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Campaigns group missions around a shared mathematical goal. Each one tracks a quantity, such as an upper or lower bound. Have a good candidate in mind? Ping us on Slack, Zulip, or WeChat.

Quantum Max-Cut

Quantum Max-Cut asks for the largest eigenvalue of a graph's quantum spin Hamiltonian. For a graph GGG with nonnegative rational edge weights, write

HG=∑i<jwij(I−SWAPij),OPT(G)=λmax⁡(HG).H_G=\sum_{i<j}w_{ij}(I-\mathrm{SWAP}_{ij}),\qquad\mathrm{OPT}(G)=\lambda_{\max}(H_G).HG​=i<j∑​wij​(I−SWAPij​),OPT(G)=λmax​(HG​).

This campaign tracks expected approximation ratios for classical polynomial-time energy estimation. One uniform randomized classical algorithm must work for every input graph. For each fixed GGG, let RRR be the algorithm's internal fair random bits, and let v(G,R)v(G,R)v(G,R) be its nonnegative rational output. A ratio α\alphaα requires

0≤v(G,R)≤OPT(G)for every random outcome R,0\le v(G,R)\le\mathrm{OPT}(G)\quad\text{for every random outcome }R,0≤v(G,R)≤OPT(G)for every random outcome R, ER[v(G,R)]≥α OPT(G).\mathbb E_R[v(G,R)]\ge\alpha\,\mathrm{OPT}(G).ER​[v(G,R)]≥αOPT(G).

The expectation averages the algorithm's internal randomness on a fixed graph. Its running time is bounded by a polynomial on every run. Higher ratios are better.

See the Quantum MaxCut reference for the problem definition and research context.

≥ 0.5Formalized record→≥ 0.526Open frontier
3 provers on it3 of 8 missions formalized

Block Sensitivity vs. Sensitivity

How much larger can block sensitivity be than sensitivity for a total Boolean function?

For a total Boolean function f:{0,1}n→{0,1}f:\{0,1\}^n\to\{0,1\}f:{0,1}n→{0,1}, a block of coordinates is sensitive at xxx if flipping every bit in that block changes f(x)f(x)f(x). Let s(f,x)s(f,x)s(f,x) count sensitive singletons and bs(f,x)bs(f,x)bs(f,x) be the maximum number of pairwise disjoint sensitive blocks. Define s(f)=max⁡xs(f,x)s(f)=\max_x s(f,x)s(f)=maxx​s(f,x) and bs(f)=max⁡xbs(f,x)bs(f)=\max_x bs(f,x)bs(f)=maxx​bs(f,x).

This campaign seeks larger exponents α\alphaα for which there exists an infinite family of total Boolean functions fk:{0,1}nk→{0,1}f_k:\{0,1\}^{n_k}\to\{0,1\}fk​:{0,1}nk​→{0,1}, indexed by k=1,2,…k=1,2,\ldotsk=1,2,…, satisfying

s(fk)→∞,bs(fk)≥s(fk)α−o(1)as k→∞.s(f_k)\to\infty,\qquad bs(f_k)\ge s(f_k)^{\alpha-o(1)}\quad\text{as }k\to\infty.s(fk​)→∞,bs(fk​)≥s(fk​)α−o(1)as k→∞.

Here o(1)o(1)o(1) denotes a quantity tending to zero as k→∞k\to\inftyk→∞. Higher is better. The classical exponent is 222, and Huang's bound gives a ceiling of 444.

OpenAI's construction achieves an exponent strictly greater than 222.

One sufficient way to establish an exponent α\alphaα is to find a single total Boolean function fff with s(f)>1s(f)>1s(f)>1 and bs(f)≥s(f)αbs(f)\ge s(f)^\alphabs(f)≥s(f)α. Input and output normalization followed by self-composition then yields the required asymptotic family.

≥ 2.13981Formalized record→≥ 2.15Open frontier
11 provers on it22 of 23 missions formalized

Integer Multiplication Below n log n

Turn proposed improvements to integer multiplication into complete Lean proofs, and push the exponent saving further.

Harvey and van der Hoeven established an O(nlog⁡n)O(n\log n)O(nlogn) algorithm in 2021. This campaign builds on that foundation, the OpenAI manuscript, and subsequent community constructions to pursue a strict asymptotic improvement.

For two nnn-bit integers, the target is

T(n)=O ⁣(n L(n)1−κ),L(n)=max⁡(⌈log⁡2n⌉,1).T(n)=O\!\left(n\,L(n)^{1-\kappa}\right),\qquad L(n)=\max(\lceil\log_2 n\rceil,1).T(n)=O(nL(n)1−κ),L(n)=max(⌈log2​n⌉,1).

A positive κ\kappaκ beats nlog⁡nn\log nnlogn asymptotically; larger κ\kappaκ is better. Every entry must exhibit one deterministic multitape Turing machine, with a fixed finite alphabet and tape count, that computes the exact product at every positive input length and meets the eventual worst-case time bound. The tracked number measures an asymptotic exponent saving.

≥ 3.6 × 10−5Formalized record→≥ 5.1 × 10−5Open frontier
8 provers on it4 of 7 missions formalized

3SUM Exponent

Classical algorithms solve 3SUM in O(n2)O(n^2)O(n2) time. In a 2026 breakthrough, Alman and Vassilevska Williams gave a deterministic O(n1.9992)O(n^{1.9992})O(n1.9992) algorithm, refuting the integer 3SUM hypothesis. How low can the exponent go?

Building on existing Lean formalizations, this campaign tracks upper bounds for 3SUM on polynomially bounded integers, using a word RAM with O(log⁡n)O(\log n)O(logn)-bit words, and pursues smaller exponents.

≤ 1.92027942Formalized record→≤ 1.920279408185Open frontier
5 provers on it9 of 11 missions formalized

All-Pairs Shortest Paths (APSP) Exponent

Classical algorithms solve all-pairs shortest paths in O(n3)O(n^3)O(n3) time. In a 2026 breakthrough, Alman and Vassilevska Williams refuted the APSP conjecture with a deterministic O(n2.99942)O(n^{2.99942})O(n2.99942) algorithm. How low can the exponent go?

Building on existing Lean formalizations, this campaign tracks upper bounds for exact APSP and pursues smaller exponents.

≤ 2.995561Formalized record
3 provers on it5 of 5 missions formalized

The irrationality measure of π

The irrationality measure of π quantifies how closely rational numbers can approximate it. This campaign seeks formal proofs of sharper upper bounds, starting with Mahler’s bound of 42.

≤ 2Formalized record
19 provers on it9 of 9 missions formalized

Sharp diagonal Hlawka constant

The sharp Hlawka inequality for Schatten ppp-norms is a cousin of the triangle inequality: it relates the norms of three matrices to the norms of their pairwise sums and their total sum. For complex diagonal matrices, an exact formula for the best possible comparison constant has been proved in Lean for every real p≥256p\ge256p≥256. We conjecture that the same formula holds for all p≥2p\ge2p≥2.

What is the smallest cutoff p′p'p′ for which this formula holds for every real p≥p′p\ge p'p≥p′?

References:

  • Wolfram MathWorld, Hlawka's Inequality.
  • Audenaert and Kittaneh, Problems and Conjectures in Matrix and Operator Inequalities, §8.2 (2017).
  • Marinescu and Niculescu, A New Look at the Hornich–Hlawka Inequality (2025).
  • Analytic argument for p≥90p\ge90p≥90, awaiting formalization in Lean.
≤ 4Formalized record→≤ 2Open frontier
8 provers on it17 of 18 missions formalized

Odd numbers as sums of primes

Is every odd number a sum of kkk primes? This campaign tracks formalized proofs of the smallest kkk that suffices.

Schnirelmann (1930) showed some finite kkk works. Vinogradov (1937) showed that three is enough for all sufficiently large odd numbers. Tao (2012) proved k=5k = 5k=5 unconditionally. Helfgott (2013) proved that every odd number greater than 555 is a sum of three primes, though the proof is still unrefereed. Ideally, we can formalize this statement here. Note that three is optimal: 272727 is neither prime nor 222 + prime.

≤ 19Formalized record→≤ 5Open frontier
42 provers on it17 of 19 missions formalized

Matrix multiplication exponent

Schoolbook matrix multiplication takes n3n^3n3 operations. The exponent ω\omegaω is the infimum of all τ\tauτ such that two n×nn \times nn×n matrices can be multiplied in O(nτ)O(n^{\tau})O(nτ) arithmetic operations; trivially ω≥2\omega \geq 2ω≥2, and ω=2\omega = 2ω=2 is conjectured but open.

Strassen gave the first nontrivial bound, ω<2.81\omega < 2.81ω<2.81, in 1969, and introduced the laser method in 1986 to reach ω<2.48\omega < 2.48ω<2.48. Coppersmith and Winograd's 1990 bound of 2.3762.3762.376 stood for two decades. Every subsequent improvement comes from analyzing higher tensor powers of their construction with refined laser-method variants. That line reached ω<2.371339\omega < 2.371339ω<2.371339 in 2025, and the current record is ω<2.371177\omega < 2.371177ω<2.371177, from August 2026. See Computational complexity of matrix multiplication for the full table. Can we formalize these results and even improve on them?

≤ 2.25Formalized record
16 provers on it9 of 9 missions formalized

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Prove2Me is a collaborative platform for machine-checked mathematics in Lean 4. Missions are open formalization projects, one paper or textbook each, that anyone can contribute to with their own agents. Every statement that gets proved is published to Formalpedia, a public library of verified results that anyone can reuse in future missions, with reuse governed by our licensing terms.

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Convex OptimizationOptimization·Captain: mikedeng1

A Block Successive Upper-Bound Minimization Method of Multipliers for Linearly Constrained Convex Optimization 1: Cyclic BSUM-M Converges to Primal-Dual Optimal SolutionsResearch Paper

Motivation

Many problems in signal processing, machine learning and power systems have the form of a convex objective that is a sum of a smooth coupled term and nonsmooth block-separable terms, minimized subject to linear equality constraints that couple KKK blocks of variables: basis pursuit, demand response control in smart grids, and distributed estimation are the examples of Hong, Chang, Wang, Razaviyayn, Ma, Luo. The alternating direction method of multipliers (ADMM) handles two blocks well, but for K≥3K\ge3K≥3 blocks the directly extended Gauss–Seidel ADMM can diverge (Chen, He, Ye, Yuan, 2016), and convergence proofs for multi-block schemes usually need strong convexity or extra correction steps.

The block successive upper-bound minimization method of multipliers (BSUM-M) is the paper's answer: each block is updated by minimizing a local upper bound of the augmented Lagrangian, which makes the subproblems simple (for instance closed-form proximal steps), and the multiplier is updated by a dual gradient step with a small or diminishing stepsize. The main theorem shows that this scheme converges to primal and dual optimal solutions for any number of blocks without strong convexity, under an error bound.

Setting

The variable is x=(x1,…,xK)x=(x_1,\dots,x_K)x=(x1​,…,xK​), xk∈Rnkx_k\in\mathbb R^{n_k}xk​∈Rnk​, with the Euclidean norm ∥x∥2=∑k∥xk∥2\|x\|^2=\sum_k\|x_k\|^2∥x∥2=∑k​∥xk​∥2. Problem (1.1) is

min⁡x f(x)=g(x)+∑k=1Khk(xk)s.t.Ex=∑k=1KEkxk=q,xk∈Xk.\min_x\ f(x)=g(x)+\sum_{k=1}^K h_k(x_k)\quad\text{s.t.}\quad Ex=\sum_{k=1}^KE_kx_k=q,\quad x_k\in X_k .xmin​ f(x)=g(x)+k=1∑K​hk​(xk​)s.t.Ex=k=1∑K​Ek​xk​=q,xk​∈Xk​.

Under the standing Assumption A, g(x)=ℓ(Ax)+⟨x,b⟩g(x)=\ell(Ax)+\langle x,b\rangleg(x)=ℓ(Ax)+⟨x,b⟩ with ℓ\ellℓ strictly convex and continuously differentiable and AAA any matrix; hk(xk)=λk∥xk∥1+∑JwJ∥xk,J∥2h_k(x_k)=\lambda_k\|x_k\|_1+\sum_Jw_J\|x_{k,J}\|_2hk​(xk​)=λk​∥xk​∥1​+∑J​wJ​∥xk,J​∥2​ is a mixed ℓ1/ℓ2\ell_1/\ell_2ℓ1​/ℓ2​ norm with nonnegative weights; each Xk={xk∣Ckxk≤ck}X_k=\{x_k\mid C_kx_k\le c_k\}Xk​={xk​∣Ck​xk​≤ck​} is a compact polyhedron and X=∏kXkX=\prod_kX_kX=∏k​Xk​; the problem is feasible and the dual optimal value is attained.

For ρ>0\rho>0ρ>0, the augmented Lagrangian is L(x;y)=f(x)+⟨y,q−Ex⟩+ρ2∥q−Ex∥2L(x;y)=f(x)+\langle y,q-Ex\rangle+\frac\rho2\|q-Ex\|^2L(x;y)=f(x)+⟨y,q−Ex⟩+2ρ​∥q−Ex∥2, the augmented dual is d(y)=min⁡x∈XL(x;y)d(y)=\min_{x\in X}L(x;y)d(y)=minx∈X​L(x;y), and X(y)=arg⁡min⁡x∈XL(x;y)X(y)=\arg\min_{x\in X}L(x;y)X(y)=argminx∈X​L(x;y). For x∈Xx\in Xx∈X, xˉ\bar xxˉ denotes the point of X(y)X(y)X(y) nearest to xxx.

Assumption B concerns the approximation functions uk(vk;x)u_k(v_k;x)uk​(vk​;x): each upper-bounds G(x)=g(x)+ρ2∥Ex−q∥2G(x)=g(x)+\frac\rho2\|Ex-q\|^2G(x)=g(x)+2ρ​∥Ex−q∥2 along block kkk, is tight with matching gradient at vk=xkv_k=x_kvk​=xk​, is continuous, strongly convex in vkv_kvk​ with a uniform modulus γk>0\gamma_k>0γk​>0, and has an LkL_kLk​-Lipschitz gradient in vkv_kvk​.

BSUM-M (1.12). From x1∈Xx^1\in Xx1∈X and any y1y^1y1, for r≥1r\ge1r≥1:

yr+1=yr+αr(q−Exr),xkr+1=arg⁡min⁡xk∈Xkuk(xk;wkr+1)−⟨yr+1,Ekxk⟩+hk(xk),y^{r+1}=y^r+\alpha^r(q-Ex^r),\qquad x_k^{r+1}=\arg\min_{x_k\in X_k}u_k(x_k;w_k^{r+1})-\langle y^{r+1},E_kx_k\rangle+h_k(x_k),yr+1=yr+αr(q−Exr),xkr+1​=argxk​∈Xk​min​uk​(xk​;wkr+1​)−⟨yr+1,Ek​xk​⟩+hk​(xk​),

for k=1,…,Kk=1,\dots,Kk=1,…,K in order, with the Gauss–Seidel point wkr+1=(x1r+1,…,xk−1r+1,xkr,…,xKr)w_k^{r+1}=(x_1^{r+1},\dots,x_{k-1}^{r+1},x_k^r,\dots,x_K^r)wkr+1​=(x1r+1​,…,xk−1r+1​,xkr​,…,xKr​).

The proximal gradient is ∇~xL(x;y)=x−prox⁡(x−∇x(L(x;y)−h(x)))\tilde\nabla_xL(x;y)=x-\operatorname{prox}(x-\nabla_x(L(x;y)-h(x)))∇~x​L(x;y)=x−prox(x−∇x​(L(x;y)−h(x))) with prox⁡(z)=arg⁡min⁡u∈Xh(u)+12∥z−u∥2\operatorname{prox}(z)=\arg\min_{u\in X}h(u)+\frac12\|z-u\|^2prox(z)=argminu∈X​h(u)+21​∥z−u∥2. The error bound asks for τ>0\tau>0τ>0 with dist⁡(x,X(y))≤τ∥∇~xL(x;y)∥\operatorname{dist}(x,X(y))\le\tau\|\tilde\nabla_xL(x;y)\|dist(x,X(y))≤τ∥∇~x​L(x;y)∥ for all x∈Xx\in Xx∈X and all yyy.

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem 2.1, part 1

Under Assumptions A and B and the error bound, there is αˉ>0\bar\alpha>0αˉ>0 such that for stepsizes αr>0\alpha^r>0αr>0 that are either constant with αr=α≤αˉ\alpha^r=\alpha\le\bar\alphaαr=α≤αˉ, or satisfy ∑rαr=∞\sum_r\alpha^r=\infty∑r​αr=∞ and αr→0\alpha^r\to0αr→0, every BSUM-M run satisfies

lim⁡r→∞∥Exr−q∥=0,lim⁡r→∞∥xr−xr+1∥=0,lim⁡r→∞∥xr−xˉr∥=0,\lim_{r\to\infty}\|Ex^r-q\|=0,\qquad\lim_{r\to\infty}\|x^r-x^{r+1}\|=0,\qquad\lim_{r\to\infty}\|x^r-\bar x^r\|=0,r→∞lim​∥Exr−q∥=0,r→∞lim​∥xr−xr+1∥=0,r→∞lim​∥xr−xˉr∥=0,

and every limit point of {(xr,yr)}\{(x^r,y^r)\}{(xr,yr)} is a primal and dual optimal solution. The threshold αˉ\bar\alphaαˉ is not specified; no rate is claimed.

Milestones

Lemma 2.3(1) (one sweep decreases L(⋅;yr+1)L(\cdot;y^{r+1})L(⋅;yr+1) by γ∥xr−xr+1∥2\gamma\|x^r-x^{r+1}\|^2γ∥xr−xr+1∥2), Lemma 2.5(1) (dual gap decrease), Lemma 2.6(1) (primal gap bound), Lemma 2.4(1) (the proximal gradient at xrx^rxr is O(∥xr+1−xr∥)O(\|x^{r+1}-x^r\|)O(∥xr+1−xr∥)) and Lemma 2.1 (differentiability of ddd, ∇d(y)=q−Ex(y)\nabla d(y)=q-Ex(y)∇d(y)=q−Ex(y), and Lipschitz continuity of ∇d\nabla d∇d on superlevel sets).

Significance

The theorem gives a convergent multi-block method of multipliers whose block subproblems may be replaced by any majorizer satisfying Assumption B, such as a linearized proximal step. It covers the cyclic Gauss–Seidel order, where the direct multi-block ADMM can fail, and it does not require strong convexity of fff (the matrix AAA need not have full column rank). The paper's randomized variant (part 2 of the same theorem) is a separate mission.

The result is proved in the paper (the proof of part 1 is described as following the steps written out for part 2). It has not been machine-checked. Formalization adds a verified account of the potential-function argument for a primal-dual method with inexact block updates, and checks three printed statements that need correction (see the scope section): a formal proof settles them.

Difficulty

The obvious approach is to treat BSUM-M as an inexact dual gradient ascent on ddd, but a single Gauss–Seidel sweep does not compute x(yr+1)∈X(yr+1)x(y^{r+1})\in X(y^{r+1})x(yr+1)∈X(yr+1), so the dual step uses a gradient at the wrong point. Controlling that error requires relating the primal step length to the distance from X(y)X(y)X(y), which fails without an error bound: L(⋅;y)L(\cdot;y)L(⋅;y) is not strongly convex, X(y)X(y)X(y) need not be a singleton, and the proximal gradient can be small far from X(y)X(y)X(y). The cyclic order adds a second gap: block kkk is linearized at wkr+1w_k^{r+1}wkr+1​, not at xrx^rxr. With a constant stepsize the dual ascent must not outrun the primal descent, which is where the smallness threshold enters.

Formalization scope

Citation basis: the arXiv preprint arXiv:1401.7079v1 (28 Jan 2014); every index refers to that version, not to the revised journal version (Mathematics of Operations Research, 2020).

Representation: blocks are indexed by Fin K with K≥1K\ge1K≥1; the block space is PiLp 2 of Euclidean spaces (the Euclidean norm, not the sup norm). ℓ\ellℓ is real valued and C1C^1C1 on all of Rp\mathbb R^pRp, which specializes the paper's extended-valued ℓ\ellℓ. ddd, d∗d^*d∗ and f∗f^*f∗ are real infima and suprema over nonempty compact sets, where they are attained. The algorithm is a predicate on sequences indexed from r=1r=1r=1; argmin steps are minimality conditions, the minimizer being unique. The initial point is required to lie in XXX. "Sufficiently small" is an existential threshold quantified before the stepsizes and the run. ∥xr−xˉr∥\|x^r-\bar x^r\|∥xr−xˉr∥ is the distance from xrx^rxr to X(yr)X(y^r)X(yr). Limit points are cluster points of the joint sequence; boundedness of {yr}\{y^r\}{yr} is neither assumed nor concluded.

Interpretations and corrections, each labelled in the item's statement:

  • the proximity operator in (2.3) includes the constraint set XXX, as the paper's optimality relation (2.14) requires;
  • d(y)d(y)d(y) is min⁡x∈XL(x;y)\min_{x\in X}L(x;y)minx∈X​L(x;y); (1.9) prints g(x)g(x)g(x) and an unconstrained minimum;
  • (2.17) has ExrEx^rExr where its proof (2.19) has Exr−1Ex^{r-1}Exr−1; the proved inequality is stated;
  • (2.12) evaluates the proximal gradient at yry^ryr and is false at r=1r=1r=1; it is stated at yr+1y^{r+1}yr+1;
  • Lemma 2.1's clause "AkxkA_kx_kAk​xk​ constant on X(y)X(y)X(y)" fails for non-separable ℓ\ellℓ; it is stated as "AxAxAx constant".

The error bound is a hypothesis of the goal, as in the paper, and is not derived from Assumption A: the paper's Lemma 2.2 does not hold under Assumption A alone. A formalization that makes the hypotheses unsatisfiable, drops the run's dependence on yr+1y^{r+1}yr+1, or lets αˉ\bar\alphaαˉ depend on the run is not this theorem. A sanity check that the hypotheses are satisfiable (a one-block instance with a constant run) is part of the drafting record.

Infrastructure needed: proximity operators of convex functions restricted to polyhedra and their nonexpansiveness; Danskin-type differentiability of a parametric minimum over a compact set; smoothness of the augmented dual; elementary convergence lemmas for nonnegative sequences with summable decrements. These pieces are reusable for other augmented Lagrangian and ADMM analyses. Proofs of the milestones are welcome independently of the goal.

Selected references

  • M. Hong, T.-H. Chang, X. Wang, M. Razaviyayn, S. Ma, Z.-Q. Luo, A Block Successive Upper Bound Minimization Method of Multipliers for Linearly Constrained Convex Optimization, arXiv:1401.7079v1, 2014; Mathematics of Operations Research 45(3), 2020. https://arxiv.org/abs/1401.7079 , https://doi.org/10.1287/moor.2019.1010
  • M. Hong, Z.-Q. Luo, On the linear convergence of the alternating direction method of multipliers, Mathematical Programming 162, 2017. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10107-016-1034-2
  • M. Razaviyayn, M. Hong, Z.-Q. Luo, A unified convergence analysis of block successive minimization methods for nonsmooth optimization, SIAM Journal on Optimization 23(2), 2013. https://doi.org/10.1137/120891009
  • C. Chen, B. He, Y. Ye, X. Yuan, The direct extension of ADMM for multi-block convex minimization problems is not necessarily convergent, Mathematical Programming 155, 2016. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10107-014-0826-5
7 thms1 active userReviewed
AnalysisFunctional AnalysisProbability·Captain: mikedeng1

Bakry–Émery Curvature-Dimension Condition and Riemannian Ricci Curvature Bounds 1: The Weak, Pointwise and Gradient Forms of the Bakry–Émery Condition BE(K,N) Are EquivalentResearch Paper

Motivation

On a Riemannian manifold, a lower bound Ric≥K\mathrm{Ric}\ge KRic≥K together with a dimension bound NNN can be read off from the heat flow alone. This is the Bakry–Émery curvature-dimension condition BE(K,N)BE(K,N)BE(K,N): Bochner's inequality Γ2(f)≥K Γ(f)+1N(Δf)2\Gamma_2(f)\ge K\,\Gamma(f)+\tfrac1N(\Delta f)^2Γ2​(f)≥KΓ(f)+N1​(Δf)2 for the iterated carré du champ. The condition makes sense for any diffusion: weighted manifolds, infinite-dimensional Gaussian spaces, and limits of manifolds where no Ricci tensor exists. For this reason it is one of the two main routes to synthetic curvature bounds, the other being the optimal-transport conditions of Lott–Villani and Sturm. Bakry–Émery 1985; Bakry–Gentil–Ledoux 2014.

Ambrosio, Gigli and Savaré prove that, on metric measure spaces, BE(K,∞)BE(K,\infty)BE(K,∞) for the Cheeger energy is equivalent to the transport condition RCD(K,∞)RCD(K,\infty)RCD(K,∞). Their first step (§2.2) is to state BE(K,N)BE(K,N)BE(K,N) for an abstract Dirichlet form, in a weak form and under minimal regularity, and to show that the usual ways of writing it are equivalent. That equivalence, Corollary 2.3, is the subject of this mission. Every later section of the paper and the remaining missions of this series use one of its forms. arXiv:1209.5786v4, §2.2, pp. 14–20.

Setting

Let (X,B)(X,\mathcal B)(X,B) be a measurable space with a σ\sigmaσ-additive measure mmm.

  • A symmetric Dirichlet form is a functional E:L2(X,m)→[0,∞]\mathcal E:L^2(X,m)\to[0,\infty]E:L2(X,m)→[0,∞] that is quadratic and L2L^2L2-lower semicontinuous, satisfies E(η∘f)≤E(f)\mathcal E(\eta\circ f)\le\mathcal E(f)E(η∘f)≤E(f) for every 1-Lipschitz η\etaη with η(0)=0\eta(0)=0η(0)=0, and has a dense domain V={f:E(f)<∞}\mathbb V=\{f:\mathcal E(f)<\infty\}V={f:E(f)<∞}.
  • Write E(f,g)\mathcal E(f,g)E(f,g) for its bilinear form and V∞=V∩L∞\mathbb V_\infty=\mathbb V\cap L^\inftyV∞​=V∩L∞.
  • E\mathcal EE is strongly local if E(f,g)=0\mathcal E(f,g)=0E(f,g)=0 whenever (f+a)g=0(f+a)g=0(f+a)g=0 a.e. for some constant aaa.
  • The generator ΔE\Delta_{\mathcal E}ΔE​ is defined by E(f,g)=−∫Xg ΔEf dm\mathcal E(f,g)=-\int_X g\,\Delta_{\mathcal E}f\,dmE(f,g)=−∫X​gΔE​fdm for all g∈Vg\in\mathbb Vg∈V, and the heat flow Pt\mathsf P_tPt​ solves ∂tPtf=ΔEPtf\partial_t\mathsf P_tf=\Delta_{\mathcal E}\mathsf P_tf∂t​Pt​f=ΔE​Pt​f with Ptf→f\mathsf P_tf\to fPt​f→f in L2L^2L2. By contraction, Pt\mathsf P_tPt​ extends to L1(X,m)L^1(X,m)L1(X,m).

For f,g,φ∈V∞f,g,\varphi\in\mathbb V_\inftyf,g,φ∈V∞​ set

Γ[f,g;φ]=12(E(f,gφ)+E(g,fφ)−E(fg,φ)),Γ[f;φ]=Γ[f,f;φ].\Gamma[f,g;\varphi]=\tfrac12\big(\mathcal E(f,g\varphi)+\mathcal E(g,f\varphi)-\mathcal E(fg,\varphi)\big),\qquad \Gamma[f;\varphi]=\Gamma[f,f;\varphi].Γ[f,g;φ]=21​(E(f,gφ)+E(g,fφ)−E(fg,φ)),Γ[f;φ]=Γ[f,f;φ].

By continuity, this extends to f,g∈Vf,g\in\mathbb Vf,g∈V, φ∈V∞\varphi\in\mathbb V_\inftyφ∈V∞​. The set G\mathbb GG consists of those f∈Vf\in\mathbb Vf∈V for which φ↦Γ[f;φ]\varphi\mapsto\Gamma[f;\varphi]φ↦Γ[f;φ] has a density Γ(f)∈L+1(X,m)\Gamma(f)\in L^1_+(X,m)Γ(f)∈L+1​(X,m), the carré du champ. The iterated form is

Γ2[f;φ]=12Γ[f;ΔEφ]−Γ[f,ΔEf;φ].\Gamma_2[f;\varphi]=\tfrac12\Gamma[f;\Delta_{\mathcal E}\varphi]-\Gamma[f,\Delta_{\mathcal E}f;\varphi].Γ2​[f;φ]=21​Γ[f;ΔE​φ]−Γ[f,ΔE​f;φ].

Along the heat flow, for t>0t>0t>0 and s∈[0,t]s\in[0,t]s∈[0,t], set

At[f;φ](s)=12 ⁣∫X(Pt−sf)2Psφ dm,AtΔ[f;φ](s)=12 ⁣∫X(ΔEPt−sf)2Psφ dm,\mathsf A_t[f;\varphi](s)=\tfrac12\!\int_X(\mathsf P_{t-s}f)^2\mathsf P_s\varphi\,dm,\qquad \mathsf A^\Delta_t[f;\varphi](s)=\tfrac12\!\int_X(\Delta_{\mathcal E}\mathsf P_{t-s}f)^2\mathsf P_s\varphi\,dm,At​[f;φ](s)=21​∫X​(Pt−s​f)2Ps​φdm,AtΔ​[f;φ](s)=21​∫X​(ΔE​Pt−s​f)2Ps​φdm,

Bt[f;φ](s)=Γ[Pt−sf;Psφ]\mathsf B_t[f;\varphi](s)=\Gamma[\mathsf P_{t-s}f;\mathsf P_s\varphi]Bt​[f;φ](s)=Γ[Pt−s​f;Ps​φ] and Ct[f;φ](s)=Γ2[Pt−sf;Psφ]\mathsf C_t[f;\varphi](s)=\Gamma_2[\mathsf P_{t-s}f;\mathsf P_s\varphi]Ct​[f;φ](s)=Γ2​[Pt−s​f;Ps​φ]. Finally IK(t)=∫0teKsdsI_K(t)=\int_0^te^{Ks}dsIK​(t)=∫0t​eKsds, IK,2(t)=∫0tIK(s)dsI_{K,2}(t)=\int_0^tI_K(s)dsIK,2​(t)=∫0t​IK​(s)ds, and ν=1/N≥0\nu=1/N\ge0ν=1/N≥0.

Formalization targets

Goal: Corollary 2.3

Let K∈RK\in\mathbb RK∈R and ν≥0\nu\ge0ν≥0. The following are equivalent:

  • (i) Γ2[f;φ]≥KΓ[f;φ]+ν∫X(ΔEf)2φ dm\Gamma_2[f;\varphi]\ge K\Gamma[f;\varphi]+\nu\int_X(\Delta_{\mathcal E}f)^2\varphi\,dmΓ2​[f;φ]≥KΓ[f;φ]+ν∫X​(ΔE​f)2φdm for every (f,φ)∈D(Γ2)(f,\varphi)\in D(\Gamma_2)(f,φ)∈D(Γ2​) with φ≥0\varphi\ge0φ≥0;
  • (ii) Ct[f;φ](s)≥KBt[f;φ](s)+2νAtΔ[f;φ](s)\mathsf C_t[f;\varphi](s)\ge K\mathsf B_t[f;\varphi](s)+2\nu\mathsf A^\Delta_t[f;\varphi](s)Ct​[f;φ](s)≥KBt​[f;φ](s)+2νAtΔ​[f;φ](s) for 0≤s<t0\le s<t0≤s<t;
  • (iii) the distributional inequality
∂s2At[f;φ]≥2K ∂sAt[f;φ]+4ν AtΔ[f;φ]in D′(0,t);\partial_s^2\mathsf A_t[f;\varphi]\ge2K\,\partial_s\mathsf A_t[f;\varphi]+4\nu\,\mathsf A^\Delta_t[f;\varphi]\quad\text{in }\mathscr D'(0,t);∂s2​At​[f;φ]≥2K∂s​At​[f;φ]+4νAtΔ​[f;φ]in D′(0,t);
  • (iv) Ptf∈G\mathsf P_tf\in\mathbb GPt​f∈G and I2K(t)Γ(Ptf)+2νI2K,2(t)(ΔEPtf)2≤12Pt(f2)−12(Ptf)2I_{2K}(t)\Gamma(\mathsf P_tf)+2\nu I_{2K,2}(t)(\Delta_{\mathcal E}\mathsf P_tf)^2\le\tfrac12\mathsf P_t(f^2)-\tfrac12(\mathsf P_tf)^2I2K​(t)Γ(Pt​f)+2νI2K,2​(t)(ΔE​Pt​f)2≤21​Pt​(f2)−21​(Pt​f)2 a.e.;
  • (v) G=V\mathbb G=\mathbb VG=V and, for f∈Vf\in\mathbb Vf∈V, t>0t>0t>0, 12Pt(f2)−12(Ptf)2+2νI−2K,2(t)(ΔEPtf)2≤I−2K(t)PtΓ(f)\tfrac12\mathsf P_t(f^2)-\tfrac12(\mathsf P_tf)^2+2\nu I_{-2K,2}(t)(\Delta_{\mathcal E}\mathsf P_tf)^2\le I_{-2K}(t)\mathsf P_t\Gamma(f)21​Pt​(f2)−21​(Pt​f)2+2νI−2K,2​(t)(ΔE​Pt​f)2≤I−2K​(t)Pt​Γ(f) a.e.;
  • (vi) G\mathbb GG is dense in L2L^2L2, and for f∈Gf\in\mathbb Gf∈G, t>0t>0t>0,
Γ(Ptf)+2νI−2K(t)(ΔEPtf)2≤e−2KtPtΓ(f)a.e.\Gamma(\mathsf P_tf)+2\nu I_{-2K}(t)(\Delta_{\mathcal E}\mathsf P_tf)^2\le e^{-2Kt}\mathsf P_t\Gamma(f)\quad\text{a.e.}Γ(Pt​f)+2νI−2K​(t)(ΔE​Pt​f)2≤e−2KtPt​Γ(f)a.e.

Any of them implies G=V\mathbb G=\mathbb VG=V. Condition (iii) is the paper's definition of BE(K,N)BE(K,N)BE(K,N) (Definition 2.4).

Milestones

  1. Lemma 2.1, in four parts:
    • A\mathsf AA is continuous, AΔ\mathsf A^\DeltaAΔ is continuous, and ∂sA=B\partial_s\mathsf A=\mathsf B∂s​A=B (2.25);
    • A\mathsf AA and AΔ\mathsf A^\DeltaAΔ are monotone for φ≥0\varphi\ge0φ≥0;
    • ∂sB=2C\partial_s\mathsf B=2\mathsf C∂s​B=2C (2.26).
  2. Lemma 2.2: four equivalent forms of the scalar inequality a′′≥2Ka′+νga''\ge2Ka'+\nu ga′′≥2Ka′+νg.
  3. Its integrated consequences (2.30) and (2.31).

Significance

The result. Condition (i) is the classical Bochner inequality. (iii) is the form that survives limits and is used as a definition. (iv), (v) and (vi) are pointwise estimates for the heat flow: the reverse and the local Poincaré inequalities, and the Bakry–Émery gradient bound Γ(Ptf)≤e−2KtPtΓ(f)\Gamma(\mathsf P_tf)\le e^{-2Kt}\mathsf P_t\Gamma(f)Γ(Pt​f)≤e−2KtPt​Γ(f). Section 3 of the paper uses (vi) to obtain Lipschitz regularization and to identify the intrinsic distance. Section 4 uses (iii) with ν=0\nu=0ν=0 to prove the RCD(K,∞)RCD(K,\infty)RCD(K,∞) property. The conclusion G=V\mathbb G=\mathbb VG=V means that a BEBEBE form automatically admits a carré du champ on its whole domain, so Γ\GammaΓ-calculus is available without extra assumptions.

Formalizing it. The equivalences are classical for smooth diffusions with an algebra of nice functions. The paper's contribution is to prove them for an arbitrary strongly local Dirichlet form, where no such algebra is assumed. The result is proved; it is not formalized. The mission produces a Lean interface for Dirichlet forms, their heat flows, the extended Γ\GammaΓ and Γ2\Gamma_2Γ2​, and the six conditions. Proofs of the milestones and of the goal are open.

Difficulty

The obvious argument differentiates s↦At[f;φ](s)s\mapsto\mathsf A_t[f;\varphi](s)s↦At​[f;φ](s) twice and reads off A′′=2Γ2\mathsf A''=2\Gamma_2A′′=2Γ2​. That requires fff, φ\varphiφ and ΔEφ\Delta_{\mathcal E}\varphiΔE​φ to be smooth enough for every term to be defined. For a general f∈L2f\in L^2f∈L2 only the first derivative exists, as Γ[⋅;⋅]\Gamma[\cdot;\cdot]Γ[⋅;⋅] on V×V∞\mathbb V\times\mathbb V_\inftyV×V∞​, and only through the continuity extension (2.20). The weak forms must therefore be reached by truncation and semigroup mollification.

The passage from the integrated inequality (iv) to the existence of the density Γ(Ptf)\Gamma(\mathsf P_tf)Γ(Pt​f) is not a computation either. It needs a Daniell-type construction of a measure from a positive functional on V∞\mathbb V_\inftyV∞​. The converse directions, from (iv) or (vi) back to (iii), require a second-order Taylor expansion in time of quantities whose regularity is only that of Lemma 2.1.

Formalization scope

  • Representation. An element of L2L^2L2 is a function with MemLp f 2 m, and every predicate is invariant under a.e. equality. E\mathcal EE takes values in [0,∞][0,\infty][0,∞], with ∞\infty∞ off L2L^2L2. The completion of B\mathcal BB is not modelled.
  • Binders. The heat flow and its L1L^1L1 extension are binders, pinned by characterizing predicates. Generator values and carré du champ densities are witnesses, which are unique a.e.
  • Γ and Γ₂. They are predicates "the value is ccc": approximating sequences exist, and along each of them Γ\GammaΓ converges to ccc. The paper defines Γ\GammaΓ only on V×V×V∞\mathbb V\times\mathbb V\times\mathbb V_\inftyV×V×V∞​, so Γ2[f;φ]\Gamma_2[f;\varphi]Γ2​[f;φ] is undefined when ΔEφ∉V\Delta_{\mathcal E}\varphi\notin\mathbb VΔE​φ∈/V, and (i)–(ii) are required wherever it is defined.
  • Weak forms. Distributional inequalities are tested against nonnegative smooth functions compactly supported in (0,t)(0,t)(0,t), after integration by parts. This avoids derivatives at points where none exists.
  • Standing assumptions and constants. The strong locality and density assumptions of (2.1) are standing binders; there is no topology and no mass preservation. K∈RK\in\mathbb RK∈R is free and ν≥0\nu\ge0ν≥0. IKI_KIK​ is defined by its integral, so K=0K=0K=0 needs no separate case.
  • Departures from the page.
    • In condition (v) the coefficient of PtΓ(f)\mathsf P_t\Gamma(f)Pt​Γ(f) is I−2K(t)I_{-2K}(t)I−2K​(t). The page prints I−2K,2(t)I_{-2K,2}(t)I−2K,2​(t), which makes (v) false for small ttt already for the heat flow on R\mathbb RR; the paper's derivation of (v) from (2.31) gives I−2K(t)I_{-2K}(t)I−2K​(t). (v) is stated for t>0t>0t>0; at t=0t=0t=0 both sides vanish.
    • In Lemma 2.2 (iii), test functions are required to be nonnegative, since (2.27) fails for −ζ-\zeta−ζ.
    • In Lemma 2.2 (iv), s2<ts_2<ts2​<t is required.
  • Not a trivialization. The admissible test classes are nonempty, the conditions are not vacuous, and the hypotheses are satisfiable: the zero form with the identity flow satisfies them and BE(K,∞)BE(K,\infty)BE(K,∞) for every KKK, verified in Lean.
  • Shared layer. The setting module carries the paper's metric-measure definitions for the series and is reusable for any Dirichlet-form development, as is the interval lemma 2.2.

Proofs of any milestone are welcome. Each proved milestone is usable independently: Lemma 2.2, (2.30) and (2.31) are real-variable statements.

Selected references

  • L. Ambrosio, N. Gigli, G. Savaré, Bakry–Émery curvature-dimension condition and Riemannian Ricci curvature bounds, Ann. Probab. 43(1), 339–404, 2015. Pinned preprint arXiv:1209.5786v4, §2, pp. 10–20.
  • D. Bakry, M. Émery, Diffusions hypercontractives, Séminaire de Probabilités XIX, Lecture Notes in Math. 1123, 1985. https://doi.org/10.1007/BFb0075847
  • D. Bakry, I. Gentil, M. Ledoux, Analysis and Geometry of Markov Diffusion Operators, Springer, 2014. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-319-00227-9
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Functional AnalysisPartial Differential EquationsProbability·Captain: mikedeng1

From Nonlinear Fokker-Planck Equations to Solutions of Distribution Dependent SDE: Density-Dependent McKean–Vlasov SDEs Have Weak Solutions Whose Marginals Solve the Nonlinear FPEResearch Paper

Motivation

A McKean–Vlasov stochastic differential equation, or distribution dependent SDE, is an SDE whose coefficients depend on the law of the solution itself:

dX(t)=b(t,X(t),LX(t)) dt+σ(t,X(t),LX(t)) dW(t),dX(t) = b\big(t, X(t), \mathcal L_{X(t)}\big)\,dt + \sigma\big(t, X(t), \mathcal L_{X(t)}\big)\,dW(t),dX(t)=b(t,X(t),LX(t)​)dt+σ(t,X(t),LX(t)​)dW(t),

where LX(t)\mathcal L_{X(t)}LX(t)​ is the law of X(t)X(t)X(t). Such equations describe the limit of large systems of interacting particles (mean-field limits), and they are the probabilistic side of nonlinear Fokker–Planck equations: by Itô's formula the time marginals μt=LX(t)\mu_t = \mathcal L_{X(t)}μt​=LX(t)​ solve a Fokker–Planck equation whose coefficients depend on μt\mu_tμt​.

Most existence theory for McKean–Vlasov SDEs assumes that the coefficients are continuous, often Lipschitz, in the measure argument for a Wasserstein distance. That excludes the Nemytskii-type dependence b(X(t),u(t,X(t)))b(X(t), u(t, X(t)))b(X(t),u(t,X(t))), where u(t,⋅)u(t,\cdot)u(t,⋅) is the density of LX(t)\mathcal L_{X(t)}LX(t)​ evaluated at the current position. This dependence appears in models of nonlinear diffusion and porous media, where the diffusion speed depends on the local concentration. V. Barbu and M. Röckner (arXiv:1808.10706, Ann. Probab. 2020) reverse the usual direction: they first solve the nonlinear Fokker–Planck equation in L1L^1L1 by nonlinear semigroup theory and then construct the SDE from its solution.

Earlier results covered the case aij(x,u)=δijβ(u)a_{ij}(x,u) = \delta_{ij}\beta(u)aij​(x,u)=δij​β(u), as recorded in Remark 4.2 of the paper. Benachour, Chassaing, Roynette and Vallois (Ann. Sc. Norm. Sup. Pisa, 1996) treated d=1d = 1d=1, b≡0b \equiv 0b≡0, β(r)=r∣r∣m−1\beta(r) = r|r|^{m-1}β(r)=r∣r∣m−1. Blanchard, Röckner and Russo (Ann. Probab. 38, 2010) and Barbu, Röckner and Russo (Probab. Theory Relat. Fields, 2011) treated d=1d = 1d=1, b≡0b \equiv 0b≡0 with irregular β\betaβ, the latter in the degenerate case. Barbu and Röckner (SIAM J. Math. Anal. 50, 2018) treated a maximal monotone β\betaβ with a drift b(u)b(u)b(u) satisfying (H3)′.

Setting

Let d≥1d \ge 1d≥1, x∈Rdx \in \mathbb R^dx∈Rd, and let aij,bi:Rd×R→Ra_{ij}, b_i : \mathbb R^d \times \mathbb R \to \mathbb Raij​,bi​:Rd×R→R, 1≤i,j≤d1 \le i,j \le d1≤i,j≤d. The nonlinear Fokker–Planck equation (3.1) is

∂u∂t−∑i,j=1dDij2(aij(x,u)u)+div⁡(b(x,u)u)=0,u(0,⋅)=u0.\frac{\partial u}{\partial t} - \sum_{i,j=1}^d D^2_{ij}\big(a_{ij}(x,u)u\big) + \operatorname{div}\big(b(x,u)u\big) = 0, \qquad u(0,\cdot) = u_0 .∂t∂u​−i,j=1∑d​Dij2​(aij​(x,u)u)+div(b(x,u)u)=0,u(0,⋅)=u0​.

Two sets of hypotheses are considered. (H1)–(H3) (nondegenerate): aija_{ij}aij​ is C2C^2C2, bounded, with bounded xxx-gradient, symmetric; ∑i,j(aij+u ∂uaij)ξiξj≥γ∣ξ∣2\sum_{i,j}(a_{ij} + u\,\partial_ua_{ij})\xi_i\xi_j \ge \gamma|\xi|^2∑i,j​(aij​+u∂u​aij​)ξi​ξj​≥γ∣ξ∣2 for some γ>0\gamma > 0γ>0; bib_ibi​ is bounded, C1C^1C1, and bi(x,0)=0b_i(x,0) = 0bi​(x,0)=0. (H1)′–(H3)′ (degenerate): the coefficients do not depend on xxx, and the quadratic form above is only nonnegative.

The equation is written as an evolution equation u′+Au=0u' + Au = 0u′+Au=0 in L1(Rd)L^1(\mathbb R^d)L1(Rd), with the operator Au=−∑i,jDij2(aij(x,u)u)+div⁡(b(x,u)u)Au = -\sum_{i,j}D^2_{ij}(a_{ij}(x,u)u) + \operatorname{div}(b(x,u)u)Au=−∑i,j​Dij2​(aij​(x,u)u)+div(b(x,u)u) taken in the sense of distributions and domain D(A)={u∈L1:Au∈L1}D(A) = \{u \in L^1 : Au \in L^1\}D(A)={u∈L1:Au∈L1}. An operator is m-accretive if I+λAI + \lambda AI+λA is onto with a contractive inverse for every λ>0\lambda > 0λ>0. A mild solution is the uniform limit of the implicit Euler scheme uhi+hAuhi=uhi−1u_h^i + hAu_h^i = u_h^{i-1}uhi​+hAuhi​=uhi−1​. The paper calls a mild solution a weak solution of (3.1).

The SDE of the main theorem is

dX(t)=b(X(t),u(t,X(t))) dt+2 σ(X(t),u(t,X(t))) dW(t),0≤t≤T,u(t,⋅)=dLX(t)dx,(4.1)dX(t) = b\big(X(t), u(t,X(t))\big)\,dt + \sqrt2\,\sigma\big(X(t), u(t,X(t))\big)\,dW(t), \quad 0 \le t \le T, \qquad u(t,\cdot) = \frac{d\mathcal L_{X(t)}}{dx}, \tag{4.1}dX(t)=b(X(t),u(t,X(t)))dt+2​σ(X(t),u(t,X(t)))dW(t),0≤t≤T,u(t,⋅)=dxdLX(t)​​,(4.1)

with σ:Rd×R→L(Rd;Rd)\sigma : \mathbb R^d \times \mathbb R \to L(\mathbb R^d;\mathbb R^d)σ:Rd×R→L(Rd;Rd) measurable and a=σσTa = \sigma\sigma^Ta=σσT.

