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OptimizationQuantum Information·Captain: Goku

Quantum algorithms for optimizers 8: End-to-end complexity of the quantum MaxCut SDP solver in the QRAM model (corrected statement)Textbook

Motivation

This mission develops Chapter 8 of Quantum algorithms for optimizers by Giacomo Nannicini. The chapter's selected results describe the mathematical guarantees below.

Setting and conventions

The linked theorem statements and shared definitions specify the register types, oracle access, normalization, and resource conventions. Their source locators and independent readbacks accompany each target.

Chapter goal

This is Proposition 8.34 of Nannicini, the end-to-end cost of the quantum mirror-descent solver for the MaxCut SDP relaxation, stated in an explicit hybrid classical–quantum QRAM cost model.

Let n=2qn=2^qn=2q. For a nonzero real symmetric C∈Rn×nC\in\mathbb R^{n\times n}C∈Rn×n put C^=C/∥C∥F\hat C=C/\|C\|_FC^=C/∥C∥F​. Call a density matrix ρ∈Cn×n\rho\in\mathbb C^{n\times n}ρ∈Cn×n an ϵ\epsilonϵ-solution of (MaxCutSDP) if

∑j=1n∣ρjj−1n∣≤ϵandTr⁡(C^ρ) ≥ Tr⁡(C^σ)−ϵ  for every density matrix σ with diag⁡(σ)=1n1.\sum_{j=1}^n\Big|\rho_{jj}-\frac1n\Big|\le\epsilon\qquad\text{and}\qquad \operatorname{Tr}(\hat C\rho)\ \ge\ \operatorname{Tr}(\hat C\sigma)-\epsilon\ \text{ for every density matrix }\sigma\text{ with }\operatorname{diag}(\sigma)=\tfrac1n\mathbb 1.j=1∑n​​ρjj​−n1​​≤ϵandTr(C^ρ) ≥ Tr(C^σ)−ϵ  for every density matrix σ with diag(σ)=n1​1.

A hybrid algorithm consists of (i) a classical preprocessing program, a straight-line program of real arithmetic operations (+,−,×,÷,⋅,arccos⁡,arg⁡+,-,\times,\div,\sqrt\cdot,\arccos,\arg+,−,×,÷,⋅​,arccos,arg, rational constants), which is the only part that reads the entries of CCC and which writes the input half of a QRAM (UQRAM∣j⟩∣y⟩=∣j⟩∣y⊕Mj⟩U_{\mathrm{QRAM}}|j\rangle|y\rangle=|j\rangle|y\oplus M_j\rangleUQRAM​∣j⟩∣y⟩=∣j⟩∣y⊕Mj​⟩, Def. 5.39); (ii) RRR quantum runs, each applying a circuit of two-qubit gates and QRAM calls to ∣0⋯0⟩|0\cdots0\rangle∣0⋯0⟩ and measuring all qubits, where the circuit of each run and the contents of the work half of the QRAM are chosen classically from the outcomes of the earlier runs; (iii) an output, computed from all outcomes, in the form of a list of pairs (y(i),d(i))∈R2×Rn(y^{(i)},d^{(i)})\in\mathbb R^2\times\mathbb R^n(y(i),d(i))∈R2×Rn, which stands for the matrix

ρˉ=1L∑i=1Lexp⁡(y1(i)C^+y2(i)diag⁡(d(i)))Tr⁡exp⁡(y1(i)C^+y2(i)diag⁡(d(i))).\bar\rho=\frac1{L}\sum_{i=1}^{L}\frac{\exp\big(y^{(i)}_1\hat C+y^{(i)}_2\operatorname{diag}(d^{(i)})\big)}{\operatorname{Tr}\exp\big(y^{(i)}_1\hat C+y^{(i)}_2\operatorname{diag}(d^{(i)})\big)}.ρˉ​=L1​i=1∑L​Trexp(y1(i)​C^+y2(i)​diag(d(i)))exp(y1(i)​C^+y2(i)​diag(d(i)))​.

The theorem: there are absolute constants K>0K>0K>0 and ccc such that for all qqq, all ϵ∈(0,1]\epsilon\in(0,1]ϵ∈(0,1] and all δ∈(0,1)\delta\in(0,1)δ∈(0,1), with Λ=log⁡(2+n)+log⁡(2+1/ϵ)+log⁡(2+1/δ)\Lambda=\log(2+n)+\log(2+1/\epsilon)+\log(2+1/\delta)Λ=log(2+n)+log(2+1/ϵ)+log(2+1/δ), there is a hybrid algorithm, fixed before CCC, such that

  1. the QRAM has size at most Kn2ΛcK n^2\Lambda^cKn2Λc, with words of at most KΛcK\Lambda^cKΛc bits;
  2. the preprocessing uses at most Kn2ΛcK n^2\Lambda^cKn2Λc classical operations;
  3. along every measurement record the total number of QRAM accesses and additional gates is at most K n1.5ϵ5ΛcK\,\dfrac{n^{1.5}}{\epsilon^5}\Lambda^cKϵ5n1.5​Λc;
  4. for every nonzero real symmetric CCC, with probability at least 1−δ1-\delta1−δ the output ρˉ\bar\rhoρˉ​ is an ϵ\epsilonϵ-solution of (MaxCutSDP).

The proposition is the payoff of the chapter's MaxCut analysis: the subgradient estimation of Prop. 8.28, the iteration count of Thm. 8.30 and the Hamiltonian structure of Lem. 8.33 combine into a quantum solver whose quantum cost is sublinear in the n2n^2n2 entries of CCC.

Formalization Note The printed proposition has no cost model, no success probability, and no precise meaning for the tolerance over the binary search on γ\gammaγ; these are fixed as above. The classical bookkeeping between quantum runs (tallying samples, forming the subgradients, updating yyy and DDD) is not counted, matching the proof, which takes the classical cost from Prop. 7.29 alone; that bookkeeping never sees CCC. The output is the source's own representation of the iterate (Rem. 8.27, Lem. 8.33): with an arbitrary decoder, the optimum could be read off C^\hat CC^ for free.

Significance

These are known mathematical results. Their Lean statements have been checked and reviewed against the cited source; formal proofs remain open for contributors.

Supporting targets

  • Proposition 8.7: Entropic mirror descent iterates are the Gibbs states of the accumulated subgradients.
  • Theorem 8.10: Regret bound of the matrix multiplicative weights update.
  • Lemma 8.12: Emptiness of the PIC polytope certifies primal feasibility after rescaling.
  • Theorem 8.15: Algorithm 7 (MMWU for SDP) returns a primal or a dual certificate.
  • Proposition 8.19: The generalized PIC polytope built from θ-accurate traces is sandwiched between P_0 and P_{4Rrθ}.
  • Proposition 8.21: Computing the dual vector with Õ(√m) calls to a trace-estimate oracle (corrected statement).
  • Proposition 8.28: The estimated MaxCut subgradient is an ϵ/2-subgradient (corrected zero branch).
  • Lemma 8.29: A subgradient of the active piece at a nearby point is an approximate subgradient of the max.
  • Theorem 8.30: Convergence of inexact entropic mirror descent for the MaxCut SDP feasibility problem.
  • Lemma 8.33: The MaxCut mirror-descent Hamiltonians are y₁Ĉ + y₂D with ‖y‖₁ ≤ (4/ϵ) log n.
  • Proposition 8.34: End-to-end complexity of the quantum MaxCut SDP solver in the QRAM model (corrected statement).

Formalization scope

Prove the existing statements under their stated hypotheses and definitions. Any correction to a printed source claim remains explicit in its target description. All listed target proofs are currently sorry; no proof is claimed. The mission goal is the designated chapter capstone; the remaining targets are separate milestones. Parts a, b, c and d are merged into their original chapter.

Selected references

  • Giacomo Nannicini, Quantum algorithms for optimizers, 2025, v5; notes dated 9 July 2025. https://arxiv.org/pdf/2408.07086v5.
11 thms2 active usersReviewed
Quantum Error CorrectionQuantum Information·Captain: Goku

An Introduction to Quantum Error Correction and Fault-Tolerant Quantum Computation 2: Quantum Gilbert–Varshamov, quantum Hamming, and asymptotic rate boundsTextbook

Motivation

This mission develops Chapter 2 of An Introduction to Quantum Error Correction and Fault-Tolerant Quantum Computation by Daniel Gottesman. The chapter's selected results describe the mathematical guarantees below.

Setting and conventions

The linked theorem statements and shared definitions specify the register types, oracle access, normalization, and resource conventions. Their source locators and independent readbacks accompany each target.

Chapter goal

An [[n,k,d]][[n,k,d]][[n,k,d]] code is a subspace CCC of (C2)⊗n(\mathbb C^2)^{\otimes n}(C2)⊗n of dimension 2k2^k2k such that every operator EEE acting on at most d−1d-1d−1 qubits satisfies ⟨ψ∣E∣ψ⟩=c′(E)\langle\psi|E|\psi\rangle=c'(E)⟨ψ∣E∣ψ⟩=c′(E) for all unit vectors ∣ψ⟩∈C|\psi\rangle\in C∣ψ⟩∈C, with c′(E)c'(E)c′(E) independent of ∣ψ⟩|\psi\rangle∣ψ⟩ (eq. (34)); that is, CCC has distance at least ddd. Put t=⌊(d−1)/2⌋t=\lfloor (d-1)/2\rfloort=⌊(d−1)/2⌋. The code is nondegenerate if, for every unit vector ∣ψ⟩∈C|\psi\rangle\in C∣ψ⟩∈C, the Gram matrix (⟨ψ∣Pa†Pb∣ψ⟩)a,b\big(\langle\psi|P_a^\dagger P_b|\psi\rangle\big)_{a,b}(⟨ψ∣Pa†​Pb​∣ψ⟩)a,b​ over the phase-free Pauli operators PaP_aPa​ of weight at most ttt is nonsingular. Let H(x)=−xlog⁡2x−(1−x)log⁡2(1−x)H(x)=-x\log_2x-(1-x)\log_2(1-x)H(x)=−xlog2​x−(1−x)log2​(1−x).

  1. (Quantum Gilbert–Varshamov bound.) If d≥1d\ge1d≥1 and
(∑j=0d−13j(nj))2k≤2n,\Big(\sum_{j=0}^{d-1}3^j\binom nj\Big)2^k\le 2^n,(j=0∑d−1​3j(jn​))2k≤2n,

then an [[n,k,d]][[n,k,d]][[n,k,d]] code exists. 2. (Quantum Hamming bound.) Every nondegenerate [[n,k,d]][[n,k,d]][[n,k,d]] code satisfies

(∑j=0t3j(nj))2k≤2n.\Big(\sum_{j=0}^{t}3^j\binom nj\Big)2^k\le 2^n.(j=0∑t​3j(jn​))2k≤2n.
  1. (Asymptotic rates.) Let 0<p<1/20<p<1/20<p<1/2 and ε>0\varepsilon>0ε>0. There is NNN such that for every n≥Nn\ge Nn≥N:
    • every nondegenerate [[n,k,d]][[n,k,d]][[n,k,d]] code with d≥2pnd\ge 2pnd≥2pn has k/n≤1−plog⁡23−H(p)+εk/n\le 1-p\log_2 3-H(p)+\varepsilonk/n≤1−plog2​3−H(p)+ε;
    • if 1−2plog⁡23−H(2p)>01-2p\log_2 3-H(2p)>01−2plog2​3−H(2p)>0, there is a nondegenerate [[n,k,d]][[n,k,d]][[n,k,d]] code with d≥2pnd\ge 2pnd≥2pn and k/n≥1−2plog⁡23−H(2p)−εk/n\ge 1-2p\log_2 3-H(2p)-\varepsilonk/n≥1−2plog2​3−H(2p)−ε.

The first two bounds are counting arguments. The third gives the rate window, eq. (37), between which the best nondegenerate codes lie.

Formalization Note The source's 'distance ddd' is read as distance at least ddd, so existence is meaningful also for k=0k=0k=0. The hypothesis d≥1d\ge1d≥1 excludes d=0d=0d=0, where (36) is an empty sum and the claim would demand a 2k2^k2k-dimensional code for every kkk. The asymptotic clause is read as an ε\varepsilonε–NNN statement. The lower rate bound is asserted only when it is positive.

Significance

These are known mathematical results. Their Lean statements have been checked and reviewed against the cited source; formal proofs remain open for contributors.

Supporting targets

  • Theorem 1: No-Cloning: no quantum operation copies every state.
  • Theorem 2: Correctable errors are closed under linear combinations; weight-t Pauli errors give all t-qubit errors.
  • Theorem 3: Knill–Laflamme condition for quantum error correction.
  • Theorem 4: Quantum Gilbert–Varshamov, quantum Hamming, and asymptotic rate bounds.

Formalization scope

Prove the existing statements under their stated hypotheses and definitions. Any correction to a printed source claim remains explicit in its target description. All listed target proofs are currently sorry; no proof is claimed. The mission goal is the designated chapter capstone; the remaining targets are separate milestones. Parts a, b, c and d are merged into their original chapter.

Selected references

  • Daniel Gottesman, An Introduction to Quantum Error Correction and Fault-Tolerant Quantum Computation, 2009, v1. https://arxiv.org/pdf/0904.2557v1.
7 thms2 active usersReviewed
OptimizationQuantum Information·Captain: Goku

Quantum algorithms for optimizers 7: A (‖A‖_F, Õ(q), ξ)-block-encoding of a classical matrix from QRAM, with an explicit cost modelTextbook

Motivation

This mission develops Chapter 7 of Quantum algorithms for optimizers by Giacomo Nannicini. The chapter's selected results describe the mathematical guarantees below.

Setting and conventions

The linked theorem statements and shared definitions specify the register types, oracle access, normalization, and resource conventions. Their source locators and independent readbacks accompany each target.

Chapter goal

Fix constants C0∈RC_0 \in \mathbb{R}C0​∈R and c0∈Nc_0 \in \mathbb{N}c0​∈N (those of the assumption p=O~(1)p = \widetilde{O}(1)p=O(1)). There are constants C>0C > 0C>0 and c∈Nc \in \mathbb{N}c∈N such that the following holds. Let q,p∈Nq, p \in \mathbb{N}q,p∈N, d=2qd = 2^qd=2q, ξ>0\xi > 0ξ>0, write L=log⁡(2+d)+log⁡(2+1/ξ)L = \log(2+d) + \log(2+1/\xi)L=log(2+d)+log(2+1/ξ), and assume p≤C0Lc0p \le C_0 L^{c_0}p≤C0​Lc0​. Then there exist

  1. a QRAM (Def. 5.39) with 2b2^b2b addresses and words of rrr bits, of size 2br≤Cd2(p+1)Lc2^b r \le C d^2 (p+1) L^c2br≤Cd2(p+1)Lc;
  2. a straight-line real-arithmetic program of at most Cd2LcC d^2 L^cCd2Lc operations (+,−,×,÷,⋅,arccos⁡+, -, \times, \div, \sqrt{\cdot}, \arccos+,−,×,÷,⋅​,arccos, complex argument, rational constants) and an addressing map, which compute the QRAM contents from the entries of the matrix;
  3. a quantum circuit V\mathcal{V}V on w+qw + qw+q qubits with w≤C(q+1)Lcw \le C (q+1) L^cw≤C(q+1)Lc, making at most CLcC L^cCLc uncontrolled calls to the QRAM (or its inverse) and using at most CLcC L^cCLc two-qubit gates,

all independent of the matrix, such that for every A∈Cd×dA \in \mathbb{C}^{d\times d}A∈Cd×d whose entries satisfy ∣Re⁡aij∣,∣Im⁡aij∣≤2p|\operatorname{Re} a_{ij}|, |\operatorname{Im} a_{ij}| \le 2^p∣Reaij​∣,∣Imaij​∣≤2p, the unitary V(UQRAM(A))\mathcal{V}(U_{\mathrm{QRAM}}(A))V(UQRAM​(A)) obtained with the QRAM loaded by the program is an (∥A∥F,w,ξ)(\|A\|_F, w, \xi)(∥A∥F​,w,ξ)-block-encoding of AAA:

∥∥A∥F (⟨0∣w⊗I) V (∣0⟩w⊗I)−A∥≤ξ.\bigl\| \|A\|_F\,(\langle 0|_w \otimes I)\,\mathcal{V}\,(|0\rangle_w \otimes I) - A \bigr\| \le \xi .​∥A∥F​(⟨0∣w​⊗I)V(∣0⟩w​⊗I)−A​≤ξ.

This is the data-structure route to block-encodings of classically stored dense matrices, with subnormalization the Frobenius norm and only polylogarithmic quantum cost.

Formalization Note Corrected statement. The source gives no cost model for classical arithmetic, does not say in which parameters ppp is polylogarithmic, and does not say how the costs depend on ξ\xiξ. Here classical cost is the length of a straight-line real-arithmetic program (the model of the Cor. 5.45 chunk), p=O~(1)p = \widetilde{O}(1)p=O(1) means p≤C0Lc0p \le C_0 L^{c_0}p≤C0​Lc0​ for arbitrary C0,c0C_0, c_0C0​,c0​, all O~\widetilde{O}O bounds are polylogarithmic in ddd and 1/ξ1/\xi1/ξ, and the QRAM size is O~(d2p)\widetilde{O}(d^2 p)O(d2p) rather than O(d2p)O(d^2 p)O(d2p) because the word size must grow with log⁡(1/ξ)\log(1/\xi)log(1/ξ). A ppp-bit entry is modelled by the magnitude bound 2p2^p2p on its real and imaginary parts.

Significance

These are known mathematical results. Their Lean statements have been checked and reviewed against the cited source; formal proofs remain open for contributors.

Supporting targets

  • Proposition 7.9: Iterative refinement reaches residual ϵ in O(log 1/ϵ) iterations.
  • Proposition 7.14: Product of block-encodings (error term corrected).
  • Proposition 7.18: Linear combination of block-encodings (error term corrected for α < 1).
  • Lemma 7.20: Block-encoding of the diagonal matrix of inner products ⟨ϕ_j|ψ_j⟩.
  • Proposition 7.21: Block-encoding from sparse-access oracles (rotation cost and entry encoding made explicit).
  • Lemma 7.37: A bounded polynomial of degree Õ(β) approximating exp(2βx)/4 on [−1, 0].
  • Lemma 7.39: Block-encoding a density matrix from a unitary preparing its purification.
  • Proposition 7.41: One-copy trace estimator: a random variable with bias ≤ θ/4 for Tr(Aρ) and constant variance.
  • Proposition 7.38: Gibbs-state preparation from a block-encoding of H, for the polynomial of Lemma 7.37 made explicit.
  • Proposition 7.29: A (‖A‖_F, Õ(q), ξ)-block-encoding of a classical matrix from QRAM, with an explicit cost model.

Formalization scope

Prove the existing statements under their stated hypotheses and definitions. Any correction to a printed source claim remains explicit in its target description. All listed target proofs are currently sorry; no proof is claimed. The mission goal is the designated chapter capstone; the remaining targets are separate milestones. Parts a, b, c and d are merged into their original chapter.

Selected references

  • Giacomo Nannicini, Quantum algorithms for optimizers, 2025, v5; notes dated 9 July 2025. https://arxiv.org/pdf/2408.07086v5.
10 thms2 active usersReviewed
OptimizationQuantum Information·Captain: Goku

Quantum algorithms for optimizers 5: Separation oracle from polylogarithmically many calls to a quantum membership oracle (corrected)Textbook

Motivation

This mission develops Chapter 5 of Quantum algorithms for optimizers by Giacomo Nannicini. The chapter's selected results describe the mathematical guarantees below.

Setting and conventions

The linked theorem statements and shared definitions specify the register types, oracle access, normalization, and resource conventions. Their source locators and independent readbacks accompany each target.

Chapter goal

This is a corrected form of the quantum construction of a separation oracle from a membership oracle.

Quantum membership oracle. Points of Rd\mathbb{R}^dRd are written in an mmm-qubit register through an encoding p↦enc(p)p \mapsto \mathrm{enc}(p)p↦enc(p). A quantum oracle implementing MEM0,ϵ′(K)\mathrm{MEM}_{0,\epsilon'}(K)MEM0,ϵ′​(K) is a unitary OOO acting on the point register, an answer qubit and kkk workspace qubits. On every basis point it acts as

O ∣p⟩∣0⟩∣0k⟩=∣p⟩∣φp⟩,O\,|p\rangle|0\rangle|0^k\rangle = |p\rangle|\varphi_p\rangle ,O∣p⟩∣0⟩∣0k⟩=∣p⟩∣φp​⟩,

where measuring the answer qubit of φp\varphi_pφp​ returns the correct membership bit [enc(p)∈K][\mathrm{enc}(p) \in K][enc(p)∈K] with probability at least 1−ϵ′1-\epsilon'1−ϵ′.

Separation oracle. SEPϵ,δ(x)\mathrm{SEP}_{\epsilon,\delta}(x)SEPϵ,δ​(x) (Definition 5.22) must, with probability at least 1−δ1-\delta1−δ, either assert x∈B2(K,ϵ)x \in B_2(K,\epsilon)x∈B2​(K,ϵ) or return a unit vector ggg with ⟨g,y⟩≤⟨g,x⟩+ϵ\langle g, y\rangle \le \langle g, x\rangle + \epsilon⟨g,y⟩≤⟨g,x⟩+ϵ for all y∈B2(K,−ϵ)={y:B2(y,ϵ)⊆K}y \in B_2(K,-\epsilon) = \{y : B_2(y,\epsilon) \subseteq K\}y∈B2​(K,−ϵ)={y:B2​(y,ϵ)⊆K}.

Theorem. There are absolute constants C>0C > 0C>0 and c∈Nc \in \mathbb{N}c∈N with the following property. Let d∈Nd \in \mathbb{N}d∈N and r,R,ϵ,δ∈Rr, R, \epsilon, \delta \in \mathbb{R}r,R,ϵ,δ∈R with 0<r<R0 < r < R0<r<R, 0<ϵ<R0 < \epsilon < R0<ϵ<R and 0<δ<1/30 < \delta < 1/30<δ<1/3. Then there is ϵ′>0\epsilon' > 0ϵ′>0 such that for every x∈Rdx \in \mathbb{R}^dx∈Rd there exist an encoding enc\mathrm{enc}enc and, for every workspace size kkk, a quantum circuit with measurement decoding. The circuit makes at most

C (log⁡(2+d)+log⁡(2+R)+log⁡(2+1/r)+log⁡(2+1/ϵ)+log⁡(2+1/δ))cC\,\bigl(\log(2+d) + \log(2+R) + \log(2+1/r) + \log(2+1/\epsilon) + \log(2+1/\delta)\bigr)^{c}C(log(2+d)+log(2+R)+log(2+1/r)+log(2+1/ϵ)+log(2+1/δ))c

uncontrolled calls to the oracle or its inverse. It correctly implements SEPϵ,δ(x)\mathrm{SEP}_{\epsilon,\delta}(x)SEPϵ,δ​(x) for every convex KKK with B2(0,r)⊆K⊆B2(0,R)B_2(0,r) \subseteq K \subseteq B_2(0,R)B2​(0,r)⊆K⊆B2​(0,R) and x∉B2(K,−ϵ)x \notin B_2(K,-\epsilon)x∈/B2​(K,−ϵ), and for every unitary implementing MEM0,ϵ′(K)\mathrm{MEM}_{0,\epsilon'}(K)MEM0,ϵ′​(K).

Classically, separation from membership needs O~(d)\tilde O(d)O~(d) membership calls. This result gives an exponential improvement in the dimension for the query complexity of convex optimization with a membership oracle.

Formalization Note The source leaves several objects open: the unitary implementing MEM\mathrm{MEM}MEM, the value of ϵ′\epsilon'ϵ′, and the parameters hidden in O~(1)\tilde O(1)O~(1). The statement makes each of them explicit. The unit-norm requirement on ggg is added because Definition 5.22 as printed accepts g=0g = 0g=0, which would make the separation oracle trivial.

Significance

These are known mathematical results. Their Lean statements have been checked and reviewed against the cited source; formal proofs remain open for contributors.

Supporting targets

  • Proposition 5.3: Jordan's gradient circuit recovers the gradient of an exactly representable linear function.
  • Proposition 5.6: The gradient algorithm for approximately linear functions.
  • Proposition 5.16: A Hadamard-test circuit is a probability oracle for (1 + Re⟨ψ|ϕ_x⟩)/2.
  • Corollary 5.18: Pure-state tomography with Euclidean error using Õ(d/ϵ) uses of U.
  • Proposition 5.25: Properties of the height function: convexity, Lipschitz continuity, and separation from an ϵ̄-subgradient (corrected).
  • Lemma 5.28: The central-difference gradient is within (η/2)Δ^(η)f(x) of every subgradient.
  • Lemma 5.30: The Laplace approximation is at most dL/r on average over a cube.
  • Lemma 5.32: Deviation from the finite-difference linearization on the ℓ1 ball is at most (η²/2)Δ^(η)f(z).
  • Proposition 5.31: Finite differences of an approximate function at a random point give an explicit ϵ′-subgradient at the origin (corrected).
  • Proposition 5.36: Algorithm 4 (binary tree of controlled R_Y rotations) prepares the amplitude encoding of a real unit vector.
  • Corollary 5.37: Amplitude encoding of a complex vector to error ϵ with Õ(d) gates from {H, T, CX}.
  • Corollary 5.45: Amplitude encoding with O(log d) QRAM queries and O(log d (log d + log 1/ϵ)) two-qubit gates after Õ(d) classical preprocessing (corrected).
  • Theorem 5.33: Separation oracle from polylogarithmically many calls to a quantum membership oracle (corrected).

Formalization scope

Prove the existing statements under their stated hypotheses and definitions. Any correction to a printed source claim remains explicit in its target description. All listed target proofs are currently sorry; no proof is claimed. The mission goal is the designated chapter capstone; the remaining targets are separate milestones. Parts a, b, c and d are merged into their original chapter.

Selected references

  • Giacomo Nannicini, Quantum algorithms for optimizers, 2025, v5; notes dated 9 July 2025. https://arxiv.org/pdf/2408.07086v5.
13 thms2 active usersReviewed
Machine LearningQuantum Information·Captain: Goku

A Survey of Quantum Learning Theory 4: Quantum states are PAC-learnable from n·poly(1/ε, 1/γ, log(1/δ)) measurement resultsTextbook

Motivation

This mission develops Chapter 4 of A Survey of Quantum Learning Theory by Srinivasan Arunachalam and Ronald de Wolf. The chapter's selected results describe the mathematical guarantees below.

Setting and conventions

The linked theorem statements and shared definitions specify the register types, oracle access, normalization, and resource conventions. Their source locators and independent readbacks accompany each target.

Chapter goal

This is Aaronson's theorem on "pretty good tomography": an nnn-qubit state can be PAC-learned from linearly many (in nnn) measurement results.

An nnn-qubit state is a density matrix ρ∈C2n×2n\rho\in\mathbb C^{2^n\times 2^n}ρ∈C2n×2n (positive semidefinite, trace 111). A two-outcome measurement is an effect EEE, i.e. 0⪯E⪯Id0\preceq E\preceq \mathrm{Id}0⪯E⪯Id; its first outcome has probability Tr(Eρ)\mathrm{Tr}(E\rho)Tr(Eρ). Let DDD be a probability distribution (Borel) on the set of effects.

There is a polynomial ppp in three variables with nonnegative coefficients such that for every nnn and all ε,γ>0\varepsilon,\gamma>0ε,γ>0, δ∈(0,1)\delta\in(0,1)δ∈(0,1) there are a number

T ≤ n⋅p(1/ε, 1/γ, log⁡(1/δ))T\ \le\ n\cdot p\big(1/\varepsilon,\ 1/\gamma,\ \log(1/\delta)\big)T ≤ n⋅p(1/ε, 1/γ, log(1/δ))

and a (measurable) learner LLL, mapping TTT measurement results to an nnn-qubit density matrix, with the following property: for every nnn-qubit state ρ\rhoρ and every distribution DDD, if E1,…,ETE_1,\dots,E_TE1​,…,ET​ are drawn i.i.d. from DDD and, independently given the EiE_iEi​, each bib_ibi​ is a bit with Pr⁡[bi=1]=Tr(Eiρ)\Pr[b_i=1]=\mathrm{Tr}(E_i\rho)Pr[bi​=1]=Tr(Ei​ρ), then with probability at least 1−δ1-\delta1−δ the output σ=L((E1,b1),…,(ET,bT))\sigma=L((E_1,b_1),\dots,(E_T,b_T))σ=L((E1​,b1​),…,(ET​,bT​)) satisfies

Pr⁡E∼D[ ∣Tr(Eσ)−Tr(Eρ)∣>γ ] ≤ ε.\Pr_{E\sim D}\big[\,|\mathrm{Tr}(E\sigma)-\mathrm{Tr}(E\rho)|>\gamma\,\big]\ \le\ \varepsilon .E∼DPr​[∣Tr(Eσ)−Tr(Eρ)∣>γ] ≤ ε.

The learner knows neither ρ\rhoρ nor DDD. Only the number of measurement results is bounded, not the running time.

Formalization Note "T=n⋅polyT=n\cdot\mathrm{poly}T=n⋅poly" is read as an upper bound on TTT (a learner may ignore extra results). The condition δ<1\delta<1δ<1 is added: for δ≥1\delta\ge 1δ≥1 the claim is empty and log⁡(1/δ)≤0\log(1/\delta)\le 0log(1/δ)≤0. The learner is deterministic and measurable; the probability of success is written out as an integral over DTD^{T}DT of the probabilities of the bit strings.

Significance

These are known mathematical results. Their Lean statements have been checked and reviewed against the cited source; formal proofs remain open for contributors.

Supporting targets

  • §4.1.1, Theorem 4.3: Servedio–Gortler: quantum exact learning needs Ω(max{1/√γ(C), log|C|/n}) queries.
  • §4.1.1, Corollary 4.4: Servedio–Gortler: D(C) = O(n·Q(C)^3).
  • §4.1.2, Theorem 4.5: Classical (N,M)-query complexity of exact learning is Θ(min{M,N}).
  • §4.1.2, Theorem 4.6: Kothari: optimal quantum (N,M)-query complexity of exact learning.
  • §4.1.2, Theorem 4.8: Kothari: quantum exact learning with O(√((1/γ)/log(1/γ))·log|C|) queries.
  • Theorem 4.12: Quantum PAC learning needs Ω(d/ε + log(1/δ)/ε) quantum examples.
  • Theorem 4.13: Diagonal of the square root of an XOR-invariant Gram matrix (corrected: with the factor 2^{-k/2}).
  • Theorem 4.15: Quantum agnostic learning needs Ω(d/ε² + log(1/δ)/ε²) quantum examples.
  • Theorem 4.16: Quantum states are PAC-learnable from n·poly(1/ε, 1/γ, log(1/δ)) measurement results.

Formalization scope

Prove the existing statements under their stated hypotheses and definitions. Any correction to a printed source claim remains explicit in its target description. All listed target proofs are currently sorry; no proof is claimed. The mission goal is the designated chapter capstone; the remaining targets are separate milestones. Parts a, b, c and d are merged into their original chapter.

Selected references

  • Srinivasan Arunachalam and Ronald de Wolf, A Survey of Quantum Learning Theory, 2017, v3. https://arxiv.org/pdf/1701.06806v3.
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Quantum Error CorrectionQuantum Information·Captain: Goku

An Introduction to Quantum Error Correction and Fault-Tolerant Quantum Computation 5: Threshold theorem: below p_T, concatenated circuits simulate C to distance ε with polylog overheadTextbook

Motivation

This mission develops Chapter 5 of An Introduction to Quantum Error Correction and Fault-Tolerant Quantum Computation by Daniel Gottesman. The chapter's selected results describe the mathematical guarantees below.

Setting and conventions

The linked theorem statements and shared definitions specify the register types, oracle access, normalization, and resource conventions. Their source locators and independent readbacks accompany each target.

Chapter goal

There exist an [[n,1,2t+1]][[n,1,2t+1]][[n,1,2t+1]] code with fault-tolerant gadgets of a common depth (Definitions 2–5) and a threshold pT>0p_T>0pT​>0 with the following property. For every ppp with 0≤p<pT0\le p<p_T0≤p<pT​ there are constants K>0K>0K>0 and c∈Nc\in\mathbb Nc∈N such that for every ideal circuit CCC (Definition 6: preparation, HHH, Rπ/8R_{\pi/8}Rπ/8​, CNOT, wait and measurement locations, no input) and every ε>0\varepsilon>0ε>0 there is a level LLL for which the LLL-fold concatenated fault-tolerant simulation C′=C(L)C'=C^{(L)}C′=C(L) satisfies

  1. #qubits(C′)≤K (log⁡2(2+∣C∣/ε))c #qubits(C)\#\mathrm{qubits}(C')\le K\,\big(\log_2(2+|C|/\varepsilon)\big)^{c}\,\#\mathrm{qubits}(C)#qubits(C′)≤K(log2​(2+∣C∣/ε))c#qubits(C) and #steps(C′)≤K (log⁡2(2+∣C∣/ε))c #steps(C)\#\mathrm{steps}(C')\le K\,\big(\log_2(2+|C|/\varepsilon)\big)^{c}\,\#\mathrm{steps}(C)#steps(C′)≤K(log2​(2+∣C∣/ε))c#steps(C), where ∣C∣|C|∣C∣ is the number of locations of CCC;
  2. for every local stochastic error model on C′C'C′ (Definition 12) with error bounds pi≤pp_i\le ppi​≤p, pi<1p_i<1pi​<1,
dTV(decoded output of C′, output of C)≤ε.d_{\mathrm{TV}}\big(\text{decoded output of } C',\ \text{output of } C\big)\le\varepsilon.dTV​(decoded output of C′, output of C)≤ε.

The output of C′C'C′ is decoded classically level by level. The threshold theorem shows that arbitrarily long quantum computations can be performed reliably with polylogarithmic overhead once the physical error rate is below a constant.

Formalization Note The fault-tolerant circuit is pinned to the concatenated circuit of the proof (p.42); an unconstrained circuit with free classical computation could sample the output of CCC classically. polylog(x)\mathrm{polylog}(x)polylog(x) is encoded as K(log⁡2(2+x))cK(\log_2(2+x))^cK(log2​(2+x))c, which is positive also for x≤1x\le 1x≤1.

Significance

These are known mathematical results. Their Lean statements have been checked and reviewed against the cited source; formal proofs remain open for contributors.

Supporting targets

  • §5.1, Theorem 6: Good implies correct: an extended rectangle with at most t faults is correct.
  • §5.2, Theorem 7: A fault-tolerant circuit with only good ExRecs has the ideal output distribution.
  • §5.2, Lemma 2: *Correctness for the ideal decoder implies correctness for a -decoder.
  • §5.2, Lemma 3: *A good truncated ExRec is correct for ideal decoders and -decoders.
  • Theorem 8: A fault-tolerant circuit simulates the ideal circuit with errors at the bad ExRecs.
  • Theorem 9: Level reduction: a local stochastic model on C′ induces one on C with bounds Σ_{|R|=t+1} Π p_j.
  • Theorem 10: Threshold theorem: below p_T, concatenated circuits simulate C to distance ε with polylog overhead.

