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Algorithmic Game TheoryOptimizationProbability·Captain: mikedeng1

Distributed Algorithms for Aggregative Games on Graphs II: The Gossip Algorithm with Stepsizes 1/Γ_k(i) Converges Almost Surely to the Unique EquilibriumResearch Paper

Motivation

In an aggregative game, each player's cost depends on its own decision and on the sum of all players' decisions. That form appears in resource sharing, production, and network games: a player may know its own choice while lacking a central feed of the aggregate. A distributed algorithm therefore has to estimate the aggregate through local communication as it updates decisions. Koshal, Nedić, and Shanbhag study this setting and give both synchronous and gossip schemes in Distributed Algorithms for Aggregative Games on Graphs. This mission concerns their asynchronous scheme, in which a random pair communicates at each tick.

The question is whether irregular, local updates still find the game's equilibrium when no agent knows in advance how often it will be selected. Each agent uses its own update count to set its step length. The paper's Proposition 3 states almost-sure convergence under strict monotonicity, compact strategy sets, and a connected graph. The result is a convergence claim about the complete random process, including who wakes, whom they contact, which estimate they exchange, and which projected step they take.

Setting

There are N≥1N\ge1N≥1 agents. Agent iii chooses xi∈Ki⊆Rnx_i\in K_i\subseteq\mathbb R^nxi​∈Ki​⊆Rn, with KiK_iKi​ nonempty, compact, and convex. A strategy profile is x=(x1,…,xN)x=(x_1,\ldots,x_N)x=(x1​,…,xN​) in K=∏iKiK=\prod_i K_iK=∏i​Ki​, and its aggregate is xˉ=∑ixi\bar x=\sum_i x_ixˉ=∑i​xi​. The map Fi(xi,u)F_i(x_i,u)Fi​(xi​,u) is the player's first-order response when its own decision is xix_ixi​ and its aggregate argument is uuu. The game map is ϕi(x)=Fi(xi,xˉ)\phi_i(x)=F_i(x_i,\bar x)ϕi​(x)=Fi​(xi​,xˉ). A solution x∗x^*x∗ of the variational inequality VI(K,ϕ)\mathrm{VI}(K,\phi)VI(K,ϕ) is feasible and satisfies

∑i⟨xi−xi∗,ϕi(x∗)⟩≥0for every x∈K.\sum_i\langle x_i-x_i^*,\phi_i(x^*)\rangle\ge0 \quad\text{for every }x\in K.i∑​⟨xi​−xi∗​,ϕi​(x∗)⟩≥0for every x∈K.

The paper obtains FiF_iFi​ from differentiable convex player costs, making VI solutions Nash equilibria. The formal statements take FiF_iFi​ as the primitive map used by the algorithm. Strict monotonicity means ∑i⟨ϕi(x)−ϕi(y),xi−yi⟩>0\sum_i\langle\phi_i(x)-\phi_i(y),x_i-y_i\rangle>0∑i​⟨ϕi​(x)−ϕi​(y),xi​−yi​⟩>0 for different feasible profiles x,yx,yx,y. Along with continuity and compact convex strategy sets, it makes the VI solution unique. The paper's Assumptions 1–3 also impose a uniform Lipschitz bound on how Fi(xi,u)F_i(x_i,u)Fi​(xi​,u) changes with uuu.

Agents occupy a connected, undirected graph. At a discrete tick kkk, a uniformly selected agent IkI^kIk contacts a neighbour JkJ^kJk with probability pIkJk>0p_{I^kJ^k}>0pIkJk​>0 on every edge. The ordered pairs are independent across ticks. Each agent maintains an aggregate estimate vikv_i^kvik​; the selected pair average their estimates to form v^ik\hat v_i^kv^ik​. Those agents take a projected step using Fi(xik,Nv^ik)F_i(x_i^k,N\hat v_i^k)Fi​(xik​,Nv^ik​) and then add their decision change to the estimate. Other agents retain their decisions and estimates. Initially vi0=xi0v_i^0=x_i^0vi0​=xi0​. The number Γk(i)\Gamma_k(i)Γk​(i) counts agent iii's updates through tick kkk, and its step length at an update is αk,i=1/Γk(i)\alpha_{k,i}=1/\Gamma_k(i)αk,i​=1/Γk​(i). Equations (23)–(29) of the paper define these operations.

Formalization targets

Goal: almost-sure equilibrium convergence

Under Assumptions 1–3 and connectedness of the gossip graph, Proposition 3 asserts that there is a unique x∗x^*x∗ solving VI(K,ϕ)\mathrm{VI}(K,\phi)VI(K,ϕ) and that the generated process satisfies

Pr⁡(lim⁡k→∞xk=x∗)=1.\Pr\bigl(\lim_{k\to\infty}x^k=x^*\bigr)=1.Pr(k→∞lim​xk=x∗)=1.

The goal includes existence and uniqueness of x∗x^*x∗, rather than conditioning convergence on a possibly nonexistent solution. Its random draws have the rate-one-clock law: Pr⁡(Ik=i,Jk=j)=pij/N\Pr(I^k=i,J^k=j)=p_{ij}/NPr(Ik=i,Jk=j)=pij​/N.

Milestones

The five milestones record the VI's unique solution from the proof of Proposition 1, conservation of the agents' average estimate in Lemma 2, the almost-sure stepsize bounds of Lemma 7, their summability consequences in Corollary 1, and the mean-square gossip contraction in relations (30)–(31). They cover the equilibrium, tracking, step length, and network-mixing parts of the claim. Their source wording, indices, and PDF pages are attached to the mission items.

Significance

The result shows that a shared aggregate can be learned well enough through pairwise, random exchanges to reach the same equilibrium characterized by the centralized VI. Update counts permit agents to choose diminishing steps without a common iteration clock or a schedule ensuring equal participation on each finite interval. Connectedness and positive contact probabilities ensure every graph edge can carry information. The convergence assertion is almost sure, so it concerns individual sample paths outside a null set, rather than merely an average error.

Formalizing the result would connect finite graph gossip, random update counts, projected VI iteration, and almost-sure convergence in one reusable development. The paper proves Proposition 3; this mission supplies an open machine-checked target, not a claim that the result is unresolved mathematically. A proof would need honest probability statements for the draw law and summability and a projection interface that does not assign arbitrary values on empty sets. The VI existence and uniqueness milestone can also serve other compact, strictly monotone games.

Difficulty

Pairwise averaging preserves the mean estimate, but it does not make each agent's estimate equal to that mean at every step. A projected decision change immediately perturbs the local estimate again. The selected agents and their step lengths also depend on the same update history, so deterministic simultaneous-update arguments do not directly apply. The paper controls this interaction using update-count asymptotics, contraction of the random gossip matrix, and almost-sure summability. None of those conclusions follows from connectedness alone if a nominal edge has zero contact probability.

Formalization scope

Lean represents each decision in EuclideanSpace ℝ (Fin n) and profiles as functions on Fin N. The aggregate is a finite sum. A projection is the relation saying that the selected point lies in its set and minimizes Euclidean distance, rather than a total function with an arbitrary output on an empty set. The profile topology used for convergence is the finite product topology. For vectors indexed by agents, relations (30)–(31) use the explicit Euclidean coordinate norm; the default norm of Fin N → ℝ is a sup norm.

The continuous-time Poisson clocks are encoded through their induced independent discrete tick pairs and exact joint law. Initial decisions are fixed and feasible. The source allows random initial decisions; the formal goal covers every deterministic start. This restriction is recorded because the paper's stated random initialization would require an explicit independence relation with future clock draws. Tick indices start at zero in Lean; a selected agent has Γk(i)≥1\Gamma_k(i)\ge1Γk​(i)≥1, so the value assigned to 1/01/01/0 never drives an update. The positive-time series and bounds still begin at k=1k=1k=1.

The paper gives the Lipschitz condition on aggregate arguments only in the feasible aggregate set Kˉ\bar KKˉ. Its algorithm can evaluate FiF_iFi​ outside that set, as its own footnote acknowledges. This development explicitly extends that condition to all of Rn\mathbb R^nRn to make those evaluations controlled. The change is substantive and disclosed on each affected item; the preprint's Lemma 3 proof contains the corresponding domain gap. The goal assumes neither the stepsize estimates nor the network contraction nor convergence of the estimate errors; they remain mathematical work. Further contributions may formalize the omitted intermediate lemmas, or refine the initialization and domain assumptions while preserving a meaningful statement.

Selected references

  • J. Koshal, A. Nedić, and U. V. Shanbhag, Distributed Algorithms for Aggregative Games on Graphs, Operations Research 64(3), 680–704, 2016. arXiv:1605.00267v2; DOI:10.1287/opre.2016.1501.
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Operations ResearchOptimal TransportProbability+1·Captain: mikedeng1

A Stochastic Control Approach to No-Arbitrage Bounds Given Marginals, with an Application to Lookback Options: The Robust Superhedging Bound of g(X*_T) Given the Law of X_T Equals μ^HL(g)Research Paper

Model-free bounds for lookback options

A lookback option pays a function of the running maximum of the underlying asset over the life of the contract. When the prices of European call options of all strikes at the maturity are quoted, the risk-neutral law μ\muμ of the terminal price is known, but the law of the whole path is not. The robust (model-free) superhedging cost of the lookback payoff is the cheapest initial capital that, combined with a static position in the quoted calls and dynamic trading in the underlying, dominates the payoff in every model consistent with μ\muμ.

Hobson (Finance Stoch. 1998) computed this cost for g(x)=xg(x)=xg(x)=x by a pathwise inequality, and identified the extremal model through the Azéma–Yor solution of the Skorokhod embedding problem (Azéma–Yor 1979). Galichon, Henry-Labordère and Touzi (Ann. Appl. Probab. 2014, arXiv:1401.3921) recast model-free bounds as a dual stochastic control problem in which the marginal constraint is penalised by a Lagrange multiplier λ\lambdaλ. Their Theorem 3.1 recovers Hobson's bound for every C1C^1C1 nondecreasing ggg from that dual, with an explicit optimal multiplier and stopping time. The result is one of the founding examples of martingale optimal transport.

Setting

Let BBB be a real Brownian motion with continuous paths and B0=0B_0=0B0​=0, adapted to a filtration (Ft)t≥0(\mathcal F_t)_{t\ge0}(Ft​)t≥0​ with increments independent of the past, and let Xt=X0+BtX_t=X_0+B_tXt​=X0​+Bt​ for a spot X0∈RX_0\in\mathbb RX0​∈R. Write Xτ∗=max⁡t≤τXtX^*_\tau=\max_{t\le\tau}X_tXτ∗​=maxt≤τ​Xt​. Let T∞\mathcal T_\inftyT∞​ be the set of stopping times τ\tauτ for which the stopped process (Xt∧τ)t≥0(X_{t\wedge\tau})_{t\ge0}(Xt∧τ​)t≥0​ is a uniformly integrable martingale.

The marginal is a probability measure μ\muμ on R\mathbb RR with finite first moment and mean ∫x μ(dx)=X0\int x\,\mu(dx)=X_0∫xμ(dx)=X0​. Its call prices are c(x)=∫(y−x)+μ(dy)c(x)=\int(y-x)^+\mu(dy)c(x)=∫(y−x)+μ(dy). The payoff is ξ=g(X∗)\xi=g(X^*)ξ=g(X∗) with g:R→R+g:\mathbb R\to\mathbb R_+g:R→R+​ of class C1C^1C1 and nondecreasing.

For a multiplier λ:R→R\lambda:\mathbb R\to\mathbb Rλ:R→R and τ∈T∞\tau\in\mathcal T_\inftyτ∈T∞​ set J(λ,τ)=E[g(Xτ∗)−λ(Xτ)]J(\lambda,\tau)=\mathbb E[g(X^*_\tau)-\lambda(X_\tau)]J(λ,τ)=E[g(Xτ∗​)−λ(Xτ​)] and uλ(X0,X0)=sup⁡τ∈T∞J(λ,τ)u^\lambda(X_0,X_0)=\sup_{\tau\in\mathcal T_\infty}J(\lambda,\tau)uλ(X0​,X0​)=supτ∈T∞​​J(λ,τ). The admissible multipliers are

Λ0μ={λ∈L1(μ): sup⁡τ∈T∞E[λ(Xτ)−]<∞},\Lambda^\mu_0=\Big\{\lambda\in\mathbb L^1(\mu):\ \sup_{\tau\in\mathcal T_\infty}\mathbb E[\lambda(X_\tau)^-]<\infty\Big\},Λ0μ​={λ∈L1(μ): τ∈T∞​sup​E[λ(Xτ​)−]<∞},

and the reduced superhedging problem (3.7) is

Uμ(ξ)=inf⁡λ∈Λ0μ{∫λ dμ+uλ(X0,X0)}.U^\mu(\xi)=\inf_{\lambda\in\Lambda^\mu_0}\Big\{\int\lambda\,d\mu+u^\lambda(X_0,X_0)\Big\}.Uμ(ξ)=λ∈Λ0μ​inf​{∫λdμ+uλ(X0​,X0​)}.

The barycenter function is b(x)=∫[x,∞)y μ(dy)/μ([x,∞))b(x)=\int_{[x,\infty)}y\,\mu(dy)/\mu([x,\infty))b(x)=∫[x,∞)​yμ(dy)/μ([x,∞)) for μ((x,∞))>0\mu((x,\infty))>0μ((x,∞))>0 and b(x)=xb(x)=xb(x)=x otherwise. The Hardy–Littlewood transform μHL\mu^{HL}μHL is the probability measure with

μHL([y,∞))=inf⁡ξ<yc(ξ)y−ξ.\mu^{HL}([y,\infty))=\inf_{\xi<y}\frac{c(\xi)}{y-\xi}.μHL([y,∞))=ξ<yinf​y−ξc(ξ)​.

The Azéma–Yor stopping time is τ∗=inf⁡{t>0:Xt∗≥b(Xt)}\tau^*=\inf\{t>0:X^*_t\ge b(X_t)\}τ∗=inf{t>0:Xt∗​≥b(Xt​)}, and the candidate multiplier is

λ∗(x)=∫ℓμx ⁣∫ℓμyg′(b(ξ)) b(dξ)b(ξ)−ξ dy,\lambda^*(x)=\int_{\ell^\mu}^{x}\!\int_{\ell^\mu}^{y}g'(b(\xi))\,\frac{b(d\xi)}{b(\xi)-\xi}\,dy ,λ∗(x)=∫ℓμx​∫ℓμy​g′(b(ξ))b(ξ)−ξb(dξ)​dy,

that is, the convex function vanishing below ℓμ\ell^\muℓμ that solves the weak ODE (3.21) with ψ=b−1\psi=b^{-1}ψ=b−1.

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem 3.1

If sup⁡τ∈T∞E[g(Xτ∗)]<∞\sup_{\tau\in\mathcal T_\infty}\mathbb E[g(X^*_\tau)]<\inftysupτ∈T∞​​E[g(Xτ∗​)]<∞ and μHL(g)=∫g dμHL<∞\mu^{HL}(g)=\int g\,d\mu^{HL}<\inftyμHL(g)=∫gdμHL<∞, then

Uμ(ξ)=μ(λ∗)+J(λ∗,τ∗)=μHL(g).U^\mu(\xi)=\mu(\lambda^*)+J(\lambda^*,\tau^*)=\mu^{HL}(g).Uμ(ξ)=μ(λ∗)+J(λ∗,τ∗)=μHL(g).

The goal is the paper's theorem for the reduced problem (3.7), in its full two-equality form: the value, its attainment by (λ∗,τ∗)(\lambda^*,\tau^*)(λ∗,τ∗), and its closed form.

Milestones

  1. The Neumann condition (3.23) for Peskir's candidate vψv^\psivψ.
  2. Lemma 3.1: uλ≤vψu^\lambda\le v^\psiuλ≤vψ for convex λ∈Λ0μ\lambda\in\Lambda^\mu_0λ∈Λ0μ​ and every relaxed free boundary ψ∈Ψλ\psi\in\Psi^\lambdaψ∈Ψλ.
  3. Step (1) of Lemma 3.2: μ(λ)−λ(X0)=∫(c−c0) dλ′′\mu(\lambda)-\lambda(X_0)=\int(c-c_0)\,d\lambda''μ(λ)−λ(X0​)=∫(c−c0​)dλ′′, with c0(x)=(X0−x)+c_0(x)=(X_0-x)^+c0​(x)=(X0​−x)+.
  4. Lemma 3.2: μ(λ)+uλ(X0,X0)≤g(X0)+∫φ(ψ(m),m)g′(m) dm\mu(\lambda)+u^\lambda(X_0,X_0)\le g(X_0)+\int\varphi(\psi(m),m)g'(m)\,dmμ(λ)+uλ(X0​,X0​)≤g(X0​)+∫φ(ψ(m),m)g′(m)dm.
  5. The pointwise minimizations (3.27) and (3.28).
  6. Steps (2) and (3) of Lemma 3.3: properties of λ∗\lambda^*λ∗, and the integration by parts giving μHL(g)\mu^{HL}(g)μHL(g).
  7. Lemma 3.3, the upper bound Uμ(ξ)≤μHL(g)U^\mu(\xi)\le\mu^{HL}(g)Uμ(ξ)≤μHL(g).
  8. The Azéma–Yor facts: τ∗∈T∞\tau^*\in\mathcal T_\inftyτ∗∈T∞​, Xτ∗∼μX_{\tau^*}\sim\muXτ∗​∼μ, Xτ∗∗∼μHLX^*_{\tau^*}\sim\mu^{HL}Xτ∗∗​∼μHL.
  9. The lower bound Uμ(ξ)≥μHL(g)U^\mu(\xi)\ge\mu^{HL}(g)Uμ(ξ)≥μHL(g) of Section 3.4.

Significance

The theorem identifies the model-free price of a lookback payoff as an explicit functional of the call prices, μHL(g)\mu^{HL}(g)μHL(g), and exhibits the extremal model (Brownian motion stopped at τ∗\tau^*τ∗) and the optimal static hedge (λ∗\lambda^*λ∗). It shows that the dual stochastic control formulation is sharp on a nontrivial path-dependent payoff, which is the template for later work on martingale optimal transport with path-dependent costs.

The result has been proved since 2014 (and Hobson's bound since 1998). It has not been formalized. A complete development would provide machine-checked versions of the Azéma–Yor embedding, the law of the maximum at the embedding, a verification theorem for a reflected optimal stopping problem with a nonsmooth obstacle, and the convex-analytic identities linking call prices to second-derivative measures. Each of these is reusable well beyond this paper.

Difficulty

The upper bound requires a verification argument for an optimal stopping problem of the pair (X,X∗)(X,X^*)(X,X∗) with a reflection at the diagonal, where the candidate vψv^\psivψ is only as regular as the convex multiplier λ\lambdaλ: second derivatives are measures and the free boundary ψ\psiψ solves its ODE only in a relaxed sense. An Itô formula for C2C^2C2 functions does not apply; an Itô–Tanaka (local time) argument for concave functions of XXX, with the reflection term killed by the Neumann condition, is needed, followed by a localisation that uses uniform integrability and the integrability condition in Λ0μ\Lambda^\mu_0Λ0μ​. The lower bound needs the Azéma–Yor embedding and the law of Xτ∗∗X^*_{\tau^*}Xτ∗∗​, neither of which is in Mathlib; the naive appeal to "the embedding exists" does not give the joint law of the stopped value and the maximum.

Formalization scope

The Lean development lives in the namespace LookbackMOT.HL and uses Mathlib's IsBrownianReal, IsStoppingTime, stoppedProcess, stoppedValue, Martingale, UniformIntegrable and HasLaw. Committed conventions:

  • What is formalized. The goal is the reduced problem (3.7), not the superhedging problem (2.6): (2.6) needs stochastic integrals, which Mathlib does not have. The bridge between them (Proposition 2.1, the claim (3.4), Proposition 3.1) is outside this mission. The theorem's hypothesis sup⁡P∈P∞EP[ξ+]<∞\sup_{\mathbb P\in\mathcal P_\infty}\mathbb E^{\mathbb P}[\xi^+]<\inftysupP∈P∞​​EP[ξ+]<∞ is stated through Proposition 3.1 with λ=0\lambda=0λ=0 as sup⁡τ∈T∞E[g(Xτ∗)]<∞\sup_{\tau\in\mathcal T_\infty}\mathbb E[g(X^*_\tau)]<\inftysupτ∈T∞​​E[g(Xτ∗​)]<∞. The horizon TTT disappears: the stopping problem is over T∞\mathcal T_\inftyT∞​ with time in [0,∞)[0,\infty)[0,∞).
  • Standing hypotheses. The Brownian motion lives on an arbitrary filtered probability space with everywhere-continuous paths and B0=0B_0=0B0​=0; the paper's canonical space is one instance. The mean condition and integrability of μ\muμ (p. 7) are assumed throughout. The spot X0X_0X0​ is any real number. μ([0,∞))=1\mu([0,\infty))=1μ([0,∞))=1 is assumed only in (3.27).
  • Added conditions. Every τ∈T∞\tau\in\mathcal T_\inftyτ∈T∞​ is a.s. finite (implied by uniform integrability). Every λ∈Λ0μ\lambda\in\Lambda^\mu_0λ∈Λ0μ​ is measurable.
  • Expectations of payoffs are E[φ+]−E[φ−]\mathbb E[\varphi^+]-\mathbb E[\varphi^-]E[φ+]−E[φ−] in the extended reals, with ∞−∞=−∞\infty-\infty=-\infty∞−∞=−∞; value functions are extended reals.
  • Derivatives. λ′\lambda'λ′ is the right derivative and λ′′\lambda''λ′′ its Stieltjes measure. The weak ODE (3.21) is used both as a change of variables (λ′′\lambda''λ′′ is the image of g′(m)/(m−ψ(m)) dmg'(m)/(m-\psi(m))\,dmg′(m)/(m−ψ(m))dm under ψ\psiψ) and on intervals (λ′(ψ(y2))−λ′(ψ(y1))=∫y1y2g′(m)/(m−ψ(m)) dm\lambda'(\psi(y_2))-\lambda'(\psi(y_1))=\int_{y_1}^{y_2}g'(m)/(m-\psi(m))\,dmλ′(ψ(y2​))−λ′(ψ(y1​))=∫y1​y2​​g′(m)/(m−ψ(m))dm), the two forms the paper's proofs use.
  • The multiplier λ∗\lambda^*λ∗. It is written as λ∗(x)=∫X0<m<rμg′(m)(x−b−1(m))+/(m−b−1(m)) dm\lambda^*(x)=\int_{X_0<m<r^\mu}g'(m)(x-b^{-1}(m))^+/(m-b^{-1}(m))\,dmλ∗(x)=∫X0​<m<rμ​g′(m)(x−b−1(m))+/(m−b−1(m))dm, the change of variables m=b(ξ)m=b(\xi)m=b(ξ) in (3.14) and the solution of (3.21) with ψ=b−1\psi=b^{-1}ψ=b−1 that the proof of Lemma 3.3 uses. It agrees with the b(dξ)b(d\xi)b(dξ) formula when bbb is continuous; at the jumps of bbb (atoms of μ\muμ) the Lebesgue–Stieltjes reading of (3.14) can fail to be μ\muμ-integrable.
  • Measures given by identities. μHL\mu^{HL}μHL and λ′′\lambda''λ′′ enter as measures satisfying their defining identities on intervals; each exists and is unique.
  • Printed slips not copied. (3.12) prints the numerator c(y)c(y)c(y); the formalization uses c(ξ)c(\xi)c(ξ). bbb, μHL\mu^{HL}μHL and λ∗\lambda^*λ∗ are extended from x≥0x\ge0x≥0 to all of R\mathbb RR by the same formulas.

No trivializing reading is available. Payoff expectations are never Bochner integrals (which would be 000 for non-integrable payoffs). τ≡0\tau\equiv0τ≡0 lies in T∞\mathcal T_\inftyT∞​ and λ≡0\lambda\equiv0λ≡0 in Λ0μ\Lambda^\mu_0Λ0μ​, so neither the supremum nor the infimum is over an empty set. The predicates for μHL\mu^{HL}μHL and λ′′\lambda''λ′′ are satisfiable (witnessed for μ=δX0\mu=\delta_{X_0}μ=δX0​​ in a sorry-free check). XτX_\tauXτ​ is only evaluated where τ<∞\tau<\inftyτ<∞ a.s. Every division has a positive denominator on the sets that carry mass.

Contributions welcome: the Azéma–Yor embedding and the law of the maximum; an Itô–Tanaka or local-time calculus sufficient for concave functions of Brownian motion and its maximum; the call-price identities of convex analysis; and the analysis of μHL\mu^{HL}μHL.

Selected references

  • A. Galichon, P. Henry-Labordère, N. Touzi, A stochastic control approach to no-arbitrage bounds given marginals, with an application to lookback options, Ann. Appl. Probab. 24 (2014) 312–336. https://arxiv.org/abs/1401.3921 (v1, the version cited)
  • D. Hobson, Robust hedging of the lookback option, Finance Stoch. 2 (1998) 329–347. https://doi.org/10.1007/s007800050046
  • J. Azéma, M. Yor, Une solution simple au problème de Skorokhod, Séminaire de Probabilités XIII, LNM 721 (1979) 90–115. https://doi.org/10.1007/BFb0070852
  • G. Peskir, Optimal stopping of the maximum process: the maximality principle, Ann. Probab. 26 (1998) 1614–1640. https://doi.org/10.1214/aop/1022855875
  • L. Carraro, N. El Karoui, J. Obłój, On Azéma–Yor processes, their optimal properties and the Bachelier–drawdown equation, Ann. Probab. 40 (2012) 372–400. https://arxiv.org/abs/0902.1328
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Operations ResearchOptimizationProbability·Captain: mikedeng1

Distributionally Robust Convex Optimization IV: An Absolute Mean Spread Bound Describes Exactly the z̃-Marginals of a Lifted Ambiguity SetResearch Paper

Motivation

Distributionally robust optimization handles an uncertain parameter z~∈RP\tilde z\in\mathbb R^Pz~∈RP whose distribution is only partly known. A decision must satisfy an expectation constraint for every distribution in an ambiguity set, the set of distributions consistent with the available information. Wiesemann, Kuhn and Sim (Optimization Online preprint 3757, 2013; Operations Research 62(6), 2014, doi:10.1287/opre.2014.1314) introduce a standardized ambiguity set. Its members are joint distributions of z~\tilde zz~ and auxiliary random vectors u~\tilde uu~, constrained by expectation conditions and by probability bounds on conic confidence sets. Worst-case expectation constraints over such a set have tractable conic reformulations. The practical question is which kinds of distributional information this format can express. A set over (z~,u~)(\tilde z,\tilde u)(z~,u~) describes information about z~\tilde zz~ through its z~\tilde zz~-marginals, so the precise claim is that some set of distributions of z~\tilde zz~ equals the projection of a standardized set.

Section 3 of the paper settles this question for several common descriptors of dispersion. One of them is the absolute mean spread, the gap between the mean of a random variable above a threshold and its mean below it. Levi, Perakis and Uichanco used it to describe demand uncertainty in data-driven newsvendor models (Oper. Res. 63(6), 2015). The paper notes that, unlike variance or coefficient-of-variation bounds, spread information "can no longer be constructed via straightforward application of Theorem 5", its general lifting result for conic-representable moment bounds. Proposition 2 provides a dedicated lifting instead.

Setting

Fix f∈RPf\in\mathbb R^Pf∈RP, a threshold θ∈R\theta\in\mathbb Rθ∈R, a spread budget σ≥0\sigma\ge0σ≥0 and a probability level ρ∈(0,1)\rho\in(0,1)ρ∈(0,1). For a probability distribution Q\mathbb QQ on RP\mathbb R^PRP under which f⊤z~f^\top\tilde zf⊤z~ has a finite mean, write

EQ[f⊤z~∣A]=EQ[f⊤z~ 1A]Q[A],A∈{f⊤z~≥θ}, {f⊤z~<θ}.\mathbb E_{\mathbb Q}[f^\top\tilde z\mid A]=\frac{\mathbb E_{\mathbb Q}[f^\top\tilde z\,\mathbf 1_A]}{\mathbb Q[A]},\qquad A\in\{f^\top\tilde z\ge\theta\},\ \{f^\top\tilde z<\theta\}.EQ​[f⊤z~∣A]=Q[A]EQ​[f⊤z~1A​]​,A∈{f⊤z~≥θ}, {f⊤z~<θ}.

The absolute mean spread of f⊤z~f^\top\tilde zf⊤z~ at θ\thetaθ is EQ[f⊤z~∣f⊤z~≥θ]−EQ[f⊤z~∣f⊤z~<θ]\mathbb E_{\mathbb Q}[f^\top\tilde z\mid f^\top\tilde z\ge\theta]-\mathbb E_{\mathbb Q}[f^\top\tilde z\mid f^\top\tilde z<\theta]EQ​[f⊤z~∣f⊤z~≥θ]−EQ​[f⊤z~∣f⊤z~<θ]. The target set (spreadSet) consists of the Q\mathbb QQ with Q[f⊤z~≥θ]=ρ\mathbb Q[f^\top\tilde z\ge\theta]=\rhoQ[f⊤z~≥θ]=ρ whose spread is at most σ\sigmaσ.

The lifted ambiguity set P\mathcal PP (liftedSpreadSet) consists of the probability distributions P\mathbb PP of (z~,u~,v~,w~)(\tilde z,\tilde u,\tilde v,\tilde w)(z~,u~,v~,w~) on RP×R3\mathbb R^P\times\mathbb R^3RP×R3 with EP[w~]=σ\mathbb E_{\mathbb P}[\tilde w]=\sigmaEP​[w~]=σ and P[f⊤z~≥θ]=ρ\mathbb P[f^\top\tilde z\ge\theta]=\rhoP[f⊤z~≥θ]=ρ, satisfying almost surely

f⊤z~=θ+u~−v~,w~≥ρ−1u~+(1−ρ)−1v~,u~,v~≥0.f^\top\tilde z=\theta+\tilde u-\tilde v,\qquad \tilde w\ge\rho^{-1}\tilde u+(1-\rho)^{-1}\tilde v,\qquad \tilde u,\tilde v\ge0 .f⊤z~=θ+u~−v~,w~≥ρ−1u~+(1−ρ)−1v~,u~,v~≥0.

The marginal Πz~P\Pi_{\tilde z}\mathbb PΠz~​P is the law of z~\tilde zz~ under P\mathbb PP, and Πz~P={Πz~P:P∈P}\Pi_{\tilde z}\mathcal P=\{\Pi_{\tilde z}\mathbb P:\mathbb P\in\mathcal P\}Πz~​P={Πz~​P:P∈P}.

For the companion result, the Huber loss (8) is Hδ(z)=12z2H_\delta(z)=\tfrac12z^2Hδ​(z)=21​z2 if ∣z∣≤δ|z|\le\delta∣z∣≤δ and δ(∣z∣−12δ)\delta(|z|-\tfrac12\delta)δ(∣z∣−21​δ) otherwise, for δ>0\delta>0δ>0.

Formalization targets

Goal: Proposition 2 (Absolute Mean Spread), pp. 17–18

Πz~P={Q∈P0(RP): EQ[f⊤z~∣f⊤z~≥θ]−EQ[f⊤z~∣f⊤z~<θ]≤σ, Q[f⊤z~≥θ]=ρ}.\Pi_{\tilde z}\mathcal P=\Big\{\mathbb Q\in\mathcal P_0(\mathbb R^P):\ \mathbb E_{\mathbb Q}[f^\top\tilde z\mid f^\top\tilde z\ge\theta]-\mathbb E_{\mathbb Q}[f^\top\tilde z\mid f^\top\tilde z<\theta]\le\sigma,\ \mathbb Q[f^\top\tilde z\ge\theta]=\rho\Big\}.Πz~​P={Q∈P0​(RP): EQ​[f⊤z~∣f⊤z~≥θ]−EQ​[f⊤z~∣f⊤z~<θ]≤σ, Q[f⊤z~≥θ]=ρ}.

The page states the conclusion as Q0∈Πz~P={… }\mathbb Q^0\in\Pi_{\tilde z}\mathcal P=\{\dots\}Q0∈Πz~​P={…} for a given Q0\mathbb Q^0Q0 in the right-hand set. The set identity is the content, and it is the goal.

Milestones

The milestones follow the two inclusions of the proof (pp. 40–41).

  1. For every P∈P\mathbb P\in\mathcal PP∈P:
EP[f⊤z~∣f⊤z~≥θ]≤ρ−1EP[u~]+θ,EP[f⊤z~∣f⊤z~<θ]≥(1−ρ)−1EP[−v~]+θ.\mathbb E_{\mathbb P}[f^\top\tilde z\mid f^\top\tilde z\ge\theta]\le\rho^{-1}\mathbb E_{\mathbb P}[\tilde u]+\theta,\qquad \mathbb E_{\mathbb P}[f^\top\tilde z\mid f^\top\tilde z<\theta]\ge(1-\rho)^{-1}\mathbb E_{\mathbb P}[-\tilde v]+\theta.EP​[f⊤z~∣f⊤z~≥θ]≤ρ−1EP​[u~]+θ,EP​[f⊤z~∣f⊤z~<θ]≥(1−ρ)−1EP​[−v~]+θ.

Combining them gives

spread≤ρ−1EP[u~]+(1−ρ)−1EP[v~]≤EP[w~]=σ,\text{spread}\le\rho^{-1}\mathbb E_{\mathbb P}[\tilde u]+(1-\rho)^{-1}\mathbb E_{\mathbb P}[\tilde v]\le\mathbb E_{\mathbb P}[\tilde w]=\sigma,spread≤ρ−1EP​[u~]+(1−ρ)−1EP​[v~]≤EP​[w~]=σ,

and hence Πz~P\Pi_{\tilde z}\mathcal PΠz~​P is contained in the target set. 2. For Q\mathbb QQ in the target set, u~=[f⊤z~−θ]+\tilde u=[f^\top\tilde z-\theta]^+u~=[f⊤z~−θ]+ and v~=[θ−f⊤z~]+\tilde v=[\theta-f^\top\tilde z]^+v~=[θ−f⊤z~]+ satisfy

E[u~]=ρ EQ[f⊤z~∣f⊤z~≥θ]−ρθ,E[v~]=(1−ρ) EQ[−f⊤z~∣f⊤z~<θ]+(1−ρ)θ.\mathbb E[\tilde u]=\rho\,\mathbb E_{\mathbb Q}[f^\top\tilde z\mid f^\top\tilde z\ge\theta]-\rho\theta,\qquad \mathbb E[\tilde v]=(1-\rho)\,\mathbb E_{\mathbb Q}[-f^\top\tilde z\mid f^\top\tilde z<\theta]+(1-\rho)\theta .E[u~]=ρEQ​[f⊤z~∣f⊤z~≥θ]−ρθ,E[v~]=(1−ρ)EQ​[−f⊤z~∣f⊤z~<θ]+(1−ρ)θ.

