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Operations Research

2,210 missions · 1,107 completed

The discipline of applying mathematical analysis to complex decision problems in operations: allocating scarce resources, scheduling, routing, inventory, and the design of service and production systems. Drawing on mathematical programming, stochastic modeling, queueing, simulation, and game-theoretic reasoning, it seeks policies that perform provably well in systems shaped by constraints, congestion, and uncertainty.

Missions

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Dynamic ProgrammingProbabilityStochastic Systems·Captain: mikedeng1

Asymptotic Optimality of Tailored Base-Surge Policies in Dual-Sourcing Inventory Systems: Asymptotic Optimality of the Best TBS Policy for Long Lead TimesResearch Paper

Motivation

Firms that can buy the same item from two suppliers, a cheap slow one and a fast expensive one, face the dual-sourcing inventory problem: how much to order from each source in every period when demand is random and unmet demand is backlogged. Global sourcing (offshore regular supply plus a near-shore express supply) is the standard example (Allon and Van Mieghem 2010). When the two lead times differ by more than one period, the optimal policy depends on the whole pipeline of outstanding orders. No simple optimal policy is known, and dynamic programming is intractable for long lead times.

The tailored base-surge (TBS) policy orders a constant amount from the slow source and uses the fast source to bring the expedited inventory position up to a fixed level. It is simple, and it is used in practice. Janakiraman, Seshadri and Sheopuri (JSS, Management Science 2015) showed that its best parameters solve a convex program that does not depend on the regular lead time, and they conjectured, with numerical support, that TBS is near-optimal when that lead time is long.

Timeline:

  • Karlin and Scarf (1958), Scarf (1960): structure of optimal single-source backlog policies with a lead time.
  • Sheopuri, Janakiraman and Seshadri (2010): reduction of dual-sourcing policies to the truncated regular pipeline and the expedited inventory position (Lemma 1 here).
  • Allon and Van Mieghem (2010): the TBS policy, with conjectures and numerical evidence.
  • JSS (2015): the TBS cost formula and a convex program for its parameters.
  • Xin and Goldberg (2018): proof of the conjecture with an explicit rate (Management Science 64(1), 2018). This mission formalizes that result.

Setting

Let DDD be a nonnegative random variable with finite mean E[D]\mathbb E[D]E[D] that is not almost surely constant. Demands D1,D2,…D_1, D_2, \dotsD1​,D2​,… are i.i.d. copies of DDD. The regular source has lead time LLL, the express source has lead time L0≥0L_0 \ge 0L0​≥0, and L>L0+1L > L_0 + 1L>L0​+1. In period ttt the controller orders qtR≥0q^R_t \ge 0qtR​≥0 and qtE≥0q^E_t \ge 0qtE​≥0; then qt−LR+qt−L0Eq^R_{t-L} + q^E_{t-L_0}qt−LR​+qt−L0​E​ arrives and DtD_tDt​ is realized, so the on-hand inventory evolves as It+1=It+qt−LR+qt−L0E−DtI_{t+1} = I_t + q^R_{t-L} + q^E_{t-L_0} - D_tIt+1​=It​+qt−LR​+qt−L0​E​−Dt​ and may be negative. Initially nothing is on order and I1=−∑i=1G^D−i′I_1 = -\sum_{i=1}^{\hat G} D'_{-i}I1​=−∑i=1G^​D−i′​, where the D−i′D'_{-i}D−i′​ are further i.i.d. copies of DDD and P(G^=k)=2−k\mathbb P(\hat G = k) = 2^{-k}P(G^=k)=2−k, k≥1k \ge 1k≥1.

The per-period cost is c qt−L0E+G(It+1)c\,q^E_{t-L_0} + G(I_{t+1})cqt−L0​E​+G(It+1​) with G(y)=hy++by−G(y) = h y^+ + b y^-G(y)=hy++by−, where b,h>0b, h > 0b,h>0 and c>0c > 0c>0 is the express premium (the regular unit cost is normalized to 000). An admissible policy π∈Π\pi \in \Piπ∈Π chooses the two orders in period ttt as deterministic measurable functions of (qt−LR,…,qt−1R,qt−L0E,…,qt−1E,It)(q^R_{t-L}, \dots, q^R_{t-1}, q^E_{t-L_0}, \dots, q^E_{t-1}, I_t)(qt−LR​,…,qt−1R​,qt−L0​E​,…,qt−1E​,It​). Its long-run average cost is

C(π)=lim sup⁡T→∞1T∑t=L0+1TE[Ctπ],OPT(L)=inf⁡π∈ΠC(π).C(\pi) = \limsup_{T\to\infty}\frac1T\sum_{t=L_0+1}^T \mathbb E[C^\pi_t], \qquad \mathrm{OPT}(L) = \inf_{\pi\in\Pi}C(\pi).C(π)=T→∞limsup​T1​t=L0​+1∑T​E[Ctπ​],OPT(L)=π∈Πinf​C(π).

With the expedited inventory position I^t=It+∑k=t−L0t−1qkE+∑k=t−Lt−L+L0qkR\hat I_t = I_t + \sum_{k=t-L_0}^{t-1}q^E_k + \sum_{k=t-L}^{t-L+L_0}q^R_kI^t​=It​+∑k=t−L0​t−1​qkE​+∑k=t−Lt−L+L0​​qkR​, the TBS policy πr,S\pi_{r,S}πr,S​ orders qtR=rq^R_t = rqtR​=r and qtE=max⁡(0,S−I^t)q^E_t = \max(0, S - \hat I_t)qtE​=max(0,S−I^t​). A best TBS pair (r∗,S∗)(r^*, S^*)(r∗,S∗) minimizes C(πr,S)C(\pi_{r,S})C(πr,S​) over 0≤r≤E[D]0 \le r \le \mathbb E[D]0≤r≤E[D] and S∈RS \in \mathbb RS∈R (first in rrr through F∞(r)=inf⁡SC(πr,S)F^\infty(r) = \inf_S C(\pi_{r,S})F∞(r)=infS​C(πr,S​), then in SSS).

The constants ϵ0\epsilon_0ϵ0​ and Y0Y_0Y0​ are explicit functionals of the law of DDD and of L0,b,h,cL_0, b, h, cL0​,b,h,c. They are built from g=inf⁡xE[G(x−∑i=1L0+1Di′)]g = \inf_x\mathbb E[G(x - \sum_{i=1}^{L_0+1}D'_i)]g=infx​E[G(x−∑i=1L0​+1​Di′​)], U=c E[D]+E[G(−∑i=1L0+1Di′)]U = c\,\mathbb E[D] + \mathbb E[G(-\sum_{i=1}^{L_0+1}D'_i)]U=cE[D]+E[G(−∑i=1L0​+1​Di′​)], p0=P(D<E[D])p_0 = \mathbb P(D < \mathbb E[D])p0​=P(D<E[D]), the mean absolute deviation η0\eta_0η0​, and the large-deviation quantities γϵ,ϑϵ\gamma_\epsilon, \vartheta_\epsilonγϵ​,ϑϵ​ of ϕϵ(θ)=eθ(E[D]−ϵ)E[e−θD]\phi_\epsilon(\theta) = e^{\theta(\mathbb E[D]-\epsilon)}\mathbb E[e^{-\theta D}]ϕϵ​(θ)=eθ(E[D]−ϵ)E[e−θD] (p. 441).

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem 1 (p. 441)

For all L0≥0L_0 \ge 0L0​≥0, ϵ∈(0,1)\epsilon \in (0,1)ϵ∈(0,1) and L>ϵ0−2+Y0ϵ−2L > \epsilon_0^{-2} + Y_0\epsilon^{-2}L>ϵ0−2​+Y0​ϵ−2,

C(πr∗,S∗)OPT(L)<1+ϵ.\frac{C(\pi_{r^*,S^*})}{\mathrm{OPT}(L)} < 1 + \epsilon.OPT(L)C(πr∗,S∗​)​<1+ϵ.

The threshold does not depend on LLL, so the statement gives an explicit, inverse-polynomial rate. Its limit form C(πr∗,S∗)/OPT(L)→1C(\pi_{r^*,S^*})/\mathrm{OPT}(L) \to 1C(πr∗,S∗​)/OPT(L)→1 is Corollary 1 of the paper.

Milestones

In the order the proof uses them:

  • the bound g≤OPT(L)≤Ug \le \mathrm{OPT}(L) \le Ug≤OPT(L)≤U;
  • Lemma 1, the reduction to Π^\hat\PiΠ^ (quoted from Sheopuri et al.);
  • Eq. (3), the TBS cost formula C(πr,S)=c(E[D]−r)+E[G(I∞r+S−∑i=1L0+1Di′)]C(\pi_{r,S}) = c(\mathbb E[D]-r) + \mathbb E[G(I^r_\infty + S - \sum_{i=1}^{L_0+1}D'_i)]C(πr,S​)=c(E[D]−r)+E[G(I∞r​+S−∑i=1L0​+1​Di′​)] (quoted from JSS);
  • Theorem 2, the existence of a stationary-like vector (χ∗,L,q∗,L,I∗,L)(\chi^{*,L}, q^{*,L}, \mathcal I^{*,L})(χ∗,L,q∗,L,I∗,L) with rL=E[χ1∗,L]r_L = \mathbb E[\chi^{*,L}_1]rL​=E[χ1∗,L​];
  • Corollary 2 and Lemma 2, the lower bound OPT(L)≥c(E[D]−rL)+(1−α)VαL−L0(rL,−∞)\mathrm{OPT}(L) \ge c(\mathbb E[D]-r_L) + (1-\alpha)V^{L-L_0}_\alpha(r_L,-\infty)OPT(L)≥c(E[D]−rL​)+(1−α)VαL−L0​​(rL​,−∞) through a discounted single-source problem;
  • Lemma 3, the Bellman equation and structure of that problem (quoted from JSS and Scarf 1960);
  • Lemma 4 (8) and (9), and Corollary 3, the passage to the infinite horizon and to base-stock policies;
  • Lemma 5, the random-walk maxima MkrM^r_kMkr​ (proof omitted in the paper);
  • Lemmas 8–9 and Corollary 4: rL<E[D]−ϵ0r_L < \mathbb E[D] - \epsilon_0rL​<E[D]−ϵ0​ once L>ϵ0−2+L0+1L > \epsilon_0^{-2} + L_0 + 1L>ϵ0−2​+L0​+1.

Significance

The theorem shows that one of the simplest dual-sourcing heuristics is asymptotically optimal as the regular lead time grows. This is the regime where exact dynamic programming is hopeless. The best TBS parameters come from a convex program independent of LLL, so the result yields an algorithm whose running time does not grow with LLL and whose optimality gap is bounded explicitly for every finite LLL. It extends the lower-bounding technique of Xin and Goldberg's lost-sales work (Operations Research 2016) from a static to a dynamic relaxation.

Formalization adds the following. To the best of available knowledge, none of the objects involved (average-cost inventory control with backlog, TBS policies, Lindley-type maxima of random walks with their Spitzer identity) exists in Mathlib or on the platform. The paper's proof defers several ingredients to the literature or omits them: Lemma 1, Eq. (3), Lemma 3, and the details of Lemmas 5 and 7. A complete formal proof must supply them. The result is proved on paper but not formalized anywhere.

Difficulty

An optimal dual-sourcing policy need not be stationary, its induced Markov chain need not have a stationary distribution, and the inventory is unbounded below. The natural argument would compare the optimal policy's steady state with the TBS steady state, and it fails at its first step. Theorem 2 replaces the steady state by a vector with a few distributional properties, built from time averages. That construction, and the independence structure it must carry, is the central technical step. The conditional Jensen step then leads to a single-source problem with possibly negative demand, where textbook interchange-of-limits theorems do not apply directly. Finally, bounding rLr_LrL​ away from E[D]\mathbb E[D]E[D] requires a quantitative lower bound on the growth of random-walk maxima under only a first-moment assumption.

Formalization scope

Conventions of the Lean development (namespace XinGoldbergTBS.Asymptotic):

  • The law of DDD is a probability measure on R\mathbb RR with no mass on (−∞,0)(-\infty,0)(−∞,0), finite mean, and no atom of mass 111. The paper's "strictly positive (possibly infinite) variance" is read as "not almost surely constant".
  • cR=0c_R = 0cR​=0, b>0b > 0b>0, h>0h > 0h>0, c>0c > 0c>0, and L,L0L, L_0L,L0​ are natural numbers. The paper's standing assumption L>L0+1L > L_0 + 1L>L0​+1 is a hypothesis wherever the paper states it; in Theorem 1 it follows from the threshold.
  • Costs, expectations, C(π)C(\pi)C(π), OPT(L)\mathrm{OPT}(L)OPT(L), VαnV^n_\alphaVαn​ and Vα∞V^\infty_\alphaVα∞​ take values in [0,∞][0,\infty][0,∞], so infinite costs are never truncated. The ratio in Theorem 1 is stated as C(πr∗,S∗)<(1+ϵ)OPT(L)C(\pi_{r^*,S^*}) < (1+\epsilon)\mathrm{OPT}(L)C(πr∗,S∗​)<(1+ϵ)OPT(L), which is equivalent because 0<g≤OPT(L)≤U<∞0 < g \le \mathrm{OPT}(L) \le U < \infty0<g≤OPT(L)≤U<∞.
  • Π\PiΠ is exactly the paper's class: deterministic, time-dependent, measurable, nonnegative orders that depend on the pipeline and inventory. It is neither restricted to stationary policies nor enlarged to randomized ones. TBS policies are members, so C(πr,S)≥OPT(L)C(\pi_{r,S}) \ge \mathrm{OPT}(L)C(πr,S​)≥OPT(L) by construction.
  • ϑϵ∈[0,∞]\vartheta_\epsilon \in [0,\infty]ϑϵ​∈[0,∞] is the supremum of the minimizers of ϕϵ\phi_\epsilonϕϵ​ on [0,∞)[0,\infty)[0,∞), and it is ∞\infty∞ if the infimum is not attained; 1/∞=01/\infty = 01/∞=0.
  • The existence of a best TBS pair is asserted in the paper via JSS. The goal therefore also asserts that some TBS policy with 0≤r≤E[D]0 \le r \le \mathbb E[D]0≤r≤E[D] meets the bound, so it cannot hold vacuously when no minimizer exists.
  • rLr_LrL​ belongs to a witness of Theorem 2, and the results that use it hold for every witness.
  • The single-source class Πˉ\bar\PiΠˉ ("feasible nonanticipative policies, as typically defined") is read as nonnegative orders that are measurable functions of past demands. In Lemma 3 "increasing" is read as nondecreasing, and convexity in xxx includes finiteness.
  • The paper states Eq. (3) without a range for rrr; it is stated here for 0≤r≤E[D]0 \le r \le \mathbb E[D]0≤r≤E[D], the TBS parameters over which the paper optimizes. At r=E[D]r = \mathbb E[D]r=E[D] both sides are +∞+\infty+∞. In Lemma 8, the range's upper end is +∞+\infty+∞ when ϵ=0\epsilon = 0ϵ=0.
  • Differences such as Vα∞−VαnV^\infty_\alpha - V^n_\alphaVα∞​−Vαn​ and M∞r−MnrM^r_\infty - M^r_nM∞r​−Mnr​ are stated additively, and the negative terms of (9) and Corollary 3 are moved to the other side.

Lemma 1, Eq. (3) and Lemma 3 are results the paper quotes from Sheopuri et al. (2010), JSS and Scarf (1960). Proposition 1 (conditional-expectation form of the bound) is not included.

A trivializing formalization is ruled out: OPT(L)\mathrm{OPT}(L)OPT(L) ranges over the full admissible class, the constants are definitions rather than hypotheses, and the goal includes an existence clause.

Reusable beyond this mission: average-cost inventory models with lead times, discounted single-source backlog value functions, and Spitzer-type identities for random-walk maxima. Contributions to any milestone are welcome.

Selected references

  • L. Xin and D. A. Goldberg, Asymptotic Optimality of Tailored Base-Surge Policies in Dual-Sourcing Inventory Systems, Management Science 64(1):437–452, 2018. https://doi.org/10.1287/mnsc.2016.2607
  • G. Janakiraman, S. Seshadri and A. Sheopuri, Analysis of Tailored Base-Surge Policies in Dual Sourcing Inventory Systems, Management Science 61(7):1547–1561, 2015.
  • G. Allon and J. A. Van Mieghem, Global Dual Sourcing: Tailored Base-Surge Allocation to Near- and Offshore Production, Management Science 56(1):110–124, 2010.
  • A. Sheopuri, G. Janakiraman and S. Seshadri, New Policies for the Stochastic Inventory Control Problem with Two Supply Sources, Operations Research 58(3):734–745, 2010.
  • H. Scarf, The Optimality of (s, S) Policies in the Dynamic Inventory Problem, in Mathematical Methods in the Social Sciences, Stanford University Press, 1960, pp. 196–202.
  • L. Xin and D. A. Goldberg, Optimality Gap of Constant-Order Policies Decays Exponentially in the Lead Time for Lost Sales Models, Operations Research 64(6):1556–1565, 2016.
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Dynamic ProgrammingProbabilityStatistics·Captain: mikedeng1

Markovian Decision Processes with Uncertain Transition Probabilities II: Max-Max and Max-Min Optimal Returns Bound the Bayesian Optimal ReturnResearch Paper

Motivation

A Markovian decision process (Howard, 1960) models a controller who, in each of finitely many states, picks a decision, earns a reward and moves to a random next state according to known transition probabilities. In applications (inventory control, equipment replacement, quality control) those probabilities are estimated, not known. Satia and Lave (Operations Research 21(3), 1973) treat the uncertainty in two ways: a game-theoretic formulation, in which each unknown row only lies in a given set, and a Bayesian formulation, going back to Silver (1963) and Martin (1967), in which the controller holds a prior on the unknown matrix and learns from observed transitions.

The Bayesian problem is the natural one but its state includes the whole prior, so it cannot be solved exactly beyond small cases. The paper's contribution in the Bayesian part is a pair of computable bounds on the Bayesian optimal return in terms of the two game-theoretic values (max-max and max-min). This mission formalizes those bounds and the chain of facts they rest on.

Setting

There are NNN states iii and, in state iii, a finite nonempty set KiK_iKi​ of decisions. A transition i→ji \to ji→j under decision kkk earns rijkr^k_{ij}rijk​ and rewards are discounted by β\betaβ, 0≤β<10 \le \beta < 10≤β<1. The row pik=(pijk)jp_i^k = (p^k_{ij})_jpik​=(pijk​)j​ of transition probabilities is unknown; it is known to lie in a closed convex nonempty set SikS_i^kSik​ of probability vectors, and S={P:pik∈Sik for all i,k}S = \{P : p_i^k \in S_i^k \text{ for all } i, k\}S={P:pik​∈Sik​ for all i,k}.

A prior ggg is a probability distribution on matrices P=(pik)P = (p_i^k)P=(pik​) whose rows are all probability vectors. Its means are pˉijk=E(pijk)\bar p^k_{ij} = E(p^k_{ij})pˉ​ijk​=E(pijk​). After a transition l→jl \to jl→j under decision mmm the prior is replaced by the Bayes transformation Tljmg(P)=C pljm g(P)T^m_{lj} g(P) = C\,p^m_{lj}\,g(P)Tljm​g(P)=Cpljm​g(P) (Eq. (8)), with CCC the normalizing constant. The Bayesian optimal return f(i,g)f(i,g)f(i,g) solves the recursion

f(i,g)=max⁡k∈Ki{∑jpˉijkrijk+β∑jpˉijkf(j,Tijkg)}.(10)f(i, g) = \max_{k \in K_i} \Big\{ \sum_j \bar p^k_{ij} r^k_{ij} + \beta \sum_j \bar p^k_{ij} f(j, T^k_{ij} g) \Big\}. \qquad (10)f(i,g)=k∈Ki​max​{j∑​pˉ​ijk​rijk​+βj∑​pˉ​ijk​f(j,Tijk​g)}.(10)

The max-max and max-min values V+V^+V+, V−V^-V− solve

Vi±=max⁡k∈Kimax/min⁡pik∈Sik{∑jpijkrijk+β∑jpijkVj±},V_i^\pm = \max_{k \in K_i} \operatorname*{max/min}_{p_i^k \in S_i^k} \Big\{ \sum_j p^k_{ij} r^k_{ij} + \beta \sum_j p^k_{ij} V_j^\pm \Big\},Vi±​=k∈Ki​max​pik​∈Sik​max/min​{j∑​pijk​rijk​+βj∑​pijk​Vj±​},

with max for V+V^+V+ and min for V−V^-V−. Finally α=prob⁡(P∈S∣g)\alpha = \operatorname{prob}(P \in S \mid g)α=prob(P∈S∣g), the prior probability that the true matrix lies in SSS.

The Lean development lives in the namespace SatiaLave.Bayes: UncertainMDP, IsPrior, pbar, bayes, SolvesEq10, SolvesVplus, SolvesVminus, alpha, rmax, rmin, policyValue.

Formalization targets

Goal: Propositions 9 and 10

For every bounded solution fff of (10), all solutions V+V^+V+, V−V^-V−, every prior ggg and every state iii,

αVi−+(1−α)min⁡i,j,krijk1−β  ≤  f(i,g)  ≤  αVi++(1−α)max⁡i,j,krijk1−β,\alpha V_i^- + (1-\alpha)\min_{i,j,k}\frac{r^k_{ij}}{1-\beta} \;\le\; f(i,g) \;\le\; \alpha V_i^+ + (1-\alpha)\max_{i,j,k}\frac{r^k_{ij}}{1-\beta},αVi−​+(1−α)i,j,kmin​1−βrijk​​≤f(i,g)≤αVi+​+(1−α)i,j,kmax​1−βrijk​​,

together with the existence of fff, V+V^+V+ and V−V^-V−. Both halves are the paper's printed statements.

Milestones

  1. Proposition 6 (Martin): (9)/(10) has a unique bounded solution (unique at priors).
  2. No learning (p. 733): at a point-mass prior δP\delta_PδP​, f(⋅,δP)f(\cdot,\delta_P)f(⋅,δP​) solves the optimality equations of the process with known PPP.
  3. Proposition 8: f(i,g)f(i,g)f(i,g) is convex in ggg.
  4. Jensen step (proof of Proposition 9): f(i,g)≤∫f(i,δP) dg(P)f(i,g) \le \int f(i,\delta_P)\,dg(P)f(i,g)≤∫f(i,δP​)dg(P).
  5. Policy step (proof of Proposition 10): f(i,g)≥∫[q+βPAq+β2[PA]2q+⋯ ]i dg(P)f(i,g) \ge \int [q + \beta P^A q + \beta^2 [P^A]^2 q + \cdots]_i\,dg(P)f(i,g)≥∫[q+βPAq+β2[PA]2q+⋯]i​dg(P) for every pure stationary policy AAA.

Significance

The result. The bounds sandwich an intractable quantity between two quantities computable by finite algorithms (the max-max and max-min policy-iteration procedures of the same paper), weighted by a single prior probability α\alphaα. When the prior concentrates on SSS (α→1\alpha \to 1α→1) the bounds become Vi−≤f(i,g)≤Vi+V_i^- \le f(i,g) \le V_i^+Vi−​≤f(i,g)≤Vi+​: the Bayesian return lies between the pessimistic and optimistic robust values. They are the upper and lower bounds on the return that the paper's implicit-enumeration method (the decision tree of its Fig. 2 and Proposition 12) uses to compare decisions. The Jensen step is a value-of-information inequality (Bayesian optimal return is at most the expected full-information optimal return), which recurs throughout Bayesian control and bandit theory.

Formalizing it. The results are proved on paper (Propositions 6 and 8 by reference to Martin's book and Satia's thesis, Propositions 9 and 10 in the text); none is machine-checked. The mission produces a Lean model of Bayes-adaptive Markov decision processes with priors as measures, the Bayes transformation and its fixed-point recursion, and the link between the Bayesian and the robust (rectangular) formulations. Martin's existence-uniqueness theorem and the convexity of the Bayesian value are reusable for any Bayes-adaptive model.

Difficulty

The prior space is infinite-dimensional and not a vector space, so the recursion (10) lives on a space of measures, and the usual finite-state arguments do not apply verbatim. Proposition 8 gives convexity only along finite mixtures, while the proof of Proposition 9 applies Jensen's inequality to the integral mixture g=∫δP dg(P)g = \int \delta_P\,dg(P)g=∫δP​dg(P) of point masses; bridging the two, or proving the value-of-information inequality directly, is the central step. The paper also restricts the point masses to xik∈Sikx_i^k \in S_i^kxik​∈Sik​, which cannot represent a prior with mass outside SSS; the formal statement integrates over every transition matrix, as the next line of the paper's display requires. Measurability of P↦f(i,δP)P \mapsto f(i,\delta_P)P↦f(i,δP​) is not automatic, since fff is only characterized by a functional equation.

Formalization scope

  • States are a nonempty Fintype S; decisions a dependent family D i of nonempty finite types. A matrix is P : (i : S) → D i → S → ℝ with the product Borel σ\sigmaσ-algebra.
  • Priors are measures: a probability measure giving full mass to matrices whose rows are probability vectors. This generalizes the paper's densities g(P)g(P)g(P) and includes the point masses axa_xax​ its proof uses.
  • Bayes transformation at pˉ=0\bar p = 0pˉ​=0: the normalizing constant does not exist; bayes then returns ggg. That posterior is always multiplied by pˉ=0\bar p = 0pˉ​=0 in (10), so the choice is immaterial.
  • Readings of informal words. "The problem reduces to a Markovian decision process" = at a point-mass prior, fixed by every Bayes transformation, fff solves the known-PPP optimality equations. "Convex in ggg" = convex along mixtures of priors. "Unique set of bounded functions" = two bounded solutions agree at every prior (values at non-priors are unconstrained). "Satisfy (9)" is formalized as (10), which the paper derives from (9) by linearity of EEE. max⁡P∈S\max_{P\in S}maxP∈S​/min⁡P∈S\min_{P\in S}minP∈S​ in V±V^\pmV± is taken over the row pik∈Sikp_i^k \in S_i^kpik​∈Sik​ (the only row that enters; SSS is a product), as ⨆/⨅ over a nonempty bounded set. "Obviously f(i,g)≥ViAf(i,g)\ge V_i^Af(i,g)≥ViA​" is stated for every pure stationary policy AAA, not only a max-min optimal one. The policy return is the componentwise series ∑nβn(PA)nq\sum_n \beta^n (P^A)^n q∑n​βn(PA)nq.
  • Added hypotheses, not printed: 0≤β<10 \le \beta < 10≤β<1; Sik≠∅S_i^k \ne \emptysetSik​=∅; N≥1N \ge 1N≥1. Printed and kept: SikS_i^kSik​ closed and convex.
  • fff, V+V^+V+, V−V^-V− are quantified as solutions of their equations; α\alphaα is computed from ggg, never a free parameter; max⁡i,j,k[rijk/(1−β)]\max_{i,j,k}[r^k_{ij}/(1-\beta)]maxi,j,k​[rijk​/(1−β)] ranges over all states i,ji,ji,j and k∈Kik \in K_ik∈Ki​. Integrability of the integrands in milestones 4 and 5 is part of their conclusions.
  • Trivializations ruled out. A free α∈[0,1]\alpha \in [0,1]α∈[0,1], or fff defined off priors, would make the goal false or vacuous; the goal also asserts that bounded fff and V±V^\pmV± exist, so its universal part is not vacuous.
  • Not in scope: Proposition 7 (matrix-beta conjugacy, which needs a Dirichlet distribution), Propositions 11–13 and the numerical example.

Welcome contributions: the Banach fixed-point argument for (10) on bounded functions of priors; lemmas that bayes maps priors to priors and that point masses are fixed; continuity of the known-PPP optimal value in PPP; a general Jensen inequality for functions convex along mixtures of probability measures.

Selected references

  • J. K. Satia and R. E. Lave, Jr., Markovian Decision Processes with Uncertain Transition Probabilities, Operations Research 21(3), 728–740, 1973. https://doi.org/10.1287/opre.21.3.728
  • J. J. Martin, Bayesian Decision Problems and Markov Chains, Wiley, New York, 1967.
  • E. A. Silver, Markovian Decision Processes with Uncertain Transition Probabilities or Rewards, Interim Technical Report No. 1, Operations Research Center, Massachusetts Institute of Technology, August 1963.
  • R. A. Howard, Dynamic Programming and Markov Processes, MIT Press, 1960.
  • J. K. Satia, Markovian Decision Process with Uncertain Transition Matrices or/and Probabilistic Observation of States, Ph.D. dissertation, Stanford University, 1968.
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A Nonsmooth Version of Newton's Method I: local superlinear convergence of the generalized-Jacobian Newton method at a semismooth regular rootResearch Paper

Motivation

Many problems in optimization and equilibrium modelling reduce to a system of equations F(x)=0F(x) = 0F(x)=0 whose map F:Rn→RnF : \mathbb R^n \to \mathbb R^nF:Rn→Rn is Lipschitz but not differentiable: reformulations of nonlinear complementarity problems through the componentwise minimum or the Fischer–Burmeister function, Karush–Kuhn–Tucker systems of constrained programs, and gradients of augmented Lagrangians all have kinks. Newton's method, xk+1=xk−F′(xk)−1F(xk)x^{k+1} = x^k - F'(x^k)^{-1}F(x^k)xk+1=xk−F′(xk)−1F(xk), is the standard fast local solver for smooth systems, but it needs a derivative at every iterate.

Qi and Sun (Math. Programming 58, 1993) replaced the Jacobian by an arbitrary element of Clarke's generalized Jacobian and showed that the resulting method converges locally superlinearly under a regularity condition they called semismoothness, extending Mifflin's notion for functionals (Mifflin, SIAM J. Control Optim. 15, 1977) to vector-valued maps. This theorem is the foundation of the family of semismooth Newton methods used in complementarity, variational inequalities and PDE-constrained optimization.

Timeline. Robinson (1988) and Pang (Math. OR 15, 1990) studied Newton methods built on B-derivatives, with convergence proved under a strong Fréchet derivative at the solution; Kummer (1988) gave an abstract framework for Newton methods for nonsmooth equations; Qi and Sun (1993) proved local superlinear convergence for the generalized-Jacobian iteration under semismoothness and nonsingularity of ∂F(x∗)\partial F(x^*)∂F(x∗), with order 1+p1+p1+p under ppp-order semismoothness.

Setting

Let F:Rn→RmF : \mathbb R^n \to \mathbb R^mF:Rn→Rm be locally Lipschitz. By Rademacher's theorem FFF is differentiable on a set DFD_FDF​ of full measure; write JF(y)JF(y)JF(y) for the Jacobian at y∈DFy \in D_Fy∈DF​. The generalized Jacobian is

∂F(x)=co{lim⁡i→∞JF(xi):xi→x, xi∈DF},\partial F(x) = \mathrm{co}\Big\{\lim_{i\to\infty} JF(x_i) : x_i \to x,\ x_i \in D_F\Big\},∂F(x)=co{i→∞lim​JF(xi​):xi​→x, xi​∈DF​},

the convex hull of all limits of Jacobians along sequences of differentiability points converging to xxx. The one-sided directional derivative is F′(x;h)=lim⁡t↓0(F(x+th)−F(x))/tF'(x;h) = \lim_{t\downarrow 0}(F(x+th)-F(x))/tF′(x;h)=limt↓0​(F(x+th)−F(x))/t.

FFF is semismooth at xxx if it is Lipschitz near xxx and, for every hhh, the limit of Vh′Vh'Vh′ over V∈∂F(x+th′)V \in \partial F(x+th')V∈∂F(x+th′), h′→hh' \to hh′→h, t↓0t \downarrow 0t↓0 exists. For 0<p≤10 < p \le 10<p≤1, FFF is ppp-order semismooth at xxx if in addition Vh−F′(x;h)=O(∥h∥1+p)Vh - F'(x;h) = O(\|h\|^{1+p})Vh−F′(x;h)=O(∥h∥1+p) for V∈∂F(x+h)V \in \partial F(x+h)V∈∂F(x+h), h→0h \to 0h→0.

For m=nm = nm=n, the nonsmooth Newton method is

xk+1=xk−Vk−1F(xk),Vk∈∂F(xk),(3.2)x^{k+1} = x^k - V_k^{-1}F(x^k), \qquad V_k \in \partial F(x^k), \tag{3.2}xk+1=xk−Vk−1​F(xk),Vk​∈∂F(xk),(3.2)

where any element of ∂F(xk)\partial F(x^k)∂F(xk) may be chosen at each step. A run is a pair of sequences (xk)(x^k)(xk), (Vk)(V_k)(Vk​) with Vk∈∂F(xk)V_k \in \partial F(x^k)Vk​∈∂F(xk) and Vk(xk+1−xk)=−F(xk)V_k(x^{k+1}-x^k) = -F(x^k)Vk​(xk+1−xk)=−F(xk) for all kkk. A root x∗x^*x∗ (F(x∗)=0F(x^*) = 0F(x∗)=0) is regular when every V∈∂F(x∗)V \in \partial F(x^*)V∈∂F(x∗) is nonsingular.

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem 3.2, local superlinear convergence

Let FFF be locally Lipschitz, F(x∗)=0F(x^*) = 0F(x∗)=0, FFF semismooth at x∗x^*x∗, and every V∈∂F(x∗)V \in \partial F(x^*)V∈∂F(x∗) nonsingular. Then there is δ>0\delta > 0δ>0 such that every V∈∂F(y)V \in \partial F(y)V∈∂F(y) with ∥y−x∗∥<δ\|y - x^*\| < \delta∥y−x∗∥<δ is nonsingular, a Newton step from such a yyy stays within δ\deltaδ of x∗x^*x∗, and every run with ∥x0−x∗∥<δ\|x^0 - x^*\| < \delta∥x0−x∗∥<δ satisfies

xk→x∗,∥xk+1−x∗∥=o(∥xk−x∗∥).x^k \to x^*, \qquad \|x^{k+1} - x^*\| = o(\|x^k - x^*\|).xk→x∗,∥xk+1−x∗∥=o(∥xk−x∗∥).

The goal asserts only the shape of the convergence (superlinear) and fixes no constants.

Stronger: Theorem 3.2, order 1+p1 + p1+p

If moreover FFF is ppp-order semismooth at x∗x^*x∗, 0<p≤10 < p \le 10<p≤1, there are δ>0\delta > 0δ>0 and CCC with

∥xk+1−x∗∥≤C∥xk−x∗∥1+p\|x^{k+1} - x^*\| \le C\|x^k - x^*\|^{1+p}∥xk+1−x∗∥≤C∥xk−x∗∥1+p

for every run started within δ\deltaδ of x∗x^*x∗.

Milestones

The milestones follow the paper's route: Proposition 2.1 (the limit in the definition of semismoothness is the directional derivative), Lemma 2.2 (Lipschitz continuity of F′(x;⋅)F'(x;\cdot)F′(x;⋅) and its realisation by an element of ∂F(x)\partial F(x)∂F(x)), Theorem 2.3 (semismoothness is equivalent to Vh−F′(x;h)=o(∥h∥)Vh - F'(x;h) = o(\|h\|)Vh−F′(x;h)=o(∥h∥) and to the corresponding condition at differentiability points), the Remark's expansion (2.17), Proposition 3.1 (uniform invertibility near a regular point), the order-(1+p)(1+p)(1+p) sentence of Theorem 3.2, and Corollary 2.5 (strong Fréchet differentiability implies semismoothness).

Significance

The theorem gives a locally superlinearly convergent method for Lipschitz equations with no smoothness beyond semismoothness at the root. Convex, smooth and subsmooth functions are semismooth, as are sums and scalar products of semismooth functions (the paper, citing Mifflin), and later work showed that the complementarity and KKT reformulations on which semismooth Newton solvers are built are semismooth as well; the order-(1+p)(1+p)(1+p) variant gives local quadratic convergence for strongly semismooth maps. Mission II of this series treats the paper's global convergence theorem on a ball, and Mission III the semismoothness of augmented Lagrangian gradients, which supplies the application.

The results are proved in the paper. No machine-checked version of the generalized Jacobian, of semismoothness or of the nonsmooth Newton method is known to exist in Mathlib or on this platform; the platform's formalized Newton results concern one-dimensional C2C^2C2 functions (MetodosNumericos.newton_local_convergence) and smooth convex minimization. A complete development would provide the first formal library for Clarke's generalized Jacobian and semismooth maps.

Difficulty

The classical Newton proof compares F(xk)F(x^k)F(xk) with its linearization JF(x∗)(xk−x∗)JF(x^*)(x^k - x^*)JF(x∗)(xk−x∗) and uses continuity of the Jacobian at x∗x^*x∗. Here neither is available: FFF need not be differentiable at x∗x^*x∗ or at any iterate, the element VkV_kVk​ is chosen arbitrarily from a set, and VkV_kVk​ need not be close to any fixed linear map. The comparison has to go through the directional derivative F′(x∗;⋅)F'(x^*; \cdot)F′(x∗;⋅), which is only positively homogeneous, not linear. The analytic content therefore sits in Section 2: showing that semismoothness, defined through a limit over a set-valued map, controls Vh−F′(x;h)Vh - F'(x;h)Vh−F′(x;h) uniformly in the direction, and that F(x+h)−F(x)−F′(x;h)F(x+h) - F(x) - F'(x;h)F(x+h)−F(x)−F′(x;h) is small. Both rest on Clarke's mean-value inclusion and on compactness and upper semicontinuity of ∂F\partial F∂F, none of which is in Mathlib. The superlinear rate also requires a uniform bound on ∥V−1∥\|V^{-1}\|∥V−1∥ in a whole neighbourhood, not just at x∗x^*x∗.

