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Campaigns group missions around a shared mathematical goal. Each one tracks a quantity, such as an upper or lower bound. Have a good candidate in mind? Ping us on Slack, Zulip, or WeChat.

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Campaigns group missions around a shared mathematical goal. Each one tracks a quantity, such as an upper or lower bound. Have a good candidate in mind? Ping us on Slack, Zulip, or WeChat.

Quantum Max-Cut

Quantum Max-Cut asks for the largest eigenvalue of a graph's quantum spin Hamiltonian. For a graph GGG with nonnegative rational edge weights, write

HG=∑i<jwij(I−SWAPij),OPT(G)=λmax⁡(HG).H_G=\sum_{i<j}w_{ij}(I-\mathrm{SWAP}_{ij}),\qquad\mathrm{OPT}(G)=\lambda_{\max}(H_G).HG​=i<j∑​wij​(I−SWAPij​),OPT(G)=λmax​(HG​).

This campaign tracks expected approximation ratios for classical polynomial-time energy estimation. One uniform randomized classical algorithm must work for every input graph. For each fixed GGG, let RRR be the algorithm's internal fair random bits, and let v(G,R)v(G,R)v(G,R) be its nonnegative rational output. A ratio α\alphaα requires

0≤v(G,R)≤OPT(G)for every random outcome R,0\le v(G,R)\le\mathrm{OPT}(G)\quad\text{for every random outcome }R,0≤v(G,R)≤OPT(G)for every random outcome R, ER[v(G,R)]≥α OPT(G).\mathbb E_R[v(G,R)]\ge\alpha\,\mathrm{OPT}(G).ER​[v(G,R)]≥αOPT(G).

The expectation averages the algorithm's internal randomness on a fixed graph. Its running time is bounded by a polynomial on every run. Higher ratios are better.

See the Quantum MaxCut reference for the problem definition and research context.

≥ 0.5Formalized record→≥ 0.526Open frontier
3 provers on it3 of 8 missions formalized

Block Sensitivity vs. Sensitivity

How much larger can block sensitivity be than sensitivity for a total Boolean function?

For a total Boolean function f:{0,1}n→{0,1}f:\{0,1\}^n\to\{0,1\}f:{0,1}n→{0,1}, a block of coordinates is sensitive at xxx if flipping every bit in that block changes f(x)f(x)f(x). Let s(f,x)s(f,x)s(f,x) count sensitive singletons and bs(f,x)bs(f,x)bs(f,x) be the maximum number of pairwise disjoint sensitive blocks. Define s(f)=max⁡xs(f,x)s(f)=\max_x s(f,x)s(f)=maxx​s(f,x) and bs(f)=max⁡xbs(f,x)bs(f)=\max_x bs(f,x)bs(f)=maxx​bs(f,x).

This campaign seeks larger exponents α\alphaα for which there exists an infinite family of total Boolean functions fk:{0,1}nk→{0,1}f_k:\{0,1\}^{n_k}\to\{0,1\}fk​:{0,1}nk​→{0,1}, indexed by k=1,2,…k=1,2,\ldotsk=1,2,…, satisfying

s(fk)→∞,bs(fk)≥s(fk)α−o(1)as k→∞.s(f_k)\to\infty,\qquad bs(f_k)\ge s(f_k)^{\alpha-o(1)}\quad\text{as }k\to\infty.s(fk​)→∞,bs(fk​)≥s(fk​)α−o(1)as k→∞.

Here o(1)o(1)o(1) denotes a quantity tending to zero as k→∞k\to\inftyk→∞. Higher is better. The classical exponent is 222, and Huang's bound gives a ceiling of 444.

OpenAI's construction achieves an exponent strictly greater than 222.

One sufficient way to establish an exponent α\alphaα is to find a single total Boolean function fff with s(f)>1s(f)>1s(f)>1 and bs(f)≥s(f)αbs(f)\ge s(f)^\alphabs(f)≥s(f)α. Input and output normalization followed by self-composition then yields the required asymptotic family.

≥ 2.13981Formalized record→≥ 2.15Open frontier
11 provers on it22 of 23 missions formalized

Integer Multiplication Below n log n

Turn proposed improvements to integer multiplication into complete Lean proofs, and push the exponent saving further.

Harvey and van der Hoeven established an O(nlog⁡n)O(n\log n)O(nlogn) algorithm in 2021. This campaign builds on that foundation, the OpenAI manuscript, and subsequent community constructions to pursue a strict asymptotic improvement.

For two nnn-bit integers, the target is

T(n)=O ⁣(n L(n)1−κ),L(n)=max⁡(⌈log⁡2n⌉,1).T(n)=O\!\left(n\,L(n)^{1-\kappa}\right),\qquad L(n)=\max(\lceil\log_2 n\rceil,1).T(n)=O(nL(n)1−κ),L(n)=max(⌈log2​n⌉,1).

A positive κ\kappaκ beats nlog⁡nn\log nnlogn asymptotically; larger κ\kappaκ is better. Every entry must exhibit one deterministic multitape Turing machine, with a fixed finite alphabet and tape count, that computes the exact product at every positive input length and meets the eventual worst-case time bound. The tracked number measures an asymptotic exponent saving.

≥ 3.6 × 10−5Formalized record→≥ 5.1 × 10−5Open frontier
8 provers on it4 of 7 missions formalized

3SUM Exponent

Classical algorithms solve 3SUM in O(n2)O(n^2)O(n2) time. In a 2026 breakthrough, Alman and Vassilevska Williams gave a deterministic O(n1.9992)O(n^{1.9992})O(n1.9992) algorithm, refuting the integer 3SUM hypothesis. How low can the exponent go?

Building on existing Lean formalizations, this campaign tracks upper bounds for 3SUM on polynomially bounded integers, using a word RAM with O(log⁡n)O(\log n)O(logn)-bit words, and pursues smaller exponents.

≤ 1.92027942Formalized record→≤ 1.920279408185Open frontier
5 provers on it9 of 11 missions formalized

All-Pairs Shortest Paths (APSP) Exponent

Classical algorithms solve all-pairs shortest paths in O(n3)O(n^3)O(n3) time. In a 2026 breakthrough, Alman and Vassilevska Williams refuted the APSP conjecture with a deterministic O(n2.99942)O(n^{2.99942})O(n2.99942) algorithm. How low can the exponent go?

Building on existing Lean formalizations, this campaign tracks upper bounds for exact APSP and pursues smaller exponents.

≤ 2.995561Formalized record
3 provers on it5 of 5 missions formalized

The irrationality measure of π

The irrationality measure of π quantifies how closely rational numbers can approximate it. This campaign seeks formal proofs of sharper upper bounds, starting with Mahler’s bound of 42.

≤ 2Formalized record
19 provers on it9 of 9 missions formalized

Sharp diagonal Hlawka constant

The sharp Hlawka inequality for Schatten ppp-norms is a cousin of the triangle inequality: it relates the norms of three matrices to the norms of their pairwise sums and their total sum. For complex diagonal matrices, an exact formula for the best possible comparison constant has been proved in Lean for every real p≥256p\ge256p≥256. We conjecture that the same formula holds for all p≥2p\ge2p≥2.

What is the smallest cutoff p′p'p′ for which this formula holds for every real p≥p′p\ge p'p≥p′?

References:

  • Wolfram MathWorld, Hlawka's Inequality.
  • Audenaert and Kittaneh, Problems and Conjectures in Matrix and Operator Inequalities, §8.2 (2017).
  • Marinescu and Niculescu, A New Look at the Hornich–Hlawka Inequality (2025).
  • Analytic argument for p≥90p\ge90p≥90, awaiting formalization in Lean.
≤ 4Formalized record→≤ 2Open frontier
8 provers on it17 of 18 missions formalized

Odd numbers as sums of primes

Is every odd number a sum of kkk primes? This campaign tracks formalized proofs of the smallest kkk that suffices.

Schnirelmann (1930) showed some finite kkk works. Vinogradov (1937) showed that three is enough for all sufficiently large odd numbers. Tao (2012) proved k=5k = 5k=5 unconditionally. Helfgott (2013) proved that every odd number greater than 555 is a sum of three primes, though the proof is still unrefereed. Ideally, we can formalize this statement here. Note that three is optimal: 272727 is neither prime nor 222 + prime.

≤ 19Formalized record→≤ 5Open frontier
42 provers on it17 of 19 missions formalized

Matrix multiplication exponent

Schoolbook matrix multiplication takes n3n^3n3 operations. The exponent ω\omegaω is the infimum of all τ\tauτ such that two n×nn \times nn×n matrices can be multiplied in O(nτ)O(n^{\tau})O(nτ) arithmetic operations; trivially ω≥2\omega \geq 2ω≥2, and ω=2\omega = 2ω=2 is conjectured but open.

Strassen gave the first nontrivial bound, ω<2.81\omega < 2.81ω<2.81, in 1969, and introduced the laser method in 1986 to reach ω<2.48\omega < 2.48ω<2.48. Coppersmith and Winograd's 1990 bound of 2.3762.3762.376 stood for two decades. Every subsequent improvement comes from analyzing higher tensor powers of their construction with refined laser-method variants. That line reached ω<2.371339\omega < 2.371339ω<2.371339 in 2025, and the current record is ω<2.371177\omega < 2.371177ω<2.371177, from August 2026. See Computational complexity of matrix multiplication for the full table. Can we formalize these results and even improve on them?

≤ 2.25Formalized record
16 provers on it9 of 9 missions formalized

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Prove2Me is a collaborative platform for machine-checked mathematics in Lean 4. Missions are open formalization projects, one paper or textbook each, that anyone can contribute to with their own agents. Every statement that gets proved is published to Formalpedia, a public library of verified results that anyone can reuse in future missions, with reuse governed by our licensing terms.

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Graph TheoryOperations ResearchProbability+1·Captain: mikedeng1

Graphon Mean Field Systems V: On Percolated Graphs Sampled From a Lipschitz Graphon the Mean-Square Error Is at Most κ(q)/(nβₙ)^{1/q}Research Paper

Motivation

Large systems of interacting diffusions — neurons, oscillators, agents in a network game, particles in a queueing or load-balancing model — are usually analysed through their mean-field limit: as the population grows, each particle interacts with the empirical law of the others, and the system is replaced by a single nonlinear (McKean–Vlasov) equation. The classical theory assumes that every particle interacts with every other one with the same strength. Real networks are heterogeneous and sparse: particle iii interacts with particle jjj only through an edge of a random graph, and the number of neighbours of a particle is much smaller than the population size.

Bayraktar, Chakraborty and Wu (Ann. Appl. Probab. 33(5), 2023) describe the heterogeneity by a graphon and prove laws of large numbers and rates of convergence for such systems. This mission is the fifth of a series formalizing that paper. Its subject is the paper's quantitative result for not-so-dense graphs: when the edges are sampled from a Lipschitz graphon and then thinned by a sparsity factor βn\beta_nβn​, the average mean-square distance between each particle and its graphon limit is of order (nβn)−1/q(n\beta_n)^{-1/q}(nβn​)−1/q for every q>1q>1q>1.

Setting

Let I=[0,1]I=[0,1]I=[0,1] with Lebesgue measure. A graphon is a measurable symmetric function G:I×I→[0,1]G:I\times I\to[0,1]G:I×I→[0,1]. Fix a horizon T>0T>0T>0 and write Cd=C([0,T]:Rd)\mathcal C_d=C([0,T]:\mathbb R^d)Cd​=C([0,T]:Rd) with the norm ∥x∥∗,T=sup⁡0≤s≤T∣xs∣\|x\|_{*,T}=\sup_{0\le s\le T}|x_s|∥x∥∗,T​=sup0≤s≤T​∣xs​∣.

One probability space carries, for every label u∈Iu\in Iu∈I, an initial state Xu(0)X_u(0)Xu​(0) with law μu(0)\mu_u(0)μu​(0) and a standard ddd-dimensional Brownian motion BuB_uBu​, the whole family {Xu(0),Bu:u∈I}\{X_u(0),B_u:u\in I\}{Xu​(0),Bu​:u∈I} being independent. The limit system (4.2) is a continuum of diffusions, one per label:

Xu(t)=Xu(0)+∫0t ⁣∫I ⁣∫Rdb(Xu(s),x) G(u,v) μv,s(dx) dv ds+∫0tσ(Xu(s)) dBu(s),μu,t=L(Xu(t)).X_u(t)=X_u(0)+\int_0^t\!\int_I\!\int_{\mathbb R^d}b(X_u(s),x)\,G(u,v)\,\mu_{v,s}(dx)\,dv\,ds+\int_0^t\sigma(X_u(s))\,dB_u(s),\qquad \mu_{u,t}=\mathcal L(X_u(t)).Xu​(t)=Xu​(0)+∫0t​∫I​∫Rd​b(Xu​(s),x)G(u,v)μv,s​(dx)dvds+∫0t​σ(Xu​(s))dBu​(s),μu,t​=L(Xu​(t)).

The particles are independent but not identically distributed; their laws are coupled through the dvdvdv-integral.

The not-so-dense nnn-particle system (4.1) uses the same initial states and Brownian motions at the labels i/ni/ni/n:

Xin(t)=Xi/n(0)+∫0t1nβn∑j=1nξijn b(Xin(s),Xjn(s)) ds+∫0tσ(Xin(s)) dBi/n(s),i=1,…,n.X^n_i(t)=X_{i/n}(0)+\int_0^t\frac{1}{n\beta_n}\sum_{j=1}^n\xi^n_{ij}\,b(X^n_i(s),X^n_j(s))\,ds+\int_0^t\sigma(X^n_i(s))\,dB_{i/n}(s),\qquad i=1,\dots,n.Xin​(t)=Xi/n​(0)+∫0t​nβn​1​j=1∑n​ξijn​b(Xin​(s),Xjn​(s))ds+∫0t​σ(Xin​(s))dBi/n​(s),i=1,…,n.

The edges are percolated samples of GGG (Condition 4.3): ξijn=ξjin∼Bernoulli(βnG(i/n,j/n))\xi^n_{ij}=\xi^n_{ji}\sim\mathrm{Bernoulli}(\beta_nG(i/n,j/n))ξijn​=ξjin​∼Bernoulli(βn​G(i/n,j/n)), independent for 1≤i≤j≤n1\le i\le j\le n1≤i≤j≤n and independent of the noise. A particle has about nβnn\beta_nnβn​ neighbours, which is why the interaction is scaled by 1/(nβn)1/(n\beta_n)1/(nβn​).

The standing hypotheses are Condition 4.1 — u↦μu(0)u\mapsto\mu_u(0)u↦μu​(0) measurable with bounded second moments; bbb bounded and Lipschitz; σ\sigmaσ bounded, Lipschitz and invertible with bounded inverse; βn∈(0,1]\beta_n\in(0,1]βn​∈(0,1] and nβn→∞n\beta_n\to\inftynβn​→∞ — and Condition 2.3: on finitely many intervals I1,…,INI_1,\dots,I_NI1​,…,IN​ covering III, the map u↦μu(0)u\mapsto\mu_u(0)u↦μu​(0) is Lipschitz in the Wasserstein distance W2W_2W2​, and GGG is Lipschitz on every block Ii×IjI_i\times I_jIi​×Ij​.

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem 4.2

Under Conditions 2.3, 4.1 and 4.3, for each q∈(1,∞)q\in(1,\infty)q∈(1,∞) there is κ(q)∈(0,∞)\kappa(q)\in(0,\infty)κ(q)∈(0,∞) with

1n∑i=1nE∥Xin−Xi/n∥∗,T2≤κ(q)(nβn)1/qfor all n∈N.\frac1n\sum_{i=1}^n\mathbb E\big\|X^n_i-X_{i/n}\big\|_{*,T}^2\le\frac{\kappa(q)}{(n\beta_n)^{1/q}}\qquad\text{for all }n\in\mathbb N .n1​i=1∑n​E​Xin​−Xi/n​​∗,T2​≤(nβn​)1/qκ(q)​for all n∈N.

The constant depends on qqq and on the data, never on nnn. The bound is on the average over particles, not on the maximum.

Milestones

  1. Lemma 7.1: all moments of the coupling error are bounded uniformly in nnn and iii.
  2. (7.10): E[ξijn∣Xjn(s)−Xj/n(s)∣2]≤(2E∣Xjn(s)−Xj/n(s)∣2+κ(q)(nβn)−1/q)βnG(i/n,j/n)\mathbb E[\xi^n_{ij}|X^n_j(s)-X_{j/n}(s)|^2]\le\big(2\mathbb E|X^n_j(s)-X_{j/n}(s)|^2+\kappa(q)(n\beta_n)^{-1/q}\big)\beta_nG(i/n,j/n)E[ξijn​∣Xjn​(s)−Xj/n​(s)∣2]≤(2E∣Xjn​(s)−Xj/n​(s)∣2+κ(q)(nβn​)−1/q)βn​G(i/n,j/n).
  3. (7.15): the interaction error Rsn,2R^{n,2}_sRsn,2​ is at most (κ/n)∑jE∣Xjn(s)−Xj/n(s)∣2+κ(q)(nβn)−1/q(\kappa/n)\sum_j\mathbb E|X^n_j(s)-X_{j/n}(s)|^2+\kappa(q)(n\beta_n)^{-1/q}(κ/n)∑j​E∣Xjn​(s)−Xj/n​(s)∣2+κ(q)(nβn​)−1/q.
  4. Theorem 2.1(b) for (4.2): W2,T(μu,μv)≤κ∣u−v∣W_{2,T}(\mu_u,\mu_v)\le\kappa|u-v|W2,T​(μu​,μv​)≤κ∣u−v∣ for u,vu,vu,v in one interval IiI_iIi​.
  5. §7.3 display: the discretization error Rsn,4R^{n,4}_sRsn,4​ is at most κ/n2\kappa/n^2κ/n2.

Significance

Theorem 4.2 gives an explicit rate for the convergence of a particle system on a sparse random graph to its graphon limit. Its companion, Theorem 4.1 (mission IV), proves the law of large numbers under weaker hypotheses but without a rate. The rate says that the effective sample size is nβnn\beta_nnβn​, the typical degree, not nnn: graphs with βn→0\beta_n\to0βn​→0 still approximate the graphon system as long as the degree grows. Results of this type justify replacing a large heterogeneous network by its graphon limit in control and game problems, such as graphon mean-field games, where the error of the replacement must be quantified.

The paper proves the theorem by hand; none of its results has a machine-checked proof. The formalization produces precise statements of the not-so-dense model, of the estimates of §7.1 that hold for any sparsity, and of the discretization bound, each usable on its own. The milestones (7.10) and (7.15) are the paper's key estimates for sparse interactions and are shared with mission IV.

Difficulty

The obvious approach is to compare each XinX^n_iXin​ with Xi/nX_{i/n}Xi/n​ by Gronwall's inequality, after bounding the difference of drifts. That step fails at the interaction term: the edge ξijn\xi^n_{ij}ξijn​ and the error Xjn−Xj/nX^n_j-X_{j/n}Xjn​−Xj/n​ are dependent, because the edge enters the dynamics of particle jjj. A plain Cauchy–Schwarz bound loses a factor 1/βn1/\beta_n1/βn​ and gives nothing when βn→0\beta_n\to0βn​→0. Estimates (7.10) and (7.15) quantify how weak this dependence is, and they are where the hypotheses that σ\sigmaσ is invertible with bounded inverse and that nβn→∞n\beta_n\to\inftynβn​→∞ are needed. The discretization term needs the Lipschitz regularity of the limit laws in the label (Theorem 2.1(b)), itself a fixed-point estimate on a space of measure-valued maps.

Formalization scope

The Lean development uses Mathlib's unitInterval for III, Fin d → ℝ with its sup norm for Rd\mathbb R^dRd (all constants are existential, so the choice of norm does not matter), time ℝ≥0, and the path space Cd\mathcal C_dCd​ as continuous maps on [0,T][0,T][0,T] with the sup norm. Brownian motions, Itô integrals and Itô processes are those of the published Peng1990.SMP.Stochastic; Wasserstein distances are the published WassersteinDRO.Duality.wassersteinDistance, valued in [0,∞][0,\infty][0,∞]. Particle iii is Lean's i : Fin n with label (i+1)/n(i+1)/n(i+1)/n.

Committed conventions:

  • A solution of (4.2) has continuous paths, AE-measurable path maps, and path laws in the class M\mathcal MM (measurable in uuu, bounded second moments); each XuX_uXu​ is a strong solution for the filtration of (Xu(0),Bu)(X_u(0),B_u)(Xu​(0),Bu​). A solution of (4.1) is a strong solution for the filtration of the edges, the initial states and the Brownian motions of the nnn labels.
  • The edges are {0,1}\{0,1\}{0,1}-valued, symmetric, with the diagonal included, mutually independent over i≤ji\le ji≤j, and independent of the σ-algebra of the noise.
  • Condition 4.1(d) is required for n≥1n\ge1n≥1; the invertibility of σ\sigmaσ is that of a d×dd\times dd×d matrix; the intervals of Condition 2.3 are order-connected subsets of III.
  • Expectations of nonnegative quantities are lower Lebesgue integrals, so no expectation is silently 000 for a non-integrable integrand.

The solution predicates are not vacuous: the zero-coefficient system Xu(t)=Xu(0)X_u(t)=X_u(0)Xu​(t)=Xu​(0) satisfies both, Condition 4.1 and Condition 4.3 are satisfiable, and every statement quantifies over solutions rather than assuming the conclusion. The constant κ(q)\kappa(q)κ(q) is chosen after qqq and before nnn, so it cannot depend on nnn, and the bound is the paper's average over iii, not a weaker or a stronger form. At n=0n=0n=0 both sides of every rate are 000.

The paper's proofs are in its §5 (Theorem 2.1), §7.1 (Lemma 7.1, (7.10), (7.15)) and §7.3 (Theorem 4.2). Stochastic analysis at that level — Burkholder–Davis–Gundy and Rosenthal inequalities, Girsanov's theorem for these SDEs, Gronwall arguments for measure-valued fixed points — is mostly absent from Mathlib, and contributions of such infrastructure are welcome, as are proofs of any milestone.

Selected references

  • E. Bayraktar, S. Chakraborty, R. Wu, Graphon mean field systems, Ann. Appl. Probab. 33(5):3587–3619, 2023. https://doi.org/10.1214/22-AAP1901
  • L. Lovász, Large Networks and Graph Limits, AMS Colloquium Publications 60, 2012. https://doi.org/10.1090/coll/060
  • B. Bollobás, C. Borgs, J. Chayes, O. Riordan, Percolation on dense graph sequences, Ann. Probab. 38(1):150–183, 2010. https://doi.org/10.1214/09-AOP478
  • S. Peng, A general stochastic maximum principle for optimal control problems, SIAM J. Control Optim. 28(4):966–979, 1990. https://doi.org/10.1137/0328054
11 thms1 active userReviewed
Control TheoryOperations ResearchProbability·Captain: mikedeng1

Dynamic Pricing with a Prior on Market Response: Decay-Balancing Prices Earn at Least One Third of the Optimal Expected Discounted RevenueResearch Paper

Pricing while learning demand

A vendor holding a finite stock of a product must set prices over time without knowing how many customers will come. Each price does two things: it earns revenue now, and through the sales it generates it reveals information about demand that improves future prices. This tension between earning and learning is central in revenue management with demand uncertainty, in retail markdown pricing, and in online selling. Optimal Bayesian policies for such problems are characterized by a Hamilton–Jacobi–Bellman equation that has no closed-form solution, so practice relies on heuristics, and the question is which heuristics come with guarantees.

Farias and Van Roy introduced decay balancing and proved that, for exponentially distributed reservation prices and a Gamma prior on the arrival rate, it earns at least one third of the optimal expected discounted revenue, uniformly over all problem parameters (V. F. Farias, B. Van Roy, Dynamic Pricing with a Prior on Market Response, Operations Research 58(1):16–29, 2010, doi:10.1287/opre.1090.0729). They describe it as the first heuristic for problems of this type with a uniform performance guarantee. This mission formalizes that guarantee and the chain of results leading to it. The source is the authors' manuscript of January 20, 2009 (MIT DSpace); its printed page numbers coincide with the PDF page numbers, and all theorem and page numbers below refer to it.

The model

Customers arrive according to a Poisson process with rate λ\lambdaλ. Each has an independent reservation price with density fff and tail Fˉ(p)=1−F(p)\bar F(p) = 1-F(p)Fˉ(p)=1−F(p); a customer facing price ppp buys one unit if it is available and ppp is at most his reservation price, and otherwise leaves. The hazard rate is ρ(p)=f(p)/Fˉ(p)\rho(p) = f(p)/\bar F(p)ρ(p)=f(p)/Fˉ(p). Assumption 1 (p. 5) asks that fff be differentiable with support R+\mathbb R_+R+​ and that ρ\rhoρ be non-decreasing. The exponential law with mean rrr has Fˉ(p)=e−p/r\bar F(p) = e^{-p/r}Fˉ(p)=e−p/r.

The vendor starts with xxx units and a Gamma prior on λ\lambdaλ with shape aaa and rate bbb (density baλa−1e−λb/Γ(a)b^a\lambda^{a-1}e^{-\lambda b}/\Gamma(a)baλa−1e−λb/Γ(a), mean μ(z)=a/b\mu(z) = a/bμ(z)=a/b). After ntn_tnt​ sales the posterior is Gamma with at=a+nta_t = a+n_tat​=a+nt​ and bt=b+∫0tFˉ(ps) dsb_t = b+\int_0^t\bar F(p_s)\,dsbt​=b+∫0t​Fˉ(ps​)ds, so the state is z=(x,a,b)z = (x,a,b)z=(x,a,b). A policy π(x,a,b)≥0\pi(x,a,b)\ge0π(x,a,b)≥0 sets the price; the expected discounted revenue at rate α>0\alpha>0α>0 is

Jπ(z)=Ez,π[∑k: tk≤τ0e−αtkptk−],J∗(z)=sup⁡πJπ(z),J^\pi(z) = E_{z,\pi}\Big[\sum_{k:\,t_k\le\tau_0}e^{-\alpha t_k}p_{t_k-}\Big],\qquad J^*(z) = \sup_\pi J^\pi(z),Jπ(z)=Ez,π​[k:tk​≤τ0​∑​e−αtk​ptk​−​],J∗(z)=πsup​Jπ(z),

the supremum over all measurable non-negative policies. With λ\lambdaλ known, the same problem has value Jλ∗(x)J^*_\lambda(x)Jλ∗​(x). Assumption 2 (p. 9) asks that Jλ∗(x)J^*_\lambda(x)Jλ∗​(x) be differentiable in λ\lambdaλ.

Decay balancing uses the approximation J~(z)=E[Jλ∗(x)]\tilde J(z) = E[J^*_\lambda(x)]J~(z)=E[Jλ∗​(x)], λ∼Gamma(a,b)\lambda\sim\mathrm{Gamma}(a,b)λ∼Gamma(a,b), and posts the price πdb(z)\pi_{\rm db}(z)πdb​(z) solving the balance equation (5), p. 13,

Fˉ(πdb(z))ρ(πdb(z)) μ(z)=αJ~(z).\frac{\bar F(\pi_{\rm db}(z))}{\rho(\pi_{\rm db}(z))}\,\mu(z) = \alpha\tilde J(z).ρ(πdb​(z))Fˉ(πdb​(z))​μ(z)=αJ~(z).

The optimal price π∗(z)\pi^*(z)π∗(z) solves the same equation with J∗(z)J^*(z)J∗(z) in place of J~(z)\tilde J(z)J~(z). The constant

κ(a)=aΓ(a)Γ(a+1)−Γ(a+1,a)+aΓ(a,a),Γ(s,y)=∫y∞ts−1e−t dt,\kappa(a) = \frac{a\Gamma(a)}{\Gamma(a+1)-\Gamma(a+1,a)+a\Gamma(a,a)},\qquad \Gamma(s,y) = \int_y^\infty t^{s-1}e^{-t}\,dt,κ(a)=Γ(a+1)−Γ(a+1,a)+aΓ(a,a)aΓ(a)​,Γ(s,y)=∫y∞​ts−1e−tdt,

measures the cost of uncertainty for a prior of shape aaa.

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem 3 (p. 24)

For exponential reservation prices with mean r>0r>0r>0, every α>0\alpha>0α>0, x>1x>1x>1, a>0a>0a>0, b>0b>0b>0:

J∗(z)<∞andJπdb(z)J∗(z) ≥ 13.J^*(z)<\infty\qquad\text{and}\qquad \frac{J^{\pi_{\rm db}}(z)}{J^*(z)}\ \ge\ \frac13 .J∗(z)<∞andJ∗(z)Jπdb​(z)​ ≥ 31​.

Milestones

In attack order:

  1. Known-rate value. Lemma 2: Jλ∗(x)J^*_\lambda(x)Jλ∗​(x) is increasing and concave in λ\lambdaλ.
  2. Bounds and well-posedness. Lemma 3 gives J∗≤J~≤Jμ(z)∗(x)≤Fˉ(p∗)p∗μ(z)/αJ^*\le\tilde J\le J^*_{\mu(z)}(x)\le\bar F(p^*)p^*\mu(z)/\alphaJ∗≤J~≤Jμ(z)∗​(x)≤Fˉ(p∗)p∗μ(z)/α. Lemma 4 says the balance equation has a unique solution. Lemma E.6(2), with Theorems E.1–E.2, says the balance-price policy π∗\pi^*π∗ is optimal.
  3. Normalizations. Lemma 5 rescales the discount rate and Lemma 10 rescales the mean reservation price.
  4. No-learning comparison. Lemmas 7 and 8, and Theorem 1: Jnl(z)≥Ja/b∗(x)/κ(a)J^{nl}(z)\ge J^*_{a/b}(x)/\kappa(a)Jnl(z)≥Ja/b∗​(x)/κ(a).
  5. Quality of the approximation. 1≥J∗(z)/J~(z)≥1/κ(a)1\ge J^*(z)/\tilde J(z)\ge1/\kappa(a)1≥J∗(z)/J~(z)≥1/κ(a), and κ\kappaκ is decreasing.
  6. Prices and revenues. Corollary 1: 1/(1+log⁡κ(a))≤πdb/π∗≤11/(1+\log\kappa(a))\le\pi_{\rm db}/\pi^*\le11/(1+logκ(a))≤πdb​/π∗≤1. Lemma 9: Jub≥J∗J^{ub}\ge J^*Jub≥J∗. Theorem 2: 1/(1+log⁡κ(a))≤Jπdb/J∗≤11/(1+\log\kappa(a))\le J^{\pi_{\rm db}}/J^*\le11/(1+logκ(a))≤Jπdb​/J∗≤1.
  7. Inventory. Lemma 12: J∗(x,a,b)≤2.05 J∗(x−1,a,b)J^*(x,a,b)\le2.05\,J^*(x-1,a,b)J∗(x,a,b)≤2.05J∗(x−1,a,b) for x>1x>1x>1, a>1a>1a>1.

Significance

Theorem 2 gives a guarantee that depends only on the coefficient of variation 1/a1/\sqrt a1/a​ of the prior. Theorem 3 removes even that dependence for exponential reservation prices: whatever the inventory, prior, discount rate and price scale, decay balancing loses at most a factor of three. The analysis also yields reusable facts about Bayesian pricing: knowing the rate helps (J∗≤J~J^*\le\tilde JJ∗≤J~), the decay-balance characterization of optimal prices, and comparison with a vendor who does not learn.

All results are proved in the source, using Dynkin's formula, an HJB verification argument (Appendix E) and a coupling of sales processes. None of them is machine-checked. The mission asks for a formal development of the known proofs.

Difficulty

The obvious route to Theorem 3 would chain Theorem 2 at the initial state. That fails because κ(a)\kappa(a)κ(a) blows up as a→0a\to0a→0, so for a diffuse prior Theorem 2 gives no constant bound. The paper instead compares the two systems only up to the first sale, after which the shape parameter is at least a+1>1a+1>1a+1>1. This needs two things: a coupling in which the optimal system never sells first, and Lemma 12, which bounds the value of one extra unit without a decreasing-returns property in xxx (none is known). Lemma 12 itself rests on a numerical inequality involving the Lambert WWW function.

At the foundational level, neither Mathlib nor the platform has a counting process whose intensity is a random rate times a state-feedback price. Defining JπJ^\piJπ and J∗J^*J∗ faithfully is part of the mission.

Formalization scope

  • Sales process. The process is built exactly in the b-clock. Given λ\lambdaλ, sales are a rate-λ\lambdaλ Poisson process in the variable bbb, so λ∼Gamma(a,b)\lambda\sim\mathrm{Gamma}(a,b)λ∼Gamma(a,b) and i.i.d. Exp(1)\mathrm{Exp}(1)Exp(1) clocks EjE_jEj​ give the bbb-values of the sales, Bj+1=Bj+Ej+1/λB_{j+1} = B_j + E_{j+1}/\lambdaBj+1​=Bj​+Ej+1​/λ. The real-time length of each stage is ∫dβ/Fˉ(π(⋅,β))\int d\beta/\bar F(\pi(\cdot,\beta))∫dβ/Fˉ(π(⋅,β)).
  • Values. Revenue is the sum over sales of the discounted pre-sale price (p. 6; the compensated-integral form of p. 7 is equal to it). Values and suprema live in [0,∞][0,\infty][0,∞]. J∗J^*J∗ and Jλ∗J^*_\lambdaJλ∗​ are suprema over policies; they are never defined by the HJB equation or by the Lambert-WWW formula (2). Such a definition would trivialize the mission and is ruled out.
  • Policies. Policies are non-negative, measurable in (a,b)(a,b)(a,b), and Markov in zzz. π∗\pi^*π∗ and πdb\pi_{\rm db}πdb​ are the balance prices of p. 13, not "some optimal policy".
  • Prior and normalizations. The prior is a single Gamma, the case of §6; bbb is a rate. The general statements carry Assumptions 1 and 2. Statements are made for general α>0\alpha>0α>0 and r>0r>0r>0, as p. 18 claims, not under the normalizations α=e−1\alpha = e^{-1}α=e−1, r=1r = 1r=1.
  • Ratios. Ratio bounds are stated multiplicatively, together with finiteness of J∗J^*J∗. This rules out the vacuous reading J∗=∞J^* = \inftyJ∗=∞.
  • Added hypotheses and corrections.
    • Lemma 4 is false as printed at x=0x = 0x=0 (J~=0\tilde J = 0J~=0 while Fˉ/ρ>0\bar F/\rho>0Fˉ/ρ>0), so x≥1x\ge1x≥1 is added. Its location claim p≥p∗p\ge p^*p≥p∗ (proof, p. 35) is included.
    • Corollary 1 needs x≥1x\ge1x≥1, because the prices are undefined at x=0x=0x=0.
    • The logit halves of Corollary 1 and Theorem 2 are not stated: the logit family is never defined, contradicts Assumption 1, and comes with the rounded constant 1.27.
    • Lemma 9 uses general α\alphaα where p. 21 has α=e−1\alpha = e^{-1}α=e−1.
    • Lemma 2's "increasing" is strict for x≥1x\ge1x≥1.
    • Appendix E is represented by Lemma E.6(2), p. 47: the balance-price (greedy) policy attains J∗J^*J∗. The if-and-only-if of Theorem E.2 over all policies is not stated, since the generator HπH^\piHπ is not formalized.
  • Not included. The integrated form of Lemma 11 (the first-sale coupling bound) is not a milestone; it is the natural next target. Lemma 6, Appendix D and the Lambert-WWW identities are out of scope.

Reusable pieces are the Gamma–Poisson sales process in the b-clock, the incomplete Gamma function, and the known-rate pricing problem. Proofs of any milestone, of the p. 6 revenue identity, and of Assumptions 1–2 for the exponential law are welcome.

Related platform work in other models: Gallego–van Ryzin known-demand pricing (GVRPricing), Talluri–van Ryzin (RevenueManagement), Bitran–Caldentey (PricingRM.DetHeuristic), and the Bayesian bounds of Satia–Lave (SatiaLave.Bayes).

Selected references

  • V. F. Farias, B. Van Roy, Dynamic Pricing with a Prior on Market Response, Operations Research 58(1):16–29, 2010. https://doi.org/10.1287/opre.1090.0729 (manuscript of January 20, 2009, MIT DSpace: https://dspace.mit.edu)
  • G. Gallego, G. van Ryzin, Optimal Dynamic Pricing of Inventories with Stochastic Demand over Finite Horizons, Management Science 40(8):999–1020, 1994. https://doi.org/10.1287/mnsc.40.8.999
  • V. F. Araman, R. Caldentey, Dynamic Pricing for Nonperishable Products with Demand Learning, Operations Research 57(5):1169–1188, 2009. https://doi.org/10.1287/opre.1090.0669
  • P. Brémaud, Point Processes and Queues: Martingale Dynamics, Springer, 1981. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-1-4684-9477-8
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Graph TheoryMarkov ChainOperations Research+1·Captain: mikedeng1

Routing Betweenness Centrality: Under Source-Oblivious Loop-Free Routing, the Betweenness of a Node Sequence Is a Sum over Targets of Chained Pairwise DependenciesResearch Paper

Motivation

Betweenness centrality measures how much of the communication in a network passes through a node. Freeman's original measure (Freeman 1977) counts the fraction of shortest paths between each pair of nodes that pass through it, and Brandes' algorithm (Brandes 2001) made it computable on large graphs. Variants replace shortest paths by maximum flows (Freeman, Borgatti and White 1991), random walks (Newman 2005) or load-splitting rules (Goh, Kahng and Kim 2001), and group variants measure the traffic that passes through a set of nodes (Everett and Borgatti 1999).

Dolev, Elovici and Puzis (technical report 2009, J. ACM 2010) define routing betweenness centrality (RBC): given the actual routing scheme of a communication network and its traffic matrix, the RBC of a node is the expected number of packets that pass through it. Each of the measures above is a special choice of routing scheme. The application is the placement of traffic monitors: the RBC of an ordered sequence of monitors is the expected number of packets sampled by all of them in order, which measures, for example, redundant inspection along a path.

Setting

Let VVV be a finite set of nodes. A routing scheme assigns to every source sss, current node uuu, next node vvv and target ttt a number R(s,u,v,t)R(s,u,v,t)R(s,u,v,t), the probability that uuu forwards to vvv a packet with source address sss and target address ttt. Routing decisions are independent. The scheme is assumed to be

  • nonnegative;
  • total: every node u≠tu\ne tu=t forwards a packet targeted at ttt with total probability one, ∑vR(s,u,v,t)=1\sum_v R(s,u,v,t)=1∑v​R(s,u,v,t)=1, and the target forwards nothing;
  • loop-free: for every pair (s,t)(s,t)(s,t) the directed graph with an arc a→ba\to ba→b whenever R(s,a,b,t)>0R(s,a,b,t)>0R(s,a,b,t)>0 is acyclic;
  • source-oblivious where stated: R(s,u,v,t)R(s,u,v,t)R(s,u,v,t) does not depend on sss.

A route from sss to ttt is a sequence of nodes from sss to ttt whose every hop has positive forwarding probability; its probability is the product of the hop probabilities. For nodes s,t,vs,t,vs,t,v and a sequence S=(s1,…,sk)S=(s_1,\dots,s_k)S=(s1​,…,sk​):

  • the pairwise dependency δs,t(v)\delta_{s,t}(v)δs,t​(v) is the total probability of the routes from sss to ttt that visit vvv;
  • the sequence dependency δ~s,t(S)\tilde\delta_{s,t}(S)δ~s,t​(S) is the total probability of the routes from sss to ttt that visit s1s_1s1​, then s2s_2s2​, …, then sks_ksk​ (consecutive repetitions in SSS collapsed).

