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Mechanism DesignOperations ResearchOptimization+1·Captain: mikedeng1

An Introduction to the Theory of Mechanism Design III: Impossibility of First-Best Public Goods ProvisionTextbook

Motivation

Whether a community can finance a shared project out of voluntary contributions, when each member knows only her own benefit from it, is one of the founding questions of mechanism design. Bayesian mechanism design began with mechanisms for the provision of public goods: d'Aspremont and Gérard-Varet (1979) and Arrow (1979) showed that the efficient decision can be made Bayesian incentive compatible with a budget that balances in every state, provided agents cannot opt out. Once participation is voluntary, this is no longer possible, and Güth and Hellwig (1986) studied the best mechanism under that constraint. The same tension between efficiency, incentives, voluntary participation and budget balance drives the Myerson–Satterthwaite theorem for bilateral trade, which the next mission of this series formalizes.

This mission formalizes Section 3.3 of Tilman Börgers, An Introduction to the Theory of Mechanism Design (Oxford University Press, 2015), which treats the public goods problem in the independent private values model with a continuum of types. The section proves an impossibility theorem for first best provision and then characterizes the best mechanisms that respect the budget: the welfare-maximizing (second best) mechanism and the profit-maximizing one, with a worked two-agent uniform example.

Setting

A community of agents I={1,…,N}I = \{1, \dots, N\}I={1,…,N}, N≥2N \ge 2N≥2, decides whether to produce an indivisible, nonexcludable public good, g∈{0,1}g \in \{0,1\}g∈{0,1}, at cost c>0c > 0c>0. Agent iii pays a transfer tit_iti​ and obtains utility θig−ti\theta_i g - t_iθi​g−ti​. Her type θi\theta_iθi​ is private information, drawn independently across agents from a distribution FiF_iFi​ with density fif_ifi​, strictly positive on the common support [θ‾,θˉ][\underline\theta, \bar\theta][θ​,θˉ], 0≤θ‾<θˉ0 \le \underline\theta < \bar\theta0≤θ​<θˉ. The type space is Θ=[θ‾,θˉ]N\Theta = [\underline\theta, \bar\theta]^NΘ=[θ​,θˉ]N and f(θ)=∏ifi(θi)f(\theta) = \prod_i f_i(\theta_i)f(θ)=∏i​fi​(θi​).

A direct mechanism is a decision rule q:Θ→{0,1}q : \Theta \to \{0,1\}q:Θ→{0,1} and transfer rules ti:Θ→Rt_i : \Theta \to \mathbb Rti​:Θ→R. For agent iii reporting θi\theta_iθi​, Qi(θi)Q_i(\theta_i)Qi​(θi​) is the probability of production and Ti(θi)T_i(\theta_i)Ti​(θi​) the expected transfer, taken over the other agents' types, and Ui(θi)=Qi(θi)θi−Ti(θi)U_i(\theta_i) = Q_i(\theta_i)\theta_i - T_i(\theta_i)Ui​(θi​)=Qi​(θi​)θi​−Ti​(θi​). The mechanism is incentive compatible (IC) if θiQi(θi)−Ti(θi)≥θiQi(θi′)−Ti(θi′)\theta_i Q_i(\theta_i) - T_i(\theta_i) \ge \theta_i Q_i(\theta_i') - T_i(\theta_i')θi​Qi​(θi​)−Ti​(θi​)≥θi​Qi​(θi′​)−Ti​(θi′​) for all i,θi,θi′i, \theta_i, \theta_i'i,θi​,θi′​, and individually rational (IR) if Ui(θi)≥0U_i(\theta_i) \ge 0Ui​(θi​)≥0 for all i,θii, \theta_ii,θi​. It is ex post budget balanced if ∑iti(θ)≥c q(θ)\sum_i t_i(\theta) \ge c\,q(\theta)∑i​ti​(θ)≥cq(θ) for every θ\thetaθ, and ex ante budget balanced if this inequality holds after integrating both sides against fff.

Welfare is (∑iθi) g−∑iti(\sum_i \theta_i)\, g - \sum_i t_i(∑i​θi​)g−∑i​ti​. The first best decision rule is q∗(θ)=1q^*(\theta) = 1q∗(θ)=1 if ∑iθi≥c\sum_i \theta_i \ge c∑i​θi​≥c and 000 otherwise; a first best mechanism uses q∗q^*q∗ and transfers that add up to exactly c q∗(θ)c\,q^*(\theta)cq∗(θ) in every state. The pivot mechanism uses q∗q^*q∗ and

ti(θ)=θ‾ q∗(θ‾,θ−i)+(q∗(θ)−q∗(θ‾,θ−i))(c−∑j≠iθj).t_i(\theta) = \underline\theta\, q^*(\underline\theta,\theta_{-i}) + \big(q^*(\theta) - q^*(\underline\theta,\theta_{-i})\big)\Big(c - \sum_{j\ne i}\theta_j\Big).ti​(θ)=θ​q∗(θ​,θ−i​)+(q∗(θ)−q∗(θ​,θ−i​))(c−j=i∑​θj​).

The virtual valuation is ψi(θi)=θi−(1−Fi(θi))/fi(θi)\psi_i(\theta_i) = \theta_i - (1-F_i(\theta_i))/f_i(\theta_i)ψi​(θi​)=θi​−(1−Fi​(θi​))/fi​(θi​), and FiF_iFi​ is regular if ψi\psi_iψi​ is strictly increasing.

Formalization targets

Goal: Proposition 3.7

∃ an IC and IR first best mechanism  ⟺  Nθ‾≥c  or  Nθˉ≤c.\exists\ \text{an IC and IR first best mechanism} \iff N\underline\theta \ge c \ \text{ or }\ N\bar\theta \le c .∃ an IC and IR first best mechanism⟺Nθ​≥c  or  Nθˉ≤c.

In the two cases on the right, producing is efficient for every type vector or for none; in every other case efficient provision cannot be financed voluntarily.

Milestones

  1. Proposition 3.6: every ex ante budget balanced mechanism has an equivalent ex post budget balanced one.
  2. Lemma 3.6: the pivot mechanism is IC and IR.
  3. Lemma 3.7: among IC and IR mechanisms with decision rule q∗q^*q∗, the pivot mechanism has the largest expected budget surplus.
  4. Lemma 3.8: if Nθ‾<c<NθˉN\underline\theta < c < N\bar\thetaNθ​<c<Nθˉ, the pivot mechanism's expected budget surplus is negative.
  5. Proposition 3.8 (second best): under regularity and Nθ‾<c<NθˉN\underline\theta < c < N\bar\thetaNθ​<c<Nθˉ, an IC, IR, ex ante budget balanced mechanism maximizes expected welfare among such mechanisms iff for some λ>0\lambda > 0λ>0
q(θ)=1  ⟺  ∑iθi>c+∑iλ1+λ 1−Fi(θi)fi(θi),q(\theta) = 1 \iff \sum_i \theta_i > c + \sum_i \frac{\lambda}{1+\lambda}\,\frac{1-F_i(\theta_i)}{f_i(\theta_i)},q(θ)=1⟺i∑​θi​>c+i∑​1+λλ​fi​(θi​)1−Fi​(θi​)​,

the budget binds, ∫Θq(θ)[∑iψi(θi)−c]f(θ) dθ=0\int_\Theta q(\theta)\big[\sum_i \psi_i(\theta_i) - c\big] f(\theta)\,d\theta = 0∫Θ​q(θ)[∑i​ψi​(θi​)−c]f(θ)dθ=0, and Ti(θi)=θiQi(θi)−∫θ‾θiQi(x) dxT_i(\theta_i) = \theta_i Q_i(\theta_i) - \int_{\underline\theta}^{\theta_i} Q_i(x)\,dxTi​(θi​)=θi​Qi​(θi​)−∫θ​θi​​Qi​(x)dx. 6. Proposition 3.9 (profit maximization): under regularity, the profit-maximizing IC and IR mechanism produces iff ∑iθi>c+∑i(1−Fi(θi))/fi(θi)\sum_i \theta_i > c + \sum_i (1-F_i(\theta_i))/f_i(\theta_i)∑i​θi​>c+∑i​(1−Fi​(θi​))/fi​(θi​), with the same formula for TiT_iTi​. 7. Proposition 3.10 (Example 3.3: N=2N=2N=2, uniform types on [0,1][0,1][0,1], 0<c<20<c<20<c<2): the second best produces iff θ1+θ2>s\theta_1+\theta_2 > sθ1​+θ2​>s, where sss is the unique root in [0,1][0,1][0,1] of −23s3+s2−(1−12s2)c=0-\tfrac23 s^3 + s^2 - (1-\tfrac12 s^2)c = 0−32​s3+s2−(1−21​s2)c=0 if c<2/3c < 2/3c<2/3, and s=12+34cs = \tfrac12 + \tfrac34 cs=21​+43​c if c≥2/3c \ge 2/3c≥2/3. 8. Proposition 3.11 (same example): the profit maximizer produces iff θ1+θ2>1+12c\theta_1+\theta_2 > 1 + \tfrac12 cθ1​+θ2​>1+21​c.

Significance

Proposition 3.7 says that with voluntary participation no mechanism both takes efficient production decisions and pays for them, outside the degenerate cases. It is the reason the rest of the section, and much of the applied literature on public goods, studies constrained optimum mechanisms: Proposition 3.8 describes what the best budget-respecting mechanism gives up (it undersupplies the good, producing only when valuations exceed a bound strictly above the cost), and Proposition 3.9 quantifies the further distortion under a monopoly supplier. The example makes the three thresholds explicit and comparable.

All results of the section are classical and proved in the book, several of them only sketched there (Proposition 3.9 is stated without proof; Proposition 3.8 invokes an infinite-dimensional Kuhn–Tucker theorem whose applicability is not checked). None of them is formalized in Lean. The mission produces a machine-checked account of the envelope and revenue-equivalence arguments with interim expectations over independent types, a checked pivot-mechanism deficit computation, and a checked Lagrangian characterization; the uniform example additionally certifies the book's arithmetic.

Difficulty

The naive argument for the goal fails at the first step: a mechanism that implements q∗q^*q∗ with a balanced budget in every state is not obviously comparable to one that is only IC and IR, because IC constrains interim expectations while budget balance is ex post. The impossibility needs a reduction of the whole class of IC, IR mechanisms with rule q∗q^*q∗ to a single extremal one, which requires the payoff equivalence formula for interim utilities and an exact integral identity for expected revenue in terms of virtual valuations. The strict deficit of the pivot mechanism then needs a case analysis over which agents are pivotal and a positive-probability argument. For Proposition 3.8, pointwise maximization of a Lagrangian is not enough: one must show the multiplier exists and is positive, that the maximizer satisfies the monotonicity constraint, and that uniqueness holds only up to null sets.

Formalization scope

Agents are Fin N with N≥2N \ge 2N≥2; types are vectors in Fin N → ℝ; the type distribution is the product of the marginal measures fi(x) dxf_i(x)\,dxfi​(x)dx on [θ‾,θˉ][\underline\theta,\bar\theta][θ​,θˉ], which encodes independence. QiQ_iQi​ and TiT_iTi​ integrate the decision and transfer rules against this distribution with agent iii's coordinate overwritten by her report. Decision rules are deterministic, with values in {0,1}\{0,1\}{0,1} on Θ\ThetaΘ, as in Definition 3.4. Ties in the first best rule produce, as in the book's note 2 to Chapter 3; the second best and profit-maximizing rules use strict inequalities, as printed.

The book omits measurability and the existence of conditional expectations; the class of direct mechanisms here requires qqq and each tit_iti​ to be Borel measurable, each tit_iti​ integrable, and each conditional expectation of tit_iti​ given one agent's type to exist. The characterizations in Propositions 3.8–3.11 are stated in two directions: the stated rule, for every θ\thetaθ, is sufficient; necessity holds for almost every θ\thetaθ, since changing qqq on a null set of type vectors changes nothing that is optimized. The explicit formulas the mission commits to are: the pivot transfers above; the second best rule with multiplier λ>0\lambda > 0λ>0 and the binding budget identity; Ti(θi)=θiQi(θi)−∫θ‾θiQiT_i(\theta_i) = \theta_i Q_i(\theta_i) - \int_{\underline\theta}^{\theta_i} Q_iTi​(θi​)=θi​Qi​(θi​)−∫θ​θi​​Qi​; the cubic −23s3+s2−(1−12s2)c=0-\tfrac23 s^3 + s^2 - (1-\tfrac12 s^2)c = 0−32​s3+s2−(1−21​s2)c=0 for c<2/3c < 2/3c<2/3; s=12+34cs = \tfrac12 + \tfrac34 cs=21​+43​c for c≥2/3c \ge 2/3c≥2/3; and s=1+12cs = 1 + \tfrac12 cs=1+21​c for the profit maximizer.

A trivializing formalization of the goal takes "first best" to mean only the decision rule q∗q^*q∗; the pivot mechanism would then be a witness in every case, so first best here also requires transfers adding up to exactly c q∗(θ)c\,q^*(\theta)cq∗(θ) in every state.

Reusable infrastructure includes interim expectations over independent product distributions, the payoff and revenue equivalence lemmas for IC mechanisms, and the virtual-valuation identity for expected revenue; these are shared with the auction and bilateral trade chapters of the series. Contributions to any milestone, and to general lemmas about product measures with densities on boxes, are welcome.

Selected references

  • T. Börgers, An Introduction to the Theory of Mechanism Design, Oxford University Press, 2015, §3.3. https://doi.org/10.1093/acprof:oso/9780199734023.001.0001
  • C. d'Aspremont and L.-A. Gérard-Varet, Incentives and incomplete information, Journal of Public Economics 11 (1979) 25–45. https://doi.org/10.1016/0047-2727(79)90043-4
  • W. Güth and M. Hellwig, The private supply of a public good, Zeitschrift für Nationalökonomie, Supplement 5 (1986) 121–159.
  • R. B. Myerson and M. A. Satterthwaite, Efficient mechanisms for bilateral trading, Journal of Economic Theory 29 (1983) 265–281. https://doi.org/10.1016/0022-0531(83)90048-0
  • D. G. Luenberger, Optimization by Vector Space Methods, Wiley, 1969.
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Mechanism DesignOperations ResearchOptimization+1·Captain: mikedeng1

An Introduction to the Theory of Mechanism Design II: Myerson's Optimal Single-Unit AuctionTextbook

Why revenue-maximizing auctions matter

A seller with one indivisible good and several potential buyers, each of whom privately knows how much the good is worth to them, has to choose a selling procedure: a posted price, an English auction, a sealed-bid auction with a reserve price, or something more elaborate. Which procedure raises the most expected revenue? Myerson's answer (Myerson 1981) is the foundation of optimal auction design. It underlies reserve-price setting in practice, the analysis of sponsored-search and ad-exchange auctions, and the modern algorithmic mechanism design literature, which treats Myerson's auction as the benchmark against which simple and approximately optimal auctions are measured.

This mission formalizes Section 3.2 of Tilman Börgers, An Introduction to the Theory of Mechanism Design (Oxford University Press, 2015), the textbook treatment of Myerson's result in the independent private values model with Bayesian incentive compatibility. It is the second mission of a series covering the book.

Timeline. Vickrey (1961) showed that the second-price auction makes truthful bidding a dominant strategy and compared auction formats. Myerson (1981) characterized the revenue-maximizing mechanism for independent private values with possibly asymmetric distributions; Riley and Samuelson (1981) obtained the symmetric case and the optimal reserve price independently. The revelation principle in the Bayesian form used here goes back to Myerson (1979) and Dasgupta, Hammond and Maskin (1979).

Setting

There are N≥2N \ge 2N≥2 potential buyers i∈I={1,…,N}i \in I = \{1,\dots,N\}i∈I={1,…,N}. Buyer iii values the good at θi\theta_iθi​; if he receives it and pays tit_iti​ his utility is θi−ti\theta_i - t_iθi​−ti​, and otherwise −ti-t_i−ti​. The seller's utility is ∑iti\sum_i t_i∑i​ti​. The valuations θ1,…,θN\theta_1,\dots,\theta_Nθ1​,…,θN​ are independent; θi\theta_iθi​ has cumulative distribution function FiF_iFi​ and density fif_ifi​ with fi(θi)>0f_i(\theta_i) > 0fi​(θi​)>0 on the common support [θ‾,θˉ][\underline\theta, \bar\theta][θ​,θˉ], where 0≤θ‾<θˉ0 \le \underline\theta < \bar\theta0≤θ​<θˉ. The type space is Θ=[θ‾,θˉ]N\Theta = [\underline\theta,\bar\theta]^NΘ=[θ​,θˉ]N and the joint density is f(θ)=∏ifi(θi)f(\theta) = \prod_i f_i(\theta_i)f(θ)=∏i​fi​(θi​).

A direct mechanism asks buyers to report their types and consists of an allocation rule q:Θ→Δq : \Theta \to \Deltaq:Θ→Δ, where Δ={(q1,…,qN):0≤qi≤1, ∑iqi≤1}\Delta = \{(q_1,\dots,q_N) : 0 \le q_i \le 1,\ \sum_i q_i \le 1\}Δ={(q1​,…,qN​):0≤qi​≤1, ∑i​qi​≤1}, and payment rules ti:Θ→Rt_i : \Theta \to \mathbb Rti​:Θ→R. Its interim quantities are the expected allocation probability, payment and utility of buyer iii conditional on his own type:

Qi(θi)=∫Θ−iqi(θi,θ−i)f−i(θ−i) dθ−i,Ti(θi)=∫Θ−iti(θi,θ−i)f−i(θ−i) dθ−i,Ui=θiQi−Ti.Q_i(\theta_i) = \int_{\Theta_{-i}} q_i(\theta_i,\theta_{-i}) f_{-i}(\theta_{-i})\,d\theta_{-i},\quad T_i(\theta_i) = \int_{\Theta_{-i}} t_i(\theta_i,\theta_{-i}) f_{-i}(\theta_{-i})\,d\theta_{-i},\quad U_i = \theta_i Q_i - T_i.Qi​(θi​)=∫Θ−i​​qi​(θi​,θ−i​)f−i​(θ−i​)dθ−i​,Ti​(θi​)=∫Θ−i​​ti​(θi​,θ−i​)f−i​(θ−i​)dθ−i​,Ui​=θi​Qi​−Ti​.

The mechanism is incentive-compatible if θiQi(θi)−Ti(θi)≥θiQi(θi′)−Ti(θi′)\theta_i Q_i(\theta_i) - T_i(\theta_i) \ge \theta_i Q_i(\theta_i') - T_i(\theta_i')θi​Qi​(θi​)−Ti​(θi​)≥θi​Qi​(θi′​)−Ti​(θi′​) for all i,θi,θi′i,\theta_i,\theta_i'i,θi​,θi′​ (truth-telling is a Bayesian Nash equilibrium) and individually rational if Ui(θi)≥0U_i(\theta_i) \ge 0Ui​(θi​)≥0 for all i,θii,\theta_ii,θi​. The virtual valuation of buyer iii is

ψi(θi)=θi−1−Fi(θi)fi(θi),\psi_i(\theta_i) = \theta_i - \frac{1 - F_i(\theta_i)}{f_i(\theta_i)},ψi​(θi​)=θi​−fi​(θi​)1−Fi​(θi​)​,

and the distribution FiF_iFi​ is regular if ψi\psi_iψi​ is strictly increasing.

Formalization targets

Goal: Myerson's optimal auction (Proposition 3.4)

Under regularity, among all incentive-compatible and individually rational direct mechanisms, a mechanism maximizes the seller's expected revenue E[∑iti(θ)]\mathbb E[\sum_i t_i(\theta)]E[∑i​ti​(θ)] exactly when, for every buyer iii,

qi(θ)={1if ψi(θi)>0 and ψi(θi)>ψj(θj) for all j≠i,0otherwise,Ti(θi)=θiQi(θi)−∫θ‾θiQi(x) dx,q_i(\theta) = \begin{cases}1 & \text{if } \psi_i(\theta_i) > 0 \text{ and } \psi_i(\theta_i) > \psi_j(\theta_j) \text{ for all } j \ne i,\\ 0&\text{otherwise,}\end{cases}\qquad T_i(\theta_i) = \theta_i Q_i(\theta_i) - \int_{\underline\theta}^{\theta_i} Q_i(x)\,dx,qi​(θ)={10​if ψi​(θi​)>0 and ψi​(θi​)>ψj​(θj​) for all j=i,otherwise,​Ti​(θi​)=θi​Qi​(θi​)−∫θ​θi​​Qi​(x)dx,

the allocation identity holding for almost every θ\thetaθ; and such a mechanism exists.

Milestones

  1. Proposition 3.1, the revelation principle: every Bayesian Nash equilibrium of every mechanism is replicated by truth-telling in an incentive-compatible direct mechanism.
  2. Lemmas 3.1–3.4: incentive compatibility makes QiQ_iQi​ increasing and UiU_iUi​ convex with Ui′=QiU_i' = Q_iUi′​=Qi​; payoff equivalence Ui(θi)=Ui(θ‾)+∫θ‾θiQiU_i(\theta_i) = U_i(\underline\theta) + \int_{\underline\theta}^{\theta_i} Q_iUi​(θi​)=Ui​(θ​)+∫θ​θi​​Qi​; revenue equivalence for TiT_iTi​.
  3. Proposition 3.2: incentive compatibility holds if and only if every QiQ_iQi​ is increasing and the revenue-equivalence formula holds.
  4. Proposition 3.3: under incentive compatibility, individual rationality is equivalent to Ti(θ‾)≤θ‾Qi(θ‾)T_i(\underline\theta) \le \underline\theta Q_i(\underline\theta)Ti​(θ​)≤θ​Qi​(θ​).
  5. Lemma 3.5: an optimal mechanism has Ti(θ‾)=θ‾Qi(θ‾)T_i(\underline\theta) = \underline\theta Q_i(\underline\theta)Ti​(θ​)=θ​Qi​(θ​).
  6. Eqs. (3.4)–(3.5): expected revenue equals expected virtual surplus ∑i∫Θqi(θ)ψi(θi)f(θ) dθ\sum_i \int_\Theta q_i(\theta)\psi_i(\theta_i) f(\theta)\,d\theta∑i​∫Θ​qi​(θ)ψi​(θi​)f(θ)dθ.
  7. Proposition 3.5: a mechanism maximizes expected welfare E[∑iqi(θ)θi]\mathbb E[\sum_i q_i(\theta)\theta_i]E[∑i​qi​(θ)θi​] among incentive-compatible, individually rational mechanisms if and only if it gives the good to the highest value (almost everywhere) and Ti(θi)≤θiQi(θi)−∫θ‾θiQiT_i(\theta_i) \le \theta_i Q_i(\theta_i) - \int_{\underline\theta}^{\theta_i}Q_iTi​(θi​)≤θi​Qi​(θi​)−∫θ​θi​​Qi​.

Significance

The theorem identifies the revenue-maximizing selling procedure among all procedures, not among a parametric family: by the revelation principle, no auction format, however elaborate, and no equilibrium of it can beat the mechanism of Proposition 3.4. Its consequences include the optimality of first- and second-price auctions with reserve price ψ−1(0)\psi^{-1}(0)ψ−1(0) when buyers are symmetric, the revenue equivalence of standard auction formats, the fact that an asymmetric optimal auction may sell to a buyer without the highest value, and the monopoly inefficiency that the optimal seller sometimes withholds the good. The envelope characterization of Bayesian incentive compatibility (Proposition 3.2) is the tool reused throughout the rest of the book, in public goods provision, bilateral trade and dynamic screening.

The result is classical and fully proved in the literature. What is missing is a machine-checked version at this generality: asymmetric distributions, an arbitrary lower support end θ‾≥0\underline\theta \ge 0θ​≥0, Bayesian (interim) rather than dominant-strategy constraints, and optimality over all incentive-compatible and individually rational mechanisms. Existing formalizations on the platform treat the i.i.d. case with values on [0,vˉ][0,\bar v][0,vˉ].

Difficulty

The obvious argument maximizes the virtual surplus ∑iqi(θ)ψi(θi)\sum_i q_i(\theta)\psi_i(\theta_i)∑i​qi​(θ)ψi​(θi​) pointwise and declares victory, but this ignores that the seller's feasible set is constrained by monotonicity of every QiQ_iQi​; the pointwise maximizer is feasible only because regularity makes ψi\psi_iψi​ increasing, and that has to be proved for the interim probabilities, which integrate over the other buyers' types. The revenue identity links interim payments, which integrate over the other buyers' types, to an integral over the whole type space weighted by the virtual valuation, and it is only valid for mechanisms whose lowest types' payments are pinned down. The necessity direction requires showing that ties and zero virtual values are null events, which rests on strict monotonicity of every ψi\psi_iψi​ and on the absolute continuity of the type distribution. Finally, the envelope step requires convexity and almost-everywhere differentiability of UiU_iUi​, with care at the endpoints of the type interval.

Formalization scope

Buyers form a finite type with at least two elements. The prior is the measure on RN\mathbb R^NRN with density ∏ifi(θi)\prod_i f_i(\theta_i)∏i​fi​(θi​) on Θ\ThetaΘ and no mass outside it; each fif_ifi​ is measurable, strictly positive on [θ‾,θˉ][\underline\theta,\bar\theta][θ​,θˉ] and integrates to 111; Fi(θi)=∫θ‾θifiF_i(\theta_i) = \int_{\underline\theta}^{\theta_i} f_iFi​(θi​)=∫θ​θi​​fi​. Allocation and payment rules are total functions whose values on Θ\ThetaΘ are constrained, and QiQ_iQi​, TiT_iTi​ are prior expectations with the iii-th coordinate fixed. "Increasing" is weak monotonicity, as in the book; regularity is strict monotonicity of ψi\psi_iψi​ on [θ‾,θˉ][\underline\theta,\bar\theta][θ​,θˉ] (Assumption 3.1).

The following conventions are committed to:

  • Measurability. The book omits measurability throughout. The comparison class for optimality consists of mechanisms with measurable qi,tiq_i, t_iqi​,ti​, integrable tit_iti​, and integrable sections θ−i↦ti(θi,θ−i)\theta_{-i}\mapsto t_i(\theta_i,\theta_{-i})θ−i​↦ti​(θi​,θ−i​). Without these hypotheses the Lean integrals would be 000 and revenue comparisons would be meaningless.
  • Almost-everywhere characterizations. Propositions 3.4 and 3.5 are printed with "for all θ∈Θ\theta \in \Thetaθ∈Θ". Changing qqq on a null set of type vectors changes neither incentives nor revenue nor welfare, so the "only if" directions hold only almost everywhere; they are stated for almost every θ\thetaθ, and the existence of a mechanism satisfying the allocation rule at every θ\thetaθ is stated separately. The payment conditions hold for every θi\theta_iθi​.
  • Explicit formulas. The goal states Myerson's allocation rule and the payment formula Ti(θi)=θiQi(θi)−∫θ‾θiQi(x) dxT_i(\theta_i) = \theta_i Q_i(\theta_i) - \int_{\underline\theta}^{\theta_i} Q_i(x)\,dxTi​(θi​)=θi​Qi​(θi​)−∫θ​θi​​Qi​(x)dx explicitly. Proposition 3.5 states the efficient rule qi(θ)=1q_i(\theta) = 1qi​(θ)=1 iff θi>θj\theta_i > \theta_jθi​>θj​ for all j≠ij \ne ij=i, and the payment inequality. A statement asserting only that some optimal mechanism exists, or only that the optimal auction is efficient, would not be this theorem.
  • Revelation principle. A general mechanism has arbitrary measurable message sets and an outcome function giving allocation probabilities in Δ\DeltaΔ and expected transfers; equilibria are in pure type-contingent strategies. A version in which the mechanism is already direct would be trivial and is not the statement.
  • Interim constraints. Incentive compatibility and individual rationality are Bayesian and interim, not dominant-strategy or ex post; the latter are the subject of a later mission.
  • Endpoints in Lemma 3.2. Differentiability of UiU_iUi​ and Ui′=QiU_i' = Q_iUi′​=Qi​ are stated at interior points of [θ‾,θˉ][\underline\theta,\bar\theta][θ​,θˉ].

The envelope and payoff-equivalence lemmas, and the revenue identity, are reused in later missions of this series, so proofs of the milestones are welcome independently of the goal.

Selected references

  • Tilman Börgers, An Introduction to the Theory of Mechanism Design, Oxford University Press, 2015, §3.2, pp. 31–45. https://doi.org/10.1093/acprof:oso/9780199734023.001.0001
  • Roger B. Myerson, Optimal Auction Design, Mathematics of Operations Research 6(1), 58–73, 1981. https://doi.org/10.1287/moor.6.1.58
  • John G. Riley and William F. Samuelson, Optimal Auctions, American Economic Review 71(3), 381–392, 1981. https://www.jstor.org/stable/1802786
  • William Vickrey, Counterspeculation, Auctions, and Competitive Sealed Tenders, Journal of Finance 16(1), 8–37, 1961. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1540-6261.1961.tb02789.x
  • Roger B. Myerson, Incentive Compatibility and the Bargaining Problem, Econometrica 47(1), 61–73, 1979. https://doi.org/10.2307/1912346
  • Partha Dasgupta, Peter Hammond and Eric Maskin, The Implementation of Social Choice Rules: Some General Results on Incentive Compatibility, Review of Economic Studies 46(2), 185–216, 1979. https://doi.org/10.2307/2297045
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Functional AnalysisMechanism DesignOperations Research+1·Captain: mikedeng1

An Introduction to the Theory of Mechanism Design I: Screening and the Optimality of a Posted PriceTextbook

Motivation

A seller with one good and one buyer whose valuation she does not know faces the simplest problem of mechanism design: choose a selling procedure, anticipating that the buyer will act in his own interest given what he knows. The textbook answer, "post the monopoly price", is usually derived by optimizing over prices alone. The question that opens Börgers' An Introduction to the Theory of Mechanism Design (Oxford University Press, 2015, doi:10.1093/acprof:oso/9780199734023.001.0001) is whether the seller could do better with anything else: negotiation, lotteries, menus of price–probability pairs, or any extensive game she can commit to.

Chapter 2 answers this for one buyer, and in doing so introduces the tools the rest of the book, and most of auction theory, reuse: the revelation principle, the envelope characterization of incentive compatibility, payoff and revenue equivalence, and the virtual valuation. The book's exposition of §2.2 follows Manelli and Vincent (2007), and the nonlinear pricing model of §2.3 is due to Mussa and Rosen (1978, doi:10.1016/0022-0531(78)90085-6); both attributions are the book's own (§2.5, p.29).

Setting

The buyer's type θ\thetaθ is his valuation for the good. His utility is θ−t\theta-tθ−t if he receives the good and pays ttt, and −t-t−t if he only pays ttt. The seller's belief about θ\thetaθ is a cumulative distribution function FFF with density fff on an interval [θ‾,θˉ][\underline\theta,\bar\theta][θ​,θˉ], 0≤θ‾<θˉ0\le\underline\theta<\bar\theta0≤θ​<θˉ, with f(θ)>0f(\theta)>0f(θ)>0 throughout and F(θ)=∫θ‾θf(x) dxF(\theta)=\int_{\underline\theta}^{\theta}f(x)\,dxF(θ)=∫θ​θ​f(x)dx.

A direct mechanism is a pair q:[θ‾,θˉ]→[0,1]q:[\underline\theta,\bar\theta]\to[0,1]q:[θ​,θˉ]→[0,1], t:[θ‾,θˉ]→Rt:[\underline\theta,\bar\theta]\to\mathbb Rt:[θ​,θˉ]→R: the buyer reports a type θ′\theta'θ′, receives the good with probability q(θ′)q(\theta')q(θ′) and pays t(θ′)t(\theta')t(θ′). Write u(θ)=θq(θ)−t(θ)u(\theta)=\theta q(\theta)-t(\theta)u(θ)=θq(θ)−t(θ). The mechanism is incentive-compatible if u(θ)≥θq(θ′)−t(θ′)u(\theta)\ge\theta q(\theta')-t(\theta')u(θ)≥θq(θ′)−t(θ′) for all θ,θ′\theta,\theta'θ,θ′, and individually rational if u(θ)≥0u(\theta)\ge 0u(θ)≥0 for all θ\thetaθ. The seller's expected revenue is ∫θ‾θˉt(θ)f(θ) dθ\int_{\underline\theta}^{\bar\theta}t(\theta)f(\theta)\,d\theta∫θ​θˉ​t(θ)f(θ)dθ.

For the extreme-point argument, F\mathcal FF denotes the space of functions on [θ‾,θˉ][\underline\theta,\bar\theta][θ​,θˉ] with the L1L^1L1 norm, and M⊂FM\subset\mathcal FM⊂F the set of increasing functions with values in [0,1][0,1][0,1]. A point xxx of a convex set CCC is an extreme point if for every y≠0y\neq 0y=0 at least one of x+yx+yx+y, x−yx-yx−y lies outside CCC.

In the nonlinear pricing model of §2.3 the good is divisible, quantity q≥0q\ge 0q≥0 costs the seller cqcqcq with c>0c>0c>0, and the buyer's utility is θν(q)−t\theta\nu(q)-tθν(q)−t, with ν(0)=0\nu(0)=0ν(0)=0, ν′>0\nu'>0ν′>0, ν′′<0\nu''<0ν′′<0, θˉν′(0)>c\bar\theta\nu'(0)>cθˉν′(0)>c and lim⁡q→∞θˉν′(q)<c\lim_{q\to\infty}\bar\theta\nu'(q)<climq→∞​θˉν′(q)<c. The seller maximizes expected profit ∫(t−cq)f\int(t-cq)f∫(t−cq)f. The distribution FFF is regular if the virtual valuation θ−(1−F(θ))/f(θ)\theta-(1-F(\theta))/f(\theta)θ−(1−F(θ))/f(θ) is increasing.

Formalization targets

Goal: Proposition 2.5, a posted price is optimal

If p∗∈arg⁡max⁡p∈[θ‾,θˉ]p(1−F(p))p^*\in\arg\max_{p\in[\underline\theta,\bar\theta]}p(1-F(p))p∗∈argmaxp∈[θ​,θˉ]​p(1−F(p)), then the mechanism

q(θ)={1θ>p∗0θ<p∗,t(θ)={p∗θ>p∗0θ<p∗q(\theta)=\begin{cases}1&\theta>p^*\\0&\theta<p^*\end{cases},\qquad t(\theta)=\begin{cases}p^*&\theta>p^*\\0&\theta<p^*\end{cases}q(θ)={10​θ>p∗θ<p∗​,t(θ)={p∗0​θ>p∗θ<p∗​

maximizes expected revenue among all incentive-compatible, individually rational direct mechanisms. The comparison class contains every randomized rule qqq with values in [0,1][0,1][0,1]; the statement fixes no distribution and no constant.

Milestones on the way

  1. Proposition 2.1: every mechanism and optimal buyer strategy can be replaced by a truthful direct mechanism with the same outcomes.
  2. Lemmas 2.1–2.4: incentive compatibility forces qqq increasing, uuu increasing and convex with u′=qu'=qu′=q, and
u(θ)=u(θ‾)+∫θ‾θq(x) dx,t(θ)=t(θ‾)+(θq(θ)−θ‾q(θ‾))−∫θ‾θq(x) dx.u(\theta)=u(\underline\theta)+\int_{\underline\theta}^{\theta}q(x)\,dx,\qquad t(\theta)=t(\underline\theta)+\big(\theta q(\theta)-\underline\theta q(\underline\theta)\big)-\int_{\underline\theta}^{\theta}q(x)\,dx.u(θ)=u(θ​)+∫θ​θ​q(x)dx,t(θ)=t(θ​)+(θq(θ)−θ​q(θ​))−∫θ​θ​q(x)dx.
  1. Propositions 2.2–2.3 and Lemma 2.5: these conditions characterize incentive compatibility; individual rationality reduces to u(θ‾)≥0u(\underline\theta)\ge0u(θ​)≥0; at the optimum t(θ‾)=θ‾q(θ‾)t(\underline\theta)=\underline\theta q(\underline\theta)t(θ​)=θ​q(θ​).
  2. Lemma 2.6, Proposition 2.4, Lemma 2.7: MMM is compact and convex, a linear function continuous on a compact convex set attains its maximum at an extreme point, and the extreme points of MMM are the {0,1}\{0,1\}{0,1}-valued functions.
  3. Proposition 2.6: under regularity, q(θ)=0q(\theta)=0q(θ)=0 when ν′(0)(θ−1−F(θ)f(θ))≤c\nu'(0)\big(\theta-\tfrac{1-F(\theta)}{f(\theta)}\big)\le cν′(0)(θ−f(θ)1−F(θ)​)≤c, otherwise ν′(q(θ))(θ−1−F(θ)f(θ))=c\nu'(q(\theta))\big(\theta-\tfrac{1-F(\theta)}{f(\theta)}\big)=cν′(q(θ))(θ−f(θ)1−F(θ)​)=c, with t(θ)=θν(q(θ))−∫θ‾θν(q(x)) dxt(\theta)=\theta\nu(q(\theta))-\int_{\underline\theta}^{\theta}\nu(q(x))\,dxt(θ)=θν(q(θ))−∫θ​θ​ν(q(x))dx, maximizes expected profit.

