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Algorithmic Game TheoryGraph TheoryProbability+1·Captain: mikedeng1

A Case Study on Stochastic Games on Large Graphs in Mean Field and Sparse Regimes II: Large-Graph Limits of the Equilibrium Through the Laplacian Eigenvalue DistributionResearch Paper

Motivation

Mean field games describe large populations of agents who interact symmetrically: every agent sees the same average of all the others. Many populations interact instead along a network, where each agent responds only to its neighbours. Lacker and Soret (arXiv:2005.14102v2, 2021; Math. Oper. Res. 2022) study a linear-quadratic stochastic differential game on a finite graph that is simple enough to solve explicitly on every vertex-transitive graph, and then ask what happens to the equilibrium as the graph grows. The question is the network analogue of the classical convergence problem for mean field games: does the nnn-player equilibrium have a limit, and does that limit depend on the graph only through a small amount of information?

The answer of the paper is that the limit is governed by the empirical eigenvalue distribution of the graph Laplacian. Dense graph sequences (degrees tending to infinity) all have the same limit, the mean field game; sparse ones (bounded degrees) have limits that depend on the graph, through its spectrum. This mission formalizes that large-graph limit theorem, Theorem 2.6 of the paper. Mission I of the series formalizes the explicit equilibrium on a fixed transitive graph (Theorem 2.5), on which this mission builds.

Setting

Let GGG be a finite simple graph on vertex set {1,…,n}\{1,\dots,n\}{1,…,n} with adjacency matrix AGA_GAG​ and degree matrix DGD_GDG​. Its Laplacian is LG=DG−1AG−IL_G = D_G^{-1}A_G - ILG​=DG−1​AG​−I. GGG is transitive if every vertex can be mapped to every other one by a graph automorphism; such a graph is regular, of degree δ(G)\delta(G)δ(G), and LGL_GLG​ is then symmetric with eigenvalues λ1G,…,λnG∈[−2,0]\lambda^G_1,\dots,\lambda^G_n\in[-2,0]λ1G​,…,λnG​∈[−2,0]. The empirical eigenvalue distribution is μG=1n∑iδλiG\mu_G = \frac1n\sum_i\delta_{\lambda^G_i}μG​=n1​∑i​δλiG​​.

Fix a horizon T>0T>0T>0, a volatility σ>0\sigma>0σ>0 and a weight c>0c>0c>0. Player vvv controls the state

dXv(t)=αv(t,X(t)) dt+σ dWv(t),t∈[0,T],dX_v(t) = \alpha_v(t,\boldsymbol X(t))\,dt + \sigma\,dW_v(t),\qquad t\in[0,T],dXv​(t)=αv​(t,X(t))dt+σdWv​(t),t∈[0,T],

driven by independent Brownian motions, with Markovian feedback controls αv\alpha_vαv​, and pays

Jv=12 E[∫0T∣αv(t,X(t))∣2dt+c ∣Xv(T)−1deg⁡(v)∑u∼vXu(T)∣2].J_v = \tfrac12\,\mathbb E\Big[\int_0^T|\alpha_v(t,\boldsymbol X(t))|^2dt + c\,\Big|X_v(T) - \tfrac1{\deg(v)}\sum_{u\sim v}X_u(T)\Big|^2\Big].Jv​=21​E[∫0T​∣αv​(t,X(t))∣2dt+c​Xv​(T)−deg(v)1​u∼v∑​Xu​(T)​2].

On a transitive graph without isolated vertices, Theorem 2.5 gives an explicit Nash equilibrium: with QG(x)=det⁡(I−xLG)1/nQ_G(x) = \det(I - xL_G)^{1/n}QG​(x)=det(I−xLG​)1/n and fGf_GfG​ the solution of fG′=c QG′(fG)f_G' = c\,Q_G'(f_G)fG′​=cQG′​(fG​), fG(0)=0f_G(0) = 0fG​(0)=0 on [0,T][0,T][0,T], the feedback is αiG(t,x)=−ei⊤PG(t)x\alpha^G_i(t,\boldsymbol x) = -e_i^\top P_G(t)\boldsymbol xαiG​(t,x)=−ei⊤​PG​(t)x with PG(t)=−fG′(T−t)LG(I−fG(T−t)LG)−1P_G(t) = -f_G'(T-t)L_G(I - f_G(T-t)L_G)^{-1}PG​(t)=−fG′​(T−t)LG​(I−fG​(T−t)LG​)−1. The resulting equilibrium state process XG\boldsymbol X^GXG is Gaussian, and the value is Val(G)=1n∑vJv\mathrm{Val}(G) = \frac1n\sum_v J_vVal(G)=n1​∑v​Jv​.

For a probability measure μ\muμ define Qμ(x)=exp⁡∫[−2,0]log⁡(1−xλ) μ(dλ)Q_\mu(x) = \exp\int_{[-2,0]}\log(1-x\lambda)\,\mu(d\lambda)Qμ​(x)=exp∫[−2,0]​log(1−xλ)μ(dλ), so that QμG=QGQ_{\mu_G} = Q_GQμG​​=QG​.

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem 2.6

Let (Gn)(G_n)(Gn​) be finite transitive graphs without isolated vertices, ∣Gn∣→∞|G_n|\to\infty∣Gn​∣→∞, with XGn(0)=0\boldsymbol X^{G_n}(0) = 0XGn​(0)=0, and suppose μGn→μ\mu_{G_n}\to\muμGn​​→μ weakly for a probability measure μ\muμ. Then (1) the ODE fμ′=c Qμ′(fμ)f_\mu' = c\,Q_\mu'(f_\mu)fμ′​=cQμ′​(fμ​), fμ(0)=0f_\mu(0) = 0fμ​(0)=0 has a unique solution on [0,T][0,T][0,T]; (2) for every vertex sequence knk_nkn​ and t∈[0,T]t\in[0,T]t∈[0,T],

Law(XknGn(t))→N(0,Vμ(t)),Vμ(t)=σ2∫0t∫[−2,0](1−λfμ(T−t)1−λfμ(T−s))2μ(dλ) ds;\mathrm{Law}\big(X^{G_n}_{k_n}(t)\big)\to\mathcal N\big(0,V_\mu(t)\big),\qquad V_\mu(t) = \sigma^2\int_0^t\int_{[-2,0]}\Big(\frac{1-\lambda f_\mu(T-t)}{1-\lambda f_\mu(T-s)}\Big)^2\mu(d\lambda)\,ds;Law(Xkn​Gn​​(t))→N(0,Vμ​(t)),Vμ​(t)=σ2∫0t​∫[−2,0]​(1−λfμ​(T−s)1−λfμ​(T−t)​)2μ(dλ)ds;

(3) the empirical measure 1∣Gn∣∑iδXiGn(t)\frac1{|G_n|}\sum_i\delta_{X^{G_n}_i(t)}∣Gn​∣1​∑i​δXiGn​​(t)​ converges weakly in probability to N(0,Vμ(t))\mathcal N(0,V_\mu(t))N(0,Vμ​(t)); (4)

lim⁡n→∞Val(Gn)=−σ22log⁡∫[−2,0]−λ1−λfμ(T) μ(dλ).\lim_{n\to\infty}\mathrm{Val}(G_n) = -\frac{\sigma^2}2\log\int_{[-2,0]}\frac{-\lambda}{1-\lambda f_\mu(T)}\,\mu(d\lambda).n→∞lim​Val(Gn​)=−2σ2​log∫[−2,0]​1−λfμ​(T)−λ​μ(dλ).

Milestones

The milestones are the statements the paper's proof (§3, §6, §7.1) relies on: the stability of fμf_\mufμ​ in μ\muμ (Proposition 3.2, last sentence); the finite-graph variance formula (2.7); monotonicity and concavity of fμf_\mufμ​ (Proposition 3.3, first sentence); correlation decay (Proposition 2.12) for distinct vertices; the relation between degrees and the spectral limit (Lemma 7.1); the Gaussian Poincaré bound (7.3) and the concentration (7.1) of the empirical measure; and the spectral form (2.9) of the value.

Significance

Theorem 2.6 reduces the large-population behaviour of a network game to one spectral object. For complete graphs μ=δ−1\mu = \delta_{-1}μ=δ−1​ and the limit is the mean field game; for sparse sequences such as cycles, tori, or random regular graphs, μ\muμ is a non-degenerate measure and the limiting variance and value differ from the mean field ones. The theorem thereby gives a quantitative criterion for when a mean field approximation of a network game is accurate, and it shows propagation of chaos in both regimes: in the dense case because interactions are weak, in the sparse case because typical players are far apart in the graph.

The result is proved in the paper; none of it has been machine-checked. A complete formalization requires a Lean account of Gaussian laws of linear SDEs with additive noise, of weak convergence of spectral measures of graph Laplacians, and of a Gaussian Poincaré inequality, none of which is currently in Mathlib in the needed form. Each of these is reusable well beyond this mission.

Difficulty

Parts (2) and (4) follow from the finite-graph formulas once fGn→fμf_{G_n}\to f_\mufGn​​→fμ​ uniformly, but that convergence requires stability of a nonlinear ODE whose vector field is defined through the spectral measure, uniformly over a class of measures. The harder step is (3). Convergence of one player's law does not imply convergence of the empirical measure: the players are correlated, and on sparse graphs every player has a bounded number of strong neighbours, so the correlations do not vanish uniformly. Bounding them requires an estimate that decays in the graph distance and in the degree, and combining it with the growth of graph balls, which is controlled differently in the dense and in the sparse regime. The usual mean field route is closed: unless the graph is complete, the state vector is not exchangeable, so propagation-of-chaos arguments based on exchangeability do not apply.

Formalization scope

The Lean development lives in namespace GraphLQGame.Asymptotics.

  • Vertices {1,…,n}\{1,\dots,n\}{1,…,n} are Fin n; a graph sequence is G : ∀ k, SimpleGraph (Fin (N k)) with Nk→∞N_k\to\inftyNk​→∞.
  • LGL_GLG​ is the random-walk Laplacian above, not Mathlib's lapMatrix. μG\mu_GμG​ is built from the real roots of the characteristic polynomial of LGL_GLG​, with multiplicity.
  • Weak convergence of measures on R\mathbb RR is convergence of ∫h dμk\int h\,d\mu_k∫hdμk​ for every bounded continuous hhh. Weak convergence in probability of the empirical measure is convergence in probability of ∫h dmGn(t)\int h\,dm^{G_n}(t)∫hdmGn​(t) for every bounded continuous hhh.
  • A state process is a pathwise strong solution of (2.1) on its own probability space, driven by a standard Brownian motion and adapted to its completed filtration. Statements about several graphs are statements about laws.
  • Costs are [0,∞][0,\infty][0,∞]-valued lower integrals; the value is computed after asserting finiteness.
  • In PGP_GPG​, fG′(T−t)f_G'(T-t)fG′​(T−t) is written as its ODE value c QG′(fG(T−t))c\,Q_G'(f_G(T-t))cQG′​(fG​(T−t)). ODE solutions are constrained on [0,T][0,T][0,T] (or on R+\mathbb R_+R+​ for Propositions 3.2 and 3.3), with uniqueness stated on that domain.
  • The Gaussian law N(0,V)\mathcal N(0,V)N(0,V) is gaussianReal 0 V.toNNReal; Vμ(t)≥0V_\mu(t)\ge0Vμ​(t)≥0.

The goal quantifies over every solution fGnf_{G_n}fGn​​, fμf_\mufμ​ and every equilibrium state process, and also asserts that the graph ODE solutions and the state processes exist, so it cannot be discharged vacuously. Proposition 2.12 is stated for distinct vertices: as printed, (2.17) is also claimed for u=vu = vu=v, where it fails on complete graphs of large degree; the off-diagonal case is the one the proof of Theorem 2.6 uses. Theorem 2.5 (mission I) is not restated here; a solver proves what is needed of it.

Contributions are welcome at every level: Gaussian laws of linear SDEs, spectral measures of graph matrices, ODE stability, a Gaussian Poincaré inequality, and the milestones themselves.

Selected references

  • D. Lacker, A. Soret, A case study on stochastic games on large graphs in mean field and sparse regimes, arXiv:2005.14102v2, 2021; published in Math. Oper. Res., 2022, https://doi.org/10.1287/moor.2021.1179. https://arxiv.org/abs/2005.14102
  • F. Chung, Spectral Graph Theory, CBMS Regional Conference Series in Mathematics 92, AMS, 1997. https://doi.org/10.1090/cbms/092
  • S. Boucheron, G. Lugosi, P. Massart, Concentration Inequalities: A Nonasymptotic Theory of Independence, Oxford University Press, 2013 (Theorem 3.20, Gaussian Poincaré inequality). https://doi.org/10.1093/acprof:oso/9780199535255.001.0001
  • R. Carmona, F. Delarue, Probabilistic Theory of Mean Field Games with Applications I, Springer, 2018. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-319-58920-6
17 thms1 active userReviewed
Algorithmic Game TheoryGraph TheoryProbability+1·Captain: mikedeng1

A Case Study on Stochastic Games on Large Graphs in Mean Field and Sparse Regimes III: The Mean Field Game Control Is an ε-Nash Equilibrium on Any Finite Graph, With ε_v ∝ deg(v)^(-1/2)Research Paper

Why mean field approximations on graphs need a threshold

Mean field games (MFGs) describe the limit of symmetric stochastic differential games as the number of players tends to infinity, when every player interacts with the empirical distribution of all the others. Their main practical use is the converse direction: an equilibrium of the limiting game supplies a simple, decentralized control that is an approximate Nash equilibrium of the game with finitely many players. For the complete graph, where everybody interacts with everybody, this is classical, with the standard rate O(1/n)O(1/\sqrt n)O(1/n​) (Carmona and Delarue, Probabilistic Theory of Mean Field Games, Vol. II, §6.1; Huang, Malhamé and Caines 2006, Theorem 12), as recalled on p. 10 of the paper.

Many interacting systems are not complete graphs: players see only their neighbours in a network. The question is then how dense the network must be for the mean field approximation to remain valid. Lacker and Soret (arXiv:2005.14102v2) answer it exactly for a linear-quadratic "flocking" game, where explicit computations are possible. This mission formalizes their Theorem 2.11, which applies to every finite graph, with no transitivity or regularity assumed.

Setting

Let GGG be a finite simple graph on the vertex set V={1,…,n}V=\{1,\dots,n\}V={1,…,n}; u∼vu\sim vu∼v means uuu and vvv are adjacent and deg⁡G(v)\deg_G(v)degG​(v) is the number of neighbours of vvv. Fix a horizon T>0T>0T>0, a volatility σ>0\sigma>0σ>0 and a cost weight c>0c>0c>0. Each player v∈Vv\in Vv∈V controls a real state XvX_vXv​ through

dXv(t)=αv(t,X(t)) dt+σ dWv(t),t∈[0,T],dX_v(t)=\alpha_v(t,\boldsymbol X(t))\,dt+\sigma\,dW_v(t),\qquad t\in[0,T],dXv​(t)=αv​(t,X(t))dt+σdWv​(t),t∈[0,T],

where W1,…,WnW_1,\dots,W_nW1​,…,Wn​ are independent standard Brownian motions and X=(Xu)u∈V\boldsymbol X=(X_u)_{u\in V}X=(Xu​)u∈V​. A Markovian control αv∈AG\alpha_v\in\mathcal A_Gαv​∈AG​ is a Borel function of time and the full state X(t)∈RV\boldsymbol X(t)\in\mathbb R^VX(t)∈RV, of linear growth. The cost of player vvv under a profile α=(αu)u∈V\boldsymbol\alpha=(\alpha_u)_{u\in V}α=(αu​)u∈V​ is

Jv(α)=12 E[∫0T∣αv(t,X(t))∣2 dt+c ∣Xv(T)−1deg⁡G(v)∑u∼vXu(T)∣2],J_v(\boldsymbol\alpha)=\frac12\,\mathbb E\Big[\int_0^T|\alpha_v(t,\boldsymbol X(t))|^2\,dt+c\,\Big|X_v(T)-\frac1{\deg_G(v)}\sum_{u\sim v}X_u(T)\Big|^2\Big],Jv​(α)=21​E[∫0T​∣αv​(t,X(t))∣2dt+c​Xv​(T)−degG​(v)1​u∼v∑​Xu​(T)​2],

and 12E[∫0T∣αv∣2dt+c∣Xv(T)∣2]\frac12\mathbb E[\int_0^T|\alpha_v|^2dt+c|X_v(T)|^2]21​E[∫0T​∣αv​∣2dt+c∣Xv​(T)∣2] for an isolated vertex: each player wants to end near the average of its neighbours at minimal quadratic effort. For a vector ε∈R+V\boldsymbol\varepsilon\in\mathbb R^V_+ε∈R+V​, a profile is a Markovian ε\boldsymbol\varepsilonε-Nash equilibrium if no player vvv can lower its cost by more than εv\varepsilon_vεv​ by switching unilaterally to another control β∈AG\beta\in\mathcal A_Gβ∈AG​, written (β,α−v)(\beta,\boldsymbol\alpha^{-v})(β,α−v).

The mean-field control is

αMF(t,y)=−cy1+c(T−t),αvMF(t,x)=αMF(t,xv):\alpha^{\mathrm{MF}}(t,y)=\frac{-cy}{1+c(T-t)},\qquad \alpha^{\mathrm{MF}}_v(t,\boldsymbol x)=\alpha^{\mathrm{MF}}(t,x_v):αMF(t,y)=1+c(T−t)−cy​,αvMF​(t,x)=αMF(t,xv​):

each player looks only at its own state, as if its neighbours' average were frozen at its mean.

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem 2.11

Define ϵvG=σ2cT1+cTcT(2+cT)deg⁡G(v)\epsilon^G_v=\sigma^2\frac{cT}{1+cT}\sqrt{\frac{cT(2+cT)}{\deg_G(v)}}ϵvG​=σ21+cTcT​degG​(v)cT(2+cT)​​ if deg⁡G(v)≥1\deg_G(v)\ge1degG​(v)≥1 and ϵvG=0\epsilon^G_v=0ϵvG​=0 if deg⁡G(v)=0\deg_G(v)=0degG​(v)=0, and with the minimal degree δ(G)=min⁡vdeg⁡G(v)\delta(G)=\min_v\deg_G(v)δ(G)=minv​degG​(v),

ϵG=σ2cT1+cTcT(2+cT)1∨δ(G).\epsilon_G=\sigma^2\frac{cT}{1+cT}\sqrt{\frac{cT(2+cT)}{1\vee\delta(G)}}.ϵG​=σ21+cTcT​1∨δ(G)cT(2+cT)​​.

Then, with zero initial states, the state equation for (αvMF)v∈V(\alpha^{\mathrm{MF}}_v)_{v\in V}(αvMF​)v∈V​ has a solution, and

(αvMF)v∈V is an ϵG-Nash equilibrium and an ϵG-Nash equilibrium on G.(\alpha^{\mathrm{MF}}_v)_{v\in V}\ \text{is an } \epsilon^G\text{-Nash equilibrium and an } \epsilon_G\text{-Nash equilibrium on } G.(αvMF​)v∈V​ is an ϵG-Nash equilibrium and an ϵG​-Nash equilibrium on G.

Milestones

  1. Lemma 7.2: αMF\alpha^{\mathrm{MF}}αMF is optimal for the one-player problem min⁡12E[∫0Tβ2dt+c∣Y(T)∣2]\min\frac12\mathbb E[\int_0^T\beta^2dt+c|Y(T)|^2]min21​E[∫0T​β2dt+c∣Y(T)∣2], dY=β dt+σdWdY=\beta\,dt+\sigma dWdY=βdt+σdW, over all progressively measurable β\betaβ.
  2. Isolated vertices (p. 40): Jv(α)=inf⁡βJv(β,α−v)J_v(\boldsymbol\alpha)=\inf_\beta J_v(\beta,\boldsymbol\alpha^{-v})Jv​(α)=infβ​Jv​(β,α−v) when deg⁡G(v)=0\deg_G(v)=0degG​(v)=0.
  3. (7.7): under αMF\alpha^{\mathrm{MF}}αMF, (Xu(T))u(X_u(T))_u(Xu​(T))u​ are i.i.d. N(0,σ2T/(1+cT))N(0,\sigma^2T/(1+cT))N(0,σ2T/(1+cT)), so the neighbour average has second moment σ2T/(deg⁡G(v)(1+cT))\sigma^2T/(\deg_G(v)(1+cT))σ2T/(degG​(v)(1+cT)).
  4. Steps (1), (2), (3) (p. 41): a lower bound on Jv(β,α−v)J_v(\beta,\boldsymbol\alpha^{-v})Jv​(β,α−v), an energy bound for deviations no worse than the zero control, and the comparison with Jv(αMF)J_v(\boldsymbol\alpha^{\mathrm{MF}})Jv​(αMF).
  5. (7.5): for deg⁡G(v)≥1\deg_G(v)\ge1degG​(v)≥1 and every admissible β\betaβ, Jv(β,α−v)≥Jv(α)−ϵvGJ_v(\beta,\boldsymbol\alpha^{-v})\ge J_v(\boldsymbol\alpha)-\epsilon^G_vJv​(β,α−v)≥Jv​(α)−ϵvG​.

Significance

The result. Theorem 2.11 gives an explicit threshold for the mean field approximation on networks: along any sequence of graphs whose minimal degree diverges, the decentralized control αMF\alpha^{\mathrm{MF}}αMF is an ϵGn\epsilon_{G_n}ϵGn​​-Nash equilibrium with ϵGn→0\epsilon_{G_n}\to0ϵGn​​→0, and the vector form says more: if the average of (1∨deg⁡Gn(v))−1/2(1\vee\deg_{G_n}(v))^{-1/2}(1∨degGn​​(v))−1/2 over vertices tends to zero, the per-player errors vanish on average (the paper's (2.16)). The rate deg⁡G(v)−1/2\deg_G(v)^{-1/2}degG​(v)−1/2 quantifies how the accuracy of the approximation depends on denseness. In the same paper, transitive graphs whose degrees stay bounded lead to equilibria that do not agree with the mean field one, so a denseness condition cannot be dropped.

Formalizing it. The theorem is proved in the paper; to our knowledge no part of it is machine-checked. A formal development needs, beyond the statement, a verification argument for a one-dimensional linear-quadratic control problem with additive noise, Gaussian computations for linear SDEs driven by Brownian motion, and the comparison of costs between the equilibrium system and a system with one deviating player. The one-player result (Lemma 7.2) and the Gaussian facts of (7.7) are reusable well beyond this mission.

Difficulty

The obvious argument compares a deviating player with an isolated player and treats the neighbour average as noise independent of the deviation. Two things stand in the way. The cost of player vvv couples its terminal state with the neighbours' average through a cross term E[1deg⁡G(v)∑u∼vXu(T) Yv(T)]\mathbb E[\frac1{\deg_G(v)}\sum_{u\sim v}X_u(T)\,Y_v(T)]E[degG​(v)1​∑u∼v​Xu​(T)Yv​(T)], and the deviation β(t,Y(t))\beta(t,\boldsymbol Y(t))β(t,Y(t)) may look at the neighbours' states, so the cross term does not vanish; it has to be bounded through the size of the deviation's energy. And an arbitrary deviation has no a priori energy bound: one is available only for deviations that do at least as well as the zero control, which is why the argument passes through a (near-)optimal deviation. Lemma 7.2 itself requires a verification theorem over all progressively measurable controls, not only feedback ones.

Formalization scope

The Lean development lives in the namespace GraphLQGame.DenseApprox and uses the shared encoding of this series:

  • vertices are Fin n (the paper's {1,…,n}\{1,\dots,n\}{1,…,n} become {0,…,n−1}\{0,\dots,n-1\}{0,…,n−1}), the state space is EthierKurtz.SDEState n, and GGG is any SimpleGraph (Fin n); isolated vertices are allowed;
  • controls are Borel with linear growth on [0,T][0,T][0,T] only; their values at other times are never used, and the formula for αMF\alpha^{\mathrm{MF}}αMF outside [0,T][0,T][0,T] is evaluated with Lean's total division;
  • a solution of the state equation is a pathwise strong solution carrying its own probability space and an nnn-dimensional standard Brownian motion; costs are [0,∞][0,\infty][0,∞]-valued lower Lebesgue integrals, and the Nash inequality is required for every solution of the profile and of each deviation (faithful by strong uniqueness);
  • T,σ,c>0T,\sigma,c>0T,σ,c>0 are the standing assumptions of §2.1;
  • initial states are zero. The printed theorem does not mention X(0)X(0)X(0); the paper fixes non-random initial states that are "in many cases" zero, and the whole proof is for X(0)=0X(0)=0X(0)=0. With non-zero initial states the claim fails in general, so this is a disclosed hypothesis;
  • the goal also asserts that the state equation for αMF\alpha^{\mathrm{MF}}αMF has a solution, so the Nash property cannot hold vacuously; Lemma 7.2 is stated over every continuous adapted solution of its SDE, and Step (2) carries, as an explicit hypothesis, the comparison with the zero control that its proof uses.

A formalization in which αMF\alpha^{\mathrm{MF}}αMF is compared only with deviations depending on the player's own state, or in which the costs are Bochner integrals that vanish when not integrable, would be trivially or wrongly satisfied; both are ruled out by the encoding above.

Welcome contributions: the verification argument for Lemma 7.2, the Gaussian law of linear SDEs with additive noise, and proofs of the three steps. Related missions in this series: I (an explicit Nash equilibrium on transitive graphs) and II (large-graph limits).

Selected references

  • D. Lacker, A. Soret, A case study on stochastic games on large graphs in mean field and sparse regimes, arXiv:2005.14102v2, 2021; Math. Oper. Res. 47 (2022). https://arxiv.org/abs/2005.14102
  • R. Carmona, F. Delarue, Probabilistic Theory of Mean Field Games with Applications II, Springer, 2018. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-319-56436-4
  • M. Huang, R. P. Malhamé, P. E. Caines, Large population stochastic dynamic games: closed-loop McKean–Vlasov systems and the Nash certainty equivalence principle, Commun. Inf. Syst. 6 (2006), 221–252. https://doi.org/10.4310/CIS.2006.v6.n3.a5
  • H. Pham, Continuous-time Stochastic Control and Optimization with Financial Applications, Springer, 2009 (verification theorem, Theorem 3.5.2). https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-540-89500-8
14 thms1 active userReviewed
CombinatoricsGraph Theory·Captain: mikedeng1

Stability Results on the Circumference of a Graph 1: A 2-Connected Graph with More Than (⌊c/2⌋−1)(n−c) Edges Off a Longest Cycle of Length c ≥ 10 Lies in W_{n,⌊c/2⌋,c} or (c Odd) in X_{n,c} ∪ Y_{n,c}Research Paper

Motivation

The circumference c(G)c(G)c(G) of a graph GGG is the length of a longest cycle. Extremal graph theory asks how many edges force a long cycle. The Erdős–Gallai theorem (1959) states that every nnn-vertex graph has at most c(G)(n−1)/2c(G)(n-1)/2c(G)(n−1)/2 edges. Bondy (1971) strengthened it by counting only the edges near a longest cycle: if CCC is a longest cycle of length ccc, the number of edges with at most one endpoint in CCC is at most c2(n−c)\tfrac c2(n-c)2c​(n−c), and at most ⌊c/2⌋(n−c)\lfloor c/2\rfloor (n-c)⌊c/2⌋(n−c) when GGG is 2-connected. Since V(C)V(C)V(C) spans at most (c2)\binom c2(2c​) edges, this implies the Erdős–Gallai bound.

A stability result complements an extremal one: a graph close to the extremal bound must be close in structure to the extremal graphs. Jie Ma and Bo Ning (Combinatorica, 2020; arXiv:1708.00704) proved stability versions of Kopylov's edge theorem for 2-connected graphs of given circumference and of Bondy's theorem above. This mission formalizes their stability version of Bondy's theorem, Theorem 1.12. In the paper it is also one of the two halves of the proof of the main stability theorem; the other half is a separate mission in this series.

Timeline (as recorded in §1 of the paper). Dirac (1952): every 2-connected graph has c(G)≥min⁡{2δ(G),∣V(G)∣}c(G)\ge\min\{2\delta(G),|V(G)|\}c(G)≥min{2δ(G),∣V(G)∣}. Erdős and Gallai (1959): e(G)≤c(G)(n−1)/2e(G)\le c(G)(n-1)/2e(G)≤c(G)(n−1)/2. Bondy (1971): the bound on edges with at most one endpoint on a longest cycle, and the degree theorem stated here as Theorem 2.1. Woodall (1976): e(G)≤f(n,⌊c/2⌋,c)e(G)\le f(n,\lfloor c/2\rfloor,c)e(G)≤f(n,⌊c/2⌋,c) for 2-connected GGG with circumference c≤(2n+2)/3c\le(2n+2)/3c≤(2n+2)/3. Kopylov (1977): e(G)≤max⁡{f(n,2,c),f(n,⌊c/2⌋,c)}e(G)\le\max\{f(n,2,c),f(n,\lfloor c/2\rfloor,c)\}e(G)≤max{f(n,2,c),f(n,⌊c/2⌋,c)} for 2-connected GGG with circumference c≤n−1c\le n-1c≤n−1; another proof by Fan, Lv and Wang (2004). Fan (1990): an improved version of Bondy's bound for 2-connected graphs, and average-degree bounds on long paths. Füredi, Kostochka and Verstraëte (2016): stability for Kopylov's theorem when n≥3⌊c/2⌋n\ge 3\lfloor c/2\rfloorn≥3⌊c/2⌋; Füredi, Kostochka, Luo and Verstraëte (2018): the complete stability version, with the families Xn,c\mathcal X_{n,c}Xn,c​, Yn,c\mathcal Y_{n,c}Yn,c​. Ma and Ning (2017 preprint, 2020): the results of this mission.

Setting

All graphs are finite and simple, on the vertex set {0,…,n−1}\{0,\dots,n-1\}{0,…,n−1}. A path or cycle of length kkk has kkk edges. A graph is 2-connected if it has at least three vertices, is connected, and remains connected after deleting any one vertex. A cycle CCC is a longest cycle if no cycle of GGG has more edges; V(C)V(C)V(C) is its vertex set and ccc its length.

For a longest cycle CCC, write e(G−C)+e(G−C,C)e(G-C)+e(G-C,C)e(G−C)+e(G−C,C) for the number of edges with at most one endpoint in CCC. A vertex uuu is an isolated vertex of G−CG-CG−C if u∉V(C)u\notin V(C)u∈/V(C) and every neighbour of uuu lies on CCC; dC(u)d_C(u)dC​(u) is its number of neighbours on CCC.

The extremal graphs are:

  • Wn,k,cW_{n,k,c}Wn,k,c​: a clique Kc−k+1K_{c-k+1}Kc−k+1​ together with n−(c−k+1)n-(c-k+1)n−(c−k+1) further vertices, each adjacent to the same kkk vertices of the clique and to nothing else.
  • Xn,c\mathcal X_{n,c}Xn,c​: graphs on A∪B∪XA\cup B\cup XA∪B∪X with AAA a clique of size ⌊c/2⌋\lfloor c/2\rfloor⌊c/2⌋, BBB and XXX stable, AAA completely joined to BBB, and two vertices a∈Aa\in Aa∈A, b∈Bb\in Bb∈B such that N(x)={a,b}N(x)=\{a,b\}N(x)={a,b} for all x∈Xx\in Xx∈X.
  • Yn,c\mathcal Y_{n,c}Yn,c​: graphs on A∪B∪YA\cup B\cup YA∪B∪Y with AAA a clique of size ⌊c/2⌋\lfloor c/2\rfloor⌊c/2⌋, BBB stable, AAA completely joined to BBB, G[Y]G[Y]G[Y] a star forest with at least two stars each having an edge, and two distinct a,b∈Aa,b\in Aa,b∈A such that each star SSS has exactly {a,b}\{a,b\}{a,b} as outside neighbourhood and, if ∣V(S)∣≥3|V(S)|\ge 3∣V(S)∣≥3, its leaves have degree 222 and a common neighbour in {a,b}\{a,b\}{a,b}.

G⊆WG\subseteq WG⊆W means that GGG is isomorphic to a subgraph of WWW.

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem 1.12

Let GGG be 2-connected on nnn vertices and CCC a longest cycle of length ccc with 10≤c≤n−110\le c\le n-110≤c≤n−1. If

e(G−C)+e(G−C,C)>(⌊c2⌋−1)(n−c),e(G-C)+e(G-C,C) > \left(\left\lfloor \tfrac c2\right\rfloor-1\right)(n-c),e(G−C)+e(G−C,C)>(⌊2c​⌋−1)(n−c),

then G⊆Wn,⌊c/2⌋,cG\subseteq W_{n,\lfloor c/2\rfloor,c}G⊆Wn,⌊c/2⌋,c​, or ccc is odd and GGG is a subgraph of a member of Xn,c∪Yn,c\mathcal X_{n,c}\cup\mathcal Y_{n,c}Xn,c​∪Yn,c​.

Milestones

  1. Theorem 2.1 (Bondy): all but one vertex of degree ≥k\ge k≥k in a 2-connected graph give c(G)≥min⁡{n,2k}c(G)\ge\min\{n,2k\}c(G)≥min{n,2k}.
  2. Theorem 2.2 (Fan), first assertion: a longest (x,y)(x,y)(x,y)-path is at least as long as the average degree of the other vertices.
  3. Lemma 2.3: a 2-connected component HHH of G−CG-CG−C with average degree rrr satisfies c≥2rc\ge 2rc≥2r, with equality only for a clique attached to two common vertices of CCC.
  4. Theorem 3.2: without connectivity and for 4≤c≤n−14\le c\le n-14≤c≤n−1, the same edge condition gives c∈{6,7,9}c\in\{6,7,9\}c∈{6,7,9}, or a vertex off CCC with ⌊c/2⌋\lfloor c/2\rfloor⌊c/2⌋ neighbours on CCC, or a cycle C′C'C′ meeting CCC in at most one vertex with ∣C′∣≥2⌊c/2⌋−3|C'|\ge 2\lfloor c/2\rfloor-3∣C′∣≥2⌊c/2⌋−3 (disjoint) or ≥2⌊c/2⌋−1\ge 2\lfloor c/2\rfloor-1≥2⌊c/2⌋−1 (one common vertex).
  5. Theorem 3.1: for 2-connected GGG and 10≤c≤n−110\le c\le n-110≤c≤n−1, an isolated vertex uuu of G−CG-CG−C with dC(u)=⌊c/2⌋d_C(u)=\lfloor c/2\rfloordC​(u)=⌊c/2⌋.
  6. Lemma 3.3: such a vertex forces G⊆Wn,⌊c/2⌋,cG\subseteq W_{n,\lfloor c/2\rfloor,c}G⊆Wn,⌊c/2⌋,c​ when ccc is even, and G⊆Wn,⌊c/2⌋,cG\subseteq W_{n,\lfloor c/2\rfloor,c}G⊆Wn,⌊c/2⌋,c​ or GGG in a member of Xn,c∪Yn,c\mathcal X_{n,c}\cup\mathcal Y_{n,c}Xn,c​∪Yn,c​ when c≥9c\ge 9c≥9 is odd.

Significance

In Wn,⌊c/2⌋,cW_{n,\lfloor c/2\rfloor,c}Wn,⌊c/2⌋,c​ every one of the n−cn-cn−c vertices off a longest cycle sends ⌊c/2⌋\lfloor c/2\rfloor⌊c/2⌋ edges to the cycle, so Bondy's bound ⌊c/2⌋(n−c)\lfloor c/2\rfloor(n-c)⌊c/2⌋(n−c) is attained. Theorem 1.12 says that exceeding (⌊c/2⌋−1)(n−c)(\lfloor c/2\rfloor-1)(n-c)(⌊c/2⌋−1)(n−c) already leaves only three structures: a subgraph of Wn,⌊c/2⌋,cW_{n,\lfloor c/2\rfloor,c}Wn,⌊c/2⌋,c​, or for odd ccc a subgraph of a member of Xn,c\mathcal X_{n,c}Xn,c​ or Yn,c\mathcal Y_{n,c}Yn,c​. In the paper it is one of the two cases of the proof of the main stability theorem (Theorem 1.9): a graph with many edges and a longest cycle CCC has either many edges with at most one endpoint on CCC, handled here, or many edges inside V(C)V(C)V(C), handled by the closure argument of the companion mission.

The result is proved in the paper; none of it, nor Bondy's or Fan's theorems, is formalized on the platform or in Mathlib. The mission produces machine-checked statements of the goal, of the cited tools (Bondy's Theorem 2.1, Fan's Theorem 2.2, Lemma 2.3), and of the steps Theorems 3.1, 3.2 and Lemma 3.3, together with reusable definitions of 2-connectivity, longest cycles and the extremal families.

Difficulty

The obvious approach counts edges at the vertices off CCC: each such vertex has at most ⌊c/2⌋\lfloor c/2\rfloor⌊c/2⌋ neighbours on CCC, since otherwise two consecutive cycle vertices would let the cycle be extended. This bound is far from enough. The edge count also includes edges between vertices off CCC, and components of G−CG-CG−C can be large, 2-connected, and attached to CCC in complicated ways. The bound (⌊c/2⌋−1)(n−c)(\lfloor c/2\rfloor-1)(n-c)(⌊c/2⌋−1)(n−c) has to be beaten by every such configuration at once, and Theorem 3.2 states exceptional small cycle lengths c∈{6,7,9}c\in\{6,7,9\}c∈{6,7,9} for which the analysis does not close. A second difficulty is the passage from one vertex of degree ⌊c/2⌋\lfloor c/2\rfloor⌊c/2⌋ to a global description of GGG: in the odd case, the structure of every component of G−CG-CG−C has to be determined, which is where the families Xn,c\mathcal X_{n,c}Xn,c​ and Yn,c\mathcal Y_{n,c}Yn,c​ appear.

Formalization scope

Graphs are SimpleGraph (Fin n) with decidable adjacency. A cycle is a closed walk C : G.Walk u u with C.IsCycle; its length is C.length and its vertex set C.support.toFinset. "Longest cycle" is the predicate that every cycle of GGG is at most as long as CCC; no supremum of cycle lengths is used. 2-connectivity is: at least three vertices, connected, and connected after deleting any one vertex. It is stated for an arbitrary finite vertex type so that it applies to the induced subgraph G[H]G[H]G[H] in Lemma 2.3. The edge count off CCC is the number of edges with an endpoint outside V(C)V(C)V(C), and ⌊c/2⌋\lfloor c/2\rfloor⌊c/2⌋ is natural-number division; under the stated bounds every natural-number subtraction is exact.

Wn,k,cW_{n,k,c}Wn,k,c​ is defined on fixed labels (clique {0,…,c−k}\{0,\dots,c-k\}{0,…,c−k}, hubs {0,…,k−1}\{0,\dots,k-1\}{0,…,k−1}), and "G⊆WG\subseteq WG⊆W" is a graph embedding G ⊑ W. Membership in Xn,c\mathcal X_{n,c}Xn,c​ and Yn,c\mathcal Y_{n,c}Yn,c​ are predicates on labelled graphs, closed under relabelling, and "GGG is a subgraph of a member" is G ≤ H for some member HHH. No hypothesis is added to any statement. Fan's Theorem 2.2 is stated without its equality characterization.

Trivializing formalizations are ruled out explicitly: the alternative "ccc is odd and …" is a conjunction, never an implication; the circumference is never a junk supremum; containment in WWW is up to isomorphism, never ≤ on fixed labels; and 2-connectivity excludes K2K_2K2​ and disconnected graphs.

The definitions are reusable for any work on circumference, longest cycles and Bondy–Erdős–Gallai-type problems. Contributions of proofs of the cited tools (Bondy's and Fan's theorems) are especially welcome, as is a proof of Erdős–Gallai's edge theorem, which the proof of Theorem 3.2 uses and which is posed elsewhere on the platform.

Selected references

  • J. Ma and B. Ning, Stability results on the circumference of a graph, Combinatorica 40 (2020); arXiv:1708.00704v2. https://arxiv.org/abs/1708.00704 , https://doi.org/10.1007/s00493-019-3843-4
  • J. A. Bondy, Large cycles in graphs, Discrete Mathematics 1 (1971/72), no. 2, 121–132.
  • G. Fan, Long cycles and the codiameter of a graph, I, Journal of Combinatorial Theory, Series B 49 (1990) 151–180.
  • P. Erdős and T. Gallai, On maximal paths and circuits of graphs, Acta Mathematica Academiae Scientiarum Hungaricae 10 (1959) 337–356.
  • G. Fan, X. Lv, P. Wang, Cycles in 2-connected graphs, Journal of Combinatorial Theory, Series B 92 (2004) 379–394.
  • Z. Füredi, A. Kostochka, J. Verstraëte, Stability in the Erdős–Gallai theorems on cycles and paths, Journal of Combinatorial Theory, Series B 121 (2016) 197–228.
  • Z. Füredi, A. Kostochka, R. Luo, J. Verstraëte, Stability in the Erdős–Gallai theorem on cycles and paths, II, Discrete Mathematics 341 (2018) 1253–1263.
  • G. N. Kopylov, Maximal paths and cycles in a graph, Soviet Mathematics Doklady 18 (1977) 593–596.
  • D. R. Woodall, Maximal circuits of graphs I, Acta Mathematica Academiae Scientiarum Hungaricae 28 (1976) 77–80.
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Operations ResearchOptimal TransportOptimization+1·Captain: mikedeng1

Distributionally Robust Stochastic Optimization with Wasserstein Distance: If the Growth Rate κ of Ψ Is Finite, sup{E_μ[Ψ] : W_p(μ, ν) ≤ θ} Equals Its One-Dimensional Dual and Is FiniteResearch Paper

Motivation

Distributionally robust stochastic optimization (DRSO) chooses a decision xxx to minimize the worst expected loss sup⁡μ∈MEμ[Ψ(x,ξ)]\sup_{\mu\in\mathfrak M}\mathbb E_\mu[\Psi(x,\xi)]supμ∈M​Eμ​[Ψ(x,ξ)] over an ambiguity set M\mathfrak MM of probability distributions, instead of the expectation under one estimated distribution. When M\mathfrak MM is a ball around a nominal distribution ν\nuν (often the empirical distribution of data) in the Wasserstein distance, the set contains distributions with supports different from that of ν\nuν, and the worst case is driven by how far mass can be moved and how fast the loss grows along the way. This makes Wasserstein balls a standard choice in data-driven optimization, statistical learning and operations research.

The inner problem, a supremum over an infinite-dimensional set of measures, is not directly computable. Gao and Kleywegt (arXiv:1604.02199v3) show that it equals a minimization over a single scalar multiplier, for an arbitrary Polish space and nominal distribution and a merely measurable loss.

Timeline. Esfahani and Kuhn (2018, doi:10.1007/s10107-017-1172-1) proved a strong duality for p=1p=1p=1 and empirical ν\nuν on Rm\mathbb R^mRm, giving finite convex reformulations for piecewise-affine losses. Blanchet and Murthy (2019, doi:10.1287/moor.2018.0936) proved duality for general optimal transport costs on Polish spaces under upper semicontinuity of the loss, with a dual over pairs (λ,φ)(\lambda,\varphi)(λ,φ). Gao and Kleywegt's result, first posted in 2016 and published in Mathematics of Operations Research (2023, doi:10.1287/moor.2022.1275), covers every order p∈[1,∞)p\in[1,\infty)p∈[1,∞), every nominal ν\nuν and every measurable loss with finite growth rate, with a dual in one variable.

