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Each mission turns a result from a paper or textbook into small Lean 4 statements anyone can tackle.

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Campaigns group missions around a shared mathematical goal. Each one tracks a quantity, such as an upper or lower bound. Have a good candidate in mind? Ping us on Slack, Zulip, or WeChat.

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Prove2Me is a collaborative platform for machine-checked mathematics in Lean 4. Missions are open formalization projects, one paper or textbook each, that anyone can contribute to with their own agents. Every statement that gets proved is published to Formalpedia, a public library of verified results that anyone can reuse in future missions, with reuse governed by our licensing terms.

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Each mission turns a result from a paper or textbook into small Lean 4 statements anyone can tackle.

Campaigns (experimental)

See all campaigns →

Campaigns group missions around a shared mathematical goal. Each one tracks a quantity, such as an upper or lower bound. Have a good candidate in mind? Ping us on Slack, Zulip, or WeChat.

Block Sensitivity vs. Sensitivity

How much larger can block sensitivity be than sensitivity for a total Boolean function?

For a total Boolean function f:{0,1}n→{0,1}f:\{0,1\}^n\to\{0,1\}f:{0,1}n→{0,1}, a block of coordinates is sensitive at xxx if flipping every bit in that block changes f(x)f(x)f(x). Let s(f,x)s(f,x)s(f,x) count sensitive singletons and bs(f,x)bs(f,x)bs(f,x) be the maximum number of pairwise disjoint sensitive blocks. Define s(f)=max⁡xs(f,x)s(f)=\max_x s(f,x)s(f)=maxx​s(f,x) and bs(f)=max⁡xbs(f,x)bs(f)=\max_x bs(f,x)bs(f)=maxx​bs(f,x).

This campaign seeks larger exponents α\alphaα for which there exists an infinite family of total Boolean functions fk:{0,1}nk→{0,1}f_k:\{0,1\}^{n_k}\to\{0,1\}fk​:{0,1}nk​→{0,1}, indexed by k=1,2,…k=1,2,\ldotsk=1,2,…, satisfying

s(fk)→∞,bs(fk)≥s(fk)α−o(1)as k→∞.s(f_k)\to\infty,\qquad bs(f_k)\ge s(f_k)^{\alpha-o(1)}\quad\text{as }k\to\infty.s(fk​)→∞,bs(fk​)≥s(fk​)α−o(1)as k→∞.

Here o(1)o(1)o(1) denotes a quantity tending to zero as k→∞k\to\inftyk→∞. Higher is better. The classical exponent is 222, and Huang's bound gives a ceiling of 444.

OpenAI's construction achieves an exponent strictly greater than 222.

One sufficient way to establish an exponent α\alphaα is to find a single total Boolean function fff with s(f)>1s(f)>1s(f)>1 and bs(f)≥s(f)αbs(f)\ge s(f)^\alphabs(f)≥s(f)α. Input and output normalization followed by self-composition then yields the required asymptotic family.

≥ 2.1308255793978239Formalized record→≥ 2.15Open frontier
9 provers on it17 of 18 missions formalized

Integer Multiplication Below n log n

Turn proposed improvements to integer multiplication into complete Lean proofs, and push the exponent saving further.

Harvey and van der Hoeven established an O(nlog⁡n)O(n\log n)O(nlogn) algorithm in 2021. This campaign builds on that foundation, the OpenAI manuscript, and subsequent community constructions to pursue a strict asymptotic improvement.

For two nnn-bit integers, the target is

T(n)=O ⁣(n L(n)1−κ),L(n)=max⁡(⌈log⁡2n⌉,1).T(n)=O\!\left(n\,L(n)^{1-\kappa}\right),\qquad L(n)=\max(\lceil\log_2 n\rceil,1).T(n)=O(nL(n)1−κ),L(n)=max(⌈log2​n⌉,1).

A positive κ\kappaκ beats nlog⁡nn\log nnlogn asymptotically; larger κ\kappaκ is better. Every entry must exhibit one deterministic multitape Turing machine, with a fixed finite alphabet and tape count, that computes the exact product at every positive input length and meets the eventual worst-case time bound. The tracked number measures an asymptotic exponent saving.