Consequently E[ρ−1u~+(1−ρ)−1v~]\mathbb E[\rho^{-1}\tilde u+(1-\rho)^{-1}\tilde v]E[ρ−1u~+(1−ρ)−1v~] equals the spread, and the target set is contained in Πz~P\Pi_{\tilde z}\mathcal PΠz~​P. 3. A companion, Proposition 3, assertion 3 (p. 21): for δ>0\delta>0δ>0 and g≥0g\ge0g≥0, the distributions with EQ[Hδ(f⊤z~)]≤g\mathbb E_{\mathbb Q}[H_\delta(f^\top\tilde z)]\le gEQ​[Hδ​(f⊤z~)]≤g are exactly the z~\tilde zz~-marginals of a lifted set on RP×R+5\mathbb R^P\times\mathbb R^5_+RP×R+5​ with auxiliary variables u~,v~,w~,s~,t~\tilde u,\tilde v,\tilde w,\tilde s,\tilde tu~,v~,w~,s~,t~.

Significance

The proposition places absolute mean spread information inside the paper's standardized framework. Every result proved there for standardized sets therefore applies to spread-constrained ambiguity sets. The lifted set of Proposition 2 violates the paper's nesting condition (N), so Theorem 1's exact reformulation does not apply. Instead, Theorem 3 and Observation 1 give conservative approximations, which here are linear programs (p. 18). The Huber companion does the same for an expected Huber loss bound, a robust alternative to a variance bound.

Both results are proved in the paper. Neither has a machine-checked proof that this mission is aware of. A formalization adds three things: a checked equality of the two sets, with every integrability and positivity side condition made explicit; reusable lemmas on elementary conditional means of a scalar projection; and a check of the companion. The companion's printed proof contains an incorrect intermediate identity (see Difficulty), although the proposition itself holds.

Difficulty

The obvious reading of the inclusion Πz~P⊆\Pi_{\tilde z}\mathcal P\subseteqΠz~​P⊆ target is "the constraint on w~\tilde ww~ bounds the spread pointwise". That reading fails, because the spread is a ratio of expectations over two complementary events, and u~\tilde uu~ and v~\tilde vv~ are not determined by z~\tilde zz~. Only their difference is fixed, almost surely. The bound must hold for every coupling of (u~,v~)(\tilde u,\tilde v)(u~,v~) with z~\tilde zz~ that respects the constraints. The reverse inclusion needs an explicit lift of an arbitrary Q\mathbb QQ. The lift has to meet the moment condition E[w~]=σ\mathbb E[\tilde w]=\sigmaE[w~]=σ exactly, not just as an inequality. The paper leaves that step implicit.

In Lean the main friction is measure-theoretic bookkeeping: integrability of the auxiliary coordinates (which is derived, not assumed), set integrals over the two half-spaces, and push-forwards along the first projection. In the Huber companion, the identity the proof states for the minimized integrand is false in general: with δ=1\delta=1δ=1 and u~=v~=12\tilde u=\tilde v=\tfrac12u~=v~=21​ the left side is 14\tfrac1441​ and the right side is 12\tfrac1221​. The inclusion Πz~P⊆{… }\Pi_{\tilde z}\mathcal P\subseteq\{\dots\}Πz~​P⊆{…} needs a different pointwise inequality.

Formalization scope

  • RP\mathbb R^PRP is Fin nP → ℝ, with f⊤zf^\top zf⊤z written f ⬝ᵥ z. The lifted outcome space is (Fin nP → ℝ) × (ℝ × ℝ × ℝ), and u~,v~,w~\tilde u,\tilde v,\tilde wu~,v~,w~ are the projections uOf, vOf, wOf. The Huber lift uses Fin 5 → ℝ with components 0,…,4=u~,v~,w~,s~,t~0,\dots,4=\tilde u,\tilde v,\tilde w,\tilde s,\tilde t0,…,4=u~,v~,w~,s~,t~.
  • The marginal Πz~P\Pi_{\tilde z}\mathbb PΠz~​P is μ.map Prod.fst. Both theorems are stated as set identities between Set (Measure _).
  • Conditional means are elementary: E[f⊤z~ 1A]/Q[A]\mathbb E[f^\top\tilde z\,\mathbf 1_A]/\mathbb Q[A]E[f⊤z~1A​]/Q[A] (condMeanGe, condMeanLt). σ-algebra conditioning is not used. Both events have probability ρ\rhoρ or 1−ρ1-\rho1−ρ, both positive because ρ∈(0,1)\rho\in(0,1)ρ∈(0,1), so no division by zero occurs.
  • Integrability convention.
    • Members of the target set have f⊤z~f^\top\tilde zf⊤z~ integrable, and members of P\mathcal PP have w~\tilde ww~ integrable. These are the expectations the page writes, and Lean's integral of a non-integrable function is 000, so without these clauses the sets would contain junk members.
    • Integrability of u~\tilde uu~, v~\tilde vv~ and f⊤z~f^\top\tilde zf⊤z~ under P∈P\mathbb P\in\mathcal PP∈P is not assumed. It follows from 0≤u~≤ρw~0\le\tilde u\le\rho\tilde w0≤u~≤ρw~ and 0≤v~≤(1−ρ)w~0\le\tilde v\le(1-\rho)\tilde w0≤v~≤(1−ρ)w~ almost surely.
    • In the companion, Hδ(f⊤z~)H_\delta(f^\top\tilde z)Hδ​(f⊤z~) is required to be integrable under Q\mathbb QQ.
  • Hypotheses are the page's: σ≥0\sigma\ge0σ≥0 and 0<ρ<10<\rho<10<ρ<1; for the companion, δ>0\delta>0δ>0 and g≥0g\ge0g≥0. Nothing is added.
  • Printed typo. Proposition 3.3 prints Hδ(t⊤z~)H_\delta(t^\top\tilde z)Hδ​(t⊤z~) in its conclusion. No ttt occurs there, and the hypothesis and the proof use f⊤z~f^\top\tilde zf⊤z~, so the Lean states f⊤z~f^\top\tilde zf⊤z~.
  • No trivializing reading. Neither side is empty by construction: the law 12(δ−1+δ1)\tfrac12(\delta_{-1}+\delta_1)21​(δ−1​+δ1​) on R1\mathbb R^1R1 with f=1f=1f=1, θ=0\theta=0θ=0, ρ=12\rho=\tfrac12ρ=21​, σ=2\sigma=2σ=2 lies in the target set and is the marginal of a member of P\mathcal PP, as checked in a sorry-free sanity file. For P=0P=0P=0 both sides are empty, consistently.
  • Infrastructure. Elementary conditional means of a scalar projection over complementary half-spaces, set integrals of positive and negative parts, and push-forwards along Prod.fst are reusable beyond this mission. Proofs of the individual milestones are welcome, as are reusable lemmas on lifts of the form z↦(z,ϕ(z))z\mapsto(z,\phi(z))z↦(z,ϕ(z)).

Selected references

  • W. Wiesemann, D. Kuhn, M. Sim, Distributionally Robust Convex Optimization, Optimization Online preprint 3757 (version of September 22, 2013); Operations Research 62(6):1358–1376, 2014. https://doi.org/10.1287/opre.2014.1314
  • R. Levi, G. Perakis, J. Uichanco, The Data-Driven Newsvendor Problem: New Bounds and Insights, Operations Research 63(6):1294–1306, 2015. https://doi.org/10.1287/opre.2015.1422
  • P. J. Huber, Robust Estimation of a Location Parameter, Annals of Mathematical Statistics 35(1):73–101, 1964. https://doi.org/10.1214/aoms/1177703732
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Dynamic ProgrammingMarkov ChainOperations Research+1·Captain: mikedeng1

Robust Markov Decision Processes 1: Over s-Rectangular Ambiguity Sets, Robust Policy Improvement Is Solved by a Stationary Randomized Policy and the Fixed Point of the Robust Bellman MapResearch Paper

Motivation

A Markov decision process (MDP) is evaluated with a transition kernel that, in practice, is estimated from data. The expected total reward of a policy can be very sensitive to small errors in that estimate (Mannor, Simester, Sun and Tsitsiklis, 2007). Robust MDPs address this by letting the kernel range over an ambiguity set and optimizing the worst-case expected reward. Iyengar (2005) and Nilim and El Ghaoui (2005) showed that when the ambiguity set is (s, a)-rectangular (the transition law of each state–action pair varies independently of all others), the robust problem is solved by a robust Bellman recursion and a deterministic stationary policy is optimal.

Wiesemann, Kuhn and Rustem (Robust Markov Decision Processes, Mathematics of Operations Research 38(1), 2013) widen this to s-rectangular ambiguity sets, in which the transition laws of different actions in the same state may be coupled. Their Theorem 4.1 shows that robust policy improvement over such sets is still solved by a robust Bellman fixed point, but the optimal stationary policy may need to randomize. This mission formalizes that theorem and the chain of results its proof uses.

Timeline:

  • 2005: Iyengar; Nilim and El Ghaoui — robust dynamic programming over (s, a)-rectangular sets, deterministic stationary optimal policies.
  • 2010–2013: Wiesemann, Kuhn and Rustem — s-rectangular sets with affinely parametrized kernels; robust value iteration for evaluation (Theorem 3.2) and improvement (Theorem 4.1); randomization needed in general.

Setting

States form a finite set S\mathcal SS, actions a finite set A\mathcal AA. Choosing action aaa in state sss and moving to s′s's′ pays a reward r(s,a,s′)≥0r(s,a,s')\ge 0r(s,a,s′)≥0; rewards are discounted by λ∈(0,1)\lambda\in(0,1)λ∈(0,1) and the initial state has a known law p0p_0p0​ in the probability simplex M(S)\mathcal M(\mathcal S)M(S).

The uncertain parameter ξ\xiξ lies in

Ξ={ξ∈Rq: ξ⊤Olξ+ol⊤ξ+ωl≥0, l=1,…,L},\Xi=\{\xi\in\mathbb R^q:\ \xi^\top O_l\xi+o_l^\top\xi+\omega_l\ge 0,\ l=1,\dots,L\},Ξ={ξ∈Rq: ξ⊤Ol​ξ+ol⊤​ξ+ωl​≥0, l=1,…,L},

with OlO_lOl​ symmetric negative semidefinite, Ξ\XiΞ bounded and containing a Slater point. Transition probabilities are affine in the parameter, pξ(⋅∣s,a)=ksa+Ksaξ∈M(S)p^\xi(\cdot\mid s,a)=k_{sa}+K_{sa}\xi\in\mathcal M(\mathcal S)pξ(⋅∣s,a)=ksa​+Ksa​ξ∈M(S) for ξ∈Ξ\xi\in\Xiξ∈Ξ. The ambiguity set P\mathcal PP is the set of kernels (pξ(⋅∣s,a))s,a(p^\xi(\cdot\mid s,a))_{s,a}(pξ(⋅∣s,a))s,a​, ξ∈Ξ\xi\in\Xiξ∈Ξ. It is s-rectangular if P=×sPs\mathcal P=\times_{s}\mathcal P_sP=×s​Ps​, where Ps\mathcal P_sPs​ collects the blocks (Ps1,…,PsA)(P_{s1},\dots,P_{sA})(Ps1​,…,PsA​) of members of P\mathcal PP: the parameter may be chosen separately in each state.

A stationary randomized policy π∈Π\pi\in\Piπ∈Π assigns to each state a distribution π(⋅∣s)\pi(\cdot\mid s)π(⋅∣s) over actions. It induces the Markov reward process

P^ss′(π;ξ)=∑aπ(a∣s)pξ(s′∣s,a),r^s(π;ξ)=∑aπ(a∣s)∑s′pξ(s′∣s,a)r(s,a,s′),\widehat P_{ss'}(\pi;\xi)=\sum_a\pi(a\mid s)p^\xi(s'\mid s,a),\qquad \widehat r_s(\pi;\xi)=\sum_a\pi(a\mid s)\sum_{s'}p^\xi(s'\mid s,a)r(s,a,s'),Pss′​(π;ξ)=a∑​π(a∣s)pξ(s′∣s,a),rs​(π;ξ)=a∑​π(a∣s)s′∑​pξ(s′∣s,a)r(s,a,s′),

and the reward to-go v(π;ξ)=∑t≥0[λP^(π;ξ)]tr^(π;ξ)v(\pi;\xi)=\sum_{t\ge0}[\lambda\widehat P(\pi;\xi)]^t\widehat r(\pi;\xi)v(π;ξ)=∑t≥0​[λP(π;ξ)]tr(π;ξ). The worst-case expected total reward of π\piπ is inf⁡ξ∈Ξp0⊤v(π;ξ)\inf_{\xi\in\Xi}p_0^\top v(\pi;\xi)infξ∈Ξ​p0⊤​v(π;ξ).

Two robust Bellman maps on RS\mathbb R^SRS carry the results:

ϕs(π;w)=min⁡ξ∈Ξ{r^s(π;ξ)+λ∑s′P^ss′(π;ξ)ws′},φs(w)=max⁡π∈Πϕs(π;w).\phi_s(\pi;w)=\min_{\xi\in\Xi}\Big\{\widehat r_s(\pi;\xi)+\lambda\sum_{s'}\widehat P_{ss'}(\pi;\xi)w_{s'}\Big\},\qquad \varphi_s(w)=\max_{\pi\in\Pi}\phi_s(\pi;w).ϕs​(π;w)=ξ∈Ξmin​{rs​(π;ξ)+λs′∑​Pss′​(π;ξ)ws′​},φs​(w)=π∈Πmax​ϕs​(π;w).

In Lean these are phiEval and phiImprove, in the namespace WiesemannRMDP.SRect.

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem 4.1 (robust policy improvement)

For an s-rectangular P\mathcal PP, φ\varphiφ has a unique fixed point w∗w^*w∗, per-state maximizers πs∈arg⁡max⁡π∈Πϕs(π;w∗)\pi^s\in\arg\max_{\pi\in\Pi}\phi_s(\pi;w^*)πs∈argmaxπ∈Π​ϕs​(π;w∗) exist, and the glued policy π∗(a∣s)=πs(a∣s)\pi^*(a\mid s)=\pi^s(a\mid s)π∗(a∣s)=πs(a∣s) together with the constant function ϑ∗≡w∗\vartheta^*\equiv w^*ϑ∗≡w∗ attains

sup⁡π∈Π sup⁡ϑ:Ξ→cRS{inf⁡ξ∈Ξp0⊤ϑ(ξ): ϑ(ξ)≤r^(π;ξ)+λP^(π;ξ)ϑ(ξ) ∀ξ∈Ξ}=p0⊤w∗.\sup_{\pi\in\Pi}\ \sup_{\vartheta:\Xi\overset{c}{\to}\mathbb R^S}\Big\{\inf_{\xi\in\Xi}p_0^\top\vartheta(\xi):\ \vartheta(\xi)\le\widehat r(\pi;\xi)+\lambda\widehat P(\pi;\xi)\vartheta(\xi)\ \forall\xi\in\Xi\Big\}=p_0^\top w^*.π∈Πsup​ ϑ:Ξ→cRSsup​{ξ∈Ξinf​p0⊤​ϑ(ξ): ϑ(ξ)≤r(π;ξ)+λP(π;ξ)ϑ(ξ) ∀ξ∈Ξ}=p0⊤​w∗.

Milestones

  1. Proposition 3.1 (b), (c), (a): v(π;ξ)v(\pi;\xi)v(π;ξ) is the unique solution of w=r^+λP^ww=\widehat r+\lambda\widehat Pww=r+λPw; every sub-solution lies below it; vvv is Lipschitz on Π×Ξ\Pi\times\XiΠ×Ξ.
  2. Reformulation (10): for fixed π\piπ, inf⁡ξp0⊤v(π;ξ)\inf_\xi p_0^\top v(\pi;\xi)infξ​p0⊤​v(π;ξ) equals the inner supremum above, over all and over continuous ϑ\varthetaϑ.
  3. ϕ(π;⋅)\phi(\pi;\cdot)ϕ(π;⋅) is a contraction (proof of Theorem 3.2).
  4. Theorem 3.2: for s-rectangular P\mathcal PP and fixed π\piπ, the constant fixed point of ϕ(π;⋅)\phi(\pi;\cdot)ϕ(π;⋅) solves the evaluation problem (10).
  5. From the proof of Theorem 4.1: the glued policy satisfies w∗=ϕ(π∗;w∗)w^*=\phi(\pi^*;w^*)w∗=ϕ(π∗;w∗), and φ\varphiφ is a contraction.

Significance

Theorem 4.1 reduces robust policy improvement over s-rectangular sets to computing the fixed point of one map on RS\mathbb R^SRS, each evaluation of which is a finite convex program; the paper derives a polynomial-time method from it (Corollary 4.2). It also shows that the optimal policy is stationary but generally randomized, which separates s-rectangular from (s, a)-rectangular robust MDPs. Theorem 3.2 is the evaluation counterpart and is used again when the paper compares s-rectangular and general ambiguity sets (Proposition 3.10).

The results are proved in the paper; none is formalized. On the platform, the (s, a)-rectangular analogue with deterministic policies and costs (Nilim and El Ghaoui) and a related robust linear-programming characterization in another model (Derman, Geist and Mannor) exist, but neither covers coupled actions, randomized policies or rewards depending on the next state. A complete development would give machine-checked robust value iteration for s-rectangular sets and reusable facts on the reward to-go of a finite Markov reward process.

Difficulty

The obvious argument copies the nominal proof: the optimum of the constant-ϑ\varthetaϑ restriction is the fixed point w∗w^*w∗, so the constant function is optimal. That only solves the restriction to constant ϑ\varthetaϑ; the problems optimize over all continuous reward to-go functions ϑ:Ξ→RS\vartheta:\Xi\to\mathbb R^Sϑ:Ξ→RS, and showing that no non-constant ϑ\varthetaϑ does better is where s-rectangularity enters. Without it the claim is false: the paper's Example 3.11 gives a non-rectangular set where the constant bound is strictly below the worst-case reward. A second subtlety is that ϕs(π;w)\phi_s(\pi;w)ϕs​(π;w) depends on π\piπ only through the row π(⋅∣s)\pi(\cdot\mid s)π(⋅∣s), which is what lets per-state maximizers be assembled into a single policy; the maximizers are in general not deterministic.

Formalization scope

States and actions are finite nonempty types; policies are functions π(a∣s)\pi(a\mid s)π(a∣s) satisfying the published IsPolicy, and the simplex condition on pξ(⋅∣s,a)p^\xi(\cdot\mid s,a)pξ(⋅∣s,a) is the published IsTransitionKernel. P^\widehat PP and r^\widehat rr are built from the published InducedTransition and InducedReward. The model is a structure Model with the standing assumptions in Model.Standing. The reward to-go is defined by the series ∑t[λP^]tr^\sum_t[\lambda\widehat P]^t\widehat r∑t​[λP]tr, not as the solution of the evaluation equation, so Proposition 3.1 (b) is not definitional. The minimum over Ξ\XiΞ and the maximum over Π\PiΠ are infima and suprema over subtypes, attained under the standing assumptions; the objective inf⁡ξp0⊤ϑ(ξ)\inf_\xi p_0^\top\vartheta(\xi)infξ​p0⊤​ϑ(ξ) is used only for ϑ\varthetaϑ continuous on Ξ\XiΞ, and where arbitrary ϑ\varthetaϑ appear (the middle line of (10)) the infimum is taken in the extended reals. Inequalities on RS\mathbb R^SRS are componentwise; contractions are with respect to the sup norm. The paper's ω\omegaω in (3b) carries the index lll, as elsewhere in the paper.

A statement that compares the fixed point only with constant reward to-go functions, or that takes w∗w^*w∗ and π∗\pi^*π∗ as hypotheses satisfying the conclusion, is not Theorem 4.1; the goal asserts existence and uniqueness of w∗w^*w∗, existence of the maximizers, and optimality against every policy and every continuous feasible ϑ\varthetaϑ.

Useful infrastructure: Neumann series for λ\lambdaλ times a row-stochastic matrix, continuity of infima over compact parameter sets, and contraction properties of min/max Bellman operators. Proofs of the milestones, and of nonvacuity of richer instances, are welcome.

Selected references

  • W. Wiesemann, D. Kuhn, B. Rustem, Robust Markov Decision Processes, Mathematics of Operations Research 38(1):153–183, 2013. https://doi.org/10.1287/moor.1120.0566 (formalized from the Optimization Online revision of February 9, 2012: https://optimization-online.org/wp-content/uploads/2010/05/2610.pdf)
  • G. N. Iyengar, Robust Dynamic Programming, Mathematics of Operations Research 30(2):257–280, 2005. https://doi.org/10.1287/moor.1040.0129
  • A. Nilim, L. El Ghaoui, Robust Control of Markov Decision Processes with Uncertain Transition Matrices, Operations Research 53(5):780–798, 2005. https://doi.org/10.1287/opre.1050.0216
  • S. Mannor, D. Simester, P. Sun, J. N. Tsitsiklis, Bias and Variance Approximation in Value Function Estimates, Management Science 53(2):308–322, 2007. https://doi.org/10.1287/mnsc.1060.0614
  • M. L. Puterman, Markov Decision Processes: Discrete Stochastic Dynamic Programming, Wiley, 1994. https://doi.org/10.1002/9780470316887
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Algorithmic Game TheoryOperations Research·Captain: mikedeng1

Intrinsic Robustness of the Price of Anarchy I: Every Coarse Correlated Equilibrium of a Smooth Game Has Expected Cost at Most the Robust Price of Anarchy Times OptimalResearch Paper

Motivation

The price of anarchy (POA) of a game measures how much selfish behaviour costs: it is the ratio between the largest cost of an equilibrium and the cost of an optimal outcome, for a nonnegative objective such as the sum of the players' costs. Since Koutsoupias and Papadimitriou (1999) and Roughgarden and Tardos (2002), POA bounds have been proved for routing, scheduling, facility location, auctions and many other models, mostly for pure Nash equilibria.

Pure Nash equilibria need not exist, are hard to compute in general, and are not what players running learning algorithms converge to. A bound that holds only at pure Nash equilibria therefore says little about realized play. Roughgarden's paper (J. ACM 62(5), 2015; conference version STOC 2009) observes that most known POA proofs follow one template, the smoothness argument, and proves that any bound obtained this way extends automatically to much broader equilibrium concepts. This mission formalizes the static half of that result: the extension to coarse correlated equilibria (Theorem 3.2) and to their approximate versions (Theorem 4.1).

Timeline:

  • 1999: Koutsoupias and Papadimitriou introduce the worst-case ratio of equilibria to optimum.
  • 2005: Awerbuch–Azar–Epstein and Christodoulou–Koutsoupias prove the bound 5/2 for linear congestion games; their arguments are smoothness arguments in hindsight.
  • 2009: Roughgarden (STOC) isolates smoothness and proves the extension theorems; the journal version (2015) adds the tightness results for congestion games.
  • 2009–2015: smoothness is adapted to auctions (Syrgkanis–Tardos 2013) and to local and approximate variants.

Setting

A cost-minimization game has finitely many players iii. Player iii chooses a strategy sis_isi​ from an arbitrary set SiS_iSi​; an outcome is a vector s=(si)is = (s_i)_is=(si​)i​, and player iii pays a real cost Ci(s)C_i(s)Ci​(s). Write (si′,s−i)(s_i', s_{-i})(si′​,s−i​) for the outcome in which player iii switches to si′s_i'si′​ and the others stay put. The joint cost is C(s)=∑iCi(s)C(s) = \sum_i C_i(s)C(s)=∑i​Ci​(s), assumed nonnegative.

An outcome sss is a pure Nash equilibrium if Ci(s)≤Ci(si′,s−i)C_i(s) \le C_i(s_i', s_{-i})Ci​(s)≤Ci​(si′​,s−i​) for every iii and si′∈Sis_i' \in S_isi′​∈Si​. For ϵ≥0\epsilon \ge 0ϵ≥0 it is an ϵ\epsilonϵ-Nash equilibrium if Ci(s)≤(1+ϵ)Ci(si′,s−i)C_i(s) \le (1+\epsilon) C_i(s_i', s_{-i})Ci​(s)≤(1+ϵ)Ci​(si′​,s−i​).

A coarse correlated equilibrium is a probability distribution σ\sigmaσ over outcomes with

Es∼σ[Ci(s)]≤Es∼σ[Ci(si′,s−i)]for every i and si′∈Si,\mathbf{E}_{s\sim\sigma}[C_i(s)] \le \mathbf{E}_{s\sim\sigma}[C_i(s_i', s_{-i})] \quad\text{for every } i \text{ and } s_i' \in S_i,Es∼σ​[Ci​(s)]≤Es∼σ​[Ci​(si′​,s−i​)]for every i and si′​∈Si​,

and an ϵ\epsilonϵ-coarse correlated equilibrium satisfies the same with a factor (1+ϵ)(1+\epsilon)(1+ϵ) on the right. Every pure Nash, mixed Nash and correlated equilibrium is a coarse correlated equilibrium, and coarse correlated equilibria are exactly the limits of play in which every player has vanishing external regret.

The game is (λ,μ)(\lambda,\mu)(λ,μ)-smooth if for every two outcomes s,s∗s, s^*s,s∗

∑iCi(si∗,s−i)≤λ C(s∗)+μ C(s).\sum_i C_i(s_i^*, s_{-i}) \le \lambda\, C(s^*) + \mu\, C(s).i∑​Ci​(si∗​,s−i​)≤λC(s∗)+μC(s).

The robust price of anarchy is ρ(G)=inf⁡{λ/(1−μ):μ<1, G is (λ,μ)-smooth}\rho(G) = \inf\{\lambda/(1-\mu) : \mu < 1,\ G \text{ is } (\lambda,\mu)\text{-smooth}\}ρ(G)=inf{λ/(1−μ):μ<1, G is (λ,μ)-smooth}.

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem 3.2 (static extension theorem)

For every game GGG with robust POA ρ(G)\rho(G)ρ(G), every coarse correlated equilibrium σ\sigmaσ and every outcome s∗s^*s∗,

Es∼σ[C(s)]≤ρ(G)⋅C(s∗).\mathbf{E}_{s\sim\sigma}[C(s)] \le \rho(G)\cdot C(s^*).Es∼σ​[C(s)]≤ρ(G)⋅C(s∗).

Milestones

  1. Claim (3)–(5), p. 5: in a (λ,μ)(\lambda,\mu)(λ,μ)-smooth game with λ>0\lambda > 0λ>0, μ<1\mu < 1μ<1, every pure Nash equilibrium sss satisfies C(s)≤λ1−μC(s∗)C(s) \le \frac{\lambda}{1-\mu} C(s^*)C(s)≤1−μλ​C(s∗) for an optimal s∗s^*s∗.
  2. §4.1, p. 16: every ϵ\epsilonϵ-Nash equilibrium satisfies C(s)≤(1+ϵ)λ1−μ(1+ϵ)C(s∗)C(s) \le \frac{(1+\epsilon)\lambda}{1-\mu(1+\epsilon)} C(s^*)C(s)≤1−μ(1+ϵ)(1+ϵ)λ​C(s∗) for an optimal s∗s^*s∗.
  3. The chain (16)–(21), p. 13: for one fixed pair (λ,μ)(\lambda,\mu)(λ,μ) with μ<1\mu < 1μ<1, Es∼σ[C(s)]≤λ1−μC(s∗)\mathbf{E}_{s\sim\sigma}[C(s)] \le \frac{\lambda}{1-\mu} C(s^*)Es∼σ​[C(s)]≤1−μλ​C(s∗) for every coarse correlated equilibrium σ\sigmaσ and every outcome s∗s^*s∗.
  4. Theorem 4.1, p. 16: for every ϵ\epsilonϵ-coarse correlated equilibrium,
Es∼σ[C(s)]≤(1+ϵ)λ1−μ(1+ϵ)⋅C(s∗).\mathbf{E}_{s\sim\sigma}[C(s)] \le \frac{(1+\epsilon)\lambda}{1-\mu(1+\epsilon)}\cdot C(s^*).Es∼σ​[C(s)]≤1−μ(1+ϵ)(1+ϵ)λ​⋅C(s∗).

Significance

Theorem 3.2 says that the robust POA of a game bounds the expected cost of every coarse correlated equilibrium, which contains every other equilibrium concept in the hierarchy. Combined with the companion result for no-regret sequences (Theorem 3.3, mission II of this series), it makes POA bounds meaningful for learning dynamics: whenever players use no-regret algorithms, their average cost is within the robust POA of optimal. For linear congestion games, which are (5/3,1/3)(5/3, 1/3)(5/3,1/3)-smooth, it yields the bound 5/25/25/2 for all coarse correlated equilibria at once. Theorem 4.1 shows that the bounds degrade gracefully when the equilibrium condition holds only approximately, which covers equilibria computed to finite accuracy.

The results are proved in the paper; their proofs are short. No machine-checked version is known to exist. The mission's value is a reusable, platform-wide definition layer for cost-minimization games, smoothness, the robust POA and the equilibrium hierarchy, on which later results can be stated: the bicriteria bounds of §4.2, the tightness theorem for congestion games (mission III), and smoothness bounds for specific models such as auctions, routing and scheduling.

Difficulty

The mathematics is linear: it uses only linearity of expectation and one rearrangement. The difficulty lies in the encoding. The robust POA is an infimum over a set that may be empty (then ρ(G)=+∞\rho(G) = +\inftyρ(G)=+∞ on the page) and need not be attained. Passing from the fixed-pair bound to the infimum uses C(s∗)≥0C(s^*) \ge 0C(s∗)≥0. Theorem 4.1's printed side condition ϵ<1/μ−1\epsilon < 1/\mu - 1ϵ<1/μ−1 is meaningless when μ=0\mu = 0μ=0 and reverses its meaning when μ<0\mu < 0μ<0. Each of these must be handled so that the formal statement is neither false nor vacuous.

Formalization scope

Players form a finite type with decidable equality, and strategy sets are arbitrary types with no finiteness assumed. Outcomes are dependent functions, and the deviation (si′,s−i)(s_i', s_{-i})(si′​,s−i​) is Function.update s i s'ᵢ. Costs are real-valued, and λ,μ\lambda, \muλ,μ are unconstrained reals except μ<1\mu < 1μ<1. Probability distributions are finitely supported weight functions that are nonnegative with total mass 111. Expectations are therefore finite sums with no integrability side conditions. This covers all finite games and all mixed and correlated equilibria of finite games, but not distributions with infinite support.

The robust POA is an extended-real (EReal) infimum over the smoothness pairs with μ<1\mu < 1μ<1, so it is +∞+\infty+∞ when no such pair exists, and the goal compares the expected cost with ρ(G)⋅C(s∗)\rho(G)\cdot C(s^*)ρ(G)⋅C(s∗) in EReal. The goal carries two explicit hypotheses:

  • the joint cost is nonnegative, which is the paper's standing assumption (§1, p. 2; §2.4, p. 10);
  • some smoothness pair with μ<1\mu < 1μ<1 exists, so that ρ(G)<+∞\rho(G) < +\inftyρ(G)<+∞.

Without the second, a game with no smoothness pair and C(s∗)=0C(s^*) = 0C(s∗)=0 would be claimed to have expected cost at most 000 (EReal sets (+∞)⋅0=0(+\infty)\cdot 0 = 0(+∞)⋅0=0), which the page does not assert. A formalization in which the distribution may have total mass 000, or in which ρ(G)\rho(G)ρ(G) is an infimum over all pairs rather than over the smoothness pairs with μ<1\mu < 1μ<1, trivializes or falsifies the goal, and is ruled out by the definitions.

In Theorem 4.1 and the ϵ\epsilonϵ-Nash bound:

  • "ϵ<1/μ−1\epsilon < 1/\mu - 1ϵ<1/μ−1" is encoded as μ(1+ϵ)<1\mu(1+\epsilon) < 1μ(1+ϵ)<1, which agrees with it for 0<μ<10 < \mu < 10<μ<1;
  • ϵ≥0\epsilon \ge 0ϵ≥0 is assumed, the implicit domain of an approximation parameter.

The ϵ\epsilonϵ-coarse correlated equilibrium is the extension of (15) that the paper says is "defined in the same way" as ϵ\epsilonϵ-Nash equilibria (p. 15). Remark 4.4 writes out the payoff analogue.

Claim (3)–(5) and the ϵ\epsilonϵ-Nash bound keep the paper's hypotheses λ>0\lambda > 0λ>0 and optimality of s∗s^*s∗, although the inequalities hold without them. Example 4.2 is not posed: its printed bound (5−5ϵ)/(2−ϵ)(5-5\epsilon)/(2-\epsilon)(5−5ϵ)/(2−ϵ) should read (5+5ϵ)/(2−ϵ)(5+5\epsilon)/(2-\epsilon)(5+5ϵ)/(2−ϵ).

Contributions welcome:

  • proofs of the four milestones and of the goal;
  • a measure-theoretic version for distributions with infinite support, with explicit integrability hypotheses;
  • reuse of the definitions in other smoothness results.

Selected references

  • T. Roughgarden, Intrinsic Robustness of the Price of Anarchy, J. ACM 62(5), Article 32, 2015. https://doi.org/10.1145/2806883
  • T. Roughgarden, Intrinsic Robustness of the Price of Anarchy, Proc. 41st ACM STOC, 513–522, 2009. https://doi.org/10.1145/1536414.1536485
  • E. Koutsoupias, C. Papadimitriou, Worst-Case Equilibria, Proc. STACS, LNCS 1563, 404–413, 1999. https://doi.org/10.1007/3-540-49116-3_38
  • G. Christodoulou, E. Koutsoupias, The Price of Anarchy of Finite Congestion Games, Proc. 37th ACM STOC, 67–73, 2005. https://doi.org/10.1145/1060590.1060600
  • B. Awerbuch, Y. Azar, A. Epstein, The Price of Routing Unsplittable Flow, Proc. 37th ACM STOC, 57–66, 2005. https://doi.org/10.1145/1060590.1060599
  • V. Syrgkanis, É. Tardos, Composable and Efficient Mechanisms, Proc. 45th ACM STOC, 211–220, 2013. https://doi.org/10.1145/2488608.2488635
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Convex OptimizationMachine LearningOptimization·Captain: mikedeng1

A Modern Introduction to Online Learning XII: Coordinate-Wise Krichevsky–Trofimov Betting Has Parameter-Free Regret ‖u‖₁L∞√(2T ln(1 + e‖u‖∞T/ε)) + dεL∞Textbook

Why parameter-free regret matters

In online convex optimization, a learner makes a prediction before seeing the next loss. A standard regret guarantee often depends on a learning rate chosen using the size of the comparator that will be assessed later. That comparator is unknown during play. Chapter 13 of Orabona's textbook uses coin betting to obtain a bound that adapts to every comparator while the algorithm uses only its initial wealth and a bound on the observed subgradients. The coordinate-wise form allows the guarantee to reflect a comparator whose important coordinates differ greatly in size.