Setting

Let (Ξ,d)(\Xi,d)(Ξ,d) be a Polish space (complete, separable metric) with its Borel σ\sigmaσ-algebra, P(Ξ)\mathcal P(\Xi)P(Ξ) the Borel probability measures, p∈[1,∞)p\in[1,\infty)p∈[1,∞) and θ>0\theta>0θ>0. The decision variable is suppressed: Ψ:Ξ→R\Psi:\Xi\to\mathbb RΨ:Ξ→R is a Borel measurable loss with Ψ∈L1(ν)\Psi\in L^1(\nu)Ψ∈L1(ν) for a fixed nominal distribution ν∈P(Ξ)\nu\in\mathcal P(\Xi)ν∈P(Ξ).

The Wasserstein distance of order ppp is given by

Wpp(μ,ν)=inf⁡{∫Ξ×Ξdp(ξ,ζ) γ(dξ,dζ): γ∈P(Ξ×Ξ), π#1γ=μ, π#2γ=ν}.W_p^p(\mu,\nu)=\inf\Big\{\int_{\Xi\times\Xi}d^p(\xi,\zeta)\,\gamma(d\xi,d\zeta):\ \gamma\in\mathcal P(\Xi\times\Xi),\ \pi^1_\#\gamma=\mu,\ \pi^2_\#\gamma=\nu\Big\}.Wpp​(μ,ν)=inf{∫Ξ×Ξ​dp(ξ,ζ)γ(dξ,dζ): γ∈P(Ξ×Ξ), π#1​γ=μ, π#2​γ=ν}.

The primal value is the worst-case expectation over the Wasserstein ball,

vP=sup⁡μ∈P(Ξ){∫ΞΨ dμ: Wp(μ,ν)≤θ}.v_P=\sup_{\mu\in\mathcal P(\Xi)}\Big\{\int_\Xi\Psi\,d\mu:\ W_p(\mu,\nu)\le\theta\Big\}.vP​=μ∈P(Ξ)sup​{∫Ξ​Ψdμ: Wp​(μ,ν)≤θ}.

The regularization operator is Φ(λ,ζ)=inf⁡ξ∈Ξ{λdp(ξ,ζ)−Ψ(ξ)}∈R∪{−∞}\Phi(\lambda,\zeta)=\inf_{\xi\in\Xi}\{\lambda d^p(\xi,\zeta)-\Psi(\xi)\}\in\mathbb R\cup\{-\infty\}Φ(λ,ζ)=infξ∈Ξ​{λdp(ξ,ζ)−Ψ(ξ)}∈R∪{−∞}, the dual objective is h(λ)=λθp−∫ΞΦ(λ,ζ) ν(dζ)h(\lambda)=\lambda\theta^p-\int_\Xi\Phi(\lambda,\zeta)\,\nu(d\zeta)h(λ)=λθp−∫Ξ​Φ(λ,ζ)ν(dζ), and the dual value is vD=inf⁡λ≥0h(λ)v_D=\inf_{\lambda\ge0}h(\lambda)vD​=infλ≥0​h(λ). The growth rate of Ψ\PsiΨ is

κ=inf⁡{λ≥0:∫ΞΦ(λ,ζ) ν(dζ)>−∞}∈[0,∞],\kappa=\inf\Big\{\lambda\ge0:\int_\Xi\Phi(\lambda,\zeta)\,\nu(d\zeta)>-\infty\Big\}\in[0,\infty],κ=inf{λ≥0:∫Ξ​Φ(λ,ζ)ν(dζ)>−∞}∈[0,∞],

with κ=∞\kappa=\inftyκ=∞ if no λ\lambdaλ qualifies. The lemmas also use the near-optimal distances D‾(λ,ζ)\overline D(\lambda,\zeta)D(λ,ζ) and D‾(λ,ζ)\underline D(\lambda,\zeta)D​(λ,ζ), the limits as ε↓0\varepsilon\downarrow0ε↓0 of the largest and smallest dp(ξ,ζ)d^p(\xi,\zeta)dp(ξ,ζ) over ε\varepsilonε-minimizers ξ\xiξ of λdp(⋅,ζ)−Ψ\lambda d^p(\cdot,\zeta)-\Psiλdp(⋅,ζ)−Ψ.

In Lean these objects are DRSOWass.Duality.wassPow, vP, Phi, dualObj, vD, growthRate, DUpper, DLower.

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem 1 (p. 17)

If κ<∞\kappa<\inftyκ<∞, then

vP=vD<∞.v_P=v_D<\infty.vP​=vD​<∞.

This is the printed theorem: an equality of values together with finiteness. It fixes no constant and needs no regularity of Ψ\PsiΨ beyond measurability and integrability.

Milestones

  1. Proposition 1, weak duality vP≤vDv_P\le v_DvP​≤vD​ (no growth condition).
  2. Lemma 3(i), (ii), (v): ν\nuν-measurability of Φ(λ,⋅)\Phi(\lambda,\cdot)Φ(λ,⋅), D‾\overline DD, D‾\underline DD​, D‾0\overline D_0D0​, D‾0\underline D_0D​0​, and ν\nuν-measurable selections of near-optimal and far points.
  3. Lemma 4(i)–(iii): monotonicity, upper semicontinuity and concavity of Φ(⋅,ζ)\Phi(\cdot,\zeta)Φ(⋅,ζ), the bound (λ2−λ1)D‾(λ2,ζ)≤−Ψ(ζ)−Φ(λ1,ζ)(\lambda_2-\lambda_1)\overline D(\lambda_2,\zeta)\le-\Psi(\zeta)-\Phi(\lambda_1,\zeta)(λ2​−λ1​)D(λ2​,ζ)≤−Ψ(ζ)−Φ(λ1​,ζ), and one-sided derivative bounds.
  4. Lemma 5: hhh is ∞\infty∞ on [0,κ)[0,\kappa)[0,κ), finite on (κ,∞)(\kappa,\infty)(κ,∞), convex, lower semicontinuous, coercive, and has a minimizer λ∗∈[κ,∞)\lambda^*\in[\kappa,\infty)λ∗∈[κ,∞).
  5. Lemmas 6 and 7: explicit ε\varepsilonε-optimal distributions in the ball, built from push-forwards of ν\nuν, in the cases λ∗>κ\lambda^*>\kappaλ∗>κ, λ∗=κ=0\lambda^*=\kappa=0λ∗=κ=0 and λ∗=κ>0\lambda^*=\kappa>0λ∗=κ>0.

Significance

The result. Strong duality turns the worst-case expectation over a Wasserstein ball into a convex problem in one scalar, min⁡λ≥0{λθp−∫Φ(λ,ζ) ν(dζ)}\min_{\lambda\ge0}\{\lambda\theta^p-\int\Phi(\lambda,\zeta)\,\nu(d\zeta)\}minλ≥0​{λθp−∫Φ(λ,ζ)ν(dζ)}, where Φ\PhiΦ is a Moreau–Yosida-type regularization of −Ψ-\Psi−Ψ. For finite-supported ν\nuν this yields finite-dimensional reformulations of DRSO; the paper derives from it the structure of worst-case distributions (Corollaries 1 and 2) and applications to two-stage problems, point processes and Gaussian nominal distributions. The growth rate κ\kappaκ separates the finite case (this theorem) from the case vP=∞v_P=\inftyvP​=∞ (Proposition 2).

Formalizing it. The theorem is proved in the paper; to the best of current knowledge none of it is machine-checked. The mission produces a formal statement of the duality on general Polish spaces, together with reusable pieces: extended-valued integrals, the regularization operator and its one-sided derivatives, measurable selection on Polish spaces, and push-forward constructions of near-optimal measures. Formal proofs of Lemma 3 also give measurable-selection tools that Mathlib does not yet provide in this form.

Difficulty

Weak duality is a one-line Lagrangian argument. The difficulty is attainment from the primal side: one must construct, for every ε>0\varepsilon>0ε>0, a distribution in the ball whose expectation is within ε\varepsilonε of vDv_DvD​. A worst-case distribution need not exist (when λ∗=κ>0\lambda^*=\kappa>0λ∗=κ>0 mass escapes to infinity), so a compactness argument on P(Ξ)\mathcal P(\Xi)P(Ξ) fails; and Ψ\PsiΨ is only measurable, so the infimum defining Φ(λ,ζ)\Phi(\lambda,\zeta)Φ(λ,ζ) cannot be reduced to a countable one, and the measurability of Φ(λ,⋅)\Phi(\lambda,\cdot)Φ(λ,⋅) and of near-optimal transport maps needs projection and measurable-selection theorems for analytic sets. The case analysis on whether the dual minimizer exceeds κ\kappaκ is forced by the possible non-differentiability of hhh at κ\kappaκ.

Formalization scope

  • Ξ\XiΞ carries MetricSpace, CompleteSpace, SecondCountableTopology and BorelSpace instances; ν\nuν is a probability measure; dpd^pdp is dist ξ ζ ^ p with real p≥1p\ge1p≥1.
  • Ψ\PsiΨ is assumed Borel measurable in addition to Ψ∈L1(ν)\Psi\in L^1(\nu)Ψ∈L1(ν); the paper's p. 5 states the theorem for a measurable Ψ\PsiΨ, and ∫Ψ dμ\int\Psi\,d\mu∫Ψdμ for μ≠ν\mu\ne\nuμ=ν requires it.
  • WppW_p^pWpp​ is the published RWPI.SqrtLasso.transportCost with cost dpd^pdp, an infimum over probability couplings in [0,∞][0,\infty][0,∞]; Wp(μ,ν)≤θW_p(\mu,\nu)\le\thetaWp​(μ,ν)≤θ is written Wpp(μ,ν)≤θpW_p^p(\mu,\nu)\le\theta^pWpp​(μ,ν)≤θp.
  • Integrals that may be infinite are the published ModelRiskOT.Duality.extIntegral, ∫φ+−∫φ−\int\varphi^+-\int\varphi^-∫φ+−∫φ− in [−∞,∞][-\infty,\infty][−∞,∞] (with ∞−∞=−∞\infty-\infty=-\infty∞−∞=−∞). Φ\PhiΦ, hhh, vPv_PvP​, vDv_DvD​ are EReal-valued; κ\kappaκ, D‾\overline DD, D‾\underline DD​ are ENNReal-valued, so κ=∞\kappa=\inftyκ=∞ is representable and the empty infimum is ∞\infty∞.
  • lim sup⁡ε↓0\limsup_{\varepsilon\downarrow0}limsupε↓0​ and lim inf⁡ε↓0\liminf_{\varepsilon\downarrow0}liminfε↓0​ in D‾\overline DD, D‾\underline DD​ are written as the monotone infimum and supremum over ε>0\varepsilon>0ε>0. ν\nuν-measurability is null-measurability for functions and almost-everywhere measurability for maps Ξ→Ξ\Xi\to\XiΞ→Ξ.
  • Repaired or adjusted statements: Lemma 4(i)'s sup inequality is stated for ε>0\varepsilon>0ε>0 (the printed ε=0\varepsilon=0ε=0 case fails when an arg min is empty); in Lemma 6, (7)'s weights p1,p2p_1,p_2p1​,p2​ are read as p1ε,p2εp_1^\varepsilon,p_2^\varepsilonp1ε​,p2ε​; Lemma 5(v) carries κ<∞\kappa<\inftyκ<∞; Lemma 4(iii)'s right derivative is a limit in (−∞,∞](-\infty,\infty](−∞,∞].
  • A trivializing formalization is ruled out: integrals are not Bochner integrals (which would give a non-integrable μ\muμ the value 000), κ\kappaκ is not a real infimum (which would give 000 when no λ\lambdaλ qualifies), and the supremum in vPv_PvP​ ranges over probability measures in the ball only, which is nonempty because it contains ν\nuν.

A complete development needs couplings and gluing in Mathlib's measure theory, the measurable projection theorem and a measurable selection theorem on Polish spaces, and one-sided derivatives of concave extended-valued functions; the first three are reusable well beyond this mission. Proofs of any milestone, alternative proofs of the goal (e.g. through the Blanchet–Murthy dual), and the companion result Proposition 2 (κ=∞⇒vP=vD=∞\kappa=\infty\Rightarrow v_P=v_D=\inftyκ=∞⇒vP​=vD​=∞) are welcome.

Selected references

  • R. Gao, A. J. Kleywegt, Distributionally Robust Stochastic Optimization with Wasserstein Distance, arXiv:1604.02199v3, 2022; Mathematics of Operations Research, 2023. https://arxiv.org/abs/1604.02199
  • P. Mohajerin Esfahani, D. Kuhn, Data-driven distributionally robust optimization using the Wasserstein metric: performance guarantees and tractable reformulations, Mathematical Programming 171, 2018. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10107-017-1172-1
  • J. Blanchet, K. Murthy, Quantifying distributional model risk via optimal transport, Mathematics of Operations Research 44(2), 2019. https://doi.org/10.1287/moor.2018.0936
  • C. Villani, Optimal Transport: Old and New, Springer, 2009. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-540-71050-9
16 thms1 active userReviewed
Operations ResearchOptimizationProbability·Captain: mikedeng1

Trade Credit, Risk Sharing, and Inventory Financing Portfolios: The Optimal Contract Always Uses Trade Credit, with Net Terms for Costless Default or High Cash and Two-Part Terms for Low CashResearch Paper

Why trade credit terms matter

Most business-to-business sales are not paid in cash on delivery. The supplier lets the buyer pay later, which is trade credit, and often offers a discount for paying early. In the classic "2/10 net 30" the buyer gets 2% off for paying within 10 days and otherwise owes the full price in 30 days. Trade credit is a major source of short-term finance for firms. Empirical work documents both forms of contract: net terms, with one price and no discount, and two-part terms, with an early-payment discount. The discounts are large, and they vary a lot from one buyer to another (Petersen and Rajan 1997; Klapper, Laeven and Rajan 2012). The implied interest rate on a forgone discount is often far above a bank loan's. This raises two questions: why do cash-poor buyers use trade credit at all, and when should a supplier offer a discount?

Yang and Birge (Management Science 2018) answer this in a supplier–retailer model with a financially constrained retailer, who can finance inventory with a bank loan, with trade credit, or with both. Their answer is risk sharing. Trade credit is repaid out of realized sales, so the supplier bears part of the demand risk. She can therefore induce a larger order than a price-only contract does. The model builds on the selling-to-the-newsvendor model of Lariviere and Porteus (2001), and it complements the supplier-versus-bank analysis of Kouvelis and Zhao (2012). This mission formalizes the paper's main result on the structure of the optimal contract.

The model

A retailer buys a single good from a supplier at unit cost ccc and sells it at unit price p=1p=1p=1. Demand is random with density fff on [0,∞)[0,\infty)[0,∞). Its distribution function is F(x)=∫0xfF(x)=\int_0^x fF(x)=∫0x​f, the complementary distribution function is Fˉ=1−F\bar F=1-FFˉ=1−F, the failure rate is h=f/Fˉh=f/\bar Fh=f/Fˉ, and the generalized failure rate is g(x)=x h(x)g(x)=x\,h(x)g(x)=xh(x). Demand has an increasing failure rate (IFR). The retailer has cash K>0K>0K>0.

The supplier offers a cash price wcw_cwc​ and a credit price wtw_twt​, with c≤wc≤wt≤1c\le w_c\le w_t\le 1c≤wc​≤wt​≤1. The early-payment discount is dt=1−wc/wtd_t=1-w_c/w_tdt​=1−wc​/wt​. If the retailer's cash does not cover his cash purchases, he borrows from a competitive bank. The bank loan is senior to trade credit. A bank and a supplier recovering a defaulted claim lose fractions αb\alpha_bαb​ and αt\alpha_tαt​ of what they recover, with αb,αt∈[0,1]\alpha_b,\alpha_t\in[0,1]αb​,αt​∈[0,1].

Default is described by two thresholds. The bank-loan default threshold θb\theta_bθb​ is the demand below which the bank is not repaid in full, and it equals the amount owed to the bank. The trade-credit default threshold θt≥θb\theta_t\ge\theta_bθt​≥θb​ is the demand below which the supplier is not repaid in full. The retailer uses a bank loan iff θb>0\theta_b>0θb​>0, and uses trade credit iff θt>θb\theta_t>\theta_bθt​>θb​.

The paper shows (p. 13) that the supplier's problem can be written in the thresholds alone. Let

F^b(x)=Fˉ(x)[1−αbg(x)],C(θ)=K+∫0θF^bF^b(θ)−θ,\hat F_b(x)=\bar F(x)[1-\alpha_b g(x)],\qquad C(\theta)=\frac{K+\int_0^\theta\hat F_b}{\hat F_b(\theta)}-\theta,F^b​(x)=Fˉ(x)[1−αb​g(x)],C(θ)=F^b​(θ)K+∫0θ​F^b​​−θ, Q(θb,θt)=min⁡{q≥0: qFˉ(q)=[θt+C(θb)]Fˉ(θt)}.Q(\theta_b,\theta_t)=\min\{q\ge0:\ q\bar F(q)=[\theta_t+C(\theta_b)]\bar F(\theta_t)\}.Q(θb​,θt​)=min{q≥0: qFˉ(q)=[θt​+C(θb​)]Fˉ(θt​)}.

The retailer orders QQQ, the prices are wt=Fˉ(Q)/Fˉ(θt)w_t=\bar F(Q)/\bar F(\theta_t)wt​=Fˉ(Q)/Fˉ(θt​) and wc=F^b(θb)wtw_c=\hat F_b(\theta_b)w_twc​=F^b​(θb​)wt​, and the discount is dt=1−F^b(θb)d_t=1-\hat F_b(\theta_b)dt​=1−F^b​(θb​). The supplier's expected profit is

Πs=K+∫0θtFˉ(x) dx−c Q(θb,θt)−[αb∫0θbx dF(x)+αt∫θbθt(x−θb) dF(x)].\Pi_s=K+\int_0^{\theta_t}\bar F(x)\,dx-c\,Q(\theta_b,\theta_t)-\Big[\alpha_b\int_0^{\theta_b}x\,dF(x)+\alpha_t\int_{\theta_b}^{\theta_t}(x-\theta_b)\,dF(x)\Big].Πs​=K+∫0θt​​Fˉ(x)dx−cQ(θb​,θt​)−[αb​∫0θb​​xdF(x)+αt​∫θb​θt​​(x−θb​)dF(x)].

She maximizes Πs\Pi_sΠs​ over a domain Θ\ThetaΘ of thresholds. A maximizer is an optimal trade credit contract. Net terms correspond to θb∗=0\theta_b^*=0θb∗​=0, which is dt∗=0d_t^*=0dt∗​=0. Two-part terms correspond to θb∗>0\theta_b^*>0θb∗​>0.

Formalization targets

Goal: Proposition 3 (p. 15)

For every optimal contract (θb∗,θt∗)(\theta_b^*,\theta_t^*)(θb∗​,θt∗​):

θt∗>0 ⟹ θb∗<θt∗(trade credit is always used).\theta_t^*>0\ \Longrightarrow\ \theta_b^*<\theta_t^*\qquad(\text{trade credit is always used}).θt∗​>0 ⟹ θb∗​<θt∗​(trade credit is always used).

If αt=0\alpha_t=0αt​=0, or if KKK is sufficiently large, then θb∗=0\theta_b^*=0θb∗​=0 and dt∗=0d_t^*=0dt∗​=0 (net terms, no bank loan). If αt>0\alpha_t>0αt​>0 and KKK is sufficiently small, then

0<θb∗<θt∗,dt∗>0(two-part terms, both bank loan and trade credit).0<\theta_b^*<\theta_t^*,\qquad d_t^*>0\qquad(\text{two-part terms, both bank loan and trade credit}).0<θb∗​<θt∗​,dt∗​>0(two-part terms, both bank loan and trade credit).

"Sufficiently large" and "sufficiently small" are existential thresholds on KKK that depend on the data (f,c,αb,αt)(f,c,\alpha_b,\alpha_t)(f,c,αb​,αt​), not on the contract.

Milestones

They are listed in the order the proof uses them:

  1. Lemma C.4: CCC is increasing, and convex when αb=0\alpha_b=0αb​=0.
  2. Corollary 3: QQQ increases in θb\theta_bθb​ and in θt\theta_tθt​.
  3. Lemma C.8: at αb=0\alpha_b=0αb​=0, Πs\Pi_sΠs​ is concave in θb\theta_bθb​.
  4. Lemma C.7: QQQ increases in αb\alpha_bαb​ and KKK.
  5. Lemma C.9: Πs\Pi_sΠs​ is concave in θt\theta_tθt​.
  6. Proposition 6, first sentence: Πs∗\Pi_s^*Πs∗​ decreases in αb\alpha_bαb​ and αt\alpha_tαt​.

Significance

Proposition 3 is the paper's prediction about inventory financing portfolios. Once the supplier sets the terms, a retailer who needs external financing always uses trade credit. Early-payment discounts appear only when supplier default is costly and the retailer is cash-poor. A discount is then the supplier's way of moving part of the financing to the bank. The paper uses this to explain why discounts go to small, risky buyers, as observed by Klapper et al. (2012). The comparative statics of §5 (Propositions 4–6) are built on the same reduced problem.

The result is proved on paper but has not been formalized. The appendix lemmas it rests on (C.4, C.7, C.8, C.9) are stated without proof ("available upon request"). A machine-checked development would therefore settle whether these lemmas hold on the domain where the paper uses them. It would also produce a reusable library: IFR demand with failure rates, the bank-loan pricing kernel F^b\hat F_bF^b​, and the implicit order quantity QQQ.

Difficulty

The order quantity QQQ is defined implicitly, as the smaller root of a unimodal equation, and the paper's arguments differentiate through it with the implicit function theorem. Every derivative of Πs\Pi_sΠs​ therefore involves 1/(Fˉ(Q)[1−g(Q)])1/(\bar F(Q)[1-g(Q)])1/(Fˉ(Q)[1−g(Q)]), which blows up at the edge of Θ\ThetaΘ where Q=g−1(1)Q=g^{-1}(1)Q=g−1(1). The density is only assumed continuous, so F^b\hat F_bF^b​ and CCC need not be differentiable when αb>0\alpha_b>0αb​>0. Monotonicity and concavity have to be argued from the integral forms, or under a smoothness assumption the paper does not state.

The obvious argument for "sufficiently large KKK" also fails. It perturbs the optimum at KKK just below M∗=g−1(1)Fˉ(g−1(1))M^*=g^{-1}(1)\bar F(g^{-1}(1))M∗=g−1(1)Fˉ(g−1(1)), but there the domain shrinks to a sliver near θt=0\theta_t=0θt​=0, and the derivative of Πs\Pi_sΠs​ in θt\theta_tθt​ at θt=0\theta_t=0θt​=0 can be negative. For exponential demand it tends to −∞-\infty−∞ as K→M∗K\to M^*K→M∗. The proof's claim that θt∗>0\theta_t^*>0θt∗​>0 there is not part of the theorem. Part 1 for general αb\alpha_bαb​ is reduced to αb=0\alpha_b=0αb​=0 through Proposition 6, which requires comparing optima over domains that themselves depend on αb\alpha_bαb​.

Formalization scope

All objects live in TradeCredit.Terms.Model.

Demand. Demand is a density f:R→Rf:\mathbb R\to\mathbb Rf:R→R that is continuous on [0,∞)[0,\infty)[0,∞), positive on [0,∞)[0,\infty)[0,∞), zero on (−∞,0)(-\infty,0)(−∞,0), integrable with total mass 111, and has a weakly increasing failure rate on [0,∞)[0,\infty)[0,∞). FFF is the interval integral of fff from 000. The normalizations are p=1p=1p=1 and s=0s=0s=0. The parameters satisfy 0<c<10<c<10<c<1, αb,αt∈[0,1]\alpha_b,\alpha_t\in[0,1]αb​,αt​∈[0,1] and K>0K>0K>0.

Domain. Θ\ThetaΘ is the printed set of Corollary 3 (θt≥θb≥0\theta_t\ge\theta_b\ge0θt​≥θb​≥0 and [θt+C(θb)]Fˉ(θt)≤M∗[\theta_t+C(\theta_b)]\bar F(\theta_t)\le M^*[θt​+C(θb​)]Fˉ(θt​)≤M∗) plus two pinned constraints: θt≤Q(θb,θt)\theta_t\le Q(\theta_b,\theta_t)θt​≤Q(θb​,θt​) (that is, wt≤1w_t\le1wt​≤1) and c≤wcc\le w_cc≤wc​. These are the image under (11) of §3.1's c≤wc≤wt≤1c\le w_c\le w_t\le 1c≤wc​≤wt​≤1, which the printed Θ\ThetaΘ omits.

Statements. QQQ is the infimum of the nonnegative roots. "The optimal contract" means every maximizer of Πs\Pi_sΠs​ on Θ\ThetaΘ. Existence of a maximizer is not asserted; the paper does not prove it. Monotonicity is weak, and concavity is Mathlib's ConcaveOn on the sections of Θ\ThetaΘ. Proposition 6 is stated by comparing attained values with Πs∗=sup⁡ΘΠs\Pi_s^*=\sup_\Theta\Pi_sΠs∗​=supΘ​Πs​.

Not in scope. The retailer's best response (Proposition 1) and the bijection between thresholds and contracts are not formalized. The goal is about the paper's own reduced problem. Lemma 1's first-order conditions are not a milestone: as printed they fail at a corner optimum θb∗=θt∗=0\theta_b^*=\theta_t^*=0θb∗​=θt∗​=0, and they need C′C'C′, which is not defined under a merely continuous density.

Ruling out trivialization. The large-KKK clause quantifies over K∈[K‾,M∗)K\in[\underline K,M^*)K∈[K​,M∗) with K‾<M∗\underline K<M^*K​<M∗. For K≥M∗K\ge M^*K≥M∗ the domain Θ\ThetaΘ has no point with θt>0\theta_t>0θt​>0 and every "for every optimal contract" statement holds vacuously, so a large-KKK clause that reached only those values would be empty.

Welcome contributions. Lemmas on IFR densities (positivity of Fˉ\bar FFˉ, finiteness of the mean, monotonicity of ggg and existence of g−1(1)g^{-1}(1)g−1(1)), the root structure of qFˉ(q)q\bar F(q)qFˉ(q), and boundedness of Πs\Pi_sΠs​ on Θ\ThetaΘ are reusable beyond this paper.

Source. The source PDF is the authors' accepted manuscript (LBS Research Online, eprint 801). All page numbers are the manuscript's.

Selected references

  • S. A. Yang, J. R. Birge, Trade Credit, Risk Sharing, and Inventory Financing Portfolios, Management Science 64(8), 2018. https://doi.org/10.1287/mnsc.2017.2799
  • M. A. Lariviere, E. L. Porteus, Selling to the Newsvendor: An Analysis of Price-Only Contracts, Manufacturing & Service Operations Management 3(4), 2001. https://doi.org/10.1287/msom.3.4.293.9971
  • P. Kouvelis, W. Zhao, Financing the Newsvendor: Supplier vs. Bank, and the Structure of Optimal Trade Credit Contracts, Operations Research 60(3), 2012. https://doi.org/10.1287/opre.1120.1040
  • M. A. Petersen, R. G. Rajan, Trade Credit: Theories and Evidence, Review of Financial Studies 10(3), 1997. https://doi.org/10.1093/rfs/10.3.661
  • L. Klapper, L. Laeven, R. Rajan, Trade Credit Contracts, Review of Financial Studies 25(3), 2012. https://doi.org/10.1093/rfs/hhr122
8 thms1 active userReviewed
Convex OptimizationOptimization·Captain: mikedeng1

DC Programming and DCA: Thirty Years of Developments: For f = g − h with g, h ∈ Γ₀(ℝⁿ), at x ∈ ri(dom g) ∩ ri(dom h) d-Stationarity of f Is Equivalent to Strong Criticality ∅ ≠ ∂h(x) ⊂ ∂g(x)Research Paper

Motivation

DC programming is the minimization of a function f=g−hf = g - hf=g−h that is a difference of two convex functions. The class contains every C2C^2C2 function on a compact convex set and most nonconvex models of sparse learning, clustering, combinatorial relaxations and robust optimization, and its standard method, the DC Algorithm (DCA), replaces hhh by its affine minorant at the current iterate and solves a convex program at each step. DCA was introduced by Pham Dinh Tao in 1985 and developed jointly with Le Thi Hoai An from 1994 on (Pham Dinh & Le Thi 1998); the survey of Le Thi & Pham Dinh 2018 collects thirty years of that work.

DCA is guaranteed to reach critical or strongly critical points, notions that depend on the chosen decomposition g−hg - hg−h, while a decomposition-free notion, directional (d-)stationarity of fff itself, is what a user of a nonconvex model usually wants. Ahn, Pang & Xin 2017 warned that DC criticality can be much weaker than d-stationarity. Theorem 1 of the 2018 survey (p. 9) states when the two coincide. Its proof is omitted in the paper ("can be easily deduced … It is omitted here").

Setting

Let X=RnX = \mathbb R^nX=Rn with the canonical inner product ⟨⋅,⋅⟩\langle\cdot,\cdot\rangle⟨⋅,⋅⟩. Functions take values in R∪{±∞}\mathbb R\cup\{\pm\infty\}R∪{±∞}. The effective domain of φ\varphiφ is dom⁡φ={x:φ(x)<+∞}\operatorname{dom}\varphi = \{x : \varphi(x) < +\infty\}domφ={x:φ(x)<+∞}, and Γ0(X)\Gamma_0(X)Γ0​(X) is the set of proper, lower semicontinuous, convex functions X→R∪{+∞}X \to \mathbb R\cup\{+\infty\}X→R∪{+∞}.

The standard DC program is

(Pdc)α=inf⁡{f(x):=g(x)−h(x):x∈X},g,h∈Γ0(X),(P_{dc})\qquad \alpha = \inf\{f(x) := g(x) - h(x) : x\in X\},\qquad g, h\in\Gamma_0(X),(Pdc​)α=inf{f(x):=g(x)−h(x):x∈X},g,h∈Γ0​(X),

with the convention +∞−(+∞)=+∞+\infty - (+\infty) = +\infty+∞−(+∞)=+∞, and α\alphaα is assumed finite. Finiteness of α\alphaα forces dom⁡g⊂dom⁡h\operatorname{dom} g\subset\operatorname{dom} hdomg⊂domh, so dom⁡f=dom⁡g\operatorname{dom} f = \operatorname{dom} gdomf=domg.

The subdifferential of φ\varphiφ at xxx is

∂φ(x)={y∈X:φ(x)<+∞, φ(v)≥φ(x)+⟨y,v−x⟩  ∀v∈X}.\partial\varphi(x) = \{y\in X : \varphi(x) < +\infty,\ \varphi(v) \ge \varphi(x) + \langle y, v - x\rangle\ \ \forall v\in X\}.∂φ(x)={y∈X:φ(x)<+∞, φ(v)≥φ(x)+⟨y,v−x⟩  ∀v∈X}.

A point xxx is strongly critical for f=g−hf = g - hf=g−h if ∅≠∂h(x)⊂∂g(x)\emptyset \ne \partial h(x)\subset\partial g(x)∅=∂h(x)⊂∂g(x).

The directional derivative of φ\varphiφ at x∈dom⁡φx\in\operatorname{dom}\varphix∈domφ in direction uuu is φ′(x;u)=lim⁡t↓0(φ(x+tu)−φ(x))/t\varphi'(x;u) = \lim_{t\downarrow 0}(\varphi(x+tu) - \varphi(x))/tφ′(x;u)=limt↓0​(φ(x+tu)−φ(x))/t. For convex φ\varphiφ it equals inf⁡t>0(φ(x+tu)−φ(x))/t\inf_{t>0}(\varphi(x+tu)-\varphi(x))/tinft>0​(φ(x+tu)−φ(x))/t. A point x∈dom⁡fx\in\operatorname{dom} fx∈domf is d-stationary for fff if f′(x;u)≥0f'(x;u)\ge 0f′(x;u)≥0 for every u∈Xu\in Xu∈X. The support function of C⊂XC\subset XC⊂X is χC∗(u)=sup⁡y∈C⟨u,y⟩\chi^*_C(u) = \sup_{y\in C}\langle u, y\rangleχC∗​(u)=supy∈C​⟨u,y⟩, with χ∅∗≡−∞\chi^*_\emptyset \equiv -\inftyχ∅∗​≡−∞. Finally, ri⁡C\operatorname{ri} CriC is the relative interior of CCC, its interior inside the affine hull aff⁡C\operatorname{aff} CaffC.

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem 1(iii)

For x∈ri⁡(dom⁡g)∩ri⁡(dom⁡h)x\in\operatorname{ri}(\operatorname{dom} g)\cap\operatorname{ri}(\operatorname{dom} h)x∈ri(domg)∩ri(domh),

x is d-stationary for f  ⟺  ∅≠∂h(x)⊂∂g(x).x \text{ is d-stationary for } f \iff \emptyset\ne\partial h(x)\subset\partial g(x).x is d-stationary for f⟺∅=∂h(x)⊂∂g(x).

Milestones

  1. Theorem 1(i): for x∈dom⁡gx\in\operatorname{dom} gx∈domg with ∂h(x)≠∅\partial h(x)\ne\emptyset∂h(x)=∅,
f′(x;u)=g′(x;u)−h′(x;u)∀u∈X.f'(x;u) = g'(x;u) - h'(x;u)\qquad \forall u\in X.f′(x;u)=g′(x;u)−h′(x;u)∀u∈X.
  1. Theorem 1(ii), first sentence: under the same hypotheses, xxx is d-stationary iff g′(x;u)≥h′(x;u)g'(x;u)\ge h'(x;u)g′(x;u)≥h′(x;u) for all uuu.
  2. Theorem 1(iv): for x∈ri⁡(dom⁡g)x\in\operatorname{ri}(\operatorname{dom} g)x∈ri(domg) with ∂h(x)≠∅\partial h(x)\ne\emptyset∂h(x)=∅, d-stationarity implies strong criticality.
  3. Theorem 1(v): for x∈ri⁡(dom⁡h)x\in\operatorname{ri}(\operatorname{dom} h)x∈ri(domh), strong criticality implies d-stationarity.

Companion statements

  • Theorem 1(ii), second sentence: for x∈dom⁡gx\in\operatorname{dom} gx∈domg, if g′(x;⋅)=χ∂g(x)∗g'(x;\cdot) = \chi^*_{\partial g(x)}g′(x;⋅)=χ∂g(x)∗​ and h′(x;⋅)=χ∂h(x)∗h'(x;\cdot) = \chi^*_{\partial h(x)}h′(x;⋅)=χ∂h(x)∗​, then d-stationarity and strong criticality coincide.
  • Theorem 1(vi): if aff⁡(dom⁡g)=aff⁡(dom⁡h)\operatorname{aff}(\operatorname{dom} g) = \operatorname{aff}(\operatorname{dom} h)aff(domg)=aff(domh), then ri⁡(dom⁡g)⊂ri⁡(dom⁡h)\operatorname{ri}(\operatorname{dom} g)\subset\operatorname{ri}(\operatorname{dom} h)ri(domg)⊂ri(domh) and the equivalence holds on ri⁡(dom⁡g)\operatorname{ri}(\operatorname{dom} g)ri(domg).

Part (iii) is the goal because it is the equivalence the paper uses to justify DCA, stated under a hypothesis symmetric in ggg and hhh; (vi) is the more general companion.

Significance

The theorem connects the output of DCA with a stationarity notion intrinsic to fff. Without it, the strong criticality certified by DCA would be a property of a decomposition rather than of the problem, and different decompositions of the same fff could certify different points. With it, at points in the relative interiors of the domains, every strongly critical point is d-stationary, and conversely no d-stationary point is missed by the criticality test.

Parts (i) and (ii) are stated in the paper without proof, and so is the rest of Theorem 1; none of it has a machine-checked proof. The mission produces a formal statement of all six parts with the extended-real conventions made explicit. Three of the printed parts are false as stated without the nonemptiness of ∂h(x)\partial h(x)∂h(x); the formal versions add that hypothesis and record a counterexample for each, so the formalization also corrects the printed statement.

Difficulty

The obvious argument writes f′(x;u)=g′(x;u)−h′(x;u)f'(x;u) = g'(x;u) - h'(x;u)f′(x;u)=g′(x;u)−h′(x;u) and reads off both directions from g′≥h′g'\ge h'g′≥h′. Two steps of it fail. First, the difference can be −∞−(−∞)-\infty - (-\infty)−∞−(−∞) or +∞−(+∞)+\infty - (+\infty)+∞−(+∞), and the limit defining f′f'f′ need not be the difference of the limits; the nonemptiness of ∂h(x)\partial h(x)∂h(x) is exactly what rules out the first case. Second, passing from "g′(x;⋅)≥h′(x;⋅)g'(x;\cdot)\ge h'(x;\cdot)g′(x;⋅)≥h′(x;⋅)" to "∂h(x)⊂∂g(x)\partial h(x)\subset\partial g(x)∂h(x)⊂∂g(x)" needs h′(x;⋅)h'(x;\cdot)h′(x;⋅) to equal the support function of ∂h(x)\partial h(x)∂h(x), which holds in the relative interior of dom⁡h\operatorname{dom} hdomh but fails on its relative boundary, where h′(x;⋅)h'(x;\cdot)h′(x;⋅) need not be lower semicontinuous. The relative interior, not the interior, is essential: the domains may be lower-dimensional.

Formalization scope

XXX is EuclideanSpace ℝ (Fin n), and every function maps into EReal. The published definitions TaoAnDCA.GlobalOpt.Setting supply dom⁡\operatorname{dom}dom (effDom), the DC objective with +∞−(+∞)=+∞+\infty - (+\infty) = +\infty+∞−(+∞)=+∞ (dcSub), the subdifferential (subdiff) and α\alphaα (primalValue); Γ0(X)\Gamma_0(X)Γ0​(X) is the published IsProperClosedConvex. Every statement carries the standing assumptions of Theorem 1 as binders: g,h∈Γ0(X)g, h\in\Gamma_0(X)g,h∈Γ0​(X), α≠−∞\alpha\ne-\inftyα=−∞ and α≠+∞\alpha\ne+\inftyα=+∞. The mission's definitions are:

  • convDirDeriv: the convex directional derivative by the paper's infimum formula, in EReal;
  • HasDirDerivE: the predicate that the one-sided limit along t↓0t\downarrow 0t↓0 exists in EReal and equals a given value;
  • IsDStationary: x∈dom⁡φx\in\operatorname{dom}\varphix∈domφ and, for every direction, the limit exists and is ≥0\ge 0≥0;
  • IsStronglyCritical: both ∂h(x)≠∅\partial h(x)\ne\emptyset∂h(x)=∅ and ∂h(x)⊂∂g(x)\partial h(x)\subset\partial g(x)∂h(x)⊂∂g(x);
  • supportFn: the extended-real support function, −∞-\infty−∞ on ∅\emptyset∅.

The relative interior is Mathlib's intrinsicInterior ℝ, the affine hull is affineSpan ℝ. The subgradient inequality has the standard sign; display (1) of the paper prints the opposite sign, a slip. The only hypothesis added to the page is ∂h(x)≠∅\partial h(x)\ne\emptyset∂h(x)=∅, in parts (i), (ii) first sentence and (iv), each of which is false without it; parts (ii) second sentence, (iii), (v) and (vi) are stated as printed.

The statement admits trivializing formalizations, which this one rules out. Strong criticality without the nonemptiness of ∂h(x)\partial h(x)∂h(x) is vacuous wherever ∂h(x)=∅\partial h(x) = \emptyset∂h(x)=∅. A d-stationarity defined through limUnder, a real-valued derivative, or "every limit is nonnegative" holds vacuously where the limit does not exist. And g−hg - hg−h written in raw EReal would give +∞−(+∞)=−∞+\infty - (+\infty) = -\infty+∞−(+∞)=−∞.

A complete development needs the monotonicity of convex difference quotients in EReal, limit arithmetic for extended reals, and the formula φ′(x;⋅)=χ∂φ(x)∗\varphi'(x;\cdot) = \chi^*_{\partial\varphi(x)}φ′(x;⋅)=χ∂φ(x)∗​ for φ∈Γ0(Rn)\varphi\in\Gamma_0(\mathbb R^n)φ∈Γ0​(Rn) at points of ri⁡(dom⁡φ)\operatorname{ri}(\operatorname{dom}\varphi)ri(domφ) (Rockafellar 1970, Theorem 23.4), together with the nonemptiness of ∂φ\partial\varphi∂φ there. These results on extended-real convex functions are reusable well beyond DC programming, and contributions of them as separate theorems are welcome.

Selected references

  • H. A. Le Thi, T. Pham Dinh, DC programming and DCA: thirty years of developments, Mathematical Programming Ser. B 169 (2018), 5–68. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10107-018-1235-y
  • T. Pham Dinh, H. A. Le Thi, A d.c. optimization algorithm for solving the trust-region subproblem, SIAM Journal on Optimization 8 (1998), 476–505. https://doi.org/10.1137/S1052623494274313
  • M. Ahn, J.-S. Pang, J. Xin, Difference-of-convex learning: directional stationarity, optimality, and sparsity, SIAM Journal on Optimization 27 (2017), 1637–1665. https://doi.org/10.1137/16M1084754
  • R. T. Rockafellar, Convex Analysis, Princeton University Press, 1970. https://doi.org/10.1515/9781400873173
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CombinatoricsGraph TheoryLinear algebra·Captain: mikedeng1

Three Conjectures in Extremal Spectral Graph Theory 3: For Large n, a Connected n-Vertex Graph Maximizing Spectral Radius Minus Average Degree Is a Pineapple GraphResearch Paper

Motivation

How far is a graph from being regular? Several numerical irregularity measures answer this question, and spectral graph theory supplies a natural one. For a graph GGG with nnn vertices and e(G)e(G)e(G) edges, the largest eigenvalue λ1(G)\lambda_1(G)λ1​(G) of the adjacency matrix is always at least the average degree d(G)=2e(G)/nd(G) = 2e(G)/nd(G)=2e(G)/n, with equality exactly when GGG is regular. The difference λ1−d\lambda_1 - dλ1​−d is therefore a measure of irregularity; it was studied by Bell (1992) alongside the variance of the degrees, and it is one of several such measures, with Albertson's ∑uv∈E∣du−dv∣\sum_{uv \in E} |d_u - d_v|∑uv∈E​∣du​−dv​∣ and Nikiforov's degree deviation among the others. The measures are incomparable in general, and one way to understand what each gauges is to determine its extremal graphs.

A basic extremal question asks which graphs are the most irregular. Among all graphs the question is uninteresting, because isolated vertices lower ddd without lowering λ1\lambda_1λ1​. Among connected graphs it is a genuine optimization problem. Using the variable neighbourhood search system AutoGraphiX, Aouchiche, Bell, Cvetković, Hansen, Rowlinson, Simić and Stevanović (2008) found that the maximizers of λ1−d\lambda_1 - dλ1​−d over connected graphs on nnn vertices are always pineapple graphs, a clique with pendant vertices hanging from one clique vertex, and they conjectured that this holds for every nnn (Aouchiche et al., European J. Oper. Res. 2008).

Timeline:

  • 1992: Bell compares λ1−d\lambda_1 - dλ1​−d with the degree variance as irregularity measures.
  • 1988: Hong proves λ12≤2e(G)−(n−1)\lambda_1^2 \le 2e(G) - (n-1)λ12​≤2e(G)−(n−1) for graphs without isolated vertices.
  • 2008: Aouchiche et al. state the pineapple conjecture from computer experiments, and determine which pineapple is best (clique size ⌈n/2⌉+1\lceil n/2\rceil + 1⌈n/2⌉+1).
  • 2017: Tait and Tobin prove the conjecture for all sufficiently large nnn (arXiv:1606.01916, J. Combin. Theory Ser. B), in the same paper that settles the spectral extremal problems for outerplanar and planar graphs.