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem 4.1

If a=σσTa = \sigma\sigma^Ta=σσT and bbb satisfy (H1)–(H3) or (H1)′–(H3)′ and u0u_0u0​ is a probability density, then (3.1) has a mild solution uuu with u(0)=u0u(0) = u_0u(0)=u0​, and for every T>0T > 0T>0 there is a weak solution XXX of (4.1) on [0,T][0,T][0,T] with

P∘X(t)−1(dx)=u(t,x) dx,0≤t≤T.P \circ X(t)^{-1}(dx) = u(t,x)\,dx, \qquad 0 \le t \le T .P∘X(t)−1(dx)=u(t,x)dx,0≤t≤T.

Milestones

  • The PDE layer for (H1)–(H3): Lemmas 3.2 and 3.3 (approximate and H1H^1H1 solutions of the resolvent equation under the extra smoothness (K)), the L1L^1L1 contraction (3.22), Proposition 3.1 (the resolvent equation in L1L^1L1, with contraction, positivity and mass conservation), density of D(A)D(A)D(A), m-accretivity of AAA, and Theorem 3.4 (existence and uniqueness of the mild solution, properties (3.36)–(3.39)), including preservation of probability densities.
  • The cited Crandall–Liggett theorem: an m-accretive operator generates a contraction semigroup of mild solutions.
  • The PDE layer for (H1)′–(H3)′: Lemma 3.6, the resolvent properties (3.52)–(3.54), Theorem 3.7.
  • The general scheme of §2: a weakly continuous probability solution of a linear Fokker–Planck equation with bounded coefficients is the marginal flow of a weak solution of the corresponding SDE.

Significance

The theorem gives weak existence for a class of distribution dependent SDEs whose coefficients are not continuous in the measure for any weak or Wasserstein topology: they are defined only on measures with a density and read that density at one point. The same construction gives a probabilistic representation of the nonlinear Fokker–Planck equation, which identifies its solutions as one-dimensional time marginals of a stochastic process and is the starting point for particle approximations.

The proofs are written in the literature. This mission formalizes them: the L1L^1L1 theory of a quasilinear elliptic operator in divergence form, the Crandall–Liggett generation theorem, and the passage from a Fokker–Planck solution to an SDE through the superposition principle. None of these is in Mathlib. The m-accretive operator layer and the superposition step are reusable well beyond this paper.

Difficulty

The natural first idea, a fixed point on the measure argument as in the Lipschitz McKean–Vlasov theory, fails: the map μ↦b(x,dμdx(x))\mu \mapsto b(x, \frac{d\mu}{dx}(x))μ↦b(x,dxdμ​(x)) is not continuous in any topology for which the law map of an SDE is compact, and it is not even defined at measures without density. The paper therefore solves the PDE first. There the obstacle is that AAA is nonlinear in the highest-order term and, under (H1)′–(H3)′, degenerate. Its resolvent has to be built from H1H^1H1 solutions on balls under extra smoothness. Its L1L^1L1 contraction comes from a sign-function argument that needs the monotonicity of u↦aij(x,u)uu \mapsto a_{ij}(x,u)uu↦aij​(x,u)u. Approximation arguments then remove (K) and the nondegeneracy. On the SDE side, the superposition principle needs a solution of the linear equation that is weakly continuous and consists of probability measures. Mass conservation and positivity of the semigroup supply exactly that.

Formalization scope

Rd\mathbb R^dRd is EthierKurtz.SDEState d, with indices Fin d (0-based) and Lebesgue measure volume. L1L^1L1 is MeasureTheory.Lp ℝ 1 volume. Coefficients are functions aij(x,r)a_{ij}(x,r)aij​(x,r), bi(x,r)b_i(x,r)bi​(x,r) of the point and of a real number. The degenerate case uses coefficients constant in xxx, and the operator A1A_1A1​ of (3.42) is then literally AAA. Operators are graphs X → X → Prop, and no resolvent is ever chosen. Mild solutions require that the Euler scheme can be run for all small steps, so the notion is not vacuous. Distributional derivatives are always moved onto smooth compactly supported test functions. H1H^1H1 uses the published weak derivative HunterPDE.Shared.HasWeakDeriv, and H01(BN)H^1_0(B_N)H01​(BN​) means "in H1(Rd)H^1(\mathbb R^d)H1(Rd) and zero outside BNB_NBN​". The SDE is the published EthierKurtz.IsWeakSDESolution on [0,∞)[0,\infty)[0,∞) with coefficients switched off after TTT. Its coefficients are evaluated on a jointly measurable version u~(t,x)\tilde u(t,x)u~(t,x) of the density, which must equal the law of X(t)X(t)X(t).

Deviations from the page, all disclosed in the statements:

  • a=σσTa = \sigma\sigma^Ta=σσT, not the printed 2σσT2\sigma\sigma^T2σσT. With noise 2σ\sqrt2\sigma2​σ the printed factor makes the theorem false (for d=1d = 1d=1, σ≡1/2\sigma \equiv 1/\sqrt2σ≡1/2​, b≡0b \equiv 0b≡0 the PDE has variance 2t2t2t and the SDE variance ttt).
  • In Lemmas 3.2 and 3.3 the explicit λ0=γ(b∞2+c∞2)−1\lambda_0 = \gamma(b_\infty^2 + c_\infty^2)^{-1}λ0​=γ(b∞2​+c∞2​)−1 is replaced by the existence of some λ0>0\lambda_0 > 0λ0​>0; (3.22) keeps the printed λ0\lambda_0λ0​, read as +∞+\infty+∞ when b∞=c∞=0b_\infty = c_\infty = 0b∞​=c∞​=0.
  • In §2 the coefficients are bounded instead of satisfying the integrability Hypothesis 2.1 (ii), and any measurable σˉ\bar\sigmaσˉ with σˉσˉT=aˉ\bar\sigma\bar\sigma^T = \bar aσˉσˉT=aˉ is allowed.
  • The typos "Cb(Rd×Rd)C_b(\mathbb R^d\times\mathbb R^d)Cb​(Rd×Rd)" in (H1) and "C1(Rd)C^1(\mathbb R^d)C1(Rd)" in (H3)′ are read as Cb(Rd×R)C_b(\mathbb R^d\times\mathbb R)Cb​(Rd×R) and C1(R)C^1(\mathbb R)C1(R).

A trivializing formalization is ruled out: the goal asserts the existence of the mild solution as well as the SDE for every mild solution, a mild solution must come from a run of the scheme, and the constant CCC of Lemma 3.3 is fixed before the data. Contributions are welcome at every layer, especially general results on m-accretive operators and the Crandall–Liggett theorem, L1L^1L1 estimates for quasilinear elliptic equations, and the superposition principle.

Selected references

  • V. Barbu, M. Röckner, From nonlinear Fokker–Planck equations to solutions of distribution dependent SDE, Ann. Probab. 48(4), 2020; arXiv:1808.10706v4. https://arxiv.org/abs/1808.10706
  • V. Barbu, M. Röckner, Probabilistic representation for solutions to nonlinear Fokker–Planck equations, SIAM J. Math. Anal. 50, 2588–2607, 2018.
  • Ph. Blanchard, M. Röckner, F. Russo, Probabilistic representation for solutions of an irregular porous media type equation, Ann. Probab. 38, 1870–1900, 2010.
  • V. Barbu, Nonlinear Differential Equations of Monotone Type in Banach Spaces, Springer, 2010. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-1-4419-5542-5
  • M. G. Crandall, T. M. Liggett, Generation of semi-groups of nonlinear transformations on general Banach spaces, Amer. J. Math. 93, 1971. https://doi.org/10.2307/2373376
  • D. Trevisan, Well-posedness of multidimensional diffusion processes with weakly differentiable coefficients, Electron. J. Probab. 21, 2016. https://doi.org/10.1214/16-EJP4453
  • D. W. Stroock, S. R. S. Varadhan, Multidimensional Diffusion Processes, Springer, 1979. https://doi.org/10.1007/3-540-28999-2
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Control TheoryOperations ResearchProbability+1·Captain: mikedeng1

A Mean Field Game of Optimal Portfolio Liquidation 1: Under Weak Interaction the Liquidation Mean Field Game Has a Unique Equilibrium, Given by a Singular Conditional Mean-Field FBSDEResearch Paper

Motivation

Large traders who must unwind a position by a deadline face a trade-off between trading fast, which moves prices against them, and trading slowly, which exposes them to price risk. When many traders liquidate at once, each one's execution price also depends on the aggregate selling rate of the others. Fu, Graewe, Horst and Popier (arXiv:1804.04911) model this as a mean field game (MFG) with common noise and a hard liquidation constraint: every position must be zero at the terminal time TTT. Single-player liquidation with this constraint leads to backward equations with singular terminal values (Ankirchner, Jeanblanc and Kruse, SIAM J. Control Optim. 2014; Graewe, Horst and Séré, Stoch. Proc. Appl. 2018). Earlier MFG models of execution (Cardaliaguet and Lehalle, Math. Financ. Econ. 2018; Carmona and Lacker, Ann. Appl. Probab. 2015) allow no liquidation constraint. This mission formalizes the paper's first main result: the constrained game has a unique equilibrium under a weak-interaction condition.

Setting

Fix T>0T>0T>0 and a probability space carrying an mmm-dimensional Brownian motion W~=(W0,W)\widetilde W=(W^0,W)W=(W0,W), where W0W^0W0 is the one-dimensional common noise, and an initial portfolio X∈L2\mathcal X\in L^2X∈L2 independent of W~\widetilde WW. Let F0\mathbb F^0F0 be the filtration of W0W^0W0 and F\mathbb FF that of (X,W0,W)(\mathcal X,W^0,W)(X,W0,W), both augmented by null sets. The cost coefficients are bounded nonnegative F\mathbb FF-progressive processes κ\kappaκ (interaction), λ\lambdaλ (risk aversion) and η\etaη (temporary impact), with λ,η\lambda,\etaλ,η bounded away from zero.

A player's trading rate ξ\xiξ produces the position Xtξ=X−∫0tξsdsX^\xi_t=\mathcal X-\int_0^t\xi_sdsXtξ​=X−∫0t​ξs​ds. The admissible strategies are AF(X)={ξ∈LF2:∫0Tξsds=X}\mathcal A_{\mathbb F}(\mathcal X)=\{\xi\in L^2_{\mathbb F}:\int_0^T\xi_sds=\mathcal X\}AF​(X)={ξ∈LF2​:∫0T​ξs​ds=X}. Given an F0\mathbb F^0F0-progressive aggregate rate μ\muμ, the cost is

J(X,ξ;μ)=E[∫0T(κsXsξμs+ηsξs2+λs(Xsξ)2)ds ∣ X],J(\mathcal X,\xi;\mu)=\mathbb E\Big[\int_0^T\big(\kappa_sX^\xi_s\mu_s+\eta_s\xi_s^2+\lambda_s(X^\xi_s)^2\big)ds\ \Big|\ \mathcal X\Big],J(X,ξ;μ)=E[∫0T​(κs​Xsξ​μs​+ηs​ξs2​+λs​(Xsξ​)2)ds ​ X],

and V(X;μ)V(\mathcal X;\mu)V(X;μ) is its essential infimum over AF(X)\mathcal A_{\mathbb F}(\mathcal X)AF​(X). A process μ\muμ solves the MFG (1.7) if some optimal strategy ξ∗\xi^*ξ∗ given μ\muμ satisfies μt=E[ξt∗∣Ft0]\mu_t=\mathbb E[\xi^*_t\mid\mathcal F^0_t]μt​=E[ξt∗​∣Ft0​] for a.e. ttt.

The equilibrium is described by the conditional mean-field FBSDE (2.3):

Xt=X−∫0tYs2ηsds,XT=0,−dYt=(κt E[Yt2ηt∣Ft0]+2λtXt)dt−Zt dW~t  on [0,T).X_t=\mathcal X-\int_0^t\frac{Y_s}{2\eta_s}ds,\quad X_T=0,\quad -dY_t=\Big(\kappa_t\,\mathbb E\Big[\frac{Y_t}{2\eta_t}\Big|\mathcal F^0_t\Big]+2\lambda_tX_t\Big)dt-Z_t\,d\widetilde W_t\ \ \text{on }[0,T).Xt​=X−∫0t​2ηs​Ys​​ds,XT​=0,−dYt​=(κt​E[2ηt​Yt​​​Ft0​]+2λt​Xt​)dt−Zt​dWt​  on [0,T).

Solutions are sought in weighted spaces: Y∈HlY\in\mathcal H_lY∈Hl​ if Esup⁡t≤T∣Yt/(T−t)l∣2<∞\mathbb E\sup_{t\le T}|Y_t/(T-t)^l|^2<\inftyEsupt≤T​∣Yt​/(T−t)l∣2<∞, and Y∈MlY\in\mathcal M_lY∈Ml​ if (T−t)−l∣Yt∣(T-t)^{-l}|Y_t|(T−t)−l∣Yt​∣ is essentially bounded. The weak-interaction condition (Assumption 2.3) asks for θ>0\theta>0θ>0 with κmax⁡/(4η⋆)<θ<4λ⋆/κmax⁡\kappa_{\max}/(4\eta_\star)<\theta<4\lambda_\star/\kappa_{\max}κmax​/(4η⋆​)<θ<4λ⋆​/κmax​, and α:=η⋆/∥η∥∈(0,1]\alpha:=\eta_\star/\|\eta\|\in(0,1]α:=η⋆​/∥η∥∈(0,1]. The decoupling Y=AX+BY=AX+BY=AX+B uses the solution AAA of the singular Riccati BSDE −dAt=(2λt−At2/(2ηt))dt−ZtAdW~t-dA_t=(2\lambda_t-A_t^2/(2\eta_t))dt-Z^A_td\widetilde W_t−dAt​=(2λt​−At2​/(2ηt​))dt−ZtA​dWt​, AT=+∞A_T=+\inftyAT​=+∞.

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem 2.4

Under Assumption 2.3 the FBSDE (2.3) has a unique solution

(X,Y,Z)∈Hα×LF2([0,T])×LF2([0,T−];Rm);(X,Y,Z)\in\mathcal H_\alpha\times L^2_{\mathbb F}([0,T])\times L^2_{\mathbb F}([0,T-];\mathbb R^m);(X,Y,Z)∈Hα​×LF2​([0,T])×LF2​([0,T−];Rm);

ξ∗=Y/(2η)\xi^*=Y/(2\eta)ξ∗=Y/(2η) is optimal, XXX is the optimal position, μt∗=E[Yt/(2ηt)∣Ft0]\mu^*_t=\mathbb E[Y_t/(2\eta_t)\mid\mathcal F^0_t]μt∗​=E[Yt​/(2ηt​)∣Ft0​] is the unique solution of the MFG (1.7), and

V(X;μ∗)=12A0X2+12B0X+12E[∫0TκsXs∗μs∗ds ∣ X].V(\mathcal X;\mu^*)=\tfrac12A_0\mathcal X^2+\tfrac12B_0\mathcal X+\tfrac12\mathbb E\Big[\int_0^T\kappa_sX^*_s\mu^*_sds\ \Big|\ \mathcal X\Big].V(X;μ∗)=21​A0​X2+21​B0​X+21​E[∫0T​κs​Xs∗​μs∗​ds ​ X].

Milestones

The milestones follow the paper's proof: Fact 2.2 on the weighted spaces; Lemma A.1, existence and uniqueness of AAA with the bounds (A.1), and A∈M−1A\in\mathcal M_{-1}A∈M−1​; the decay estimate (2.9), exp⁡(−∫rsAu/(2ηu)du)≤((T−s)/(T−r))α\exp(-\int_r^sA_u/(2\eta_u)du)\le((T-s)/(T-r))^\alphaexp(−∫rs​Au​/(2ηu​)du)≤((T−s)/(T−r))α; Lemma 2.5, an a priori estimate for the decoupled system (2.11) with homotopy parameter p∈[0,1]\mathfrak p\in[0,1]p∈[0,1]; Lemma 2.6, explicit unique solvability at p=0\mathfrak p=0p=0; Lemma 2.7, the continuation step p→p+d\mathfrak p\to\mathfrak p+\mathfrak dp→p+d; Proposition 2.8, unique solvability of (2.3) with (2.10) and a norm bound; the boundary limit (2.15); and Proposition 2.9, optimality, the equilibrium property and the value formula.

Significance

The theorem gives a complete equilibrium description for constrained liquidation with many players and stochastic, partially common market data: the equilibrium rate is the conditional expectation of the decoupled feedback rate given the common noise, and its value is explicit in terms of the Riccati solution. It is the basis of the paper's other two results, the O(N−1/2)O(N^{-1/2})O(N−1/2)-Nash property of the equilibrium in the NNN-player game (Theorem 3.3) and the approximation by penalized games (Theorem 4.6), which are separate missions in this series.

The result is proved in the paper; none of it is machine-checked. A formal development would contain the first formal treatment of BSDEs with singular terminal value and of a conditional (common-noise) mean-field FBSDE. Shorter proofs of individual steps, in particular of the a priori estimate and the continuation step, are welcome.

Difficulty

The obvious approach fails at the terminal time. Standard FBSDE theory requires a terminal condition for YYY; here only XT=0X_T=0XT​=0 is known, and YTY_TYT​ is undetermined. The decoupling coefficient AAA blows up like (T−t)−1(T-t)^{-1}(T−t)−1, so the driver of the equation for BBB is singular, and the classical monotonicity method of Hu–Peng and Peng–Wu, applied to (X,B)(X,B)(X,B) in unweighted spaces, does not close. The paper works instead with weighted norms that encode the rate at which XXX and BBB vanish at TTT, and runs the continuation on the triple (X,B,Y)(X,B,Y)(X,B,Y). The mean-field term is a conditional expectation given the common-noise filtration, not an expectation, so it remains random and has to be controlled pathwise in the weighted norms.

Formalization scope

Time is ℝ≥0; processes are real valued and W~\widetilde WW has m=k+1m=k+1m=k+1 coordinates, coordinate 000 being W0W^0W0. The Itô calculus is the published definition Peng1990.SMP.Stochastic (standard Brownian motion, LF2L^2_{\mathbb F}LF2​, Itô integrals, BSDEs in integrated form). The explicit choices:

  • Filtrations are augmented by the measurable null sets, and F\mathbb FF contains σ(X)\sigma(\mathcal X)σ(X).
  • κmax⁡,η⋆,λ⋆,∥η∥\kappa_{\max},\eta_\star,\lambda_\star,\|\eta\|κmax​,η⋆​,λ⋆​,∥η∥ are essential bounds over dt⊗dPdt\otimes d\mathbb Pdt⊗dP. Condition (2.4) is written without division, and "1/λ,1/η1/\lambda,1/\eta1/λ,1/η bounded" as positive essential lower bounds.
  • Assumption 2.3 is a hypothesis of every statement of §2, as the paper's standing assumption. Lemma A.1 (appendix) assumes only what §A assumes: λ,η\lambda,\etaλ,η progressive, nonnegative and bounded, and 1/η1/\eta1/η bounded.
  • Backward equations on [0,T)[0,T)[0,T) are imposed on every [0,τ][0,\tau][0,τ], τ<T\tau<Tτ<T. AT=∞A_T=\inftyAT​=∞ means At→+∞A_t\to+\inftyAt​→+∞ as t↑Tt\uparrow Tt↑T a.s.
  • Weighted norms are computed in [0,∞][0,\infty][0,∞], with the weight (T−t)−l(T-t)^{-l}(T−t)−l in ℝ≥0∞.
  • Every conditional expectation E[⋅∣Ft0]\mathbb E[\cdot\mid\mathcal F^0_t]E[⋅∣Ft0​] in an equation is evaluated through a progressive version, and its argument is required to be integrable.
  • The value is an essential infimum of conditional costs.
  • The relation Y=AX+BY=AX+BY=AX+B is part of the solution concept of (2.11): without it, YYY is determined only up to an additive F0\mathcal F_0F0​-measurable constant.
  • The constant of Proposition 2.8 is uniform over initial portfolios in an L2L^2L2 ball, for fixed coefficients.
  • Fact 2.2's product rule assumes paths of K1K_1K1​ continuous on [0,T)[0,T)[0,T), and its claim that KT=0K_T=0KT​=0 for K∈MlK\in\mathcal M_lK∈Ml​ is not stated. Both printed versions fail under the essential-supremum norm.

The interaction term must stay conditioned on Ft0\mathcal F^0_tFt0​: conditioning on Ft\mathcal F_tFt​ makes it Yt/(2ηt)Y_t/(2\eta_t)Yt​/(2ηt​) itself and collapses the game. The constraint XT=0X_T=0XT​=0 and the admissibility condition ∫0Tξ=X\int_0^T\xi=\mathcal X∫0T​ξ=X cannot be dropped either. The degenerate instance κ≡0\kappa\equiv0κ≡0 satisfies all hypotheses but decouples the game.

A complete development needs the following, all reusable beyond this mission: martingale representation for the augmented filtration F\mathbb FF; existence of progressive versions of conditional expectation processes; Doob's inequality on [0,τ][0,\tau][0,τ]; and linear BSDE solution formulas.

Selected references

  • G. Fu, P. Graewe, U. Horst, A. Popier, A Mean Field Game of Optimal Portfolio Liquidation, arXiv:1804.04911v3, 2021; Math. Oper. Res. 46(4), 2021. https://arxiv.org/abs/1804.04911
  • S. Ankirchner, M. Jeanblanc, T. Kruse, BSDEs with singular terminal condition and a control problem with constraints, SIAM J. Control Optim. 52(2), 2014. https://doi.org/10.1137/130913411
  • P. Graewe, U. Horst, E. Séré, Smooth solutions to portfolio liquidation problems under price-sensitive market impact, Stoch. Proc. Appl. 128(3), 2018. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.spa.2017.07.002
  • P. Cardaliaguet, C.-A. Lehalle, Mean field game of controls and an application to trade crowding, Math. Financ. Econ. 12, 2018. https://doi.org/10.1007/s11579-017-0206-z
  • R. Carmona, D. Lacker, A probabilistic weak formulation of mean field games and applications, Ann. Appl. Probab. 25(3), 2015. https://doi.org/10.1214/14-AAP1020
  • Y. Hu, S. Peng, Solution of forward-backward stochastic differential equations, Probab. Theory Related Fields 103, 1995. https://doi.org/10.1007/BF01204214
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Algorithmic Game TheoryControl TheoryOperations Research+2·Captain: mikedeng1

A Mean Field Game of Optimal Portfolio Liquidation 3: The Mean-Field Equilibrium Strategies Form an O(1/√N)-Nash Equilibrium of the N-Player Liquidation GameResearch Paper

Motivation

A trader who must sell a large position within a fixed horizon faces a trade-off: selling fast moves the price against her (temporary price impact), selling slowly exposes her to price risk. Since Almgren and Chriss, this optimal liquidation problem has been studied as a stochastic control problem with a terminal state constraint: the remaining position must be zero at the horizon TTT. When many traders liquidate at the same time, each trader's sales also depress the price that the others receive (permanent price impact), and the problem becomes a game.

Fu, Graewe, Horst and Popier (arXiv:1804.04911v3) study this game in the mean-field limit. Their §2 constructs a mean-field equilibrium through a singular conditional mean-field FBSDE. Their §3, the subject of this mission, justifies the limit: the strategies computed from the mean field game are an approximate Nash equilibrium of the finite game with NNN traders, with an error of order 1/N1/\sqrt N1/N​. Without such a result, the mean-field equilibrium describes a model nobody plays; with it, the equilibrium is a usable approximation for large but finite markets.

The approximation of NNN-player games by mean field games goes back to Huang, Malhamé and Caines (2006) and Lasry and Lions (2007); Carmona and Delarue (SIAM J. Control Optim. 51, 2013) proved an εN\varepsilon_NεN​-Nash property for a McKean–Vlasov class with state interaction and a rate N−1/(d+4)N^{-1/(d+4)}N−1/(d+4). The present game differs in three respects: players interact through their controls (the average trading rate), there is a common noise observed by all, and each player's state must reach zero at time TTT.

Setting

A single probability space carries a one-dimensional Brownian motion W0W^0W0 (the common noise, which drives the benchmark price and is observed by every player), for each player iii a kkk-dimensional Brownian motion WiW^iWi (the private noise), and i.i.d. initial portfolios Xi\mathcal X^iXi with law ν\nuν; all of these are mutually independent. Player iii observes Fi\mathbb F^iFi, Fti=σ(Xi,Ws0,Wsi, s≤t)\mathcal F^i_t=\sigma(\mathcal X^i,W^0_s,W^i_s,\ s\le t)Fti​=σ(Xi,Ws0​,Wsi​, s≤t), and chooses a trading rate ξi\xi^iξi; her position is Xti=Xi−∫0tξsi dsX^i_t=\mathcal X^i-\int_0^t\xi^i_s\,dsXti​=Xi−∫0t​ξsi​ds and must satisfy XTi=0X^i_T=0XTi​=0. Given the profile ξ⃗=(ξ1,…,ξN)\vec\xi=(\xi^1,\dots,\xi^N)ξ​=(ξ1,…,ξN), her conditional cost is

JN,i(ξ⃗)=E[∫0T(κtiN∑j=1NξtjXti+ηti(ξti)2+λti(Xti)2)dt ∣ Xi],J^{N,i}(\vec\xi)=\mathbb E\Big[\int_0^T\Big(\frac{\kappa^i_t}{N}\sum_{j=1}^N\xi^j_tX^i_t+\eta^i_t(\xi^i_t)^2+\lambda^i_t(X^i_t)^2\Big)dt\ \Big|\ \mathcal X^i\Big],JN,i(ξ​)=E[∫0T​(Nκti​​j=1∑N​ξtj​Xti​+ηti​(ξti​)2+λti​(Xti​)2)dt ​ Xi],

where κi\kappa^iκi (permanent impact), ηi\eta^iηi (temporary impact) and λi\lambda^iλi (risk aversion) are nonnegative bounded processes. Under Assumption 3.1 they are the same deterministic measurable functionals κ,η,λ\kappa,\eta,\lambdaκ,η,λ of (t,Xi,W⋅∧ti,W⋅∧t0)(t,\mathcal X^i,W^i_{\cdot\wedge t},W^0_{\cdot\wedge t})(t,Xi,W⋅∧ti​,W⋅∧t0​) for every player, so the players are statistically identical.

In the mean field game, the average 1N∑jξj\frac1N\sum_j\xi^jN1​∑j​ξj is replaced by a process μ\muμ adapted to the common-noise filtration F0\mathbb F^0F0, and an equilibrium is a μ∗\mu^*μ∗ with μt∗=E[ξt∗∣Ft0]\mu^*_t=\mathbb E[\xi^*_t\mid\mathcal F^0_t]μt∗​=E[ξt∗​∣Ft0​] for the representative player's best response ξ∗\xi^*ξ∗. The paper characterizes it through the FBSDE (2.3),

dXt=−Yt2ηtdt,−dYt=(κt E[Yt2ηt∣Ft0]+2λtXt)dt−Zt dW~t,X0=X, XT=0,dX_t=-\frac{Y_t}{2\eta_t}dt,\qquad -dY_t=\Big(\kappa_t\,\mathbb E\Big[\frac{Y_t}{2\eta_t}\Big|\mathcal F^0_t\Big]+2\lambda_tX_t\Big)dt-Z_t\,d\widetilde W_t,\qquad X_0=\mathcal X,\ X_T=0,dXt​=−2ηt​Yt​​dt,−dYt​=(κt​E[2ηt​Yt​​​Ft0​]+2λt​Xt​)dt−Zt​dWt​,X0​=X, XT​=0,

with W~=(W0,W)\widetilde W=(W^0,W)W=(W0,W); the optimal rate is ξ∗=Y/(2η)\xi^*=Y/(2\eta)ξ∗=Y/(2η). Player iii's mean-field strategy ξ∗,i=Yi/(2ηi)\xi^{*,i}=Y^i/(2\eta^i)ξ∗,i=Yi/(2ηi) comes from the same FBSDE with her own data.

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem 3.3

For a positive function MMM with ψ≤M\psi\le Mψ≤M, where ψ(Xi)=E[∫0T∣ξt∗,i∣2dt∣Xi]\psi(\mathcal X^i)=\mathbb E[\int_0^T|\xi^{*,i}_t|^2dt\mid\mathcal X^i]ψ(Xi)=E[∫0T​∣ξt∗,i​∣2dt∣Xi], and admissible sets Ai={ξ∈AFi(Xi):E[∫0T∣ξt∣2dt∣Xi]≤M(Xi)}\mathcal A^i=\{\xi\in\mathcal A_{\mathbb F^i}(\mathcal X^i):\mathbb E[\int_0^T|\xi_t|^2dt\mid\mathcal X^i]\le M(\mathcal X^i)\}Ai={ξ∈AFi​(Xi):E[∫0T​∣ξt​∣2dt∣Xi]≤M(Xi)}, there is a function ggg, independent of iii and NNN, with

JN,i(ξ⃗∗)≤JN,i(ξi,ξ∗,−i)+g(Xi)Nfor all N≥1, 1≤i≤N, ξi∈Ai.J^{N,i}(\vec\xi^*)\le J^{N,i}(\xi^i,\xi^{*,-i})+\frac{g(\mathcal X^i)}{\sqrt N}\qquad\text{for all }N\ge1,\ 1\le i\le N,\ \xi^i\in\mathcal A^i .JN,i(ξ​∗)≤JN,i(ξi,ξ∗,−i)+N​g(Xi)​for all N≥1, 1≤i≤N, ξi∈Ai.

The goal asserts only the shape of the bound, not its constant.

Milestones

  1. Lemma 3.2: one measurable map Φ\PhiΦ gives (Xi,Yi,∫0⋅Zi)=Φ(Xi,Wi,W0)(X^i,Y^i,\int_0^\cdot Z^i)=\Phi(\mathcal X^i,W^i,W^0)(Xi,Yi,∫0⋅​Zi)=Φ(Xi,Wi,W0) for every player, and ξ∗,i=ϕ(Xi,W0,Wi)\xi^{*,i}=\phi(\mathcal X^i,W^0,W^i)ξ∗,i=ϕ(Xi,W0,Wi) (3.1).
  2. (3.2): a single μ∗\mu^*μ∗ with μt∗=E[ξt∗,i∣Ft0]\mu^*_t=\mathbb E[\xi^{*,i}_t\mid\mathcal F^0_t]μt∗​=E[ξt∗,i​∣Ft0​] for every iii.
  3. (3.3): E∫0T∣ξt∗,i∣2dt≤C\mathbb E\int_0^T|\xi^{*,i}_t|^2dt\le CE∫0T​∣ξt∗,i​∣2dt≤C uniformly in iii.
  4. (3.5): E[∫0T(μt∗−1N∑jξt∗,j)2dt∣Xi]≤2(M(Xi)+(2N−1)C)/N2\mathbb E[\int_0^T(\mu^*_t-\frac1N\sum_j\xi^{*,j}_t)^2dt\mid\mathcal X^i]\le 2(M(\mathcal X^i)+(2N-1)C)/N^2E[∫0T​(μt∗​−N1​∑j​ξt∗,j​)2dt∣Xi]≤2(M(Xi)+(2N−1)C)/N2.
  5. The bounds on I1I_1I1​ and I2I_2I2​ (p. 24): the two differences of conditional costs into which the proof splits JN,i(ξ,ξ∗,−i)−JN,i(ξ⃗∗)J^{N,i}(\xi,\xi^{*,-i})-J^{N,i}(\vec\xi^*)JN,i(ξ,ξ∗,−i)−JN,i(ξ​∗) are O(1/N)O(1/\sqrt N)O(1/N​).

Significance

The result turns the mean-field equilibrium of §2 into a statement about the finite market: when all NNN traders use their mean-field strategies, a trader who deviates can save at most g(Xi)/Ng(\mathcal X^i)/\sqrt Ng(Xi)/N​ in conditional expected cost. The error bound depends on the trader's own initial position only through M(Xi)M(\mathcal X^i)M(Xi), and the rate 1/N1/\sqrt N1/N​ is dimension-free, in contrast with the N−1/(d+4)N^{-1/(d+4)}N−1/(d+4) rates of state-interaction games, because the interaction runs through the empirical mean of the controls rather than through an empirical measure.

The paper's proof of Theorem 3.3 is short but rests on several facts it states without proof: the Yamada–Watanabe-type Lemma 3.2 (whose proof is referred to other papers), the identification (3.2) of a common conditional mean, and the moment bound (3.3) attributed to Proposition 2.8. This mission makes each of these a separate machine-checkable statement. As far as we know, none of these results, nor any optimal-liquidation mean field game, has a machine-checked proof.

Difficulty

The estimate (3.5) is a law-of-large-numbers bound for the average of NNN processes that are not independent: all of them depend on the common noise W0W^0W0. The obvious argument, expanding the square and using independence, fails as stated; the cross terms vanish only conditionally on W0W^0W0, and only once one knows that every ξ∗,j\xi^{*,j}ξ∗,j is the same measurable functional of (Xj,W0,Wj)(\mathcal X^j,W^0,W^j)(Xj,W0,Wj). That is Lemma 3.2, a Yamada–Watanabe-type statement for a singular FBSDE with a conditional mean-field term, which needs strong uniqueness of the FBSDE in the class Hα×L2×L2([0,T−])\mathcal H_\alpha\times L^2\times L^2([0,T-])Hα​×L2×L2([0,T−]) and is the main technical step. The terminal constraint XT=0X_T=0XT​=0 makes the backward component singular at TTT (YYY blows up like X/(T−t)X/(T-t)X/(T−t)), so standard Lipschitz FBSDE theory does not apply. Finally, the deviation ξ\xiξ is constrained only through a conditional second-moment bound MMM, and the comparison with the mean-field cost uses the optimality of ξ∗,i\xi^{*,i}ξ∗,i (Proposition 2.9) against μ∗\mu^*μ∗.

Formalization scope

Everything is stated on one probability space carrying all players, with players indexed by N\mathbb NN; the NNN-player game uses players i<Ni<Ni<N (the paper's 1,…,N1,\dots,N1,…,N, shifted by one). Time is R≥0\mathbb R_{\ge0}R≥0​ and the processes are real valued. Choices made explicit:

  • Assumption 2.3 for every player is a hypothesis of every theorem: the paper states it "throughout" (p. 8), and the proof of Theorem 3.3 uses Propositions 2.8 and 2.9, which need it. Its constants κmax⁡,η⋆,λ⋆,∥η∥\kappa_{\max},\eta_\star,\lambda_\star,\|\eta\|κmax​,η⋆​,λ⋆​,∥η∥ are essential bounds over [0,T]×Ω[0,T]\times\Omega[0,T]×Ω; "1/λ,1/η∈L∞1/\lambda,1/\eta\in L^\infty1/λ,1/η∈L∞" is a positive essential lower bound.
  • The equilibrium processes (Xi,Yi,Zi)(X^i,Y^i,Z^i)(Xi,Yi,Zi) are hypotheses: solutions of (2.3) for player iii's data in the class of Theorem 2.4. ξ∗,i\xi^{*,i}ξ∗,i is defined as Yi/(2ηi)Y^i/(2\eta^i)Yi/(2ηi), never through ϕ\phiϕ.
  • Conditioning on Xi=xi\mathcal X^i=x^iXi=xi is conditioning on σ(Xi)\sigma(\mathcal X^i)σ(Xi); every conclusion holds almost surely, i.e. for ν\nuν-a.e. xix^ixi. "ψ≤M\psi\le Mψ≤M" is the a.s. inequality of conditional second moments, and MMM is assumed measurable.
  • ggg is quantified before NNN and iii. A statement in which ggg may depend on NNN is trivially true and is ruled out.
  • Filtrations are augmented by null sets. Each conditional expectation E[ ⋅∣Ft0]\mathbb E[\,\cdot\mid\mathcal F^0_t]E[⋅∣Ft0​] is evaluated through a progressive version of an integrable argument. BSDEs on [0,T)[0,T)[0,T) are imposed on every [0,τ][0,\tau][0,τ], τ<T\tau<Tτ<T.
  • Lemma 3.2's path spaces carry the product σ-algebra; its identities hold for each ttt almost surely.
  • The paper's bound on I2I_2I2​ is stated for ∣I2∣|I_2|∣I2​∣, which is what its Cauchy–Schwarz step gives and what the proof needs.

The development reuses the Itô-calculus definitions of Peng1990.SMP.Stochastic (standard Brownian motion, LF2L^2_{\mathbb F}LF2​, Itô integrals, BSDEs). Contributions useful beyond this mission: conditional independence given a common noise for functionals of independent inputs, a Yamada–Watanabe argument for FBSDEs, and conditional Cauchy–Schwarz bounds for time integrals. Proofs of any milestone, and of the facts from §2 they rely on, are welcome.

Selected references

  • G. Fu, P. Graewe, U. Horst, A. Popier, A Mean Field Game of Optimal Portfolio Liquidation, arXiv:1804.04911v3, 2021; Math. Oper. Res. 46(4), 2021. https://arxiv.org/abs/1804.04911
  • R. Almgren, N. Chriss, Optimal execution of portfolio transactions, J. Risk 3(2), 2001. https://doi.org/10.21314/JOR.2001.041
  • M. Huang, R. P. Malhamé, P. E. Caines, Large population stochastic dynamic games: closed-loop McKean–Vlasov systems and the Nash certainty equivalence principle, Commun. Inf. Syst. 6(3), 2006. https://doi.org/10.4310/CIS.2006.v6.n3.a5
  • J.-M. Lasry, P.-L. Lions, Mean field games, Jpn. J. Math. 2, 2007. https://doi.org/10.1007/s11537-007-0657-8
  • R. Carmona, F. Delarue, Probabilistic analysis of mean-field games, SIAM J. Control Optim. 51(4), 2013. https://doi.org/10.1137/120883499
  • S. Peng, A general stochastic maximum principle for optimal control problems, SIAM J. Control Optim. 28(4), 1990. https://doi.org/10.1137/0328054
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Partial Differential EquationsProbabilityStochastic Systems·Captain: mikedeng1

On Viscosity Solutions of Path Dependent PDEs: Comparison Principle for Viscosity Sub- and Supersolutions of Semilinear PPDEs, and u^0 from the BSDE Is the Unique Viscosity SolutionResearch Paper

Motivation

Many quantities in stochastic control, mathematical finance and stochastic differential games depend on the whole past of a Brownian path rather than on its current position: the price of an Asian or lookback option, the value of a control problem with delay, the solution of a non-Markovian backward stochastic differential equation (BSDE). For Markovian problems the value is a function v(t,x)v(t,x)v(t,x) and solves a parabolic PDE, and the theory of viscosity solutions (Crandall, Ishii and Lions) gives existence, uniqueness and stability without any smoothness. For path-dependent problems the value is a functional u(t,ω)u(t,\omega)u(t,ω) of the path, and the corresponding equation is a path-dependent PDE (PPDE), written with the horizontal and vertical derivatives introduced by Dupire (SSRN 1435551) and developed into a functional Itô calculus by Cont and Fournié (arXiv:1002.2446). Classical solutions of PPDEs rarely exist, so a weak notion is needed.

Timeline:

  • 1990. Pardoux and Peng prove well-posedness of BSDEs with Lipschitz generator (doi:10.1016/0167-6911(90)90082-6); the BSDE value is the natural candidate solution of a semilinear PPDE.
  • 2009–2013. Dupire, and Cont and Fournié, define pathwise derivatives and prove a functional Itô formula; Peng asks for a viscosity theory of PPDEs (ICM 2010).
  • 2011–2014. Ekren, Keller, Touzi and Zhang (arXiv:1109.5971, Ann. Probab. 42 (2014) 204–236) define viscosity solutions of semilinear PPDEs through an optimal stopping problem under a nonlinear expectation and prove existence, stability, comparison and uniqueness. Fully nonlinear PPDEs follow in Ekren, Touzi and Zhang (arXiv:1210.0006).

Setting

Fix d≥1d \ge 1d≥1 and T>0T>0T>0. Let Ω\OmegaΩ be the space of continuous paths ω:[0,T]→Rd\omega:[0,T]\to\mathbb R^dω:[0,T]→Rd with ω0=0\omega_0 = 0ω0​=0, BBB the canonical process, F\mathbb FF the filtration it generates, P0P_0P0​ the Wiener measure and Λ=[0,T]×Ω\Lambda = [0,T]\times\OmegaΛ=[0,T]×Ω. On Λ\LambdaΛ the pseudometric is d∞((t,ω),(t′,ω′))=∣t−t′∣+sup⁡s≤T∣ωt∧s−ωt′∧s′∣d_\infty((t,\omega),(t',\omega')) = |t-t'| + \sup_{s\le T}|\omega_{t\wedge s}-\omega'_{t'\wedge s}|d∞​((t,ω),(t′,ω′))=∣t−t′∣+sups≤T​∣ωt∧s​−ωt′∧s′​∣. For t≤Tt\le Tt≤T, Ωt\Omega^tΩt is the space of continuous paths on [t,T][t,T][t,T] vanishing at ttt, with Wiener measure P0tP^t_0P0t​, and Ω^t\hat\Omega^tΩ^t the space of càdlàg paths on [t,T][t,T][t,T]. The concatenation ω⊗tω′\omega\otimes_t\omega'ω⊗t​ω′ follows ω\omegaω up to ttt and then ωt+ω′\omega_t + \omega'ωt​+ω′, and ut,ω(s,ω′)=u(s,ω⊗tω′)u^{t,\omega}(s,\omega') = u(s,\omega\otimes_t\omega')ut,ω(s,ω′)=u(s,ω⊗t​ω′).

A functional u^\hat uu^ on [t,T]×Ω^t[t,T]\times\hat\Omega^t[t,T]×Ω^t has the Dupire derivatives ∂ωu^\partial_\omega\hat u∂ω​u^, the derivative under a bump h1[s,T]eih\mathbf 1_{[s,T]}e_ih1[s,T]​ei​ of the path, and ∂tu^\partial_t\hat u∂t​u^, the right derivative in time along the stopped path. Cb1,2(Λt)C^{1,2}_b(\Lambda^t)Cb1,2​(Λt) is the class of functionals that agree on continuous paths with some u^\hat uu^ whose derivatives ∂tu^\partial_t\hat u∂t​u^, ∂ωu^\partial_\omega\hat u∂ω​u^, ∂ωω2u^\partial^2_{\omega\omega}\hat u∂ωω2​u^ exist and are bounded and d∞d_\inftyd∞​-continuous.

The equation is the semilinear PPDE

(Lu)(t,ω):=−∂tu−12tr⁡(∂ωω2u)−f(t,ω,u,∂ωu)=0,0≤t<T.(\mathcal L u)(t,\omega) := -\partial_t u - \tfrac12\operatorname{tr}\big(\partial^2_{\omega\omega}u\big) - f\big(t,\omega,u,\partial_\omega u\big) = 0,\qquad 0\le t<T.(Lu)(t,ω):=−∂t​u−21​tr(∂ωω2​u)−f(t,ω,u,∂ω​u)=0,0≤t<T.

For L≥0L\ge0L≥0, E‾tL\underline{\mathcal E}^L_tE​tL​ and E‾tL\overline{\mathcal E}^L_tEtL​ are the infimum and supremum of expectations under the Girsanov measures Pt,βP^{t,\beta}Pt,β, ∣βi∣≤L|\beta^i|\le L∣βi∣≤L. A bounded d∞d_\inftyd∞​-continuous uuu is a viscosity LLL-subsolution if (Lt,ωφ)(t,0)≤0(\mathcal L^{t,\omega}\varphi)(t,\mathbf 0)\le0(Lt,ωφ)(t,0)≤0 at every (t,ω)(t,\omega)(t,ω) with t<Tt<Tt<T for every test function φ∈Cb1,2(Λt)\varphi\in C^{1,2}_b(\Lambda^t)φ∈Cb1,2​(Λt) that touches ut,ωu^{t,\omega}ut,ω from above in the sense

0=φ(t,0)−u(t,ω)=min⁡τ~∈TtE‾tL[(φ−ut,ω)τ~∧τ]for some τ∈T+t,0 = \varphi(t,\mathbf 0)-u(t,\omega) = \min_{\tilde\tau\in\mathcal T^t}\underline{\mathcal E}^L_t\big[(\varphi-u^{t,\omega})_{\tilde\tau\wedge\tau}\big]\quad\text{for some }\tau\in\mathcal T^t_+ ,0=φ(t,0)−u(t,ω)=τ~∈Ttmin​E​tL​[(φ−ut,ω)τ~∧τ​]for some τ∈T+t​,

where Tt\mathcal T^tTt is a class of stopping times with open level sets. Supersolutions use max⁡\maxmax and E‾tL\overline{\mathcal E}^L_tEtL​. A viscosity subsolution is an LLL-subsolution for some LLL, the same LLL at every point. The candidate solution is u0(t,ω)=Yt0,t,ωu^0(t,\omega) = Y^{0,t,\omega}_tu0(t,ω)=Yt0,t,ω​, where Y0,t,ωY^{0,t,\omega}Y0,t,ω solves the BSDE with terminal value gt,ωg^{t,\omega}gt,ω and generator ft,ωf^{t,\omega}ft,ω under P0tP^t_0P0t​.

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem 4.6

Under Assumption 4.2 (fff bounded, progressively measurable, continuous in ttt, uniformly continuous in ω\omegaω, Lipschitz in (y,z)(y,z)(y,z); ggg bounded and uniformly continuous) and Assumption 4.4 (an extension f^\hat ff^​ of fff to càdlàg paths, continuous and Lipschitz), for every viscosity subsolution u1u^1u1 and supersolution u2u^2u2,

u1(T,⋅)≤g≤u2(T,⋅) ⟹ u1≤u2  on Λ,u^1(T,\cdot)\le g\le u^2(T,\cdot)\ \Longrightarrow\ u^1\le u^2\ \text{ on }\Lambda,u1(T,⋅)≤g≤u2(T,⋅) ⟹ u1≤u2  on Λ,

and consequently u0u^0u0 is the unique viscosity solution with terminal condition ggg.

Milestones

In the order the proof uses them: Example 2.5 (hitting times lie in T\mathcal TT); Proposition 5.4 (u0u^0u0 is uniformly continuous); Theorem 4.3 (u0u^0u0 is a viscosity solution); Lemma 5.7 (partial comparison when one of u1,u2u^1,u^2u1,u2 is smooth) and its form under the weaker condition (5.11); the bound u‾≤u0≤uˉ\underline u\le u^0\le\bar uu​≤u0≤uˉ of (6.3) between the Perron envelopes

uˉ(t,ω)=inf⁡{φ(t,0):φ∈D‾(t,ω)},u‾(t,ω)=sup⁡{φ(t,0):φ∈D‾(t,ω)};\bar u(t,\omega) = \inf\{\varphi(t,\mathbf 0):\varphi\in\overline{\mathcal D}(t,\omega)\},\qquad \underline u(t,\omega) = \sup\{\varphi(t,\mathbf 0):\varphi\in\underline{\mathcal D}(t,\omega)\};uˉ(t,ω)=inf{φ(t,0):φ∈D(t,ω)},u​(t,ω)=sup{φ(t,0):φ∈D​(t,ω)};

Lemma 6.3 (classical solutions built from an ODE with random coefficients); and Theorem 6.1, u‾=uˉ\underline u = \bar uu​=uˉ.