The motivating task is deterministic. An adversary may choose convex losses over successive rounds, and the performance measure compares the learner's cumulative loss with the loss of a single fixed vector. The algorithm is allowed to know the coordinate bound L∞L_\inftyL∞​ and its initial wealth parameter ε\varepsilonε; it does not know the final comparator uuu or a suitable learning rate for it. The capstone is Theorem 13.9, p. 215, the chapter's coordinate-wise Krichevsky–Trofimov result.

The learner and the betting rule

There are TTT rounds, numbered 1,…,T1,\ldots,T1,…,T, in a space Rd\mathbb R^dRd. In round ttt the learner outputs xtx_txt​, pays ℓt(xt)\ell_t(x_t)ℓt​(xt​), and then receives a subgradient gtg_tgt​ of the loss at xtx_txt​. A subgradient supports the loss everywhere: ℓt(y)≥ℓt(xt)+⟨gt,y−xt⟩\ell_t(y)\ge\ell_t(x_t)+\langle g_t,y-x_t\rangleℓt​(y)≥ℓt​(xt​)+⟨gt​,y−xt​⟩ for every y∈Rdy\in\mathbb R^dy∈Rd. Each coordinate obeys ∣gt,i∣≤L∞|g_{t,i}|\le L_\infty∣gt,i​∣≤L∞​. For a fixed comparator uuu, regret is

Regret⁡T(u)=∑t=1T(ℓt(xt)−ℓt(u)).\operatorname{Regret}_T(u)=\sum_{t=1}^T\bigl(\ell_t(x_t)-\ell_t(u)\bigr).RegretT​(u)=t=1∑T​(ℓt​(xt​)−ℓt​(u)).

The underlying KT bettor begins with wealth ε>0\varepsilon>0ε>0. Given coin outcomes ct∈[−1,1]c_t\in[-1,1]ct​∈[−1,1], it wagers a fraction βt=(∑j=1t−1cj)/t\beta_t=(\sum_{j=1}^{t-1}c_j)/tβt​=(∑j=1t−1​cj​)/t of its wealth before outcome ctc_tct​ arrives. Its signed wager is bt=βtWealth⁡t−1b_t=\beta_t\operatorname{Wealth}_{t-1}bt​=βt​Wealtht−1​, and Wealth⁡t=Wealth⁡t−1+ctbt\operatorname{Wealth}_t=\operatorname{Wealth}_{t-1}+c_tb_tWealtht​=Wealtht−1​+ct​bt​. The denominator is ttt, including the first round, when the past sum and the wager are zero. Algorithm 13.1, p. 208 defines this update.

For optimization, Algorithm 13.3, p. 215 applies a separate KT update to every coordinate. With L∞>0L_\infty>0L∞​>0, the prediction is fixed by past gradients and past predictions:

xt,i=−∑j=1t−1gj,iL∞t(ε−∑j=1t−1gj,iL∞xj,i).x_{t,i}=-\frac{\sum_{j=1}^{t-1}g_{j,i}}{L_\infty t} \left(\varepsilon-\sum_{j=1}^{t-1}\frac{g_{j,i}}{L_\infty}x_{j,i}\right).xt,i​=−L∞​t∑j=1t−1​gj,i​​(ε−j=1∑t−1​L∞​gj,i​​xj,i​).

This is the algorithm studied in the target theorem. A run includes the update and an admissible subgradient at each round; it is not an arbitrary sequence of predictions satisfying a bound after the fact.

Formalization targets

The main target records both inequalities in Theorem 13.9. For every comparator u∈Rdu\in\mathbb R^du∈Rd,

Regret⁡T(u)≤L∞∑i=1d∣ui∣2Tln⁡(1+e∣ui∣Tε)+dεL∞≤∥u∥1L∞2Tln⁡(1+e∥u∥∞Tε)+dεL∞.\operatorname{Regret}_T(u) \le L_\infty\sum_{i=1}^d |u_i|\sqrt{2T\ln\left(1+\frac{e|u_i|T}{\varepsilon}\right)}+d\varepsilon L_\infty \le \|u\|_1L_\infty\sqrt{2T\ln\left(1+\frac{e\|u\|_\infty T}{\varepsilon}\right)}+d\varepsilon L_\infty.RegretT​(u)≤L∞​i=1∑d​∣ui​∣2Tln(1+εe∣ui​∣T​)​+dεL∞​≤∥u∥1​L∞​2Tln(1+εe∥u∥∞​T​)​+dεL∞​.

The milestone path consists of three statements drawn directly from the chapter: the gamma-potential one-step inequality (13.1), the continuous-coin wealth guarantee of Theorem 13.4, and the one-dimensional KT regret display in §13.2.1. The first controls the change in the betting potential, the second relates that potential to final wealth, and the third is the scalar guarantee used by the coordinate-wise theorem. All three retain the printed constants and the source's one-based indexing.

What the theorem gives

The first inequality charges each comparator coordinate according to its own magnitude. The second expresses the result using familiar ℓ1\ell_1ℓ1​ and ℓ∞\ell_\inftyℓ∞​ norms. Both apply to the same run without choosing a new algorithm for a new uuu. At u=0u=0u=0, the bound is dεL∞d\varepsilon L_\inftydεL∞​, showing directly the cost of the initial-wealth choice. For a sparse or uneven comparator, the coordinate sum can be more informative than a bound that uses only the largest coordinate.

The mathematical results are proved in the cited textbook. This mission supplies Lean statements for those results; the theorem files are proof targets and do not yet contain machine-checked proofs. A completed development would connect the betting potential, the one-dimensional optimization reduction, and the coordinate aggregation through reusable lemmas. Its definition layer can also serve later formalizations of coin-betting algorithms with other wealth potentials.

Where the difficulty lies

The prediction uses a changing wager fraction determined by the previous outcomes. A direct fixed-fraction calculation does not describe that sequence of wagers. The chapter instead identifies a gamma-function potential that can be compared with the changing wealth at every round. For continuous coin outcomes, the potential must satisfy an inequality for every real c∈[−1,1]c\in[-1,1]c∈[−1,1], including interior values rather than only the binary endpoints.

The optimization guarantee adds another boundary: a lower bound on betting wealth must become an upper bound on regret for every real comparator. The desired expression has a logarithm, a square root, and the exact factor eee inside it. The coordinate-wise result must preserve the scalar constant in every coordinate and then justify the second inequality involving ∥u∥∞\|u\|_\infty∥u∥∞​. These are the places where a weaker or altered constant would change the target.

Formalization scope

Lean represents Rd\mathbb R^dRd as functions Fin d → ℝ; its function norm is the sup norm, while the ℓ1\ell_1ℓ1​ quantity is the explicit sum ∑i∣ui∣\sum_i|u_i|∑i​∣ui​∣. The theorem assumes d≥1d\ge1d≥1, T≥1T\ge1T≥1, ε>0\varepsilon>0ε>0, and L∞>0L_\infty>0L∞​>0. These make the finite-dimensional setting nonempty and the printed quotients and logarithms operate on their intended domains. Time index zero is unused. All sums over rounds use 1,…,T1,\ldots,T1,…,T.

Losses are real-valued and subdifferentiable on the whole space, as in Algorithm 13.3. The run records full-space subgradients selected at the learner's predictions and their coordinate bounds. This selected-gradient condition is sufficient for the printed regret inequalities; global boundedness of every possible subgradient is a stronger convention used in the one-dimensional prose. The gamma potential is a separate definition with Real.Gamma; its arguments are positive on the domains used by the wealth theorem. The bettor's wealth is a finite product of its exact per-round returns.

The formalization must keep the explicit update in the run predicate. Allowing xtx_txt​ to depend on the current gtg_tgt​, or replacing the update by a generic betting rule, would no longer state Algorithm 13.3's guarantee. Contributions are welcome on the gamma-potential inequality, the wealth bound, the one-dimensional regret bound, and the final coordinate aggregation. The supporting results should retain the chapter's constants and handle the first round and zero-valued coin outcomes.

Selected references

  • Francesco Orabona, Online Learning: A Modern Introduction Using Convex Optimization, arXiv:1912.13213v10, 2026. arXiv.
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ProbabilityStatisticsStochastic Systems·Captain: mikedeng1

Limit Theorems for Nearly Unstable Hawkes Processes 2: When T(1 − a_T) → λ the Rescaled Intensity Converges in Law to a CIR Process and the Rescaled Hawkes Process to Its IntegralResearch Paper

Motivation

An event stream can raise its own future event rate. A Hawkes process models this feedback by adding to a baseline rate the effects of past arrivals. The parameter measuring total excitation can approach its stability boundary, at which long clusters make a fixed time scale an unreliable guide to the observed count. Jaisson and Rosenbaum identify a regime in which observation time and the distance to that boundary balance, leaving a stochastic limit rather than a deterministic average Jaisson and Rosenbaum, 2015. Their theorem gives a precise bridge from an event count with jumps to a continuous square-root diffusion. The paper notes a practical reason for this bridge: intermediate-scale inference can use diffusion methods to estimate the baseline rate and two aggregate kernel parameters, though it cannot recover the entire excitation kernel Jaisson and Rosenbaum, §2.4, p. 10.

Setting

For each observation horizon TTT, let NtTN^T_tNtT​ count events up to time ttt, with N0T=0N^T_0=0N0T​=0. The process is observed on [0,T][0,T][0,T] and has intensity

λtT=μ+∫0tϕT(t−s) dNsT,ϕT=aTϕ,\lambda^T_t=\mu+\int_0^t\phi^T(t-s)\,dN^T_s, \qquad \phi^T=a_T\phi,λtT​=μ+∫0t​ϕT(t−s)dNsT​,ϕT=aT​ϕ,

where μ>0\mu>0μ>0 is the baseline rate. The integral against NTN^TNT is a sum over its unit jumps. The nonnegative kernel ϕ\phiϕ has total mass one and finite mean m=∫0∞sϕ(s) dsm=\int_0^\infty s\phi(s)\,dsm=∫0∞​sϕ(s)ds; its derivative is bounded and integrable. The coefficients satisfy 0<aT<10<a_T<10<aT​<1 and aT→1a_T\to1aT​→1. Thus aTa_TaT​ is the total mass of ϕT\phi^TϕT, and the model approaches the stability boundary from below. The natural filtration is generated by the observed count. The intensity relation is the identity for conditional expected increments on every interval 0≤a<b≤T0\le a<b\le T0≤a<b≤T and every event observable at time aaa Jaisson and Rosenbaum, §2.1, p. 5.

The resolvent ψT=∑k≥1(ϕT)∗k\psi^T=\sum_{k\ge1}(\phi^T)^{*k}ψT=∑k≥1​(ϕT)∗k collects excitation across repeated generations. Its rescaled density is ρT(x)=TψT(Tx)/∥ψT∥1\rho^T(x)=T\psi^T(Tx)/\|\psi^T\|_1ρT(x)=TψT(Tx)/∥ψT∥1​. The mission uses the paper's additional bound sup⁡T,x≥0∣ρT(x)∣<∞\sup_{T,x\ge0}|\rho^T(x)|<\inftysupT,x≥0​∣ρT(x)∣<∞ and the balance condition T(1−aT)→λ>0T(1-a_T)\to\lambda>0T(1−aT​)→λ>0. Here λ\lambdaλ is a fixed limiting parameter, distinct from the time-dependent intensity λtT\lambda^T_tλtT​. The processes to be compared on a common interval are

CtT=(1−aT)λtTT,VtT=1−aTTNtTT,0≤t≤1.C^T_t=(1-a_T)\lambda^T_{tT},\qquad V^T_t=\frac{1-a_T}{T}N^T_{tT},\qquad 0\le t\le1.CtT​=(1−aT​)λtTT​,VtT​=T1−aT​​NtTT​,0≤t≤1.

Formalization targets

The main target is Theorem 2.2, p. 10: CTC^TCT converges in law in the Skorohod topology on D[0,1]D[0,1]D[0,1] to the unique strong solution, started at zero, of the Cox–Ingersoll–Ross equation

Xt=∫0t(μ−Xs)λm ds+λm∫0tXs dBs.X_t=\int_0^t(\mu-X_s)\frac{\lambda}{m}\,ds +\frac{\sqrt\lambda}{m}\int_0^t\sqrt{X_s}\,dB_s.Xt​=∫0t​(μ−Xs​)mλ​ds+mλ​​∫0t​Xs​​dBs​.

Separately, VTV^TVT converges in law in the same path topology to t↦∫0tXs dst\mapsto\int_0^tX_s\,dst↦∫0t​Xs​ds. These are two convergence claims, each on its own path space law. The statement also asserts that the strong solution exists, so convergence to “every solution” cannot hold merely because there are no solutions.

The supporting targets follow the paper's stated results. Lemma 4.1 and Proposition 2.1 identify the resolvent renewal identity and the intensity's resolvent form; both are supporting theorem items. Lemmas 4.2–4.5 give separation and decay estimates for the plus-sign Fourier transforms of ϕ\phiϕ and ρT\rho^TρT, followed by L2L^2L2 convergence of ρT\rho^TρT to the exponential density (λ/m)e−xλ/m(\lambda/m)e^{-x\lambda/m}(λ/m)e−xλ/m. Lemma 4.9 gives a fourth-moment increment bound for the paper's residual process YTY^TYT, and Proposition 4.1 states that YTY^TYT tends to zero uniformly in probability on [0,1][0,1][0,1]. The latter six are source-stated milestones, with their pages and texts recorded separately.

Significance

The theorem identifies the scale at which a nearly unstable event model retains random dynamics. It also identifies the diffusion coefficients: the drift relaxes toward μ\muμ at rate λ/m\lambda/mλ/m, and the noise has coefficient λ/m\sqrt\lambda/mλ​/m times the square root of the current intensity. The second convergence claim transfers this intensity behavior to accumulated events. Those coefficients make the limit more informative than a statement that merely names a generic continuous process Jaisson and Rosenbaum, Theorem 2.2.

The result is proved in the paper but has no matching published Hawkes formalization in the local Prove2Me index used for this mission. Machine-checked definitions for Brownian motion and strong SDE solutions from the Ethier–Kurtz development are already available and referenced here. The new formal work is the Hawkes model, its path-space convergence, the density estimates, and the limit theorem itself. Formalizing the stated milestones would also leave reusable analytic and probability interfaces for other nearly unstable point-process limits.

Difficulty

Pointwise convergence of an intensity or of finitely many observations does not control its law as a cadlag path. Excitation also couples each event to later events, so a direct independent-increment argument is unavailable. The resolvent has to be controlled at the observation scale, including its high-frequency behavior, while the stochastic remainder has to be controlled uniformly over time. The final limit is a square-root SDE: its coefficient is not globally Lipschitz at zero, and a claim about its law must keep the initial condition and Brownian driver explicit Jaisson and Rosenbaum, §§4.2–4.3.

Formalization scope

The horizon TTT is a positive real sequence tending to infinity, as the paper's footnote specifies; aTa_TaT​ is a sequence in (0,1)(0,1)(0,1) tending to one. Each index may have its own probability space. The count is natural-number valued, nondecreasing, right-continuous, starts at zero, and has unit jumps. Its filtration is generated by evaluations of NTN^TNT. The intensity identity uses extended nonnegative integrals, avoiding an arbitrary real value for an infinite expectation. The right-continuous intensity includes an event at the current time, so CTC^TCT is cadlag. Its predictable left-limit version is available for stochastic integrands. All results use the half-line kernel and ϕT=aTϕ\phi^T=a_T\phiϕT=aT​ϕ; they never replace it by ϕ\phiϕ in the Hawkes process.

Skorohod convergence is represented by a coupling whose cadlag paths approach each other after increasing homeomorphic time changes of [0,1][0,1][0,1]. This is the representation form of weak convergence in D[0,1]D[0,1]D[0,1] with the J1J_1J1​ topology. The limit SDE uses the published global strong-solution predicate, then restricts its paths to [0,1][0,1][0,1]. Its drift is exactly (μ−x)λ/m(\mu-x)\lambda/m(μ−x)λ/m and diffusion exactly (λ/m)x(\sqrt\lambda/m)\sqrt{x}(λ​/m)x​; Real.sqrt on negative arguments does not affect its nonnegative solution. The renewal theorem item additionally makes the unknown fff measurable and locally bounded so its real convolution integral has its stated meaning. Fourier denominators exclude zero explicitly, while the zero-frequency bound is stated separately. The density convergence uses an extended nonnegative squared integral, and uniform probability convergence uses an extended supremum. These choices rule out default-zero values, a vacuous Hawkes class, a free limit process, and finite-dimensional convergence in place of path convergence.

The development needs half-line convolution and summable resolvents, natural filtrations and compensated point processes, Fourier bounds, cadlag path laws, and Itô SDEs. The convolution, path-space, and point-process interfaces are suitable for reuse. Contributions should preserve the exact hypotheses, constants, and two distinct convergence conclusions of the source theorem.

Selected references

  • T. Jaisson and M. Rosenbaum, Limit theorems for nearly unstable Hawkes processes, Annals of Applied Probability 25(2), 2015, arXiv:1310.2033v2. Preprint; DOI.
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Functional AnalysisNumber Theory·Captain: waitingintime

Connes–Weil arithmetic lower bound: cofinal actual-quartet certificatesOpen Problem

Why an arithmetic lower bound is needed

The Riemann hypothesis asks whether every nontrivial zero of the actual Riemann zeta function has real part one half. The Connes formalization has a certified implication from positivity of the Weil distribution to RH. That implication supplies a criterion; its positivity hypothesis still needs a proof. The Green realization formalization supplies an independently certified physical carrier, actual-zero columns and bounded synthesis operators. Their construction does not establish the arithmetic inequality.

This open problem isolates a finite-certificate formulation of that inequality. The goal is new research within the existing formal development, not a theorem asserted by the cited papers. It is an RH-equivalent target. A proof of the reductions below is already available; a proof of the target itself is not.

The relevant historical distinction is explicit: Riemann stated the zero-location hypothesis in 1859; Connes' 1999 paper relates trace-formula and positivity questions to the zeros; the present Lean development certifies the conditional positivity criterion and the Green realization. None of these citations is offered as an unconditional proof of the new arithmetic certificate bound.

Actual zeros and the fixed physical carrier

Let ZZZ be the subtype of complex numbers ρ\rhoρ satisfying ζ(ρ)=0\zeta(\rho)=0ζ(ρ)=0 and 0<Re⁡ρ<10<\operatorname{Re}\rho<10<Reρ<1. Multiplicities are the existing natural analytic multiplicities. Reflection is ρ↦1−ρ‾\rho\mapsto1-\overline\rhoρ↦1−ρ​, and conjugation is ρ↦ρ‾\rho\mapsto\overline\rhoρ↦ρ​. For each actual zero, let SρS_\rhoSρ​ be its finite reflection/conjugation orbit, called its quartet. Repeated orbit elements are removed by the finite-set construction, so the term does not assert four distinct zeros.

At a positive support radius TTT, the physical carrier HTH_THT​ is the existing closed Dirichlet energy-image completion on [−T,T][-T,T][−T,T]. Its energy convention is the integral of ∣u′∣2+∣u∣2/4|u'|^2+|u|^2/4∣u′∣2+∣u∣2/4. Source lifts, Green columns and their pair normalization retain their published definitions. The original admissible tests are smooth compactly supported functions; the carrier is not defined from an arbitrary replacement zero family.

Write pT,τp_{T,\tau}pT,τ​ for the original positive column of an actual zero τ\tauτ, with the original reflected-pair and multiplicity normalization. Their complete squared-norm sum is certified summable at each positive radius. For a finite set F⊂ZF\subset ZF⊂Z, PFP_FPF​ is the published synthesis of exactly these positive columns into HTH_THT​. Let NSN_SNS​ be the original selected negative synthesis on the coefficient space for the unchanged quartet S=SρS=S_\rhoS=Sρ​.

Formalization target

For a positive accuracy δ\deltaδ, define the already-published operators

BF=PF∗PF+δIF,CF,S=PF∗NS,B_F=P_F^*P_F+\delta I_F,\qquad C_{F,S}=P_F^*N_S,BF​=PF∗​PF​+δIF​,CF,S​=PF∗​NS​,

and the selected coefficient correction

DS(T,F,δ)=δIS−NS∗NS+CF,S∗BF−1CF,S.D_S(T,F,\delta)=\delta I_S-N_S^*N_S+C_{F,S}^*B_F^{-1}C_{F,S}.DS​(T,F,δ)=δIS​−NS∗​NS​+CF,S∗​BF−1​CF,S​.

The positive regularization makes BFB_FBF​ strictly positive, including dependent or repeated columns. Its ring inverse is certified to be a genuine inverse for positive δ\deltaδ.

The goal is

∀ρ∈Z  ∀b∈R  ∃T>max⁡(b,0)  ∀δ>0  ∃F⊂Z finite:\forall\rho\in Z\;\forall b\in\mathbb R\;\exists T>\max(b,0)\;\forall\delta>0\;\exists F\subset Z\text{ finite}:∀ρ∈Z∀b∈R∃T>max(b,0)∀δ>0∃F⊂Z finite: Sρ⊆F,F is reflection-closed,∑τ∉F∥pT,τ∥2<δ,DSρ(T,F,δ)⪰0.S_\rho\subseteq F,\quad F\text{ is reflection-closed},\quad \sum_{\tau\notin F}\|p_{T,\tau}\|^2<\delta,\quad D_{S_\rho}(T,F,\delta)\succeq0.Sρ​⊆F,F is reflection-closed,τ∈/F∑​∥pT,τ​∥2<δ,DSρ​​(T,F,δ)⪰0.

Here T>max⁡(b,0)T>\max(b,0)T>max(b,0) abbreviates the two strict inequalities in the Lean statement. The window is chosen before accuracy. The finite cutoff can depend on accuracy, but the selected negative quartet remains unchanged. The same accuracy occurs in the complete omitted tail and the correction operator.

What this target would establish

The certified fixed-window theorem identifies all-accuracy finite certificates with the original Picard marker being at least half the identity. The certified cofinal quartet criterion identifies arbitrarily large such quartet windows with Mathlib's Riemann hypothesis. Their composition has also been checked independently in the native Lean environment against the exact goal statement.

These two reductions are the principal milestones, alongside the existing literature-form positivity implication. Shared definitions and supporting theorems remain reusable library nodes. Certification of a reduction is distinct from establishing the nonnegative correction demanded by the goal. The goal is currently unproved and carries no RH or desired-positivity hypothesis.

The remaining difficulty

Finite tail cutoffs exist by summability, and regularized coefficient inverses exist by strict positivity. Those facts leave the sign of DSD_SDS​ undetermined. An arithmetic representation of the full Weil operator alone also leaves that sign undetermined. The selected negative packet and the unselected negative background are different parts of the original signed operator; replacing one by the other changes the obligation.

The arithmetic transfer audit ZP-WEIL-MARKER-TRANSFER / RH-ZERO-PROV-2 records this distinction. Endpoint estimates or neutral-shell arguments contribute only when they supply the original lower bound with the required window and accuracy quantifiers. A bound at one boundary, an accuracy-dependent choice of window, or an estimate with a positive residual error floor does not supply the displayed target. No easier status is implied by its finite coefficient representation.

Formalization scope

The proposal uses Lean 4.33.1 and Mathlib revision 0df444a360eaa60ab8c11dca51a86af692955474, with the published original quartet and selected-correction definitions. A separate native audit uses the existing Lean 4.34.0 repository environment. Complex Hilbert inner products are conjugate-linear in the first argument. Operator nonnegativity uses the existing continuous-linear-map order. Infinite tails are unordered sums on the actual-zero complement.

No simple-zero assumption, independence of columns, unregularized Gram inverse, replacement carrier, changed coefficient metric or silently restricted zero family is permitted. Quartets include zeros on the critical line; an empty actual-zero subtype would make the universal target vacuous, exactly as specified by the existing actual-zero indexing. New auxiliary definitions belong in shared definition bundles, and reusable algebraic lemmas belong in the library. The existing Green milestone history and dependency graph are retained.

Selected references

  • B. Riemann, Ueber die Anzahl der Primzahlen unter einer gegebenen Grösse, Monatsberichte der Berliner Akademie, 1859. Original paper and translations.
  • A. Connes, Trace formula in noncommutative Geometry and the zeros of the Riemann zeta function, Selecta Mathematica 5, 1999. arXiv:math/9811068. Source of the conditional positivity/RH context, not the new certificate inequality.
  • H. Brezis, Functional Analysis, Sobolev Spaces and Partial Differential Equations, Springer, 2011. DOI. Functional-analytic background for the certified carrier.
  • Published Lean results: cofinal quartet criterion, fixed-window selected certificates, and selected-correction definitions.
  • monocap-tech/provenance, RH-ZERO-PROV-2 arithmetic-transfer checkpoint, 2026. Its stated status is representation complete, lower-bound theorem open, RH not proved.

Literature and source audit

The exact cofinal-quartet finite-certificate goal remains open. An independent Lean audit verifies its equivalence to Mathlib RiemannHypothesis by composing the two certified milestone reductions. The window is chosen before every positive regularization parameter; the selected actual-zero quartet is fixed, and the same parameter controls the full positive tail and selected correction. Tail summability and existence of inverses alone do not establish the required sign.

The foreign graph export ConnesRZ.weil_positivity_implies_RH matches the native ConnesRZClosed.weil_positivity_implies_RH: the older native ConnesRZ theorem takes explicitFormula as an input, discharged in Closed. The foreign record has a staged source qualification; it has not been edited.

Arithmetic transfer checkpoint: monocap-tech/provenance 178c83225b2300506ff622899d08ec3c987137d5, rh/checkpoints/RH_ZERO_PROV_2_EULER_WEIL_MARKER_TRANSFER_20260920.md, SHA256 0bb48b950f09220f7b2f193c16b45b15add0333906f919f8b50ca915f77a1a0d. Retained local Git bytes were verified; public availability is unverified. Critical-window location, the prescribed ordered-limit interface, and arithmetic endpoint/neutral-shell control remain open. RH is not established.

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Discrete Geometry·Captain: iris

Colorful Helly and colorful fractional Helly theoremsResearch Paper

Motivation

Helly's theorem says that a finite family of convex sets in Rd\mathbb R^dRd has a common point whenever every d+1d+1d+1 of its members do. Two of its best-known strengthenings weaken the hypothesis in different directions. The colorful Helly theorem, due to Lovász and first published by Bárány (1982), distributes the sets into d+1d+1d+1 color classes and only asks that every colorful choice of one set per class intersects. The fractional Helly theorem of Katchalski and Liu (1979) only asks that a positive fraction of the (d+1)(d+1)(d+1)-tuples intersect, and concludes that a positive fraction of the whole family has a common point. Bárány, Fodor, Montejano, Oliveros and Pór (2014) combined the two into a colorful fractional Helly theorem, which they used to prove colorful and fractional (p,q)(p,q)(p,q)-theorems.

Timeline:

  • 1923: Helly's theorem.
  • 1979: Katchalski–Liu, fractional Helly theorem.
  • 1982: Bárány publishes Lovász's colorful Helly theorem (together with the colorful Carathéodory theorem).
  • 2014: Bárány–Fodor–Montejano–Oliveros–Pór, colorful fractional Helly with fraction α/(d+1)\alpha/(d+1)α/(d+1).
  • 2017: Kim improves the fraction so that it tends to 111 as α→1\alpha\to 1α→1; the optimal fraction 1−(1−α)1/(d+1)1-(1-\alpha)^{1/(d+1)}1−(1−α)1/(d+1) was later established by Bulavka, Goodarzi and Tancer.

Setting

Work in Rd\mathbb R^dRd with d≥0d\ge 0d≥0. A color class is a finite indexed family Fi={Fi,0,…,Fi,Ni−1}\mathcal F_i=\{F_{i,0},\dots,F_{i,N_i-1}\}Fi​={Fi,0​,…,Fi,Ni​−1​} of convex subsets of Rd\mathbb R^dRd; repetitions are allowed. Given d+1d+1d+1 color classes F0,…,Fd\mathcal F_0,\dots,\mathcal F_dF0​,…,Fd​, a colorful choice is a tuple (c0,…,cd)(c_0,\dots,c_d)(c0​,…,cd​) with 0≤ci<Ni0\le c_i<N_i0≤ci​<Ni​, selecting the sets F0,c0,…,Fd,cdF_{0,c_0},\dots,F_{d,c_d}F0,c0​​,…,Fd,cd​​. There are ∏iNi\prod_i N_i∏i​Ni​ colorful choices.

Formalization targets

Goal: colorful fractional Helly

For 0<α≤10<\alpha\le 10<α≤1: if at least α∏iNi\alpha\prod_i N_iα∏i​Ni​ colorful choices satisfy ⋂iFi,ci≠∅\bigcap_i F_{i,c_i}\neq\emptyset⋂i​Fi,ci​​=∅, then for some color iii there is G⊆{0,…,Ni−1}G\subseteq\{0,\dots,N_i-1\}G⊆{0,…,Ni​−1} with

∣G∣ ≥ αd+1Niand⋂j∈GFi,j≠∅.|G|\ \ge\ \frac{\alpha}{d+1}N_i\qquad\text{and}\qquad\bigcap_{j\in G}F_{i,j}\neq\emptyset.∣G∣ ≥ d+1α​Ni​andj∈G⋂​Fi,j​=∅.

Milestone: colorful Helly

If every colorful choice satisfies ⋂iFi,ci≠∅\bigcap_i F_{i,c_i}\ne\emptyset⋂i​Fi,ci​​=∅, then ⋂jFi,j≠∅\bigcap_j F_{i,j}\neq\emptyset⋂j​Fi,j​=∅ for some color iii.

Significance

Colorful Helly specializes to Helly's theorem by taking all color classes equal, and the colorful fractional theorem specializes to the fractional Helly theorem in the same way. Both are standard inputs in the theory of intersection patterns: colorful and fractional (p,q)(p,q)(p,q)-theorems, Helly-type results for families with extra structure, and bounds on transversal numbers. Mathlib contains Helly's theorem and Carathéodory's theorem but neither colorful statement; this mission adds both as reusable, machine-checked results.

Difficulty

Helly's theorem alone does not suffice: the hypothesis only controls colorful tuples, so subfamilies with two sets of the same color are never assumed to intersect. The arguments need an extremal object attached to each colorful intersection (classically a lexicographic minimum or a lowest point) and a Helly-type reduction showing that this object is determined by at most ddd of the d+1d+1d+1 chosen sets. The sets are not assumed closed or bounded, so a reduction to compact sets is also required.

Formalization scope

Rd\mathbb R^dRd is EuclideanSpace ℝ (Fin d); the d+1d+1d+1 color classes are a dependent family indexed by Fin (d+1) and Fin (N i), and a colorful choice is a dependent function (i : Fin (d+1)) → Fin (N i). The number of intersecting colorful choices is the cardinality (Set.ncard) of a set of such functions. Empty color classes are allowed; they make the statements trivially true, since an intersection over an empty index set is the whole space. The fraction α/(d+1)\alpha/(d+1)α/(d+1) is explicit rather than existentially quantified. Proofs of the optimal fraction 1−(1−α)1/(d+1)1-(1-\alpha)^{1/(d+1)}1−(1−α)1/(d+1) would be welcome as a stronger follow-up.

Selected references

  • I. Bárány, A generalization of Carathéodory's theorem, Discrete Math. 40 (1982), 141–152. https://doi.org/10.1016/0012-365X(82)90115-7
  • I. Bárány, F. Fodor, L. Montejano, D. Oliveros, A. Pór, Colourful and fractional (p,q)-theorems, Discrete Comput. Geom. 51 (2014), 628–642. https://doi.org/10.1007/s00454-013-9559-2
  • M. Katchalski, A. Liu, A problem of geometry in Rn\mathbb R^nRn, Proc. Amer. Math. Soc. 75 (1979), 284–288. https://doi.org/10.1090/S0002-9939-1979-0532152-2
  • M. Kim, A note on the colorful fractional Helly theorem, Discrete Math. 340 (2017). https://arxiv.org/abs/1511.05290
  • D. Bulavka, A. Goodarzi, M. Tancer, Optimal bounds for the colorful fractional Helly theorem, SoCG 2021. https://arxiv.org/abs/2010.15765
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ProbabilityStatisticsStochastic Systems·Captain: mikedeng1

Limit Theorems for Nearly Unstable Hawkes Processes 1: When T(1 − a_T) → ∞ the Rescaled Hawkes Process Is Asymptotically Deterministic in L²Research Paper

Motivation

A Hawkes process is a model for events that make further events more likely for a time. It is used when event times cluster, including transaction arrivals in financial markets. Jaisson and Rosenbaum study what happens when the feedback approaches the threshold at which the usual stable model ceases to have a finite long-run mean intensity. The behavior depends on how fast the observation horizon grows relative to that approach to instability. Their first regime says that, when the horizon grows sufficiently faster, the observed count still becomes deterministic after normalization. The precise result is Theorem 2.1 of Jaisson and Rosenbaum (2015).

The mission concerns that first regime alone. It isolates an L2L^2L2 statement that controls the whole observed path at once, rather than a count at one fixed time. Later results in the paper use a different balance between the horizon and the feedback parameter and produce stochastic diffusion limits. Those later regimes are separate missions in this series.

Setting

For each horizon T>0T>0T>0, let NtTN^T_tNtT​ count events through time ttt, starting from N0T=0N^T_0=0N0T​=0. It is observed for 0≤t≤T0\le t\le T0≤t≤T on a probability space that may depend on TTT. Its intensity is the nonnegative process

λtT=μ+∫0tϕT(t−s) dNsT,μ>0.\lambda_t^T=\mu+\int_0^t\phi^T(t-s)\,dN_s^T,\qquad \mu>0.λtT​=μ+∫0t​ϕT(t−s)dNsT​,μ>0.

