cn5/63r12dR​​.

The paper prints the constant 3Cn5/6dR/r33Cn^{5/6}\sqrt[3]{dR/r}3Cn5/63dR/r​. Its own last step bounds the regret by a/δ+bδ/α+cαa/\delta+b\delta/\alpha+c\alphaa/δ+bδ/α+cα with a=RdCna=RdC\sqrt na=RdCn​, b=6Cn/rb=6Cn/rb=6Cn/r, c=2Cnc=2Cnc=2Cn, and with the stated δ\deltaδ and α\alphaα this equals 3abc3=3Cn5/612dR/r33\sqrt[3]{abc}=3Cn^{5/6}\sqrt[3]{12dR/r}33abc​=3Cn5/6312dR/r​. The goal states the bound the proof establishes.

Milestones

  1. Lemma 1 (p. 5): Eu∈S[f(x+δu)u]=δd∇f^(x)\mathbb E_{u\in\mathbb S}[f(x+\delta u)u]=\frac\delta d\nabla\hat f(x)Eu∈S​[f(x+δu)u]=dδ​∇f^​(x), the one-point gradient estimate.
  2. Lemma 2 (p. 6): gradient descent with conditionally unbiased gradient estimates of norm at most GGG has expected regret at most RGnRG\sqrt nRGn​ for η=R/(Gn)\eta=R/(G\sqrt n)η=R/(Gn​).
  3. Observations 1–3 (pp. 7–8): the comparator over (1−α)S(1-\alpha)S(1−α)S is within 2αCn2\alpha Cn2αCn of that over SSS; balls of radius αr\alpha rαr around (1−α)S(1-\alpha)S(1−α)S lie in SSS; on (1−α)S(1-\alpha)S(1−α)S the costs satisfy ∣ct(x)−ct(y)∣≤2Cαr∣x−y∣|c_t(x)-c_t(y)|\le\frac{2C}{\alpha r}|x-y|∣ct​(x)−ct​(y)∣≤αr2C​∣x−y∣.
  4. The played points are feasible (p. 8).
  5. Regret against the smoothed costs (p. 9): at most RdCn/δRdC\sqrt n/\deltaRdCn​/δ.
  6. Display (10) (p. 9): regret at most RdCn/δ+3δLn+2αCnRdC\sqrt n/\delta+3\delta Ln+2\alpha CnRdCn​/δ+3δLn+2αCn with L=2C/(αr)L=2C/(\alpha r)L=2C/(αr).

Companion items

The tuning identity (p. 9): a/δ+bδ/α+cα=3abc3a/\delta+b\delta/\alpha+c\alpha=3\sqrt[3]{abc}a/δ+bδ/α+cα=33abc​ at δ=a2/bc3\delta=\sqrt[3]{a^2/bc}δ=3a2/bc​, α=ab/c23\alpha=\sqrt[3]{ab/c^2}α=3ab/c2​, for a,b,c>0a,b,c>0a,b,c>0.

Theorem 2 (p. 9). If each ctc_tct​ is LLL-Lipschitz on SSS, then with ν=R/(Cn)\nu=R/(C\sqrt n)ν=R/(Cn​), δ=n−1/4RdCr/(3(Lr+C))\delta=n^{-1/4}\sqrt{RdCr/(3(Lr+C))}δ=n−1/4RdCr/(3(Lr+C))​, α=δ/r\alpha=\delta/rα=δ/r, and nnn large enough that δ<r\delta<rδ<r,

E[∑t=1nct(xt)]−min⁡x∈S∑t=1nct(x)≤2n3/43RdC(L+C/r).\mathbb E\Big[\sum_{t=1}^n c_t(x_t)\Big]-\min_{x\in S}\sum_{t=1}^n c_t(x)\le 2n^{3/4}\sqrt{3RdC\big(L+C/r\big)} .E[t=1∑n​ct​(xt​)]−x∈Smin​t=1∑n​ct​(x)≤2n3/43RdC(L+C/r)​.

Significance

The theorem shows that bandit feedback costs only a polynomial factor in regret for arbitrary bounded convex costs, with an algorithm that is gradient descent plus one random perturbation per round. Lemma 1 is the general tool behind it: an unbiased estimate of the gradient of a smoothed function from one function value. It is reused across zeroth-order optimization, bandit learning and stochastic approximation. Lemma 2 is a self-contained regret bound for projected gradient descent with noisy gradients, the shape in which Zinkevich's analysis is most often applied.

The results are proved in the paper and are standard. To the platform's knowledge none of them has a machine-checked proof. Related statements from Bubeck and Cesa-Bianchi's survey, for differentiable Lipschitz losses, are open on the platform, and two earlier formalizations of the textbook versions were disproved because of missing regularity or independence hypotheses. Formalizing this mission produces a checked one-point gradient identity for continuous (not differentiable) functions on the sphere, a measure-theoretic regret bound for stochastic projected gradient descent, and the corrected constant of Theorem 1.