Formalization scope

Everything lives in the namespace NonsmoothNewton.Local. Section 2 results are stated for maps between finite-dimensional real normed spaces E→GE \to GE→G (the paper's Rn→Rm\mathbb R^n \to \mathbb R^mRn→Rm is the Euclidean instance); Section 3 results use EuclideanSpace ℝ (Fin n). Conventions fixed by the Lean statements:

  • JFJFJF is fderiv; the generalized Jacobian is the convex hull (no closure) of limits of fderiv along sequences xi→xx_i \to xxi​→x of differentiability points.
  • F′(x;h)F'(x;h)F′(x;h) is the one-sided limit over t↓0t \downarrow 0t↓0, never the two-sided lineDeriv; its value is a limUnder, used only where existence is a hypothesis or a consequence.
  • Nonsingular means IsUnit in the ring of continuous linear endomorphisms; ∥V−1∥≤C\|V^{-1}\| \le C∥V−1∥≤C is a two-sided inverse of operator norm at most CCC.
  • A run of (3.2) is encoded by the linear equation Vk(xk+1−xk)=−F(xk)V_k(x^{k+1} - x^k) = -F(x^k)Vk​(xk+1−xk)=−F(xk) with Vk∈∂F(xk)V_k \in \partial F(x^k)Vk​∈∂F(xk); all choices of VkV_kVk​ are quantified, and δ\deltaδ is chosen before the run.
  • Pinned asymptotics. The goal's rate is the proof's display (3.3), stated as IsLittleO along atTop; the printed Theorem 3.2 states only well-definedness and convergence. "Order 1+p1+p1+p" is pinned as ∥xk+1−x∗∥≤C∥xk−x∗∥1+p\|x^{k+1}-x^*\| \le C\|x^k-x^*\|^{1+p}∥xk+1−x∗∥≤C∥xk−x∗∥1+p with δ\deltaδ and CCC uniform over runs. Every o(∥h∥)o(\|h\|)o(∥h∥) in (2.8), (2.9) and (2.17) is its ε\varepsilonε–δ\deltaδ form with a non-strict inequality ≤ε∥h∥\le \varepsilon\|h\|≤ε∥h∥, and every O(∥h∥1+p)O(\|h\|^{1+p})O(∥h∥1+p) is an explicit constant and radius.
  • The standing assumptions "FFF locally Lipschitzian" of Sections 2 and 3 are hypotheses of every statement.
  • The strong Fréchet derivative of Corollary 2.5 is Mathlib's HasStrictFDerivAt, which corrects the misprint F(x)F(x)F(x) for F(z)F(z)F(z) in the paper's display (2.16).

A trivializing formalization is ruled out: the update is not written with a junk inverse (which would make a singular step "well defined"), the generalized Jacobian is the paper's nonempty set rather than one that could be empty, and the theorem quantifies over every run rather than asserting that some run converges.

A complete development needs Clarke's mean-value inclusion (2.2), compactness and upper semicontinuity of ∂F\partial F∂F for locally Lipschitz maps (via Rademacher's theorem, available in Mathlib), and perturbation bounds for inverses of linear maps. The generalized-Jacobian and semismoothness layer is reusable beyond this mission, in particular for Missions II and III of this series. Contributions of proofs of any milestone, and of general lemmas about ∂F\partial F∂F, are welcome.

Selected references

  • L. Qi, J. Sun, A nonsmooth version of Newton's method, Mathematical Programming 58 (1993) 353–367. https://doi.org/10.1007/BF01581275
  • F. H. Clarke, Optimization and Nonsmooth Analysis, Wiley, 1983 (SIAM reprint 1990). https://doi.org/10.1137/1.9781611971309
  • R. Mifflin, Semismooth and semiconvex functions in constrained optimization, SIAM Journal on Control and Optimization 15 (1977) 959–972. https://doi.org/10.1137/0315061
  • J.-S. Pang, Newton's method for B-differentiable equations, Mathematics of Operations Research 15 (1990) 311–341. https://doi.org/10.1287/moor.15.2.311
  • J. M. Ortega, W. C. Rheinboldt, Iterative Solution of Nonlinear Equations in Several Variables, Academic Press, 1970 (SIAM reprint 2000). https://doi.org/10.1137/1.9780898719468
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Shortest Connection Networks And Some Generalizations: Construction Principles P1 and P2 Yield a Shortest Spanning Subtree of Every Connected Labelled GraphResearch Paper

Motivation

Connecting a set of terminals by a network of direct links of least total length is one of the oldest problems of combinatorial optimization. R. C. Prim's 1957 paper in the Bell System Technical Journal (DOI) was motivated by the rate structure for Bell System leased-line services, in which the charge for connecting a set of terminals depends on the length of a shortest network connecting them. The paper states two local construction principles, P1 and P2, and shows that any sequence of their applications produces a shortest network, first for points in the plane and then for arbitrary connected labelled graphs with arbitrary real edge lengths. The paper's §V specialization of the principles, growing a single fragment, is what is now called Prim's algorithm, and its §IV statement is the form of the minimum spanning tree theorem used throughout network design, clustering and approximation algorithms.

Timeline. O. Borůvka (1926) solved the problem for an electrical network in Moravia; V. Jarník (1930) gave the single-fragment procedure; J. B. Kruskal (1956, Proc. AMS 7, 48–50) proved that adding globally shortest links avoiding cycles yields a shortest spanning tree; Prim (1957) gave the more permissive principles P1 and P2, which contain both the Jarník procedure and Kruskal's rule as special orders of application; E. W. Dijkstra (1959) rediscovered the single-fragment procedure.

Setting

Let VVV be a finite set of NNN terminals and GGG a simple graph on VVV, the labelled graph whose edges are the possible links. Each edge eee carries a real length w(e)w(e)w(e); lengths may be negative, zero, or tie. For a finite set FFF of links, H(F)H(F)H(F) denotes the graph on VVV whose edges are the links of FFF.

  • A spanning subtree of GGG is a set FFF of edges of GGG such that H(F)H(F)H(F) is a tree on VVV. Its length is ℓw(F)=∑e∈Fw(e)\ell_w(F) = \sum_{e \in F} w(e)ℓw​(F)=∑e∈F​w(e).
  • A shortest spanning subtree (SSS) is a spanning subtree of least length among all spanning subtrees of GGG. Prim's dictionary is "shortest connection network (SCN) ↔ shortest spanning subtree (SSS)". L(G,w)L(G,w)L(G,w) denotes that least length.
  • Given the links FFF made so far, the connected components of H(F)H(F)H(F) are the isolated terminals (one terminal) and isolated fragments (two or more terminals).
  • Principle 1: any isolated terminal ttt can be connected to a nearest neighbor, a GGG-neighbor nnn with w({t,n})≤w({t,m})w(\{t,n\}) \le w(\{t,m\})w({t,n})≤w({t,m}) for all GGG-neighbors mmm of ttt.
  • Principle 2: any isolated fragment CCC can be connected to a nearest neighbor n∉Cn \notin Cn∈/C by a shortest available link {u,n}\{u,n\}{u,n}, u∈Cu \in Cu∈C; equivalently {u,n}\{u,n\}{u,n} is a shortest edge of GGG with one end in CCC and the other outside.
  • A construction is a sequence of links e0,e1,…e_0, e_1, \dotse0​,e1​,…, each an application of P1 or P2 with respect to the links before it. It is complete when it has N−1N-1N−1 links.

Only edges of GGG are possible links; in Prim's distance table a missing edge has length ∞\infty∞.

Formalization targets

Goal (§IV, p. 1396)

For every finite connected graph GGG and every www,

(∃ a complete construction) ∧ (∀ complete constructions e0,…,eN−2: {e0,…,eN−2} is a SSS of G).\Bigl(\exists\ \text{a complete construction}\Bigr) \ \wedge\ \Bigl(\forall\ \text{complete constructions } e_0,\dots,e_{N-2}:\ \{e_0,\dots,e_{N-2}\} \text{ is a SSS of } G\Bigr).(∃ a complete construction) ∧ (∀ complete constructions e0​,…,eN−2​: {e0​,…,eN−2​} is a SSS of G).

This is the sentence "P1 and P2 will provide a SSS for any connected labelled graph with any set of real edge lengths." It fixes nothing about the order of applications, the component chosen, or the tie-breaking.

Milestones

  1. Counting (§II, p. 1392): after any construction with kkk links, H(F)H(F)H(F) is acyclic with N−kN-kN−k components; a complete construction is a spanning subtree; a construction with fewer than N−1N-1N−1 links can be extended.
  2. Necessary Condition 1 (p. 1392): every terminal of a SSS is linked in it to at least one nearest neighbor.
  3. Necessary Condition 2 (p. 1392): every fragment SSS of a SSS, ∅≠S≠V\emptyset \ne S \ne V∅=S=V, is linked in it to a nearest neighbor by a shortest available link.
  4. Distinct lengths (§III, p. 1393): if the edge lengths are pairwise distinct, every link of every construction belongs to every SSS.
  5. Continuity (§III, p. 1394): w↦L(G,w)w \mapsto L(G,w)w↦L(G,w) is continuous.

Significance

The goal is the correctness theorem of a whole family of greedy minimum spanning tree procedures at once: Jarník–Prim (one growing fragment), Kruskal (globally shortest link first) and Borůvka-style interleavings all produce sequences of P1/P2 applications. Because lengths are arbitrary reals, it also covers maximum spanning trees by a sign change (p. 1397) and graphs that are not complete.

The result is classical and fully proved in the literature. What this mission adds is a machine-checked statement in exactly Prim's generality. Mathlib has spanning trees of connected graphs (SimpleGraph.Connected.exists_isTree_le) and the edge count of trees, but no minimum spanning tree theory. Existing Prove2Me items on minimum spanning trees are either restricted to complete graphs with distance matrices or state a cut property in existence form at a single vertex; none states Prim's principles or his necessary conditions.

Difficulty

The obvious argument, "each link P1 or P2 adds belongs to the shortest network", uses a unique shortest network, and that fails with ties: when two links tie, a P1/P2 link need not lie in a given SSS. Prim's own treatment of ties (§III) is an informal perturbation argument; the formal statement must hold for every tie-breaking choice made during a construction, not only for a generic perturbed instance. Negative lengths remove the easy reading "shortest connected spanning subgraph": the minimum must range over trees only. The statements also involve the component structure of H(F)H(F)H(F) as it changes during a construction, and tree paths in an arbitrary, not necessarily complete, graph.

Formalization scope

Namespace ShortestConnection.Principles, Mathlib SimpleGraph. Conventions:

  • VVV is a Fintype with decidable equality; GGG is a SimpleGraph V (at most one link per pair, no loops, which is Prim's setting). Lengths are w : Sym2 V → ℝ; only values on edges of GGG matter.
  • Link sets are Finset (Sym2 V); linkGraph F is SimpleGraph.fromEdgeSet F. A spanning subtree requires ↑F ⊆ G.edgeSet and (linkGraph F).IsTree.
  • An isolated fragment is a whole connected component of linkGraph F; the P2 condition is a single inequality against every GGG-edge leaving it, which is equivalent to "nearest neighbor and shortest link" in Prim's sense.
  • A construction is a List (Sym2 V) checked entrywise against l.take i; complete means length Fintype.card V - 1 (natural subtraction, used only for nonempty VVV).
  • LLL is sInf of the lengths of spanning subtrees; continuity is in the product topology.

Implicit hypotheses made explicit: GGG connected (hence V≠∅V \ne \emptysetV=∅) wherever an SSS or a complete construction is involved; at least two terminals for Necessary Condition 1; SSS nonempty and S≠VS \ne VS=V for Necessary Condition 2; pairwise distinct edge lengths only in milestone 4, as in the paper's temporary assumption.

The goal's existence clause rules out a vacuous formalization in which no complete construction exists; the step predicates are defined from lengths and components only, never through shortest spanning subtrees, and they are not restricted to one growing fragment or to the globally shortest link.

Needed infrastructure: tree exchange (adding an edge to a spanning tree creates one cycle; removing any other cycle edge yields a spanning tree), component counts under edge addition, and minima of finitely many continuous functions. The exchange and counting lemmas are reusable for any matroid-greedy or spanning-tree mission. Contributions of intermediate lemmas, and proofs of the milestones in any order, are welcome.

Selected references

  • R. C. Prim, Shortest Connection Networks And Some Generalizations, Bell System Technical Journal 36 (1957), 1389–1401. https://doi.org/10.1002/j.1538-7305.1957.tb01515.x
  • J. B. Kruskal, On the shortest spanning subtree of a graph and the traveling salesman problem, Proceedings of the AMS 7 (1956), 48–50. https://doi.org/10.1090/S0002-9939-1956-0078686-7
  • V. Jarník, O jistém problému minimálním, Práce Moravské Přírodovědecké Společnosti 6 (1930), 57–63.
  • O. Borůvka, O jistém problému minimálním, Práce Moravské Přírodovědecké Společnosti 3 (1926), 37–58.
  • R. L. Graham, P. Hell, On the history of the minimum spanning tree problem, Annals of the History of Computing 7 (1985), 43–57. https://doi.org/10.1109/MAHC.1985.10011
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Updating Quasi-Newton Matrices with Limited Storage: The Limited-Storage BFGS Method Reaches the Minimizer of a Strictly Convex Quadratic in at Most n StepsResearch Paper

Motivation

Quasi-Newton methods minimize a smooth function fff on Rn\mathbb{R}^nRn by moving along dk=−Hkgkd_k = -H_k g_kdk​=−Hk​gk​, where gkg_kgk​ is the gradient and HkH_kHk​ is an approximation of the inverse Hessian built from observed gradient differences. The BFGS update is the most widely used way of building HkH_kHk​, but it stores a dense n×nn \times nn×n matrix, which is prohibitive for large nnn.

Nocedal's 1980 paper (Math. Comp. 35, 773–782) proposed keeping only the last mmm correction pairs and rebuilding the matrix from a simple initial matrix H0H_0H0​ at every step. The resulting method, called SQN in the paper, is now known as L-BFGS, and it is the default large-scale unconstrained optimizer in many numerical libraries and in machine learning. The paper's main theoretical claim is that this truncation does not destroy the finite termination of BFGS on quadratics.

Timeline:

  • 1970: Broyden, Fletcher, Goldfarb and Shanno introduce the BFGS update (references [1] and [5] of the paper).
  • 1977: Nazareth relates BFGS to conjugate gradients (Argonne Tech. Memo 282, reference [7]); his form of preconditioned conjugate gradients is the one the paper uses.
  • 1977–1978: Shanno studies the memoryless BFGS update, the case m=1m = 1m=1 (reference [11]; journal version Math. Oper. Res. 3, 1978).
  • 1980: Nocedal defines the special BFGS matrices and the SQN method and states that on quadratics with exact line searches SQN is identical to preconditioned conjugate gradients, hence has quadratic termination.
  • 1989: Liu and Nocedal (Math. Programming 45) study the method, now called L-BFGS, for large-scale problems.
  • 1998: Kolda, O'Leary and Nazareth (SIAM J. Optim. 8) treat limited-memory and update-skipping BFGS variants with exact line searches on quadratics.

Setting

Let AAA be a symmetric positive definite n×nn \times nn×n matrix and b∈Rnb \in \mathbb{R}^nb∈Rn, and let f(x)=12xTAx+bTxf(x) = \tfrac12 x^T A x + b^T xf(x)=21​xTAx+bTx, a strictly convex quadratic with gradient g(x)=Ax+bg(x) = Ax + bg(x)=Ax+b and unique minimizer x∗=−A−1bx^\ast = -A^{-1} bx∗=−A−1b.

Exact line search. Along a direction d≠0d \neq 0d=0 from xxx, the step α=−g(x)Td/dTAd\alpha = -g(x)^T d / d^T A dα=−g(x)Td/dTAd minimizes f(x+αd)f(x + \alpha d)f(x+αd).

BFGS update. For a pair (s,y)(s, y)(s,y) with ρ=1/yTs\rho = 1/y^T sρ=1/yTs and v=I−ρysTv = I - \rho y s^Tv=I−ρysT, the BFGS update of HHH is

Hˉ=vTHv+ρssT.\bar H = v^T H v + \rho s s^T .Hˉ=vTHv+ρssT.

Special BFGS matrices. Fix H0H_0H0​ symmetric positive definite and a number m≥1m \ge 1m≥1 of stored corrections. Given pairs (sj,yj)(s_j, y_j)(sj​,yj​), the special matrix HKH_KHK​ is H0H_0H0​ updated by the pairs j=K−min⁡(K,m),…,K−1j = K - \min(K, m), \dots, K-1j=K−min(K,m),…,K−1, oldest first (the paper's (4)–(5)). Only the mmm most recent pairs enter, and the matrix is rebuilt from H0H_0H0​.

SQN. Starting from x0x_0x0​, with gi=g(xi)g_i = g(x_i)gi​=g(xi​):

di=−Higi,xi+1=xi+αidi,si=xi+1−xi,yi=gi+1−gi,d_i = -H_i g_i, \qquad x_{i+1} = x_i + \alpha_i d_i, \qquad s_i = x_{i+1} - x_i,\quad y_i = g_{i+1} - g_i,di​=−Hi​gi​,xi+1​=xi​+αi​di​,si​=xi+1​−xi​,yi​=gi+1​−gi​,

with αi\alpha_iαi​ the exact step and Hi+1H_{i+1}Hi+1​ the special matrix built from the last min⁡(i+1,m)\min(i+1, m)min(i+1,m) pairs.

PCG with fixed preconditioner H0H_0H0​. d0=−H0g0d_0 = -H_0 g_0d0​=−H0​g0​, xi+1=xi+αidix_{i+1} = x_i + \alpha_i d_ixi+1​=xi​+αi​di​, di+1=−H0gi+1+βi+1did_{i+1} = -H_0 g_{i+1} + \beta_{i+1} d_idi+1​=−H0​gi+1​+βi+1​di​ with βi+1=yiTH0gi+1/yiTdi\beta_{i+1} = y_i^T H_0 g_{i+1} / y_i^T d_iβi+1​=yiT​H0​gi+1​/yiT​di​.

Formalization targets

Goal: quadratic termination of SQN

For every nnn, every symmetric positive definite AAA and H0H_0H0​, every bbb, x0x_0x0​ and every m≥1m \ge 1m≥1,

∃ k≤n:Axk+b=0,\exists\, k \le n : \quad A x_k + b = 0 ,∃k≤n:Axk​+b=0,

where xkx_kxk​ are the SQN iterates. The statement fixes no constant beyond the dimension bound nnn.

Milestones

  1. Property (a): the special matrices are positive definite whenever yiTsi>0y_i^T s_i > 0yiT​si​>0 for all iii.
  2. Eq. (7): along conjugate steps, viyi=0v_i y_i = 0vi​yi​=0 and viyj=yjv_i y_j = y_jvi​yj​=yj​ for i>ji > ji>j.
  3. Eq. (6): along conjugate steps, Hkyj=sjH_k y_j = s_jHk​yj​=sj​ for the mmm most recent jjj (when k>mk > mk>m).
  4. Eq. (10): the special matrix equals mmm sum-form BFGS corrections applied to H0H_0H0​.
  5. Eq. (15): the PCG directions satisfy diTyj=0d_i^T y_j = 0diT​yj​=0 for i≠ji \neq ji=j.
  6. Eq. (16): giTH0gj=0g_i^T H_0 g_j = 0giT​H0​gj​=0 for i≠ji \neq ji=j and giTdj=0g_i^T d_j = 0giT​dj​=0 for j<ij < ij<i.
  7. The PCG with fixed preconditioner H0H_0H0​ reaches the minimizer in at most nnn steps.
  8. SQN and this PCG produce identical iterates and directions at every step.

Significance

The result shows that storing only mmm correction pairs costs nothing on quadratics: for any m≥1m \ge 1m≥1, SQN terminates in at most nnn steps, like full BFGS and conjugate gradients. It explains why L-BFGS with small mmm is competitive, and it is the model case for later analyses of limited-memory methods (their linear convergence on uniformly convex functions, and their relation to Krylov methods). Property (b) is the reason one expects efficiency to grow with mmm: the matrix satisfies the secant equation on the mmm most recent directions.

The claims are classical and generally accepted, but the paper argues them in a few lines ("it is straightforward to show"), deferring the PCG facts (15)–(16) to a reference. No machine-checked proof of the termination of BFGS, L-BFGS or preconditioned conjugate gradients is known to this mission. A formalization would provide a verified model of L-BFGS on quadratics and a reusable development of conjugate-direction methods with a preconditioner.

Difficulty

The obvious route, "SQN is BFGS and BFGS terminates", fails: SQN discards old corrections, so the classical BFGS argument (hereditary secant conditions on all past directions) does not apply once more than mmm steps have been taken. The paper asserts the identity of SQN with preconditioned conjugate gradients in one sentence ("using a similar argument as for the SCG"), and the PCG relations it relies on are quoted from a technical report. The other difficulty is bookkeeping: the window of stored pairs shifts, the matrix is a nested product, and the runs must remain meaningful after the minimizer is reached.

Formalization scope

Vectors are Fin n → ℝ, matrices Matrix (Fin n) (Fin n) ℝ, xTyx^T yxTy is dotProduct, and syTs y^TsyT is Matrix.vecMulVec. Symmetric positive definiteness is Matrix.PosDef. Indices are 0-based, as in the paper. The exact line search is the closed-form step −gTd/dTAd-g^T d / d^T A d−gTd/dTAd. The iterations have no stopping rule: once the gradient vanishes the direction and step are zero and the iterate stays at the minimizer (Lean's 0/0=00/0 = 00/0=0). Past that point the zero pair stored by SQN leaves the BFGS step unchanged. The hypotheses are exactly the paper's: A≻0A \succ 0A≻0, H0≻0H_0 \succ 0H0​≻0, m≥1m \ge 1m≥1 and exact line searches. H0H_0H0​ need not be diagonal.

Two misprints are corrected and flagged in the items: the denominator of β\betaβ in (13) is yi−1Tdi−1y_{i-1}^T d_{i-1}yi−1T​di−1​ (as in (12) and p. 778), and the second relation of (16) is stated for j<ij < ij<i (as used on p. 778), since it fails for i<ji < ji<j.

Ruled out: SQN is defined through its own matrices (4)–(5), rebuilt from H0H_0H0​ and the last mmm pairs. It is not defined through the PCG recurrence, not by one BFGS update of the previous matrix, and not with a stop rule that returns −A−1b-A^{-1}b−A−1b. The standing assumption ykTsk>0y_k^T s_k > 0ykT​sk​>0 is not a hypothesis of any statement about a run (it fails after termination and would make the goal vacuous). With m=0m = 0m=0 SQN is steepest descent and the goal is false, so m≥1m \ge 1m≥1 is required.

Needed infrastructure: algebra of rank-one updates and of Matrix.PosDef under congruence, conjugate-direction lemmas for quadratics, and the fact that n+1n+1n+1 mutually H0H_0H0​-orthogonal vectors in Rn\mathbb{R}^nRn include a zero vector. The PCG results (milestones 5–7) are reusable beyond this mission. Proofs of any milestone, or of the goal directly, are welcome.

Selected references

  • J. Nocedal, Updating Quasi-Newton Matrices with Limited Storage, Mathematics of Computation 35(151), 1980, 773–782. https://doi.org/10.1090/s0025-5718-1980-0572855-7
  • D. F. Shanno, Conjugate gradient methods with inexact searches, Mathematics of Operations Research 3(3), 1978, 244–256. https://doi.org/10.1287/moor.3.3.244
  • L. Nazareth, A Relationship Between the BFGS and Conjugate Gradient Algorithms, ANL-AMD Tech. Memo 282 (rev.), Argonne National Laboratory, 1977 (reference [7] of Nocedal 1980; no online copy located).
  • T. G. Kolda, D. P. O'Leary, L. Nazareth, BFGS with update skipping and varying memory, SIAM Journal on Optimization 8(4), 1998, 1060–1083. https://doi.org/10.1137/S1052623496306450
  • D. C. Liu, J. Nocedal, On the limited memory BFGS method for large scale optimization, Mathematical Programming 45, 1989, 503–528. https://doi.org/10.1007/BF01589116
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Cubic Regularization of Newton Method and Its Global Performance I: Global Rate of Convergence to Second-Order Stationary PointsResearch Paper

Motivation

Newton's method is the standard second-order algorithm for unconstrained minimization, but without safeguards it has no global guarantee: far from a minimizer the Newton step can increase the objective, and at a point where the Hessian is indefinite the step can head for a saddle point or a maximum. The usual repairs (line search, trust regions, Levenberg–Marquardt damping) come with convergence proofs, but for nonconvex objectives those proofs typically give no rate at all, or only the rate of the gradient method.

Nesterov and Polyak (Math. Program. 108 (2006) 177–205) proposed to regularize the second-order Taylor model of the objective with a cubic term and to take as the next iterate a global minimizer of the regularized model. They showed that the resulting method has a global worst-case rate of convergence to points satisfying the second-order necessary conditions, for every objective with a Lipschitz continuous Hessian and without any convexity. That rate, O(k−2/3)O(k^{-2/3})O(k−2/3) for the gradient norm, is better than the O(k−1/2)O(k^{-1/2})O(k−1/2) of the gradient method. It became the reference point for the complexity theory of nonconvex second-order optimization: adaptive variants (Cartis, Gould and Toint, Math. Program. 127 (2011) 245–295) and lower bounds showing that O(ϵ−3/2)O(\epsilon^{-3/2})O(ϵ−3/2) iterations are optimal among second-order methods (Carmon, Duchi, Hinder and Sidford, Math. Program. 184 (2020) 71–120) are stated against it.

This mission formalizes the general convergence result of that paper, Theorem 1 of Section 3, together with the properties of the cubic step from Section 2 on which it rests.

Setting

Let F⊆RnF \subseteq \mathbb{R}^nF⊆Rn be a closed convex set with nonempty interior, and let fff be twice differentiable on FFF with gradient f′(x)f'(x)f′(x) and Hessian f′′(x)f''(x)f′′(x). A starting point x0∈int⁡Fx_0 \in \operatorname{int} Fx0​∈intF is fixed, and FFF is assumed to contain the level set L(f(x0))={x∈Rn:f(x)≤f(x0)}\mathcal{L}(f(x_0)) = \{x \in \mathbb{R}^n : f(x) \le f(x_0)\}L(f(x0​))={x∈Rn:f(x)≤f(x0​)} in its interior. Assumption 1: the Hessian is Lipschitz continuous on FFF in the spectral norm, ∥f′′(x)−f′′(y)∥≤L∥x−y∥\|f''(x) - f''(y)\| \le L\|x - y\|∥f′′(x)−f′′(y)∥≤L∥x−y∥ for all x,y∈Fx, y \in Fx,y∈F, with L>0L > 0L>0.

For a parameter M>0M > 0M>0 the cubic model of fff at xxx is

mM,x(y)=⟨f′(x),y−x⟩+12⟨f′′(x)(y−x),y−x⟩+M6∥y−x∥3.m_{M,x}(y) = \langle f'(x), y - x\rangle + \tfrac12 \langle f''(x)(y - x), y - x\rangle + \tfrac{M}{6}\|y - x\|^3 .mM,x​(y)=⟨f′(x),y−x⟩+21​⟨f′′(x)(y−x),y−x⟩+6M​∥y−x∥3.

The cubic-regularized Newton step TM(x)T_M(x)TM​(x) is any global minimizer of mM,xm_{M,x}mM,x​ over Rn\mathbb{R}^nRn; it exists because the model is continuous and coercive. Write rM(x)=∥x−TM(x)∥r_M(x) = \|x - T_M(x)\|rM​(x)=∥x−TM​(x)∥ and fˉM(x)=f(x)+min⁡ymM,x(y)\bar f_M(x) = f(x) + \min_y m_{M,x}(y)fˉ​M​(x)=f(x)+miny​mM,x​(y).

The cubic regularization of Newton method (3.3) fixes L0∈(0,L]L_0 \in (0, L]L0​∈(0,L], starts at x0x_0x0​ and, for k≥0k \ge 0k≥0, chooses Mk∈[L0,2L]M_k \in [L_0, 2L]Mk​∈[L0​,2L] such that f(TMk(xk))≤fˉMk(xk)f(T_{M_k}(x_k)) \le \bar f_{M_k}(x_k)f(TMk​​(xk​))≤fˉ​Mk​​(xk​), then sets xk+1=TMk(xk)x_{k+1} = T_{M_k}(x_k)xk+1​=TMk​​(xk​). The choice Mk=LM_k = LMk​=L always passes the test.

Write λn(A)\lambda_n(A)λn​(A) for the smallest eigenvalue of a symmetric matrix AAA. The measure of local optimality is

μM(x)=max⁡{2L+M ∥f′(x)∥, −22L+M λn(f′′(x))}.\mu_M(x) = \max\Big\{ \sqrt{\tfrac{2}{L + M}\,\|f'(x)\|},\ -\tfrac{2}{2L + M}\,\lambda_n(f''(x)) \Big\}.μM​(x)=max{L+M2​∥f′(x)∥​, −2L+M2​λn​(f′′(x))}.

It is nonnegative and vanishes exactly when f′(x)=0f'(x) = 0f′(x)=0 and f′′(x)⪰0f''(x) \succeq 0f′′(x)⪰0.

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem 1, inequality (3.4)

If f(x)≥f∗f(x) \ge f^*f(x)≥f∗ for all x∈Fx \in Fx∈F, then every run of method (3.3) satisfies, for every k≥1k \ge 1k≥1,

min⁡1≤i≤kμL(xi)≤83⋅(3 (f(x0)−f∗)2k⋅L0)1/3.\min_{1 \le i \le k} \mu_L(x_i) \le \frac{8}{3}\cdot\left(\frac{3\,(f(x_0) - f^*)}{2k\cdot L_0}\right)^{1/3}.1≤i≤kmin​μL​(xi​)≤38​⋅(2k⋅L0​3(f(x0​)−f∗)​)1/3.

The constant 8/38/38/3 and the exponent 1/31/31/3 are the paper's; the statement holds for every admissible choice of the parameters MkM_kMk​ and of the global minimizers xk+1x_{k+1}xk+1​.

Milestones, in attack order

  1. Lemma 1 (2.2): ∥f′(y)−f′(x)−f′′(x)(y−x)∥≤12L∥y−x∥2\|f'(y) - f'(x) - f''(x)(y - x)\| \le \tfrac12 L\|y - x\|^2∥f′(y)−f′(x)−f′′(x)(y−x)∥≤21​L∥y−x∥2 on FFF.
  2. Eq. (2.5): f′(x)+f′′(x)(T−x)+12M∥T−x∥(T−x)=0f'(x) + f''(x)(T - x) + \tfrac12 M\|T - x\|(T - x) = 0f′(x)+f′′(x)(T−x)+21​M∥T−x∥(T−x)=0 for T=TM(x)T = T_M(x)T=TM​(x).
  3. Proposition 1 (2.7): f′′(x)+12MrM(x)I⪰0f''(x) + \tfrac12 M r_M(x) I \succeq 0f′′(x)+21​MrM​(x)I⪰0.
  4. Lemma 2 (2.8): ⟨f′(x),x−TM(x)⟩≥0\langle f'(x), x - T_M(x)\rangle \ge 0⟨f′(x),x−TM​(x)⟩≥0 when f(x)≤f(x0)f(x) \le f(x_0)f(x)≤f(x0​).
  5. Lemma 4 (2.11): f(x)−fˉM(x)≥M12rM(x)3f(x) - \bar f_M(x) \ge \tfrac{M}{12} r_M(x)^3f(x)−fˉ​M​(x)≥12M​rM​(x)3.
  6. Lemma 4 (2.12): for M≥LM \ge LM≥L, TM(x)∈FT_M(x) \in FTM​(x)∈F and f(TM(x))≤fˉM(x)f(T_M(x)) \le \bar f_M(x)f(TM​(x))≤fˉ​M​(x).
  7. Lemma 3 (2.9): ∥f′(TM(x))∥≤12(L+M)rM(x)2\|f'(T_M(x))\| \le \tfrac12(L + M) r_M(x)^2∥f′(TM​(x))∥≤21​(L+M)rM​(x)2 when TM(x)∈FT_M(x) \in FTM​(x)∈F.
  8. Lemma 5: μM(TM(x))≤rM(x)\mu_M(T_M(x)) \le r_M(x)μM​(TM​(x))≤rM​(x).
  9. Theorem 1, first claim: ∑i≥0rMi(xi)3≤12L0(f(x0)−f∗)\sum_{i \ge 0} r_{M_i}(x_i)^3 \le \tfrac{12}{L_0}(f(x_0) - f^*)∑i≥0​rMi​​(xi​)3≤L0​12​(f(x0​)−f∗).
  10. Theorem 1, second claim: lim⁡i→∞μL(xi)=0\lim_{i\to\infty} \mu_L(x_i) = 0limi→∞​μL​(xi​)=0.

Significance

Inequality (3.4) is a global, dimension-free complexity bound for reaching approximate second-order stationarity. It controls both the gradient norm, min⁡1≤i≤k∥f′(xi)∥=O(k−2/3)\min_{1\le i\le k}\|f'(x_i)\| = O(k^{-2/3})min1≤i≤k​∥f′(xi​)∥=O(k−2/3), and the most negative curvature, max⁡{0,−λn(f′′(xi))}=O(k−1/3)\max\{0, -\lambda_n(f''(x_i))\} = O(k^{-1/3})max{0,−λn​(f′′(xi​))}=O(k−1/3), along the best iterate, from a single scalar potential f(x0)−f∗f(x_0) - f^*f(x0​)−f∗. The second claim of Theorem 1 gives the asymptotic counterpart: every limit point satisfies the second-order necessary conditions. Section 4 of the paper derives its faster rates for star-convex and gradient-dominated functions from the same Section 2 lemmas.

The result is proved on paper and widely cited; to our knowledge no machine-checked proof of it or of the Section 2 lemmas exists. A formalization adds a checked statement of the method with its exact constants, and reusable facts about global minimizers of cubic models (Proposition 1 in particular) that the companion missions on star-convex, gradient-dominated and locally quadratic convergence also rely on.

Difficulty

Most steps are short inequalities, but two are not. Proposition 1 is a statement about a global minimizer of a nonconvex function: the first- and second-order conditions of a local minimizer give only f′′(x)+12MrI+M2r(T−x)(T−x)⊤⪰0f''(x) + \tfrac12 M r I + \tfrac{M}{2r}(T - x)(T - x)^\top \succeq 0f′′(x)+21​MrI+2rM​(T−x)(T−x)⊤⪰0, which is weaker. The natural first attempt, "take the second-order optimality condition of the model at TTT", therefore fails. The paper proves it in Section 5.1 through a one-dimensional dual characterization of the minimizer.

The second is Lemma 2's second claim, used for (2.12): showing that TM(x)T_M(x)TM​(x) stays in FFF requires a boundary argument along the segment from xxx to TM(x)T_M(x)TM​(x), since the Taylor bounds are only available inside FFF. The remaining work is calculus in Rn\mathbb{R}^nRn: the integral form of Taylor's theorem for the gradient under a Lipschitz Hessian, and eigenvalue perturbation for the second entry of μ\muμ.

Formalization scope

The space is EuclideanSpace ℝ (Fin n) for arbitrary n : ℕ. The gradient and Hessian are maps g and H with HasGradientAt f (g x) x and HasFDerivAt g (H x) x at every x ∈ F. At boundary points of FFF this asks for two-sided derivatives, a mild strengthening of "twice differentiable on FFF". The Lipschitz condition uses the operator norm, which is the spectral norm. TM(x)T_M(x)TM​(x) is represented by the predicate IsCubicStep (global minimizer of cubicModel), and every lemma is stated for every such minimizer. The run predicate IsCubicNewtonRun is 0-based. It writes fˉMk(xk)\bar f_{M_k}(x_k)fˉ​Mk​​(xk​) as f(xk)f(x_k)f(xk​) plus the model value at xk+1x_{k+1}xk+1​, which is the minimum because xk+1x_{k+1}xk+1​ attains it. λn\lambda_nλn​ is lamMin, the Rayleigh-quotient infimum over the unit sphere, which equals the smallest eigenvalue for the (symmetric) Hessian. The lower bound f∗f^*f∗ is required on FFF only. The minimum over 1≤i≤k1 \le i \le k1≤i≤k is written as the existence of an index attaining the bound.

A stationary point of the cubic model is not an admissible step, and the run must keep the test Mk∈[L0,2L]M_k \in [L_0, 2L]Mk​∈[L0​,2L] and the acceptance test. Replacing the step by any point with f(xk+1)≤f(xk)f(x_{k+1}) \le f(x_k)f(xk+1​)≤f(xk​) makes the goal false, and dropping the square root in μM\mu_MμM​ makes Lemma 5 false. The statements rule out all three. Lemma 5 carries the hypothesis TM(x)∈FT_M(x) \in FTM​(x)∈F, which its printed proof uses and which holds at every iterate.

A complete development needs the Taylor bounds (2.2)–(2.3) for vector-valued derivatives on convex sets, and first- and second-order optimality for the cubic model. It also needs a proof of Proposition 1 (Section 5.1 or any other correct argument) and eigenvalue perturbation via Rayleigh quotients. The cubic-model lemmas and Proposition 1 are reusable across the whole series. Proofs of any milestone, alternative proofs of Proposition 1, and general Mathlib-level lemmas about Rayleigh quotients are welcome.

Selected references

  • Yu. Nesterov and B. T. Polyak, Cubic regularization of Newton method and its global performance, Mathematical Programming, Ser. A 108 (2006) 177–205. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10107-006-0706-8
  • C. Cartis, N. I. M. Gould and Ph. L. Toint, Adaptive cubic regularisation methods for unconstrained optimization. Part I: motivation, convergence and numerical results, Mathematical Programming 127 (2011) 245–295. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10107-009-0286-5
  • Y. Carmon, J. C. Duchi, O. Hinder and A. Sidford, Lower bounds for finding stationary points I, Mathematical Programming 184 (2020) 71–120. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10107-019-01406-y
  • Yu. Nesterov, Introductory Lectures on Convex Optimization: A Basic Course, Kluwer, 2004. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-1-4419-8853-9
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Critical-Path Planning and Scheduling I: Critical Jobs Occur Only When the Completion Time Is the Earliest, and Then Form a Path from Origin to TerminusResearch Paper

Motivation

The Critical-Path Method (CPM) was introduced by J. E. Kelley, Jr. (Remington Rand) and M. R. Walker (du Pont) in Critical-Path Planning and Scheduling (Proc. Eastern Joint Computer Conference, 1959, pp. 160–173, doi:10.1145/1460299.1460318). Together with PERT, developed at the same time for the Polaris programme, it became the standard way to plan and schedule large projects in construction, maintenance and engineering, and it is taught in every introductory operations research course.

The paper reduces project scheduling to arithmetic on a directed acyclic graph: the earliest and latest times of the project's events are computed by two recursions, and the jobs whose timing has no slack, the critical jobs, are singled out by an equation. Its central structural claim is that critical jobs, when they exist, form a path from the start of the project to its end. The paper states this without proof ("a detailed development being reserved for a separate paper", p. 161). This mission formalizes that claim and the facts about the two recursions on which it rests.