This mission formalizes Section 4 of Tait and Tobin.

Setting

All graphs are finite and simple; an nnn-vertex graph has vertex set {0,…,n−1}\{0, \dots, n-1\}{0,…,n−1}. The spectral radius λ1(G)\lambda_1(G)λ1​(G) is the largest eigenvalue of the adjacency matrix AAA of GGG, the published platform definition specRad. The average degree is d(G)=2e(G)/nd(G) = 2e(G)/nd(G)=2e(G)/n, a real number.

A connected graph GGG on nnn vertices is a maximizer of λ1−d\lambda_1 - dλ1​−d (Lean: IsIrregMax G) if

λ1(G′)−d(G′)≤λ1(G)−d(G)for every connected graph G′ on the same n vertices.\lambda_1(G') - d(G') \le \lambda_1(G) - d(G) \quad \text{for every connected graph } G' \text{ on the same } n \text{ vertices.}λ1​(G′)−d(G′)≤λ1​(G)−d(G)for every connected graph G′ on the same n vertices.

The pineapple PA(p,q)PA(p,q)PA(p,q) (Lean: pineapple p q) has p+qp+qp+q vertices: the first ppp form a complete graph KpK_pKp​, and each of the other qqq vertices is a pendant vertex, adjacent only to the clique vertex 000. Stars (p≤2p \le 2p≤2) and complete graphs (q=0q = 0q=0) are degenerate pineapples.

The lemmas of the mission speak about the leading eigenvector v\mathbf vv of a maximizer GGG: a vector with Av=λ1vA\mathbf v = \lambda_1 \mathbf vAv=λ1​v, all entries positive, normalized so that its largest entry is 111. Such a vector exists by the Perron–Frobenius theorem because GGG is connected. xxx denotes a vertex with vx=1\mathbf v_x = 1vx​=1, dud_udu​ the degree of uuu, and N(x)N(x)N(x) the neighbourhood of xxx. Some statements carry a small parameter ε>0\varepsilon > 0ε>0, fixed before nnn.

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem 21

∃N ∀n≥N ∀G on n vertices:G maximizes λ1−d  ⟹  ∃ p,q, p+q=n, G≅PA(p,q).\exists N\ \forall n \ge N\ \forall G \text{ on } n \text{ vertices}:\quad G \text{ maximizes } \lambda_1 - d \;\Longrightarrow\; \exists\, p, q,\ p + q = n,\ G \cong PA(p,q).∃N ∀n≥N ∀G on n vertices:G maximizes λ1​−d⟹∃p,q, p+q=n, G≅PA(p,q).

The clique size ppp is left free. The optimal value p=⌈n/2⌉+1p = \lceil n/2\rceil + 1p=⌈n/2⌉+1 is determined by Aouchiche et al. by optimizing a cubic polynomial over pineapples; Tait and Tobin cite it and do not prove it, so it is not part of the goal.

Milestones, in the order of the proof

  1. Hong's inequality λ12≤2e(G)−(n−1)\lambda_1^2 \le 2e(G) - (n-1)λ12​≤2e(G)−(n−1) for connected GGG (cited, p. 14).
  2. The pineapple H=PA(⌈n/2⌉+1,⌊n/2⌋−1)H = PA(\lceil n/2\rceil+1, \lfloor n/2\rfloor-1)H=PA(⌈n/2⌉+1,⌊n/2⌋−1) has λ1(H)−2e(H)/n≥n/4−3/2\lambda_1(H) - 2e(H)/n \ge n/4 - 3/2λ1​(H)−2e(H)/n≥n/4−3/2 (p. 14).
  3. Lemma 16: λ1=n/2+c1n\lambda_1 = n/2 + c_1\sqrt nλ1​=n/2+c1​n​ and d=n/4+c2nd = n/4 + c_2\sqrt nd=n/4+c2​n​ with ∣c1∣,∣c2∣<1|c_1|, |c_2| < 1∣c1​∣,∣c2​∣<1.
  4. Lemma 17: 0≤1∣N(x)∣∑y∼x(dy−λ1vy)≤c3n0 \le \frac{1}{|N(x)|}\sum_{y\sim x}(d_y - \lambda_1\mathbf v_y) \le c_3\sqrt n0≤∣N(x)∣1​∑y∼x​(dy​−λ1​vy​)≤c3​n​.
  5. Lemma 18: a vertex u≠xu \ne xu=x with vu>1−2ε\mathbf v_u > 1 - 2\varepsilonvu​>1−2ε, du−λ1vu=O(n)d_u - \lambda_1\mathbf v_u = O(\sqrt n)du​−λ1​vu​=O(n​) and du≥(1/2−2ε)nd_u \ge (1/2 - 2\varepsilon)ndu​≥(1/2−2ε)n.
  6. Inequality (11): n/2+n+5≥vtv>n/2−2εn−O(n)n/2 + \sqrt n + 5 \ge \mathbf v^t\mathbf v > n/2 - 2\varepsilon n - O(\sqrt n)n/2+n​+5≥vtv>n/2−2εn−O(n​).
  7. Lemma 19 (corrected): vavb>1/2+n−1/2+5n−1\mathbf v_a\mathbf v_b > 1/2 + n^{-1/2} + 5n^{-1}va​vb​>1/2+n−1/2+5n−1 forces a∼ba \sim ba∼b; vavb<1/2−3ε\mathbf v_a\mathbf v_b < 1/2 - 3\varepsilonva​vb​<1/2−3ε forbids a∼ba \sim ba∼b when G−abG - abG−ab is connected.
  8. Every vertex other than a lone vertex of entry 111 is adjacent to a vertex of entry 111 (p. 18, corrected).
  9. Proposition 20: a partition U,V,WU, V, WU,V,W with UUU a clique of size about n/2n/2n/2 and entries near 111, VVV pendant vertices of entry below (2+ε)/n(2+\varepsilon)/n(2+ε)/n, and WWW vertices of entry near 1/21/21/2 adjacent only to UUU.
  10. W=∅W = \emptysetW=∅: GGG is a clique together with pendant vertices (pp. 20–21).

Significance

The result. Theorem 21 identifies the most spectrally irregular connected graphs for large nnn, confirming a conjecture that came from computer search and that had resisted the usual graph-transformation arguments. Combined with the cited optimization over pineapples, it gives the exact maximum of λ1−d\lambda_1 - dλ1​−d over connected nnn-vertex graphs for large nnn, which in turn bounds λ1\lambda_1λ1​ by ddd plus an explicit term for every connected graph. The intermediate statements, notably Lemma 19 which converts products of Perron entries into adjacency, are reusable in other spectral extremal problems over connected graphs.

Formalizing it. The theorem is proved on paper for large nnn; no machine-checked proof of it, or of Hong's inequality, is known. The formalization must make every "for nnn sufficiently large" and every O(n)O(\sqrt n)O(n​) explicit, and it repairs two statements that are false as printed (see Formalization scope). A small-nnn verification, or a proof for all nnn, would be further contributions.

Difficulty

The obvious approach is local improvement: given a non-pineapple, move an edge and show that λ1−d\lambda_1 - dλ1​−d increases. Each move changes both terms, by amounts of order vavb/vtv\mathbf v_a\mathbf v_b/\mathbf v^t\mathbf vva​vb​/vtv and 2/n2/n2/n respectively, and these are comparable; neither the sign of the change nor connectivity of the modified graph is under control without first knowing the global structure. The proof therefore needs the whole chain of asymptotic estimates: the size of λ1\lambda_1λ1​ and ddd, a second vertex of nearly maximal entry, the norm of the Perron vector, and only then the adjacency rules of Lemma 19. Every edge deletion must also keep the graph connected, since the maximum ranges over connected graphs.

Formalization scope

  • Vertices are Fin n; graphs are SimpleGraph (Fin n) with classical decidability. λ1\lambda_1λ1​ is the published WangKangXue.SpectralTuran.specRad, the largest eigenvalue of G.adjMatrix ℝ. ddd is avgDeg G = 2 · #edges / n in R\mathbb RR.
  • The maximum is over connected graphs on the same vertex set (IsIrregMax); dropping connectivity changes the problem.
  • The Perron vector enters as universally quantified hypotheses: any v with (G.adjMatrix ℝ).mulVec v = specRad G • v, all entries positive, all entries at most 111, and a vertex x with v x = 1. It is never quantified existentially.
  • "For nnn sufficiently large" is ∃ N, ∀ n ≥ N. Constants from O(n)O(\sqrt n)O(n​) and "a constant c3c_3c3​ not depending on nnn" are existentially quantified before NNN, nnn and GGG. In Lemma 18, inequality (11) and Lemma 19 the proof works for every ε>0\varepsilon > 0ε>0, which is universally quantified; Proposition 20 needs ε\varepsilonε small and is stated for 0<ε<ε00 < \varepsilon < \varepsilon_00<ε<ε0​.
  • ⌈n/2⌉\lceil n/2\rceil⌈n/2⌉ and ⌊n/2⌋\lfloor n/2\rfloor⌊n/2⌋ are the natural-number quotients (n+1)/2(n+1)/2(n+1)/2 and n/2n/2n/2; the pineapple lower bound assumes n≥2n \ge 2n≥2.
  • "GGG is a pineapple" is a graph isomorphism G ≃g pineapple p q with p+q=np + q = np+q=n. The pineapple is defined by its edges, clique plus pendants at one vertex; it is not defined by any property that the proof establishes, and the clique size is not pinned.
  • Two printed statements are corrected and the corrections are disclosed. Lemma 19's second half requires G−abG - abG−ab to be connected (without it, a pendant edge of the extremal pineapple is a counterexample), and both halves are for distinct vertices. The claim on p. 18 that every vertex has a neighbour of entry 111 excludes only a vertex that is the unique vertex of entry 111 (the hub of a pineapple is the exception). Lemma 17's summand is (dy−λ1vy)(d_y - \lambda_1\mathbf v_y)(dy​−λ1​vy​), as in its proof.
  • A trivializing formalization is ruled out: the class is connected graphs, extremality is the hypothesis rather than a consequence, the eigenvector is universally quantified, constants do not depend on nnn, and the clique size is free. A maximizer exists for every n≥1n \ge 1n≥1, so the goal is not vacuous.
  • Needed infrastructure: Perron–Frobenius for connected graphs, the Rayleigh-quotient characterization of λ1\lambda_1λ1​, Cauchy interlacing (or monotonicity of λ1\lambda_1λ1​ under subgraphs), and Hong's inequality. These are reusable well beyond this mission, and contributions of any of them are welcome.

Selected references

  • M. Tait and J. Tobin, Three conjectures in extremal spectral graph theory, J. Combin. Theory Ser. B (2017); arXiv:1606.01916v2. https://arxiv.org/abs/1606.01916
  • M. Aouchiche, F. K. Bell, D. Cvetković, P. Hansen, P. Rowlinson, S. K. Simić and D. Stevanović, Variable neighborhood search for extremal graphs. 16. Some conjectures related to the largest eigenvalue of a graph, European J. Oper. Res. 191(3) (2008) 661–676. (Reference [3] of Tait–Tobin.)
  • Y. Hong, A bound on the spectral radius of graphs, Linear Algebra Appl. 108 (1988) 135–139. (Reference [37].)
  • F. K. Bell, A note on the irregularity of graphs, Linear Algebra Appl. 161 (1992) 45–54. (Reference [5].)
  • M. O. Albertson, The irregularity of a graph, Ars Combin. 46 (1997) 219–225. (Reference [1].)
  • V. Nikiforov, Eigenvalues and degree deviation in graphs, Linear Algebra Appl. 414(1) (2006) 347–360. (Reference [26].)
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Control TheoryOptimizationProbability+1·Captain: mikedeng1

Open-Loop and Closed-Loop Solvabilities for Stochastic Linear Quadratic Optimal Control Problems 1: The Cost Is Uniformly Convex iff the Riccati Equation Has a Strongly Regular SolutionResearch Paper

Motivation

The stochastic linear quadratic (LQ) optimal control problem asks to steer a linear stochastic differential equation by a control so as to minimize a quadratic cost. It is the basic model of stochastic control: Wonham studied it in 1968 (Wonham 1968), and it is the model on which feedback design, mean-field control and LQ differential games are built (Yong–Zhou 1999).

Classically the cost weights are assumed nonnegative and the control weight RRR uniformly positive definite, the standard conditions (1.4). Under them the Riccati equation has a unique solution and the optimal control is a linear state feedback. A stochastic problem can however be well posed when RRR is indefinite, because the diffusion term also penalizes the control.

Timeline:

  • 1998: Chen, Li and Zhou observe that a stochastic LQ problem can be solvable with an indefinite RRR (SIAM J. Control Optim. 36).
  • 2002: Ait Rami, Moore and Zhou introduce a generalized Riccati equation with a pseudoinverse and algebraic constraints (SIAM J. Control Optim. 40).
  • 2014: Sun and Yong prove that closed-loop solvability is equivalent to the existence of a regular solution of that Riccati equation (SIAM J. Control Optim. 52).
  • 2016: Sun, Li and Yong characterize strongly regular solvability by the uniform convexity of the cost functional (SIAM J. Control Optim. 54, Theorem 4.5). This mission is that theorem.

Setting

A probability space (Ω,F,P)(\Omega,\mathcal F,\mathbb P)(Ω,F,P) carries a standard one-dimensional Brownian motion WWW. Its natural filtration, augmented by the P\mathbb PP-null sets, is F\mathbb FF. Fix a horizon T>0T>0T>0 and deterministic coefficients A,C∈Rn×nA,C\in\mathbb R^{n\times n}A,C∈Rn×n, B,D∈Rn×mB,D\in\mathbb R^{n\times m}B,D∈Rn×m, weights Q∈SnQ\in\mathbb S^nQ∈Sn, S∈Rm×nS\in\mathbb R^{m\times n}S∈Rm×n, R∈SmR\in\mathbb S^mR∈Sm (functions of time) and G∈SnG\in\mathbb S^nG∈Sn. The admissible controls U[t,T]\mathcal U[t,T]U[t,T] are the F\mathbb FF-progressively measurable processes uuu with E∫tT∣u∣2ds<∞\mathbb E\int_t^T|u|^2ds<\inftyE∫tT​∣u∣2ds<∞. The state from the initial pair (t,x)(t,x)(t,x) solves

dX=(AX+Bu+b) ds+(CX+Du+σ) dW,X(t)=x,dX=(AX+Bu+b)\,ds+(CX+Du+\sigma)\,dW,\qquad X(t)=x,dX=(AX+Bu+b)ds+(CX+Du+σ)dW,X(t)=x,

and the cost is

J(t,x;u)=E{⟨GX(T),X(T)⟩+2⟨g,X(T)⟩+∫tT[⟨QX,X⟩+2⟨SX,u⟩+⟨Ru,u⟩+2⟨q,X⟩+2⟨ρ,u⟩]ds}.J(t,x;u)=\mathbb E\Big\{\langle GX(T),X(T)\rangle+2\langle g,X(T)\rangle+\int_t^T\big[\langle QX,X\rangle+2\langle SX,u\rangle+\langle Ru,u\rangle+2\langle q,X\rangle+2\langle\rho,u\rangle\big]ds\Big\}.J(t,x;u)=E{⟨GX(T),X(T)⟩+2⟨g,X(T)⟩+∫tT​[⟨QX,X⟩+2⟨SX,u⟩+⟨Ru,u⟩+2⟨q,X⟩+2⟨ρ,u⟩]ds}.

Standing assumptions (H1)–(H2): A∈L1A\in L^1A∈L1, B,C∈L2B,C\in L^2B,C∈L2, D∈L∞D\in L^\inftyD∈L∞, Q∈L1Q\in L^1Q∈L1, S∈L2S\in L^2S∈L2, R∈L∞R\in L^\inftyR∈L∞ on (0,T)(0,T)(0,T), and square-integrability of the random terms b,σ,q,ρ,gb,\sigma,q,\rho,gb,σ,q,ρ,g. No sign condition is imposed on GGG, QQQ or RRR. The homogeneous problem (SLQ)0^00 sets b,σ,g,q,ρ=0b,\sigma,g,q,\rho=0b,σ,g,q,ρ=0; its cost is J0J^0J0.

The map u↦J0(0,0;u)u\mapsto J^0(0,0;u)u↦J0(0,0;u) is uniformly convex if, for some λ>0\lambda>0λ>0,

J0(0,0;u) ≥ λ E∫0T∣u(s)∣2ds∀u∈U[0,T].(4.2)J^0(0,0;u)\ \ge\ \lambda\,\mathbb E\int_0^T|u(s)|^2ds\qquad\forall u\in\mathcal U[0,T].\qquad(4.2)J0(0,0;u) ≥ λE∫0T​∣u(s)∣2ds∀u∈U[0,T].(4.2)

With ΣP=R+D⊤PD\Sigma_P=R+D^\top PDΣP​=R+D⊤PD and KP=B⊤P+D⊤PC+SK_P=B^\top P+D^\top PC+SKP​=B⊤P+D⊤PC+S, the Riccati equation is

P˙+PA+A⊤P+C⊤PC+Q−KP⊤ΣP†KP=0,P(T)=G,(4.6)\dot P+PA+A^\top P+C^\top PC+Q-K_P^\top\Sigma_P^\dagger K_P=0,\qquad P(T)=G,\qquad(4.6)P˙+PA+A⊤P+C⊤PC+Q−KP⊤​ΣP†​KP​=0,P(T)=G,(4.6)

with †\dagger† the Moore–Penrose pseudoinverse. A solution P∈C([0,T];Sn)P\in C([0,T];\mathbb S^n)P∈C([0,T];Sn) is strongly regular if ΣP≥λI\Sigma_P\ge\lambda IΣP​≥λI a.e. for some λ>0\lambda>0λ>0 (4.10).

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem 4.5

∃λ>0: J0(0,0;u)≥λ E ⁣∫0T ⁣∣u∣2ds  ∀u∈U[0,T]  ⟺  (4.6) admits a strongly regular solution.\exists\lambda>0:\ J^0(0,0;u)\ge\lambda\,\mathbb E\!\int_0^T\!|u|^2ds\ \ \forall u\in\mathcal U[0,T]\iff(4.6)\text{ admits a strongly regular solution.}∃λ>0: J0(0,0;u)≥λE∫0T​∣u∣2ds  ∀u∈U[0,T]⟺(4.6) admits a strongly regular solution.

The goal fixes no constant: the λ\lambdaλ on each side is existential.

Milestones

  1. Lemma 2.2: the cost of a feedback control ΘX+u\Theta X+uΘX+u, written through the solution of a Lyapunov equation.
  2. Lemma 2.3: u↦u−ΘX(u)u\mapsto u-\Theta X^{(u)}u↦u−ΘX(u) is bounded below, E∫∣u−ΘX(u)∣2≥γ E∫∣u∣2\mathbb E\int|u-\Theta X^{(u)}|^2\ge\gamma\,\mathbb E\int|u|^2E∫∣u−ΘX(u)∣2≥γE∫∣u∣2.
  3. Proposition 4.1: uniform convexity gives unique open-loop solvability and V0(t,x)≥α∣x∣2V^0(t,x)\ge\alpha|x|^2V0(t,x)≥α∣x∣2.
  4. Proposition 4.4: every Lyapunov solution satisfies R+D⊤PD≥λIR+D^\top PD\ge\lambda IR+D⊤PD≥λI and P≥αIP\ge\alpha IP≥αI, with the same λ,α\lambda,\alphaλ,α.
  5. (4.20) and the monotonicity P1≥Pi≥Pi+1≥αIP_1\ge P_i\ge P_{i+1}\ge\alpha IP1​≥Pi​≥Pi+1​≥αI of the iteration (4.18)–(4.19).
  6. Uniform convergence of the iteration to a strongly regular solution.
  7. The completion of squares J0(0,0;u)=E∫⟨ΣP(u−ΘX(u)),u−ΘX(u)⟩dsJ^0(0,0;u)=\mathbb E\int\langle\Sigma_P(u-\Theta X^{(u)}),u-\Theta X^{(u)}\rangle dsJ0(0,0;u)=E∫⟨ΣP​(u−ΘX(u)),u−ΘX(u)⟩ds.

Companion items: Remark 4.6 (the same λ\lambdaλ bounds ΣP\Sigma_PΣP​), the well-posedness of the state equation and the cost (Sun–Yong 2014, Proposition 2.1), and Proposition 3.5 (the standard conditions (1.4) imply uniform convexity).

Significance

Theorem 4.5 gives a checkable sufficient condition for the classical structure of LQ control: under (4.2) the Riccati equation has a solution whose gain matrix R+D⊤PDR+D^\top PDR+D⊤PD is uniformly positive definite, so the optimal control is a state feedback with an invertible gain. It covers indefinite weights, and Proposition 3.5 shows that it contains the classical case (1.4). Combined with Sun–Yong's equivalence it yields Corollary 4.7, the feedback representation of the open-loop optimal control, which later missions of this series use.

The results are proved in the paper. As far as is known they have no machine-checked proof. Formalizing them requires stochastic calculus for controlled SDEs (Itô's formula for quadratic forms of a state process) linked to matrix ODE theory. The definitions this mission fixes (the LQ problem, the Riccati and Lyapunov equations with a pseudoinverse) can be reused by the other missions of the series and by any stochastic LQ formalization.

Difficulty

The direction (ii) ⇒ (i) is a completion of squares followed by Lemma 2.3. Lemma 2.3 is not obvious: it asserts a bounded inverse for an operator defined through an SDE.

The direction (i) ⇒ (ii) is the hard one. The obvious approach would solve (4.6) directly, but (4.6) is nonlinear and its coefficient ΣP†\Sigma_P^\daggerΣP†​ may be singular. No sign condition gives a priori bounds. The paper instead builds a policy-iteration sequence of linear Lyapunov equations. The difficulty is to show that every iterate keeps R+D⊤PiD≥λIR+D^\top P_iD\ge\lambda IR+D⊤Pi​D≥λI, so that the next gain is defined, and stays bounded below. These bounds come from the cost functional (Proposition 4.4), not from the matrix equation. Uniform convergence of the iterates then needs integrable estimates under the weak integrability of (H1).

Formalization scope

  • Basis. The paper's (Ω,F,P,W)(\Omega,\mathcal F,\mathbb P,W)(Ω,F,P,W) is a probability measure with a standard Brownian motion IsStdBrownian (Mathlib's IsBrownianReal per coordinate, published module Peng1990.SMP.Stochastic). F\mathbb FF is augmentedFiltration (published ReflectedBSDE.Existence.Setting).
  • State and cost. The state from (t,x)(t,x)(t,x) is an Itô solution from time 000 whose coefficients are switched on at ttt, with continuous paths and Esup⁡∣X∣2<∞\mathbb E\sup|X|^2<\inftyEsup∣X∣2<∞. JJJ is evaluated along a chosen solution, which is unique; the item state_wellposed poses existence, uniqueness and integrability of the cost. Expectations are Bochner integrals, and ∣u∣2|u|^2∣u∣2 is the Euclidean u⋅uu\cdot uu⋅u.
  • Integrability and values. LpL^pLp conditions on matrix functions are entrywise. The diffusion coefficients C,DC,DC,D are taken Borel measurable on [0,∞)[0,\infty)[0,∞) (a measurable representative of their class), so that the Itô integrand CX+Du+σCX+Du+\sigmaCX+Du+σ of (1.1) is progressively measurable. VVV is an EReal infimum over admissible controls.
  • Matrix ODEs. The Riccati and Lyapunov equations are in integral form: continuous symmetric PPP, an integrable right-hand side, and P(t)=G+∫tTF(s,P(s))dsP(t)=G+\int_t^TF(s,P(s))dsP(t)=G+∫tT​F(s,P(s))ds. The pseudoinverse is the published HarmonicGames.Decomposition.pinv. Where the paper prints (⋅)−1(\cdot)^{-1}(⋅)−1 ((4.19), p. 2290) Lean's matrix inverse is used; it is invertible there by R+D⊤PD≥λIR+D^\top PD\ge\lambda IR+D⊤PD≥λI.
  • The iteration. The sequence of milestones 5–6 is given by hypotheses: P0P_0P0​ solves (4.18) and Pi+1P_{i+1}Pi+1​ the Lyapunov equation of Θi\Theta_iΘi​. Lyapunov solutions are unique, so this is the paper's sequence.
  • Constants. λ\lambdaλ and α\alphaα in Proposition 4.4 and Remark 4.6 are the constants of (4.2) and (4.1), passed as parameters.

Ruling out trivial forms. Uniform convexity is not defined through the operator M2(0)M_2(0)M2​(0) of (3.8), and strong regularity includes the integral Riccati equation. A formalization that drops the Riccati equation, or reads uniform convexity off a matrix condition, is a different theorem. No positivity of GGG, QQQ or RRR is assumed anywhere except in Proposition 3.5, whose hypothesis (1.4) is exactly that.

Contributions welcome: Itô's formula for ⟨P(s)X(s),X(s)⟩\langle P(s)X(s),X(s)\rangle⟨P(s)X(s),X(s)⟩ with a C1C^1C1 (or absolutely continuous) matrix PPP; existence and uniqueness for linear SDEs with L1/L2L^1/L^2L1/L2 coefficients; existence and uniqueness for linear matrix ODEs; the Penrose identities for pinv.

Selected references

  • J. Sun, X. Li, J. Yong, Open-Loop and Closed-Loop Solvabilities for Stochastic Linear Quadratic Optimal Control Problems, SIAM J. Control Optim. 54 (2016), 2274–2308. https://doi.org/10.1137/15M103532X
  • J. Sun, J. Yong, Linear Quadratic Stochastic Differential Games: Open-Loop and Closed-Loop Saddle Points, SIAM J. Control Optim. 52 (2014), 4082–4121. https://doi.org/10.1137/140953642
  • M. Ait Rami, J. B. Moore, X. Y. Zhou, Indefinite Stochastic Linear Quadratic Control and Generalized Differential Riccati Equation, SIAM J. Control Optim. 40 (2002), 1296–1311. https://doi.org/10.1137/S0363012900371083
  • S. Chen, X. Li, X. Y. Zhou, Stochastic Linear Quadratic Regulators with Indefinite Control Weight Costs, SIAM J. Control Optim. 36 (1998), 1685–1702. https://doi.org/10.1137/S0363012996310478
  • W. M. Wonham, On a Matrix Riccati Equation of Stochastic Control, SIAM J. Control 6 (1968), 681–697. https://doi.org/10.1137/0306044
  • J. Yong, X. Y. Zhou, Stochastic Controls: Hamiltonian Systems and HJB Equations, Springer, 1999. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-1-4612-1466-3
14 thms1 active userReviewed
Control TheoryOptimizationProbability+1·Captain: mikedeng1

Open-Loop and Closed-Loop Solvabilities for Stochastic Linear Quadratic Optimal Control Problems 2: Finiteness Holds iff the Regularized Riccati Solutions P_ε(0) Are Bounded BelowResearch Paper

Motivation

Linear–quadratic (LQ) optimal control is the basic test case of stochastic control: a linear stochastic differential equation, a quadratic cost, and a value function that one expects to be a quadratic form in the initial state. In the indefinite stochastic case the weighting matrices GGG, QQQ, RRR carry no sign condition, and the classical picture breaks down. Without a sign condition the infimum of the cost can be −∞-\infty−∞. Before one can ask whether an optimal control exists, one has to ask whether the problem is finite, i.e. whether its value function stays above −∞-\infty−∞.

Sun, Li and Yong (SIAM J. Control Optim. 54 (2016) 2274–2308) separate the notions of finiteness, convexity, open-loop and closed-loop solvability for this problem. This mission covers their Section 5. Section 5 characterizes finiteness of the homogeneous problem by a family of regularized Riccati equations, and Example 5.2 shows that convexity of the cost alone is not enough.

Timeline. Chen, Li and Zhou (SIAM J. Control Optim. 36 (1998)) introduced indefinite stochastic LQ problems. Ait Rami, Moore and Zhou (SIAM J. Control Optim. 40 (2002)) introduced the generalized Riccati equation with a pseudoinverse. Sun and Yong (SIAM J. Control Optim. 52 (2014)) characterized closed-loop solvability by regular solutions of that equation. In 2016 Sun, Li and Yong characterized uniform convexity by strongly regular solutions, and finiteness by the limit of the regularized solutions treated here.

Setting

Fix a horizon T>0T>0T>0 and a probability space carrying a one-dimensional standard Brownian motion WWW, with F\mathbb FF the augmented natural filtration of WWW. For an initial pair (t,x)∈[0,T)×Rn(t,x)\in[0,T)\times\mathbb R^n(t,x)∈[0,T)×Rn and an admissible control u∈U[t,T]u\in\mathcal U[t,T]u∈U[t,T], an F\mathbb FF-progressively measurable Rm\mathbb R^mRm-valued process with E∫tT∣u∣2ds<∞\mathbb E\int_t^T|u|^2ds<\inftyE∫tT​∣u∣2ds<∞, the state solves

dX=(AX+Bu+b) ds+(CX+Du+σ) dW,X(t)=x.dX=(AX+Bu+b)\,ds+(CX+Du+\sigma)\,dW,\qquad X(t)=x .dX=(AX+Bu+b)ds+(CX+Du+σ)dW,X(t)=x.

The cost is

J(t,x;u)=E[⟨GX(T),X(T)⟩+2⟨g,X(T)⟩+∫tT(⟨QX,X⟩+2⟨SX,u⟩+⟨Ru,u⟩+2⟨q,X⟩+2⟨ρ,u⟩)ds].J(t,x;u)=\mathbb E\Big[\langle GX(T),X(T)\rangle+2\langle g,X(T)\rangle+\int_t^T\big(\langle QX,X\rangle+2\langle SX,u\rangle+\langle Ru,u\rangle+2\langle q,X\rangle+2\langle\rho,u\rangle\big)ds\Big].J(t,x;u)=E[⟨GX(T),X(T)⟩+2⟨g,X(T)⟩+∫tT​(⟨QX,X⟩+2⟨SX,u⟩+⟨Ru,u⟩+2⟨q,X⟩+2⟨ρ,u⟩)ds].

The coefficients A,B,C,D,Q,S,RA,B,C,D,Q,S,RA,B,C,D,Q,S,R and GGG are deterministic, and b,σ,q,ρ,gb,\sigma,q,\rho,gb,σ,q,ρ,g are random; the integrability conditions are (H1)–(H2). The value function is V(t,x)=inf⁡uJ(t,x;u)∈[−∞,∞)V(t,x)=\inf_{u}J(t,x;u)\in[-\infty,\infty)V(t,x)=infu​J(t,x;u)∈[−∞,∞). Problem (SLQ)0^00 is the case b,σ,g,q,ρ=0b,\sigma,g,q,\rho=0b,σ,g,q,ρ=0; its cost and value are J0J^0J0 and V0V^0V0. The problem is finite at ttt if V(t,x)>−∞V(t,x)>-\inftyV(t,x)>−∞ for all xxx, and finite if this holds for every t∈[0,T]t\in[0,T]t∈[0,T].

Write Σε(P)=R+εI+D⊤PD\Sigma_\varepsilon(P)=R+\varepsilon I+D^\top PDΣε​(P)=R+εI+D⊤PD and K(P)=B⊤P+D⊤PC+SK(P)=B^\top P+D^\top PC+SK(P)=B⊤P+D⊤PC+S. The regularized Riccati equation (5.7) is

P˙ε+PεA+A⊤Pε+C⊤PεC+Q−K(Pε)⊤Σε(Pε)−1K(Pε)=0,Pε(T)=G.\dot P_\varepsilon+P_\varepsilon A+A^\top P_\varepsilon+C^\top P_\varepsilon C+Q-K(P_\varepsilon)^\top\Sigma_\varepsilon(P_\varepsilon)^{-1}K(P_\varepsilon)=0,\qquad P_\varepsilon(T)=G .P˙ε​+Pε​A+A⊤Pε​+C⊤Pε​C+Q−K(Pε​)⊤Σε​(Pε​)−1K(Pε​)=0,Pε​(T)=G.

A solution is strongly regular if Σε(Pε)≥λI\Sigma_\varepsilon(P_\varepsilon)\ge\lambda IΣε​(Pε​)≥λI a.e. for some λ>0\lambda>0λ>0. Further, M0M_0M0​ solves the Lyapunov equation (3.2), M˙0+M0A+A⊤M0+C⊤M0C+Q=0\dot M_0+M_0A+A^\top M_0+C^\top M_0C+Q=0M˙0​+M0​A+A⊤M0​+C⊤M0​C+Q=0, M0(T)=GM_0(T)=GM0​(T)=G, and ΦA\Phi_AΦA​ solves Φ˙A=AΦA\dot\Phi_A=A\Phi_AΦ˙A​=AΦA​, ΦA(0)=I\Phi_A(0)=IΦA​(0)=I. The comparison function is

N(t)=[ΦA(t)⊤]−1{P(0)−∫0tΦA⊤(C⊤M0C+Q)ΦA ds}ΦA(t)−1.N(t)=[\Phi_A(t)^\top]^{-1}\Big\{P(0)-\int_0^t\Phi_A^\top(C^\top M_0C+Q)\Phi_A\,ds\Big\}\Phi_A(t)^{-1}.N(t)=[ΦA​(t)⊤]−1{P(0)−∫0t​ΦA⊤​(C⊤M0​C+Q)ΦA​ds}ΦA​(t)−1.

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem 5.3

Assume (H1)–(H2) and (5.6): J0(0,0;u)≥0J^0(0,0;u)\ge0J0(0,0;u)≥0 for all u∈U[0,T]u\in\mathcal U[0,T]u∈U[0,T]. For every ε>0\varepsilon>0ε>0, let PεP_\varepsilonPε​ be the strongly regular solution of (5.7). Then

(SLQ)0 is finite  ⟺  ∃β∈R  ∀ε>0: Pε(0)≥βI.\text{(SLQ)}^0\ \text{is finite}\iff\exists\beta\in\mathbb R\ \ \forall\varepsilon>0:\ P_\varepsilon(0)\ge\beta I .(SLQ)0 is finite⟺∃β∈R  ∀ε>0: Pε​(0)≥βI.

In this case P(t)=lim⁡ε↓0Pε(t)P(t)=\lim_{\varepsilon\downarrow0}P_\varepsilon(t)P(t)=limε↓0​Pε​(t) exists for every t∈[0,T]t\in[0,T]t∈[0,T], and

V0(t,x)=⟨P(t)x,x⟩,R+D⊤PD≥0 a.e.,N(t)≤P(t)≤M0(t).V^0(t,x)=\langle P(t)x,x\rangle,\qquad R+D^\top PD\ge0\ \text{a.e.},\qquad N(t)\le P(t)\le M_0(t).V0(t,x)=⟨P(t)x,x⟩,R+D⊤PD≥0 a.e.,N(t)≤P(t)≤M0​(t).

In particular, finiteness at t=0t=0t=0 implies finiteness.

Milestones

  1. Proposition 5.1: (i) ⇒ (ii) ⇒ (iii) ⇒ (iv) and (v) ⇒ (ii). The statements relate finiteness of (SLQ) and (SLQ)0^00, a quadratic V0V^0V0, convexity of JJJ, and P[t,T]≠∅\mathcal P[t,T]\ne\emptysetP[t,T]=∅.
  2. Remark 4.8: under uniform convexity, V0(t,x)=⟨P(t)x,x⟩V^0(t,x)=\langle P(t)x,x\rangleV0(t,x)=⟨P(t)x,x⟩ with PPP the strongly regular solution.
  3. (5.8): R+εI+D⊤PεD≥εIR+\varepsilon I+D^\top P_\varepsilon D\ge\varepsilon IR+εI+D⊤Pε​D≥εI a.e.
  4. (5.13): Pε2(t)≥Pε1(t)≥P(t)P_{\varepsilon_2}(t)\ge P_{\varepsilon_1}(t)\ge P(t)Pε2​​(t)≥Pε1​​(t)≥P(t) for ε2>ε1>0\varepsilon_2>\varepsilon_1>0ε2​>ε1​>0, and the limit Pˉ(t)=lim⁡ε↓0Pε(t)\bar P(t)=\lim_{\varepsilon\downarrow0}P_\varepsilon(t)Pˉ(t)=limε↓0​Pε​(t) exists with Pˉ(t)≥P(t)\bar P(t)\ge P(t)Pˉ(t)≥P(t).
  5. (5.16): Pε(t)≤M0(t)P_\varepsilon(t)\le M_0(t)Pε​(t)≤M0​(t).
  6. (5.15) and (5.17): P(0)≤Pε(0)P(0)\le P_\varepsilon(0)P(0)≤Pε​(0), and J0(t,x;u)≥⟨N(t)x,x⟩J^0(t,x;u)\ge\langle N(t)x,x\rangleJ0(t,x;u)≥⟨N(t)x,x⟩.

Companions

Theorem 5.6 states the converse of Remark 4.8. Theorem 5.7 gives six equivalent conditions when D=0D=0D=0 and R≫0R\gg0R≫0. Example 5.2 is a problem whose cost is convex but which is not finite. Corollary 5.4 gives a Lyapunov-type sufficient condition for finiteness.

Significance

The result. Theorem 5.3 turns finiteness, a statement about an infimum over an infinite-dimensional space of controls, into a lower bound on a one-parameter family of matrices. Each matrix in the family solves a well-posed Riccati equation. The theorem also says that the value function of a finite homogeneous problem is a quadratic form whose matrix is the monotone limit of PεP_\varepsilonPε​. It shows that this limit satisfies the regularity condition (5.10) and sits between two explicit bounds. Section 6 of the paper builds on the same regularization to construct minimizing sequences. Theorem 5.7 shows that in the case D=0D=0D=0, R≫0R\gg0R≫0, finiteness already forces unique closed-loop solvability.

Formalizing it. The result has been proved on paper since 2016; nothing in this mission is open mathematics. As far as is known, no part of indefinite stochastic LQ theory has been machine-checked, and Lean/Mathlib has no stochastic LQ problem, no matrix Riccati equation and no fundamental-matrix theory for time-varying linear ODEs. The mission produces faithful statements of the theorem, its proof steps and its companions on top of a reusable problem layer, as targets for complete formal proofs.

Difficulty

The naive argument fails at the interchange of the limit ε→0\varepsilon\to0ε→0 with the infimum over controls. Monotonicity in ε\varepsilonε gives a limit Pˉ(t)≥P(t)\bar P(t)\ge P(t)Pˉ(t)≥P(t) directly. The reverse inequality needs near-optimal controls whose L2L^2L2 norm may blow up, so it has to be organized carefully. The sufficiency direction needs more than the bound at t=0t=0t=0. Finiteness at later times is recovered through the comparison function N(t)N(t)N(t), which combines the fundamental matrix ΦA\Phi_AΦA​ with the Lyapunov solution M0M_0M0​. Example 5.2 rules out the tempting shortcut: under (5.6) the cost is convex, yet V0(0,x)=−∞V^0(0,x)=-\inftyV0(0,x)=−∞ for all x≠0x\ne0x=0. Every step also rests on stochastic calculus (Itô's formula for ⟨PX,X⟩\langle PX,X\rangle⟨PX,X⟩, well-posedness of the state equation) and on the representation of the value through the Riccati equation (Theorems 4.3 and 4.5, cited here).

Formalization scope

The problem layer is shared by the four missions of this series: SLQSolv.Finite.Setting and SLQSolv.Finite.Riccati. It builds on the published Itô-calculus and SDE layer Peng1990.SMP.Stochastic, the augmented Brownian filtration of ReflectedBSDE.Existence.Setting, and the Moore–Penrose pseudoinverse HarmonicGames.Decomposition.pinv. The layer commits to these conventions:

  • time is ℝ≥0, vectors are Fin k → ℝ, and ∣u∣2|u|^2∣u∣2 is the dot product u⋅uu\cdot uu⋅u;
  • the state from (t,x)(t,x)(t,x) is an SDE solution from time 0 with coefficients switched on at ttt, with continuous paths and a finite second moment of the supremum; the cost uses this (unique) solution;
  • VVV and V0V^0V0 take values in EReal, so V=−∞V=-\inftyV=−∞ is ⊥ and finiteness is ⊥ < V;
  • matrix ODEs (Riccati, Lyapunov, (5.12)) are in integral form on [t0,T][t_0,T][t0​,T]; the Riccati equation uses the pseudoinverse, which equals the printed inverse on strongly regular solutions;
  • matrix inequalities are Loewner inequalities (PosSemidef of the difference), and LpL^pLp conditions on matrix coefficients are entrywise;
  • "bounded from below" means one scalar β\betaβ with Pε(0)≥βIP_\varepsilon(0)\ge\beta IPε​(0)≥βI for all ε>0\varepsilon>0ε>0; the limit is ε↓0\varepsilon\downarrow0ε↓0;
  • PεP_\varepsilonPε​, M0M_0M0​, ΦA\Phi_AΦA​ are hypotheses pinned by their defining equations, each with a unique solution; the limit PPP is a conclusion, not a hypothesis.

A formalization in which "bounded from below" allows β\betaβ to depend on ε\varepsilonε, or in which finiteness is checked on J0J^0J0 at a fixed control rather than on V0V^0V0, would trivialize the theorem and is excluded.

A complete development needs several pieces, all reusable beyond this mission:

  • Itô's formula for quadratic forms of linear SDEs;
  • existence and uniqueness for linear SDEs with LpL^pLp coefficients;
  • existence, uniqueness and invertibility for time-varying linear matrix ODEs;
  • continuity of the pseudoinverse on uniformly positive matrices;
  • the strongly regular solvability theorem (Theorem 4.5, the goal of mission 1 of this series).

Contributions to any of them are welcome.

Selected references

  • J. Sun, X. Li, J. Yong, Open-loop and closed-loop solvabilities for stochastic linear quadratic optimal control problems, SIAM J. Control Optim. 54 (2016) 2274–2308. https://doi.org/10.1137/15M103532X
  • J. Sun, J. Yong, Linear quadratic stochastic differential games: open-loop and closed-loop saddle points, SIAM J. Control Optim. 52 (2014) 4082–4121. https://doi.org/10.1137/140953642
  • M. Ait Rami, J. B. Moore, X. Y. Zhou, Indefinite stochastic linear quadratic control and generalized differential Riccati equation, SIAM J. Control Optim. 40 (2002) 1296–1311. https://doi.org/10.1137/S0363012900371083
  • S. Chen, X. Li, X. Y. Zhou, Stochastic linear quadratic regulators with indefinite control weight costs, SIAM J. Control Optim. 36 (1998) 1685–1702. https://doi.org/10.1137/S0363012996310478
  • J. Yong, X. Y. Zhou, Stochastic Controls: Hamiltonian Systems and HJB Equations, Springer, 1999. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-1-4612-1466-3
15 thms1 active userReviewed
Algorithmic Game TheoryEconomicsOperations Research+1·Captain: mikedeng1

Dynamic Pricing in the Presence of Social Learning and Strategic Consumers 1: Under Pre-Announced Pricing, Social Learning Raises Optimal Expected Profit When Consumers Are Impatient or PatientResearch Paper

Motivation

Online reviews let consumers learn about a new product from the experience of earlier buyers. For a firm selling to strategic consumers, who time their purchases, this social learning (SL) cuts two ways. Reviews reveal quality, which can raise second-period demand; but a consumer who expects reviews also has a new reason to wait, and every consumer who waits writes no review. Papanastasiou and Savva (Management Science 63(4), 2017) build a two-period model in which both forces are endogenous and ask whether a monopolist that commits to its prices in advance is better or worse off when consumers learn from one another.