The baseline μ\muμ creates events even before any excitation. At each jump of NTN^TNT, the kernel ϕT\phi^TϕT adds an effect that depends on the elapsed time since that event. The intensity property is specified relative to the natural filtration FtT=σ(NsT:0≤s≤t)\mathcal F_t^T=\sigma(N_s^T:0\le s\le t)FtT​=σ(NsT​:0≤s≤t): for 0≤a<b≤T0\le a<b\le T0≤a<b≤T and A∈FaTA\in\mathcal F_a^TA∈FaT​, the expected number of new events on AAA equals the expected integrated intensity on AAA over (a,b](a,b](a,b]. This is the defining condition used in §2.1 of the paper.

Assumption 1 fixes a nonnegative measurable kernel ϕ\phiϕ of total mass one and finite first moment m=∫0∞sϕ(s) dsm=\int_0^\infty s\phi(s)\,dsm=∫0∞​sϕ(s)ds. Its derivative is bounded and integrable. The horizon-dependent kernel is ϕT=aTϕ\phi^T=a_T\phiϕT=aT​ϕ, with 0<aT<10<a_T<10<aT​<1 and aT→1a_T\to1aT​→1. Thus ∥ϕT∥1=aT\|\phi^T\|_1=a_T∥ϕT∥1​=aT​ approaches the stability boundary. The paper also defines the compensated count MtT=NtT−∫0tλsT dsM_t^T=N_t^T-\int_0^t\lambda_s^T\,dsMtT​=NtT​−∫0t​λsT​ds and the resolvent ψT=∑k≥1(ϕT)∗k\psi^T=\sum_{k\ge1}(\phi^T)^{*k}ψT=∑k≥1​(ϕT)∗k, where each convolution uses nonnegative time. These enter the supporting results.

Formalization targets

The goal is Theorem 2.1, in the regime T(1−aT)→∞T(1-a_T)\to\inftyT(1−aT​)→∞. Its L2L^2L2 assertion is

E ⁣[(sup⁡v∈[0,1]1−aTT∣NTvT−E[NTvT]∣)2]⟶0.\mathbb E\!\left[\left(\sup_{v\in[0,1]}\frac{1-a_T}{T} \left|N^T_{Tv}-\mathbb E[N^T_{Tv}]\right|\right)^2\right]\longrightarrow0.E​(v∈[0,1]sup​T1−aT​​​NTvT​−E[NTvT​]​)2​⟶0.

The supremum is inside the expectation. The time variable vvv runs over the entire unit interval, so this is a statement about the normalized path of the count. The normalizing factor depends on both the horizon and the distance 1−aT1-a_T1−aT​ from the stability boundary.

The milestone list consists of the paper's renewal identity (Lemma 4.1), its two representations of the Hawkes mean and centered count, the exact mass of ψT\psi^TψT, a pathwise fluctuation bound, the Doob L2L^2L2 estimate for MTM^TMT, and the finite-horizon bound with constant 4μ/[T(1−aT)]4\mu/[T(1-a_T)]4μ/[T(1−aT​)]. The final estimate has no asymptotic hypothesis; the goal adds the regime condition and takes its limit. The unnumbered milestones are the displays in §4.1, pp. 14–15, and Lemma 4.1 appears in §4.2, p. 15.

Significance

The result identifies a regime in which near instability does not produce macroscopic random fluctuations at the paper's normalization. It supplies a boundary between the familiar deterministic large-horizon behavior of stable Hawkes processes and the diffusion behavior obtained under the paper's other scaling. The theorem controls the largest fluctuation over the whole observation interval, which is stronger than a statement at each fixed vvv or a bound on the supremum of separate variances.

The mathematical result is proved in the paper; the target here is a machine-checked proof of the same result. A completed development would also provide reusable Lean definitions for a simple counting process, its generated filtration, pathwise jump integration, Hawkes intensity, and nonnegative-time convolution resolvent. It would make explicit the maximal inequality and renewal estimates needed for other Hawkes scaling questions. This mission currently poses these statements as open Lean proof obligations; it does not claim the paper's proof is already formalized.

Difficulty

The near-instability parameter aTa_TaT​ tends to one, so estimates for a Hawkes process with a fixed a<1a<1a<1 cannot simply be used with a uniform constant. The scale of the mean and the size of the fluctuations both change with TTT. There is also a pathwise issue: the theorem places a supremum over all v∈[0,1]v\in[0,1]v∈[0,1] inside an L2L^2L2 expectation. A separate estimate for each vvv does not provide the required control of the path maximum.

The point-process side adds another layer. The compensated count is a continuous-time martingale with jumps, and the intensity depends on its own event history. The result therefore needs the correct relation among the natural filtration, the intensity identity, the resolvent, and the martingale maximum. The book-keeping at a jump matters: the cadlag intensity includes the jump at its time, while stochastic compensator integrals use the same process only up to a set of times of Lebesgue measure zero.

Formalization scope

The Lean development indexes the paper's implicit horizons as a sequence Tn>0T_n>0Tn​>0 tending to infinity; the multipliers an∈(0,1)a_n\in(0,1)an​∈(0,1) tend to one, and Tn(1−an)→∞T_n(1-a_n)\to\inftyTn​(1−an​)→∞. Each NTnN^{T_n}NTn​ may use a different probability space. Time is represented by real numbers, with the counting-process conditions applied on nonnegative time and the Hawkes intensity identity applied only through the observation horizon. The count is natural-number valued, right-continuous, nondecreasing, and has unit jumps. The Hawkes intensity is defined by a finite sum over jumps in (0,t](0,t](0,t], and the conditional intensity identity uses extended nonnegative expectations, so an infinite expectation is not silently assigned zero.

The kernel ϕ\phiϕ is measurable and nonnegative on [0,∞)[0,\infty)[0,∞), has total mass one and finite first moment, and has an integrable bounded derivative; differentiability at zero is one-sided. The resolvent starts at the first convolution power, not at an identity term. Its L1L^1L1 mass is taken over positive time. The path supremum and its squared expectation are extended nonnegative quantities. Ordinary real expectations of NTvTN^T_{Tv}NTvT​ are retained because their integrability follows from the Hawkes assumptions; the theorem does not assume it separately.

The Hawkes predicate is the paper's natural-filtration intensity condition for ϕT=aTϕ\phi^T=a_T\phiϕT=aT​ϕ. A vacuous process condition, an intensity built from ϕ\phiϕ instead of ϕT\phi^TϕT, or a supremum taken outside the expectation would change the target. Contributions to the generic counting-process and resolvent definitions, the renewal identity, the finite-horizon martingale estimates, and the goal theorem are all within scope. The source's p. 14 bound omits an absolute value on the centered count; the Lean milestone states the absolute-value form required by its subsequent squared estimate, while its verbatim field preserves the printed form.

Selected references

  • Thibault Jaisson and Mathieu Rosenbaum, Limit theorems for nearly unstable Hawkes processes, Annals of Applied Probability 25(2), 2015, arXiv:1310.2033v2. Pinned preprint; DOI.
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Theoretical Computer Science·Captain: wurtle

Two WordRAM models: equivalence with polylogarithmic overheadTextbook

Prove equivalence between two WordRAM models: one with unsigned pointers, bit operations, and shifts; the other with signed pointers and branching on sign. Both support bounded-word arithmetic and multiplication.

For input and observable output bounded by B(n)=K(n+1)qB(n)=K(n+1)^qB(n)=K(n+1)q words, transfer running time T(n)T(n)T(n) in either direction to

C(T(n)+B(n)+1)(⌊log⁡2n⌋+1)d,C\bigl(T(n)+B(n)+1\bigr) \bigl(\lfloor \log_2 n \rfloor+1\bigr)^d,C(T(n)+B(n)+1)(⌊log2​n⌋+1)d,

including input/output conversion, with one bound valid for every sufficiently large word width. We preserve halting and mapped memory as well.

References:

  1. Torben Hagerup, “Sorting and Searching on the Word RAM,” STACS 1998, pp. 366–398; model conventions pp. 369–372. https://doi.org/10.1007/BFb0028575
  2. Josh Alman and Virginia Vassilevska Williams, “Truly Subquadratic 3SUM and Truly Subcubic APSP via Triangles in Sparse Lopsided Graphs,” 2026. https://arxiv.org/abs/2610.06783
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CombinatoricsGraph TheoryProbability+1·Captain: mikedeng1

Separation of Time-Scales and Model Reduction for Stochastic Reaction Networks 1: The Balance Condition for Linear Combinations of Species Decomposes over Strongly Connected ComponentsResearch Paper

Why reaction-network balance matters

A stochastic reaction network tracks the counts of chemical species as reactions occur. Different species and reaction rates may grow at different powers of a large system-size parameter. Kang and Kurtz's model-reduction paper uses these powers to identify candidate time scales and combinations of species that can remain bounded. Before a reduced model can be justified, the dominant reactions that increase a combination must be compared with those that decrease it. Condition 3.2 makes that comparison.

Checking the condition for every nonnegative linear combination is a large task even for a finite network: the weights range over a continuum, and changing a weight can change which reactions increase or decrease the combination. The paper's Lemma 3.4 relates this task to the directed graph of species. It says that combinations supported on different strongly connected components can be checked component by component. This mission formalizes that result and the claims in its proof that carry the reduction.

The network and its graph

There are finitely many species SiS_iSi​ and finitely many indexed reactions kkk. Reaction kkk consumes νik\nu_{ik}νik​ molecules of species iii and produces νik′\nu'_{ik}νik′​ molecules of that species. The stoichiometric change is ζik=νik′−νik\zeta_{ik}=\nu'_{ik}-\nu_{ik}ζik​=νik′​−νik​. Species iii has a nonnegative scaling exponent αi\alpha_iαi​, and reaction kkk has a real exponent βk\beta_kβk​. The effective reaction exponent is ρk=βk+∑iνikαi\rho_k=\beta_k+\sum_i\nu_{ik}\alpha_iρk​=βk​+∑i​νik​αi​.

For a vector of nonnegative weights θ\thetaθ, the scalar θ⋅ζk\theta\cdot\zeta_kθ⋅ζk​ is the change in its linear combination when reaction kkk occurs. Write Γθ+\Gamma^+_\thetaΓθ+​ for reactions with positive change and Γθ−\Gamma^-_\thetaΓθ−​ for reactions with negative change. The balance equation equates the largest ρk\rho_kρk​ on these two sets. If that equation fails, the time-scale inequality permits a chosen exponent γ\gammaγ only when it is no larger than γθ\gamma_\thetaγθ​, the largest αi\alpha_iαi​ on the support of θ\thetaθ minus the largest ρk\rho_kρk​ on Γθ+∪Γθ−\Gamma^+_\theta\cup\Gamma^-_\thetaΓθ+​∪Γθ−​. Condition 3.2 is the disjunction of these two alternatives.

The species graph has an edge Si→SjS_i\to S_jSi​→Sj​ when one reaction consumes SiS_iSi​ and produces SjS_jSj​. Its strongly connected components are the maximal sets of species that can reach one another by directed paths. A single species is a component when it shares no larger mutual-reachability class. A nonnegative vector supported in one such component is a component-level test vector.

Formalization targets

The goal is Lemma 3.4, p. 15. Suppose θ=∑j=1mθj\theta=\sum_{j=1}^m\theta^jθ=∑j=1m​θj, each θj\theta^jθj is nonnegative and supported within one maximal strongly connected component, and distinct pieces belong to distinct components. For fixed γ\gammaγ, the lemma asserts all three implications:

(∀j,  Cond3.2(γ,θj))⟹Cond3.2(γ,θ),(∀j,  Balance(θj))⟹Balance(θ),(∀j,  γ≤γθj)⟹γ≤γθ.\begin{aligned} \bigl(\forall j,\;\mathrm{Cond}_{3.2}(\gamma,\theta^j)\bigr)&\Longrightarrow\mathrm{Cond}_{3.2}(\gamma,\theta),\\ \bigl(\forall j,\;\mathrm{Balance}(\theta^j)\bigr)&\Longrightarrow\mathrm{Balance}(\theta),\\ \bigl(\forall j,\;\gamma\le\gamma_{\theta^j}\bigr)&\Longrightarrow\gamma\le\gamma_\theta. \end{aligned}(∀j,Cond3.2​(γ,θj))(∀j,Balance(θj))(∀j,γ≤γθj​)​⟹Cond3.2​(γ,θ),⟹Balance(θ),⟹γ≤γθ​.​

The companion consequence on the same page quantifies over all nonnegative vectors: if any one of these properties holds for every vector supported in a strongly connected subgraph, then it holds for every vector. The milestones mirror the paper's proof: a chain of component pieces cannot revisit a piece; under Condition 3.2 the maximal positive exponent either satisfies the time-scale bound or is bounded by the maximal negative exponent; and the two uniform cases yield their respective alternatives.

What the result establishes

Lemma 3.4 replaces a global family of tests with tests inside individual strongly connected components. In the paper this narrows the balance checks needed before the authors study separated time scales and reduced stochastic models. The uniform balance and uniform time-scale clauses matter separately: the first preserves equality of dominant positive and negative exponents, while the second preserves the same admissible γ\gammaγ across a sum of pieces. The general Condition 3.2 clause allows different pieces to satisfy different alternatives.

The mathematical result was proved in the 2010 arXiv preprint and published in 2013; it is not an open conjecture. This proposal supplies Lean statements and a reusable finite reaction-network vocabulary, with proofs left for solvers. The local sanity file checks the empty-maximum and zero-vector behavior without using sorry. The draft theorem files compile as statements, but their six proofs are not yet machine checked.

Where the reasoning is difficult

The obvious inequality for a sum says that a reaction increasing θ\thetaθ increases at least one piece. It does not say that the piece's dominant increasing reaction also increases the sum: contributions from other pieces can cancel it. Consequently, taking a maximum separately on each piece does not directly give the balance equation for the sum. The graph restriction is decisive because a sequence of compensating reactions would otherwise be able to cycle among pieces. The milestones isolate that no-repetition property and the two inequalities the paper obtains from it.

Formalization scope

Species, reactions, and pieces are represented by Fin s, Fin r, and Fin m; these are zero-based versions of the paper's one-based indices. The stoichiometric coefficients are natural numbers, the changes ζk\zeta_kζk​ and all scaling exponents are real, and αi≥0\alpha_i\ge0αi​≥0. Following the standing restriction on p. 5, each reaction consumes at most two molecules. The paper's ρk\rho_kρk​ is computed from βk\beta_kβk​, νk\nu_kνk​, and α\alphaα, not supplied independently.

For a reaction set AAA, max⁡k∈Aρk\max_{k\in A}\rho_kmaxk∈A​ρk​ uses WithBot ℝ, so the maximum of an empty set is −∞-\infty−∞, as the paper explicitly uses on p. 17. The support maximum in γθ\gamma_\thetaγθ​ is an ordinary real maximum when relevant. The value γθ\gamma_\thetaγθ​ is represented in EReal: when Γθ+∪Γθ−\Gamma^+_\theta\cup\Gamma^-_\thetaΓθ+​∪Γθ−​ is empty, it is +∞+\infty+∞ and the time-scale inequality holds for every real γ\gammaγ. Subtraction is performed in the reals before conversion to EReal. Thus zero vectors do not acquire a spurious bound from a default-valued maximum or extended-real subtraction.

An edge uses positive consumption and positive production in the same indexed reaction, matching the wording on pp. 4 and 15. Mutual reachability defines a component. Each piece is required to lie in one component, and different pieces in different components. These conditions prevent splitting a single component into separately balanced pieces, which would make the goal false. An empty family of pieces is permitted; its sum is zero. The definition file is useful for the other balance results in the paper, while the graph and component lemmas can support later work on reaction-network decomposition.

Selected references

  • Hye-Won Kang and Thomas G. Kurtz, Separation of time-scales and model reduction for stochastic reaction networks, arXiv:1011.1672v1, 2010, especially §2 and §§3.2–3.4, pp. 4–17. Preprint.
  • Hye-Won Kang and Thomas G. Kurtz, Separation of time-scales and model reduction for stochastic reaction networks, Annals of Applied Probability 23(2), 2013. DOI. The numbered statements in this mission follow the pinned 2010 preprint.
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Machine LearningOptimizationProbability·Captain: mikedeng1

Stochastic Model-Based Minimization of Weakly Convex Functions 2: The Proximal Stochastic Subgradient Method Drives E‖∇φ_{1/ρ̄}(x_{t*})‖² to Zero at Rate O(1/√T)Research Paper

Motivation

The proximal stochastic subgradient method is the workhorse of large-scale learning: to minimize a regularized population risk φ(x)=f(x)+r(x)\varphi(x) = f(x) + r(x)φ(x)=f(x)+r(x) with f(x)=Eξ∼P[f(x,ξ)]f(x) = \mathbb E_{\xi \sim P}[f(x,\xi)]f(x)=Eξ∼P​[f(x,ξ)], it samples a data point, takes a step against a sampled subgradient of fff, and applies the proximal map of the regularizer rrr. Its sample complexity is classical for convex problems (O(ε−2)O(\varepsilon^{-2})O(ε−2) samples for function accuracy ε\varepsilonε) and for smooth nonconvex problems (O(ε−4)O(\varepsilon^{-4})O(ε−4) samples for gradient norm ε\varepsilonε, Ghadimi–Lan 2013). For problems that are both nonsmooth and nonconvex, however, no complexity bound was known for any reasonably broad class before Davis–Drusvyatskiy 2019.

Many such problems — robust phase retrieval, nonlinear least squares with an ℓ1\ell_1ℓ1​ loss, conditional value-at-risk minimization with smooth losses, covariance estimation — are weakly convex: they become convex after adding a quadratic ρ2∥x∥2\frac{\rho}{2}\|x\|^22ρ​∥x∥2. This mission formalizes the complexity guarantee of Davis and Drusvyatskiy for the proximal stochastic subgradient method on weakly convex problems.

Timeline. Nurminskii (1973) showed that for weakly convex f(⋅,ξ)f(\cdot,\xi)f(⋅,ξ) and r=0r = 0r=0 the stochastic subgradient method has limit points that are stationary, without a rate. Ghadimi and Lan (2013) proved the O(ε−4)O(\varepsilon^{-4})O(ε−4) rate for smooth fff. Davis and Drusvyatskiy (arXiv 2018, SIAM J. Optim. 2019) proved the first rate for the proximal stochastic subgradient method under weak convexity, measured by the gradient of the Moreau envelope; this is Theorem 3.4 of their paper.

Setting

Work in Rd\mathbb R^dRd with the Euclidean norm. Let r:Rd→R∪{+∞}r : \mathbb R^d \to \mathbb R \cup \{+\infty\}r:Rd→R∪{+∞} be closed (its epigraph is closed) and convex, with nonempty domain D=dom⁡rD = \operatorname{dom} rD=domr, and let f:Rd→Rf : \mathbb R^d \to \mathbb Rf:Rd→R be ρ\rhoρ-weakly convex: x↦f(x)+ρ2∥x∥2x \mapsto f(x) + \frac{\rho}{2}\|x\|^2x↦f(x)+2ρ​∥x∥2 is convex. Set φ=f+r\varphi = f + rφ=f+r.

The subdifferential ∂ψ(x)\partial\psi(x)∂ψ(x) of a function ψ\psiψ at a point xxx of its domain is the set of vectors vvv with ψ(y)≥ψ(x)+⟨v,y−x⟩+o(∥y−x∥)\psi(y) \ge \psi(x) + \langle v, y - x\rangle + o(\|y - x\|)ψ(y)≥ψ(x)+⟨v,y−x⟩+o(∥y−x∥) as y→xy \to xy→x; it is empty off the domain. For λ>0\lambda > 0λ>0 the Moreau envelope and the proximal map are

ψλ(x)=min⁡y{ψ(y)+12λ∥y−x∥2},prox⁡λψ(x)=argmin⁡y{ψ(y)+12λ∥y−x∥2}.\psi_\lambda(x) = \min_y \Big\{\psi(y) + \tfrac{1}{2\lambda}\|y - x\|^2\Big\}, \qquad \operatorname{prox}_{\lambda\psi}(x) = \operatorname*{argmin}_y \Big\{\psi(y) + \tfrac{1}{2\lambda}\|y - x\|^2\Big\}.ψλ​(x)=ymin​{ψ(y)+2λ1​∥y−x∥2},proxλψ​(x)=yargmin​{ψ(y)+2λ1​∥y−x∥2}.

Assumption A (stochastic subgradient oracle): on a probability space (Ω,F,P)(\Omega, \mathcal F, P)(Ω,F,P) one can draw i.i.d. samples ξ0,ξ1,⋯∼P\xi_0, \xi_1, \dots \sim Pξ0​,ξ1​,⋯∼P (A1); there are an open set U⊇DU \supseteq DU⊇D and a measurable map GGG with Eξ[G(x,ξ)]∈∂f(x)\mathbb E_\xi[G(x,\xi)] \in \partial f(x)Eξ​[G(x,ξ)]∈∂f(x) for all x∈Ux \in Ux∈U (A2); and Eξ∥G(x,ξ)∥2≤L2\mathbb E_\xi\|G(x,\xi)\|^2 \le L^2Eξ​∥G(x,ξ)∥2≤L2 for all x∈Dx \in Dx∈D (A3).

Algorithm 3.1 starts at x0∈Dx_0 \in Dx0​∈D and, for t=0,…,Tt = 0, \dots, Tt=0,…,T, samples ξt\xi_tξt​ and sets xt+1=prox⁡αtr(xt−αtG(xt,ξt))x_{t+1} = \operatorname{prox}_{\alpha_t r}(x_t - \alpha_t G(x_t, \xi_t))xt+1​=proxαt​r​(xt​−αt​G(xt​,ξt​)). It returns xt∗x_{t^*}xt∗​ with t∗t^*t∗ drawn from {0,…,T}\{0, \dots, T\}{0,…,T} with probability αt/∑iαi\alpha_t / \sum_i \alpha_iαt​/∑i​αi​.

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem 3.4, (3.15) and (3.16)

For ρˉ∈(ρ,2ρ]\bar\rho \in (\rho, 2\rho]ρˉ​∈(ρ,2ρ] and stepsizes αt∈(0,1/ρˉ]\alpha_t \in (0, 1/\bar\rho]αt​∈(0,1/ρˉ​],

E[∥∇φ1/ρˉ(xt∗)∥2]≤ρˉρˉ−ρ⋅(φ1/ρˉ(x0)−min⁡φ)+2ρˉL2∑t=0Tαt2∑t=0Tαt,\mathbb E\big[\|\nabla\varphi_{1/\bar\rho}(x_{t^*})\|^2\big] \le \frac{\bar\rho}{\bar\rho - \rho}\cdot\frac{\big(\varphi_{1/\bar\rho}(x_0) - \min\varphi\big) + 2\bar\rho L^2\sum_{t=0}^T\alpha_t^2}{\sum_{t=0}^T\alpha_t},E[∥∇φ1/ρˉ​​(xt∗​)∥2]≤ρˉ​−ρρˉ​​⋅∑t=0T​αt​(φ1/ρˉ​​(x0​)−minφ)+2ρˉ​L2∑t=0T​αt2​​,

and with αt=γ/T+1\alpha_t = \gamma/\sqrt{T+1}αt​=γ/T+1​, γ∈(0,12ρ]\gamma \in (0, \frac{1}{2\rho}]γ∈(0,2ρ1​],

E[∥∇φ1/(2ρ)(xt∗)∥2]≤2⋅(φ1/(2ρ)(x0)−min⁡φ)+4ρL2γ2γT+1.\mathbb E\big[\|\nabla\varphi_{1/(2\rho)}(x_{t^*})\|^2\big] \le 2\cdot\frac{\big(\varphi_{1/(2\rho)}(x_0) - \min\varphi\big) + 4\rho L^2\gamma^2}{\gamma\sqrt{T+1}}.E[∥∇φ1/(2ρ)​(xt∗​)∥2]≤2⋅γT+1​(φ1/(2ρ)​(x0​)−minφ)+4ρL2γ2​.

Milestones

In the order the proof uses them: Lemma 2.1 (subdifferential characterization of weak convexity), the existence of v^t∈∂f(x^t)\hat v_t \in \partial f(\hat x_t)v^t​∈∂f(x^t​) with ρˉ(xt−x^t)∈∂r(x^t)+v^t\bar\rho(x_t - \hat x_t) \in \partial r(\hat x_t) + \hat v_tρˉ​(xt​−x^t​)∈∂r(x^t​)+v^t​ (§3.2), Lemma 3.2 (x^t\hat x_tx^t​ is a proximal point of rrr), Lemma 3.3 (one-step contraction towards x^t\hat x_tx^t​), Lemma 2.2 (the envelope is C1C^1C1 with ∇φλ(x)=λ−1(x−prox⁡λφ(x))\nabla\varphi_\lambda(x) = \lambda^{-1}(x - \operatorname{prox}_{\lambda\varphi}(x))∇φλ​(x)=λ−1(x−proxλφ​(x))), and the one-step descent estimate (3.14).

Significance

The result. A small ∥∇φλ(x)∥\|\nabla\varphi_\lambda(x)\|∥∇φλ​(x)∥ certifies that xxx is within λ∥∇φλ(x)∥\lambda\|\nabla\varphi_\lambda(x)\|λ∥∇φλ​(x)∥ of a point x^\hat xx^ with φ(x^)≤φ(x)\varphi(\hat x) \le \varphi(x)φ(x^)≤φ(x) and dist⁡(0,∂φ(x^))≤∥∇φλ(x)∥\operatorname{dist}(0, \partial\varphi(\hat x)) \le \|\nabla\varphi_\lambda(x)\|dist(0,∂φ(x^))≤∥∇φλ​(x)∥. Theorem 3.4 therefore gives a sample complexity of O(ε−4)O(\varepsilon^{-4})O(ε−4) for reaching an ε\varepsilonε-nearly stationary point, matching the smooth rate, for a method that is run in practice without modification. The underlying observation — the method is an approximate descent method on the Moreau envelope — is reused in the paper's model-based analysis (Theorem 4.3) and in subsequent work on stochastic nonsmooth nonconvex optimization.

Formalizing it. The theorem is proved in the paper; no machine-checked version exists. A complete development produces reusable infrastructure: the Fréchet subdifferential of extended-valued functions, weak convexity and its subgradient characterization, Moreau envelopes of weakly convex functions and their differentiability, nonexpansiveness of convex proximal maps, and the bookkeeping of iterates driven by i.i.d. samples under a product measure.

Difficulty

The obvious argument — show that φ(xt)\varphi(x_t)φ(xt​) decreases in expectation — fails: neither φ(xt)−min⁡φ\varphi(x_t) - \min\varphiφ(xt​)−minφ nor dist⁡(0,∂φ(xt))\operatorname{dist}(0, \partial\varphi(x_t))dist(0,∂φ(xt​)) need tend to zero, and the latter is discontinuous in xxx. Progress must be measured on the Moreau envelope, which requires comparing the iterate xt+1x_{t+1}xt+1​ with the proximal point x^t\hat x_tx^t​ of φ\varphiφ, not of rrr. In Lean, the heaviest single ingredient is Lemma 2.2 (differentiability of the envelope of an extended-valued weakly convex function), and the direction 4⇒14 \Rightarrow 14⇒1 of Lemma 2.1, which in the paper rests on Rockafellar–Wets' characterization of convexity by monotonicity of the subdifferential.

Formalization scope

  • Carrier. Rd\mathbb R^dRd is EuclideanSpace ℝ (Fin d). An extended-valued function is a pair (domain DDD, real values on DDD); closedness is closedness of {(x,t):x∈D, ψ(x)≤t}\{(x,t) : x \in D,\ \psi(x) \le t\}{(x,t):x∈D, ψ(x)≤t}. The subdifferential is the published regular subgradient NonconvexSplitting.Shared.IsRegularSubgrad of the +∞+\infty+∞-extended lift.
  • Proximal map. prox a z is a function constrained, for every a>0a > 0a>0, to return a minimizer over DDD of r(y)+12a∥y−z∥2r(y) + \frac{1}{2a}\|y - z\|^2r(y)+2a1​∥y−z∥2; this determines it uniquely.
  • Randomness. The samples ξ0,…,ξT\xi_0, \dots, \xi_Tξ0​,…,ξT​ form a point of ΩT+1\Omega^{T+1}ΩT+1 under the product measure P⊗(T+1)P^{\otimes(T+1)}P⊗(T+1); E\mathbb EE is the Bochner integral, and every bounded expectation is accompanied by a conclusion that its integrand is integrable. The conditional expectation Et\mathbb E_tEt​ in Lemma 3.3 is the integral over one sample with the iterate held fixed.
  • Output index. Because t∗t^*t∗ is independent of the samples, E∥∇φ1/ρˉ(xt∗)∥2\mathbb E\|\nabla\varphi_{1/\bar\rho}(x_{t^*})\|^2E∥∇φ1/ρˉ​​(xt∗​)∥2 is the α\alphaα-weighted average of E∥∇φ1/ρˉ(xt)∥2\mathbb E\|\nabla\varphi_{1/\bar\rho}(x_t)\|^2E∥∇φ1/ρˉ​​(xt​)∥2, as in the paper's (3.17).
  • min⁡φ\min\varphiminφ is an arbitrary real lower bound φ∗\varphi^*φ∗ of φ\varphiφ on DDD.
  • Corrected constant in (3.14). The paper prints the last term of (3.14) as αt2ρˉL2\alpha_t^2\bar\rho L^2αt2​ρˉ​L2; its proof, and the unfolded sum leading to (3.15), give 2αt2ρˉL22\alpha_t^2\bar\rho L^22αt2​ρˉ​L2, and that is what is stated. (3.15) and (3.16) are stated as printed.
  • Lemma 2.1 is stated for items 1–4; the clause for C2C^2C2-smooth functions is not stated. Lemma 2.2 adds the implicit hypotheses that φ\varphiφ is closed and proper, and includes existence and uniqueness of the proximal point.
  • Ruling out trivializations. The proximal map is tied to rrr, GGG is tied to ∂f\partial f∂f by (A2), min⁡φ\min\varphiminφ is not a real infimum, and integrability is concluded, so neither a junk value nor an unconstrained selection can make the statements hold vacuously; the hypotheses are satisfied by r=f=0r = f = 0r=f=0, G=0G = 0G=0.
  • Contributions welcome: proofs of the milestones, general lemmas on Moreau envelopes of weakly convex functions, and the nonexpansiveness of convex proximal maps on a closed convex domain.

Selected references

  • D. Davis and D. Drusvyatskiy, Stochastic Model-Based Minimization of Weakly Convex Functions, SIAM J. Optim. 29(1), 2019; arXiv:1803.06523v3, 2018. https://arxiv.org/abs/1803.06523
  • S. Ghadimi and G. Lan, Stochastic First- and Zeroth-Order Methods for Nonconvex Stochastic Programming, SIAM J. Optim. 23(4), 2013. https://doi.org/10.1137/120880811
  • R. T. Rockafellar and R. J.-B. Wets, Variational Analysis, Springer, 1998. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-642-02431-3
  • H. Robbins and S. Monro, A Stochastic Approximation Method, Ann. Math. Statist. 22(3), 1951. https://doi.org/10.1214/aoms/1177729586
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Formal VerificationTheoretical Computer ScienceTheory of Computation·Captain: mikedeng1

Multiparty Asynchronous Session Types 1: A Global Type's One-Time Unfolding Is Linear iff Its n-th Unfolding Is Linear, for Every n ≥ 1Research Paper

Motivation

Multiparty communication protocols involve several participants who send messages over shared session channels. An implementation may send a later message before an earlier one has been received, so a written sequence of interactions does not by itself prevent a receiver from taking the wrong message. Honda, Yoshida, and Carbone use global types to specify the whole conversation and a linearity condition to rule out conflicting uses of a channel. Their condition is part of the type system that supports subject reduction and session fidelity in the same paper. Honda, Yoshida, and Carbone, 2016

Global types can contain recursion. Reading their full behaviour as a regular tree may therefore involve infinitely many copies of the same interaction. Proposition 3.13(1) says that checking just one finite unfolding suffices to determine whether every later finite unfolding satisfies the paper's linearity condition. This mission formalizes that proposition and the definitions on which its statement depends. Honda, Yoshida, and Carbone, 2016, §3.5 and Appendix A

Setting

A global type GGG describes actions among roles p,qp,qp,q on channels identified by positive indices kkk. Its constructors are a value communication p→q:k⟨U⟩.G′p\to q:k\langle U\rangle.G'p→q:k⟨U⟩.G′, a labelled branch p→q:k{ℓj:Gj}j∈Jp\to q:k\{\ell_j:G_j\}_{j\in J}p→q:k{ℓj​:Gj​}j∈J​, parallel composition G1∣G2G_1\mid G_2G1​∣G2​, recursion μt.G′\mu t.G'μt.G′, a recursion variable ttt, and termination end\mathrm{end}end. The carried value type UUU may contain shared names whose sorts include another global type, or it may be a located end-point type. The formal syntax represents end-point sends, receives, selections, branches, recursion, variables, and termination because shared global types can occur within the sorts carried by those types. Honda, Yoshida, and Carbone, 2016, Figs. 4 and 6

An action node is an occurrence of a communication or branching action in the tree of a finite unfolding. Each node has a sender, receiver, and channel index. The action order n1≺n2n_1\prec n_2n1​≺n2​ holds when one action lies before another in the same continuation or branch, according to Definition 3.7. Actions in different branches or parallel components have no order solely because they appear next to each other in the syntax. Honda, Yoshida, and Carbone, 2016, pp. 15–16

The paper refines that order into three dependency relations. An II step matches receivers; an IO step connects a receiver to a later sender; and an OO step matches both sender and channel. An input dependency is a chain of IO steps ending in II. An output dependency is a nonempty chain of OO or IO steps. A finite type is linear when every ordered pair of actions on the same channel has both dependencies, including the corresponding condition on the global types carried within its values. The last II step matters because a chain ending at an output has not checked the ordering of the final input. Honda, Yoshida, and Carbone, 2016, Defs. 3.11–3.12

Write G(n)G^{(n)}G(n) for the finite result of unfolding every recursion in GGG nnn times and replacing remaining recursion variables by end\mathrm{end}end. For a single recursion G=μt.HG=\mu t.HG=μt.H, the paper gives G(0)=H[end/t]G^{(0)}=H[\mathrm{end}/t]G(0)=H[end/t] and G(n+1)=H[G(n)/t]G^{(n+1)}=H[G^{(n)}/t]G(n+1)=H[G(n)/t]. Unfolding does not enter carried types. The one-time unfolding is G(1)G^{(1)}G(1). Honda, Yoshida, and Carbone, 2016, p. 20 and Notation A.1

Formalization targets

The milestone is the direction the paper calls the “if-direction”: for a well-formed global type and a positive unfolding index, linearity at that index implies linearity at the first one.