Significance

Theorem 4.6 makes the definition of the paper a well-posed one: existence (Theorem 4.3) without uniqueness would allow any number of solutions, and the comparison principle is what identifies the BSDE value as the solution. It gives a path-dependent nonlinear Feynman–Kac formula, characterising non-Markovian BSDEs analytically, and it is the template on which the fully nonlinear theory, path-dependent games and non-Markovian control were later built.

The result is proved, in this paper, and the proof is not known to have been machine-checked. The formalization contributes a precise Lean account of the definitions (Dupire derivatives through extensions to càdlàg paths, the stopping-time class Tt\mathcal T^tTt, Girsanov measures, the piecewise class Cˉ1,2\bar C^{1,2}Cˉ1,2) and a checked proof of comparison. Pieces of independent value are a functional Itô formula for Cb1,2C^{1,2}_bCb1,2​ functionals, Girsanov's theorem on the canonical space, comparison for BSDEs, and optimal stopping under the nonlinear expectation E‾L\underline{\mathcal E}^LE​L.

Difficulty

The classical proof of comparison doubles variables and uses the Crandall–Ishii lemma, which rests on local compactness of the state space; Ω\OmegaΩ is infinite-dimensional and not locally compact, so that route fails. The paper instead proves comparison when one side is smooth (Lemma 5.7), and then shows that the Perron envelopes u‾\underline uu​ and uˉ\bar uuˉ, built from piecewise-smooth super- and subsolutions, coincide. That equality needs an approximation of an arbitrary square-integrable BSDE integrand ZZZ by processes that are piecewise differentiable in time with uniformly continuous derivative, so that the resulting functionals lie in Cˉ1,2\bar C^{1,2}Cˉ1,2 (Lemmas 6.3–6.5). The partial comparison relies on optimal stopping under E‾L\underline{\mathcal E}^LE​L, which the paper treats with heuristic arguments in Remark 3.11 and references to later work, so that step will need its own development.

Formalization scope

Time is [0,∞)[0,\infty)[0,∞) with a fixed horizon TTT; paths take values in Euclidean Rd\mathbb R^dRd and are constant after TTT. Ωt\Omega^tΩt is encoded as continuous paths vanishing on [0,t][0,t][0,t] and Ω^t\hat\Omega^tΩ^t as càdlàg paths constant on [0,t][0,t][0,t], so Ω=Ω0\Omega = \Omega^0Ω=Ω0. Filtrations are the raw ones generated by the canonical process. The Wiener measure is a hypothesis on finite-dimensional laws, and P0tP^t_0P0t​ is its image under the shift. The stochastic integral and BSDE solutions are those of the platform definition Peng1990.SMP.Stochastic.

Conventions and readings, all disclosed in the items:

  • the standing assumptions are Assumptions 4.2 and 4.4 as printed; "continuous in ttt" is for each fixed (ω,y,z)(\omega,y,z)(ω,y,z), "uniformly continuous in ω\omegaω" is one modulus uniform in (t,y,z)(t,y,z)(t,y,z), and the Lipschitz bound uses ∣y−y′∣+∣z−z′∣|y-y'|+|z-z'|∣y−y′∣+∣z−z′∣;
  • Cb1,2C^{1,2}_bCb1,2​ membership is witnessed by an extension to càdlàg paths together with its derivatives, and every statement involving derivatives quantifies over all such extensions; by Theorem 2.4(i) of the paper they agree on Λ\LambdaΛ;
  • the min⁡\minmin/max⁡\maxmax in the test sets is attained at τ~≡t\tilde\tau\equiv tτ~≡t, so the test condition is written as "every Girsanov expectation is ≥0\ge0≥0" (resp. ≤0\le0≤0), with integrability required; no real infimum or supremum is formed, and Theorem 6.1 is stated with greatest lower and least upper bounds;
  • u0u^0u0 is characterised by the BSDE, not constructed: the statements quantify over every uuu satisfying the characterisation, which by Pardoux–Peng holds for exactly one uuu;
  • in (6.2) and (5.11) the sign of the operator is required P0tP^t_0P0t​-a.s. for s∈[t,T)s\in[t,T)s∈[t,T);
  • Lemma 6.3 adds Assumption 4.4, which the page omits although (6.8) uses f^\hat ff^​, and reads "θ=θ^\theta=\hat\thetaθ=θ^ in Λ\LambdaΛ" as Λt\Lambda^tΛt.

No trivializing reading is available: the test functions are exactly the Cb1,2(Λt)C^{1,2}_b(\Lambda^t)Cb1,2​(Λt) functionals satisfying (3.6), the measures exactly the Girsanov measures with ∣βi∣≤L|\beta^i|\le L∣βi∣≤L, and the stopping times exactly Tt\mathcal T^tTt. A test set that is too large makes sub- and supersolutions scarce and the comparison principle weaker, a test set that is too small makes them abundant and the principle false, and neither is the case here.

The source is arXiv:1109.5971v2, the IMS electronic reprint of the Annals of Probability article; its printed page numbers equal the PDF's. Lemmas 6.4 and 6.5 (the approximation of ZZZ) are part of the proof but not stated as items. Contributions welcome: the functional Itô formula, Girsanov on Ωt\Omega^tΩt, BSDE comparison and stability, and the optimal stopping theory under E‾L\underline{\mathcal E}^LE​L.

Selected references

  • I. Ekren, C. Keller, N. Touzi, J. Zhang, On viscosity solutions of path dependent PDEs, Ann. Probab. 42(1) (2014) 204–236. arXiv:1109.5971, doi:10.1214/12-AOP788
  • B. Dupire, Functional Itô calculus, Bloomberg Portfolio Research Paper 2009-04 (2009). SSRN 1435551
  • R. Cont, D.-A. Fournié, Functional Itô calculus and stochastic integral representation of martingales, Ann. Probab. 41(1) (2013) 109–133. arXiv:1002.2446
  • É. Pardoux, S. Peng, Adapted solution of a backward stochastic differential equation, Systems Control Lett. 14 (1990) 55–61. doi:10.1016/0167-6911(90)90082-6
  • I. Ekren, N. Touzi, J. Zhang, Viscosity solutions of fully nonlinear parabolic path dependent PDEs: Part I, Ann. Probab. 44(2) (2016) 1212–1253. arXiv:1210.0006
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Algorithmic Game TheoryControl TheoryProbability·Captain: mikedeng1

A Probabilistic Weak Formulation of Mean Field Games and Applications 3: Distributed Controls from a Mean Field Game Solution Form an ε_n-Nash Equilibrium of the n-Player Game, ε_n → 0Research Paper

Why approximate Nash equilibria of finite games

Mean field games (MFGs) were introduced by Lasry and Lions (Jpn. J. Math. 2007) and by Huang, Malhamé and Caines (Commun. Inf. Syst. 2006) as limits of stochastic differential games with many symmetric players whose interaction runs through the empirical distribution of their states. An MFG is a fixed point problem for one representative player facing a flow of measures, and it is much easier to analyse than an nnn-player game. The justification for studying it is a converse statement: a solution of the MFG should yield strategies that are nearly optimal for every player of the finite game when nnn is large. Results of this type were proved by Huang, Malhamé and Caines for linear-quadratic models and by Carmona and Delarue (SIAM J. Control Optim. 2013) in the strong formulation with Lipschitz data.

Carmona and Lacker (arXiv:1307.1152v2; Ann. Appl. Probab. 25(3), 2015) set up MFGs in a weak formulation: controls change the law of the state through a Girsanov density instead of entering the state equation. This allows measurable, path-dependent data and controls that need only be progressively measurable. Their Theorem 4.2 is the finite-player approximation in this generality. This mission formalizes it.

Setting

Let C=C([0,T];Rd)\mathcal C=C([0,T];\mathbb R^d)C=C([0,T];Rd) with the sup norm, and fix a measurable weight ψ:C→[1,∞)\psi:\mathcal C\to[1,\infty)ψ:C→[1,∞). Pψ(C)\mathcal P_\psi(\mathcal C)Pψ​(C) is the set of probability measures μ\muμ on C\mathcal CC with ∫ψ dμ<∞\int\psi\,d\mu<\infty∫ψdμ<∞, carrying the topology τψ\tau_\psiτψ​: the weakest topology making μ↦∫f dμ\mu\mapsto\int f\,d\muμ↦∫fdμ continuous for every measurable fff with ∣f∣≤c ψ|f|\le c\,\psi∣f∣≤cψ. The control set AAA is a compact convex subset of a normed space, and P(A)\mathcal P(A)P(A) carries the weak topology.

The data are a volatility σ(t,x)\sigma(t,x)σ(t,x), a drift b(t,x,μ,a)b(t,x,\mu,a)b(t,x,μ,a), a running reward f(t,x,μ,q,a)f(t,x,\mu,q,a)f(t,x,μ,q,a) and a terminal reward g(x,μ)g(x,\mu)g(x,μ), where x∈Cx\in\mathcal Cx∈C is a whole path, μ∈Pψ(C)\mu\in\mathcal P_\psi(\mathcal C)μ∈Pψ​(C) and q∈P(A)q\in\mathcal P(A)q∈P(A). On a probability space with an initial value ξ∼λ0\xi\sim\lambda_0ξ∼λ0​ and an independent Wiener process WWW, let XXX solve dXt=σ(t,X) dWtdX_t=\sigma(t,X)\,dW_tdXt​=σ(t,X)dWt​, X0=ξX_0=\xiX0​=ξ. A control α\alphaα (an AAA-valued progressive process) and a measure μ\muμ define a new probability Pμ,αP^{\mu,\alpha}Pμ,α with density

dPμ,αdP=E(∫0⋅σ−1b(t,X,μ,αt) dWt)T,\frac{dP^{\mu,\alpha}}{dP}=\mathcal E\Big(\int_0^\cdot\sigma^{-1}b(t,X,\mu,\alpha_t)\,dW_t\Big)_T,dPdPμ,α​=E(∫0⋅​σ−1b(t,X,μ,αt​)dWt​)T​,

under which XXX has drift b(t,X,μ,αt)b(t,X,\mu,\alpha_t)b(t,X,μ,αt​). The reward is Jμ,q(α)=Eμ,α[∫0Tf(t,X,μ,qt,αt) dt+g(X,μ)]J^{\mu,q}(\alpha)=\mathbb E^{\mu,\alpha}[\int_0^Tf(t,X,\mu,q_t,\alpha_t)\,dt+g(X,\mu)]Jμ,q(α)=Eμ,α[∫0T​f(t,X,μ,qt​,αt​)dt+g(X,μ)]. A pair (μ^,q^)(\hat\mu,\hat q)(μ^​,q^​) is a solution of the MFG (Definition 3.4) if some α^\hat\alphaα^ maximizes Jμ^,q^J^{\hat\mu,\hat q}Jμ^​,q^​ and reproduces the input: Pμ^,α^∘X−1=μ^P^{\hat\mu,\hat\alpha}\circ X^{-1}=\hat\muPμ^​,α^∘X−1=μ^​ and Pμ^,α^∘α^t−1=q^tP^{\hat\mu,\hat\alpha}\circ\hat\alpha_t^{-1}=\hat q_tPμ^​,α^∘α^t−1​=q^​t​ for a.e. ttt. Under the standing assumptions the optimal control is a function α^(t,X)\hat\alpha(t,X)α^(t,X) of the path, the closed-loop control.

The nnn-player game. On a probability space with independent Wiener processes WiW^iWi and i.i.d. initial values ξi∼λ0\xi^i\sim\lambda_0ξi∼λ0​, let XiX^iXi solve dXti=b(t,Xi,α^(t,Xi)) dt+σ(t,Xi) dWtidX^i_t=b(t,X^i,\hat\alpha(t,X^i))\,dt+\sigma(t,X^i)\,dW^i_tdXti​=b(t,Xi,α^(t,Xi))dt+σ(t,Xi)dWti​ (the drift has no mean field term under (F.1)). The distributed controls are αti=α^(t,Xi)\alpha^i_t=\hat\alpha(t,X^i)αti​=α^(t,Xi): each player uses only their own state. A deviation β∈An\beta\in\mathbb A_nβ∈An​ is any process that is progressively measurable for the filtration Fn\mathbb F^nFn of all nnn states (full information). A profile β=(β1,…,βn)\beta=(\beta^1,\dots,\beta^n)β=(β1,…,βn) changes the probability to Pn(β)P_n(\beta)Pn​(β), with density the Doléans exponential of ∑i∫(σ−1b(t,Xi,βti)−σ−1b(t,Xi,αti)) dWti\sum_i\int(\sigma^{-1}b(t,X^i,\beta^i_t)-\sigma^{-1}b(t,X^i,\alpha^i_t))\,dW^i_t∑i​∫(σ−1b(t,Xi,βti​)−σ−1b(t,Xi,αti​))dWti​. Player iii then receives

Jn,i(β)=EPn(β)[∫0Tf(t,Xi,μn,qn(βt),βti) dt+g(Xi,μn)],J_{n,i}(\beta)=\mathbb E^{P_n(\beta)}\Big[\int_0^Tf\big(t,X^i,\mu^n,q^n(\beta_t),\beta^i_t\big)\,dt+g(X^i,\mu^n)\Big],Jn,i​(β)=EPn​(β)[∫0T​f(t,Xi,μn,qn(βt​),βti​)dt+g(Xi,μn)],

with μn=1n∑jδXj\mu^n=\frac1n\sum_j\delta_{X^j}μn=n1​∑j​δXj​ and qn(βt)=1n∑jδβtjq^n(\beta_t)=\frac1n\sum_j\delta_{\beta^j_t}qn(βt​)=n1​∑j​δβtj​​.

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem 4.2 (p. 13)

Under (S), (C) and (F), there is a sequence ϵn≥0\epsilon_n\ge0ϵn​≥0, ϵn→0\epsilon_n\to0ϵn​→0, such that for all n≥1n\ge1n≥1, 1≤i≤n1\le i\le n1≤i≤n and β∈An\beta\in\mathbb A_nβ∈An​,

Jn,i(α1,…,αi−1,β,αi+1,…,αn)≤Jn,i(α1,…,αn)+ϵn.J_{n,i}(\alpha^1,\dots,\alpha^{i-1},\beta,\alpha^{i+1},\dots,\alpha^n)\le J_{n,i}(\alpha^1,\dots,\alpha^n)+\epsilon_n.Jn,i​(α1,…,αi−1,β,αi+1,…,αn)≤Jn,i​(α1,…,αn)+ϵn​.

No rate is claimed; the theorem asserts only that the gain from deviating vanishes uniformly over players and deviations.

Milestones

  1. Lemma 5.6 (p. 16): for compact KKK, joint continuity of G:E×K→RG:E\times K\to\mathbb RG:E×K→R at {x0}×K\{x_0\}\times K{x0​}×K is equivalent to continuity of G(x0,⋅)G(x_0,\cdot)G(x0​,⋅) together with continuity at x0x_0x0​ of x↦sup⁡y∈K∣G(x,y)−G(x0,y)∣x\mapsto\sup_{y\in K}|G(x,y)-G(x_0,y)|x↦supy∈K​∣G(x,y)−G(x0​,y)∣.
  2. Lemma 8.1 (p. 32): for empirically measurable FFF with ∣F(x,μ)∣≤c(ψ(x)+∫ψ dμ)|F(x,\mu)|\le c(\psi(x)+\int\psi\,d\mu)∣F(x,μ)∣≤c(ψ(x)+∫ψdμ) and F(x,⋅)F(x,\cdot)F(x,⋅) continuous at μ^\hat\muμ^​, E∣F(Xi,μn)−F(Xi,μ^)∣p→0\mathbb E|F(X^i,\mu^n)-F(X^i,\hat\mu)|^p\to0E∣F(Xi,μn)−F(Xi,μ^​)∣p→0 for p∈[1,2)p\in[1,2)p∈[1,2).
  3. The LpL^pLp bound (p. 33): {dPn(βα)/dP:β∈An, n≥1}\{dP_n(\beta^\alpha)/dP:\beta\in\mathbb A_n,\ n\ge1\}{dPn​(βα)/dP:β∈An​, n≥1} is bounded in LpL^pLp for each p≥1p\ge1p≥1, where βα=(β,α2,…,αn)\beta^\alpha=(\beta,\alpha^2,\dots,\alpha^n)βα=(β,α2,…,αn).
  4. Lemma 8.2 (p. 32): sup⁡β∈An∣Jn,1(βα)−Jn′(β)∣→0\sup_{\beta\in\mathbb A_n}|J_{n,1}(\beta^\alpha)-J'_n(\beta)|\to0supβ∈An​​∣Jn,1​(βα)−Jn′​(β)∣→0, where Jn′(β)=EPn(βα)[∫0Tf(t,X1,μ^,q^t,βt) dt+g(X1,μ^)]J'_n(\beta)=\mathbb E^{P_n(\beta^\alpha)}[\int_0^Tf(t,X^1,\hat\mu,\hat q_t,\beta_t)\,dt+g(X^1,\hat\mu)]Jn′​(β)=EPn​(βα)[∫0T​f(t,X1,μ^​,q^​t​,βt​)dt+g(X1,μ^​)].
  5. Lemma 8.3 (p. 33): Jn′(α1)≥Jn′(β)J'_n(\alpha^1)\ge J'_n(\beta)Jn′​(α1)≥Jn′​(β) for every β∈An\beta\in\mathbb A_nβ∈An​.

Significance

Theorem 4.2 states the sense in which an MFG solution solves the finite game. It covers path-dependent and merely measurable coefficients, interaction through the law of the controls, and full-information deviations against distributed strategies. In the paper it underlies the applications of §6: the price impact model, where Proposition 6.1 adds the rate C/nC/\sqrt nC/n​, and the flocking model. The result is qualitative: it gives no rate in general.

The result is proved in the paper. No machine-checked proof of it or of its lemmas exists on the platform. The mission produces a formal statement layer for weak-formulation MFGs: path space, Pψ\mathcal P_\psiPψ​ with τψ\tau_\psiτψ​, Girsanov densities over Itô versions, Definition 3.4, and the nnn-player game. It then asks for the formal proof of the theorem. Missions 1 and 2 of this series (existence and uniqueness of MFG solutions) use the same model encoding. The strong-formulation result of Carmona and Delarue is a separate statement with a separate model and is not part of this mission.

Difficulty

The obvious route replaces μn\mu^nμn by μ^\hat\muμ^​ and qn(βt)q^n(\beta_t)qn(βt​) by q^t\hat q_tq^​t​ in Jn,iJ_{n,i}Jn,i​ and appeals to the law of large numbers. This fails for two reasons. First, the expectation is taken under Pn(β)P_n(\beta)Pn​(β), which depends on the deviation β\betaβ, and β\betaβ may depend on all players' states. The convergence therefore has to be uniform over a class of measures and requires uniform integrability of the densities. Second, τψ\tau_\psiτψ​ is neither metrizable nor separable. Continuity in μ\muμ does not reduce to sequences, and dominated convergence does not hold for nets, so the almost sure convergence of empirical measures does not by itself transfer to the rewards. The remaining step asks whether full information helps the deviating player against the limiting environment. It is not a direct consequence of the optimality of α^\hat\alphaα^ in the mean field problem, which is posed over a smaller filtration.

Formalization scope

  • Paths and time. States are Fin d → ℝ. C\mathcal CC is C(Set.Icc 0 T, Fin d → ℝ) with its Borel σ-field. Time is ℝ≥0; only [0,T][0,T][0,T] matters.
  • Measures and topologies. Pψ(C)\mathcal P_\psi(\mathcal C)Pψ​(C) is a structure carrying τψ\tau_\psiτψ​ as its only topology. P(A)\mathcal P(A)P(A) is Mathlib's ProbabilityMeasure A with the weak topology and its Borel σ-field. Progressive measurability uses the canonical filtration on C\mathcal CC.
  • Base space. It is abstract: any probability space with ξ\xiξ and an independent Brownian motion WWW. The canonical space is an instance. Filtrations are augmented by the measurable null sets.
  • Stochastic integrals. All stochastic integrals come from the published Peng1990.SMP.Stochastic L2L^2L2 Itô layer. "Strong solution" therefore includes square integrability, E∫0T∥σ(t,X)∥2dt<∞\mathbb E\int_0^T\|\sigma(t,X)\|^2dt<\inftyE∫0T​∥σ(t,X)∥2dt<∞ and sup⁡tE∣Xt−ξ∣2<∞\sup_t\mathbb E|X_t-\xi|^2<\inftysupt​E∣Xt​−ξ∣2<∞.
  • Assumptions (S). Nonsingularity of σ\sigmaσ is encoded as invertibility of det⁡σ\det\sigmadetσ. The "increasing" ρ\rhoρ of (S.4) is encoded as monotone.
  • Densities and values. A density is a relation over versions of the Itô integrals. Every statement asserts that a version exists and holds for every version, so no statement holds because the set of versions is empty. Jn,iJ_{n,i}Jn,i​ and Jn′J'_nJn′​ are computed as EP[D(⋯ )]\mathbb E^P[D(\cdots)]EP[D(⋯)] for a version DDD. Suprema over An\mathbb A_nAn​ are unfolded into ∀ε ∃N\forall\varepsilon\,\exists N∀ε∃N form, never written as real ⨆.
  • Players. Players are indexed from 000, so player 1 is index 000.
  • Hypotheses. (S), (C), (F), the fixed solution with its closed-loop control and the game space are bundled into one structure.

Two readings of the goal would make it trivial, and the statement excludes both. If ϵ\epsilonϵ were allowed to depend on iii or β\betaβ, the bound would carry no content. If the deviation were evaluated under the undeviated measure PPP instead of Pn(β)P_n(\beta)Pn​(β), the game would be a different one. (F.4) is genuine continuity, not the sequential continuity of (E).

A complete development needs:

  • the strong law of large numbers for i.i.d. path-valued variables tested against BψB_\psiBψ​ functions;
  • LpL^pLp bounds for Doléans exponentials of bounded integrands;
  • Girsanov's theorem for the L2L^2L2 Itô layer;
  • comparison for BSDEs (Pardoux–Peng).

The Girsanov and BSDE comparison results are reusable well beyond this mission and are welcome as separate contributions, as are proofs of Lemma 5.6 and of the LpL^pLp bound.

Selected references

  • R. Carmona, D. Lacker, A probabilistic weak formulation of mean field games and applications, arXiv:1307.1152v2, 2014; Ann. Appl. Probab. 25(3), 2015. https://arxiv.org/abs/1307.1152v2, https://doi.org/10.1214/14-AAP1020
  • J.-M. Lasry, P.-L. Lions, Mean field games, Jpn. J. Math. 2, 2007. https://doi.org/10.1007/s11537-007-0657-8
  • M. Huang, R. Malhamé, P. Caines, Large population stochastic dynamic games: closed-loop McKean–Vlasov systems and the Nash certainty equivalence principle, Commun. Inf. Syst. 6(3), 2006. https://doi.org/10.4310/CIS.2006.v6.n3.a5
  • R. Carmona, F. Delarue, Probabilistic analysis of mean-field games, SIAM J. Control Optim. 51(4), 2013. https://doi.org/10.1137/120883499
  • É. Pardoux, S. Peng, Adapted solution of a backward stochastic differential equation, Systems Control Lett. 14, 1990. https://doi.org/10.1016/0167-6911(90)90082-6
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Algorithmic Game TheoryProbabilityStochastic Systems·Captain: mikedeng1

From the Master Equation to Mean Field Game Limit Theory: Large Deviations and Concentration of Measure 2: Nash Equilibrium Empirical Measure Flows Satisfy a Weak LDP Under Common NoiseResearch Paper

Motivation

A mean field game describes the Nash equilibria of nnn symmetric players whose states interact only through their empirical distribution, in the limit n→∞n\to\inftyn→∞. The law of large numbers for the equilibria — convergence of the empirical measure of the nnn-player equilibrium to the mean field equilibrium — was proved in the diffusion setting by Cardaliaguet, Delarue, Lasry and Lions through the master equation (arXiv:1509.02505), and refined by Delarue, Lacker and Ramanan into fluctuation estimates and a central limit theorem in a companion paper (Electron. J. Probab. 2019). The next question is the size of rare deviations: the probability that the nnn-player equilibrium empirical measure flow stays near a flow different from the mean field limit decays exponentially in nnn, and the exponent is a rate function. Delarue, Lacker and Ramanan (arXiv:1804.08550) prove such a large deviation principle (LDP), including the case of a common noise affecting all players, for which no LDP was previously known even for McKean–Vlasov particle systems.

Timeline. Dawson and Gärtner (1987) proved the LDP for the empirical measure flows of weakly interacting diffusions without common noise, with time-independent coefficients and deterministic initial states, using the action functional adopted here. Budhiraja, Dupuis and Fischer (Ann. Probab. 2012) gave a weak-convergence proof for the empirical measure of paths. For mean field games, master-equation methods gave limit theorems, including LDPs, for finite state spaces without common noise (Cecchin–Fischer, arXiv:1704.00984; Cecchin–Pelino, arXiv:1707.01819; Bayraktar–Cohen, arXiv:1707.02648), and Lacker and Ramanan proved an LDP for static games (arXiv:1702.02113). The present paper (arXiv v1, 2018; Ann. Probab. 2020) treats diffusion-based games, with common noise.

Setting

On a filtered probability space (Ω,F,F,P)(\Omega,\mathcal F,\mathbb F,\mathbb P)(Ω,F,F,P) live a d0d_0d0​-dimensional Brownian motion WWW (the common noise), independent ddd-dimensional Brownian motions B1,B2,…B^1,B^2,\dotsB1,B2,…, and i.i.d. initial states X01,X02,…X^1_0,X^2_0,\dotsX01​,X02​,… with law μ0\mu_0μ0​. The whole initial-state family is independent of the joint noise family, as specified for (6.1). Player iii of nnn controls

dXti=b(Xti,mXtn,αti) dt+σ dBti+σ0 dWt,mxn=1n∑i=1nδxi,dX^i_t=b(X^i_t,m^n_{\boldsymbol X_t},\alpha^i_t)\,dt+\sigma\,dB^i_t+\sigma_0\,dW_t,\qquad m^n_{\boldsymbol x}=\frac1n\sum_{i=1}^n\delta_{x_i},dXti​=b(Xti​,mXt​n​,αti​)dt+σdBti​+σ0​dWt​,mxn​=n1​i=1∑n​δxi​​,

with running cost fff and terminal cost ggg. With the Hamiltonian H(x,m,y)=inf⁡a[b(x,m,a)⋅y+f(x,m,a)]H(x,m,y)=\inf_a[b(x,m,a)\cdot y+f(x,m,a)]H(x,m,y)=infa​[b(x,m,a)⋅y+f(x,m,a)], its minimizer α^\hat\alphaα^ and b^(x,m,y)=b(x,m,α^(x,m,y))\hat b(x,m,y)=b(x,m,\hat\alpha(x,m,y))b^(x,m,y)=b(x,m,α^(x,m,y)), a classical solution (vn,i)i(v^{n,i})_i(vn,i)i​ of the Nash system (2.6) gives the equilibrium states

dXti=b^(Xti,mXtn,Dxivn,i(t,Xt))dt+σ dBti+σ0 dWt.(2.7)dX^i_t=\hat b\big(X^i_t,m^n_{\boldsymbol X_t},D_{x_i}v^{n,i}(t,\boldsymbol X_t)\big)dt+\sigma\,dB^i_t+\sigma_0\,dW_t. \qquad (2.7)dXti​=b^(Xti​,mXt​n​,Dxi​​vn,i(t,Xt​))dt+σdBti​+σ0​dWt​.(2.7)

The master equation (2.8) is a PDE for U(t,x,m)U(t,x,m)U(t,x,m) on [0,T]×Rd×P2(Rd)[0,T]\times\mathbb R^d\times\mathcal P^2(\mathbb R^d)[0,T]×Rd×P2(Rd) involving derivatives in the measure argument. Assumption A asks for Lipschitz b^\hat bb^ (with exponent p∗∈[1,2]p^*\in[1,2]p∗∈[1,2] for the Wasserstein metric), non-degenerate σ\sigmaσ, p′>4p'>4p′>4 moments of μ0\mu_0μ0​, classical solutions of the Nash systems, and a classical solution UUU of the master equation with bounded derivatives; B or B′ controls f^\hat ff^​.

The state space is C([0,T];P1(Rd))C([0,T];\mathcal P^1(\mathbb R^d))C([0,T];P1(Rd)): flows ν=(νt)\nu=(\nu_t)ν=(νt​) of probability measures with finite first moment, continuous for the 1-Wasserstein distance W1\mathcal W_1W1​, with the uniform metric sup⁡tW1(νt,νt′)\sup_t\mathcal W_1(\nu_t,\nu'_t)supt​W1​(νt​,νt′​). The rate function uses the drift b~(t,x,m)=b^(x,m,DxU(t,x,m))\tilde b(t,x,m)=\hat b(x,m,D_xU(t,x,m))b~(t,x,m)=b^(x,m,Dx​U(t,x,m)) and the Dawson–Gärtner action functional

I(ν)=12∫0T∥ν˙t−Lt,νt∗νt∥νt2 dt,Lt,mφ=12Tr[σσ⊤D2φ]+Dφ⋅b~(t,⋅,m),I(\nu)=\frac12\int_0^T\big\|\dot\nu_t-\mathcal L^*_{t,\nu_t}\nu_t\big\|^2_{\nu_t}\,dt,\qquad \mathcal L_{t,m}\varphi=\tfrac12\mathrm{Tr}[\sigma\sigma^\top D^2\varphi]+D\varphi\cdot\tilde b(t,\cdot,m),I(ν)=21​∫0T​​ν˙t​−Lt,νt​∗​νt​​νt​2​dt,Lt,m​φ=21​Tr[σσ⊤D2φ]+Dφ⋅b~(t,⋅,m),

with ∥γ∥m2=sup⁡φ⟨γ,φ⟩2/⟨m,∣Dφ∣2⟩\|\gamma\|^2_m=\sup_\varphi\langle\gamma,\varphi\rangle^2/\langle m,|D\varphi|^2\rangle∥γ∥m2​=supφ​⟨γ,φ⟩2/⟨m,∣Dφ∣2⟩ over test functions, and I=∞I=\inftyI=∞ off absolutely continuous paths. With common noise, the drift is shifted along the mean path: I~ϕ\tilde I^\phiI~ϕ is III for the drift b~(t,x+ϕt,m∘τ−ϕt−1)\tilde b(t,x+\phi_t,m\circ\tau^{-1}_{-\phi_t})b~(t,x+ϕt​,m∘τ−ϕt​−1​), τx(z)=z−x\tau_x(z)=z-xτx​(z)=z−x, and

Jσ0(ν)=I~Mb~,ν((νt∘τMtb~,ν−1)t),Mtb~,ν=σΠσ−1σ0σ−1(∫x d(νt−ν0)−∫0t⟨νs,b~(s,⋅,νs)⟩ds),J^{\sigma_0}(\nu)=\tilde I^{\mathbb M^{\tilde b,\nu}}\big((\nu_t\circ\tau^{-1}_{\mathbb M^{\tilde b,\nu}_t})_t\big),\quad \mathbb M^{\tilde b,\nu}_t=\sigma\Pi_{\sigma^{-1}\sigma_0}\sigma^{-1}\Big(\int x\,d(\nu_t-\nu_0)-\int_0^t\langle\nu_s,\tilde b(s,\cdot,\nu_s)\rangle ds\Big),Jσ0​(ν)=I~Mb~,ν((νt​∘τMtb~,ν​−1​)t​),Mtb~,ν​=σΠσ−1σ0​​σ−1(∫xd(νt​−ν0​)−∫0t​⟨νs​,b~(s,⋅,νs​)⟩ds),

where Πσ−1σ0\Pi_{\sigma^{-1}\sigma_0}Πσ−1σ0​​ is the orthogonal projection onto the image of σ−1σ0\sigma^{-1}\sigma_0σ−1σ0​. R\mathcal RR is relative entropy.

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem 3.10 (weak LDP, common noise allowed)

If p∗=1p^*=1p∗=1, A and B or B′ hold, and ∫eλ∣x∣μ0(dx)<∞\int e^{\lambda|x|}\mu_0(dx)<\infty∫eλ∣x∣μ0​(dx)<∞ for every λ>0\lambda>0λ>0, then for open OOO, compact KKK and closed FFF,

lim inf⁡n1nlog⁡P(mXn∈O)≥−inf⁡O(Jσ0+R(⋅0∣μ0)),lim sup⁡n1nlog⁡P(mXn∈K)≤−inf⁡K(Jσ0+R(⋅0∣μ0)),\liminf_n\tfrac1n\log\mathbb P(m^n_{\boldsymbol X}\in O)\ge-\inf_O\big(J^{\sigma_0}+\mathcal R(\cdot_0|\mu_0)\big),\qquad \limsup_n\tfrac1n\log\mathbb P(m^n_{\boldsymbol X}\in K)\le-\inf_K\big(J^{\sigma_0}+\mathcal R(\cdot_0|\mu_0)\big),nliminf​n1​logP(mXn​∈O)≥−Oinf​(Jσ0​+R(⋅0​∣μ0​)),nlimsup​n1​logP(mXn​∈K)≤−Kinf​(Jσ0​+R(⋅0​∣μ0​)), lim sup⁡n1nlog⁡P(mXn∈F)≤−lim⁡δ↘0inf⁡Fδ(Jσ0+R(⋅0∣μ0)).\limsup_n\tfrac1n\log\mathbb P(m^n_{\boldsymbol X}\in F)\le-\lim_{\delta\searrow0}\inf_{F_\delta}\big(J^{\sigma_0}+\mathcal R(\cdot_0|\mu_0)\big).nlimsup​n1​logP(mXn​∈F)≤−δ↘0lim​Fδ​inf​(Jσ0​+R(⋅0​∣μ0​)).

Milestones

Exponential equivalence of the Nash flows and the McKean–Vlasov particle flows (Corollary 6.1); a weak LDP for the noises and initial states (Proposition 6.15); uniform continuity of the McKean–Vlasov solution map (Lemma 6.16); the shifted action (Lemma 6.4); identification of the contracted entropy (Lemma 6.17); the weak LDP for general weakly interacting systems with common noise (Theorem 6.8) and its transfer to the Nash flows (Theorem 6.13); compactness after centering (Proposition 6.11); removal of the δ\deltaδ-relaxation on compacts, and the full LDP without common noise (Proposition 6.10); explicit forms of Jσ0J^{\sigma_0}Jσ0​ (Proposition 6.5, Theorem 6.6). A companion item states Theorem 3.9: without common noise, a full LDP with the good rate function I(ν)+R(ν0∣μ0)I(\nu)+\mathcal R(\nu_0|\mu_0)I(ν)+R(ν0​∣μ0​).

Significance

The result quantifies how unlikely atypical equilibrium behaviour is in large games: rare macroscopic deviations of the equilibrium empirical measure flow cost exp⁡(−n rate)\exp(-n\,\mathrm{rate})exp(−nrate), and the rate function makes explicit that the common noise moves the mean of the population for free in the directions of the image of σ0\sigma_0σ0​. When σ0≠0\sigma_0\ne0σ0​=0 the rate function has non-compact level sets, which is why the principle is weak and why the closed-set bound carries the δ\deltaδ-relaxation.

The proof transfers the LDP from the McKean–Vlasov particle system to the Nash system through the master equation, a method that applies beyond this model. Nothing in this paper is formalized: there is no large deviation principle, no Wasserstein space of measure flows, no derivative on Wasserstein space and no mean field game on the platform. A formal development produces reusable definitions (weak and full LDPs, the Dawson–Gärtner action functional, C([0,T];P1)C([0,T];\mathcal P^1)C([0,T];P1)) and checked proofs of the contraction and exponential-equivalence steps. The exponential estimate behind Corollary 6.1 (Theorem 4.3) is the companion mission's milestone and rests on estimates quoted from the companion central-limit-theorem paper.

Difficulty

The obvious route — exponential equivalence plus the Dawson–Gärtner LDP for the particle system — fails twice. The particle drift b~\tilde bb~ is time-dependent and the initial states are random, which the classical results do not cover; and with common noise there is no LDP to transfer. The proof instead freezes the noise: it proves a weak LDP for the pair (empirical measure of initial states and idiosyncratic paths, common noise path), which needs Sanov's theorem in the W1\mathcal W_1W1​ topology and the Brownian support theorem, and contracts it through the McKean–Vlasov solution map. The contraction principle requires the rate function to be good, and it is not when σ0≠0\sigma_0\ne0σ0​=0; uniform continuity of the solution map and the δ\deltaδ-enlargements replace goodness.

Formalization scope

Time is [0,T]⊂R≥0[0,T]\subset\mathbb R_{\ge0}[0,T]⊂R≥0​ with T>0T>0T>0; paths are continuous maps on [0,T][0,T][0,T], and solutions of the SDEs are path-valued, adapted, and satisfy the integral equations almost surely. Players are indexed from 000. Probability measures with finite ppp-th moment are guarded by an explicit predicate, and Wp\mathcal W_pWp​ is the published WassersteinDRO.Duality.wassersteinDistance, kept in [0,∞][0,\infty][0,∞]. Derivatives in xxx, vvv, ttt are genuine derivatives; derivatives in the measure are normalized flat-derivative witnesses. Relative entropy is Mathlib's klDiv. Logarithms of probabilities are in [−∞,∞][-\infty,\infty][−∞,∞]; open, closed and compact sets are those of the uniform W1\mathcal W_1W1​ metric, and lim⁡δ↘0\lim_{\delta\searrow0}limδ↘0​ is a supremum over δ>0\delta>0δ>0. The action functional is an infimum over all distributional time derivatives, with test functions and distributions from Mathlib. The common-noise paths are d0d_0d0​-dimensional.

Standing assumptions are carried explicitly: the filtered space and noises of §2.3, joint independence of initial states and noises from §6.1, Assumption A (with the Borel measurability of b,f,gb,f,gb,f,g), B or B′, p∗=1p^*=1p∗=1 where the paper assumes it, and, for §6, Condition 6.3 and non-degenerate σ\sigmaσ. Two disclosed additions: Theorems 3.9, 3.10 and 6.13 assume b~\tilde bb~ bounded (Condition 6.3(2) requires it; Assumption A does not imply it), and Theorem 6.13 assumes p∗=1p^*=1p∗=1. The solutions of the Nash systems, the master equation and the SDEs are hypotheses; existence is not posed.

A rate function identically 000 or ∞\infty∞, or bounds over a restricted family of sets, would trivialize the statements: the seminorm is a supremum over all test functions, I=∞I=\inftyI=∞ exactly off absolutely continuous flows, and the bounds quantify over every open, compact or closed set. A complete development needs Sanov's theorem in W1\mathcal W_1W1​, the Brownian support theorem, the contraction principle, Dawson–Gärtner's analysis of distribution-valued paths, and stochastic calculus for the particle systems; each of these is reusable, and contributions to any of them are welcome.

Selected references

  • F. Delarue, D. Lacker, K. Ramanan, From the master equation to mean field game limit theory: large deviations and concentration of measure, Ann. Probab. 48(1), 2020; arXiv v1, 2018. https://arxiv.org/abs/1804.08550
  • F. Delarue, D. Lacker, K. Ramanan, From the master equation to mean field game limit theory: a central limit theorem, Electron. J. Probab. 24, 2019 (reference [19] of the paper).
  • P. Cardaliaguet, F. Delarue, J.-M. Lasry, P.-L. Lions, The master equation and the convergence problem in mean field games, Ann. Math. Studies 201, 2019. https://arxiv.org/abs/1509.02505
  • D. Dawson, J. Gärtner, Large deviations from the McKean–Vlasov limit for weakly interacting diffusions, Stochastics 20(4), 1987, 247–308.
  • A. Budhiraja, P. Dupuis, M. Fischer, Large deviation properties of weakly interacting processes via weak convergence methods, Ann. Probab. 40(1), 2012, 74–102.
  • R. Wang, X. Wang, L. Wu, Sanov's theorem in the Wasserstein distance: a necessary and sufficient condition, Statist. Probab. Lett. 80(5), 2010, 505–512.
  • A. Cecchin, G. Pelino, Convergence, fluctuations and large deviations for finite state mean field games via the master equation, 2017. https://arxiv.org/abs/1707.01819
  • D. Lacker, K. Ramanan, Rare Nash equilibria and the price of anarchy in large static games, 2017. https://arxiv.org/abs/1702.02113
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Algorithmic Game TheoryOperations ResearchOptimization·Captain: mikedeng1

Quality in Supply Chain Encroachment III: With a Fixed Cost of Quality, the Encroaching Manufacturer Does Not Differentiate Quality Across ChannelsResearch Paper

Why channel quality matters

A manufacturer that sells through a retailer can also open a direct sales channel. The direct channel lets the manufacturer reach consumers, but it competes with the retailer, whose orders generate wholesale revenue. The manufacturer can further choose whether the two channels carry products of the same quality. These decisions interact because quality changes both consumer demand and the retailer's response. Ha, Long and Nasiry study this interaction in a sequential supply-chain game. Their fixed-quality-cost extension asks what happens when a high-quality design can be converted into a lower-quality variant without paying a separate production cost for each unit (Ha, Long and Nasiry, §6.2).

The main result is specific to this cost regime. With a cost per unit that rises with quality, different products can be attractive across the channels; with the paper's one-time cost of creating quality, Proposition 6(i) asserts equal qualities when the direct channel makes positive sales. This mission targets that fixed-cost proposition in the authors' manuscript, including its game and the reduced-profit claims used in the e-Companion (Ha, Long and Nasiry, pp. 20, 36–37).

The sequential market

The market has mass one of consumers, indexed by a taste for quality θ\thetaθ uniformly distributed on [0,1][0,1][0,1]. A consumer buying a product of quality v>0v>0v>0 at price ppp receives surplus θv−p\theta v-pθv−p. The manufacturer offers quality u>0u>0u>0 through her own direct channel and quality tu>0tu>0tu>0 through the retailer. The ratio ttt therefore records which channel has higher quality. The manufacturer pays a fixed cost of quality max⁡{ku2,k(tu)2}\max\{ku^2,k(tu)^2\}max{ku2,k(tu)2}, with k>0k>0k>0, and a direct selling cost c≥0c\ge0c≥0 per unit. The retailer has zero selling cost. Unlike a unit production cost, this fixed cost is paid once and does not scale with either channel's quantity (Ha, Long and Nasiry, pp. 7–8, 20).

The manufacturer first chooses wholesale price www and qualities u,tuu,tuu,tu. After observing them, the retailer chooses its order qR≥0q_R\ge0qR​≥0. The manufacturer observes that order and chooses her direct quantity qM≥0q_M\ge0qM​≥0. When 0<t≤10<t\le10<t≤1, market-clearing prices are

pM=u(1−qM−tqR),pR=tu(1−qM−qR).p_M=u(1-q_M-tq_R),\qquad p_R=tu(1-q_M-q_R).pM​=u(1−qM​−tqR​),pR​=tu(1−qM​−qR​).

When t≥1t\ge1t≥1, the retailer's product has higher quality, and the corresponding prices are

pM=u(1−qM−qR),pR=tu(1−qR)−uqM.p_M=u(1-q_M-q_R),\qquad p_R=tu(1-q_R)-uq_M.pM​=u(1−qM​−qR​),pR​=tu(1−qR​)−uqM​.

The manufacturer receives wholesale revenue plus direct-channel revenue, less the direct selling cost and fixed quality cost. The retailer receives its retail margin times qRq_RqR​. Encroachment means qM>0q_M>0qM​>0 on the equilibrium path, rather than the mere existence of a direct channel (Ha, Long and Nasiry, pp. 8, 11, 15, 36).

Formalization targets

Equal quality under encroachment

For a subgame-perfect equilibrium σ\sigmaσ of the fixed-cost game, the goal is Proposition 6(i):

qM(σ)>0⟹t(σ)=1.q_M(\sigma)>0\quad\Longrightarrow\quad t(\sigma)=1.qM​(σ)>0⟹t(σ)=1.

The formal statement assumes c>0c>0c>0. At c=0c=0c=0, the high-direct-quality reduced profit is independent of ttt, so the printed claim fails to force t=1t=1t=1; this is a substantive qualification of the manuscript's standing c≥0c\ge0c≥0 convention. The goal concerns the complete game, with contingent actions at every decision node, rather than only the closed-form optimization problem (Ha, Long and Nasiry, pp. 20, 36).

Subgame and optimization claims

The milestone list follows the authors' two quality regimes. The e-Companion gives best responses, wholesale prices, and reduced profits in each regime. In the high-direct-quality regime, Claim 3 concludes that an optimum with positive direct sales has t=1t=1t=1. In the low-direct-quality regime, Lemma 2 concludes that an optimum either has t=1t=1t=1 or lies at no encroachment. The latter alternative is outside the strict encroachment-feasible set used by the Lean milestone. Footnote 2 supplies a one-variable sign inequality used in the analysis of that regime (Ha, Long and Nasiry, pp. 36–37).

What the result gives

Proposition 6(i) determines the manufacturer's quality choice conditional on active direct sales: both channels carry quality uuu. It narrows the set of equilibrium outcomes that the fixed-cost model can support and distinguishes the role of a one-time design cost from the paper's earlier variable-cost model. The paper states a separate profit comparison in Proposition 6(ii); this mission does not formalize it because the e-Companion omits its proof and the fixed-cost no-encroachment benchmark for that comparison is not stated (Ha, Long and Nasiry, pp. 20, 37).

A complete Lean development would connect the reduced-profit calculations on page 36 to subgame-perfect play in the three-stage game, and establish the optimization claims over their stated feasible sets. The definitions of two-quality inverse demand, contingent strategies, and nodewise optimality are reusable for related channel games. The goal and milestones here are draft statements, without machine-checked proofs of their economic conclusions.

Central difficulty

The manufacturer chooses quality and wholesale price before the retailer's order, yet the direct quantity is chosen only after that order. Consequently, the retailer's payoff depends on the manufacturer's continuation response, and the first-stage choice must account for both later decisions. The reduced profit also changes at t=1t=1t=1, where the higher-quality channel switches. A calculation for one regime alone does not establish the full-game claim. The strict qM>0q_M>0qM​>0 region matters: its boundary represents no encroachment and supports a different alternative in Lemma 2 (Ha, Long and Nasiry, p. 36).

Formalization scope

Lean uses real wholesale prices and qualities, positive uuu and ttt, and nonnegative quantities. Wholesale price has no sign restriction in the manuscript. The market has unit size and the retailer's selling cost is zero. The two inverse-demand expressions are applied to all nonnegative quantities, following the paper's algebraic game model. A profile contains a stage-one action, a retailer order rule for every observed (w,u,t)(w,u,t)(w,u,t), and a direct-quantity rule for every observed (w,u,t,qR)(w,u,t,q_R)(w,u,t,qR​). Subgame perfection requires feasible best replies at every such history, including histories off the equilibrium path. Fixed cost is max⁡{ku2,k(tu)2}\max\{ku^2,k(tu)^2\}max{ku2,k(tu)2}, paid once, while cqMcq_McqM​ is a per-unit selling cost.