The benchmark without learning is the classical intertemporal pricing problem with strategic consumers (Landsberger and Meilijson, 1985), whose optimal pre-announced plan is a decreasing price path. This mission formalizes the paper's answer for pre-announced pricing: its Proposition 3.

Setting

A unit mass of consumers has preference types xxx uniform on [0,1][0,1][0,1]. A product of unknown mean quality q^\hat qq^​ is sold over two periods. Buying in period ttt gives type xxx the utility δct−1(x+q−pt)\delta_c^{t-1}(x+q-p_t)δct−1​(x+q−pt​), where δc∈[0,1]\delta_c\in[0,1]δc​∈[0,1] is the consumers' discount factor and qqq the perceived quality. The firm has unit cost c∈[0,1)c\in[0,1)c∈[0,1) and does not discount.

Everyone shares the prior q^∼N(0,σp2)\hat q\sim N(0,\sigma_p^2)q^​∼N(0,σp2​). Individual quality perceptions are N(q^,σq2)N(\hat q,\sigma_q^2)N(q^​,σq2​), and γ=σp2/σq2\gamma=\sigma_p^2/\sigma_q^2γ=σp2​/σq2​ is the SL influence parameter. If a mass n1n_1n1​ buys in period 1 and posts reviews, the posterior mean is qu=n1γn1γ+1Rq_u=\tfrac{n_1\gamma}{n_1\gamma+1}Rqu​=n1​γ+1n1​γ​R, where RRR is the average rating. Seen from period 1, quq_uqu​ is random, with the pre-posterior law

qu∼N ⁣(0, σp2 n1γn1γ+1).q_u\sim N\!\left(0,\ \sigma_p^2\,\frac{n_1\gamma}{n_1\gamma+1}\right).qu​∼N(0, σp2​n1​γ+1n1​γ​).

Under pre-announced pricing the firm commits to a plan {p1,p2}\{p_1,p_2\}{p1​,p2​}. Consumers then play a purchasing game. A set B⊆[0,1]B\subseteq[0,1]B⊆[0,1] of early buyers is an equilibrium if every type in BBB weakly prefers buying now, x−p1≥0x-p_1\ge 0x−p1​≥0 and x−p1≥δc E[(x+qu−p2)+]x-p_1\ge\delta_c\,\mathbb E[(x+q_u-p_2)^+]x−p1​≥δc​E[(x+qu​−p2​)+], and every other type weakly prefers to wait. Here quq_uqu​ has the pre-posterior law for n1=∣B∣n_1=|B|n1​=∣B∣. In period 2 the remaining types buy iff x+qu≥p2x+q_u\ge p_2x+qu​≥p2​. The firm's expected profit is

πp(p1,p2;B)=(p1−c) ∣B∣+(p2−c) E[ ∣{x∈[0,1]∖B: x+qu≥p2}∣ ],\pi_p(p_1,p_2;B)=(p_1-c)\,|B|+(p_2-c)\,\mathbb E\big[\,|\{x\in[0,1]\setminus B:\ x+q_u\ge p_2\}|\,\big],πp​(p1​,p2​;B)=(p1​−c)∣B∣+(p2​−c)E[∣{x∈[0,1]∖B: x+qu​≥p2​}∣],

and the optimal pre-announced profit πp∗\pi_p^*πp∗​ is its supremum over all plans and all their equilibria. Absence of SL is the same model at γ=0\gamma=0γ=0, where qu≡0q_u\equiv 0qu​≡0.

Formalization targets

Goal: Proposition 3

For γ>0\gamma>0γ>0 there are thresholds Δlp(γ)∈(0,1]\Delta_{lp}(\gamma)\in(0,1]Δlp​(γ)∈(0,1] and Δhp(γ)∈[0,1)\Delta_{hp}(\gamma)\in[0,1)Δhp​(γ)∈[0,1) such that

δc≤Δlp(γ)  or  δc≥Δhp(γ)⟹πp∗∣γ>πp∗∣γ=0.\delta_c\le\Delta_{lp}(\gamma)\ \text{ or }\ \delta_c\ge\Delta_{hp}(\gamma)\quad\Longrightarrow\quad \pi_p^*\big|_{\gamma}>\pi_p^*\big|_{\gamma=0}.δc​≤Δlp​(γ)  or  δc​≥Δhp​(γ)⟹πp∗​​γ​>πp∗​​γ=0​.

Milestones

  1. Lemma 1: the pre-posterior law above.
  2. Display (2): without SL, the buyer set is [τ(p1,p2),1][\tau(p_1,p_2),1][τ(p1​,p2​),1] for an explicit threshold τ\tauτ.
  3. Proposition 1: without SL, π∗=(1−c)2/(δc+3)\pi^*=(1-c)^2/(\delta_c+3)π∗=(1−c)2/(δc​+3), attained at p1∗=c(1+δc)+2δc+3p_1^*=\tfrac{c(1+\delta_c)+2}{\delta_c+3}p1∗​=δc​+3c(1+δc​)+2​ and p2∗=2c+δc+1δc+3p_2^*=\tfrac{2c+\delta_c+1}{\delta_c+3}p2∗​=δc​+32c+δc​+1​.
  4. Lemma 2: with SL, the buyer set is [θ,1][\theta,1][θ,1], where θ\thetaθ solves the implicit equation (3), or θ=1\theta=1θ=1 under adoption inertia. A companion item states that θ\thetaθ is monotone in γ,p1,δc,p2\gamma,p_1,\delta_c,p_2γ,p1​,δc​,p2​.
  5. Lemma 5: waiting is worth strictly more when more consumers buy early.
  6. Proposition 2: adoption inertia is never optimal, and patient consumers face an increasing optimal price path.
  7. Examples 1 and 2: with myopic consumers, SL raises the optimal second-period price and the optimal profit.
  8. πp∗\pi_p^*πp∗​ is continuous in δc∈[0,1]\delta_c\in[0,1]δc​∈[0,1].

Significance

Proposition 3 says that social learning helps the firm at both ends of the patience range. For myopic consumers this is the informational effect alone. For patient consumers it holds even though learning makes them strictly more inclined to wait (Lemma 2) and the committed price cannot react to the reviews. The paper's numerical experiments found no intermediate δc\delta_cδc​ at which learning hurts, but the theorem asserts only the two ends. The result underlies the managerial conclusions of the paper: firms gain from encouraging reviews even when consumers are strategic.

The result is proved in the paper; nothing in the model has been machine-checked before. A formal proof would check the equilibrium analysis of a continuum purchasing game with an endogenous information externality. Its intermediate results also serve the paper's two other missions: responsive pricing, and the comparison of responsive with pre-announced pricing. These are the Normal convex-order monotonicity (Lemma 5), the implicit threshold equation (Lemma 2), the no-SL benchmark (Proposition 1) and a Maximum-Theorem continuity statement.

Difficulty

The equilibrium threshold θ\thetaθ solves an equation whose Normal kernel has a variance that depends on θ\thetaθ itself. Existence, uniqueness and monotonicity are not closed-form computations.

The endpoint δc=1\delta_c=1δc​=1 is the delicate one. There learning makes waiting most attractive, and the strict gain over the no-SL optimum (1−c)2/4(1-c)^2/4(1−c)2/4 must come from a plan that still induces a positive mass of early buyers.

Continuity of πp∗\pi_p^*πp∗​ in δc\delta_cδc​ is a Maximum-Theorem argument for a supremum over an unbounded set of prices whose objective passes through an implicit equilibrium. Compactness of the relevant price set has to be established, not assumed.

Formalization scope

Every statement is taken over the standing assumptions σp>0\sigma_p>0σp​>0, γ≥0\gamma\ge 0γ≥0, δc∈[0,1]\delta_c\in[0,1]δc​∈[0,1], c∈[0,1)c\in[0,1)c∈[0,1), with firm discount factor 111 and pure strategies. Further conventions:

  • Absence of SL is the same model at γ=0\gamma=0γ=0. There the pre-posterior law is the point mass at 000, which is the paper's limit γ→0\gamma\to 0γ→0.
  • Best responses are weak. Equilibrium buyer sets are therefore unique only up to Lebesgue-null sets. The degenerate plan p1=p2p_1=p_2p1​=p2​ at δc=1\delta_c=1δc​=1 without SL, where every type is indifferent, is excluded from the uniqueness claim of (2).
  • Optimal values are suprema in the extended reals over all real plans and all purchasing equilibria. They are never real suprema with junk values, never the profit at a closed-form price, and never restricted to threshold equilibria. "Optimal plan" means a plan one of whose equilibria attains the supremum.
  • Proposition 3's thresholds are stated with the strict bounds Δlp>0\Delta_{lp}>0Δlp​>0 and Δhp<1\Delta_{hp}<1Δhp​<1. With closed bounds the claim would follow from the cases δc=0\delta_c=0δc​=0 and δc=1\delta_c=1δc​=1 alone.
  • Added hypotheses, each disclosed in its item:
    • p1∈[0,1]p_1\in[0,1]p1​∈[0,1] in Lemma 2 and its monotonicity item, and p1≥0p_1\ge 0p1​≥0 in (2);
    • δc>0\delta_c>0δc​>0 in Lemma 5;
    • p1<1p_1<1p1​<1 in Example 1 (at p1=1p_1=1p1​=1 nobody buys early, so the example's strict inequality fails there), and c<p1c<p_1c<p1​ for its no-SL uniqueness part;
    • δc<1\delta_c<1δc​<1 for uniqueness in Proposition 1;
    • n1>0n_1>0n1​>0 in Lemma 1;
    • existence of an optimal plan, asserted together with Proposition 2(ii);
    • monotonicity of θ\thetaθ is weak.
  • Not posed:
    • Lemma 2(ii) is built into the second-period demand.
    • The "unique equilibrium" clauses of Propositions 1 and 2 are the items for (2) and Lemma 2.
    • The fixed-price variant of Proposition 3 (pp. 17–18) is false at δc=1\delta_c=1δc​=1.

The witness used in the printed proof of Proposition 2(i) does not settle the case δc=1\delta_c=1δc​=1.

A complete development needs Gaussian expectations of hinge functions and their monotonicity in the variance (strict convex order), an implicit-equation argument for the threshold, and a version of Berge's Maximum Theorem. The Gaussian lemmas and the no-SL benchmark are reusable across the series. Contributions to any milestone are welcome.

Selected references

  • Y. Papanastasiou, N. Savva, Dynamic Pricing in the Presence of Social Learning and Strategic Consumers, Management Science 63(4):919–939, 2017. https://doi.org/10.1287/mnsc.2015.2378 (cited from the accepted manuscript MS-14-00028.R2, 2016)
  • M. Landsberger, I. Meilijson, Intertemporal price discrimination and sales strategy under incomplete information, RAND Journal of Economics 16(3):424–430, 1985. https://doi.org/10.2307/2555568
  • G. P. Cachon, R. Swinney, Purchasing, Pricing, and Quick Response in the Presence of Strategic Consumers, Management Science 55(3):497–511, 2009. https://doi.org/10.1287/mnsc.1080.0948
  • A. Müller, D. Stoyan, Comparison Methods for Stochastic Models and Risks, Wiley, 2002. https://doi.org/10.1002/9780470317167
  • R. K. Sundaram, A First Course in Optimization Theory, Cambridge University Press, 1996. https://doi.org/10.1017/CBO9780511804526
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AnalysisMathematical PhysicsProbability·Captain: mikedeng1

Conformal Weldings of Random Surfaces: SLE and the Quantum Gravity Zipper 1: Reverse SLE_κ/GFF Coupling — Zipping Up a Free Boundary GFF by a Reverse Loewner Flow Preserves Its LawResearch Paper

Motivation

Liouville quantum gravity describes random surfaces whose area measure is formally eγh(z)dze^{\gamma h(z)}dzeγh(z)dz, where hhh is a Gaussian free field (GFF). Schramm–Loewner evolution (SLEκ_\kappaκ​) describes random fractal curves that arise as scaling limits of interfaces in critical lattice models. Sheffield's paper Conformal weldings of random surfaces: SLE and the quantum gravity zipper (arXiv:1012.4797, Ann. Probab. 44 (2016), DOI 10.1214/15-AOP1055) shows that the two theories fit together: SLE curves are the interfaces obtained by conformally welding independent quantum surfaces along their boundaries.

The starting point of that program is a coupling between the reverse Loewner flow and the free boundary GFF (Theorem 1.2 of the paper): zipping up the upper half-plane by a reverse SLEκ_\kappaκ​ map, and changing coordinates by the rule of Liouville quantum gravity, does not change the law of the field. This mission formalizes that theorem and the calculations of §4.1 that prove it.

Timeline. Couplings of forward SLE with the GFF go back to Schramm–Sheffield for κ=4\kappa=4κ=4 (arXiv:1008.2447) and to Dubédat for general κ\kappaκ (arXiv:0712.3018). The reverse coupling with the free boundary GFF and the factor Qlog⁡∣fT′∣Q\log|f_T'|Qlog∣fT′​∣ is Sheffield's (2010 preprint, published 2016); it underlies the later mating-of-trees theory of Duplantier–Miller–Sheffield (arXiv:1409.7055).

Setting

Let H={z∈C:Im⁡z>0}\mathbb H=\{z\in\mathbb C:\operatorname{Im}z>0\}H={z∈C:Imz>0}. A test function is a smooth, compactly supported real function ρ\rhoρ with support in H\mathbb HH; it has mean zero if ∫Hρ(z) dz=0\int_{\mathbb H}\rho(z)\,dz=0∫H​ρ(z)dz=0. For a function FFF write (F,ρ)=∫Fρ dz(F,\rho)=\int F\rho\,dz(F,ρ)=∫Fρdz.

The free boundary Green's function is G(y,z)=−log⁡∣y−z∣−log⁡∣y−zˉ∣G(y,z)=-\log|y-z|-\log|y-\bar z|G(y,z)=−log∣y−z∣−log∣y−zˉ∣, and the energy of two test functions is

E(ρ1,ρ2)=∫H∫Hρ1(y) G(y,z) ρ2(z) dy dz.E(\rho_1,\rho_2)=\int_{\mathbb H}\int_{\mathbb H}\rho_1(y)\,G(y,z)\,\rho_2(z)\,dy\,dz .E(ρ1​,ρ2​)=∫H​∫H​ρ1​(y)G(y,z)ρ2​(z)dydz.

A free boundary GFF h~\tilde hh~ is a random modulo-additive-constant distribution: for every family of mean-zero test functions ρ1,…,ρn\rho_1,\dots,\rho_nρ1​,…,ρn​, the vector ((h~,ρj))j((\tilde h,\rho_j))_j((h~,ρj​))j​ is a centred Gaussian vector with covariance (E(ρi,ρj))i,j(E(\rho_i,\rho_j))_{i,j}(E(ρi​,ρj​))i,j​. Pairings with test functions of nonzero mean are not defined.

Fix κ>0\kappa>0κ>0 and a standard Brownian motion BBB, and put Wt=κBtW_t=\sqrt\kappa B_tWt​=κ​Bt​. The reverse Loewner flow is ft(z)=gt(z)−Wtf_t(z)=g_t(z)-W_tft​(z)=gt​(z)−Wt​, where for each z∈Hz\in\mathbb Hz∈H

∂tgt(z)=−2gt(z)−Wt,g0(z)=z,\partial_t g_t(z)=\frac{-2}{g_t(z)-W_t},\qquad g_0(z)=z ,∂t​gt​(z)=gt​(z)−Wt​−2​,g0​(z)=z,

the pathwise form of dft(z)=−2ft(z)dt−κ dBtdf_t(z)=\frac{-2}{f_t(z)}dt-\sqrt\kappa\,dB_tdft​(z)=ft​(z)−2​dt−κ​dBt​. Write ft′=∂zftf_t'=\partial_zf_tft′​=∂z​ft​ and

Q=2κ+κ2,h0(z)=2κlog⁡∣z∣,ht(z)=h0(ft(z))+Qlog⁡∣ft′(z)∣.Q=\frac{2}{\sqrt\kappa}+\frac{\sqrt\kappa}{2},\qquad \mathfrak h_0(z)=\frac{2}{\sqrt\kappa}\log|z|,\qquad \mathfrak h_t(z)=\mathfrak h_0(f_t(z))+Q\log|f_t'(z)| .Q=κ​2​+2κ​​,h0​(z)=κ​2​log∣z∣,ht​(z)=h0​(ft​(z))+Qlog∣ft′​(z)∣.

The fraktur ht\mathfrak h_tht​ are deterministic functionals of the flow. Finally Gt(y,z)=G(ft(y),ft(z))G_t(y,z)=G(f_t(y),f_t(z))Gt​(y,z)=G(ft​(y),ft​(z)), Et(ρ1,ρ2)=∬ρ1(y)Gt(y,z)ρ2(z) dy dzE_t(\rho_1,\rho_2)=\iint\rho_1(y)G_t(y,z)\rho_2(z)\,dy\,dzEt​(ρ1​,ρ2​)=∬ρ1​(y)Gt​(y,z)ρ2​(z)dydz, and Ct(z)=−log⁡Im⁡ft(z)−log⁡∣ft′(z)∣C_t(z)=-\log\operatorname{Im}f_t(z)-\log|f_t'(z)|Ct​(z)=−logImft​(z)−log∣ft′​(z)∣.

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem 1.2

For every T>0T>0T>0, with h~\tilde hh~ independent of BBB,

h0+h~ =d hT+h~∘fT(modulo additive constants),\mathfrak h_0+\tilde h\ \overset{d}{=}\ \mathfrak h_T+\tilde h\circ f_T\qquad\text{(modulo additive constants),}h0​+h~ =d hT​+h~∘fT​(modulo additive constants),

that is, the pairing vectors with every finite family of mean-zero test functions have the same law. Here (h~∘fT,ρ)=(h~,∣(fT−1)′∣2ρ∘fT−1)(\tilde h\circ f_T,\rho)=(\tilde h,|(f_T^{-1})'|^2\rho\circ f_T^{-1})(h~∘fT​,ρ)=(h~,∣(fT−1​)′∣2ρ∘fT−1​).

Milestones (in the order the proof uses them)

  1. The reverse-flow table on p. 44: ddtft′(z)=2ft′(z)/ft(z)2\frac{d}{dt}f_t'(z)=2f_t'(z)/f_t(z)^2dtd​ft′​(z)=2ft′​(z)/ft​(z)2.
  2. The table on p. 47: ddtGt(y,z)=−Re⁡2ft(y)Re⁡2ft(z)\frac{d}{dt}G_t(y,z)=-\operatorname{Re}\frac{2}{f_t(y)}\operatorname{Re}\frac{2}{f_t(z)}dtd​Gt​(y,z)=−Reft​(y)2​Reft​(z)2​.
  3. Im⁡ft(z)\operatorname{Im}f_t(z)Imft​(z) is strictly increasing in ttt.
  4. ∣∂tCt(z)∣|\partial_tC_t(z)|∣∂t​Ct​(z)∣ is bounded uniformly for zzz in a compact subset of H\mathbb HH and all ttt.
  5. For fixed zzz, ht(z)\mathfrak h_t(z)ht​(z) is a martingale.
  6. For mean-zero ρ\rhoρ, (ht,ρ)(\mathfrak h_t,\rho)(ht​,ρ) is a martingale.
  7. For fixed x≠yx\neq yx=y, ht(x)ht(y)+Gt(x,y)\mathfrak h_t(x)\mathfrak h_t(y)+G_t(x,y)ht​(x)ht​(y)+Gt​(x,y) is a martingale.
  8. (4.2): (ht,ρ1)(ht,ρ2)+Et(ρ1,ρ2)(\mathfrak h_t,\rho_1)(\mathfrak h_t,\rho_2)+E_t(\rho_1,\rho_2)(ht​,ρ1​)(ht​,ρ2​)+Et​(ρ1​,ρ2​) is a martingale.
  9. The one-dimensional law: mixing N((hT,ρ),ET(ρ))\mathcal N((\mathfrak h_T,\rho),E_T(\rho))N((hT​,ρ),ET​(ρ)) over BBB gives N((h0,ρ),E(ρ,ρ))\mathcal N((\mathfrak h_0,\rho),E(\rho,\rho))N((h0​,ρ),E(ρ,ρ)).
  10. Proposition 3.1: a random modulo-constant distribution whose mean-zero pairings are N(0,E(ρ,ρ))\mathcal N(0,E(\rho,\rho))N(0,E(ρ,ρ)) is the free boundary GFF.

Significance

The result. Theorem 1.2 says that the free boundary quantum surface (H,h0+h~)(\mathbb H,\mathfrak h_0+\tilde h)(H,h0​+h~) is invariant in law under zipping up by an independent reverse SLEκ_\kappaκ​ for a fixed time. It is the stationarity statement behind the quantum gravity zipper: Theorems 1.3–1.4 and 1.8 of the paper (the welding of boundary arcs of equal quantum length, treated in the companion mission) start from it, and the subsequent theory of quantum wedges, quantum cones and mating of trees uses it as a basic tool. It also gives an alternate way to sample the field: first sample BBB (hence the curve), then sample an independent GFF, and form hT+h~∘fT\mathfrak h_T+\tilde h\circ f_ThT​+h~∘fT​.

Formalizing it. The theorem is proved in the literature, and the paper itself regards several steps as standard (Proposition 3.1 is cited to [She07]). No part of it has a machine-checked proof. A complete development would give Lean its first Gaussian free field, its first reverse Loewner flow, and martingale statements for SLE functionals; the deterministic Loewner calculus of milestones 1–4 is useful independently of the probabilistic part.

Difficulty

The time derivatives in milestones 1–3 are routine once the flow is known to be holomorphic in zzz, and milestone 4 follows from them. The obstacle is upgrading local martingales to martingales and exchanging the stochastic dynamics with integration in zzz. Itô's formula gives that ht(z)\mathfrak h_t(z)ht​(z) is a continuous local martingale; that it is a true martingale needs the bound of milestone 4, which shows that it is a Brownian motion run for a time at most a constant times ttt. Passing from points to (ht,ρ)(\mathfrak h_t,\rho)(ht​,ρ) and to (4.2) needs integrability of ht(z)\mathfrak h_t(z)ht​(z) uniformly on the support of ρ\rhoρ and a Fubini argument. Mathlib has neither Itô calculus nor quadratic variation, so these steps need either a stochastic-calculus library or a direct argument. The final step (milestones 9–10) needs the Cramér–Wold device for an infinite-dimensional Gaussian field and the change of variables E(ρfT)=ET(ρ)E(\rho^{f_T})=E_T(\rho)E(ρfT​)=ET​(ρ).

Formalization scope

  • H\mathbb HH is the open set {0<Im⁡z}\{0<\operatorname{Im}z\}{0<Imz} of C\mathbb CC as a real normed space; test functions are Mathlib's 𝓓(ℍ, ℝ); integrals are Bochner integrals for Lebesgue measure on C\mathbb CC and C×C\mathbb C\times\mathbb CC×C.
  • The free boundary GFF is a predicate on a map Ω→\Omega\toΩ→ (test functions →R\to\mathbb R→R): measurable pairings, and multivariateGaussian 0 (E(ρ_i,ρ_j)) laws for every mean-zero family. Every statement pairs only with mean-zero test functions.
  • The Green's function carries no factor 1/(2π)1/(2\pi)1/(2π) (the Dirichlet inner product carries (2π)−1(2\pi)^{-1}(2π)−1).
  • The reverse Loewner flow is pathwise: an ODE in ttt for gt=ft+Wtg_t=f_t+W_tgt​=ft​+Wt​, required for every z∈Hz\in\mathbb Hz∈H and t≥0t\ge0t≥0. Time is R≥0\mathbb R_{\ge0}R≥0​. The deterministic milestones are stated for every continuous driving function.
  • BBB is Mathlib's IsBrownianReal, taken with every path continuous and every coordinate measurable; martingales are with respect to its natural filtration and hold for all t≥0t\ge0t≥0.
  • The goal is stated through the conditional law given BBB: the PPP-mixture of N(((hT,ρj))j,(ET(ρi,ρj)))\mathcal N\big(((\mathfrak h_T,\rho_j))_j,(E_T(\rho_i,\rho_j))\big)N(((hT​,ρj​))j​,(ET​(ρi​,ρj​))) equals the law of ((h0,ρj)+(h~,ρj))j((\mathfrak h_0,\rho_j)+(\tilde h,\rho_j))_j((h0​,ρj​)+(h~,ρj​))j​, with h~\tilde hh~ on its own probability space. The mixture is a lower Lebesgue integral of set probabilities.
  • A trivializing formalization would define EtE_tEt​ with the forward Green's function, mix over a measure other than the law of BBB, or let the GFF predicate fix only one-dimensional laws; none of these is used, and Proposition 3.1 is stated separately.
  • Welcome contributions: a Loewner-ODE library (existence, uniqueness, holomorphy in zzz), Gaussian free field infrastructure, and martingale arguments without Itô calculus.

Selected references

  • S. Sheffield, Conformal weldings of random surfaces: SLE and the quantum gravity zipper, Ann. Probab. 44(5) (2016), 3474–3545. arXiv:1012.4797, DOI 10.1214/15-AOP1055
  • S. Sheffield, Gaussian free fields for mathematicians, Probab. Theory Related Fields 139 (2007), 521–541. arXiv:math/0312099
  • O. Schramm, S. Sheffield, A contour line of the continuum Gaussian free field, Probab. Theory Related Fields 157 (2013), 47–80. arXiv:1008.2447
  • J. Dubédat, SLE and the free field: partition functions and couplings, J. Amer. Math. Soc. 22 (2009), 995–1054. arXiv:0712.3018
  • B. Duplantier, S. Sheffield, Liouville quantum gravity and KPZ, Invent. Math. 185 (2011), 333–393. arXiv:0808.1560
  • B. Duplantier, J. Miller, S. Sheffield, Liouville quantum gravity as a mating of trees, Astérisque 427 (2021). arXiv:1409.7055
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Operations ResearchOptimal TransportOptimization+1·Captain: mikedeng1

A Short and General Duality Proof for Wasserstein Distributionally Robust Optimization IV: On a Polish Space, the Maximum-Transport-Cost Worst-Case Loss Equals E[sup{f(x) : c(X̂, x) ≤ ρ}]Research Paper

Why the maximum transport cost

In Wasserstein distributionally robust optimization (DRO) a decision is evaluated against the worst distribution within an optimal-transport ball around a nominal distribution P^\widehat{\mathbb P}P. For a Wasserstein distance of finite order ppp, the ball constrains an average transport cost. The case p=∞p=\inftyp=∞ is different. The ∞\infty∞-Wasserstein distance W∞\mathcal W_\inftyW∞​ constrains the largest distance any unit of mass travels, so it describes perturbations in which every sample may move, but only within a fixed radius. This is the perturbation model of adversarial training (Sinha, Namkoong and Duchi 2018) and of distributionally robust chance constraints (Xie 2021).

Zhang, Yang and Gao (arXiv:2205.00362v4, §5.1) generalize W∞\mathcal W_\inftyW∞​ to an arbitrary cost ccc, the maximum transport cost K‾c\overline{\mathcal K}_cKc​. They show (Theorem 2) that on a Polish space with a continuous cost the worst-case loss is a nominal expectation of a local supremum. Their Theorem 1 covers finite-order costs. Its proof does not reach this case, because K‾c\overline{\mathcal K}_cKc​ is not an integral of the cost, and a separate argument is needed.

Timeline. Strong duality for finite-order Wasserstein DRO was proved for empirical P^\widehat{\mathbb P}P on convex subsets of Rd\mathbb R^dRd by Mohajerin Esfahani and Kuhn (2018). On Polish spaces it was proved for a lower semicontinuous cost and an upper semicontinuous loss by Blanchet and Murthy (2019), and for a power of a metric by Gao and Kleywegt (2023). For distributionally robust chance constraints, Xie (2021) treated the 1-Wasserstein distance on a totally bounded Polish space. Yang and Gao (2022, Optimization Online) obtained the ∞\infty∞-Wasserstein chance-constraint reformulation on normed spaces. Zhang, Yang and Gao (arXiv 2022, v4 2024) state the ∞\infty∞-Wasserstein and maximum-transport-cost duality for a continuous cost on a Polish space (Theorem 2 and Example 7).

Setting

Let X\mathcal XX be a Polish space (complete, separable, metrizable) with its Borel σ\sigmaσ-algebra F\mathcal FF, and let P^\widehat{\mathbb P}P be a probability measure on X\mathcal XX, the nominal distribution. A cost is a continuous function c:X×X→[0,∞)c:\mathcal X\times\mathcal X\to[0,\infty)c:X×X→[0,∞) with c(x,x)=0c(x,x)=0c(x,x)=0, written c(x^,x)c(\widehat x,x)c(x,x) with the nominal point first. A loss is a measurable f:X→Rf:\mathcal X\to\mathbb Rf:X→R with EP^[f]>−∞\mathbb E_{\widehat{\mathbb P}}[f]>-\inftyEP​[f]>−∞. Expectations take values in [−∞,∞][-\infty,\infty][−∞,∞].

For probability measures P^,P\widehat{\mathbb P},\mathbb PP,P let Γ(P^,P)\Gamma(\widehat{\mathbb P},\mathbb P)Γ(P,P) be their couplings: the probability measures on X×X\mathcal X\times\mathcal XX×X with marginals P^\widehat{\mathbb P}P and P\mathbb PP. The maximum transport cost and its robust loss are

K‾c(P^,P)=inf⁡γ∈Γ(P^,P) γ-ess sup⁡x^,xc(x^,x),L‾(ρ)=sup⁡P{EX∼P[f(X)]:K‾c(P^,P)≤ρ}.\overline{\mathcal K}_c(\widehat{\mathbb P},\mathbb P)=\inf_{\gamma\in\Gamma(\widehat{\mathbb P},\mathbb P)}\ \gamma\text{-}\operatorname*{ess\,sup}_{\widehat x,x}c(\widehat x,x),\qquad \overline{\mathcal L}(\rho)=\sup_{\mathbb P}\big\{\mathbb E_{X\sim\mathbb P}[f(X)]:\overline{\mathcal K}_c(\widehat{\mathbb P},\mathbb P)\le\rho\big\}.Kc​(P,P)=γ∈Γ(P,P)inf​ γ-x,xesssup​c(x,x),L(ρ)=Psup​{EX∼P​[f(X)]:Kc​(P,P)≤ρ}.

For a metric c=dc=dc=d, K‾d=W∞\overline{\mathcal K}_d=\mathcal W_\inftyKd​=W∞​. The Legendre transform of h:R→[−∞,∞]h:\mathbb R\to[-\infty,\infty]h:R→[−∞,∞] is h∗(λ)=sup⁡ρ∈R{λρ−h(ρ)}h^*(\lambda)=\sup_{\rho\in\mathbb R}\{\lambda\rho-h(\rho)\}h∗(λ)=supρ∈R​{λρ−h(ρ)}, and (−L‾)∗(−λ)(-\overline{\mathcal L})^*(-\lambda)(−L)∗(−λ) is the soft-penalty counterpart sup⁡P{EP[f]−λK‾c(P^,P)}\sup_{\mathbb P}\{\mathbb E_{\mathbb P}[f]-\lambda\overline{\mathcal K}_c(\widehat{\mathbb P},\mathbb P)\}supP​{EP​[f]−λKc​(P,P)}.

The proof uses the interchangeability principle (IP). A measurable ϕ:X×X→R∪{−∞}\phi:\mathcal X\times\mathcal X\to\mathbb R\cup\{-\infty\}ϕ:X×X→R∪{−∞} satisfies (IP) if x^↦sup⁡xϕ(x^,x)\widehat x\mapsto\sup_x\phi(\widehat x,x)x↦supx​ϕ(x,x) is P^\widehat{\mathbb P}P-measurable and

EP^[sup⁡xϕ(X^,x)]=sup⁡γ∈ΓP^Eγ[ϕ(X^,X)],\mathbb E_{\widehat{\mathbb P}}\Big[\sup_x\phi(\widehat X,x)\Big]=\sup_{\gamma\in\Gamma_{\widehat{\mathbb P}}}\mathbb E_\gamma[\phi(\widehat X,X)],EP​[xsup​ϕ(X,x)]=γ∈ΓP​sup​Eγ​[ϕ(X,X)],

where ΓP^\Gamma_{\widehat{\mathbb P}}ΓP​ is the set of probability measures on X×X\mathcal X\times\mathcal XX×X with first marginal P^\widehat{\mathbb P}P. It also uses the measurable projection (Proj) and measurable selection (Sel) conditions of §3 of the paper.

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem 2

For every ρ≥0\rho\ge0ρ≥0 and every λ∈R\lambda\in\mathbb Rλ∈R,

L‾(ρ)=EX^∼P^[sup⁡x{f(x):c(X^,x)≤ρ}],(−L‾)∗(−λ)=sup⁡ρ≥0{EP^[sup⁡x{f(x):c(X^,x)≤ρ}]−λρ}.\overline{\mathcal L}(\rho)=\mathbb E_{\widehat X\sim\widehat{\mathbb P}}\Big[\sup_x\big\{f(x):c(\widehat X,x)\le\rho\big\}\Big],\qquad (-\overline{\mathcal L})^*(-\lambda)=\sup_{\rho\ge0}\Big\{\mathbb E_{\widehat{\mathbb P}}\Big[\sup_x\{f(x):c(\widehat X,x)\le\rho\}\Big]-\lambda\rho\Big\}.L(ρ)=EX∼P​[xsup​{f(x):c(X,x)≤ρ}],(−L)∗(−λ)=ρ≥0sup​{EP​[xsup​{f(x):c(X,x)≤ρ}]−λρ}.

Milestones

  1. Example 2: on a Polish space, (Proj) and (Sel) hold for every P^\widehat{\mathbb P}P.
  2. The barrier function ψρ(x^,x)=f(x)−∞1{c(x^,x)>ρ}\psi_\rho(\widehat x,x)=f(x)-\infty\mathbf 1\{c(\widehat x,x)>\rho\}ψρ​(x,x)=f(x)−∞1{c(x,x)>ρ} satisfies (IP).
  3. The coupling form: sup⁡{Eγ[f(X)]:γ∈ΓP^, γ-ess sup⁡c≤ρ}=EP^[sup⁡x{f(x):c(X^,x)≤ρ}]\sup\{\mathbb E_\gamma[f(X)]:\gamma\in\Gamma_{\widehat{\mathbb P}},\ \gamma\text{-}\operatorname{ess\,sup}c\le\rho\}=\mathbb E_{\widehat{\mathbb P}}[\sup_x\{f(x):c(\widehat X,x)\le\rho\}]sup{Eγ​[f(X)]:γ∈ΓP​, γ-esssupc≤ρ}=EP​[supx​{f(x):c(X,x)≤ρ}].
  4. Attainment (EC.1): if K‾c(P^,P)≤ρ\overline{\mathcal K}_c(\widehat{\mathbb P},\mathbb P)\le\rhoKc​(P,P)≤ρ then some γ∈Γ(P^,P)\gamma\in\Gamma(\widehat{\mathbb P},\mathbb P)γ∈Γ(P,P) has γ-ess sup⁡c≤ρ\gamma\text{-}\operatorname{ess\,sup}c\le\rhoγ-esssupc≤ρ.
  5. The soft identity: (−L‾)∗(−λ)=sup⁡P{EP[f]−λK‾c(P^,P)}(-\overline{\mathcal L})^*(-\lambda)=\sup_{\mathbb P}\{\mathbb E_{\mathbb P}[f]-\lambda\overline{\mathcal K}_c(\widehat{\mathbb P},\mathbb P)\}(−L)∗(−λ)=supP​{EP​[f]−λKc​(P,P)} for λ≥0\lambda\ge0λ≥0.

Significance

The result. Theorem 2 turns an optimization over probability measures into one expectation under P^\widehat{\mathbb P}P of a deterministic local problem. Each nominal point is replaced by the worst point of its ccc-ball. For an empirical P^\widehat{\mathbb P}P this is a finite sum of local maximizations. This is the reformulation used for ∞\infty∞-Wasserstein adversarial training and for distributionally robust chance constraints. Example 7 of the paper derives from it, for c=dc=dc=d, the robust chance constraint P^(d(X^,Sc)≤ρ)≤β\widehat{\mathbb P}(d(\widehat X,\mathcal S^c)\le\rho)\le\betaP(d(X,Sc)≤ρ)≤β on a Polish space. The theorem needs no convexity, no semicontinuity of fff and no finiteness of the support of P^\widehat{\mathbb P}P.

Formalizing it. The result is proved on paper; no machine-checked proof exists. A formal proof requires measurable projection and selection on Polish spaces, which Mathlib has only in part (analytic sets, Lusin separation). It also needs Prokhorov compactness for couplings and essential suprema under weak convergence. The milestones isolate these, so each can be attacked separately and reused.

Difficulty

The obvious argument restricts to deterministic transport plans x↦T(x)x\mapsto T(x)x↦T(x) with c(x,T(x))≤ρc(x,T(x))\le\rhoc(x,T(x))≤ρ. This argument has two gaps. First, the maximizing map must be measurable, and the local supremum x^↦sup⁡{f(x):c(x^,x)≤ρ}\widehat x\mapsto\sup\{f(x):c(\widehat x,x)\le\rho\}x↦sup{f(x):c(x,x)≤ρ} is in general only universally measurable, not Borel. Measurable projection and selection theorems for analytic sets are therefore needed, and the expectation must be read against the completion of P^\widehat{\mathbb P}P. Second, the constraint K‾c≤ρ\overline{\mathcal K}_c\le\rhoKc​≤ρ is an infimum over couplings, and an infimum need not be attained. Without attainment one only obtains an inequality. Attainment is where Polishness of X\mathcal XX and continuity of ccc enter, and continuity cannot be dropped. Remark 5 of the paper gives a discontinuous metric cost on [0,1]2[0,1]^2[0,1]2 for which the identity fails.

Formalization scope

  • Space. X\mathcal XX is a type with [TopologicalSpace X] [PolishSpace X] [MeasurableSpace X] [BorelSpace X].
  • Cost. ccc is real-valued, with continuity of (x^,x)↦c(x^,x)(\widehat x,x)\mapsto c(\widehat x,x)(x,x)↦c(x,x), nonnegativity and c(x,x)=0c(x,x)=0c(x,x)=0 as hypotheses.
  • Expectations. Expectations are the published ModelRiskOT.Duality.extIntegral, ∫φ+−∫φ−\int\varphi^+-\int\varphi^-∫φ+−∫φ− with lower Lebesgue integrals in EReal. It agrees with the paper whenever one part is finite and gives −∞-\infty−∞ for ∞−∞\infty-\infty∞−∞. For the universally measurable integrand of the goal it is the completed integral. The Bochner integral is not used.
  • Essential supremum. It is Mathlib's essSup of ofReal∘c\mathrm{ofReal}\circ cofReal∘c, so K‾c∈[0,∞]\overline{\mathcal K}_c\in[0,\infty]Kc​∈[0,∞].
  • The ball. The ball constraint is compared in EReal, so L‾(ρ)=−∞\overline{\mathcal L}(\rho)=-\inftyL(ρ)=−∞ for ρ<0\rho<0ρ<0. The Legendre transform ranges over all real ρ\rhoρ.
  • Penalty and supremum. The product λK‾c\lambda\overline{\mathcal K}_cλKc​ uses 0⋅∞=∞0\cdot\infty=\infty0⋅∞=∞. The local supremum is taken in EReal.
  • The barrier. In ψρ\psi_\rhoψρ​ the factor ∞⋅1{⋅}\infty\cdot\mathbf 1\{\cdot\}∞⋅1{⋅} is −∞-\infty−∞ on the set and 000 off it, which is the reading the proof's next line fixes.
  • Measurability. P^\widehat{\mathbb P}P-measurability is NullMeasurable.

The goal is stated only through L‾\overline{\mathcal L}L, K‾c\overline{\mathcal K}_cKc​, the Legendre transform and the local supremum. (IP), (Proj) and (Sel) appear only in milestones, so no hypothesis of the goal assumes the duality it asserts. The robust loss is not defined through an ENNReal comparison either, which would make the ball at negative radii coincide with the ball at radius 000.

A complete development needs the following:

  • universal measurability of analytic sets and a Jankov–von Neumann selection theorem (milestone 1, reusable across stochastic control and DRO);
  • compactness of the set of couplings with fixed marginals on a Polish space and the behaviour of essential suprema under weak convergence (milestone 4, reusable in optimal transport);
  • extended-real conjugate arithmetic (milestone 5).

Contributions to any of these layers are welcome independently.

Selected references

  • L. Zhang, J. Yang, R. Gao, A Short and General Duality Proof for Wasserstein Distributionally Robust Optimization, arXiv preprint, v4, 2024. https://arxiv.org/abs/2205.00362
  • J. Blanchet, K. Murthy, Quantifying Distributional Model Risk via Optimal Transport, Mathematics of Operations Research 44(2), 2019. https://doi.org/10.1287/moor.2018.0936
  • R. Gao, A. Kleywegt, Distributionally Robust Stochastic Optimization with Wasserstein Distance, Mathematics of Operations Research 48(2), 2023. https://doi.org/10.1287/moor.2022.1275
  • P. Mohajerin Esfahani, D. Kuhn, Data-driven distributionally robust optimization using the Wasserstein metric: performance guarantees and tractable reformulations, Mathematical Programming 171, 2018. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10107-017-1172-1
  • W. Xie, On distributionally robust chance constrained programs with Wasserstein distance, Mathematical Programming 186, 2021. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10107-019-01445-5
  • A. Sinha, H. Namkoong, J. Duchi, Certifying some distributional robustness with principled adversarial training, ICLR, 2018. https://arxiv.org/abs/1710.10571
  • C. D. Aliprantis, K. C. Border, Infinite Dimensional Analysis: A Hitchhiker's Guide, 3rd ed., Springer, 2006 (Theorem 18.26, cited for (Sel)). https://doi.org/10.1007/3-540-29587-9
  • J.-P. Aubin, H. Frankowska, Set-Valued Analysis, Birkhäuser, 2009 (Theorem 8.3.2, cited for (Proj)). https://doi.org/10.1007/978-0-8176-4848-0
11 thms1 active userReviewed
AnalysisProbabilityStochastic Systems·Captain: mikedeng1

On Well-Posedness of Forward–Backward SDEs—A Unified Approach 1: Under Cases I–III the FBSDE Has a Decoupling Field with Bounded Difference Quotients and a Unique L² Solution on [0, T]Research Paper

Motivation

A forward–backward stochastic differential equation (FBSDE) couples a forward SDE, solved from an initial state, with a backward SDE, solved from a terminal condition that depends on the forward state. Such systems arise from the stochastic maximum principle, from quasilinear parabolic PDEs through Feynman–Kac formulas, and in mathematical finance. Whenever a control problem or a market model is solved through its first-order conditions, a fully coupled FBSDE appears, and the question is whether it has a unique solution.

The history has a recurring gap: each method covers a different regime, and none handles coefficients that are random, fully coupled, and have a forward diffusion depending on the martingale integrand ZZZ, over an arbitrary horizon.

  • 1993: F. Antonelli proved well-posedness over a small time interval by contraction, under a smallness condition on the coupling.
  • 1994: J. Ma, P. Protter and J. Yong introduced the four-step scheme, solving Markovian FBSDEs with deterministic coefficients over arbitrary horizons through a quasilinear PDE; the forward diffusion may not depend on zzz in a degenerate way.
  • 1995–1999: Y. Hu, S. Peng and Z. Wu developed the method of continuation, which allows random coefficients over arbitrary horizons under a monotonicity condition on the coefficients.
  • 1999–2002: E. Pardoux and S. Tang, and F. Delarue, extended the PDE and fixed-point approaches under weak-coupling or strong-monotonicity conditions, in the Markovian setting.
  • 2015: J. Ma, Z. Wu, D. Zhang and J. Zhang (the source of this mission) gave a unified approach through the decoupling field and a scalar ordinary differential equation that dominates its spatial derivative.