Significance

Proposition 2.5 says that the elementary monopoly price is not a restriction of the seller's options but the solution of the unrestricted design problem, including every lottery and every indirect procedure. Its one-buyer argument is the template for Myerson's optimal auction (Chapter 3 of the book), whose revenue formula is the multi-buyer form of Lemma 2.4. Proposition 2.6 exhibits the two standard features of screening, no distortion at the top and downward distortion below, which recur in regulation, insurance and contract theory.

All results of the chapter are classical and proved in the book. None of them is formalized on Prove2Me, and Mathlib has neither the revelation principle, the envelope lemma for incentive-compatible mechanisms, nor a maximum principle for linear functions on compact convex sets (Mathlib has the Krein–Milman lemma, IsCompact.extremePoints_nonempty, but not Bauer's maximum principle). The mission therefore produces the first machine-checked foundation for the one-agent screening model on which chapters 3, 4 and 11 of the book build.

Difficulty

The obvious argument for the goal compares the posted price with other posted prices; that comparison is one line and is not the theorem. The content is the comparison with randomized mechanisms: an arbitrary increasing qqq with values in [0,1][0,1][0,1] may do better than every deterministic threshold rule unless one shows that expected revenue is linear in qqq and that its maximum over the infinite-dimensional set MMM is attained at an extreme point. That step needs compactness of MMM in L1L^1L1 and a maximum principle on compact convex sets in a normed space, neither of which is finite-dimensional linear programming. The envelope step (Lemma 2.3) needs absolute continuity of a convex function on a closed interval, including its endpoints, where uuu need not be differentiable. For Proposition 2.6 the pointwise maximizer of the virtual surplus must be shown to be monotone and to satisfy incentive compatibility, which is where regularity enters.

Formalization scope

Types are real numbers; every function of the type is a total function R→R\mathbb R\to\mathbb RR→R and every condition quantifies over [θ‾,θˉ][\underline\theta,\bar\theta][θ​,θˉ] only. "Increasing" means weakly increasing (the book's note 3). The distribution is a structure carrying the density fff, positive and integrable on [θ‾,θˉ][\underline\theta,\bar\theta][θ​,θˉ] with total mass 111, and FFF tied to it by F(θ)=∫θ‾θfF(\theta)=\int_{\underline\theta}^{\theta}fF(θ)=∫θ​θ​f. No measurability or integrability hypothesis is placed on mechanisms: incentive compatibility makes qqq monotone and ttt bounded and measurable, so every expected revenue is a genuine integral.

The explicit formulas are part of the statements: the posted-price mechanism of Proposition 2.5 with p∗∈arg⁡max⁡p(1−F(p))p^*\in\arg\max p(1-F(p))p∗∈argmaxp(1−F(p)); the payment formulas of Lemmas 2.3–2.4 and Proposition 2.2; t(θ‾)=θ‾q(θ‾)t(\underline\theta)=\underline\theta q(\underline\theta)t(θ​)=θ​q(θ​) in Lemma 2.5; and in Proposition 2.6 the two-case rule for qqq and the payment t(θ)=θν(q(θ))−∫θ‾θν(q(x)) dxt(\theta)=\theta\nu(q(\theta))-\int_{\underline\theta}^{\theta}\nu(q(x))\,dxt(θ)=θν(q(θ))−∫θ​θ​ν(q(x))dx. The goal fixes q(p∗)=1q(p^*)=1q(p∗)=1, t(p∗)=p∗t(p^*)=p^*t(p∗)=p∗ for existence and quantifies over every incentive-compatible, individually rational completion at the tie.

The space F\mathcal FF is L1([θ‾,θˉ])L^1([\underline\theta,\bar\theta])L1([θ​,θˉ]) of almost-everywhere classes, because the book's L1L^1L1 "norm" on bounded functions vanishes on null functions; MMM is the set of classes with an increasing [0,1][0,1][0,1]-valued representative, and Lemma 2.7 is an almost-everywhere statement, as the book's notes 4–6 already indicate. Proposition 2.4 is stated for a nonempty compact convex set in a real normed space and a linear map continuous on that set. The revelation principle models a general mechanism as the buyer's reduced strategy set, an arbitrary type, with a purchase probability and an expected payment for each strategy.

A goal that compared the posted price only with other posted prices, or only with deterministic mechanisms, would be trivial and is excluded: the competitors range over all incentive-compatible, individually rational direct mechanisms with qqq valued in [0,1][0,1][0,1].

Reusable beyond this mission: the one-agent envelope and revenue-equivalence lemmas (needed again in Chapters 3, 4 and 11), compactness of monotone functions in L1L^1L1, and the maximum principle for linear functions on compact convex sets. Contributions to any of these are welcome.

Selected references

  • T. Börgers (with D. Krähmer and R. Strausz), An Introduction to the Theory of Mechanism Design, Oxford University Press, 2015. doi:10.1093/acprof:oso/9780199734023.001.0001
  • M. Mussa and S. Rosen, "Monopoly and product quality", Journal of Economic Theory 18(2), 1978. doi:10.1016/0022-0531(78)90085-6
  • E. A. Ok, Real Analysis with Economic Applications, Princeton University Press, 2007 (Extreme Point Theorem, p.658), cited by the book at p.16.
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CombinatoricsOperations Research·Captain: mikedeng1

Theory of Games and Economic Behavior VI: Splitting Sets and the Decomposition Partition of a GameTextbook

Motivation

Chapter IX of von Neumann and Morgenstern's Theory of Games and Economic Behavior asks when a game played by many participants is really several separate games played side by side. The authors' motivation (41.1) is methodological: the general theory of the nnn-person game becomes unmanageable as nnn grows, and one way to gain insight into large games is to isolate classes of games that can be analysed exactly. The first such class consists of games whose players fall into groups that have no dealings with each other — the book's example is the internal economies of two countries whose connections are disregarded (41.2.4). Such a game is the composition of its constituents, and the question of the chapter is how to recognise a composite game from its characteristic function alone and how far a given game can be decomposed.

The answer (§43) is a structure theorem. The groups of players that can be split off form a Boolean algebra of sets; its atoms, the minimal splitting sets, form a partition of the set of players, the decomposition partition ΠΓ\Pi_\GammaΠΓ​; and every splitting set is a union of blocks of ΠΓ\Pi_\GammaΠΓ​. The book remarks (41.3.3) that the splitting condition (41:7) is exactly Carathéodory's criterion of measurability, transported from measures to characteristic functions. The mission formalizes §43, together with the criterion (42:G) of §42 on which it rests.

Setting

Let III be a finite set of players. A characteristic function is a real number v(S)v(S)v(S) for every subset S⊆IS \subseteq IS⊆I (every coalition, including the empty set ⊖\ominus⊖ and III). Write −S=I−S-S = I - S−S=I−S. From 42.4.1 on the book works in the domain of constant-sum games, whose characteristic functions are, by (42:D), exactly the functions satisfying

(42:6:a) v(⊖)=0,(42:6:b) v(S)+v(−S)=v(I),(42:6:c) v(S)+v(T)≦v(S∪T)  if S∩T=⊖.\text{(42:6:a)}\ v(\ominus) = 0,\qquad \text{(42:6:b)}\ v(S) + v(-S) = v(I),\qquad \text{(42:6:c)}\ v(S) + v(T) \leqq v(S \cup T)\ \text{ if } S \cap T = \ominus .(42:6:a) v(⊖)=0,(42:6:b) v(S)+v(−S)=v(I),(42:6:c) v(S)+v(T)≦v(S∪T)  if S∩T=⊖.

For J⊆IJ \subseteq IJ⊆I with complement K=I−JK = I - JK=I−J, the game is decomposable with respect to JJJ and KKK if there are constant-sum games Δ\DeltaΔ on the players JJJ and H\mathrm HH on the players KKK with v(R)=vΔ(R∩J)+vH(R∩K)v(R) = v_\Delta(R \cap J) + v_{\mathrm H}(R \cap K)v(R)=vΔ​(R∩J)+vH​(R∩K) for all R⊆IR \subseteq IR⊆I — formula (41:3). The JJJ-constituent Δ\DeltaΔ is the game on JJJ with vΔ(S)=v(S)v_\Delta(S) = v(S)vΔ​(S)=v(S) for S⊆JS \subseteq JS⊆J (41:4).

A splitting set (43.1) is a J⊆IJ \subseteq IJ⊆I satisfying (41:6),

v(S∪T)=v(S)+v(T)for S⊆J, T⊆I−J.v(S \cup T) = v(S) + v(T) \quad \text{for } S \subseteq J,\ T \subseteq I - J .v(S∪T)=v(S)+v(T)for S⊆J, T⊆I−J.

The game is indecomposable if ⊖\ominus⊖ and III are its only splitting sets (43.3.1). A minimal splitting set is a splitting set J≠⊖J \neq \ominusJ=⊖ none of whose proper subsets J′≠⊖J' \neq \ominusJ′=⊖ is splitting (43.3.2), and ΠΓ\Pi_\GammaΠΓ​ is the system of all minimal splitting sets. The game is inessential (42:F) if it is strategically equivalent to the zero game, i.e. v(S)+∑k∈Sαk0=0v(S) + \sum_{k \in S} \alpha^0_k = 0v(S)+∑k∈S​αk0​=0 for all SSS, for some reals αk0\alpha^0_kαk0​ (the transformation (42:5)).

Formalization targets

Goal: (43:F), (43:G), (43:H)

For every vvv satisfying (42:6:a)–(42:6:c):

J1≠J2∈ΠΓ⇒J1∩J2=⊖,⋃J∈ΠΓJ=I,K splitting  ⟺  K=J1∪⋯∪Jp, Ji∈ΠΓ.J_1 \neq J_2 \in \Pi_\Gamma \Rightarrow J_1 \cap J_2 = \ominus, \qquad \bigcup_{J \in \Pi_\Gamma} J = I, \qquad K \text{ splitting} \iff K = J_1 \cup \dots \cup J_p,\ J_i \in \Pi_\Gamma .J1​=J2​∈ΠΓ​⇒J1​∩J2​=⊖,J∈ΠΓ​⋃​J=I,K splitting⟺K=J1​∪⋯∪Jp​, Ji​∈ΠΓ​.

The goal combines the partition property and the characterization of all splitting sets; it is the book's own summary of §43.3 and does not presuppose that ΠΓ\Pi_\GammaΠΓ​ is a partition.

Milestones

In attack order: the criterion (42:G) (decomposability   ⟺  \iff⟺ (41:6)   ⟺  \iff⟺ (41:7)); the closure properties (43:A) (complements), (43:B) (⊖\ominus⊖, III), (43:C) (intersections and unions); (43:D) (splitting sets of a constituent) and (43:E) (a constituent is indecomposable iff its set is minimal); (43:F), (43:G) separately; (43:I) (a minimal splitting set is disjoint from, or inside, any splitting set); the restatement (43:H*) (KKK splits iff every block of ΠΓ\Pi_\GammaΠΓ​ lies inside or outside KKK); and the two extreme cases (43:J) (ΠΓ\Pi_\GammaΠΓ​ = all singletons iff the game is inessential) and (43:K) (ΠΓ={I}\Pi_\Gamma = \{I\}ΠΓ​={I} iff the game is indecomposable).

Significance

The decomposition partition is canonical: every constant-sum game splits uniquely into indecomposable constituents, and (43:E) identifies them as the constituents on the blocks of ΠΓ\Pi_\GammaΠΓ​. The two extreme cases (43:J), (43:K) show that inessentiality and indecomposability are opposite ends of one scale. Chapter IX uses this structure in §§44–47, where solutions of decomposable games are related to solutions of their constituents ((46:A)–(46:I)); a formal decomposition partition is the prerequisite for that later work, and a candidate follow-up mission.

The results are classical and proved in the book. The mission's contribution is a machine-checked version: a formal definition layer for splitting sets of a set function on a finite set, the Boolean-algebra closure, and the atomic decomposition. The combinatorial core — that the sets satisfying a Carathéodory-type additivity condition form a Boolean algebra of a finite set, whose atoms partition it — is reusable outside game theory (for instance for finitely additive decompositions of set functions). No machine-checked version of these results is known to exist; they are formalized here for the first time as far as a search of the platform shows.

Difficulty

The individual steps are elementary, but the obvious argument for the key closure property (43:C) fails: to show that J′∪J′′J' \cup J''J′∪J′′ is splitting one cannot simply add the identities (41:6) for J′J'J′ and for J′′J''J′′, since a pair S⊆J′∪J′′S \subseteq J' \cup J''S⊆J′∪J′′, T⊆I−(J′∪J′′)T \subseteq I - (J' \cup J'')T⊆I−(J′∪J′′) is not of the form those identities control, and J′∩J′′J' \cap J''J′∩J′′ may be nonempty — the book's footnote on p. 354 singles out overlapping splitting sets as the case its proof is really about. Likewise (43:D) is not a tautology: that a set self-contained within a self-contained set is self-contained in the whole game has to be proved (footnote 1, p. 355). Formally, the main work is bookkeeping of set identities and the passage between subsets of JJJ (players of the constituent) and subsets of III.

Formalization scope

  • Players. The set of players III is an arbitrary finite type ι with decidable equality (the book's I=(1,…,n)I = (1, \dots, n)I=(1,…,n); in Chapter IX players are also named 1′,…,k′,1′′,…,l′′1', \dots, k', 1'', \dots, l''1′,…,k′,1′′,…,l′′). Coalitions are Finset ι, −S-S−S and I−JI - JI−J are the complement Sᶜ in III, and vvv is a function Finset ι → ℝ.
  • Standing hypotheses. Every theorem assumes (42:6:a)–(42:6:c) (the structure IsConstantSum), the chapter's domain from 42.5.3 on ("in the remainder of this chapter we will continue to consider constant-sum games", p. 353). v(I)v(I)v(I) is arbitrary: the statements are not restricted to zero-sum games, which would be a weaker special case. (43:K) additionally assumes III nonempty ([Nonempty ι], the book's n≧1n \geqq 1n≧1); every other statement holds without it. (43:E) assumes J≠⊖J \neq \ominusJ=⊖, since the book's constituent is a game and has at least one player.
  • Characteristic functions only. Games are represented by their characteristic functions, as the book does throughout §§42–43 by (42:D). Decomposability quantifies over constant-sum characteristic functions vΔv_\DeltavΔ​, vHv_{\mathrm H}vH​ on the subtypes ↥J, ↥Jᶜ; the JJJ-constituent is vvv restricted to subsets of ↥J. Sums of sets are unions; "disjunct" is Disjoint.
  • Π_Γ. decompositionPartition v is the set of minimal splitting sets; that it is a partition is proved, not assumed. An aggregate of minimal splitting sets is a finite family A, its sum A.sup id; the empty aggregate gives ⊖\ominus⊖.
  • No trivialization. A definition of splitting sets that quantified over T⊆IT \subseteq IT⊆I instead of T⊆I−JT \subseteq I - JT⊆I−J, or complements taken in an ambient type larger than III, would change the theorems; here the complement is in the finite type of players itself. With III empty all statements except (43:K) hold trivially, and (43:K) carries the nonemptiness hypothesis.
  • Contributions welcome. Proofs of the milestones in the listed order; general Mathlib-style lemmas on Boolean subalgebras of Finset ι and their atoms, which would shorten (43:F)–(43:H).

Selected references

  • J. von Neumann and O. Morgenstern, Theory of Games and Economic Behavior, 60th-anniversary edition, Princeton University Press, 2007 (page-for-page reprint of the 3rd edition, 1953), Chapter IX, §§41–43, pp. 339–357. https://doi.org/10.1515/9781400829460
  • C. Carathéodory, Vorlesungen über reelle Funktionen, Teubner, Leipzig–Berlin, 1918, Chapter V (the measurability criterion to which (41:7) corresponds, cited by the book on p. 343).
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Operations ResearchOptimizationProbability·Captain: mikedeng1

Information Sharing in a Supply Chain with a Common Retailer 1: Under Production Diseconomy the Retailer Earns More from Sequential Information Contracting and the Manufacturers from ConcurrentResearch Paper

Motivation

Retailers hold point-of-sale data that their suppliers cannot observe, and large retailers sell access to it through data-sharing programs (Costco's CRX, Walmart's Retail Link and similar programs). When one retailer carries the substitutable products of two competing manufacturers, sharing its demand information is a strategic decision: a manufacturer who knows the demand signal sets his wholesale price in response to it, which changes the retailer's margin and the rival manufacturer's order uncertainty. Whether the retailer should sell the information, to how many manufacturers, and by which protocol, is the question of Shang, Ha and Tong (Management Science 62(1):245–263, 2016).

The paper belongs to the information-sharing literature of Li (2002), Li and Zhang (2008) and Ha, Tong and Zhang (2011), which studies competing supply chains or a single chain. The common-retailer structure differs: the retailer can price-discriminate between the manufacturers through the order in which she offers the information.

Setting

Two manufacturers i∈{1,2}i \in \{1, 2\}i∈{1,2} sell substitutable products through one retailer. The demand for product iii is

qi=a+θ−(1+ϕ)pi+ϕpj,q_i = a + \theta - (1+\phi)p_i + \phi p_j,qi​=a+θ−(1+ϕ)pi​+ϕpj​,

where pip_ipi​ is the retail price, ϕ>0\phi > 0ϕ>0 measures competition, and θ\thetaθ is a random shock with mean 000 and variance σ2>0\sigma^2 > 0σ2>0. The retailer observes a demand signal YYY that is unbiased, E[Y∣θ]=θE[Y \mid \theta] = \thetaE[Y∣θ]=θ, and has linear expectation: E[θ∣Y]=βYE[\theta \mid Y] = \beta YE[θ∣Y]=βY for a weight β\betaβ (in the paper β=tσ2/(1+tσ2)\beta = t\sigma^2/(1+t\sigma^2)β=tσ2/(1+tσ2), with ttt the signal accuracy). The retailing cost is zero, and manufacturer iii produces qqq units at cost bq+cdq2bq + c_d q^2bq+cd​q2 with b,cd>0b, c_d > 0b,cd​>0: a production diseconomy.

The game has four stages.

  1. The retailer and the manufacturers contract on information sharing, which fixes each manufacturer's status Xi∈{I,U}X_i \in \{I, U\}Xi​∈{I,U} (informed or uninformed).
  2. The retailer observes YYY and discloses it truthfully to the informed manufacturers.
  3. The manufacturers set wholesale prices wiw_iwi​ simultaneously, an informed one as a function of YYY. The retailer then sets retail prices.
  4. Demand realizes and payoffs are received.

The pricing stage is a Bayesian game. Its equilibrium ex ante profits are πM(n)\pi_M(n)πM​(n), πMI(1)\pi_M^I(1)πMI​(1), πMU(1)\pi_M^U(1)πMU​(1) for the manufacturers and πR(n)\pi_R(n)πR​(n) for the retailer, where nnn is the number of informed manufacturers. They define a payoff table for the contracting stage.

Two contracting protocols are compared.

  • Concurrent contracting: the retailer offers both manufacturers the same payment TTT, and they accept or reject simultaneously; a Pareto-optimal pure equilibrium is the outcome, and the retailer chooses TTT.
  • Sequential contracting: the retailer offers one manufacturer TfT_fTf​, he accepts or rejects, then the retailer offers the other TsT_sTs​, and he decides having observed the first decision. The retailer cannot commit to Ts=TfT_s = T_fTs​=Tf​, and the solution is subgame perfect equilibrium.

Formalization targets

Goal: Proposition 4(d)

For every ϕ>0\phi > 0ϕ>0, cd>0c_d > 0cd​>0 and every signal model, the pricing stage has an equilibrium; for every pricing equilibrium, both contracting games have equilibria; and for every concurrent outcome and every sequential subgame-perfect equilibrium (either first mover),

ΠRC≤ΠRS,ΠMS≤ΠMC,\Pi_R^{C} \le \Pi_R^{S}, \qquad \Pi_M^{S} \le \Pi_M^{C},ΠRC​≤ΠRS​,ΠMS​≤ΠMC​,

with both inequalities strict when cd>(2−1)/(1+ϕ)c_d > (\sqrt2 - 1)/(1+\phi)cd​>(2​−1)/(1+ϕ). Here ΠR\Pi_RΠR​ is the retailer's profit after side payments and ΠM\Pi_MΠM​ the manufacturers' total profit net of them. The paper's word "higher" is read as ≥\ge≥ because for small cdc_dcd​ neither protocol sells information and all profits coincide.

Milestones

  1. §4.1, Eq. (1): the retailer's best response p^i=12(a+βY+wi)\hat p_i = \frac12(a + \beta Y + w_i)p^​i​=21​(a+βY+wi​) and the resulting demand.
  2. Lemma 1: the pricing equilibrium exists, is unique, and is linear in YYY.
  3. §4.2: the closed forms of the seven ex ante profits.
  4. Lemma 3: πM(2)>πMI(1)>πM(0)>πMU(1)\pi_M(2) > \pi_M^I(1) > \pi_M(0) > \pi_M^U(1)πM​(2)>πMI​(1)>πM​(0)>πMU​(1), πR(0)>πR(1)>πR(2)\pi_R(0) > \pi_R(1) > \pi_R(2)πR​(0)>πR​(1)>πR​(2), πR(1)−πR(2)>πR(0)−πR(1)\pi_R(1) - \pi_R(2) > \pi_R(0) - \pi_R(1)πR​(1)−πR​(2)>πR​(0)−πR​(1).
  5. Proposition 1(b): without contracting, no information is shared.
  6. Propositions 2 and 3: thresholds cdCc_d^CcdC​ and cdS1,cdS2c_d^{S1}, c_d^{S2}cdS1​,cdS2​, depending only on ϕ\phiϕ, at which the number of informed manufacturers changes under each protocol.
  7. Proposition 4(a): cdS1<cdC<cdS2c_d^{S1} < c_d^C < c_d^{S2}cdS1​<cdC​<cdS2​.

Significance

The result. Proposition 4(d) says that the order of the offers transfers surplus: selling information one manufacturer at a time lets the retailer exploit the manufacturers' fear of being the only uninformed firm, which raises her profit and lowers theirs. Propositions 2 and 3 show that concurrent contracting shares with both manufacturers or with neither, while sequential contracting can end with only one informed manufacturer. Together they give a complete map of the equilibrium sharing decisions in (cd,ϕ)(c_d, \phi)(cd​,ϕ) (Figure 1 of the paper).

Formalizing it. The results are proved in the paper, partly by "it can be shown" and "straightforward" steps: Lemma 3's proof is omitted, and so is the convexity of the function whose root is cdS2c_d^{S2}cdS2​. No part of the paper has a machine-checked proof. A complete formalization would check every such step and make the equilibrium notions precise, in particular the Pareto selection and the tie-breaking at the thresholds, where the retailer is exactly indifferent.

Difficulty

Most of the work is in the contracting stage, not the algebra. The pricing stage must be solved over all square-integrable strategies measurable in the signal. Uniqueness is then almost sure and rests on the linear-expectation identities E[θY]=σ2E[\theta Y] = \sigma^2E[θY]=σ2 and E[Y2]=σ2/βE[Y^2] = \sigma^2/\betaE[Y2]=σ2/β. The concurrent game has multiple equilibria for intermediate payments, and the retailer's optimum lies at a payment where two equilibria coexist. The sequential game is a three-stage game with a continuum of offers: at each threshold the retailer is indifferent, and an SPE exists only if acceptance at indifference is chosen correctly. The threshold cdS2c_d^{S2}cdS2​ has no closed form; it is the root of a convex rational function of cdc_dcd​.

Formalization scope

The Lean development lives in the namespace InfoSharing.Diseconomy. Conventions:

  • The probability space carries θ\thetaθ and YYY in L2L^2L2, with the two conditional-expectation identities holding almost everywhere. β\betaβ is a parameter fixed by E[θ∣Y]=βYE[\theta \mid Y] = \beta YE[θ∣Y]=βY; Ericson's formula for β\betaβ is not formalized.
  • Wholesale strategies are measurable, square-integrable functions of the signal value, and constants for an uninformed manufacturer. A pricing equilibrium is ex ante optimality over such strategies, which is equivalent to the paper's conditional optimization. The retailer's rule must be a best response at every wholesale-price pair.
  • The payoff table is produced by an arbitrary pricing-equilibrium family, not by the §4.2 closed forms. A formalization that takes the closed forms as the definition of the profits would reduce the goal to algebra and a 2×22 \times 22×2 game, and is ruled out.
  • Payments are nonnegative, only pure strategies are used in the contracting games, and the concurrent outcome selects, among Pareto-optimal equilibria, the one best for the retailer.
  • Threshold statements use two clauses: the printed value is attained on the closed region, and it is the only value on the region's interior. The thresholds depend only on ϕ\phiϕ.
  • Demands may be negative (θ is unbounded), as in the paper's formulas.

A complete development needs:

  • the conditional-expectation algebra behind Lemma 1 and §4.2;
  • rational-function inequalities for Lemma 3;
  • a case analysis of the two contracting games.

The model layer is shared with the companion mission on production economy.

Selected references

  • G. Shang, A. Y. Ha, S. Tong, Information Sharing in a Supply Chain with a Common Retailer, Management Science 62(1):245–263, 2016. https://doi.org/10.1287/mnsc.2014.2127
  • W. A. Ericson, A note on the posterior mean of a population mean, Journal of the Royal Statistical Society B 31(2):332–334, 1969.
  • L. Li, Information sharing in a supply chain with horizontal competition, Management Science 48(9):1196–1212, 2002. https://doi.org/10.1287/mnsc.48.9.1196.177
  • L. Li, H. Zhang, Confidentiality and information sharing in supply chain coordination, Management Science 54(8):1467–1481, 2008. https://doi.org/10.1287/mnsc.1070.0851
  • A. Y. Ha, S. Tong, H. Zhang, Sharing imperfect demand information in competing supply chains with production diseconomies, Management Science 57(3):566–581, 2011. https://doi.org/10.1287/mnsc.1100.1295
  • X. Vives, Oligopoly Pricing: Old Ideas and New Tools, MIT Press, 1999.
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Algorithmic Mechanism Design VIII: A Truthful Approximation Scheme for Bounded Scheduling with VerificationResearch Paper

Motivation

Algorithmic mechanism design asks for algorithms whose inputs are held by self-interested agents: the designer can pay the agents, and must choose payments so that each agent's own interest leads it to reveal what the algorithm needs. Nisan and Ronen introduced the framework with task scheduling on unrelated machines as the running example (Nisan–Ronen 2001). In the basic model, where payments depend only on what the agents declare, they showed that no truthful mechanism approximates the optimal make-span within a factor below 2, and that the natural mechanism only reaches a factor nnn.

Their Section 5 changes the information available: in a mechanism with verification the payments may also depend on the times in which the tasks were actually performed. With this extra information, an exact optimizer becomes a strongly truthful mechanism (Theorem 5.1, the Compensation-and-Bonus mechanism). Exact scheduling on unrelated machines is NP-hard, so the question is whether an approximation algorithm can take the optimizer's place. Theorem 5.6 of the paper shows that plugging a non-optimal algorithm into Compensation-and-Bonus destroys truthfulness in general. Theorem 5.9, the subject of this mission, shows that for the bounded problem a specific approximation scheme, the rounding algorithm of Horowitz and Sahni (1976), can be combined with a modified payment rule to give a truthful mechanism whose outcome is within a factor 1+ε1+\varepsilon1+ε of optimal.

Setting

There are nnn agents and kkk tasks. Agent iii needs time tjit^i_jtji​ for task jjj; the vector t=(tji)t = (t^i_j)t=(tji​) is the type vector, and agent iii alone knows its row tit^iti. In the bounded scheduling problem (Definition 33) there are fixed numbers 0<a<b0 < a < b0<a<b with a≤tji≤ba \le t^i_j \le ba≤tji​≤b for all i,ji, ji,j, and every declaration lies in the same range. An allocation xxx assigns each task to one agent; xix^ixi is the set of tasks of agent iii.

A strategy of agent iii has two parts: a declaration di∈[a,b]kd^i \in [a,b]^kdi∈[a,b]k, and an execution, which for each decision xxx of the mechanism specifies the actual time t~j≥tji\tilde t_j \ge t^i_jt~j​≥tji​ in which agent iii performs each task j∈xij \in x^ij∈xi. The mechanism chooses x=x(d)x = x(d)x=x(d) from the declarations alone and afterwards observes the actual times t~\tilde tt~. The objective is the make-span with actual times,

g(x,t~)=max⁡i∑j∈xit~j.g(x,\tilde t) = \max_i \sum_{j \in x^i} \tilde t_j .g(x,t~)=imax​j∈xi∑​t~j​.

Agent iii receives a payment pip^ipi and has utility pi−∑j∈xit~jp^i - \sum_{j \in x^i} \tilde t_jpi−∑j∈xi​t~j​.

The corrected time vector of agent iii keeps agent iii's actual times on its own tasks and the other agents' declarations elsewhere: corri(x,d,t~)j=t~j\mathrm{corr}^i(x,d,\tilde t)_j = \tilde t_jcorri(x,d,t~)j​=t~j​ for j∈xij \in x^ij∈xi and djld^l_jdjl​ for j∈xlj \in x^lj∈xl, l≠il \ne il=i. For a step δ>0\delta > 0δ>0, r^=δ⌈r/δ⌉\hat r = \delta\lceil r/\delta\rceilr^=δ⌈r/δ⌉ rounds rrr up to a multiple of δ\deltaδ, and g^(x,τ)=g(x,τ^)\hat g(x,\tau) = g(x,\hat\tau)g^​(x,τ)=g(x,τ^).

The rounding mechanism (Definition 34) allocates with an algorithm that exactly solves the problem with rounded declarations d^\hat dd^, and pays

pi=∑j∈xit~j  −  g^(x,corri(x,d,t~)).p^i = \sum_{j\in x^i}\tilde t_j \;-\; \hat g\big(x, \mathrm{corr}^i(x, d, \tilde t)\big).pi=j∈xi∑​t~j​−g^​(x,corri(x,d,t~)).

The first term, the compensation, uses exact actual times; the second, the bonus, uses rounded quantities.

A strategy is dominant if it is a best response to every declarations and executions of the others. The mechanism is truthful if every agent has a dominant strategy that declares its true type.

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem 5.9 without running time

For every ε>0\varepsilon > 0ε>0, every 0<δ≤εa0 < \delta \le \varepsilon a0<δ≤εa and every allocation algorithm solving the rounded problem exactly, the rounding mechanism is truthful, and at every profile of dominant strategies from the class named in the proof (declarations with the true rounded values, executions whose rounded times equal the rounded true times),

g(x(d),t~)≤(1+ε) g(y,t)for every allocation y.g\big(x(d),\tilde t\big) \le (1+\varepsilon)\, g(y,t) \quad \text{for every allocation } y .g(x(d),t~)≤(1+ε)g(y,t)for every allocation y.

Milestones

  1. The solution of the rounded problem is a (1+ε)(1+\varepsilon)(1+ε)-approximation: g(x,t^)≤g(y,t^) ∀yg(x,\hat t) \le g(y,\hat t)\ \forall yg(x,t^)≤g(y,t^) ∀y implies g(x,t)≤(1+ε)g(y,t) ∀yg(x,t) \le (1+\varepsilon) g(y,t)\ \forall yg(x,t)≤(1+ε)g(y,t) ∀y.
  2. After rounding, g^\hat gg^​ is the make-span, g^(x,corr∗(x,d))=g(x,d^)\hat g(x,\mathrm{corr}^*(x,d)) = g(x,\hat d)g^​(x,corr∗(x,d))=g(x,d^), and each agent's utility equals its rounded bonus.
  3. Every strategy with the true rounded values is dominant.
  4. When all agents follow such strategies, the outcome is a (1+ε)(1+\varepsilon)(1+ε)-approximation.
  5. Truth-telling with minimal execution is dominant; hence the mechanism is truthful.

Significance

The result shows that verification does more than make exact optimization truthful: it lets a polynomial-time approximation scheme be implemented in dominant strategies, provided the bonus is computed on the same rounded instance the algorithm optimizes. This contrasts with Theorem 5.6, where an arbitrary approximation algorithm inside Compensation-and-Bonus is not truthful, and with the factor-2 lower bound of the basic model. The principle it illustrates is that the payments must reward exactly the objective the algorithm optimizes.

The paper gives only a proof sketch. Formalizing it makes the argument's hypotheses explicit: which rounding step suffices, what the allocation algorithm must satisfy, and over which strategy profiles the approximation guarantee holds. No machine-checked version of this theorem or of the Compensation-and-Bonus argument is known to exist.

Difficulty

The sketch reduces the theorem to "arguments similar to those in 5.1", but the rounded setting departs from Theorem 5.1 in two ways. Rounding is many-to-one, so an agent's declaration and execution are pinned down only up to their rounded values, and the algorithm's optimality holds only for the rounded instance. Consequently the claim that the strategies with the true rounded values are the only dominant ones does not survive arbitrary tie-breaking: an agent that is always favoured on ties can overstate its rounded time by one step without ever losing, and two such lies at one profile can push the make-span above the (1+ε)(1+\varepsilon)(1+ε) bound. The approximation guarantee therefore has to be stated for the strategy class the proof identifies, not derived from dominance alone. The remaining steps require exact bookkeeping of rounding across sums and of the corrected time vectors, which a proof sketch leaves implicit.

Formalization scope

  • Agents are Fin n with [NeZero n], tasks Fin k; allocations are functions Fin k → Fin n; the make-span is a Finset.sup' over agents. Types and declarations satisfy a ≤ t i j ≤ b with 0 < a < b; actual times are only bounded below by the true times.
  • roundUp δ r = δ * ⌈r / δ⌉. The statement holds for every δ∈(0,εa]\delta \in (0,\varepsilon a]δ∈(0,εa], which covers the intended choice δ=εa\delta = \varepsilon aδ=εa; the paper leaves δ\deltaδ as "a function of aaa and ε\varepsilonε".
  • The Horowitz–Sahni dynamic program is not formalized. The allocation algorithm is a parameter with the hypothesis that it solves the rounded problem exactly; ties are arbitrary, and the goal holds for every such algorithm. Running time ("polynomial time") is out of scope, and with it the role of the upper bound bbb, which is kept as part of the problem.
  • An execution is a function of the decision (Definition 18). Dominance quantifies over all declarations in [a,b][a,b][a,b] and all executions of the others.
  • The payment uses the allocation x(d)x(d)x(d) in the bonus. Definition 34 prints x(t^)x(\hat t)x(t^); since the rounding algorithm rounds the declarations itself, x(d)x(d)x(d) is the allocation actually computed. The hat on corr\mathrm{corr}corr is absorbed by g^\hat gg^​.
  • The goal's approximation part is restricted to dominant profiles of the class named in the proof, because the unrestricted form (Definition 3, every dominant profile) is false for some tie-breaking rules; an explicit two-agent, one-task instance is recorded in the goal's Formalization Note.
  • A formalization that measures the approximation with declared rather than actual times, lets the allocation read the true types, or states the approximation only at the truthful profile while claiming the general form, does not formalize this theorem.