Formalization scope

Prove the existing statements under their stated hypotheses and definitions. Any correction to a printed source claim remains explicit in its target description. All listed target proofs are currently sorry; no proof is claimed. The mission goal is the designated chapter capstone; the remaining targets are separate milestones. Parts a, b, c and d are merged into their original chapter.

Selected references

  • Daniel Gottesman, An Introduction to Quantum Error Correction and Fault-Tolerant Quantum Computation, 2009, v1. https://arxiv.org/pdf/0904.2557v1.
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AnalysisFunctional Analysis·Captain: Lucas

Invariant Subspace ProblemOpen Problem

Motivation

The invariant subspace problem asks whether every bounded linear operator on an infinite-dimensional separable complex Hilbert space leaves some non-trivial closed subspace invariant. It is listed as a high-importance open problem in analysis in the Open Problem Garden (entry) and is widely regarded as one of the most famous open problems in functional analysis. Invariant subspaces are the infinite-dimensional replacement for eigenvectors: in finite dimensions every complex matrix has an eigenvector, and the structure theory of matrices (triangular and Jordan forms) is built from chains of invariant subspaces. Whether any such structure is available for an arbitrary bounded operator on Hilbert space is exactly what the problem asks.

Timeline

  • 1930s (von Neumann, unpublished). Compact operators on Hilbert space have non-trivial closed invariant subspaces.
  • 1954 (Aronszajn–Smith). The compact case on arbitrary Banach spaces (doi:10.2307/1969637).
  • 1966 (Bernstein–Robinson; Halmos). Polynomially compact operators on Hilbert space.
  • 1973 (Lomonosov). Every non-zero compact operator has a non-trivial closed hyperinvariant subspace; consequently every operator commuting with a non-zero compact operator has a non-trivial closed invariant subspace (doi:10.1007/BF01080698).
  • 1975 announced / 1987 published (Enflo). A bounded operator on a separable Banach space with no non-trivial closed invariant subspace (doi:10.1007/BF02392260).
  • 1985 (Read). Such an operator on the classical space ℓ1\ell^1ℓ1 (doi:10.1112/blms/17.4.305).
  • 2011 (Argyros–Haydon). An infinite-dimensional Banach space on which every operator is a scalar plus a compact operator, so that every operator on it has a non-trivial closed invariant subspace (arXiv:0903.3921).

The Hilbert-space question remains open.

Setting

Let K\mathbb{K}K be R\mathbb{R}R or C\mathbb{C}C, let EEE be a normed space over K\mathbb{K}K, and let T ⁣:E→ET\colon E\to ET:E→E be a bounded linear operator. A linear subspace S⊆ES\subseteq ES⊆E is invariant under TTT if T(S)⊆ST(S)\subseteq ST(S)⊆S. It is a non-trivial closed invariant subspace if moreover SSS is closed in the norm topology and {0}≠S≠E\{0\}\neq S\neq E{0}=S=E. A closed subspace SSS with {0}≠S≠E\{0\}\neq S\neq E{0}=S=E is a non-trivial closed hyperinvariant subspace of TTT if A(S)⊆SA(S)\subseteq SA(S)⊆S for every bounded operator AAA with AT=TAAT=TAAT=TA.

A Hilbert space HHH is a complete complex inner product space; it is separable if it has a countable dense subset. An operator KKK is compact if it maps bounded sets to relatively compact sets, and TTT is normal if T∗T=TT∗T^*T=TT^*T∗T=TT∗. In the Lean development these notions are IsInvariantSubspace, IsNontrivialClosedInvariantSubspace, HasNontrivialClosedInvariantSubspace and HasNontrivialClosedHyperinvariantSubspace (namespace InvariantSubspaceProblem), together with Mathlib's IsCompactOperator and IsStarNormal.

Formalization targets

Goal: the invariant subspace problem

∀ H separable, dim⁡H=∞, ∀ T∈B(H):∃ S⊆H closed, {0}≠S≠H, T(S)⊆S.\forall\, H \text{ separable, } \dim H=\infty,\ \forall\, T\in\mathcal{B}(H):\quad \exists\, S\subseteq H \text{ closed},\ \{0\}\neq S\neq H,\ T(S)\subseteq S .∀H separable, dimH=∞, ∀T∈B(H):∃S⊆H closed, {0}=S=H, T(S)⊆S.

The source poses a yes/no question; the goal states the affirmative answer, and a formal proof of its negation equally settles the problem.

Milestones (known results)

  1. Finite-dimensional case: every operator on a complex space of dimension ≥2\ge 2≥2 has a non-trivial invariant subspace.
  2. Non-separable case: every operator on a non-separable complex normed space has a non-trivial closed invariant subspace.
  3. Normal operators on a complex Hilbert space of dimension ≥2\ge 2≥2.
  4. Aronszajn–Smith: compact operators on infinite-dimensional real or complex Banach spaces.
  5. Lomonosov: non-zero compact operators have non-trivial closed hyperinvariant subspaces.
  6. Lomonosov: operators commuting with a non-zero compact operator.
  7. Enflo: a separable infinite-dimensional complex Banach space with an operator having no non-trivial closed invariant subspace.
  8. Read: such an operator on ℓ1\ell^1ℓ1.
  9. Argyros–Haydon: a separable infinite-dimensional real Banach space on which every operator is λI+K\lambda I+KλI+K with KKK compact.
  10. Argyros–Haydon: a separable infinite-dimensional real Banach space on which every operator has a non-trivial closed invariant subspace.

Significance

The result itself. A positive answer would give every bounded operator on Hilbert space a non-trivial piece of structure and would be the first step towards triangular-form type theorems for general operators. A negative answer would, after Enflo and Read, show that even the Hilbert-space geometry does not force invariant subspaces. Either answer resolves a question that has organised much of operator theory since the 1930s.

Formalizing it. The goal is open; no proof, formal or informal, is known. The milestones are proved results whose formal proofs would build reusable infrastructure absent from Mathlib: the Aronszajn–Smith and Lomonosov theorems (the latter through Schauder's fixed point theorem), invariant subspaces from the spectral theorem for normal operators, and the large explicit constructions of Enflo, Read and Argyros–Haydon. None of these results is formalized in Mathlib at the time of writing.

Difficulty

The obvious approach, taking the closed linear span of an orbit {x,Tx,T2x,… }\{x, Tx, T^2x,\dots\}{x,Tx,T2x,…}, fails exactly when every non-zero vector is cyclic, which is the situation that has to be ruled out; for separable spaces nothing prevents this a priori. Spectral methods fail because an operator can have a one-point spectrum and no eigenvectors (quasinilpotent operators). Methods that work on Hilbert space must use the inner-product structure in an essential way, since Enflo's and Read's examples show that the statement is false on some Banach spaces. Lomonosov's technique needs a non-zero compact operator in the commutant, which a general operator need not have.

Formalization scope

Hilbert spaces are Mathlib types H with [NormedAddCommGroup H] [InnerProductSpace ℂ H] [CompleteSpace H]; separability is TopologicalSpace.SeparableSpace H and infinite dimension is ¬ FiniteDimensional ℂ H. Operators are continuous linear maps H →L[ℂ] H. Scalars are complex in the goal. Subspaces are Submodules, and closedness is required explicitly: without it the statement is trivially true in infinite dimensions (the algebraic span of an orbit is a proper invariant subspace), and a published platform statement that omits closedness should not be confused with this problem. Existential milestones quantify over spaces in Type.

Useful infrastructure includes: Schauder's fixed point theorem, Riesz theory of compact operators, the spectral theorem for normal operators, and ℓ1\ell^1ℓ1 machinery for Read's construction. Contributions of reusable lemmas, partial results (for instance further classes of operators known to have invariant subspaces), and proof sketches for the milestones are welcome.

Selected references

  • Open Problem Garden, Invariant subspace problem, posted by T. Chow, 2009. http://www.openproblemgarden.org/op/invariant_subspace_problem
  • N. Aronszajn, K. T. Smith, Invariant subspaces of completely continuous operators, Ann. of Math. 60 (1954) 345–350. https://doi.org/10.2307/1969637
  • V. I. Lomonosov, Invariant subspaces for the family of operators which commute with a completely continuous operator, Funct. Anal. Appl. 7 (1973) 213–214. https://doi.org/10.1007/BF01080698
  • P. Enflo, On the invariant subspace problem for Banach spaces, Acta Math. 158 (1987) 213–313. https://doi.org/10.1007/BF02392260
  • C. J. Read, A solution to the invariant subspace problem on the space ℓ1\ell_1ℓ1​, Bull. London Math. Soc. 17 (1985) 305–317. https://doi.org/10.1112/blms/17.4.305
  • S. A. Argyros, R. G. Haydon, A hereditarily indecomposable L∞\mathcal{L}_\inftyL∞​-space that solves the scalar-plus-compact problem, Acta Math. 206 (2011) 1–54. https://arxiv.org/abs/0903.3921
  • H. Radjavi, P. Rosenthal, The invariant subspace problem, Math. Intelligencer 4 (1982) 33–37.
  • B. S. Yadav, The present state and heritages of the invariant subspace problem, Milan J. Math. 73 (2005) 289–316.
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Algebraic TopologyGeometry & Topology·Captain: Lucas

Smale's question: the homotopy type of Diff(S⁴)Open Problem

Motivation

The diffeomorphism group Diff(M)\mathrm{Diff}(M)Diff(M) of a closed smooth manifold MMM, topologized so that two diffeomorphisms are close when they and all their derivatives are uniformly close, is a basic invariant of the smooth structure of MMM. Its set of path components π0 Diff(M)\pi_0\,\mathrm{Diff}(M)π0​Diff(M) is the group of isotopy classes of diffeomorphisms (the smooth mapping class group), and its higher homotopy groups classify smooth fibre bundles with fibre MMM. For spheres, the natural comparison is with the orthogonal group O(n+1)O(n+1)O(n+1) of isometries of the round metric, which sits inside Diff(Sn)\mathrm{Diff}(S^n)Diff(Sn).

S. Smale asked how far Diff(Sn)\mathrm{Diff}(S^n)Diff(Sn) is from O(n+1)O(n+1)O(n+1). The question was settled positively in dimensions n≤3n \le 3n≤3 and has been studied extensively in dimensions n≥5n \ge 5n≥5, where surgery theory and pseudo-isotopy theory apply. Dimension 444 is the remaining case, and it is where the least is known. The question is recorded on the Open Problem Garden (problem page) with importance "Outstanding".

Timeline.

  • 1959 — S. Smale: Diff(S2)≃O(3)\mathrm{Diff}(S^2) \simeq O(3)Diff(S2)≃O(3).
  • 1963 — M. Kervaire and J. Milnor compute the groups Θn\Theta_nΘn​ of homotopy spheres; combined with Cerf's pseudo-isotopy theorem this computes π0 Diff(Sn)\pi_0\,\mathrm{Diff}(S^n)π0​Diff(Sn) for many n≥5n \ge 5n≥5 (for example π0 Diff+(S6)≅Θ7≅Z/28\pi_0\,\mathrm{Diff}^+(S^6) \cong \Theta_7 \cong \mathbb Z/28π0​Diff+(S6)≅Θ7​≅Z/28).
  • 1970s — the Cerf–Morlet comparison theorem Diff(Dn)≃Ωn+1(PLn/On)\mathrm{Diff}(D^n) \simeq \Omega^{n+1}(PL_n/O_n)Diff(Dn)≃Ωn+1(PLn​/On​) (Kirby–Siebenmann, Foundational Essays).
  • 1978 — F.T. Farrell and W.C. Hsiang compute πi Diff(Dn)⊗Q\pi_i\,\mathrm{Diff}(D^n)\otimes\mathbb Qπi​Diff(Dn)⊗Q in a stable range of degrees for large nnn.
  • 1983 — A. Hatcher: Diff(S3)≃O(4)\mathrm{Diff}(S^3) \simeq O(4)Diff(S3)≃O(4) (the Smale conjecture).
  • 2007 — R. Budney: Diff(D4)\mathrm{Diff}(D^4)Diff(D4) is a 555-fold loop space, via little cubes acting on spaces of long knots.
  • 2018 — T. Watanabe: π∗ Diff(D4)⊗Q≠0\pi_*\,\mathrm{Diff}(D^4)\otimes\mathbb Q \ne 0π∗​Diff(D4)⊗Q=0; the 444-dimensional Smale conjecture is false (arXiv:1812.02448).

Whether Diff(D4)\mathrm{Diff}(D^4)Diff(D4) is connected is still unknown.

Setting

Write Rn\mathbb R^nRn for Euclidean space with the Euclidean norm, DnD^nDn for the closed unit ball and Sn⊂Rn+1S^n \subset \mathbb R^{n+1}Sn⊂Rn+1 for the round unit sphere.

  • Diff(Dn)\mathrm{Diff}(D^n)Diff(Dn) is the group of diffeomorphisms of the nnn-ball rel boundary. Concretely it is the group of smooth diffeomorphisms f ⁣:Rn→Rnf\colon \mathbb R^n \to \mathbb R^nf:Rn→Rn with f(x)=xf(x) = xf(x)=x whenever ∥x∥≥1\|x\| \ge 1∥x∥≥1. Two such maps are close when their kkk-th derivatives are uniformly close for every kkk (the C∞C^\inftyC∞ topology). The base point is the identity.
  • Diff(Sn)\mathrm{Diff}(S^n)Diff(Sn) is the group of all smooth diffeomorphisms of SnS^nSn (orientation-preserving or orientation-reversing), with the C∞C^\inftyC∞ topology. Derivatives are measured through the degree-one homogeneous extension x↦∥x∥ f(x/∥x∥)x \mapsto \|x\|\, f(x/\|x\|)x↦∥x∥f(x/∥x∥), taken on the sphere.
  • O(n)O(n)O(n) is the group of real orthogonal n×nn\times nn×n matrices with the matrix topology.
  • X≃YX \simeq YX≃Y means that XXX and YYY are homotopy equivalent. π0X\pi_0 Xπ0​X is the set of path components, and πi(X,x)\pi_i(X,x)πi​(X,x) is the iii-th homotopy group. Ωk(Y,y)\Omega^k(Y,y)Ωk(Y,y) is the kkk-fold loop space, the space of maps [0,1]k→Y[0,1]^k \to Y[0,1]k→Y sending the boundary of the cube to yyy.

The source states that Diff(S4)≃O(5)×Diff(D4)\mathrm{Diff}(S^4) \simeq O(5) \times \mathrm{Diff}(D^4)Diff(S4)≃O(5)×Diff(D4), so the homotopy type of Diff(S4)\mathrm{Diff}(S^4)Diff(S4) is determined by that of Diff(D4)\mathrm{Diff}(D^4)Diff(D4).

Formalization targets

Goal: connectivity of Diff(D4)\mathrm{Diff}(D^4)Diff(D4)

π0 Diff(D4)=0,i.e. Diff(D4) is path-connected.\pi_0\,\mathrm{Diff}(D^4) = 0, \qquad\text{i.e. } \mathrm{Diff}(D^4) \text{ is path-connected.}π0​Diff(D4)=0,i.e. Diff(D4) is path-connected.

The source asks to "determine some (any?) homotopy or homology groups of Diff(D4)\mathrm{Diff}(D^4)Diff(D4)" and singles out connectivity as unknown. The goal is the yes/no question for π0\pi_0π0​. It can be settled either way: a proof shows that every diffeomorphism of D4D^4D4 rel boundary is isotopic to the identity, and a disproof exhibits one that is not.

Milestones

  1. Diff(S4)≃O(5)×Diff(D4)\mathrm{Diff}(S^4) \simeq O(5)\times\mathrm{Diff}(D^4)Diff(S4)≃O(5)×Diff(D4) (problem statement).
  2. Diff(D4)≃Ω5(Y,y)\mathrm{Diff}(D^4) \simeq \Omega^5(Y,y)Diff(D4)≃Ω5(Y,y) for some pointed space (Y,y)(Y,y)(Y,y) (Cerf–Morlet, Budney).
  3. Diff(D4)\mathrm{Diff}(D^4)Diff(D4) is not contractible (Watanabe).
  4. Diff(S2)≃O(3)\mathrm{Diff}(S^2) \simeq O(3)Diff(S2)≃O(3) (Smale).
  5. Diff(S3)≃O(4)\mathrm{Diff}(S^3) \simeq O(4)Diff(S3)≃O(4) (Hatcher).
  6. ∣π0 Diff(S6)∣=56|\pi_0\,\mathrm{Diff}(S^6)| = 56∣π0​Diff(S6)∣=56 (Kervaire–Milnor and Cerf).
  7. For 2≤i<min⁡{n−43,n−72}2 \le i < \min\{\tfrac{n-4}{3}, \tfrac{n-7}{2}\}2≤i<min{3n−4​,2n−7​}: πi Diff(Dn)⊗Q≅Q\pi_i\,\mathrm{Diff}(D^n)\otimes\mathbb Q \cong \mathbb Qπi​Diff(Dn)⊗Q≅Q if nnn is odd and 4∣i+14 \mid i+14∣i+1, and 000 otherwise (Farrell–Hsiang).

Significance

The result itself. A positive answer would mean π0 Diff(S4)≅Z/2\pi_0\,\mathrm{Diff}(S^4) \cong \mathbb Z/2π0​Diff(S4)≅Z/2, detected by orientation alone, matching dimensions 111, 222 and 333. A negative answer would give an exotic diffeomorphism of S4S^4S4: one that is topologically isotopic to the identity (by the Alexander trick) but not smoothly isotopic. By the Cerf–Morlet theorem, π0 Diff(D4)≅π5(PL4/O4)\pi_0\,\mathrm{Diff}(D^4) \cong \pi_5(PL_4/O_4)π0​Diff(D4)≅π5​(PL4​/O4​), so the question is equivalent to a question about the homotopy of PL4/O4PL_4/O_4PL4​/O4​, the space controlling smoothings of PL 444-manifolds. The source lists the smooth 444-dimensional Schoenflies problem as a related problem.

Formalizing it. No part of this theory is currently formalized in Lean or Mathlib: there is no C∞C^\inftyC∞ topology on diffeomorphism groups and no known homotopy equivalence involving one. The milestones are classical theorems (Smale 1959, Hatcher 1983, Kervaire–Milnor 1963, Farrell–Hsiang 1978, Watanabe 2018). Formalizing any of them is new work, independent of the open goal.

Difficulty

In dimensions ≥5\ge 5≥5, π0 Diff(Dn)\pi_0\,\mathrm{Diff}(D^n)π0​Diff(Dn) is computed by combining Cerf's pseudo-isotopy theorem with the hhh-cobordism theorem. Both rely on the Whitney trick, which fails in dimension 444. In dimension 444 one also cannot reduce to a lower-dimensional problem as Smale and Hatcher did. The known invariants that detect non-trivial elements of π∗ Diff(D4)\pi_*\,\mathrm{Diff}(D^4)π∗​Diff(D4) (Watanabe's configuration-space integrals) are rational and live in positive degrees, so they say nothing about π0\pi_0π0​. Smale's and Hatcher's arguments for n=2,3n = 2, 3n=2,3 rely on understanding spaces of embedded spheres in SnS^nSn of one lower dimension; the corresponding spaces of 333-spheres in S4S^4S4 are not understood, so those arguments do not carry over.

Formalization scope

All statements import the single definition file SmaleDiffS4_Basic and live in the namespace SmaleDiffS4.

  • DiffDisk n is the subtype of Mathlib's Diffeomorph 𝓘(ℝ, ℝⁿ) 𝓘(ℝ, ℝⁿ) ℝⁿ ℝⁿ ∞ (smooth = C^∞) of maps fixing every point of norm ≥1\ge 1≥1. Its topology is induced by the family of iterated derivatives iteratedFDeriv ℝ k f, k∈Nk \in \mathbb Nk∈N, each with the topology of uniform convergence on Rn\mathbb R^nRn. This "identity outside the open ball" model is the standard model of Diff(Dn rel ∂)\mathrm{Diff}(D^n \text{ rel } \partial)Diff(Dn rel ∂) and is homotopy equivalent to the "identity on the boundary" and "identity near the boundary" variants.
  • DiffSphere n is Mathlib's Diffeomorph (𝓡 n) (𝓡 n) (sphere 0 1) (sphere 0 1) ∞ on the unit sphere of Rn+1\mathbb R^{n+1}Rn+1. Its topology is induced by the iterated derivatives of the radial extension, restricted to the sphere and uniformly topologized.
  • OrthGroup n is Matrix.orthogonalGroup (Fin n) ℝ with the subspace topology.
  • Homotopy equivalence is ContinuousMap.HomotopyEquiv. Ω5\Omega^5Ω5 is GenLoop (Fin 5) Y y, π0\pi_0π0​ is ZerothHomotopy, and πi\pi_iπi​ is HomotopyGroup (Fin i). πi⊗Q\pi_i\otimes\mathbb Qπi​⊗Q is TensorProduct ℤ ℚ (Additive π_i), and "≅Q\cong\mathbb Q≅Q" is stated as Q\mathbb QQ-rank 111.
  • The Farrell–Hsiang milestone covers only i≥2i \ge 2i≥2, where πi\pi_iπi​ is abelian in Mathlib. It includes the parity hypothesis "nnn odd" of the original theorem, which is lost in the source page's rendering.

A trivializing formalization is ruled out: the topology is the genuine C∞C^\inftyC∞ topology rather than the discrete or indiscrete one, and the goal is not vacuous because DiffDisk 4 is nonempty (it contains the identity).

A complete development needs reusable infrastructure: the C∞C^\inftyC∞ topology and topological-group structure on diffeomorphism groups, isotopy extension and fibration theorems (Cerf–Palais), restriction to a disc, and the Alexander trick. Contributions of this infrastructure as separate theorems are welcome.

Selected references

  • Open Problem Garden, What is the homotopy type of the group of diffeomorphisms of the 4-sphere? (posted 2009). http://www.openproblemgarden.org/op/what_is_the_homotopy_type_of_the_group_of_diffeomorphisms_of_the_4_sphere
  • S. Smale, Diffeomorphisms of the 2-sphere, Proc. Amer. Math. Soc. 10 (1959), 621–626. https://doi.org/10.1090/S0002-9939-1959-0112149-8
  • M. Kervaire, J. Milnor, Groups of homotopy spheres I, Ann. of Math. 77 (1963), 504–537. https://doi.org/10.2307/1970128
  • R. Kirby, L. Siebenmann, Foundational Essays on Topological Manifolds, Smoothings, and Triangulations, Princeton University Press, 1977.
  • F.T. Farrell, W.C. Hsiang, On the rational homotopy groups of the diffeomorphism groups of discs, spheres and aspherical manifolds, Proc. Sympos. Pure Math. 32 (1978), 403–415.
  • A. Hatcher, A proof of a Smale conjecture, Diff(S3)≃O(4)\mathrm{Diff}(S^3)\simeq O(4)Diff(S3)≃O(4), Ann. of Math. (2) 117 (1983), 553–607. https://doi.org/10.2307/2007035
  • R. Budney, Little cubes and long knots, Topology 46 (2007), 1–27. https://arxiv.org/abs/math/0309427
  • T. Watanabe, Some exotic nontrivial elements of the rational homotopy groups of Diff(S4)\mathrm{Diff}(S^4)Diff(S4), 2018. https://arxiv.org/abs/1812.02448
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Complexity TheoryMathematical Logic·Captain: Lucas

F_d versus F_{d+1}: fixed-depth separation of bounded-depth FregeOpen Problem

Motivation

Bounded-depth Frege systems are the proof systems of propositional logic in which every formula of a proof has depth bounded by a fixed constant ddd; the resulting system is written FdF_dFd​. They are the proof-theoretic counterpart of the circuit class AC0\mathrm{AC}^0AC0 and of the bounded arithmetic theories IΔ0I\Delta_0IΔ0​ and its relatives: short FdF_dFd​-proofs of a family of tautologies correspond to proofs of the corresponding first-order statement in bounded arithmetic. Lower bounds for FdF_dFd​ are among the strongest lower bounds known for any natural proof system.

A basic structural question is whether the depth hierarchy F1⊆F2⊆F3⊆…F_1 \subseteq F_2 \subseteq F_3 \subseteq \dotsF1​⊆F2​⊆F3​⊆… is strict in a strong sense. It is known that one extra level of depth can give an exponential speed-up, but in all known separations the tautologies themselves have depth growing with ddd. J. Krajíček asked whether there is a single fixed depth kkk at which tautologies witnessing the separation of Fd+1F_{d+1}Fd+1​ from FdF_dFd​ exist for every ddd (Open Problem Garden, F_d versus F_{d+1}; [Krajíček 1995, p. 243]). The question is closely related to conservativity relations among bounded arithmetic theories.

Timeline.

  • 1987 — Buss: the pigeonhole principle PHPnn+1\mathrm{PHP}^{n+1}_nPHPnn+1​ has polynomial-size Frege proofs (of unbounded depth).
  • 1988 — Ajtai: PHPnn+1\mathrm{PHP}^{n+1}_nPHPnn+1​ has no polynomial-size FdF_dFd​-proofs for any fixed ddd.
  • 1993/1995 — Pitassi–Beame–Impagliazzo and Krajíček–Pudlák–Woods: FdF_dFd​-proofs of PHPnn+1\mathrm{PHP}^{n+1}_nPHPnn+1​ require size 2nεd2^{n^{\varepsilon_d}}2nεd​.
  • 1994 — Krajíček: for each ddd there are tautologies of depth ddd with polynomial-size Fd+1F_{d+1}Fd+1​-proofs requiring exponential-size FdF_dFd​-proofs, i.e. the problem is solved when kkk may depend on ddd (k:=dk := dk:=d).
  • 2002 — Impagliazzo–Krajíček relate the question to conservativity among bounded arithmetic theories.

Setting

Formulas. A formula is in negation normal form over variables p0,p1,…p_0, p_1, \dotsp0​,p1​,…: a literal pip_ipi​ or ¬pi\neg p_i¬pi​, a conjunction ⋀(A1,…,Am)\bigwedge(A_1,\dots,A_m)⋀(A1​,…,Am​) or a disjunction ⋁(A1,…,Am)\bigvee(A_1,\dots,A_m)⋁(A1​,…,Am​) of any finite number m≥0m \ge 0m≥0 of formulas. The depth of a literal is 000, and the depth of ⋀(A1,…,Am)\bigwedge(A_1,\dots,A_m)⋀(A1​,…,Am​) or ⋁(A1,…,Am)\bigvee(A_1,\dots,A_m)⋁(A1​,…,Am​) is 1+max⁡jdepth⁡(Aj)1+\max_j \operatorname{depth}(A_j)1+maxj​depth(Aj​) (so clauses have depth 111 and CNFs depth 222). The size ∣A∣|A|∣A∣ is the number of symbols (literals and connectives). A tautology is a formula true under every assignment. The negation A‾\overline{A}A of a formula is obtained by De Morgan's laws.

The system FdF_dFd​. Lines of a proof are sequents: finite lists Γ\GammaΓ of formulas, read as their disjunction. The rules are: (axiom) any Γ\GammaΓ containing both pip_ipi​ and ¬pi\neg p_i¬pi​; (∧\wedge∧) from A,ΓA, \GammaA,Γ for every A∈{A1,…,Am}A \in \{A_1,\dots,A_m\}A∈{A1​,…,Am​} infer ⋀(A1,…,Am),Γ\bigwedge(A_1,\dots,A_m), \Gamma⋀(A1​,…,Am​),Γ; (∨\vee∨) from Aj,ΓA_j, \GammaAj​,Γ infer ⋁(A1,…,Am),Γ\bigvee(A_1,\dots,A_m), \Gamma⋁(A1​,…,Am​),Γ; (weakening) from Γ\GammaΓ infer any Δ\DeltaΔ containing every member of Γ\GammaΓ; (cut) from A,ΓA,\GammaA,Γ and A‾,Γ\overline{A},\GammaA,Γ infer Γ\GammaΓ. An FdF_dFd​-proof of AAA is a sequence of sequents, each following from earlier ones by a rule (lines may be reused), in which every formula has depth at most ddd, and which contains the sequent consisting of AAA alone. Its size is the total size of all formulas in it.

Formalization targets

Write τ=(τm)m∈N\tau = (\tau_m)_{m\in\mathbb N}τ=(τm​)m∈N​ for a family of tautologies of depth at most kkk with ∣τm∣≥m|\tau_m| \ge m∣τm​∣≥m. It requires exponential FdF_dFd​-size if for some ε>0\varepsilon>0ε>0 and all large mmm every FdF_dFd​-proof of τm\tau_mτm​ has size at least 2∣τm∣ε2^{|\tau_m|^{\varepsilon}}2∣τm​∣ε.

Goal

∃k ∀d≥k ∃τ:τm has Fd+1-proofs of size 2C(log⁡2∣τm∣)C and τ requires exponential Fd-size.\exists k\ \forall d \ge k\ \exists \tau:\quad \tau_m \text{ has } F_{d+1}\text{-proofs of size } 2^{C(\log_2|\tau_m|)^C} \text{ and } \tau \text{ requires exponential } F_d\text{-size.}∃k ∀d≥k ∃τ:τm​ has Fd+1​-proofs of size 2C(log2​∣τm​∣)C and τ requires exponential Fd​-size.

The goal takes the weaker of the two upper bounds allowed by the problem (quasi-polynomial); the polynomial version implies it.

Milestones

  1. Soundness of FdF_dFd​: every formula with an FdF_dFd​-proof is a tautology.
  2. Completeness of FdF_dFd​ for depth-ddd formulas: every tautology of depth ≤d\le d≤d has an FdF_dFd​-proof.
  3. Exponential FdF_dFd​ lower bound for PHPnn+1\mathrm{PHP}^{n+1}_nPHPnn+1​: size ≥2nεd\ge 2^{n^{\varepsilon_d}}≥2nεd​.
  4. The depth-dependent separation: for all large ddd, depth-ddd tautologies with polynomial-size Fd+1F_{d+1}Fd+1​-proofs requiring exponential FdF_dFd​-size.

Significance

A positive answer would show that the extra power of depth d+1d+1d+1 over depth ddd is visible already on formulas of a fixed, small depth, in particular that the hierarchy of bounded-depth Frege systems does not collapse on (for example) CNF tautologies. Through the correspondence with bounded arithmetic it bears on conservativity of theories of increasing quantifier complexity over a fixed class of low-complexity statements. A negative answer would say that for low-depth tautologies the bounded-depth Frege hierarchy collapses up to quasi-polynomial size.

Status: the goal is open. Milestones 1–2 are standard; milestones 3–4 are published theorems that, to the best of current knowledge, have no machine-checked proofs. Formalizing them requires switching-lemma machinery that would be reusable across proof complexity.

Difficulty

The known lower bounds for FdF_dFd​ go through switching lemmas that simplify depth-ddd formulas under random restrictions. In the known separations of Fd+1F_{d+1}Fd+1​ from FdF_dFd​ the hard tautologies have depth growing with ddd. Keeping the formulas at one fixed depth kkk while ddd ranges over all values requires a lower-bound argument whose strength depends on the depth of the proof lines alone, uniformly in ddd; the switching-lemma arguments used for depth-dependent separations do not directly provide this.

Formalization scope

Formulas are the Lean inductive type FdVersusFdSucc.Formula over variables ℕ, with conjunctions and disjunctions of lists (so and [] is true and or [] is false). Depth counts literals as 000. FdF_dFd​ is the dag-like one-sided sequent calculus described above; sequents are lists, weakening is by list inclusion. Proof size counts symbols of all formulas in all lines. Exponential lower bounds are asked only for all sufficiently large indices. The goal quantifies over d≥kd \ge kd≥k: for d+1<kd+1 < kd+1<k no Fd+1F_{d+1}Fd+1​-proof of a depth-kkk formula exists, so "every ddd" cannot be meant literally. A family whose formulas have depth >d> d>d would satisfy the lower bound vacuously; this is excluded because the formulas must have depth at most k≤dk \le dk≤d. The size condition ∣τm∣≥m|\tau_m| \ge m∣τm​∣≥m rules out finite families.

Contributions welcome: proofs of soundness and completeness, a formalized switching lemma, and the classical lower bounds.

Selected references

  • J. Krajíček, Lower bounds to the size of constant-depth propositional proofs, J. Symbolic Logic 59(1), 1994, 73–86.
  • J. Krajíček, Bounded arithmetic, propositional logic, and complexity theory, Encyclopedia of Mathematics and Its Applications 60, Cambridge University Press, 1995 (p. 243).
  • Open Problem Garden, F_d versus F_{d+1}, http://www.openproblemgarden.org/op/f_d_versus_f_d_1
  • M. Ajtai, The complexity of the pigeonhole principle, FOCS 1988.
  • J. Krajíček, P. Pudlák, A. Woods, An exponential lower bound to the size of bounded depth Frege proofs of the pigeonhole principle, Random Structures & Algorithms 7(1), 1995.
  • T. Pitassi, P. Beame, R. Impagliazzo, Exponential lower bounds for the pigeonhole principle, Computational Complexity 3, 1993.
  • S. Buss, Polynomial size proofs of the propositional pigeonhole principle, J. Symbolic Logic 52, 1987.
  • R. Impagliazzo, J. Krajíček, A note on conservativity relations among bounded arithmetic theories, Math. Logic Quarterly 48, 2002.
6 thms2 active usersReviewed
Operations ResearchProbability·Captain: Lucas

Symmetric Rendezvous on the LineOpen Problem

Motivation

Rendezvous search asks how two agents who cannot communicate should move so as to meet as quickly as possible. It was introduced as a mathematical problem by Alpern (The rendezvous search problem, SIAM J. Control Optim. 1995) and developed systematically in Alpern and Gal's monograph The Theory of Search Games and Rendezvous (Kluwer, 2003). Besides its game-theoretic interest, it is a model for coordination without prior agreement: robots or searchers that must find each other with no shared map or orientation.

The simplest non-trivial domain is the line. Even there, the version in which both agents must follow the same strategy remains open, and it is listed on the Open Problem Garden with importance "High".

Timeline:

  • 1995. Alpern formulates symmetric rendezvous search problems, in which the players must use the same mixed strategy.
  • 1995. Alpern and Gal (Rendezvous search on the line with distinguishable players, SIAM J. Control Optim. 33(4)) solve the asymmetric problem on the line, where the players may use different strategies: the optimal expected meeting time is 3.253.253.25.
  • 1995–2008. A series of papers improve upper and lower bounds on the symmetric value.
  • 2008. Han, Du, Vera and Zuluaga (Improved bounds for the symmetric rendezvous search problem on the line, Operations Research 56(3)) show that strategies moving at full speed and turning only at integer times dominate, reducing the problem to a discrete one, prove 4.1520<R<4.25744.1520 < R < 4.25744.1520<R<4.2574, and conjecture R=4.25R = 4.25R=4.25.

