The Statistical Complexity of Interactive Decision Making I: Subadditivity of Squared Hellinger Distance for Sequential Laws, D²_H(P,Q) ≤ 10² log(n)·E_P[Σᵢ D²_H(P⁽ⁱ⁾, Q⁽ⁱ⁾)] for n ≥ 2Research Paper
Motivation
Lower bounds for interactive decision making (bandits, reinforcement learning, and the general decision making with structured observations framework of Foster, Kakade, Qian and Rakhlin, arXiv:2112.13487) compare what a learner observes under two different environments. A learner's whole interaction history is generated one step at a time: each observation is drawn from a conditional law that depends on everything seen before. Statistical estimation guarantees, by contrast, are stated one step at a time, as bounds on the divergence between the conditional laws at each round. Passing from the per-step guarantees to a statement about the laws of entire histories requires a chain rule for the divergence in use.
For the Kullback–Leibler divergence the chain rule is an identity. The paper's guarantees, however, are stated in the squared Hellinger distance, which is bounded, symmetric, and the natural loss for density estimation with the logarithmic loss. Hellinger distance has no exact chain rule. Lemma A.13 of the paper (App. A.2, p. 73) supplies an approximate one, losing a factor logarithmic in the number of steps, and the paper uses it in the proof of its main regret lower bound (Theorem 3.2, via App. C.1.3).
Setting
Fix and finite sets . A sequence is with , and denotes its prefix; .
For probability distributions on a finite set, the squared Hellinger distance, the Hellinger distance and the Kullback–Leibler divergence are
the last one set to when charges a point that does not. Note that the paper's carries no factor , so .
A family of sequential kernels assigns to each and each prefix a probability distribution on . Its sequential law is the law of under :
For a second family with law , the quantity controlled by per-step estimation is
In Lean these are IsSeqKernel, seqLaw and condHellingerSum, with hellingerSq and klDivDiscrete the published discrete divergences.
Formalization targets
Goal: Lemma A.13, (97), for
The constant is the paper's; the shape that matters downstream is the logarithmic dependence on with no assumption on the kernels beyond their being probability kernels.
Companion: Lemma A.13, (98)
If and for every , prefix and event , then .
Milestones
- Lemma A.10 (p. 72): under a likelihood-ratio bound (referenced, finite case).
- Lemma A.5 (p. 71): (referenced, finite case).
- The triangle inequality for (proof of Lemma A.13, p. 73).
- The chain rule for sequential laws (p. 73).
- Convexity of in its second argument (p. 74).
- Lemma A.11 (p. 72), the multiplicative Pinsker-type inequality: and for .
Significance
The result. Inequality (97) converts per-round Hellinger estimation error into a bound on the Hellinger distance between the laws of complete interaction histories, under no boundedness assumption on likelihood ratios. In the paper this is the step that lets the lower bound of Theorem 3.2 relate any algorithm's behaviour under a reference model to its behaviour under alternatives, and hence express the minimax regret through the decision-estimation coefficient. Without it, only the KL chain rule is available, which requires bounded likelihood ratios (the situation of (98)) or loses more than a logarithmic factor. Lemma A.11, a milestone here, is used independently in the same lower bound and in the paper's tabular reinforcement learning analysis.
Formalizing it. The lemma is proved in the paper; no machine-checked proof exists. The published layer on the platform has the discrete divergences and the comparisons of Lemmas A.5 and A.10; the sequential-law objects, the triangle inequality, the convexity of , the discrete chain rule and Lemma A.11 are new. A completed development gives a reusable chain-rule toolkit for any later formalization of lower bounds over adaptive interaction histories.
Difficulty
The squared Hellinger distance does not tensorize along adaptive sequences: the natural attempt to write as a product of conditional affinities fails because the conditional affinities are random, depending on the prefix, and their expectation does not factor. Bounding by and applying the KL chain rule fails in the other direction: the conditional KL divergences are not controlled by the conditional Hellinger distances unless the likelihood ratios are bounded, and in (97) they are not. The difficulty is to obtain a bound that pays only for an unbounded ratio, with explicit constants that survive the final numerical comparison.
Formalization scope
- Finite alphabets. The paper works over measurable spaces. This mission formalizes the finite-alphabet case, as the published FoundationsRL divergence layer does: each is a
Fintype, distributions are probability vectors, expectations are finite sums. Coordinates are indexed byFin n(0-based) and the alphabets may differ from coordinate to coordinate. - Kernels. A kernel family is a function
P i xof the whole sequence that is a probability vector and depends only on the coordinatesj < i; this is what makesseqLaw Pthe law the paper describes. - Added hypothesis in (97). The paper states (97) for every ; at the right side vanishes because while the left side is positive whenever , and the proof's last step holds only for . The goal is stated for , with the constant unchanged.
- Likelihood ratios are stated multiplicatively, , so that a zero denominator does not make a hypothesis vacuous; KL divergences are compared to Hellinger distances in .
- Lemma A.11 holds "almost surely under and ", which becomes: at every point charged by or .
- Ruling out trivial forms. The goal's hypotheses are satisfiable with and (checked in a sanity file). A formalization in which the kernels may read coordinates beyond the prefix, in which is applied to , or in which the ratio bound of (98) is checked through a quotient that is vacuous at zero denominators, is not the paper's statement.
Contributions welcome: proofs of any milestone and of the fact that seqLaw is a probability vector.
Selected references
- D. J. Foster, S. M. Kakade, J. Qian, A. Rakhlin, The Statistical Complexity of Interactive Decision Making, arXiv:2112.13487v3, 2023. https://arxiv.org/abs/2112.13487
- Y. Yang, A. Barron, An asymptotic property of model selection criteria, IEEE Transactions on Information Theory 44(1), 1998. https://doi.org/10.1109/18.650993
- Y. Polyanskiy, Y. Wu, Lecture Notes on Information Theory, 2014. https://people.lids.mit.edu/yp/homepage/data/itlectures_v5.pdf
- D. J. Foster, A. Rakhlin, Foundations of Reinforcement Learning and Interactive Decision Making, arXiv:2312.16730v1, 2023. https://arxiv.org/abs/2312.16730