Useful infrastructure: lemmas on Int.ceil rounding of finite sums and on Finset.sup' monotonicity, and a reusable model of mechanisms with verification. Proofs of the milestones in any order are welcome.

Selected references

  • N. Nisan, A. Ronen, Algorithmic Mechanism Design, Games and Economic Behavior 35 (2001) 166–196. https://doi.org/10.1006/game.1999.0790
  • E. Horowitz, S. Sahni, Exact and Approximate Algorithms for Scheduling Nonidentical Processors, Journal of the ACM 23 (1976) 317–327. https://doi.org/10.1145/321941.321951
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Algorithmic Mechanism Design VII: Compensation-and-Bonus Based on a Non-Optimal Approximation Algorithm Is Not TruthfulResearch Paper

Motivation

Algorithmic mechanism design studies optimization problems whose inputs are held by self-interested agents: the algorithm must compute a good solution and, through payments, make it in each agent's interest to report its input honestly. Nisan and Ronen introduced the field with the problem of scheduling tasks on unrelated machines, where each machine is an agent that privately knows how long it needs for every task (Nisan–Ronen 2001).

The classical tool for truthfulness, the Vickrey–Groves–Clarke (VGC) family of mechanisms, requires the allocation to be exactly optimal. Exact optimization is often computationally out of reach: minimizing the make-span on unrelated machines is NP-hard, and even approximating it within a factor below 3/2 is NP-hard (Lenstra–Shmoys–Tardos 1990). A mechanism designer would therefore like to plug an approximation algorithm into a truthful mechanism and keep truthfulness. This mission formalizes a result showing that the simplest way of doing so fails in the model with verification, where the mechanism may pay after the tasks are performed and observes the actual execution times.

Timeline.

  • 1999/2001: Nisan and Ronen define mechanisms with verification and the Compensation-and-Bonus mechanism, prove it strongly truthful when its allocation algorithm is optimal (their Theorem 5.1), and prove that replacing the optimal algorithm by a non-optimal approximation algorithm destroys truthfulness (Theorem 5.6, the goal here). They remark that a similar argument applies to VGC mechanisms.
  • 2002: Lehmann, O'Callaghan and Shoham show the analogous failure for VGC payments with approximate allocation in combinatorial auctions (JACM 2002).
  • 2007: Nisan and Ronen study which approximation algorithms can be made truthful within the VGC framework (JAIR 2007).

Setting

There are n≥1n \ge 1n≥1 agents and kkk tasks. The type of agent iii is a vector ti=(t1i,…,tki)t^i = (t^i_1,\dots,t^i_k)ti=(t1i​,…,tki​) of positive reals, tjit^i_jtji​ being the minimum time agent iii needs for task jjj; a type vector is t=(t1,…,tn)t = (t^1,\dots,t^n)t=(t1,…,tn). An allocation x=(x1,…,xn)x = (x^1,\dots,x^n)x=(x1,…,xn) gives each task to one agent. The make-span is

g(x,t)=max⁡i∑j∈xitji,g(x,t) = \max_i \sum_{j\in x^i} t^i_j,g(x,t)=imax​j∈xi∑​tji​,

and xxx is optimal for ttt if g(x,t)≤g(y,t)g(x,t)\le g(y,t)g(x,t)≤g(y,t) for every allocation yyy.

In the model with verification, an agent's strategy has two parts: a declaration did^idi (any positive vector) and an execution plan that, for every allocation the mechanism may choose, fixes the actual time t~j≥tji\tilde t_j \ge t^i_jt~j​≥tji​ in which the agent performs each task jjj it receives. An allocation algorithm x(⋅)x(\cdot)x(⋅) maps the declarations to an allocation x(d)x(d)x(d); the tasks are then executed, producing actual times t~\tilde tt~.

The Compensation-and-Bonus mechanism based on x(⋅)x(\cdot)x(⋅) pays agent iii

pi(d,t~)=∑j∈xi(d)t~j  −  g(x(d),corr⁡i(x(d),d,t~)),p^i(d,\tilde t) = \sum_{j\in x^i(d)} \tilde t_j \;-\; g\bigl(x(d), \operatorname{corr}^i(x(d),d,\tilde t)\bigr),pi(d,t~)=j∈xi(d)∑​t~j​−g(x(d),corri(x(d),d,t~)),

a compensation for the time actually spent plus a bonus equal to minus the make-span computed from agent iii's actual times on its own tasks and the other agents' declared times on theirs (the corrected time vector corr⁡i\operatorname{corr}^icorri). The agent's utility is its payment minus the time it spends. A strategy is dominant if it is at least as good as every alternative whatever the other agents declare and execute; the mechanism is truthful if every agent of every type has a dominant strategy that declares its true type.

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem 5.6

Let x(⋅)x(\cdot)x(⋅) be an allocation algorithm such that, for some real ccc,

g(x(t),t)≤c g(y,t)for every positive t and every allocation y,g\bigl(x(t),t\bigr) \le c\, g(y,t)\quad\text{for every positive } t \text{ and every allocation } y,g(x(t),t)≤cg(y,t)for every positive t and every allocation y,

and such that g(y,t)<g(x(t),t)g(y,t) < g(x(t),t)g(y,t)<g(x(t),t) for some positive ttt and some allocation yyy. Then the Compensation-and-Bonus mechanism based on x(⋅)x(\cdot)x(⋅) is not truthful.

The ratio ccc is arbitrary and existentially quantified: the theorem holds for every finite approximation ratio, so it is stated without a constant.

Milestones

  • Claim 5.7. If the mechanism based on x(⋅)x(\cdot)x(⋅) is truthful, ooo is optimal for ttt and MMM is at least every entry of ttt, then replacing one agent's type by tjit^i_jtji​ on oio^ioi and MMM elsewhere gives a type vector t′t't′ with g(x(t′),t′)≥g(x(t),t)g(x(t'),t') \ge g(x(t),t)g(x(t′),t′)≥g(x(t),t).
  • Corollary 5.8. Under the same assumptions, the type vector sss that makes this replacement for every agent satisfies g(x(s),s)≥g(x(t),t)g(x(s),s) \ge g(x(t),t)g(x(s),s)≥g(x(t),t).
  • Final step. g(o,s)=g(o,t)g(o,s) = g(o,t)g(o,s)=g(o,t), ooo is optimal for sss, and every allocation y≠oy\ne oy=o has g(y,s)≥Mg(y,s)\ge Mg(y,s)≥M.

Significance

The result. Theorem 5.1 of the same paper shows that with an optimal algorithm the Compensation-and-Bonus mechanism is a strongly truthful implementation of make-span minimization. Theorem 5.6 shows that this guarantee is tied to exact optimization: it does not survive replacing the optimizer by any non-optimal approximation algorithm, whatever its ratio. It explains why the paper then turns to a restricted problem (bounded scheduling) and a mechanism designed around a specific rounding algorithm, and it is an early instance of the general tension between approximation and incentive compatibility.

Formalizing it. The result is proved in the paper; to the best of the platform's catalog it has not been formalized. The mission produces a machine-checked model of mechanisms with verification (declarations together with execution plans that may depend on the decision), the Compensation-and-Bonus payment rule for an arbitrary allocation algorithm, and Definition 19 truthfulness, together with a checked proof of the impossibility.

Difficulty

The argument is short on paper; the difficulty lies in the model. The paper's "∞\infty∞" is not a number, and a faithful statement must replace it by a finite value that is large enough to conflict with the approximation ratio yet keeps every type positive and entrywise above the true types; both requirements refer to data fixed earlier in the argument. The incentive step compares utilities in a mechanism where an agent's strategy is a declaration and an execution plan that may depend on the decision, and where the bonus mixes the agent's actual times with the other agents' declarations, so a naive reading in which only declarations matter (the direct-revelation model of §2) does not capture the claim. Finally, Corollary 5.8 concerns a type vector modified at every agent, while Claim 5.7 modifies one agent at a time, so the claim must be applicable at type vectors that are no longer the original one.

Formalization scope

  • Agents are Fin n with [NeZero n], tasks Fin k, allocations are functions Fin k → Fin n, types and declarations are positive real vectors. Make-spans are Finset.sup' over the nonempty set of agents. With no agents no allocation algorithm meets the hypotheses, so requiring n≥1n\ge 1n≥1 loses nothing.
  • An execution plan is a function of the allocation; feasibility is t~j≥tji\tilde t_j \ge t^i_jt~j​≥tji​ on the agent's own tasks. In the dominance quantifier the other agents' declarations are positive and their execution plans arbitrary; the agent's alternative declarations are positive and its alternative plans feasible for its true type.
  • The allocation algorithm is an arbitrary function of the declarations; "approximation algorithm" is the hypothesis ∃c\exists c∃c above, "non-optimal" the hypothesis of one positive witness. The optimal allocation opt(t)\mathrm{opt}(t)opt(t) in the milestones is any optimal allocation ooo, supplied as a parameter.
  • The paper's ∞\infty∞ is a real parameter MMM with M≥tjlM \ge t^l_jM≥tjl​ for all l,jl,jl,j; extended reals are not used.
  • Claim 5.7 is stated for an arbitrary agent iii, not only for agent 1, so that Corollary 5.8 can iterate it.
  • Running time is not modelled; "algorithm" means function.
  • Dropping the approximation hypothesis makes the statement false: an allocation rule that ignores the declarations is non-optimal, yet its Compensation-and-Bonus mechanism is truthful. Stating only "not strongly truthful", or proving the theorem for a fixed instance, would be a weaker claim.

Welcome contributions: proofs of the milestones and the goal, and reusable lemmas about the corrected time vector and the monotonicity of the make-span in the time vector.

Selected references

  • N. Nisan, A. Ronen, Algorithmic Mechanism Design, Games and Economic Behavior 35 (2001) 166–196. https://doi.org/10.1006/game.1999.0790
  • J. K. Lenstra, D. B. Shmoys, É. Tardos, Approximation algorithms for scheduling unrelated parallel machines, Mathematical Programming 46 (1990) 259–271. https://doi.org/10.1007/BF01585745
  • D. Lehmann, L. I. O'Callaghan, Y. Shoham, Truth revelation in approximately efficient combinatorial auctions, Journal of the ACM 49 (2002) 577–602. https://doi.org/10.1145/585265.585266
  • N. Nisan, A. Ronen, Computationally Feasible VCG Mechanisms, Journal of Artificial Intelligence Research 29 (2007) 19–47. https://doi.org/10.1613/jair.2046
  • E. Horowitz, S. Sahni, Exact and approximate algorithms for scheduling nonidentical processors, Journal of the ACM 23 (1976) 317–327. https://doi.org/10.1145/321941.321951
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Mechanism DesignOperations ResearchOptimization·Captain: mikedeng1

Algorithmic Mechanism Design III: No Additive Truthful Mechanism Achieves a c-Approximation for Task Scheduling for Any c < nResearch Paper

Motivation

Algorithmic mechanism design studies optimization problems whose inputs are held by self-interested agents: an algorithm must not only compute a good solution but also pay the agents so that reporting their data truthfully is in their own interest. Nisan and Ronen introduced the field in Algorithmic Mechanism Design (Games Econ. Behav. 35, 2001) with task scheduling on unrelated machines as the model problem. Each machine is owned by an agent who alone knows how long it takes for each task; the designer wants a schedule of small make-span.

The paper gives a truthful mechanism, MinWork, whose make-span is within a factor nnn of optimal, and a lower bound of 222 for every truthful mechanism. It conjectures that no truthful mechanism beats nnn (Conjecture 4.9) and proves the conjecture for two natural classes. This mission is about one of them, additive mechanisms (Theorem 4.10, p. 180).

Timeline of the gap between 222 and nnn:

  • 1999/2001: Nisan and Ronen prove the lower bound 222 for all truthful mechanisms and nnn for additive and for local mechanisms.
  • 2007: Christodoulou, Koutsoupias and Vidali raise the general lower bound to 1+21+\sqrt 21+2​ for n≥3n\ge 3n≥3 (SODA 2007; Algorithmica 2009).
  • 2008: Christodoulou, Koutsoupias and Vidali characterize the truthful mechanisms for two machines (ESA 2008; arXiv 0807.3427); in parallel, Dobzinski and Sundararajan (EC 2008) characterize them and show that for two machines no truthful mechanism beats 222.
  • 2023: Christodoulou, Koutsoupias and Kovács prove the Nisan–Ronen conjecture: no truthful mechanism beats nnn (STOC 2023; arXiv 2301.11905).

Setting

There are nnn agents i=1,…,ni=1,\dots,ni=1,…,n and kkk tasks j=1,…,kj=1,\dots,kj=1,…,k. The type of agent iii is a vector ti=(t1i,…,tki)t^i=(t^i_1,\dots,t^i_k)ti=(t1i​,…,tki​) of positive reals, tjit^i_jtji​ being the time agent iii needs for task jjj; a type vector t=(t1,…,tn)t=(t^1,\dots,t^n)t=(t1,…,tn) collects all types, and t−it^{-i}t−i denotes the types of the agents other than iii. An allocation x=(x1,…,xn)x=(x^1,\dots,x^n)x=(x1,…,xn) is a partition of the tasks, xix^ixi being the set given to agent iii. For a set XXX of tasks write ti(X)=∑j∈Xtjit^i(X)=\sum_{j\in X}t^i_jti(X)=∑j∈X​tji​. The make-span is

g(x,t)=max⁡iti(xi).g(x,t)=\max_i t^i(x^i).g(x,t)=imax​ti(xi).

A direct mechanism m=(x,p)m=(x,p)m=(x,p) maps every declared type vector ttt to an allocation x(t)x(t)x(t) and to payments pi(t)p^i(t)pi(t) handed to the agents. An agent with true type tit^iti gets utility pi(t)−ti(xi(t))p^i(t)-t^i(x^i(t))pi(t)−ti(xi(t)). The mechanism is truthful if, whatever the others declare, no agent gains by declaring a type other than its true one. It is a ccc-approximation if g(x(t),t)≤c g(y,t)g(x(t),t)\le c\,g(y,t)g(x(t),t)≤cg(y,t) for every positive type vector ttt and every allocation yyy.

The price offered for a set XXX to agent iii (Definition 12) is the payment pi(t′i,t−i)p^i(t'^i,t^{-i})pi(t′i,t−i) at any declaration t′it'^it′i for which the mechanism gives agent iii exactly XXX, and 000 if there is no such declaration. For truthful mechanisms this is well defined (Proposition 4.4, Independence). The mechanism is additive (Definition 13) if

pi(X,t−i)=∑j∈Xpi({j},t−i)p^i(X,t^{-i})=\sum_{j\in X}p^i(\{j\},t^{-i})pi(X,t−i)=j∈X∑​pi({j},t−i)

for every agent iii, type vector ttt and set XXX of tasks. MinWork, which gives each task to the fastest agent and pays it the second-fastest time, is additive.

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem 4.10

For n≥1n\ge 1n≥1 agents and k≥n2k\ge n^2k≥n2 tasks, for every truthful additive mechanism (x,p)(x,p)(x,p) and every real c<nc<nc<n,

∃ t, ∃ y:g(x(t),t)>c⋅g(y,t).\exists\,t,\ \exists\,y:\qquad g\bigl(x(t),t\bigr)>c\cdot g(y,t).∃t, ∃y:g(x(t),t)>c⋅g(y,t).

The goal leaves the mechanism, its tie-breaking and ccc completely general. It says that the ratio nnn of MinWork is optimal among additive mechanisms.

Milestones

  1. Proposition 4.4 (Independence): the payment depends on agent iii's declaration only through its allocation.
  2. Proposition 4.5 (Maximization): xi(t)x^i(t)xi(t) maximizes pi(X,t−i)−ti(X)p^i(X,t^{-i})-t^i(X)pi(X,t−i)−ti(X) over the sets XXX agent iii can obtain against t−it^{-i}t−i.
  3. Pigeonhole: with k≥n2k\ge n^2k≥n2 tasks some agent receives at least nnn tasks.
  4. Claim 4.11: at the all-ones type vector ttt, lowering agent iii's times to 1−ϵ1-\epsilon1−ϵ on xi(t)x^i(t)xi(t) and ϵ\epsilonϵ elsewhere keeps all of xi(t)x^i(t)xi(t) with agent iii, provided the empty set is attainable for agent iii.
  5. The ratio step: at that perturbed type vector, an allocation giving agent iii a fixed set of nnn tasks has make-span at least (1−ϵ)n(1-\epsilon)n(1−ϵ)n, while some allocation has make-span at most 1+kϵ1+k\epsilon1+kϵ.

Significance

Theorem 4.10 shows that the gap between MinWork's ratio nnn and the general lower bound 222 cannot be closed by any mechanism that prices tasks separately, and so any better mechanism would have to couple the prices of different tasks. It was the first class-restricted confirmation of Conjecture 4.9, which was eventually proved for all truthful mechanisms (Christodoulou–Koutsoupias–Kovács 2023). The additive case is the cleanest entry point: its proof needs only the two basic properties of truthful mechanisms, Independence and Maximization, which every later lower bound also uses.

All results here are proved on paper, and none has a machine-checked proof on Prove2Me as of this mission's drafting. The mission produces a formal model of scheduling mechanisms and prices that other lower bounds can reuse, formal statements of Independence and Maximization, and a formal proof of Theorem 4.10. Along the way the formalization corrects two points of the printed argument (see Formalization scope).

Difficulty

The work is to extract prices from an arbitrary truthful mechanism. Prices are defined through the attainable sets of Definition 12. A natural first idea replaces the mechanism by per-task prices qji(t−i)q^i_j(t^{-i})qji​(t−i) that the agent maximizes against. That gives a different class, because Definition 13 constrains the price of every set of tasks, including sets the mechanism never allocates, whose price is 000.

Claim 4.11 is the critical step, and its printed argument does not go through for an arbitrary truthful additive mechanism. It needs the empty set to be attainable with price 000. For a mechanism with a bounded ratio this holds, because a very slow agent must receive nothing, but this has to be derived from the approximation hypothesis. From that, one has to show that every task of xi(t)x^i(t)xi(t) carries a single-task price of at least 111. The final step also needs care. The paper's "w.l.o.g. ∣x1∣=n|x^1|=n∣x1∣=n" is a further reduction, and the paper's bound g≥∣x1∣g\ge|x^1|g≥∣x1∣ has to be replaced by (1−ϵ)∣x1∣(1-\epsilon)|x^1|(1−ϵ)∣x1∣.

Formalization scope

  • Representation. Agents are Fin n, tasks Fin k, type vectors Fin n → Fin k → ℝ, and an allocation is a map Fin k → Fin n sending each task to its agent. taskSet x i is xix^ixi, and the make-span is a Finset.sup' over the nonempty set of agents ([NeZero n]). A mechanism is a pair alloc, pay of arbitrary functions; nothing about its tie-breaking is fixed.
  • Standing assumptions. Types are positive. Truthfulness, additivity and approximation quantify over positive type vectors only. Utility is quasi-linear, with payments handed to the agent.
  • Prices. price follows Definition 12 literally: the payment at a Classical.choose witness declaration when the set is attainable, and 000 otherwise. Additivity (IsAdditive) is required for every set of tasks, attainable or not, as Definition 13 states. It is a condition on prices, not on the payment function.
  • Explicit threshold. The goal assumes k≥n2k\ge n^2k≥n2, the value the paper's proof starts from; the printed theorem does not mention kkk. It is stated for every n≥1n\ge1n≥1; at n=1n=1n=1 it holds because all allocations coincide.
  • Printed slips, corrected. (1) Proposition 4.5 is stated over attainable sets: over all sets, with the price 000 of unattainable sets, it fails for truthful mechanisms that never give the agent nothing and charge it. (2) Claim 4.11 carries the added hypothesis that ∅\emptyset∅ is attainable for agent iii. Without it the claim is false: a mechanism that always gives agent iii its ∣x∣|x|∣x∣ cheapest tasks and pays nothing is truthful and additive. The claim is stated for an arbitrary agent iii instead of "agent 1 after relabelling". (3) The ratio step states g≥(1−ϵ)ng\ge(1-\epsilon)ng≥(1−ϵ)n where the paper prints g≥∣x1∣≥ng\ge|x^1|\ge ng≥∣x1∣≥n, and states the paper's w.l.o.g. ∣x1∣=n|x^1|=n∣x1∣=n as a hypothesis of the step, not of the goal.
  • Out of scope. Running time and the revelation principle are not modelled; the goal is stated for truthful direct mechanisms, as §4.3 fixes.
  • Ruled out. A trivializing encoding would define additivity through the payment function instead of the prices of Definition 12, fix nnn, prove the ratio for one c<nc<nc<n only, or drop truthfulness. The last makes the claim false: an optimal allocation rule with zero payments is additive and a 111-approximation. The goal here quantifies over every nnn, every c<nc<nc<n and every truthful additive mechanism.
  • Non-vacuity. Every hypothesis of the goal except the ratio is satisfiable (a constant allocation with zero payments is truthful and additive), and the bound is tight by MinWork.
  • Contributions welcome. Proofs of the milestones, a proof that a bounded-ratio mechanism makes ∅\emptyset∅ attainable for every agent, and reuse of the model for the local-mechanism bound (Theorem 4.12).

Selected references

  • N. Nisan, A. Ronen, Algorithmic Mechanism Design, Games and Economic Behavior 35 (2001) 166–196. https://doi.org/10.1006/game.1999.0790
  • G. Christodoulou, E. Koutsoupias, A. Vidali, A lower bound for scheduling mechanisms, SODA 2007; Algorithmica 55, 2009. https://doi.org/10.1007/s00453-008-9165-3
  • G. Christodoulou, E. Koutsoupias, A. Vidali, A characterization of 2-player mechanisms for scheduling, ESA 2008. https://arxiv.org/abs/0807.3427
  • S. Dobzinski, M. Sundararajan, On characterizations of truthful mechanisms for combinatorial auctions and scheduling, EC 2008, pp. 38–47.
  • G. Christodoulou, E. Koutsoupias, A. Kovács, A proof of the Nisan–Ronen conjecture, STOC 2023. https://doi.org/10.1145/3564246.3585176 (arXiv:2301.11905)
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Bargaining under Incomplete Information III: Trade Probability and Expected Profits in the Uniform Linear EquilibriumResearch Paper

Motivation

A buyer and a seller negotiate over a single indivisible good. Each knows what the good is worth to them but not what it is worth to the other side, and each shades their offer to exploit the other's uncertainty. Chatterjee and Samuelson (Bargaining under Incomplete Information, Operations Research 31(5), 1983) modelled this as a one-shot game in which both parties submit sealed offers simultaneously and a sale takes place at a weighted average of the two offers whenever the buyer's offer is at least the seller's.

The weight kkk is a design parameter: k=1k = 1k=1 lets the buyer set the price, k=0k = 0k=0 the seller, and k=1/2k = 1/2k=1/2 splits the difference. For values uniform on a common interval the paper computes an explicit equilibrium for every kkk (its Example 1) and then asks the questions a designer of the rule cares about: how often does trade happen, who gains when kkk moves, and which kkk maximises the expected gains of the two parties together. The answers are the subject of this mission.

The example became a benchmark for bilateral trade. Myerson and Satterthwaite (J. Econ. Theory 29, 1983) proved that no mechanism can guarantee efficient trade with two-sided private information, and that for uniform values the split-the-difference equilibrium of this game attains the largest expected gains from trade of any mechanism. The numbers 9/329/329/32 and 964vˉ\tfrac{9}{64}\bar v649​vˉ below are therefore the second-best benchmarks against which later work on the kkk-double auction (Satterthwaite and Williams, J. Econ. Theory 48, 1989; Leininger, Linhart and Radner, J. Econ. Theory 48, 1989) measures inefficiency.

Setting

A seller with reservation price vsv_svs​ and a buyer with reservation price vbv_bvb​ each know their own value. The two values are drawn independently and uniformly on [0,vˉ][0, \bar v][0,vˉ], with vˉ>0\bar v > 0vˉ>0; this law, written unif(vˉ)\mathrm{unif}(\bar v)unif(vˉ), is also each player's belief about the other's value (Fs(v)=Fb(v)=v/vˉF_s(v) = F_b(v) = v/\bar vFs​(v)=Fb​(v)=v/vˉ in the paper).

Under the Bargaining Rule with parameter k∈[0,1]k \in [0,1]k∈[0,1], the seller asks sss and the buyer offers bbb. If b≥sb \ge sb≥s the good is sold at price P=kb+(1−k)sP = kb + (1-k)sP=kb+(1−k)s, the seller earns P−vsP - v_sP−vs​ and the buyer earns vb−Pv_b - Pvb​−P; otherwise both earn zero. Ties trade.

An offer strategy maps a value to an offer. The strategies of Example 1(a) are

S(vs)=vs2−k+1−k2vˉfor 0≤vs≤2−k2vˉ,S(vs)≥the same expression for 2−k2vˉ<vs≤vˉ,S(v_s) = \frac{v_s}{2-k} + \frac{1-k}{2}\bar v \quad\text{for } 0 \le v_s \le \tfrac{2-k}{2}\bar v, \qquad S(v_s) \ge \text{the same expression for } \tfrac{2-k}{2}\bar v < v_s \le \bar v,S(vs​)=2−kvs​​+21−k​vˉfor 0≤vs​≤22−k​vˉ,S(vs​)≥the same expression for 22−k​vˉ<vs​≤vˉ, B(vb)=vb1+k+k(1−k)2(1+k)vˉfor 1−k2vˉ≤vb≤vˉ,B(vb)≤the same expression for 0≤vb<1−k2vˉ.B(v_b) = \frac{v_b}{1+k} + \frac{k(1-k)}{2(1+k)}\bar v \quad\text{for } \tfrac{1-k}{2}\bar v \le v_b \le \bar v, \qquad B(v_b) \le \text{the same expression for } 0 \le v_b < \tfrac{1-k}{2}\bar v.B(vb​)=1+kvb​​+2(1+k)k(1−k)​vˉfor 21−k​vˉ≤vb​≤vˉ,B(vb​)≤the same expression for 0≤vb​<21−k​vˉ.

A pair (S,B)(S, B)(S,B) with these four properties is said to have the shape of Example 1(a) (IsExample1Pair k v̄ S B). On the two inequality ranges a seller asks too much, or a buyer bids too little, for any trade to occur, so the strategy there is free apart from the bound.

For such a pair, with (vs,vb)∼unif(vˉ)⊗unif(vˉ)(v_s, v_b) \sim \mathrm{unif}(\bar v) \otimes \mathrm{unif}(\bar v)(vs​,vb​)∼unif(vˉ)⊗unif(vˉ), the trade probability is Pr⁡[S(vs)≤B(vb)]\Pr[S(v_s) \le B(v_b)]Pr[S(vs​)≤B(vb​)] (tradeProb), and the ex ante expected profits — taken before either value is drawn, as the paper specifies on p. 843 — are

πs=E[1{S(vs)≤B(vb)} (kB(vb)+(1−k)S(vs)−vs)],πb=E[1{S(vs)≤B(vb)} (vb−kB(vb)−(1−k)S(vs))]\pi_s = \mathbb E\bigl[\mathbf 1\{S(v_s) \le B(v_b)\}\,(kB(v_b) + (1-k)S(v_s) - v_s)\bigr],\qquad \pi_b = \mathbb E\bigl[\mathbf 1\{S(v_s) \le B(v_b)\}\,(v_b - kB(v_b) - (1-k)S(v_s))\bigr]πs​=E[1{S(vs​)≤B(vb​)}(kB(vb​)+(1−k)S(vs​)−vs​)],πb​=E[1{S(vs​)≤B(vb​)}(vb​−kB(vb​)−(1−k)S(vs​))]

(sellerExAnte, buyerExAnte).

Formalization targets

Goal: Example 1(c)(iii), total expected profit

For 0≤k≤10 \le k \le 10≤k≤1, vˉ>0\bar v > 0vˉ>0 and every pair of the shape of Example 1(a),

πs+πb=vˉ16(1+k)(2−k),\pi_s + \pi_b = \frac{\bar v}{16}(1+k)(2-k),πs​+πb​=16vˉ​(1+k)(2−k),

and as a function of k∈[0,1]k \in [0,1]k∈[0,1] this total attains its maximum 964vˉ\tfrac{9}{64}\bar v649​vˉ at k=1/2k = 1/2k=1/2. The goal is the paper's efficiency statement: among these equilibria, splitting the difference maximises expected group profit.

Milestones

  1. Example 1(b). Pr⁡[S(vs)≤B(vb)]=−k2+k+28\Pr[S(v_s) \le B(v_b)] = \dfrac{-k^2 + k + 2}{8}Pr[S(vs​)≤B(vb​)]=8−k2+k+2​, with maximum 9/329/329/32 at k=1/2k = 1/2k=1/2.
  2. Example 1(c)(i). πs(k)=vˉ48(2−k)2(1+k)\pi_s(k) = \dfrac{\bar v}{48}(2-k)^2(1+k)πs​(k)=48vˉ​(2−k)2(1+k), strictly decreasing in kkk on [0,1][0,1][0,1].
  3. Example 1(c)(ii). πb(k)=vˉ48(1+k)2(2−k)\pi_b(k) = \dfrac{\bar v}{48}(1+k)^2(2-k)πb​(k)=48vˉ​(1+k)2(2−k), strictly increasing in kkk on [0,1][0,1][0,1].

The goal is the sum of milestones 2 and 3 together with a one-variable maximisation; milestone 1 describes the trade region over which both profits are integrated.

Significance

The formulas answer the design question for the rule. Moving kkk toward the buyer's offer makes the price rule look more favourable to the seller, yet milestone 2 shows the seller's equilibrium profit falls and milestone 3 shows the buyer's rises: the paper (p. 844) uses this to show that an intuition which ignores the players' strategic response is mistaken. The comparison with truthful offers, which would trade with probability 1/21/21/2 and earn expected group profit vˉ/6\bar v/6vˉ/6, quantifies the cost of strategic misrepresentation: at best 9/329/329/32 and 964vˉ\tfrac{9}{64}\bar v649​vˉ.

The paper states these results as "straightforward computations" and prints no derivation. As far as is known, none of them has a machine-checked proof. A formalization settles the constants against the exact strategies of Example 1(a), including the non-linear no-trade branches the paper allows, and provides a worked example of computing trade probabilities and expected payoffs under a product of uniform laws, reusable for other double-auction and bilateral-trade examples.

Difficulty

The computation is elementary on paper, but the equilibrium strategies are only partly specified: on the seller's high range and the buyer's low range the offers are arbitrary functions subject to a bound, and need not be measurable. The obvious approach — substitute the linear formulas and integrate — is valid only after showing that these free branches never trade, so that the trade event and both integrands agree almost everywhere with their linear versions. The resulting integrals are over a product of two conditioned Lebesgue measures, not over Lebesgue measure on the plane, and the trade region depends on kkk through both strategies. The monotonicity claims hold only on [0,1][0,1][0,1] (the seller's cubic is not monotone on R\mathbb RR), and the derivative of each profit vanishes at an endpoint of the interval.

Formalization scope

Values are real numbers; the uniform law on [0,vˉ][0, \bar v][0,vˉ] is Lebesgue measure conditioned on the interval (volume[|Icc 0 v̄]), and the joint law of (vs,vb)(v_s, v_b)(vs​,vb​) is the product measure, with pairs ordered (vs,vb)(v_s, v_b)(vs​,vb​). The trade probability is the real number (P {p | S p.1 ≤ B p.2}).toReal; the profits are Bochner integrals over the product. Ties trade. The results are ex ante, not conditional on a player's own value. Every theorem assumes 0≤k≤10 \le k \le 10≤k≤1 and vˉ>0\bar v > 0vˉ>0. Maxima are stated with IsMaxOn on [0,1][0,1][0,1] plus the value at k=1/2k = 1/2k=1/2; monotonicity with StrictAntiOn/StrictMonoOn on [0,1][0,1][0,1].

The statements do not assume that (S,B)(S, B)(S,B) is an equilibrium; they are computations about any pair of the shape of Example 1(a). That this pair is an equilibrium is Example 1(a) itself, the goal of a companion mission. No measurability of SSS or BBB is assumed: the free branches never trade, so each integrand agrees almost everywhere with a bounded measurable function and the integrals are the paper's expectations. A formalization that assumes SSS and BBB linear everywhere, or that integrates over a single uniform variable, proves a different statement.

A complete development needs: the reduction of the trade event and the integrands to their linear versions on [0,vˉ]2[0,\bar v]^2[0,vˉ]2; Fubini for the product of conditioned measures; evaluation of polynomial integrals over a triangle; and elementary calculus on cubics. Lemmas on integrating over products of uniform laws are reusable. Contributions of intermediate lemmas, such as the explicit trade region, are welcome.

Selected references

  • K. Chatterjee and W. Samuelson, Bargaining under Incomplete Information, Operations Research 31(5):835–851, 1983. https://doi.org/10.1287/opre.31.5.835
  • R. B. Myerson and M. A. Satterthwaite, Efficient Mechanisms for Bilateral Trading, Journal of Economic Theory 29(2):265–281, 1983. https://doi.org/10.1016/0022-0531(83)90048-0
  • M. A. Satterthwaite and S. R. Williams, Bilateral Trade with the Sealed Bid k-Double Auction: Existence and Efficiency, Journal of Economic Theory 48(1):107–133, 1989. https://doi.org/10.1016/0022-0531(89)90120-8
  • W. Leininger, P. B. Linhart and R. Radner, Equilibria of the Sealed-Bid Mechanism for Bargaining with Incomplete Information, Journal of Economic Theory 48(1):63–106, 1989. https://doi.org/10.1016/0022-0531(89)90121-X
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Convex OptimizationOperations ResearchProbability·Captain: mikedeng1

On the Global Convergence of Stochastic Fictitious Play I: Every Additive Random Utility Choice Function Has an Admissible Deterministic Perturbation RepresentationResearch Paper

Motivation

Models of learning in games, and discrete choice models in econometrics, describe an agent who does not always pick the best alternative. Two descriptions of such an agent are standard. In the additive random utility model (McFadden 1981; Anderson, de Palma and Thisse 1992) the agent maximizes payoffs perturbed by random shocks. In the deterministic perturbation model (Fudenberg and Levine 1998) the agent chooses a probability vector and pays a deterministic, strictly convex cost for it. The logit choice rule arises from both: from i.i.d. extreme-value shocks, and from the entropy cost V(y)=η∑jyjln⁡yjV(y) = \eta \sum_j y_j \ln y_jV(y)=η∑j​yj​lnyj​.

Hofbauer and Sandholm (Econometrica 70 (2002)) show that the second description is general enough to cover the first for every shock distribution with a strictly positive density, not only for logit. Their analysis of stochastic fictitious play rests on this: the deterministic representation provides the perturbed payoff functions from which Lyapunov functions for the learning dynamics are built, for arbitrary noise. This mission formalizes that discrete choice theorem, Theorem 2.1 of the paper, together with the steps of its proof.

Setting

Fix n≥1n \ge 1n≥1 alternatives A={1,…,n}A = \{1, \dots, n\}A={1,…,n} with base payoffs π=(π1,…,πn)∈Rn\pi = (\pi_1, \dots, \pi_n) \in \mathbb{R}^nπ=(π1​,…,πn​)∈Rn. A random vector ε=(ε1,…,εn)\varepsilon = (\varepsilon_1, \dots, \varepsilon_n)ε=(ε1​,…,εn​) has a strictly positive density f:Rn→Rf : \mathbb{R}^n \to \mathbb{R}f:Rn→R, whose law does not depend on π\piπ. The agent chooses the alternative whose total payoff πj+εj\pi_j + \varepsilon_jπj​+εj​ is largest, which gives the choice probability function C:Rn→RnC : \mathbb{R}^n \to \mathbb{R}^nC:Rn→Rn,

Ci(π)=P(argmax⁡j πj+εj=i).C_i(\pi) = P\big(\operatorname{argmax}_j\, \pi_j + \varepsilon_j = i\big).Ci​(π)=P(argmaxj​πj​+εj​=i).