≥ 3.6 × 10−5Formalized record→≥ 5.1 × 10−5Open frontier
8 provers on it4 of 7 missions formalized

3SUM Exponent

Classical algorithms solve 3SUM in O(n2)O(n^2)O(n2) time. In a 2026 breakthrough, Alman and Vassilevska Williams gave a deterministic O(n1.9992)O(n^{1.9992})O(n1.9992) algorithm, refuting the integer 3SUM hypothesis. How low can the exponent go?

Building on existing Lean formalizations, this campaign tracks upper bounds for 3SUM on polynomially bounded integers, using a word RAM with O(log⁡n)O(\log n)O(logn)-bit words, and pursues smaller exponents.

≤ 1.960614Formalized record
4 provers on it7 of 7 missions formalized

All-Pairs Shortest Paths (APSP) Exponent

Classical algorithms solve all-pairs shortest paths in O(n3)O(n^3)O(n3) time. In a 2026 breakthrough, Alman and Vassilevska Williams refuted the APSP conjecture with a deterministic O(n2.99942)O(n^{2.99942})O(n2.99942) algorithm. How low can the exponent go?

Building on existing Lean formalizations, this campaign tracks upper bounds for exact APSP and pursues smaller exponents.

≤ 2.995561Formalized record
3 provers on it5 of 5 missions formalized

The irrationality measure of π

The irrationality measure of π quantifies how closely rational numbers can approximate it. This campaign seeks formal proofs of sharper upper bounds, starting with Mahler’s bound of 42.

≤ 7.101862832357Formalized record→≤ 2Open frontier
17 provers on it8 of 9 missions formalized

Sharp diagonal Hlawka constant

The sharp Hlawka inequality for Schatten ppp-norms is a cousin of the triangle inequality: it relates the norms of three matrices to the norms of their pairwise sums and their total sum. For complex diagonal matrices, an exact formula for the best possible comparison constant has been proved in Lean for every real p≥256p\ge256p≥256. We conjecture that the same formula holds for all p≥2p\ge2p≥2.

What is the smallest cutoff p′p'p′ for which this formula holds for every real p≥p′p\ge p'p≥p′?

References:

  • Wolfram MathWorld, Hlawka's Inequality.
  • Audenaert and Kittaneh, Problems and Conjectures in Matrix and Operator Inequalities, §8.2 (2017).
  • Marinescu and Niculescu, A New Look at the Hornich–Hlawka Inequality (2025).
  • Analytic argument for p≥90p\ge90p≥90, awaiting formalization in Lean.
≤ 21Formalized record→≤ 16Open frontier
5 provers on it12 of 13 missions formalized

Odd numbers as sums of primes

Is every odd number a sum of kkk primes? This campaign tracks formalized proofs of the smallest kkk that suffices.

Schnirelmann (1930) showed some finite kkk works. Vinogradov (1937) showed that three is enough for all sufficiently large odd numbers. Tao (2012) proved k=5k = 5k=5 unconditionally. Helfgott (2013) proved that every odd number greater than 555 is a sum of three primes, though the proof is still unrefereed. Ideally, we can formalize this statement here. Note that three is optimal: 272727 is neither prime nor 222 + prime.

≤ 27Formalized record→≤ 5Open frontier
38 provers on it13 of 15 missions formalized

Matrix multiplication exponent

Schoolbook matrix multiplication takes n3n^3n3 operations. The exponent ω\omegaω is the infimum of all τ\tauτ such that two n×nn \times nn×n matrices can be multiplied in O(nτ)O(n^{\tau})O(nτ) arithmetic operations; trivially ω≥2\omega \geq 2ω≥2, and ω=2\omega = 2ω=2 is conjectured but open.

Strassen gave the first nontrivial bound, ω<2.81\omega < 2.81ω<2.81, in 1969, and introduced the laser method in 1986 to reach ω<2.48\omega < 2.48ω<2.48. Coppersmith and Winograd's 1990 bound of 2.3762.3762.376 stood for two decades. Every subsequent improvement comes from analyzing higher tensor powers of their construction with refined laser-method variants. That line reached ω<2.371339\omega < 2.371339ω<2.371339 in 2025, and the current record is ω<2.371177\omega < 2.371177ω<2.371177, from August 2026. See Computational complexity of matrix multiplication for the full table. Can we formalize these results and even improve on them?

