The strong thin tree conjectureResearch Paper
Motivation
A spanning tree keeps a graph connected with as few edges as possible. A spanning tree is thin if, in addition, it uses only a small fraction of the edges of every cut. Thin trees were introduced as a tool for the asymmetric traveling salesman problem (ATSP): Asadpour, Goemans, Mądry, Oveis Gharan and Saberi showed that thin trees, together with cost control, can be augmented cheaply into tours, which gave an -approximation (doi:10.1287/opre.2017.1603). Goddyn's thin tree conjecture asks whether high edge connectivity alone forces an -thin spanning tree, independently of the number of vertices; the strong form asks for thinness in a -edge-connected graph.
Background. Goddyn recorded the conjecture in a 2004 problem list. The Nash–Williams–Tutte theorem (1961) gives edge-disjoint spanning trees in a -edge-connected graph (doi:10.1112/jlms/s1-36.1.445, doi:10.1112/jlms/s1-36.1.221), so each cut is used about times on average, but no single tree need be good for every cut. Oveis Gharan and Saberi proved the bound for planar and bounded-genus graphs (2011, doi:10.1137/1.9781611973082.75). Anari and Oveis Gharan obtained thinness in general (2015, arXiv:1411.4613), using the Marcus–Spielman–Srivastava interlacing-families method (doi:10.4007/annals.2015.182.1.8). Klein and Olver handled any prescribed laminar family of cuts (2023, doi:10.1109/FOCS57990.2023.00011), and Klein, Olver and Yeoh controlled all near-minimum cuts (2026, doi:10.4230/LIPIcs.ICALP.2026.129). Constant-factor ATSP approximations were obtained by other means (Svensson–Tarnawski–Végh 2020, doi:10.1145/3424306; Traub–Vygen 2022, doi:10.1137/20M1339313), but the thin tree question stayed unresolved.
The source of this mission, an OpenAI preprint dated September 23, 2026, claims the strong thin tree conjecture.
Setting
Let be a finite undirected multigraph without loops; parallel edges are counted separately. For a nonempty proper subset , let be the set of edges with exactly one endpoint in . is -edge-connected if for every such . For an edge set , . A spanning tree is -thin if for every nonempty proper .
Formalization targets
Goal: Theorem 1.1 (strong thin trees)
There is a universal constant such that for every , every finite loopless -edge-connected multigraph with at least two vertices has a spanning tree with
Lean: OAI.StrongThinTree.strongThinTree, open on the platform.
Significance
The order is optimal (two vertices joined by parallel edges). The theorem would settle both Goddyn's thin tree conjecture and its strong form, removing the loss of Anari–Oveis Gharan. It shows that connectivity alone controls all cuts at once, and gives a structural route to ATSP integrality-gap bounds through thin trees. An algorithmic version (deterministic polynomial-time construction) is the subject of the companion mission in this family. The result is claimed in an OpenAI preprint that has not been peer reviewed; no machine-checked proof exists.
Difficulty
Averaging over a Nash–Williams–Tutte packing controls each cut on average but not all cuts simultaneously: there are exponentially many cuts and a union bound over them loses a factor depending on . Spectral approaches control all cuts via a matrix inequality, but spectrally thin trees need not exist when some edges have large effective resistance, which is why previous spectral arguments lost factors. One must instead keep a large tree packing on low-resistance edges through a sequence of sparsifications whose relative losses stay bounded.
Formalization scope
MultiGraph n m: verticesFin n, edgesFin mwith endpoint maps and a looplessness proof; parallel edges are distinct edges.cut G T S: the edges ofTwith exactly one endpoint inS.Connected G T: every nonempty properSis crossed byT.SpanningTree G T:Tconnected and every proper deletion disconnects.EdgeConnected G k: every nonempty proper cut has at leastkedges.MainStatement:∃ C > 0, ∀ k ≥ 1, ∀ n ≥ 2, ∀ G k-edge-connected, ∃ T spanning tree, ∀ S nonempty proper, |cut T S| ≤ (C/k)|cut G S|(real arithmetic).
Needed infrastructure: graph Laplacians and effective resistance, the Nash–Williams–Tutte theorem, the Marcus–Spielman–Srivastava mixed-characteristic-polynomial bound, and a Brouwer-type fixed point theorem (the paper proves the finite-dimensional case via Sperner's lemma). Contributions formalizing Theorem 2.3 (Nash–Williams–Tutte), Theorem 3.2, Theorem 4.1, Proposition 6.2 or Theorem A.1 are welcome.
Selected references
- OpenAI, The strong thin tree conjecture, preprint, September 23, 2026. https://github.com/openai/math/blob/adc7f1241b42e322a6451854ab7e4b4c146bf78a/preprints/The-strong-thin-tree-conjecture-September-23-2026/paper.pdf
- L. A. Goddyn, Some open problems I like, problem list, 2004.
- A. Asadpour, M. X. Goemans, A. Mądry, S. Oveis Gharan, A. Saberi, An O(log n/log log n)-approximation algorithm for the asymmetric traveling salesman problem, Oper. Res., 2017. https://doi.org/10.1287/opre.2017.1603
- N. Anari, S. Oveis Gharan, Effective-resistance-reducing flows, spectrally thin trees, and asymmetric TSP, FOCS, 2015. https://arxiv.org/abs/1411.4613
- A. W. Marcus, D. A. Spielman, N. Srivastava, Interlacing families II: mixed characteristic polynomials and the Kadison–Singer problem, Ann. of Math., 2015. https://doi.org/10.4007/annals.2015.182.1.8
- S. Oveis Gharan, A. Saberi, The asymmetric traveling salesman problem on graphs with bounded genus, SODA, 2011. https://doi.org/10.1137/1.9781611973082.75
- N. Klein, N. Olver, Thin trees for laminar families, FOCS, 2023. https://doi.org/10.1109/FOCS57990.2023.00011
- N. Klein, N. Olver, Z. S. Yeoh, Thin trees for near minimum cuts, ICALP, 2026. https://doi.org/10.4230/LIPIcs.ICALP.2026.129
- C. St. J. A. Nash-Williams, Edge-disjoint spanning trees of finite graphs, J. London Math. Soc., 1961. https://doi.org/10.1112/jlms/s1-36.1.445