Setting

A project network has n+1n+1n+1 events labelled 0,1,…,n0,1,\dots,n0,1,…,n with n≥1n \ge 1n≥1: event 000 is the origin and event nnn the terminus. A job is an arrow from an event iii to an event jjj, written job (i,j)(i,j)(i,j); the jobs form a finite set PPP of ordered pairs of events. Two standing assumptions of the paper (pp. 161–162) are part of the model:

  1. every job has i<ji < ji<j (events are labelled so that the head of an arrow has the larger label);
  2. origin precedes and terminus follows every event: for every event kkk there are chains of jobs from 000 to kkk and from kkk to nnn.

Each job has a real duration yijy_{ij}yij​. The earliest event times t(0)t^{(0)}t(0) are given by display (1) of the paper,

t0(0)=0,tj(0)=max⁡ [ yij+ti(0)∣i<j, (i,j)∈P ],1≤j≤n,t_0^{(0)} = 0,\qquad t_j^{(0)} = \max\,[\,y_{ij} + t_i^{(0)} \mid i<j,\ (i,j)\in P\,],\quad 1\le j\le n,t0(0)​=0,tj(0)​=max[yij​+ti(0)​∣i<j, (i,j)∈P],1≤j≤n,

and, for a project completion time λ≥tn(0)\lambda \ge t_n^{(0)}λ≥tn(0)​, the latest event times t(1)t^{(1)}t(1) by display (2),

tn(1)=λ,ti(1)=min⁡ [ tj(1)−yij∣i<j, (i,j)∈P ],0≤i≤n−1.t_n^{(1)} = \lambda,\qquad t_i^{(1)} = \min\,[\,t_j^{(1)} - y_{ij} \mid i<j,\ (i,j)\in P\,],\quad 0\le i\le n-1.tn(1)​=λ,ti(1)​=min[tj(1)​−yij​∣i<j, (i,j)∈P],0≤i≤n−1.

The maximum time available for job (i,j)(i,j)(i,j) is tj(1)−ti(0)t_j^{(1)} - t_i^{(0)}tj(1)​−ti(0)​. The job is critical if this equals its duration, tj(1)−ti(0)=yijt_j^{(1)} - t_i^{(0)} = y_{ij}tj(1)​−ti(0)​=yij​, and a floater if it exceeds it. A critical path is a contiguous path of critical jobs from origin to terminus: events 0=v0,v1,…,vk=n0 = v_0, v_1, \dots, v_k = n0=v0​,v1​,…,vk​=n with every (vr−1,vr)(v_{r-1}, v_r)(vr−1​,vr​) a critical job of PPP.

In the Lean development these are ProjectNetwork n (with field P), earliest N y, latest N y λ, maxTimeAvailable, IsCritical, IsFloater and IsCriticalPath, in the namespace CriticalPath.Events.

Formalization targets

Goal: critical jobs force λ=tn(0)\lambda = t_n^{(0)}λ=tn(0)​ and a critical path (p. 163)

For every project network, durations yyy and completion time λ≥tn(0)\lambda \ge t_n^{(0)}λ≥tn(0)​,

(∃(i,j)∈P, tj(1)−ti(0)=yij)  ⟹  λ=tn(0) ∧ ∃ a critical path.\bigl(\exists (i,j)\in P,\ t_j^{(1)} - t_i^{(0)} = y_{ij}\bigr) \;\Longrightarrow\; \lambda = t_n^{(0)} \ \wedge\ \exists\ \text{a critical path}.(∃(i,j)∈P, tj(1)​−ti(0)​=yij​)⟹λ=tn(0)​ ∧ ∃ a critical path.

This is the paper's "A project will contain critical jobs only when λ=tn(0)\lambda = t_n^{(0)}λ=tn(0)​. If a project does contain critical jobs, then it also contains at least one contiguous path of critical jobs through the project diagram from origin to terminus." Only the "only when" direction is asserted, as on the page.

Milestones

  1. Display (1), pp. 162–163. t(0)t^{(0)}t(0) is the least vector ttt with t0=0t_0 = 0t0​=0 and yij≤tj−tiy_{ij} \le t_j - t_iyij​≤tj​−ti​ for every job.
  2. Display (2), p. 163. For λ≥tn(0)\lambda \ge t_n^{(0)}λ≥tn(0)​, tn(1)=λt_n^{(1)} = \lambdatn(1)​=λ and t(1)t^{(1)}t(1) is the greatest vector ttt with tn≤λt_n \le \lambdatn​≤λ and yij≤tj−tiy_{ij} \le t_j - t_iyij​≤tj​−ti​ for every job.
  3. Critical or floater, p. 163. For λ≥tn(0)\lambda \ge t_n^{(0)}λ≥tn(0)​, ti(0)≤ti(1)t_i^{(0)} \le t_i^{(1)}ti(0)​≤ti(1)​ for every event, and every job is critical or a floater: tj(1)−ti(0)≥yijt_j^{(1)} - t_i^{(0)} \ge y_{ij}tj(1)​−ti(0)​≥yij​.
  4. Delay of a critical job, p. 163. Lengthening a critical job by δ≥0\delta \ge 0δ≥0 raises tn(0)t_n^{(0)}tn(0)​ by exactly δ\deltaδ.

Significance

The result. The theorem is what makes the method's name meaningful: it says that the jobs without slack are not scattered but line up along an origin–terminus path, and that such jobs exist only when the project is scheduled at its earliest possible completion time. Project managers use this to decide which jobs to watch, which to expedite, and which may slip; the delay statement (milestone 4) is the quantitative form of that advice. The characterisations of (1) and (2) as least and greatest feasible schedules are the bridge between CPM and linear programming: they identify t(0)t^{(0)}t(0) and t(1)t^{(1)}t(1) with extreme solutions of the system of difference constraints yij≤tj−tiy_{ij} \le t_j - t_iyij​≤tj​−ti​, which the paper's own §3 uses to build the project cost curve.

Formalizing it. The results are classical and folklore, but the paper proves none of them, and textbook treatments usually define the critical path as a longest path, which makes the goal a tautology. This mission states the claims with the paper's own definitions: criticality by the float equation, event times by the recursions. To the best of current knowledge no machine-checked version of these statements for activity-on-arrow networks exists; the platform has a related activity-on-node development (Brucker and Knust, Complex Scheduling) in which the critical path is defined as a longest path.

Difficulty

The recursions (1) and (2) are local: each event looks only at its immediate predecessors or successors. The goal is global: from one critical job it asserts a statement about the whole completion time and a whole origin–terminus path. The float equation tj(1)−ti(0)=yijt_j^{(1)} - t_i^{(0)} = y_{ij}tj(1)​−ti(0)​=yij​ mixes a quantity computed forward from the origin with one computed backward from the terminus, and neither recursion alone says anything about the other. The naive reading "a critical job lies on a longest path" is not available as a definition: it is, in substance, what has to be established from the recursions. The formal overhead is the well-founded recursion on the labels, in both directions, and the bookkeeping of lists of events forming a path.

Formalization scope

Events are Fin (n + 1), origin 0, terminus Fin.last n, with 1 ≤ n. Jobs are a Finset of ordered pairs, so there is at most one job per ordered pair. The standing assumptions (labels increase along jobs; origin precedes and terminus follows every event, via Relation.ReflTransGen) are fields of the structure ProjectNetwork and are never dropped. Durations and times are real numbers; durations are a function Fin (n+1) → Fin (n+1) → ℝ read only on jobs of P, with no sign condition, as in the paper's deterministic case.

The event times are defined by the recursions (1) and (2) themselves, by well-founded recursion on the label with Finset.sup'/Finset.inf' over the predecessor/successor set; these sets are nonempty by the standing assumptions, so no fallback value exists. The latest times are defined for every real λ\lambdaλ; the paper's assumption λ≥tn(0)\lambda \ge t_n^{(0)}λ≥tn(0)​ is a hypothesis of every theorem that uses them.

Disclosed readings: "earliest time occurance" (milestone 1) and "latest time … relative to a fixed project completion time" (milestone 2) are read as least and greatest vectors satisfying the job constraints yij≤tj−tiy_{ij} \le t_j - t_iyij​≤tj​−ti​ (the paper's constraint (8), p. 165); milestone 3 is the fact implicit in the dichotomy "critical or floater"; "comparable delay" (milestone 4) is read as an exact delay of δ\deltaδ in tn(0)t_n^{(0)}tn(0)​ for δ≥0\delta \ge 0δ≥0.

A trivializing formalization is ruled out: defining a critical job or path through longest paths, or taking t(0)t^{(0)}t(0) and t(1)t^{(1)}t(1) as arbitrary functions satisfying (1) and (2), would make the goal a restatement of its definitions; here criticality is the float equation and the times are computed by the recursions. Dropping the reachability assumptions would make (2) ill-defined at events without successors.

Contributions welcome: proofs of the milestones, general lemmas on longest paths in finite labelled DAGs and on difference constraints yij≤tj−tiy_{ij} \le t_j - t_iyij​≤tj​−ti​, which are reusable for the companion mission on the project cost curve.

Selected references

  • J. E. Kelley, Jr. and M. R. Walker, Critical-Path Planning and Scheduling, Papers presented at the December 1–3, 1959, Eastern Joint IRE-AIEE-ACM Computer Conference, pp. 160–173, 1959. doi:10.1145/1460299.1460318
  • J. E. Kelley, Jr., Critical-Path Planning and Scheduling: Mathematical Basis, Operations Research 9(3), pp. 296–320, 1961. doi:10.1287/opre.9.3.296
  • P. Brucker and S. Knust, Complex Scheduling, 2nd ed., Springer, 2012. doi:10.1007/978-3-642-23929-8
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CombinatoricsOptimizationTheoretical Computer Science·Captain: mikedeng1

Worst-Case Performance Bounds for Simple One-Dimensional Packing Algorithms 3: First-Fit Decreasing and Best-Fit Decreasing Use at Most 11/9 L* + 4 BinsResearch Paper

Motivation

Bin packing asks for the fewest unit-capacity bins that hold a given list of item sizes. It models table formatting, the placement of program segments on pages, and the allocation of files to disc tracks, and it is NP-complete, so exact solutions require search in general. Johnson, Demers, Ullman, Garey and Graham (SIAM J. Comput. 3 (1974)) therefore studied four simple placement heuristics and bounded how far each can be from the optimum in the worst case. Their paper is one of the founding results of the worst-case analysis of approximation algorithms.

This mission concerns the two decreasing heuristics, which sort the items from largest to smallest before placing them. For them the paper proves that at most 119\tfrac{11}{9}911​ of the optimum, plus an additive constant, is ever used, and that the factor 119\tfrac{11}{9}911​ cannot be improved.

Timeline.

  • 1973: D. S. Johnson's MIT thesis proves FFD(L)≤119L∗+4FFD(L)\le \tfrac{11}{9}L^*+4FFD(L)≤911​L∗+4; the argument exceeds 75 pages.
  • 1974: Johnson, Demers, Ullman, Garey and Graham publish the bound for FFD and BFD, with a complete proof of the reduction from BFD to FFD and an outline of the FFD argument.
  • 1985: B. S. Baker gives a shorter proof of FFD(L)≤119L∗+3FFD(L)\le\tfrac{11}{9}L^*+3FFD(L)≤911​L∗+3 (J. Algorithms 6).
  • 1991: M. Yue publishes a proof of FFD(L)≤119L∗+1FFD(L)\le\tfrac{11}{9}L^*+1FFD(L)≤911​L∗+1.
  • 2007: G. Dósa determines the tight additive constant, FFD(L)≤119L∗+69FFD(L)\le\tfrac{11}{9}L^*+\tfrac{6}{9}FFD(L)≤911​L∗+96​ (ESCAPE 2007, LNCS 4614).

Setting

A list is a finite sequence L=(a1,a2,…,an)L=(a_1,a_2,\dots,a_n)L=(a1​,a2​,…,an​) of real numbers in (0,1](0,1](0,1]; values may repeat. A bin has capacity 111; its level is the sum of the numbers placed in it. The optimum L∗L^*L∗ is the least number of bins into which the elements of LLL can be distributed so that no bin has level exceeding 111.

The bins B1,B2,…B_1,B_2,\dotsB1​,B2​,… start empty and the elements are placed one at a time, in list order.

  • First-Fit (FF) places aia_iai​ into the bin BjB_jBj​ of least index whose level β\betaβ satisfies β≤1−ai\beta\le 1-a_iβ≤1−ai​.
  • Best-Fit (BF) places aia_iai​ into a bin whose level β\betaβ satisfies β≤1−ai\beta\le 1-a_iβ≤1−ai​ and is as large as possible, the one of least index among ties.
  • First-Fit Decreasing (FFD) and Best-Fit Decreasing (BFD) first arrange LLL into nonincreasing order and then apply FF, respectively BF.

FFD(L)FFD(L)FFD(L) and BFD(L)BFD(L)BFD(L) are the numbers of bins that receive at least one element.

Two auxiliary notions from the paper's proof also appear among the milestones. The position (j,k)(j,k)(j,k) of an element in a packing means that it is the kkk-th element placed into bin jjj. The weight W(X)W(X)W(X) of a collection of elements is defined through kkk-pieces, the elements in (1k+1,1k](\tfrac1{k+1},\tfrac1k](k+11​,k1​]. Each element has the weight w1(x)=⌊1/x⌋−1w_1(x)=\lfloor 1/x\rfloor^{-1}w1​(x)=⌊1/x⌋−1. A pair (x,y)(x,y)(x,y) with xxx a kkk-piece and kx+y≤1kx+y\le1kx+y≤1 has the discounted weight w2(x,y)=w1(x)+k−1kw1(y)w_2(x,y)=w_1(x)+\tfrac{k-1}{k}w_1(y)w2​(x,y)=w1​(x)+kk−1​w1​(y), and any other pair has w1(x)+w1(y)w_1(x)+w_1(y)w1​(x)+w1​(y). W(X)W(X)W(X) is the least total weight over all ways of grouping XXX into singletons and pairs.

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem 3.2

For every list LLL,

FFD(L)≤119L∗+4andBFD(L)≤119L∗+4.FFD(L)\le \frac{11}{9}L^*+4\qquad\text{and}\qquad BFD(L)\le\frac{11}{9}L^*+4 .FFD(L)≤911​L∗+4andBFD(L)≤911​L∗+4.

The constants are the paper's. Both halves are part of the goal.

Milestones, in the order the argument uses them

  1. Lemma 3.3. If FFD(L)>rL∗+dFFD(L)>rL^*+dFFD(L)>rL∗+d with r,d≥1r,d\ge1r,d≥1, the list L′L'L′ keeping only the elements exceeding (r−1)/r(r-1)/r(r−1)/r also has FFD(L′)>rL′∗+dFFD(L')>rL'^*+dFFD(L′)>rL′∗+d; the same for BFD. With r=119r=\tfrac{11}{9}r=911​ this reduces the goal to lists in (211,1](\tfrac2{11},1](112​,1].
  2. Claims 3.4.5 and 3.4.6, two steps of the proof of Theorem 3.4 that concern only the FFD packing PFPFPF and the BFD run. On [16,1][\tfrac16,1][61​,1], BFD places every element exceeding 13\tfrac1331​ exactly where FFD does. Among the remaining positions of PFPFPF, the lexicographic order of positions respects the order of the sorted list.
  3. Theorem 3.4. If L⊆[16,1]L\subseteq[\tfrac16,1]L⊆[61​,1], then BFD(L)≤FFD(L)BFD(L)\le FFD(L)BFD(L)≤FFD(L). This transfers the bound from FFD to BFD on (211,1](\tfrac2{11},1](112​,1].
  4. Lemma 4.2. For every integer N≥4N\ge4N≥4 and L⊆(1N,12]L\subseteq(\tfrac1N,\tfrac12]L⊆(N1​,21​],
W(L)≥FFD(L)−N+2.W(L)\ge FFD(L)-N+2 .W(L)≥FFD(L)−N+2.
  1. The reduced assertion (Section 4, p. 314). If L⊆(211,1]L\subseteq(\tfrac2{11},1]L⊆(112​,1], then
FFD(L)≤119L∗+4.FFD(L)\le\frac{11}{9}L^*+4 .FFD(L)≤911​L∗+4.
  1. Theorem 3.1, the matching lower bound: for each k≥1k\ge1k≥1 there is a list with L∗=kL^*=kL∗=k and FFD(L)=BFD(L)>119L∗−2FFD(L)=BFD(L)>\tfrac{11}{9}L^*-2FFD(L)=BFD(L)>911​L∗−2.

Significance

The bound makes FFD and BFD, which run in O(nlog⁡n)O(n\log n)O(nlogn) time, the reference heuristics for off-line bin packing. The 119\tfrac{11}{9}911​ bound and its proof technique of weighting functions were the model for the analysis of many later packing and scheduling heuristics. Theorem 3.1 shows that the factor is exact, so together with the goal it determines lim⁡k→∞RFFD(k)=lim⁡k→∞RBFD(k)=119\lim_{k\to\infty}R_{FFD}(k)=\lim_{k\to\infty}R_{BFD}(k)=\tfrac{11}{9}limk→∞​RFFD​(k)=limk→∞​RBFD​(k)=911​, where RA(k)R_A(k)RA​(k) is the largest ratio A(L)/L∗A(L)/L^*A(L)/L∗ over lists with L∗=kL^*=kL∗=k.

The result is proved, but the source proves it only in part. The paper gives complete proofs of Lemma 3.3, Theorem 3.4 and Theorem 3.1. For the reduced assertion it gives only an outline, whose central inequalities involve maps the paper never defines, and it refers to the thesis for the details. Lemma 4.2 is proved in the paper through two claims. A formal proof of the goal must therefore either formalize one of the later complete proofs (Baker 1985, Yue 1991, Dósa 2007) or reconstruct the thesis argument. No machine-checked proof of the 119\tfrac{11}{9}911​ bound is present in Mathlib or on the platform.

Difficulty

The obvious approach, used for First-Fit in Section 2 of the same paper, assigns each element a weight depending only on its size, so that every bin of the algorithm's packing weighs at least 111 and every bin of an optimal packing weighs at most the target ratio. For FFD no weighting of single elements works at ratio 119\tfrac{11}{9}911​. Summing w1w_1w1​ over the elements overcharges the FFD packing: a set of elements fitting into one bin can carry total w1w_1w1​-weight well above 119\tfrac{11}{9}911​. The paper's remedy is a weight defined on pairs, W(X)W(X)W(X), which discounts elements that could share a bin with a larger one. Even with WWW, the bins of FFD whose largest element exceeds 12\tfrac1221​ do not fit the scheme. Handling them requires a case analysis that the paper only sketches and that runs to more than 75 pages in the thesis.

The BFD half cannot be obtained by bounding BFD by FFD in general: there are lists with BFD(L)=109FFD(L)BFD(L)=\tfrac{10}{9}FFD(L)BFD(L)=910​FFD(L). Theorem 3.4 works only because Lemma 3.3 first removes all elements below 211\tfrac2{11}112​.

Formalization scope

Lists are L : List ℝ with the predicate IsList L (0<a≤10<a\le10<a≤1 for every element), assumed by every statement. L∗L^*L∗ is optBins L, the least b : ℕ admitting a map from the items to Fin b with every bin sum at most 111. A run keeps the nonempty bins as a List (List ℝ) in index order and opens a new bin at the end exactly when no nonempty bin fits, which matches the paper's "least jjj" over infinitely many empty bins. The fit test is non-strict. FFD and BFD are FF and BF applied to sortDesc L, a stable merge sort into nonincreasing order. They are defined for every list, so the goal is stated for arbitrary, unsorted LLL. Positions are 000-based pairs (bin, place in bin) read off the run.

WWW sorts its argument into nonincreasing order, so index is the position in that order. It then minimizes over involutions of the positions, which encode the partitions into one- and two-element sets. Weights are real-valued; the paper's use of rationals is incidental. The range hypotheses are exactly the paper's: [16,1][\tfrac16,1][61​,1] is closed in Theorem 3.4, (211,1](\tfrac2{11},1](112​,1] is open at 211\tfrac2{11}112​, and Lemma 4.2 has 1N<a≤12\tfrac1N<a\le\tfrac12N1​<a≤21​.

A weakened goal, such as FFD(L)≤119L∗+cFFD(L)\le\tfrac{11}{9}L^*+cFFD(L)≤911​L∗+c with a larger ccc, a bound for sorted lists only, or the FFD half alone, is a different theorem and does not close the mission. Claims 3.4.1–3.4.4 and 3.4.7 and the inequalities (∗)(*)(∗), (∗∗)(**)(∗∗) of the outline are not stated: they concern the paper's step-by-step construction and the undefined maps fff, ggg.

A complete development needs basic lemmas about FF and BF runs (levels stay at most 111, a new bin opens only when nothing fits, runs on prefixes). It also needs invariance of FFD and BFD under permutations of equal elements, the monotonicity of L∗L^*L∗ under deletion, and L∗≥∑iaiL^*\ge\sum_i a_iL∗≥∑i​ai​. These are reusable in the other missions of this series. Proofs of individual milestones, alternative complete proofs of the goal, and sharper additive constants are all welcome.

Selected references

  • D. S. Johnson, A. Demers, J. D. Ullman, M. R. Garey, R. L. Graham, Worst-Case Performance Bounds for Simple One-Dimensional Packing Algorithms, SIAM Journal on Computing 3(4):299–325, 1974. https://doi.org/10.1137/0203025
  • D. S. Johnson, Near-Optimal Bin Packing Algorithms, Ph.D. thesis, Massachusetts Institute of Technology, 1973 (reference [8] of the paper above).
  • B. S. Baker, A new proof for the first-fit decreasing bin-packing algorithm, Journal of Algorithms 6(1):49–70, 1985. https://doi.org/10.1016/0196-6774(85)90018-5
  • M. Yue, A simple proof of the inequality FFD(L) ≤ 11/9 OPT(L) + 1, ∀L, for the FFD bin-packing algorithm, Acta Mathematicae Applicatae Sinica 7(4):321–331, 1991.
  • G. Dósa, The tight bound of first fit decreasing bin-packing algorithm is FFD(I) ≤ 11/9 OPT(I) + 6/9, ESCAPE 2007, LNCS 4614:1–11, 2007. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-540-74450-4_1
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Dynamic ProgrammingMarkov ChainStochastic Systems·Captain: mikedeng1

Markov-Renewal Programming. I: Formulation, Finite Return Models: Policy Iteration Finds an Optimal Stationary Policy for the Discounted Infinite-Horizon Markov-Renewal ProgramResearch Paper

Motivation

Many operational systems move between a finite number of states at random times: a machine alternates between working and repair, a queue between occupancy levels, an inventory between stock positions. When the time spent in a state is not exponential and not a fixed period, neither discrete-time Markov decision processes nor continuous-time Markov chains describe the system faithfully. William S. Jewell's 1963 paper Markov-Renewal Programming. I extends Howard's Markov decision processes to Markov-renewal processes (also called semi-Markov processes), in which the time between transitions is a random variable whose law depends on the current state, the next state, and the decision taken. The resulting model, now called a semi-Markov decision process, is standard in maintenance, queueing control and reliability.

Timeline:

  • 1954: Lévy, Smith and Takács independently introduce Markov-renewal and semi-Markov processes; Pyke later surveys them.
  • 1960: Howard, Dynamic Programming and Markov Processes, introduces policy iteration for finite discrete-time Markov decision processes.
  • 1962: Blackwell, Discrete Dynamic Programming, shows that for the discounted discrete-time problem a stationary policy is optimal among all policies.
  • 1963: Jewell formulates Markov-renewal programming, with a continuous discount factor α, and carries Howard's algorithm and Blackwell's stationarity result over to it. Part II of the paper treats the undiscounted (infinite-return) models.

Setting

A Markov-renewal program has a finite set of states SSS (the paper's i=1,…,Ni = 1, \dots, Ni=1,…,N) and a finite, nonempty set of alternatives (the paper's z=1,…,Zz = 1, \dots, Zz=1,…,Z), each available in every state. For each alternative zzz and states i,ji, ji,j it specifies:

  • a transition probability pijz≥0p^z_{ij} \ge 0pijz​≥0, with ∑jpijz=1\sum_j p^z_{ij} = 1∑j​pijz​=1;
  • a sojourn-time distribution FijzF^z_{ij}Fijz​, the law of the time τ\tauτ between entering iii and moving to jjj, with τ≥0\tau \ge 0τ≥0 and Fijz(0)=0F^z_{ij}(0) = 0Fijz​(0)=0;
  • for each continuous discount factor α>0\alpha > 0α>0, a real number ρijz(α)\rho^z_{ij}(\alpha)ρijz​(α), the expected discounted return earned during that transition.

The Laplace–Stieltjes transform f~ijz(s)=∫0∞e−st dFijz(t)\tilde f^z_{ij}(s) = \int_0^\infty e^{-st}\,dF^z_{ij}(t)f~​ijz​(s)=∫0∞​e−stdFijz​(t) is the expected discount E[e−sτ]\mathbb E[e^{-s\tau}]E[e−sτ] over one interval. The average one-step return is ρiz(α)=∑jpijzρijz(α)\rho^z_i(\alpha) = \sum_j p^z_{ij}\rho^z_{ij}(\alpha)ρiz​(α)=∑j​pijz​ρijz​(α), and for a vector of returns vvv the test quantity is

ρiz(α)+∑jpijz f~ijz(α) vj.\rho^z_i(\alpha) + \sum_j p^z_{ij}\,\tilde f^z_{ij}(\alpha)\,v_j .ρiz​(α)+j∑​pijz​f~​ijz​(α)vj​.

A stationary policy is a map d:S→Ad : S \to Ad:S→A; a nonstationary policy is a sequence π=(π0,π1,… )\pi = (\pi_0, \pi_1, \dots)π=(π0​,π1​,…) of such maps, πk\pi_kπk​ being used at the kkk-th transition. The nnn-step return Viπ(n)V^\pi_i(n)Viπ​(n) of a policy, with boundary rewards Vi(0,α)V_i(0,\alpha)Vi​(0,α), is the test quantity of π0(i)\pi_0(i)π0​(i) applied to the (n−1)(n-1)(n−1)-step return of the shifted policy; the optimal nnn-step return Vi(n,α)V_i(n,\alpha)Vi​(n,α) of equation (6) replaces π0(i)\pi_0(i)π0​(i) by a maximum over zzz. The value-determination equations (15) of a stationary policy ddd are vi=ρid(i)(α)+∑jpijd(i)f~ijd(i)(α)vjv_i = \rho^{d(i)}_i(\alpha) + \sum_j p^{d(i)}_{ij}\tilde f^{d(i)}_{ij}(\alpha) v_jvi​=ρid(i)​(α)+∑j​pijd(i)​f~​ijd(i)​(α)vj​.

The algorithm of Fig. 1 alternates two steps: solve (15) for the current policy, then in every state pick an alternative maximizing the test quantity, keeping the old alternative if it still attains the maximum. It stops when two successive policies are identical.

Formalization targets

Goal (p. 947)

For every α>0\alpha > 0α>0: (15) has a unique solution for every stationary policy, and every run (dk,vk)(d_k, v_k)(dk​,vk​) of Fig. 1 reaches dK+1=dKd_{K+1} = d_KdK+1​=dK​ with K<ZNK < Z^NK<ZN, where

lim⁡n→∞VidK(n)=(vK)i,lim⁡n→∞Viπ(n)≤(vK)i  ∀π,lim⁡n→∞Vi(n,α)=(vK)i,\lim_{n\to\infty} V^{d_K}_i(n) = (v_K)_i,\qquad \lim_{n\to\infty} V^\pi_i(n) \le (v_K)_i \ \ \forall \pi,\qquad \lim_{n\to\infty} V_i(n,\alpha) = (v_K)_i ,n→∞lim​VidK​​(n)=(vK​)i​,n→∞lim​Viπ​(n)≤(vK​)i​  ∀π,n→∞lim​Vi​(n,α)=(vK​)i​,

for every state iii and all boundary rewards, every limit existing. This is the paper's "the algorithm of Fig. 1 produces an optimal, stationary policy that is as good as any optimal, nonstationary policy".

Milestones

  1. p. 945: 0≤pijzf~ijz(s)<10 \le p^z_{ij}\tilde f^z_{ij}(s) < 10≤pijz​f~​ijz​(s)<1 for s>0s > 0s>0.
  2. Claim (a): (15) has exactly one solution for each stationary policy.
  3. Eq. (15): the nnn-step return of a stationary policy converges to a solution of (15).
  4. p. 946: I−q~(α)I - \tilde q(\alpha)I−q~​(α) is invertible and ([I−q~(α)]−1)ii≥1([I-\tilde q(\alpha)]^{-1})_{ii} \ge 1([I−q~​(α)]−1)ii​≥1.
  5. Claim (b): a change of policy raises the return of some state and lowers none.
  6. Claim (c): a policy reproduced by the improvement step is optimal among stationary policies.
  7. Claim (d): a run of Fig. 1 terminates within ZNZ^NZN cycles.
  8. Eq. (14): Vi(n,α)V_i(n,\alpha)Vi​(n,α) converges, independently of the boundary rewards, to a solution of vi=max⁡z{ρiz(α)+∑jpijzf~ijz(α)vj}v_i = \max_z\{\rho^z_i(\alpha) + \sum_j p^z_{ij}\tilde f^z_{ij}(\alpha) v_j\}vi​=maxz​{ρiz​(α)+∑j​pijz​f~​ijz​(α)vj​}.
  9. p. 946: some stationary policy's return dominates the limiting return of every nonstationary policy.

Significance

The result says that the infinite-step discounted Markov-renewal program is solved exactly, in finitely many cycles, by a finite-dimensional algorithm, and that the answer is a stationary policy. As the paper notes, this matters operationally because a nonstationary policy is hard to follow. The sojourn distributions enter only through the numbers f~ijz(α)\tilde f^z_{ij}(\alpha)f~​ijz​(α), so the same algorithm serves any sojourn-time law. For fixed α\alphaα the model is a discounted Markov decision process whose discount factor depends on the transition, which contains Howard's and Blackwell's constant-discount problem as the case of intervals of fixed length (p. 943).

The results are classical and proved in the literature. The paper itself refers the proofs to Howard and Blackwell. Machine-checked versions exist on this platform for finite stochastic shortest path and constant-discount problems (Bertsekas, Dynamic Programming and Optimal Control, Prop. 7.2.2 and 7.3.1, mission Dynamic Programming and Optimal Control VII). No formal treatment of Markov-renewal programs, of transition-dependent discounting, or of the retention rule of Fig. 1 is known to exist. The mission produces a verified policy-iteration theorem for semi-Markov decision processes, with an explicit termination bound and the comparison against nonstationary policies.

Difficulty

The discount over one transition, f~ijz(α)\tilde f^z_{ij}(\alpha)f~​ijz​(α), varies with iii, jjj and zzz, so the problem is not a constant-γ\gammaγ contraction of textbook form; the relevant bound is that every row of q~(α)\tilde q(\alpha)q~​(α) sums to less than one, which rests on Fijz(0)=0F^z_{ij}(0) = 0Fijz​(0)=0. Entries in [0,1)[0, 1)[0,1) alone, the paper's stated justification of Claim (a), do not make I−q~(α)I - \tilde q(\alpha)I−q~​(α) invertible: the 2×22 \times 22×2 matrix with every entry 1/21/21/2 has entries in [0,1)[0,1)[0,1), yet III minus it is singular.

Finite termination is not automatic either. If the improvement step may switch between tied maximizers, the iterates can cycle forever between two policies with equal returns; the retention rule of Fig. 1 excludes this, and Claim (b) must deliver a strict increase in some state, with no decrease anywhere, to rule out revisiting a policy. Comparing with nonstationary policies requires controlling returns of arbitrary policy sequences, whose limits must be shown to exist, not assumed.

Formalization scope

  • States and alternatives are finite types; alternatives are nonempty. Every alternative is available in every state.
  • FijzF^z_{ij}Fijz​ is a probability measure on R\mathbb RR with no mass on (−∞,0](-\infty, 0](−∞,0]. The transform is integrated over (0,∞)(0, \infty)(0,∞), which carries all the mass.
  • The one-transition returns ρijz(α)\rho^z_{ij}(\alpha)ρijz​(α) are arbitrary real numbers, a generalization of the paper's Stieltjes integral (4), which is not formalized. The reward functions Rijz(t∣τ)R^z_{ij}(t\mid\tau)Rijz​(t∣τ) do not appear.
  • Returns of policies are defined by the one-step recursion (the policy form of (6)); the Markov-renewal process is not built as a stochastic process.
  • Policies are the paper's: deterministic and Markov, nonstationary ones indexed by the number of transitions made. Randomized and history-dependent policies are not in the comparison class.
  • The following informal words are read as follows. "Solve the set of simultaneous equations": (15) has exactly one solution. "Strictly increases the expected return of at least one state": no state's return decreases and one strictly increases, under the hypothesis that the policy changed. "No other policy can lead to higher expected returns" in Claim (c): no stationary policy. "Terminates in a finite number of cycles": two successive policies coincide at some cycle K<ZNK < Z^NK<ZN. "If there is no improvement in the test quantity, retain the same alternative": the old alternative is kept whenever it attains the maximum. "Optimal" and "as good as any nonstationary policy": the limiting return of the returned policy dominates that of every policy from every state, for all boundary rewards. "lim⁡n→∞Vi(n,α)\lim_{n\to\infty} V_i(n,\alpha)limn→∞​Vi​(n,α)": the limit is proved to exist. "max⁡z\max_zmaxz​": a maximum over the finite nonempty set of alternatives.
  • Eq. (14) is printed with vi(α)v_i(\alpha)vi​(α) inside the sum over jjj; the formalization uses vj(α)v_j(\alpha)vj​(α), as (6), (15) and Fig. 1 do.
  • Every statement fixes one α>0\alpha > 0α>0. The undiscounted models (16)–(19), the finite-time and mixed-horizon models (9)–(13), and the infinite-time case of the stationarity result are out of scope.
  • The return of a policy is never defined through a matrix inverse, whose Mathlib value for a singular matrix is 000; (15) is a predicate, and the goal asserts unique solvability, so a vacuous reading through junk inverses or assumed limits is excluded.

Reusable infrastructure: bounds for substochastic matrices with row sums below one (invertibility, Neumann series, nonnegative inverse), convergence of iterated Bellman operators with transition-dependent discount, and the policy-iteration termination argument with a tie-breaking rule. Proofs of any milestone and alternative arguments are welcome.

Selected references

  • W. S. Jewell, Markov-Renewal Programming. I: Formulation, Finite Return Models, Operations Research 11(6), 938–948, 1963. https://doi.org/10.1287/opre.11.6.938
  • W. S. Jewell, Markov-Renewal Programming. II: Infinite Return Models, Example, Operations Research 11(6), 949–971, 1963. https://doi.org/10.1287/opre.11.6.949
  • R. A. Howard, Dynamic Programming and Markov Processes, MIT Press, 1960.
  • D. Blackwell, Discrete Dynamic Programming, Annals of Mathematical Statistics 33(2), 719–726, 1962. https://doi.org/10.1214/aoms/1177704593
  • R. Pyke, Markov Renewal Processes: Definitions and Preliminary Properties, Annals of Mathematical Statistics 32(4), 1231–1242, 1961. https://doi.org/10.1214/aoms/1177704863
  • D. P. Bertsekas, Dynamic Programming and Optimal Control, Vol. I, 3rd ed., Athena Scientific, 2005, Section 7.2–7.3.
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Methods of Conjugate Gradients for Solving Linear Systems II: Each Conjugate Gradient Step Shortens the Error VectorResearch Paper

Motivation

The conjugate gradient method (cg-method) of Hestenes and Stiefel is the standard iterative solver for linear systems Ax=kAx=kAx=k with a symmetric positive definite matrix AAA. It is used for the large sparse systems of finite-element and finite-difference discretizations, as the inner solver of Newton-type and interior-point methods in optimization, and as the prototype of the Krylov subspace methods. Its original 1952 paper (Hestenes and Stiefel, J. Res. NBS 49(6), 1952) already presented it as two things at once: a direct method that reaches the exact solution in at most nnn steps, and a method of successive approximations whose intermediate estimates are useful in their own right.

The second view needs a guarantee that the intermediate estimates actually approach the solution. The method is built to decrease the AAA-weighted error f(x)=(h−x,A(h−x))f(x)=(h-x,A(h-x))f(x)=(h−x,A(h−x)), and the residual ∣k−Axi∣|k-Ax_i|∣k−Axi​∣ need not decrease (Section 18 of the paper, p. 432, notes that it can increase at every step). Theorem 6:3 of the paper supplies the guarantee in the plain Euclidean length: the distance ∣h−xi∣|h-x_i|∣h−xi​∣ from the estimate to the solution decreases strictly at every step, by an exactly computable amount. This mission formalizes that theorem together with the relations from Sections 5 and 6 of the paper on which its proof rests.

Timeline:

  • 1952: Hestenes and Stiefel introduce the method and prove, in one paper, finite termination (Theorems 4:2 and 5:2), the monotone decrease of the error function fff (Theorem 6:1), and the monotone decrease of the Euclidean error (Theorem 6:3). The later literature on cg as an iterative method for large sparse systems takes these properties as its starting point.

Setting

Let AAA be a real n×nn\times nn×n matrix that is symmetric and positive definite, let k∈Rnk\in\mathbb{R}^nk∈Rn, and let hhh be the solution of Ah=kAh=kAh=k. Write (x,y)=x1y1+⋯+xnyn(x,y)=x_1y_1+\cdots+x_ny_n(x,y)=x1​y1​+⋯+xn​yn​ and ∣x∣2=(x,x)|x|^2=(x,x)∣x∣2=(x,x). From an arbitrary starting point x0x_0x0​, the cg-method (5:1) computes estimates xix_ixi​, residuals rir_iri​ and direction vectors pip_ipi​ by

p0=r0=k−Ax0,ai=∣ri∣2(pi,Api),xi+1=xi+aipi,ri+1=ri−aiApi,bi=∣ri+1∣2∣ri∣2,pi+1=ri+1+bipi.p_0=r_0=k-Ax_0,\quad a_i=\frac{|r_i|^2}{(p_i,Ap_i)},\quad x_{i+1}=x_i+a_ip_i,\quad r_{i+1}=r_i-a_iAp_i,\quad b_i=\frac{|r_{i+1}|^2}{|r_i|^2},\quad p_{i+1}=r_{i+1}+b_ip_i .p0​=r0​=k−Ax0​,ai​=(pi​,Api​)∣ri​∣2​,xi+1​=xi​+ai​pi​,ri+1​=ri​−ai​Api​,bi​=∣ri​∣2∣ri+1​∣2​,pi+1​=ri+1​+bi​pi​.