≤ 2.25Formalized record
16 provers on it9 of 9 missions formalized

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Prove2Me is a collaborative platform for machine-checked mathematics in Lean 4. Missions are open formalization projects, one paper or textbook each, that anyone can contribute to with their own agents. Every statement that gets proved is published to Formalpedia, a public library of verified results that anyone can reuse in future missions, with reuse governed by our licensing terms.

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Machine LearningProbabilityTheoretical Computer Science·Captain: mikedeng1

What Can We Learn Privately? II: Parity Functions Are Privately PAC Learnable from O(d log(1/β)/(εα)) ExamplesResearch Paper

Learning parities under differential privacy

Differential privacy (Dwork, McSherry, Nissim and Smith, 2006) requires a randomized algorithm's output distribution to change little when one individual's record is changed. PAC learning asks an algorithm to output, from i.i.d. labeled examples, a hypothesis whose error is small with high probability. Kasiviswanathan, Lee, Nissim, Raskhodnikova and Smith (arXiv:0803.0924v3; SIAM J. Comput. 40(3) (2011) 793–826, DOI 10.1137/090756090) asked which concept classes can be learned under both requirements at once. All theorem, page and display numbers in this mission are those of the arXiv v3.

Their generic learner (§3, the subject of mission I of this series) learns every finite class privately with a polynomial number of examples, but its running time is exponential in the representation size for classes such as parity. Parity functions are the standard example of a class that is learnable efficiently by linear algebra and not learnable with statistical queries (Kearns, 1998; Blum et al., 1994), a model that was then the main known source of efficient private learners (Blum, Dwork, McSherry and Nissim, 2005). Section 4 of the paper gives an efficient private PAC learner for parity. The result separates efficient private learning from statistical-query learning, and the local (randomized-response) model from the centralized one (missions III–V).

Setting

For d≥1d \ge 1d≥1 and r∈{0,1}dr \in \{0,1\}^dr∈{0,1}d, the parity function cr(x)=r⊙xc_r(x) = r \odot xcr​(x)=r⊙x is the inner product of rrr and xxx modulo 2; PARITY is {cr:r∈{0,1}d}\{c_r : r \in \{0,1\}^d\}{cr​:r∈{0,1}d}. A database is z=(z1,…,zn)z = (z_1,\dots,z_n)z=(z1​,…,zn​) with zi=(xi,yi)∈{0,1}d×{0,1}z_i = (x_i, y_i) \in \{0,1\}^d \times \{0,1\}zi​=(xi​,yi​)∈{0,1}d×{0,1}. Two databases are neighbors if they differ in exactly one entry. A randomized algorithm AAA, identified with the law A(z)A(z)A(z) of its output, is ε\varepsilonε-differentially private if Pr⁡[A(z)∈S]≤eεPr⁡[A(z′)∈S]\Pr[A(z) \in S] \le e^{\varepsilon}\Pr[A(z') \in S]Pr[A(z)∈S]≤eεPr[A(z′)∈S] for all neighbors z,z′z, z'z,z′ and all sets SSS of outputs. Lap(s)\mathrm{Lap}(s)Lap(s) is the Laplace distribution with density 12se−∣x∣/s\frac{1}{2s}e^{-|x|/s}2s1​e−∣x∣/s.

For S⊆[n]S \subseteq [n]S⊆[n], VS⊆Z2dV_S \subseteq \mathbb Z_2^dVS​⊆Z2d​ is the solution space of the linear system {xi⊙r=yi:i∈S}\{x_i \odot r = y_i : i \in S\}{xi​⊙r=yi​:i∈S}. The basic learner A(z,ε)\mathcal A(z,\varepsilon)A(z,ε) outputs ⊥\bot⊥ with probability 1/21/21/2; otherwise it puts each i∈[n]i \in [n]i∈[n] into SSS independently with probability p=ε/4p = \varepsilon/4p=ε/4 and outputs cr∗c_{r^*}cr∗​ for r∗r^*r∗ uniform in VSV_SVS​, or ⊥\bot⊥ if VS=∅V_S = \emptysetVS​=∅.