Setting

Fix a horizon T>0T>0T>0 and a probability space carrying a one-dimensional Brownian motion BBB, with F\mathbb FF its natural filtration augmented by the null sets. All processes are real valued. The FBSDE (1.1) is

Xt=x+∫0tb(s,Θs) ds+∫0tσ(s,Θs) dBs,Yt=g(XT)+∫tTf(s,Θs) ds−∫tTZs dBs,X_t=x+\int_0^t b(s,\Theta_s)\,ds+\int_0^t\sigma(s,\Theta_s)\,dB_s,\qquad Y_t=g(X_T)+\int_t^T f(s,\Theta_s)\,ds-\int_t^T Z_s\,dB_s ,Xt​=x+∫0t​b(s,Θs​)ds+∫0t​σ(s,Θs​)dBs​,Yt​=g(XT​)+∫tT​f(s,Θs​)ds−∫tT​Zs​dBs​,

for t∈[0,T]t\in[0,T]t∈[0,T], with Θ=(X,Y,Z)\Theta=(X,Y,Z)Θ=(X,Y,Z). The coefficients b,σ,fb,\sigma,fb,σ,f depend on (t,ω,x,y,z)(t,\omega,x,y,z)(t,ω,x,y,z) and ggg on (x,ω)(x,\omega)(x,ω). Assumption 2.1 asks that they be progressively measurable for fixed (x,y,z)(x,y,z)(x,y,z), that I02=E{(∫0T[∣b∣+∣f∣](t,0,0,0)dt)2+∫0T∣σ∣2(t,0,0,0)dt+∣g(0)∣2}I_0^2=\mathbb E\{(\int_0^T[|b|+|f|](t,0,0,0)dt)^2+\int_0^T|\sigma|^2(t,0,0,0)dt+|g(0)|^2\}I02​=E{(∫0T​[∣b∣+∣f∣](t,0,0,0)dt)2+∫0T​∣σ∣2(t,0,0,0)dt+∣g(0)∣2} be finite, and that they be Lipschitz in (x,y,z)(x,y,z)(x,y,z) with a common constant K0K_0K0​, uniformly in ω\omegaω. Solutions are sought in the space L2\mathbb L^2L2 of progressively measurable Θ\ThetaΘ with ∥Θ∥L22=E{sup⁡t(∣Xt∣2+∣Yt∣2)+∫0T∣Zt∣2dt}<∞\|\Theta\|^2_{\mathbb L^2}=\mathbb E\{\sup_t(|X_t|^2+|Y_t|^2)+\int_0^T|Z_t|^2dt\}<\infty∥Θ∥L22​=E{supt​(∣Xt​∣2+∣Yt​∣2)+∫0T​∣Zt​∣2dt}<∞.

A decoupling field (Definition 2.2) is a random field u(t,x)u(t,x)u(t,x) with u(T,⋅)=gu(T,\cdot)=gu(T,⋅)=g such that, on every short interval [t1,t2][t_1,t_2][t1​,t2​] and from every square-integrable initial state, the FBSDE with terminal map u(t2,⋅)u(t_2,\cdot)u(t2​,⋅) is uniquely solvable and its solution satisfies Yt=u(t,Xt)Y_t=u(t,X_t)Yt​=u(t,Xt​).

The difference quotients (3.1) of the coefficients — b~i,σ~i,f~i\tilde b_i,\tilde\sigma_i,\tilde f_ib~i​,σ~i​,f~​i​ in the variables x,y,zx,y,zx,y,z (i=1,2,3i=1,2,3i=1,2,3) and h~\tilde hh~ for ggg — enter the scalar function

F=f1+f2y+y(b1+b2y)+(f3+b3y) y (σ1+σ2y)1−σ3y,F=f_1+f_2y+y(b_1+b_2y)+\frac{(f_3+b_3y)\,y\,(\sigma_1+\sigma_2y)}{1-\sigma_3y},F=f1​+f2​y+y(b1​+b2​y)+1−σ3​y(f3​+b3​y)y(σ1​+σ2​y)​,

and its essential supremum F‾(t,y)\overline F(t,y)F(t,y) and infimum F‾(t,y)\underline F(t,y)F​(t,y) over all quotients give the dominating ODEs (3.13): y‾t=h‾+∫tTF‾(s,y‾s)ds\overline y_t=\overline h+\int_t^T\overline F(s,\overline y_s)dsy​t​=h+∫tT​F(s,y​s​)ds and y‾t=h‾+∫tTF‾(s,y‾s)ds\underline y_t=\underline h+\int_t^T\underline F(s,\underline y_s)dsy​t​=h​+∫tT​F​(s,y​s​)ds, with h‾,h‾\overline h,\underline hh,h​ the bounds of h~\tilde hh~.

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem 7.4

Fix c1,c2,c3c_1,c_2,c_3c1​,c2​,c3​ with c1>0c_1>0c1​>0, 0<c2<c30<c_2<c_30<c2​<c3​, c1c3<1c_1c_3<1c1​c3​<1 (5.13). There are ε>0\varepsilon>0ε>0 and C>0C>0C>0, depending only on TTT, K0K_0K0​ and c1,c2,c3c_1,c_2,c_3c1​,c2​,c3​, such that whenever Assumption 2.1 holds and the quotients satisfy one of the nine conditions of Cases I–III ((5.14); (5.15)–(5.18); (5.19)–(5.22)), uniformly in the quotient arguments, then (i) the FBSDE has a decoupling field uuu whose quotient (u(t,x1)−u(t,x2))/(x1−x2)(u(t,x_1)-u(t,x_2))/(x_1-x_2)(u(t,x1​)−u(t,x2​))/(x1​−x2​) obeys the bound assumed of h~\tilde hh~ with c2c_2c2​ replaced by c3c_3c3​, and (ii) for every xxx there is a unique solution in L2\mathbb L^2L2, with

∥Θ∥L22≤C [ ∣x∣2+I02 ].\|\Theta\|^2_{\mathbb L^2}\le C\,\big[\,|x|^2+I_0^2\,\big].∥Θ∥L22​≤C[∣x∣2+I02​].

Milestones

  • Lemma 5.1: comparison for scalar backward ODEs between a sub- and a super-solution.
  • Theorems 5.9, 5.10, 5.11: under each case, the dominating ODEs have bounded solutions with the bound of hhh transported to c3c_3c3​, and 1−σ3y1-\sigma_3y1−σ3​y stays away from 000.
  • Theorems 6.1, 6.2, 6.3: over a short horizon T≤δT\le\deltaT≤δ, unique solvability, solutions of (3.13) in a band, and a random field uuu whose quotients lie between y‾\underline yy​ and y‾\overline yy​.
  • Theorem 2.3: a decoupling field gives a unique global solution with Yt=u(t,Xt)Y_t=u(t,X_t)Yt​=u(t,Xt​).

A companion statement, Corollary 7.5, gives well-posedness over [0,T][0,T][0,T] under the sign conditions (7.5) or (7.6), with no smallness constant.

Significance

The theorem replaces structural assumptions (small horizon, monotonicity, deterministic coefficients, σ\sigmaσ independent of zzz) by conditions that can be read off the coefficients through a scalar ODE. It covers random coefficients and a forward diffusion that depends on zzz, the case in which the classical Riccati-type obstruction σ3h=1\sigma_3h=1σ3​h=1 appears, and it recovers the earlier sufficient conditions as special cases (§7.4 of the paper). The decoupling field produced in (i) is uniformly Lipschitz, which is the input to the comparison and stability results of §8 and to numerical schemes based on Yt=u(t,Xt)Y_t=u(t,X_t)Yt​=u(t,Xt​).

The result is proved in the paper; nothing here is open mathematically. None of it is formalized: there is no machine-checked existence theory for coupled FBSDEs in any proof assistant this mission is aware of. A complete development would be the first formal well-posedness theorem for a fully coupled FBSDE, and the milestones — the ODE comparison lemma, the small-time theory, and the patching argument of Theorem 2.3 — are each self-contained.

Difficulty

The obvious approach is a contraction argument on [0,T][0,T][0,T]. It works only when TTT is small, because the Lipschitz constant of the solution map grows with the coupling; iterating it over a partition requires a terminal condition u(ti,⋅)u(t_i,\cdot)u(ti​,⋅) whose Lipschitz constant does not deteriorate from one subinterval to the next. Controlling that constant is the whole problem. Its spatial derivative satisfies a backward stochastic Riccati equation with quadratic growth in both yyy and zzz and a singularity where 1−σ3y=01-\sigma_3y=01−σ3​y=0; such equations need not have bounded solutions, and the standard comparison theory for quadratic BSDEs does not apply off the region where the generator is Lipschitz. A second difficulty is the small-time theory itself: when σ\sigmaσ depends on zzz, even a linear FBSDE with constant coefficients is well posed on short intervals only if σ3h≠1\sigma_3h\ne1σ3​h=1 (Theorem 7.1 of the paper), so in Cases II and III, where σ3\sigma_3σ3​ and hhh are large, the contraction argument does not apply even for small TTT.

Formalization scope

The development reuses the platform's Peng1990.SMP.Stochastic (standard Brownian motion, LF2L^2_{\mathcal F}LF2​, the L2L^2L2 Itô integral IsItoIntegral) and the augmented Brownian filtration of ReflectedBSDE.Existence.Setting. Time is R≥0\mathbb R_{\ge0}R≥0​, time integrals are over real intervals, and the stochastic integral ∫t1tσ dB\int_{t_1}^t\sigma\,dB∫t1​t​σdB is Jt−Jt1J_t-J_{t_1}Jt​−Jt1​​ for an Itô integral process JJJ of 1(t1,t2]σ(s,Θs)\mathbf 1_{(t_1,t_2]}\sigma(s,\Theta_s)1(t1​,t2​]​σ(s,Θs​).

Committed conventions:

  • Lipschitz bounds use the ℓ1\ell^1ℓ1 norm on R3\mathbb R^3R3 and hold for every ω\omegaω; I02I_0^2I02​ and ∥Θ∥L22\|\Theta\|^2_{\mathbb L^2}∥Θ∥L22​ are lower Lebesgue integrals in [0,∞][0,\infty][0,∞].
  • Uniqueness is uniqueness in L2\mathbb L^2L2: X,YX,YX,Y agree a.s. at each time and ZZZ agrees dt⊗dPdt\otimes d\mathbb Pdt⊗dP-a.e.
  • Solutions are unique only up to modification, so (7.2) is asserted for one solution in L2\mathbb L^2L2.
  • Definition 2.2's "0=t1<t2≤T0=t_1<t_2\le T0=t1​<t2​≤T" is read as 0≤t10\le t_10≤t1​, as the proof of Theorem 2.3 uses it.
  • Every condition on the quotients holds for every t∈[0,T]t\in[0,T]t∈[0,T], almost surely, for all arguments with distinct coordinates. F‾(t,c)≤ε\overline F(t,c)\le\varepsilonF(t,c)≤ε is stated in exactly that form. F‾,F‾,h‾,h‾\overline F,\underline F,\overline h,\underline hF,F​,h,h​ as functions are EReal\mathrm{EReal}EReal-valued, and solutions of (3.13) keep them finite.
  • "(1−σ3y)−1(1-\sigma_3y)^{-1}(1−σ3​y)−1 is bounded" is ∣1−σ~3yt∣≥κ>0|1-\tilde\sigma_3y_t|\ge\kappa>0∣1−σ~3​yt​∣≥κ>0. Every use of α3=b2−b3σ2/σ3\alpha_3=b_2-b_3\sigma_2/\sigma_3α3​=b2​−b3​σ2​/σ3​ carries σ~3≠0\tilde\sigma_3\ne0σ~3​=0, and (5.19), (5.21) carry the heading σ3≠0\sigma_3\ne0σ3​=0 of Table 3 in the goal.
  • The quotient bounds on uuu hold for each ttt and each pair x1≠x2x_1\ne x_2x1​=x2​ almost surely.
  • Lemma 5.1 additionally assumes y1≤y2y^1\le y^2y1≤y2 and L≥0L\ge0L≥0, both implicit on the page.

The constants ε\varepsilonε, δ\deltaδ and CCC are chosen before the probability space and the coefficients. A formalization that places them after the coefficients, integrates without integrability, divides at the pole 1−σ3y=01-\sigma_3y=01−σ3​y=0, uses a real-valued essential supremum of an unbounded family, or states uniqueness without a solution class would make the statements vacuous or false; none of these is used.

Contributions are welcome on every milestone. The ODE layer (Lemma 5.1 and the a priori bounds of Theorems 5.9–5.11) needs only real analysis and is a natural first target. The stochastic layer needs Itô-integral facts (linearity, restriction to subintervals, the Burkholder–Davis–Gundy and Doob inequalities in L2L^2L2) and the Lipschitz BSDE theory; these are reusable well beyond this mission.

Selected references

  • J. Ma, Z. Wu, D. Zhang, J. Zhang, On well-posedness of forward–backward SDEs—a unified approach, Ann. Appl. Probab. 25(4):2168–2214, 2015. https://arxiv.org/abs/1110.4658
  • F. Antonelli, Backward–forward stochastic differential equations, Ann. Appl. Probab. 3(3):777–793, 1993. https://doi.org/10.1214/aoap/1177005363
  • J. Ma, P. Protter, J. Yong, Solving forward–backward stochastic differential equations explicitly — a four step scheme, Probab. Theory Related Fields 98:339–359, 1994. https://doi.org/10.1007/BF01192258
  • Y. Hu, S. Peng, Solution of forward–backward stochastic differential equations, Probab. Theory Related Fields 103:273–283, 1995. https://doi.org/10.1007/BF01204218
  • S. Peng, Z. Wu, Fully coupled forward–backward stochastic differential equations and applications to optimal control, SIAM J. Control Optim. 37(3):825–843, 1999. https://doi.org/10.1137/S0363012996313549
  • F. Delarue, On the existence and uniqueness of solutions to FBSDEs in a non-degenerate case, Stochastic Process. Appl. 99:209–286, 2002. https://doi.org/10.1016/S0304-4149(02)00085-6
  • J. Ma, J. Yong, Forward–Backward Stochastic Differential Equations and their Applications, Lecture Notes in Math. 1702, Springer, 1999. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-540-48831-6
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Algebraic GeometryOptimization·Captain: mikedeng1

Exploiting Symmetries in SDP-Relaxations for Polynomial Optimization 2: A Symmetric Quartic Is Nonnegative iff Each Restriction f^ω to a 2-Partition ω Is a Sum of SquaresResearch Paper

Motivation

Deciding whether a real polynomial is non-negative on Rn\mathbb R^nRn is NP-hard already for quartics, and the standard computational substitute is to ask whether it is a sum of squares (SOS) of polynomials, which is a semidefinite feasibility problem. The two notions agree only in three cases, determined by Hilbert in 1888: univariate polynomials, quadratic forms, and ternary quartic forms (equivalently, polynomials of degree at most 4 in two variables). Outside those cases there are non-negative polynomials that are not SOS, among them symmetric ones: Choi and Lam exhibited a symmetric quartic form in four variables that is non-negative but not SOS.

Many polynomial optimization problems are symmetric, invariant under permutations of the variables. Riener, Theobald, Jansson Andrén and Lasserre (arXiv:1103.0486, Math. Oper. Res. 2013) study how symmetry reduces the size of SDP relaxations. Their §5 uses the degree principle, introduced by Timofte (2003) and refined by Riener (2012), to replace one symmetric problem in nnn variables by finitely many problems in few variables. For symmetric quartics this yields an exact SOS certificate of non-negativity in every dimension: Theorem 5.5, the goal of this mission.

Timeline:

  • 1888: Hilbert shows that non-negative ternary quartic forms are sums of squares (of quadratic forms).
  • 1977: Choi and Lam give a non-negative symmetric quartic form in four variables that is not SOS.
  • 2003: Timofte proves the half-degree principle for symmetric polynomials (J. Math. Anal. Appl.).
  • 2012: Riener refines it to semialgebraic constraints, with r=max⁡{2,⌊deg⁡f/2⌋,deg⁡gj}r = \max\{2, \lfloor \deg f/2\rfloor, \deg g_j\}r=max{2,⌊degf/2⌋,deggj​} (J. Pure Appl. Algebra).
  • 2012–2013: Riener, Theobald, Jansson Andrén and Lasserre derive Theorem 5.5.

Setting

Let R[X]=R[X1,…,Xn]\mathbb R[X] = \mathbb R[X_1, \dots, X_n]R[X]=R[X1​,…,Xn​]. A polynomial fff is symmetric if f(Xσ(1),…,Xσ(n))=ff(X_{\sigma(1)}, \dots, X_{\sigma(n)}) = ff(Xσ(1)​,…,Xσ(n)​)=f for every permutation σ\sigmaσ; its degree deg⁡f\deg fdegf is the total degree. A polynomial ppp is a sum of squares if p=∑i=1khi2p = \sum_{i=1}^k h_i^2p=∑i=1k​hi2​ for some polynomials hih_ihi​ in the same variables.

For symmetric f,g1,…,gm∈R[X]f, g_1, \dots, g_m \in \mathbb R[X]f,g1​,…,gm​∈R[X] put

K={x∈Rn:g1(x)≥0,…,gm(x)≥0},r:=max⁡{2,⌊(deg⁡f)/2⌋,deg⁡g1,…,deg⁡gm},K = \{x \in \mathbb R^n : g_1(x) \ge 0, \dots, g_m(x) \ge 0\}, \qquad r := \max\{2, \lfloor (\deg f)/2 \rfloor, \deg g_1, \dots, \deg g_m\},K={x∈Rn:g1​(x)≥0,…,gm​(x)≥0},r:=max{2,⌊(degf)/2⌋,degg1​,…,deggm​},

and let Ar⊆RnA_r \subseteq \mathbb R^nAr​⊆Rn be the set of points with at most rrr distinct components.

An rrr-partition of nnn is a vector ω=(ω1,…,ωr)\omega = (\omega_1, \dots, \omega_r)ω=(ω1​,…,ωr​) of positive, non-increasing integers with ω1+⋯+ωr=n\omega_1 + \dots + \omega_r = nω1​+⋯+ωr​=n; Ω\OmegaΩ denotes the set of all of them. For ω∈Ω\omega \in \Omegaω∈Ω,

fω:=f(T1,…,T1⏟ω1,…,Tr,…,Tr⏟ωr)∈R[T1,…,Tr],f^\omega := f(\underbrace{T_1, \dots, T_1}_{\omega_1}, \dots, \underbrace{T_r, \dots, T_r}_{\omega_r}) \in \mathbb R[T_1, \dots, T_r],fω:=f(ω1​T1​,…,T1​​​,…,ωr​Tr​,…,Tr​​​)∈R[T1​,…,Tr​],

and Kω:={t∈Rr:g1ω(t)≥0,…,gmω(t)≥0}K^\omega := \{t \in \mathbb R^r : g_1^\omega(t) \ge 0, \dots, g_m^\omega(t) \ge 0\}Kω:={t∈Rr:g1ω​(t)≥0,…,gmω​(t)≥0}. For r=2r = 2r=2 the partitions are (ω1,ω2)(\omega_1, \omega_2)(ω1​,ω2​) with ω1≥ω2≥1\omega_1 \ge \omega_2 \ge 1ω1​≥ω2​≥1, ω1+ω2=n\omega_1 + \omega_2 = nω1​+ω2​=n; there are ⌊n/2⌋\lfloor n/2 \rfloor⌊n/2⌋ of them.

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem 5.5 (p. 23)

For n≥2n \ge 2n≥2 and a symmetric f∈R[X1,…,Xn]f \in \mathbb R[X_1, \dots, X_n]f∈R[X1​,…,Xn​] of degree 444,

(∀x∈Rn: f(x)≥0)  ⟺  (∀ω∈Ω: fω is a sum of squares in R[T1,T2]),\big(\forall x \in \mathbb R^n:\ f(x) \ge 0\big) \iff \big(\forall \omega \in \Omega:\ f^\omega \text{ is a sum of squares in } \mathbb R[T_1, T_2]\big),(∀x∈Rn: f(x)≥0)⟺(∀ω∈Ω: fω is a sum of squares in R[T1​,T2​]),

with Ω\OmegaΩ the set of 2-partitions of nnn.

Milestones

  1. Proposition 5.1 (p. 21, quoted from Riener [33, Theorem 4.5]), the degree principle:
inf⁡x∈Kf(x)=inf⁡x∈K∩Arf(x).\inf_{x \in K} f(x) = \inf_{x \in K \cap A_r} f(x).x∈Kinf​f(x)=x∈K∩Ar​inf​f(x).
  1. Display (5.1) (p. 22), for r≤nr \le nr≤n:
inf⁡x∈Kf(x)=min⁡ω∈Ω inf⁡t∈Kωfω(t).\inf_{x \in K} f(x) = \min_{\omega \in \Omega}\ \inf_{t \in K^\omega} f^\omega(t).x∈Kinf​f(x)=ω∈Ωmin​ t∈Kωinf​fω(t).
  1. Hilbert's theorem (p. 23): every non-negative ternary quartic form is a sum of squares.
  2. The step of the proof of Theorem 5.5 (p. 23): a polynomial in two variables of degree at most 4 is non-negative if and only if it is a sum of squares.

Significance

Theorem 5.5 turns non-negativity of a symmetric quartic in any number of variables into ⌊n/2⌋\lfloor n/2 \rfloor⌊n/2⌋ semidefinite feasibility problems of fixed size, one per 2-partition, each in two variables. This is a certificate scheme that is exact, in contrast with the SOS relaxation in nnn variables, which fails for the Choi–Lam quartic. Proposition 5.1 and (5.1) are the general mechanism behind it, and they apply to any symmetric problem whose degrees are small relative to nnn: they underlie the reduced relaxation hierarchy of Theorem 5.2 of the same paper.

All four milestones and the goal are proved results in the literature; the work is formalization. As far as a search of the platform shows, neither the degree principle nor Hilbert's ternary quartic theorem has a machine-checked statement on Prove2Me, and Mathlib has the vocabulary (MvPolynomial.IsSymmetric, IsSumSq) but neither theorem. Hilbert's theorem is a classical result of real algebraic geometry that is reusable far beyond this mission, for example in any SOS-exactness argument in low dimension.

Difficulty

The obvious route to the goal is to apply Hilbert's theorem to each fωf^\omegafω, and that is the whole printed proof; it gives only the direction "non-negative implies every fωf^\omegafω is SOS". The converse, "every fωf^\omegafω SOS implies fff non-negative", is not a consequence of Hilbert's theorem: it says that a symmetric quartic attains its infimum, if anywhere, on points with at most two distinct coordinate values, which is the degree principle with r=max⁡{2,⌊4/2⌋}=2r = \max\{2, \lfloor 4/2 \rfloor\} = 2r=max{2,⌊4/2⌋}=2. The paper quotes the degree principle from Riener's earlier work without proof, and it is not available in Mathlib.

Hilbert's theorem itself is the hardest item. It is a statement about all non-negative quartic forms in three variables, with no symmetry to exploit, and every known proof needs substantial real algebraic geometry beyond what Mathlib provides; it is not a computation on a Gram matrix.

Formalization scope

Polynomials are MvPolynomial (Fin n) ℝ; evaluation is MvPolynomial.eval; degree is totalDegree; symmetric is MvPolynomial.IsSymmetric; sum of squares is Mathlib's IsSumSq in the relevant polynomial ring (the empty sum 000 is allowed, as on the page). An rrr-partition is encoded by its block map b:Fin n→Fin rb : \mathrm{Fin}\ n \to \mathrm{Fin}\ rb:Fin n→Fin r, required to be monotone, surjective and with non-increasing fibre sizes; this is in bijection with the page's Ω\OmegaΩ, and fωf^\omegafω is the substitution Xi↦Tb(i)X_i \mapsto T_{b(i)}Xi​↦Tb(i)​. Infima in Proposition 5.1 and (5.1) are taken in EReal, so empty feasible sets give +∞+\infty+∞ and unbounded problems give −∞-\infty−∞; no extended-real arithmetic is used.

Disclosed additions and readings, each forced by the page:

  • n≥2n \ge 2n≥2 in Theorem 5.5. For n=1n = 1n=1 there is no 2-partition and f=X14−1f = X_1^4 - 1f=X14​−1 is a counterexample.
  • r≤nr \le nr≤n in (5.1). For r>nr > nr>n there is no rrr-partition and the right-hand side is +∞+\infty+∞.
  • "Ternary quartic polynomial" is a ternary quartic form in Hilbert's theorem; the inhomogeneous reading is false.
  • "Of degree 4" is "degree at most 4" in the step of the proof (milestone 4), since substitution can lower the degree; the goal keeps "degree exactly 4" as printed.

Ruled out: replacing "sum of squares" by non-negativity of fωf^\omegafω (which would make the goal Proposition 5.1 alone), real-valued infima (which are 000 on empty or unbounded sets), or arbitrary maps Fin n→Fin 2\mathrm{Fin}\ n \to \mathrm{Fin}\ 2Fin n→Fin 2 in place of 2-partitions.

Welcome contributions: Hilbert's theorem on ternary quartics in any standard form; homogenization and dehomogenization lemmas for MvPolynomial and IsSumSq; the degree principle, first for K=RnK = \mathbb R^nK=Rn (the case the goal needs) and then with constraints.

Selected references

  • C. Riener, T. Theobald, L. Jansson Andrén, J. B. Lasserre, Exploiting symmetries in SDP-relaxations for polynomial optimization, Math. Oper. Res. 38(1):122–141, 2013; arXiv:1103.0486v3. https://arxiv.org/abs/1103.0486, https://doi.org/10.1287/moor.1120.0558
  • C. Riener, On the degree and half-degree principle for symmetric polynomials, J. Pure Appl. Algebra 216(4):850–856, 2012. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jpaa.2011.08.012
  • V. Timofte, On the positivity of symmetric polynomial functions. Part I: General results, J. Math. Anal. Appl. 284(1):174–190, 2003. https://doi.org/10.1016/S0022-247X(03)00301-9
  • D. Hilbert, Über die Darstellung definiter Formen als Summe von Formenquadraten, Math. Ann. 32:342–350, 1888. https://doi.org/10.1007/BF01443605
  • M. D. Choi, T. Y. Lam, Extremal positive semidefinite forms, Math. Ann. 231:1–18, 1977. https://doi.org/10.1007/BF01360024
7 thms1 active userReviewed
Operations ResearchOptimizationProbability+1·Captain: mikedeng1

Residuals-based distributionally robust optimization with covariate information 2: Sample Robust and Same-Support ER-DRO Converge at the Rate O_p(n^(−r/2))Research Paper

Decisions with covariate information

In many operational problems the decision zzz is taken after observing covariates xxx (weather, calendar, prices) that carry information about an uncertain quantity YYY (demand, yield, return). The target is the conditional stochastic program: minimize E[c(z,Y)∣X=x]\mathbb E[c(z,Y)\mid X=x]E[c(z,Y)∣X=x] over a feasible set Z\mathcal ZZ. Kannan, Bayraksan and Luedtke (Math. Program. 2023) approach it in two steps: fit a regression model of YYY on XXX, then use the regression residuals as scenarios of the uncertainty at the new covariate xxx. Their earlier work (Kannan, Bayraksan, Luedtke, arXiv:2207.13554) analysed the sample average approximation built in this way (ER-SAA). The 2023 paper wraps the same scenarios in a distributionally robust problem, to protect against the small-sample error of the regression and of the residuals.

This mission formalizes the paper's rate of convergence for a family of ambiguity sets that contains sample robust optimization and reweighting (φ-divergence, CVaR) sets as special cases.

Setting

Responses Y∈RdyY\in\mathbb R^{d_y}Y∈Rdy​ follow Y=f∗(X)+εY=f^*(X)+\varepsilonY=f∗(X)+ε, with regression function f∗f^*f∗ and error ε\varepsilonε of law PεP_\varepsilonPε​. A known nonempty closed convex set Y\mathcal YY contains the range of YYY, with orthogonal projection projY\mathrm{proj}_{\mathcal Y}projY​. From data Dn={(yi,xi)}i=1n\mathcal D_n=\{(y^i,x^i)\}_{i=1}^nDn​={(yi,xi)}i=1n​, with εi=yi−f∗(xi)\varepsilon^i=y^i-f^*(x^i)εi=yi−f∗(xi), one computes a regression estimate f^n\hat f_nf^​n​ and residuals ε^ni=yi−f^n(xi)\hat\varepsilon^i_n=y^i-\hat f_n(x^i)ε^ni​=yi−f^​n​(xi). At a covariate realization xxx the scenarios are projY(f^n(x)+ε^ni)\mathrm{proj}_{\mathcal Y}(\hat f_n(x)+\hat\varepsilon^i_n)projY​(f^​n​(x)+ε^ni​).

The true problem (3) is v∗(x)=min⁡z∈Zg(z;x)v^*(x)=\min_{z\in\mathcal Z}g(z;x)v∗(x)=minz∈Z​g(z;x) with g(z;x)=E[c(z,f∗(x)+ε)]g(z;x)=\mathbb E[c(z,f^*(x)+\varepsilon)]g(z;x)=E[c(z,f∗(x)+ε)], and the full-information SAA objective (4) is gn∗(z;x)=1n∑ic(z,f∗(x)+εi)g^*_n(z;x)=\frac1n\sum_i c(z,f^*(x)+\varepsilon^i)gn∗​(z;x)=n1​∑i​c(z,f∗(x)+εi).

The unified ambiguity family of §5 has two radii. μn(x)≥0\mu_n(x)\ge0μn​(x)≥0 is the radius of balls Y^ni={y∈Y:∥y−projY(f^n(x)+ε^ni)∥≤μn(x)}\hat{\mathcal Y}^i_n=\{y\in\mathcal Y:\|y-\mathrm{proj}_{\mathcal Y}(\hat f_n(x)+\hat\varepsilon^i_n)\|\le\mu_n(x)\}Y^​ni​={y∈Y:∥y−projY​(f^​n​(x)+ε^ni​)∥≤μn​(x)} around each scenario. Pn=Pn(x;ζn(x))\mathfrak P_n=\mathfrak P_n(x;\zeta_n(x))Pn​=Pn​(x;ζn​(x)) is a set of probability vectors that shrinks to the uniform weights. The worst-case expected cost over the distributions ∑ipiδyˉi\sum_ip_i\delta_{\bar y^i}∑i​pi​δyˉ​i​ with p∈Pnp\in\mathfrak P_np∈Pn​ and yˉi∈Y^ni\bar y^i\in\hat{\mathcal Y}^i_nyˉ​i∈Y^​ni​ is the ER-DRO objective

g^s,nER(z;x)=sup⁡p∈Pn∑i=1npisup⁡y∈Y^nic(z,y),\hat g^{ER}_{s,n}(z;x)=\sup_{p\in\mathfrak P_n}\sum_{i=1}^n p_i\sup_{y\in\hat{\mathcal Y}^i_n}c(z,y),g^​s,nER​(z;x)=p∈Pn​sup​i=1∑n​pi​y∈Y^​ni​sup​c(z,y),

and the ER-DRO problem (8) is v^nDRO(x)=min⁡z∈Zg^s,nER(z;x)\hat v^{DRO}_n(x)=\min_{z\in\mathcal Z}\hat g^{ER}_{s,n}(z;x)v^nDRO​(x)=minz∈Z​g^​s,nER​(z;x), with optimal solution z^nDRO(x)\hat z^{DRO}_n(x)z^nDRO​(x). Taking ζn≡0\zeta_n\equiv0ζn​≡0 gives sample robust optimization; taking μn≡0\mu_n\equiv0μn​≡0 gives ambiguity sets with the same support as the empirical residual distribution. The intermediate objective gs,n∗(z;x)=sup⁡p∈Pn∑ipi c(z,f∗(x)+εi)g^*_{s,n}(z;x)=\sup_{p\in\mathfrak P_n}\sum_ip_i\,c(z,f^*(x)+\varepsilon^i)gs,n∗​(z;x)=supp∈Pn​​∑i​pi​c(z,f∗(x)+εi) reweights the true scenarios.

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem 17 (p. 24)

Assume the following:

  • Assumption 9: c(z,⋅)c(z,\cdot)c(z,⋅) is Lipschitz on Y\mathcal YY, with constants L(z)L(z)L(z) bounded on Z\mathcal ZZ.
  • Assumption 12: sup⁡p∈Pn∑i(pi−1n)2=Cζn−(1+r)\sup_{p\in\mathfrak P_n}\sum_i(p_i-\frac1n)^2=C_\zeta n^{-(1+r)}supp∈Pn​​∑i​(pi​−n1​)2=Cζ​n−(1+r).
  • Assumption 13: a uniform weak LLN for c2c^2c2.
  • Assumption 14: a functional CLT for n(gn∗−g)\sqrt n(g^*_n-g)n​(gn∗​−g) in C(Z)C(\mathcal Z)C(Z).
  • Assumption 15: the regression rate ∥f∗(x)−f^n(x)∥2=Op(n−r)\|f^*(x)-\hat f_n(x)\|^2=O_p(n^{-r})∥f∗(x)−f^​n​(x)∥2=Op​(n−r) and 1n∑i∥f∗(xi)−f^n(xi)∥2=Op(n−r)\frac1n\sum_i\|f^*(x^i)-\hat f_n(x^i)\|^2=O_p(n^{-r})n1​∑i​∥f∗(xi)−f^​n​(xi)∥2=Op​(n−r) with 0<r≤10<r\le10<r≤1.
  • The radius is μn=Cμn−r/2\mu_n=C_\mu n^{-r/2}μn​=Cμ​n−r/2.

Then

∣v^nDRO(x)−v∗(x)∣=Op(n−r/2),∣g(z^nDRO(x);x)−v∗(x)∣=Op(n−r/2).\bigl|\hat v^{DRO}_n(x)-v^*(x)\bigr|=O_p(n^{-r/2}),\qquad \bigl|g(\hat z^{DRO}_n(x);x)-v^*(x)\bigr|=O_p(n^{-r/2}).​v^nDRO​(x)−v∗(x)​=Op​(n−r/2),​g(z^nDRO​(x);x)−v∗(x)​=Op​(n−r/2).

Milestones

  1. Lemma 14, the deterministic three-term bound (12) on sup⁡z∣g^s,nER−g∣\sup_z|\hat g^{ER}_{s,n}-g|supz​∣g^​s,nER​−g∣.
  2. sup⁡z∣g^s,nER−gs,n∗∣=Op(n−r/2)\sup_z|\hat g^{ER}_{s,n}-g^*_{s,n}|=O_p(n^{-r/2})supz​∣g^​s,nER​−gs,n∗​∣=Op​(n−r/2), the regression term.
  3. sup⁡z∣gs,n∗−gn∗∣=Op(n−r/2)\sup_z|g^*_{s,n}-g^*_n|=O_p(n^{-r/2})supz​∣gs,n∗​−gn∗​∣=Op​(n−r/2), the reweighting term.
  4. sup⁡z∣gn∗−g∣=Op(n−1/2)\sup_z|g^*_n-g|=O_p(n^{-1/2})supz​∣gn∗​−g∣=Op​(n−1/2), the full-information term.
  5. sup⁡z∣g^s,nER−g∣=Op(n−r/2)\sup_z|\hat g^{ER}_{s,n}-g|=O_p(n^{-r/2})supz​∣g^​s,nER​−g∣=Op​(n−r/2), the uniform rate of the objective.

Significance

Theorem 17 shows that robustifying the residuals-based SAA costs nothing in rate. With ρ=1+r\rho=1+rρ=1+r the ER-DRO estimators converge at the rate n−r/2n^{-r/2}n−r/2 of the ER-SAA estimators, which is set by the regression step: r=1r=1r=1 for OLS or Lasso, and r=C/dxr=C/d_xr=C/dx​ for kernel regression or random forests. It covers in one statement sample-robust sets, φ-divergence sets and CVaR sets around the residual scenarios. It is the template for the paper's mean-rate analogue (Theorem 18) and for the consistency results (Proposition 15, Theorem 16), which reuse Lemma 14.

The result is proved in the paper; nothing in it is machine-checked. The mission produces checked versions of the decomposition (12) and of each OpO_pOp​ step. It also produces a reusable OpO_pOp​ predicate, a statement of a functional CLT in C(Z)C(\mathcal Z)C(Z) through Mathlib's convergence in distribution, and the passage from a uniform objective rate to rates for the optimal value and the out-of-sample cost.

Difficulty

The paper's proof is short, but each line hides a step. The obvious bound on the regression term uses the plain average 1n∑i∥ε~ni∥\frac1n\sum_i\|\tilde\varepsilon^i_n\|n1​∑i​∥ε~ni​∥. Under a reweighting p∈Pnp\in\mathfrak P_np∈Pn​ that average is no longer what appears, and controlling ∑ipi∥ε~ni∥\sum_ip_i\|\tilde\varepsilon^i_n\|∑i​pi​∥ε~ni​∥ needs the factor (1+n∑i(pi−1n)2)1/2(1+n\sum_i(p_i-\frac1n)^2)^{1/2}(1+n∑i​(pi​−n1​)2)1/2, which stays bounded only because of the rate in Assumption 12.

The full-information term needs tightness of sup⁡z∣n(gn∗−g)∣\sup_z|\sqrt n(g^*_n-g)|supz​∣n​(gn∗​−g)∣ from convergence in distribution in C(Z)C(\mathcal Z)C(Z). That is a continuous-mapping and Portmanteau argument on a function space, not on R\mathbb RR.

All suprema over zzz may be infinite for individual data realizations, and the probabilities of the events involved need not be measurable. Arithmetic with OpO_pOp​ (sums, products with Op(1)O_p(1)Op​(1), comparing rates n−1/2≤n−r/2n^{-1/2}\le n^{-r/2}n−1/2≤n−r/2) must be carried out with these in mind.

Formalization scope

Carriers are the Euclidean spaces Rdx\mathbb R^{d_x}Rdx​, Rdy\mathbb R^{d_y}Rdy​, Rdz\mathbb R^{d_z}Rdz​. The data are random variables on a probability space (Ω,P)(\Omega,P)(Ω,P), and sample i∈[n]i\in[n]i∈[n] is i : Fin n. The covariate xxx is fixed, and the paper's "for a.e. xxx" assumptions are hypotheses at that xxx. No i.i.d. assumption is made. Pn\mathfrak P_nPn​ is a nonempty subset of the probability simplex. The limit clause of (9) concerns the family in the radius at fixed nnn; Theorem 17 does not use it, so it is omitted. Assumption 12 is printed as an equality for every nnn, which cannot hold at n=1n=1n=1 (there P1⊆{(1)}\mathfrak P_1\subseteq\{(1)\}P1​⊆{(1)}), so it is required for all large nnn. g^s,nER\hat g^{ER}_{s,n}g^​s,nER​ is defined by the explicit formula of p. 20, which the paper states equals the worst-case expectation over P^n(x)\hat{\mathcal P}_n(x)P^n​(x). z^nDRO\hat z^{DRO}_nz^nDRO​ and a true minimizer z∗z^*z∗ are taken as given selections of minimizers; the paper's standing assumptions guarantee they exist.

Op(wn)O_p(w_n)Op​(wn​) means: for every δ>0\delta>0δ>0 there are M>0M>0M>0 and NNN with P(Vn>Mwn)≤δP(V_n>Mw_n)\le\deltaP(Vn​>Mwn​)≤δ for all n≥Nn\ge Nn≥N, for [0,∞][0,\infty][0,∞]-valued VnV_nVn​. Every supremum over zzz is computed in [0,∞][0,\infty][0,∞], so an unbounded family is never read as 000. Convergence in distribution is Mathlib's TendstoInDistribution for the Borel σ\sigmaσ-algebra on C(Z)C(\mathcal Z)C(Z).

The sample-robust balls are centred at the projected residual scenarios, not at the true scenarios f∗(x)+εif^*(x)+\varepsilon^if∗(x)+εi. Centring them at the true scenarios would make the regression term vanish and the goal close to the full-information result.

A complete development needs the Cauchy–Schwarz steps of Appendix A.6 and the nonexpansiveness of the projection onto a closed convex set (inequality (6)). It also needs a calculus of OpO_pOp​, tightness of norms under convergence in distribution in C(Z)C(\mathcal Z)C(Z), and the passage from uniform objective rates to optimal-value rates. The OpO_pOp​ calculus and the tightness lemma are reusable beyond this paper. Contributions proving any milestone, or general OpO_pOp​ lemmas as separate theorems, are welcome.

Selected references

  • R. Kannan, G. Bayraksan, J. R. Luedtke, Residuals-based distributionally robust optimization with covariate information, Mathematical Programming, 2023. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10107-023-02014-7
  • R. Kannan, G. Bayraksan, J. R. Luedtke, Data-driven sample average approximation with covariate information, arXiv:2207.13554 (2022). https://arxiv.org/abs/2207.13554
  • A. Shapiro, D. Dentcheva, A. Ruszczyński, Lectures on Stochastic Programming: Modeling and Theory, SIAM, 2009. https://doi.org/10.1137/1.9780898718751
  • A. Ben-Tal, D. den Hertog, A. De Waegenaere, B. Melenberg, G. Rennen, Robust solutions of optimization problems affected by uncertain probabilities, Management Science 59(2), 2013. https://doi.org/10.1287/mnsc.1120.1641
  • D. Bertsimas, S. Shtern, B. Sturt, Two-stage sample robust optimization, Operations Research 70(1), 2022. https://doi.org/10.1287/opre.2020.2096
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CombinatoricsGraph TheoryLinear Optimization+1·Captain: mikedeng1

Shorter Tours by Nicer Ears 3: Every 2-Edge-Connected Graph Has a 2-Edge-Connected Spanning Subgraph with at Most 4/3 LP(G) EdgesResearch Paper

Motivation

Designing a network that survives the failure of any single link is a basic problem of network design: given a graph GGG whose links can be bought, choose as few links as possible so that the chosen subgraph still connects all vertices after any one of its links is removed. This is the minimum 2-edge-connected spanning subgraph problem (2ECSS). It is NP-hard, since the 2-edge-connected spanning subgraphs with ∣V(G)∣|V(G)|∣V(G)∣ edges are exactly the Hamiltonian circuits, and it is a relaxation of the graphic travelling salesman problem: every tour of a 2-edge-connected graph yields a 2ECSS with at most as many edges.

Timeline of approximation ratios for unweighted 2ECSS:

  • taking a spanning tree and doubling it gives ratio 2;
  • Khuller and Vishkin (1994) gave a 3/23/23/2-approximation;
  • Cheriyan, Sebő and Szigeti (2001) improved the ratio to 17/1217/1217/12, using ear-decompositions with few even ears;
  • Sebő and Vygen (2012, Combinatorica 2014) obtained 4/34/34/3, measured against the linear programming relaxation, as part of the same paper that gives 7/57/57/5 for graphic TSP and 3/23/23/2 for connected-TTT-joins (arXiv:1201.1870).

Setting

A graph GGG has finite vertex and edge sets; every edge has two distinct ends, and parallel edges are allowed. For W⊆V(G)W\subseteq V(G)W⊆V(G), δ(W)\delta(W)δ(W) is the set of edges with exactly one end in WWW, and for x∈RE(G)x\in\mathbb R^{E(G)}x∈RE(G) we write x(S)=∑e∈Sxex(S)=\sum_{e\in S}x_ex(S)=∑e∈S​xe​. An edge set F⊆E(G)F\subseteq E(G)F⊆E(G) is 2-edge-connected spanning (a 2ECSS of GGG) if (V(G),F)(V(G),F)(V(G),F) is connected and stays connected after the deletion of any single edge of FFF; GGG is 2-edge-connected if E(G)E(G)E(G) is.