WellFormed⁡(G) ∧ n≥1 ∧ Linear⁡(G(n))⟹Linear⁡(G(1)).\operatorname{WellFormed}(G)\ \land\ n\ge 1\ \land\ \operatorname{Linear}(G^{(n)}) \quad\Longrightarrow\quad \operatorname{Linear}(G^{(1)}).WellFormed(G) ∧ n≥1 ∧ Linear(G(n))⟹Linear(G(1)).

The mission goal is Proposition 3.13(1), the equivalence between the first unfolding and any positive unfolding.

∀G well formed ∀n≥1,Linear⁡(G(1))⟺Linear⁡(G(n)).\forall G\text{ well formed}\,\forall n\ge 1,\qquad \operatorname{Linear}(G^{(1)}) \quad\Longleftrightarrow\quad \operatorname{Linear}(G^{(n)}).∀G well formed∀n≥1,Linear(G(1))⟺Linear(G(n)).

The lower bound n≥1n\ge1n≥1 is essential. The paper explicitly begins its Appendix A induction at n=1n=1n=1 and gives examples that satisfy linearity at the zeroth unfolding but fail after one unfolding. Proposition 3.13(2), the paper's decidability claim, is outside this mission: formalizing computational decidability would require an effective representation and decision procedure rather than a classical Decidable instance. Honda, Yoshida, and Carbone, 2016, p. 20 and Appendix A

Significance

The proposition turns a property stated over arbitrarily deep recursive behaviour into a fixed finite test. It supports the paper's decidability result and supplies the channel-ordering premise used later in coherent global types and runtime typing. Without the stabilization claim, checking a recursive global type by inspecting one finite copy would leave later channel conflicts unresolved. Honda, Yoshida, and Carbone, 2016, Props. 3.13–3.14 and Def. 4.2

The result is already proved in the paper. The formalization work is to give the paper's finite unfolding, action order, dependency chains, and recursive carried-type condition exact Lean meanings, then verify the equivalence against those meanings. The local mission currently contains open theorem statements and compiled definitions; it does not claim a machine-checked proof of Proposition 3.13(1). Those definitions can also be reused when formalizing the paper's coherence and subject-reduction results.

Difficulty

The main obstacle is the interaction between recursion and causality. Unfolding creates further occurrences of actions, while an input dependency requires a chain with a specific final II edge and an output dependency allows only OO or IO edges. The action order also depends on a node's place in a branch, continuation, or parallel component. Merely comparing channel labels across two unfoldings does not establish the required dependencies. The carried-type condition adds another level: unfolding the outer type leaves its carried types intact, but their own linearity must still be checked. Honda, Yoshida, and Carbone, 2016, Defs. 3.7, 3.11–3.12 and Appendix A

Formalization scope

Lean represents roles, labels, type variables, and channel indices by natural numbers, with channel indices interpreted as one-based. Branches are lists; WellFormed G records nonempty branches with distinct labels, closed guarded recursion, positive channel indices, and distinct sender and receiver, also checking carried global types. Both theorem statements assume it to make the paper's standing syntax conventions explicit. The sort grammar includes Boolean and natural-number sorts, shared-name sorts, and coded additional base sorts for the paper's ellipsis. The recursion constructor is named mu and the sort type SType because rec and Sort have special meanings in Lean.

Node names are finite child-index paths. Prec is the transitive closure of the five clauses of Definition 3.7. Every II, IO, or OO step includes this order. Input dependency requires at least one step, resolving the printed n≥0n\ge0n≥0 against the same sentence's mandatory final II step. Carried types are reached through value and end-point type syntax, and nested carriers are included transitively. Linear checks each such carried type at every finite unfolding. The definitions also encode the paper's positive-index and non-reflexive interaction conventions in WellFormed. A linearity predicate that ignores carried types or treats separate parallel components as ordered would change the target theorem. Honda, Yoshida, and Carbone, 2016, pp. 12–13, 16, 19–20

Useful contributions include results about finite unfolding and the action order, preservation of labels at recurring positions, and dependency-chain properties under unfolding. The two folding claims in Appendix A are not listed as milestones here because a faithful folding operation for nested recursion and multiple occurrences has not yet been specified. Their absence is a scope limit on the attack path, not an assumption in the goal.

Selected references

  • Kohei Honda, Nobuko Yoshida, and Marco Carbone, Multiparty Asynchronous Session Types, Journal of the ACM 63(1), Article 9, 2016. DOI: 10.1145/2827695.
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Functional AnalysisMarkov ChainProbability+1·Captain: mikedeng1

Spectral Gaps for a Metropolis–Hastings Algorithm in Infinite Dimensions I: The pCN Algorithm Has a Wasserstein Spectral Gap Uniform in the Dimension When the Potential Is Globally LipschitzResearch Paper

Motivation

Sampling from a distribution described relative to a Gaussian reference law is common in Bayesian inverse problems, where an unknown function or initial condition is inferred from noisy observations. Such a distribution is naturally infinite dimensional before it is approximated on a computer. A numerical method must therefore behave reliably as the approximation dimension grows. Hairer, Stuart and Vollmer study this question for Metropolis–Hastings chains and prove that the preconditioned Crank–Nicolson (pCN) chain admits a Wasserstein mixing bound with an iteration count independent of the projection dimension Hairer, Stuart and Vollmer (2014). This mission formalizes their globally Lipschitz case, Theorem 2.12.

The central practical concern is concrete: refining a discretization should improve the target approximation without forcing the number of Markov steps needed for a fixed contraction to grow with the number of coordinates. A bound on each finite dimensional chain separately would not settle that concern, because its constants could deteriorate with dimension. The theorem requires one set of constants for the infinite dimensional chain and every finite dimensional projection.

Setting

Let HHH be a separable real Hilbert space. Its Gaussian reference measure γ\gammaγ has mean zero and a covariance eigenbasis e1,e2,…e_1,e_2,\ldotse1​,e2​,…. The subspace KmK_mKm​ is the span of the first mmm eigenvectors, and γm\gamma_mγm​ is the law of the orthogonal projection of a γ\gammaγ-distributed vector onto KmK_mKm​. The potential Φ:H→R\Phi:H\to\mathbb RΦ:H→R determines the target measures

μ(dx)=Me−Φ(x)γ(dx),μm(dx)=Mme−Φ(x)γm(dx),\mu(dx)=M e^{-\Phi(x)}\gamma(dx),\qquad \mu_m(dx)=M_m e^{-\Phi(x)}\gamma_m(dx),μ(dx)=Me−Φ(x)γ(dx),μm​(dx)=Mm​e−Φ(x)γm​(dx),

where MMM and MmM_mMm​ normalize each measure. The paper's finite dimensional chain has state space KmK_mKm​, rather than the whole space HHH with unused coordinates Hairer, Stuart and Vollmer (2014), (1.1)–(1.2).

At step size 0<δ≤1/20<\delta\le1/20<δ≤1/2, the pCN proposal from xxx is y=1−2δ x+2δ ξy=\sqrt{1-2\delta}\,x+\sqrt{2\delta}\,\xiy=1−2δ​x+2δ​ξ, with ξ\xiξ drawn from γ\gammaγ or γm\gamma_mγm​ as appropriate. The move is accepted with probability 1∧eΦ(x)−Φ(y)1\wedge e^{\Phi(x)-\Phi(y)}1∧eΦ(x)−Φ(y); rejection leaves the state at xxx. Write PPP and PmP_mPm​ for these transition kernels Hairer, Stuart and Vollmer (2014), (1.3), (1.5)–(1.6).

The potential is globally Lipschitz, e−Φe^{-\Phi}e−Φ is γ\gammaγ-integrable, and the acceptance probability has a positive lower bound in specified balls centered at 1−2δ x\sqrt{1-2\delta}\,x1−2δ​x outside a bounded region. These are Assumptions 2.10 and 2.11 Hairer, Stuart and Vollmer (2014), p. 12. The allowed ball radius is either a positive constant or r0∥x∥ar_0\|x\|^ar0​∥x∥a with r0>0r_0>0r0​>0 and 1/2<a<11/2<a<11/2<a<1.

Formalization targets

Uniform Wasserstein contraction

For ε>0\varepsilon>0ε>0, set dε(x,y)=1∧∥x−y∥/εd_\varepsilon(x,y)=1\wedge\|x-y\|/\varepsilondε​(x,y)=1∧∥x−y∥/ε. Choose the Lyapunov function V(x)=∥x∥iV(x)=\|x\|^iV(x)=∥x∥i, where i≥1i\ge1i≥1, or, in the growing-radius case, V(x)=ev∥x∥V(x)=e^{v\|x\|}V(x)=ev∥x∥ with v>0v>0v>0. The weighted cost is d~(x,y)=dε(x,y)(1+V(x)+V(y))\widetilde d(x,y)=\sqrt{d_\varepsilon(x,y)(1+V(x)+V(y))}d(x,y)=dε​(x,y)(1+V(x)+V(y))​, and Wd~W_{\widetilde d}Wd​ is its infimum over couplings.

Theorem 2.12 asserts that μ\muμ and each μm\mu_mμm​ are the unique invariant probability measures of PPP and PmP_mPm​. It also asserts that, for every sufficiently small ε\varepsilonε, there is one integer n~\widetilde nn satisfying both bounds for all probability measures on the respective spaces and for every mmm Hairer, Stuart and Vollmer (2014), p. 12:

Wd~(ν1Pn~,ν2Pn~)≤12Wd~(ν1,ν2),W_{\widetilde d}(\nu_1P^{\widetilde n},\nu_2P^{\widetilde n})\le\tfrac12 W_{\widetilde d}(\nu_1,\nu_2),Wd​(ν1​Pn,ν2​Pn)≤21​Wd​(ν1​,ν2​), Wd~m(ν1Pmn~,ν2Pmn~)≤12Wd~m(ν1,ν2).W_{\widetilde d_m}(\nu_1P_m^{\widetilde n},\nu_2P_m^{\widetilde n})\le\tfrac12 W_{\widetilde d_m}(\nu_1,\nu_2).Wdm​​(ν1​Pmn​,ν2​Pmn​)≤21​Wdm​​(ν1​,ν2​).

Here d~m\widetilde d_mdm​ is the same formula restricted to KmK_mKm​. The milestone list includes the uniform Lyapunov, contraction and smallness claims and the cited weak Harris theorem; the Gaussian projection comparison of Lemma 3.1 is a further stated lemma of the mission. Fernique's Gaussian exponential-moment result is linked to its existing published formalization.

Significance

The result bounds the number of pCN iterations needed for a fixed Wasserstein contraction uniformly over the finite dimensional approximations. It also identifies the intended target as the only invariant probability measure, so the contraction describes convergence toward the measure used by the inverse problem. The weighted Wasserstein cost permits this statement on an unbounded Hilbert space, where an ordinary total variation small-set argument would impose a different kind of regularity Hairer, Stuart and Vollmer (2014), §§2.2–2.3.

The paper proved Theorem 2.12 in 2014. The remaining work here is a machine-checked development of the pCN kernels, Gaussian projections, Wasserstein estimates, and weak Harris application. A formalized Fernique theorem already exists in the platform library; the pCN estimates and Theorem 2.12 are open draft statements in this proposal. They will be reusable in the locally Lipschitz pCN regime and in analyses of other Metropolis kernels that satisfy the same abstract contraction conditions.

Difficulty

The pCN proposal contracts the starting points, but the accept–reject step can break that direct coupling: one chain may accept a proposal while the other rejects it. A bound on the proposal distance alone therefore does not imply a bound on the transition laws. The probability of that mismatched decision must be controlled near each pair of starting points, while the acceptance lower bound must remain uniform on the projected spaces. Large starting points also require a Lyapunov estimate to enter the bounded region used by the weak Harris theorem Hairer, Stuart and Vollmer (2014), §§3.1.1–3.1.3.

Formalization scope

The Lean development represents HHH as a complete separable real inner product space with Borel measurable structure, γ\gammaγ as a centered Gaussian probability measure, and the chosen Hilbert basis as diagonalizing its covariance. Second countability is stated explicitly for the measurable pCN construction; for a separable metric space it follows from the standing setting. The projected law is the pushforward by the orthogonal projection onto KmK_mKm​, a reading of the Karhunen–Loève formula in the paper. A measurable map is essential here: Mathlib's pushforward returns zero for a nonmeasurable map.

The target is Mathlib's normalized tilted measure. The theorem explicitly concludes that both the infinite dimensional and projected targets are probability measures, so the possible junk zero from a nonintegrable tilt cannot satisfy the result. Wasserstein costs and Lyapunov expectations use extended nonnegative integrals. This avoids the junk zero of a nonintegrable Bochner integral and the junk values of a real infimum. Couplings are measures with the prescribed marginals. The acceptance kernel uses the paper's 1∧eΦ(x)−Φ(y)1\wedge e^{\Phi(x)-\Phi(y)}1∧eΦ(x)−Φ(y), including the first proposal and its rejection probability.

“Sufficiently small ε\varepsilonε” means ∃ε0>0 ∀ε∈(0,ε0]\exists\varepsilon_0>0\,\forall\varepsilon\in(0,\varepsilon_0]∃ε0​>0∀ε∈(0,ε0​]. The iteration count is chosen before mmm and before the input probability measures. Positive radius, positive power exponent and positive exponential coefficient exclude empty acceptance balls and the constant Lyapunov function. The m=0m=0m=0 projection is retained as the zero dimensional subspace. Contributions that establish the Gaussian comparison, the three pCN estimates, or the abstract weak Harris statement are within scope.

Selected references

  • M. Hairer, A. M. Stuart and S. J. Vollmer, Spectral gaps for a Metropolis–Hastings algorithm in infinite dimensions, Annals of Applied Probability 24(6), 2014, 2455–2490. arXiv:1112.1392v4, DOI:10.1214/13-AAP982.
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CombinatoricsOperations ResearchOptimization·Captain: mikedeng1

Closing the Gap for Makespan Scheduling via Sparsification Techniques: A Feasible Configuration IP Has a Thin Solution, Support at Most 4(d+1)log(4(d+1)T), Complex Configurations Used at Most OnceResearch Paper

Motivation

Makespan minimization on identical parallel machines, P∥Cmax⁡P\|C_{\max}P∥Cmax​, asks to assign nnn jobs with processing times to mmm machines so that the largest machine load is as small as possible. It is strongly NP-hard, and the question has long been how fast a (1+ε)(1+\varepsilon)(1+ε)-approximate schedule can be found. After rounding and scaling, a guess TTT of the optimal makespan becomes a constant, the job sizes take only d=O((1/ε)log⁡(1/ε))d = O((1/\varepsilon)\log(1/\varepsilon))d=O((1/ε)log(1/ε)) distinct values, and the problem becomes an integer program over machine packings: the configuration IP.

A short history of the running times for this problem:

  • Hochbaum and Shmoys (1987) gave the first PTAS, with running time (n/ε)O(1/ε2)(n/\varepsilon)^{O(1/\varepsilon^2)}(n/ε)O(1/ε2).
  • Alon, Azar, Woeginger and Yadid (1997/1998), and Hochbaum and Shmoys, obtained an EPTAS with running time 2(1/ε)poly(1/ε)+O(nlog⁡n)2^{(1/\varepsilon)^{\mathrm{poly}(1/\varepsilon)}} + O(n\log n)2(1/ε)poly(1/ε)+O(nlogn).
  • Jansen (2010) used the support bound of Eisenbrand and Shmonin (2006) to reach 2O((1/ε)2log⁡3(1/ε))+O(nlog⁡n)2^{O((1/\varepsilon)^2\log^3(1/\varepsilon))} + O(n\log n)2O((1/ε)2log3(1/ε))+O(nlogn).
  • Chen, Jansen and Zhang (2014) showed that, under the Exponential Time Hypothesis, no PTAS runs in time 2(1/ε)1−δpoly(n)2^{(1/\varepsilon)^{1-\delta}}\mathrm{poly}(n)2(1/ε)1−δpoly(n).
  • Jansen, Klein and Verschae (arXiv 2016; Mathematics of Operations Research 2020) reached 2O((1/ε)log⁡4(1/ε))+O(nlog⁡n)2^{O((1/\varepsilon)\log^4(1/\varepsilon))} + O(n\log n)2O((1/ε)log4(1/ε))+O(nlogn), matching that lower bound up to polylogarithmic factors in the exponent. Their key ingredient is a structural theorem on the configuration IP, which this mission formalizes.

Setting

Fix d∈Nd \in \mathbb{N}d∈N, a vector of job sizes π∈Z>0d\pi \in \mathbb{Z}^d_{>0}π∈Z>0d​ and a capacity T∈Z>0T \in \mathbb{Z}_{>0}T∈Z>0​. The knapsack polytope is P={c∈R≥0d:π⋅c≤T}\mathcal{P} = \{c \in \mathbb{R}^d_{\ge 0} : \pi\cdot c \le T\}P={c∈R≥0d​:π⋅c≤T}, and a configuration is an integral point of it:

Q=Zd∩P,c∈Q  ⟺  c∈Z≥0d,  ∑kπkck≤T.Q = \mathbb{Z}^d \cap \mathcal{P}, \qquad c \in Q \iff c \in \mathbb{Z}^d_{\ge 0},\ \ \sum_{k} \pi_k c_k \le T.Q=Zd∩P,c∈Q⟺c∈Z≥0d​,  k∑​πk​ck​≤T.

A configuration describes one machine: ckc_kck​ jobs of size πk\pi_kπk​, of total load at most TTT. The support of a vector is the set of its nonzero coordinates, supp⁡(c)={k:ck≠0}\operatorname{supp}(c) = \{k : c_k \ne 0\}supp(c)={k:ck​=0}. Throughout, log⁡=log⁡2\log = \log_2log=log2​. A configuration is simple if ∣supp⁡(c)∣≤log⁡(T+1)|\operatorname{supp}(c)| \le \log(T+1)∣supp(c)∣≤log(T+1) and complex otherwise; QcQ_cQc​ is the set of complex configurations.

Given the number bkb_kbk​ of jobs of each size and the number mmm of machines, the configuration IP [conf-IP] asks for multiplicities xc∈Z≥0x_c \in \mathbb{Z}_{\ge 0}xc​∈Z≥0​, one per configuration, with

∑c∈Qc xc=b,∑c∈Qxc=m.\sum_{c\in Q} c\, x_c = b, \qquad \sum_{c \in Q} x_c = m.c∈Q∑​cxc​=b,c∈Q∑​xc​=m.

Its LP relaxation [conf-LP] replaces xc∈Z≥0x_c \in \mathbb{Z}_{\ge 0}xc​∈Z≥0​ by xc≥0x_c \ge 0xc​≥0. The support of a solution is supp⁡(x)={c∈Q:xc≠0}\operatorname{supp}(x) = \{c \in Q : x_c \neq 0\}supp(x)={c∈Q:xc​=0}.

Formalization targets

Goal: thin solutions (Theorem 1)

If [conf-IP] is feasible, it has a feasible solution xxx with

xc>1⇒c simple,∣supp⁡(x)∣≤4(d+1)log⁡(4(d+1)T),∑c∈Qcxc≤2(d+1)log⁡(4(d+1)T).x_c > 1 \Rightarrow c \text{ simple}, \qquad |\operatorname{supp}(x)| \le 4(d+1)\log(4(d+1)T), \qquad \sum_{c\in Q_c} x_c \le 2(d+1)\log(4(d+1)T).xc​>1⇒c simple,∣supp(x)∣≤4(d+1)log(4(d+1)T),c∈Qc​∑​xc​≤2(d+1)log(4(d+1)T).

A solution with these three properties is called thin.

Milestones

  1. Lemma 2 (Eisenbrand–Shmonin): if ∣supp⁡(x)∣>2(d+1)log⁡(4(d+1)T)|\operatorname{supp}(x)| > 2(d+1)\log(4(d+1)T)∣supp(x)∣>2(d+1)log(4(d+1)T) for a nonnegative integer vector xxx on QQQ, there are disjoint nonempty A,B⊆supp⁡(x)A, B \subseteq \operatorname{supp}(x)A,B⊆supp(x) with ∑c∈Ac=∑c∈Bc\sum_{c \in A} c = \sum_{c\in B} c∑c∈A​c=∑c∈B​c and ∣A∣=∣B∣|A| = |B|∣A∣=∣B∣.
  2. Lemma 3 (Eisenbrand–Shmonin): a feasible [conf-IP] has a solution with ∣supp⁡(x)∣≤2(d+1)log⁡(4(d+1)T)|\operatorname{supp}(x)| \le 2(d+1)\log(4(d+1)T)∣supp(x)∣≤2(d+1)log(4(d+1)T).
  3. Lemma 4 (Sparsification Lemma): every complex c∈Qc \in Qc∈Q satisfies 2c=c1+c22c = c_1 + c_22c=c1​+c2​ for configurations c1,c2c_1, c_2c1​,c2​ with π⋅c1=π⋅c2=π⋅c\pi\cdot c_1 = \pi\cdot c_2 = \pi\cdot cπ⋅c1​=π⋅c2​=π⋅c and supp⁡(ci)⊊supp⁡(c)\operatorname{supp}(c_i) \subsetneq \operatorname{supp}(c)supp(ci​)⊊supp(c).
  4. P1: a feasible solution minimizing the potential Φ(x)=∑c complexxc∣supp⁡(c)∣\Phi(x) = \sum_{c \text{ complex}} x_c|\operatorname{supp}(c)|Φ(x)=∑c complex​xc​∣supp(c)∣ uses each complex configuration at most once.
  5. P2: such a solution has at most 2(d+1)log⁡(4(d+1)T)2(d+1)\log(4(d+1)T)2(d+1)log(4(d+1)T) complex configurations in its support.

Companion results

  • Corollary 5: every vertex of conv.hull⁡(Q)\operatorname{conv.hull}(Q)conv.hull(Q) is a simple configuration; and, from its proof, the number of simple configurations is at most (L+1)dL(T+1)L(L+1)d^{L}(T+1)^{L}(L+1)dL(T+1)L with L=log⁡(T+1)L = \log(T+1)L=log(T+1), for d≥1d \ge 1d≥1.
  • Corollary 6: a feasible [conf-LP] has a solution supported on simple configurations only.

Significance

The result. Theorem 1 says that, up to O(dlog⁡(dT))O(d\log(dT))O(dlog(dT)) machines, every feasible configuration IP can be solved using simple configurations only. There are 2O(log⁡2d+log⁡2T)2^{O(\log^2 d + \log^2 T)}2O(log2d+log2T) simple configurations, far fewer than configurations in general, so an algorithm can guess the support of a solution among a much smaller family. This is what yields the 2O((1/ε)log⁡4(1/ε))+O(nlog⁡n)2^{O((1/\varepsilon)\log^4(1/\varepsilon))} + O(n\log n)2O((1/ε)log4(1/ε))+O(nlogn) EPTAS for P∥Cmax⁡P\|C_{\max}P∥Cmax​, and through the same structure PTASs for Q∥Cmax⁡Q\|C_{\max}Q∥Cmax​ and for LpL_pLp​-norm and max–min objectives. Corollaries 5 and 6 are structural facts about knapsack polytopes in their own right: the integer hull has only simple vertices, and the configuration LP can be restricted to simple configurations.

Formalizing it. The results are proved in the paper; none of them has a machine-checked proof that this mission knows of. The development produces a reusable formal model of configurations and of the configuration IP and LP, a formal Eisenbrand–Shmonin support bound for this IP (a Carathéodory-type statement for integer cones that recurs across integer programming), and the sparsification lemma with its potential-function argument. The constants 4(d+1)4(d+1)4(d+1) and 2(d+1)2(d+1)2(d+1) are the paper's and are stated exactly.

Difficulty

The obvious argument applies the sparsification lemma repeatedly, replacing any complex configuration used twice by two configurations of smaller support, and then shrinks the support with the Eisenbrand–Shmonin exchange. The second step can undo the first: the exchange moves weight between configurations and may raise the multiplicity of a complex configuration above one again, so alternating the two steps has no evident termination measure. A proof has to control both properties at once. The counting behind the support bound needs the explicit inequality (sT+1)d+1<2s(sT+1)^{d+1} < 2^s(sT+1)d+1<2s for every s>2(d+1)log⁡(4(d+1)T)s > 2(d+1)\log(4(d+1)T)s>2(d+1)log(4(d+1)T), which must be carried out with the exact constants rather than up to O(⋅)O(\cdot)O(⋅).

Formalization scope

  • Configurations are functions Fin d → ℕ with ∑kπkck≤T\sum_k \pi_k c_k \le T∑k​πk​ck​≤T; solutions of [conf-IP] are finitely supported functions (Fin d → ℕ) →₀ ℕ vanishing outside QQQ, and solutions of [conf-LP] are finitely supported real-valued functions, nonnegative and vanishing outside QQQ.
  • The standing assumptions of §2 are binders of every statement: πk>0\pi_k > 0πk​>0 for all kkk and T>0T > 0T>0. Lemma 4 does not need T>0T > 0T>0 and omits it.
  • The paper writes b∈Rdb \in \mathbb{R}^db∈Rd for [conf-IP]; feasibility forces b∈Ndb \in \mathbb{N}^db∈Nd, so bbb and mmm are natural numbers. For [conf-LP] they are real.
  • log⁡\loglog is Real.logb 2 and every bound is a real inequality; no floor is taken.
  • In Lemma 2, MxA=MxBMx^A = Mx^BMxA=MxB is stated row by row: the sum of the configurations in AAA equals that in BBB, and ∣A∣=∣B∣|A| = |B|∣A∣=∣B∣.
  • "Minimum potential" in P1 and P2 means Φ(x)≤Φ(y)\Phi(x) \le \Phi(y)Φ(x)≤Φ(y) for every feasible solution yyy of the same instance.
  • A vertex of conv.hull⁡(Q)\operatorname{conv.hull}(Q)conv.hull(Q) is an extreme point (Mathlib's Set.extremePoints). The asymptotic count of Corollary 5 is replaced by the explicit bound of its proof, with the added hypothesis d≥1d \ge 1d≥1 (at d=0d = 0d=0 the explicit bound is 000 while Q={0}Q = \{0\}Q={0}).

The goal theorem refers only to [conf-IP], its solutions, supports and the simple/complex split; it does not mention the potential, the matrix MMM or a minimality assumption, so it cannot be discharged by choosing a special solution in the hypotheses.

Needed infrastructure: finite sums over Finsupp, the pigeonhole principle on finsets, elementary bounds on Real.logb, and, for Corollaries 5 and 6, convex hulls and extreme points of finite sets in Rd\mathbb{R}^dRd. The definitions of configurations and of the configuration IP/LP are reusable for other configuration-IP papers (bin packing, cutting stock, scheduling). Contributions of auxiliary lemmas on supports of integer conic combinations are welcome.

Selected references

  • K. Jansen, K.-M. Klein, J. Verschae, Closing the Gap for Makespan Scheduling via Sparsification Techniques, ICALP 2016; Mathematics of Operations Research, 2020. https://arxiv.org/abs/1604.07153 (version v1, the basis of every citation in this mission)
  • F. Eisenbrand, G. Shmonin, Carathéodory bounds for integer cones, Operations Research Letters 34, 564–568, 2006. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.orl.2005.09.008
  • K. Jansen, An EPTAS for scheduling jobs on uniform processors: using an MILP relaxation with a constant number of integral variables, SIAM Journal on Discrete Mathematics 24, 457–485, 2010.
  • N. Alon, Y. Azar, G. J. Woeginger, T. Yadid, Approximation schemes for scheduling on parallel machines, Journal of Scheduling 1, 55–66, 1998.
  • D. S. Hochbaum, D. B. Shmoys, Using dual approximation algorithms for scheduling problems: theoretical and practical results, Journal of the ACM 34, 144–162, 1987. https://doi.org/10.1145/7531.7535
  • L. Chen, K. Jansen, G. Zhang, On the optimality of approximation schemes for the classical scheduling problem, Proceedings of the 25th ACM-SIAM Symposium on Discrete Algorithms (SODA), 657–668, 2014.
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Dynamical SystemsHarmonic AnalysisMachine Learning+1·Captain: mikedeng1

Approximation Bounds for Random Neural Networks and Reservoir Systems II: Echo State Networks with Random Weights Approximate Regular Functionals with an Explicit L² Error Bound (Theorem 2)Research Paper

Motivation

Reservoir computing learns an input/output system from data in two stages. A dynamical system, the reservoir, is driven by the input sequence and its state is recorded; then only a linear readout of that state is trained, by least squares. The echo state network (ESN) is the most widely used reservoir: its state evolves by xt=σ(Axt−1+Czt+ζ)x_t = \sigma(Ax_{t-1} + Cz_t + \zeta)xt​=σ(Axt−1​+Czt​+ζ), with the matrices A,CA, CA,C and the vector ζ\zetaζ drawn at random and never trained. ESNs predict chaotic systems well in practice (Jaeger & Haas, Science 2004), and they are known to be universal: for every fading-memory input/output map some ESN approximates it (Grigoryeva & Ortega, Neural Netw. 2018). Universality does not explain the practice, where the reservoir weights are random and fixed in advance. Gonon, Grigoryeva & Ortega (Ann. Appl. Probab. 2023) prove that an ESN whose weights are drawn from an explicit distribution that does not depend on the target approximates every sufficiently regular target, with an explicit L2L^2L2 error bound. This mission formalizes that result, Theorem 2, and the chain of results its proof rests on.

Setting

Time runs over Z−={0,−1,−2,… }\mathbb Z_- = \{0, -1, -2, \dots\}Z−​={0,−1,−2,…}. Inputs take values in a set DdD_dDd​ with 0∈Dd⊂BM⊂Rd0 \in D_d \subset B_M \subset \mathbb R^d0∈Dd​⊂BM​⊂Rd, where BMB_MBM​ is the closed Euclidean ball of radius M>0M > 0M>0. The input Z=(Zt)t∈Z−Z = (Z_t)_{t \in \mathbb Z_-}Z=(Zt​)t∈Z−​​ is a DdD_dDd​-valued process with law μZ\mu_ZμZ​. The target is a functional H∗:(Dd)Z−→RH^* : (D_d)^{\mathbb Z_-} \to \mathbb RH∗:(Dd​)Z−​→R, the present output as a function of the whole input history. All norms are Euclidean.

Regularity. Fix weights w−i>0w_{-i} > 0w−i​>0 with ∑ii w−i<∞\sum_i i\, w_{-i} < \infty∑i​iw−i​<∞. H∗H^*H∗ is www-Lipschitz with constant L>0L > 0L>0 if ∣H∗(u)−H∗(v)∣≤L∑i≥0w−i∥u−i−v−i∥|H^*(u) - H^*(v)| \le L\sum_{i \ge 0} w_{-i}\|u_{-i} - v_{-i}\|∣H∗(u)−H∗(v)∣≤L∑i≥0​w−i​∥u−i​−v−i​∥. Assumption 1 asks, in addition, for every T≥1T \ge 1T≥1: with q=d(T+1)q = d(T+1)q=d(T+1), the truncation HT∗(z0,…,z−T)=H∗(…,0,z−T,…,z0)H^*_T(z_0, \dots, z_{-T}) = H^*(\dots, 0, z_{-T}, \dots, z_0)HT∗​(z0​,…,z−T​)=H∗(…,0,z−T​,…,z0​) has a Fourier representation HT∗(u)=∫Rqei⟨w,u⟩gT(w) dwH^*_T(u) = \int_{\mathbb R^q} e^{i\langle w, u\rangle} g_T(w)\,dwHT∗​(u)=∫Rq​ei⟨w,u⟩gT​(w)dw on (Dd)T+1(D_d)^{T+1}(Dd​)T+1, with gT∈L1g_T \in L^1gT​∈L1 and ∫max⁡(1,∥w∥3)∣gT(w)∣2 dw<∞\int \max(1, \|w\|^3)|g_T(w)|^2\,dw < \infty∫max(1,∥w∥3)∣gT​(w)∣2dw<∞.

The random ESN. Fix T,N≥1T, N \ge 1T,N≥1, R>0R > 0R>0, and a bound MTM_TMT​ with ∥(Z0,…,Z−T)∥≤MT\|(Z_0, \dots, Z_{-T})\| \le M_T∥(Z0​,…,Z−T​)∥≤MT​ almost surely. Draw A1,…,ANA_1, \dots, A_NA1​,…,AN​ i.i.d. uniform on BR⊂RqB_R \subset \mathbb R^qBR​⊂Rq and, independently, ζ1,…,ζN\zeta_1, \dots, \zeta_Nζ1​,…,ζN​ i.i.d. uniform on [−max⁡(MTR,1),max⁡(MTR,1)][-\max(M_TR,1), \max(M_TR,1)][−max(MT​R,1),max(MT​R,1)]. With SSS the block shift on Rq\mathbb R^qRq and ccc the embedding of Rd\mathbb R^dRd into the first block, and aaa the matrix with rows Ai⊤A_i^\topAi⊤​, put

Aˉ=(S0aS0),Cˉ=(cac),ζˉ=(0ζ),A=(Aˉ−Aˉ−AˉAˉ),C=(Cˉ−Cˉ),ζ=(ζˉ−ζˉ).\bar A = \begin{pmatrix} S & 0\\ aS & 0\end{pmatrix},\quad \bar C = \begin{pmatrix} c\\ ac\end{pmatrix},\quad \bar\zeta = \begin{pmatrix} 0\\ \zeta\end{pmatrix},\quad A = \begin{pmatrix}\bar A & -\bar A\\ -\bar A & \bar A\end{pmatrix},\quad C = \begin{pmatrix}\bar C\\ -\bar C\end{pmatrix},\quad \zeta = \begin{pmatrix}\bar\zeta\\ -\bar\zeta\end{pmatrix}.Aˉ=(SaS​00​),Cˉ=(cac​),ζˉ​=(0ζ​),A=(Aˉ−Aˉ​−AˉAˉ​),C=(Cˉ−Cˉ​),ζ=(ζˉ​−ζˉ​​).