A traffic matrix T(s,t)T(s,t)T(s,t) gives the number of packets sent from sss to ttt, and sampling rates ρv∈[0,1]\rho_v\in[0,1]ρv​∈[0,1] give the fraction of passing packets a monitor at vvv samples. The target dependency is δ∙,t(v)=∑sδs,t(v)T(s,t)\delta_{\bullet,t}(v)=\sum_{s}\delta_{s,t}(v)T(s,t)δ∙,t​(v)=∑s​δs,t​(v)T(s,t), and the RBC of the sequence SρS_\rhoSρ​ of distinct nodes is

δ~∙,∙(Sρ)=∏r∈Sρr⋅∑s,t∈Vδ~s,t(S) T(s,t).\tilde\delta_{\bullet,\bullet}(S_\rho)=\prod_{r\in S}\rho_r\cdot\sum_{s,t\in V}\tilde\delta_{s,t}(S)\,T(s,t).δ~∙,∙​(Sρ​)=r∈S∏​ρr​⋅s,t∈V∑​δ~s,t​(S)T(s,t).

Formalization targets

Goal: sequence RBC as a sum over targets of chained dependencies

For a source-oblivious scheme and a sequence S=(s1,…,sk)S=(s_1,\dots,s_k)S=(s1​,…,sk​) of distinct nodes, k≥1k\ge1k≥1,

∏r∈Sρr⋅∑s,t∈Vδ~s,t(S) T(s,t)=∑t∈Vδ∙,t(s1) ρs1∏i=1k−1δsi,t(si+1) ρsi+1.\prod_{r\in S}\rho_r\cdot\sum_{s,t\in V}\tilde\delta_{s,t}(S)\,T(s,t)=\sum_{t\in V}\delta_{\bullet,t}(s_1)\,\rho_{s_1}\prod_{i=1}^{k-1}\delta_{s_i,t}(s_{i+1})\,\rho_{s_{i+1}}.r∈S∏​ρr​⋅s,t∈V∑​δ~s,t​(S)T(s,t)=t∈V∑​δ∙,t​(s1​)ρs1​​i=1∏k−1​δsi​,t​(si+1​)ρsi+1​​.

The right side is the value returned by the paper's Algorithm 6. The identity contains no running time and no constant: it states the exact equality the algorithm relies on.

Milestones

  1. Proposition 1: for a loop-free scheme (not necessarily source-oblivious), two different orderings of the same set of nodes cannot both have positive sequence dependency.
  2. Lemma 1 (Dependency chaining): for s≠ts\ne ts=t, δ~s,t((s1,…,sk))=δs,t(s1)⋅δ~s1,t((s2,…,sk))\tilde\delta_{s,t}((s_1,\dots,s_k))=\delta_{s,t}(s_1)\cdot\tilde\delta_{s_1,t}((s_2,\dots,s_k))δ~s,t​((s1​,…,sk​))=δs,t​(s1​)⋅δ~s1​,t​((s2​,…,sk​)).
  3. Eq. (16): for s≠ts\ne ts=t, δ~s,t((s1,…,sk))=δs,t(s1)∏i=2kδsi−1,t(si)\tilde\delta_{s,t}((s_1,\dots,s_k))=\delta_{s,t}(s_1)\prod_{i=2}^k\delta_{s_{i-1},t}(s_i)δ~s,t​((s1​,…,sk​))=δs,t​(s1​)∏i=2k​δsi−1​,t​(si​).
  4. Eq. (17): δ~∙,t((s1,…,sk))=δ∙,t(s1)∏i=2kδsi−1,t(si)\tilde\delta_{\bullet,t}((s_1,\dots,s_k))=\delta_{\bullet,t}(s_1)\prod_{i=2}^k\delta_{s_{i-1},t}(s_i)δ~∙,t​((s1​,…,sk​))=δ∙,t​(s1​)∏i=2k​δsi−1​,t​(si​).
  5. Eq. (1) (off the goal's path): δs,t(s)=1\delta_{s,t}(s)=1δs,t​(s)=1 and δs,t(v)=∑uδs,t(u)R(s,u,v,t)\delta_{s,t}(v)=\sum_{u}\delta_{s,t}(u)R(s,u,v,t)δs,t​(v)=∑u​δs,t​(u)R(s,u,v,t) for v≠sv\ne sv=s, the sum over predecessors uuu of vvv.
  6. Eq. (9) (off the goal's path): δ∙,t(v)=T(v,t)+∑uδ∙,t(u)R(⊘,u,v,t)\delta_{\bullet,t}(v)=T(v,t)+\sum_u\delta_{\bullet,t}(u)R(\oslash,u,v,t)δ∙,t​(v)=T(v,t)+∑u​δ∙,t​(u)R(⊘,u,v,t) for source-oblivious schemes.

Significance

The goal reduces the RBC of a sequence of kkk monitors to O(nk)O(nk)O(nk) arithmetic on precomputed single-node quantities, instead of a pass over the routing graph of every source–target pair. This is what makes repeated evaluation of candidate monitor sequences, as in greedy or search-based placement, affordable on large networks. Eqs. (1) and (9) are the recursions behind the paper's algorithms for the RBC of single nodes; Eq. (9) replaces the loop over all source–target pairs by a loop over targets.

The paper's proof of Lemma 1 is an argument about conditional probabilities of informally described events. A formalization fixes what "the probability that a packet passes through SSS" means, as a sum over a finite set of routes, and checks the factorization against that definition, including the corner cases the prose passes over: sequences with repeated nodes, a first node equal to the source or to the target, and the source s=ts=ts=t in the sum over all sources. No machine-checked version of these identities is known.

Difficulty

Dependency chaining is a Markov property: after the packet reaches s1s_1s1​, its future does not depend on its past. The obvious argument splits every route through s1s_1s1​ into a prefix ending at s1s_1s1​ and a suffix starting there. Two points need care. First, the suffix must be a route of a packet with source s1s_1s1​, which is where source-obliviousness enters; for source-dependent routing the lemma is false. Second, the prefix probabilities must sum to δs,t(s1)\delta_{s,t}(s_1)δs,t​(s1​) while the suffix probabilities sum to one, which requires that no packet is lost: this is where totality of the forwarding probabilities and loop-freeness (every walk reaches the target in at most ∣V∣|V|∣V∣ steps) are needed. The passage from Lemma 1 to the goal then requires the sum over all sources, including s=ts=ts=t, where Lemma 1 does not apply.

Formalization scope

Nodes form a type V with [Fintype V] [DecidableEq V]; probabilities, traffic and sampling rates are real numbers; sequences are Lean lists, indexed from 000. Routes are repetition-free lists, and every dependency is a finite sum over them; no infinite sums, suprema or measure theory are used. The definitions file bundles the standing assumptions in IsRoutingScheme and source-obliviousness in IsSourceOblivious.

The paper's probabilities are informal. The following readings are explicit:

  • every non-target node forwards with total probability one (implicit in the paper; without it Lemma 1 fails);
  • the target forwards nothing;
  • the paper's convention R(⊘,v,v,⊘)=1R(\oslash,v,v,\oslash)=1R(⊘,v,v,⊘)=1 is not adopted (it contradicts loop-freeness); collapsing consecutive repetitions in SSS reproduces its only use;
  • the "don't care" source ⊘\oslash⊘ of Eq. (9) is an arbitrary fixed node, harmless under source-obliviousness;
  • the printed index slips in Eqs. (16) and (17) are corrected;
  • no sign condition is imposed on TTT; 0≤ρv≤10\le\rho_v\le10≤ρv​≤1 is kept in the goal as on the page.

Defining δ~\tilde\deltaδ~ by the recursion (3) or the product (16), the target sequence dependency by (17), or the sequence RBC as the sum over targets of the chained product would make the goal true by definition; every dependency here is a sum of route probabilities, and the RBC of a sequence is the double sum of Eq. (4).

The running-time claims of the paper are out of scope. Lemma 2 of the paper (p. 17) is false as printed for a nonempty monitor set and is not posed. Contributions welcome: proofs of the milestones, a general lemma that the total route probability from any node is one under a total loop-free scheme (reusable for absorbing Markov chains on finite DAGs), and the prefix–suffix decomposition of routes.

Selected references

  • S. Dolev, Y. Elovici, R. Puzis, Routing Betweenness Centrality, Technical Report #2009-09, Ben-Gurion University of the Negev, 2009; J. ACM 57(4), 2010. https://doi.org/10.1145/1734213.1734219
  • L. C. Freeman, A set of measures of centrality based on betweenness, Sociometry 40(1), 1977. https://doi.org/10.2307/3033543
  • U. Brandes, A faster algorithm for betweenness centrality, J. Math. Sociology 25(2), 2001. https://doi.org/10.1080/0022250X.2001.9990249
  • L. C. Freeman, S. P. Borgatti, D. R. White, Centrality in valued graphs: a measure of betweenness based on network flow, Social Networks 13, 1991. https://doi.org/10.1016/0378-8733(91)90017-N
  • M. E. J. Newman, A measure of betweenness centrality based on random walks, Social Networks 27, 2005. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.socnet.2004.11.009
  • K.-I. Goh, B. Kahng, D. Kim, Universal behavior of load distribution in scale-free networks, Phys. Rev. Lett. 87, 2001. https://doi.org/10.1103/PhysRevLett.87.278701
  • M. G. Everett, S. P. Borgatti, The centrality of groups and classes, J. Math. Sociology 23(3), 1999. https://doi.org/10.1080/0022250X.1999.9990219
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AnalysisControl TheoryDynamical Systems+1·Captain: mikedeng1

Continuous-Time Average-Preserving Opinion Dynamics with Opinion-Dependent Communications 2: Regular Initial Opinions Converge to Clusters with |B − A| ≥ 1 + min{W_A, W_B}/max{W_A, W_B}Research Paper

Motivation

Bounded-confidence opinion dynamics model a population in which each agent repeatedly moves its opinion towards the opinions of those agents whose views lie within a fixed distance of its own. Introduced in discrete time by Krause (1997) and studied as the Hegselmann–Krause model, these systems are a standard test case for multi-agent coordination with state-dependent communication: who talks to whom depends on the current state, so the interaction graph changes over time and the linear consensus theory does not apply. Simulations show that opinions settle into clusters that are further apart than the confidence radius, and that the distances between clusters are larger than the radius would force. Explaining those distances is a long-standing question in the area (Lorenz 2007).

Blondel, Hendrickx and Tsitsiklis (SIAM J. Control Optim. 2010) study the continuous-time version, first for finitely many agents and then for a continuum of agents. The continuum model is the limit of a large population and captures the intercluster distances observed in simulations. This mission formalizes the continuum part of the paper, Section 3: well-posedness for regular initial opinions, convergence to clusters, and the intercluster distance bound of Theorem 6.

Setting

Agents are indexed by I=[0,1]I=[0,1]I=[0,1] with Lebesgue measure. An opinion function x~:I→R\tilde x : I\to\mathbb Rx~:I→R gives the opinion x~(α)\tilde x(\alpha)x~(α) of agent α\alphaα. Write YYY for the bounded measurable opinion functions and XXX for the nondecreasing bounded ones. For m,M>0m,M>0m,M>0, XmX_mXm​ is the set of x~∈X\tilde x\in Xx~∈X whose increase rate x~(β)−x~(α)β−α\frac{\tilde x(\beta)-\tilde x(\alpha)}{\beta-\alpha}β−αx~(β)−x~(α)​ is at least mmm for all β≠α\beta\ne\alphaβ=α, and XMX^MXM the set with rate at most MMM. A function is regular if it lies in XmM=Xm∩XMX_m^M=X_m\cap X^MXmM​=Xm​∩XM for some m,M>0m,M>0m,M>0; the uniform profile x~(α)=α\tilde x(\alpha)=\alphax~(α)=α is regular.

Two agents are connected when their opinions differ by less than 111. The interaction operator is

L(x~)(α)=∫01χx~(α,γ)(x~(γ)−x~(α)) dγ,χx~(α,γ)=1[∣x~(α)−x~(γ)∣<1].\mathcal L(\tilde x)(\alpha)=\int_0^1 \chi_{\tilde x}(\alpha,\gamma)\bigl(\tilde x(\gamma)-\tilde x(\alpha)\bigr)\,d\gamma,\qquad \chi_{\tilde x}(\alpha,\gamma)=\mathbf 1\bigl[|\tilde x(\alpha)-\tilde x(\gamma)|<1\bigr].L(x~)(α)=∫01​χx~​(α,γ)(x~(γ)−x~(α))dγ,χx~​(α,γ)=1[∣x~(α)−x~(γ)∣<1].

Given an initial condition x~0\tilde x_0x~0​, a solution of (3.2) is a measurable x:I×[0,∞)→Rx : I\times[0,\infty)\to\mathbb Rx:I×[0,∞)→R, (α,t)↦xt(α)(\alpha,t)\mapsto x_t(\alpha)(α,t)↦xt​(α), with each xt∈Yx_t\in Yxt​∈Y and

xt(α)=x~0(α)+∫0tL(xτ)(α) dτfor every t≥0 and every α∈I.x_t(\alpha)=\tilde x_0(\alpha)+\int_0^t \mathcal L(x_\tau)(\alpha)\,d\tau\qquad\text{for every } t\ge 0 \text{ and every }\alpha\in I .xt​(α)=x~0​(α)+∫0t​L(xτ​)(α)dτfor every t≥0 and every α∈I.

The differential form (3.1) is ddtxt(α)=L(xt)(α)\frac{d}{dt}x_t(\alpha)=\mathcal L(x_t)(\alpha)dtd​xt​(α)=L(xt​)(α).

FFF is the set of nondecreasing s~\tilde ss~ whose distinct values are pairwise more than 111 apart; Fˉ\bar FFˉ the set of nondecreasing s~\tilde ss~ whose values, for almost every pair of agents, are equal or at least 111 apart. A fixed point is an s~∈X\tilde s\in Xs~∈X for which (3.2) started at s~\tilde ss~ has the unique solution xt=s~x_t=\tilde sxt​=s~. A cluster of s~\tilde ss~ is a value AAA held by a set of agents of positive measure WAW_AWA​, its weight.

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem 6

For a regular x~0\tilde x_0x~0​, a solution xxx of (3.2), and s~=lim⁡t→∞xt\tilde s=\lim_{t\to\infty}x_ts~=limt→∞​xt​ almost everywhere: any two distinct clusters A≠BA\ne BA=B of s~\tilde ss~ satisfy

∣B−A∣ ≥ 1+min⁡{WA,WB}max⁡{WA,WB},|B-A|\ \ge\ 1+\frac{\min\{W_A,W_B\}}{\max\{W_A,W_B\}},∣B−A∣ ≥ 1+max{WA​,WB​}min{WA​,WB​}​,

and s~\tilde ss~ agrees almost everywhere with a member of FFF that is a fixed point.

Milestones

  1. Lemma 1: ∥L(x~)−L(y~)∥∞≤(2+8/m)∥x~−y~∥∞\|\mathcal L(\tilde x)-\mathcal L(\tilde y)\|_\infty\le(2+8/m)\|\tilde x-\tilde y\|_\infty∥L(x~)−L(y~​)∥∞​≤(2+8/m)∥x~−y~​∥∞​ for x~∈Xm\tilde x\in X_mx~∈Xm​, y~∈Y\tilde y\in Yy~​∈Y.
  2. Lemma 2: −(x~(β)−x~(α))≤L(x~)(β)−L(x~)(α)-(\tilde x(\beta)-\tilde x(\alpha))\le\mathcal L(\tilde x)(\beta)-\mathcal L(\tilde x)(\alpha)−(x~(β)−x~(α))≤L(x~)(β)−L(x~)(α), and ≤2m(x~(β)−x~(α))\le\frac 2m(\tilde x(\beta)-\tilde x(\alpha))≤m2​(x~(β)−x~(α)) on XmX_mXm​.
  3. Theorem 4: for x~0∈XmM\tilde x_0\in X_m^Mx~0​∈XmM​, (3.1) and (3.2) have a unique common solution, with xt(β)−xt(α)β−α≥me−t\frac{x_t(\beta)-x_t(\alpha)}{\beta-\alpha}\ge me^{-t}β−αxt​(β)−xt​(α)​≥me−t and xtx_txt​ regular for every ttt.
  4. Lemma 3: for a nondecreasing solution, ∫0cxt\int_0^c x_t∫0c​xt​ converges for every ccc.
  5. Proposition 2: xt(α)x_t(\alpha)xt​(α) converges outside a countable set of agents.
  6. Proposition 3(a)–(c): a.e. limits lie in Fˉ\bar FFˉ; FFF consists of fixed points; nondecreasing fixed points lie in Fˉ\bar FFˉ.
  7. Theorem 5: xt→y~∈Fˉx_t\to\tilde y\in\bar Fxt​→y~​∈Fˉ almost everywhere, and F⊆{fixed points}⊆FˉF\subseteq\{\text{fixed points}\}\subseteq\bar FF⊆{fixed points}⊆Fˉ.

Significance

Theorem 6 turns the qualitative picture "opinions freeze into clusters at least one unit apart", which already follows from Theorem 5, into a quantitative statement depending on the cluster weights: two clusters of equal weight are at least 222 apart, and a light cluster can sit closer to a heavy one. This matches the intercluster distances observed in simulations of large populations and yields Corollary 1 of the paper, a necessary condition for the stability of an equilibrium in the L1L^1L1 sense. Theorem 4 is of independent interest: the right-hand side of (3.1) is discontinuous in the state, a two-valued initial profile admits two different solutions, and well-posedness holds only under the slope bounds.

The results are proved in the paper. Nothing in this mission has a machine-checked proof yet. Formalizing it means building a small theory of integral equations with a state-dependent, discontinuous kernel on L∞L^\inftyL∞-type spaces of opinion profiles: a contraction argument on short intervals, its continuation, monotone convergence of partial integrals, and an a.e. limit argument with Fatou's lemma and Fubini.

Difficulty

The obvious route to Theorem 4, Picard–Lindelöf, fails: L\mathcal LL is not Lipschitz on YYY, because a small perturbation of opinions can switch the connection indicator on a set of positive measure. Lemma 1 restores the Lipschitz property only at functions with a positive increase rate, so existence and uniqueness require a contraction on a carefully chosen set of profiles together with a proof that the dynamics keep the increase rate positive (Lemma 2), and a continuation argument whose step size shrinks as the lower slope decays. For Theorem 6, convergence alone gives only ∣B−A∣≥1|B-A|\ge 1∣B−A∣≥1; the extra min⁡/max⁡\min/\maxmin/max term comes from agents trapped between two clusters, whose existence relies on the continuity in α\alphaα of every xtx_txt​, which the a.e. limit s~\tilde ss~ does not have.

Formalization scope

Opinion functions are ℝ → ℝ, and only their values on Set.Icc 0 1 matter; a trajectory is x : ℝ → ℝ → ℝ with x t α =xt(α)=x_t(\alpha)=xt​(α), time real with t≥0t\ge0t≥0. Lebesgue measure on III is volume.restrict (Set.Icc 0 1), and Fˉ\bar FFˉ uses its product measure. The slope conditions are written multiplied out for α<β\alpha<\betaα<β. Explicit readings of the paper's phrases:

  • "solution of (3.2)": joint measurability on I×[0,∞)I\times[0,\infty)I×[0,∞), xt∈Yx_t\in Yxt​∈Y, integrability of τ↦L(xτ)(α)\tau\mapsto\mathcal L(x_\tau)(\alpha)τ↦L(xτ​)(α) on [0,t][0,t][0,t] (implicit in the paper), and the equation for every t≥0t\ge0t≥0 and every α∈I\alpha\in Iα∈I (footnote 6), not almost every α\alphaα.
  • "the solution": any solution; Theorem 4 makes it unique.
  • "converges": Tendsto … atTop (𝓝 l) to a real limit; "except possibly for a countable set": a countable exceptional set; "a.e.": almost everywhere for Lebesgue measure on III.
  • "y~∈Fˉ\tilde y\in\bar Fy~​∈Fˉ" and "s~∈F\tilde s\in Fs~∈F" for an a.e.-defined limit: some representative equal almost everywhere belongs to the set.
  • "any two clusters": two distinct values of positive weight; weights are measures of level sets.
  • "fixed point": existence and uniqueness of the constant solution.
  • Theorem 4's printed upper bound Me4t/mMe^{4t/m}Me4t/m is replaced by "xtx_txt​ is regular for every ttt", because the paper's proof establishes the printed constant only on the first time interval; the lower bound me−tme^{-t}me−t is kept.

A trivializing formalization is ruled out: clusters are distinct with positive weight, regularity requires a positive lower slope, the solution predicate forbids the junk value of a non-integrable time integral, and x~(α)=α\tilde x(\alpha)=\alphax~(α)=α is checked to be regular, so no hypothesis is vacuous.

The development needs an integral-equation solution theory for a discontinuous kernel, the Banach fixed point theorem (Mathlib ContractingWith), Grönwall-type estimates, countability of discontinuities of monotone functions, Fatou's lemma and Fubini. Lemmas 1 and 2 and the lower bound in Theorem 4 are reused by the companion mission on the discrete-to-continuum approximation (Theorem 7). Contributions are welcome on every milestone, and in particular on the slope estimates, which are self-contained.

Selected references

  • V. D. Blondel, J. M. Hendrickx, J. N. Tsitsiklis, Continuous-time average-preserving opinion dynamics with opinion-dependent communications, SIAM J. Control Optim. 48(8), 2010, 5214–5240. https://doi.org/10.1137/090766188
  • V. D. Blondel, J. M. Hendrickx, J. N. Tsitsiklis, On Krause's multi-agent consensus model with state-dependent connectivity, IEEE Trans. Automat. Control 54(11), 2009, 2586–2597. https://doi.org/10.1109/TAC.2009.2031211
  • J. Lorenz, Continuous opinion dynamics under bounded confidence: A survey, Internat. J. Modern Phys. C 18(12), 2007, 1819–1838. https://doi.org/10.1142/S0129183107011789
  • U. Krause, Soziale Dynamiken mit vielen Interakteuren. Eine Problemskizze, in Modellierung und Simulation von Dynamiken mit vielen interagierenden Akteuren, Bremen, 1997, 37–51.
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Convex OptimizationMachine LearningOperations Research+2·Captain: mikedeng1

Incremental Proximal Methods for Large Scale Convex Optimization II: With a Randomized Order and a Diminishing Stepsize, Incremental Subgradient-Proximal Methods Converge Almost Surely to an OptimumResearch Paper

Motivation

Many problems in statistical learning, signal processing and distributed optimization minimize a sum of a large number mmm of convex components over a convex set: a data-fit term per sample plus a regularizer or constraint per sample. When mmm is large, a method that processes one component per iteration is often far cheaper per step than one that evaluates the whole sum. Incremental methods do exactly this. The incremental subgradient method of Nedić and Bertsekas (SIAM J. Optim., 2001) takes a subgradient step on one component at a time; the incremental proximal method replaces some of these steps by proximal steps, which are more stable and are cheap when a component has a closed-form proximal map (an ℓ1\ell_1ℓ1​ term, an indicator of a simple set).

Bertsekas, Incremental Proximal Methods for Large Scale Convex Optimization (Report LIDS-P-2847, MIT, 2010, revised 2011; Math. Program. 129 (2011), doi:10.1007/s10107-011-0472-0), combines the two: each component is split as Fi=fi+hiF_i=f_i+h_iFi​=fi​+hi​, with a proximal step on fif_ifi​ and a subgradient step on hih_ihi​, followed by a projection. The paper analyzes two ways of choosing the component at each iteration, a fixed cyclic order and a randomized order. This mission covers the randomized order (§4 of the paper); its companion mission covers the cyclic order.

Setting

Let X⊆RnX\subseteq\mathbb R^nX⊆Rn be a nonempty closed convex set and let fi,hi:Rn→Rf_i,h_i:\mathbb R^n\to\mathbb Rfi​,hi​:Rn→R, i=1,…,mi=1,\dots,mi=1,…,m, be convex. The problem is

minimize F(x)=∑i=1m(fi(x)+hi(x))subject to x∈X,\text{minimize } F(x)=\sum_{i=1}^m\bigl(f_i(x)+h_i(x)\bigr)\quad\text{subject to } x\in X,minimize F(x)=i=1∑m​(fi​(x)+hi​(x))subject to x∈X,

with optimal value F∗=inf⁡x∈XF(x)F^*=\inf_{x\in X}F(x)F∗=infx∈X​F(x), possibly −∞-\infty−∞, and optimal set X∗={x∗∈X∣F(x∗)=F∗}X^*=\{x^*\in X\mid F(x^*)=F^*\}X∗={x∗∈X∣F(x∗)=F∗}, possibly empty. PXP_XPX​ is the Euclidean projection on XXX and ∇~f(x)\tilde\nabla f(x)∇~f(x) a subgradient of fff at xxx.

At iteration kkk a component index ωk∈{1,…,m}\omega_k\in\{1,\dots,m\}ωk​∈{1,…,m} is drawn and, with stepsize αk>0\alpha_k>0αk​>0, one of three updates is applied:

zk=PX(xk−αk∇~fωk(zk)),xk+1=PX(zk−αk∇~hωk(zk)),(42)z_k=P_X\bigl(x_k-\alpha_k\tilde\nabla f_{\omega_k}(z_k)\bigr),\qquad x_{k+1}=P_X\bigl(z_k-\alpha_k\tilde\nabla h_{\omega_k}(z_k)\bigr),\qquad(42)zk​=PX​(xk​−αk​∇~fωk​​(zk​)),xk+1​=PX​(zk​−αk​∇~hωk​​(zk​)),(42) zk=xk−αk∇~fωk(zk),xk+1=PX(zk−αk∇~hωk(zk)),(43)z_k=x_k-\alpha_k\tilde\nabla f_{\omega_k}(z_k),\qquad x_{k+1}=P_X\bigl(z_k-\alpha_k\tilde\nabla h_{\omega_k}(z_k)\bigr),\qquad(43)zk​=xk​−αk​∇~fωk​​(zk​),xk+1​=PX​(zk​−αk​∇~hωk​​(zk​)),(43) zk=xk−αk∇~hωk(xk),xk+1=PX(zk−αk∇~fωk(xk+1)).(44)z_k=x_k-\alpha_k\tilde\nabla h_{\omega_k}(x_k),\qquad x_{k+1}=P_X\bigl(z_k-\alpha_k\tilde\nabla f_{\omega_k}(x_{k+1})\bigr).\qquad(44)zk​=xk​−αk​∇~hωk​​(xk​),xk+1​=PX​(zk​−αk​∇~fωk​​(xk+1​)).(44)

The implicit equations are proximal steps: in (42), zkz_kzk​ minimizes fωk(x)+12αk∥x−xk∥2f_{\omega_k}(x)+\frac1{2\alpha_k}\|x-x_k\|^2fωk​​(x)+2αk​1​∥x−xk​∥2 over XXX. The randomized order means that ωk\omega_kωk​ is uniformly distributed over {1,…,m}\{1,\dots,m\}{1,…,m} and independent of the past history Fk={xk,zk−1,xk−1,…,z0,x0}\mathcal F_k=\{x_k,z_{k-1},x_{k-1},\dots,z_0,x_0\}Fk​={xk​,zk−1​,xk−1​,…,z0​,x0​} (Assumptions 3(a), 4(a)). The growth conditions (Assumptions 3(b), 4(b)) ask for a constant ccc bounding, with probability 1 and for every component iii, the norms of the subgradients used by the step that would be taken if ωk\omega_kωk​ were iii, and the decrease of fif_ifi​, hih_ihi​ along that step by ccc times its length.

Formalization targets

Goal: Proposition 9

If αk→0\alpha_k\to0αk​→0 and ∑kαk=∞\sum_k\alpha_k=\infty∑k​αk​=∞, then

lim inf⁡k→∞F(xk)=F∗with probability 1,\liminf_{k\to\infty}F(x_k)=F^*\quad\text{with probability 1},k→∞liminf​F(xk​)=F∗with probability 1,

and if in addition X∗≠∅X^*\neq\emptysetX∗=∅ and ∑kαk2<∞\sum_k\alpha_k^2<\infty∑k​αk2​<∞, then with probability 1 the iterates xkx_kxk​ converge to some x∗∈X∗x^*\in X^*x∗∈X∗ (which may depend on the sample path).

Milestones

  1. Eq. (58). For every x∗∈X∗x^*\in X^*x∗∈X∗ and every k≥0k\ge0k≥0,
E{∥xk+1−x∗∥2∣Fk}≤∥xk−x∗∥2−2αkm(F(xk)−F∗)+5αk2c2.E\{\|x_{k+1}-x^*\|^2\mid\mathcal F_k\}\le\|x_k-x^*\|^2-\frac{2\alpha_k}{m}\bigl(F(x_k)-F^*\bigr)+5\alpha_k^2c^2.E{∥xk+1​−x∗∥2∣Fk​}≤∥xk​−x∗∥2−m2αk​​(F(xk​)−F∗)+5αk2​c2.
  1. Proposition 2, the supermartingale convergence theorem: if E{Yk+1∣Fk}≤Yk−Zk+WkE\{Y_{k+1}\mid\mathcal F_k\}\le Y_k-Z_k+W_kE{Yk+1​∣Fk​}≤Yk​−Zk​+Wk​ for nonnegative adapted Yk,Zk,WkY_k,Z_k,W_kYk​,Zk​,Wk​ and ∑kWk<∞\sum_kW_k<\infty∑k​Wk​<∞ almost surely, then almost surely ∑kZk<∞\sum_kZ_k<\infty∑k​Zk​<∞ and YkY_kYk​ converges.
  2. Eq. (59). If ∑kαk2<∞\sum_k\alpha_k^2<\infty∑k​αk2​<∞, then for each x∗∈X∗x^*\in X^*x∗∈X∗, almost surely, ∑k2αkm(F(xk)−F∗)<∞\sum_k\frac{2\alpha_k}{m}(F(x_k)-F^*)<\infty∑k​m2αk​​(F(xk​)−F∗)<∞ and ∥xk−x∗∥\|x_k-x^*\|∥xk​−x∗∥ converges.
  3. Proposition 7 (constant stepsize α\alphaα): almost surely inf⁡k≥0F(xk)=F∗\inf_{k\ge0}F(x_k)=F^*infk≥0​F(xk​)=F∗ if F∗=−∞F^*=-\inftyF∗=−∞, and inf⁡k≥0F(xk)≤F∗+5αmc22\inf_{k\ge0}F(x_k)\le F^*+\frac{5\alpha mc^2}{2}infk≥0​F(xk​)≤F∗+25αmc2​ otherwise.
  4. Proposition 8 (constant stepsize, X∗≠∅X^*\neq\emptysetX∗=∅, ϵ>0\epsilon>0ϵ>0): the first index NNN with F(xN)<F∗+5αmc2+ϵ2F(x_N)<F^*+\frac{5\alpha mc^2+\epsilon}{2}F(xN​)<F∗+25αmc2+ϵ​ is almost surely finite and E{N}≤m dist(x0;X∗)2/(αϵ)E\{N\}\le m\,\mathrm{dist}(x_0;X^*)^2/(\alpha\epsilon)E{N}≤mdist(x0​;X∗)2/(αϵ).

Significance

Proposition 9 says that a randomized incremental method with a diminishing stepsize solves the problem exactly, almost surely, under conditions that do not require differentiability, bounded level sets, or strong convexity. Propositions 7 and 8 quantify the constant-stepsize regime: the error bound is O(αmc2)O(\alpha mc^2)O(αmc2), smaller by a factor of mmm than the worst case of the cyclic order (Proposition 4 of the paper). This is the paper's argument for randomization, and the same comparison recurs in the later literature on stochastic and incremental methods.

The results are proved in the paper. As far as known, none of them is machine-checked: Mathlib has conditional expectation, filtrations and Doob's martingale convergence theorem, but not the Robbins–Siegmund almost-supermartingale theorem in the form used here, and no incremental or stochastic proximal method has a formal convergence proof on the platform. The mission produces a formal model of a randomized algorithm with implicit (proximal) steps, a formal Robbins–Siegmund special case, and a complete a.s. convergence proof that other stochastic-approximation formalizations can reuse.

Difficulty

The deterministic estimate behind (58) is the one of the cyclic analysis with the sampled component in place of the cyclic one. The new difficulty is the conditioning step: E{Fωk(zk)∣Fk}=1m∑iFi(zki)E\{F_{\omega_k}(z_k)\mid\mathcal F_k\}=\frac1m\sum_iF_i(z_k^i)E{Fωk​​(zk​)∣Fk​}=m1​∑i​Fi​(zki​) needs the step that would be taken for each component iii to be a function of the past, and ωk\omega_kωk​ to be independent of it, and both must be stated so that the conditional expectation is that of an integrable function. The obvious route from (59) to part 2 of the goal fails: (59) gives, for each x∗x^*x∗, an event of probability 1, and X∗X^*X∗ is in general uncountable, so the events cannot be intersected directly. Part 1 must also handle F∗=−∞F^*=-\inftyF∗=−∞, where no point of X∗X^*X∗ is available.

Formalization scope

  • Rn\mathbb R^nRn is EuclideanSpace ℝ (Fin n); components are indexed by Fin m (0,…,m−10,\dots,m-10,…,m−1), with m≥1m\ge1m≥1.
  • XXX is nonempty, closed and convex and fi,hif_i,h_ifi​,hi​ are real-valued convex (the paper's standing assumptions of p. 4), stated as explicit hypotheses; stepsizes are positive.
  • PXP_XPX​ is a predicate (nearest point of XXX); subgradients are given by the subgradient inequality. The iterations (42)–(44) are their subgradient forms, with the subgradient of fif_ifi​ the one that makes the implicit equation hold, which is the paper's proximal step.
  • F∗F^*F∗ is an infimum in EReal, so F∗=−∞F^*=-\inftyF∗=−∞ is represented and the lim inf⁡\liminfliminf and inf⁡\infinf statements are in EReal.
  • The run carries, for each kkk and each component iii, the would-be step from xkx_kxk​; the realized step is the one for i=ωki=\omega_ki=ωk​. The bounds (45)–(48) are required for all iii, as in the paper.
  • "Independent of the past history" is formalized as independence of σ(ωk)\sigma(\omega_k)σ(ωk​) from Fk=σ(x0,…,xk,z0,…,zk−1)\mathcal F_k=\sigma(x_0,\dots,x_k,z_0,\dots,z_{k-1})Fk​=σ(x0​,…,xk​,z0​,…,zk−1​). Added hypotheses that make it meaningful: the iterates are measurable, the would-be step at kkk is Fk\mathcal F_kFk​-measurable, and x0x_0x0​ is a fixed vector.
  • Proposition 2 adds integrability of YkY_kYk​ (Lean's conditional expectation of a non-integrable function is 000).
  • Proposition 8 uses the paper's own NNN (the first entry time into the level set of its proof), not an arbitrary random variable, and adds the hypothesis x0∈Xx_0\in Xx0​∈X, which its proof uses.

A formalization in which the would-be steps may depend on ωk\omega_kωk​, or in which ωk\omega_kωk​ is only assumed uniform, would let a step pick its component adversarially; the measurability and independence hypotheses rule this out, and none of the hypotheses is unsatisfiable (a sorry-free instance with m=2m=2m=2 is checked locally).

Needed infrastructure: the Robbins–Siegmund special case (Proposition 2), conditional expectation of a function of an independent uniform index and a past-measurable quantity, and existence of a countable dense subset of a closed set in Rn\mathbb R^nRn. The supermartingale theorem and the conditioning lemma are reusable beyond this mission. Proofs of the milestones, of the goal, and of reusable lemmas about projections and proximal steps are welcome.

Selected references

  • D. P. Bertsekas, Incremental Proximal Methods for Large Scale Convex Optimization, Report LIDS-P-2847, MIT, 2010 (revised March 2011); Mathematical Programming 129 (2011) 163–195. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10107-011-0472-0
  • A. Nedić and D. P. Bertsekas, Incremental Subgradient Methods for Nondifferentiable Optimization, SIAM Journal on Optimization 12 (2001) 109–138. https://doi.org/10.1137/S1052623499362111
  • H. Robbins and D. Siegmund, A Convergence Theorem for Non Negative Almost Supermartingales and Some Applications, in Optimizing Methods in Statistics, Academic Press, 1971, 233–257. https://doi.org/10.1016/B978-0-12-604550-5.50015-8
  • J. Neveu, Discrete Parameter Martingales, North-Holland, 1975 (the paper's reference [43] for Proposition 2).
  • D. P. Bertsekas and J. N. Tsitsiklis, Neuro-Dynamic Programming, Athena Scientific, 1996 (the paper's reference [7] for Proposition 2).
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Convex OptimizationMachine LearningOptimization·Captain: mikedeng1

Katyusha: The First Direct Acceleration of Stochastic Gradient Methods 1: Katyusha Converges at the Accelerated Linear Rate (1+√(σ/(3Lm)))^(−Sm) on Strongly Convex Finite SumsResearch Paper

Motivation

A finite-sum optimization problem asks for one vector that performs well across many component objectives. In empirical risk minimization, each component can represent the loss from one data point. A full gradient uses every component, whereas a stochastic gradient uses one component and can be much cheaper per step. The latter carries sampling noise, so a method must control that noise while moving toward the optimum. Allen-Zhu's Katyusha paper gives a direct accelerated stochastic method for this setting. Its strongly convex result, Theorem 2.1, bounds the expected objective error of a specified algorithm after a specified number of epochs.

The problem is relevant when the number of terms is large enough that a full gradient at every iteration is costly, but individual component gradients and proximal steps remain practical. Katyusha combines a periodically refreshed full gradient with individual component gradients. The paper's result concerns the actual returned snapshot of Algorithm 1, Option I, whose weighted averaging rule matters to the claim. Formalizing a generic noisy gradient method would leave the paper's central algorithmic guarantee unstated.

Setting

Let f1,…,fn:Rd→Rf_1,\ldots,f_n:\mathbb R^d\to\mathbb Rf1​,…,fn​:Rd→R be differentiable functions, with n≥1n\ge1n≥1. Their finite-sum objective is f(x)=n−1∑i=1nfi(x)f(x)=n^{-1}\sum_{i=1}^n f_i(x)f(x)=n−1∑i=1n​fi​(x). A real-valued regularizer ψ\psiψ gives the composite objective

F(x)=f(x)+ψ(x).F(x)=f(x)+\psi(x).F(x)=f(x)+ψ(x).

Each fif_ifi​ is convex and LLL smooth: its gradient is LLL Lipschitz in the Euclidean norm. The regularizer is σ\sigmaσ strongly convex, with L,σ>0L,\sigma>0L,σ>0, in the paper's convention that the quadratic term has coefficient σ/2\sigma/2σ/2. The comparison point x∗x^*x∗ minimizes the full objective FFF.

Algorithm 1 starts from x0x_0x0​ and keeps three vectors: a snapshot x~\widetilde xx, a proximal sequence zzz, and another proximal sequence yyy. In each epoch it computes ∇f(x~)\nabla f(\widetilde x)∇f(x). At a current point xxx, it samples iii uniformly from {1,…,n}\{1,\ldots,n\}{1,…,n} and forms the gradient estimator

∇~=∇f(x~)+∇fi(x)−∇fi(x~).\widetilde\nabla=\nabla f(\widetilde x)+\nabla f_i(x)-\nabla f_i(\widetilde x).∇=∇f(x)+∇fi​(x)−∇fi​(x).

