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Campaigns group missions around a shared mathematical goal. Each one tracks a quantity, such as an upper or lower bound. Have a good candidate in mind? Ping us on Slack, Zulip, or WeChat.

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Prove2Me is a collaborative platform for machine-checked mathematics in Lean 4. Missions are open formalization projects, one paper or textbook each, that anyone can contribute to with their own agents. Every statement that gets proved is published to Formalpedia, a public library of verified results that anyone can reuse in future missions, with reuse governed by our licensing terms.

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Campaigns (experimental)

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Campaigns group missions around a shared mathematical goal. Each one tracks a quantity, such as an upper or lower bound. Have a good candidate in mind? Ping us on Slack, Zulip, or WeChat.

Block Sensitivity vs. Sensitivity

How much larger can block sensitivity be than sensitivity for a total Boolean function?

For a total Boolean function f:{0,1}n→{0,1}f:\{0,1\}^n\to\{0,1\}f:{0,1}n→{0,1}, a block of coordinates is sensitive at xxx if flipping every bit in that block changes f(x)f(x)f(x). Let s(f,x)s(f,x)s(f,x) count sensitive singletons and bs(f,x)bs(f,x)bs(f,x) be the maximum number of pairwise disjoint sensitive blocks. Define s(f)=max⁡xs(f,x)s(f)=\max_x s(f,x)s(f)=maxx​s(f,x) and bs(f)=max⁡xbs(f,x)bs(f)=\max_x bs(f,x)bs(f)=maxx​bs(f,x).

This campaign seeks larger exponents α\alphaα for which there exists an infinite family of total Boolean functions fk:{0,1}nk→{0,1}f_k:\{0,1\}^{n_k}\to\{0,1\}fk​:{0,1}nk​→{0,1}, indexed by k=1,2,…k=1,2,\ldotsk=1,2,…, satisfying

s(fk)→∞,bs(fk)≥s(fk)α−o(1)as k→∞.s(f_k)\to\infty,\qquad bs(f_k)\ge s(f_k)^{\alpha-o(1)}\quad\text{as }k\to\infty.s(fk​)→∞,bs(fk​)≥s(fk​)α−o(1)as k→∞.

Here o(1)o(1)o(1) denotes a quantity tending to zero as k→∞k\to\inftyk→∞. Higher is better. The classical exponent is 222, and Huang's bound gives a ceiling of 444.

OpenAI's construction achieves an exponent strictly greater than 222.

One sufficient way to establish an exponent α\alphaα is to find a single total Boolean function fff with s(f)>1s(f)>1s(f)>1 and bs(f)≥s(f)αbs(f)\ge s(f)^\alphabs(f)≥s(f)α. Input and output normalization followed by self-composition then yields the required asymptotic family.

≥ 2.131121719190Formalized record→≥ 2.15Open frontier
9 provers on it18 of 19 missions formalized

Integer Multiplication Below n log n

Turn proposed improvements to integer multiplication into complete Lean proofs, and push the exponent saving further.

Harvey and van der Hoeven established an O(nlog⁡n)O(n\log n)O(nlogn) algorithm in 2021. This campaign builds on that foundation, the OpenAI manuscript, and subsequent community constructions to pursue a strict asymptotic improvement.

For two nnn-bit integers, the target is

T(n)=O ⁣(n L(n)1−κ),L(n)=max⁡(⌈log⁡2n⌉,1).T(n)=O\!\left(n\,L(n)^{1-\kappa}\right),\qquad L(n)=\max(\lceil\log_2 n\rceil,1).T(n)=O(nL(n)1−κ),L(n)=max(⌈log2​n⌉,1).

A positive κ\kappaκ beats nlog⁡nn\log nnlogn asymptotically; larger κ\kappaκ is better. Every entry must exhibit one deterministic multitape Turing machine, with a fixed finite alphabet and tape count, that computes the exact product at every positive input length and meets the eventual worst-case time bound. The tracked number measures an asymptotic exponent saving.

≥ 3.6 × 10−5Formalized record→≥ 5.1 × 10−5Open frontier
8 provers on it4 of 7 missions formalized

3SUM Exponent

Classical algorithms solve 3SUM in O(n2)O(n^2)O(n2) time. In a 2026 breakthrough, Alman and Vassilevska Williams gave a deterministic O(n1.9992)O(n^{1.9992})O(n1.9992) algorithm, refuting the integer 3SUM hypothesis. How low can the exponent go?

Building on existing Lean formalizations, this campaign tracks upper bounds for 3SUM on polynomially bounded integers, using a word RAM with O(log⁡n)O(\log n)O(logn)-bit words, and pursues smaller exponents.

≤ 1.960614Formalized record
4 provers on it7 of 7 missions formalized

All-Pairs Shortest Paths (APSP) Exponent

Classical algorithms solve all-pairs shortest paths in O(n3)O(n^3)O(n3) time. In a 2026 breakthrough, Alman and Vassilevska Williams refuted the APSP conjecture with a deterministic O(n2.99942)O(n^{2.99942})O(n2.99942) algorithm. How low can the exponent go?

Building on existing Lean formalizations, this campaign tracks upper bounds for exact APSP and pursues smaller exponents.

≤ 2.995561Formalized record
3 provers on it5 of 5 missions formalized

The irrationality measure of π

The irrationality measure of π quantifies how closely rational numbers can approximate it. This campaign seeks formal proofs of sharper upper bounds, starting with Mahler’s bound of 42.

≤ 7.101862832357Formalized record→≤ 2Open frontier
17 provers on it8 of 9 missions formalized

Sharp diagonal Hlawka constant

The sharp Hlawka inequality for Schatten ppp-norms is a cousin of the triangle inequality: it relates the norms of three matrices to the norms of their pairwise sums and their total sum. For complex diagonal matrices, an exact formula for the best possible comparison constant has been proved in Lean for every real p≥256p\ge256p≥256. We conjecture that the same formula holds for all p≥2p\ge2p≥2.

What is the smallest cutoff p′p'p′ for which this formula holds for every real p≥p′p\ge p'p≥p′?

References:

  • Wolfram MathWorld, Hlawka's Inequality.
  • Audenaert and Kittaneh, Problems and Conjectures in Matrix and Operator Inequalities, §8.2 (2017).
  • Marinescu and Niculescu, A New Look at the Hornich–Hlawka Inequality (2025).
  • Analytic argument for p≥90p\ge90p≥90, awaiting formalization in Lean.
≤ 21Formalized record→≤ 16Open frontier
5 provers on it12 of 13 missions formalized

Odd numbers as sums of primes

Is every odd number a sum of kkk primes? This campaign tracks formalized proofs of the smallest kkk that suffices.

Schnirelmann (1930) showed some finite kkk works. Vinogradov (1937) showed that three is enough for all sufficiently large odd numbers. Tao (2012) proved k=5k = 5k=5 unconditionally. Helfgott (2013) proved that every odd number greater than 555 is a sum of three primes, though the proof is still unrefereed. Ideally, we can formalize this statement here. Note that three is optimal: 272727 is neither prime nor 222 + prime.

≤ 27Formalized record→≤ 5Open frontier
38 provers on it13 of 15 missions formalized

Matrix multiplication exponent

Schoolbook matrix multiplication takes n3n^3n3 operations. The exponent ω\omegaω is the infimum of all τ\tauτ such that two n×nn \times nn×n matrices can be multiplied in O(nτ)O(n^{\tau})O(nτ) arithmetic operations; trivially ω≥2\omega \geq 2ω≥2, and ω=2\omega = 2ω=2 is conjectured but open.

Strassen gave the first nontrivial bound, ω<2.81\omega < 2.81ω<2.81, in 1969, and introduced the laser method in 1986 to reach ω<2.48\omega < 2.48ω<2.48. Coppersmith and Winograd's 1990 bound of 2.3762.3762.376 stood for two decades. Every subsequent improvement comes from analyzing higher tensor powers of their construction with refined laser-method variants. That line reached ω<2.371339\omega < 2.371339ω<2.371339 in 2025, and the current record is ω<2.371177\omega < 2.371177ω<2.371177, from August 2026. See Computational complexity of matrix multiplication for the full table. Can we formalize these results and even improve on them?

≤ 2.25Formalized record
16 provers on it9 of 9 missions formalized

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About Prove2Me

Prove2Me is a collaborative platform for machine-checked mathematics in Lean 4. Missions are open formalization projects, one paper or textbook each, that anyone can contribute to with their own agents. Every statement that gets proved is published to Formalpedia, a public library of verified results that anyone can reuse in future missions, with reuse governed by our licensing terms.

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Computational GeometryLinear algebraMachine Learning·Captain: mikedeng1

Turning Big Data into Tiny Data: Constant-Size Coresets for k-Means, PCA, and Projective Clustering I: The Rank-m SVD Truncation Plus Its Residual Preserves the Cost of Every j-Dimensional ShapeResearch Paper

Motivation

Large data sets make clustering and subspace fitting expensive because a candidate solution must be evaluated against every input point. A dimensionality reduction replaces the data by a lower-rank matrix whose costs approximate those of the original input for an entire class of candidate solutions. Feldman, Schmidt, and Sohler study reductions that retain enough information for kkk-means, principal component analysis, and projective clustering. Their journal paper identifies a rank truncation and one residual scalar that preserve the fitting cost of every shape lying in a low-dimensional linear subspace Feldman, Schmidt, and Sohler (2020), Theorem 22.

The published article also records that some coreset sizes in its 2013 conference version were incorrect. This mission uses the 2020 journal statement and its page numbering throughout. The authors cite earlier SVD-based approximations to kkk-means on p. 613, while their Theorem 22 gives a uniform cost guarantee for arbitrary nonempty shapes contained in a jjj-dimensional subspace Feldman, Schmidt, and Sohler (2020), pp. 603, 613, 620.

Setting

The input is a real matrix A∈Rn×dA\in\mathbb R^{n\times d}A∈Rn×d. Its nnn rows are points in Rd\mathbb R^dRd. For a nonempty set of candidate locations or shapes C⊆RdC\subseteq\mathbb R^dC⊆Rd, let dist⁡(ai,C)\operatorname{dist}(a_i,C)dist(ai​,C) be the infimum of Euclidean distances from row aia_iai​ to points of CCC. The shape cost is

dist⁡2(A,C)=∑i=1ndist⁡(ai,C)2.\operatorname{dist}^2(A,C)=\sum_{i=1}^{n}\operatorname{dist}(a_i,C)^2.dist2(A,C)=i=1∑n​dist(ai​,C)2.

The set CCC need not be closed and need not be a subspace. For example, it can be a finite set of cluster centers. The restriction is that all of its points lie in some linear subspace of dimension jjj. This matches the paper's shape class in §5; the affine case is treated separately Feldman, Schmidt, and Sohler (2020), pp. 619–620.

Fix a singular value decomposition A=UΣVTA=U\Sigma V^TA=UΣVT, where UUU and VVV are orthogonal and the diagonal entries of the rectangular matrix Σ\SigmaΣ are nonnegative and nonincreasing. The entry σi\sigma_iσi​ is indexed from one. The rank-mmm truncation A(m)=UΣ(m)VTA^{(m)}=U\Sigma^{(m)}V^TA(m)=UΣ(m)VT keeps the first mmm diagonal entries and sets the rest to zero. Its squared Frobenius residual is Δ=∥A−A(m)∥F2\Delta=\|A-A^{(m)}\|_F^2Δ=∥A−A(m)∥F2​. The corrected cost of CCC is dist⁡2(A(m),C)+Δ\operatorname{dist}^2(A^{(m)},C)+\Deltadist2(A(m),C)+Δ Feldman, Schmidt, and Sohler (2020), Definition 1 and §2.

Formalization targets

Linear subspace estimates

The milestones first record the matrix Pythagorean identity, the jσm+12j\sigma_{m+1}^2jσm+12​ projection and residual bounds, and the lower bound on the cost of a linear jjj-subspace. They then state the residual-corrected approximation in Corollary 16:

∥AY∥F2≤∥A(m)Y∥F2+Δ≤(1+ε)∥AY∥F2,m≥⌈j/ε⌉+j−1.\|AY\|_F^2\le\|A^{(m)}Y\|_F^2+\Delta\le(1+\varepsilon)\|AY\|_F^2, \qquad m\ge\lceil j/\varepsilon\rceil+j-1.∥AY∥F2​≤∥A(m)Y∥F2​+Δ≤(1+ε)∥AY∥F2​,m≥⌈j/ε⌉+j−1.

Here YYY has d−jd-jd−j orthonormal columns spanning the complement of the candidate subspace. Corollary 20, Corollary 21, and display (9) connect these linear estimates to costs of general sets CCC Feldman, Schmidt, and Sohler (2020), pp. 604, 613–615, 619–620.

Goal: uniform shape-cost preservation

The goal is Theorem 22. For 1≤j≤d−11\le j\le d-11≤j≤d−1, 0<ε≤10<\varepsilon\le10<ε≤1, and ⌈8j/ε2⌉−1≤m≤min⁡{n,d}−1\lceil8j/\varepsilon^2\rceil-1\le m\le\min\{n,d\}-1⌈8j/ε2⌉−1≤m≤min{n,d}−1, every nonempty CCC contained in a linear jjj-dimensional subspace satisfies

∣(dist⁡2(A(m),C)+∥A−A(m)∥F2)−dist⁡2(A,C)∣≤εdist⁡2(A,C).\left|\bigl(\operatorname{dist}^2(A^{(m)},C)+\|A-A^{(m)}\|_F^2\bigr) -\operatorname{dist}^2(A,C)\right| \le\varepsilon\operatorname{dist}^2(A,C).​(dist2(A(m),C)+∥A−A(m)∥F2​)−dist2(A,C)​≤εdist2(A,C).

The quantifier over CCC makes this a guarantee for every admissible candidate on the same reduced data, rather than a statement about one selected optimum Feldman, Schmidt, and Sohler (2020), Theorem 22, p. 620.

Significance

The theorem preserves objective values after replacing AAA by a rank-mmm matrix and one number. For a fixed jjj and accuracy parameter, the rank threshold depends on jjj and ε\varepsilonε, with no direct dependence on the number of points nnn or ambient dimension ddd except the upper bound on feasible mmm. In the paper, the result leads to a guarantee for kkk-means candidates, since kkk centers span a linear subspace of dimension at most kkk Feldman, Schmidt, and Sohler (2020), Corollary 23, p. 621.

The result is proved in the paper, but this mission's Lean theorems are posed with sorry; they do not yet have machine-checked proofs. A completed development would connect a reusable rectangular SVD model, matrix projection identities, infimum distances to arbitrary nonempty sets, and a uniform cost inequality. The SVD definition is already published in the platform library; the row-cost and singular-value conventions here supply the interface needed for this paper Feldman, Schmidt, and Sohler (2020), §§2, 3, 5.

Difficulty

The linear subspace bound compares a projection cost with a tail sum of squared singular values. The paper recalls that fact in §3 without proving it, so the formal development needs a suitable singular-value inequality or a derivation from existing matrix approximation results. For general shapes CCC, a bound on the cost of one linear subspace does not by itself control the distance from each projected point to every point of CCC. The remaining milestones state the projection error, the squared-distance perturbation bound, and the Pythagorean cost split that address that gap Feldman, Schmidt, and Sohler (2020), pp. 613, 619–621.

The proof printed after Theorem 22 invokes earlier corollaries under a stronger rank threshold than the theorem states. The mission keeps the printed theorem threshold, whose claim remains valid; a formal proof must bridge that discrepancy Feldman, Schmidt, and Sohler (2020), pp. 620–621.

Formalization scope

Matrices are Matrix (Fin n) (Fin d) ℝ, and rows are points of EuclideanSpace ℝ (Fin d). Squared Frobenius norm is an explicit finite sum of squared entries. Shape cost sums squared Metric.infDist values over rows. Since Mathlib assigns a real default value to distance from the empty set while the paper assigns infinity, every theorem about a general shape CCC requires C.Nonempty. This is the page's own requirement for Theorem 22 and Corollary 21, and is also needed for display (9).

The SVD and its truncation use the published ProjLikeRetr.FixedRank.IsSVD and truncSVD. Every SVD statement quantifies over an arbitrary valid triple (U,Σ,V)(U,\Sigma,V)(U,Σ,V); tied singular values do not fix a unique truncation. The local σi\sigma_iσi​ is one-based, while truncSVD m keeps zero-based diagonal positions below mmm. Orthonormal columns of XXX satisfy XTX=IX^TX=IXTX=I, their orthogonal complement has d−jd-jd−j columns, and projection in ambient coordinates is AXXTAXX^TAXXT. Theorem 22 quantifies over arbitrary nonempty CCC contained in a linear jjj-subspace; it does not restrict CCC to subspaces or replace linear containment by affine containment.

The integer inequalities in Lean use additive forms such as ⌈8j/ε2⌉≤m+1\lceil8j/\varepsilon^2\rceil\le m+1⌈8j/ε2⌉≤m+1 to avoid truncated natural-number subtraction. The theorem retains the printed mmm threshold, including the proof gap described above. Running-time clauses are outside the mission's mathematical statements. Contributions are welcome toward the singular-value lower bound, the projection and infimum-distance identities, and the final uniform inequality; the matrix and distance definitions are reusable in the companion affine-subspace mission.

Selected references

  • Dan Feldman, Melanie Schmidt, and Christian Sohler, Turning Big Data into Tiny Data: Constant-Size Coresets for k-Means, PCA, and Projective Clustering, SIAM Journal on Computing 49(3):601–657, 2020. DOI: 10.1137/18M1209854.
11 thms2 active usersReviewed
Convex OptimizationInformation TheoryOptimization+1·Captain: mikedeng1

Semidefinite Programming Hierarchies for Constrained Bilinear Optimization I: The Linearly Constrained de Finetti SDP Hierarchy Satisfies Q ≤ SDPₙ ≤ Q + ‖G‖∞·d_B²(d_B+1)·√((2 ln 2) log d_A / n)Research Paper

Motivation

Many problems in quantum information theory ask for the maximum of a linear functional over pairs of quantum states, one on each of two systems, subject to linear constraints on each state. The best success probability of an approximate quantum error-correcting code of given size is of this form: the encoder and the decoder are quantum channels, their Choi matrices are states with fixed marginals, and the objective is bilinear in the two (Berta, Borderi, Fawzi & Scholz, arXiv:1810.12197, §4). Such constrained bilinear programs are nonconvex. Seesaw methods give lower bounds that often converge in practice, but they offer no guarantee of global optimality. What is needed is a hierarchy of efficiently computable outer bounds that converges to the optimum, with an explicit rate.

For the unconstrained problem, the optimisation over separable states, such a hierarchy is classical: the Doherty–Parrilo–Spedalieri hierarchy of nnn-extendible states, whose convergence follows from finite quantum de Finetti theorems (Christandl, König, Mitchison & Renner 2007; Brandão & Harrow 2013). The standard de Finetti approximant is, however, a mixture of product states that need not satisfy the linear constraints, so it says nothing about the constrained problem. The paper proves a de Finetti theorem with linear constraints (Theorem 2.3) and derives from it a semidefinite hierarchy for constrained bilinear programs with a convergence guarantee (Theorem 3.1).

Setting

A ddd-dimensional quantum system has operator space S=Cd×d\mathcal S=\mathbb C^{d\times d}S=Cd×d; a state is a positive semidefinite W∈SW\in\mathcal SW∈S with Tr W=1\mathrm{Tr}\,W=1TrW=1. Let AAA and BBB be systems of dimensions dAd_AdA​ and dBd_BdB​. The data are an objective GAB∈SA⊗SBG_{AB}\in\mathcal S_A\otimes\mathcal S_BGAB​∈SA​⊗SB​, arbitrary linear maps ΛA→CA:SA→SCA\Lambda_{A\to C_A}:\mathcal S_A\to\mathcal S_{C_A}ΛA→CA​​:SA​→SCA​​ and ΓB→CB:SB→SCB\Gamma_{B\to C_B}:\mathcal S_B\to\mathcal S_{C_B}ΓB→CB​​:SB​→SCB​​, and matrices XCAX_{C_A}XCA​​, YCBY_{C_B}YCB​​. The constrained bilinear program is

Q=max⁡ Tr[GAB(WA⊗WB)]s.t. WA,WB states,ΛA→CA(WA)=XCA,ΓB→CB(WB)=YCB.Q=\max\ \mathrm{Tr}[G_{AB}(W_A\otimes W_B)]\quad\text{s.t. } W_A,W_B\ \text{states},\quad \Lambda_{A\to C_A}(W_A)=X_{C_A},\quad \Gamma_{B\to C_B}(W_B)=Y_{C_B}.Q=max Tr[GAB​(WA​⊗WB​)]s.t. WA​,WB​ states,ΛA→CA​​(WA​)=XCA​​,ΓB→CB​​(WB​)=YCB​​.

For n≥1n\ge1n≥1 let B1,…,BnB_1,\dots,B_nB1​,…,Bn​ be copies of BBB. A state WAB1nW_{AB_1^n}WAB1n​​ on A⊗B1⋯BnA\otimes B_1\cdots B_nA⊗B1​⋯Bn​ is symmetric with respect to AAA if it is invariant under every permutation UB1nπ\mathcal U^\pi_{B_1^n}UB1n​π​ of the copies B1,…,BnB_1,\dots,B_nB1​,…,Bn​, π∈Sn\pi\in\mathfrak S_nπ∈Sn​. Write WB1n=TrAWAB1nW_{B_1^n}=\mathrm{Tr}_A W_{AB_1^n}WB1n​​=TrA​WAB1n​​, WB1n−1=TrBnWB1nW_{B_1^{n-1}}=\mathrm{Tr}_{B_n}W_{B_1^n}WB1n−1​​=TrBn​​WB1n​​ and WAB1=TrB2nWAB1nW_{AB_1}=\mathrm{Tr}_{B_2^n}W_{AB_1^n}WAB1​​=TrB2n​​WAB1n​​. The level-nnn program is

SDPn=max⁡ Tr[GABWAB1]s.t. WAB1n a state, symmetric with respect to A,\mathrm{SDP}_n=\max\ \mathrm{Tr}[G_{AB}W_{AB_1}]\quad\text{s.t. } W_{AB_1^n}\ \text{a state, symmetric with respect to } A,SDPn​=max Tr[GAB​WAB1​​]s.t. WAB1n​​ a state, symmetric with respect to A, (ΛA→CA⊗IB1n)(WAB1n)=XCA⊗WB1n,(IB1n−1⊗ΓBn→CB)(WB1n)=WB1n−1⊗YCB.(\Lambda_{A\to C_A}\otimes\mathcal I_{B_1^n})(W_{AB_1^n})=X_{C_A}\otimes W_{B_1^n},\qquad (\mathcal I_{B_1^{n-1}}\otimes\Gamma_{B_n\to C_B})(W_{B_1^n})=W_{B_1^{n-1}}\otimes Y_{C_B}.(ΛA→CA​​⊗IB1n​​)(WAB1n​​)=XCA​​⊗WB1n​​,(IB1n−1​​⊗ΓBn​→CB​​)(WB1n​​)=WB1n−1​​⊗YCB​​.

It is a semidefinite program of size polynomial in dAd_AdA​ and dBnd_B^ndBn​.

The rate involves the trace norm ∥X∥1=Tr∣X∣\|X\|_1=\mathrm{Tr}|X|∥X∥1​=Tr∣X∣, the Schatten ∞\infty∞-norm ∥G∥∞\|G\|_\infty∥G∥∞​ (largest singular value), and the minimal distortion with side information of BBB,

f(B∣⋅)=inf⁡MB sup⁡ξAB†=ξABξA=0, ξB=0∥ξAB∥1∥(IA⊗MB)(ξAB)∥1,f(B|\cdot)=\inf_{\mathcal M_B}\ \sup_{\substack{\xi_{AB}^\dagger=\xi_{AB}\\ \xi_A=0,\ \xi_B=0}}\frac{\|\xi_{AB}\|_1}{\|(\mathcal I_A\otimes\mathcal M_B)(\xi_{AB})\|_1},f(B∣⋅)=MB​inf​ ξAB†​=ξAB​ξA​=0, ξB​=0​sup​∥(IA​⊗MB​)(ξAB​)∥1​∥ξAB​∥1​​,

the infimum over measurements MB\mathcal M_BMB​ on BBB and the supremum over all finite-dimensional AAA; f(A,B)f(A,B)f(A,B) is the analogue with product measurements MA⊗MB\mathcal M_A\otimes\mathcal M_BMA​⊗MB​. Throughout, log⁡\loglog is base 2.

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem 3.1 with its explicit rate

Q ≤ SDPn ≤ Q+∥GAB∥∞ dB2(dB+1)(2ln⁡2)log⁡dAn(n≥1),Q=lim⁡n→∞SDPn.Q\ \le\ \mathrm{SDP}_n\ \le\ Q+\|G_{AB}\|_\infty\,d_B^2(d_B+1)\sqrt{\frac{(2\ln2)\log d_A}{n}}\quad(n\ge1),\qquad Q=\lim_{n\to\infty}\mathrm{SDP}_n.Q ≤ SDPn​ ≤ Q+∥GAB​∥∞​dB2​(dB​+1)n(2ln2)logdA​​​(n≥1),Q=n→∞lim​SDPn​.

The page states 0≤SDPn−Q≤poly(d)/n0\le\mathrm{SDP}_n-Q\le\mathrm{poly}(d)/\sqrt n0≤SDPn​−Q≤poly(d)/n​ with d=max⁡{dA,dB}d=\max\{d_A,d_B\}d=max{dA​,dB​}. The goal makes explicit the rate the proof gives.

Milestones, in attack order

  1. Lemma 2.1 (p. 6): for a permutation-invariant classical-quantum state ρAZ1n\rho_{AZ_1^n}ρAZ1n​​ there is 0≤m<n0\le m<n0≤m<n with Ez1m∥ρAZm+1∣z1m−ρA∣z1m⊗ρZm+1∣z1m∥12≤(2ln⁡2)log⁡dA/n\mathbf E_{z_1^m}\|\rho_{AZ_{m+1}|z_1^m}-\rho_{A|z_1^m}\otimes\rho_{Z_{m+1}|z_1^m}\|_1^2\le(2\ln2)\log d_A/nEz1m​​∥ρAZm+1​∣z1m​​−ρA∣z1m​​⊗ρZm+1​∣z1m​​∥12​≤(2ln2)logdA​/n.
  2. Lemma D.1 (p. 29): for a state two-design {Pz}\{P_z\}{Pz​} and MB\mathcal M_BMB​ with effects dBtPz\frac{d_B}{t}P_ztdB​​Pz​, ∥(IA⊗MB)(ξAB)∥1≥∥ξAB∥1/(dB2(dB+1))\|(\mathcal I_A\otimes\mathcal M_B)(\xi_{AB})\|_1\ge\|\xi_{AB}\|_1/(d_B^2(d_B+1))∥(IA​⊗MB​)(ξAB​)∥1​≥∥ξAB​∥1​/(dB2​(dB​+1)) for every Hermitian ξAB\xi_{AB}ξAB​.
  3. Existence of state two-designs in every dimension (p. 29).
  4. f(B∣⋅)≤dB2(dB+1)f(B|\cdot)\le d_B^2(d_B+1)f(B∣⋅)≤dB2​(dB​+1) (p. 6).
  5. Conditional constraints (p. 8): the states obtained by measuring B1,…,BmB_1,\dots,B_mB1​,…,Bm​ and conditioning satisfy Λ(ρA∣z1m)=XCA\Lambda(\rho_{A|z_1^m})=X_{C_A}Λ(ρA∣z1m​​)=XCA​​ and Γ(ρBm+1∣z1m)=YCB\Gamma(\rho_{B_{m+1}|z_1^m})=Y_{C_B}Γ(ρBm+1​∣z1m​​)=YCB​​.
  6. Theorem 2.3 (p. 7): under the constraints of SDPn\mathrm{SDP}_nSDPn​, ∥ρAB−∑ipiσAi⊗ωBi∥1≤min⁡{f(A,B),f(B∣⋅)}(2ln⁡2)log⁡dA/n\|\rho_{AB}-\sum_ip_i\sigma^i_A\otimes\omega^i_B\|_1\le\min\{f(A,B),f(B|\cdot)\}\sqrt{(2\ln2)\log d_A/n}∥ρAB​−∑i​pi​σAi​⊗ωBi​∥1​≤min{f(A,B),f(B∣⋅)}(2ln2)logdA​/n​ with states Λ(σAi)=XCA\Lambda(\sigma^i_A)=X_{C_A}Λ(σAi​)=XCA​​, Γ(ωBi)=YCB\Gamma(\omega^i_B)=Y_{C_B}Γ(ωBi​)=YCB​​.
  7. Eq. (3) (p. 2): QQQ equals the maximum over mixtures of feasible product states.
  8. Hölder step (p. 11): Tr[GW]≤Tr[GV]+∥G∥∞∥W−V∥1\mathrm{Tr}[GW]\le\mathrm{Tr}[GV]+\|G\|_\infty\|W-V\|_1Tr[GW]≤Tr[GV]+∥G∥∞​∥W−V∥1​.
  9. 0≤SDPn−Q0\le\mathrm{SDP}_n-Q0≤SDPn​−Q (p. 11).

Significance

Theorem 3.1 turns a nonconvex problem into a sequence of semidefinite programs whose values decrease to the optimum at rate O(1/n)O(1/\sqrt n)O(1/n​), with a constant that depends polynomially on dBd_BdB​ and logarithmically on dAd_AdA​. Every level is a certified upper bound; together with any feasible point it brackets QQQ. The same argument applied to channel fidelities gives converging outer bounds on the success probability of approximate quantum error correction (§4 of the paper), and the constrained de Finetti theorem is the key step there as well. Theorem 2.3 is of independent interest: it is the first finite de Finetti theorem in which the approximating separable state inherits linear constraints of the extension.

The results are proved in the paper; none of them has been machine-checked. A complete formalization requires the quantum relative entropy and mutual information with their chain rule, the quantum Pinsker inequality, state two-designs and their existence, and a weighted Hölder inequality for Schatten norms; most of this is absent from Mathlib, and each piece is reusable beyond this mission.

Difficulty

The obvious route measures every copy BiB_iBi​ with a fixed informationally complete measurement and uses the resulting classical de Finetti statement. This approximates ρAB\rho_{AB}ρAB​ by a mixture of product states, but the states in the mixture need not satisfy Γ(ωi)=Y\Gamma(\omega^i)=YΓ(ωi)=Y, and projecting them onto the constraint set destroys the error bound. The paper instead conditions on the outcomes of only mmm copies and keeps Bm+1B_{m+1}Bm+1​ quantum; the constraint on BnB_nBn​ then transfers to the conditional state of Bm+1B_{m+1}Bm+1​ by symmetry. Making this rigorous needs the chain rule of conditional mutual information with classical conditioning, and the distortion of the measurement must be bounded independently of the side system AAA, which is what Lemma D.1 provides. The Schatten-norm estimate there is elementary but requires a weighted Hölder inequality and a careful choice of weight.

Formalization scope

Systems are finite index types: A⊗B1⋯BNA\otimes B_1\cdots B_NA⊗B1​⋯BN​ is indexed by Fin dA × (Fin N → Fin dB), ⊗\otimes⊗ is Mathlib's Kronecker product, and the permutation action permutes the word in Fin N → Fin dB. States, trace norm and partial traces are the published definitions WildeQIT_IsDensityOperator, WildeQIT_traceNorm and WildeQIT_partialTrace. The linear maps Λ\LambdaΛ, Γ\GammaΓ are arbitrary C\mathbb CC-linear maps (not assumed positive or trace preserving), applied blockwise to one tensor factor. The objective is the real part of Tr[G W]\mathrm{Tr}[G\,W]Tr[GW], equal to Tr[G W]\mathrm{Tr}[G\,W]Tr[GW] for Hermitian GGG. Each "max" is the supremum of the set of objective values over the feasible set, never over all matrices. Wherever the page has n≥1n\ge1n≥1 copies of BBB, the Lean has n + 1: SDPval … n is the page's SDPn+1\mathrm{SDP}_{n+1}SDPn+1​, and the bounds have denominator n+1n+1n+1. The distortions f(A,B)f(A,B)f(A,B) and f(B∣⋅)f(B|\cdot)f(B∣⋅) take values in [0,∞][0,\infty][0,∞]; the standalone bound on f(B∣⋅)f(B|\cdot)f(B∣⋅) assumes dB≥1d_B\ge1dB​≥1.

No feasibility hypothesis is added to the goal. The feasible sets of QQQ and of every level are empty or nonempty together, and the empty case reads 0≤0≤0+…0\le0\le0+\dots0≤0≤0+…. The goal mentions only QQQ, SDPn\mathrm{SDP}_nSDPn​, GGG, dAd_AdA​, dBd_BdB​ and nnn; a formalization in which QQQ or SDPn\mathrm{SDP}_nSDPn​ were free real numbers, or in which the de Finetti mixture was not required to satisfy the constraints, would be a different and much weaker statement.

Contributions are welcome at every milestone, and especially in the reusable infrastructure: quantum relative entropy and mutual information on matrices, the quantum Pinsker inequality, unitary and state designs, and Hölder inequalities for Schatten norms.

Selected references

  • M. Berta, F. Borderi, O. Fawzi, V. B. Scholz, Semidefinite programming hierarchies for constrained bilinear optimization, Mathematical Programming, 2021; arXiv:1810.12197v3. https://arxiv.org/abs/1810.12197
  • F. G. S. L. Brandão, A. W. Harrow, Quantum de Finetti theorems under local measurements with applications, STOC 2013. https://arxiv.org/abs/1210.6367
  • M. Christandl, R. König, G. Mitchison, R. Renner, One-and-a-half quantum de Finetti theorems, Communications in Mathematical Physics 273, 2007. https://arxiv.org/abs/quant-ph/0602130
  • A. C. Doherty, P. A. Parrilo, F. M. Spedalieri, Complete family of separability criteria, Physical Review A 69, 2004. https://arxiv.org/abs/quant-ph/0308032
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Bandit AlgorithmsMachine LearningOperations Research+1·Captain: mikedeng1

Personalized Dynamic Pricing with Machine Learning: High-Dimensional Features and Heterogeneous Elasticity 2: Under Unknown Sparsity, Lasso-Based ILQX Pricing Has Regret at Most Cs√T(log d + log T)Research Paper

Motivation

Online sellers of loans, insurance, travel and retail goods observe data about each arriving customer before quoting a price. Using that data to price individually is attractive only if the seller can learn, from its own sales, how demand responds to price for customers with given characteristics. Two features make this hard in practice. The number of recorded characteristics ddd is often large, possibly larger than the selling horizon TTT, while only a few of them matter. And price sensitivity is itself heterogeneous: different customers respond to the same price change differently.

Ban and Keskin (Management Science 67(9), 2021) model both features and ask how fast the revenue lost to learning can grow. Their answer is that a seller who learns with lasso-regularized quasi-likelihood estimation and occasional price experiments loses revenue of order sTs\sqrt TsT​ up to logarithmic factors, where sss is the number of relevant characteristics, and that no policy can do better than order sTs\sqrt TsT​. This mission formalizes the upper bound for the general (nonlinear-link) model with unknown sparsity, Theorem 3 of the paper.

Setting

In each period t=1,2,…,Tt = 1, 2, \dots, Tt=1,2,…,T a customer arrives with a raw feature vector Zt∈RdZ_t \in \mathbb R^dZt​∈Rd. The ZtZ_tZt​ are i.i.d., take values in a compact set Z\mathcal ZZ inside a ball of radius zmax⁡z_{\max}zmax​, have mean zero and positive definite covariance ΣZ\Sigma_ZΣZ​. The seller sees the augmented vector Xt=[1;Zt]∈Rd+1X_t = [1; Z_t] \in \mathbb R^{d+1}Xt​=[1;Zt​]∈Rd+1, charges a price pt∈[ℓ,u]p_t \in [\ell, u]pt​∈[ℓ,u] with 0<ℓ<u0 < \ell < u0<ℓ<u, and observes the demand

Dt=g(α⋅Xt+(β⋅Xt) pt)+εt.D_t = g\big(\alpha \cdot X_t + (\beta \cdot X_t)\, p_t\big) + \varepsilon_t .Dt​=g(α⋅Xt​+(β⋅Xt​)pt​)+εt​.