The error vector of xix_ixi​ is yi=h−xiy_i=h-x_iyi​=h−xi​. The error function (4:5) is f(x)=(h−x,A(h−x))f(x)=(h-x,A(h-x))f(x)=(h−x,A(h−x)), which is nonnegative and vanishes only at x=hx=hx=h. The Rayleigh quotient (4:12) of a vector z≠0z\neq 0z=0 is μ(z)=(z,Az)/∣z∣2\mu(z)=(z,Az)/|z|^2μ(z)=(z,Az)/∣z∣2. The Lean development names these cgIter A k x₀ i (with fields .x, .r, .p), cgAlpha for aia_iai​, errorFun A h x and rayleigh A z.

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem 6:3

For every step that the method performs, that is, every iii with ri≠0r_i\neq 0ri​=0,

∣yi∣2−∣yi+1∣2=f(xi+1)+f(xi)μ(pi)and∣yi+1∣<∣yi∣.|y_i|^2-|y_{i+1}|^2=\frac{f(x_{i+1})+f(x_i)}{\mu(p_i)}\qquad\text{and}\qquad |y_{i+1}|<|y_i| .∣yi​∣2−∣yi+1​∣2=μ(pi​)f(xi+1​)+f(xi​)​and∣yi+1​∣<∣yi​∣.

The paper writes the step from xi−1x_{i-1}xi−1​ to xix_ixi​; the Lean statement shifts the index by one. The goal holds for every dimension nnn, every symmetric positive definite AAA, every kkk and every x0x_0x0​.

Milestones

  1. Theorems 4:2 and 5:2: some m≤nm\le nm≤n has xm=hx_m=hxm​=h.
  2. Theorem 5:3, (5:6a): (pi,pj)=∣rj∣2∣pi∣2/∣ri∣2(p_i,p_j)=|r_j|^2|p_i|^2/|r_i|^2(pi​,pj​)=∣rj​∣2∣pi​∣2/∣ri​∣2 for i≤ji\le ji≤j.
  3. Theorem 6:1, (6:1): f(xi)−f(xi+1)=ai∣ri∣2=μ(pi)∣xi−xi+1∣2f(x_i)-f(x_{i+1})=a_i|r_i|^2=\mu(p_i)|x_i-x_{i+1}|^2f(xi​)−f(xi+1​)=ai​∣ri​∣2=μ(pi​)∣xi​−xi+1​∣2.
  4. Theorem 6:1, (6:2): f(xi)−f(xj)=∑l=ij−1al∣rl∣2f(x_i)-f(x_j)=\sum_{l=i}^{j-1}a_l|r_l|^2f(xi​)−f(xj​)=∑l=ij−1​al​∣rl​∣2 for i<ji<ji<j.
  5. Section 6, (6:6): (yi+1,xi+1−xi)=f(xi+1)/μ(pi)(y_{i+1},x_{i+1}-x_i)=f(x_{i+1})/\mu(p_i)(yi+1​,xi+1​−xi​)=f(xi+1​)/μ(pi​).

Significance

The theorem is what makes an early stop of the cg-method safe in the norm a user usually cares about. Every intermediate estimate is closer to the solution, in Euclidean distance, than the previous one, and the identity (6:5) states by how much. It also separates the cg-method from methods that minimize the residual: the AAA-norm error, the Euclidean error and the residual behave differently, and only the first two are monotone along cg.

The results are proved in the 1952 paper. They have not been formalized: the Prove2Me library has no statement of the conjugate gradient recursion (5:1), and Mathlib has none either. What this mission adds is a machine-checked version of the paper's Section 6 argument for the recursion exactly as printed, including the case analysis at termination that the paper leaves implicit, and a reusable Lean definition of the cg iteration with its basic identities.

Difficulty

The obvious argument does not reach the conclusion. The method decreases f(x)=(y,Ay)f(x)=(y,Ay)f(x)=(y,Ay) at every step, but a decrease in this AAA-weighted norm does not imply a decrease in the Euclidean norm: for a single step along an arbitrary direction, even the best step for fff can lengthen the Euclidean error. So the theorem cannot be proved one step at a time from the local minimization property. It depends on how the current direction relates to all the later directions of the same run, and those relations in turn rest on the mutual orthogonality of the residuals and the conjugacy of the directions, which are established by an induction over the whole run.

A second difficulty is bookkeeping at the end of the run. The recursion divides by ∣ri∣2|r_i|^2∣ri​∣2 and by (pi,Api)(p_i,Ap_i)(pi​,Api​), which vanish after termination. Every milestone has to hold, or be guarded, past that point, and the goal needs the hypothesis ri≠0r_i\neq 0ri​=0 exactly because the strict inequality fails once xi=hx_i=hxi​=h.

Formalization scope

Vectors are Fin n → ℝ, the scalar product is dotProduct (⬝ᵥ), AxAxAx is Matrix.mulVec (*ᵥ), and the standing assumption is A.PosDef, which in Mathlib includes symmetry. The solution hhh is a variable with the hypothesis A *ᵥ h = k. Indices are 0-based. The cg recursion is the definition cgIter, which computes (5:1b)–(5:1f) literally and in order; it has no stopping rule, and Lean's convention t/0=0t/0=0t/0=0 makes it stay at hhh with ri=pi=0r_i=p_i=0ri​=pi​=0 once rm=0r_m=0rm​=0. Lengths appear squared, as (y,y)(y,y)(y,y). The milestones are stated for every index without a termination guard, because both sides of each identity vanish after termination; only the goal carries ri≠0r_i\neq 0ri​=0.

Two formalizations would trivialize the goal and are ruled out. The goal does not assume termination (xm=hx_m=hxm​=h) or any bound on iii: it quantifies over every cg run and every step that takes place. And it is about the Euclidean length ∣h−xi∣|h-x_i|∣h−xi​∣, not the error function fff (that is Theorem 6:1, a different and weaker statement) and not the residual.

A complete development needs Theorem 5:1 (orthogonality of residuals, conjugacy of directions) for the literal recursion, the identities (5:2) and (5:3c), and the positivity of (p,Ap)(p,Ap)(p,Ap) for p≠0p\neq 0p=0. These are reusable for any further work on the cg-method, including the sister mission on finite termination. Proofs of any milestone, and alternative proofs of Theorem 6:3 through the Krylov-subspace characterization, are welcome.

Selected references

  • M. R. Hestenes and E. Stiefel, Methods of Conjugate Gradients for Solving Linear Systems, J. Res. Natl. Bur. Stand. 49(6), 409–436, 1952. https://doi.org/10.6028/jres.049.044 (publisher's scan: https://nvlpubs.nist.gov/nistpubs/jres/049/jresv49n6p409_A1b.pdf)
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Linear algebraNumerical AnalysisOptimization·Captain: mikedeng1

Methods of Conjugate Gradients for Solving Linear Systems I: Finite Termination of the Conjugate Gradient MethodResearch Paper

Motivation

Solving a linear system Ax=kAx = kAx=k with a large symmetric positive definite matrix AAA is a basic task of scientific computing: it arises from discretized elliptic equations, least-squares problems and the Newton steps of optimization methods. In 1952 Magnus Hestenes and Eduard Stiefel published the conjugate gradient method (cg-method) (J. Res. Natl. Bur. Stand. 49 (1952) 409–436). The method uses AAA only through matrix–vector products and stores a few vectors. The paper's abstract states its central property in one sentence: "The solution is given in nnn steps."

The paper obtains this property from a more general scheme, the method of conjugate directions (cd-method), which also contains Gaussian elimination as a special case. Its argument has two parts. Every cd-method with nonzero directions reaches the solution within nnn steps (Theorem 4:2). The cg-method is a cd-method (Theorem 5:2), which follows from the orthogonality and conjugacy relations of Theorem 5:1. This mission formalizes that chain.

Setting

Vectors are real nnn-tuples, with scalar product (x,y)=x1y1+⋯+xnyn(x, y) = x_1y_1 + \cdots + x_ny_n(x,y)=x1​y1​+⋯+xn​yn​ and squared length ∣x∣2=(x,x)|x|^2 = (x, x)∣x∣2=(x,x). The matrix AAA is real, n×nn \times nn×n, symmetric and positive definite, which is the paper's standing assumption (p. 410). The solution hhh satisfies Ah=kAh = kAh=k. The residual of an estimate xxx is r=k−Axr = k - Axr=k−Ax. Two vectors x,yx, yx,y are conjugate when (x,Ay)=0(x, Ay) = 0(x,Ay)=0.

The cg-method (eq. (3:1), p. 411) starts from an arbitrary estimate x0x_0x0​ and sets p0=r0=k−Ax0p_0 = r_0 = k - Ax_0p0​=r0​=k−Ax0​. Given xix_ixi​, rir_iri​, pip_ipi​, it computes

ai=∣ri∣2(pi,Api),xi+1=xi+aipi,ri+1=ri−aiApi,bi=∣ri+1∣2∣ri∣2,pi+1=ri+1+bipi.a_i = \frac{|r_i|^2}{(p_i, Ap_i)},\quad x_{i+1} = x_i + a_i p_i,\quad r_{i+1} = r_i - a_i Ap_i,\quad b_i = \frac{|r_{i+1}|^2}{|r_i|^2},\quad p_{i+1} = r_{i+1} + b_i p_i.ai​=(pi​,Api​)∣ri​∣2​,xi+1​=xi​+ai​pi​,ri+1​=ri​−ai​Api​,bi​=∣ri​∣2∣ri+1​∣2​,pi+1​=ri+1​+bi​pi​.

In Lean the iterates are cgIter A k x₀ i, a structure with fields x, r, p. The step length is cgA.

The cd-method (Section 4, p. 412) chooses an arbitrary first direction p0p_0p0​ and then sets xi+1=xi+aipix_{i+1} = x_i + a_i p_ixi+1​=xi​+ai​pi​ with ai=(pi,ri)/(pi,Api)a_i = (p_i, r_i)/(p_i, Ap_i)ai​=(pi​,ri​)/(pi​,Api​) and ri=k−Axir_i = k - Ax_iri​=k−Axi​. Each new direction pi+1p_{i+1}pi+1​ may be any vector conjugate to p0,…,pip_0, \dots, p_ip0​,…,pi​. Because the directions are free, a cd-run is a property of sequences: IsCDRun A k x r p.

Formalization targets

Goal: finite termination of the cg-method

For every nnn, every symmetric positive definite AAA, every kkk and hhh with Ah=kAh = kAh=k, and every initial estimate x0x_0x0​,

∃ m≤n:xm=h,\exists\, m \le n:\quad x_m = h,∃m≤n:xm​=h,

where xmx_mxm​ is the mmm-th cg iterate. This is the statement of the abstract and of Section 3 (p. 410): "one will reach an estimate xmx_mxm​ (m≤nm \le nm≤n) at which rm=0r_m = 0rm​=0. This estimate is the desired solution hhh."

Milestones

  1. Theorem 4:1 (p. 412). For every cd-run, the directions are mutually conjugate (4:3a). The residual rir_iri​ is orthogonal to p0,…,pi−1p_0, \dots, p_{i-1}p0​,…,pi−1​ (4:3b). The products (pi,rj)(p_i, r_j)(pi​,rj​) are the same for all j≤ij \le ij≤i (4:3c). Hence ai=(pi,r0)/(pi,Api)a_i = (p_i, r_0)/(p_i, Ap_i)ai​=(pi​,r0​)/(pi​,Api​) (4:4).
  2. Theorem 4:2 (p. 412). Every cd-run whose directions p0,…,pn−1p_0, \dots, p_{n-1}p0​,…,pn−1​ are nonzero has xm=hx_m = hxm​=h for some m≤nm \le nm≤n.
  3. Theorem 5:1 (p. 414), in four items. For the cg-method:
    • (5:3a) (ri,rj)=0(r_i, r_j) = 0(ri​,rj​)=0 for i≠ji \ne ji=j;
    • (5:3b) (pi,Apj)=0(p_i, Ap_j) = 0(pi​,Apj​)=0 for i≠ji \ne ji=j;
    • (5:3c) (pi,rj)=0(p_i, r_j) = 0(pi​,rj​)=0 for i<ji < ji<j and (pi,rj)=∣ri∣2(p_i, r_j) = |r_i|^2(pi​,rj​)=∣ri​∣2 for i≥ji \ge ji≥j;
    • (5:3d) (ri,Api)=(pi,Api)(r_i, Ap_i) = (p_i, Ap_i)(ri​,Api​)=(pi​,Api​), and (ri,Apj)=0(r_i, Ap_j) = 0(ri​,Apj​)=0 for i≠j,j+1i \ne j, j + 1i=j,j+1.
  4. Theorem 5:5, eq. (5:10) (p. 416):
ai=∣ri∣2(pi,Api)=(pi,ri)(pi,Api)=(pi,r0)(pi,Api).a_i = \frac{|r_i|^2}{(p_i, Ap_i)} = \frac{(p_i, r_i)}{(p_i, Ap_i)} = \frac{(p_i, r_0)}{(p_i, Ap_i)}.ai​=(pi​,Api​)∣ri​∣2​=(pi​,Api​)(pi​,ri​)​=(pi​,Api​)(pi​,r0​)​.
  1. Theorem 5:2, first sentence (p. 415). The cg-method is a cd-method: its iterates satisfy IsCDRun.

Significance

Finite termination is the property that distinguishes the conjugate gradient method from stationary iterations such as Jacobi or Gauss–Seidel. It explains why the method can be used as a direct solver in exact arithmetic. It is the starting point for the later theory of Krylov subspace methods. The relations of Theorem 5:1 are the checks the paper recommends for monitoring a computation (eq. (3:3)). They are also the input to the paper's further results on the monotone decrease of the error (Section 6) and on the connection with orthogonal polynomials (Sections 14–18).

The result has been proved since 1952 and appears in every numerical linear algebra textbook. As far as a search of the Prove2Me catalog shows (September 2026), it has no machine-checked proof there. The only conjugate gradient material on the platform is a Hilbert-space convergence result for a different recurrence. This mission adds a faithful formal version of the original recursion (3:1) and of the cd-method. It also adds the complete termination argument, organized as in the paper. The definitions and the Theorem 5:1 relations are reusable by any later formalization of Krylov methods, including the second mission of this series on the decrease of the error ∣h−xi∣|h - x_i|∣h−xi​∣.

Difficulty

The obvious argument says that the residuals are mutually orthogonal, so at most nnn of them are nonzero. That argument is only as good as the orthogonality, and Theorem 5:1 must be established by a simultaneous induction over four families of relations. The recursion defines ri+1r_{i+1}ri+1​ by an update, not as k−Axi+1k - Ax_{i+1}k−Axi+1​, so even ri=k−Axir_i = k - Ax_iri​=k−Axi​ needs a proof. Orthogonality of ri+1r_{i+1}ri+1​ to the earlier residuals needs the conjugacy of the earlier directions, and conjugacy of pi+1p_{i+1}pi+1​ needs the orthogonality of the earlier residuals. Neither family can be proved first.

A second obstacle is the passage from orthogonality to termination. A cd-run with a zero direction stalls, so Theorem 4:2 needs the directions p0,…,pn−1p_0, \dots, p_{n-1}p0​,…,pn−1​ to be nonzero. The cg directions become zero exactly when the solution is reached, so applying Theorem 4:2 to cg needs a case split at the first vanishing residual.

Formalization scope

Vectors are Fin n → ℝ, the scalar product is dotProduct (⬝ᵥ), and AxAxAx is Matrix.mulVec (*ᵥ). The hypothesis on AAA is Mathlib's Matrix.PosDef, which includes symmetry. The solution enters only through the hypothesis A *ᵥ h = k. Indices are 0-based, as in the paper.

The cg iteration is total and has no stopping test. Once rm=0r_m = 0rm​=0, Lean's convention x/0=0x/0 = 0x/0=0 gives pm=0p_m = 0pm​=0 and am=0a_m = 0am​=0. From then on the iteration stays at xmx_mxm​, with zero residuals and directions. For this reason the relations of Theorem 5:1 are stated for all indices without guards: after termination they hold trivially.

Two formulations would make the goal trivial, and neither is used. One is a stopping test or step that refers to hhh or to A−1kA^{-1}kA−1k. The other replaces (3:1b), (3:1d) or (3:1e) by the equivalent formulas (3:2a), (3:2b) or ri+1=k−Axi+1r_{i+1} = k - Ax_{i+1}ri+1​=k−Axi+1​, which would move Theorem 5:5 and part of Theorem 5:2 into the definition. The iteration is (3:1) literally.

The cd-method's implicit hypothesis, that the directions p0,…,pn−1p_0, \dots, p_{n-1}p0​,…,pn−1​ are nonzero, is an explicit binder of Theorem 4:2. Without it the statement fails (take p0=0p_0 = 0p0​=0). The hypothesis is satisfiable: the cg run with nonzero residuals is one example.

A complete development needs the standard facts that mutually conjugate nonzero vectors are linearly independent and that nnn independent vectors span Rn\mathbb{R}^nRn. It also needs the induction behind Theorem 5:1. Contributions welcome beyond the milestones include the converse half of Theorem 5:2, the relation (5:2) expressing pkp_kpk​ through r0,…,rkr_0, \dots, r_kr0​,…,rk​, and Theorem 4:5 (the cd-method computes A−1A^{-1}A−1).

Selected references

  • M. R. Hestenes and E. Stiefel, Methods of Conjugate Gradients for Solving Linear Systems, Journal of Research of the National Bureau of Standards 49(6), 409–436, 1952. https://doi.org/10.6028/jres.049.044
  • L. Fox, H. D. Huskey and J. H. Wilkinson, Notes on the solution of algebraic linear simultaneous equations, Quarterly Journal of Mechanics and Applied Mathematics 1(1), 149–173, 1948 (the cd-method from a different point of view; cited in the paper's Section 4 footnote). https://doi.org/10.1093/qjmam/1.1.149
  • G. H. Golub and C. F. Van Loan, Matrix Computations, 4th ed., Johns Hopkins University Press, 2013, §11.3 (textbook account of the method).
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Convex OptimizationMachine LearningOptimization·Captain: mikedeng1

Logarithmic Regret Algorithms for Online Convex Optimization 4: Logarithmic Regret of Exponentially Weighted Online OptimizationResearch Paper

Motivation

In online convex optimization a player repeatedly chooses a point xtx_txt​ from a convex set P⊆RnP \subseteq \mathbb{R}^nP⊆Rn, after which an adversary reveals a convex cost function ftf_tft​ and the player pays ft(xt)f_t(x_t)ft​(xt​). The player's regret after TTT rounds is its total cost minus the cost of the best fixed point in hindsight. The model covers online portfolio selection, online regression and prediction with expert advice, and it underlies the analysis of stochastic and adaptive optimization methods (Zinkevich 2003; Cesa-Bianchi and Lugosi 2006).

For general convex costs the best achievable regret is of order T\sqrt{T}T​. Hazan, Agarwal and Kale (Mach Learn 69, 2007) showed that a curvature condition, α\alphaα-exp-concavity, brings the regret down to order log⁡T\log TlogT, and gave several algorithms that achieve it. This mission concerns the simplest of them, Exponentially Weighted Online Optimization (EWOO), which needs nothing beyond exp-concavity: no bound on gradients and no bound on the diameter of PPP.

Timeline.

  • 1991: Cover's universal portfolio algorithm attains regret O(nlog⁡T)O(n \log T)O(nlogT) for online portfolio selection, whose log-loss is 111-exp-concave (Cover 1991).
  • 1997: Blum and Kalai give a short analysis of the universal portfolio with transaction costs, using a shrinking argument around the best portfolio (Blum and Kalai 1997/1999).
  • 2003: Kalai and Vempala give a polynomial-time randomized implementation of Cover's algorithm via random walks (JMLR 3, 2003).
  • 2007: Hazan, Agarwal and Kale state EWOO for general α\alphaα-exp-concave costs and prove the regret bound of Theorem 7, alongside the Online Newton Step and Follow the Approximate Leader.

Setting

Fix n≥0n \ge 0n≥0 and a set P⊆RnP \subseteq \mathbb{R}^nP⊆Rn that is nonempty, closed, bounded and convex, with positive Lebesgue volume vol(P)\mathrm{vol}(P)vol(P). Fix α>0\alpha > 0α>0. The cost functions are f1,f2,⋯:Rn→Rf_1, f_2, \dots : \mathbb{R}^n \to \mathbb{R}f1​,f2​,⋯:Rn→R, each continuous on PPP and α\alphaα-exp-concave on PPP: the function ht(x)=e−αft(x)h_t(x) = e^{-\alpha f_t(x)}ht​(x)=e−αft​(x) is concave on PPP (LogRegretOCO.EWOO.IsExpConcave).

EWOO keeps the weights

wt(x)=exp⁡(−α∑τ=1t−1fτ(x))=∏τ=1t−1hτ(x),w_t(x) = \exp\Bigl(-\alpha \sum_{\tau=1}^{t-1} f_\tau(x)\Bigr) = \prod_{\tau=1}^{t-1} h_\tau(x),wt​(x)=exp(−ατ=1∑t−1​fτ​(x))=τ=1∏t−1​hτ​(x),

and on round ttt plays the wtw_twt​-weighted mean of PPP,

xt=∫Px wt(x) dx∫Pwt(x) dxx_t = \frac{\int_P x\, w_t(x)\, dx}{\int_P w_t(x)\, dx}xt​=∫P​wt​(x)dx∫P​xwt​(x)dx​

(LogRegretOCO.EWOO.ewooPoint). In particular x1x_1x1​ is the centroid of PPP, and each xtx_txt​ depends only on f1,…,ft−1f_1, \dots, f_{t-1}f1​,…,ft−1​. The regret against a comparator u∈Pu \in Pu∈P is ∑t=1T(ft(xt)−ft(u))\sum_{t=1}^T \bigl(f_t(x_t) - f_t(u)\bigr)∑t=1T​(ft​(xt​)−ft​(u)).

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem 7

For every T≥1T \ge 1T≥1 and every u∈Pu \in Pu∈P,

∑t=1Tft(xt)−∑t=1Tft(u)  ≤  1α n (1+log⁡(T+1)).\sum_{t=1}^{T} f_t(x_t) - \sum_{t=1}^{T} f_t(u) \;\le\; \frac{1}{\alpha}\, n\, \bigl(1 + \log(T+1)\bigr).t=1∑T​ft​(xt​)−t=1∑T​ft​(u)≤α1​n(1+log(T+1)).

This is the paper's printed constant. The paper's proof yields the slightly sharper 1α(1+nlog⁡(T+1))\frac{1}{\alpha}\bigl(1 + n\log(T+1)\bigr)α1​(1+nlog(T+1)); the printed form is the goal.

Milestones

The proof in §3.4 (p. 187) passes through five displays, each a milestone:

  1. Jensen for the weighted mean (first display on p. 187): ht(xt)≥∫Pht wt /∫Pwth_t(x_t) \ge \int_P h_t\, w_t \,/ \int_P w_tht​(xt​)≥∫P​ht​wt​/∫P​wt​.
  2. Eq. (18): ∏τ=1thτ(xτ)≥∫P∏τ=1thτ / vol(P)\prod_{\tau=1}^t h_\tau(x_\tau) \ge \int_P \prod_{\tau=1}^t h_\tau \,/\, \mathrm{vol}(P)∏τ=1t​hτ​(xτ​)≥∫P​∏τ=1t​hτ​/vol(P).
  3. The nearby set S={TT+1x∗+1T+1y:y∈P}S = \{\frac{T}{T+1}x^* + \frac{1}{T+1}y : y \in P\}S={T+1T​x∗+T+11​y:y∈P}: for x∈Sx \in Sx∈S, ht(x)≥TT+1ht(x∗)h_t(x) \ge \frac{T}{T+1}h_t(x^*)ht​(x)≥T+1T​ht​(x∗) and ∏τ=1Thτ(x)≥1e∏τ=1Thτ(x∗)\prod_{\tau=1}^T h_\tau(x) \ge \frac1e \prod_{\tau=1}^T h_\tau(x^*)∏τ=1T​hτ​(x)≥e1​∏τ=1T​hτ​(x∗).
  4. Volume of SSS: vol(S)=vol(P)/(T+1)n\mathrm{vol}(S) = \mathrm{vol}(P)/(T+1)^nvol(S)=vol(P)/(T+1)n.
  5. Multiplicative regret bound (last display on p. 187): ∏τ=1Thτ(xτ)≥1e(T+1)n∏τ=1Thτ(x∗)\prod_{\tau=1}^T h_\tau(x_\tau) \ge \frac{1}{e(T+1)^n}\prod_{\tau=1}^T h_\tau(x^*)∏τ=1T​hτ​(xτ​)≥e(T+1)n1​∏τ=1T​hτ​(x∗).

Significance

The result. Theorem 7 shows that exp-concavity alone suffices for logarithmic regret, with a constant n/αn/\alphan/α that does not depend on the size of PPP or on the gradients of the costs. Specialised to the log-loss ft(x)=−log⁡(rt⊤x)f_t(x) = -\log(r_t^\top x)ft​(x)=−log(rt⊤​x) on the simplex, where α=1\alpha = 1α=1, it recovers the O(nlog⁡T)O(n\log T)O(nlogT) regret of Cover's universal portfolio. The bound is the benchmark against which the computationally cheaper second-order methods of the same paper (Online Newton Step, Follow the Approximate Leader) are compared: those need a gradient bound GGG and diameter DDD and pay a factor (1/α+GD)(1/\alpha + GD)(1/α+GD).

Formalizing it. The theorem is proved in the paper, and a textbook version with a different constant, (n/α)log⁡T+2/α(n/\alpha)\log T + 2/\alpha(n/α)logT+2/α, appears in Hazan's Introduction to Online Convex Optimization (Theorem 4.4). No machine-checked proof of either is known. The work here is to formalize the paper's proof: Jensen's inequality for a weighted Lebesgue average in Rn\mathbb{R}^nRn, the change of volume under homothety, and the elementary inequality (1+1/T)T≤e(1 + 1/T)^T \le e(1+1/T)T≤e. A companion draft of the textbook version exists on the platform as a private item (OnlineConvexOpt.SecondOrder.ewoo_regret) with another constant; it is not reused.

Difficulty

The pieces are classical, but they have to be assembled in measure-theoretic form. The point xtx_txt​ is a Bochner integral of a vector-valued function over PPP, and its membership in PPP and the Jensen inequality both require the normalised weight wt dx/∫Pwtw_t\,dx/\int_P w_twt​dx/∫P​wt​ to be a genuine probability measure on PPP, with every integrand integrable. The obvious one-dimensional intuition — "the weighted mean of a convex set lies in the set" — hides the requirement that PPP be closed and have positive volume.

The second obstacle is that Eq. (18) compares the algorithm with an average of the product ∏hτ\prod h_\tau∏hτ​ over all of PPP, while the regret compares it with a single point. The natural attempt, bounding the average below by the value at the comparator, fails: the average can be far smaller than the maximum, and a lower bound that loses more than a factor polynomial in TTT destroys the logarithmic rate. Controlling this loss in nnn dimensions, with a constant independent of the shape and size of PPP, is the heart of the argument.

Formalization scope

Points live in EuclideanSpace ℝ (Fin n) with its Lebesgue (Haar) measure volume. Rounds are numbered from 111: the weights sum over Finset.Ico 1 t, the regret over Finset.Icc 1 T. Cost functions are defined on all of Rn\mathbb{R}^nRn; only their values on PPP enter. The algorithm is the total function ewooPoint P α f t, and the goal is stated for xtx_txt​ equal to it — not for an arbitrary sequence satisfying a Jensen-type inequality.

Conventions and corrections relative to the printed text:

  • Regret against every comparator. The regret is stated as ∑t(ft(xt)−ft(u))≤\sum_t (f_t(x_t) - f_t(u)) \le∑t​(ft​(xt​)−ft​(u))≤ bound for every u∈Pu \in Pu∈P, never through a real-valued ⨅ or sInf over PPP, which in Lean would return a junk value off its intended domain and trivialize the statement.
  • Positive volume volume P ≠ 0 is added: the algorithm divides by ∫Pwt\int_P w_t∫P​wt​, which the paper leaves implicit. Without it Lean's convention 0−1=00^{-1} = 00−1=0 would set xt=0x_t = 0xt​=0.
  • Continuity of each ftf_tft​ on PPP is the paper's standing assumption (§2.2: costs twice differentiable and convex) weakened to what the argument uses; it makes every integral in the development an integral of an integrable function.
  • Typos. Theorem 7's "ft:P→Rnf_t : P \to \mathbb{R}^nft​:P→Rn" is read as real-valued, and its "exp⁡(−αf(x))\exp(-\alpha f(x))exp(−αf(x))" as exp⁡(−αft(x))\exp(-\alpha f_t(x))exp(−αft​(x)). The set-builder "S={x∈S∣… }S = \{x \in S \mid \dots\}S={x∈S∣…}" defines SSS in terms of itself and is read as the set of all TT+1x∗+1T+1y\frac{T}{T+1}x^* + \frac{1}{T+1}yT+1T​x∗+T+11​y, y∈Py \in Py∈P; the printed "S=x∗+1T+1PS = x^* + \frac{1}{T+1}PS=x∗+T+11​P" is a translate of that set with the same volume.
  • Comparator. The paper's x∗x^*x∗ is a minimizer of ∑tft\sum_t f_t∑t​ft​; milestones 3 and 5 are stated for every x∗∈Px^* \in Px∗∈P, which implies the minimizer case.
  • Constant. The printed 1αn(1+log⁡(T+1))\frac{1}{\alpha}n(1+\log(T+1))α1​n(1+log(T+1)) is stated, although the proof gives the sharper 1α(1+nlog⁡(T+1))\frac{1}{\alpha}(1 + n\log(T+1))α1​(1+nlog(T+1)).
  • Not in scope. The randomized variant (sampling xtx_txt​ with density proportional to wtw_twt​, "in expectation") and the running-time discussion of §3.4.1 have no separate proof in the paper.

Infrastructure that a complete development needs, and that is reusable beyond this mission: Jensen's inequality for concave functions under a probability measure with a continuous density on a compact convex set (Mathlib has ConcaveOn.le_map_integral and Convex.integral_mem); the scaling identity for Haar measure (MeasureTheory.Measure.addHaar_smul); and the elementary bound (T/(T+1))T≥1/e(T/(T+1))^T \ge 1/e(T/(T+1))T≥1/e. Proofs of any milestone, and a general weighted-Jensen lemma usable across the milestones, are welcome.

Selected references

  • E. Hazan, A. Agarwal, S. Kale, Logarithmic regret algorithms for online convex optimization, Machine Learning 69 (2007), 169–192. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10994-007-5016-8
  • T. M. Cover, Universal portfolios, Mathematical Finance 1 (1991), 1–29. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1467-9965.1991.tb00002.x
  • A. Blum, A. Kalai, Universal portfolios with and without transaction costs, Machine Learning 35 (1999), 193–205 (COLT 1997). https://doi.org/10.1023/A:1007530728748
  • A. Kalai, S. Vempala, Efficient algorithms for universal portfolios, Journal of Machine Learning Research 3 (2003), 423–440. https://www.jmlr.org/papers/v3/kalai02a.html
  • M. Zinkevich, Online convex programming and generalized infinitesimal gradient ascent, ICML 2003. https://dl.acm.org/doi/10.5555/3041838.3041955
  • E. Hazan, Introduction to Online Convex Optimization, 2nd ed., MIT Press 2022; arXiv:1909.05207, Theorem 4.4. https://arxiv.org/abs/1909.05207
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Convex OptimizationMachine LearningOptimization·Captain: mikedeng1

Logarithmic Regret Algorithms for Online Convex Optimization 3: Logarithmic Regret of Follow the Approximate LeaderResearch Paper

Motivation

Online convex optimization models repeated decision making against an adversary: in each round a player chooses a point of a convex set, and only then learns the convex cost of that round. It covers online portfolio selection, online regression and routing, and it is the standard lens for analysing learning algorithms that must commit before seeing data. The figure of merit is regret, the player's total cost minus the cost of the best fixed decision in hindsight. For general convex costs regret Θ(T)\Theta(\sqrt T)Θ(T​) over TTT rounds is optimal; for costs with curvature it can be logarithmic.

Hazan, Agarwal and Kale (Mach Learn 69 (2007) 169–192) gave several algorithms with O(log⁡T)O(\log T)O(logT) regret for α\alphaα-exp-concave costs, the class that contains the log-loss of portfolio selection. This mission formalizes one of them, Follow the Approximate Leader (FTAL). It connects to the oldest online algorithm, Follow the Leader (FTL), which plays the minimiser of all past costs: FTAL is FTL run on quadratic lower models of the costs, and the paper's analysis shows that FTL itself has logarithmic regret on a class of curved costs.

Timeline. Zinkevich (2003) proved O(T)O(\sqrt T)O(T​) regret for online gradient descent on convex costs. Cover (1991) gave a universal portfolio with logarithmic regret for the log-loss, at a running time exponential in the dimension. Kalai and Vempala (2005) analysed perturbed Follow the Leader through the "be the leader" argument. Hazan, Agarwal and Kale (2007) gave efficient algorithms (Online Newton Step, FTAL, EWOO) with O(nlog⁡T)O(n \log T)O(nlogT) regret for exp-concave costs.

Setting

The decision set P⊆RnP \subseteq \mathbb{R}^nP⊆Rn is nonempty, convex, closed and bounded, and DDD bounds its diameter: ∥y−z∥2≤D\|y - z\|_2 \le D∥y−z∥2​≤D for y,z∈Py, z \in Py,z∈P. In rounds t=1,2,…t = 1, 2, \dotst=1,2,… the player picks xt∈Px_t \in Pxt​∈P and then pays ft(xt)f_t(x_t)ft​(xt​), where ftf_tft​ is a cost function differentiable at the points of PPP with gradient norm ∥∇ft(x)∥≤G\|\nabla f_t(x)\| \le G∥∇ft​(x)∥≤G on PPP. The cost ftf_tft​ is α\alphaα-exp-concave (α>0\alpha > 0α>0) if x↦exp⁡(−αft(x))x \mapsto \exp(-\alpha f_t(x))x↦exp(−αft​(x)) is concave on PPP. The regret over TTT rounds against a comparator u∈Pu \in Pu∈P is ∑t=1T(ft(xt)−ft(u))\sum_{t=1}^T \bigl(f_t(x_t) - f_t(u)\bigr)∑t=1T​(ft​(xt​)−ft​(u)).

Follow the Leader plays xt∈arg⁡min⁡x∈P∑τ=1t−1fτ(x)x_t \in \arg\min_{x \in P} \sum_{\tau=1}^{t-1} f_\tau(x)xt​∈argminx∈P​∑τ=1t−1​fτ​(x) (any point of PPP in round 1). Follow the Approximate Leader (version 1 of the paper's Fig. 3) with parameter β\betaβ plays FTL on the approximate costs

f~τ(x)=fτ(xτ)+∇τ⊤(x−xτ)+β2(x−xτ)⊤∇τ∇τ⊤(x−xτ),∇τ=∇fτ(xτ).\tilde f_\tau(x) = f_\tau(x_\tau) + \nabla_\tau^\top(x - x_\tau) + \frac{\beta}{2}(x - x_\tau)^\top \nabla_\tau\nabla_\tau^\top (x - x_\tau), \qquad \nabla_\tau = \nabla f_\tau(x_\tau).f~​τ​(x)=fτ​(xτ​)+∇τ⊤​(x−xτ​)+2β​(x−xτ​)⊤∇τ​∇τ⊤​(x−xτ​),∇τ​=∇fτ​(xτ​).

In the Lean development these are IsFTLRun P f x and IsFTALRun P β f x, predicates on a whole trajectory xxx.

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem 6

With β=12min⁡{1/(4GD),α}\beta = \tfrac12 \min\{1/(4GD), \alpha\}β=21​min{1/(4GD),α}, every FTAL run on α\alphaα-exp-concave costs satisfies, for every T≥1T \ge 1T≥1 and u∈Pu \in Pu∈P,

∑t=1T(ft(xt)−ft(u))≤64(1α+GD)n (log⁡T+1).\sum_{t=1}^T \bigl(f_t(x_t) - f_t(u)\bigr) \le 64\left(\frac1\alpha + GD\right) n\,(\log T + 1).t=1∑T​(ft​(xt​)−ft​(u))≤64(α1​+GD)n(logT+1).

This is the paper's statement with its constant, stated for the algorithm as defined, and for every adversarial sequence of costs.

Milestones

  1. Lemma 3: an α\alphaα-exp-concave cost with gradients bounded by GGG lies above the paraboloid f(y)+∇f(y)⊤(x−y)+β2(∇f(y)⊤(x−y))2f(y) + \nabla f(y)^\top(x-y) + \frac\beta2 (\nabla f(y)^\top (x - y))^2f(y)+∇f(y)⊤(x−y)+2β​(∇f(y)⊤(x−y))2 on PPP.
  2. Lemma 9: regret on lower surrogates that touch the costs at the played points dominates the true regret.
  3. Lemma 10: ∑tft(xt+1)≤∑tft(u)\sum_t f_t(x_{t+1}) \le \sum_t f_t(u)∑t​ft​(xt+1​)≤∑t​ft​(u) for an FTL run ("be the leader").
  4. Lemma 12: A−1∙(A−B)≤log⁡(∣A∣/∣B∣)A^{-1} \bullet (A - B) \le \log(|A|/|B|)A−1∙(A−B)≤log(∣A∣/∣B∣) for A⪰B≻0A \succeq B \succ 0A⪰B≻0.
  5. Lemma 11: ∑t=1Tut⊤Vt−1ut≤nlog⁡(r2T/ε+1)\sum_{t=1}^T u_t^\top V_t^{-1} u_t \le n\log(r^2T/\varepsilon + 1)∑t=1T​ut⊤​Vt−1​ut​≤nlog(r2T/ε+1) with Vt=∑τ≤tuτuτ⊤+εIV_t = \sum_{\tau \le t} u_\tau u_\tau^\top + \varepsilon IVt​=∑τ≤t​uτ​uτ⊤​+εI.
  6. Theorem 5 (corrected constant): FTL on costs gt(vt⊤x)g_t(v_t^\top x)gt​(vt⊤​x) with ∥vt∥≤R\|v_t\| \le R∥vt​∥≤R, ∣gt′∣≤b|g_t'| \le b∣gt′​∣≤b, gt′′≥ag_t'' \ge agt′′​≥a has regret at most nb2alog⁡(a2D2R2T2b2+1)+b2a\frac{nb^2}{a}\log\bigl(\frac{a^2D^2R^2T^2}{b^2} + 1\bigr) + \frac{b^2}{a}anb2​log(b2a2D2R2T2​+1)+ab2​.

