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Algorithmic Game Theory

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Operations ResearchProbabilityTheoretical Computer Science·Captain: mikedeng1

Secretary Problems: Weights and Discounts 1: An (8+3e)-Competitive Algorithm for the Weighted Secretary ProblemResearch Paper

Motivation

The classical secretary problem asks how to select one valuable candidate when candidates arrive in random order and a decision must be made when each candidate appears. Many allocation settings have several goods of unequal quality instead of a single position. An employer may have roles of different desirability, or a seller may have placements with different visibility. In the weighted secretary problem, an agent's value is multiplied by the weight of the good assigned to that agent. The algorithm must decide irrevocably as agents arrive, while the benchmark sees every value before assigning goods. Babaioff, Dinitz, Gupta, Immorlica and Talwar study this model with arbitrary fixed agent values and a uniformly random arrival order, and give a constant competitive ratio independent of the number of agents and goods (authors' version, §§2–3).

The paper also studies time discounts and matroid constraints. This mission concerns its weighted-goods result, Theorem 3.4. The result combines an online allocation rule for several comparably valuable agents with the familiar one-choice secretary rule for an unusually valuable agent. These are distinct ways in which the sorted offline assignment can earn value; both are present even when the weights are fixed in advance. The weighted model matters because matching a valuable agent to an unsuitable good can lose value despite accepting the right agent.

Setting

There are nnn agents e∈Ue\in Ue∈U, each with a nonnegative value v(e)v(e)v(e), and KKK goods indexed in decreasing order of nonnegative weight:

w(1)≥w(2)≥⋯≥w(K)≥0.w(1)\ge w(2)\ge\cdots\ge w(K)\ge0.w(1)≥w(2)≥⋯≥w(K)≥0.

An assignment sss gives each good to at most one agent, and each agent receives at most one good. A good may remain unassigned, represented by ⊥\bot⊥ with v(⊥)=0v(\bot)=0v(⊥)=0. Its value is ∑k=1Kv(s(k))w(k)\sum_{k=1}^K v(s(k))w(k)∑k=1K​v(s(k))w(k). Agent values are arbitrary, not drawn independently from a distribution. The uncertainty is the arrival order π\piπ, chosen uniformly from all permutations; an agent's value becomes visible on arrival, and an allocation decision cannot be revised.

The offline optimum, OPT\mathrm{OPT}OPT, assigns the heaviest good to the highest-valued agent, the next good to the next agent, and so on. If K>nK>nK>n, the extra goods remain unassigned. A consistent tie break makes the ordering unique without changing the numerical value. This sorted assignment is defined directly; the mission does not replace it with an unconstrained variable said to be optimal.

The reservation algorithm draws a sample size τ∼Binom(n,1/2)\tau\sim\mathrm{Binom}(n,1/2)τ∼Binom(n,1/2), observes the first τ\tauτ agents without allocation, and retains the best min⁡(K,τ)\min(K,\tau)min(K,τ) sampled agents. Positive values are grouped into value classes [2i−1,2i)[2^{i-1},2^i)[2i−1,2i) for integer iii. A sampled agent in class iii reserves one good in that class's contiguous block, with higher classes receiving heavier blocks. A later agent receives the heaviest unassigned good reserved for its class when one is available. The classical secretary rule instead observes the first ⌊n/e⌋\lfloor n/e\rfloor⌊n/e⌋ agents, then selects the first later arrival better than every predecessor; its winner receives good 111.

Formalization targets

The mission's goal is the exact guarantee of Theorem 3.4 for Algorithm AAA, which runs the reservation algorithm with probability 8/(3e+8)8/(3e+8)8/(3e+8) and the classical rule with probability 3e/(3e+8)3e/(3e+8)3e/(3e+8):

OPT≤(8+3e) E[A].\mathrm{OPT}\le(8+3e)\,\mathbb E[A].OPT≤(8+3e)E[A].

Here the expectation covers the uniform arrival permutation, the independent binomial sample size used by the reservation branch, and the mixing coin. The multiplicative inequality expresses competitiveness even when an expected payoff is zero. It uses the explicit constant in the paper's proof rather than an instance-dependent or unspecified constant.

Four source results form the milestones. The classical secretary rule selects the maximum with probability at least 1/e1/e1/e. Lemma 3.2 compares the starting indices bib_ibi​ and oio_ioi​ of class-iii blocks in the reservation and optimum assignments. Lemma 3.1 says that if the optimum assigns at least two agents from class iii, the reservation rule assigns at least ui/4u_i/4ui​/4 agents from that class in expectation. Lemma 3.3 converts this to expected value at least OPTi/8\mathrm{OPT}_i/8OPTi​/8. The target retains the paper's class condition and both numerical fractions (authors' version, pp. 4–5).

Significance

Theorem 3.4 supplies a constant factor guarantee for irrevocable allocation when goods have different weights and agents arrive in random order. The factor does not grow with nnn or KKK. It separates the effects of uncertain arrivals from the offline matching of high values to high weights, and it supplies a benchmark for later variants with more complicated feasibility constraints. The paper extends the reservation idea to additional combinatorial settings, including partition-matroid variants in Appendix C (authors' version, Appendix C).

The theorem is proved in the source paper, while the Lean statements in this mission are proof obligations. Formalizing them requires checking that the random-order model, sample distribution, tie convention and assignments jointly express the same algorithm. A complete development will also establish reusable finite-average facts for random permutations and binomial samples, and structural facts about sorted assignments and reserved blocks. Those pieces can support other secretary problems in the series; the mission's specific promise remains the weighted algorithm's exact bound.

Difficulty

A count of how many agents a class receives does not by itself control the weighted value of those goods. Goods have unequal weights, and the value of assigning the next good changes with its position in a block. A class whose offline optimum receives several agents can also lose all its sampled members from the allocation phase. Thus a direct comparison of expected class counts with expected class values is insufficient. The paper's separate count, block-position and value statements identify the claims a solver must establish; the final theorem must also account for classes represented only once in the offline assignment (authors' version, p. 5).

Formalization scope

Agents and goods are Fin n and Fin K; their indices start at zero in Lean, so paper time ttt corresponds to Lean index t−1t-1t−1. An arrival permutation maps time to agent. Values and weights are real and explicitly nonnegative, and weights are antitone in the good index. The finite sums defining expectations are normalized by n!n!n! for permutations and by (nτ)/2n\binom n\tau/2^n(τn​)/2n for sample sizes. No measurability or integration convention is needed. For the goal, K≥1K\ge1K≥1 makes the heaviest good available; K>nK>nK>n is allowed.

Equal values are ordered by smaller original agent index throughout the sorted optimum, the sample's top agents and the classical rule. The classical rule observes exactly ⌊n/e⌋\lfloor n/e\rfloor⌊n/e⌋ arrivals, and zero-valued agents reserve no value-class goods. Positive values below one use negative integer class indices. The paper says only that class iii holds the values “between” 2i−12^{i-1}2i−1 and 2i2^i2i (p. 4, and again in Appendix C, p. 12); the mission fixes the half-open interval [2i−1,2i)[2^{i-1},2^i)[2i−1,2i), so that the classes partition the positive reals (authors' version, pp. 4, 12). A reservation assignment is built from each post-sample agent's rank within its class, so a good is offered to at most one such agent. The theorem is about this concrete algorithm and the concrete sorted offline assignment; an arbitrary favorable policy or an optimum supplied as a hypothesis would not express the source result.

The development needs a finite assignment interface, a tie-aware rank order, value classes, the two online rules, and normalized finite expectations. The assignment and finite-average definitions are reusable. Contributions that prove the structural validity of the reservation assignment, the classical success guarantee, Lemmas 3.1–3.3, or the final combination all advance the stated target.

Selected references

  • Moshe Babaioff, Michael Dinitz, Anupam Gupta, Nicole Immorlica and Kunal Talwar, Secretary Problems: Weights and Discounts, Proceedings of SODA 2009; authors' full version, proceedings DOI.
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Convex OptimizationMachine LearningOptimization·Captain: mikedeng1

Blackwell Approachability and No-Regret Learning are Equivalent 2: A No-Regret Algorithm and a Valid Halfspace Oracle Approach a Compact Convex Set at Rate 2·Regret_T/TResearch Paper

Motivation

Blackwell approachability is the vector-payoff analogue of von Neumann's minimax theorem. In a repeated game where each round's outcome is a vector u(xt,yt)∈Rdu(x_t, y_t) \in \mathbb R^du(xt​,yt​)∈Rd, a player wants the running average of these vectors to converge to a target set SSS, whatever the opponent does. Blackwell (1956) showed when this is possible, and approachability has since become a standard tool for calibrated forecasting, regret minimization with respect to general benchmarks, and learning in games.

Online linear optimization (OLO) is the problem of choosing points θt\theta_tθt​ in a fixed decision set K\mathcal KK against a sequence of linear losses ⟨ft,⋅⟩\langle f_t, \cdot\rangle⟨ft​,⋅⟩, with performance measured by regret against the best fixed point in hindsight. Algorithms with regret o(T)o(T)o(T) — "no-regret" algorithms such as online gradient descent (Zinkevich, 2003) — are among the most studied objects of machine learning.

Abernethy, Bartlett and Hazan (COLT 2011) showed that the two problems are algorithmically equivalent: each can be converted into the other with explicit control of the rates. This mission covers the direction from OLO to approachability.

Timeline:

  • 1956: Blackwell proves the approachability theorem for convex sets, via a geometric projection strategy.
  • 2003: Zinkevich introduces online gradient descent, a no-regret algorithm for any bounded convex decision set.
  • 2009: Even-Dar, Kleinberg, Mannor and Mansour state approachability in the response-satisfiability form (as cited on p. 32 of the 2011 paper).
  • 2011: Abernethy, Bartlett and Hazan give the two reductions, with explicit rates, and apply them to efficient calibration.

Setting

A Blackwell instance (X,Y,u,S)(\mathcal X, \mathcal Y, u, S)(X,Y,u,S) consists of compact convex sets X⊆Rn\mathcal X \subseteq \mathbb R^nX⊆Rn, Y⊆Rm\mathcal Y \subseteq \mathbb R^mY⊆Rm, a payoff u:X×Y→Rdu : \mathcal X \times \mathcal Y \to \mathbb R^du:X×Y→Rd that is affine in each argument (biaffine), and a closed convex target set S⊆RdS \subseteq \mathbb R^dS⊆Rd. Write dist(z,U)=inf⁡w∈U∥z−w∥\mathtt{dist}(z, U) = \inf_{w \in U}\|z - w\|dist(z,U)=infw∈U​∥z−w∥ for the Euclidean distance to a set, and B2(r)B_2(r)B2​(r) for the closed Euclidean ball of radius rrr.

A halfspace oracle takes a halfspace H={z:⟨a,z⟩≤c}H = \{z : \langle a, z\rangle \le c\}H={z:⟨a,z⟩≤c} and returns a point O(H)∈X\mathcal O(H) \in \mathcal XO(H)∈X; it is valid if for every halfspace H⊇SH \supseteq SH⊇S, u(O(H),y)∈Hu(\mathcal O(H), y) \in Hu(O(H),y)∈H for all y∈Yy \in \mathcal Yy∈Y.

A set X⊆RdX \subseteq \mathbb R^dX⊆Rd is a cone if αz∈X\alpha z \in Xαz∈X for all z∈Xz \in Xz∈X, α≥0\alpha \ge 0α≥0. For K⊆RdK \subseteq \mathbb R^dK⊆Rd, cone(K)={αx:α≥0,x∈K}\mathtt{cone}(K) = \{\alpha x : \alpha \ge 0, x \in K\}cone(K)={αx:α≥0,x∈K}, and the polar cone of CCC is C0={θ:⟨θ,x⟩≤0 ∀x∈C}C^0 = \{\theta : \langle \theta, x\rangle \le 0 \ \forall x \in C\}C0={θ:⟨θ,x⟩≤0 ∀x∈C}.

An OLO algorithm L\mathcal LL maps past loss vectors (f1,…,ft−1)(f_1, \dots, f_{t-1})(f1​,…,ft−1​) to a point θt∈K\theta_t \in \mathcal Kθt​∈K, and its regret is

RegretT=∑t=1T⟨ft,θt⟩−min⁡θ∈K∑t=1T⟨ft,θ⟩.\mathrm{Regret}_T = \sum_{t=1}^T \langle f_t, \theta_t\rangle - \min_{\theta \in \mathcal K} \sum_{t=1}^T \langle f_t, \theta\rangle .RegretT​=t=1∑T​⟨ft​,θt​⟩−θ∈Kmin​t=1∑T​⟨ft​,θ⟩.

Algorithm 2 runs L\mathcal LL on K=S0∩B2(1)\mathcal K = S^0 \cap B_2(1)K=S0∩B2​(1) when SSS is a cone: at round ttt it sets θt=L(f1,…,ft−1)\theta_t = \mathcal L(f_1, \dots, f_{t-1})θt​=L(f1​,…,ft−1​), plays xt=O({z:⟨θt,z⟩≤0})x_t = \mathcal O(\{z : \langle \theta_t, z\rangle \le 0\})xt​=O({z:⟨θt​,z⟩≤0}), observes yt∈Yy_t \in \mathcal Yyt​∈Y, and feeds ft=−u(xt,yt)f_t = -u(x_t, y_t)ft​=−u(xt​,yt​) back to L\mathcal LL.

When SSS is compact but not a cone, it is lifted: with κ=max⁡s∈S∥s∥\kappa = \max_{s\in S}\|s\|κ=maxs∈S​∥s∥ and κ⊕z∈Rd+1\kappa \oplus z \in \mathbb R^{d+1}κ⊕z∈Rd+1 the concatenation, put u′(x,y)=κ⊕u(x,y)u'(x, y) = \kappa \oplus u(x, y)u′(x,y)=κ⊕u(x,y) and S′=cone({κ}×S)S' = \mathtt{cone}(\{\kappa\} \times S)S′=cone({κ}×S), and run Algorithm 2 on (X,Y,u′,S′)(\mathcal X, \mathcal Y, u', S')(X,Y,u′,S′).

Formalization targets

Goal: Corollary 18 (p. 39)

For a Blackwell instance with SSS nonempty and compact, any valid halfspace oracle for the lifted instance, any OLO algorithm with values in K′=(S′)0∩B2(1)\mathcal K' = (S')^0 \cap B_2(1)K′=(S′)0∩B2​(1), any T≥1T \ge 1T≥1 and any y1,…,yT∈Yy_1, \dots, y_T \in \mathcal Yy1​,…,yT​∈Y, the run of Algorithm 2 on the lifted instance satisfies

dist(1T∑t=1Tu(xt,yt),S)≤2 dist(1T∑t=1Tu′(xt,yt),S′)≤2T RegretT.\mathtt{dist}\Big(\frac1T\sum_{t=1}^T u(x_t,y_t), S\Big) \le 2\,\mathtt{dist}\Big(\frac1T\sum_{t=1}^T u'(x_t,y_t), S'\Big) \le \frac2T\,\mathrm{Regret}_T .dist(T1​t=1∑T​u(xt​,yt​),S)≤2dist(T1​t=1∑T​u′(xt​,yt​),S′)≤T2​RegretT​.

The bound holds for every TTT and every adversary, with no rate assumed for L\mathcal LL; a no-regret L\mathcal LL then gives approachability.

Milestones

  1. Lemma 13 (p. 35): for a nonempty convex cone CCC, dist(x,C)=max⁡θ∈C0∩B2(1)⟨θ,x⟩\mathtt{dist}(x, C) = \max_{\theta \in C^0 \cap B_2(1)} \langle \theta, x\rangledist(x,C)=maxθ∈C0∩B2​(1)​⟨θ,x⟩.
  2. Theorem 17 (p. 38): if SSS is a cone, Algorithm 2 achieves dist(1T∑tu(xt,yt),S)≤Regret(LK;f1:T)/T\mathtt{dist}\big(\frac1T\sum_t u(x_t,y_t), S\big) \le \mathrm{Regret}(\mathcal L_{\mathcal K}; f_{1:T})/Tdist(T1​∑t​u(xt​,yt​),S)≤Regret(LK​;f1:T​)/T.
  3. Lemma 14 (p. 35): for nonempty compact convex K\mathcal KK, κ=max⁡K∥⋅∥\kappa = \max_{\mathcal K}\|\cdot\|κ=maxK​∥⋅∥ and x∉Kx \notin \mathcal Kx∈/K, dist(κ⊕x,cone({κ}×K))≤dist(x,K)≤2 dist(κ⊕x,cone({κ}×K))\mathtt{dist}(\kappa\oplus x, \mathtt{cone}(\{\kappa\}\times\mathcal K)) \le \mathtt{dist}(x, \mathcal K) \le 2\,\mathtt{dist}(\kappa\oplus x, \mathtt{cone}(\{\kappa\}\times\mathcal K))dist(κ⊕x,cone({κ}×K))≤dist(x,K)≤2dist(κ⊕x,cone({κ}×K)).

Significance

The result. Corollary 18 turns any no-regret algorithm into an approachability strategy for a compact convex target, provided a valid halfspace oracle is available, with rate 2 RegretT/T2\,\mathrm{Regret}_T/T2RegretT​/T. Combined with online gradient descent it gives an O(1/T)O(1/\sqrt T)O(1/T​) approachability rate, and through the choice of OLO algorithm it lets approachability inherit the computational efficiency of online learning. The paper uses this route to build an efficient calibrated forecaster (Section 5). Together with the converse reduction (Theorem 16), it shows that the two problems are equivalent.

Formalizing it. The results are proved in the paper; none of them has been machine-checked. Formalizing them requires the conic duality formula for distances (Lemma 13), a quantitative lifting lemma (Lemma 14) and the bookkeeping of an interactive protocol. The proof of Lemma 14 on the page is a sketch: it refers to an undefined point and uses a triangle-similarity argument, so a complete proof is new work.

Difficulty

The reduction's core is Lemma 13: the distance to a cone is a maximum of a linear function over the polar cone's unit ball. Lemma 13 needs projection onto a cone in Euclidean space; for a non-closed cone the projection may not exist, and the argument must go through the closure. The lifting Lemma 14 is a geometric statement whose page proof relies on a picture and an undefined point, so the factor 2 has no complete written argument. Finally, connecting the average lifted payoff to the lift of the average payoff, and the halfspace guarantee ⟨θt,ft⟩≥0\langle\theta_t, f_t\rangle \ge 0⟨θt​,ft​⟩≥0 to the regret, requires keeping the round indexing and the oracle's validity domain exactly aligned.

Formalization scope

All spaces are EuclideanSpace ℝ (Fin d). The concatenation κ⊕z\kappa\oplus zκ⊕z lives in EuclideanSpace ℝ (Fin (d+1)) with coordinate 0 equal to κ\kappaκ, so ∥κ⊕z∥2=κ2+∥z∥2\|\kappa\oplus z\|^2 = \kappa^2 + \|z\|^2∥κ⊕z∥2=κ2+∥z∥2; a product type with the sup norm would change every distance and is ruled out. Distances are Metric.infDist. The polar cone uses the paper's sign (≤0\le 0≤0), the negative of Mathlib's innerDual. A halfspace is the pair (a,c)(a, c)(a,c); a valid oracle must answer every halfspace containing SSS, including a=0a = 0a=0, not only the halfspaces the algorithm happens to query. The OLO algorithm is a map from histories Fin t → ℝᴰ with values in S0∩B2(1)S^0 \cap B_2(1)S0∩B2​(1) at every history. Rounds are t=1,…,Tt = 1, \dots, Tt=1,…,T, and the run of Algorithm 2 is given as hypotheses on sequences θ,x,f\theta, x, fθ,x,f, which exist and are unique by recursion. The minimum in the regret and κ\kappaκ are written as sInf/sSup of images over nonempty compact sets, where they are attained.

Hypotheses added relative to the page: S≠∅S \neq \emptysetS=∅ and T≥1T \ge 1T≥1 in the goal; C≠∅C \ne \emptysetC=∅ in Lemma 13 (the empty set is a cone under Definition 11 and the identity fails for it); K≠∅\mathcal K \ne \emptysetK=∅ in Lemma 14. Corrected misprints, each disclosed in the item's note: "RegretT(A)\mathrm{Regret}_T(\mathcal A)RegretT​(A)" in Corollary 18 and (9) denotes the regret of the OLO algorithm L\mathcal LL on the lifted losses; Lemma 14's "K⊆H\mathcal K \subseteq \mathcal HK⊆H" has a stray H\mathcal HH; κ\kappaκ is the maximal norm of the set, not its diameter. The oracle in the goal is a valid oracle for the lifted instance, which is what applying Algorithm 2 to (X,Y,u′,S′)(\mathcal X, \mathcal Y, u', S')(X,Y,u′,S′) requires.

A formalization in which the oracle is valid only at the run's own queries, the OLO algorithm is unconstrained, the regret's minimum ranges over all of Rd+1\mathbb R^{d+1}Rd+1, or the middle term of the goal is dropped, is a different statement and is ruled out.

The development needs: the dual formula for the distance to a convex cone, nearest-point projection onto closed convex sets (in Mathlib), compactness of polar-cone slices, and finite sums of biaffine payoffs. The cone layer (Lemma 13) is reusable for the converse direction of the paper and for conic duality generally. Proofs of any milestone, and of the bridge from an oracle for the original instance to one for the lifted instance, are welcome.

Selected references

  • J. Abernethy, P. L. Bartlett, E. Hazan, Blackwell Approachability and No-Regret Learning are Equivalent, JMLR W&CP 19 (COLT 2011), pp. 27–46. https://proceedings.mlr.press/v19/abernethy11b.html
  • D. Blackwell, An analog of the minimax theorem for vector payoffs, Pacific Journal of Mathematics 6(1), 1956, pp. 1–8. https://doi.org/10.2140/pjm.1956.6.1
  • M. Zinkevich, Online convex programming and generalized infinitesimal gradient ascent, ICML 2003. https://www.aaai.org/Papers/ICML/2003/ICML03-120.pdf
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Mechanism DesignOperations ResearchProbability·Captain: mikedeng1

Multi-parameter Mechanism Design and Sequential Posted Pricing 4: A 6.75-Approximate Truthful Posted-Price Menu for Unit-Demand Buyers of Multiple ItemsResearch Paper

Motivation

A hotel sells rooms of several types, in limited numbers, to guests who each want one room. The revenue-optimal way to sell is known only in special cases: for buyers with several private values, optimal mechanisms can be randomized, involve lotteries, and lack a closed form (Manelli–Vincent 2007; Chawla, Hartline, Kleinberg 2007). In practice sellers post prices. The question is how much revenue posting prices gives up.

Chawla, Hartline, Malec and Sivan (arXiv:0907.2435v2, STOC 2010) answer it for a broad class of single- and multi-parameter problems. For unit-demand buyers of multiple copies of multiple items they show that a menu of posted prices, offered to the buyers in whatever order they arrive, earns at least 1/6.751/6.751/6.75 of the revenue of any deterministic truthful mechanism (Theorem 14). This mission formalizes that result together with the two steps it is built from: a reduction from the multi-parameter problem to a single-parameter one with "copies" of each buyer (Lemma 3, Theorem 4), and an order-oblivious pricing for the intersection of two partition matroids (Theorem 13).

Setting

Single-parameter problem (BSMD). Finitely many agents iii have independent private values vi∼Fiv_i \sim F_ivi​∼Fi​, each with a density on a bounded interval. A seller may serve any set in a downward-closed set system J\mathcal JJ. A deterministic mechanism MMM maps reported values vvv to a served set M(v)∈JM(v) \in \mathcal JM(v)∈J and payments πi(v)\pi_i(v)πi​(v); it is truthful if reporting the true value is a dominant strategy and no agent ends with negative utility. Its expected revenue is RM=Ev[∑iπi(v)]\mathcal R^M = \mathbb E_v[\sum_i \pi_i(v)]RM=Ev​[∑i​πi​(v)]. For prices ppp, agent iii desires service if pi≤vip_i \le v_ipi​≤vi​, and Sv\mathcal S_vSv​ is the class of maximal feasible sets of desiring agents. The order-oblivious revenue is

Rpobl=Ev[min⁡S∈Sv∑i∈Spi],\mathcal R^{\mathrm{obl}}_{\mathbf p} = \mathbb E_{v}\Big[\min_{S \in \mathcal S_v} \sum_{i \in S} p_i\Big],Rpobl​=Ev​[S∈Sv​min​i∈S∑​pi​],

a lower bound on the revenue of posting the prices ppp to the agents in an adversarial order.

Multi-parameter unit-demand problem (BMUMD). There are mmm buyers and a finite set JJJ of services, partitioned into the groups JiJ_iJi​ of services targeted at buyer iii. Buyer iii has value vjv_jvj​ for each j∈Jij \in J_ij∈Ji​, all values independent with vj∼Fjv_j \sim F_jvj​∼Fj​, and the set system J⊆2J\mathcal J \subseteq 2^JJ⊆2J is unit-demand: ∣S∩Ji∣≤1|S \cap J_i| \le 1∣S∩Ji​∣≤1 for feasible SSS. A mechanism A\mathcal AA is truthful if no buyer gains by misreporting its whole vector (vj)j∈Ji(v_j)_{j \in J_i}(vj​)j∈Ji​​, and individually rational if a buyer receiving jjj pays at most vjv_jvj​ and a buyer receiving nothing pays 000.

Copies. The instance Icopies\mathcal I^{\mathrm{copies}}Icopies replaces each buyer iii by ∣Ji∣|J_i|∣Ji​∣ single-parameter agents, one per service j∈Jij \in J_ij∈Ji​ with value vjv_jvj​, under the same J\mathcal JJ.

Price menus. Given prices (pj)(p_j)(pj​) and an arrival order σ\sigmaσ, the price-menu mechanism approaches the buyers in order; buyer iii is offered the services of JiJ_iJi​ that can still be feasibly allocated, at prices pjp_jpj​, and buys a utility-maximizing one if some has pj≤vjp_j \le v_jpj​≤vj​.

Multiple copies of items. With items KKK and cap(k)\mathrm{cap}(k)cap(k) copies of item kkk, services are pairs (i,k)(i,k)(i,k) and a set of services is feasible if it gives each buyer at most one item and uses at most cap(k)\mathrm{cap}(k)cap(k) copies of kkk: the intersection of two partition matroids.

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem 14

For regular distributions there are prices ppp such that, for every arrival order σ\sigmaσ, the price-menu mechanism Pσ\mathcal P_\sigmaPσ​ is truthful and

RA≤274 RPσ\mathcal R^{\mathcal A} \le \tfrac{27}{4}\,\mathcal R^{\mathcal P_\sigma}RA≤427​RPσ​

for every individually rational, truthful deterministic mechanism A\mathcal AA.

Milestones

  • Truthful BMUMD mechanisms are weakly monotone (p. 13), and the allocation of Acopies\mathcal A^{\mathrm{copies}}Acopies is monotone in each vjv_jvj​ (p. 13).
  • Lemma 3: RA≤RA′\mathcal R^{\mathcal A} \le \mathcal R^{\mathcal A'}RA≤RA′ for some truthful A′\mathcal A'A′ on Icopies\mathcal I^{\mathrm{copies}}Icopies.
  • The price-menu mechanism allocates a maximal feasible set of services (p. 14).
  • Theorem 4: if RM′≤α Rpobl\mathcal R^{M'} \le \alpha\,\mathcal R^{\mathrm{obl}}_{\mathbf p}RM′≤αRpobl​ for every truthful M′M'M′ on Icopies\mathcal I^{\mathrm{copies}}Icopies, then RA≤α RPσ\mathcal R^{\mathcal A} \le \alpha\,\mathcal R^{\mathcal P_\sigma}RA≤αRPσ​ for every σ\sigmaσ and every truthful IR A\mathcal AA.
  • Lemma 2 (regular part): RM≤∑ipiMqiM\mathcal R^M \le \sum_i p^M_i q^M_iRM≤∑i​piM​qiM​, with qiMq^M_iqiM​ the probability that MMM serves iii and Fi(piM)=1−qiMF_i(p^M_i) = 1 - q^M_iFi​(piM​)=1−qiM​.
  • Theorem 19 (existence form): a revenue-optimal truthful mechanism exists.
  • The claim ci≥4/9c_i \ge 4/9ci​≥4/9 of App. D.4: under ∑i′∈Pqi′≤cap(P)/3\sum_{i' \in P} q_{i'} \le \mathrm{cap}(P)/3∑i′∈P​qi′​≤cap(P)/3 in every part, with probability at least 4/94/94/9 neither part of iii is full without iii.
  • Theorem 13: for two partition matroids there are prices with RM≤274 Rpobl\mathcal R^M \le \tfrac{27}{4}\,\mathcal R^{\mathrm{obl}}_{\mathbf p}RM≤427​Rpobl​ for every truthful MMM.

Significance

The result shows that for unit-demand buyers, a seller loses at most a constant factor by replacing the optimal, possibly opaque, truthful mechanism with a menu of prices that does not depend on the order in which buyers arrive. The reduction of Theorem 4 is generic: any order-oblivious pricing for the single-parameter instance with copies, under any unit-demand constraint, transfers to the multi-parameter instance with the same factor. Theorem 13 supplies one such pricing for the intersection of two partition matroids, which is exactly the shape of the multi-unit, multi-item constraint.

All results here are proved in the paper and none is formalized elsewhere; the platform has Myerson's single-unit optimal auction and weak monotonicity in an abstract quasilinear model (Börgers), but no posted-price approximation, no copies reduction, and no order-oblivious revenue. The formal development adds a machine-checked account of the reduction (in particular that the price-menu mechanism is truthful and allocates a maximal feasible set for every order), a precise version of the probabilistic claim behind the constant 6.756.756.75, and reusable definitions of order-oblivious revenue and of multi-parameter truthfulness with the paper's individual rationality.

Difficulty

Lemma 3 needs more than the observation that the copies instance has more competition: one must build a truthful single-parameter mechanism with at least the same revenue. The allocation is copied, but the payments must be threshold payments of the copies mechanism, and showing they dominate the original payments uses both weak monotonicity and the paper's individual rationality, through the taxation principle.

Theorem 13 compares order-oblivious revenue with Myerson's revenue through the bound of Lemma 2, at prices built from Myerson's service probabilities scaled by 1/31/31/3. The step that is easy to get wrong is the probability that an agent is considered: the events "part P1P_1P1​ is not full" and "part P2P_2P2​ is not full" depend on overlapping agents, so the product bound (2/3)(2/3)(2/3)(2/3)(2/3)(2/3) does not follow from Markov's inequality alone; it holds because both events are decreasing in the set of desiring agents (Harris' inequality). The comparison must also be uniform: one set of prices must serve against every truthful mechanism, which requires an optimal mechanism to exist.

Formalization scope

  • Distributions (P1): each FjF_jFj​ has a measurable density, strictly positive on a bounded interval [v‾j,v‾j]⊆[0,∞)[\underline v_j, \overline v_j] \subseteq [0, \infty)[v​j​,vj​]⊆[0,∞), with no mass outside. Values are independent (product prior).
  • Regularity (P2): the virtual value ϕ(v)=v−(1−F(v))/f(v)\phi(v) = v - (1 - F(v))/f(v)ϕ(v)=v−(1−F(v))/f(v) is non-decreasing on the support. It is assumed in Lemma 2, Theorem 19, Theorem 13 and the goal. Theorem 14 does not state it, but its proof goes through Theorem 13, which the paper proves for regular distributions; the non-regular extension (App. E, randomized prices) is out of scope, as is the second paragraph of Lemma 2.
  • Mechanisms (P3): deterministic; dominant-strategy truthful with misreports in the support (a buyer misreports all coordinates of JiJ_iJi​ at once); single-parameter IR is ex-post nonnegative utility; multi-parameter IR is the paper's (πi≤vj\pi_i \le v_jπi​≤vj​ if served jjj, πi=0\pi_i = 0πi​=0 if unserved); allocation events and payments measurable, payments integrable.
  • Benchmarks (P4): Myerson's mechanism is not constructed. "Approximates RM\mathcal R^{\mathcal M}RM" is stated against every truthful mechanism, and Lemma 3 and Theorem 19 in existence form.
  • Price menus: ties between utility-maximizing services are broken by a fixed enumeration of JJJ; a service of utility 000 is bought. Theorem 4 assumes α≥0\alpha \ge 0α≥0.
  • Dropped: the last sentence of Theorem 14 (polynomial-time computability of the prices) has no cost model here.
  • Constant: 6.756.756.75 is written 27/427/427/4 everywhere.
  • Not trivializable: the prices in Theorem 13 and the goal are chosen before the mechanism, and the benchmark includes every truthful mechanism, so a degenerate price vector cannot meet the bound; Rpobl\mathcal R^{\mathrm{obl}}_{\mathbf p}Rpobl​ is a genuine minimum over a nonempty finite class.

Needed infrastructure, reusable beyond this mission: Myerson's characterization of truthful single-parameter mechanisms and the revenue–virtual-surplus identity for densities on intervals, Harris' inequality for product measures, and the taxation principle for deterministic multi-parameter mechanisms. Contributions on any of these are welcome.

Selected references

  • S. Chawla, J. D. Hartline, D. Malec, B. Sivan, Multi-parameter Mechanism Design and Sequential Posted Pricing, STOC 2010; arXiv:0907.2435v2, 2010. https://arxiv.org/abs/0907.2435
  • R. Myerson, Optimal Auction Design, Mathematics of Operations Research 6(1), 1981. https://doi.org/10.1287/moor.6.1.58
  • S. Chawla, J. D. Hartline, R. Kleinberg, Algorithmic Pricing via Virtual Valuations, EC 2007. https://arxiv.org/abs/0711.3203
  • A. M. Manelli, D. R. Vincent, Multidimensional mechanism design: Revenue maximization and the multiple-good monopoly, Journal of Economic Theory 137(1), 2007. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jet.2006.12.007
  • T. E. Harris, A lower bound for the critical probability in a certain percolation process, Proc. Cambridge Philos. Soc. 56, 1960. https://doi.org/10.1017/S0305004100034241
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Correlated Equilibrium as an Expression of Bayesian Rationality II: Two-Person Correlated Equilibrium Distributions Are the Solutions of Linear InequalitiesResearch Paper

Motivation

A correlated equilibrium is the equilibrium notion that arises when the players of a game take their actions on the advice of a common randomizing device, each player seeing only his own recommendation. It was introduced by Aumann in 1974 (Aumann 1974). Aumann's 1987 paper (Aumann 1987) gives the simple, finite form of the definition used today (Definition 2.1) and shows that the notion is what Bayesian rationality with a common prior predicts. On the way it records, as Proposition 2.3, the fact that makes correlated equilibrium tractable in practice: for a finite two-person game, the distributions over action pairs that come from correlated equilibria are exactly the solutions of an explicit finite system of linear inequalities.

That characterization is the starting point of the computational theory of correlated equilibria. Because the set is a polyhedron, an optimal correlated equilibrium can be found by linear programming, and no-swap-regret learning dynamics converge to this set (Foster and Vohra 1997; Hart and Mas-Colell 2000). In each of these works the linear-inequality description is taken as the definition; the paper's Proposition 2.3 is the bridge back to the strategic definition.

Setting

Player 1 has a finite set S1S^1S1 of actions and player 2 a finite set S2S^2S2. For j∈S1j \in S^1j∈S1 and k∈S2k \in S^2k∈S2, hjk1h^1_{jk}hjk1​ and hjk2h^2_{jk}hjk2​ are the two players' payoffs at the action pair (j,k)(j,k)(j,k).

A correlated strategy pair is a pair of functions f1:Γ→S1f^1 : \Gamma \to S^1f1:Γ→S1, f2:Γ→S2f^2 : \Gamma \to S^2f2:Γ→S2 on a finite probability space (Γ,μ)(\Gamma, \mu)(Γ,μ): a finite set Γ\GammaΓ with nonnegative weights μ(γ)\mu(\gamma)μ(γ) summing to 111. Chance draws γ\gammaγ and suggests the action fi(γ)f^i(\gamma)fi(γ) to player iii. The pair is a correlated equilibrium (Definition 2.1, condition (2.2)) if no player gains by a deviation that depends only on his own suggestion: for every φ:S1→S1\varphi : S^1 \to S^1φ:S1→S1,

E h1(φ(f1),f2)≤E h1(f1,f2),\mathbb E\, h^1(\varphi(f^1), f^2) \le \mathbb E\, h^1(f^1, f^2),Eh1(φ(f1),f2)≤Eh1(f1,f2),

and the analogous inequality holds for player 2 and every ψ:S2→S2\psi : S^2 \to S^2ψ:S2→S2.