Here θ=(α,β)\theta = (\alpha, \beta)θ=(α,β) is an unknown parameter in a compact rectangle Θ⊂R2(d+1)\Theta \subset \mathbb R^{2(d+1)}Θ⊂R2(d+1), the link ggg is known, differentiable and increasing with ℓ~≤g′≤u~\tilde\ell \le g' \le \tilde uℓ~≤g′≤u~ on the relevant domain, and the demand shocks εt\varepsilon_tεt​ form a sub-Gaussian martingale difference sequence. The term β⋅Xt\beta \cdot X_tβ⋅Xt​ is the customer's own price sensitivity. With u(p,x)=[1;p]⊗xu(p, x) = [1; p] \otimes xu(p,x)=[1;p]⊗x the argument of ggg is θ⋅u(p,x)\theta \cdot u(p, x)θ⋅u(p,x).

The sparsity of θ\thetaθ is s=∣S∣s = |\mathcal S|s=∣S∣, S={i:αi≠0}∪{i:βi≠0}\mathcal S = \{i : \alpha_i \neq 0\} \cup \{i : \beta_i \neq 0\}S={i:αi​=0}∪{i:βi​=0}. The seller does not know S\mathcal SS.

The expected revenue of price ppp is r(p,θ,x)=p g(θ⋅u(p,x))r(p, \theta, x) = p\, g(\theta \cdot u(p,x))r(p,θ,x)=pg(θ⋅u(p,x)), and the clairvoyant price φ(θ,x)\varphi(\theta, x)φ(θ,x) maximizes it; it is assumed to lie in the interior of [ℓ,u][\ell, u][ℓ,u] for θ∈Θ\theta \in \Thetaθ∈Θ, x∈X={1}×Zx \in \mathcal X = \{1\} \times \mathcal Zx∈X={1}×Z. The regret of a policy over TTT periods is

Δθπ(T)=E[∑t=1Tr∗(θ,Xt)−r(pt,θ,Xt)],r∗(θ,x)=r(φ(θ,x),θ,x).\Delta^\pi_\theta(T) = \mathbb E\Big[\sum_{t=1}^T r^*(\theta, X_t) - r(p_t, \theta, X_t)\Big], \qquad r^*(\theta,x) = r(\varphi(\theta,x),\theta,x).Δθπ​(T)=E[t=1∑T​r∗(θ,Xt​)−r(pt​,θ,Xt​)],r∗(θ,x)=r(φ(θ,x),θ,x).

The policy ILQX(m1,m2,λ)(m_1, m_2, \lambda)(m1​,m2​,λ) charges the experimental price m1m_1m1​ in periods M1={1,4,9,… }M_1 = \{1, 4, 9, \dots\}M1​={1,4,9,…} and m2m_2m2​ in periods M2={2,5,10,… }M_2 = \{2, 5, 10, \dots\}M2​={2,5,10,…}, and otherwise charges φ(PΘθ^t,Xt)\varphi(\mathcal P_\Theta \hat\theta_t, X_t)φ(PΘ​θ^t​,Xt​), where θ^t\hat\theta_tθ^t​ maximizes the lasso-penalized quasi-likelihood

Qt−1(θ~,λt)=∑k=1t−1χk∫Dkg(θ~⋅uk)Dk−yg′(g−1(y)) dy−λt∥θ~∥1Q_{t-1}(\tilde\theta, \lambda_t) = \sum_{k=1}^{t-1} \chi_k \int_{D_k}^{g(\tilde\theta \cdot u_k)} \frac{D_k - y}{g'(g^{-1}(y))}\, dy - \lambda_t \|\tilde\theta\|_1Qt−1​(θ~,λt​)=k=1∑t−1​χk​∫Dk​g(θ~⋅uk​)​g′(g−1(y))Dk​−y​dy−λt​∥θ~∥1​

over the experimental periods (χk=I{k∈M1∪M2}\chi_k = \mathbb I\{k \in M_1 \cup M_2\}χk​=I{k∈M1​∪M2​}), and PΘ\mathcal P_\ThetaPΘ​ is the projection onto Θ\ThetaΘ. The regularization level is λt+1=c~ t1/4log⁡d+log⁡t\lambda_{t+1} = \tilde c\, t^{1/4} \sqrt{\log d + \log t}λt+1​=c~t1/4logd+logt​ for a constant c~>0\tilde c > 0c~>0.

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem 3

There is a finite constant C~>0\tilde C > 0C~>0 such that

Δθπ(T)≤C~ sT (log⁡d+log⁡T)for all θ∈Θ, T≥2.\Delta^\pi_\theta(T) \le \tilde C\, s \sqrt T\, (\log d + \log T) \qquad \text{for all } \theta \in \Theta,\ T \ge 2 .Δθπ​(T)≤C~sT​(logd+logT)for all θ∈Θ, T≥2.

C~\tilde CC~ is fixed with the model and is uniform over Θ\ThetaΘ; since s=s(θ)s = s(\theta)s=s(θ) varies over Θ\ThetaΘ, the factor sss carries content.

Milestones

  1. The counting property of the schedule (7): for t≥5t \ge 5t≥5 each experimental price is charged at least 14t\tfrac14 \sqrt t41​t​ times in periods 1,…,t1, \dots, t1,…,t.
  2. Lemma 3, the estimation error of the lasso quasi-likelihood estimate:
P{∥θ^t+1(lasso)(λt+1)−θ∥2≤ρ3s(log⁡d+log⁡t)t}≥1−κ3s(log⁡d+log⁡t)t,t≥t1.\mathbb P\Big\{\|\hat\theta^{(\mathrm{lasso})}_{t+1}(\lambda_{t+1}) - \theta\|^2 \le \rho_3 \frac{s(\log d + \log t)}{\sqrt t}\Big\} \ge 1 - \kappa_3 \frac{s(\log d + \log t)}{\sqrt t}, \qquad t \ge t_1 .P{∥θ^t+1(lasso)​(λt+1​)−θ∥2≤ρ3​t​s(logd+logt)​}≥1−κ3​t​s(logd+logt)​,t≥t1​.

Significance

Theorem 3 says that a seller facing many potentially relevant customer characteristics, without knowing which matter and under a nonlinear demand link such as logit, loses revenue at a rate governed by the number sss of relevant characteristics and only logarithmically by the total number ddd. Combined with the paper's sTs\sqrt TsT​ lower bound (Theorem 1, for the linear model), it makes ILQX first-order optimal up to logarithmic factors. An unregularized policy would pay order dTd\sqrt TdT​, which is linear in TTT when ddd exceeds T\sqrt TT​.

The paper's proofs are in its electronic companion, which this mission does not reproduce; no machine-checked version of the result exists. A complete formalization would also produce a reusable high-probability error bound for lasso-regularized quasi-likelihood estimation under adaptively collected data (Lemma 3), and a machine-checked model of feature-based dynamic pricing on which related policies can be stated.

Difficulty

The estimation error must be controlled on data collected by the policy itself. The design vectors uk=[1;mi(k)]⊗Xku_k = [1; m_{i(k)}] \otimes X_kuk​=[1;mi(k)​]⊗Xk​ use only two prices, so the information about the price sensitivity accrues only from the Θ(t)\Theta(\sqrt t)Θ(t​) experimental periods. Standard lasso error bounds assume a fixed or i.i.d. design and a restricted-eigenvalue condition on it; here a restricted-eigenvalue-type property of the random Kronecker design must be derived from ΣZ≻0\Sigma_Z \succ 0ΣZ​≻0 and m1≠m2m_1 \ne m_2m1​=m2​, and the noise enters through a martingale whose conditional law may depend on past prices. The quasi-likelihood is not a least-squares objective, so the curvature comes from the bounds ℓ~≤g′≤u~\tilde\ell \le g' \le \tilde uℓ~≤g′≤u~, which hold only on the bounded domain {θ⋅u(p,x):θ∈Θ}\{\theta \cdot u(p,x) : \theta \in \Theta\}{θ⋅u(p,x):θ∈Θ} and not at an unconstrained estimate. Finally, the regret bound has to turn a squared-error bound holding with probability 1−O(slog⁡(dt)/t)1 - O(s \log(dt)/\sqrt t)1−O(slog(dt)/t​) into an expected revenue loss, which requires the revenue loss to be second order in the parameter error at an interior optimum.

Formalization scope

  • Coordinates. x∈Rd+1x \in \mathbb R^{d+1}x∈Rd+1 is Fin (d+1) → ℝ with the intercept at index 0; θ\thetaθ is Fin 2 × Fin (d+1) → ℝ with θ(0,i)=αi\theta(0,i) = \alpha_iθ(0,i)=αi​, θ(1,i)=βi\theta(1,i) = \beta_iθ(1,i)=βi​. Periods are 1-based. d≥1d \ge 1d≥1.
  • Objective. The integrated form ∑kχk(Dk (θ~⋅uk)−∫0θ~⋅ukg)−λ∥θ~∥1\sum_k \chi_k \big(D_k\,(\tilde\theta \cdot u_k) - \int_0^{\tilde\theta \cdot u_k} g\big) - \lambda \|\tilde\theta\|_1∑k​χk​(Dk​(θ~⋅uk​)−∫0θ~⋅uk​​g)−λ∥θ~∥1​, which differs from the paper's (17) by a term not depending on θ~\tilde\thetaθ~ and therefore has the same maximizers.
  • Estimator. Any measurable selection that is a maximizer whenever one exists; the theorems hold for every such selection. The paper's claim that (17) is strictly concave with a unique maximizer fails when 2(d+1)2(d+1)2(d+1) exceeds the rank of the design.
  • Policy. The price is defined by strong recursion over the realized history; the estimator sees θ\thetaθ only through the realized demands.
  • Regret is a lower Lebesgue integral of nonnegative losses; conditional moments of the shocks use the conditional Lebesgue expectation; probabilities are compared in [0,∞][0, \infty][0,∞].
  • Standing assumptions formalized: i.i.d. measurable features in a compact Z\mathcal ZZ inside a Euclidean ball, mean zero, positive definite ΣZ\Sigma_ZΣZ​; fresh customers (Zt+1Z_{t+1}Zt+1​ independent of the past); sub-Gaussian martingale-difference shocks; m1≠m2m_1 \ne m_2m1​=m2​ in [ℓ,u][\ell, u][ℓ,u]; ggg differentiable and increasing with derivative bounds on the relevant domain (endnote 2 states them as a consequence, which is false; here they are a hypothesis); φ\varphiφ an unconstrained revenue maximizer in (ℓ,u)(\ell, u)(ℓ,u) whose pricing map after projection and feature augmentation is measurable. The processes are constrained only at the used periods t≥1t\ge1t≥1.
  • Added hypotheses, per θ\thetaθ: s(θ)≥1s(\theta) \ge 1s(θ)≥1 (the paper's s∈{1,…,d+1}s \in \{1, \dots, d+1\}s∈{1,…,d+1}), and almost surely every realized demand lies in the closure of the range of ggg, which guarantees that a maximizer of (17) exists (true for the linear link and for binary demand under a logit link).
  • Not formalized: the paper's support condition on continuous features; Remark 7's independence of C~\tilde CC~ from ddd; dependence of the shock law on θ\thetaθ (the shocks are one fixed process).
  • Ruled-out trivializations. The regret cannot vanish by non-integrability; the estimator cannot be an arbitrary function, since it must maximize the objective; C~\tilde CC~ and κ3,ρ3,t1\kappa_3, \rho_3, t_1κ3​,ρ3​,t1​ are chosen before θ\thetaθ, so they cannot absorb sss; the hypotheses are jointly satisfiable (a linear-link instance with d=1d = 1d=1 is checked).

Contributions welcome: existence of a measurable maximizer of the objective, the counting lemma, and supporting lemmas for Lemma 3 and the regret bound.

Selected references

  • G.-Y. Ban and N. B. Keskin, Personalized Dynamic Pricing with Machine Learning: High-Dimensional Features and Heterogeneous Elasticity, Management Science 67(9):5549–5568, 2021. https://doi.org/10.1287/mnsc.2020.3680
  • A. V. den Boer and B. Zwart, Simultaneously Learning and Optimizing Using Controlled Variance Pricing, Management Science 60(3):770–783, 2014. https://doi.org/10.1287/mnsc.2013.1788
  • N. B. Keskin and A. Zeevi, Dynamic Pricing with an Unknown Demand Model: Asymptotically Optimal Semi-Myopic Policies, Operations Research 62(5):1142–1167, 2014. https://doi.org/10.1287/opre.2014.1294
  • A. Javanmard and H. Nazerzadeh, Dynamic Pricing in High-Dimensions, Journal of Machine Learning Research 20(9):1–49, 2019. https://jmlr.org/papers/v20/17-357.html
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Bandit AlgorithmsInformation TheoryMachine Learning+1·Captain: mikedeng1

Regret in Online Combinatorial Optimization II: Under Bandit Feedback Every Strategy Has Minimax Regret at Least 0.02 m√(dn) on Some Set of Actions with m OnesResearch Paper

Why bandit feedback matters

An online player repeatedly chooses a subset of coordinates and pays the sum of their losses. In many applications the player sees only that sum, not the losses of the selected coordinates. This bandit feedback makes it harder to identify which coordinate within each chosen subset is responsible for a favorable or unfavorable outcome. Audibert, Bubeck and Lugosi studied how this information limit changes regret in online combinatorial optimization. Their Theorem 5 establishes a lower bound that scales linearly with the number of selected coordinates and with the square root of the ambient dimension and horizon. Audibert, Bubeck and Lugosi, 2013, pp. 13–14

The result is part of a comparison among full-information, semi-bandit and bandit feedback in the same action model. Under full information the player sees the complete loss vector after each round; under semi-bandit feedback the player sees losses at selected coordinates; under bandit feedback the player sees only one scalar. The paper proves upper bounds for semi-bandit play and a bandit lower bound. The latter is the target of this mission. Audibert, Bubeck and Lugosi, 2013, pp. 2–3, 14

The game and its regret

Fix a dimension ddd, a horizon nnn, and a finite nonempty set A⊆{0,1}d\mathcal A\subseteq\{0,1\}^dA⊆{0,1}d. Each action a∈Aa\in\mathcal Aa∈A has exactly mmm entries equal to one. At round ttt, the player selects a probability distribution on A\mathcal AA, draws an action ata_tat​, and simultaneously an adversary selects a loss vector zt∈[0,1]dz_t\in[0,1]^dzt​∈[0,1]d. The player pays the scalar atTzta_t^\mathsf Tz_tatT​zt​. In the bandit protocol, that scalar is the only new information made available for the next round. A player strategy can use every previous action and observed scalar loss, and can randomize at every round. Audibert, Bubeck and Lugosi, 2013, pp. 2–3

The paper measures performance by pseudo-regret against the best fixed action in expectation:

Rn=E∑t=1natTzt−min⁡a∈AE∑t=1naTzt.R_n=\mathbb E\sum_{t=1}^{n}a_t^\mathsf Tz_t- \min_{a\in\mathcal A}\mathbb E\sum_{t=1}^{n}a^\mathsf Tz_t.Rn​=Et=1∑n​atT​zt​−a∈Amin​Et=1∑n​aTzt​.

The expectation covers the player's randomization and, when present, the adversary's randomization. This benchmark chooses one action for the whole horizon after comparing expected cumulative losses. It is the sole notion of regret used in the paper. Audibert, Bubeck and Lugosi, 2013, p. 2 and footnote 1

For the lower bound, the appendix arranges the ddd coordinates as mmm parallel games with k=d/mk=d/mk=d/m choices per game. An action selects one coordinate from each game. The adversary can associate a favoured choice α\alphaα with each game and assign independent Bernoulli losses whose means are 1/2−ϵ1/2-\epsilon1/2−ϵ at the favoured coordinates and 1/21/21/2 elsewhere. The player still sees only the sum of the mmm selected losses. These are the α\alphaα-adversaries that underlie the milestone statements. Audibert, Bubeck and Lugosi, 2013, pp. 16–17

Formalization targets

The goal is Theorem 5 with the divisibility condition used by its appendix construction. For n≥d≥2mn\ge d\ge2mn≥d≥2m and m∣dm\mid dm∣d, there is an action set A\mathcal AA such that every bandit strategy faces some bounded loss law with

Rn≥0.02 mdn.R_n\ge0.02\,m\sqrt{dn}.Rn​≥0.02mdn​.

The order of the choices is part of the claim: the action set is fixed first; then each player strategy may face its own adversary. The lower bound retains the paper's explicit constant 0.020.020.02. Audibert, Bubeck and Lugosi, 2013, p. 14, Theorem 5; p. 16

The milestones follow the appendix's stated results: Lemma 5 bounds a logarithm; Lemma 4 and its corrected second case bound the divergence between sums of independent Bernoulli variables; the one-round observation bound and the horizon bound control information revealed by bandit feedback. Equations (9), (10), and (11) connect that information to expected regret and symmetry. The final averaged bound on the chance of selecting a favoured choice closes the path to the goal. The milestones are stated for deterministic players, as in the first three steps of the appendix; the passage to randomized players (the appendix's fourth step) is part of the goal's proof and is not a separate milestone. Audibert, Bubeck and Lugosi, 2013, pp. 17–18, 20–21

What the result establishes

The theorem prevents a uniform regret guarantee of smaller order than mdnm\sqrt{dn}mdn​ for this bandit action model. It shows that aggregating mmm selected losses into a single observation imposes a cost beyond what a player can avoid by choosing a different randomized strategy. In particular, the quantifier over every strategy makes the claim about the feedback model, rather than about one named algorithm. The paper proves the result in Appendix B, with the Bernoulli-sum estimate in Appendix C. Audibert, Bubeck and Lugosi, 2013, pp. 14, 16–18, 20–21

The formalization work is to prove the existing paper result in Lean from a finite protocol that represents all behavioural player strategies, together with the finite laws of the appendix's adversaries. The resulting definitions of action paths, scalar observations, finite probability laws, and divergence estimates can support other finite-horizon bandit lower bounds. These statements are drafted as open Lean theorems; compilation checks their types, while proofs remain for solvers. The paper's mathematical proof does not itself constitute a machine-checked proof.

Where the difficulty lies

A scalar bandit observation sums losses from several games. The player cannot separate the contribution of the favoured coordinate in one game from the other selected losses by inspecting that observation. A bound for the divergence of a single Bernoulli variable therefore does not directly bound the information available to the player. The appendix's central estimate concerns sums of independent Bernoulli variables, followed by the law of the whole sequence of scalar observations. Audibert, Bubeck and Lugosi, 2013, pp. 16, 18, 20

There is also a correction to make explicit. Lemma 4 is false for some parameters allowed by its printed statement: taking n=ℓ=1n=\ell=1n=ℓ=1, p=q=1/2p=q=1/2p=q=1/2, and p′=0.001p'=0.001p′=0.001 violates the displayed bound. The error is in the second case of its proof, which applies Lemma 5 outside its range when p′<pp'<pp′<p. The mission states Lemma 4 with the additional condition p(1−p′)≤2p′(1−p)p(1-p')\le2p'(1-p)p(1−p′)≤2p′(1−p), which holds whenever p≤p′p\le p'p≤p′, and states the corrected second case separately: for q=p>p′q=p>p'q=p>p′, KL(B,B′)≤(p′−p)2/((1−p)p′(n+2))\mathrm{KL}(\mathcal B,\mathcal B')\le(p'-p)^2/((1-p)p'(n+2))KL(B,B′)≤(p′−p)2/((1−p)p′(n+2)). Through the corrected case, the one-round bound used by the goal holds for the full range 0<ϵ<1/20<\epsilon<1/20<ϵ<1/2, so Theorem 5 and its constant are unaffected. Audibert, Bubeck and Lugosi, 2013, pp. 20–21, Lemmas 4–5

Formalization scope

Actions are functions Fin(d)→R\mathrm{Fin}(d)\to\mathbb RFin(d)→R constrained to zero or one, with coordinate sum mmm. Coordinates and rounds are indexed from zero. A behavioural strategy maps every history of chosen actions and real-valued observed losses to a probability distribution on the finite action set. Its domain includes every real history, even though the appendix's particular Bernoulli adversaries generate integer observations. The strategy may randomize; restricting the goal to deterministic players or allowing it to inspect an unobserved loss vector would change the game.

The goal's exhibited adversary is an oblivious, finitely supported probability law on loss sequences in [0,1]n×d[0,1]^{n\times d}[0,1]n×d. It belongs to the broader adversary class of the paper, so this existential formulation is stronger. All expectations are finite sums. The regret comparator is a minimum over the nonempty action set, not a default value assigned to an empty set. The action set has binary entries and equal coordinate sums, and every loss lies in the unit interval; these clauses rule out trivial lower bounds from malformed actions or unbounded losses.

The hypothesis m∣dm\mid dm∣d is added to the printed theorem because Appendix B assumes it to partition coordinates into equally sized games. When m=0m=0m=0, it forces d=0d=0d=0 and the claimed lower bound is zero. The milestone model uses functions Fin(m)→Fin(k)\mathrm{Fin}(m)\to\mathrm{Fin}(k)Fin(m)→Fin(k) with d=mkd=mkd=mk, deterministic players, finite Bernoulli product laws, and a finite real KL sum. Its log ratios are meaningful on the common support ensured by the stated parameter bounds. Reusable contributions include the finite bandit protocol and observation laws, as well as proofs of the KL and averaging milestones.

Selected references

  • Jean-Yves Audibert, Sébastien Bubeck and Gábor Lugosi, Regret in Online Combinatorial Optimization, Mathematics of Operations Research 39(1), 2014. arXiv:1204.4710v2; DOI:10.1287/moor.2013.0598.
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Partially Observable Total-Cost Markov Decision Processes with Weakly Continuous Transition Probabilities 1: The Belief MDP Satisfies Assumption (W*) Under Total-Variation-Continuous ObservationsResearch Paper

Motivation

A partially observable Markov decision process (POMDP) models a controller that cannot see the state of the system it steers, only noisy observations of it. Inventory control with unrecorded demand, machine maintenance with imperfect inspection, and target tracking from sensor readings all have this form. The standard way to solve a POMDP is to replace it by its belief MDP, also called the completely observable MDP (COMDP): the state becomes the posterior distribution of the hidden state given everything observed so far. The belief MDP is fully observed, so the theory of Markov decision processes applies to it, but only if the belief MDP satisfies that theory's hypotheses. For MDPs with Borel state and action spaces, unbounded costs and possibly noncompact action sets, the hypothesis that yields optimality equations, convergence of value iterations and stationary optimal policies is Assumption (W*) of Feinberg, Kasyanov and Zadoianchuk (Math. Oper. Res. 2012): the cost is K\mathbb KK-inf-compact and the transition probability is weakly continuous.

Before Feinberg, Kasyanov and Zgurovsky (arXiv:1401.2168v2, published in Math. Oper. Res. 41(2), 2016), sufficient conditions for the belief MDP to be weakly continuous required a weakly continuous filter (Hernández-Lerma, 1989, as recalled on p. 11 of arXiv:1401.2168v2), a condition that fails in many natural models. The paper replaces it by a condition on the primitive data of the POMDP.

Setting

Let X\mathbb XX (states), Y\mathbb YY (observations) and A\mathbb AA (actions) be Borel subsets of Polish spaces. Let P(dx′∣x,a)P(dx' \mid x, a)P(dx′∣x,a) be the transition kernel on X\mathbb XX given X×A\mathbb X \times \mathbb AX×A, Q(dy∣a,x)Q(dy \mid a, x)Q(dy∣a,x) the observation kernel on Y\mathbb YY given A×X\mathbb A \times \mathbb XA×X, and c:X×A→R∪{+∞}c : \mathbb X \times \mathbb A \to \mathbb R \cup \{+\infty\}c:X×A→R∪{+∞} a Borel one-step cost bounded below. P(X)\mathbb P(\mathbb X)P(X) is the set of probability measures on X\mathbb XX with the topology of weak convergence (∫f dμn→∫f dμ\int f\,d\mu_n \to \int f\,d\mu∫fdμn​→∫fdμ for bounded continuous fff). A sequence μn\mu_nμn​ converges setwise if μn(C)→μ(C)\mu_n(C) \to \mu(C)μn​(C)→μ(C) for every Borel CCC, and in the total variation if sup⁡f∣∫f dμn−∫f dμ∣→0\sup_f |\int f\,d\mu_n - \int f\,d\mu| \to 0supf​∣∫fdμn​−∫fdμ∣→0 over Borel fff with values in [−1,1][-1, 1][−1,1]. A kernel is weakly (setwise, total-variation) continuous if xn→xx_n \to xxn​→x implies the corresponding convergence of the measures.

For a belief z∈P(X)z \in \mathbb P(\mathbb X)z∈P(X) and an action aaa, let R(B×C∣z,a)=∫X∫BQ(C∣a,x′) P(dx′∣x,a) z(dx)R(B \times C \mid z, a) = \int_{\mathbb X} \int_B Q(C \mid a, x')\,P(dx' \mid x, a)\,z(dx)R(B×C∣z,a)=∫X​∫B​Q(C∣a,x′)P(dx′∣x,a)z(dx) be the joint law of the next state and observation (3.1), and R′(C∣z,a)=R(X×C∣z,a)R'(C \mid z, a) = R(\mathbb X \times C \mid z, a)R′(C∣z,a)=R(X×C∣z,a) its observation marginal (3.2). A filter is a kernel H(dx∣z,a,y)H(dx \mid z, a, y)H(dx∣z,a,y) with R(B×C∣z,a)=∫CH(B∣z,a,y) R′(dy∣z,a)R(B \times C \mid z, a) = \int_C H(B \mid z, a, y)\,R'(dy \mid z, a)R(B×C∣z,a)=∫C​H(B∣z,a,y)R′(dy∣z,a) (3.3): H(z,a,y)H(z, a, y)H(z,a,y) is the posterior after observing yyy. The belief MDP has state space P(X)\mathbb P(\mathbb X)P(X), action set A\mathbb AA, cost cˉ(z,a)=∫c(x,a) z(dx)\bar c(z, a) = \int c(x, a)\,z(dx)cˉ(z,a)=∫c(x,a)z(dx) (3.8), and transition q(⋅∣z,a)q(\cdot \mid z, a)q(⋅∣z,a), the law of H(z,a,y)H(z, a, y)H(z,a,y) when y∼R′(⋅∣z,a)y \sim R'(\cdot \mid z, a)y∼R′(⋅∣z,a) (3.5). A cost is K\mathbb KK-inf-compact on S1×S2\mathbb S_1 \times \mathbb S_2S1​×S2​ if its restriction to K×S2K \times \mathbb S_2K×S2​ has compact level sets for every compact K⊆S1K \subseteq \mathbb S_1K⊆S1​.

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem 3.6

If either Assumption (D) (0≤α<10 \le \alpha < 10≤α<1) or Assumption (P) (c≥0c \ge 0c≥0 and 0≤α≤10 \le \alpha \le 10≤α≤1) holds, ccc is bounded below and K\mathbb KK-inf-compact on X×A\mathbb X \times \mathbb AX×A, PPP is weakly continuous and QQQ is continuous in the total variation, then the belief MDP satisfies Assumption (W*):

cˉ is bounded below and K-inf-compact on P(X)×A,(zn,an)→(z,a)  ⟹  q(⋅∣zn,an)→q(⋅∣z,a) weakly.\bar c \text{ is bounded below and } \mathbb K\text{-inf-compact on } \mathbb P(\mathbb X) \times \mathbb A, \qquad (z_n, a_n) \to (z, a) \implies q(\cdot \mid z_n, a_n) \to q(\cdot \mid z, a) \text{ weakly}.cˉ is bounded below and K-inf-compact on P(X)×A,(zn​,an​)→(z,a)⟹q(⋅∣zn​,an​)→q(⋅∣z,a) weakly.

The two halves

  • Cost half (Theorem 3.4, through Lemma 6.1 and Lemma 5.1(ii)): cˉ\bar ccˉ is bounded below by the same constant as ccc and K\mathbb KK-inf-compact.
  • Transition half (Theorem 3.7): under the hypotheses on PPP and QQQ, R′R'R′ is setwise continuous and Assumption (H) holds: whenever zn→zz_n \to zzn​→z and an→aa_n \to aan​→a, along a subsequence H(znk,ank,y)→H(z,a,y)H(z_{n_k}, a_{n_k}, y) \to H(z, a, y)H(znk​​,ank​​,y)→H(z,a,y) weakly for R′(⋅∣z,a)R'(\cdot \mid z, a)R′(⋅∣z,a)-almost every yyy. Theorem 3.5 then gives weak continuity of qqq. The route runs through Theorem 5.2, Lemma 5.3, Corollary 5.4, Theorem 5.5 and Lemma 5.6.

Significance

Theorem 3.6 supplies the hypothesis under which the cited general MDP theory gives stationary optimal policies, optimality equations and convergence of value iterations for total-cost POMDPs in terms of PPP, QQQ and ccc alone, without compactness of the action set, boundedness of the cost or continuity of the filter. It covers, for example, observation kernels with densities continuous in (a,x)(a, x)(a,x), and the paper applies it to inventory control with incomplete records and to the Kalman filter. Example 4.1 of the same paper shows that total-variation continuity of QQQ cannot be weakened to setwise continuity.

The result is proved in the paper; this proposal poses its formal statement and the supporting results as proof targets. Completing them would provide a checked bridge from POMDPs to the general MDP theory under weak continuity, together with reusable facts about weak, setwise and total-variation convergence: equicontinuity of integrals against weakly continuous kernels (Theorem 5.2), the convergence-in-probability criterion (Theorem 5.5), and the generalized Fatou lemmas.

Difficulty

The posterior H(z,a,y)H(z, a, y)H(z,a,y) is defined only for R′(⋅∣z,a)R'(\cdot \mid z, a)R′(⋅∣z,a)-almost every yyy and has no continuous version in general, so weak continuity of qqq cannot be read off from continuity of HHH. The tempting argument, that continuous PPP and QQQ make the Bayes posterior move continuously, fails: Y\mathbb YY need not be countable and QQQ need not have densities. What has to be controlled is the joint law RRR on sets (O1∖O2)×C(\mathcal O_1 \setminus \mathcal O_2) \times C(O1​∖O2​)×C uniformly in the observation set CCC; convergence for each fixed CCC is not enough. Turning this uniform control into almost-sure convergence of posteriors along a subsequence requires a diagonal argument over a countable base of X\mathbb XX. On the cost side, the difficulty is that ccc may take the value +∞+\infty+∞ and is not continuous; K\mathbb KK-inf-compactness has to be transported through integration against a weakly converging sequence of measures.

Formalization scope

All definitions live in FeinbergPOMDP.WStar.Model. X,Y,A\mathbb X, \mathbb Y, \mathbb AX,Y,A are separable metrizable spaces with their Borel σ-algebras (PolishSpace is not assumed, since Borel subsets of Polish spaces need not be Polish); X\mathbb XX is additionally nonempty and standard Borel in Theorems 3.6 and 3.7, where a filter must exist. P(X)\mathbb P(\mathbb X)P(X) is Mathlib's ProbabilityMeasure with the weak topology. All continuity notions are the paper's sequential ones; total variation is the supremum over Borel functions with values in [−1,1][-1, 1][−1,1], written in ε\varepsilonε–NNN form, while the set-indexed suprema of (5.15) and (5.17) keep their set form. The cost is written c=ℓ+fc = \ell + fc=ℓ+f with ℓ∈R\ell \in \mathbb Rℓ∈R and fff taking values in [0,∞][0, \infty][0,∞], so cˉ=ℓ+∫f dz\bar c = \ell + \int f\,dzcˉ=ℓ+∫fdz, exact even when c=+∞c = +\inftyc=+∞ on a set of positive measure. K\mathbb KK-inf-compactness is the published FeinbergLiang.ACOE.KInfCompact. A filter is a map H:P(X)→A→Y→P(X)H : \mathbb P(\mathbb X) \to \mathbb A \to \mathbb Y \to \mathbb P(\mathbb X)H:P(X)→A→Y→P(X) that satisfies (3.3) and is jointly Borel measurable in (z,a,y)(z,a,y)(z,a,y), as the paper's stochastic kernel is; qqq is the image of R′R'R′ under H(z,a,⋅)H(z, a, \cdot)H(z,a,⋅) for the Borel σ-algebra of the weak topology on P(X)\mathbb P(\mathbb X)P(X).

Since qqq does not depend on the choice of filter, every statement about qqq is made for every filter satisfying (3.3). A fixed filter that ignores the observation, such as H(z,a,y)=zH(z, a, y) = zH(z,a,y)=z, would make qqq a point mass and the weak continuity trivial; it satisfies (3.3) only when observations carry no information, and is excluded by quantifying over all filters.

The goal states the Assumption (W*) conclusion of Theorem 3.6. Its tail, "statements (i)–(vi) of Theorem 3.1 hold", invokes Theorem 2.1 of Feinberg et al. (2012) applied to the belief MDP; it is cited rather than proved in this paper. Generalized Fatou's lemmas 5.1(i) and 5.1(ii) are referenced from the published Schäl (1993) items. A complete development needs weak and setwise convergence on ProbabilityMeasure, portmanteau-type arguments, disintegration (Measure.condKernel) and the identification of the Borel and Giry σ-algebras on P(X)\mathbb P(\mathbb X)P(X); the last is missing from Mathlib and is a welcome contribution in its own right. Proofs of any milestone, and alternative arguments for Theorem 3.7, are welcome.

Selected references

  • E. A. Feinberg, P. O. Kasyanov, M. Z. Zgurovsky, Partially Observable Total-Cost Markov Decision Processes with Weakly Continuous Transition Probabilities, arXiv:1401.2168v2 (2014); Mathematics of Operations Research 41(2), 2016. https://arxiv.org/abs/1401.2168v2
  • E. A. Feinberg, P. O. Kasyanov, N. V. Zadoianchuk, Average-cost Markov decision processes with weakly continuous transition probabilities, Mathematics of Operations Research 37(4), 2012. https://doi.org/10.1287/moor.1120.0555
  • D. P. Bertsekas, S. E. Shreve, Stochastic Optimal Control: The Discrete-Time Case, Academic Press, 1978. https://web.mit.edu/dimitrib/www/soc.html
  • M. Schäl, Average optimality in dynamic programming with general state space, Mathematics of Operations Research 18(1), 1993. https://doi.org/10.1287/moor.18.1.163
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Wasserstein Distributionally Robust Optimization and Variation Regularization III: With Probability 1 − e^(−t), E_Pn[(ρ − d(z, D_f))₊] ≤ Cρ² + 2ρ·E[Rademacher] + ρ√(t/2n) for Every fResearch Paper

Motivation

Wasserstein distributionally robust optimization (DRO) replaces the empirical risk EPn[f]\mathbb E_{P_n}[f]EPn​​[f] of a loss fff by its worst case over all distributions within Wasserstein distance ρ\rhoρ of the empirical law PnP_nPn​. Gao, Chen and Kleywegt (arXiv:1712.06050; Operations Research, 2024, doi:10.1287/opre.2022.2383) show that, for small radii, this worst-case risk is the empirical risk plus ρ\rhoρ times a variation of the loss (a norm of its gradient or local slope), up to a remainder. This links DRO to gradient-norm regularization, as used in adversarial training and in data-driven newsvendor and pricing models.