The cut relaxation of 2ECSS is

LP(G)=min⁡{x(E(G)):x∈R≥0E(G), x(δ(W))≥2 for all ∅≠W⊊V(G)}.\mathrm{LP}(G)=\min\Bigl\{x(E(G)) : x\in\mathbb R^{E(G)}_{\ge0},\ x(\delta(W))\ge2\ \text{for all}\ \emptyset\ne W\subsetneq V(G)\Bigr\}.LP(G)=min{x(E(G)):x∈R≥0E(G)​, x(δ(W))≥2 for all ∅=W⊊V(G)}.

Every 2ECSS crosses every cut at least twice, so LP(G)≤OPT2EC(G)\mathrm{LP}(G)\le\mathrm{OPT}_{2EC}(G)LP(G)≤OPT2EC​(G), the minimum size of a 2-edge-connected spanning multi-subgraph.

An ear-decomposition of GGG starts from a single vertex and adds ears P1,…,PkP_1,\dots,P_kP1​,…,Pk​: paths whose two ends, or circuits whose one vertex, lie on the earlier ears, and whose other (internal) vertices in(Pi)\mathrm{in}(P_i)in(Pi​) are new. The ears partition E(G)E(G)E(G). An ear of length lll is even if lll is even, nontrivial if l≥2l\ge2l≥2, and short if l∈{2,3}l\in\{2,3\}l∈{2,3}. A nontrivial ear is pendant if no nontrivial ear has an end among its internal vertices; π\piπ denotes the number of pendant ears. φ(G)\varphi(G)φ(G) is the minimum number of even ears over all ear-decompositions, and Lφ(G)=∣V(G)∣+φ(G)−1L_\varphi(G)=|V(G)|+\varphi(G)-1Lφ​(G)=∣V(G)∣+φ(G)−1.

An ear-decomposition is nice if it has φ(G)\varphi(G)φ(G) even ears, all its short ears are pendant, and internal vertices of different short ears are non-adjacent. The internal vertex sets of its short ears avoiding a set TTT form an eardrum MMM. An earmuff chooses, for some F⊆MF\subseteq MF⊆M, a path PfP_fPf​ with in(Pf)=f\mathrm{in}(P_f)=fin(Pf​)=f for each f∈Ff\in Ff∈F so that the union of their edges is a forest. μ(G,M)\mu(G,M)μ(G,M) is the largest such ∣F∣|F|∣F∣, and Lμ(G,M)=∣V(G)∣−1+∣M∣−μ(G,M)L_\mu(G,M)=|V(G)|-1+|M|-\mu(G,M)Lμ​(G,M)=∣V(G)∣−1+∣M∣−μ(G,M).

Formalization targets

Goal (Theorem 30, p. 22)

For every 2-edge-connected graph GGG there is a 2ECSS F⊆E(G)F\subseteq E(G)F⊆E(G) with

∣F∣ ≤ 43 LP(G).|F|\ \le\ \tfrac43\,\mathrm{LP}(G).∣F∣ ≤ 34​LP(G).

Milestones, in the order of the paper's proof

  1. Proposition 2: OPT(G)≥OPT2EC(G)≥LP(G)≥∣V(G)∣\mathrm{OPT}(G)\ge\mathrm{OPT}_{2EC}(G)\ge\mathrm{LP}(G)\ge|V(G)|OPT(G)≥OPT2EC​(G)≥LP(G)≥∣V(G)∣.
  2. Proposition 4: OPT(G,T)\mathrm{OPT}(G,T)OPT(G,T), OPT2EC(G)\mathrm{OPT}_{2EC}(G)OPT2EC​(G) and LP(G,T)\mathrm{LP}(G,T)LP(G,T) split additively over a cut vertex, so it suffices to treat 2-vertex-connected graphs.
  3. §1, p. 3: a tour in a 2-edge-connected graph gives a 2ECSS with at most as many edges.
  4. Theorem 7 (Frank): some even TTT has τ(G,T)=12Lφ(G)\tau(G,T)=\tfrac12L_\varphi(G)τ(G,T)=21​Lφ​(G).
  5. Theorem 19 (Cheriyan, Sebő, Szigeti): Lφ(G)≤LP(G)L_\varphi(G)\le\mathrm{LP}(G)Lφ​(G)≤LP(G).
  6. Corollary 21: Lμ(G,M)≤LP(G)L_\mu(G,M)\le\mathrm{LP}(G)Lμ​(G,M)≤LP(G).
  7. Lemma 23: a 2-vertex-connected graph has a nice ear-decomposition containing a maximum earmuff.
  8. Theorem 24: a connected-TTT-join, and for T=∅T=\emptysetT=∅ a tour, with at most Lμ(G,M)+12Lφ(G)−πL_\mu(G,M)+\tfrac12L_\varphi(G)-\piLμ​(G,M)+21​Lφ​(G)−π edges.
  9. Claim, p. 23: the nontrivial ears form a 2ECSS with at most 54Lφ(G)+12π\tfrac54L_\varphi(G)+\tfrac12\pi45​Lφ​(G)+21​π edges.

Significance

The theorem gives a polynomial-time 4/34/34/3-approximation for unweighted 2ECSS. Because it compares with LP(G)\mathrm{LP}(G)LP(G) rather than with the optimum, it also bounds the integrality ratio of the cut relaxation on unweighted instances by 4/34/34/3 (the paper's Corollary 31). The two lower bounds LφL_\varphiLφ​ and LμL_\muLμ​ and the construction of Theorem 24 are shared with the paper's 7/57/57/5 result for graphic TSP and its 3/23/23/2 result for connected-TTT-joins, so the milestones of this mission are also steps toward those results.

The theorem is proved in the paper, and to the best of current knowledge none of it is machine-checked: there is no formal development of ear-decompositions, of Frank's even-ear parameter φ(G)\varphi(G)φ(G), or of 2ECSS approximation in Mathlib or on Prove2Me. The work here is formalizing the known proofs. Theorems 7 and 19 rest on classical results that are absent from Mathlib: Frank's theorem on ear-decompositions and the Edmonds–Johnson/Lovász packing of TTT-cuts.

Difficulty

The arithmetic of the final step is short: 54+12⋅16=43\tfrac54+\tfrac12\cdot\tfrac16=\tfrac4345​+21​⋅61​=34​ and 32−16=43\tfrac32-\tfrac16=\tfrac4323​−61​=34​. The difficulty lies in the lower bounds and in the decomposition. A natural first idea is to bound every nontrivial ear by its internal vertices. This fails for 3-ears, whose three edges cover only two new vertices, and the paper handles them by making all short ears pendant and pairwise non-adjacent and then re-choosing them as a maximum earmuff. That step needs a matroid-intersection or forest-representative min-max theorem (Theorem 18), which in turn yields Lμ(G,M)≤LP(G)L_\mu(G,M)\le\mathrm{LP}(G)Lμ​(G,M)≤LP(G). The bound Lφ(G)≤LP(G)L_\varphi(G)\le\mathrm{LP}(G)Lφ​(G)≤LP(G) needs Frank's characterization of φ(G)\varphi(G)φ(G) through minimum TTT-joins together with the half-integral packing of TTT-cuts. None of this machinery exists formally yet.

Formalization scope

  • Graphs. Graphs are multigraphs: an edge type EEE with a map to unordered pairs of distinct vertices of VVV. 2G2G2G has edge type E×{0,1}E\times\{0,1\}E×{0,1}. Connectivity is that of the simple graph of pairs joined by at least one chosen edge. 2-edge-connectivity deletes one edge at a time, so two parallel edges are 2-edge-connected and a single edge is not.
  • Algorithms. All algorithmic statements (Theorems 7, 24, 30 and Lemma 23) are formalized as existence statements for every input; running times are not formalized.
  • LP bounds. "≤c⋅LP(G)\le c\cdot\mathrm{LP}(G)≤c⋅LP(G)" is stated as "≤c⋅x(E(G))\le c\cdot x(E(G))≤c⋅x(E(G)) for every feasible xxx", with the solution chosen before xxx. This is equivalent because LP(G)\mathrm{LP}(G)LP(G) is a minimum over the feasible points. Propositions 2 and 4, which compare optimum values, use the LP value as an infimum over the feasible set; that set is nonempty for connected graphs.
  • Graph parameters. φ(G)\varphi(G)φ(G) and μ(G,M)\mu(G,M)μ(G,M) are an infimum over ear-decompositions and a supremum over earmuffs. Every statement using them assumes 2-edge-connectivity or a given decomposition.
  • 2-vertex-connectivity means 2-edge-connected with no cut vertex. This includes the one-vertex graph and two vertices joined by parallel edges.
  • Added and corrected hypotheses. Proposition 2 adds ∣V(G)∣≥2|V(G)|\ge2∣V(G)∣≥2, since LP(G)=0\mathrm{LP}(G)=0LP(G)=0 for one vertex. Proposition 4 states LP(G,T)=LP(G1,T1)+LP(G2,T2)\mathrm{LP}(G,T)=\mathrm{LP}(G_1,T_1)+\mathrm{LP}(G_2,T_2)LP(G,T)=LP(G1​,T1​)+LP(G2​,T2​), as its proof does; the page prints LP(G,Ti)\mathrm{LP}(G,T_i)LP(G,Ti​).
  • Ruled-out trivializations. The goal is not about simple graphs only, and its subgraph uses each edge of GGG at most once (it is not a multi-subgraph of 2G2G2G). Its feasibility condition is satisfiable: x≡2x\equiv2x≡2 is feasible for every connected GGG. φ\varphiφ and μ\muμ are never evaluated where they take junk values.

Every definition is local to the namespace NicerEars.TwoEC. Reusable beyond this mission:

  • the multigraph setting, TTT-joins and the cut LP;
  • ear-decompositions with φ(G)\varphi(G)φ(G) and pendant ears;
  • eardrums and earmuffs.

Contributions are welcome on any milestone. Especially valuable are Frank's Theorem 7, the TTT-cut packing behind Theorem 19, and the basic fact that a graph with an ear-decomposition is 2-edge-connected.

Selected references

  • A. Sebő, J. Vygen, Shorter tours by nicer ears: 7/5-approximation for graphic TSP, 3/2 for the path version, and 4/3 for two-edge-connected subgraphs, Combinatorica 34 (2014); preprint arXiv:1201.1870v3, 2012. https://arxiv.org/abs/1201.1870v3, https://doi.org/10.1007/s00493-014-2960-3
  • J. Cheriyan, A. Sebő, Z. Szigeti, Improving on the 1.5-approximation of a smallest 2-edge connected spanning subgraph, SIAM J. Discrete Math. 14 (2001) 170–180. https://doi.org/10.1137/S0895480199362071
  • S. Khuller, U. Vishkin, Biconnectivity approximations and graph carvings, J. ACM 41 (1994) 214–235. https://doi.org/10.1145/174652.174654
  • A. Frank, Conservative weightings and ear-decompositions of graphs, Combinatorica 13 (1993) 65–81. https://doi.org/10.1007/BF01202790
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Operations ResearchOptimal TransportOptimization+1·Captain: mikedeng1

A Short and General Duality Proof for Wasserstein Distributionally Robust Optimization III: Under a Tight Nominal Measure, f(x) − λd(x̂, x)^p Satisfies the Interchangeability PrincipleResearch Paper

Motivation

Wasserstein distributionally robust optimization (DRO) replaces the expected loss under a nominal distribution P^\widehat{\mathbb P}P (typically an empirical distribution) by the worst expected loss over all distributions within a given optimal-transport distance of P^\widehat{\mathbb P}P. Its tractability rests on a strong duality theorem that turns a supremum over distributions into a one-dimensional minimization over a multiplier λ≥0\lambda\ge0λ≥0 of an expectation under P^\widehat{\mathbb P}P alone. Such duality results were proved under successively weaker hypotheses: for finitely supported P^\widehat{\mathbb P}P on Rm\mathbb R^mRm by Mohajerin Esfahani and Kuhn (2018), on Polish spaces with lower semicontinuous costs and upper semicontinuous losses by Blanchet and Murthy (2019), and on Polish spaces with general nominal distributions by Gao and Kleywegt (2023). Zhang, Yang and Gao (arXiv:2205.00362v4, 2024) show that, on an arbitrary probability space, strong duality holds exactly when the integrand f(x)−λc(x^,x)f(x)-\lambda c(\widehat x,x)f(x)−λc(x,x) satisfies an interchangeability principle (IP) between expectation and supremum. That reduces every duality question to verifying (IP).

This mission formalizes the paper's Proposition 2, which verifies (IP) for the most common choice of cost, the ppp-th power of a metric, under minimal hypotheses on P^\widehat{\mathbb P}P and on the loss. The paper uses it for distributionally robust Markov decision processes on Borel spaces, where value functions are only measurable for a completed σ\sigmaσ-algebra.

Setting

Let (X,d)(\mathcal X,d)(X,d) be a metric space and F\mathcal FF its Borel σ\sigmaσ-algebra. Let P^\widehat{\mathbb P}P be a probability measure on (X,F)(\mathcal X,\mathcal F)(X,F) that is tight: for every ϵ>0\epsilon>0ϵ>0 there is a compact K⊆XK\subseteq\mathcal XK⊆X with P^(Kc)≤ϵ\widehat{\mathbb P}(K^c)\le\epsilonP(Kc)≤ϵ. Write FP^\mathcal F_{\widehat{\mathbb P}}FP​ for the completion of F\mathcal FF under P^\widehat{\mathbb P}P; a function is P^\widehat{\mathbb P}P-measurable if it is FP^\mathcal F_{\widehat{\mathbb P}}FP​-measurable.

Expectations take values in the extended reals R‾=R∪{±∞}\overline{\mathbb R}=\mathbb R\cup\{\pm\infty\}R=R∪{±∞}: Eν[φ]=∫φ+ dν−∫φ− dν\mathbb E_\nu[\varphi]=\int\varphi^+\,d\nu-\int\varphi^-\,d\nuEν​[φ]=∫φ+dν−∫φ−dν.

Let f:X→Rf:\mathcal X\to\mathbb Rf:X→R be P^\widehat{\mathbb P}P-measurable with EP^[f]>−∞\mathbb E_{\widehat{\mathbb P}}[f]>-\inftyEP​[f]>−∞, let p∈[1,∞)p\in[1,\infty)p∈[1,∞) and λ≥0\lambda\ge0λ≥0, and define

φ(x^,x)=f(x)−λ d(x^,x)p,Φ(x^)=sup⁡x∈Xφ(x^,x)∈R∪{+∞}.\varphi(\widehat x,x)=f(x)-\lambda\,d(\widehat x,x)^p,\qquad \Phi(\widehat x)=\sup_{x\in\mathcal X}\varphi(\widehat x,x)\in\mathbb R\cup\{+\infty\}.φ(x,x)=f(x)−λd(x,x)p,Φ(x)=x∈Xsup​φ(x,x)∈R∪{+∞}.

Let ΓP^\Gamma_{\widehat{\mathbb P}}ΓP​ be the set of probability measures on (X×X,F⊗F)(\mathcal X\times\mathcal X,\mathcal F\otimes\mathcal F)(X×X,F⊗F) whose first marginal is P^\widehat{\mathbb P}P. The function φ\varphiφ satisfies (IP) if Φ\PhiΦ is P^\widehat{\mathbb P}P-measurable and

EX^∼P^[Φ(X^)]=sup⁡γ∈ΓP^E(X^,X)∼γ[φ(X^,X)].\mathbb E_{\widehat X\sim\widehat{\mathbb P}}[\Phi(\widehat X)]=\sup_{\gamma\in\Gamma_{\widehat{\mathbb P}}}\mathbb E_{(\widehat X,X)\sim\gamma}[\varphi(\widehat X,X)].EX∼P​[Φ(X)]=γ∈ΓP​sup​E(X,X)∼γ​[φ(X,X)].

Formalization targets

Goal: Proposition 2 (p. 7)

φ is (F⊗FP^)-measurable (for separable X), and EP^[Φ]=sup⁡γ∈ΓP^Eγ[φ].\varphi \text{ is } (\mathcal F\otimes\mathcal F_{\widehat{\mathbb P}})\text{-measurable (for separable }\mathcal X\text{), and } \mathbb E_{\widehat{\mathbb P}}[\Phi]=\sup_{\gamma\in\Gamma_{\widehat{\mathbb P}}}\mathbb E_\gamma[\varphi].φ is (F⊗FP​)-measurable (for separable X), and EP​[Φ]=γ∈ΓP​sup​Eγ​[φ].

No constant is fixed; the statement holds for every p≥1p\ge1p≥1 and every λ≥0\lambda\ge0λ≥0, including λ=0\lambda=0λ=0, where Φ≡sup⁡f\Phi\equiv\sup fΦ≡supf may be +∞+\infty+∞.

Milestones (steps of the proof, pp. ec4–ec5)

  1. Φ\PhiΦ is lower semicontinuous, hence Borel measurable, for any fff.
  2. Eγ[φ]≤EP^[Φ]\mathbb E_\gamma[\varphi]\le\mathbb E_{\widehat{\mathbb P}}[\Phi]Eγ​[φ]≤EP​[Φ] for every γ∈ΓP^\gamma\in\Gamma_{\widehat{\mathbb P}}γ∈ΓP​.
  3. If EP^[Φ]<+∞\mathbb E_{\widehat{\mathbb P}}[\Phi]<+\inftyEP​[Φ]<+∞ and ϵ>0\epsilon>0ϵ>0, there is a Borel map TTT with
E(Id⊗T)#P^[φ]>−6ϵ+EP^[Φ].\mathbb E_{(\mathrm{Id}\otimes T)_\#\widehat{\mathbb P}}[\varphi]>-6\epsilon+\mathbb E_{\widehat{\mathbb P}}[\Phi].E(Id⊗T)#​P​[φ]>−6ϵ+EP​[Φ].

Significance

Combined with Theorem 1 of the same paper, Proposition 2 yields strong duality for ppp-Wasserstein DRO on any metric space with a tight nominal distribution, in particular on every Polish space and every Borel subset of one, without semicontinuity of the loss. Allowing fff to be merely P^\widehat{\mathbb P}P-measurable is what makes the duality applicable recursively in dynamic programming, where each stage's value function is lower semianalytic rather than Borel.

The result is proved in the paper, with the case EP^[Φ]=+∞\mathbb E_{\widehat{\mathbb P}}[\Phi]=+\inftyEP​[Φ]=+∞ left to the reader. No machine-checked proof of it, or of any Wasserstein DRO duality theorem at this generality, is known to exist. A formalization would supply the omitted case and pin down the measure-theoretic conventions (extended-valued expectations, completed σ\sigmaσ-algebras) that the paper treats briefly.

Difficulty

The inequality "≤\le≤" is pointwise. The reverse inequality requires a near-optimal coupling, i.e. a measurable near-maximizer x(x^)x(\widehat x)x(x) of φ(x^,⋅)\varphi(\widehat x,\cdot)φ(x,⋅). A general measurable selection theorem is not available: X\mathcal XX is not assumed Polish and fff is not assumed Borel, so the projection and selection theorems behind Polish-space duality do not apply. The approximation must also control the expectation of a possibly unbounded Φ\PhiΦ, where integrals take extended values and ∞−∞\infty-\infty∞−∞ must be avoided.

Formalization scope

  • X\mathcal XX carries [MetricSpace X] [MeasurableSpace X] [BorelSpace X]; P^\widehat{\mathbb P}P is a probability measure with IsTightMeasureSet {Phat} (Mathlib's tightness).
  • fff is real valued with NullMeasurable f Phat. A Borel-measurable fff would be a strictly weaker theorem and is ruled out.
  • Expectations are the published definition ModelRiskOT.Duality.extIntegral: ∫φ+−∫φ−\int\varphi^+-\int\varphi^-∫φ+−∫φ− in EReal with lower Lebesgue integrals and ∞−∞=−∞\infty-\infty=-\infty∞−∞=−∞. The Bochner integral, which returns 000 on non-integrable functions, is not used. Because φ\varphiφ need not be F⊗F\mathcal F\otimes\mathcal FF⊗F-measurable, the page leaves Eγ[φ]\mathbb E_\gamma[\varphi]Eγ​[φ] undefined for a general coupling; the lower-integral reading is adopted, and ΓP^\Gamma_{\widehat{\mathbb P}}ΓP​ stays on F⊗F\mathcal F\otimes\mathcal FF⊗F as printed.
  • (F⊗FP^)(\mathcal F\otimes\mathcal F_{\widehat{\mathbb P}})(F⊗FP​)-measurability is measurability on X × NullMeasurableSpace X Phat, with the completion on the second factor.
  • Correction of the page. The measurability clause is stated under the extra hypothesis that X\mathcal XX is separable: on a discrete metric space of cardinality above the continuum, with P^\widehat{\mathbb P}P a Dirac mass, f=0f=0f=0 and λ=p=1\lambda=p=1λ=p=1, φ=−1{x^≠x}\varphi=-\mathbf 1\{\widehat x\ne x\}φ=−1{x=x} is not product measurable. The (IP) clause is stated for every metric space, as printed.
  • The supremum in (IP) ranges over all of ΓP^\Gamma_{\widehat{\mathbb P}}ΓP​. Restricting it to deterministic couplings (Id⊗T)#P^(\mathrm{Id}\otimes T)_\#\widehat{\mathbb P}(Id⊗T)#​P would state a different, stronger formula; deterministic couplings appear only in milestone 3.

Contributions welcome: lemmas on lower Lebesgue integrals of null-measurable functions under push-forward measures, and tightness-based approximation arguments, both reusable beyond this mission.

Selected references

  • L. Zhang, J. Yang, R. Gao, A Short and General Duality Proof for Wasserstein Distributionally Robust Optimization, arXiv:2205.00362v4, 2024. https://arxiv.org/abs/2205.00362
  • R. Gao, A. Kleywegt, Distributionally Robust Stochastic Optimization with Wasserstein Distance, Mathematics of Operations Research 48(2), 2023. https://arxiv.org/abs/1604.02199
  • J. Blanchet, K. Murthy, Quantifying Distributional Model Risk via Optimal Transport, Mathematics of Operations Research 44(2), 2019. https://arxiv.org/abs/1604.01446
  • P. Mohajerin Esfahani, D. Kuhn, Data-Driven Distributionally Robust Optimization Using the Wasserstein Metric, Mathematical Programming 171, 2018. https://arxiv.org/abs/1505.05116
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Shorter Tours by Nicer Ears 2: Every Connected Graph Has a Graphic TSP Tour with at Most 7/5 LP(G) EdgesResearch Paper

Motivation

The graphic TSP is the travelling salesman problem in the shortest-path metric of an unweighted connected graph: visit every vertex of a graph GGG by a closed walk using as few edge traversals as possible. It is the unweighted special case of the metric TSP, and it is the setting in which the 3/2 barrier of Christofides' algorithm (1976) was first broken for general graphs. It is also a natural test bed for the subtour LP: for graphic instances the LP relaxation is the 2-edge-connected subgraph relaxation LP(G)\mathrm{LP}(G)LP(G) below, and the conjectured integrality ratio of 4/3 for metric TSP is open even here.

Timeline of approximation ratios for graphic TSP on general graphs:

  • 1976: Christofides, 3/2 for metric TSP, hence for graphic TSP.
  • 2011: Oveis Gharan, Saberi and Singh, 3/2−ε3/2-\varepsilon3/2−ε for a tiny ε>0\varepsilon>0ε>0, by a probabilistic analysis (FOCS 2011).
  • 2011: Mömke and Svensson, 1.461, with removable pairings (arXiv:1104.3090).
  • 2012: Mucha refined the Mömke–Svensson analysis to 13/9≈1.44413/9\approx1.44413/9≈1.444 (arXiv:1108.1130).
  • 2012: Sebő and Vygen, 7/5, measured against LP(G)\mathrm{LP}(G)LP(G) (arXiv:1201.1870; Combinatorica 34 (2014), doi:10.1007/s00493-014-2960-3).

Setting

A graph GGG is finite and undirected, with vertex set V(G)V(G)V(G) and edge set E(G)E(G)E(G); it may have parallel edges but no loops. 2G2G2G is the graph obtained by doubling every edge. For W⊆V(G)W\subseteq V(G)W⊆V(G), δ(W)\delta(W)δ(W) is the set of edges with exactly one endpoint in WWW.

For T⊆V(G)T\subseteq V(G)T⊆V(G), a TTT-join is an edge set FFF in which exactly the vertices of TTT have odd degree. A tour of GGG (Definition 1) is a ∅\emptyset∅-join FFF in 2G2G2G such that (V(G),F)(V(G),F)(V(G),F) is connected: a connected multi-subgraph using each edge at most twice in which every degree is even. By Euler's theorem its edges form a closed walk through every vertex, and conversely. OPT(G)\mathrm{OPT}(G)OPT(G) is the minimum size of a tour.

The relaxation is

LP(G):=min⁡{x(E(G)):x∈R≥0E(G), x(δ(W))≥2 for all ∅≠W⊊V(G)},\mathrm{LP}(G):=\min\Big\{x(E(G)) : x\in\mathbb R^{E(G)}_{\ge0},\ x(\delta(W))\ge2 \text{ for all } \emptyset\ne W\subsetneq V(G)\Big\},LP(G):=min{x(E(G)):x∈R≥0E(G)​, x(δ(W))≥2 for all ∅=W⊊V(G)},

with x(S)=∑e∈Sxex(S)=\sum_{e\in S}x_ex(S)=∑e∈S​xe​. Every tour gives a feasible point, so LP(G)≤OPT(G)\mathrm{LP}(G)\le\mathrm{OPT}(G)LP(G)≤OPT(G) (Proposition 2).

The analysis uses ear-decompositions: GGG is built from one vertex by adding ears, each a path joining two existing vertices through new ones, or a circuit through one existing vertex. φ(G)\varphi(G)φ(G) is the minimum number of ears of even length; π\piπ counts pendant ears (nontrivial ears to which no nontrivial ear is attached). Short (2- and 3-) ears in a nice ear-decomposition (Definition 9) form an eardrum MMM; an earmuff (Definition 12) re-routes some of them so that their edges form a forest, and μ(G,M)\mu(G,M)μ(G,M) is its maximum size. The two lower bounds are

Lφ(G)=∣V(G)∣+φ(G)−1,Lμ(G,M)=∣V(G)∣−1+∣M∣−μ(G,M),Λ=23Lμ+13Lφ.L_\varphi(G)=|V(G)|+\varphi(G)-1,\qquad L_\mu(G,M)=|V(G)|-1+|M|-\mu(G,M),\qquad \Lambda=\tfrac23L_\mu+\tfrac13L_\varphi .Lφ​(G)=∣V(G)∣+φ(G)−1,Lμ​(G,M)=∣V(G)∣−1+∣M∣−μ(G,M),Λ=32​Lμ​+31​Lφ​.

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem 29

for every connected graph G there is a tour F with ∣F∣≤75 LP(G).\text{for every connected graph } G \text{ there is a tour } F \text{ with } |F|\le\tfrac75\,\mathrm{LP}(G).for every connected graph G there is a tour F with ∣F∣≤57​LP(G).

Milestones, in the order of the proof

  1. Proposition 2: OPT(G)≥OPT2EC(G)≥LP(G)≥∣V(G)∣\mathrm{OPT}(G)\ge\mathrm{OPT}_{2EC}(G)\ge\mathrm{LP}(G)\ge|V(G)|OPT(G)≥OPT2EC​(G)≥LP(G)≥∣V(G)∣ (for ∣V(G)∣≥2|V(G)|\ge2∣V(G)∣≥2).
  2. Theorem 7 (Frank): for 2-edge-connected GGG some even TTT has τ(G,T)=12(∣V(G)∣+φ(G)−1)\tau(G,T)=\frac12(|V(G)|+\varphi(G)-1)τ(G,T)=21​(∣V(G)∣+φ(G)−1).
  3. Theorem 19: Lφ(G)≤LP(G)L_\varphi(G)\le\mathrm{LP}(G)Lφ​(G)≤LP(G).
  4. Corollary 21: Lμ(G,M)≤LP(G)L_\mu(G,M)\le\mathrm{LP}(G)Lμ​(G,M)≤LP(G) for an eardrum with every Pf≠∅\mathcal P_f\ne\emptysetPf​=∅.
  5. Lemma 23: a 2-vertex-connected graph has a nice ear-decomposition containing a maximum earmuff.
  6. Theorem 24: a connected-TTT-join with at most Lμ(G,M)+12Lφ(G)−πL_\mu(G,M)+\frac12L_\varphi(G)-\piLμ​(G,M)+21​Lφ​(G)−π edges.
  7. Theorem 27 (Mömke–Svensson): a tour with at most 43∣E(G)∣−23∣R∣\frac43|E(G)|-\frac23|R|34​∣E(G)∣−32​∣R∣ edges for a removable pairing (R,P)(R,\mathcal P)(R,P).
  8. Lemma 28: a tour with at most 43(∣V(G)∣−1)+23π\frac43(|V(G)|-1)+\frac23\pi34​(∣V(G)∣−1)+32​π edges when all ears are nontrivial.
  9. Claim (proof of Theorem 29, p. 22): a tour with at most 75Λ(G′,M)\frac75\Lambda(G',M)57​Λ(G′,M) edges.

Significance

The result. Theorem 29 gives a polynomial-time 7/5-approximation for graphic TSP and shows that the integrality ratio of LP(G)\mathrm{LP}(G)LP(G) on graphic instances is at most 7/5. The same paper uses the shared machinery (nice ear-decompositions, earmuffs, the bound Lμ≤LPL_\mu\le\mathrm{LP}Lμ​≤LP) for a 3/2 bound for connected TTT-joins, including graphic sss-ttt-path TSP, and a 4/3 bound for 2-edge-connected spanning subgraphs; those are separate missions of this series.

Formalizing it. The theorem is proved in the paper; none of it is machine-checked. The platform has metric-TSP results over Hamiltonian permutations (Christofides-type and Wolsey-type bounds), but no graphic TSP, no multigraph tours, no ear-decompositions and no TTT-join polyhedra. The formalization would add a reusable multigraph layer (doubled graphs, TTT-joins, ear-decompositions, Frank's φ\varphiφ), two classical cited theorems (Frank's Theorem 7 and the Mömke–Svensson Lemma) and the paper's own earmuff analysis.

Difficulty

The two tour constructions are each worse than 7/5 on their own: Theorem 24 alone gives 32Λ−π\frac32\Lambda-\pi23​Λ−π, and Lemma 28 alone gives 43Λ+23π\frac43\Lambda+\frac23\pi34​Λ+32​π. The bound comes only from taking the better of the two, balanced at π=110Λ\pi=\frac1{10}\Lambdaπ=101​Λ, and only after the short ears have been re-chosen as a maximum earmuff, which the lower bound LμL_\muLμ​ requires.

The cited inputs are deep. Theorem 19 relies on Frank's ear theorem and the Edmonds–Johnson–Lovász packing of TTT-cuts; Theorem 27 relies on the odd-join polytope of an auxiliary 2-edge-connected graph; Lemma 23 relies on Lemma 10 (nice ear-decompositions exist) and a min-max theorem for earmuffs (Theorem 18, via matroid intersection or forest representatives). Mathlib has none of these. A Christofides-style argument (spanning tree plus matching) cannot get below 3/2 and is not a route to the goal.

Formalization scope

  • Graphs are a structure Graph V E with ends : E → Sym2 V and no loops, over finite types, so parallel edges are allowed as in the paper. Restricting to simple graphs would be a weaker theorem and is ruled out. 2G2G2G has edge type E × Fin 2, so every multiplicity is at most 2. Connectivity of an edge set is connectivity of the simple graph of pairs joined by one of its edges.
  • Existence instead of algorithms. Every "there is an algorithm … in O(∣V(G)∣3)O(|V(G)|^3)O(∣V(G)∣3) time" is formalized as "for every input there exists a solution with the stated bound". Running times are not formalized.
  • LP bounds through feasible points. "∣F∣≤75LP(G)|F|\le\frac75\mathrm{LP}(G)∣F∣≤57​LP(G)" is stated as: there is a tour FFF with ∣F∣≤75x(E(G))|F|\le\frac75x(E(G))∣F∣≤57​x(E(G)) for every LP-feasible xxx. This is equivalent to the paper's statement and needs no infimum. The constant vector x≡2x\equiv2x≡2 is feasible for every connected graph, so the hypothesis is never vacuous.
  • Minima as infima of natural numbers. φ(G)\varphi(G)φ(G) is an infimum over ear-decompositions, and every statement using it assumes 2-edge-connectivity or supplies an ear-decomposition, so the junk value is never reached. μ(G,M)\mu(G,M)μ(G,M) is a supremum of a nonempty set bounded by ∣M∣|M|∣M∣.
  • "2-vertex-connected" means 2-edge-connected with no cut vertex. It includes the one-vertex graph and two vertices joined by parallel edges, the blocks the paper's reduction (Proposition 4) needs.
  • Eardrums read "degree at most 1" as adjacency in the underlying simple graph. The eardrum associated with a nice ear-decomposition is the family of internal vertex sets of its clean ears; condition (iii) of Definition 9 makes these the components the paper describes.
  • Proposition 2 carries the added hypothesis ∣V(G)∣≥2|V(G)|\ge2∣V(G)∣≥2: on one vertex LP(G)=0<∣V(G)∣\mathrm{LP}(G)=0<|V(G)|LP(G)=0<∣V(G)∣.
  • Not included: Proposition 4 (the block reduction), Lemmas 5 and 10, Theorems 18 and 20, and the tightness examples. The proof of the goal needs Proposition 4 and solvers may add it.

Welcome contributions: proofs of any milestone; the multigraph and ear-decomposition layer (Whitney's theorem that 2-edge-connected graphs have ear-decompositions); TTT-join existence and parity lemmas; the block decomposition at a cut vertex.

Selected references

  • A. Sebő and J. Vygen, Shorter tours by nicer ears: 7/5-approximation for graphic TSP, 3/2 for the path version, and 4/3 for two-edge-connected subgraphs, arXiv:1201.1870v3, 2012; Combinatorica 34 (2014) 597–629. https://arxiv.org/abs/1201.1870, https://doi.org/10.1007/s00493-014-2960-3
  • T. Mömke and O. Svensson, Approximating graphic TSP by matchings, FOCS 2011. https://arxiv.org/abs/1104.3090
  • M. Mucha, 13/9-approximation for graphic TSP, STACS 2012; Theory Comput. Syst. 55 (2014). https://arxiv.org/abs/1108.1130
  • S. Oveis Gharan, A. Saberi and M. Singh, A randomized rounding approach to the traveling salesman problem, FOCS 2011. https://doi.org/10.1109/FOCS.2011.80
  • A. Frank, Conservative weightings and ear-decompositions of graphs, Combinatorica 13 (1993) 65–81. https://doi.org/10.1007/BF01202790
  • J. Cheriyan, A. Sebő and Z. Szigeti, Improving on the 1.5-approximation of a smallest 2-edge connected spanning subgraph, SIAM J. Discrete Math. 14 (2001) 170–180. https://doi.org/10.1137/S0895480199362071
  • N. Christofides, Worst-case analysis of a new heuristic for the travelling salesman problem, Report 388, GSIA, Carnegie Mellon University, 1976.
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Shorter Tours by Nicer Ears 1: Every Connected Graph Has a Connected T-Join with at Most 3/2 LP(G,T) EdgesResearch Paper

Motivation

In graphic TSP the cities are the vertices of a connected graph GGG and the distance between two of them is the number of edges on a shortest path. A closed walk visiting every vertex is the same thing as a connected multi-subgraph of GGG in which every degree is even. Dropping "closed" and asking for a walk from sss to ttt gives graphic sss-ttt-path TSP, where exactly sss and ttt must have odd degree. Both are special cases of the connected-TTT-join problem: given GGG and a vertex set TTT of even size, find a smallest edge multiset in which exactly the vertices of TTT have odd degree and which connects all vertices.

Graphic TSP is MAXSNP-hard (Papadimitriou and Yannakakis 1993), and until 2011 no algorithm beat the ratio 32\tfrac3223​ of Christofides (1976) on it.

Timeline.

  • Christofides (1976) gave a 32\tfrac3223​-approximation for metric TSP. His idea, adapted to connected-TTT-joins, gives 53\tfrac5335​; Hoogeveen (1991) noted this for ∣T∣=2|T|=2∣T∣=2.
  • In 2011, Oveis Gharan, Saberi and Singh gave a (32−ϵ)(\tfrac32-\epsilon)(23​−ϵ)-approximation for graphic TSP, and Mömke and Svensson a 1.4611.4611.461-approximation; Mucha (2012) refined the latter analysis to 139\tfrac{13}{9}913​.
  • An, Kleinberg and Shmoys (2012) obtained 1.5781.5781.578 for graphic sss-ttt-path TSP.
  • Sebő and Vygen (arXiv 2012; Combinatorica 2014) proved 75\tfrac7557​ for graphic TSP, 43\tfrac4334​ for 2-edge-connected spanning subgraphs, and 32\tfrac3223​ for connected-TTT-joins (hence for graphic sss-ttt-path TSP), each against an LP lower bound. This mission formalizes the third.

Setting

All graphs are finite and undirected, with parallel edges allowed and no loops. For a graph GGG, 2G2G2G is the graph with every edge doubled. A TTT-join is an edge set FFF such that TTT is exactly the set of vertices of odd degree in FFF. A connected-TTT-join of GGG is a TTT-join FFF in 2G2G2G such that (V(G),F)(V(G),F)(V(G),F) is connected. Each edge of GGG is used at most twice. A tour is a connected-∅\emptyset∅-join. OPT(G,T)\mathrm{OPT}(G,T)OPT(G,T) is the minimum size of a connected-TTT-join.

For W⊆V(G)W\subseteq V(G)W⊆V(G), δ(W)\delta(W)δ(W) is the set of edges with exactly one end in WWW. For a partition W\mathcal WW of V(G)V(G)V(G), δ(W)\delta(\mathcal W)δ(W) is the set of edges joining different classes. The LP relaxation is

LP(G,T)=min⁡{x(E(G)):x≥0, x(δ(W))≥2 for ∅≠W⊊V(G) with ∣W∩T∣ even, x(δ(W))≥∣W∣−1 for all partitions W}.\mathrm{LP}(G,T)=\min\Bigl\{x(E(G)) : x\ge0,\ x(\delta(W))\ge2\ \text{for } \emptyset\ne W\subsetneq V(G) \text{ with } |W\cap T| \text{ even},\ x(\delta(\mathcal W))\ge|\mathcal W|-1\ \text{for all partitions } \mathcal W\Bigr\}.LP(G,T)=min{x(E(G)):x≥0, x(δ(W))≥2 for ∅=W⊊V(G) with ∣W∩T∣ even, x(δ(W))≥∣W∣−1 for all partitions W}.

The proof works with ear-decompositions: a vertex followed by ears, each a path attached at its two ends or a circuit attached at one vertex. φ(G)\varphi(G)φ(G) is Frank's minimum number of even-length ears. A nice ear-decomposition has φ(G)\varphi(G)φ(G) even ears, all of its short (2- and 3-) ears are pendant, and the internal vertices of different short ears are non-adjacent. An eardrum MMM is a family of single vertices and adjacent pairs that are pairwise non-adjacent. An earmuff chooses, for some of its members fff, a path PfP_fPf​ whose internal vertex set is fff, so that the chosen paths together form a forest. μ(G,M)\mu(G,M)μ(G,M) is the maximum number of paths in an earmuff, and

Lμ(G,M)=∣V(G)∣−1+∣M∣−μ(G,M),Lφ(G)=∣V(G)∣+φ(G)−1.L_\mu(G,M)=|V(G)|-1+|M|-\mu(G,M),\qquad L_\varphi(G)=|V(G)|+\varphi(G)-1.Lμ​(G,M)=∣V(G)∣−1+∣M∣−μ(G,M),Lφ​(G)=∣V(G)∣+φ(G)−1.

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem 25 (p. 19)

For every connected graph GGG and every T⊆V(G)T\subseteq V(G)T⊆V(G) with ∣T∣|T|∣T∣ even there is a connected-TTT-join FFF with

∣F∣ ≤ 32 LP(G,T).|F|\ \le\ \tfrac32\,\mathrm{LP}(G,T).∣F∣ ≤ 23​LP(G,T).

Milestones, in attack order

  1. Proposition 3: OPT(G,T)≥LP(G,T)≥∣V(G)∣−1\mathrm{OPT}(G,T)\ge\mathrm{LP}(G,T)\ge|V(G)|-1OPT(G,T)≥LP(G,T)≥∣V(G)∣−1.
  2. Proposition 4: OPT(G,T)\mathrm{OPT}(G,T)OPT(G,T), OPT2EC(G)\mathrm{OPT}_{2EC}(G)OPT2EC​(G) and LP(G,T)\mathrm{LP}(G,T)LP(G,T) are additive over a cut vertex.
  3. Lemma 5: local bounds for a pendant ear.
  4. Proposition 6 (Frank): τ(G,T)≤12(∣V(G)∣+φ(G)−1)\tau(G,T)\le\tfrac12(|V(G)|+\varphi(G)-1)τ(G,T)≤21​(∣V(G)∣+φ(G)−1).
  5. Proposition 8: a connected-TTT-join with at most 32(∣V(G)∣−1)+π2−12φ(G)\tfrac32(|V(G)|-1)+\pi_2-\tfrac12\varphi(G)23​(∣V(G)∣−1)+π2​−21​φ(G) edges.
  6. Lemma 10: nice ear-decompositions exist.
  7. Corollary 14 (Lovász): the min-max formula for forest representative systems.
  8. Theorem 18: the earmuff min-max formula for μ(G,M)\mu(G,M)μ(G,M).
  9. Lemma 23: a nice ear-decomposition containing a maximum earmuff.
  10. Theorem 20: Lμ(G,M)≤LP(G,T)L_\mu(G,M)\le\mathrm{LP}(G,T)Lμ​(G,M)≤LP(G,T).
  11. Theorem 24: a connected-TTT-join with at most Lμ(G,M)+12Lφ(G)−πL_\mu(G,M)+\tfrac12L_\varphi(G)-\piLμ​(G,M)+21​Lφ​(G)−π edges, where π\piπ is the number of pendant ears.

Significance

The result. Theorem 25 gives a 32\tfrac3223​-approximation for connected-TTT-joins, and therefore for graphic sss-ttt-path TSP. It also bounds the integrality ratio of LP(G,T)\mathrm{LP}(G,T)LP(G,T) by 32\tfrac3223​, and the paper shows this is tight (Figure 3). Lemma 23, Theorem 20 and Theorem 24 are shared with the 7/5 bound for graphic TSP and the 4/3 bound for 2-edge-connected spanning subgraphs: the three results differ only in the second construction used when there are few pendant ears. The earmuff lower bound LμL_\muLμ​ is a combinatorial dual certificate for LP(G,T)\mathrm{LP}(G,T)LP(G,T) in its own right.

Formalizing it. The theorem is proved on paper; none of it is machine-checked. A formal development would contribute:

  • multigraph ear-decompositions with parity bookkeeping;
  • Frank's bound on TTT-joins;
  • Lovász's forest-representative min-max, a matroid-intersection-type theorem;
  • a fully checked LP lower bound via a combinatorial dual.

None of these is in Mathlib.

Difficulty

The natural first attempt is Christofides' construction: a spanning tree plus a parity-correcting join. The tree costs at most OPT(G,T)\mathrm{OPT}(G,T)OPT(G,T) and the join at most 23OPT(G,T)\tfrac23\mathrm{OPT}(G,T)32​OPT(G,T), which gives only 53\tfrac5335​ (paper, p. 3). It gives nothing better against LP(G,T)\mathrm{LP}(G,T)LP(G,T).