A distribution is a family (pjk)j∈S1,k∈S2(p_{jk})_{j \in S^1, k \in S^2}(pjk​)j∈S1,k∈S2​ with pjk≥0p_{jk} \ge 0pjk​≥0 and ∑j∑kpjk=1\sum_j \sum_k p_{jk} = 1∑j​∑k​pjk​=1. The distribution of a correlated strategy pair assigns to (j,k)(j,k)(j,k) the probability μ{f1=j, f2=k}\mu\{f^1 = j,\ f^2 = k\}μ{f1=j, f2=k}. A correlated equilibrium distribution (c.e.d.) is the distribution of some correlated equilibrium on some finite probability space.

In the Lean development these are IsDistribution p, IsProbVec μ, IsCE h₁ h₂ μ f₁ f₂, distr μ f₁ f₂ and IsCED h₁ h₂ p, with h₁ j k =hjk1= h^1_{jk}=hjk1​ and p j k =pjk= p_{jk}=pjk​.

Formalization targets

Goal: Proposition 2.3

For every distribution (pjk)(p_{jk})(pjk​): (pjk)(p_{jk})(pjk​) is a correlated equilibrium distribution if and only if

∑k(hjk1−hqk1) pjk≥0for all j,q∈S1,(2.4)\sum_k \big(h^1_{jk} - h^1_{qk}\big)\, p_{jk} \ge 0 \quad \text{for all } j, q \in S^1, \tag{2.4}k∑​(hjk1​−hqk1​)pjk​≥0for all j,q∈S1,(2.4) ∑j(hjk2−hjr2) pjk≥0for all k,r∈S2.(2.5)\sum_j \big(h^2_{jk} - h^2_{jr}\big)\, p_{jk} \ge 0 \quad \text{for all } k, r \in S^2. \tag{2.5}j∑​(hjk2​−hjr2​)pjk​≥0for all k,r∈S2.(2.5)

Milestones

  1. Identification with distributions (Sect. 2, p. 4). A correlated strategy pair is a correlated equilibrium if and only if its distribution ppp satisfies ∑j∑kpjkhφ(j)k1≤∑j∑kpjkhjk1\sum_j\sum_k p_{jk} h^1_{\varphi(j)k} \le \sum_j\sum_k p_{jk} h^1_{jk}∑j​∑k​pjk​hφ(j)k1​≤∑j​∑k​pjk​hjk1​ for all φ\varphiφ, and the analogous condition for player 2.
  2. Conditioning on possible suggestions (proof of Prop. 2.3, p. 6). For a distribution, player 1's condition holds if and only if H1(q∣j)≤H1(j∣j)H^1(q \mid j) \le H^1(j \mid j)H1(q∣j)≤H1(j∣j) for every suggestion jjj of positive probability and every qqq, where H1(q∣j)=∑khqk1pjk/∑kpjkH^1(q\mid j) = \sum_k h^1_{qk} p_{jk} / \sum_k p_{jk}H1(q∣j)=∑k​hqk1​pjk​/∑k​pjk​; likewise for player 2.
  3. Player 1 gives (2.4): player 1's condition on ppp is equivalent to (2.4).
  4. Player 2 gives (2.5): player 2's condition on ppp is equivalent to (2.5).

A further statement, not a milestone, records the paper's example on p. 5: in the game of chicken (Figure 4) the distribution of Figure 5 is a c.e.d. with expected payoff (5,5)(5,5)(5,5).

Significance

The result. Proposition 2.3 turns an existential statement — there is some probability space and some correlated strategy pair that is an equilibrium and has distribution ppp — into finitely many linear inequalities on ppp alone. Consequently the set of c.e.d.'s is a compact convex polyhedron, membership is decidable by evaluating ∣S1∣2+∣S2∣2|S^1|^2 + |S^2|^2∣S1∣2+∣S2∣2 linear forms, and optimizing a linear objective over it is a linear program. The paper states the two-person case and remarks that "the principle, however, is no different in the general case".

Formalizing it. The proposition is classical and its proof is short; to our knowledge it has no machine-checked proof. The platform already has the linear-inequality (swap) form of correlated equilibrium for two-player games on Fin m × Fin n (Foster–Vohra 1997 missions) and Aumann's 1974 randomizing-structure model, but no statement that connects the strategic definition over arbitrary finite probability spaces with the linear system. This mission supplies that connection, so that results proved about the polyhedron apply to equilibria in Aumann's sense and conversely.

Difficulty

The mathematics is elementary; the care is in the statement. Two points need attention. First, the direction from the inequalities to a c.e.d. requires constructing a probability space and a correlated strategy pair whose distribution is the given ppp; the c.e.d. notion quantifies over probability spaces, not over distributions. Second, the paper's argument divides by the probability ∑kpjk\sum_k p_{jk}∑k​pjk​ of a suggestion, which may be zero; the conditional formulation (milestone 2) holds only over possible suggestions, while (2.4) and (2.5) quantify over all actions and hold trivially at impossible ones. Deviations must be functions of the player's own suggestion: restricting to constant deviations gives coarse correlated equilibrium, which (2.4)–(2.5) do not characterize, and allowing arbitrary functions of γ\gammaγ gives a stronger notion.

Formalization scope

Two players with finite action types S₁ S₂ : Type* (Fintype, DecidableEq); payoffs h₁ h₂ : S₁ → S₂ → ℝ; distributions p : S₁ → S₂ → ℝ with the sign and sum conditions as an explicit hypothesis of every statement about distributions. Finite probability spaces are finite types Γ : Type with a probability vector μ : Γ → ℝ; deviations are compositions φ ∘ f₁ with φ : S₁ → S₁. The conditional payoffs H1H^1H1, H2H^2H2 use Lean's x / 0 = 0 and are only ever used at possible suggestions. Empty action sets admit no distribution, so the statements are then vacuous, exactly as in the paper.

A trivializing formalization is ruled out: "c.e.d." is the existential notion over finite probability spaces with a genuine probability vector and an equilibrium in the sense of Definition 2.1, not the inequalities themselves or the swap form on ppp.

No infrastructure beyond finite sums and Finset.filter is needed. Contributions welcome: proofs of the milestones, and the nnn-player generalization the paper alludes to.

Selected references

  • R. J. Aumann, Correlated Equilibrium as an Expression of Bayesian Rationality, Econometrica 55 (1987), 1–18. https://doi.org/10.2307/1911154
  • R. J. Aumann, Subjectivity and Correlation in Randomized Strategies, Journal of Mathematical Economics 1 (1974), 67–96. https://doi.org/10.1016/0304-4068(74)90037-8
  • D. P. Foster and R. V. Vohra, Calibrated Learning and Correlated Equilibrium, Games and Economic Behavior 21 (1997), 40–55. https://doi.org/10.1006/game.1997.0595
  • S. Hart and A. Mas-Colell, A Simple Adaptive Procedure Leading to Correlated Equilibrium, Econometrica 68 (2000), 1127–1150. https://doi.org/10.1111/1468-0262.00153
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Convex OptimizationMachine LearningOptimization·Captain: mikedeng1

Blackwell Approachability and No-Regret Learning are Equivalent 1: Any Approachability Algorithm Yields Online Linear Optimization with Regret/T at Most 2κ Times Its Approachability RateResearch Paper

Motivation

Online decision makers often have to choose an action before seeing the cost assigned to it. A no-regret algorithm performs almost as well, in total, as the best single action that could have been chosen after the costs were known. In a related repeated-game problem, Blackwell approachability asks a player to keep the average of vector payoffs close to a desired set despite an adversary's choices. These two performance criteria look different: one compares scalar costs to a fixed benchmark, while the other measures a geometric distance. Abernethy, Bartlett, and Hazan establish algorithmic reductions between them, with explicit finite-horizon bounds in their COLT 2011 paper. This mission isolates the direction that turns an approachability algorithm into an online linear optimization algorithm.

The bound matters even when the input algorithm has no known rate. It relates the regret of the resulting online algorithm to the actual distance attained on the corresponding sequence. Any subsequent guarantee on that distance then yields a regret guarantee through the same reduction. The paper also gives the reverse reduction and an application to calibrated forecasting; those are separate missions in this series.

Setting

Fix a dimension ddd and a nonempty compact convex decision set K⊆RdK\subseteq\mathbb R^dK⊆Rd. On round ttt, an algorithm selects xt∈Kx_t\in Kxt​∈K using only the preceding cost vectors f1,…,ft−1f_1,\ldots,f_{t-1}f1​,…,ft−1​. The adversary then reveals ftf_tft​ in the Euclidean unit ball B2(1)B_2(1)B2​(1). The incurred linear cost is ⟨ft,xt⟩\langle f_t,x_t\rangle⟨ft​,xt​⟩. For a horizon TTT, regret compares these costs with the cost of the best single point of KKK evaluated on all TTT rounds:

Regret⁡T=∑t=1T⟨ft,xt⟩−min⁡x∈K∑t=1T⟨ft,x⟩.\operatorname{Regret}_T = \sum_{t=1}^T\langle f_t,x_t\rangle - \min_{x\in K}\sum_{t=1}^T\langle f_t,x\rangle.RegretT​=t=1∑T​⟨ft​,xt​⟩−x∈Kmin​t=1∑T​⟨ft​,x⟩.

The minimum exists because KKK is nonempty and compact. No probabilistic model for the cost sequence is assumed. The round index begins at one, and xtx_txt​ cannot depend on ftf_tft​.

The reduction uses κ=max⁡x∈K∥x∥\kappa=\max_{x\in K}\|x\|κ=maxx∈K​∥x∥, the maximum norm of a decision. Write a⊕xa\oplus xa⊕x for Euclidean concatenation of a scalar and a vector, an element of Rd+1\mathbb R^{d+1}Rd+1. The generated cone of a set MMM consists of its nonnegative scalar multiples, cone⁡(M)={αm:α≥0, m∈M}\operatorname{cone}(M)=\{\alpha m:\alpha\ge0,\ m\in M\}cone(M)={αm:α≥0, m∈M}. For a set CCC, its polar cone is C0={θ:⟨θ,z⟩≤0 for every z∈C}C^0=\{\theta:\langle\theta,z\rangle\le0\text{ for every }z\in C\}C0={θ:⟨θ,z⟩≤0 for every z∈C}. This negative-sign convention is fixed throughout the mission.

Algorithm 1 of the paper constructs a vector-payoff game. Its player actions are KKK, its adversary actions are B2(1)B_2(1)B2​(1), its payoff and target are

u(x,f)=(⟨f,x⟩/κ)⊕(−f),S=cone⁡({κ}×K)0.u(x,f)=\bigl(\langle f,x\rangle/\kappa\bigr)\oplus(-f), \qquad S=\operatorname{cone}(\{\kappa\}\times K)^0.u(x,f)=(⟨f,x⟩/κ)⊕(−f),S=cone({κ}×K)0.

A Blackwell approachability algorithm for this game chooses each xtx_txt​ from the preceding adversary moves. Its finite-horizon approachability rate on a given sequence is DT(A)=dist⁡(T−1∑t=1Tu(xt,ft),S)D_T(A)=\operatorname{dist}(T^{-1}\sum_{t=1}^T u(x_t,f_t),S)DT​(A)=dist(T−1∑t=1T​u(xt​,ft​),S), where distance means the Euclidean distance from a point to a set. The online algorithm created by Algorithm 1 uses precisely the same choices xtx_txt​.

Formalization targets

The goal is Theorem 16 of the paper. For every admissible history-based algorithm, every sequence of unit-ball costs, and every T≥1T\ge1T≥1, it asserts

Regret⁡TT≤2κDT(A).\frac{\operatorname{Regret}_T}{T}\le 2\kappa D_T(A).TRegretT​​≤2κDT​(A).

This is a statement about the rate actually obtained on the chosen cost sequence. It assumes no upper bound on DT(A)D_T(A)DT​(A) and does not require an oracle call in the statement. Thus it also covers algorithms whose behavior is specified directly rather than through an implementation of the oracle.

The milestone targets are the distance formula of Lemma 13, the conic distance identity in display (8) of Theorem 16's proof, and the existence of a valid halfspace oracle in Lemma 15. Lemma 13 says distance to a nonempty convex cone equals the attained maximum of a linear functional over the polar cone's unit ball. Display (8) specializes this geometry to Algorithm 1's lifted target. Lemma 15 says that every halfspace containing that target admits a player action whose payoff remains in the halfspace against every permitted adversary move. Together these statements specify the geometry and the oracle needed by the reduction.

Significance

Theorem 16 gives a numerical transfer rule: a bound on approachability distance for Algorithm 1's game immediately bounds average regret for the same sequence. Its factor depends only on the size κ\kappaκ of the decision set. This permits comparison of algorithms in a common finite-horizon language, without replacing the online cost sequence by a distribution or an asymptotic limit. The source paper uses this direction as one half of its equivalence between approachability and no-regret learning Abernethy, Bartlett, and Hazan, 2011.

The mathematical results are established in that paper; the goal here is a machine-checked Lean development of their statements and eventually their proofs. The mission also supplies reusable definitions of generated and polar cones, a Euclidean lift, a finite-history online algorithm, and regret over a compact decision set. Lemma 13 is useful outside this reduction whenever distance to a cone is compared with linear functionals on its polar. The proposed theorem items currently carry open proofs, while their statements and definition files are checked for elaboration in the pinned Lean environment.

Difficulty

The main obstacle is the change of viewpoint from a scalar regret comparison to distance from a set of lifted vector payoffs. A direct comparison of individual round costs does not describe that distance. The target is a polar cone in one additional Euclidean dimension, so a faithful account must keep the lift's geometry, the cone's sign convention, and the normalization by κ\kappaκ aligned. The distance formula also asserts that its maximum is attained. An encoding that merely writes an infimum or supremum with default values can silently make an edge case look valid without representing the paper's claim.

The oracle milestone has a separate quantifier demand. One selected action must work against every adversary move for each halfspace containing the target. It cannot be replaced by a possibly different action for each move, or by a claim only about tangent halfspaces. The theorem includes halfspaces with arbitrary offsets and zero normals because the source oracle accepts any containing halfspace.

Formalization scope

Vectors live in EuclideanSpace ℝ (Fin d), and a⊕xa\oplus xa⊕x lives in EuclideanSpace ℝ (Fin (d+1)) with the Euclidean norm. The generated cone uses exactly one nonnegative multiple of a point of the generating set, as in Definition 11. The polar uses ⟨θ,z⟩≤0\langle\theta,z\rangle\le0⟨θ,z⟩≤0, the opposite sign from a positive dual-cone convention. Distances are Euclidean point-to-set distances. All arithmetic is over exact real numbers, and the regret minimum ranges over the image of the nonempty compact set KKK.

The statements require κ>0\kappa>0κ>0 because the source payoff divides by κ\kappaκ. This excludes the degenerate case K={0}K=\{0\}K={0}, in which the source instance is undefined. They require T≥1T\ge1T≥1 wherever an average is formed. Admissible histories consist of unit-ball adversary moves, and each round's decision belongs to KKK. The dimension may be zero syntactically, but the positive-κ\kappaκ hypothesis excludes that case in results using Algorithm 1. These conditions keep the bound from being satisfied through Lean's default values for division by zero, distance to an empty set, or infima over empty sets.

The paper's display (8) writes cone⁡(κ⊕K)\operatorname{cone}(\kappa\oplus K)cone(κ⊕K) and labels its unit ball with dimension ddd; the formalization uses the cone of {κ}×K\{\kappa\}\times K{κ}×K in Rd+1\mathbb R^{d+1}Rd+1, matching Algorithm 1. Lemma 12's printed bipolar claim omits closedness; this mission does not use that uncorrected sentence as a milestone. The oracle statement covers all containing halfspaces. Contributions are welcome for the distance identity, the oracle existence result, and the final regret inequality, as well as geometric lemmas supporting those proofs.

Selected references

  • Jacob Abernethy, Peter L. Bartlett, and Elad Hazan, Blackwell Approachability and No-Regret Learning are Equivalent, Proceedings of the 24th Annual Conference on Learning Theory, JMLR Workshop and Conference Proceedings 19, 2011, pp. 27–46. Published paper.
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Linear OptimizationOperations ResearchOptimization·Captain: mikedeng1

Understanding and Using Linear Programming VI: The Minimax Theorem for Zero-Sum GamesTextbook

Why zero-sum games belong in a linear programming course

A two-player zero-sum game models any situation in which one party's gain is exactly the other party's loss: a military allocation in the spirit of Colonel Blotto, a sealed-bid contest, rock–paper–scissors. The central question is what each player should do when the opponent is also reasoning about them. John von Neumann answered it in 1928 with the minimax theorem (von Neumann 1928): each player has a strategy guaranteeing the same number, the value of the game, whatever the opponent does. The theorem underlies modern game theory, robust decision making, and the analysis of online learning algorithms, where regret bounds are routinely derived from it.

Section 8.1 of Matoušek and Gärtner's Understanding and Using Linear Programming (Springer 2007) presents the theorem as an application of linear programming duality. This mission is the sixth of a series formalizing the capstone results of the book.

Setting

Alice has m≥1m \ge 1m≥1 pure strategies and Bob has n≥1n \ge 1n≥1. A real m×nm \times nm×n payoff matrix M=(mij)M = (m_{ij})M=(mij​) records Alice's gain, and Bob's loss, when Alice plays her iiith and Bob his jjjth pure strategy. A mixed strategy of Alice is a probability vector x∈Rm\mathbf x \in \mathbb R^mx∈Rm, ∑ixi=1\sum_i x_i = 1∑i​xi​=1, x≥0\mathbf x \ge \mathbf 0x≥0; a mixed strategy of Bob is a probability vector y∈Rn\mathbf y \in \mathbb R^ny∈Rn. When the players randomize independently, Alice's expected payoff is

xTMy=∑i,jmijxiyj.\mathbf x^T M \mathbf y = \sum_{i,j} m_{ij} x_i y_j .xTMy=i,j∑​mij​xi​yj​.

The worst-case payoffs are

β(x)=min⁡yxTMy,α(y)=max⁡xxTMy,\beta(\mathbf x) = \min_{\mathbf y} \mathbf x^T M \mathbf y, \qquad \alpha(\mathbf y) = \max_{\mathbf x} \mathbf x^T M \mathbf y,β(x)=ymin​xTMy,α(y)=xmax​xTMy,

over mixed strategies. A mixed strategy of Bob is a best response against x\mathbf xx if it minimizes xTMy\mathbf x^T M\mathbf yxTMy; a mixed strategy of Alice is a best response against y\mathbf yy if it maximizes it. A pair (x~,y~)(\tilde{\mathbf x}, \tilde{\mathbf y})(x~,y~​) is a mixed Nash equilibrium (Definition 8.1.1) if each is a best response against the other. Alice's x~\tilde{\mathbf x}x~ is worst-case optimal if β(x~)=max⁡xβ(x)\beta(\tilde{\mathbf x}) = \max_{\mathbf x} \beta(\mathbf x)β(x~)=maxx​β(x); Bob's y~\tilde{\mathbf y}y~​ is worst-case optimal if α(y~)=min⁡yα(y)\alpha(\tilde{\mathbf y}) = \min_{\mathbf y}\alpha(\mathbf y)α(y~​)=miny​α(y).

The proof in the book passes through three linear programs: the dual of (8.1), which for a fixed x\mathbf xx maximizes x0x_0x0​ subject to MTx−1x0≥0M^T \mathbf x - \mathbf 1 x_0 \ge \mathbf 0MTx−1x0​≥0; program (8.2), the same with x\mathbf xx as variables subject to ∑ixi=1\sum_i x_i = 1∑i​xi​=1, x≥0\mathbf x \ge \mathbf 0x≥0; and program (8.4), which minimizes y0y_0y0​ subject to My−1y0≤0M \mathbf y - \mathbf 1 y_0 \le \mathbf 0My−1y0​≤0, ∑jyj=1\sum_j y_j = 1∑j​yj​=1, y≥0\mathbf y \ge \mathbf 0y≥0.

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem 8.1.3 (minimax theorem for zero-sum games)

For every m×nm \times nm×n payoff matrix with m,n≥1m, n \ge 1m,n≥1: worst-case optimal mixed strategies exist for both players; for any worst-case optimal x~\tilde{\mathbf x}x~ of Alice and y~\tilde{\mathbf y}y~​ of Bob, the pair (x~,y~)(\tilde{\mathbf x}, \tilde{\mathbf y})(x~,y~​) is a mixed Nash equilibrium; and there is a single number vvv, the value of the game, with

β(x~)=x~TMy~=α(y~)=v\beta(\tilde{\mathbf x}) = \tilde{\mathbf x}^T M \tilde{\mathbf y} = \alpha(\tilde{\mathbf y}) = vβ(x~)=x~TMy~​=α(y~​)=v

for every such pair. The third clause is what distinguishes the theorem from the existence of some saddle point.

Milestones

  1. β\betaβ and α\alphaα are attained minima and maxima (p. 135).
  2. Lemma 8.1.2(i): β(x)≤xTMy≤α(y)\beta(\mathbf x) \le \mathbf x^T M \mathbf y \le \alpha(\mathbf y)β(x)≤xTMy≤α(y) for all mixed x,y\mathbf x, \mathbf yx,y, hence max⁡xβ≤min⁡yα\max_{\mathbf x}\beta \le \min_{\mathbf y}\alphamaxx​β≤miny​α.
  3. Lemma 8.1.2(ii): both strategies of a mixed Nash equilibrium are worst-case optimal.
  4. Lemma 8.1.2(iii): β(x~)=α(y~)\beta(\tilde{\mathbf x}) = \alpha(\tilde{\mathbf y})β(x~)=α(y~​) implies that (x~,y~)(\tilde{\mathbf x}, \tilde{\mathbf y})(x~,y~​) is a mixed Nash equilibrium.
  5. The dual of (8.1) has optimal value β(x)\beta(\mathbf x)β(x) (p. 137).
  6. Eq. (8.3): an optimal solution (x~0,x~)(\tilde x_0, \tilde{\mathbf x})(x~0​,x~) of (8.2) satisfies x~0=β(x~)=max⁡xβ(x)\tilde x_0 = \beta(\tilde{\mathbf x}) = \max_{\mathbf x}\beta(\mathbf x)x~0​=β(x~)=maxx​β(x).
  7. Eq. (8.5): an optimal solution (y~0,y~)(\tilde y_0, \tilde{\mathbf y})(y~​0​,y~​) of (8.4) satisfies y~0=α(y~)=min⁡yα(y)\tilde y_0 = \alpha(\tilde{\mathbf y}) = \min_{\mathbf y}\alpha(\mathbf y)y~​0​=α(y~​)=miny​α(y).
  8. Programs (8.2) and (8.4) both have optimal solutions, and their optimum values coincide (p. 138).
  9. The minimax equality (p. 137):
max⁡xmin⁡yxTMy=min⁡ymax⁡xxTMy.\max_{\mathbf x}\min_{\mathbf y}\mathbf x^T M \mathbf y = \min_{\mathbf y}\max_{\mathbf x}\mathbf x^T M \mathbf y .xmax​ymin​xTMy=ymin​xmax​xTMy.

Significance

The theorem gives a complete prescription for zero-sum play: a worst-case optimal strategy secures at least the value against any opponent, and a worst-case optimal opponent holds the player to at most the value, so both players can announce their strategies in advance without loss. With Lemma 8.1.2(ii) it yields a characterization: a pair of mixed strategies is a Nash equilibrium if and only if both are worst-case optimal. The minimax equality is used downstream in online learning (regret-to-value arguments), in robust optimization, and in Yao's principle for randomized algorithms.

The mathematics is classical and proved; what this mission adds is a machine-checked version in the book's own formulation. The platform already has AGT.zero_sum_minimax (Algorithmic Game Theory I), which proves the existence of a saddle point, and the general FamousTheorems.sion_minimax_theorem. Neither states that every pair of worst-case optimal strategies is an equilibrium with a common value, and neither exhibits the LP route: the dual of (8.1), the programs (8.2) and (8.4), and their duality. The mission records that route statement by statement, so that it can be reused as a worked instance of LP duality.

Difficulty

Lemma 8.1.2 is routine; the entire content is the reverse inequality max⁡xβ(x)≥min⁡yα(y)\max_{\mathbf x}\beta(\mathbf x) \ge \min_{\mathbf y}\alpha(\mathbf y)maxx​β(x)≥miny​α(y). The obvious attack, maximizing β\betaβ directly, fails because β\betaβ is a minimum of linear functions and hence not linear, so its maximization is not a linear program as written. The obstacle is removed only by an appeal to LP duality in the proof, together with the facts that the simplices are nonempty and compact, and that the relevant programs are feasible and bounded so that optima exist. None of this is supplied by the pure-strategy structure of the game: pure Nash equilibria need not exist (rock–paper–scissors has none).

Formalization scope

Pure strategies are indexed by Fin m and Fin n, with the book's standing assumption m,n≥1m, n \ge 1m,n≥1 carried as hypotheses 1 ≤ m, 1 ≤ n by every theorem; the book's indices 1,…,m1,\dots,m1,…,m become 0,…,m−10,\dots,m-10,…,m−1. Mixed strategies are Mathlib's stdSimplex ℝ (Fin m), the payoff is x ⬝ᵥ (M *ᵥ y). β(x)\beta(\mathbf x)β(x) is the real sInf and α(y)\alpha(\mathbf y)α(y) the real sSup of the payoffs over the opponent's simplex; milestone 1 states that these are attained. A mixed Nash equilibrium is defined in the verbal form of Definition 8.1.1 (mutual best responses). Worst-case optimality is defined against all mixed strategies, never as a saddle-point condition, so the goal is not circular with Lemma 8.1.2(iii). LP optimality is stated as "feasible and at least as good as every feasible point", so no supremum over a possibly empty or unbounded feasible set is used.

The book's clause that worst-case optimal strategies "can be efficiently computed by linear programming" is algorithmic and is not part of the formal statement; there is no complexity model. A goal asserting only the existence of worst-case optimal strategies, or only the existence of some equilibrium, would drop the theorem's third clause and is ruled out: the common value vvv is quantified before all pairs of worst-case optimal strategies.

A complete development needs compactness of the standard simplex, continuity of the bilinear payoff, and a strong duality theorem for linear programs in the form of the programs (8.2)/(8.4); the latter is reusable across the whole series. Proofs by other routes (Sion's theorem, a separating hyperplane argument, fixed points) are welcome for the goal; the LP milestones stand on their own as statements about the programs.

Selected references

  • J. Matoušek, B. Gärtner, Understanding and Using Linear Programming, Springer Universitext, 2007, §8.1, pp. 131–142. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-540-30717-4
  • J. von Neumann, "Zur Theorie der Gesellschaftsspiele", Mathematische Annalen 100 (1928), 295–320. https://doi.org/10.1007/BF01448847
  • M. Sion, "On general minimax theorems", Pacific Journal of Mathematics 8 (1958), 171–176. https://doi.org/10.2140/pjm.1958.8.171
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Mechanism DesignOperations ResearchOptimization+1·Captain: mikedeng1

An Introduction to the Theory of Mechanism Design XI: Optimal Sequential Screening by Option ContractsTextbook

Motivation

Many sales are contracted before the buyer knows what the good is worth to her. An airline sells a ticket months before the trip, a hotel sells a refundable or non-refundable room before the traveller's plans are settled, and a supplier signs a capacity contract before demand is realised. At the time of contracting the buyer holds some private information about her future valuation (how likely she is to travel), and after contracting she learns more (whether she actually travels). Sequential screening is the mechanism design problem of a seller facing such a buyer.

The chapter formalized here, Daniel Krähmer and Roland Strausz's Dynamic Mechanism Design (Chapter 11 of Börgers' textbook), develops the problem along two lines. The first is dynamic private information: one sale, two rounds of private information. The second is dynamic allocations: repeated sales, one fixed valuation.

Timeline:

  • Baron and Besanko (1984) show that dynamic allocations with static information produce no real dynamics in the optimal mechanism.
  • Courty and Li (2000, Review of Economic Studies) solve the sequential screening problem and show that the optimal mechanism is a menu of option contracts.
  • Esö and Szentes (2007) decompose the buyer's information into initial and additional information, show that the seller can extract the additional information at no cost, and derive the optimal multi-buyer mechanism, the handicap auction.
  • Krähmer and Strausz (2011, 2014), cited in the chapter's problems (notes 2–3, p.237), show that the conclusions depend on the model's assumptions; with discrete ex ante types the privacy of the additional information can cost the seller (Problem 11.5(c), p.233).

Setting

A seller sells one indivisible good. Before contracting, the buyer privately observes her ex ante type τ∈[τ‾,τˉ]\tau\in[\underline\tau,\bar\tau]τ∈[τ​,τˉ], with distribution function GGG and density g>0g>0g>0. After accepting the mechanism she privately observes her ex post type θ∈[θ‾,θˉ]\theta\in[\underline\theta,\bar\theta]θ∈[θ​,θˉ], 0≤θ‾<θˉ0\le\underline\theta<\bar\theta0≤θ​<θˉ, which is her valuation. Conditionally on τ\tauτ it has distribution function F(θ∣τ)F(\theta\mid\tau)F(θ∣τ) and density f(θ∣τ)>0f(\theta\mid\tau)>0f(θ∣τ)>0. Both FFF and fff are continuously differentiable in τ\tauτ, ∣∂F/∂τ∣<K|\partial F/\partial\tau|<K∣∂F/∂τ∣<K, and higher τ\tauτ is good news in the sense of first-order stochastic dominance: ∂F(θ∣τ)/∂τ<0\partial F(\theta\mid\tau)/\partial\tau<0∂F(θ∣τ)/∂τ<0 for θ∈(θ‾,θˉ)\theta\in(\underline\theta,\bar\theta)θ∈(θ​,θˉ).

A direct mechanism is a pair q(τ,θ)∈[0,1]q(\tau,\theta)\in[0,1]q(τ,θ)∈[0,1], t(τ,θ)∈Rt(\tau,\theta)\in\mathbb Rt(τ,θ)∈R. The buyer first reports τ\tauτ, then θ\thetaθ. Write u(τ,θ)=θq(τ,θ)−t(τ,θ)u(\tau,\theta)=\theta q(\tau,\theta)-t(\tau,\theta)u(τ,θ)=θq(τ,θ)−t(τ,θ), U^(τ′∣τ)=∫u(τ′,θ^)f(θ^∣τ) dθ^\hat U(\tau'\mid\tau)=\int u(\tau',\hat\theta)f(\hat\theta\mid\tau)\,d\hat\thetaU^(τ′∣τ)=∫u(τ′,θ^)f(θ^∣τ)dθ^ and U(τ)=U^(τ∣τ)U(\tau)=\hat U(\tau\mid\tau)U(τ)=U^(τ∣τ). The mechanism is incentive-compatible if truth about θ\thetaθ is optimal after every report of τ\tauτ, and truth about τ\tauτ is optimal against every subsequent reporting function θr\theta_rθr​. It is individually rational if U(τ)≥0U(\tau)\ge0U(τ)≥0 for all τ\tauτ. The seller maximizes expected revenue ∫ ⁣ ⁣∫t f g\int\!\!\int t\,f\,g∫∫tfg. The virtual valuation is

ψ(τ,θ)=θ+1−G(τ)g(τ) ∂F(θ∣τ)/∂τf(θ∣τ),\psi(\tau,\theta)=\theta+\frac{1-G(\tau)}{g(\tau)}\,\frac{\partial F(\theta\mid\tau)/\partial\tau}{f(\theta\mid\tau)} ,ψ(τ,θ)=θ+g(τ)1−G(τ)​f(θ∣τ)∂F(θ∣τ)/∂τ​,

and Assumption 11.1 requires ψ\psiψ to be increasing in τ\tauτ and θ\thetaθ. The exercise price is p(τ)=min⁡{θ^∣ψ(τ,θ^)≥0}p(\tau)=\min\{\hat\theta\mid\psi(\tau,\hat\theta)\ge0\}p(τ)=min{θ^∣ψ(τ,θ^)≥0}.

Formalization targets

Goal: Proposition 11.8 (optimal sequential screening)

Under Assumption 11.1 the optimal mechanism is

q∗(τ,θ)=1[θ≥p(τ)],t∗(τ,θ)=t0(τ)+p(τ) 1[θ≥p(τ)],q^*(\tau,\theta)=\mathbf 1[\theta\ge p(\tau)],\qquad t^*(\tau,\theta)=t_0(\tau)+p(\tau)\,\mathbf 1[\theta\ge p(\tau)],q∗(τ,θ)=1[θ≥p(τ)],t∗(τ,θ)=t0​(τ)+p(τ)1[θ≥p(τ)],

where t0t_0t0​ is the expression of Proposition 11.5 for q∗q^*q∗, and the lowest type pays

t(τ‾,θ‾)=∫p(τ‾)θˉθ^f(θ^∣τ‾) dθ^−p(τ‾)[1−F(p(τ‾)∣τ‾)]+θ‾q∗(τ‾,θ‾).t(\underline\tau,\underline\theta)=\int_{p(\underline\tau)}^{\bar\theta}\hat\theta f(\hat\theta\mid\underline\tau)\,d\hat\theta-p(\underline\tau)\bigl[1-F(p(\underline\tau)\mid\underline\tau)\bigr]+\underline\theta q^*(\underline\tau,\underline\theta).t(τ​,θ​)=∫p(τ​)θˉ​θ^f(θ^∣τ​)dθ^−p(τ​)[1−F(p(τ​)∣τ​)]+θ​q∗(τ​,θ​).

The goal asserts that this mechanism is incentive-compatible, individually rational and optimal. It also characterizes all optimal mechanisms: an incentive-compatible, individually rational mechanism is optimal if and only if q=q∗q=q^*q=q∗ almost everywhere off {ψ=0}\{\psi=0\}{ψ=0} and U(τ‾)=0U(\underline\tau)=0U(τ​)=0. When {ψ=0}\{\psi=0\}{ψ=0} is null, this becomes q=q∗q=q^*q=q∗ and t=t∗t=t^*t=t∗ almost everywhere.

Milestones

The path to the goal, in the book's order:

  • the dynamic revelation principle (Proposition 11.1);
  • the reduction of incentive compatibility to two families of inequalities (Proposition 11.2);
  • the ex post characterization (Proposition 11.3);
  • monotonicity and absolute continuity of UUU (Lemma 11.1);
  • the envelope formula U′(τ)=−∫q(τ,θ^) ∂F(θ^∣τ)/∂τ dθ^U'(\tau)=-\int q(\tau,\hat\theta)\,\partial F(\hat\theta\mid\tau)/\partial\tau\,d\hat\thetaU′(τ)=−∫q(τ,θ^)∂F(θ^∣τ)/∂τdθ^ (Proposition 11.4);
  • the transfer formula (Proposition 11.5);
  • sufficiency of monotone allocation rules (Proposition 11.6);
  • individual rationality at τ‾\underline\tauτ​ (Proposition 11.7).

Three extensions follow. Propositions 11.9 and 11.10 show that the privacy of the additional information γ=F(θ∣τ)\gamma=F(\theta\mid\tau)γ=F(θ∣τ) costs the seller nothing. Proposition 11.11 gives the optimal mechanism with several buyers. Proposition 11.12 shows that with dynamic allocations and a fixed valuation, repeating the static posted price is optimal.

Significance

The result gives a practical rule: sell an option. Ex ante type τ\tauτ pays a fee t0(τ)t_0(\tau)t0​(τ) for the right to buy later at the exercise price p(τ)p(\tau)p(τ), and ppp decreases in τ\tauτ. This explains refund and cancellation menus in advance-purchase markets. Proposition 11.10 adds that information the buyer receives after contracting generates no rents under Assumption 11.1. A seller therefore gains from contracting early and from disclosing information after contracting. Proposition 11.12 shows that, under full commitment, a monopolist gains nothing from responding to past purchases.

On the formal side, the results are proved in the literature and in the book, but none of them is machine-checked. The mission produces a verified envelope theorem in a two-dimensional type space where incentive compatibility does not imply monotonicity. It also produces a verified revenue-equivalence formula for sequential mechanisms, and the first verified optimal-mechanism results with dynamic information.

Difficulty

The static argument of Chapter 2 does not carry over directly. Incentive compatibility with respect to τ\tauτ does not make qqq increasing in τ\tauτ. The buyer's first-period utility is an expectation over a whole schedule q(τ′,⋅)q(\tau',\cdot)q(τ′,⋅), so single crossing has no bite. The characterization therefore splits into necessary conditions (the envelope formula in τ\tauτ, which needs Lipschitz continuity of UUU from the bound KKK) and a sufficient condition (monotonicity in both arguments, via first-order stochastic dominance), and the two meet only under Assumption 11.1.