The ESN is Xt=σ(AXt−1+CZt+ζ)X_t = \sigma(AX_{t-1} + CZ_t + \zeta)Xt​=σ(AXt−1​+CZt​+ζ), Yt=WXtY_t = WX_tYt​=WXt​, with σ(x)=max⁡(x,0)\sigma(x) = \max(x, 0)σ(x)=max(x,0) and state space R2(N+d(T+1))\mathbb R^{2(N+d(T+1))}R2(N+d(T+1)).

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem 2 (p. 54)

For every H∗H^*H∗ satisfying Assumption 1 there is a readout WWW, a function of the random weights alone, such that the ESN has the echo state property (a unique state sequence for every input) and

E[∣Y0−H∗(Z)∣2]1/2≤CT,RN+∫Rq∖BR∣gT(u)∣ du+LM∑i>Tw−i,\mathbb E\big[|Y_0 - H^*(Z)|^2\big]^{1/2} \le \frac{\sqrt{C_{T,R}}}{\sqrt N} + \int_{\mathbb R^q \setminus B_R}|g_T(u)|\,du + LM\sum_{i > T} w_{-i},E[∣Y0​−H∗(Z)∣2]1/2≤N​CT,R​​​+∫Rq∖BR​​∣gT​(u)∣du+LMi>T∑​w−i​,

with CT,R=16max⁡(MTR,1)Volq(BR)(MT+1)2(MT3+MT+16)∫BRmax⁡(1,∥u∥3)∣gT(u)∣2 duC_{T,R} = 16\max(M_TR,1)\mathrm{Vol}_q(B_R)(M_T+1)^2(M_T^3+M_T+16)\int_{B_R}\max(1,\|u\|^3)|g_T(u)|^2\,duCT,R​=16max(MT​R,1)Volq​(BR​)(MT​+1)2(MT3​+MT​+16)∫BR​​max(1,∥u∥3)∣gT​(u)∣2du.

Milestones

  1. (8), p. 33: a scalar identity expressing eiz−iz−1e^{iz} - iz - 1eiz−iz−1 as an integral of ReLU ramps.
  2. Proposition 2, pp. 31–32: under a Fourier condition, fff is an integral of ReLU ridge functions with a compactly supported, square-integrable weight π\piπ.
  3. Proposition 3, pp. 41–42: a static ReLU network with uniformly sampled inner weights achieves mean-square error C∗/NC^*/NC∗/N.
  4. Corollary 1, p. 43: the same with a dimension-free integrability condition and a truncation term.
  5. Remark 10, p. 53: the shift reservoir is nilpotent, has K=IK = IK=I and stores the last T+1T+1T+1 inputs.
  6. Proposition 6, p. 51: a linear reservoir with a random ReLU readout satisfies the bound (54).
  7. (64)–(66), pp. 55–56: every solution of the ESN reduces to the linear shift reservoir, which gives uniqueness.

Significance

Theorem 2 is the first approximation bound for echo state networks whose recurrent and input weights are sampled from a generic distribution rather than constructed from the target. The bound separates three error sources: a Monte Carlo term decaying like N−1/2N^{-1/2}N−1/2, a truncation term in the sampling radius RRR, and a memory term in the window length TTT. Because the readout can be taken to be the least-squares readout, the bound also controls the trained networks used in practice, and it is the input to the paper's rate and universality corollaries (Corollaries 4 and 5).

Status: the result is proved on paper. No part of it is formalized; the only reservoir-computing material on the platform is the published definition ReservoirESN (the state equation), which this mission reuses. A formal proof would supply the first machine-checked random-feature approximation bound with explicit constants.

Difficulty

The obvious argument fails in two places. First, the classical integral representations of Barron type place the inner weights on unbounded sets, which cannot be sampled uniformly; Proposition 2 needs a change of variables that makes the weight compactly supported while keeping it square integrable, and this costs the factor R−(2q+2)R^{-(2q+2)}R−(2q+2) and the condition (5). Second, a ReLU network is not contractive, so the echo state property of the ESN cannot be taken from the standard contraction criterion; it has to be derived from the block structure of AAA, which makes the difference of the two state halves follow a nilpotent linear recursion.

Formalization scope

Rq\mathbb R^qRq is EuclideanSpace ℝ (Fin (T+1) × Fin d), block kkk holding z−kz_{-k}z−k​; input sequences are ℕ → EuclideanSpace ℝ (Fin d) with index k=−tk = -tk=−t, and xt=F(xt−1,zt)x_t = F(x_{t-1}, z_t)xt​=F(xt−1​,zt​) is the published ReservoirESN.IsSolution. Points of Rq+1\mathbb R^{q+1}Rq+1 are pairs with norm (∥w∥2+u2)1/2(\|w\|^2 + u^2)^{1/2}(∥w∥2+u2)1/2. The uniform laws are Lebesgue measure conditioned on the ball or interval; NNN i.i.d. rows have the product law. The input is independent of the weights (§4.1) and DdD_dDd​-valued with 0∈Dd⊂BM0 \in D_d \subset B_M0∈Dd​⊂BM​ (§5.1): expectations are iterated lower Lebesgue integrals over μZ\mu_ZμZ​ and the product law, and probability-(1−δ)(1-\delta)(1−δ) statements bound the product measure of the bad set. The scalar output case m=1m = 1m=1 is used, as in the paper. Assumption 1 is required for every T≥1T \ge 1T≥1, as printed.

A readout allowed to depend on the input would make every bound trivial; in every statement the readout is a measurable function of the inner weights alone.

Departures from the print, each disclosed in the item: the last term of Proposition 6 is the L2(μZ)L^2(\mu_Z)L2(μZ​) norm of ∥K−1ST+1X−T−1∥\|K^{-1}S^{T+1}X_{-T-1}\|∥K−1ST+1X−T−1​∥, which the page prints outside the expectation; the state space of the linear reservoir (52) is a parameter DND_NDN​, as in §2.1, and its solution is assumed to be a random process; Proposition 3 omits "C∗>0C^* > 0C∗>0" (the explicit value (33) is used); measurability of the Fourier density ggg is stated where the page leaves it implicit.

A complete development needs Fourier integrals on Euclidean spaces, change of variables under linear maps, product measures and Fubini–Tonelli, and an importance-sampling variance bound. The static results (Propositions 2, 3, Corollary 1) are reusable for random-feature models beyond reservoir computing. Proofs of any milestone, and alternative arguments, are welcome.

Selected references

  • L. Gonon, L. Grigoryeva, J.-P. Ortega, Approximation bounds for random neural networks and reservoir systems, Ann. Appl. Probab. 33(1), 28–69, 2023. https://doi.org/10.1214/22-AAP1806
  • L. Grigoryeva, J.-P. Ortega, Echo state networks are universal, Neural Netw. 108, 495–508, 2018. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.neunet.2018.08.025
  • H. Jaeger, H. Haas, Harnessing nonlinearity: predicting chaotic systems and saving energy in wireless communication, Science 304, 78–80, 2004. https://doi.org/10.1126/science.1091277
  • A. R. Barron, Universal approximation bounds for superpositions of a sigmoidal function, IEEE Trans. Inf. Theory 39, 930–945, 1993. https://doi.org/10.1109/18.256500
  • J. M. Klusowski, A. R. Barron, Approximation by combinations of ReLU and squared ReLU ridge functions with ℓ1 and ℓ0 controls, IEEE Trans. Inf. Theory 64, 7649–7656, 2018. https://doi.org/10.1109/tit.2018.2874447
  • C. Cuchiero, L. Gonon, L. Grigoryeva, J.-P. Ortega, J. Teichmann, Discrete-time signatures and randomness in reservoir computing, IEEE Trans. Neural Netw. Learn. Syst., 2021. https://doi.org/10.1109/TNNLS.2021.3076777
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Convex OptimizationMachine LearningOptimization·Captain: mikedeng1

A Two-Timescale Stochastic Algorithm Framework for Bilevel Optimization: Complexity Analysis and Application to Actor-Critic: Explicit Error Bounds for TTSA with a Strongly Convex Outer ObjectiveResearch Paper

Motivation

Bilevel optimization asks for an outer decision while an inner optimization problem responds to that decision. In hyperparameter selection, for example, the outer objective evaluates a model whose parameters are chosen by a training problem. A two-timescale algorithm updates both levels in one stochastic loop, so its outer step uses an inner solution that has not yet settled. The resulting error bound must account for both the outer decision and the inner tracking error. Hong, Wai, Wang and Yang study this setting and give finite-time bounds for their two-timescale stochastic approximation (TTSA) algorithm in the strongly convex outer case Hong et al., arXiv:2007.05170v4, §§1–3.

The paper states its main rates using ≲\lesssim≲, with numerical constants omitted. Appendix A gives explicit bounds for the two errors. This mission targets those displayed bounds, retaining their constants and the actual stochastic update. The selected source is the arXiv v4 preprint: page numbers and theorem labels below refer to that version Hong et al., Theorem 1 and App. A.

Setting

Let X⊆Rd1X\subseteq\mathbb R^{d_1}X⊆Rd1​ be closed and convex. For an outer point x∈Xx\in Xx∈X, the inner solution y⋆(x)∈Rd2y^\star(x)\in\mathbb R^{d_2}y⋆(x)∈Rd2​ minimizes g(x,⋅)g(x,\cdot)g(x,⋅). The outer objective is ℓ(x)=f(x,y⋆(x))\ell(x)=f(x,y^\star(x))ℓ(x)=f(x,y⋆(x)), and x⋆∈Xx^\star\in Xx⋆∈X is an optimal outer point. The inner objective is strongly convex in yyy, which gives a unique inner minimizer. The paper’s derivative and Lipschitz assumptions control how that minimizer and the outer gradient change as xxx and yyy move Hong et al., Assumptions 1–2, pp. 5–6.

The algorithm keeps iterates xk∈Xx^k\in Xxk∈X and yk∈Rd2y^k\in\mathbb R^{d_2}yk∈Rd2​. With deterministic step sizes αk,βk\alpha_k,\beta_kαk​,βk​ and stochastic estimates hfk,hgkh_f^k,h_g^khfk​,hgk​, it updates

yk+1=yk−βkhgk,xk+1=PX(xk−αkhfk),y^{k+1}=y^k-\beta_k h_g^k,\qquad x^{k+1}=P_X(x^k-\alpha_k h_f^k),yk+1=yk−βk​hgk​,xk+1=PX​(xk−αk​hfk​),

where PXP_XPX​ is the Euclidean nearest-point projection onto XXX. The inner estimate targets ∇yg(xk,yk)\nabla_y g(x^k,y^k)∇y​g(xk,yk). The outer estimate targets the surrogate gradient

∇ˉxf(x,y)=∇xf(x,y)−∇xy2g(x,y)[∇yy2g(x,y)]−1∇yf(x,y),\bar\nabla_xf(x,y)=\nabla_xf(x,y)-\nabla^2_{xy}g(x,y) [\nabla^2_{yy}g(x,y)]^{-1}\nabla_yf(x,y),∇ˉx​f(x,y)=∇x​f(x,y)−∇xy2​g(x,y)[∇yy2​g(x,y)]−1∇y​f(x,y),

with a bias bounded by bkb_kbk​. Assumption 3 bounds the conditional variances given the histories Fk\mathcal F_kFk​ and Fk′\mathcal F'_kFk′​. The surrogate at y⋆(x)y^\star(x)y⋆(x) is the paper’s ∇ℓ(x)\nabla\ell(x)∇ℓ(x) Hong et al., Algorithm 1, (5)–(7c), p. 6.

The two quantities being bounded are the outer error Δxk=E∥xk−x⋆∥2\Delta_x^k=\mathbb E\|x^k-x^\star\|^2Δxk​=E∥xk−x⋆∥2 and inner tracking error Δyk=E∥yk−y⋆(xk−1)∥2\Delta_y^k=\mathbb E\|y^k-y^\star(x^{k-1})\|^2Δyk​=E∥yk−y⋆(xk−1)∥2. At k=0k=0k=0, the convention is x−1=x0x^{-1}=x^0x−1=x0. The constants LLL and LyL_yLy​ are the exact functions of the derivative bounds in (13); σ~f2=σf2+3sup⁡x∈X∥∇ℓ(x)∥2\widetilde\sigma_f^2=\sigma_f^2+3\sup_{x\in X}\|\nabla\ell(x)\|^2σf2​=σf2​+3supx∈X​∥∇ℓ(x)∥2 is finite by the paper’s standing assumption after (14). The products Gm:n(1)G^{(1)}_{m:n}Gm:n(1)​ and Gm:n(2)G^{(2)}_{m:n}Gm:n(2)​ are those of (48) Hong et al., pp. 8–9, 20.

Formalization targets

The first target is the explicit inner bound (55): for every k≥0k\ge0k≥0,

Δyk+1≤G0:k(1)Δy0+Cy(1)βk,Cy(1)=8μg{σg2+4c02Ly2μg(σ~f2+3b02)}.\Delta_y^{k+1}\le G^{(1)}_{0:k}\Delta_y^0+C_y^{(1)}\beta_k, \qquad C_y^{(1)}=\frac8{\mu_g}\left\{\sigma_g^2+ \frac{4c_0^2L_y^2}{\mu_g}(\widetilde\sigma_f^2+3b_0^2)\right\}.Δyk+1​≤G0:k(1)​Δy0​+Cy(1)​βk​,Cy(1)​=μg​8​{σg2​+μg​4c02​Ly2​​(σf2​+3b02​)}.

The goal also includes the explicit outer bound displayed after (59):

Δxk+1≤G0:k(2){Δx0+[2L2μℓ2+3α0L2μℓ]Δy0}+2μℓ[2c~bμℓ+σ~f2+3b02]αk+2c1μℓ[2L2μℓ+3α0L2]Cy(1)αk2/3.\begin{aligned} \Delta_x^{k+1}\le{}&G^{(2)}_{0:k} \left\{\Delta_x^0+\left[\frac{2L^2}{\mu_\ell^2} +\frac{3\alpha_0L^2}{\mu_\ell}\right]\Delta_y^0\right\}\\ &+\frac2{\mu_\ell}\left[\frac{2\widetilde c_b}{\mu_\ell} +\widetilde\sigma_f^2+3b_0^2\right]\alpha_k\\ &+\frac{2c_1}{\mu_\ell}\left[\frac{2L^2}{\mu_\ell}+3\alpha_0L^2\right] C_y^{(1)}\alpha_k^{2/3}. \end{aligned}Δxk+1​≤​G0:k(2)​{Δx0​+[μℓ2​2L2​+μℓ​3α0​L2​]Δy0​}+μℓ​2​[μℓ​2cb​​+σf2​+3b02​]αk​+μℓ​2c1​​[μℓ​2L2​+3α0​L2]Cy(1)​αk2/3​.​

These formulas use the paper’s step-size conditions (20a)–(20b), the bias condition bk2≤c~bαk+1b_k^2\le\widetilde c_b\alpha_{k+1}bk2​≤cb​αk+1​, and a positive outer modulus μℓ\mu_\ellμℓ​. The milestones are the source’s Lemma 2 (12a), (14), (50), Lemma 10, (55), Lemma 11 and Lemma 4 (29). They supply independently stated targets for the two error quantities and the deterministic product estimates Hong et al., pp. 7–8, 13, 20–22, 34.

Significance

The bounds separate the effect of initialization from persistent stochastic error. Each GGG product carries an initial-error term, while the remaining terms show how the current step sizes, variance and bias govern the residual error. This makes the dependencies on LLL, LyL_yLy​, the strong convexity moduli and the estimator variances explicit, rather than hiding them in rate notation. The paper uses this strongly convex case as one part of its broader complexity analysis Hong et al., §3, Table 1.

The source proves the claimed rates on paper; this local development currently provides compiled Lean statements with open proofs. Completing it would add reusable formal interfaces for conditional stochastic-gradient assumptions, a moving strongly convex minimizer, and weighted products of varying contraction factors. The local mission does not claim a machine-checked proof of Theorem 1 yet.

Difficulty

The outer estimate depends on yk+1y^{k+1}yk+1, while the inner tracking error is measured against the minimizer at the preceding outer iterate. Treating the outer estimate as an ordinary unbiased gradient at xkx^kxk loses both the surrogate-gradient discrepancy and the bias. A distance contraction for the inner step alone also does not settle the outer error, because the target y⋆(xk)y^\star(x^k)y⋆(xk) moves with xkx^kxk. The assumptions must keep the two histories and their conditional estimates distinct Hong et al., (7a)–(7c), (17), App. A.

Formalization scope

Lean represents both spaces by EuclideanSpace ℝ (Fin d) with d1,d2≥1d_1,d_2\ge1d1​,d2​≥1, and Hessian blocks by continuous linear maps with operator norm. The mixed block maps inner directions to outer directions. The inner solution map is required to minimize g(x,⋅)g(x,\cdot)g(x,⋅) on every x∈Xx\in Xx∈X; the projection is characterized as a nearest-point map on the closed convex set. These clauses prevent an arbitrary solution map or arbitrary outer update from satisfying the theorem. The ∇ℓ\nabla\ell∇ℓ used in (2) is defined by the displayed surrogate formula (5), so boundary points of XXX have the same meaning as in the source.

The run starts at deterministic (x0,y0)(x^0,y^0)(x0,y0) and uses measurable estimates with integrable squared norms. Conditional expectations are almost-sure statements relative to the sigma-algebras generated by the iterates, and Δx,Δy\Delta_x,\Delta_yΔx​,Δy​ are Bochner integrals. These regularity assumptions prevent totalized conditional expectation or integral operations from giving spurious zero values. The supremum defining σ~f2\widetilde\sigma_f^2σf2​ is taken over XXX and has an explicit bounded-above hypothesis; XXX is nonempty because x0∈Xx^0\in Xx0∈X. The goal uses positive, nonincreasing step sizes, in line with the ratio conditions and the auxiliary lemmas. The paper prints 3/43/43/4 in the α\alphaα ratio of (20a), while its application of Lemma 10 with q=2q=2q=2 needs 1/21/21/2; the stronger ratio is disclosed in the Lean hypotheses. The initial error uses x−1=x0x^{-1}=x^0x−1=x0, and real exponents use nonnegative bases.

The definition file and the seven milestone theorems are open for proof contributions. Theorem 1’s two explicit bounds are the mission goal. Lemma 3 (28) is excluded because its printed product uses a 1/21/21/2 factor where (55) uses 1/41/41/4; (55) is the selected inner target Hong et al., pp. 13, 21.

Selected references

  • M. Hong, H.-T. Wai, Z. Wang and Z. Yang, A Two-Timescale Stochastic Algorithm Framework for Bilevel Optimization: Complexity Analysis and Application to Actor-Critic, SIAM Journal on Optimization, 2023; arXiv preprint v4, 2022. arXiv:2007.05170v4.
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🏆Completed
Algorithmic Game TheoryOperations Research·Captain: mikedeng1

Potential Games Are Necessary to Ensure Pure Nash Equilibria in Cost Sharing Games 2: Generalized Weighted Shapley Value Rules Yield Generalized Weighted Potential GamesResearch Paper

Motivation

In a welfare sharing game, several players choose resources and receive shares of each resource's welfare. A rule for splitting welfare is useful only if the resulting players' incentives admit stable choices. The paper by Gopalakrishnan, Marden, and Wierman characterizes the distribution rules that guarantee a pure Nash equilibrium for every game formed from a specified class of local welfare functions. Its Appendix C supplies a complementary structural result: generalized weighted Shapley rules give the game a vector-valued potential. That structure provides a way to analyze equilibrium existence and dynamics without enumerating all possible unilateral deviations individually.

The scalar weighted-potential case was known for weighted Shapley values in the work of Hart and Mas-Colell, as Appendix C recounts. The 2014 paper extends the setting to an ordered system of priority blocks. A single scalar component cannot generally express the priority structure, so Appendix C uses a finite vector whose components are compared in order. This mission isolates that explicit potential theorem from the paper's separate characterization theorem.

Setting

Let N={1,…,n}N=\{1,\ldots,n\}N={1,…,n} be the players and R={r1,…,rm}R=\{r_1,\ldots,r_m\}R={r1​,…,rm​} the resources, with n,m>1n,m>1n,m>1. Player iii chooses an action ai∈Ai⊆2Ra_i\in\mathcal A_i\subseteq 2^Rai​∈Ai​⊆2R, possibly containing several resources. For a profile aaa, let {a}r={i∈N:r∈ai}\{a\}_r=\{i\in N:r\in a_i\}{a}r​={i∈N:r∈ai​} be the users of resource rrr. Each resource has a local welfare function Wr:2N→RW_r:2^N\to\mathbb RWr​:2N→R and a distribution rule fr(i,S)f^r(i,S)fr(i,S), giving player iii's share when the resource is used by coalition SSS. The game's utilities are separable:

Ui(a)=∑r∈aifr(i,{a}r).U_i(a)=\sum_{r\in a_i}f^r(i,\{a\}_r).Ui​(a)=r∈ai​∑​fr(i,{a}r​).

A weight system ω=(λ,Σ)\omega=(\lambda,\Sigma)ω=(λ,Σ) specifies positive weights λi\lambda_iλi​ and an ordered partition Σ=(S1,…,SK)\Sigma=(S_1,\ldots,S_K)Σ=(S1​,…,SK​) of the players. For a nonempty coalition TTT, let Tˉ\bar TTˉ be its members in the earliest block meeting TTT. The Möbius coefficient of a welfare function is

qTW=∑B⊆T(−1)∣T∣−∣B∣W(B).q_T^W=\sum_{B\subseteq T}(-1)^{|T|-|B|}W(B).qTW​=B⊆T∑​(−1)∣T∣−∣B∣W(B).

The generalized weighted Shapley value distributes the contribution of TTT among players in Tˉ\bar TTˉ in proportion to their weights. The generalized weighted marginal contribution rule instead evaluates the difference in a welfare function when a player is removed from the part of a coalition in that player's block and later blocks. These are the two formulas in Tables 1–2 of the source paper. The ground welfare functions used by the two rules, Wr′W'_rWr′​ and Wr′′W''_rWr′′​, may differ. Their coefficients are related by (12): qTWr′=(∑j∈Tˉλj)qTWr′′q_T^{W'_r}=(\sum_{j\in\bar T}\lambda_j)q_T^{W''_r}qTWr′​​=(∑j∈Tˉ​λj​)qTWr′′​​ for every nonempty TTT.

A generalized weighted potential is a vector Φ(a)∈RK\Phi(a)\in\mathbb R^KΦ(a)∈RK with a fixed component assigned to each player. For any unilateral change by that player, all earlier components stay equal, and the player's utility change equals a positive multiple of the change in the assigned component. This is the precise potential identity used in this mission.

Formalization targets

The local target is equation (83): local resource potentials whose changes agree with each player's utility share combine into a game-level potential. The coefficient target is the equality between the Table 1 marginal-contribution rule and its Table 2 Möbius-basis expansion. The closed-form target identifies exactly which vector component each player can change.

The goal is Theorem 3, using its closed form (85). Write Sˉb=S∖⋃ℓ<bSℓ\bar S_b=S\setminus\bigcup_{\ell<b}S_\ellSˉb​=S∖⋃ℓ<b​Sℓ​. If each frf^rfr is simultaneously the generalized weighted Shapley rule for Wr′W'_rWr′​ and the generalized weighted marginal contribution rule for Wr′′W''_rWr′′​, with their coefficients related by (12), then

Φ(a)=∑r∈Rϕr({a}r),(ϕr(S))k=Wr′′(SˉK−k+1)(1≤k≤K)\Phi(a)=\sum_{r\in R}\phi_r(\{a\}_r),\qquad (\phi_r(S))_k=W''_r(\bar S_{K-k+1})\quad(1\le k\le K)Φ(a)=r∈R∑​ϕr​({a}r​),(ϕr​(S))k​=Wr′′​(SˉK−k+1​)(1≤k≤K)

is a generalized weighted potential with player weights λ\lambdaλ. The goal specifies this potential itself, rather than merely asserting that some potential exists.

Significance

The theorem gives an explicit structural certificate for all games built from these sharing rules. A maximum of a vector potential in lexicographic order is stable against improving deviations, so the identity supports the equilibrium guarantee in the main characterization result. Its formula also gives a concrete object for studying changes in allocations or comparing priority systems; these are uses of the result, not additional claims of this mission. The closed form is particularly useful because each component is an evaluation of a ground welfare function on a specified suffix of the priority partition, as the paper explains on p. 11.

The mathematical result was proved in 2014. The remaining formalization work is to construct a machine-checked proof of the exact vector identity, including the coalition basis calculation and the passage from local resource changes to whole-game utility changes. The local platform index contains related scalar and ordinal potential theorems, but no declaration with this paper's priority-block model and closed-form vector potential.

Difficulty

The obvious scalar-potential analogy does not by itself track ordered priority classes. Adding a player in one class can leave some vector components unchanged while affecting a later component. The proof obligation therefore includes the exact component order and a player-specific change identity, uniformly over coalitions and actions. A second difficulty is reconciling two descriptions of the same distribution rule: Table 1 uses a welfare difference, while Table 2 expands welfare in Möbius coefficients over coalitions. The equality must hold even when the welfare at the empty coalition is arbitrary.

There is also a printed inconsistency. Definition 1 and (83) call the assigned component the “first nonzero” component, but the proof only establishes that earlier components are unchanged. The assigned component can also be unchanged on a particular deviation, while a later one changes. Formula (84) disagrees with the closed form (85) in a two-block example. The mission follows the fixed per-player component supported by the proof and states (85); the precise counterexample is in the moderation notes.

Formalization scope

Players and resources are represented by Fin n and Fin m, coalitions and actions by Finset, and real-valued welfare and utility functions by functions into R\mathbb RR. The standing model has n,m>1n,m>1n,m>1 and strictly positive player weights. The potential predicate requires K>0K>0K>0, matching Definition 1's positive vector dimension. The ordered partition is a map from players into KKK blocks; empty blocks are allowed, and Fin K provides zero-based indices. A vector component is indexed in reverse block order, so component 1 sees only the final block and component KKK sees the whole coalition. For a nonempty TTT, Tˉ\bar TTˉ is its earliest occupied block; its empty-case value is empty and is never used in (12).

Rules are compared only for players belonging to the coalition in which they are evaluated. The named Shapley and marginal rules return zero off that coalition; arbitrary input rules may have other unused values there. No budget-balance or W(∅)=0W(\varnothing)=0W(∅)=0 hypothesis is added; the empty-coalition value cancels in marginal differences. Action sets may be empty because this mission proves a potential identity for feasible deviations, without asserting that a feasible profile or equilibrium exists. The formalization does not replace the goal by a vacuous existence claim: it fixes the potential to the explicit closed form (85) and requires the full change identity at every feasible unilateral deviation.

The development needs finite-set sums, powersets, ordered finite indices, real arithmetic, and the paper-specific welfare rules. The local-to-global separability statement and finite coalition-basis calculation can be reused in related sharing games. Contributions proving the stated milestones, or strengthening the result under correctly stated extra assumptions, are in scope.

Selected references

  • R. Gopalakrishnan, J. R. Marden, and A. Wierman, Potential Games are Necessary to Ensure Pure Nash Equilibria in Cost Sharing Games, arXiv:1402.3610v1, 2014; published in Mathematics of Operations Research 39(4), 2014. Preprint; DOI.
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Generalized Turán Problems for Even Cycles 7: The Maximum Number of Paths on l Vertices in a C_{2k+1}-Free Graph on n Vertices Is (1+o(1))(n/2)^lResearch Paper

Motivation

An extremal graph problem asks how many copies of a chosen small graph can occur when a different graph is forbidden. The usual Turán problem counts edges; counting paths or cycles gives a more detailed view of the structure that can survive a forbidden subgraph. Gerbner, Győri, Methuku and Vizer study these generalized Turán numbers for paths and cycles in their paper on even-cycle problems. Their Theorem 23 asks for the leading number of paths when a specified odd cycle is absent. The answer has the same leading term as a balanced complete bipartite graph, despite the fact that excluding one odd cycle is weaker than requiring a graph to be bipartite. Gerbner et al., Theorem 23

The spectral theorem cited by the authors gives a useful threshold for this setting. For a graph with no cycle of length 2k+12k+12k+1, it bounds the adjacency spectral radius once the vertex count exceeds 320(2k+1)320(2k+1)320(2k+1). This threshold is explicit and stays visible in the finite-size milestone. Gerbner et al., Theorem 32, citing Nikiforov (2008).

Setting

A simple graph GGG has finitely many vertices and no loops or parallel edges. For a≥3a\ge3a≥3, CaC_aCa​ is the cycle on aaa vertices, and PlP_lPl​ is the path on lll vertices. Thus PlP_lPl​ has l−1l-1l−1 edges, following the paper's convention. A copy of HHH in GGG is a subgraph of GGG isomorphic to HHH; copies are unlabelled, so reversing a path does not create a second copy. Write N(H,G)\mathcal N(H,G)N(H,G) for their number. Gerbner et al., pp. 2–3

For a set AAA of lengths, a graph is CA\mathcal C_ACA​-free if it has no subgraph isomorphic to CaC_aCa​ for any a∈Aa\in Aa∈A. The mission mainly uses A={2k+1}A=\{2k+1\}A={2k+1}: exactly one odd cycle length is forbidden, while shorter and longer cycles may still occur. The generalized Turán number is the maximum

ex⁡(n,H,CA)=max⁡∣V(G)∣=nG is CA-freeN(H,G).\operatorname{ex}(n,H,\mathcal C_A) =\max_{\substack{|V(G)|=n\\G\text{ is }\mathcal C_A\text{-free}}}\mathcal N(H,G).ex(n,H,CA​)=∣V(G)∣=nG is CA​-free​max​N(H,G).

The adjacency matrix AGA_GAG​ records whether each pair of vertices is adjacent. Because the graph is undirected, this is a real symmetric matrix. Its spectral radius μ(G)\mu(G)μ(G) is the largest absolute value of an eigenvalue of AGA_GAG​. The graph Bn,aB_{n,a}Bn,a​ is the complete bipartite graph with parts of sizes aaa and n−an-an−a; the balanced choice uses a=⌊n/2⌋a=\lfloor n/2\rfloora=⌊n/2⌋. Gerbner et al., §§7.1–7.2

Formalization targets

Main result: Theorem 23

For each fixed k≥1k\ge1k≥1 and l≥2l\ge2l≥2, as n→∞n\to\inftyn→∞,

ex⁡(n,Pl,C{2k+1})=(1+o(1))(n2)l.\operatorname{ex}(n,P_l,\mathcal C_{\{2k+1\}}) =(1+o(1))\left(\frac n2\right)^l.ex(n,Pl​,C{2k+1}​)=(1+o(1))(2n​)l.

The equality gives both sides of the asymptotic estimate. The o(1)o(1)o(1) term may depend on the fixed parameters k,lk,lk,l and tends to zero as the number of vertices grows. Gerbner et al., Theorem 23, p. 8

Supporting targets

The milestone list records the balanced complete bipartite lower bound, the comparison between paths and walks in equation (7), a spectral bound on the walk sum, Nikiforov's stated spectral estimate, and the resulting finite-size upper bound. In particular, the last two targets retain the paper's constants:

n>320(2k+1),μ(G)≤n2/4,N(Pl,G)≤(n/2)l.n>320(2k+1),\qquad \mu(G)\le\sqrt{n^2/4},\qquad \mathcal N(P_l,G)\le(n/2)^l.n>320(2k+1),μ(G)≤n2/4​,N(Pl​,G)≤(n/2)l.

The milestone statements identify which assertions concern every graph and which require the forbidden-cycle condition. Gerbner et al., pp. 30, 32

Companion: even cycles (Theorem 24)

For fixed k≥1k\ge1k≥1 and l≥2l\ge2l≥2,

ex⁡(n,C2l,C{2k+1})=(1+o(1)) 12l(n24)l,\operatorname{ex}(n,C_{2l},\mathcal C_{\{2k+1\}})=(1+o(1))\,\frac{1}{2l}\left(\frac{n^2}{4}\right)^{l},ex(n,C2l​,C{2k+1}​)=(1+o(1))2l1​(4n2​)l,

and Remark 3 records the inequality N(P2l,G)≥2l N(C2l,G)\mathcal N(P_{2l},G)\ge 2l\,\mathcal N(C_{2l},G)N(P2l​,G)≥2lN(C2l​,G) for every graph GGG, which links this count to Theorem 23. Gerbner et al., Theorem 24, p. 11; Remark 3, p. 32

Significance

Theorem 23 fixes the leading coefficient for the maximum path count for every fixed path length and forbidden odd-cycle length in its range. A balanced complete bipartite graph reaches that coefficient asymptotically, so the result identifies an extremal construction at first order. The lower-bound milestone formalizes this construction with balanced parts, including the one-vertex rounding needed when nnn is odd. The matrix and spectral milestones can also be reused when counting walks or paths under different graph restrictions. Gerbner et al., §7.2

The paper proves these results on paper. In this mission, the definitions and theorem statements are checked by Lean, while proofs of the draft theorems remain to be supplied. A completed development would make the path-count theorem and its stated spectral dependency machine checked in the pinned Mathlib environment. It would also expose where a general graph identity suffices and where the odd-cycle prohibition matters.

Difficulty

Counting paths directly is difficult because the available information about a graph with one forbidden odd-cycle length does not control each vertex degree tightly enough to determine a sharp path count. Counting walks is easier algebraically, but walks may revisit vertices, so their number is generally larger than the number of paths. A graph-wide spectral bound is needed to control the walk total sharply, and the cited Nikiforov estimate has to be carried with its forbidden-cycle hypothesis and vertex threshold. A generic bound based only on the maximum degree would not yield the coefficient in Theorem 23. Gerbner et al., §§7.1–7.2

Formalization scope

Graphs on nnn vertices are represented as SimpleGraph (Fin n). Mathlib's cycleGraph a and pathGraph l represent CaC_aCa​ and the path on lll vertices, and copyCount counts unlabelled subgraph copies. The finite set of real adjacency eigenvalues defines μ(G)\mu(G)μ(G) through a maximum of absolute values. On an empty vertex type this value is zero. The extremal number is a natural-number supremum over feasible graphs; for the odd-cycle family the feasible set is nonempty and finite, so this supremum is attained.