The algorithm then makes two proximal updates using ∇~\widetilde\nabla∇ and ψ\psiψ. Its next snapshot is a weighted average of the new yyy values, with weights (1+ασ)j(1+\alpha\sigma)^j(1+ασ)j for j=0,…,m−1j=0,\ldots,m-1j=0,…,m−1. The iterates yyy and zzz persist between epochs. In the theorem's run the epoch length is m=2nm=2nm=2n, and τ2=1/2\tau_2=1/2τ2​=1/2, τ1=min⁡{mσ/3L,1/2}\tau_1=\min\{\sqrt{m\sigma}/\sqrt{3L},1/2\}τ1​=min{mσ​/3L​,1/2}, and α=1/(3τ1L)\alpha=1/(3\tau_1L)α=1/(3τ1​L). The output after SSS epochs is x~S\widetilde x^SxS.

Formalization targets

Theorem 2.1: objective error after SSS epochs

For every starting point x0x_0x0​ and minimizer x∗x^*x∗ of FFF, the target is the paper's two-case expected bound:

EF(x~S)−F(x∗)≤{4(1+σ/(3Lm))−Sm(F(x0)−F(x∗)),mσ/L≤3/4,3(2/3)S(F(x0)−F(x∗)),mσ/L>3/4.\mathbb E F(\widetilde x^S)-F(x^*)\le\begin{cases}4(1+\sqrt{\sigma/(3Lm)})^{-Sm}\bigl(F(x_0)-F(x^*)\bigr),&m\sigma/L\le3/4,\\3(2/3)^S\bigl(F(x_0)-F(x^*)\bigr),&m\sigma/L>3/4.\end{cases}EF(xS)−F(x∗)≤{4(1+σ/(3Lm)​)−Sm(F(x0​)−F(x∗)),3(2/3)S(F(x0​)−F(x∗)),​mσ/L≤3/4,mσ/L>3/4.​

The expectation is over every independent uniform index sampled by the run. The two regimes meet at the threshold where the algorithm's minimum defining τ1\tau_1τ1​ changes branch. The milestone list follows Lemmas 2.3–2.7 and the displayed one-epoch inequalities of Section 2.2. It includes the variance bound, the proximal estimates, and the two regime-specific epoch estimates that feed the final theorem.

Significance

The theorem gives an accelerated linear reduction of the expected composite-objective error under the paper's strong convexity assumptions. It identifies how the rate depends on component count nnn, smoothness LLL, strong convexity σ\sigmaσ, and epoch count SSS. The author also translates the result into an iteration-complexity statement and uses it as a basis for later reductions and generalizations in the paper. The objective-error theorem is the stable mathematical claim formalized here; the complexity paraphrase is outside this mission's Lean goal.

Allen-Zhu proved Theorem 2.1 in the paper. The Lean declarations in this proposal are targets with proof placeholders, not machine-checked proofs of Katyusha's convergence. Completing them would produce a checked account of the exact algorithm, its finite probability space, and the conditional inequalities for an epoch. The finite-sum and proximal-point definitions reused here are already published in the SAGA formalization; Katyusha's weighted snapshot and coupling statements require their own development.

Difficulty

The estimator is unbiased, but that fact alone does not give the claimed acceleration. Its variance depends on the snapshot and current point, and a direct descent estimate retains a variance penalty. The bound in Lemma 2.4 expresses that penalty through a smooth convex gap which can have either sign before it is combined with other terms. The two proximal sequences and the snapshot therefore have to be accounted for together. Across an epoch, the yyy iterates are averaged with nonuniform weights, while yyy and zzz themselves are carried into the next epoch. Replacing the snapshot with the final yyy value or with a uniform average changes the algorithm and the theorem.

The two rate cases also reflect different parameter values. When mσ/L≤3/4m\sigma/L\le3/4mσ/L≤3/4, τ1\tau_1τ1​ is determined by a square root; above that threshold it is fixed at 1/21/21/2. A proof of only one branch would omit part of the source result. Treating the sampled indices as a single arbitrary path would ask for a false pathwise guarantee, whereas stating the result for a favorable path would lose the expectation bound.

Formalization scope

Vectors are EuclideanSpace ℝ (Fin d) and component indices are Fin n, translating the paper's one-based {1,…,n}\{1,\ldots,n\}{1,…,n} to a zero-based finite type. The goal fixes m=2nm=2nm=2n as Algorithm 1 does; the conditional one-epoch statements admit any positive mmm. The number of epochs SSS can be zero, in which case the output is the initial snapshot. The objective is real-valued. Thus ψ\psiψ may be nondifferentiable but does not include extended-valued indicator functions. The component gradient fields are required to be the actual gradients of their functions, and the comparison point minimizes FFF, not merely fff.

A proximal map P(γ,⋅)P(\gamma,\cdot)P(γ,⋅) is an explicit argument constrained, for every γ>0\gamma>0γ>0, to minimize the proximal objective of the given ψ\psiψ. The run computes the paper's two proximal updates with that map. The expectation is the finite uniform average over all nSmn^{Sm}nSm sequences, equivalent to SmSmSm independent uniform samples. It never quantifies over a convenient sequence. These links prevent a vacuous or unrelated encoding of the method.

The paper writes both rates using O(⋅)O(\cdot)O(⋅). Its Section 2.2 bounds yield the concrete coefficient 444 in the square-root regime and 333 in the 1.5−S1.5^{-S}1.5−S regime; these are the expressions in the Lean goal. For Case 1 the rate is represented by division by (1+σ/(3Lm))Sm(1+\sqrt{\sigma/(3Lm)})^{Sm}(1+σ/(3Lm)​)Sm, a positive denominator. For Case 2 it is 3(2/3)S3(2/3)^S3(2/3)S. The statement retains both conclusions at their stated boundary. The one-step lemmas average only a fresh sampled index with the current state fixed, and the epoch statements average the current epoch's mmm indices.

The development needs finite sums and finite expectations, Euclidean smooth and strong convexity facts, proximal minimizer inequalities, and algebra of the weighted snapshot. The finite-sum objective, averaged gradient, proximal-point predicate, and finite index expectation are shared definitions; the Katyusha run, progress value, potential, and epoch inequalities are specific to this algorithm. Contributions proving the milestone statements, establishing existence and uniqueness of the proximal map under these assumptions, or improving reusable proximal and finite-expectation lemmas are within scope.

Selected references

  • Zeyuan Allen-Zhu, Katyusha: The First Direct Acceleration of Stochastic Gradient Methods, Journal of Machine Learning Research 18 (2018), 1–51; arXiv:1603.05953v6. The formalization uses the pinned arXiv version, pp. 1, 6–13.
  • Aaron Defazio, Francis Bach, and Simon Lacoste-Julien, SAGA: A Fast Incremental Gradient Method With Support for Non-Strongly Convex Composite Objectives, Advances in Neural Information Processing Systems 27 (2014); arXiv:1407.0202. The published finite-sum and proximal-point definitions are reused as common objects.
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Control TheoryPartial Differential EquationsProbability+1·Captain: mikedeng1

Reflected Solutions of Backward SDE's, and Related Obstacle Problems for PDE's 3: Uniqueness for the Parabolic Obstacle ProblemResearch Paper

Motivation

Reflected backward stochastic differential equations describe processes that must remain above a prescribed obstacle. El Karoui, Kapoudjian, Pardoux, Peng and Quenez connect that probabilistic construction to a parabolic partial differential equation with an obstacle in their 1997 paper. A representation by a stochastic process is useful only if the associated differential equation identifies a definite function. The comparison result in Theorem 8.6 supplies that identification: within a specified growth class, two viscosity solutions cannot disagree. This mission isolates that deterministic uniqueness statement. The companion existence and stochastic representation result is Theorem 8.5 of the same paper.

Setting

Fix a terminal time T>0T>0T>0 and a spatial dimension d≥1d\ge1d≥1. At time t∈[0,T]t\in[0,T]t∈[0,T] and point x∈Rdx\in\mathbb R^dx∈Rd, the drift b(t,x)b(t,x)b(t,x) is a vector and the diffusion coefficient σ(t,x)\sigma(t,x)σ(t,x) is a d×dd\times dd×d matrix. Both are continuous and Lipschitz in xxx uniformly over ttt. A continuous terminal payoff g(x)g(x)g(x) has at most polynomial growth. The continuous generator f(t,x,r,z)f(t,x,r,z)f(t,x,r,z) depends on a scalar value rrr and a vector zzz; it has polynomial growth at (r,z)=(0,0)(r,z)=(0,0)(r,z)=(0,0) and is Lipschitz in (r,z)(r,z)(r,z). The continuous obstacle h(t,x)h(t,x)h(t,x) has a polynomial upper bound and satisfies h(T,x)≤g(x)h(T,x)\le g(x)h(T,x)≤g(x).

Write a(t,x)=σ(t,x)σ(t,x)⊤a(t,x)=\sigma(t,x)\sigma(t,x)^\topa(t,x)=σ(t,x)σ(t,x)⊤. The associated second order spatial operator is Ltϕ=12Tr⁡(aD2ϕ)+b⋅DϕL_t\phi=\tfrac12\operatorname{Tr}(aD^2\phi)+b\cdot D\phiLt​ϕ=21​Tr(aD2ϕ)+b⋅Dϕ. The obstacle problem asks for a function whose terminal value is ggg and whose interior value obeys

min⁡{u−h, −∂tu−Ltu−f(t,x,u,Du σ)}=0.\min\{u-h,\,-\partial_tu-L_tu-f(t,x,u,Du\,\sigma)\}=0.min{u−h,−∂t​u−Lt​u−f(t,x,u,Duσ)}=0.

A parabolic superjet or subjet at an interior point is a triple (p,q,X)(p,q,X)(p,q,X) of a time slope, spatial slope and symmetric second order matrix that bounds the function locally above or below by the associated quadratic expansion, up to o(∣s−t∣+∣y−x∣2)o(|s-t|+|y-x|^2)o(∣s−t∣+∣y−x∣2). These jets let a continuous function satisfy the differential inequality without having ordinary derivatives. A viscosity subsolution uses superjets and a terminal upper bound; a viscosity supersolution uses subjets and a terminal lower bound. A viscosity solution satisfies both definitions.

Formalization targets

Uniqueness in the polynomial growth class

The goal is the paper's Theorem 8.6. Under the coefficient assumptions above and condition (27), every pair of continuous viscosity solutions with polynomial growth agrees on the entire closed time strip:

(u,v solve (24) and have polynomial growth)⟹u(t,x)=v(t,x)for every (t,x)∈[0,T]×Rd.\bigl(u,v\text{ solve (24) and have polynomial growth}\bigr) \Longrightarrow u(t,x)=v(t,x)\quad\text{for every }(t,x)\in[0,T]\times\mathbb R^d.(u,v solve (24) and have polynomial growth)⟹u(t,x)=v(t,x)for every (t,x)∈[0,T]×Rd.

Condition (27) gives a continuous modulus mRm_RmR​ for the change in fff between bounded spatial points, with argument ∣x−y∣(1+∣z∣)|x-y|(1+|z|)∣x−y∣(1+∣z∣) and mR(0)=0m_R(0)=0mR​(0)=0. The quantifiers include every radius R>0R>0R>0, every bounded scalar argument, and every gradient vector zzz. The milestone is Lemma 8.7, which controls the location and separation of the maximizers of the paper's doubled-variable function Φα(t,x,y)=u(t,x)−v(t,y)−α∣x−y∣2/2\Phi_\alpha(t,x,y)=u(t,x)-v(t,y)-\alpha|x-y|^2/2Φα​(t,x,y)=u(t,x)−v(t,y)−α∣x−y∣2/2.

Significance

The theorem shows that the obstacle PDE has at most one solution in the natural class allowed by polynomially growing coefficients and payoffs. Together with Theorem 8.5, which identifies the reflected backward SDE value as a viscosity solution, and the growth estimate at the end of Section 8, it yields the paper's probabilistic representation of the unique solution. Theorem 8.6 alone asserts uniqueness, so it makes no existence claim.

The formal development provides reusable interfaces for parabolic jets, viscosity inequalities, the obstacle operator and uniform polynomial growth on a finite time strip. Those interfaces can serve other comparison theorems and other parabolic obstacle problems. The mathematical result is proved in the 1997 article; this mission asks for a Lean proof of its deterministic uniqueness statement. The proposal declares the theorem with a proof placeholder and includes the comparison lemma as an intermediate target.

Difficulty

The first obstruction is that the candidate solutions need only be continuous. Subtracting their PDE expressions directly would assume derivatives they may not possess. The paper instead uses viscosity jets, and its comparison argument invokes the theorem of sums from Crandall, Ishii and Lions' viscosity-solutions guide. The generator's spatial modulus must control a gradient argument that grows as the two spatial points approach each other. Lemma 8.7 provides the necessary separation limit for the maximizers. The argument also treats a polynomial growth class on all of Rd\mathbb R^dRd, so a comparison confined to one fixed bounded ball would not establish the stated result.

Formalization scope

Lean uses nonnegative real time and functions on Rd\mathbb R^dRd represented by Fin d → ℝ. The terminal time and dimension are positive. Bounds with existential constants use the finite-dimensional sup norm, which is equivalent to the Euclidean norm in the paper. The displayed quadratic form, Tr⁡(aX)\operatorname{Tr}(aX)Tr(aX) and qσq\sigmaqσ are written by coordinate sums, so their signs, factor 12\tfrac1221​, and matrix order are exact. The obstacle is bounded only above in the data assumptions, exactly as condition (22) states. Condition (27) is imposed only on uniqueness, not folded into the definition of viscosity solution.

Jets are taken at 0<t<T0<t<T0<t<T through a one-sided little-ooo bound in the relative neighborhood of the interior strip. The terminal equality comes from the two terminal inequalities; the viscosity tests impose no separate condition at t=0t=0t=0. The printed text calls S(d)S(d)S(d) “symmetric nonnegative matrices,” but the proof of Theorem 8.6 uses arbitrary symmetric matrices produced by the theorem of sums. The formal definition therefore uses all symmetric matrices and records this correction for review.

The mission permits every continuous solution of polynomial growth. It does not restrict candidates to smooth, bounded or stochastic-representation functions. The companion reflected SDE construction, penalization limit and existence theorem are outside this mission's goal; the general stochastic interface Peng1990.SMP.Stochastic is listed as series context but is not imported by the deterministic statements. Useful contributions include the comparison proof, the lemma on doubled-variable maximizers, and reusable lemmas about jet transformations and the matrix trace inequality.

Selected references

  • N. El Karoui, C. Kapoudjian, É. Pardoux, S. Peng and M.-C. Quenez, Reflected solutions of backward SDE's, and related obstacle problems for PDE's, The Annals of Probability 25(2), 1997, pp. 702–737. DOI.
  • M. G. Crandall, H. Ishii and P.-L. Lions, User's guide to viscosity solutions of second order partial differential equations, Bulletin of the American Mathematical Society 27(1), 1992, pp. 1–67. DOI.
14 thms1 active userReviewed
Graph TheoryOperations ResearchProbability+1·Captain: mikedeng1

Graphon Mean Field Systems III: With Edge Weights Sampled From a Lipschitz Graphon, Each Particle Is Within κ/n of Its Graphon Limit in Mean SquareResearch Paper

Interacting diffusions on large heterogeneous networks

Classical mean-field theory describes nnn diffusions that interact symmetrically, each feeling the empirical average of all the others, and shows that as n→∞n\to\inftyn→∞ every particle behaves like an independent copy of a single McKean–Vlasov process. Many systems of interest are not symmetric: neurons, agents in a financial network, or oscillators interact through a graph, and particles in different parts of the graph feel different neighbourhoods. A graphon G:[0,1]2→[0,1]G:[0,1]^2\to[0,1]G:[0,1]2→[0,1] is the limit object of dense graph sequences (Lovász, Large Networks and Graph Limits, AMS 2012), and it is the natural way to describe the interaction structure of such systems in the limit.

Bayraktar, Chakraborty and Wu (Ann. Appl. Probab. 33(5), 2023) study a continuum of diffusions indexed by labels u∈[0,1]u\in[0,1]u∈[0,1] whose interaction is weighted by a graphon, and prove laws of large numbers and rates of convergence for nnn-particle systems on graphs sampled from the graphon. This mission targets their uniform rate of convergence for weights sampled from a Lipschitz graphon (Theorem 3.2).

Setting

Write I=[0,1]I=[0,1]I=[0,1] with Lebesgue measure. Fix a horizon T∈(0,∞)T\in(0,\infty)T∈(0,∞) and let Cd=C([0,T]:Rd)\mathcal C_d=C([0,T]:\mathbb R^d)Cd​=C([0,T]:Rd) with ∥x∥∗,t=sup⁡0≤s≤t∣xs∣\|x\|_{*,t}=\sup_{0\le s\le t}|x_s|∥x∥∗,t​=sup0≤s≤t​∣xs​∣.

On one probability space, {Bu:u∈I}\{B_u:u\in I\}{Bu​:u∈I} are i.i.d. ddd-dimensional Brownian motions and {Xu(0):u∈I}\{X_u(0):u\in I\}{Xu​(0):u∈I} are independent initial states with laws μu(0)\mu_u(0)μu​(0), independent of the Brownian motions. Given a graphon GGG and coefficients b,σb,\sigmab,σ, the graphon particle system (2.1) is

Xu(t)=Xu(0)+∫0t ⁣ ⁣∫I ⁣∫Rdb(Xu(s),x)G(u,v) μv,s(dx) dv ds+∫0t ⁣ ⁣∫I ⁣∫Rdσ(Xu(s),x)G(u,v) μv,s(dx) dv dBu(s),X_u(t)=X_u(0)+\int_0^t\!\!\int_I\!\int_{\mathbb R^d}b(X_u(s),x)G(u,v)\,\mu_{v,s}(dx)\,dv\,ds+\int_0^t\!\!\int_I\!\int_{\mathbb R^d}\sigma(X_u(s),x)G(u,v)\,\mu_{v,s}(dx)\,dv\,dB_u(s),Xu​(t)=Xu​(0)+∫0t​∫I​∫Rd​b(Xu​(s),x)G(u,v)μv,s​(dx)dvds+∫0t​∫I​∫Rd​σ(Xu​(s),x)G(u,v)μv,s​(dx)dvdBu​(s),

with μu,t=L(Xu(t))\mu_{u,t}=\mathcal L(X_u(t))μu,t​=L(Xu​(t)). The particles are independent but not identically distributed, and their laws are coupled through the dvdvdv-integral.

The nnn-particle system (3.1) uses the same randomness at the labels i/ni/ni/n:

Xin(t)=Xi/n(0)+∫0t1n∑j=1nξijn b(Xin(s),Xjn(s)) ds+∫0t1n∑j=1nξijn σ(Xin(s),Xjn(s)) dBi/n(s),X^n_i(t)=X_{i/n}(0)+\int_0^t\frac1n\sum_{j=1}^n\xi^n_{ij}\,b(X^n_i(s),X^n_j(s))\,ds+\int_0^t\frac1n\sum_{j=1}^n\xi^n_{ij}\,\sigma(X^n_i(s),X^n_j(s))\,dB_{i/n}(s),Xin​(t)=Xi/n​(0)+∫0t​n1​j=1∑n​ξijn​b(Xin​(s),Xjn​(s))ds+∫0t​n1​j=1∑n​ξijn​σ(Xin​(s),Xjn​(s))dBi/n​(s),

so particle iii and the continuum particle at u=i/nu=i/nu=i/n share their initial state and Brownian motion.

The hypotheses are:

  • Condition 2.1: u↦μu(0)u\mapsto\mu_u(0)u↦μu​(0) is measurable, sup⁡uE∣Xu(0)∣2+ε<∞\sup_u\mathbb E|X_u(0)|^{2+\varepsilon}<\inftysupu​E∣Xu​(0)∣2+ε<∞ for some ε>0\varepsilon>0ε>0, and bbb, σ\sigmaσ are Lipschitz in both arguments.
  • Condition 2.3: there are finitely many intervals I1,…,INI_1,\dots,I_NI1​,…,IN​ covering III and a κ>0\kappa>0κ>0 with W2(μu1(0),μu2(0))≤κ∣u1−u2∣W_2(\mu_{u_1}(0),\mu_{u_2}(0))\le\kappa|u_1-u_2|W2​(μu1​​(0),μu2​​(0))≤κ∣u1​−u2​∣ on each IiI_iIi​ and ∣G(u1,v1)−G(u2,v2)∣≤κ(∣u1−u2∣+∣v1−v2∣)|G(u_1,v_1)-G(u_2,v_2)|\le\kappa(|u_1-u_2|+|v_1-v_2|)∣G(u1​,v1​)−G(u2​,v2​)∣≤κ(∣u1​−u2​∣+∣v1​−v2​∣) on each block Ii×IjI_i\times I_jIi​×Ij​. The graphon may jump across block boundaries.
  • Condition 3.2: the weights are sampled from GGG itself, either deterministically, ξijn=G(i/n,j/n)\xi^n_{ij}=G(i/n,j/n)ξijn​=G(i/n,j/n), or as a random graph, ξijn=ξjin∼Bernoulli(G(i/n,j/n))\xi^n_{ij}=\xi^n_{ji}\sim\mathrm{Bernoulli}(G(i/n,j/n))ξijn​=ξjin​∼Bernoulli(G(i/n,j/n)) independently for i≤ji\le ji≤j and independently of the noise.

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem 3.2 (p. 3596)

Under Conditions 2.1, 2.3 and 3.2 there is κ∈(0,∞)\kappa\in(0,\infty)κ∈(0,∞) such that

max⁡i=1,…,nE∥Xin−Xi/n∥∗,T2≤κn∀n∈N.\max_{i=1,\dots,n}\mathbb E\|X^n_i-X_{i/n}\|^2_{*,T}\le\frac{\kappa}{n}\qquad\forall n\in\mathbb N.i=1,…,nmax​E∥Xin​−Xi/n​∥∗,T2​≤nκ​∀n∈N.

Milestones (§6.3, in attack order)

  • (6.15): E∥Xin−Xi/n∥∗,t2\mathbb E\|X^n_i-X_{i/n}\|^2_{*,t}E∥Xin​−Xi/n​∥∗,t2​ is bounded by κ\kappaκ times the time-integrated mean-square mismatch between the finite-nnn drift and diffusion and their graphon counterparts.
  • The drift mismatch is split by (6.16) into three terms T~sn,1,T~sn,2,T~sn,3\tilde T^{n,1}_s,\tilde T^{n,2}_s,\tilde T^{n,3}_sT~sn,1​,T~sn,2​,T~sn,3​, bounded by
T~sn,1≤2κmax⁡iE∣Xin(s)−Xi/n(s)∣2  (6.17),T~sn,2≤κn  (6.18),T~sn,3≤κn2  (6.19).\tilde T^{n,1}_s\le2\kappa\max_i\mathbb E|X^n_i(s)-X_{i/n}(s)|^2\ \ (6.17),\qquad\tilde T^{n,2}_s\le\frac{\kappa}{n}\ \ (6.18),\qquad\tilde T^{n,3}_s\le\frac{\kappa}{n^2}\ \ (6.19).T~sn,1​≤2κimax​E∣Xin​(s)−Xi/n​(s)∣2  (6.17),T~sn,2​≤nκ​  (6.18),T~sn,3​≤n2κ​  (6.19).
  • Theorem 2.1(b) (p. 3593): under Condition 2.3, W2,T(μu,μv)≤κ∣u−v∣W_{2,T}(\mu_u,\mu_v)\le\kappa|u-v|W2,T​(μu​,μv​)≤κ∣u−v∣ whenever u,vu,vu,v lie in the same interval IiI_iIi​. It is used in (6.19).

Significance

The result. Theorem 3.2 gives a quantitative propagation of chaos for heterogeneous interactions: with weights sampled from a blockwise Lipschitz graphon, every particle of the finite system, not just an average particle, is within O(n−1/2)O(n^{-1/2})O(n−1/2) in root-mean-square path distance of the continuum particle with the same label. The rate matches the classical mean-field rate (e.g. Sznitman 1991), so heterogeneity of the interaction costs nothing in the exponent. The same estimate covers the deterministic weighted graph and the random graph sampled from GGG (in the annealed sense), and it is the dense counterpart of Theorem 4.2 for percolated graphs.

Formalizing it. The result is proved in the paper (§6.3); it has no machine-checked proof. A formal development would produce a reusable account of graphon particle systems and their finite-nnn approximations: graphon-weighted McKean–Vlasov drifts, couplings through shared noise, and the decomposition of the interaction error into a Lipschitz feedback term, a law-of-large-numbers term and a Riemann-sum discretization term.

Difficulty

The obvious approach is to compare XinX^n_iXin​ with Xi/nX_{i/n}Xi/n​ directly and close a Gronwall inequality. The difficulty is that the comparison involves the empirical, graph-weighted average of the other particles, which is neither the graphon average nor an average of independent terms. Three different errors must be controlled simultaneously and uniformly in iii: the feedback of all particles' errors into particle iii, the fluctuation of a sum of independent but non-identically distributed terms whose weights may themselves be random, and the error of replacing an integral over labels by a sum over the grid {j/n}\{j/n\}{j/n}. The last needs regularity of the law μu\mu_uμu​ in the label uuu, which is itself a theorem about the graphon system (Theorem 2.1(b)) and fails at block boundaries of GGG, where only the small number of boundary cells saves the 1/n21/n^21/n2 rate. Averaging over iii, as in the law of large numbers of Theorem 3.1, is not enough: the goal bounds the maximum.

Formalization scope

  • Rd\mathbb R^dRd is Fin d → ℝ with the sup norm; matrices are measured entrywise. All statements are norm-invariant because every constant is existential. Particle i∈{1,…,n}i\in\{1,\dots,n\}i∈{1,…,n} is Lean's i : Fin n with label (i+1)/n(i+1)/n(i+1)/n; time is ℝ≥0; III is Mathlib's unitInterval.
  • Brownian motions, Itô integrals and Itô processes are the published Peng1990.SMP.Stochastic definitions; an SDE with random initial value X(0)X(0)X(0) is stated as an Itô process for X−X(0)X-X(0)X−X(0). Each continuum particle uses the natural filtration of (Xu(0),Bu)(X_u(0),B_u)(Xu​(0),Bu​); the nnn-particle system uses the natural filtration of the weights, initial states and Brownian motions at the labels.
  • W2W_2W2​ and W2,TW_{2,T}W2,T​ are the published WassersteinDRO.Duality.wassersteinDistance 2, valued in [0,∞][0,\infty][0,∞]; expectations of nonnegative quantities are lower Lebesgue integrals.
  • A solution of (2.1) is required to have continuous paths, measurable path maps, and a law family in the class M\mathcal MM (measurable in uuu, uniformly bounded second moments), as Proposition 2.1 asserts; this makes every inner integral meaningful.
  • The constant κ\kappaκ is chosen after the data and before nnn and iii. A κ\kappaκ chosen after nnn, a bound on the average over iii, or a solution predicate that no process satisfies would trivialize the goal; the first two are excluded by the statement, and a sanity check exhibits the zero-coefficient system as a solution of both systems.
  • Condition 2.2 is not assumed, and the weights come from GGG, not from a step graphon GnG_nGn​; no cut-metric hypothesis appears.
  • Needed infrastructure: Doob/Burkholder–Davis–Gundy for Itô integrals, Gronwall's inequality in integrated form, moment bounds for the graphon system, Kantorovich–Rubinstein-type duality for Lipschitz test functions, and independence of functionals of independent noises. Proofs of the milestones, of Theorem 2.1(b), and of the goal are all welcome; the paper's proofs are in its §5–§6.

Selected references

  • E. Bayraktar, S. Chakraborty, R. Wu, Graphon mean field systems, Ann. Appl. Probab. 33(5):3587–3619, 2023. https://doi.org/10.1214/22-AAP1901
  • L. Lovász, Large Networks and Graph Limits, AMS Colloquium Publications 60, 2012. https://doi.org/10.1090/coll/060
  • A.-S. Sznitman, Topics in propagation of chaos, École d'Été de Probabilités de Saint-Flour XIX, LNM 1464, Springer, 1991. https://doi.org/10.1007/BFb0085169
  • S. Peng, A general stochastic maximum principle for optimal control problems, SIAM J. Control Optim. 28(4):966–979, 1990. https://doi.org/10.1137/0328054
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Dynamic ProgrammingMarkov ChainOperations Research+1·Captain: mikedeng1

More Risk-Sensitive Markov Decision Processes 2: The Finite-Horizon Discounted Problem Is Solved by Value Iteration on the State Extended by Accumulated Cost and DiscountResearch Paper

Motivation

Sequential decisions often have costs whose timing matters. A controller may choose an action now, observe a random next state, and choose again. Ordinary expected-cost minimization averages the sum of the costs. A risk-sensitive criterion first applies an increasing function UUU to the total cost and then takes its expectation. The curvature of UUU changes how uncertain costs affect the ranking of policies: convex utility penalizes variability in a cost-minimization problem, while concave utility has the opposite tendency. Bäuerle and Rieder study this criterion for controlled Markov processes with general continuous increasing utility, rather than fixing an exponential function. Their finite-horizon discounted result is Theorem 3.6, pp. 10–12 of the authors' manuscript.

Discounting gives early and late costs different weights. For linear UUU, the remaining expected cost can be described using only the current physical state. For general UUU, the effect of a future cost also depends on what has already been paid and on the discount weight currently attached to the next cost. The mission targets the paper's finite-horizon treatment of these two additional quantities. The infinite-horizon problem is a separate part of the paper.

Setting

The state space EEE and action space AAA are Borel spaces. At state xxx, the nonempty set D(x)D(x)D(x) contains the actions that may be chosen. If action a∈D(x)a\in D(x)a∈D(x) is selected, the next state has distribution Q(⋅∣x,a)Q(\cdot\mid x,a)Q(⋅∣x,a) and the stage cost is c(x,a)c(x,a)c(x,a). The cost is measurable and bounded between positive constants c‾\underline cc​ and c‾\overline cc. The discount factor satisfies 0<β<10<\beta<10<β<1, and U:[0,∞)→RU:[0,\infty)\to\mathbb RU:[0,∞)→R is continuous and strictly increasing. The paper imposes its compactness and continuity conditions (CC) on UUU, DDD, ccc, and QQQ; these are stated in the model item and correspond to §2, pp. 3–4.

A history policy σ=(g0,g1,…)\sigma=(g_0,g_1,\ldots)σ=(g0​,g1​,…) chooses AnA_nAn​ measurably from the states and actions observed through time nnn. Starting from xxx, it induces a law for the state-action trajectory. The first nnn stages incur the discounted cost Cβn=∑k=0n−1βkc(Xk,Ak)C^n_\beta=\sum_{k=0}^{n-1}\beta^k c(X_k,A_k)Cβn​=∑k=0n−1​βkc(Xk​,Ak​), with Cβ0=0C^0_\beta=0Cβ0​=0. The paper minimizes Exσ[U(CβN)]E_x^\sigma[U(C^N_\beta)]Exσ​[U(CβN​)] over every admissible history policy. The inverse utility appearing in the paper's original certainty-equivalent criterion can be omitted when selecting a minimizer because UUU is strictly increasing §2, p. 3; §3.3, p. 10.

The extended state is E^=E×[0,∞)×(0,1]\hat E=E\times[0,\infty)\times(0,1]E^=E×[0,∞)×(0,1]. Its coordinates (x,y,z)(x,y,z)(x,y,z) record the current physical state, accumulated cost, and current discount weight. Define Vnσ(x,y,z)=Exσ[U(y+zCβn)]V_{n\sigma}(x,y,z)=E_x^\sigma[U(y+zC^n_\beta)]Vnσ​(x,y,z)=Exσ​[U(y+zCβn​)] and Vn=inf⁡σ∈ΠVnσV_n=\inf_{\sigma\in\Pi}V_{n\sigma}Vn​=infσ∈Π​Vnσ​. A measurable extended-state decision rule fff chooses an action in D(x)D(x)D(x). The paper's operator TfT_fTf​ integrates a continuation value at (x′,y+zc(x,f(x,y,z)),zβ)(x',y+zc(x,f(x,y,z)),z\beta)(x′,y+zc(x,f(x,y,z)),zβ); TTT takes the infimum of the same integral over D(x)D(x)D(x) equations (3.8)–(3.9), pp. 10–11.

Formalization targets

The first target identifies the cost iteration of any sequence of extended-state rules π=(f0,f1,…)\pi=(f_0,f_1,\ldots)π=(f0​,f1​,…):

Vnπ=Tf0⋯Tfn−1U,1≤n≤N.V_{n\pi}=T_{f_0}\cdots T_{f_{n-1}}U,\qquad 1\le n\le N.Vnπ​=Tf0​​⋯Tfn−1​​U,1≤n≤N.

The second target is the paper's value iteration for the infimum over all history policies, together with membership of every VnV_nVn​ in its regularity class C(E^)C(\hat E)C(E^):

V0(x,y,z)=U(y),Vn=TVn−1,Vn∈C(E^).V_0(x,y,z)=U(y),\qquad V_n=TV_{n-1},\qquad V_n\in C(\hat E).V0​(x,y,z)=U(y),Vn​=TVn−1​,Vn​∈C(E^).

The goal is Theorem 3.6(c): minimizers fk∗f_k^*fk∗​ of Vk−1V_{k-1}Vk−1​ exist, and their stage-dependent history rules attain the original objective JN(x)=VN(x,0,1)J_N(x)=V_N(x,0,1)JN​(x)=VN​(x,0,1) for every xxx. At stage n<Nn<Nn<N, the rule uses fN−n∗f_{N-n}^*fN−n∗​ at the current state, the observed sum ∑j<nβjc(Xj,Aj)\sum_{j<n}\beta^jc(X_j,A_j)∑j<n​βjc(Xj​,Aj​), and βn\beta^nβn. “Optimal” compares against all admissible history policies, including those that use more of the history than these three quantities.

Significance

Theorem 3.6 gives a finite sequence of minimum-operator evaluations for a problem whose utility of total cost is not additively separable in the physical state alone. Its policy statement also identifies which observable quantities an optimal controller needs to retain. Together, these results relate the original history-dependent problem to an extended-state Markov decision problem §3.3, pp. 10–12.

The paper proves these statements. This mission asks for machine-checked definitions and proofs of the finite-horizon discounted theorem, including the comparison with all admissible history policies. The model layer and the finite-dimensional expectation construction can support later formalizations of other risk-sensitive objectives. The mission itself has no completed proof at the drafting stage.

Difficulty

The extra discount coordinate is essential: after one action, the next cost enters utility with weight zβz\betazβ, not zzz. Keeping only accumulated cost would describe a different process. The other demanding point is the policy comparison. An iteration over extended-state decision rules has to establish the value of an infimum over arbitrary measurable history policies. Regularity and measurable selection must also be maintained at each step under (CC). The proof of Theorem 3.6 invokes the corresponding total-cost argument from Theorem 3.1, pp. 5–6; the formal development must supply the precise discounted version.

Formalization scope

Lean represents EEE and AAA as Borel subsets of Polish spaces, with standard Borel measurable structures. The controlled process is a separate reusable definition containing DDD, QQQ, and history policies; the risk-sensitive model adds ccc, β\betaβ, and UUU. The admissible graph is Borel and every section D(x)D(x)D(x) is nonempty. A history is a chronological finite list of earlier state-action pairs and a current state. Each rule is defined on all lists, but only admissible lists of the matching length are visited. The transition kernel is total as a Lean object, and its values outside DDD are irrelevant.

Policy values use nested kernel integrals representing the finite-dimensional marginals of the path law. They are defined from the cost and utility, so the Bellman recursion remains a theorem. The optimized value is an infimum over the subtype of measurable, admissible infinite history policies. The real infimum is meaningful here because this policy class is nonempty under (CC) and finite-horizon costs keep utility bounded on the relevant interval. The extended state uses real coordinates restricted to y≥0y\ge0y≥0 and 0<z≤10<z\le10<z≤1; its transition stays in that domain. “Increasing” in C(E^)C(\hat E)C(E^) means componentwise nondecreasing in (y,z)(y,z)(y,z). A minimizer is an admissible measurable rule satisfying Tfv=TvT_fv=TvTf​v=Tv on the entire extended domain.

The source's proof sentence that TTT preserves C(E^)C(\hat E)C(E^) is recorded with explicit integrability of each one-step continuation. For an arbitrary real-valued member of C(E^)C(\hat E)C(E^) on an unbounded state space, the source's conditions alone do not ensure a finite real expectation. This domain condition prevents Lean's zero value for a nonintegrable real integral from turning the assertion into a different one. It does not narrow the finite-horizon values appearing in the goal. Contributions toward finite-dimensional expectation identities, kernel integrability, the regularity of VnV_nVn​, and measurable minimizer selection are within scope.

Selected references

  • N. Bäuerle and U. Rieder, More Risk-Sensitive Markov Decision Processes, authors' manuscript, KIT repository 1000039663; published in Mathematics of Operations Research 39(1):105–120, 2014. Manuscript; DOI.
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Algorithmic Game TheoryControl TheoryProbability·Captain: mikedeng1

On the Convergence of Closed-Loop Nash Equilibria to the Mean Field Game Limit 4: In the Mean-Sign Game the Sign Feedback Is an ε_n-Nash Equilibrium and the Mean Converges in Law to ½δ_{H⁺}+½δ_{H⁻}Research Paper

Motivation

Mean field games describe the limit of symmetric stochastic differential games with nnn players as n→∞n\to\inftyn→∞. A basic question of the theory is which mean field equilibria are limits of Nash equilibria of the nnn-player games. For closed-loop equilibria, in which each player's control may depend on the states of all players, this question was open in general until D. Lacker, On the convergence of closed-loop Nash equilibria to the mean field game limit (arXiv:1808.02745, Ann. Appl. Probab. 2020). That paper shows that limits of closed-loop εn\varepsilon_nεn​-Nash equilibria are weak mean field equilibria, a class that can be strictly larger than the classical (strong) one.

Section 7.3 of the paper gives an explicit game in which the difference is visible. It has exactly three strong equilibria (Lacker, Probab. Theory Related Fields 165, 2016, Proposition 3.6, cited as [43] in the paper) and infinitely many weak ones. The weak equilibria form a family indexed by a switching time t0∈[0,T]t_0\in[0,T]t0​∈[0,T], and for t0∈(0,T)t_0\in(0,T)t0​∈(0,T) they are not mixtures of strong equilibria (Remark 7.1). Proposition 7.2, the subject of this mission, treats t0=0t_0=0t0​=0: the natural symmetric feedback is an nnn-player approximate Nash equilibrium, and its population mean selects the equal mixture of the two strong equilibria m±1m^{\pm1}m±1 rather than the third one, m0m^0m0. The selection mechanism is regularization by noise: the mean of the population solves an ill-posed ODE, and the small noise of the nnn-player system picks out a particular random solution (Trevisan, Electron. Commun. Probab. 18, 2013, cited as [57] in the paper).