The reduced profits ΠHi\Pi_{\mathrm{Hi}}ΠHi​ and ΠLo\Pi_{\mathrm{Lo}}ΠLo​ are used only on their respective open encroachment-feasible domains, where the displayed denominators are positive. Claim 3 is stated for a joint maximizer in (t,u)(t,u)(t,u); keeping uuu fixed while moving to t=1t=1t=1 can leave that feasible set. Lemma 2 excludes the no-encroachment boundary in its Lean statement. Neither reduced profit replaces the full-game payoff in the goal. Contributions that connect the subgame formulas to arbitrary equilibrium profiles, prove the sign inequality, or establish the two optimization results are within scope (Ha, Long and Nasiry, pp. 36–37).

Selected references

  • A. Ha, X. Long and J. Nasiry, Quality in Supply Chain Encroachment, authors' manuscript, SSRN 3970373, published in Manufacturing & Service Operations Management 18(2), 2016. Manuscript. Journal DOI.
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Numerical AnalysisOptimization·Captain: mikedeng1

Error Bounds, Quadratic Growth, and Linear Convergence of Proximal Methods IV: For Prox-Regular Compositions h∘c, Subregularity of the Subdifferential and of the Prox-Gradient Map CoincideResearch Paper

Motivation

Linear convergence of first-order methods is usually proved through an error bound: near a solution, the distance to the solution set is controlled by the size of a computable residual, such as the length of a proximal-gradient step. For the prox-linear method, which minimizes a composition h(c(x))h(c(x))h(c(x)) of a nonsmooth outer function hhh with a smooth map ccc by repeatedly solving the subproblem obtained from linearizing ccc, Drusvyatskiy and Lewis showed in §5 of their paper (arXiv:1602.06661, Theorem 5.10) that the error bound is equivalent to subregularity of the subdifferential ∂φ\partial\varphi∂φ, a property of the objective alone and closely tied to quadratic growth. That result needs hhh convex and finite-valued.

Many composite models violate both assumptions: constraints enter as indicator functions (h=+∞h=+\inftyh=+∞ off a set), and outer functions such as truncated or concave-composite penalties are nonconvex. §8 of the paper extends the equivalence to closed, extended-real-valued, prox-regular hhh. This mission formalizes that extension (Theorem 8.11) together with the results of §8 its proof rests on.

Setting

Fix a C1C^1C1-smooth map c:Rn→Rmc:\mathbb R^n\to\mathbb R^mc:Rn→Rm and a closed (lower semicontinuous) function h:Rm→R‾=R∪{±∞}h:\mathbb R^m\to\overline{\mathbb R}=\mathbb R\cup\{\pm\infty\}h:Rm→R=R∪{±∞}, and consider

min⁡x φ(x)=h(c(x)).(8.2)\min_x\ \varphi(x)=h(c(x)).\qquad(8.2)xmin​ φ(x)=h(c(x)).(8.2)

The linearized function is φ(x;y)=h(c(x)+∇c(x)(y−x))\varphi(x;y)=h\big(c(x)+\nabla c(x)(y-x)\big)φ(x;y)=h(c(x)+∇c(x)(y−x)) and, for t>0t>0t>0, φt(x;y)=φ(x;y)+12t∥x−y∥2\varphi_t(x;y)=\varphi(x;y)+\frac1{2t}\|x-y\|^2φt​(x;y)=φ(x;y)+2t1​∥x−y∥2.

Subgradients are built in three layers (Definition 8.1). A vector vvv is a proximal subgradient of fff at xˉ\bar xxˉ (f(xˉ)f(\bar x)f(xˉ) finite) if f(x)≥f(xˉ)+⟨v,x−xˉ⟩−r2∥x−xˉ∥2f(x)\ge f(\bar x)+\langle v,x-\bar x\rangle-\frac r2\|x-\bar x\|^2f(x)≥f(xˉ)+⟨v,x−xˉ⟩−2r​∥x−xˉ∥2 for some r>0r>0r>0 and all xxx near xˉ\bar xxˉ. The limiting subdifferential ∂f(xˉ)\partial f(\bar x)∂f(xˉ) collects limits of proximal subgradients vi∈∂pf(xi)v_i\in\partial_pf(x_i)vi​∈∂p​f(xi​) with (xi,f(xi),vi)→(xˉ,f(xˉ),v)(x_i,f(x_i),v_i)\to(\bar x,f(\bar x),v)(xi​,f(xi​),vi​)→(xˉ,f(xˉ),v); xˉ\bar xxˉ is stationary if 0∈∂f(xˉ)0\in\partial f(\bar x)0∈∂f(xˉ). The horizon subdifferential ∂∞f(xˉ)\partial^\infty f(\bar x)∂∞f(xˉ) collects limits of tivit_iv_iti​vi​ with vi∈∂f(xi)v_i\in\partial f(x_i)vi​∈∂f(xi​), ti↘0t_i\searrow0ti​↘0, (xi,f(xi))→(xˉ,f(xˉ))(x_i,f(x_i))\to(\bar x,f(\bar x))(xi​,f(xi​))→(xˉ,f(xˉ)).

The map ccc is transverse to hhh at xˉ\bar xxˉ, written c⋔xˉhc\pitchfork_{\bar x}hc⋔xˉ​h, if ∂∞h(c(xˉ))∩Null⁡(∇c(xˉ)∗)={0}\partial^\infty h(c(\bar x))\cap\operatorname{Null}(\nabla c(\bar x)^*)=\{0\}∂∞h(c(xˉ))∩Null(∇c(xˉ)∗)={0} (8.3). The stationary point map St(x)\mathcal S_t(x)St​(x) is the set of stationary points of φt(x;⋅)\varphi_t(x;\cdot)φt​(x;⋅), and the prox-gradient mapping is Gt(x)=t−1(x−St(x))\mathcal G_t(x)=t^{-1}(x-\mathcal S_t(x))Gt​(x)=t−1(x−St​(x)); both are set-valued.

A set-valued map FFF is subregular at (xˉ,yˉ)∈gph⁡F(\bar x,\bar y)\in\operatorname{gph}F(xˉ,yˉ​)∈gphF with constant l>0l>0l>0 if dist⁡(x;F−1(yˉ))≤ldist⁡(yˉ;F(x))\operatorname{dist}(x;F^{-1}(\bar y))\le l\operatorname{dist}(\bar y;F(x))dist(x;F−1(yˉ​))≤ldist(yˉ​;F(x)) for xxx near xˉ\bar xxˉ (Definition 5.7), and metrically regular around (xˉ,yˉ)(\bar x,\bar y)(xˉ,yˉ​) if the same holds with yˉ\bar yyˉ​ replaced by every yyy near yˉ\bar yyˉ​ (Definition 8.3). A closed fff is prox-regular at xˉ\bar xxˉ for vˉ∈∂f(xˉ)\bar v\in\partial f(\bar x)vˉ∈∂f(xˉ) if the quadratic minorant f(y)≥f(x)+⟨v,y−x⟩−r2∥y−x∥2f(y)\ge f(x)+\langle v,y-x\rangle-\frac r2\|y-x\|^2f(y)≥f(x)+⟨v,y−x⟩−2r​∥y−x∥2 holds uniformly for x,yx,yx,y near xˉ\bar xxˉ with f(x)f(x)f(x) near f(xˉ)f(\bar x)f(xˉ) and v∈∂f(x)v\in\partial f(x)v∈∂f(x) near vˉ\bar vvˉ (Definition 8.7). Finally, a φ\varphiφ-attentive localization of ∂φ\partial\varphi∂φ around (xˉ,0)(\bar x,0)(xˉ,0) is a map WWW agreeing with ∂φ(x)\partial\varphi(x)∂φ(x) near 000 whenever xxx is near xˉ\bar xxˉ and φ(x)\varphi(x)φ(x) is near φ(xˉ)\varphi(\bar x)φ(xˉ); a φ(⋅,⋅)\varphi(\cdot,\cdot)φ(⋅,⋅)-attentive localization of St\mathcal S_tSt​ agrees with St(x)\mathcal S_t(x)St​(x) at points yyy near xˉ\bar xxˉ with φ(x;y)\varphi(x;y)φ(x;y) near φ(xˉ)\varphi(\bar x)φ(xˉ), and one of Gt\mathcal G_tGt​ has the form t−1(I−W^)t^{-1}(I-\widehat W)t−1(I−W) with W^\widehat WW such a localization of St\mathcal S_tSt​ (Definition 8.10).

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem 8.11 (p. 31)

Assume c⋔xˉhc\pitchfork_{\bar x}hc⋔xˉ​h, 0∈∂φ(xˉ)0\in\partial\varphi(\bar x)0∈∂φ(xˉ), ∇c\nabla c∇c Lipschitz around xˉ\bar xxˉ, and hhh prox-regular at c(xˉ)c(\bar x)c(xˉ) for every w∈∂h(c(xˉ))w\in\partial h(c(\bar x))w∈∂h(c(xˉ)) with ∇c(xˉ)∗w=0\nabla c(\bar x)^*w=0∇c(xˉ)∗w=0. Let (i) be "some φ\varphiφ-attentive localization of ∂φ\partial\varphi∂φ is subregular at (xˉ,0)(\bar x,0)(xˉ,0)" and (ii) "some φ(⋅,⋅)\varphi(\cdot,\cdot)φ(⋅,⋅)-attentive localization of Gt\mathcal G_tGt​ is subregular at (xˉ,0)(\bar x,0)(xˉ,0)". Then

(i)⇒(ii) for all t>0,∃ tˉ>0: (ii)⇒(i) for all t∈(0,tˉ),\text{(i)}\Rightarrow\text{(ii) for all }t>0,\qquad \exists\,\bar t>0:\ \text{(ii)}\Rightarrow\text{(i) for all }t\in(0,\bar t),(i)⇒(ii) for all t>0,∃tˉ>0: (ii)⇒(i) for all t∈(0,tˉ),

and, when hhh is convex, ∂φ\partial\varphi∂φ is subregular at (xˉ,0)(\bar x,0)(xˉ,0) if and only if Gt\mathcal G_tGt​ is, for every t>0t>0t>0. The constants of subregularity are left existential: the goal asserts the shape of the equivalence, not a particular constant.

Milestones

  1. Theorem 8.4 (p. 26): metric regularity of a closed set-valued map is preserved, with uniform constants, under affine perturbations HHH with small ∥∇H∥\|\nabla H\|∥∇H∥.
  2. Corollary 8.5 (p. 26): a constraint system F(x)∈QF(x)\in QF(x)∈Q transverse at xˉ\bar xxˉ is uniformly metrically regular under small affine perturbations.
  3. Theorem 8.6 (p. 27): the comparison inequalities between φ(y)\varphi(y)φ(y) and φ(x;⋅)\varphi(x;\cdot)φ(x;⋅) after moving yyy by O(∥y−x∥2)O(\|y-x\|^2)O(∥y−x∥2).
  4. Proposition 8.8 (p. 28): the linearized maps inherit transversality, and φ(x;⋅)\varphi(x;\cdot)φ(x;⋅) is prox-regular at xˉ\bar xxˉ uniformly in xxx (8.4).
  5. Theorem 8.9 (p. 29): every stationary point xtx^txt of the subproblem lies near a point x^\hat xx^ that is nearly stationary for φ\varphiφ, with dist⁡(0;∂φ(x^))≤(a+b/t)∥xt−x∥\operatorname{dist}(0;\partial\varphi(\hat x))\le(a+b/t)\|x^t-x\|dist(0;∂φ(x^))≤(a+b/t)∥xt−x∥.

Significance

Subregularity of Gt\mathcal G_tGt​ at (xˉ,0)(\bar x,0)(xˉ,0) is exactly the error bound property of the prox-linear step, the hypothesis under which linear convergence arguments run. Theorem 8.11 says that, for the attentive parts of the graphs, this property is equivalent to subregularity of ∂φ\partial\varphi∂φ, which does not refer to any algorithm or step size. It therefore covers constrained composite problems (indicator functions hhh), nonconvex prox-regular penalties, and, in the convex case, removes the finite-valuedness assumption of Theorem 5.10.

The results are proved in the paper, partly by citation to Dontchev, Lewis and Rockafellar and to Lewis and Wright's analysis of prox-linear subproblems (arXiv:0812.0423). None of them is formalized: Mathlib has no proximal, limiting or horizon subdifferential, no metric regularity, and no prox-regularity. A formalization supplies these notions, checks the constant-chasing in Theorems 8.9 and 8.11, and fixes the precise quantifier order the prose leaves implicit.

Difficulty

The obvious route, copying the §5 argument, fails at its first step: §5 starts from the inequalities ∣φ(y)−φ(x;y)∣≤Lβ2∥x−y∥2|\varphi(y)-\varphi(x;y)|\le\frac{L\beta}2\|x-y\|^2∣φ(y)−φ(x;y)∣≤2Lβ​∥x−y∥2, and when hhh takes the value +∞+\infty+∞ one of φ(y)\varphi(y)φ(y), φ(x;y)\varphi(x;y)φ(x;y) can be finite while the other is infinite, so no such inequality holds. Theorem 8.6 replaces it by a comparison after perturbing yyy, which needs the stability of metric regularity (Theorem 8.4) and the epigraphical description of subgradients. A second obstacle is that St\mathcal S_tSt​ collects stationary points of nonconvex subproblems, so it is set-valued and possibly empty; the proofs need prox-regularity that is uniform over the family φ(x;⋅)\varphi(x;\cdot)φ(x;⋅) (Proposition 8.8) and a local existence result for St\mathcal S_tSt​ to obtain the threshold tˉ\bar ttˉ. The limiting-subdifferential calculus (the chain rule ∂φ(xˉ)⊆∇c(xˉ)∗∂h(c(xˉ))\partial\varphi(\bar x)\subseteq\nabla c(\bar x)^*\partial h(c(\bar x))∂φ(xˉ)⊆∇c(xˉ)∗∂h(c(xˉ)) under transversality) is itself a substantial piece of variational analysis.

Formalization scope

Points are in EuclideanSpace ℝ (Fin n); hhh, φ\varphiφ, φ(x;⋅)\varphi(x;\cdot)φ(x;⋅) and φt(x;⋅)\varphi_t(x;\cdot)φt​(x;⋅) are EReal-valued. Standing assumptions on every statement: ccc is C1C^1C1 (ContDiff ℝ 1 c), hhh is lower semicontinuous and never −∞-\infty−∞ (the page's closed functions are only ever evaluated where finite or +∞+\infty+∞; this is a disclosed addition). ∇c(x)\nabla c(x)∇c(x) is fderiv ℝ c x and ∇c(x)∗\nabla c(x)^*∇c(x)∗ its adjoint. "∣a−φ(xˉ)∣<ϵ|a-\varphi(\bar x)|<\epsilon∣a−φ(xˉ)∣<ϵ" requires aaa finite. dist⁡(yˉ;∅)=+∞\operatorname{dist}(\bar y;\varnothing)=+\inftydist(yˉ​;∅)=+∞, so (sub)regularity inequalities are stated for every element of F(x)F(x)F(x), and metric regularity carries nonemptiness of F−1(y)F^{-1}(y)F−1(y); dist⁡(0;∂φ(x^))≤r\operatorname{dist}(0;\partial\varphi(\hat x))\le rdist(0;∂φ(x^))≤r is the existence of a subgradient of norm at most rrr. St\mathcal S_tSt​ and Gt\mathcal G_tGt​ are sets defined by stationarity, never a chosen minimizer. Two printed slips are corrected and disclosed: in Definition 8.10 (2) the neighbourhood Y\mathcal YY is a neighbourhood of xˉ\bar xxˉ, and in Theorem 8.11 the threshold satisfies tˉ>0\bar t>0tˉ>0 (with tˉ=0\bar t=0tˉ=0 the converse would be vacuous). "When hhh is convex" is the convexity inequality in R‾\overline{\mathbb R}R, with the theorem's other hypotheses kept.

A trivializing formalization is ruled out: subregularity always includes 0∈F(xˉ)0\in F(\bar x)0∈F(xˉ), a constant l>0l>0l>0 and a neighbourhood, so the content of (i) and (ii) cannot collapse into the trivial existence of a localization (any map is a localization of itself); and distances to empty sets are never junk zeros.

A complete development needs the three subdifferentials and their basic calculus (sum rule with a smooth function, chain rule under transversality, closedness of the limiting subdifferential), metric regularity and its perturbation stability, Ekeland's variational principle (on the platform as EkelandVP.General.ekeland_variational_principle), and a local existence result for stationary points of the subproblems. The subdifferential and regularity layer is reusable well beyond this mission. Proofs of any milestone, and of supporting lemmas on the variational-analysis substrate, are welcome.

Selected references

  • D. Drusvyatskiy and A. S. Lewis, Error bounds, quadratic growth, and linear convergence of proximal methods, Math. Oper. Res. 43(3), 2018; arXiv:1602.06661v2. https://arxiv.org/abs/1602.06661
  • A. L. Dontchev, A. S. Lewis and R. T. Rockafellar, The radius of metric regularity, Trans. Amer. Math. Soc. 355(2), 2003. https://doi.org/10.1090/S0002-9947-02-03088-X
  • A. S. Lewis and S. J. Wright, A proximal method for composite minimization, Math. Program. 158, 2016. https://arxiv.org/abs/0812.0423
  • R. A. Poliquin and R. T. Rockafellar, Prox-regular functions in variational analysis, Trans. Amer. Math. Soc. 348(5), 1996. https://doi.org/10.1090/S0002-9947-96-01544-9
  • R. T. Rockafellar and R. J.-B. Wets, Variational Analysis, Grundlehren 317, Springer, 1998. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-642-02431-3
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Control TheoryOptimal TransportPartial Differential Equations+1·Captain: mikedeng1

Mean Field Games Master Equations with Nonseparable Hamiltonians and Displacement Monotonicity: Under Displacement Monotone H and G, the Master Equation Has a Unique Global Classical SolutionResearch Paper

Motivation

Mean field games (Lasry–Lions 2006–2007; Huang–Malhamé–Caines 2006) describe Nash equilibria of games with a very large number of symmetric players, each interacting with the others only through the empirical distribution of their states. When all players are also exposed to a common noise, the equilibrium is no longer described by a forward–backward pair of PDEs but by a single equation on the space of probability measures, the master equation. The master equation is the object that lets one prove convergence of NNN-player equilibria to the mean field limit (Cardaliaguet–Delarue–Lasry–Lions 2019), so a global classical solution is the starting point of that theory.

Global well-posedness requires a monotonicity condition; without one, uniqueness of equilibria fails. Before this paper, global results were known under the Lasry–Lions monotonicity condition and for separable Hamiltonians H(x,μ,p)=H0(x,p)−F(x,μ)H(x,\mu,p)=H_0(x,p)-F(x,\mu)H(x,μ,p)=H0​(x,p)−F(x,μ), and under displacement convexity in deterministic potential games (Gangbo–Mészáros 2022). Gangbo, Mészáros, Mou and Zhang (Ann. Probab. 50 (2022)) prove global well-posedness for nonseparable Hamiltonians under displacement monotonicity, a condition that is different from Lasry–Lions monotonicity and that has a natural extension to Hamiltonians depending jointly on (x,μ,p)(x,\mu,p)(x,μ,p).

Setting

Let P2=P2(Rd)\mathcal P_2=\mathcal P_2(\mathbb R^d)P2​=P2​(Rd) be the Borel probability measures on Rd\mathbb R^dRd with finite second moment, with the 2-Wasserstein distance W2W_2W2​. For U:P2→RU:\mathcal P_2\to\mathbb RU:P2​→R, the Lions derivative ∂μU(μ,x~)∈Rd\partial_\mu U(\mu,\tilde x)\in\mathbb R^d∂μ​U(μ,x~)∈Rd is characterized by

U(Lξ+η)−U(μ)=E[⟨∂μU(μ,ξ),η⟩]+o(∥η∥2),Lξ=μ.U(\mathcal L_{\xi+\eta})-U(\mu)=\mathbb E[\langle\partial_\mu U(\mu,\xi),\eta\rangle]+o(\|\eta\|_2),\qquad \mathcal L_\xi=\mu .U(Lξ+η​)−U(μ)=E[⟨∂μ​U(μ,ξ),η⟩]+o(∥η∥2​),Lξ​=μ.

The class C2(Rd×P2)\mathcal C^2(\mathbb R^d\times\mathcal P_2)C2(Rd×P2​) consists of continuous U(x,μ)U(x,\mu)U(x,μ) for which ∂xU\partial_xU∂x​U, ∂xxU\partial_{xx}U∂xx​U, ∂μU(x,μ,x~)\partial_\mu U(x,\mu,\tilde x)∂μ​U(x,μ,x~), ∂x∂μU\partial_x\partial_\mu U∂x​∂μ​U, ∂x~∂μU\partial_{\tilde x}\partial_\mu U∂x~​∂μ​U and ∂μμU(x,μ,x~,xˉ)\partial_{\mu\mu}U(x,\mu,\tilde x,\bar x)∂μμ​U(x,μ,x~,xˉ) exist and extend to jointly continuous functions of all their arguments.

The data are a horizon T>0T>0T>0, a common-noise intensity β≥0\beta\ge0β≥0 with β^2=1+β2\hat\beta^2=1+\beta^2β^​2=1+β2, a Hamiltonian H(x,μ,p)H(x,\mu,p)H(x,μ,p) and a terminal cost G(x,μ)G(x,\mu)G(x,μ). The master equation on Θ=[0,T]×Rd×P2\Theta=[0,T]\times\mathbb R^d\times\mathcal P_2Θ=[0,T]×Rd×P2​ is

−∂tV−β^22tr⁡(∂xxV)+H(x,μ,∂xV)−NV=0,V(T,x,μ)=G(x,μ),-\partial_tV-\tfrac{\hat\beta^2}{2}\operatorname{tr}(\partial_{xx}V)+H(x,\mu,\partial_xV)-\mathcal NV=0,\qquad V(T,x,\mu)=G(x,\mu),−∂t​V−2β^​2​tr(∂xx​V)+H(x,μ,∂x​V)−NV=0,V(T,x,μ)=G(x,μ),

with the nonlocal operator

NV=tr⁡ E~ˉ[β^22∂x~∂μV(t,x,μ,ξ~)+β22∂μμV(t,x,μ,ξˉ,ξ~)+β2∂x∂μV(t,x,μ,ξ~)−∂μV(t,x,μ,ξ~)(∂pH)⊤(ξ~,μ,∂xV(t,ξ~,μ))],\mathcal NV=\operatorname{tr}\,\bar{\tilde{\mathbb E}}\Big[\tfrac{\hat\beta^2}{2}\partial_{\tilde x}\partial_\mu V(t,x,\mu,\tilde\xi)+\tfrac{\beta^2}{2}\partial_{\mu\mu}V(t,x,\mu,\bar\xi,\tilde\xi)+\beta^2\partial_x\partial_\mu V(t,x,\mu,\tilde\xi)-\partial_\mu V(t,x,\mu,\tilde\xi)(\partial_pH)^\top(\tilde\xi,\mu,\partial_xV(t,\tilde\xi,\mu))\Big],NV=trE~ˉ[2β^​2​∂x~​∂μ​V(t,x,μ,ξ~​)+2β2​∂μμ​V(t,x,μ,ξˉ​,ξ~​)+β2∂x​∂μ​V(t,x,μ,ξ~​)−∂μ​V(t,x,μ,ξ~​)(∂p​H)⊤(ξ~​,μ,∂x​V(t,ξ~​,μ))],

where ξ~,ξˉ\tilde\xi,\bar\xiξ~​,ξˉ​ are independent with law μ\muμ. A classical solution is a V∈C1,2,2(Θ)V\in\mathcal C^{1,2,2}(\Theta)V∈C1,2,2(Θ) satisfying the equation on (0,T)(0,T)(0,T) and the terminal condition.

U(x,μ)U(x,\mu)U(x,μ) is displacement monotone (2.16) if for all square-integrable ξ,η\xi,\etaξ,η with Lξ=μ\mathcal L_\xi=\muLξ​=μ and an independent copy (ξ~,η~)(\tilde\xi,\tilde\eta)(ξ~​,η~​),

E~[⟨∂xμU(ξ,μ,ξ~)η~,η⟩+⟨∂xxU(ξ,μ)η,η⟩]≥0.\tilde{\mathbb E}\big[\langle\partial_{x\mu}U(\xi,\mu,\tilde\xi)\tilde\eta,\eta\rangle+\langle\partial_{xx}U(\xi,\mu)\eta,\eta\rangle\big]\ge0 .E~[⟨∂xμ​U(ξ,μ,ξ~​)η~​,η⟩+⟨∂xx​U(ξ,μ)η,η⟩]≥0.

The Hamiltonian is displacement monotone (Definition 3.4) if a bilinear form built from ∂xμH\partial_{x\mu}H∂xμ​H, ∂xxH\partial_{xx}H∂xx​H and a correction 14E∣(∂ppH)−1/2E~[∂pμH η~]∣2\tfrac14\mathbb E\big|(\partial_{pp}H)^{-1/2}\tilde{\mathbb E}[\partial_{p\mu}H\,\tilde\eta]\big|^241​E​(∂pp​H)−1/2E~[∂pμ​Hη~​]​2 is nonpositive, with p=φ(ξ)p=\varphi(\xi)p=φ(ξ) for every bounded Lipschitz C1C^1C1 map φ\varphiφ. Assumptions 3.1 and 3.2 impose regularity and bounds on GGG and HHH; Assumption 3.5 imposes the two monotonicity conditions.

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem 6.3, first sentence

Under Assumptions 3.1, 3.2 and 3.5, the master equation on [0,T][0,T][0,T] has a classical solution VVV with bounded ∂xV\partial_xV∂x​V, ∂xxV\partial_{xx}V∂xx​V, ∂μV\partial_\mu V∂μ​V, ∂xμV\partial_{x\mu}V∂xμ​V, and it is the only classical solution in that class:

∃! V∈C1,2,2(Θ) solving (1.1) with ∂xV,∂xxV,∂μV,∂xμV bounded.\exists!\,V\in\mathcal C^{1,2,2}(\Theta)\ \text{solving (1.1) with}\ \partial_xV,\partial_{xx}V,\partial_\mu V,\partial_{x\mu}V\ \text{bounded}.∃!V∈C1,2,2(Θ) solving (1.1) with ∂x​V,∂xx​V,∂μ​V,∂xμ​V bounded.

Milestones

  1. Lemma 2.1: ∂x~μU(μ,x~)\partial_{\tilde x\mu}U(\mu,\tilde x)∂x~μ​U(μ,x~) is symmetric for U∈C2(P2)U\in\mathcal C^2(\mathcal P_2)U∈C2(P2​).
  2. Theorem 4.1: along a sufficiently regular classical solution, V(t,⋅,⋅)V(t,\cdot,\cdot)V(t,⋅,⋅) is displacement monotone for every t∈[0,T]t\in[0,T]t∈[0,T].
  3. Theorem 5.1: if V(t,⋅,⋅)V(t,\cdot,\cdot)V(t,⋅,⋅) is displacement semimonotone with constant λ\lambdaλ, then VVV and ∂xV\partial_xV∂x​V are W2W_2W2​-Lipschitz in μ\muμ with a constant depending only on ddd, TTT, ∥∂xV∥∞\|\partial_xV\|_\infty∥∂x​V∥∞​, ∥∂xxV∥∞\|\partial_{xx}V\|_\infty∥∂xx​V∥∞​, L2GL_2^GL2G​, LH(∥∂xV∥∞)L^H(\|\partial_xV\|_\infty)LH(∥∂x​V∥∞​) and λ\lambdaλ.
  4. Proposition 6.2(iii) with (6.7): on a short interval [t0,T][t_0,T][t0​,T], of length δ\deltaδ independent of L1GL_1^GL1G​, the master equation has a unique classical solution with full C2\mathcal C^2C2 regularity and ∣∂μV(t0)∣,∣∂xμV(t0)∣≤C1μ|\partial_\mu V(t_0)|,|\partial_{x\mu}V(t_0)|\le C_1^\mu∣∂μ​V(t0​)∣,∣∂xμ​V(t0​)∣≤C1μ​.

Significance

The theorem gives global classical well-posedness of the master equation with common noise for a class of Hamiltonians that need not be separable and data that need not be Lasry–Lions monotone. A classical solution is what the convergence analysis of NNN-player games and the construction of approximate equilibria take as input. Theorem 4.1, displacement monotonicity propagating backward along the equation, is the central structural fact; Theorem 5.1 converts it into an a priori Lipschitz bound in μ\muμ that is uniform in time, which is what allows local solutions to be continued.

The result is proved in the paper; nothing in this mission is open mathematically. No part of it is formalized anywhere. The mission produces a formal statement of the master equation, its classical solutions and the displacement monotonicity conditions, plus targets for a machine-checked proof. Calculus on Wasserstein space with Lions derivatives is absent from Mathlib, so even Lemma 2.1 requires new infrastructure.

Difficulty

Local well-posedness holds for any regular data; the obstacle is continuing the solution to the whole interval. The length of the local interval depends on the Lipschitz constant of the terminal data in μ\muμ, and without a uniform-in-time bound on that constant the local intervals can shrink to zero. Lasry–Lions monotonicity is not available here, and for nonseparable HHH it has no obvious analogue. Any argument that controls this constant has to work with second-order Lions derivatives, which needs full C2\mathcal C^2C2 regularity in the measure variable. That regularity is itself only known on short intervals.

Formalization scope

  • States are EuclideanSpace ℝ (Fin d). P2\mathcal P_2P2​ is a subtype of measures, so functions of μ\muμ are defined only on P2\mathcal P_2P2​. W2W_2W2​ is the published WassersteinDRO.Duality.wassersteinDistance with p=2p=2p=2, converted to a real number.
  • There is no probability space. Every expectation over ξ,η\xi,\etaξ,η and independent copies is an integral against an L2\mathbb L^2L2-coupling π\piπ (the joint law of (ξ,η)(\xi,\eta)(ξ,η)), against π⊗π\pi\otimes\piπ⊗π, or against μ⊗μ\mu\otimes\muμ⊗μ. Quantifying over all couplings is the reading of "for all ξ,η∈L2\xi,\eta\in\mathbb L^2ξ,η∈L2".
  • The Lions derivative is stated in coupling form, uniformly over all ξ\xiξ of law μ\muμ. Derivatives are explicit witnesses, i.e. global versions, and joint continuity is required as on the page.
  • Derivatives are (bi)linear maps. ⟨∂xμU η~,η⟩\langle\partial_{x\mu}U\,\tilde\eta,\eta\rangle⟨∂xμ​Uη~​,η⟩ takes the xxx-direction η\etaη first. Matrix norms are operator norms; this choice changes no statement, since all constants are existential.
  • C2(Rd×P2×Rk)\mathcal C^2(\mathbb R^d\times\mathcal P_2\times\mathbb R^k)C2(Rd×P2​×Rk), which the page uses without defining, lumps the Euclidean variables into one. "H∈C3H\in\mathcal C^3H∈C3" is read as existence and joint continuity of the (x,p)(x,p)(x,p)-derivatives up to order three. Vector-valued memberships are stated coordinatewise.
  • ∂ppH\partial_{pp}H∂pp​H is assumed positive definite, which the page's (∂ppH)−1/2(\partial_{pp}H)^{-1/2}(∂pp​H)−1/2 presupposes. ∣A−1/2w∣2|A^{-1/2}w|^2∣A−1/2w∣2 is written ⟨A−1w,w⟩\langle A^{-1}w,w\rangle⟨A−1w,w⟩.
  • The expectations in NV\mathcal NVNV are required to exist, so a non-integrable integrand cannot make the equation hold through a Bochner integral defaulting to 000. L2GL_2^GL2G​ (Remark 3.3) is used in its Lipschitz form.
  • "Depending only on" clauses are quantifier orders. In Proposition 6.2, δ\deltaδ depends on d,T,C0,L0G,LH,L2Gd,T,C_0,L_0^G,L^H,L_2^Gd,T,C0​,L0G​,LH,L2G​; this expands LH(C1x)L^H(C_1^x)LH(C1x​), whose constant C1xC_1^xC1x​ comes from a BSDE. Uniqueness is within the bounded-derivative class of Theorem 6.3.
  • Out of scope: the second sentence of Theorem 6.3 (well-posedness of the McKean–Vlasov FBSDEs and the representation (6.6)), Proposition 6.1, and Proposition 6.2(i), (ii) and (2.27). They need Brownian motions with common noise and BSDEs.
  • A statement in which the regularity hypotheses cannot all hold at once, or in which existence of the solution is assumed, would be a trivializing formalization and is not acceptable. The hypotheses here are taken from the page, which shows they are satisfiable (Remark 3.6(i), Lemma 3.8).
  • Wanted contributions: first- and second-order calculus on P2\mathcal P_2P2​ (Lions derivatives, the chain rule along μ↦Lξ+εη\mu\mapsto\mathcal L_{\xi+\varepsilon\eta}μ↦Lξ+εη​, symmetry of ∂x~μ\partial_{\tilde x\mu}∂x~μ​). These are reusable for any mean field problem.

Selected references

  • W. Gangbo, A. R. Mészáros, C. Mou, J. Zhang, Mean field games master equations with nonseparable Hamiltonians and displacement monotonicity, Ann. Probab. 50(6), 2178–2217, 2022. https://doi.org/10.1214/22-AOP1580
  • J.-M. Lasry, P.-L. Lions, Mean field games, Jpn. J. Math. 2, 229–260, 2007. https://doi.org/10.1007/s11537-007-0657-8
  • P. Cardaliaguet, F. Delarue, J.-M. Lasry, P.-L. Lions, The Master Equation and the Convergence Problem in Mean Field Games, Annals of Mathematics Studies 201, Princeton University Press, 2019. https://doi.org/10.2307/j.ctvckq7qf
  • R. Carmona, F. Delarue, Probabilistic Theory of Mean Field Games with Applications I–II, Springer, 2018. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-319-58920-6
  • W. Gangbo, A. R. Mészáros, Global well-posedness of master equations for deterministic displacement convex potential mean field games, Comm. Pure Appl. Math. 75, 2685–2801, 2022. https://doi.org/10.1002/cpa.22069
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Algorithmic Game TheoryOptimal TransportProbability+1·Captain: mikedeng1

From the Master Equation to Mean Field Game Limit Theory: Large Deviations and Concentration of Measure 1: Without Common Noise, n-Player Nash Equilibria Concentrate Dimension-FreeResearch Paper

Motivation

A large stochastic game has one state process per player. Each player's feedback changes with the empirical distribution of all states, so a finite population remains coupled even when the idiosyncratic Brownian motions are independent. A useful quantitative question is whether a statistic of the entire collection of equilibrium trajectories can deviate substantially from its mean as the population grows. Delarue, Lacker, and Ramanan answer this for smooth closed-loop mean-field games in their large-deviations and concentration paper. Their result concerns the equilibrium state paths themselves, rather than only a fixed-time empirical measure.

The paper is part of a two-paper limit theory. Its companion central-limit paper supplies the Nash-to-McKean–Vlasov estimates quoted here as Theorems 4.1 and 4.2. The concentration argument also uses transport inequalities: Gozlan's dimension-free characterization explains the quadratic transport assumption on the initial law, while Djellout, Guillin, and Wu provide a transport principle for diffusion path laws. The present mission records the paper's main concentration theorem and four of its explicit intermediate targets.

Setting

Fix a horizon T>0T>0T>0 and a positive state dimension ddd. Player iii has a continuous state path Xi∈Cd=C([0,T];Rd)X^i\in C^d=C([0,T];\mathbb R^d)Xi∈Cd=C([0,T];Rd). The empirical measure of a vector x=(x1,…,xn)x=(x^1,\ldots,x^n)x=(x1,…,xn) is mxn=n−1∑iδxim_x^n=n^{-1}\sum_i\delta_{x^i}mxn​=n−1∑i​δxi​; the same formula applies to paths. The norm on CdC^dCd is ∥x∥∞=sup⁡t≤T∣xt∣\|x\|_\infty=\sup_{t\le T}|x_t|∥x∥∞​=supt≤T​∣xt​∣, and the product norm relevant to this mission is ∥x∥n,2=(∑i∥xi∥∞2)1/2\|x\|_{n,2}=(\sum_i\|x^i\|_\infty^2)^{1/2}∥x∥n,2​=(∑i​∥xi∥∞2​)1/2.

The game is posed on a filtered probability space with a common Wiener process WWW, independent idiosyncratic Wiener processes BiB^iBi, and i.i.d. initial states X0iX^i_0X0i​ of law μ0\mu_0μ0​. The action space is Polish. A drift b(x,m,a)b(x,m,a)b(x,m,a), running cost f(x,m,a)f(x,m,a)f(x,m,a), and terminal cost g(x,m)g(x,m)g(x,m) specify the control problem. The Hamiltonian H(x,m,y)H(x,m,y)H(x,m,y) minimizes b(x,m,a)⋅y+f(x,m,a)b(x,m,a)\cdot y+f(x,m,a)b(x,m,a)⋅y+f(x,m,a) over actions; a selected minimizer α^\hat\alphaα^ defines b^=b(⋅,α^)\hat b=b(\cdot,\hat\alpha)b^=b(⋅,α^) and f^=f(⋅,α^)\hat f=f(\cdot,\hat\alpha)f^​=f(⋅,α^).

Classical solutions vn,iv^{n,i}vn,i of the nnn-player Nash system (2.6) determine the feedback in the equilibrium state equation (2.7). A classical solution UUU of the master equation (2.8) determines the comparison particle equation (4.1). Both equations retain common-noise terms in their definitions. The goal sets the common-noise coefficient σ0\sigma_0σ0​ to zero. Assumption A imposes Hamiltonian attainment, Lipschitz b^\hat bb^, nondegenerate idiosyncratic diffusion, an initial moment above order four, and the stated classical solutions. Either B or B′ controls the selected running cost; B′ also bounds UUU and vn,iv^{n,i}vn,i as specified on pp. 8–9.

Formalization targets

The goal is Theorem 3.4. If μ0\mu_0μ0​ satisfies the quadratic transport inequality W2(μ0,ν)≤2κR(ν∣μ0)W_2(\mu_0,\nu)\le\sqrt{2\kappa R(\nu\mid\mu_0)}W2​(μ0​,ν)≤2κR(ν∣μ0​)​ for every ν≪μ0\nu\ll\mu_0ν≪μ0​ with finite second moment, then constants C,δ1,δ2>0C,\delta_1,\delta_2>0C,δ1​,δ2​>0 exist such that, for a>0a>0a>0, n≥C/a2n\ge C/a^2n≥C/a2, and every 1-Lipschitz Φ\PhiΦ on the product path space,

P ⁣(Φ(X)−EΦ(X)>a)≤2nexp⁡(−δ1a2n)+2exp⁡(−δ2a2).P\!\left(\Phi(X)-E\Phi(X)>a\right) \le 2n\exp(-\delta_1a^2n)+2\exp(-\delta_2a^2).P(Φ(X)−EΦ(X)>a)≤2nexp(−δ1​a2n)+2exp(−δ2​a2).

The four milestones retain the paper's two main comparison layers. Theorem 4.3 controls both the path-space Wasserstein distance between the Nash and comparison empirical measures and their synchronous squared path distance by 2nexp⁡(−ε2n2/κ2)2n\exp(-\varepsilon^2n^2/\kappa_2)2nexp(−ε2n2/κ2​) for n≥κ1/εn\ge\kappa_1/\varepsilonn≥κ1​/ε. Theorem 5.3 gives a dimension-uniform transport inequality and concentration bound for the law of a Lipschitz SDE in the coordinatewise product-supremum norm. Equation (5.7) bounds the change in a 1-Lipschitz path expectation when the deterministic initial vector changes. Theorem 5.4 gives P(Φ(X~)−EΦ(X~)>a)≤2e−δa2P(\Phi(\tilde X)-E\Phi(\tilde X)>a)\le2e^{-\delta a^2}P(Φ(X~)−EΦ(X~)>a)≤2e−δa2 for the interacting comparison system. The labels, constants, and domains follow the pinned preprint, pp. 12 and 16–20.

Significance

Theorem 3.4 supplies a finite-population tail estimate for every 1-Lipschitz observable of the entire equilibrium path vector. The first term becomes small at a population-dependent scale, while the second term has a rate independent of the number of players. This is stronger information than convergence of the empirical measure alone: it applies to path-dependent statistics and includes explicit deviation probabilities Theorem 3.4.

The mathematical statements are proved in the source paper, subject to its assumptions; Theorems 4.1 and 4.2 that support its comparison result are proved in the companion paper. The work here is to give these claims faithful machine-checkable statements and ultimately machine-checked proofs. The present draft is a set of open Lean theorem statements with sorry, so it asserts no completed formal proof. A completed development would also make its definitions of empirical path laws, Wasserstein continuity, flat derivatives, and interacting SDE solutions reusable for other mean-field models.

Difficulty

Independent-noise concentration cannot simply be applied to the Nash state paths. A player's drift depends on the empirical state measure and on a derivative of the nnn-player Nash solution, so changing one input can change every trajectory. The master equation describes a comparison system, but using it requires matching the Nash and master feedbacks on the same filtered probability space. The regularity in Assumptions A, B, and B′ is substantial: the master field has first and second derivatives in both space and measure, with uniform bounds. A formal proof must also preserve the exact path norm and the population-independent placement of constants. The SDE transport theorem's uniformity over dimensions is particularly consequential for Theorem 5.4 §§4–5.

Formalization scope

State vectors use finite-dimensional Euclidean spaces; time uses nonnegative reals and only [0,T][0,T][0,T] is evaluated. A continuous path is a ContinuousMap on that interval with its supremum norm. Finite products use PiLp 2; the scalar-coordinate version of the norm is used for Theorem 5.3. Players are indexed from zero, corresponding to the paper's indices 1,…,n1,\ldots,n1,…,n, and every theorem requires n≥1n\ge1n≥1. Probabilities and entropy are extended nonnegative values. Transport distances stay extended until a finite-moment hypothesis justifies their real value.

The filtered Wiener processes, i.i.d. initial states, Borel coefficients, Polish action space, Nash and master PDEs, and either B or B′ are represented explicitly. The master equation is imposed on P2\mathcal P_2P2​; its spatial gradient is also required on Pp∗\mathcal P_{p_*}Pp∗​​, as Assumption A(5) specifies. A flat measure derivative is a normalized witness satisfying (2.2), while spatial derivatives are actual Fréchet derivatives. SDE solutions are path-valued processes satisfying coordinate Itô integral relations; solution families are supplied as hypotheses, since their existence is asserted by the source. Expectations appearing in the conclusions are stated integrable, so a default zero integral cannot satisfy a tail bound accidentally. The model cannot be replaced by arbitrary paths or a vacuous solution predicate: the Nash and comparison paths must satisfy their respective equations with the same noises and initial states.

The mission includes Theorem 4.3, Theorem 5.3, (5.7), and Theorem 5.4. The quoted Theorems 4.1 and 4.2, the general transport equivalence of Theorem 5.1, and tensorization in Theorem 5.2 remain useful later contributions, with their original hypotheses and conclusions intact. The printed constant in the “moreover” clause of Theorem 5.1 is omitted because it is dimensionally incorrect; no substitute assertion is placed in this mission.

Selected references

  • F. Delarue, D. Lacker, and K. Ramanan, From the master equation to mean field game limit theory: Large deviations and concentration of measure, Annals of Probability 48 (2020), 211–263; formalization follows arXiv:1804.08550v1.
  • F. Delarue, D. Lacker, and K. Ramanan, From the master equation to mean field game limit theory: A central limit theorem, preprint (2018), arXiv:1804.08542.
  • N. Gozlan, A characterization of dimension free concentration in terms of transportation inequalities, Annals of Probability 37 (2009), 2480–2498, doi:10.1214/09-AOP470.
  • H. Djellout, A. Guillin, and L. Wu, Transportation cost-information inequalities and applications to random dynamical systems and diffusions, Annals of Probability 32 (2004), 2702–2732, doi:10.1214/009117904000000531.
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Differential GeometryNumerical AnalysisOptimization·Captain: mikedeng1

Riemannian Proximal Gradient Methods II: The Riemannian Proximal Gradient Method Converges at Rate O(1/k) under Retraction ConvexityResearch Paper

Motivation

Many problems in statistics, signal processing and machine learning minimize a smooth loss plus a nonsmooth regularizer over a set with manifold structure: sparse principal component analysis over the Stiefel manifold, sparse blind deconvolution over the sphere, and clustering and dictionary-learning models with orthogonality constraints. In Euclidean space the standard method for such composite problems is the proximal gradient method, whose O(1/k)O(1/k)O(1/k) rate for convex problems is classical (Beck–Teboulle 2009). Huang and Wei (arXiv:1909.06065v4, Mathematical Programming 2021) propose a Riemannian proximal gradient method (RPG) that solves its proximal subproblem on the tangent space and returns to the manifold through a retraction. They prove three things about it: global convergence, an O(1/k)O(1/k)O(1/k) rate under a convexity notion adapted to retractions, and local rates under a Riemannian Kurdyka–Łojasiewicz property. This mission covers the second result, Theorem 3.2.

Earlier Riemannian proximal methods either required the exponential map and parallel transport, or solved a Euclidean proximal problem in the ambient space (Chen, Ma, So, Zhang 2020, ManPG). Theorem 3.2 is stated for a general retraction, with an explicit constant.

Setting

Let M\mathcal MM be a finite-dimensional Riemannian manifold, with inner product ⟨⋅,⋅⟩x\langle\cdot,\cdot\rangle_x⟨⋅,⋅⟩x​ and norm ∥⋅∥x\|\cdot\|_x∥⋅∥x​ on each tangent space TxMT_x\mathcal MTx​M. A retraction is a family of smooth maps Rx:TxM→MR_x:T_x\mathcal M\to\mathcal MRx​:Tx​M→M with Rx(0x)=xR_x(0_x)=xRx​(0x​)=x and DRx(0x)=id\mathrm DR_x(0_x)=\mathrm{id}DRx​(0x​)=id. The problem is

min⁡x∈MF(x)=f(x)+g(x),\min_{x\in\mathcal M} F(x)=f(x)+g(x),x∈Mmin​F(x)=f(x)+g(x),

where fff is differentiable with Riemannian gradient grad⁡f\operatorname{grad} fgradf, and ggg is continuous and possibly nonsmooth.

For a function hhh on a real inner-product space VVV, the Clarke generalized directional derivative is h∘(η;v)=lim sup⁡ξ→η, t↓0(h(ξ+tv)−h(ξ))/th^\circ(\eta;v)=\limsup_{\xi\to\eta,\,t\downarrow0}(h(\xi+tv)-h(\xi))/th∘(η;v)=limsupξ→η,t↓0​(h(ξ+tv)−h(ξ))/t. The generalized subdifferential is ∂h(η)={ζ∣⟨ζ,v⟩≤h∘(η;v) ∀v}\partial h(\eta)=\{\zeta\mid\langle\zeta,v\rangle\le h^\circ(\eta;v)\ \forall v\}∂h(η)={ζ∣⟨ζ,v⟩≤h∘(η;v) ∀v}. A point η\etaη is stationary for hhh if 0∈∂h(η)0\in\partial h(\eta)0∈∂h(η).