For smooth losses the remainder is of order ρ2\rho^2ρ2. Many losses used in practice are only piecewise smooth: hinge, ReLU networks, newsvendor costs, θz∧1\theta z \wedge 1θz∧1. Near the set Df\mathcal D_fDf​ where the pieces meet, the first-order expansion fails, and the paper's Theorem 1(I)–(II) carries an extra boundary term M EPn[(ρ−d(z,Df))+]M\,\mathbb E_{P_n}[(\rho - d(z,\mathcal D_f))_+]MEPn​​[(ρ−d(z,Df​))+​]. Theorem 1(III) shows that this term is small with high probability, uniformly over the loss class, provided the data distribution does not concentrate near the non-smooth points. This mission formalizes that probabilistic bound.

Setting

Let (Z,d)(\mathcal Z, d)(Z,d) be a metric space with its Borel σ\sigmaσ-algebra, PtrueP_{\rm true}Ptrue​ a probability measure on Z\mathcal ZZ, and z1,…,znz_1, \dots, z_nz1​,…,zn​ an i.i.d. sample from PtrueP_{\rm true}Ptrue​, with empirical law Pn=1n∑iδziP_n = \frac1n\sum_i \delta_{z_i}Pn​=n1​∑i​δzi​​. The sampling law is the product P⊗=Ptrue⊗nP_\otimes = P_{\rm true}^{\otimes n}P⊗​=Ptrue⊗n​ on Zn\mathcal Z^nZn, and E⊗\mathbb E_\otimesE⊗​ is its expectation. The formal statements also assume the metric space is second countable.

Let F\mathcal FF be a set of losses f:Z→Rf : \mathcal Z \to \mathbb Rf:Z→R, and for each fff let Df⊆Z\mathcal D_f \subseteq \mathcal ZDf​⊆Z be its non-smooth set: for a piecewise smooth fff with pieces Zf,1,…,Zf,Kf\mathcal Z_{f,1}, \dots, \mathcal Z_{f,K_f}Zf,1​,…,Zf,Kf​​, the union of the pairwise intersections of their closures (Assumption 1). The paper assumes Df\mathcal D_fDf​ is PtrueP_{\rm true}Ptrue​-null. The distance to a set is d(z,D)=inf⁡z~∈Dd(z,z~)d(z, D) = \inf_{\tilde z\in D} d(z,\tilde z)d(z,D)=infz~∈D​d(z,z~), with d(z,∅)=+∞d(z,\varnothing) = +\inftyd(z,∅)=+∞.

The objects of the mission are:

  • the boundary gap (ρ−d(z,Df))+(\rho - d(z, \mathcal D_f))_+(ρ−d(z,Df​))+​ and the near indicator 1{d(z,Df)<ρ}\mathbf 1\{d(z,\mathcal D_f) < \rho\}1{d(z,Df​)<ρ};
  • the indicator class Iρ={z↦1{d(z,Df)<ρ}:f∈F, Df≠∅}\mathcal I_\rho = \{z\mapsto \mathbf 1\{d(z,\mathcal D_f)<\rho\} : f\in\mathcal F,\ \mathcal D_f\neq\varnothing\}Iρ​={z↦1{d(z,Df​)<ρ}:f∈F, Df​=∅};
  • the empirical Rademacher complexity Rn(H)=Eσ[sup⁡h∈H1n∑iσih(zi)]\mathfrak R_n(\mathcal H) = \mathbb E_\sigma\bigl[\sup_{h\in\mathcal H}\frac1n\sum_i\sigma_i h(z_i)\bigr]Rn​(H)=Eσ​[suph∈H​n1​∑i​σi​h(zi​)] of a class H\mathcal HH, with i.i.d. uniform signs σi\sigma_iσi​, and the Rademacher complexity E⊗[Rn(H)]\mathbb E_\otimes[\mathfrak R_n(\mathcal H)]E⊗​[Rn​(H)];
  • Assumption 3 (bounded density):
lim sup⁡δ↓0 sup⁡f∈F: Df≠∅Ptrue{z:0<d(z,Df)<δ}δ<∞.\limsup_{\delta\downarrow 0}\ \sup_{f\in\mathcal F:\,\mathcal D_f\ne\varnothing}\frac{P_{\rm true}\{z : 0 < d(z,\mathcal D_f) < \delta\}}{\delta} < \infty.δ↓0limsup​ f∈F:Df​=∅sup​δPtrue​{z:0<d(z,Df​)<δ}​<∞.

In Lean the boundary gap is the shared WassVarReg.PInf.boundaryGap; nearIndicator, indicatorClass, empRademacher, rademacher and Assumption3 are in WassVarReg.Boundary. The sample law is the published MinimaxWass.DataDep.sampleLaw.

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem 1(III), first display (p. 8)

Under Assumption 3 there exist ρˉ,C>0\bar\rho, C > 0ρˉ​,C>0 such that for all n≥1n\ge1n≥1, t>0t>0t>0 and 0≤ρ<ρˉ0\le\rho<\bar\rho0≤ρ<ρˉ​, with probability at least 1−e−t1-e^{-t}1−e−t, for every f∈Ff\in\mathcal Ff∈F,

EPn[(ρ−d(z,Df))+]≤Cρ2+2ρ E⊗[Rn(Iρ)]+ρt2n.\mathbb E_{P_n}\bigl[(\rho - d(z,\mathcal D_f))_+\bigr] \le C\rho^2 + 2\rho\,\mathbb E_\otimes[\mathfrak R_n(\mathcal I_\rho)] + \rho\sqrt{\frac{t}{2n}}.EPn​​[(ρ−d(z,Df​))+​]≤Cρ2+2ρE⊗​[Rn​(Iρ​)]+ρ2nt​​.

The constants CCC and ρˉ\bar\rhoρˉ​ are left unspecified; they depend only on Assumption 3.

Milestones

  1. Lemma EC.5 (p. ec4): for a class H\mathcal HH of measurable functions with values in [0,M][0,M][0,M], with probability at least 1−e−t1-e^{-t}1−e−t, EPn[h]≤EPtrue[h]+2 E⊗[Rn(H)]+Mt/(2n)\mathbb E_{P_n}[h] \le \mathbb E_{P_{\rm true}}[h] + 2\,\mathbb E_\otimes[\mathfrak R_n(\mathcal H)] + M\sqrt{t/(2n)}EPn​​[h]≤EPtrue​​[h]+2E⊗​[Rn​(H)]+Mt/(2n)​ for all h∈Hh\in\mathcal Hh∈H.
  2. Assumption 3 bounds the true mass (proof of Lemma EC.11, p. ec11): EPtrue[1{d(z,Df)<ρ}]≤Cρ\mathbb E_{P_{\rm true}}[\mathbf 1\{d(z,\mathcal D_f)<\rho\}] \le C\rhoEPtrue​​[1{d(z,Df​)<ρ}]≤Cρ for 0≤ρ<ρˉ0\le\rho<\bar\rho0≤ρ<ρˉ​, uniformly in fff.
  3. Lemma EC.11 (p. ec11): with probability at least 1−e−t1-e^{-t}1−e−t, for every fff, EPn[1{d(z,Df)<ρ}]≤Cρ+2 E⊗[Rn(Iρ)]+t/(2n)\mathbb E_{P_n}[\mathbf 1\{d(z,\mathcal D_f)<\rho\}] \le C\rho + 2\,\mathbb E_\otimes[\mathfrak R_n(\mathcal I_\rho)] + \sqrt{t/(2n)}EPn​​[1{d(z,Df​)<ρ}]≤Cρ+2E⊗​[Rn​(Iρ​)]+t/(2n)​.
  4. Gap versus mass (p. ec11): EPn[(ρ−d(z,Df))+]≤ρ EPn[1{d(z,Df)<ρ}]\mathbb E_{P_n}[(\rho-d(z,\mathcal D_f))_+] \le \rho\,\mathbb E_{P_n}[\mathbf 1\{d(z,\mathcal D_f)<\rho\}]EPn​​[(ρ−d(z,Df​))+​]≤ρEPn​​[1{d(z,Df​)<ρ}].

Significance

The result. With ρn=ρ0/n\rho_n = \rho_0/\sqrt nρn​=ρ0​/n​ and a class Iρ\mathcal I_\rhoIρ​ of bounded complexity, the right side of the goal is Op(1/n)O_p(1/n)Op​(1/n). Combined with Theorem 1(I)–(II), it gives the paper's conclusion that ppp-Wasserstein DRO with p∈(1,∞]p\in(1,\infty]p∈(1,∞] is asymptotically equivalent to empirical variation regularization, min⁡f{EPn[f]+ρnVPn,q(f)}+Op(1/n)\min_f\{\mathbb E_{P_n}[f] + \rho_n\mathcal V_{P_n,q}(f)\} + O_p(1/n)minf​{EPn​​[f]+ρn​VPn​,q​(f)}+Op​(1/n), for non-smooth losses, uniformly over the class. Without it, the boundary term is only bounded by MρM\rhoMρ, and the expansion has no better accuracy than first order. Assumption 3 is the condition under which the non-smooth set does not matter statistically.

Formalizing it. The result is proved in the paper; it has no machine-checked proof. Its proof composes a uniform deviation bound (McDiarmid's inequality plus symmetrization) with a bounded-density estimate. The mission produces a general Rademacher deviation bound for bounded classes on an arbitrary metric space with a measurability guard, reusable by any statistical-learning mission, and fixes the printed constant of Lemma EC.5 (M2t/nM\sqrt{2t/n}M2t/n​ on the page, Mt/(2n)M\sqrt{t/(2n)}Mt/(2n)​ from its proof).

Difficulty

The deterministic parts are short. The difficulty is in Lemma EC.5. McDiarmid's inequality must be applied to the uniform deviation over an arbitrary, possibly uncountable, class. Symmetrization must then be carried out with Bochner integrals over Zn×Zn\mathcal Z^n\times\mathcal Z^nZn×Zn and a finite sign space. Neither tool is in Mathlib in this form. A tempting shortcut, bounding each fixed hhh by Hoeffding's inequality and taking a union bound, fails: the class is infinite, and the bound must hold simultaneously for all fff inside a single event. A second point is Assumption 3: it controls only the shell 0<d(z,Df)<δ0 < d(z,\mathcal D_f) < \delta0<d(z,Df​)<δ, so the mass of {d=0}\{d = 0\}{d=0} has to come from the null closure of Df\mathcal D_fDf​.

Formalization scope

  • Space and sample. Z\mathcal ZZ is a metric space with [MeasurableSpace Z] [BorelSpace Z] [SecondCountableTopology Z] in the goal-level statements. Second countability is an added technical hypothesis used throughout this paper's mission series. A sample is ω : Fin n → Z with n≥1n\ge1n≥1, and its law is Measure.pi. Empirical means are 1n∑i:Fin n\frac1n\sum_{i : \mathrm{Fin}\,n}n1​∑i:Finn​.
  • Distance to a set. Metric.infEDist, which is +∞+\infty+∞ on ∅\varnothing∅. A loss with Df=∅\mathcal D_f=\varnothingDf​=∅ thus has boundary gap 000 and is excluded from Iρ\mathcal I_\rhoIρ​, as on the page. The real-valued Metric.infDist (which is 000 on ∅\varnothing∅) would give such a loss gap ρ\rhoρ and is not used.
  • The non-smooth sets are an arbitrary family D : (Z → ℝ) → Set Z. The goal-level statements assume each Df\mathcal D_fDf​ is closed and PtrueP_{\rm true}Ptrue​-null, the standing consequence of its construction in Assumption 1. The details of the piecewise smooth loss model are not needed for this probability estimate.
  • Probabilities are written as P⊗{ω:¬ ∀f∈F,… }≤e−tP_\otimes\{\omega : \neg\,\forall f\in\mathcal F, \dots\}\le e^{-t}P⊗​{ω:¬∀f∈F,…}≤e−t, with the quantifier over F\mathcal FF inside the event (an outer measure for uncountable F\mathcal FF).
  • Rademacher complexity. The sign expectation is an average over {±1}n\{\pm1\}^n{±1}n. Suprema are real suprema of classes with values in [0,M][0,M][0,M]; an empty class gives 000. E⊗\mathbb E_\otimesE⊗​ is a Bochner integral.
  • Measurability guard (added): the uniform deviation, the empirical Rademacher complexity and the double-sample deviation of the class are measurable. This holds, for instance, for countable F\mathcal FF, and the paper leaves it implicit.
  • Quantifier order. ρˉ\bar\rhoρˉ​ and CCC are chosen before nnn and ttt, which is stronger than the page's order. The radius satisfies ρ≥0\rho\ge0ρ≥0.
  • Not stated. The second display of Theorem 1(III) and the "Moreover" part of Lemma EC.11, which use Dudley's entropy integral: their proof bounds the empirical Rademacher complexity, while Lemma EC.5 needs its expectation.
  • Trivialization ruled out. The Rademacher term is that of the specific class Iρ\mathcal I_\rhoIρ​ built from the sets Df\mathcal D_fDf​. It is not a free constant, and no hypothesis assumes the conclusion of Lemma EC.5.

Contributions welcome: a general McDiarmid inequality for product measures, a symmetrization lemma for measurable classes, and proofs of the milestones in any order.

Selected references

  • R. Gao, X. Chen, A. J. Kleywegt, Wasserstein Distributionally Robust Optimization and Variation Regularization, Operations Research, 2024. arXiv:1712.06050, doi:10.1287/opre.2022.2383
  • S. Shalev-Shwartz, S. Ben-David, Understanding Machine Learning: From Theory to Algorithms, Cambridge University Press, 2014, Theorem 26.5. doi:10.1017/CBO9781107298019
  • C. McDiarmid, On the method of bounded differences, Surveys in Combinatorics, LMS Lecture Note Series 141, 1989. doi:10.1017/CBO9781107359949.008
  • M. J. Wainwright, High-Dimensional Statistics: A Non-Asymptotic Viewpoint, Cambridge University Press, 2019, Ch. 5. doi:10.1017/9781108627771
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Bandit AlgorithmsInformation TheoryOperations Research+1·Captain: mikedeng1

Data-Based Dynamic Pricing and Inventory Control with Censored Demand and Limited Price Changes 2: Any Policy with at Most m Price Changes Has Regret at Least KT^(1/(m+1)) on a Bernoulli InstanceResearch Paper

Why limited price changes matter

A seller learning a demand curve normally adjusts prices as new observations arrive. A price-change limit prevents that continual adjustment: a price may have to be chosen before the seller knows which demand curve it faces, then held through a block of sales. This matters when repricing is operationally costly, constrained by contracts, or visible to customers. Chen, Chao and Wang study pricing jointly with inventory replenishment under censored demand. Their Theorem 2 asks how much regret is unavoidable when the seller can change price at most mmm times, regardless of the learning policy it uses (SSRN revision, pp. 10–11, 35–42).

The lower bound is paired with their Theorem 1: in the well-separated setting an algorithm attains regret proportional to T1/(m+1)T^{1/(m+1)}T1/(m+1) for large horizons, while Theorem 2 asserts the same exponent cannot be improved uniformly over admissible policies (SSRN revision, p. 10). The paper appeared as an Operations Research technical note in 2020 (DOI 10.1287/opre.2020.1993); this mission cites the authors' SSRN revision dated 2020-02-10, whose page and result numbers are used throughout.

Bernoulli pricing setting

The horizon has TTT periods. At each period the seller posts a price pt∈[1,6]p_t\in[1,6]pt​∈[1,6] and replenishes inventory to one unit. Demand dtd_tdt​ is either zero or one, so all demand can be served and the observed sale equals demand. The unknown scalar parameter zzz belongs to [1/6,5/6][1/6,5/6][1/6,5/6]. Conditional on the posted price, the probability of one unit of demand is

ν(p,z)=max⁡{0,1−pz/2}.\nu(p,z)=\max\{0,1-pz/2\}.ν(p,z)=max{0,1−pz/2}.

Holding and shortage costs are zero. Hence expected one-period revenue is rz(p)=pν(p,z)r_z(p)=p\nu(p,z)rz​(p)=pν(p,z). The clairvoyant benchmark is G∗(z)=1/(2z)G^*(z)=1/(2z)G∗(z)=1/(2z): it is attained by the feasible price p∗=1/zp^*=1/zp∗=1/z. The local Lean sanity check proves this maximum property, so the benchmark does not rely on a default value of a supremum. The model is the explicit Bernoulli construction in the proof of Theorem 2 (SSRN revision, p. 35).

An admissible randomized policy may draw random bits and use past posted prices and observed sales when choosing its next price. Its action cannot depend on future demand or on the unknown parameter. Every realized seed and demand path must satisfy the price-change constraint

∑t=1T−11{pt≠pt+1}≤m,m≥1.\sum_{t=1}^{T-1}\mathbf 1\{p_t\ne p_{t+1}\}\le m,\qquad m\ge1.t=1∑T−1​1{pt​=pt+1​}≤m,m≥1.

The regret Rπ(T,z)R_\pi(T,z)Rπ​(T,z) is the expected sum of G∗(z)−rz(pt)G^*(z)-r_z(p_t)G∗(z)−rz​(pt​) under the policy and the demand law at parameter zzz. The paper's admissibility and change constraint are stated on pp. 5–6; its randomized policy factorization is displayed in (49) on p. 35 (SSRN revision).

Formalization targets

The goal is the minimax reading of Theorem 2. For each fixed m≥1m\ge1m≥1, there is a positive constant K7K_7K7​ and a horizon threshold T0T_0T0​, independent of the policy and the horizon, such that

∀T≥T0  ∀π admissible with at most m changes,∃z∈[1/6,5/6]: Rπ(T,z)≥K7T1/(m+1).\forall T\ge T_0\;\forall\pi\text{ admissible with at most }m\text{ changes},\quad \exists z\in[1/6,5/6]:\ R_\pi(T,z)\ge K_7T^{1/(m+1)}.∀T≥T0​∀π admissible with at most m changes,∃z∈[1/6,5/6]: Rπ​(T,z)≥K7​T1/(m+1).

The parameter is selected after the policy. The proof's objective (56) is a worst-case parameter choice for each policy (SSRN revision, p. 37). The printed theorem sentence can also be read as one fixed instance defeating every algorithm; that order is false because a policy supplied with that instance's zzz can post 1/z1/z1/z in every period.

Five milestones expose the source's quantitative ingredients. The hierarchy (50) constructs parameters zζz_\zetazζ​ from signs ζ∈{±1}m+1\zeta\in\{\pm1\}^{m+1}ζ∈{±1}m+1 and scales εℓ=T−ℓ/[2(m+1)]\varepsilon_\ell=T^{-\ell/[2(m+1)]}εℓ​=T−ℓ/[2(m+1)]. Its parameters lie in [1/6,5/6][1/6,5/6][1/6,5/6] for large TTT. Different signs are separated at scale εℓ/8\varepsilon_\ell/8εℓ​/8. Lemma 1 bounds one-period regret by the squared error in a nearest-instance selection. The pointwise inequality underlying (57) gives a cost of at least 10−4εℓ210^{-4}\varepsilon_\ell^210−4εℓ2​ for a wrong sign. A corrected Lemma 2 supplies a quadratic Bernoulli relative-entropy bound under an explicit interior condition (SSRN revision, pp. 36–37).

What the result establishes

The exponent 1/(m+1)1/(m+1)1/(m+1) quantifies the cost of the change budget: fixing mmm leaves a polynomial regret floor even though the Bernoulli demand law is one-dimensional and observed without censoring. Since the constructed instance fixes inventory at a level that serves every demand, a lower bound here also applies to policies in the joint pricing and inventory setting whenever that instance is admitted. It identifies the information loss caused by limited repricing, independently of lost sales and censoring.

The paper states the lower bound and gives a proof, but its printed Lemma 2 is false at prices where ν(p,z)=0\nu(p,z)=0ν(p,z)=0. The subsequent Lemma 3 applies that unrestricted bound. Therefore the source proof does not, as printed, establish the minimax claim for every admissible price policy. The Lean goal is an open target; the four elementary milestones and corrected information bound are also open Lean statements. Formalizing this mission requires an argument that handles prices at the zero-demand kink, or a different route to the lower bound. No machine-checked proof of this specific result is claimed here.

Where the argument is difficult

The natural comparison of two nearby parameters uses the relative entropy between their observed demand laws. Away from the kink, this information is quadratic in the parameter difference. At a price that makes demand impossible under one parameter but possible under the other, the divergence in the printed direction can be linear in that difference. The unrestricted 108∣z−z′∣2108|z-z'|^2108∣z−z′∣2 bound of Lemma 2 therefore fails at exactly the prices an arbitrary policy may choose. Restricting the policy's prices would change the target. A faithful proof must retain those prices while still controlling the policy's information and regret (SSRN revision, Lemmas 2–3, pp. 36–40).

Formalization scope

Lean represents the horizon by Fin T; its index zero is period one in the paper. Bernoulli demand paths have type Fin T → Bool. A policy's price at a period depends on a random seed and only the earlier demand bits; with inventory level one, these bits are exactly the observed sales. A probability measure on the seed models adaptive randomization, including a pre-sampled stream of random choices. Prices are measurable functions of the seed for each finite history. The budget holds on every seed and path, not only on average.

Path probabilities are finite products of conditional Bernoulli probabilities. Regret is a finite sum of nonnegative gaps integrated over the seed with lintegral, so it cannot become zero through non-integrability of a real-valued expectation. The exponent of TTT and the scales εℓ\varepsilon_\ellεℓ​ use real division. The arg-min in (51) is any genuine nearest-instance selection; a local proof checks that one exists. The hierarchy's validity and separation statements require a large-horizon threshold, which the unqualified printed prose omits. The corrected Lemma 2 adds pz≤11/6pz\le11/6pz≤11/6 to keep the Bernoulli probabilities in the interior. Its verbatim milestone retains the printed statement, and its formal statement and note disclose the correction. Lemma 3 is not stated because its printed proof relies on Lemma 2 outside that interior region.

The named Bernoulli family strengthens the theorem's existential instance wording, while also exposing a limitation: at p≥2/zp\ge2/zp≥2/z it violates the positive-mean and identifiability conditions stated earlier in the paper. That discrepancy is recorded rather than hidden in an assumption. Definitions for randomized adapted policies, finite path laws, the parameter hierarchy, and Bernoulli relative entropy are reusable; contributions that establish the open goal or repair the information comparison are in scope.

Selected references

  • B. Chen, X. Chao, and Y. Wang, Data-Based Dynamic Pricing and Inventory Control with Censored Demand and Limited Price Changes, SSRN 2700747, revision of 2020-02-10. Preprint.
  • B. Chen, X. Chao, and Y. Wang, Technical Note—Data-Based Dynamic Pricing and Inventory Control with Censored Demand and Limited Price Changes, Operations Research, 2020. DOI 10.1287/opre.2020.1993.
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Operations ResearchProbability·Captain: mikedeng1

Robust Dynamic Pricing with Strategic Customers: Over Horizon T the Simple Robust Pricing Policy Earns at Least V*_β(x₀)/(1 + e^{−βT}/(βT))Research Paper

Motivation

A seller with a fixed stock must choose prices before knowing when customers will arrive or what they will be willing to pay. If customers can wait for a later price, the seller must also account for how today's price changes their purchasing decisions. Chen and Farias study this problem with strategic customers and identify a simple inventory-based policy that can be compared with the best attainable revenue. Their Theorem 1 shows that this policy, with discount rate β=1/(1.42T)\beta=1/(1.42T)β=1/(1.42T) for a season of length TTT, earns at least 0.290.290.29 of the optimal expected revenue. The policy posts the price that is optimal in the canonical discounted revenue-management problem with myopic customers (Gallego and van Ryzin, 1994; Farias and Van Roy, 2010) at the current inventory level. This mission targets the lower-bound half of its argument, stated as Lemma 9: a comparison between the policy's revenue over a fixed selling season and a discounted, infinite-horizon value. The latter comparison is meaningful independently of the paper's strategic-customer benchmark.

Setting

The seller begins with inventory x0∈Nx_0\in\mathbb Nx0​∈N and sells at most one item to each customer. Customers arrive at rate λ>0\lambda>0λ>0. Their nonnegative valuations have density fff with total mass one. Write Fˉ(p)=∫p∞f(v) dv\bar F(p)=\int_p^\infty f(v)\,dvFˉ(p)=∫p∞​f(v)dv for the probability that a valuation exceeds price ppp. A customer who behaves myopically buys at a posted price ppp exactly when the valuation is high enough, so sales occur at rate λFˉ(p)\lambda\bar F(p)λFˉ(p) while that price is posted.

The paper's Assumption 1 concerns the virtual value ψ(p)=p−Fˉ(p)/f(p)\psi(p)=p-\bar F(p)/f(p)ψ(p)=p−Fˉ(p)/f(p): it is nondecreasing on nonnegative prices and has a nonnegative root. The simple policy is built from a discount rate β>0\beta>0β>0 and an infinite-horizon Bellman value V:N→RV:\mathbb N\to\mathbb RV:N→R. It has V(0)=0V(0)=0V(0)=0 and, for x≥1x\ge1x≥1, satisfies the sign-corrected recursion

βV(x)=sup⁡p≥0λFˉ(p)(p+V(x−1)−V(x)).\beta V(x)=\sup_{p\ge0}\lambda\bar F(p)\bigl(p+V(x-1)-V(x)\bigr).βV(x)=p≥0sup​λFˉ(p)(p+V(x−1)−V(x)).

At inventory x≥1x\ge1x≥1 the root price π(x)\pi(x)π(x) is the unique nonnegative solution of ψ(π(x))=V(x)−V(x−1)\psi(\pi(x))=V(x)-V(x-1)ψ(π(x))=V(x)−V(x−1). The price posted just before a sale is π(x)\pi(x)π(x), and the inventory then becomes x−1x-1x−1. At zero inventory the posted price is infinity and there are no more sales. The expected sum of prices paid at sales by time TTT is denoted J(x0,T)J(x_0,T)J(x0​,T). These objects come from §§2–3.1 of the paper.

Formalization targets

The goal is Lemma 9, for every λ,β,T>0\lambda,\beta,T>0λ,β,T>0 and every initial inventory x0x_0x0​:

V(x0)≤(1+e−βTβT)J(x0,T).V(x_0)\le\left(1+\frac{e^{-\beta T}}{\beta T}\right)J(x_0,T).V(x0​)≤(1+βTe−βT​)J(x0​,T).

The coefficient is part of the target. No choice of β\betaβ is fixed. The milestones follow the results stated in the paper: inventory monotonicity of VVV, price monotonicity, pathwise monotonicity of the price and its revenue rate (Lemma 7), the expected-rate identity, revenue-per-time monotonicity (Lemma 8), the identification of VVV with discounted policy revenue, and the comparison through an independent exponential horizon. The last milestone evaluates E[max⁡{1,X/T}]\mathbb E[\max\{1,X/T\}]E[max{1,X/T}] exactly for X∼Exp⁡(β)X\sim\operatorname{Exp}(\beta)X∼Exp(β).

Significance

The bound quantifies how much of the discounted value this explicit policy earns within a finite selling season. Its factor depends only on the dimensionless product βT\beta TβT; it does not depend on inventory, arrival rate or valuation density. Together with the paper's separate upper bound on its strategic benchmark, Lemma 9 contributes to the advertised 0.290.290.29 comparison. The full comparison requires definitions and equilibrium arguments beyond this mission, so the goal here is precisely the fixed-horizon lower bound.

Chen and Farias proved these statements in the published paper. The Lean items in this proposal are statements awaiting machine-checked proofs. A completed development would establish the discounted-value verification step and the fixed-horizon comparison for an explicit pure-death sales process. Its constructions of inventory-dependent sale times and finite-horizon revenue could also be reused in other pricing models with Poisson arrivals.

Difficulty

The Bellman value is specified by an optimization equation, while J(x0,T)J(x_0,T)J(x0​,T) is defined from the actual sales process. Their equality at an exponential horizon does not follow by unfolding a definition. The price chosen through the virtual-value equation must be connected to the Bellman optimum, and the inventory-dependent process must be related to the same value. The paper also relies on the fact that the root price falls as inventory rises, citing Lemma 1 of Farias and Van Roy; that fact does not follow merely from monotonicity of ψ\psiψ without control of the marginal values V(x)−V(x−1)V(x)-V(x-1)V(x)−V(x−1). Lemma 8 then concerns expected revenue over two different horizons, including paths that sell out early.

Formalization scope

The Lean model uses a nonnegative integrable density on R\mathbb RR, zero on negative valuations and normalized to mass one. It adds f(p)>0f(p)>0f(p)>0 for every p≥0p\ge0p≥0. This disclosed condition excludes bounded-support densities: without it the paper's quotient Fˉ(p)/f(p)\bar F(p)/f(p)Fˉ(p)/f(p) can divide by zero and Lean would assign a spurious value. The paper says the root equation has a unique solution under Assumption 1, but nondecreasing ψ\psiψ alone does not guarantee existence or uniqueness. Accordingly, the root policy is characterized by its equation and an explicit uniqueness condition. The Bellman recursion uses a least-upper-bound predicate rather than a real supremum with a default value on an empty or unbounded set. The corrected sign in the recursion matches the paper's root equation and discounted-revenue equation.

For stock x0x_0x0​, the model uses x0x_0x0​ independent rate-one exponential clocks. At inventory xxx, the next holding time is the next clock divided by λFˉ(π(x))\lambda\bar F(\pi(x))λFˉ(π(x)). Sales are numbered 1,…,x01,\ldots,x_01,…,x0​, and sale kkk earns π(x0−k+1)\pi(x_0-k+1)π(x0​−k+1). The law is the myopic sales process with intensity λFˉ(π(x))\lambda\bar F(\pi(x))λFˉ(π(x)). Expected revenues are lower integrals in the extended nonnegative reals; nonnegative prices make their real-to-extended conversion exact. An independent X∼Exp⁡(β)X\sim\operatorname{Exp}(\beta)X∼Exp(β) is represented by an outer integral over its law. The factor λ\lambdaλ missing from the paper's printed compensator display is restored, and the paper's intermediate 1+e−βT/T1+e^{-\beta T}/T1+e−βT/T is read with the missing β\betaβ restored.

The strategic-customer types, stopping rules, perfect Bayesian equilibrium, and the identification of the strategic policy's revenue with myopic-sales revenue are not formalized here. Neither are Theorem 1's OPT\mathrm{OPT}OPT and J∗J^*J∗ benchmarks: their specification is not pinned down sufficiently in the paper for this proposal. In particular, JJJ is constructed from sale times and payments, never from VVV, and VVV is specified by the Bellman equation, never as the policy's revenue. Contributions toward the goal include the individual milestones and reusable facts about the clock process, its revenue, and the exponential horizon.

Selected references

  • Y. Chen and V. F. Farias, Robust Dynamic Pricing with Strategic Customers, Mathematics of Operations Research 43(4):1119–1142, 2018. DOI: 10.1287/moor.2017.0897.
  • G. Gallego and G. van Ryzin, Optimal Dynamic Pricing of Inventories with Stochastic Demand over Finite Horizons, Management Science 40(8):999–1020, 1994. DOI: 10.1287/mnsc.40.8.999.
  • V. F. Farias and B. Van Roy, Dynamic Pricing with a Prior on Market Response, Operations Research 58(1):16–29, 2010. DOI: 10.1287/opre.1090.0729.
  • P. Brémaud, Point Processes and Queues: Martingale Dynamics, Springer, 1981. DOI: 10.1007/978-1-4684-9477-8.
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Bandit AlgorithmsMachine LearningOperations Research+1·Captain: mikedeng1

Personalized Dynamic Pricing with Machine Learning: High-Dimensional Features and Heterogeneous Elasticity 1: Under Known Sparsity, ILSX Pricing Has Regret at Most Cs√T log TResearch Paper

Motivation

A seller who changes prices while learning demand faces two costs: a price experiment may earn less revenue now, while insufficient experimentation leaves later prices poorly calibrated. Customer features make the balance harder because both willingness to buy and sensitivity to price may vary between customers. Ban and Keskin study this problem when the number of recorded features can be large relative to the selling horizon. Their known-support policy, ILSX, provides the upper bound formalized here Ban and Keskin, 2021, §§2 and 4.1.

The paper's result is a statement about learning a demand model while serving sequential customers, rather than about fitting that model after all observations are available. A price at period ttt must use information then available, including the arriving customer's features but excluding that customer's demand shock. The seller therefore needs a policy whose expected revenue loss can be bounded uniformly over the unknown parameters in a specified model Ban and Keskin, 2021, pp. 5552–5556.

Setting

In each period t=1,2,…t=1,2,\ldotst=1,2,…, a customer arrives with a feature vector Zt∈RdZ_t\in\mathbb R^dZt​∈Rd. The seller observes the augmented vector Xt=[1;Zt]X_t=[1;Z_t]Xt​=[1;Zt​], posts a price pt∈[ℓ,u]p_t\in[\ell,u]pt​∈[ℓ,u] with 0<ℓ<u0<\ell<u0<ℓ<u, and then observes demand. In the linear demand model, demand equals

Dt=α⋅Xt+(β⋅Xt)pt+εt.D_t=\alpha\cdot X_t+(\beta\cdot X_t)p_t+\varepsilon_t.Dt​=α⋅Xt​+(β⋅Xt​)pt​+εt​.

The intercept and slope vectors α,β\alpha,\betaα,β are unknown. The seller knows the sparsity structure S\mathcal SS: outside this set of coordinate indices, both parameter vectors vanish. The compressed parameter θS=(αS,βS)\theta_{\mathcal S}=(\alpha_{\mathcal S},\beta_{\mathcal S})θS​=(αS​,βS​) lies in a compact coordinate rectangle ΘS\Theta_{\mathcal S}ΘS​, and s=∣S∣≥1s=|\mathcal S|\ge1s=∣S∣≥1. The compressed customer vector is XS,t=(Xt,i)i∈SX_{\mathcal S,t}=(X_{t,i})_{i\in\mathcal S}XS,t​=(Xt,i​)i∈S​ Ban and Keskin, 2021, pp. 5552–5555.

At price ppp, expected single-period revenue is r(p,θS,x)=p[αS⋅x+(βS⋅x)p]r(p,\theta_{\mathcal S},x)=p[\alpha_{\mathcal S}\cdot x+(\beta_{\mathcal S}\cdot x)p]r(p,θS​,x)=p[αS​⋅x+(βS​⋅x)p]. The clairvoyant price is φ(θS,x)=−(αS⋅x)/(2βS⋅x)\varphi(\theta_{\mathcal S},x)=-(\alpha_{\mathcal S}\cdot x)/(2\beta_{\mathcal S}\cdot x)φ(θS​,x)=−(αS​⋅x)/(2βS​⋅x) when the slope is negative. The paper assumes this price is in (ℓ,u)(\ell,u)(ℓ,u) throughout its model domain. Expected regret ΔθSπ(T)\Delta^{\pi}_{\theta_{\mathcal S}}(T)ΔθS​π​(T) is the expected sum, through period TTT, of the clairvoyant revenue minus the revenue at the policy's price Ban and Keskin, 2021, (2)–(4), p. 5553–5554.

The ILSX policy charges one fixed experimental price m1m_1m1​ at periods 1,4,9,…1,4,9,\ldots1,4,9,… and a distinct price m2m_2m2​ at periods 2,5,10,…2,5,10,\ldots2,5,10,…. At every other period it estimates the compressed demand parameter by least squares using experimental observations, projects the estimate onto ΘS\Theta_{\mathcal S}ΘS​, and applies φ\varphiφ to the projected estimate and the current customer vector. Both prices lie in [ℓ,u][\ell,u][ℓ,u] Ban and Keskin, 2021, (7), (8), (12), pp. 5555–5556.

Formalization targets

The goal is Theorem 2: for the stated model and ILSX policy, a finite positive constant CCC exists such that

ΔθSILSX(m1,m2)(T)≤CsTlog⁡T(θS∈ΘS, T≥2).\Delta^{\mathrm{ILSX}(m_1,m_2)}_{\theta_{\mathcal S}}(T)\le Cs\sqrt T\log T\qquad(\theta_{\mathcal S}\in\Theta_{\mathcal S},\ T\ge2).ΔθS​ILSX(m1​,m2​)​(T)≤CsT​logT(θS​∈ΘS​, T≥2).