Definition 11.2(ii) quantifies over all off-path reporting functions. The revelation principle does not remove them, so Proposition 11.2 is needed before any envelope argument applies.

Pointwise maximization of the virtual surplus pins down qqq only where ψ≠0\psi\ne0ψ=0 and only almost everywhere. The optimal mechanism is therefore not unique in the pointwise sense the page states.

Formalization scope

  • Representation. F(θ∣τ)F(\theta\mid\tau)F(θ∣τ) is F θ τ and q(τ,θ)q(\tau,\theta)q(τ,θ) is q τ θ. Functions are total on R\mathbb RR or R2\mathbb R^2R2, and conditions quantify over the type intervals only. ∂F/∂τ\partial F/\partial\tau∂F/∂τ and ∂f/∂τ\partial f/\partial\tau∂f/∂τ are fields pinned by HasDerivWithinAt on [τ‾,τˉ][\underline\tau,\bar\tau][τ​,τˉ].
  • Measurability. The book omits all measurability. Here the densities are jointly measurable, mechanisms are admissible (measurable on the type rectangle, q∈[0,1]q\in[0,1]q∈[0,1]), and reporting functions are measurable. In the observable-γ\gammaγ model each t~(τ,⋅)\tilde t(\tau,\cdot)t~(τ,⋅) is integrable on [0,1][0,1][0,1], and in the several-buyer model each payment tit_iti​ is integrable against the distribution of the type profile, so that expected utilities and expected revenue are genuine integrals.
  • Revenue and a.e. Revenue is the integral of ttt against the joint law with density g(τ)f(θ∣τ)g(\tau)f(\theta\mid\tau)g(τ)f(θ∣τ), and "almost everywhere" refers to that law.
  • Corrected necessity. The page's pointwise "if and only if" in Propositions 11.8 and 11.11 is corrected. The explicit optimal mechanism is kept, with the formulas (11.10), (11.11), (11.12) and t0t_0t0​ of Proposition 11.5. Necessity is stated almost everywhere and off {ψ=0}\{\psi=0\}{ψ=0}, and, for several buyers, off ties between virtual valuations.
  • Regularity. Propositions 11.9 and 11.10 assume fff and ∂F/∂τ\partial F/\partial\tau∂F/∂τ continuous in (τ,θ)(\tau,\theta)(τ,θ), the regularity the book invokes on p.217 to differentiate F−1(γ∣τ)F^{-1}(\gamma\mid\tau)F−1(γ∣τ).
  • Exercise price. p(τ)p(\tau)p(τ) is the infimum of {θ^∣ψ(τ,θ^)≥0}\{\hat\theta\mid\psi(\tau,\hat\theta)\ge0\}{θ^∣ψ(τ,θ^)≥0}.

Ruled out. Stating only that the cutoff mechanism is incentive-compatible and individually rational, or only that it beats posted prices, would trivialize the goal. The goal asserts optimality among all admissible incentive-compatible, individually rational sequential mechanisms with randomized allocations, together with the explicit fee t0t_0t0​ and (11.12).

Infrastructure. A complete development needs envelope theorems for suprema of equi-differentiable families, integration by parts with absolutely continuous functions, differentiation under the integral sign, and change of variables γ=F(θ∣τ)\gamma=F(\theta\mid\tau)γ=F(θ∣τ). The single-buyer lemmas (Propositions 11.2–11.7) are reusable for the multi-buyer case through the interim mechanism (Qi,Ti)(Q_i,T_i)(Qi​,Ti​). Proofs of any milestone, and sorry-free lemmas on the definitions, are welcome.

Selected references

  • D. Krähmer and R. Strausz, Dynamic Mechanism Design, Chapter 11 in T. Börgers, An Introduction to the Theory of Mechanism Design, Oxford University Press, 2015. https://doi.org/10.1093/acprof:oso/9780199734023.001.0001
  • P. Courty and H. Li, Sequential Screening, Review of Economic Studies 67 (2000) 697–717. https://doi.org/10.1111/1467-937X.00150
  • P. Eső and B. Szentes, Optimal Information Disclosure in Auctions and the Handicap Auction, Review of Economic Studies 74 (2007) 705–731. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1467-937X.2007.00438.x
  • D. P. Baron and D. Besanko, Regulation and Information in a Continuing Relationship, Information Economics and Policy 1 (1984) 267–302.
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Mechanism DesignOperations ResearchProbability·Captain: mikedeng1

An Introduction to the Theory of Mechanism Design X: Robust Mechanism Design — Belief Revelation on Finite Type SpacesTextbook

Motivation

Classical Bayesian mechanism design assumes that the designer knows the agents' beliefs about each other: typically a commonly known prior over independent private values. Wilson's critique (1987) observed that mechanisms tuned to such a prior can depend on details that no designer knows, and a literature on robust mechanism design replaced the fixed prior by a large family of possible beliefs. Chapter 10 of Börgers, An Introduction to the Theory of Mechanism Design (OUP 2015), develops this programme in the framework of Bergemann and Morris (2001, 2005): agents' information is described by a type space, the designer is uncertain which beliefs agents hold, and mechanisms are compared across all type profiles at once.

Timeline of the results formalized here:

  • 1980: Hylland shows that strategy-proof random mechanisms satisfying unanimity conditions are random dictatorships; Dutta, Peters and Sen (2007, 2008) give and correct the cardinal version used in the chapter.
  • 1985: Mertens and Zamir construct the universal type space of belief hierarchies; the space of finite types is emphasized by Dekel, Fudenberg and Morris (2006).
  • 1988: Crémer and McLean show that with correlated types satisfying a spanning condition, beliefs can be elicited at no cost (Proposition 6.4 of the book).
  • 2001–2005: Bergemann and Morris introduce payoff and belief types and prove that on finite type spaces only incentive constraints between types with the same beliefs matter (their Proposition 4.5, the goal of this mission).
  • 2010–2014: Smith, Börgers and Smith study the ranking of mechanisms without a common prior; random dictatorship with compromise comes from Börgers and Smith (2012, 2014).

Setting

There are finitely many agents i∈Ii \in Ii∈I, and agent iii has a set Θi\Theta_iΘi​ of payoff types. An outcome xxx gives agent iii the utility ui(x,θ)u_i(x,\theta)ui​(x,θ), which may depend on all payoff types. A type space T=(Ti,θ^i,β^i)i∈I\mathcal T = (T_i,\hat\theta_i,\hat\beta_i)_{i\in I}T=(Ti​,θ^i​,β^​i​)i∈I​ consists of nonempty sets TiT_iTi​ of types, a payoff type map θ^i:Ti→Θi\hat\theta_i : T_i \to \Theta_iθ^i​:Ti​→Θi​ and a belief map β^i:Ti→Δ(T−i)\hat\beta_i : T_i \to \Delta(T_{-i})β^​i​:Ti​→Δ(T−i​), where T−i=∏j≠iTjT_{-i} = \prod_{j\ne i}T_jT−i​=∏j=i​Tj​. Different types may share a payoff type and differ only in their beliefs, and vice versa. A common prior is a distribution μ\muμ on TTT from which every type's belief is obtained by conditioning. A type space has a large variety of certainties if for every θi\theta_iθi​ and θ−i\theta_{-i}θ−i​ some type with payoff type θi\theta_iθi​ is certain that the others' payoff types are θ−i\theta_{-i}θ−i​. The space of finite types T+\mathcal T^+T+ collects every infinite hierarchy of beliefs ("I believe that you believe that …") that is generated by a type of some finite type space.

A mechanism (S1,…,SN,g)(S_1,\dots,S_N,g)(S1​,…,SN​,g) has strategy sets SiS_iSi​ and an outcome rule g:S→Δ(X)g : S \to \Delta(X)g:S→Δ(X). Strategies σi:Ti→Δ(Si)\sigma_i : T_i \to \Delta(S_i)σi​:Ti​→Δ(Si​) form a Bayesian equilibrium if each type maximizes expected utility under its own belief; it is belief-independent if types with equal payoff types play alike, and ex post if each type's choice stays optimal when it becomes certain of the others' types. A direct mechanism asks agents for their types, a reduced direct mechanism only for their payoff types. In the quasi-linear case outcomes are (a,t1,…,tN)(a,t_1,\dots,t_N)(a,t1​,…,tN​) and ui=vi(a,θ)−tiu_i = v_i(a,\theta) - t_iui​=vi​(a,θ)−ti​, with tit_iti​ paid by agent iii; a direct mechanism is (q,t)(q,t)(q,t).

Formalization targets

Goal: belief revelation on finite type spaces (Proposition 10.6)

On a finite type space with quasi-linear utilities, suppose that for every agent no belief in {β^i(τi):τi∈Ti}\{\hat\beta_i(\tau_i) : \tau_i\in T_i\}{β^​i​(τi​):τi​∈Ti​} is a convex combination of the others, and that in the direct mechanism (q,t)(q,t)(q,t) no type wants to imitate another type with the same belief. Then there is a direct mechanism (q~,t~)(\tilde q,\tilde t)(q~​,t~) in which truth telling is a Bayesian equilibrium, with

q~(τ)=q(τ)  ∀τ∈T,∑τ−iβ^i(τi)(τ−i) t~i(τ)=∑τ−iβ^i(τi)(τ−i) ti(τ)  ∀i,τi.\tilde q(\tau) = q(\tau)\ \ \forall \tau\in T,\qquad \sum_{\tau_{-i}}\hat\beta_i(\tau_i)(\tau_{-i})\,\tilde t_i(\tau) = \sum_{\tau_{-i}}\hat\beta_i(\tau_i)(\tau_{-i})\, t_i(\tau)\ \ \forall i,\tau_i.q~​(τ)=q(τ)  ∀τ∈T,τ−i​∑​β^​i​(τi​)(τ−i​)t~i​(τ)=τ−i​∑​β^​i​(τi​)(τ−i​)ti​(τ)  ∀i,τi​.

The goal fixes neither the transfers t~\tilde tt~ nor any bound on them; it asserts the existence of a truthful mechanism with the same alternatives and the same interim payments.

Milestones

The other fourteen numbered results of the chapter: conditional independence of payoff types under a full-support common prior (10.1); three revelation principles (10.2–10.4); existence of Bayesian equilibria of finite mechanisms on T+\mathcal T^+T+ (10.5); betting between agents with inconsistent beliefs (10.7); ex post implementation of unique equilibrium outcomes and alternatives (10.8, 10.9); emptiness of the set of undominated auctions under interim Pareto welfare and under ex post revenue (10.10, 10.11); Hylland's characterization of random dictatorship (10.12); and three comparisons of random dictatorship with random dictatorship with compromise (10.13–10.15).

Significance

Proposition 10.6 reduces the design problem on a finite type space to incentive constraints among types with the same beliefs: belief types can always be elicited by side payments that leave interim utilities unchanged. With a common prior and Proposition 10.1 this yields optimal mechanisms by solving an independent-types problem for each profile of belief types (§10.8; Farinha Luz 2013 carries this out for auctions). Proposition 10.7 and its consequences 10.10–10.11 show why the same construction cannot be used without a common prior: inconsistent beliefs allow unbounded bets, so interim or revenue criteria admit no undominated mechanism. Propositions 10.12–10.15 show that relaxing belief independence escapes Hylland's impossibility result in the voting problem.

None of these results is formalized elsewhere to our knowledge. The book proves only some of them (10.1, 10.5, 10.8, 10.9, 10.13–10.15 are proved or outlined; 10.6 is sketched; the proofs of 10.2–10.4 are omitted as standard; 10.7 and 10.10–10.12 are stated without proof), so formalization also produces complete proofs of results the book leaves informal. Two printed statements are corrected (see Formalization scope).

Difficulty

The obvious approach to Proposition 10.6 applies the Crémer–McLean construction type by type. This fails because several types may share a belief: a side payment that depends on the reported belief cannot separate them, and the convex-independence condition concerns the set of distinct beliefs rather than the indexed family of types.

For the results on T+\mathcal T^+T+, a type is an infinite belief hierarchy, and a strategy must be one function on all finite types simultaneously. Existence (10.5) cannot be obtained by applying Nash's theorem to a single finite type space, because a type belongs to many finite type spaces and must play the same strategy in all of them. Hylland's theorem (10.12) requires a full characterization of strategy-proof random rules on a cardinal preference domain.

Formalization scope

  • Distributions Δ(X)\Delta(X)Δ(X) are countably supported (PMF X); expected utilities are sums. The book leaves the measure structure of type spaces unspecified (p.179, note 3); finite type spaces, T+\mathcal T^+T+ and point beliefs are covered exactly. A Bayesian equilibrium requires every type's expected utility to exist (absolute summability) under every mixed strategy.
  • A type's belief is a distribution on ∏j≠iTj\prod_{j\ne i}T_j∏j=i​Tj​. Beliefs in Proposition 10.6 are vectors in RT−i\mathbb R^{T_{-i}}RT−i​, and condition (i) is stated with the convex hull of the other distinct beliefs.
  • Quasi-linear direct mechanisms are deterministic, q:T→Aq : T\to Aq:T→A, ti:T→Rt_i : T\to\mathbb Rti​:T→R. Mixed misreports are allowed in every equilibrium notion.
  • T+\mathcal T^+T+ is built from belief hierarchies encoded level by level (L0=ΘiL_0 = \Theta_iL0​=Θi​, Ln+1=Θi×Δ(∏j≠iLn,j)L_{n+1} = \Theta_i\times\Delta(\prod_{j\ne i}L_{n,j})Ln+1​=Θi​×Δ(∏j=i​Ln,j​)) and the finite type spaces generating them. The universal type space (Definition 10.5) is not needed and not formalized.
  • §10.11: two agents Fin 2, candidates {a,b,c}\{a,b,c\}{a,b,c}, strict private vNM utilities with every strict utility attained; mechanisms map to lotteries over candidates; rankings are bijections C ≃ Fin 3.
  • Corrections of the page: in Proposition 10.7 the signs of the transfers in (v) are reversed on the page relative to the bet described on p.186 and are stated as described; Proposition 10.9 is false under a large variety of certainties alone and is stated under the common-certainty condition that its proof uses, on type spaces whose beliefs have finite support (with countably supported beliefs the reduced mechanism's expected utilities need not exist). Both are explained in the item notes.
  • The goal is not trivialized by taking (q~,t~)=(q,t)(\tilde q,\tilde t) = (q,t)(q~​,t~)=(q,t): condition (ii) constrains only types with the same belief, so the original mechanism is in general not incentive-compatible, and the conclusion demands full Bayesian incentive compatibility.

Welcome contributions: a finite Farkas/separation lemma in the form needed for 10.6 (the platform has Polyhedral.farkas_lemma), basic API for PMF-valued type spaces (products of mixed strategies, conditioning), and the hierarchy map of finite type spaces, which all T+\mathcal T^+T+ milestones share.

Selected references

  • T. Börgers, An Introduction to the Theory of Mechanism Design, Oxford University Press, 2015, Ch. 10. https://doi.org/10.1093/acprof:oso/9780199734023.001.0001
  • D. Bergemann, S. Morris, Robust Mechanism Design, Cowles Foundation Discussion Paper 1421, 2001; Econometrica 73 (2005) 1771–1813. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1468-0262.2005.00638.x
  • J. Crémer, R. McLean, Full Extraction of the Surplus in Bayesian and Dominant Strategy Auctions, Econometrica 56 (1988) 1247–1257. https://doi.org/10.2307/1913096
  • J.-F. Mertens, S. Zamir, Formulation of Bayesian Analysis for Games with Incomplete Information, International Journal of Game Theory 14 (1985) 1–29. https://doi.org/10.1007/BF01770224
  • B. Dutta, H. Peters, A. Sen, Strategy-Proof Cardinal Decision Schemes, Social Choice and Welfare 28 (2007) 163–179. https://doi.org/10.1007/s00355-006-0152-4
  • T. Börgers, D. Smith, Robust Mechanism Design and Dominant Strategy Voting Rules, Theoretical Economics 9 (2014) 339–360. https://doi.org/10.3982/TE1100
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CombinatoricsMechanism DesignOperations Research·Captain: mikedeng1

An Introduction to the Theory of Mechanism Design IX: Monotone Direct Mechanisms Are Dictatorial (Gibbard–Satterthwaite)Textbook

Motivation

Voting rules, committee procedures and any other method that turns individual rankings into one collective choice face the same question: can the rule be designed so that no participant ever gains by misreporting their ranking? The Gibbard–Satterthwaite theorem (Gibbard, 1973; Satterthwaite, 1975) answers no. When at least three alternatives can be chosen and all strict rankings are admissible, the only rules immune to manipulation are dictatorships. The result is the starting point of mechanism design without money. It explains why the positive results of the transferable-utility chapters of the book (Groves, VCG, posted prices) depend on quasi-linear preferences, and why research on voting turned to restricted preference domains and weaker solution concepts.

This mission formalizes Chapter 8 of Börgers, An Introduction to the Theory of Mechanism Design (Oxford University Press, 2015), §§8.2–8.3. The book's route to the theorem follows Reny (2001). Strategy-proofness implies Maskin monotonicity, and every monotone rule with full range over at least three alternatives is dictatorial. The second step is the Muller–Satterthwaite theorem (Muller and Satterthwaite, 1977), which is stronger than Gibbard–Satterthwaite because monotonicity is weaker than strategy-proofness. The chapter closes with the classical escape route: on single-peaked preferences (Moulin, 1980) the median voting rule is strategy-proof and not dictatorial.

Timeline. Arrow (1951/1963) proved the impossibility of non-dictatorial preference aggregation under independence of irrelevant alternatives. Gibbard (1973) and Satterthwaite (1975) proved the manipulation version independently, and Satterthwaite showed the two theorems are equivalent. Muller and Satterthwaite (1977) showed that on the full domain strategy-proofness is equivalent to a monotonicity condition (strong positive association). Moulin (1980) characterized strategy-proof rules on single-peaked domains that depend only on reported peaks. Reny (2001) gave the short common proof of Arrow's and the Muller–Satterthwaite theorems that the book follows.

Setting

There is a finite set I={1,…,N}I=\{1,\dots,N\}I={1,…,N} of agents and a finite set AAA of alternatives. Each agent iii has a preference relation RiR_iRi​ over AAA; a Ri ba\,R_i\,baRi​b reads "aaa is weakly preferred to bbb". Every RiR_iRi​ is a linear order: complete, transitive, and the only indifference is among identical alternatives. Its strict part is PiP_iPi​. The set of all linear orders over AAA is R\mathcal RR, and a profile is R=(R1,…,RN)∈RNR=(R_1,\dots,R_N)\in\mathcal R^NR=(R1​,…,RN​)∈RN. (Ri′,R−i)(R_i',R_{-i})(Ri′​,R−i​) is the profile obtained from RRR by replacing agent iii's preference with Ri′R_i'Ri′​.

A direct mechanism is a function f:RN→Af:\mathcal R^N\to Af:RN→A (Definition 8.1). It is

  • dominant strategy incentive-compatible (DSIC) if f(Ri,R−i) Ri f(Ri′,R−i)f(R_i,R_{-i})\,R_i\,f(R_i',R_{-i})f(Ri​,R−i​)Ri​f(Ri′​,R−i​) for all iii, RRR, Ri′R_i'Ri′​ (Definition 8.2);
  • dictatorial if some agent iii satisfies f(R) Ri af(R)\,R_i\,af(R)Ri​a for all profiles RRR and all a∈Aa\in Aa∈A (Definition 8.3);
  • monotone if f(R)=af(R)=af(R)=a and, for every iii, a Ri b⇒a Ri′ ba\,R_i\,b\Rightarrow a\,R_i'\,baRi​b⇒aRi′​b for all bbb, together imply f(R′)=af(R')=af(R′)=a (Definition 8.4);
  • set-monotone if f(R)∈Bf(R)\in Bf(R)∈B and, for every iii, Ri′R_i'Ri′​ differs from RiR_iRi​ only in the ranking of elements of BBB, together imply f(R′)∈Bf(R')\in Bf(R′)∈B (Definition 8.5);
  • unanimity-respecting if f(R)=af(R)=af(R)=a whenever every agent ranks aaa at the top (Definition 8.6).

"The range of fff is AAA" means that every alternative is chosen at some profile.

For §8.3 the alternatives are labelled 1,…,K1,\dots,K1,…,K. A preference is single-peaked if it has a top alternative k(i)k(i)k(i) and declines monotonically to the right and to the left of it. R^\hat{\mathcal R}R^ is the set of single-peaked preferences, and on the restricted domain R^N\hat{\mathcal R}^NR^N DSIC and dictatorship are read with all profiles and deviations taken from R^\hat{\mathcal R}R^.

Formalization targets

Goal: Proposition 8.5 (Muller–Satterthwaite)

∣A∣≥3,f(RN)=A,f monotone ⟹ ∃ i∈I  ∀R∈RN ∀a∈A: f(R) Ri a.|A|\ge 3,\quad f(\mathcal R^N)=A,\quad f\ \text{monotone}\ \Longrightarrow\ \exists\, i\in I\ \ \forall R\in\mathcal R^N\ \forall a\in A:\ f(R)\,R_i\,a.∣A∣≥3,f(RN)=A,f monotone ⟹ ∃i∈I  ∀R∈RN ∀a∈A: f(R)Ri​a.

This is the book's own capstone ("the core of the proof", p.144). No constant needs to be fixed, and the statement is strictly stronger than the necessity half of Gibbard–Satterthwaite.

Milestones

  • Proposition 8.2: DSIC ⇒\Rightarrow⇒ monotone.
  • Proposition 8.3: monotone ⇒\Rightarrow⇒ set-monotone.
  • Proposition 8.4: monotone and full range ⇒\Rightarrow⇒ respects unanimity.
  • Proposition 8.1 (Gibbard–Satterthwaite): for ∣A∣≥3|A|\ge3∣A∣≥3 and full range, fff is DSIC   ⟺  \iff⟺ fff is dictatorial.
  • Proposition 8.6: for ∣A∣≥3|A|\ge3∣A∣≥3 and at least two agents, there is a mechanism on R^N\hat{\mathcal R}^NR^N with range AAA that is DSIC on R^N\hat{\mathcal R}^NR^N and not dictatorial on R^N\hat{\mathcal R}^NR^N.

Significance

The result itself. Proposition 8.5 turns an incentive question into a purely ordinal one: any full-range rule that is Maskin monotone is a dictatorship once three alternatives are available. With Proposition 8.2 it gives Gibbard–Satterthwaite. Proposition 8.6 marks the boundary of the impossibility: with a one-dimensional ordering of alternatives and single-peaked preferences, the median voter rule escapes it.

Formalizing it. All results are classical and proved. The platform already has a proved Gibbard–Satterthwaite theorem (AGT.gibbard_satterthwaite, Algorithmic Game Theory III), derived from Arrow's theorem in the alternative Mathlib environment c5ea0035…. It uses strict-order profiles and a one-agent-deviation monotonicity. This mission adds Maskin monotonicity, the Muller–Satterthwaite theorem, Reny's direct proof route, and the single-peaked possibility result, none of which is on the platform, all in the default environment.

Difficulty

Propositions 8.2–8.4 are short. The difficulty is in Proposition 8.5. Its proof moves one alternative up or down agents' rankings one agent at a time, and it has to keep the chosen alternative pinned at every step using only monotonicity, set-monotonicity and unanimity. It needs a pivotal agent, whose identity depends on the pair of alternatives, and then an argument that the pivots for different alternatives coincide. The argument uses a third alternative ccc in an essential way. With two alternatives the conclusion is false (majority rule), so any argument that never uses ∣A∣≥3|A|\ge3∣A∣≥3 cannot succeed. Formally, each "move bbb just below aaa in agent jjj's ranking" is an explicit construction of a new linear order, together with a check that the monotonicity hypothesis applies. The figures on pp.146–149 describe these orders only partially ("the other alternatives in arbitrary order"). For Proposition 8.6, the obstacle is that DSIC must be checked against every single-peaked misreport, not only misreports of the peak.

Formalization scope

  • A linear order is the structure LinPref A (relation rel, completeness, transitivity, antisymmetry). A profile is ι → LinPref A for a finite agent type ι, and a direct mechanism is (ι → LinPref A) → A. AAA is a Fintype. "The range of fff is AAA" is Function.Surjective f, and ∣A∣≥3|A|\ge3∣A∣≥3 is 3 ≤ Fintype.card A.
  • Monotonicity is the book's Definition 8.4 for arbitrary pairs of profiles, with the lower-contour condition required for each agent separately. Dictatorship is ∃ i, ∀ R a, f R ≥_{R_i} a, with the agent chosen before the profile. A weaker monotonicity (one-agent deviations only) or a weaker dictatorship ("some agent's top is chosen at some profile") would trivialize the goal and is ruled out.
  • §8.3: the labelling is lab : A ≃ Fin K (labels 0,…,K−10,\dots,K-10,…,K−1). The restricted domain is a predicate on LinPref A, and DSIC, dictatorship and full range are relativized to profiles in the domain (IsDSICOn, IsDictatorialOn, HasFullRangeOn). Values of the mechanism off the domain are never consulted.
  • Two corrections of the page. The left-hand clause of single-peakedness is printed as (ℓ−1) Ri ℓ(\ell-1)\,R_i\,\ell(ℓ−1)Ri​ℓ and is used as ℓ Ri (ℓ−1)\ell\,R_i\,(\ell-1)ℓRi​(ℓ−1) (the book's words "decline monotonically to the left"). Proposition 8.6 carries the added hypothesis N≥2N\ge2N≥2, since with one agent every onto strategy-proof rule is dictatorial.
  • Proposition 8.6 is an existence statement. The median voting mechanism is the book's witness, but the statement does not fix it.
  • Reusable beyond this mission: the linear-order profile model, Maskin monotonicity and the restricted-domain notions, which apply to Arrow-type results, implementation theory and Moulin's characterization. Proofs of any milestone, or an independent formal proof of Proposition 8.5, are welcome.

Selected references

  • T. Börgers, An Introduction to the Theory of Mechanism Design, Oxford University Press, 2015, Ch. 8. https://doi.org/10.1093/acprof:oso/9780199734023.001.0001
  • A. Gibbard, "Manipulation of voting schemes: a general result", Econometrica 41 (1973) 587–601. https://doi.org/10.2307/1914083
  • M. A. Satterthwaite, "Strategy-proofness and Arrow's conditions", Journal of Economic Theory 10 (1975) 187–217. https://doi.org/10.1016/0022-0531(75)90050-2
  • E. Muller and M. A. Satterthwaite, "The equivalence of strong positive association and strategy-proofness", Journal of Economic Theory 14 (1977) 412–418. https://doi.org/10.1016/0022-0531(77)90140-5
  • P. J. Reny, "Arrow's theorem and the Gibbard–Satterthwaite theorem: a unified approach", Economics Letters 70 (2001) 99–105. https://doi.org/10.1016/S0165-1765(00)00332-3
  • H. Moulin, "On strategy-proofness and single peakedness", Public Choice 35 (1980) 437–455. https://doi.org/10.1007/BF00128122
  • S. Barberà, "An introduction to strategy-proof social choice functions", Social Choice and Welfare 18 (2001) 619–653. https://doi.org/10.1007/s003550100151
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Mechanism DesignOperations Research·Captain: mikedeng1

An Introduction to the Theory of Mechanism Design VIII: Dominant-Strategy Implementation of Efficient Decision Rules Is VCGTextbook

Motivation

A group of agents must choose one alternative from a set AAA (whether to build a public project, who receives an object, which of several policies to adopt). Each agent privately knows how much each alternative is worth to them, and money can be transferred. A designer who wants the welfare-maximizing alternative must ask the agents for their valuations, and must set payments so that no agent gains by misreporting, whatever the others report. This requirement, dominant strategy incentive compatibility, does not depend on what agents believe about one another, which is why it is the standard robustness benchmark in public economics, auction design and algorithmic game theory.

The Vickrey–Clarke–Groves (VCG) mechanisms solve this problem for every efficient decision rule. The central question of Chapter 7 of Börgers, An Introduction to the Theory of Mechanism Design (Oxford University Press, 2015), is whether they are the only solution, and what can be implemented in dominant strategies at all.

Timeline:

  • 1961–1973: Vickrey (1961), Clarke (1971) and Groves (1973) introduce the payments that make efficient decisions dominant-strategy incentive-compatible.
  • 1977: Green and Laffont (Econometrica 45) show that, when valuations range over a sufficiently rich connected domain, every efficient dominant-strategy mechanism has the Groves form.
  • 1979: Holmström (Econometrica 47) extends the uniqueness result to smoothly connected domains. Roberts (1979) characterizes decision rules with positive association of differences on unrestricted domains as weighted welfare maximizers.
  • 1987: Rochet (J. Math. Econ. 16) characterizes implementable decision rules by cyclical monotonicity, with no structure on alternatives or types.
  • 2001: Krishna and Maenner (Econometrica 69) prove payoff equivalence for convex type sets and utilities convex in the type.
  • 2009: Lavi, Mu'alem and Nisan (Soc. Choice Welf. 32) give two short proofs of Roberts' theorem.

Setting

There is a finite set III of agents and a set AAA of alternatives. Agent iii has a type θi\theta_iθi​ from an abstract set Θi\Theta_iΘi​. If alternative aaa is chosen and agent iii pays tit_iti​, agent iii's utility is ui(a,θi)−tiu_i(a,\theta_i) - t_iui​(a,θi​)−ti​. A type vector is θ∈Θ=∏iΘi\theta \in \Theta = \prod_i \Theta_iθ∈Θ=∏i​Θi​; θ−i∈Θ−i=∏j≠iΘj\theta_{-i} \in \Theta_{-i} = \prod_{j \ne i}\Theta_jθ−i​∈Θ−i​=∏j=i​Θj​ omits agent iii, and (θi′,θ−i)(\theta_i', \theta_{-i})(θi′​,θ−i​) replaces agent iii's type by θi′\theta_i'θi′​.

A direct mechanism (q,t1,…,tN)(q, t_1, \dots, t_N)(q,t1​,…,tN​) consists of a decision rule q:Θ→Aq : \Theta \to Aq:Θ→A and transfer rules ti:Θ→Rt_i : \Theta \to \mathbb Rti​:Θ→R. It is dominant strategy incentive-compatible (DSIC) if for all θ\thetaθ, iii and θi′\theta_i'θi′​,

ui(q(θ),θi)−ti(θ) ≥ ui(q(θi′,θ−i),θi)−ti(θi′,θ−i).u_i(q(\theta),\theta_i) - t_i(\theta) \ \ge\ u_i(q(\theta_i',\theta_{-i}),\theta_i) - t_i(\theta_i',\theta_{-i}).ui​(q(θ),θi​)−ti​(θ) ≥ ui​(q(θi′​,θ−i​),θi​)−ti​(θi′​,θ−i​).

A decision rule is efficient if q(θ)q(\theta)q(θ) maximizes ∑iui(a,θi)\sum_i u_i(a,\theta_i)∑i​ui​(a,θi​) over a∈Aa \in Aa∈A at every θ\thetaθ. A mechanism is VCG if qqq is efficient and every agent's transfer has the form

ti(θ)=−∑j≠iuj(q(θ),θj)+τi(θ−i)t_i(\theta) = -\sum_{j \ne i} u_j(q(\theta),\theta_j) + \tau_i(\theta_{-i})ti​(θ)=−j=i∑​uj​(q(θ),θj​)+τi​(θ−i​)

for some function τi\tau_iτi​ of the other agents' types. The chapter also uses positive association of differences (PAD: if q(θ)=aq(\theta) = aq(θ)=a and every agent's utility advantage of aaa over every other alternative strictly increases from θ\thetaθ to θ′\theta'θ′, then q(θ′)=aq(\theta') = aq(θ′)=a), flexibility (the range q(Θ)q(\Theta)q(Θ) has at least three elements), ex post individual rationality and ex post budget balance (∑iti(θ)=0\sum_i t_i(\theta) = 0∑i​ti​(θ)=0).

Formalization targets

Goal: uniqueness of VCG (Corollary 7.1, Green–Laffont–Holmström)

If every Θi\Theta_iΘi​ is a convex subset of a Euclidean space Rdi\mathbb R^{d_i}Rdi​ and every ui(a,⋅)u_i(a,\cdot)ui​(a,⋅) is convex and continuous on Θi\Theta_iΘi​, then every DSIC mechanism (q,t)(q,t)(q,t) with an efficient qqq is a VCG mechanism: for each iii there is τi:Θ−i→R\tau_i : \Theta_{-i} \to \mathbb Rτi​:Θ−i​→R with

ti(θ)=−∑j≠iuj(q(θ),θj)+τi(θ−i)for all θ.t_i(\theta) = -\sum_{j \ne i} u_j(q(\theta),\theta_j) + \tau_i(\theta_{-i}) \qquad \text{for all } \theta.ti​(θ)=−j=i∑​uj​(q(θ),θj​)+τi​(θ−i​)for all θ.

The goal leaves AAA, the number of agents and the dimensions did_idi​ free; it asserts only the form of the transfers.

Milestones

Every numbered result of Chapter 7 except Proposition 7.6 (see Formalization scope):

  1. Proposition 7.1: implementability iff cyclical monotonicity in each agent's type (Rochet).
  2. Proposition 7.2: on bounded, one-dimensional type sets, implementability iff monotonicity.
  3. Proposition 7.3: under the goal's convexity hypotheses, the transfers implementing a given qqq are unique up to τi(θ−i)\tau_i(\theta_{-i})τi​(θ−i​).
  4. Proposition 7.4: VCG mechanisms are DSIC.
  5. Proposition 7.5: weak monotonicity in every θi\theta_iθi​ implies PAD.
  6. Proposition 7.7 (Roberts): on unrestricted domains with finite AAA, a flexible qqq with range q(Θ)=Aq(\Theta) = Aq(Θ)=A satisfies PAD iff there are ki≥0k_i \ge 0ki​≥0, not all zero, and F:A→RF : A \to \mathbb RF:A→R with ∑ikiui(q(θ),θi)+F(q(θ))≥∑ikiui(a,θi)+F(a)\sum_i k_i u_i(q(\theta),\theta_i) + F(q(\theta)) \ge \sum_i k_i u_i(a,\theta_i) + F(a)∑i​ki​ui​(q(θ),θi​)+F(q(θ))≥∑i​ki​ui​(a,θi​)+F(a) for all a∈Aa \in Aa∈A.
  7. Proposition 7.8: affine maximizers with all ki>0k_i > 0ki​>0 are implementable.
  8. Proposition 7.9: ex post individual rationality holds iff it holds at the lowest type θ‾i\underline\theta_iθ​i​ with outside option a‾i\underline a_ia​i​.
  9. Proposition 7.10: with N≥2N \ge 2N≥2, a budget-balanced VCG mechanism for efficient qqq exists iff ∑iui(q(θ),θi)=∑ifi(θ−i)\sum_i u_i(q(\theta),\theta_i) = \sum_i f_i(\theta_{-i})∑i​ui​(q(θ),θi​)=∑i​fi​(θ−i​) for some fi:Θ−i→Rf_i : \Theta_{-i} \to \mathbb Rfi​:Θ−i​→R.

Significance

Corollary 7.1 turns the VCG construction from one solution into the complete answer. Any question about efficient dominant-strategy mechanisms (revenue, budget balance, individual rationality) reduces to a question about the functions τi\tau_iτi​. With Proposition 7.10 it gives a necessary and sufficient condition for efficient, budget-balanced dominant-strategy implementation. That condition fails in bilateral trade, and the failure does not use individual rationality. Roberts' theorem plays the same role for inefficient rules: on unrestricted domains, weighted welfare maximization is essentially all that can be implemented.

All of these results are proved in the literature, and none is formalized. The platform has VCG incentive compatibility and weak monotonicity for valuation-based types (the Algorithmic Game Theory IV mission). It has no uniqueness theorem, no revenue equivalence for multidimensional convex types, no Rochet theorem and no Roberts theorem. The book proves Corollary 7.1 from Proposition 7.3, but proves 7.3 itself only by reference to Krishna and Maenner. It states Roberts' theorem without proof.

Difficulty

The uniqueness claim does not follow from incentive compatibility alone. With finitely many types it is false, because any transfers inside the gaps left by the incentive constraints work (Börgers §5.8). The work lies in showing that, along every segment in the convex type set, an agent's equilibrium utility is pinned down by the decision rule. The equilibrium utility is a pointwise supremum of convex functions, one for each report, and the chosen alternative can change at uncountably many points of the segment. A differentiable envelope argument is therefore not directly available. At the boundary of the type set, convexity alone does not prevent upward jumps, which is why continuity is part of the hypotheses. Roberts' theorem needs a separate, combinatorial analysis of the sets of utility differences at which each alternative is chosen, and flexibility is essential there.