Given a constant L~\tilde LL~, the RPG method (Algorithm 1) produces iterates xkx_kxk​ and steps ηxk∗∈TxkM\eta^*_{x_k}\in T_{x_k}\mathcal Mηxk​∗​∈Txk​​M as follows. Set

ℓxk(η)=⟨grad⁡f(xk),η⟩xk+L~2∥η∥xk2+g(Rxk(η)).\ell_{x_k}(\eta)=\langle\operatorname{grad} f(x_k),\eta\rangle_{x_k}+\frac{\tilde L}{2}\|\eta\|_{x_k}^2+g(R_{x_k}(\eta)).ℓxk​​(η)=⟨gradf(xk​),η⟩xk​​+2L~​∥η∥xk​2​+g(Rxk​​(η)).

Choose a stationary point ηxk∗\eta^*_{x_k}ηxk​∗​ of ℓxk\ell_{x_k}ℓxk​​ on TxkMT_{x_k}\mathcal MTxk​​M with ℓxk(0)≥ℓxk(ηxk∗)\ell_{x_k}(0)\ge\ell_{x_k}(\eta^*_{x_k})ℓxk​​(0)≥ℓxk​​(ηxk​∗​), and set xk+1=Rxk(ηxk∗)x_{k+1}=R_{x_k}(\eta^*_{x_k})xk+1​=Rxk​​(ηxk​∗​).

The assumptions involve the sublevel set Ωx0={x∣F(x)≤F(x0)}\Omega_{x_0}=\{x\mid F(x)\le F(x_0)\}Ωx0​​={x∣F(x)≤F(x0​)} and two notions defined with respect to RRR on a set N\mathcal NN:

  • LLL-retraction-smoothness: h(Rx(η))≤h(x)+⟨grad⁡h(x),η⟩x+L2∥η∥x2h(R_x(\eta))\le h(x)+\langle\operatorname{grad} h(x),\eta\rangle_x+\frac L2\|\eta\|_x^2h(Rx​(η))≤h(x)+⟨gradh(x),η⟩x​+2L​∥η∥x2​;
  • retraction-convexity: qx=h∘Rxq_x=h\circ R_xqx​=h∘Rx​ satisfies qx(η)≥qx(ξ)+⟨ζ,η−ξ⟩xq_x(\eta)\ge q_x(\xi)+\langle\zeta,\eta-\xi\rangle_xqx​(η)≥qx​(ξ)+⟨ζ,η−ξ⟩x​, where ζ\zetaζ is the gradient of qxq_xqx​ at ξ\xiξ, or any Riemannian subgradient of qxq_xqx​ at ξ\xiξ when hhh is nonsmooth.

Assumption 3.1 asks that FFF be bounded below and Ωx0\Omega_{x_0}Ωx0​​ compact. Assumption 3.3 provides an open Ω⊇Ωx0\Omega\supseteq\Omega_{x_0}Ω⊇Ωx0​​ on which fff is LLL-retraction-smooth and retraction-convex and ggg is retraction-convex. Assumption 3.4 bounds how far the retraction is from Euclidean: for all x,y,z∈Ωx,y,z\in\Omegax,y,z∈Ω,

∣∥Rx−1(z)−Rx−1(y)∥x2−∥Ry−1(z)∥y2∣≤κΩ∥Rx−1(y)∥x2.\bigl|\|R_x^{-1}(z)-R_x^{-1}(y)\|_x^2-\|R_y^{-1}(z)\|_y^2\bigr|\le\kappa_\Omega\|R_x^{-1}(y)\|_x^2 .​∥Rx−1​(z)−Rx−1​(y)∥x2​−∥Ry−1​(z)∥y2​​≤κΩ​∥Rx−1​(y)∥x2​.

Finally, β=(L~−L)/2\beta=(\tilde L-L)/2β=(L~−L)/2.

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem 3.2

Let L~>max⁡(L,0)\tilde L>\max(L,0)L~>max(L,0), suppose Assumptions 3.1, 3.3 and 3.4 hold, and let x∗x_*x∗​ be any accumulation point of {xk}\{x_k\}{xk​}. Then for every k≥1k\ge1k≥1

F(xk)−F(x∗)≤1k(L~2∥Rx0−1(x∗)∥x02+L~κΩ2β(F(x0)−F(x∗))).(3.16)F(x_k)-F(x_*)\le\frac1k\left(\frac{\tilde L}{2}\|R_{x_0}^{-1}(x_*)\|_{x_0}^2+\frac{\tilde L\kappa_\Omega}{2\beta}\bigl(F(x_0)-F(x_*)\bigr)\right).\tag{3.16}F(xk​)−F(x∗​)≤k1​(2L~​∥Rx0​−1​(x∗​)∥x0​2​+2βL~κΩ​​(F(x0​)−F(x∗​))).(3.16)

The constants are those of the paper.

Milestones

  1. Lemma 3.1 (descent): F(xk)−F(xk+1)≥β∥ηxk∗∥xk2F(x_k)-F(x_{k+1})\ge\beta\|\eta^*_{x_k}\|_{x_k}^2F(xk​)−F(xk+1​)≥β∥ηxk​∗​∥xk​2​.
  2. Lemma 3.4 (Riemannian three-point inequality): for one step z=Rx(ηx∗)z=R_x(\eta^*_x)z=Rx​(ηx∗​) and any y=Rx(ξx)∈Ωy=R_x(\xi_x)\in\Omegay=Rx​(ξx​)∈Ω, F(z)≤F(y)+L~2(∥ξx∥x2−∥ξx−ηx∗∥x2)F(z)\le F(y)+\frac{\tilde L}{2}(\|\xi_x\|_x^2-\|\xi_x-\eta^*_x\|_x^2)F(z)≤F(y)+2L~​(∥ξx​∥x2​−∥ξx​−ηx∗​∥x2​).
  3. (3.17): the one-step estimate obtained from Lemma 3.4 with y=x∗y=x_*y=x∗​ and from Assumption 3.4.
  4. (3.18): the one-step estimate with ∥ηxk∗∥2\|\eta^*_{x_k}\|^2∥ηxk​∗​∥2 replaced by the decrease of FFF.
  5. (3.19): the averaged estimate over the first kkk steps.

Significance

Theorem 3.2 extends the O(1/k)O(1/k)O(1/k) function-value rate of the proximal gradient method to manifolds and general retractions. The constant is explicit: it combines the initial distance ∥Rx0−1(x∗)∥\|R_{x_0}^{-1}(x_*)\|∥Rx0​−1​(x∗​)∥ with a correction proportional to κΩ\kappa_\OmegaκΩ​, which measures how far the retraction is from Euclidean. In the Euclidean case Rx(η)=x+ηR_x(\eta)=x+\etaRx​(η)=x+η one can take κΩ=0\kappa_\Omega=0κΩ​=0, and the bound reduces to the classical one. The rate concerns F(xk)−F(x∗)F(x_k)-F(x_*)F(xk​)−F(x∗​), which the iteration bound of Theorem 3.1 (the norm of ηxk∗\eta^*_{x_k}ηxk​∗​) does not control.

The result is proved in the paper. None of it is formalized, and no machine-checked version of the Euclidean proximal-gradient rate is on the platform either. A formalization would supply the first checked version of Clarke stationarity on tangent spaces, of the retraction-based convexity and smoothness notions, and of a rate proof for a nonsmooth Riemannian algorithm. These pieces carry over to other retraction-based methods, such as the accelerated variants of §4 of the paper.

Difficulty

The arithmetic of the rate proof is a telescoping sum, so the work lies elsewhere. First, Lemma 3.4 needs a usable form of the stationarity condition 0∈∂ℓx(ηx∗)0\in\partial\ell_x(\eta^*_x)0∈∂ℓx​(ηx∗​): a subgradient of g∘Rxg\circ R_xg∘Rx​ at ηx∗\eta^*_xηx∗​ equal to −(grad⁡f(x)+L~ηx∗)-(\operatorname{grad} f(x)+\tilde L\eta^*_x)−(gradf(x)+L~ηx∗​). This requires a sum rule for the Clarke subdifferential of a C1C^1C1 function plus a locally Lipschitz one, on a tangent space whose norm comes from the Riemannian metric rather than from the model space. Second, the gradient of f∘Rxf\circ R_xf∘Rx​ at 0x0_x0x​ has to be identified with grad⁡f(x)\operatorname{grad} f(x)gradf(x) through DRx(0x)=id\mathrm DR_x(0_x)=\mathrm{id}DRx​(0x​)=id. In Mathlib this mixes manifold derivatives (mfderiv) with Fréchet derivatives on a space carrying two equivalent norms. Third, it has to be shown that the iterates and the accumulation point remain in Ω\OmegaΩ, so that Assumptions 3.3 and 3.4 apply at every step.

Formalization scope

Theorem numbers and pages are those of arXiv:1909.06065v4. M\mathcal MM is a smooth manifold modelled on a finite-dimensional real inner-product space EEE, with Mathlib's RiemannianBundle on the tangent bundle. All norms and inner products on TxMT_x\mathcal MTx​M are the Riemannian ones. Retractions and gradients are the published RiemOpt.BFGS.IsRetraction and RiemOpt.FR.IsGradient. The Clarke derivative is an EReal-valued limit superior along N(η)×N>0(0)\mathcal N(\eta)\times\mathcal N_{>0}(0)N(η)×N>0​(0). Algorithm 1 is modelled as a run (sequences xkx_kxk​, ηxk∗\eta^*_{x_k}ηxk​∗​ with the three defining properties), and every statement holds for every run. Indices start at 000, accumulation points are cluster points of the sequence, and the bounds divided by kkk are stated for k≥1k\ge1k≥1.

The formalization commits to the following readings:

  1. LLL-retraction-smoothness is required for every tangent vector at the points of the set. This is a strengthening of Definition 3.1, which only covers η\etaη with Rx(η)R_x(\eta)Rx​(η) in the set, and it is needed because Lemma 3.1 fails under the literal reading.
  2. In retraction-convexity the vector ζ\zetaζ depends on ξ\xiξ. It is the gradient of f∘Rxf\circ R_xf∘Rx​, respectively any Clarke subgradient of g∘Rxg\circ R_xg∘Rx​, as the sentence after (3.10) states.
  3. κΩ\kappa_\OmegaκΩ​ is a single constant.
  4. R−1R^{-1}R−1 is data with Rx(Rx−1(y))=yR_x(R_x^{-1}(y))=yRx​(Rx−1​(y))=y on Ω\OmegaΩ, together with the identification Rxk−1(xk+1)=ηxk∗R_{x_k}^{-1}(x_{k+1})=\eta^*_{x_k}Rxk​−1​(xk+1​)=ηxk​∗​ that the proof uses.
  5. Local Lipschitz continuity of g∘Rxg\circ R_xg∘Rx​ is assumed, as p. 5 presupposes when it defines the subdifferential.

A single ζ\zetaζ for all η,ξ\eta,\xiη,ξ in (3.10) would make retraction-convexity force qxq_xqx​ to be affine, and the theorem would only cover affine problems. That reading is excluded. Statements with the case k=0k=0k=0, where Lean's 1/0=01/0=01/0=0 makes (3.16) false, are excluded as well.

Contributions welcome: a Clarke sum rule for C1C^1C1 plus locally Lipschitz functions, the identification of the Fréchet derivative of f∘Rxf\circ R_xf∘Rx​ at 000 with the Riemannian gradient, and the five milestones in order. The Clarke layer and the derivative identification are reusable beyond this mission.

Selected references

  • W. Huang, K. Wei, Riemannian proximal gradient methods, Mathematical Programming, 2021; extended version arXiv:1909.06065v4. https://arxiv.org/abs/1909.06065v4, https://doi.org/10.1007/s10107-021-01632-3
  • A. Beck, M. Teboulle, A fast iterative shrinkage-thresholding algorithm for linear inverse problems, SIAM J. Imaging Sciences, 2009. https://doi.org/10.1137/080716542
  • S. Chen, S. Ma, A. M.-C. So, T. Zhang, Proximal gradient method for nonsmooth optimization over the Stiefel manifold, SIAM J. Optimization, 2020. https://doi.org/10.1137/18M122457X
  • F. H. Clarke, Optimization and Nonsmooth Analysis, Wiley, 1983. https://doi.org/10.1137/1.9781611971309
  • P.-A. Absil, R. Mahony, R. Sepulchre, Optimization Algorithms on Matrix Manifolds, Princeton University Press, 2008. https://doi.org/10.1515/9781400830244
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AnalysisProbabilityStochastic Systems·Captain: mikedeng1

Functional Itô Calculus and Stochastic Integral Representation of Martingales 2: The Vertical Derivative Extends to a Bijective Isometry W^{1,2}(X) → L²(X) Inverting the Itô IntegralResearch Paper

Motivation

Every square-integrable martingale of a Brownian filtration is a stochastic integral, Y(T)=E[Y(T)]+∫0Tϕ⋅dWY(T)=E[Y(T)]+\int_0^T\phi\cdot dWY(T)=E[Y(T)]+∫0T​ϕ⋅dW (Itô's representation theorem). The classical theorem gives no formula for ϕ\phiϕ. In hedging, ϕ\phiϕ is the replicating strategy of a claim. In filtering and stochastic control it is the quantity one has to compute. The Clark–Haussmann–Ocone formula identifies ϕ(t)=E[DtH∣Ft]\phi(t)=E[D_tH\mid\mathcal F_t]ϕ(t)=E[Dt​H∣Ft​] through the Malliavin derivative DDD. That derivative is anticipative, defined only up to null sets, and acts on the Wiener space rather than on the observed path.

Cont and Fournié (arXiv:1002.2446, Ann. Probab. 2013) develop a nonanticipative alternative from Dupire's functional Itô calculus (Dupire 2009). The integrand of the representation is a vertical derivative ∇XY\nabla_XY∇X​Y, computed pathwise from a functional representation Y(t)=Ft(Xt,At)Y(t)=F_t(X_t,A_t)Y(t)=Ft​(Xt​,At​) of the martingale. Their main structural result is that this derivative, first defined on regular functionals, extends to all square-integrable stochastic integrals and inverts the Itô integral there. This mission formalizes that extension.

Timeline:

  • 1940s–1950s. Itô constructs the stochastic integral and proves the representation theorem for Brownian functionals.
  • 1970–1984. Clark (1970), Haussmann (1979) and Ocone (1984) give the explicit formula through the Malliavin derivative.
  • 2009. Dupire introduces horizontal and vertical derivatives of path functionals.
  • 2010. Cont and Fournié prove a change-of-variable formula for path functionals (J. Funct. Anal. 259, 2010).
  • 2013. Cont and Fournié prove the Itô formula used here (their Theorem 4.1, the subject of the companion mission) and the extension theorem of this mission.

Setting

Fix a horizon TTT and a dimension ddd. A path is a map x:[0,∞)→Rdx:[0,\infty)\to\mathbb R^dx:[0,∞)→Rd. A path is cadlag on [0,t][0,t][0,t] if it is right-continuous there with left limits. The stopped path is xt(u)=x(u∧t)x_t(u)=x(u\wedge t)xt​(u)=x(u∧t), and the vertical perturbation xtex_t^exte​ shifts the value at time ttt by e∈Rde\in\mathbb R^de∈Rd while keeping xxx on [0,t)[0,t)[0,t). Paths vvv with values in the positive semidefinite matrices Sd+S_d^+Sd+​ carry the density of the quadratic variation.

A nonanticipative functional Ft(x,v)F_t(x,v)Ft​(x,v) depends only on (xt,vt)(x_t,v_t)(xt​,vt​). Its vertical derivative ∇xFt(x,v)∈Rd\nabla_xF_t(x,v)\in\mathbb R^d∇x​Ft​(x,v)∈Rd is the gradient at e=0e=0e=0 of e↦Ft(xte,vt)e\mapsto F_t(x_t^e,v_t)e↦Ft​(xte​,vt​). Its horizontal derivative DtF(x,v)\mathcal D_tF(x,v)Dt​F(x,v) is the right derivative of h↦Ft+h(xt,vt)h\mapsto F_{t+h}(x_t,v_t)h↦Ft+h​(xt​,vt​) along the flat extension. The class Cb1,2([0,T))\mathbb C_b^{1,2}([0,T))Cb1,2​([0,T)) consists of functionals with the following properties:

  • FFF is left-continuous for the distance d∞d_\inftyd∞​ of (9);
  • DF\mathcal DFDF is continuous at fixed times;
  • ∇xF\nabla_xF∇x​F and ∇x2F\nabla_x^2F∇x2​F exist and are left-continuous;
  • DF\mathcal DFDF, ∇xF\nabla_xF∇x​F and ∇x2F\nabla_x^2F∇x2​F are bounded on bounded sets of paths.

All functionals also satisfy (10), Ft(x,v)=Ft(x,vt−)F_t(x,v)=F_t(x,v_{t-})Ft​(x,v)=Ft​(x,vt−​).

Assumption 5.1. WWW is a standard ddd-dimensional Brownian motion, and

X(t)=X(0)+∫0tσ(u)⋅dW(u),det⁡σ(t)≠0dt×dP-a.e.,X(t)=X(0)+\int_0^t\sigma(u)\cdot dW(u),\qquad\det\sigma(t)\ne0\quad dt\times d\mathbb P\text{-a.e.},X(t)=X(0)+∫0t​σ(u)⋅dW(u),detσ(t)=0dt×dP-a.e.,

with σ\sigmaσ adapted to FW\mathcal F^WFW. The density A=σσ⊤A=\sigma\sigma^\topA=σσ⊤ of [X][X][X] is cadlag and adapted. The working filtration is F=FX\mathcal F=\mathcal F^XF=FX, the completed natural filtration of XXX, right-continuous on [0,T)[0,T)[0,T).

The spaces involved are:

  • L2(X)\mathcal L^2(X)L2(X): progressive φ\varphiφ with ∥φ∥2=E∫0Tφ⊤Aφ dt<∞\|\varphi\|^2=E\int_0^T\varphi^\top A\varphi\,dt<\infty∥φ∥2=E∫0T​φ⊤Aφdt<∞;
  • I2(X)\mathcal I^2(X)I2(X): the Itô integrals ∫0⋅φ⋅dX\int_0^\cdot\varphi\cdot dX∫0⋅​φ⋅dX, with norm E[Y(T)2]E[Y(T)^2]E[Y(T)2];
  • D(X)D(X)D(X): the processes of I2(X)\mathcal I^2(X)I2(X) that equal Ft(Xt,At)F_t(X_t,A_t)Ft​(Xt​,At​) for some F∈Cb1,2F\in\mathbb C_b^{1,2}F∈Cb1,2​, with ∇XY(t)=∇xFt(Xt,At)\nabla_XY(t)=\nabla_xF_t(X_t,A_t)∇X​Y(t)=∇x​Ft​(Xt​,At​);
  • W1,2(X)\mathcal W^{1,2}(X)W1,2(X): the closure of D(X)D(X)D(X) in I2(X)\mathcal I^2(X)I2(X).

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem 5.8 with (56)

The operator ∇X:D(X)→L2(X)\nabla_X:D(X)\to\mathcal L^2(X)∇X​:D(X)→L2(X) is closable on W1,2(X)\mathcal W^{1,2}(X)W1,2(X). Its closure is a bijective isometry

∇X:W1,2(X)→L2(X),∫0⋅φ⋅dX↦φ,\nabla_X:\mathcal W^{1,2}(X)\to\mathcal L^2(X),\qquad\int_0^\cdot\varphi\cdot dX\mapsto\varphi,∇X​:W1,2(X)→L2(X),∫0⋅​φ⋅dX↦φ,

and ∇XY\nabla_XY∇X​Y is the unique element of L2(X)\mathcal L^2(X)L2(X) with

E[Y(T)Z(T)]=E∫0T∇XY ∇XZ d[X]for all Z∈D(X).E[Y(T)Z(T)]=E\int_0^T\nabla_XY\,\nabla_XZ\,d[X]\quad\text{for all }Z\in D(X).E[Y(T)Z(T)]=E∫0T​∇X​Y∇X​Zd[X]for all Z∈D(X).

In particular ∇X(∫0⋅φ dX)=φ\nabla_X\big(\int_0^\cdot\varphi\,dX\big)=\varphi∇X​(∫0⋅​φdX)=φ in L2(X)\mathcal L^2(X)L2(X). The adjoint identity (55),

E[Y(T)∫0Tφ⋅dX]=E∫0T∇XY φ d[X],E\Big[Y(T)\int_0^T\varphi\cdot dX\Big]=E\int_0^T\nabla_XY\,\varphi\,d[X],E[Y(T)∫0T​φ⋅dX]=E∫0T​∇X​Yφd[X],

is a separate item.

Milestones

  1. Corollary 4.4. Two Cb1,2\mathbb C_b^{1,2}Cb1,2​ representations of one process have vertical derivatives that agree in the A(t−)A(t-)A(t−)-seminorm, outside an evanescent set.
  2. Theorem 5.2. Y(T)=Y(0)+∫0T∇xFt(Xt,At) dX(t)Y(T)=Y(0)+\int_0^T\nabla_xF_t(X_t,A_t)\,dX(t)Y(T)=Y(0)+∫0T​∇x​Ft​(Xt​,At​)dX(t) for a martingale with a Cb1,2\mathbb C_b^{1,2}Cb1,2​ representation.
  3. Proposition 5.5. E[Y(T)Z(T)]=E∫0T∇XY ∇XZ d[X]E[Y(T)Z(T)]=E\int_0^T\nabla_XY\,\nabla_XZ\,d[X]E[Y(T)Z(T)]=E∫0T​∇X​Y∇X​Zd[X] on D(X)D(X)D(X).
  4. The cylindrical functional of Lemma 5.7's proof is in Cb1,2\mathbb C_b^{1,2}Cb1,2​ with the stated derivatives, and its evaluation on (X,A)(X,A)(X,A) equals the stochastic integral of the cylindrical integrand.
  5. Lemma 5.7. {∇XY:Y∈D(X)}\{\nabla_XY:Y\in D(X)\}{∇X​Y:Y∈D(X)} is dense in L2(X)\mathcal L^2(X)L2(X), and W1,2(X)=I2(X)\mathcal W^{1,2}(X)=\mathcal I^2(X)W1,2(X)=I2(X).

Significance

The theorem identifies the integrand of the martingale representation of any square-integrable FX\mathcal F^XFX-martingale as a limit of pathwise derivatives. On regular functionals, those derivatives are computed by perturbing the endpoint of the observed path. The integrand is therefore adapted by construction, and it can be approximated by finite differences. This is the basis of the paper's general representation formula (Theorem 5.9) and of its comparison with Malliavin calculus (Theorem 6.1, ∇XY(t)=E[DtH∣Ft]\nabla_XY(t)=E[D_tH\mid\mathcal F_t]∇X​Y(t)=E[Dt​H∣Ft​]). The isometry also gives W1,2(X)\mathcal W^{1,2}(X)W1,2(X) the structure of a Hilbert space on which ∇X\nabla_X∇X​ is a weak derivative. This is a nonanticipative counterpart of the Wiener–Sobolev space D1,2\mathbb D^{1,2}D1,2.

The results are proved in the paper; none of them has a machine-checked proof. Neither Mathlib nor the platform has a square-integrable Itô integral with its isometry, a functional Itô calculus, or a martingale representation theorem. A complete development would provide the first formal statement and proof of a martingale representation formula with an explicit, nonanticipative integrand. The path-space and L2(X)\mathcal L^2(X)L2(X) layers are reusable for any work on path-dependent functionals.

Difficulty

The proof of the goal is short once its inputs are available, but each input is substantial.

  • Proposition 5.5 needs Theorem 5.2, which needs the functional Itô formula (Theorem 4.1 of the paper, the companion mission). It also needs the uniqueness of the decomposition of a continuous semimartingale.
  • Lemma 5.7 needs the totality of cylindrical integrands f(X(t1),…,X(tn))1t>tnf(X(t_1),\dots,X(t_n))1_{t>t_n}f(X(t1​),…,X(tn​))1t>tn​​ in L2(X)\mathcal L^2(X)L2(X). This is a monotone-class argument tied to the filtration being generated by XXX, and it fails for a larger filtration (take σ=sgn⁡(W)\sigma=\operatorname{sgn}(W)σ=sgn(W) in dimension one and the filtration of WWW).
  • Corollary 4.4 converts an identity of processes into an identity of integrands. This needs the quadratic variation of a stochastic integral and left-continuity of the integrand, and it gives nothing at t=0t=0t=0.

A tempting shortcut is to define ∇X\nabla_X∇X​ on I2(X)\mathcal I^2(X)I2(X) as the inverse of the Itô integral. That makes (56) a tautology and erases the link with the pathwise derivative, so the closure must be built from D(X)D(X)D(X).

Formalization scope

Time is R≥0\mathbb R_{\ge0}R≥0​, statements are made on [0,T)[0,T)[0,T), and functionals are defined on all paths, with every quantifier over path space restricted to cadlag pairs. The derivatives of a functional are explicit witnesses tied to it by HasDerivWithinAt and HasFDerivAt, so a derivative is never a junk value. The distance d∞d_\inftyd∞​ uses the max norm on Rd×Sd+\mathbb R^d\times S_d^+Rd×Sd+​ (sup norm on vectors, entrywise sup norm on matrices) and appears only through explicit bounds.

The formal setting makes these hypotheses explicit:

  1. The filtration is the completed natural filtration of XXX. Its right-continuity and AAA's adaptedness on the horizon are included from §2.
  2. E[X](T)<∞E[X](T)<\inftyE[X](T)<∞, through the square-integrable Itô integral defining XXX.
  3. σ\sigmaσ is progressively measurable, and X(0)X(0)X(0) is F0W\mathcal F^W_0F0W​-measurable.
  4. All paths of XXX are continuous and all paths of AAA are cadlag.

In ddd dimensions, φ2 d[X]\varphi^2\,d[X]φ2d[X] means φ⊤Aφ dt\varphi^\top A\varphi\,dtφ⊤Aφdt. The square-integrable Itô integral is a relation, defined through simple dyadic integrands and an almost-surely continuous integral process on [0,T][0,T][0,T]. This continuity selects the stochastic integral version from the limits at fixed times. The derivative of each test process is required to belong to L2(X)\mathcal L^2(X)L2(X), as Definition 5.4 states. Theorem 5.2 integrates by dyadic left Riemann sums in probability (EthierKurtz.itoStepSum). Corollary 4.4 is stated for 0<t<T0<t<T0<t<T, because the printed version fails at t=0t=0t=0.

The statements must not be trivialized. The closure of ∇X\nabla_X∇X​ is a relation, and its existence, uniqueness up to L2(X)\mathcal L^2(X)L2(X)-null sets, isometry and surjectivity are all conclusions, never definitions. Expectations of squares are lower integrals in [0,∞][0,\infty][0,∞], and every real expectation in (51), (53) and (55) comes with its integrability as part of the conclusion. L2(X)\mathcal L^2(X)L2(X) is not reduced to {0}\{0\}{0}, because det⁡σ≠0\det\sigma\ne0detσ=0. A derivative witness cannot be chosen freely, because it is tied to FFF.

Contributions are welcome on:

  • the L2L^2L2 Itô integral and its isometry for continuous square-integrable martingales;
  • the functional Itô formula, from the companion mission;
  • the monotone-class density of cylindrical integrands;
  • the left-limit and cadlag lemmas for path functionals.

Selected references

  • R. Cont and D.-A. Fournié, Functional Itô calculus and stochastic integral representation of martingales, Ann. Probab. 41(1):109–133, 2013. https://arxiv.org/abs/1002.2446 (v5), https://doi.org/10.1214/11-AOP721
  • R. Cont and D.-A. Fournié, Change of variable formulas for non-anticipative functionals on path space, J. Funct. Anal. 259(4):1043–1072, 2010. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jfa.2010.04.017
  • B. Dupire, Functional Itô calculus, Bloomberg Portfolio Research paper 2009-04, 2009. https://ssrn.com/abstract=1435551
  • D. Ocone, Malliavin's calculus and stochastic integral representations of functionals of diffusion processes, Stochastics 12:161–185, 1984. https://doi.org/10.1080/17442508408833299
  • P. Protter, Stochastic Integration and Differential Equations, 2nd ed., Springer, 2005. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-662-10061-5
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Operations ResearchOptimal TransportOptimization+1·Captain: mikedeng1

On a Problem of Optimal Transport Under Marginal Martingale Constraints 2: The Shadow of γ1 + γ2 in ν Is the Shadow of γ1 Plus the Shadow of γ2 in What RemainsResearch Paper

Motivation

The martingale optimal transport problem asks for a coupling of two probability measures μ,ν\mu,\nuμ,ν on R\mathbb RR that is the law of a one-step martingale and minimizes an expected cost. It arises in robust finance, where the marginals are the risk-neutral laws of an asset at two dates implied by option prices, and model-independent price bounds for exotic options are the extreme values of the problem (Beiglböck, Henry-Labordère, Penkner 2013; Galichon, Henry-Labordère, Touzi 2014).

Beiglböck and Juillet (arXiv:1208.1509v2, Ann. Probab. 44(1), 2016) construct a canonical martingale coupling, the left-curtain coupling, which plays the role that the monotone (quantile) coupling plays in classical transport. Its construction rests on one object, the shadow of a measure in another, and on one structural property of it: shadows are associative. This mission formalizes that property, Theorem 4.8 of the paper, together with the chain of results in §2.3 and §4.1–4.3 on which it rests.

Setting

Let M\mathcal MM be the set of finite Borel measures on R\mathbb RR with finite first moment, of any total mass. For μ,ν∈M\mu,\nu\in\mathcal Mμ,ν∈M:

  • the convex order μ⪯Cν\mu\preceq_C\nuμ⪯C​ν holds if ∫φ dμ≤∫φ dν\int\varphi\,d\mu\le\int\varphi\,d\nu∫φdμ≤∫φdν for every convex φ:R→R\varphi:\mathbb R\to\mathbb Rφ:R→R (this forces equal masses and equal barycentres);
  • the extended convex order μ⪯Eν\mu\preceq_E\nuμ⪯E​ν holds if the same inequality holds for every nonnegative convex φ\varphiφ; it holds both when μ⪯Cν\mu\preceq_C\nuμ⪯C​ν and when μ≤ν\mu\le\nuμ≤ν setwise;
  • the potential function of μ\muμ is uμ(x)=∫∣y−x∣ dμ(y)u_\mu(x)=\int|y-x|\,d\mu(y)uμ​(x)=∫∣y−x∣dμ(y);
  • a sequence (νn)(\nu_n)(νn​) converges weakly in M\mathcal MM to ν\nuν if ∫f dνn→∫f dν\int f\,d\nu_n\to\int f\,d\nu∫fdνn​→∫fdν for every continuous bounded fff and ∫∣x∣ dνn→∫∣x∣ dν\int|x|\,d\nu_n\to\int|x|\,d\nu∫∣x∣dνn​→∫∣x∣dν.

If μ⪯Eν\mu\preceq_E\nuμ⪯E​ν, a shadow of μ\muμ in ν\nuν is a measure η\etaη with (i) η≤ν\eta\le\nuη≤ν, (ii) μ⪯Cη\mu\preceq_C\etaμ⪯C​η, and (iii) η⪯Cη′\eta\preceq_C\eta'η⪯C​η′ for every η′\eta'η′ satisfying (i) and (ii). Lemma 4.6 of the paper shows that it exists and is unique; it is written Sν(μ)S^\nu(\mu)Sν(μ). It is the least spread-out part of ν\nuν into which μ\muμ can be transported by a martingale. An atom is a measure α δx\alpha\,\delta_xαδx​ with α≥0\alpha\ge0α≥0.

In the Lean development these objects are InM, ConvexLE, ExtConvexLE, potential, ConvergesInM and the predicate IsShadow ν μ η, in the namespace MartOT.Shadow.

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem 4.8 (shadow of a sum), p. 25

For γ1,γ2,ν∈M\gamma_1,\gamma_2,\nu\in\mathcal Mγ1​,γ2​,ν∈M with γ1+γ2⪯Eν\gamma_1+\gamma_2\preceq_E\nuγ1​+γ2​⪯E​ν,

γ2⪯Eν−Sν(γ1)andSν(γ1+γ2)=Sν(γ1)+Sν−Sν(γ1)(γ2).\gamma_2\preceq_E\nu-S^\nu(\gamma_1)\qquad\text{and}\qquad S^\nu(\gamma_1+\gamma_2)=S^\nu(\gamma_1)+S^{\nu-S^\nu(\gamma_1)}(\gamma_2).γ2​⪯E​ν−Sν(γ1​)andSν(γ1​+γ2​)=Sν(γ1​)+Sν−Sν(γ1​)(γ2​).

Milestones, in attack order

  1. Proposition 4.2 (p. 21): for equal masses, μ⪯Cν  ⟺  uμ≤uν\mu\preceq_C\nu\iff u_\mu\le u_\nuμ⪯C​ν⟺uμ​≤uν​; μ≤ν  ⟺  uν−uμ\mu\le\nu\iff u_\nu-u_\muμ≤ν⟺uν​−uμ​ is convex; for fixed mass and mean, convergence in M\mathcal MM is pointwise convergence of potential functions.
  2. Proposition 4.4 (p. 21): μ⪯Eν\mu\preceq_E\nuμ⪯E​ν implies μ⪯Cθ\mu\preceq_C\thetaμ⪯C​θ for some θ≤ν\theta\le\nuθ≤ν.
  3. Lemma 4.6 (p. 23): existence, uniqueness and property (iii′) of the shadow.
  4. Example 4.7 (p. 24): the shadow of an atom is the restriction of ν\nuν between two quantiles.
  5. Lemma 4.11 (p. 27): η−Sη(δ)≤ν−Sν(δ)\eta-S^\eta(\delta)\le\nu-S^\nu(\delta)η−Sη(δ)≤ν−Sν(δ) for an atom δ⪯Eη≤ν\delta\preceq_E\eta\le\nuδ⪯E​η≤ν.
  6. Lemma 4.12 (p. 27): the goal when γ1\gamma_1γ1​ is an atom.
  7. Lemma 4.13 (p. 28): the shadow of finitely many atoms, built one atom at a time.
  8. Lemma 2.9 (p. 15): approximation of γ∈M\gamma\in\mathcal Mγ∈M by a ⪯C\preceq_C⪯C​-increasing sequence of finitely supported measures below it.
  9. Proposition 4.15 (p. 29): shadows pass to limits of ⪯C\preceq_C⪯C​-increasing sequences.
  10. Lemma 4.16 (p. 29): the goal when γ2\gamma_2γ2​ is an atom, with δ⪯ESν(γ+δ)−Sν(γ)\delta\preceq_E S^\nu(\gamma+\delta)-S^\nu(\gamma)δ⪯E​Sν(γ+δ)−Sν(γ).

Significance

Theorem 4.8 is what makes the left-curtain coupling well defined and consistent. That coupling is the martingale plan which, for every xxx, sends μ∣]−∞,x]\mu|_{]-\infty,x]}μ∣]−∞,x]​ onto Sν(μ∣]−∞,x])S^\nu(\mu|_{]-\infty,x]})Sν(μ∣]−∞,x]​) (Theorem 4.18). Associativity says that the parts of ν\nuν assigned to μ∣]−∞,x]\mu|_{]-\infty,x]}μ∣]−∞,x]​ and to μ∣]x,x′]\mu|_{]x,x']}μ∣]x,x′]​ fit together into the part assigned to μ∣]−∞,x′]\mu|_{]-\infty,x']}μ∣]−∞,x′]​, so the family of shadows defines a single coupling. The uniqueness of left-monotone martingale plans and the optimality of the left-curtain coupling for the costs h(y−x)h(y-x)h(y−x) with h′h'h′ strictly convex, both later results of the paper, rest on it.

The result is proved in the paper. As far as is known it has no machine-checked proof. This mission produces a statement of it, and of the supporting results, in terms of measures of arbitrary finite mass with no reference to a chosen shadow function. A complete development would give Lean a theory of the convex order on finite measures through potential functions, which is reusable well beyond martingale transport.

Difficulty

For finitely atomic measures the identity follows by adding one atom at a time (Lemmas 4.12, 4.13, 4.16), but even the single-atom step needs a monotonicity property of shadows of atoms in varying targets (Lemma 4.11), and that property comes from their explicit description through quantile functions. The general case cannot be obtained by a direct manipulation of the minimality property (iii): minimality of Sν(γ1)S^\nu(\gamma_1)Sν(γ1​) and of Sν−Sν(γ1)(γ2)S^{\nu-S^\nu(\gamma_1)}(\gamma_2)Sν−Sν(γ1​)(γ2​) separately says nothing obvious about minimality of their sum among measures dominating γ1+γ2\gamma_1+\gamma_2γ1​+γ2​, because a competitor for the sum need not split into competitors for the summands. The paper passes to the limit along convex-order approximations, which requires a continuity property of the shadow (Proposition 4.15) in the topology of M\mathcal MM.

Formalization scope

  • Measures are MeasureTheory.Measure ℝ with membership in M\mathcal MM stated explicitly (InM: finite measure, identity integrable). Masses are arbitrary; nothing is normalized to probability measures.
  • Integrals of convex test functions are taken in EReal through the published ModelRiskOT.Duality.extIntegral (positive minus negative part), never as Bochner integrals, so a non-integrable test function cannot produce a junk value. The extended convex order uses lower Lebesgue integrals of nonnegative functions.
  • Shadows are the predicate IsShadow ν μ η, never a function built by choice. Every statement about Sν(⋅)S^\nu(\cdot)Sν(⋅) quantifies over all shadows, which with existence and uniqueness (Lemma 4.6, a milestone) is the paper's statement. Uniqueness is part of the conclusion of Lemma 4.6 and is not assumed elsewhere.
  • ν−η\nu-\etaν−η is Mathlib's truncated subtraction of measures. It is used only where η≤ν\eta\le\nuη≤ν is guaranteed by property (i) of a shadow. Lemma 4.16 additionally asserts Sν(γ)≤Sν(γ+δ)S^\nu(\gamma)\le S^\nu(\gamma+\delta)Sν(γ)≤Sν(γ+δ), so that the difference there is a genuine one.
  • Not a trivialization: in the goal, neither η1+η2≤ν\eta_1+\eta_2\le\nuη1​+η2​≤ν nor γ1+γ2⪯Cη1+η2\gamma_1+\gamma_2\preceq_C\eta_1+\eta_2γ1​+γ2​⪯C​η1​+η2​ nor the minimality of η1+η2\eta_1+\eta_2η1​+η2​ is assumed; all three are the content of the conclusion IsShadow ν (γ1 + γ2) (η1 + η2).
  • Added relative to the page: Lemma 4.11 states ν∈M\nu\in\mathcal Mν∈M, which the paper takes from context. Proposition 4.2's third bullet is split into an equivalence for each candidate limit and a uniqueness clause, which together are equivalent to the printed sentence. Lemma 4.10 (continuity of ν↦Sν(δ)\nu\mapsto S^\nu(\delta)ν↦Sν(δ) in the Kantorovich metric) and Proposition 4.17 are not included.
  • Needed infrastructure: potential functions and their second distributional derivatives, quantile functions of finite measures, weak convergence of finite measures with first moments. Contributions to any of these are welcome.

Selected references

  • M. Beiglböck, N. Juillet, On a problem of optimal transport under marginal martingale constraints, Ann. Probab. 44(1), 42–106, 2016. arXiv:1208.1509v2, doi:10.1214/14-AOP966
  • M. Beiglböck, P. Henry-Labordère, F. Penkner, Model-independent bounds for option prices — a mass transport approach, Finance Stoch. 17(3), 477–501, 2013. doi:10.1007/s00780-013-0205-8
  • A. Galichon, P. Henry-Labordère, N. Touzi, A stochastic control approach to no-arbitrage bounds given marginals, with an application to lookback options, Ann. Appl. Probab. 24(1), 312–336, 2014. doi:10.1214/13-AAP925
  • V. Strassen, The existence of probability measures with given marginals, Ann. Math. Statist. 36, 423–439, 1965. doi:10.1214/aoms/1177700153
17 thms1 active userReviewed
Operations ResearchOptimal TransportOptimization+1·Captain: mikedeng1

On a Problem of Optimal Transport Under Marginal Martingale Constraints 5: For c = ϕ(x)ψ(y), ψ Strictly Convex, ϕ Strictly Decreasing, the Left-Curtain Coupling Is the Unique OptimizerResearch Paper

Motivation

Martingale optimal transport asks for the cheapest way to couple two given laws μ\muμ and ν\nuν on R\mathbb RR by a one-step martingale: a pair (X,Y)(X,Y)(X,Y) with X∼μX\sim\muX∼μ, Y∼νY\sim\nuY∼ν and E[Y∣X]=XE[Y\mid X]=XE[Y∣X]=X. The problem arises in mathematical finance, where μ\muμ and ν\nuν are the risk-neutral laws of an asset at two maturities, implied by quoted vanilla option prices, and the extremal values of E[c(X,Y)]E[c(X,Y)]E[c(X,Y)] over all such couplings are model-independent price bounds for the exotic payoff ccc (Beiglböck, Henry-Labordère, Penkner 2013; Galichon, Henry-Labordère, Touzi 2014). In classical optimal transport on the line, a single coupling, the monotone (quantile) coupling, is optimal for a whole family of costs. Beiglböck and Juillet (arXiv:1208.1509, Ann. Probab. 2016) identify its martingale counterpart, the left-curtain coupling πlc\pi_{lc}πlc​, and determine costs for which it is optimal.

This mission formalizes one of those optimality results, Theorem 6.3: for product costs c(x,y)=φ(x)ψ(y)c(x,y)=\varphi(x)\psi(y)c(x,y)=φ(x)ψ(y) with ψ\psiψ strictly convex and φ\varphiφ decreasing, πlc\pi_{lc}πlc​ is the unique optimizer.

Setting

Let M\mathcal MM be the set of finite Borel measures on R\mathbb RR with finite first moment. For μ,ν∈M\mu,\nu\in\mathcal Mμ,ν∈M the convex order μ⪯Cν\mu\preceq_C\nuμ⪯C​ν means ∫ϕ dμ≤∫ϕ dν\int\phi\,d\mu\le\int\phi\,d\nu∫ϕdμ≤∫ϕdν for every convex ϕ:R→R\phi:\mathbb R\to\mathbb Rϕ:R→R; it forces equal mass and equal mean. The extended convex order μ⪯Eν\mu\preceq_E\nuμ⪯E​ν asks this only for nonnegative convex ϕ\phiϕ.

A transport plan from μ\muμ to ν\nuν is a measure π\piπ on R×R\mathbb R\times\mathbb RR×R with marginals μ\muμ and ν\nuν; the set of them is Π(μ,ν)\Pi(\mu,\nu)Π(μ,ν). It is a martingale transport plan, π∈ΠM(μ,ν)\pi\in\Pi_M(\mu,\nu)π∈ΠM​(μ,ν), if y−xy-xy−x is π\piπ-integrable and

∫ρ(x) (y−x) dπ(x,y)=0for every bounded Borel ρ,\int\rho(x)\,(y-x)\,d\pi(x,y)=0\quad\text{for every bounded Borel }\rho,∫ρ(x)(y−x)dπ(x,y)=0for every bounded Borel ρ,

that is, the conditional law πx\pi_xπx​ of yyy given xxx has barycentre xxx for μ\muμ-almost every xxx. For a cost c:R2→Rc:\mathbb R^2\to\mathbb Rc:R2→R the cost of a plan is Eπ[c]=∫c dπ∈(−∞,+∞]E_\pi[c]=\int c\,d\pi\in(-\infty,+\infty]Eπ​[c]=∫cdπ∈(−∞,+∞], the value is CM(μ,ν)=inf⁡π∈ΠM(μ,ν)Eπ[c]C_M(\mu,\nu)=\inf_{\pi\in\Pi_M(\mu,\nu)}E_\pi[c]CM​(μ,ν)=infπ∈ΠM​(μ,ν)​Eπ​[c], and π\piπ is optimal if it belongs to ΠM(μ,ν)\Pi_M(\mu,\nu)ΠM​(μ,ν) and attains this infimum.

For a plan π\piπ and t∈Rt\in\mathbb Rt∈R, the measure νtπ=proj#y(π∣(−∞,t]×R)\nu^\pi_t=\mathrm{proj}^y_\#(\pi|_{(-\infty,t]\times\mathbb R})νtπ​=proj#y​(π∣(−∞,t]×R​) is where π\piπ sends the left part μ∣(−∞,t]\mu|_{(-\infty,t]}μ∣(−∞,t]​ of μ\muμ. Given μ⪯Eν\mu\preceq_E\nuμ⪯E​ν, the shadow Sν(μ)S^\nu(\mu)Sν(μ) is the measure η\etaη with η≤ν\eta\le\nuη≤ν and μ⪯Cη\mu\preceq_C\etaμ⪯C​η that is ⪯C\preceq_C⪯C​-below every other such measure. The left-curtain coupling of μ⪯Cν\mu\preceq_C\nuμ⪯C​ν is the plan πlc\pi_{lc}πlc​ with

proj#x(πlc∣(−∞,x]×R)=μ∣(−∞,x],νxπlc=Sν(μ∣(−∞,x])(x∈R).\mathrm{proj}^x_\#(\pi_{lc}|_{(-\infty,x]\times\mathbb R})=\mu|_{(-\infty,x]},\qquad \nu^{\pi_{lc}}_x=S^\nu(\mu|_{(-\infty,x]})\qquad(x\in\mathbb R).proj#x​(πlc​∣(−∞,x]×R​)=μ∣(−∞,x]​,νxπlc​​=Sν(μ∣(−∞,x]​)(x∈R).

It sends every left part of μ\muμ to the most concentrated part of ν\nuν that can receive it by a martingale.

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem 6.3

Let μ⪯Cν\mu\preceq_C\nuμ⪯C​ν be finite measures, ψ≥0\psi\ge0ψ≥0 strictly convex, φ≥0\varphi\ge0φ≥0 strictly decreasing, c(x,y)=φ(x)ψ(y)c(x,y)=\varphi(x)\psi(y)c(x,y)=φ(x)ψ(y), and assume CM(μ,ν)<+∞C_M(\mu,\nu)<+\inftyCM​(μ,ν)<+∞. Then

πlc is optimal, and every optimal π∈ΠM(μ,ν) equals πlc.\pi_{lc}\ \text{is optimal, and every optimal }\pi\in\Pi_M(\mu,\nu)\text{ equals }\pi_{lc}.πlc​ is optimal, and every optimal π∈ΠM​(μ,ν) equals πlc​.