The constant is chosen after the model, shock process, experimental prices, and estimator selection are fixed, but before the parameter and horizon. The theorem and Remark 5 are on pp. 5556–5557 of Ban and Keskin, 2021.

The milestones reproduce the paper's route into this claim: the experimental-period count following (7); the growth bound (15) for the price-variation statistic JtJ_tJt​; Lemma 1's minimum-eigenvalue probability bound for the experimental information matrix J~S,t\widetilde{\mathcal J}_{\mathcal S,t}J​S,t​; and Lemma 2's high-probability bound for its noise-driven estimation error. The least-squares error identity (11) is included as a supporting item on invertible samples, not as a milestone. The constants and thresholds in these targets remain existential where the article leaves them existential Ban and Keskin, 2021, pp. 5555–5556.

Significance

The theorem gives a guarantee for a concrete pricing policy under feature-dependent price sensitivity. The bound grows with the horizon at order Tlog⁡T\sqrt T\log TT​logT for a fixed known support, with an explicit factor sss in the published statement. It lets a seller compare the cost of this policy with the revenue of a seller who knew the demand coefficients before pricing. The paper presents its result as matching its lower-bound benchmark up to logarithmic factors, under the paper's respective hypotheses Ban and Keskin, 2021, Theorems 1–2, pp. 5554–5556.

The mathematical result was published in 2021. This mission seeks a machine-checked statement and proof of the known-support guarantee and its stated intermediate results. The checked Prove2Me prior-art catalog contains featureless dynamic-pricing results and separate least-squares results, but no matching formalization of ILSX. A completed development would add reusable definitions for a feature-dependent price regressor, experimental information matrix, nonanticipating estimator selection, and expected regret. The article places its proofs in an electronic companion, which is not included in the held source PDF; this mission does not reproduce those proofs as source material.

Difficulty

The policy learns from a sparse set of deliberately chosen periods, while its regret accumulates at every period. A pointwise least-squares identity alone does not control the regret: the information matrix can be singular at early periods, and the customer features and shocks are random. In particular, the printed inverse identity (11) says “for all t≥2t\ge2t≥2”, although at t=2t=2t=2 the matrix has rank at most two and cannot be invertible when s≥2s\ge2s≥2. The formal statement therefore confines the inverse identity to invertible samples. Lemma 2's event also includes invertibility so a default inverse of a singular matrix cannot make its error bound automatic Ban and Keskin, 2021, (9)–(11), Lemma 2, p. 5556.

Formalization scope

Lean uses one-based periods and a support subtype of the augmented feature coordinates. Coordinate zero is the paper's intercept coordinate one. The parameter has coordinates (j,i)(j,i)(j,i) for demand intercept or price slope j∈{0,1}j\in\{0,1\}j∈{0,1} and support index i∈Si\in\mathcal Si∈S. The regressor [1;p]⊗XS,t[1;p]\otimes X_{\mathcal S,t}[1;p]⊗XS,t​ gives the information matrix in (10). Euclidean squared norms are explicit sums of squares, and the minimum-eigenvalue claim is the equivalent Rayleigh inequality. The parameter rectangle is nonempty, and its Euclidean projection is coordinatewise clamping.

The standing assumptions are d≥1d\ge1d≥1, s≥1s\ge1s≥1, 0<ℓ<u0<\ell<u0<ℓ<u, distinct experimental prices in [ℓ,u][\ell,u][ℓ,u], bounded i.i.d. features with mean zero and positive-definite covariance, and a fixed shock process with conditional mean zero, bounded conditional second moment, and finite conditional exponential moments near zero. The feature process is measurable and integrable. The model additionally states independence of the next customer's features from the past primitives, the reading of the paper's joint probability construction used here. The slope is negative and the clairvoyant price lies in (ℓ,u)(\ell,u)(ℓ,u) for every allowed parameter and realized feature. These conditions ensure that the price formula represents a genuine revenue maximum. The phrase about continuous features having positive measure in the interior of their domains is omitted because the page does not specify the domains or a reference measure Ban and Keskin, 2021, §2, pp. 5552–5554.

The estimator is any measurable minimizer of the experimental least-squares objective for histories with at least two observations. Its type depends only on earlier observations; at nonexperimental periods the recorded pseudo-observations are ignored by the objective. The shock law is fixed while the parameter varies. Expected regret uses a nonnegative integral, and conditional second and exponential moments use nonnegative conditional expectations. The theorem binds CCC before the parameter and horizon, while leaving support size fixed with the model. Consequently, the stronger uniformity in sss suggested by Remark 5 is outside this statement. These choices exclude vacuous integrals, unconstrained estimators, and accidental bounds from a singular matrix inverse. Work on the probability estimates, least-squares identity, and regret bound is welcome under these exact definitions.

Selected references

  • G.-Y. Ban and N. B. Keskin, Personalized Dynamic Pricing with Machine Learning: High-Dimensional Features and Heterogeneous Elasticity, Management Science 67(9):5549–5568, 2021. DOI: 10.1287/mnsc.2020.3680.
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Machine LearningOperations ResearchOptimal Transport+1·Captain: mikedeng1

Wasserstein Distributionally Robust Optimization and Variation Regularization II: The ∞-Wasserstein Regularizer Equals ρ Times the Mean Local Slope up to ρ²‖H‖ Plus a Boundary TermResearch Paper

Motivation

In distributionally robust optimization, a decision is judged against probability laws near a nominal law rather than against the nominal law alone. The nominal law is often the empirical distribution of observed data. For a loss function, this produces a worst-case expected loss that depends on the size and geometry of the permitted changes to the data. The infinity-Wasserstein model restricts how far any observation can be moved, apart from null events in a coupling. It is a mathematical form of the bounded perturbations used in adversarial learning. Gao, Chen and Kleywegt study when this robust loss behaves like a regularizer based on variation or local slope.

For a finite data set, the nominal law has finite support. This makes the infinity-Wasserstein case especially concrete: each atom of the empirical law has a radius-limited set of possible destinations. Yet the objective still ranges over all probability measures, and the loss need not be bounded on a metric ball. The paper's finite-support duality result and its local-slope estimate together identify the regularization term that this distributional model produces.

Setting

Let (Z,d)(Z,d)(Z,d) be a metric space and let P,QP,QP,Q be probability laws on its Borel sets. A coupling π\piπ of PPP and QQQ is a joint law on Z×ZZ\times ZZ×Z with those two marginals. The infinity-Wasserstein distance is

W∞(P,Q)=inf⁡π∈Γ(P,Q)ess sup⁡(z~,z)∼πd(z~,z).W_\infty(P,Q)=\inf_{\pi\in\Gamma(P,Q)} \operatorname*{ess\,sup}_{(\tilde z,z)\sim\pi}d(\tilde z,z).W∞​(P,Q)=π∈Γ(P,Q)inf​(z~,z)∼πesssup​d(z~,z).

Given a real loss fff and a radius ρ≥0\rho\ge0ρ≥0, the robust value is the supremum of EP[f]\mathbb E_P[f]EP​[f] over all PPP satisfying W∞(P,Q)≤ρW_\infty(P,Q)\le\rhoW∞​(P,Q)≤ρ. The regularizer RQ,∞(ρ;f)R_{Q,\infty}(\rho;f)RQ,∞​(ρ;f) is this robust value minus EQ[f]\mathbb E_Q[f]EQ​[f]. For observations z1,…,znz_1,\ldots,z_nz1​,…,zn​, the empirical law is Pn=n−1∑i=1nδziP_n=n^{-1}\sum_{i=1}^n\delta_{z_i}Pn​=n−1∑i=1n​δzi​​.

The one-sided local slope ∣∂f∣(z)|\partial f|(z)∣∂f∣(z) records the greatest limiting rate at which fff can increase under a perturbation that tends to zzz. The local growth Gf(δ,z)G_f(\delta,z)Gf​(δ,z) is the largest increase f(z~)−f(z)f(\tilde z)-f(z)f(z~)−f(z) among destinations with d(z~,z)≤δd(\tilde z,z)\le\deltad(z~,z)≤δ. A set DfD_fDf​ marks the interfaces between pieces of a piecewise loss. Its boundary contribution at zzz is (δ−d(z,Df))+(\delta-d(z,D_f))_+(δ−d(z,Df​))+​, where the distance to an empty set is infinite. These objects appear in Definition 2 and Assumption 5(I).

Formalization targets

Finite-support transport duality

For a nominal law Q=∑jqjδzjQ=\sum_j q_j\delta_{z_j}Q=∑j​qj​δzj​​, the first targets assert that an optimal coupling exists when W∞(P,Q)W_\infty(P,Q)W∞​(P,Q) is finite and that

sup⁡P:W∞(P,Q)≤ρEP[f]=∑jqjsup⁡d(z~,zj)≤ρf(z~).\sup_{P:W_\infty(P,Q)\le\rho}\mathbb E_P[f] =\sum_j q_j\sup_{d(\tilde z,z_j)\le\rho}f(\tilde z).P:W∞​(P,Q)≤ρsup​EP​[f]=j∑​qj​d(z~,zj​)≤ρsup​f(z~).

This is Lemma EC.2 in the appendix. The values are allowed to be infinite when a local loss supremum is infinite; the printed assertion of unconditional finiteness is not included.

Consistency

For an upper semicontinuous loss, the Proposition 1 case p=∞p=\inftyp=∞ asserts

lim⁡ρ↓0RPn,∞(ρ;f)=0=RPn,∞(0;f).\lim_{\rho\downarrow0}R_{P_n,\infty}(\rho;f)=0=R_{P_n,\infty}(0;f).ρ↓0lim​RPn​,∞​(ρ;f)=0=RPn​,∞​(0;f).

It is a companion statement: it says that the regularizer vanishes, while the main target says at which rate.

Local-slope regularization

The main target is Theorem 1(I), in its general-metric form from Appendix B under Assumption 5(I). If δ0>0\delta_0>0δ0​>0, M≥0M\ge0M≥0, and the local growth obeys

∣Gf(δ,z)−δ∣∂f∣(z)∣≤H(z)δ2+M(δ−d(z,Df))+(0≤δ<δ0),|G_f(\delta,z)-\delta|\partial f|(z)| \le H(z)\delta^2+M(\delta-d(z,D_f))_+ \quad(0\le\delta<\delta_0),∣Gf​(δ,z)−δ∣∂f∣(z)∣≤H(z)δ2+M(δ−d(z,Df​))+​(0≤δ<δ0​),

then, for a sufficiently small radius, every nonempty empirical sample and every loss in the class satisfy

∣RPn,∞(ρ;f)−ρ1n∑i=1n∣∂f∣(zi)∣≤ρ21n∑i=1n∣H(zi)∣+M1n∑i=1n(ρ−d(zi,Df))+.\left|R_{P_n,\infty}(\rho;f) -\rho\frac1n\sum_{i=1}^n|\partial f|(z_i)\right| \le\rho^2\frac1n\sum_{i=1}^n|H(z_i)| +M\frac1n\sum_{i=1}^n(\rho-d(z_i,D_f))_+.​RPn​,∞​(ρ;f)−ρn1​i=1∑n​∣∂f∣(zi​)​≤ρ2n1​i=1∑n​∣H(zi​)∣+Mn1​i=1∑n​(ρ−d(zi​,Df​))+​.

The finite-support duality and the identity between the empirical regularizer and the average of Gf(ρ,zi)G_f(\rho,z_i)Gf​(ρ,zi​) are the mission's intermediate targets. The printed ρn2\rho_n^2ρn2​ in Lemma EC.9 is read as ρ2\rho^2ρ2, as in Theorem 1(I).

Significance

The estimate gives a precise first-order description of infinity-Wasserstein robustness: the mean local slope is its leading regularization term. The quadratic term measures local curvature or growth, while the boundary term records the effect of sample points close to interfaces between loss pieces. Setting M=0M=0M=0 gives the smooth-loss regime, where that interface correction vanishes. The result makes it possible to compare bounded data perturbations with explicit variation penalties using the same loss class and sample.

The paper proves the result. The formalization work here is to express its objects and quantified conditions in Lean, establish finite-support duality for the extended-real robust value, and then formalize the known local estimate. No machine-checked proof of these mission targets is claimed here. The transport and duality definitions can support other finite-support distributionally robust models; the local-slope definitions can be reused for other metric-space perturbation bounds.

Difficulty

The robust value is a supremum over probability laws, whereas the target bound is a finite average of pointwise quantities. Relating the two requires control of the infinity-Wasserstein constraint at every nominal atom, including cases where an infimum over couplings must be attained. A direct substitution of a pointwise supremum into an expectation does not establish the reverse inequality, and extended-real values need care when a loss is unbounded. At the local level, a slope is only a limit near a point; the inequality needed here holds uniformly for all losses, all points, and all sufficiently small radii, with a correction near DfD_fDf​.

Formalization scope

The Lean metric space uses its Borel measurable structure and is second countable, so the distance on the product is measurable. It has no isolated points, matching §3.4. Losses in the class are measurable. Sample indices are Fin n with n>0n>0n>0, and PnP_nPn​ is the published empirical probability law. Infinity-Wasserstein distance takes values in [0,+∞][0,+\infty][0,+∞]; robust values and local growth use extended reals. The theorem explicitly requires finite local slopes and finite growth values in the range where Assumption 5(I)'s real inequality is used. The regularizer is built from the supremum over all probability laws in the Wasserstein ball, and its finite-sample result states finiteness before converting its value to a real number. This rules out replacing the regularizer by the easier average of local growth.

The paper defines DfD_fDf​ from intersections of closures of pieces and assumes it is null under a true law. The deterministic estimate uses only distances to DfD_fDf​, so this mission treats DfD_fDf​ as supplied data and does not require nullity. Likewise, H∈L1(Ptrue)H\in L^1(P_{\rm true})H∈L1(Ptrue​) is needed for the paper's statistical setting but the target evaluates HHH only at finite sample points, so no true law appears in this statement. The radius bound is placed before the sample because Assumption 5(I) supplies one common δ0\delta_0δ0​. These generalizations and the positive-radius reading of Assumption 5(I) are explicit in the item statements. Contributions toward the optimal-coupling lemma, extended-real finite-support duality, and the local estimate all advance the target.

Selected references

  • R. Gao and A. J. Kleywegt, Distributionally Robust Stochastic Optimization with Wasserstein Distance, Mathematics of Operations Research, 2023; arXiv:1604.02199. Source of the duality theory for finite ppp that Lemma EC.1 quotes.
  • R. Gao, X. Chen and A. J. Kleywegt, Wasserstein Distributionally Robust Optimization and Variation Regularization, Operations Research, 2024; arXiv:1712.06050, source preprint dated 2020-10-30, especially Theorem 1(I), Assumption 5(I), Lemmas EC.2 and EC.9.
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Bandit AlgorithmsMachine LearningProbability+1·Captain: mikedeng1

The Multi-Armed Bandit Problem with Covariates I: Successive Elimination Has Expected Regret at Most 392γ²(1 + n/T)(K/Δ)log(TΔ²/18γ²) + nΔ⁻ Under a Random HorizonResearch Paper

Motivation

In a multi-armed bandit, a decision maker repeatedly chooses an arm, observes a reward, and tries to learn which arm has the highest average reward while losing little reward during learning. A policy that requires the number of future pulls in advance cannot be used unchanged when stopping time is uncertain. Perchet and Rigollet study successive elimination (SE), which removes poorly performing arms from a shrinking active set and can run without knowing the realized horizon. Their Theorem 2.1 bounds its expected regret when the horizon is random and independent of rewards Perchet and Rigollet, 2013, Theorem 2.1.

The static-bandit theorem also supplies a concentration and elimination analysis used in the paper's broader study of bandits with covariates. This mission isolates that theorem and the intermediate estimates that make its quantitative constant explicit. The paper proves the result in §2, with a concentration lemma in the Appendix; the goal here is a machine-checked statement and, eventually, a machine-checked proof of that known result.

Setting

There are K+1≥2K+1\ge2K+1≥2 arms. For each arm iii, the reward stack Yi,1,Yi,2,…Y_{i,1},Y_{i,2},\ldotsYi,1​,Yi,2​,… lists the rewards that successive pulls of that arm will reveal. Rewards lie in [0,1][0,1][0,1], are identically distributed along each arm, and have mean fif_ifi​. The stacks are mutually independent. Arms are indexed so that f1≤⋯≤fK+1f_1\le\cdots\le f_{K+1}f1​≤⋯≤fK+1​, and the last arm, denoted ∗*∗, is uniquely best. Its gap from arm iii is Δi=f∗−fi\Delta_i=f_*-f_iΔi​=f∗​−fi​. A gap is zero only for the best arm.

The policy works in rounds. At the start of round τ\tauτ, a nonempty set IτI_\tauIτ​ is active. It pulls each arm in IτI_\tauIτ​ once, in increasing index order, and computes the mean Yˉi(τ)\bar Y_i(\tau)Yˉi​(τ) from that arm's first τ\tauτ rewards. It retains an arm when its mean is within γU(τ,T)\gamma U(\tau,T)γU(τ,T) of the largest active mean, where T≥1T\ge1T≥1 is an integer, γ≥1\gamma\ge1γ≥1, and

log⁡‾(x)=max⁡{log⁡x,1},U(τ,T)=22log⁡‾(T/τ)τ.\overline{\log}(x)=\max\{\log x,1\},\qquad U(\tau,T)=2\sqrt{\frac{2\overline{\log}(T/\tau)}{\tau}}.log​(x)=max{logx,1},U(τ,T)=2τ2log​(T/τ)​​.

Concatenating the rounds gives the pull sequence π^1,π^2,…\widehat\pi_1,\widehat\pi_2,\ldotsπ1​,π2​,…. For a horizon NNN, its regret is RN(π^)=∑t=1NΔπ^tR_N(\widehat\pi)=\sum_{t=1}^{N}\Delta_{\widehat\pi_t}RN​(π)=∑t=1N​Δπt​​. If NNN is random, independent of the reward stacks, and has mean nnn, the paper studies ERN(π^)\mathbb E R_N(\widehat\pi)ERN​(π). For a threshold Δ>0\Delta>0Δ>0, let Δ−\Delta^-Δ− be the largest arm gap strictly smaller than Δ\DeltaΔ, or zero if none exists.

Formalization targets

The goal is Theorem 2.1, for every positive threshold Δ\DeltaΔ:

ERN(π^)≤392γ2(1+nT)KΔ log⁡‾ ⁣(TΔ218γ2)+nΔ−.\mathbb E R_N(\widehat\pi) \le 392\gamma^2\left(1+\frac nT\right) \frac K\Delta\, \overline{\log}\!\left(\frac{T\Delta^2}{18\gamma^2}\right) +n\Delta^-.ERN​(π)≤392γ2(1+Tn​)ΔK​log​(18γ2TΔ2​)+nΔ−.

The KKK in this formula counts suboptimal arms; there are K+1K+1K+1 arms in total. The paper writes Δ≥0\Delta\ge0Δ≥0 under a convention that division by zero is infinite. The real-valued Lean goal states the informative positive-threshold case.

The milestones include the Appendix's maximal Hoeffding–Azuma inequality and Lemma A.1, which controls all empirical averages up to a fixed time. In §2 they continue with the stopping-round estimate (2.2), the empirical-gap tail (2.5), the bound Φj(τ)≤4τ/T\Phi_j(\tau)\le4\tau/TΦj​(τ)≤4τ/T for a false elimination of the best arm, and the final comparison for ϕ(x)=log⁡‾(ax2)/x\phi(x)=\overline{\log}(a x^2)/xϕ(x)=log​(ax2)/x. Each has its own statement so that a proof of the goal can import the exact estimate it needs.

Significance

The bound separates the cost of learning arms with gaps above Δ\DeltaΔ from the remaining regret represented by nΔ−n\Delta^-nΔ−. It applies when the policy uses a tuning value TTT but the number of pulls actually made is the random variable NNN. Thus it gives a quantitative guarantee without asking the algorithm to know its stopping time in advance. Its constants and dependence on TTT, nnn, KKK, and γ\gammaγ are explicit Perchet and Rigollet, 2013, §2.

The result is proved in the paper, while the Lean declarations in this proposal are open statements. Completing them would add a reusable formal account of elimination on a reward stack and of the Appendix's time-uniform concentration estimate. Mathlib and existing platform theorems contain related Hoeffding–Azuma tools, but this paper's peeling inequality, its particular stopping rule, and the random-horizon regret conclusion still require proofs in the stated model.

Difficulty

An ordinary concentration bound at one sample size does not control every round in which an arm could eliminate the best arm. Taking a naive union bound over all rounds loses the dependence on TTT needed for the displayed regret constant. The Appendix instead states a maximal inequality and a bound that holds across a range of sample sizes. The regret calculation must then account for both kinds of error: removing the best arm and retaining a suboptimal arm for too long.

The stopping round depends on the gap through U(τ,T)U(\tau,T)U(τ,T), which itself contains log⁡‾(T/τ)\overline{\log}(T/\tau)log​(T/τ). Its upper bound, the event decomposition across ordered arms, and the final comparison of gap-dependent terms all retain the paper's exact constants. A proof that only establishes the asymptotic rate would not close this goal.

Formalization scope

Lean uses Fin (K+1) with zero-based indices, so its last element is the paper's arm K+1K+1K+1. The published stochastic-bandit definition supplies the mutually independent reward stack and arm means. The [0,1] bound, sorted means, and unique best arm are explicit assumptions. A separate martingale-difference definition supplies the Appendix's adapted, integrable sequence, including centering of its first term; the page's one-line definition leaves that first-step condition unstated. The concentration milestones require a nondegenerate interval a<ba<ba<b: the displayed maximal exponent divides by (b−a)2(b-a)^2(b−a)2, and Lemma A.1 is false at a=b=0a=b=0a=b=0 for a zero sequence and δ<1\delta<1δ<1.

The SE policy is a function of observed rewards in the stack. It uses the end-of-round test described in the text and proof of §2, with equality retained, since Policy 1's pseudocode tests at a different point in the round. The active set starts with all arms and remains nonempty; the total Lean pull function has a fallback value that is unreachable under the theorem's parameters. The policy never reads the unknown means. Empirical means and UUU are used only at positive rounds.

The horizon is measurable and integrable, has mean nnn, and is independent of the entire reward stack. Since regret is bounded by the horizon, its expectation is a genuine integral rather than the default value of a non-integrable Lean integral. The positive-threshold condition avoids Lean's zero-valued division at Δ=0\Delta=0Δ=0. Finite maxima are taken over finite arm sets, and log⁡‾\overline{\log}log​ is kept distinct from the ordinary logarithm in the Appendix's bounds. The paper's printed nnn in the logarithm of (2.7) and the final ϕ\phiϕ comparison is read as TTT, consistently with (2.2) and Theorem 2.1. Contributions to the concentration lemmas, stopping-round analysis, elimination events, and final regret proof all fit this scope.

Selected references

  • V. Perchet and P. Rigollet, The multi-armed bandit problem with covariates, Annals of Statistics 41(2), 2013, 693–721. arXiv:1110.6084v3; DOI:10.1214/13-AOS1101.
  • S. Bubeck and N. Cesa-Bianchi, Regret Analysis of Stochastic and Nonstochastic Multi-armed Bandit Problems, Foundations and Trends in Machine Learning 5(1), 2012. arXiv:1204.5721.
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Harmonic AnalysisOperations ResearchOptimization·Captain: mikedeng1

The Sum-of-Squares Hierarchy on the Sphere, and Applications in Quantum Information Theory I: If 0 ⪯ F ⪯ I on S^{d−1} for a Degree-2n Matrix Polynomial F, Then F + C′ₙ(d/ℓ)²·I Is ℓ-SOS for ℓ ≥ CₙdResearch Paper

Motivation

Maximizing a homogeneous polynomial ppp over the unit sphere, pmax⁡=max⁡x∈Sd−1p(x)p_{\max}=\max_{x\in S^{d-1}}p(x)pmax​=maxx∈Sd−1​p(x), covers the largest stable set of a graph (degree three), the 2→42\to42→4 norm of a matrix (degree four) and the best separable state problem of quantum information. For quadratic ppp it is an eigenvalue problem; for degree at least three it is NP-hard. The sum-of-squares hierarchy of Parrilo and Lasserre replaces "γ−p≥0\gamma-p\ge0γ−p≥0 on the sphere" by "γ−p\gamma-pγ−p is a sum of squares of polynomials of degree at most ℓ\ellℓ on the sphere", giving upper bounds pℓ≥pmax⁡p_\ell\ge p_{\max}pℓ​≥pmax​ that are computable by a semidefinite program of size dO(ℓ)d^{O(\ell)}dO(ℓ) and decrease to pmax⁡p_{\max}pmax​. How fast they converge decides how large ℓ\ellℓ has to be for a given accuracy. Fang–Fawzi, §1–1.1

Timeline:

  • 1995. Reznick shows, for pmin⁡=0p_{\min}=0pmin​=0, that pℓ/pmax⁡→1p_\ell/p_{\max}\to1pℓ​/pmax​→1 at rate d/ℓd/\elld/ℓ for ℓ\ellℓ large enough. Rez95
  • 2012. Doherty and Wehner study the same hierarchy on the hypersphere and obtain the same rate. DW12
  • 2019. De Klerk and Laurent prove a rate O(1/ℓ2)O(1/\ell^2)O(1/ℓ2) for a hierarchy of lower bounds on pmax⁡p_{\max}pmax​, and ask whether the upper bounds pℓp_\ellpℓ​ converge at the same rate. dKL19
  • 2019. Fang and Fawzi answer this: for ℓ≥Cnd\ell\ge C_ndℓ≥Cn​d the error is O((d/ℓ)2)O((d/\ell)^2)O((d/ℓ)2), and the statement holds for symmetric matrix-valued polynomials with constants that do not depend on the matrix size. Fang–Fawzi, Theorems 1–2

Setting

Write x=(x1,…,xd)x=(x_1,\dots,x_d)x=(x1​,…,xd​), ∥x∥2=∑ixi2\|x\|^2=\sum_ix_i^2∥x∥2=∑i​xi2​, and Sd−1={x∈Rd:∥x∥2=1}S^{d-1}=\{x\in\mathbb R^d:\|x\|^2=1\}Sd−1={x∈Rd:∥x∥2=1}. A k×kk\times kk×k matrix polynomial FFF has a real polynomial in each entry, and F(x)F(x)F(x) is the real matrix of values. A⪰0A\succeq0A⪰0 means that the symmetric matrix AAA is positive semidefinite. A matrix polynomial GGG is ℓ\ellℓ-sos on Sd−1S^{d-1}Sd−1 if there are finitely many k×kk\times kk×k matrix polynomials UjU_jUj​, each entry of total degree at most ℓ\ellℓ, with

G(x)=∑jUj(x)Uj(x)Tfor all x∈Sd−1.G(x)=\sum_jU_j(x)U_j(x)^{\mathsf T}\qquad\text{for all }x\in S^{d-1}.G(x)=j∑​Uj​(x)Uj​(x)Tfor all x∈Sd−1.

For a scalar polynomial ppp, pℓp_\ellpℓ​ is the least γ\gammaγ such that γ−p\gamma-pγ−p (a 1×11\times11×1 matrix) is ℓ\ellℓ-sos on Sd−1S^{d-1}Sd−1, and pmin⁡p_{\min}pmin​ is the minimum of ppp on Sd−1S^{d-1}Sd−1. The level value is +∞+\infty+∞ when no such γ\gammaγ exists.

The milestones use three further objects. A harmonic decomposition of a homogeneous fff of degree 2n2n2n is f=∑k=0n∥x∥2(n−k)f2kf=\sum_{k=0}^n\|x\|^{2(n-k)}f_{2k}f=∑k=0n​∥x∥2(n−k)f2k​ with f2kf_{2k}f2k​ homogeneous of degree 2k2k2k and Δf2k=0\Delta f_{2k}=0Δf2k​=0. B2nB_{2n}B2n​ is the least constant with max⁡Sd−1∣f2k∣≤B2nmax⁡Sd−1∣f∣\max_{S^{d-1}}|f_{2k}|\le B_{2n}\max_{S^{d-1}}|f|maxSd−1​∣f2k​∣≤B2n​maxSd−1​∣f∣ for all such fff in all dimensions. The Gegenbauer coefficients λi(ϕ)\lambda_i(\phi)λi​(ϕ) of a univariate polynomial ϕ\phiϕ are its coefficients against the orthogonal polynomials CiC_iCi​ for the weight (1−t2)(d−3)/2(1-t^2)^{(d-3)/2}(1−t2)(d−3)/2 on [−1,1][-1,1][−1,1], equation (9). For qqq of degree at most ℓ\ellℓ, the kernel error is

ρ2n(d,ℓ)=min⁡deg⁡q≤ℓ, λ0(q2)=1 ∑k=1n∣λ2k(q2)−1−1∣.\rho_{2n}(d,\ell)=\min_{\deg q\le\ell,\ \lambda_0(q^2)=1}\ \sum_{k=1}^n\big|\lambda_{2k}(q^2)^{-1}-1\big|.ρ2n​(d,ℓ)=degq≤ℓ, λ0​(q2)=1min​ k=1∑n​​λ2k​(q2)−1−1​.

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem 2 (p. 3)

For every nnn there are constants Cn,Cn′C_n,C'_nCn​,Cn′​ depending only on nnn such that, for all d,k,ℓd,k,\elld,k,ℓ and every k×kk\times kk×k matrix polynomial FFF, homogeneous of degree 2n2n2n with n≤dn\le dn≤d, symmetric at every xxx, with 0⪯F(x)⪯I0\preceq F(x)\preceq I0⪯F(x)⪯I on Sd−1S^{d-1}Sd−1:

ℓ≥Cnd ⟹ F+Cn′(dℓ)2I is ℓ-sos on Sd−1.\ell\ge C_nd\ \Longrightarrow\ F+C'_n\Big(\frac d\ell\Big)^2I\ \text{is }\ell\text{-sos on }S^{d-1}.ℓ≥Cn​d ⟹ F+Cn′​(ℓd​)2I is ℓ-sos on Sd−1.

The goal fixes only the shape (d/ℓ)2(d/\ell)^2(d/ℓ)2 and the regime ℓ≥Cnd\ell\ge C_ndℓ≥Cn​d, and leaves the constants open.

Milestones

They follow the paper's proof, in attack order:

  1. Harmonic projection: Lemma 16 (Reznick's bound on Δkf\Delta^kfΔkf), Proposition 5 (B2nB_{2n}B2n​ is independent of ddd, with B2≤2B_2\le2B2​≤2, B4≤9B_4\le9B4​≤9), the explicit value (34), and Proposition 17 (matrices, spectral norm).
  2. Kernels: the Funk–Hecke formula (8), Remark 1, and the first part of Theorem 6: F+B2n2∑k∣λ2k−1−1∣ IF+\frac{B_{2n}}2\sum_k|\lambda_{2k}^{-1}-1|\,IF+2B2n​​∑k​∣λ2k−1​−1∣I is ℓ\ellℓ-sos for every admissible qqq.
  3. The kernel error: Ci′(1)/Ci(1)=i(i+d−2)/(d−1)C_i'(1)/C_i(1)=i(i+d-2)/(d-1)Ci′​(1)/Ci​(1)=i(i+d−2)/(d−1), Proposition 18 (tangent line at 111), Proposition 8 (spectra of Toeplitz matrices of linear functions), the value of h′(1)h'(1)h′(1) and the eigenvalue comparison from the proof of Proposition 7, Proposition 9 (ρ≤ρ~/(1−ρ~)\rho\le\tilde\rho/(1-\tilde\rho)ρ≤ρ~​/(1−ρ~​)), and the second part of Theorem 6:
ρ2n(d,ℓ)≤Cn(dℓ)2(ℓ≥Cn′d).\rho_{2n}(d,\ell)\le C_n\Big(\frac d\ell\Big)^2\qquad(\ell\ge C'_nd).ρ2n​(d,ℓ)≤Cn​(ℓd​)2(ℓ≥Cn′​d).
  1. Corollary: Theorem 1, 1≤pℓ−pmin⁡pmax⁡−pmin⁡≤1+(Cnd/ℓ)21\le\frac{p_\ell-p_{\min}}{p_{\max}-p_{\min}}\le1+(C_nd/\ell)^21≤pmax​−pmin​pℓ​−pmin​​≤1+(Cn​d/ℓ)2 for ℓ≥Cnd\ell\ge C_ndℓ≥Cn​d.

Significance

Theorem 2 says how the level must grow with the dimension: ℓ=Θ(d/ε)\ell=\Theta(d/\sqrt\varepsilon)ℓ=Θ(d/ε​) suffices for relative error ε\varepsilonε, where Reznick's analysis needs ℓ=Θ(d/ε)\ell=\Theta(d/\varepsilon)ℓ=Θ(d/ε). Theorem 10 of the paper shows that, for n=1n=1n=1, the kernel error of this technique really is of order (d/ℓ)2(d/\ell)^2(d/ℓ)2. Independence of the matrix size gives certificates for polynomials that are bihomogeneous of degree (2n,2)(2n,2)(2n,2) on Sk−1×Sd−1S^{k-1}\times S^{d-1}Sk−1×Sd−1. The paper's Theorem 15 uses this, together with the DPS duality of the companion mission, to bound the convergence of the DPS hierarchy for separability. Fang–Fawzi, pp. 3, 10, 14

The theorem is proved in the 2019 preprint and was published in Mathematical Programming in 2021. No machine-checked proof of it or of its ingredients is known. Proving it formally takes reusable infrastructure: degree-bounded matrix SOS on the sphere, harmonic decomposition of homogeneous polynomials, Gegenbauer polynomials with their coefficients and the Funk–Hecke formula, and spectra of Jacobi matrices of orthogonal polynomials. The milestones also correct the printed text, as listed under Formalization scope.

Difficulty

Positive semidefiniteness of F+δIF+\delta IF+δI at each point of the sphere does not give a factorization with factors of prescribed degree, and Reznick's kernel ⟨x,y⟩2ℓ\langle x,y\rangle^{2\ell}⟨x,y⟩2ℓ only reaches error d/ℓd/\elld/ℓ. Two estimates must be uniform at once. First, harmonic projection of a degree-2n2n2n form must be bounded in sup norm independently of ddd; the L2L^2L2 bound is easy, and the sup-norm bound is the content of Proposition 5. Second, the kernel error ρ2n(d,ℓ)\rho_{2n}(d,\ell)ρ2n​(d,ℓ) must be bounded throughout the regime ℓ≥Cnd\ell\ge C_ndℓ≥Cn​d, which comes down to the location of the largest zero of a Gegenbauer polynomial. The printed bounds on that zero and on λmax⁡\lambda_{\max}λmax​ in Proposition 7 are false in small dimensions, so the paper's explicit constants cannot be relied on.