The probability simplex is ΔA={x∈R+n:∑jxj=1}\Delta A = \{x \in \mathbb{R}^n_+ : \sum_j x_j = 1\}ΔA={x∈R+n​:∑j​xj​=1}, with relative interior int⁡(ΔA)\operatorname{int}(\Delta A)int(ΔA) (all coordinates positive) and tangent space R0n={z∈Rn:∑jzj=0}\mathbb{R}^n_0 = \{z \in \mathbb{R}^n : \sum_j z_j = 0\}R0n​={z∈Rn:∑j​zj​=0}.

A deterministic perturbation is a function V:int⁡(ΔA)→RV : \operatorname{int}(\Delta A) \to \mathbb{R}V:int(ΔA)→R. Because VVV lives on the relative interior, its gradient ∇V(y)\nabla V(y)∇V(y) is the vector of R0n\mathbb{R}^n_0R0n​ with V(y+hz)=V(y)+(∇V(y)⋅z)h+o(h)V(y + hz) = V(y) + (\nabla V(y) \cdot z) h + o(h)V(y+hz)=V(y)+(∇V(y)⋅z)h+o(h) for all z∈R0nz \in \mathbb{R}^n_0z∈R0n​, and its second derivative D2V(y)D^2 V(y)D2V(y) is a quadratic form on R0n\mathbb{R}^n_0R0n​. The perturbation is admissible if VVV is twice continuously differentiable along the simplex, D2V(y)D^2V(y)D2V(y) is positive definite on R0n\mathbb{R}^n_0R0n​ for every yyy, and ∥∇V(y)∥→∞\|\nabla V(y)\| \to \infty∥∇V(y)∥→∞ as yyy approaches the boundary of ΔA\Delta AΔA.

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem 2.1

If ε\varepsilonε has a strictly positive density and CCC is continuously differentiable, then there is an admissible VVV such that, for every π∈Rn\pi \in \mathbb{R}^nπ∈Rn,

C(π)=argmax⁡y∈int⁡(ΔA)(y⋅π−V(y)),C(\pi) = \operatorname*{argmax}_{y \in \operatorname{int}(\Delta A)} \big( y \cdot \pi - V(y) \big),C(π)=y∈int(ΔA)argmax​(y⋅π−V(y)),

with a unique maximizer. The perturbation VVV is one function serving all payoff vectors at once.

Milestones

The milestones are the steps of the paper's proof (pp. 5–7), in order:

  1. Eq. (4). DC(π)DC(\pi)DC(π) is symmetric, ∂Ci/∂πj=∂Cj/∂πi\partial C_i/\partial \pi_j = \partial C_j / \partial \pi_i∂Ci​/∂πj​=∂Cj​/∂πi​, and its off-diagonal terms are strictly negative.
  2. Eq. (5). ∂Ci/∂πi=−∑j≠i∂Cj/∂πi\partial C_i/\partial \pi_i = -\sum_{j \ne i} \partial C_j/\partial \pi_i∂Ci​/∂πi​=−∑j=i​∂Cj​/∂πi​, and DC(π)1=0DC(\pi)\mathbf{1} = 0DC(π)1=0.
  3. Eq. (6). z⋅DC(π)z>0z \cdot DC(\pi) z > 0z⋅DC(π)z>0 whenever zzz is not proportional to 1\mathbf{1}1.
  4. Shift invariance and injectivity. C(π+c1)=C(π)C(\pi + c\mathbf{1}) = C(\pi)C(π+c1)=C(π), and CCC is one-to-one on R0n\mathbb{R}^n_0R0n​.
  5. Range observation. If the payoffs πj\pi_jπj​, j∈Jj \in Jj∈J, stay bounded while the others tend to +∞+\infty+∞, then Cj(π)→0C_j(\pi) \to 0Cj​(π)→0 for j∈Jj \in Jj∈J.
  6. Convex potential. There is W:Rn→RW : \mathbb{R}^n \to \mathbb{R}W:Rn→R with ∇W≡C\nabla W \equiv C∇W≡C, strictly convex on R0n\mathbb{R}^n_0R0n​.
  7. Range. CCC takes values in int⁡(ΔA)\operatorname{int}(\Delta A)int(ΔA), and C(R0n)=int⁡(ΔA)C(\mathbb{R}^n_0) = \operatorname{int}(\Delta A)C(R0n​)=int(ΔA).

Significance

The result. Theorem 2.1 lets any smooth additive random utility model be replaced by an optimizing agent with a strictly convex, boundary-repelling cost. In the paper this is the bridge from the perturbed best response dynamic to a deterministic perturbed-payoff formulation, which yields Lyapunov functions for zero-sum games, games with an interior evolutionarily stable strategy, and potential games (§4 of the paper), and so the almost sure convergence of stochastic fictitious play under general noise (Theorem 6.1). Without it those convergence results would be restricted to noise distributions whose choice rule has a known deterministic representation, essentially logit. The paper also shows (Proposition 2.2) that the converse fails when n≥4n \ge 4n≥4: deterministic perturbations generate strictly more choice rules than random utility.

Formalizing it. The theorem is proved on paper; no machine-checked proof of it is known. The mission asks for a formal proof of Theorem 2.1 and the seven steps above. Along the way it requires symmetric Jacobians of probability integrals, a gradient-field potential on Rn\mathbb{R}^nRn, and the Legendre transform of a strictly convex function restricted to a hyperplane. None of these is currently packaged in Mathlib in the needed form.

Difficulty

The obvious argument is to take VVV to be the Legendre transform of the potential W(π)=Emax⁡j(πj+εj)W(\pi) = \mathbb{E}\max_j(\pi_j + \varepsilon_j)W(π)=Emaxj​(πj​+εj​) and read off the first-order conditions. Three steps of that argument are not routine. First, the derivative identity (4) is a change of variables inside an (n−1)(n-1)(n−1)-fold integral over a moving region, and its strict sign needs the density to be positive on the relevant hyperplane sections. Second, the Legendre transform is well defined on all of int⁡(ΔA)\operatorname{int}(\Delta A)int(ΔA) only if CCC maps R0n\mathbb{R}^n_0R0n​ onto the whole open simplex. The paper takes this from Theorem 26.5 of Rockafellar (1970), whose hypotheses (essential smoothness, strict convexity, identification of the conjugate's domain) must be checked here. Third, positive definiteness of D2VD^2VD2V and the gradient blow-up at the boundary are statements about the inverse of CCC on R0n\mathbb{R}^n_0R0n​. They need an inverse function argument on a subspace and a properness argument, not only pointwise convexity.

Verifying that C(π)C(\pi)C(π) satisfies the first-order condition for one fixed π\piπ does not suffice: the goal requires a single VVV for all π\piπ, and a unique maximizer.

Formalization scope

Alternatives are indexed by Fin n with n≥1n \ge 1n≥1; vectors are Fin n → ℝ with its sup norm. The density is a real function fff that is continuous, strictly positive at every point, and has ∫f=1\int f = 1∫f=1; the law of ε\varepsilonε is Lebesgue measure weighted by fff. The paper's formula (4) evaluates fff on hyperplanes, which is meaningful for a continuous fff. Without continuity the theorem can fail: a density that is positive everywhere but tends to zero near a hyperplane can make CCC continuously differentiable with a vanishing off-diagonal derivative, and then no twice differentiable VVV represents CCC. Continuous differentiability of CCC is a hypothesis, as in the paper, stated as ContDiff ℝ 1 of the map π↦C(π)\pi \mapsto C(\pi)π↦C(π). The event "iii is the argmax" uses strict inequalities; ties have probability zero.

VVV is a function on Rn\mathbb{R}^nRn of which only the values on int⁡(ΔA)\operatorname{int}(\Delta A)int(ΔA) enter. Its smoothness and second derivative are taken in the chart z↦V(y+z)z \mapsto V(y + z)z↦V(y+z) on the subspace R0n\mathbb{R}^n_0R0n​. ∇V(y)\nabla V(y)∇V(y) is the tangent gradient of the paper's footnote 3, not an ambient gradient of an extension. The boundary blow-up is stated uniformly: for every MMM there is δ>0\delta > 0δ>0 such that every tangent gradient at an interior point with some coordinate below δ\deltaδ has norm above MMM.

The goal cannot be satisfied trivially. VVV must be chosen before π\piπ, all three admissibility conditions are part of the definition, and the maximizer must be unique. Weakening any of these (a VVV depending on π\piπ, a VVV without second derivatives, a non-strict maximum) changes the theorem.

Reusable infrastructure: differentiation of choice probabilities under a density, potentials of symmetric C1C^1C1 vector fields on Rn\mathbb{R}^nRn, and Legendre duality for strictly convex functions on a subspace. Contributions of any of these as separate lemmas are welcome, as are alternative proofs of the milestones, for instance obtaining the potential directly as Emax⁡j(πj+εj)\mathbb{E}\max_j(\pi_j + \varepsilon_j)Emaxj​(πj​+εj​).

Selected references

  • J. Hofbauer and W. H. Sandholm, On the Global Convergence of Stochastic Fictitious Play, Econometrica 70(6), 2265–2294, 2002. https://doi.org/10.1111/1468-0262.00376 (theorem numbers and pages here follow the authors' manuscript of February 21, 2002).
  • D. Fudenberg and D. K. Levine, The Theory of Learning in Games, MIT Press, 1998.
  • S. P. Anderson, A. de Palma and J.-F. Thisse, Discrete Choice Theory of Product Differentiation, MIT Press, 1992.
  • D. McFadden, Econometric Models of Probabilistic Choice, in C. F. Manski and D. McFadden (eds.), Structural Analysis of Discrete Data with Econometric Applications, MIT Press, 1981.
  • R. T. Rockafellar, Convex Analysis, Princeton University Press, 1970. https://doi.org/10.1515/9781400873173
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Approximation Algorithms for Combinatorial Auctions with Complement-Free Bidders III: A Greedy Price-Update Algorithm Is a 2-Approximation for XOS BiddersResearch Paper

Motivation

In a combinatorial auction a set of mmm items is sold to nnn bidders who value bundles of items rather than single items. Spectrum auctions, procurement of transportation lanes and the allocation of cloud resources all have this form, and the central algorithmic question is how to allocate the items so as to maximize the social welfare, the sum of the bidders' values for what they receive. Even to describe a general valuation takes 2m2^m2m numbers, so algorithms access the bidders through queries, and the achievable approximation depends on the class of valuations allowed.

Dobzinski, Nisan and Schapira (Math. Oper. Res. 35(1), 2010) study bidders without complementarities. For the class of XOS valuations, maxima of additive valuations, which strictly contains the submodular valuations, they give LP-based algorithms and, in §3.3, a purely combinatorial algorithm: bidders arrive one at a time, take their demanded bundle at the current item prices, and raise the prices of what they took. Its analysis charges the welfare of any allocation to the item prices the algorithm sets, an argument that uses only the demand and XOS oracles.

Setting

The items are M={1,…,m}M=\{1,\dots,m\}M={1,…,m} and the bidders 1,…,n1,\dots,n1,…,n.

  • An additive valuation (a clause) www assigns nonnegative values w(1),…,w(m)w(1),\dots,w(m)w(1),…,w(m) to the items and w(S)=∑j∈Sw(j)w(S)=\sum_{j\in S}w(j)w(S)=∑j∈S​w(j) to a bundle S⊆MS\subseteq MS⊆M.
  • An XOS valuation vvv is given by a nonempty finite set of clauses {w1,…,wt}\{w_1,\dots,w_t\}{w1​,…,wt​} (its XOS expression) through v(S)=max⁡kwk(S)v(S)=\max_k w_k(S)v(S)=maxk​wk​(S). A clause wkw_kwk​ with wk(S)=v(S)w_k(S)=v(S)wk​(S)=v(S) is a maximizing clause for SSS. Every XOS valuation is normalized, v(∅)=0v(\emptyset)=0v(∅)=0, and monotone.
  • An allocation is a tuple of pairwise disjoint bundles O1,…,OnO_1,\dots,O_nO1​,…,On​; items may stay unallocated. Its welfare is ∑ivi(Oi)\sum_i v_i(O_i)∑i​vi​(Oi​).
  • A demand oracle for bidder iii answers, given item prices p∈Rmp\in\mathbb R^mp∈Rm, a bundle maximizing vi(T)−∑j∈Tpjv_i(T)-\sum_{j\in T}p_jvi​(T)−∑j∈T​pj​. An XOS oracle answers, given a bundle SSS, a maximizing clause for SSS in viv_ivi​.

The greedy price-update algorithm. Start with all bundles empty and all prices pj=0p_j=0pj​=0. For i=1,…,ni=1,\dots,ni=1,…,n: let SiS_iSi​ be bidder iii's demand at the current prices; remove the items of SiS_iSi​ from the bundles of the earlier bidders; let qiq^iqi be the maximizing clause for SiS_iSi​ in viv_ivi​; set pj=qjip_j=q^i_jpj​=qji​ for j∈Sij\in S_ij∈Si​. Write pkp^kpk for the prices after stage kkk (p0=0p^0=0p0=0), pk(T)=∑j∈Tpjkp^k(T)=\sum_{j\in T}p^k_jpk(T)=∑j∈T​pjk​, and A1,…,AnA_1,\dots,A_nA1​,…,An​ for the final bundles.

In the Lean development these objects are XOSExpr, XOSExpr.val, IsAllocation, welfare, IsDemandOracle, IsXOSOracle, greedyState, greedyPrices and greedyAlloc in the namespace ComplementFreeCA.XOSGreedy.

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem 3.3

For XOS valuations v1,…,vnv_1,\dots,v_nv1​,…,vn​, every demand oracle and every XOS oracle, and every allocation O1,…,OnO_1,\dots,O_nO1​,…,On​,

∑i=1nvi(Oi)  ≤  2∑i=1nvi(Ai).\sum_{i=1}^n v_i(O_i)\;\le\;2\sum_{i=1}^n v_i(A_i).i=1∑n​vi​(Oi​)≤2i=1∑n​vi​(Ai​).

The comparison with every allocation is the paper's comparison with the optimal allocation.

Milestones

  1. Lemma 3.4. The final prices are paid for by the algorithm's welfare:
pn(M)≤∑ivi(Ai).p^n(M)\le\sum_i v_i(A_i).pn(M)≤i∑​vi​(Ai​).
  1. Lemma 3.5. Prices never decrease: pjk≤pjk′p^k_j\le p^{k'}_jpjk​≤pjk′​ for all items jjj and stages k≤k′k\le k'k≤k′.
  2. Lemma 3.6. For every allocation OOO,
∑ivi(Oi)≤2 pn(M).\sum_i v_i(O_i)\le 2\,p^n(M).i∑​vi​(Oi​)≤2pn(M).

Three further statements are included without being milestones: the output A1,…,AnA_1,\dots,A_nA1​,…,An​ is an allocation (used implicitly by the paper); the first sentence of the proof of Lemma 3.6, that with Δi=pi(M)−pi−1(M)\Delta^i=p^i(M)-p^{i-1}(M)Δi=pi(M)−pi−1(M) one has Δi=max⁡T⊆M(vi(T)−pi−1(T))\Delta^i=\max_{T\subseteq M}\bigl(v_i(T)-p^{i-1}(T)\bigr)Δi=maxT⊆M​(vi​(T)−pi−1(T)); and the factor 222 is attained on the paper's two-item, two-bidder example (p. 9).

Significance

Theorem 3.3 shows that a factor-2 approximation of the optimal welfare for XOS bidders needs no linear program: one pass over the bidders, one demand query and one XOS query each. The paper's LP-based algorithm of §3.2 attains the better ratio e/(e−1)e/(e-1)e/(e−1), and Theorem 4.1 of the paper shows that for the larger class of complement-free bidders no (2−ϵ)(2-\epsilon)(2−ϵ)-approximation is possible with polynomial communication.

The result is proved in the paper; to the best of our knowledge it has no machine-checked proof. This mission produces a formal model of XOS valuations, demand and XOS oracles and the greedy run that is reusable for other price-based arguments, and a formal proof of the guarantee for every tie-breaking in both oracles.

Difficulty

The argument is elementary, but its bookkeeping is where a formal proof can go wrong. Items move between bidders: an item taken from an earlier bidder in step (b) is re-priced in step (d), and every priced item lies in exactly one final bundle. Lemma 3.4 needs this invariant across all nnn stages, together with the fact that a maximizing clause for the demanded set bounds viv_ivi​ on every subset, which holds because it is a clause of viv_ivi​ itself, not merely an additive function agreeing with viv_ivi​ on SiS_iSi​. Lemma 3.5 is a contradiction argument using optimality of the demand; Lemma 3.6 telescopes the price increases and needs prices to stay nonnegative. The argument must hold for arbitrary oracle answers, so no canonical demand can be assumed.

Formalization scope

  • Bidders are Fin n, items Fin m, bundles Finset (Fin m), values in ℝ. An XOS valuation is represented by its expression: a nonempty Finset (Fin m → ℝ) of clauses with nonnegative entries, evaluated with Finset.sup'. The paper's standing assumptions, normalized and monotone valuations (p. 1), hold automatically in this representation.
  • The oracles are function parameters dem : Fin n → (Fin m → ℝ) → Finset (Fin m) and cl : Fin n → Finset (Fin m) → (Fin m → ℝ) with hypotheses IsDemandOracle and IsXOSOracle; every theorem holds for every such pair, so no tie-breaking rule is fixed.
  • The run is a recursion on the stage: stage k+1k+1k+1 processes the 0-based bidder kkk, i.e. the paper's bidder k+1k+1k+1; after stage nnn the state is constant.
  • The paper's goal compares with the optimal allocation; the Lean goal compares with every allocation, which is equivalent and avoids an argmax. Stating the bound against one particular allocation, or against the algorithm's own output, would be trivial and is excluded.
  • There are no O(⋅)O(\cdot)O(⋅) constants: the factor 222 is the paper's.
  • Printed slip: the model on p. 1 writes an allocation as S1,…,SmS_1,\dots,S_mS1​,…,Sm​; it is one bundle per bidder, S1,…,SnS_1,\dots,S_nS1​,…,Sn​.
  • Out of scope: running time, the cost of simulating oracles (Proposition 2.1), and communication lower bounds.

Contributions welcome: proofs of the three milestones and of the goal, and reusable lemmas on the invariant that every priced item lies in exactly one final bundle.

Selected references

  • S. Dobzinski, N. Nisan, M. Schapira, Approximation Algorithms for Combinatorial Auctions with Complement-Free Bidders, Mathematics of Operations Research 35(1):1–13, 2010. https://doi.org/10.1287/moor.1090.0436
  • B. Lehmann, D. Lehmann, N. Nisan, Combinatorial auctions with decreasing marginal utilities, Games and Economic Behavior 55(2):270–296, 2006. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.geb.2005.02.006
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Approximation Algorithms for Combinatorial Auctions with Complement-Free Bidders II: Clause-Based Randomized Rounding for XOS BiddersResearch Paper

Motivation

In a combinatorial auction a seller offers mmm indivisible items to nnn bidders, each of whom values bundles of items rather than single items. Allocating the items so as to maximize the total value (the social welfare) is the central optimization problem of the area: it models spectrum auctions, procurement and resource allocation, and it is NP-hard and hard to approximate for general valuations. A large literature therefore studies restricted classes of valuations without complementarities. Among them the class XOS (valuations that are a maximum of additive valuations, also called fractionally subadditive) sits strictly between submodular and subadditive valuations and has become a standard benchmark class in algorithmic game theory.

Dobzinski, Nisan and Schapira (Math. Oper. Res. 35(1), 2010) gave, among other results, a randomized algorithm that approximates the optimal welfare for XOS bidders within a factor 1/(1−(1−1/n)n)1/(1-(1-1/n)^n)1/(1−(1−1/n)n), which is at most e/(e−1)≈1.582e/(e-1)\approx 1.582e/(e−1)≈1.582. The algorithm rounds the standard LP relaxation and resolves conflicts between bidders using the XOS structure. This mission formalizes that guarantee (Theorem 3.2 of the paper).

A short timeline: Lehmann, Lehmann and Nisan (EC 2001) introduced the XOS terminology and a 2-approximation for submodular bidders; the conference version of the present paper (STOC 2005) gave the e/(e−1)e/(e-1)e/(e−1) bound for XOS with demand and XOS oracles; Feige (STOC 2006) extended the e/(e−1)e/(e-1)e/(e−1) ratio to XOS bidders with demand oracles only and gave a 2-approximation for subadditive bidders.

Setting

Items are M={1,…,m}M=\{1,\dots,m\}M={1,…,m} and bidders are N={1,…,n}N=\{1,\dots,n\}N={1,…,n} with n≥1n\ge1n≥1. Bidder iii has a valuation viv_ivi​ assigning a real number vi(S)v_i(S)vi​(S) to every bundle S⊆MS\subseteq MS⊆M. An allocation is a tuple (O1,…,On)(O_1,\dots,O_n)(O1​,…,On​) of pairwise disjoint bundles; its welfare is ∑ivi(Oi)\sum_i v_i(O_i)∑i​vi​(Oi​).

A clause is an additive valuation www given by nonnegative item values w1,…,wmw_1,\dots,w_mw1​,…,wm​, with w(S)=∑j∈Swjw(S)=\sum_{j\in S}w_jw(S)=∑j∈S​wj​. A valuation vvv is XOS if there is a nonempty finite set WWW of clauses with

v(S)=max⁡w∈W ∑j∈Swj(S⊆M).v(S)=\max_{w\in W}\ \sum_{j\in S}w_j\qquad(S\subseteq M).v(S)=w∈Wmax​ j∈S∑​wj​(S⊆M).

A clause of WWW attaining the maximum for SSS is a maximizing clause for SSS in vvv; an XOS oracle returns one (arbitrarily, if several attain it).

The LP relaxation has a variable xi,Sx_{i,S}xi,S​ for every bidder iii and bundle SSS and asks to maximize OPT∗=∑i,Sxi,Svi(S)\mathrm{OPT}^*=\sum_{i,S}x_{i,S}v_i(S)OPT∗=∑i,S​xi,S​vi​(S) subject to ∑i∑S∋jxi,S≤1\sum_{i}\sum_{S\ni j}x_{i,S}\le1∑i​∑S∋j​xi,S​≤1 for each item jjj, ∑Sxi,S≤1\sum_S x_{i,S}\le1∑S​xi,S​≤1 for each bidder iii, and xi,S≥0x_{i,S}\ge0xi,S​≥0.

Randomized rounding draws a preallocation S1,…,SnS_1,\dots,S_nS1​,…,Sn​: independently for each bidder iii, bundle SSS is chosen with probability xi,Sx_{i,S}xi,S​ and the empty bundle with the remaining probability 1−∑Sxi,S1-\sum_S x_{i,S}1−∑S​xi,S​. The preallocation can give an item to several bidders.

The algorithm of §3.2: (i) draw a preallocation from an optimal LP solution xxx; (ii) let pi=(p1i,…,pmi)p^i=(p^i_1,\dots,p^i_m)pi=(p1i​,…,pmi​) be the maximizing clause for SiS_iSi​ in viv_ivi​; (iii) give each item jjj to a bidder iii with pji≥pji′p^i_j\ge p^{i'}_jpji​≥pji′​ for all i′i'i′. Write ALG\mathrm{ALG}ALG for the welfare of the resulting allocation.

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem 3.2

For every XOS profile, every optimal LP solution xxx, every choice of maximizing clauses, every tie-breaking in step (iii) and every allocation OOO,

(1−(1−1n)n)∑ivi(Oi) ≤ E[ALG].\Big(1-\Big(1-\frac1n\Big)^n\Big)\sum_i v_i(O_i)\ \le\ \mathbb E[\mathrm{ALG}].(1−(1−n1​)n)i∑​vi​(Oi​) ≤ E[ALG].

Milestones

  1. ∑ivi(Oi)≤OPT∗\sum_i v_i(O_i)\le\mathrm{OPT}^*∑i​vi​(Oi​)≤OPT∗ for an optimal LP solution (step (i) of the proof of Theorem 3.1).
  2. Pointwise, ALG≥∑jQj\mathrm{ALG}\ge\sum_j Q_jALG≥∑j​Qj​ with Qj=max⁡ipjiQ_j=\max_i p^i_jQj​=maxi​pji​.
  3. Eq. (1): for 1≤k≤n1\le k\le n1≤k≤n and X1,…,Xk∈[0,1]X_1,\dots,X_k\in[0,1]X1​,…,Xk​∈[0,1] with ∑Xi≤1\sum X_i\le1∑Xi​≤1,
1−∏i≤k(1−Xi) ≥ 1−(1−∑Xik)k ≥ (1−(1−1k)k)∑Xi ≥ (1−(1−1n)n)∑Xi.1-\prod_{i\le k}(1-X_i)\ \ge\ 1-\Big(1-\tfrac{\sum X_i}{k}\Big)^k\ \ge\ \Big(1-\big(1-\tfrac1k\big)^k\Big)\sum X_i\ \ge\ \Big(1-\big(1-\tfrac1n\big)^n\Big)\sum X_i .1−i≤k∏​(1−Xi​) ≥ 1−(1−k∑Xi​​)k ≥ (1−(1−k1​)k)∑Xi​ ≥ (1−(1−n1​)n)∑Xi​.
  1. Lemma 3.3: E[Qj]≥(1−(1−1/n)n)∑i∑S∋jxi,S pj(i,S)\mathbb E[Q_j]\ge(1-(1-1/n)^n)\sum_i\sum_{S\ni j}x_{i,S}\,p^{(i,S)}_jE[Qj​]≥(1−(1−1/n)n)∑i​∑S∋j​xi,S​pj(i,S)​ for every feasible xxx.
  2. E[ALG]≥(1−(1−1/n)n) OPT∗(x)\mathbb E[\mathrm{ALG}]\ge(1-(1-1/n)^n)\,\mathrm{OPT}^*(x)E[ALG]≥(1−(1−1/n)n)OPT∗(x) for every feasible xxx.

Milestone 5 is stronger than the goal (it compares with the fractional value); the goal is stated against the integral optimum because that is what Theorem 3.2 asserts.

Significance

The bound 1−(1−1/n)n≥1−1/e1-(1-1/n)^n\ge1-1/e1−(1−1/n)n≥1−1/e is a constant-factor guarantee for a class that includes every submodular valuation, obtained from nothing more than the LP relaxation and the clause structure of XOS. It shows that the integrality gap of the configuration LP for XOS bidders is at most 1/(1−(1−1/n)n)1/(1-(1-1/n)^n)1/(1−(1−1/n)n), a fact reused in later work on welfare maximization, online allocation and posted-price mechanisms. The per-item analysis (Lemma 3.3 and Eq. (1)) is the same "1−1/e1-1/e1−1/e" correlation-gap argument that recurs in submodular maximization and prophet-inequality proofs.

The result is proved in the paper. To our knowledge it has no machine-checked proof. This mission produces a Lean statement and proof of the guarantee with the randomness made explicit, a reusable model of the configuration LP and of randomized rounding over bundles, and a formal version of the inequality in Eq. (1), which is independently useful.

Difficulty

Each piece of the argument is short; the work is in the bookkeeping. The preallocation is infeasible, so welfare cannot be read off from the rounding directly; the proof reduces it to per-item quantities QjQ_jQj​ and then lower-bounds E[Qj]\mathbb E[Q_j]E[Qj​] by comparing with a different assignment of item jjj that is not the algorithm's. The expectation of that auxiliary assignment involves a product of probabilities over bidders ordered by a conditional expectation, and the final bound needs the calculus inequality of Eq. (1) together with a summation by parts. A naive attempt to bound E[ALG]\mathbb E[\mathrm{ALG}]E[ALG] bidder by bidder fails, because a bidder's received bundle is not contained in its preallocated bundle, and the clause values of other bidders decide what it receives.

Formalization scope

  • Bidders are Fin n, items Fin m, bundles Finset (Fin m), valuations Finset (Fin m) → ℝ. XOS is stated through its expression: each viv_ivi​ comes with a nonempty finite clause set WiW_iWi​ of nonnegative clauses, and vi(S)v_i(S)vi​(S) is attained by a clause of WiW_iWi​ and bounded by all of them. Normalization and monotonicity, the paper's standing assumptions (p. 1), follow from this.
  • The LP has a variable for every bundle, including ∅\emptyset∅. "Optimal" is stated as feasible and not beaten by any feasible solution; existence of an optimum is not asserted.
  • The rounding is a finite product distribution over profiles σ:Fin n→\sigma:\mathrm{Fin}\,n\toσ:Finn→ bundles, with bidder iii's law qi(S)=xi,S+1[S=∅](1−∑Txi,T)q_i(S)=x_{i,S}+\mathbf 1[S=\emptyset](1-\sum_T x_{i,T})qi​(S)=xi,S​+1[S=∅](1−∑T​xi,T​); expectations are finite sums.
  • The XOS oracle is a function parameter with its specification, and step (iii) is any rule selecting a bidder with maximal clause value; every statement quantifies over all of them.
  • "Approximation" in Theorem 3.2 is read in expectation, as its proof establishes. There are no O(⋅)O(\cdot)O(⋅) constants in this mission.
  • Printed slip: the display of Lemma 3.3 (and the identity for OPT∗\mathrm{OPT}^*OPT∗ before it) sums xi,Spj(i,S)x_{i,S}p^{(i,S)}_jxi,S​pj(i,S)​ over all (i,S)(i,S)(i,S); the proof's final line restricts to S∋jS\ni jS∋j, and the printed version is false. The Lean states Lemma 3.3 with S∋jS\ni jS∋j.
  • Running time, the ellipsoid method and oracle complexity are out of scope.
  • Ruled out as trivializing: dropping the LP constraints on xxx (the item constraint is what makes Eq. (1) apply), stating the bound for a fixed preallocation instead of the expectation, or allowing negative clause values.

A complete development needs finite product distributions over bundles, the AM–GM inequality, monotonicity of (1−1/k)k(1-1/k)^k(1−1/k)k, and a summation-by-parts argument. The LP and rounding model are reusable for the other randomized-rounding results of the paper; proofs of any milestone are welcome.

Selected references

  • S. Dobzinski, N. Nisan, M. Schapira, Approximation Algorithms for Combinatorial Auctions with Complement-Free Bidders, Mathematics of Operations Research 35(1):1–13, 2010. https://doi.org/10.1287/moor.1090.0436
  • S. Dobzinski, N. Nisan, M. Schapira, Approximation algorithms for combinatorial auctions with complement-free bidders, STOC 2005. https://doi.org/10.1145/1060590.1060681
  • B. Lehmann, D. Lehmann, N. Nisan, Combinatorial auctions with decreasing marginal utilities, EC 2001. https://doi.org/10.1145/501158.501161
  • U. Feige, On maximizing welfare when utility functions are subadditive, STOC 2006. https://doi.org/10.1145/1132516.1132540
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Approximation Algorithms for Combinatorial Auctions with Complement-Free Bidders I: LP Rounding for Subadditive BiddersResearch Paper

Motivation

In a combinatorial auction a seller offers mmm indivisible items to nnn bidders, each of whom values bundles of items rather than single items. Allocating the items to maximize total value is the basic welfare problem of spectrum auctions, procurement and resource allocation, and it is the running example of algorithmic mechanism design. For general valuations no polynomial-time algorithm achieves a ratio polynomially better than m\sqrt mm​ under standard assumptions, so positive results require restricting the valuations. The most natural restriction is complement freeness (subadditivity): a bundle is never worth more than the sum of its parts.

Dobzinski, Nisan and Schapira (Math. Oper. Res. 35(1), 2010; conference version STOC 2005) gave the first polynomial-time algorithms with sub-polynomial approximation ratios for complement-free bidders given demand oracles. This mission formalizes their Section 3.1 algorithm, which rounds the linear-programming relaxation of the auction and splits the resulting infeasible solution into feasible ones.

Timeline. Lehmann, Lehmann and Nisan (2001) introduced the complement-free hierarchy and treated submodular bidders. The original version of the algorithm formalized here claimed an O(log⁡m)O(\log m)O(logm) ratio; Feige observed that the same algorithm achieves O(log⁡m/log⁡log⁡m)O(\log m/\log\log m)O(logm/loglogm) and that its ratio is at least Ω(log⁡m/log⁡log⁡m)\Omega(\sqrt{\log m/\log\log m})Ω(logm/loglogm​) (Feige, SIAM J. Comput. 39(1), 2009). Feige then obtained a constant ratio (222) for subadditive bidders by a different rounding.

Setting

Items are M={1,…,m}M=\{1,\dots,m\}M={1,…,m} and bidders N={1,…,n}N=\{1,\dots,n\}N={1,…,n}. Bidder iii has a valuation viv_ivi​ assigning a real value vi(S)v_i(S)vi​(S) to each bundle S⊆MS\subseteq MS⊆M. Every valuation is normalized, vi(∅)=0v_i(\emptyset)=0vi​(∅)=0, and monotone, S⊆T⇒vi(S)≤vi(T)S\subseteq T\Rightarrow v_i(S)\le v_i(T)S⊆T⇒vi​(S)≤vi​(T). A valuation is complement free if v(S∪T)≤v(S)+v(T)v(S\cup T)\le v(S)+v(T)v(S∪T)≤v(S)+v(T) for all S,TS,TS,T. An allocation is a tuple (S1,…,Sn)(S_1,\dots,S_n)(S1​,…,Sn​) of pairwise disjoint bundles; its welfare is ∑ivi(Si)\sum_i v_i(S_i)∑i​vi​(Si​), and OPTOPTOPT denotes the largest welfare.

The LP relaxation has a variable xi,S≥0x_{i,S}\ge0xi,S​≥0 for each bidder and bundle, with ∑i,S∋jxi,S≤1\sum_{i,S\ni j}x_{i,S}\le1∑i,S∋j​xi,S​≤1 for each item jjj and ∑Sxi,S≤1\sum_S x_{i,S}\le1∑S​xi,S​≤1 for each bidder iii; its objective is ∑i,Sxi,Svi(S)\sum_{i,S}x_{i,S}v_i(S)∑i,S​xi,S​vi​(S), with optimum OPT∗≥OPTOPT^*\ge OPTOPT∗≥OPT. Randomized rounding lets each bidder independently draw bundle SSS with probability xi,Sx_{i,S}xi,S​ and ∅\emptyset∅ with the remaining probability. The result, a preallocation, has expected welfare OPT∗OPT^*OPT∗ but may give an item to several bidders.

The algorithm takes k=⌊3log⁡m/log⁡log⁡m⌋k=\lfloor 3\log m/\log\log m\rfloork=⌊3logm/loglogm⌋ and:

  1. rounds until the preallocation (S1,…,Sn)(S_1,\dots,S_n)(S1​,…,Sn​) has every item in at most kkk bundles and ∑ivi(Si)≥OPT∗/3\sum_i v_i(S_i)\ge OPT^*/3∑i​vi​(Si​)≥OPT∗/3;
  2. splits each SiS_iSi​ into layers SirS_i^rSir​, r=1,…,kr=1,\dots,kr=1,…,k, where SirS_i^rSir​ holds the items of SiS_iSi​ that appear in exactly r−1r-1r−1 of S1,…,Si−1S_1,\dots,S_{i-1}S1​,…,Si−1​;
  3. picks the layer index rrr maximizing ∑ivi(Sir)\sum_i v_i(S_i^r)∑i​vi​(Sir​) and sets Ti=SirT_i=S_i^rTi​=Sir​;
  4. if some bidder has vi(M)≥∑i′vi′(Ti′)v_i(M)\ge\sum_{i'}v_{i'}(T_{i'})vi​(M)≥∑i′​vi′​(Ti′​), gives that bidder everything instead.