Setting

Two players are placed on the real line at distance 222; player I starts at 000 and player II at 222. Each player has a private sense of "forward", fixed by an independent fair coin, so neither knows in which direction the other lies. Both move with speed at most 111.

A feasible path is a function fff with f(0)=0f(0)=0f(0)=0 and ∣f(s)−f(t)∣≤∣s−t∣|f(s)-f(t)|\le |s-t|∣f(s)−f(t)∣≤∣s−t∣ for s,t≥0s,t\ge 0s,t≥0, describing a player's position in its own frame. A mixed strategy SSS is a probability distribution over feasible paths, realised as a probability space (Ω,P)(\Omega,P)(Ω,P) and a random path ω↦fω\omega\mapsto f_\omegaω↦fω​ whose position at each fixed time is measurable.

If player I follows fff with orientation ε1∈{±1}\varepsilon_1\in\{\pm1\}ε1​∈{±1} and player II follows ggg with orientation ε2\varepsilon_2ε2​, their positions are ε1f(t)\varepsilon_1 f(t)ε1​f(t) and 2+ε2g(t)2+\varepsilon_2 g(t)2+ε2​g(t). The meeting time is

T=inf⁡{t≥0: ε1f(t)=2+ε2g(t)}∈[0,∞].T=\inf\{t\ge 0:\ \varepsilon_1 f(t) = 2+\varepsilon_2 g(t)\}\in[0,\infty].T=inf{t≥0: ε1​f(t)=2+ε2​g(t)}∈[0,∞].

For strategies S1,S2S_1,S_2S1​,S2​ with independent randomisations, the expected meeting time E(S1,S2)E(S_1,S_2)E(S1​,S2​) averages TTT over f∼S1f\sim S_1f∼S1​, g∼S2g\sim S_2g∼S2​ and the four equally likely orientation pairs. The symmetric rendezvous value and the asymmetric rendezvous value are

R=inf⁡SE(S,S),Ra=inf⁡S1,S2E(S1,S2).R=\inf_{S} E(S,S),\qquad R^a=\inf_{S_1,S_2}E(S_1,S_2).R=Sinf​E(S,S),Ra=S1​,S2​inf​E(S1​,S2​).

An integer zigzag is a path that on each interval [n,n+1][n,n+1][n,n+1], n∈Nn\in\mathbb Nn∈N, moves with velocity +1+1+1 or −1-1−1; RdiscR_{\mathrm{disc}}Rdisc​ denotes the infimum of E(S,S)E(S,S)E(S,S) over strategies supported on integer zigzags.

Formalization targets

Goal: the conjectured value

R=174.R=\frac{17}{4}.R=417​.

This is the Han–Du–Vera–Zuluaga conjecture and answers the Open Problem Garden question. A formal disproof is equally valuable.

Milestones from the literature

  1. Alpern–Gal: Ra=134R^a = \dfrac{13}{4}Ra=413​.
  2. Han–Du–Vera–Zuluaga reduction: R=RdiscR = R_{\mathrm{disc}}R=Rdisc​.
  3. Han–Du–Vera–Zuluaga lower bound: 4.1520<R4.1520 < R4.1520<R.
  4. Han–Du–Vera–Zuluaga upper bound: R<4.2574R < 4.2574R<4.2574.

Significance

The value RRR measures the cost of symmetry in the most basic rendezvous problem: Ra=3.25R^a = 3.25Ra=3.25 when roles can be pre-assigned, while the best known symmetric strategies need about 4.254.254.25. Determining RRR exactly would settle a problem that has been open since 1995 and would calibrate numerical methods (linear and semidefinite relaxations over discretised strategies) used for related search games.

None of these results is formalized. The milestones are proved on paper; formalizing them requires a measure-theoretic treatment of mixed strategies over path space, a rigorous version of the discretisation argument, and certified numerical bounds. The goal itself is open.

Difficulty

The obvious approach is to optimise over finitely many turning times, but a symmetric strategy must be randomised (any deterministic symmetric strategy fails to meet with probability 1/21/21/2, when both players face the same way), so the optimisation is over probability distributions on infinite paths and the objective is a quadratic, non-convex function of the distribution. Truncating to finite horizons gives upper bounds by explicit strategies, but lower bounds require controlling all strategies, including those that delay indefinitely, and the known gap 4.15204.15204.1520–4.25744.25744.2574 has resisted closing.

Formalization scope

All values live in [0,∞][0,\infty][0,∞] and expectations are Lebesgue integrals of non-negative functions; a strategy that fails to meet with positive probability has value ∞\infty∞. Sample spaces range over a fixed universe, which loses no generality. Paths are required to be 111-Lipschitz on [0,∞)[0,\infty)[0,∞) with f(0)=0f(0)=0f(0)=0, and positions at fixed times are measurable, so meeting times are random variables. The four orientation pairs are weighted equally. The infimum in RRR ranges over all such strategies, not only over integer zigzags; the restriction appears only in RdiscR_{\mathrm{disc}}Rdisc​. A trivializing reading (e.g. a meeting time of 000 or an unrestricted speed) is excluded: by construction every strategy pair has expected meeting time at least 111.

Contributions are welcome on: measurability of hitting times for continuous processes, the discretisation argument, explicit strategies with certified expected meeting times, and certified lower-bound certificates.

Selected references

  • S. Alpern, The rendezvous search problem, SIAM J. Control Optim. 33(3) (1995), 673–683.
  • S. Alpern, S. Gal, Rendezvous search on the line with distinguishable players, SIAM J. Control Optim. 33(4) (1995), 1270–1276.
  • S. Alpern, S. Gal, The Theory of Search Games and Rendezvous, International Series in Operations Research & Management Science 55, Kluwer, 2003.
  • Q. Han, D. Du, J. C. Vera, L. F. Zuluaga, Improved bounds for the symmetric rendezvous search problem on the line, Operations Research 56(3) (2008).
  • Open Problem Garden, Rendezvous on a line. http://www.openproblemgarden.org/op/rendezvous_on_a_line
6 thms2 active usersReviewed
Probability·Captain: Lucas

KPZ Universality Conjecture: Ballistic Deposition Height Fluctuations of Order t^{1/3}Open Problem

Motivation

A large family of random growth models, interacting particle systems and directed polymers in one space dimension share a common, non-Gaussian fluctuation theory: observables of size ttt fluctuate on the scale t1/3t^{1/3}t1/3 (instead of the central-limit scale t1/2t^{1/2}t1/2), with spatial correlations on the scale t2/3t^{2/3}t2/3. This family is the Kardar–Parisi–Zhang (KPZ) universality class, named after the 1986 physics paper of Kardar, Parisi and Zhang. The KPZ universality conjecture (Open Problem Garden, posted 2020, importance "High") asks for a central limit theorem for this class: any one-dimensional growth model with a smoothing mechanism, short-range noise and slope-dependent ("lateral") growth should exhibit KPZ fluctuations.

KPZ fluctuations have been proved only for models with exact algebraic structure, such as the corner growth model / totally asymmetric exclusion process (Johansson, 2000) and the polynuclear growth model (Prähofer–Spohn, 2002). The Open Problem Garden entry describes ballistic deposition (Vold, 1959) as a concrete growth model with the KPZ features. Corwin's survey states the prediction that its column heights fluctuate like t1/3t^{1/3}t1/3 and notes that "this prediction has not been proved" (Corwin 2012, §1.1.1). Ballistic deposition has no known exact solvability, so it tests universality itself rather than one integrable instance of it.

Timeline.

  • 1959 — Vold introduces ballistic deposition as a sediment model.
  • 1986 — Kardar–Parisi–Zhang predict the exponents 1/31/31/3 and 2/32/32/3.
  • 2000 — Seppäläinen proves a strong law of large numbers (hydrodynamic limit) for the ballistic deposition interface (arXiv:math/9906193).
  • 2008 — Penrose proves linear growth of the mean height, LpL^pLp laws of large numbers, polynomial moment bounds, a duality with a seed-grown process, and the only known lower bound on fluctuations: Var⁡ξt(0)≳log⁡t\operatorname{Var}\xi_t(0)\gtrsim\log tVarξt​(0)≳logt in d=1d=1d=1 (arXiv:math/0608540).
  • 2021 — Chatterjee proves existence of a stationary measure for the gradient process (arXiv:2110.10294).
  • 2026 — Sudijono proves exponential concentration and the upper bound Var⁡ξt(0)≤Ct\operatorname{Var}\xi_t(0)\le CtVarξt​(0)≤Ct (arXiv:2609.24056).

The gap between log⁡t\log tlogt and ttt is open; the predicted order is t2/3t^{2/3}t2/3.

Setting

Columns are indexed by x∈Zx\in\mathbb Zx∈Z. Each column carries an independent rate-one Poisson clock: on a probability space (Ω,P)(\Omega,P)(Ω,P) the inter-arrival times τx,k\tau_{x,k}τx,k​, (x,k)∈Z×N(x,k)\in\mathbb Z\times\mathbb N(x,k)∈Z×N, are independent and Exp(1)\mathrm{Exp}(1)Exp(1)-distributed, and the nnn-th ring of column xxx (counting from n=0n=0n=0) is at time Tx,n=τx,0+⋯+τx,nT_{x,n}=\tau_{x,0}+\dots+\tau_{x,n}Tx,n​=τx,0​+⋯+τx,n​.

Random deposition. The height Nt(x)N_t(x)Nt​(x) of column xxx at time ttt is the number of rings of its clock in [0,t][0,t][0,t]. Columns are independent and Nt(x)N_t(x)Nt​(x) is Poisson with mean ttt.

Ballistic deposition (nearest-neighbour model, flat initial surface). Write ξt(x)∈N\xi_t(x)\in\mathbb Nξt​(x)∈N for the height of column xxx at time ttt, with ξ0≡0\xi_0\equiv0ξ0​≡0. When the clock of column xxx rings at time ttt, a unit block falls in column xxx and sticks at the first point of contact, so

ξt(x)=max⁡{ξt−(x)+1, ξt−(x−1), ξt−(x+1)},\xi_t(x)=\max\{\xi_{t-}(x)+1,\ \xi_{t-}(x-1),\ \xi_{t-}(x+1)\},ξt​(x)=max{ξt−​(x)+1, ξt−​(x−1), ξt−​(x+1)},

and all other columns are unchanged. On the finite substrate QL=[−L,L]Q_L=[-L,L]QL​=[−L,L] only clocks in QLQ_LQL​ ring and columns outside QLQ_LQL​ stay at height 000; the finitely many rings in [0,t][0,t][0,t] are applied in time order. The height on Z\mathbb ZZ is the monotone limit ξt(x)=lim⁡L→∞ξtQL(x)=sup⁡LξtQL(x)\xi_t(x)=\lim_{L\to\infty}\xi^{Q_L}_t(x)=\sup_L\xi^{Q_L}_t(x)ξt​(x)=limL→∞​ξtQL​​(x)=supL​ξtQL​​(x). The next-arrival height is ηt(x)=max⁡{ξt(x)+1,ξt(x−1),ξt(x+1)}\eta_t(x)=\max\{\xi_t(x)+1,\xi_t(x-1),\xi_t(x+1)\}ηt​(x)=max{ξt​(x)+1,ξt​(x−1),ξt​(x+1)}. This is the model of Penrose (2008) with d=1d=1d=1 and the nearest-neighbour displacement function, and the model (1) of Sudijono (2026) with d=1d=1d=1.

Formalization targets

Goal: the KPZ fluctuation exponent

∃ c,C>0, T:c t2/3 ≤ Var⁡ξt(0) ≤ C t2/3(t≥T).\exists\,c,C>0,\ T:\qquad c\,t^{2/3}\ \le\ \operatorname{Var}\xi_t(0)\ \le\ C\,t^{2/3}\qquad(t\ge T).∃c,C>0, T:ct2/3 ≤ Varξt​(0) ≤ Ct2/3(t≥T).

This is the statement "the column height fluctuates around its mean like t1/3t^{1/3}t1/3" (Corwin 2012, §1.1.1; Sudijono 2026, §1). The constants are left unspecified because they are model-dependent.

Stronger (not formalized here)

The predicted scaling limit: (ξt(0)−ρt)/(σt1/3)(\xi_t(0)-\rho t)/(\sigma t^{1/3})(ξt​(0)−ρt)/(σt1/3) converges in law to the Tracy–Widom GOE distribution for some model-dependent ρ,σ>0\rho,\sigma>0ρ,σ>0.

Milestones (known results)

  1. Random deposition CLT: (Nt(0)−t)/t⇒N(0,1)(N_t(0)-t)/\sqrt t\Rightarrow\mathcal N(0,1)(Nt​(0)−t)/t​⇒N(0,1), the Gaussian class, for contrast.
  2. Penrose, Prop. 2.1: ξt(0),ηt(0)<∞\xi_t(0),\eta_t(0)<\inftyξt​(0),ηt​(0)<∞ a.s. and E[ξt(0)k],E[ηt(0)k]=O(tk)E[\xi_t(0)^k],E[\eta_t(0)^k]=O(t^k)E[ξt​(0)k],E[ηt​(0)k]=O(tk).
  3. Penrose, Thm. 2.1: Eξt(0)/t→ρ1∈(0,∞)E\xi_t(0)/t\to\rho_1\in(0,\infty)Eξt​(0)/t→ρ1​∈(0,∞) and ξt(0)/t→ρ1\xi_t(0)/t\to\rho_1ξt​(0)/t→ρ1​ in every LpL^pLp, p≥1p\ge1p≥1.
  4. Seppäläinen, Thm. 1 (as noted in Penrose, p. 5): ξt(0)/t→ρ1\xi_t(0)/t\to\rho_1ξt​(0)/t→ρ1​ almost surely.
  5. Penrose, Thm. 2.2: lim inf⁡tVar⁡ξt(0)>0\liminf_t\operatorname{Var}\xi_t(0)>0liminft​Varξt​(0)>0 and lim inf⁡tVar⁡ξt(0)/log⁡t>0\liminf_t\operatorname{Var}\xi_t(0)/\log t>0liminft​Varξt​(0)/logt>0.
  6. Sudijono, Thm. 1.1 (2): P(∣ξt(0)−Eξt(0)∣≥r)≤Cexp⁡(−c r2/(t+r))P(|\xi_t(0)-E\xi_t(0)|\ge r)\le C\exp(-c\,r^2/(t+r))P(∣ξt​(0)−Eξt​(0)∣≥r)≤Cexp(−cr2/(t+r)) for t≥1t\ge1t≥1, r≥0r\ge0r≥0.
  7. Sudijono, Thm. 1.1 (3): Var⁡ξt(0)≤Ct\operatorname{Var}\xi_t(0)\le CtVarξt​(0)≤Ct for t≥1t\ge1t≥1.

Significance

A proof of the goal would establish the KPZ exponent for a growth model without exact solvability, which is the content of the universality conjecture as opposed to its integrable special cases. For ballistic deposition only log⁡t≲Var⁡ξt(0)≲t\log t\lesssim\operatorname{Var}\xi_t(0)\lesssim tlogt≲Varξt​(0)≲t is currently known.

On the formal side, the milestones are known results with published proofs; formalizing them requires a library for continuous-time interacting particle systems on Z\mathbb ZZ (graphical constructions, monotone couplings, finite speed of propagation), subadditive ergodic theory, and concentration inequalities for Poisson-driven processes. These pieces are reusable for first-passage percolation and other growth models. The goal itself is open.

Difficulty

The standard tools give the wrong exponents. Bounded-difference concentration applied to a last-passage representation fails because adding one clock ring can change future heights by an unbounded amount (Sudijono 2026, §1); martingale hitting-time arguments reach only the diffusive bound O(t)O(t)O(t). Lower bounds of Pemantle–Peres type reach only log⁡t\log tlogt, as in first-passage percolation, where the analogous gap is also open. The exact formulas (determinantal structure, Bethe ansatz) behind the proved instances of KPZ fluctuations are not available for ballistic deposition.

Formalization scope

The model is encoded on a general probability space (Ω,P)(\Omega,P)(Ω,P) with inter-arrival times τ : ℤ → ℕ → Ω → ℝ satisfying IsPoissonClocks P τ (measurability, mutual independence over ℤ × ℕ, each law expMeasure 1). The finite-substrate process boxHeight τ L t ω sorts the rings in [−L,L]×[0,t][-L,L]\times[0,t][−L,L]×[0,t] lexicographically by (time, column) and folds the update rule bdStep; bdHeight τ t x ω : ℕ∞ is the supremum over LLL. Real-valued statements use bdHeightReal, which is bdHeight cast to ℝ with the value 000 on the event {ξt(x)=∞}\{\xi_t(x)=\infty\}{ξt​(x)=∞}; this event is null (Milestone 2), so the convention does not affect any distributional statement. Ties between rings and non-divergent arrival times are null events and receive junk values. Variances are Mathlib's variance, which returns 000 for non-square-integrable variables; the lower bound in the goal therefore also forces square-integrability, so the goal cannot hold vacuously. Moments in Milestone 2 are lower Lebesgue integrals in [0,∞][0,\infty][0,∞], so they are not trivialised by non-integrability.

Contributions welcome: the graphical construction and its basic properties (monotonicity in LLL and ttt, a.s. finiteness), the duality with seed-grown deposition, subadditivity of hitting times, and the Poisson CLT.

Selected references

  • I. Corwin, The Kardar–Parisi–Zhang equation and universality class, Random Matrices Theory Appl. 1 (2012). https://arxiv.org/abs/1106.1596
  • M. Kardar, G. Parisi, Y.-C. Zhang, Dynamic scaling of growing interfaces, Phys. Rev. Lett. 56 (1986). https://doi.org/10.1103/PhysRevLett.56.889
  • T. Kojar (poster), KPZ Universality Conjecture, Open Problem Garden (2020). http://www.openproblemgarden.org/op/kpz_universality_conjecture
  • M. D. Penrose, Growth and roughness of the interface for ballistic deposition, J. Stat. Phys. 131 (2008). https://arxiv.org/abs/math/0608540
  • T. Seppäläinen, Strong law of large numbers for the interface in ballistic deposition, Ann. Inst. H. Poincaré Probab. Statist. 36 (2000). https://arxiv.org/abs/math/9906193
  • T. Sudijono, A linear variance bound for ballistic deposition, preprint (2026). https://arxiv.org/abs/2609.24056
  • S. Chatterjee, Existence of stationary ballistic deposition on the infinite lattice, preprint (2021). https://arxiv.org/abs/2110.10294
  • K. Johansson, Shape fluctuations and random matrices, Comm. Math. Phys. 209 (2000).
  • M. J. Vold, A numerical approach to the problem of sediment volume, J. Colloid Sci. 14 (1959).
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Dynamical SystemsTopology·Captain: Lucas

C^r Stability Conjecture (Palis–Smale)Open Problem

Motivation

Structural stability asks when the qualitative behaviour of a dynamical system survives small perturbations. A diffeomorphism fff of a closed manifold is structurally stable if every diffeomorphism ggg close enough to fff is topologically conjugate to fff: some homeomorphism hhh of the manifold satisfies h∘f=g∘hh\circ f=g\circ hh∘f=g∘h, so that hhh carries orbits of fff onto orbits of ggg. Systems that model physical phenomena are only known up to small errors, which is the original reason for interest in this notion (Andronov–Pontryagin, 1937).

In the 1960s Smale introduced Axiom A, a uniform-hyperbolicity condition on the nonwandering set, and showed that it yields a detailed description of the dynamics (spectral decomposition, symbolic dynamics). Palis and Smale conjectured that structural stability forces this hyperbolic structure. The conjecture appears on the Open Problem Garden as the CrC^rCr Stability Conjecture (openproblemgarden.org/op/c_r_stability_conjecture, rated Outstanding): any CrC^rCr structurally stable diffeomorphism is hyperbolic. The same page describes the higher-regularity case as one of the most important and difficult problems in dynamical systems.

Timeline.

  • 1967 — D. V. Anosov proves that Anosov diffeomorphisms (the whole manifold is a hyperbolic set) are structurally stable (Proc. Steklov Inst. Math. 90).
  • 1970 — J. Palis and S. Smale prove that Morse–Smale diffeomorphisms are structurally stable and state the stability conjecture: fff is structurally stable if and only if fff satisfies Axiom A and the strong transversality condition (Global Analysis, Proc. Sympos. Pure Math. 14, AMS).
  • 1971 — J. Robbin proves the "if" direction for C2C^2C2 diffeomorphisms (Ann. of Math. 94); J. Franks obtains necessary conditions for C1C^1C1 stability, including hyperbolicity of periodic points (Trans. Amer. Math. Soc. 158).
  • 1976 — C. Robinson proves the "if" direction for C1C^1C1 diffeomorphisms (J. Differential Equations 22).
  • 1988 — R. Mañé proves the "only if" direction in the C1C^1C1 topology: a C1C^1C1 structurally stable diffeomorphism satisfies Axiom A (Publ. Math. IHÉS 66). In the same volume J. Palis derives the C1C^1C1 Ω\OmegaΩ-stability conjecture.
  • 1997 — S. Hayashi proves the analogous C1C^1C1 statements for flows (Ann. of Math. 145).

For every r≥2r\ge 2r≥2 the "only if" direction remains open.

Setting

Let MMM be a closed manifold: a compact Hausdorff smooth manifold without boundary, of dimension nnn. For an integer r≥1r\ge 1r≥1, Diffr(M)\mathrm{Diff}^r(M)Diffr(M) is the set of CrC^rCr diffeomorphisms f ⁣:M→Mf\colon M\to Mf:M→M, with the CrC^rCr topology: ggg is close to fff when, in finitely many charts and on compact sets, ggg and its derivatives of order ≤r\le r≤r are uniformly close to those of fff.

  • A point xxx is nonwandering for fff if for every neighbourhood UUU of xxx there is k≥1k\ge 1k≥1 with fk(U)∩U≠∅f^k(U)\cap U\neq\emptysetfk(U)∩U=∅. The nonwandering points form the compact invariant set Ω(f)\Omega(f)Ω(f). Every periodic point lies in Ω(f)\Omega(f)Ω(f).
  • A compact set Λ\LambdaΛ with f(Λ)=Λf(\Lambda)=\Lambdaf(Λ)=Λ is hyperbolic if, for a continuous Riemannian metric, each tangent space TxMT_xMTx​M, x∈Λx\in\Lambdax∈Λ, splits as Es(x)⊕Eu(x)E^s(x)\oplus E^u(x)Es(x)⊕Eu(x), the splitting is carried to itself by DfDfDf, and there are C>0C>0C>0 and 0<λ<10<\lambda<10<λ<1 with
∥Dfxkv∥≤Cλk∥v∥ (v∈Es(x)),∥Dfx−kv∥≤Cλk∥v∥ (v∈Eu(x)),k≥0.\|Df^k_x v\|\le C\lambda^k\|v\|\ (v\in E^s(x)),\qquad \|Df^{-k}_x v\|\le C\lambda^k\|v\|\ (v\in E^u(x)),\qquad k\ge 0 .∥Dfxk​v∥≤Cλk∥v∥ (v∈Es(x)),∥Dfx−k​v∥≤Cλk∥v∥ (v∈Eu(x)),k≥0.
  • fff satisfies Axiom A if Ω(f)\Omega(f)Ω(f) is hyperbolic and the periodic points of fff are dense in Ω(f)\Omega(f)Ω(f). fff is Anosov if MMM itself is hyperbolic.
  • fff is CrC^rCr structurally stable if some CrC^rCr neighbourhood of fff consists of diffeomorphisms topologically conjugate to fff. It is CrC^rCr Ω\OmegaΩ-stable if for all ggg in some CrC^rCr neighbourhood, f∣Ω(f)f|_{\Omega(f)}f∣Ω(f)​ and g∣Ω(g)g|_{\Omega(g)}g∣Ω(g)​ are topologically conjugate.

Formalization targets

Goal: the CrC^rCr stability conjecture

For every closed manifold MMM, every r≥1r\ge 1r≥1 and every f∈Diffr(M)f\in\mathrm{Diff}^r(M)f∈Diffr(M),

f is Cr structurally stable  ⟹  f satisfies Axiom A.f \text{ is } C^r \text{ structurally stable} \;\Longrightarrow\; f \text{ satisfies Axiom A}.f is Cr structurally stable⟹f satisfies Axiom A.

The case r=1r=1r=1 is Mañé's theorem; the cases r≥2r\ge 2r≥2 are open.

Milestones

  1. Franks (1971). A C1C^1C1 structurally stable diffeomorphism has only hyperbolic periodic points.
  2. Consequence of Pugh's closing lemma. For a C1C^1C1 structurally stable fff, Per(f)‾=Ω(f)\overline{\mathrm{Per}(f)}=\Omega(f)Per(f)​=Ω(f).
  3. Mañé (1988). The goal for r=1r=1r=1.
  4. Palis (1988). A C1C^1C1 Ω\OmegaΩ-stable diffeomorphism satisfies Axiom A.
  5. Anosov (1967). For every r≥1r\ge1r≥1, an Anosov CrC^rCr diffeomorphism is CrC^rCr structurally stable.

Significance

The result. A positive answer would give a dynamical characterization of structural stability in every regularity: together with the theorems of Robbin and Robinson (Axiom A plus strong transversality implies stability), it would show that structurally stable diffeomorphisms are exactly the hyperbolic ones with transverse stable and unstable manifolds. Every structurally stable system would then inherit Smale's spectral decomposition and its symbolic models. In the C1C^1C1 topology this picture is complete (Mañé); in higher regularity it is not known whether a structurally stable system can fail to be hyperbolic.

Formalizing it. The mission produces a common Lean vocabulary for hyperbolic sets, Axiom A, and structural and Ω\OmegaΩ-stability of diffeomorphisms of closed manifolds, compatible with the existing CrC^rCr topology and nonwandering-set definitions on the platform. The proved cases (Anosov, Franks, Mañé, Palis) are milestones whose formal proofs would be new contributions; the goal itself is open for r≥2r\ge 2r≥2.

Difficulty

The known C1C^1C1 proof rests on perturbation tools that work only in the C1C^1C1 topology: Franks' lemma (realizing any small change of the derivative along a periodic orbit by a C1C^1C1-small perturbation), Pugh's closing lemma and Mañé's ergodic closing lemma. In the CrC^rCr topology, r≥2r\ge 2r≥2, a perturbation that changes the derivative by a fixed amount on a small ball has large higher derivatives, so these local constructions are not CrC^rCr-small; Gutierrez's examples on the torus show that the local perturbation schemes used for the C1C^1C1 closing lemma cannot work in the C2C^2C2 topology. Whether periodic points are even dense in Ω(f)\Omega(f)Ω(f) for a CrC^rCr structurally stable fff is a case of the CrC^rCr closing problem, itself open.

Formalization scope

  • MMM is a type with [TopologicalSpace M] [T2Space M] [CompactSpace M], a ChartedSpace structure over EuclideanSpace ℝ (Fin n) and IsManifold (𝓡 n) ∞ M (smooth, no boundary). Diffr(M)\mathrm{Diff}^r(M)Diffr(M) is ClosingLemma.Diff n M r with the weak CrC^rCr topology ClosingLemma.crTopology r (published definition ClosingLemma_DiffeoCrTopology); on compact MMM it coincides with the strong topology. rrr is a natural number with r≥1r\ge 1r≥1; r=∞r=\inftyr=∞ is not covered.
  • Ω(f)\Omega(f)Ω(f) is PughClosingLemma.nonwanderingSet (published definition PughClosingLemma_nonwandering).
  • Hyperbolicity uses mfderiv and an arbitrary continuous Riemannian metric (Bundle.ContinuousRiemannianMetric on the tangent bundle); since MMM is compact, the choice of metric only changes CCC. Continuity of the splitting is not assumed, being a consequence of the estimates. A periodic point is hyperbolic when its finite orbit is a hyperbolic set, which is equivalent to the eigenvalue condition.
  • Axiom A requires density of periodic points in Ω(f)\Omega(f)Ω(f) as a separate condition, following Smale's definition.
  • Structural stability asks only for a conjugating homeomorphism, without requiring it to be close to the identity. The strong transversality part of the Palis–Smale conjecture is not part of the goal.
  • Infrastructure needed: stable manifold theory for hyperbolic sets, shadowing, Franks' lemma and closing lemmas on manifolds. These are reusable beyond this mission, and contributions of them are welcome.

Selected references

  • Open Problem Garden, CrC^rCr Stability Conjecture, posted December 20, 2007. https://www.openproblemgarden.org/op/c_r_stability_conjecture
  • D. V. Anosov, Geodesic flows on closed Riemannian manifolds with negative curvature, Proc. Steklov Inst. Math. 90, 1967.
  • J. Palis, S. Smale, Structural stability theorems, Global Analysis, Proc. Sympos. Pure Math. 14, AMS, 1970.
  • J. Robbin, A structural stability theorem, Ann. of Math. 94, 1971.
  • J. Franks, Necessary conditions for stability of diffeomorphisms, Trans. Amer. Math. Soc. 158, 1971.
  • C. Robinson, Structural stability of C1C^1C1 diffeomorphisms, J. Differential Equations 22, 1976.
  • R. Mañé, A proof of the C1C^1C1 stability conjecture, Publ. Math. IHÉS 66, 1988.
  • J. Palis, On the C1C^1C1 Ω\OmegaΩ-stability conjecture, Publ. Math. IHÉS 66, 1988.
  • S. Hayashi, Connecting invariant manifolds and the solution of the C1C^1C1 stability and Ω\OmegaΩ-stability conjectures for flows, Ann. of Math. 145, 1997.
  • C. Pugh, An improved closing lemma and a general density theorem, Amer. J. Math. 89, 1967.
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Dynamical Systems·Captain: Lucas

Palis Conjecture: Denseness of Finitude of AttractorsOpen Problem

Motivation

A basic aim of the theory of dynamical systems is to describe the long-term behaviour of typical orbits of typical systems. In the 1960s Smale's programme hoped that hyperbolic (structurally stable) systems would be dense, so that the asymptotic behaviour of a dense set of systems would be described by finitely many hyperbolic pieces. This hope fails: there are open sets of diffeomorphisms none of which is hyperbolic. Jacob Palis proposed a replacement global picture, in which hyperbolicity is replaced by a statistical requirement: for a dense set of systems, the asymptotics of Lebesgue-almost every orbit is captured by finitely many attractors. The problem appears on the Open Problem Garden (page), rated Outstanding, with the monograph of Bonatti, Diaz and Viana as reference.

Timeline.

  • 1962 — Peixoto: on a compact orientable surface, structurally stable vector fields (which are Morse–Smale) form an open and dense subset of Xr(M)\mathfrak X^r(M)Xr(M), r≥1r\ge1r≥1. In particular the flow version of the conjecture holds on orientable surfaces (Topology 1, 1962).
  • 1970s — Sinai, Ruelle and Bowen: for C2C^2C2 Axiom A systems, Lebesgue-almost every point lies in the basin of one of finitely many hyperbolic attractors (Bowen, Equilibrium States and the Ergodic Theory of Anosov Diffeomorphisms, LNM 470, 1975; Bowen–Ruelle, Invent. Math. 29, 1975).
  • 1974 — Newhouse: there are open sets of C2C^2C2 surface diffeomorphisms in which a residual subset has infinitely many sinks. Hence finitude of attractors cannot hold on an open and dense set in general, and dense is the natural quantifier.
  • 2000 — Palis states the global conjecture on the denseness of finitude of attractors (Astérisque 261), together with companion conjectures on physical measures and stochastic stability.
  • 2000 — Pujals–Sambarino: every C1C^1C1 surface diffeomorphism can be C1C^1C1-approximated by a hyperbolic one or by one with a homoclinic tangency (Ann. of Math. 151).

The conjecture is open in general.

Setting

Let MMM be a compact, connected, boundaryless smooth manifold of dimension nnn. For r≥1r\ge1r≥1 let Diffr(M)\mathrm{Diff}^r(M)Diffr(M) be the space of CrC^rCr diffeomorphisms of MMM and Xr(M)\mathfrak X^r(M)Xr(M) the space of CrC^rCr vector fields, both with the CrC^rCr topology (uniform convergence of the maps and of their derivatives up to order rrr in charts).

For a diffeomorphism fff and p∈Mp\in Mp∈M, the ω\omegaω-limit set ω(p)\omega(p)ω(p) is the set of accumulation points of the forward orbit fk(p)f^k(p)fk(p), k→∞k\to\inftyk→∞; for a flow (φt)t∈R(\varphi_t)_{t\in\mathbb R}(φt​)t∈R​ it is the set of accumulation points of φt(p)\varphi_t(p)φt​(p) as t→+∞t\to+\inftyt→+∞. The basin of a set Λ⊂M\Lambda\subset MΛ⊂M is

B(Λ)={p∈M: ω(p)⊂Λ}.B(\Lambda)=\{p\in M:\ \omega(p)\subset\Lambda\}.B(Λ)={p∈M: ω(p)⊂Λ}.

Following the source, Λ\LambdaΛ is an attractor if it is invariant (f(Λ)=Λf(\Lambda)=\Lambdaf(Λ)=Λ, resp. φt(Λ)=Λ\varphi_t(\Lambda)=\Lambdaφt​(Λ)=Λ for all ttt), transitive (some point of Λ\LambdaΛ has a forward orbit dense in Λ\LambdaΛ), and B(Λ)B(\Lambda)B(Λ) has positive Lebesgue measure. A set has Lebesgue measure zero in MMM if its image in every chart has Lebesgue measure zero in Rn\mathbb R^nRn; this notion does not depend on the smooth atlas.

Formalization targets

Goal: the Palis conjecture

For every r≥1r\ge1r≥1 there is a dense set D⊂Diffr(M)D\subset\mathrm{Diff}^r(M)D⊂Diffr(M) such that every f∈Df\in Df∈D has finitely many attractors Λ1,…,Λk\Lambda_1,\dots,\Lambda_kΛ1​,…,Λk​ with

Leb(M∖⋃i=1kB(Λi))=0,\mathrm{Leb}\Big(M\setminus\bigcup_{i=1}^k B(\Lambda_i)\Big)=0,Leb(M∖i=1⋃k​B(Λi​))=0,

and likewise there is a dense set D⊂Xr(M)D\subset\mathfrak X^r(M)D⊂Xr(M) such that the flow of every X∈DX\in DX∈D has finitely many attractors whose basins cover Lebesgue-almost all of MMM.

Milestones

  1. The diffeomorphism version and the flow version of the conjecture, separately.
  2. Dimension one: the diffeomorphism version on the circle.
  3. Peixoto: the flow version on compact orientable surfaces.
  4. Basic facts fixing the meaning of the definitions: a hyperbolic sink is an attractor; the identity map (dimension ≥1\ge1≥1) does not have finitely many attractors covering almost all of MMM; every CrC^rCr vector field on a compact boundaryless manifold has a unique global flow.