Formalization scope

  • Objects. Rd\mathbb R^dRd is Fin d → ℝ (0-based coordinates), and Sd−1S^{d-1}Sd−1 is the equation ∑ixi2=1\sum_ix_i^2=1∑i​xi2​=1, not the sup-norm sphere. Matrix polynomials are matrices over MvPolynomial (Fin d) ℝ, evaluated entrywise, and homogeneity is entrywise.
  • ℓ\ellℓ-sos. A finite family of k×kk\times kk×k factors, every entry of total degree at most ℓ\ellℓ, with equality on the sphere only. Without the degree bound the level disappears; with equality on all of Rd\mathbb R^dRd Theorem 2 becomes false. Neither change is a faithful reading.
  • Constants. In the goal the constants are chosen before ddd, kkk, ℓ\ellℓ and FFF. No assumption d≥2d\ge2d≥2 is added: the cases d=0,1d=0,1d=0,1 are true and elementary.
  • Standing assumption d≥2d\ge2d≥2. Every milestone that uses the Gegenbauer objects assumes it, as §2–3 do: the weight (1−t2)(d−3)/2(1-t^2)^{(d-3)/2}(1−t2)(d−3)/2, ωd−1/ωd\omega_{d-1}/\omega_dωd−1​/ωd​ and the divisions by d−1d-1d−1 need it. Gegenbauer polynomials are normalized by Ci(1)C_i(1)Ci​(1) and defined by their three-term recurrence. σ\sigmaσ is the normalized surface measure built from Mathlib's Measure.toSphere.
  • B2nB_{2n}B2n​. It is not defined (it would be a real infimum). Statements quantify over every constant BBB with the defining property, and B2nB_{2n}B2n​ is one of them.
  • ρ2n\rho_{2n}ρ2n​. It takes values in [0,∞][0,\infty][0,∞], with ∣λ−1−1∣=∞|\lambda^{-1}-1|=\infty∣λ−1−1∣=∞ at λ=0\lambda=0λ=0 and ∞\infty∞ on an empty feasible set. Its sum runs over k=1,…,nk=1,\dots,nk=1,…,n, following (12), (13) and (16); (10) prints 2n2n2n, a slip. Its minimum is over deg⁡q≤ℓ\deg q\le\elldegq≤ℓ, as in (13). The first part of Theorem 6 is posed per polynomial qqq, which is what (12) proves and implies the printed form.
  • Other conventions. Proposition 17's spectral norm is written as max⁡∥y∥=1∣yTAy∣\max_{\|y\|=1}|y^{\mathsf T}Ay|max∥y∥=1​∣yTAy∣, and homogeneity of FFF is explicit there. Theorem 1 is stated cross-multiplied, so that it is meaningful when ppp is constant on the sphere. Its level value is extended real to record infeasibility; the theorem asserts a finite attained value and a degree-bounded SOS certificate.
  • Not posed. Proposition 7 (λmax⁡(T[h])≥1−7n12d2ℓ2\lambda_{\max}(\mathcal T[h])\ge1-\frac{7n}{12}\frac{d^2}{\ell^2}λmax​(T[h])≥1−127n​ℓ2d2​) fails, for example, at d=2d=2d=2, n=1n=1n=1, ℓ=10\ell=10ℓ=10. The zero bound it quotes and the explicit constants at the end of p. 9 are not posed either; the true first inequality of its proof is.

Proofs of any milestone are welcome. So are reusable developments of Gegenbauer polynomials, spherical harmonics, the Funk–Hecke formula, Jacobi matrices, and Carathéodory-type finite quadratures that turn an integral of squares into a finite sum of squares.

Selected references

  • K. Fang, H. Fawzi, The sum-of-squares hierarchy on the sphere, and applications in quantum information theory, arXiv preprint, 2019. https://arxiv.org/abs/1908.05155v1
  • B. Reznick, Uniform denominators in Hilbert's seventeenth problem, Mathematische Zeitschrift 220(1), 75–97, 1995. https://doi.org/10.1007/BF02572604
  • A. C. Doherty, S. Wehner, Convergence of SDP hierarchies for polynomial optimization on the hypersphere, arXiv preprint, 2012. https://arxiv.org/abs/1210.5048
  • E. de Klerk, M. Laurent, Convergence analysis of a Lasserre hierarchy of upper bounds for polynomial minimization on the sphere, arXiv preprint, 2019. https://arxiv.org/abs/1904.08828
  • J. B. Lasserre, Global optimization with polynomials and the problem of moments, SIAM Journal on Optimization 11(3), 796–817, 2001. https://doi.org/10.1137/S1052623400366802
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On the Heavy-Tail Behavior of the Distributionally Robust Newsvendor 1: Worst-Case Expected Shortage under Known First and αth Moments Equals That of a Regularly Varying Demand of Tail Index αResearch Paper

Motivation

A newsvendor chooses an order quantity before seeing demand. Unsold units have no salvage value, while demand above the order quantity cannot be filled. If the demand law is unknown but a few moments are known, the decision maker may minimize cost against the worst distribution consistent with those moments. Das, Dhara and Natarajan study this distributionally robust problem when the known moments are the first and an arbitrary real moment of order α>1\alpha>1α>1 Das, Dhara and Natarajan, 2019. The high-demand tail matters especially when the cost ratio favors large orders. The mission asks what tail behavior is implicitly selected by the robust objective, even though each admissible distribution has a finite α\alphaαth moment.

The two-moment case α=2\alpha=2α=2 goes back to Scarf's newsvendor bound. The paper extends the model to noninteger α\alphaα and gives lower and upper shortage bounds before proving its tail result. Its preprint is the pinned source for every statement here; the proof of each numbered result follows that result in the paper Das, Dhara and Natarajan, 2019, §§1, 3–4.

Setting

Let q≥0q\ge0q≥0 be the order quantity and let d~≥0\tilde d\ge0d~≥0 be random demand. The expected shortage under a demand law FFF is EF[(d~−q)+]\mathbb E_F[(\tilde d-q)^+]EF​[(d~−q)+], where x+=max⁡(x,0)x^+=\max(x,0)x+=max(x,0). Fix α>1\alpha>1α>1, a positive mean m1m_1m1​, and a moment mα>m1αm_\alpha>m_1^\alphamα​>m1α​. The moment ambiguity set F1,α\mathcal F_{1,\alpha}F1,α​ contains all probability laws supported on [0,∞)[0,\infty)[0,∞) whose first moment is m1m_1m1​ and whose finite α\alphaαth moment is mαm_\alphamα​. Its worst-case expected shortage is

Π1,α(q)=sup⁡F∈F1,αEF[(d~−q)+].\Pi_{1,\alpha}(q)=\sup_{F\in\mathcal F_{1,\alpha}}\mathbb E_F[(\tilde d-q)^+].Π1,α​(q)=F∈F1,α​sup​EF​[(d~−q)+].

For a critical ratio η∈[0,1)\eta\in[0,1)η∈[0,1), the robust newsvendor minimizes (1−η)q+Π1,α(q)(1-\eta)q+\Pi_{1,\alpha}(q)(1−η)q+Π1,α​(q) over q≥0q\ge0q≥0. This mission centers on Π1,α\Pi_{1,\alpha}Π1,α​; the optimal-order threshold is treated in the companion mission. The ambiguity set and objective are the paper's (3.1)–(3.3) Das, Dhara and Natarajan, 2019, pp. 10–11.

A positive function uuu is regularly varying with index ρ\rhoρ if u(tx)/u(x)→tρu(tx)/u(x)\to t^\rhou(tx)/u(x)→tρ as x→∞x\to\inftyx→∞ for every t>0t>0t>0. The notation is u∈RVρu\in RV_\rhou∈RVρ​. For a probability law FFF, its survival tail is Fˉ(x)=PF(d~>x)\bar F(x)=P_F(\tilde d>x)Fˉ(x)=PF​(d~>x); Fˉ∈RV−α\bar F\in RV_{-\alpha}Fˉ∈RV−α​ means a tail parameter α\alphaα Das, Dhara and Natarajan, 2019, §4.1, p. 26.

Formalization targets

Worst-case shortage

The first target is Theorem 4.3(a):

Π1,α∈RV−(α−1).\Pi_{1,\alpha}\in RV_{-(\alpha-1)}.Π1,α​∈RV−(α−1)​.

It covers every α>1\alpha>1α>1, including α=2\alpha=2α=2. Scarf's piecewise formula (1.3), Proposition 3.3, and both parts of Proposition 3.4 supply the paper's cited bounds. Each upper bound retains its strict quantity threshold and its printed denominator Das, Dhara and Natarajan, 2019, pp. 3, 15, 19, 28.

One representative demand law

The full goal, Theorem 4.3, also states that a nonnegative probability law F∗F^*F∗ exists outside F1,α\mathcal F_{1,\alpha}F1,α​ with

EF∗[(d~∗−q)+]=Π1,α(q)(q≥0),Fˉ∗∈RV−α.\mathbb E_{F^*}[(\tilde d^*-q)^+]=\Pi_{1,\alpha}(q)\quad(q\ge0), \qquad \bar F^*\in RV_{-\alpha}.EF∗​[(d~∗−q)+]=Π1,α​(q)(q≥0),Fˉ∗∈RV−α​.

Every moment of F∗F^*F∗ of order 0≤a<α0\le a<\alpha0≤a<α is finite, while every moment of order a≥αa\ge\alphaa≥α is infinite. The milestone list includes the properties of Π1,α\Pi_{1,\alpha}Π1,α​ stated in §2.1 (non-increasing, convex, Π1,α(q)+q=m1\Pi_{1,\alpha}(q)+q=m_1Π1,α​(q)+q=m1​ for q≤0q\le0q≤0, Π1,α(q)→0\Pi_{1,\alpha}(q)\to0Π1,α​(q)→0), the single-law representation (2.1) and the two stated Karamata results used to characterize the tail Das, Dhara and Natarajan, 2019, pp. 6, 27–30.

High critical ratios

A companion milestone is Proposition 4.1. For η∈(0,1)\eta\in(0,1)η∈(0,1) let qη∗q^*_\etaqη∗​ be a robust optimal order quantity and Cη∗C^*_\etaCη∗​ the optimal robust cost. Then qη∗q^*_\etaqη∗​ is optimal for the standard newsvendor with demand law F∗F^*F∗, and

qη∗∼α−1α 11−η Cη∗,η→1q^*_\eta\sim\frac{\alpha-1}{\alpha}\,\frac{1}{1-\eta}\,C^*_\eta,\qquad \eta\to1qη∗​∼αα−1​1−η1​Cη∗​,η→1

Das, Dhara and Natarajan, 2019, p. 30, (4.9). It is a consequence of the goal, not a step toward it.

Significance

The theorem connects a decision made against an entire moment class to a single effective law. That law matches the robust expected shortage for every admissible order quantity but has an infinite α\alphaαth moment, so it does not belong to the class being optimized over. This distinction explains why large robust orders behave as though demand were heavy tailed. The paper also uses the result to relate the robust optimal order quantity to the optimal cost at high service levels in Proposition 4.1 Das, Dhara and Natarajan, 2019, pp. 30–31.

The mathematical theorem was proved in the cited paper. This mission asks for a Lean proof of its exact statement and reusable formal results for moment-constrained probability laws, stop-loss transforms, and regular variation. No machine-checked proof of these particular statements is part of the present draft. The cited bounds and analytic results are posed as separate milestones so their hypotheses and constants remain inspectable.

Difficulty

Pointwise optimization over demand laws does not automatically give one law that attains the worst-case shortage for every qqq. For a fixed qqq, an extremal law may depend on qqq, as Scarf's formula illustrates Das, Dhara and Natarajan, 2019, p. 3. The theorem asks for a single F∗F^*F∗ and then a precise tail index and a sharp moment cutoff. A generic upper bound on shortages would establish neither the representative law nor its infinite α\alphaαth moment. The regimes 1<α<21<\alpha<21<α<2, α=2\alpha=2α=2, and α>2\alpha>2α>2 have different cited upper-bound statements, yet the final theorem has no regime restriction.

Formalization scope

Lean represents a demand law by a Borel measure on R\mathbb RR with probability mass one and zero mass below zero. Membership in F1,α\mathcal F_{1,\alpha}F1,α​ requires both real moments to be integrable; this makes the moment equalities genuine rather than default values of a nonintegrable Bochner integral. Under m1>0m_1>0m1​>0 and mα>m1αm_\alpha>m_1^\alphamα​>m1α​, the paper's two-point law (3.6) makes the ambiguity set nonempty. Its shortage values are bounded above by m1+∣q∣m_1+|q|m1​+∣q∣, so the real supremum defining Π1,α\Pi_{1,\alpha}Π1,α​ is finite and meaningful. The strict thresholds in Propositions 3.3–3.4 keep their power denominators positive Das, Dhara and Natarajan, 2019, pp. 12, 15, 19.

Regular variation includes eventual positivity, excluding a zero-over-zero ratio from passing as a tail law. Infinite moments of F∗F^*F∗ are lower Lebesgue integrals in extended nonnegative reals. The existence of F∗F^*F∗ is asserted rather than built into a definition. Theorem 4.2(b)'s displayed limit has a negative sign in the preprint, although its nonnegative numerator and denominator require the positive value α\alphaα; the formal statement uses the corrected sign. Its regularly varying tail integral is eventually positive, which ensures genuine finite tail integrals for large lower limits. Theorem 4.1 explicitly requires local integrability. Two encodings would trivialize the goal and are excluded: defining F∗F^*F∗ inside the statement (it is existential), and a regular-variation predicate satisfied by the zero function. The properties of Π\PiΠ and the representation (2.1) are stated for F1,α\mathcal F_{1,\alpha}F1,α​, the instance the paper uses, rather than for a general finite-mean ambiguity set. In Proposition 4.1 the optimal cost is the cost at the chosen optimizer, the statement holds for every selection of optimizers, and ∼\sim∼ means that the ratio of the two sides tends to 111 as η↑1\eta\uparrow1η↑1. These analytic conventions and the probability and measure infrastructure can be reused beyond this mission. Contributions to any of the ten source milestones, including the difficult root assertion in Proposition 3.4(b), are welcome.

Selected references

  • B. Das, A. Dhara, and K. Natarajan, On the Heavy-Tail Behavior of the Distributionally Robust Newsvendor, Operations Research 69(4), 2021; preprint arXiv:1806.05379v2, 2019. Preprint, DOI.
  • H. Scarf, A min-max solution of an inventory problem, in K. Arrow, S. Karlin and H. Scarf (eds.), Studies in the Mathematical Theory of Inventory and Production, Stanford University Press, 1958, pp. 201–209.
  • A. Shapiro and A. Kleywegt, Minimax analysis of stochastic problems, Optimization Methods and Software 17, 2002, pp. 523–542. DOI.
  • N. H. Bingham, C. M. Goldie and J. L. Teugels, Regular Variation, Cambridge University Press, 1987. DOI.
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Posted Price Mechanisms and Optimal Threshold Strategies for Random Arrivals III: Even for I.I.D. Variables, No Nonadaptive Threshold Rule Beats the Factor 1 − 1/eResearch Paper

Motivation

In a prophet inequality, a decision maker observes random rewards one at a time and must choose without seeing future realizations. The benchmark is a prophet who sees all rewards and selects their maximum. A nonadaptive threshold rule chooses a threshold for each reward before observations begin, then accepts the first arriving reward that crosses its threshold. This model captures a simple class of stopping rules and, through the prophet inequality connection, informs posted price mechanisms in which prices are set before buyers arrive. Correa et al. (2021) prove that under uniformly random arrival order some such rule earns at least a 1−1/e1-1/e1−1/e fraction of the prophet's expected reward. The question here is whether that guarantee improves when the reward distributions are identical.

Setting

Fix an integer n≥2n\ge 2n≥2 and draw n2n^2n2 independent rewards X1,…,Xn2X_1,\ldots,X_{n^2}X1​,…,Xn2​ from the same three point law. A reward is Hn=n/(e−2)H_n=n/(e-2)Hn​=n/(e−2) with probability 1/n31/n^31/n3, is 111 with probability 1/n1/n1/n, and is 000 otherwise. The three probabilities are nonnegative and sum to one for n≥2n\ge2n≥2. Thus a typical sample contains roughly nnn unit rewards, while a high reward is rare enough that its presence among all n2n^2n2 draws has probability on the order of 1/n1/n1/n. Its magnitude is on the order of nnn, so it still makes a nonvanishing contribution to the prophet's expected reward.

Give each coordinate iii a predetermined threshold τi∈[0,∞]\tau_i\in[0,\infty]τi​∈[0,∞]. A uniformly random order reveals the sampled rewards, and the rule accepts the first Xi>τiX_i>\tau_iXi​>τi​. Conditional on a sample, let A(x,τ)={i:xi>τi}A(x,\tau)=\{i:x_i>\tau_i\}A(x,τ)={i:xi​>τi​}. Each accepted coordinate is equally likely to arrive first among A(x,τ)A(x,\tau)A(x,τ), so the conditional expected reward is

Rn(x,τ)=∑i∈A(x,τ)xi∣A(x,τ)∣,Rn(x,τ)=0 if A(x,τ)=∅.R_n(x,\tau)=\frac{\sum_{i\in A(x,\tau)}x_i}{|A(x,\tau)|},\qquad R_n(x,\tau)=0\text{ if }A(x,\tau)=\varnothing.Rn​(x,τ)=∣A(x,τ)∣∑i∈A(x,τ)​xi​​,Rn​(x,τ)=0 if A(x,τ)=∅.

Write Vn(τ)=E[Rn(X,τ)]V_n(\tau)=\mathbb E[R_n(X,\tau)]Vn​(τ)=E[Rn​(X,τ)] for the rule's reward and Pn=E[max⁡iXi]P_n=\mathbb E[\max_i X_i]Pn​=E[maxi​Xi​] for the prophet's reward. These are expectations of nonnegative random variables. The thresholds may be infinite, allowing a coordinate to be discarded in advance.

Formalization targets

The goal is the paper's i.i.d. tightness claim: for every ε>0\varepsilon>0ε>0, sufficiently large members of this explicit family satisfy

∀τ∈[0,∞]n2,Vn(τ)<(1+ε)(1−1/e)Pn.\forall\tau\in[0,\infty]^{n^2},\qquad V_n(\tau)<(1+\varepsilon)(1-1/e)P_n.∀τ∈[0,∞]n2,Vn​(τ)<(1+ε)(1−1/e)Pn​.

The universal quantifier includes every nonadaptive threshold vector, including asymmetric thresholds and coordinates that are never accepted. The proof in Appendix B supports the displayed statement for every sufficiently large nnn, which strengthens the existence of one hard instance stated in Section 3.1. Together with the paper's 1−1/e1-1/e1−1/e lower bound, this shows that the factor cannot be raised for this rule class even under identical distributions.

The milestones cover the prophet limit Pn→(e−1)/(e−2)P_n\to(e-1)/(e-2)Pn​→(e−1)/(e−2), reduction of arbitrary thresholds to two-level rules, the three contributions to a two-level rule's expected reward according to the number of high observations, Proposition A.3's scalar maximization, and the resulting uniform asymptotic bound on all two-level rules. The first kkk coordinates of a two-level rule accept both 111 and HnH_nHn​; the remaining coordinates accept only HnH_nHn​. These targets correspond to Section 3.1, Proposition A.3, and Appendix B of Correa et al..

Significance

The explicit i.i.d. family locates a limit of nonadaptive thresholds under random arrivals. Identical distributions remove heterogeneity as an explanation for the loss against a prophet: the obstruction remains even when every reward has the same law. Consequently, an improved guarantee requires a richer rule class or additional assumptions on the distribution. The paper studies an adaptive threshold rule separately and obtains a stronger i.i.d. guarantee; this mission isolates the upper bound for the nonadaptive class.

Formalizing this result supplies a reusable model for random-order threshold selection on a finite i.i.d. product space, including its conditional reward formula and extended nonnegative expectations. The paper proves the tightness result; the Lean declarations in this proposal state it and its supporting results as proof obligations. The published i.i.d. product-measure model from the Samuel-Cahn development already has machine-checked definitions and is reused here. The proposed upper-bound theorems have not yet been proved in Lean.

Difficulty

Bounding each coordinate's expected contribution in isolation loses the interaction between unit rewards and the rare high reward. When a high reward occurs, accepting many unit rewards can dilute its share of the random-order reward; rejecting unit rewards sacrifices ordinary samples. The reduction to two-level rules must apply to every threshold vector before the count of unit-accepting coordinates can be optimized. Appendix B then controls the cases of zero, one, and at least two high observations uniformly in that count. The one-high-value case contains a printed final inequality that drops a positive 1/n1/n1/n term; the formal target uses the preceding, valid bound, whose extra term vanishes in the limit.

Formalization scope

Lean represents a sample as Fin (n ^ 2) → ℝ and its law as a finite product measure. The index set is 0-based: the paper's X1,…,XkX_1,\ldots,X_kX1​,…,Xk​ are coordinates 0,…,k−10,\ldots,k-10,…,k−1. The law is used only for n≥2n\ge2n≥2, where it is a probability measure. Thresholds have type R≥0∪{∞}\mathbb R_{\ge0}\cup\{\infty\}R≥0​∪{∞}, and crossing is strict, matching Theorem 1's indicator Yi=1{Xi>τi}Y_i=\mathbf1\{X_i>\tau_i\}Yi​=1{Xi​>τi​}. The page describes its two-level rule with weak threshold language; under strict crossing the same acceptance sets use thresholds 000 and 111. The reward uses the paper's 0/0=00/0=00/0=0 convention. Expectations are lintegrals with values in $[0,\infty]`, avoiding a zero default for nonintegrable real integrals. The goal quantifies over all threshold vectors and uses the actual prophet expectation of the same law; no restricted rule class or surrogate benchmark can replace either one.

The general i.i.d. law, sample maximum, and expected maximum come from SamuelCahnProphet.IID.Setting. The paper's three point law, random-order reward, canonical two-level rule, and high-value count are local definitions. Useful contributions include exact finite-law calculations, dominance of two-level rules, uniform estimates in kkk, and the scalar exponential inequality of Proposition A.3. These parts can also support formal work on other finite-support prophet inequalities.

Selected references

  • Correa, Foncea, Hoeksma, Oosterwijk, and Vredeveld, Posted price mechanisms and optimal threshold strategies for random arrivals, Mathematics of Operations Research 46(4):1452–1478, 2021. DOI 10.1287/moor.2020.1105.
  • Samuel-Cahn, Comparison of threshold stop rules and maximum for independent nonnegative random variables, Annals of Probability 12(4):1213–1216, 1984. DOI 10.1214/aop/1176993150.
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Posted Price Mechanisms and Optimal Threshold Strategies for Random Arrivals II: For I.I.D. Variables, Adaptive Thresholds Achieve E[max Xᵢ] ≤ β*·E[X_t] with β* ≈ 1.341Research Paper

Motivation

A prophet inequality compares a gambler who sees nonnegative random rewards X1,…,XnX_1,\ldots,X_nX1​,…,Xn​ one at a time, and must accept or reject each on arrival, with a prophet who knows all values in advance and simply takes max⁡iXi\max_i X_imaxi​Xi​. For independent and identically distributed (i.i.d.) rewards the question is the best constant β\betaβ such that some online rule always earns at least E(max⁡iXi)/βE(\max_i X_i)/\betaE(maxi​Xi​)/β. The question matters in operations research and mechanism design because a seller who posts take-it-or-leave-it prices to arriving customers faces exactly this stopping problem on the customers' virtual values; prophet inequalities translate into revenue guarantees for posted price mechanisms relative to Myerson's optimal auction (Chawla, Hartline, Malec and Sivan 2010).

Timeline (as recounted in §1 of the paper):

  • Hill and Kertz (1982) characterized, through a recursion, the smallest constants ana_nan​ with E(max⁡iXi)≤ansup⁡tE(Xt)E(\max_iX_i)\le a_n\sup_tE(X_t)E(maxi​Xi​)≤an​supt​E(Xt​) for nnn i.i.d. nonnegative variables, showed 1.1<an<1.61.1<a_n<1.61.1<an​<1.6, gave instances where ana_nan​ cannot be beaten, and conjectured that (an)(a_n)(an​) is monotone; the computation of its limit was left open.
  • Kertz (1986) proved an→β∗≈1.341a_n\to\beta^*\approx1.341an​→β∗≈1.341, the solution of the integral equation (2) below, and conjectured that β∗\beta^*β∗ bounds every ana_nan​; the best uniform bound then known was an≤e/(e−1)≈1.582a_n\le e/(e-1)\approx1.582an​≤e/(e−1)≈1.582.
  • Abolhassani et al. (2017) improved the uniform bound to 1/0.738≈1.3551/0.738\approx1.3551/0.738≈1.355.
  • Correa, Foncea, Hoeksma, Oosterwijk and Vredeveld (EC 2017; Math. Oper. Res. 2021) proved E(max⁡iXi)≤β∗E(Xt)E(\max_iX_i)\le\beta^*E(X_t)E(maxi​Xi​)≤β∗E(Xt​) for a threshold rule ttt, so an≤β∗a_n\le\beta^*an​≤β∗ for all nnn and 1/β∗≈0.7451/\beta^*\approx0.7451/β∗≈0.745 is the tight i.i.d. guarantee.

Setting

Let X1,…,XnX_1,\ldots,X_nX1​,…,Xn​ be i.i.d. nonnegative random variables with distribution function FFF. A threshold rule fixes real numbers τ1,…,τn\tau_1,\ldots,\tau_nτ1​,…,τn​ and stops at

t=min⁡{i∈{1,…,n}:Xi≥τi},t=\min\{i\in\{1,\ldots,n\}: X_i\ge\tau_i\},t=min{i∈{1,…,n}:Xi​≥τi​},

receiving XtX_tXt​. Because the thresholds may change with the step iii, the rule is adaptive; for i.i.d. variables the number of variables already seen is all the history the rule needs.

The analysis works with quantiles. The generalized inverse is F−1(q)=inf⁡{x≥0:F(x)≥q}F^{-1}(q)=\inf\{x\ge0: F(x)\ge q\}F−1(q)=inf{x≥0:F(x)≥q}, and τ(q)=F−1(1−q)\tau(q)=F^{-1}(1-q)τ(q)=F−1(1−q) is the threshold that accepts with probability qqq (with a coin toss to break ties at an atom). The function

R(q)=∫0qF−1(1−θ) dθR(q)=\int_0^qF^{-1}(1-\theta)\,d\thetaR(q)=∫0q​F−1(1−θ)dθ

is the expected reward from a variable accepted with probability qqq. The quantile stopping rule of Algorithm 2 partitions [0,1][0,1][0,1] into intervals Ai=[εi−1,εi]A_i=[\varepsilon_{i-1},\varepsilon_i]Ai​=[εi−1​,εi​], draws an acceptance probability qi∈Aiq_i\in A_iqi​∈Ai​ with density proportional to ψ(q)=(n−1)(1−q)n−2\psi(q)=(n-1)(1-q)^{n-2}ψ(q)=(n−1)(1−q)n−2, and stops at step iii with probability qiq_iqi​; its value is E(Xr)E(X_r)E(Xr​). The analysis then passes through the normalizations γi=∫Aiψ\gamma_i=\int_{A_i}\psiγi​=∫Ai​​ψ and ρi\rho_iρi​, the recursion (8)–(9) on xi=1−εix_i=1-\varepsilon_ixi​=1−εi​, and the differential equation

y′(t)=y(t)(ln⁡y(t)−1)−(β−1),y(0)=1.(ODE)y'(t)=y(t)\big(\ln y(t)-1\big)-(\beta-1),\qquad y(0)=1.\qquad\text{(ODE)}y′(t)=y(t)(lny(t)−1)−(β−1),y(0)=1.(ODE)

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem 2

Let β∗>1\beta^*>1β∗>1 be the unique solution of

∫01dyy(1−ln⁡y)+(β−1)=1.(2)\int_0^1\frac{dy}{y(1-\ln y)+(\beta-1)}=1.\qquad(2)∫01​y(1−lny)+(β−1)dy​=1.(2)

For every n≥1n\ge1n≥1 and every law of nonnegative i.i.d. X1,…,XnX_1,\ldots,X_nX1​,…,Xn​ there are thresholds τ1,…,τn\tau_1,\ldots,\tau_nτ1​,…,τn​ with

E(max⁡{X1,…,Xn})≤β∗E(Xt).E(\max\{X_1,\ldots,X_n\})\le\beta^*E(X_t).E(max{X1​,…,Xn​})≤β∗E(Xt​).

Milestones

In order: the quantile sandwich P(X≥τ(q))≥q≥P(X>τ(q))P(X\ge\tau(q))\ge q\ge P(X>\tau(q))P(X≥τ(q))≥q≥P(X>τ(q)); the representation (7) E(max⁡iXi)=n∫01ψ(q)R(q) dqE(\max_iX_i)=n\int_0^1\psi(q)R(q)\,dqE(maxi​Xi​)=n∫01​ψ(q)R(q)dq; the identity "expected reward of the quantile rule at qqq equals R(q)R(q)R(q)"; Lemma 4 (E(Xr)=∑iρi∫AiψRE(X_r)=\sum_i\rho_i\int_{A_i}\psi RE(Xr​)=∑i​ρi​∫Ai​​ψR); Lemma 5 (E(max⁡iXi)=nγ1E(Xr)E(\max_iX_i)=n\gamma_1E(X_r)E(maxi​Xi​)=nγ1​E(Xr​) when all ρi\rho_iρi​ agree); the equivalence of equal ρi\rho_iρi​ with the recursion (8) and γ1=1−x1n−1\gamma_1=1-x_1^{n-1}γ1​=1−x1n−1​; the closed form (9)–(10); Lemma 6 on (ODE); Proposition D.1; Lemma 7 (xin−1<y(i/n)x_i^{n-1}<y(i/n)xin−1​<y(i/n)); uniqueness of β∗\beta^*β∗ in (2); optimality of the dynamic-programming thresholds; domination of the randomized rule by them; and n(1−x1n−1)≤β∗n(1-x_1^{n-1})\le\beta^*n(1−x1n−1​)≤β∗.

A companion statement records the numerical guarantee 1/β∗>0.7451/\beta^*>0.7451/β∗>0.745.

Significance

The result. Theorem 2 gives the optimal constant of the i.i.d. prophet inequality and, through an=n(1−x1n−1)a_n=n(1-x_1^{n-1})an​=n(1−x1n−1​), shows an≤β∗a_n\le\beta^*an​≤β∗ for every nnn, which settles the problem posed by Hill and Kertz in 1982. Since an→β∗a_n\to\beta^*an​→β∗ (Kertz 1986), no rule of any kind achieves a better constant uniformly in nnn. Through the virtual-value connection it implies that, for customers with i.i.d. valuations, an adaptive posted price mechanism earns at least a 1/β∗>0.7451/\beta^*>0.7451/β∗>0.745 fraction of the optimal auction's revenue (Corollary 2 of the paper).

Formalizing it. The theorem is proved on paper; no machine-checked proof of it or of any of its lemmas is known. The proof combines a measure-theoretic part (quantile functions, randomized tie-breaking at atoms, Tonelli and integration by parts), a combinatorial recursion, and real analysis of an autonomous ODE with a third-derivative Taylor argument. Formal versions of these parts are reusable: the quantile representation of E(max⁡iXi)E(\max_iX_i)E(maxi​Xi​), the expected reward of a quantile rule, and the optimality of dynamic-programming thresholds are standard tools across prophet inequalities and optimal stopping.

Difficulty

The obvious attempt, computing the optimal dynamic-programming thresholds and bounding their value against E(max⁡iXi)E(\max_iX_i)E(maxi​Xi​), does not lead to a closed-form constant: the optimal values satisfy a nonlinear recursion that depends on the whole distribution. The paper avoids it by analysing a randomized rule whose value is exactly a ψ\psiψ-weighted average of RRR, which reduces the problem to a distribution-free recursion. Two steps then carry the weight. First, randomizing correctly at atoms of FFF so that every step accepts with probability exactly qqq; without this, R(q)R(q)R(q) is not the step reward. Second, comparing the discrete recursion (9) with the continuous (ODE): the comparison needs strict convexity and y′′′>0y'''>0y′′′>0, and the latter holds only because β>1.25\beta>1.25β>1.25, a standing assumption validated at β∗\beta^*β∗ at the end. The existence of the partition with all ρi\rho_iρi​ equal (a solution of (8) with x0=1x_0=1x0​=1, xn=0x_n=0xn​=0, xi∈(0,1)x_i\in(0,1)xi​∈(0,1)) is taken from Hill and Kertz and is not proved in the paper.

Formalization scope

Lean conventions:

  • The common law is a probability measure μ\muμ on R\mathbb RR with μ((−∞,0))=0\mu((-\infty,0))=0μ((−∞,0))=0; the sample is the coordinate vector of SamuelCahnProphet.IID.iidLaw μ n (the published i.i.d. setting), and E(max⁡iXi)E(\max_iX_i)E(maxi​Xi​) is its Emax. Coordinates are 0-based; the partition εi\varepsilon_iεi​, γi\gamma_iγi​, ρi\rho_iρi​ and the recursion keep the paper's 1-based index.
  • All expectations of the random variables, R(q)R(q)R(q) and E(Xr)E(X_r)E(Xr​) are lower Lebesgue integrals in [0,∞][0,\infty][0,∞]; no integrability is assumed in the goal, so infinite means are covered. Only bounded deterministic integrals (γi\gamma_iγi​, ρi\rho_iρi​, (2)) are interval integrals.
  • XtX_tXt​ is 000 when no XiX_iXi​ reaches its threshold (the page leaves it undefined; 000 is the least favourable choice).
  • The quantile rule's coin at an atom is an independent uniform variable on [0,1][0,1][0,1]; acceptance probabilities are drawn independently with density ψ/γi\psi/\gamma_iψ/γi​ on AiA_iAi​.
  • β∗\beta^*β∗ enters through (2) and β∗>1\beta^*>1β∗>1, not through a choice function; uniqueness is a milestone.
  • Statements involving ψ\psiψ, γi\gamma_iγi​, ρi\rho_iρi​ or the recursion assume n≥2n\ge2n≥2 (for n=1n=1n=1, ψ≡0\psi\equiv0ψ≡0). Lemmas 6 and 7 carry §4's standing assumption β>1.25\beta>1.25β>1.25; Proposition D.1 carries β>1.25\beta>1.25β>1.25. Lemma 6 does not assert existence of a solution of (ODE) on [0,1][0,1][0,1], which fails for β>β∗\beta>\beta^*β>β∗.
  • The dynamic-programming milestones assume EX<∞E X<\inftyEX<∞ and use the optimal-stopping recurrence Vi=E[max⁡(X,Vi+1)]V_i=E[\max(X,V_{i+1})]Vi​=E[max(X,Vi+1​)]; the page prints Vi=E(X∣X≥τi)V_i=E(X\mid X\ge\tau_i)Vi​=E(X∣X≥τi​), which is a slip.
  • The page's "β∗≈1.341>1/0.745\beta^*\approx1.341>1/0.745β∗≈1.341>1/0.745" has its inequality reversed and is not formalized.

A degenerate β\betaβ cannot trivialize the goal: β\betaβ is pinned by (2) and β>1\beta>1β>1, and the goal is stated for every n≥1n\ge1n≥1 and every nonnegative law, including laws with infinite mean.

A complete development needs the quantile function of a law on R\mathbb RR, Tonelli's theorem on product measures, uniqueness for ODEs with locally Lipschitz right-hand side (ODE_solution_unique), and Taylor's theorem; the existence of the Hill–Kertz partition is a further proof obligation. Contributions to any milestone, and reusable lemmas on quantile functions and finite-horizon optimal stopping, are welcome.