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem 3.1, with the explicit ratio

For all sufficiently large mmm, for normalized, monotone, complement-free valuations and an optimal LP solution xxx with value OPT∗OPT^*OPT∗:

  1. if OPT∗>3max⁡ivi(M)OPT^*>3\max_i v_i(M)OPT∗>3maxi​vi​(M), one rounding meets the two conditions of step 1 with probability >1/6>1/6>1/6;
  2. from any preallocation meeting them, every admissible run of steps 2–4 outputs an allocation with
∑ivi(outputi) ≥ OPT3k,k=⌊3log⁡mlog⁡log⁡m⌋;\sum_i v_i(\text{output}_i)\ \ge\ \frac{OPT}{3k},\qquad k=\Big\lfloor\frac{3\log m}{\log\log m}\Big\rfloor;i∑​vi​(outputi​) ≥ 3kOPT​,k=⌊loglogm3logm​⌋;
  1. if OPT∗≤3max⁡ivi(M)OPT^*\le3\max_i v_i(M)OPT∗≤3maxi​vi​(M), the bidder maximizing vi(M)v_i(M)vi​(M) alone achieves OPT/3OPT/3OPT/3.

Milestones

  • OPT≤OPT∗OPT\le OPT^*OPT≤OPT∗ (proof, step (i)).
  • The layers of each index form an allocation and partition each SiS_iSi​ (proof, step (ii)).
  • Complement freeness gives ∑rvi(Sir)≥vi(Si)\sum_r v_i(S_i^r)\ge v_i(S_i)∑r​vi​(Sir​)≥vi​(Si​), and the best layer has welfare ≥OPT∗/(3k)\ge OPT^*/(3k)≥OPT∗/(3k) (proof, step (iii)).
  • Lemma 3.1: independent Bernoulli variables with ∑ipi≤1\sum_i p_i\le1∑i​pi​≤1 exceed 3log⁡m/log⁡log⁡m3\log m/\log\log m3logm/loglogm with probability ≤1/m2\le1/m^2≤1/m2.
  • Lemma 3.2: for XXX a sum of independent [0,1][0,1][0,1] variables with mean μ\muμ, Pr⁡[∣X−μ∣≥α]≤μ/α2\Pr[|X-\mu|\ge\alpha]\le\mu/\alpha^2Pr[∣X−μ∣≥α]≤μ/α2.
  • §3.1.1: some item appears more than 3log⁡m/log⁡log⁡m3\log m/\log\log m3logm/loglogm times with probability ≤1/m\le1/m≤1/m; the preallocation's welfare falls below OPT∗/3OPT^*/3OPT∗/3 with probability <3/4<3/4<3/4.

Significance

Theorem 3.1 was among the first polynomial-time approximation guarantees for welfare maximization with general subadditive bidders, and its layering argument is the standard way to turn an LP solution that is feasible up to a factor kkk into a feasible allocation losing only a factor kkk for subadditive objectives. The same argument applies to the kkk-duplicates auction and reappears in later rounding schemes. Lemma 3.1 is the standard balls-in-bins tail bound behind every log⁡m/log⁡log⁡m\log m/\log\log mlogm/loglogm load estimate.

The results are proved in the paper; none of them is formalized, on this platform or in Mathlib, as far as searches show. The mission produces a machine-checked version of the algorithm's guarantee with an explicit constant 3k3k3k in place of O(⋅)O(\cdot)O(⋅), a precise statement of the probabilistic step, and reusable statements of two concentration inequalities for sums of independent bounded variables.

Difficulty

The combinatorial part (steps (ii) and (iii)) is short. The difficulty is in step (i). The rounding is a product distribution over bundles, while the count of an item is a sum over bidders of indicators that depend on each bidder's whole bundle; connecting the finite product law to independent Bernoulli variables, and then to Lemma 3.1, requires building the independence structure explicitly. Lemma 3.1 itself does not follow from a Chernoff bound with a fixed relative deviation: the threshold 3log⁡m/log⁡log⁡m3\log m/\log\log m3logm/loglogm grows with mmm while the mean stays at most 111, and the bound must hold uniformly in the number of variables, which a fixed-deviation Chernoff statement does not give. Finally, the event-BBB bound needs the preallocation's welfare as a sum of independent variables in [0,1][0,1][0,1], which requires rescaling by max⁡ivi(M)\max_i v_i(M)maxi​vi​(M) and monotonicity.

Formalization scope

Bidders are Fin n, items Fin m, bundles Finset (Fin m), valuations Finset (Fin m) → ℝ. Normalization and monotonicity, the paper's standing assumptions (p. 1), are hypotheses of the goal. log⁡\loglog is the natural logarithm; the paper does not fix a base. The rounding law is written as explicit finite sums over profiles σ:Fin n→Finset (Fin m)\sigma:\texttt{Fin } n\to\texttt{Finset (Fin } m)σ:Fin n→Finset (Fin m) with product weights, so independence across bidders is literal; Lemmas 3.1 and 3.2 are stated measure-theoretically with Mathlib's iIndepFun.

Explicit constants and conventions that replace the paper's notation:

  • The ratio O(k)=O(log⁡m/log⁡log⁡m)O(k)=O(\log m/\log\log m)O(k)=O(logm/loglogm) is stated as 3k3k3k with k=⌊3log⁡m/log⁡log⁡m⌋k=\lfloor3\log m/\log\log m\rfloork=⌊3logm/loglogm⌋, the constant the proof establishes (step (iii), p. 6). "Sufficiently large mmm" is an existential m0m_0m0​.
  • The w.l.o.g. scaling max⁡ivi(M)=1\max_i v_i(M)=1maxi​vi​(M)=1 and the split at OPT∗=3OPT^*=3OPT∗=3 become the scale-free split at OPT∗=3max⁡ivi(M)OPT^*=3\max_i v_i(M)OPT∗=3maxi​vi​(M).
  • The choice of rrr in step (iii) and of the bidder in step (iv) are universally quantified over all admissible choices.

Printed slips resolved in the statements:

  • Lemma 3.1 mixes nnn and mmm. Here the number of variables is arbitrary, "sufficiently large" refers to mmm, and ∑ipi=1\sum_ip_i=1∑i​pi​=1 is relaxed to ∑ipi≤1\sum_ip_i\le1∑i​pi​≤1, which is what the application uses.
  • The display after Lemma 3.1 writes the threshold log⁡m/(3log⁡log⁡m)\log m/(3\log\log m)logm/(3loglogm); the lemma's 3log⁡m/log⁡log⁡m3\log m/\log\log m3logm/loglogm is used.
  • "Pr⁡[∨jEj]<1/n\Pr[\vee_jE_j]<1/nPr[∨j​Ej​]<1/n" and "≤1/n+3/4\le 1/n+3/4≤1/n+3/4" should read 1/m1/m1/m.
  • The event BBB is defined without its sum; it means ∑ivi(Si)<OPT∗/3\sum_iv_i(S_i)<OPT^*/3∑i​vi​(Si​)<OPT∗/3.

Trivializing formalizations are ruled out: the guarantee assumes the item-count bound (without it the layers do not cover the bundles), the probability statements assume an LP-feasible xxx, neither the layer index nor the step-(iv) bidder is fixed, and the ratio is the explicit 3k3k3k rather than an unspecified constant. Running time, the ellipsoid method and oracle complexity are out of scope. Contributions of general concentration lemmas for sums of independent bounded variables are welcome and reusable beyond this mission.

Selected references

  • S. Dobzinski, N. Nisan, M. Schapira, Approximation Algorithms for Combinatorial Auctions with Complement-Free Bidders, Mathematics of Operations Research 35(1):1–13, 2010. https://doi.org/10.1287/moor.1090.0436
  • U. Feige, On Maximizing Welfare When Utility Functions Are Subadditive, SIAM Journal on Computing 39(1):122–142, 2009. https://doi.org/10.1137/070680977
  • B. Lehmann, D. Lehmann, N. Nisan, Combinatorial Auctions with Decreasing Marginal Utilities, Games and Economic Behavior 55(2):270–296, 2006. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.geb.2005.02.006
  • M. Mitzenmacher, E. Upfal, Probability and Computing, Cambridge University Press, 2005. https://doi.org/10.1017/CBO9780511813603
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Mechanism DesignOperations ResearchProbability·Captain: mikedeng1

Bargaining under Incomplete Information II: The Linear Equilibrium of the Sealed-Offer Rule for Uniform ValuesResearch Paper

Motivation

A buyer and a seller negotiate over one indivisible good. Each knows the good's worth to themselves but not to the other side, so each shades their offer to exploit the other's uncertainty, and some mutually profitable trades fail. Chatterjee and Samuelson (Bargaining under Incomplete Information, Operations Research 31(5), 1983) modelled this as a one-shot game of simultaneous sealed offers and computed its equilibria in closed form for uniformly distributed values.

That closed-form equilibrium became the reference example of bilateral trade with two-sided private information. Myerson and Satterthwaite (J. Econ. Theory 29, 1983) proved that no mechanism can guarantee efficient trade in this setting and showed that, for uniform values, the equilibrium of the sealed-offer game with k=1/2k = 1/2k=1/2 attains the largest expected gains from trade of any incentive-compatible, individually rational mechanism. The later literature on the kkk-double auction (Satterthwaite and Williams, J. Econ. Theory 48, 1989; Leininger, Linhart and Radner, J. Econ. Theory 48, 1989) studies the same game and uses the linear equilibrium as its benchmark.

Setting

A seller has reservation price vsv_svs​ and a buyer has reservation price vbv_bvb​, both in [0,vˉ][0, \bar v][0,vˉ] with vˉ>0\bar v > 0vˉ>0. Each knows their own value. Each believes the other's value is uniformly distributed on [0,vˉ][0, \bar v][0,vˉ]: the distribution functions are Fs(v)=Fb(v)=v/vˉF_s(v) = F_b(v) = v/\bar vFs​(v)=Fb​(v)=v/vˉ on [0,vˉ][0, \bar v][0,vˉ]. In Lean this belief is the measure unif v̄, Lebesgue measure conditioned on [0,vˉ][0, \bar v][0,vˉ].

Under the Bargaining Rule, the seller asks sss and the buyer offers bbb simultaneously. If b≥sb \ge sb≥s the good is sold at P=kb+(1−k)sP = kb + (1-k)sP=kb+(1−k)s for a fixed k∈[0,1]k \in [0, 1]k∈[0,1]; if b<sb < sb<s there is no sale. On a sale the seller earns P−vsP - v_sP−vs​ and the buyer vb−Pv_b - Pvb​−P; otherwise both earn zero. The case k=1k = 1k=1 gives the buyer the right to make a take-it-or-leave-it offer, k=0k = 0k=0 gives it to the seller, and k=1/2k = 1/2k=1/2 splits the difference.

An offer strategy maps values to offers: SSS for the seller, BBB for the buyer. Against SSS, a buyer with value vvv who offers bbb earns in expectation

πb(b,v)=∫1{S(vs)≤b} (v−kb−(1−k)S(vs)) d unifvˉ(vs),\pi_b(b, v) = \int \mathbf 1\{S(v_s) \le b\}\,\bigl(v - kb - (1-k)S(v_s)\bigr)\,d\,\mathrm{unif}_{\bar v}(v_s),πb​(b,v)=∫1{S(vs​)≤b}(v−kb−(1−k)S(vs​))dunifvˉ​(vs​),

and against BBB a seller with value vvv asking sss earns πs(s,v)=∫1{s≤B(vb)} (kB(vb)+(1−k)s−v) d unifvˉ(vb)\pi_s(s, v) = \int \mathbf 1\{s \le B(v_b)\}\,(kB(v_b) + (1-k)s - v)\,d\,\mathrm{unif}_{\bar v}(v_b)πs​(s,v)=∫1{s≤B(vb​)}(kB(vb​)+(1−k)s−v)dunifvˉ​(vb​). These are buyerProfit and sellerProfit. The pair (S,B)(S, B)(S,B) is an equilibrium (IsEquilibrium) if, for every value in [0,vˉ][0, \bar v][0,vˉ], each player's prescribed offer maximises their expected profit over all real offers.

Formalization targets

Goal: Example 1(a)

Write Slin(v)=v2−k+1−k2vˉS_{\mathrm{lin}}(v) = \frac{v}{2-k} + \frac{1-k}{2}\bar vSlin​(v)=2−kv​+21−k​vˉ and Blin(v)=v1+k+k(1−k)2(1+k)vˉB_{\mathrm{lin}}(v) = \frac{v}{1+k} + \frac{k(1-k)}{2(1+k)}\bar vBlin​(v)=1+kv​+2(1+k)k(1−k)​vˉ. If SSS and BBB are measurable and

S(vs)=Slin(vs)for 0≤vs≤2−k2vˉ,S(vs)≥Slin(vs)for 2−k2vˉ<vs≤vˉ,B(vb)≤Blin(vb)for 0≤vb<1−k2vˉ,B(vb)=Blin(vb)for 1−k2vˉ≤vb≤vˉ,\begin{aligned} S(v_s) &= S_{\mathrm{lin}}(v_s) && \text{for } 0 \le v_s \le \tfrac{2-k}{2}\bar v, &\qquad S(v_s) &\ge S_{\mathrm{lin}}(v_s) && \text{for } \tfrac{2-k}{2}\bar v < v_s \le \bar v,\\ B(v_b) &\le B_{\mathrm{lin}}(v_b) && \text{for } 0 \le v_b < \tfrac{1-k}{2}\bar v, &\qquad B(v_b) &= B_{\mathrm{lin}}(v_b) && \text{for } \tfrac{1-k}{2}\bar v \le v_b \le \bar v, \end{aligned}S(vs​)B(vb​)​=Slin​(vs​)≤Blin​(vb​)​​for 0≤vs​≤22−k​vˉ,for 0≤vb​<21−k​vˉ,​S(vs​)B(vb​)​≥Slin​(vs​)=Blin​(vb​)​​for 22−k​vˉ<vs​≤vˉ,for 21−k​vˉ≤vb​≤vˉ,​

then (S,B)(S, B)(S,B) is an equilibrium. The statement leaves the no-trade branches free, as the paper does: a seller whose value exceeds every serious bid may ask anything at least SlinS_{\mathrm{lin}}Slin​, and a buyer whose value is below every serious ask may bid anything at most BlinB_{\mathrm{lin}}Blin​.

Milestones

  1. The linear rules solve (3a)–(3b). The paper's own justification of Example 1(a): with Fb=Fs=v/vˉF_b = F_s = v/\bar vFb​=Fs​=v/vˉ and densities 1/vˉ1/\bar v1/vˉ, the pair (Slin,Blin)(S_{\mathrm{lin}}, B_{\mathrm{lin}})(Slin​,Blin​) satisfies the linked differential equations of the paper's Theorem 2, kFb(y)S′(y)+fb(y)S(y)=B−1(S(y))fb(y)kF_b(y)S'(y) + f_b(y)S(y) = B^{-1}(S(y))f_b(y)kFb​(y)S′(y)+fb​(y)S(y)=B−1(S(y))fb​(y) and (1−k)(1−Fs(x))B′(x)−fs(x)B(x)=−S−1(B(x))fs(x)(1-k)(1 - F_s(x))B'(x) - f_s(x)B(x) = -S^{-1}(B(x))f_s(x)(1−k)(1−Fs​(x))B′(x)−fs​(x)B(x)=−S−1(B(x))fs​(x).
  2. Seller half. For every seller value v∈[0,vˉ]v \in [0, \bar v]v∈[0,vˉ] and every real ask sss, πs(s,v)≤πs(S(v),v)\pi_s(s, v) \le \pi_s(S(v), v)πs​(s,v)≤πs​(S(v),v).
  3. Buyer half. For every buyer value v∈[0,vˉ]v \in [0, \bar v]v∈[0,vˉ] and every real offer bbb, πb(b,v)≤πb(B(v),v)\pi_b(b, v) \le \pi_b(B(v), v)πb​(b,v)≤πb​(B(v),v).

The goal is the conjunction of milestones 2 and 3, by definition of equilibrium. Milestone 1 is the step the paper actually writes down; it records the necessary first-order conditions and does not by itself give the global best-response property.

Significance

The result. Example 1(a) is the explicit equilibrium from which the paper derives the probability of trade, (−k2+k+2)/8(-k^2 + k + 2)/8(−k2+k+2)/8, and each party's ex ante profit as a function of kkk (Example 1(b)–(c)). It is the equilibrium shown by Myerson and Satterthwaite to be second-best efficient at k=1/2k = 1/2k=1/2, and it is the standard test case against which other double-auction equilibria and mechanisms for bilateral trade are compared.

Formalizing it. The result is proved in the literature but, to our knowledge, has not been machine-checked. The paper itself only observes that the linear branches satisfy the first-order conditions; the global statement (no deviation to any real offer is profitable, including deviations that reach the other side's no-trade types) is left to the reader. A formal proof closes that gap and yields reusable facts about expected profits under uniform beliefs. The two companion missions of this series formalize the paper's Theorem 2 (the linked differential equations in general) and Example 1(b)–(c) (trade probability and expected profits).

Difficulty

First-order conditions do not suffice. A seller can ask below the lowest serious ask 1−k2vˉ\frac{1-k}{2}\bar v21−k​vˉ and trade with buyers on the free lower branch, whose bids are only bounded above; a buyer can bid above 2−k2vˉ\frac{2-k}{2}\bar v22−k​vˉ and meet sellers on the free upper branch, whose asks are only bounded below. The best-response inequality must hold for every such deviation and for every admissible choice of the free branches, so it cannot be read off from the linear strategies alone. The expected profit is a piecewise function of the offer, with the pieces determined by where the offer meets the opponent's linear branch and the free branches, and the inequality must be shown on each piece and at the boundaries, uniformly in k∈[0,1]k \in [0, 1]k∈[0,1] including the endpoints k=0k = 0k=0 and k=1k = 1k=1, where one of the free ranges is empty.

Formalization scope

Values and offers are real numbers; strategies are functions R→R\mathbb R \to \mathbb RR→R, and their values outside [0,vˉ][0, \bar v][0,vˉ] are irrelevant because the beliefs give that set measure zero. Beliefs are the probability measure unif v̄ = volume[|Icc 0 v̄]; expected profits are Bochner integrals against it, written over the opponent's value rather than against an offer density. The value intervals are closed; ties b=sb = sb=s trade; deviations range over all of R\mathbb RR; kkk ranges over the closed interval [0,1][0, 1][0,1].

The strategies SSS and BBB are assumed measurable. Without this a deviation's expected profit could be the junk value 000 of a non-integrable Bochner integral; with it, all integrands are bounded on the trade event. The inline coefficient (k(1−k)/2(1+k))vˉ(k(1-k)/2(1+k))\bar v(k(1−k)/2(1+k))vˉ of the page is read as k(1−k)2(1+k)vˉ\frac{k(1-k)}{2(1+k)}\bar v2(1+k)k(1−k)​vˉ, the reading under which the buyer's lowest serious bid equals the seller's lowest serious ask, as in the paper's Figure 1.

The claim is the sufficiency direction only; the paper states that other equilibria exist, and a statement that every equilibrium has the linear form would be false. The canonical linear pair satisfies all hypotheses, so the goal is not vacuous.

Useful infrastructure includes integrals of piecewise-affine functions against the uniform measure on an interval and the distribution function of volume[|Icc 0 v̄]. Contributions welcome: proofs of the milestones, and lemmas computing πs\pi_sπs​ and πb\pi_bπb​ in closed form on each piece.

Selected references

  • K. Chatterjee and W. Samuelson, Bargaining under Incomplete Information, Operations Research 31(5):835–851, 1983. https://doi.org/10.1287/opre.31.5.835
  • R. B. Myerson and M. A. Satterthwaite, Efficient Mechanisms for Bilateral Trading, Journal of Economic Theory 29(2):265–281, 1983. https://doi.org/10.1016/0022-0531(83)90048-0
  • M. A. Satterthwaite and S. R. Williams, Bilateral Trade with the Sealed Bid k-Double Auction: Existence and Efficiency, Journal of Economic Theory 48(1):107–133, 1989. https://doi.org/10.1016/0022-0531(89)90120-8
  • W. Leininger, P. B. Linhart and R. Radner, Equilibria of the Sealed-Bid Mechanism for Bargaining with Incomplete Information, Journal of Economic Theory 48(1):63–106, 1989. https://doi.org/10.1016/0022-0531(89)90121-X
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Operations Research·Captain: mikedeng1

Monotonic Solutions of Cooperative Games 2: The Shapley Value Is the Unique Symmetric Strongly Monotonic Allocation ProcedureResearch Paper

Motivation

Cost and benefit allocation problems arise whenever several parties share a joint undertaking: towns building a common water supply, divisions of a firm sharing overhead, users of a multi-purpose reservoir. They are modelled as cooperative games, and a rule that divides the joint value among the players is an allocation procedure. The standard such rule, the Shapley value, was characterized by Shapley (1953) through efficiency, symmetry, a dummy axiom and additivity. Additivity (the allocation of a sum of two games is the sum of the allocations) is a mathematical convenience with little direct appeal in applications, and it has been the most criticized of the four axioms.

H. P. Young's paper Monotonic Solutions of Cooperative Games (Int. J. Game Theory 14, 1985) studies allocation procedures through monotonicity: how a player's allocation should respond when the game changes. Its Theorem 1 shows that the core is incompatible with coalitional monotonicity for five or more players (the subject of the sister mission of this series). Its Theorem 2, the subject of this mission, shows that efficiency, symmetry and a single monotonicity axiom — strong monotonicity — determine the Shapley value, with no additivity axiom at all. The result is widely cited as Young's axiomatization of the Shapley value, usually in the form with the marginality condition (7) that the paper states in its remarks.

Timeline:

  • 1953: Shapley introduces the value, characterized by efficiency, symmetry, dummy and additivity (A value for n-person games).
  • 1985: Young replaces dummy and additivity by strong monotonicity (Theorem 2), and remarks that the weaker marginality condition (7) suffices.
  • Later work (e.g. Chun 1989, Pintér 2015) extends the characterization to other classes of games; this mission covers the 1985 statement only.

Setting

Fix nnn and the player set N={1,…,n}N = \{1, \dots, n\}N={1,…,n}. A game is a function vvv on the coalitions S⊆NS \subseteq NS⊆N with v(∅)=0v(\emptyset) = 0v(∅)=0; superadditivity is not assumed. An allocation procedure is a map φ\varphiφ assigning to each game vvv a vector φ(v)∈RN\varphi(v) \in \mathbb{R}^Nφ(v)∈RN with ∑i∈Nφi(v)=v(N)\sum_{i \in N} \varphi_i(v) = v(N)∑i∈N​φi​(v)=v(N) (efficiency).

The marginal contribution of player iii to coalition SSS (Eq. (3)) is

vi(S)={v(S)−v(S∖{i})i∈S,v(S∪{i})−v(S)i∉S,v^i(S) = \begin{cases} v(S) - v(S \setminus \{i\}) & i \in S,\\ v(S \cup \{i\}) - v(S) & i \notin S,\end{cases}vi(S)={v(S)−v(S∖{i})v(S∪{i})−v(S)​i∈S,i∈/S,​

defined for every SSS. The Shapley value is

Shi(v)=∑S∋i(∣S∣−1)! (∣N∣−∣S∣)!∣N∣! vi(S).\mathrm{Sh}_i(v) = \sum_{S \ni i} \frac{(|S|-1)!\,(|N|-|S|)!}{|N|!}\, v^i(S).Shi​(v)=S∋i∑​∣N∣!(∣S∣−1)!(∣N∣−∣S∣)!​vi(S).

The axioms:

  • Strong monotonicity (6): vi(S)≥wi(S)v^i(S) \ge w^i(S)vi(S)≥wi(S) for all SSS implies φi(v)≥φi(w)\varphi_i(v) \ge \varphi_i(w)φi​(v)≥φi​(w).
  • Marginality (7): vi(S)=wi(S)v^i(S) = w^i(S)vi(S)=wi(S) for all SSS implies φi(v)=φi(w)\varphi_i(v) = \varphi_i(w)φi​(v)=φi​(w).
  • Symmetry: φπi(πv)=φi(v)\varphi_{\pi i}(\pi v) = \varphi_i(v)φπi​(πv)=φi​(v) for every permutation π\piπ of NNN, where (πv)(πS)=v(S)(\pi v)(\pi S) = v(S)(πv)(πS)=v(S).
  • Dummy axiom (11): vi(S)=0v^i(S) = 0vi(S)=0 for all SSS implies φi(v)=0\varphi_i(v) = 0φi​(v)=0.

A primitive game vRv_RvR​ (∅≠R⊆N\emptyset \ne R \subseteq N∅=R⊆N) takes the value 111 on coalitions containing RRR and 000 elsewhere.

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem 2 (p. 70)

For every map φ\varphiφ from games on NNN to RN\mathbb{R}^NRN,

φ efficient, symmetric, strongly monotonic  ⟺  φ(v)=Sh(v) for every game v.\varphi \text{ efficient, symmetric, strongly monotonic} \iff \varphi(v) = \mathrm{Sh}(v) \text{ for every game } v.φ efficient, symmetric, strongly monotonic⟺φ(v)=Sh(v) for every game v.

Both directions are part of the goal: the Shapley value has the three properties, and it is the only map that has them.

Milestones

  1. The Shapley value is strongly monotonic (p. 70).
  2. Strong monotonicity implies marginality, Eq. (7).
  3. Symmetry, efficiency and (7) imply that dummy players get nothing, Eq. (8).
  4. Every game is a combination of primitive games, v=∑∅≠RcRvRv = \sum_{\emptyset \ne R} c_R v_Rv=∑∅=R​cR​vR​, Eq. (9) (quoted from Shapley).
  5. On such an expression, Shi(v)=∑R∋icR/∣R∣\mathrm{Sh}_i(v) = \sum_{R \ni i} c_R / |R|Shi​(v)=∑R∋i​cR​/∣R∣ (p. 70).
  6. A symmetric efficient procedure satisfying (7) gives cR/∣R∣c_R/|R|cR​/∣R∣ to each member of RRR and 000 to the others on the game cRvRc_R v_RcR​vR​ (p. 70).
  7. Deleting from (9) the terms whose coalition omits iii leaves iii's marginal contributions unchanged (p. 71, leading to Eq. (10)).
  8. Under symmetry, players lying in every coalition of the expression receive equal amounts (p. 71).

Stronger forms (p. 71)

  • Theorem 2 with (7) in place of strong monotonicity: efficiency, symmetry and marginality characterize the Shapley value.
  • Shapley's dummy axiom (11) together with additivity implies (7).

Efficiency and symmetry of the Shapley value are supporting theorems of the existence half; the paper uses them without separate statement.

Significance

The result. Theorem 2 shows that additivity is not needed to single out the Shapley value: a player's payoff is pinned down by symmetry, efficiency, and the requirement that it respond monotonically to that player's own marginal contributions. This gives the Shapley value a justification that can be checked directly in applications — a division that improves its marginal contributions to every coalition is never penalized — and the marginality form (7) is the standard starting point for characterizations on restricted classes of games and for extensions to games with a variable player set.

The formalization. The theorem is proved and classical; no machine-checked proof of it is known to exist. The mission produces a checked proof of Young's characterization together with reusable infrastructure: marginal contributions, the unanimity-game basis of the space of games (a Möbius-inversion statement on the subset lattice), the Shapley value on unanimity games, and the Shapley value's efficiency, symmetry and monotonicity for the published ShapleyValue definition. These are the ingredients of most other axiomatizations of the Shapley value (Shapley 1953, Hart–Mas-Colell's potential) and are useful beyond this mission.

Difficulty

The existence half is a direct computation. The uniqueness half cannot proceed by linearity, since φ\varphiφ is not assumed additive: knowing φ\varphiφ on each primitive game cRvRc_R v_RcR​vR​ says nothing directly about φ\varphiφ on their sum. The obvious idea — decompose vvv into primitive games and add up — therefore fails. What must be controlled instead is how much of a game each player "sees" through the marginal-contribution vector alone, and how symmetry and efficiency distribute what remains. The formal proof also has to manage the dependence of the argument on a minimal-length expression (9) while keeping all comparisons inside the class of games with v(∅)=0v(\emptyset) = 0v(∅)=0.

Formalization scope

  • Players are Fin n: the paper's player kkk is the Lean index k−1k - 1k−1. The player set is fixed, and φ\varphiφ is a single map Game n → Fin n → ℝ, as in the paper; no lower bound on nnn is needed (at n=0n = 0n=0 both sides of the goal hold).
  • Games are Game n := {v : Finset (Fin n) → ℝ // v ∅ = 0}. The normalisation is essential: on arbitrary set functions a constant game c≠0c \ne 0c=0 would receive c/nc/nc/n per player from every efficient symmetric procedure, but 000 from the Shapley formula, and Theorem 2 would be false.
  • The Shapley value is the published definition Supermodularity.Cooperative.ShapleyValue, written as a sum over T=S∖{i}T = S \setminus \{i\}T=S∖{i} with weight ∣T∣! (n−∣T∣−1)!/n!|T|!\,(n-|T|-1)!/n!∣T∣!(n−∣T∣−1)!/n!; it agrees term by term with the formula above.
  • Symmetry. The paper prints the permuted game as πv(S)=v(πS)\pi v(S) = v(\pi S)πv(S)=v(πS). Read literally together with φπi(πv)=φi(v)\varphi_{\pi i}(\pi v) = \varphi_i(v)φπi​(πv)=φi​(v), the Shapley value itself would fail symmetry for a 3-cycle, and Theorem 2 would be false. The formalization uses the standard reading (πv)(πS)=v(S)(\pi v)(\pi S) = v(S)(πv)(πS)=v(S), i.e. (πv)(T)=v(π−1T)(\pi v)(T) = v(\pi^{-1} T)(πv)(T)=v(π−1T). The two readings coincide for transpositions, the only permutations the paper's proof uses.
  • Strong monotonicity quantifies over all coalitions SSS, including those not containing iii, as in (3); this is equivalent to quantifying over S∋iS \ni iS∋i only.
  • The dummy axiom and additivity appear only in the stronger forms, never as hypotheses of the goal; a formalization that assumed them, or that defined any axiom through the Shapley formula, would trivialize Theorem 2.
  • The paper's "index" of a game (minimum number of terms in (9)) is a proof device; milestones quantify over expressions directly.
  • Not included: the variant of the proof within the class of superadditive games (p. 71, a sketch with a changed domain), and the example φi(v)=[vi(N)]2\varphi_i(v) = [v^i(N)]^2φi​(v)=[vi(N)]2 (p. 72), whose printed claim of strong monotonicity fails when marginal contributions are negative.

Contributions welcome: proofs of the milestones in any order, general lemmas on unanimity-game expansions over Finset powersets, and alternative proofs of the uniqueness half.

Selected references

  • H. P. Young, Monotonic Solutions of Cooperative Games, International Journal of Game Theory 14 (1985), 65–72. https://doi.org/10.1007/BF01769885
  • L. S. Shapley, A value for n-person games, in: Contributions to the Theory of Games II, Annals of Mathematics Studies 28, Princeton University Press, 1953, 307–317. https://doi.org/10.1515/9781400881970-018
  • Y. Chun, A new axiomatization of the Shapley value, Games and Economic Behavior 1 (1989), 119–130. https://doi.org/10.1016/0899-8256(89)90014-6
  • M. Pintér, Young's axiomatization of the Shapley value: a new proof, Annals of Operations Research 235 (2015), 665–673. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10479-015-1976-2
  • S. Hart, A. Mas-Colell, Potential, value, and consistency, Econometrica 57 (1989), 589–614. https://doi.org/10.2307/1911054
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Convex OptimizationOperations ResearchOptimization·Captain: mikedeng1

Existence of an Equilibrium for a Competitive Economy I: Equilibrium Exists When Every Consumer Can Trade Every GoodResearch Paper

Motivation

Walras (1874) described an economy as a system of simultaneous equations, one per market, and argued that a set of prices clearing all markets exists because the number of equations equals the number of unknowns. Counting equations proves nothing, and the question of whether competitive equilibrium exists at all remained open for eighty years. Wald (1935–36) proved existence in special production models under restrictive assumptions on demand. In 1954 Kenneth Arrow and Gérard Debreu gave the first existence proof for a general model with production, many consumers, convex technologies and preferences given by utility indicators (Econometrica 22 (1954) 265–290); McKenzie published an independent proof for a trade model in the same year (Econometrica 22 (1954) 147–161). The resulting Arrow–Debreu model is the reference model of general equilibrium theory and the starting point of market-equilibrium problems in operations research and algorithmic game theory.

The paper proves two existence theorems. This mission is the first, Theorem I, whose key assumption is that every consumer initially holds a positive amount of every commodity. A second mission treats Theorem II, which replaces that assumption by a weaker condition on labour supply.

Setting

There are l≥1l \ge 1l≥1 commodities; a commodity vector is an element of Rl\mathbb R^lRl, compared componentwise (x≧yx \geqq yx≧y means xh≥yhx_h \ge y_hxh​≥yh​ for all hhh; x>yx > yx>y means xh>yhx_h > y_hxh​>yh​ for all hhh). The inner product is p⋅x=∑hphxhp\cdot x = \sum_h p_h x_hp⋅x=∑h​ph​xh​.

  • Producers j=1,…,nj = 1, \dots, nj=1,…,n each have a production set Yj⊆RlY_j \subseteq \mathbb R^lYj​⊆Rl (outputs positive, inputs negative). The aggregate production set is Y=∑jYjY = \sum_j Y_jY=∑j​Yj​.
  • Consumers i=1,…,mi = 1, \dots, mi=1,…,m each have a consumption set Xi⊆RlX_i \subseteq \mathbb R^lXi​⊆Rl, a utility indicator uiu_iui​ on XiX_iXi​, initial holdings ζi∈Rl\zeta_i \in \mathbb R^lζi​∈Rl, and a share αij\alpha_{ij}αij​ of the profit of producer jjj.

Assumptions I–IV are: (I.a) each YjY_jYj​ is closed, convex and contains 000; (I.b) Y∩Ω={0}Y \cap \Omega = \{0\}Y∩Ω={0} with Ω={x≧0}\Omega = \{x \geqq 0\}Ω={x≧0}; (I.c) Y∩(−Y)={0}Y \cap (-Y) = \{0\}Y∩(−Y)={0}; (II) each XiX_iXi​ is closed, convex and bounded from below; (III.a) uiu_iui​ is continuous on XiX_iXi​; (III.b) no xi∈Xix_i \in X_ixi​∈Xi​ is a satiation point; (III.c) if ui(xi)>ui(xi′)u_i(x_i) > u_i(x_i')ui​(xi​)>ui​(xi′​) and 0<t<10 < t < 10<t<1 then ui[txi+(1−t)xi′]>ui(xi′)u_i[t x_i + (1-t) x_i'] > u_i(x_i')ui​[txi​+(1−t)xi′​]>ui​(xi′​); (IV.a) some xi∈Xix_i \in X_ixi​∈Xi​ satisfies xi<ζix_i < \zeta_ixi​<ζi​; (IV.b) αij≥0\alpha_{ij} \ge 0αij​≥0 and ∑iαij=1\sum_i \alpha_{ij} = 1∑i​αij​=1.

A competitive equilibrium is a tuple (x1∗,…,xm∗,y1∗,…,yn∗,p∗)(x_1^*, \dots, x_m^*, y_1^*, \dots, y_n^*, p^*)(x1∗​,…,xm∗​,y1∗​,…,yn∗​,p∗) such that

  1. each yj∗y_j^*yj∗​ maximizes p∗⋅yjp^*\cdot y_jp∗⋅yj​ over YjY_jYj​;
  2. each xi∗x_i^*xi∗​ maximizes uiu_iui​ over {xi∈Xi:p∗⋅xi≦p∗⋅ζi+∑jαij p∗⋅yj∗}\{x_i \in X_i : p^*\cdot x_i \leqq p^*\cdot\zeta_i + \sum_j \alpha_{ij}\, p^*\cdot y_j^*\}{xi​∈Xi​:p∗⋅xi​≦p∗⋅ζi​+∑j​αij​p∗⋅yj∗​};
  3. p∗∈P={p≧0:∑hph=1}p^* \in P = \{p \geqq 0 : \sum_h p_h = 1\}p∗∈P={p≧0:∑h​ph​=1};
  4. z∗=∑ixi∗−∑jyj∗−∑iζiz^* = \sum_i x_i^* - \sum_j y_j^* - \sum_i \zeta_iz∗=∑i​xi∗​−∑j​yj∗​−∑i​ζi​ satisfies z∗≦0z^* \leqq 0z∗≦0 and p∗⋅z∗=0p^*\cdot z^* = 0p∗⋅z∗=0.