Ear-decompositions with few even ears control the parity part (Proposition 6). Then short pendant ears become the bottleneck. Proposition 8 is good only when there are few 2-ears. When there are many pendant ears, the matching lower bound must account for them, and it is not visible from ∣V(G)∣−1|V(G)|-1∣V(G)∣−1. It comes from the earmuff min-max theorem (Theorem 18), which rests on Lovász's matroidal generalization of Kőnig's theorem (Corollary 14). The ear-decomposition must also be re-chosen so that its clean short ears form a maximum earmuff while it stays nice (Lemma 23).

Formalization scope

  • Graphs. A graph is a loopless multigraph Graph V E with ends : E → Sym2 V over finite types. 2G2G2G has edge type E × Fin 2, so a connected-TTT-join is a Finset (E × Fin 2) and uses each edge at most twice.
  • Restriction to simple graphs would be a weaker theorem and is ruled out: parallel edges arise in the ear arguments.
  • Algorithms. Every algorithmic statement of the paper ("can be computed in O(⋅)O(\cdot)O(⋅) time") is formalized as existence for every input. Algorithms and running times are not formalized.
  • LP bounds. "∣F∣≤c⋅LP(G,T)|F|\le c\cdot\mathrm{LP}(G,T)∣F∣≤c⋅LP(G,T)" is formalized as ∣F∣≤c⋅x(E(G))|F|\le c\cdot x(E(G))∣F∣≤c⋅x(E(G)) for every feasible xxx, with FFF chosen before xxx. This is equivalent to the bound on the minimum and needs no infimum. Equalities of optimum values (Proposition 4) and min-max identities (Corollary 14, Theorem 18) are stated as the two inequalities between solutions, with the minimum attained.
  • Non-vacuity. A trivializing reading of the LP is ruled out: for connected GGG the constant vector ∣V(G)∣|V(G)|∣V(G)∣ is feasible. φ(G)\varphi(G)φ(G) is an infimum over ear-decompositions and is used only under 2-edge-connectivity or with an ear-decomposition in hand. μ(G,M)\mu(G,M)μ(G,M) is a maximum over a nonempty set bounded by ∣M∣|M|∣M∣.
  • 2-vertex-connected means 2-edge-connected without a cut vertex. This includes two vertices joined by parallel edges and excludes a single bridge.
  • Eardrums (Definition 9) read "degree at most 1" as adjacency, so a parallel copy of an edge does not disqualify a 3-ear. The eardrum associated with a nice ear-decomposition is the family of internal vertex sets of its clean ears.
  • Integer quantities. Surplus, LμL_\muLμ​ and LφL_\varphiLφ​ are integers, with no truncated subtraction.
  • Corrected misprint. Proposition 4 is stated with the corrected identity LP(G1,T1)+LP(G2,T2)\mathrm{LP}(G_1,T_1)+\mathrm{LP}(G_2,T_2)LP(G1​,T1​)+LP(G2​,T2​) (the page prints LP(G,T1)+LP(G,T2)\mathrm{LP}(G,T_1)+\mathrm{LP}(G,T_2)LP(G,T1​)+LP(G,T2​)). Its OPT2EC\mathrm{OPT}_{2EC}OPT2EC​ identity is included, with 2-edge-connected spanning multi-subgraphs taken in 2G2G2G.

All definitions are local to the namespace NicerEars.TJoin. Mathlib has neither an ear-decomposition theory nor a multigraph connectivity API. A reusable library of multigraph ears, TTT-joins and forest representative systems would serve the two sibling missions (graphic TSP, 2ECSS) as well. Contributions to any milestone, and to general lemmas such as the existence of TTT-joins in connected graphs, are welcome.

Selected references

  • A. Sebő and J. Vygen, Shorter tours by nicer ears: 7/5-approximation for graphic TSP, 3/2 for the path version, and 4/3 for two-edge-connected subgraphs, Combinatorica 34 (2014). arXiv:1201.1870v3. https://arxiv.org/abs/1201.1870 , https://doi.org/10.1007/s00493-014-2960-3
  • A. Frank, Conservative weightings and ear-decompositions of graphs, Combinatorica 13 (1993) 65–81. https://doi.org/10.1007/BF01202790
  • J. Cheriyan, A. Sebő and Z. Szigeti, Improving on the 1.5-approximation of a smallest 2-edge connected spanning subgraph, SIAM J. Discrete Math. 14 (2001) 170–180. https://doi.org/10.1137/S0895480199362071
  • L. Lovász, A generalization of Kőnig's theorem, Acta Math. Acad. Sci. Hungar. 21 (1970) 443–446. https://doi.org/10.1007/BF01894789
  • T. Mömke and O. Svensson, Approximating graphic TSP by matchings, FOCS 2011, 560–569. arXiv:1104.3090. https://arxiv.org/abs/1104.3090
  • M. Mucha, 13/9-approximation for graphic TSP, STACS 2012, 30–41. https://doi.org/10.4230/LIPIcs.STACS.2012.30
  • J. A. Hoogeveen, Analysis of Christofides' heuristic: some paths are more difficult than cycles, Oper. Res. Lett. 10 (1991) 291–295. https://doi.org/10.1016/0167-6377(91)90016-I
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A Short and General Duality Proof for Wasserstein Distributionally Robust Optimization I: Worst-Case Loss = min over λ ≥ 0 of λρ + E[sup f − λc] for All ρ > 0 iff Interchangeability HoldsResearch Paper

Motivation

Wasserstein distributionally robust optimization (DRO) hedges a decision against every probability distribution within a given transport distance of a nominal one, typically the empirical distribution of data. The inner problem, the worst-case loss, is an optimization over an infinite-dimensional set of measures, and every practical use of Wasserstein DRO — tractable reformulations, statistical guarantees, regularization interpretations — rests on a strong duality theorem that replaces it with a one-dimensional minimization over a Lagrange multiplier.

Such duality theorems have been proved under progressively weaker hypotheses:

  • Mohajerin Esfahani and Kuhn (2018) and Zhao and Guan (2018): empirical nominal distributions on subsets of Rd\mathbb R^dRd, via conic duality.
  • Blanchet and Murthy (2019): Polish spaces, lower semi-continuous costs and upper semi-continuous losses, via an approximation argument (arXiv:1604.01446).
  • Gao and Kleywegt (2023): Polish spaces with costs that are powers of a metric and arbitrary measurable losses (arXiv:1604.02199).
  • Zhang, Yang and Gao (2022, v4 2024): an arbitrary measurable space, an arbitrary measurable cost with values in [0,∞][0,\infty][0,∞] and a measurable loss, with duality characterized exactly by an interchangeability principle (arXiv:2205.00362).

This mission formalizes the last of these, Theorem 1 of Zhang–Yang–Gao.

Setting

Let (X,F,P^)(\mathcal X,\mathcal F,\widehat{\mathbb P})(X,F,P) be a probability space, f:X→Rf:\mathcal X\to\mathbb Rf:X→R a measurable loss with EP^[f]>−∞\mathbb E_{\widehat{\mathbb P}}[f]>-\inftyEP​[f]>−∞, and c:X×X→[0,∞]c:\mathcal X\times\mathcal X\to[0,\infty]c:X×X→[0,∞] a measurable transport cost with c(x,x)=0c(x,x)=0c(x,x)=0 (Assumption 1). Expectations take values in Rˉ=[−∞,∞]\bar{\mathbb R}=[-\infty,\infty]Rˉ=[−∞,∞], and the convention 0⋅∞=∞0\cdot\infty=\infty0⋅∞=∞ is used for products λc\lambda cλc.

The Kantorovich transport cost between P^\widehat{\mathbb P}P and a probability measure P\mathbb PP is

Kc(P^,P)=inf⁡γ∈Γ(P^,P)E(X^,X)∼γ[c(X^,X)],\mathcal K_c(\widehat{\mathbb P},\mathbb P)=\inf_{\gamma\in\Gamma(\widehat{\mathbb P},\mathbb P)}\mathbb E_{(\widehat X,X)\sim\gamma}[c(\widehat X,X)],Kc​(P,P)=γ∈Γ(P,P)inf​E(X,X)∼γ​[c(X,X)],

where Γ(P^,P)\Gamma(\widehat{\mathbb P},\mathbb P)Γ(P,P) is the set of couplings with marginals P^\widehat{\mathbb P}P and P\mathbb PP. The worst-case loss is

L(ρ)=sup⁡P{EX∼P[f(X)]:Kc(P^,P)≤ρ},\mathcal L(\rho)=\sup_{\mathbb P}\big\{\mathbb E_{X\sim\mathbb P}[f(X)]:\mathcal K_c(\widehat{\mathbb P},\mathbb P)\le\rho\big\},L(ρ)=Psup​{EX∼P​[f(X)]:Kc​(P,P)≤ρ},

with L(ρ)=−∞\mathcal L(\rho)=-\inftyL(ρ)=−∞ for ρ<0\rho<0ρ<0. For λ≥0\lambda\ge0λ≥0 let ϕλ(x^,x)=f(x)−λc(x^,x)\phi_\lambda(\widehat x,x)=f(x)-\lambda c(\widehat x,x)ϕλ​(x,x)=f(x)−λc(x,x) and

G(λ)=EX^∼P^[sup⁡x∈Xϕλ(X^,x)].\mathcal G(\lambda)=\mathbb E_{\widehat X\sim\widehat{\mathbb P}}\Big[\sup_{x\in\mathcal X}\phi_\lambda(\widehat X,x)\Big].G(λ)=EX∼P​[x∈Xsup​ϕλ​(X,x)].

ΓP^\Gamma_{\widehat{\mathbb P}}ΓP​ is the set of probability measures on X×X\mathcal X\times\mathcal XX×X with first marginal P^\widehat{\mathbb P}P. A measurable ϕ:X×X→R∪{−∞}\phi:\mathcal X\times\mathcal X\to\mathbb R\cup\{-\infty\}ϕ:X×X→R∪{−∞} satisfies the interchangeability principle (IP) if x^↦sup⁡xϕ(x^,x)\widehat x\mapsto\sup_x\phi(\widehat x,x)x↦supx​ϕ(x,x) is P^\widehat{\mathbb P}P-measurable (measurable for the completion of F\mathcal FF) and

EX^∼P^[sup⁡xϕ(X^,x)]=sup⁡γ∈ΓP^E(X^,X)∼γ[ϕ(X^,X)].\mathbb E_{\widehat X\sim\widehat{\mathbb P}}\Big[\sup_{x}\phi(\widehat X,x)\Big]=\sup_{\gamma\in\Gamma_{\widehat{\mathbb P}}}\mathbb E_{(\widehat X,X)\sim\gamma}[\phi(\widehat X,X)].EX∼P​[xsup​ϕ(X,x)]=γ∈ΓP​sup​E(X,X)∼γ​[ϕ(X,X)].

The Legendre transform of h:R→Rˉh:\mathbb R\to\bar{\mathbb R}h:R→Rˉ is h∗(λ)=sup⁡ρ∈R{λρ−h(ρ)}h^*(\lambda)=\sup_{\rho\in\mathbb R}\{\lambda\rho-h(\rho)\}h∗(λ)=supρ∈R​{λρ−h(ρ)}.

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem 1, (D)

ϕλ\phi_\lambdaϕλ​ satisfies (IP) for every λ>0\lambda>0λ>0 if and only if the supremum functions are P^\widehat{\mathbb P}P-measurable and

L(ρ)=min⁡λ≥0{λρ+EX^∼P^[sup⁡x∈X{f(x)−λc(X^,x)}]}∀ρ>0.\mathcal L(\rho)=\min_{\lambda\ge0}\Big\{\lambda\rho+\mathbb E_{\widehat X\sim\widehat{\mathbb P}}\Big[\sup_{x\in\mathcal X}\{f(x)-\lambda c(\widehat X,x)\}\Big]\Big\}\qquad\forall\rho>0.L(ρ)=λ≥0min​{λρ+EX∼P​[x∈Xsup​{f(x)−λc(X,x)}]}∀ρ>0.

The minimum is attained. Both sides may be +∞+\infty+∞.

Milestones

  1. Lemma 1. L\mathcal LL is bounded below by EP^[f]\mathbb E_{\widehat{\mathbb P}}[f]EP​[f], increasing and concave on [0,∞)[0,\infty)[0,∞).
  2. (P-soft). For λ>0\lambda>0λ>0, (−L)∗(−λ)=sup⁡{EP[f]−λKc(P^,P):Kc<∞}(-\mathcal L)^*(-\lambda)=\sup\{\mathbb E_{\mathbb P}[f]-\lambda\mathcal K_c(\widehat{\mathbb P},\mathbb P):\mathcal K_c<\infty\}(−L)∗(−λ)=sup{EP​[f]−λKc​(P,P):Kc​<∞}.
  3. Theorem 1, first display. (−L)∗(−λ)=sup⁡γ∈ΓP^Eγ[f(X)−λc(X^,X)](-\mathcal L)^*(-\lambda)=\sup_{\gamma\in\Gamma_{\widehat{\mathbb P}}}\mathbb E_\gamma[f(X)-\lambda c(\widehat X,X)](−L)∗(−λ)=supγ∈ΓP​​Eγ​[f(X)−λc(X,X)] for λ>0\lambda>0λ>0.
  4. Lemma 3. Properties of λ↦h∗(−λ)\lambda\mapsto h^*(-\lambda)λ↦h∗(−λ) for a decreasing convex proper hhh that is +∞+\infty+∞ on (−∞,0)(-\infty,0)(−∞,0).
  5. Lemma 2. (−L)∗(−⋅)(-\mathcal L)^*(-\cdot)(−L)∗(−⋅) and G\mathcal GG are bounded below by EP^[f]\mathbb E_{\widehat{\mathbb P}}[f]EP​[f], decreasing, convex and lower semi-continuous on [0,∞)[0,\infty)[0,∞) (two items).
  6. Theorem 1, second display. L(ρ)=min⁡λ≥0{λρ+sup⁡γ∈ΓP^Eγ[f(X)−λc(X^,X)]}\mathcal L(\rho)=\min_{\lambda\ge0}\{\lambda\rho+\sup_{\gamma\in\Gamma_{\widehat{\mathbb P}}}\mathbb E_\gamma[f(X)-\lambda c(\widehat X,X)]\}L(ρ)=minλ≥0​{λρ+supγ∈ΓP​​Eγ​[f(X)−λc(X,X)]} for ρ>0\rho>0ρ>0: duality with no assumption beyond Assumption 1.
  7. Theorem 1, third display. For fixed λ>0\lambda>0λ>0, ϕλ\phi_\lambdaϕλ​ satisfies (IP) iff (−L)∗(−λ)=G(λ)(-\mathcal L)^*(-\lambda)=\mathcal G(\lambda)(−L)∗(−λ)=G(λ).

Significance

The result. Theorem 1 separates Wasserstein DRO duality into two parts. The first, the second display, holds with no regularity at all: the worst-case loss always equals a one-dimensional minimum over λ\lambdaλ of a supremum over couplings with fixed first marginal. The second identifies exactly when that supremum can be moved inside the expectation, which is the form (D) used in applications: (D) holds for all radii if and only if (IP) holds. The question of when Wasserstein DRO has its standard dual becomes a question about measurable selection and measurable projection, which is studied in a companion mission of this series. The duality results of the timeline above become special cases in which (IP) can be verified.

Formalizing it. The results are proved in the paper; none of them has a machine-checked proof. A formalization produces a verified duality theorem at the level of generality of measurable spaces with extended-valued costs, together with a reusable layer: Kantorovich costs with values in [0,∞][0,\infty][0,∞], extended-real expectations, and one-dimensional Legendre transforms of extended-real functions.

Difficulty

The proof is short on paper because it delegates to one-dimensional convex analysis: the involution h∗∗=cl⁡hh^{**}=\operatorname{cl}hh∗∗=clh of the Legendre transform on R\mathbb RR (Rockafellar, Theorem 12.2), applied to −L-\mathcal L−L. The work is in the extended reals. L\mathcal LL can be +∞+\infty+∞ on all of (0,∞)(0,\infty)(0,∞), (−L)∗(-\mathcal L)^*(−L)∗ can be identically +∞+\infty+∞, and the costs and products involve 0⋅∞0\cdot\infty0⋅∞. Concavity of L\mathcal LL on [0,∞)[0,\infty)[0,∞) requires mixing near-optimal distributions and couplings, and lower semi-continuity of G\mathcal GG requires Fatou's lemma for functions bounded below by fff, not by 000. The "only if" direction of the goal has to recover (IP) for every λ>0\lambda>0λ>0 from (D), which goes through biconjugation of G\mathcal GG and the right continuity at λ=0\lambda=0λ=0 of both transforms. A proof that treats every value as finite does not cover the theorem.

Formalization scope

The Lean development lives in the namespace ShortWDRODual.Legendre.

  • X\mathcal XX is a measurable space and P^\widehat{\mathbb P}P a probability measure. The cost is ENNReal-valued and curried, c x̂ x, with the nominal point first. The loss is real-valued and measurable.
  • Kc\mathcal K_cKc​ is the published RWPI.SqrtLasso.transportCost (infimum over probability couplings of the lower Lebesgue integral of ccc, in [0,∞][0,\infty][0,∞]).
  • Expectations are the published ModelRiskOT.Duality.extIntegral, ∫φ+−∫φ−\int\varphi^+-\int\varphi^-∫φ+−∫φ− in EReal. This agrees with the paper whenever one part is finite. It assigns −∞-\infty−∞ to the undefined case ∞−∞\infty-\infty∞−∞, so a law or coupling with an undefined expectation never raises a supremum.
  • The ball constraint Kc≤ρ\mathcal K_c\le\rhoKc​≤ρ is compared in EReal, so that L(ρ)=−∞\mathcal L(\rho)=-\inftyL(ρ)=−∞ for ρ<0\rho<0ρ<0. Reading it as Kc≤max⁡(ρ,0)\mathcal K_c\le\max(\rho,0)Kc​≤max(ρ,0) would make every Legendre transform +∞+\infty+∞.
  • λc\lambda cλc uses the paper's 0⋅∞=∞0\cdot\infty=\infty0⋅∞=∞ (Mathlib's product has 0⋅∞=00\cdot\infty=00⋅∞=0). This matters for λ=0\lambda=0λ=0: the supremum is then over {x:c(x^,x)<∞}\{x:c(\widehat x,x)<\infty\}{x:c(x,x)<∞}.
  • "min" is attainment plus lower bound (IsLeast). Concavity, convexity and monotonicity of extended-real functions are stated as explicit inequalities with real weights. Lower semi-continuity "on [0,∞)[0,\infty)[0,∞)" is relative to [0,∞)[0,\infty)[0,∞).
  • P^\widehat{\mathbb P}P-measurability is NullMeasurable. Disclosed reading: in the goal and in the fixed-λ\lambdaλ milestone, the measurability of the supremum functions is stated explicitly next to the duality formula, because the paper's expectation in (D) presupposes it and (IP) contains it. Lemma 2's statement on G\mathcal GG assumes this measurability for λ>0\lambda>0λ>0, for the same reason.
  • Ruled out: a goal that assumes (IP) and concludes (D) states only one direction. So does a goal that drops attainment, or uses Mathlib's 0⋅∞=00\cdot\infty=00⋅∞=0. All three are weaker theorems.

A complete development needs the one-dimensional Fenchel–Moreau theorem for extended-real functions on R\mathbb RR, gluing and mixing of couplings with a fixed first marginal, and Fatou's lemma for extIntegral. Each is reusable well beyond this mission. Contributions of any of these as separate lemmas are welcome.

Selected references

  • L. Zhang, J. Yang, R. Gao, A Short and General Duality Proof for Wasserstein Distributionally Robust Optimization, arXiv:2205.00362v4, 2024. https://arxiv.org/abs/2205.00362
  • J. Blanchet, K. Murthy, Quantifying Distributional Model Risk via Optimal Transport, Mathematics of Operations Research 44(2):565–600, 2019. https://arxiv.org/abs/1604.01446
  • R. Gao, A. Kleywegt, Distributionally Robust Stochastic Optimization with Wasserstein Distance, Mathematics of Operations Research 48(2):603–655, 2023. https://arxiv.org/abs/1604.02199
  • P. Mohajerin Esfahani, D. Kuhn, Data-driven Distributionally Robust Optimization Using the Wasserstein Metric, Mathematical Programming 171:115–166, 2018. https://arxiv.org/abs/1505.05116
  • R. T. Rockafellar, Convex Analysis, Princeton University Press, 1970. https://doi.org/10.1515/9781400873173
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Convex OptimizationOperations ResearchOptimization+1·Captain: mikedeng1

Distributionally Robust Convex Optimization I: Under the Nesting Condition, a Worst-Case Expectation Constraint over a Standardized Ambiguity Set Is Equivalent to a Finite Conic SystemResearch Paper

Motivation

A constraint E[v(x,z~)]≤w\mathbb E[v(x,\tilde z)] \le wE[v(x,z~)]≤w on a decision xxx requires the distribution of the random vector z~\tilde zz~. In practice that distribution is known only partially: its support, a few moments, or the probability mass of some regions estimated from data. Distributionally robust optimization asks that the constraint hold for every distribution consistent with this information. Wiesemann, Kuhn and Sim (Optimization Online 3757, 2013; Oper. Res. 62(6), 2014) proposed one standardized format for this information. Their format contains, as special cases, many ambiguity sets used earlier: support and moment information (Delage and Ye, 2010), and mean–covariance and directional-deviation information (Goh and Sim, 2010). They then characterized exactly when a worst-case expectation constraint over such a set has a finite conic reformulation. This mission formalizes that characterization: the paper's Theorem 1 and the steps of its proof.

Setting

The uncertain parameters are z~∈RP\tilde z \in \mathbb R^Pz~∈RP, and an auxiliary random vector u~∈RQ\tilde u \in \mathbb R^Qu~∈RQ may be added to describe structure of z~\tilde zz~. A proper cone K\mathcal KK is a closed convex cone with K∩(−K)={0}\mathcal K \cap(-\mathcal K) = \{0\}K∩(−K)={0} and nonempty interior. Write x≼Kyx \preccurlyeq_{\mathcal K} yx≼K​y for y−x∈Ky - x \in \mathcal Ky−x∈K, and K⋆={y:x⊤y≥0 ∀x∈K}\mathcal K^\star = \{y : x^\top y \ge 0\ \forall x \in \mathcal K\}K⋆={y:x⊤y≥0 ∀x∈K} for the dual cone. For indices i∈I={1,…,I}i \in \mathcal I = \{1,\dots,I\}i∈I={1,…,I} the confidence sets are

Ci={(z,u):Ciz+Diu≼Kici},\mathcal C_i = \{(z,u) : C_i z + D_i u \preccurlyeq_{\mathcal K_i} c_i\},Ci​={(z,u):Ci​z+Di​u≼Ki​​ci​},

with matrices Ci,DiC_i, D_iCi​,Di​, vectors cic_ici​ and proper cones Ki\mathcal K_iKi​. The ambiguity set is

P={P:EP[Az~+Bu~]=b,  P[(z~,u~)∈Ci]∈[p‾i,p‾i]  ∀i∈I},\mathcal P = \Big\{\mathbb P : \mathbb E_{\mathbb P}[A\tilde z + B\tilde u] = b,\ \ \mathbb P[(\tilde z,\tilde u) \in \mathcal C_i] \in [\underline p_i,\overline p_i]\ \ \forall i \in \mathcal I\Big\},P={P:EP​[Az~+Bu~]=b,  P[(z~,u~)∈Ci​]∈[p​i​,p​i​]  ∀i∈I},

where 0≤p‾i≤p‾i≤10 \le \underline p_i \le \overline p_i \le 10≤p​i​≤p​i​≤1. The paper imposes three conditions:

  • (C1) CI\mathcal C_ICI​ is bounded and p‾I=p‾I=1\underline p_I = \overline p_I = 1p​I​=p​I​=1;
  • (C2) some P∈P\mathbb P \in \mathcal PP∈P meets every non-degenerate probability bound strictly;
  • (C3) the constraint function is a maximum of finitely many bi-affine pieces,
v(x,z)=max⁡l=1,…,L[(Slz+sl)⊤x+tl⊤z+tl].v(x,z) = \max_{l = 1,\dots,L} \big[(S_l z + s_l)^\top x + \mathbf t_l^\top z + t_l\big].v(x,z)=l=1,…,Lmax​[(Sl​z+sl​)⊤x+tl⊤​z+tl​].

The distributionally robust constraint (3) is EP[v(x,z~)]≤w\mathbb E_{\mathbb P}[v(x,\tilde z)] \le wEP​[v(x,z~)]≤w for all P∈P\mathbb P \in \mathcal PP∈P.

A set AAA is strictly included in BBB, written A⋐BA \Subset BA⋐B, if AAA lies in the interior of BBB. The nesting condition (N) requires that any two distinct confidence sets be strictly nested or disjoint. For each iii, A(i)={i}∪{i′:Ci⋐Ci′}\mathcal A(i) = \{i\} \cup \{i' : \mathcal C_i \Subset \mathcal C_{i'}\}A(i)={i}∪{i′:Ci​⋐Ci′​} indexes the confidence sets containing Ci\mathcal C_iCi​.

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem 1 (pp. 10–11)

Under (C1)–(C3), (N) and the two regularity conditions (S1)–(S2) described below, the constraint (3) holds if and only if there are β∈RK\beta \in \mathbb R^Kβ∈RK, κ,λ∈R+I\kappa,\lambda \in \mathbb R^I_+κ,λ∈R+I​ and ϕil∈Ki⋆\phi_{il} \in \mathcal K_i^\starϕil​∈Ki⋆​ such that, for all i∈Ii \in \mathcal Ii∈I and lll,

b⊤β+∑i[p‾iκi−p‾iλi]≤w,ci⊤ϕil+sl⊤x+tl≤∑i′∈A(i)[κi′−λi′],b^\top\beta + \sum_{i}\big[\overline p_i\kappa_i - \underline p_i\lambda_i\big] \le w,\qquad c_i^\top\phi_{il} + s_l^\top x + t_l \le \sum_{i' \in \mathcal A(i)}[\kappa_{i'} - \lambda_{i'}],b⊤β+i∑​[p​i​κi​−p​i​λi​]≤w,ci⊤​ϕil​+sl⊤​x+tl​≤i′∈A(i)∑​[κi′​−λi′​], Ci⊤ϕil+A⊤β=Sl⊤x+tl,Di⊤ϕil+B⊤β=0.C_i^\top\phi_{il} + A^\top\beta = S_l^\top x + \mathbf t_l,\qquad D_i^\top\phi_{il} + B^\top\beta = 0.Ci⊤​ϕil​+A⊤β=Sl⊤​x+tl​,Di⊤​ϕil​+B⊤β=0.

Milestones

  1. Theorem 1, sufficiency. The system implies (3), under (C1), (C3) and (N) alone.
  2. Lemma 1 (p. 34). For a strictly feasible conic confidence set, the semi-infinite constraint v(x,z)+f⊤z+g⊤u≤hv(x,z) + f^\top z + g^\top u \le hv(x,z)+f⊤z+g⊤u≤h on the set holds iff multipliers ϕl∈K⋆\phi_l \in \mathcal K^\starϕl​∈K⋆ exist with c⊤ϕl+sl⊤x+tl≤hc^\top\phi_l + s_l^\top x + t_l \le hc⊤ϕl​+sl⊤​x+tl​≤h, C⊤ϕl=Sl⊤x+tl+fC^\top\phi_l = S_l^\top x + \mathbf t_l + fC⊤ϕl​=Sl⊤​x+tl​+f and D⊤ϕl=gD^\top\phi_l = gD⊤ϕl​=g.
  3. The dual of the moment problem (p. 35). Constraint (3) holds iff some β\betaβ, κ,λ≥0\kappa,\lambda \ge 0κ,λ≥0 have objective value ≤w\le w≤w and satisfy [Az+Bu]⊤β+∑i1Ci(z,u)[κi−λi]≥v(x,z)[Az+Bu]^\top\beta + \sum_i \mathbf 1_{\mathcal C_i}(z,u)[\kappa_i - \lambda_i] \ge v(x,z)[Az+Bu]⊤β+∑i​1Ci​​(z,u)[κi​−λi​]≥v(x,z) on CI\mathcal C_ICI​.
  4. The partition step (p. 35). Under (N), the indicator constraint on CI\mathcal C_ICI​ is equivalent to constraints with the constant ∑A(i)\sum_{\mathcal A(i)}∑A(i)​ on the pieces C‾i=Ci∖⋃Ci′⋐CiCi′\overline{\mathcal C}_i = \mathcal C_i \setminus \bigcup_{\mathcal C_{i'} \Subset \mathcal C_i} \mathcal C_{i'}Ci​=Ci​∖⋃Ci′​⋐Ci​​Ci′​.
  5. The boundary step (pp. 35–36). The iii-th constraint holds on C‾i\overline{\mathcal C}_iCi​ iff it holds on all of Ci\mathcal C_iCi​.

Significance

When the Ki\mathcal K_iKi​ are orthants, second-order cones or semidefinite cones, Theorem 1 turns the semi-infinite, measure-valued constraint (3) into a linear, conic-quadratic or semidefinite system of size polynomial in the data. The paper's Theorem 2 shows that when nesting fails, even checking P≠∅\mathcal P \neq \emptysetP=∅ is strongly NP-hard. Theorem 1 is therefore the tractable side of a sharp dividing line. The paper builds its conservative approximation for non-nested sets (Theorem 3) and its lifting results (Section 3) on it.

The result is proved in the paper; nothing here is open. The formalization contributes two things. First, the duality theory for finite moment problems over measures on a compact set, and conic strong duality for strictly feasible sets: neither exists in Mathlib as stated. Second, a corrected statement. As printed, the "only if" direction of Theorem 1 is false, because (C2) does not give the strong duality the proof attributes to it. No machine-checked version of Theorem 1 is known.

Difficulty

The sufficiency half is weak duality: a pointwise inequality on CI\mathcal C_ICI​ integrated against any P∈P\mathbb P \in \mathcal PP∈P. The necessity half needs three facts.

  • Strong duality, with attainment, for an infinite-dimensional linear program over nonnegative measures. Here the obvious reference to a general conic duality theorem needs a constraint qualification on all moment constraints jointly, and (C2) controls only the probability bounds.
  • A geometric step: under (N), a constraint imposed on C‾i\overline{\mathcal C}_iCi​ extends to all of Ci\mathcal C_iCi​. This uses convexity of vvv in (z,u)(z,u)(z,u) together with the compactness of Ci\mathcal C_iCi​ and the strict inclusion of its descendants.
  • Conic duality with dual attainment for each confidence set (Lemma 1), which fails without strict feasibility.

Formalization scope

Vectors are Fin n → ℝ, products are Matrix.mulVec and dotProduct, and the outcome space is (Fin nP → ℝ) × (Fin nQ → ℝ) with its Borel σ\sigmaσ-algebra. The index set is Fin (nI + 1), 0-based, with CI\mathcal C_ICI​ = Fin.last nI. Probabilities are μ.real. Constraint (3) is stated in its "for all P\mathbb PP" form, so no supremum of reals appears. The scalar tlt_ltl​ and the vector tl\mathbf t_ltl​ are separate fields.

Every member of P\mathcal PP is a probability measure with finite first moment, so EP[Az~+Bu~]\mathbb E_{\mathbb P}[A\tilde z + B\tilde u]EP​[Az~+Bu~] is a genuine integral and not Lean's default value 000. The expectation EP[v(x,z~)]\mathbb E_{\mathbb P}[v(x,\tilde z)]EP​[v(x,z~)] is genuine as well, since vvv grows at most linearly. Hypothesis (C2) keeps P\mathcal PP nonempty, so (3) cannot hold vacuously. A sorry-free sanity file exhibits two nested intervals for which all hypotheses of the goal hold at once.

Hypotheses added to the paper's, each needed for a true statement:

  • (S1) moment-problem regularity. Every small common shift of bbb and of each probability interval stays feasible over finite measures on CI\mathcal C_ICI​. It is needed because with C1\mathcal C_1C1​ the unit disk, E[z~1]=1\mathbb E[\tilde z_1] = 1E[z~1​]=1, v=z2v = z_2v=z2​ and w=0w = 0w=0, constraint (3) holds but the system has no solution.
  • (S2) strict feasibility of every confidence set. It is needed because a confidence set that is a single boundary point of a second-order cone constraint admits no dual multipliers in Lemma 1.
  • Ci⊆CI\mathcal C_i \subseteq \mathcal C_ICi​⊆CI​ and P+Q≥1P + Q \ge 1P+Q≥1 in the partition and boundary steps. In dimension zero a set is strictly included in itself and C‾i\overline{\mathcal C}_iCi​ can be empty.

(S1) also excludes some instances the page allows: p‾i=0\overline p_i = 0p​i​=0 or p‾i=1\underline p_i = 1p​i​=1 for i≠Ii \ne Ii=I, and expectation rows that cannot be shifted in every direction by measures on CI\mathcal C_ICI​.

The sufficiency milestone drops (C2) and the standing bounds 0≤p‾i≤p‾i≤10 \le \underline p_i \le \overline p_i \le 10≤p​i​≤p​i​≤1, which only strengthens it.

Needed infrastructure, all reusable: conic duality for closed convex cones, Lagrangian duality for linear programs over finite measures on a compact set, and the extension of a convex inequality from the boundary of a compact set. Contributions of any of these as separate lemmas are welcome.

Selected references

  • W. Wiesemann, D. Kuhn, M. Sim, Distributionally Robust Convex Optimization, Optimization Online preprint 3757, version of September 22, 2013. https://optimization-online.org/wp-content/uploads/2013/02/3757.pdf ; Operations Research 62(6):1358–1376, 2014. https://doi.org/10.1287/opre.2014.1314
  • A. Shapiro, On duality theory of conic linear problems, in Semi-Infinite Programming, chapter 7, Kluwer, 2001 (reference [56] of the paper; the result the proof of Theorem 1 cites as Proposition 3.4).
  • E. Delage, Y. Ye, Distributionally robust optimization under moment uncertainty with application to data-driven problems, Operations Research 58(3):595–612, 2010. https://doi.org/10.1287/opre.1090.0741
  • J. Goh, M. Sim, Distributionally robust optimization and its tractable approximations, Operations Research 58(4):902–917, 2010. https://doi.org/10.1287/opre.1090.0712
  • A. Ben-Tal, A. Nemirovski, Lectures on Modern Convex Optimization, SIAM, 2001. https://doi.org/10.1137/1.9780898718829
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Algebraic GeometryOperations ResearchOptimization·Captain: mikedeng1

Optimality Conditions and Finite Convergence of Lasserre's Hierarchy II: Off a Proper Zariski-Closed Set of Input Data, the Classical Optimality Conditions Hold at Every Local MinimizerResearch Paper

Motivation

Lasserre's hierarchy is a sequence of semidefinite relaxations for minimizing a polynomial over a set defined by polynomial equations and inequalities (Lasserre 2001). Under the archimedean condition its optimal values converge to the true minimum, but only asymptotically in general; in practice the hierarchy is often exact at a small relaxation order. J. Nie's paper (arXiv:1206.0319v2, Math. Program. 146 (2014)) explains this gap in two steps. Its Theorem 1.1 shows that finite convergence follows when the classical optimality conditions of nonlinear programming hold at every global minimizer. Its Theorem 1.2, the subject of this mission, shows that those optimality conditions hold at every local minimizer for all input data outside the zero set of finitely many polynomials in the coefficients. Together the two results give finite convergence of Lasserre's hierarchy for generic archimedean problems.

The genericity statement is also of independent interest in nonlinear programming: it says that degenerate local minimizers (failing constraint qualification, strict complementarity or second order sufficiency) are an algebraically exceptional phenomenon for polynomial data of fixed degrees.

Setting

Fix nnn variables x=(x1,…,xn)x=(x_1,\dots,x_n)x=(x1​,…,xn​) and write R[x]d\mathbb R[x]_dR[x]d​ for the real polynomials of degree at most ddd. Problem (1.1) is

min⁡f(x)s.t.hi(x)=0 (i∈[m1]),gj(x)≥0 (j∈[m2]),\min f(x)\quad\text{s.t.}\quad h_i(x)=0\ (i\in[m_1]),\qquad g_j(x)\ge 0\ (j\in[m_2]),minf(x)s.t.hi​(x)=0 (i∈[m1​]),gj​(x)≥0 (j∈[m2​]),

with feasible set KKK. For u∈Ku\in Ku∈K the active set is J(u)={j:gj(u)=0}J(u)=\{j: g_j(u)=0\}J(u)={j:gj​(u)=0}. At uuu:

  • the constraint qualification condition (CQC) holds if ∇h1(u),…,∇hm1(u),∇gj(u)\nabla h_1(u),\dots,\nabla h_{m_1}(u),\nabla g_j(u)∇h1​(u),…,∇hm1​​(u),∇gj​(u) (j∈J(u)j\in J(u)j∈J(u)) are linearly independent;
  • Lagrange multipliers λ,μ\lambda,\muλ,μ satisfy (1.3) ∇f(u)=∑iλi∇hi(u)+∑jμj∇gj(u)\nabla f(u)=\sum_i\lambda_i\nabla h_i(u)+\sum_j\mu_j\nabla g_j(u)∇f(u)=∑i​λi​∇hi​(u)+∑j​μj​∇gj​(u) and (1.4) μjgj(u)=0\mu_jg_j(u)=0μj​gj​(u)=0, μj≥0\mu_j\ge0μj​≥0;
  • strict complementarity (1.5) is μj+gj(u)>0\mu_j+g_j(u)>0μj​+gj​(u)>0 for all jjj;
  • with L=f−∑iλihi−∑j∈J(u)μjgjL=f-\sum_i\lambda_ih_i-\sum_{j\in J(u)}\mu_jg_jL=f−∑i​λi​hi​−∑j∈J(u)​μj​gj​, the second order sufficiency condition (1.7) is vT∇2L(u)v>0v^T\nabla^2L(u)v>0vT∇2L(u)v>0 for every v≠0v\neq0v=0 orthogonal to all active constraint gradients.

The input data are the coefficient vectors of (f,h,g)∈R[x]d0×∏iR[x]di×∏jR[x]dj′(f,h,g)\in\mathbb R[x]_{d_0}\times\prod_i\mathbb R[x]_{d_i}\times\prod_j\mathbb R[x]_{d'_j}(f,h,g)∈R[x]d0​​×∏i​R[x]di​​×∏j​R[x]dj′​​; a polynomial in the coefficients is a real polynomial evaluated at that vector. The paper's Condition 4.3 lists four families of such polynomials: resultants Res\mathrm{Res}Res and discriminants Δ\DeltaΔ (§2.4) of subsets of the constraints, and the polynomials R\mathscr RR of (4.6) and D\mathscr DD of (4.11), which detect a complex projective solution of the homogenised critical-point systems (4.5) and (4.10). Homogenisation is p~(x~)=x0dp(x/x0)\tilde p(\tilde x)=x_0^{d}p(x/x_0)p~​(x~)=x0d​p(x/x0​) at the nominal degree ddd, with x~=(x0,…,xn)\tilde x=(x_0,\dots,x_n)x~=(x0​,…,xn​).

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem 1.2

For positive degrees d0,di,dj′d_0,d_i,d'_jd0​,di​,dj′​ there are polynomials ϕ1,…,ϕL\phi_1,\dots,\phi_Lϕ1​,…,ϕL​ in the coefficients such that

∃ (f,h,g) admissible with ∏lϕl≠0,and∏lϕl(f,h,g)≠0 ⟹ CQC, (1.5), (1.7) at every local minimizer of (1.1).\exists\,(f,h,g)\text{ admissible with }\textstyle\prod_l\phi_l\neq0,\qquad\text{and}\qquad \prod_l\phi_l(f,h,g)\neq0\ \Longrightarrow\ \text{CQC, (1.5), (1.7) at every local minimizer of (1.1).}∃(f,h,g) admissible with ∏l​ϕl​=0,and∏l​ϕl​(f,h,g)=0 ⟹ CQC, (1.5), (1.7) at every local minimizer of (1.1).

Milestones

  1. Proposition 4.1: there is R\mathscr RR with R(p0,…,pk;q)=0\mathscr R(p_0,\dots,p_k;q)=0R(p0​,…,pk​;q)=0 iff (4.5) has a solution 0≠x~∈Cn+10\neq\tilde x\in\mathbb C^{n+1}0=x~∈Cn+1; and R≠0\mathscr R\neq0R=0 excludes solutions of (4.4) in Cn\mathbb C^nCn.
  2. Proposition 4.2: there is D\mathscr DD with D(p0,…,pk)=0\mathscr D(p_0,\dots,p_k)=0D(p0​,…,pk​)=0 iff (4.10) has a solution with x~≠0\tilde x\neq0x~=0, y≠0y\neq0y=0; and D≠0\mathscr D\neq0D=0 makes the KKT system (4.2) nonsingular.
  3. Proposition 4.4: at u∈Ku\in Ku∈K with multipliers satisfying (1.3) and μjgj(u)=0\mu_jg_j(u)=0μj​gj​(u)=0, items (a)–(d) of Condition 4.3 give at most n−m1n-m_1n−m1​ active constraints, CQC, λi≠0\lambda_i\neq0λi​=0 and μj≠0\mu_j\neq0μj​=0 on J(u)J(u)J(u), and det⁡H(u)≠0\det H(u)\neq0detH(u)=0 for H(u)=[∇2L(u)G(u)TG(u)0]H(u)=\left[\begin{smallmatrix}\nabla^2L(u)&G(u)^T\\G(u)&0\end{smallmatrix}\right]H(u)=[∇2L(u)G(u)​G(u)T0​].
  4. Lemma 4.6: at a local minimizer where G(u)G(u)G(u) has full rank, (1.7) holds iff det⁡H(u)≠0\det H(u)\neq0detH(u)=0.
  5. Proposition 4.5: Condition 4.3 implies CQC, strict complementarity and SOSC at every local minimizer.
  6. Appendix A: R\mathscr RR and D\mathscr DD do not vanish identically on the input space of given positive degrees.

Significance

The theorem gives the second half of the paper's explanation of finite convergence: combined with Theorem 1.1, Lasserre's hierarchy converges in finitely many steps for all archimedean problems with input outside a proper algebraic subset. Section 5 of the paper derives further consequences, for instance that Marshall's boundary Hessian condition holds on a Zariski open set of data, and that Putinar-type certificates exist generically on the boundary of the cone of nonnegative polynomials. Beyond polynomial optimization, the statement is a precise algebraic form of the folklore that "generic nonlinear programs are nondegenerate".

The result is proved in the paper; no machine-checked version is known. A formalization fixes the exact quantifier structure (the printed statement is vacuous without a nonvanishing clause, and two items of Proposition 4.4 need an extra hypothesis), and builds reusable infrastructure: projective elimination over C\mathbb CC, homogenisation at a nominal degree, and the bordered-Hessian characterization of second order sufficiency.

Difficulty

The local part (Proposition 4.4, Lemma 4.6, Proposition 4.5) is linear algebra plus first and second order necessary conditions. The global part is not. Proposition 4.1 and 4.2 need the main theorem of elimination theory: the set of coefficient vectors for which a homogeneous (or bihomogeneous) system has a nonzero complex solution is Zariski closed, defined by polynomials in the coefficients. Mathlib has the univariate resultant only. Appendix A, which shows these polynomials do not vanish identically, has to control the homogenised systems both at finite points and at points at infinity (x0=0x_0=0x0​=0), where only the leading forms of the data are seen. Reasoning over R\mathbb RR alone does not suffice: the set of data whose real system is solvable is not the zero set of a polynomial.