Significance

The result. A positive answer would give a dense set of systems whose statistical behaviour is completely described by finitely many invariant pieces, providing a global substitute for the failed density of hyperbolicity. It underlies Palis' companion conjectures on the existence of finitely many physical (SRB) measures and their stochastic stability.

Formalizing it. The full conjecture is open. The mission produces a reusable formal language for CrC^rCr diffeomorphisms and vector fields of compact manifolds, CrC^rCr density, Lebesgue-null sets on manifolds, ω\omegaω-limit sets, basins and attractors, together with formal statements of the classical cases (circle diffeomorphisms; Peixoto's theorem on orientable surfaces).

Difficulty

The obvious route — perturb to a hyperbolic system and invoke the Axiom A theory — fails because hyperbolic systems are not dense in dimension ≥2\ge2≥2 for diffeomorphisms (Newhouse phenomenon, robust homoclinic tangencies and heterodimensional cycles). One must control systems near which non-hyperbolic phenomena persist on open sets, where generic systems can have infinitely many sinks, and still find dense subsets with finitely many attractors. Even in the classical cases the proofs require the full machinery of hyperbolic critical elements, stable manifolds and the Kupka–Smale theorem.

Formalization scope

  • MMM is a Hausdorff, compact, connected topological space with a charted-space structure modelled on EuclideanSpace ℝ (Fin n) and a C∞C^\inftyC∞ manifold structure IsManifold (𝓡 n) ∞ M; the model has no boundary, so MMM is boundaryless.
  • rrr is a natural number with r≥1r\ge1r≥1 (the C∞C^\inftyC∞ topology is not covered). Diffr(M)\mathrm{Diff}^r(M)Diffr(M) is M ≃ₘ^r⟮𝓡 n, 𝓡 n⟯ M; vector fields are sections (x : M) → TangentSpace (𝓡 n) x, of class CrC^rCr when x↦(x,X(x))x\mapsto(x,X(x))x↦(x,X(x)) is CrC^rCr into the tangent bundle.
  • Density is expressed with sequences: every element is the CrC^rCr limit of a sequence from DDD (equivalent to topological density since the CrC^rCr topology on a compact manifold is metrizable). CrC^rCr convergence of maps is compact-open convergence plus uniform convergence on compact subsets of chart domains of all derivatives of order ≤r\le r≤r of the chart representatives; for vector fields, the same for the chart representatives y↦De(e−1y) X(e−1y)y\mapsto De(e^{-1}y)\,X(e^{-1}y)y↦De(e−1y)X(e−1y).
  • A set is Lebesgue-null if its image under every chart of the atlas has Lebesgue outer measure zero. ω\omegaω-limits use Mathlib's omegaLimit along atTop. Transitivity means the closure of a forward orbit of a point of Λ\LambdaΛ equals Λ\LambdaΛ.
  • Flows: the flow statements quantify over every global flow Φ\PhiΦ of XXX (Φ0=id\Phi_0=\mathrm{id}Φ0​=id, each orbit an integral curve of XXX); a milestone states that such a flow exists and is unique, so these statements are not vacuous.
  • The goal is not trivialized by taking DDD to be all systems: the identity milestone shows that the finitude property fails for some diffeomorphisms.
  • Reusable infrastructure: Lebesgue-null sets on manifolds, CrC^rCr convergence and density, attractors and basins, flows of vector fields on compact manifolds. Contributions such as hyperbolic fixed points and periodic orbits, stable manifold theorems, rotation numbers of circle diffeomorphisms, and Morse–Smale systems are welcome.

Selected references

  • J. Palis, A global view of dynamics and a conjecture on the denseness of finitude of attractors, Astérisque 261 (2000), 335–347.
  • J. Palis, A global perspective for non-conservative dynamics, Ann. Inst. H. Poincaré Anal. Non Linéaire 22 (2005), 485–507.
  • C. Bonatti, L. J. Díaz, M. Viana, Dynamics Beyond Uniform Hyperbolicity, Encyclopaedia of Mathematical Sciences 102, Springer, 2005.
  • M. M. Peixoto, Structural stability on two-dimensional manifolds, Topology 1 (1962), 101–120.
  • S. E. Newhouse, Diffeomorphisms with infinitely many sinks, Topology 13 (1974), 9–18.
  • R. Bowen, Equilibrium States and the Ergodic Theory of Anosov Diffeomorphisms, Lecture Notes in Math. 470, Springer, 1975.
  • R. Bowen, D. Ruelle, The ergodic theory of Axiom A flows, Invent. Math. 29 (1975), 181–202.
  • E. R. Pujals, M. Sambarino, Homoclinic tangencies and hyperbolicity for surface diffeomorphisms, Ann. of Math. 151 (2000), 961–1023.
  • J. Palis, W. de Melo, Geometric Theory of Dynamical Systems: An Introduction, Springer, 1982.
  • W. de Melo, S. van Strien, One-Dimensional Dynamics, Springer, 1993.
  • Open Problem Garden: https://www.openproblemgarden.org/op/jacob_palis_conjecture_finitude_of_attractors_dynamical_systems
13 thms2 active usersReviewed
Dynamical SystemsTopology·Captain: Lucas

C^r Closing Lemma for DiffeomorphismsOpen Problem

Motivation

A central question in smooth dynamics is how much of the long-term behaviour of a system is captured by its periodic orbits. Every periodic point is nonwandering (each of its neighbourhoods returns to itself under some iterate), but a nonwandering point need not be periodic. The closing lemma asks whether this gap can be removed by an arbitrarily small perturbation: given a nonwandering point ppp of a diffeomorphism fff, is there a diffeomorphism ggg, as close to fff as desired, for which ppp is a periodic point?

The answer controls the generic picture of dynamics. Pugh's General Density Theorem, which rests on the closing lemma, says that for a generic C1C^1C1 diffeomorphism of a closed manifold the periodic points are dense in the nonwandering set. Results of this kind underlie the C1C^1C1-generic theory of dynamical systems (stability conjectures, generic properties of homoclinic classes). Whether the same holds for smoother perturbations is open; the question appears on the Open Problem Garden (closing lemma for diffeomorphisms, rated Outstanding) and is Problem 10 on Smale's 1998 list of mathematical problems for the next century.

Timeline.

  • 1967 — C. Pugh proves the closing lemma for C1C^1C1 perturbations of diffeomorphisms of a compact manifold, together with the General Density Theorem (Amer. J. Math. 89).
  • 1983 — C. Pugh and C. Robinson extend the C1C^1C1 closing lemma to flows and to conservative and Hamiltonian systems (Ergodic Theory Dynam. Systems 3).
  • 1987 — C. Gutierrez constructs examples on the torus showing that the local perturbation schemes used for C1C^1C1 cannot work in the C2C^2C2 topology (Ergodic Theory Dynam. Systems 7).
  • 1997 — S. Hayashi proves the C1C^1C1 connecting lemma (Ann. of Math. 145); the Open Problem Garden credits him with the C1C^1C1 case for flows.
  • 2016 — M. Asaoka and K. Irie prove a C∞C^\inftyC∞ closing lemma for Hamiltonian diffeomorphisms of closed surfaces (arXiv:1512.06336), a special conservative setting in which the closing is obtained near a given open set rather than at a prescribed point.

For general diffeomorphisms and every r>1r > 1r>1 the problem remains open.

Setting

Let MMM be a closed manifold: a compact Hausdorff smooth manifold without boundary, of dimension nnn. For r≥1r \ge 1r≥1, Diffr(M)\mathrm{Diff}^r(M)Diffr(M) is the set of CrC^rCr diffeomorphisms of MMM.

The CrC^rCr topology on Diffr(M)\mathrm{Diff}^r(M)Diffr(M) is defined through charts. For f∈Diffr(M)f \in \mathrm{Diff}^r(M)f∈Diffr(M), smooth charts (φ,U)(\varphi, U)(φ,U) and (ψ,V)(\psi, V)(ψ,V) of MMM, a compact set K⊆UK \subseteq UK⊆U with f(K)⊆Vf(K) \subseteq Vf(K)⊆V, and ε>0\varepsilon > 0ε>0, the basic set

Nr(f;φ,ψ,K,ε)={g:g(K)⊆V, ∥Dk(ψgφ−1)(x)−Dk(ψfφ−1)(x)∥<ε for all x∈φ(K), 0≤k≤r}\mathcal N^r(f;\varphi,\psi,K,\varepsilon) = \Big\{ g : g(K)\subseteq V,\ \big\|D^k(\psi g \varphi^{-1})(x) - D^k(\psi f \varphi^{-1})(x)\big\| < \varepsilon \text{ for all } x \in \varphi(K),\ 0 \le k \le r \Big\}Nr(f;φ,ψ,K,ε)={g:g(K)⊆V, ​Dk(ψgφ−1)(x)−Dk(ψfφ−1)(x)​<ε for all x∈φ(K), 0≤k≤r}

collects the diffeomorphisms whose local representative has all derivatives of order at most rrr uniformly within ε\varepsilonε of those of fff on φ(K)\varphi(K)φ(K). These sets generate the (weak) CrC^rCr topology; on a closed manifold it coincides with the Whitney CrC^rCr topology.

For a map f ⁣:M→Mf\colon M\to Mf:M→M, a point ppp is nonwandering if every neighbourhood UUU of ppp satisfies fk(U)∩U≠∅f^k(U)\cap U\neq\emptysetfk(U)∩U=∅ for some k≥1k\ge 1k≥1; the set of such points is the nonwandering set Ω(f)\Omega(f)Ω(f). A point ppp is periodic for ggg if gm(p)=pg^m(p)=pgm(p)=p for some m≥1m\ge1m≥1.

Formalization targets

Goal: the CrC^rCr closing lemma

For every closed manifold MMM, every r≥1r\ge 1r≥1, every f∈Diffr(M)f\in\mathrm{Diff}^r(M)f∈Diffr(M) and every p∈Ω(f)p\in\Omega(f)p∈Ω(f):

∀ V∋f a Cr-neighbourhood,∃ g∈V, ∃ m≥1: gm(p)=p.\forall\, \mathcal V \ni f \text{ a } C^r\text{-neighbourhood},\quad \exists\, g\in\mathcal V,\ \exists\, m\ge 1:\ g^m(p)=p .∀V∋f a Cr-neighbourhood,∃g∈V, ∃m≥1: gm(p)=p.

Milestones

  1. Compatibility of C1C^1C1 topologies. The C1C^1C1 topology defined above through charts coincides with the C1C^1C1 topology induced by the tangent maps g↦Tgg\mapsto Tgg↦Tg (compact-open topology on maps of the tangent bundle), used by the published statements of Pugh's theorems. Together with milestone 2 it yields the goal for r=1r = 1r=1.
  2. Pugh's C1C^1C1 closing lemma (1967) — the case r=1r=1r=1 (published platform statement).
  3. Pugh's General Density Theorem (1967) — for a residual set of g∈Diff1(M)g\in\mathrm{Diff}^1(M)g∈Diff1(M), Per(g)‾=Ω(g)\overline{\mathrm{Per}(g)}=\Omega(g)Per(g)​=Ω(g) (published platform statement).

Significance

A CrC^rCr closing lemma for r≥2r\ge2r≥2 would give, through the same Baire-category argument as in Pugh's work, a CrC^rCr General Density Theorem: CrC^rCr-generic diffeomorphisms would have periodic points dense in the nonwandering set. Much of the C1C^1C1-generic theory would then become available in the smoother topologies used in smooth ergodic theory, where distortion estimates need at least C1+αC^{1+\alpha}C1+α regularity.

On the formal side, the mission produces a reusable definition of the CrC^rCr topology on diffeomorphism groups, which Mathlib does not currently provide. The r=1r=1r=1 case is a theorem (Pugh 1967) without a machine-checked proof; formalizing it, and the compatibility of the two C1C^1C1 topologies, are concrete sub-goals. The case r≥2r\ge 2r≥2 is open, so a proof of the goal would be a new mathematical result.

Difficulty

A perturbation that makes an almost-returning orbit close up must move the orbit by a distance comparable to how close it comes back. With C1C^1C1 control, the perturbation can be spread over many iterates, and its C1C^1C1 size stays small because derivatives are only constrained to first order. For r≥2r\ge2r≥2, the CrC^rCr norm of a bump of displacement δ\deltaδ supported on a set of diameter ρ\rhoρ scales like δ/ρr\delta/\rho^rδ/ρr, and spreading the perturbation along the orbit no longer keeps it small. Gutierrez's examples show that the local perturbation schemes that work for r=1r=1r=1 do fail in the C2C^2C2 topology, so the natural first idea of copying Pugh's argument is ruled out.

Formalization scope

  • MMM is a type with a charted-space structure modelled on EuclideanSpace ℝ (Fin n) and a C∞C^\inftyC∞ manifold structure (IsManifold (𝓡 n) ∞ M), assumed compact and Hausdorff. Because the model space has no corners, MMM has no boundary.
  • Diffr(M)\mathrm{Diff}^r(M)Diffr(M) is Mathlib's Diffeomorph (𝓡 n) (𝓡 n) M M r, with rrr a natural number.
  • The CrC^rCr topology ClosingLemma.crTopology r is generated by Hirsch's basic sets, using charts of the maximal C∞C^\inftyC∞ atlas and Fréchet derivatives of order 0,…,r0,\dots,r0,…,r of the local representatives at points of φ(K)\varphi(K)φ(K). The goal quantifies over all neighbourhoods of fff for this topology.
  • The nonwandering set is the published PughClosingLemma.nonwanderingSet, shared with the existing statements of Pugh's theorems; periodic points are Mathlib's Function.periodicPts (period at least 111).
  • The hypothesis r≥1r\ge1r≥1 matches the source; r=1r=1r=1 is included in the goal, so the goal is a uniform statement for all finite r≥1r\ge1r≥1.

Infrastructure that would help: a usable API for the CrC^rCr topology (basic neighbourhoods, compatibility under change of charts, the Baire property of Diffr(M)\mathrm{Diff}^r(M)Diffr(M)), and local perturbation lemmas (bump-function perturbations of the identity supported in a chart, with CrC^rCr estimates). Contributions of these as separate lemmas are welcome.

Selected references

  • C. C. Pugh, An improved closing lemma and a general density theorem, Amer. J. Math. 89 (1967), 1010–1021. https://doi.org/10.2307/2373414
  • C. C. Pugh and C. Robinson, The C1C^1C1 closing lemma, including Hamiltonians, Ergodic Theory Dynam. Systems 3 (1983), 261–313.
  • C. Gutierrez, A counter-example to a C2C^2C2 closing lemma, Ergodic Theory Dynam. Systems 7 (1987), 509–530.
  • S. Hayashi, Connecting invariant manifolds and the solution of the C1C^1C1 stability and Ω\OmegaΩ-stability conjectures for flows, Ann. of Math. 145 (1997), 81–137.
  • M. Asaoka and K. Irie, A C∞C^\inftyC∞ closing lemma for Hamiltonian diffeomorphisms of closed surfaces, Geom. Funct. Anal. 26 (2016). https://arxiv.org/abs/1512.06336
  • S. Smale, Mathematical problems for the next century, Math. Intelligencer 20 (1998), 7–15.
  • M. W. Hirsch, Differential Topology, Springer GTM 33, Ch. 2 (definition of the CrC^rCr topologies).
  • Open Problem Garden, Closing Lemma for Diffeomorphism (Dynamical Systems). https://www.openproblemgarden.org/op/closing_lemma_for_diffeomorphism_dynamical_systems
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Control TheoryMarkov ChainStochastic Systems·Captain: mikedeng1

Strong and Weak Equilibria for Time-Inconsistent Stochastic Control in Continuous Time 2: Under Pseudo-Exponential Discounting, a Two-State Generator Is a Weak but Not a Strong EquilibriumResearch Paper

Motivation

An agent whose preferences change over time cannot simply optimize once: a plan that is optimal today may be abandoned tomorrow by the agent's own "future selves". This is time inconsistency, and its standard source is non-exponential discounting, studied since Strotz (1955). The usual response, going back to Strotz and made rigorous in continuous time by Ekeland and Lazrak (2006), is to look for an equilibrium strategy: a strategy from which no future self wants to deviate. In continuous time "no incentive to deviate" is encoded through a first-order condition, which Huang and Zhou call a weak equilibrium.

Björk, Khapko and Murgoci (2017, Remark 3.5) observed that this first-order condition need not express the absence of an incentive to deviate: it only says that a derivative vanishes or is nonnegative, and a stationary point need not be a maximum. Huang and Zhou (Math. Oper. Res. 46(2), 2021; read here as arXiv:1809.09243v3) introduce a strong equilibrium, which requires the agent's payoff to be no better after any short deviation, and study the two notions for continuous-time Markov chains with controlled generators. This mission formalizes their main example (Example 4.3): a concrete two-state model in which a weak equilibrium fails to be strong, so that an agent in one state strictly gains from deviating on every short interval.

Setting

The state space is S={1,…,N}S=\{1,\dots,N\}S={1,…,N}. A generator is a matrix Q∈RN×NQ\in\mathbb R^{N\times N}Q∈RN×N whose iii-th row QiQ_iQi​ lies in Ei={q:qj≥0 (j≠i), qi=−∑j≠iqj}E_i=\{q: q_j\ge0\ (j\ne i),\ q_i=-\sum_{j\ne i}q_j\}Ei​={q:qj​≥0 (j=i), qi​=−∑j=i​qj​}. Admissible rows form sets Di⊆EiD_i\subseteq E_iDi​⊆Ei​, and the control space is Q={Q:Qi∈Di ∀i}\mathcal Q=\{Q: Q_i\in D_i\ \forall i\}Q={Q:Qi​∈Di​ ∀i}. A payoff function f(t,i,q)f(t,i,q)f(t,i,q) gives the payment rate at time difference ttt in state iii when row qqq is in force. The expected payoff of using QQQ from state iii is

F(i,Q)=Ei,Q[∫0∞f(t,Xt,QXt) dt]=∫0∞∑j(etQ)ij f(t,j,Qj) dt.F(i,Q)=\mathbb E_{i,Q}\Big[\int_0^\infty f(t,X_t,Q_{X_t})\,dt\Big]=\int_0^\infty\sum_j (e^{tQ})_{ij}\,f(t,j,Q_j)\,dt .F(i,Q)=Ei,Q​[∫0∞​f(t,Xt​,QXt​​)dt]=∫0∞​j∑​(etQ)ij​f(t,j,Qj​)dt.

The concatenation Q⊗εQ∗Q\otimes_\varepsilon Q^*Q⊗ε​Q∗ uses QQQ on [0,ε][0,\varepsilon][0,ε] and Q∗Q^*Q∗ afterwards. A generator Q∗∈QQ^*\in\mathcal QQ∗∈Q is a weak equilibrium if lim inf⁡ε↓0[F(i,Q∗)−F(i,Q⊗εQ∗)]/ε≥0\liminf_{\varepsilon\downarrow0}[F(i,Q^*)-F(i,Q\otimes_\varepsilon Q^*)]/\varepsilon\ge0liminfε↓0​[F(i,Q∗)−F(i,Q⊗ε​Q∗)]/ε≥0 for all i∈Si\in Si∈S, Q∈QQ\in\mathcal QQ∈Q, and a strong equilibrium if for all i,Qi,Qi,Q there is ε>0\varepsilon>0ε>0 with F(i,Q∗)≥F(i,Q⊗ε′Q∗)F(i,Q^*)\ge F(i,Q\otimes_{\varepsilon'}Q^*)F(i,Q∗)≥F(i,Q⊗ε′​Q∗) for every ε′∈(0,ε]\varepsilon'\in(0,\varepsilon]ε′∈(0,ε].

The paper's first-order and second-order quantities are

ΓQ∗(Qi)=f(0,i,Qi)+Qi⋅F(Q∗),ΛQ∗(i,Q)=ft(0,i,Qi)+Qi⋅(2G(Q∗)+ΓQ∗(Q)),\Gamma^{Q^*}(Q_i)=f(0,i,Q_i)+Q_i\cdot F(Q^*),\qquad \Lambda^{Q^*}(i,Q)=f_t(0,i,Q_i)+Q_i\cdot\big(2G(Q^*)+\Gamma^{Q^*}(Q)\big),ΓQ∗(Qi​)=f(0,i,Qi​)+Qi​⋅F(Q∗),ΛQ∗(i,Q)=ft​(0,i,Qi​)+Qi​⋅(2G(Q∗)+ΓQ∗(Q)),

with GGG the payoff computed with the time derivative ftf_tft​ in place of fff.

In the two-state model of §4, S={1,2}S=\{1,2\}S={1,2}, Di=EiD_i=E_iDi​=Ei​, every generator is Q∼(a,b)=[−aab−b]Q\sim(a,b)=\begin{bmatrix}-a&a\\ b&-b\end{bmatrix}Q∼(a,b)=[−ab​a−b​] with a,b≥0a,b\ge0a,b≥0, and f(t,1,(−a,a))=δ(t)g1(a)f(t,1,(-a,a))=\delta(t)g_1(a)f(t,1,(−a,a))=δ(t)g1​(a), f(t,2,(b,−b))=δ(t)g2(b)f(t,2,(b,-b))=\delta(t)g_2(b)f(t,2,(b,−b))=δ(t)g2​(b) with the pseudo-exponential discount δ(t)=λe−ρt+(1−λ)e−ρ′t\delta(t)=\lambda e^{-\rho t}+(1-\lambda)e^{-\rho't}δ(t)=λe−ρt+(1−λ)e−ρ′t. Example 4.3 takes λ=12\lambda=\tfrac12λ=21​, ρ=1\rho=1ρ=1, ρ′=2\rho'=2ρ′=2, g1(a)=−a2g_1(a)=-a^2g1​(a)=−a2, and g2(b)=193144+56bg_2(b)=\tfrac{193}{144}+\tfrac56bg2​(b)=144193​+65​b for b<712b<\tfrac7{12}b<127​, g2(b)=2−(1−b)2g_2(b)=2-(1-b)^2g2​(b)=2−(1−b)2 for b≥712b\ge\tfrac7{12}b≥127​.

Formalization targets

Goal: Example 4.3

Q∗∼(512,712) is a weak equilibrium and not a strong equilibrium.Q^*\sim\Big(\frac5{12},\frac7{12}\Big)\ \text{is a weak equilibrium and not a strong equilibrium.}Q∗∼(125​,127​) is a weak equilibrium and not a strong equilibrium.

The statement is fully explicit and has no hypotheses.

Milestones

  1. (4.3)–(4.4): closed forms of F1−F2F_1-F_2F1​−F2​ and G1−G2G_1-G_2G1​−G2​ for Q∼(a,b)Q\sim(a,b)Q∼(a,b) under pseudo-exponential discounting.
  2. (4.5), (4.6), (4.8): ΓQ∗(Q1)\Gamma^{Q^*}(Q_1)ΓQ∗(Q1​), ΓQ∗(Q2)\Gamma^{Q^*}(Q_2)ΓQ∗(Q2​) and ΛQ∗(2,Q)\Lambda^{Q^*}(2,Q)ΛQ∗(2,Q) in the two-state model.
  3. Theorem 3.1: under (2.3) and (3.3), Q∗Q^*Q∗ is weak iff ΓQ∗(Qi∗)≥ΓQ∗(Qi)\Gamma^{Q^*}(Q^*_i)\ge\Gamma^{Q^*}(Q_i)ΓQ∗(Qi∗​)≥ΓQ∗(Qi​) for all (i,Q)(i,Q)(i,Q).
  4. (4.11): at Q∗Q^*Q∗, Γ1\Gamma_1Γ1​ is maximized uniquely at a∗a^*a∗ and arg max⁡b≥0Γ2(b)=[0,7/12]\operatorname{arg\,max}_{b\ge0}\Gamma_2(b)=[0,7/12]argmaxb≥0​Γ2​(b)=[0,7/12].
  5. Proposition 3.3: the second-order test on the set RRR of equality cases.
  6. (4.12): Λ2(a∗,b)=−b/12−579/288\Lambda_2(a^*,b)=-b/12-579/288Λ2​(a∗,b)=−b/12−579/288 on [0,7/12][0,7/12][0,7/12], so Λ2(a∗,b∗)<Λ2(a∗,b)\Lambda_2(a^*,b^*)<\Lambda_2(a^*,b)Λ2​(a∗,b∗)<Λ2​(a∗,b) for b∈[0,7/12)b\in[0,7/12)b∈[0,7/12).

Further statements

Remark 4.1: for Q∼(5/12,b)Q\sim(5/12,b)Q∼(5/12,b), b∈[0,7/12)b\in[0,7/12)b∈[0,7/12), F(2,Q∗)<F(2,Q⊗εQ∗)F(2,Q^*)<F(2,Q\otimes_\varepsilon Q^*)F(2,Q∗)<F(2,Q⊗ε​Q∗) for all small ε>0\varepsilon>0ε>0. And (4.13): the equation 56≤2a=12(11+a+12+a)(a2+193144)\tfrac56\le2a=\tfrac12(\tfrac1{1+a}+\tfrac1{2+a})(a^2+\tfrac{193}{144})65​≤2a=21​(1+a1​+2+a1​)(a2+144193​) has a unique solution aˉ≥0\bar a\ge0aˉ≥0, and Qˉ∗∼(aˉ,0)\bar Q^*\sim(\bar a,0)Qˉ​∗∼(aˉ,0) is a strong equilibrium.

Significance

The example shows that the weak equilibrium concept, the standard one in the time-inconsistency literature since Ekeland and Lazrak, admits strategies that an agent would abandon: Remark 4.1 exhibits a deviation that strictly increases the payoff on every short interval. Together with (4.13), it shows that in one and the same model a weak-but-not-strong equilibrium and a strong equilibrium coexist, so the choice of equilibrium concept changes which strategies are predicted. The example is the paper's justification for introducing strong equilibria.

The result is proved in the paper, through the first-order characterization (Theorem 3.1), the second-order test (Proposition 3.3, resting on the second-order expansion Lemma 3.2) and explicit computations in the two-state model. None of it has been machine-checked. A formal proof would provide checked versions of Theorem 3.1 and Proposition 3.3 for finite-state chains, reusable for any other example, and an independent check of the arithmetic of Example 4.3, where the source contains at least one misprinted formula.

Difficulty

Both conjuncts of the goal concern the small-ε\varepsilonε behaviour of F(2,Q⊗εQ∗)F(2,Q\otimes_\varepsilon Q^*)F(2,Q⊗ε​Q∗), an integral of products of matrix exponentials. Weakness reduces to a first-order comparison by Theorem 3.1, but its proof needs the expansion (3.6) with an o(ε)o(\varepsilon)o(ε) remainder controlled uniformly enough to pass under the integral over [0,∞)[0,\infty)[0,∞). Failure of strong equilibrium cannot be read off the first-order term: at b∗=7/12b^*=7/12b∗=7/12 the maximizer of Γ2\Gamma_2Γ2​ is not unique, every b∈[0,7/12)b\in[0,7/12)b∈[0,7/12) ties at first order, and the decision moves to the second-order coefficient Λ\LambdaΛ of Lemma 3.2, whose derivation needs a second-order expansion of the concatenated payoff. The regularity hypotheses of Lemma 3.2 and of (3.3) must also be verified for the example's discount function.

Formalization scope

States are Fin N; the paper's state kkk is index k−1k-1k−1, so in the two-state model state 1 is 0 : Fin 2 and state 2 is 1 : Fin 2. Expectations are written through the transition matrices etQe^{tQ}etQ (NormedSpace.exp (t • Q)) and Fubini, exactly as the paper computes on p. 23; no Markov process is constructed. Payoffs are Bochner integrals over (0,∞)(0,\infty)(0,∞). The weak-equilibrium condition is written as "for every η>0\eta>0η>0, eventually as ε↓0\varepsilon\downarrow0ε↓0 the quotient is ≥−η\ge-\eta≥−η", which is lim inf⁡≥0\liminf\ge0liminf≥0 without a real-valued liminf. The norm in (2.3) is the sup norm, equivalent to the paper's Euclidean norm because (2.3) quantifies over every c>0c>0c>0.

Standing assumptions: Di⊆EiD_i\subseteq E_iDi​⊆Ei​, continuity of fff in ttt (2.2) and the integrability condition (2.3). Theorem 3.1 adds the shift bound (3.3)–(3.5); Proposition 3.3 assumes the conditions of Lemma 3.2, with the derivative ftf_tft​ tied to fff. The closed forms (4.3)–(4.4) assume ρ,ρ′>0\rho,\rho'>0ρ,ρ′>0 (the page allows ρ,ρ′≥0\rho,\rho'\ge0ρ,ρ′≥0, but with a zero rate the payoff integral diverges); the algebraic identities (4.5)–(4.8) keep the page's ρ,ρ′≥0\rho,\rho'\ge0ρ,ρ′≥0; Example 4.3 has ρ=1\rho=1ρ=1, ρ′=2\rho'=2ρ′=2. Statement (4.11) gives Γ2(b)=g2(b)−56b\Gamma_2(b)=g_2(b)-\tfrac56bΓ2​(b)=g2​(b)−65​b and the argmax; the page's case formula for b≥7/12b\ge7/12b≥7/12 contains a misprint and is not used.

No trivializing reading is available: the goal has no hypotheses, FFF is built from etQe^{tQ}etQ and the concatenation uses QQQ before and Q∗Q^*Q∗ after ε\varepsilonε, so neither conjunct holds by a junk value. Integrability of every payoff follows from (2.3) and is never assumed.

Theorem 3.1 and the second-order package are also drafted in the companion mission on existence of equilibria; they are restated here in the sub-namespace StrongWeakEq.TwoState. The goal needs the verification of (2.3), (3.3) and the Lemma 3.2 conditions for the example (convexity of δ\deltaδ gives (3.15)), the closed forms of etQe^{tQ}etQ for two-state generators, and the expansions of the paper. Contributions of proofs of the general results (Theorem 3.1, Proposition 3.3) are welcome independently of the example.

Selected references

  • Y.-J. Huang and Z. Zhou, Strong and Weak Equilibria for Time-Inconsistent Stochastic Control in Continuous Time, Math. Oper. Res. 46(2), 2021; arXiv:1809.09243v3. https://arxiv.org/abs/1809.09243, https://doi.org/10.1287/moor.2020.1066
  • I. Ekeland and A. Lazrak, Being serious about non-commitment: subgame perfect equilibrium in continuous time, 2006. https://arxiv.org/abs/math/0604264
  • T. Björk, M. Khapko and A. Murgoci, On time-inconsistent stochastic control in continuous time, Finance Stoch. 21 (2017), pp. 331–360.
  • R. H. Strotz, Myopia and inconsistency in dynamic utility maximization, Rev. Econ. Stud. 23 (1955), pp. 165–180.
11 thms2 active usersReviewed
Control TheoryDynamic ProgrammingMarkov Chain+1·Captain: mikedeng1

Strong and Weak Equilibria for Time-Inconsistent Stochastic Control in Continuous Time 4: Limits of Equilibria of the Time-Discretized Problems Are Weak Equilibria in Continuous TimeResearch Paper

Motivation

A decision maker is time-inconsistent when the plan that is optimal today stops being optimal tomorrow. The standard source is non-exponential discounting: a reward ttt units of time ahead is weighted by δ(t)\delta(t)δ(t), and unless δ\deltaδ is exponential the relative weight of two future dates changes as time passes. Hyperbolic and pseudo-exponential discount functions, which fit experimental and group-decision data better than exponential ones, all have this property. For such an agent "optimal control" is not a meaningful target, and the literature instead looks for equilibrium policies: plans that no current self wants to deviate from, given that all future selves follow the plan.

In discrete time the definition is unambiguous: a policy is an equilibrium if deviating at the current step alone does not help. In continuous time there is no "current step", and the usual definition, due to Ekeland and Lazrak (2006), compares the payoff of the plan with that of a deviation on a short interval [0,ε][0,\varepsilon][0,ε] through a first-order condition as ε↓0\varepsilon\downarrow0ε↓0. Huang and Zhou (arXiv:1809.09243, Math. Oper. Res. 2021) call this a weak equilibrium, introduce a strong equilibrium that requires the deviation to be unprofitable for every small ε\varepsilonε, and study both for a controlled finite-state Markov chain.

A natural question is whether continuous-time equilibria are the limits of the discrete-time ones as the time step shrinks. This mission formalizes the paper's answer (§5.1): limits of discrete equilibria are always weak equilibria. The paper's Example 5.1 shows they need not be strong.

Setting

The state space is S={1,…,N}S=\{1,\dots,N\}S={1,…,N}. A continuous-time Markov chain on SSS is controlled through its generator Q=(qij)Q=(q_{ij})Q=(qij​): in state iii the row QiQ_iQi​ is chosen from an admissible set Di⊆Ei={q:qj≥0 (j≠i), qi=−∑j≠iqj}D_i\subseteq E_i=\{q: q_j\ge0\ (j\ne i),\ q_i=-\sum_{j\ne i}q_j\}Di​⊆Ei​={q:qj​≥0 (j=i), qi​=−∑j=i​qj​}, and the control space is Q={Q:Qi∈Di ∀i}\mathcal Q=\{Q: Q_i\in D_i\ \forall i\}Q={Q:Qi​∈Di​ ∀i}. A payoff function f(t,i,q)f(t,i,q)f(t,i,q) gives the reward at time-distance ttt from now, in state iii, under row qqq. The standing assumptions are continuity of t↦f(t,i,q)t\mapsto f(t,i,q)t↦f(t,i,q) on [0,∞)[0,\infty)[0,∞) and, for each c>0c>0c>0, integrability over [0,∞)[0,\infty)[0,∞) of sup⁡i, q∈Di, ∥q∥≤c∣f(t,i,q)∣\sup_{i,\,q\in D_i,\,\|q\|\le c}|f(t,i,q)|supi,q∈Di​,∥q∥≤c​∣f(t,i,q)∣ (condition (2.3)). The expected payoff from state iii is

F(i,Q)=Ei,Q[∫0∞f(t,Xt,QXt) dt]=∫0∞∑j(etQ)ijf(t,j,Qj) dt,F(i,Q)=\mathbb E_{i,Q}\Big[\int_0^\infty f(t,X_t,Q_{X_t})\,dt\Big]=\int_0^\infty\sum_j(e^{tQ})_{ij}f(t,j,Q_j)\,dt,F(i,Q)=Ei,Q​[∫0∞​f(t,Xt​,QXt​​)dt]=∫0∞​j∑​(etQ)ij​f(t,j,Qj​)dt,

and F(Q)=(F(1,Q),…,F(N,Q))F(Q)=(F(1,Q),\dots,F(N,Q))F(Q)=(F(1,Q),…,F(N,Q)). With Q⊗εQ∗Q\otimes_\varepsilon Q^*Q⊗ε​Q∗ the generator that uses QQQ on [0,ε][0,\varepsilon][0,ε] and Q∗Q^*Q∗ afterwards, Q∗∈QQ^*\in\mathcal QQ∗∈Q is a weak equilibrium if lim inf⁡ε↓0(F(i,Q∗)−F(i,Q⊗εQ∗))/ε≥0\liminf_{\varepsilon\downarrow0}\big(F(i,Q^*)-F(i,Q\otimes_\varepsilon Q^*)\big)/\varepsilon\ge0liminfε↓0​(F(i,Q∗)−F(i,Q⊗ε​Q∗))/ε≥0 for all iii and Q∈QQ\in\mathcal QQ∈Q. The first-order quantity is ΓQ∗(q)=f(0,i,q)+q⋅F(Q∗)\Gamma^{Q^*}(q)=f(0,i,q)+q\cdot F(Q^*)ΓQ∗(q)=f(0,i,q)+q⋅F(Q∗).