Milestones

  1. Lemma 4.6: for μ⪯Eν\mu\preceq_E\nuμ⪯E​ν in M\mathcal MM the shadow exists and is unique.
  2. Theorem 4.18: for μ⪯Cν\mu\preceq_C\nuμ⪯C​ν the left-curtain coupling exists, is unique, and lies in ΠM(μ,ν)\Pi_M(\mu,\nu)ΠM​(μ,ν).
  3. Proof of Theorem 4.21: for every π∈ΠM(μ,ν)\pi\in\Pi_M(\mu,\nu)π∈ΠM​(μ,ν) and sss, νsπ≤ν\nu^\pi_s\le\nuνsπ​≤ν, μ∣(−∞,s]⪯Cνsπ\mu|_{(-\infty,s]}\preceq_C\nu^\pi_sμ∣(−∞,s]​⪯C​νsπ​, and νsπlc⪯Cνsπ\nu^{\pi_{lc}}_s\preceq_C\nu^\pi_sνsπlc​​⪯C​νsπ​.
  4. Equation (16): ∫φ(x)ψ(y) dπ=∫0∞(∫ψ dν{φ≥t}π)dt\displaystyle\int\varphi(x)\psi(y)\,d\pi=\int_0^\infty\Big(\int\psi\,d\nu^\pi_{\{\varphi\ge t\}}\Big)dt∫φ(x)ψ(y)dπ=∫0∞​(∫ψdν{φ≥t}π​)dt.
  5. Equality case: for η⪯Cη′\eta\preceq_C\eta'η⪯C​η′ and ψ\psiψ strictly convex with ∫ψ dη′<∞\int\psi\,d\eta'<\infty∫ψdη′<∞, ∫ψ dη=∫ψ dη′\int\psi\,d\eta=\int\psi\,d\eta'∫ψdη=∫ψdη′ iff η=η′\eta=\eta'η=η′.
  6. §1.3: a plan in Π(μ,ν)\Pi(\mu,\nu)Π(μ,ν) is determined by the family (νtπ)t∈R(\nu^\pi_t)_{t\in\mathbb R}(νtπ​)t∈R​.

Significance

Theorem 6.3 gives a class of costs for which the martingale transport problem has an explicit, cost-independent solution, and does so with uniqueness and without any regularity of φ\varphiφ beyond monotonicity. In the financial reading, every payoff of the form φ(X)ψ(Y)\varphi(X)\psi(Y)φ(X)ψ(Y) with these shape properties has its model-independent lower price bound attained by one and the same model, the left-curtain martingale, which depends only on the marginals. The result complements Theorem 6.1 of the same paper (costs h(y−x)h(y-x)h(y−x) with h′h'h′ strictly convex), proved by a different, variational route.

The theorem is proved in the paper. No machine-checked version is known: neither the left-curtain coupling nor shadows nor martingale optimal transport on R\mathbb RR appears in Mathlib or on the platform. A formalization produces the shadow construction, the left-curtain coupling as a Lean object with its characterization, and the comparison principle "πlc\pi_{lc}πlc​ has the ⪯C\preceq_C⪯C​-least targets", all of which are reused by the other results of the series (uniqueness of the left-monotone plan, Theorem 6.1, the support bounds of §7).

Difficulty

The obvious argument compares costs plan by plan, but the convex order of two measures alone does not order the integrals of a strictly convex ψ\psiψ strictly: that ∫ψ dη=∫ψ dη′\int\psi\,d\eta=\int\psi\,d\eta'∫ψdη=∫ψdη′ forces η=η′\eta=\eta'η=η′ requires representing η′\eta'η′ as a martingale image of η\etaη (Strassen's theorem on R\mathbb RR) and the equality case of Jensen's inequality, with care about infinite integrals. The second obstacle is the passage from "equal targets for almost every level ttt of φ\varphiφ" to "equal plans": the superlevel sets of a strictly decreasing φ\varphiφ are half-lines that may be open or closed at the jumps of φ\varphiφ, so the targets must be controlled for both kinds of half-line, and a null set of levels must be bridged by monotonicity of t↦νtπt\mapsto\nu^\pi_tt↦νtπ​. Existence of shadows (Lemma 4.6) is itself a nontrivial construction through potential functions uμ(x)=∫∣y−x∣ dμ(y)u_\mu(x)=\int|y-x|\,d\mu(y)uμ​(x)=∫∣y−x∣dμ(y).

Formalization scope

Measures are Mathlib Measure ℝ and Measure (ℝ × ℝ) with the Borel σ-algebras. μ\muμ and ν\nuν are finite, not necessarily probability, measures, as the theorem states; membership in M\mathcal MM is part of ConvexLE. Integrals that may be infinite take values in EReal, through the published ModelRiskOT.Duality.extIntegral (∫f+−∫f−\int f^+-\int f^-∫f+−∫f−). ΠM\Pi_MΠM​ is encoded by the characterization above with bounded test functions ρ\rhoρ. The shadow and the left-curtain coupling are predicates (IsShadow, IsLeftCurtain); their existence and uniqueness are milestones, never built into definitions. "Optimal" is minimality of cost over martingale plans; attainment is not assumed.

Two hypotheses are read into the printed statement. "Decreasing" is strict: with φ≡1\varphi\equiv1φ≡1 all martingale plans have the same cost ∫ψ dν\int\psi\,d\nu∫ψdν, and for μ\muμ uniform on {−1,1}\{-1,1\}{−1,1}, ν\nuν uniform on {−2,0,2}\{-2,0,2\}{−2,0,2} there are infinitely many of them. CM(μ,ν)<+∞C_M(\mu,\nu)<+\inftyCM​(μ,ν)<+∞ is added, as the proof assumes a plan of finite cost; otherwise every plan is optimal. A formalization in which πlc\pi_{lc}πlc​ is merely some plan, the cost is a Bochner integral (which is 000 for non-integrable integrands), or optimality is taken among all plans rather than martingale plans would not be Theorem 6.3. Theorem 4.18 is stated for finite measures of equal mass, the generality Theorem 6.3 needs. Strassen's theorem is already posed on the platform (PalmQueueing.Ordering.strassen_cx) and is not restated.

A complete development needs the convex order on finite measures, shadows, the left-curtain coupling, a layer-cake identity for product integrands and the equality case of the convex order for strictly convex test functions. The shadow and left-curtain layers are reusable across the whole series; contributions to any milestone, and to general lemmas on the convex order of finite (not only probability) measures, are welcome.

Selected references

  • M. Beiglböck, N. Juillet, On a problem of optimal transport under marginal martingale constraints, Ann. Probab. 44(1), 42–106, 2016. arXiv:1208.1509v2, doi:10.1214/14-AOP966
  • M. Beiglböck, P. Henry-Labordère, F. Penkner, Model-independent bounds for option prices — a mass transport approach, Finance Stoch. 17, 477–501, 2013. doi:10.1007/s00780-013-0205-8
  • A. Galichon, P. Henry-Labordère, N. Touzi, A stochastic control approach to no-arbitrage bounds given marginals, with an application to lookback options, Ann. Appl. Probab. 24(1), 312–336, 2014. doi:10.1214/13-AAP925
  • V. Strassen, The existence of probability measures with given marginals, Ann. Math. Statist. 36, 423–439, 1965. doi:10.1214/aoms/1177700153
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Differential GeometryNumerical AnalysisOptimization·Captain: mikedeng1

Riemannian Proximal Gradient Methods I: Every Accumulation Point of the Riemannian Proximal Gradient Method Is Stationary, with an Explicit Iteration BoundResearch Paper

Motivation

Many problems in statistics, signal processing and machine learning minimize a smooth loss plus a nonsmooth regularizer over a set that is a manifold rather than a vector space: sparse principal component analysis over the Stiefel manifold, sparse blind deconvolution over the sphere, low-rank recovery over fixed-rank matrices. In Euclidean space the standard tool for min⁡f+g\min f + gminf+g with fff smooth and ggg nonsmooth is the proximal gradient method, whose convergence theory (stationarity of limit points, an O(1/ϵ2)O(1/\epsilon^2)O(1/ϵ2) bound on the number of iterations to reach an ϵ\epsilonϵ-small step, an O(1/k)O(1/k)O(1/k) rate under convexity) is classical (Beck–Teboulle 2009).

Huang and Wei (arXiv:1909.06065, Mathematical Programming 2021) proposed the Riemannian proximal gradient method (RPG): at each iterate the proximal subproblem is posed on the tangent space, the nonsmooth term is pulled back through a retraction, and the next iterate is obtained by retracting the computed step. Unlike the earlier ManPG method of Chen, Ma, So and Zhang (2020), which uses the Euclidean proximal mapping of an embedding space, RPG is defined intrinsically on any manifold with a retraction. Its global convergence theorem is the subject of this mission.

Setting

Let M\mathcal MM be a finite-dimensional manifold with a smooth Riemannian metric ⟨⋅,⋅⟩x\langle\cdot,\cdot\rangle_x⟨⋅,⋅⟩x​ on each tangent space TxMT_x\mathcal MTx​M, with norm ∥⋅∥x\|\cdot\|_x∥⋅∥x​. A retraction is a smooth map R:TM→MR : T\mathcal M\to\mathcal MR:TM→M, (x,η)↦Rx(η)(x,\eta)\mapsto R_x(\eta)(x,η)↦Rx​(η), with Rx(0x)=xR_x(0_x) = xRx​(0x​)=x and DRx(0x)=idDR_x(0_x) = \mathrm{id}DRx​(0x​)=id. The vector transport by differentiated retraction is Tηx=DRx(ηx):TxM→TRx(ηx)M\mathcal T_{\eta_x} = DR_x(\eta_x) : T_x\mathcal M\to T_{R_x(\eta_x)}\mathcal MTηx​​=DRx​(ηx​):Tx​M→TRx​(ηx​)​M; Tηx♯\mathcal T^\sharp_{\eta_x}Tηx​♯​ denotes its adjoint for the two metrics and Tηx−♯\mathcal T^{-\sharp}_{\eta_x}Tηx​−♯​ the adjoint of its inverse.

The problem is

min⁡x∈MF(x)=f(x)+g(x),\min_{x\in\mathcal M} F(x) = f(x) + g(x),x∈Mmin​F(x)=f(x)+g(x),

with fff continuously differentiable, Riemannian gradient grad⁡f\operatorname{grad} fgradf, and ggg continuous, possibly nonsmooth. For h:M→Rh : \mathcal M\to\mathbb Rh:M→R the Riemannian Clarke subdifferential is defined through the pull-back h^x=h∘Rx\hat h_x = h\circ R_xh^x​=h∘Rx​ on the Hilbert space TxMT_x\mathcal MTx​M:

h^x∘(η;v)=lim sup⁡ξ→η, t↓0h^x(ξ+tv)−h^x(ξ)t,∂h(x)={ζ∈TxM∣⟨ζ,v⟩x≤h^x∘(0x;v) ∀v}.\hat h_x^\circ(\eta; v) = \limsup_{\xi\to\eta,\ t\downarrow 0}\frac{\hat h_x(\xi+tv)-\hat h_x(\xi)}{t},\qquad \partial h(x) = \{\zeta\in T_x\mathcal M \mid \langle\zeta,v\rangle_x\le\hat h_x^\circ(0_x;v)\ \forall v\}.h^x∘​(η;v)=ξ→η, t↓0limsup​th^x​(ξ+tv)−h^x​(ξ)​,∂h(x)={ζ∈Tx​M∣⟨ζ,v⟩x​≤h^x∘​(0x​;v) ∀v}.

A point xxx is stationary if 0∈∂F(x)0\in\partial F(x)0∈∂F(x).

Algorithm 1 (RPG). Given x0x_0x0​ and a constant L~>L\tilde L > LL~>L, for k=0,1,…k = 0,1,\dotsk=0,1,… let

ℓxk(η)=⟨grad⁡f(xk),η⟩xk+L~2∥η∥xk2+g(Rxk(η)),\ell_{x_k}(\eta) = \langle\operatorname{grad} f(x_k),\eta\rangle_{x_k} + \frac{\tilde L}{2}\|\eta\|_{x_k}^2 + g(R_{x_k}(\eta)),ℓxk​​(η)=⟨gradf(xk​),η⟩xk​​+2L~​∥η∥xk​2​+g(Rxk​​(η)),

choose ηxk∗∈TxkM\eta^*_{x_k}\in T_{x_k}\mathcal Mηxk​∗​∈Txk​​M that is a stationary point of ℓxk\ell_{x_k}ℓxk​​ with ℓxk(0)≥ℓxk(ηxk∗)\ell_{x_k}(0)\ge\ell_{x_k}(\eta^*_{x_k})ℓxk​​(0)≥ℓxk​​(ηxk​∗​) (condition (3.1)), and set xk+1=Rxk(ηxk∗)x_{k+1} = R_{x_k}(\eta^*_{x_k})xk+1​=Rxk​​(ηxk​∗​).

Assumption 3.1. FFF is bounded below and Ωx0={x∣F(x)≤F(x0)}\Omega_{x_0} = \{x \mid F(x)\le F(x_0)\}Ωx0​​={x∣F(x)≤F(x0​)} is compact. Assumption 3.2. fff is LLL-retraction-smooth on Ωx0\Omega_{x_0}Ωx0​​: f(Rx(η))≤f(x)+⟨grad⁡f(x),η⟩x+L2∥η∥x2f(R_x(\eta))\le f(x) + \langle\operatorname{grad} f(x),\eta\rangle_x + \frac L2\|\eta\|_x^2f(Rx​(η))≤f(x)+⟨gradf(x),η⟩x​+2L​∥η∥x2​ (inequality (3.2)).

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem 3.1

For every run of Algorithm 1: if ηxk∗=0\eta^*_{x_k} = 0ηxk​∗​=0 then xkx_kxk​ is stationary. Under Assumptions 3.1 and 3.2, {xk}\{x_k\}{xk​} has an accumulation point, every accumulation point x∗x_*x∗​ is stationary, and for every ϵ>0\epsilon > 0ϵ>0 some iterate with index at most

F(x0)−F(x∗)βϵ2,β=L~−L2,\frac{F(x_0)-F(x_*)}{\beta\epsilon^2},\qquad\beta = \frac{\tilde L - L}{2},βϵ2F(x0​)−F(x∗​)​,β=2L~−L​,

satisfies ∥ηxk∗∥xk≤ϵ\|\eta^*_{x_k}\|_{x_k}\le\epsilon∥ηxk​∗​∥xk​​≤ϵ.

Milestones, in the order the proof uses them

  • Lemma 3.1 (descent): F(xk)−F(xk+1)≥β∥ηxk∗∥xk2F(x_k) - F(x_{k+1})\ge\beta\|\eta^*_{x_k}\|_{x_k}^2F(xk​)−F(xk+1​)≥β∥ηxk​∗​∥xk​2​.
  • (3.6): lim⁡k∥ηxk∗∥xk=0\lim_k\|\eta^*_{x_k}\|_{x_k} = 0limk​∥ηxk​∗​∥xk​​=0.
  • Lemma 3.2: for a continuous vector field ξ\xiξ, ∥ξy−Tηx−♯ξx∥y→0\|\xi_y - \mathcal T^{-\sharp}_{\eta_x}\xi_x\|_y\to 0∥ξy​−Tηx​−♯​ξx​∥y​→0 as ηx→0\eta_x\to 0ηx​→0 on the tangent bundle, y=Rx(ηx)y = R_x(\eta_x)y=Rx​(ηx​).
  • (3.8): at every iteration some ζ∈∂g(xk+1)\zeta\in\partial g(x_{k+1})ζ∈∂g(xk+1​) satisfies grad⁡f(xk)+L~ηxk∗+TRηxk∗♯ζ=0\operatorname{grad} f(x_k)+\tilde L\eta^*_{x_k}+\mathcal T^\sharp_{R_{\eta^*_{x_k}}}\zeta = 0gradf(xk​)+L~ηxk​∗​+TRηxk​∗​​♯​ζ=0.
  • (3.9): where the transport is invertible, grad⁡f(xk+1)−T−♯(grad⁡f(xk)+L~ηxk∗)=grad⁡f(xk+1)+ζ∈∂F(xk+1)\operatorname{grad} f(x_{k+1}) - \mathcal T^{-\sharp}(\operatorname{grad} f(x_k)+\tilde L\eta^*_{x_k}) = \operatorname{grad} f(x_{k+1})+\zeta\in\partial F(x_{k+1})gradf(xk+1​)−T−♯(gradf(xk​)+L~ηxk​∗​)=gradf(xk+1​)+ζ∈∂F(xk+1​).

Significance

Theorem 3.1 is the basic convergence guarantee of RPG: the method is a descent method without any convexity of ggg, its limit points satisfy the first-order necessary condition 0∈∂F0\in\partial F0∈∂F, and the number of iterations needed to make the step small is explicit, with the same O(1/ϵ2)O(1/\epsilon^2)O(1/ϵ2) dependence as in the Euclidean case. It underlies the further analyses of the same paper (the O(1/k)O(1/k)O(1/k) rate under retraction convexity and the Kurdyka–Łojasiewicz analysis) and of later Riemannian proximal methods.

The theorem is proved on paper; no machine-checked version exists. Formalizing it requires a Clarke subdifferential on tangent spaces, its calculus (sum rule with a C1C^1C1 function, chain rule through a local diffeomorphism) and its closedness along convergent sequences on a manifold. None of these is in Mathlib. They are reusable well beyond this paper by any Riemannian nonsmooth optimization method.

Difficulty

The descent inequality and the iteration bound are elementary once Lemma 3.1 is available. The difficulty is the stationarity of accumulation points. The subproblem's optimality condition (3.8) lives in the tangent space at xkx_kxk​ and involves a subgradient of ggg at xk+1x_{k+1}xk+1​; to pass to the limit, the gradients and subgradients must be compared across different tangent spaces, which is what the inverse-adjoint transport and Lemma 3.2 do. This needs joint continuity of the retraction and its differential on the tangent bundle and continuity of the metric, and then a closedness property of the Riemannian Clarke subdifferential that the paper cites from Hosseini, Huang and Yousefpour (2018, Theorem 2.2(c)) and that a complete development must prove. A pointwise argument at a fixed base point does not suffice, because the base points xkjx_{k_j}xkj​​ move.

Formalization scope

Theorem numbers and pages are those of arXiv:1909.06065v4. The manifold is modelled on a finite-dimensional real inner-product space EEE and carries a RiemannianBundle with a smooth metric (IsContMDiffRiemannianBundle). Retraction, differentiated-retraction transport and Riemannian gradient are the published definitions RiemOpt.BFGS.Setting and RiemOpt.FR.Setting; joint smoothness of RRR on the tangent bundle is added, as on p. 4. The Clarke limit superior is taken in EReal along N(η)×N>0(0)\mathcal N(\eta)\times\mathcal N_{>0}(0)N(η)×N>0​(0), so it never takes a default value. Accumulation points are MapClusterPt, and "in at most NNN iterations" is an index k≤Nk\le Nk≤N. A run of Algorithm 1 is any sequence of iterates and steps satisfying (3.1); the step is a selection, not a function of the iterate.

Two hypotheses are explicit in the Lean statements. Each pull-back g∘Rxg\circ R_xg∘Rx​ is locally Lipschitz, which p. 5 requires for the subdifferential to be defined. fff is C1C^1C1, because the proof applies Lemma 3.2 to grad⁡f\operatorname{grad} fgradf. Assumption 3.2 is stated in the form the proof of Lemma 3.1 uses: (3.2) at every x∈Ωx0x\in\Omega_{x_0}x∈Ωx0​​ for every tangent vector. Definition 3.1 read literally only constrains η\etaη with Rx(η)∈Ωx0R_x(\eta)\in\Omega_{x_0}Rx​(η)∈Ωx0​​, and under that reading Lemma 3.1 fails: a nonconvex ggg can send x1x_1x1​ far outside Ωx0\Omega_{x_0}Ωx0​​. The paper's own sufficient condition gives the strengthened form.

The formalization must not trivialize stationarity. The subdifferential is defined from the Clarke derivative of the pull-back alone. It does not involve T−♯\mathcal T^{-\sharp}T−♯ or ContinuousLinearMap.inverse, so 0∈∂F(x)0\in\partial F(x)0∈∂F(x) is a genuine condition. The run hypotheses are satisfiable, for instance on M=R\mathcal M = \mathbb RM=R with Rx(η)=x+ηR_x(\eta) = x+\etaRx​(η)=x+η, f(x)=x2f(x) = x^2f(x)=x2, g=0g = 0g=0, xk=0x_k = 0xk​=0, ηk=0\eta_k = 0ηk​=0.

Welcome contributions: the Clarke calculus on a real Hilbert space (sum rule, chain rule through a C1C^1C1 map, upper semicontinuity), local invertibility of DRx(η)DR_x(\eta)DRx​(η) near the zero section, and the closedness of the Riemannian subdifferential on the tangent bundle.

Selected references

  • W. Huang, K. Wei, Riemannian proximal gradient methods, Mathematical Programming, 2021. arXiv:1909.06065v4. https://arxiv.org/abs/1909.06065, https://doi.org/10.1007/s10107-021-01632-3
  • S. Hosseini, W. Huang, R. Yousefpour, Line search algorithms for locally Lipschitz functions on Riemannian manifolds, SIAM Journal on Optimization 28(1):596–619, 2018 (reference [29] of Huang–Wei; source of the Riemannian Clarke subdifferential and of its closedness, Theorem 2.2(c)). https://epubs.siam.org/toc/sjope8/28/1
  • P.-A. Absil, R. Mahony, R. Sepulchre, Optimization Algorithms on Matrix Manifolds, Princeton University Press, 2008. https://doi.org/10.1515/9781400830244
  • S. Chen, S. Ma, A. M.-C. So, T. Zhang, Proximal gradient method for nonsmooth optimization over the Stiefel manifold, SIAM Journal on Optimization 30 (2020). https://doi.org/10.1137/18M122457X
  • A. Beck, M. Teboulle, A fast iterative shrinkage-thresholding algorithm for linear inverse problems, SIAM Journal on Imaging Sciences 2 (2009). https://doi.org/10.1137/080716542
  • F. H. Clarke, Optimization and Nonsmooth Analysis, Wiley, 1983. https://doi.org/10.1137/1.9781611971309
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Dynamical SystemsMachine LearningOptimization+1·Captain: mikedeng1

Convergence and Dynamical Behavior of the ADAM Algorithm for Nonconvex Stochastic Optimization 4: Constant-Step Adam Iterates Converge in Probability to the ODE Solution as γ → 0Research Paper

Motivation

Adam (Kingma and Ba, 2015, arXiv:1412.6980) is one of the most widely used optimizers for training neural networks. It is a stochastic gradient method that keeps exponential moving averages of the stochastic gradients and of their coordinatewise squares, rescales both by bias-correction factors, and divides the first by the square root of the second. Its original convergence analysis was shown to be flawed (Reddi, Kale and Kumar, 2018, arXiv:1904.09237), and in the regime in which practitioners actually run it, with a constant step size, the iterates do not converge.

Barakat and Bianchi (arXiv:1810.02263, SIAM J. Math. Data Sci. 3(1), 2021) describe what constant-step Adam does instead: as the step size γ\gammaγ tends to zero, with the averaging parameters tending to one at rates proportional to γ\gammaγ, the interpolated iterates follow a deterministic non-autonomous ordinary differential equation. This mission formalizes that statement, Theorem 4.3 of the paper, together with the lemmas of its proof (§8.1).

Setting

Let Z=Rd×Rd×Rd\mathcal Z = \mathbb R^d\times\mathbb R^d\times\mathbb R^dZ=Rd×Rd×Rd with points z=(x,m,v)z=(x,m,v)z=(x,m,v), and Z+\mathcal Z_+Z+​ its subset with v≥0v\ge0v≥0 coordinatewise. A random sample ξ\xiξ with law μ\muμ on a measurable space Ξ\XiΞ enters through an integrand f(x,ξ)f(x,\xi)f(x,ξ) with gradient ∇f(x,ξ)\nabla f(x,\xi)∇f(x,ξ) in xxx. The objective is F(x)=Ef(x,ξ)F(x)=\mathbb E f(x,\xi)F(x)=Ef(x,ξ) and the second-moment map is S(x)=E∇f(x,ξ)⊙2S(x)=\mathbb E\nabla f(x,\xi)^{\odot2}S(x)=E∇f(x,ξ)⊙2.

Given a step size γ>0\gamma>0γ>0, parameters α=αˉ(γ)\alpha=\bar\alpha(\gamma)α=αˉ(γ), β=βˉ(γ)\beta=\bar\beta(\gamma)β=βˉ​(γ) in [0,1)[0,1)[0,1) and ε>0\varepsilon>0ε>0, the Adam map Tγ,α,β(n,z,ξ)T_{\gamma,\alpha,\beta}(n,z,\xi)Tγ,α,β​(n,z,ξ) sends (x,m,v)(x,m,v)(x,m,v) to

(x−γ(1−αn)−1(αm+(1−α)∇f(x,ξ))ε+(1−βn)−1/2(βv+(1−β)∇f(x,ξ)⊙2)1/2, αm+(1−α)∇f(x,ξ), βv+(1−β)∇f(x,ξ)⊙2),\Big(x-\frac{\gamma(1-\alpha^n)^{-1}(\alpha m+(1-\alpha)\nabla f(x,\xi))}{\varepsilon+(1-\beta^n)^{-1/2}(\beta v+(1-\beta)\nabla f(x,\xi)^{\odot2})^{1/2}},\ \alpha m+(1-\alpha)\nabla f(x,\xi),\ \beta v+(1-\beta)\nabla f(x,\xi)^{\odot2}\Big),(x−ε+(1−βn)−1/2(βv+(1−β)∇f(x,ξ)⊙2)1/2γ(1−αn)−1(αm+(1−α)∇f(x,ξ))​, αm+(1−α)∇f(x,ξ), βv+(1−β)∇f(x,ξ)⊙2),

coordinatewise. The constant-step iterates are z0γ=(x0,0,0)z^\gamma_0=(x_0,0,0)z0γ​=(x0​,0,0) and znγ=Tγ,αˉ(γ),βˉ(γ)(n,zn−1γ,ξn)z^\gamma_n=T_{\gamma,\bar\alpha(\gamma),\bar\beta(\gamma)}(n,z^\gamma_{n-1},\xi_n)znγ​=Tγ,αˉ(γ),βˉ​(γ)​(n,zn−1γ​,ξn​), driven by iid samples ξ1,ξ2,…\xi_1,\xi_2,\dotsξ1​,ξ2​,… with law μ\muμ. The interpolated process zγ\mathsf z^\gammazγ is the piecewise linear function with zγ(nγ)=znγ\mathsf z^\gamma(n\gamma)=z^\gamma_nzγ(nγ)=znγ​.

The parameters satisfy (1−αˉ(γ))/γ→a>0(1-\bar\alpha(\gamma))/\gamma\to a>0(1−αˉ(γ))/γ→a>0 and (1−βˉ(γ))/γ→b>0(1-\bar\beta(\gamma))/\gamma\to b>0(1−βˉ​(γ))/γ→b>0 as γ↓0\gamma\downarrow0γ↓0, with b≤4ab\le4ab≤4a. The limiting Adam ODE is z˙(t)=h(t,z(t))\dot z(t)=h(t,z(t))z˙(t)=h(t,z(t)), z(0)=(x0,0,0)z(0)=(x_0,0,0)z(0)=(x0​,0,0), where for t>0t>0t>0

h(t,z)=(−(1−e−at)−1mε+(1−e−bt)−1v, a(∇F(x)−m), b(S(x)−v)).h(t,z)=\Big(-\frac{(1-e^{-at})^{-1}m}{\varepsilon+\sqrt{(1-e^{-bt})^{-1}v}},\ a(\nabla F(x)-m),\ b(S(x)-v)\Big).h(t,z)=(−ε+(1−e−bt)−1v​(1−e−at)−1m​, a(∇F(x)−m), b(S(x)−v)).

The vector field is singular at t=0t=0t=0. A global solution is a continuous map z:[0,∞)→Z+z:[0,\infty)\to\mathcal Z_+z:[0,∞)→Z+​, continuously differentiable on (0,∞)(0,\infty)(0,∞), that satisfies the equation for every t>0t>0t>0.

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem 4.3

Under the paper's assumptions (Assumptions 2.2 to 2.5, 4.1, and 4.2 ii) with p=2p=2p=2),

∀T>0, ∀δ>0,lim⁡γ↓0P(sup⁡t∈[0,T]∥zγ(t)−z(t)∥>δ)=0,\forall T>0,\ \forall\delta>0,\qquad \lim_{\gamma\downarrow0}\mathbb P\Big(\sup_{t\in[0,T]}\|\mathsf z^\gamma(t)-z(t)\|>\delta\Big)=0,∀T>0, ∀δ>0,γ↓0lim​P(t∈[0,T]sup​∥zγ(t)−z(t)∥>δ)=0,

where zzz is the global solution of the Adam ODE from (x0,0,0)(x_0,0,0)(x0​,0,0).

Milestones, in the order of the proof

  • Lemma 8.1. A uniform (1+s)(1+s)(1+s)-moment bound for the normalised increment Hγ(n+1,z,ξ)H_\gamma(n+1,z,\xi)Hγ​(n+1,z,ξ) over states whose debiased version eγ(n,z)e_\gamma(n,z)eγ​(n,z) lies in a ball.
  • Lemma 8.2. Uniform integrability of the increments of the truncated iterates zγ,Rz^{\gamma,R}zγ,R, which are stopped when the debiased iterate leaves the ball of radius RRR.
  • Lemma 8.3. Tightness of the truncated interpolated processes zγ,R\mathsf z^{\gamma,R}zγ,R in C([0,∞),Z)C([0,\infty),\mathcal Z)C([0,∞),Z), and vanishing in probability of the accumulated martingale noise.
  • Proposition 7.6. The debiased trajectories eˉ(t+η,z(t))\bar e(t+\eta,z(t))eˉ(t+η,z(t)) of the ODE stay in one compact set, and F(x(t))≤F(x0)F(x(t))\le F(x_0)F(x(t))≤F(x0​).
  • Lemma 8.4. The mean field hγ(φn,zn)h_\gamma(\varphi_n,z_n)hγ​(φn​,zn​) converges to h(t,z)h(t,z)h(t,z) when γφn→t\gamma\varphi_n\to tγφn​→t.
  • Proposition 7.12. The ODE has exactly one global solution.
  • Eq. (8.4). For R≥R0+1R\ge R_0+1R≥R0​+1, with R0=sup⁡t>0∥eˉ(t,z(t))∥R_0=\sup_{t>0}\|\bar e(t,z(t))\|R0​=supt>0​∥eˉ(t,z(t))∥, the truncated process converges in probability to zzz, uniformly on [0,T][0,T][0,T].

Significance

The theorem justifies the continuous-time model of Adam that the rest of the paper studies. The convergence of the ODE to critical points of FFF (Theorem 3.2) and its rates (Theorem 3.4) say something about the algorithm only through this approximation. It also isolates the role of the bias correction: the initial condition (x0,0,0)(x_0,0,0)(x0​,0,0) and the singular factors (1−e−at)−1(1-e^{-at})^{-1}(1−e−at)−1 are exactly the trace of the debiasing step. The result is also the first step towards the long-run statement, Theorem 4.5, which bounds the time the iterates spend away from the critical points as γ→0\gamma\to0γ→0.

The result is proved on paper. To the knowledge of the mission, none of it is machine-checked: there is no formal statement of Adam's dynamics on Prove2Me. A complete development would give a checked instance of the ODE method for a non-autonomous, non-Lipschitz limit field and a non-homogeneous Markov chain. The surrounding stochastic-approximation library (truncation by stopping, uniform integrability, tightness of interpolated processes, identification of limits by uniqueness) applies to other adaptive methods, such as RMSProp and AdaGrad variants, whose limits have the same structure.

Difficulty

The standard argument for constant-step stochastic approximation assumes a time-homogeneous mean field that is locally Lipschitz. Neither holds here. The mean field hγ(n,z)h_\gamma(n,z)hγ​(n,z) depends on the iteration index through the bias-correction factors (1−αˉ(γ)n)−1(1-\bar\alpha(\gamma)^n)^{-1}(1−αˉ(γ)n)−1. Its limit h(t,z)h(t,z)h(t,z) blows up as t↓0t\downarrow0t↓0, and it is not Lipschitz in vvv near v=0v=0v=0. A direct Gronwall comparison between the iterates and the ODE therefore fails at the origin of time, which is exactly where the iterates start.

The iterates are also not known to be bounded. Moment bounds are only available while the debiased iterate stays in a ball. This forces the truncation BRB_RBR​ and an argument that the truncation is asymptotically never triggered. That argument needs uniform-in-time bounds on the ODE solution (Proposition 7.6) and uniqueness of the solution (Proposition 7.12), and both rest on a Lyapunov function specific to the case b≤4ab\le4ab≤4a.

Formalization scope

  • Spaces and norm. Z\mathcal ZZ is E d × E d × E d with E d = EuclideanSpace ℝ (Fin d). The paper's ∥z∥\|z\|∥z∥ is the Euclidean norm of R3d\mathbb R^{3d}R3d, written zNorm, not Mathlib's max norm on products.
  • Randomness. The probability space is explicit, with a probability measure P\mathbb PP. Independence of (ξn+1)n(\xi_{n+1})_n(ξn+1​)n​ is stated with iIndepFun. Every ξn\xi_nξn​ with n≥1n\ge1n≥1 has law μ\muμ, and ξ0\xi_0ξ0​ is unused.
  • Gradient. ∇f\nabla f∇f is a given function, measurable in ξ\xiξ, that equals the gradient of f(⋅,ξ)f(\cdot,\xi)f(⋅,ξ) for μ\muμ-almost every ξ\xiξ.
  • Expectations. Moments, the supremum in Lemma 8.1 and the uniform-integrability expectations are lower Lebesgue integrals in [0,∞][0,\infty][0,∞]. FFF, SSS and hγh_\gammahγ​ are Bochner integrals, which the hypotheses make integrable.
  • Solutions of the ODE. Solutions are maps R→Z\mathbb R\to\mathcal ZR→Z constrained only on [0,∞)[0,\infty)[0,∞), and uniqueness means agreement on [0,∞)[0,\infty)[0,∞). The deterministic Propositions 7.6 and 7.12 are stated for any FFF, SSS satisfying the paper's §7 hypotheses.
  • Limit and supremum. The limit is γ↓0\gamma\downarrow0γ↓0 (𝓝[>] 0). The event sup⁡t∈[0,T]∥⋅∥>δ\sup_{t\in[0,T]}\|\cdot\|>\deltasupt∈[0,T]​∥⋅∥>δ is written as ∃t∈[0,T], ∥⋅∥>δ\exists t\in[0,T],\ \|\cdot\|>\delta∃t∈[0,T], ∥⋅∥>δ, which is the same event.
  • Tightness. Tightness uses the paper's definition with the compact-open topology on C([0,∞),Z)C([0,\infty),\mathcal Z)C([0,∞),Z).
  • Corrections. Two corrections to the page are recorded in the items. Lemma 8.1 restricts its n=0n=0n=0 case to m=0m=0m=0, because as printed that case is false. Lemma 8.4 states the implicit regime γn→0\gamma_n\to0γn​→0.

A trivializing formalization is ruled out. TTT and δ\deltaδ are universally quantified before the limit and do not depend on γ\gammaγ. The limit is in γ\gammaγ, not in nnn at fixed γ\gammaγ; constant-step Adam does not converge in nnn. The solution zzz is tied to the FFF, SSS, aaa, bbb of the stochastic model. All hypotheses are satisfiable, for example by f(x,ξ)=12∥x∥2+ξ⟨1,x⟩f(x,\xi)=\tfrac12\|x\|^2+\xi\langle\mathbf 1,x\ranglef(x,ξ)=21​∥x∥2+ξ⟨1,x⟩ with ξ=±1\xi=\pm1ξ=±1 equiprobable.

A complete development needs:

  • the deterministic ODE theory of the companion missions (Lyapunov function, boundedness, uniqueness);
  • moment and uniform-integrability bounds;
  • a tightness criterion in C([0,∞),Z)C([0,\infty),\mathcal Z)C([0,∞),Z) (Arzelà–Ascoli);
  • Prokhorov's and Skorokhod's theorems, or a direct substitute;
  • dominated convergence for hγh_\gammahγ​.

Contributions to any of these, including reusable statements about interpolated processes, are welcome.

Selected references

  • A. Barakat and P. Bianchi, Convergence and Dynamical Behavior of the ADAM Algorithm for Nonconvex Stochastic Optimization, SIAM J. Math. Data Sci. 3(1), 2021; arXiv:1810.02263v4. https://arxiv.org/abs/1810.02263
  • D. P. Kingma and J. Ba, Adam: A Method for Stochastic Optimization, ICLR, 2015. https://arxiv.org/abs/1412.6980
  • S. J. Reddi, S. Kale and S. Kumar, On the Convergence of Adam and Beyond, ICLR, 2018. https://arxiv.org/abs/1904.09237
  • M. Benaïm, Dynamics of stochastic approximation algorithms, Séminaire de Probabilités XXXIII, LNM 1709, Springer, 1999. https://doi.org/10.1007/BFb0096509
  • P. Bianchi, W. Hachem and A. Salim, Constant step stochastic approximations involving differential inclusions: stability, long-run convergence and applications, Stochastics 91, 2019, pp. 288–320 (reference [6] of the paper; its Lemma 6.2 gives Lemma 8.3). https://arxiv.org/abs/1802.07981
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Operations ResearchOptimal TransportOptimization+1·Captain: mikedeng1

Optimal Transport-Based Distributionally Robust Optimization: Structural Properties and Iterative Schemes 5: Worst-Case Displacements √δ G_δ Grow Monotonically in δ Along Straight LinesResearch Paper

Why radius sensitivity matters

A distributionally robust decision evaluates a rule against every data distribution within a specified transport budget of a baseline law. The budget is a modeling choice: increasing it expresses more uncertainty about the data. A robust objective value can increase with that budget, but the value alone does not describe how the adverse distribution changes. For a fixed linear decision, Blanchet, Murthy, and Zhang identify the worst-case distribution and ask what happens to each observation as the budget increases. Their Theorem 7 gives a sample-wise answer in a small-radius regime: adverse observations move along straight lines, and their distance from the original observations grows monotonically.

This matters when a robust solution is interpreted through its adverse scenarios. The result says that two nearby ambiguity budgets do not produce unrelated worst-case data sets. They produce a coherent family of transported observations whose directions are determined by the sign of the loss derivative. The theorem is a structural property of an optimal-transport ambiguity set, beyond a bound on its optimal value. It appears in a paper that also develops dual formulas and iterative optimization schemes for the same model Blanchet, Murthy, and Zhang, 2022.

Model and notation

Let XXX take values in Rd\mathbb R^dRd with baseline law P0P_0P0​. A decision β\betaβ belongs to a convex set B⊆RdB\subseteq\mathbb R^dB⊆Rd and incurs loss ℓ(β⊤X)\ell(\beta^\top X)ℓ(β⊤X). At each source point xxx, a positive-definite matrix A(x)A(x)A(x) defines the transport cost

c(x,x′)=(x−x′)⊤A(x)(x−x′).c(x,x')=(x-x')^\top A(x)(x-x').c(x,x′)=(x−x′)⊤A(x)(x−x′).

The matrix may depend on xxx, so movement can be cheaper in different directions and at different observations. The model requires lower semicontinuity of ccc and almost-sure lower and upper spectral bounds for A(x)A(x)A(x). A distribution PPP is within the ambiguity ball of radius δ>0\delta>0δ>0 when it can be coupled with P0P_0P0​ at expected cost at most δ\deltaδ. The worst-case objective is the supremum of EP[ℓ(β⊤X)]E_P[\ell(\beta^\top X)]EP​[ℓ(β⊤X)] over that ball. In Lean, the equivalent coupling formulation records a joint law π\piπ with first marginal P0P_0P0​, second marginal PPP, and cost at most δ\deltaδ.

The paper reduces the worst-case calculation to a dual objective fδ(β,λ)f_\delta(\beta,\lambda)fδ​(β,λ), where λ≥0\lambda\ge0λ≥0 prices the transport budget. Its pointwise term ℓrob(β,λ;x)\ell_{\rm rob}(\beta,\lambda;x)ℓrob​(β,λ;x) is the supremum over a scalar γ\gammaγ of the function F(γ,β,λ;x)F(\gamma,\beta,\lambda;x)F(γ,β,λ;x) in display (7). The set of maximizing scalars is Γ∗(β,λ;x)\Gamma^*(\beta,\lambda;x)Γ∗(β,λ;x). A scalar maximizer Gδ(x)G_\delta(x)Gδ​(x) produces a transported observation

Xδ∗=x+δ Gδ(x)A(x)−1β.X^*_\delta=x+\sqrt\delta\,G_\delta(x)A(x)^{-1}\beta.Xδ∗​=x+δ​Gδ​(x)A(x)−1β.

Assumptions 2–4 require a convex loss with controlled growth, a fourth moment of P0P_0P0​, bounded second derivatives of the loss, a nondegenerate loss derivative, and compactness of BBB. The statement here also uses Assumption 5, local strong convexity with a positive-probability nondegeneracy condition. The paper’s proof of Theorem 7 uses that condition through its small-radius strong-convexity result Theorems 4 and 7.

Formalization targets

For each fixed β∈B∖{0}\beta\in B\setminus\{0\}β∈B∖{0}, the goal asserts that there is a common threshold δ1>0\delta_1>0δ1​>0 and a family GδG_\deltaGδ​ such that the law of Xδ∗X^*_\deltaXδ∗​ is the unique worst-case distribution for every 0<δ<δ10<\delta<\delta_10<δ<δ1​. For any pair 0<δ<δ′<δ10<\delta<\delta'<\delta_10<δ<δ′<δ1​, it asserts, P0P_0P0​-almost surely,

0<δ Gδ<δ′ Gδ′if ℓ′(β⊤X)>0,δ′ Gδ′<δ Gδ<0if ℓ′(β⊤X)<0,Gδ=0if ℓ′(β⊤X)=0.\begin{aligned} 0&<\sqrt\delta\,G_\delta<\sqrt{\delta'}\,G_{\delta'} &&\text{if }\ell'(\beta^\top X)>0,\\ \sqrt{\delta'}\,G_{\delta'}&<\sqrt\delta\,G_\delta<0 &&\text{if }\ell'(\beta^\top X)<0,\\ G_\delta&=0 &&\text{if }\ell'(\beta^\top X)=0. \end{aligned}0δ′​Gδ′​Gδ​​<δ​Gδ​<δ′​Gδ′​<δ​Gδ​<0=0​​if ℓ′(β⊤X)>0,if ℓ′(β⊤X)<0,if ℓ′(β⊤X)=0.​

Consequently,

∥Xδ∗−X∥≤∥Xδ′∗−X∥.\|X^*_\delta-X\|\le\|X^*_{\delta'}-X\|.∥Xδ∗​−X∥≤∥Xδ′∗​−X∥.

The goal keeps the uniqueness and primal attainment clauses together with these comparisons. The milestones follow the paper’s prerequisites: the optimizer and curvature bounds of Proposition 9, the unique worst-case law of Theorem 6(e), uniqueness of the dual minimizer at small radius, and the sign of the pointwise maximizer. Each has its own statement so solvers can use it elsewhere.

What the result establishes

The theorem gives a consistent interpretation of changes in the ambiguity radius. If the loss increases locally in the decision direction, an adverse observation moves farther in that direction; if the loss decreases, it moves farther in the opposite direction; at a stationary score it stays put. The corresponding displacement norm is monotone for each radius pair, almost surely. This is stronger than monotonicity of the worst-case objective value: it describes the geometry of a family of optimizers, not only their values.

The paper proves the result in §5.4. The work of this mission is to formalize its hypotheses, optimality claims, and sample-wise inequalities in Lean. The published ModelRiskOT.Duality coupling definitions already give a reusable primal interface; this mission adds the state-dependent quadratic cost, the scalar dual model, its small-radius regions, and the comparative-statics statements. The proof obligations remain open in this draft. Their formalization would also make the dual optimizer bounds and the deterministic transport representation reusable in later optimal-transport DRO developments.

Where the mathematical difficulty sits

The worst-case value being monotone in δ\deltaδ does not force a particular worst-case distribution, or each observation in one, to move monotonically. The theorem needs a unique worst-case law and a coherent choice of pointwise maximizers as δ\deltaδ varies. The scalar maximizer depends on both the radius and the dual price, while the optimal dual price itself changes with the radius. The paper’s small-radius conditions keep this joint variation controlled. Without uniqueness, two optimal laws could differ even at the same radius, and a sample-wise comparison would have no fixed object to compare.

The result also involves several layers of almost-sure reasoning. Spectral bounds on A(x)A(x)A(x) hold only outside a null set; the relevant maximizer and its transported law must be measurable enough to define pushforwards and expectations. These conditions must be carried through the theorem without silently replacing an almost-sure claim by a pointwise one.

Formalization scope

Vectors use EuclideanSpace ℝ (Fin d), and the baseline is a Borel probability measure. The decision set is convex and compact and is explicitly nonempty. Assumption 1 gives positive definiteness of A(x)A(x)A(x) everywhere, lower semicontinuity of the cost, and almost-sure uniform spectral bounds. The loss satisfies Assumptions 2–5. The fourth moment in Assumption 2 and the bounds on ℓ′′\ell''ℓ′′ control the integrals used by the dual theory. A positive ambiguity radius is required whenever its square root appears.

The dual terms ℓrob\ell_{\rm rob}ℓrob​ and fδf_\deltafδ​ use extended-real values, since the pointwise supremum can be infinite. The worst-case value is a supremum over feasible couplings, with signed loss integrated using the published extended-real integral. A graph coupling witnesses attainment, and every optimal coupling must have the same second marginal. This ties the family GδG_\deltaGδ​ to the actual worst-case distribution rather than an arbitrary monotone scalar field. Almost-everywhere measurability of GδG_\deltaGδ​ and the transport map is part of the conclusion.

The radius δ\deltaδ varies inside the goal. The threshold δ1\delta_1δ1​ is chosen before any radius pair, and the comparisons are stated almost surely for each pair. The paper prints Theorem 7 under Assumptions 1–4 while referring to δ1\delta_1δ1​ and invoking Theorem 4, which uses Assumption 5; this mission includes Assumption 5 explicitly. It also reads the singleton clause of Theorem 6(e) almost surely, because its threshold is an essential supremum, and uses a non-strict lower curvature bound in Proposition 9(b), as its proof permits. Contributions on the small-radius dual theory, measurable maximizers, primal attainment, and the radius comparisons are all within scope.

Selected references

  • J. Blanchet, K. Murthy, and F. Zhang, Optimal Transport-Based Distributionally Robust Optimization: Structural Properties and Iterative Schemes, Mathematics of Operations Research 47(2), 2022. arXiv:1810.02403v3.
  • J. Blanchet and K. Murthy, Quantifying Distributional Model Risk via Optimal Transport, Mathematics of Operations Research 44(2), 2019. arXiv:1604.01446v2.
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AnalysisProbabilityStochastic Systems·Captain: mikedeng1

Functional Itô Calculus and Stochastic Integral Representation of Martingales 1: Functional Itô Formula for C^{1,2}_b Nonanticipative Functionals of a Continuous SemimartingaleResearch Paper

Motivation

Many quantities in stochastic analysis and mathematical finance depend on the whole past of a process, not only on its current value: running maxima, averages, integrals against the quadratic variation, payoffs of path-dependent options, conditional expectations of path functionals. The classical Itô formula describes the evolution of f(t,X(t))f(t,X(t))f(t,X(t)) for a smooth function fff of the current state; it says nothing directly about a process Y(t)=Ft(Xt)Y(t)=F_t(X_t)Y(t)=Ft​(Xt​) that depends on the path Xt=(X(u))u≤tX_t=(X(u))_{u\le t}Xt​=(X(u))u≤t​.