Selected references

  • J. Correa, P. Foncea, R. Hoeksma, T. Oosterwijk, T. Vredeveld, Posted price mechanisms and optimal threshold strategies for random arrivals, Mathematics of Operations Research 46(4):1452–1478, 2021. https://doi.org/10.1287/moor.2020.1105
  • T. P. Hill, R. P. Kertz, Comparisons of stop rule and supremum expectations of i.i.d. random variables, Annals of Probability 10(2):336–345, 1982. https://doi.org/10.1214/aop/1176993861
  • R. P. Kertz, Stop rule and supremum expectations of i.i.d. random variables: a complete comparison by conjugate duality, Journal of Multivariate Analysis 19(1):88–112, 1986. https://doi.org/10.1016/0047-259X(86)90095-3
  • M. Abolhassani, S. Ehsani, H. Esfandiari, M. T. HajiAghayi, R. Kleinberg, B. Lucier, Beating 1−1/e for ordered prophets, Proc. 49th ACM STOC, 61–71, 2017. https://doi.org/10.1145/3055399.3055479
  • S. Chawla, J. D. Hartline, D. L. Malec, B. Sivan, Multi-parameter mechanism design and sequential posted pricing, Proc. 42nd ACM STOC, 311–320, 2010. https://doi.org/10.1145/1806689.1806733
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Harmonic AnalysisNumerical AnalysisQuantum Information·Captain: mikedeng1

Quantum Algorithm for Systems of Linear Equations with Exponentially Improved Dependence on Precision II: A Discretized Gaussian Fourier Double Sum Is ε-Close to 1/x on [−1, −1/κ] ∪ [1/κ, 1]Research Paper

Motivation

A quantum algorithm for a system of linear equations must turn operations it can implement into an approximation of the inverse of the system matrix. For a Hermitian matrix, time evolution e−iAte^{-iAt}e−iAt is such an operation. Childs, Kothari and Somma use a Fourier expansion of the scalar reciprocal 1/x1/x1/x to express an approximation to A−1A^{-1}A−1 as a finite linear combination of these evolutions. Their paper reports an exponential improvement in the dependence on the requested precision over earlier linear-systems methods. The scalar approximation in Lemma 11 is the mathematical input to their Fourier algorithm and to the query and gate analyses in Theorem 3. This mission isolates that approximation and the Gaussian estimates stated around it. Theorem 3's complexity claims themselves are outside the present formalization. Childs, Kothari and Somma, §3, pp. 10–14.

Setting

Fix a condition number κ≥1\kappa\ge1κ≥1. The scalar spectral domain is

Dκ=[−1,−1/κ]∪[1/κ,1].D_\kappa=[-1,-1/\kappa]\cup[1/\kappa,1].Dκ​=[−1,−1/κ]∪[1/κ,1].

It contains the real eigenvalues permitted after the paper's normalization and excludes zero, where the reciprocal is undefined. For an accuracy ε>0\varepsilon>0ε>0, two functions are ε\varepsilonε-close on DκD_\kappaDκ​ when their difference has magnitude at most ε\varepsilonε at every point of that domain. A complex-valued approximant is compared with 1/x1/x1/x as a complex number. The paper gives this domain and closeness convention before the Fourier construction. Childs, Kothari and Somma, pp. 9–10.

The intermediate function gyJ,zK(x)g_{y_J,z_K}(x)gyJ​,zK​​(x) is a truncated Gaussian Fourier integral. It integrates ze−z2/2e−ixyzz e^{-z^2/2}e^{-ixyz}ze−z2/2e−ixyz over −zK≤z≤zK-z_K\le z\le z_K−zK​≤z≤zK​ and then over 0≤y≤yJ0\le y\le y_J0≤y≤yJ​, multiplying by i/2πi/\sqrt{2\pi}i/2π​. The finite approximant hJ,K,Δy,Δz(x)h_{J,K,\Delta_y,\Delta_z}(x)hJ,K,Δy​,Δz​​(x) is a Gaussian Fourier double sum with the same normalization and phase. Its samples are yj=jΔyy_j=j\Delta_yyj​=jΔy​ for j=0,…,J−1j=0,\ldots,J-1j=0,…,J−1 and zk=kΔzz_k=k\Delta_zzk​=kΔz​ for k=−K,…,Kk=-K,\ldots,Kk=−K,…,K; each term carries both mesh widths. Thus J,KJ,KJ,K count the retained samples, while Δy,Δz\Delta_y,\Delta_zΔy​,Δz​ control their spacing. The sign in the phase and the factor iii are part of the definitions. Childs, Kothari and Somma, (18), p. 10, and (21), p. 11.

Formalization targets

Truncation

Lemma 12 says that for cutoffs of scale

yJ=Θ ⁣(κlog⁡(κ/ε)),zK=Θ ⁣(log⁡(κ/ε)),y_J=\Theta\!\bigl(\kappa\sqrt{\log(\kappa/\varepsilon)}\bigr), \qquad z_K=\Theta\!\bigl(\sqrt{\log(\kappa/\varepsilon)}\bigr),yJ​=Θ(κlog(κ/ε)​),zK​=Θ(log(κ/ε)​),

the function gyJ,zKg_{y_J,z_K}gyJ​,zK​​ is ε\varepsilonε-close to 1/x1/x1/x on DκD_\kappaDκ​. The proposal includes the paper's explicit error bound (27) and its Gaussian tail bound (28), as well as the Gaussian Poisson-summation identity of Lemma 13. These are separate reusable targets, not replacements for the approximation theorem. Childs, Kothari and Somma, Lemmas 12–13 and (27)–(28), pp. 11–12.

Finite Fourier sum

The goal is Lemma 11:

∣hJ,K,Δy,Δz(x)−1x∣≤εfor every x∈Dκ,\left|h_{J,K,\Delta_y,\Delta_z}(x)-\frac1x\right|\le\varepsilon \quad\text{for every }x\in D_\kappa,​hJ,K,Δy​,Δz​​(x)−x1​​≤εfor every x∈Dκ​,

where

J=Θ ⁣(κεlog⁡κε),K=Θ ⁣(κlog⁡κε),Δy=Θ ⁣(εlog⁡(κ/ε)),Δz=Θ ⁣(1κlog⁡(κ/ε)).J=\Theta\!\left(\frac\kappa\varepsilon\log\frac\kappa\varepsilon\right),\quad K=\Theta\!\left(\kappa\log\frac\kappa\varepsilon\right),\quad \Delta_y=\Theta\!\left(\frac\varepsilon{\sqrt{\log(\kappa/\varepsilon)}}\right),\quad \Delta_z=\Theta\!\left(\frac1{\kappa\sqrt{\log(\kappa/\varepsilon)}}\right).J=Θ(εκ​logεκ​),K=Θ(κlogεκ​),Δy​=Θ(log(κ/ε)​ε​),Δz​=Θ(κlog(κ/ε)​1​).

The Θ\ThetaΘ statements impose upper and lower bounds with absolute constants, uniformly across κ\kappaκ and ε\varepsilonε. The requested approximation error is exactly ε\varepsilonε, matching the lemma's claim. The four scales specify both the size of the finite expansion and its mesh. Childs, Kothari and Somma, Lemma 11, p. 10.

Significance

The finite sum provides the paper's Fourier route from scalar reciprocal approximation to a linear combination of time-evolution operators. Its sample counts and spacings are the quantities that enter the algorithm's implementation costs. A result that only asserted approximation after arbitrarily many samples would not express the bound used there. The truncated integral and Poisson identity also remain useful for other Gaussian quadrature and Fourier-sampling arguments. Childs, Kothari and Somma, §§3.1–3.2, pp. 11–14.

The paper proves these claims on paper. This proposal asks for machine-checked Lean proofs of the scalar statements, including the complex normalization, the finite and infinite sum conventions, and the uniform scale bounds. It does not assert that the quantum algorithm, its Hamiltonian simulation subroutines, or its query and gate complexity theorems have been formalized.

Difficulty

The infinite Gaussian Fourier representation alone does not specify a finite implementable expansion. Restricting both integrals introduces two truncation errors, while replacing them by samples adds discretization and periodic-aliasing effects. These errors have to be controlled simultaneously with JJJ, KKK, Δy\Delta_yΔy​, and Δz\Delta_zΔz​ at the scales stated in Lemma 11. Merely taking the mesh arbitrarily fine gives approximation without the theorem's finite-size bounds. The proof also uses a complex Fourier phase although its target is real, and its infinite sums must have their ordinary convergent meaning. Childs, Kothari and Somma, proof of Lemma 11, pp. 13–14.

Formalization scope

The Lean development uses R\mathbb RR for x,κ,εx,\kappa,\varepsilonx,κ,ε and the cutoff and mesh parameters, C\mathbb CC for ggg and hhh, and the complex norm for closeness. Finite sums use exactly 0≤j<J0\le j<J0≤j<J and −K≤k≤K-K\le k\le K−K≤k≤K; the integral for ggg is iterated and has nonnegative upper cutoffs. The optional identity (20) is also an iterated integral, with the zzz integral evaluated before the yyy integral. Infinite sums in Lemma 13 are over Z\mathbb ZZ. The Gaussian integrals and series in the statements are convergent, so Lean's totalized integral and sum conventions do not supply artificial zero values.

The paper's condition-number convention is recorded as κ≥1\kappa\ge1κ≥1 and Corollary 10's operating range as 0<ε<1/20<\varepsilon<1/20<ε<1/2. Those conditions keep DκD_\kappaDκ​ nonempty and log⁡(κ/ε)\log(\kappa/\varepsilon)log(κ/ε) positive. The unnumbered reciprocal-exponential bound from p. 13 has x≠0x\ne0x=0 explicitly, because the printed fractions have no value at zero. The Θ\ThetaΘ bounds quantify their constants before the problem parameters. In particular, choices with unbounded sample counts or vanishing mesh widths cannot satisfy the goal solely by brute-force approximation.

A complete development needs reusable Gaussian integration and tail estimates, complex exponential identities, summability of Gaussian integer series, and Poisson summation in Mathlib's analytic setting. Contributions that establish these general facts, the stated milestones, or Lemma 11 with its original bounds all fit this scope. This mission uses the reviewed shared definition of DκD_\kappaDκ​. Childs, Kothari and Somma, pp. 9–14.

Selected references

  • A. M. Childs, R. Kothari and R. D. Somma, Quantum algorithm for systems of linear equations with exponentially improved dependence on precision, SIAM Journal on Computing 46(6), 2017; arXiv:1511.02306v2.
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Algorithmic Game TheoryCombinatoricsOperations Research·Captain: mikedeng1

A Little Charity Guarantees Almost Envy-Freeness III: With Additive Valuations, Donating the Pool to an Unenvied Agent Yields a 4/7-Groupwise-Maximin-Share AllocationResearch Paper

Motivation

When indivisible goods are shared among people, comparing each person's bundle with another person's bundle is only one way to judge fairness. A second test asks whether a group could repartition the goods it collectively received so that one of its members would reliably obtain more. Groupwise maximin share (GMMS) makes this test for every subgroup. It strengthens the ordinary maximin-share benchmark, which tests only the grand coalition and all goods. Chaudhury, Kavitha, Mehlhorn and Sgouritsa use this distinction to study a complete allocation obtained from their almost envy-free allocation: goods initially left unassigned are given to one unenvied agent. Their Theorem 16 proves that the resulting allocation gives every agent at least four sevenths of her groupwise maximin share under additive valuations. Chaudhury et al., pp. 4–5, 15–16.

The paper first constructs a partial EFX allocation whose unallocated goods have bounded value to every agent. Its Section 3 then assumes additive valuations and derives maximin-share and GMMS guarantees. This mission addresses the GMMS consequence of that construction. The existence of the starting allocation is the subject of the first mission in this series; the present theorem specifies what happens when its pool is donated. Chaudhury et al., Theorems 8 and 16.

Setting

Let NNN be a finite set of agents and MMM a finite set of indivisible goods. Each agent iii has a valuation vi(S)v_i(S)vi​(S) for a bundle S⊆MS\subseteq MS⊆M. Here valuations are nonnegative and additive: vi(S)v_i(S)vi​(S) is the sum of the values of the individual goods in SSS. A partial allocation X=(Xi)i∈NX=(X_i)_{i\in N}X=(Xi​)i∈N​ gives pairwise disjoint bundles to the agents. The remaining goods form its pool, P=M∖⋃i∈NXiP=M\setminus\bigcup_{i\in N}X_iP=M∖⋃i∈N​Xi​. An allocation is complete when its pool is empty. These are the paper's allocation conventions. Chaudhury et al., pp. 3–4.

An allocation is envy-free up to any good (EFX) if, after any single good ggg is removed from agent jjj's bundle, agent iii values that remainder no more than her own bundle: vi(Xj∖{g})≤vi(Xi)v_i(X_j\setminus\{g\})\le v_i(X_i)vi​(Xj​∖{g})≤vi​(Xi​) for all i,ji,ji,j and g∈Xjg\in X_jg∈Xj​. The envy graph has a directed edge i→ji\to ji→j when iii values jjj's bundle more than her own. A source is a vertex with no incoming edge, so nobody envies that agent. Chaudhury et al., pp. 3, 8.

For a set SSS and a positive number kkk of parts, MMS⁡i(k,S)\operatorname{MMS}_i(k,S)MMSi​(k,S) is the largest worst-part value agent iii can secure by partitioning SSS into kkk bundles. A complete allocation YYY is α\alphaα-GMMS when each agent meets an α\alphaα fraction of this benchmark for every subgroup containing her:

vi(Yi)≥αMMS⁡i ⁣(∣N′∣,⋃j∈N′Yj)(N′⊆N, i∈N′).v_i(Y_i)\ge\alpha\operatorname{MMS}_i\!\left(|N'|,\bigcup_{j\in N'}Y_j\right) \qquad(N'\subseteq N,\ i\in N').vi​(Yi​)≥αMMSi​​∣N′∣,j∈N′⋃​Yj​​(N′⊆N, i∈N′).

The benchmark uses only goods allocated to that subgroup. The paper states it both as a complete-allocation property in its introduction and in Definition 15. Chaudhury et al., pp. 5, 15.

Formalization targets

The donated allocation

Assume XXX is partial and EFX, every agent satisfies vi(P)≤vi(Xi)v_i(P)\le v_i(X_i)vi​(P)≤vi​(Xi​), and sss is a source of its envy graph. Define Ys=Xs∪PY_s=X_s\cup PYs​=Xs​∪P and Yj=XjY_j=X_jYj​=Xj​ for j≠sj\ne sj=s. The goal states that YYY is complete, that donation does not lower any agent's own value, and that

vi(Yi)≥47MMS⁡i ⁣(∣N′∣,⋃j∈N′Yj)(N′⊆N, i∈N′).v_i(Y_i)\ge\frac47\operatorname{MMS}_i\!\left(|N'|,\bigcup_{j\in N'}Y_j\right) \qquad(N'\subseteq N,\ i\in N').vi​(Yi​)≥74​MMSi​​∣N′∣,j∈N′⋃​Yj​​(N′⊆N, i∈N′).

This is the GMMS bullet of Theorem 16 applied to the particular allocation the authors define immediately before it. The paper obtains a suitable XXX from Lemma 12, which has the relevant properties of Theorem 8. Chaudhury et al., pp. 11–12, 14–16.

Intermediate results

The milestones are Proposition 13, the reduction step in Theorem 16's proof, and all three parts of Lemma 17. Proposition 13 compares maximin shares after deleting agents and at most as many goods. Lemma 17 bounds the value of each bad good, the donated bundle, and the other good bundles. They retain the constants 222 and 3/23/23/2 used in the paper. Chaudhury et al., pp. 14, 16–17.

Significance

The result turns an almost envy-free partial allocation into a complete allocation with a guarantee for every coalition. A plain maximin-share statement would only compare each agent with a partition of all goods among all agents; here every subgroup and its allocated goods count. The distinction matters even when an ordinary maximin-share bound is easy to meet because there are fewer goods than agents. Chaudhury et al., p. 5.

The paper proves Theorem 16 mathematically. The remaining work for this mission is a machine-checked proof of its stated GMMS consequence and its supporting results. Its definitions of partial allocation, pool, finite maximin share and groupwise guarantee can also serve later formalizations of fair division. The Nash-social-welfare half-guarantee in the printed theorem depends on the starting allocation from Lemma 12; this mission records only the value preservation under donation. Chaudhury et al., pp. 14, 16.

Difficulty

Giving all leftover goods to one agent makes the allocation complete, but it can change how another agent values that enlarged bundle and how a subgroup's benchmark is calculated. EFX alone compares bundles after deleting one good; GMMS compares an agent with every repartition of a subgroup's goods. The difficulty is to control those repartitions while keeping the exact 4/74/74/7 constant. Merely applying an ordinary maximin-share bound to the grand coalition does not establish the required subgroup inequalities. Chaudhury et al., pp. 15–17.

Formalization scope

Agents and goods are represented by Fin n and Fin m; Lean numbers agents from zero, and the paper's “agent 1” is an explicit source sss. Bundles are finite sets. Valuations are real-valued but include nonnegativity alongside additivity, representing the paper's codomain R≥0\mathbb R_{\ge0}R≥0​. The pool is computed from XXX, and the donated allocation is a function of XXX and sss. No independent pool or arbitrary completed allocation is allowed. Completeness is a conclusion. The maximin share is a finite maximum of finite minima over labelled partitions, which may have empty parts. Every use has a positive part count; in the GMMS definition this follows from i∈N′i\in N'i∈N′. Cardinality is converted to real numbers before fractions are formed. These choices exclude zero-part maximin shares and integer division. Chaudhury et al., pp. 3–5, 15–16.

The theorem is conditional on the EFX and pool-value properties of the source allocation, rather than repeating its existence proof. It states the conclusion for every such allocation and every source. The paper's half-optimal-Nash-social-welfare bullet is outside this mission because it invokes the separate black-box starting allocation of Lemma 12. Contributions toward finite-partition comparisons, EFX value bounds, and the groupwise estimate are welcome. Chaudhury et al., pp. 14–17.

Selected references

  • B. R. Chaudhury, T. Kavitha, K. Mehlhorn and A. Sgouritsa, A Little Charity Guarantees Almost Envy-Freeness, SIAM Journal on Computing, 2021. Formalization source: arXiv:1907.04596v3.
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CombinatoricsDiscrete Geometry·Captain: mikedeng1

Many Non-Equivalent Realizations of the Associahedron 4: For Every Seed Triangulation, Santos' Cones Form a Complete Simplicial Fan That Is the Normal Fan of a PolytopeResearch Paper

Motivation

An associahedron of dimension nnn is a simple polytope whose nonempty faces correspond, reversing inclusion, to the sets of pairwise non-crossing diagonals of a convex (n+3)(n+3)(n+3)-gon: its vertices are the triangulations of the polygon and its facets are the diagonals. Associahedra appear in the combinatorics of parenthesizations (Tamari, Stasheff), in the theory of cluster algebras of type AAA, where the Chapoton–Fomin–Zelevinsky construction realizes the cluster complex as the normal fan of a polytope, and in the study of secondary polytopes (Gelfand–Kapranov–Zelevinsky).

Many different polytopes realize the associahedron. Ceballos, Santos and Ziegler (arXiv:1109.5544v2) compare them up to normal isomorphism, a linear isomorphism of normal fans. One of the families they study, the "type II" family, is a construction of Santos presented at a conference in 2004 and first published in that paper (§5, pp. 18–23). It produces one associahedron for every triangulation T0T_0T0​ of the (n+3)(n+3)(n+3)-gon, the seed triangulation, and contains the Chapoton–Fomin–Zelevinsky associahedron as the case of the snake seed. This mission formalizes the statement that the construction works for every seed: Theorems 5.1 and 5.2 of the paper.

Setting

Let n≥0n \ge 0n≥0 and N=n+3N = n+3N=n+3, and number the vertices of a convex NNN-gon 0,1,…,N−10, 1, \dots, N-10,1,…,N−1 counterclockwise. A diagonal joins two non-adjacent vertices; two diagonals cross when their endpoints are distinct and alternate around the boundary; a triangulation is a maximal set of pairwise non-crossing diagonals, and has nnn elements. Two triangulations differ by a flip when T1∖T2={v1}T_1 \setminus T_2 = \{v_1\}T1​∖T2​={v1​} and T2∖T1={v2}T_2 \setminus T_1 = \{v_2\}T2​∖T1​={v2​}.

Fix a triangulation T0T_0T0​ and let V=RT0V = \mathbb R^{T_0}V=RT0​, with basis vectors αδ\alpha_\deltaαδ​, δ∈T0\delta \in T_0δ∈T0​. Santos' vectors (p. 19) are

vpq=−αδ  if pq=δ∈T0,vpq=∑δ∈T0, pq crosses δαδ  if pq∉T0.v_{pq} = -\alpha_\delta \ \text{ if } pq = \delta \in T_0, \qquad v_{pq} = \sum_{\delta \in T_0,\ pq \text{ crosses } \delta} \alpha_\delta \ \text{ if } pq \notin T_0.vpq​=−αδ​  if pq=δ∈T0​,vpq​=δ∈T0​, pq crosses δ∑​αδ​  if pq∈/T0​.

For a set DDD of diagonals, R≥0D\mathbb R_{\ge 0} DR≥0​D is the cone spanned by the vectors vev_eve​, e∈De \in De∈D. The fan FT0\mathcal F_{T_0}FT0​​ is the collection of the cones R≥0D\mathbb R_{\ge 0} DR≥0​D for all non-crossing sets DDD, the empty set giving {0}\{0\}{0}.

The cones R≥0T\mathbb R_{\ge 0}TR≥0​T of the triangulations form a complete simplicial fan when the vectors of each triangulation are linearly independent, every vector of VVV lies in one of these cones, and any two of them meet in the cone of their common diagonals.

For a polytope P⊆RT0P \subseteq \mathbb R^{T_0}P⊆RT0​ and x∈Px \in Px∈P, the exterior normal cone is NP(x)={c:⟨c,y⟩≤⟨c,x⟩ for all y∈P}N_P(x) = \{c : \langle c, y\rangle \le \langle c, x\rangle \text{ for all } y \in P\}NP​(x)={c:⟨c,y⟩≤⟨c,x⟩ for all y∈P}, where ⟨c,y⟩=∑δcδyδ\langle c, y\rangle = \sum_\delta c_\delta y_\delta⟨c,y⟩=∑δ​cδ​yδ​. The normal fan of PPP is the set of all NP(x)N_P(x)NP​(x), x∈Px \in Px∈P, one cone for each nonempty face (p. 5).

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorems 5.1 and 5.2 (p. 19)

For every triangulation T0T_0T0​ of the (n+3)(n+3)(n+3)-gon,

{R≥0T:T a triangulation} is a complete simplicial fan in V,andFT0={NP(x):x∈P} for some polytope P.\{\mathbb R_{\ge0} T : T \text{ a triangulation}\} \text{ is a complete simplicial fan in } V, \quad\text{and}\quad \mathcal F_{T_0} = \{N_P(x) : x \in P\} \text{ for some polytope } P.{R≥0​T:T a triangulation} is a complete simplicial fan in V,andFT0​​={NP​(x):x∈P} for some polytope P.

A polytope with normal fan FT0\mathcal F_{T_0}FT0​​ is an nnn-dimensional associahedron. The goal fixes no weights and no right-hand sides: it asserts only that some polytope has this normal fan.

Milestones

  1. Theorem 5.1 (p. 19): the cones of the triangulations form a complete simplicial fan.
  2. Assertion (1) of §5.1 (p. 20): R≥0T0\mathbb R_{\ge 0}T_0R≥0​T0​ is the closed negative orthant, a simplicial cone, and the only cone of FT0\mathcal F_{T_0}FT0​​ meeting the open negative orthant.
  3. Lemma 5.3 (p. 20), with assertion (2): if T1,T2T_1, T_2T1​,T2​ differ by a flip removing v1v_1v1​ and inserting v2v_2v2​, the vectors of T1∪T2T_1 \cup T_2T1​∪T2​ have a linear dependence with nonzero coefficients of the same sign at v1v_1v1​ and v2v_2v2​.
  4. Lemma 5.4 (p. 22): a complete simplicial fan of this kind is the normal fan of a polytope if and only if there are weights ω>0\omega > 0ω>0 on the generators such that ∑vλ(v)ω(v)>0\sum_v \lambda(v)\omega(v) > 0∑v​λ(v)ω(v)>0 for the dependence λ\lambdaλ of every pair of adjacent maximal cones, signed positively on the two flipped generators.
  5. The inequality of p. 23: gij=(j−i)(n+3+i−j)g_{ij} = (j-i)(n+3+i-j)gij​=(j−i)(n+3+i−j) satisfies gik+gjl>max⁡{gij+gkl,gil+gjk}g_{ik} + g_{jl} > \max\{g_{ij} + g_{kl}, g_{il} + g_{jk}\}gik​+gjl​>max{gij​+gkl​,gil​+gjk​} for 1≤i<j<k<l≤n+31 \le i < j < k < l \le n+31≤i<j<k<l≤n+3.
  6. The weights of pp. 22–23: for all sufficiently small ε>0\varepsilon > 0ε>0, ωij=2\omega_{ij} = 2ωij​=2 on T0T_0T0​ and ωij=1+εgij\omega_{ij} = 1 + \varepsilon g_{ij}ωij​=1+εgij​ off T0T_0T0​ satisfy the condition of Lemma 5.4.

Significance

Theorems 5.1 and 5.2 are what make Santos' family a family of associahedra at all. Every later statement of the paper about type II, including the classification up to normal isomorphism (Corollary 5.7: seeds agreeing up to rotation and reflection) and the identification of the Chapoton–Fomin–Zelevinsky associahedron as the only realization of both types (Theorem 6.1), compares the fans FT0\mathcal F_{T_0}FT0​​, and the word "associahedron" in them rests on these two theorems. The construction yields Catalan-many fans with facet normals in {0,±1}\{0, \pm 1\}{0,±1}-coordinates, and modulo rotations and reflections they are pairwise non-isomorphic.

The theorems are proved in the paper; to the best of a search of the Prove2Me catalogue, nothing about normal fans of polytopes, complete simplicial fans or associahedra has been formalized there, and Mathlib at the pinned revision has no notion of fan. The formalization would provide a machine-checked polytopality criterion for complete simplicial fans (Lemma 5.4), an explicit flip analysis of Santos' vectors (Lemma 5.3), and a polytopal realization of the associahedron for every seed.

Difficulty

Theorem 5.1 is not a direct computation. Linear independence of each triangulation and a sign condition for each flip do not by themselves make a fan; the paper combines them with assertion (1), a region covered by exactly one cone, and appeals to a covering criterion for vector configurations (De Loera–Rambau–Santos, Triangulations, Cor. 4.5.20, properties (ICoP) and (IPP)). A solver will likely need to formalize that criterion, or an equivalent argument that a pseudo-manifold of simplicial cones with these properties covers the space exactly once.

Lemma 5.3 requires a case analysis of how the seed triangulation meets the quadrilateral of a flip; the paper distinguishes four configurations, each with its own dependence (equations (4)–(7), p. 21), and showing that the four are exhaustive is itself a combinatorial statement about triangulations. Lemma 5.4 requires constructing a polytope from weights and identifying all of its normal cones, including the lower-dimensional ones, with the cones of the fan. Finally, the uniform constant ε0\varepsilon_0ε0​ has to work for all flips at once; for the dependence (4) the unperturbed weights (222 on T0T_0T0​, 111 elsewhere) give exactly zero, so a perturbation is unavoidable and must not spoil the other cases.

Formalization scope

Vertices of the polygon are Fin (n + 3), chords are Sym2 (Fin (n + 3)), and diagonals, crossing and triangulations are reused from the published definition ChvatalArtGallery.FanPartition.Triangulation. The space VVV is {d // d ∈ T₀} → ℝ, coordinate ddd being the coefficient of αd\alpha_dαd​. Cones are nonnegative hulls (PointedCone.hull ℝ). The fan contains every face, including {0}\{0\}{0}.

"Normal fan of a polytope" is encoded as: PPP is the convex hull of a finite set, and the set of cones equals {NP(x):x∈P}\{N_P(x) : x \in P\}{NP​(x):x∈P} with exterior normal cones, functionals identified with vectors by the coordinate pairing. Because {0}\{0\}{0} is a cone of FT0\mathcal F_{T_0}FT0​​, the polytope must be full-dimensional; a point, a lower-dimensional polytope, or "some polytope whose facet normals are the rays" does not satisfy the goal. The inner-normal convention would give the fan −FT0-\mathcal F_{T_0}−FT0​​, which is a different statement. The polytope is specified only through its normal fan, as in the paper.

Lemma 5.4 is stated for fans whose rays are indexed by the diagonals and whose maximal cones are the triangulations, the case in which the paper uses it; adjacent maximal cones are flip pairs. Lemma 5.3 requires the two coefficients to be strictly positive, as assertion (2) does, so the zero dependence is excluded. The ε of milestone 6 is quantified as ∃ε0>0 ∀ε∈(0,ε0)\exists \varepsilon_0 > 0\ \forall \varepsilon \in (0, \varepsilon_0)∃ε0​>0 ∀ε∈(0,ε0​). The weight ggg is computed on 0-based positions as (b−a)(n+3+a−b)(b-a)(n+3+a-b)(b−a)(n+3+a−b) for a<ba < ba<b, which equals the paper's 1-based gijg_{ij}gij​.

A complete development needs basic fan theory (simplicial cones, a covering criterion), the polar construction behind Lemma 5.4, and the flip case analysis. The first two are reusable beyond this mission, for any polytopality argument on simplicial fans. Contributions of general lemmas on simplicial cones and on normal cones of polytopes are welcome.

Selected references

  • C. Ceballos, F. Santos, G. M. Ziegler, Many non-equivalent realizations of the associahedron, Combinatorica 34 (2014); arXiv:1109.5544v2. https://arxiv.org/abs/1109.5544 — DOI 10.1007/s00493-014-2959-9
  • J. A. De Loera, J. Rambau, F. Santos, Triangulations: Structures for Algorithms and Applications, Springer, 2010. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-642-12971-1
  • F. Chapoton, S. Fomin, A. Zelevinsky, Polytopal realizations of generalized associahedra, Canad. Math. Bull. 45 (2002). https://arxiv.org/abs/math/0202004
  • G. M. Ziegler, Lectures on Polytopes, Springer GTM 152, 1995. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-1-4613-8431-1
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Linear algebraNumerical AnalysisProbability+1·Captain: mikedeng1

Low Rank Approximation and Regression in Input Sparsity Time 1: A Sparse Embedding Matrix with O((r/ε)⁴ log²(r/ε)) Rows Is a (1 ± ε) Subspace Embedding for a Rank-r Matrix with Probability 9/10Research Paper

Motivation

Many matrix algorithms spend most of their time reading their input. A matrix with few nonzero entries should admit routines whose cost scales with that number, rather than with the product of its dimensions. Clarkson and Woodruff study random maps that compress a matrix before a regression or low rank approximation calculation while retaining the geometric information those calculations need. Their sparse embedding has one nonzero entry per input coordinate, so applying it to a sparse matrix can be charged to the matrix's nonzero entries. The probability guarantee for its geometry is Theorem 11 of the preprint, the target of this mission.

The paper proves further results for faster regression and low rank approximation after sketching. Those applications use the subspace guarantee as an input. This mission concentrates on that guarantee and the statements in §3 that support it. The source is the 5 April 2013 arXiv version; theorem and page labels below refer to that version.

Setting

Fix a real matrix A∈Rn×dA\in\mathbb R^{n\times d}A∈Rn×d of rank rrr. Its column space is C(A)={Ax:x∈Rd}C(A)=\{Ax:x\in\mathbb R^d\}C(A)={Ax:x∈Rd}. A map S:Rn→RtS:\mathbb R^n\to\mathbb R^tS:Rn→Rt is a subspace embedding for AAA when it approximately preserves the length of every vector in C(A)C(A)C(A) simultaneously. The dimension rrr, rather than the number of rows nnn, controls the size required of the compressed space.

Here SSS is the sparse embedding matrix ΦD\Phi DΦD. Each input coordinate iii independently chooses one bucket h(i)∈[t]h(i)\in[t]h(i)∈[t] uniformly. The binary matrix Φ\PhiΦ has a 111 at (h(i),i)(h(i),i)(h(i),i) and zero elsewhere in column iii. Independently, DDD is diagonal with a fair sign +1+1+1 or −1-1−1 at each coordinate. Thus the output in bucket jjj is the signed sum of input coordinates assigned to jjj. The probability in this mission is over the joint, uniform choice of all bucket assignments and signs, with AAA fixed in advance. This is the construction in §2, p. 7.

For an orthonormal basis matrix U∈Rn×rU\in\mathbb R^{n\times r}U∈Rn×r of C(A)C(A)C(A), the leverage score of row iii is ui=∑j=1rUij2u_i=\sum_{j=1}^r U_{ij}^2ui​=∑j=1r​Uij2​. A threshold T>0T>0T>0 separates light coordinates, with ui≤Tu_i\le Tui​≤T, from heavy coordinates, with ui>Tu_i>Tui​>T. The paper describes this split after sorting rows by leverage; the threshold description selects the same coordinates and keeps the input's original order. The bucket event EhE_hEh​ bounds the sum of light leverage scores assigned to each bucket. The heavy event EBE_BEB​ says that distinct heavy coordinates receive distinct buckets. These are properties of hhh alone; the later concentration statements take probability over the independent signs after fixing a suitable hhh.

Formalization targets

Sparse subspace embedding

There is an absolute constant C>0C>0C>0 such that for every AAA of rank r≥1r\ge1r≥1, every 0<ε≤1/20<\varepsilon\le1/20<ε≤1/2, and every integer t≥C(r/ε)4log⁡2(r/ε)t\ge C(r/\varepsilon)^4\log^2(r/\varepsilon)t≥C(r/ε)4log2(r/ε),

Pr⁡h,D ⁣[∀y∈C(A),∣∥ΦDy∥22−∥y∥22∣≤ε∥y∥22]≥910.\Pr_{h,D}\!\left[ \forall y\in C(A),\quad \bigl|\|\Phi Dy\|_2^2-\|y\|_2^2\bigr| \le\varepsilon\|y\|_2^2 \right]\ge\frac9{10}.h,DPr​[∀y∈C(A),​∥ΦDy∥22​−∥y∥22​​≤ε∥y∥22​]≥109​.

The event contains the universal quantifier over yyy: one draw must work for the whole column space. The squared-norm estimate implies the norm formulation printed in Theorem 11, p. 11 on this range of ε\varepsilonε. The paper gives its proof in §3, pp. 7–11.

Supporting targets

The milestone list follows the paper's statements: a coordinate bound from §3.1; the weighted bucket estimate of Lemma 2; light-coordinate concentration in Lemma 3; the collision and exact-preservation statement of Lemma 5; the heavy-light cross-term estimate in Lemma 6; fixed-vector preservation in Lemma 7; and the passage to the whole subspace in Lemma 8. Their distinct probability spaces matter. Lemmas 2 and 5 concern bucket assignments, Lemmas 3, 6, and 7 concern signs for a fixed suitable assignment, and Lemma 8 is a general statement about a random linear map.

Significance

Theorem 11 gives a single compact random matrix that retains the Euclidean geometry of every vector in a specified rank-rrr column space with probability at least 9/109/109/10. It supports sketch-and-solve algorithms: a computation performed on ΦDA\Phi DAΦDA can use a much smaller row dimension while reasoning about the original column space. The construction also has exactly one nonzero per column, the structural fact behind its input-sparsity running time. The running-time bound is stated in the paper, but this mission's Lean target concerns the mathematical norm guarantee.

The paper already proves the theorem; the open work here is a machine-checked development of its statement and proof. The finite probability model, explicit squared norms, leverage scores, and bucket events can support later formalizations of other sparse sketching results. No machine-checked proof of Theorem 11 is claimed by this proposal. A complete development may reuse proved concentration inequalities from Mathlib or the platform, but the cited inequalities need their hypotheses checked against the finite-sign and weighted-bucket models used here.

Difficulty

A fixed-vector estimate does not itself imply that one random sketch works for all vectors of an uncountable subspace: the quantifier cannot simply be moved through the probability. Collisions also have different effects on high- and low-leverage coordinates. Heavy coordinates need a no-collision event; light coordinates can share buckets only while their total bucket weight remains controlled. The paper's statements keep these events and probability spaces separate. The final whole-subspace claim requires a uniform estimate whose failure probability accounts for the dimension rrr.

Formalization scope

Vectors are functions Fin n → ℝ, matrices are finite real matrices, and ∥v∥22\|v\|_2^2∥v∥22​ and ∥M∥F2\|M\|_F^2∥M∥F2​ are explicit sums of coordinate squares. The sample space is the product of all bucket maps and all Boolean sign assignments, with counting probability. Every theorem with a freely chosen bucket count assumes t>0t>0t>0; otherwise a Fin 0 sample space could make division by its cardinality meaningless. The theorem's size threshold forces this automatically when r≥1r\ge1r≥1 and 0<ε≤1/20<\varepsilon\le1/20<ε≤1/2. Matrix rank is Mathlib's matrix rank.