Discretization. Fix a mesh δn>0\delta_n>0δn​>0. A transition matrix uuu (rows in the probability simplex P\mathfrak PP) has generator Qu,n=(u−I)/δnQ^{u,n}=(u-I)/\delta_nQu,n=(u−I)/δn​, the admissible matrices are An={u:Qu,n∈Q}\mathcal A^n=\{u: Q^{u,n}\in\mathcal Q\}An={u:Qu,n∈Q}, and the discrete payoff is κn(k,i,α)=f(kδn,i,(α−ei)/δn) δn\kappa^n(k,i,\alpha)=f\big(k\delta_n,i,(\alpha-e_i)/\delta_n\big)\,\delta_nκn(k,i,α)=f(kδn​,i,(α−ei​)/δn​)δn​. The discrete value is Vn(i,u)=Ei,u[∑k≥0κn(k,Xk,uXk)]V^n(i,u)=\mathbb E_{i,u}\big[\sum_{k\ge0}\kappa^n(k,X_k,u_{X_k})\big]Vn(i,u)=Ei,u​[∑k≥0​κn(k,Xk​,uXk​​)], and un∈Anu^n\in\mathcal A^nun∈An is a discrete equilibrium if Vn(i,un)≥Vn(i,u⊗1un)V^n(i,u^n)\ge V^n(i,u\otimes_1u^n)Vn(i,un)≥Vn(i,u⊗1​un) for all iii and u∈Anu\in\mathcal A^nu∈An, where u⊗1unu\otimes_1u^nu⊗1​un uses uuu at time 000 and unu^nun afterwards. The continuation values are Hin(un)=Ei,un[∑k≥0κn(k+1,Xk,uXkn)]H^n_i(u^n)=\mathbb E_{i,u^n}\big[\sum_{k\ge0}\kappa^n(k+1,X_k,u^n_{X_k})\big]Hin​(un)=Ei,un​[∑k≥0​κn(k+1,Xk​,uXk​n​)]. Theorem 5.2 additionally assumes (5.8): for some T>0T>0T>0, t↦∣f(t,i,q)∣t\mapsto|f(t,i,q)|t↦∣f(t,i,q)∣ is nonincreasing on [T,∞)[T,\infty)[T,∞).

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem 5.2

Let δn↓0\delta_n\downarrow0δn​↓0, let unu^nun be an equilibrium of the problem with mesh δn\delta_nδn​, Qn=Qun,nQ^n=Q^{u^n,n}Qn=Qun,n, and suppose f(⋅,i,⋅)f(\cdot,i,\cdot)f(⋅,i,⋅) is continuous on [0,∞)×Di[0,\infty)\times D_i[0,∞)×Di​. If Qnk→Q∗∈QQ^{n_k}\to Q^*\in\mathcal QQnk​→Q∗∈Q along a subsequence, then

ΓQ∗(Qi∗)≥ΓQ∗(Qi)for all (i,Q)∈S×Q,and Q∗ is a weak equilibrium.\Gamma^{Q^*}(Q^*_i)\ge\Gamma^{Q^*}(Q_i)\quad\text{for all }(i,Q)\in S\times\mathcal Q,\qquad\text{and } Q^* \text{ is a weak equilibrium.}ΓQ∗(Qi∗​)≥ΓQ∗(Qi​)for all (i,Q)∈S×Q,and Q∗ is a weak equilibrium.

Milestones

  1. (5.12): an equilibrium unu^nun satisfies κn(0,i,uin)+Hn(un)⋅uin≥κn(0,i,ui)+Hn(un)⋅ui\kappa^n(0,i,u^n_i)+H^n(u^n)\cdot u^n_i\ge\kappa^n(0,i,u_i)+H^n(u^n)\cdot u_iκn(0,i,uin​)+Hn(un)⋅uin​≥κn(0,i,ui​)+Hn(un)⋅ui​ for all u∈Anu\in\mathcal A^nu∈An.
  2. Generator form (proof of Theorem 5.2): dividing by δn\delta_nδn​, the same inequality reads f(0,i,Qin)+H⋅Qin≥f(0,i,Qiu,n)+H⋅Qiu,nf(0,i,Q^n_i)+H\cdot Q^n_i\ge f(0,i,Q^{u,n}_i)+H\cdot Q^{u,n}_if(0,i,Qin​)+H⋅Qin​≥f(0,i,Qiu,n​)+H⋅Qiu,n​.
  3. Continuity of Q↦F(Q)Q\mapsto F(Q)Q↦F(Q) on Q\mathcal QQ (proof of Theorem 3.3).
  4. Lemma 5.1: Hink(unk)→F(i,Q∗)H^{n_k}_i(u^{n_k})\to F(i,Q^*)Hink​​(unk​)→F(i,Q∗) along the subsequence.

Significance

The theorem justifies the weak-equilibrium notion from discrete time: whatever a time-inconsistent agent does on a fine time grid, the continuous-time limit satisfies the first-order condition (3.10). Combined with the paper's discrete existence result (Theorem 5.1) and compactness of Q\mathcal QQ, it yields weak equilibria by approximation (Remark 5.3). It also locates the gap between the two notions: the limit is weak but in general not strong.

The result is proved in the paper; nothing about it is open. No part of it has a machine-checked proof. A formal development adds a checked Euler-scheme comparison between (I+δQ)k(I+\delta Q)^k(I+δQ)k and ekδQe^{k\delta Q}ekδQ for generator matrices, a dominated passage to the limit for Riemann sums of the payoff, and continuity of the payoff in the generator, each reusable for other finite-state continuous-time control problems.

Difficulty

The obvious argument is to divide the discrete one-step inequality (5.12) by δn\delta_nδn​ and let n→∞n\to\inftyn→∞. Its algebraic part is immediate. The difficulty is the convergence of the discrete continuation values Hn(un)H^n(u^n)Hn(un), which are infinite sums along a discrete chain with transition matrix unu^nun, to the continuous payoff F(Q∗)F(Q^*)F(Q∗), an integral along the continuous chain with generator Q∗Q^*Q∗. Three errors must be controlled at once: the discrete chain against the chain sampled from etQne^{tQ^n}etQn (the difference of kkk-th powers grows with k≈M/δnk\approx M/\delta_nk≈M/δn​), the Riemann sum against the integral (needs uniform continuity of fff jointly in ttt and qqq), and F(Qn)F(Q^n)F(Qn) against F(Q∗)F(Q^*)F(Q∗). The tail of the infinite sums is not controlled by (2.3) alone: integrability of a majorant does not make its samples on a grid summable, which is why (5.8) is assumed. A second subtlety concerns the last step: the paper passes from (3.10) to the weak-equilibrium property through Theorem 3.1, which assumes a condition (3.3) that Theorem 5.2 does not. The conclusion is still true without (3.3), but no numbered statement of the paper provides that step.

Formalization scope

  • States are Fin N; rows are Fin N → ℝ with the sup norm, generators and transition matrices are Matrix (Fin N) (Fin N) ℝ with the product topology.
  • Expectations are written through marginals: F(i,Q)=∫0∞∑j(etQ)ijf(t,j,Qj) dtF(i,Q)=\int_0^\infty\sum_j(e^{tQ})_{ij}f(t,j,Q_j)\,dtF(i,Q)=∫0∞​∑j​(etQ)ij​f(t,j,Qj​)dt (Bochner integral) and Hin(u)=∑k∑j(uk)ijκn(k+1,j,uj)H^n_i(u)=\sum_k\sum_j(u^k)_{ij}\kappa^n(k+1,j,u_j)Hin​(u)=∑k​∑j​(uk)ij​κn(k+1,j,uj​) (tsum). No Markov process is constructed.
  • The weak-equilibrium liminf is encoded as "for every η>0\eta>0η>0, eventually as ε↓0\varepsilon\downarrow0ε↓0 the quotient is ≥−η\ge-\eta≥−η".
  • "f(⋅,i,⋅)f(\cdot,i,\cdot)f(⋅,i,⋅) is continuous" is joint continuity on [0,∞)×Di[0,\infty)\times D_i[0,∞)×Di​; (5.8) is required for q∈Diq\in D_iq∈Di​; δn↓0\delta_n\downarrow0δn​↓0 is positivity, monotonicity and convergence to 000; the subsequence is a strictly increasing φ:N→N\varphi:\mathbb N\to\mathbb Nφ:N→N.
  • Not assumed: integrability of FFF, summability of HnH^nHn or (5.2) for κn\kappa^nκn (they follow from (2.3) and (5.8)), compactness of DiD_iDi​, and condition (3.3).
  • The equilibria unu^nun, the generators Qn=(un−I)/δnQ^n=(u^n-I)/\delta_nQn=(un−I)/δn​ and the subsequence are part of the goal's data. A version that only assumes "Qn→Q∗Q^n\to Q^*Qn→Q∗" for arbitrary Qn∈QQ^n\in\mathcal QQn∈Q would be false and is ruled out.
  • The continuity milestone is proved in the paper for compact DiD_iDi​; it is stated here without compactness, since only convergent sequences in Q\mathcal QQ matter.
  • Needed infrastructure: bounds on ∥(I+δQ)k−ekδQ∥\|(I+\delta Q)^k-e^{k\delta Q}\|∥(I+δQ)k−ekδQ∥ for generator matrices, stochasticity of etQe^{tQ}etQ for generator QQQ, dominated convergence for the payoff integral and for the discrete series. Contributions of these general lemmas are welcome.

Selected references

  • Y.-J. Huang and Z. Zhou, Strong and Weak Equilibria for Time-Inconsistent Stochastic Control in Continuous Time, Math. Oper. Res. 46(2), 2021; read as arXiv:1809.09243v3. https://arxiv.org/abs/1809.09243 , https://doi.org/10.1287/moor.2020.1066
  • I. Ekeland and A. Lazrak, Being serious about non-commitment: subgame perfect equilibrium in continuous time, tech. rep., University of British Columbia, 2006. http://arxiv.org/abs/math/0604264
  • S. N. Ethier and T. G. Kurtz, Markov Processes: Characterization and Convergence, Wiley, 1986. https://doi.org/10.1002/9780470316658
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Prophet Secretary Through Blind Strategies 2: No Stopping Strategy Can Guarantee More Than √3 − 1 of the Prophet's Expected Maximum in Random OrderResearch Paper

Motivation

In a prophet inequality a gambler sees the realizations of independent nonnegative random variables one at a time and must decide irrevocably, at each step, whether to stop and keep the current value. Her performance is compared with that of a prophet who sees everything in advance and takes the maximum. The ratio between the two is the standard benchmark for online selection, and through the correspondence between threshold stopping rules and posted prices it governs the efficiency of sequential posted-price mechanisms in algorithmic mechanism design.

The constant depends on the order in which the values arrive. In adversarial order the best guarantee is 1/21/21/2 (Krengel and Sucheston; Samuel-Cahn). For independent and identically distributed values it is about 0.7450.7450.745 (Hill and Kertz 1982 gave the upper bound; Correa, Foncea, Hoeksma, Oosterwijk and Vredeveld 2017 proved it tight). The prophet secretary problem sits between these two: the distributions may differ, but the values arrive in a uniformly random order.

Timeline.

  • 2015: Esfandiari, HajiAghayi, Liaghat and Monemizadeh introduce the prophet secretary problem and give a guarantee of 1−1/e≈0.6321-1/e\approx0.6321−1/e≈0.632 with nonincreasing thresholds.
  • 2018: Ehsani, Hajiaghayi, Kesselheim and Singla obtain 1−1/e1-1/e1−1/e with a single threshold and random tie-breaking.
  • 2018: Azar, Chiplunkar and Kaplan beat 1−1/e1-1/e1−1/e slightly. They also show that deterministic distribution-insensitive algorithms cannot beat 11/15≈0.73311/15\approx0.73311/15≈0.733.
  • 2019 (arXiv:1807.07483v2): Correa, Saona and Ziliotto prove a guarantee of 0.6690.6690.669 for blind strategies. They also prove the upper bound of 3−1≈0.732\sqrt3-1\approx0.7323​−1≈0.732 for all strategies, the subject of this mission.

Before this bound no separation between the prophet secretary problem and the i.i.d. prophet inequality was known.

Setting

An instance with NNN variables is a family of laws μ0,…,μN−1\mu_0,\dots,\mu_{N-1}μ0​,…,μN−1​ on [0,∞)[0,\infty)[0,∞). The values Vi∼μiV_i\sim\mu_iVi​∼μi​ are independent. A permutation σ\sigmaσ of {0,…,N−1}\{0,\dots,N-1\}{0,…,N−1}, uniform and independent of the values, fixes the arrival order: at time jjj the gambler sees which variable σj\sigma_jσj​ arrives and its value VσjV_{\sigma_j}Vσj​​.

A strategy decides at each time jjj whether to stop. The decision may use the observed history ((σ0,Vσ0),…,(σj,Vσj))((\sigma_0,V_{\sigma_0}),\dots,(\sigma_j,V_{\sigma_j}))((σ0​,Vσ0​​),…,(σj​,Vσj​​)) and an independent seed ω\omegaω, uniform on [0,1][0,1][0,1], and must depend on them measurably. These are the randomized stopping times TTT of the gambler's information. The gambler knows the distributions, so a strategy may be chosen after the instance. The reward is VσT1T<∞V_{\sigma_T}\mathbf 1_{T<\infty}VσT​​1T<∞​: the value at the first stop, and 000 if she never stops. The value of a strategy is E(VσT)\mathbb E(V_{\sigma_T})E(VσT​​), and the prophet's value is E(max⁡iVi)\mathbb E(\max_i V_i)E(maxi​Vi​).

A strategy guarantees ccc if E(VσT)≥c E(max⁡iVi)\mathbb E(V_{\sigma_T})\ge c\,\mathbb E(\max_iV_i)E(VσT​​)≥cE(maxi​Vi​) on every instance.

The §5 instance has n+1n+1n+1 variables, for n≥1n\ge1n≥1 and a∈[0,1]a\in[0,1]a∈[0,1]. Each of V1,…,VnV_1,\dots,V_nV1​,…,Vn​ equals nnn with probability 1/n21/n^21/n2 and 000 otherwise, and Vn+1≡aV_{n+1}\equiv aVn+1​≡a. For j∈{1,…,n+1}j\in\{1,\dots,n+1\}j∈{1,…,n+1}, the time-jjj rule accepts a value nnn whenever one appears, and accepts Vn+1V_{n+1}Vn+1​ exactly when it arrives at time jjj or later.

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem 1.3 (p. 4)

For every c>3−1c>\sqrt3-1c>3​−1 there is an instance with 0<E(max⁡iVi)<∞0<\mathbb E(\max_iV_i)<\infty0<E(maxi​Vi​)<∞ on which every strategy satisfies

E(VσT)<c⋅E(max⁡iVi).\mathbb E(V_{\sigma_T}) < c\cdot\mathbb E\Big(\max_{i}V_i\Big).E(VσT​​)<c⋅E(imax​Vi​).

The instance comes first and all strategies second. This is what "no strategy can guarantee more than 3−1\sqrt3-13​−1" means once strategies may depend on the distributions. Universally quantifying a fixed strategy first would describe a weaker gambler.

Milestones (all from §5, p. 19)

  1. The prophet's value on the §5 instance:
E(max⁡i≤n+1Vi)=n[1−(1−1n2)n]+(1−1n2)na →n→∞ 1+a.\mathbb E\Big(\max_{i\le n+1}V_i\Big)=n\Big[1-\Big(1-\tfrac1{n^2}\Big)^n\Big]+\Big(1-\tfrac1{n^2}\Big)^na\ \xrightarrow[n\to\infty]{}\ 1+a .E(i≤n+1max​Vi​)=n[1−(1−n21​)n]+(1−n21​)na n→∞​ 1+a.
  1. The elementary bound n[1−(1−1/n2)i−1]≤(i−1)/nn[1-(1-1/n^2)^{i-1}]\le (i-1)/nn[1−(1−1/n2)i−1]≤(i−1)/n, which is a published platform theorem (1−(1−t)m≤mt1-(1-t)^m\le mt1−(1−t)m≤mt for t∈[0,1]t\in[0,1]t∈[0,1]).
  2. The conditional values of the time-jjj rule given that Vn+1V_{n+1}Vn+1​ arrives at position iii: n[1−(1−1/n2)n]n[1-(1-1/n^2)^n]n[1−(1−1/n2)n] for i<ji<ji<j, and n[1−(1−1/n2)i−1]+(1−1/n2)i−1an[1-(1-1/n^2)^{i-1}]+(1-1/n^2)^{i-1}an[1−(1−1/n2)i−1]+(1−1/n2)i−1a for i≥ji\ge ji≥j.
  3. For every strategy on the §5 instance,
E(VσT)≤1+a22+O(1n).\mathbb E(V_{\sigma_T})\le 1+\frac{a^2}{2}+O\Big(\frac1n\Big).E(VσT​​)≤1+2a2​+O(n1​).

At a=3−1a=\sqrt3-1a=3​−1 the ratio of milestones 4 and 1 tends to (1+a2/2)/(1+a)=3−1(1+a^2/2)/(1+a)=\sqrt3-1(1+a2/2)/(1+a)=3​−1.

Significance

The bound shows that random order with non-identical distributions is strictly harder for the gambler than i.i.d. values: the constant cannot exceed 3−1≈0.732\sqrt3-1\approx0.7323​−1≈0.732, which is below 0.7450.7450.745. It improves the 11/1511/1511/15 bound of Azar, Chiplunkar and Kaplan and extends it from deterministic distribution-insensitive algorithms to all strategies, including randomized ones that know the distributions. With the 0.6690.6690.669 guarantee of the same paper, it brackets the optimal prophet secretary constant in [0.669,0.732][0.669, 0.732][0.669,0.732]. Later work raised the lower end, but the exact value is still open.

The result is proved in the paper. It is not formalized anywhere we know of, and no prophet secretary statement exists on the platform. Formalizing it means writing down a general model of randomized stopping strategies in random order, which other random-order results can reuse. The heart of the proof is a dynamic-programming argument that is easy to state informally and has never been machine-checked. The finite-nnn bound of milestone 4, with an explicit constant in place of O(1/n)O(1/n)O(1/n), is also a welcome contribution.

Difficulty

Computing the value of one good strategy on the §5 instance is routine (milestone 3). The goal, though, quantifies over every strategy, including randomized ones that observe identities and the whole history. The paper's sentence "Solving the dynamic programming, the algorithm picks the value aaa if and only if it appears at time jjj or later" carries the whole reduction. It requires:

  • showing that accepting a value nnn is always optimal;
  • showing that accepting a 000 never helps;
  • showing that randomization does not help;
  • showing that the only relevant state is the time and whether Vn+1V_{n+1}Vn+1​ has already passed.

Bounding a few natural strategies does not suffice. The asymptotic analysis must also be made uniform in the strategy, so that a single constant CCC in O(1/n)O(1/n)O(1/n) works for all of them.

Formalization scope

  • Indices are 0-based. The paper's ViV_iVi​ is coordinate i−1i-1i−1 of Fin (n+1), and Vn+1V_{n+1}Vn+1​ is Fin.last n.
  • Independence is built in through the product measure Measure.pi μ.
  • The uniform order is the average over all N!N!N! permutations.
  • The seed is uniform on [0,1][0,1][0,1] (volume.restrict (Icc 0 1)).
  • Expectations are lower Lebesgue integrals in [0,∞][0,\infty][0,∞] of ENNReal.ofReal of the reward, so no integrability hypotheses appear.
  • A conditional expectation given σi=n+1\sigma_i=n+1σi​=n+1 is written in joint form, as (n+1)(n+1)(n+1) times the expectation on that event.
  • The strategy class (Strategy N) is the class of all measurable decision rules on the full observed history plus an independent seed, and it is quantified after the instance. Restricting it to threshold rules, time-jjj rules or deterministic rules would make the goal a different, weaker theorem; that restriction is ruled out. The class is nonempty, and its measurability requirement is satisfiable: jRule carries its proof.
  • The instance is not required to have continuous laws. The paper assumes continuity only for its blind strategies, and the §5 instance has atoms.
  • The goal adds 0<E(max⁡)<∞0<\mathbb E(\max)<\infty0<E(max)<∞, which the §5 instance satisfies; this excludes a degenerate instance.
  • §5 writes max⁡i∈[n]\max_{i\in[n]}maxi∈[n]​, but the maximum is over all n+1n+1n+1 variables, since the formula contains aaa. The Lean states the corrected reading.
  • The PDF used is arXiv:1807.07483v2. Pages are PDF pages, because the preprint prints no page numbers.

Reusable infrastructure includes the random-order stopping model, the reward of the first stop, and the dynamic-programming reduction for a single deterministic variable. Contributions are welcome on any milestone, and on an explicit CCC in milestone 4.

Selected references

  • J. Correa, R. Saona, B. Ziliotto, Prophet Secretary Through Blind Strategies, arXiv:1807.07483v2, 2019; Mathematical Programming, 2021. https://arxiv.org/abs/1807.07483
  • S. Esfandiari, M. HajiAghayi, V. Liaghat, M. Monemizadeh, Prophet Secretary, ESA 2015; SIAM J. Discrete Math. 31(3), 2017. https://doi.org/10.1137/15M1029394
  • S. Ehsani, M. Hajiaghayi, T. Kesselheim, S. Singla, Prophet Secretary for Combinatorial Auctions and Matroids, SODA 2018. https://arxiv.org/abs/1710.11213
  • Y. Azar, A. Chiplunkar, H. Kaplan, Prophet Secretary: Surpassing the 1 − 1/e Barrier, EC 2018. https://arxiv.org/abs/1711.01834
  • T. P. Hill, R. P. Kertz, Comparisons of stop rule and supremum expectations of i.i.d. random variables, Annals of Probability 10(2), 1982. https://doi.org/10.1214/aop/1176993772
  • J. Correa, P. Foncea, R. Hoeksma, T. Oosterwijk, T. Vredeveld, Posted Price Mechanisms for a Random Stream of Customers, EC 2017. https://doi.org/10.1145/3033274.3085137
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(More) Efficient Reinforcement Learning via Posterior Sampling: PSRL Has Bayesian Regret O(τS√(AT log(SAT))) in Episodic Finite MDPsResearch Paper

Motivation

An agent that interacts repeatedly with an unknown Markov decision process must trade exploration against exploitation. The dominant design principle for provably efficient reinforcement learning has been optimism in the face of uncertainty: UCRL2 (Jaksch, Ortner & Auer, 2010) and REGAL (Bartlett & Tewari, 2009) build confidence sets around the unknown model and act according to the most favourable model in them. Computing that optimistic policy can be expensive, and confidence sets built separately for every state–action pair can be loose.

Posterior sampling for reinforcement learning (PSRL), proposed by Strens (2000), replaces optimism by randomization: at the start of each episode it samples one MDP from the posterior distribution and follows the optimal policy of that sample. It is the reinforcement-learning analogue of Thompson sampling for bandits. Osband, Russo & Van Roy (2013) gave the first regret guarantee for PSRL, and with it the first regret guarantee for an RL algorithm not based on optimism. Their argument transfers the Bayesian-regret analysis of Thompson sampling by Russo & Van Roy (2014) from bandits to MDPs.

Timeline:

  • 2000: Strens proposes PSRL as a heuristic.
  • 2010: Jaksch, Ortner and Auer prove O~(DSAT)\tilde O(DS\sqrt{AT})O~(DSAT​) regret for UCRL2 in non-episodic MDPs with diameter DDD.
  • 2013: Osband, Russo and Van Roy prove the O(τSATlog⁡(SAT))O(\tau S\sqrt{AT\log(SAT)})O(τSATlog(SAT)​) Bayesian regret bound for PSRL in episodic MDPs, the result of this mission.

Setting

A finite-horizon MDP M=(S,A,RM,PM,τ,ρ)M=(\mathcal S,\mathcal A,R^M,P^M,\tau,\rho)M=(S,A,RM,PM,τ,ρ) has SSS states, AAA actions and horizon τ\tauτ. Choosing action aaa in state sss yields a reward drawn from a distribution RaM(s)R^M_a(s)RaM​(s) on [0,1][0,1][0,1], with mean R‾aM(s)\overline R^M_a(s)RaM​(s), and moves the state to s′s's′ with probability PaM(s′∣s)P^M_a(s'\mid s)PaM​(s′∣s). Every episode starts from a state drawn from the initial distribution ρ\rhoρ. A policy μ\muμ maps a state and a step i∈{1,…,τ}i\in\{1,\dots,\tau\}i∈{1,…,τ} to an action, and its value is the expected total mean reward from step iii on,

Vμ,iM(s)=EM,μ[∑j=iτR‾ajM(sj) ∣ si=s].V^M_{\mu,i}(s)=\mathbb E_{M,\mu}\Big[\sum_{j=i}^{\tau}\overline R^M_{a_j}(s_j)\,\Big|\,s_i=s\Big].Vμ,iM​(s)=EM,μ​[j=i∑τ​Raj​M​(sj​)​si​=s].

A policy is optimal for MMM if it maximizes Vμ,iM(s)V^M_{\mu,i}(s)Vμ,iM​(s) for every sss and iii; μM\mu^MμM denotes a fixed choice of optimal policy for each MMM.

The true MDP M∗M^*M∗ is random with prior fff. In episode kkk, PSRL samples MkM_kMk​ from the posterior f(⋅∣Htk)f(\cdot\mid H_{t_k})f(⋅∣Htk​​) given the history HtkH_{t_k}Htk​​ of all earlier states, actions and rewards, and follows μk=μMk\mu_k=\mu^{M_k}μk​=μMk​ for τ\tauτ steps. With μ∗=μM∗\mu^*=\mu^{M^*}μ∗=μM∗, the regret of episode kkk and the cumulative regret are

Δk=∑sρ(s)(Vμ∗,1M∗(s)−Vμk,1M∗(s)),Regret(T,πτPS)=∑k=1⌈T/τ⌉Δk.\Delta_k=\sum_{s}\rho(s)\big(V^{M^*}_{\mu^*,1}(s)-V^{M^*}_{\mu_k,1}(s)\big),\qquad \mathrm{Regret}(T,\pi^{\mathrm{PS}}_\tau)=\sum_{k=1}^{\lceil T/\tau\rceil}\Delta_k .Δk​=s∑​ρ(s)(Vμ∗,1M∗​(s)−Vμk​,1M∗​(s)),Regret(T,πτPS​)=k=1∑⌈T/τ⌉​Δk​.

In Lean, MDPs are indexed by a parameter θ\thetaθ in a measurable space Θ\ThetaΘ (MDPFamily), the value is value F θ π j with 0-based steps, and the run is the structure PSRLRun.

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem 1

There is an absolute constant C>0C>0C>0 such that, for all S,A,τ≥1S,A,\tau\ge1S,A,τ≥1, every prior fff, every measurable optimal-policy selector, every PSRL run with M∗∼fM^*\sim fM∗∼f and every TTT,

E[Regret(T,πτPS)]≤C τSATlog⁡(SAT).\mathbb E\big[\mathrm{Regret}(T,\pi^{\mathrm{PS}}_\tau)\big]\le C\,\tau S\sqrt{AT\log(SAT)} .E[Regret(T,πτPS​)]≤CτSATlog(SAT)​.

This is the paper's O(⋅)O(\cdot)O(⋅) statement. It does not fix the constant, which the paper's appendix computes with errors.

Milestones, in the order of the proof

  1. Lemma 1: given HtkH_{t_k}Htk​​, M∗M^*M∗ and MkM_kMk​ have the same conditional law.
  2. Theorem 2, (4): E[∑k≤mΔk]=E[∑k≤mΔ~k]\mathbb E[\sum_{k\le m}\Delta_k]=\mathbb E[\sum_{k\le m}\tilde\Delta_k]E[∑k≤m​Δk​]=E[∑k≤m​Δ~k​], where Δ~k=∑sρ(s)(Vμk,1Mk(s)−Vμk,1M∗(s))\tilde\Delta_k=\sum_s\rho(s)(V^{M_k}_{\mu_k,1}(s)-V^{M^*}_{\mu_k,1}(s))Δ~k​=∑s​ρ(s)(Vμk​,1Mk​​(s)−Vμk​,1M∗​(s)).
  3. Lemma 2, (5): the dynamic programming equation Vμ,iM=Tμ(⋅,i)MVμ,i+1MV^M_{\mu,i}=\mathcal T^M_{\mu(\cdot,i)}V^M_{\mu,i+1}Vμ,iM​=Tμ(⋅,i)M​Vμ,i+1M​.
  4. (6): E[Δ~k∣M∗,Mk]\mathbb E[\tilde\Delta_k\mid M^*,M_k]E[Δ~k​∣M∗,Mk​] equals the expected sum of one-step Bellman errors along the visited states.
  5. (7): the pathwise split of ∑kΔ~k\sum_k\tilde\Delta_k∑k​Δ~k​ on the event {Mk,M∗∈Mk}\{M_k,M^*\in\mathcal M_k\}{Mk​,M∗∈Mk​}.
  6. P(M∗∉Mk)≤1/m\mathbb P(M^*\notin\mathcal M_k)\le1/mP(M∗∈/Mk​)≤1/m for the paper's confidence sets (Lemma 17 of Jaksch et al.).
  7. (8): E[∑kΔ~k]≤(τ+1) E[∑k∑imin⁡{βk(sk,i,ak,i),1}]+2τ\mathbb E[\sum_k\tilde\Delta_k]\le(\tau+1)\,\mathbb E[\sum_k\sum_i\min\{\beta_k(s_{k,i},a_{k,i}),1\}]+2\tauE[∑k​Δ~k​]≤(τ+1)E[∑k​∑i​min{βk​(sk,i​,ak,i​),1}]+2τ.
  8. Appendix B: ∑k∑i1(Ntk(sk,i,ak,i)≤τ)≤2τSA\sum_k\sum_i\mathbf 1(N_{t_k}(s_{k,i},a_{k,i})\le\tau)\le2\tau SA∑k​∑i​1(Ntk​​(sk,i​,ak,i​)≤τ)≤2τSA.
  9. Appendix B: ∑k∑i1(Nk,i>τ)/Nk,i≤8SAmτ\sum_k\sum_i\sqrt{\mathbf 1(N_{k,i}>\tau)/N_{k,i}}\le\sqrt{8SAm\tau}∑k​∑i​1(Nk,i​>τ)/Nk,i​​≤8SAmτ​.

Significance

Theorem 1 holds for every prior, with no assumption on the MDP class beyond finiteness and bounded rewards. It shows that a single posterior sample per episode, rather than an optimistic search over a confidence set, already achieves the T\sqrt TT​ rate of the optimistic algorithms. The reduction it rests on (Lemma 1 and Theorem 2) applies to any problem in which the agent can sample from the posterior.

The theorem has a paper proof but, as far as is known, no machine-checked proof. A formalization adds three things. First, an exact model of the episodic Bayesian setting, with posterior sampling stated as a conditional law. Second, corrected versions of two steps: the factor in (8), which the page's argument does not justify as printed, and the square-root sum of Appendix B, which is false as printed. Third, reusable pieces: a path-defined finite-horizon value with its dynamic programming equation, a conditional-expectation form of the posterior-sampling identity, and deterministic counting lemmas for visit counts.

Difficulty

The proof combines three kinds of argument, each with its own obstacle in Lean.

  • Conditioning. Lemma 1 and Theorem 2 identify conditional laws given the history. The history is a random element whose length grows with kkk, and the posterior-sampling assumption only speaks about indicators of MkM_kMk​. Extending it to functions of (M,Htk)(M,H_{t_k})(M,Htk​​) and applying the tower property needs care with sub-σ\sigmaσ-algebras. The same issue appears in (8): the confidence event depends on HtkH_{t_k}Htk​​, so it is not measurable with respect to σ(M∗,Mk)\sigma(M^*,M_k)σ(M∗,Mk​), the σ\sigmaσ-algebra on which (6) conditions. The working argument conditions on (M∗,Mk,Htk)(M^*,M_k,H_{t_k})(M∗,Mk​,Htk​​) instead.
  • Concentration over adaptive counts. The bound P(M∗∉Mk)≤1/m\mathbb P(M^*\notin\mathcal M_k)\le1/mP(M∗∈/Mk​)≤1/m needs an L1L^1L1 deviation inequality for empirical transition distributions (Weissman et al.) and Hoeffding's inequality for rewards. Both must hold uniformly over the random number of visits, which the agent's own behaviour determines. Applying the inequalities at a fixed number of samples is not valid, because the sample size is random.
  • Counting. The appendix sums N−1/2N^{-1/2}N−1/2 along the visited pairs; the paper's chain loses a factor of 222 at its integral comparison.

Formalization scope

  • Model. States and actions are Fin S and Fin A. Steps and episodes are 0-based: Lean step j is the paper's step j+1j+1j+1, and Lean episode k is the paper's episode k+1k+1k+1, with tk=kτ+1t_k=k\tau+1tk​=kτ+1. MDPs are a measurable family over a parameter space Θ: transition rows satisfy the published IsTransitionKernel, and reward laws are Markov kernels supported on [0,1][0,1][0,1]. The initial distribution ρ\rhoρ is fixed. The value is defined from the state laws along the trajectory, not by the Bellman recursion.

  • The run. PSRLRun consists of measurable random elements on a probability space. Posterior sampling, the reset from ρ\rhoρ, rewards and transitions are stated as conditional expectations of indicators. Three assumptions the paper leaves implicit are made explicit:

    • the state is reset from ρ\rhoρ at every episode start;
    • the state reached after the last action of an episode is observed;
    • the sampling step uses fresh randomness.

    The optimal-policy selector is any measurable map that is optimal at every step.

  • Constants and corrections. O(⋅)O(\cdot)O(⋅) is one absolute constant, quantified before every other object; a constant that depends on SSS, AAA, τ\tauτ, the prior or TTT would make the goal trivial, because the regret is at most ⌈T/τ⌉τ\lceil T/\tau\rceil\tau⌈T/τ⌉τ. Milestone 7 uses the factor τ+1\tau+1τ+1, which the page's chain proves, where the page prints τ\tauτ, and milestone 9 uses 8SAmτ\sqrt{8SAm\tau}8SAmτ​ where the page prints the false bound 2SAT\sqrt{2SAT}2SAT​; both corrections are disclosed in the statements.