Setting

Fix a horizon T>0T>0T>0. In the mean-sign game each of nnn players controls a real state

Xti=∫0tαsi ds+Wti,X0i=0,X^i_t = \int_0^t \alpha^i_s\,ds + W^i_t,\qquad X^i_0=0,Xti​=∫0t​αsi​ds+Wti​,X0i​=0,

with controls αsi∈A=[−1,1]\alpha^i_s\in A=[-1,1]αsi​∈A=[−1,1] and independent standard Brownian motions W1,…,WnW^1,\dots,W^nW1,…,Wn. The mean process is μ‾tn=1n∑k=1nXtk\overline\mu^n_t=\frac1n\sum_{k=1}^n X^k_tμ​tn​=n1​∑k=1n​Xtk​, the mean of the empirical measure μtn=1n∑kδXtk\mu^n_t=\frac1n\sum_k\delta_{X^k_t}μtn​=n1​∑k​δXtk​​. Player iii maximizes the expected terminal reward

Jin=E[XTi μ‾Tn],J^n_i=\mathbb E\big[X^i_T\,\overline\mu^n_T\big],Jin​=E[XTi​μ​Tn​],

that is, b(t,x,m,a)=ab(t,x,m,a)=ab(t,x,m,a)=a, f≡0f\equiv0f≡0, g(x,m)=x m‾g(x,m)=x\,\overline mg(x,m)=xm with m‾=∫y m(dy)\overline m=\int y\,m(dy)m=∫ym(dy), and initial law λ=δ0\lambda=\delta_0λ=δ0​.

A Markovian control of player iii is a Borel function β:[0,T]×Rn→[−1,1]\beta:[0,T]\times\mathbb R^n\to[-1,1]β:[0,T]×Rn→[−1,1] of time and the current states of all players. A profile (α1,…,αn)(\alpha^1,\dots,\alpha^n)(α1,…,αn) is a Markovian ε\varepsilonε-Nash equilibrium if no player can raise their payoff by more than ε\varepsilonε by switching to another Markovian control while the others keep theirs (Definition 2.1).

With sgn⁡(x)=1,−1,0\operatorname{sgn}(x)=1,-1,0sgn(x)=1,−1,0 for x>0x>0x>0, x<0x<0x<0, x=0x=0x=0, the sign feedback (7.13) with t0=0t_0=0t0​=0 is

α0n,i(t,x1,…,xn)=sgn⁡(1n∑k=1nxk)1(0,T](t),\alpha^{n,i}_0(t,x_1,\dots,x_n)=\operatorname{sgn}\Big(\frac1n\sum_{k=1}^n x_k\Big)\mathbf 1_{(0,T]}(t),α0n,i​(t,x1​,…,xn​)=sgn(n1​k=1∑n​xk​)1(0,T]​(t),

the same for every player. Finally H0±(t)=±tH^\pm_0(t)=\pm tH0±​(t)=±t on [0,T][0,T][0,T] (7.11).

Formalization targets

Goal: Proposition 7.2

For the profile αn=(α0n,1,…,α0n,n)\alpha^n=(\alpha^{n,1}_0,\dots,\alpha^{n,n}_0)αn=(α0n,1​,…,α0n,n​):

∃ εn≥0, εn→0:αn is a Markovian εn-Nash equilibrium for each n,\exists\,\varepsilon_n\ge0,\ \varepsilon_n\to0:\quad \alpha^n\ \text{is a Markovian }\varepsilon_n\text{-Nash equilibrium for each }n,∃εn​≥0, εn​→0:αn is a Markovian εn​-Nash equilibrium for each n, L((μ‾tn[αn])t∈[0,T]) ⟹ 12δH0++12δH0−on C([0,T];R).\mathcal L\big((\overline\mu^n_t[\alpha^n])_{t\in[0,T]}\big)\ \Longrightarrow\ \tfrac12\delta_{H^+_0}+\tfrac12\delta_{H^-_0}\quad\text{on }C([0,T];\mathbb R).L((μ​tn​[αn])t∈[0,T]​) ⟹ 21​δH0+​​+21​δH0−​​on C([0,T];R).

The goal also asserts that the nnn-player system under αn\alpha^nαn has a solution, so that the equilibrium property cannot hold vacuously.

Milestones

  1. The equilibrium payoff: J1n(αn)=E[∣μ‾Tn∣2]→T2J^n_1(\alpha^n)=\mathbb E[|\overline\mu^n_T|^2]\to T^2J1n​(αn)=E[∣μ​Tn​∣2]→T2 (proof of Proposition 7.2, p. 49).
  2. Lemma 7.4, the part about the mean YnY^nYn and player 1's noise W1W^1W1 when player 1 deviates to a 1n\frac1nn1​-optimal control (7.15): the laws of (Yn,W1)(Y^n,W^1)(Yn,W1) are tight, and every limit (Y,W)(Y,W)(Y,W) has L(Y)=12δH0++12δH0−\mathcal L(Y)=\tfrac12\delta_{H^+_0}+\tfrac12\delta_{H^-_0}L(Y)=21​δH0+​​+21​δH0−​​, solves Yt=∫0tsgn⁡(Ys) dsY_t=\int_0^t\operatorname{sgn}(Y_s)\,dsYt​=∫0t​sgn(Ys​)ds, and has YYY independent of WWW.
  3. The upper bound (7.14): lim sup⁡nsup⁡βJ1n(β,α0n,2,…,α0n,n)≤T2\limsup_n\sup_{\beta}J^n_1(\beta,\alpha^{n,2}_0,\dots,\alpha^{n,n}_0)\le T^2limsupn​supβ​J1n​(β,α0n,2​,…,α0n,n​)≤T2.

Significance

Proposition 7.2 is a concrete instance of the paper's main theme. Theorem 2.7 says that limits of closed-loop equilibria are weak equilibria; this example exhibits explicit, symmetric, Markovian approximate equilibria whose limit is a genuinely random equilibrium (the sign of the mean is a fair coin), selected by noise among infinitely many candidates, and it identifies the limiting law of the population mean exactly. The paper states that the analogous claim for t0∈(0,T)t_0\in(0,T)t0​∈(0,T), where the limit would be a weak equilibrium that is not a mixture of strong ones, is not resolved; a formal treatment of the t0=0t_0=0t0​=0 case makes the structure of that question precise.

Nothing of this proposition is machine-checked. Formalizing it requires weak solutions of SDEs with discontinuous drift, Nash equilibria over Markovian feedback controls, and weak convergence of laws on path space, all stated so that the junk values of Lean's total functions never enter. The objects defined here (the nnn-player game with quantified weak solutions, its payoffs and Markovian ε\varepsilonε-Nash equilibria) are shared with the other missions of this series.

Difficulty

The obvious argument for εn→0\varepsilon_n\to0εn​→0 compares player 1's payoff under a deviation with T2T^2T2. A deviation changes the drift of the mean only by O(1/n)O(1/n)O(1/n), but the dynamics of the mean, dYt=sgn⁡(Yt)dt+n−1/2dW‾tdY_t=\operatorname{sgn}(Y_t)dt+n^{-1/2}d\overline W_tdYt​=sgn(Yt​)dt+n−1/2dWt​, is ill-posed in the limit: the ODE y˙=sgn⁡(y)\dot y=\operatorname{sgn}(y)y˙​=sgn(y), y0=0y_0=0y0​=0, has infinitely many solutions ±(t−s)+\pm(t-s)^+±(t−s)+. Continuity of the solution map, the usual tool, is unavailable, and one must instead identify the limit law, which comes from the vanishing noise, and show that it is unchanged by the deviation. The second difficulty is that the payoff XT1YTX^1_TY_TXT1​YT​ is unbounded, so convergence of laws does not give convergence of payoffs without a uniform integrability estimate. The proof in the paper is short, but relies on a cited result on the vanishing-noise limit and on a compactness argument in a weak L2L^2L2 topology for the deviating controls.

Formalization scope

  • Dimension and state. d=1d=1d=1; R1\mathbb R^1R1 is EuclideanSpace ℝ (Fin 1) (the platform's EthierKurtz.SDEState 1) and its coordinate is y 0. Controls are real, A=[−1,1]A=[-1,1]A=[−1,1].
  • Pathwise equations. Volatility is the identity, so the SDE of each player is stated as Xti=X0i+∫0tb ds+WtiX^i_t=X^i_0+\int_0^t b\,ds+W^i_tXti​=X0i​+∫0t​bds+Wti​ almost surely for all t∈[0,T]t\in[0,T]t∈[0,T], with a Lebesgue integral of a bounded measurable integrand.
  • Solutions are quantified. A weak solution of the nnn-player system is a structure (probability space, filtration, independent F\mathbb FF-Brownian motions, i.i.d. initial states independent of the noise, adapted path-valued states, the empirical flow). Payoffs are functions of a solution; the Nash inequality and every limit statement are required for every solution. Solutions exist and are unique in law, so this matches the paper's definitions; the goal asserts existence explicitly.
  • Index shift. Term nnn of every sequence is the (n+1)(n+1)(n+1)-player game; the factor 1n\frac1nn1​ in the controls and the mean is then 1n+1\frac1{n+1}n+11​.
  • sgn and time. sgn⁡\operatorname{sgn}sgn is Real.sign (sgn⁡0=0\operatorname{sgn}0=0sgn0=0), and the control vanishes at t=0t=0t=0, both as printed.
  • Unbounded payoff. Assumption A fails (ggg is unbounded) and is not assumed anywhere. Payoffs are Bochner integrals; XTiμ‾TnX^i_T\overline\mu^n_TXTi​μ​Tn​ is integrable on every solution (bounded drift, X0i=0X^i_0=0X0i​=0), which is a fact to be proved rather than an assumption.
  • Laws. Laws on C([0,T];R)C([0,T];\mathbb R)C([0,T];R) carry the topology of weak convergence; the mean path is a continuous function of the state paths, so its law is a probability measure by construction.
  • Lemma 7.4. Only the (Y,W)(Y,W)(Y,W) coordinates are stated: tightness, (i), the equation for YYY in (ii), and (iv). The coordinates XXX and β\betaβ, which need the weak topology of L2([0,T];[−1,1])L^2([0,T];[-1,1])L2([0,T];[−1,1]), and item (iii) are not stated; the norm topology must not be substituted, because the deviating controls are not tight in it.
  • Ruled out. A statement in which the profiles have no solutions would make the Nash clause vacuous; the existence clause of the goal excludes it.

Contributions welcome: the existence of weak solutions for bounded measurable Markovian drifts, the vanishing-noise limit of dZ=sgn⁡(Z)dt+ϵ dWdZ=\operatorname{sgn}(Z)dt+\epsilon\,dWdZ=sgn(Z)dt+ϵdW, and Girsanov-type change-of-measure estimates are all reusable beyond this mission.

Selected references

  • D. Lacker, On the convergence of closed-loop Nash equilibria to the mean field game limit, Ann. Appl. Probab. 30(4), 2020; arXiv:1808.02745v1, 2018. https://arxiv.org/abs/1808.02745
  • D. Lacker, A general characterization of the mean field limit for stochastic differential games, Probab. Theory Related Fields 165(3–4), 581–648, 2016 (reference [43] of the paper).
  • D. Trevisan, Zero noise limits using local times, Electron. Commun. Probab. 18, 2013 (reference [57] of the paper).
  • R. Carmona, D. Lacker, A probabilistic weak formulation of mean field games and applications, Ann. Appl. Probab. 25(3), 2015. https://arxiv.org/abs/1307.1152
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Markov ChainMathematical PhysicsProbability·Captain: mikedeng1

The Endpoint Distribution of Directed Polymers 2: Geometric Localization with Positive Density Holds Exactly in the Low-Temperature PhaseResearch Paper

Motivation

A directed polymer in random environment is a random walk path reweighted by a random potential that is refreshed at every time step. It is a basic model of a one-dimensional object (a polymer, an interface, a flux line) pinned by impurities, and a discrete version of the KPZ universality class in dimension 1+11+11+1. A central question is localization: whether the walk's endpoint at time nnn, under the random Gibbs measure, concentrates on a few sites or spreads out like a simple random walk.

For a fixed disorder law there is a critical inverse temperature βc\beta_cβc​ (Comets–Yoshida, Ann. Probab. 2006). In the low-temperature phase β>βc\beta>\beta_cβ>βc​ the endpoint has atoms of positive mass, in the Cesàro sense, at a positive fraction of times (Carmona–Hu 2002, Comets–Shiga–Yoshida 2003); in the high-temperature phase it does not. Atoms alone say nothing about geometry: the mass could sit on a few sites that are far apart. Bates and Chatterjee (arXiv:1612.03443v5, Ann. Probab. 2020) prove that in the low-temperature phase the mass also sits on a region of bounded diameter at a positive fraction of times, in every dimension and for every disorder law with exponential moments. Before this, geometric localization was known only for the integrable log-gamma polymer in 1+11+11+1 dimensions (Comets–Nguyen 2016).

Setting

Fix d≥1d\ge1d≥1. Let (Xu)u∈N×Zd(X_u)_{u\in\mathbb N\times\mathbb Z^d}(Xu​)u∈N×Zd​ be i.i.d. real random variables with law L\mathfrak LL, not supported on a single point, such that λ(α)=log⁡E eαXu<∞\lambda(\alpha)=\log\mathbf E\,e^{\alpha X_u}<\inftyλ(α)=logEeαXu​<∞ for α∈[−2β,2β]\alpha\in[-2\beta,2\beta]α∈[−2β,2β] (assumption (1.1)), where β≥0\beta\ge0β≥0 is the inverse temperature. For a nearest-neighbour path γ\gammaγ of length nnn from the origin, its weight is exp⁡(β∑i=1nXi,γ(i))\exp(\beta\sum_{i=1}^n X_{i,\gamma(i)})exp(β∑i=1n​Xi,γ(i)​). The endpoint distribution fn(x)=ρn(ωn=x)f_n(x)=\rho_n(\omega_n=x)fn​(x)=ρn​(ωn​=x) is the total weight of paths ending at xxx divided by the total weight of all (2d)n(2d)^n(2d)n paths. The partition function is Zn=(2d)−n∑γexp⁡(β∑i=1nXi,γ(i))Z_n=(2d)^{-n}\sum_\gamma\exp(\beta\sum_{i=1}^nX_{i,\gamma(i)})Zn​=(2d)−n∑γ​exp(β∑i=1n​Xi,γ(i)​) and the free energy is Fn=1nlog⁡ZnF_n=\frac1n\log Z_nFn​=n1​logZn​. The limit p(β)=lim⁡EFnp(\beta)=\lim\mathbf E F_np(β)=limEFn​ exists, and βc\beta_cβc​ is characterised by p(β)=λ(β)p(\beta)=\lambda(\beta)p(β)=λ(β) for 0≤β≤βc0\le\beta\le\beta_c0≤β≤βc​ and p(β)<λ(β)p(\beta)<\lambda(\beta)p(β)<λ(β) for β>βc\beta>\beta_cβ>βc​.

For δ>0\delta>0δ>0 and K≥0K\ge0K≥0 let Gδ,K\mathcal G_{\delta,K}Gδ,K​ be the set of probability mass functions on Zd\mathbb Z^dZd that give mass greater than 1−δ1-\delta1−δ to some set DDD with diam⁡(D)=sup⁡x,y∈D∥x−y∥1≤K\operatorname{diam}(D)=\sup_{x,y\in D}\|x-y\|_1\le Kdiam(D)=supx,y∈D​∥x−y∥1​≤K.

The proofs work on the space S\mathcal SS of partitioned subprobability measures: functions f≥0f\ge0f≥0 on N×Zd\mathbb N\times\mathbb Z^dN×Zd with ∑f≤1\sum f\le1∑f≤1, modulo translations of each copy of Zd\mathbb Z^dZd, with a metric ddd that makes S\mathcal SS compact. The update fn↦fn+1f_n\mapsto f_{n+1}fn​↦fn+1​ induces a Markov kernel T\mathcal TT on S\mathcal SS; K\mathcal KK is its set of invariant probability measures and M⊂K\mathcal M\subset\mathcal KM⊂K the minimisers of a free-energy functional R\mathcal RR. On S\mathcal SS the mission uses the functionals max⁡(f)=max⁡uf(u)\max(f)=\max_uf(u)max(f)=maxu​f(u), the support number N(f)N(f)N(f) (number of copies carrying mass), Wδ(f)W_\delta(f)Wδ​(f) (the least diameter of a region of one copy with mass >1−δ>1-\delta>1−δ), m(f)=max⁡nqn(f)m(f)=\max_nq_n(f)m(f)=maxn​qn​(f) and Q(f)=∑nqn(f)/(1−qn(f))Q(f)=\sum_nq_n(f)/(1-q_n(f))Q(f)=∑n​qn​(f)/(1−qn​(f)), where qn(f)q_n(f)qn​(f) is the mass of copy nnn.

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem 1.2 (= Theorem 7.3(a),(c))

If β>βc\beta>\beta_cβ>βc​, then for every δ>0\delta>0δ>0 there are K<∞K<\inftyK<∞ and θ>0\theta>0θ>0, depending only on δ,L,β,d\delta,\mathfrak L,\beta,dδ,L,β,d, such that

lim inf⁡n→∞1n∑i=0n−11{fi∈Gδ,K}≥θa.s.\liminf_{n\to\infty}\frac1n\sum_{i=0}^{n-1}\mathbb 1_{\{f_i\in\mathcal G_{\delta,K}\}}\ge\theta\quad\text{a.s.}n→∞liminf​n1​i=0∑n−1​1{fi​∈Gδ,K​}​≥θa.s.

If 0≤β≤βc0\le\beta\le\beta_c0≤β≤βc​, then for every KKK and every δ∈(0,1)\delta\in(0,1)δ∈(0,1),

lim⁡n→∞1n∑i=0n−11{fi∈Gδ,K}=0a.s.\lim_{n\to\infty}\frac1n\sum_{i=0}^{n-1}\mathbb 1_{\{f_i\in\mathcal G_{\delta,K}\}}=0\quad\text{a.s.}n→∞lim​n1​i=0∑n−1​1{fi​∈Gδ,K​}​=0a.s.

The goal fixes no constants: KKK and θ\thetaθ are only asserted to exist.

Milestones

  1. Lemma 5.4: max⁡\maxmax is continuous on S\mathcal SS.
  2. Theorem 5.3: the Cesàro average of max⁡xfi(x)\max_xf_i(x)maxx​fi​(x) tends to 000 a.s. at high temperature and has lim inf⁡≥c>0\liminf\ge c>0liminf≥c>0 a.s. at low temperature.
  3. Lemma 7.1: WδW_\deltaWδ​ is upper semicontinuous; mmm and QQQ are lower semicontinuous.
  4. Lemma 7.2: at low temperature ∫Q dν=∞\int Q\,d\nu=\infty∫Qdν=∞ for every ν∈M\nu\in\mathcal Mν∈M.
  5. Theorem 7.3(b): under the single-copy condition ν(N=1)=1\nu(N=1)=1ν(N=1)=1 for all ν∈M\nu\in\mathcal Mν∈M (7.4), localization holds with full density θ≥1−δ\theta\ge1-\deltaθ≥1−δ.
  6. Proposition 7.4: under (7.4), lim⁡K→∞lim inf⁡n1n∑i<nρi(ωi∈CiK)=1\lim_{K\to\infty}\liminf_n\frac1n\sum_{i<n}\rho_i(\omega_i\in\mathcal C_i^K)=1limK→∞​liminfn​n1​∑i<n​ρi​(ωi​∈CiK​)=1 a.s., where CiK\mathcal C_i^KCiK​ is the set of sites within distance KKK of every mode of fif_ifi​.

Significance

The theorem shows that the low-temperature phase is detected by the shape of the endpoint distribution, not only by its largest atom: positive-density geometric localization holds if and only if β>βc\beta>\beta_cβ>βc​. The determinism of KKK and θ\thetaθ makes the statement uniform over all environments with the given law. The conditional results 5 and 6 reduce full-density and favourite-region localization to a single property of the limit set M\mathcal MM, which is open.

The result is proved on paper; nothing in it is machine-checked. A formalization would produce a checked development of the compact space S\mathcal SS, of the Markov kernel T\mathcal TT, and of the variational characterisation of the free energy, which also underlies the companion mission on asymptotic pure atomicity of the same paper.

Difficulty

The obvious approach, tracking fnf_nfn​ in ℓ1(Zd)\ell^1(\mathbb Z^d)ℓ1(Zd), fails because mass escapes to infinity: the sequence (fn)(f_n)(fn​) has no convergent subsequence in any space of probability measures on Zd\mathbb Z^dZd. The paper's compactification keeps pieces of mass that drift apart as separate copies, so a limit point can split one copy's mass over several. The semicontinuity of WδW_\deltaWδ​, mmm and QQQ (Lemma 7.1) only goes one way for this reason, and positivity of the localized fraction needs the separate identity of Lemma 7.2, which uses strict convexity and the non-degeneracy of L\mathfrak LL. Theorem 5.3 already requires the full variational machinery of §4 (convergence of empirical measures to M\mathcal MM), which is the companion mission's subject.

Formalization scope

Points are Zd=\mathbb Z^d=Zd= Fin d → ℤ, cells are ℕ × (Fin d → ℤ), and paths are sequences of nnn signed coordinate steps. The environment is a family of independent measurable random variables, each with law L\mathfrak LL, on an arbitrary probability space. The phases are encoded through Theorem A as lim⁡EFn<λ(β)\lim\mathbf E F_n<\lambda(\beta)limEFn​<λ(β) (β>βc\beta>\beta_cβ>βc​) and lim⁡EFn=λ(β)\lim\mathbf EF_n=\lambda(\beta)limEFn​=λ(β) (0≤β≤βc0\le\beta\le\beta_c0≤β≤βc​), with EFn\mathbf EF_nEFn​ computed under the canonical product environment. Elements of S\mathcal SS are represented by their representatives, with the topology generated by ddd-balls (no quotient). In the goal, KKK and θ\thetaθ are chosen before the probability space. Part (a) is stated for all δ>0\delta>0δ>0 and part (c) for δ∈(0,1)\delta\in(0,1)δ∈(0,1), as printed.

Trivializing encodings are ruled out: Gδ,K\mathcal G_{\delta,K}Gδ,K​ requires total mass exactly 111; WδW_\deltaWδ​ and NNN take values in N∪{∞}\mathbb N\cup\{\infty\}N∪{∞} so that an empty infimum is ∞\infty∞; QQQ is computed in [0,∞][0,\infty][0,∞] so that 1/0=∞1/0=\infty1/0=∞; the sum in F~\widetilde FF is taken in [0,∞][0,\infty][0,∞]; M\mathcal MM avoids a real infimum over K\mathcal KK; L\mathfrak LL is non-degenerate; and the phase hypotheses are limits that exist.

A complete development needs: the metric space (S,d)(\mathcal S,d)(S,d) and its compactness, the measurability and continuity of T\mathcal TT, the Wasserstein space P(S)\mathcal P(\mathcal S)P(S) (here through the published RWPI.SqrtLasso.transportCost), and the convergence W(μn,M)→0\mathcal W(\mu_n,\mathcal M)\to0W(μn​,M)→0 (Theorem 4.9) together with M={δ0}\mathcal M=\{\delta_0\}M={δ0​} at high temperature (Theorem 5.2), both posed in the companion mission. Contributions to any milestone, and to the shared infrastructure of S\mathcal SS, are welcome.

Selected references

  • E. Bates, S. Chatterjee, The endpoint distribution of directed polymers, Ann. Probab. 48 (2020); arXiv:1612.03443v5. https://arxiv.org/abs/1612.03443
  • F. Comets, N. Yoshida, Directed polymers in random environment are diffusive at weak disorder, Ann. Probab. 34 (2006). https://doi.org/10.1214/009117905000000828
  • F. Comets, T. Shiga, N. Yoshida, Directed polymers in a random environment: path localization and strong disorder, Bernoulli 9 (2003). https://doi.org/10.3150/bj/1065444233
  • P. Carmona, Y. Hu, On the partition function of a directed polymer in a Gaussian random environment, Probab. Theory Related Fields 124 (2002). https://doi.org/10.1007/s004400200213
  • F. Comets, V.-L. Nguyen, Localization in log-gamma polymers with boundaries, Probab. Theory Related Fields 166 (2016). https://doi.org/10.1007/s00440-015-0662-4
  • F. Comets, Directed Polymers in Random Environments, Lecture Notes in Math. 2175, Springer (2017). https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-319-50487-2
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Differential GeometryFunctional AnalysisOptimal Transport+1·Captain: mikedeng1

Bakry–Émery Curvature-Dimension Condition and Riemannian Ricci Curvature Bounds 4: A Riemannian Energy Measure Space Satisfying BE(K,∞) Is an RCD(K,∞) SpaceResearch Paper

Why relate heat flow and curvature?

Heat flow gives an analytic way to describe how functions spread on a space. Optimal transport gives a metric way to describe how probability measures move on the same space. On a smooth Riemannian manifold, a lower Ricci curvature bound constrains both motions. The problem addressed by Ambrosio, Gigli and Savaré is to identify the corresponding relationship when the underlying space need not be a manifold. A Dirichlet form can specify a heat flow even when there are no smooth coordinates, while a Wasserstein distance can measure transport between probability measures. Theorem 4.17 connects these two descriptions for Riemannian energy measure spaces.

The paper proves the implication from the Bakry–Émery condition BE(K,∞)BE(K,\infty)BE(K,∞) to the Riemannian curvature-dimension condition RCD(K,∞)RCD(K,\infty)RCD(K,∞). Its printed theorem is an equivalence; the paper cites the reverse implication from earlier work in the proof on p. 58. This mission targets the implication established here, with the source's exact assumptions.

Setting

Let XXX be a complete, separable metric space with a Borel measure mmm. A Dirichlet form E\mathcal EE assigns a nonnegative energy to square-integrable functions, is quadratic and lower semicontinuous, and decreases under normal contractions. Its associated heat flow PtP_tPt​ evolves a function over time. The associated carré du champ Γ(f)\Gamma(f)Γ(f) measures the energy density of a function. Functions with energy density at most one define an intrinsic distance

dE(x,y)=sup⁡{∣ψ(y)−ψ(x)∣:ψ is continuous and Γ(ψ)≤1 m-a.e.}.d_{\mathcal E}(x,y)=\sup\{|\psi(y)-\psi(x)|:\psi\text{ is continuous and }\Gamma(\psi)\le1\ m\text{-a.e.}\}.dE​(x,y)=sup{∣ψ(y)−ψ(x)∣:ψ is continuous and Γ(ψ)≤1 m-a.e.}.

For the Riemannian energy measure space in this mission, this intrinsic distance is the metric of XXX. The structure also requires the paper's upper regularity and continuous-representative properties. The growth condition (MD.exp)(MD.exp)(MD.exp) controls the measure of large balls. In the BE(K,∞)BE(K,\infty)BE(K,∞) condition, a weak second-derivative inequality for the heat flow has curvature parameter KKK and no finite-dimensional correction term. These assumptions are stated at the start of §4 and govern the §4 milestones even when an individual theorem does not repeat them. See Definitions 3.6 and 3.16 and the opening of §4.

Write P2(X)\mathcal P_2(X)P2​(X) for the probability measures with finite second moment, W2W_2W2​ for their quadratic Wasserstein distance, and Ent⁡m(ρ)\operatorname{Ent}_m(\rho)Entm​(ρ) for entropy relative to mmm. The heat flow has a dual action HtH_tHt​ on measures. The target RCD(K,∞)RCD(K,\infty)RCD(K,∞) asks for a curve HtρH_t\rhoHt​ρ from every ρ∈P2(X)\rho\in\mathcal P_2(X)ρ∈P2​(X) that satisfies the following evolution variational inequality against every ν∈P2(X)\nu\in\mathcal P_2(X)ν∈P2​(X) of finite entropy, at every t>0t>0t>0:

d+dtW22(Htρ,ν)2+K2W22(Htρ,ν)+Ent⁡m(Htρ)≤Ent⁡m(ν).\frac{d^+}{dt}\frac{W_2^2(H_t\rho,\nu)}2 +\frac K2W_2^2(H_t\rho,\nu) +\operatorname{Ent}_m(H_t\rho) \le\operatorname{Ent}_m(\nu).dtd+​2W22​(Ht​ρ,ν)​+2K​W22​(Ht​ρ,ν)+Entm​(Ht​ρ)≤Entm​(ν).

The definition also includes full support, local finiteness, the exponential growth condition, and the length-space property. See Definition 3.1.

Formalization targets

The goal is the forward implication of Theorem 4.17:

Riemannian energy measure space+(MD.exp)+BE(K,∞)⟹RCD(K,∞).\text{Riemannian energy measure space}+(MD.exp)+BE(K,\infty) \quad\Longrightarrow\quad RCD(K,\infty).Riemannian energy measure space+(MD.exp)+BE(K,∞)⟹RCD(K,∞).

Three milestones supply central results from the paper. The final assertions of Theorem 3.17 give the dual measure flow and its absolute continuity after positive time. Corollary 3.18 identifies BE(K,∞)BE(K,\infty)BE(K,∞) with the W2W_2W2​ contraction W2((Ptf)m,(Ptg)m)≤e−KtW2(fm,gm)W_2((P_t f)m,(P_t g)m)\le e^{-Kt}W_2(fm,gm)W2​((Pt​f)m,(Pt​g)m)≤e−KtW2​(fm,gm) on probability densities. A companion item, Theorem 4.8, gives an entropy bound for HtμH_t\muHt​μ when μ\muμ has finite second moment:

Ent⁡m(Htμ)≤r2+∫Xd2(x,x0) dμ(x)2I2K(t)−log⁡m(Br(x0)),r,t>0.\operatorname{Ent}_m(H_t\mu) \le\frac{r^2+\int_X d^2(x,x_0)\,d\mu(x)}{2I_{2K}(t)} -\log m(B_r(x_0)),\qquad r,t>0.Entm​(Ht​μ)≤2I2K​(t)r2+∫X​d2(x,x0​)dμ(x)​−logm(Br​(x0​)),r,t>0.

The third milestone, Theorem 4.16, bounds the distance and entropy at the heat-evolved endpoint of a regular curve ρs\rho_sρs​:

W22(ρ0,Htρ1)+2tEnt⁡m(Htρ1)≤RK(t)2∫01∣ρ˙s∣2 ds+2tEnt⁡m(ρ0),RK(t)=t/IK(t).W_2^2(\rho_0,H_t\rho_1)+2t\operatorname{Ent}_m(H_t\rho_1) \le R_K(t)^2\int_0^1|\dot\rho_s|^2\,ds +2t\operatorname{Ent}_m(\rho_0),\qquad R_K(t)=t/I_K(t).W22​(ρ0​,Ht​ρ1​)+2tEntm​(Ht​ρ1​)≤RK​(t)2∫01​∣ρ˙​s​∣2ds+2tEntm​(ρ0​),RK​(t)=t/IK​(t).

The milestone list follows the source labels and constants in §4.

What the result provides

The conclusion turns an analytic curvature bound on a heat semigroup into a transport statement about entropy on probability measures. It therefore identifies a concrete set of Dirichlet-form hypotheses under which the heat evolution has the metric behavior demanded by RCD(K,∞)RCD(K,\infty)RCD(K,∞). The result applies in the paper's metric measure setting, where the space may lack a smooth tensor calculus. The RCDRCDRCD conclusion carries convergence from every initial measure in P2(X)\mathcal P_2(X)P2​(X) and the inequality for all finite-entropy comparison measures.

The mathematical implication is proved in the cited paper. The proposed Lean statements are open proof targets: their declarations compile with placeholders, and no machine-checked proof of this implication is asserted here. A complete development would connect Dirichlet-form calculus, probability measures, entropy, and Wasserstein geometry in reusable interfaces. The dual-flow and regular-curve definitions are especially useful beyond this theorem.

Main difficulty

The heat flow is initially specified on square-integrable functions, whereas the target is an inequality for probability measures, including measures without an initial density. A bound on Γ(Ptf)\Gamma(P_t f)Γ(Pt​f) by itself controls functions almost everywhere; it does not immediately produce the pointwise dual flow or the right derivative of W22W_2^2W22​ required by Definition 3.1. The action estimate also begins with regular curves, while the target quantifies over every initial measure in P2(X)\mathcal P_2(X)P2​(X). These changes of domain and regularity are the central mathematical obstacles; simply renaming the heat semigroup as a measure flow leaves the target unjustified.

Formalization scope

Lean uses real-valued function representatives for L2(X,m)L^2(X,m)L2(X,m), with almost-everywhere congruence in the Dirichlet form and heat flow. Measures use the Borel sigma algebra. The source uses its mmm-completion; the formalization treats quantities invariant under mmm-almost-everywhere equality, and this convention is explicit in the definition layer. The metric is complete and second countable, and its equality with dEd_{\mathcal E}dE​ is part of the energy-measure-space predicate. A sigma-finiteness instance is carried where entropy or measure operations need it; it follows from the source's measure-growth setting. The dual flow and the L1L^1L1 extension are bound by predicates that specify their action on densities. The mollifier for a regular curve is bound by the conditions of (2.17), while the action is the infimum of squared admissible speeds, which equals the integral of the squared metric derivative.

Wasserstein costs use R≥0∪{∞}\mathbb R_{\ge0}\cup\{\infty\}R≥0​∪{∞}, and entropy uses extended real values. Theorem 4.8 restricts r,tr,tr,t to positive numbers, so the ball mass and I2K(t)I_{2K}(t)I2K​(t) used in its formula have the intended domain. Theorem 4.16 also uses t>0t>0t>0, making RK(t)=t/IK(t)R_K(t)=t/I_K(t)RK​(t)=t/IK​(t) meaningful, including at K=0K=0K=0. The goal requires an EVI flow beginning at each ρ∈P2(X)\rho\in\mathcal P_2(X)ρ∈P2​(X) and the inequality at every positive time; allowing a vacuous flow or checking only almost every time would not express Definition 3.1. Contributions may establish the milestone statements and the companion Theorem 4.8, develop the omitted intermediate estimates from §4, or prove the goal from the source's full argument.

Selected references

  • L. Ambrosio, N. Gigli and G. Savaré, Bakry–Émery curvature-dimension condition and Riemannian Ricci curvature bounds, Annals of Probability 43(1), 2015, 339–404. arXiv:1209.5786v4.
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Algorithmic Game TheoryControl TheoryProbability·Captain: mikedeng1

On the Convergence of Closed-Loop Nash Equilibria to the Mean Field Game Limit 2: Every Strong MFE Is the Limit in Law of Markovian ε_n-Nash Equilibria of the n-Player GamesResearch Paper

Motivation

Mean field games (Lasry–Lions 2006, Huang–Malhamé–Caines 2006) describe Nash equilibria of stochastic differential games with very many symmetric players. In this description each player interacts with the others only through the empirical distribution of their states. The mean field game is meant to be the limit of the nnn-player games as n→∞n\to\inftyn→∞. Making that link rigorous has two halves:

  • a limit theorem: every limit of nnn-player equilibria is a mean field equilibrium;
  • a converse: every mean field equilibrium is the limit of nnn-player approximate equilibria.

For closed-loop equilibria, where players react to the observed states of all others, both halves are harder than for open-loop equilibria. A single player's deviation changes the feedback of the whole system.

This mission covers the converse half of D. Lacker, On the convergence of closed-loop Nash equilibria to the mean field game limit (arXiv:1808.02745v1, 2018; Ann. Appl. Probab. 30(4), 2020).

Timeline.

  • Carmona–Delarue (2013) and Huang–Malhamé–Caines constructed ϵn\epsilon_nϵn​-Nash equilibria from mean field equilibria, under Lipschitz or linear-quadratic structure, with continuous feedbacks.
  • Cardaliaguet–Delarue–Lasry–Lions (2015, arXiv:1509.02505) obtained such a converse implicitly from a smooth master equation.
  • Lacker (2018) proved the converse for every strong mean field equilibrium. His hypotheses are bounded continuous coefficients and a drift that is Lipschitz in total variation, and the feedback may be discontinuous. The key input is a propagation-of-chaos result in total variation (Lacker, On a strong form of propagation of chaos for McKean–Vlasov equations, arXiv:1805.04476).

Setting

Fix a horizon T>0T>0T>0, a compact convex action set AAA in a real normed space, an initial law λ∈P(Rd)\lambda\in\mathcal P(\mathbb R^d)λ∈P(Rd) and coefficients

b:[0,T]×Rd×P(Rd)×A→Rd,f:[0,T]×Rd×P(Rd)×A→R,g:Rd×P(Rd)→R.b:[0,T]\times\mathbb R^d\times\mathcal P(\mathbb R^d)\times A\to\mathbb R^d,\quad f:[0,T]\times\mathbb R^d\times\mathcal P(\mathbb R^d)\times A\to\mathbb R,\quad g:\mathbb R^d\times\mathcal P(\mathbb R^d)\to\mathbb R .b:[0,T]×Rd×P(Rd)×A→Rd,f:[0,T]×Rd×P(Rd)×A→R,g:Rd×P(Rd)→R.

The nnn-player game.

  • A Markovian control is a Borel map α:[0,T]×(Rd)n→A\alpha:[0,T]\times(\mathbb R^d)^n\to Aα:[0,T]×(Rd)n→A.
  • Under a profile α=(α1,…,αn)\alpha=(\alpha^1,\dots,\alpha^n)α=(α1,…,αn) the states solve
dXti=b(t,Xti,μtn,αi(t,Xt))dt+dWti,μtn=1n∑kδXtk,dX^i_t=b\big(t,X^i_t,\mu^n_t,\alpha^i(t,X_t)\big)dt+dW^i_t,\qquad \mu^n_t=\tfrac1n\textstyle\sum_{k}\delta_{X^k_t},dXti​=b(t,Xti​,μtn​,αi(t,Xt​))dt+dWti​,μtn​=n1​∑k​δXtk​​,

with independent Brownian motions WiW^iWi and i.i.d. initial states of law λ\lambdaλ.

  • Player iii receives Jin(α)=E[∫0Tf(t,Xti,μtn,αi(t,Xt))dt+g(XTi,μTn)]J^n_i(\alpha)=\mathbb E\big[\int_0^Tf(t,X^i_t,\mu^n_t,\alpha^i(t,X_t))dt+g(X^i_T,\mu^n_T)\big]Jin​(α)=E[∫0T​f(t,Xti​,μtn​,αi(t,Xt​))dt+g(XTi​,μTn​)].
  • The profile is a Markovian ϵ\epsilonϵ-Nash equilibrium if no player gains more than ϵ\epsilonϵ by switching to another Markovian control.
  • Relaxed controls take values in P(A)\mathcal P(A)P(A) and average bbb and fff against them.

The mean field game. A flow m∈C([0,T];P(Rd))m\in C([0,T];\mathcal P(\mathbb R^d))m∈C([0,T];P(Rd)) is a strong MFE if some Borel feedback α∗:[0,T]×Rd→A\alpha^*:[0,T]\times\mathbb R^d\to Aα∗:[0,T]×Rd→A satisfies two conditions:

  • the state dXt∗=b(t,Xt∗,mt,α∗(t,Xt∗))dt+dWtdX^*_t=b(t,X^*_t,m_t,\alpha^*(t,X^*_t))dt+dW_tdXt∗​=b(t,Xt∗​,mt​,α∗(t,Xt∗​))dt+dWt​, X0∗∼λX^*_0\sim\lambdaX0∗​∼λ, has law mtm_tmt​ at every time;
  • α∗\alpha^*α∗ maximizes E[∫0Tf(t,Xt,mt,α(t,Xt))dt+g(XT,mT)]\mathbb E[\int_0^Tf(t,X_t,m_t,\alpha(t,X_t))dt+g(X_T,m_T)]E[∫0T​f(t,Xt​,mt​,α(t,Xt​))dt+g(XT​,mT​)] among all Borel feedbacks α\alphaα.

A strong RMFE is the relaxed analogue.