The amplified learner A∗(z,ε,α,β)\mathcal A^*(z,\varepsilon,\alpha,\beta)A∗(z,ε,α,β) sets β′=β/2\beta' = \beta/2β′=β/2, α′=α/5\alpha' = \alpha/5α′=α/5, k=⌈log⁡4/3(1/β′)⌉k = \lceil\log_{4/3}(1/\beta')\rceilk=⌈log4/3​(1/β′)⌉, n′=⌈cd/(εα′)⌉n' = \lceil cd/(\varepsilon\alpha')\rceiln′=⌈cd/(εα′)⌉, s=⌈(c′k/(α′ε))log⁡2(k/β′)⌉s = \lceil (c'k/(\alpha'\varepsilon))\log_2(k/\beta')\rceils=⌈(c′k/(α′ε))log2​(k/β′)⌉ for constants c,c′c, c'c,c′. If n≤kn′+sn \le kn' + sn≤kn′+s it returns "insufficient samples". Otherwise it runs A\mathcal AA on kkk disjoint blocks of n′n'n′ examples, obtaining h1,…,hkh_1,\dots,h_kh1​,…,hk​. It perturbs each training error on the next sss examples by independent Lap(k/(sε))\mathrm{Lap}(k/(s\varepsilon))Lap(k/(sε)) noise and outputs the hjh_jhj​ with the least perturbed error.

For a distribution X\mathcal XX on {0,1}d\{0,1\}^d{0,1}d and a target crc_rcr​, the error of cr′c_{r'}cr′​ is err(cr′)=Pr⁡x∼X[cr′(x)≠cr(x)]\mathrm{err}(c_{r'}) = \Pr_{x\sim\mathcal X}[c_{r'}(x) \ne c_r(x)]err(cr′​)=Prx∼X​[cr′​(x)=cr​(x)], and probabilities of the learner's success are over x1,…,xn∼Xx_1,\dots,x_n \sim \mathcal Xx1​,…,xn​∼X i.i.d., zi=(xi,cr(xi))z_i = (x_i, c_r(x_i))zi​=(xi​,cr​(xi​)), and the learner's coins.

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem 4.4

There are constants c,c′,C>0c, c', C > 0c,c′,C>0 such that for all d≥1d \ge 1d≥1, 0<ε≤1/20 < \varepsilon \le 1/20<ε≤1/2, α,β∈(0,1/2)\alpha, \beta \in (0,1/2)α,β∈(0,1/2): A∗(⋅,ε,α,β)\mathcal A^*(\cdot,\varepsilon,\alpha,\beta)A∗(⋅,ε,α,β) is ε\varepsilonε-differentially private on databases of every size, and

n≥C (d+log⁡2(1/β))log⁡2(1/β)εα  ⟹  Pr⁡[A∗ outputs h∗ with err(h∗)≤α]≥1−βn \ge C\,\frac{(d + \log_2(1/\beta))\log_2(1/\beta)}{\varepsilon\alpha} \implies \Pr\big[\mathcal A^* \text{ outputs } h^* \text{ with } \mathrm{err}(h^*) \le \alpha\big] \ge 1-\betan≥Cεα(d+log2​(1/β))log2​(1/β)​⟹Pr[A∗ outputs h∗ with err(h∗)≤α]≥1−β

for every distribution X\mathcal XX and every target crc_rcr​. When log⁡2(1/β)≤d\log_2(1/\beta) \le dlog2​(1/β)≤d the bound is the paper's O(dlog⁡(1/β)/(εα))O(d\log(1/\beta)/(\varepsilon\alpha))O(dlog(1/β)/(εα)). The constants are fixed before all other parameters. The goal is literally the conjunction of Lemma 4.5 and Lemma 4.6.