  • Ruled out. The value is not defined by the recursion, which would make Lemma 2 definitional. Measurability is required, so the expectations are not junk zeros. The posterior-sampling clause concerns indicators of MkM_kMk​ only, so it does not already contain Lemma 1.

  • Needed infrastructure. Conditional expectations with respect to σ\sigmaσ-algebras generated by random elements; finite-horizon Markov chain laws; Weissman's L1L^1L1 inequality and Hoeffding's inequality at random sample sizes; elementary bounds on ∑jj−1/2\sum_j j^{-1/2}∑j​j−1/2. The counting milestones (8, 9) and Lemma 2 are self-contained and a good place to start. Proofs of the conditioning steps (milestones 1, 2, 4) are reusable for any posterior-sampling analysis.

Selected references

  • I. Osband, D. Russo, B. Van Roy, (More) Efficient Reinforcement Learning via Posterior Sampling, NIPS 2013; arXiv:1306.0940v5. https://arxiv.org/abs/1306.0940
  • T. Jaksch, R. Ortner, P. Auer, Near-optimal Regret Bounds for Reinforcement Learning, JMLR 11, 2010. https://jmlr.org/papers/v11/jaksch10a.html
  • D. Russo, B. Van Roy, Learning to Optimize via Posterior Sampling, Mathematics of Operations Research 39(4), 2014; arXiv:1301.2609. https://arxiv.org/abs/1301.2609
  • M. Strens, A Bayesian Framework for Reinforcement Learning, Proceedings of the 17th International Conference on Machine Learning (ICML), 2000 (reference [16] of the paper).
  • P. L. Bartlett, A. Tewari, REGAL: A Regularization Based Algorithm for Reinforcement Learning in Weakly Communicating MDPs, UAI 2009; arXiv:1205.2661. https://arxiv.org/abs/1205.2661
  • T. Weissman, E. Ordentlich, G. Seroussi, S. Verdú, M. J. Weinberger, Inequalities for the L1 Deviation of the Empirical Distribution, HP Labs Technical Report HPL-2003-97, 2003.
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Control TheoryConvex OptimizationLinear algebra+1·Captain: mikedeng1

Quadratic Matrix Inequalities with Applications to Data-Based Control V: A Reduced LMI in P Alone and an Explicit Data-Based Stabilizing GainResearch Paper

Motivation

Data-driven control asks for a controller computed directly from measured trajectories of an unknown system, without first identifying a model. When the measurements are corrupted by noise, many systems explain the same data, and a controller is acceptable only if it works for all of them. Van Waarde, Camlibel, Eising and Trentelman (arXiv:2203.12959) model the noise by a quadratic matrix inequality (QMI). The set of systems consistent with the data is then itself the solution set of a QMI, and the design question becomes whether one QMI implies another. Their Theorem 5.1 gives a necessary and sufficient linear matrix inequality (LMI) for the existence of a common stabilizing controller, with no rank or Slater-type assumption on the data. It improves van Waarde, Camlibel, Mesbahi, IEEE TAC 2022, Thm. 14, which needed a generalized Slater condition.

The LMI of Theorem 5.1 has size 4n+m+14n+m+14n+m+1 and n(n+1)2+nm+1\tfrac{n(n+1)}{2}+nm+12n(n+1)​+nm+1 unknowns. Section 5.2 of the paper removes the controller variable: Theorem 5.3 gives an LMI of size 4n+14n+14n+1 in the Lyapunov matrix PPP and one scalar β\betaβ, and then writes a stabilizing controller as a closed-form expression in PPP and the data. This mission formalizes that reduction and the Section 3 results on QMI solution sets that it rests on.

Setting

All matrices are real. Sk\mathbb S^kSk is the set of symmetric k×kk\times kk×k matrices, A≥0A\ge 0A≥0 (A>0A>0A>0) means symmetric positive semidefinite (definite), and A†A^\daggerA† is the Moore–Penrose pseudo-inverse. For Π∈Sq+r\Pi\in\mathbb S^{q+r}Π∈Sq+r, partitioned with Π11\Pi_{11}Π11​ of size q×qq\times qq×q and Π22\Pi_{22}Π22​ of size r×rr\times rr×r,

Zr(Π)={Z∈Rr×q:[IqZ]⊤Π[IqZ]≥0},\mathcal Z_r(\Pi) = \Big\{Z\in\mathbb R^{r\times q} : \begin{bmatrix} I_q\\ Z\end{bmatrix}^\top\Pi\begin{bmatrix} I_q\\ Z\end{bmatrix}\ge 0\Big\},Zr​(Π)={Z∈Rr×q:[Iq​Z​]⊤Π[Iq​Z​]≥0},

and Zr+(Π)\mathcal Z_r^+(\Pi)Zr+​(Π) is the same set with >0>0>0. The generalized Schur complement is Π ∣ Π22=Π11−Π12Π22†Π21\Pi\,|\,\Pi_{22} = \Pi_{11}-\Pi_{12}\Pi_{22}^\dagger\Pi_{21}Π∣Π22​=Π11​−Π12​Π22†​Π21​, and Πq,r\boldsymbol\Pi_{q,r}Πq,r​ is the class of Π∈Sq+r\Pi\in\mathbb S^{q+r}Π∈Sq+r with Π22≤0\Pi_{22}\le 0Π22​≤0, Π ∣ Π22≥0\Pi\,|\,\Pi_{22}\ge 0Π∣Π22​≥0 and ker⁡Π22⊆ker⁡Π12\ker\Pi_{22}\subseteq\ker\Pi_{12}kerΠ22​⊆kerΠ12​. For W∈Rq×pW\in\mathbb R^{q\times p}W∈Rq×p, Zr(Π)W={ZW:Z∈Zr(Π)}\mathcal Z_r(\Pi)W = \{ZW : Z\in\mathcal Z_r(\Pi)\}Zr​(Π)W={ZW:Z∈Zr​(Π)} and ΠW=diag(W,Ir)⊤ Π diag(W,Ir)\Pi_W = \mathrm{diag}(W,I_r)^\top\,\Pi\,\mathrm{diag}(W,I_r)ΠW​=diag(W,Ir​)⊤Πdiag(W,Ir​).

Data. An unknown system x(t+1)=Asx(t)+Bsu(t)+w(t)x(t+1) = A_sx(t)+B_su(t)+w(t)x(t+1)=As​x(t)+Bs​u(t)+w(t) produces X=[x(0)⋯x(T)]X = [x(0)\cdots x(T)]X=[x(0)⋯x(T)] and U−=[u(0)⋯u(T−1)]U_- = [u(0)\cdots u(T-1)]U−​=[u(0)⋯u(T−1)]; X−X_-X−​ and X+X_+X+​ are the first and last TTT columns of XXX. The noise matrix W−=[w(0)⋯w(T−1)]W_- = [w(0)\cdots w(T-1)]W−​=[w(0)⋯w(T−1)] is unknown but satisfies W−⊤∈ZT(Φ)W_-^\top\in\mathcal Z_T(\Phi)W−⊤​∈ZT​(Φ) for a given Φ∈Πn,T\Phi\in\boldsymbol\Pi_{n,T}Φ∈Πn,T​. The consistent systems are

Σ={(A,B):X+=AX−+BU−+W− for some W−⊤∈ZT(Φ)}.\Sigma = \{(A,B) : X_+ = AX_-+BU_-+W_-\ \text{for some}\ W_-^\top\in\mathcal Z_T(\Phi)\}.Σ={(A,B):X+​=AX−​+BU−​+W−​ for some W−⊤​∈ZT​(Φ)}.

The data are informative for quadratic stabilization if there are KKK and P>0P>0P>0 with P−(A+BK)P(A+BK)⊤>0P-(A+BK)P(A+BK)^\top>0P−(A+BK)P(A+BK)⊤>0 for all (A,B)∈Σ(A,B)\in\Sigma(A,B)∈Σ.

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem 5.3

With Θ=Φ12+X+Φ22\Theta = \Phi_{12}+X_+\Phi_{22}Θ=Φ12​+X+​Φ22​ and V=[X−; U−]V = [X_-;\,U_-]V=[X−​;U−​]: the data are informative if and only if some P>0P>0P>0, β>0\beta>0β>0 satisfy

P−βI−[I X+]Φ[I X+]⊤+ΘV⊤(VΦ22V⊤)†VΘ⊤≥0,[P−βI00−P]−[IX+0−X−]Φ[IX+0−X−]⊤≥0,P-\beta I-[I\ X_+]\Phi[I\ X_+]^\top+\Theta V^\top(V\Phi_{22}V^\top)^\dagger V\Theta^\top\ge 0,\qquad \begin{bmatrix}P-\beta I&0\\0&-P\end{bmatrix}-\begin{bmatrix}I&X_+\\0&-X_-\end{bmatrix}\Phi\begin{bmatrix}I&X_+\\0&-X_-\end{bmatrix}^\top\ge 0,P−βI−[I X+​]Φ[I X+​]⊤+ΘV⊤(VΦ22​V⊤)†VΘ⊤≥0,[P−βI0​0−P​]−[I0​X+​−X−​​]Φ[I0​X+​−X−​​]⊤≥0,

and then

K=(U−(Φ22+Θ⊤Γ†Θ)X−⊤)(X−(Φ22+Θ⊤Γ†Θ)X−⊤)†,Γ=P−βI−[I X+]Φ[I X+]⊤,K = \big(U_-(\Phi_{22}+\Theta^\top\Gamma^\dagger\Theta)X_-^\top\big)\big(X_-(\Phi_{22}+\Theta^\top\Gamma^\dagger\Theta)X_-^\top\big)^\dagger,\qquad \Gamma = P-\beta I-[I\ X_+]\Phi[I\ X_+]^\top,K=(U−​(Φ22​+Θ⊤Γ†Θ)X−⊤​)(X−​(Φ22​+Θ⊤Γ†Θ)X−⊤​)†,Γ=P−βI−[I X+​]Φ[I X+​]⊤,

stabilizes every (A,B)∈Σ(A,B)\in\Sigma(A,B)∈Σ. Under Φ22<0\Phi_{22}<0Φ22​<0 and rank⁡V=n+m\operatorname{rank}V = n+mrankV=n+m the same holds with strict inequalities, β=0\beta = 0β=0, and (VΦ22V⊤)−1(V\Phi_{22}V^\top)^{-1}(VΦ22​V⊤)−1. The goal states all four parts.

Milestones

  1. Lemma A.1: A⊤A≤B⊤BA^\top A\le B^\top BA⊤A≤B⊤B iff A=SBA = SBA=SB with S⊤S≤IS^\top S\le IS⊤S≤I (and the strict version), with S=AB†S = AB^\daggerS=AB†.
  2. Lemma A.2: the solutions of AM=BAM = BAM=B.
  3. Theorem 3.3: all solutions of a QMI, Z=−Π22†Π21+((−Π22)†)1/2S(Π∣Π22)1/2+(I−Π22†Π22)TZ = -\Pi_{22}^\dagger\Pi_{21}+((-\Pi_{22})^\dagger)^{1/2}S(\Pi|\Pi_{22})^{1/2}+(I-\Pi_{22}^\dagger\Pi_{22})TZ=−Π22†​Π21​+((−Π22​)†)1/2S(Π∣Π22​)1/2+(I−Π22†​Π22​)T.
  4. Theorems 3.4 and 3.5: Zr(Π)W=Zr(ΠW)\mathcal Z_r(\Pi)W = \mathcal Z_r(\Pi_W)Zr​(Π)W=Zr​(ΠW​) and its strict analogue.
  5. Corollaries 3.6 and 3.7: a QMI solution with ZW=YZW = YZW=Y exists iff Y∈Zr(ΠW)Y\in\mathcal Z_r(\Pi_W)Y∈Zr​(ΠW​).
  6. Theorem 5.1: informativity iff the LMI in (P,L,β)(P,L,\beta)(P,L,β) is feasible, with K=LP−1K = LP^{-1}K=LP−1.

Significance

Theorem 5.3 separates the computation of a Lyapunov matrix from the computation of the controller. The LMI drops from size 4n+m+14n+m+14n+m+1 to 4n+14n+14n+1 and loses the nmnmnm entries of LLL. A controller then follows from PPP by one explicit formula, with no second optimization. The noise class Πn,T\boldsymbol\Pi_{n,T}Πn,T​ covers energy bounds, bounds on individual samples, noise confined to a known subspace, and exact data, so the result applies where earlier conditions requiring Φ22<0\Phi_{22}<0Φ22​<0 or a Slater point fail.

The Section 3 results are general facts about QMIs: an explicit parameterization of all solutions, also when the solution set is unbounded, and the identification of the image of a solution set under a linear map. They are reusable wherever QMIs appear in robust control: Petersen's lemma, the elimination lemma, dissipativity analysis.

All results are proved in the paper, with the exception of the proof of Theorem 3.5, which is only described as similar to that of Theorem 3.4. None is formalized. The work here is the formal development: a pseudo-inverse calculus for real matrices, generalized Schur complements, matrix square roots in the Loewner order, and the block-matrix identities of Section 5.

Difficulty

The QMI reformulation of the stabilization problem is short. The difficulty lies in degenerate matrices. Π22\Pi_{22}Π22​ is typically singular, so every step works with pseudo-inverses, kernel inclusions and generalized Schur complements, and identities that are routine for invertible blocks need range conditions. The closed-form gain (5.10) comes from a block pseudo-inverse formula for a positive semidefinite matrix whose blocks may all be singular, and checking it requires tracking which ranges contain which. The strict statements need a separate argument: a strict inequality A⊤A<B⊤BA^\top A<B^\top BA⊤A<B⊤B does not pass to W⊤A⊤AW<W⊤B⊤BWW^\top A^\top AW<W^\top B^\top BWW⊤A⊤AW<W⊤B⊤BW without full column rank of WWW, which is why Theorem 3.5 and Corollary 3.7 assume it.

The first idea, to eliminate LLL from (5.5) by completing the square, runs into the same singular blocks: the minimizing LLL involves pseudo-inverses of data-dependent matrices whose ranges are not controlled by the LMI alone.

Formalization scope

Lean conventions:

  • Index sets are arbitrary finite types, so qqq, rrr, ppp are cardinalities. The data dimensions nnn, mmm, TTT are natural numbers, with XXX an n×(T+1)n\times(T+1)n×(T+1) matrix.
  • A≥0A\ge 0A≥0 is Mathlib's PosSemidef (which includes symmetry); A>0A>0A>0 is PosDef.
  • A†A^\daggerA† is defined as the matrix satisfying the four Penrose conditions, which exists and is unique. Mathlib's A⁻¹, which returns 000 on singular matrices, appears only in (5.11a) and in K=LP−1K = LP^{-1}K=LP−1, where the matrices are invertible.
  • Square roots are CFC.sqrt in the Loewner order. Kernel inclusions are stated on vectors. Full column rank of W∈Rq×pW\in\mathbb R^{q\times p}W∈Rq×p is rank W = p.

The statements of Theorems 5.1 and 5.3 carry the hypothesis that the data were generated by some (As,Bs)(A_s,B_s)(As​,Bs​), i.e. Σ≠∅\Sigma\neq\emptysetΣ=∅; the paper assumes this when it says the data are generated by (2.1) with noise model (2.3). Without it, informativity holds vacuously and the equivalences fail. "Stabilizing gain" is asserted with the PPP of the LMI: the Lyapunov inequality P−(A+BK)P(A+BK)⊤>0P-(A+BK)P(A+BK)^\top>0P−(A+BK)P(A+BK)⊤>0 and (A+BK)k→0(A+BK)^k\to 0(A+BK)k→0 for every (A,B)∈Σ(A,B)\in\Sigma(A,B)∈Σ. Corollaries 3.6 and 3.7 print the hypothesis ker⁡Π22⊆ker⁡Π21\ker\Pi_{22}\subseteq\ker\Pi_{21}kerΠ22​⊆kerΠ21​, which is dimensionally impossible; it is read as ker⁡Π22⊆ker⁡Π12\ker\Pi_{22}\subseteq\ker\Pi_{12}kerΠ22​⊆kerΠ12​. The printed dimensions in Lemma A.2 are corrected to those its formula requires.

A formalization in which Σ may be empty, or in which A†A^\daggerA† is replaced by the total inverse, would make the goal vacuous or false. Both are ruled out above.

Theorem 5.1 is restated here as a milestone. It is also the goal of the companion mission IV, and solvers may prove it there.

Reusable infrastructure is welcome as separate contributions: uniqueness and the basic identities of the matrix pseudo-inverse; the generalized Schur complement criterion for positive semidefiniteness of a block matrix; Douglas-type factorization (Lemma A.1); square roots of positive semidefinite matrices commuting with pseudo-inverses.

Selected references

  • H. J. van Waarde, M. K. Camlibel, J. Eising, H. L. Trentelman, Quadratic matrix inequalities with applications to data-based control, SIAM J. Control Optim., 2023; preprint arXiv:2203.12959v3 (the version cited here). https://arxiv.org/abs/2203.12959
  • H. J. van Waarde, M. K. Camlibel, M. Mesbahi, From noisy data to feedback controllers: nonconservative design via a matrix S-lemma, IEEE Trans. Automat. Control, 67 (2022), pp. 162–175. https://doi.org/10.1109/TAC.2020.3047577
  • H. J. van Waarde, J. Eising, H. L. Trentelman, M. K. Camlibel, Data informativity: a new perspective on data-driven analysis and control, IEEE Trans. Automat. Control, 65 (2020), pp. 4753–4768. https://doi.org/10.1109/TAC.2020.2966717
  • D. S. Bernstein, Matrix Mathematics, 2nd ed., Princeton University Press, 2009. https://doi.org/10.1515/9781400833344
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Convex OptimizationDynamic ProgrammingOperations Research+2·Captain: mikedeng1

On the Convergence of Decomposition Methods for Multistage Stochastic Convex Programs 2: Under τ-Admissible Random Node Selection, Cuts Become Exact Almost Surely at Every Tree NodeResearch Paper

Motivation

Stochastic dual dynamic programming (SDDP) and its relatives are the standard algorithms for multistage stochastic programs: hydro-thermal scheduling, energy storage and long-horizon capacity planning are solved with them in industry. They approximate each future cost function from below by a maximum of affine cuts, compute new cuts only at a few randomly chosen nodes of the scenario tree, and use the current approximations to simulate decisions forward. Whether such sampled cutting-plane schemes converge, and in what sense, decides whether their bounds can be trusted.

  • Pereira and Pinto (1991) introduced SDDP for multistage stochastic linear programs.
  • Chen and Powell (1999) proposed CUPPS, which samples a single scenario per iteration.
  • Philpott and Guan (2008) proved almost-sure convergence in finitely many iterations of DOASA and SDDP-type methods for linear stage problems with stagewise independent data, using the finiteness of the set of possible cuts.
  • Girardeau, Leclère and Philpott (2015) removed linearity: stage problems are convex with compact feasible sets, the data need not be stagewise independent, and the node selection is any τ-admissible random process. Convergence is then asymptotic, not finite.

This mission formalizes the stochastic part (§3) of the 2015 paper. Mission 1 of the series covers its deterministic part (§2).

Setting

A finite scenario tree has nodes N\mathcal NN, root 000, parent map ppp, children r(n)r(n)r(n), leaves L\mathcal LL, and node probabilities Φn>0\Phi_n>0Φn​>0 with Φ0=1\Phi_0=1Φ0​=1 and Φn=∑m∈r(n)Φm\Phi_n=\sum_{m\in r(n)}\Phi_mΦn​=∑m∈r(n)​Φm​. Every node m≠0m\neq0m=0 carries a control multifunction Um:Rd⇉Rp\mathcal U_m:\mathbb R^d\rightrightarrows\mathbb R^pUm​:Rd⇉Rp, a cost Cm(x,u)∈R∪{+∞}C_m(x,u)\in\mathbb R\cup\{+\infty\}Cm​(x,u)∈R∪{+∞} and linear dynamics xm=fm(xp(m),um)x_m=f_m(x_{p(m)},u_m)xm​=fm​(xp(m)​,um​); every node carries a compact convex stock set Xn\mathcal X_nXn​; leaves carry final costs VmV_mVm​. The future cost functions are defined backwards by (20):

Vn(x)=∑m∈r(n)ΦmΦnmin⁡u∈Um(x)Cm(x,u)+Vm(fm(x,u))⏟Wm(x,u),x∈Xn.V_n(x)=\sum_{m\in r(n)}\frac{\Phi_m}{\Phi_n}\min_{u\in\mathcal U_m(x)}\underbrace{C_m(x,u)+V_m\big(f_m(x,u)\big)}_{W_m(x,u)},\qquad x\in\mathcal X_n .Vn​(x)=m∈r(n)∑​Φn​Φm​​u∈Um​(x)min​Wm​(x,u)Cm​(x,u)+Vm​(fm​(x,u))​​,x∈Xn​.

Assumptions (H2)(H_2)(H2​) ask for convex, lower semicontinuous, proper costs, convex compact-valued convex multifunctions Um\mathcal U_mUm​, Lipschitz final costs, and an extended relatively complete recourse condition: feasibility and finite cost on a δ\deltaδ-neighbourhood of every Xn\mathcal X_nXn​.

The algorithm keeps approximations VnkV^{k}_nVnk​, starting from Vn−1≡−∞V^{-1}_n\equiv-\inftyVn−1​≡−∞. At iteration kkk it simulates the whole tree with Vk−1V^{k-1}Vk−1, producing stocks xnkx^k_nxnk​ and controls umku^k_mumk​. Cuts θnk+⟨βnk,⋅−xnk⟩\theta^k_n+\langle\beta^k_n,\cdot-x^k_n\rangleθnk​+⟨βnk​,⋅−xnk​⟩ are computed at the selected nodes by solving the stage problems (21) at their children and averaging optimal values and Lagrange multipliers with weights Φm/Φn\Phi_m/\Phi_nΦm​/Φn​. Every approximation is then updated by (22), Vnk=max⁡(Vnk−1,cut)V^k_n=\max(V^{k-1}_n,\text{cut})Vnk​=max(Vnk−1​,cut). The selections ynk∈{0,1}y^k_n\in\{0,1\}ynk​∈{0,1} form a random process. It is τ-admissible (Definition 1) when, inside each block of τ\tauτ iterations, cuts are computed backwards along the tree, and when the block indicators y~nk=max⁡κ<τynkτ+κ\tilde y^k_n=\max_{\kappa<\tau}y^{k\tau+\kappa}_ny~​nk​=maxκ<τ​ynkτ+κ​ are i.i.d. in kkk, independent of the past, and equal to 111 with positive probability.

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem 3.1

Under (H2)(H_2)(H2​) and a τ-admissible selection process, almost surely, for every non-leaf node nnn and every node nnn respectively,

lim⁡k→∞∑m∈r(n)ΦmΦnWm(xnkτ,umkτ)−Vn(xnkτ)=0,lim⁡k→∞Vn(xnkτ)−Vnkτ(xnkτ)=0.\lim_{k\to\infty}\sum_{m\in r(n)}\frac{\Phi_m}{\Phi_n}W_m\big(x^{k\tau}_n,u^{k\tau}_m\big)-V_n\big(x^{k\tau}_n\big)=0,\qquad \lim_{k\to\infty}V_n\big(x^{k\tau}_n\big)-V^{k\tau}_n\big(x^{k\tau}_n\big)=0 .k→∞lim​m∈r(n)∑​Φn​Φm​​Wm​(xnkτ​,umkτ​)−Vn​(xnkτ​)=0,k→∞lim​Vn​(xnkτ​)−Vnkτ​(xnkτ​)=0.

The decisions become optimal for the true problem and the approximations become exact at the visited stocks. Nothing is claimed about exactness elsewhere in the state space.

Milestones

  • (26): every new cut is tight at the stock where it is computed.
  • Lemma 3.1 (i)–(iii): the VnV_nVn​ are convex and Lipschitz on Xn\mathcal X_nXn​; the approximations are lower bounds; finite approximations are uniformly Lipschitz.
  • Lemma 3.2: exact approximations at the children make the decisions at a node asymptotically optimal.
  • Lemma 5.3: under Definition 1 (i), a node selected inside a block is visited at the stock and with the approximation it had at the start of the block.
  • Lemma 5.4: the terms of an i.i.d. sequence selected by a predictable rule are again i.i.d. with the same law.
  • (32): exactness along the iterations at which a node is selected.

Significance

The theorem covers in one statement CUPPS (1-admissible), DOASA and SDDP ((T−1)(T-1)(T−1)-admissible), and many other sampling schemes, for stage problems that are convex rather than linear and for scenario trees without stagewise independence. It shows that the lower bound produced by these methods converges to the optimal value along the simulated trajectories.

The result is proved on paper. It is not formalized anywhere: no proof assistant library contains SDDP-type algorithms for convex stage problems. This mission makes the algorithm, the τ-admissibility notion and the convergence statement precise. Formalizing them corrects slips of the printed statements: the lower-bound property holds on the affine hull of Xn\mathcal X_nXn​ only, the boundedness of the cut slopes concerns finite cuts only, and the theorem's two limits concern different node sets. The rest of the work is the formalization of the published proof.

Difficulty

The deterministic argument (mission 1) shows exactness at stage ttt from exactness at stage t+1t+1t+1 along the whole iteration sequence. In the stochastic case a node is updated only at the random iterations at which it is selected, while its stock xnkτx^{k\tau}_nxnkτ​ moves at every iteration. Exactness along the selected iterations (32) does not transfer to the others: a selection rule that updated a node only when its stock lay in a given region would leave the approximation inexact elsewhere. The proof has to show that the iterations at which the approximation is still ε\varepsilonε-inexact are, by independence, selected with positive frequency. This requires the event "kkk is ε\varepsilonε-inexact" to be measurable with respect to the past selections, so the algorithm's choices among multiple minimisers and multipliers must be deterministic (footnote 6). It also requires the optional-skipping Lemma 5.4 and the strong law of large numbers. The first idea of conditioning on the stocks directly fails because the stocks depend on all past selections.

Formalization scope

  • Spaces and values. Stocks in EuclideanSpace ℝ (Fin d), controls in EuclideanSpace ℝ (Fin p). Costs and value functions take values in EReal; convexity is epigraph convexity; Vn=+∞V_n=+\inftyVn​=+∞ off Xn\mathcal X_nXn​; the initial approximation is −∞-\infty−∞. Limits are EReal limits, so convergence to 000 forces the differences to be finite eventually.
  • Tree. The platform definition StochasticProg.Multistage.Tree (a finite rooted tree with stages) is referenced; leaves, ascendents and node probabilities are defined on it. Costs are indexed by the child node as in (19a) and (20).
  • Standing assumptions, all disclosed in the items: (H2)(1)(H_2)(1)(H2​)(1)–(6)(6)(6) clause by clause, with the full ball B(δ)B(\delta)B(δ) of (H2)(6)(H_2)(6)(H2​)(6) as printed; x0∈X0x_0\in\mathcal X_0x0​∈X0​; Φ\PhiΦ are node probabilities.
  • Algorithm. A run is a predicate on the generated data (stocks, controls, cut values and slopes, approximations). Minimisers, Lagrange multipliers and subgradients are chosen by fixed rules, functions of the stage problem only (footnote 6), so a run is determined by its selection path. Lagrange multipliers of (21b) are encoded by the subgradient inequality of the optimal value of (21) on Aff⁡(Xn)\operatorname{Aff}(\mathcal X_n)Aff(Xn​), with the multiplier in its direction space. The Lean index is shifted: Vc k is the paper's Vk−1V^{k-1}Vk−1.
  • Selections. yky^kyk are measurable Bool-valued maps on a probability space; Definition 1 (i) holds on every path; (ii) is per node, i.i.d. in kkk and independent of σ(yk′:k′<kτ)\sigma(y^{k'}:k'<k\tau)σ(yk′:k′<kτ), with no independence across nodes.
  • Ruling out trivializations. The goal's hypotheses are only (H2)(H_2)(H2​), the choice rules, a run on every sample path, measurable selections and τ-admissibility. The companion statement run_exists shows that runs exist for every selection path, and a sanity check shows (H2)(H_2)(H2​) and τ-admissibility are satisfiable, so the goal is not vacuous. Its conclusion mentions none of the proof's auxiliary objects.
  • Infrastructure. The development needs marginal functions of convex problems over convex multifunctions, subdifferentiability of finite convex functions on affine hulls, Lipschitz bounds for maxima of affine functions, and the optional-skipping Lemma 5.4. Lemma 5.4 is a self-contained probability statement and is reusable on its own. Lemma 5.2 of the paper (a Dini-type lemma) is posed in mission 1. Proofs of any milestone, and of auxiliary lemmas on EReal-valued convex functions, are welcome.

Selected references

  • P. Girardeau, V. Leclère, A. B. Philpott, On the Convergence of Decomposition Methods for Multistage Stochastic Convex Programs, Mathematics of Operations Research 40(1), 2015. https://doi.org/10.1287/moor.2014.0664 (author's version: https://hal.science/hal-01208295v1)
  • A. B. Philpott, Z. Guan, On the convergence of stochastic dual dynamic programming and related methods, Operations Research Letters 36(4), 2008. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.orl.2008.01.013
  • Z. L. Chen, W. B. Powell, Convergent cutting-plane and partial-sampling algorithm for multistage stochastic linear programs with recourse, Journal of Optimization Theory and Applications 102(3), pp. 497–524, 1999 (reference [1] of the paper).
  • M. V. F. Pereira, L. M. V. G. Pinto, Multi-stage stochastic optimization applied to energy planning, Mathematical Programming 52, 1991. https://doi.org/10.1007/BF01582895
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Convex OptimizationMachine LearningOperations Research+1·Captain: mikedeng1

Distributed Optimization Based on Gradient Tracking Revisited: Enhancing Convergence Rate via Surrogation 2: SONATA with Push-Sum Converges R-Linearly over Time-Varying Directed GraphsResearch Paper

Motivation

In distributed optimization a network of mmm agents minimizes a sum of private functions while each agent talks only to its neighbours. Applications include federated and decentralized learning, sensor networks and multi-robot systems, where the data cannot be pooled at one site. Many of these networks are directed (communication links are one-way, for instance because transmission powers differ) and time-varying (links come and go). On such networks no doubly stochastic mixing matrix is available in general, and plain averaging drifts toward a weighted average instead of the true one. The push-sum protocol corrects this drift by carrying an auxiliary weight ϕi\phi_iϕi​ at every agent (Kempe, Dobra & Gehrke 2003; Nedić & Olshevsky 2015).

Y. Sun, A. Daneshmand and G. Scutari (arXiv:1905.02637v2) analyse SONATA, a gradient-tracking method in which each agent solves a strongly convex surrogate of its local problem instead of taking a gradient step, for composite problems (a convex, possibly nonsmooth regulariser GGG and a convex constraint set). They prove linear convergence on undirected graphs (their Theorem 3.9, the companion mission of this series) and, in Section 4, for a push-sum version over time-varying digraphs (Theorem 4.5). This mission formalizes the second result.

Timeline. Gradient tracking with push-sum over time-varying digraphs appears in NEXT/SONATA (Di Lorenzo & Scutari 2016; Scutari & Sun 2019), where convergence was proved without rates for nonconvex problems. Linear rates for smooth unconstrained strongly convex problems over time-varying digraphs were obtained for Push-DIGing (Nedić, Olshevsky & Shi 2017). Sun, Daneshmand and Scutari (2019, revised 2020) extend the linear rate to the composite, constrained setting with surrogates, and require only the average FFF, not every fif_ifi​, to be strongly convex.

Setting

Problem (P). Agent i∈[m]i\in[m]i∈[m] holds fi:Rd→Rf_i:\mathbb R^d\to\mathbb Rfi​:Rd→R; the agents solve

min⁡x∈KU(x)≜F(x)+G(x),F=1m∑i=1mfi.\min_{x\in\mathcal K}U(x)\triangleq F(x)+G(x),\qquad F=\frac1m\sum_{i=1}^mf_i .x∈Kmin​U(x)≜F(x)+G(x),F=m1​i=1∑m​fi​.

Assumption A: K\mathcal KK is nonempty, closed and convex; each fif_ifi​ is twice differentiable on an open set O⊇K\mathcal O\supseteq\mathcal KO⊇K and convex; μI⪯∇2F(x)⪯LI\mu I\preceq\nabla^2F(x)\preceq LIμI⪯∇2F(x)⪯LI on K\mathcal KK with μ>0\mu>0μ>0; GGG is convex on K\mathcal KK. x⋆x^\starx⋆ is the solution and U⋆=U(x⋆)U^\star=U(x^\star)U⋆=U(x⋆).

Surrogates (Assumption C). Each agent has f~i(x;z)\tilde f_i(x;z)f~​i​(x;z), C2C^2C2 on O×O\mathcal O\times\mathcal OO×O, with ∇f~i(x;x)=∇fi(x)\nabla\tilde f_i(x;x)=\nabla f_i(x)∇f~​i​(x;x)=∇fi​(x), ∇f~i(⋅;x)\nabla\tilde f_i(\cdot;x)∇f~​i​(⋅;x) L~i\tilde L_iL~i​-Lipschitz and f~i(⋅;x)\tilde f_i(\cdot;x)f~​i​(⋅;x) μ~i\tilde\mu_iμ~​i​-strongly convex on K\mathcal KK. Constants Diℓ≤DiuD^\ell_i\le D^u_iDiℓ​≤Diu​ satisfy DiℓI⪯∇2f~i(x;y)−∇2F(x)⪯DiuID^\ell_iI\preceq\nabla^2\tilde f_i(x;y)-\nabla^2F(x)\preceq D^u_iIDiℓ​I⪯∇2f~​i​(x;y)−∇2F(x)⪯Diu​I on K×K\mathcal K\times\mathcal KK×K (15); μ~mn=min⁡iμ~i\tilde\mu_{\rm mn}=\min_i\tilde\mu_iμ~​mn​=mini​μ~​i​, Dmnℓ=min⁡iDiℓD^\ell_{\rm mn}=\min_iD^\ell_iDmnℓ​=mini​Diℓ​.

Network (Assumption B′). At time ν\nuν the digraph Gν\mathcal G^\nuGν has edge set Eν\mathcal E^\nuEν; (i,j)∈Eν(i,j)\in\mathcal E^\nu(i,j)∈Eν is a link from iii to jjj. There is an integer B>0B>0B>0 such that the union of the edge sets over every window [νB,(ν+1)B−1][\nu B,(\nu+1)B-1][νB,(ν+1)B−1] is strongly connected.

Weights (Assumption E). Cν=(cijν)C^\nu=(c^\nu_{ij})Cν=(cijν​) is column stochastic, ciiν≥cℓ>0c^\nu_{ii}\ge c_\ell>0ciiν​≥cℓ​>0, cijν≥cℓc^\nu_{ij}\ge c_\ellcijν​≥cℓ​ if (j,i)∈Eν(j,i)\in\mathcal E^\nu(j,i)∈Eν and cijν=0c^\nu_{ij}=0cijν​=0 for other j≠ij\ne ij=i.