The goal has k≥1k\ge1k≥1 and l≥2l\ge2l≥2, exactly as Theorem 23 states. The lower-bound item chooses parts of sizes ⌊n/2⌋\lfloor n/2\rfloor⌊n/2⌋ and ⌈n/2⌉\lceil n/2\rceil⌈n/2⌉. Equation (7) requires l≥2l\ge2l≥2: for l=1l=1l=1 the claimed factor of two is false. The finite spectral and path bounds require n>320(2k+1)n>320(2k+1)n>320(2k+1). These conditions are explicit in the Lean statements. Natural subtraction appears only in expressions whose hypotheses make the intended quantity meaningful, including l−1l-1l−1; the bipartite part size is computed with natural division. The asymptotic statements use real sequences tending to zero and eventual comparisons or equality.

The result must include the lower bound as well as the upper bound. It uses unlabelled path copies, an attained extremal maximum, and a forbidden family consisting of the specified odd cycle. An upper bound alone, labelled copies, or a supremum over an empty class would change the theorem. The needed infrastructure consists of graph-copy counts, adjacency-matrix walk counts, finite-dimensional spectral facts, and the cited odd-cycle spectral theorem. The page states Theorem 24 "for any k,lk,lk,l"; the Lean statement and Remark 3 require k≥1k\ge1k≥1 and l≥2l\ge2l≥2, the only values for which C2k+1C_{2k+1}C2k+1​ and C2lC_{2l}C2l​ are cycles. Contributions proving the milestones or developing reusable interfaces for those objects are within scope.

Selected references

  • D. Gerbner, E. Győri, A. Methuku and M. Vizer, Generalized Turán problems for even cycles, Journal of Combinatorial Theory, Series B, 2020. arXiv:1712.07079v3; DOI:10.1016/j.jctb.2020.05.005.
  • V. Nikiforov, A spectral condition for odd cycles in graphs, Linear Algebra and its Applications 428 (2008), 1492–1498. Cited as [34] in arXiv:1712.07079v3.
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CombinatoricsTheoretical Computer Science·Captain: mikedeng1

Fully-Functional Suffix Trees and Optimal Text Searching in BWT-runs Bounded Space 3: The Differential LCP Array Has a Bidirectional Macro Scheme of Size at Most 4r + 1Research Paper

Motivation

A suffix tree of a text T[1..n]T[1..n]T[1..n] answers pattern-matching and string-analysis queries (longest repeats, maximal repeats, matching statistics) in time close to optimal, but it occupies Θ(n)\Theta(n)Θ(n) machine words. For highly repetitive collections, such as many genomes of one species or the versions of a document, this is far more than the information the text contains. A standard measure of that information is rrr, the number of runs (maximal blocks of one repeated symbol) of the Burrows–Wheeler transform of TTT. On repetitive collections rrr is orders of magnitude smaller than nnn, and indexes using O(r)O(r)O(r) words are of direct practical interest in bioinformatics and in versioned document stores.

Gagie, Navarro and Prezza (arXiv:1809.02792v2, 2019) build a compressed suffix tree in O(rlog⁡(n/r))O(r\log(n/r))O(rlog(n/r)) words (their Theorem 9, p. 28). A compressed suffix tree in the style of Abeliuk, Cánovas and Navarro (Algorithms 2013) needs the longest common prefix array LCPLCPLCP in compressed form, and stores it differentially, as DLCPDLCPDLCP. The paper's route to compressing DLCPDLCPDLCP is one exact combinatorial fact: DLCPDLCPDLCP has a bidirectional macro scheme of size at most 4r+14r+14r+1 (p. 28). A cited conversion of macro schemes into run-length grammars (Lemma 18, from Gagie, Navarro and Prezza, LATIN 2018) then gives the O(rlog⁡(n/r))O(r\log(n/r))O(rlog(n/r)) grammar. This mission formalizes that combinatorial fact and the lemmas it rests on.

Setting

A text T[1..n]T[1..n]T[1..n], n≥1n\ge 1n≥1, is a string over the alphabet [1..σ][1..\sigma][1..σ] whose last symbol T[n]=\=1isthesmallestsymbolandoccursnowhereelse.The∗∗suffix∗∗is the smallest symbol and occurs nowhere else. The **suffix**isthesmallestsymbolandoccursnowhereelse.The∗∗suffix∗∗T[i..]isisisT[i]T[i+1]\cdots T[n].The∗∗suffixarray∗∗. The **suffix array** .The∗∗suffixarray∗∗SA[1..n]isthepermutationofis the permutation ofisthepermutationof[1..n]$ listing the starting positions of the suffixes in increasing lexicographic order.

The Burrows–Wheeler transform is BWT[p]=T[SA[p]−1]BWT[p]=T[SA[p]-1]BWT[p]=T[SA[p]−1] if SA[p]>1SA[p]>1SA[p]>1 and BWT[p]=T[n]BWT[p]=T[n]BWT[p]=T[n] if SA[p]=1SA[p]=1SA[p]=1: the symbol preceding the ppp-th smallest suffix, read cyclically. The LF mapping is

LF(p)=C[BWT[p]]+rank⁡[p],LF(p)=C[BWT[p]]+\operatorname{rank}[p],LF(p)=C[BWT[p]]+rank[p],

where C[c]C[c]C[c] counts the symbols of BWTBWTBWT smaller than ccc and rank⁡[p]\operatorname{rank}[p]rank[p] counts the occurrences of BWT[p]BWT[p]BWT[p] in BWT[1..p]BWT[1..p]BWT[1..p]. A position ppp starts a run if p=1p=1p=1 or BWT[p]≠BWT[p−1]BWT[p]\ne BWT[p-1]BWT[p]=BWT[p−1]; rrr is the number of run starts, written p1<⋯<prp_1<\dots<p_rp1​<⋯<pr​.

Let lcp⁡(S,S′)\operatorname{lcp}(S,S')lcp(S,S′) be the length of the longest common prefix of two strings. Then

LCP[1]=0,LCP[p]=lcp⁡(T[SA[p−1]..],T[SA[p]..]),DLCP[1]=LCP[1],DLCP[i]=LCP[i]−LCP[i−1].LCP[1]=0,\quad LCP[p]=\operatorname{lcp}(T[SA[p-1]..],T[SA[p]..]),\qquad DLCP[1]=LCP[1],\quad DLCP[i]=LCP[i]-LCP[i-1].LCP[1]=0,LCP[p]=lcp(T[SA[p−1]..],T[SA[p]..]),DLCP[1]=LCP[1],DLCP[i]=LCP[i]−LCP[i−1].

The differential suffix array is DSA[1]=SA[1]DSA[1]=SA[1]DSA[1]=SA[1], DSA[p]=SA[p]−SA[p−1]DSA[p]=SA[p]-SA[p-1]DSA[p]=SA[p]−SA[p−1].

A bidirectional macro scheme (BMS) of size bbb on a sequence S[1..n]S[1..n]S[1..n] of any symbol type (Definition 6, p. 28, after Storer and Szymanski) is a partition S=S1⋯SbS=S_1\cdots S_bS=S1​⋯Sb​ into consecutive blocks, each either an explicit symbol (a block of length 1) or a pointer to another occurrence S[j..j′]S[j..j']S[j..j′] of the same content. The source map sends a position at offset i′i'i′ inside a pointer block to f(i)=j+i′−1f(i)=j+i'-1f(i)=j+i′−1. The scheme is correct if, from every position iii, some iterate fk(i)f^k(i)fk(i), k≥0k\ge0k≥0, is an explicit symbol.

Formalization targets

Goal: a macro scheme of size at most 4r+14r+14r+1

∃ a correct BMS of DLCP[1..n] of size b≤4r+1.\exists\ \text{a correct BMS of } DLCP[1..n] \text{ of size } b\le 4r+1.∃ a correct BMS of DLCP[1..n] of size b≤4r+1.

This is the sentence following Lemma 16 on p. 28, proved by Lemma 17. It fixes no constant beyond the paper's own count, and it is the exact input Lemma 18 needs.

Milestones

  1. LF is a single cycle (§2.3, p. 8): LFLFLF permutes [1..n][1..n][1..n] and the orbit of position 1 visits every position in fewer than nnn steps.
  2. LFLFLF walks the text backwards (§2.4, p. 9): SA[LF(p)]=SA[p]−1SA[LF(p)]=SA[p]-1SA[LF(p)]=SA[p]−1 whenever SA[p]>1SA[p]>1SA[p]>1.
  3. Lemma 12 (p. 20): if BWT[p−1]=BWT[p]BWT[p-1]=BWT[p]BWT[p−1]=BWT[p] then LF(p−1)=LF(p)−1LF(p-1)=LF(p)-1LF(p−1)=LF(p)−1 and DSA[LF(p)]=DSA[p]DSA[LF(p)]=DSA[p]DSA[LF(p)]=DSA[p].
  4. Lemma 16 (p. 28): if BWT[p−2]=BWT[p−1]=BWT[p]BWT[p-2]=BWT[p-1]=BWT[p]BWT[p−2]=BWT[p−1]=BWT[p] then LF(p−1)=LF(p)−1LF(p-1)=LF(p)-1LF(p−1)=LF(p)−1 and DLCP[LF(p)]=DLCP[p]DLCP[LF(p)]=DLCP[p]DLCP[LF(p)]=DLCP[p].
  5. Lemma 17 (p. 28): the partition of DLCPDLCPDLCP into the explicit symbols DLCP[pi+k]DLCP[p_i+k]DLCP[pi​+k], k∈{0,1,2}k\in\{0,1,2\}k∈{0,1,2}, and the regions DLCP[pi+3..pi+1−1]DLCP[p_i+3..p_{i+1}-1]DLCP[pi​+3..pi+1​−1] pointing to DLCP[LF(pi+3)..LF(pi+1−1)]DLCP[LF(p_i+3)..LF(p_{i+1}-1)]DLCP[LF(pi​+3)..LF(pi+1​−1)], is a BMS.

Significance

The result. The bound 4r+14r+14r+1 ties the compressibility of the LCPLCPLCP array, a structure of size nnn that does not obviously inherit the repetitiveness of the BWT, to the number of BWT runs. Through Lemma 18 it yields a run-length grammar of size O(rlog⁡(n/r))O(r\log(n/r))O(rlog(n/r)) for DLCPDLCPDLCP (Lemma 19, p. 29), and the paper's compressed suffix tree supports its navigation primitives on that grammar. The same pattern, runs of the BWT inducing copies in a differential array, drives the paper's O(rlog⁡(n/r))O(r\log(n/r))O(rlog(n/r))-word access to SASASA and ISAISAISA (§5), of which Lemma 12 is the first step.

Formalizing it. The result is proved in the paper; to our knowledge none of it, nor the basic theory of suffix arrays and the Burrows–Wheeler transform, has a machine-checked proof on this platform. The mission produces a self-contained Lean development of the BWT and LF mapping from their counting definitions, of the LCPLCPLCP and DLCPDLCPDLCP arrays, and of macro schemes with their correctness condition. The single-cycle property of LFLFLF and the identity SA[LF(p)]=SA[p]−1SA[LF(p)]=SA[p]-1SA[LF(p)]=SA[p]−1 are folklore results that underlie every FM-index; they are formalized here from the counting formula, not assumed.

Difficulty

The obvious proof of the goal counts blocks: at most 3r3r3r explicit symbols and at most r+1r+1r+1 regions. The counting is easy; the content lies in the two properties the count presupposes. First, the copies must be correct: a whole region DLCP[pi+3..pi+1−1]DLCP[p_i+3..p_{i+1}-1]DLCP[pi​+3..pi+1​−1] must coincide with the stretch starting at LF(pi+3)LF(p_i+3)LF(pi​+3), which needs LFLFLF to map a run onto consecutive positions and LCPLCPLCP differences to be preserved, and it needs three consecutive equal BWT symbols, not two, because DLCP[p]DLCP[p]DLCP[p] involves the suffixes in cells p−2p-2p−2, p−1p-1p−1 and ppp. Second, the scheme must be correct as a whole: following pointers must never cycle. A scheme in which two regions point at each other satisfies every local condition and still fails. Ruling this out requires the global fact that LFLFLF is one cycle through all of [1..n][1..n][1..n], which in turn rests on the lexicographic order of suffixes and the uniqueness of the terminator \$$. Connecting the counting definition of LFtothebackwardstepto the backward steptothebackwardstepSA[LF(p)]=SA[p]-1$ is itself a nontrivial argument about ranks of symbols among sorted suffixes.

Formalization scope

Positions are 1-based natural numbers, as in the paper. The text and the suffix array are functions N→N\mathbb N\to\mathbb NN→N read only on [1..n][1..n][1..n], symbols are natural numbers, and \=1.Thesuffixarrayisahypothesis(‘IsSuffixArray‘:apermutationof. The suffix array is a hypothesis (`IsSuffixArray`: a permutation of .Thesuffixarrayisahypothesis(‘IsSuffixArray‘:apermutationof[1..n]sortingthesuffixesstrictly),neveraconstruction;sorting the suffixes strictly), never a construction;sortingthesuffixesstrictly),neveraconstruction;BWTandandandLFarethecountingformulasofp.8,withare the counting formulas of p. 8, witharethecountingformulasofp.8,withT[0]readasread asreadasT[n].. .LCPiscomputedfromarecursiveis computed from a recursiveiscomputedfromarecursive\operatorname{lcp}onsuffixlists;on suffix lists;onsuffixlists;DLCPandandandDSAareinteger−valued.Amacroschemeisdefinedforanysymboltypeasalistofblockslaidoutconsecutivelyfromposition1,eachwithalengthandanoptionalsourcestart;itssizeisthelistlength.Explicitblockshavelength1;apointerblockstartingatare integer-valued. A macro scheme is defined for any symbol type as a list of blocks laid out consecutively from position 1, each with a length and an optional source start; its size is the list length. Explicit blocks have length 1; a pointer block starting atareinteger−valued.Amacroschemeisdefinedforanysymboltypeasalistofblockslaidoutconsecutivelyfromposition1,eachwithalengthandanoptionalsourcestart;itssizeisthelistlength.Explicitblockshavelength1;apointerblockstartingatihasasourcehas a sourcehasasourcej\ne iinsideinsideinside[1..n],possiblyoverlappingtheblock.Thevalueof, possibly overlapping the block. The value of ,possiblyoverlappingtheblock.Thevalueoffonexplicitsymbols,arbitraryonthepage,istheidentity.Theexplicitcellson explicit symbols, arbitrary on the page, is the identity. The explicit cellsonexplicitsymbols,arbitraryonthepage,istheidentity.Theexplicitcellsp_i+kofLemma17aretakenonlywheretheyexist( of Lemma 17 are taken only where they exist (ofLemma17aretakenonlywheretheyexist(\le n),andcoincidingcellsofshortrunsarecountedonce;theconvention), and coinciding cells of short runs are counted once; the convention ),andcoincidingcellsofshortrunsarecountedonce;theconventionp_0=-2onlyemptiestheregionbeforeonly empties the region beforeonlyemptiestheregionbeforep_1=1.Lemma17isstatedasacharacterisationofthescheme:explicitblocksexactlyatexplicitcells,pointerblocksexactlythemaximalstretchesoftheremainingcells,eachpointingto. Lemma 17 is stated as a characterisation of the scheme: explicit blocks exactly at explicit cells, pointer blocks exactly the maximal stretches of the remaining cells, each pointing to .Lemma17isstatedasacharacterisationofthescheme:explicitblocksexactlyatexplicitcells,pointerblocksexactlythemaximalstretchesoftheremainingcells,eachpointingtoLFofitsfirstcellwithof its first cell withofitsfirstcellwithLFmappingeverycellintheblocktothecorrespondingsourcecell.Theidentitymapping every cell in the block to the corresponding source cell. The identitymappingeverycellintheblocktothecorrespondingsourcecell.TheidentitySA[LF(p)]=SA[p]-1carriestheguardcarries the guardcarriestheguardSA[p]>1,sincefor, since for ,sinceforSA[p]=1$ it holds only cyclically.

The paper's O(⋅)O(\cdot)O(⋅) space and time claims (Theorem 9, Lemma 19) and the cited grammar conversion (Lemma 18) are out of scope; the goal is their explicit combinatorial content.

Every sequence has a macro scheme of size nnn (all symbols explicit), and a set of pointers that only point at each other satisfies every local condition, so a formalization that bounds the size of an arbitrary partition, or that drops the condition that every chain of copies reaches an explicit symbol, would be empty or false; both are excluded by the definition used. SASASA, BWTBWTBWT and LFLFLF are not defined through the properties the milestones assert.

Contributions welcome: proofs of the milestones, and reusable lemmas about the LF mapping and lexicographic order of suffixes, which the paper's other missions (locating with sampled phrases, counting distinct substrings) also use.

Selected references

  • T. Gagie, G. Navarro, N. Prezza, Fully-Functional Suffix Trees and Optimal Text Searching in BWT-runs Bounded Space, arXiv preprint, 2019 (v2). https://arxiv.org/abs/1809.02792
  • J. A. Storer, T. G. Szymanski, Data compression via textual substitution, Journal of the ACM 29(4):928–951, 1982. https://doi.org/10.1145/322344.322346
  • A. Abeliuk, R. Cánovas, G. Navarro, Practical compressed suffix trees, Algorithms 6(2):319–351, 2013. https://doi.org/10.3390/a6020319
  • T. Gagie, G. Navarro, N. Prezza, On the approximation ratio of Lempel-Ziv parsing, Proc. LATIN 2018, LNCS 10807, pp. 490–503.
  • M. Burrows, D. Wheeler, A block sorting lossless data compression algorithm, Technical Report 124, Digital Equipment Corporation, 1994.
  • V. Mäkinen, G. Navarro, Succinct suffix arrays based on run-length encoding, Nordic Journal of Computing 12(1):40–66, 2005.
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CombinatoricsGraph Theory·Captain: mikedeng1

Generalized Turán Problems for Even Cycles 2: The Maximum Number of 2l-Cycles in a C_{2k}-Free Graph on n Vertices Is Θ(n^l), with Explicit Upper and Lower ConstantsResearch Paper

Motivation

The classical Turán problem asks for the maximum number of edges of an nnn-vertex graph that avoids a fixed subgraph. For even cycles this is one of the central open problems of extremal graph theory: Bondy and Simonovits proved that a C2kC_{2k}C2k​-free graph has O(n1+1/k)O(n^{1+1/k})O(n1+1/k) edges, and this order is known to be sharp only for k=2,3,5k=2,3,5k=2,3,5.

A generalized Turán problem replaces "edges" by "copies of a fixed graph HHH". The question of how many copies of one cycle a graph may contain while avoiding another cycle goes back to Erdős's question on pentagons in triangle-free graphs, and was taken up systematically by Alon and Shikhelman (2016). For two even cycles, Solymosi and Wong asked whether forbidding the single cycle C2kC_{2k}C2k​ (instead of all cycles up to length 2k2k2k) still forces few copies of C2lC_{2l}C2l​. Gerbner, Győri, Methuku and Vizer answer this question by determining the order of magnitude: the maximum is Θ(nl)\Theta(n^l)Θ(nl), much larger than in the girth-restricted setting. The same order of magnitude was obtained independently by Gishboliner and Shapira; the proof formalized here is different and gives explicit constants.

Timeline:

  • 1959 — Erdős and Gallai: a graph on nnn vertices with no cycle longer than kkk has at most k(n−1)/2k(n-1)/2k(n−1)/2 edges.
  • 1974 — Bondy and Simonovits: ex(n,C2k)=O(n1+1/k)\mathrm{ex}(n,C_{2k})=O(n^{1+1/k})ex(n,C2k​)=O(n1+1/k).
  • 2016 — Alon and Shikhelman introduce the systematic study of ex(n,H,F)\mathrm{ex}(n,H,F)ex(n,H,F).
  • 2017–2018 — Gerbner, Győri, Methuku and Vizer (arXiv:1712.07079), and independently Gishboliner and Shapira, show ex(n,C2l,C2k)=Θ(nl)\mathrm{ex}(n,C_{2l},C_{2k})=\Theta(n^l)ex(n,C2l​,C2k​)=Θ(nl).

Setting

All graphs are finite and simple. For graphs HHH and GGG, N(H,G)\mathcal N(H,G)N(H,G) is the number of subgraphs of GGG isomorphic to HHH (unlabelled copies). CaC_aCa​ is the cycle on a≥3a\ge3a≥3 vertices. A graph is C2kC_{2k}C2k​-free if it has no subgraph isomorphic to C2kC_{2k}C2k​ (induced or not). The generalized Turán number is

ex(n,C2l,C2k)=max⁡{N(C2l,G):G a C2k-free graph on n vertices}.\mathrm{ex}(n,C_{2l},C_{2k})=\max\{\mathcal N(C_{2l},G): G\text{ a }C_{2k}\text{-free graph on }n\text{ vertices}\}.ex(n,C2l​,C2k​)=max{N(C2l​,G):G a C2k​-free graph on n vertices}.

For a non-negative integer mmm and l≥1l\ge1l≥1, the falling factorial is (m)l=m(m−1)⋯(m−l+1)(m)_l=m(m-1)\cdots(m-l+1)(m)l​=m(m−1)⋯(m−l+1).

For distinct vertices a,ba,ba,b of GGG, the codegree f(a,b)f(a,b)f(a,b) is the number of common neighbours of aaa and bbb. Sums written ∑a≠b\sum_{a\neq b}∑a=b​ range over unordered pairs {a,b}\{a,b\}{a,b} of distinct vertices.

Two graphs appear in the lower bounds. The first is the complete bipartite graph Kk−1,n−k+1K_{k-1,n-k+1}Kk−1,n−k+1​. The second is the blow-up of C2lC_{2l}C2l​: keep lll alternate vertices x0,…,xl−1x_0,\dots,x_{l-1}x0​,…,xl−1​ of C2lC_{2l}C2l​, and replace the vertex between xix_ixi​ and xi+1x_{i+1}xi+1​ (indices mod lll) by a class SiS_iSi​ of new vertices, each joined to xix_ixi​ and xi+1x_{i+1}xi+1​. The n−ln-ln−l new vertices are split as evenly as possible among the lll classes.

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem 10

As n→∞n\to\inftyn→∞ with kkk and lll fixed:

ex(n,C2l,C2k)≤(1+o(1))2l−2(k−1)l2lnl(l≥3, k≥2),\mathrm{ex}(n,C_{2l},C_{2k})\le(1+o(1))\frac{2^{l-2}(k-1)^l}{2l}n^l\qquad(l\ge3,\ k\ge2),ex(n,C2l​,C2k​)≤(1+o(1))2l2l−2(k−1)l​nl(l≥3, k≥2), ex(n,C2l,C2k)≥(1+o(1))(k−1)l2lnl(k>l≥2),\mathrm{ex}(n,C_{2l},C_{2k})\ge(1+o(1))\frac{(k-1)_l}{2l}n^l\qquad(k>l\ge2),ex(n,C2l​,C2k​)≥(1+o(1))2l(k−1)l​​nl(k>l≥2), ex(n,C2l,C2k)≥(1+o(1))1llnl(l>k≥3).\mathrm{ex}(n,C_{2l},C_{2k})\ge(1+o(1))\frac{1}{l^l}n^l\qquad(l>k\ge3).ex(n,C2l​,C2k​)≥(1+o(1))ll1​nl(l>k≥3).

The goal is the conjunction of the three bounds, each with its own parameter range. Note that the upper bound has the power (k−1)l(k-1)^l(k−1)l, while the second lower bound has the falling factorial (k−1)l(k-1)_l(k−1)l​.

Milestones

The lower bounds:

  • Kk−1,n−k+1K_{k-1,n-k+1}Kk−1,n−k+1​ is C2kC_{2k}C2k​-free and has exactly 12l(k−1l)(n−k+1l)l! l!\frac1{2l}\binom{k-1}{l}\binom{n-k+1}{l}l!\,l!2l1​(lk−1​)(ln−k+1​)l!l! copies of C2lC_{2l}C2l​.
  • The blow-up of C2lC_{2l}C2l​ is C2kC_{2k}C2k​-free for 3≤k<l3\le k<l3≤k<l, and its number of C2lC_{2l}C2l​'s is ∏i∣Si∣\prod_i|S_i|∏i​∣Si​∣.

The upper bound:

  • The identity 2 N(C4,G)=∑a≠b(f(a,b)2)2\,\mathcal N(C_4,G)=\sum_{a\neq b}\binom{f(a,b)}{2}2N(C4​,G)=∑a=b​(2f(a,b)​).
  • Inequality (1): 12∑a≠b(f(a,b)2)≤(1+o(1))(k−1)(k−2)4n2\tfrac12\sum_{a\ne b}\binom{f(a,b)}2\le(1+o(1))\frac{(k-1)(k-2)}4n^221​∑a=b​(2f(a,b)​)≤(1+o(1))4(k−1)(k−2)​n2 for C2kC_{2k}C2k​-free GGG, which is the upper bound of Theorem 11.
  • Theorem 2: the Erdős–Gallai bound, in its correct form.
  • Claim 1: ∑b≠af(a,b)≤(2k−2)n\sum_{b\neq a}f(a,b)\le(2k-2)n∑b=a​f(a,b)≤(2k−2)n.
  • Inequality (2): ∑a≠bf(a,b)≤(k−1)n2\sum_{a\neq b}f(a,b)\le(k-1)n^2∑a=b​f(a,b)≤(k−1)n2.
  • Inequality (3): N(C2l,G)≤14l∑∏jf(vj,vj+1)\mathcal N(C_{2l},G)\le\frac1{4l}\sum\prod_jf(v_j,v_{j+1})N(C2l​,G)≤4l1​∑∏j​f(vj​,vj+1​), together with its AM–GM refinement.
  • The final bound N(C2l,G)≤12l∑u≠vf2(u,v)(2k−2)l−2nl−2\mathcal N(C_{2l},G)\le\frac1{2l}\sum_{u\neq v}f^2(u,v)(2k-2)^{l-2}n^{l-2}N(C2l​,G)≤2l1​∑u=v​f2(u,v)(2k−2)l−2nl−2.

Significance

Theorem 10, combined with Theorem 11 on ex(n,C4,C2k)\mathrm{ex}(n,C_4,C_{2k})ex(n,C4​,C2k​), gives ex(n,C2l,C2k)=Θ(nl)\mathrm{ex}(n,C_{2l},C_{2k})=\Theta(n^l)ex(n,C2l​,C2k​)=Θ(nl) for all k,l≥2k,l\ge2k,l≥2. The one exception is the lower bound at k=2k=2k=2, which comes from the Erdős–Rényi polarity graph. This answers the Solymosi–Wong question in the negative: forbidding one even cycle allows many more copies of a shorter or longer even cycle than forbidding all short cycles does. The codegree method of the upper bound, which bounds N(C2l,G)\mathcal N(C_{2l},G)N(C2l​,G) by sums of f2f^2f2 and controls those sums through C4C_4C4​-counts and paths of length two, is reused in the paper's later results on graphs of given girth (Theorem 14).

On the formal side, none of these results is formalized in Lean. Mathlib has copyCount, cycleGraph and edge-extremal numbers, but no generalized Turán numbers, no Erdős–Gallai circumference theorem and no Bondy–Simonovits theorem. The mission produces:

  • machine-checked exact counts of cycles in complete bipartite graphs and blow-ups;
  • a formal Erdős–Gallai circumference bound;
  • the codegree inequalities that turn local degree information into cycle counts.

The paper's printed version of the Erdős–Gallai bound, (k−1)n/2(k-1)n/2(k−1)n/2, is incorrect. The mission states the bound k(n−1)/2k(n-1)/2k(n−1)/2 that Erdős and Gallai proved, which is all the argument needs.

Difficulty

The two lower bounds are explicit counts. The difficulty there is combinatorial bookkeeping in Lean. One task is matching unlabelled copies (copyCount) with the (l!)2/(2l)(l!)^2/(2l)(l!)2/(2l) Hamiltonian cycles of Kl,lK_{l,l}Kl,l​. The other is showing that the blow-up contains no cycle other than 4-cycles and full 2l2l2l-cycles, so that its 2l2l2l-cycles are exactly one choice per class.

The upper bound rests on two classical theorems that are absent from Mathlib:

  • the Erdős–Gallai circumference theorem (behind Claim 1);
  • Theorem 11's upper bound on the number of C4C_4C4​'s in a C2kC_{2k}C2k​-free graph (behind (1)), which in turn uses Bondy–Simonovits.

Without (1) one has only (f2)≤f2\binom{f}{2}\le f^2(2f​)≤f2 and no control of ∑f2\sum f^2∑f2. Without Claim 1 the chained sums in (3) are not bounded by (2k−2)n(2k-2)n(2k−2)n per step. The naive estimate, which bounds each f(vj,vj+1)f(v_j,v_{j+1})f(vj​,vj+1​) by the maximum codegree, does not work: in a C2kC_{2k}C2k​-free graph a single codegree can be of order nnn, and that only gives O(nl+1)O(n^{l+1})O(nl+1).

Formalization scope

Graphs are SimpleGraph (Fin n). Cycles are Mathlib's cycleGraph. N(H,G)\mathcal N(H,G)N(H,G) is G.copyCount H, the number of unlabelled copies (not labelledCopyCount, which is ∣Aut H∣|\mathrm{Aut}\,H|∣AutH∣ times larger). ex(n,H,CA)\mathrm{ex}(n,H,\mathcal C_A)ex(n,H,CA​) is exCyc n H A, an sSup over CA\mathcal C_ACA​-free graphs on Fin n. The underlying set is finite and contains 000, from the empty graph, so the value is an attained maximum and not a junk sSup.

Each (1+o(1))(1+o(1))(1+o(1)) is a function ε:N→R\varepsilon:\mathbb N\to\mathbb Rε:N→R with ε(n)→0\varepsilon(n)\to0ε(n)→0, depending only on kkk and lll and chosen before nnn, with the bound holding for all large nnn. Sums over a≠ba\neq ba=b are over unordered pairs (Sym2 off the diagonal). With ordered pairs every constant would change by a factor of two, and (2) would be false. Tuples of distinct vertices are embeddings Fin l ↪ V, with indices mod lll. (k−1)l(k-1)_l(k−1)l​ is Nat.descFactorial (k - 1) l.

Hypotheses added relative to the page:

  • k≥2k\ge2k≥2 in Theorem 2, which fails for forests when k≤1k\le1k≤1;
  • n≥k−1n\ge k-1n≥k−1 for Kk−1,n−k+1K_{k-1,n-k+1}Kk−1,n−k+1​;
  • n≥2ln\ge 2ln≥2l for the blow-up count.

Theorem 2 states the corrected bound 2∣E∣≤k(n−1)2|E|\le k(n-1)2∣E∣≤k(n−1).

The following do not count as the goal: a one-sided goal with only the upper or only the lower bound; a version with labelled copies; a constant or ε\varepsilonε that depends on nnn or on the graph; and a single unified parameter range.

A complete development needs:

  • exact cycle counts in Ka,bK_{a,b}Ka,b​;
  • the cycle structure of a subdivided multi-cycle;
  • the Erdős–Gallai circumference theorem;
  • Theorem 11's upper bound, and with it Bondy–Simonovits;
  • the double-counting identities for codegrees.

The Erdős–Gallai theorem, Bondy–Simonovits and the codegree identities are reusable well beyond this mission, and contributions of any of them are welcome.

Selected references

  • D. Gerbner, E. Győri, A. Methuku, M. Vizer, Generalized Turán problems for even cycles, J. Combin. Theory Ser. B 145 (2020); preprint arXiv:1712.07079v3. https://arxiv.org/abs/1712.07079 , https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jctb.2020.05.005
  • P. Erdős, T. Gallai, On maximal paths and circuits of graphs, Acta Math. Acad. Sci. Hungar. 10 (1959), 337–356. https://doi.org/10.1007/BF02024498
  • J. A. Bondy, M. Simonovits, Cycles of even length in graphs, J. Combin. Theory Ser. B 16 (1974), 97–105. https://doi.org/10.1016/0095-8956(74)90052-5
  • N. Alon, C. Shikhelman, Many T copies in H-free graphs, J. Combin. Theory Ser. B 121 (2016), 146–172. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jctb.2016.03.004
  • L. Gishboliner, A. Shapira, A generalized Turán problem and its applications, Int. Math. Res. Not. IMRN (2020). https://arxiv.org/abs/1712.00831
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CombinatoricsTheoretical Computer Science·Captain: mikedeng1

Fully-Functional Suffix Trees and Optimal Text Searching in BWT-runs Bounded Space 2: A Text Whose BWT Has r Runs Has at Most 2rs Distinct Substrings of Length sResearch Paper

Motivation

A text index answers questions about occurrences of a pattern without scanning the whole text. One reason to compress such an index is that many stored texts are repetitive: multiple versions of a document or genome often share long passages. The Burrows–Wheeler transform (BWT) rearranges a text's symbols in a way that groups related contexts. A small number of equal-symbol runs in the BWT is therefore a useful measure of repetition. Gagie, Navarro, and Prezza use the number of runs to state space bounds for text searching and suffix-tree operations in Fully-Functional Suffix Trees and Optimal Text Searching in BWT-runs Bounded Space.

This mission isolates one exact counting result underneath those data-structure bounds. A length-sss substring is called an sss-mer. The number of different sss-mers measures how many local patterns the text contains; repeated occurrences of the same string count once. Lemma 9 of the 2019 preprint bounds this number directly in terms of BWT runs. The result makes a relation between two notions of text repetition precise: clustering in the BWT and diversity of fixed-length substrings.

Setting

Let T[1..n]T[1..n]T[1..n] be a text over the ordered alphabet [1..σ][1..\sigma][1..σ]. Its final symbol is a unique terminator \=1,smallerthaneveryothersymbolinthetext.Foreach, smaller than every other symbol in the text. For each ,smallerthaneveryothersymbolinthetext.Foreachi\in[1..n],the∗∗suffix∗∗, the **suffix** ,the∗∗suffix∗∗T[i..n]startsatstarts atstartsatiandendsattheterminator.The∗∗suffixarray∗∗and ends at the terminator. The **suffix array**andendsattheterminator.The∗∗suffixarray∗∗SA[1..n]isthepermutationofis the permutation ofisthepermutationof[1..n]thatliststhesesuffixesinincreasinglexicographicorder.Thusthat lists these suffixes in increasing lexicographic order. Thusthatliststhesesuffixesinincreasinglexicographicorder.ThusSA[p]isthestartingpositionoftheis the starting position of theisthestartingpositionofthep$th suffix. This is the setup of §2 of the source preprint, pp. 7–9.