An abstract economy (§2) is a game in which each player's feasible set Aι(aˉι)A_\iota(\bar a_\iota)Aι​(aˉι​) depends on the other players' actions aˉι\bar a_\iotaaˉι​; an equilibrium point is a profile at which every player maximizes its pay-off over its feasible set. The proof builds an abstract economy EEE with the consumers, the producers and a fictitious market participant who chooses p∈Pp \in Pp∈P and receives p⋅zp\cdot zp⋅z, and a truncated version E~\tilde EE~ in which all choices are restricted to a large cube CCC.

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem I

Assumptions I–IV  ⟹  ∃ (x∗,y∗,p∗) satisfying Conditions 1–4.\text{Assumptions I–IV} \implies \exists\, (x^*, y^*, p^*) \text{ satisfying Conditions 1–4.}Assumptions I–IV⟹∃(x∗,y∗,p∗) satisfying Conditions 1–4.

The statement fixes no constants; its only added hypothesis is l≥1l \ge 1l≥1.

Milestones

In the order of the paper's argument:

  1. §1.3.1: under II, III.a and III.c, each uiu_iui​ is quasi-concave on XiX_iXi​.
  2. §1.4.2 (1): Condition 2 together with II, III.b and III.c gives p∗⋅xi∗=p∗⋅ζi+∑jαij p∗⋅yj∗p^*\cdot x_i^* = p^*\cdot\zeta_i + \sum_j \alpha_{ij}\, p^*\cdot y_j^*p∗⋅xi∗​=p∗⋅ζi​+∑j​αij​p∗⋅yj∗​.
  3. Lemma 2.5: an abstract economy with compact convex action sets, continuous pay-offs that are quasi-concave in the player's own action, and continuous constraint correspondences with closed graphs and nonempty convex values has an equilibrium point.
  4. §3.1.2 (2): at an equilibrium point of EEE, Condition 2 holds.
  5. §3.2: every equilibrium point of EEE is a competitive equilibrium.
  6. §3.3.1 (7) and §3.3.2 (2): the attainable sets Y^j\hat Y_jY^j​ and X^i\hat X_iX^i​ (choices compatible with z≦0z \leqq 0z≦0) are bounded.
  7. Remark §3.3.5: if p⋅ζi>min⁡X~ip⋅xip\cdot\zeta_i > \min_{\tilde X_i} p\cdot x_ip⋅ζi​>minX~i​​p⋅xi​, the truncated budget correspondence A~i\tilde A_iA~i​ is continuous at that point.
  8. §3.4.0: for a cube CCC containing every X^i\hat X_iX^i​ and Y^j\hat Y_jY^j​ in its interior, E~\tilde EE~ has an equilibrium point.
  9. §3.4.1: every equilibrium point of E~\tilde EE~ is an equilibrium point of EEE.

Significance

Theorem I shows that the competitive model is consistent: under convexity, continuity, non-satiation and survival assumptions, prices exist at which profit maximization, utility maximization and market clearing hold simultaneously. The welfare theorems, comparative statics, and algorithms that compute equilibria (Scarf's method, market-equilibrium algorithms) presuppose it. Lemma 2.5, Debreu's social-equilibrium theorem (PNAS 38 (1952) 886–893), is also used on its own for generalized Nash equilibrium problems with coupled constraints.

The theorem is proved and textbook material (Debreu, Theory of Value, 1959). To the best of the catalog search, no proof assistant library contains Theorem I, Lemma 2.5, or a Kakutani-type fixed-point theorem for correspondences; on this platform the only related results are Brouwer's fixed-point theorem (AGT.brouwer_fixed_point, proved) and Nash's theorem for finite games (AGT.nash_existence), a special case of Lemma 2.5 with constant constraint sets. The mission produces a machine-checked proof of the paper's argument and, along the way, reusable statements about abstract economies and their equilibria.

Difficulty

The central difficulty is Lemma 2.5. The paper does not prove it but cites Debreu (1952), whose proof uses the Eilenberg–Montgomery fixed-point theorem for correspondences with contractible values. Brouwer's theorem alone does not suffice: the best-response correspondence of an abstract economy is set-valued, and its closed graph must be established from the continuity of the feasible-set correspondences, which is a maximum-theorem argument that Mathlib does not contain. A Kakutani-type fixed-point theorem, or an approximation argument reducing to Brouwer, is needed.

A second difficulty is non-compactness. The economy EEE has unbounded action sets, so the Lemma does not apply to it directly. The boundedness of the attainable sets (§3.3.1) is an asymptotic argument using the irreversibility and no-free-production assumptions I.b and I.c, and the passage from E~\tilde EE~ back to EEE (§3.4.1) needs the attainable choices to lie in the interior of the cube, so that local optimality implies global optimality through III.c. A fixed-point argument on an excess-demand function does not apply directly: demand need not be single-valued or even defined at every price.

Formalization scope

Commodity space is Fin l → ℝ with its componentwise order; the paper's strict vector inequality is written coordinatewise (∀ h, x h < ζ i h), not with the order-theoretic strict inequality on functions. Consumers are Fin m, producers Fin n, and the players of EEE are Fin m ⊕ Fin n ⊕ Unit. Utilities are total functions, and every assumption on them quantifies over XiX_iXi​ only. "Maximizes" is always written as membership plus an inequality against every feasible alternative, never through a supremum. Continuity of a constraint correspondence is the paper's sequential definition (§2.4), a lower-hemicontinuity condition, required at every point of the other players' action space; convergence is asked only in the other players' coordinates.

Two hypotheses are made explicit because the formal statements would otherwise be false: Theorem I and §3.4.0 assume l≥1l \ge 1l≥1 (for l=0l = 0l=0 the price simplex is empty), and Lemma 2.5 assumes every action set nonempty (otherwise, with two or more players and all action sets empty, every hypothesis holds vacuously). The Remark of §3.3.5 carries, as a hypothesis, the nonemptiness of A~i\tilde A_iA~i​ established in §3.3.4. A formalization that makes Theorem I trivial, for instance by taking PPP to contain 000, by reading IV.a with the order-theoretic strict inequality, or by allowing an empty commodity space, is ruled out by these definitions.

A complete development needs: Kakutani's fixed-point theorem (or a Brouwer-based substitute) for compact convex subsets of Rl\mathbb R^lRl; Berge's maximum theorem for the best-response correspondence; the asymptotic-cone argument for §3.3.1; and elementary convex analysis for the budget sets. The abstract-economy definitions and Lemma 2.5 are reusable beyond this mission, including by the Theorem II mission. Contributions of any of these components are welcome, as are alternative proofs of Lemma 2.5.

Selected references

  • K. J. Arrow and G. Debreu, Existence of an Equilibrium for a Competitive Economy, Econometrica 22(3) (1954) 265–290. https://doi.org/10.2307/1907353
  • G. Debreu, A Social Equilibrium Existence Theorem, Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences 38(10) (1952) 886–893. https://doi.org/10.1073/pnas.38.10.886
  • L. W. McKenzie, On Equilibrium in Graham's Model of World Trade and Other Competitive Systems, Econometrica 22(2) (1954) 147–161. https://doi.org/10.2307/1907539
  • J. Nash, Equilibrium Points in n-Person Games, Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences 36(1) (1950) 48–49. https://doi.org/10.1073/pnas.36.1.48
  • S. Kakutani, A Generalization of Brouwer's Fixed Point Theorem, Duke Mathematical Journal 8(3) (1941) 457–459. https://doi.org/10.1215/S0012-7094-41-00838-4
  • G. Debreu, Theory of Value: An Axiomatic Analysis of Economic Equilibrium, Wiley, 1959 (Cowles Foundation Monograph 17).
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Convex OptimizationOperations ResearchOptimization·Captain: mikedeng1

On Minimizing a Convex Function Subject to Linear Inequalities II: Optimality Conditions for the Sum of the Largest Linear FormsResearch Paper

Motivation

In 1955 E. M. L. Beale showed how Dantzig's simplex method, which was built for linear objectives, can be carried over to certain nonlinear convex objectives that are minimized subject to linear inequalities (Beale 1955). Section 4 of that paper treats one such objective: the sum of the ttt largest of a set of ggg linear forms. Beale's motivation comes from the theory of games: "if the enemy has to choose ttt out of a set of ggg possible actions, and LfL_fLf​ represents his average gain through using the fffth", then the defender wants to minimize the sum of the ttt largest LfL_fLf​.

The same objective can be written as a linear program. One introduces a bound uuu and requires every sum of ttt forms to be at most uuu. That formulation has (gt)\binom{g}{t}(tg​) constraints, which is unwieldy once t>1t>1t>1 and ggg is large. Beale's alternative works with the nonlinear objective directly, and he needs a test that tells him when the current basic solution is already optimal. This mission formalizes that test, Theorem 1 of the paper.

The objective reappears in later work under other names: the sum of the kkk largest components of a vector, the "top-kkk sum", and kkk times the conditional value-at-risk of an empirical distribution. Beale's paper is an early source for its optimality conditions.

Setting

There are real variables zlz_lzl​, indexed by lll in a finite set (possibly empty), and u1,…,usu_1,\dots,u_su1​,…,us​. Two linear forms in these variables are given,

A=A0+∑lAlzl+∑f=1sφfuf,L0=c00+∑lc0lzl+∑f=1sθfuf,A=A_0+\sum_l A_l z_l+\sum_{f=1}^{s}\varphi_f u_f,\qquad L_0=c_{00}+\sum_l c_{0l} z_l+\sum_{f=1}^{s}\theta_f u_f,A=A0​+l∑​Al​zl​+f=1∑s​φf​uf​,L0​=c00​+l∑​c0l​zl​+f=1∑s​θf​uf​,

together with sss further forms

Lf=L0−uf(f=1,…,s).L_f=L_0-u_f\qquad(f=1,\dots,s).Lf​=L0​−uf​(f=1,…,s).

For an integer τ≥0\tau\ge0τ≥0 the objective is

C=A+(sum of the τ largest of L0,L1,…,Ls).C=A+\bigl(\text{sum of the }\tau\text{ largest of }L_0,L_1,\dots,L_s\bigr).C=A+(sum of the τ largest of L0​,L1​,…,Ls​).

The sum of the τ\tauτ largest of s+1s+1s+1 numbers is the largest total of any τ\tauτ of them. Ties do not make it ambiguous.

The feasible region is fixed by a set FFF of indices. The variables zlz_lzl​ with l∈Fl\in Fl∈F and all the ufu_fuf​ are free, and every other zlz_lzl​ is restricted to zl≥0z_l\ge0zl​≥0. At the origin z=0z=0z=0, u=0u=0u=0 all s+1s+1s+1 forms are equal to c00c_{00}c00​, so the origin is where CCC fails to be differentiable. In Beale's algorithm the origin is the current basic solution: the ufu_fuf​ measure how far the "borderline" forms sit from a chosen critical form, and AAA collects the forms that are certainly among the largest.

Write al=Al+τc0la_l=A_l+\tau c_{0l}al​=Al​+τc0l​ and wf=φf+τθfw_f=\varphi_f+\tau\theta_fwf​=φf​+τθf​.

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem 1 (a), p. 179

For τ≤s\tau\le sτ≤s, CCC is minimized over the feasible region when all the zlz_lzl​ and ufu_fuf​ vanish if and only if

al≥0 for all l,al=0 for all l∈F,0≤wf≤1 for all f,τ−1≤∑f=1swf≤τ.(4.5)\begin{aligned} &a_l\ge0\ \text{for all } l, \qquad a_l=0\ \text{for all } l\in F,\\ &0\le w_f\le1\ \text{for all } f,\qquad \tau-1\le\sum_{f=1}^{s}w_f\le\tau . \end{aligned}\tag{4.5}​al​≥0 for all l,al​=0 for all l∈F,0≤wf​≤1 for all f,τ−1≤f=1∑s​wf​≤τ.​(4.5)

"Minimized" means a global minimum: C(0,0)≤C(z,u)C(0,0)\le C(z,u)C(0,0)≤C(z,u) at every feasible point.

Milestones

  1. Convexity (p. 179). CCC is a convex function of (z,u)(z,u)(z,u) for τ≤s+1\tau\le s+1τ≤s+1.
  2. Descent rules (second half of Theorem 1 (a), p. 179). When a condition of (4.5) fails, a stated move of one variable, or of all ufu_fuf​ together, lowers CCC below C(0,0)C(0,0)C(0,0) for every small enough step. There are six moves: zl↑z_l\uparrowzl​↑ if al<0a_l<0al​<0; zl↓z_l\downarrowzl​↓ if al>0a_l>0al​>0 and l∈Fl\in Fl∈F; uf↑u_f\uparrowuf​↑ if wf<0w_f<0wf​<0; uf↓u_f\downarrowuf​↓ if wf>1w_f>1wf​>1; all uf↑u_f\uparrowuf​↑ if ∑wf<τ−1\sum w_f<\tau-1∑wf​<τ−1; all uf↓u_f\downarrowuf​↓ if ∑wf>τ\sum w_f>\tau∑wf​>τ.
  3. The rearrangement identity (proof of Theorem 1 (a), p. 180). If 1≤τ≤s1\le\tau\le s1≤τ≤s, u1′≤⋯≤us′u'_1\le\dots\le u'_su1′​≤⋯≤us′​ and uτ′≤0u'_\tau\le0uτ′​≤0, then
C=A0+τc00+∑lalzl′+∑f=1τ(wf−1)(uf′−uτ′)+∑f=τ+1swf(uf′−uτ′)+{∑f=1swf−τ}uτ′.C=A_0+\tau c_{00}+\sum_l a_l z'_l+\sum_{f=1}^{\tau}(w_f-1)(u'_f-u'_\tau)+\sum_{f=\tau+1}^{s}w_f(u'_f-u'_\tau)+\Bigl\{\sum_{f=1}^{s}w_f-\tau\Bigr\}u'_\tau .C=A0​+τc00​+l∑​al​zl′​+f=1∑τ​(wf​−1)(uf′​−uτ′​)+f=τ+1∑s​wf​(uf′​−uτ′​)+{f=1∑s​wf​−τ}uτ′​.
  1. Theorem 1 (b) (p. 180). For τ=s+1\tau=s+1τ=s+1, the origin is a minimum if and only if (4.5) holds and wf=1w_f=1wf​=1 for every fff. Otherwise some value of ufu_fuf​ with the sign opposite to wf−1w_f-1wf​−1 lowers CCC.

Significance

Theorem 1 is the optimality test of Beale's simplex method for the sum-of-largest objective. The algorithm on pp. 178–179 changes nonbasic variables one at a time. When no single change is profitable it applies Theorem 1: either (4.5) holds and the current solution is optimal, or one of the six descent rules names the variable to change next. The test is exact even though the objective is not differentiable at the current point. It is a closed-form description of the subdifferential of a top-τ\tauτ sum at a point where all the forms tie. The theorem is also the base case of the multi-group generalization that Beale mentions on p. 181.

The paper proves Theorem 1 by hand. To our knowledge neither the theorem nor the rearrangement identity behind it has been formalized in any proof assistant. The mission produces:

  • a checked statement and proof of the test, including the degenerate cases τ=0\tau=0τ=0 and s=0s=0s=0, which the paper does not discuss separately;
  • the boundary case τ=s+1\tau=s+1τ=s+1;
  • a reusable Lean definition of the sum of the τ\tauτ largest entries of a finite real family, with its convexity.

Difficulty

Necessity, the "only if" direction, is the part the paper calls obvious: each descent rule changes CCC linearly for small steps. Two features still have to be handled explicitly. The step must be small only in rule-dependent ways, and the ordering of the forms changes along the moves of rules 4 and 6.

Sufficiency is where the work lies. The naive argument, "the directional derivative in every coordinate direction is non-negative, so the origin is a minimum", fails because CCC is not differentiable at the origin. Nonnegative derivatives along the coordinate axes do not control mixed directions in which several ufu_fuf​ move by different amounts, which reorders the forms. Which τ\tauτ forms are the largest then depends on the point, and the paper settles the configurations in which L0L_0L0​ is among the τ\tauτ largest by an informal appeal to the "essential symmetry" between L0L_0L0​ and the other forms. A formal proof cannot leave that appeal informal: the forms are parametrised relative to L0L_0L0​ (each LfL_fLf​ is L0−ufL_0-u_fL0​−uf​), so the symmetry is a change of variables that has to be written down and shown to preserve (4.5).

Formalization scope

  • Data. The variables are z : Fin r → ℝ (any r, including 000) and u : Fin s → ℝ. The paper's ufu_fuf​ for f=1,…,sf=1,\dots,sf=1,…,s is Lean's u f for f=0,…,s−1f=0,\dots,s-1f=0,…,s−1. The coefficients (A0,Al,φf,c00,c0l,θf)(A_0,A_l,\varphi_f,c_{00},c_{0l},\theta_f)(A0​,Al​,φf​,c00​,c0l​,θf​) form a structure Forms r s.
  • Forms. The family L0,…,LsL_0,\dots,L_sL0​,…,Ls​ is Fin (s+1) → ℝ, with index 000 for L0L_0L0​ and index f.succ for L0−ufL_0-u_fL0​−uf​. The free set FFF is a Finset (Fin r), and τ\tauτ is a natural number cast to R\mathbb RR wherever it multiplies a coefficient.
  • Sum of the largest. sumLargest τ v is the maximum over τ\tauτ-element subsets SSS of ∑i∈Svi\sum_{i\in S}v_i∑i∈S​vi​ (Finset.sup' over powersetCard). It is the junk 000 for τ\tauτ larger than the number of entries, a case no statement uses.
  • Minimality. "Minimized when all variables vanish" is the global statement C(0,0)≤C(z,u)C(0,0)\le C(z,u)C(0,0)≤C(z,u) for all (z,u)(z,u)(z,u) with zl≥0z_l\ge0zl​≥0 for l∉Fl\notin Fl∈/F. It is not a local minimum, and the sign constraints on restricted zlz_lzl​ are kept: they are why the first condition of (4.5) is an inequality.
  • Descent. "CCC can be decreased by moving xxx from zero" is a strict decrease for all step sizes in some interval (0,ε)(0,\varepsilon)(0,ε), with every other variable at zero.
  • No trivialization. The goal is an equivalence with no hypothesis beyond τ≤s\tau\le sτ≤s. Neither direction can be satisfied vacuously, and the cases τ=0\tau=0τ=0 and s=0s=0s=0 are included, as on the page.
  • Added hypotheses. The rearrangement milestone assumes τ≥1\tau\ge1τ≥1, because the paper's uτ′u'_\tauuτ′​ does not exist at τ=0\tau=0τ=0. Its second line uses c0lc_{0l}c0l​ where the page misprints clc_lcl​.

Needed infrastructure:

  • basic lemmas on sumLargest: its value at a constant family, at a family sorted by a monotone shift, and under adding a common constant;
  • the change of variables behind the paper's symmetry between L0L_0L0​ and the other forms.

These lemmas are reusable for any top-kkk-sum or empirical-CVaR objective. Contributions are welcome at any level: lemmas about sumLargest, any of the milestones, or an alternative sufficiency proof through convexity and one-sided directional derivatives.

Not in scope: the pivoting rules (4.2)–(4.4), the degeneracy discussion on pp. 180–181, and the multi-group generalization, which the paper says is "cumbersome to state" and does not state.

Selected references

  • E. M. L. Beale, On Minimizing a Convex Function Subject to Linear Inequalities, Journal of the Royal Statistical Society, Series B 17(2), 173–184, 1955. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.2517-6161.1955.tb00191.x
  • G. B. Dantzig, A. Orden and P. Wolfe, The generalized simplex method for minimizing a linear form under linear inequality restraints, Pacific Journal of Mathematics 5(2), 183–195, 1955. https://doi.org/10.2140/pjm.1955.5.183
  • R. T. Rockafellar and S. Uryasev, Optimization of conditional value-at-risk, Journal of Risk 2(3), 21–41, 2000. https://doi.org/10.21314/JOR.2000.038
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Operations ResearchOptimizationProbability·Captain: mikedeng1

Optimal Pricing of Seasonal Products in the Presence of Forward-Looking Consumers 1: Threshold Purchasing Policies under Contingent PricingResearch Paper

Motivation

Retailers of fashion and seasonal goods sell at a premium price early in the season and mark the remaining stock down later. When customers anticipate the markdown, some of them who would buy at the premium price instead wait, trading a lower price against the risk that the item sells out and against the decline of their own valuation over the season. How forward-looking ("strategic") customers respond to a markdown policy is the first question any model of such pricing has to answer, because the seller's optimal prices depend on it.

Aviv and Pazgal (MSOM 2008) model a seller with a fixed inventory, Poisson arrivals of customers with heterogeneous, exponentially declining valuations, and two pricing regimes: contingent pricing, where the discount depends on the inventory left at the markdown time, and announced fixed discounts. The first step of their analysis of contingent pricing is Theorem 1: whatever the other customers do, a customer's best response is a threshold rule on his current valuation, with a threshold that rises as the markdown approaches. Their numerical study of equilibria and of the value of price commitment (§§4.2–7) is built on this reduction.

Setting

A seller holds QQQ units over a season [0,H][0, H][0,H] split at a fixed time TTT with 0<T≤H0 < T \le H0<T≤H. On [0,T)[0, T)[0,T) the premium price p1p_1p1​ applies. At time TTT the seller observes the remaining inventory QT∈{0,1,…,Q}Q_T \in \{0, 1, \dots, Q\}QT​∈{0,1,…,Q} and charges the discount menu price p2(QT)p_2(Q_T)p2​(QT​), where p2(q)≤p1p_2(q) \le p_1p2​(q)≤p1​ for q=1,…,Qq = 1, \dots, Qq=1,…,Q. Customer jjj has a base valuation VjV_jVj​ and valuation Vj(t)=Vje−αtV_j(t) = V_j e^{-\alpha t}Vj​(t)=Vj​e−αt at time ttt, with a common decline factor α≥0\alpha \ge 0α≥0.

A customer arriving at t<Tt < Tt<T either buys immediately at p1p_1p1​ or waits until TTT, when he requests a unit if the discounted price leaves him a nonnegative surplus. Waiting is uncertain in two ways: the remaining inventory QTQ_TQT​ is random, and when fewer units remain than customers request them, units are rationed at random. A belief is a probability mass function π\piπ of QTQ_TQT​ on {0,…,Q}\{0, \dots, Q\}{0,…,Q} together with allocation probabilities a(q)=Pr⁡{A∣QT=q}∈[0,1]a(q) = \Pr\{\mathcal A \mid Q_T = q\} \in [0,1]a(q)=Pr{A∣QT​=q}∈[0,1], a(0)=0a(0) = 0a(0)=0, where A\mathcal AA is the event that the customer is allocated a unit. It is determined by the other customers' strategies, which are arbitrary.

With δ=e−α(T−t)\delta = e^{-\alpha(T-t)}δ=e−α(T−t), the expected surplus of waiting of a customer with current valuation ψ\psiψ is

Wt(ψ)=EQT ⁣[max⁡{ψδ−p2(QT),0}⋅1{A∣QT}]=∑q=0Qπ(q) a(q) max⁡{ψδ−p2(q),0}.W_t(\psi) = \mathrm E_{Q_T}\!\left[\max\{\psi\delta - p_2(Q_T), 0\}\cdot \mathbf 1\{\mathcal A \mid Q_T\}\right] = \sum_{q=0}^{Q}\pi(q)\,a(q)\,\max\{\psi\delta - p_2(q), 0\}.Wt​(ψ)=EQT​​[max{ψδ−p2​(QT​),0}⋅1{A∣QT​}]=q=0∑Q​π(q)a(q)max{ψδ−p2​(q),0}.

The paper's purchase rule (p. 344): buy immediately iff the current surplus V(t)−p1V(t) - p_1V(t)−p1​ is nonnegative and at least Wt(V(t))W_t(V(t))Wt​(V(t)).

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem 1 and Corollary 1

Assume p1≥0p_1 \ge 0p1​≥0, and α>0\alpha > 0α>0 or ∑qπ(q)a(q)<1\sum_q \pi(q)a(q) < 1∑q​π(q)a(q)<1. For every t∈[0,T)t \in [0,T)t∈[0,T) the equation

ψ−p1=Wt(ψ)(2)\psi - p_1 = W_t(\psi) \tag{2}ψ−p1​=Wt​(ψ)(2)

has a unique solution ψ(t)≥p1\psi(t) \ge p_1ψ(t)≥p1​; a customer arriving at ttt buys immediately under the purchase rule if and only if V(t)≥ψ(t)V(t) \ge \psi(t)V(t)≥ψ(t); and the threshold function ψ:[0,T)→[p1,∞)\psi : [0, T) \to [p_1, \infty)ψ:[0,T)→[p1​,∞) is nondecreasing in ttt.

Milestones

  1. The right-hand side of (2) is nonnegative and nondecreasing in ψ\psiψ, with increments bracketed by δ Pr⁡{ψδ≥p2(QT),A}\delta\,\Pr\{\psi\delta \ge p_2(Q_T), \mathcal A\}δPr{ψδ≥p2​(QT​),A} at the two endpoints, and this slope is below one.
  2. Equation (2) has a unique solution ψ≥p1\psi \ge p_1ψ≥p1​.

Significance

Theorem 1 reduces a customer's strategy, a function of arrival time and valuation, to one threshold function ψ\psiψ on [0,T)[0, T)[0,T). The segment sizes ΛI,ΛS,ΛW,ΛL\Lambda_I, \Lambda_S, \Lambda_W, \Lambda_LΛI​,ΛS​,ΛW​,ΛL​ of §4.2, the seller's menu problem (3), the equilibrium iteration (4) and the closed form of Proposition 2 are all written in terms of ψ\psiψ; without Theorem 1 none of them is defined. Corollary 1, that the threshold rises toward the markdown, is what the paper calls "useful in our analyses below"; the customer segments of Figure 1 are drawn with it.

The result is proved in the paper, with a short appendix argument. No machine-checked version exists. The mission produces a formal statement and proof of the reduction for an arbitrary belief, which fixes the exact hypotheses under which it holds: the paper's slope bound needs either valuation decline (α>0\alpha > 0α>0) or imperfect availability, and the monotonicity of the threshold needs a nonnegative premium price. A formal WtW_tWt​ and threshold are the starting point for formalizing the equilibrium and pricing results of the paper.

Difficulty

The mathematics is one-dimensional. The difficulty is in stating it exactly. WtW_tWt​ is piecewise linear with a kink wherever ψδ\psi\deltaψδ crosses a menu price, so the paper's derivative is only a one-sided derivative, and the uniqueness argument has to use increments. The paper's bound "slope <1< 1<1" is false when α=0\alpha = 0α=0 and a unit is allocated with certainty; then (2) has either no finite solution or a half-line of them. The threshold's monotonicity in ttt rests on Wt(ψ)W_t(\psi)Wt​(ψ) increasing in ttt for fixed ψ\psiψ, which needs ψ≥0\psi \ge 0ψ≥0; with a negative premium price the threshold can decrease. The naive reading of "optimal to use a threshold" as an abstract fixed-point fact about any monotone function with slope below one discards the model and is not the goal.

Formalization scope

Lean namespace SeasonalPricing.Contingent. Time, prices and valuations are real numbers. The belief is a pair pmf alloc : ℕ → ℝ restricted to {0, …, Q} (IsInventoryBelief), not a random variable on a probability space; only the law of (QT,1{A})(Q_T, \mathbf 1\{\mathcal A\})(QT​,1{A}) enters (2). The menu is p2 : ℕ → ℝ with p2(q)≤p1p_2(q) \le p_1p2​(q)≤p1​ required on {1,…,Q}\{1, \dots, Q\}{1,…,Q} only; p2(0)p_2(0)p2​(0) never matters because a(0)=0a(0) = 0a(0)=0. The belief does not depend on the arrival time, as in Eq. (4) of the paper. waitingSurplus is WtW_tWt​ with e−α(T−t)e^{-\alpha(T-t)}e−α(T−t) written Real.exp (-(α * (T - t))); buysNow is the purchase rule, stated on the current valuation V(t)V(t)V(t).

Readings of the paper's words:

  • "the unique solution" of (2): existence and uniqueness of a real ψ≥p1\psi \ge p_1ψ≥p1​ (∃!). The paper's "ψ∈[p1,∞]\psi \in [p_1, \infty]ψ∈[p1​,∞]" includes ∞\infty∞ only in the case excluded by the added hypothesis.
  • "it is optimal to base purchasing decisions on a threshold function": the purchase rule of p. 344 holds exactly when V(t)≥ψ(t)V(t) \ge \psi(t)V(t)≥ψ(t).
  • "derivative … <1< 1<1": a two-sided bracket on increments of WtW_tWt​, with right slope δPr⁡{ψδ≥p2(QT),A}\delta\Pr\{\psi\delta \ge p_2(Q_T), \mathcal A\}δPr{ψδ≥p2​(QT​),A}, below one.
  • "increasing" (Corollary 1): nondecreasing (MonotoneOn), since ψ\psiψ is constant on an initial interval whenever no menu price is reachable (p. 347).

Added hypotheses, both named in the statements: α>0\alpha > 0α>0 or ∑qπ(q)a(q)<1\sum_q \pi(q)a(q) < 1∑q​π(q)a(q)<1, the one hypothesis the paper's proof uses without stating it; and p1≥0p_1 \ge 0p1​≥0, the model's convention that prices are nonnegative. Only the branch 0≤t<T0 \le t < T0≤t<T of the threshold θ\thetaθ is stated: for t≥Tt \ge Tt≥T the paper's θ(t)=p2\theta(t) = p_2θ(t)=p2​ is the model's rule for late customers. The belief enters through the explicit sum; a formalization with an unspecified monotone WWW, or with ψ(t)\psi(t)ψ(t) defined by choice inside a definition, is not the target.

No new library is needed beyond finite sums, max and Real.exp. A lemma on unique roots of ψ↦ψ−c−f(ψ)\psi \mapsto \psi - c - f(\psi)ψ↦ψ−c−f(ψ) for fff with increments bounded by k(ψ′−ψ)k(\psi' - \psi)k(ψ′−ψ), k<1k < 1k<1, is reusable. Proofs of the milestones and the goal, in any order, are welcome.

Selected references

  • Y. Aviv and A. Pazgal, Optimal Pricing of Seasonal Products in the Presence of Forward-Looking Consumers, Manufacturing & Service Operations Management 10(3):339–359, 2008. https://doi.org/10.1287/msom.1070.0183
  • X. Su, Intertemporal Pricing with Strategic Customer Behavior, Management Science 53(5):726–741, 2007. https://doi.org/10.1287/mnsc.1060.0667
  • G. Gallego and G. van Ryzin, Optimal Dynamic Pricing of Inventories with Stochastic Demand over Finite Horizons, Management Science 40(8):999–1020, 1994. https://doi.org/10.1287/mnsc.40.8.999
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Mechanism DesignOperations Research·Captain: mikedeng1

School Choice: A Mechanism Design Approach 2: The Top Trading Cycles Mechanism with Type-Specific Quotas Is Strategy-ProofResearch Paper

Motivation

Many US school districts assign children to public schools centrally. Each family ranks the schools. Each school ranks the children by priority, which is set by state or local law (siblings, walking distance, a lottery). A procedure then turns these rankings into an assignment. Abdulkadiroğlu and Sönmez (Columbia Economics Discussion Paper 0203-18, 2003; published in the American Economic Review 93(3), 2003) cast this as a mechanism design problem. They showed that the mechanisms then in use in Boston, Columbus and Minneapolis gave families reasons to misreport their preferences. They proposed two alternatives: the student-optimal stable mechanism of Gale and Shapley, and a school-choice version of Shapley and Scarf's top trading cycles (TTC) mechanism.

Many districts also operate under controlled choice: court-ordered or voluntary rules that keep the racial or ethnic composition of each school within bounds. In Minneapolis, for instance, a 100-seat school could admit at most 75 majority and at most 55 minority students (paper, Section III). Such rules are implemented as type-specific quotas. Section III.B of the paper modifies TTC to respect these quotas. It proves that the modified mechanism keeps both properties that recommend TTC: it wastes nothing beyond what the quotas force (constrained efficiency, Proposition 6), and truth-telling is a dominant strategy (strategy-proofness, Proposition 7). This mission formalizes those two results.

Setting

There is a finite set III of students and a finite set SSS of schools. School sss has a capacity qsq_sqs​, and the total number of seats suffices: ∣I∣≤∑sqs|I|\le\sum_s q_s∣I∣≤∑s​qs​. Each student iii has a strict preference over all schools, encoded as a ranking Pi:S→{0,…,∣S∣−1}P_i : S\to\{0,\dots,|S|-1\}Pi​:S→{0,…,∣S∣−1} with rank 000 the favourite. Each school sss has a strict priority ranking over all students, with rank 000 the highest priority. Each student belongs to exactly one type τ(i)\tau(i)τ(i), and school sss has a type quota qstq_s^tqst​ for each type ttt.

An assignment ν\nuν gives each student a school or nothing (∅\varnothing∅, worse than every school). It satisfies the controlled choice constraints if every school sss receives at most qsq_sqs​ students, and at most qstq_s^tqst​ students of each type ttt. An assignment μ\muμ is constrained efficient if no assignment satisfying the constraints makes every student weakly better off and some student strictly better off.

The top trading cycles mechanism with type-specific quotas, TTCq\mathrm{TTC}^qTTCq, runs in steps. Each school keeps a counter csc_scs​ (initially qsq_sqs​) and one type counter cstc_s^tcst​ for each type (initially qstq_s^tqst​). A school is removed when csc_scs​ reaches zero. At each step:

  • every remaining student points to her favourite remaining school with room for her type, that is, with cs>0c_s>0cs​>0 and csτ(i)>0c_s^{\tau(i)}>0csτ(i)​>0;
  • every remaining school points to its highest-priority remaining student, whatever her type;
  • every student on a cycle of this graph is assigned the school she points to and leaves;
  • that school's counter and its counter for her type each drop by one.

A direct mechanism is strategy-proof if no student can ever gain by misreporting her preference, whatever the others report.

Formalization targets

Goal: Proposition 7 (p. 23)

For every student iii, every profile PPP of announced preferences and every alternative report QiQ_iQi​,

TTCq(Qi,P−i)(i)=s′  ⟹  TTCq(P)(i)=s with Pi(s)≤Pi(s′).\mathrm{TTC}^q(Q_i,P_{-i})(i)=s' \implies \mathrm{TTC}^q(P)(i)=s \text{ with } P_i(s)\le P_i(s').TTCq(Qi​,P−i​)(i)=s′⟹TTCq(P)(i)=s with Pi​(s)≤Pi​(s′).

This holds for all capacities without shortage, all quotas, all types and all priorities. The priorities are fixed data, not reported.

Milestones

  1. Section III.B, Step 1 (p. 22). At every step there is at least one cycle, after the convention below has removed the students who cannot point.
  2. The Lemma (Appendix, pp. 28–29; declared valid for the modified mechanism on p. 30). Fix the other students' reports, and suppose student iii is still present at the beginning of a step under two different reports of hers. Then the two runs have the same remaining students and the same counters at that point.
  3. Proposition 6 (p. 23). TTCq(P)\mathrm{TTC}^q(P)TTCq(P) satisfies the controlled choice constraints and is constrained efficient with respect to PPP.

Significance

Strategy-proofness is what lets a district publish a simple instruction: rank the schools in your true order. A strategy-proof mechanism does not reward families who can afford to gather information and game the system. Proposition 7 shows that this guarantee survives the addition of flexible diversity quotas, which many districts are legally bound to impose. Proposition 6 shows that the quotas cost nothing beyond the losses they themselves cause. Both results were proved in 2003 by pen and paper. The published proof of Proposition 7 is a short adaptation of the proof of Proposition 4 (strategy-proofness of plain TTC). It rests on a lemma about how the algorithm's intermediate states depend on one student's report.

To our knowledge neither result has a machine-checked proof. The related platform theorem AGT.ttc_strategyproof concerns the Shapley–Scarf housing market, where every agent owns one house and the mechanism selects the core. It does not cover capacities, priorities or quotas. A formal proof here would check the adaptation that the paper leaves to the reader, and would give a reusable formal model of cycle-clearing allocation algorithms with multiple counters.