The formalization fixes 0<ε≤1/20<\varepsilon\le1/20<ε≤1/2 in Theorem 11. The upper bound prevents the logarithmic size expression from degenerating near r=ε=1r=\varepsilon=1r=ε=1, and r≥1r\ge1r≥1 keeps its logarithm and division meaningful. Positive TTT and WWW are explicit where needed; Lemma 6 restricts δC≤e−1\delta_C\le e^{-1}δC​≤e−1. The heavy/light split uses leverage thresholds rather than a row permutation, and constants described as absolute are quantified before every dimension, matrix, error, and failure parameter. In particular, Theorem 11's event quantifies over all xxx inside the probability, while Lemma 7 fixes yyy before sampling signs. These choices exclude degenerate distributions, vacuous error ranges, and a fixed-vector claim masquerading as the goal.

The refined ttt clause at the end of Theorem 11 is left out: its printed s2/30s^2/30s2/30 conflicts with the proof's collision requirement 30s230s^230s2, and its threshold parameter is not fixed in the claim. Lemma 1 and the cited Hanson–Wright moment result, Theorem 4, are proof tools outside this proposal's milestone set. Contributions that formalize those tools faithfully, prove the bucket and sign estimates, or connect the finite model to existing probability libraries are useful for the goal.

Selected references

  • Kenneth L. Clarkson and David P. Woodruff, Low Rank Approximation and Regression in Input Sparsity Time, arXiv:1207.6365v4, 2013. Preprint.
9 thms2 active usersReviewed
Algorithmic Game TheoryOperations ResearchOptimization·Captain: mikedeng1

A game-theoretic approach to computation offloading in mobile cloud computing III: Variational Solutions Are the Nash Equilibria of the Extended Cloudlet-Pricing GameResearch Paper

Why a cloudlet price matters

Mobile devices can divide work between local execution, a nearby shared cloudlet, and a remote cloud. A cloudlet has limited capacity, so one user's choice changes the delay faced by the others. Cardellini and coauthors model this as a generalized Nash equilibrium problem, in which each user's feasible choices depend on the aggregate cloudlet load. The shared utilization cap makes a direct distributed solution awkward: a user must know how much capacity all other users consume before choosing a feasible deviation. The paper therefore introduces an additional player who sets a cloudlet price. This mission formalizes the relationship between the original coupled game and that extended, ordinary Nash game Cardellini et al., accepted manuscript, pp. 10–16.

The offloading game

There are NNN users and nnn cloudlet servers. User uuu chooses fractions xu,mx_{u,m}xu,m​, xu,cletx_{u,\mathrm{clet}}xu,clet​, and xu,cloudx_{u,\mathrm{cloud}}xu,cloud​ for local, cloudlet, and remote-cloud execution. These fractions are nonnegative and sum to one. At most a fraction χ\chiχ can be offloaded, and a user-specific linear power constraint applies. The set K~u\widetilde K_uKu​ contains these private feasible choices. The cloudlet load and the shared feasible set are

L(x)=1n∑u=1Nδuxu,clet,Ω={x:L(x)≤Umax⁡},K=(∏u=1NK~u)∩Ω.L(x)=\frac1n\sum_{u=1}^{N}\delta_u x_{u,\mathrm{clet}},\qquad \Omega=\{x:L(x)\le U_{\max}\},\qquad K=\left(\prod_{u=1}^{N}\widetilde K_u\right)\cap\Omega.L(x)=n1​u=1∑N​δu​xu,clet​,Ω={x:L(x)≤Umax​},K=(u=1∏N​Ku​)∩Ω.

Each user's cost λuRu\lambda_u R_uλu​Ru​ is the response-time expression on p. 10, with coefficients αu,βu,γu,δu\alpha_u,\beta_u,\gamma_u,\delta_uαu​,βu​,γu​,δu​. The VI map FFF is the stack of the user's partial gradients, written in closed form on p. 11. A variational solution xˉ\bar xxˉ belongs to KKK and satisfies ⟨F(xˉ),x−xˉ⟩≥0\langle F(\bar x),x-\bar x\rangle\ge0⟨F(xˉ),x−xˉ⟩≥0 for every x∈Kx\in Kx∈K. The pairing sums all three coordinates for each user. Section 5 assumes 0<Umax⁡<10<U_{\max}<10<Umax​<1 and 0<αu,δu<10<\alpha_u,\delta_u<10<αu​,δu​<1 for every user; the model also has n>0n>0n>0 and 0<χ≤10<\chi\le10<χ≤1 Cardellini et al., pp. 7, 9–11.

The extended game replaces the joint cap in each user's feasible set by a price. User uuu minimizes λuRu(x)+ρ(δu/n)xu,clet\lambda_uR_u(x)+\rho(\delta_u/n)x_{u,\mathrm{clet}}λu​Ru​(x)+ρ(δu​/n)xu,clet​ over K~u\widetilde K_uKu​. A cloudlet manager chooses ρ≥0\rho\ge0ρ≥0 to maximize ρ(L(x)−Umax⁡)\rho(L(x)-U_{\max})ρ(L(x)−Umax​). The manager's choice is part of the Nash equilibrium condition, not a preimposed complementary-slackness equation. The extended game's VI set is Ke=(∏uK~u)×R+K_e=(\prod_u\widetilde K_u)\times\mathbb R_+Ke​=(∏u​Ku​)×R+​ and its map is Fe(x,ρ)=(F(x)+price⁡(ρ),Umax⁡−L(x))F_e(x,\rho)=(F(x)+\operatorname{price}(\rho),U_{\max}-L(x))Fe​(x,ρ)=(F(x)+price(ρ),Umax​−L(x)) Cardellini et al., p. 15.

Formalization targets

The goal is the two-part assertion of Theorem 2. Under the standing assumptions and a strict load bound on the full product of private feasible sets, its equilibrium characterization is

xˉ∈SOL⁡(K,F)⟺∃ρˉ,  (xˉ,ρˉ)∈NE⁡ext.\bar x\in\operatorname{SOL}(K,F) \quad\Longleftrightarrow\quad \exists\bar\rho,\; (\bar x,\bar\rho)\in\operatorname{NE}_{\mathrm{ext}}.xˉ∈SOL(K,F)⟺∃ρˉ​,(xˉ,ρˉ​)∈NEext​.

The same goal states that monotonicity of FFF on ∏uK~u\prod_u\widetilde K_u∏u​Ku​ implies monotonicity of FeF_eFe​ on KeK_eKe​. The three milestones follow the paper's path: the extended Nash game is equivalent to its VI; the shared affine constraint has a scalar multiplier at a VI solution; and the price-load coupling cancels in the monotonicity pairing. The source states the first as a classical result and gives the last two in its proof Cardellini et al., pp. 15–16.

What the result provides

The characterization lets a variational solution of a game with coupled feasible sets be found as an equilibrium of a game whose NNN users have separate feasible sets. The additional scalar has a concrete interpretation: it is the multiplier of the shared cloudlet-utilization cap. The monotonicity assertion connects the paper's analysis of the original VI to methods for the extended one. The paper uses this relationship as the entry point for its distributed algorithms in the next section Cardellini et al., pp. 16–17.

The result is proved in the paper but is not yet machine checked in this mission. A complete development would give reusable Lean interfaces for a finite-dimensional VI on an intersection of a product polytope and one affine half-space, a multiplier characterization for that intersection, and an equilibrium-to-VI conversion for separable player constraints. Those components could support other capacity-sharing games. The theorem drafts remain proof obligations; the definitions compile locally.

Where the proof is delicate

A Nash equilibrium requires each user to be optimal against every privately feasible deviation, including deviations that violate the original shared cap. Consequently, the user's cloudlet cost must remain well defined throughout K~u\widetilde K_uKu​ for the equivalence to hold. A load bound only on KKK does not cover those deviations. The multiplier comparison must also account for the manager's maximization condition and the sign of the load term in FeF_eFe​. For monotonicity, FeF_eFe​ evaluates FFF on the whole product ∏uK~u\prod_u\widetilde K_u∏u​Ku​, a larger domain than KKK. These domain distinctions explain why the statement needs two explicit repairs to the printed theorem Cardellini et al., pp. 15–16.

Formalization scope

Lean represents the users as Fin N and the three processing locations as a finite tier type. Indices therefore start at zero. The costs, the map FFF, the private sets, Ω\OmegaΩ, and KKK are separate definitions. The Euclidean pairing is written as a finite sum; no Pi-type sup norm is used. The extended Nash predicate quantifies over user deviations in K~u\widetilde K_uKu​ and over every nonnegative manager price. The VI predicates are in their own module so the game is not built into their meaning. The theorem's statement remains meaningful at N=0N=0N=0; no positive-user hypothesis is added to Section 5's assumptions.

The first repair requires L(x)<1L(x)<1L(x)<1 at every x∈∏uK~ux\in\prod_u\widetilde K_ux∈∏u​Ku​. The paper's Theorem 1 condition (18) implies this bound, but is stronger than needed. Without the bound, a private deviation can cross the pole of δuxu,clet/(1−L(x))\delta_u x_{u,\mathrm{clet}}/(1-L(x))δu​xu,clet​/(1−L(x)); Lean's total division then assigns a value at a zero denominator even though the paper's cost has none. In a two-user instance with n=1n=1n=1, δu=0.9\delta_u=0.9δu​=0.9 and Umax⁡=0.5U_{\max}=0.5Umax​=0.5, the pole can lie within one user's private feasible interval. The second repair reads “the original game is monotone” on ∏uK~u\prod_u\widetilde K_u∏u​Ku​, because that is precisely the xxx-domain of KeK_eKe​. Monotonicity on KKK alone is insufficient. Both repairs are disclosed in the item notes, and the source wording remains visible in the milestone quotations.

An empty KKK would make a solution statement vacuous; the formal development should retain concrete feasible parameter instances. The map FFF is the paper's displayed formula, rather than a derivative chosen to make a milestone tautological. The VI uses all user coordinates, and the extended game does not silently reinstate the shared constraint in user deviations. Contributions toward the stated multiplier theorem, Nash-to-VI equivalence, and the cancellation identity are welcome, along with reusable finite-dimensional convex-analysis lemmas.

Selected references

  • V. Cardellini, V. De Nitto Personé, V. Di Valerio, F. Facchinei, V. Grassi, F. Lo Presti, and V. Piccialli, A game-theoretic approach to computation offloading in mobile cloud computing, accepted manuscript for Mathematical Programming, 2015, DOI 10.1007/s10107-015-0881-6.
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Algorithmic Game TheoryCombinatoricsOperations Research·Captain: mikedeng1

A Little Charity Guarantees Almost Envy-Freeness I: Under Monotone Valuations an EFX Allocation Exists Whose Unenvied Pool Has Fewer Goods Than There Are Unenvied AgentsResearch Paper

Motivation

Allocating indivisible goods fairly is difficult because a single good can change how an agent compares two bundles. Exact envy-freeness can be impossible (one good, two agents), so the field works with relaxations. Envy-freeness up to any good (EFX) requires each agent to prefer her own bundle to every other agent's bundle after any one good of that other bundle is removed. Whether EFX allocations of all goods always exist is open; the question motivates weakening the requirement that every good be assigned, and asking how little must be left over. Chaudhury, Kavitha, Mehlhorn and Sgouritsa show that leaving a small, unenvied set of goods unallocated (donated to "charity") suffices for every normalized monotone valuation profile (arXiv:1907.04596v3, Theorem 8, pp. 11–12).

Timeline (as recounted on pp. 2–3 of the source):

  • 2004: Lipton, Markakis, Mossel and Saberi introduce the envy-graph and cycle-elimination technique and compute allocations now called EF1 (DOI 10.1145/988772.988792).
  • 2016: Caragiannis, Kurokawa, Moulin, Procaccia, Shah and Wang define EFX (DOI 10.1145/2940716.2940726).
  • 2018: Plaut and Roughgarden prove EFX allocations of all goods exist for two agents, or for any number of agents with identical valuations (arXiv:1707.04769).
  • 2019: Caragiannis, Gravin and Huang introduce EFX with charity: a partial EFX allocation in which each agent gets at least half her value in a Nash-optimal allocation, with no bound on the number or value of donated goods (arXiv:1902.04319).
  • 2020: Chaudhury, Garg and Mehlhorn prove existence of complete EFX allocations for three agents with additive valuations (arXiv:2002.05119).
  • 2020/2021: the present paper bounds the charity: fewer goods than unenvied agents, and no agent envies the donated set. Its SODA 2020 version assumed gross-substitute valuations; the journal version (arXiv v3) needs only normalized monotone valuations (p. 8, §1.4).

The two bounds matter separately. The empty allocation is EFX and donates everything; a cardinality bound alone still lets the donated goods carry most of an agent's value; the value bound alone allows almost all goods to be donated. The paper's later maximin-share and groupwise-maximin-share guarantees (Theorems 14 and 16, treated in the next missions of this series) are derived from exactly the allocation produced here.

Setting

There are n≥1n\ge1n≥1 agents, indexed by N={1,…,n}N=\{1,\ldots,n\}N={1,…,n} in the paper, and a finite set MMM of mmm indivisible goods. Agent iii has a valuation vi:2M→R≥0v_i:2^M\to\mathbb R_{\ge0}vi​:2M→R≥0​. It is normalized if vi(∅)=0v_i(\varnothing)=0vi​(∅)=0 and monotone if S⊆TS\subseteq TS⊆T implies vi(S)≤vi(T)v_i(S)\le v_i(T)vi​(S)≤vi​(T). No additivity, submodularity or substitutes condition is assumed. These are the general valuations of §1.1.1, p. 3, and §2 of the source.

A partial allocation X=(Xi)i∈NX=(X_i)_{i\in N}X=(Xi​)i∈N​ consists of pairwise disjoint bundles Xi⊆MX_i\subseteq MXi​⊆M. Its pool is the goods not assigned to anyone,

P(X)=M∖⋃i∈NXi.P(X)=M\setminus\bigcup_{i\in N}X_i.P(X)=M∖i∈N⋃​Xi​.

The allocation is EFX when

vi(Xj∖{g})≤vi(Xi)for all i,j∈N and every g∈Xj.v_i(X_j\setminus\{g\})\le v_i(X_i) \qquad\text{for all }i,j\in N\text{ and every }g\in X_j.vi​(Xj​∖{g})≤vi​(Xi​)for all i,j∈N and every g∈Xj​.

The paper calls allocations partial by default (p. 3, footnote 5). The envy graph GXG_XGX​ has the agents as vertices and an edge i→ji\to ji→j when vi(Xi)<vi(Xj)v_i(X_i)<v_i(X_j)vi​(Xi​)<vi​(Xj​). A source is a vertex with no incoming edge. Its reachability component C(s)C(s)C(s) includes sss itself. The social welfare of XXX is ϕ(X)=∑ivi(Xi)\phi(X)=\sum_i v_i(X_i)ϕ(X)=∑i​vi​(Xi​). These notions are introduced on pp. 8–9 of the source.

For a set SSS of goods, an envied set is one some agent values more than her own bundle. An inclusion-wise minimal envied subset ZZZ is envied, but no strict subset of ZZZ is envied by anyone. An agent who envies such a ZZZ is a most envious agent of SSS; the paper allows ties. The three update rules U0, U1 and U2 use these sets to change an allocation while maintaining EFX (Definition 3 and Algorithm 2, p. 9).

Formalization targets

The goal is the allocation guarantee of Theorem 8:

∃X partial:X is EFX,vi(P(X))≤vi(Xi) (i∈N),∣P(X)∣<∣sources⁡(GX)∣≤n.\exists X\text{ partial}:\quad X\text{ is EFX},\qquad v_i(P(X))\le v_i(X_i)\ (i\in N),\qquad |P(X)|<|\operatorname{sources}(G_X)|\le n.∃X partial:X is EFX,vi​(P(X))≤vi​(Xi​) (i∈N),∣P(X)∣<∣sources(GX​)∣≤n.

Both the stronger source-count bound and its consequence ∣P(X)∣<n|P(X)|<n∣P(X)∣<n are stated. The theorem asserts existence for every normalized, monotone valuation profile, including nonadditive profiles. It does not require the returned envy graph to be acyclic; acyclicity is an invariant used during construction, rather than an additional advertised property of the final allocation.

The attack path consists of the paper's numbered Lemmas 2, 4, 5, 6 and 7. Lemma 2 concerns removal of envy cycles; its Lean form keeps the page's conditional "if XXX is EFX then X′X'X′ is EFX" and the unconditional strict welfare increase. Lemma 4 records what U0 does and what its failure implies. Lemma 5 records U1's welfare and EFX guarantees. Lemma 6 supplies the finite source, good and agent data required for U2. Lemma 7 states U2's welfare and EFX guarantees. Their source wording and page locations appear in the milestone list; the Lean statements include the exact allocation updates where those lemmas rely on them.

Significance

The theorem guarantees a partial EFX allocation even for general monotone valuations, while limiting the unallocated pool more tightly than the number of agents: its size is below the number of unenvied agents. Every agent also values that entire pool no more than her own bundle. These two bounds distinguish the allocation from a merely EFX partial allocation. They provide the starting point for the paper's later statements on approximate maximin shares under additive valuations (Theorems 14 and 16).

The mathematical result is proved in the paper. The mission asks for a machine-checked proof of its allocation guarantee and of the supporting lemmas, with a reusable Lean account of finite partial allocations, the unallocated pool, envy graphs, minimal envied subsets and the update rules. Such definitions are useful for other fair-division questions involving unallocated indivisible goods.

Difficulty

EFX must hold after the allocation is changed, for every agent pair and for removal of every good from the other agent's new bundle. Simply giving a pool good to an agent may violate that condition, even though it makes the pool smaller. Conversely, replacing a bundle with an envied subset can improve welfare while returning goods to the pool. The source-count bound depends on controlling both kinds of progress. Rule U2 adds a further complication: its bundle moves follow envy paths, so an overlap between selected paths would make the new allocation ambiguous. These are the points at which the straightforward approach of distributing the remaining goods one at a time stops working.

Formalization scope

Lean represents agents by Fin n, goods by Fin m, bundles by finite sets of goods, and valuations by real-valued functions on bundles. The paper's one-based subscripts become zero-based Lean indices. Nonnegative values need no separate hypothesis: normalization and monotonicity imply them. The hypothesis n>0n>0n>0 is explicit because the paper presumes agents and the strict bound ∣P∣<n|P|<n∣P∣<n is false when n=0n=0n=0. The pool is computed as the complement of the union of pairwise disjoint assigned bundles. It is never a free set. EFX ranges over every pair i,ji,ji,j, including i=ji=ji=j, and every good of XjX_jXj​.

The minimal-envied-subset definition checks every strict subset against every agent. The most envious agent is a relation, allowing the paper's arbitrary tie choice. Reachability includes a path of length zero. U2's new allocation is calculated from its paths and chosen subsets. Lemma 6 includes Algorithm 1's acyclic-graph invariant and the ordering property established in its proof. It replaces the printed threshold ∣P∣≥n|P|\ge n∣P∣≥n with ∣P∣≥∣sources⁡(GX)∣|P|\ge|\operatorname{sources}(G_X)|∣P∣≥∣sources(GX​)∣, the exact number of fresh goods its construction needs and the threshold used by the goal. Lemma 7 takes that ordering property to make path assignments unambiguous.

The printed U2 pool expression in Algorithm 2, line 13, is malformed; the formal statement uses the pool of the constructed allocation and the corrected union of leftover goods. Theorem 8's final sentence also asserts an nmV/ΔnmV/\DeltanmV/Δ iteration bound. This mission poses the allocation conclusions, while a future run-level formalization would be needed to state and check the iteration count. The paper's preceding count of U1/U2 steps and successive U0 steps does not by itself imply the printed number. Definitions and the numbered lemma statements are welcome contributions; a purported proof that uses a free empty pool, overlapping bundles, zero agents or an arbitrary replacement allocation would not establish this target.

Selected references

  • B. R. Chaudhury, T. Kavitha, K. Mehlhorn and A. Sgouritsa, A Little Charity Guarantees Almost Envy-Freeness, arXiv:1907.04596v3, 2020; published in SIAM Journal on Computing, 2021. Pinned preprint.
  • R. J. Lipton, E. Markakis, E. Mossel and A. Saberi, On approximately fair allocations of indivisible goods, ACM EC 2004. https://doi.org/10.1145/988772.988792
  • I. Caragiannis, D. Kurokawa, H. Moulin, A. D. Procaccia, N. Shah and J. Wang, The unreasonable fairness of maximum Nash welfare, ACM EC 2016. https://doi.org/10.1145/2940716.2940726
  • B. Plaut and T. Roughgarden, Almost envy-freeness with general valuations, SODA 2018. https://arxiv.org/abs/1707.04769
  • I. Caragiannis, N. Gravin and X. Huang, Envy-freeness up to any item with high Nash welfare: the virtue of donating items, ACM EC 2019. https://arxiv.org/abs/1902.04319
  • B. R. Chaudhury, J. Garg and K. Mehlhorn, EFX exists for three agents, ACM EC 2020. https://arxiv.org/abs/2002.05119
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ProbabilityStatistics·Captain: mikedeng1

Central Limit Theorems and Bootstrap in High Dimensions 2: Gaussian Multiplier Bootstrap for Simple Convex Sets with Error C[Δ̄ₙ^{1/3} log^{2/3}(pn) + n⁻¹ log^{1/2}(pn)]Research Paper

Motivation

Many procedures in high-dimensional statistics reduce to computing the probability that a normalized sum of independent random vectors falls into a set: simultaneous confidence intervals for many means, max-type tests, multiple testing with family-wise error control, and inference after model selection. When the dimension ppp is comparable to or much larger than the sample size nnn, these probabilities are approximated by those of a Gaussian vector with the same covariance, the high-dimensional central limit theorem. That Gaussian law is not available in practice, because its covariance matrix is unknown. The Gaussian multiplier bootstrap replaces it by a Gaussian vector built from the data, whose covariance is the sample covariance, and simulates from it.

Chernozhukov, Chetverikov and Kato, Central limit theorems and bootstrap in high dimensions (Ann. Probab. 45 (2017)), prove that this bootstrap is valid uniformly over hyperrectangles and over simple convex sets (sets sandwiched between a polytope with polynomially many facets and its small enlargement), with error depending on ppp only through log⁡p\log plogp. This mission formalizes their abstract multiplier bootstrap theorem, Theorem 4.1.

Timeline:

  • 2013: the same authors prove Gaussian approximation and multiplier bootstrap validity for maxima of sums of high-dimensional vectors (Ann. Statist. 41 (2013)).
  • 2015: comparison and anti-concentration bounds for maxima of Gaussian vectors (Probab. Theory Related Fields 162 (2015)), reference [20] of the paper; its Theorem 1 is the Gaussian-to-Gaussian comparison used here.
  • 2017: the present paper extends both the CLT and the bootstrap from maxima to hyperrectangles and simple convex sets.

Setting

Let n≥4n\ge4n≥4 and p≥3p\ge3p≥3. Let X1,…,XnX_1,\dots,X_nX1​,…,Xn​ be independent random vectors in Rp\mathbb R^pRp with coordinates XijX_{ij}Xij​, centred (E[Xij]=0\mathrm E[X_{ij}]=0E[Xij​]=0) with E[Xij2]<∞\mathrm E[X_{ij}^2]<\inftyE[Xij2​]<∞. Let Y1,…,YnY_1,\dots,Y_nY1​,…,Yn​ be independent Gaussian vectors with Yi∼N(0,E[XiXi′])Y_i\sim N(0,\mathrm E[X_iX_i'])Yi​∼N(0,E[Xi​Xi′​]) and set

SnY=1n∑i=1nYi.S_n^Y=\frac1{\sqrt n}\sum_{i=1}^nY_i .SnY​=n​1​i=1∑n​Yi​.

The multiplier bootstrap: let e1,…,ene_1,\dots,e_ne1​,…,en​ be i.i.d. N(0,1)N(0,1)N(0,1), independent of the data X1n={X1,…,Xn}X_1^n=\{X_1,\dots,X_n\}X1n​={X1​,…,Xn​}, let Xˉ=n−1∑iXi\bar X=n^{-1}\sum_iX_iXˉ=n−1∑i​Xi​, and

SneX=1n∑i=1nei(Xi−Xˉ).S_n^{eX}=\frac1{\sqrt n}\sum_{i=1}^ne_i(X_i-\bar X).SneX​=n​1​i=1∑n​ei​(Xi​−Xˉ).

Given the data, SneXS_n^{eX}SneX​ is Gaussian with covariance Σ^=n−1∑i(Xi−Xˉ)(Xi−Xˉ)′\widehat\Sigma=n^{-1}\sum_i(X_i-\bar X)(X_i-\bar X)'Σ=n−1∑i​(Xi​−Xˉ)(Xi​−Xˉ)′, while SnYS_n^YSnY​ has covariance Σ=n−1∑iE[XiXi′]\Sigma=n^{-1}\sum_i\mathrm E[X_iX_i']Σ=n−1∑i​E[Xi​Xi′​].

A hyperrectangle is a set {w:aj≤wj≤bj ∀j}\{w:a_j\le w_j\le b_j\ \forall j\}{w:aj​≤wj​≤bj​ ∀j} with −∞≤aj≤bj≤∞-\infty\le a_j\le b_j\le\infty−∞≤aj​≤bj​≤∞. For a finite set V\mathcal VV of unit vectors and thresholds s(v)s(v)s(v), the polyhedron Am=⋂v∈V{w:w′v≤s(v)}A^m=\bigcap_{v\in\mathcal V}\{w:w'v\le s(v)\}Am=⋂v∈V​{w:w′v≤s(v)} has the enlargement Am,ϵ=⋂v∈V{w:w′v≤s(v)+ϵ}A^{m,\epsilon}=\bigcap_{v\in\mathcal V}\{w:w'v\le s(v)+\epsilon\}Am,ϵ=⋂v∈V​{w:w′v≤s(v)+ϵ}. For constants a,d>0a,d>0a,d>0, a Borel set AAA satisfies condition (C) if Am⊆A⊆Am,a/nA^m\subseteq A\subseteq A^{m,a/n}Am⊆A⊆Am,a/n for some such polyhedron with m≤(pn)dm\le(pn)^dm≤(pn)d facets; Am(A)A^m(A)Am(A) denotes this polyhedron and V(Am)\mathcal V(A^m)V(Am) its normals. Condition (M.1′) with constant b>0b>0b>0 asks n−1∑iE[(v′Xi)2]≥bn^{-1}\sum_i\mathrm E[(v'X_i)^2]\ge bn−1∑i​E[(v′Xi​)2]≥b for every v∈V(Am)v\in\mathcal V(A^m)v∈V(Am). Finally,

Δn(A)=sup⁡A∈Amax⁡v1,v2∈V(Am(A))∣v1′(Σ^−Σ)v2∣,Δn,r=max⁡j,k∣Σ^jk−Σjk∣.\Delta_n(\mathcal A)=\sup_{A\in\mathcal A}\max_{v_1,v_2\in\mathcal V(A^m(A))}\big|v_1'(\widehat\Sigma-\Sigma)v_2\big|,\qquad \Delta_{n,r}=\max_{j,k}|\widehat\Sigma_{jk}-\Sigma_{jk}| .Δn​(A)=A∈Asup​v1​,v2​∈V(Am(A))max​​v1′​(Σ−Σ)v2​​,Δn,r​=j,kmax​∣Σjk​−Σjk​∣.

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem 4.1

Let A\mathcal AA be a class of sets satisfying (C) and (M.1′). There is CCC depending only on a,b,da,b,da,b,d such that for every Δˉn>0\bar\Delta_n>0Δˉn​>0, on the event Δn(A)≤Δˉn\Delta_n(\mathcal A)\le\bar\Delta_nΔn​(A)≤Δˉn​,

ρnMB(A)=sup⁡A∈A∣P(SneX∈A∣X1n)−P(SnY∈A)∣≤C{Δˉn1/3log⁡2/3(pn)+n−1log⁡1/2(pn)}.\rho_n^{MB}(\mathcal A)=\sup_{A\in\mathcal A}\big|P(S_n^{eX}\in A\mid X_1^n)-P(S_n^Y\in A)\big|\le C\big\{\bar\Delta_n^{1/3}\log^{2/3}(pn)+n^{-1}\log^{1/2}(pn)\big\}.ρnMB​(A)=A∈Asup​​P(SneX​∈A∣X1n​)−P(SnY​∈A)​≤C{Δˉn1/3​log2/3(pn)+n−1log1/2(pn)}.

The theorem is deterministic in the data: it holds at every realization on the event, and turning it into a rate requires only a bound on Δn(A)\Delta_n(\mathcal A)Δn​(A).

Milestones

In the order of the proof (App. E.2, p. 2342):

  1. Conditional Gaussianity: given X1nX_1^nX1n​, SneX∼N(0,Σ^)S_n^{eX}\sim N(0,\widehat\Sigma)SneX​∼N(0,Σ).
  2. Display (21): 0≤Fβ(w)−max⁡j(wj−yj)≤β−1log⁡p0\le F_\beta(w)-\max_j(w_j-y_j)\le\beta^{-1}\log p0≤Fβ​(w)−maxj​(wj​−yj​)≤β−1logp for the smooth max Fβ(w)=β−1log⁡∑jeβ(wj−yj)F_\beta(w)=\beta^{-1}\log\sum_je^{\beta(w_j-y_j)}Fβ​(w)=β−1log∑j​eβ(wj​−yj​).
  3. The comparison display ∣E[g(Fβ(SneX))∣X1n]−E[g(Fβ(SnY))]∣≤(∥g′′∥∞/2+β∥g′∥∞)Δn,r|\mathrm E[g(F_\beta(S^{eX}_n))\mid X_1^n]-\mathrm E[g(F_\beta(S^Y_n))]|\le(\|g''\|_\infty/2+\beta\|g'\|_\infty)\Delta_{n,r}∣E[g(Fβ​(SneX​))∣X1n​]−E[g(Fβ​(SnY​))]∣≤(∥g′′∥∞​/2+β∥g′∥∞​)Δn,r​.
  4. Lemma A.1 (Nazarov's inequality): P(Y≤y+a)−P(Y≤y)≤Calog⁡pP(Y\le y+a)-P(Y\le y)\le Ca\sqrt{\log p}P(Y≤y+a)−P(Y≤y)≤Calogp​ for a centred Gaussian YYY with variances at least bbb.
  5. The smoothed step: ∣P(SneX≤y−ϕ−1∣X1n)−P(SnY≤y−ϕ−1)∣≤C{ϕ−1log⁡1/2p+(ϕ2+βϕ)Δn,r}|P(S^{eX}_n\le y-\phi^{-1}\mid X_1^n)-P(S^Y_n\le y-\phi^{-1})|\le C\{\phi^{-1}\log^{1/2}p+(\phi^2+\beta\phi)\Delta_{n,r}\}∣P(SneX​≤y−ϕ−1∣X1n​)−P(SnY​≤y−ϕ−1)∣≤C{ϕ−1log1/2p+(ϕ2+βϕ)Δn,r​} with β=ϕlog⁡p\beta=\phi\log pβ=ϕlogp.
  6. Display (39): sup⁡y∣P(SneX≤y∣X1n)−P(SnY≤y)∣≤CΔn,r1/3log⁡2/3p\sup_y|P(S^{eX}_n\le y\mid X_1^n)-P(S^Y_n\le y)|\le C\Delta_{n,r}^{1/3}\log^{2/3}psupy​∣P(SneX​≤y∣X1n​)−P(SnY​≤y)∣≤CΔn,r1/3​log2/3p under (M.1): n−1∑iE[Xij2]≥bn^{-1}\sum_i\mathrm E[X_{ij}^2]\ge bn−1∑i​E[Xij2​]≥b.
  7. Remark 4.1 = (38): ρnMB(Are)≤CΔˉn1/3log⁡2/3p\rho_n^{MB}(\mathcal A^{re})\le C\bar\Delta_n^{1/3}\log^{2/3}pρnMB​(Are)≤CΔˉn1/3​log2/3p on Δn,r≤Δˉn\Delta_{n,r}\le\bar\Delta_nΔn,r​≤Δˉn​, CCC depending only on bbb.
  8. The reduction display: for one simple convex set, the error at AAA is at most Cϵlog⁡1/2(pn)+ρˉC\epsilon\log^{1/2}(pn)+\bar\rhoCϵlog1/2(pn)+ρˉ​, where ρˉ\bar\rhoρˉ​ is the larger error at AmA^mAm and Am,ϵA^{m,\epsilon}Am,ϵ.

Significance

Theorem 4.1 is the abstract step behind the paper's explicit multiplier bootstrap rates: Proposition 4.1 combines it with maximal inequalities that bound Δn(A)\Delta_n(\mathcal A)Δn​(A) with high probability, and obtains, with probability at least 1−α1-\alpha1−α, the rate (Bn2log⁡5(pn)log⁡2(1/α)/n)1/6(B_n^2\log^5(pn)\log^2(1/\alpha)/n)^{1/6}(Bn2​log5(pn)log2(1/α)/n)1/6 for simple convex sets with sparse facet normals. In applications it justifies bootstrap critical values for max-type statistics and simultaneous confidence regions when p≫np\gg np≫n. Remark 4.1, the hyperrectangle case, is the version most used in practice.

The results are proved on paper; none is formalized on the platform. A formal development produces machine-checked versions of the smooth-max sandwich, a Gaussian anti-concentration bound (Nazarov's inequality), a quantitative Gaussian comparison inequality and the bootstrap theorem itself. The comparison display and Lemma A.1 are proved in the paper only by citation ([20] and Klivans–O'Donnell–Servedio, Thm. 20), so formal proofs of them are new work rather than transcriptions.

Difficulty

The obvious route compares SneXS^{eX}_nSneX​ and SnYS^Y_nSnY​ through the Kolmogorov distance of their laws or through a total-variation bound between two Gaussians. Both depend polynomially on ppp and fail when p≫np\gg np≫n. The proof instead compares smooth functionals of the coordinatewise maximum, where the error depends on ppp only through β∼log⁡p\beta\sim\log pβ∼logp, and then converts back to probabilities of orthants with an anti-concentration inequality whose constant grows like log⁡p\sqrt{\log p}logp​. Both conversions must hold uniformly in the threshold yyy, and the final bound for simple convex sets requires passing to the mmm-dimensional vectors (v′Xi)v∈V(v'X_i)_{v\in\mathcal V}(v′Xi​)v∈V​ with m≤(pn)dm\le(pn)^dm≤(pn)d, which is why log⁡(pn)\log(pn)log(pn) appears. The comparison inequality for g∘Fβg\circ F_\betag∘Fβ​ is the step with the least existing infrastructure: it is a Slepian–Stein interpolation between two Gaussian laws with explicit control of second derivatives of FβF_\betaFβ​.