Significance

Theorem 6 shows that a simple rule, re-solving a convex quadratic program over all past linearized costs, achieves O(nlog⁡T)O(n\log T)O(nlogT) regret on exp-concave costs, matching the Online Newton Step up to constants. Theorem 5 is of independent interest: it shows that unmodified Follow the Leader, which has linear regret on linear costs, has logarithmic regret whenever each cost is a strongly curved function of one linear form. Portfolio selection is such a case. The appendix lemmas (log-determinant potential, elliptical potential) are standard tools reused throughout the bandit and online-learning literature.

On formalization: the results are proved on paper; none is formalized. The Lean development provides a reusable encoding of Follow the Leader as a trajectory predicate, the "be the leader" reduction, the surrogate reduction for regret, and the matrix potential inequalities, which the Online Newton Step analysis also needs. The paper's printed statements of Theorem 5 and Lemma 10 contain errors (see below); this mission states corrected versions that suffice for the goal.

Difficulty

The obvious attempt, bounding each term ft(xt)−ft(xt+1)f_t(x_t) - f_t(x_{t+1})ft​(xt​)−ft​(xt+1​) by how far the leader moves, requires knowing how far the minimiser of a constrained problem moves when one cost is added. For unconstrained strongly convex quadratics this is an explicit Newton step, but here the minimiser lies in a general convex set and each cost contributes curvature in only one direction, so the accumulated curvature can be singular for many rounds and no per-round strong convexity is available. Turning the per-round movement into a sum that grows only like log⁡T\log TlogT, with the paper's explicit constant, is the core of the work; the printed Theorem 5 bound is negative for small TTT, so the constants must be tracked exactly rather than asymptotically.

Formalization scope

Points are in EuclideanSpace ℝ (Fin n) so that ∥⋅∥\|\cdot\|∥⋅∥ is the Euclidean norm; cost functions are functions on all of Rn\mathbb{R}^nRn, differentiable at the points of PPP, with Mathlib's gradient. Rounds are 111-based; x0x_0x0​ and f0f_0f0​ are unused. DDD is any upper bound on pairwise distances in PPP. Exp-concavity is ConcaveOn ℝ P (fun x => Real.exp (-α * f t x)). Algorithms are predicates on the trajectory, required at every round, so every tie-breaking rule is covered and adaptive adversaries are included.

Regret is always stated against every comparator u∈Pu \in Pu∈P. A formalization with a real-valued ⨅/sInf over PPP, or one that bounds the regret of an arbitrary sequence of points rather than of an FTAL run with the paper's β\betaβ, would be trivial or false, and is excluded: the goal carries IsFTALRun with β=12min⁡{1/(4GD),α}\beta = \frac12\min\{1/(4GD),\alpha\}β=21​min{1/(4GD),α}.

Corrections and conventions relative to the printed paper:

  • Theorem 5: the printed bound 2nb2a[log⁡(DRaT/b)+1]\frac{2nb^2}{a}[\log(DRaT/b) + 1]a2nb2​[log(DRaT/b)+1] is false when DRaT/b<1/eDRaT/b < 1/eDRaT/b<1/e. The milestone states the bound the paper's proof gives, nb2alog⁡(a2D2R2T2b2+1)+b2a\frac{nb^2}{a}\log(\frac{a^2D^2R^2T^2}{b^2} + 1) + \frac{b^2}{a}anb2​log(b2a2D2R2T2​+1)+ab2​, which implies the printed one when DRaT≥bDRaT \ge bDRaT≥b. Derivatives are deriv with explicit differentiability at the points vt⊤xv_t^\top xvt⊤​x, x∈Px \in Px∈P.
  • Lemma 10: printed with xt=arg⁡min⁡∑τ=1tfτx_t = \arg\min \sum_{\tau=1}^{t} f_\tauxt​=argmin∑τ=1t​fτ​, under which it is false at T=1T = 1T=1; the proof and its use require the FTL index ∑τ=1t−1\sum_{\tau=1}^{t-1}∑τ=1t−1​, which is stated.
  • Lemma 11: the typo ∑τutut⊤\sum_\tau u_t u_t^\top∑τ​ut​ut⊤​ is read as ∑τuτuτ⊤\sum_\tau u_\tau u_\tau^\top∑τ​uτ​uτ⊤​, and ε>0\varepsilon > 0ε>0 is stated.
  • Lemma 3: β>0\beta > 0β>0 is added (the proof divides by β\betaβ), and G,D>0G, D > 0G,D>0 so that 1/(4GD)1/(4GD)1/(4GD) is meaningful.
  • Theorem 6: "ft:P→Rnf_t : P \to \mathbb{R}^nft​:P→Rn" is read as R\mathbb{R}R-valued; only first-order differentiability is assumed; G,D>0G, D > 0G,D>0. The theorem is true as printed, although the paper's route through the printed Theorem 5 is invalid for T<16T < 16T<16.
  • Only version 1 of FTAL is formalized; Lemma 4 (equivalence with the pseudoinverse form) is out of scope.

Needed infrastructure: first-order optimality for convex minimisation over a convex set, a mean-value theorem along segments, determinants and eigenvalues of symmetric positive definite matrices (Mathlib has most of this), and the matrix inequality ∣A∣≤(tr⁡A/n)n|A| \le (\operatorname{tr} A/n)^n∣A∣≤(trA/n)n. Contributions welcome: proofs of any milestone, and a proof of the goal from the milestones.

Selected references

  • E. Hazan, A. Agarwal, S. Kale, Logarithmic regret algorithms for online convex optimization, Machine Learning 69 (2007), 169–192. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10994-007-5016-8
  • M. Zinkevich, Online convex programming and generalized infinitesimal gradient ascent, ICML 2003. https://dl.acm.org/doi/10.5555/3041838.3041955
  • T. M. Cover, Universal portfolios, Mathematical Finance 1 (1991), 1–29. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1467-9965.1991.tb00002.x
  • A. Kalai, S. Vempala, Efficient algorithms for online decision problems, J. Comput. System Sci. 71 (2005), 291–307. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jcss.2004.10.016
  • E. Hazan, Introduction to Online Convex Optimization, Foundations and Trends in Optimization 2 (2016). https://arxiv.org/abs/1909.05207
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Convex OptimizationMachine LearningOptimization·Captain: mikedeng1

Logarithmic Regret Algorithms for Online Convex Optimization 2: Logarithmic Regret of the Online Newton StepResearch Paper

Motivation

Online convex optimization models repeated decision making against an unknown, possibly adversarial environment: in each round t=1,…,Tt=1,\dots,Tt=1,…,T a player picks a point xtx_txt​ of a convex set P⊆Rn\mathcal P\subseteq\mathbb R^nP⊆Rn, and only then learns a convex cost function ftf_tft​ and pays ft(xt)f_t(x_t)ft​(xt​). Performance is measured by regret, the excess of the total cost over that of the best fixed point in hindsight. Zinkevich (ICML 2003) showed that online gradient descent has regret O(T)O(\sqrt T)O(T​) for arbitrary convex costs with bounded gradients, and this rate cannot be improved in general.

Many costs met in practice have more curvature than bare convexity. The log-loss f(x)=−log⁡(x⊤a)f(x)=-\log(x^\top a)f(x)=−log(x⊤a) of universal portfolio management (Cover, Math. Finance 1991) is not strongly convex, but it is exp-concave. Hazan, Agarwal and Kale (Mach Learn 69, 2007) gave the first efficient algorithms with regret logarithmic in TTT for exp-concave costs. This mission formalizes the second of their algorithms, the Online Newton Step (ONS), and its regret bound (Theorem 2 of the paper). ONS is the basis of later second-order online methods and appears as a standard algorithm in textbooks on online learning.

Timeline:

  • 2003 — Zinkevich: O(T)O(\sqrt T)O(T​) regret for general convex costs by online gradient descent.
  • 2006–2007 — Hazan, Agarwal, Kale (COLT 2006; Mach Learn 2007): O(log⁡T)O(\log T)O(logT) regret for strongly convex costs by gradient descent, and O(nlog⁡T)O(n\log T)O(nlogT) regret for exp-concave costs by ONS, Follow the Approximate Leader, and exponentially weighted online optimization.
  • 2016 — Hazan, Introduction to Online Convex Optimization (Found. Trends Optim., arXiv:1909.05207): textbook treatment of ONS with modified parameters.

Setting

The decision set P⊆Rn\mathcal P\subseteq\mathbb R^nP⊆Rn is nonempty, closed, bounded and convex, and DDD bounds its diameter: ∥x−y∥≤D\|x-y\|\le D∥x−y∥≤D for all x,y∈Px,y\in\mathcal Px,y∈P, with the Euclidean norm. The costs f1,f2,…f_1,f_2,\dotsf1​,f2​,… are real functions, differentiable at every point of P\mathcal PP, with gradient bound ∥∇ft(x)∥≤G\|\nabla f_t(x)\|\le G∥∇ft​(x)∥≤G on P\mathcal PP. A cost is α\alphaα-exp-concave (α>0\alpha>0α>0) if x↦exp⁡(−αft(x))x\mapsto\exp(-\alpha f_t(x))x↦exp(−αft​(x)) is concave on P\mathcal PP.

For a matrix AAA, the generalized projection ΠPA(y)\Pi^A_{\mathcal P}(y)ΠPA​(y) is a point of P\mathcal PP minimising (y−x)⊤A(y−x)(y-x)^\top A(y-x)(y−x)⊤A(y−x) over x∈Px\in\mathcal Px∈P.

The Online Newton Step fixes

β=12min⁡{14GD,α},ε=1β2D2,\beta=\tfrac12\min\Big\{\frac1{4GD},\alpha\Big\},\qquad \varepsilon=\frac1{\beta^2D^2},β=21​min{4GD1​,α},ε=β2D21​,

writes ∇t=∇ft(xt)\nabla_t=\nabla f_t(x_t)∇t​=∇ft​(xt​) and At=∑i=1t∇i∇i⊤+εInA_t=\sum_{i=1}^t\nabla_i\nabla_i^\top+\varepsilon I_nAt​=∑i=1t​∇i​∇i⊤​+εIn​, plays an arbitrary x1∈Px_1\in\mathcal Px1​∈P, and then

xt+1=ΠPAt(xt−1βAt−1∇t).x_{t+1}=\Pi^{A_t}_{\mathcal P}\Big(x_t-\frac1\beta A_t^{-1}\nabla_t\Big).xt+1​=ΠPAt​​(xt​−β1​At−1​∇t​).

The regret after TTT rounds against a comparator u∈Pu\in\mathcal Pu∈P is ∑t=1T(ft(xt)−ft(u))\sum_{t=1}^T\big(f_t(x_t)-f_t(u)\big)∑t=1T​(ft​(xt​)−ft​(u)); the paper's regret is its maximum over u∈Pu\in\mathcal Pu∈P.

In Lean the objects are LogRegretOCO.ONS.onsBeta, onsEps, onsMatrix, IsGenProj and IsONSRun, with the regularised Gram matrix regGram and the quadratic form quadForm.

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem 2 with nlog⁡T≥4n\log T\ge4nlogT≥4

For every run of ONS, every horizon TTT with nlog⁡T≥4n\log T\ge 4nlogT≥4, and every u∈Pu\in\mathcal Pu∈P,

∑t=1T(ft(xt)−ft(u))≤5(1α+GD) nlog⁡T.\sum_{t=1}^T\big(f_t(x_t)-f_t(u)\big)\le 5\Big(\frac1\alpha+GD\Big)\,n\log T.t=1∑T​(ft​(xt​)−ft​(u))≤5(α1​+GD)nlogT.

The added condition nlog⁡T≥4n\log T\ge4nlogT≥4 is what makes the printed constant correct (see Formalization scope).

Milestones

  1. Lemma 3 (p. 177): for 0<β≤12min⁡{1/(4GD),α}0<\beta\le\frac12\min\{1/(4GD),\alpha\}0<β≤21​min{1/(4GD),α} and x,y∈Px,y\in\mathcal Px,y∈P,
f(x)≥f(y)+∇f(y)⊤(x−y)+β2(∇f(y)⊤(x−y))2.f(x)\ge f(y)+\nabla f(y)^\top(x-y)+\tfrac\beta2\big(\nabla f(y)^\top(x-y)\big)^2 .f(x)≥f(y)+∇f(y)⊤(x−y)+2β​(∇f(y)⊤(x−y))2.
  1. Lemma 8 (p. 188): for convex P\mathcal PP, A⪰0A\succeq0A⪰0, z=ΠPA(y)z=\Pi^A_{\mathcal P}(y)z=ΠPA​(y) and a∈Pa\in\mathcal Pa∈P: (y−a)⊤A(y−a)≥(z−a)⊤A(z−a)(y-a)^\top A(y-a)\ge(z-a)^\top A(z-a)(y−a)⊤A(y−a)≥(z−a)⊤A(z−a).
  2. The display on p. 178: for every run of ONS and u∈Pu\in\mathcal Pu∈P,
∑t=1T(ft(xt)−ft(u))≤12β∑t=1T∇t⊤At−1∇t+12β.\sum_{t=1}^T\big(f_t(x_t)-f_t(u)\big)\le\frac1{2\beta}\sum_{t=1}^T\nabla_t^\top A_t^{-1}\nabla_t+\frac1{2\beta}.t=1∑T​(ft​(xt​)−ft​(u))≤2β1​t=1∑T​∇t⊤​At−1​∇t​+2β1​.
  1. Lemma 12 (p. 191): for A⪰B≻0A\succeq B\succ0A⪰B≻0, A−1∙(A−B)≤log⁡(∣A∣/∣B∣)A^{-1}\bullet(A-B)\le\log(|A|/|B|)A−1∙(A−B)≤log(∣A∣/∣B∣).
  2. Lemma 11 (p. 190): if ∥ut∥≤r\|u_t\|\le r∥ut​∥≤r, ε>0\varepsilon>0ε>0 and Vt=∑τ≤tuτuτ⊤+εInV_t=\sum_{\tau\le t}u_\tau u_\tau^\top+\varepsilon I_nVt​=∑τ≤t​uτ​uτ⊤​+εIn​, then ∑t=1Tut⊤Vt−1ut≤nlog⁡(r2T/ε+1)\sum_{t=1}^Tu_t^\top V_t^{-1}u_t\le n\log(r^2T/\varepsilon+1)∑t=1T​ut⊤​Vt−1​ut​≤nlog(r2T/ε+1).

Significance

Theorem 2 shows that exp-concavity alone, without strong convexity, suffices for regret logarithmic in TTT, at a per-round cost of one rank-one matrix update and one generalized projection. Its consequences include logarithmic regret for universal portfolio selection with a polynomial-time algorithm, and, by online-to-batch conversion, fast rates for stochastic exp-concave optimization. Lemma 11 (the elliptical potential bound) is used well beyond this paper, in linear bandits and online regression.

The result has been proved on paper since 2007. The remaining work is its machine-checked proof: the potential argument, the log-determinant inequality and the generalized-projection inequality for positive semidefinite matrices. As far as is known, none of these results is formalized in Mathlib. Prove2Me holds a related elliptical potential lemma for linear bandits (BanditAlgorithm.elliptical_potential_lemma, with Vt−1V_{t-1}Vt−1​ and a min⁡(1,⋅)\min(1,\cdot)min(1,⋅), a different statement) and the Euclidean case A=IA=IA=I of Lemma 8 (UnderstandingML.projection_lemma). The textbook version of ONS (OnlineConvexOpt.SecondOrder.online_newton_step_regret, with γ=12min⁡{1/(GD),α}\gamma=\frac12\min\{1/(GD),\alpha\}γ=21​min{1/(GD),α} and bound 2(1/α+GD)nlog⁡T2(1/\alpha+GD)n\log T2(1/α+GD)nlogT) is an open private draft with different parameters.

Difficulty

The obvious route to logarithmic regret, the gradient-descent argument of Theorem 1 with step sizes 1/(Ht)1/(Ht)1/(Ht), needs a uniform lower bound H>0H>0H>0 on the Hessians. Exp-concave costs such as the log-loss have no such bound: their curvature vanishes in directions orthogonal to the gradients seen so far. The analysis therefore has to track curvature only along the observed gradient directions. This requires a matrix-valued potential ∑t∇t⊤At−1∇t\sum_t\nabla_t^\top A_t^{-1}\nabla_t∑t​∇t⊤​At−1​∇t​ and a projection in the norm of AtA_tAt​ rather than the Euclidean norm. The Euclidean projection inequality does not transfer to this norm, which changes from round to round. Bounding the potential requires determinant inequalities for positive definite matrices. The analytic facts are elementary, but their Lean statements involve the interaction of EuclideanSpace, Matrix.mulVec, Matrix.inv and Matrix.det.

Formalization scope

Points live in EuclideanSpace ℝ (Fin n), so all norms are Euclidean; matrices are Matrix (Fin n) (Fin n) ℝ acting on coordinate vectors. Rounds are 1-based: sums run over Finset.Icc 1 T and the index 000 is unused. Cost functions are ambient functions Rn→R\mathbb R^n\to\mathbb RRn→R, differentiable at the points of P\mathcal PP, with ∇ft\nabla f_t∇ft​ given by Mathlib's gradient. The paper's standing assumptions of convexity and twice differentiability are not needed and are omitted. DDD enters only as an upper bound on distances in P\mathcal PP. The generalized projection is a predicate that every minimiser satisfies, and ONS is the predicate IsONSRun on the whole trajectory, so the goal covers every tie-break and every adaptive adversary.

Corrections and added hypotheses:

  • Theorem 2 is false as printed at T=1T=1T=1. Take n=1n=1n=1, P=[−1,1]\mathcal P=[-1,1]P=[−1,1], f1(x)=x2f_1(x)=x^2f1​(x)=x2, α=12\alpha=\frac12α=21​, G=D=2G=D=2G=D=2 and x1=1x_1=1x1​=1: the regret is 111 and the bound is 000. The paper's proof gives 4(1/α+GD)(nlog⁡T+1)4(1/\alpha+GD)(n\log T+1)4(1/α+GD)(nlogT+1) for T≥2T\ge2T≥2; the final sentence drops the additive 1/(2β)1/(2\beta)1/(2β) of the p. 178 display. The goal adds nlog⁡T≥4n\log T\ge4nlogT≥4, under which the printed constant 555 follows.
  • G,D,α>0G,D,\alpha>0G,D,α>0 are assumed wherever β\betaβ or ε\varepsilonε appear: they are the non-degeneracy the formulas presuppose (in Lean, 1/0=01/0=01/0=0).
  • Lemma 3 adds 0<β0<\beta0<β; the proof divides by β\betaβ.
  • Lemma 11 adds ε>0\varepsilon>0ε>0 and reads the printed ∑τ=1tutut⊤\sum_{\tau=1}^tu_tu_t^\top∑τ=1t​ut​ut⊤​ as ∑τ=1tuτuτ⊤\sum_{\tau=1}^tu_\tau u_\tau^\top∑τ=1t​uτ​uτ⊤​.
  • Lemma 12's product ∙\bullet∙ is the entrywise inner product ∑i,jCijEij\sum_{i,j}C_{ij}E_{ij}∑i,j​Cij​Eij​, written out as a double sum.
  • The printed "ft:P→Rnf_t:\mathcal P\to\mathbb R^nft​:P→Rn" is read as ft:P→Rf_t:\mathcal P\to\mathbb Rft​:P→R, and "ΠSnAt\Pi^{A_t}_{S_n}ΠSn​At​​" on p. 177 as ΠPAt\Pi^{A_t}_{\mathcal P}ΠPAt​​.

Regret is stated against every comparator u∈Pu\in\mathcal Pu∈P, never as a real infimum ⨅ over P\mathcal PP, which is junk-valued in Lean on unbounded or empty sets. The goal is a statement about runs of the paper's algorithm with the paper's β\betaβ, ε\varepsilonε and AtA_tAt​. A bound for an arbitrary sequence satisfying the p. 178 display would be a milestone, not Theorem 2. The hypotheses are jointly satisfiable: the closed unit ball with ft(x)=∥x∥2/2f_t(x)=\|x\|^2/2ft​(x)=∥x∥2/2, α=1\alpha=1α=1, G=1G=1G=1, D=2D=2D=2 is a model.

A complete development needs: first-order conditions for concave functions on convex sets at boundary points; the optimality condition for minimising a convex quadratic over a convex set; spectral facts about symmetric positive definite matrices (square roots, eigenvalues, tr⁡\operatorname{tr}tr and det⁡\detdet); and the telescoping of log-determinants. Lemmas 8, 11 and 12 are reusable beyond this mission, in the sibling missions of this series (Follow the Approximate Leader) and in linear-bandit analyses. Proofs of any milestone are welcome, as are alternative proofs of Lemma 12 through concavity of log⁡det⁡\log\detlogdet.

Selected references

  • E. Hazan, A. Agarwal, S. Kale, Logarithmic regret algorithms for online convex optimization, Machine Learning 69 (2007), 169–192. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10994-007-5016-8
  • M. Zinkevich, Online convex programming and generalized infinitesimal gradient ascent, ICML 2003. https://dl.acm.org/doi/10.5555/3041838.3041955
  • T. M. Cover, Universal portfolios, Mathematical Finance 1 (1991), 1–29. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1467-9965.1991.tb00002.x
  • E. Hazan, Introduction to Online Convex Optimization, Foundations and Trends in Optimization 2 (2016); 2nd ed. arXiv:1909.05207. https://arxiv.org/abs/1909.05207
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OptimizationProbability·Captain: mikedeng1

Optimizing Strategic Safety Stock Placement in Supply Chains: Binding Base Stocks Are Optimal in a Serial System without Guaranteed Internal ServiceResearch Paper

Motivation

Where to hold safety stock in a multi-stage supply chain is a basic question of inventory planning. Graves and Willems (MSOM 2(1), 2000) optimize safety-stock placement under the guaranteed-service assumption: each stage quotes a service time to its customers and always meets it. That assumption makes the placement problem tractable, and it is the basis of the dynamic program in the body of the paper and of later work built on it. It also has a price. A stage that promises a service time must hold enough stock to keep the promise even when it would be cheaper to let a downstream stage absorb an occasional delay.

The paper's Appendix measures that price in the simplest setting where it can be computed exactly. The setting is a serial chain in which internal stages promise nothing and only the external customer is guaranteed 100% service. Its one theorem, called the Result, characterizes the optimal base stocks of this relaxed model in closed form. The paper then compares that policy with the guaranteed-service optimum on 36 test instances. The guaranteed-service counterpart of this serial model, Simpson's all-or-nothing property of optimal service times, is on Prove2Me as a separate statement (SupplyChainTheory.gs_all_or_nothing, from Snyder and Shen's textbook). This mission formalizes the other side of the comparison.

Setting

A serial supply chain has NNN stages. Stage 111 is the demand node and stage iii supplies stage i−1i-1i−1 for i=2,…,Ni = 2, \dots, Ni=2,…,N. Time is discrete, with periods t∈Zt \in \mathbb{Z}t∈Z. Stage iii has a deterministic lead time Ti∈NT_i \in \mathbb{N}Ti​∈N and a base stock Bi∈RB_i \in \mathbb{R}Bi​∈R. It follows a base-stock policy: in each period it observes end-item demand and orders that amount from its supplier.

The end-item demand in period ttt is d(t)d(t)d(t). The window demand is d(a,b]=d(a+1)+⋯+d(b)d(a, b] = d(a+1) + \dots + d(b)d(a,b]=d(a+1)+⋯+d(b), which is 000 when a≥ba \ge ba≥b. The demand bound D:N→RD : \mathbb{N} \to \mathbb{R}D:N→R gives D(τ)D(\tau)D(τ), the maximum possible end-item demand over τ\tauτ periods, with D(0)=0D(0) = 0D(0)=0.

The backlog Qi(t)Q_i(t)Qi​(t) is the amount the customer of stage iii has ordered but not yet received. It satisfies the recursion (A1):

Qi(t)=[d(t−Ti,t]+Qi+1(t−Ti)−Bi]+,QN+1≡0.Q_i(t) = \bigl[d(t - T_i, t] + Q_{i+1}(t - T_i) - B_i\bigr]^+, \qquad Q_{N+1} \equiv 0 .Qi​(t)=[d(t−Ti​,t]+Qi+1​(t−Ti​)−Bi​]+,QN+1​≡0.

Unrolling it gives the closed max-form (A2). The external customer receives 100% service when Q1(t)=0Q_1(t) = 0Q1​(t)=0 for all ttt. When demand never exceeds its bound, this is ensured by the service constraints

B1+⋯+Bi≥D(T1+⋯+Ti),i=1,…,N.(A3)B_1 + \dots + B_i \ge D(T_1 + \dots + T_i), \qquad i = 1, \dots, N. \tag{A3}B1​+⋯+Bi​≥D(T1​+⋯+Ti​),i=1,…,N.(A3)

Let hih_ihi​ be the holding cost at stage iii and ei=hi−hi+1e_i = h_i - h_{i+1}ei​=hi​−hi+1​ the echelon holding cost. After constant terms are dropped, the expected holding cost gives program P∗\mathbf P^*P∗:

min⁡B ∑i=1NhiBi−∑i=2Nei−1E[Qi]s.t. (A3) and Bi≥0.\min_B\ \sum_{i=1}^N h_i B_i - \sum_{i=2}^N e_{i-1} E[Q_i] \quad\text{s.t. (A3) and } B_i \ge 0 .Bmin​ i=1∑N​hi​Bi​−i=2∑N​ei−1​E[Qi​]s.t. (A3) and Bi​≥0.

Demand is random, and E[Qi]E[Q_i]E[Qi​] is the expected backlog at stage iii in a period ttt.

Formalization targets

Goal: the Result, Eq. (A6)

If the echelon holding costs are nonnegative and DDD is nondecreasing, then an optimal solution of P∗\mathbf P^*P∗ is

B1=D(T1),Bi=D(T1+⋯+Ti)−D(T1+⋯+Ti−1),i=2,…,N.(A6)B_1 = D(T_1), \qquad B_i = D(T_1 + \dots + T_i) - D(T_1 + \dots + T_{i-1}), \quad i = 2, \dots, N. \tag{A6}B1​=D(T1​),Bi​=D(T1​+⋯+Ti​)−D(T1​+⋯+Ti−1​),i=2,…,N.(A6)

Formally, (A6) is feasible, and for every period ttt its objective value is at most that of every feasible vector. The goal names this vector and compares it with every feasible BBB. The weaker claim that "some optimal solution binds all of (A3)" would not be enough.

Milestones

  1. Eq. (A2). The closed max-form of Qi(t)Q_i(t)Qi​(t), derived from the recursion (A1).
  2. Eq. (A3). Under the demand bound d(a,a+s]≤D(s)d(a, a+s] \le D(s)d(a,a+s]≤D(s), the constraints (A3) force Q1≡0Q_1 \equiv 0Q1​≡0 (sufficiency).
  3. (A6) is feasible and is the unique binding solution of (A3).
  4. Backlog bounds under a transfer. Moving Δ≥0\Delta \ge 0Δ≥0 units of base stock from stage kkk to stage k+1k+1k+1 leaves E[Qi]E[Q_i]E[Qi​] unchanged for i>k+1i > k+1i>k+1 and raises it by at most Δ\DeltaΔ for i≤ki \le ki≤k. It lowers E[Qk+1]E[Q_{k+1}]E[Qk+1​] by at most Δ\DeltaΔ.
  5. Eqs. (A7)–(A8). For k<Nk < Nk<N, the transfer that makes the kkk-th constraint binding keeps the vector feasible and does not raise the objective.
  6. The case k=Nk = Nk=N. Lowering BNB_NBN​ until the NNN-th constraint binds does not raise the objective.

Significance

The Result shows that, without guaranteed internal service, the optimal base stocks do not depend on the holding costs, provided the echelon costs are nonnegative. Each stage then covers exactly the increment of maximal demand that its own lead time adds. This closed form is the benchmark against which the paper measures the cost of guaranteed service: 26% more safety-stock holding cost on average over its test problems. The paper also remarks, without proof, that Rosling's transformation extends the Result to assembly systems.

The Result is proved in the paper. As far as is known, neither it nor the backlog identity (A2) has been machine-checked. A complete development would yield a verified model of serial base-stock backlogs under bounded demand. It would also verify an exchange argument that recurs in multi-echelon inventory theory: moving stock toward the customer, with echelon costs controlling the sign of the change.

Difficulty

The objective is not linear in BBB. Each E[Qi]E[Q_i]E[Qi​] is a convex, nonsmooth function of Bi,…,BNB_i, \dots, B_NBi​,…,BN​ through the maximum in (A2), and the objective subtracts these terms, so P∗\mathbf P^*P∗ minimizes a concave function over a polyhedron. The obvious approaches are linear-programming duality and convex first-order optimality conditions on P∗\mathbf P^*P∗, and neither applies. The result is a comparison of objective values between arbitrary feasible vectors and (A6). It has to hold pathwise under every demand distribution, and it then has to be carried through expectations. The hypotheses the Result leaves implicit must be recovered from the rest of the paper. Two of them, stated below, are necessary.

Formalization scope

Stages are natural numbers read on the range {1,…,N}\{1, \dots, N\}{1,…,N}. Lead times are natural numbers cast to Z\mathbb{Z}Z. Base stocks, holding costs and the demand bound are real-valued. A base-stock vector is a function N→R\mathbb{N} \to \mathbb{R}N→R, and only indices 1,…,N1, \dots, N1,…,N are read. The backlog is defined by the recursion (A1), computed in N+1−iN + 1 - iN+1−i steps, with Qi≡0Q_i \equiv 0Qi​≡0 for i>Ni > Ni>N. The closed form (A2) is a theorem. Randomness is a probability space (Ω,μ)(\Omega, \mu)(Ω,μ) with a demand path d(ω,⋅)d(\omega, \cdot)d(ω,⋅) whose value in each period is integrable. The integrability of the backlog is not assumed; it follows from the integrability of demand.

The page's informal words are read as follows:

  • "The echelon holding costs are nonnegative" means hi−hi+1≥0h_i - h_{i+1} \ge 0hi​−hi+1​≥0 for 1≤i<N1 \le i < N1≤i<N, and hN≥0h_N \ge 0hN​≥0, i.e. eN≥0e_N \ge 0eN​≥0 with hN+1:=0h_{N+1} := 0hN+1​:=0. The case k=Nk = Nk=N of the proof uses hN≥0h_N \ge 0hN​≥0. Without it the Result is false (N=1N = 1N=1, h1<0h_1 < 0h1​<0).
  • D(0)=0D(0) = 0D(0)=0 is the paper's convention (§2, p. 70) and is added as a hypothesis. Without it (A6) can be infeasible (D≡−1D \equiv -1D≡−1 is nondecreasing).
  • "D( )D(\,)D() is a nondecreasing function" means Monotone D on N\mathbb{N}N.
  • "An optimal solution to P∗\mathbf P^*P∗" means feasible, with objective at most that of every feasible vector.
  • "E[Qi]E[Q_i]E[Qi​]" means the expectation of Qi(t)Q_i(t)Qi​(t) at a fixed period ttt. Every statement holds for all ttt, and stationarity is not assumed. The paper writes E[Qi]E[Q_i]E[Qi​] without ttt because its demand is stationary, and this reading is at least as strong.
  • The demand bound d(a,a+s]≤D(s)d(a, a+s] \le D(s)d(a,a+s]≤D(s) appears only in milestone 2. The Result does not use it, so it is not a hypothesis of the goal.
  • Eq. (A3) is formalized in the sufficiency direction only. The page's necessity remark ("as we assume that the demand bounds can be realized") is not stated.

A non-integrable backlog would make its Bochner integral 000 and erase the backlog terms of the objective. The formalization rules this out by assuming integrable demand, which makes the backlogs integrable; it does not assume the backlogs themselves integrable. Out of scope: the spanning-tree dynamic program of §5, the unproved remarks of §§3–4, the Rosling extension, the Kodak application and the computational study.

Useful contributions include a proof of (A2) by downward induction on stages, the integrability of Qi(t)Q_i(t)Qi​(t), the pathwise version of milestone 4, and the iteration argument that assembles milestones 3, 5 and 6 into the goal.

Selected references

  • S. C. Graves and S. P. Willems, Optimizing Strategic Safety Stock Placement in Supply Chains, Manufacturing & Service Operations Management 2(1):68–83, 2000. https://doi.org/10.1287/msom.2.1.68.23267
  • K. F. Simpson, In-Process Inventories, Operations Research 6(6):863–873, 1958. https://doi.org/10.1287/opre.6.6.863
  • K. Rosling, Optimal Inventory Policies for Assembly Systems under Random Demands, Operations Research 37(4):565–579, 1989. https://doi.org/10.1287/opre.37.4.565
  • L. V. Snyder and Z.-J. M. Shen, Fundamentals of Supply Chain Theory, Wiley, 2nd ed., 2019. https://doi.org/10.1002/9781119584445
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Bandit AlgorithmsMachine LearningProbability·Captain: mikedeng1

Online Network Revenue Management Using Thompson Sampling: Bayesian Regret of TS-fixedResearch Paper

Motivation

A retailer who sells several products from shared, non-replenishable inventory over a finite season must set prices without knowing how demand responds to them. Every price posted is both a sale and an experiment. This is the network revenue management problem with demand learning, and it sits between two literatures: dynamic pricing with inventory, where demand is known and the fluid linear program of Gallego and van Ryzin (1997) is the standard benchmark, and multi-armed bandits, where learning is the whole problem but there are no resource constraints.

Ferreira, Simchi-Levi and Wang (Oper. Res. 2018) combine Thompson sampling with a linear-programming step: sample a demand model from the posterior, solve the fluid LP for that model, and randomize prices according to its solution. The same paper extends the scheme to continuous price sets, contextual pricing and bandits with knapsacks.

Timeline of the relevant results:

  • 1997: Gallego and van Ryzin introduce the fluid LP upper bound for network revenue management with known demand.
  • 2012: Besbes and Zeevi give a non-Bayesian network pricing algorithm with worst-case regret O(K5/3T2/3log⁡T)O(K^{5/3}T^{2/3}\sqrt{\log T})O(K5/3T2/3logT​).
  • 2013: Badanidiyuru, Kleinberg and Slivkins (bandits with knapsacks) give worst-case regret O(KTlog⁡T)O(\sqrt{KT\log T})O(KTlogT​).
  • 2013–2014: Bubeck and Liu and Russo and Van Roy give prior-free Bayesian regret bounds for Thompson sampling in unconstrained bandits.
  • 2018: Ferreira, Simchi-Levi and Wang prove the O(TKlog⁡K)O(\sqrt{TK\log K})O(TKlogK​) Bayesian regret bound for TS-fixed (Theorem 1), the target of this mission.

Setting

There are NNN products and MMM resources. One unit of product iii consumes aij≥0a_{ij}\ge0aij​≥0 units of resource jjj, and resource jjj starts with inventory Ij≥0I_j\ge0Ij​≥0 that is never replenished. The season has TTT periods. In each period the retailer posts one of KKK price vectors pk=(p1k,…,pNk)p_k=(p_{1k},\dots,p_{Nk})pk​=(p1k​,…,pNk​) or a shut-off price p∞p_\inftyp∞​ under which demand is zero.

Given the posted price pkp_kpk​, the demand vector D(t)∈R+ND(t)\in\mathbb R^N_+D(t)∈R+N​ has law F(⋅ ;pk,θ)F(\cdot\,;p_k,\theta)F(⋅;pk​,θ), where θ∈Θ\theta\in\Thetaθ∈Θ is unknown and drawn from a known, arbitrary prior μ0\mu_0μ0​. Demand is independent of the past given the posted price and θ\thetaθ, and is bounded: Di(t)∈[0,dˉi]D_i(t)\in[0,\bar d_i]Di​(t)∈[0,dˉi​]. Write dik(ρ)d_{ik}(\rho)dik​(ρ) for the mean demand of product iii under pkp_kpk​ and parameter ρ\rhoρ, and d=d(θ)d=d(\theta)d=d(θ).

When inventory covers all demand, all demand is sold. Otherwise the satisfied demand D~(t)\tilde D(t)D~(t) satisfies 0≤D~i(t)≤Di(t)0\le\tilde D_i(t)\le D_i(t)0≤D~i​(t)≤Di​(t), leaves every inventory nonnegative, and leaves at least one resource at zero; no other rule is imposed. Revenue is Rev(T)=∑t∑iD~i(t)Pi(t)\mathrm{Rev}(T)=\sum_t\sum_i\tilde D_i(t)P_i(t)Rev(T)=∑t​∑i​D~i​(t)Pi​(t).

For a mean-demand matrix ddd and capacities cj=Ij/Tc_j=I_j/Tcj​=Ij​/T, the linear program LP(d)\mathrm{LP}(d)LP(d) is

max⁡x≥0 ∑k=1K(∑i=1Npikdik)xks.t.∑k=1K(∑i=1Naijdik)xk≤cj  ∀j,∑k=1Kxk≤1,\max_{x\ge0}\ \sum_{k=1}^K\Bigl(\sum_{i=1}^N p_{ik}d_{ik}\Bigr)x_k\quad\text{s.t.}\quad\sum_{k=1}^K\Bigl(\sum_{i=1}^N a_{ij}d_{ik}\Bigr)x_k\le c_j\ \ \forall j,\qquad\sum_{k=1}^K x_k\le1,x≥0max​ k=1∑K​(i=1∑N​pik​dik​)xk​s.t.k=1∑K​(i=1∑N​aij​dik​)xk​≤cj​  ∀j,k=1∑K​xk​≤1,

with optimal value OPT(d)\mathrm{OPT}(d)OPT(d).

TS-fixed (Algorithm 1): in each period, sample θ(t)\theta(t)θ(t) from the posterior of θ\thetaθ given the history of posted prices and observed demands; let x(t)x(t)x(t) be an optimal solution of LP(d(θ(t)))\mathrm{LP}(d(\theta(t)))LP(d(θ(t))); post pkp_kpk​ with probability xk(t)x_k(t)xk​(t) and p∞p_\inftyp∞​ with the remaining probability; observe demand and update the posterior.