The BWT symbol at position ppp is the character just before the suffix at SA[p]SA[p]SA[p]. When that suffix is the whole text and has no preceding character, its predecessor is read cyclically as T[n]=\$$. The BWT partitions into maximal runs of equal symbols; rdenotestheirnumber.ThefirstandlastBWTpositionsineachruncorrespondto∗∗sampledtextpositions∗∗.Atextsubstringdenotes their number. The first and last BWT positions in each run correspond to **sampled text positions**. A text substringdenotestheirnumber.ThefirstandlastBWTpositionsineachruncorrespondto∗∗sampledtextpositions∗∗.AtextsubstringT[i..j]$ is primary when its interval contains a sampled text position, as in Definition 5, p. 16.

For 1≤s≤n1\le s\le n1≤s≤n, let Ss(T)\mathcal S_s(T)Ss​(T) be the set of length-sss strings occurring in TTT:

Ss(T)={T[a..a+s−1]:1≤a≤n−s+1}.\mathcal S_s(T)=\{T[a..a+s-1]:1\le a\le n-s+1\}.Ss​(T)={T[a..a+s−1]:1≤a≤n−s+1}.

The braces matter: two windows with identical contents give one element. The final allowed window includes the terminator. The text is not padded in this definition.

Formalization targets

Primary occurrences

Lemma 8, p. 17 states that every nonempty substring of TTT has an occurrence with the same contents that is primary. With Sampled⁡(T)\operatorname{Sampled}(T)Sampled(T) denoting sampled text positions, the assertion is

∀ 1≤i≤j≤n,∃ 1≤i′≤j′≤n:T[i′..j′]=T[i..j]and[i′..j′]∩Sampled⁡(T)≠∅.\forall\,1\le i\le j\le n,\quad\exists\,1\le i'\le j'\le n: T[i'..j']=T[i..j]\quad\text{and}\quad [i'..j']\cap\operatorname{Sampled}(T)\ne\varnothing.∀1≤i≤j≤n,∃1≤i′≤j′≤n:T[i′..j′]=T[i..j]and[i′..j′]∩Sampled(T)=∅.

The mission's milestones also capture the suffix-array interval of a pattern, the sampled occurrence of each individual character, and the bound ∣Sampled⁡(T)∣≤2r|\operatorname{Sampled}(T)|\le 2r∣Sampled(T)∣≤2r stated in the proof of Lemma 9. These give precise intermediate claims in the paper's route to the count.

Distinct sss-mers

The main goal is Lemma 9, p. 17:

∣Ss(T)∣≤2rsfor every 1≤s≤n.\boxed{\quad |\mathcal S_s(T)|\le 2rs\quad\text{for every }1\le s\le n.\quad}∣Ss​(T)∣≤2rsfor every 1≤s≤n.​

Here rrr is calculated from the BWT of the text's suffix array. Both inequalities on sss are part of the source statement. The bound concerns distinct strings of a fixed length, not the number n−s+1n-s+1n−s+1 of substring windows.

Significance

The theorem gives an explicit upper bound on the number of different length-sss strings that can appear when the BWT has few runs. In §4.2 the authors use it to bound the text area holding all distinct length-sss substrings; that area supports the alphabet-mapping component of their compressed index. This exact combinatorial assertion remains meaningful independently of a machine model or a choice of data structure. Its role in the broader construction is described around Lemmas 8 and 9, pp. 16–17.

The result is proved in the paper. The work here is to give its objects and claims machine-checkable statements and then close their proofs in Lean. The mission has not already supplied a machine-checked proof of these claims. A completed development would also provide reusable definitions of suffix arrays, BWT run boundaries, and finite sets of distinct substrings for later formalizations of compressed text indexes.

Difficulty

The count is immediate only after every substring can be represented by an occurrence containing a sampled position. A direct count of all starting positions cannot yield the claimed bound: nnn may be large even when rrr is small. The difficult step is therefore the primary-occurrence claim of Lemma 8. Its statement has to preserve both parts of “occurrence”: the replacement interval must have the same length and symbols, and it must stay inside the text. The suffix-array range used there depends on lexicographic order, while sampled positions are defined through changes between adjacent BWT symbols. Connecting those two views of the text is the central obstacle.

Formalization scope

The Lean representation uses N\mathbb NN for symbols and 1-based positions. The functions TTT and SASASA are read only on [1..n][1..n][1..n]. An IsText hypothesis enforces n≥1n\ge1n≥1, membership in [1..σ][1..\sigma][1..σ], and the unique final terminator \=1.An‘IsSuffixArray‘hypothesissaysthat. An `IsSuffixArray` hypothesis says that .An‘IsSuffixArray‘hypothesissaysthatSAmapsmapsmaps[1..n]injectivelyintoitselfandordersitssuffixesstrictly;itdoesnotpresupposeanyclaimaboutBWTsamples.Becausethatfinitedomainhasinjectively into itself and orders its suffixes strictly; it does not presuppose any claim about BWT samples. Because that finite domain hasinjectivelyintoitselfandordersitssuffixesstrictly;itdoesnotpresupposeanyclaimaboutBWTsamples.Becausethatfinitedomainhasnelements,theseconditionsdescribeapermutation.TheBWTiscomputedfromelements, these conditions describe a permutation. The BWT is computed fromelements,theseconditionsdescribeapermutation.TheBWTiscomputedfromTandandandSA,withthepredecessorofposition1readasposition, with the predecessor of position 1 read as position ,withthepredecessorofposition1readaspositionn$. Runs are counted by their starting cells; samples are the corresponding text positions from both ends of every run. The model follows the first sentence of Definition 1, including the last character of the final run. The source's following explanatory clause omits that endpoint.

The set of sss-mers is a finite set of lists formed from every valid window. It is not restricted to primary windows, which would make the goal a different and easier statement. A primary substring carries valid endpoints and a sampled position inside them. The formal statements do not assume that the desired primary occurrence exists; that is precisely the content of Lemma 8. The paper's O(⋅)O(\cdot)O(⋅) space and time results are outside this mission: the goal is their explicit substring-counting content.

A complete proof needs elementary facts about list prefixes and lexicographic order, finite interval images, the BWT's run partition, and cardinalities of substring windows near samples. The definitions and interval lemmas can be reused by other missions on suffix arrays and compressed strings. Contributions proving any of the listed milestones or strengthening the surrounding reusable string infrastructure are within scope.

Selected references

  • Travis Gagie, Gonzalo Navarro, and Nicola Prezza, Fully-Functional Suffix Trees and Optimal Text Searching in BWT-runs Bounded Space, arXiv:1809.02792v2, 2019. Preprint.
  • Travis Gagie, Gonzalo Navarro, and Nicola Prezza, Fully-Functional Suffix Trees and Optimal Text Searching in BWT-runs Bounded Space, Journal of the ACM 67(1), 2020. DOI:10.1145/3375890. The mission follows the preprint's numbering and wording.
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CombinatoricsGraph Theory·Captain: mikedeng1

Cycle Lengths in Expanding Graphs 3: For 0 < β < 1/20, Every β-Graph on n Vertices Has a Cycle of Every Length from O(1/log(1/β))·log n to (1−O(β))·nResearch Paper

Motivation

Which cycle lengths a graph must contain is a classical question of extremal graph theory. A graph on nnn vertices is pancyclic if it has cycles of every length from 333 to nnn; Bondy's meta-conjecture (Bondy 1971) and a long line of results ask which density or expansion conditions force pancyclicity or, more modestly, force the set of cycle lengths to contain a long interval. For sparse graphs, expansion is the natural hypothesis: random graphs and explicit expanders are sparse, yet very well connected.

Friedman and Krivelevich, Cycle lengths in expanding graphs (arXiv:1912.11011v2; Combinatorica 41, 2021), study two expansion conditions. For the usual vertex expanders they show that cycle lengths are numerous and well spread, but they also note that an expander need not contain any interval of cycle lengths of non-trivial length. Section 4 of the paper therefore introduces a different, two-set expansion condition, the β-graph, and shows that it does force a complete interval of cycle lengths of length linear in nnn. This mission formalizes that result, Theorem 3.

Timeline.

  • Friedman and Pippenger (1987) proved that graphs with strong vertex expansion contain every bounded-degree tree of a given size.
  • Haxell (2001) generalized that embedding theorem to expansion conditions on sets up to twice a threshold; the form used here is the one stated by Balogh, Csaba, Pei and Samotij (2010).
  • Hefetz, Krivelevich and Szabó (2009) proved that for large nnn and β=O(log⁡log⁡n/log⁡n)\beta = O(\log\log n/\log n)β=O(loglogn/logn), every β-graph on nnn vertices has a cycle of every length ℓ\ellℓ with 8βnlog⁡nlog⁡log⁡n≤ℓ≤(1−3β)n\frac{8\beta n\log n}{\log\log n}\le\ell\le(1-3\beta)nloglogn8βnlogn​≤ℓ≤(1−3β)n, and conjectured that the lower end can be improved to clog⁡n/log⁡(1/β)c\log n/\log(1/\beta)clogn/log(1/β).
  • Friedman and Krivelevich (2019 preprint, 2021 journal) proved this for every fixed β<1/20\beta<1/20β<1/20, with the upper end (1−O(β))n(1-O(\beta))n(1−O(β))n (Theorem 3).

Setting

All graphs are finite and simple. For a graph G=(V,E)G=(V,E)G=(V,E) and a vertex set U⊆VU\subseteq VU⊆V, the external neighborhood of UUU is

NG(U)={v∈V∖U:v has a neighbor in U}.N_G(U)=\{v\in V\setminus U : v\text{ has a neighbor in }U\}.NG​(U)={v∈V∖U:v has a neighbor in U}.

Let GGG have nnn vertices and let β>0\beta>0β>0. GGG is a β-graph if every two disjoint vertex sets A,B⊆VA,B\subseteq VA,B⊆V with ∣A∣,∣B∣≥βn|A|,|B|\ge\beta n∣A∣,∣B∣≥βn are joined by an edge. For n≥1n\ge1n≥1, the complete graph is a β-graph for every β>0\beta>0β>0; when βn≤1\beta n\le 1βn≤1, only the complete graph is. No graph on zero vertices is a β-graph.

The set of cycle lengths of GGG is L(G)={ℓ:G contains a cycle of length ℓ}L(G)=\{\ell : G\text{ contains a cycle of length }\ell\}L(G)={ℓ:G contains a cycle of length ℓ}. A cycle of length ℓ\ellℓ has ℓ≥3\ell\ge3ℓ≥3 distinct vertices.

The proof works with the tree Tk,t,pT_{k,t,p}Tk,t,p​: two complete kkk-ary trees of depth ttt (every internal vertex has kkk children, every leaf is at distance ttt from the root) whose roots are joined by a path of length ppp. A graph contains a copy of a tree TTT if there is an injective map from the vertices of TTT to those of GGG sending edges to edges.

Logarithms are to base 222.

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem 3 (p. 3, restated p. 15)

For every 0<β<1200<\beta<\frac{1}{20}0<β<201​ there exist positive constants b1=O(1log⁡(1/β))b_1=O\bigl(\frac{1}{\log(1/\beta)}\bigr)b1​=O(log(1/β)1​) and b2=O(β)b_2=O(\beta)b2​=O(β) such that every β-graph GGG on nnn vertices satisfies

{ℓ∈Z:b1log⁡n≤ℓ≤(1−b2)n}⊆L(G).\{\ell\in\mathbb Z : b_1\log n\le\ell\le(1-b_2)n\}\subseteq L(G).{ℓ∈Z:b1​logn≤ℓ≤(1−b2​)n}⊆L(G).

The goal fixes the shape of the bound, not its constants: the proof's choice is b1=25/log⁡(1/β)b_1=25/\log(1/\beta)b1​=25/log(1/β), and b2b_2b2​ is a multiple of β\betaβ. As β→0\beta\to0β→0 the interval widens towards [O(log⁡n/log⁡(1/β)), (1−O(β))n][O(\log n/\log(1/\beta)),\,(1-O(\beta))n][O(logn/log(1/β)),(1−O(β))n]. The upper end (1−O(β))n(1-O(\beta))n(1−O(β))n is tight up to the constant: the disjoint union of Kn+1−βnK_{n+1-\beta n}Kn+1−βn​ with βn−1\beta n-1βn−1 isolated vertices is a β-graph.

Milestones

In the order of the proof (pp. 15–18):

  1. Lemma 4.1 (p. 15): every β-graph contains an induced subgraph HHH on at least (1−β)n(1-\beta)n(1−β)n vertices with ∣NH(U)∣≥1−3β2β∣U∣|N_H(U)|\ge\frac{1-3\beta}{2\beta}|U|∣NH​(U)∣≥2β1−3β​∣U∣ for all ∣U∣≤βn|U|\le\beta n∣U∣≤βn.
  2. Large sets in HHH (p. 16): ∣NH(U)∣>(1−4β)n|N_H(U)|>(1-4\beta)n∣NH​(U)∣>(1−4β)n whenever βn≤∣U∣≤2βn\beta n\le|U|\le2\beta nβn≤∣U∣≤2βn.
  3. Theorem 4.1 (Haxell, p. 16): expansion d∣U∣+1d|U|+1d∣U∣+1 on sets of size at most mmm and d∣U∣+Md|U|+Md∣U∣+M on sets of size in (m,2m](m,2m](m,2m] forces every tree with MMM vertices and maximum degree at most ddd.
  4. Cycle from a tree (p. 16): a copy of Tk,t,ℓ−2t−1T_{k,t,\ell-2t-1}Tk,t,ℓ−2t−1​ with k≥2k\ge2k≥2 and kt≥βnk^t\ge\beta nkt≥βn in a β-graph yields a cycle of length ℓ\ellℓ.
  5. Condition 1 of Theorem 4.1 for d=⌊1/(4β)⌋+1d=\lfloor1/(4\beta)\rfloor+1d=⌊1/(4β)⌋+1 (p. 17) and for d=3d=3d=3 (p. 18).
  6. The arithmetic of p. 17: 2⌈log⁡(βn)⌉+1<(12−10β)n2\lceil\log(\beta n)\rceil+1<(\frac12-10\beta)n2⌈log(βn)⌉+1<(21​−10β)n and 25log⁡(1/β)log⁡n≥2⌈log⁡k(βn)⌉+1\frac{25}{\log(1/\beta)}\log n\ge2\lceil\log_k(\beta n)\rceil+1log(1/β)25​logn≥2⌈logk​(βn)⌉+1 for large nnn.

Significance

The result. Theorem 3 proves the conjecture of Hefetz, Krivelevich and Szabó in a stronger form: β may be any constant below 1/201/201/20 instead of tending to zero with nnn, and the lower end O(log⁡n/log⁡(1/β))O(\log n/\log(1/\beta))O(logn/log(1/β)) is of optimal order. Since spectral expanders satisfy the β-graph condition (by the expander mixing lemma an (n,d,λ)(n,d,\lambda)(n,d,λ)-graph with d/∣λ∣≥1/β2d/|\lambda|\ge1/\beta^2d/∣λ∣≥1/β2 is a β-graph), the theorem gives long intervals of cycle lengths in pseudo-random graphs. The method, embedding two large trees joined by a path and closing the cycle across their leaf sets, is a template for producing cycles of prescribed length in expanding graphs.

Formalizing it. The result is proved on paper. As far as the platform's records show, none of it is formalized: Mathlib has trees, walks, cycles and graph copies, but no tree-embedding theorem for expanders and no result on cycle lengths of this kind. The main piece of new infrastructure is Haxell's theorem (milestone 3), which the paper cites without proof. Its proof (in Haxell's paper and in Balogh–Csaba–Pei–Samotij) is a few pages of inductive embedding with a Hall-type invariant. A formal proof of Theorem 4.1 would be reusable for any embedding argument for bounded-degree trees, for example in Ramsey and size-Ramsey problems for trees and paths. The printed proof also has a rounding gap (below), so the formal proof will have to settle a slightly different argument from the printed one.

Difficulty

The β-graph condition only speaks about pairs of large sets, while cycles are built edge by edge, so short and long cycles both need a mechanism. The obvious approach, finding a long path and then shortcutting it, does not control which lengths occur. The proof instead needs a robust embedding theorem for trees with about 2βn2\beta n2βn leaves inside a subgraph with good expansion of small sets, and that is Theorem 4.1, a deep result.

A second difficulty is quantitative. In the printed verification of claims (1) and (2) on p. 17, a complete kkk-ary tree of depth t=⌈log⁡k(βn)⌉t=\lceil\log_k(\beta n)\rceilt=⌈logk​(βn)⌉ is counted as having about kβn/(k−1)k\beta n/(k-1)kβn/(k−1) vertices, as if kt=βnk^t=\beta nkt=βn exactly. In fact ktk^tkt can be almost kβnk\beta nkβn, and for claim (2) the honest count only covers ℓ≤(1−18β)n\ell\le(1-18\beta)nℓ≤(1−18β)n rather than (1−14β)n(1-14\beta)n(1−14β)n. For k=⌊1/(4β)⌋k=\lfloor1/(4\beta)\rfloork=⌊1/(4β)⌋ the gap is larger. Theorem 3 is unaffected, because its constants are only O(⋅)O(\cdot)O(⋅) and pruning the trees to ⌈βn⌉\lceil\beta n\rceil⌈βn⌉ leaves repairs the count. But a solver following the printed proof will need to repair that step. The two claims are therefore not posed as milestones.

Formalization scope

Graphs on nnn vertices are SimpleGraph (Fin n). Vertex sets are Set with Set.ncard, and every inequality involving β, a logarithm or nnn is stated in ℝ after casting. Logarithms are Real.logb 2. Cycles are Mathlib's Walk.IsCycle, so every cycle length is at least 333. "Contains a copy" is SimpleGraph.IsContained (injective and edge-preserving, not induced). The subgraph G′=HG'=HG′=H of Lemma 4.1 is the induced subgraph on a set SSS, with NH(U)=NG(U)∩SN_H(U)=N_G(U)\cap SNH​(U)=NG​(U)∩S. The tree Tk,t,pT_{k,t,p}Tk,t,p​ is defined on words of length at most ttt over {0,…,k−1}\{0,\dots,k-1\}{0,…,k−1} (two tagged copies) plus p−1p-1p−1 path vertices.

Conventions of the goal:

  • O(⋅)O(\cdot)O(⋅): one absolute constant K>0K>0K>0 is quantified before β, with b1≤K/log⁡2(1/β)b_1\le K/\log_2(1/\beta)b1​≤K/log2​(1/β) and b2≤Kβb_2\le K\betab2​≤Kβ. A constant chosen after β would make the O(⋅)O(\cdot)O(⋅) claims empty, so that encoding is ruled out. Since β<1/20\beta<1/20β<1/20, log⁡2(1/β)>4\log_2(1/\beta)>4log2​(1/β)>4 and the division is by a positive number.
  • Threshold: the statement holds for n≥n0n\ge n_0n≥n0​ with n0n_0n0​ depending on β only. This is a disclosed, necessary addition: without it the interval contains ℓ=2\ell=2ℓ=2 at n=3n=3n=3 for small β, and no graph has a cycle of length 222.
  • Every integer in the interval is a cycle length, not some integer.
  • A cycle is a genuine cycle, not a closed walk.

Infrastructure needed: Haxell's theorem (reusable well beyond this mission), counting leaves and vertices of complete kkk-ary trees, and turning an embedded Tk,t,pT_{k,t,p}Tk,t,p​ plus one edge into a Walk.IsCycle. Contributions to any milestone are welcome, in particular a proof of Theorem 4.1 and a repaired version of claims (1) and (2) with pruned trees.

Selected references

  • L. Friedman and M. Krivelevich, Cycle lengths in expanding graphs, Combinatorica 41 (2021). arXiv:1912.11011v2. https://arxiv.org/abs/1912.11011v2, https://doi.org/10.1007/s00493-020-4434-0
  • P. E. Haxell, Tree embeddings, Journal of Graph Theory 36 (2001), 121–130. https://doi.org/10.1002/1097-0118(200103)36:3<121::AID-JGT1000>3.0.CO;2-U
  • J. Friedman and N. Pippenger, Expanding graphs contain all small trees, Combinatorica 7 (1987), 71–76. https://doi.org/10.1007/BF02579202
  • J. Balogh, B. Csaba, M. Pei and W. Samotij, Large bounded degree trees in expanding graphs, Electronic Journal of Combinatorics 17 (2010), R6. https://doi.org/10.37236/279
  • J. A. Bondy, Pancyclic graphs I, Journal of Combinatorial Theory, Ser. B 11 (1971), 80–84. https://doi.org/10.1016/0095-8956(71)90016-5
  • D. Hefetz, M. Krivelevich and T. Szabó, Hamilton cycles in highly connected and expanding graphs, Combinatorica 29 (2009), 547–568. https://doi.org/10.1007/s00493-009-2362-1
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Bandit AlgorithmsMachine LearningReinforcement Learning·Captain: mikedeng1

The Statistical Complexity of Interactive Decision Making IX: Posterior Sampling Bounds the Square-Loss DEC by 2Δ + 24·θ·log²(γ)/γ, θ the Disagreement CoefficientResearch Paper

Motivation

In a structured bandit problem a learner repeatedly chooses a decision π\piπ from a set Π\PiΠ and observes a noisy reward whose mean fM(π)f^M(\pi)fM(π) is an unknown function from a known class FM\mathcal{F}_{\mathcal{M}}FM​. Classical analyses of such problems measure the complexity of FM\mathcal{F}_{\mathcal{M}}FM​ by the eluder dimension (Russo and Van Roy, 2013; 2014) or the star number, and prove regret bounds for posterior sampling (Thompson sampling) or optimistic algorithms in terms of these quantities.

Foster, Kakade, Qian and Rakhlin (2021) introduced the Decision-Estimation Coefficient (DEC), a single complexity measure that yields both upper and lower bounds on the minimax regret of interactive decision making. Section 6.2 of that paper connects the DEC to the older parameters: it shows that the square-loss DEC is bounded by the disagreement coefficient of the class, a quantity introduced in Foster, Rakhlin, Simchi-Levi and Xu (2020) and itself bounded by the star number and the eluder dimension. The bound is certified by posterior sampling, so it also explains why posterior sampling works for these classes.

Setting

Let Π\PiΠ be a set of decisions. A model MMM assigns to each decision a reward distribution; here a model enters only through its mean-reward function fM:Π→[0,1]f^M : \Pi \to [0, 1]fM:Π→[0,1] and an optimal decision πM∈arg⁡max⁡πfM(π)\pi_M \in \arg\max_\pi f^M(\pi)πM​∈argmaxπ​fM(π). The class FM={fM:M∈M}\mathcal{F}_{\mathcal{M}} = \{f^M : M \in \mathcal{M}\}FM​={fM:M∈M} collects the mean-reward functions of a model class M\mathcal{M}M. A reference model M‾\overline{M}M, not necessarily in M\mathcal{M}M, has mean reward fM‾:Π→[0,1]f^{\overline{M}} : \Pi \to [0, 1]fM:Π→[0,1].

A prior μ\muμ is a finitely supported distribution μ=∑iwiδMi\mu = \sum_i w_i \delta_{M_i}μ=∑i​wi​δMi​​ over M\mathcal{M}M. The posterior sampling strategy plays ρμ(π):=μ({πM=π})\rho_\mu(\pi) := \mu(\{\pi_M = \pi\})ρμ​(π):=μ({πM​=π}), the law of πM\pi_MπM​ when M∼μM \sim \muM∼μ.

The prior-dependent square-loss DEC (display (70) of the paper) is

dec‾γSq(μ,M‾)=inf⁡p∈Δ(Π)EM∼μ Eπ∼p[fM(πM)−fM(π)−γ(fM(π)−fM‾(π))2],\underline{\mathrm{dec}}^{\mathrm{Sq}}_\gamma(\mu, \overline{M}) = \inf_{p \in \Delta(\Pi)} \mathbb{E}_{M\sim\mu}\, \mathbb{E}_{\pi\sim p}\Bigl[ f^M(\pi_M) - f^M(\pi) - \gamma \bigl(f^M(\pi) - f^{\overline{M}}(\pi)\bigr)^2 \Bigr],dec​γSq​(μ,M)=p∈Δ(Π)inf​EM∼μ​Eπ∼p​[fM(πM​)−fM(π)−γ(fM(π)−fM(π))2],

the best trade-off between regret and squared estimation error that a decision distribution ppp can achieve against a model drawn from the prior.

For a class F\mathcal{F}F of functions Π→R\Pi \to \mathbb{R}Π→R and a distribution ρ\rhoρ on Π\PiΠ, the disagreement coefficient (Definition 6.3) is

θ(F,Δ0,ε0;ρ)=sup⁡Δ≥Δ0, ε≥ε0{Δ2ε2 Pπ∼ρ(∃f∈F:∣f(π)∣>Δ, Eπ′∼ρ[f2(π′)]≤ε2)}∨1,\theta(\mathcal{F}, \Delta_0, \varepsilon_0; \rho) = \sup_{\Delta \ge \Delta_0,\ \varepsilon \ge \varepsilon_0} \left\{ \frac{\Delta^2}{\varepsilon^2}\, \mathbb{P}_{\pi\sim\rho}\bigl( \exists f \in \mathcal{F} : |f(\pi)| > \Delta,\ \mathbb{E}_{\pi'\sim\rho}[f^2(\pi')] \le \varepsilon^2 \bigr) \right\} \vee 1,θ(F,Δ0​,ε0​;ρ)=Δ≥Δ0​, ε≥ε0​sup​{ε2Δ2​Pπ∼ρ​(∃f∈F:∣f(π)∣>Δ, Eπ′∼ρ​[f2(π′)]≤ε2)}∨1,

where π′∼ρ\pi' \sim \rhoπ′∼ρ is drawn independently of π\piπ. It measures how much mass ρ\rhoρ puts on decisions where some function of the class is large although it is small in L2(ρ)L_2(\rho)L2​(ρ). The shifted class FM−fM\mathcal{F}_{\mathcal{M}} - f^MFM​−fM consists of the differences f−fMf - f^Mf−fM, f∈FMf \in \mathcal{F}_{\mathcal{M}}f∈FM​.

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem 6.2

For every γ≥e\gamma \ge eγ≥e, posterior sampling certifies

dec‾γSq(μ,M‾)≤inf⁡Δ>0{2Δ+24 sup⁡M∈Mθ(FM−fM,Δ,γ−1;ρμ)log⁡2(γ)γ}.\underline{\mathrm{dec}}^{\mathrm{Sq}}_\gamma(\mu, \overline{M}) \le \inf_{\Delta > 0} \left\{ 2\Delta + 24\, \frac{\sup_{M\in\mathcal{M}} \theta(\mathcal{F}_{\mathcal{M}} - f^M, \Delta, \gamma^{-1}; \rho_\mu) \log^2(\gamma)}{\gamma} \right\}.dec​γSq​(μ,M)≤Δ>0inf​{2Δ+24γsupM∈M​θ(FM​−fM,Δ,γ−1;ρμ​)log2(γ)​}.

In the formal statement, the objective of (70) evaluated at p=ρμp = \rho_\mup=ρμ​ is bounded by 2Δ+24Θlog⁡2(γ)/γ2\Delta + 24\Theta \log^2(\gamma)/\gamma2Δ+24Θlog2(γ)/γ for every Δ>0\Delta > 0Δ>0 and every upper bound Θ\ThetaΘ of the disagreement coefficients of the shifted classes.

Milestones

  1. The disagreement coefficient bounds the probability of disagreement at every pair of scales (proof of Lemma E.2, p. 105).
  2. The unit-scale decoupling bound with free parameters Δ,ε∈(0,1]\Delta, \varepsilon \in (0, 1]Δ,ε∈(0,1], η>0\eta > 0η>0 (proof of Lemma E.2, p. 105).
  3. Lemma E.2, the decoupling lemma: for F⊆(Π→[−R,R])\mathcal{F} \subseteq (\Pi \to [-R, R])F⊆(Π→[−R,R]), {fz}⊆F\{f_z\} \subseteq \mathcal{F}{fz​}⊆F, {πz}⊆Π\{\pi_z\} \subseteq \Pi{πz​}⊆Π indexed by z∼μz \sim \muz∼μ,
Ez∼μ[∣fz(πz)∣]≤inf⁡Δ>0{2Δ+6 θ(F,Δ,γ−1;ρμ)log⁡2(Rγ∨e)γ}+γ Ez,z′∼μ[fz2(πz′)].\mathbb{E}_{z\sim\mu}\bigl[|f_z(\pi_z)|\bigr] \le \inf_{\Delta > 0} \left\{ 2\Delta + 6\, \frac{\theta(\mathcal{F}, \Delta, \gamma^{-1}; \rho_\mu) \log^2(R\gamma \vee e)}{\gamma} \right\} + \gamma\, \mathbb{E}_{z, z'\sim\mu}\bigl[f_z^2(\pi_{z'})\bigr].Ez∼μ​[∣fz​(πz​)∣]≤Δ>0inf​{2Δ+6γθ(F,Δ,γ−1;ρμ​)log2(Rγ∨e)​}+γEz,z′∼μ​[fz2​(πz′​)].
  1. The factor-four comparison of the decoupled squared error against a second prior draw with the squared error against M‾\overline{M}M (proof of Theorem 6.2, p. 106).
  2. Lemma E.2 applied to the shifted class FM−fM~\mathcal{F}_{\mathcal{M}} - f^{\widetilde{M}}FM​−fM at parameter γ/4\gamma/4γ/4, for a fixed M~\widetilde{M}M (proof of Theorem 6.2, p. 106).

Significance

Theorem 6.2 bounds the DEC of any structured bandit class by its disagreement coefficient. With the bounds of the disagreement coefficient by the star number and the eluder dimension (Lemma 6.1 of the paper, from Foster et al. 2020) and the minimax theorem, it yields Theorem 6.1, which recovers the O~(eT)\widetilde{O}(\sqrt{\mathfrak{e} T})O(eT​) regret bound of Russo and Van Roy for posterior sampling as a special case, and gives a O~(s2T)\widetilde{O}(\sqrt{\mathfrak{s}^2 T})O(s2T​) bound in terms of the star number. The decoupling lemma (Lemma E.2) is a general tool: it controls a coupled quantity E[∣fz(πz)∣]\mathbb{E}[|f_z(\pi_z)|]E[∣fz​(πz​)∣] by a decoupled second moment, and applies wherever an algorithm's decision and the function evaluated there are drawn from the same distribution.

The results are proved in the paper. None of them has a machine-checked proof; this mission produces the first formal statement of the disagreement coefficient and of the decoupling lemma, on which formal versions of eluder-dimension and star-number bounds can build.

Difficulty

The obvious argument fails at the decoupling step. The quantity Ez∼μ[∣fz(πz)∣]\mathbb{E}_{z\sim\mu}[|f_z(\pi_z)|]Ez∼μ​[∣fz​(πz​)∣] evaluates each function at its own decision, while the estimation error controls only Ez,z′[fz2(πz′)]\mathbb{E}_{z, z'}[f_z^2(\pi_{z'})]Ez,z′​[fz2​(πz′​)], with independent indices. For a finite set of AAA decisions, Cauchy–Schwarz bridges the two at the price of a factor AAA; for an infinite decision space this gives nothing. The disagreement coefficient replaces the cardinality, but it controls disagreement only at one pair of scales at a time (the size of ∣f(π)∣|f(\pi)|∣f(π)∣ and the L2(ρμ)L_2(\rho_\mu)L2​(ρμ​) norm of fff), while the coupled quantity involves all scales at once; obtaining only a log⁡2(γ)\log^2(\gamma)log2(γ) loss from this is the technical core of Lemma E.2.

Formalization scope

  • Decisions form an arbitrary type Π\PiΠ; no finiteness or measurability is assumed. Priors and decision distributions are finitely supported (the paper's footnote 5 equips the model class with the discrete topology), encoded as finite weighted families, so every expectation is a finite sum and ρμ\rho_\muρμ​ is the family of atoms πMi\pi_{M_i}πMi​​ with weights wiw_iwi​.
  • Models enter only through their mean-reward function and their optimal decision, which is all the square-loss DEC depends on; πM\pi_MπM​ is a datum with the hypothesis fM(π)≤fM(πM)f^M(\pi) \le f^M(\pi_M)fM(π)≤fM(πM​) for all π\piπ.
  • The disagreement coefficient uses the real supremum. All statements assume Δ>0\Delta > 0Δ>0, γ−1>0\gamma^{-1} > 0γ−1>0 and a uniformly bounded class, under which the supremum is finite; the inner expectation of (71) is over an independent copy of the decision.
  • Infima and suprema of the page are stated as universally quantified bounds ("for every Δ>0\Delta > 0Δ>0", "for every upper bound Θ\ThetaΘ"), which are equivalent and immune to Lean's default values.
  • Lemma E.2 assumes R≥1R \ge 1R≥1: the page states it for every RRR, but its proof treats R=1R = 1R=1 and extends to R≥1R \ge 1R≥1 by rescaling; Theorem 6.2 needs only R=1R = 1R=1.
  • log⁡\loglog is the natural logarithm; e=exp⁡(1)e = \exp(1)e=exp(1).

The goal is not trivialized by a junk value: the disagreement coefficient is a genuine supremum under the stated hypotheses (a sorry-free check accompanies the definitions), γ≥e\gamma \ge eγ≥e rules out negative logarithms, the class FM\mathcal{F}_{\mathcal{M}}FM​ is the whole class rather than the prior's support, and the reference model is not assumed to lie in the class.

Contributions welcome: proofs of the milestones in attack order; a general layer-cake lemma for finite sums; a formal disagreement coefficient bound by the star number or the eluder dimension (Lemma 6.1), which would lead to Theorem 6.1.

Selected references

  • D. J. Foster, S. M. Kakade, J. Qian, A. Rakhlin, The Statistical Complexity of Interactive Decision Making, arXiv preprint, 2021 (v3, 2023). https://arxiv.org/abs/2112.13487
  • D. J. Foster, A. Rakhlin, D. Simchi-Levi, Y. Xu, Instance-Dependent Complexity of Contextual Bandits and Reinforcement Learning: A Disagreement-Based Perspective, Conference on Learning Theory (cited in the paper as Foster et al. 2020b). https://arxiv.org/abs/2010.03104
  • D. Russo, B. Van Roy, Eluder Dimension and the Sample Complexity of Optimistic Exploration, Advances in Neural Information Processing Systems 26, pp. 2256–2264, 2013. https://papers.nips.cc/paper_files/paper/2013
  • D. Russo, B. Van Roy, Learning to Optimize via Posterior Sampling, Mathematics of Operations Research 39(4):1221–1243, 2014. https://doi.org/10.1287/moor.2014.0650 (arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/1301.2609)
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