Formalization scope

Agents form a finite type ι with decidable equality. Types are arbitrary types Θ i, and utilities are u : ∀ i, A → Θ i → ℝ. The profile (θi′,θ−i)(\theta_i',\theta_{-i})(θi′​,θ−i​) is Function.update θ i θ'. Θ−i\Theta_{-i}Θ−i​ is the product Others Θ i over j ≠ i, so each τi\tau_iτi​ and fif_ifi​ is a function of the others' types only; a constant or a function of the full profile would change the theorem. In the goal and Proposition 7.3, Θi\Theta_iΘi​ is a convex set S i in EuclideanSpace ℝ (Fin (d i)).

Deviations from the page, each forced by a counterexample recorded in the item's natural-language statement:

  • Corollary 7.1 and Proposition 7.3 add continuity of ui(a,⋅)u_i(a,\cdot)ui​(a,⋅) on Θi\Theta_iΘi​. With convexity alone, a utility with a jump at the endpoint of [0,1][0,1][0,1] admits a non-VCG DSIC mechanism.
  • Proposition 7.7 is stated with ki≥0k_i \ge 0ki​≥0, not all zero, instead of ki>0k_i > 0ki​>0, and with the added hypothesis that qqq is onto AAA (the conclusion still ranges over all a∈Aa \in Aa∈A, as on the page). Dictatorships and affine maximizers over a proper subset of AAA are counterexamples to the printed version.
  • Proposition 7.6 (flexible PAD rules on unrestricted domains are implementable) is false as printed. It is not a milestone; the reason is in the mission's hard list.
  • Proposition 7.10 adds N≥2N \ge 2N≥2, since its proof divides by N−1N-1N−1.

The trivializing formalization to avoid is proving Proposition 7.4 (VCG ⇒\Rightarrow⇒ DSIC) in place of the goal (DSIC +++ efficient ⇒\Rightarrow⇒ VCG). A development that proves the goal needs reusable infrastructure: convex functions restricted to segments, absolute continuity of continuous convex functions on compact intervals, and an envelope theorem for suprema of convex functions. Proofs of Rochet's and Roberts' theorems in this abstract setting are also welcome.

Selected references

  • T. Börgers (with D. Krähmer and R. Strausz), An Introduction to the Theory of Mechanism Design, Oxford University Press, 2015, Chapter 7. https://doi.org/10.1093/acprof:oso/9780199734023.001.0001
  • W. Vickrey, Counterspeculation, Auctions, and Competitive Sealed Tenders, Journal of Finance 16, 1961. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1540-6261.1961.tb02789.x
  • E. H. Clarke, Multipart Pricing of Public Goods, Public Choice 11, 1971. https://doi.org/10.1007/BF01726210
  • T. Groves, Incentives in Teams, Econometrica 41, 1973. https://doi.org/10.2307/1914085
  • J. Green and J.-J. Laffont, Characterization of Satisfactory Mechanisms for the Revelation of Preferences for Public Goods, Econometrica 45, 1977. https://doi.org/10.2307/1911219
  • B. Holmström, Groves' Scheme on Restricted Domains, Econometrica 47, 1979. https://www.jstor.org/stable/1911954
  • K. Roberts, The Characterization of Implementable Choice Rules, in J.-J. Laffont (ed.), Aggregation and Revelation of Preferences, North-Holland, 1979, pp. 321–348.
  • J.-C. Rochet, A Necessary and Sufficient Condition for Rationalizability in a Quasi-Linear Context, Journal of Mathematical Economics 16, 1987. https://doi.org/10.1016/0304-4068(87)90007-3
  • V. Krishna and E. Maenner, Convex Potentials with an Application to Mechanism Design, Econometrica 69, 2001. https://doi.org/10.1111/1468-0262.00233
  • R. Lavi, A. Mu'alem and N. Nisan, Two Simplified Proofs for Roberts' Theorem, Social Choice and Welfare 32, 2009. https://doi.org/10.1007/s00355-008-0333-3
  • P. Milgrom, Putting Auction Theory to Work, Cambridge University Press, 2004. https://doi.org/10.1017/CBO9780511813825
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Convex OptimizationMechanism DesignOperations Research·Captain: mikedeng1

An Introduction to the Theory of Mechanism Design VI: Rochet's Theorem — Implementability Is Cyclical MonotonicityTextbook

Motivation

Almost every screening, auction and regulation model asks the same preliminary question: which allocation rules can be made incentive-compatible by some choice of payments? In the one-dimensional models of auction theory and nonlinear pricing the answer is monotonicity: higher types must receive higher allocations. Many applications are not one-dimensional, though. Examples are multi-object auctions, multi-product pricing, and lotteries over several outcomes. For those, a characterization that uses no structure at all is needed. Rochet (1987) gave one: an allocation rule is implementable exactly when it is cyclically monotone, a condition that originates in Rockafellar's characterization of subdifferentials of convex functions. Later work on dominant-strategy implementation, the "weak monotonicity" literature of algorithmic mechanism design, and revenue equivalence all build on it.

This mission formalizes Chapter 5 of Börgers, An Introduction to the Theory of Mechanism Design (Oxford University Press, 2015): all nine numbered results of the chapter.

Timeline. Rockafellar (1970, Theorem 24.8) characterized the cyclically monotone maps between vector spaces as the subgradient selections of convex functions. Rochet (1987) extended the idea to arbitrary alternatives and types with quasi-linear utility and proved that implementability is exactly cyclical monotonicity. Krishna and Maenner (2001) proved revenue equivalence on convex type spaces with utilities convex in the type. Bikhchandani, Chatterji, Lavi, Mu'alem, Nisan and Sen (2006) showed that for finitely many alternatives, weak monotonicity (the two-type case of cyclical monotonicity) already suffices on rich, order-based domains. Saks and Yu (2005) proved the same on convex domains.

Setting

A designer and one agent choose an alternative aaa from a set AAA. The agent has a type θ\thetaθ in a nonempty set Θ\ThetaΘ. With utility function u:A×Θ→Ru : A \times \Theta \to \mathbb Ru:A×Θ→R, her payoff from aaa when she pays ttt is u(a,θ)−tu(a,\theta) - tu(a,θ)−t. Neither AAA nor Θ\ThetaΘ carries any structure.

A direct mechanism is a decision rule q:Θ→Aq : \Theta \to Aq:Θ→A and a transfer rule t:Θ→Rt : \Theta \to \mathbb Rt:Θ→R. It is incentive-compatible if u(q(θ),θ)−t(θ)≥u(q(θ′),θ)−t(θ′)u(q(\theta),\theta) - t(\theta) \ge u(q(\theta'),\theta) - t(\theta')u(q(θ),θ)−t(θ)≥u(q(θ′),θ)−t(θ′) for all θ,θ′\theta,\theta'θ,θ′. A decision rule is implementable if some ttt makes it incentive-compatible. It is weakly monotone if u(q(θ1),θ1)−u(q(θ2),θ1)≥u(q(θ1),θ2)−u(q(θ2),θ2)u(q(\theta_1),\theta_1) - u(q(\theta_2),\theta_1) \ge u(q(\theta_1),\theta_2) - u(q(\theta_2),\theta_2)u(q(θ1​),θ1​)−u(q(θ2​),θ1​)≥u(q(θ1​),θ2​)−u(q(θ2​),θ2​) for all pairs of types. It is cyclically monotone if for every finite sequence of types θ1,…,θk\theta^1,\dots,\theta^kθ1,…,θk with θk=θ1\theta^k = \theta^1θk=θ1,

∑κ=1k−1(u(q(θκ),θκ+1)−u(q(θκ),θκ))≤0.\sum_{\kappa=1}^{k-1}\bigl(u(q(\theta^\kappa),\theta^{\kappa+1}) - u(q(\theta^\kappa),\theta^\kappa)\bigr) \le 0 .κ=1∑k−1​(u(q(θκ),θκ+1)−u(q(θκ),θκ))≤0.

A complete and transitive order RRR of AAA induces a partial order on types: θ≻Rθ′\theta \succ_R \theta'θ≻R​θ′ if θ\thetaθ values every RRR-higher alternative strictly more, relative to an RRR-lower one, than θ′\theta'θ′ does, and neither type distinguishes RRR-indifferent alternatives. The type set is one-dimensional if any two distinct types are ≻R\succ_R≻R​-comparable, and bounded if all utility differences lie in (−c,c)(-c,c)(−c,c) for some c>0c > 0c>0. It is rich if, for some reflexive and transitive relation RRR, every function v:A→Rv : A \to \mathbb Rv:A→R with aRb⇒v(a)≥v(b)aRb \Rightarrow v(a) \ge v(b)aRb⇒v(a)≥v(b) is some type's utility function. A mechanism is individually rational with outside option aaa if every type does at least as well as with aaa and no payment.

Formalization targets

Goal: Proposition 5.2 (Rochet)

q implementable  ⟺  q cyclically monotone,q \text{ implementable} \iff q \text{ cyclically monotone},q implementable⟺q cyclically monotone,

for arbitrary AAA, nonempty Θ\ThetaΘ and uuu.

Milestones

  1. Proposition 5.1: implementable ⇒\Rightarrow⇒ weakly monotone.
  2. Proposition 5.3: for lotteries over finitely many outcomes, Θ⊆RΩ\Theta \subseteq \mathbb R^\OmegaΘ⊆RΩ convex and u(p,θ)=p⋅θu(p,\theta) = p\cdot\thetau(p,θ)=p⋅θ, qqq is implementable iff there is a convex UUU on Θ\ThetaΘ with U(θ′)≥U(θ)+q(θ)⋅(θ′−θ)U(\theta') \ge U(\theta) + q(\theta)\cdot(\theta'-\theta)U(θ′)≥U(θ)+q(θ)⋅(θ′−θ) for all θ,θ′\theta,\theta'θ,θ′.
  3. Proposition 5.4: weakly monotone ⇒\Rightarrow⇒ (θ≻Rθ′⇒q(θ) R q(θ′)\theta \succ_R \theta' \Rightarrow q(\theta)\,R\,q(\theta')θ≻R​θ′⇒q(θ)Rq(θ′)), for every complete transitive RRR.
  4. Proposition 5.5: on one-dimensional type sets, weak monotonicity   ⟺  \iff⟺ monotonicity with respect to RRR.
  5. Proposition 5.6: AAA finite, Θ\ThetaΘ bounded and one-dimensional: monotone with respect to RRR ⇒\Rightarrow⇒ implementable.
  6. Proposition 5.7 (Bikhchandani et al.): AAA finite, rich and consistent domain: weakly monotone ⇒\Rightarrow⇒ implementable.
  7. Proposition 5.8 (revenue equivalence): on convex Θ⊆Rn\Theta \subseteq \mathbb R^nΘ⊆Rn with u(a,⋅)u(a,\cdot)u(a,⋅) convex and continuous, if (q,t)(q,t)(q,t) is incentive-compatible then (q,t′)(q,t')(q,t′) is iff t′=t+τt' = t + \taut′=t+τ for a constant τ\tauτ.
  8. Proposition 5.9: on one-dimensional type sets with a lowest type θ‾\underline\thetaθ​ and a worst alternative a‾\underline aa​, an incentive-compatible mechanism is individually rational with outside option a‾\underline aa​ iff u(q(θ‾),θ‾)−t(θ‾)≥u(a‾,θ‾)u(q(\underline\theta),\underline\theta) - t(\underline\theta) \ge u(\underline a,\underline\theta)u(q(θ​),θ​)−t(θ​)≥u(a​,θ​).

Significance

Rochet's theorem turns the existence of payments, an infinite system of linear inequalities in unknowns t(θ)t(\theta)t(θ), into a condition on the decision rule alone. It underlies the characterization of implementable rules in multidimensional screening, the taxation principle, and the dominant-strategy characterizations of Chapter 7 (applied agent by agent). Propositions 5.4–5.6 recover the "monotone allocation" results of the one-dimensional chapters from it. Proposition 5.8 is the general form of the payoff-equivalence lemmas used for optimal auctions.

All results are classical and proved on paper, except Propositions 5.7 and 5.8, whose proofs the book omits and refers to the literature. None of them is formalized on Prove2Me. The platform's algorithmic-game-theory series has the weak-monotonicity half in a multi-agent valuation model (types are valuations A→RA \to \mathbb RA→R), not the abstract-type statement, and has no cyclical-monotonicity or Rochet result.

Difficulty

Necessity is a two-line telescoping argument. Sufficiency needs a transfer rule built from the decision rule, and the first idea fails: prices attached to alternatives chosen pair by pair (which weak monotonicity supplies) need not be globally consistent. Figure 5.1 of the book gives a three-type example that is weakly monotone but not implementable. The transfer must come from a supremum over all finite chains of types starting at a fixed type. The supremum is finite only because of cyclical monotonicity, and no finiteness, compactness or boundedness is available. Proposition 5.8 needs an envelope argument along segments in Θ\ThetaΘ without differentiability. Proposition 5.7 needs a combinatorial argument that uses richness of the domain.

Formalization scope

Alternatives and types are arbitrary Lean types A, Θ with Nonempty Θ, and the utility is u : A → Θ → ℝ. A cycle of length k=m+1k = m+1k=m+1 is a map Fin (m+1) → Θ with equal first and last entries, and its mmm summands are indexed by Fin m. Relations are predicates A → A → Prop. For Propositions 5.3 and 5.8, types form a subset S of Ω → ℝ (resp. Fin n → ℝ) used as a subtype. Lotteries are stdSimplex ℝ Ω, and the subgradient inequality is required only at points of S.

The explicit statements are fixed as follows:

  • Proposition 5.8's conclusion is the exact translation form t′(θ)=t(θ)+τt'(\theta) = t(\theta) + \taut′(θ)=t(θ)+τ for one τ\tauτ and all θ\thetaθ.
  • Proposition 5.9's condition is the single inequality at θ‾\underline\thetaθ​.
  • Boundedness in Proposition 5.6 is Definition 5.9's strict two-sided bound with some c>0c > 0c>0.

Two statements are corrected from the page, each with a counterexample to the literal version recorded in its item:

  • Proposition 5.7 adds Bikhchandani et al.'s requirement that every type's utility respects RRR.
  • Proposition 5.8 adds continuity of u(a,⋅)u(a,\cdot)u(a,⋅) on Θ\ThetaΘ (automatic in the relative interior).

Both directions of Rochet's theorem are required. The necessity half alone, or a version with finite Θ\ThetaΘ, finite AAA or bounded utilities, is a different and much weaker theorem and does not close the goal.

The development needs finite telescoping sums, suprema of sets of reals (sSup with an explicit bounded-above argument), convex functions on sets and one-dimensional convex analysis (Proposition 5.8). The definitions file is reusable for Chapters 6–8 of the series. Contributions of alternative proofs, for example Proposition 5.6 through Rochet's theorem, are welcome.

Selected references

  • T. Börgers, An Introduction to the Theory of Mechanism Design, Oxford University Press, 2015, Chapter 5. https://doi.org/10.1093/acprof:oso/9780199734023.001.0001
  • J.-C. Rochet, "A necessary and sufficient condition for rationalizability in a quasi-linear context," Journal of Mathematical Economics 16 (1987) 191–200. https://doi.org/10.1016/0304-4068(87)90007-3
  • R. T. Rockafellar, Convex Analysis, Princeton University Press, 1970, Theorem 24.8.
  • V. Krishna and E. Maenner, "Convex potentials with an application to mechanism design," Econometrica 69 (2001) 1113–1119. https://doi.org/10.1111/1468-0262.00233
  • S. Bikhchandani, S. Chatterji, R. Lavi, A. Mu'alem, N. Nisan and A. Sen, "Weak monotonicity characterizes deterministic dominant-strategy implementation," Econometrica 74 (2006) 1109–1132. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1468-0262.2006.00695.x
  • M. Saks and L. Yu, "Weak monotonicity suffices for truthfulness on convex domains," Proceedings of the 6th ACM Conference on Electronic Commerce (2005) 286–293. https://doi.org/10.1145/1064009.1064039
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Mechanism DesignOperations Research·Captain: mikedeng1

An Introduction to the Theory of Mechanism Design V: Dominant-Strategy Public Goods Mechanisms for Two Agents Are Fixed Cost SharesTextbook

Motivation

Bayesian mechanism design assumes that the designer knows a common prior from which every agent's beliefs about the others are derived. Chapter 4 of Börgers' An Introduction to the Theory of Mechanism Design (Oxford University Press, 2015, DOI 10.1093/acprof:oso/9780199734023.001.0001) drops that assumption. The designer is unwilling to rely on anything about what agents believe about each other, and therefore requires that truth telling be optimal for every type whatever the other agents report (dominant strategy incentive compatibility) and that participation be worthwhile after all reports are known (ex post individual rationality). The chapter revisits the three examples of Chapter 3 (single unit auctions, public goods, bilateral trade) and asks which mechanisms survive these requirements.

The answer differs sharply between examples. In auctions nothing is lost: an expected-revenue-maximizing auction can be implemented in dominant strategies. With a budget constraint, the class collapses. For a public good shared by two agents, the only dominant-strategy, ex post individually rational mechanisms that exactly balance the budget are fixed cost shares; in bilateral trade they are fixed-price mechanisms. These results go back to the dominant-strategy literature on public goods (Serizawa 1999, Econometrica) and on bilateral trade (Hagerty and Rogerson 1987, Journal of Economic Theory), as the book's §4.5 records (p.93), and they explain why simple posted-price and cost-sharing rules are common in practice.

Setting

Every agent iii has a type θi\theta_iθi​ in an interval. In the auction and the public good examples the interval is [θ‾,θˉ][\underline\theta,\bar\theta][θ​,θˉ] with 0≤θ‾<θˉ0 \le \underline\theta < \bar\theta0≤θ​<θˉ; Θ=[θ‾,θˉ]I\Theta = [\underline\theta,\bar\theta]^IΘ=[θ​,θˉ]I is the set of type vectors, and θ−i\theta_{-i}θ−i​ is θ\thetaθ without its iii-th entry. A direct mechanism asks every agent to report a type and maps the reports to an outcome.

  • Auction (§4.2). A seller has one good. The mechanism consists of allocation probabilities qi(θ)≥0q_i(\theta) \ge 0qi​(θ)≥0 with ∑iqi(θ)≤1\sum_i q_i(\theta) \le 1∑i​qi​(θ)≤1 and payments ti(θ)t_i(\theta)ti​(θ); buyer iii's utility is θiqi(θ)−ti(θ)\theta_i q_i(\theta) - t_i(\theta)θi​qi​(θ)−ti​(θ).
  • Public good (§4.3). A good costing c>0c > 0c>0 is produced (q(θ)=1q(\theta) = 1q(θ)=1) or not (q(θ)=0q(\theta) = 0q(θ)=0); agent iii pays ti(θ)t_i(\theta)ti​(θ) and has utility θiq(θ)−ti(θ)\theta_i q(\theta) - t_i(\theta)θi​q(θ)−ti​(θ). Ex post budget balance is the equality ∑iti(θ)=c q(θ)\sum_i t_i(\theta) = c\,q(\theta)∑i​ti​(θ)=cq(θ) for every θ\thetaθ.
  • Bilateral trade (§4.4). A seller with type θS∈[θ‾S,θˉS]\theta_S \in [\underline\theta_S,\bar\theta_S]θS​∈[θ​S​,θˉS​] and a buyer with type θB∈[θ‾B,θˉB]\theta_B \in [\underline\theta_B,\bar\theta_B]θB​∈[θ​B​,θˉB​]; trade takes place (q(θ)=1q(\theta) = 1q(θ)=1) or not; the seller receives tS(θ)t_S(\theta)tS​(θ) and has utility θS(1−q(θ))+tS(θ)\theta_S(1-q(\theta)) + t_S(\theta)θS​(1−q(θ))+tS​(θ); the buyer pays tB(θ)t_B(\theta)tB​(θ) and has utility θBq(θ)−tB(θ)\theta_B q(\theta) - t_B(\theta)θB​q(θ)−tB​(θ). Ex post exact budget balance is tB=tSt_B = t_StB​=tS​.

A mechanism is dominant strategy incentive-compatible if for every agent, every true type, every false report and every report profile of the others, truthful reporting yields at least as much utility. It is ex post individually rational if every type's utility at every type vector is at least its outside option: 000 for buyers and public good agents, θS\theta_SθS​ (keeping the good) for the seller. A canonical mechanism (Definitions 4.3–4.5) allocates according to strictly increasing continuous scores ψi(θi)\psi_i(\theta_i)ψi​(θi​) and charges each agent the smallest report with which the outcome would have been the same.

Formalization targets

Goal: Proposition 4.8, fixed cost shares

For N=2N = 2N=2 and a decision rule whose production set {θ∈Θ∣q(θ)=1}\{\theta \in \Theta \mid q(\theta) = 1\}{θ∈Θ∣q(θ)=1} is closed, a direct public good mechanism is dominant strategy incentive-compatible, ex post individually rational and ex post budget balanced if and only if there are τ1,τ2∈R\tau_1, \tau_2 \in \mathbb Rτ1​,τ2​∈R with τ1+τ2=c\tau_1 + \tau_2 = cτ1​+τ2​=c and, for all θ∈Θ\theta \in \Thetaθ∈Θ,

q(θ)=1, ti(θ)=τi  if θ1≥τ1 and θ2≥τ2;q(θ)=0, ti(θ)=0  otherwise.q(\theta) = 1,\ t_i(\theta) = \tau_i \ \text{ if } \theta_1 \ge \tau_1 \text{ and } \theta_2 \ge \tau_2; \qquad q(\theta) = 0,\ t_i(\theta) = 0 \ \text{ otherwise.}q(θ)=1, ti​(θ)=τi​  if θ1​≥τ1​ and θ2​≥τ2​;q(θ)=0, ti​(θ)=0  otherwise.

Both directions are part of the goal; the "only if" direction is the content.

Milestones

  • The revelation principle for dominant strategies (Proposition 4.1).
  • Characterizations of dominant strategy incentive compatibility: monotone allocation with the envelope payment formula in auctions (Proposition 4.2), threshold rules with payment jump τ^i−τi=θ^i\hat\tau_i - \tau_i = \hat\theta_iτ^i​−τi​=θ^i​ for public goods (Proposition 4.5) and bilateral trade (Proposition 4.9).
  • Ex post individual rationality reduces to the lowest type, or to the highest seller type (Propositions 4.3, 4.6, 4.10).
  • Canonical mechanisms are dominant strategy incentive-compatible and ex post individually rational, with zero rent for the lowest type (Propositions 4.4, 4.7, 4.11).
  • The bilateral trade analogue of the goal (Proposition 4.12): the only such mechanisms with tB=tSt_B = t_StB​=tS​ and closed trade set are no trade, or trade at a fixed price θ^\hat\thetaθ^ exactly when θS≤θ^≤θB\theta_S \le \hat\theta \le \theta_BθS​≤θ^≤θB​.

Significance

Proposition 4.4 shows that the optimal auctions of Chapter 3 remain available without any assumption on beliefs, while Propositions 4.8 and 4.12 show that under exact budget balance, dominant strategy implementation forces rules that ignore reported valuations except through a yes/no participation decision. Together they mark the boundary between settings where the Bayesian and the belief-free approaches coincide and settings where the belief-free requirement is severe. This contrast motivates the robust mechanism design of Chapter 10.

These results are proved in the book: Propositions 4.5 and 4.8 in full, the others with proofs omitted or "analogous". No machine-checked proof of them appears on the platform or in Mathlib. The platform has a single-parameter characterization in a different model (AGT.single_parameter_characterization: valuation profiles, win sets, normalized losers' payments) and the second-price dominance fact; neither covers public goods, bilateral trade, budget balance or randomized allocations. The mission would add a machine-checked belief-free counterpart of Chapter 3, including the two characterization theorems whose printed proofs leave cases to the reader.

Difficulty

The characterizations (Propositions 4.2, 4.5, 4.9) are standard single-agent arguments applied to every profile of the others. The goal is harder. Proposition 4.5 describes each agent's incentives separately, for each report of the other agent, with thresholds and payments that may vary with that report. Budget balance couples the two agents' payments at every type vector. The step that fails when attempted naively is going from "a threshold for each θ−i\theta_{-i}θ−i​" to "one fixed threshold for each agent": the thresholds may lie outside the type interval, several degenerate configurations occur (an agent whose report never matters, a good that is always or never produced), and the printed proof treats the degenerate cases by assuming θ‾=0\underline\theta = 0θ​=0 and leaves one of them "analogous". The closedness hypothesis is what makes the relevant minimal types exist; without it the boundary of the production set is not determined. Proposition 4.12 has the same structure with the seller's orientation reversed.

Formalization scope

  • Agents are a finite type with decidable equality (auctions, public goods), Fin 2 for the goal, and a pair (θS, θB) : ℝ × ℝ for bilateral trade. A deviation (θi′,θ−i)(\theta_i', \theta_{-i})(θi′​,θ−i​) is Function.update θ i x for θ ∈ Θ; quantifying over θ ∈ Θ quantifies over θ−i\theta_{-i}θ−i​.
  • Decision and trading rules are real-valued and take values in {0,1}\{0,1\}{0,1} on Θ\ThetaΘ; auction allocations lie in Δ\DeltaΔ on Θ\ThetaΘ. Values outside Θ\ThetaΘ play no role.
  • Budget balance in §§4.3–4.4 is the equality ∑iti=c q\sum_i t_i = c\,q∑i​ti​=cq (resp. tB=tSt_B = t_StB​=tS​). The inequality of Definition 3.5 would make the goal false.
  • Explicit formulas stated as in the book: the payment identity of Proposition 4.2, the relation τ^i−τi=θ^i\hat\tau_i - \tau_i = \hat\theta_iτ^i​−τi​=θ^i​ (Propositions 4.5, 4.9), the canonical payments of Definitions 4.3–4.5 (with the 1/n1/n1/n tie-splitting of Definition 4.3), the cost shares with τ1+τ2=c\tau_1 + \tau_2 = cτ1​+τ2​=c (Proposition 4.8) and the fixed price θ^\hat\thetaθ^ with trade iff θS≤θ^≤θB\theta_S \le \hat\theta \le \theta_BθS​≤θ^≤θB​ (Proposition 4.12). Minima and maxima in the canonical payments are written as sInf/sSup of sets that are nonempty and closed whenever they are used.
  • Thresholds θ^i\hat\theta_iθ^i​ range over R\mathbb RR and depend on θ−i\theta_{-i}θ−i​; cost shares τi\tau_iτi​ may be negative; the goal does not assume θ‾=0\underline\theta = 0θ​=0.
  • The general mechanism of Proposition 4.1 has arbitrary message sets and an outcome function to allocation probabilities and expected payments. Stating the revelation principle for a mechanism that is already direct would trivialize it and is ruled out.
  • The goal must not be weakened to one direction, to the existence of some fixed-share mechanism, or to budget balance as an inequality.

Contributions welcome: proofs of the characterization milestones (4.2, 4.5, 4.9), which the goal and Proposition 4.12 use; a proof of the goal covering the degenerate cases the book leaves to the reader; and the three-agent counterexample of p.90 as a separate statement.

Selected references

  • T. Börgers (with D. Krähmer and R. Strausz), An Introduction to the Theory of Mechanism Design, Oxford University Press, 2015, Chapter 4. DOI 10.1093/acprof:oso/9780199734023.001.0001
  • K. M. Hagerty and W. P. Rogerson, Robust trading mechanisms, Journal of Economic Theory 42 (1987) 94–107.
  • S. Serizawa, Strategy-proof and symmetric social choice functions for public good economies, Econometrica 67 (1999) 121–145.
  • D. Mookherjee and S. Reichelstein, Dominant strategy implementation of Bayesian incentive compatible allocation rules, Journal of Economic Theory 56 (1992) 378–399.
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Mechanism DesignOperations ResearchProbability·Captain: mikedeng1

An Introduction to the Theory of Mechanism Design IV: The Myerson–Satterthwaite TheoremTextbook

Motivation

Stock exchanges, commodity markets and trading platforms are institutions for trade between parties who each know something the other does not. The simplest version is bilateral trade: one seller, one buyer, one indivisible good, and each side privately knows its own value. The question is whether any trading institution can make the two trade exactly when trade is efficient, with both taking part voluntarily and without a subsidy from outside. Myerson and Satterthwaite (1983) showed that, apart from trivial cases, none can. The result is one of the basic impossibility theorems of economic theory. It explains why bargaining under private information is inefficient, and it is the benchmark every later analysis of double auctions and market design compares against.

This mission formalizes Section 3.4 of Börgers, An Introduction to the Theory of Mechanism Design (Oxford University Press, 2015): the impossibility theorem, the pivot-mechanism argument that proves it, the second-best and profit-maximizing trading mechanisms, and the uniform example.

Timeline. Vickrey (1961) noted the tension between efficiency and budget balance in markets with private values. Chatterjee and Samuelson (1983) studied the sealed-offer double auction and its linear equilibrium for uniform values. Myerson and Satterthwaite (1983) proved the impossibility for general independent distributions with overlapping supports, and computed the second-best mechanism; for uniform values it coincides with the Chatterjee–Samuelson linear equilibrium. Börgers (2015) gives the pivot-mechanism proof formalized here.

Setting

A seller SSS owns one indivisible good; a buyer BBB may buy it. The seller's value θS\theta_SθS​ has distribution FSF_SFS​ with density fS>0f_S > 0fS​>0 on [θ‾S,θ‾S][\underline\theta_S, \overline\theta_S][θ​S​,θS​]; the buyer's value θB\theta_BθB​ has distribution FBF_BFB​ with density fB>0f_B > 0fB​>0 on [θ‾B,θ‾B][\underline\theta_B, \overline\theta_B][θ​B​,θB​]. The two intervals are nondegenerate and may differ, and the values are independent. The seller's utility is ttt if she sells for ttt and θS+t\theta_S + tθS​+t if she keeps the good and receives ttt; the buyer's is θB−t\theta_B - tθB​−t if he buys and pays ttt, and −t-t−t otherwise.

A direct mechanism is a trading rule q:Θ→{0,1}q : \Theta \to \{0,1\}q:Θ→{0,1} on Θ=[θ‾S,θ‾S]×[θ‾B,θ‾B]\Theta = [\underline\theta_S, \overline\theta_S] \times [\underline\theta_B, \overline\theta_B]Θ=[θ​S​,θS​]×[θ​B​,θB​] and transfers tSt_StS​ (received by the seller) and tBt_BtB​ (paid by the buyer). Conditioning on one agent's type gives the interim trade probabilities QS,QBQ_S, Q_BQS​,QB​, the interim transfers TS,TBT_S, T_BTS​,TB​, and the interim utilities US(θS)=TS(θS)+(1−QS(θS))θSU_S(\theta_S) = T_S(\theta_S) + (1 - Q_S(\theta_S))\theta_SUS​(θS​)=TS​(θS​)+(1−QS​(θS​))θS​ and UB(θB)=QB(θB)θB−TB(θB)U_B(\theta_B) = Q_B(\theta_B)\theta_B - T_B(\theta_B)UB​(θB​)=QB​(θB​)θB​−TB​(θB​). The mechanism is incentive-compatible if truthful reporting is a Bayesian equilibrium, individually rational if US(θS)≥θSU_S(\theta_S) \ge \theta_SUS​(θS​)≥θS​ and UB(θB)≥0U_B(\theta_B) \ge 0UB​(θB​)≥0 for all types, ex post budget balanced if tS(θ)=tB(θ)t_S(\theta) = t_B(\theta)tS​(θ)=tB​(θ) for every θ\thetaθ, and ex ante budget balanced if E[tS]=E[tB]\mathbb E[t_S] = \mathbb E[t_B]E[tS​]=E[tB​]. A first-best trading rule trades when θB>θS\theta_B > \theta_SθB​>θS​ and not when θB<θS\theta_B < \theta_SθB​<θS​, with any choice at ties. The seller's virtual cost is ψS=θS+FS/fS\psi_S = \theta_S + F_S/f_SψS​=θS​+FS​/fS​ and the buyer's virtual valuation is ψB=θB−(1−FB)/fB\psi_B = \theta_B - (1 - F_B)/f_BψB​=θB​−(1−FB​)/fB​; the distributions are regular if both are increasing.

Formalization targets

Goal: Proposition 3.12 (Myerson–Satterthwaite)

An incentive-compatible, individually rational and ex post budget balanced direct mechanism with a first-best trading rule exists if and only if

θ‾B≥θ‾Sorθ‾S≥θ‾B.\underline\theta_B \ge \overline\theta_S \quad\text{or}\quad \underline\theta_S \ge \overline\theta_B .θ​B​≥θS​orθ​S​≥θB​.

Milestones

  • Lemmas 3.9–3.11. The pivot mechanism is incentive-compatible and individually rational. Among all such mechanisms that implement a first-best rule, it maximizes E[tB−tS]\mathbb E[t_B - t_S]E[tB​−tS​]. That quantity is negative whenever θ‾B<θ‾S\underline\theta_B < \overline\theta_Sθ​B​<θS​ and θ‾B>θ‾S\overline\theta_B > \underline\theta_SθB​>θ​S​.
  • Proposition 3.13 (second best). With overlapping supports and regular distributions, the welfare-maximizing incentive-compatible, individually rational, ex ante budget balanced mechanisms are characterized by the trading rule
q(θ)=1  ⟺  θB−λ1+λ1−FB(θB)fB(θB)≥θS+λ1+λFS(θS)fS(θS)q(\theta) = 1 \iff \theta_B - \tfrac{\lambda}{1+\lambda}\tfrac{1 - F_B(\theta_B)}{f_B(\theta_B)} \ge \theta_S + \tfrac{\lambda}{1+\lambda}\tfrac{F_S(\theta_S)}{f_S(\theta_S)}q(θ)=1⟺θB​−1+λλ​fB​(θB​)1−FB​(θB​)​≥θS​+1+λλ​fS​(θS​)FS​(θS​)​

for some λ>0\lambda > 0λ>0, exact budget balance ∫q (ψB−ψS) f=θ‾S−∫ψSf\int q\,(\psi_B - \psi_S)\,f = \overline\theta_S - \int \psi_S f∫q(ψB​−ψS​)f=θS​−∫ψS​f, and the incentive-compatible payments with binding participation of θ‾S\overline\theta_SθS​ and θ‾B\underline\theta_Bθ​B​.

  • Proposition 3.14 (profit maximization). Profit E[tB−tS]\mathbb E[t_B - t_S]E[tB​−tS​] is maximized by trading iff ψB(θB)>ψS(θS)\psi_B(\theta_B) > \psi_S(\theta_S)ψB​(θB​)>ψS​(θS​), with the same payment formulas.
  • Propositions 3.15–3.16 (uniform values on [0,1][0,1][0,1]). The second best trades iff θB−θS>1/4\theta_B - \theta_S > 1/4θB​−θS​>1/4; the profit maximizer trades iff θB−θS>1/2\theta_B - \theta_S > 1/2θB​−θS​>1/2.

Significance

The theorem locates the source of inefficiency in bilateral bargaining in private information itself, not in any particular bargaining protocol: no mechanism, however clever, achieves efficient voluntary trade without a subsidy. It is the reason efficiency in markets is studied as a limit (large double auctions approach efficiency as the number of traders grows), and why a trading platform's fee structure is analyzed as a second-best problem. The pivot-mechanism argument is the same one that proves the impossibility of first-best public-goods provision (Proposition 3.7), so the two formalizations share their structure.

All results of this section are classical and proved on paper. None is formalized on Prove2Me, and Mathlib has no mechanism-design library. The platform has the Chatterjee–Samuelson linear equilibrium as an open statement about one particular game; this mission states results about all mechanisms. A complete development yields a reusable one-dimensional envelope/payoff-equivalence library for two agents with differently oriented types (the seller's incentive constraint runs from high types down), and the Lagrangian optimality argument for a linear objective under a single linear constraint.

Difficulty

The obvious attempt to prove impossibility looks for a contradiction between incentive compatibility and budget balance state by state. That fails: incentive compatibility and participation are interim constraints, so any single state admits budget-balanced transfers consistent with them, and the contradiction exists only after integrating over the prior. Two points need care. The seller's orientation is reversed: her trade probability is decreasing and her participation constraint binds at the highest type. And the deficit of the pivot mechanism must be shown to have positive probability, which uses that the supports overlap in a set with nonempty interior. The optimal-mechanism results additionally need that the trading rule implied by a Lagrange multiplier satisfies the monotonicity constraint, which is where regularity enters, and that a multiplier exists which makes the budget constraint bind.