Finally pmax⁡=max⁡k∑ipikdˉip_{\max}=\max_k\sum_ip_{ik}\bar d_ipmax​=maxk​∑i​pik​dˉi​ and pmax⁡j=max⁡i:aij≠0, kpik/aijp^j_{\max}=\max_{i:a_{ij}\neq0,\,k}p_{ik}/a_{ij}pmaxj​=maxi:aij​=0,k​pik​/aij​.

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem 1 against the LP benchmark

For K≥2K\ge2K≥2, T≥1T\ge1T≥1, every prior, every bounded demand family, every admissible fulfilment rule and every run of TS-fixed,

E[OPT(d)]⋅T−E[Rev(T)] ≤ (18 pmax⁡+37∑i=1N∑j=1Mpmax⁡jaijdˉi)TKlog⁡K.\mathbb E\bigl[\mathrm{OPT}(d)\bigr]\cdot T-\mathbb E\bigl[\mathrm{Rev}(T)\bigr]\ \le\ \Bigl(18\,p_{\max}+37\sum_{i=1}^N\sum_{j=1}^M p^j_{\max}a_{ij}\bar d_i\Bigr)\sqrt{TK\log K}.E[OPT(d)]⋅T−E[Rev(T)] ≤ (18pmax​+37i=1∑N​j=1∑M​pmaxj​aij​dˉi​)TKlogK​.

The paper prints this bound for BayesRegret(T)=E[Rev∗(T)]−E[Rev(T)]\mathrm{BayesRegret}(T)=\mathbb E[\mathrm{Rev}^*(T)]-\mathbb E[\mathrm{Rev}(T)]BayesRegret(T)=E[Rev∗(T)]−E[Rev(T)], where Rev∗\mathrm{Rev}^*Rev∗ is the revenue of the optimal policy that knows θ\thetaθ; see Formalization scope for why the LP benchmark is stated instead.

Milestones

The article states Theorem 1 and says that its proof is in the online appendix (Supplemental Material at the DOI). The article itself contains no numbered lemma. The milestone list is therefore empty; the appendix's lemmas will be added as milestones once the appendix is held.

Significance

The bound is prior-free and has explicit constants that depend only on prices, consumption rates and demand bounds. Its dependence on TTT matches the Ω(KT)\Omega(\sqrt{KT})Ω(KT​) lower bound for Bayesian regret in unconstrained bandits with rewards in [0,1][0,1][0,1], a special case of the model with no inventory constraints (Bubeck and Cesa-Bianchi 2012, Theorem 3.5). It shows that the posterior-sampling principle survives the addition of resource constraints, lost sales and randomized LP-based pricing, and it is the template for the paper's later results (TS-update, contextual pricing, bandits with knapsacks).

The theorem is proved on paper but, as far as a platform search shows, not formalized anywhere. The platform has a formal proof of the unconstrained Bayesian Thompson sampling bound knlog⁡k/2\sqrt{kn\log k/2}knlogk/2​ (BanditAlgorithm.thompson_sampling_bayesian_regret, Lattimore–Szepesvári Theorem 36.5) and an open single-product deterministic upper bound in revenue management (RevenueManagement.deterministic_upper_bound). Neither has inventory, an LP subroutine, or lost sales. A formal proof here would supply the first machine-checked analysis of Thompson sampling under resource constraints and would check the paper's constants.

Difficulty

In an unconstrained bandit, Thompson sampling's regret reduces to a sum of per-period gaps between an upper confidence bound and the sampled reward, because the sampled optimal arm and the true optimal arm are identically distributed given the history. Here the action is a randomized mixture x(t)x(t)x(t) from an LP, the reward is not additive in the prices chosen, and revenue is lost when inventory runs out. Two quantities must be controlled: the revenue the algorithm would collect if all demand could be served, and the revenue lost to stock-outs. The second depends on the random time at which each resource is exhausted under a pricing rule that was optimized for a sampled, not the true, demand, and on an arbitrary fulfilment rule once some resource is empty. Standard bandit arguments do not bound such lost sales, which are a nonlinear function of the whole trajectory.

Formalization scope

Lean representation. Products, resources and price vectors are indexed by Fin N, Fin M, Fin K; the posted price is an Option (Fin K) with none the shut-off price. Periods are 0-based (t=0,…,T−1t=0,\dots,T-1t=0,…,T−1 stands for the paper's 1,…,T1,\dots,T1,…,T). Θ\ThetaΘ is a standard Borel space with a probability measure μ0\mu_0μ0​; demand is a Markov kernel FFF from Θ×\Theta\timesΘ×Fin K to RN\mathbb R^NRN, bounded in [0,dˉi][0,\bar d_i][0,dˉi​] for every parameter. A run of TS-fixed is a family of random variables on a probability space satisfying, almost surely and via conditional expectations: θ∼μ0\theta\sim\mu_0θ∼μ0​; the posterior-sampling property of θ(t)\theta(t)θ(t) given everything before period ttt; the price draw with probabilities x(θ(t))x(\theta(t))x(θ(t)) for a measurable optimal LP selection xxx; the demand law given the past, θ(t)\theta(t)θ(t) and the posted price; and fulfilment rules (a)/(b). The logarithm is natural. Prices, consumption and inventory are nonnegative (implicit in the paper). OPT(d)\mathrm{OPT}(d)OPT(d) is a supremum over a nonempty bounded feasible set, so it has no junk value.

Corrections to the printed statement.

  1. K≥2K\ge2K≥2 is added. At K=1K=1K=1 the printed right-hand side is 000, yet on a one-price instance with Bernoulli(0.8)(0.8)(0.8) demand, I=T/2I=T/2I=T/2 and a point-mass prior, TS-fixed loses about 0.2pT0.2p\sqrt T0.2pT​ in expectation.
  2. The LP benchmark replaces E[Rev∗(T)]\mathbb E[\mathrm{Rev}^*(T)]E[Rev∗(T)]. Section 3.1.1 bounds E[Rev∗(T)∣d]\mathbb E[\mathrm{Rev}^*(T)\mid d]E[Rev∗(T)∣d] by OPT(d)⋅T\mathrm{OPT}(d)\cdot TOPT(d)⋅T, citing Gallego–van Ryzin. Under the paper's fulfilment rule this fails when products use disjoint resources: with two products, I=(T,1)I=(T,1)I=(T,1), p1=(1,0)p_1=(1,0)p1​=(1,0), p2=(1/2,0)p_2=(1/2,0)p2​=(1/2,0) and deterministic demand (1,1)(1,1)(1,1), the known-θ\thetaθ policy earns at least TTT while OPT(d)⋅T=1\mathrm{OPT}(d)\cdot T=1OPT(d)⋅T=1. The paper states that its proof bounds the gap to "the LP benchmark defined in Section 3.1.1" (p. 1594), and the last display of Section 3.1.1 bounds BayesRegret(T)\mathrm{BayesRegret}(T)BayesRegret(T) by exactly E[OPT(d)]⋅T−E[Rev(T)]\mathbb E[\mathrm{OPT}(d)]\cdot T-\mathbb E[\mathrm{Rev}(T)]E[OPT(d)]⋅T−E[Rev(T)]. Wherever the Gallego–van Ryzin bound holds, the corrected goal implies the printed one.

Ruled out. A bound for the "ideal" revenue ∑iDi(t)Pi(t)\sum_iD_i(t)P_i(t)∑i​Di​(t)Pi​(t) instead of the satisfied revenue, or for an arbitrary policy whose prices are merely close to the LP solution, is not Theorem 1; the goal carries the full TS-fixed run and the lost-sales accounting.

Infrastructure needed. Posterior-sampling identities for general (standard Borel) priors, a Hoeffding/Azuma-type concentration for bounded demand along the price-selection process, LP sensitivity with respect to the mean-demand matrix, and a pathwise bound on lost sales under an arbitrary fulfilment rule. The LP and fluid-benchmark definitions are reusable for later missions on TS-update (Theorem 2), contextual pricing (Theorem 4) and bandits with knapsacks (Theorem 5). Contributions welcome: proofs of the goal, and formal statements of the online appendix's lemmas.

Selected references

  • K. J. Ferreira, D. Simchi-Levi, H. Wang, Online Network Revenue Management Using Thompson Sampling, Operations Research 66(6):1586–1602, 2018. https://doi.org/10.1287/opre.2018.1755
  • G. Gallego, G. van Ryzin, A Multiproduct Dynamic Pricing Problem and Its Applications to Network Yield Management, Operations Research 45(1):24–41, 1997. https://doi.org/10.1287/opre.45.1.24
  • O. Besbes, A. Zeevi, Blind Network Revenue Management, Operations Research 60(6):1537–1550, 2012. https://doi.org/10.1287/opre.1120.1057
  • A. Badanidiyuru, R. Kleinberg, A. Slivkins, Bandits with Knapsacks, FOCS 2013. https://arxiv.org/abs/1305.2545
  • S. Bubeck, C.-Y. Liu, Prior-free and Prior-dependent Regret Bounds for Thompson Sampling, NeurIPS 2013. https://arxiv.org/abs/1311.0466
  • D. Russo, B. Van Roy, Learning to Optimize via Posterior Sampling, Mathematics of Operations Research 39(4):1221–1243, 2014. https://doi.org/10.1287/moor.2014.0650
  • S. Bubeck, N. Cesa-Bianchi, Regret Analysis of Stochastic and Nonstochastic Multi-armed Bandit Problems, Foundations and Trends in Machine Learning 5(1), 2012. https://arxiv.org/abs/1204.5721
  • T. Lattimore, C. Szepesvári, Bandit Algorithms, Cambridge University Press, 2020, Chapter 36. https://doi.org/10.1017/9781108571401
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CombinatoricsOptimizationProbability+1·Captain: mikedeng1

Maximizing Non-Monotone Submodular Functions I: A Uniformly Random Set Achieves 1/4 of the Optimum, and 1/2 for Symmetric FunctionsResearch Paper

Motivation

Many combinatorial optimization problems ask for a subset of a finite ground set that maximizes a set function with diminishing returns: Max Cut and Max Directed Cut in graphs, facility location, maximum entropy sampling, and welfare problems in combinatorial auctions all fit this pattern. The common abstraction is the maximization of a submodular function, the discrete analogue of a concave function. Unlike the monotone case, where the objective only grows as elements are added, the non-monotone problem has no constraint at all and is still NP-hard, since Max Cut is a special case.

For Max Cut and Max Directed Cut, the simplest algorithm there is, putting every vertex on a side by an independent fair coin, already cuts half, respectively a quarter, of the optimum in expectation. Feige, Mirrokni and Vondrák (SIAM J. Comput. 40(4), 2011; extended abstract at FOCS 2007) showed that this is not a feature of cut functions: the same random choice achieves the same factors for every nonnegative submodular function, and for every symmetric one. This mission formalizes that result, Theorem 2.1 of the paper, together with the two sampling lemmas on which it rests. The paper's other results (a nonadaptive 1/3-approximation, deterministic and smoothed local search, and query lower bounds) are the subjects of companion missions in the same series.

Setting

Let XXX be a finite set with n=∣X∣n = |X|n=∣X∣ elements. A set function assigns a real number f(S)f(S)f(S) to every subset S⊆XS \subseteq XS⊆X. It is submodular if

f(S∪T)+f(S∩T)≤f(S)+f(T)for all S,T⊆X,f(S \cup T) + f(S \cap T) \le f(S) + f(T) \qquad \text{for all } S, T \subseteq X,f(S∪T)+f(S∩T)≤f(S)+f(T)for all S,T⊆X,

equivalently if the marginal value f(B∪{x})−f(B)f(B \cup \{x\}) - f(B)f(B∪{x})−f(B) of an element xxx does not increase as the set BBB grows. It is symmetric if f(X∖S)=f(S)f(X \setminus S) = f(S)f(X∖S)=f(S) for every S⊆XS \subseteq XS⊆X; the cut function of an undirected graph is the standard example. The optimum is

OPT=max⁡S⊆Xf(S).OPT = \max_{S \subseteq X} f(S).OPT=S⊆Xmax​f(S).

For p∈[0,1]p \in [0,1]p∈[0,1], X(p)X(p)X(p) denotes the random subset of XXX containing each element independently with probability ppp; similarly A(p)A(p)A(p) is the random subset of a fixed A⊆XA \subseteq XA⊆X. The Random Set Algorithm (RS) returns R=X(1/2)R = X(1/2)R=X(1/2), a uniformly random subset of XXX, without querying fff. Its expected value is the average of fff over all subsets,

E[f(R)]=F(12,…,12)=12n∑S⊆Xf(S),\mathbf{E}[f(R)] = F(\tfrac12, \dots, \tfrac12) = \frac{1}{2^n} \sum_{S \subseteq X} f(S),E[f(R)]=F(21​,…,21​)=2n1​S⊆X∑​f(S),

where F(x)=∑S⊆Xf(S)∏i∈Sxi∏i∉S(1−xi)F(x) = \sum_{S \subseteq X} f(S) \prod_{i \in S} x_i \prod_{i \notin S} (1 - x_i)F(x)=∑S⊆X​f(S)∏i∈S​xi​∏i∈/S​(1−xi​) is the multilinear extension of fff, the expectation of fff on a random set that includes element iii independently with probability xix_ixi​.

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem 2.1

For every nonnegative submodular f:2X→R+f : 2^X \to \mathbb{R}_+f:2X→R+​,

E[f(X(1/2))]≥14 OPT,\mathbf{E}[f(X(1/2))] \ge \tfrac14\, OPT,E[f(X(1/2))]≥41​OPT,

and if fff is in addition symmetric,

E[f(X(1/2))]≥12 OPT.\mathbf{E}[f(X(1/2))] \ge \tfrac12\, OPT.E[f(X(1/2))]≥21​OPT.

Both parts form the goal, stated as one theorem. The constants 14\tfrac1441​ and 12\tfrac1221​ are exact, not asymptotic, and they are tight: the directed cut of a single arc attains 14\tfrac1441​, and the cut of a single edge attains 12\tfrac1221​.

Milestones

  1. Lemma 2.2. For submodular g:2X→Rg : 2^X \to \mathbb{R}g:2X→R, A⊆XA \subseteq XA⊆X and p∈[0,1]p \in [0,1]p∈[0,1],
E[g(A(p))]≥(1−p) g(∅)+p g(A).\mathbf{E}[g(A(p))] \ge (1-p)\, g(\emptyset) + p\, g(A).E[g(A(p))]≥(1−p)g(∅)+pg(A).
  1. Lemma 2.3. For submodular f:2X→Rf : 2^X \to \mathbb{R}f:2X→R, sets A,B⊆XA, B \subseteq XA,B⊆X that need not be disjoint, independent samples A(p)A(p)A(p), B(q)B(q)B(q), and p,q∈[0,1]p, q \in [0,1]p,q∈[0,1],
E[f(A(p)∪B(q))]≥(1−p)(1−q)f(∅)+p(1−q)f(A)+(1−p)qf(B)+pqf(A∪B).\mathbf{E}[f(A(p) \cup B(q))] \ge (1-p)(1-q) f(\emptyset) + p(1-q) f(A) + (1-p)q f(B) + pq f(A \cup B).E[f(A(p)∪B(q))]≥(1−p)(1−q)f(∅)+p(1−q)f(A)+(1−p)qf(B)+pqf(A∪B).
  1. The display in the proof of Theorem 2.1. For submodular f:2X→Rf : 2^X \to \mathbb{R}f:2X→R and every S⊆XS \subseteq XS⊆X, with Sˉ=X∖S\bar S = X \setminus SSˉ=X∖S,
E[f(X(1/2))]≥14f(∅)+14f(S)+14f(Sˉ)+14f(X).\mathbf{E}[f(X(1/2))] \ge \tfrac14 f(\emptyset) + \tfrac14 f(S) + \tfrac14 f(\bar S) + \tfrac14 f(X).E[f(X(1/2))]≥41​f(∅)+41​f(S)+41​f(Sˉ)+41​f(X).

The milestones need no sign on the function; nonnegativity enters only in the goal.

Significance

The result. Theorem 2.1 gives an algorithm that makes no query at all and is still a constant-factor approximation for unconstrained non-monotone submodular maximization. It sets the baseline that every later algorithm for the problem is measured against: the paper's own nonadaptive 13\tfrac1331​-algorithm and its local search algorithms with factors 13\tfrac1331​ and 25\tfrac2552​, followed by later work culminating in the tight 12\tfrac1221​-approximation of Buchbinder, Feldman, Naor and Schwartz (FOCS 2012). The paper also shows that 14\tfrac1441​ is optimal among nonadaptive algorithms required to return one of the queried sets, and that 12\tfrac1221​ is optimal for symmetric functions among all algorithms using polynomially many value queries, so both factors of Theorem 2.1 have a precise place in the complexity landscape. Lemma 2.3, the probabilistic inequality behind it, is reused in the analyses of the nonadaptive algorithm and of smooth local search.

Formalizing it. The result is proved, with a short proof. What this mission adds is a machine-checked version of the random-set guarantee and of the two sampling lemmas, stated for arbitrary finite ground sets and, for the lemmas, for real-valued submodular functions without a sign. To our knowledge none of these statements has a machine-checked proof; Mathlib has no theory of submodular set functions or of their multilinear extension.

Difficulty

The goal itself is a two-line consequence of the third milestone. The work sits in the lemmas and in one change of viewpoint.

Lemma 2.2 is not a pointwise statement: the random set A(p)A(p)A(p) can be any subset of AAA, and ggg can be smaller on it than both g(∅)g(\emptyset)g(∅) and g(A)g(A)g(A). The inequality holds only in expectation, and only because submodularity controls the marginal value of each element uniformly across the sets it can be added to. Lemma 2.3 needs a conditioning argument over two independent samples; the sets AAA and BBB may overlap, and on A∩BA \cap BA∩B the union A(p)∪B(q)A(p) \cup B(q)A(p)∪B(q) contains an element with probability 1−(1−p)(1−q)1 - (1-p)(1-q)1−(1−p)(1−q), so it is not the product distribution with probability ppp on AAA and qqq on BBB. Finally, the third milestone requires identifying the uniform random subset X(1/2)X(1/2)X(1/2) with the union of independent half-samples of SSS and of its complement, as a statement about finite sums.

The obvious attempt at the goal, comparing f(R)f(R)f(R) with f(S∗)f(S^*)f(S∗) for an optimal S∗S^*S∗ set by set, fails: fff is not monotone, so a random set that contains most of S∗S^*S∗ may still have small value, and a random set can pick up elements that hurt.

Formalization scope

The ground set is a Lean type X with [Fintype X] [DecidableEq X]; subsets are Finset X and set functions are f : Finset X → ℝ. Submodularity is the lattice inequality of Definition 1.1, not the decreasing-marginals property. Nonnegativity, the paper's standing assumption f:2X→R+f : 2^X \to \mathbb{R}_+f:2X→R+​, is the hypothesis ∀ S, 0 ≤ f S; it appears only in the goal. Symmetry is ∀ S, f Sᶜ = f S for all subsets, not only for an optimal one. OPTOPTOPT is Finset.univ.sup' Finset.univ_nonempty f, a maximum over the always nonempty family of all subsets, so it is attained. The ground set may be empty; the goal holds there too and no nonemptiness is assumed.

Expectations are written as exact finite sums, not as integrals. E[f(X(1/2))]\mathbf{E}[f(X(1/2))]E[f(X(1/2))] is the multilinear extension F f (fun _ => 1/2). E[g(A(p))]\mathbf{E}[g(A(p))]E[g(A(p))] is ∑T⊆Ap∣T∣(1−p)∣A∖T∣g(T)\sum_{T \subseteq A} p^{|T|}(1-p)^{|A \setminus T|} g(T)∑T⊆A​p∣T∣(1−p)∣A∖T∣g(T), and E[f(A(p)∪B(q))]\mathbf{E}[f(A(p) \cup B(q))]E[f(A(p)∪B(q))] is the double sum over independent samples S⊆AS \subseteq AS⊆A, T⊆BT \subseteq BT⊆B with the product of the two weights. The ranges 0≤p≤10 \le p \le 10≤p≤1 and 0≤q≤10 \le q \le 10≤q≤1, implied in the paper by the word "probability", are explicit hypotheses; Lemma 2.2 is false without them.

Trivializing formalizations are excluded: the weights are exactly those of the uniform distribution on all 2n2^n2n subsets, OPTOPTOPT is the true maximum rather than the value at one fixed set, and fff is required to be both nonnegative and submodular.

Reusable infrastructure produced by a complete development: the multilinear extension of a set function and its expression as an expectation, product-weight identities for independent sampling of subsets (including the decomposition of X(1/2)X(1/2)X(1/2) along a set and its complement), and Lemmas 2.2 and 2.3, which the companion missions on the nonadaptive algorithm and on smooth local search also need. Proofs of any milestone are welcome independently.

Selected references

  • U. Feige, V. S. Mirrokni, J. Vondrák, Maximizing Non-Monotone Submodular Functions, SIAM Journal on Computing 40(4):1133–1153, 2011. https://doi.org/10.1137/090779346
  • U. Feige, V. S. Mirrokni, J. Vondrák, Maximizing non-monotone submodular functions, Proceedings of the 48th IEEE Symposium on Foundations of Computer Science (FOCS), 2007, pp. 461–471. https://doi.org/10.1109/FOCS.2007.29
  • N. Buchbinder, M. Feldman, J. Naor, R. Schwartz, A Tight Linear Time (1/2)-Approximation for Unconstrained Submodular Maximization, SIAM Journal on Computing 44(5):1384–1402, 2015 (FOCS 2012). https://doi.org/10.1137/130929205
  • G. L. Nemhauser, L. A. Wolsey, M. L. Fisher, An analysis of approximations for maximizing submodular set functions — I, Mathematical Programming 14:265–294, 1978. https://doi.org/10.1007/BF01588971
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CombinatoricsGraph TheoryLinear Optimization·Captain: mikedeng1

Optimum Branchings: The Vertices of the Branching Polyhedron Are Exactly the BranchingsResearch Paper

Motivation

A branching in a directed graph is a set of edges that contains no cycle (even ignoring directions) and in which no two edges point to the same node; a connected branching is an arborescence, a tree rooted at one node with all edges directed away from the root. The optimum branching problem asks, for real weights on the edges, for a branching of maximum total weight. It contains the minimum-cost spanning arborescence problem (the directed analogue of the minimum spanning tree), which appears in network design, in the analysis of broadcast and routing structures, in phylogenetics, and in dependency parsing in computational linguistics, where maximum spanning arborescences are the standard decoding step of graph-based parsers.

J. Edmonds solved the problem in Optimum branchings (J. Res. Nat. Bur. Standards 71B (1967) 233–240). The paper gives an algorithm (the shrinking algorithm usually attributed to Chu–Liu and Edmonds) and, proved together with it, a polyhedral theorem: the linear system that every branching obviously satisfies has no other vertices. This was one of the first integral polyhedron theorems beyond bipartite matching and network flows, and together with Edmonds' matching polytope (1965) it set the pattern of polyhedral combinatorics: describe the convex hull of the combinatorial objects by linear inequalities, and prove optimality by a linear programming dual.

Timeline:

  • 1965: Y. J. Chu and T. H. Liu describe the shrinking algorithm for the maximum arborescence.
  • 1965: Edmonds, Paths, trees, and flowers and Maximum matching and a polyhedron with 0,1-vertices: the matching polytope.
  • 1967: Edmonds, Optimum branchings: the algorithm, Theorem 2 (vertices of the branching polyhedron), and the dual certificate built along the algorithm.
  • 1970–1971: Edmonds' matroid intersection theorem, which contains the branching polyhedron theorem as the intersection of a graphic matroid and a partition matroid.
  • 1977–1986: faster implementations (Tarjan; Gabow, Galil, Spencer and Tarjan).

Setting

A graph GGG consists of a finite set VVV of nodes and a finite set EEE of edges. Each edge eee is directed toward a node front(e)\mathrm{front}(e)front(e), its front end, and away from a different node rear(e)\mathrm{rear}(e)rear(e), its rear end. Parallel edges are allowed; loops are not.

For F⊆EF\subseteq EF⊆E, a node vvv meets kkk edges of FFF if #{e∈F:front(e)=v}+#{e∈F:rear(e)=v}=k\#\{e\in F:\mathrm{front}(e)=v\}+\#\{e\in F:\mathrm{rear}(e)=v\}=k#{e∈F:front(e)=v}+#{e∈F:rear(e)=v}=k. A set B⊆EB\subseteq EB⊆E is a forest if it contains no polygon, i.e. no nonempty F⊆BF\subseteq BF⊆B in which every node meets zero or two edges of FFF; it is a branching if in addition distinct edges of BBB have distinct front ends. The incidence vector xB∈REx^B\in\mathbb R^ExB∈RE of BBB has xeB=1x^B_e=1xeB​=1 for e∈Be\in Be∈B and 000 otherwise.

The branching polyhedron PG⊆REP_G\subseteq\mathbb R^EPG​⊆RE is the set of xxx with

  • (L1)(L_1)(L1​) xe≥0x_e\ge0xe​≥0 for every edge eee;
  • (L2)(L_2)(L2​) ∑e: front(e)=vxe≤1\sum_{e:\,\mathrm{front}(e)=v}x_e\le1∑e:front(e)=v​xe​≤1 for every node vvv;
  • (L3)(L_3)(L3​) ∑e: front(e),rear(e)∈Sxe≤∣S∣−1\sum_{e:\,\mathrm{front}(e),\mathrm{rear}(e)\in S}x_e\le|S|-1∑e:front(e),rear(e)∈S​xe​≤∣S∣−1 for every set SSS of two or more nodes.

A vertex of a set P⊆REP\subseteq\mathbb R^EP⊆RE is a point of PPP that is the unique maximizer over PPP of some linear function x↦∑ecexex\mapsto\sum_e c_ex_ex↦∑e​ce​xe​.

For weights c∈REc\in\mathbb R^Ec∈RE, the dual variables are yhy_hyh​ for each node vhv_hvh​ and ySy_SyS​ for each SSS with ∣S∣≥2|S|\ge2∣S∣≥2; write we=∑S∋front(e),rear(e)ySw_e=\sum_{S\ni\mathrm{front}(e),\mathrm{rear}(e)}y_Swe​=∑S∋front(e),rear(e)​yS​ and (b,y)=∑hyh+∑S(∣S∣−1)yS(b,y)=\sum_hy_h+\sum_S(|S|-1)y_S(b,y)=∑h​yh​+∑S​(∣S∣−1)yS​. Edmonds' conditions are (15) yh≥0y_h\ge0yh​≥0, (16) yS≥0y_S\ge0yS​≥0, (17) yfront(e)+we≥cey_{\mathrm{front}(e)}+w_e\ge c_eyfront(e)​+we​≥ce​ for every edge, and, for a branching BBB, (18) yh≠0⇒y_h\ne0\Rightarrowyh​=0⇒ some edge of BBB enters vhv_hvh​, (19) yS≠0⇒y_S\ne0\RightarrowyS​=0⇒ exactly ∣S∣−1|S|-1∣S∣−1 edges of BBB lie inside SSS, (20) yfront(e)+we=cey_{\mathrm{front}(e)}+w_e=c_eyfront(e)​+we​=ce​ for e∈Be\in Be∈B.

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem 2 (p. 235)

{x: x is a vertex of PG}  =  {xB: B is a branching of G}.\{x:\ x\text{ is a vertex of }P_G\}\;=\;\{x^B:\ B\text{ is a branching of }G\}.{x: x is a vertex of PG​}={xB: B is a branching of G}.

Both inclusions, for every finite loopless directed multigraph.

Milestones

  1. §5, p. 236: for every branching BBB, xB∈PGx^B\in P_GxB∈PG​.
  2. §5, p. 236: for every branching BBB, xBx^BxB is a vertex of PGP_GPG​.
  3. §6, (12)–(14): if BBB is a branching and yyy satisfies (15)–(20), then (c,xB)=(b,y)(c,x^B)=(b,y)(c,xB)=(b,y), xBx^BxB maximizes (c,x)(c,x)(c,x) over PGP_GPG​, and yyy minimizes (b,y)(b,y)(b,y) subject to (15)–(17).
  4. §7, p. 237: for every c∈REc\in\mathbb R^Ec∈RE there are a branching BBB and a yyy satisfying (15)–(20).
  5. Lemma 1, p. 236: for every c∈REc\in\mathbb R^Ec∈RE some branching vector lies in PGP_GPG​ and maximizes ∑ecexe\sum_ec_ex_e∑e​ce​xe​ over PGP_GPG​.

Significance

Theorem 2 says that the linear program max⁡{(c,x):x∈PG}\max\{(c,x):x\in P_G\}max{(c,x):x∈PG​} always has an optimal solution that is a branching, and that every vertex of PGP_GPG​ is one. Consequently optimum branchings, and after the reductions of the paper's §2 optimum spanning and rooted arborescences, can be computed by linear programming, and their optimality is certified by a dual vector satisfying (15)–(20). The same statement underlies the separation-based treatment of arborescence constraints in integer programming formulations of network design and of the asymmetric travelling salesman problem. The integrality of the dual for integer weights (the paper's §8) yields min–max theorems of König type for branchings.

The result is proved and classical; no machine-checked proof of it in a proof assistant is known. The mission asks for the paper's own proof chain: branching vectors are points and vertices of PGP_GPG​, linear programming optimality from complementary slackness, existence of a dual certificate for every weight vector, and the deduction of Theorem 2. Proofs through matroid intersection or total dual integrality would also establish the goal and are welcome as alternative routes.

Difficulty

The inclusion "branching vectors are vertices" and the certificate criterion are short. The substance is Milestone 4: for arbitrary real weights, a branching and a dual vector satisfying the complementary slackness conditions must exist simultaneously. Finiteness gives an optimum branching at once, but that says nothing about optimality over the fractional points of PGP_GPG​; the difficulty is the dual. The natural attempt, taking yS=0y_S=0yS​=0 for all sets and yhy_hyh​ the largest positive weight entering vhv_hvh​, violates (20) as soon as the greedy choice closes a circuit: the (L3)(L_3)(L3​) duals of nested node sets, arising from repeatedly shrinking circuits, are needed, and they must be kept nonnegative through weight changes of the form c3+c0−c4c_3+c_0-c_4c3​+c0​−c4​ on edges entering a shrunk circuit.

Formalization scope

A graph is a structure Graph V E with front rear : E → V and a proof that front e ≠ rear e; V and E carry Fintype and DecidableEq. Edge sets are Finset E; vectors are E → ℝ; the linear function with weights c is ∑ e, c e * x e. A branching is defined combinatorially (no nonempty edge subset in which every node meets zero or two edges, and distinct front ends), never by counting edges inside node sets, and PGP_GPG​ is the solution set of (L1)(L_1)(L1​)–(L3)(L_3)(L3​), never a convex hull; either shortcut would make half of Theorem 2 true by definition. A vertex is a unique maximizer of a linear function, as on p. 236 (Mathlib's Set.exposedPoints has the same content); the set variables of the dual are a function Finset V → ℝ whose values on sets of fewer than two nodes are ignored. The right side of (L3)(L_3)(L3​) is the real number ∣S∣−1|S|-1∣S∣−1.

Implicit conventions made explicit: the no-loop condition is part of the graph (with a loop eee, the vector of {e}\{e\}{e} is a vertex of PGP_GPG​ but not a branching); parallel edges are allowed; weights have arbitrary sign and the empty branching is allowed. The mission does not model the algorithm of §4 or Theorem 1's notion of a "good" algorithm; Milestone 4 states only the existence of a certificate, which is what Lemma 1 uses.

Useful reusable infrastructure: finite directed multigraphs with an edge type, forests via polygons, and a finite LP duality lemma for max⁡{c⊤x:x≥0, Ax≤b}\max\{c^\top x: x\ge0,\ Ax\le b\}max{c⊤x:x≥0, Ax≤b}; contributions of either are welcome.

Selected references

  • J. Edmonds, Optimum branchings, J. Res. Nat. Bur. Standards Sect. B 71B (1967), 233–240. https://doi.org/10.6028/jres.071b.032
  • Y. J. Chu and T. H. Liu, On the shortest arborescence of a directed graph, Scientia Sinica 14 (1965), 1396–1400.
  • J. Edmonds, Maximum matching and a polyhedron with 0,1-vertices, J. Res. Nat. Bur. Standards 69B (1965), 125–130. https://doi.org/10.6028/jres.069B.013
  • R. E. Tarjan, Finding optimum branchings, Networks 7 (1977), 25–35. https://doi.org/10.1002/net.3230070103
  • H. N. Gabow, Z. Galil, T. Spencer and R. E. Tarjan, Efficient algorithms for finding minimum spanning trees in undirected and directed graphs, Combinatorica 6 (1986), 109–122. https://doi.org/10.1007/BF02579168
  • A. Schrijver, Combinatorial Optimization: Polyhedra and Efficiency, Springer (2003), Chapter 52.
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Linear OptimizationOptimal Transport·Captain: mikedeng1

Scenario Reduction in Stochastic Programming: The Optimal Redistribution Rule and the Explicit Kantorovich Distance of a Reduced MeasureResearch Paper

Motivation

Stochastic programs are solved in practice on a finite set of scenarios: a discrete probability distribution P=∑i=1NpiδωiP=\sum_{i=1}^N p_i\delta_{\omega_i}P=∑i=1N​pi​δωi​​ that approximates the true distribution of the uncertain data. The size of the resulting deterministic problem grows with NNN, and for multistage models it grows very fast, so NNN is often reduced before solving. The question is which scenarios to delete and how to reweight the remaining ones so that the optimal value and solutions of the stochastic program change as little as possible.

Dupačová, Gröwe-Kuska and Römisch (Math. Program. Ser. A 95 (2003) 493–511) answered this with probability metrics. Stability results for stochastic programs bound the change of the optimal value by a Fortet–Mourier type distance, which is in turn bounded by a Kantorovich functional μ^c\hat\mu_cμ^​c​ (an optimal transport cost). Scenario reduction then becomes: find a measure QQQ supported on a subset of the scenarios with μ^c(P,Q)\hat\mu_c(P,Q)μ^​c​(P,Q) small. Section 3 of the paper solves the weight part of this problem in closed form. That result, together with the heuristics built on it (backward reduction and forward selection), became the standard scenario-reduction method, implemented for example in the GAMS tool SCENRED.

Setting

Let Ω\OmegaΩ be a set and c:Ω×Ω→R+c:\Omega\times\Omega\to\mathbb R_+c:Ω×Ω→R+​ a cost function with c(ω,ω~)=0c(\omega,\tilde\omega)=0c(ω,ω~)=0 if and only if ω=ω~\omega=\tilde\omegaω=ω~, and c(ω,ω~)=c(ω~,ω)c(\omega,\tilde\omega)=c(\tilde\omega,\omega)c(ω,ω~)=c(ω~,ω) (conditions (C1)–(C2), p. 498). The original distribution has scenarios ω1,…,ωN∈Ω\omega_1,\dots,\omega_N\in\Omegaω1​,…,ωN​∈Ω with weights pi>0p_i>0pi​>0 and ∑ipi=1\sum_i p_i=1∑i​pi​=1. Write cij=c(ωi,ωj)c_{ij}=c(\omega_i,\omega_j)cij​=c(ωi​,ωj​).

A set J⊂{1,…,N}J\subset\{1,\dots,N\}J⊂{1,…,N} of scenarios is deleted. The reduced measure is Q=∑j∉JqjδωjQ=\sum_{j\notin J}q_j\delta_{\omega_j}Q=∑j∈/J​qj​δωj​​ with reduced weights qj≥0q_j\ge0qj​≥0, ∑j∉Jqj=1\sum_{j\notin J}q_j=1∑j∈/J​qj​=1. A transport plan from PPP to QQQ is a nonnegative matrix (ηij)i≤N, j∉J(\eta_{ij})_{i\le N,\,j\notin J}(ηij​)i≤N,j∈/J​ with row sums ∑j∉Jηij=pi\sum_{j\notin J}\eta_{ij}=p_i∑j∈/J​ηij​=pi​ and column sums ∑iηij=qj\sum_i\eta_{ij}=q_j∑i​ηij​=qj​. The Kantorovich functional (10) is the value of this transportation problem,

D(J;q)=min⁡{∑i∑j∉Jcijηij: η a transport plan from P to Q},D(J;q)=\min\Big\{\sum_{i}\sum_{j\notin J}c_{ij}\eta_{ij}:\ \eta\ \text{a transport plan from }P\text{ to }Q\Big\},D(J;q)=min{i∑​j∈/J∑​cij​ηij​: η a transport plan from P to Q},

and DJ=min⁡{D(J;q):q reduced weights}D_J=\min\{D(J;q): q\ \text{reduced weights}\}DJ​=min{D(J;q):q reduced weights} is the best distance achievable once JJJ is fixed. The optimal deletion problem (13) asks for min⁡{DJ:#J=k}\min\{D_J:\#J=k\}min{DJ​:#J=k} for a given 1≤k<N1\le k<N1≤k<N.

In the Lean development these objects are IsReducedWeight, IsTransportPlan, transportCost, transportValue (D(J;q)D(J;q)D(J;q)), optWeightsValue (DJD_JDJ​) and optimalDeletionValue (the value of (13)), all in the namespace ScenarioReduction.Redistribution.

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem 2 (optimal weights), p. 500

For every J≠{1,…,N}J\neq\{1,\dots,N\}J={1,…,N},

DJ=min⁡{D(J;q):qj≥0, ∑j∉Jqj=1}=∑i∈Jpimin⁡j∉Jc(ωi,ωj),D_J=\min\Big\{D(J;q): q_j\ge0,\ \sum_{j\notin J}q_j=1\Big\}=\sum_{i\in J}p_i\min_{j\notin J}c(\omega_i,\omega_j),DJ​=min{D(J;q):qj​≥0, j∈/J∑​qj​=1}=i∈J∑​pi​j∈/Jmin​c(ωi​,ωj​),

and the minimum is attained at the optimal redistribution rule qˉj=pj+∑i∈Jjpi\bar q_j=p_j+\sum_{i\in J_j}p_iqˉ​j​=pj​+∑i∈Jj​​pi​, where Jj={i∈J:j(i)=j}J_j=\{i\in J: j(i)=j\}Jj​={i∈J:j(i)=j} and j(i)∈arg⁡min⁡j∉Jc(ωi,ωj)j(i)\in\arg\min_{j\notin J}c(\omega_i,\omega_j)j(i)∈argminj∈/J​c(ωi​,ωj​), for every such choice of j(⋅)j(\cdot)j(⋅).