Difficulty

The algorithm clears all cycles of a step at once, and a student's report changes the graph at every step she is present. The paper's argument compares two whole runs of the algorithm, under the true report and under a misreport, step by step. That comparison needs precise control of which parts of the state a single student's report can influence, and when. A local argument about one step does not suffice. The student's outcome can depend on cycles that form several steps after the two runs could first have diverged.

With quotas, the pointing graph also depends on the type counters. A school can be present but closed to one type, and a school points to its best remaining student even when it has no room for her type. The comparison must therefore track the type counters as well as the set of remaining schools. Efficiency cannot be read off step by step against unrestricted matchings either: every competing assignment must satisfy both the capacity and the quota constraints.

Formalization scope

Students, schools and types are finite types; no nonemptiness is assumed. Preferences and priorities are bijective rankings onto Fin, so strictness is built in. Rank 000 is the favourite or the highest priority. The no-shortage condition ∣I∣≤∑sqs|I|\le\sum_s q_s∣I∣≤∑s​qs​ appears in every theorem, as the standing assumption of Section I. No relation between qsq_sqs​ and qstq_s^tqst​ is imposed, which generalises the paper.

The algorithm is a concrete, total definition: a state with remaining students, counters, type counters and partial assignments, a step map that clears all cycles simultaneously, and ∣I∣|I|∣I∣ iterations. run … t is the state at the beginning of the paper's Step t+1t+1t+1.

The paper's step is undefined when a remaining student has no remaining school with room for her type. She cannot point, and the promised cycle may not exist. The formalization adopts one convention: at the beginning of each step, such a stuck student is removed unassigned, and her outcome is ∅\varnothing∅, ranked below every school. Counters only decrease, so a stuck student stays stuck. Whenever nobody gets stuck, the algorithm is exactly the paper's, and when every quota is at least the capacity it is plain TTC. The goal and Proposition 6 are stated for assignments that may leave students unassigned. When everyone is assigned, they coincide with the paper's statements over matchings.

The formalization does not add a hypothesis that the run never gets stuck. Such a hypothesis would restrict the algorithm's own behaviour and could make the theorems vacuous. Nor may strategy-proofness be weakened to comparisons at the truthful profile only: the others' reports and the misreport are arbitrary.

Contributions welcome: invariants of the step map (counters bounded by the initial values, assigned students leave for good), the cycle-existence lemma for functional graphs on finite sets, and the comparison lemma. These pieces are shared with the plain-TTC mission of this series.

Selected references

  • Atila Abdulkadiroğlu and Tayfun Sönmez, School Choice: A Mechanism Design Approach, Columbia University Department of Economics Discussion Paper No. 0203-18, 2003. https://doi.org/10.7916/D8057T27
  • Atila Abdulkadiroğlu and Tayfun Sönmez, School Choice: A Mechanism Design Approach, American Economic Review 93(3), 729–747, 2003. https://doi.org/10.1257/000282803322157061
  • Lloyd Shapley and Herbert Scarf, On Cores and Indivisibility, Journal of Mathematical Economics 1(1), 23–37, 1974. https://doi.org/10.1016/0304-4068(74)90033-0
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Mechanism DesignOperations Research·Captain: mikedeng1

School Choice: A Mechanism Design Approach 1: The Top Trading Cycles Mechanism Is Strategy-ProofResearch Paper

Motivation

Public school districts in many US cities let families rank schools and then assign seats by a centralized procedure. Each school has a limited number of seats, and state or local law gives some students priority at some schools, for example for a sibling already enrolled or for living within walking distance. Abdulkadiroğlu and Sönmez (Columbia Economics Discussion Paper 0203-18, 2003; published in the American Economic Review 93(3), 2003) framed this as a mechanism design problem and showed that the mechanism then used in Boston rewards families who misreport their preferences. They proposed two replacements with written proofs of their properties. This mission covers the second one, the top trading cycles mechanism, and its two properties: every outcome is Pareto efficient, and no student can gain by misreporting.

The paper drew on earlier results for simpler allocation problems:

  • 1974: Shapley and Scarf introduce housing markets and Gale's top trading cycles algorithm, in which each agent owns one house.
  • 1977: Roth and Postlewaite show the algorithm finds the unique core allocation of a housing market.
  • 1982: Roth proves the core mechanism for housing markets is strategy-proof.
  • 1999: Abdulkadiroğlu and Sönmez adapt the algorithm to house allocation with existing tenants and prove strategy-proofness.
  • 2000: Pápai introduces hierarchical exchange rules, a wider class that includes these mechanisms.
  • 2003: the paper formalized here extends the algorithm to schools with capacities and school-specific priorities (Propositions 3 and 4).

Setting

A school choice problem consists of a finite set III of students, a finite set SSS of schools, a capacity qs∈Nq_s \in \mathbb Nqs​∈N for each school, a strict preference PiP_iPi​ of each student over all schools, and a strict priority ordering ≻s\succ_s≻s​ of each school over all students. The standing assumption is that there is no shortage of seats:

∣I∣≤∑s∈Sqs.|I| \le \sum_{s\in S} q_s .∣I∣≤s∈S∑​qs​.

Preferences are rankings: Pi(s)∈{0,…,∣S∣−1}P_i(s)\in\{0,\dots,|S|-1\}Pi​(s)∈{0,…,∣S∣−1} is the rank of sss for student iii, with rank 000 the favourite. Priorities are rankings of students in the same way, with rank 000 the highest priority. A matching is a map μ:I→S\mu : I\to Sμ:I→S with #{i:μ(i)=s}≤qs\#\{i:\mu(i)=s\}\le q_s#{i:μ(i)=s}≤qs​ for every school sss. A matching μ\muμ is Pareto efficient if no other matching ν\nuν gives every student a weakly better school (Pi(ν(i))≤Pi(μ(i))P_i(\nu(i))\le P_i(\mu(i))Pi​(ν(i))≤Pi​(μ(i))) and some student a strictly better one.

A direct mechanism maps the reported preference profile, together with the fixed priorities and capacities, to a matching. It is strategy-proof if no student can ever obtain a school she strictly prefers by changing her own report while the others keep theirs.

The top trading cycles algorithm keeps a counter csc_scs​ of free seats at each school, starting at qsq_sqs​. A school is remaining while cs>0c_s>0cs​>0. At each step every remaining student points to her favourite remaining school, and every remaining school points to the remaining student with the highest priority for it. A cycle is a list (s1,i1,…,sk,ik)(s_1,i_1,\dots,s_k,i_k)(s1​,i1​,…,sk​,ik​) of distinct schools and students in which s1s_1s1​ points to i1i_1i1​, i1i_1i1​ points to s2s_2s2​, and so on, and iki_kik​ points to s1s_1s1​. Every student on a cycle is assigned the school she points to and is removed. Each school on a cycle loses one seat. All cycles present at a step are cleared at that same step. The top trading cycles mechanism TTC(q,≻,P)\mathrm{TTC}(q,\succ,P)TTC(q,≻,P) returns the resulting assignment.

Formalization targets

Goal: Proposition 4 (strategy-proofness)

For all capacities with no shortage, all priorities, every profile PPP, every student iii and every alternative report QiQ_iQi​, student iii is assigned schools s=TTC(q,≻,P)(i)s = \mathrm{TTC}(q,\succ,P)(i)s=TTC(q,≻,P)(i) and s′=TTC(q,≻,(Qi,P−i))(i)s' = \mathrm{TTC}(q,\succ,(Q_i,P_{-i}))(i)s′=TTC(q,≻,(Qi​,P−i​))(i), and

Pi(s)≤Pi(s′).P_i(s) \le P_i(s') .Pi​(s)≤Pi​(s′).

Milestones

  1. At every step at which some student remains, there is a cycle (Section II.B, p. 15).
  2. After ∣I∣|I|∣I∣ steps no student remains, and the outcome is a matching (Section II.B, p. 16).
  3. Lemma (Appendix, pp. 28–29): if student iii is still remaining at the beginning of a step under two different reports of her own, the remaining students and the remaining schools at that point are the same under both reports.
  4. Proposition 3 (p. 17): the outcome is a Pareto efficient matching with respect to the reported profile.
  5. When all schools share one priority ordering π\piπ, the mechanism equals the serial dictatorship induced by π\piπ (Section II.B, p. 16).

Significance

Strategy-proofness means truthful reporting is a dominant strategy for every student. Families need no information about other families' reports. Under the Boston mechanism, ranking a popular school first can cost a student her priority at her second choice. Proposition 3 separates the top trading cycles mechanism from the Gale–Shapley student-optimal stable mechanism, which is also strategy-proof but can select Pareto dominated matchings.

The results are proved in the paper, in short prose arguments in its Appendix. To the best of our knowledge they have no machine-checked proof. The platform already has the housing-market version, AGT.ttc_strategyproof, but that statement covers one house per agent with the mechanism characterised as the core. Capacities, school priorities and the step-by-step algorithm are absent from it. This mission produces a checked account of the algorithm with capacities and counters, together with its termination and invariance properties.

Difficulty

The paper's argument moves from the step at which student iii leaves under one report to the step at which she leaves under another. It relies on the claim that the cycles formed before either step are unaffected by iii's report. Informally, iii is not on a cycle yet, so what she points to does not matter. Formally, "the same cycles form" requires comparing two runs of a simultaneous-clearing procedure step by step. At each step one has to show that the set of cycles, and hence the counters and the remaining schools, agree, even though iii points to different schools in the two runs. Reasoning about a single cycle at a time does not work, because the algorithm clears all cycles of a step at once. Termination is also not immediate: without the no-shortage condition the algorithm can leave students unassigned. Seats are counted with multiplicity, so a school can stay in the market for several steps.

Formalization scope

Everything lives in the namespace SchoolChoice.TTC. Students and schools are arbitrary finite types with decidable equality; the set of students may be empty. Capacities are q : S → ℕ, and a school of capacity zero is never remaining. A preference is a bijection S ≃ Fin (card S) and a priority is a bijection I ≃ Fin (card I), in both cases with rank 0 the best. Strictness and completeness of both therefore hold by construction, and every school is acceptable. A state of the algorithm consists of the remaining students, the counters and the assignments made so far. run q pri P t is the state after t completed steps, which is the beginning of the paper's Step t + 1. The mechanism ttc q pri P : I → Option S reads off the assignment after card I steps. Every theorem assumes card I ≤ ∑ s, q s.

The algorithm is a concrete, deterministic definition that clears all cycles at every step. The mechanism is not defined as "some Pareto efficient matching" or characterised by properties, since that would make Proposition 3 trivial. The goal asserts that both outcomes exist, so an unassigned outcome cannot satisfy it vacuously. The misreport, the other students' reports and the priorities are all universally quantified.

A complete development needs termination of the algorithm, a combinatorial account of the pointing graph (cycles in a finite functional graph), and the step-by-step invariance argument of the Lemma. The last two are reusable for the type-specific quota variant and for other trading-cycle mechanisms. Contributions of intermediate lemmas are welcome: counter invariants such as "the sum of the counters is at least the number of remaining students", monotonicity of the remaining sets, and the fact that a student on a cycle receives her favourite remaining school.

Selected references

  • Atila Abdulkadiroğlu and Tayfun Sönmez, School Choice: A Mechanism Design Approach, Columbia University Department of Economics Discussion Paper No. 0203-18, 2003. https://doi.org/10.7916/D8057T27
  • Atila Abdulkadiroğlu and Tayfun Sönmez, School Choice: A Mechanism Design Approach, American Economic Review 93(3), 729–747, 2003. https://doi.org/10.1257/000282803322157061
  • Lloyd Shapley and Herbert Scarf, On Cores and Indivisibility, Journal of Mathematical Economics 1(1), 23–37, 1974. https://doi.org/10.1016/0304-4068(74)90033-0
  • Alvin E. Roth and Andrew Postlewaite, Weak versus Strong Domination in a Market with Indivisible Goods, Journal of Mathematical Economics 4(2), 131–137, 1977. https://doi.org/10.1016/0304-4068(77)90004-0
  • Alvin E. Roth, Incentive Compatibility in a Market with Indivisible Goods, Economics Letters 9(2), 127–132, 1982. https://doi.org/10.1016/0165-1765(82)90003-9
  • Atila Abdulkadiroğlu and Tayfun Sönmez, House Allocation with Existing Tenants, Journal of Economic Theory 88(2), 233–260, 1999. https://doi.org/10.1006/jeth.1999.2553
  • Szilvia Pápai, Strategyproof Assignment by Hierarchical Exchange, Econometrica 68(6), 1403–1433, 2000. https://doi.org/10.1111/1468-0262.00166
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Complexity TheoryOperations Research·Captain: mikedeng1

Market Equilibrium under Separable, Piecewise-Linear, Concave Utilities II: An Exact 3-Cover Exists iff the Constructed Market Has an EquilibriumResearch Paper

Motivation

Market equilibrium is the central solution concept of general equilibrium theory: prices at which every agent buys a utility-maximizing bundle and supply meets demand. Arrow and Debreu (1954) proved that equilibria exist under mild conditions on endowments and utilities, and a line of work in algorithmic game theory asks how hard it is to compute them. For linear utilities an equilibrium can be computed in polynomial time, and there is an efficiently checkable condition for its existence. The next natural class, additively separable piecewise-linear concave utilities, models diminishing marginal utility and is the class most used in applications.

Vazirani and Yannakakis (J. ACM 58(3), 2011) settle the complexity of this class. They show that equilibria are rational whenever they exist (Theorems 4.1 and 5.1), that computing an equilibrium under the standard sufficient conditions is PPAD-complete (Theorems 6.1 and 7.1, building on Chen, Dai, Du and Teng 2009), and — the subject of this mission — that deciding whether an equilibrium exists at all is NP-complete (Theorem 8.1). The hardness half rests on an explicit construction: from an instance of Exact Cover by 3-Sets, a market whose equilibria encode exact covers.

Setting

An Arrow–Debreu market has a finite set BBB of agents and a finite set GGG of divisible goods. Agent iii owns an endowment wij≥0w_{ij}\ge 0wij​≥0 of each good jjj and has utility ui(y)=∑jfji(yj)u_i(y)=\sum_{j} f^i_j(y_j)ui​(y)=∑j​fji​(yj​), where each fjif^i_jfji​ is a piecewise-linear concave utility function: slopes c1≥c2≥⋯≥cm>0c_1\ge c_2\ge\dots\ge c_m>0c1​≥c2​≥⋯≥cm​>0 on consecutive pieces of lengths a1,…,ama_1,\dots,a_ma1​,…,am​, followed by a last piece of slope t∈[0,cm]t\in[0,c_m]t∈[0,cm​] until infinity (t=0t=0t=0 means the function goes flat).

At prices ppp, agent iii's income is ∑jpjwij\sum_j p_j w_{ij}∑j​pj​wij​. An optimal bundle is an affordable y≥0y\ge 0y≥0 maximizing uiu_iui​ among affordable bundles, bought only along the pieces of fjif^i_jfji​ that carry utility. A price equilibrium is a price vector ppp in the unit simplex (p≥0p\ge 0p≥0, ∑jpj=1\sum_j p_j=1∑j​pj​=1) together with an allocation of optimal bundles such that ∑ixij=∑iwij\sum_i x_{ij}=\sum_i w_{ij}∑i​xij​=∑i​wij​ for every good jjj. It is an ϵ\epsilonϵ-approximate equilibrium if instead ∣∑ixij−∑iwij∣≤ϵ∑iwij|\sum_i x_{ij}-\sum_i w_{ij}|\le\epsilon\sum_i w_{ij}∣∑i​xij​−∑i​wij​∣≤ϵ∑i​wij​ for every jjj.

An X3C instance is a family C=(C1,…,Cn)\mathcal C=(C_1,\dots,C_n)C=(C1​,…,Cn​) of 333-element subsets of X={x1,…,xn}X=\{x_1,\dots,x_n\}X={x1​,…,xn​}; an exact cover is a subfamily in which every element of XXX lies in exactly one set. Following the paper, nnn is a multiple of 333, n>35n>35n>35, and ⋃iCi=X\bigcup_i C_i=X⋃i​Ci​=X.

The market D(C)D(\mathcal C)D(C) has 2n+12n+12n+1 goods (good 000, goods CiC_iCi​, goods xjx_jxj​) and 2n+22n+22n+2 agents, with e0=n3e_0=n^3e0​=n3:

  1. agent 000 owns e0e_0e0​ units of every good; his utility for every good has slope 222 up to e0e_0e0​ units and slope 111 beyond;
  2. agent CiC_iCi​ owns one unit of good CiC_iCi​; segments of slope 111, length 1/21/21/2 for good 000, slope 1/31/31/3, length 1/61/61/6 for each good xj∈Cix_j\in C_ixj​∈Ci​, slope 1/91/91/9, length 1/41/41/4 for good CiC_iCi​;
  3. agent xjx_jxj​ owns 1/61/61/6 unit of good xjx_jxj​; one segment of slope 111, length 1/121/121/12 for good 000;
  4. the extra agent owns n/2n/2n/2 units of good 000; one segment of slope 111, length 3/43/43/4 for each good CiC_iCi​.

All other utility functions are flat.

Formalization targets

Goal: the reduction statement

C has an exact cover  ⟺  D(C) has an equilibrium  ⟺  D(C) has an n−5-approximate equilibrium.\mathcal C\ \text{has an exact cover}\iff D(\mathcal C)\ \text{has an equilibrium}\iff D(\mathcal C)\ \text{has an } n^{-5}\text{-approximate equilibrium}.C has an exact cover⟺D(C) has an equilibrium⟺D(C) has an n−5-approximate equilibrium.

This is the mathematical content of the NP-hardness half of Theorem 8.1, assembled by the paper from Lemmas 8.2 and 8.3.

Milestones

  1. Lemma 8.2: an exact cover yields an equilibrium of D(C)D(\mathcal C)D(C).
  2. Lemma 7.2, as applied in Lemma 8.3: in an n−5n^{-5}n−5-approximate equilibrium of D(C)D(\mathcal C)D(C) all prices are positive and within a factor 222 of each other.
  3. Claims 8.4–8.7: in such an equilibrium, with pmp_mpm​ the minimum price, p(0)=2pmp(0)=2p_mp(0)=2pm​; p(xj)<2pmp(x_j)<2p_mp(xj​)<2pm​; with S={i:p(Ci)≥pm+16∑xj∈Cip(xj)}S=\{i: p(C_i)\ge p_m+\tfrac16\sum_{x_j\in C_i}p(x_j)\}S={i:p(Ci​)≥pm​+61​∑xj​∈Ci​​p(xj​)}, every i∉Si\notin Si∈/S has p(Ci)=pmp(C_i)=p_mp(Ci​)=pm​; and the sets indexed by SSS are pairwise disjoint.
  4. Lemma 8.3: an equilibrium, or an n−5n^{-5}n−5-approximate equilibrium, of D(C)D(\mathcal C)D(C) yields an exact cover.

Significance

Theorem 8.1 shows that there is no efficiently checkable necessary and sufficient condition for the existence of an equilibrium in piecewise-linear concave markets unless P = NP, in contrast with the linear case. Together with the PPAD results of the same paper it separates two questions: under the classical sufficient conditions an equilibrium exists and finding one is PPAD-complete; without them, even deciding existence is NP-hard, and remains so for n−5n^{-5}n−5-approximate equilibria. The construction illustrates the technique the paper uses for both of its negative results: well-chosen piecewise-linear pieces make an agent buy a segment wholly or not at all, depending on how prices compare, which gives the equilibrium problem a discrete character.

The result is proved in the paper. To our knowledge no part of it has been machine-checked. This mission formalizes the reduction's correctness at full strength, including the approximate version, which requires quantitative control of clearing errors that the exact version does not.

Difficulty

The direction "exact cover ⇒ equilibrium" is an explicit verification: prescribed prices and an allocation, and a check that every bundle is optimal, which for separable piecewise-linear utilities is a bang-per-buck comparison. The converse is the substantial part. An arbitrary approximate equilibrium must be shown to have the rigid price structure — every price in [pm,2pm][p_m,2p_m][pm​,2pm​], good 000 at 2pm2p_m2pm​, unused sets at pmp_mpm​ — before a counting argument on agent 000's savings forces ∣S∣=n/3|S|=n/3∣S∣=n/3. Each step is an excess-demand argument in which the error ϵ\epsilonϵ times the supply must be compared with quantities of order 1/n1/n1/n; this is where n>35n>35n>35 and the exponent 555 enter, and why the approximate statement does not follow from the exact one. Optimality of bundles is a statement about all affordable bundles, so each claim needs the structure of optimal bundles under piecewise-linear concave utility, which is not in Mathlib.

Formalization scope

Lean namespace PLCMarkets.ExactCover. Market data (endowments, slopes, lengths) are rationals; prices and allocations are reals. Goods and agents of D(C)D(\mathcal C)D(C) are small inductive types named as in the paper; indices are 0-based. Supplies are not normalized to 111, so clearing is ∑ixij=∑iwij\sum_i x_{ij}=\sum_i w_{ij}∑i​xij​=∑i​wij​; prices are normalized to the simplex in both equilibrium notions, as in the proof of Lemma 8.3. The family C\mathcal CC is indexed and may repeat a set; exact cover and the disjointness of SSS count indices.

Standing hypotheses of every theorem: each CiC_iCi​ has three elements, 3∣n3\mid n3∣n, n>35n>35n>35, ⋃iCi=X\bigcup_i C_i=X⋃i​Ci​=X — the paper's own "without loss of generality" assumptions (p. 10:19). Two conventions depart from the printed page, both necessary and both disclosed on the items:

  • Optimal bundles buy only utility-bearing pieces. If a utility function is flat beyond its segments, the agent does not buy beyond them. The paper uses this throughout (an agent "can only spend pm/6p_m/6pm​/6 on the single segment", Claim 8.5). Without it, agents can spend leftover income on goods worth nothing to them; then setting p(0)=2pmp(0)=2p_mp(0)=2pm​ and every other price to pmp_mpm​ gives an exact equilibrium of every D(C)D(\mathcal C)D(C), and the goal is false.
  • The extra agent's segments have length 3/43/43/4. The page prints 3n/43n/43n/4; every computation in the paper (Lemma 8.2, Claim 8.6, the end of Lemma 8.3) uses 3/43/43/4 per good, and with 3n/43n/43n/4 the prices of Lemma 8.2 are not an equilibrium.

Trivializing encodings are excluded: optimality of bundles is part of both equilibrium notions (without it the endowment itself clears every market), clearing is relative and per good, and the goal quantifies only over nnn and C\mathcal CC, with D(C)D(\mathcal C)D(C) an explicit function of C\mathcal CC.

Out of scope: the complexity-class statement "NP-complete" and NP membership (which comes from the rationality theorems of the companion mission); polynomial-time computability of the construction and string encodings of markets; and the Fisher market FFF of §8, whose half of Lemmas 8.2 and 8.3 is a natural follow-up. Reusable infrastructure: piecewise-linear concave utilities, Arrow–Debreu markets with exact and approximate equilibria, and bang-per-buck characterizations of optimal bundles. Contributions proving that characterization as a standalone lemma are welcome.

Selected references

  • V. V. Vazirani and M. Yannakakis, Market Equilibrium under Separable, Piecewise-Linear, Concave Utilities, Journal of the ACM 58(3), Article 10, 2011. https://doi.org/10.1145/1970392.1970394
  • X. Chen, D. Dai, Y. Du and S.-H. Teng, Settling the Complexity of Arrow–Debreu Equilibria in Markets with Additively Separable Utilities, Proceedings of the IEEE Symposium on Foundations of Computer Science (FOCS), 2009 (reference [Chen et al. 2009a] of the paper).
  • M. R. Garey and D. S. Johnson, Computers and Intractability: A Guide to the Theory of NP-Completeness, W. H. Freeman, 1979.
  • K. J. Arrow and G. Debreu, Existence of an Equilibrium for a Competitive Economy, Econometrica 22(3), 1954. https://doi.org/10.2307/1907353
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Mechanism DesignOperations Research·Captain: mikedeng1

Incentives in Teams: The Own Profit Incentive Structure Is an Optimal Incentive Structure for a ConglomerateResearch Paper

Motivation

An organization whose members hold private information faces two problems at once. The first is the team problem of Marschak and Radner: choose the rules by which members observe, communicate and decide so as to maximize the expected payoff of the organization as a whole (Marschak–Radner 1972). The second is the incentive problem: a member who is paid by their own results has no reason to follow those rules, and in particular no reason to report truthfully what they have observed. Theodore Groves' Incentives in Teams (Econometrica 41(4), 1973) connected the two. For a decentralized firm in which subunits report to a head, it exhibits compensation rules that make the team-optimal behaviour, truthful messages included, each subunit manager's unique best reply.

The construction is the origin of what is now called the Groves scheme, and with Vickrey's second-price auction (Vickrey 1961) and Clarke's pivot rule (Clarke 1971) it forms the Vickrey–Clarke–Groves (VCG) family of mechanisms.

Timeline:

  • 1961, Vickrey: second-price auctions make truthful bidding a dominant strategy for a single object.
  • 1971, Clarke: pivot payments for public-good decisions with deterministic valuations.
  • 1972, Marschak–Radner: the economic theory of teams, with information and decision structures but a common payoff.
  • 1973, Groves: compensation CiIIC_i^{II}CiII​ based on the head's conditional expectation of the other units' payoffs; Theorem 1 proves optimality in a conglomerate with independent component states and one round of communication.
  • 1977, Green–Laffont: in the complete-information setting, Groves-type payments are the only ones that make truth-telling dominant (Econometrica 45(2)).
  • 1979, d'Aspremont–Gérard-Varet: Bayesian incentive-compatible mechanisms with expected externality payments (J. Public Econ. 11(1)).

The conglomerate model

The organization consists of a head (component 000) and finitely many subunits i=1,…,ni = 1, \dots, ni=1,…,n. Each component kkk has its own random component state sk∈Sks_k \in S_ksk​∈Sk​, and the components are independent: the state of the environment s=(s0,s1,…,sn)s = (s_0, s_1, \dots, s_n)s=(s0​,s1​,…,sn​) is distributed according to the product law P(s)=P0(s0)∏iPi(si)P(s) = P_0(s_0) \prod_{i} P_i(s_i)P(s)=P0​(s0​)∏i​Pi​(si​) (Condition S.2).

Every member plays a strategy βk=(ζk,γk,δk)\beta_k = (\zeta_k, \gamma_k, \delta_k)βk​=(ζk​,γk​,δk​) made of an observation strategy ζk\zeta_kζk​ on its own state, a message strategy γk\gamma_kγk​ and a decision strategy δk\delta_kδk​ (Condition S.3). Communication runs only between the head and each subunit, in one exchange: the head observes ζ0(s0)\zeta_0(s_0)ζ0​(s0​) and sends γ0i(ζ0(s0))\gamma_0^i(\zeta_0(s_0))γ0i​(ζ0​(s0​)) to subunit iii; the subunit, with information yi(s)=[ζi(si),γ0i(ζ0(s0))]y_i(s) = [\zeta_i(s_i), \gamma_0^i(\zeta_0(s_0))]yi​(s)=[ζi​(si​),γ0i​(ζ0​(s0​))], sends back γi(yi(s))\gamma_i(y_i(s))γi​(yi​(s)); the head's information is y0(s)=[ζ0(s0),{γi(yi(s))}i]y_0(s) = [\zeta_0(s_0), \{\gamma_i(y_i(s))\}_{i}]y0​(s)=[ζ0​(s0​),{γi​(yi​(s))}i​] (3.1). Decisions are δi(yi(s))\delta_i(y_i(s))δi​(yi​(s)) and δ0(y0(s))\delta_0(y_0(s))δ0​(y0​(s)).

The organization payoff is a sum of components (Condition S.4),

ω0(β,s)=∑i=1nvi[δi(yi(s)),δ0(y0(s));si]+v0[δ0(y0(s)),s0],\omega_0(\beta, s) = \sum_{i=1}^n v_i[\delta_i(y_i(s)), \delta_0(y_0(s)); s_i] + v_0[\delta_0(y_0(s)), s_0],ω0​(β,s)=i=1∑n​vi​[δi​(yi​(s)),δ0​(y0​(s));si​]+v0​[δ0​(y0​(s)),s0​],

and ωˉ0(β)=E[ω0(β,s)]\bar\omega_0(\beta) = E[\omega_0(\beta, s)]ωˉ0​(β)=E[ω0​(β,s)]. Each viv_ivi​ accrues directly to subunit iii (Condition S.5). Strategy sets B0,B1,…,BnB_0, B_1, \dots, B_nB0​,B1​,…,Bn​ are given; β/βi\beta/\beta_iβ/βi​ denotes β\betaβ with subunit iii's strategy replaced by βi\beta_iβi​. Two strategies βi′,βi′′\beta_i', \beta_i''βi′​,βi′′​ are equivalent if ωˉ0(β/βi′)=ωˉ0(β/βi′′)\bar\omega_0(\beta/\beta_i') = \bar\omega_0(\beta/\beta_i'')ωˉ0​(β/βi′​)=ωˉ0​(β/βi′′​) for every β∈B\beta \in Bβ∈B.

Assumption A requires a β∗∈B\beta^* \in Bβ∗∈B maximizing ωˉ0\bar\omega_0ωˉ0​ over BBB such that, for each subunit, ωˉ0(β∗)>ωˉ0(β∗/βi)\bar\omega_0(\beta^*) > \bar\omega_0(\beta^*/\beta_i)ωˉ0​(β∗)>ωˉ0​(β∗/βi​) whenever βi∈Bi\beta_i \in B_iβi​∈Bi​ is not equivalent to βi∗\beta_i^*βi∗​.

An incentive structure W={ωi}W = \{\omega_i\}W={ωi​} pays subunit iii the amount ωi(β,s)\omega_i(\beta, s)ωi​(β,s). The class J\mathscr{J}J (3.2) consists of those of the form ωi=vi[… ]+Ci(y0(s))\omega_i = v_i[\dots] + C_i(y_0(s))ωi​=vi​[…]+Ci​(y0​(s)): own payoff plus a compensation computed from the head's information only. WWW is optimal (2.6) if βi∗\beta_i^*βi∗​ maximizes ωˉi(β∗/βi)\bar\omega_i(\beta^*/\beta_i)ωˉi​(β∗/βi​) over BiB_iBi​, uniquely up to equivalence.

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem 1 (p. 625)

With CiII(y0)=∑j≠iE[vj[δj∗(yj∗(s)),δ0∗(y0∗(s));sj] ∣ y0∗(s)=y0]−AiC_i^{II}(y_0) = \sum_{j \ne i} E\big[v_j[\delta_j^*(y_j^*(s)), \delta_0^*(y_0^*(s)); s_j] \,\big|\, y_0^*(s) = y_0\big] - A_iCiII​(y0​)=∑j=i​E[vj​[δj∗​(yj∗​(s)),δ0∗​(y0∗​(s));sj​]​y0∗​(s)=y0​]−Ai​, the sum running over all components j∈{0,…,n}j \in \{0, \dots, n\}j∈{0,…,n} other than iii and the expectation taken under β∗\beta^*β∗ (3.3), the structure ωiII=vi[… ]+CiII(y0(s))\omega_i^{II} = v_i[\dots] + C_i^{II}(y_0(s))ωiII​=vi​[…]+CiII​(y0​(s)) lies in J\mathscr{J}J and satisfies, for every subunit iii and every βi∈Bi\beta_i \in B_iβi​∈Bi​,

ωˉiII(β∗/βi)≤ωˉiII(β∗),with strict inequality if βi≢βi∗.\bar\omega_i^{II}(\beta^*/\beta_i) \le \bar\omega_i^{II}(\beta^*), \qquad \text{with strict inequality if } \beta_i \not\equiv \beta_i^*.ωˉiII​(β∗/βi​)≤ωˉiII​(β∗),with strict inequality if βi​≡βi∗​.

It holds for every β∗\beta^*β∗ satisfying Assumption A, all strategy sets and all constants AiA_iAi​.

Milestones

  1. The Appendix Lemma: the sets of states consistent with the head's information under β∗/βi\beta^*/\beta_iβ∗/βi​ and under β∗\beta^*β∗ have the same projections onto every component other than iii.
  2. The right-hand side of (A.2): the head's conditional expectation factorizes over the independent components.
  3. (A.2) for a subunit j≠ij \ne ij=i, and 4. (A.2) for the head's component j=0j = 0j=0: the expected payoff of component jjj under β∗/βi\beta^*/\beta_iβ∗/βi​ equals the expected value of its conditional expectation.
  4. (A.1): ωˉiII(β∗/βi)+Ai=ωˉ0(β∗/βi)\bar\omega_i^{II}(\beta^*/\beta_i) + A_i = \bar\omega_0(\beta^*/\beta_i)ωˉiII​(β∗/βi​)+Ai​=ωˉ0​(β∗/βi​) for all βi∈Bi\beta_i \in B_iβi​∈Bi​.

Significance

Theorem 1 shows that a head who knows only the messages it receives can nonetheless align every subunit's interest with the organization's, without monitoring decisions or observations. It is an early statement that expected-externality payments make truthful communication an equilibrium of a decentralized organization, and the Bayesian, team-theoretic counterpart of the dominant-strategy results of Vickrey and Clarke. Its structure (own payoff plus a transfer depending only on the others' reported information) is the template later characterized by Green and Laffont and generalized by d'Aspremont and Gérard-Varet.

Theorem 1 is proved in the paper; nothing here is open mathematically. What the mission adds is a machine-checked version with every modelling choice explicit: how information is generated by the message protocol, what the conditional expectation in (3.3) means on events of probability zero, and which equivalence "uniquely" refers to. No machine-checked proof of Theorem 1 is known to the platform. The platform's AGT.vcg_incentive_compatible treats the complete-information, direct-revelation analogue (deterministic valuations, dominant strategies), a different model with a different conclusion.

Difficulty

The tempting argument conditions on the head's information y0∗(s)=y0y_0^*(s) = y_0y0∗​(s)=y0​ under β∗\beta^*β∗ and compares it with the head's information under a deviation. That comparison fails when a deviating subunit sends a message that γi∗\gamma_i^*γi∗​ never sends: the conditioning event then has probability zero under β∗\beta^*β∗, and the conditional expectation of (3.3) is not determined by the joint law. A second obstacle is that the head's information under a deviation differs from the information under β∗\beta^*β∗ in every coordinate the deviation touches, while the compensation is computed as if β∗\beta^*β∗ were played; the statement to be proved compares expectations taken under two different joint strategies, and the one-exchange protocol makes the head's messages, and hence every subunit's information, depend on the head's own state. Treating these dependencies loosely either produces a circular definition of the information functions (as (3.1) is printed) or a statement that fails on events of probability zero.

Formalization scope

  • Every component state space SkS_kSk​ is a finite type with weights that are nonnegative and sum to one; the joint law is the product of these weights and expectations are finite sums. The paper allows general probability spaces; the finite case covers the whole argument and gives conditional expectations at a point an elementary meaning.
  • Subunits form a finite index type; the head is a separate component with its own observation, message and decision types. Observation, message and decision spaces are fixed types per component.
  • Information (3.1) follows the single exchange of messages the paper describes in §4.A (p. 627): the head's message to subunit iii is a function of the head's observation. As printed, (3.1) is circular; this protocol is the paper's own resolution.
  • CiIIC_i^{II}CiII​ is used in factorized form: the head's term conditions only the head's state on the head's observation, and subunit jjj's term conditions only sjs_jsj​ on the message jjj sent. A separate milestone states that this equals the literal conditional expectation of (3.3) whenever the conditioning event has positive probability. The literal elementary quotient takes the value 000 on null events, and with it Theorem 1 is false (one subunit that can send an unused message suffices); the factorized form is what the Appendix computes. The sum in (3.3) includes the head's component v0v_0v0​.
  • Equivalence of strategies is footnote 5's, over all β∈B\beta \in Bβ∈B; optimality includes the strict inequality for non-equivalent deviations. A formalization that replaces equivalence by equality of strategies, fixes Bi={βi∗}B_i = \{\beta_i^*\}Bi​={βi∗​}, drops the strict inequality, or assumes (A.1) as a hypothesis is not this theorem.
  • The Lemma carries the added hypothesis that the set B(s)B(s)B(s) is nonempty; the paper's proof presumes it and the statement is false without it.