Formalization scope

A type vector is a pair θ : ℝ × ℝ with θ.1 the seller's and θ.2 the buyer's value. The prior is Lebesgue measure on Θ\ThetaΘ with density fS(θS)fB(θB)f_S(\theta_S) f_B(\theta_B)fS​(θS​)fB​(θB​). Densities are measurable, strictly positive on the closed supports and integrate to one; nothing else, such as continuity, is assumed. The trading rule is real-valued with values in {0,1}\{0,1\}{0,1} on Θ\ThetaΘ (deterministic, as in Definition 3.9). The measurability the book omits (Ch. 2 note 2) is built into the admissible class: qqq, tSt_StS​, tBt_BtB​ are measurable with integrable transfers. "Increasing" is weak monotonicity, the book's convention.

Explicit formulas the statements carry: the first-best rule (3.61) with free tie rule, the pivot transfers of Definition 3.10, the rule (3.70) with parameter λ>0\lambda > 0λ>0, the exact budget equation of Proposition 3.13 (ii), the payment formulas TB(θB)=θBQB(θB)−∫θ‾BθBQBT_B(\theta_B) = \theta_B Q_B(\theta_B) - \int_{\underline\theta_B}^{\theta_B} Q_BTB​(θB​)=θB​QB​(θB​)−∫θ​B​θB​​QB​ and TS(θS)=θ‾S−(1−QS(θS))θS−∫θSθ‾S(1−QS)T_S(\theta_S) = \overline\theta_S - (1 - Q_S(\theta_S))\theta_S - \int_{\theta_S}^{\overline\theta_S}(1 - Q_S)TS​(θS​)=θS​−(1−QS​(θS​))θS​−∫θS​θS​​(1−QS​), the profit rule ψB>ψS\psi_B > \psi_SψB​>ψS​, and the thresholds 1/41/41/4 and 1/21/21/2.

The goal quantifies over every first-best trading rule and imposes budget balance as the ex post equality tS=tBt_S = t_BtS​=tB​. Dropping budget balance, weakening it to tS≤tBt_S \le t_BtS​≤tB​, or fixing one tie rule would give a different, and in the first case false, statement. The pointwise "if and only if … for all θ\thetaθ" characterizations of Propositions 3.13–3.16 are stated with necessity almost everywhere, since an optimal trading rule is determined only up to null sets. For Proposition 3.14 necessity is also restricted to {ψB≠ψS}\{\psi_B \ne \psi_S\}{ψB​=ψS​}: under weak regularity that tie set can have positive probability, and profit does not depend on the trading rule there.

Contributions welcome: proofs of the milestones, a two-agent payoff-equivalence lemma for the seller's reversed orientation, and a sorry-free construction of the pivot mechanism's integrability facts.

Selected references

  • R. B. Myerson and M. A. Satterthwaite, Efficient mechanisms for bilateral trading, Journal of Economic Theory 29 (1983) 265–281. https://doi.org/10.1016/0022-0531(83)90048-0
  • K. Chatterjee and W. Samuelson, Bargaining under incomplete information, Operations Research 31 (1983) 835–851. https://doi.org/10.1287/opre.31.5.835
  • W. Vickrey, Counterspeculation, auctions, and competitive sealed tenders, Journal of Finance 16 (1961) 8–37. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1540-6261.1961.tb02789.x
  • T. Börgers, An Introduction to the Theory of Mechanism Design, Oxford University Press, 2015, §3.4. https://doi.org/10.1093/acprof:oso/9780199734023.001.0001
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An Introduction to the Theory of Mechanism Design III: Impossibility of First-Best Public Goods ProvisionTextbook

Motivation

Whether a community can finance a shared project out of voluntary contributions, when each member knows only her own benefit from it, is one of the founding questions of mechanism design. Bayesian mechanism design began with mechanisms for the provision of public goods: d'Aspremont and Gérard-Varet (1979) and Arrow (1979) showed that the efficient decision can be made Bayesian incentive compatible with a budget that balances in every state, provided agents cannot opt out. Once participation is voluntary, this is no longer possible, and Güth and Hellwig (1986) studied the best mechanism under that constraint. The same tension between efficiency, incentives, voluntary participation and budget balance drives the Myerson–Satterthwaite theorem for bilateral trade, which the next mission of this series formalizes.

This mission formalizes Section 3.3 of Tilman Börgers, An Introduction to the Theory of Mechanism Design (Oxford University Press, 2015), which treats the public goods problem in the independent private values model with a continuum of types. The section proves an impossibility theorem for first best provision and then characterizes the best mechanisms that respect the budget: the welfare-maximizing (second best) mechanism and the profit-maximizing one, with a worked two-agent uniform example.

Setting

A community of agents I={1,…,N}I = \{1, \dots, N\}I={1,…,N}, N≥2N \ge 2N≥2, decides whether to produce an indivisible, nonexcludable public good, g∈{0,1}g \in \{0,1\}g∈{0,1}, at cost c>0c > 0c>0. Agent iii pays a transfer tit_iti​ and obtains utility θig−ti\theta_i g - t_iθi​g−ti​. Her type θi\theta_iθi​ is private information, drawn independently across agents from a distribution FiF_iFi​ with density fif_ifi​, strictly positive on the common support [θ‾,θˉ][\underline\theta, \bar\theta][θ​,θˉ], 0≤θ‾<θˉ0 \le \underline\theta < \bar\theta0≤θ​<θˉ. The type space is Θ=[θ‾,θˉ]N\Theta = [\underline\theta, \bar\theta]^NΘ=[θ​,θˉ]N and f(θ)=∏ifi(θi)f(\theta) = \prod_i f_i(\theta_i)f(θ)=∏i​fi​(θi​).

A direct mechanism is a decision rule q:Θ→{0,1}q : \Theta \to \{0,1\}q:Θ→{0,1} and transfer rules ti:Θ→Rt_i : \Theta \to \mathbb Rti​:Θ→R. For agent iii reporting θi\theta_iθi​, Qi(θi)Q_i(\theta_i)Qi​(θi​) is the probability of production and Ti(θi)T_i(\theta_i)Ti​(θi​) the expected transfer, taken over the other agents' types, and Ui(θi)=Qi(θi)θi−Ti(θi)U_i(\theta_i) = Q_i(\theta_i)\theta_i - T_i(\theta_i)Ui​(θi​)=Qi​(θi​)θi​−Ti​(θi​). The mechanism is incentive compatible (IC) if θiQi(θi)−Ti(θi)≥θiQi(θi′)−Ti(θi′)\theta_i Q_i(\theta_i) - T_i(\theta_i) \ge \theta_i Q_i(\theta_i') - T_i(\theta_i')θi​Qi​(θi​)−Ti​(θi​)≥θi​Qi​(θi′​)−Ti​(θi′​) for all i,θi,θi′i, \theta_i, \theta_i'i,θi​,θi′​, and individually rational (IR) if Ui(θi)≥0U_i(\theta_i) \ge 0Ui​(θi​)≥0 for all i,θii, \theta_ii,θi​. It is ex post budget balanced if ∑iti(θ)≥c q(θ)\sum_i t_i(\theta) \ge c\,q(\theta)∑i​ti​(θ)≥cq(θ) for every θ\thetaθ, and ex ante budget balanced if this inequality holds after integrating both sides against fff.

Welfare is (∑iθi) g−∑iti(\sum_i \theta_i)\, g - \sum_i t_i(∑i​θi​)g−∑i​ti​. The first best decision rule is q∗(θ)=1q^*(\theta) = 1q∗(θ)=1 if ∑iθi≥c\sum_i \theta_i \ge c∑i​θi​≥c and 000 otherwise; a first best mechanism uses q∗q^*q∗ and transfers that add up to exactly c q∗(θ)c\,q^*(\theta)cq∗(θ) in every state. The pivot mechanism uses q∗q^*q∗ and

ti(θ)=θ‾ q∗(θ‾,θ−i)+(q∗(θ)−q∗(θ‾,θ−i))(c−∑j≠iθj).t_i(\theta) = \underline\theta\, q^*(\underline\theta,\theta_{-i}) + \big(q^*(\theta) - q^*(\underline\theta,\theta_{-i})\big)\Big(c - \sum_{j\ne i}\theta_j\Big).ti​(θ)=θ​q∗(θ​,θ−i​)+(q∗(θ)−q∗(θ​,θ−i​))(c−j=i∑​θj​).

The virtual valuation is ψi(θi)=θi−(1−Fi(θi))/fi(θi)\psi_i(\theta_i) = \theta_i - (1-F_i(\theta_i))/f_i(\theta_i)ψi​(θi​)=θi​−(1−Fi​(θi​))/fi​(θi​), and FiF_iFi​ is regular if ψi\psi_iψi​ is strictly increasing.

Formalization targets

Goal: Proposition 3.7

∃ an IC and IR first best mechanism  ⟺  Nθ‾≥c  or  Nθˉ≤c.\exists\ \text{an IC and IR first best mechanism} \iff N\underline\theta \ge c \ \text{ or }\ N\bar\theta \le c .∃ an IC and IR first best mechanism⟺Nθ​≥c  or  Nθˉ≤c.

In the two cases on the right, producing is efficient for every type vector or for none; in every other case efficient provision cannot be financed voluntarily.

Milestones

  1. Proposition 3.6: every ex ante budget balanced mechanism has an equivalent ex post budget balanced one.
  2. Lemma 3.6: the pivot mechanism is IC and IR.
  3. Lemma 3.7: among IC and IR mechanisms with decision rule q∗q^*q∗, the pivot mechanism has the largest expected budget surplus.
  4. Lemma 3.8: if Nθ‾<c<NθˉN\underline\theta < c < N\bar\thetaNθ​<c<Nθˉ, the pivot mechanism's expected budget surplus is negative.
  5. Proposition 3.8 (second best): under regularity and Nθ‾<c<NθˉN\underline\theta < c < N\bar\thetaNθ​<c<Nθˉ, an IC, IR, ex ante budget balanced mechanism maximizes expected welfare among such mechanisms iff for some λ>0\lambda > 0λ>0
q(θ)=1  ⟺  ∑iθi>c+∑iλ1+λ 1−Fi(θi)fi(θi),q(\theta) = 1 \iff \sum_i \theta_i > c + \sum_i \frac{\lambda}{1+\lambda}\,\frac{1-F_i(\theta_i)}{f_i(\theta_i)},q(θ)=1⟺i∑​θi​>c+i∑​1+λλ​fi​(θi​)1−Fi​(θi​)​,

the budget binds, ∫Θq(θ)[∑iψi(θi)−c]f(θ) dθ=0\int_\Theta q(\theta)\big[\sum_i \psi_i(\theta_i) - c\big] f(\theta)\,d\theta = 0∫Θ​q(θ)[∑i​ψi​(θi​)−c]f(θ)dθ=0, and Ti(θi)=θiQi(θi)−∫θ‾θiQi(x) dxT_i(\theta_i) = \theta_i Q_i(\theta_i) - \int_{\underline\theta}^{\theta_i} Q_i(x)\,dxTi​(θi​)=θi​Qi​(θi​)−∫θ​θi​​Qi​(x)dx. 6. Proposition 3.9 (profit maximization): under regularity, the profit-maximizing IC and IR mechanism produces iff ∑iθi>c+∑i(1−Fi(θi))/fi(θi)\sum_i \theta_i > c + \sum_i (1-F_i(\theta_i))/f_i(\theta_i)∑i​θi​>c+∑i​(1−Fi​(θi​))/fi​(θi​), with the same formula for TiT_iTi​. 7. Proposition 3.10 (Example 3.3: N=2N=2N=2, uniform types on [0,1][0,1][0,1], 0<c<20<c<20<c<2): the second best produces iff θ1+θ2>s\theta_1+\theta_2 > sθ1​+θ2​>s, where sss is the unique root in [0,1][0,1][0,1] of −23s3+s2−(1−12s2)c=0-\tfrac23 s^3 + s^2 - (1-\tfrac12 s^2)c = 0−32​s3+s2−(1−21​s2)c=0 if c<2/3c < 2/3c<2/3, and s=12+34cs = \tfrac12 + \tfrac34 cs=21​+43​c if c≥2/3c \ge 2/3c≥2/3. 8. Proposition 3.11 (same example): the profit maximizer produces iff θ1+θ2>1+12c\theta_1+\theta_2 > 1 + \tfrac12 cθ1​+θ2​>1+21​c.

Significance

Proposition 3.7 says that with voluntary participation no mechanism both takes efficient production decisions and pays for them, outside the degenerate cases. It is the reason the rest of the section, and much of the applied literature on public goods, studies constrained optimum mechanisms: Proposition 3.8 describes what the best budget-respecting mechanism gives up (it undersupplies the good, producing only when valuations exceed a bound strictly above the cost), and Proposition 3.9 quantifies the further distortion under a monopoly supplier. The example makes the three thresholds explicit and comparable.

All results of the section are classical and proved in the book, several of them only sketched there (Proposition 3.9 is stated without proof; Proposition 3.8 invokes an infinite-dimensional Kuhn–Tucker theorem whose applicability is not checked). None of them is formalized in Lean. The mission produces a machine-checked account of the envelope and revenue-equivalence arguments with interim expectations over independent types, a checked pivot-mechanism deficit computation, and a checked Lagrangian characterization; the uniform example additionally certifies the book's arithmetic.

Difficulty

The naive argument for the goal fails at the first step: a mechanism that implements q∗q^*q∗ with a balanced budget in every state is not obviously comparable to one that is only IC and IR, because IC constrains interim expectations while budget balance is ex post. The impossibility needs a reduction of the whole class of IC, IR mechanisms with rule q∗q^*q∗ to a single extremal one, which requires the payoff equivalence formula for interim utilities and an exact integral identity for expected revenue in terms of virtual valuations. The strict deficit of the pivot mechanism then needs a case analysis over which agents are pivotal and a positive-probability argument. For Proposition 3.8, pointwise maximization of a Lagrangian is not enough: one must show the multiplier exists and is positive, that the maximizer satisfies the monotonicity constraint, and that uniqueness holds only up to null sets.

Formalization scope

Agents are Fin N with N≥2N \ge 2N≥2; types are vectors in Fin N → ℝ; the type distribution is the product of the marginal measures fi(x) dxf_i(x)\,dxfi​(x)dx on [θ‾,θˉ][\underline\theta,\bar\theta][θ​,θˉ], which encodes independence. QiQ_iQi​ and TiT_iTi​ integrate the decision and transfer rules against this distribution with agent iii's coordinate overwritten by her report. Decision rules are deterministic, with values in {0,1}\{0,1\}{0,1} on Θ\ThetaΘ, as in Definition 3.4. Ties in the first best rule produce, as in the book's note 2 to Chapter 3; the second best and profit-maximizing rules use strict inequalities, as printed.

The book omits measurability and the existence of conditional expectations; the class of direct mechanisms here requires qqq and each tit_iti​ to be Borel measurable, each tit_iti​ integrable, and each conditional expectation of tit_iti​ given one agent's type to exist. The characterizations in Propositions 3.8–3.11 are stated in two directions: the stated rule, for every θ\thetaθ, is sufficient; necessity holds for almost every θ\thetaθ, since changing qqq on a null set of type vectors changes nothing that is optimized. The explicit formulas the mission commits to are: the pivot transfers above; the second best rule with multiplier λ>0\lambda > 0λ>0 and the binding budget identity; Ti(θi)=θiQi(θi)−∫θ‾θiQiT_i(\theta_i) = \theta_i Q_i(\theta_i) - \int_{\underline\theta}^{\theta_i} Q_iTi​(θi​)=θi​Qi​(θi​)−∫θ​θi​​Qi​; the cubic −23s3+s2−(1−12s2)c=0-\tfrac23 s^3 + s^2 - (1-\tfrac12 s^2)c = 0−32​s3+s2−(1−21​s2)c=0 for c<2/3c < 2/3c<2/3; s=12+34cs = \tfrac12 + \tfrac34 cs=21​+43​c for c≥2/3c \ge 2/3c≥2/3; and s=1+12cs = 1 + \tfrac12 cs=1+21​c for the profit maximizer.

A trivializing formalization of the goal takes "first best" to mean only the decision rule q∗q^*q∗; the pivot mechanism would then be a witness in every case, so first best here also requires transfers adding up to exactly c q∗(θ)c\,q^*(\theta)cq∗(θ) in every state.

Reusable infrastructure includes interim expectations over independent product distributions, the payoff and revenue equivalence lemmas for IC mechanisms, and the virtual-valuation identity for expected revenue; these are shared with the auction and bilateral trade chapters of the series. Contributions to any milestone, and to general lemmas about product measures with densities on boxes, are welcome.

Selected references

  • T. Börgers, An Introduction to the Theory of Mechanism Design, Oxford University Press, 2015, §3.3. https://doi.org/10.1093/acprof:oso/9780199734023.001.0001
  • C. d'Aspremont and L.-A. Gérard-Varet, Incentives and incomplete information, Journal of Public Economics 11 (1979) 25–45. https://doi.org/10.1016/0047-2727(79)90043-4
  • W. Güth and M. Hellwig, The private supply of a public good, Zeitschrift für Nationalökonomie, Supplement 5 (1986) 121–159.
  • R. B. Myerson and M. A. Satterthwaite, Efficient mechanisms for bilateral trading, Journal of Economic Theory 29 (1983) 265–281. https://doi.org/10.1016/0022-0531(83)90048-0
  • D. G. Luenberger, Optimization by Vector Space Methods, Wiley, 1969.
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An Introduction to the Theory of Mechanism Design II: Myerson's Optimal Single-Unit AuctionTextbook

Why revenue-maximizing auctions matter

A seller with one indivisible good and several potential buyers, each of whom privately knows how much the good is worth to them, has to choose a selling procedure: a posted price, an English auction, a sealed-bid auction with a reserve price, or something more elaborate. Which procedure raises the most expected revenue? Myerson's answer (Myerson 1981) is the foundation of optimal auction design. It underlies reserve-price setting in practice, the analysis of sponsored-search and ad-exchange auctions, and the modern algorithmic mechanism design literature, which treats Myerson's auction as the benchmark against which simple and approximately optimal auctions are measured.

This mission formalizes Section 3.2 of Tilman Börgers, An Introduction to the Theory of Mechanism Design (Oxford University Press, 2015), the textbook treatment of Myerson's result in the independent private values model with Bayesian incentive compatibility. It is the second mission of a series covering the book.

Timeline. Vickrey (1961) showed that the second-price auction makes truthful bidding a dominant strategy and compared auction formats. Myerson (1981) characterized the revenue-maximizing mechanism for independent private values with possibly asymmetric distributions; Riley and Samuelson (1981) obtained the symmetric case and the optimal reserve price independently. The revelation principle in the Bayesian form used here goes back to Myerson (1979) and Dasgupta, Hammond and Maskin (1979).

Setting

There are N≥2N \ge 2N≥2 potential buyers i∈I={1,…,N}i \in I = \{1,\dots,N\}i∈I={1,…,N}. Buyer iii values the good at θi\theta_iθi​; if he receives it and pays tit_iti​ his utility is θi−ti\theta_i - t_iθi​−ti​, and otherwise −ti-t_i−ti​. The seller's utility is ∑iti\sum_i t_i∑i​ti​. The valuations θ1,…,θN\theta_1,\dots,\theta_Nθ1​,…,θN​ are independent; θi\theta_iθi​ has cumulative distribution function FiF_iFi​ and density fif_ifi​ with fi(θi)>0f_i(\theta_i) > 0fi​(θi​)>0 on the common support [θ‾,θˉ][\underline\theta, \bar\theta][θ​,θˉ], where 0≤θ‾<θˉ0 \le \underline\theta < \bar\theta0≤θ​<θˉ. The type space is Θ=[θ‾,θˉ]N\Theta = [\underline\theta,\bar\theta]^NΘ=[θ​,θˉ]N and the joint density is f(θ)=∏ifi(θi)f(\theta) = \prod_i f_i(\theta_i)f(θ)=∏i​fi​(θi​).

A direct mechanism asks buyers to report their types and consists of an allocation rule q:Θ→Δq : \Theta \to \Deltaq:Θ→Δ, where Δ={(q1,…,qN):0≤qi≤1, ∑iqi≤1}\Delta = \{(q_1,\dots,q_N) : 0 \le q_i \le 1,\ \sum_i q_i \le 1\}Δ={(q1​,…,qN​):0≤qi​≤1, ∑i​qi​≤1}, and payment rules ti:Θ→Rt_i : \Theta \to \mathbb Rti​:Θ→R. Its interim quantities are the expected allocation probability, payment and utility of buyer iii conditional on his own type:

Qi(θi)=∫Θ−iqi(θi,θ−i)f−i(θ−i) dθ−i,Ti(θi)=∫Θ−iti(θi,θ−i)f−i(θ−i) dθ−i,Ui=θiQi−Ti.Q_i(\theta_i) = \int_{\Theta_{-i}} q_i(\theta_i,\theta_{-i}) f_{-i}(\theta_{-i})\,d\theta_{-i},\quad T_i(\theta_i) = \int_{\Theta_{-i}} t_i(\theta_i,\theta_{-i}) f_{-i}(\theta_{-i})\,d\theta_{-i},\quad U_i = \theta_i Q_i - T_i.Qi​(θi​)=∫Θ−i​​qi​(θi​,θ−i​)f−i​(θ−i​)dθ−i​,Ti​(θi​)=∫Θ−i​​ti​(θi​,θ−i​)f−i​(θ−i​)dθ−i​,Ui​=θi​Qi​−Ti​.

The mechanism is incentive-compatible if θiQi(θi)−Ti(θi)≥θiQi(θi′)−Ti(θi′)\theta_i Q_i(\theta_i) - T_i(\theta_i) \ge \theta_i Q_i(\theta_i') - T_i(\theta_i')θi​Qi​(θi​)−Ti​(θi​)≥θi​Qi​(θi′​)−Ti​(θi′​) for all i,θi,θi′i,\theta_i,\theta_i'i,θi​,θi′​ (truth-telling is a Bayesian Nash equilibrium) and individually rational if Ui(θi)≥0U_i(\theta_i) \ge 0Ui​(θi​)≥0 for all i,θii,\theta_ii,θi​. The virtual valuation of buyer iii is

ψi(θi)=θi−1−Fi(θi)fi(θi),\psi_i(\theta_i) = \theta_i - \frac{1 - F_i(\theta_i)}{f_i(\theta_i)},ψi​(θi​)=θi​−fi​(θi​)1−Fi​(θi​)​,

and the distribution FiF_iFi​ is regular if ψi\psi_iψi​ is strictly increasing.

Formalization targets

Goal: Myerson's optimal auction (Proposition 3.4)

Under regularity, among all incentive-compatible and individually rational direct mechanisms, a mechanism maximizes the seller's expected revenue E[∑iti(θ)]\mathbb E[\sum_i t_i(\theta)]E[∑i​ti​(θ)] exactly when, for every buyer iii,

qi(θ)={1if ψi(θi)>0 and ψi(θi)>ψj(θj) for all j≠i,0otherwise,Ti(θi)=θiQi(θi)−∫θ‾θiQi(x) dx,q_i(\theta) = \begin{cases}1 & \text{if } \psi_i(\theta_i) > 0 \text{ and } \psi_i(\theta_i) > \psi_j(\theta_j) \text{ for all } j \ne i,\\ 0&\text{otherwise,}\end{cases}\qquad T_i(\theta_i) = \theta_i Q_i(\theta_i) - \int_{\underline\theta}^{\theta_i} Q_i(x)\,dx,qi​(θ)={10​if ψi​(θi​)>0 and ψi​(θi​)>ψj​(θj​) for all j=i,otherwise,​Ti​(θi​)=θi​Qi​(θi​)−∫θ​θi​​Qi​(x)dx,

the allocation identity holding for almost every θ\thetaθ; and such a mechanism exists.

Milestones

  1. Proposition 3.1, the revelation principle: every Bayesian Nash equilibrium of every mechanism is replicated by truth-telling in an incentive-compatible direct mechanism.
  2. Lemmas 3.1–3.4: incentive compatibility makes QiQ_iQi​ increasing and UiU_iUi​ convex with Ui′=QiU_i' = Q_iUi′​=Qi​; payoff equivalence Ui(θi)=Ui(θ‾)+∫θ‾θiQiU_i(\theta_i) = U_i(\underline\theta) + \int_{\underline\theta}^{\theta_i} Q_iUi​(θi​)=Ui​(θ​)+∫θ​θi​​Qi​; revenue equivalence for TiT_iTi​.
  3. Proposition 3.2: incentive compatibility holds if and only if every QiQ_iQi​ is increasing and the revenue-equivalence formula holds.
  4. Proposition 3.3: under incentive compatibility, individual rationality is equivalent to Ti(θ‾)≤θ‾Qi(θ‾)T_i(\underline\theta) \le \underline\theta Q_i(\underline\theta)Ti​(θ​)≤θ​Qi​(θ​).
  5. Lemma 3.5: an optimal mechanism has Ti(θ‾)=θ‾Qi(θ‾)T_i(\underline\theta) = \underline\theta Q_i(\underline\theta)Ti​(θ​)=θ​Qi​(θ​).
  6. Eqs. (3.4)–(3.5): expected revenue equals expected virtual surplus ∑i∫Θqi(θ)ψi(θi)f(θ) dθ\sum_i \int_\Theta q_i(\theta)\psi_i(\theta_i) f(\theta)\,d\theta∑i​∫Θ​qi​(θ)ψi​(θi​)f(θ)dθ.
  7. Proposition 3.5: a mechanism maximizes expected welfare E[∑iqi(θ)θi]\mathbb E[\sum_i q_i(\theta)\theta_i]E[∑i​qi​(θ)θi​] among incentive-compatible, individually rational mechanisms if and only if it gives the good to the highest value (almost everywhere) and Ti(θi)≤θiQi(θi)−∫θ‾θiQiT_i(\theta_i) \le \theta_i Q_i(\theta_i) - \int_{\underline\theta}^{\theta_i}Q_iTi​(θi​)≤θi​Qi​(θi​)−∫θ​θi​​Qi​.

Significance

The theorem identifies the revenue-maximizing selling procedure among all procedures, not among a parametric family: by the revelation principle, no auction format, however elaborate, and no equilibrium of it can beat the mechanism of Proposition 3.4. Its consequences include the optimality of first- and second-price auctions with reserve price ψ−1(0)\psi^{-1}(0)ψ−1(0) when buyers are symmetric, the revenue equivalence of standard auction formats, the fact that an asymmetric optimal auction may sell to a buyer without the highest value, and the monopoly inefficiency that the optimal seller sometimes withholds the good. The envelope characterization of Bayesian incentive compatibility (Proposition 3.2) is the tool reused throughout the rest of the book, in public goods provision, bilateral trade and dynamic screening.

The result is classical and fully proved in the literature. What is missing is a machine-checked version at this generality: asymmetric distributions, an arbitrary lower support end θ‾≥0\underline\theta \ge 0θ​≥0, Bayesian (interim) rather than dominant-strategy constraints, and optimality over all incentive-compatible and individually rational mechanisms. Existing formalizations on the platform treat the i.i.d. case with values on [0,vˉ][0,\bar v][0,vˉ].

Difficulty

The obvious argument maximizes the virtual surplus ∑iqi(θ)ψi(θi)\sum_i q_i(\theta)\psi_i(\theta_i)∑i​qi​(θ)ψi​(θi​) pointwise and declares victory, but this ignores that the seller's feasible set is constrained by monotonicity of every QiQ_iQi​; the pointwise maximizer is feasible only because regularity makes ψi\psi_iψi​ increasing, and that has to be proved for the interim probabilities, which integrate over the other buyers' types. The revenue identity links interim payments, which integrate over the other buyers' types, to an integral over the whole type space weighted by the virtual valuation, and it is only valid for mechanisms whose lowest types' payments are pinned down. The necessity direction requires showing that ties and zero virtual values are null events, which rests on strict monotonicity of every ψi\psi_iψi​ and on the absolute continuity of the type distribution. Finally, the envelope step requires convexity and almost-everywhere differentiability of UiU_iUi​, with care at the endpoints of the type interval.

Formalization scope

Buyers form a finite type with at least two elements. The prior is the measure on RN\mathbb R^NRN with density ∏ifi(θi)\prod_i f_i(\theta_i)∏i​fi​(θi​) on Θ\ThetaΘ and no mass outside it; each fif_ifi​ is measurable, strictly positive on [θ‾,θˉ][\underline\theta,\bar\theta][θ​,θˉ] and integrates to 111; Fi(θi)=∫θ‾θifiF_i(\theta_i) = \int_{\underline\theta}^{\theta_i} f_iFi​(θi​)=∫θ​θi​​fi​. Allocation and payment rules are total functions whose values on Θ\ThetaΘ are constrained, and QiQ_iQi​, TiT_iTi​ are prior expectations with the iii-th coordinate fixed. "Increasing" is weak monotonicity, as in the book; regularity is strict monotonicity of ψi\psi_iψi​ on [θ‾,θˉ][\underline\theta,\bar\theta][θ​,θˉ] (Assumption 3.1).

The following conventions are committed to:

  • Measurability. The book omits measurability throughout. The comparison class for optimality consists of mechanisms with measurable qi,tiq_i, t_iqi​,ti​, integrable tit_iti​, and integrable sections θ−i↦ti(θi,θ−i)\theta_{-i}\mapsto t_i(\theta_i,\theta_{-i})θ−i​↦ti​(θi​,θ−i​). Without these hypotheses the Lean integrals would be 000 and revenue comparisons would be meaningless.
  • Almost-everywhere characterizations. Propositions 3.4 and 3.5 are printed with "for all θ∈Θ\theta \in \Thetaθ∈Θ". Changing qqq on a null set of type vectors changes neither incentives nor revenue nor welfare, so the "only if" directions hold only almost everywhere; they are stated for almost every θ\thetaθ, and the existence of a mechanism satisfying the allocation rule at every θ\thetaθ is stated separately. The payment conditions hold for every θi\theta_iθi​.
  • Explicit formulas. The goal states Myerson's allocation rule and the payment formula Ti(θi)=θiQi(θi)−∫θ‾θiQi(x) dxT_i(\theta_i) = \theta_i Q_i(\theta_i) - \int_{\underline\theta}^{\theta_i} Q_i(x)\,dxTi​(θi​)=θi​Qi​(θi​)−∫θ​θi​​Qi​(x)dx explicitly. Proposition 3.5 states the efficient rule qi(θ)=1q_i(\theta) = 1qi​(θ)=1 iff θi>θj\theta_i > \theta_jθi​>θj​ for all j≠ij \ne ij=i, and the payment inequality. A statement asserting only that some optimal mechanism exists, or only that the optimal auction is efficient, would not be this theorem.
  • Revelation principle. A general mechanism has arbitrary measurable message sets and an outcome function giving allocation probabilities in Δ\DeltaΔ and expected transfers; equilibria are in pure type-contingent strategies. A version in which the mechanism is already direct would be trivial and is not the statement.
  • Interim constraints. Incentive compatibility and individual rationality are Bayesian and interim, not dominant-strategy or ex post; the latter are the subject of a later mission.
  • Endpoints in Lemma 3.2. Differentiability of UiU_iUi​ and Ui′=QiU_i' = Q_iUi′​=Qi​ are stated at interior points of [θ‾,θˉ][\underline\theta,\bar\theta][θ​,θˉ].

The envelope and payoff-equivalence lemmas, and the revenue identity, are reused in later missions of this series, so proofs of the milestones are welcome independently of the goal.

Selected references

  • Tilman Börgers, An Introduction to the Theory of Mechanism Design, Oxford University Press, 2015, §3.2, pp. 31–45. https://doi.org/10.1093/acprof:oso/9780199734023.001.0001
  • Roger B. Myerson, Optimal Auction Design, Mathematics of Operations Research 6(1), 58–73, 1981. https://doi.org/10.1287/moor.6.1.58
  • John G. Riley and William F. Samuelson, Optimal Auctions, American Economic Review 71(3), 381–392, 1981. https://www.jstor.org/stable/1802786
  • William Vickrey, Counterspeculation, Auctions, and Competitive Sealed Tenders, Journal of Finance 16(1), 8–37, 1961. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1540-6261.1961.tb02789.x
  • Roger B. Myerson, Incentive Compatibility and the Bargaining Problem, Econometrica 47(1), 61–73, 1979. https://doi.org/10.2307/1912346
  • Partha Dasgupta, Peter Hammond and Eric Maskin, The Implementation of Social Choice Rules: Some General Results on Incentive Compatibility, Review of Economic Studies 46(2), 185–216, 1979. https://doi.org/10.2307/2297045
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Functional AnalysisMechanism DesignOperations Research+1·Captain: mikedeng1

An Introduction to the Theory of Mechanism Design I: Screening and the Optimality of a Posted PriceTextbook

Motivation

A seller with one good and one buyer whose valuation she does not know faces the simplest problem of mechanism design: choose a selling procedure, anticipating that the buyer will act in his own interest given what he knows. The textbook answer, "post the monopoly price", is usually derived by optimizing over prices alone. The question that opens Börgers' An Introduction to the Theory of Mechanism Design (Oxford University Press, 2015, doi:10.1093/acprof:oso/9780199734023.001.0001) is whether the seller could do better with anything else: negotiation, lotteries, menus of price–probability pairs, or any extensive game she can commit to.

Chapter 2 answers this for one buyer, and in doing so introduces the tools the rest of the book, and most of auction theory, reuse: the revelation principle, the envelope characterization of incentive compatibility, payoff and revenue equivalence, and the virtual valuation. The book's exposition of §2.2 follows Manelli and Vincent (2007), and the nonlinear pricing model of §2.3 is due to Mussa and Rosen (1978, doi:10.1016/0022-0531(78)90085-6); both attributions are the book's own (§2.5, p.29).

Setting

The buyer's type θ\thetaθ is his valuation for the good. His utility is θ−t\theta-tθ−t if he receives the good and pays ttt, and −t-t−t if he only pays ttt. The seller's belief about θ\thetaθ is a cumulative distribution function FFF with density fff on an interval [θ‾,θˉ][\underline\theta,\bar\theta][θ​,θˉ], 0≤θ‾<θˉ0\le\underline\theta<\bar\theta0≤θ​<θˉ, with f(θ)>0f(\theta)>0f(θ)>0 throughout and F(θ)=∫θ‾θf(x) dxF(\theta)=\int_{\underline\theta}^{\theta}f(x)\,dxF(θ)=∫θ​θ​f(x)dx.

A direct mechanism is a pair q:[θ‾,θˉ]→[0,1]q:[\underline\theta,\bar\theta]\to[0,1]q:[θ​,θˉ]→[0,1], t:[θ‾,θˉ]→Rt:[\underline\theta,\bar\theta]\to\mathbb Rt:[θ​,θˉ]→R: the buyer reports a type θ′\theta'θ′, receives the good with probability q(θ′)q(\theta')q(θ′) and pays t(θ′)t(\theta')t(θ′). Write u(θ)=θq(θ)−t(θ)u(\theta)=\theta q(\theta)-t(\theta)u(θ)=θq(θ)−t(θ). The mechanism is incentive-compatible if u(θ)≥θq(θ′)−t(θ′)u(\theta)\ge\theta q(\theta')-t(\theta')u(θ)≥θq(θ′)−t(θ′) for all θ,θ′\theta,\theta'θ,θ′, and individually rational if u(θ)≥0u(\theta)\ge 0u(θ)≥0 for all θ\thetaθ. The seller's expected revenue is ∫θ‾θˉt(θ)f(θ) dθ\int_{\underline\theta}^{\bar\theta}t(\theta)f(\theta)\,d\theta∫θ​θˉ​t(θ)f(θ)dθ.

For the extreme-point argument, F\mathcal FF denotes the space of functions on [θ‾,θˉ][\underline\theta,\bar\theta][θ​,θˉ] with the L1L^1L1 norm, and M⊂FM\subset\mathcal FM⊂F the set of increasing functions with values in [0,1][0,1][0,1]. A point xxx of a convex set CCC is an extreme point if for every y≠0y\neq 0y=0 at least one of x+yx+yx+y, x−yx-yx−y lies outside CCC.