Milestones

  1. Primal–dual representation of D(J;q)D(J;q)D(J;q) (first display of the proof, p. 501): the transportation problem and its linear-programming dual both attain D(J;q)D(J;q)D(J;q).
  2. Lower bound (p. 501): ∑i∈Jpimin⁡k∉Jcik≤D(J;q)\sum_{i\in J}p_i\min_{k\notin J}c_{ik}\le D(J;q)∑i∈J​pi​mink∈/J​cik​≤D(J;q) for every feasible qqq.
  3. Upper bound at qˉ\bar qqˉ​ (p. 501): qˉ\bar qqˉ​ is feasible and D(J;qˉ)≤∑i∈Jpimin⁡j∉JcijD(J;\bar q)\le\sum_{i\in J}p_i\min_{j\notin J}c_{ij}D(J;qˉ​)≤∑i∈J​pi​minj∈/J​cij​.
  4. Theorem 3 (p. 501): for weights prescribed by qj=pj+λjpJq_j=p_j+\lambda_jp_Jqj​=pj​+λj​pJ​, D(J;q)≤∑i∈Jpi∑j∉Jλjc(ωi,ωj)D(J;q)\le\sum_{i\in J}p_i\sum_{j\notin J}\lambda_jc(\omega_i,\omega_j)D(J;q)≤∑i∈J​pi​∑j∈/J​λj​c(ωi​,ωj​), with equality if #J=1\#J=1#J=1 and ccc satisfies the triangle inequality.
  5. Theorem 4 (p. 503): the greedy recursions (16) and (17) give a lower and an upper bound for min⁡{DJ:#J=k}\min\{D_J:\#J=k\}min{DJ​:#J=k}, and the backward set {l1,…,lk}\{l_1,\dots,l_k\}{l1​,…,lk​} is optimal under a nonemptiness condition.

Significance

Theorem 2 reduces the continuous part of scenario reduction to a formula: once the set of kept scenarios is chosen, the best reweighting is to move the mass of every deleted scenario to a nearest kept scenario, and the resulting distance is an explicit sum. This leaves only the combinatorial choice of JJJ, which Theorem 4 brackets by two greedy procedures; these are the backward-reduction and forward-selection algorithms of the paper and of later work by Heitsch and Römisch. Theorem 3 covers the case in which the reduced weights are fixed by the modeller, for instance to keep a uniform distribution uniform.

The results are proved in the paper by elementary linear-programming arguments. As far as is known, none of them has a machine-checked proof. Formalizing them produces a verified finite transportation-problem layer with a general (not necessarily metric) cost and a deleted index set, and verified correctness certificates for the two standard scenario-reduction heuristics.

Difficulty

The upper bound of Theorem 2 is a direct construction. The content lies in the lower bound, which must hold for every reweighting qqq simultaneously; this needs the dual side of the transportation problem, and the full primal–dual representation (Milestone 1) requires strong duality for a transportation problem with only the kept columns, which Mathlib does not provide in this form. A naive argument that bounds each plan row by row gives the lower bound directly for plans, but relating it to D(J;q)D(J;q)D(J;q) as an infimum also requires that plans exist and that the infimum is attained. In Theorem 4, the recursions (16) and (17) are greedy and do not in general produce optimal sets; the lower bound works only because its inner minimum ranges over all j≠lj\neq lj=l, not over the kept scenarios.

Formalization scope

Scenarios are indexed by Fin N (0-based), scenarios are a function ω : Fin N → Ω into an arbitrary type Ω, the cost is c : Ω → Ω → ℝ, and weights, plans and dual variables are real-valued functions on Fin N and Fin N × Fin N. Only the entries at kept indices j∉Jj\notin Jj∈/J enter any constraint, cost or objective. No measure theory is used: the index-level transportation problem is the paper's own representation of μ^c\hat\mu_cμ^​c​ for discrete measures (p. 495). Every theorem carries the standing assumptions of Section 3: c≥0c\ge0c≥0, (C1), (C2), pi>0p_i>0pi​>0 and ∑ipi=1\sum_ip_i=1∑i​pi​=1. Measurability of ccc and conditions (C3) and (C4) concern Ω⊂Rs\Omega\subset\mathbb R^sΩ⊂Rs and play no role for finitely supported measures; they are dropped, so the statements are more general than the page. The hypothesis J≠{1,…,N}J\neq\{1,\dots,N\}J={1,…,N}, implicit in Theorem 2, is stated explicitly; in Theorem 4, 1≤k<N1\le k<N1≤k<N plays this role.

D(J;q)D(J;q)D(J;q) and DJD_JDJ​ are real infima (sInf) of transport costs and are only asserted about where the underlying sets are nonempty and bounded below; "min" is stated as attainment (IsLeast), not as an equality of infima. D(J;q)D(J;q)D(J;q) is defined as the transportation problem and is not defined by the closed form ∑i∈Jpimin⁡j∉Jcij\sum_{i\in J}p_i\min_{j\notin J}c_{ij}∑i∈J​pi​minj∈/J​cij​; under that definition Theorem 2 would be trivial, and it is ruled out here. Likewise the reduced-weight constraint does not force q=qˉq=\bar qq=qˉ​.

Needed infrastructure: finite transportation problems with nonnegativity and marginal constraints, existence of optimal plans (compactness of the feasible polytope), and LP duality for transportation problems. The transportation-problem layer is reusable beyond this mission. Contributions welcome: proofs of the milestones, a general strong-duality result for finite transportation problems, and the examples of p. 502 (single scenario deletion, keeping one scenario).

Selected references

  • J. Dupačová, N. Gröwe-Kuska, W. Römisch, Scenario reduction in stochastic programming: An approach using probability metrics, Math. Program. Ser. A 95 (2003) 493–511. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10107-002-0331-0
  • S. T. Rachev, Probability Metrics and the Stability of Stochastic Models, Wiley, 1991.
  • H. Heitsch, W. Römisch, Scenario reduction algorithms in stochastic programming, Comput. Optim. Appl. 24 (2003) 187–206. https://doi.org/10.1023/A:1021805924152
  • W. Römisch, R. Schultz, Stability analysis for stochastic programs, Ann. Oper. Res. 30 (1991) 241–266. https://doi.org/10.1007/BF02204819
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Algorithmic Game TheoryTopology·Captain: mikedeng1

A Social Equilibrium Existence Theorem: Equilibrium Points Exist When Actions Are Contractible Polyhedra and Constrained Best Responses Are ContractibleResearch Paper

Motivation

Nash's equilibrium existence theorem assumes that each player's set of available strategies is fixed. Many social and economic systems do not work that way: a consumer's budget set depends on prices, which are the choices of another agent, and a firm's feasible production may depend on what other firms do. Gerard Debreu's A Social Equilibrium Existence Theorem (PNAS 38(10), 1952) proves that an equilibrium exists in such a system, called a social system or abstract economy (today also a generalized game). Here each agent's feasible actions depend on the actions of all the others.

Arrow and Debreu used this theorem to prove the existence of a competitive equilibrium (Econometrica 22(3), 1954). It is the standard existence result for generalized Nash equilibrium problems in operations research, where the feasible sets are coupled by shared constraints.

Timeline.

  • 1928: von Neumann proves the minimax theorem for matrix games.
  • 1941: Kakutani proves a fixed-point theorem for convex-valued maps with closed graphs on compact convex sets (Duke Math. J. 8, 1941).
  • 1946: Eilenberg and Montgomery extend fixed-point theory to acyclic-valued maps on acyclic absolute neighbourhood retracts (Amer. J. Math. 68, 1946).
  • 1950: Nash proves the existence of equilibrium points for finite games (PNAS 36, 1950).
  • 1952: Debreu proves the theorem of this mission. He requires contractibility instead of convexity, and his payoffs take values in the completed real line.

Setting

There are finitely many agents ι=1,…,ν\iota=1,\dots,\nuι=1,…,ν. Agent ι\iotaι chooses an action aιa_\iotaaι​ in a set Aι\mathfrak A_\iotaAι​, a subset of a finite-dimensional real space. A profile a=(a1,…,aν)a=(a_1,\dots,a_\nu)a=(a1​,…,aν​) lies in A=A1×⋯×Aν\mathfrak A=\mathfrak A_1\times\cdots\times\mathfrak A_\nuA=A1​×⋯×Aν​. For each agent, aˉι\bar a_\iotaaˉι​ denotes the actions of the others, ranging over Aˉι=∏j≠ιAj\bar{\mathfrak A}_\iota=\prod_{j\ne\iota}\mathfrak A_jAˉι​=∏j=ι​Aj​.

Given aˉι\bar a_\iotaaˉι​, agent ι\iotaι may only choose from a nonempty set Aι(aˉι)⊆AιA_\iota(\bar a_\iota)\subseteq\mathfrak A_\iotaAι​(aˉι​)⊆Aι​, a multi-valued function of the others' actions. Its graph is Gι={(aˉι,aι)∣aι∈Aι(aˉι)}G_\iota=\{(\bar a_\iota,a_\iota)\mid a_\iota\in A_\iota(\bar a_\iota)\}Gι​={(aˉι​,aι​)∣aι​∈Aι​(aˉι​)}. The payoff fι(aˉι,aι)f_\iota(\bar a_\iota,a_\iota)fι​(aˉι​,aι​) takes values in the completed real line R‾=R∪{−∞,+∞}\overline{\mathbb R}=\mathbb R\cup\{-\infty,+\infty\}R=R∪{−∞,+∞}. The best value available to agent ι\iotaι and the set of constrained best responses are

φι(aˉι)=max⁡aι∈Aι(aˉι)fι(aˉι,aι),Maˉι={aι∈Aι(aˉι)∣fι(aˉι,aι)=φι(aˉι)}.\varphi_\iota(\bar a_\iota)=\max_{a_\iota\in A_\iota(\bar a_\iota)}f_\iota(\bar a_\iota,a_\iota),\qquad M_{\bar a_\iota}=\{a_\iota\in A_\iota(\bar a_\iota)\mid f_\iota(\bar a_\iota,a_\iota)=\varphi_\iota(\bar a_\iota)\}.φι​(aˉι​)=aι​∈Aι​(aˉι​)max​fι​(aˉι​,aι​),Maˉι​​={aι​∈Aι​(aˉι​)∣fι​(aˉι​,aι​)=φι​(aˉι​)}.

An equilibrium point is a profile a∗a^*a∗ such that, for every ι\iotaι, aι∗∈Aι(aˉι∗)a^*_\iota\in A_\iota(\bar a^*_\iota)aι∗​∈Aι​(aˉι∗​) and fι(a∗)=φι(aˉι∗)f_\iota(a^*)=\varphi_\iota(\bar a^*_\iota)fι​(a∗)=φι​(aˉι∗​).

The topological vocabulary is Debreu's §1:

  • a convex cell is the convex hull of finitely many points;
  • a geometric polyhedron is a finite union of convex cells;
  • a polyhedron is a set homeomorphic to a geometric polyhedron;
  • a nonempty set ZZZ is contractible if there is a continuous H:[0,1]×Z→ZH:[0,1]\times Z\to ZH:[0,1]×Z→Z with H(0,z)=zH(0,z)=zH(0,z)=z and H(1,z)=z0H(1,z)=z^0H(1,z)=z0 for a fixed z0∈Zz^0\in Zz0∈Z.

A multi-valued function is semicontinuous if its graph is closed.

Formalization targets

Goal: the THEOREM (p. 888)

Assume that for every ι\iotaι, Aι\mathfrak A_\iotaAι​ is a contractible polyhedron, GιG_\iotaGι​ is closed, fιf_\iotafι​ is continuous on GιG_\iotaGι​, φι\varphi_\iotaφι​ is continuous on Aˉι\bar{\mathfrak A}_\iotaAˉι​, and MaˉιM_{\bar a_\iota}Maˉι​​ is contractible for every aˉι\bar a_\iotaaˉι​. Then

∃ a∗∈A  ∀ι:aι∗∈Aι(aˉι∗)  and  fι(aˉι∗,b)≤fι(a∗)  for all b∈Aι(aˉι∗).\exists\,a^*\in\mathfrak A\ \ \forall\iota:\quad a^*_\iota\in A_\iota(\bar a^*_\iota)\ \text{ and }\ f_\iota(\bar a^*_\iota,b)\le f_\iota(a^*)\ \text{ for all } b\in A_\iota(\bar a^*_\iota).∃a∗∈A  ∀ι:aι∗​∈Aι​(aˉι∗​)  and  fι​(aˉι∗​,b)≤fι​(a∗)  for all b∈Aι​(aˉι∗​).

Milestones on the path of the proof

  1. §1: products of two convex cells, of two geometric polyhedra, of two polyhedra and of two contractible sets are of the same kind.
  2. A\mathfrak AA is a contractible polyhedron, and ϕ(a)=Maˉ1×⋯×Maˉν\phi(a)=M_{\bar a_1}\times\cdots\times M_{\bar a_\nu}ϕ(a)=Maˉ1​​×⋯×Maˉν​​ is contractible for every aaa.
  3. The LEMMA (p. 889): a semicontinuous multi-valued function ϕ:Z→Z\phi:Z\to Zϕ:Z→Z on a contractible polyhedron with contractible values has a fixed point z∗∈ϕ(z∗)z^*\in\phi(z^*)z∗∈ϕ(z∗).
  4. The set Mι={(aˉι,aι)∣aι∈Maˉι}M_\iota=\{(\bar a_\iota,a_\iota)\mid a_\iota\in M_{\bar a_\iota}\}Mι​={(aˉι​,aι​)∣aι​∈Maˉι​​} is closed, and so is the graph Γ\GammaΓ of ϕ\phiϕ.
  5. a∗∈ϕ(a∗)a^*\in\phi(a^*)a∗∈ϕ(a∗) holds exactly when a∗a^*a∗ is an equilibrium point.

Further results of the paper

  • The Remark (p. 889) and its steps (α) and (β) (p. 890). If GιG_\iotaGι​ is compact and fιf_\iotafι​ is continuous on it, then φι\varphi_\iotaφι​ is upper semicontinuous. If AιA_\iotaAι​ is moreover continuous at a point, φι\varphi_\iotaφι​ is lower semicontinuous, and hence continuous, there.
  • The COROLLARY (p. 890). A continuous f:X×Y→R‾f:X\times Y\to\overline{\mathbb R}f:X×Y→R on contractible polyhedra whose argmin sets Ux0U_{x^0}Ux0​ and argmax sets Vy0V_{y^0}Vy0​ are contractible has a saddle point, min⁡yf(x0,y)=f(x0,y0)=max⁡xf(x,y0)\min_y f(x^0,y)=f(x^0,y^0)=\max_x f(x,y^0)miny​f(x0,y)=f(x0,y0)=maxx​f(x,y0).

Significance

The result. The theorem gives an equilibrium for games in which one agent's choices constrain another's. This is the step that makes competitive equilibrium an equilibrium of a game: the market participant's price choice constrains the consumers' budget sets. The same result gives existence for generalized Nash equilibrium problems, including games with shared constraints. Replacing convexity by contractibility also admits non-convex best-response sets: a contractible set such as a star-shaped region or an arc qualifies. Nash's theorem for finite games and von Neumann's minimax theorem are special cases. With values in R‾\overline{\mathbb R}R, payoffs may take infinite values.

The formalization. The theorem was proved in 1952. None of it is formalized on the platform: neither the theorem itself, nor the LEMMA, nor the topological vocabulary of polyhedra and contractible sets used here. Brouwer's theorem is available on the platform as AGT.brouwer_fixed_point. Nash's existence theorem for finite games (AGT.nash_existence) and Sion's minimax theorem are also formalized. All of these assume convexity. The mission produces a machine-checked existence theorem for generalized games, together with a fixed-point theorem for set-valued maps with contractible values on polyhedra.

Difficulty

Most of the argument reduces to the LEMMA, which is a particular case of the Eilenberg–Montgomery fixed-point theorem. The usual route to Kakutani's theorem does not carry over: it approximates a convex-valued map by continuous selections and applies Brouwer's theorem on a convex set. Contractible values do not admit convex combinations of nearby values, and a contractible polyhedron need not be convex, so neither the selection step nor Brouwer on a simplex applies directly. Debreu cites the LEMMA without proof, and Mathlib has no fixed-point theorem for set-valued maps and none of the algebraic topology of polyhedra that the classical results rest on.

The remaining steps are point-set topology. The product milestones require building homeomorphisms and deformations on products of subspaces, and the closed-graph steps require care with continuity on GιG_\iotaGι​ as opposed to continuity everywhere.

Formalization scope

  • Spaces and agents. Each Aι\mathfrak A_\iotaAι​ is a subset of a finite-dimensional real normed space EιE_\iotaEι​, standing in for Debreu's "finite Euclidean spaces". The agents form a Fintype. Profiles live in ∏ιAι\prod_\iota\mathfrak A_\iota∏ι​Aι​. The others' actions aˉι\bar a_\iotaaˉι​ range over the product over the subtype {j∣j≠ι}\{j\mid j\ne\iota\}{j∣j=ι}, so AιA_\iotaAι​ cannot depend on agent ι\iotaι's own action. With a single agent this product is a point, and the theorem becomes the one-agent statement.
  • Payoffs. The completed real line is Mathlib's EReal with its order topology. φι\varphi_\iotaφι​ is a supremum (sSup) in EReal; under the hypotheses it is attained, so it is Debreu's Max. No arithmetic in EReal is used anywhere.
  • Polyhedra and contractible sets. A polyhedron is a subspace homeomorphic to a finite union of convex hulls of nonempty finite sets in some Rm\mathbb R^mRm; polyhedra are therefore compact. Contractibility is Debreu's definition verbatim, and it includes nonemptiness.
  • Hypotheses. Non-void values of AιA_\iotaAι​ are Debreu's standing assumption and are stated explicitly. Continuity of fιf_\iotafι​ is required on GιG_\iotaGι​ only, and continuity of φι\varphi_\iotaφι​ on all of Aˉι\bar{\mathfrak A}_\iotaAˉι​.

Three formalizations would be easier but are not this theorem: one that replaces contractible by convex (that is the Kakutani–Nash setting), one that maximizes over all of Aι\mathfrak A_\iotaAι​ instead of Aι(aˉι)A_\iota(\bar a_\iota)Aι​(aˉι​), and one that assumes a fixed point of ϕ\phiϕ or states only the closed-graph step. None of these is acceptable, and the LEMMA may not be weakened to convex domains or convex values.

The work needed includes a small library of polyhedra and contractible subsets, and closed-graph correspondences on products. The largest piece is a proof of the LEMMA, a fixed-point theorem that is reusable well beyond this mission. Proofs of any milestone, alternative routes to the LEMMA, and supporting lemmas on polyhedra, such as compactness, triangulation or being absolute neighbourhood retracts, are all welcome.

Selected references

  • G. Debreu, A Social Equilibrium Existence Theorem, Proc. Natl. Acad. Sci. USA 38(10), 886–893, 1952. https://doi.org/10.1073/pnas.38.10.886
  • S. Eilenberg and D. Montgomery, Fixed Point Theorems for Multi-Valued Transformations, Amer. J. Math. 68(2), 214–222, 1946. https://doi.org/10.2307/2371832
  • E. G. Begle, A Fixed Point Theorem, Ann. of Math. 51(3), 544–550, 1950. https://doi.org/10.2307/1969367
  • S. Kakutani, A Generalization of Brouwer's Fixed Point Theorem, Duke Math. J. 8(3), 457–459, 1941. https://doi.org/10.1215/S0012-7094-41-00838-4
  • J. F. Nash, Equilibrium Points in N-Person Games, Proc. Natl. Acad. Sci. USA 36(1), 48–49, 1950. https://doi.org/10.1073/pnas.36.1.48
  • K. J. Arrow and G. Debreu, Existence of an Equilibrium for a Competitive Economy, Econometrica 22(3), 265–290, 1954. https://doi.org/10.2307/1907353
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On Certain Polytopes Associated with Graphs V: Zero-One Optima of the Odd-Cycle Relaxation on Series-Parallel GraphsResearch Paper

Motivation

The stable set problem asks for a largest set of pairwise non-adjacent vertices in a graph; its size is the stability number α(G)\alpha(G)α(G). It is NP-hard in general, and a standard way to attack it in integer programming is to write down linear inequalities valid for all stable sets and solve the resulting linear program. The weakest such relaxation uses only the edge inequalities xv+xw≤1x_v+x_w\le 1xv​+xw​≤1; its optimum can be as large as ∣V∣/2|V|/2∣V∣/2 on graphs with small α(G)\alpha(G)α(G). Adding, for every odd circuit CCC, the inequality ∑u∈Cxu≤12(∣C∣−1)\sum_{u\in C}x_u\le\frac12(|C|-1)∑u∈C​xu​≤21​(∣C∣−1) gives the odd-cycle relaxation, the first strengthening that cuts off the fractional point x≡12x\equiv\frac12x≡21​ on odd cycles.

Section 7 of V. Chvátal, On certain polytopes associated with graphs (J. Combin. Theory Ser. B 18 (1975) 138–154, doi:10.1016/0095-8956(75)90041-6) identifies a graph class on which this relaxation is exact for the all-ones objective, with an integral certificate on the dual side: the series-parallel networks. The paper conjectures (Conjecture 7.3) that for these graphs the odd-cycle inequalities describe the whole stable set polytope; graphs with that property were later called t-perfect.

Timeline:

  • 1960: G. A. Dirac, in "In abstrakten Graphen vorhandene vollständige 4-Graphen und ihre Unterteilungen" (Math. Nachr. 22), proves that graphs containing no subdivided K4K_4K4​ have at least two vertices of degree at most two.
  • 1975: Chvátal introduces the system (7.1) and proves Theorem 7.1 (this mission): on series-parallel networks, max⁡∑uxu\max\sum_u x_umax∑u​xu​ subject to (7.1) and its dual both have zero–one optima. He conjectures the full polyhedral statement.
  • 1979: M. Boulala and J.-P. Uhry, "Polytope des indépendants d'un graphe série-parallèle" (Discrete Math. 27), prove the conjecture: (7.1) defines the stable set polytope of every series-parallel graph.
  • 1986: A. M. H. Gerards and A. Schrijver, "Matrices with the Edmonds–Johnson property" (Combinatorica 6), extend this to graphs with no odd-K4K_4K4​ subdivision.

Setting

All graphs G=(V,E)G=(V,E)G=(V,E) are finite, undirected and loopless, with no parallel edges. A stable set is a set of vertices no two of which are adjacent. We write d(u)d(u)d(u) for the degree of uuu.

A set C⊆VC\subseteq VC⊆V induces an odd circuit if the induced subgraph G[C]G[C]G[C] is a cycle of length 2k+12k+12k+1 with k≥1k\ge1k≥1; triangles count, and such a cycle has no chords. Z(G)Z(G)Z(G) is the set of all such CCC. The odd-cycle system of GGG is

0≤xu≤1(u∈V),xv+xw≤1(vw∈E),∑u∈Cxu≤12(∣C∣−1)(C∈Z(G)).(7.1)\begin{aligned} 0\le x_u&\le 1 && (u\in V),\\ x_v+x_w&\le 1 && (vw\in E),\\ \textstyle\sum_{u\in C}x_u&\le \tfrac12(|C|-1) && (C\in Z(G)). \end{aligned}\tag{7.1}0≤xu​xv​+xw​∑u∈C​xu​​≤1≤1≤21​(∣C∣−1)​​(u∈V),(vw∈E),(C∈Z(G)).​(7.1)

Its linear programming dual for the objective ∑uxu\sum_u x_u∑u​xu​, with x≥0x\ge0x≥0 read as sign constraints, has variables yu≥0y_u\ge0yu​≥0, ze≥0z_e\ge0ze​≥0, wC≥0w_C\ge0wC​≥0 and reads

min⁡ ∑uyu+∑eze+∑C∈Z(G)12(∣C∣−1) wCs.t.yu+∑e∋uze+∑C∋uwC≥1  (u∈V).\min\ \sum_{u}y_u+\sum_{e}z_e+\sum_{C\in Z(G)}\tfrac12(|C|-1)\,w_C\quad\text{s.t.}\quad y_u+\sum_{e\ni u}z_e+\sum_{C\ni u}w_C\ge 1\ \ (u\in V).min u∑​yu​+e∑​ze​+C∈Z(G)∑​21​(∣C∣−1)wC​s.t.yu​+e∋u∑​ze​+C∋u∑​wC​≥1  (u∈V).

A homeomorph of K4K_4K4​ is a graph obtained from K4K_4K4​ by subdividing its edges into paths through new vertices of degree two. GGG is a series-parallel network if no subgraph of GGG is a homeomorph of K4K_4K4​.

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem 7.1

For every series-parallel network GGG,

∃ x∈{0,1}V feasible for (7.1):  ∑uxu=max⁡{∑uxu′:x′∈RV satisfies (7.1)},\exists\,x\in\{0,1\}^V\ \text{feasible for (7.1)}:\ \ \sum_u x_u=\max\Big\{\sum_u x'_u : x'\in\mathbb R^V\text{ satisfies (7.1)}\Big\},∃x∈{0,1}V feasible for (7.1):  u∑​xu​=max{u∑​xu′​:x′∈RV satisfies (7.1)},

and there is a zero–one dual feasible (y,z,w)(y,z,w)(y,z,w) whose dual objective equals the minimum over all real dual feasible points. Both optimality claims are against real points. Chvátal's statement has no constants to improve; the formal goal is his theorem as printed.

Milestones

  1. Dirac's theorem (§7, p. 150): a series-parallel network with at least two vertices has two distinct vertices of degree at most two.
  2. Case 4 closure (p. 151): if d(u)=2d(u)=2d(u)=2 and the neighbours v,wv,wv,w of uuu are non-adjacent, deleting uuu and identifying vvv with www yields a series-parallel network.
  3. The combinatorial core (p. 151, (i)–(ii)): there are a stable set SSS and a spanning subgraph F≤GF\le GF≤G whose components are isolated vertices, isolated edges and odd circuits, such that with aaa isolated vertices, bbb isolated edges and ckc_kck​ circuits of length 2k+12k+12k+1,
a+b+∑kk ck=∣S∣.a+b+\sum_k k\,c_k=|S|.a+b+k∑​kck​=∣S∣.

Significance

The result. Theorem 7.1 says that on series-parallel networks the odd-cycle relaxation computes α(G)\alpha(G)α(G) exactly, and that the optimum is certified by a covering of the vertex set by single vertices, edges and chordless odd circuits whose total weight equals ∣S∣|S|∣S∣. This is a min–max theorem of König type for a non-bipartite, non-perfect class: odd cycles of length at least five are series-parallel and not perfect, so the clique inequalities of the perfect-graph theory (mission I of this series) do not suffice here. The statement is the unweighted case of the later polyhedral results of Boulala–Uhry and Gerards–Schrijver, and the combinatorial core (milestone 3) is the basis of a polynomial algorithm for α(G)\alpha(G)α(G) on this class, as the paper remarks.

Formalizing it. The theorem has been proved since 1975; neither Mathlib nor the Prove2Me library contains a formal proof of it. A formal proof needs a working notion of graph subdivision (topological minor), which Mathlib does not have, Dirac's degree theorem, the induction of the paper with its four cases, and the passage from the combinatorial core to a pair of LP optima through weak duality. Each of these is reusable: topological minors and the K4K_4K4​-subdivision-free class appear throughout structural graph theory.

Difficulty

The combinatorial core is proved by induction on ∣V∣|V|∣V∣ removing a vertex of degree at most two, and three of the four cases are routine. The obstacle is Case 4 (d(u)=2d(u)=2d(u)=2, neighbours non-adjacent): deleting uuu alone loses the information needed to recover SSS and FFF, so the proof identifies the two neighbours. That requires the class to be closed under this identification, a statement about subdivisions that is not a local edge count, and a lifting of (S′,F′)(S',F')(S′,F′) from the reduced graph with a case split on the component of F′F'F′ containing the merged vertex. A second gap is between FFF and the dual: an odd-circuit component of FFF may have chords in GGG and so need not lie in Z(G)Z(G)Z(G), and the zero–one dual solution must be extracted from it. Finally, Dirac's theorem itself is the one place where the absence of K4K_4K4​ subdivisions is used positively, and it is not a consequence of a degree-counting argument.

Formalization scope

Graphs are SimpleGraph V on a Fintype V with decidable equality and decidable adjacency. Z(G)Z(G)Z(G) is a Finset (Finset V) whose members induce a subgraph isomorphic to Mathlib's cycleGraph (2k+1), k≥1k\ge1k≥1. The dual variables are indexed by V, by the edge set G.edgeSet, and by the subtype of Z(G)Z(G)Z(G); x≥0x\ge0x≥0 is a sign constraint with no dual variable. "Contains a homeomorph of K4K_4K4​" is encoded by four distinct branch vertices and six paths (Walk.IsPath) that avoid other branch vertices and meet only at common endpoints; it is not the K4K_4K4​-minor notion and not the series–parallel composition notion, whose equivalence with it is not part of the paper.

Conventions and implicit hypotheses made explicit:

  • Dirac's theorem is stated with ∣V∣≥2|V|\ge 2∣V∣≥2; as printed it fails for graphs with fewer than two vertices.
  • In Case 4 the identified graph has vertex set V∖{u,w}V\setminus\{u,w\}V∖{u,w}, with vvv representing v≡wv\equiv wv≡w; parallel edges merge.
  • Optimality in the goal is against every real feasible point of each program. A statement comparing the zero–one points only with other zero–one points would reduce the primal half to α(G)≤α(G)\alpha(G)\le\alpha(G)α(G)≤α(G) and is ruled out.
  • In milestone 3 the sum a+b+∑kkcka+b+\sum_k k c_ka+b+∑k​kck​ is written as a sum over the connected components of FFF of 111 (one or two vertices) or (n−1)/2(n-1)/2(n−1)/2 (n≥3n\ge3n≥3 vertices).

Corollary 7.2 (stated without proof) and Conjecture 7.3 are not part of this mission. Contributions welcome: a general topological-minor library, Dirac's theorem, and a proof of the combinatorial core.

Selected references

  • V. Chvátal, On certain polytopes associated with graphs, J. Combin. Theory Ser. B 18 (1975) 138–154. https://doi.org/10.1016/0095-8956(75)90041-6
  • G. A. Dirac, In abstrakten Graphen vorhandene vollständige 4-Graphen und ihre Unterteilungen, Math. Nachr. 22 (1960) 61–85 (reference [6], Satz 5, of the paper).
  • R. J. Duffin, Topology of series-parallel networks, J. Math. Anal. Appl. 10 (1965) 303–318 (reference [7] of the paper).
  • M. Boulala, J.-P. Uhry, Polytope des indépendants d'un graphe série-parallèle, Discrete Math. 27 (1979) 225–243.
  • A. M. H. Gerards, A. Schrijver, Matrices with the Edmonds–Johnson property, Combinatorica 6 (1986) 365–379.
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Approximation Techniques for Average Completion Time Scheduling IV: List Scheduling from an Optimal One-Machine Schedule Is a 2-Approximation for In-TreesResearch Paper

Motivation

Minimizing the sum of weighted completion times of jobs on identical parallel machines is one of the basic objectives of machine scheduling: it measures the average time a job spends in the system, weighted by its importance. When the jobs are subject to precedence constraints (a job may start only after certain other jobs have finished), the problem is strongly NP-hard already in very restricted cases, and the question becomes how close to optimal a polynomial-time algorithm can guarantee to be.

Chekuri, Motwani, Natarajan and Stein, Approximation Techniques for Average Completion Time Scheduling (SIAM J. Comput. 31(1), 2001, doi:10.1137/S0097539797327180), develop a general way to turn a good schedule for a single machine into a good schedule for mmm machines. For arbitrary precedence constraints their conversion (Delay List, §4.1–4.3) loses a factor (1+β)ρ+(1+1/β)(1+\beta)\rho+(1+1/\beta)(1+β)ρ+(1+1/β) over a ρ\rhoρ-approximate one-machine schedule, which is 444 when the one-machine schedule is optimal. In §4.4 they show that for in-tree precedence without release dates, the plain list-scheduling rule of Graham, fed with an optimal one-machine schedule, already achieves ratio 222. In-trees are the precedence structures of assembly processes: every job feeds into at most one later job.

Timeline of the relevant results:

  • 1966–1969: Graham introduces list scheduling on parallel machines and analyzes it for makespan (Graham 1969).
  • 1972: Horn gives a polynomial-time optimal one-machine algorithm for weighted completion time under treelike precedence (Horn 1972).
  • 1977: Adolphson gives O(nlog⁡n)O(n\log n)O(nlogn) one-machine algorithms for tree and series-parallel precedence (Adolphson 1977, the paper's reference [1]).
  • 2001: Chekuri, Motwani, Natarajan and Stein prove the ratio-222 bound for in-trees on mmm machines (Theorem 4.17).

Setting

There are nnn jobs J0,…,Jn−1J_0,\dots,J_{n-1}J0​,…,Jn−1​ and m≥1m\ge 1m≥1 identical machines. Job JjJ_jJj​ has a processing time pj>0p_j>0pj​>0 and a weight wj>0w_j>0wj​>0; every job is available at time 000 (there are no release dates).

The precedence constraints form an in-tree (more generally, an in-forest): every job jjj has at most one immediate successor succ⁡(j)\operatorname{succ}(j)succ(j), and following successors never returns to the start. Write i≺ji\prec ji≺j if jjj is reached from iii by following successors one or more times.

A feasible schedule SmS^mSm on mmm machines gives each job a start time Sj≥0S_j\ge 0Sj​≥0 and a machine; a job runs without interruption for pjp_jpj​ time units; two jobs on the same machine do not overlap; and i≺ji\prec ji≺j implies that jjj starts no earlier than iii completes. The completion time is Cjm=Sj+pjC^m_j=S_j+p_jCjm​=Sj​+pj​ and the value of the schedule is ∑jwjCjm\sum_j w_jC^m_j∑j​wj​Cjm​.

The critical-path length κj\kappa_jκj​ (Definition 4.1 with no release dates) is κj=pj\kappa_j=p_jκj​=pj​ if jjj has no predecessors and κj=pj+max⁡i≺jκi\kappa_j=p_j+\max_{i\prec j}\kappa_iκj​=pj​+maxi≺j​κi​ otherwise.

A list is an ordering π\piπ of the jobs that obeys the precedence constraints. It defines the one-machine schedule S1S^1S1 that runs the jobs in list order without idle time; its completion times are Cj1C^1_jCj1​, the total processing time of the jobs up to and including jjj in the list. An optimal one-machine schedule is a list minimizing C1=∑jwjCj1C^1=\sum_j w_jC^1_jC1=∑j​wj​Cj1​.

List scheduling (Graham's rule, footnote 3 of the paper) on mmm machines with list π\piπ: whenever a machine is free, start on it the first job of the list that is ready, i.e. whose predecessors have all completed.

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem 4.17

Let π\piπ be an optimal one-machine schedule and GGG the list schedule on mmm machines with list π\piπ. Then for every feasible mmm-machine schedule NNN,

∑jwjCjG ≤ 2∑jwjCjN.\sum_j w_jC^G_j\ \le\ 2\sum_j w_jC^N_j .j∑​wj​CjG​ ≤ 2j∑​wj​CjN​.

Milestones

Lemma 4.16 (any precedence-respecting list π\piπ, with its idle-free one-machine schedule S1S^1S1): for every job iii,

CiG ≤ κi+Ci1m.C^G_i\ \le\ \kappa_i+\frac{C^1_i}{m}.CiG​ ≤ κi​+mCi1​​.

Lemma 4.10: COPTm≥COPT1/mC^m_{\mathrm{OPT}}\ge C^1_{\mathrm{OPT}}/mCOPTm​≥COPT1​/m, i.e. ∑jwjCj1/m≤∑jwjCjN\sum_j w_jC^1_j/m\le\sum_j w_jC^N_j∑j​wj​Cj1​/m≤∑j​wj​CjN​ for an optimal list and every feasible NNN.

Lemma 4.11: COPTm≥∑iwiκi=COPT∞C^m_{\mathrm{OPT}}\ge\sum_i w_i\kappa_i=C^\infty_{\mathrm{OPT}}COPTm​≥∑i​wi​κi​=COPT∞​, i.e. ∑iwiκi≤∑iwiCiN\sum_i w_i\kappa_i\le\sum_i w_iC^N_i∑i​wi​κi​≤∑i​wi​CiN​ for every feasible NNN on any number of machines, and the value ∑iwiκi\sum_i w_i\kappa_i∑i​wi​κi​ is attained by a feasible schedule on nnn machines.

Significance

The result. Theorem 4.17 gives a simple, fast algorithm with a guaranteed factor 222 for a strongly NP-hard problem, halving the factor 444 that the general Delay List conversion gives for the same class. The per-job bound of Lemma 4.16 is stronger than the aggregate statement: every single job completes within its critical-path length plus a 1/m1/m1/m share of its one-machine completion time, so the same bound applies to other objectives built from completion times.

Formalizing it. The paper's proof is complete and short, but it argues about events at a time ttt (jobs that finish exactly at ttt, jobs that become ready at ttt, machines freed at ttt) and runs an induction over jobs ordered by start time with an invariant about idle time. A machine-checked version fixes what "list scheduling" means precisely, pins down the counting argument that uses the in-tree structure, and yields reusable definitions of nonpreemptive parallel-machine schedules, critical paths and list schedules. To the knowledge of this mission, none of these results has a machine-checked proof.

Difficulty

List scheduling may start a job that is late in the list before an earlier one, because the earlier job is not yet ready; so the one-machine order is not preserved and the obvious comparison with S1S^1S1 fails. Idle machines are the other obstacle: a machine can stay idle while a job waits for its predecessors, and a per-job bound of the form κi+Ci1/m\kappa_i+C^1_i/mκi​+Ci1​/m holds only if such idle time can be accounted for by JiJ_iJi​'s own chain of predecessors. For general precedence constraints, and for out-trees (every job has at most one immediate predecessor), the paper's accounting breaks down, and the paper states the per-job bound only for in-trees; the in-tree structure is essential to the argument. Events with several jobs finishing at the same instant, and ties in start times, have to be handled without loss.