In 2009 Dupire proposed two pathwise derivatives for such functionals, a horizontal (time) derivative obtained by freezing the path and a vertical (space) derivative obtained by bumping its endpoint, and a change-of-variable formula built on them (Dupire 2009). Cont and Fournié gave this calculus a rigorous framework and proved the functional Itô formula for continuous semimartingales (Cont and Fournié, Ann. Probab. 2013; preprint arXiv:1002.2446v5). The companion paper (Cont and Fournié, J. Funct. Anal. 2010) gives a pathwise version in the spirit of Föllmer. The formula underlies the martingale representation results of the same paper and the later theory of path-dependent PDEs.

Setting

Fix a horizon T>0T>0T>0. A path is a cadlag function on [0,t][0,t][0,t]; D([0,t],Rd)D([0,t],\mathbb R^d)D([0,t],Rd) denotes the Rd\mathbb R^dRd-valued ones and St=D([0,t],Sd+)\mathcal S_t=D([0,t],S_d^+)St​=D([0,t],Sd+​) the paths with values in the positive semidefinite d×dd\times dd×d matrices. For a path xxx:

  • xtx_txt​ is its restriction to [0,t][0,t][0,t], and the horizontal extension xt,hx_{t,h}xt,h​ (4) continues it flat on (t,t+h](t,t+h](t,t+h];
  • the vertical perturbation xtex_t^exte​ (5), e∈Rde\in\mathbb R^de∈Rd, moves only the endpoint: xte(t)=x(t)+ex_t^e(t)=x(t)+exte​(t)=x(t)+e;
  • xt−x_{t-}xt−​ equals xxx on [0,t)[0,t)[0,t) and the left limit x(t−)x(t-)x(t−) at ttt.

A nonanticipative functional F=(Ft)t∈[0,T)F=(F_t)_{t\in[0,T)}F=(Ft​)t∈[0,T)​ assigns a real number Ft(x,v)F_t(x,v)Ft​(x,v) to each pair (x,v)∈D([0,t],Rd)×St(x,v)\in D([0,t],\mathbb R^d)\times\mathcal S_t(x,v)∈D([0,t],Rd)×St​, measurably for the σ\sigmaσ-algebra generated by the evaluations of the paths (Definition 2.1). Paths at different times are compared with the distance (9),

d∞((t,x,v),(t′,x′,v′))=∣t−t′∣+sup⁡u≤T∣(xt,T−t,vt,T−t)(u)−(xt′,T−t′′,vt′,T−t′′)(u)∣.d_\infty\big((t,x,v),(t',x',v')\big)=|t-t'|+\sup_{u\le T}\big|(x_{t,T-t},v_{t,T-t})(u)-(x'_{t',T-t'},v'_{t',T-t'})(u)\big| .d∞​((t,x,v),(t′,x′,v′))=∣t−t′∣+u≤Tsup​​(xt,T−t​,vt,T−t​)(u)−(xt′,T−t′′​,vt′,T−t′′​)(u)​.

FFF is left-continuous (Cl0,0\mathbb C^{0,0}_lCl0,0​, Definition 2.4) if Ft−h(x′,v′)F_{t-h}(x',v')Ft−h​(x′,v′) is close to Ft(x,v)F_t(x,v)Ft​(x,v) whenever (t−h,x′,v′)(t-h,x',v')(t−h,x′,v′) is d∞d_\inftyd∞​-close to (t,x,v)(t,x,v)(t,x,v); it is boundedness preserving (B\mathbb BB, Definition 2.5) if it is bounded on sets of paths with values in a compact set. The horizontal derivative is

DtF(x,v)=lim⁡h→0+Ft+h(xt,h,vt,h)−Ft(xt,vt)h,\mathcal D_tF(x,v)=\lim_{h\to0+}\frac{F_{t+h}(x_{t,h},v_{t,h})-F_t(x_t,v_t)}{h},Dt​F(x,v)=h→0+lim​hFt+h​(xt,h​,vt,h​)−Ft​(xt​,vt​)​,

and the vertical derivative ∇xFt(x,v)\nabla_xF_t(x,v)∇x​Ft​(x,v) is the gradient at e=0e=0e=0 of e↦Ft(xte,vt)e\mapsto F_t(x_t^e,v_t)e↦Ft​(xte​,vt​); ∇x2F\nabla_x^2F∇x2​F is the vertical derivative of ∇xF\nabla_xF∇x​F. Cb1,2([0,T))\mathbb C^{1,2}_b([0,T))Cb1,2​([0,T)) (Definition 3.6) is the class of left-continuous FFF with DF\mathcal DFDF continuous at fixed times, ∇xF,∇x2F\nabla_xF,\nabla_x^2F∇x​F,∇x2​F left-continuous, and DF,∇xF,∇x2F∈B\mathcal DF,\nabla_xF,\nabla_x^2F\in\mathbb BDF,∇x​F,∇x2​F∈B.

On a filtered probability space satisfying the usual hypotheses, XXX is a continuous Rd\mathbb R^dRd-valued semimartingale and its quadratic covariation has a density, [X](t)=∫0tA(s) ds[X](t)=\int_0^tA(s)\,ds[X](t)=∫0t​A(s)ds (3), with AAA cadlag, adapted, Sd+S_d^+Sd+​-valued. FFF has predictable dependence on vvv when Ft(x,v)=Ft(x,vt−)F_t(x,v)=F_t(x,v_{t-})Ft​(x,v)=Ft​(x,vt−​) (10).

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem 4.1 (p. 11)

For every F∈Cb1,2F\in\mathbb C^{1,2}_bF∈Cb1,2​ verifying (10) and every t∈[0,T)t\in[0,T)t∈[0,T), almost surely,

Ft(Xt,At)−F0(X0,A0)=∫0tDuF(Xu,Au) du+∫0t∇xFu(Xu,Au)⋅dX(u)+∫0t12tr⁡(∇x2Fu(Xu,Au) d[X](u)).F_t(X_t,A_t)-F_0(X_0,A_0)=\int_0^t\mathcal D_uF(X_u,A_u)\,du+\int_0^t\nabla_xF_u(X_u,A_u)\cdot dX(u)+\int_0^t\tfrac12\operatorname{tr}\big(\nabla_x^2F_u(X_u,A_u)\,d[X](u)\big).Ft​(Xt​,At​)−F0​(X0​,A0​)=∫0t​Du​F(Xu​,Au​)du+∫0t​∇x​Fu​(Xu​,Au​)⋅dX(u)+∫0t​21​tr(∇x2​Fu​(Xu​,Au​)d[X](u)).

Milestones, in attack order

  1. Lemma A.1 (p. 21): a cadlag function is uniformly continuous up to its jumps, ∣f(x)−f(y)∣≤ε+sup⁡(x,y]∣Δf∣|f(x)-f(y)|\le\varepsilon+\sup_{(x,y]}|\Delta f|∣f(x)−f(y)∣≤ε+sup(x,y]​∣Δf∣ for ∣x−y∣≤η(ε)|x-y|\le\eta(\varepsilon)∣x−y∣≤η(ε).
  2. Lemma A.3 (p. 22): step functions along partitions whose mesh and off-partition jumps vanish converge uniformly to a cadlag function.
  3. Lemma A.2 (p. 22): the first time after a stopping time at which a cadlag adapted process jumps by more than α\alphaα is a stopping time.
  4. Lemma 2.6 (p. 6): for F∈Cl0,0F\in\mathbb C^{0,0}_lF∈Cl0,0​, t↦Ft(xt−,vt−)t\mapsto F_t(x_{t-},v_{t-})t↦Ft​(xt−​,vt−​) is left-continuous.
  5. Theorem 2.7 (iii) (p. 7): for F∈Cl0,0F\in\mathbb C^{0,0}_lF∈Cl0,0​ verifying (10), Ft(Xt,At)F_t(X_t,A_t)Ft​(Xt​,At​) is a predictable process.
  6. Display (34) (p. 12): Ft+h(xt,h,vt,h)−Ft(xt,vt)=∫0hDt+uF(xt,u,vt,u) duF_{t+h}(x_{t,h},v_{t,h})-F_t(x_t,v_t)=\int_0^h\mathcal D_{t+u}F(x_{t,u},v_{t,u})\,duFt+h​(xt,h​,vt,h​)−Ft​(xt​,vt​)=∫0h​Dt+u​F(xt,u​,vt,u​)du.
  7. The bounded case of the proof (pp. 11–13): (30) when XXX stays in a compact set and ∥A∥∞≤R\|A\|_\infty\le R∥A∥∞​≤R.

Significance

Theorem 4.1 shows that a path-dependent process Y=F(X,A)Y=F(X,A)Y=F(X,A) is a semimartingale whose decomposition is computed from the jet (DF,∇xF,∇x2F)(\mathcal DF,\nabla_xF,\nabla_x^2F)(DF,∇x​F,∇x2​F) along the path of XXX. It contains the classical Itô formula (Ft(x,v)=f(t,x(t))F_t(x,v)=f(t,x(t))Ft​(x,v)=f(t,x(t))) and covers functionals such as ∫0tg(x(u))v(u) du\int_0^tg(x(u))v(u)\,du∫0t​g(x(u))v(u)du, x(t)2−∫0tv(u) dux(t)^2-\int_0^tv(u)\,dux(t)2−∫0t​v(u)du and exp⁡(x(t)−12∫0tv(u) du)\exp(x(t)-\tfrac12\int_0^tv(u)\,du)exp(x(t)−21​∫0t​v(u)du). Downstream it yields the identification of the martingale part of F(X,A)F(X,A)F(X,A), the intrinsic character of the vertical derivative of an adapted process (Corollary 4.4), and the representation Y(T)=Y(0)+∫0T∇XY⋅dXY(T)=Y(0)+\int_0^T\nabla_XY\cdot dXY(T)=Y(0)+∫0T​∇X​Y⋅dX of smooth martingales (Theorem 5.2), which is the subject of the second mission of this series.

The result is proved in the paper. No machine-checked proof of it exists; the classical multidimensional Itô formula itself is an open goal on this platform (EthierKurtz.ito_formula). This mission produces a formal definition layer for functional Itô calculus (stopped paths, the metric d∞d_\inftyd∞​, the regularity classes, pathwise derivatives) and a formal statement of the formula with its supporting lemmas.

Difficulty

The obvious argument fails at its first step: a path functional cannot be differentiated along the path of XXX. The horizontal derivative freezes the path and the vertical derivative bumps only its endpoint; neither is a perturbation of XXX in the direction of its own increments, so the chain rule behind the classical Itô formula has nothing to act on. A second obstruction is regularity: AAA is only cadlag, the derivatives of FFF are only left-continuous or continuous at fixed times for d∞d_\inftyd∞​, and the paths at which they must be evaluated live on intervals of different lengths. Any limit procedure therefore needs uniform control of cadlag paths in the sup norm, which fails across their jumps, together with convergence theorems for stochastic integrals whose integrands are only locally bounded. Finally, the classical Itô formula, which is a special case, is itself not yet formalized.

Formalization scope

Time is [0,∞)[0,\infty)[0,∞) with horizon TTT, and every statement concerns t<Tt<Tt<T. Paths are functions on [0,∞)[0,\infty)[0,∞); a path on [0,t][0,t][0,t] is represented by its stopped version u↦x(min⁡(u,t))u\mapsto x(\min(u,t))u↦x(min(u,t)), which also serves as the horizontal extension. Functionals are defined on all path pairs and are required to be nonanticipative (Ft(x,v)=Ft(xt,vt)F_t(x,v)=F_t(x_t,v_t)Ft​(x,v)=Ft​(xt​,vt​)); every continuity, boundedness and differentiability condition quantifies only over pairs cadlag on [0,t][0,t][0,t] with positive semidefinite vvv, as in the paper. The norm on pairs (vector, matrix) is the largest absolute value of the entries; "d∞<ηd_\infty<\etad∞​<η" is an explicit bound, so unbounded suprema never count. The derivatives are witnesses tied to FFF by one-sided and Fréchet derivative statements, which makes them unique; free derivative witnesses, a functional that is not nonanticipative, and conditions over non-cadlag paths are each excluded. Definition 2.1's measurability is part of the class: without it Theorem 2.7 fails.

The semimartingale is X=X(0)+V+MX=X(0)+V+MX=X(0)+V+M with VVV continuous, adapted, of bounded variation, and MMM a continuous local martingale componentwise (the published EthierKurtz.IsSourceLocalMartingale); (3) uses the published EthierKurtz.HasCrossVariation. The Itô integral in (30) is the limit in probability of dyadic left Riemann sums (the published EthierKurtz.itoStepSum): the goal states that these sums converge to the remaining terms of (30). This is the a.s. identity, not a weakening, because limits in probability are unique; it is not a junk limit, because the integrand is left-continuous up to a dXdXdX-null set, adapted and locally bounded. The dududu-integrals have bounded integrands by B\mathbb BB, so the Bochner integrals are genuine.

A complete development needs: cadlag path lemmas (A.1–A.3), stopping times of jumps, the predictable σ\sigmaσ-algebra (in Mathlib), the classical Itô formula, and dominated convergence for stochastic integrals. The cadlag lemmas and the path-space layer are reusable beyond this mission. Proofs of any milestone, of the classical Itô formula, and of the stochastic-integral convergence theorems are welcome.

Selected references

  • R. Cont, D.-A. Fournié, Functional Itô calculus and stochastic integral representation of martingales, Ann. Probab. 41(1):109–133, 2013. https://doi.org/10.1214/11-AOP721 (preprint arXiv:1002.2446v5, https://arxiv.org/abs/1002.2446v5)
  • R. Cont, D.-A. Fournié, Change of variable formulas for non-anticipative functionals on path space, J. Funct. Anal. 259(4):1043–1072, 2010. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jfa.2010.04.017
  • B. Dupire, Functional Itô calculus, Bloomberg Portfolio Research Paper 2009-04, 2009. https://ssrn.com/abstract=1435551
  • P. Protter, Stochastic Integration and Differential Equations, 2nd ed., Springer, 2004. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-662-10061-5
  • C. Dellacherie, P.-A. Meyer, Probabilities and Potential, North-Holland, 1978.
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Operations ResearchOptimizationProbability·Captain: mikedeng1

Approximation Algorithms for Product Framing and Pricing 1: The NEST Framing Algorithm Earns at Least 6/π² of the Optimal Expected Revenue When Page Views Are NBUEResearch Paper

Product framing in online retail

An online retailer does not show its catalogue at once. Products are arranged on a sequence of pages, and a consumer looks at the first few pages and then chooses among what she has seen, or leaves. Where a product is placed therefore decides whether it is considered at all. Gallego, Li, Truong and Wang (Operations Research, 2020) call the placement decision product framing. They show that the optimal framing problem is NP-hard even with two pages and a multinomial logit choice model, and give polynomial-time framing algorithms with constant performance guarantees.

The paper builds on the assortment optimization literature, where a seller chooses one set of products to offer under a choice model, and on work in which consideration sets depend on how products are presented. Davis, Topaloglu and Williamson (2015) studied a sequential assortment problem in which products are added over time. Two of their results, on how per-product revenue behaves when products are removed, are the structural inputs of this mission. Aouad and Segev (2016) studied a variant with one product per page under the MNL model, in which every product must be displayed.

Setting

There are nnn products [n]={1,…,n}[n]=\{1,\dots,n\}[n]={1,…,n}, and product iii earns unit revenue rir_iri​. The products are placed on mmm pages, each holding at most ppp products, and a product may be left undisplayed. A consumer views the first XXX pages, where X∈[m]X\in[m]X∈[m] is random with law λ(x)=P[X=x]\lambda(x)=\mathbb P[X=x]λ(x)=P[X=x] and tail Λ(x)=P[X≥x]\Lambda(x)=\mathbb P[X\ge x]Λ(x)=P[X≥x], independent of the framing. Her consideration set is the set of products on pages 1,…,X1,\dots,X1,…,X.

A choice model gives, for each consideration set S⊆[n]S\subseteq[n]S⊆[n], purchase probabilities P(i,S)≥0P(i,S)\ge0P(i,S)≥0 with P(i,S)=0P(i,S)=0P(i,S)=0 for i∉Si\notin Si∈/S and ∑i∈SP(i,S)≤1\sum_{i\in S}P(i,S)\le1∑i∈S​P(i,S)≤1. The expected revenue of SSS is R(S)=∑i∈SriP(i,S)R(S)=\sum_{i\in S}r_iP(i,S)R(S)=∑i∈S​ri​P(i,S). The optimal framing value is

VOPT=max⁡framings ∑x∈[m]λ(x) R(products on pages 1,…,x),V^{OPT}=\max_{\text{framings}}\ \sum_{x\in[m]}\lambda(x)\,R(\text{products on pages }1,\dots,x),VOPT=framingsmax​ x∈[m]∑​λ(x)R(products on pages 1,…,x),

the maximum over all placements with at most ppp products per page (problem (1)). The cardinality-constrained assortment problem is G(c)=max⁡∣S∣≤cR(S)G(c)=\max_{|S|\le c}R(S)G(c)=max∣S∣≤c​R(S) (problem (2)), and U(x)=G(x⋅p)U(x)=G(x\cdot p)U(x)=G(x⋅p) is the best revenue from a consumer who sees xxx pages.

The analysis rests on three assumptions:

  • A1: P(i,S)≥P(i,T)P(i,S)\ge P(i,T)P(i,S)≥P(i,T) whenever i∈S⊆Ti\in S\subseteq Ti∈S⊆T, a property of every random utility model.
  • A2: problem (2) can be solved, here exactly.
  • A3: XXX is new better than used in expectation (NBUE): q(x)=E[X−x+1∣X≥x]≤q(1)=E[X]q(x)=\mathbb E[X-x+1\mid X\ge x]\le q(1)=\mathbb E[X]q(x)=E[X−x+1∣X≥x]≤q(1)=E[X] for all x∈[m]x\in[m]x∈[m].

The algorithm NEST(yyy), for y∈[m]y\in[m]y∈[m], first takes an optimal solution S(y)S(y)S(y) of (2) with bound y⋅py\cdot py⋅p. Then, for x=y−1x=y-1x=y−1 down to 111, it chooses S(x)⊆S(x+1)S(x)\subseteq S(x+1)S(x)⊆S(x+1) of size min⁡(∣S(x+1)∣,xp)\min(|S(x+1)|,xp)min(∣S(x+1)∣,xp) whose per-product revenue R(S(x))/∣S(x)∣R(S(x))/|S(x)|R(S(x))/∣S(x)∣ is at least that of S(x+1)S(x+1)S(x+1). Page xxx displays S(x)∖S(x−1)S(x)\setminus S(x-1)S(x)∖S(x−1), and pages after yyy stay blank. VNEST(y)V^{NEST(y)}VNEST(y) is the expected revenue of this framing, and VNEST=max⁡y∈[m]VNEST(y)V^{NEST}=\max_{y\in[m]}V^{NEST(y)}VNEST=maxy∈[m]​VNEST(y).

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem 3 (p. 10)

VNEST ≥ 6π2 VOPTV^{NEST}\ \ge\ \frac{6}{\pi^2}\,V^{OPT}VNEST ≥ π26​VOPT

The goal holds under A1, A2 with ε=0\varepsilon=0ε=0 and A3, for every run of NEST(yyy), y∈[m]y\in[m]y∈[m]. Here 6/π2≈0.6086/\pi^2\approx0.6086/π2≈0.608.

Milestones

The milestones are the numbered results the proof of Theorem 3 uses, in the order it uses them:

  1. Theorem 2, the clairvoyant bound VOPT≤E[U(X)]V^{OPT}\le\mathbb E[U(X)]VOPT≤E[U(X)].
  2. Lemma 1, from Davis et al.: some product can be removed from any SSS with ∣S∣≥2|S|\ge2∣S∣≥2 without lowering R(S)/∣S∣R(S)/|S|R(S)/∣S∣.
  3. The existence of a NEST(yyy) run.
  4. Proposition 1: VNEST(y)≥U(y)yE[min⁡(X,y)]V^{NEST(y)}\ge\frac{U(y)}{y}\mathbb E[\min(X,y)]VNEST(y)≥yU(y)​E[min(X,y)].
  5. Lemma 2, from Davis et al.: U(x)/xU(x)/xU(x)/x is decreasing.
  6. Propositions 2 and 3, on the bound-revealing program (5),
γ=min⁡U,Λ max⁡x∈[m]U(x)x E[min⁡(X,x)],\gamma=\min_{U,\Lambda}\ \max_{x\in[m]}\frac{U(x)}{x}\,\mathbb E[\min(X,x)],γ=U,Λmin​ x∈[m]max​xU(x)​E[min(X,x)],

taken over NBUE tails Λ\LambdaΛ and functions U≥0U\ge0U≥0 that are increasing with U(x)/xU(x)/xU(x)/x decreasing and E[U(X)]=1\mathbb E[U(X)]=1E[U(X)]=1. Proposition 3 states 1/γ=max⁡ΛE[X/E[min⁡(X,Y)∣X]]1/\gamma=\max_\Lambda\mathbb E[X/\mathbb E[\min(X,Y)\mid X]]1/γ=maxΛ​E[X/E[min(X,Y)∣X]]. 7. Lemma 7 and Corollaries 5–6, comparing NBUE XXX with an exponential variable of the same mean. 8. The evaluation E[W/(μ(1−e−W/μ))]=π2/6\mathbb E[W/(\mu(1-e^{-W/\mu}))]=\pi^2/6E[W/(μ(1−e−W/μ))]=π2/6 for WWW exponential with mean μ\muμ. 9. The bound γ≥6/π2\gamma\ge6/\pi^2γ≥6/π2.

Significance

Theorem 3 gives a constant-factor guarantee for a problem that is NP-hard under the same assumptions. The constant does not depend on the choice model beyond A1, on the number of pages, or on the page capacity, and the paper shows it is tight relative to the upper bound E[U(X)]\mathbb E[U(X)]E[U(X)] (Proposition 4, in the geometric limit). NEST needs only a cardinality-constrained assortment oracle, which exists in polynomial time for the MNL and nested logit models. The same bound-revealing program, problem (5), is reused in the paper for joint framing and pricing (Theorem 7).

The paper proves the result in full. No part of it has been machine-checked. The mission formalizes the model and states the guarantee and every intermediate result. The proofs combine finite combinatorics (Lemmas 1 and 2, Proposition 1) with a comparison of a discrete NBUE law against the exponential distribution, and that comparison is reusable for other approximation analyses with the same structure. The equality of the exponential integral with ∑kk−2\sum_k k^{-2}∑k​k−2 connects to Mathlib's hasSum_zeta_two.

Difficulty

The upper bound (Theorem 2) and the lower bound (Proposition 1) are each elementary. The difficulty is to compare them uniformly over all choice models and all NBUE page-count laws. The ratio of max⁡yU(y)yE[min⁡(X,y)]\max_y\frac{U(y)}{y}\mathbb E[\min(X,y)]maxy​yU(y)​E[min(X,y)] to E[U(X)]\mathbb E[U(X)]E[U(X)] depends on the whole function UUU and the whole law of XXX, and the worst case cannot be read off from any single instance. Replacing the instance by the program (5) removes the choice model. Bounding the program still requires an optimization over distributions, and its value is attained only in a limit (Proposition 4).

The comparison with the exponential law goes through the increasing convex order. Here XXX is a discrete law on {1,…,m}\{1,\dots,m\}{1,…,m} and the comparison variable is continuous. The function h(x)=x/E[min⁡(Z,x)]h(x)=x/\mathbb E[\min(Z,x)]h(x)=x/E[min(Z,x)] to which Lemma 7 is applied is increasing and convex only on [0,∞)[0,\infty)[0,∞), so a formal argument has to track the domain.

Formalization scope

Theorem numbers and pages are those of the authors' accepted manuscript (49 pp.), which differ from the journal typesetting. The conventions are:

  • Products are Fin n. Pages are the naturals 1,…,m1,\dots,m1,…,m, kept 1-based, with m,p≥1m,p\ge1m,p≥1.
  • A framing is a map Fin n → ℕ: page 000 means "not displayed", and each page 1,…,m1,\dots,m1,…,m holds at most ppp products. VOPTV^{OPT}VOPT is the maximum over the finite, nonempty set of feasible framings.
  • The law λ\lambdaλ is a function on [1,m][1,m][1,m], and Λ\LambdaΛ, E[min⁡(X,x)]\mathbb E[\min(X,x)]E[min(X,x)] and E[X]\mathbb E[X]E[X] are finite sums. A3 is the paper's own qqq-form, and a conditional expectation on a null event imposes nothing.
  • The exponential law is Mathlib's expMeasure with rate 1/E[X]1/\mathbb E[X]1/E[X]. The independence in Corollary 6 is encoded by iterated integrals.
  • The revenues are assumed nonnegative ("unit profit or revenue"). Lemma 1 fails for negative revenues.
  • A2 is taken with ε=0\varepsilon=0ε=0, as the paper does after p. 8, and polynomial time is not modelled.
  • "Increasing" and "decreasing" are weak.

NEST makes arbitrary choices, so a run is a predicate on its output. Theorem 3 is stated for every family of runs, and a separate milestone shows that runs exist. The value VNEST(y)V^{NEST(y)}VNEST(y) is the expected revenue of the framing the run actually displays, not the closed form ∑xλ(x)R(S(min⁡(x,y)))\sum_x\lambda(x)R(S(\min(x,y)))∑x​λ(x)R(S(min(x,y))), whose equality with it is part of the proof of Proposition 1. A formalization that quantified over some run, that defined VNEST(y)V^{NEST(y)}VNEST(y) by that closed form, or that assumed Lemma 2 for UUU would not be Theorem 3.

Program (5) is stated with its tail variable Λ\LambdaΛ and law λ(x)=Λ(x)−Λ(x+1)\lambda(x)=\Lambda(x)-\Lambda(x+1)λ(x)=Λ(x)−Λ(x+1), Λ(m+1)=0\Lambda(m+1)=0Λ(m+1)=0. The page's typos are corrected in the statements and recorded in the notes: "E[U(x)]=1\mathbb E[U(x)]=1E[U(x)]=1" in (5), and the right-hand side of Corollary 5. Proposition 2 is formalized in its existential reading: some optimal solution of (5) has constant U(x)xE[min⁡(X,x)]\frac{U(x)}{x}\mathbb E[\min(X,x)]xU(x)​E[min(X,x)].

A complete development needs:

  • finite assortment combinatorics;
  • the finite program (5) and its compactness;
  • the increasing convex order between a discrete NBUE law and the exponential, through integrated tails;
  • the integral ∫0∞ue−u/(1−e−u) du=π2/6\int_0^\infty ue^{-u}/(1-e^{-u})\,du=\pi^2/6∫0∞​ue−u/(1−e−u)du=π2/6.

The exponential comparison and the integral are reusable beyond this mission. Proofs of any milestone are welcome, including alternative proofs of Lemmas 1 and 2 from A1.

Selected references

  • G. Gallego, A. Li, V.-A. Truong, X. Wang, Approximation Algorithms for Product Framing and Pricing, Operations Research, 2020. https://doi.org/10.1287/opre.2019.1875
  • J. M. Davis, H. Topaloglu, D. P. Williamson, Assortment optimization over time, Operations Research Letters 43(6), 608–611, 2015. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.orl.2015.08.007
  • A. Aouad, D. Segev, Display optimization for vertically differentiated locations under multinomial logit choice preferences, working paper, 2016 (as cited in the paper; later published in Management Science).
  • M. Shaked, J. G. Shanthikumar, Stochastic Orders, Springer, 2007. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-0-387-34675-5
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Dynamical SystemsMachine LearningOptimization·Captain: mikedeng1

Convergence and Dynamical Behavior of the ADAM Algorithm for Nonconvex Stochastic Optimization 1: The Continuous-Time Adam ODE Has a Unique Bounded Global Solution from (x₀, 0, 0)Research Paper

Motivation

Adam (Kingma and Ba, 2015, arXiv:1412.6980) is the default optimizer for training deep neural networks. At each step it keeps exponential moving averages mnm_nmn​ and vnv_nvn​ of the stochastic gradients and of their coordinatewise squares, corrects both for their initialization at zero (the bias-correction or debiasing step m^n=mn/(1−αn)\hat m_n = m_n/(1-\alpha^n)m^n​=mn​/(1−αn), v^n=vn/(1−βn)\hat v_n = v_n/(1-\beta^n)v^n​=vn​/(1−βn)), and moves the iterate by −γ m^n/(ε+v^n)-\gamma\,\hat m_n/(\varepsilon + \sqrt{\hat v_n})−γm^n​/(ε+v^n​​). Despite its use, its convergence theory for nonconvex objectives was thin; the original convergence argument was later shown to be flawed (Reddi, Kale and Kumar, 2018, arXiv:1904.09237).

Barakat and Bianchi (arXiv:1810.02263v4, SIAM J. Math. Data Sci. 3(1), 2021, doi:10.1137/19M1263443) study Adam through the ODE method: when the stepsize γ\gammaγ tends to zero and the averaging constants satisfy (1−α)/γ→a(1-\alpha)/\gamma \to a(1−α)/γ→a, (1−β)/γ→b(1-\beta)/\gamma \to b(1−β)/γ→b, the interpolated iterates follow a deterministic non-autonomous differential equation, the continuous-time Adam ODE. Everything else in the paper (convergence of the trajectory, rates under a Łojasiewicz condition, tracking by the constant-step iterates, almost-sure convergence of a decreasing-step variant) presupposes that this ODE is well posed from Adam's initialization. This mission formalizes that well-posedness result, Theorem 3.1 of the paper.

Setting

Let d≥1d \ge 1d≥1 and Z=Rd×Rd×Rd\mathcal Z = \mathbb R^d \times \mathbb R^d \times \mathbb R^dZ=Rd×Rd×Rd, with points z=(x,m,v)z = (x, m, v)z=(x,m,v); set Z+=Rd×Rd×[0,+∞)d\mathcal Z_+ = \mathbb R^d \times \mathbb R^d \times [0,+\infty)^dZ+​=Rd×Rd×[0,+∞)d, Z+∗=Rd×Rd×(0,+∞)d\mathcal Z_+^* = \mathbb R^d \times \mathbb R^d \times (0,+\infty)^dZ+∗​=Rd×Rd×(0,+∞)d and Z0={(x,0,0)}\mathcal Z_0 = \{(x,0,0)\}Z0​={(x,0,0)}. The data are reals a,b,ε>0a, b, \varepsilon > 0a,b,ε>0, a function F:Rd→RF : \mathbb R^d \to \mathbb RF:Rd→R (the objective) and a map S:Rd→RdS : \mathbb R^d \to \mathbb R^dS:Rd→Rd (in the paper, F(x)=Ef(x,ξ)F(x) = \mathbb E f(x,\xi)F(x)=Ef(x,ξ) and S(x)=E ∇f(x,ξ)⊙2S(x) = \mathbb E\,\nabla f(x,\xi)^{\odot 2}S(x)=E∇f(x,ξ)⊙2, the mean squared gradient). All vector operations are coordinatewise. The Adam vector field is, for t>0t > 0t>0,

h(t,z)=(−(1−e−at)−1mε+(1−e−bt)−1v, a(∇F(x)−m), b(S(x)−v)),h(t,z) = \left( -\frac{(1-e^{-at})^{-1} m}{\varepsilon + \sqrt{(1-e^{-bt})^{-1} v}},\ a(\nabla F(x) - m),\ b(S(x) - v) \right),h(t,z)=(−ε+(1−e−bt)−1v​(1−e−at)−1m​, a(∇F(x)−m), b(S(x)−v)),

and (ODE) is z˙(t)=h(t,z(t))\dot z(t) = h(t, z(t))z˙(t)=h(t,z(t)). The factors (1−e−at)−1(1-e^{-at})^{-1}(1−e−at)−1 and (1−e−bt)−1(1-e^{-bt})^{-1}(1−e−bt)−1 are the continuous-time debiasing. A global solution with initial condition (x0,0,0)(x_0,0,0)(x0​,0,0) is a continuous map z:[0,+∞)→Z+z : [0,+\infty) \to \mathcal Z_+z:[0,+∞)→Z+​, continuously differentiable on (0,+∞)(0,+\infty)(0,+∞), satisfying (ODE) for every t>0t > 0t>0, with z(0)=(x0,0,0)z(0) = (x_0,0,0)z(0)=(x0​,0,0).

The proof works with the regularized equations (ODEη)(\mathrm{ODE}_\eta)(ODEη​): z˙(t)=h(t+η,z(t))\dot z(t) = h(t+\eta, z(t))z˙(t)=h(t+η,z(t)) for η∈[0,+∞)\eta \in [0,+\infty)η∈[0,+∞), and z˙=h∞(z)\dot z = h_\infty(z)z˙=h∞​(z) for η=+∞\eta = +\inftyη=+∞, where h∞(x,m,v)=(−m/(ε+v),a(∇F(x)−m),b(S(x)−v))h_\infty(x,m,v) = (-m/(\varepsilon+\sqrt v), a(\nabla F(x)-m), b(S(x)-v))h∞​(x,m,v)=(−m/(ε+v​),a(∇F(x)−m),b(S(x)−v)). The fields are extended to Z\mathcal ZZ by replacing vvv with ∣v∣|v|∣v∣, and ZTη(z0)Z^\eta_T(z_0)ZTη​(z0​) denotes the set of solutions on [0,T)[0,T)[0,T), T∈(0,+∞]T \in (0,+\infty]T∈(0,+∞]. The Lyapunov function is V(t,z)=F(x)+12∑imi2/U(t,vi)V(t,z) = F(x) + \tfrac12\sum_i m_i^2/U(t,v_i)V(t,z)=F(x)+21​∑i​mi2​/U(t,vi​) with U(t,vi)=a(1−e−at)(ε+vi/(1−e−bt))U(t,v_i) = a(1-e^{-at})(\varepsilon + \sqrt{v_i/(1-e^{-bt})})U(t,vi​)=a(1−e−at)(ε+vi​/(1−e−bt)​), and its limit is V∞V_\inftyV∞​. The debiasing map is eˉ(t,z)=(x,m/(1−e−at),v/(1−e−bt))\bar e(t,z) = (x, m/(1-e^{-at}), v/(1-e^{-bt}))eˉ(t,z)=(x,m/(1−e−at),v/(1−e−bt)).

The hypotheses are those of §7 of the paper: FFF is C1C^1C1 with locally Lipschitz gradient (Assumption 7.1) and coercive (Assumption 2.3); SSS is locally Lipschitz (Assumption 7.2) with S(x)>0S(x) > 0S(x)>0 coordinatewise (Assumption 2.4); and 0<b≤4a0 < b \le 4a0<b≤4a (Assumption 2.5).

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem 3.1

For every x0∈Rdx_0 \in \mathbb R^dx0​∈Rd there is a global solution zzz of (ODE) with initial condition (x0,0,0)(x_0,0,0)(x0​,0,0) such that

z([0,+∞)) is bounded,z([0,+\infty)) \text{ is bounded},z([0,+∞)) is bounded,

and any two global solutions with initial condition (x0,0,0)(x_0,0,0)(x0​,0,0) coincide on [0,+∞)[0,+\infty)[0,+∞).

Milestones (§7.1–7.2, in the order of the proof)

  1. Lemma 7.3: solutions from (x0,0,0)(x_0,0,0)(x0​,0,0) are C1C^1C1 on [0,T)[0,T)[0,T), with x˙(0)=−∇F(x0)/(ε+S(x0))\dot x(0) = -\nabla F(x_0)/(\varepsilon+\sqrt{S(x_0)})x˙(0)=−∇F(x0​)/(ε+S(x0​)​), m˙(0)=a∇F(x0)\dot m(0) = a\nabla F(x_0)m˙(0)=a∇F(x0​), v˙(0)=bS(x0)\dot v(0) = bS(x_0)v˙(0)=bS(x0​).
  2. Lemma 7.4: solutions of every (ODEη)(\mathrm{ODE}_\eta)(ODEη​) from Z+\mathcal Z_+Z+​ lie in Z+∗\mathcal Z_+^*Z+∗​ for t∈(0,T)t \in (0,T)t∈(0,T).
  3. Lemma 7.5: ⟨∇V∞,h∞⟩≤−ε∥am/U∞(v)∥2\langle \nabla V_\infty, h_\infty\rangle \le -\varepsilon\|am/U_\infty(v)\|^2⟨∇V∞​,h∞​⟩≤−ε∥am/U∞​(v)∥2 and ⟨∇V(t,z),(1,h(t,z))⟩≤−ε2∥am/U(t,v)∥2\langle \nabla V(t,z), (1, h(t,z))\rangle \le -\tfrac\varepsilon2 \|am/U(t,v)\|^2⟨∇V(t,z),(1,h(t,z))⟩≤−2ε​∥am/U(t,v)∥2 on Z+∗\mathcal Z_+^*Z+∗​.
  4. Proposition 7.6: one compact set contains eˉ(t+η,z(t))\bar e(t+\eta, z(t))eˉ(t+η,z(t)) for all η∈[0,∞)\eta \in [0,\infty)η∈[0,∞), all TTT and all solutions from (x0,0,0)(x_0,0,0)(x0​,0,0); and F(x(t))≤F(x0)F(x(t)) \le F(x_0)F(x(t))≤F(x0​).
  5. Lemma 7.8 ii): vi(t)≥cmin⁡(1,t)v_i(t) \ge c\min(1,t)vi​(t)≥cmin(1,t), uniformly in η∈[0,∞)\eta \in [0,\infty)η∈[0,∞).
  6. Corollary 7.9: global solutions of (ODE∞)(\mathrm{ODE}_\infty)(ODE∞​) and of (ODEη)(\mathrm{ODE}_\eta)(ODEη​), η>0\eta > 0η>0, exist.
  7. Lemma 7.10: the regularized solutions (zη)η>0(z_\eta)_{\eta>0}(zη​)η>0​ are equicontinuous.
  8. Proposition 7.11: existence for (ODE).
  9. Proposition 7.12: uniqueness for (ODE).

Significance

Theorem 3.1 makes the continuous-time Adam trajectory a well-defined object. The paper's convergence theorem for this trajectory (Theorem 3.2), its rate under a Łojasiewicz condition (Theorem 3.4) and the tracking result for the constant-step iterates (Theorem 4.3) are all stated about "the" solution, and the semiflow used for the asymptotic pseudotrajectory argument rests on the same uniqueness. The bound of Proposition 7.6 also gives the cost decrease F(x(t))≤F(x0)F(x(t)) \le F(x_0)F(x(t))≤F(x0​), which the authors read as evidence that the bias correction makes early Adam steps safe.

The result is proved in the paper, and as far as is known nothing here has been formalized; no statement about this ODE exists on the platform. The mission formalizes the statement and the numbered lemmas of its proof. A complete development would also be a worked example of existence for an ODE whose field is neither continuous in time at t=0t = 0t=0 nor Lipschitz in space, by regularization, compactness and passage to the limit.

Difficulty

Off-the-shelf theory does not apply. Cauchy–Lipschitz fails because h(t,⋅)h(t,\cdot)h(t,⋅) contains v\sqrt vv​, which is not Lipschitz at v=0v = 0v=0, and the initial condition has v=0v = 0v=0. Cauchy–Peano fails because h(⋅,z)h(\cdot,z)h(⋅,z) blows up as t↓0t \downarrow 0t↓0: the factor (1−e−at)−1(1-e^{-at})^{-1}(1−e−at)−1 behaves like 1/(at)1/(at)1/(at). The obvious remedy, shifting time by η>0\eta > 0η>0, gives solutions zηz_\etazη​, but passing to the limit η↓0\eta \downarrow 0η↓0 needs bounds uniform in η\etaη, both on the trajectory and on how far vvv stays from zero. Uniqueness then has to be proved by a Grönwall argument whose coefficient is not integrable at 000, so the initial behaviour of solutions must be controlled to second order. Solutions from initial conditions with m0≠0m_0 \ne 0m0​=0, v0=0v_0 = 0v0​=0 need not exist at all (p. 5), so the special initialization (x0,0,0)(x_0,0,0)(x0​,0,0) is essential, not cosmetic.

Formalization scope

Vectors are EuclideanSpace ℝ (Fin d) and states are triples; Lean's norm on the product is the maximum of the three Euclidean norms, which changes no boundedness, compactness or continuity statement. FFF and SSS are abstract functions satisfying Assumptions 7.1, 7.2, 2.3 and 2.4, as in §7 of the paper. Under Assumption 2.2 the expectation-defined FFF and SSS of (2.2) satisfy these, so the goal implies the theorem as printed. Coercivity is Tendsto F (cocompact _) atTop. Solutions are maps R→Z\mathbb R \to \mathcal ZR→Z constrained only on [0,T)[0,T)[0,T): uniqueness is agreement on [0,+∞)[0,+\infty)[0,+∞), never ∃! over all functions. The field is evaluated only at t>0t > 0t>0, where Lean's (1 - exp 0)⁻¹ = 0 cannot interfere. η\etaη ranges over WithTop ℝ≥0 (⊤\top⊤ is +∞+\infty+∞ and selects h∞h_\inftyh∞​), and TTT over WithTop ℝ. The solution sets ZTηZ^\eta_TZTη​ are Z\mathcal ZZ-valued with the ∣v∣|v|∣v∣ extension, as on p. 12, so positivity of vvv is a theorem (Lemma 7.4), not an assumption.

A notion of solution without the differential equation, with it only away from t=0t = 0t=0 on a set like t≥1t \ge 1t≥1, or with a derivative not tied to hhh would make existence trivial. The definitions here require z˙(t)=h(t,z(t))\dot z(t) = h(t,z(t))z˙(t)=h(t,z(t)) at every t>0t > 0t>0, continuity at t=0t = 0t=0 and the exact initial value.

Mathlib provides Picard–Lindelöf, Grönwall-type bounds and Arzelà–Ascoli, but no Cauchy–Peano theorem; a reusable Peano existence theorem with maximal-interval extension would be a valuable contribution beyond this mission. Proofs of any milestone are welcome, as are alternative proofs of the goal.

Selected references

  • A. Barakat, P. Bianchi, Convergence and Dynamical Behavior of the ADAM Algorithm for Nonconvex Stochastic Optimization, arXiv:1810.02263v4, 2020; SIAM J. Math. Data Sci. 3(1), 2021. https://arxiv.org/abs/1810.02263, https://doi.org/10.1137/19M1263443
  • D. P. Kingma, J. Ba, Adam: A Method for Stochastic Optimization, ICLR, 2015. https://arxiv.org/abs/1412.6980
  • S. J. Reddi, S. Kale, S. Kumar, On the Convergence of Adam and Beyond, ICLR, 2018. https://arxiv.org/abs/1904.09237
  • M. Benaïm, Dynamics of stochastic approximation algorithms, Séminaire de Probabilités XXXIII, LNM 1709, Springer, 1999. https://doi.org/10.1007/BFb0096509
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Partial Differential EquationsProbabilityStochastic Systems·Captain: mikedeng1

Mean-Field Stochastic Differential Equations and Associated PDEs: The Mean-Field Value Function Is the Unique Classical Solution of Its PDE on [0,T] × ℝ^d × P₂(ℝ^d)Research Paper

Motivation

A McKean–Vlasov or mean-field stochastic differential equation is an SDE whose coefficients depend on the law of the solution itself. Such equations describe the limit of large systems of weakly interacting particles (Kac's kinetic models, McKean's propagation of chaos) and are the state dynamics of mean-field games and mean-field control. For a classical diffusion the expectation of a terminal payoff is a function of time and state and solves a linear parabolic PDE (the Feynman–Kac connection). For a mean-field diffusion the same expectation depends on time, on the state and on the current law of the population, so the associated PDE lives on [0,T]×Rd×P2(Rd)[0,T]\times\mathbb R^d\times\mathcal P_2(\mathbb R^d)[0,T]×Rd×P2​(Rd), an infinite-dimensional space of probability measures. Buckdahn, Li, Peng and Rainer (arXiv:1407.1215, Ann. Probab. 2017) prove that this value function is the unique classical solution of its PDE, using the derivative with respect to measures introduced by P.-L. Lions in his Collège de France lectures.

Timeline. McKean (1966) introduced the equations; Sznitman (1991) gave the propagation-of-chaos theory. Buckdahn, Djehiche, Li and Peng (2009) and Buckdahn, Li and Peng (2009) studied mean-field backward SDEs and the associated PDEs in a form where the law enters only through the coefficients. Lions (2007–2012 lectures, notes by Cardaliaguet 2013) introduced differentiation on P2(Rd)\mathcal P_2(\mathbb R^d)P2​(Rd) through lifts to L2L^2L2. Carmona and Delarue (arXiv:1303.5835, 2013; arXiv:1404.4694, 2014) developed the Itô formula on the Wasserstein space and the master equation for mean-field games. The present paper (2014) proves the classical-solution result for the decoupled forward equation under second-order regularity of the coefficients in (x,μ)(x,\mu)(x,μ).

Setting

Let (Ω,F,P)(\Omega,\mathcal F,P)(Ω,F,P) be a complete probability space carrying a ddd-dimensional Brownian motion BBB, let T>0T>0T>0, and let F0⊂F\mathcal F_0\subset\mathcal FF0​⊂F be a sub-σ\sigmaσ-field independent of BBB that is rich: every μ∈P2(Rd)\mu\in\mathcal P_2(\mathbb R^d)μ∈P2​(Rd) is the law PϑP_\varthetaPϑ​ of some ϑ∈L2(F0;Rd)\vartheta\in L^2(\mathcal F_0;\mathbb R^d)ϑ∈L2(F0​;Rd). Here P2(Rd)\mathcal P_2(\mathbb R^d)P2​(Rd) is the set of probability measures with finite second moment, with the 2-Wasserstein distance W2(μ,ν)=(inf⁡ρ∫∣x−y∣2 dρ)1/2W_2(\mu,\nu)=(\inf_\rho\int|x-y|^2\,d\rho)^{1/2}W2​(μ,ν)=(infρ​∫∣x−y∣2dρ)1/2, the infimum over couplings ρ\rhoρ of μ\muμ and ν\nuν. The filtration is Ft=σ{Br,r≤t}∨F0∨NP\mathcal F_t=\sigma\{B_r,r\le t\}\vee\mathcal F_0\vee\mathcal N_PFt​=σ{Br​,r≤t}∨F0​∨NP​.