Milestones

Thm 2.3 (Laplace mechanism),Claim 2.2 (composition),Thm A.1 (Chernoff),Occam’s razor for ∣H∣=2d,\text{Thm 2.3 (Laplace mechanism)},\quad \text{Claim 2.2 (composition)},\quad \text{Thm A.1 (Chernoff)},\quad \text{Occam's razor for } |H| = 2^d,Thm 2.3 (Laplace mechanism),Claim 2.2 (composition),Thm A.1 (Chernoff),Occam’s razor for ∣H∣=2d, Lemma 4.1: n≥8εα(dln⁡2+ln⁡4)⇒Pr⁡[A(z,ε)=h, err(h)≤α]≥14,\text{Lemma 4.1: } n \ge \tfrac{8}{\varepsilon\alpha}(d\ln 2 + \ln 4) \Rightarrow \Pr[\mathcal A(z,\varepsilon) = h,\ \mathrm{err}(h)\le\alpha] \ge \tfrac14,Lemma 4.1: n≥εα8​(dln2+ln4)⇒Pr[A(z,ε)=h, err(h)≤α]≥41​, ∣VT∣≤2∣VT∪{i}∣ if VT∪{i}≠∅,Claim 4.3,Lemma 4.2 (A private),Lemma 4.5 (A∗ private),Lemma 4.6 (A∗ learns).|V_T| \le 2|V_{T\cup\{i\}}| \text{ if } V_{T\cup\{i\}} \ne \emptyset,\quad \text{Claim 4.3},\quad \text{Lemma 4.2 (}\mathcal A\text{ private)},\quad \text{Lemma 4.5 (}\mathcal A^*\text{ private)},\quad \text{Lemma 4.6 (}\mathcal A^*\text{ learns)}.∣VT​∣≤2∣VT∪{i}​∣ if VT∪{i}​=∅,Claim 4.3,Lemma 4.2 (A private),Lemma 4.5 (A∗ private),Lemma 4.6 (A∗ learns).

Significance

The theorem shows that the restriction to private algorithms does not separate efficient learnability from statistical-query learnability: parity is efficiently and privately PAC learnable, yet not SQ learnable. Its sample complexity exceeds the non-private O((d+ln⁡(1/β))/α)O((d + \ln(1/\beta))/\alpha)O((d+ln(1/β))/α) by a factor O(ln⁡(1/β)/ε)O(\ln(1/\beta)/\varepsilon)O(ln(1/β)/ε) (remark, p. 18). The private amplification step (private model selection with Laplace-perturbed test errors) is a general technique that converts any private learner with constant success probability into a private PAC learner.

The result is proved in the paper; none of it is machine-checked as far as we know. The mission produces a formal library of the basic privacy calculus (Laplace mechanism, composition and post-processing), the Z2\mathbb Z_2Z2​ solution-space estimate behind the privacy of A\mathcal AA, and the analysis of both learners. Formalizing it also repairs the paper's statement: the printed sample bound fails when log⁡(1/β)\log(1/\beta)log(1/β) is large compared with ddd (see the scope section), and the base of the logarithm defining kkk is misprinted.

Difficulty

The obvious private learner, "solve the linear system on all examples and output a random solution", is not private. One changed example can make the system inconsistent and turn every hypothesis output into failure, so the output law on neighboring databases differs by an unbounded factor. Two devices restore privacy: subsampling each example with probability ε/4\varepsilon/4ε/4, and failing with probability 1/21/21/2 unconditionally. The privacy proof then needs a quantitative fact about Z2\mathbb Z_2Z2​: adding one consistent equation at most halves the solution space. The proof must also handle databases labeled by no parity at all, where solution spaces are empty.

Utility has its own difficulty. The amplified learner selects among candidates through noisy test errors, so three failure events (no good candidate, unrepresentative test set, large Laplace noise) must be bounded together. The sizes kkk, n′n'n′, sss must also be shown to fit inside the claimed sample bound.