In the nonlinear pricing model of §2.3 the good is divisible, quantity q≥0q\ge 0q≥0 costs the seller cqcqcq with c>0c>0c>0, and the buyer's utility is θν(q)−t\theta\nu(q)-tθν(q)−t, with ν(0)=0\nu(0)=0ν(0)=0, ν′>0\nu'>0ν′>0, ν′′<0\nu''<0ν′′<0, θˉν′(0)>c\bar\theta\nu'(0)>cθˉν′(0)>c and lim⁡q→∞θˉν′(q)<c\lim_{q\to\infty}\bar\theta\nu'(q)<climq→∞​θˉν′(q)<c. The seller maximizes expected profit ∫(t−cq)f\int(t-cq)f∫(t−cq)f. The distribution FFF is regular if the virtual valuation θ−(1−F(θ))/f(θ)\theta-(1-F(\theta))/f(\theta)θ−(1−F(θ))/f(θ) is increasing.

Formalization targets

Goal: Proposition 2.5, a posted price is optimal

If p∗∈arg⁡max⁡p∈[θ‾,θˉ]p(1−F(p))p^*\in\arg\max_{p\in[\underline\theta,\bar\theta]}p(1-F(p))p∗∈argmaxp∈[θ​,θˉ]​p(1−F(p)), then the mechanism

q(θ)={1θ>p∗0θ<p∗,t(θ)={p∗θ>p∗0θ<p∗q(\theta)=\begin{cases}1&\theta>p^*\\0&\theta<p^*\end{cases},\qquad t(\theta)=\begin{cases}p^*&\theta>p^*\\0&\theta<p^*\end{cases}q(θ)={10​θ>p∗θ<p∗​,t(θ)={p∗0​θ>p∗θ<p∗​

maximizes expected revenue among all incentive-compatible, individually rational direct mechanisms. The comparison class contains every randomized rule qqq with values in [0,1][0,1][0,1]; the statement fixes no distribution and no constant.

Milestones on the way

  1. Proposition 2.1: every mechanism and optimal buyer strategy can be replaced by a truthful direct mechanism with the same outcomes.
  2. Lemmas 2.1–2.4: incentive compatibility forces qqq increasing, uuu increasing and convex with u′=qu'=qu′=q, and
u(θ)=u(θ‾)+∫θ‾θq(x) dx,t(θ)=t(θ‾)+(θq(θ)−θ‾q(θ‾))−∫θ‾θq(x) dx.u(\theta)=u(\underline\theta)+\int_{\underline\theta}^{\theta}q(x)\,dx,\qquad t(\theta)=t(\underline\theta)+\big(\theta q(\theta)-\underline\theta q(\underline\theta)\big)-\int_{\underline\theta}^{\theta}q(x)\,dx.u(θ)=u(θ​)+∫θ​θ​q(x)dx,t(θ)=t(θ​)+(θq(θ)−θ​q(θ​))−∫θ​θ​q(x)dx.
  1. Propositions 2.2–2.3 and Lemma 2.5: these conditions characterize incentive compatibility; individual rationality reduces to u(θ‾)≥0u(\underline\theta)\ge0u(θ​)≥0; at the optimum t(θ‾)=θ‾q(θ‾)t(\underline\theta)=\underline\theta q(\underline\theta)t(θ​)=θ​q(θ​).
  2. Lemma 2.6, Proposition 2.4, Lemma 2.7: MMM is compact and convex, a linear function continuous on a compact convex set attains its maximum at an extreme point, and the extreme points of MMM are the {0,1}\{0,1\}{0,1}-valued functions.
  3. Proposition 2.6: under regularity, q(θ)=0q(\theta)=0q(θ)=0 when ν′(0)(θ−1−F(θ)f(θ))≤c\nu'(0)\big(\theta-\tfrac{1-F(\theta)}{f(\theta)}\big)\le cν′(0)(θ−f(θ)1−F(θ)​)≤c, otherwise ν′(q(θ))(θ−1−F(θ)f(θ))=c\nu'(q(\theta))\big(\theta-\tfrac{1-F(\theta)}{f(\theta)}\big)=cν′(q(θ))(θ−f(θ)1−F(θ)​)=c, with t(θ)=θν(q(θ))−∫θ‾θν(q(x)) dxt(\theta)=\theta\nu(q(\theta))-\int_{\underline\theta}^{\theta}\nu(q(x))\,dxt(θ)=θν(q(θ))−∫θ​θ​ν(q(x))dx, maximizes expected profit.

Significance

Proposition 2.5 says that the elementary monopoly price is not a restriction of the seller's options but the solution of the unrestricted design problem, including every lottery and every indirect procedure. Its one-buyer argument is the template for Myerson's optimal auction (Chapter 3 of the book), whose revenue formula is the multi-buyer form of Lemma 2.4. Proposition 2.6 exhibits the two standard features of screening, no distortion at the top and downward distortion below, which recur in regulation, insurance and contract theory.

All results of the chapter are classical and proved in the book. None of them is formalized on Prove2Me, and Mathlib has neither the revelation principle, the envelope lemma for incentive-compatible mechanisms, nor a maximum principle for linear functions on compact convex sets (Mathlib has the Krein–Milman lemma, IsCompact.extremePoints_nonempty, but not Bauer's maximum principle). The mission therefore produces the first machine-checked foundation for the one-agent screening model on which chapters 3, 4 and 11 of the book build.

Difficulty

The obvious argument for the goal compares the posted price with other posted prices; that comparison is one line and is not the theorem. The content is the comparison with randomized mechanisms: an arbitrary increasing qqq with values in [0,1][0,1][0,1] may do better than every deterministic threshold rule unless one shows that expected revenue is linear in qqq and that its maximum over the infinite-dimensional set MMM is attained at an extreme point. That step needs compactness of MMM in L1L^1L1 and a maximum principle on compact convex sets in a normed space, neither of which is finite-dimensional linear programming. The envelope step (Lemma 2.3) needs absolute continuity of a convex function on a closed interval, including its endpoints, where uuu need not be differentiable. For Proposition 2.6 the pointwise maximizer of the virtual surplus must be shown to be monotone and to satisfy incentive compatibility, which is where regularity enters.

Formalization scope

Types are real numbers; every function of the type is a total function R→R\mathbb R\to\mathbb RR→R and every condition quantifies over [θ‾,θˉ][\underline\theta,\bar\theta][θ​,θˉ] only. "Increasing" means weakly increasing (the book's note 3). The distribution is a structure carrying the density fff, positive and integrable on [θ‾,θˉ][\underline\theta,\bar\theta][θ​,θˉ] with total mass 111, and FFF tied to it by F(θ)=∫θ‾θfF(\theta)=\int_{\underline\theta}^{\theta}fF(θ)=∫θ​θ​f. No measurability or integrability hypothesis is placed on mechanisms: incentive compatibility makes qqq monotone and ttt bounded and measurable, so every expected revenue is a genuine integral.

The explicit formulas are part of the statements: the posted-price mechanism of Proposition 2.5 with p∗∈arg⁡max⁡p(1−F(p))p^*\in\arg\max p(1-F(p))p∗∈argmaxp(1−F(p)); the payment formulas of Lemmas 2.3–2.4 and Proposition 2.2; t(θ‾)=θ‾q(θ‾)t(\underline\theta)=\underline\theta q(\underline\theta)t(θ​)=θ​q(θ​) in Lemma 2.5; and in Proposition 2.6 the two-case rule for qqq and the payment t(θ)=θν(q(θ))−∫θ‾θν(q(x)) dxt(\theta)=\theta\nu(q(\theta))-\int_{\underline\theta}^{\theta}\nu(q(x))\,dxt(θ)=θν(q(θ))−∫θ​θ​ν(q(x))dx. The goal fixes q(p∗)=1q(p^*)=1q(p∗)=1, t(p∗)=p∗t(p^*)=p^*t(p∗)=p∗ for existence and quantifies over every incentive-compatible, individually rational completion at the tie.

The space F\mathcal FF is L1([θ‾,θˉ])L^1([\underline\theta,\bar\theta])L1([θ​,θˉ]) of almost-everywhere classes, because the book's L1L^1L1 "norm" on bounded functions vanishes on null functions; MMM is the set of classes with an increasing [0,1][0,1][0,1]-valued representative, and Lemma 2.7 is an almost-everywhere statement, as the book's notes 4–6 already indicate. Proposition 2.4 is stated for a nonempty compact convex set in a real normed space and a linear map continuous on that set. The revelation principle models a general mechanism as the buyer's reduced strategy set, an arbitrary type, with a purchase probability and an expected payment for each strategy.

A goal that compared the posted price only with other posted prices, or only with deterministic mechanisms, would be trivial and is excluded: the competitors range over all incentive-compatible, individually rational direct mechanisms with qqq valued in [0,1][0,1][0,1].

Reusable beyond this mission: the one-agent envelope and revenue-equivalence lemmas (needed again in Chapters 3, 4 and 11), compactness of monotone functions in L1L^1L1, and the maximum principle for linear functions on compact convex sets. Contributions to any of these are welcome.

Selected references

  • T. Börgers (with D. Krähmer and R. Strausz), An Introduction to the Theory of Mechanism Design, Oxford University Press, 2015. doi:10.1093/acprof:oso/9780199734023.001.0001
  • M. Mussa and S. Rosen, "Monopoly and product quality", Journal of Economic Theory 18(2), 1978. doi:10.1016/0022-0531(78)90085-6
  • E. A. Ok, Real Analysis with Economic Applications, Princeton University Press, 2007 (Extreme Point Theorem, p.658), cited by the book at p.16.
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CombinatoricsOperations Research·Captain: mikedeng1

Theory of Games and Economic Behavior VI: Splitting Sets and the Decomposition Partition of a GameTextbook

Motivation

Chapter IX of von Neumann and Morgenstern's Theory of Games and Economic Behavior asks when a game played by many participants is really several separate games played side by side. The authors' motivation (41.1) is methodological: the general theory of the nnn-person game becomes unmanageable as nnn grows, and one way to gain insight into large games is to isolate classes of games that can be analysed exactly. The first such class consists of games whose players fall into groups that have no dealings with each other — the book's example is the internal economies of two countries whose connections are disregarded (41.2.4). Such a game is the composition of its constituents, and the question of the chapter is how to recognise a composite game from its characteristic function alone and how far a given game can be decomposed.

The answer (§43) is a structure theorem. The groups of players that can be split off form a Boolean algebra of sets; its atoms, the minimal splitting sets, form a partition of the set of players, the decomposition partition ΠΓ\Pi_\GammaΠΓ​; and every splitting set is a union of blocks of ΠΓ\Pi_\GammaΠΓ​. The book remarks (41.3.3) that the splitting condition (41:7) is exactly Carathéodory's criterion of measurability, transported from measures to characteristic functions. The mission formalizes §43, together with the criterion (42:G) of §42 on which it rests.

Setting

Let III be a finite set of players. A characteristic function is a real number v(S)v(S)v(S) for every subset S⊆IS \subseteq IS⊆I (every coalition, including the empty set ⊖\ominus⊖ and III). Write −S=I−S-S = I - S−S=I−S. From 42.4.1 on the book works in the domain of constant-sum games, whose characteristic functions are, by (42:D), exactly the functions satisfying

(42:6:a) v(⊖)=0,(42:6:b) v(S)+v(−S)=v(I),(42:6:c) v(S)+v(T)≦v(S∪T)  if S∩T=⊖.\text{(42:6:a)}\ v(\ominus) = 0,\qquad \text{(42:6:b)}\ v(S) + v(-S) = v(I),\qquad \text{(42:6:c)}\ v(S) + v(T) \leqq v(S \cup T)\ \text{ if } S \cap T = \ominus .(42:6:a) v(⊖)=0,(42:6:b) v(S)+v(−S)=v(I),(42:6:c) v(S)+v(T)≦v(S∪T)  if S∩T=⊖.

For J⊆IJ \subseteq IJ⊆I with complement K=I−JK = I - JK=I−J, the game is decomposable with respect to JJJ and KKK if there are constant-sum games Δ\DeltaΔ on the players JJJ and H\mathrm HH on the players KKK with v(R)=vΔ(R∩J)+vH(R∩K)v(R) = v_\Delta(R \cap J) + v_{\mathrm H}(R \cap K)v(R)=vΔ​(R∩J)+vH​(R∩K) for all R⊆IR \subseteq IR⊆I — formula (41:3). The JJJ-constituent Δ\DeltaΔ is the game on JJJ with vΔ(S)=v(S)v_\Delta(S) = v(S)vΔ​(S)=v(S) for S⊆JS \subseteq JS⊆J (41:4).

A splitting set (43.1) is a J⊆IJ \subseteq IJ⊆I satisfying (41:6),

v(S∪T)=v(S)+v(T)for S⊆J, T⊆I−J.v(S \cup T) = v(S) + v(T) \quad \text{for } S \subseteq J,\ T \subseteq I - J .v(S∪T)=v(S)+v(T)for S⊆J, T⊆I−J.

The game is indecomposable if ⊖\ominus⊖ and III are its only splitting sets (43.3.1). A minimal splitting set is a splitting set J≠⊖J \neq \ominusJ=⊖ none of whose proper subsets J′≠⊖J' \neq \ominusJ′=⊖ is splitting (43.3.2), and ΠΓ\Pi_\GammaΠΓ​ is the system of all minimal splitting sets. The game is inessential (42:F) if it is strategically equivalent to the zero game, i.e. v(S)+∑k∈Sαk0=0v(S) + \sum_{k \in S} \alpha^0_k = 0v(S)+∑k∈S​αk0​=0 for all SSS, for some reals αk0\alpha^0_kαk0​ (the transformation (42:5)).

Formalization targets

Goal: (43:F), (43:G), (43:H)

For every vvv satisfying (42:6:a)–(42:6:c):

J1≠J2∈ΠΓ⇒J1∩J2=⊖,⋃J∈ΠΓJ=I,K splitting  ⟺  K=J1∪⋯∪Jp, Ji∈ΠΓ.J_1 \neq J_2 \in \Pi_\Gamma \Rightarrow J_1 \cap J_2 = \ominus, \qquad \bigcup_{J \in \Pi_\Gamma} J = I, \qquad K \text{ splitting} \iff K = J_1 \cup \dots \cup J_p,\ J_i \in \Pi_\Gamma .J1​=J2​∈ΠΓ​⇒J1​∩J2​=⊖,J∈ΠΓ​⋃​J=I,K splitting⟺K=J1​∪⋯∪Jp​, Ji​∈ΠΓ​.

The goal combines the partition property and the characterization of all splitting sets; it is the book's own summary of §43.3 and does not presuppose that ΠΓ\Pi_\GammaΠΓ​ is a partition.

Milestones

In attack order: the criterion (42:G) (decomposability   ⟺  \iff⟺ (41:6)   ⟺  \iff⟺ (41:7)); the closure properties (43:A) (complements), (43:B) (⊖\ominus⊖, III), (43:C) (intersections and unions); (43:D) (splitting sets of a constituent) and (43:E) (a constituent is indecomposable iff its set is minimal); (43:F), (43:G) separately; (43:I) (a minimal splitting set is disjoint from, or inside, any splitting set); the restatement (43:H*) (KKK splits iff every block of ΠΓ\Pi_\GammaΠΓ​ lies inside or outside KKK); and the two extreme cases (43:J) (ΠΓ\Pi_\GammaΠΓ​ = all singletons iff the game is inessential) and (43:K) (ΠΓ={I}\Pi_\Gamma = \{I\}ΠΓ​={I} iff the game is indecomposable).

Significance

The decomposition partition is canonical: every constant-sum game splits uniquely into indecomposable constituents, and (43:E) identifies them as the constituents on the blocks of ΠΓ\Pi_\GammaΠΓ​. The two extreme cases (43:J), (43:K) show that inessentiality and indecomposability are opposite ends of one scale. Chapter IX uses this structure in §§44–47, where solutions of decomposable games are related to solutions of their constituents ((46:A)–(46:I)); a formal decomposition partition is the prerequisite for that later work, and a candidate follow-up mission.

The results are classical and proved in the book. The mission's contribution is a machine-checked version: a formal definition layer for splitting sets of a set function on a finite set, the Boolean-algebra closure, and the atomic decomposition. The combinatorial core — that the sets satisfying a Carathéodory-type additivity condition form a Boolean algebra of a finite set, whose atoms partition it — is reusable outside game theory (for instance for finitely additive decompositions of set functions). No machine-checked version of these results is known to exist; they are formalized here for the first time as far as a search of the platform shows.

Difficulty

The individual steps are elementary, but the obvious argument for the key closure property (43:C) fails: to show that J′∪J′′J' \cup J''J′∪J′′ is splitting one cannot simply add the identities (41:6) for J′J'J′ and for J′′J''J′′, since a pair S⊆J′∪J′′S \subseteq J' \cup J''S⊆J′∪J′′, T⊆I−(J′∪J′′)T \subseteq I - (J' \cup J'')T⊆I−(J′∪J′′) is not of the form those identities control, and J′∩J′′J' \cap J''J′∩J′′ may be nonempty — the book's footnote on p. 354 singles out overlapping splitting sets as the case its proof is really about. Likewise (43:D) is not a tautology: that a set self-contained within a self-contained set is self-contained in the whole game has to be proved (footnote 1, p. 355). Formally, the main work is bookkeeping of set identities and the passage between subsets of JJJ (players of the constituent) and subsets of III.

Formalization scope

  • Players. The set of players III is an arbitrary finite type ι with decidable equality (the book's I=(1,…,n)I = (1, \dots, n)I=(1,…,n); in Chapter IX players are also named 1′,…,k′,1′′,…,l′′1', \dots, k', 1'', \dots, l''1′,…,k′,1′′,…,l′′). Coalitions are Finset ι, −S-S−S and I−JI - JI−J are the complement Sᶜ in III, and vvv is a function Finset ι → ℝ.
  • Standing hypotheses. Every theorem assumes (42:6:a)–(42:6:c) (the structure IsConstantSum), the chapter's domain from 42.5.3 on ("in the remainder of this chapter we will continue to consider constant-sum games", p. 353). v(I)v(I)v(I) is arbitrary: the statements are not restricted to zero-sum games, which would be a weaker special case. (43:K) additionally assumes III nonempty ([Nonempty ι], the book's n≧1n \geqq 1n≧1); every other statement holds without it. (43:E) assumes J≠⊖J \neq \ominusJ=⊖, since the book's constituent is a game and has at least one player.
  • Characteristic functions only. Games are represented by their characteristic functions, as the book does throughout §§42–43 by (42:D). Decomposability quantifies over constant-sum characteristic functions vΔv_\DeltavΔ​, vHv_{\mathrm H}vH​ on the subtypes ↥J, ↥Jᶜ; the JJJ-constituent is vvv restricted to subsets of ↥J. Sums of sets are unions; "disjunct" is Disjoint.
  • Π_Γ. decompositionPartition v is the set of minimal splitting sets; that it is a partition is proved, not assumed. An aggregate of minimal splitting sets is a finite family A, its sum A.sup id; the empty aggregate gives ⊖\ominus⊖.
  • No trivialization. A definition of splitting sets that quantified over T⊆IT \subseteq IT⊆I instead of T⊆I−JT \subseteq I - JT⊆I−J, or complements taken in an ambient type larger than III, would change the theorems; here the complement is in the finite type of players itself. With III empty all statements except (43:K) hold trivially, and (43:K) carries the nonemptiness hypothesis.
  • Contributions welcome. Proofs of the milestones in the listed order; general Mathlib-style lemmas on Boolean subalgebras of Finset ι and their atoms, which would shorten (43:F)–(43:H).

Selected references

  • J. von Neumann and O. Morgenstern, Theory of Games and Economic Behavior, 60th-anniversary edition, Princeton University Press, 2007 (page-for-page reprint of the 3rd edition, 1953), Chapter IX, §§41–43, pp. 339–357. https://doi.org/10.1515/9781400829460
  • C. Carathéodory, Vorlesungen über reelle Funktionen, Teubner, Leipzig–Berlin, 1918, Chapter V (the measurability criterion to which (41:7) corresponds, cited by the book on p. 343).
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Convex OptimizationOperations ResearchOptimization·Captain: mikedeng1

Value of Information in Bayesian Routing Games II: Equilibrium Adoption Rates of Information Systems Are the Minimizers of the Equilibrium PotentialResearch Paper

Motivation

Traffic information systems (TIS) such as navigation apps send drivers private, noisy signals about the state of the road network: incidents, weather, closures. When several such systems coexist, their subscribers act on different information, and the congestion each population experiences depends on how all of them route. A question then arises for transport planners and for the information providers themselves: if travelers are free to choose which system to subscribe to, which market shares of the competing systems are stable?

Wu, Amin and Ozdaglar (Operations Research 69(1):148–163, 2021; preprint arXiv:1808.10590) model this situation as a Bayesian routing game with heterogeneous information and answer the question exactly: the equilibrium adoption rates are the minimizers of a convex function of the population sizes, the equilibrium value of a weighted potential. This mission formalizes that characterization (Theorem 4 of the paper) together with the results its proof rests on. A companion mission (Value of Information in Bayesian Routing Games I) formalizes the paper's other main result, the sign and monotonicity of the relative value of information between two populations.

Setting

A Bayesian routing game Γ(λ)\Gamma(\lambda)Γ(λ) has a single origin–destination pair, a finite set of edges E\mathcal EE and a finite nonempty set of routes R\mathcal RR (each route a set of edges), and a finite set of network states S\mathcal SS. Travelers of total demand D>0D>0D>0 are split into populations i∈Ii\in\mathcal Ii∈I, one per TIS; population iii has size λiD\lambda^iDλiD, where the size vector λ\lambdaλ lies in the simplex Δ={λ:λi≥0, ∑iλi=1}\Delta=\{\lambda:\lambda^i\ge0,\ \sum_i\lambda^i=1\}Δ={λ:λi≥0, ∑i​λi=1}. Each population receives a signal (its type) tit^iti from a finite set Ti\mathcal T^iTi; states and type profiles t=(ti)it=(t^i)_it=(ti)i​ are drawn from a common prior π∈Δ(S×T)\pi\in\Delta(\mathcal S\times\mathcal T)π∈Δ(S×T). Edge eee in state sss has cost ces(w)c^s_e(w)ces​(w) at load www, positive, strictly increasing and differentiable.

A strategy profile qqq assigns to each population and type a split qri(ti)≥0q^i_r(t^i)\ge0qri​(ti)≥0 of its demand over routes, with ∑rqri(ti)=λiD\sum_rq^i_r(t^i)=\lambda^iD∑r​qri​(ti)=λiD; these form the polytope Q(λ)\mathcal Q(\lambda)Q(λ). It induces route flows fr(t)=∑iqri(ti)f_r(t)=\sum_iq^i_r(t^i)fr​(t)=∑i​qri​(ti) and edge loads we(t)=∑r∋efr(t)w_e(t)=\sum_{r\ni e}f_r(t)we​(t)=∑r∋e​fr​(t). A traveler of population iii with signal tit^iti forms the belief βi(s,t−i∣ti)=π(s,ti,t−i)/Pr⁡(ti)\beta^i(s,t^{-i}\mid t^i)=\pi(s,t^i,t^{-i})/\Pr(t^i)βi(s,t−i∣ti)=π(s,ti,t−i)/Pr(ti) and evaluates the expected route cost E[cr(q)∣ti]=∑s,t−i∑e∈rβi(s,t−i∣ti) ces(we(t))\mathbb E[c_r(q)\mid t^i]=\sum_{s,t^{-i}}\sum_{e\in r}\beta^i(s,t^{-i}\mid t^i)\,c^s_e(w_e(t))E[cr​(q)∣ti]=∑s,t−i​∑e∈r​βi(s,t−i∣ti)ces​(we​(t)). A Bayesian Wardrop equilibrium (BWE) is a q∈Q(λ)q\in\mathcal Q(\lambda)q∈Q(λ) in which every type uses only routes of minimal expected cost. The equilibrium population cost is

Ci∗(λ)=∑ti∈TiPr⁡(ti)min⁡r∈RE[cr(q∗)∣ti].C^{i*}(\lambda)=\sum_{t^i\in\mathcal T^i}\Pr(t^i)\min_{r\in\mathcal R}\mathbb E[c_r(q^*)\mid t^i].Ci∗(λ)=ti∈Ti∑​Pr(ti)r∈Rmin​E[cr​(q∗)∣ti].

The weighted potential is Φ(q)=∑s,e,tπ(s,t)∫0we(t)ces(z) dz\Phi(q)=\sum_{s,e,t}\pi(s,t)\int_0^{w_e(t)}c^s_e(z)\,dzΦ(q)=∑s,e,t​π(s,t)∫0we​(t)​ces​(z)dz, and Ψ(λ)=min⁡q∈Q(λ)Φ(q)\Psi(\lambda)=\min_{q\in\mathcal Q(\lambda)}\Phi(q)Ψ(λ)=minq∈Q(λ)​Φ(q) is its equilibrium value. In route-flow form, Φ^(f)\widehat\Phi(f)Φ(f) is the same expression in terms of fff; route flows satisfy linear constraints (14a)–(14c) (a separability condition across populations, total demand DDD, nonnegativity) and one information impact constraint per population, J^i(f)≤λiD\widehat J^i(f)\le\lambda^iDJi(f)≤λiD, where J^i(f)=D−∑rmin⁡tifr(ti,t^−i)\widehat J^i(f)=D-\sum_r\min_{t^i}f_r(t^i,\widehat t^{-i})Ji(f)=D−∑r​minti​fr​(ti,t−i) measures how much of the demand reacts to population iii's signal. Let F†\mathcal F^\daggerF† be the set of minimizers of Φ^\widehat\PhiΦ subject to (14a)–(14c) only, and

Λ†={λ∈Δ: ∃f†∈F†, J^i(f†)≤λiD  ∀i}.\Lambda^\dagger=\{\lambda\in\Delta:\ \exists f^\dagger\in\mathcal F^\dagger,\ \widehat J^i(f^\dagger)\le\lambda^iD\ \ \forall i\}.Λ†={λ∈Δ: ∃f†∈F†, Ji(f†)≤λiD  ∀i}.

In the two-stage game, travelers first choose a TIS, inducing λ\lambdaλ, and then play Γ(λ)\Gamma(\lambda)Γ(λ). A size vector is a vector of equilibrium adoption rates if no traveler gains by switching TIS:

λi>0 ⟹ Ci∗(λ)=min⁡j∈ICj∗(λ)∀i∈I.(31)\lambda^i>0\ \Longrightarrow\ C^{i*}(\lambda)=\min_{j\in\mathcal I}C^{j*}(\lambda)\qquad\forall i\in\mathcal I.\tag{31}λi>0 ⟹ Ci∗(λ)=j∈Imin​Cj∗(λ)∀i∈I.(31)

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem 4

For every λ∈Δ\lambda\in\Deltaλ∈Δ and every BWE of Γ(λ)\Gamma(\lambda)Γ(λ),

(31) holds  ⟺  λ∈Λ†.(31)\ \text{holds}\iff\lambda\in\Lambda^\dagger .(31) holds⟺λ∈Λ†.

With the existence of a BWE for every λ∈Δ\lambda\in\Deltaλ∈Δ, this is the paper's statement that the set of equilibrium adoption rates is Λ†\Lambda^\daggerΛ†.

Milestones

  1. Theorem 1. qqq is a BWE of Γ(λ)\Gamma(\lambda)Γ(λ) iff qqq minimizes Φ\PhiΦ over Q(λ)\mathcal Q(\lambda)Q(λ); the equilibrium edge load w∗(λ)w^*(\lambda)w∗(λ) is unique.
  2. Proposition 2. A route flow in the flow polytope F(λ)\mathcal F(\lambda)F(λ) ((14a)–(14c) plus all information impact constraints) is an equilibrium flow iff it minimizes Φ^\widehat\PhiΦ over F(λ)\mathcal F(\lambda)F(λ).
  3. Lemma 5. Ψ\PsiΨ is convex on Δ\DeltaΔ, and with zij=ei−ejz^{ij}=e_i-e_jzij=ei​−ej​ and Vij∗=Cj∗−Ci∗V^{ij*}=C^{j*}-C^{i*}Vij∗=Cj∗−Ci∗,
lim⁡ϵ→0+Ψ(λ+ϵzij)−Ψ(λ)ϵ=−D Vij∗(λ).\lim_{\epsilon\to0^+}\frac{\Psi(\lambda+\epsilon z^{ij})-\Psi(\lambda)}{\epsilon}=-D\,V^{ij*}(\lambda).ϵ→0+lim​ϵΨ(λ+ϵzij)−Ψ(λ)​=−DVij∗(λ).
  1. Proposition 5. Λ†\Lambda^\daggerΛ† is convex, Λ†=argmin⁡λ∈ΔΨ(λ)\Lambda^\dagger=\operatorname{argmin}_{\lambda\in\Delta}\Psi(\lambda)Λ†=argminλ∈Δ​Ψ(λ), and the equilibrium edge load equals the size-independent load w†w^\daggerw† of F†\mathcal F^\daggerF† iff λ∈Λ†\lambda\in\Lambda^\daggerλ∈Λ†.

A separate item states the existence of a BWE for every λ∈Δ\lambda\in\Deltaλ∈Δ.

Significance

The result. Theorem 4 reduces a question about a two-stage game with a continuum of travelers and private signals to the minimization of one convex function over a simplex. It shows that the stable market shares form a convex set, generally not a single point, so each system's equilibrium adoption rate ranges over an interval; and that this set is determined by the joint information environment of all systems, not by each system's signal alone. On ˆ\Lambda^\daggerˆ the equilibrium edge load does not depend on the shares at all, which identifies when changes in market shares leave congestion unchanged.

Formalizing it. The proofs of Theorem 1, Proposition 2 and Proposition 5 are in the paper's online e-companion, and Lemma 5 relies on sensitivity results for parametric convex programs cited from the literature. No part of this development has, to our knowledge, been machine-checked. A complete formalization would produce a verified potential-game characterization of Bayesian Wardrop equilibria with heterogeneous information and a verified directional-derivative formula for the optimal value of a parametric convex program; nothing comparable is currently on the platform (the existing Wardrop development covers complete information only).

Difficulty

The direction "λ∈Λ†\lambda\in\Lambda^\daggerλ∈Λ† implies (31)" is not a pointwise statement about costs: it follows from Λ†\Lambda^\daggerΛ† being the argmin of Ψ\PsiΨ together with the formula linking directional derivatives of Ψ\PsiΨ to cost differences. Both are hard. The derivative formula (26) is a statement about the optimal value of a convex program whose feasible set moves with λ\lambdaλ; its standard proofs pass through uniqueness of Lagrange multipliers, which fails exactly at the degenerate size vectors (λi=0\lambda^i=0λi=0) that Theorem 4 must cover, since an unused TIS is a legitimate outcome. The identity Λ†=argmin⁡Ψ\Lambda^\dagger=\operatorname{argmin}\PsiΛ†=argminΨ needs the route-flow reformulation (Proposition 2), in which the size vector enters only through the information impact constraints, and the uniqueness of the minimizing edge load. The natural first idea, comparing population costs directly at a given equilibrium, gives no handle on which size vectors make them equal.

Formalization scope

The Lean development lives in the namespace BayesRouting.Adoption. Populations, types, states, edges and routes are finite types; type spaces and the route set are nonempty; routes are edge sets. The game is a structure whose fields include the paper's standing assumptions: the prior is a probability distribution, D>0D>0D>0, and each cost is positive on nonnegative loads, strictly increasing and differentiable (on all of R\mathbb RR, which loses no generality). One assumption is added: every type profile has positive probability. Without it the equilibrium edge load need not be unique and the beliefs can be undefined; it excludes the paper's Example 2(i) (perfectly correlated signals).

Conventions: size vectors range over the probability simplex; Ψ\PsiΨ is the infimum of Φ\PhiΦ over Q(λ)\mathcal Q(\lambda)Q(λ) and is only compared at points of the simplex (outside it the feasible set can be empty and the value is a default); Ci∗C^{i*}Ci∗ is the last form of the paper's (7), well defined when λi=0\lambda^i=0λi=0; J^i\widehat J^iJi is the maximum over reference profiles, which equals the paper's value on flows satisfying (14a); equilibrium statements are made for every BWE rather than for "the" equilibrium; F†\mathcal F^\daggerF† and similar sets are argmin sets. Lemma 5 is stated for the directions zijz^{ij}zij with λj>0\lambda^j>0λj>0 (otherwise λ+ϵzij\lambda+\epsilon z^{ij}λ+ϵzij leaves the simplex); λi=0\lambda^i=0λi=0 is allowed.

A trivializing formalization is ruled out: the existence of a BWE is its own item, so "for every BWE" is not vacuous, and Λ†\Lambda^\daggerΛ† is defined by (30) from the flow problem (28), not as the argmin of Ψ\PsiΨ, so the goal is not a restatement of Proposition 5.

Infrastructure a complete development needs: KKT conditions for convex programs with linear constraints, convexity of integrals of increasing functions, compactness arguments for existence of minimizers, and one-sided directional derivatives of optimal-value functions. The last two are reusable well beyond this mission. Proofs of any item, and of auxiliary lemmas such as Proposition 1 of the paper (feasible route flows form the polytope F(λ)\mathcal F(\lambda)F(λ)), are welcome.

Selected references

  • M. Wu, S. Amin, A. E. Ozdaglar, Value of Information in Bayesian Routing Games, Operations Research 69(1):148–163, 2021. https://doi.org/10.1287/opre.2020.1999 (preprint: https://arxiv.org/abs/1808.10590)
  • W. H. Sandholm, Potential games with continuous player sets, Journal of Economic Theory 97(1):81–108, 2001. https://doi.org/10.1006/jeth.2000.2696
  • A. V. Fiacco, J. Kyparisis, Convexity and concavity properties of the optimal value function in parametric nonlinear programming, Journal of Optimization Theory and Applications 48(1):95–126, 1986. https://doi.org/10.1007/BF00938592
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Operations ResearchOptimizationProbability·Captain: mikedeng1

Information Sharing in a Supply Chain with a Common Retailer 1: Under Production Diseconomy the Retailer Earns More from Sequential Information Contracting and the Manufacturers from ConcurrentResearch Paper

Motivation

Retailers hold point-of-sale data that their suppliers cannot observe, and large retailers sell access to it through data-sharing programs (Costco's CRX, Walmart's Retail Link and similar programs). When one retailer carries the substitutable products of two competing manufacturers, sharing its demand information is a strategic decision: a manufacturer who knows the demand signal sets his wholesale price in response to it, which changes the retailer's margin and the rival manufacturer's order uncertainty. Whether the retailer should sell the information, to how many manufacturers, and by which protocol, is the question of Shang, Ha and Tong (Management Science 62(1):245–263, 2016).

The paper belongs to the information-sharing literature of Li (2002), Li and Zhang (2008) and Ha, Tong and Zhang (2011), which studies competing supply chains or a single chain. The common-retailer structure differs: the retailer can price-discriminate between the manufacturers through the order in which she offers the information.

Setting

Two manufacturers i∈{1,2}i \in \{1, 2\}i∈{1,2} sell substitutable products through one retailer. The demand for product iii is

qi=a+θ−(1+ϕ)pi+ϕpj,q_i = a + \theta - (1+\phi)p_i + \phi p_j,qi​=a+θ−(1+ϕ)pi​+ϕpj​,

where pip_ipi​ is the retail price, ϕ>0\phi > 0ϕ>0 measures competition, and θ\thetaθ is a random shock with mean 000 and variance σ2>0\sigma^2 > 0σ2>0. The retailer observes a demand signal YYY that is unbiased, E[Y∣θ]=θE[Y \mid \theta] = \thetaE[Y∣θ]=θ, and has linear expectation: E[θ∣Y]=βYE[\theta \mid Y] = \beta YE[θ∣Y]=βY for a weight β\betaβ (in the paper β=tσ2/(1+tσ2)\beta = t\sigma^2/(1+t\sigma^2)β=tσ2/(1+tσ2), with ttt the signal accuracy). The retailing cost is zero, and manufacturer iii produces qqq units at cost bq+cdq2bq + c_d q^2bq+cd​q2 with b,cd>0b, c_d > 0b,cd​>0: a production diseconomy.

The game has four stages.

  1. The retailer and the manufacturers contract on information sharing, which fixes each manufacturer's status Xi∈{I,U}X_i \in \{I, U\}Xi​∈{I,U} (informed or uninformed).
  2. The retailer observes YYY and discloses it truthfully to the informed manufacturers.
  3. The manufacturers set wholesale prices wiw_iwi​ simultaneously, an informed one as a function of YYY. The retailer then sets retail prices.
  4. Demand realizes and payoffs are received.

The pricing stage is a Bayesian game. Its equilibrium ex ante profits are πM(n)\pi_M(n)πM​(n), πMI(1)\pi_M^I(1)πMI​(1), πMU(1)\pi_M^U(1)πMU​(1) for the manufacturers and πR(n)\pi_R(n)πR​(n) for the retailer, where nnn is the number of informed manufacturers. They define a payoff table for the contracting stage.