Given Lipschitz coefficients σ:Rd×P2(Rd)→Rd×d\sigma:\mathbb R^d\times\mathcal P_2(\mathbb R^d)\to\mathbb R^{d\times d}σ:Rd×P2​(Rd)→Rd×d, b:Rd×P2(Rd)→Rdb:\mathbb R^d\times\mathcal P_2(\mathbb R^d)\to\mathbb R^db:Rd×P2​(Rd)→Rd, a time t∈[0,T]t\in[0,T]t∈[0,T], x∈Rdx\in\mathbb R^dx∈Rd and ξ∈L2(Ft;Rd)\xi\in L^2(\mathcal F_t;\mathbb R^d)ξ∈L2(Ft​;Rd), the processes Xt,ξX^{t,\xi}Xt,ξ and Xt,x,ξX^{t,x,\xi}Xt,x,ξ solve on [t,T][t,T][t,T]

Xst,ξ=ξ+∫tsσ(Xrt,ξ,PXrt,ξ) dBr+∫tsb(Xrt,ξ,PXrt,ξ) dr,X^{t,\xi}_s=\xi+\int_t^s\sigma(X^{t,\xi}_r,P_{X^{t,\xi}_r})\,dB_r+\int_t^sb(X^{t,\xi}_r,P_{X^{t,\xi}_r})\,dr,Xst,ξ​=ξ+∫ts​σ(Xrt,ξ​,PXrt,ξ​​)dBr​+∫ts​b(Xrt,ξ​,PXrt,ξ​​)dr, Xst,x,ξ=x+∫tsσ(Xrt,x,ξ,PXrt,ξ) dBr+∫tsb(Xrt,x,ξ,PXrt,ξ) dr.X^{t,x,\xi}_s=x+\int_t^s\sigma(X^{t,x,\xi}_r,P_{X^{t,\xi}_r})\,dB_r+\int_t^sb(X^{t,x,\xi}_r,P_{X^{t,\xi}_r})\,dr.Xst,x,ξ​=x+∫ts​σ(Xrt,x,ξ​,PXrt,ξ​​)dBr​+∫ts​b(Xrt,x,ξ​,PXrt,ξ​​)dr.

The second process depends on ξ\xiξ only through PξP_\xiPξ​, so for Φ:Rd×P2(Rd)→R\Phi:\mathbb R^d\times\mathcal P_2(\mathbb R^d)\to\mathbb RΦ:Rd×P2​(Rd)→R the value function V(t,x,Pξ)=E[Φ(XTt,x,Pξ,PXTt,ξ)]V(t,x,P_\xi)=E[\Phi(X^{t,x,P_\xi}_T,P_{X^{t,\xi}_T})]V(t,x,Pξ​)=E[Φ(XTt,x,Pξ​​,PXTt,ξ​​)] is a function on [0,T]×Rd×P2(Rd)[0,T]\times\mathbb R^d\times\mathcal P_2(\mathbb R^d)[0,T]×Rd×P2​(Rd).

A function f:P2(Rd)→Rf:\mathcal P_2(\mathbb R^d)\to\mathbb Rf:P2​(Rd)→R has Lions derivative ∂μf(μ,y)∈Rd\partial_\mu f(\mu,y)\in\mathbb R^d∂μ​f(μ,y)∈Rd if its lift ϑ↦f(Pϑ)\vartheta\mapsto f(P_\vartheta)ϑ↦f(Pϑ​) on L2(F;Rd)L^2(\mathcal F;\mathbb R^d)L2(F;Rd) is Fréchet differentiable with derivative η↦E[∂μf(Pϑ,ϑ)⋅η]\eta\mapsto E[\partial_\mu f(P_\vartheta,\vartheta)\cdot\eta]η↦E[∂μ​f(Pϑ​,ϑ)⋅η]. The classes Cb1,1C^{1,1}_bCb1,1​ and Cb2,1C^{2,1}_bCb2,1​ ask for one or two such derivatives (together with derivatives in xxx and in the extra variable yyy), all bounded and Lipschitz. Hypothesis (H.2) asks that σ\sigmaσ and bbb be bounded and that every component be in Cb2,1(Rd×P2(Rd))C^{2,1}_b(\mathbb R^d\times\mathcal P_2(\mathbb R^d))Cb2,1​(Rd×P2​(Rd)).

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem 6.2

Under (H.2) and Φ∈Cb2,1(Rd×P2(Rd))\Phi\in C^{2,1}_b(\mathbb R^d\times\mathcal P_2(\mathbb R^d))Φ∈Cb2,1​(Rd×P2​(Rd)), VVV belongs to Cb1,(2,1)([0,T]×Rd×P2(Rd))C^{1,(2,1)}_b([0,T]\times\mathbb R^d\times\mathcal P_2(\mathbb R^d))Cb1,(2,1)​([0,T]×Rd×P2​(Rd)) and is the unique solution in that class of

0=∂tV+∑i∂xiV bi(x,μ)+12∑i,j,k∂xixj2V (σi,kσj,k)(x,μ)+∫[∑i(∂μV)i(t,x,μ,y)bi(y,μ)+12∑i,j,k∂yi(∂μV)j(t,x,μ,y)(σi,kσj,k)(y,μ)]μ(dy),0=\partial_tV+\sum_i\partial_{x_i}V\,b_i(x,\mu)+\tfrac12\sum_{i,j,k}\partial^2_{x_ix_j}V\,(\sigma_{i,k}\sigma_{j,k})(x,\mu)+\int\Big[\sum_i(\partial_\mu V)_i(t,x,\mu,y)b_i(y,\mu)+\tfrac12\sum_{i,j,k}\partial_{y_i}(\partial_\mu V)_j(t,x,\mu,y)(\sigma_{i,k}\sigma_{j,k})(y,\mu)\Big]\mu(dy),0=∂t​V+i∑​∂xi​​Vbi​(x,μ)+21​i,j,k∑​∂xi​xj​2​V(σi,k​σj,k​)(x,μ)+∫[i∑​(∂μ​V)i​(t,x,μ,y)bi​(y,μ)+21​i,j,k∑​∂yi​​(∂μ​V)j​(t,x,μ,y)(σi,k​σj,k​)(y,μ)]μ(dy), V(T,x,μ)=Φ(x,μ).V(T,x,\mu)=\Phi(x,\mu).V(T,x,μ)=Φ(x,μ).

The goal also records that V(t,x,Pξ)V(t,x,P_\xi)V(t,x,Pξ​) does not depend on the choice of ξ\xiξ with a given law.

Milestones

In the order the proof uses them: the second-order expansion on P2\mathcal P_2P2​ (Lemma 2.1); symmetry of mixed derivatives (Lemma 4.1); the substitution identity and flow property (3.4)–(3.5); the stability estimate E[sup⁡s∣Xst,x1,ξ1−Xst,x2,ξ2∣p]≤Cp(∣x1−x2∣p+W2(Pξ1,Pξ2)p)E[\sup_s|X^{t,x_1,\xi_1}_s-X^{t,x_2,\xi_2}_s|^p]\le C_p(|x_1-x_2|^p+W_2(P_{\xi_1},P_{\xi_2})^p)E[sups​∣Xst,x1​,ξ1​​−Xst,x2​,ξ2​​∣p]≤Cp​(∣x1​−x2​∣p+W2​(Pξ1​​,Pξ2​​)p) (Lemma 3.1) and its consequence that Xt,x,ξX^{t,x,\xi}Xt,x,ξ depends only on PξP_\xiPξ​ (Remark 3.1); first- and second-order regularity of VVV in (x,μ)(x,\mu)(x,μ) (Lemmas 5.1, 5.2) and in ttt (Lemma 6.1); the mean-field Itô formulas (Proposition 6.1, Theorem 6.1); the martingale identity (6.15); and uniqueness (6.19)–(6.20). A companion theorem states the existence and pathwise uniqueness of solutions of both SDEs under Lipschitz coefficients.

Significance

The result is a Feynman–Kac representation on the Wasserstein space: it identifies the expectation functional of a McKean–Vlasov diffusion with the unique classical solution of a second-order PDE in (t,x,μ)(t,x,\mu)(t,x,μ), of the type that appears as the master equation of mean-field games and as the dynamic-programming equation of mean-field control. It gives a mean-field Itô formula for functions of the state and of the law, which is the basic tool for verification arguments in these problems.

All results of the mission are proved in the paper, which takes the well-posedness of the SDEs from Carmona and Delarue. None is formalized: the platform has the Itô integral as an L2L^2L2 definition, but no Itô isometry, no Burkholder–Davis–Gundy inequality, no SDE existence theorem and no Itô formula (the classical Itô formula is posed separately as an open goal). Formalizing the mission produces a calculus on P2(Rd)\mathcal P_2(\mathbb R^d)P2​(Rd) in Lean, together with existence, stability and flow results for McKean–Vlasov equations.

Difficulty

The obvious route, differentiating VVV in μ\muμ by the chain rule, fails because μ↦Xt,x,μ\mu\mapsto X^{t,x,\mu}μ↦Xt,x,μ is not a map between finite-dimensional spaces: the measure derivative of VVV requires Fréchet differentiability of ξ↦Xst,x,ξ\xi\mapsto X^{t,x,\xi}_sξ↦Xst,x,ξ​ in L2L^2L2, the identification of the derivative through a family of auxiliary linear SDEs indexed by a point y∈Rdy\in\mathbb R^dy∈Rd, and estimates uniform in yyy. A second difficulty is that the second-order expansion on P2\mathcal P_2P2​ has remainder of order E[∣η∣3∧∣η∣2]E[|\eta|^3\wedge|\eta|^2]E[∣η∣3∧∣η∣2], not o(∣η∣L22)o(|\eta|^2_{L^2})o(∣η∣L22​), so the Itô formula is not a direct Taylor argument in L2L^2L2 and needs a partition argument with control of each increment. A third is regularity in time: VVV is differentiable in ttt only after the Itô formula has been applied to Φ\PhiΦ, and the time derivative must again be bounded and Hölder. The paper writes its proofs for d=1d=1d=1 and b=0b=0b=0 and leaves some estimates to the reader, so a solver must supply them.

Formalization scope

Time is ℝ≥0, Rd\mathbb R^dRd is EuclideanSpace ℝ (Fin d), measures are Measure (E d), and every condition on a measure argument is quantified over P2(Rd)\mathcal P_2(\mathbb R^d)P2​(Rd) only. W2W_2W2​ is the real value of the published WassersteinDRO.Duality.wassersteinDistance 2, finite on P2\mathcal P_2P2​. Brownian motion, the Brownian filtration and the Itô integral are the published Peng1990.SMP objects, and the null sets are ReflectedBSDE.Existence.nullSigma. The standing assumptions of §3 are hypotheses of every statement: completeness, T>0T>0T>0, independence of BBB and F0\mathcal F_0F0​, richness of F0\mathcal F_0F0​, and the Lipschitz condition (stated even where (H.2) implies it). Matrices carry the Frobenius norm.

Solutions of (3.1) and (3.2) are processes in S2([t,T];Rd)\mathcal S^2([t,T];\mathbb R^d)S2([t,T];Rd) satisfying the integral equation at every s∈[t,T]s\in[t,T]s∈[t,T] almost surely, with ∫tsσ dB=J(s)−J(t)\int_t^s\sigma\,dB=J(s)-J(t)∫ts​σdB=J(s)−J(t) for Itô integrals JJJ of 1(t,T]σ1_{(t,T]}\sigma1(t,T]​σ. Statements about VVV take solution families as hypotheses; the companion well-posedness theorem states that such families exist, and a sanity file shows that zero coefficients with constant solutions and Φ(x,μ)=⟨a,x⟩\Phi(x,\mu)=\langle a,x\rangleΦ(x,μ)=⟨a,x⟩ satisfy every hypothesis. The decoupled equation takes a random initial value, so (3.4) needs no measurable selection in xxx.

Derivatives in xxx, yyy and ttt are genuine (HasGradientAt; HasDerivWithinAt on [0,T][0,T][0,T], one-sided at the ends). Derivatives in μ\muμ are witness functions with the Fréchet property of the lift, the lift being taken on the paper's own rich space; this rules out the trivializing reading in which every function is differentiable because the underlying space carries only Dirac laws. The subscript bbb bounds the derivatives, not the function, except that (H.1)/(H.2) also require σ\sigmaσ and bbb themselves to be bounded on Rd×P2(Rd)\mathbb R^d\times\mathcal P_2(\mathbb R^d)Rd×P2​(Rd): this is the Cb1(Rd)C^1_b(\mathbb R^d)Cb1​(Rd) of (H.1) ii), read uniformly in μ\muμ as the paper's proofs use it, and without it the bounded time derivative of VVV fails (e.g. b(x,μ)=xb(x,\mu)=xb(x,μ)=x). The class Cb1,(2,1)C^{1,(2,1)}_bCb1,(2,1)​ additionally requires the derivatives entering the Itô formula to be jointly continuous in (t,x,μ,y)(t,x,\mu,y)(t,x,μ,y) for W2W_2W2​; this is the reading of the letter CCC, and VVV satisfies it. E~\tilde EE~ over an independent copy is the integral against the corresponding law. Where the page writes C2,1C^{2,1}C2,1 or C1,(2,1)C^{1,(2,1)}C1,(2,1) without bbb, the bounded classes the paper defines are used. The uniqueness statement ranges over every function of the class with its own derivatives.

A complete development needs the Itô isometry and BDG inequality for the published integral, Gronwall's inequality, strong existence for McKean–Vlasov SDEs, L2L^2L2-differentiability of SDE solutions with respect to the initial condition, and a classical multidimensional Itô formula. The Lions-derivative calculus and the Wasserstein estimates are reusable for any mean-field mission. Contributions to any of these pieces are welcome.

Selected references

  • R. Buckdahn, J. Li, S. Peng, C. Rainer, Mean-field stochastic differential equations and associated PDEs, arXiv:1407.1215v1, 2014; Ann. Probab. 45(2), 2017. https://arxiv.org/abs/1407.1215 , https://doi.org/10.1214/15-AOP1076
  • R. Carmona, F. Delarue, Forward-backward stochastic differential equations and controlled McKean-Vlasov dynamics, arXiv:1303.5835, 2013; Ann. Probab. 43(5), 2015. https://arxiv.org/abs/1303.5835
  • R. Carmona, F. Delarue, The master equation for large population equilibriums, arXiv:1404.4694, 2014. https://arxiv.org/abs/1404.4694
  • P. Cardaliaguet, Notes on mean field games (from P.-L. Lions' lectures at Collège de France), 2013. https://www.ceremade.dauphine.fr/~cardaliaguet/MFG20130420.pdf
  • R. Buckdahn, J. Li, S. Peng, Mean-field backward stochastic differential equations and related partial differential equations, Stochastic Process. Appl. 119, 2009. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.spa.2009.05.002
  • A.-S. Sznitman, Topics in propagation of chaos, École d'Été de Probabilités de Saint-Flour XIX, Lecture Notes in Math. 1464, Springer, 1991. https://doi.org/10.1007/BFb0085169
18 thms1 active userReviewed
Machine LearningOptimal TransportProbability+1·Captain: mikedeng1

Minimax Statistical Learning with Wasserstein Distances III: Excess Local Minimax Risk of Wasserstein ERM When One Hypothesis Is SmoothResearch Paper

Motivation

In ordinary statistical learning, a hypothesis is chosen from training data drawn from a distribution PPP and judged by its risk under that same PPP. In practice the test distribution often differs from the training one: covariate shift, domain drift, adversarial perturbation of inputs. Distributionally robust learning replaces the risk at PPP by the worst risk over a neighbourhood of PPP. When the neighbourhood is a ball in a Wasserstein distance, the perturbed distributions may move mass to nearby points of the instance space rather than only reweight the observed ones, which makes the model a natural description of small domain drifts and adversarial perturbations (Esfahani–Kuhn 2018, Gao–Kleywegt 2016, Sinha–Namkoong–Duchi 2018).

Lee and Raginsky (NeurIPS 2018) asked whether minimising the empirical version of this worst-case risk learns: does the empirical minimiser come close, in worst-case risk, to the best hypothesis of the class, at the usual 1/n1/\sqrt n1/n​ rate? Their §3.2 answers yes when every hypothesis is uniformly Lipschitz. Their §3.3, the subject of this mission, removes that assumption: one hypothesis with controlled growth is enough.

Setting

The instance space Z\mathcal ZZ is a Polish metric space with metric dZd_{\mathcal Z}dZ​ and Borel σ\sigmaσ-algebra; fix p≥1p\ge1p≥1. For Borel probability measures P,QP,QP,Q on Z\mathcal ZZ, the ppp-Wasserstein distance is

Wp(P,Q)=(inf⁡M EM[dZp(Z,Z′)])1/p,W_p(P,Q)=\Bigl(\inf_{M}\ \mathbf E_M[d^p_{\mathcal Z}(Z,Z')]\Bigr)^{1/p},Wp​(P,Q)=(Minf​ EM​[dZp​(Z,Z′)])1/p,

the infimum over couplings MMM of PPP and QQQ. For a radius ϱ>0\varrho>0ϱ>0, Bϱ,pW(P)={Q:Wp(P,Q)≤ϱ}B^W_{\varrho,p}(P)=\{Q:W_p(P,Q)\le\varrho\}Bϱ,pW​(P)={Q:Wp​(P,Q)≤ϱ} is the Wasserstein ball around PPP.

A hypothesis is a function f:Z→Rf:\mathcal Z\to\mathbb Rf:Z→R, read as a loss; a hypothesis class is a set F\mathcal FF of them. The risk of fff under QQQ is R(Q,f)=∫f dQR(Q,f)=\int f\,dQR(Q,f)=∫fdQ. The local worst-case risk and the local minimax risk are

Rϱ,p(P,f)=sup⁡Q∈Bϱ,pW(P)R(Q,f),Rϱ,p∗(P,F)=inf⁡f∈FRϱ,p(P,f).R_{\varrho,p}(P,f)=\sup_{Q\in B^W_{\varrho,p}(P)}R(Q,f),\qquad R^*_{\varrho,p}(P,\mathcal F)=\inf_{f\in\mathcal F}R_{\varrho,p}(P,f).Rϱ,p​(P,f)=Q∈Bϱ,pW​(P)sup​R(Q,f),Rϱ,p∗​(P,F)=f∈Finf​Rϱ,p​(P,f).

Given i.i.d. samples Z1,…,Zn∼PZ_1,\dots,Z_n\sim PZ1​,…,Zn​∼P with empirical distribution Pn=1n∑iδZiP_n=\frac1n\sum_i\delta_{Z_i}Pn​=n1​∑i​δZi​​, the local minimax ERM is

f^∈arg⁡min⁡f∈FRϱ,p(Pn,f).\hat f\in\arg\min_{f\in\mathcal F}R_{\varrho,p}(P_n,f).f^​∈argf∈Fmin​Rϱ,p​(Pn​,f).

The standing assumptions are:

  • Assumption 1. Z\mathcal ZZ is bounded: diam(Z)=sup⁡z,z′dZ(z,z′)<∞\mathrm{diam}(\mathcal Z)=\sup_{z,z'}d_{\mathcal Z}(z,z')<\inftydiam(Z)=supz,z′​dZ​(z,z′)<∞.
  • Assumption 2. Every f∈Ff\in\mathcal Ff∈F is upper semicontinuous with 0≤f(z)≤M0\le f(z)\le M0≤f(z)≤M.
  • Assumption 4. Some f0∈Ff_0\in\mathcal Ff0​∈F satisfies f0(z)≤C0 dZp(z,z0)f_0(z)\le C_0\,d^p_{\mathcal Z}(z,z_0)f0​(z)≤C0​dZp​(z,z0​) for all zzz, for some C0≥0C_0\ge0C0​≥0 and z0∈Zz_0\in\mathcal Zz0​∈Z.

The complexity of F\mathcal FF is measured by the entropy integral C(F)=∫0∞log⁡N(F,∥⋅∥∞,u) du\mathfrak C(\mathcal F)=\int_0^\infty\sqrt{\log\mathcal N(\mathcal F,\|\cdot\|_\infty,u)}\,duC(F)=∫0∞​logN(F,∥⋅∥∞​,u)​du, where N\mathcal NN is the covering number of F\mathcal FF in the uniform norm.

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem 3, display (11)

Under Assumptions 1, 2 and 4, for every δ∈(0,1)\delta\in(0,1)δ∈(0,1), with probability at least 1−δ1-\delta1−δ,

Rϱ,p(P,f^)−Rϱ,p∗(P,F)≤48 C(F)n+24 C0(2 diam(Z))pn(1+(diam(Z)ϱ)p)+3Mlog⁡(2/δ)2n.R_{\varrho,p}(P,\hat f)-R^*_{\varrho,p}(P,\mathcal F)\le\frac{48\,\mathfrak C(\mathcal F)}{\sqrt n}+\frac{24\,C_0(2\,\mathrm{diam}(\mathcal Z))^p}{\sqrt n}\Bigl(1+\Bigl(\frac{\mathrm{diam}(\mathcal Z)}{\varrho}\Bigr)^p\Bigr)+3M\sqrt{\frac{\log(2/\delta)}{2n}}.Rϱ,p​(P,f^​)−Rϱ,p∗​(P,F)≤n​48C(F)​+n​24C0​(2diam(Z))p​(1+(ϱdiam(Z)​)p)+3M2nlog(2/δ)​​.

Milestones

  1. Proposition 4 (Gao–Kleywegt strong duality): Rϱ,p(Q,f)=min⁡λ≥0{λϱp+EQ[φλ,f(Z)]}R_{\varrho,p}(Q,f)=\min_{\lambda\ge0}\{\lambda\varrho^p+\mathbf E_Q[\varphi_{\lambda,f}(Z)]\}Rϱ,p​(Q,f)=minλ≥0​{λϱp+EQ​[φλ,f​(Z)]} with φλ,f(z)=sup⁡z′{f(z′)−λdZp(z,z′)}\varphi_{\lambda,f}(z)=\sup_{z'}\{f(z')-\lambda d^p_{\mathcal Z}(z,z')\}φλ,f​(z)=supz′​{f(z′)−λdZp​(z,z′)}, in the bounded setting.
  2. Lemma 2: the optimal dual multiplier of a minimiser of Rϱ,p(Q,⋅)R_{\varrho,p}(Q,\cdot)Rϱ,p​(Q,⋅) lies in Λ=[0, C02p−1(1+(diam(Z)/ϱ)p)]\Lambda=[0,\,C_0 2^{p-1}(1+(\mathrm{diam}(\mathcal Z)/\varrho)^p)]Λ=[0,C0​2p−1(1+(diam(Z)/ϱ)p)].
  3. (C.2): for an achiever f∗f^*f∗ of Rϱ,p∗(P,F)R^*_{\varrho,p}(P,\mathcal F)Rϱ,p∗​(P,F), Rϱ,p(Pn,f∗)−Rϱ,p(P,f∗)≤∫φλ∗,f∗ d(Pn−P)R_{\varrho,p}(P_n,f^*)-R_{\varrho,p}(P,f^*)\le\int\varphi_{\lambda^*,f^*}\,d(P_n-P)Rϱ,p​(Pn​,f∗)−Rϱ,p​(P,f∗)≤∫φλ∗,f∗​d(Pn​−P).
  4. (C.3): Rϱ,p(P,f^)−Rϱ,p(Pn,f^)≤sup⁡φ∈Φ∫φ d(P−Pn)R_{\varrho,p}(P,\hat f)-R_{\varrho,p}(P_n,\hat f)\le\sup_{\varphi\in\Phi}\int\varphi\,d(P-P_n)Rϱ,p​(P,f^​)−Rϱ,p​(Pn​,f^​)≤supφ∈Φ​∫φd(P−Pn​), with Φ={φλ,f:λ∈Λ,f∈F}\Phi=\{\varphi_{\lambda,f}:\lambda\in\Lambda,f\in\mathcal F\}Φ={φλ,f​:λ∈Λ,f∈F}.
  5. (C.4): with probability at least 1−δ/21-\delta/21−δ/2, the left side of (C.3) is at most 2Rn(Φ)+M2log⁡(2/δ)/n2\mathfrak R_n(\Phi)+M\sqrt{2\log(2/\delta)/n}2Rn​(Φ)+M2log(2/δ)/n​, where Rn\mathfrak R_nRn​ is the expected Rademacher average.
  6. (C.5): with probability at least 1−δ/21-\delta/21−δ/2, Rϱ,p(Pn,f∗)−Rϱ,p(P,f∗)≤Mlog⁡(2/δ)/(2n)R_{\varrho,p}(P_n,f^*)-R_{\varrho,p}(P,f^*)\le M\sqrt{\log(2/\delta)/(2n)}Rϱ,p​(Pn​,f∗)−Rϱ,p​(P,f∗)≤Mlog(2/δ)/(2n)​.
  7. Lemma 5: Rn(Φ)≤24nC(F)+12C0(2 diam(Z))pn(1+(diam(Z)/ϱ)p)\mathfrak R_n(\Phi)\le\frac{24}{\sqrt n}\mathfrak C(\mathcal F)+\frac{12C_0(2\,\mathrm{diam}(\mathcal Z))^p}{\sqrt n}(1+(\mathrm{diam}(\mathcal Z)/\varrho)^p)Rn​(Φ)≤n​24​C(F)+n​12C0​(2diam(Z))p​(1+(diam(Z)/ϱ)p).

The goal carries the paper's constants. The mission does not ask for sharper constants; a proof of the stated bound closes it.

Significance

The result. Theorem 3 is a generalisation guarantee for Wasserstein distributionally robust ERM that needs no uniform smoothness of the class. The uniformly Lipschitz assumption of the companion Theorem 2 fails for most classes of interest when p>1p>1p>1: a function with sup⁡z,z′(f(z′)−f(z))/dZp(z,z′)<∞\sup_{z,z'}(f(z')-f(z))/d^p_{\mathcal Z}(z,z')<\inftysupz,z′​(f(z′)−f(z))/dZp​(z,z′)<∞ is constant (p. 6). Assumption 4 holds, for example, for regression with quadratic loss whenever the predictor class contains the zero predictor (p. 6). The second term of (11) decreases as ϱ\varrhoϱ grows, which quantifies how a larger ambiguity set screens out non-smooth hypotheses (Remark 4).

Formalizing it. The theorem has a published pen-and-paper proof (Appendix C.5 of the arXiv version); it has no machine-checked proof. A formalization produces machine-checked statements of the dual characterisation of Wasserstein worst-case risk on a bounded Polish space, of a symmetrization-plus-McDiarmid uniform deviation bound for a parametrised class, and of a Dudley-entropy bound on a product class. The proof (C.5) on p. 16 starts from an achiever f∗f^*f∗ of Rϱ,p∗(P,F)R^*_{\varrho,p}(P,\mathcal F)Rϱ,p∗​(P,F), which need not exist; the goal is stated without that assumption, so a complete proof also handles the infimum.

Difficulty

The obvious argument decomposes the excess risk through f∗f^*f∗ and bounds Rϱ,p(P,f^)−Rϱ,p(Pn,f^)R_{\varrho,p}(P,\hat f)-R_{\varrho,p}(P_n,\hat f)Rϱ,p​(P,f^​)−Rϱ,p​(Pn​,f^​) by a uniform deviation over F\mathcal FF. That step fails: Rϱ,p(⋅,f)R_{\varrho,p}(\cdot,f)Rϱ,p​(⋅,f) is a supremum over a ball of measures, not an expectation, so it is not an empirical process in fff. Passing to the dual makes it one, but the dual multiplier λ^\hat\lambdaλ^ depends on the sample and has no a priori bound, so the class {φλ,f}\{\varphi_{\lambda,f}\}{φλ,f​} over all λ≥0\lambda\ge0λ≥0 is too large. Without uniform smoothness of F\mathcal FF there is no obvious a priori bound on λ^\hat\lambdaλ^, and the entropy of the resulting two-parameter class must still be controlled at rate 1/n1/\sqrt n1/n​. Strong duality itself (Proposition 4) needs the existence of optimal couplings and a measurable-selection argument on a Polish space; it is not in Mathlib.

Formalization scope

  • Z\mathcal ZZ is a MetricSpace with BorelSpace and PolishSpace instances; Assumption 1 is Bornology.IsBounded (Set.univ : Set 𝒵), and diam(Z)\mathrm{diam}(\mathcal Z)diam(Z) is Metric.diam Set.univ. Throughout, p≥1p\ge1p≥1 and ϱ>0\varrho>0ϱ>0 (the paper's standing choice, p. 3).
  • The Wasserstein distance and ball are the published definitions WassersteinLinOpt.Ball.wassersteinDist and wassersteinBall, which range over all Borel probability measures; on a bounded space this equals the paper's Pp(Z)\mathcal P_p(\mathcal Z)Pp​(Z) ball.
  • Local risks, φλ,f\varphi_{\lambda,f}φλ,f​, Λ\LambdaΛ, Φ\PhiΦ and Rn\mathfrak R_nRn​ are real-valued suprema and infima, used only for classes bounded in [0,M][0,M][0,M], where they are finite.
  • The sample is a point of Zn\mathcal Z^nZn under P⊗nP^{\otimes n}P⊗n. "With probability at least 1−δ1-\delta1−δ" means the outer measure of the failure set is at most δ\deltaδ; this equals the probability when the set is measurable and is stronger otherwise.
  • The ERM is a sample-indexed function f^\hat ff^​ with hypotheses f^(ω)∈F\hat f(\omega)\in\mathcal Ff^​(ω)∈F and minimality of Rϱ,p(Pn,⋅)R_{\varrho,p}(P_n,\cdot)Rϱ,p​(Pn​,⋅). These hypotheses presuppose that an empirical minimiser exists, as (7) does. No measurability of f^\hat ff^​ is assumed.
  • The covering number is internal (centres in F\mathcal FF). C(F)\mathfrak C(\mathcal F)C(F) is valued in [0,∞][0,\infty][0,∞], and every bound containing it assumes C(F)<∞\mathfrak C(\mathcal F)<\inftyC(F)<∞: otherwise the paper's bound is +∞+\infty+∞, while its conversion to a real number would be 000.
  • Proposition 4 is stated for bounded upper semicontinuous fff on bounded Z\mathcal ZZ, the only case the paper uses. The printed statement covers every usc fff and every Q∈Pp(Z)Q\in\mathcal P_p(\mathcal Z)Q∈Pp​(Z).
  • (C.2) and (C.5) assume an achiever f∗f^*f∗, as printed; the goal does not.

The following formalizations would trivialize the goal and are ruled out: a bound for each fixed f∈Ff\in\mathcal Ff∈F in place of Rϱ,p∗(P,F)R^*_{\varrho,p}(P,\mathcal F)Rϱ,p∗​(P,F); an f^\hat ff^​ defined by Classical.choose of an unproved existence; a supremum over all measures instead of over the ball; and the real conversion of an infinite C(F)\mathfrak C(\mathcal F)C(F).

The infrastructure is reusable beyond this mission: Wasserstein strong duality on Polish spaces (Proposition 4 specialises the general optimal-transport duality of Blanchet–Murthy 2019, whose transport-plan form is a proved theorem on the platform as ModelRiskOT.Duality.theorem_1); Dudley's entropy bound for sub-Gaussian processes indexed by infinite classes; and McDiarmid's inequality for suprema of empirical processes. Contributions of these general tools, as separate theorems, are welcome. Source: the arXiv v2 preprint, which is the NeurIPS 2018 camera-ready text followed by the supplementary appendices.

Selected references

  • J. Lee, M. Raginsky, Minimax statistical learning with Wasserstein distances, NeurIPS 2018; arXiv:1705.07815v2. https://arxiv.org/abs/1705.07815
  • R. Gao, A. J. Kleywegt, Distributionally robust stochastic optimization with Wasserstein distance, arXiv:1604.02199, 2016. https://arxiv.org/abs/1604.02199
  • J. Blanchet, K. Murthy, Quantifying distributional model risk via optimal transport, Mathematics of Operations Research 44(2), 2019. https://doi.org/10.1287/moor.2018.0936
  • P. Mohajerin Esfahani, D. Kuhn, Data-driven distributionally robust optimization using the Wasserstein metric, Mathematical Programming 171, 2018. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10107-017-1172-1
  • A. Sinha, H. Namkoong, J. Duchi, Certifying some distributional robustness with principled adversarial training, ICLR 2018; arXiv:1710.10571. https://arxiv.org/abs/1710.10571
  • R. M. Dudley, The sizes of compact subsets of Hilbert space and continuity of Gaussian processes, Journal of Functional Analysis 1, 1967. https://doi.org/10.1016/0022-1236(67)90017-1
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Convex OptimizationOperations ResearchOptimal Transport+1·Captain: mikedeng1

Optimal Transport-Based Distributionally Robust Optimization: Structural Properties and Iterative Schemes 2: The Dual Objective f_δ(β, λ) = E_P0[ℓ_rob(β, λ; X)] Is Proper and ConvexResearch Paper

Motivation

Distributionally robust optimization (DRO) replaces the expected loss EP0[ℓ(βTX)]E_{P_0}[\ell(\beta^{\mathsf T}X)]EP0​​[ℓ(βTX)] of a decision β\betaβ under a baseline distribution P0P_0P0​ by its worst case over all distributions PPP that are close to P0P_0P0​. When closeness is measured by an optimal transport cost, the worst case over this infinite-dimensional ball has a one-dimensional dual: by Theorem 1 of Blanchet, Murthy and Zhang (arXiv:1810.02403v3, Math. Oper. Res. 47(2), 2022), building on the strong duality of Blanchet and Murthy (arXiv:1604.01446),

sup⁡P:Dc(P0,P)≤δEP[ℓ(βTX)]=inf⁡λ≥0fδ(β,λ).\sup_{P : D_c(P_0, P) \le \delta} E_P\big[\ell(\beta^{\mathsf T}X)\big] = \inf_{\lambda \ge 0} f_\delta(\beta, \lambda).P:Dc​(P0​,P)≤δsup​EP​[ℓ(βTX)]=λ≥0inf​fδ​(β,λ).

The robust problem inf⁡β∈Bsup⁡PEP[ℓ(βTX)]\inf_{\beta \in B} \sup_P E_P[\ell(\beta^{\mathsf T}X)]infβ∈B​supP​EP​[ℓ(βTX)] thus becomes a joint minimization of the dual objective fδf_\deltafδ​ over (β,λ)(\beta, \lambda)(β,λ). Whether that minimization is a convex program, and on which set the objective is finite, decides whether first-order methods such as the stochastic gradient schemes of the same paper apply at all. This mission formalizes the paper's answer, Theorem 2.

Setting

The data XXX take values in Rd\mathbb{R}^dRd with law P0P_0P0​, a Borel probability measure. A decision is a vector β\betaβ in a convex set B⊆RdB \subseteq \mathbb{R}^dB⊆Rd, the loss is ℓ(βTx)\ell(\beta^{\mathsf T}x)ℓ(βTx) for ℓ:R→R\ell : \mathbb{R} \to \mathbb{R}ℓ:R→R, and δ>0\delta > 0δ>0 is the transport budget.

The transport cost is the state-dependent Mahalanobis cost c(x,x′)=(x−x′)TA(x)(x−x′)c(x, x') = (x - x')^{\mathsf T}A(x)(x - x')c(x,x′)=(x−x′)TA(x)(x−x′) for a map AAA from Rd\mathbb{R}^dRd to positive definite d×dd \times dd×d matrices. Assumption 1: ccc is lower semicontinuous (1a), and ρmin⁡∥v∥2≤vTA(x)v≤ρmax⁡∥v∥2\rho_{\min}\|v\|^2 \le v^{\mathsf T}A(x)v \le \rho_{\max}\|v\|^2ρmin​∥v∥2≤vTA(x)v≤ρmax​∥v∥2 for P0P_0P0​-almost every xxx, with ρmin⁡>0\rho_{\min} > 0ρmin​>0 (1b). Write qβ(x)=βTA(x)−1βq_\beta(x) = \beta^{\mathsf T}A(x)^{-1}\betaqβ​(x)=βTA(x)−1β.

Assumption 2: ℓ\ellℓ is convex, its growth exponent

κ=inf⁡{s≥0:sup⁡u∈R(ℓ(u)−su2)<∞}\kappa = \inf\Big\{ s \ge 0 : \sup_{u \in \mathbb{R}} \big(\ell(u) - s u^2\big) < \infty \Big\}κ=inf{s≥0:u∈Rsup​(ℓ(u)−su2)<∞}

is finite, and EP0∥X∥4<∞E_{P_0}\|X\|^4 < \inftyEP0​​∥X∥4<∞.

For γ∈R\gamma \in \mathbb{R}γ∈R, λ≥0\lambda \ge 0λ≥0 and x∈Rdx \in \mathbb{R}^dx∈Rd define, as in display (7),

F(γ,β,λ;x)=ℓ(βTx+γδ qβ(x))−λδ(γ2qβ(x)−1),F(\gamma, \beta, \lambda; x) = \ell\big(\beta^{\mathsf T}x + \gamma\sqrt{\delta}\, q_\beta(x)\big) - \lambda\sqrt{\delta}\big(\gamma^2 q_\beta(x) - 1\big),F(γ,β,λ;x)=ℓ(βTx+γδ​qβ​(x))−λδ​(γ2qβ​(x)−1),

the robust loss ℓrob(β,λ;x)=sup⁡γ∈RF(γ,β,λ;x)∈R∪{+∞}\ell_{rob}(\beta, \lambda; x) = \sup_{\gamma \in \mathbb{R}} F(\gamma, \beta, \lambda; x) \in \mathbb{R} \cup \{+\infty\}ℓrob​(β,λ;x)=supγ∈R​F(γ,β,λ;x)∈R∪{+∞}, its set of maximizers Γ∗(β,λ;x)\Gamma^*(\beta, \lambda; x)Γ∗(β,λ;x), and the dual objective

fδ(β,λ)=EP0[ℓrob(β,λ;X)]∈R∪{±∞}.f_\delta(\beta, \lambda) = E_{P_0}\big[\ell_{rob}(\beta, \lambda; X)\big] \in \mathbb{R} \cup \{\pm\infty\}.fδ​(β,λ)=EP0​​[ℓrob​(β,λ;X)]∈R∪{±∞}.

The effective domain is U={(β,λ)∈B×R+:fδ(β,λ)<∞}\mathbb{U} = \{(\beta, \lambda) \in B \times \mathbb{R}_+ : f_\delta(\beta, \lambda) < \infty\}U={(β,λ)∈B×R+​:fδ​(β,λ)<∞}, and with the threshold λthr(β)=κδ ess sup⁡P0qβ\lambda_{thr}(\beta) = \kappa\sqrt{\delta}\,\operatorname{ess\,sup}_{P_0} q_\betaλthr​(β)=κδ​esssupP0​​qβ​ the paper sets U1={λ>λthr(β)}\mathbb{U}_1 = \{\lambda > \lambda_{thr}(\beta)\}U1​={λ>λthr​(β)} and U2={λ≥λthr(β)}\mathbb{U}_2 = \{\lambda \ge \lambda_{thr}(\beta)\}U2​={λ≥λthr​(β)} inside B×R+B \times \mathbb{R}_+B×R+​.

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem 2 (p. 10)

Under Assumptions 1 and 2, fδ:B×R+→R∪{∞}f_\delta : B \times \mathbb{R}_+ \to \mathbb{R} \cup \{\infty\}fδ​:B×R+​→R∪{∞} is proper and convex: fδ>−∞f_\delta > -\inftyfδ​>−∞ on B×R+B \times \mathbb{R}_+B×R+​; for each β∈B\beta \in Bβ∈B some λ≥0\lambda \ge 0λ≥0 has fδ(β,λ)<∞f_\delta(\beta, \lambda) < \inftyfδ​(β,λ)<∞; and for θ1,θ2∈B×R+\theta_1, \theta_2 \in B \times \mathbb{R}_+θ1​,θ2​∈B×R+​, α∈[0,1]\alpha \in [0, 1]α∈[0,1],

fδ(αθ1+(1−α)θ2)≤αfδ(θ1)+(1−α)fδ(θ2).f_\delta\big(\alpha\theta_1 + (1 - \alpha)\theta_2\big) \le \alpha f_\delta(\theta_1) + (1 - \alpha) f_\delta(\theta_2).fδ​(αθ1​+(1−α)θ2​)≤αfδ​(θ1​)+(1−α)fδ​(θ2​).

Milestones

  1. Lemma 3 (p. 32). For each ε>0\varepsilon > 0ε>0 there are C1,C2>0C_1, C_2 > 0C1​,C2​>0, not depending on xxx, β\betaβ, λ\lambdaλ, such that whenever λ≥(κ+ε)δ qβ(x)\lambda \ge (\kappa + \varepsilon)\sqrt{\delta}\,q_\beta(x)λ≥(κ+ε)δ​qβ​(x) we have δ∣g∣qβ(x)≤1+C1ε−1(1+∣βTx∣)\sqrt{\delta}|g|q_\beta(x) \le 1 + C_1\varepsilon^{-1}(1 + |\beta^{\mathsf T}x|)δ​∣g∣qβ​(x)≤1+C1​ε−1(1+∣βTx∣) for every g∈Γ∗(β,λ;x)g \in \Gamma^*(\beta, \lambda; x)g∈Γ∗(β,λ;x), and ℓrob(β,λ;x)≤λδ+C2(1+ε+ε−1)(1+∣βTx∣)2\ell_{rob}(\beta, \lambda; x) \le \lambda\sqrt{\delta} + C_2(1 + \varepsilon + \varepsilon^{-1})(1 + |\beta^{\mathsf T}x|)^2ℓrob​(β,λ;x)≤λδ​+C2​(1+ε+ε−1)(1+∣βTx∣)2.
  2. Display (25) (p. 32). sup⁡Δ∈Rd{ℓ(βT(x+Δ))−λδ(ΔTA(x)Δ−δ)}=ℓrob(β,λ;x)\sup_{\Delta \in \mathbb{R}^d}\{\ell(\beta^{\mathsf T}(x + \Delta)) - \tfrac{\lambda}{\sqrt\delta}(\Delta^{\mathsf T}A(x)\Delta - \delta)\} = \ell_{rob}(\beta, \lambda; x)supΔ∈Rd​{ℓ(βT(x+Δ))−δ​λ​(ΔTA(x)Δ−δ)}=ℓrob​(β,λ;x).
  3. Lemma 2 (p. 16). (β,λ)↦ℓrob(β,λ;x)(\beta, \lambda) \mapsto \ell_{rob}(\beta, \lambda; x)(β,λ)↦ℓrob​(β,λ;x) is convex on B×R+B \times \mathbb{R}_+B×R+​ for every xxx.
  4. Lemma 1 (p. 16). Γ∗≠∅\Gamma^* \neq \emptysetΓ∗=∅ and ℓrob\ell_{rob}ℓrob​ finite if λ>κδ qβ(x)\lambda > \kappa\sqrt{\delta}\,q_\beta(x)λ>κδ​qβ​(x); Γ∗=∅\Gamma^* = \emptysetΓ∗=∅ and ℓrob=∞\ell_{rob} = \inftyℓrob​=∞ if λ<κδ qβ(x)\lambda < \kappa\sqrt{\delta}\,q_\beta(x)λ<κδ​qβ​(x); consequently U1⊆U⊆U2\mathbb{U}_1 \subseteq \mathbb{U} \subseteq \mathbb{U}_2U1​⊆U⊆U2​.

Lemma 3 is stated with constants depending only on ε\varepsilonε (and the fixed data), as its proof produces them and as the paper's later arguments integrate bound (b) over xxx.

Significance

Theorem 2 is the structural fact behind the paper's algorithms: with Theorem 1 it turns a minimax problem over probability measures into a convex minimization in d+1d + 1d+1 real variables, on which the paper's strong convexity results (Theorems 3–5) and its stochastic gradient schemes are built. Lemma 1 identifies the effective domain up to its boundary, which tells an algorithm where the dual multiplier must lie, and Lemma 3 gives the growth control of the robust loss used throughout the appendix.

The results are proved in the paper; none of them has a machine-checked proof. The mission produces a Lean statement of the dual objective as an extended-real integral and of its convexity and properness, reusable by the other missions of this series (strong convexity near the optimizers, worst-case distributions, comparative statics in δ\deltaδ), and contributions of formal proofs of the milestones and the goal.

Difficulty

The objective takes the value +∞+\infty+∞ on part of its domain: Lemma 1(b) shows that ℓrob=+∞\ell_{rob} = +\inftyℓrob​=+∞ below the threshold, so the naive reading "fδf_\deltafδ​ is a real convex function" is false, and convexity must be handled for functions with values in R∪{∞}\mathbb{R} \cup \{\infty\}R∪{∞}, including the conventions 0⋅∞=00 \cdot \infty = 00⋅∞=0 at the endpoints of the segment. Properness requires a bound on ℓrob\ell_{rob}ℓrob​ that is integrable in xxx, so the constants of Lemma 3 must not depend on xxx; a bound that is only pointwise finite does not suffice. The identity (25) relates a supremum over Rd\mathbb{R}^dRd to a supremum over R\mathbb{R}R through a change of the dual variable, and the two multipliers must be kept apart. Finally, the expectation in fδf_\deltafδ​ is an integral of an extended-real function whose measurability is not assumed but has to be derived from Assumption 1.

Formalization scope

Rd\mathbb{R}^dRd is EuclideanSpace ℝ (Fin d) and parameters (β,λ)(\beta, \lambda)(β,λ) live in EuclideanSpace ℝ (Fin d) × ℝ. ℓrob\ell_{rob}ℓrob​ is an EReal supremum; fδf_\deltafδ​ is the published ModelRiskOT.Duality.extIntegral, ∫φ+ dP0−∫φ− dP0\int \varphi^+\,dP_0 - \int \varphi^-\,dP_0∫φ+dP0​−∫φ−dP0​ with lower Lebesgue integrals. κ\kappaκ is a real infimum and λthr\lambda_{thr}λthr​ uses the real essential supremum; both are used only under Assumptions 1–2, which make them meaningful. Convexity of extended-real maps is written as the explicit inequality in EReal, since ConvexOn does not apply.

Standing assumptions carried by every statement: P0P_0P0​ a probability measure, δ>0\delta > 0δ>0, BBB convex (the paper's standing assumption). Conventions committed to: "for any xxx" in Lemmas 1–2 is every xxx, not almost every; Lemma 2 assumes only Assumption 1a and the convexity of ℓ\ellℓ; the identity (25) is stated with the old multiplier written as λ/δ\lambda/\sqrt{\delta}λ/δ​; the typo "βA(x)−1β\beta A(x)^{-1}\betaβA(x)−1β" in Lemma 1 is read as βTA(x)−1β\beta^{\mathsf T}A(x)^{-1}\betaβTA(x)−1β; the goal's "finite somewhere" is stated for each β∈B\beta \in Bβ∈B, so the goal is vacuous only when B=∅B = \emptysetB=∅. The fourth-moment condition of Assumption 2 is kept as printed.

A trivializing formalization is ruled out: "proper" is not encoded as "finite everywhere" (false by Lemma 1(b)), and pointwise convexity of ℓrob\ell_{rob}ℓrob​ (Lemma 2) is a milestone, not the goal, which is about the expectation fδf_\deltafδ​.

A complete development needs: positive definite matrices and the quadratic minimization behind (25); continuity of convex functions and growth bounds; lower Lebesgue integrals of extended-real functions and their monotonicity and additivity; measurability of a supremum over γ\gammaγ of continuous functions. The definitions layer is shared with the other four missions of this series. Proofs of any milestone and of the goal are welcome.

Selected references

  • J. Blanchet, K. Murthy, F. Zhang, Optimal Transport-Based Distributionally Robust Optimization: Structural Properties and Iterative Schemes, Mathematics of Operations Research 47(2), 2022. arXiv:1810.02403v3, doi:10.1287/moor.2021.1178
  • J. Blanchet, K. Murthy, Quantifying Distributional Model Risk via Optimal Transport, Mathematics of Operations Research 44(2), 2019. arXiv:1604.01446, doi:10.1287/moor.2018.0936
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