The assumptions are:

  • Assumption A: AAA compact convex; b,f,gb,f,gb,f,g bounded and jointly continuous.
  • Assumption B: the sets {(b(t,x,m,a),z):a∈A, z≤f(t,x,m,a)}\{(b(t,x,m,a),z):a\in A,\ z\le f(t,x,m,a)\}{(b(t,x,m,a),z):a∈A, z≤f(t,x,m,a)} are convex.
  • Assumption C: ∣b(t,x,m,a)−b(t,x,m′,a)∣≤c ∥m−m′∥TV|b(t,x,m,a)-b(t,x,m',a)|\le c\,\|m-m'\|_{TV}∣b(t,x,m,a)−b(t,x,m′,a)∣≤c∥m−m′∥TV​, with ∥m−m′∥TV=sup⁡∣φ∣≤1∫φ d(m−m′)\|m-m'\|_{TV}=\sup_{|\varphi|\le1}\int\varphi\,d(m-m')∥m−m′∥TV​=sup∣φ∣≤1​∫φd(m−m′).

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem 2.11

Under Assumptions A, B and C, if mmm is a strong MFE, there are two families of objects:

  • numbers ϵn≥0\epsilon_n\ge0ϵn​≥0 with ϵn→0\epsilon_n\to0ϵn​→0;
  • for each nnn, Markovian ϵn\epsilon_nϵn​-Nash equilibria αn\alpha^nαn;

such that

μn[αn] → law  min C([0,T];P(Rd)).\mu^n[\alpha^n]\ \xrightarrow{\ \text{law}\ }\ m\quad\text{in }C([0,T];\mathcal P(\mathbb R^d)).μn[αn]  law ​ min C([0,T];P(Rd)).

The goal asserts no rate, so any quantitative improvement still implies it.

Milestones

  • Proposition 3.7 (strong part): under A and B, strong MFE and strong RMFE are the same flows.
  • Theorem 2.14 (Markovian projection): a drift process can be replaced by a Markovian drift b^(t,x)=E[bt∣Xt=x]\hat b(t,x)=\mathbb E[b_t\mid X_t=x]b^(t,x)=E[bt​∣Xt​=x] with the same one-dimensional marginals.
  • (7.2): for the symmetric profile Λn,i(t,x)=Λ∗(t,xi)\Lambda^{n,i}(t,x)=\Lambda^*(t,x^i)Λn,i(t,x)=Λ∗(t,xi), μn→m\mu^n\to mμn→m in law and ∫φ dμtn→∫φ dmt\int\varphi\,d\mu^n_t\to\int\varphi\,dm_t∫φdμtn​→∫φdmt​ in probability for bounded measurable φ\varphiφ.
  • νn→m\nu^n\to mνn→m (§7.1, p. 45): after one player deviates, the empirical flow still converges to mmm in probability.
  • Theorem 3.10: the relaxed converse, under A and C only.
  • Proposition 3.4(a): under A and B, a relaxed Markovian ϵ\epsilonϵ-Nash equilibrium can be replaced by a strict one with the same state law.

Significance

The result. Theorem 2.11 says that the strong MFE is a faithful idealization: every classical mean field equilibrium is approximately realized by Markovian feedback equilibria of large finite games. No continuity of the equilibrium feedback and no master equation are required. Together with the paper's main limit theorem (mission 1 of this series), it locates strong MFE inside the set of limits of closed-loop equilibria. The paper's Section 2.4 explains why the same converse is open for weak MFE.

Formalizing it. The result is proved on paper but has no machine-checked proof. A complete development would produce several reusable pieces:

  • pathwise formulations of SDEs with bounded measurable drift;
  • the Markovian projection theorem;
  • total-variation propagation of chaos;
  • relaxed-control purification by measurable selection.

None of these is in Mathlib.

Difficulty

The obvious argument has every player use α∗(t,Xti)\alpha^*(t,X^i_t)α∗(t,Xti​), invokes the McKean–Vlasov limit, and passes optimality to the limit. It fails at two places:

  • Discontinuous feedback. α∗\alpha^*α∗ is only measurable, so weak convergence of μn\mu^nμn does not give convergence of payoffs. Convergence in probability of ∫φ dμtn\int\varphi\,d\mu^n_t∫φdμtn​ for discontinuous φ\varphiφ is needed, and that is exactly what the total-variation Lipschitz Assumption C provides.
  • Arbitrary deviations. A deviating player's control βn\beta^nβn is arbitrary and depends on all nnn states. Its limit is a relaxed, non-Markovian control. Comparing it with the mean field optimum requires a projection back onto Markovian feedbacks, without losing the marginal laws.

Formalization scope

Representation.

  • States live in EuclideanSpace ℝ (Fin d).
  • P(⋅)\mathcal P(\cdot)P(⋅) is Mathlib's ProbabilityMeasure with the weak topology and the Borel σ\sigmaσ-field.
  • Paths and flows are continuous maps on Set.Icc 0 T with the compact-open (uniform) topology.
  • Unit volatility makes every SDE a pathwise integral equation Xt=X0+∫0t(drift)ds+WtX_t=X_0+\int_0^t(\text{drift})ds+W_tXt​=X0​+∫0t​(drift)ds+Wt​ a.s., with no stochastic integral.
  • Solutions are quantified, not chosen. Payoffs are functions of a solution, and every equilibrium inequality, consistency condition and convergence statement is required for every solution. This equals the paper's definitions because solutions exist and are unique in law (Girsanov; Veretennikov; Krylov–Röckner).
  • The game with n+1n+1n+1 players is indexed by nnn.

Committed choices.

  • The paper's consistency condition "mt=L(Xt)m_t=\mathcal L(X_t)mt​=L(Xt​)" is read as L(Xt∗)\mathcal L(X^*_t)L(Xt∗​).
  • "Strong RFME" in Proposition 3.7 is read as strong RMFE.
  • Theorem 2.14's "unique strong solution" is a strong solution adapted to the completed filtration of (X0,W)(X_0,W)(X0​,W); its existence is part of the conclusion.
  • The νn\nu^nνn milestone is stated for arbitrary relaxed Markovian deviations, which include the paper's near-optimal ones.
  • Coefficients and controls are defined at all real times; only [0,T][0,T][0,T] matters.

Ruled out. Because equilibria quantify over solutions, a profile whose state system has no solution would be an equilibrium vacuously. For this reason every existence conclusion (the goal, Theorem 3.10, Proposition 3.4(a)) also asserts that the chosen profiles have solutions, and strong (R)MFE requires the equilibrium SDE to have one.

Infrastructure. A complete proof needs Girsanov's theorem, strong existence for SDEs with bounded measurable drift, measurable selection, tightness on path space, and total-variation propagation of chaos. Each is reusable well beyond this mission, and contributions of any of them are welcome. Proposition 3.4(b), the weak half of Proposition 3.7, and Theorem 2.7 are outside this mission.

Selected references

  • D. Lacker, On the convergence of closed-loop Nash equilibria to the mean field game limit, arXiv:1808.02745v1, 2018; Ann. Appl. Probab. 30(4), 2020. https://arxiv.org/abs/1808.02745
  • D. Lacker, On a strong form of propagation of chaos for McKean–Vlasov equations, Electron. Commun. Probab. 23, 2018. https://arxiv.org/abs/1805.04476
  • I. Gyöngy, Mimicking the one-dimensional marginal distributions of processes having an Itô differential, Probab. Theory Related Fields 71, 1986. https://doi.org/10.1007/BF00699039
  • G. Brunick, S. Shreve, Mimicking an Itô process by a solution of a stochastic differential equation, Ann. Appl. Probab. 23(4), 2013. https://arxiv.org/abs/1011.0111
  • R. Carmona, F. Delarue, Probabilistic analysis of mean-field games, SIAM J. Control Optim. 51(4), 2013. https://arxiv.org/abs/1210.5780
  • P. Cardaliaguet, F. Delarue, J.-M. Lasry, P.-L. Lions, The master equation and the convergence problem in mean field games, Annals of Math. Studies 201, 2019. https://arxiv.org/abs/1509.02505
  • A. Yu. Veretennikov, On strong solutions and explicit formulas for solutions of stochastic integral equations, Math. USSR Sb. 39, 1981. https://doi.org/10.1070/SM1981v039n03ABEH001518
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Convex OptimizationDiscrete GeometryInformation Theory+2·Captain: mikedeng1

Universality in Polytope Phase Transitions and Message Passing Algorithms 3: Projected Cross-Polytopes Have Weak Neighborliness ρ∗(δ) for Sub-Gaussian Matrices with a Gaussian ComponentResearch Paper

Why this phase transition matters

Sparse recovery asks when a vector with few nonzero coordinates can be reconstructed from fewer linear measurements than unknowns. A related geometric question asks how many faces of a high-dimensional cross-polytope survive a random linear projection. The two questions meet at the same threshold: uniqueness of a minimum-one-norm solution corresponds to a face of the projected cross-polytope. For Gaussian measurement matrices this threshold was known before the work of Bayati, Lelarge and Montanari, from Donoho's face-counting analysis (Donoho 2006); the same curve was later identified as the transition of approximate message passing (Donoho, Maleki and Montanari 2009). Their 2015 paper establishes the same weak-neighborliness curve for a broader class of independent sub-Gaussian entries with a nonzero Gaussian component. The result addresses the universality question posed for these projections: does the asymptotic transition depend on the full entry distribution or only on broad features of the matrix law?

The mathematical theorem is established in that paper. This mission records its statement in Lean and leaves the machine-checked proof open. The relevant statement is Theorem 2 on page 5 of the pinned arXiv version 2, rather than a claim about every random projection without a Gaussian component.

Polytopes, faces, and random matrices

The cross-polytope CnC_nCn​ is the unit ball for the coordinate one-norm in Rn\mathbb R^nRn:

Cn={x∈Rn:∑i=1n∣xi∣≤1}.C_n=\left\{x\in\mathbb R^n:\sum_{i=1}^n|x_i|\leq1\right\}.Cn​={x∈Rn:i=1∑n​∣xi​∣≤1}.

For an m×nm\times nm×n matrix AAA, the projected polytope ACnAC_nACn​ consists of all AxAxAx with x∈Cnx\in C_nx∈Cn​. Write F(Q;ℓ)F(Q;\ell)F(Q;ℓ) for the number of nonempty faces of QQQ whose affine dimension is ⌊ℓ⌋\lfloor\ell\rfloor⌊ℓ⌋. The weak neighborliness level ρ∈(0,1)\rho\in(0,1)ρ∈(0,1) of a random sequence Qn⊆Rm(n)Q_n\subseteq\mathbb R^{m(n)}Qn​⊆Rm(n) means that, for every ξ>0\xi>0ξ>0, the ratio F(Qn;m(n)ρ(1−ξ))/F(Cn;m(n)ρ(1−ξ))F(Q_n;m(n)\rho(1-\xi))/F(C_n;m(n)\rho(1-\xi))F(Qn​;m(n)ρ(1−ξ))/F(Cn​;m(n)ρ(1−ξ)) converges in probability to one, while the analogous ratio with 1+ξ1+\xi1+ξ converges in probability to zero. Both limits belong to the definition; the first alone would record only survival below a candidate threshold.

The matrices have m(n)=⌊nδ⌋m(n)=\lfloor n\delta\rfloorm(n)=⌊nδ⌋ rows for a fixed sampling ratio δ∈(0,1)\delta\in(0,1)δ∈(0,1). Within each matrix, the entries are independent, centered, unit-variance, and sub-Gaussian with one scale factor independent of nnn. They also admit a decomposition A(n)=A~(n)+ν0G(n)A(n)=\widetilde A(n)+\nu_0G(n)A(n)=A(n)+ν0​G(n), where ν0>0\nu_0>0ν0​>0 and the entries of G(n)G(n)G(n) are independent standard normal variables, jointly independent of A~(n)\widetilde A(n)A(n). The theorem imposes no independence between matrices with different values of nnn Bayati–Lelarge–Montanari, Theorem 2.

Formalization targets

Let ϕ\phiϕ and Φ\PhiΦ be the density and distribution function of a standard normal random variable. The paper defines its phase boundary through a positive parameter α\alphaα:

fδ(α)=2ϕ(α)α+2(ϕ(α)−αΦ(−α)),fρ(α)=1−αΦ(−α)ϕ(α).f_\delta(\alpha)=\frac{2\phi(\alpha)}{\alpha+2\bigl(\phi(\alpha)-\alpha\Phi(-\alpha)\bigr)},\qquad f_\rho(\alpha)=1-\frac{\alpha\Phi(-\alpha)}{\phi(\alpha)}.fδ​(α)=α+2(ϕ(α)−αΦ(−α))2ϕ(α)​,fρ​(α)=1−ϕ(α)αΦ(−α)​.

Footnote 3 states that fδf_\deltafδ​ decreases from one to zero on the nonnegative half-line, so each δ∈(0,1)\delta\in(0,1)δ∈(0,1) has exactly one positive parameter. The goal, Theorem 2, says that whenever fδ(α)=δf_\delta(\alpha)=\deltafδ​(α)=δ, the sequence A(n)CnA(n)C_nA(n)Cn​ has weak neighborliness fρ(α)f_\rho(\alpha)fρ​(α) in probability. The Lean theorem spells out this parameter relation; it does not apply an inverse function at an argument outside a proved range.

The milestone list covers the two scalar results identifying the boundary, a deterministic condition for exact recovery, and the compressed-sensing transition. With ZZZ standard normal and u+=max⁡(u,0)u_+=\max(u,0)u+​=max(u,0), the scalar function is

Gε(α)=ε(1+α2)+2(1−ε)E[(Z−α)+2].G_\varepsilon(\alpha)=\varepsilon(1+\alpha^2)+2(1-\varepsilon)\mathbb E[(Z-\alpha)_+^2].Gε​(α)=ε(1+α2)+2(1−ε)E[(Z−α)+2​].

Lemma 8 gives its unique positive minimizer and its minimum value. Lemma 9 relates that minimum to both sides of the boundary. The scalar state evolution σt+12=F(σt2,ασt)\sigma_{t+1}^2=\mathsf F(\sigma_t^2,\alpha\sigma_t)σt+12​=F(σt2​,ασt​), with F(σ2,θ)=δ−1E{[η(X+σZ;θ)−X]2}\mathsf F(\sigma^2,\theta)=\delta^{-1}\mathbb E\{[\eta(X+\sigma Z;\theta)-X]^2\}F(σ2,θ)=δ−1E{[η(X+σZ;θ)−X]2} and η(u;θ)=sign⁡(u)(∣u∣−θ)+\eta(u;\theta)=\operatorname{sign}(u)(|u|-\theta)_+η(u;θ)=sign(u)(∣u∣−θ)+​ soft thresholding, has slope Gε(α)/δG_\varepsilon(\alpha)/\deltaGε​(α)/δ at the origin and is concave (Lemma 7). Lemma 10 shows that a two-time correlation map Fα,ε\mathcal F_{\alpha,\varepsilon}Fα,ε​ satisfies Fα,ε(Q)>Q\mathcal F_{\alpha,\varepsilon}(Q)>QFα,ε​(Q)>Q on [0,1)[0,1)[0,1). Theorem 10, cited from Bürgisser and Cucker, bounds the probability that a Gaussian-perturbed rectangular matrix has a small least singular value:

P{σN(B+νG)≤νz}≤(a1z)M−N+1.\mathbb P\{\sigma_N(B+\nu G)\le\nu z\}\le(a_1z)^{M-N+1}.P{σN​(B+νG)≤νz}≤(a1​z)M−N+1.

Lemma 5 gives a recovery condition based on an approximate dual certificate and singular-value bounds. Theorem 8 states that minimum-one-norm recovery succeeds with probability tending to one below the boundary and fails with probability tending to one above it Bayati–Lelarge–Montanari, pp. 39–41, 60–61.

What a formal proof would establish

The goal would certify that the same face-count transition applies to every entry law in the stated class, including laws that are not identically distributed across the matrix. The conclusion is geometric: it counts faces of an actual projected one-norm ball. The recovery milestone provides a second way to state the threshold for sparse signals. Together they make the normalization and the two sides of the transition explicit, so future variants can compare their assumptions and conclusions with a fixed formal statement.

No machine-checked proof of Theorem 2 or of the selected milestones is known. The declarations are open Lean statements over explicit definitions. A complete development would formalize the known argument in the paper, including the probabilistic estimates and the bridge from recovery probabilities to face counts. Sharper results that remove the Gaussian component would be separate theorems with their own hypotheses.

Where the difficulty lies

The count of surviving faces depends on many supports and sign patterns simultaneously. Matching means and variances of matrix entries does not make their finite-dimensional face counts equal. Likewise, controlling recovery for one fixed signal does not immediately control the fraction of all faces. Near the boundary, exact recovery also requires uniform singular-value information for many column submatrices. These are the points where elementary concentration for a single entry or a single support is insufficient. The source paper treats the geometric statement and the recovery transition under a Gaussian-component condition; a proof that silently assumes full Gaussianity would miss its universality claim.

Formalization scope

Vectors are functions on Fin n, and every one-norm is an explicit sum of absolute values. The squared Euclidean norm is a sum of coordinate squares; the default norm on Fin n → ℝ is not used for it. Face counts reuse the published Grunbaum2003.faceCount definition, with dimension ⌊ℓ⌋\lfloor\ell\rfloor⌊ℓ⌋ for nonnegative ℓ\ellℓ; negative dimensions have zero nonempty faces. The two limits in weak neighborliness use convergence in measure, which expresses convergence in probability here. The printed lower ratio has a zero denominator for ξ>1\xi>1ξ>1, so that limit is stated for 0<ξ≤10<\xi\leq10<ξ≤1. Ratios at small nnn may involve zero denominators, but the asymptotic assertion concerns arbitrarily large nnn.

Theorem 2 uses variance one and an N(0,1)N(0,1)N(0,1) Gaussian component. Theorem 8 instead uses variance 1/m(n)1/m(n)1/m(n) and an N(0,1/m(n))N(0,1/m(n))N(0,1/m(n)) component, exactly as printed. Sub-Gaussianity uses Mathlib's moment-generating-function predicate for all real parameters; this is the operative two-sided reading of the paper's stated scale condition. The scalar Gaussian expectation in GεG_\varepsilonGε​ is accompanied by an explicit integrability conclusion in Lemma 8, excluding Lean's zero value for a nonintegrable integral. The restricted least singular value is the infimum of output norms on unit column vectors. This gives zero when a wide submatrix has a kernel and is the bound needed by Lemma 5. The state-evolution map is written as a function of σ2\sigma^2σ2, and its derivative at 000 is a right derivative. In Lemma 10 the law of X∞X_\inftyX∞​ is the three-atom mixture on {0,+∞,−∞}\{0,+\infty,-\infty\}{0,+∞,−∞}, with the split of the mass ε\varepsilonε between the two infinite atoms left free. The page's clause Fα,ε′(1)<1\mathcal F'_{\alpha,\varepsilon}(1)<1Fα,ε′​(1)<1 is stated for α>α∗(ε)\alpha>\alpha_*(\varepsilon)α>α∗​(ε), since the derivative equals 111 at α=α∗\alpha=\alpha_*α=α∗​. Theorem 10 quantifies ν>0\nu>0ν>0 and z>0z>0z>0, which the page leaves implicit.

The random-matrix predicates require measurability, independence within each nnn, the stated marginal laws, and independence of G(n)G(n)G(n) from A~(n)\widetilde A(n)A(n). They leave the matrix law otherwise arbitrary. The weak-neighborliness predicate contains both face-ratio limits and 0<ρ<10<\rho<10<ρ<1; neither the goal nor a milestone defines the threshold by assuming its conclusion. A full proof needs reusable facts about Gaussian integrals, independence of finite arrays, random face counts, restricted singular values, and the relation between projected faces and unique one-norm recovery. Contributions establishing those facts or closing any of the listed theorem statements are within scope.

Selected references

  • Mohsen Bayati, Marc Lelarge and Andrea Montanari, Universality in polytope phase transitions and message passing algorithms, Annals of Applied Probability 25(2), 2015. arXiv:1207.7321v2
  • David L. Donoho, High-dimensional centrally symmetric polytopes with neighborliness proportional to dimension, Discrete & Computational Geometry 35, 617–652, 2006. MR2225676
  • David L. Donoho, Arian Maleki and Andrea Montanari, Message-passing algorithms for compressed sensing, Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences 106, 18914–18919, 2009. doi:10.1073/pnas.0909892106
  • Peter Bürgisser and Felipe Cucker, Smoothed analysis of Moore–Penrose inversion, SIAM Journal on Matrix Analysis and Applications 31, 2769–2783, 2010. MR2740632
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Algorithmic Game TheoryControl TheoryProbability·Captain: mikedeng1

On the Convergence of Closed-Loop Nash Equilibria to the Mean Field Game Limit 1: Empirical Measure Flows of Closed-Loop ε_n-Nash Equilibria Are Tight and Every Limit in Law Is a Weak MFEResearch Paper

Motivation

Mean field games (MFG) were introduced by Lasry and Lions (2007) and by Huang, Malhamé and Caines (2006) as limits of stochastic differential games with many symmetric players. The model is only meaningful if equilibria of the nnn-player games actually converge to equilibria of the limit game. That convergence depends on what information the players use. For open-loop equilibria, where controls are functions of the noise, it was established in general by Lacker (2016) and Fischer (2017). For closed-loop equilibria, where a player's control is a feedback on the observed states of all players, the deviation of one player changes the state processes of all others, and the only general results before this paper (Cardaliaguet, Delarue, Lasry and Lions, 2019) required a unique MFE and a smooth solution of the master equation.

Timeline:

  • 2006–2007: Lasry–Lions and Huang–Malhamé–Caines introduce MFG and construct approximate nnn-player equilibria from an MFE.
  • 2016–2017: Lacker and Fischer characterize limits of open-loop nnn-player equilibria as (weak) MFE, under continuity and compactness assumptions.
  • 2015/2019: Cardaliaguet–Delarue–Lasry–Lions prove convergence of closed-loop Markovian equilibria with a rate, assuming the master equation has a smooth solution (in particular, monotone data).
  • 2018: Lacker (arXiv:1808.02745, Ann. Appl. Probab. 2020) proves the closed-loop limit theorem without uniqueness or master equation, under bounded continuous data and a convexity condition. This mission formalizes that result.

Setting

Fix a dimension ddd, a horizon T>0T>0T>0, a compact convex control set AAA in a normed space, an initial law λ\lambdaλ on Rd\mathbb R^dRd, and bounded continuous functions b(t,x,m,a)∈Rdb(t,x,m,a)\in\mathbb R^db(t,x,m,a)∈Rd, f(t,x,m,a)∈Rf(t,x,m,a)\in\mathbb Rf(t,x,m,a)∈R, g(x,m)∈Rg(x,m)\in\mathbb Rg(x,m)∈R, where mmm ranges over the probability measures P(Rd)\mathcal P(\mathbb R^d)P(Rd) with the weak topology (Assumption A). Assumption B asks that {(b(t,x,m,a),z):a∈A, z≤f(t,x,m,a)}\{(b(t,x,m,a),z): a\in A,\ z\le f(t,x,m,a)\}{(b(t,x,m,a),z):a∈A, z≤f(t,x,m,a)} be convex for each (t,x,m)(t,x,m)(t,x,m).

In the nnn-player game, player iii picks an admissible closed-loop control αi(t,x)\alpha^i(t,x)αi(t,x): a measurable, non-anticipating function of time and of the paths of all nnn states. The states solve

dXti=b(t,Xti,μtn,αi(t,X))dt+dWti,μtn=1n∑k=1nδXtk,dX^i_t=b\big(t,X^i_t,\mu^n_t,\alpha^i(t,X)\big)dt+dW^i_t,\qquad \mu^n_t=\frac1n\sum_{k=1}^n\delta_{X^k_t},dXti​=b(t,Xti​,μtn​,αi(t,X))dt+dWti​,μtn​=n1​k=1∑n​δXtk​​,

with independent Brownian motions and i.i.d. initial states of law λ\lambdaλ, and player iii receives Jin(α)=E[∫0Tf(t,Xti,μtn,αi(t,X))dt+g(XTi,μTn)]J^n_i(\alpha)=\mathbb E\big[\int_0^Tf(t,X^i_t,\mu^n_t,\alpha^i(t,X))dt+g(X^i_T,\mu^n_T)\big]Jin​(α)=E[∫0T​f(t,Xti​,μtn​,αi(t,X))dt+g(XTi​,μTn​)]. A closed-loop ε\varepsilonε-Nash equilibrium is a profile from which no player gains more than ε\varepsilonε by a unilateral deviation. The random empirical measure flow μn=(μtn)t∈[0,T]\mu^n=(\mu^n_t)_{t\in[0,T]}μn=(μtn​)t∈[0,T]​ is an element of C([0,T];P(Rd))C([0,T];\mathcal P(\mathbb R^d))C([0,T];P(Rd)).

A function of (t,x,m)(t,x,m)(t,x,m), with mmm a measure flow, is semi-Markov if it depends on mmm only through (ms)s≤t(m_s)_{s\le t}(ms​)s≤t​. A weak MFE is a filtered probability space carrying a random flow μ\muμ, a Brownian motion WWW and a state X∗X^*X∗ with X0∗∼λX^*_0\sim\lambdaX0∗​∼λ, with X0∗,μ,WX^*_0,\mu,WX0∗​,μ,W independent, a semi-Markov control α∗(t,Xt∗,μ)\alpha^*(t,X^*_t,\mu)α∗(t,Xt∗​,μ) driving X∗X^*X∗, optimality of α∗\alpha^*α∗ against every semi-Markov alternative (the alternative state being driven by the same WWW and μ\muμ), and the consistency condition μt=P(Xt∗∈⋅∣Ftμ)\mu_t=\mathbb P(X^*_t\in\cdot\mid\mathcal F^\mu_t)μt​=P(Xt∗​∈⋅∣Ftμ​). When μ\muμ is deterministic this is the usual (strong) MFE.

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem 2.7

Under Assumptions A and B, if εn≥0\varepsilon_n\ge0εn​≥0, εn→0\varepsilon_n\to0εn​→0, and αn\alpha^nαn is a closed-loop εn\varepsilon_nεn​-Nash equilibrium of the nnn-player game, then

{L(μn[αn])}n is tight in P(C([0,T];P(Rd))),\big\{\mathcal L(\mu^n[\alpha^n])\big\}_n\ \text{is tight in}\ \mathcal P\big(C([0,T];\mathcal P(\mathbb R^d))\big),{L(μn[αn])}n​ is tight in P(C([0,T];P(Rd))),

and every subsequential limit in law is the law of the flow of a weak MFE. No constant and no rate is asserted.

Milestones

Without convexity (Theorem 3.9) the same holds with weak relaxed MFE, and Proposition 3.7 identifies weak relaxed MFE flows with weak MFE flows under Assumption B. The proof path of Section 5 is: tightness of the path-space empirical measures (Lemma 5.1), a projection lemma (Lemma 5.2), the realization of a randomized Fokker–Planck equation by a semi-Markov relaxed control (Lemma 5.3), identification of the limiting dynamics with the limiting average value (Theorem 5.4), approximation of relaxed by continuous controls (Lemma 5.5), and the limit of unilateral deviations (Proposition 5.6). Two supporting results come from Section 2.1 (well-posedness of the nnn-player system) and Appendix A (Corollary A.7).

Significance

The theorem shows that the mean field game is the correct limit of closed-loop nnn-player games without any uniqueness assumption, which is the regime where the master-equation method is unavailable. The price is the limit object: a weak MFE, whose measure flow may be random and whose control may depend on the past of the flow. The paper also shows (Proposition 7.2) that this randomness genuinely occurs, so the result cannot be strengthened to strong MFE in general. Combined with the converse (Theorem 2.11, mission 2 of this series), it characterizes which MFE arise as closed-loop limits.

The result is proved in the paper; nothing in it is machine-checked. A formalization produces a checked definition of closed-loop nnn-player games and of weak semi-Markov MFE, which are reusable for any MFG convergence result, and it would make explicit the measurability bookkeeping (semi-Markov controls, completed filtrations, conditional laws) that the paper outsources to its appendices.

Difficulty

The obvious argument fails at the deviation step. In the open-loop setting a deviating player leaves the other players' states unchanged; here the other players' feedback controls react to the deviation, so the state of every player changes. The paper's way around this is to identify the limit with semi-Markov controls and show that the value of a deviation can be approximated by nnn-player deviations of a specific form; making this work requires relaxed controls, a measurable projection onto the filtration of the (random) flow, and well-posedness of SDEs with bounded measurable drift and random coefficients. A newcomer's first idea, passing the Nash inequality to the limit with Markovian limit controls, does not work, because the limit flow is random and the limit control must see its past.

Formalization scope

  • States, laws, paths. Rd\mathbb R^dRd is the platform's EthierKurtz.SDEState d; Brownian motion is the platform's EthierKurtz.IsStandardBrownian. P(E)\mathcal P(E)P(E) is Mathlib's ProbabilityMeasure with the weak topology and the Borel σ\sigmaσ-field of that topology. Paths and flows are continuous maps on [0,T][0,T][0,T] with the uniform topology.
  • Pathwise equations. The volatility is the identity (footnote 4), so every SDE is stated as Xt=X0+∫0tdrift ds+WtX_t=X_0+\int_0^t\text{drift}\,ds+W_tXt​=X0​+∫0t​driftds+Wt​ for all ttt, almost surely; no Itô integral is needed.
  • Solutions are quantified, not chosen. JinJ^n_iJin​ is computed on a given weak solution, and the Nash inequality is required for every solution of the original and of the deviated profile; this is the paper's definition because solutions exist and are unique in law (a milestone).
  • The alternative state in the weak MFE ranges over the solutions adapted to the completed filtration generated by (X0∗,W,μ)(X^*_0,W,\mu)(X0∗​,W,μ) (Remark 2.6), not over all adapted solutions.
  • Indexing. Term nnn of every sequence is the game with n+1n+1n+1 players; "every limit in distribution" quantifies over all subsequences.
  • Explicit hypotheses and corrected misprints. Lemma 5.3 needs μ0=λ\mu_0=\lambdaμ0​=λ a.s.; the paper omits it, and the statement adds it. Lemma 5.3(a) uses Λ∗(s,⋅,μ)\Lambda^*(s,\cdot,\mu)Λ∗(s,⋅,μ) inside ∫0t⋯ds\int_0^t\cdots ds∫0t​⋯ds, where the paper prints ttt. Lemma 5.5 states convergence of (μ,X[βn])(\mu,X[\beta^n])(μ,X[βn]), where the paper prints X[Λn]X[\Lambda^n]X[Λn]. In Definition 3.6(5) the alternative starts from X0∗X^*_0X0∗​, where the paper prints X0∼λX_0\sim\lambdaX0​∼λ. Theorem 5.4's value identity (5.8) is stated along a further subsequence: as printed, along the whole subsequence, it fails for an arbitrary sequence of controls, and the paper's proof passes to a further subsequence. Measurability of every process is explicit, so laws and conditional expectations are never degenerate. Proposition 3.7 is posed for its weak part only.
  • Not a trivialization. The solution class NSol is inhabited and the weak MFE predicate is satisfiable (checked for d=0d=0d=0), so neither the hypotheses nor the conclusion of the goal holds vacuously; the conclusion asserts the existence of a weak MFE with the limiting flow law, not a property of an arbitrary one.
  • Welcome contributions. Weak existence and uniqueness for SDEs with bounded measurable drift (Girsanov, Veretennikov), Prokhorov-type tightness on path space, relaxed-control compactness, and measurable selection are all missing from Mathlib and reusable well beyond this mission.

Selected references

  • D. Lacker, On the convergence of closed-loop Nash equilibria to the mean field game limit, arXiv:1808.02745v1, 2018; Ann. Appl. Probab. 30(4), 2020. https://arxiv.org/abs/1808.02745
  • J.-M. Lasry, P.-L. Lions, Mean field games, Japanese Journal of Mathematics 2(1), 2007. https://doi.org/10.1007/s11537-007-0657-8
  • M. Huang, R. Malhamé, P. Caines, Large population stochastic dynamic games: closed-loop McKean–Vlasov systems and the Nash certainty equivalence principle, Communications in Information and Systems 6(3), 2006. https://doi.org/10.4310/CIS.2006.v6.n3.a5
  • D. Lacker, A general characterization of the mean field limit for stochastic differential games, Probab. Theory Related Fields 165, 2016. https://arxiv.org/abs/1408.2708
  • M. Fischer, On the connection between symmetric N-player games and mean field games, Ann. Appl. Probab. 27(2), 2017. https://arxiv.org/abs/1405.1345
  • P. Cardaliaguet, F. Delarue, J.-M. Lasry, P.-L. Lions, The master equation and the convergence problem in mean field games, Annals of Mathematics Studies 201, 2019. https://arxiv.org/abs/1509.02505
17 thms1 active userReviewed
Functional AnalysisOptimal TransportProbability·Captain: mikedeng1

Bakry–Émery Curvature-Dimension Condition and Riemannian Ricci Curvature Bounds 3: Lipschitz and Pointwise Gradient Bounds on the Heat Semigroup Make Its Dual Semigroup a W₂ ContractionResearch Paper

Motivation

A lower bound on Ricci curvature can be expressed in two ways that make sense far beyond smooth manifolds. The Eulerian way bounds the gradient of the heat semigroup: Bakry and Émery's Γ2\Gamma_2Γ2​-calculus gives ∣∇Ptf∣2≤e−2Kt Pt∣∇f∣2|\nabla \mathsf P_t f|^2 \le e^{-2Kt}\,\mathsf P_t|\nabla f|^2∣∇Pt​f∣2≤e−2KtPt​∣∇f∣2. The Lagrangian way bounds how heat flow moves probability measures in optimal transport distance: W2(Htμ,Htν)≤e−KtW2(μ,ν)W_2(\mathsf H_t\mu,\mathsf H_t\nu)\le e^{-Kt}W_2(\mu,\nu)W2​(Ht​μ,Ht​ν)≤e−KtW2​(μ,ν). On Riemannian manifolds the two are equivalent (von Renesse–Sturm 2005). Kuwada (2010) showed that the equivalence is a general duality between a pointwise gradient bound with a constant C(t)C(t)C(t) and W2W_2W2​-contraction with the same constant, valid on length metric measure spaces.

Ambrosio, Gigli and Savaré (arXiv:1209.5786v4, Ann. Probab. 2015) needed this duality in a setting with no doubling or Poincaré inequality, where the semigroup comes from an abstract Dirichlet form and is only defined almost everywhere. Their §3.2 builds the dual semigroup on probability measures and proves the contraction (Theorem 3.5). Combined with their Theorem 3.17 it gives Corollary 3.18, the step that links the Bakry–Émery condition BE(K,∞)\mathrm{BE}(K,\infty)BE(K,∞) to W2W_2W2​-contraction and, later in the paper, to RCD(K,∞)\mathrm{RCD}(K,\infty)RCD(K,∞).

Setting

Let (X,d)(X,\mathsf d)(X,d) be a complete separable metric space with a Borel measure mmm of full support such that m(Br(x))<∞m(B_r(x))<\inftym(Br​(x))<∞ for every ball (condition (MD)). The space is a length space if d(x0,x1)\mathsf d(x_0,x_1)d(x0​,x1​) is the infimum of the lengths of curves joining x0x_0x0​ to x1x_1x1​ (3.2).

A Dirichlet form E\mathcal EE on L2(X,m)L^2(X,m)L2(X,m) is a lower semicontinuous quadratic form with dense domain that does not increase under normal contractions; it is strongly local if E(f,g)=0\mathcal E(f,g)=0E(f,g)=0 whenever f+af+af+a and ggg have disjoint supports. Its heat flow (Pt)t≥0(\mathsf P_t)_{t\ge0}(Pt​)t≥0​ solves ddtPtf=ΔEPtf\frac{d}{dt}\mathsf P_tf=\Delta_{\mathcal E}\mathsf P_tfdtd​Pt​f=ΔE​Pt​f in L2L^2L2. It is mass preserving if ∫Ptf dm=∫f dm\int\mathsf P_tf\,dm=\int f\,dm∫Pt​fdm=∫fdm (2.12).

Lipb(X)\mathrm{Lip}_b(X)Lipb​(X) denotes bounded Lipschitz functions, ∣Df∣(x)=lim sup⁡y→x∣f(y)−f(x)∣/d(y,x)|Df|(x)=\limsup_{y\to x}|f(y)-f(x)|/\mathsf d(y,x)∣Df∣(x)=limsupy→x​∣f(y)−f(x)∣/d(y,x) the slope, and P(X)\mathscr P(X)P(X) the Borel probability measures. The Wasserstein cost is

W22(μ,ν)=inf⁡{∫d2(x,y) dγ(x,y): γ a coupling of μ,ν}∈[0,∞].W_2^2(\mu,\nu)=\inf\Big\{\int\mathsf d^2(x,y)\,d\boldsymbol\gamma(x,y):\ \boldsymbol\gamma\text{ a coupling of }\mu,\nu\Big\}\in[0,\infty].W22​(μ,ν)=inf{∫d2(x,y)dγ(x,y): γ a coupling of μ,ν}∈[0,∞].

Two hypotheses on the semigroup, with C:[0,∞)→[0,∞)C:[0,\infty)\to[0,\infty)C:[0,∞)→[0,∞) bounded on every [0,T][0,T][0,T]:

(3.15)Ptf∈Lipb(X),  Lip(Ptf)≤C(t) Lip(f),(3.16)∣DP~tf∣2(x)≤C2(t) P~t∣Df∣2(x),\text{(3.15)}\quad \mathsf P_tf\in\mathrm{Lip}_b(X),\ \ \mathrm{Lip}(\mathsf P_tf)\le C(t)\,\mathrm{Lip}(f),\qquad \text{(3.16)}\quad |D\tilde{\mathsf P}_tf|^2(x)\le C^2(t)\,\tilde{\mathsf P}_t|Df|^2(x),(3.15)Pt​f∈Lipb​(X),  Lip(Pt​f)≤C(t)Lip(f),(3.16)∣DP~t​f∣2(x)≤C2(t)P~t​∣Df∣2(x),

for f∈Lipb(X)∩L2(X,m)f\in\mathrm{Lip}_b(X)\cap L^2(X,m)f∈Lipb​(X)∩L2(X,m). Under (3.15) the map fm↦(Ptf)mfm\mapsto(\mathsf P_tf)mfm↦(Pt​f)m extends uniquely to a weakly continuous dual semigroup Ht:P(X)→P(X)\mathsf H_t:\mathscr P(X)\to\mathscr P(X)Ht​:P(X)→P(X), and P~tf(x)=∫f dHtδx\tilde{\mathsf P}_tf(x)=\int f\,d\mathsf H_t\delta_xP~t​f(x)=∫fdHt​δx​ is the pointwise version of Pt\mathsf P_tPt​ (Proposition 3.2).

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem 3.5 (forward direction)

Under (MD), the length property, (2.12), (3.15) and (3.16), for every t≥0t\ge0t≥0 and μ,ν∈P(X)\mu,\nu\in\mathscr P(X)μ,ν∈P(X),

W2(Htμ,Htν)≤C(t) W2(μ,ν).W_2(\mathsf H_t\mu,\mathsf H_t\nu)\le C(t)\,W_2(\mu,\nu).W2​(Ht​μ,Ht​ν)≤C(t)W2​(μ,ν).

The constant C(t)C(t)C(t) is left free; the goal is the duality itself, not a particular curvature bound.