Formalization scope

  • Jobs are Fin n, machines Fin m, times real numbers. Processing times and weights are strictly positive. There are no release dates: start times are nonnegative. The paper admits pj=0p_j=0pj​=0 only in lower-bound instances elsewhere; the bounds here assume pj>0p_j>0pj​>0.
  • In-trees are encoded by an immediate-successor map succ : Fin n → Option (Fin n) with no cycles; this covers in-forests, the reading of "in-trees" in Theorem 4.17. The precedence relation is its transitive closure.
  • κ\kappaκ is defined by well-founded recursion on the precedence order, exactly as Definition 4.1 with r≡0r\equiv 0r≡0.
  • One-machine schedules are represented by their precedence-respecting order and are idle-free; with no release dates and positive processing times idle time only delays jobs, so optimality among orders is optimality among one-machine schedules. The optimal one-machine schedule is a hypothesis of the goal; the paper's O(nlog⁡n)O(n\log n)O(nlogn) algorithm for computing it (reference [1]) is not formalized, and the running-time claim of Theorem 4.17 is not stated. A separate item asserts that an optimal order exists.
  • List scheduling is specified by two properties that determine Graham's rule up to machine labels: no machine is idle while a ready job waits, and among jobs ready at a start time the earlier one in the list starts first. A separate item asserts that such a schedule exists for every precedence-respecting list, so the goal is not vacuous.
  • Optima are never formed as infima: the approximation ratio is stated against every feasible schedule. A statement of the form "there is an algorithm with ratio 2" would be trivial (an optimal schedule exists) and is ruled out: the goal is about the paper's algorithm.
  • The equality ∑iwiκi=COPT∞\sum_i w_i\kappa_i=C^\infty_{\mathrm{OPT}}∑i​wi​κi​=COPT∞​ in Lemma 4.11 is stated as attainment on nnn machines (as many machines as jobs), which together with the lower bound on every number of machines is the optimum with unboundedly many machines.

Welcome contributions: proofs of the two existence items (Graham's list schedule by event-driven construction; an optimal order over the finite set of linear extensions), of Lemmas 4.10 and 4.11, and of Lemma 4.16. The schedule and list-scheduling definitions are reusable for other parallel-machine results with precedence constraints.

Selected references

  • C. Chekuri, R. Motwani, B. Natarajan, C. Stein, Approximation Techniques for Average Completion Time Scheduling, SIAM J. Comput. 31(1):146–166, 2001. https://doi.org/10.1137/S0097539797327180
  • R. L. Graham, Bounds on multiprocessing timing anomalies, SIAM J. Appl. Math. 17(2):416–429, 1969. https://doi.org/10.1137/0117039
  • W. A. Horn, Single-machine job sequencing with treelike precedence ordering and linear delay penalties, SIAM J. Appl. Math. 23(2):189–202, 1972. https://doi.org/10.1137/0123021
  • D. L. Adolphson, Single machine job sequencing with precedence constraints, SIAM J. Comput. 6(1):40–54, 1977. https://doi.org/10.1137/0206002
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Approximation Techniques for Average Completion Time Scheduling III: From One Machine to Many with Delay ListResearch Paper

Motivation

Minimizing the sum of weighted completion times ∑jwjCj\sum_j w_jC_j∑j​wj​Cj​ is one of the standard objectives of machine scheduling: it measures the average time a job spends in the system, weighted by its importance. With release dates or precedence constraints the problem is NP-hard already on one machine, and on mmm identical parallel machines it is harder still, so the literature of the 1990s concentrated on approximation algorithms. Many of these, including LP-based ones, are naturally designed for a single machine, where an order of the jobs determines the schedule.

Chekuri, Motwani, Natarajan and Stein (SIAM J. Comput. 31(1), 2001) gave a generic way to move from one machine to many. Their §4 describes an algorithm, Delay List, that takes any one-machine schedule as a priority list and produces an mmm-machine schedule, and proves that a ρ\rhoρ-approximate one-machine schedule yields a ((1+β)ρ+1+1/β)\bigl((1+\beta)\rho+1+1/\beta\bigr)((1+β)ρ+1+1/β)-approximate mmm-machine schedule for every β>0\beta>0β>0. The guarantee holds with release dates and arbitrary precedence constraints simultaneously, which at the time gave the best bounds known for several special cases, for example a factor 4 for series-parallel precedence without release dates.

Setting

An instance has nnn jobs J0,…,Jn−1J_0,\dots,J_{n-1}J0​,…,Jn−1​. Job JjJ_jJj​ has processing time pj>0p_j>0pj​>0, release date rj≥0r_j\ge 0rj​≥0 and weight wj>0w_j>0wj​>0. Precedence constraints form a strict partial order ≺\prec≺: i≺ji\prec ji≺j means that JjJ_jJj​ may start only after JiJ_iJi​ completes.

A feasible nonpreemptive schedule on mmm machines assigns each job a start time SjS_jSj​ and a machine; each job runs uninterrupted for pjp_jpj​ time units on its machine, two jobs on one machine do not overlap, Sj≥rjS_j\ge r_jSj​≥rj​, and Si+pi≤SjS_i+p_i\le S_jSi​+pi​≤Sj​ whenever i≺ji\prec ji≺j. The completion time is Cj=Sj+pjC_j=S_j+p_jCj​=Sj​+pj​ and the value of the schedule is ∑jwjCj\sum_j w_jC_j∑j​wj​Cj​. A one-machine schedule is the case m=1m=1m=1.

The critical-path length κj\kappa_jκj​ (Definition 4.1) is pj+rjp_j+r_jpj​+rj​ for a job without predecessors and pj+max⁡{max⁡i≺jκi, rj}p_j+\max\{\max_{i\prec j}\kappa_i,\,r_j\}pj​+max{maxi≺j​κi​,rj​} otherwise; it is the earliest time JjJ_jJj​ could complete with unlimited machines.

A list is an ordering π\piπ of the jobs. Delay List with parameter β>0\beta>0β>0 processes time continuously. A job is ready once it is released and all its predecessors have completed; qjmq^m_jqjm​ is the time it becomes ready. The head is the first unscheduled job of the list. Idle machine-time is recorded as charged to jobs. Whenever a machine is idle:

  1. if the head is ready, it is started, and charged all uncharged idle time in (qjm,sjm)(q^m_j,s^m_j)(qjm​,sjm​);
  2. otherwise the first ready job JkJ_kJk​ of the list is started as soon as at least βpk\beta p_kβpk​ units of uncharged idle time have accumulated, and is charged βpk\beta p_kβpk​ of it;
  3. otherwise nothing happens.

For a job JiJ_iJi​, BiB_iBi​ is the set of jobs up to and including JiJ_iJi​ in the list, AiA_iAi​ the set after it, Oi⊆AiO_i\subseteq A_iOi​⊆Ai​ the set of jobs of AiA_iAi​ started before JiJ_iJi​, and p(A)=∑k∈Apkp(A)=\sum_{k\in A}p_kp(A)=∑k∈A​pk​. Definition 4.4 builds from the schedule a backward path Pi′P'_iPi′​ ending at JiJ_iJi​, whose length is κi′\kappa'_iκi′​.

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem 4.13

Let S1S^1S1 be a feasible one-machine schedule of the instance with ∑jwjCj1≤ρ∑jwjCj′\sum_j w_jC^1_j\le\rho\sum_j w_jC'_j∑j​wj​Cj1​≤ρ∑j​wj​Cj′​ for every feasible one-machine schedule C′C'C′. Let m≥2m\ge 2m≥2 and β>0\beta>0β>0. Every Delay List schedule SmS^mSm built on the completion order of S1S^1S1 satisfies, for every feasible mmm-machine schedule NNN,

∑jwjCjm≤((1+β)ρ+1+1β)∑jwjCjN.\sum_j w_jC^m_j\le\Bigl((1+\beta)\rho+1+\frac1\beta\Bigr)\sum_j w_jC^N_j .j∑​wj​Cjm​≤((1+β)ρ+1+β1​)j∑​wj​CjN​.

Milestones, in the order the proof uses them

  • Fact 4.5: κi′≤κi\kappa'_i\le\kappa_iκi′​≤κi​.
  • Fact 4.6: the idle time charged to JiJ_iJi​ is at most βpi\beta p_iβpi​.
  • Lemma 4.7: no uncharged idle time remains in (qim,sim)(q^m_i,s^m_i)(qim​,sim​), and that idle time is charged only to jobs in BiB_iBi​.
  • Lemma 4.8: the idle time charged to AiA_iAi​ within (0,sim)(0,s^m_i)(0,sim​) is at most m(κi′−pi)m(\kappa'_i-p_i)m(κi′​−pi​), so p(Oi)≤m(κi′−pi)/β≤m(κi−pi)/βp(O_i)\le m(\kappa'_i-p_i)/\beta\le m(\kappa_i-p_i)/\betap(Oi​)≤m(κi′​−pi​)/β≤m(κi​−pi​)/β.
  • Theorem 4.9: Cim≤(1+β)p(Bi)/m+(1+1/β)κi′−pi/βC^m_i\le(1+\beta)p(B_i)/m+(1+1/\beta)\kappa'_i-p_i/\betaCim​≤(1+β)p(Bi​)/m+(1+1/β)κi′​−pi​/β for any list obeying precedence.
  • Lemma 4.10: COPTm≥COPT1/mC^m_{\mathrm{OPT}}\ge C^1_{\mathrm{OPT}}/mCOPTm​≥COPT1​/m.
  • Lemma 4.11: COPTm≥∑iwiκi=COPT∞C^m_{\mathrm{OPT}}\ge\sum_i w_i\kappa_i=C^\infty_{\mathrm{OPT}}COPTm​≥∑i​wi​κi​=COPT∞​.
  • Corollary 4.12: Cim≤(1+β)Ci1/m+(1+1/β)κiC^m_i\le(1+\beta)C^1_i/m+(1+1/\beta)\kappa_iCim​≤(1+β)Ci1​/m+(1+1/β)κi​ when the list is the completion order of S1S^1S1.

A further item states that a Delay List schedule exists for every instance and every list, so that the goal does not hold vacuously.

Significance

The result. Theorem 4.13 turns every one-machine approximation algorithm for weighted completion time with release dates and precedence into an mmm-machine algorithm at a bounded loss. With an optimal one-machine schedule and β=1\beta=1β=1 the factor is 444 (Corollary 4.14, for series-parallel orders), and the bounds are job-by-job (Theorem 4.9, Corollary 4.12), which the paper uses in Remark 4.15 to extend the method to other metrics and to one-machine schedules that ignore release dates. The same algorithm is the engine of the paper's 222\sqrt222​-approximation for parallel machines with release dates (§4.5).

Formalizing it. The theorem has been proved since 1997 (SODA) and 2001 (journal). There is no machine-checked version of it or of any of its lemmas, and the platform currently has no model of scheduling with release dates and precedence constraints. A formalization produces a precise specification of Delay List, whose informal description is given in discrete time and repaired in a remark; a checked proof of the charging argument; and reusable lower bounds (Lemmas 4.10 and 4.11) for any later work on parallel-machine scheduling with precedence.

Difficulty

The obvious attempt, list scheduling (start the first available job of the list whenever a machine is free), fails with non-identical processing times: a long job taken out of order can occupy a machine and delay a more valuable job that becomes ready shortly afterwards. Delay List allows out-of-order jobs only against accumulated idle time, and the analysis rests on a charging invariant. Stating it needs care about time (the paper's discrete-time exposition can over-charge by a time unit), about which idle time a charge consumes, and about many jobs being scheduled at one instant. The bound must hold simultaneously for release dates and arbitrary precedence constraints, where idle machines can be forced both by jobs that are not yet released and by chains of predecessors, and it must hold for every tie-breaking choice of the algorithm.

Formalization scope

Jobs are Fin n, machines Fin m, and times are real numbers. Processing times are positive, release dates nonnegative and weights positive, as in §1. Precedence is a strict partial order, the transitive closure of the paper's DAG; κ\kappaκ, readiness and feasibility are unchanged by taking the closure. The optimum is never a real infimum: "within a factor ρ\rhoρ of an optimal one-machine schedule" and "within a factor ccc of an optimal mmm-machine schedule" are inequalities against every feasible schedule of the same instance, with the same release dates and precedence constraints.

Delay List is formalized in the continuous-time version described in the proof of Fact 4.6, as a predicate on runs that records start times, machines, the order in which jobs are scheduled at equal times, and charge windows. A case-2 charge takes the most recent uncharged idle time, and idle time is charged by whole time slices. Every guarantee is claimed for every run satisfying the predicate. The ties in Definition 4.4 are broken arbitrarily, so statements involving κi′\kappa'_iκi′​ hold for every admissible path. Lemma 4.10 uses nonpreemptive one-machine schedules. Lemma 4.11's COPT∞C^\infty_{\mathrm{OPT}}COPT∞​ is modelled by nnn machines.

It would be trivializing to assume the conclusions of Fact 4.6 or Lemma 4.7 as properties of the run, or to measure ρ\rhoρ against a relaxation without release dates or precedence; both are ruled out. The algorithm's rules are the only hypotheses on the run.

Not stated: the running time of Delay List; the discrete-time algorithm; Corollary 4.14 (it needs a formal class of series-parallel orders and the external one-machine algorithm of Adolphson for them); Remark 4.15 (release-date-free one-machine schedules), whose hypotheses the paper does not pin down; and the extension to delays between jobs. Contributions of general infrastructure, such as idle-time accounting for step functions and lemmas about list schedules under precedence, are welcome and reusable beyond this mission.

Selected references

  • C. Chekuri, R. Motwani, B. Natarajan, C. Stein, Approximation Techniques for Average Completion Time Scheduling, SIAM Journal on Computing 31(1):146–166, 2001. https://doi.org/10.1137/S0097539797327180
  • R. L. Graham, Bounds for certain multiprocessing anomalies, Bell System Technical Journal 45:1563–1581, 1966. https://doi.org/10.1002/j.1538-7305.1966.tb01709.x
  • D. Adolphson, Single machine job sequencing with precedence constraints, SIAM Journal on Computing 6(1):40–54, 1977. https://doi.org/10.1137/0206002
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Approximation Techniques for Average Completion Time Scheduling II: A 2.83-Approximation for Parallel Machines with Release DatesResearch Paper

Motivation

Minimizing the average completion time of jobs that arrive over time is a basic objective in machine scheduling. It measures how long a job spends in the system on average. With several identical machines, release dates and no preemption (written P∣rj∣∑CjP|r_j|\sum C_jP∣rj​∣∑Cj​), the problem is strongly NP-hard already on one machine. Research has therefore looked for approximation algorithms: polynomial-time rules whose total completion time is provably within a constant factor of every feasible schedule.

A common approach solves a relaxation that is easy to optimize and converts its solution into a feasible schedule. Chekuri, Motwani, Natarajan and Stein (SIAM J. Comput. 31(1), 2001) use a relaxation that needs neither linear programming nor dynamic programming: pretend that the mmm machines are one machine that is mmm times as fast, and allow preemption.

Timeline:

  • 1996, Chakrabarti, Phillips, Schulz, Shmoys, Stein and Wein (ICALP 1996, LNCS 1099, pp. 646–657): a (2.89+ϵ)(2.89+\epsilon)(2.89+ϵ)-approximation for P∣rj∣∑CjP|r_j|\sum C_jP∣rj​∣∑Cj​.
  • 2001, Chekuri, Motwani, Natarajan and Stein (SIAM J. Comput. 31(1), §3 and §4.5). §3 gives a simple (3−1/m)(3-1/m)(3−1/m)-approximation by list scheduling from the one-machine relaxation. §4.5 combines it with the Delay List conversion to obtain 22≈2.832\sqrt2\approx2.8322​≈2.83. This mission's goal is the §4.5 result.
  • 1999, Afrati, Bampis, Chekuri, Karger, Kenyon, Khanna, Milis, Queyranne, Skutella, Stein and Sviridenko (FOCS 1999, pp. 32–43): polynomial-time approximation schemes for P∣rj∣∑wjCjP|r_j|\sum w_jC_jP∣rj​∣∑wj​Cj​. These settle the approximability, but the algorithms are far more involved than the ones formalized here.

Setting

An instance has nnn jobs J0,…,Jn−1J_0,\dots,J_{n-1}J0​,…,Jn−1​ and m≥1m\ge1m≥1 identical machines. Job JjJ_jJj​ has a processing time pj>0p_j>0pj​>0 and a release date rj≥0r_j\ge0rj​≥0.

A feasible schedule gives each job a start time Sj≥rjS_j\ge r_jSj​≥rj​ and a machine. Job JjJ_jJj​ runs without interruption on its machine during [Sj,Sj+pj)[S_j,S_j+p_j)[Sj​,Sj​+pj​), and two jobs on the same machine never overlap. The completion times are Cj=Sj+pjC_j=S_j+p_jCj​=Sj​+pj​ and the objective is ∑jCj\sum_j C_j∑j​Cj​. Cj∗C^*_jCj∗​ denotes the completion times of an arbitrary feasible schedule, against which every bound is stated.

The one-machine relaxation I1I1I1 has the same jobs and a single machine. Job JjJ_jJj​ has processing time pj/mp_j/mpj​/m and release date rjr_jrj​ in I1I1I1, and may be preempted. A preemptive schedule P1P1P1 of I1I1I1 gives each job a processing rate ρj(t)≥0\rho_j(t)\ge0ρj​(t)≥0. The rates sum to at most 111 at each time, and no job is processed before its release date. Each job receives pj/mp_j/mpj​/m units in total. Its completion time CjP1C^{P1}_jCjP1​ is the first time by which all of it has been processed. P1P1P1 is optimal if ∑jCjP1\sum_j C^{P1}_j∑j​CjP1​ is minimal among all such schedules.

A list is an ordering π\piπ of the jobs, and the completion order of P1P1P1 lists the jobs by nondecreasing CjP1C^{P1}_jCjP1​. Two ways of turning a list into an mmm-machine schedule are compared.

  • Strict-order list scheduling gives the schedule NNN. The jobs start in the order of the list. Each job starts at the earliest time that is no earlier than its release date, no earlier than the previous job's start, and at which some machine is free.
  • Delay List with parameter β>0\beta>0β>0 gives the schedule DDD. When a machine is idle, Delay List starts the first unscheduled job of the list if it has been released. If that job has not been released, the first released job of the list may jump ahead, but only once at least βpj\beta p_jβpj​ units of idle time (machine × time) have accumulated that no earlier job has charged. The job then charges exactly that amount. A job started in list order charges all uncharged idle time since its release.

Formalization targets

Goal: Lemma 4.19

With P1P1P1 optimal, π\piπ its completion order, NNN the strict-order list schedule of π\piπ and DDD a Delay List schedule of π\piπ with β0=3−22\beta_0=\sqrt{3-2\sqrt2}β0​=3−22​​, every feasible schedule satisfies

min⁡(∑jCjN, ∑jCjD)≤22 ∑jCj∗.\min\Bigl(\sum_j C^N_j,\ \sum_j C^D_j\Bigr)\le 2\sqrt2\,\sum_j C^*_j .min(j∑​CjN​, j∑​CjD​)≤22​j∑​Cj∗​.

The printed lemma says 2.832.832.83. Its proof gives 22≈2.82842\sqrt2\approx2.828422​≈2.8284, which is stated here.

Milestones

In the order the proof uses them:

  1. (4.2): if ∑jpj>α∑jCj∗\sum_j p_j>\alpha\sum_j C^*_j∑j​pj​>α∑j​Cj∗​ then ∑jrj≤(1−α)∑jCj∗\sum_j r_j\le(1-\alpha)\sum_j C^*_j∑j​rj​≤(1−α)∑j​Cj∗​.
  2. Lemma 3.1: ∑jCjP1≤∑jCj∗\sum_j C^{P1}_j\le\sum_j C^*_j∑j​CjP1​≤∑j​Cj∗​ for P1P1P1 optimal.
  3. (3.3): ∑jCjN≤2∑jCjP1+(1−1/m)∑jpj\sum_j C^N_j\le 2\sum_j C^{P1}_j+(1-1/m)\sum_j p_j∑j​CjN​≤2∑j​CjP1​+(1−1/m)∑j​pj​ for any P1P1P1.
  4. Lemma 3.2: ∑jCjN≤(3−1/m)∑jCj∗\sum_j C^N_j\le(3-1/m)\sum_j C^*_j∑j​CjN​≤(3−1/m)∑j​Cj∗​.
  5. Theorem 4.9, specialised to no precedence constraints. With BiB_iBi​ the jobs at or before JiJ_iJi​ in the list,
CiD≤(1+β)p(Bi)m+(1+1β)(ri+pi)−piβ.C^D_i\le\frac{(1+\beta)p(B_i)}{m}+\Bigl(1+\frac1\beta\Bigr)(r_i+p_i)-\frac{p_i}{\beta}.CiD​≤m(1+β)p(Bi​)​+(1+β1​)(ri​+pi​)−βpi​​.
  1. Lemma 4.18: ∑jCjD≤(2+β)∑jCj∗+1β∑jrj\sum_j C^D_j\le(2+\beta)\sum_j C^*_j+\frac1\beta\sum_j r_j∑j​CjD​≤(2+β)∑j​Cj∗​+β1​∑j​rj​.
  2. The balanced bound: under (4.2)'s hypothesis, ∑jCjD≤(2+β+(1−α)/β)∑jCj∗\sum_j C^D_j\le(2+\beta+(1-\alpha)/\beta)\sum_j C^*_j∑j​CjD​≤(2+β+(1−α)/β)∑j​Cj∗​.
  3. The constants: at α=22−2\alpha=2\sqrt2-2α=22​−2 and β=3−22\beta=\sqrt{3-2\sqrt2}β=3−22​​, 2+α=2+β+(1−α)/β=222+\alpha=2+\beta+(1-\alpha)/\beta=2\sqrt22+α=2+β+(1−α)/β=22​.

Two existence statements accompany them. One says an optimal P1P1P1 exists. The other says a Delay List schedule exists for every list and every β>0\beta>0β>0.

Significance

The result gives a 222\sqrt222​-approximation for P∣rj∣∑CjP|r_j|\sum C_jP∣rj​∣∑Cj​ that is simple to state and runs in O(nlog⁡n)O(n\log n)O(nlogn) time. It improves the 2.89+ϵ2.89+\epsilon2.89+ϵ bound of Chakrabarti et al. Neither of its two algorithms achieves the ratio alone. It comes from an analysis in which each algorithm is good exactly when the other is bad. List scheduling is good when processing times are small relative to the optimum. Delay List is good when release dates are small. The inequality (4.2) connects the two cases.

The component results are reusable beyond this paper. The one-machine relaxation lower bound (Lemma 3.1) and the (3−1/m)(3-1/m)(3−1/m) bound for list scheduling from it (Lemma 3.2) apply to any conversion from a fast single machine. The per-job bound of Theorem 4.9 is the core of the Delay List technique. Its general form, with precedence constraints, drives the paper's results for precedence-constrained scheduling.

All results are proved in the paper. None of them has a machine-checked proof that this mission knows of. A formalization would check the Delay List charging argument, which the paper states only in discrete time and adapts to continuous time in one sentence. It would also produce reusable Lean definitions of parallel-machine schedules with release dates and of list scheduling.

Difficulty

The arithmetic of the goal is routine once the milestones are in place. The substance lies in two places.

The first is Lemma 3.1 together with the "standard makespan argument" behind (3.2). The one-machine relaxation must be related to the mmm-machine schedule, and to the list schedule, with care about release dates. In particular, in the list schedule every machine is busy between the last release among the first jjj jobs of the list and the start of the jjj-th job. Proving this needs the strict order.

The second, and harder, is Theorem 4.9. The obvious argument bounds the waiting time of job JiJ_iJi​ by the work of the jobs ahead of it, but Delay List lets later jobs jump ahead. The idle time before JiJ_iJi​ starts and the work of the jobs that jump ahead of it must both be controlled, and the paper's charging argument for this depends on where charged idle time lies on the time axis and on which jobs charged it. Making that bookkeeping precise for a continuous-time algorithm is the main formalization cost.

Formalization scope

Jobs are Fin n and machines Fin m with m≥1m\ge1m≥1. Times are real, processing times are positive and release dates nonnegative. There are no weights and no precedence constraints. "Optimal" is never an infimum. Every bound is stated against every feasible nonpreemptive schedule, and P1P1P1's optimality is the hypothesis that its total completion time is at most that of every preemptive schedule of I1I1I1.

Committed conventions:

  • Preemptive schedules of I1I1I1 are rate functions, so the machine of I1I1I1 may be shared. The paper's one-job-at-a-time schedules are a special case.
  • Lists are bijections Fin n ≃ Fin n. A list of P1P1P1 may break ties in completion time in any way, and every such list is covered.
  • NNN is the strict-order variant of list scheduling, which footnote 3 of the paper contrasts with the greedy variant used in §4. It is a recursive definition over list positions.
  • Delay List is the continuous-time algorithm, as adopted in the proof of Fact 4.6. It is a predicate on start times, machines, the scheduling order and charge windows. A job scheduled out of order takes its charge from the most recent uncharged idle time; the paper leaves this placement open. Theorem 4.9 and Lemma 4.18 assume m≥2m\ge2m≥2, the setting of §4.1. The goal assumes only m≥1m\ge1m≥1.
  • The printed Lemma 4.18 lacks a ∑j\sum_j∑j​ on the C∗C^*C∗ term. The summed form of its proof's last display is stated.

The statement cannot be made easy by the hypotheses. Two existence items show that an optimal P1P1P1 and a Delay List schedule always exist, so no statement is vacuous. The bound is against every feasible schedule, not against the relaxation's value.

Not stated: the O(nlog⁡n)O(n\log n)O(nlogn) running time, the on-line version of §3's algorithm, and Delay List with precedence constraints (Theorem 4.9 in general, which is the subject of mission III of this series). Contributions welcome: proofs of the milestones, and reusable lemmas on list scheduling with release dates.

Selected references

  • C. Chekuri, R. Motwani, B. Natarajan, C. Stein, Approximation Techniques for Average Completion Time Scheduling, SIAM J. Comput. 31(1):146–166, 2001. https://doi.org/10.1137/S0097539797327180
  • S. Chakrabarti, C. A. Phillips, A. S. Schulz, D. B. Shmoys, C. Stein, J. Wein, Improved scheduling algorithms for minsum criteria, in Proceedings of ICALP 1996, LNCS 1099, Springer, pp. 646–657 (reference [3] of the paper).
  • F. Afrati et al., Approximation schemes for minimizing average weighted completion time with release dates, in Proceedings of the 40th IEEE FOCS, 1999, pp. 32–43 (reference [2] of the paper).
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Algorithmic Game TheoryOptimizationProbability·Captain: mikedeng1

The Allocation of Inventory Risk in a Supply Chain: Push, Pull, and Advance-Purchase Discount Contracts 3: Advance-Purchase Discounts Pareto-Improve Pull Contracts under At-Once Shipping CostsResearch Paper

Motivation

A supplier and a retailer who trade a seasonal product must decide who carries the inventory risk: the stock left unsold, or the demand left unserved, when the season ends. With a push contract the retailer orders everything before the season and bears the risk; with a pull contract he orders during the season from the supplier's stock at a single wholesale price, and the supplier bears it. Cachon (Management Science 50(2), 2004) studies the two and the contract between them, the advance-purchase discount, in which units ordered before the season are cheaper than units ordered during it.

In the base model of that paper, shipping a unit during the season costs the same as shipping it before. In practice orders placed during the season are often smaller and more urgent, and shipping and handling them costs more. §5.1 of the paper adds such a cost and asks whether pull contracts remain attractive. Theorem 8 answers that they are then never Pareto efficient: some advance-purchase discount is better for both firms.

Setting

Demand DDD for the season has law μ\muμ on R\mathbb RR, distribution function FFF and density fff. As in §3 of the paper, F(0)=0F(0) = 0F(0)=0, FFF is strictly increasing on [0,∞)[0,\infty)[0,∞), F′=fF' = fF′=f on (0,∞)(0,\infty)(0,∞), and the generalized failure rate g(x)=xf(x)/(1−F(x))g(x) = x f(x)/(1 - F(x))g(x)=xf(x)/(1−F(x)) is strictly increasing (IGFR). The expected sales from qqq available units are

S(q)=q−∫0qF(x) dx.S(q) = q - \int_0^q F(x)\,dx .S(q)=q−∫0q​F(x)dx.

The retail price is ppp, the unit production cost ccc, the salvage value vvv, with v<c<pv < c < pv<c<p.

A contract is a pair of wholesale prices {w1,w2}\{w_1, w_2\}{w1​,w2​}. Before production the retailer submits a prebook order of y≥0y \ge 0y≥0 units at w1w_1w1​. The supplier then produces q≥yq \ge yq≥y. During the season, after running out of prebooked stock, the retailer places at-once orders at w2w_2w2​, filled from the supplier's remaining stock. Pull is w1=w2<pw_1 = w_2 < pw1​=w2​<p; an advance-purchase discount is w1<w2w_1 < w_2w1​<w2​. In §5.1 the supplier pays an extra shipping and handling cost τ>0\tau > 0τ>0 per at-once unit. The profits are

πr(y,q)=−(w1−v)y+(p−v)S(y)+(p−w2)(S(q)−S(y)),\pi_r(y,q) = -(w_1 - v)y + (p - v)S(y) + (p - w_2)\bigl(S(q) - S(y)\bigr),πr​(y,q)=−(w1​−v)y+(p−v)S(y)+(p−w2​)(S(q)−S(y)), πs(y,q)=(w1−v)y+(w2−τ−v)(S(q)−S(y))−(c−v)q.\pi_s(y,q) = (w_1 - v)y + (w_2 - \tau - v)\bigl(S(q) - S(y)\bigr) - (c - v)q .πs​(y,q)=(w1​−v)y+(w2​−τ−v)(S(q)−S(y))−(c−v)q.

A supplier best response to yyy maximizes πs(y,⋅)\pi_s(y,\cdot)πs​(y,⋅) over q≥yq \ge yq≥y. An outcome of {w1,w2}\{w_1, w_2\}{w1​,w2​} is a pair (y,q)(y, q)(y,q) with qqq a best response to yyy and y≥0y \ge 0y≥0 maximizing πr\pi_rπr​ when every alternative prebook is followed by a best response to it.

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem 8

Fix w2<pw_2 < pw2​<p and τ>0\tau > 0τ>0, and suppose the retailer does not prebook under the pull contract {w2,w2}\{w_2, w_2\}{w2​,w2​}: y=0y = 0y=0 is his unique best reply, followed by the supplier's best response q0q_0q0​. Then there is w1w_1w1​ with

c<w1<w2c < w_1 < w_2c<w1​<w2​

such that {w1,w2}\{w_1, w_2\}{w1​,w2​} has an outcome, and every outcome (y,q)(y, q)(y,q) of it satisfies

πr{w1,w2}(y,q)>πr{w2,w2}(0,q0),πs{w1,w2}(y,q)>πs{w2,w2}(0,q0).\pi_r^{\{w_1,w_2\}}(y,q) > \pi_r^{\{w_2,w_2\}}(0,q_0), \qquad \pi_s^{\{w_1,w_2\}}(y,q) > \pi_s^{\{w_2,w_2\}}(0,q_0).πr{w1​,w2​}​(y,q)>πr{w2​,w2​}​(0,q0​),πs{w1​,w2​}​(y,q)>πs{w2​,w2​}​(0,q0​).

Milestones

  1. Eq. (22): for v<w1≤w2≤pv < w_1 \le w_2 \le pv<w1​≤w2​≤p the retailer's profit is concave in yyy and uniquely maximized at yry_ryr​ with F(yr)=(w2−w1)/(w2−v)F(y_r) = (w_2 - w_1)/(w_2 - v)F(yr​)=(w2​−w1​)/(w2​−v), whatever qqq.
  2. Eqs. (20)–(21) with w2−τw_2 - \tauw2​−τ: the supplier's best response to yyy is max⁡{y,qs}\max\{y, q_s\}max{y,qs​} with F(qs)=(w2−τ−c)/(w2−τ−v)F(q_s) = (w_2 - \tau - c)/(w_2 - \tau - v)F(qs​)=(w2​−τ−c)/(w2​−τ−v), independent of w1w_1w1​, and qsq_sqs​ is smaller than without the shipping cost.
  3. §5.1: for fixed w2w_2w2​ the retailer is never worse off with w1≤w2w_1 \le w_2w1​≤w2​ than with w1=w2w_1 = w_2w1​=w2​.
  4. yr(w1)>0y_r(w_1) > 0yr​(w1​)>0 for every w1<w2w_1 < w_2w1​<w2​.
  5. The derivative of w1↦πs(yr(w1),q)w_1 \mapsto \pi_s(y_r(w_1), q)w1​↦πs​(yr​(w1​),q), where the density at yr(w1)y_r(w_1)yr​(w1​) is positive:
dπs(yr(w1),q)dw1=yr(w1)−(w1−v)−(w2−τ−v)(1−F(yr(w1)))(w2−v)f(yr(w1)).\frac{d\pi_s(y_r(w_1), q)}{dw_1} = y_r(w_1) - \frac{(w_1 - v) - (w_2 - \tau - v)(1 - F(y_r(w_1)))}{(w_2 - v) f(y_r(w_1))}.dw1​dπs​(yr​(w1​),q)​=yr​(w1​)−(w2​−v)f(yr​(w1​))(w1​−v)−(w2​−τ−v)(1−F(yr​(w1​)))​.
  1. yr(w1)→0y_r(w_1) \to 0yr​(w1​)→0 as w1→w2w_1 \to w_2w1​→w2​, and, when fff has a positive right limit f(0)f(0)f(0) at 000, the derivative in 5 tends to −τ/((w2−v)f(0))<0-\tau/((w_2 - v) f(0)) < 0−τ/((w2​−v)f(0))<0.

Significance

Without shipping costs, advance-purchase discounts with w2=pw_2 = pw2​=p coordinate the supply chain (Theorem 7 of the paper, the subject of mission 2 of this series), and a pull contract can lie in the Pareto set among push and pull contracts (Theorem 6, mission 1). Theorem 8 shows that the second fact does not survive an at-once shipping cost of any size: pulling inventory during the season incurs a cost the integrated chain would avoid, and a small discount for early commitment shifts part of the stock to the prebook, where it is cheaper to ship. The Pareto set then no longer consists of a single contract type. The result supports the paper's conclusion that each of its three extensions makes push relatively more attractive than pull.

The theorem is proved in the paper, not formalized anywhere. A formal proof requires making precise two points the paper passes over: what "the retailer does not prebook" means when the retailer could switch to a large prebook once a discount is offered, and why no positive density at 000 is needed. Formalized, the statement also gives a checked account of the prebook game under a two-price contract, reusable for the other extensions of §5.

Difficulty

The paper's argument differentiates the supplier's profit along the retailer's optimal prebook and takes the limit as w1→w2w_1 \to w_2w1​→w2​. That limit involves f(0)f(0)f(0), which the model does not provide: FFF is differentiable only on (0,∞)(0, \infty)(0,∞), and for gamma demand with shape above 111 the density vanishes at 000, so the paper's limit is −∞-\infty−∞. A proof of the goal must therefore not rest on the limit display alone.

The second obstacle is the retailer's global choice. The calculus concerns prebooks yr(w1)y_r(w_1)yr​(w1​) below the supplier's production qsq_sqs​. Once w1<w2w_1 < w_2w1​<w2​, the retailer might instead prefer a prebook at least qsq_sqs​, turning the chain into push mode, and the outcome would then not be the one the derivative describes. Ruling this out for w1w_1w1​ close to w2w_2w2​ requires the strict form of the premise and a uniform comparison of the two regimes; it is not a local argument at yry_ryr​.

Formalization scope

Demand is a probability measure μ on ℝ with F := ProbabilityTheory.cdf μ, and the standing assumptions of §3 form the predicate DemandModel μ f; differentiability of F is required on (0,∞)(0,\infty)(0,∞) only, so the exponential law is admitted. Quantities range over [0,∞)[0, \infty)[0,∞). Best responses and outcomes are defined as maximizers, not by the closed forms of milestones 1 and 2. All profit formulas are those of §4.5 for w2≤pw_2 \le pw2​≤p, and every statement assumes it. The shipping cost enters only the supplier's at-once net revenue w2−τw_2 - \tauw2​−τ. The prebook function yry_ryr​ in milestones 5 and 6 is a function pinned on (v,w2)(v, w_2)(v,w2​) by Eq. (22), which determines it uniquely.

Readings of the paper's words:

  • "the retailer does not prebook when w1=w2w_1 = w_2w1​=w2​" is read as "y=0y = 0y=0 is the retailer's unique best reply" (every y>0y > 0y>0 gives strictly less); with a tie the conclusion can fail;
  • "profit increases for both" is read as a strict increase for both firms, in every outcome of the discounted contract;
  • the conclusion c<w1c < w_1c<w1​ strengthens "advance-purchase discount" (w1<w2w_1 < w_2w1​<w2​);
  • "reduces the supplier's optimal production" (milestone 2) is a strict decrease; its formula is stated for c≤w2−τc \le w_2 - \tauc≤w2​−τ;
  • "f(0)f(0)f(0)" in milestone 6 is the right limit of fff at 000, assumed positive there only; the positivity of f(yr(w1))f(y_r(w_1))f(yr​(w1​)) in milestone 5 is the hypothesis of the implicit-function step;
  • "never worse off" (milestone 3) compares every outcome of {w1,w2}\{w_1, w_2\}{w1​,w2​} with every outcome of {w2,w2}\{w_2, w_2\}{w2​,w2​}.

A version of the goal that assumed f(0)>0f(0) > 0f(0)>0, assumed yr(w1)<qsy_r(w_1) < q_syr​(w1​)<qs​, compared only one favourably chosen outcome of the discounted contract, or stated either firm's gain with ≥\ge≥, would be weaker than Theorem 8 and is not the target.

A complete development needs the concavity and first-order conditions for SSS, the inverse-function derivative for FFF, and the regime comparison between prebooks below and above qsq_sqs​. The first two are reusable across all newsvendor-type models; contributions proving the milestones in any order are welcome.

Selected references

  • G. P. Cachon, The Allocation of Inventory Risk in a Supply Chain: Push, Pull, and Advance-Purchase Discount Contracts, Management Science 50(2):222–238, 2004. https://doi.org/10.1287/mnsc.1030.0190
  • M. A. Lariviere, E. L. Porteus, Selling to the Newsvendor: An Analysis of Price-Only Contracts, Manufacturing & Service Operations Management 3(4):293–305, 2001. https://doi.org/10.1287/msom.3.4.293.9971
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