Algorithm 3. From xi0∈Kx_i^0\in\mathcal Kxi0​∈K, yi0=∇fi(xi0)y_i^0=\nabla f_i(x_i^0)yi0​=∇fi​(xi0​), ϕi0=1\phi_i^0=1ϕi0​=1, each agent computes

x^iν∈argmin⁡xi∈K f~i(xi;xiν)+(yiν−∇fi(xiν))⊤(xi−xiν)+G(xi),xiν+1/2=xiν+α(x^iν−xiν),\hat x_i^\nu\in\operatorname*{argmin}_{x_i\in\mathcal K}\ \tilde f_i(x_i;x_i^\nu)+(y_i^\nu-\nabla f_i(x_i^\nu))^\top(x_i-x_i^\nu)+G(x_i),\qquad x_i^{\nu+1/2}=x_i^\nu+\alpha(\hat x_i^\nu-x_i^\nu),x^iν​∈xi​∈Kargmin​ f~​i​(xi​;xiν​)+(yiν​−∇fi​(xiν​))⊤(xi​−xiν​)+G(xi​),xiν+1/2​=xiν​+α(x^iν​−xiν​),

then ϕiν+1=∑jcijνϕjν\phi_i^{\nu+1}=\sum_jc^\nu_{ij}\phi_j^\nuϕiν+1​=∑j​cijν​ϕjν​, xiν+1=1ϕiν+1∑jcijνϕjνxjν+1/2x_i^{\nu+1}=\frac1{\phi_i^{\nu+1}}\sum_jc^\nu_{ij}\phi_j^\nu x_j^{\nu+1/2}xiν+1​=ϕiν+1​1​∑j​cijν​ϕjν​xjν+1/2​ and yiν+1=1ϕiν+1∑jcijν(ϕjνyjν+∇fj(xjν+1)−∇fj(xjν))y_i^{\nu+1}=\frac1{\phi_i^{\nu+1}}\sum_jc^\nu_{ij}(\phi_j^\nu y_j^\nu+\nabla f_j(x_j^{\nu+1})-\nabla f_j(x_j^\nu))yiν+1​=ϕiν+1​1​∑j​cijν​(ϕjν​yjν​+∇fj​(xjν+1​)−∇fj​(xjν​)).

The analysis uses the weighted gap pϕν=∑iϕiν(U(xiν)−U⋆)p_\phi^\nu=\sum_i\phi_i^\nu(U(x_i^\nu)-U^\star)pϕν​=∑i​ϕiν​(U(xiν​)−U⋆), the tracking error δiν=∇F(xiν)−yiν\delta_i^\nu=\nabla F(x_i^\nu)-y_i^\nuδiν​=∇F(xiν​)−yiν​, and the consensus errors xϕ,⊥νx^\nu_{\phi,\perp}xϕ,⊥ν​, yϕ,⊥νy^\nu_{\phi,\perp}yϕ,⊥ν​ measured against the ϕ\phiϕ-weighted averages.

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem 4.5

If μ~mn≥Dmnℓ\tilde\mu_{\rm mn}\ge D^\ell_{\rm mn}μ~​mn​≥Dmnℓ​, there is αˉ∈(0,1]\bar\alpha\in(0,1]αˉ∈(0,1] such that for every α∈(0,αˉ)\alpha\in(0,\bar\alpha)α∈(0,αˉ), every run and every agent iii,

∃ C, z∈[0,1):∣U(xiν)−U⋆∣≤C zν∀ν.\exists\,C,\ z\in[0,1):\qquad|U(x_i^\nu)-U^\star|\le C\,z^\nu\quad\forall\nu .∃C, z∈[0,1):∣U(xiν​)−U⋆∣≤Czν∀ν.

The goal is qualitative: neither αˉ\bar\alphaαˉ nor the rate is fixed, so it survives any improvement of the constants.

Milestones

In attack order: the weighted tracking identity (74) and its consequence yˉϕν=∇f‾ν\bar y^\nu_\phi=\overline{\nabla f}^\nuyˉ​ϕν​=∇f​ν; the bounds ϕlb≤ϕiν≤ϕub\phi_{lb}\le\phi_i^\nu\le\phi_{ub}ϕlb​≤ϕiν​≤ϕub​ (p. 29); the per-agent descent inequality (Lemma I.1); the lower bound on the weighted step length (Lemma I.2); the tracking-error bound ∥δν∥2≤8Lmx2∥xϕ,⊥ν∥2+2∥yϕ,⊥ν∥2\|\delta^\nu\|^2\le8L^2_{\rm mx}\|x^\nu_{\phi,\perp}\|^2+2\|y^\nu_{\phi,\perp}\|^2∥δν∥2≤8Lmx2​∥xϕ,⊥ν​∥2+2∥yϕ,⊥ν​∥2 (Lemma I.3); the contraction pϕν+1≤σ(α)pϕν+η(α)ϕub(⋯ )p_\phi^{\nu+1}\le\sigma(\alpha)p_\phi^\nu+\eta(\alpha)\phi_{ub}(\cdots)pϕν+1​≤σ(α)pϕν​+η(α)ϕub​(⋯) (Proposition 4.1); the bound of ∥dν∥2\|d^\nu\|^2∥dν∥2 by pϕνp_\phi^\nupϕν​ and ∥yϕ,⊥ν∥2\|y^\nu_{\phi,\perp}\|^2∥yϕ,⊥ν​∥2 (Proposition 4.3).

Significance

Theorem 4.5 gives a linear rate for distributed composite and constrained optimization over time-varying directed networks. Two features matter: the individual fif_ifi​ need not be strongly convex, and the surrogates cover proximal-gradient steps, DANE-type local solves and mirror-descent steps under one analysis. The rate depends on the surrogate-mismatch constants DiD_iDi​, which is the mechanism by which the paper shows that local computation helps when the fif_ifi​ are similar.

The result is proved in the paper; the proof of Theorem 4.5 refers to the undirected argument, and several of its supporting statements (Propositions 4.1 and 4.3) have their proofs omitted or relegated to the supplement, with consensus estimates quoted from Scutari & Sun (2019). To our knowledge none of it is machine-checked. A formalization produces a checked proof of the directed result together with reusable statements about push-sum weights over BBB-strongly connected digraphs.

Difficulty

The obvious argument is to repeat the undirected proof with weighted averages. Two steps fail. First, the ϕ\phiϕ-weighted average is not the minimiser of ∑i∥xi−c∥2\sum_i\|x_i-c\|^2∑i​∥xi​−c∥2, so consensus errors measured against it lose a constant (the 8 in Lemma I.3 instead of 4), and every passage between weighted and unweighted sums needs the bounds ϕlb≤ϕiν≤ϕub\phi_{lb}\le\phi_i^\nu\le\phi_{ub}ϕlb​≤ϕiν​≤ϕub​, which rest on a product-of-matrices argument over windows of length (m−1)B(m-1)B(m−1)B. Second, the matrices change with ν\nuν, so there is no single contraction factor; geometric decay of the consensus errors holds only over windows, and the coupling between the optimality gap, the consensus errors and the step lengths must be closed by a small-gain argument whose constants are uniform over the run. The step-size threshold must not depend on the starting point.

Formalization scope

Points are EuclideanSpace ℝ (Fin d); stacked vectors are Fin m → ℝ^d with the Euclidean norm ∥v∥2=∑i∥vi∥2\|v\|^2=\sum_i\|v_i\|^2∥v∥2=∑i​∥vi​∥2, never Lean's sup norm. The Hessian is the derivative of the gradient, and Loewner bounds are quadratic-form inequalities. Time is 0-based. A run is a relational predicate: x^iν\hat x_i^\nux^iν​ is some minimizer of the subproblem, whose existence the paper takes for granted; x⋆x^\starx⋆ is assumed to exist. The divisions by ϕiν+1\phi_i^{\nu+1}ϕiν+1​ appear as in the paper and are genuine, since Assumption E keeps the weights positive. fif_ifi​ is convex on K\mathcal KK and locally convex on O\mathcal OO (positive semidefinite Hessian; O\mathcal OO need not be convex), μ~i>0\tilde\mu_i>0μ~​i​>0, and Diℓ,DiuD^\ell_i,D^u_iDiℓ​,Diu​ are parameters: the statements hold for every valid choice. The graph sequence, BBB, cℓc_\ellcℓ​ and the matrices CνC^\nuCν come before αˉ\bar\alphaαˉ; the starting point and the run come after α\alphaα. The bounds on ϕ\phiϕ are stated for m≥2m\ge2m≥2 (the printed ϕub\phi_{ub}ϕub​ is 000 at m=1m=1m=1), and positivity of σ(α)\sigma(\alpha)σ(α) is claimed only when Dmx>0D_{\rm mx}>0Dmx​>0 or α<1\alpha<1α<1.

The following do not count as a formalization of the goal: an unsatisfiable run predicate (a sorry-free verification file exhibits a run satisfying every hypothesis), a αˉ\bar\alphaαˉ chosen after the run, the ϕ\phiϕ bounds or a contraction factor assumed in place of Assumptions B′ and E, and dropping the 1/ϕiν+11/\phi_i^{\nu+1}1/ϕiν+1​ normalisation.

Not posed: the explicit rate (Theorem III.1), the complexity corollaries, and the consensus estimates Lemma 4.2 and Proposition 4.4, whose constants c0,ρBc_0,\rho_Bc0​,ρB​ come from Scutari & Sun (2019) (as printed, c0c_0c0​ is negative). A complete development needs Taylor expansions with integral remainder along segments, first-order optimality for composite problems on convex sets, and products of column-stochastic matrices over strongly connected windows; the last is reusable for any push-sum method. Contributions to any milestone, and to the missing consensus estimates as auxiliary lemmas, are welcome.

Selected references

  • Y. Sun, A. Daneshmand, G. Scutari, Distributed Optimization Based on Gradient-tracking Revisited: Enhancing Convergence Rate via Surrogation, arXiv:1905.02637v2, 2020; SIAM J. Optim. 32(2), 2022. https://arxiv.org/abs/1905.02637v2
  • G. Scutari, Y. Sun, Distributed nonconvex constrained optimization over time-varying digraphs, Math. Program. 176, 2019. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10107-018-01357-w
  • P. Di Lorenzo, G. Scutari, NEXT: In-Network Nonconvex Optimization, IEEE Trans. Signal Inf. Process. Netw. 2(2), 2016. https://doi.org/10.1109/TSIPN.2016.2524588
  • A. Nedić, A. Olshevsky, W. Shi, Achieving Geometric Convergence for Distributed Optimization over Time-Varying Graphs, SIAM J. Optim. 27(4), 2017. https://doi.org/10.1137/16M1084316
  • A. Nedić, A. Olshevsky, Distributed optimization over time-varying directed graphs, IEEE Trans. Autom. Control 60(3), 2015. https://doi.org/10.1109/TAC.2014.2364096
  • D. Kempe, A. Dobra, J. Gehrke, Gossip-based computation of aggregate information, FOCS 2003. https://doi.org/10.1109/SFCS.2003.1238221
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Control TheoryConvex OptimizationLinear algebra+1·Captain: mikedeng1

Quadratic Matrix Inequalities with Applications to Data-Based Control II: Matrix Finsler's Lemma — Z⁰ᵣ(N) ⊆ Zᵣ(M) iff M − αN ⪰ 0 for Some α ≥ 0Research Paper

Motivation

Finsler's lemma (P. Finsler, 1937) states that for symmetric matrices M,N∈SnM,N\in\mathbb S^nM,N∈Sn, the quadratic form x⊤Mxx^\top Mxx⊤Mx is positive on every nonzero xxx with x⊤Nx=0x^\top Nx=0x⊤Nx=0 if and only if M−αN>0M-\alpha N>0M−αN>0 for some real α\alphaα. Together with the S-lemma of Yakubovich it is one of the basic tools for converting a statement about all vectors satisfying a quadratic constraint into a single linear matrix inequality (LMI) in a multiplier, which can then be checked by semidefinite programming. Both results are used throughout robust control, where uncertainty is described by quadratic constraints.

In data-driven control the unknown object is a matrix, not a vector: the system matrices (A,B)(A,B)(A,B) consistent with noisy measurements form a set of the form

Zr(N)={Z∈Rr×q:[IZ]⊤N[IZ]⩾0},\mathcal Z_r(N)=\Big\{Z\in\mathbb R^{r\times q}:\begin{bmatrix}I\\ Z\end{bmatrix}^\top N\begin{bmatrix}I\\ Z\end{bmatrix}\geqslant0\Big\},Zr​(N)={Z∈Rr×q:[IZ​]⊤N[IZ​]⩾0},

and a controller has to work for every element of such a set. H. J. van Waarde, M. K. Camlibel, J. Eising and H. L. Trentelman (arXiv:2203.12959, SIAM J. Control Optim. 2023) develop matrix-valued versions of the S-lemma and of Finsler's lemma for exactly this purpose. Their matrix S-lemma (Theorem 4.7) requires a Slater-type condition: NNN must have a positive eigenvalue. This mission concerns the complementary case in which NNN has no positive eigenvalue, where the inequality defining Zr(N)\mathcal Z_r(N)Zr​(N) degenerates into an equality and a Finsler-type statement is needed.

Setting

All matrices are real. For a symmetric matrix AAA, A⩾0A\geqslant0A⩾0 (A>0A>0A>0) means positive semidefinite (definite); A⩽0A\leqslant0A⩽0 means −A⩾0-A\geqslant0−A⩾0. A†A^\daggerA† is the Moore–Penrose pseudo-inverse, the unique matrix XXX with AXA=AAXA=AAXA=A, XAX=XXAX=XXAX=X and AXAXAX, XAXAXA symmetric.

Fix integers q⩾1q\geqslant1q⩾1 and r⩾0r\geqslant0r⩾0. A symmetric matrix M∈Sq+rM\in\mathbb S^{q+r}M∈Sq+r is partitioned as

M=[M11M12M21M22],M=\begin{bmatrix}M_{11}&M_{12}\\ M_{21}&M_{22}\end{bmatrix},M=[M11​M21​​M12​M22​​],

with M11M_{11}M11​ of size q×qq\times qq×q and M22M_{22}M22​ of size r×rr\times rr×r, and likewise NNN. For Z∈Rr×qZ\in\mathbb R^{r\times q}Z∈Rr×q write FM(Z):=[IZ]⊤M[IZ]∈SqF_M(Z):=\begin{bmatrix}I\\ Z\end{bmatrix}^\top M\begin{bmatrix}I\\ Z\end{bmatrix}\in\mathbb S^qFM​(Z):=[IZ​]⊤M[IZ​]∈Sq, and define

Zr(M)={Z:FM(Z)⩾0},Zr0(N)={Z:FN(Z)=0}.\mathcal Z_r(M)=\{Z: F_M(Z)\geqslant0\},\qquad \mathcal Z_r^0(N)=\{Z: F_N(Z)=0\}.Zr​(M)={Z:FM​(Z)⩾0},Zr0​(N)={Z:FN​(Z)=0}.

The generalized Schur complement is M ∣ M22:=M11−M12M22†M21M\,|\,M_{22}:=M_{11}-M_{12}M_{22}^\dagger M_{21}M∣M22​:=M11​−M12​M22†​M21​, and the class Πq,r\boldsymbol\Pi_{q,r}Πq,r​ consists of the symmetric MMM with M22⩽0M_{22}\leqslant0M22​⩽0, M ∣ M22⩾0M\,|\,M_{22}\geqslant0M∣M22​⩾0 and ker⁡M22⊆ker⁡M12\ker M_{22}\subseteq\ker M_{12}kerM22​⊆kerM12​. For N∈Πq,rN\in\boldsymbol\Pi_{q,r}N∈Πq,r​, the condition N ∣ N22=0N\,|\,N_{22}=0N∣N22​=0 is equivalent to NNN having no positive eigenvalue; then Zr(N)=Zr0(N)\mathcal Z_r(N)=\mathcal Z_r^0(N)Zr​(N)=Zr0​(N). Finally, set

Θ:=[I−N22†N21]⊤M[I−N22†N21]=FM(−N22†N21).(4.4)\Theta:=\begin{bmatrix}I\\ -N_{22}^\dagger N_{21}\end{bmatrix}^\top M\begin{bmatrix}I\\ -N_{22}^\dagger N_{21}\end{bmatrix}=F_M(-N_{22}^\dagger N_{21}).\qquad(4.4)Θ:=[I−N22†​N21​​]⊤M[I−N22†​N21​​]=FM​(−N22†​N21​).(4.4)

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem 4.8 (Matrix Finsler's lemma), p. 12

First, if M−αN⩾0M-\alpha N\geqslant0M−αN⩾0 for some α∈R\alpha\in\mathbb Rα∈R, then Zr0(N)⊆Zr(M)\mathcal Z_r^0(N)\subseteq\mathcal Z_r(M)Zr0​(N)⊆Zr​(M). Second, if M,N∈Πq,rM,N\in\boldsymbol\Pi_{q,r}M,N∈Πq,r​, N ∣ N22=0N\,|\,N_{22}=0N∣N22​=0 and ker⁡Θ⊆ker⁡(M ∣ M22)\ker\Theta\subseteq\ker(M\,|\,M_{22})kerΘ⊆ker(M∣M22​), then

Zr0(N)⊆Zr(M)  ⟺  ∃ α⩾0: M−αN⩾0.\mathcal Z_r^0(N)\subseteq\mathcal Z_r(M)\iff\exists\,\alpha\geqslant0:\ M-\alpha N\geqslant0 .Zr0​(N)⊆Zr​(M)⟺∃α⩾0: M−αN⩾0.

Milestones (proof of Theorem 4.8, pp. 12–13)

  1. If Zr0(N)⊆Zr(M)\mathcal Z_r^0(N)\subseteq\mathcal Z_r(M)Zr0​(N)⊆Zr​(M), then ker⁡N22⊆ker⁡M22\ker N_{22}\subseteq\ker M_{22}kerN22​⊆kerM22​.
  2. With T:=[I0−N22†N21I]T:=\begin{bmatrix}I&0\\ -N_{22}^\dagger N_{21}&I\end{bmatrix}T:=[I−N22†​N21​​0I​], T⊤NT=diag⁡(0,N22)T^\top NT=\operatorname{diag}(0,N_{22})T⊤NT=diag(0,N22​) and
T⊤(M−αN)T=[ΘM12−N12N22†M22M21−M22N22†N21M22−αN22].(4.6)T^\top(M-\alpha N)T=\begin{bmatrix}\Theta&M_{12}-N_{12}N_{22}^\dagger M_{22}\\ M_{21}-M_{22}N_{22}^\dagger N_{21}&M_{22}-\alpha N_{22}\end{bmatrix}.\qquad(4.6)T⊤(M−αN)T=[ΘM21​−M22​N22†​N21​​M12​−N12​N22†​M22​M22​−αN22​​].(4.6)
  1. If ker⁡M22⊆ker⁡M12\ker M_{22}\subseteq\ker M_{12}kerM22​⊆kerM12​, then with D:=M22†M21−N22†N21D:=M_{22}^\dagger M_{21}-N_{22}^\dagger N_{21}D:=M22†​M21​−N22†​N21​, Θ=M ∣ M22+D⊤M22D\Theta=M\,|\,M_{22}+D^\top M_{22}DΘ=M∣M22​+D⊤M22​D and M22D=M21−M22N22†N21M_{22}D=M_{21}-M_{22}N_{22}^\dagger N_{21}M22​D=M21​−M22​N22†​N21​ (4.7a–b).
  2. Θ⩾0\Theta\geqslant0Θ⩾0 and ker⁡(M ∣ M22)=ker⁡Θ∩ker⁡(M21−M22N22†N21)\ker(M\,|\,M_{22})=\ker\Theta\cap\ker(M_{21}-M_{22}N_{22}^\dagger N_{21})ker(M∣M22​)=kerΘ∩ker(M21​−M22​N22†​N21​).
  3. T⊤(M−αN)T⩾0T^\top(M-\alpha N)T\geqslant0T⊤(M−αN)T⩾0 if and only if
M22−αN22−(M21−M22N22†N21) Θ† (M12−N12N22†M22)⩾0.(4.8)M_{22}-\alpha N_{22}-(M_{21}-M_{22}N_{22}^\dagger N_{21})\,\Theta^\dagger\,(M_{12}-N_{12}N_{22}^\dagger M_{22})\geqslant0.\qquad(4.8)M22​−αN22​−(M21​−M22​N22†​N21​)Θ†(M12​−N12​N22†​M22​)⩾0.(4.8)
  1. Some α⩾0\alpha\geqslant0α⩾0 satisfies (4.8), and then M−αN⩾0M-\alpha N\geqslant0M−αN⩾0.

A companion item formalizes Example 4.9 (p. 13): for N=[−111−1]N=\begin{bmatrix}-1&1\\1&-1\end{bmatrix}N=[−11​1−1​] and M=[100−1]M=\begin{bmatrix}1&0\\0&-1\end{bmatrix}M=[10​0−1​] all hypotheses except the one on Θ\ThetaΘ hold, the inclusion holds, and no α⩾0\alpha\geqslant0α⩾0 works.

Significance

The theorem turns an inclusion between two sets of matrices, a statement quantified over infinitely many ZZZ, into feasibility of a scalar-multiplier LMI. In the paper it is one of four matrix S-lemma variants (Theorems 4.7, 4.8, 4.10, 4.11) that together cover the cases arising in data-based control: whether the data-consistent set Zr(N)\mathcal Z_r(N)Zr​(N) has a Slater point, and whether the conclusion is non-strict or strict. Theorem 4.8 is the variant for noise models whose quadratic description has no interior, for instance exact equality constraints on the noise. Example 4.9 shows that the kernel hypothesis on Θ\ThetaΘ is genuinely needed, so the statement marks the boundary of when the lossless reduction holds.

The paper gives a complete proof. No machine-checked proof of this theorem, of the matrix S-lemma, or of Finsler's lemma in matrix form is known to exist, in Lean or elsewhere. Formalizing it produces reusable infrastructure: the Moore–Penrose pseudo-inverse of real matrices with its Penrose identities, the generalized Schur complement criterion for positive semidefiniteness of a block matrix, and congruence manipulations of 2×22\times22×2 block matrices, none of which is currently in Mathlib in this form.

Difficulty

The "if" direction is a one-line computation. For the "only if" direction the classical vector Finsler lemma is not directly applicable: it concerns vectors xxx with x⊤Nx=0x^\top Nx=0x⊤Nx=0, while the hypothesis here only controls matrices ZZZ with FN(Z)=0F_N(Z)=0FN​(Z)=0, which is a much smaller family when q>1q>1q>1, and the conclusion is non-strict. The natural first idea, applying the vector S-lemma, fails because NNN has no positive eigenvalue, so its Slater condition is violated. Instead one must exploit the structure of Πq,r\boldsymbol\Pi_{q,r}Πq,r​: the pseudo-inverse appears because N22N_{22}N22​ and M22M_{22}M22​ are typically singular, and every manipulation must track kernels and ranges exactly.

Formalization scope

The blocks are indexed by arbitrary finite types ι (size qqq) and κ (size rrr); a matrix in Sq+r\mathbb S^{q+r}Sq+r is Matrix (ι ⊕ κ) (ι ⊕ κ) ℝ, its blocks are toBlocks₁₁ etc., and Rr×q\mathbb R^{r\times q}Rr×q is Matrix κ ι ℝ. A⩾0A\geqslant0A⩾0 is Mathlib's PosSemidef, which includes symmetry. The pseudo-inverse is defined by Hilbert's choice among matrices satisfying the four Penrose conditions; since such a matrix exists and is unique, this is the pseudo-inverse and not a junk value. Kernel inclusions are stated with matrix–vector products.

One hypothesis is added and disclosed: q⩾1q\geqslant1q⩾1 (Nonempty ι) in the second statement of Theorem 4.8 and in the milestones that need it. The proof picks a nonzero vector of Rq\mathbb R^qRq, and at q=0q=0q=0 the equivalence is false (r=1r=1r=1, N=[0]N=[0]N=[0], M=[−1]M=[-1]M=[−1]). The first statement keeps a real multiplier of any sign; the second requires α⩾0\alpha\geqslant0α⩾0, as printed. The hypothesis N ∣ N22=0N\,|\,N_{22}=0N∣N22​=0 together with N∈Πq,rN\in\boldsymbol\Pi_{q,r}N∈Πq,r​ makes Zr0(N)\mathcal Z_r^0(N)Zr0​(N) nonempty, so the inclusion is never vacuous; a formalization in which Zr0(N)\mathcal Z_r^0(N)Zr0​(N) could be empty, or in which N22†N_{22}^\daggerN22†​ were replaced by the inverse (which is 000 on singular blocks in Lean), would not be this theorem.

Needed infrastructure: existence and uniqueness of the Moore–Penrose pseudo-inverse (needed to work with the definition at all), symmetry of A†A^\daggerA† for symmetric AAA, the generalized Schur complement criterion for [ABB⊤C]⩾0\begin{bmatrix}A&B\\B^\top&C\end{bmatrix}\geqslant0[AB⊤​BC​]⩾0, and positive semidefiniteness under congruence by an invertible matrix. These lemmas are reusable beyond this mission and contributions of them are welcome, as are proofs of the companion Example 4.9.

Selected references

  • H. J. van Waarde, M. K. Camlibel, J. Eising, H. L. Trentelman, Quadratic matrix inequalities with applications to data-based control, SIAM J. Control Optim., 2023; preprint arXiv:2203.12959v3. https://arxiv.org/abs/2203.12959
  • P. Finsler, Über das Vorkommen definiter und semidefiniter Formen in Scharen quadratischer Formen, Comment. Math. Helv. 9 (1937), 188–192. https://doi.org/10.1007/BF01258188
  • I. Pólik, T. Terlaky, A survey of the S-lemma, SIAM Review 49 (2007), 371–418. https://doi.org/10.1137/S003614450444614X
  • H. J. van Waarde, J. Eising, H. L. Trentelman, M. K. Camlibel, Data informativity: a new perspective on data-driven analysis and control, IEEE Trans. Automat. Control 65 (2020), 4753–4768. https://doi.org/10.1109/TAC.2020.2966717
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AlgebraCombinatoricsDiscrete Geometry+1·Captain: mikedeng1

A Large Family of Maximum Scattered Linear Sets of PG(1, q^n) and Their Associated MRD Codes 2: For Odd q = p^r and t > 4, a Lower Bound on the Number of PΓL-Classes of the Linear Sets L_{h,t}Research Paper

Motivation

A linear set of the projective line PG(1,qn)\mathrm{PG}(1, q^n)PG(1,qn) is the set of points ⟨u⟩Fqn\langle u\rangle_{\mathbb F_{q^n}}⟨u⟩Fqn​​ spanned by the nonzero vectors uuu of an Fq\mathbb F_qFq​-subspace U⊆Fqn2U \subseteq \mathbb F_{q^n}^2U⊆Fqn2​. The extremal ones, the maximum scattered linear sets, are given by scattered polynomials fff over Fqn\mathbb F_{q^n}Fqn​, and each such fff also gives an Fqn\mathbb F_{q^n}Fqn​-linear maximum rank-distance (MRD) code Cf={ax+bf(x):a,b∈Fqn}\mathcal C_f = \{ax + bf(x) : a, b \in \mathbb F_{q^n}\}Cf​={ax+bf(x):a,b∈Fqn​} of minimum distance n−1n-1n−1 (Sheekey, Adv. Math. Commun. 10, 2016). Rank-distance codes are used in network coding, and linear sets appear in the study of semifields, blocking sets and two-intersection sets.

Linear sets and codes are classified up to equivalence: two linear sets are the same object if a collineation of the line, an element of PΓL(2,qn)\mathrm{P\Gamma L}(2, q^n)PΓL(2,qn), maps one onto the other. The question is therefore not only whether new scattered polynomials exist but how many inequivalent linear sets they produce.

  • 2000–2001. The monomials xqsx^{q^s}xqs, gcd⁡(s,n)=1\gcd(s,n) = 1gcd(s,n)=1 (Blokhuis–Lavrauw 2000), all give a single linear set of PG(1,qn)\mathrm{PG}(1,q^n)PG(1,qn) (pseudoregulus type); the binomials δxqs+xqn−s\delta x^{q^s} + x^{q^{n-s}}δxqs+xqn−s (Lunardon–Polverino 2001) give at most φ(n)\varphi(n)φ(n) times a function of qqq classes.
  • 2018. Csajbók, Marino and Polverino (J. Combin. Theory Ser. A 157, 2018) develop the equivalence theory of linear sets of PG(1,qn)\mathrm{PG}(1, q^n)PG(1,qn), including coefficient identities that two qqq-polynomials defining the same linear set must satisfy.
  • 2021. Longobardi and Zanella (J. Algebraic Combin. 2021) give a third family, again with at most φ(n)/2\varphi(n)/2φ(n)/2 classes.
  • 2021. Longobardi, Marino, Trombetti and Zhou (arXiv:2102.08287v3) construct the family ψh,t\psi_{h,t}ψh,t​ (Theorem 3.1, the companion mission) and show (Theorem 5.1) that it contains a number of PΓL\mathrm{P\Gamma L}PΓL-classes growing exponentially in nnn. This mission formalizes that count.

Setting

Let ppp be an odd prime, r≥1r \ge 1r≥1, q=prq = p^rq=pr, t≥1t \ge 1t≥1, n=2tn = 2tn=2t, and let F=FqnF = \mathbb F_{q^n}F=Fqn​ be the finite field of order q2tq^{2t}q2t. Its subfield Fq\mathbb F_qFq​ is {c:cq=c}\{c : c^q = c\}{c:cq=c}.

A qqq-polynomial is a map f(x)=∑i=0n−1αixqif(x) = \sum_{i=0}^{n-1} \alpha_i x^{q^i}f(x)=∑i=0n−1​αi​xqi with αi∈F\alpha_i \in Fαi​∈F (qpoly). It is scattered (IsScatteredPoly) if for all z,y∈F∗z, y \in F^*z,y∈F∗, f(z)/z=f(y)/yf(z)/z = f(y)/yf(z)/z=f(y)/y forces z=cyz = cyz=cy with c∈Fqc \in \mathbb F_qc∈Fq​.

The graph of fff is Uf={(x,f(x)):x∈F}⊆F2U_f = \{(x, f(x)) : x \in F\} \subseteq F^2Uf​={(x,f(x)):x∈F}⊆F2 (graph). A point ⟨v⟩Fqn\langle v \rangle_{\mathbb F_{q^n}}⟨v⟩Fqn​​ of PG(1,qn)\mathrm{PG}(1, q^n)PG(1,qn) is the set of all FFF-multiples of a nonzero v∈F2v \in F^2v∈F2 (point), and the linear set of fff is the point set

Lf={⟨(x,f(x))⟩Fqn:x∈F∗}(linSet).L_f = \{\langle (x, f(x))\rangle_{\mathbb F_{q^n}} : x \in F^*\} \quad (\texttt{linSet}).Lf​={⟨(x,f(x))⟩Fqn​​:x∈F∗}(linSet).

For a field automorphism σ\sigmaσ and an invertible 2×22 \times 22×2 matrix AAA over FFF, the map v↦Avσv \mapsto A v^\sigmav↦Avσ (σ\sigmaσ acting on coordinates, act) is an element of ΓL(2,qn)\Gamma\mathrm L(2, q^n)ΓL(2,qn); with σ=id\sigma = \mathrm{id}σ=id it is in GL(2,qn)\mathrm{GL}(2, q^n)GL(2,qn). Two subsets U,W⊆F2U, W \subseteq F^2U,W⊆F2 are GL- or ΓL-equivalent (GLEquiv, GammaLEquiv) if such a map sends UUU onto WWW. Two point sets are PGL- or PΓL-equivalent (PGLEquiv, PGammaLEquiv) if the induced map on points, P↦{Avσ:v∈P}P \mapsto \{A v^\sigma : v \in P\}P↦{Avσ:v∈P}, sends one onto the other.

The family. For h∈Fh \in Fh∈F,

ψh,t(x)=xq+xqt−1−h1−qt+1xqt+1+h1−q2t−1xq2t−1(psi),\psi_{h,t}(x) = x^q + x^{q^{t-1}} - h^{1-q^{t+1}} x^{q^{t+1}} + h^{1-q^{2t-1}} x^{q^{2t-1}} \quad (\texttt{psi}),ψh,t​(x)=xq+xqt−1−h1−qt+1xqt+1+h1−q2t−1xq2t−1(psi),

H={h∈F:hqt+1=−1}H = \{h \in F : h^{q^t+1} = -1\}H={h∈F:hqt+1=−1} (hSet), Uh=Uψh,tU_h = U_{\psi_{h,t}}Uh​=Uψh,t​​ and Lh,t=Lψh,tL_{h,t} = L_{\psi_{h,t}}Lh,t​=Lψh,t​​. For t≥3t \ge 3t≥3 and h∈H∖Fqth \in H \setminus \mathbb F_{q^t}h∈H∖Fqt​, ψh,t\psi_{h,t}ψh,t​ is scattered and Lh,tL_{h,t}Lh,t​ is a maximum scattered linear set (Theorem 3.1).

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem 5.1

For t>4t > 4t>4, the number MMM of PΓL(2,qn)\mathrm{P\Gamma L}(2,q^n)PΓL(2,qn)-classes met by the sets Lh,tL_{h,t}Lh,t​, h∈Hh \in Hh∈H, satisfies

M≥{⌊qt+18rt⌋,t≢2(mod4),⌊qt+14rt(q2+1)⌋,t≡2(mod4).M \ge \begin{cases} \left\lfloor \dfrac{q^t+1}{8rt} \right\rfloor, & t \not\equiv 2 \pmod 4,\\[1.5ex] \left\lfloor \dfrac{q^t+1}{4rt(q^2+1)} \right\rfloor, & t \equiv 2 \pmod 4.\end{cases}M≥⎩⎨⎧​⌊8rtqt+1​⌋,⌊4rt(q2+1)qt+1​⌋,​t≡2(mod4),t≡2(mod4).​

It is stated as: some S⊆HS \subseteq HS⊆H of at least that size has pairwise PΓL\mathrm{P\Gamma L}PΓL-inequivalent Lh,tL_{h,t}Lh,t​. The goal fixes the paper's constants; the proof on p. 26 in fact counts classes exactly in terms of class sizes, so a sharper bound is a natural follow-up.