Two contracting protocols are compared.

  • Concurrent contracting: the retailer offers both manufacturers the same payment TTT, and they accept or reject simultaneously; a Pareto-optimal pure equilibrium is the outcome, and the retailer chooses TTT.
  • Sequential contracting: the retailer offers one manufacturer TfT_fTf​, he accepts or rejects, then the retailer offers the other TsT_sTs​, and he decides having observed the first decision. The retailer cannot commit to Ts=TfT_s = T_fTs​=Tf​, and the solution is subgame perfect equilibrium.

Formalization targets

Goal: Proposition 4(d)

For every ϕ>0\phi > 0ϕ>0, cd>0c_d > 0cd​>0 and every signal model, the pricing stage has an equilibrium; for every pricing equilibrium, both contracting games have equilibria; and for every concurrent outcome and every sequential subgame-perfect equilibrium (either first mover),

ΠRC≤ΠRS,ΠMS≤ΠMC,\Pi_R^{C} \le \Pi_R^{S}, \qquad \Pi_M^{S} \le \Pi_M^{C},ΠRC​≤ΠRS​,ΠMS​≤ΠMC​,

with both inequalities strict when cd>(2−1)/(1+ϕ)c_d > (\sqrt2 - 1)/(1+\phi)cd​>(2​−1)/(1+ϕ). Here ΠR\Pi_RΠR​ is the retailer's profit after side payments and ΠM\Pi_MΠM​ the manufacturers' total profit net of them. The paper's word "higher" is read as ≥\ge≥ because for small cdc_dcd​ neither protocol sells information and all profits coincide.

Milestones

  1. §4.1, Eq. (1): the retailer's best response p^i=12(a+βY+wi)\hat p_i = \frac12(a + \beta Y + w_i)p^​i​=21​(a+βY+wi​) and the resulting demand.
  2. Lemma 1: the pricing equilibrium exists, is unique, and is linear in YYY.
  3. §4.2: the closed forms of the seven ex ante profits.
  4. Lemma 3: πM(2)>πMI(1)>πM(0)>πMU(1)\pi_M(2) > \pi_M^I(1) > \pi_M(0) > \pi_M^U(1)πM​(2)>πMI​(1)>πM​(0)>πMU​(1), πR(0)>πR(1)>πR(2)\pi_R(0) > \pi_R(1) > \pi_R(2)πR​(0)>πR​(1)>πR​(2), πR(1)−πR(2)>πR(0)−πR(1)\pi_R(1) - \pi_R(2) > \pi_R(0) - \pi_R(1)πR​(1)−πR​(2)>πR​(0)−πR​(1).
  5. Proposition 1(b): without contracting, no information is shared.
  6. Propositions 2 and 3: thresholds cdCc_d^CcdC​ and cdS1,cdS2c_d^{S1}, c_d^{S2}cdS1​,cdS2​, depending only on ϕ\phiϕ, at which the number of informed manufacturers changes under each protocol.
  7. Proposition 4(a): cdS1<cdC<cdS2c_d^{S1} < c_d^C < c_d^{S2}cdS1​<cdC​<cdS2​.

Significance

The result. Proposition 4(d) says that the order of the offers transfers surplus: selling information one manufacturer at a time lets the retailer exploit the manufacturers' fear of being the only uninformed firm, which raises her profit and lowers theirs. Propositions 2 and 3 show that concurrent contracting shares with both manufacturers or with neither, while sequential contracting can end with only one informed manufacturer. Together they give a complete map of the equilibrium sharing decisions in (cd,ϕ)(c_d, \phi)(cd​,ϕ) (Figure 1 of the paper).

Formalizing it. The results are proved in the paper, partly by "it can be shown" and "straightforward" steps: Lemma 3's proof is omitted, and so is the convexity of the function whose root is cdS2c_d^{S2}cdS2​. No part of the paper has a machine-checked proof. A complete formalization would check every such step and make the equilibrium notions precise, in particular the Pareto selection and the tie-breaking at the thresholds, where the retailer is exactly indifferent.

Difficulty

Most of the work is in the contracting stage, not the algebra. The pricing stage must be solved over all square-integrable strategies measurable in the signal. Uniqueness is then almost sure and rests on the linear-expectation identities E[θY]=σ2E[\theta Y] = \sigma^2E[θY]=σ2 and E[Y2]=σ2/βE[Y^2] = \sigma^2/\betaE[Y2]=σ2/β. The concurrent game has multiple equilibria for intermediate payments, and the retailer's optimum lies at a payment where two equilibria coexist. The sequential game is a three-stage game with a continuum of offers: at each threshold the retailer is indifferent, and an SPE exists only if acceptance at indifference is chosen correctly. The threshold cdS2c_d^{S2}cdS2​ has no closed form; it is the root of a convex rational function of cdc_dcd​.

Formalization scope

The Lean development lives in the namespace InfoSharing.Diseconomy. Conventions:

  • The probability space carries θ\thetaθ and YYY in L2L^2L2, with the two conditional-expectation identities holding almost everywhere. β\betaβ is a parameter fixed by E[θ∣Y]=βYE[\theta \mid Y] = \beta YE[θ∣Y]=βY; Ericson's formula for β\betaβ is not formalized.
  • Wholesale strategies are measurable, square-integrable functions of the signal value, and constants for an uninformed manufacturer. A pricing equilibrium is ex ante optimality over such strategies, which is equivalent to the paper's conditional optimization. The retailer's rule must be a best response at every wholesale-price pair.
  • The payoff table is produced by an arbitrary pricing-equilibrium family, not by the §4.2 closed forms. A formalization that takes the closed forms as the definition of the profits would reduce the goal to algebra and a 2×22 \times 22×2 game, and is ruled out.
  • Payments are nonnegative, only pure strategies are used in the contracting games, and the concurrent outcome selects, among Pareto-optimal equilibria, the one best for the retailer.
  • Threshold statements use two clauses: the printed value is attained on the closed region, and it is the only value on the region's interior. The thresholds depend only on ϕ\phiϕ.
  • Demands may be negative (θ is unbounded), as in the paper's formulas.

A complete development needs:

  • the conditional-expectation algebra behind Lemma 1 and §4.2;
  • rational-function inequalities for Lemma 3;
  • a case analysis of the two contracting games.

The model layer is shared with the companion mission on production economy.

Selected references

  • G. Shang, A. Y. Ha, S. Tong, Information Sharing in a Supply Chain with a Common Retailer, Management Science 62(1):245–263, 2016. https://doi.org/10.1287/mnsc.2014.2127
  • W. A. Ericson, A note on the posterior mean of a population mean, Journal of the Royal Statistical Society B 31(2):332–334, 1969.
  • L. Li, Information sharing in a supply chain with horizontal competition, Management Science 48(9):1196–1212, 2002. https://doi.org/10.1287/mnsc.48.9.1196.177
  • L. Li, H. Zhang, Confidentiality and information sharing in supply chain coordination, Management Science 54(8):1467–1481, 2008. https://doi.org/10.1287/mnsc.1070.0851
  • A. Y. Ha, S. Tong, H. Zhang, Sharing imperfect demand information in competing supply chains with production diseconomies, Management Science 57(3):566–581, 2011. https://doi.org/10.1287/mnsc.1100.1295
  • X. Vives, Oligopoly Pricing: Old Ideas and New Tools, MIT Press, 1999.
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Algorithmic Mechanism Design VIII: A Truthful Approximation Scheme for Bounded Scheduling with VerificationResearch Paper

Motivation

Algorithmic mechanism design asks for algorithms whose inputs are held by self-interested agents: the designer can pay the agents, and must choose payments so that each agent's own interest leads it to reveal what the algorithm needs. Nisan and Ronen introduced the framework with task scheduling on unrelated machines as the running example (Nisan–Ronen 2001). In the basic model, where payments depend only on what the agents declare, they showed that no truthful mechanism approximates the optimal make-span within a factor below 2, and that the natural mechanism only reaches a factor nnn.

Their Section 5 changes the information available: in a mechanism with verification the payments may also depend on the times in which the tasks were actually performed. With this extra information, an exact optimizer becomes a strongly truthful mechanism (Theorem 5.1, the Compensation-and-Bonus mechanism). Exact scheduling on unrelated machines is NP-hard, so the question is whether an approximation algorithm can take the optimizer's place. Theorem 5.6 of the paper shows that plugging a non-optimal algorithm into Compensation-and-Bonus destroys truthfulness in general. Theorem 5.9, the subject of this mission, shows that for the bounded problem a specific approximation scheme, the rounding algorithm of Horowitz and Sahni (1976), can be combined with a modified payment rule to give a truthful mechanism whose outcome is within a factor 1+ε1+\varepsilon1+ε of optimal.

Setting

There are nnn agents and kkk tasks. Agent iii needs time tjit^i_jtji​ for task jjj; the vector t=(tji)t = (t^i_j)t=(tji​) is the type vector, and agent iii alone knows its row tit^iti. In the bounded scheduling problem (Definition 33) there are fixed numbers 0<a<b0 < a < b0<a<b with a≤tji≤ba \le t^i_j \le ba≤tji​≤b for all i,ji, ji,j, and every declaration lies in the same range. An allocation xxx assigns each task to one agent; xix^ixi is the set of tasks of agent iii.

A strategy of agent iii has two parts: a declaration di∈[a,b]kd^i \in [a,b]^kdi∈[a,b]k, and an execution, which for each decision xxx of the mechanism specifies the actual time t~j≥tji\tilde t_j \ge t^i_jt~j​≥tji​ in which agent iii performs each task j∈xij \in x^ij∈xi. The mechanism chooses x=x(d)x = x(d)x=x(d) from the declarations alone and afterwards observes the actual times t~\tilde tt~. The objective is the make-span with actual times,

g(x,t~)=max⁡i∑j∈xit~j.g(x,\tilde t) = \max_i \sum_{j \in x^i} \tilde t_j .g(x,t~)=imax​j∈xi∑​t~j​.

Agent iii receives a payment pip^ipi and has utility pi−∑j∈xit~jp^i - \sum_{j \in x^i} \tilde t_jpi−∑j∈xi​t~j​.

The corrected time vector of agent iii keeps agent iii's actual times on its own tasks and the other agents' declarations elsewhere: corri(x,d,t~)j=t~j\mathrm{corr}^i(x,d,\tilde t)_j = \tilde t_jcorri(x,d,t~)j​=t~j​ for j∈xij \in x^ij∈xi and djld^l_jdjl​ for j∈xlj \in x^lj∈xl, l≠il \ne il=i. For a step δ>0\delta > 0δ>0, r^=δ⌈r/δ⌉\hat r = \delta\lceil r/\delta\rceilr^=δ⌈r/δ⌉ rounds rrr up to a multiple of δ\deltaδ, and g^(x,τ)=g(x,τ^)\hat g(x,\tau) = g(x,\hat\tau)g^​(x,τ)=g(x,τ^).

The rounding mechanism (Definition 34) allocates with an algorithm that exactly solves the problem with rounded declarations d^\hat dd^, and pays

pi=∑j∈xit~j  −  g^(x,corri(x,d,t~)).p^i = \sum_{j\in x^i}\tilde t_j \;-\; \hat g\big(x, \mathrm{corr}^i(x, d, \tilde t)\big).pi=j∈xi∑​t~j​−g^​(x,corri(x,d,t~)).

The first term, the compensation, uses exact actual times; the second, the bonus, uses rounded quantities.

A strategy is dominant if it is a best response to every declarations and executions of the others. The mechanism is truthful if every agent has a dominant strategy that declares its true type.

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem 5.9 without running time

For every ε>0\varepsilon > 0ε>0, every 0<δ≤εa0 < \delta \le \varepsilon a0<δ≤εa and every allocation algorithm solving the rounded problem exactly, the rounding mechanism is truthful, and at every profile of dominant strategies from the class named in the proof (declarations with the true rounded values, executions whose rounded times equal the rounded true times),

g(x(d),t~)≤(1+ε) g(y,t)for every allocation y.g\big(x(d),\tilde t\big) \le (1+\varepsilon)\, g(y,t) \quad \text{for every allocation } y .g(x(d),t~)≤(1+ε)g(y,t)for every allocation y.

Milestones

  1. The solution of the rounded problem is a (1+ε)(1+\varepsilon)(1+ε)-approximation: g(x,t^)≤g(y,t^) ∀yg(x,\hat t) \le g(y,\hat t)\ \forall yg(x,t^)≤g(y,t^) ∀y implies g(x,t)≤(1+ε)g(y,t) ∀yg(x,t) \le (1+\varepsilon) g(y,t)\ \forall yg(x,t)≤(1+ε)g(y,t) ∀y.
  2. After rounding, g^\hat gg^​ is the make-span, g^(x,corr∗(x,d))=g(x,d^)\hat g(x,\mathrm{corr}^*(x,d)) = g(x,\hat d)g^​(x,corr∗(x,d))=g(x,d^), and each agent's utility equals its rounded bonus.
  3. Every strategy with the true rounded values is dominant.
  4. When all agents follow such strategies, the outcome is a (1+ε)(1+\varepsilon)(1+ε)-approximation.
  5. Truth-telling with minimal execution is dominant; hence the mechanism is truthful.

Significance

The result shows that verification does more than make exact optimization truthful: it lets a polynomial-time approximation scheme be implemented in dominant strategies, provided the bonus is computed on the same rounded instance the algorithm optimizes. This contrasts with Theorem 5.6, where an arbitrary approximation algorithm inside Compensation-and-Bonus is not truthful, and with the factor-2 lower bound of the basic model. The principle it illustrates is that the payments must reward exactly the objective the algorithm optimizes.

The paper gives only a proof sketch. Formalizing it makes the argument's hypotheses explicit: which rounding step suffices, what the allocation algorithm must satisfy, and over which strategy profiles the approximation guarantee holds. No machine-checked version of this theorem or of the Compensation-and-Bonus argument is known to exist.

Difficulty

The sketch reduces the theorem to "arguments similar to those in 5.1", but the rounded setting departs from Theorem 5.1 in two ways. Rounding is many-to-one, so an agent's declaration and execution are pinned down only up to their rounded values, and the algorithm's optimality holds only for the rounded instance. Consequently the claim that the strategies with the true rounded values are the only dominant ones does not survive arbitrary tie-breaking: an agent that is always favoured on ties can overstate its rounded time by one step without ever losing, and two such lies at one profile can push the make-span above the (1+ε)(1+\varepsilon)(1+ε) bound. The approximation guarantee therefore has to be stated for the strategy class the proof identifies, not derived from dominance alone. The remaining steps require exact bookkeeping of rounding across sums and of the corrected time vectors, which a proof sketch leaves implicit.

Formalization scope

  • Agents are Fin n with [NeZero n], tasks Fin k; allocations are functions Fin k → Fin n; the make-span is a Finset.sup' over agents. Types and declarations satisfy a ≤ t i j ≤ b with 0 < a < b; actual times are only bounded below by the true times.
  • roundUp δ r = δ * ⌈r / δ⌉. The statement holds for every δ∈(0,εa]\delta \in (0,\varepsilon a]δ∈(0,εa], which covers the intended choice δ=εa\delta = \varepsilon aδ=εa; the paper leaves δ\deltaδ as "a function of aaa and ε\varepsilonε".
  • The Horowitz–Sahni dynamic program is not formalized. The allocation algorithm is a parameter with the hypothesis that it solves the rounded problem exactly; ties are arbitrary, and the goal holds for every such algorithm. Running time ("polynomial time") is out of scope, and with it the role of the upper bound bbb, which is kept as part of the problem.
  • An execution is a function of the decision (Definition 18). Dominance quantifies over all declarations in [a,b][a,b][a,b] and all executions of the others.
  • The payment uses the allocation x(d)x(d)x(d) in the bonus. Definition 34 prints x(t^)x(\hat t)x(t^); since the rounding algorithm rounds the declarations itself, x(d)x(d)x(d) is the allocation actually computed. The hat on corr\mathrm{corr}corr is absorbed by g^\hat gg^​.
  • The goal's approximation part is restricted to dominant profiles of the class named in the proof, because the unrestricted form (Definition 3, every dominant profile) is false for some tie-breaking rules; an explicit two-agent, one-task instance is recorded in the goal's Formalization Note.
  • A formalization that measures the approximation with declared rather than actual times, lets the allocation read the true types, or states the approximation only at the truthful profile while claiming the general form, does not formalize this theorem.

Useful infrastructure: lemmas on Int.ceil rounding of finite sums and on Finset.sup' monotonicity, and a reusable model of mechanisms with verification. Proofs of the milestones in any order are welcome.

Selected references

  • N. Nisan, A. Ronen, Algorithmic Mechanism Design, Games and Economic Behavior 35 (2001) 166–196. https://doi.org/10.1006/game.1999.0790
  • E. Horowitz, S. Sahni, Exact and Approximate Algorithms for Scheduling Nonidentical Processors, Journal of the ACM 23 (1976) 317–327. https://doi.org/10.1145/321941.321951
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Algorithmic Mechanism Design VII: Compensation-and-Bonus Based on a Non-Optimal Approximation Algorithm Is Not TruthfulResearch Paper

Motivation

Algorithmic mechanism design studies optimization problems whose inputs are held by self-interested agents: the algorithm must compute a good solution and, through payments, make it in each agent's interest to report its input honestly. Nisan and Ronen introduced the field with the problem of scheduling tasks on unrelated machines, where each machine is an agent that privately knows how long it needs for every task (Nisan–Ronen 2001).

The classical tool for truthfulness, the Vickrey–Groves–Clarke (VGC) family of mechanisms, requires the allocation to be exactly optimal. Exact optimization is often computationally out of reach: minimizing the make-span on unrelated machines is NP-hard, and even approximating it within a factor below 3/2 is NP-hard (Lenstra–Shmoys–Tardos 1990). A mechanism designer would therefore like to plug an approximation algorithm into a truthful mechanism and keep truthfulness. This mission formalizes a result showing that the simplest way of doing so fails in the model with verification, where the mechanism may pay after the tasks are performed and observes the actual execution times.

Timeline.

  • 1999/2001: Nisan and Ronen define mechanisms with verification and the Compensation-and-Bonus mechanism, prove it strongly truthful when its allocation algorithm is optimal (their Theorem 5.1), and prove that replacing the optimal algorithm by a non-optimal approximation algorithm destroys truthfulness (Theorem 5.6, the goal here). They remark that a similar argument applies to VGC mechanisms.
  • 2002: Lehmann, O'Callaghan and Shoham show the analogous failure for VGC payments with approximate allocation in combinatorial auctions (JACM 2002).
  • 2007: Nisan and Ronen study which approximation algorithms can be made truthful within the VGC framework (JAIR 2007).

Setting

There are n≥1n \ge 1n≥1 agents and kkk tasks. The type of agent iii is a vector ti=(t1i,…,tki)t^i = (t^i_1,\dots,t^i_k)ti=(t1i​,…,tki​) of positive reals, tjit^i_jtji​ being the minimum time agent iii needs for task jjj; a type vector is t=(t1,…,tn)t = (t^1,\dots,t^n)t=(t1,…,tn). An allocation x=(x1,…,xn)x = (x^1,\dots,x^n)x=(x1,…,xn) gives each task to one agent. The make-span is

g(x,t)=max⁡i∑j∈xitji,g(x,t) = \max_i \sum_{j\in x^i} t^i_j,g(x,t)=imax​j∈xi∑​tji​,

and xxx is optimal for ttt if g(x,t)≤g(y,t)g(x,t)\le g(y,t)g(x,t)≤g(y,t) for every allocation yyy.

In the model with verification, an agent's strategy has two parts: a declaration did^idi (any positive vector) and an execution plan that, for every allocation the mechanism may choose, fixes the actual time t~j≥tji\tilde t_j \ge t^i_jt~j​≥tji​ in which the agent performs each task jjj it receives. An allocation algorithm x(⋅)x(\cdot)x(⋅) maps the declarations to an allocation x(d)x(d)x(d); the tasks are then executed, producing actual times t~\tilde tt~.

The Compensation-and-Bonus mechanism based on x(⋅)x(\cdot)x(⋅) pays agent iii

pi(d,t~)=∑j∈xi(d)t~j  −  g(x(d),corr⁡i(x(d),d,t~)),p^i(d,\tilde t) = \sum_{j\in x^i(d)} \tilde t_j \;-\; g\bigl(x(d), \operatorname{corr}^i(x(d),d,\tilde t)\bigr),pi(d,t~)=j∈xi(d)∑​t~j​−g(x(d),corri(x(d),d,t~)),

a compensation for the time actually spent plus a bonus equal to minus the make-span computed from agent iii's actual times on its own tasks and the other agents' declared times on theirs (the corrected time vector corr⁡i\operatorname{corr}^icorri). The agent's utility is its payment minus the time it spends. A strategy is dominant if it is at least as good as every alternative whatever the other agents declare and execute; the mechanism is truthful if every agent of every type has a dominant strategy that declares its true type.

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem 5.6

Let x(⋅)x(\cdot)x(⋅) be an allocation algorithm such that, for some real ccc,

g(x(t),t)≤c g(y,t)for every positive t and every allocation y,g\bigl(x(t),t\bigr) \le c\, g(y,t)\quad\text{for every positive } t \text{ and every allocation } y,g(x(t),t)≤cg(y,t)for every positive t and every allocation y,

and such that g(y,t)<g(x(t),t)g(y,t) < g(x(t),t)g(y,t)<g(x(t),t) for some positive ttt and some allocation yyy. Then the Compensation-and-Bonus mechanism based on x(⋅)x(\cdot)x(⋅) is not truthful.

The ratio ccc is arbitrary and existentially quantified: the theorem holds for every finite approximation ratio, so it is stated without a constant.

Milestones

  • Claim 5.7. If the mechanism based on x(⋅)x(\cdot)x(⋅) is truthful, ooo is optimal for ttt and MMM is at least every entry of ttt, then replacing one agent's type by tjit^i_jtji​ on oio^ioi and MMM elsewhere gives a type vector t′t't′ with g(x(t′),t′)≥g(x(t),t)g(x(t'),t') \ge g(x(t),t)g(x(t′),t′)≥g(x(t),t).
  • Corollary 5.8. Under the same assumptions, the type vector sss that makes this replacement for every agent satisfies g(x(s),s)≥g(x(t),t)g(x(s),s) \ge g(x(t),t)g(x(s),s)≥g(x(t),t).
  • Final step. g(o,s)=g(o,t)g(o,s) = g(o,t)g(o,s)=g(o,t), ooo is optimal for sss, and every allocation y≠oy\ne oy=o has g(y,s)≥Mg(y,s)\ge Mg(y,s)≥M.

Significance

The result. Theorem 5.1 of the same paper shows that with an optimal algorithm the Compensation-and-Bonus mechanism is a strongly truthful implementation of make-span minimization. Theorem 5.6 shows that this guarantee is tied to exact optimization: it does not survive replacing the optimizer by any non-optimal approximation algorithm, whatever its ratio. It explains why the paper then turns to a restricted problem (bounded scheduling) and a mechanism designed around a specific rounding algorithm, and it is an early instance of the general tension between approximation and incentive compatibility.

Formalizing it. The result is proved in the paper; to the best of the platform's catalog it has not been formalized. The mission produces a machine-checked model of mechanisms with verification (declarations together with execution plans that may depend on the decision), the Compensation-and-Bonus payment rule for an arbitrary allocation algorithm, and Definition 19 truthfulness, together with a checked proof of the impossibility.

Difficulty

The argument is short on paper; the difficulty lies in the model. The paper's "∞\infty∞" is not a number, and a faithful statement must replace it by a finite value that is large enough to conflict with the approximation ratio yet keeps every type positive and entrywise above the true types; both requirements refer to data fixed earlier in the argument. The incentive step compares utilities in a mechanism where an agent's strategy is a declaration and an execution plan that may depend on the decision, and where the bonus mixes the agent's actual times with the other agents' declarations, so a naive reading in which only declarations matter (the direct-revelation model of §2) does not capture the claim. Finally, Corollary 5.8 concerns a type vector modified at every agent, while Claim 5.7 modifies one agent at a time, so the claim must be applicable at type vectors that are no longer the original one.

Formalization scope

  • Agents are Fin n with [NeZero n], tasks Fin k, allocations are functions Fin k → Fin n, types and declarations are positive real vectors. Make-spans are Finset.sup' over the nonempty set of agents. With no agents no allocation algorithm meets the hypotheses, so requiring n≥1n\ge 1n≥1 loses nothing.
  • An execution plan is a function of the allocation; feasibility is t~j≥tji\tilde t_j \ge t^i_jt~j​≥tji​ on the agent's own tasks. In the dominance quantifier the other agents' declarations are positive and their execution plans arbitrary; the agent's alternative declarations are positive and its alternative plans feasible for its true type.
  • The allocation algorithm is an arbitrary function of the declarations; "approximation algorithm" is the hypothesis ∃c\exists c∃c above, "non-optimal" the hypothesis of one positive witness. The optimal allocation opt(t)\mathrm{opt}(t)opt(t) in the milestones is any optimal allocation ooo, supplied as a parameter.
  • The paper's ∞\infty∞ is a real parameter MMM with M≥tjlM \ge t^l_jM≥tjl​ for all l,jl,jl,j; extended reals are not used.
  • Claim 5.7 is stated for an arbitrary agent iii, not only for agent 1, so that Corollary 5.8 can iterate it.
  • Running time is not modelled; "algorithm" means function.
  • Dropping the approximation hypothesis makes the statement false: an allocation rule that ignores the declarations is non-optimal, yet its Compensation-and-Bonus mechanism is truthful. Stating only "not strongly truthful", or proving the theorem for a fixed instance, would be a weaker claim.

Welcome contributions: proofs of the milestones and the goal, and reusable lemmas about the corrected time vector and the monotonicity of the make-span in the time vector.

Selected references

  • N. Nisan, A. Ronen, Algorithmic Mechanism Design, Games and Economic Behavior 35 (2001) 166–196. https://doi.org/10.1006/game.1999.0790
  • J. K. Lenstra, D. B. Shmoys, É. Tardos, Approximation algorithms for scheduling unrelated parallel machines, Mathematical Programming 46 (1990) 259–271. https://doi.org/10.1007/BF01585745
  • D. Lehmann, L. I. O'Callaghan, Y. Shoham, Truth revelation in approximately efficient combinatorial auctions, Journal of the ACM 49 (2002) 577–602. https://doi.org/10.1145/585265.585266
  • N. Nisan, A. Ronen, Computationally Feasible VCG Mechanisms, Journal of Artificial Intelligence Research 29 (2007) 19–47. https://doi.org/10.1613/jair.2046
  • E. Horowitz, S. Sahni, Exact and approximate algorithms for scheduling nonidentical processors, Journal of the ACM 23 (1976) 317–327. https://doi.org/10.1145/321941.321951
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Algorithmic Mechanism Design III: No Additive Truthful Mechanism Achieves a c-Approximation for Task Scheduling for Any c < nResearch Paper

Motivation

Algorithmic mechanism design studies optimization problems whose inputs are held by self-interested agents: an algorithm must not only compute a good solution but also pay the agents so that reporting their data truthfully is in their own interest. Nisan and Ronen introduced the field in Algorithmic Mechanism Design (Games Econ. Behav. 35, 2001) with task scheduling on unrelated machines as the model problem. Each machine is owned by an agent who alone knows how long it takes for each task; the designer wants a schedule of small make-span.

The paper gives a truthful mechanism, MinWork, whose make-span is within a factor nnn of optimal, and a lower bound of 222 for every truthful mechanism. It conjectures that no truthful mechanism beats nnn (Conjecture 4.9) and proves the conjecture for two natural classes. This mission is about one of them, additive mechanisms (Theorem 4.10, p. 180).

Timeline of the gap between 222 and nnn:

  • 1999/2001: Nisan and Ronen prove the lower bound 222 for all truthful mechanisms and nnn for additive and for local mechanisms.
  • 2007: Christodoulou, Koutsoupias and Vidali raise the general lower bound to 1+21+\sqrt 21+2​ for n≥3n\ge 3n≥3 (SODA 2007; Algorithmica 2009).
  • 2008: Christodoulou, Koutsoupias and Vidali characterize the truthful mechanisms for two machines (ESA 2008; arXiv 0807.3427); in parallel, Dobzinski and Sundararajan (EC 2008) characterize them and show that for two machines no truthful mechanism beats 222.
  • 2023: Christodoulou, Koutsoupias and Kovács prove the Nisan–Ronen conjecture: no truthful mechanism beats nnn (STOC 2023; arXiv 2301.11905).

Setting

There are nnn agents i=1,…,ni=1,\dots,ni=1,…,n and kkk tasks j=1,…,kj=1,\dots,kj=1,…,k. The type of agent iii is a vector ti=(t1i,…,tki)t^i=(t^i_1,\dots,t^i_k)ti=(t1i​,…,tki​) of positive reals, tjit^i_jtji​ being the time agent iii needs for task jjj; a type vector t=(t1,…,tn)t=(t^1,\dots,t^n)t=(t1,…,tn) collects all types, and t−it^{-i}t−i denotes the types of the agents other than iii. An allocation x=(x1,…,xn)x=(x^1,\dots,x^n)x=(x1,…,xn) is a partition of the tasks, xix^ixi being the set given to agent iii. For a set XXX of tasks write ti(X)=∑j∈Xtjit^i(X)=\sum_{j\in X}t^i_jti(X)=∑j∈X​tji​. The make-span is

g(x,t)=max⁡iti(xi).g(x,t)=\max_i t^i(x^i).g(x,t)=imax​ti(xi).

A direct mechanism m=(x,p)m=(x,p)m=(x,p) maps every declared type vector ttt to an allocation x(t)x(t)x(t) and to payments pi(t)p^i(t)pi(t) handed to the agents. An agent with true type tit^iti gets utility pi(t)−ti(xi(t))p^i(t)-t^i(x^i(t))pi(t)−ti(xi(t)). The mechanism is truthful if, whatever the others declare, no agent gains by declaring a type other than its true one. It is a ccc-approximation if g(x(t),t)≤c g(y,t)g(x(t),t)\le c\,g(y,t)g(x(t),t)≤cg(y,t) for every positive type vector ttt and every allocation yyy.

The price offered for a set XXX to agent iii (Definition 12) is the payment pi(t′i,t−i)p^i(t'^i,t^{-i})pi(t′i,t−i) at any declaration t′it'^it′i for which the mechanism gives agent iii exactly XXX, and 000 if there is no such declaration. For truthful mechanisms this is well defined (Proposition 4.4, Independence). The mechanism is additive (Definition 13) if

pi(X,t−i)=∑j∈Xpi({j},t−i)p^i(X,t^{-i})=\sum_{j\in X}p^i(\{j\},t^{-i})pi(X,t−i)=j∈X∑​pi({j},t−i)

for every agent iii, type vector ttt and set XXX of tasks. MinWork, which gives each task to the fastest agent and pays it the second-fastest time, is additive.

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem 4.10

For n≥1n\ge 1n≥1 agents and k≥n2k\ge n^2k≥n2 tasks, for every truthful additive mechanism (x,p)(x,p)(x,p) and every real c<nc<nc<n,

∃ t, ∃ y:g(x(t),t)>c⋅g(y,t).\exists\,t,\ \exists\,y:\qquad g\bigl(x(t),t\bigr)>c\cdot g(y,t).∃t, ∃y:g(x(t),t)>c⋅g(y,t).

The goal leaves the mechanism, its tie-breaking and ccc completely general. It says that the ratio nnn of MinWork is optimal among additive mechanisms.

Milestones

  1. Proposition 4.4 (Independence): the payment depends on agent iii's declaration only through its allocation.
  2. Proposition 4.5 (Maximization): xi(t)x^i(t)xi(t) maximizes pi(X,t−i)−ti(X)p^i(X,t^{-i})-t^i(X)pi(X,t−i)−ti(X) over the sets XXX agent iii can obtain against t−it^{-i}t−i.
  3. Pigeonhole: with k≥n2k\ge n^2k≥n2 tasks some agent receives at least nnn tasks.
  4. Claim 4.11: at the all-ones type vector ttt, lowering agent iii's times to 1−ϵ1-\epsilon1−ϵ on xi(t)x^i(t)xi(t) and ϵ\epsilonϵ elsewhere keeps all of xi(t)x^i(t)xi(t) with agent iii, provided the empty set is attainable for agent iii.
  5. The ratio step: at that perturbed type vector, an allocation giving agent iii a fixed set of nnn tasks has make-span at least (1−ϵ)n(1-\epsilon)n(1−ϵ)n, while some allocation has make-span at most 1+kϵ1+k\epsilon1+kϵ.

Significance

Theorem 4.10 shows that the gap between MinWork's ratio nnn and the general lower bound 222 cannot be closed by any mechanism that prices tasks separately, and so any better mechanism would have to couple the prices of different tasks. It was the first class-restricted confirmation of Conjecture 4.9, which was eventually proved for all truthful mechanisms (Christodoulou–Koutsoupias–Kovács 2023). The additive case is the cleanest entry point: its proof needs only the two basic properties of truthful mechanisms, Independence and Maximization, which every later lower bound also uses.

All results here are proved on paper, and none has a machine-checked proof on Prove2Me as of this mission's drafting. The mission produces a formal model of scheduling mechanisms and prices that other lower bounds can reuse, formal statements of Independence and Maximization, and a formal proof of Theorem 4.10. Along the way the formalization corrects two points of the printed argument (see Formalization scope).

Difficulty

The work is to extract prices from an arbitrary truthful mechanism. Prices are defined through the attainable sets of Definition 12. A natural first idea replaces the mechanism by per-task prices qji(t−i)q^i_j(t^{-i})qji​(t−i) that the agent maximizes against. That gives a different class, because Definition 13 constrains the price of every set of tasks, including sets the mechanism never allocates, whose price is 000.

Claim 4.11 is the critical step, and its printed argument does not go through for an arbitrary truthful additive mechanism. It needs the empty set to be attainable with price 000. For a mechanism with a bounded ratio this holds, because a very slow agent must receive nothing, but this has to be derived from the approximation hypothesis. From that, one has to show that every task of xi(t)x^i(t)xi(t) carries a single-task price of at least 111. The final step also needs care. The paper's "w.l.o.g. ∣x1∣=n|x^1|=n∣x1∣=n" is a further reduction, and the paper's bound g≥∣x1∣g\ge|x^1|g≥∣x1∣ has to be replaced by (1−ϵ)∣x1∣(1-\epsilon)|x^1|(1−ϵ)∣x1∣.

Formalization scope

  • Representation. Agents are Fin n, tasks Fin k, type vectors Fin n → Fin k → ℝ, and an allocation is a map Fin k → Fin n sending each task to its agent. taskSet x i is xix^ixi, and the make-span is a Finset.sup' over the nonempty set of agents ([NeZero n]). A mechanism is a pair alloc, pay of arbitrary functions; nothing about its tie-breaking is fixed.
  • Standing assumptions. Types are positive. Truthfulness, additivity and approximation quantify over positive type vectors only. Utility is quasi-linear, with payments handed to the agent.
  • Prices. price follows Definition 12 literally: the payment at a Classical.choose witness declaration when the set is attainable, and 000 otherwise. Additivity (IsAdditive) is required for every set of tasks, attainable or not, as Definition 13 states. It is a condition on prices, not on the payment function.
  • Explicit threshold. The goal assumes k≥n2k\ge n^2k≥n2, the value the paper's proof starts from; the printed theorem does not mention kkk. It is stated for every n≥1n\ge1n≥1; at n=1n=1n=1 it holds because all allocations coincide.
  • Printed slips, corrected. (1) Proposition 4.5 is stated over attainable sets: over all sets, with the price 000 of unattainable sets, it fails for truthful mechanisms that never give the agent nothing and charge it. (2) Claim 4.11 carries the added hypothesis that ∅\emptyset∅ is attainable for agent iii. Without it the claim is false: a mechanism that always gives agent iii its ∣x∣|x|∣x∣ cheapest tasks and pays nothing is truthful and additive. The claim is stated for an arbitrary agent iii instead of "agent 1 after relabelling". (3) The ratio step states g≥(1−ϵ)ng\ge(1-\epsilon)ng≥(1−ϵ)n where the paper prints g≥∣x1∣≥ng\ge|x^1|\ge ng≥∣x1∣≥n, and states the paper's w.l.o.g. ∣x1∣=n|x^1|=n∣x1∣=n as a hypothesis of the step, not of the goal.
  • Out of scope. Running time and the revelation principle are not modelled; the goal is stated for truthful direct mechanisms, as §4.3 fixes.
  • Ruled out. A trivializing encoding would define additivity through the payment function instead of the prices of Definition 12, fix nnn, prove the ratio for one c<nc<nc<n only, or drop truthfulness. The last makes the claim false: an optimal allocation rule with zero payments is additive and a 111-approximation. The goal here quantifies over every nnn, every c<nc<nc<n and every truthful additive mechanism.
  • Non-vacuity. Every hypothesis of the goal except the ratio is satisfiable (a constant allocation with zero payments is truthful and additive), and the bound is tight by MinWork.
  • Contributions welcome. Proofs of the milestones, a proof that a bounded-ratio mechanism makes ∅\emptyset∅ attainable for every agent, and reuse of the model for the local-mechanism bound (Theorem 4.12).

