Partial Vertical Ownership, Capacity Investment, and Information Exchange in a Supply Chain I: Under Complete Information the Retailer Finances the Entire Capacity Iff β ≥ β̲, and β̲ < 1Research Paper
Motivation
Firms in a supply chain often hold equity in one another. A retailer may own a minority stake in a supplier without controlling it: the stake is passive, but it changes what the retailer cares about, because part of the supplier's profit now accrues to her. Avinadav and Shamir (Management Science, 2023) study how such partial vertical ownership (PVO) affects two classic frictions of decentralized supply chains: the supplier's under-investment in capacity, and the retailer's incentive to distort the demand information she shares. This mission formalizes the paper's benchmark result, Theorem 1, which settles the capacity question when both firms know the market state. It is the reference point against which the paper measures every asymmetric-information equilibrium, and a companion mission treats the paper's cheap-talk result (Theorem 2).
The question belongs to the literature on capacity investment with advance orders and on cross-ownership in vertical relations; the paper's Sections 1–2 survey it. The result itself is a threshold statement of a familiar newsvendor type, but in a model where the decision maker's objective mixes her own operating profit with a fraction of her supplier's.
Setting
A supplier builds a capacity at unit cost before the selling season. After demand is realized, the retailer orders at the wholesale price and sells at the retail price , where . Here is an advance order: a quantity the retailer commits to before the supplier builds capacity, and which the supplier must cover, . Unmet demand is lost and leftovers have no value.
Demand in market state is with , where the shock has mean zero, cumulative distribution function , a density, and support with . The expected profits are
The retailer owns a share of the supplier and maximizes the accounting payoff
The relevant critical fractiles are (supplier), (retailer without holdings) and
Under complete information both firms observe . The supplier answers with the capacity , equal to if and to otherwise (5). The retailer compares two options: order nothing and accept , or order and finance the whole capacity (6)–(7).
Formalization targets
Goal: Theorem 1
Let
Then the minimum exists, , and for both market states
The formal goal adds that the order chosen by (7) maximizes over .
Milestones
In the order the proof uses them: the closed form (2) of ; the optimality of (5); the closed form (4) of ; the §4 observation that ordering a positive quantity up to is weakly dominated by ordering nothing; the closed form, concavity and unique maximizer of (Appendix E, p. 43); the identity between the payoff gain and the expression in (9) (pp. 43–44); and Lemma E1, the existence of a unique threshold with (p. 44).
Significance
Theorem 1 says that a large enough passive stake always makes the retailer finance the entire capacity, and that full ownership is never needed: for every choice of prices, costs and demand law. The mechanism is visible in : each unit the retailer buys costs her effectively , so her preferred capacity grows with , and from on it is worth paying for. The theorem is also the benchmark for the rest of the paper: the cheap-talk, signaling and pooling equilibria of §§5–7 are compared with , and the thresholds and jointly delimit the paper's regimes.
The result is proved in the paper (Appendix E, pp. 42–44). It has not been formalized. A formal proof adds two things beyond confirmation. First, it settles a step the paper asserts without argument: that whenever , which is what forces in the second case of (8). Second, it produces reusable lemmas about newsvendor-type expectations under a general demand law with a density: the layer-cake identities behind (2)–(4) and the unique maximization of at a quantile.
Difficulty
The identities (2)–(4) are integration-by-parts computations, but they must be done for an arbitrary law with a density, with oriented interval integrals and without assuming bounded support. The concavity and the maximizer at require that the quantile be a genuine inverse of on .
The central difficulty is Lemma E1. The natural argument computes and observes it is positive when . That does not settle the sign of on the complementary region, where the paper argues informally that the supplier "builds a higher capacity for free". The comparison in , however, uses capacity even when , so that informal argument compares the wrong objects; a separate estimate is needed there. Differentiability of is also not given: the density need not be continuous or positive at the quantile, so the monotonicity of cannot simply be read off a derivative.
Formalization scope
The primitives , the law of and form a structure; is Mathlib's ProbabilityTheory.cdf P, and , applied only at levels in . The payoffs are defined as Bochner integrals of the realized profits; the closed forms are milestones, not definitions. The expression of (9) is defined as printed, because Theorem 1 defines by it, and a milestone ties it to the payoff gain , which is defined with its factor . The market state is quantified as and the share as .
The standing assumptions are those of §3: is a probability measure, has mean zero and a density, with , , , and . Three implicit assumptions are added and disclosed: (otherwise and is not defined), integrability of (presupposed by "zero mean"), and strict increase of on the support (the paper uses as an inverse). The advance order ranges over , and is a hypothesis of (2) and (4).
Two trivializations are ruled out. Defining the profits by their closed forms would make the payoff milestones true by definition, so they are expectations. Replacing the rule (7) by "an arg max of " would be ill-posed, because that maximizer is not unique (for every order up to ties with ); is the two-option rule as printed, and its optimality is a separate conclusion.
Proofs of any milestone are welcome, as are general lemmas on expectations of of a shifted random variable, on quantiles of continuous strictly increasing CDFs, and on the continuity of . The source is the authors' manuscript of 2022-06-06; its proofs are in Appendix E.
Selected references
- T. Avinadav and N. Shamir, Partial Vertical Ownership, Capacity Investment, and Information Exchange in a Supply Chain, Management Science, 2023 (read as the authors' manuscript of 2022-06-06; Theorem 1 on p. 11, proof on pp. 42–44). https://doi.org/10.1287/mnsc.2023.4673
- G. P. Cachon, Supply Chain Coordination with Contracts, Handbooks in Operations Research and Management Science 11, 2003 (the newsvendor and wholesale-price contract background). https://doi.org/10.1016/S0927-0507(03)11006-7