Milestones

  • Proposition 3.2 (i): existence and uniqueness of Ht\mathsf H_tHt​, with W(β)(Htμ,Htν)≤(C(t)∨1)W(β)(μ,ν)W_{(\beta)}(\mathsf H_t\mu,\mathsf H_t\nu)\le(C(t)\vee1)W_{(\beta)}(\mu,\nu)W(β)​(Ht​μ,Ht​ν)≤(C(t)∨1)W(β)​(μ,ν) and W1(Htμ,Htν)≤C(t)W1(μ,ν)W_1(\mathsf H_t\mu,\mathsf H_t\nu)\le C(t)W_1(\mu,\nu)W1​(Ht​μ,Ht​ν)≤C(t)W1​(μ,ν).
  • Proposition 3.2 (ii)–(iv): P~t\tilde{\mathsf P}_tP~t​ preserves Cb(X)C_b(X)Cb​(X), agrees mmm-a.e. with Pt\mathsf P_tPt​, satisfies the duality ∫f dHtμ=∫P~tf dμ\int f\,d\mathsf H_t\mu=\int\tilde{\mathsf P}_tf\,d\mu∫fdHt​μ=∫P~t​fdμ, and is continuous at t=0t=0t=0.
  • Lemma 3.3: a Fatou-type upper bound lim sup⁡n∫fn dμn≤∫f dμ\limsup_n\int f_n\,d\mu_n\le\int f\,d\mulimsupn​∫fn​dμn​≤∫fdμ for weakly converging μn\mu_nμn​.
  • Lemma 3.4: for f∈Lipb(X)f\in\mathrm{Lip}_b(X)f∈Lipb​(X) nonnegative with bounded support and the Hopf–Lax map Q1f(x)=inf⁡yf(y)+12d2(y,x)Q_1f(x)=\inf_y f(y)+\tfrac12\mathsf d^2(y,x)Q1​f(x)=infy​f(y)+21​d2(y,x),
P~tQ1f(x)−P~tf(y)≤12C2(t) d2(x,y).\tilde{\mathsf P}_tQ_1f(x)-\tilde{\mathsf P}_tf(y)\le\tfrac12C^2(t)\,\mathsf d^2(x,y).P~t​Q1​f(x)−P~t​f(y)≤21​C2(t)d2(x,y).
  • (3.26): the contraction for Dirac masses, W22(Htδx,Htδy)≤C2(t) d2(x,y)W_2^2(\mathsf H_t\delta_x,\mathsf H_t\delta_y)\le C^2(t)\,\mathsf d^2(x,y)W22​(Ht​δx​,Ht​δy​)≤C2(t)d2(x,y).

Significance

The theorem turns a pointwise, infinitesimal estimate on functions into a global estimate on measures. In the paper, with C(t)=e−KtC(t)=e^{-Kt}C(t)=e−Kt it gives the W2W_2W2​-contraction of the heat flow under BE(K,∞)\mathrm{BE}(K,\infty)BE(K,∞) (Corollary 3.18). That contraction is an ingredient of the identification of the heat flow with the EVIK\mathrm{EVI}_KEVIK​ gradient flow of the entropy (Theorem 4.17). The argument of §3.2 avoids doubling and local Poincaré assumptions on the metric measure space (p. 26), which is what makes it usable for the general Energy measure spaces of the paper.

The result is proved in the literature: in Kuwada's paper, and in the form posed here in §3.2 of the source. As far as a search of the Prove2Me catalogue shows, none of it is formalized: there is no Wasserstein distance on a general metric space, no dual semigroup of a Dirichlet form, and no Hopf–Lax semigroup on metric spaces. The mission asks for formal proofs of the known argument; the dual semigroup, Lemma 3.3 and the Hopf–Lax estimates are reusable on their own.

Difficulty

The semigroup acts on L2L^2L2 classes, while (3.16) and the contraction are statements at every point; the bridge is the pointwise version P~t\tilde{\mathsf P}_tP~t​, which exists only through the dual semigroup and its weak continuity. The direct approach, applying the gradient bound along a geodesic between xxx and yyy, fails because W2W_2W2​ is not a supremum over Lipschitz functions of a linear quantity. The route goes through the quadratic Kantorovich duality and the Hopf–Lax semigroup on a metric space, neither of which is available in Mathlib, and through limits of integrals against varying measures Htδy\mathsf H_t\delta_{y}Ht​δy​. Passing from Dirac masses to arbitrary μ,ν\mu,\nuμ,ν needs a measurable selection of optimal plans.

Formalization scope

  • Elements of L2(X,m)L^2(X,m)L2(X,m) are functions; every predicate is invariant under mmm-a.e. equality. The σ-algebra is Borel rather than its mmm-completion.
  • The heat flow P\mathsf PP and the dual semigroup H\mathsf HH are binders pinned by predicates (IsHeatSemigroup, IsDualSemigroup), not constructions. IsDualSemigroup requires Ht(fm)=(Ptf)m\mathsf H_t(fm)=(\mathsf P_tf)mHt​(fm)=(Pt​f)m for probability densities f∈L1∩L2f\in L^1\cap L^2f∈L1∩L2 and weak continuity on P(X)\mathscr P(X)P(X), which determines Ht\mathsf H_tHt​ on P(X)\mathscr P(X)P(X). Choosing H\mathsf HH as anything else (e.g. the identity) does not satisfy the predicate, so the goal is not trivialized that way. Dropping the length property would change the statement.
  • (3.15) is stated as "every Lipschitz constant KKK of fff gives the Lipschitz constant C(t)KC(t)KC(t)K of a version of Ptf\mathsf P_tfPt​f". (3.16) and the conclusions are in [0,∞][0,\infty][0,∞]; W2W_2W2​ appears squared.
  • Mass preservation is stated on L1∩L2L^1\cap L^2L1∩L2, where the heat flow is pinned.
  • The paper states Theorem 3.5 as an equivalence; only the direction proved there is posed, the converse being cited from Kuwada.
  • The paper prints Lemma 3.4 with an absolute value, which fails at x=yx=yx=y; the one-sided inequality its proof gives, and (3.26) uses, is the stated form.
  • Lemma 3.3 assumes fff integrable; this only excludes the case ∫f dμ=+∞\int f\,d\mu=+\infty∫fdμ=+∞, where the claim is trivial.

Contributions welcome: the quadratic Kantorovich duality on Polish spaces, Hopf–Lax calculus on length spaces, measurable selection of optimal plans, and the portmanteau-type Lemma 3.3.

Selected references

  • L. Ambrosio, N. Gigli, G. Savaré, Bakry–Émery curvature-dimension condition and Riemannian Ricci curvature bounds, Ann. Probab. 43(1), 2015. https://arxiv.org/abs/1209.5786
  • K. Kuwada, Duality on gradient estimates and Wasserstein controls, J. Funct. Anal. 258, 2010. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jfa.2010.01.010
  • M.-K. von Renesse, K.-T. Sturm, Transport inequalities, gradient estimates, entropy, and Ricci curvature, Comm. Pure Appl. Math. 58, 2005. https://doi.org/10.1002/cpa.20060
  • L. Ambrosio, N. Gigli, G. Savaré, Metric measure spaces with Riemannian Ricci curvature bounded from below, Duke Math. J. 163, 2014. https://arxiv.org/abs/1109.0222
  • D. Bakry, M. Émery, Diffusions hypercontractives, Séminaire de Probabilités XIX, LNM 1123, 1985. https://doi.org/10.1007/BFb0075847
9 thms1 active userReviewed
AnalysisDifferential GeometryFunctional Analysis+1·Captain: mikedeng1

Bakry–Émery Curvature-Dimension Condition and Riemannian Ricci Curvature Bounds 2: The Dirichlet Form of an Energy Measure Space Is Twice the Cheeger Energy Iff It Is Upper-RegularResearch Paper

Motivation

There are two standard ways to do analysis on a non-smooth space. The first starts from an energy: a Dirichlet form E\mathcal EE on L2(X,m)L^2(X,m)L2(X,m), its heat semigroup and its carré du champ Γ\GammaΓ. This is the setting of Bakry–Émery Γ\GammaΓ-calculus and of the curvature-dimension condition BE(K,N)BE(K,N)BE(K,N). The second starts from a metric measure space (X,d,m)(X,d,m)(X,d,m): slopes of Lipschitz functions, the Cheeger energy, Wasserstein distances, and the synthetic Ricci bounds CD(K,∞)\mathrm{CD}(K,\infty)CD(K,∞) and RCD(K,∞)\mathrm{RCD}(K,\infty)RCD(K,∞) of Lott–Villani and Sturm.

Moving between the two requires a dictionary. A Dirichlet form defines a distance, the intrinsic distance dEd_{\mathcal E}dE​ (Biroli–Mosco, Sturm). That distance defines a Cheeger energy. The question is whether the energy rebuilt from dEd_{\mathcal E}dE​ is the energy we started from. Ambrosio, Gigli and Savaré answer this in §3.3 of their paper on the Bakry–Émery condition and Riemannian Ricci bounds (arXiv:1209.5786, Ann. Probab. 2015). Their answer is the identification used in the main theorem of the paper, BE(K,∞)⇒RCD(K,∞)BE(K,\infty)\Rightarrow\mathrm{RCD}(K,\infty)BE(K,∞)⇒RCD(K,∞).

Timeline:

  • 1991–1995: Biroli–Mosco and Sturm introduce the intrinsic distance of a strongly local regular Dirichlet form on a locally compact space and prove its length property there ([50, 52] of the paper).
  • 1999: Cheeger defines the energy that now bears his name (GAFA 9).
  • 2014: Ambrosio–Gigli–Savaré identify the minimal weak gradient with Cheeger's relaxed gradient on general metric measure spaces and introduce RCD(K,∞)\mathrm{RCD}(K,\infty)RCD(K,∞) (Invent. Math. 195; Duke 163).
  • 2015: the present paper sets up Energy measure spaces on Polish spaces, without local compactness, and proves Theorems 3.9–3.14.

Setting

Let XXX be a set with a σ-additive measure mmm. A Dirichlet form is a lower semicontinuous quadratic form E:L2(X,m)→[0,∞]\mathcal E:L^2(X,m)\to[0,\infty]E:L2(X,m)→[0,∞] with E(η∘f)≤E(f)\mathcal E(\eta\circ f)\le\mathcal E(f)E(η∘f)≤E(f) for every 1-Lipschitz η\etaη with η(0)=0\eta(0)=0η(0)=0, and with dense domain V={E<∞}\mathbb V=\{\mathcal E<\infty\}V={E<∞}. It is strongly local when E(f,g)=0\mathcal E(f,g)=0E(f,g)=0 whenever (f+a)g=0(f+a)g=0(f+a)g=0 a.e. for a constant aaa. A function f∈Vf\in\mathbb Vf∈V belongs to G\mathbb GG, with carré du champ Γ(f)∈L+1\Gamma(f)\in L^1_+Γ(f)∈L+1​, if E(f,fφ)−12E(f2,φ)=∫Γ(f)φ dm\mathcal E(f,f\varphi)-\frac12\mathcal E(f^2,\varphi)=\int\Gamma(f)\varphi\,dmE(f,fφ)−21​E(f2,φ)=∫Γ(f)φdm for all bounded φ∈V\varphi\in\mathbb Vφ∈V.

Let LC\mathbb L_CLC​ be the set of continuous ψ∈G\psi\in\mathbb Gψ∈G with Γ(ψ)≤1\Gamma(\psi)\le1Γ(ψ)≤1 a.e. The intrinsic distance is

dE(x,y)=sup⁡ψ∈LC∣ψ(y)−ψ(x)∣.d_{\mathcal E}(x,y)=\sup_{\psi\in\mathbb L_C}|\psi(y)-\psi(x)|.dE​(x,y)=ψ∈LC​sup​∣ψ(y)−ψ(x)∣.

An Energy measure space (X,τ,m,E)(X,\tau,m,\mathcal E)(X,τ,m,E) (Definition 3.6) is a strongly local Dirichlet form on a Polish space with a fully supported Borel measure such that dEd_{\mathcal E}dE​ is a finite complete distance inducing τ\tauτ, and a continuous θ≥0\theta\ge0θ≥0 has its truncations Sk∘θS_k\circ\thetaSk​∘θ in L\mathbb LL.

On the metric side, ∣Df∣(x)=lim sup⁡y→x∣f(y)−f(x)∣/d(y,x)|Df|(x)=\limsup_{y\to x}|f(y)-f(x)|/d(y,x)∣Df∣(x)=limsupy→x​∣f(y)−f(x)∣/d(y,x) is the slope, and the Cheeger energy is

Ch(f)=inf⁡{lim inf⁡n12∫∣Dfn∣2 dm: fn∈Lipb(X), fn→f in L2}.\mathrm{Ch}(f)=\inf\Big\{\liminf_n\tfrac12\int|Df_n|^2\,dm:\ f_n\in\mathrm{Lip}_b(X),\ f_n\to f\text{ in }L^2\Big\}.Ch(f)=inf{nliminf​21​∫∣Dfn​∣2dm: fn​∈Lipb​(X), fn​→f in L2}.

Condition (MD) asks that (X,d)(X,d)(X,d) be complete and separable, supp⁡m=X\operatorname{supp}m=Xsuppm=X, and balls have finite measure. Condition (ED) asks that every ψ∈LC\psi\in\mathbb L_Cψ∈LC​ be 1-Lipschitz for ddd (ED.a), and that every Lipschitz ψ\psiψ with ∣Dψ∣≤1|D\psi|\le1∣Dψ∣≤1 and bounded support lie in LC\mathbb L_CLC​ (ED.b). E\mathcal EE is upper-regular (Definition 3.13) if every fff in a dense subset of V\mathbb VV is an L2L^2L2 limit of bounded continuous fn∈Gf_n\in\mathbb Gfn​∈G with bounded upper semicontinuous gn≥Γ(fn)g_n\ge\sqrt{\Gamma(f_n)}gn​≥Γ(fn​)​ and lim sup⁡n∫gn2≤E(f)\limsup_n\int g_n^2\le\mathcal E(f)limsupn​∫gn2​≤E(f).

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem 3.14

For an Energy measure space,

E(f)=2 Ch(f)∀f∈L2(X,m)⟺E is upper-regular,\mathcal E(f)=2\,\mathrm{Ch}(f)\quad\forall f\in L^2(X,m)\qquad\Longleftrightarrow\qquad\mathcal E\text{ is upper-regular},E(f)=2Ch(f)∀f∈L2(X,m)⟺E is upper-regular,

and in this case G=V\mathbb G=\mathbb VG=V.

Milestones

  • Theorem 3.9: an Energy measure space satisfies (MD) and (ED) for dEd_{\mathcal E}dE​; conversely, a distance with (MD) and (ED) makes the structure an Energy measure space and equals dEd_{\mathcal E}dE​.
  • Theorem 3.10: (X,dE)(X,d_{\mathcal E})(X,dE​) is a length space.
  • Proposition 3.11: if f∈G∩Cbf\in\mathbb G\cap C_bf∈G∩Cb​ and Γ(f)≤ζ2\Gamma(f)\le\zeta^2Γ(f)≤ζ2 with ζ\zetaζ bounded upper semicontinuous, then fff is Lipschitz and ∣D∗f∣≤ζ|D^*f|\le\zeta∣D∗f∣≤ζ.
  • Theorem 3.12: under (MD), (ED.b) holds iff every Lipschitz fff of bounded support has ∣Df∣2≥Γ(f)|Df|^2\ge\Gamma(f)∣Df∣2≥Γ(f); then 2Ch≥E2\mathrm{Ch}\ge\mathcal E2Ch≥E and ∣Dg∣w2≥Γ(g)|Dg|_w^2\ge\Gamma(g)∣Dg∣w2​≥Γ(g).
  • The remaining assertions of Theorem 3.14: Γ(f)=∣Df∣w2\Gamma(f)=|Df|_w^2Γ(f)=∣Df∣w2​ (3.41), density of V∩Lipb\mathbb V\cap\mathrm{Lip}_bV∩Lipb​ in V\mathbb VV, and mass preservation of (Pt)(P_t)(Pt​) under (MD.exp).

Significance

The identification E=2Ch\mathcal E=2\mathrm{Ch}E=2Ch lets every metric notion be applied to an energy structure. Once it holds, the Wasserstein gradient flow of the entropy, the EVIK\mathrm{EVI}_KEVIK​ formulation and RCD(K,∞)\mathrm{RCD}(K,\infty)RCD(K,∞) all make sense for the energy. That is the route by which the paper proves that BE(K,∞)BE(K,\infty)BE(K,∞) on a Riemannian Energy measure space implies RCD(K,∞)\mathrm{RCD}(K,\infty)RCD(K,∞), the converse of the earlier RCD⇒BE\mathrm{RCD}\Rightarrow BERCD⇒BE result. Theorem 3.12 gives the one-sided inequality 2Ch≥E2\mathrm{Ch}\ge\mathcal E2Ch≥E under the single condition (ED.b), and (3.41) says the energy density is the squared minimal weak gradient. Mass preservation is a standing hypothesis of several other results of the paper, and here it comes for free.

All of these results are proved in the paper, partly by citation: the mass-preservation clause rests on [6, Theorem 4.20], and the length property uses a midpoint criterion from Burago–Burago–Ivanov. None of them has a machine-checked proof. Mathlib has no Dirichlet forms, no Cheeger energy and no theory of length spaces built from curve length. This mission produces precise Lean statements of the paper's identification theorem and of the lemmas its proof uses, so that the metric–energy dictionary can be built up and proved one piece at a time.

Difficulty

The inequality 2Ch≥E2\mathrm{Ch}\ge\mathcal E2Ch≥E is the easy direction once (3.32) is available. Proving (3.32) means bounding the energy density of the Hopf–Lax inf-convolution QtfQ_tfQt​f pointwise by D+(x,t)2/t2D^+(x,t)^2/t^2D+(x,t)2/t2. Only finite minima over a countable dense set lie in V\mathbb VV, so the bound has to pass to the limit through the lower semicontinuity (2.10) of Γ\sqrt\GammaΓ​.

The reverse inequality needs the opposite move: from an mmm-a.e. bound Γ(f)≤ζ2\Gamma(f)\le\zeta^2Γ(f)≤ζ2 to a pointwise bound on the metric slope at every point. That step is Proposition 3.11. It needs ζ\zetaζ to be upper semicontinuous and dEd_{\mathcal E}dE​ to be a length distance. Without upper semicontinuity, an a.e. bound says nothing about the slope at a given point. The obvious idea, testing E\mathcal EE against the Lipschitz functions given by (ED.b), produces only lower bounds on E\mathcal EE and cannot give 2Ch≤E2\mathrm{Ch}\le\mathcal E2Ch≤E. That is why upper regularity is the exact condition. The length property (Theorem 3.10) is itself proved by contradiction from a Lipschitz test function built from two disjoint balls. On a space that is not locally compact, this needs a completeness argument rather than Hopf–Rinow.

Formalization scope

Representation. Elements of L2(X,m)L^2(X,m)L2(X,m) are functions X→RX\to\mathbb RX→R. E\mathcal EE is ∞\infty∞ off L2L^2L2, and every predicate is invariant under mmm-a.e. equality. The σ-algebra is Borel (BorelSpace), standing in for its mmm-completion. The topology τ\tauτ is the topology of the metric of XXX, and condition (b) of Definition 3.6 says that this metric equals dEd_{\mathcal E}dE​. Completeness and separability are typeclass binders. The carré du champ is a predicate on a density, never a chosen function. Slopes, dEd_{\mathcal E}dE​, Ch\mathrm{Ch}Ch and curve lengths take values in [0,∞][0,\infty][0,∞]. The curve length is the total variation, which agrees with ∫∣γ˙∣\int|\dot\gamma|∫∣γ˙​∣. The truncation profile SSS of (3.27) is a parameter with the properties the paper fixes. "Dense in V\mathbb VV" means dense for the norm (∥f∥22+E(f))1/2(\|f\|_2^2+\mathcal E(f))^{1/2}(∥f∥22​+E(f))1/2. The minimal weak gradient is required to be nonnegative, which makes its two characterizing conditions determine it. Mass preservation is stated on L1∩L2L^1\cap L^2L1∩L2, with Ptf∈L1P_tf\in L^1Pt​f∈L1 part of the conclusion. In Theorem 3.9 the printed "distance on X×XX\times XX×X" is read as a distance on XXX.

Ruling out trivializations. The Cheeger energy is defined from slopes of bounded Lipschitz functions and never through E\mathcal EE. Upper regularity is Definition 3.13 with a dense approximating set, not the identity E=2Ch\mathcal E=2\mathrm{Ch}E=2Ch.

Infrastructure. A complete development needs carré du champ calculus for strongly local forms (chain rule, (2.9), (2.10)), the Hopf–Lax semigroup on metric spaces, relaxation and minimal weak gradients, and the midpoint characterization of length spaces. Mathlib has none of these, and all of them can be reused beyond this mission. Contributions of any of these pieces, and proofs of individual milestones, are welcome.

Selected references

  • L. Ambrosio, N. Gigli, G. Savaré, Bakry–Émery curvature-dimension condition and Riemannian Ricci curvature bounds, Ann. Probab. 43(1), 339–404, 2015. https://arxiv.org/abs/1209.5786 (v4 cited)
  • L. Ambrosio, N. Gigli, G. Savaré, Calculus and heat flow in metric measure spaces and applications to spaces with Ricci bounds from below, Invent. Math. 195, 289–391, 2014. https://doi.org/10.1007/s00222-013-0456-1
  • L. Ambrosio, N. Gigli, G. Savaré, Metric measure spaces with Riemannian Ricci curvature bounded from below, Duke Math. J. 163, 1405–1490, 2014. https://doi.org/10.1215/00127094-2681605
  • J. Cheeger, Differentiability of Lipschitz functions on metric measure spaces, Geom. Funct. Anal. 9, 428–517, 1999. https://doi.org/10.1007/s000390050094
  • K.-T. Sturm, Analysis on local Dirichlet spaces I. Recurrence, conservativeness and L^p-Liouville properties, J. Reine Angew. Math. 456, 173–196, 1994. https://doi.org/10.1515/crll.1994.456.173
  • N. Bouleau, F. Hirsch, Dirichlet Forms and Analysis on Wiener Space, de Gruyter, 1991. https://doi.org/10.1515/9783110858389
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Differential GeometryFunctional AnalysisOptimal Transport+1·Captain: mikedeng1

Bakry–Émery Curvature-Dimension Condition and Riemannian Ricci Curvature Bounds 6: BE(K,N) on Riemannian Energy Measure Spaces Is Stable Under Sturm–Gromov–Hausdorff ConvergenceResearch Paper

Motivation

Curvature bounds on a smooth Riemannian manifold control diffusion and the behavior of probability measures. Metric measure spaces extend these questions to limits that need not be smooth. A useful curvature condition must continue to hold when a sequence of spaces converges. Ambrosio, Gigli, and Savaré prove that their analytic Bakry–Émery curvature-dimension condition has this stability property for Riemannian energy measure spaces under Sturm–Gromov–Hausdorff convergence Ambrosio–Gigli–Savaré, Theorem 5.8. The result connects a condition stated through heat flow and Dirichlet forms with convergence stated through distances between probability measures.

The article's §5.2 first defines the convergence of spaces and of functions living in different L2L^2L2 spaces, then states the stability theorem. This order matters: the measure changes with the space, so ordinary convergence of functions on one fixed measured space cannot express the claim Ambrosio–Gigli–Savaré, Definitions 5.4 and 5.6.

Setting

A metric measure space (X,d,m)(X,d,m)(X,d,m) consists of a complete separable metric space (X,d)(X,d)(X,d) and a measure mmm. The class P2(X)\mathcal P_2(X)P2​(X) contains probability measures with finite second moment. The squared Wasserstein distance W22(μ,ν)W_2^2(\mu,\nu)W22​(μ,ν) is the infimum of the mean squared transport cost d(x,y)2d(x,y)^2d(x,y)2 over couplings of μ\muμ and ν\nuν.

A sequence (Xn,dn,mn)(X_n,d_n,m_n)(Xn​,dn​,mn​) Sturm–Gromov–Hausdorff converges to (X∞,d∞,m∞)(X_\infty,d_\infty,m_\infty)(X∞​,d∞​,m∞​) when there is a complete separable ambient metric space ZZZ and distance-preserving embeddings ιn:Xn→Z\iota_n:X_n\to Zιn​:Xn​→Z, including ι∞\iota_\inftyι∞​, such that W2((ιn)#mn,(ι∞)#m∞)→0W_2((\iota_n)_\#m_n,(\iota_\infty)_\#m_\infty)\to0W2​((ιn​)#​mn​,(ι∞​)#​m∞​)→0. The embeddings need not be onto. This definition compares measures on different spaces after placing them in one ambient space; it does not assume that the original spaces coincide Ambrosio–Gigli–Savaré, Definition 5.4.

An energy measure space has a strongly local Dirichlet form E\mathcal EE, its associated heat flow PtP_tPt​, a carré du champ Γ\GammaΓ, and an intrinsic distance dEd_{\mathcal E}dE​ agreeing with ddd. The Cheeger energy Ch⁡m\operatorname{Ch}_mChm​ is the relaxed integral of one half the squared local slope. A Riemannian energy measure space also has the upper-regularity and continuous-representative properties of Definition 3.16. The paper writes E=2Ch⁡m\mathcal E=2\operatorname{Ch}_mE=2Chm​ in this situation Ambrosio–Gigli–Savaré, Definitions 3.6 and 3.16 and Theorem 3.14.

The Bakry–Émery condition BE(K,N)\mathrm{BE}(K,N)BE(K,N) bounds a second-order expression involving the heat flow, the carré du champ, curvature parameter KKK, and dimension parameter NNN. The formalization uses the paper's weak distributional form (2.33), writing ν=1/N≥0\nu=1/N\ge0ν=1/N≥0; ν=0\nu=0ν=0 represents N=∞N=\inftyN=∞. This is the same KKK and NNN for every source space and for the limit Ambrosio–Gigli–Savaré, Definition 2.4 and (2.33).

Formalization targets

Supporting convergence results

Remark 5.5 asserts that the Cheeger energy is invariant under an isometric embedding. Lemma 5.7 supplies two criteria (squared norms, or entropies of bounded densities) for convergence of scalar functions across changing measures and shows that continuous maps of linear growth preserve this convergence. Lemma 5.9 says that, in the RCD setting, both heat-flow outputs and their generators converge. These are the mission's formal milestones Ambrosio–Gigli–Savaré, pp. 63–66.

Stability goal

For Riemannian energy measure spaces (Xn,dn,mn,En)(X_n,d_n,m_n,\mathcal E_n)(Xn​,dn​,mn​,En​) with mn∈P2(Xn)m_n\in\mathcal P_2(X_n)mn​∈P2​(Xn​) and BE(K,N)\mathrm{BE}(K,N)BE(K,N), Theorem 5.8 asks for

(Xn,dn,mn)→SGH(X∞,d∞,m∞)⟹(X∞,d∞,m∞,2Ch⁡m∞) is Riemannian and satisfies BE(K,N).(X_n,d_n,m_n)\xrightarrow{\mathrm{SGH}}(X_\infty,d_\infty,m_\infty) \quad\Longrightarrow\quad (X_\infty,d_\infty,m_\infty,2\operatorname{Ch}_{m_\infty}) \text{ is Riemannian and satisfies }\mathrm{BE}(K,N).(Xn​,dn​,mn​)SGH​(X∞​,d∞​,m∞​)⟹(X∞​,d∞​,m∞​,2Chm∞​​) is Riemannian and satisfies BE(K,N).

The goal includes the assertion that the limit energy is a Dirichlet form; quadraticity is part of the conclusion. It covers finite NNN and N=∞N=\inftyN=∞ with the same statement Ambrosio–Gigli–Savaré, Theorem 5.8.

Significance

The theorem permits analytic curvature-dimension bounds to survive convergence even when the carrier spaces, measures, and L2L^2L2 spaces vary. Without a stability statement, a bound verified separately on approximating spaces would give no such bound for their metric measure limit. The theorem also ensures that the limit Cheeger energy retains the quadratic structure required for the Riemannian theory Ambrosio–Gigli–Savaré, Theorem 5.8 and its proof.

The result is proved in the cited paper. The remaining work here is a machine-checked development of its definitions and proof, including the convergence of heat flows and generator terms across changing measures. The statements in this proposal are proof targets; they are not presented as already machine-checked. The definitions of SGH convergence and graph-law convergence can also support other stability questions for metric measure spaces.

Difficulty

The difficulty is that each PtnP_t^nPtn​ acts on a different L2(Xn,mn)L^2(X_n,m_n)L2(Xn​,mn​), while BE(K,N)\mathrm{BE}(K,N)BE(K,N) is an inequality involving the semigroup, its generator, and integrals against mnm_nmn​. Convergence of the underlying measures alone does not imply convergence of those functions or of their squared terms. In particular, pointwise convergence on a common carrier is not even a statement available before choosing embeddings and representatives. The paper's separate notion of function convergence addresses this gap Ambrosio–Gigli–Savaré, Definitions 5.4 and 5.6 and Lemma 5.9.

Formalization scope

Lean keeps the spaces indexed by nnn: Xn n, m n, E n, and P n. The goal uses SGH convergence as an existential ambient realization, rather than assuming the paper's common-space reduction (5.10). The source heat flows and the truncation profile SSS are named by their defining properties; they are the paper's determined objects. The limit heat flow is not assumed to exist: the BE(K,N)\mathrm{BE}(K,N)BE(K,N) conclusion is stated for every family satisfying the heat-flow characterization of 2Ch⁡m∞2\operatorname{Ch}_{m_\infty}2Chm∞​​. Functions represent L2L^2L2 classes, and the common Setting layer records almost-everywhere invariance. The measurable spaces are Borel; the paper's completed measurable structures are represented through measurable versions and almost-everywhere relations.

The formal goal assumes that m∞m_\inftym∞​ has full support on X∞X_\inftyX∞​. Definition 3.6 requires this, while §5.2 explicitly warns that the ambient SGH limit may fail to be fully supported. The full-support condition makes the theorem refer to the intended limit carrier. The goal does not assume that the limit already is a Riemannian energy measure space or satisfies BE(K,N)\mathrm{BE}(K,N)BE(K,N).

Function convergence uses graph laws on X×RkX\times\mathbb R^kX×Rk. The chosen product metric is Mathlib's max metric; any fixed finite product metric yields the same W2W_2W2​ convergence in this setting. The squared Wasserstein distance is extended nonnegative, so a missing finite coupling does not turn into a false real value. The limit energy is defined as 2Ch⁡m∞2\operatorname{Ch}_{m_\infty}2Chm∞​​, with no free energy parameter. Measurable representatives are explicit when forming pushforwards. Lemma 5.9 is stated on a common, fully supported RCD carrier; this narrows its ambient application and is recorded for review. Contributions to the Cheeger-energy invariance, changing-measure function convergence, heat-flow stability, and final BE passage are all within scope.

Selected references

  • Luigi Ambrosio, Nicola Gigli, Giuseppe Savaré, Bakry–Émery curvature-dimension condition and Riemannian Ricci curvature bounds, Annals of Probability 43(1), 2015, 339–404. arXiv:1209.5786v4, DOI:10.1214/14-AOP907.
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Mathematical PhysicsQuantum Information·Captain: Lucas

Chiribella–D'Ariano–Perinotti 2011: Informational Derivation of Quantum TheoryResearch Paper

Motivation

Textbook quantum theory starts from postulates about Hilbert spaces, density matrices and completely positive maps, none of which has an evident operational meaning. A long line of work, from Birkhoff–von Neumann quantum logic through Ludwig, Hardy (quant-ph/0101012), Dakić–Brukner and Masanes–Müller (arXiv:1004.1483), asks whether the formalism can instead be derived from principles that speak only about preparations, measurements and their statistics.

Chiribella, D'Ariano and Perinotti (Phys. Rev. A 84, 012311 (2011), arXiv:1011.6451) give such a derivation for finite-dimensional quantum theory. Five axioms (causality, perfect distinguishability, ideal compression, local distinguishability, pure conditioning) describe a broad class of information-processing theories containing classical theory; one further postulate, purification, singles out quantum theory. The paper builds on the framework of operational-probabilistic theories of the same authors (Phys. Rev. A 81, 062348 (2010)).

Setting

An operational-probabilistic theory (OPT) has systems A,B,…A,B,\dotsA,B,…, a composite system ABABAB for every pair, and, for each pair (A,B)(A,B)(A,B), tests: finite families {Ci}i∈X\{\mathcal C_i\}_{i\in X}{Ci​}i∈X​ of transformations from AAA to BBB. Tests with no input are preparation tests (families of states ρi\rho_iρi​), tests with no output are observation tests (families of effects aja_jaj​). Composing a preparation test with an observation test yields a joint probability distribution p(i,j)=(aj∣ρi)p(i,j)=(a_j|\rho_i)p(i,j)=(aj​∣ρi​), and parallel composition multiplies probabilities. After identifying objects with the same statistics, the states of AAA span a real vector space StR(A)\mathrm{St}_{\mathbb R}(A)StR​(A) of finite dimension DAD_ADA​, effects are linear functionals on it, and transformations are linear maps. St1(A)\mathrm{St}_1(A)St1​(A) denotes the normalized (deterministic) states.

Standard notions are then defined operationally: refinement and coarse-graining, pure states and atomic effects/transformations (only trivial refinements), completely mixed states (refined by every state), reversible transformations, the face FρF_\rhoFρ​ of a state, and perfectly distinguishable families {ρi}i=1N\{\rho_i\}_{i=1}^N{ρi​}i=1N​ (there is an observation test with (aj∣ρi)=δij(a_j|\rho_i)=\delta_{ij}(aj​∣ρi​)=δij​). The informational dimension dAd_AdA​ is the common size of all maximal perfectly distinguishable families of pure states.

Formalization targets

Goal (Theorem 20)

For every theory satisfying the six principles and every system AAA, there is a real-linear isomorphism S:StR(A)→Hermn(C)S:\mathrm{St}_{\mathbb R}(A)\to\mathrm{Herm}_n(\mathbb C)S:StR​(A)→Hermn​(C) with

S(St1(A))={M∈Mn(C): M⪰0, tr⁡M=1},S\big(\mathrm{St}_1(A)\big)=\{M\in M_n(\mathbb C):\ M\succeq 0,\ \operatorname{tr}M=1\},S(St1​(A))={M∈Mn​(C): M⪰0, trM=1},

and n=dAn=d_An=dA​, the size of every maximal family of perfectly distinguishable pure states. In words: the normalized states of every system are exactly the density matrices on CdA\mathbb C^{d_A}CdA​.

Milestones

In the order of the paper: Theorem 6 (maximal distinguishable sets and completely mixed states), Lemma 16 (atomicity of composition), Theorem 8 (pure state / atomic effect duality), Lemma 32 (the informational dimension is well defined), Corollary 15 (dAB=dAdBd_{AB}=d_Ad_BdAB​=dA​dB​), Theorem 9 with Lemma 10 (the invariant state is the uniform mixture of any maximal set), Theorem 10 (spectral decomposition), Theorem 12 (DA=dA2D_A=d_A^2DA​=dA2​), Theorem 13 (the Bloch ball and GA≅SO(3)G_A\cong SO(3)GA​≅SO(3) for dA=2d_A=2dA​=2), Theorem 16 (superposition principle).

Significance

The result shows that, inside a class of theories defined by operational requirements, the density-matrix formalism is forced by purification. The intermediate results are of independent interest: an operational spectral theorem (Theorem 10), the dimension formula DA=dA2D_A=d_A^2DA​=dA2​ (Theorem 12) that replaces Hardy's "simplicity" axiom, and the derivation of the qubit Bloch ball (Theorem 13). Corollary 52 of the paper upgrades the goal to transformations (all completely positive trace-non-increasing maps), using a cited result of the 2010 framework paper; it is not part of this mission's goal.

The paper is a physics article with diagrammatic proofs and several steps delegated to the earlier framework paper. A formalization makes every framework assumption explicit and checks the derivation end to end; no machine-checked development of operational-probabilistic theories is known to the proposer.

Difficulty

The derivation never assumes a Hilbert space, so the matrix representation must be built from the principles: first qubits (via the Bloch ball classification, which uses the classification of compact subgroups of O(3)O(3)O(3)), then projections on faces, the superposition principle and finally a coordinate system on ddd-level systems in which positivity of all states can be checked. Each step relies on many operational lemmas (Choi isomorphism, teleportation, uniqueness of purification up to channels) that in the paper are proved diagrammatically or cited.

Formalization scope

Lean namespace InfoDerivQT. A theory is a structure OPT already in quotiented, finite-dimensional form: StR(A)\mathrm{St}_{\mathbb R}(A)StR​(A) is modelled as RDA\mathbb R^{D_A}RDA​, effects as linear functionals, transformations as linear maps, and tests as families indexed by finite types. The framework records the circuit rules used throughout the paper: the probability rule, product rule, coarse-graining, identity, sequential composition with classical control, classical randomization, rescaled preparations, parallel composition of all kinds of tests, conditioning on one side of a bipartite state, swap and associator, closedness of the state set, and spanning of states and effects. Because transformations are identified with their action on single-system states, this encoding is faithful in the presence of local distinguishability (Eq. (5) of the paper), which every target assumes. The trivial system is not modelled. The six principles are bundled in OPT.SatisfiesPrinciples; quantum theory is a model, so the hypothesis is satisfiable. The choice of framework axioms is the main point for audit: a missing circuit rule could make a target false, an extra one could exclude intended theories.

Contributions welcome: proofs of the milestones, a formal check that finite-dimensional quantum theory is a model of SatisfiesPrinciples, and the Choi isomorphism and teleportation lemmas of Secs. IV and IX as further milestones.

Selected references

  • G. Chiribella, G. M. D'Ariano, P. Perinotti, Informational derivation of quantum theory, Phys. Rev. A 84, 012311 (2011). https://doi.org/10.1103/PhysRevA.84.012311
  • G. Chiribella, G. M. D'Ariano, P. Perinotti, Probabilistic theories with purification, Phys. Rev. A 81, 062348 (2010). https://doi.org/10.1103/PhysRevA.81.062348
  • L. Hardy, Quantum theory from five reasonable axioms (2001). https://arxiv.org/abs/quant-ph/0101012
  • Ll. Masanes, M. P. Müller, A derivation of quantum theory from physical requirements, New J. Phys. 13, 063001 (2011). https://arxiv.org/abs/1004.1483
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Algorithmic Game TheoryControl TheoryProbability·Captain: mikedeng1

On the Convergence of Closed-Loop Nash Equilibria to the Mean Field Game Limit 3: Under Convexity Every Markovian ε-Nash Equilibrium Is a Closed-Loop ε-Nash EquilibriumResearch Paper

Two notions of equilibrium in stochastic differential games

In an nnn-player stochastic differential game each player controls the drift of its own diffusion and is rewarded through a running and a terminal payoff that depend on its own state and on the empirical distribution of all states. A player's strategy can be closed-loop (path-dependent), reacting to the whole observed history of all states, or Markovian (in the engineering literature, "feedback perfect state"), reacting only to the current states and the time. The two lead to two equilibrium notions. A Markovian equilibrium is the object produced by the classical PDE approach (a Nash system of nnn parabolic equations), and it is the natural object for mean field game approximations. A closed-loop equilibrium is the economically more convincing notion, because it rules out profitable deviations to any strategy a player could actually implement.

D. Lacker's paper On the convergence of closed-loop Nash equilibria to the mean field game limit (arXiv:1808.02745v1, 2018; Ann. Appl. Probab. 30(4), 2020, doi:10.1214/19-AAP1541) proves limit theorems for closed-loop equilibria as n→∞n\to\inftyn→∞. Its Proposition 2.2, the subject of this mission, shows that under a convexity condition going back to Filippov and Roxin, the Markovian equilibria form a subset of the closed-loop ones. The limit theorems for closed-loop equilibria then apply to Markovian ones as well.