Contributions welcome: proofs of the milestones, and reusable finite-probability facts (conditioning on product events, iterated expectation over a coordinate) stated for product weights.

Selected references

  • T. Groves, Incentives in Teams, Econometrica 41(4):617–631, 1973. https://doi.org/10.2307/1914085
  • J. Marschak and R. Radner, Economic Theory of Teams, Yale University Press, 1972.
  • W. Vickrey, Counterspeculation, Auctions, and Competitive Sealed Tenders, Journal of Finance 16(1):8–37, 1961. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1540-6261.1961.tb02789.x
  • E. H. Clarke, Multipart Pricing of Public Goods, Public Choice 11:17–33, 1971. https://doi.org/10.1007/BF01726210
  • J. Green and J.-J. Laffont, Characterization of Satisfactory Mechanisms for the Revelation of Preferences for Public Goods, Econometrica 45(2):427–438, 1977. https://doi.org/10.2307/1911219
  • C. d'Aspremont and L.-A. Gérard-Varet, Incentives and Incomplete Information, Journal of Public Economics 11(1):25–45, 1979. https://doi.org/10.1016/0047-2727(79)90043-4
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Operations Research·Captain: naimengye

The Theory and Practice of Revenue Management V: CompetitionTextbook

When competing firms settle on prices and allocations

Revenue management is practised by firms that compete: airlines matching fares while allocating seats, retailers ordering stock and then pricing to clear it, hotels protecting rooms for late high-paying guests. Chapter 8 of Talluri and van Ryzin's The Theory and Practice of Revenue Management (2004) surveys the economics behind these situations: monopoly pricing and mechanism design, the Coase problem, advance-purchase discounts, and oligopoly in quantities (Cournot), in prices (Bertrand, Bertrand–Edgeworth with capacities), in newsvendor capacities and in RM allocations. Most of its numbered results are quoted from the literature; what the book itself establishes is a family of equilibrium arguments built on Talluri's equilibrium graph: when each firm's best response moves monotonically with the rival's action, following best-response arcs must end in an equilibrium pair. This mission formalizes those arguments, with Proposition 8.3, existence of an equilibrium in offer sets under the multinomial-logit choice model, as the goal.

Setting

A two-firm game on finite chains of strategies has payoffs u1,u2u_1, u_2u1​,u2​, best responses and pure Nash equilibria (IsBestResponse1, IsNashEquilibrium); its equilibrium graph has no crossing arcs (NoCrossing1) when best-response arcs (k2,k1)(k_2, k_1)(k2​,k1​), (l2,l1)(l_2, l_1)(l2​,l1​) with k2<l2k_2 < l_2k2​<l2​ always have k1≤l1k_1 \le l_1k1​≤l1​. The chapter's games are: the RM duopoly of Sect. 8.4.1.3, two firms with capacity CCC and fares pL<pHp_L < p_HpL​<pH​ whose high-fare demand spills over to the rival beyond its protection level (spilloverDemand), each firm answering with Littlewood's protection level (littlewoodResponse); the duopoly newsvendor of Example 8.16 with effective demands R1=D1+(D2−x2)+R_1 = D_1 + (D_2 - x_2)^+R1​=D1​+(D2​−x2​)+ (effectiveDemand); linear Cournot (cournotPayoff); Bertrand–Edgeworth price competition with capacity CCC per firm, linear demand and efficient rationing (beSales, bePayoff, IsBEEquilibrium); the advance-purchase model of Sect. 8.3.6 (peakLoadRevenue, advancePurchaseRevenue); and the one-period offer-set game of Sect. 8.4.3.2, where a firm offering its first kkk products earns g(Ck)/(W1(k)+W2(l)+w0)g(C_k)/(W_1(k) + W_2(l) + w_0)g(Ck​)/(W1​(k)+W2​(l)+w0​) with g(Ck)=∑j≤kwj(pj−Δ)−w0δg(C_k) = \sum_{j \le k} w_j(p_j - \Delta) - w_0\deltag(Ck​)=∑j≤k​wj​(pj​−Δ)−w0​δ (OfferFirm, offerPayoff1, CaseI, CaseII).

Formalization targets

Goal: Proposition 8.3

If both firms are in Case I (g(G∗)≥0g(G^*) \ge 0g(G∗)≥0) or both in Case II (g<0g < 0g<0 on every complete set), the offer-set game has a pure-strategy equilibrium in complete sets: mnl_offer_set_equilibrium.

Supporting targets

The equilibrium-graph lemma, monotone best responses for both firms give an equilibrium (Sect. 8.4.1.3); Proposition 8.1, Littlewood responses in the RM duopoly are monotone in the rival's protection level, and the resulting equilibrium of the RM duopoly game; Example 8.16, duopoly newsvendor capacities total at least the monopoly capacity; Example 8.15, the symmetric Cournot equilibrium and its price; Theorem 8.5 (i)-(ii), the pure-strategy Bertrand–Edgeworth equilibria; and the advance-purchase comparison of Sect. 8.3.6, w2<w^w_2 < \hat ww2​<w^ and VAPD(w^)≥Vpeak(w2)V_{APD}(\hat w) \ge V_{peak}(w_2)VAPD​(w^)≥Vpeak​(w2​).

Not targets: Theorems 8.1-8.2 (the Coase problem, subgame-perfect equilibria of an infinite-horizon game, proofs in von der Fehr and Kühn), Theorem 8.3 (Harris–Raviv priority pricing, stated with a garbled price formula), Theorem 8.4 (existence via quasiconcavity, cited), Theorem 8.5 (iii), 8.6 and 8.7-8.8 (mixed-strategy and supergame equilibria of Kreps and Scheinkman and Benoit and Krishna), Proposition 8.2 and Proposition 8.4 (the dynamic offer-set game under condition (8.32), proved in Talluri's paper), and the Kreps–Scheinkman derivation of Sect. 8.4.1.6, which rests on Theorem 8.6.

Significance

The equilibrium graph is the chapter's own contribution: a bipartite picture of best responses on chains in which monotonicity, the absence of crossing arcs, forces an equilibrium. It is the finite, combinatorial form of the monotone comparative-statics route to Nash equilibrium (Tarski's fixed point on a chain), and it is what makes RM allocation games tractable: the two-class duopoly with Littlewood responses always has an equilibrium, and the offer-set duopoly does whenever the two firms face the same sign of ggg, while Example 8.18 shows a best-response cycle when they do not. The Bertrand–Edgeworth, Cournot and newsvendor results are the benchmarks the book uses to interpret RM competition: capacity constraints soften Bertrand's zero-profit outcome, competing in allocations tends to raise total capacity above the monopoly level, and advance-purchase discounts dominate peak-load pricing as a self-selection mechanism. None of these has a machine-checked proof.

Difficulty

The lemma and the goal are fixed-point arguments on finite chains: the largest best response is a monotone map of the rival's index, the composition of two monotone (or two antitone) maps on a finite chain has a fixed point, and for the offer-set game the monotonicity itself must be extracted from the ratio structure g(Ck)/(W(k)+a)g(C_k)/(W(k) + a)g(Ck​)/(W(k)+a) as in the appendix's inequalities (8.A.3)-(8.A.5), separately in the two cases. Proposition 8.1 is a monotonicity of tail probabilities under the pointwise order of effective demands. Example 8.16 is a short probabilistic argument that needs the identity {D>x1+x2}={R1>x1}∩{R2>x2}\{D > x_1 + x_2\} = \{R_1 > x_1\} \cap \{R_2 > x_2\}{D>x1​+x2​}={R1​>x1​}∩{R2​>x2​} and the strict monotonicity of the tail. Theorem 8.5 requires computing efficient-rationing sales for every unilateral deviation from a symmetric profile, through the recursive definition of residual demand, and a quadratic inequality for upward deviations in part (ii). The advance-purchase item reduces to the identity VAPD(w)−Vpeak(w)=(1−α)wV_{APD}(w) - V_{peak}(w) = (1 - \alpha)wVAPD​(w)−Vpeak​(w)=(1−α)w and the strict decrease of the first-order-condition function.

Formalization scope

Products, protection levels and complete sets are natural numbers; the offer-set game's strategies are the complete sets C1,…,CnC_1, \dots, C_nC1​,…,Cn​ of the book, and its payoff is (8.31) up to the positive factor λ\lambdaλ and the terms independent of both offer sets. Prices decreasing in the product index are a hypothesis, as the nested-by-revenue order of Sect. 8.4.3.2. The RM duopoly is modeled through Littlewood's response, as the book's appendix argues, rather than through expected revenues. Efficient rationing is defined recursively over the firms priced strictly below a given firm, with equal sharing among firms at the same price. Example 8.16 is stated with the equilibrium conditions (8.23) and the strictly increasing distribution of aggregate demand as hypotheses. The advance-purchase item takes the first-order conditions (8.13) and (8.15) and the book's uniqueness assumption as hypotheses, the latter as (v−w)−F(w)/f(w)(v - w) - F(w)/f(w)(v−w)−F(w)/f(w) strictly decreasing in www (the page prints "increasing", but its footnote identifies it with the monotone marginal-revenue assumption, which is decreasing in the waiting cost). Theorem 8.5 is stated for its pure-strategy parts (i) and (ii) only.

Selected references

  • K. T. Talluri and G. J. van Ryzin, The Theory and Practice of Revenue Management, Kluwer/Springer, 2004, Chapter 8. https://doi.org/10.1007/b139000
  • D. M. Kreps and J. A. Scheinkman, Quantity precommitment and Bertrand competition yield Cournot outcomes, Bell Journal of Economics 14(2), 1983. https://doi.org/10.2307/3003636
  • S. A. Lippman and K. F. McCardle, The competitive newsboy, Operations Research 45(1), 1997. https://doi.org/10.1287/opre.45.1.54
  • S. Netessine and R. A. Shumsky, Revenue management games: horizontal and vertical competition, Management Science 51(5), 2005. https://doi.org/10.1287/mnsc.1040.0356
  • I. L. Gale and T. J. Holmes, Advance-purchase discounts and monopoly allocation of capacity, American Economic Review 83(1), 1993. https://www.jstor.org/stable/2117500
  • D. M. Topkis, Supermodularity and Complementarity, Princeton University Press, 1998. https://doi.org/10.1515/9781400822539
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Operations Research·Captain: naimengye

Fundamentals of Supply Chain Theory VIII: Supply Chain ContractsTextbook

Why the newsvendor orders too little

A retailer facing uncertain single-period demand and buying from a supplier at a wholesale price orders less than the two of them together would want. The reason is not irrationality but incentives: the retailer bears the whole cost of unsold stock while the supplier collects a margin on every unit ordered, so each party marks up its own cost and the combined markup, Spengler's (1950) double marginalization, depresses the order. Pasternack (1985) showed that a buyback credit for unsold units, priced correctly, realigns the retailer with the chain, and Cachon (2003) surveys the contracts that followed. Chapter 14 of Snyder and Shen's Fundamentals of Supply Chain Theory (2019) develops this as a Stackelberg game on the newsvendor model: the supplier sets contract terms, the retailer sets the order quantity. This mission formalizes the chapter's seven theorems, with the buyback allocation theorem, which shows that buyback both coordinates the chain and can divide its profit in any proportion, as the goal.

Setting

Demand DDD is a random variable with law on R\mathbb{R}R and mean μ\muμ. The retail price is rrr; the supplier's and retailer's per-unit costs are csc_scs​ and crc_rcr​ with c=cs+cr<rc = c_s + c_r < rc=cs​+cr​<r; lost sales cost the two parties goodwill penalties psp_sps​ and prp_rpr​ with p=ps+prp = p_s + p_rp=ps​+pr​; unsold units salvage for v<crv < c_rv<cr​ (ContractData). With S(Q)=E[min⁡{Q,D}]S(Q) = \mathbb{E}[\min\{Q, D\}]S(Q)=E[min{Q,D}] the expected sales (expSales) and I(Q)=Q−S(Q)I(Q) = Q - S(Q)I(Q)=Q−S(Q) the expected leftover (expLeftover), a transfer payment T(Q)T(Q)T(Q) from retailer to supplier determines the two profits (retailerProfit, supplierProfit),

πr(Q)=(r−v+pr)S(Q)−(cr−v)Q−prμ−T(Q),πs(Q)=psS(Q)−csQ−psμ+T(Q),\pi_r(Q) = (r - v + p_r)S(Q) - (c_r - v)Q - p_r\mu - T(Q), \qquad \pi_s(Q) = p_s S(Q) - c_s Q - p_s\mu + T(Q),πr​(Q)=(r−v+pr​)S(Q)−(cr​−v)Q−pr​μ−T(Q),πs​(Q)=ps​S(Q)−cs​Q−ps​μ+T(Q),

whose sum Π(Q)=(r−v+p)S(Q)−(c−v)Q−pμ\Pi(Q) = (r - v + p)S(Q) - (c - v)Q - p\muΠ(Q)=(r−v+p)S(Q)−(c−v)Q−pμ (chainProfit) is independent of the contract. The chain-optimal quantity Q0Q_0Q0​ maximizes Π\PiΠ; the retailer's and supplier's optimal quantities Qr∗Q^*_rQr∗​, Qs∗Q^*_sQs∗​ maximize their own profits. A contract coordinates the chain when Qr∗=Qs∗=Q0Q^*_r = Q^*_s = Q_0Qr∗​=Qs∗​=Q0​, stated here as equality of the sets of maximizers, and is a coordinating contract type when some choice of its parameters does this with both profits positive.

The four contracts are their transfer payments. Wholesale price: T=wQT = wQT=wQ. Buyback: T=wQ−b I(Q)T = wQ - b\,I(Q)T=wQ−bI(Q), the supplier crediting bbb per unsold unit, with 0≤b≤r−v+pr0 \le b \le r - v + p_r0≤b≤r−v+pr​ and w=w(b)w = w(b)w=w(b) of (14.22). Revenue sharing: the retailer keeps a fraction ϕ\phiϕ of sales and salvage revenue, T=(w+(1−ϕ)v)Q+(1−ϕ)(r−v)S(Q)T = (w + (1-\phi)v)Q + (1-\phi)(r - v)S(Q)T=(w+(1−ϕ)v)Q+(1−ϕ)(r−v)S(Q), with w=w(ϕ)w = w(\phi)w=w(ϕ) of (14.34). Quantity flexibility: the supplier reimburses the retailer's loss w+cr−vw + c_r - vw+cr​−v on unsold units up to δQ\delta QδQ, T=wQ−(w+cr−v)∫(1−δ)QQF(t) dtT = wQ - (w + c_r - v)\int_{(1-\delta)Q}^{Q} F(t)\,dtT=wQ−(w+cr​−v)∫(1−δ)QQ​F(t)dt, with w=w(δ)w = w(\delta)w=w(δ) of (14.46). For buyback, λ=(r−v+pr−b)/(r−v+p)\lambda = (r - v + p_r - b)/(r - v + p)λ=(r−v+pr​−b)/(r−v+p) is the retailer's share of the chain profit (buybackShare), and b1<b2b_1 < b_2b1​<b2​ (buybackB1, buybackB2) are the credits at which one party earns everything.

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem 14.5

Under buyback with w(b)w(b)w(b) at the chain-optimal Q0Q_0Q0​, the retailer's profit is decreasing and the supplier's increasing in b∈[0,r−v+pr]b \in [0, r - v + p_r]b∈[0,r−v+pr​], with 0<b1<b2<r−v+pr0 < b_1 < b_2 < r - v + p_r0<b1​<b2​<r−v+pr​ and

πr(Q0,w(b1),b1)=Π(Q0),πs(Q0,w(b2),b2)=Π(Q0),\pi_r(Q_0, w(b_1), b_1) = \Pi(Q_0), \qquad \pi_s(Q_0, w(b_2), b_2) = \Pi(Q_0),πr​(Q0​,w(b1​),b1​)=Π(Q0​),πs​(Q0​,w(b2​),b2​)=Π(Q0​),

the supplier losing money for b<b1b < b_1b<b1​, both earning positive profit for b1<b<b2b_1 < b < b_2b1​<b<b2​, and the retailer losing money for b>b2b > b_2b>b2​. This is buyback_allocation.

Supporting targets

Equation (14.8), Q0Q_0Q0​ maximizes Π\PiΠ iff Fˉ(Q0)=(c−v)/(r−v+p)\bar F(Q_0) = (c - v)/(r - v + p)Fˉ(Q0​)=(c−v)/(r−v+p); Theorem 14.1, the wholesale price contract coordinates iff w=cs−c−vr−v+ppsw = c_s - \frac{c-v}{r-v+p}p_sw=cs​−r−v+pc−v​ps​, at which the supplier's profit is negative; Theorem 14.2, Qr∗<Q0Q^*_r < Q_0Qr∗​<Q0​ whenever w>csw > c_sw>cs​; Theorem 14.3, for IGFR demand the supplier's induced profit πs(Q,w(Q))\pi_s(Q, w(Q))πs​(Q,w(Q)) is unimodal; the identities (14.27) and (14.28), πr=λΠ+μ(λp−pr)\pi_r = \lambda\Pi + \mu(\lambda p - p_r)πr​=λΠ+μ(λp−pr​) and its complement under buyback; Theorem 14.4, buyback with w(b)w(b)w(b) coordinates; Theorem 14.6, revenue sharing with w(ϕ)w(\phi)w(ϕ) coordinates; Theorem 14.7, quantity flexibility with w(δ)w(\delta)w(δ) makes Q0Q_0Q0​ optimal for the retailer.

Significance

The chapter's theorems are the analytical basis of contract design in newsvendor supply chains. Theorem 14.1 and 14.2 make double marginalization precise: coordination by price alone is possible only at a price the supplier rejects, and any acceptable price makes the retailer under-order. Theorem 14.3 is what lets the supplier optimize the wholesale price at all, and is the reason the IGFR class of Lariviere and Porteus (2001) is standard in the field. Theorems 14.4 to 14.6 show that buyback and revenue sharing coordinate and, through the share λ\lambdaλ, that the chain profit can be split arbitrarily, so a coordinating contract can be made acceptable to both parties. Theorem 14.7 shows the limits: quantity flexibility coordinates the retailer but not necessarily the supplier.

None of these results has a machine-checked proof. The book proves Theorems 14.1, 14.3, 14.4, 14.5, 14.6 and 14.7 and leaves 14.2 as an exercise. The formalization of the fractile characterization and of the affine profit identities is reusable for the many contract types (sales rebates, quantity discounts) the chapter cites but does not analyze.

Difficulty

The wholesale price results are first-order conditions on concave functions, and the difficulty is entirely in the analysis: S(Q)=E[min⁡{Q,D}]S(Q) = \mathbb{E}[\min\{Q, D\}]S(Q)=E[min{Q,D}] has derivative Fˉ(Q)\bar F(Q)Fˉ(Q) for every QQQ when FFF is continuous, which is a differentiation under the integral that has to be carried out for a Lipschitz integrand and an arbitrary law, and the maximizers of the concave profit must then be identified with the solutions of the fractile equation, including existence by the intermediate value theorem. Theorem 14.1's "only if" direction requires that a coincidence of maximizer sets pins the fractile and hence the price, which is where strict monotonicity of FFF enters.

Theorem 14.3 is the delicate one. The obvious approach, concavity of πs(Q,w(Q))\pi_s(Q, w(Q))πs​(Q,w(Q)), fails: the book stresses the function is not concave in general. The proof is a sign-change argument on the derivative (14.16), which is Fˉ(Q)\bar F(Q)Fˉ(Q) times a bracket that IGFR makes decreasing, minus a constant; one must show the derivative is positive near 000, eventually negative, and crosses zero exactly once, and that the last needs both Fˉ\bar FFˉ strictly decreasing and the bracket positive at the crossing. Working with a density in Mathlib means relating the withDensity law to the distribution function throughout.

The buyback, revenue sharing and quantity flexibility theorems are algebra once the right identity is found: πr\pi_rπr​ is an affine function of Π\PiΠ with slope λ\lambdaλ. The formalization must handle the boundary cases the book glosses over, where λ=0\lambda = 0λ=0 or λ=1\lambda = 1λ=1 and one party is indifferent among all quantities, so "the same QQQ maximizes" holds only in one direction. Theorem 14.5 also needs Π(Q0)≤μ(r−c)\Pi(Q_0) \le \mu(r - c)Π(Q0​)≤μ(r−c), a Jensen-type bound S(Q)≤min⁡{Q,μ}S(Q) \le \min\{Q, \mu\}S(Q)≤min{Q,μ}, for b1>0b_1 > 0b1​>0, and the ordering b1<b2b_1 < b_2b1​<b2​ needs Π(Q0)>0\Pi(Q_0) > 0Π(Q0​)>0, which the book's proof does not isolate.

Formalization scope

Demand is an arbitrary probability law on R\mathbb{R}R with finite mean, not assumed nonnegative; the book's own examples use normal demand. Optimal quantities are maximizers over all of R\mathbb{R}R (IsMaxOn … Set.univ), and coordination is the coincidence of maximizer sets, with the degenerate endpoints of the parameter ranges stated as one-directional. Where the book uses a density, continuity of the distribution function (NullSingletonClass) is assumed instead, except in Theorem 14.3, where the density fff is explicit, continuous on [0,∞)[0, \infty)[0,∞) (so the exponential law is included), positive on (0,∞)(0, \infty)(0,∞), and IGFR on (0,∞)(0, \infty)(0,∞). Strict monotonicity of FFF on R\mathbb{R}R is never assumed, since it would rule out every nonnegative demand law. Theorem 14.1 assumes ps>0p_s > 0ps​>0 and a positive chain optimum, Fˉ(0)>(c−v)/(r−v+p)\bar F(0) > (c - v)/(r - v + p)Fˉ(0)>(c−v)/(r−v+p), both implicit in the book's proof.

The transfer payments are functions of QQQ and the profits are defined for every QQQ, so the theorems compare values of one family of functions; the book's Fˉ\bar FFˉ is 1−F1 - F1−F with Mathlib's cdf, and the quantity flexibility integral is an interval integral. Theorem 14.5 takes Π(Q0)>0\Pi(Q_0) > 0Π(Q0​)>0, μ>0\mu > 0μ>0 and ps,pr>0p_s, p_r > 0ps​,pr​>0 as hypotheses. Without positive goodwill costs its strict inequalities 0<b10 < b_10<b1​ and b2<r−v+prb_2 < r - v + p_rb2​<r−v+pr​ fail (at ps=0p_s = 0ps​=0, b1=0b_1 = 0b1​=0; at pr=0p_r = 0pr​=0, b2=r−v+prb_2 = r - v + p_rb2​=r−v+pr​).

The definition module is shared by all eleven items. The equivalence (14.42)-(14.43) of revenue sharing and buyback, the supplier's stationarity under quantity flexibility (Problem 14.11) and the allocation results for revenue sharing (14.40)-(14.41) are natural extensions on the same definitions.

Selected references

  • L. V. Snyder and Z.-J. M. Shen, Fundamentals of Supply Chain Theory, 2nd ed., Wiley, 2019, Chapter 14. https://doi.org/10.1002/9781119584445
  • B. A. Pasternack, Optimal pricing and return policies for perishable commodities, Marketing Science 4(2), 1985. https://doi.org/10.1287/mksc.4.2.166
  • G. P. Cachon, Supply chain coordination with contracts, in Handbooks in Operations Research and Management Science 11, 2003. https://doi.org/10.1016/S0927-0507(03)11006-7
  • M. A. Lariviere and E. L. Porteus, Selling to the newsvendor: an analysis of price-only contracts, Manufacturing & Service Operations Management 3(4), 2001. https://doi.org/10.1287/msom.3.4.293.9971
  • G. P. Cachon and M. A. Lariviere, Supply chain coordination with revenue-sharing contracts, Management Science 51(1), 2005. https://doi.org/10.1287/mnsc.1040.0215
  • J. J. Spengler, Vertical integration and antitrust policy, Journal of Political Economy 58(4), 1950. https://doi.org/10.1086/256964
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Operations ResearchOptimization·Captain: mikedeng1

Supermodularity and Complementarity VI: The Core of a Convex GameTextbook

Motivation

A cooperative game with side payments models a set of economic agents who can form coalitions and split the proceeds. The central question is stability: is there a way to split the total payoff among all the players so that no subset of them would do better by breaking away and acting on its own? The set of such stable splits is the core, introduced by Gillies [1959] and studied extensively since (Shapley [1971], Shapley [1953]). Sharkey [1982c] surveys the core's role in the economics of natural monopoly, where "no coalition wants to secede" is exactly the condition that a cost-sharing scheme is defensible against any subgroup of customers.

The core of an arbitrary cooperative game can be empty — there may be no split that satisfies every coalition simultaneously — and even when nonempty it can be hard to exhibit a point in it, since it is cut out by 2n2^n2n linear inequalities. Shapley [1971] identified a large and economically natural class, the convex games (characteristic functions that are supermodular in the coalition), for which the core is always nonempty, and for which an explicit family of core points — one per ordering of the players — can be written down directly. This mission formalizes Shapley's theorem and its later sharpening: this book's central result of Chapter 5, together with a genuine converse (Moulin [1990], sharpening an observation of Sharkey [1982a]) and comparative-statics theorem (Topkis [1987]) showing how these core points move as the underlying economics changes.

Setting

Fix a finite set of players N={1,…,n}N = \{1,\dots,n\}N={1,…,n}. A characteristic function fff assigns a real number f(S)f(S)f(S) to every coalition S⊆NS \subseteq NS⊆N, with f(∅)=0f(\emptyset) = 0f(∅)=0; f(S)f(S)f(S) is the net return a coalition SSS could earn on its own. The pair (N,f)(N,f)(N,f) is a cooperative game, and throughout this chapter fff is assumed superadditive: f(S′)+f(S′′)≤f(S′∪S′′)f(S') + f(S'') \le f(S' \cup S'')f(S′)+f(S′′)≤f(S′∪S′′) for disjoint S′,S′′S', S''S′,S′′. A payoff vector y∈RNy \in \mathbb{R}^Ny∈RN is feasible if ∑i∈Nyi=f(N)\sum_{i \in N} y_i = f(N)∑i∈N​yi​=f(N), and acceptable if ∑i∈Syi≥f(S)\sum_{i \in S} y_i \ge f(S)∑i∈S​yi​≥f(S) for every coalition SSS. The core is the set of payoff vectors that are both:

Core(N,f)={y∈RN:∑i∈Nyi=f(N) and f(S)≤∑i∈Syi ∀S⊆N}.\mathrm{Core}(N,f) = \Big\{ y \in \mathbb{R}^N : \sum_{i \in N} y_i = f(N) \text{ and } f(S) \le \sum_{i \in S} y_i \ \forall S \subseteq N \Big\}.Core(N,f)={y∈RN:i∈N∑​yi​=f(N) and f(S)≤i∈S∑​yi​ ∀S⊆N}.

(N,f)(N,f)(N,f) is a convex game if fff is supermodular on the Boolean lattice of coalitions: f(S)+f(S′)≤f(S∪S′)+f(S∩S′)f(S) + f(S') \le f(S \cup S') + f(S \cap S')f(S)+f(S′)≤f(S∪S′)+f(S∩S′) for all S,S′S, S'S,S′. ("Convex" is the game-theory literature's name for this supermodularity property; it has no relation to convexity of sets or of real functions, a collision the book itself flags.) Equivalently, by Theorem 2.6.1/2.6.4, a game is convex exactly when the marginal value f(S∪{i})−f(S)f(S \cup \{i\}) - f(S)f(S∪{i})−f(S) of any player iii to any coalition SSS not containing iii increases as SSS grows — the more players already committed to a project, the more valuable one more player is to it.

Given a permutation π\piπ of NNN, let Sπ(j)={π(1),…,π(j)}S_\pi(j) = \{\pi(1),\dots,\pi(j)\}Sπ​(j)={π(1),…,π(j)}. The greedy algorithm builds the payoff vector yπy^\piyπ by paying each player its marginal contribution when added in the order π\piπ: yπ(j)π=f(Sπ(j))−f(Sπ(j−1))y^\pi_{\pi(j)} = f(S_\pi(j)) - f(S_\pi(j-1))yπ(j)π​=f(Sπ​(j))−f(Sπ​(j−1)). The Shapley value pays player iii the average of yiπy^\pi_iyiπ​ over all n!n!n! permutations π\piπ, equivalently ∑S⊆N∖{i}∣S∣!(n−∣S∣−1)!n!(f(S∪{i})−f(S))\sum_{S \subseteq N\setminus\{i\}} \frac{|S|!(n-|S|-1)!}{n!}(f(S\cup\{i\}) - f(S))∑S⊆N∖{i}​n!∣S∣!(n−∣S∣−1)!​(f(S∪{i})−f(S)).

A core is large if every acceptable payoff vector is dominated, coordinatewise, by one in the core; a subgame (N′,f)(N',f)(N′,f) restricts fff to subsets of N′⊆NN' \subseteq NN′⊆N; a core is totally large if the core of every subgame is large.

Formalization targets

Goal — Theorem 5.2.1 (Shapley [1971])

if (N,f) is a convex game, then for every permutation π, yπ∈Core(N,f);Core(N,f)≠∅;Shapley value∈Core(N,f).\text{if } (N,f) \text{ is a convex game, then for every permutation } \pi,\ y^\pi \in \mathrm{Core}(N,f); \quad \mathrm{Core}(N,f) \ne \emptyset; \quad \text{Shapley value} \in \mathrm{Core}(N,f).if (N,f) is a convex game, then for every permutation π, yπ∈Core(N,f);Core(N,f)=∅;Shapley value∈Core(N,f).

The weakest stable statement here is already the union of these three claims: nonemptiness of the core (b) is a formal consequence of (a) for any single permutation, and (c) is a genuinely separate fact about the average of the yπy^\piyπ's, not implied by (a) and (b) alone.

Milestones

  • Lemma 5.2.1(a): ∑i∈Sπ(j)yiπ=f(Sπ(j))\sum_{i \in S_\pi(j)} y^\pi_i = f(S_\pi(j))∑i∈Sπ​(j)​yiπ​=f(Sπ​(j)) for every j=1,…,nj = 1,\dots,nj=1,…,n — the partial-sum identity the goal's proof of acceptability is built on.
  • Theorem 5.2.6 (Moulin [1990]): a cooperative game is convex if and only if its core is totally large — the converse direction that a large core alone (Theorem 5.2.1's easy corollary) does not give.
  • Theorem 5.2.7(a,b) (Topkis [1987]): if the characteristic function ftf^tft of a family of games has increasing differences in a parameter ttt (a complementary parameter), the greedy payoff vector and the Shapley value both increase in ttt.

Significance

Theorem 5.2.1 is the reason convex games are the tractable case of cooperative game theory: it turns an existence question about 2n2^n2n linear inequalities into an explicit construction (any ordering of the players gives a point in the core), and it identifies the Shapley value — an axiomatically motivated but a priori only feasible payoff rule — as one that always respects every coalition's participation constraint on this class. Theorem 5.2.6 shows this is not an accident of the sufficient condition: total largeness of the core is a genuine characterization of convexity, so "does every subgame's core dominate every acceptable vector" is an equivalent, purely core-theoretic way to test convexity. Theorem 5.2.7 gives the comparative statics that make convex games useful in applied models (Chapter 5's later sections build monopoly, surplus sharing, and procurement games on exactly this apparatus): as a game's characteristic function improves in a complementary way with some parameter (a price, a technology level, a capacity), every player's greedy payoff and Shapley value improve monotonically, with no separate argument needed for each application.

Formalizing this mission produces, for the first time on the platform, machine-checked statements of the core, convex games, the greedy algorithm and the Shapley value — definitions that later missions in this series's own polyhedral-structure sections, and any future cooperative-game-theory mission, can reuse rather than re-derive. All three results already have a complete proof in the literature; this mission's remaining work is formalizing that known argument, not any open mathematics.

Difficulty

The routine first idea — check acceptability for the greedy vector one subset at a time using only the definition of supermodularity — does not directly work: Theorem 5.2.1(a)'s proof needs to compare a subset S′S'S′ against the initial coalitions Sπ(j)S_\pi(j)Sπ​(j) built by the particular permutation π\piπ, splitting S′S'S′ by the first and last time one of its elements appears in π\piπ's order and applying supermodularity along the resulting chain, not a single inequality. Theorem 5.2.6's converse direction is the harder half: showing a totally large core forces supermodularity requires constructing an auxiliary characteristic function g(S)=max⁡S⊆S′⊆N(f(S′)−∑i∈S′yi′′)g(S) = \max_{S \subseteq S' \subseteq N} \big(f(S') - \sum_{i \in S'} y''_i\big)g(S)=maxS⊆S′⊆N​(f(S′)−∑i∈S′​yi′′​) from an arbitrary acceptable vector y′′y''y′′ and showing ggg is itself supermodular (via Theorem 2.6.4 and Theorem 2.7.6, results from the earlier monotone-comparative-statics chapter this mission depends on) before the argument closes.

Formalization scope

Players are modeled as Fin n and a characteristic function as f : Finset (Fin n) → ℝ; a payoff vector is y : Fin n → ℝ, and the core's feasibility and acceptability conditions are stated with respect to Finset.univ (the whole player set) or a coalition U : Finset (Fin n) for a subgame, never approximated by a finite sample of coalitions or by feasibility alone — the acceptability condition genuinely quantifies over every subset. The Shapley value's coefficient is the exact rational weight S.card.factorial * (n - S.card - 1).factorial / n.factorial cast to ℝ, not a placeholder constant. The greedy algorithm's InitialCoalition σ j uses Lean's 0-indexed Equiv.Perm (Fin n) throughout, with the book's 1-indexed Sπ(j)S_\pi(j)Sπ​(j) absorbed into the definition rather than into the index j, so the definition and the goal read the same j consistently. Theorem 5.2.7(c), which needs Theorem 5.2.4's convex-combination-of-extreme-points machinery beyond this section, is out of scope for this mission.

A trivializing formalization would state acceptability only on singleton coalitions, or would let n = 0/an empty player set stand in for the general case; neither is used here — every Core/IsLargeCore statement quantifies over arbitrary subsets, and none of the theorems restrict n.

This mission reuses Supermodularity.Monotonicity.SupermodularOn and Supermodularity.Monotonicity.IncreasingDifferencesOn from this series's chunk II (02-monotonicity) rather than restating supermodularity or increasing differences for coalitions from scratch. InitialCoalition, Core, GreedyPayoff, IsConvexGame, IsLargeCore, IsTotallyLargeCore and ShapleyValue are new to this mission and reusable by any later mission on cooperative games, polymatroids, or the polyhedral structure of the core (Section 5.2.3 of this chapter). Contributions completing the sorrys — Theorem 5.2.1(a)'s chain-splitting argument, Theorem 5.2.6's auxiliary-function construction, and Theorem 5.2.7(a,b)'s direct comparison — are all welcome.

Selected references

  • L. S. Shapley, "Cores of convex games," International Journal of Game Theory, 1(1), 1971, 11–26. https://doi.org/10.1007/BF01753431
  • L. S. Shapley, "A value for n-person games," in Contributions to the Theory of Games II, Princeton University Press, 1953, 307–317.
  • H. Moulin, "Cores and large cores when population varies," International Journal of Game Theory, 19(3), 1990, 219–232. https://doi.org/10.1007/BF01766437
  • W. W. Sharkey, "Cooperative games with large cores," International Journal of Game Theory, 11(3-4), 1982, 175–182. https://doi.org/10.1007/BF01766193
  • D. M. Topkis, "Activity optimization games with complementarity," European Journal of Operational Research, 28(3), 1987, 358–368. https://doi.org/10.1016/0377-2217(87)90232-5
  • D. M. Topkis, Supermodularity and Complementarity, Princeton University Press, 2011, Chapter 5. https://doi.org/10.1515/9781400822539
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