Milestones

  1. Proposition 3.2 (p. 7): h∈H⇒hq2+1≠1h \in H \Rightarrow h^{q^2+1} \ne 1h∈H⇒hq2+1=1 and hqt−2≠−hh^{q^{t-2}} \ne -hhqt−2=−h.
  2. ∣H∣=qt+1|H| = q^t + 1∣H∣=qt+1 (p. 26).
  3. Display (29) (p. 16): for h,k∈Hh, k \in Hh,k∈H, Uh∼GLUkU_h \sim_{\mathrm{GL}} U_kUh​∼GL​Uk​ iff h=±kh = \pm kh=±k (t≢2t \not\equiv 2t≡2) or h=ℓkh = \ell kh=ℓk with ℓq2+1=1\ell^{q^2+1} = 1ℓq2+1=1 (t≡2 mod 4t \equiv 2 \bmod 4t≡2mod4).
  4. Theorem 4.2 (a)–(b) (p. 16), in the UhU_hUh​ form: Uh∼ΓLUkU_h \sim_{\Gamma\mathrm L} U_kUh​∼ΓL​Uk​ iff h=±kρh = \pm k^\rhoh=±kρ (resp. ℓkρ\ell k^\rhoℓkρ) for some ρ∈Aut(Fqn)\rho \in \mathrm{Aut}(\mathbb F_{q^n})ρ∈Aut(Fqn​).
  5. Proof of Corollary 4.3 (p. 18): the GL-class of UhU_hUh​ in the family has ξh=2\xi_h = 2ξh​=2 (resp. q2+1q^2+1q2+1) members, and its ΓL-class at most nrξhnr\xi_hnrξh​.
  6. Lemma 2.2 (p. 5, from Csajbók–Marino–Polverino): Lf=LgL_f = L_gLf​=Lg​ forces α0=β0\alpha_0 = \beta_0α0​=β0​ and two families of coefficient identities.
  7. Display (37) (pp. 20–21): PGL-equivalence of Lf,LgL_f, L_gLf​,Lg​ as an equality of sets of quotients.
  8. The case b=0b = 0b=0 of (37) (p. 21): c=0c = 0c=0.
  9. Lemma 5.2 (p. 21): the case b=0b = 0b=0 for ψh,t,ψk,t\psi_{h,t}, \psi_{k,t}ψh,t​,ψk,t​ gives (h/k)q2+1=1(h/k)^{q^2+1} = 1(h/k)q2+1=1 and Uh∼ΓLUkU_h \sim_{\Gamma\mathrm L} U_kUh​∼ΓL​Uk​.
  10. Lemma 5.3 (p. 22): the case b=1b = 1b=1, with its three conclusions.

Significance

The result. Theorem 5.1 shows that maximum scattered linear sets of PG(1,qn)\mathrm{PG}(1, q^n)PG(1,qn), and hence Fqn\mathbb F_{q^n}Fqn​-linear MRD codes, exist in numbers exponential in nnn up to equivalence, whereas each previously known infinite family yields at most φ(n)\varphi(n)φ(n) times a function of qqq classes (Table 1, p. 3). Remark 5.4 draws the consequence that the family is new. Its intermediate results, the classification of the GL\mathrm{GL}GL- and ΓL\Gamma\mathrm LΓL-equivalences between the UhU_hUh​ (Theorem 4.2) and the reduction of PGL\mathrm{PGL}PGL-equivalence to sets of quotients, are the standard tools for any later classification of this family.

Formalizing it. The theorem has a complete published proof; none of it is machine-checked. The platform has no action of GL(2,qn)\mathrm{GL}(2, q^n)GL(2,qn) or ΓL(2,qn)\Gamma\mathrm L(2, q^n)ΓL(2,qn) on the projective line, no linear sets of PG(1,qn)\mathrm{PG}(1,q^n)PG(1,qn) as point sets, and no coefficient identities for qqq-polynomials defining the same linear set. The mission produces these, then the class counts. Lemma 2.2 is a result of an earlier paper (Csajbók–Marino–Polverino 2018) cited without proof, so formalizing it means formalizing part of that paper too.

Difficulty

Equality of two linear sets is equality of sets of points, which says nothing directly about the polynomials: different qqq-polynomials can define the same linear set (all xqsx^{q^s}xqs with gcd⁡(s,n)=1\gcd(s,n)=1gcd(s,n)=1 do). The obvious idea, that PΓL\mathrm{P\Gamma L}PΓL-equivalent linear sets come from ΓL\Gamma\mathrm LΓL-equivalent subspaces UhU_hUh​, fails in general (p. 3), so the count cannot be read off Theorem 4.2. The step that needs the restriction t>4t > 4t>4 is the comparison of coefficients in the qqq-polynomial identities, which for t=3,4t = 3, 4t=3,4 is open (Remark 5.5). A second difficulty is bookkeeping: the exponents qt±1q^{t\pm1}qt±1, q2t−1q^{2t-1}q2t−1, the negative powers of hhh and the case split on t mod 4t \bmod 4tmod4 must all be tracked through every identity.

Formalization scope

  • Field. FFF is a finite field with CharP F p, p prime, Odd p ("qqq odd"), q = p ^ r with 0 < r, and Fintype.card F = q ^ (2 * t). rrr is the exponent of q=prq = p^rq=pr, as in Theorem 5.1, so ∣Aut(Fqn)∣=rn|\mathrm{Aut}(\mathbb F_{q^n})| = rn∣Aut(Fqn​)∣=rn. Lemma 2.2, (37) and the b=0b = 0b=0 step are stated for general n≥1n \ge 1n≥1 and Fintype.card F = q ^ n, without "qqq odd", as printed.
  • Exponents. xqix^{q^i}xqi is x ^ q ^ i; negative powers of hhh are field quotients (h / h ^ q ^ (t+1) for h1−qt+1h^{1-q^{t+1}}h1−qt+1), exact since h≠0h \ne 0h=0 on HHH. Natural-number subtractions t−1t-1t−1, 2t−12t-12t−1, 3t−23t-23t−2, n−kn-kn−k, qi−1q^i - 1qi−1 are exact in the stated ranges.
  • Geometry. The plane is Fin 2 → F; points are sets of scalar multiples; linear sets are sets of points. Equivalences are stated as images of sets under v↦Avσv \mapsto A v^\sigmav↦Avσ with det⁡A\det AdetA a unit and σ:F≃F\sigma : F \simeq Fσ:F≃F a ring automorphism.
  • Pinned readings.
    1. "Scattered" is the p. 2 quotient definition with Fq={c:cq=c}\mathbb F_q = \{c : c^q = c\}Fq​={c:cq=c}.
    2. Proposition 3.2's hqt−2h^{q^{t-2}}hqt−2 is read as hq3t−2h^{q^{3t-2}}hq3t−2 (equal for t≥2t \ge 2t≥2), and "qqq odd" is added.
    3. Theorem 4.2 (a)–(b), stated for codes Ch,t\mathcal C_{h,t}Ch,t​, is formalized as the ΓL\Gamma\mathrm LΓL-equivalence of Uh,UkU_h, U_kUh​,Uk​, which the proof establishes and which is the code equivalence by Theorem 2.1 (from Sheekey 2016). The automorphism-group sentence is omitted.
    4. Lemma 5.3's hypothesis "(41) holds" is read in the setting of p. 21: b=1b = 1b=1, cˉ=c−da≠0\bar c = c - da \ne 0cˉ=c−da=0, gˉ=∑γiyqi\bar g = \sum \gamma_i y^{q^i}gˉ​=∑γi​yqi inverse to x↦ax+g(x)x \mapsto ax + g(x)x↦ax+g(x) (47), and d+cˉγ0=0d + \bar c\gamma_0 = 0d+cˉγ0​=0 (40).
    5. In (37), ax+bg(x)≠0ax + bg(x) \ne 0ax+bg(x)=0 for x≠0x \ne 0x=0 is part of the condition (stated on p. 21 for b=1b = 1b=1).
    6. "The total number MMM of inequivalent Lh,tL_{h,t}Lh,t​" is the number of classes met by {Lh,t:h∈H}\{L_{h,t} : h \in H\}{Lh,t​:h∈H}, formalized through a pairwise-inequivalent subset of HHH. HHH is not restricted to h∉Fqth \notin \mathbb F_{q^t}h∈/Fqt​, as in the count ∣H∣=qt+1|H| = q^t+1∣H∣=qt+1 of p. 26; "maximum scattered" is descriptive.
  • Trivializing formalizations ruled out. Equivalence is stated on point sets, never on quotient sets {f(x)/x}\{f(x)/x\}{f(x)/x}, where Lean's y/0=0y/0 = 0y/0=0 could merge inequivalent sets; the goal requires pairwise inequivalence, not distinctness of the parameters hhh (note ψ−h,t=ψh,t\psi_{-h,t} = \psi_{h,t}ψ−h,t​=ψh,t​); and the hypotheses are satisfiable, with bound ⌊244/40⌋=6\lfloor 244/40 \rfloor = 6⌊244/40⌋=6 at q=3q = 3q=3, t=5t = 5t=5.
  • Citation basis. All indices and pages refer to arXiv:2102.08287v3 (printed page = PDF page). The Combinatorica version is not used.
  • Welcome contributions. The ΓL(2,qn)\Gamma\mathrm L(2,q^n)ΓL(2,qn) action on F2F^2F2 and on point sets, the cardinality of {h:hqt+1=−1}\{h : h^{q^t+1} = -1\}{h:hqt+1=−1}, and Lemma 2.2 are reusable beyond this mission. Proofs of any milestone, and of Theorem 3.1 in the companion mission, are welcome.

Selected references

  • G. Longobardi, G. Marino, R. Trombetti, Y. Zhou, A large family of maximum scattered linear sets of PG(1, q^n) and their associated MRD codes, arXiv:2102.08287v3, 2021 (Combinatorica 43, 2023). https://arxiv.org/abs/2102.08287v3
  • B. Csajbók, G. Marino, O. Polverino, Classes and equivalence of linear sets in PG(1, q^n), J. Combin. Theory Ser. A 157, 402–426, 2018.
  • J. Sheekey, A new family of linear maximum rank distance codes, Adv. Math. Commun. 10(3), 475–488, 2016.
  • G. Longobardi, C. Zanella, Linear sets and MRD-codes arising from a class of scattered linearized polynomials, J. Algebraic Combin., 2021. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10801-020-01011-9
  • A. Blokhuis, M. Lavrauw, Scattered spaces with respect to a spread in PG(n, q), Geometriae Dedicata 81(1), 231–243, 2000.
  • G. Lunardon, O. Polverino, Blocking sets and derivable partial spreads, J. Algebraic Combin. 14(1), 49–56, 2001.
  • B. Csajbók, C. Zanella, On the equivalence of linear sets, Des. Codes Cryptogr. 81(2), 269–281, 2016.
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Inf-Convolution, Optimal Allocations, and Model Uncertainty for Tail Risk Measures IV: The Comonotonic Inf-Convolution of Tail Risk Measures Is a Tail Risk Measure with the Maximal Tail ParameterResearch Paper

Motivation

A risk sharing problem distributes an aggregate random loss XXX among nnn agents, each of whom evaluates its share with a risk measure ρi\rho_iρi​. The smallest achievable aggregate risk is the inf-convolution □i=1nρi(X)\square_{i=1}^n\rho_i(X)□i=1n​ρi​(X), and allocations that attain it are optimal. In insurance and in regulated banking the allocation is often required to be comonotonic: every share moves in the same direction as the total loss. This is the no-sabotage, or no-moral-hazard, condition of the insurance literature (Huberman, Mayers and Smith 1983; Carlier and Dana 2003). For risk measures that respect convex order, comonotonic allocations lose nothing (the comonotone improvement of Carlier, Dana and Galichon 2012). For the risk measures most used in practice, Value-at-Risk and its relatives, this is not true, so the comonotonic problem has to be studied in its own right.

Liu, Mao, Wang and Wei (2022) study inf-convolutions of tail risk measures, the risk measures that depend only on the distribution of a loss beyond a fixed quantile. Value-at-Risk, Expected Shortfall and Range-Value-at-Risk are all of this kind. Their Theorem 3 shows that the unconstrained inf-convolution of tail risk measures is again a tail risk measure, with tail parameter the sum of the individual ones. Theorem 4, the subject of this mission, treats the comonotonic constraint, and the tail parameter becomes the maximum.

Setting

Fix an atomless probability space (Ω,F,P)(\Omega,\mathcal F,\mathbb P)(Ω,F,P): every event of positive probability contains an event of strictly smaller positive probability. Random variables are real measurable functions on Ω\OmegaΩ, and a positive value is a loss. The distribution function of XXX is FX(x)=P(X≤x)F_X(x)=\mathbb P(X\le x)FX​(x)=P(X≤x), and its left-continuous inverse is FX−1(p)=inf⁡{x:FX(x)≥p}F_X^{-1}(p)=\inf\{x:F_X(x)\ge p\}FX−1​(p)=inf{x:FX​(x)≥p} for p∈(0,1]p\in(0,1]p∈(0,1]. A quantile uniform UXU_XUX​ of XXX is a random variable, uniform on [0,1][0,1][0,1], with FX−1(UX)=XF_X^{-1}(U_X)=XFX−1​(UX​)=X almost surely.

For p∈(0,1)p\in(0,1)p∈(0,1) the tail of XXX beyond its (1−p)(1-p)(1−p)-quantile is Xp=FX−1(1−p+pUX)X_p=F_X^{-1}(1-p+pU_X)Xp​=FX−1​(1−p+pUX​). Its distribution function is

P(Xp≤x)=(FX(x)−(1−p))+p,x∈R.(6)\mathbb P(X_p\le x)=\frac{(F_X(x)-(1-p))_+}{p},\qquad x\in\mathbb R .\tag{6}P(Xp​≤x)=p(FX​(x)−(1−p))+​​,x∈R.(6)

A risk measure ρ\rhoρ is a ppp-tail risk measure if ρ(X)=ρ(Y)\rho(X)=\rho(Y)ρ(X)=ρ(Y) whenever XpX_pXp​ and YpY_pYp​ have the same distribution (Definition 1). A ppp-generator of such a ρ\rhoρ is a law-invariant risk measure ρ∗\rho^*ρ∗ with ρ(X)=ρ∗(Xp)\rho(X)=\rho^*(X_p)ρ(X)=ρ∗(Xp​) for all XXX.

Two random variables are comonotonic, X/ ⁣ ⁣/YX/\!\!/YX//Y, if on an event Ω0\Omega_0Ω0​ of probability one, (X(ω)−X(ω′))(Y(ω)−Y(ω′))≥0(X(\omega)-X(\omega'))(Y(\omega)-Y(\omega'))\ge0(X(ω)−X(ω′))(Y(ω)−Y(ω′))≥0 for all ω,ω′∈Ω0\omega,\omega'\in\Omega_0ω,ω′∈Ω0​. The comonotonic allocations of XXX and the constrained inf-convolution are

An+(X)={(X1,…,Xn):∑i=1nXi=X, Xi/ ⁣ ⁣/X},⊞i=1nρi(X)=inf⁡{∑i=1nρi(Xi):(X1,…,Xn)∈An+(X)}.\mathbb A_n^+(X)=\Big\{(X_1,\dots,X_n):\sum_{i=1}^nX_i=X,\ X_i/\!\!/X\Big\},\qquad \mathop{\boxplus}_{i=1}^n\rho_i(X)=\inf\Big\{\sum_{i=1}^n\rho_i(X_i):(X_1,\dots,X_n)\in\mathbb A_n^+(X)\Big\}.An+​(X)={(X1​,…,Xn​):i=1∑n​Xi​=X, Xi​//X},⊞i=1n​ρi​(X)=inf{i=1∑n​ρi​(Xi​):(X1​,…,Xn​)∈An+​(X)}.

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem 4 (i)–(ii)

Let ρi\rho_iρi​ be an εi\varepsilon_iεi​-tail risk measure, εi∈(0,1)\varepsilon_i\in(0,1)εi​∈(0,1), i=1,…,ni=1,\dots,ni=1,…,n, let ε=⋁i=1nεi\varepsilon=\bigvee_{i=1}^n\varepsilon_iε=⋁i=1n​εi​, and let ρi∗\rho_i^*ρi∗​ be an ε\varepsilonε-generator of ρi\rho_iρi​. Then for every XXX and every quantile uniform of XXX,

⊞i=1nρi(X)=⊞i=1nρi∗(Xε),\mathop{\boxplus}_{i=1}^n\rho_i(X)=\mathop{\boxplus}_{i=1}^n\rho_i^*(X_\varepsilon),⊞i=1n​ρi​(X)=⊞i=1n​ρi∗​(Xε​),

and ⊞i=1nρi\boxplus_{i=1}^n\rho_i⊞i=1n​ρi​ is an ε\varepsilonε-tail risk measure.

Milestones

  1. Monotonicity of tail parameters (p. 8). Every q∈[p,1)q\in[p,1)q∈[p,1) is a tail parameter of a ppp-tail risk measure.
  2. Lemma 2(a) (p. 21). For (X1,…,Xn)∈An+(X)(X_1,\dots,X_n)\in\mathbb A_n^+(X)(X1​,…,Xn​)∈An+​(X) there is (Y1,…,Yn)∈An+(Xε)(Y_1,\dots,Y_n)\in\mathbb A_n^+(X_\varepsilon)(Y1​,…,Yn​)∈An+​(Xε​) with Yi=d(Xi)εY_i\overset d=(X_i)_\varepsilonYi​=d(Xi​)ε​.
  3. Lemma 2(b) (p. 21). For (Y1,…,Yn)∈An+(Xε)(Y_1,\dots,Y_n)\in\mathbb A_n^+(X_\varepsilon)(Y1​,…,Yn​)∈An+​(Xε​) there is (X1,…,Xn)∈An+(X)(X_1,\dots,X_n)\in\mathbb A_n^+(X)(X1​,…,Xn​)∈An+​(X) with (Xi)ε=dYi(X_i)_\varepsilon\overset d=Y_i(Xi​)ε​=dYi​.

Significance

Theorem 4 gives an explicit formula for comonotonic risk sharing among tail risk measures. The optimal comonotonic aggregate risk of XXX is computed from the tail XεX_\varepsilonXε​ alone, by sharing the tail among the generators. As a consequence the constrained inf-convolution depends on XXX only through its distribution beyond the (1−ε)(1-\varepsilon)(1−ε)-quantile, with ε\varepsilonε the largest individual tail parameter. Compared with Theorem 3, where the unconstrained tail parameter is ∑iεi\sum_i\varepsilon_i∑i​εi​, the comonotonic constraint keeps the aggregate as tail-focused as the least tail-focused agent. For a regulator this means that comonotonic sharing among, for instance, Expected Shortfall agents at different levels produces a measure that still ignores the body of the loss distribution beyond a known level.

The result is proved in the paper, through Lemma 2, in Appendix B. No machine-checked proof of it is known. Formalizing it requires the comonotonic additivity of quantiles and the explicit construction of comonotonic allocations from quantile functions and a quantile uniform. Both are reusable well beyond this paper: they underlie comonotonic risk measures, distortion risk measures and the comonotone-improvement literature.

Difficulty

The theorem looks like a change of variables, and the proof in the paper is short. The work is in Lemma 2. Part (a) needs the comonotonic additivity of the left quantile function, FX−1=∑iFXi−1F^{-1}_X=\sum_iF^{-1}_{X_i}FX−1​=∑i​FXi​−1​ on (0,1)(0,1)(0,1) for comonotonic XiX_iXi​ with sum XXX, and has to produce an allocation whose sum equals the tail everywhere, not only almost everywhere. Part (b) runs the other way. A comonotonic allocation of the tail has to be extended below the (1−ε)(1-\varepsilon)(1−ε)-quantile, where the tail carries no information, without breaking comonotonicity with XXX or the sum constraint. The extension needs each component of the tail allocation to be bounded below. That bound is a consequence of comonotonicity and of the tail being bounded below, not a hypothesis.

Equalities in law between tails are a second source of friction. The tail XεX_\varepsilonXε​ is defined through a quantile uniform, which is not unique, and the statements must hold for every choice.

Formalization scope

The probability space is atomless in the classical sense (an explicit predicate, stronger than Mathlib's NoAtoms). The domain of every risk measure is L0L^0L0, all measurable real functions. The paper allows any convex cone containing L∞L^\inftyL∞ that is closed under equality in law and under taking tails; fixing L0L^0L0 is a disclosed specialization. Individual risk measures and generators are real valued; ⊞\boxplus⊞ is valued in the extended reals. The sum constraint of an allocation is pointwise on Ω\OmegaΩ. Equality in law of tails, Xp=dYpX_p\overset d=Y_pXp​=dYp​, is encoded by (6) as equality of (FX−(1−p))+(F_X-(1-p))_+(FX​−(1−p))+​ and (FY−(1−p))+(F_Y-(1-p))_+(FY​−(1−p))+​, and the law of (Xi)ε(X_i)_\varepsilon(Xi​)ε​ is written through (6) as well. Quantile uniforms are quantified over, never chosen, and the generator relation is required for every quantile uniform. The maximum ε\varepsilonε is the supremum over the finite index set, with n≥1n\ge1n≥1 agents. The existence of generators (Liu and Wang 2021, Proposition 3.1) is cited by the paper and enters as a hypothesis. Part (iii) of Theorem 4, which needs the comonotone-improvement theorem, is out of scope.

A real-valued infimum for ⊞\boxplus⊞ would return 000 on an empty or unbounded-below set and make the identity of (i) partly vacuous; the extended-real infimum and the nonemptiness of An+(X)\mathbb A_n^+(X)An+​(X) (one agent takes everything) rule this out.

A complete development needs the left quantile function and its comonotonic additivity, the existence of a quantile uniform on an atomless space (Föllmer and Schied 2016, Lemma A.32), the distribution of the tail (6), and the measurability of FX−1( ⋅ )F_X^{-1}(\,\cdot\,)FX−1​(⋅) composed with a random variable. All of these are reusable, and contributions of any of them are welcome.

Selected references

  • F. Liu, T. Mao, R. Wang, L. Wei, Inf-convolution, optimal allocations, and model uncertainty for tail risk measures, Mathematics of Operations Research, 2022; SSRN version 3490348 of January 16, 2022 (the version formalized here). https://ssrn.com/abstract=3490348, https://doi.org/10.1287/moor.2021.1217
  • F. Liu, R. Wang, A theory for measures of tail risk, Mathematics of Operations Research 46(3), 2021. https://doi.org/10.1287/moor.2020.1072
  • P. Embrechts, H. Liu, R. Wang, Quantile-based risk sharing, Operations Research 66(4), 2018. https://doi.org/10.1287/opre.2017.1716
  • G. Carlier, R.-A. Dana, A. Galichon, Pareto efficiency for the concave order and multivariate comonotonicity, Journal of Economic Theory 147, 207–229, 2012. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jet.2011.11.002
  • G. Carlier, R.-A. Dana, Pareto efficient insurance contracts when the insurer's cost function is discontinuous, Economic Theory 21, 871–893, 2003.
  • G. Huberman, D. Mayers, C. W. Smith, Optimal insurance policy indemnity schedules, The Bell Journal of Economics 14(2), 1983.
  • H. Föllmer, A. Schied, Stochastic Finance: An Introduction in Discrete Time, 4th ed., De Gruyter, 2016.
  • A. J. McNeil, R. Frey, P. Embrechts, Quantitative Risk Management, revised ed., Princeton University Press, 2015.
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Inf-Convolution, Optimal Allocations, and Model Uncertainty for Tail Risk Measures III: The Inf-Convolution of Tail Risk Measures Is a Tail Risk Measure with the Summed Tail ParameterResearch Paper

Motivation

A risk measure assigns a number, typically a capital requirement, to a random financial loss. When a total loss XXX is shared among nnn agents, each judging its share by its own risk measure ρi\rho_iρi​, the smallest achievable aggregate risk is the inf-convolution

□i=1nρi(X)=inf⁡{∑i=1nρi(Xi):X1+⋯+Xn=X}.\mathop{\square}_{i=1}^n\rho_i(X)=\inf\Bigl\{\sum_{i=1}^n\rho_i(X_i):X_1+\dots+X_n=X\Bigr\}.□i=1n​ρi​(X)=inf{i=1∑n​ρi​(Xi​):X1​+⋯+Xn​=X}.

It describes optimal risk sharing in insurance, reinsurance and among the desks of a financial institution, and it is the basic object of the risk-sharing literature (Delbaen 2012; Rüschendorf 2013).

Regulatory risk measures such as Value-at-Risk (VaR) and Expected Shortfall depend only on the upper tail of the loss distribution. Liu and Wang (2021) formalized this as tail risk measures. Embrechts, Liu and Wang (2018) showed that the inf-convolution of VaRs and Range-VaRs is again of the same type with summed levels, and Liu, Wang and Wei (2020) showed that inf-convolutions of law-invariant risk measures are law-invariant under weak conditions. Theorem 3 of Liu, Mao, Wang and Wei (2022) unifies these observations for arbitrary tail risk measures. This mission is drawn from the authors' SSRN version of January 16, 2022.

Setting

Fix an atomless probability space (Ω,F,P)(\Omega,\mathcal F,P)(Ω,F,P): every event of positive probability contains an event of strictly smaller positive probability. Positive values of a random variable are losses. Write FX(x)=P(X≤x)F_X(x)=P(X\le x)FX​(x)=P(X≤x). For α∈(0,1)\alpha\in(0,1)α∈(0,1) the left and right VaR are

VaRαL(X)=inf⁡{x:FX(x)≥1−α},VaRαR(X)=inf⁡{x:FX(x)>1−α}.\mathrm{VaR}^L_\alpha(X)=\inf\{x:F_X(x)\ge1-\alpha\},\qquad \mathrm{VaR}^R_\alpha(X)=\inf\{x:F_X(x)>1-\alpha\}.VaRαL​(X)=inf{x:FX​(x)≥1−α},VaRαR​(X)=inf{x:FX​(x)>1−α}.

The domain is X=L∞\mathcal X=L^\inftyX=L∞, the essentially bounded random variables.

For p∈(0,1]p\in(0,1]p∈(0,1] the tail XpX_pXp​ of XXX beyond its (1−p)(1-p)(1−p)-quantile is the random variable with distribution function (FX(x)−(1−p))+/p(F_X(x)-(1-p))^+/p(FX​(x)−(1−p))+/p (display (6) of the paper). A functional ρ:X→R\rho:\mathcal X\to\mathbb Rρ:X→R is a ppp-tail risk measure if ρ(X)=ρ(Y)\rho(X)=\rho(Y)ρ(X)=ρ(Y) whenever XpX_pXp​ and YpY_pYp​ have the same law. For p=1p=1p=1 this is law-invariance. The functional is monotone if X≤YX\le YX≤Y a.s. implies ρ(X)≤ρ(Y)\rho(X)\le\rho(Y)ρ(X)≤ρ(Y), and (sup-norm) continuous from above if ρ(Xk)→ρ(X)\rho(X_k)\to\rho(X)ρ(Xk​)→ρ(X) whenever Xk≥XX_k\ge XXk​≥X a.s. and ess sup⁡∣Xk−X∣→0\operatorname{ess\,sup}|X_k-X|\to0esssup∣Xk​−X∣→0.

The allocations of XXX are An(X)={(X1,…,Xn)∈Xn:∑iXi=X}\mathbb A_n(X)=\{(X_1,\dots,X_n)\in\mathcal X^n:\sum_iX_i=X\}An​(X)={(X1​,…,Xn​)∈Xn:∑i​Xi​=X}, and □i=1nρi\mathop{\square}_{i=1}^n\rho_i□i=1n​ρi​ is the infimum above over An(X)\mathbb A_n(X)An​(X). It takes values in [−∞,∞)[-\infty,\infty)[−∞,∞).

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem 3

Let ρi\rho_iρi​ be an εi\varepsilon_iεi​-tail risk measure with εi∈(0,1)\varepsilon_i\in(0,1)εi​∈(0,1), i=1,…,ni=1,\dots,ni=1,…,n, and suppose one of ρ1,…,ρn\rho_1,\dots,\rho_nρ1​,…,ρn​ is monotone and continuous from above. Then

□i=1nρi  is monotone and an ε-tail risk measure,ε=min⁡{∑i=1nεi,1}.\mathop{\square}_{i=1}^n\rho_i\ \text{ is monotone and an }\varepsilon\text{-tail risk measure},\qquad\varepsilon=\min\Bigl\{\sum_{i=1}^n\varepsilon_i,1\Bigr\}.□i=1n​ρi​  is monotone and an ε-tail risk measure,ε=min{i=1∑n​εi​,1}.

Milestones

  1. Lemma 1. For ε∈(0,1)\varepsilon\in(0,1)ε∈(0,1) and m∈[VaRεL(X),VaRεR(X)]m\in[\mathrm{VaR}^L_\varepsilon(X),\mathrm{VaR}^R_\varepsilon(X)]m∈[VaRεL​(X),VaRεR​(X)], max⁡{X,m}ε=dXε\max\{X,m\}_\varepsilon\overset d=X_\varepsilonmax{X,m}ε​=dXε​.
  2. Embrechts et al. (2018), Corollary 1, as used. ∑iVaRεiL(Xi)≥VaR∑iεiL(∑iXi)\sum_i\mathrm{VaR}^L_{\varepsilon_i}(X_i)\ge\mathrm{VaR}^L_{\sum_i\varepsilon_i}(\sum_iX_i)∑i​VaRεi​L​(Xi​)≥VaR∑i​εi​L​(∑i​Xi​) when ∑iεi<1\sum_i\varepsilon_i<1∑i​εi​<1.
  3. Monotonicity. If one ρj\rho_jρj​ is monotone, so is □iρi\mathop{\square}_i\rho_i□i​ρi​.
  4. Display (21). Under the hypotheses of Theorem 3 with ε=∑iεi<1\varepsilon=\sum_i\varepsilon_i<1ε=∑i​εi​<1, □iρi(X)=□iρi(max⁡{X,VaRεL(X)})\mathop{\square}_i\rho_i(X)=\mathop{\square}_i\rho_i(\max\{X,\mathrm{VaR}^L_\varepsilon(X)\})□i​ρi​(X)=□i​ρi​(max{X,VaRεL​(X)}).
  5. Law-invariance. Under the hypotheses of Theorem 3, □iρi\mathop{\square}_i\rho_i□i​ρi​ is law-invariant.

Significance

The theorem says that tail-dependence survives optimal risk sharing, and it quantifies how much: the aggregate looks at a tail of probability at most the sum of the individual ones. The parameter is sharp, since □iVaRαiR=VaR∑iαiR\mathop{\square}_i\mathrm{VaR}^R_{\alpha_i}=\mathrm{VaR}^R_{\sum_i\alpha_i}□i​VaRαi​R​=VaR∑i​αi​R​ and VaRαR\mathrm{VaR}^R_\alphaVaRαR​ has smallest tail parameter α\alphaα. Consequently, results proved for tail risk measures (representations through law-invariant functionals of the tail, existence of optimal allocations) apply to the outcome of a risk-sharing market, not only to its participants. The hypotheses are weak: no convexity, no translation invariance, and only one agent needs monotonicity and a mild continuity.

The result is proved in the paper; its proof relies on two results it cites but does not state, Lemma 1 and Theorem 2 of Liu, Wang and Wei (2020), and on Corollary 1 of Embrechts, Liu and Wang (2018). None of the three, and no part of the theory of tail risk measures or inf-convolutions on probability spaces, is formalized on the platform or in Mathlib as far as a search found. A formalization therefore has to build the cited results as well; milestones 2, 3 and 5 isolate them in the form used.

Difficulty

Tail-invariance of each ρi\rho_iρi​ concerns one share at a time, while the inf-convolution is a constraint on the sum of the shares: modifying a share below its quantile breaks the budget ∑iXi=X\sum_iX_i=X∑i​Xi​=X. The obvious argument, applying the tail property of each ρi\rho_iρi​ to its share of XXX and of YYY, fails because an allocation of XXX does not induce an allocation of YYY when Xε=dYεX_\varepsilon\overset d=Y_\varepsilonXε​=dYε​ but X≠YX\ne YX=Y. Even when X=dYX\overset d=YX=dY an allocation of XXX cannot in general be transported to an allocation of YYY exactly. This is why the theorem needs an atomless space and a continuity hypothesis on one agent, and why the cited law-invariance result is the hardest part to formalize.

Formalization scope

All objects live in the namespace TailRiskSharing.TailConv, in one definitions file. Conventions:

  • PPP is a probability measure that is atomless in the classical sense (stronger than Mathlib's NoAtoms).
  • The domain is L∞L^\inftyL∞ (measurable, almost surely bounded). The paper allows any convex cone containing L∞L^\inftyL∞ that is closed under equality in law and under taking tails; fixing L∞L^\inftyL∞ is a disclosed specialization.
  • The individual ρi\rho_iρi​ are real-valued; the inf-convolution is computed in EReal, so it can be −∞-\infty−∞, and monotonicity and the tail property are stated for that EReal-valued functional without assuming finiteness.
  • The sum constraint of an allocation holds pointwise.
  • Equality in law of tails, Xp=dYpX_p\overset d=Y_pXp​=dYp​, is encoded through display (6): (FX−(1−p))+=(FY−(1−p))+(F_X-(1-p))^+=(F_Y-(1-p))^+(FX​−(1−p))+=(FY​−(1−p))+. At p=1p=1p=1 this is equality of distribution functions, so the tail parameter min⁡{∑iεi,1}\min\{\sum_i\varepsilon_i,1\}min{∑i​εi​,1} needs no case split.
  • "One of the ρi\rho_iρi​" is an index jjj carrying both hypotheses. Continuity from above quantifies over approximating sequences Xk≥XX_k\ge XXk​≥X a.s. with ess sup⁡∣Xk−X∣→0\operatorname{ess\,sup}|X_k-X|\to0esssup∣Xk​−X∣→0, not only decreasing ones.

The goal cannot be satisfied trivially: the tail parameter is min⁡{∑iεi,1}\min\{\sum_i\varepsilon_i,1\}min{∑i​εi​,1} and never a number above 1, the inf-convolution is not truncated to a real value, and none of the hypotheses is vacuous (constant functionals satisfy all of them). Contributions are welcome for each cited result as reusable lemmas: the quantile subadditivity of Embrechts et al., monotonicity of an inf-convolution, and law-invariance of inf-convolutions on atomless spaces.

Selected references

  • F. Liu, T. Mao, R. Wang, L. Wei, Inf-convolution, optimal allocations, and model uncertainty for tail risk measures, SSRN 3490348, version of January 16, 2022; Mathematics of Operations Research, 2022. https://ssrn.com/abstract=3490348
  • F. Liu, R. Wang, A theory for measures of tail risk, Mathematics of Operations Research 46(3), 1109–1128, 2021. https://doi.org/10.1287/moor.2020.1072
  • P. Embrechts, H. Liu, R. Wang, Quantile-based risk sharing, Operations Research 66(4), 936–949, 2018. https://doi.org/10.1287/opre.2017.1716
  • P. Liu, R. Wang, L. Wei, Is the inf-convolution of law-invariant preferences law-invariant?, Insurance: Mathematics and Economics 91, 144–154, 2020. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.insmatheco.2020.01.008
  • F. Delbaen, Monetary Utility Functions, Osaka University Press, 2012.
  • L. Rüschendorf, Mathematical Risk Analysis, Springer, 2013. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-642-33590-7
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