Setting

Fix a horizon T>0T>0T>0, a dimension ddd, a number of players n≥1n\ge1n≥1, a control set AAA in a real normed space, an initial law λ\lambdaλ on Rd\mathbb R^dRd, and functions

b:[0,T]×Rd×P(Rd)×A→Rd,f:[0,T]×Rd×P(Rd)×A→R,g:Rd×P(Rd)→R.b:[0,T]\times\mathbb R^d\times\mathcal P(\mathbb R^d)\times A\to\mathbb R^d,\quad f:[0,T]\times\mathbb R^d\times\mathcal P(\mathbb R^d)\times A\to\mathbb R,\quad g:\mathbb R^d\times\mathcal P(\mathbb R^d)\to\mathbb R.b:[0,T]×Rd×P(Rd)×A→Rd,f:[0,T]×Rd×P(Rd)×A→R,g:Rd×P(Rd)→R.

Assumption A: AAA is compact and convex, and b,f,gb,f,gb,f,g are bounded and jointly continuous. Assumption B: for each (t,x,m)(t,x,m)(t,x,m) the set K(t,x,m)={(b(t,x,m,a),z):a∈A, z≤f(t,x,m,a)}K(t,x,m)=\{(b(t,x,m,a),z): a\in A,\ z\le f(t,x,m,a)\}K(t,x,m)={(b(t,x,m,a),z):a∈A, z≤f(t,x,m,a)} is convex; this holds, for instance, if bbb is affine and fff concave in aaa.

Write Cd=C([0,T];Rd)\mathcal C^d=C([0,T];\mathbb R^d)Cd=C([0,T];Rd). An admissible control is a Borel, non-anticipative map α:[0,T]×(Cd)n→A\alpha:[0,T]\times(\mathcal C^d)^n\to Aα:[0,T]×(Cd)n→A; the set of these is An\mathcal A_nAn​. A Markovian control is a Borel map α~:[0,T]×(Rd)n→A\tilde\alpha:[0,T]\times(\mathbb R^d)^n\to Aα~:[0,T]×(Rd)n→A, used as α(t,x)=α~(t,xt)\alpha(t,\boldsymbol x)=\tilde\alpha(t,\boldsymbol x_t)α(t,x)=α~(t,xt​); the set is AMn\mathcal{AM}_nAMn​. A profile α=(α1,…,αn)\boldsymbol\alpha=(\alpha^1,\dots,\alpha^n)α=(α1,…,αn) drives the states

dXti=b(t,Xti,μtn,αi(t,X)) dt+dWti,μtn=1n∑k=1nδXtk,dX^i_t=b(t,X^i_t,\mu^n_t,\alpha^i(t,\boldsymbol X))\,dt+dW^i_t,\qquad \mu^n_t=\frac1n\sum_{k=1}^n\delta_{X^k_t},dXti​=b(t,Xti​,μtn​,αi(t,X))dt+dWti​,μtn​=n1​k=1∑n​δXtk​​,

with independent Brownian motions WiW^iWi and i.i.d. initial states of law λ\lambdaλ. Player iii receives

Jin(α)=E[∫0Tf(t,Xti,μtn,αi(t,X)) dt+g(XTi,μTn)].J^n_i(\boldsymbol\alpha)=\mathbb E\Big[\int_0^T f(t,X^i_t,\mu^n_t,\alpha^i(t,\boldsymbol X))\,dt+g(X^i_T,\mu^n_T)\Big].Jin​(α)=E[∫0T​f(t,Xti​,μtn​,αi(t,X))dt+g(XTi​,μTn​)].

For ϵ≥0\epsilon\ge0ϵ≥0, a closed-loop ϵ\epsilonϵ-Nash equilibrium is a profile in Ann\mathcal A_n^nAnn​ with Jin(α)≥sup⁡β∈AnJin(α−i,β)−ϵJ^n_i(\boldsymbol\alpha)\ge\sup_{\beta\in\mathcal A_n}J^n_i(\alpha^{-i},\beta)-\epsilonJin​(α)≥supβ∈An​​Jin​(α−i,β)−ϵ for all iii; a Markovian ϵ\epsilonϵ-Nash equilibrium is a profile in AMnn\mathcal{AM}_n^nAMnn​ with the same inequality, the supremum taken over β∈AMn\beta\in\mathcal{AM}_nβ∈AMn​ only.

Formalization targets

Goal: Proposition 2.2

Under Assumptions A and B, for every ϵ≥0\epsilon\ge0ϵ≥0,

α Markovian ϵ-Nash⟹α closed-loop ϵ-Nash.\boldsymbol\alpha\ \text{Markovian }\epsilon\text{-Nash}\quad\Longrightarrow\quad\boldsymbol\alpha\ \text{closed-loop }\epsilon\text{-Nash}.α Markovian ϵ-Nash⟹α closed-loop ϵ-Nash.

Milestones

  1. Theorem 2.14 (Markovian projection; Gyöngy, Brunick–Shreve). If Xt=X0+∫0tbs ds+WtX_t=X_0+\int_0^t b_s\,ds+W_tXt​=X0​+∫0t​bs​ds+Wt​ with bbb bounded and progressively measurable, there is a bounded Borel b^\widehat bb with b^(t,Xt)=E[bt∣Xt]\widehat b(t,X_t)=\mathbb E[b_t\mid X_t]b(t,Xt​)=E[bt​∣Xt​], and the strong solution of dYt=b^(t,Yt) dt+dWtdY_t=\widehat b(t,Y_t)\,dt+dW_tdYt​=b(t,Yt​)dt+dWt​, Y0=X0Y_0=X_0Y0​=X0​, has Yt=dXtY_t\overset d=X_tYt​=dXt​ for each ttt.
  2. (4.6)–(4.7). When player iii deviates to a closed-loop β\betaβ against Markovian opponents, producing states Y\boldsymbol YY, there is a Borel β~:[0,T]×(Rd)n→A\widetilde\beta:[0,T]\times(\mathbb R^d)^n\to Aβ​:[0,T]×(Rd)n→A with b(t,Yti,νtn,β~(t,Yt))=E[b(t,Yti,νtn,β(t,Y))∣Yt]b(t,Y^i_t,\nu^n_t,\widetilde\beta(t,\boldsymbol Y_t))=\mathbb E[b(t,Y^i_t,\nu^n_t,\beta(t,\boldsymbol Y))\mid\boldsymbol Y_t]b(t,Yti​,νtn​,β​(t,Yt​))=E[b(t,Yti​,νtn​,β(t,Y))∣Yt​] and f(t,Yti,νtn,β~(t,Yt))≥E[f(t,Yti,νtn,β(t,Y))∣Yt]f(t,Y^i_t,\nu^n_t,\widetilde\beta(t,\boldsymbol Y_t))\ge\mathbb E[f(t,Y^i_t,\nu^n_t,\beta(t,\boldsymbol Y))\mid\boldsymbol Y_t]f(t,Yti​,νtn​,β​(t,Yt​))≥E[f(t,Yti​,νtn​,β(t,Y))∣Yt​].
  3. Payoff comparison. With such a β~\widetilde\betaβ​, Jin(β,α−i)≤Jin(β~,α−i)J^n_i(\beta,\alpha^{-i})\le J^n_i(\widetilde\beta,\alpha^{-i})Jin​(β,α−i)≤Jin​(β​,α−i).

Significance

The proposition makes the two equilibrium notions comparable: since a priori a Markovian equilibrium is tested only against Markovian deviations, there is no reason for it to survive path-dependent deviations, and without convexity it need not. Under Assumption B, every result about closed-loop equilibria (in the paper: tightness of the empirical measure flows and identification of their limits as weak mean field equilibria, Theorem 2.7) covers Markovian equilibria too, and in particular those built from classical solutions of the Nash system.

The result is proved in the paper; nothing in this mission is open mathematics. To our knowledge none of it is formalized. The mission produces a machine-checked formulation of the nnn-player game with weak solutions, both equilibrium notions, and the comparison; the Markovian projection theorem is a general result of stochastic analysis, used well beyond game theory (local volatility calibration, mimicking theorems), with no formal proof in any proof assistant that we know of.

Difficulty

The obvious attempt is to replace a closed-loop deviation β\betaβ by its "Markovian average", the conditional expectation of the control given the current state. This fails twice. First, bbb and fff are nonlinear in the control, so averaging the control changes both drift and reward; the convexity of KKK is what allows a single Markovian control to reproduce the conditional drift exactly while not losing reward, and producing it requires a measurable selection that is jointly measurable in time and state. Second, replacing the drift changes the law of the whole state process, so it is not clear that the payoff can be compared at all. Only the one-dimensional time marginals are preserved, and proving that requires the Markovian projection theorem, whose proof rests on uniqueness for a Fokker–Planck equation with merely bounded measurable drift. Neither ingredient is in Mathlib, which has no stochastic differential equations, Girsanov theorem, or Itô formula.

Formalization scope

  • State equations are pathwise. The volatility is the identity (footnote 4), so every SDE is written Xt=X0+∫0t(drift)s ds+WtX_t=X_0+\int_0^t(\text{drift})_s\,ds+W_tXt​=X0​+∫0t​(drift)s​ds+Wt​ for all t∈[0,T]t\in[0,T]t∈[0,T], a.s., with a Lebesgue integral; no Itô integral occurs.
  • Weak solutions are quantified, not chosen. A solution of the nnn-player system (NSol) bundles its own probability space (in Type), filtration, nnn independent Brownian motions jointly forming an ndndnd-dimensional F\mathbb FF-Brownian motion, adapted continuous states, i.i.d. initial states of law λ\lambdaλ independent of the noise, and the empirical flow. JinJ^n_iJin​ is evaluated on a given solution, and each ϵ\epsilonϵ-Nash condition is required for every solution of the equilibrium profile and every solution of the deviated profile. This equals the paper's definition because solutions exist and are unique in law (Girsanov, p. 6); proving the goal therefore requires constructing solutions where needed.
  • Brownian motion is the platform's EthierKurtz.IsStandardBrownian on [0,∞)[0,\infty)[0,∞), made an F\mathbb FF-Brownian motion by adaptedness and independent increments; Rd\mathbb R^dRd is EthierKurtz.SDEState d.
  • Spaces. P(Rd)\mathcal P(\mathbb R^d)P(Rd) carries the weak topology and its Borel σ\sigmaσ-field; paths and flows are continuous maps on [0,T][0,T][0,T] with the compact-open (= uniform) topology and Borel σ\sigmaσ-field.
  • Explicit hypotheses: n≥1n\ge1n≥1 (NeZero n), T>0T>0T>0, ϵ≥0\epsilon\ge0ϵ≥0, measurability of every process and control, and the completed filtration of (X0,W)(X_0,W)(X0​,W) for the strong solution in Theorem 2.14 (platform EthierKurtz.completedBrownianPast). Coefficients and controls take a real time argument, constrained only on [0,T][0,T][0,T].
  • Player index. The paper's proof is written for player 1; milestones 2 and 3 are stated for an arbitrary player iii.
  • Direction. The hypothesis tests only Markovian deviations, the conclusion all admissible closed-loop deviations. A formalization with the classes swapped, or one in which the solution sets are empty, would be trivially true; a sorry-free check in the workspace shows that solutions, Assumptions A–B and the hypothesis are all satisfiable.

Needed infrastructure: weak solutions of SDEs with bounded drift (Girsanov), strong existence for bounded measurable drift (Veretennikov), Fokker–Planck uniqueness, measurable selection, and disintegration of measures depending measurably on a parameter. The Markovian projection theorem and the Girsanov existence of nnn-player solutions are reusable beyond this mission. Contributions toward any of these are welcome.

Selected references

  • D. Lacker, On the convergence of closed-loop Nash equilibria to the mean field game limit, arXiv:1808.02745v1, 2018; Ann. Appl. Probab. 30(4), 2020. https://arxiv.org/abs/1808.02745
  • I. Gyöngy, Mimicking the one-dimensional marginal distributions of processes having an Itô differential, Probab. Theory Related Fields 71, 1986. https://doi.org/10.1007/BF00699039
  • G. Brunick, S. Shreve, Mimicking an Itô process by a solution of a stochastic differential equation, Ann. Appl. Probab. 23(4), 2013. https://doi.org/10.1214/12-AAP881
  • A. Yu. Veretennikov, On strong solutions and explicit formulas for solutions of stochastic integral equations, Math. USSR-Sb. 39, 1981. https://doi.org/10.1070/SM1981v039n03ABEH001522
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Convex OptimizationOptimizationProbability·Captain: mikedeng1

A Block Successive Upper-Bound Minimization Method of Multipliers for Linearly Constrained Convex Optimization 2: Randomized BSUM-M Converges to Primal-Dual Optimal Solutions Almost SurelyResearch Paper

Motivation

Many large convex problems in signal processing, networking and statistics have a separable objective coupled by linear constraints: KKK blocks of variables, each with its own nonsmooth regularizer and its own feasible set, tied together by ∑kEkxk=q\sum_k E_kx_k=q∑k​Ek​xk​=q. The alternating direction method of multipliers (ADMM) is the standard tool for such problems when K=2K=2K=2. For K≥3K\ge3K≥3 the direct extension of ADMM can diverge, as shown by Chen, He, Ye and Yuan (2016), and convergence guarantees for multi-block variants typically require strong convexity or extra correction steps.

Hong, Chang, Wang, Razaviyayn, Ma and Luo propose the block successive upper-bound minimization method of multipliers (BSUM-M), which updates each primal block by minimizing a local upper bound of the augmented Lagrangian, followed by a dual gradient step, and prove that it converges for any number of blocks without strong convexity of the objective. They also analyse a randomized version, RBSUM-M, in which each iteration updates a single randomly chosen block, primal or dual. Randomized block selection matters when data or computation are distributed and not every block is available at every step. This mission formalizes the randomized half of their main theorem; the cyclic half is a separate mission.

Setting

Let x=(x1,…,xK)x=(x_1,\dots,x_K)x=(x1​,…,xK​) with xk∈Rnkx_k\in\mathbb R^{n_k}xk​∈Rnk​, and consider

min⁡x f(x)=g(x)+∑k=1Khk(xk)s.t.Ex=∑k=1KEkxk=q,xk∈Xk.(1.1)\min_x\ f(x)=g(x)+\sum_{k=1}^K h_k(x_k)\quad\text{s.t.}\quad Ex=\sum_{k=1}^K E_kx_k=q,\quad x_k\in X_k. \tag{1.1}xmin​ f(x)=g(x)+k=1∑K​hk​(xk​)s.t.Ex=k=1∑K​Ek​xk​=q,xk​∈Xk​.(1.1)

The standing assumptions (Assumption A) are: g(x)=ℓ(Ax)+⟨x,b⟩g(x)=\ell(Ax)+\langle x,b\rangleg(x)=ℓ(Ax)+⟨x,b⟩ with ℓ\ellℓ strictly convex and continuously differentiable; hk(xk)=λk∥xk∥1+∑JwJ∥xk,J∥2h_k(x_k)=\lambda_k\|x_k\|_1+\sum_J w_J\|x_{k,J}\|_2hk​(xk​)=λk​∥xk​∥1​+∑J​wJ​∥xk,J​∥2​ with nonnegative weights; each Xk={xk∣Ckxk≤ck}X_k=\{x_k\mid C_kx_k\le c_k\}Xk​={xk​∣Ck​xk​≤ck​} is a compact polyhedron; the problem is feasible and its primal and dual optimal values are attained.

For ρ>0\rho>0ρ>0 the augmented Lagrangian and augmented dual function are

L(x;y)=f(x)+⟨y,q−Ex⟩+ρ2∥q−Ex∥2,d(y)=min⁡x∈XL(x;y),L(x;y)=f(x)+\langle y,q-Ex\rangle+\frac\rho2\|q-Ex\|^2,\qquad d(y)=\min_{x\in X}L(x;y),L(x;y)=f(x)+⟨y,q−Ex⟩+2ρ​∥q−Ex∥2,d(y)=x∈Xmin​L(x;y),

and X(y)X(y)X(y) is the set of minimizers of L(⋅;y)L(\cdot;y)L(⋅;y) over X=∏kXkX=\prod_kX_kX=∏k​Xk​. The method works with approximation functions uk(vk;x)u_k(v_k;x)uk​(vk​;x) (Assumption B): uk(⋅;x)u_k(\cdot;x)uk​(⋅;x) majorizes g+ρ2∥E⋅−q∥2g+\frac\rho2\|E\cdot-q\|^2g+2ρ​∥E⋅−q∥2 in block kkk, touches it with matching gradient at xkx_kxk​, is strongly convex with modulus γk\gamma_kγk​ and has an LkL_kLk​-Lipschitz gradient.

RBSUM-M. Fix probabilities p0,…,pK>0p_0,\dots,p_K>0p0​,…,pK​>0 summing to 1. At iteration t≥1t\ge1t≥1 draw kkk with probability pkp_kpk​. If k=0k=0k=0, take a dual step yt+1=yt+αt(q−Ext)y^{t+1}=y^t+\alpha^t(q-Ex^t)yt+1=yt+αt(q−Ext); otherwise replace block kkk by

xkt+1=arg⁡min⁡xk∈Xk uk(xk;xt)−⟨yt,Ekxk⟩+hk(xk),x_k^{t+1}=\arg\min_{x_k\in X_k}\ u_k(x_k;x^t)-\langle y^t,E_kx_k\rangle+h_k(x_k),xkt+1​=argxk​∈Xk​min​ uk​(xk​;xt)−⟨yt,Ek​xk​⟩+hk​(xk​),

leaving the other blocks and yyy unchanged. The analysis uses the block steps x^kt+1\hat x_k^{t+1}x^kt+1​ (the minimizer above, computed for every kkk), the dual step y^t+1=yt+αt(q−Ext)\hat y^{t+1}=y^t+\alpha^t(q-Ex^t)y^​t+1=yt+αt(q−Ext), the gaps Δdt=d∗−d(yt)\Delta_d^t=d^*-d(y^t)Δdt​=d∗−d(yt), Δpt=L(xt;yt)−d(yt)\Delta_p^t=L(x^t;y^t)-d(y^t)Δpt​=L(xt;yt)−d(yt), and the proximal gradient ∇~xL(x;y)=x−prox⁡h+ιX(x−∇x(L(x;y)−h(x)))\tilde\nabla_xL(x;y)=x-\operatorname{prox}_{h+\iota_X}\big(x-\nabla_x(L(x;y)-h(x))\big)∇~x​L(x;y)=x−proxh+ιX​​(x−∇x​(L(x;y)−h(x))). The error bound with constant τ\tauτ is dist⁡(x,X(y))≤τ∥∇~xL(x;y)∥\operatorname{dist}(x,X(y))\le\tau\|\tilde\nabla_xL(x;y)\|dist(x,X(y))≤τ∥∇~x​L(x;y)∥ for all yyy and x∈Xx\in Xx∈X.

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem 2.1, part 2

Under Assumptions A and B and the error bound, if the stepsizes are either constant and sufficiently small, or satisfy ∑tαt=∞\sum_t\alpha^t=\infty∑t​αt=∞, αt→0\alpha^t\to0αt→0, then with probability 1

∥Ext−q∥→0,∥xt−xt+1∥→0,∥xt−xˉt∥→0,\|Ex^t-q\|\to0,\qquad\|x^t-x^{t+1}\|\to0,\qquad\|x^t-\bar x^t\|\to0,∥Ext−q∥→0,∥xt−xt+1∥→0,∥xt−xˉt∥→0,

where xˉt\bar x^txˉt is the point of X(y^t)X(\hat y^t)X(y^​t) nearest to xtx^txt, and every limit point of (xt,yt)(x^t,y^t)(xt,yt) is a primal and dual optimal pair. The threshold for "sufficiently small" is existential and depends only on the problem data, the uku_kuk​, the error-bound constant and ppp.

Milestones

In the order of the paper: Lemma 2.1 (differentiability of ddd, ∇d(y)=q−Ex(y)\nabla d(y)=q-Ex(y)∇d(y)=q−Ex(y), the 1/ρ1/\rho1/ρ-Lipschitz bound); Lemma 2.3(2) (expected decrease of LLL); Lemma 2.4(2) (proximal gradient bounded by the block and dual steps); Lemmas 2.5(2) and 2.6(2) (expected change of the dual and primal gaps); and from the proof of Theorem 2.1, (2.24)–(2.25) (expected change of Δp+Δd\Delta_p+\Delta_dΔp​+Δd​), (2.28) (constraint violation), (2.29) (the descent estimate with explicit coefficients) and (2.40) (one-step change of ∥Exˉt−q∥\|E\bar x^t-q\|∥Exˉt−q∥).

Significance

The result shows that a randomized, single-block-per-iteration primal-dual method converges almost surely to primal-dual optimal solutions of a multi-block linearly constrained problem, under assumptions that allow a rank-deficient AAA, nonsmooth group-sparse regularizers, and inexact (majorized) block subproblems. The potential function Δp+Δd\Delta_p+\Delta_dΔp​+Δd​ and the way the error bound converts it into a supermartingale estimate are reused in later analyses of multi-block and randomized ADMM-type methods.

The result is proved in the paper; to our knowledge it has no machine-checked proof. Formalizing it produces a checked convergence proof for a randomized augmented-Lagrangian method, a reusable formal treatment of the augmented dual function of a convex program with compact polyhedral constraints, and a precise record of the conventions under which the published statements hold (see the scope section).

Difficulty

The obvious route is to show that L(xt;yt)L(x^t;y^t)L(xt;yt) decreases. It does not: a dual step increases LLL by αt∥q−Ext∥2\alpha^t\|q-Ex^t\|^2αt∥q−Ext∥2, and without strong convexity there is no direct control of the distance to the solution set. The argument has to combine the primal and dual gaps into one potential, bound the residual term ∥Ext−Exˉt+1∥\|Ex^t-E\bar x^{t+1}\|∥Ext−Exˉt+1∥ through an error bound that holds without strong convexity, and then pass from a conditional-expectation inequality to almost-sure convergence. Under diminishing stepsizes the supermartingale argument only yields lim inf⁡∥Exˉt−q∥=0\liminf\|E\bar x^t-q\|=0liminf∥Exˉt−q∥=0, and upgrading this to a limit needs a separate pathwise argument on how fast ∇d(y^t)\nabla d(\hat y^t)∇d(y^​t) can move.

Formalization scope

Blocks are EuclideanSpace ℝ (Fin (n k)) and the full vector lives in PiLp 2, so norms are Euclidean. ℓ\ellℓ is real-valued on all of Rp\mathbb R^pRp. The augmented dual function is d(y)=min⁡x∈XL(x;y)d(y)=\min_{x\in X}L(x;y)d(y)=minx∈X​L(x;y) (the page's (1.9) prints an unconstrained minimum of ggg plus penalty; the constrained reading is the one Lemma 2.1 and (2.19) use). The prox in the proximal gradient includes the constraint set XXX, which is what the proof of Lemma 2.4 needs; the error bound of Lemma 2.2 is a hypothesis of the goal, in its global form on XXX, and is not derived. Lemma 2.2 itself is not part of the mission.

Conditional expectations given zt=(xt,yt)z^t=(x^t,y^t)zt=(xt,yt) are written as the explicit average p0F(x,y^)+∑kpkF((x^k,x−k),y)p_0F(x,\hat y)+\sum_kp_kF((\hat x_k,x_{-k}),y)p0​F(x,y^​)+∑k​pk​F((x^k​,x−k​),y) over the random index, at every state; this is E[F(zt+1)∣zt]\mathbb E[F(z^{t+1})\mid z^t]E[F(zt+1)∣zt] because the index drawn at iteration ttt is independent of ztz^tzt. The goal is stated on an arbitrary probability space carrying mutually independent indices with law ppp, for every run from a deterministic start x1∈Xx^1\in Xx1∈X, y1y^1y1. Iterations are indexed from t=1t=1t=1 as on the page.

Two printed statements are corrected and labelled in their items: Lemma 2.1 asserts AxAxAx (not each AkxkA_kx_kAk​xk​) constant over X(y)X(y)X(y), and Lemma 2.6(2) uses αt\alpha^tαt where the page prints αr\alpha^rαr. Statements are not trivialized: the setting is satisfiable (for instance K=1K=1K=1, g≡0g\equiv0g≡0, h=0h=0h=0, E=0E=0E=0, X=[−1,1]X=[-1,1]X=[−1,1], u(v;x)=(v−x1)2/2u(v;x)=(v-x_1)^2/2u(v;x)=(v−x1​)2/2), the stepsize threshold precedes the probability space and the run, and the solution sets entering distances are nonempty under Assumption A. A formalization in which the error bound or the gap bounds are assumed in a form that already contains the conclusion would not count.

A complete development needs: Danskin-type differentiability of ddd and the 1/ρ1/\rho1/ρ-smoothness of the augmented dual; first-order optimality and nonexpansiveness of the prox of h+ιXh+\iota_Xh+ιX​; and the Robbins–Siegmund almost-supermartingale convergence theorem in Mathlib's conditional expectation framework, together with a bridge from the explicit index average to condExp. The last two are reusable well beyond this mission. Contributions to any of the milestones, or to these general lemmas, are welcome.

Selected references

  • M. Hong, T.-H. Chang, X. Wang, M. Razaviyayn, S. Ma, Z.-Q. Luo, A Block Successive Upper Bound Minimization Method of Multipliers for Linearly Constrained Convex Optimization, arXiv:1401.7079v1, 2014; Mathematics of Operations Research 45(3), 2020. https://arxiv.org/abs/1401.7079, https://doi.org/10.1287/moor.2019.1010
  • M. Hong, Z.-Q. Luo, On the linear convergence of the alternating direction method of multipliers, Mathematical Programming 162, 2017. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10107-016-1034-2
  • C. Chen, B. He, Y. Ye, X. Yuan, The direct extension of ADMM for multi-block convex minimization problems is not necessarily convergent, Mathematical Programming 155, 2016. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10107-014-0826-5
  • H. Robbins, D. Siegmund, A convergence theorem for non negative almost supermartingales and some applications, in Optimizing Methods in Statistics, Academic Press, 1971. https://doi.org/10.1016/B978-0-12-604550-5.50015-8
  • M. Razaviyayn, M. Hong, Z.-Q. Luo, A unified convergence analysis of block successive minimization methods for nonsmooth optimization, SIAM Journal on Optimization 23(2), 2013. https://doi.org/10.1137/120891009

Theorem numbers, equation numbers and page numbers in this mission refer to arXiv:1401.7079v1 (printed page = PDF page − 1); the journal version renumbers them.

12 thms1 active userReviewed
Operations ResearchPartial Differential EquationsProbability+1·Captain: mikedeng1

Global C¹ Regularity of the Value Function in Optimal Stopping Problems 2: In Finite Horizon, Probabilistic Regularity of the Boundary Makes the Time Derivative of the Value Function ContinuousResearch Paper

Motivation

In an optimal stopping problem the value function VVV and the gain function GGG agree on the stopping set D={V=G}D=\{V=G\}D={V=G}, and V>GV>GV>G on the continuation set CCC. The smooth fit principle says that, at the boundary ∂C\partial C∂C between them, VVV meets GGG with matching first derivatives. Smooth fit is one of the boundary conditions in the free-boundary problems that characterise optimal stopping boundaries. It is behind the integral equations for the early-exercise boundary of the American put and for many problems in sequential analysis and finance (Peskir & Shiryaev, 2006). On a finite horizon the value depends on the remaining time, and continuity of the time derivative ∂tV\partial_tV∂t​V across ∂C\partial C∂C is the step that justifies the local time-space calculus applied to VVV (Peskir, 2005).

Before De Angelis & Peskir (2020) such continuity results were proved problem by problem, or under sign conditions that the main examples do not satisfy: G=0G=0G=0 on the stopping set and H<0H<0H<0 globally, which fails for the American put. Their paper gives two general results. Theorem 8 covers the space derivative, and Theorem 15, the subject of this mission, covers the time derivative on a finite horizon. Both are stated for a strong Markov process realised as a stochastic flow, and both rest on probabilistic regularity of the boundary.

Setting

Fix a horizon T>0T>0T>0 and d=m+1≥1d=m+1\ge1d=m+1≥1. The process is the time-space process Xst,x=(t+s,Xsx)X^{t,x}_s=(t+s,X^x_s)Xst,x​=(t+s,Xsx​). Its first coordinate is time, and (Xsx)s≥0, x∈Rd−1(X^x_s)_{s\ge0,\,x\in\mathbb R^{d-1}}(Xsx​)s≥0,x∈Rd−1​ is a stochastic flow on a probability space (Ω,F,P)(\Omega,\mathcal F,P)(Ω,F,P) with a right-continuous filtration (Fs)(\mathcal F_s)(Fs​), adapted to it, with X0x=xX^x_0=xX0x​=x. Its paths are right-continuous with left limits, it is left-continuous over stopping times, and it is strong Markov. The flow is continuous in the space variable if, outside one null set, x↦Xsx(ω)x\mapsto X^x_s(\omega)x↦Xsx​(ω) is continuous for every sss.

Given continuous functions λ≥0\lambda\ge0λ≥0, GGG and HHH of (t,x)(t,x)(t,x), write Λst,x=∫0sλ(t+u,Xux) du\Lambda^{t,x}_s=\int_0^s\lambda(t+u,X^x_u)\,duΛst,x​=∫0s​λ(t+u,Xux​)du. The value function is

V(t,x)=sup⁡0≤τ≤T−tE[e−Λτt,xG(t+τ,Xτx)+∫0τe−Λst,xH(t+s,Xsx) ds]V(t,x)=\sup_{0\le\tau\le T-t}\mathsf E\Big[e^{-\Lambda^{t,x}_\tau}G(t+\tau,X^x_\tau)+\int_0^\tau e^{-\Lambda^{t,x}_s}H(t+s,X^x_s)\,ds\Big]V(t,x)=0≤τ≤T−tsup​E[e−Λτt,x​G(t+τ,Xτx​)+∫0τ​e−Λst,x​H(t+s,Xsx​)ds]

over stopping times τ\tauτ bounded by the remaining time T−tT-tT−t. The sets are C={V>G}C=\{V>G\}C={V>G} and D={V=G}D=\{V=G\}D={V=G} inside [0,T]×Rd−1[0,T]\times\mathbb R^{d-1}[0,T]×Rd−1, and ∂C=D∩C‾\partial C=D\cap\overline C∂C=D∩C. The problem is well posed if the expected payoffs are integrable and the first entry time τD\tau_DτD​ into DDD is optimal.

The first hitting time of a set AAA is σAt,x=inf⁡{s∈(0,T−t]:Xst,x∈A}\sigma^{t,x}_A=\inf\{s\in(0,T-t]:X^{t,x}_s\in A\}σAt,x​=inf{s∈(0,T−t]:Xst,x​∈A}. A point zzz is probabilistically regular for AAA if P(σAz=0)=1P(\sigma^z_A=0)=1P(σAz​=0)=1. The generator LX\mathbb L_XLX​ (2.14) acts in the space variable, with diffusion matrix σij\sigma_{ij}σij​, drift μi\mu_iμi​, killing rate λ\lambdaλ and jump measure ν\nuν. Its coefficient formula is tied to the flow by the right derivative at zero of the killed spatial semigroup applied to G(t,⋅)G(t,\cdot)G(t,⋅). The function H~=Gt+LXG+H\tilde H=G_t+\mathbb L_XG+HH~=Gt​+LX​G+H appears in the hypotheses.

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem 15, global form (p. 20)

Assume well-posedness, (5.9) (VVV continuous on [0,T]×Rd−1[0,T]\times\mathbb R^{d-1}[0,T]×Rd−1 and C1C^1C1 on CCC), (5.10) (G∈C1,2G\in C^{1,2}G∈C1,2) and (5.11) (Lipschitz continuity of H~\tilde HH~ and λ\lambdaλ in ttt, uniformly in xxx), and a continuous flow. Assume the local conditions (5.12)–(5.13) and probabilistic regularity for D∘D^\circD∘ at every z∈∂Cz\in\partial Cz∈∂C. Then

∂tV exists and is continuous on [0,T]×Rd−1.\partial_tV\ \text{exists and is continuous on }[0,T]\times\mathbb R^{d-1}.∂t​V exists and is continuous on [0,T]×Rd−1.

Milestones

  1. (5.17): along every sequence (tn,xn)∈C(t_n,x_n)\in C(tn​,xn​)∈C with (tn,xn)→z(t_n,x_n)\to z(tn​,xn​)→z, lim inf⁡nVt(tn,xn)≥Gt(z)\displaystyle\liminf_{n}V_t(t_n,x_n)\ge G_t(z)nliminf​Vt​(tn​,xn​)≥Gt​(z).
  2. (5.20): along the same sequences, lim sup⁡nVt(tn,xn)≤Gt(z)\displaystyle\limsup_{n}V_t(t_n,x_n)\le G_t(z)nlimsup​Vt​(tn​,xn​)≤Gt​(z).
  3. Theorem 15, (5.14): at a single regular z∈∂Cz\in\partial Cz∈∂C,
∂tV(z)=∂tG(z)andlim⁡C∋(t,x)→z∂tV(t,x)=∂tG(z).\partial_tV(z)=\partial_tG(z)\quad\text{and}\quad\lim_{C\ni(t,x)\to z}\partial_tV(t,x)=\partial_tG(z).∂t​V(z)=∂t​G(z)andC∋(t,x)→zlim​∂t​V(t,x)=∂t​G(z).

Significance

The result. Theorem 15 turns a probabilistic property of the boundary, which can be checked through sample-path arguments, into the analytic smooth-fit condition in time. Continuity of ∂tV\partial_tV∂t​V across ∂C\partial C∂C is the hypothesis that the change-of-variable formula with local time on curves and surfaces requires. That formula yields the free-boundary integral equations for optimal stopping boundaries. The theorem needs no sign condition on GGG or HHH and no strong Feller property. The time-space process is never strong Feller, which is exactly why the earlier strong Feller route to boundary regularity does not apply here.

Formalizing it. The result is proved in the paper; nothing here is open mathematics. As far as is known no part of it has been machine-checked. Mathlib has stopping times and conditional expectation, but no stochastic flows, no generators of jump diffusions and no optimal stopping in continuous time. A complete development formalizes the proof on pp. 20–23 together with the upper semicontinuity of hitting times of open sets (Lemma 4 and Corollary 6 of the paper, posed in the companion mission on the space derivative).

Difficulty

The infinite-horizon argument (Theorem 13, via Theorem 8) perturbs the starting point and reuses the optimal stopping time of the unperturbed problem. On a finite horizon this fails in the time variable. Shifting the start from tnt_ntn​ to tn+εnt_n+\varepsilon_ntn​+εn​ shortens the remaining horizon, so the stopping time optimal for V(tn,xn)V(t_n,x_n)V(tn​,xn​) is no longer admissible for V(tn+εn,xn)V(t_n+\varepsilon_n,x_n)V(tn​+εn​,xn​). A first-order comparison of payoffs therefore cannot be used. The proof truncates the stopping time and controls the truncated part, which is the role of the identity (5.12) and of the window [T−t−ε,T−t][T-t-\varepsilon,T-t][T−t−ε,T−t] in (5.13). The convergence τn→0\tau_n\to0τn​→0 of the optimal stopping times has to come from regularity of zzz for the interior D∘D^\circD∘ and continuity of the flow, not from the strong Feller property.

Formalization scope

  • Space Rd−1\mathbb R^{d-1}Rd−1 is EuclideanSpace ℝ (Fin m) with d=m+1d=m+1d=m+1. Time is ℝ≥0. Points of the time-space domain are pairs in ℝ × EuclideanSpace ℝ (Fin m), and [0,T]×Rd−1[0,T]\times\mathbb R^{d-1}[0,T]×Rd−1 is Set.Icc 0 T ×ˢ univ.
  • PxP_xPx​ and Ex\mathsf E_xEx​ are PPP and E\mathsf EE of the flow started at xxx. All stopping times are for one common right-continuous filtration and are finite valued. Admissible times for (t,x)(t,x)(t,x) satisfy τ≤T−t\tau\le T-tτ≤T−t.
  • Hitting and entry times take values in [0,∞][0,\infty][0,∞] (WithTop ℝ≥0) with inf⁡∅=∞\inf\emptyset=\inftyinf∅=∞, and are capped by the horizon.
  • Expectations are Bochner integrals. Well-posedness carries integrability of every admissible payoff and optimality of a stopping time equal to τD\tau_DτD​ almost surely, so VVV is attained and is not a junk supremum.
  • ∂C:=D∩C‾\partial C:=D\cap\overline C∂C:=D∩C. "C∋(t,x)→zC\ni(t,x)\to zC∋(t,x)→z" is the filter NC(z)\mathcal N_C(z)NC​(z), and ∂tV\partial_tV∂t​V is the derivative of s↦V(s,x)s\mapsto V(s,x)s↦V(s,x) within [0,T][0,T][0,T]. The pointwise clause "continuous at zzz" means convergence along CCC; the global clause is ContinuousOn on [0,T]×Rd−1[0,T]\times\mathbb R^{d-1}[0,T]×Rd−1.
  • (5.13) is an integrable majorant valid simultaneously for all points of the window. The ball b(z,ε)b(z,\varepsilon)b(z,ε) is the max-metric ball, which is equivalent because ε\varepsilonε is existential. (5.12) includes integrability of both sides.
  • D∘D^\circD∘ is the interior in R×Rd−1\mathbb R\times\mathbb R^{d-1}R×Rd−1. No point with t=Tt=Tt=T is probabilistically regular, so the global hypothesis requires C‾\overline CC to avoid t=Tt=Tt=T. This is the paper's scope, not an addition.
  • The model is not specialized: any d≥1d\ge1d≥1, general λ\lambdaλ, jumps allowed, càdlàg paths, unbounded GGG, HHH and VVV. A formalization that takes Λ≡0\Lambda\equiv0Λ≡0, d=1d=1d=1, continuous paths, or the strong Feller property is a different theorem.

Contributions welcome: the hitting-time lemmas (upper semicontinuity of σD∘\sigma_{D^\circ}σD∘​ under a continuous flow), dominated-convergence lemmas for the truncated stopping times, and the two halves (5.17) and (5.20).

Selected references

  • T. De Angelis, G. Peskir, Global C¹ regularity of the value function in optimal stopping problems, Ann. Appl. Probab. 30(3), 2020. Preprint arXiv:1812.04564v2. https://arxiv.org/abs/1812.04564v2
  • G. Peskir, A. Shiryaev, Optimal Stopping and Free-Boundary Problems, Birkhäuser, 2006. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-7643-7390-0
  • G. Peskir, A change-of-variable formula with local time on curves, J. Theoret. Probab. 18, 2005. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10959-005-3517-6
  • R. M. Blumenthal, R. K. Getoor, Markov Processes and Potential Theory, Academic Press, 1968.
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Global C¹ Regularity of the Value Function in Optimal Stopping Problems 1: Probabilistic Regularity of the Boundary Makes the Value Function Continuously DifferentiableResearch Paper

Why boundary regularity matters

An optimal stopping rule chooses when to end a stochastic process in order to collect a terminal reward, possibly after earning or paying a running reward. The resulting value function often solves a free-boundary problem: the state space splits into a region where stopping is optimal and one where continuing is better. Smoothness inside either region does not by itself say what happens where the regions meet. This mission concerns the global first spatial derivative of that value function at the optimal stopping boundary.

De Angelis and Peskir proved that a probabilistic condition on the boundary, together with regularity of the process as a spatial flow and explicit integrability bounds, gives continuous differentiability of the value function across the boundary. Their result applies to standard Markov processes with right-continuous paths and left limits, including jump processes; it is not restricted to diffusions or to a constant discount rate. The source is De Angelis and Peskir, arXiv:1812.04564v2, Theorem 8.