Formalization scope

  • Vectors live in EuclideanSpace ℝ (Fin p); N(0,Σ)N(0,\Sigma)N(0,Σ) is Mathlib's multivariateGaussian 0 Σ. Independence is iIndepFun; YiY_iYi​'s law is fixed by P.map (Y i) = multivariateGaussian 0 (covMat P (X i)), and square integrability of each XijX_{ij}Xij​ makes covMat positive semidefinite, so this is the genuine Gaussian law.
  • n≥4n\ge4n≥4 and p≥3p\ge3p≥3 (the paper's standing assumption) are hypotheses of every theorem.
  • P(⋅∣X1n)P(\cdot\mid X_1^n)P(⋅∣X1n​) is read per realization: the bootstrap law mbLaw x is the push-forward of N(0,1)⊗nN(0,1)^{\otimes n}N(0,1)⊗n under e↦n−1/2∑iei(xi−xˉ)e\mapsto n^{-1/2}\sum_ie_i(x_i-\bar x)e↦n−1/2∑i​ei​(xi​−xˉ), and the bound is asserted at every ω\omegaω on the event, for the data X(ω)X(\omega)X(ω). Since eee is independent of the data, this is a version of the conditional law; no conditional expectation appears.
  • Suprema over the class, over v1,v2v_1,v_2v1​,v2​ and over hyperrectangles are encoded as bounds for every member.
  • The class A\mathcal AA is an indexed family of measurable sets, each with its approximating polyhedron given by a finite set of unit vectors and real thresholds. The page uses facet normals and support values; allowing any finite family of unit vectors is a mild generalization that implies the page's theorem.
  • Constants: CCC is quantified after a,b,da,b,da,b,d (after bbb alone for (38), (39), Lemma A.1 and the smoothed step) and before nnn, ppp, the probability space, the data, the class, Δˉn\bar\Delta_nΔˉn​ and the realization. A constant chosen after nnn or ppp would trivialize the goal.
  • Moments enter only through lower bounds ((M.1), (M.1′)) on integrals of square-integrable functions, so no integral takes a default value; the comparison display integrates continuous functions of linear growth against Gaussian laws. The goal does not mention FβF_\betaFβ​, ggg, ϱnMB\varrho_n^{MB}ϱnMB​, (38) or (39).

Infrastructure needed: multivariate Gaussian laws and their linear images, Gaussian integration by parts or Slepian interpolation, Nazarov's inequality, and properties of log-sum-exp. Lemma A.1, display (21) and the comparison display are reusable beyond this mission, for the high-dimensional CLT of the companion mission and for any max-type Gaussian approximation. Proofs of any milestone are welcome, as are proofs of the conditional Gaussianity identity from Mathlib's Gaussian API.

Selected references

  • V. Chernozhukov, D. Chetverikov, K. Kato, Central limit theorems and bootstrap in high dimensions, Ann. Probab. 45(4):2309–2352, 2017. https://doi.org/10.1214/16-AOP1113
  • V. Chernozhukov, D. Chetverikov, K. Kato, Comparison and anti-concentration bounds for maxima of Gaussian random vectors, Probab. Theory Related Fields 162:47–70, 2015. https://doi.org/10.1007/s00440-014-0565-9
  • V. Chernozhukov, D. Chetverikov, K. Kato, Gaussian approximations and multiplier bootstrap for maxima of sums of high-dimensional random vectors, Ann. Statist. 41(6):2786–2819, 2013. https://doi.org/10.1214/13-AOS1161
  • A. Klivans, R. O'Donnell, R. Servedio, Learning geometric concepts via Gaussian surface area, FOCS 2008. https://doi.org/10.1109/FOCS.2008.64
  • F. Nazarov, On the maximal perimeter of a convex set in ℝⁿ with respect to a Gaussian measure, Geometric Aspects of Functional Analysis, Lecture Notes in Math. 1807, 169–187, 2003. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-540-36428-3_14
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ProbabilityStatistics·Captain: mikedeng1

Central Limit Theorems and Bootstrap in High Dimensions 1: Gaussian Approximation of Normalized Sums over All Hyperrectangles with Error K₁[(L̄ₙ² log⁷p/n)^{1/6} + Mₙ(φₙ)/L̄ₙ]Research Paper

Motivation

Many statistical procedures look at a large number of averages at once: simultaneous confidence intervals for ppp means, multiple testing of ppp hypotheses, the maximum of ppp ttt-statistics. Their calibration needs the joint law of a ppp-dimensional normalized sum, and in modern applications ppp is comparable to, or much larger than, the sample size nnn. Classical multivariate central limit theorems with explicit error, such as Bentkus's bound over convex sets (Bentkus 2003), require ppp to grow slowly with nnn (roughly p=o(n1/7)\sqrt p = o(n^{1/7})p​=o(n1/7)), which rules out these applications.

Chernozhukov, Chetverikov and Kato showed that when the class of sets is restricted to hyperrectangles, the Gaussian approximation error depends on the dimension only through log⁡p\log plogp (Ann. Probab. 45 (2017)).

Timeline. In 2013 the same authors proved a Gaussian approximation for the maximum of a sum (sets of the form {w:wj≤a ∀j}\{w : w_j \le a \ \forall j\}{w:wj​≤a ∀j}) with rate n−1/8n^{-1/8}n−1/8 (Ann. Statist. 41 (2013)). The 2017 paper extends this to all hyperrectangles, improves the rate to n−1/6n^{-1/6}n−1/6, and adds bootstrap results.

Setting

Let n≥4n \ge 4n≥4 and p≥3p \ge 3p≥3. Let X1,…,XnX_1, \dots, X_nX1​,…,Xn​ be independent random vectors in Rp\mathbb R^pRp with coordinates XijX_{ij}Xij​, each centred (E[Xij]=0\mathrm E[X_{ij}] = 0E[Xij​]=0) with E[Xij2]<∞\mathrm E[X_{ij}^2] < \inftyE[Xij2​]<∞. Let Y1,…,YnY_1, \dots, Y_nY1​,…,Yn​ be independent centred Gaussian vectors with Yi∼N(0,E[XiXi′])Y_i \sim N(0, \mathrm E[X_iX_i'])Yi​∼N(0,E[Xi​Xi′​]), the same covariance as XiX_iXi​. The normalized sums are

SnX:=1n∑i=1nXi,SnY:=1n∑i=1nYi.S^X_n := \frac{1}{\sqrt n}\sum_{i=1}^n X_i, \qquad S^Y_n := \frac{1}{\sqrt n}\sum_{i=1}^n Y_i.SnX​:=n​1​i=1∑n​Xi​,SnY​:=n​1​i=1∑n​Yi​.

A hyperrectangle is a set A={w∈Rp:aj≤wj≤bj for all j}A = \{w \in \mathbb R^p : a_j \le w_j \le b_j \text{ for all } j\}A={w∈Rp:aj​≤wj​≤bj​ for all j} with −∞≤aj≤bj≤∞-\infty \le a_j \le b_j \le \infty−∞≤aj​≤bj​≤∞; Are\mathcal A^{\mathrm{re}}Are is the class of all of them. The quantity to bound is

ρn(Are):=sup⁡A∈Are∣P(SnX∈A)−P(SnY∈A)∣.\rho_n(\mathcal A^{\mathrm{re}}) := \sup_{A \in \mathcal A^{\mathrm{re}}}\big|\mathrm P(S^X_n \in A) - \mathrm P(S^Y_n \in A)\big|.ρn​(Are):=A∈Aresup​​P(SnX​∈A)−P(SnY​∈A)​.

The error is measured through the third-moment parameter Ln:=max⁡jn−1∑iE∣Xij∣3L_n := \max_j n^{-1}\sum_i \mathrm E|X_{ij}|^3Ln​:=maxj​n−1∑i​E∣Xij​∣3 and the truncated maximal moments

Mn,X(ϕ):=1n∑i=1nE[max⁡j∣Xij∣3 1{max⁡j∣Xij∣>n4ϕlog⁡p}],M_{n,X}(\phi) := \frac1n\sum_{i=1}^n \mathrm E\Big[\max_j|X_{ij}|^3\,1\Big\{\max_j|X_{ij}| > \frac{\sqrt n}{4\phi\log p}\Big\}\Big],Mn,X​(ϕ):=n1​i=1∑n​E[jmax​∣Xij​∣31{jmax​∣Xij​∣>4ϕlogpn​​}],

Mn,Y(ϕ)M_{n,Y}(\phi)Mn,Y​(ϕ) the same with YYY, and Mn(ϕ):=Mn,X(ϕ)+Mn,Y(ϕ)M_n(\phi) := M_{n,X}(\phi) + M_{n,Y}(\phi)Mn​(ϕ):=Mn,X​(ϕ)+Mn,Y​(ϕ). Here log⁡\loglog is the natural logarithm.

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem 2.1

If n−1∑iE[Xij2]≥b>0n^{-1}\sum_i \mathrm E[X_{ij}^2] \ge b > 0n−1∑i​E[Xij2​]≥b>0 for all jjj, there are constants K1,K2>0K_1, K_2 > 0K1​,K2​>0 depending only on bbb such that for every Lˉn≥Ln\bar L_n \ge L_nLˉn​≥Ln​,

ρn(Are)≤K1[(Lˉn2log⁡7pn)1/6+Mn(ϕn)Lˉn],ϕn:=K2(Lˉn2log⁡4pn)−1/6.\rho_n(\mathcal A^{\mathrm{re}}) \le K_1\left[\left(\frac{\bar L_n^2\log^7 p}{n}\right)^{1/6} + \frac{M_n(\phi_n)}{\bar L_n}\right], \qquad \phi_n := K_2\left(\frac{\bar L_n^2\log^4 p}{n}\right)^{-1/6}.ρn​(Are)≤K1​[(nLˉn2​log7p​)1/6+Lˉn​Mn​(ϕn​)​],ϕn​:=K2​(nLˉn2​log4p​)−1/6.

The constants are left existential, as on the page: the goal asserts the shape of the bound, not particular values.

Milestones

  1. Display (21): the smooth maximum Fβ(w)=β−1log⁡∑jeβ(wj−yj)F_\beta(w) = \beta^{-1}\log\sum_j e^{\beta(w_j - y_j)}Fβ​(w)=β−1log∑j​eβ(wj​−yj​) is within β−1log⁡p\beta^{-1}\log pβ−1logp of max⁡j(wj−yj)\max_j(w_j - y_j)maxj​(wj​−yj​).
  2. Lemma B.1: association inequalities for nondecreasing nonnegative functions, including (20) without independence.
  3. Lemma A.1 (Nazarov's inequality): P(Y≤y+a)−P(Y≤y)≤Calog⁡p\mathrm P(Y \le y + a) - \mathrm P(Y \le y) \le Ca\sqrt{\log p}P(Y≤y+a)−P(Y≤y)≤Calogp​ for a centred Gaussian YYY with E[Yj2]≥b\mathrm E[Y_j^2] \ge bE[Yj2​]≥b.
  4. Lemma 5.1, the key lemma: a recursive bound on ϱn:=sup⁡y,v∈[0,1]∣P(vSnX+1−vSnY≤y)−P(SnY≤y)∣\varrho_n := \sup_{y, v\in[0,1]}|\mathrm P(\sqrt v S^X_n + \sqrt{1-v}S^Y_n \le y) - \mathrm P(S^Y_n \le y)|ϱn​:=supy,v∈[0,1]​∣P(v​SnX​+1−v​SnY​≤y)−P(SnY​≤y)∣.
  5. Corollary 5.1: the same bound for ϱn′\varrho_n'ϱn′​, the supremum over hyperrectangles.
  6. Lemma C.1: an exponential tail bound gives E[ξ31{ξ>t}]≤6A(t+B)3e−t/B\mathrm E[\xi^3 1\{\xi > t\}] \le 6A(t+B)^3e^{-t/B}E[ξ31{ξ>t}]≤6A(t+B)3e−t/B.

Companion: Proposition 2.1

Under the moment conditions (M.1)–(M.2) and either an exponential (E.1) or a polynomial (E.2) moment bound with parameter Bn≥1B_n \ge 1Bn​≥1,

ρn(Are)≤C(Bn2log⁡7(pn)n)1/6orρn(Are)≤C{(Bn2log⁡7(pn)n)1/6+(Bn2log⁡3(pn)n1−2/q)1/3}.\rho_n(\mathcal A^{\mathrm{re}}) \le C\Big(\frac{B_n^2\log^7(pn)}{n}\Big)^{1/6} \quad\text{or}\quad \rho_n(\mathcal A^{\mathrm{re}}) \le C\Big\{\Big(\frac{B_n^2\log^7(pn)}{n}\Big)^{1/6} + \Big(\frac{B_n^2\log^3(pn)}{n^{1-2/q}}\Big)^{1/3}\Big\}.ρn​(Are)≤C(nBn2​log7(pn)​)1/6orρn​(Are)≤C{(nBn2​log7(pn)​)1/6+(n1−2/qBn2​log3(pn)​)1/3}.

Significance

The result. Under the exponential moment condition (E.1), Proposition 2.1 makes the Gaussian approximation error tend to zero when Bn2log⁡7(pn)=o(n)B_n^2\log^7(pn) = o(n)Bn2​log7(pn)=o(n), allowing ppp much larger than nnn. Under the polynomial moment condition (E.2), its second error term must also tend to zero. Theorem 2.1 is the probabilistic basis of the paper's multiplier and empirical bootstrap results for simultaneous inference (Chernozhukov, Chetverikov and Kato 2017).

Formalizing it. The result is proved on paper; no machine-checked version of this theorem was found in the platform catalog during this mission's prior-art search. A formal proof needs interpolation between SnXS^X_nSnX​ and SnYS^Y_nSnY​, Gaussian anti-concentration (Nazarov's inequality), and third-order Taylor estimates of smooth approximations of indicator functions. Nazarov's inequality is used in the paper by citation, so its formal proof is a separate milestone.

Difficulty

The obvious route, a Lindeberg replacement of each XiX_iXi​ by YiY_iYi​ after smoothing the indicator of a hyperrectangle coordinate by coordinate, loses a polynomial factor in ppp: the derivatives of a product of ppp smoothed one-dimensional indicators add up over coordinates, so the error grows like a power of ppp rather than of log⁡p\log plogp. Any smoothing must also be paid for by the probability that the Gaussian vector falls in a thin neighbourhood of the boundary of a hyperrectangle, and a dimension-free bound on that probability is not available for general hyperrectangles; the log⁡p\sqrt{\log p}logp​ anti-concentration bound is the best one can use. Finally, a direct comparison yields an inequality in which the quantity to be bounded appears on both sides, and the rate n−1/6n^{-1/6}n−1/6 is obtained only after that inequality is solved; a one-shot estimate gives a worse power of nnn. The truncation in Mn(ϕ)M_n(\phi)Mn​(ϕ) handles coordinates too large for a third-order Taylor expansion, since no moment condition beyond third moments is assumed.

Formalization scope

Vectors live in EuclideanSpace ℝ (Fin p) and the coordinate XijX_{ij}Xij​ is X i ω j. The Gaussian comparison vectors satisfy P.map (Y i) = multivariateGaussian 0 (covMat P (X i)) with covMat P Z = (E[Z_j Z_k])_{j,k}, which is positive semidefinite, so this is the genuine N(0,E[XiXi′])N(0, \mathrm E[X_iX_i'])N(0,E[Xi​Xi′​]); the YiY_iYi​ are independent. Hyperrectangle endpoints are extended reals used only in comparisons. Every theorem carries the standing assumptions n≥4n \ge 4n≥4, p≥3p \ge 3p≥3, independence, centring and finite second moments. Items that involve LnL_nLn​ or MnM_nMn​ add E∣Xij∣3<∞\mathrm E|X_{ij}|^3 < \inftyE∣Xij​∣3<∞; when a third moment is infinite the paper's bounds are vacuous, so this loses nothing. Mn(ϕ)M_n(\phi)Mn​(ϕ) is defined by its formula for every real ϕ\phiϕ, because Theorem 2.1 evaluates it at ϕn\phi_nϕn​, which may be below 111. Lemma 5.1 and Corollary 5.1 assume the YYY's independent of the XXX's, as the definition of ϱn\varrho_nϱn​ does; Theorem 2.1 and Proposition 2.1 do not. A bound on a supremum is stated set by set.

Constants that the paper says depend only on bbb (or on bbb and qqq) are quantified after bbb and before nnn, ppp, the probability space and every random vector; a constant chosen after nnn, ppp or the law would trivialize every statement. Upper bounds on expectations in hypotheses ((M.2), (E.1), (E.2)) and in Lemma C.1's conclusion are lower Lebesgue integrals, so a non-integrable function cannot make a hypothesis hold with a junk value of 000. Dropping the independence of the YiY_iYi​ or using a wrong covariance would make the goal false.

A complete development needs: a multivariate Stein or Slepian interpolation, third-order Taylor expansion with remainder for functions on Rp\mathbb R^pRp, Gaussian integration by parts, and Nazarov's inequality. The anti-concentration and smooth-max lemmas are reusable for any max-type Gaussian approximation, including the bootstrap results of the second mission of this series. Proofs of individual milestones, of Nazarov's inequality in particular, are welcome on their own.

Selected references

  • V. Chernozhukov, D. Chetverikov, K. Kato, Central limit theorems and bootstrap in high dimensions, Ann. Probab. 45(4):2309–2352, 2017. https://doi.org/10.1214/16-AOP1113
  • V. Chernozhukov, D. Chetverikov, K. Kato, Gaussian approximations and multiplier bootstrap for maxima of sums of high-dimensional random vectors, Ann. Statist. 41(6):2786–2819, 2013. https://doi.org/10.1214/13-AOS1161
  • V. Bentkus, On the dependence of the Berry–Esseen bound on dimension, J. Statist. Plann. Inference 113:385–402, 2003. MR1965117, https://mathscinet.ams.org/mathscinet-getitem?mr=1965117
  • F. Nazarov, On the maximal perimeter of a convex set in ℝⁿ with respect to a Gaussian measure, Geometric Aspects of Functional Analysis, Lecture Notes in Math. 1807, 169–187, Springer, 2003. MR2083397, https://mathscinet.ams.org/mathscinet-getitem?mr=2083397
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CombinatoricsOperations ResearchOptimization·Captain: mikedeng1

Scheduling Problems with Two Competing Agents 9: Total Completion Time Against a Maximum Cost Has at Most n_A·n_B + 1 Nondominated PairsResearch Paper

Motivation

Many scheduling decisions are not owned by a single decision maker. A machine shared by two departments, a production line serving two customers, or a computing resource shared by two users must process the jobs of two agents, each of which judges a schedule by its own criterion. Agnetis, Mirchandani, Pacciarelli and Pacifici introduced this model in Scheduling Problems with Two Competing Agents (Operations Research, 2004, doi:10.1287/opre.1030.0092), and it became the starting point of the literature on multi-agent scheduling (surveyed in Agnetis, Billaut, Gawiejnowicz, Pacciarelli and Soukhal, Multiagent Scheduling, Springer, 2014, doi:10.1007/978-3-642-41880-8).

When neither agent can impose its criterion on the other, the natural object to compute is the set of compromises that cannot be improved for one agent without hurting the other: the Pareto frontier. Section 11 of the paper asks how large that frontier can be for each pair of criteria it studies, because the size of the frontier decides whether it can be listed in polynomial time. This mission formalizes the answer for one agent minimizing its total completion time against the other agent's maximum cost.

Setting

Agent AAA owns jobs J1A,…,JnAAJ^A_1,\dots,J^A_{n_A}J1A​,…,JnA​A​ and agent BBB owns jobs J1B,…,JnBBJ^B_1,\dots,J^B_{n_B}J1B​,…,JnB​B​, with nB≥1n_B\ge 1nB​≥1. Every job JjJ_jJj​ has a positive processing time pjp_jpj​, is available at time 000, and is processed without interruption on a single machine that handles one job at a time. Since both criteria below are nondecreasing in completion times, a schedule σ\sigmaσ is a sequence of all nA+nBn_A+n_BnA​+nB​ jobs processed in that order from time 000 without idle time, and Cj(σ)C_j(\sigma)Cj​(σ) denotes the completion time of JjJ_jJj​.

  • Agent AAA wants to minimize its total completion time ∑h=1nAChA(σ)\sum_{h=1}^{n_A} C^A_h(\sigma)∑h=1nA​​ChA​(σ).
  • Each BBB-job has a nondecreasing cost function fkBf^B_kfkB​ of its completion time, and agent BBB wants to minimize its maximum cost fmax⁡B(σ)=max⁡kfkB(CkB(σ))f^B_{\max}(\sigma)=\max_k f^B_k(C^B_k(\sigma))fmaxB​(σ)=maxk​fkB​(CkB​(σ)).

A schedule σ\sigmaσ is nondominated if no schedule σˉ\bar\sigmaσˉ has ∑ChA(σˉ)≤∑ChA(σ)\sum C^A_h(\bar\sigma)\le\sum C^A_h(\sigma)∑ChA​(σˉ)≤∑ChA​(σ) and fmax⁡B(σˉ)≤fmax⁡B(σ)f^B_{\max}(\bar\sigma)\le f^B_{\max}(\sigma)fmaxB​(σˉ)≤fmaxB​(σ) with at least one inequality strict. Its nondominated pair is (∑ChA(σ),fmax⁡B(σ))\bigl(\sum C^A_h(\sigma),f^B_{\max}(\sigma)\bigr)(∑ChA​(σ),fmaxB​(σ)). The constrained problem 1∥∑CiA:fmax⁡B≤Q1\|\sum C^A_i : f^B_{\max}\le Q1∥∑CiA​:fmaxB​≤Q asks for a schedule with fkB(CkB)≤Qf^B_k(C^B_k)\le QfkB​(CkB​)≤Q for every BBB-job that minimizes ∑ChA\sum C^A_h∑ChA​ among such schedules; such a schedule is optimal for the bound QQQ.

The AAA-jobs of a schedule follow the SPT order when they appear by nondecreasing processing time, equal lengths in index order. A BBB-job overtakes an AAA-job when it moves from after it to before it.

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem 11.6, corrected

∣{(∑ChA(σ), fmax⁡B(σ)):σ nondominated}∣ ≤ nA nB+1.\bigl|\{(\textstyle\sum C^A_h(\sigma),\,f^B_{\max}(\sigma)) : \sigma\ \text{nondominated}\}\bigr|\ \le\ n_A\,n_B+1.​{(∑ChA​(σ),fmaxB​(σ)):σ nondominated}​ ≤ nA​nB​+1.

The paper prints the bound nAnBn_An_BnA​nB​. That bound is false: with one job per agent, unit processing times and fB(t)=tf^B(t)=tfB(t)=t, the schedules ABABAB and BABABA give the two nondominated pairs (1,2)(1,2)(1,2) and (2,1)(2,1)(2,1). The corrected bound nAnB+1n_An_B+1nA​nB​+1 is the one the printed argument supports.

Milestones

  1. Lemma 5.4 (p. 234): if no BBB-job can complete last within the bound, every optimal schedule ends with a longest AAA-job. This is the reason the AAA-jobs of optimal schedules are in SPT order.
  2. Lemma 11.4 (p. 240): for Q′<QQ'<QQ′<Q and optimal schedules σ,σ′\sigma,\sigma'σ,σ′ for QQQ and Q′Q'Q′ whose AAA-jobs follow the SPT order, Cj(σ′)≥Cj(σ)C_j(\sigma')\ge C_j(\sigma)Cj​(σ′)≥Cj​(σ) for every AAA-job jjj.
  3. Lemma 11.5 (p. 240): under the same hypotheses, if a BBB-job precedes an AAA-job in σ\sigmaσ, it precedes it also in σ′\sigma'σ′.

Significance

A frontier of size at most nAnB+1n_An_B+1nA​nB​+1 means that the scheme the paper calls PP, which solves the constrained problem for a decreasing sequence of bounds, lists every nondominated pair with polynomially many calls to a polynomial algorithm (Theorem 5.5 of the paper). The contrast with the other criteria of §11 is the point: for two total-completion-time agents the paper exhibits an exponential frontier (Example 11.7). The bound therefore separates criteria whose compromises can be negotiated over an explicit list from those where they cannot.

Formalizing it adds three things. First, the printed statements need corrections: the bound is off by one, and Lemmas 11.4 and 11.5 are false when identical AAA-jobs may be ordered differently in the two schedules. A machine-checked version fixes the exact hypotheses. Second, the monotonicity of overtakes (Lemma 11.5) is a reusable structural fact about parametric scheduling under a tightening constraint. Third, no part of this paper or of two-agent scheduling has been machine-checked before, to our knowledge; the published sequence model the mission builds on comes from the formalization of Moore's 1968 algorithm.

Difficulty

The obvious argument counts overtakes: as the bound decreases, each BBB-job overtakes each AAA-job at most once, so consecutive frontier points differ by at least one new overtake. The step that does not go through as printed is "at most once". Optimal schedules for a given bound are not unique, and two optimal schedules can disagree on the order of identical AAA-jobs and on the position of a BBB-job between them. Then an "overtake" can be undone between two bounds without any change in the objectives. The counting is valid only for a consistently chosen family of schedules, and turning the comparison of optimal schedules for two different bounds into a strict improvement needs an exchange argument with careful bookkeeping of which jobs shift. A second, smaller gap is the base case: the first schedule of the chain carries no overtake and must be counted separately.

Formalization scope

Jobs are Fin nA ⊕ Fin nB, 0-based, and a schedule is a duplicate-free list of all jobs; completion times come from the published definition MooreLateJobs.Shared.completionTime (Moore 1968 series), referenced rather than redefined. Processing times are real and strictly positive, the paper's standing convention, which the exchange arguments use. The bound QQQ is real; the paper's integer QQQ is a special case. Feasibility for the bound is stated job by job. The maximum cost fmax⁡Bf^B_{\max}fmaxB​ is a finite maximum and requires nB≥1n_B\ge 1nB​≥1.

Explicit readings of the paper's phrases:

  • "Nondominated schedules" in Theorem 11.6 is read as nondominated pairs, one schedule per pair, as §11 defines the set it enumerates. Counting schedules would count swaps of identical jobs separately.
  • The count is Set.encard of a set of real pairs, so the goal asserts finiteness as well as the bound; it is not a Set.ncard, which would be 000 on an infinite set.
  • "The AAA-jobs are always SPT ordered" (p. 240) is read as the SPT order with ties broken by index, imposed as a hypothesis on both schedules in Lemmas 11.4 and 11.5. Without a fixed tie-break both lemmas are false.
  • Lemma 5.4 is restated with nA≥1n_A\ge 1nA​≥1, since an empty schedule has no last job. It is also a milestone of mission 3 of this series and is restated here identically because draft items cannot import each other.

Nothing in the statements is trivial by construction. The goal is about every instance with positive data, its hypotheses are satisfiable, and the counterexample to the printed bound is checked in Lean. The milestones' SPT hypotheses are met by some optimal schedule of every feasible instance, so they are not vacuous. Running times, including the polynomiality of PP and the choice of the decrement ϵ\epsilonϵ in Figure 4, are not formalized.

A complete development needs exchange lemmas for single-machine sequences (moving a job, swapping two adjacent jobs, and their effect on completion times), the existence of SPT-ordered optimal schedules, and a chain-counting argument for nested sets of overtakes. The exchange lemmas are reusable for any single-machine sequencing mission. Contributions of any of these, and of a proof of the corrected bound that avoids the scheme PP, are welcome.

Selected references

  • A. Agnetis, P. B. Mirchandani, D. Pacciarelli, A. Pacifici, Scheduling Problems with Two Competing Agents, Operations Research 52(2), 229–242, 2004. https://doi.org/10.1287/opre.1030.0092
  • J. M. Moore, An n Job, One Machine Sequencing Algorithm for Minimizing the Number of Late Jobs, Management Science 15(1), 102–109, 1968. https://doi.org/10.1287/mnsc.15.1.102
  • A. Agnetis, J.-C. Billaut, S. Gawiejnowicz, D. Pacciarelli, A. Soukhal, Multiagent Scheduling: Models and Algorithms, Springer, 2014. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-642-41880-8
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AnalysisOptimization·Captain: mikedeng1

Semismooth and Semiconvex Functions in Constrained Optimization II: A Semismooth Composition of Semismooth Functions Is Semismooth, with a Chain Rule for Generalized GradientsResearch Paper

Why composition matters

Optimization models often build an objective from several intermediate quantities: constraints, penalties, and transformed measurements are evaluated first, then combined by an outer function. These intermediate and outer functions can be Lipschitz without being differentiable at the point of interest. Ordinary differentiation supplies no chain rule there. The generalized-gradient framework gives a set of possible first-order slopes, while semismoothness provides stronger directional behavior along sequences approaching the point. Mifflin's IIASA report asks whether this behavior survives such compositions and how the generalized gradient of the result relates to those of its ingredients.

The report first establishes basic properties of the generalized gradient in §2, including almost-everywhere differentiability and a nonsmooth mean value theorem. Section 4 then states a chain-rule inclusion as Theorem 4 and the semismooth composition result as Theorem 5. The report is dated December 1976; a journal version appeared in 1977. The mission cites theorem numbers and pages from the report version throughout. No claim about differences between the report and journal texts is needed here.

Setting and definitions

Work in finite-dimensional Euclidean spaces. Let fi:Rn→Rf_i:\mathbb R^n\to\mathbb Rfi​:Rn→R, for i=1,…,mi=1,\ldots,mi=1,…,m, be component functions, and let E:Rm→RE:\mathbb R^m\to\mathbb RE:Rm→R be an outer function. Define the component map YYY and the composite FFF by

Y(x)=(f1(x),…,fm(x)),F(x)=E(Y(x)).Y(x)=(f_1(x),\ldots,f_m(x)),\qquad F(x)=E(Y(x)).Y(x)=(f1​(x),…,fm​(x)),F(x)=E(Y(x)).

The functions are locally Lipschitz in the report's precise sense: on each bounded subset of their Euclidean domain they have a finite Lipschitz constant. For a scalar function HHH, a point xxx, and a direction ddd, the generalized directional derivative H0(x;d)H^0(x;d)H0(x;d) is the joint upper limit of [H(x+h+td)−H(x+h)]/t[H(x+h+td)-H(x+h)]/t[H(x+h+td)−H(x+h)]/t as h→0h\to0h→0 and t↓0t\downarrow0t↓0. Its associated generalized gradient is the support set

∂H(x)={g:⟨g,d⟩≤H0(x;d) for every direction d}.\partial H(x)=\{g:\langle g,d\rangle\le H^0(x;d)\text{ for every direction }d\}.∂H(x)={g:⟨g,d⟩≤H0(x;d) for every direction d}.

This is the definition used in Mifflin's report, not an identification assumed in advance with a hull of ordinary gradient limits. Proposition 1(c) supplies that identification under the paper's Lipschitz assumption. The ordinary one-sided directional derivative H′(x;d)H'(x;d)H′(x;d) is the limit of [H(x+td)−H(x)]/t[H(x+td)-H(x)]/t[H(x+td)−H(x)]/t for t↓0t\downarrow0t↓0, when that limit exists.

Mifflin calls HHH semismooth at xxx if it is Lipschitz on a ball about xxx and the scalar sequence ⟨gk,d⟩\langle g_k,d\rangle⟨gk​,d⟩ has exactly one accumulation point whenever tk>0t_k>0tk​>0 tends to zero, θk/tk→0\theta_k/t_k\to0θk​/tk​→0, and gk∈∂H(x+tkd+θk)g_k\in\partial H(x+t_kd+\theta_k)gk​∈∂H(x+tk​d+θk​). The quantification is over every direction and every such sequence. This pointwise condition is Definition 1 of the report, and its link to one-sided directional derivatives is Lemma 2.

To state the chain rule, form the set

G(x)=conv⁡{∑i=1mwigi:gi∈∂fi(x) for every i,w∈∂E(Y(x))}.G(x)=\operatorname{conv}\left\{\sum_{i=1}^{m}w_i g^i:g^i\in\partial f_i(x)\text{ for every }i,\quad w\in\partial E(Y(x))\right\}.G(x)=conv{i=1∑m​wi​gi:gi∈∂fi​(x) for every i,w∈∂E(Y(x))}.

The same www is used across all components. The sum is the action of the report's matrix [g1⋯gm][g^1\cdots g^m][g1⋯gm] on www.

Formalization targets

Generalized-gradient chain rule

Theorem 4 asserts that FFF is locally Lipschitz and that, at every point,

∂F(x)⊆G(x).\partial F(x)\subseteq G(x).∂F(x)⊆G(x).

This is an inclusion, not a general equality. The report gives an example immediately after Theorem 4 in which the inclusion is strict: two identical absolute-value components cancel under an outer difference, while G(0)G(0)G(0) remains larger than ∂F(0)\partial F(0)∂F(0).

Semismooth composition

The goal, Theorem 5, assumes the setting of Theorem 4. If each fif_ifi​ is semismooth at a selected xxx and EEE is semismooth at Y(x)Y(x)Y(x), then

E∘Y is semismooth at x.E\circ Y\text{ is semismooth at }x.E∘Y is semismooth at x.

The conclusion is pointwise. It does not assert semismoothness throughout Rn\mathbb R^nRn from hypotheses at one point. The milestone list contains the chain rule and the source's stated support results: Proposition 2, Lemma 1, Proposition 1(c) and (d), Lemma 2, and the claims (4.2) and (4.11)–(4.12) from the proofs.

What the results provide

Theorem 5 permits composite nonsmooth objectives to be treated within the same semismooth class as their components. Theorem 4 gives a concrete set built from component generalized gradients that contains the composite's generalized gradient. Together, they let later statements about a composite use first-order information from its stated ingredients, subject to the inclusion's possible strictness. These are results proved in Mifflin's report, not open mathematical conjectures.

This mission drafts machine-checkable statements of those known results and their definition layer. The local Lean modules compile with proof placeholders; this staging does not supply machine-checked proofs of the theorems. A complete development would formalize the known arguments or another proof of the same statements. The reusable output would include the support-set generalized gradient, sequence-based semismoothness, the nonsmooth mean value result, and the chain-rule inclusion, all with their source assumptions exposed.

Main difficulty

At a point where FFF is differentiable, the component functions fif_ifi​ need not be differentiable, and the outer function EEE need not be differentiable at Y(x)Y(x)Y(x). The ordinary smooth chain rule therefore cannot simply multiply ordinary gradients. The candidate G(x)G(x)G(x) is a convex set of combinations of generalized gradients; a single chosen combination does not in general describe all nearby limiting slopes. The report's strict-inclusion example also shows why replacing Theorem 4 by equality would be false. For semismoothness, the condition concerns every admissible sequence of generalized gradients near the point, so checking just one path or one gradient selection does not establish Theorem 5.

Formalization scope

The Lean domain is EuclideanSpace ℝ (Fin n) and the outer domain is EuclideanSpace ℝ (Fin m). The report's norm is the Euclidean norm and its pairing is the real inner product. An index of type Fin m represents the mmm components; m=0m=0m=0 is admitted, in which case the component space is a point and the composite is constant. A finite sum represents the column-matrix product. The generalized gradient is defined by all directional support inequalities, so Proposition 1(c) remains a theorem rather than becoming true by definition.

The generalized directional derivative is imported from the published definition matching the report's joint limit. Lean's real limsup has a default value for an unbounded quotient; Lipschitz hypotheses are carried wherever that operation is used. “Locally Lipschitz” is imported as Lipschitzness on every bounded subset, and the explicit constants of §2 use nonnegative reals, equivalent to the report's positive constants by enlarging them. The directional derivative is a relation asserting a limit, so no value is assigned when the limit fails. “Exactly one accumulation point” remains an existence-and-uniqueness assertion about cluster points. The report's tk↓0t_k\downarrow0tk​↓0 means positive convergence to zero, as its proof of Lemma 2 says explicitly. These choices exclude a vacuous formulation that only asks about one convenient sequence or gives a default directional value.

The scope includes the two local definition files and the cited theorem statements, including both conclusions of Theorem 4 and Lemma 2. Proof contributions would need finite-dimensional Lipschitz and differentiability infrastructure, limiting-gradient compactness, convex hull and separation facts, and sequence convergence facts. Results about the alternative Qi–Sun vector-valued semismoothness notion are outside this mission's definition layer.

Selected references

  • R. Mifflin, Semismooth and Semiconvex Functions in Constrained Optimization, IIASA Research Report RR-76-21, December 1976. Report PDF.
  • R. Mifflin, “Semismooth and Semiconvex Functions in Constrained Optimization,” SIAM Journal on Control and Optimization 15(6), 1977. DOI. This mission's page and theorem references are to the IIASA report.
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