Difficulty

The bandit algorithm itself is simple; the difficulty sits in Lemma 1 and in the measure theory around it. The paper derives Lemma 1 from Stokes' theorem, ∇∫δBf(x+v) dv=∫δSf(x+u)u∣u∣ du\nabla\int_{\delta\mathbb B}f(x+v)\,dv=\int_{\delta\mathbb S}f(x+u)\frac{u}{|u|}\,du∇∫δB​f(x+v)dv=∫δS​f(x+u)∣u∣u​du, and the ratio δ/d\delta/dδ/d of the volume to the surface area of a ball. Mathlib has neither this divergence identity on balls in Rd\mathbb R^dRd nor the explicit link between its spherical measure and the surface integral needed here. The identity must hold for functions that are merely continuous near the ball, since convex costs need not be differentiable.

The obvious first idea, differentiating under the integral sign in f^(x)=Ev[f(x+δv)]\hat f(x)=\mathbb E_v[f(x+\delta v)]f^​(x)=Ev​[f(x+δv)], fails because fff is not differentiable. The second obvious idea, applying Lemma 1 to ctc_tct​ as given, fails at the boundary of SSS, where ctc_tct​ is unconstrained. Lemma 2's conditional expectation E[gt∣xt]\mathbb E[g_t\mid x_t]E[gt​∣xt​] requires that the direction utu_tut​ be independent of the iterate yty_tyt​, and the integrability and measurability of the played points come from continuity of convex functions in the interior of SSS.

Formalization scope

Points are EuclideanSpace ℝ (Fin d) with d≥1d\ge1d≥1, and rounds are numbered 1,…,n1,\dots,n1,…,n. The costs are functions on Rd\mathbb R^dRd, and no statement assumes anything about them outside SSS: no global convexity, continuity, differentiability or Lipschitz bound. The standing model is part of the goal's hypotheses: SSS is convex with rB⊆S⊆RBr\mathbb B\subseteq S\subseteq R\mathbb BrB⊆S⊆RB, the costs are convex on SSS with values in [−C,C][-C,C][−C,C] there, and C>0C>0C>0. Additions and conventions:

  • SSS is assumed closed. The paper's projection oracle PS(x)=arg⁡min⁡z∈S∣x−z∣P_S(x)=\arg\min_{z\in S}|x-z|PS​(x)=argminz∈S​∣x−z∣ presupposes that the minimum is attained.
  • The directions utu_tut​ are measurable, independent, and each uniform on S\mathbb SS (the published uniformSphere d). Uniform marginals alone are not enough.
  • The BGD run is a relation (IsBGDRun) required for every outcome. Projection uses the published predicate IsNearestPoint, and regret the published pseudoRegret, whose minimum is an infimum over the subtype; it is attained in every use here.
  • Lemma 1 adds continuity of fff on an open set containing x+δBx+\delta\mathbb Bx+δB. As printed ("for any function fff") it is false. The application in Theorem 1 supplies this hypothesis.
  • The smoothed-regret and (10) milestones use the strict δ<αr\delta<\alpha rδ<αr (the page has δ/r≤α\delta/r\le\alphaδ/r≤α), which keeps every smoothing ball in the interior of SSS. They use α≤1\alpha\le1α≤1 in place of α<1\alpha<1α<1; Theorem 1's α\alphaα equals 111 at n=(3Rd/2r)2n=(3Rd/2r)^2n=(3Rd/2r)2.
  • Theorem 2's "for nnn sufficiently large" is the hypothesis δ<r\delta<rδ<r, the only place the proof uses it.

A formalization that assumed integrability of the costs along the run, assumed differentiable or globally Lipschitz costs, dropped the independence of the directions, or stated ∇f^\nabla\hat f∇f^​ through Mathlib's gradient (which is 000 off differentiability) would trivialize or change the result. All of these are ruled out.

Needed infrastructure: the divergence identity for the ball average (Lemma 1), conditional expectation given σ(xt)\sigma(x_t)σ(xt​) for vector-valued variables, continuity of convex functions on the interior of a convex set, and nearest-point projection onto closed convex sets. The first two are reusable well beyond this mission. Contributions toward Lemma 1 in particular are welcome.

Selected references

  • A. D. Flaxman, A. T. Kalai, H. B. McMahan, Online convex optimization in the bandit setting: gradient descent without a gradient, SODA 2005; arXiv:cs/0408007v1, 2004. https://arxiv.org/abs/cs/0408007
  • M. Zinkevich, Online convex programming and generalized infinitesimal gradient ascent, ICML 2003. https://www.cs.cmu.edu/~maz/publications/ICML03.pdf
  • R. Kleinberg, Nearly tight bounds for the continuum-armed bandit problem, NIPS 2004. https://papers.nips.cc/paper/2634-nearly-tight-bounds-for-the-continuum-armed-bandit-problem
  • S. Bubeck, N. Cesa-Bianchi, Regret analysis of stochastic and nonstochastic multi-armed bandit problems, Foundations and Trends in ML, 2012. https://arxiv.org/abs/1204.5721
  • E. Hazan, Introduction to online convex optimization, 2nd ed., 2019. https://arxiv.org/abs/1909.05207
  • S. Bubeck, Y. T. Lee, R. Eldan, Kernel-based methods for bandit convex optimization, STOC 2017. https://arxiv.org/abs/1607.03084
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