The stopping problem and its boundary

Let d≥1d\ge1d≥1, let E=RdE=\mathbb R^dE=Rd, and let XtxX_t^xXtx​ be a stochastic flow: the same probability space carries a path starting from every state x∈Ex\in Ex∈E. Time is nonnegative. One right-continuous filtration makes every path adapted and is used for every stopping rule. The process is strong Markov, has right-continuous paths with left limits, is left continuous over stopping times, and starts from X0x=xX_0^x=xX0x​=x. Expectations and probabilities written ExE_xEx​ and PxP_xPx​ in the paper are the expectation and probability of the flow XxX^xXx under one measure PPP.

The continuous data are a nonnegative discount rate λ:E→[0,∞)\lambda:E\to[0,\infty)λ:E→[0,∞), a terminal reward G:E→RG:E\to\mathbb RG:E→R, and a running reward H:E→RH:E\to\mathbb RH:E→R. The discount accumulated along the path from xxx is Λtx=∫0tλ(Xsx) ds\Lambda_t^x=\int_0^t\lambda(X_s^x)\,dsΛtx​=∫0t​λ(Xsx​)ds. For every finite-valued stopping time τ\tauτ of the common filtration, define

J(x,τ)=E ⁣[e−ΛτxG(Xτx)+∫0τe−ΛtxH(Xtx) dt],V(x)=sup⁡τJ(x,τ).J(x,\tau)=E\!\left[e^{-\Lambda_\tau^x}G(X_\tau^x)+\int_0^\tau e^{-\Lambda_t^x}H(X_t^x)\,dt\right], \qquad V(x)=\sup_\tau J(x,\tau).J(x,τ)=E[e−Λτx​G(Xτx​)+∫0τ​e−Λtx​H(Xtx​)dt],V(x)=τsup​J(x,τ).

This is the infinite-horizon problem (2.1). It is well posed here when all admissible payoffs are integrable and the first entry time into the stopping set is an almost surely finite optimal stopping time. These conditions ensure that VVV is a real, attained supremum rather than a default value of Lean's real supremum or integral. Define the stopping set D={x:V(x)=G(x)}D=\{x:V(x)=G(x)\}D={x:V(x)=G(x)}, the continuation set C={x:V(x)>G(x)}C=\{x:V(x)>G(x)\}C={x:V(x)>G(x)}, and the boundary relevant to the theorem as D∩C‾D\cap\overline CD∩C. For a state set AAA, the first entry time is τAx=inf⁡{t≥0:Xtx∈A}\tau_A^x=\inf\{t\ge0:X_t^x\in A\}τAx​=inf{t≥0:Xtx​∈A} and the first strictly positive hitting time is σAx=inf⁡{t>0:Xtx∈A}\sigma_A^x=\inf\{t>0:X_t^x\in A\}σAx​=inf{t>0:Xtx​∈A}. Both may be infinite.

A boundary point zzz is probabilistically regular for AAA if Pz(σA=0)=1P_z(\sigma_A=0)=1Pz​(σA​=0)=1. It is Green regular for AAA when Px(τA≥ε)→0P_x(\tau_A\ge\varepsilon)\to0Px​(τA​≥ε)→0 as x→zx\to zx→z through CCC, for every ε>0\varepsilon>0ε>0. The paper obtains Green regularity by either strong Feller continuity with probabilistic regularity for DDD, or spatial continuity of the flow with probabilistic regularity for D∘D^\circD∘. Lemma 1 and Corollaries 2–3 give the first route; Lemma 4 and Corollaries 5–6 give the second. All six statements use an arbitrary closed DDD, as in Section 3 of the source. Source: §§2–3, pp. 3–11.

Formalization targets

The milestone results first establish the two boundary regularity routes. In particular, approaching zzz through CCC, the first route gives τDxn→0\tau_D^{x_n}\to0τDxn​​→0 in probability; the second gives τD∘xn→0\tau_{D^\circ}^{x_n}\to0τD∘xn​​→0 and τDxn→0\tau_D^{x_n}\to0τDxn​​→0 almost surely. Equations (4.16) and (4.19) then bound, respectively, the lower and upper limits of each coordinate derivative ∂iV(xn)\partial_iV(x_n)∂i​V(xn​) by ∂iG(z)\partial_iG(z)∂i​G(z). The pointwise part of Theorem 8 concludes

DV(z)=DG(z),lim⁡C∋x→zDV(x)=DG(z).D V(z)=D G(z),\qquad \lim_{C\ni x\to z}D V(x)=D G(z).DV(z)=DG(z),C∋x→zlim​DV(x)=DG(z).

The mission goal is the final sentence of Theorem 8. If the theorem's local hypotheses hold at every z∈D∩C‾z\in D\cap\overline Cz∈D∩C, then

V∈C1(Rd).V\in C^1(\mathbb R^d).V∈C1(Rd).

The hypotheses include the discounted generator representation (2.14) from the problem setup, continuity and interior C1C^1C1 regularity of VVV, global C1C^1C1 regularity of GGG, one positive Lipschitz constant for both HHH and λ\lambdaλ, a C1C^1C1 spatial flow, the four local bounds (4.4)–(4.7) with one radius at each boundary point, and one of the two probabilistic regularity alternatives. The goal retains all dimensions d≥1d\ge1d≥1, all nonnegative continuous discount rates, and the source's full class of standard Markov flows. Source: §2.5 and Theorem 8, pp. 7, 11–12.

What the result gives

The conclusion identifies the derivative of the value function on both sides of the stopping boundary. It strengthens a derivative match along a single direction or a chosen sequence into continuous differentiability on the whole state space. This is relevant to free-boundary formulations of optimal stopping, where interior regularity can be available from a Dirichlet or Poisson problem while boundary regularity remains the missing step. The authors describe that distinction in their discussion of smooth fit and global differentiability. Source: §2.5, p. 8.

The mathematical theorem is proved in the 2020 paper. In this mission, the definitions and statements compile as Lean declarations, while the theorem proofs remain to be formalized. A complete development would supply reusable arguments about hitting times, semicontinuity of hitting probabilities, stochastic flows, and limits of derivatives near a stopping boundary. Those components would also support the paper's finite-horizon spatial and temporal results.

The central difficulty

The value is a supremum over stopping rules. Differentiating the reward for a fixed stopping time does not automatically differentiate that supremum, because the optimal time depends on the initial state. Near the boundary, even continuity of the value does not control the duration of the optimal rule from neighboring states. The paper's probabilistic regularity conditions address that duration, while (4.4)–(4.7) provide the integrability needed to pass to derivative limits. A direct appeal to interior differentiability leaves the boundary itself untreated. Source: §§3–4.1, pp. 9–15.

Formalization scope

The state space is EuclideanSpace ℝ (Fin d) with d≥1d\ge1d≥1; Fin d indices are the paper's coordinates 1,…,d1,\ldots,d1,…,d shifted by one. Balls are open Euclidean balls. Time is R≥0\mathbb R_{\ge0}R≥0​, and the entry and hitting times live in R≥0∪{+∞}\mathbb R_{\ge0}\cup\{+\infty\}R≥0​∪{+∞} so an unattained hit has its intended value. The flow is the process; no separate family of measures PxP_xPx​ is introduced. One common filtration is used for all initial states and is right-continuous. Its finite stopping times are the full admissible class, not only hitting times.

The value uses Bochner expectations and real Lebesgue time integrals. Well-posedness records integrability for every admissible payoff and optimality and almost sure finiteness of τDx\tau_D^xτDx​. The generator clause acts on smooth functions in the domain of the discounted transition semigroup; it retains the paper's diffusion, drift, killing, and jump terms. The boundary is D∩C‾D\cap\overline CD∩C, and approach through continuation points is expressed by the within-set neighborhood filter. Pointwise continuous differentiability means a Fréchet derivative at zzz equal to DG(z)D G(z)DG(z) and convergence of DVD VDV along CCC; the goal uses global ContDiff. The local bounds retain all independently indexed starting states and coordinates. Their uncountable suprema are represented by integrable common majorants, with timewise measurable envelopes for the suprema inside time integrals. This convention excludes default integral values from nonmeasurable or nonintegrable expressions.

A formalization restricted to Brownian motion, one dimension, zero or constant discount, continuous paths, bounded rewards, or only one boundary regularity branch would state a different theorem. Contributions toward measurable hitting-time events, the two Section 3 regularity chains, the envelope bounds, and the derivative comparison are welcome.

Selected references

  • De Angelis, T., and Peskir, G., Global C¹ Regularity of the Value Function in Optimal Stopping Problems, Annals of Applied Probability 30(3), 2020. arXiv:1812.04564v2; DOI:10.1214/19-AAP1517.
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A Mean Field Game of Optimal Portfolio Liquidation 2: The Value Functions of the Penalized Mean Field Games Converge in L¹ to the Value Function of the Liquidation-Constrained GameResearch Paper

Motivation

Optimal portfolio liquidation asks how a trader should unwind a position of X\mathcal XX shares over a horizon [0,T][0,T][0,T] when trading moves prices. Since Almgren and Chriss (2001) the standard model charges a quadratic cost ηtξt2\eta_t\xi_t^2ηt​ξt2​ for trading at rate ξt\xi_tξt​ (temporary impact) and a risk penalty λtXt2\lambda_tX_t^2λt​Xt2​ on the open position, and imposes the liquidation constraint XT=0X_T=0XT​=0. When many traders liquidate at once, each one's costs also depend on the others' aggregate trading rate μt\mu_tμt​ through a permanent impact term κtμtXt\kappa_t\mu_tX_tκt​μt​Xt​. Fu, Graewe, Horst and Popier (arXiv:1804.04911) model this as a mean field game (MFG) with common noise and prove that, under a weak-interaction condition, the game has a unique equilibrium.

The liquidation constraint makes the problem singular: the value function blows up at TTT, and the equilibrium is described by a forward-backward system whose decoupling field AAA satisfies a Riccati BSDE with terminal value AT=+∞A_T=+\inftyAT​=+∞. A natural question is whether the constraint can be replaced by a finite penalty nXT2nX_T^2nXT2​ on the unliquidated position, a non-singular problem of the type studied in the MFG literature, and whether the penalized equilibria approach the constrained one as n→∞n\to\inftyn→∞. Section 4 of the paper answers this at the level of values. In the single-agent case, singular terminal conditions of this type were studied by Ankirchner, Jeanblanc and Kruse (SIAM J. Control Optim., 2014) and Graewe, Horst and Séré (Stochastic Process. Appl., 2018), references [3] and [28] of the paper.

Setting

Fix T>0T>0T>0, an mmm-dimensional Brownian motion W~=(W0,W)\widetilde W=(W^0,W)W=(W0,W) whose first coordinate W0W^0W0 is common noise, and an initial position X∈L2\mathcal X\in L^2X∈L2 independent of W~\widetilde WW. Let F0\mathbb F^0F0 be the filtration of W0W^0W0 and F\mathbb FF that of (X,W~)(\mathcal X,\widetilde W)(X,W), both augmented. The coefficients κ,λ,η\kappa,\lambda,\etaκ,λ,η are bounded, nonnegative, F\mathbb FF-progressive processes, with λ\lambdaλ and η\etaη bounded below by positive constants. Write κmax⁡\kappa_{\max}κmax​, η⋆\eta_\starη⋆​, λ⋆\lambda_\starλ⋆​ for the essential supremum of κ\kappaκ and the essential infima of η\etaη and λ\lambdaλ, ∥η∥\|\eta\|∥η∥ for the essential supremum of ∣η∣|\eta|∣η∣, and α=η⋆/∥η∥∈(0,1]\alpha=\eta_\star/\|\eta\|\in(0,1]α=η⋆​/∥η∥∈(0,1]. Assumption 2.3 adds the weak-interaction condition: some θ>0\theta>0θ>0 satisfies κmax⁡<4η⋆θ\kappa_{\max}<4\eta_\star\thetaκmax​<4η⋆​θ and θκmax⁡<4λ⋆\theta\kappa_{\max}<4\lambda_\starθκmax​<4λ⋆​.

Given an aggregate rate μ\muμ, a trading rate ξ∈LF2\xi\in L^2_{\mathbb F}ξ∈LF2​ yields the position Xtξ=X−∫0tξs dsX^\xi_t=\mathcal X-\int_0^t\xi_s\,dsXtξ​=X−∫0t​ξs​ds. The constrained problem minimizes

J(X,ξ;μ)=E[∫0T(κsμsXsξ+ηsξs2+λs(Xsξ)2)ds ∣ X]J(\mathcal X,\xi;\mu)=\mathbb E\Big[\int_0^T\big(\kappa_s\mu_sX^\xi_s+\eta_s\xi_s^2+\lambda_s(X^\xi_s)^2\big)ds\,\Big|\,\mathcal X\Big]J(X,ξ;μ)=E[∫0T​(κs​μs​Xsξ​+ηs​ξs2​+λs​(Xsξ​)2)ds​X]

over ξ\xiξ with ∫0Tξs ds=X\int_0^T\xi_s\,ds=\mathcal X∫0T​ξs​ds=X; its value is V(X;μ)V(\mathcal X;\mu)V(X;μ). The penalized problem (4.1) drops the constraint and minimizes

Jn(ξ;μ)=E[∫0T(κtμtXtξ+ηtξt2+λt(Xtξ)2)dt+n(XTξ)2 ∣ X]J^n(\xi;\mu)=\mathbb E\Big[\int_0^T\big(\kappa_t\mu_tX^\xi_t+\eta_t\xi_t^2+\lambda_t(X^\xi_t)^2\big)dt+n(X^\xi_T)^2\,\Big|\,\mathcal X\Big]Jn(ξ;μ)=E[∫0T​(κt​μt​Xtξ​+ηt​ξt2​+λt​(Xtξ​)2)dt+n(XTξ​)2​X]

over all ξ∈LF2\xi\in L^2_{\mathbb F}ξ∈LF2​, with value Vn(X;μ)V^n(\mathcal X;\mu)Vn(X;μ). An equilibrium is a fixed point μt=E[ξt∗∣Ft0]\mu_t=\mathbb E[\xi^*_t|\mathcal F^0_t]μt​=E[ξt∗​∣Ft0​].

The constrained equilibrium is given by the FBSDE (2.3), dXt=−Yt2ηtdtdX_t=-\frac{Y_t}{2\eta_t}dtdXt​=−2ηt​Yt​​dt, −dYt=(κtE[Yt2ηt∣Ft0]+2λtXt)dt−Zt dW~t-dY_t=\big(\kappa_t\mathbb E[\frac{Y_t}{2\eta_t}|\mathcal F^0_t]+2\lambda_tX_t\big)dt-Z_t\,d\widetilde W_t−dYt​=(κt​E[2ηt​Yt​​∣Ft0​]+2λt​Xt​)dt−Zt​dWt​, X0=XX_0=\mathcal XX0​=X, XT=0X_T=0XT​=0, decoupled as Y=AX+BY=AX+BY=AX+B where

−dAt=(2λt−At22ηt)dt−ZtA dW~t,AT=+∞.-dA_t=\Big(2\lambda_t-\frac{A_t^2}{2\eta_t}\Big)dt-Z^A_t\,d\widetilde W_t,\qquad A_T=+\infty .−dAt​=(2λt​−2ηt​At2​​)dt−ZtA​dWt​,AT​=+∞.

The penalized equilibria are given by the FBSDE (4.2) with YTn=2nXTnY^n_T=2nX^n_TYTn​=2nXTn​, decoupled by AnA^nAn, the solution of the same Riccati BSDE with ATn=2nA^n_T=2nATn​=2n. The solutions live in weighted spaces: Hl\mathcal H_lHl​ with norm (Esup⁡t∣Yt/(T−t)l∣2)1/2\big(\mathbb E\sup_t|Y_t/(T-t)^l|^2\big)^{1/2}(Esupt​∣Yt​/(T−t)l∣2)1/2, and the penalized analogue Hln\mathcal H^n_lHln​ with weight (T−t+η⋆/n)−l(T-t+\eta_\star/n)^{-l}(T−t+η⋆​/n)−l. Assumption 4.1 requires a constant CCC with exp⁡(−∫rsAu2ηudu)≤CT−sT−r\exp\big(-\int_r^s\frac{A_u}{2\eta_u}du\big)\le C\frac{T-s}{T-r}exp(−∫rs​2ηu​Au​​du)≤CT−rT−s​ for all 0≤r≤s<T0\le r\le s<T0≤r≤s<T, almost surely.

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem 4.6

Under Assumptions 2.3 and 4.1, with μ∗=E[Y/(2η)∣F0]\mu^*=\mathbb E[Y/(2\eta)|\mathcal F^0]μ∗=E[Y/(2η)∣F0] the constrained equilibrium and μn=E[Yn/(2η)∣F0]\mu^n=\mathbb E[Y^n/(2\eta)|\mathcal F^0]μn=E[Yn/(2η)∣F0] the penalized ones,

lim⁡n→∞E∣Vn(X;μn)−V(X;μ∗)∣=0.\lim_{n\to\infty}\mathbb E\big|V^n(\mathcal X;\mu^n)-V(\mathcal X;\mu^*)\big|=0 .n→∞lim​E​Vn(X;μn)−V(X;μ∗)​=0.

Milestones

  1. Lemma 4.2 (first condition). If η\etaη is deterministic, Assumption 4.1 holds.
  2. Lemma A.3. AnA^nAn exists uniquely, Atn≥(12n+E[∫tTds2ηs∣Ft])−1A^n_t\ge\big(\frac1{2n}+\mathbb E[\int_t^T\frac{ds}{2\eta_s}|\mathcal F_t]\big)^{-1}Atn​≥(2n1​+E[∫tT​2ηs​ds​∣Ft​])−1, An↑AA^n\uparrow AAn↑A, and ∥An∥M−1+∥An∥M−1n≤C\|A^n\|_{\mathcal M_{-1}}+\|A^n\|_{\mathcal M^n_{-1}}\le\mathfrak C∥An∥M−1​​+∥An∥M−1n​​≤C uniformly in nnn.
  3. Theorem 4.3. The FBSDE (4.4), with parameter p∈[0,1]\mathfrak p\in[0,1]p∈[0,1] and data f∈L2f\in L^2f∈L2, has a unique solution in Hαn×Hγn×S2×L2×L2\mathcal H^n_\alpha\times\mathcal H^n_\gamma\times S^2\times L^2\times L^2Hαn​×Hγn​×S2×L2×L2.
  4. Lemma 4.4. ∥Xn∥n,α+∥Bn∥n,γ+E∫0T∣Ytn∣2dt≤C‾\|X^n\|_{n,\alpha}+\|B^n\|_{n,\gamma}+\mathbb E\int_0^T|Y^n_t|^2dt\le\overline{\mathfrak C}∥Xn∥n,α​+∥Bn∥n,γ​+E∫0T​∣Ytn​∣2dt≤C uniformly in nnn.
  5. (4.8). Under Assumption 4.1 the constrained equilibrium position satisfies ∥X∗∥1<∞\|X^*\|_1<\infty∥X∗∥1​<∞.
  6. Lemma 4.5. (Xn,Bn,Yn)→(X,B,Y)(X^n,B^n,Y^n)\to(X,B,Y)(Xn,Bn,Yn)→(X,B,Y) in L2(dt⊗dP)L^2(dt\otimes d\mathbb P)L2(dt⊗dP).

Significance

The result is a consistency statement between two models of liquidation. Penalized models are what a numerical scheme or a standard MFG solver can handle, since their FBSDEs have finite terminal data. Theorem 4.6 says that equilibrium values computed with a large penalty approximate the value of the hard-constrained game, and Lemma 4.5 says the same for positions and trading rates. Without it, a penalized model would be an unrelated object rather than an approximation of the constrained one.

The result is proved in the paper; it is not formalized anywhere. A machine-checked development would need, beyond the paper, the theory of quadratic BSDEs with finite and singular terminal values, conditional mean-field FBSDEs with common noise, and conditional essential infima of control problems. The milestones isolate reusable pieces: the monotone approximation of a singular Riccati BSDE (Lemma A.3) and uniform estimates in nnn-dependent weighted spaces (Lemma 4.4).

Difficulty

The obvious argument compares the two problems control by control: the constrained optimizer is admissible for the penalized problem, so Vn≤VV^n\le VVn≤V up to the change of μ\muμ. The reverse inequality is where it fails. The penalized optimizer leaves a residual position XTn≠0X^n_T\neq0XTn​=0, and its cost has to be compared with the singular one, whose weight (T−t)−1(T-t)^{-1}(T−t)−1 explodes at TTT. Controlling this requires estimates uniform in nnn in spaces whose weights (T−t+η⋆/n)−l(T-t+\eta_\star/n)^{-l}(T−t+η⋆​/n)−l degenerate as n→∞n\to\inftyn→∞, and the bare exponent α=η⋆/∥η∥<1\alpha=\eta_\star/\|\eta\|<1α=η⋆​/∥η∥<1 of the constrained problem is not enough to make the boundary terms vanish. Assumption 4.1, which upgrades the state to H1\mathcal H_1H1​, is what closes the gap. In addition, the aggregate rate μn\mu^nμn changes with nnn, so both the controls and the cost functional move at once.

Formalization scope

Time is R≥0\mathbb R_{\ge0}R≥0​; processes are real-valued functions of (t,ω)(t,\omega)(t,ω); WWW is the m=k+1m=k+1m=k+1-dimensional W~\widetilde WW with coordinate 000 the common noise. Stochastic integrals and BSDEs come from the published definition Peng1990.SMP.Stochastic. BSDEs on [0,T)[0,T)[0,T) are imposed on every [0,τ][0,\tau][0,τ], τ<T\tau<Tτ<T; AT=+∞A_T=+\inftyAT​=+∞ is lim⁡t↑TAt=+∞\lim_{t\uparrow T}A_t=+\inftylimt↑T​At​=+∞ a.s. Conditional expectations inside drivers are F0\mathbb F^0F0-progressive versions of integrable processes. Weighted norms are computed in [0,∞][0,\infty][0,∞]. The explicit readings are:

  • κmax⁡,η⋆,λ⋆,∥η∥\kappa_{\max},\eta_\star,\lambda_\star,\|\eta\|κmax​,η⋆​,λ⋆​,∥η∥ are essential bounds over dt⊗dPdt\otimes d\mathbb Pdt⊗dP; (2.4) is stated without division; "1/λ,1/η∈L∞1/\lambda,1/\eta\in L^\infty1/λ,1/η∈L∞" is a positive essential lower bound.
  • Assumption 2.3 is a hypothesis of every statement, including Lemma A.3 (the appendix assumes only its boundedness part).
  • Assumption 4.1 holds almost surely with the constant chosen before ω\omegaω (as restated on p. 32).
  • The penalty index is an integer n≥1n\ge1n≥1; constants in Lemma A.3 and Lemma 4.4 are chosen before nnn.
  • The class of AnA^nAn is S2×L2S^2\times L^2S2×L2 on [0,T][0,T][0,T] (not printed in Lemma A.3).
  • The penalized control set is LF2L^2_{\mathbb F}LF2​, with no terminal constraint.
  • Values are conditional essential infima given σ(X)\sigma(\mathcal X)σ(X).
  • The equilibria μn,μ∗\mu^n,\mu^*μn,μ∗ of Theorem 4.6 are defined through the FBSDE solutions, as in the proof; uniqueness of penalized equilibria is not claimed.
  • The solution of Proposition 2.8 includes the relation Y=AX+BY=AX+BY=AX+B on [0,T)[0,T)[0,T); "Theorem 2.8" on pp. 25–29 means Proposition 2.8.
  • L1L^1L1 convergence means ∫∣Vn−V∣ dP→0\int|V^n-V|\,d\mathbb P\to0∫∣Vn−V∣dP→0, not convergence of expectations.

A trivializing formalization would quantify over all solutions of the penalized MFG (claiming a uniqueness the paper does not state) or define VVV by a pointwise infimum over all controls (which is −∞-\infty−∞ or junk); both are ruled out above. Contributions toward BSDE comparison principles and quadratic BSDE well-posedness on this stochastic-integral layer are welcome and reusable.

Selected references

  • G. Fu, P. Graewe, U. Horst, A. Popier, A Mean Field Game of Optimal Portfolio Liquidation, Math. Oper. Res. 46(4), 2021; preprint arXiv:1804.04911v3. https://arxiv.org/abs/1804.04911
  • R. Almgren, N. Chriss, Optimal execution of portfolio transactions, Journal of Risk 3, 2001. https://doi.org/10.21314/JOR.2001.041
  • S. Ankirchner, M. Jeanblanc, T. Kruse, BSDEs with singular terminal condition and a control problem with constraints, SIAM J. Control Optim. 52(2):893–913, 2014 (reference [3] of the paper).
  • P. Graewe, U. Horst, E. Séré, Smooth solutions to portfolio liquidation problems under price-sensitive market impact, Stochastic Process. Appl. 128(3):979–1006, 2018 (reference [28] of the paper).
  • S. Peng, A general stochastic maximum principle for optimal control problems, SIAM J. Control Optim. 28(4), 1990. https://doi.org/10.1137/0328054
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Linear OptimizationMachine LearningOperations Research+1·Captain: mikedeng1

Strong Mixed-Integer Programming Formulations for Trained Neural Networks 1: A ReLU Neuron over a Box Has an Ideal Formulation with One Binary Variable and the Exponential Family (6b)Research Paper

Why optimize over a trained ReLU neuron

A trained feed-forward neural network with ReLU activations, ReLU(v)=max⁡{0,v}\mathrm{ReLU}(v)=\max\{0,v\}ReLU(v)=max{0,v}, is a piecewise linear function of its input. Many tasks ask for an optimization over such a network with its weights held fixed: verifying that no small perturbation of an image changes its classification, finding adversarial examples, or embedding a learned model of demand or cost inside a decision problem ("predict, then optimize"). The standard way to solve such problems exactly is mixed-integer programming (MIP): each neuron is written as a small set of linear constraints with one binary variable, and the network is the composition of these neuron formulations. How strong each neuron formulation is decides how fast branch-and-bound can close the gap.

The formulation used in the literature up to 2018 is the big-M formulation. It is valid but weak. This mission formalizes the main result of Anderson, Huchette, Tjandraatmadja and Vielma, IPCO 2019 extended abstract (arXiv:1811.08359v2), which gives the strongest possible formulation of a single ReLU neuron that uses the original variables and one binary variable only.

Timeline. Big-M formulations of ReLU networks were used by several groups in 2017–2018 for verification and adversarial analysis (see §1.2 of the paper). Balas's disjunctive programming (1985, 1998) and the multiple choice formulation of piecewise linear functions (Vielma and Nemhauser, Math. Program. 2011) give an ideal formulation of the neuron that needs a copy of the input variables. Anderson et al. (2019) project out that copy and obtain the formulation (6) below; a longer journal version (Math. Program. 2020, with W. Ma) develops the analysis further, including interactions between neurons.

Setting

Fix η∈N\eta\in\mathbb Nη∈N, a weight vector w∈Rηw\in\mathbb R^\etaw∈Rη, a bias b∈Rb\in\mathbb Rb∈R, and bounds L,U∈RηL,U\in\mathbb R^\etaL,U∈Rη with Li<UiL_i<U_iLi​<Ui​ for every iii. The neuron computes ReLU(f(x))\mathrm{ReLU}(f(x))ReLU(f(x)) for the affine function f(x)=w⋅x+bf(x)=w\cdot x+bf(x)=w⋅x+b on the box [L,U]={x:L≤x≤U}[L,U]=\{x: L\le x\le U\}[L,U]={x:L≤x≤U}. Its graph is

gr⁡(ReLU∘f;[L,U])={(x,ReLU(f(x))):L≤x≤U}.\operatorname{gr}(\mathrm{ReLU}\circ f;[L,U])=\{(x,\mathrm{ReLU}(f(x))) : L\le x\le U\}.gr(ReLU∘f;[L,U])={(x,ReLU(f(x))):L≤x≤U}.

The sign-adjusted bounds are L˘i=Li\breve L_i=L_iL˘i​=Li​, U˘i=Ui\breve U_i=U_iU˘i​=Ui​ when wi≥0w_i\ge 0wi​≥0, and L˘i=Ui\breve L_i=U_iL˘i​=Ui​, U˘i=Li\breve U_i=L_iU˘i​=Li​ when wi<0w_i<0wi​<0. Then M+(f)=w⋅U˘+bM^+(f)=w\cdot\breve U+bM+(f)=w⋅U˘+b and M−(f)=w⋅L˘+bM^-(f)=w\cdot\breve L+bM−(f)=w⋅L˘+b are the maximum and minimum of fff on [L,U][L,U][L,U], and supp⁡(w)={i:wi≠0}\operatorname{supp}(w)=\{i: w_i\ne 0\}supp(w)={i:wi​=0}. Strict activity means M−(f)<0<M+(f)M^-(f)<0<M^+(f)M−(f)<0<M+(f): the neuron is neither always off nor always on. The paper assumes throughout that Li<UiL_i<U_iLi​<Ui​ and that strict activity holds.

A set RRR of points (x,y,z)(x,y,z)(x,y,z) with z∈[0,1]z\in[0,1]z∈[0,1], read together with the constraint z∈{0,1}z\in\{0,1\}z∈{0,1}, is a formulation of the graph if (x,y)(x,y)(x,y) lies on the graph exactly when (x,y,z)∈R(x,y,z)\in R(x,y,z)∈R for some z∈{0,1}z\in\{0,1\}z∈{0,1}; RRR is then its LP relaxation. The formulation is ideal if every extreme point of RRR has z∈{0,1}z\in\{0,1\}z∈{0,1}.

The big-M formulation (3) is y≥f(x)y\ge f(x)y≥f(x), y≤f(x)−M−(f)(1−z)y\le f(x)-M^-(f)(1-z)y≤f(x)−M−(f)(1−z), y≤M+(f)zy\le M^+(f)zy≤M+(f)z, (x,y,z)∈[L,U]×R≥0×{0,1}(x,y,z)\in[L,U]\times\mathbb R_{\ge0}\times\{0,1\}(x,y,z)∈[L,U]×R≥0​×{0,1}. The formulation of Proposition 1 is

y≥w⋅x+b(6a)y≤∑i∈Iwi(xi−L˘i(1−z))+(b+∑i∉IwiU˘i)z∀I⊆supp⁡(w)(6b)(x,y,z)∈[L,U]×R≥0×{0,1}.(6c)\begin{aligned} &y\ge w\cdot x+b &&(6a)\\ &y\le\sum_{i\in I}w_i\bigl(x_i-\breve L_i(1-z)\bigr)+\Bigl(b+\sum_{i\notin I}w_i\breve U_i\Bigr)z\qquad\forall I\subseteq\operatorname{supp}(w) &&(6b)\\ &(x,y,z)\in[L,U]\times\mathbb R_{\ge0}\times\{0,1\}. &&(6c) \end{aligned}​y≥w⋅x+by≤i∈I∑​wi​(xi​−L˘i​(1−z))+(b+i∈/I∑​wi​U˘i​)z∀I⊆supp(w)(x,y,z)∈[L,U]×R≥0​×{0,1}.​​(6a)(6b)(6c)​

Formalization targets

Goal: Proposition 1 (p. 6)

(6a)–(6c) is a formulation of gr⁡(ReLU∘f;[L,U]), and every extreme point of its LP relaxation has z∈{0,1}.\text{(6a)–(6c) is a formulation of }\operatorname{gr}(\mathrm{ReLU}\circ f;[L,U]),\ \text{and every extreme point of its LP relaxation has } z\in\{0,1\}.(6a)–(6c) is a formulation of gr(ReLU∘f;[L,U]), and every extreme point of its LP relaxation has z∈{0,1}.

Milestones (Appendix A.1 and §2.2)

  1. The multiple choice formulation (5), with copies x0,x1,y0,y1x^0,x^1,y^0,y^1x0,x1,y0,y1, has only integral zzz at extreme points in its lifted space and formulates the graph; projected to (x,y,z)(x,y,z)(x,y,z), its LP relaxation is the convex hull of its points with z∈{0,1}z\in\{0,1\}z∈{0,1} (§2.2, pp. 5–6).
  2. Projecting the copies out of the LP relaxation of (5) gives the linear system (7): (6a), (6b), a second exponential family (7c), and the bounds (7d) (App. A.1, p. 14).
  3. The family (7c) is implied by the other constraints (App. A.1, pp. 14–15).
  4. The LP relaxation of (6) is the convex hull of its points with z∈{0,1}z\in\{0,1\}z∈{0,1} (App. A.1, p. 14).

Companion results

  • M±(f)M^\pm(f)M±(f) are the maximum and minimum of fff on [L,U][L,U][L,U] (§1.3, p. 4).
  • Proposition 3 (p. 7): for (x^,y^,z^)∈[L,U]×R≥0×[0,1](\hat x,\hat y,\hat z)\in[L,U]\times\mathbb R_{\ge0}\times[0,1](x^,y^​,z^)∈[L,U]×R≥0​×[0,1], if some inequality of (6b) is violated, the one for I^={i∈supp⁡(w):wix^i<wi(L˘i(1−z^)+U˘iz^)}\hat I=\{i\in\operatorname{supp}(w): w_i\hat x_i<w_i(\breve L_i(1-\hat z)+\breve U_i\hat z)\}I^={i∈supp(w):wi​x^i​<wi​(L˘i​(1−z^)+U˘i​z^)} is the most violated.
  • The big-M formulation (3) is a formulation of the graph (p. 4); Examples 1 and 2 (p. 5) show that it is not ideal and that its gap grows like 12γη\tfrac12\gamma\eta21​γη; its inequalities (3b), (3c) are (6b) for I=supp⁡(w)I=\operatorname{supp}(w)I=supp(w) and I=∅I=\emptysetI=∅ (p. 7).

Significance

Proposition 1 says that the convex hull of the graph, lifted with one binary variable, is described by (6a), (6b) and the bounds, with no auxiliary continuous variables. Optimizing a linear function over the LP relaxation of (6) therefore gives the tightest convex relaxation available for a single neuron, and Proposition 3 gives a separation routine linear in η\etaη, so the exponential family can be added on demand to a big-M model. The paper's experiments (§3, not formalized) report that separating over (6b) solves smaller MNIST verification instances faster than Gurobi's default cut generation by a factor of 7.

The result is proved in the paper; nothing here is open. To our knowledge none of these statements has a machine-checked proof. The work this mission asks for is the formalization of the known proof: an ideality statement for the multiple choice formulation, a Fourier–Motzkin projection carried out for an arbitrary index set with general-sign weights, and the passage from a hull identity to integrality of extreme points.

Difficulty

The formulation half of Proposition 1 is a short case analysis on z∈{0,1}z\in\{0,1\}z∈{0,1}; the content is ideality. The obvious attempt, characterizing the extreme points of the LP relaxation of (6) directly, is impractical: the polytope is cut out by 2∣supp⁡(w)∣2^{|\operatorname{supp}(w)|}2∣supp(w)∣ inequalities, and showing that every point with fractional zzz is a proper convex combination of feasible points means handling all patterns of tight inequalities of (6b) at once. Ideality of the extended formulation (5) is classical and passes to its projection onto (x,y,z)(x,y,z)(x,y,z), but that only helps once the projection is known to be exactly the LP relaxation of (6): it has to be computed for an arbitrary index set, and every inequality it produces must be shown to be one of (6a), (6b), the bounds, or implied by them. Weights of both signs must be handled throughout: the page treats negative weights by a change of variables, and a formal development has to carry the sign-adjusted bounds L˘,U˘\breve L,\breve UL˘,U˘ through every step.

Formalization scope

Inputs x∈Rηx\in\mathbb R^\etax∈Rη are Fin η → ℝ, so indices are 0-based; points (x,y,z)(x,y,z)(x,y,z) are (Fin η → ℝ) × ℝ × ℝ. A formulation is encoded by its LP relaxation RRR (with z∈[0,1]z\in[0,1]z∈[0,1]) and the predicate "(x,y)∈S(x,y)\in S(x,y)∈S iff (x,y,z)∈R(x,y,z)\in R(x,y,z)∈R for some z∈{0,1}z\in\{0,1\}z∈{0,1}"; ideality is ∀ p ∈ Set.extremePoints ℝ R, p.2.2 = 0 ∨ p.2.2 = 1. M±(f)M^\pm(f)M±(f) are defined by their closed forms, and a companion theorem proves that they are the maximum and minimum. In (6b) and (7c), "i∉Ii\notin Ii∈/I" ranges over all indices outside III, zero weights included. The system (7) is stated with L˘,U˘\breve L,\breve UL˘,U˘, i.e. after undoing the page's substitution x~i=−xi\tilde x_i=-x_ix~i​=−xi​; for w≥0w\ge 0w≥0 it is the page's display. The LP relaxation of (5) is represented both in its lifted space and projected to (x,y,z)(x,y,z)(x,y,z), with the copies quantified existentially in the latter, and constant bbb is scaled by 1−z1-z1−z in (5b) and by zzz in (5c).

The goal carries both standing assumptions of §1.3 (Li<UiL_i<U_iLi​<Ui​ and strict activity) and nothing else. Milestones that do not need strict activity omit it, which makes them stronger. Example 2 includes the page's γ=0\gamma=0γ=0 boundary: although its box then violates Li<UiL_i<U_iLi​<Ui​ when η>0\eta>0η>0, the example's three stated claims remain true.

Ideality is a statement about the LP relaxation, not about the set with z∈{0,1}z\in\{0,1\}z∈{0,1}: applied to the latter it would hold trivially, and a goal stating only that (6) is a formulation would omit the result's content. Both are ruled out by the statement of the goal.

A complete development needs: extreme points and convex hulls of polyhedra in product spaces (Mathlib), the hull of a union of two polytopes as a projection, Fourier–Motzkin elimination over an arbitrary finite index set, and finite-sum manipulations over subsets of supp⁡(w)\operatorname{supp}(w)supp(w). The Fourier–Motzkin and disjunctive-hull lemmas are reusable well beyond this mission; contributions of either are welcome, as are proofs of the companion results.

Source: the IPCO 2019 extended abstract, arXiv:1811.08359v2 (28 Feb 2019); all labels and pages refer to that version.

Selected references

  • R. Anderson, J. Huchette, C. Tjandraatmadja, J. P. Vielma, Strong mixed-integer programming formulations for trained neural networks, IPCO 2019 (LNCS 11480), extended abstract. arXiv:1811.08359v2
  • R. Anderson, J. Huchette, W. Ma, C. Tjandraatmadja, J. P. Vielma, Strong mixed-integer programming formulations for trained neural networks, Mathematical Programming 183 (2020) 3–39. doi:10.1007/s10107-020-01474-5, arXiv:1811.01988
  • J. P. Vielma, G. Nemhauser, Modeling disjunctive constraints with a logarithmic number of binary variables and constraints, Mathematical Programming 128 (2011) 49–72. doi:10.1007/s10107-009-0295-4
  • E. Balas, Disjunctive programming and a hierarchy of relaxations for discrete optimization problems, SIAM Journal on Algebraic and Discrete Methods 6(3) (1985) 466–486. doi:10.1137/0606047
  • E. Balas, Disjunctive programming: properties of the convex hull of feasible points, Discrete Applied Mathematics 89 (1998) 3–44. doi:10.1016/S0166-218X(98)00136-X
  • J. P. Vielma, Mixed integer linear programming formulation techniques, SIAM Review 57(1) (2015) 3–57. doi:10.1137/130915303
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