Formalization scope

Polynomials are MvPolynomial (Fin n) ℝ, points are Fin n → ℝ, and gradients and Hessians are formal partial derivatives. Homogenised polynomials have complex coefficients in n + 1 variables, variable 0 being x0x_0x0​, and homogenisation uses the nominal degree ddd, not the actual degree. CQC is linear independence of an indexed family (repeated gradients count twice). The optimality conditions are bundled: CQC together with one multiplier pair satisfying (1.3), (1.4), (1.5) and (1.7); under CQC the multipliers are unique.

Condition 4.3 is encoded through the defining properties of Res, Δ, R\mathscr RR and D\mathscr DD (unsolvability of the corresponding complex projective systems) rather than through the polynomials themselves; since the goal is existential in the polynomials, this is not a weakening. Coefficient variables exist for monomials of every degree, so the goal's nonvanishing clause is asserted at an admissible input: a formal polynomial that is nonzero but vanishes on all admissible data (such as the variable of a monomial of degree d0+1d_0+1d0​+1) does not satisfy it. Without that clause the printed theorem would be satisfied by ϕ1=0\phi_1=0ϕ1​=0.

Hypotheses added to the page, each disclosed in the statements: m1≤nm_1\le nm1​≤n in Propositions 4.4 and 4.5 (Condition 4.3's standing assumption; Theorem 1.2 is stated for all m1m_1m1​, as printed), the nonvanishing clause in Theorem 1.2, and item (a) of Condition 4.3 in Proposition 4.4 ii)–iv) (with item (b) alone, n=1n=1n=1, g1=x+x2g_1=x+x^2g1​=x+x2, g2=−x+x2g_2=-x+x^2g2​=−x+x2, u=0u=0u=0 violates CQC). Proposition 4.2's nonsingularity is asserted at all complex critical pairs.

A complete development needs projective elimination theory over C\mathbb CC (reusable well beyond this mission), multivariate resultants and discriminants as polynomial functions of coefficients, Euler's identity for forms, and genericity facts about critical points of polynomial programs. Contributions to any of these, and direct proofs of the local milestones, are welcome.

Selected references

  • J. Nie, Optimality conditions and finite convergence of Lasserre's hierarchy, Math. Program. 146 (2014); preprint arXiv:1206.0319v2, 2013. https://arxiv.org/abs/1206.0319v2, https://doi.org/10.1007/s10107-013-0680-x
  • J.B. Lasserre, Global optimization with polynomials and the problem of moments, SIAM J. Optim. 11(3) (2001) 796–817. https://doi.org/10.1137/S1052623400366802
  • R. Hartshorne, Algebraic Geometry, GTM 52, Springer, 1977 (Theorem I.5.7A, elimination). https://doi.org/10.1007/978-1-4757-3849-0
  • I. Gelfand, M. Kapranov, A. Zelevinsky, Discriminants, Resultants, and Multidimensional Determinants, Birkhäuser, 1994. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-0-8176-4771-1
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Harmonic AnalysisNumerical AnalysisProbability·Captain: mikedeng1

Isotropic Gaussian Random Fields on the Sphere: Regularity, Fast Simulation and Stochastic Partial Differential Equations III: Karhunen–Loève Truncation Error ≤ κ^{−β} a.s. for β < (α−2)/2Research Paper

Why approximate a random field on the sphere?

An isotropic Gaussian random field is a spatial random quantity whose probability law is unchanged when the sphere is rotated. Such fields model spatially distributed uncertainty when no direction is preferred. The question in this mission is concrete: if a field is simulated by retaining only finitely many spherical harmonic frequencies, how rapidly does the simulation approach the full field? Lang and Schwab study this question while developing regularity, simulation, and stochastic partial differential equation results for isotropic fields on spheres (Lang and Schwab, 2015). Their §5 separates the error in expected spatial energy from the error seen along an individual sample. The latter is the target here.

The field and its finite approximation

Let S2S^2S2 be the unit sphere in R3\mathbb R^3R3 and let σ\sigmaσ be surface area measure, with σ(S2)=4π\sigma(S^2)=4\piσ(S2)=4π. A point yyy has angular coordinates (ϑ,φ)(\vartheta,\varphi)(ϑ,φ), where y=(sin⁡ϑcos⁡φ,sin⁡ϑsin⁡φ,cos⁡ϑ)y=(\sin\vartheta\cos\varphi,\sin\vartheta\sin\varphi,\cos\vartheta)y=(sinϑcosφ,sinϑsinφ,cosϑ). Spherical harmonics YℓmY_{\ell m}Yℓm​ are the normalized complex functions indexed by a degree ℓ≥0\ell\ge0ℓ≥0 and an order −ℓ≤m≤ℓ-\ell\le m\le\ell−ℓ≤m≤ℓ. They form an orthonormal basis of complex L2(S2)L^2(S^2)L2(S2) with this unnormalized surface measure. The real factor Lℓm(ϑ)L_{\ell m}(\vartheta)Lℓm​(ϑ) is the normalized associated Legendre function appearing in Yℓm(ϑ,φ)=Lℓm(ϑ)eimφY_{\ell m}(\vartheta,\varphi)=L_{\ell m}(\vartheta)e^{im\varphi}Yℓm​(ϑ,φ)=Lℓm​(ϑ)eimφ for m≥0m\ge0m≥0 (§2, pp. 4–5).

The angular power spectrum is a nonnegative sequence (Aℓ)ℓ≥0(A_\ell)_{\ell\ge0}(Aℓ​)ℓ≥0​ recording the variance at each harmonic degree. Let Xℓm1X^1_{\ell m}Xℓm1​ and Xℓm2X^2_{\ell m}Xℓm2​ be independent standard normal random variables for the indices that occur below. The centered real field used in §5 is the ordered series

T(y)=∑ℓ=0∞(AℓXℓ01Lℓ0(ϑ)+2Aℓ∑m=1ℓLℓm(ϑ)(Xℓm1cos⁡(mφ)+Xℓm2sin⁡(mφ))).T(y)=\sum_{\ell=0}^{\infty}\left(\sqrt{A_\ell}X^1_{\ell0}L_{\ell0}(\vartheta)+\sqrt{2A_\ell}\sum_{m=1}^{\ell}L_{\ell m}(\vartheta)\bigl(X^1_{\ell m}\cos(m\varphi)+X^2_{\ell m}\sin(m\varphi)\bigr)\right).T(y)=ℓ=0∑∞​(Aℓ​​Xℓ01​Lℓ0​(ϑ)+2Aℓ​​m=1∑ℓ​Lℓm​(ϑ)(Xℓm1​cos(mφ)+Xℓm2​sin(mφ))).

Its Karhunen–Loève truncation TκT^\kappaTκ retains the outer sum through degree κ\kappaκ. These are the approximations analyzed and simulated in the paper (§5, p. 25). The norm ∥f∥L2(S2)\|f\|_{L^2(S^2)}∥f∥L2(S2)​ measures the spatial size of a sample fff, while ∥Z∥Lp(Ω;L2(S2))\|Z\|_{L^p(\Omega;L^2(S^2))}∥Z∥Lp(Ω;L2(S2))​ takes the pppth moment of that spatial norm over randomness. Lemma 5.1 relates this explicit series, in law, to an arbitrary centered isotropic Gaussian field with the same angular power spectrum (pp. 23–24).

Formalization targets

The goal, Corollary 5.4, assumes C>0C>0C>0, α>2\alpha>2α>2, an integer ℓ0≥1\ell_0\ge1ℓ0​≥1, and the tail condition Aℓ≤Cℓ−αA_\ell\le C\ell^{-\alpha}Aℓ​≤Cℓ−α for ℓ>ℓ0\ell>\ell_0ℓ>ℓ0​. It asserts almost-sure convergence in spatial L2L^2L2 and, for each β<(α−2)/2\beta<(\alpha-2)/2β<(α−2)/2, an eventual samplewise bound (p. 28):

∥T−Tκ∥L2(S2)≤κ−βfor all sufficiently large κ,P-almost surely.\|T-T^\kappa\|_{L^2(S^2)}\le\kappa^{-\beta}\qquad\text{for all sufficiently large }\kappa,\quad\mathbb P\text{-almost surely}.∥T−Tκ∥L2(S2)​≤κ−βfor all sufficiently large κ,P-almost surely.

The attack path retains three intermediate statements from §5. The squared mean-square error equals the exact spectral tail ∑ℓ>κ(2ℓ+1)Aℓ\sum_{\ell>\kappa}(2\ell+1)A_\ell∑ℓ>κ​(2ℓ+1)Aℓ​ (the proof of Proposition 5.2, p. 26). Proposition 5.2 establishes convergence in L2(Ω;L2(S2))L^2(\Omega;L^2(S^2))L2(Ω;L2(S2)) and the bound

∥T−Tκ∥L2(Ω;L2(S2))≤C^ κ−(α−2)/2,C^2=C(2α−2+1α−1)\|T-T^\kappa\|_{L^2(\Omega;L^2(S^2))}\le\widehat C\,\kappa^{-(\alpha-2)/2},\qquad \widehat C^2=C\left(\frac2{\alpha-2}+\frac1{\alpha-1}\right)∥T−Tκ∥L2(Ω;L2(S2))​≤Cκ−(α−2)/2,C2=C(α−22​+α−11​)

for κ≥ℓ0\kappa\ge\ell_0κ≥ℓ0​ (p. 25). Theorem 5.3 gives the same exponent for every finite p≥1p\ge1p≥1, with a constant depending only on p,C,αp,C,\alphap,C,α (p. 27). The goal's exponent may approach, but does not include, (α−2)/2(\alpha-2)/2(α−2)/2.

What the result supplies

The mean-square estimate controls average approximation error, but it does not itself say whether one sequence of simulated fields converges along almost every outcome. Corollary 5.4 supplies that pathwise assertion and a quantitative rate for each exponent below the spectral threshold. It identifies the resolution needed to make the spatial error small for almost every sample, rather than only on average. The threshold directly links harmonic spectral decay to numerical truncation quality.

The cited results are already proved in the paper; the remaining task is to formalize their statements and proofs for the explicit KL model. The definition layer provides a reusable real representation of normalized spherical harmonics and mixed norms on S2S^2S2. A completed proof would also make the transition from Gaussian moment estimates to samplewise convergence available as a machine-checked argument in this setting. No claim is made that these results already have machine-checked proofs.

Main difficulty

The spherical harmonics are orthonormal, but an error bound for the full field needs more than termwise estimates. It must control the infinite tail while keeping the harmonic normalization, Gaussian variances, and the surface measure consistent. The passage from an expected error to one bound that eventually holds along almost every sample also requires estimates for arbitrarily high finite moments. A fixed second-moment bound does not yield the full range of exponents in Corollary 5.4. The paper's constant in Proposition 5.2 and the parameter dependence of the constant in Theorem 5.3 therefore matter to the final statement.

Formalization scope

Lean uses EuclideanSpace ℝ (Fin 3) for the sphere. Coordinates 0,1,20,1,20,1,2 represent the paper's y1,y2,y3y_1,y_2,y_3y1​,y2​,y3​. volume.toSphere supplies surface measure of mass 4π4\pi4π. Legendre polynomials use Rodrigues' formula; the associated harmonics use Cartesian coordinates through (y1+iy2)m=sin⁡mϑeimφ(y_1+i y_2)^m=\sin^m\vartheta e^{im\varphi}(y1​+iy2​)m=sinmϑeimφ, so they are defined at the poles without choosing an angle there. The field is the limit of the ordered partial sums TκT^\kappaTκ. A nonconvergent sequence receives Lean's arbitrary limit value, but the theorems concern almost-everywhere convergence and norms, where such exceptional values must be shown irrelevant.

Spatial squared norms and mixed LpL^pLp norms are extended nonnegative integrals. This keeps nonintegrable functions from taking a false zero norm. Lean's natural numbers include zero; ℓ0∈N\ell_0\in\mathbb Nℓ0​∈N in the paper is recorded as ℓ0≥1\ell_0\ge1ℓ0​≥1. Decay is required only above ℓ0\ell_0ℓ0​, exactly where the paper requires it. Coefficients that enter the series are measurable, jointly independent, and standard normal. The unused coordinates Xℓ02X^2_{\ell0}Xℓ02​ are zero, as specified in Lemma 5.1; coefficients at invalid indices are unconstrained. The field is the explicit series of p. 25, with Lemma 5.1 supplying the paper's identification in law with any centered isotropic field. In Theorem 5.3 the constant is chosen before the field and probability space, preventing it from depending on a particular spectrum or cutoff. The almost-sure conclusion is a spatial L2L^2L2 claim, never a pointwise assertion at each sphere point.

The displayed identity on p. 26 omits a square on its left-hand norm, although the neighboring formulas use squared norms. The formal error identity restores the square and the milestone preserves the printed wording. Contributions to the harmonic normalization, exact spectral identity, uniform finite-moment estimates, and the final almost-sure result all fit this mission. The normalizations, the positive cutoff, and the explicit independent Gaussian coefficients rule out vacuous or zero-field encodings.

Selected references

  • A. Lang and Ch. Schwab, Isotropic Gaussian random fields on the sphere: regularity, fast simulation and stochastic partial differential equations, Annals of Applied Probability 25(6), 2015. arXiv:1305.1170v3
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CombinatoricsGraph TheoryMathematical Physics·Captain: mikedeng1

Algorithms for #BIS-Hard Problems on Expander Graphs 2: On Bipartite α-Expanders, the High-Fugacity Hard-Core Partition Function Reduces to Two Kotecký–Preiss Polymer ModelsResearch Paper

Motivation

The hard-core model on a finite graph GGG at fugacity λ>0\lambda > 0λ>0 weights each independent set III of GGG by λ∣I∣\lambda^{|I|}λ∣I∣. Its normalizing constant, the independence polynomial ZG(λ)Z_G(\lambda)ZG​(λ), is a basic object of statistical physics (a lattice gas with hard-core exclusion) and of combinatorics (ZG(1)Z_G(1)ZG​(1) counts independent sets).

The complexity of approximating ZG(λ)Z_G(\lambda)ZG​(λ) on graphs of maximum degree Δ\DeltaΔ is settled for general graphs: below the uniqueness threshold λc(Δ)=(Δ−1)Δ−1/(Δ−2)Δ\lambda_c(\Delta) = (\Delta-1)^{\Delta-1}/(\Delta-2)^{\Delta}λc​(Δ)=(Δ−1)Δ−1/(Δ−2)Δ there is a deterministic approximation scheme (Weitz, STOC 2006, doi:10.1145/1132516.1132538), and above it the problem is NP-hard to approximate. On bipartite graphs the picture is different. Approximately counting independent sets of a bipartite graph defines the class #BIS, whose complexity is a major open problem of approximate counting, and Cai, Galanis, Goldberg, Guo, Jerrum, Štefankovič and Vigoda showed that for Δ≥3\Delta \ge 3Δ≥3 and λ>λc(Δ)\lambda > \lambda_c(\Delta)λ>λc​(Δ) the hard-core model on bipartite graphs of maximum degree Δ\DeltaΔ is #BIS-hard (arXiv:1311.4839).

One route to partial progress is to find natural classes of bipartite graphs on which these #BIS-hard problems become tractable. Helmuth, Perkins and Regts did this for the hard-core model at high fugacity on the torus (Z/nZ)d(\mathbb Z/n\mathbb Z)^d(Z/nZ)d, using Pirogov–Sinai contour models and the cluster expansion (arXiv:1806.11548). Jenssen, Keevash and Perkins extended the method to abstract polymer models and to all bounded-degree bipartite expanders (arXiv:1807.04804; SIAM J. Comput. 49(4), 2020). This mission formalizes the mathematical core of their Theorem 1.

Setting

Let GGG be a finite bipartite graph with vertex classes O\mathcal OO (odd vertices) and E\mathcal EE (even vertices), n=∣O∣+∣E∣n = |\mathcal O| + |\mathcal E|n=∣O∣+∣E∣, and maximum degree at most Δ\DeltaΔ. For a vertex set SSS, the vertex boundary ∂S\partial S∂S is the set of vertices outside SSS with a neighbour in SSS. For α>0\alpha > 0α>0, GGG is a bipartite α\alphaα-expander if

∣∂S∣≥(1+α)∣S∣for all S⊆O, ∣S∣≤∣O∣/2, and all S⊆E, ∣S∣≤∣E∣/2.|\partial S| \ge (1+\alpha)|S| \quad\text{for all } S \subseteq \mathcal O,\ |S| \le |\mathcal O|/2, \text{ and all } S \subseteq \mathcal E,\ |S| \le |\mathcal E|/2.∣∂S∣≥(1+α)∣S∣for all S⊆O, ∣S∣≤∣O∣/2, and all S⊆E, ∣S∣≤∣E∣/2.

A subset of one class is small if it has at most half as many vertices as that class. The hard-core partition function is

ZG(λ)=∑I∈I(G)λ∣I∣,Z_G(\lambda) = \sum_{I \in \mathcal I(G)} \lambda^{|I|},ZG​(λ)=I∈I(G)∑​λ∣I∣,

with I(G)\mathcal I(G)I(G) the independent sets of GGG. A number Z^\hat ZZ^ is an ε\varepsilonε-relative approximation to ZZZ if e−εZ^≤Z≤eεZ^e^{-\varepsilon}\hat Z \le Z \le e^{\varepsilon}\hat Ze−εZ^≤Z≤eεZ^.

G2G^2G2 is the graph on the same vertices in which two distinct vertices are adjacent when their distance in GGG is at most 222; a set is G2G^2G2-connected when it induces a connected subgraph of G2G^2G2. An even polymer is a nonempty, small, G2G^2G2-connected set γ⊆E\gamma \subseteq \mathcal Eγ⊆E; odd polymers are defined in O\mathcal OO. Two polymers are compatible if their distance in GGG exceeds 222. Each polymer has the weight

wγ=λ∣γ∣(1+λ)∣∂γ∣,w_\gamma = \frac{\lambda^{|\gamma|}}{(1+\lambda)^{|\partial\gamma|}},wγ​=(1+λ)∣∂γ∣λ∣γ∣​,

and the polymer partition functions are ΞE(G)=∑Γ∏γ∈Γwγ\Xi^{\mathcal E}(G) = \sum_\Gamma \prod_{\gamma\in\Gamma} w_\gammaΞE(G)=∑Γ​∏γ∈Γ​wγ​, summed over the families Γ\GammaΓ of pairwise compatible even polymers (the empty family included), and ΞO(G)\Xi^{\mathcal O}(G)ΞO(G) likewise. Even polymers describe deviations from the ground state "all odd vertices occupied", and odd polymers from the other ground state.

Formalization targets

Goal: the deterministic core of Theorem 1

For α>0\alpha > 0α>0, Δ≥3\Delta \ge 3Δ≥3, every bipartite α\alphaα-expander GGG of maximum degree at most Δ\DeltaΔ on n≥3n \ge 3n≥3 vertices, and every

λ>max⁡{(2e3Δ4)1/α, e11/α},\lambda > \max\left\{(2e^3\Delta^4)^{1/\alpha},\ e^{11/\alpha}\right\},λ>max{(2e3Δ4)1/α, e11/α},
  1. Z~G(λ)=(1+λ)∣O∣ ΞE(G)+(1+λ)∣E∣ ΞO(G)\tilde Z_G(\lambda) = (1+\lambda)^{|\mathcal O|}\,\Xi^{\mathcal E}(G) + (1+\lambda)^{|\mathcal E|}\,\Xi^{\mathcal O}(G)Z~G​(λ)=(1+λ)∣O∣ΞE(G)+(1+λ)∣E∣ΞO(G) is an e−ne^{-n}e−n-relative approximation to ZG(λ)Z_G(\lambda)ZG​(λ);
  2. both polymer models satisfy the Kotecký–Preiss condition with g(γ)=∣γ∣g(\gamma) = |\gamma|g(γ)=∣γ∣: for every polymer γ\gammaγ,
∑γ′ incompatible with γwγ′ e2∣γ′∣≤∣γ∣.\sum_{\gamma' \text{ incompatible with } \gamma} w_{\gamma'}\, e^{2|\gamma'|} \le |\gamma|.γ′ incompatible with γ∑​wγ′​e2∣γ′∣≤∣γ∣.

Milestones

In the order of the paper's proof: Lemma 18 (every independent set has a small side); the identity Z~G(λ)=ZG(λ)+∑I sparseλ∣I∣\tilde Z_G(\lambda) = Z_G(\lambda) + \sum_{I \text{ sparse}} \lambda^{|I|}Z~G​(λ)=ZG​(λ)+∑I sparse​λ∣I∣; the size bound (2+α)∣I∣≤n(2+\alpha)|I| \le n(2+α)∣I∣≤n for sparse independent sets; Lemma 20 (part 1 of the goal); the weight bound wγ≤(1+λ)−α∣γ∣w_\gamma \le (1+\lambda)^{-\alpha|\gamma|}wγ​≤(1+λ)−α∣γ∣; the count of at most (eΔ2)t(e\Delta^2)^t(eΔ2)t G2G^2G2-connected ttt-sets through a vertex; and inequality (8), ∑γ′∋v(1+λ)−α∣γ′∣e2∣γ′∣≤1/Δ2\sum_{\gamma' \ni v} (1+\lambda)^{-\alpha|\gamma'|} e^{2|\gamma'|} \le 1/\Delta^2∑γ′∋v​(1+λ)−α∣γ′∣e2∣γ′∣≤1/Δ2.

Significance

The two parts of the goal are exactly what Theorem 8 of the paper (adapted from Helmuth, Perkins and Regts) consumes: given a polymer model satisfying the Kotecký–Preiss condition, the truncated cluster expansion of log⁡Ξ\log \XilogΞ yields an FPTAS and, through self-reducibility, a polynomial-time sampler. Together they give a deterministic approximate counting algorithm for a #BIS-hard problem on a natural graph class, at fugacities far above λc(Δ)\lambda_c(\Delta)λc​(Δ), the regime in which the problem is hard on general bipartite graphs. The same template (reduction to polymer models around ground states, then Kotecký–Preiss) underlies the paper's results for the Potts model, for random regular bipartite graphs and for proper colourings, and a large later literature on algorithms at low temperature.

The result is proved in the paper; to our knowledge none of it has been machine-checked. A formalization adds a precise treatment of the degenerate cases (see below), a reusable formal definition of abstract polymer models over vertex sets, and the elementary but intricate bijection between compatible polymer families and sparse sets.

Difficulty

Each step is elementary, and the difficulty lies in the bookkeeping. The reduction needs an exact correspondence between families of pairwise compatible polymers and sparse subsets of a class, and an exact double count over independent sets. The quantitative step of Lemma 20 compares the total weight of sparse independent sets, which have at most n/(2+α)n/(2+\alpha)n/(2+α) vertices, with ZG(λ)≥λn/2Z_G(\lambda) \ge \lambda^{n/2}ZG​(λ)≥λn/2; the printed last inequality, 2nλ−αn/(4+2α)≤e−n2^n\lambda^{-\alpha n/(4+2\alpha)} \le e^{-n}2nλ−αn/(4+2α)≤e−n, follows from λ>e11/α\lambda > e^{11/\alpha}λ>e11/α only for α\alphaα up to about 1.251.251.25, and larger α\alphaα forces both classes to have at most nine vertices, a finite range that needs its own argument. The Kotecký–Preiss half needs the count of connected sets in a bounded-degree graph (Lemma 14 of the paper, from Galvin and Kahn), applied to G2G^2G2, and a geometric series.

Formalization scope

The algorithmic conclusion of Theorem 1 (an FPTAS and a polynomial-time sampling algorithm, with running time (n/ε)O(log⁡Δ)(n/\varepsilon)^{O(\log\Delta)}(n/ε)O(logΔ)) is not formalized: Mathlib has no machine model and the running times carry unspecified constants. The goal is the mathematics the algorithm rests on: the reduction to two polymer models and the Kotecký–Preiss condition for both. The cluster expansion and Theorem 8 are not part of the mission.

Conventions. The graph is a SimpleGraph V on a finite type, with O\mathcal OO a Finset V and E\mathcal EE its complement; bipartiteness is a hypothesis. The fugacity is lam. "∣S∣≤∣O∣/2|S| \le |\mathcal O|/2∣S∣≤∣O∣/2" is 2 * #S ≤ #O in N\mathbb NN. Distances use the extended distance SimpleGraph.edist, so vertices in different components are never close. The Kotecký–Preiss sum ranges over the polymers of the same class incompatible with γ\gammaγ, including γ\gammaγ itself. Polymers are capped at half of their own class, not at n/2n/2n/2; the condition without this cap, or with compatibility in place of incompatibility, would be a different statement.

Two hypotheses differ from the page. Theorem 1 states the threshold as λ>CΔ4/α\lambda > C\Delta^{4/\alpha}λ>CΔ4/α for an absolute constant CCC; the goal uses the threshold its proof uses (§4.3). The hypothesis n≥3n \ge 3n≥3 is added: on the edgeless graph with one vertex in each class the expansion condition is vacuous, no side of the independent set VVV is small, and Lemma 18 and Lemma 20 fail.

A complete development needs: the bijection between compatible families and sparse sets, Lemma 14 for G2G^2G2, and real-power estimates. The polymer-model and graph-power definitions are reusable for the sibling missions of this series. Proofs of individual milestones are welcome independently.

Selected references

  • M. Jenssen, P. Keevash, W. Perkins, Algorithms for #BIS-hard problems on expander graphs, SIAM J. Comput. 49(4) (2020) 681–710. doi:10.1137/19M1286669, arXiv:1807.04804
  • T. Helmuth, W. Perkins, G. Regts, Algorithmic Pirogov–Sinai theory, Probab. Theory Related Fields 176 (2020) 851–895. arXiv:1806.11548
  • R. Kotecký, D. Preiss, Cluster expansion for abstract polymer models, Comm. Math. Phys. 103 (1986) 491–498. doi:10.1007/BF01211762
  • J.-Y. Cai, A. Galanis, L. A. Goldberg, H. Guo, M. Jerrum, D. Štefankovič, E. Vigoda, #BIS-hardness for 2-spin systems on bipartite bounded degree graphs in the tree non-uniqueness region, J. Comput. System Sci. 82 (2016) 690–711. arXiv:1311.4839
  • D. Weitz, Counting independent sets up to the tree threshold, STOC 2006, 140–149. doi:10.1145/1132516.1132538
  • D. Galvin, J. Kahn, On phase transition in the hard-core model on Zd\mathbb Z^dZd, Combin. Probab. Comput. 13 (2004) 137–164. doi:10.1017/S0963548303005947
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Operations ResearchOptimal TransportProbability+1·Captain: mikedeng1

A Stochastic Control Approach to No-Arbitrage Bounds Given Marginals, with an Application to Lookback Options: The Robust Superhedging Bound of g(X*_T) Given the Law of X_T Equals μ^HL(g)Research Paper

Model-free bounds for lookback options

A lookback option pays a function of the running maximum of the underlying asset over the life of the contract. When the prices of European call options of all strikes at the maturity are quoted, the risk-neutral law μ\muμ of the terminal price is known, but the law of the whole path is not. The robust (model-free) superhedging cost of the lookback payoff is the cheapest initial capital that, combined with a static position in the quoted calls and dynamic trading in the underlying, dominates the payoff in every model consistent with μ\muμ.

Hobson (Finance Stoch. 1998) computed this cost for g(x)=xg(x)=xg(x)=x by a pathwise inequality, and identified the extremal model through the Azéma–Yor solution of the Skorokhod embedding problem (Azéma–Yor 1979). Galichon, Henry-Labordère and Touzi (Ann. Appl. Probab. 2014, arXiv:1401.3921) recast model-free bounds as a dual stochastic control problem in which the marginal constraint is penalised by a Lagrange multiplier λ\lambdaλ. Their Theorem 3.1 recovers Hobson's bound for every C1C^1C1 nondecreasing ggg from that dual, with an explicit optimal multiplier and stopping time. The result is one of the founding examples of martingale optimal transport.

Setting

Let BBB be a real Brownian motion with continuous paths and B0=0B_0=0B0​=0, adapted to a filtration (Ft)t≥0(\mathcal F_t)_{t\ge0}(Ft​)t≥0​ with increments independent of the past, and let Xt=X0+BtX_t=X_0+B_tXt​=X0​+Bt​ for a spot X0∈RX_0\in\mathbb RX0​∈R. Write Xτ∗=max⁡t≤τXtX^*_\tau=\max_{t\le\tau}X_tXτ∗​=maxt≤τ​Xt​. Let T∞\mathcal T_\inftyT∞​ be the set of stopping times τ\tauτ for which the stopped process (Xt∧τ)t≥0(X_{t\wedge\tau})_{t\ge0}(Xt∧τ​)t≥0​ is a uniformly integrable martingale.

The marginal is a probability measure μ\muμ on R\mathbb RR with finite first moment and mean ∫x μ(dx)=X0\int x\,\mu(dx)=X_0∫xμ(dx)=X0​. Its call prices are c(x)=∫(y−x)+μ(dy)c(x)=\int(y-x)^+\mu(dy)c(x)=∫(y−x)+μ(dy). The payoff is ξ=g(X∗)\xi=g(X^*)ξ=g(X∗) with g:R→R+g:\mathbb R\to\mathbb R_+g:R→R+​ of class C1C^1C1 and nondecreasing.

For a multiplier λ:R→R\lambda:\mathbb R\to\mathbb Rλ:R→R and τ∈T∞\tau\in\mathcal T_\inftyτ∈T∞​ set J(λ,τ)=E[g(Xτ∗)−λ(Xτ)]J(\lambda,\tau)=\mathbb E[g(X^*_\tau)-\lambda(X_\tau)]J(λ,τ)=E[g(Xτ∗​)−λ(Xτ​)] and uλ(X0,X0)=sup⁡τ∈T∞J(λ,τ)u^\lambda(X_0,X_0)=\sup_{\tau\in\mathcal T_\infty}J(\lambda,\tau)uλ(X0​,X0​)=supτ∈T∞​​J(λ,τ). The admissible multipliers are

Λ0μ={λ∈L1(μ): sup⁡τ∈T∞E[λ(Xτ)−]<∞},\Lambda^\mu_0=\Big\{\lambda\in\mathbb L^1(\mu):\ \sup_{\tau\in\mathcal T_\infty}\mathbb E[\lambda(X_\tau)^-]<\infty\Big\},Λ0μ​={λ∈L1(μ): τ∈T∞​sup​E[λ(Xτ​)−]<∞},

and the reduced superhedging problem (3.7) is

Uμ(ξ)=inf⁡λ∈Λ0μ{∫λ dμ+uλ(X0,X0)}.U^\mu(\xi)=\inf_{\lambda\in\Lambda^\mu_0}\Big\{\int\lambda\,d\mu+u^\lambda(X_0,X_0)\Big\}.Uμ(ξ)=λ∈Λ0μ​inf​{∫λdμ+uλ(X0​,X0​)}.

The barycenter function is b(x)=∫[x,∞)y μ(dy)/μ([x,∞))b(x)=\int_{[x,\infty)}y\,\mu(dy)/\mu([x,\infty))b(x)=∫[x,∞)​yμ(dy)/μ([x,∞)) for μ((x,∞))>0\mu((x,\infty))>0μ((x,∞))>0 and b(x)=xb(x)=xb(x)=x otherwise. The Hardy–Littlewood transform μHL\mu^{HL}μHL is the probability measure with

μHL([y,∞))=inf⁡ξ<yc(ξ)y−ξ.\mu^{HL}([y,\infty))=\inf_{\xi<y}\frac{c(\xi)}{y-\xi}.μHL([y,∞))=ξ<yinf​y−ξc(ξ)​.

The Azéma–Yor stopping time is τ∗=inf⁡{t>0:Xt∗≥b(Xt)}\tau^*=\inf\{t>0:X^*_t\ge b(X_t)\}τ∗=inf{t>0:Xt∗​≥b(Xt​)}, and the candidate multiplier is

λ∗(x)=∫ℓμx ⁣∫ℓμyg′(b(ξ)) b(dξ)b(ξ)−ξ dy,\lambda^*(x)=\int_{\ell^\mu}^{x}\!\int_{\ell^\mu}^{y}g'(b(\xi))\,\frac{b(d\xi)}{b(\xi)-\xi}\,dy ,λ∗(x)=∫ℓμx​∫ℓμy​g′(b(ξ))b(ξ)−ξb(dξ)​dy,

that is, the convex function vanishing below ℓμ\ell^\muℓμ that solves the weak ODE (3.21) with ψ=b−1\psi=b^{-1}ψ=b−1.

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem 3.1

If sup⁡τ∈T∞E[g(Xτ∗)]<∞\sup_{\tau\in\mathcal T_\infty}\mathbb E[g(X^*_\tau)]<\inftysupτ∈T∞​​E[g(Xτ∗​)]<∞ and μHL(g)=∫g dμHL<∞\mu^{HL}(g)=\int g\,d\mu^{HL}<\inftyμHL(g)=∫gdμHL<∞, then

Uμ(ξ)=μ(λ∗)+J(λ∗,τ∗)=μHL(g).U^\mu(\xi)=\mu(\lambda^*)+J(\lambda^*,\tau^*)=\mu^{HL}(g).Uμ(ξ)=μ(λ∗)+J(λ∗,τ∗)=μHL(g).

The goal is the paper's theorem for the reduced problem (3.7), in its full two-equality form: the value, its attainment by (λ∗,τ∗)(\lambda^*,\tau^*)(λ∗,τ∗), and its closed form.

Milestones

  1. The Neumann condition (3.23) for Peskir's candidate vψv^\psivψ.
  2. Lemma 3.1: uλ≤vψu^\lambda\le v^\psiuλ≤vψ for convex λ∈Λ0μ\lambda\in\Lambda^\mu_0λ∈Λ0μ​ and every relaxed free boundary ψ∈Ψλ\psi\in\Psi^\lambdaψ∈Ψλ.
  3. Step (1) of Lemma 3.2: μ(λ)−λ(X0)=∫(c−c0) dλ′′\mu(\lambda)-\lambda(X_0)=\int(c-c_0)\,d\lambda''μ(λ)−λ(X0​)=∫(c−c0​)dλ′′, with c0(x)=(X0−x)+c_0(x)=(X_0-x)^+c0​(x)=(X0​−x)+.
  4. Lemma 3.2: μ(λ)+uλ(X0,X0)≤g(X0)+∫φ(ψ(m),m)g′(m) dm\mu(\lambda)+u^\lambda(X_0,X_0)\le g(X_0)+\int\varphi(\psi(m),m)g'(m)\,dmμ(λ)+uλ(X0​,X0​)≤g(X0​)+∫φ(ψ(m),m)g′(m)dm.
  5. The pointwise minimizations (3.27) and (3.28).
  6. Steps (2) and (3) of Lemma 3.3: properties of λ∗\lambda^*λ∗, and the integration by parts giving μHL(g)\mu^{HL}(g)μHL(g).
  7. Lemma 3.3, the upper bound Uμ(ξ)≤μHL(g)U^\mu(\xi)\le\mu^{HL}(g)Uμ(ξ)≤μHL(g).
  8. The Azéma–Yor facts: τ∗∈T∞\tau^*\in\mathcal T_\inftyτ∗∈T∞​, Xτ∗∼μX_{\tau^*}\sim\muXτ∗​∼μ, Xτ∗∗∼μHLX^*_{\tau^*}\sim\mu^{HL}Xτ∗∗​∼μHL.
  9. The lower bound Uμ(ξ)≥μHL(g)U^\mu(\xi)\ge\mu^{HL}(g)Uμ(ξ)≥μHL(g) of Section 3.4.

Significance

The theorem identifies the model-free price of a lookback payoff as an explicit functional of the call prices, μHL(g)\mu^{HL}(g)μHL(g), and exhibits the extremal model (Brownian motion stopped at τ∗\tau^*τ∗) and the optimal static hedge (λ∗\lambda^*λ∗). It shows that the dual stochastic control formulation is sharp on a nontrivial path-dependent payoff, which is the template for later work on martingale optimal transport with path-dependent costs.

The result has been proved since 2014 (and Hobson's bound since 1998). It has not been formalized. A complete development would provide machine-checked versions of the Azéma–Yor embedding, the law of the maximum at the embedding, a verification theorem for a reflected optimal stopping problem with a nonsmooth obstacle, and the convex-analytic identities linking call prices to second-derivative measures. Each of these is reusable well beyond this paper.

Difficulty

The upper bound requires a verification argument for an optimal stopping problem of the pair (X,X∗)(X,X^*)(X,X∗) with a reflection at the diagonal, where the candidate vψv^\psivψ is only as regular as the convex multiplier λ\lambdaλ: second derivatives are measures and the free boundary ψ\psiψ solves its ODE only in a relaxed sense. An Itô formula for C2C^2C2 functions does not apply; an Itô–Tanaka (local time) argument for concave functions of XXX, with the reflection term killed by the Neumann condition, is needed, followed by a localisation that uses uniform integrability and the integrability condition in Λ0μ\Lambda^\mu_0Λ0μ​. The lower bound needs the Azéma–Yor embedding and the law of Xτ∗∗X^*_{\tau^*}Xτ∗∗​, neither of which is in Mathlib; the naive appeal to "the embedding exists" does not give the joint law of the stopped value and the maximum.

Formalization scope

The Lean development lives in the namespace LookbackMOT.HL and uses Mathlib's IsBrownianReal, IsStoppingTime, stoppedProcess, stoppedValue, Martingale, UniformIntegrable and HasLaw. Committed conventions:

  • What is formalized. The goal is the reduced problem (3.7), not the superhedging problem (2.6): (2.6) needs stochastic integrals, which Mathlib does not have. The bridge between them (Proposition 2.1, the claim (3.4), Proposition 3.1) is outside this mission. The theorem's hypothesis sup⁡P∈P∞EP[ξ+]<∞\sup_{\mathbb P\in\mathcal P_\infty}\mathbb E^{\mathbb P}[\xi^+]<\inftysupP∈P∞​​EP[ξ+]<∞ is stated through Proposition 3.1 with λ=0\lambda=0λ=0 as sup⁡τ∈T∞E[g(Xτ∗)]<∞\sup_{\tau\in\mathcal T_\infty}\mathbb E[g(X^*_\tau)]<\inftysupτ∈T∞​​E[g(Xτ∗​)]<∞. The horizon TTT disappears: the stopping problem is over T∞\mathcal T_\inftyT∞​ with time in [0,∞)[0,\infty)[0,∞).
  • Standing hypotheses. The Brownian motion lives on an arbitrary filtered probability space with everywhere-continuous paths and B0=0B_0=0B0​=0; the paper's canonical space is one instance. The mean condition and integrability of μ\muμ (p. 7) are assumed throughout. The spot X0X_0X0​ is any real number. μ([0,∞))=1\mu([0,\infty))=1μ([0,∞))=1 is assumed only in (3.27).
  • Added conditions. Every τ∈T∞\tau\in\mathcal T_\inftyτ∈T∞​ is a.s. finite (implied by uniform integrability). Every λ∈Λ0μ\lambda\in\Lambda^\mu_0λ∈Λ0μ​ is measurable.
  • Expectations of payoffs are E[φ+]−E[φ−]\mathbb E[\varphi^+]-\mathbb E[\varphi^-]E[φ+]−E[φ−] in the extended reals, with ∞−∞=−∞\infty-\infty=-\infty∞−∞=−∞; value functions are extended reals.
  • Derivatives. λ′\lambda'λ′ is the right derivative and λ′′\lambda''λ′′ its Stieltjes measure. The weak ODE (3.21) is used both as a change of variables (λ′′\lambda''λ′′ is the image of g′(m)/(m−ψ(m)) dmg'(m)/(m-\psi(m))\,dmg′(m)/(m−ψ(m))dm under ψ\psiψ) and on intervals (λ′(ψ(y2))−λ′(ψ(y1))=∫y1y2g′(m)/(m−ψ(m)) dm\lambda'(\psi(y_2))-\lambda'(\psi(y_1))=\int_{y_1}^{y_2}g'(m)/(m-\psi(m))\,dmλ′(ψ(y2​))−λ′(ψ(y1​))=∫y1​y2​​g′(m)/(m−ψ(m))dm), the two forms the paper's proofs use.
  • The multiplier λ∗\lambda^*λ∗. It is written as λ∗(x)=∫X0<m<rμg′(m)(x−b−1(m))+/(m−b−1(m)) dm\lambda^*(x)=\int_{X_0<m<r^\mu}g'(m)(x-b^{-1}(m))^+/(m-b^{-1}(m))\,dmλ∗(x)=∫X0​<m<rμ​g′(m)(x−b−1(m))+/(m−b−1(m))dm, the change of variables m=b(ξ)m=b(\xi)m=b(ξ) in (3.14) and the solution of (3.21) with ψ=b−1\psi=b^{-1}ψ=b−1 that the proof of Lemma 3.3 uses. It agrees with the b(dξ)b(d\xi)b(dξ) formula when bbb is continuous; at the jumps of bbb (atoms of μ\muμ) the Lebesgue–Stieltjes reading of (3.14) can fail to be μ\muμ-integrable.
  • Measures given by identities. μHL\mu^{HL}μHL and λ′′\lambda''λ′′ enter as measures satisfying their defining identities on intervals; each exists and is unique.
  • Printed slips not copied. (3.12) prints the numerator c(y)c(y)c(y); the formalization uses c(ξ)c(\xi)c(ξ). bbb, μHL\mu^{HL}μHL and λ∗\lambda^*λ∗ are extended from x≥0x\ge0x≥0 to all of R\mathbb RR by the same formulas.

No trivializing reading is available. Payoff expectations are never Bochner integrals (which would be 000 for non-integrable payoffs). τ≡0\tau\equiv0τ≡0 lies in T∞\mathcal T_\inftyT∞​ and λ≡0\lambda\equiv0λ≡0 in Λ0μ\Lambda^\mu_0Λ0μ​, so neither the supremum nor the infimum is over an empty set. The predicates for μHL\mu^{HL}μHL and λ′′\lambda''λ′′ are satisfiable (witnessed for μ=δX0\mu=\delta_{X_0}μ=δX0​​ in a sorry-free check). XτX_\tauXτ​ is only evaluated where τ<∞\tau<\inftyτ<∞ a.s. Every division has a positive denominator on the sets that carry mass.

Contributions welcome: the Azéma–Yor embedding and the law of the maximum; an Itô–Tanaka or local-time calculus sufficient for concave functions of Brownian motion and its maximum; the call-price identities of convex analysis; and the analysis of μHL\mu^{HL}μHL.

Selected references

  • A. Galichon, P. Henry-Labordère, N. Touzi, A stochastic control approach to no-arbitrage bounds given marginals, with an application to lookback options, Ann. Appl. Probab. 24 (2014) 312–336. https://arxiv.org/abs/1401.3921 (v1, the version cited)
  • D. Hobson, Robust hedging of the lookback option, Finance Stoch. 2 (1998) 329–347. https://doi.org/10.1007/s007800050046
  • J. Azéma, M. Yor, Une solution simple au problème de Skorokhod, Séminaire de Probabilités XIII, LNM 721 (1979) 90–115. https://doi.org/10.1007/BFb0070852
  • G. Peskir, Optimal stopping of the maximum process: the maximality principle, Ann. Probab. 26 (1998) 1614–1640. https://doi.org/10.1214/aop/1022855875
  • L. Carraro, N. El Karoui, J. Obłój, On Azéma–Yor processes, their optimal properties and the Bachelier–drawdown equation, Ann. Probab. 40 (2012) 372–400. https://arxiv.org/abs/0902.1328
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