Selected references

  • N. Nisan, A. Ronen, Algorithmic Mechanism Design, Games and Economic Behavior 35 (2001) 166–196. https://doi.org/10.1006/game.1999.0790
  • G. Christodoulou, E. Koutsoupias, A. Vidali, A lower bound for scheduling mechanisms, SODA 2007; Algorithmica 55, 2009. https://doi.org/10.1007/s00453-008-9165-3
  • G. Christodoulou, E. Koutsoupias, A. Vidali, A characterization of 2-player mechanisms for scheduling, ESA 2008. https://arxiv.org/abs/0807.3427
  • S. Dobzinski, M. Sundararajan, On characterizations of truthful mechanisms for combinatorial auctions and scheduling, EC 2008, pp. 38–47.
  • G. Christodoulou, E. Koutsoupias, A. Kovács, A proof of the Nisan–Ronen conjecture, STOC 2023. https://doi.org/10.1145/3564246.3585176 (arXiv:2301.11905)
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Bargaining under Incomplete Information III: Trade Probability and Expected Profits in the Uniform Linear EquilibriumResearch Paper

Motivation

A buyer and a seller negotiate over a single indivisible good. Each knows what the good is worth to them but not what it is worth to the other side, and each shades their offer to exploit the other's uncertainty. Chatterjee and Samuelson (Bargaining under Incomplete Information, Operations Research 31(5), 1983) modelled this as a one-shot game in which both parties submit sealed offers simultaneously and a sale takes place at a weighted average of the two offers whenever the buyer's offer is at least the seller's.

The weight kkk is a design parameter: k=1k = 1k=1 lets the buyer set the price, k=0k = 0k=0 the seller, and k=1/2k = 1/2k=1/2 splits the difference. For values uniform on a common interval the paper computes an explicit equilibrium for every kkk (its Example 1) and then asks the questions a designer of the rule cares about: how often does trade happen, who gains when kkk moves, and which kkk maximises the expected gains of the two parties together. The answers are the subject of this mission.

The example became a benchmark for bilateral trade. Myerson and Satterthwaite (J. Econ. Theory 29, 1983) proved that no mechanism can guarantee efficient trade with two-sided private information, and that for uniform values the split-the-difference equilibrium of this game attains the largest expected gains from trade of any mechanism. The numbers 9/329/329/32 and 964vˉ\tfrac{9}{64}\bar v649​vˉ below are therefore the second-best benchmarks against which later work on the kkk-double auction (Satterthwaite and Williams, J. Econ. Theory 48, 1989; Leininger, Linhart and Radner, J. Econ. Theory 48, 1989) measures inefficiency.

Setting

A seller with reservation price vsv_svs​ and a buyer with reservation price vbv_bvb​ each know their own value. The two values are drawn independently and uniformly on [0,vˉ][0, \bar v][0,vˉ], with vˉ>0\bar v > 0vˉ>0; this law, written unif(vˉ)\mathrm{unif}(\bar v)unif(vˉ), is also each player's belief about the other's value (Fs(v)=Fb(v)=v/vˉF_s(v) = F_b(v) = v/\bar vFs​(v)=Fb​(v)=v/vˉ in the paper).

Under the Bargaining Rule with parameter k∈[0,1]k \in [0,1]k∈[0,1], the seller asks sss and the buyer offers bbb. If b≥sb \ge sb≥s the good is sold at price P=kb+(1−k)sP = kb + (1-k)sP=kb+(1−k)s, the seller earns P−vsP - v_sP−vs​ and the buyer earns vb−Pv_b - Pvb​−P; otherwise both earn zero. Ties trade.

An offer strategy maps a value to an offer. The strategies of Example 1(a) are

S(vs)=vs2−k+1−k2vˉfor 0≤vs≤2−k2vˉ,S(vs)≥the same expression for 2−k2vˉ<vs≤vˉ,S(v_s) = \frac{v_s}{2-k} + \frac{1-k}{2}\bar v \quad\text{for } 0 \le v_s \le \tfrac{2-k}{2}\bar v, \qquad S(v_s) \ge \text{the same expression for } \tfrac{2-k}{2}\bar v < v_s \le \bar v,S(vs​)=2−kvs​​+21−k​vˉfor 0≤vs​≤22−k​vˉ,S(vs​)≥the same expression for 22−k​vˉ<vs​≤vˉ, B(vb)=vb1+k+k(1−k)2(1+k)vˉfor 1−k2vˉ≤vb≤vˉ,B(vb)≤the same expression for 0≤vb<1−k2vˉ.B(v_b) = \frac{v_b}{1+k} + \frac{k(1-k)}{2(1+k)}\bar v \quad\text{for } \tfrac{1-k}{2}\bar v \le v_b \le \bar v, \qquad B(v_b) \le \text{the same expression for } 0 \le v_b < \tfrac{1-k}{2}\bar v.B(vb​)=1+kvb​​+2(1+k)k(1−k)​vˉfor 21−k​vˉ≤vb​≤vˉ,B(vb​)≤the same expression for 0≤vb​<21−k​vˉ.

A pair (S,B)(S, B)(S,B) with these four properties is said to have the shape of Example 1(a) (IsExample1Pair k v̄ S B). On the two inequality ranges a seller asks too much, or a buyer bids too little, for any trade to occur, so the strategy there is free apart from the bound.

For such a pair, with (vs,vb)∼unif(vˉ)⊗unif(vˉ)(v_s, v_b) \sim \mathrm{unif}(\bar v) \otimes \mathrm{unif}(\bar v)(vs​,vb​)∼unif(vˉ)⊗unif(vˉ), the trade probability is Pr⁡[S(vs)≤B(vb)]\Pr[S(v_s) \le B(v_b)]Pr[S(vs​)≤B(vb​)] (tradeProb), and the ex ante expected profits — taken before either value is drawn, as the paper specifies on p. 843 — are

πs=E[1{S(vs)≤B(vb)} (kB(vb)+(1−k)S(vs)−vs)],πb=E[1{S(vs)≤B(vb)} (vb−kB(vb)−(1−k)S(vs))]\pi_s = \mathbb E\bigl[\mathbf 1\{S(v_s) \le B(v_b)\}\,(kB(v_b) + (1-k)S(v_s) - v_s)\bigr],\qquad \pi_b = \mathbb E\bigl[\mathbf 1\{S(v_s) \le B(v_b)\}\,(v_b - kB(v_b) - (1-k)S(v_s))\bigr]πs​=E[1{S(vs​)≤B(vb​)}(kB(vb​)+(1−k)S(vs​)−vs​)],πb​=E[1{S(vs​)≤B(vb​)}(vb​−kB(vb​)−(1−k)S(vs​))]

(sellerExAnte, buyerExAnte).

Formalization targets

Goal: Example 1(c)(iii), total expected profit

For 0≤k≤10 \le k \le 10≤k≤1, vˉ>0\bar v > 0vˉ>0 and every pair of the shape of Example 1(a),

πs+πb=vˉ16(1+k)(2−k),\pi_s + \pi_b = \frac{\bar v}{16}(1+k)(2-k),πs​+πb​=16vˉ​(1+k)(2−k),

and as a function of k∈[0,1]k \in [0,1]k∈[0,1] this total attains its maximum 964vˉ\tfrac{9}{64}\bar v649​vˉ at k=1/2k = 1/2k=1/2. The goal is the paper's efficiency statement: among these equilibria, splitting the difference maximises expected group profit.

Milestones

  1. Example 1(b). Pr⁡[S(vs)≤B(vb)]=−k2+k+28\Pr[S(v_s) \le B(v_b)] = \dfrac{-k^2 + k + 2}{8}Pr[S(vs​)≤B(vb​)]=8−k2+k+2​, with maximum 9/329/329/32 at k=1/2k = 1/2k=1/2.
  2. Example 1(c)(i). πs(k)=vˉ48(2−k)2(1+k)\pi_s(k) = \dfrac{\bar v}{48}(2-k)^2(1+k)πs​(k)=48vˉ​(2−k)2(1+k), strictly decreasing in kkk on [0,1][0,1][0,1].
  3. Example 1(c)(ii). πb(k)=vˉ48(1+k)2(2−k)\pi_b(k) = \dfrac{\bar v}{48}(1+k)^2(2-k)πb​(k)=48vˉ​(1+k)2(2−k), strictly increasing in kkk on [0,1][0,1][0,1].

The goal is the sum of milestones 2 and 3 together with a one-variable maximisation; milestone 1 describes the trade region over which both profits are integrated.

Significance

The formulas answer the design question for the rule. Moving kkk toward the buyer's offer makes the price rule look more favourable to the seller, yet milestone 2 shows the seller's equilibrium profit falls and milestone 3 shows the buyer's rises: the paper (p. 844) uses this to show that an intuition which ignores the players' strategic response is mistaken. The comparison with truthful offers, which would trade with probability 1/21/21/2 and earn expected group profit vˉ/6\bar v/6vˉ/6, quantifies the cost of strategic misrepresentation: at best 9/329/329/32 and 964vˉ\tfrac{9}{64}\bar v649​vˉ.

The paper states these results as "straightforward computations" and prints no derivation. As far as is known, none of them has a machine-checked proof. A formalization settles the constants against the exact strategies of Example 1(a), including the non-linear no-trade branches the paper allows, and provides a worked example of computing trade probabilities and expected payoffs under a product of uniform laws, reusable for other double-auction and bilateral-trade examples.

Difficulty

The computation is elementary on paper, but the equilibrium strategies are only partly specified: on the seller's high range and the buyer's low range the offers are arbitrary functions subject to a bound, and need not be measurable. The obvious approach — substitute the linear formulas and integrate — is valid only after showing that these free branches never trade, so that the trade event and both integrands agree almost everywhere with their linear versions. The resulting integrals are over a product of two conditioned Lebesgue measures, not over Lebesgue measure on the plane, and the trade region depends on kkk through both strategies. The monotonicity claims hold only on [0,1][0,1][0,1] (the seller's cubic is not monotone on R\mathbb RR), and the derivative of each profit vanishes at an endpoint of the interval.

Formalization scope

Values are real numbers; the uniform law on [0,vˉ][0, \bar v][0,vˉ] is Lebesgue measure conditioned on the interval (volume[|Icc 0 v̄]), and the joint law of (vs,vb)(v_s, v_b)(vs​,vb​) is the product measure, with pairs ordered (vs,vb)(v_s, v_b)(vs​,vb​). The trade probability is the real number (P {p | S p.1 ≤ B p.2}).toReal; the profits are Bochner integrals over the product. Ties trade. The results are ex ante, not conditional on a player's own value. Every theorem assumes 0≤k≤10 \le k \le 10≤k≤1 and vˉ>0\bar v > 0vˉ>0. Maxima are stated with IsMaxOn on [0,1][0,1][0,1] plus the value at k=1/2k = 1/2k=1/2; monotonicity with StrictAntiOn/StrictMonoOn on [0,1][0,1][0,1].

The statements do not assume that (S,B)(S, B)(S,B) is an equilibrium; they are computations about any pair of the shape of Example 1(a). That this pair is an equilibrium is Example 1(a) itself, the goal of a companion mission. No measurability of SSS or BBB is assumed: the free branches never trade, so each integrand agrees almost everywhere with a bounded measurable function and the integrals are the paper's expectations. A formalization that assumes SSS and BBB linear everywhere, or that integrates over a single uniform variable, proves a different statement.

A complete development needs: the reduction of the trade event and the integrands to their linear versions on [0,vˉ]2[0,\bar v]^2[0,vˉ]2; Fubini for the product of conditioned measures; evaluation of polynomial integrals over a triangle; and elementary calculus on cubics. Lemmas on integrating over products of uniform laws are reusable. Contributions of intermediate lemmas, such as the explicit trade region, are welcome.

Selected references

  • K. Chatterjee and W. Samuelson, Bargaining under Incomplete Information, Operations Research 31(5):835–851, 1983. https://doi.org/10.1287/opre.31.5.835
  • R. B. Myerson and M. A. Satterthwaite, Efficient Mechanisms for Bilateral Trading, Journal of Economic Theory 29(2):265–281, 1983. https://doi.org/10.1016/0022-0531(83)90048-0
  • M. A. Satterthwaite and S. R. Williams, Bilateral Trade with the Sealed Bid k-Double Auction: Existence and Efficiency, Journal of Economic Theory 48(1):107–133, 1989. https://doi.org/10.1016/0022-0531(89)90120-8
  • W. Leininger, P. B. Linhart and R. Radner, Equilibria of the Sealed-Bid Mechanism for Bargaining with Incomplete Information, Journal of Economic Theory 48(1):63–106, 1989. https://doi.org/10.1016/0022-0531(89)90121-X
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Convex OptimizationOperations ResearchProbability·Captain: mikedeng1

On the Global Convergence of Stochastic Fictitious Play I: Every Additive Random Utility Choice Function Has an Admissible Deterministic Perturbation RepresentationResearch Paper

Motivation

Models of learning in games, and discrete choice models in econometrics, describe an agent who does not always pick the best alternative. Two descriptions of such an agent are standard. In the additive random utility model (McFadden 1981; Anderson, de Palma and Thisse 1992) the agent maximizes payoffs perturbed by random shocks. In the deterministic perturbation model (Fudenberg and Levine 1998) the agent chooses a probability vector and pays a deterministic, strictly convex cost for it. The logit choice rule arises from both: from i.i.d. extreme-value shocks, and from the entropy cost V(y)=η∑jyjln⁡yjV(y) = \eta \sum_j y_j \ln y_jV(y)=η∑j​yj​lnyj​.

Hofbauer and Sandholm (Econometrica 70 (2002)) show that the second description is general enough to cover the first for every shock distribution with a strictly positive density, not only for logit. Their analysis of stochastic fictitious play rests on this: the deterministic representation provides the perturbed payoff functions from which Lyapunov functions for the learning dynamics are built, for arbitrary noise. This mission formalizes that discrete choice theorem, Theorem 2.1 of the paper, together with the steps of its proof.

Setting

Fix n≥1n \ge 1n≥1 alternatives A={1,…,n}A = \{1, \dots, n\}A={1,…,n} with base payoffs π=(π1,…,πn)∈Rn\pi = (\pi_1, \dots, \pi_n) \in \mathbb{R}^nπ=(π1​,…,πn​)∈Rn. A random vector ε=(ε1,…,εn)\varepsilon = (\varepsilon_1, \dots, \varepsilon_n)ε=(ε1​,…,εn​) has a strictly positive density f:Rn→Rf : \mathbb{R}^n \to \mathbb{R}f:Rn→R, whose law does not depend on π\piπ. The agent chooses the alternative whose total payoff πj+εj\pi_j + \varepsilon_jπj​+εj​ is largest, which gives the choice probability function C:Rn→RnC : \mathbb{R}^n \to \mathbb{R}^nC:Rn→Rn,

Ci(π)=P(argmax⁡j πj+εj=i).C_i(\pi) = P\big(\operatorname{argmax}_j\, \pi_j + \varepsilon_j = i\big).Ci​(π)=P(argmaxj​πj​+εj​=i).

The probability simplex is ΔA={x∈R+n:∑jxj=1}\Delta A = \{x \in \mathbb{R}^n_+ : \sum_j x_j = 1\}ΔA={x∈R+n​:∑j​xj​=1}, with relative interior int⁡(ΔA)\operatorname{int}(\Delta A)int(ΔA) (all coordinates positive) and tangent space R0n={z∈Rn:∑jzj=0}\mathbb{R}^n_0 = \{z \in \mathbb{R}^n : \sum_j z_j = 0\}R0n​={z∈Rn:∑j​zj​=0}.

A deterministic perturbation is a function V:int⁡(ΔA)→RV : \operatorname{int}(\Delta A) \to \mathbb{R}V:int(ΔA)→R. Because VVV lives on the relative interior, its gradient ∇V(y)\nabla V(y)∇V(y) is the vector of R0n\mathbb{R}^n_0R0n​ with V(y+hz)=V(y)+(∇V(y)⋅z)h+o(h)V(y + hz) = V(y) + (\nabla V(y) \cdot z) h + o(h)V(y+hz)=V(y)+(∇V(y)⋅z)h+o(h) for all z∈R0nz \in \mathbb{R}^n_0z∈R0n​, and its second derivative D2V(y)D^2 V(y)D2V(y) is a quadratic form on R0n\mathbb{R}^n_0R0n​. The perturbation is admissible if VVV is twice continuously differentiable along the simplex, D2V(y)D^2V(y)D2V(y) is positive definite on R0n\mathbb{R}^n_0R0n​ for every yyy, and ∥∇V(y)∥→∞\|\nabla V(y)\| \to \infty∥∇V(y)∥→∞ as yyy approaches the boundary of ΔA\Delta AΔA.

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem 2.1

If ε\varepsilonε has a strictly positive density and CCC is continuously differentiable, then there is an admissible VVV such that, for every π∈Rn\pi \in \mathbb{R}^nπ∈Rn,

C(π)=argmax⁡y∈int⁡(ΔA)(y⋅π−V(y)),C(\pi) = \operatorname*{argmax}_{y \in \operatorname{int}(\Delta A)} \big( y \cdot \pi - V(y) \big),C(π)=y∈int(ΔA)argmax​(y⋅π−V(y)),

with a unique maximizer. The perturbation VVV is one function serving all payoff vectors at once.

Milestones

The milestones are the steps of the paper's proof (pp. 5–7), in order:

  1. Eq. (4). DC(π)DC(\pi)DC(π) is symmetric, ∂Ci/∂πj=∂Cj/∂πi\partial C_i/\partial \pi_j = \partial C_j / \partial \pi_i∂Ci​/∂πj​=∂Cj​/∂πi​, and its off-diagonal terms are strictly negative.
  2. Eq. (5). ∂Ci/∂πi=−∑j≠i∂Cj/∂πi\partial C_i/\partial \pi_i = -\sum_{j \ne i} \partial C_j/\partial \pi_i∂Ci​/∂πi​=−∑j=i​∂Cj​/∂πi​, and DC(π)1=0DC(\pi)\mathbf{1} = 0DC(π)1=0.
  3. Eq. (6). z⋅DC(π)z>0z \cdot DC(\pi) z > 0z⋅DC(π)z>0 whenever zzz is not proportional to 1\mathbf{1}1.
  4. Shift invariance and injectivity. C(π+c1)=C(π)C(\pi + c\mathbf{1}) = C(\pi)C(π+c1)=C(π), and CCC is one-to-one on R0n\mathbb{R}^n_0R0n​.
  5. Range observation. If the payoffs πj\pi_jπj​, j∈Jj \in Jj∈J, stay bounded while the others tend to +∞+\infty+∞, then Cj(π)→0C_j(\pi) \to 0Cj​(π)→0 for j∈Jj \in Jj∈J.
  6. Convex potential. There is W:Rn→RW : \mathbb{R}^n \to \mathbb{R}W:Rn→R with ∇W≡C\nabla W \equiv C∇W≡C, strictly convex on R0n\mathbb{R}^n_0R0n​.
  7. Range. CCC takes values in int⁡(ΔA)\operatorname{int}(\Delta A)int(ΔA), and C(R0n)=int⁡(ΔA)C(\mathbb{R}^n_0) = \operatorname{int}(\Delta A)C(R0n​)=int(ΔA).

Significance

The result. Theorem 2.1 lets any smooth additive random utility model be replaced by an optimizing agent with a strictly convex, boundary-repelling cost. In the paper this is the bridge from the perturbed best response dynamic to a deterministic perturbed-payoff formulation, which yields Lyapunov functions for zero-sum games, games with an interior evolutionarily stable strategy, and potential games (§4 of the paper), and so the almost sure convergence of stochastic fictitious play under general noise (Theorem 6.1). Without it those convergence results would be restricted to noise distributions whose choice rule has a known deterministic representation, essentially logit. The paper also shows (Proposition 2.2) that the converse fails when n≥4n \ge 4n≥4: deterministic perturbations generate strictly more choice rules than random utility.

Formalizing it. The theorem is proved on paper; no machine-checked proof of it is known. The mission asks for a formal proof of Theorem 2.1 and the seven steps above. Along the way it requires symmetric Jacobians of probability integrals, a gradient-field potential on Rn\mathbb{R}^nRn, and the Legendre transform of a strictly convex function restricted to a hyperplane. None of these is currently packaged in Mathlib in the needed form.

Difficulty

The obvious argument is to take VVV to be the Legendre transform of the potential W(π)=Emax⁡j(πj+εj)W(\pi) = \mathbb{E}\max_j(\pi_j + \varepsilon_j)W(π)=Emaxj​(πj​+εj​) and read off the first-order conditions. Three steps of that argument are not routine. First, the derivative identity (4) is a change of variables inside an (n−1)(n-1)(n−1)-fold integral over a moving region, and its strict sign needs the density to be positive on the relevant hyperplane sections. Second, the Legendre transform is well defined on all of int⁡(ΔA)\operatorname{int}(\Delta A)int(ΔA) only if CCC maps R0n\mathbb{R}^n_0R0n​ onto the whole open simplex. The paper takes this from Theorem 26.5 of Rockafellar (1970), whose hypotheses (essential smoothness, strict convexity, identification of the conjugate's domain) must be checked here. Third, positive definiteness of D2VD^2VD2V and the gradient blow-up at the boundary are statements about the inverse of CCC on R0n\mathbb{R}^n_0R0n​. They need an inverse function argument on a subspace and a properness argument, not only pointwise convexity.

Verifying that C(π)C(\pi)C(π) satisfies the first-order condition for one fixed π\piπ does not suffice: the goal requires a single VVV for all π\piπ, and a unique maximizer.

Formalization scope

Alternatives are indexed by Fin n with n≥1n \ge 1n≥1; vectors are Fin n → ℝ with its sup norm. The density is a real function fff that is continuous, strictly positive at every point, and has ∫f=1\int f = 1∫f=1; the law of ε\varepsilonε is Lebesgue measure weighted by fff. The paper's formula (4) evaluates fff on hyperplanes, which is meaningful for a continuous fff. Without continuity the theorem can fail: a density that is positive everywhere but tends to zero near a hyperplane can make CCC continuously differentiable with a vanishing off-diagonal derivative, and then no twice differentiable VVV represents CCC. Continuous differentiability of CCC is a hypothesis, as in the paper, stated as ContDiff ℝ 1 of the map π↦C(π)\pi \mapsto C(\pi)π↦C(π). The event "iii is the argmax" uses strict inequalities; ties have probability zero.

VVV is a function on Rn\mathbb{R}^nRn of which only the values on int⁡(ΔA)\operatorname{int}(\Delta A)int(ΔA) enter. Its smoothness and second derivative are taken in the chart z↦V(y+z)z \mapsto V(y + z)z↦V(y+z) on the subspace R0n\mathbb{R}^n_0R0n​. ∇V(y)\nabla V(y)∇V(y) is the tangent gradient of the paper's footnote 3, not an ambient gradient of an extension. The boundary blow-up is stated uniformly: for every MMM there is δ>0\delta > 0δ>0 such that every tangent gradient at an interior point with some coordinate below δ\deltaδ has norm above MMM.

The goal cannot be satisfied trivially. VVV must be chosen before π\piπ, all three admissibility conditions are part of the definition, and the maximizer must be unique. Weakening any of these (a VVV depending on π\piπ, a VVV without second derivatives, a non-strict maximum) changes the theorem.

Reusable infrastructure: differentiation of choice probabilities under a density, potentials of symmetric C1C^1C1 vector fields on Rn\mathbb{R}^nRn, and Legendre duality for strictly convex functions on a subspace. Contributions of any of these as separate lemmas are welcome, as are alternative proofs of the milestones, for instance obtaining the potential directly as Emax⁡j(πj+εj)\mathbb{E}\max_j(\pi_j + \varepsilon_j)Emaxj​(πj​+εj​).

Selected references

  • J. Hofbauer and W. H. Sandholm, On the Global Convergence of Stochastic Fictitious Play, Econometrica 70(6), 2265–2294, 2002. https://doi.org/10.1111/1468-0262.00376 (theorem numbers and pages here follow the authors' manuscript of February 21, 2002).
  • D. Fudenberg and D. K. Levine, The Theory of Learning in Games, MIT Press, 1998.
  • S. P. Anderson, A. de Palma and J.-F. Thisse, Discrete Choice Theory of Product Differentiation, MIT Press, 1992.
  • D. McFadden, Econometric Models of Probabilistic Choice, in C. F. Manski and D. McFadden (eds.), Structural Analysis of Discrete Data with Econometric Applications, MIT Press, 1981.
  • R. T. Rockafellar, Convex Analysis, Princeton University Press, 1970. https://doi.org/10.1515/9781400873173
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Operations ResearchOptimization·Captain: mikedeng1

Strategic Inventory and Supplier Encroachment: For Any Positive Holding Cost the Buyer Withholds Strategic Inventory When the Direct Selling Cost Is Just Below 5/6, at Total Holding Cost Below 11/72Research Paper

Motivation

Two strategic levers shape the balance of power between a manufacturer and the retailer that resells its product. The first is strategic inventory: a buyer that orders more than it sells today, and carries the surplus into the next period, weakens the supplier's leverage over tomorrow's wholesale price. Anand, Anupindi and Bassok (Management Science 2008) showed that in a two-period channel the buyer withholds inventory exactly when its unit holding cost is below α/4\alpha/4α/4. The second is supplier encroachment: a supplier that can sell directly to consumers competes with its own buyer. Arya, Mittendorf and Sappington (Marketing Science 2007) showed that the threat of encroachment can lower wholesale prices and benefit both parties.

Guan, Gurnani, Geng and Luo, Strategic Inventory and Supplier Encroachment (MSOM 2019), combine the two levers in one game. Their headline qualitative finding is Proposition 4.2. When the supplier's direct channel is costly, but not quite too costly to use, the buyer keeps withholding inventory at every finite holding cost. This contrasts with the α/4\alpha/4α/4 cutoff of Anand et al. This mission formalizes that proposition, together with the equilibrium characterizations of Appendix A on which it rests.

Setting

There is one supplier and one buyer, two periods, deterministic demand and complete information. In each period the market price is p=α−qp = \alpha - qp=α−q, where qqq is the total quantity sold in that period and α>0\alpha > 0α>0 is the demand intercept. The buyer pays a per-unit holding cost h≥0h \ge 0h≥0 on inventory carried into period 2. The supplier pays a per-unit direct selling cost s≥0s \ge 0s≥0. All other costs and the salvage value are zero. The moves are:

  1. The supplier quotes a wholesale price w1≥0w_1 \ge 0w1​≥0.
  2. The buyer orders Q1Q_1Q1​ and sells q1q_1q1​, with 0≤q1≤Q10 \le q_1 \le Q_10≤q1​≤Q1​. It carries the inventory I=Q1−q1I = Q_1 - q_1I=Q1​−q1​ into period 2.
  3. The supplier quotes w2≥0w_2 \ge 0w2​≥0.
  4. The buyer orders Q2≥0Q_2 \ge 0Q2​≥0 and sells q2q_2q2​, with 0≤q2≤I+Q20 \le q_2 \le I + Q_20≤q2​≤I+Q2​.
  5. Having observed everything, the supplier sells qs≥0q_s \ge 0qs​≥0 directly. The period-2 price is α−q2−qs\alpha - q_2 - q_sα−q2​−qs​.

The total profits are

Πb=(α−q1)q1−w1Q1−hI+(α−q2−qs)q2−w2Q2,Πs=w1Q1+w2Q2+(α−q2−qs−s)qs.\Pi_b = (\alpha - q_1)q_1 - w_1 Q_1 - hI + (\alpha - q_2 - q_s)q_2 - w_2 Q_2, \qquad \Pi_s = w_1 Q_1 + w_2 Q_2 + (\alpha - q_2 - q_s - s)q_s .Πb​=(α−q1​)q1​−w1​Q1​−hI+(α−q2​−qs​)q2​−w2​Q2​,Πs​=w1​Q1​+w2​Q2​+(α−q2​−qs​−s)qs​.

A strategy profile assigns an action to every history at which a player moves. It is a subgame perfect equilibrium (SPE) if, at every feasible history, the mover's prescribed action is feasible and no feasible alternative, followed by the profile afterwards, raises the mover's total profit. The equilibrium path is the outcome the profile generates; the equilibrium inventory is III on that path. Following the paper (§4), the goal theorem sets α=1\alpha = 1α=1.

Formalization targets

Goal: Proposition 4.2

With α=1\alpha = 1α=1,

∀h>0  ∃ϵ>0  ∀s∈(56−ϵ,56):an SPE exists, and every SPE has I>0 and hI<1172.\forall h > 0\ \ \exists \epsilon > 0\ \ \forall s \in \big(\tfrac56 - \epsilon, \tfrac56\big):\quad \text{an SPE exists, and every SPE has } I > 0 \text{ and } hI < \tfrac{11}{72}.∀h>0  ∃ϵ>0  ∀s∈(65​−ϵ,65​):an SPE exists, and every SPE has I>0 and hI<7211​.

Here ϵ\epsilonϵ may depend on hhh, and the bound 11/7211/7211/72 applies at the same (h,s)(h, s)(h,s).

Milestones, in attack order

  1. Stage-3 best response (§3.1.1): in every SPE, the supplier sells qs=(α−q2−s)+/2q_s = (\alpha - q_2 - s)^+/2qs​=(α−q2​−s)+/2 at every history.
  2. Eq. (1) (§3.1.1): with no inventory, the buyer's period-2 quantity is the four-branch function qb(w)q_b(w)qb​(w) of the period-2 wholesale price www.
  3. Proposition 4.1, existence half: an SPE exists for every h≥0h \ge 0h≥0 and s≥0s \ge 0s≥0.
  4. Region 8 (Tables A.1 and A.4): for h<h11h < h_{11}h<h11​ with s3≤s<5α/6s_3 \le s < 5\alpha/6s3​≤s<5α/6, or for h<α/4h < \alpha/4h<α/4 with 5α/6≤s<α5\alpha/6 \le s < \alpha5α/6≤s<α, every SPE has I=5(α−4h)/34I = 5(\alpha - 4h)/34I=5(α−4h)/34 and the path of Table A.4.
  5. Region 7, second part (Tables A.1 and A.3): for h11<h<h10h_{11} < h < h_{10}h11​<h<h10​ and s3≤s<5α/6s_3 \le s < 5\alpha/6s3​≤s<5α/6, every SPE has I=I∗=(2α−3s+x)/2I = I^* = (2\alpha - 3s + x)/2I=I∗=(2α−3s+x)/2 and the path of Table A.3.
  6. Region 10, second part (Tables A.1 and A.4): for h>h7h > h_7h>h7​ and 2α/3<s<5α/62\alpha/3 < s < 5\alpha/62α/3<s<5α/6, every SPE has I=0I = 0I=0.

The thresholds xxx, s3s_3s3​, h7h_7h7​, h10h_{10}h10​, h11h_{11}h11​ are explicit algebraic functions of sss, given in Appendix A.

Significance

Proposition 4.2 separates the combined model from the two models it merges. Without a direct channel, inventory disappears once h≥α/4h \ge \alpha/4h≥α/4. With a direct channel, a threat of encroachment that is only barely credible keeps inventory alive at every holding cost. The total holding cost nevertheless stays below a constant, because the inventory shrinks as hhh grows. Milestone 6 shows the flip side: for a fixed s<5α/6s < 5\alpha/6s<5α/6, a large enough hhh removes the inventory. This is why the window ϵ\epsilonϵ must depend on hhh.

The paper's proofs are in an online appendix that is not reproduced in the article. The article itself gives the equilibrium only as tables. A formal development would supply a checked backward-induction proof of those tables in the regions near s=5α/6s = 5\alpha/6s=5α/6. It would also give a machine-checked SPE framework for multi-stage pricing-and-quantity games in supply chains, which none of the following exists for: Stackelberg pricing, sequential quantity competition, or dual-channel encroachment. No part of this paper has been formalized before.

Difficulty

The equilibrium is found by backward induction through five stages. Each stage's value function is only piecewise smooth, because the supplier's direct-channel response (⋅)+(\cdot)^+(⋅)+ switches on and off. As a result the buyer's period-2 profit has kinks, the supplier's period-2 profit as a function of III has several local maxima, and the period-1 problems must compare branches whose boundaries are the irrational thresholds of Appendix A. The obvious approach, solving the first-order conditions stage by stage, fails at the kinks. At some region boundaries it also misses that the supplier is indifferent between two first-period prices, which makes the equilibrium path change discontinuously. Proposition 4.2 then needs uniform control of h7h_7h7​, h10h_{10}h10​ and h11h_{11}h11​ as s↑5/6s \uparrow 5/6s↑5/6, where the denominator 3s−2−x3s - 2 - x3s−2−x of h7h_7h7​ tends to 000.

Formalization scope

  • Representation. Strategies are functions of the full history, not Markov rules in III. IsSPE imposes optimality at every feasible history, including off-path ones. All actions are real numbers; wholesale prices and quantities are nonnegative, with q1≤Q1q_1 \le Q_1q1​≤Q1​ and q2≤I+Q2q_2 \le I + Q_2q2​≤I+Q2​.
  • Normalization. The goal instantiates α=1\alpha = 1α=1 as the paper does from §4 on. The milestones keep a general α>0\alpha > 0α>0.
  • Uniqueness is not stated. Proposition 4.1's uniqueness claim is false for strategy profiles: after the off-path price w2=0w_2 = 0w2​=0, every order Q2≥q2−IQ_2 \ge q_2 - IQ2​≥q2​−I is optimal. The goal and the region milestones therefore quantify over every SPE and carry existence as a separate conjunct.
  • Corrected hypotheses.
    • The printed s3=((37−365)/34+4/6)α≈1.28αs_3 = (\sqrt{(37 - 3\sqrt{65})/34} + 4/6)\alpha \approx 1.28\alphas3​=((37−365​)/34​+4/6)α≈1.28α is replaced by (37−365/34+4/6)α≈0.772α(\sqrt{37 - 3\sqrt{65}}/34 + 4/6)\alpha \approx 0.772\alpha(37−365​​/34+4/6)α≈0.772α, which matches the paper's "≈0.77".
    • Eq. (1) excludes the corner w=0w = 0w=0, s<α/3s < \alpha/3s<α/3, where its second branch is wrong.
    • Region 8 drops its boundary h=h11h = h_{11}h=h11​ and Region 7 drops h=h10h = h_{10}h=h10​, because the equilibrium path switches there and need not be unique.
  • Ruled-out trivialization. The inventory in the goal is the inventory on the path of an SPE of the game above. It is not the closed form 5(1−4h)/345(1 - 4h)/345(1−4h)/34 or I∗I^*I∗ from the tables, and the regional characterization is not a hypothesis. Otherwise the goal would reduce to algebra about the thresholds.
  • Infrastructure and contributions. The definitions Game, IsSPE and Thresholds are shared by every statement. Welcome contributions include:
    • lemmas on maximizing concave piecewise-quadratic functions on half-lines;
    • a reusable backward-induction lemma for finite-stage games with real action sets;
    • interval-arithmetic facts about xxx, h7h_7h7​, h10h_{10}h10​ and h11h_{11}h11​ near s=5/6s = 5/6s=5/6;
    • proofs of the paper's other regions.

Selected references

  • T. Guan, H. Gurnani, X. Geng, Y. Luo, Strategic Inventory and Supplier Encroachment, Manufacturing & Service Operations Management 21(3):536–555, 2019. https://doi.org/10.1287/msom.2018.0705
  • K. Anand, R. Anupindi, Y. Bassok, Strategic Inventories in Vertical Contracts, Management Science 54(10):1792–1804, 2008. https://doi.org/10.1287/mnsc.1080.0894
  • A. Arya, B. Mittendorf, D. Sappington, The Bright Side of Supplier Encroachment, Marketing Science 26(5):651–659, 2007. https://doi.org/10.1287/mksc.1070.0280
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