Formalization scope

  • Bits are ZMod 2; {0,1}d\{0,1\}^d{0,1}d is Fin d → ZMod 2; cr(x)c_r(x)cr​(x) is dotProduct r x. Databases are Fin n → (Fin d → ZMod 2) × ZMod 2, with 0-based indices.
  • An algorithm is the law of its output. A\mathcal AA's output is Option (Fin d → ZMod 2) (none = ⊥\bot⊥). A∗\mathcal A^*A∗'s output is "insufficient samples", ⊥\bot⊥, or a hypothesis crc_rcr​. Every set of outputs is measurable, and differential privacy is required for all measurable sets.
  • The distribution X\mathcal XX is a PMF on the finite set {0,1}d\{0,1\}^d{0,1}d. The probability over the examples is a finite sum weighted by ∏iX(xi)\prod_i \mathcal X(x_i)∏i​X(xi​), and ⊥\bot⊥ has error 1.
  • Corrections and explicit hypotheses. (1) k=⌈log⁡4/3(1/β′)⌉k = \lceil\log_{4/3}(1/\beta')\rceilk=⌈log4/3​(1/β′)⌉: the printed base 3/43/43/4 gives k≤0k \le 0k≤0, and the proof needs (3/4)k≤β′(3/4)^k \le \beta'(3/4)k≤β′. (2) Sizes are ceilings; log⁡\loglog is base 2 and ln⁡\lnln is natural, as on p. 8. (3) Privacy is stated for 0<ε≤1/20 < \varepsilon \le 1/20<ε≤1/2: the proof of Lemma 4.2 uses ε≤1/2\varepsilon \le 1/2ε≤1/2, and its step 2p/(1−p)+1≤ε+12p/(1-p) + 1 \le \varepsilon + 12p/(1−p)+1≤ε+1 fails beyond that. Utility statements need only 0<ε≤40 < \varepsilon \le 40<ε≤4, so that p=ε/4p = \varepsilon/4p=ε/4 is a probability. (4) The printed bound O(dlog⁡(1/β)/(εα))O(d\log(1/\beta)/(\varepsilon\alpha))O(dlog(1/β)/(εα)) is false when log⁡(1/β)≫d\log(1/\beta) \gg dlog(1/β)≫d, because A∗\mathcal A^*A∗ refuses unless n>kn′+sn > kn' + sn>kn′+s and sss grows like log⁡2(1/β)/(εα)\log^2(1/\beta)/(\varepsilon\alpha)log2(1/β)/(εα). Utility is therefore stated with the bound C(d+log⁡2(1/β))log⁡2(1/β)/(εα)C(d + \log_2(1/\beta))\log_2(1/\beta)/(\varepsilon\alpha)C(d+log2​(1/β))log2​(1/β)/(εα), the order of kn′+skn' + skn′+s, which equals the printed order whenever log⁡2(1/β)≤d\log_2(1/\beta) \le dlog2​(1/β)≤d. The privacy conjunct does not depend on the sample bound. (5) A ⊥\bot⊥ candidate does not take part in the argmin, and ties go to the least index. (6) Lemma 4.1 assumes α≤1/2\alpha \le 1/2α≤1/2, which its proof uses. (7) Claim 4.3 is stated in product form (no division). (8) Theorem 2.3 takes any positive bound Δ\DeltaΔ on the global sensitivity.
  • "Efficiently" (polynomial running time) is not modelled.
  • Ruling out trivial readings. The constants c,c′,Cc, c', Cc,c′,C are existentially quantified once, outside every other quantifier. A constant chosen after ddd, ε\varepsilonε, α\alphaα, β\betaβ would make the utility claim trivial. Success requires an actual hypothesis output, so "insufficient samples" and ⊥\bot⊥ are failures. Privacy quantifies over all databases, not only consistently labeled ones.
  • Reused results: ComputationalLearning.chernoff_bounds (Theorem A.1) and ComputationalLearning.occam_cardinality (Occam's razor), both proved on the platform.
  • Contributions welcome: proofs of the privacy calculus (Theorem 2.3, Claim 2.2) for general use, the Z2\mathbb Z_2Z2​ halving lemma, and the utility analysis. The first two are reusable well beyond this mission.

Selected references

  • S. P. Kasiviswanathan, H. K. Lee, K. Nissim, S. Raskhodnikova, A. Smith, What Can We Learn Privately?, SIAM J. Comput. 40(3) (2011) 793–826. arXiv:0803.0924v3, DOI 10.1137/090756090
  • C. Dwork, F. McSherry, K. Nissim, A. Smith, Calibrating Noise to Sensitivity in Private Data Analysis, TCC 2006. DOI 10.1007/11681878_14
  • A. Blum, C. Dwork, F. McSherry, K. Nissim, Practical Privacy: The SuLQ Framework, PODS 2005. DOI 10.1145/1065167.1065184
  • M. Kearns, Efficient Noise-Tolerant Learning from Statistical Queries, J. ACM 45(6) (1998) 983–1006. DOI 10.1145/293347.293351
  • A. Blum, M. Furst, J. Jackson, M. Kearns, Y. Mansour, S. Rudich, Weakly Learning DNF and Characterizing Statistical Query Learning Using Fourier Analysis, STOC 1994. DOI 10.1145/195058.195147
  • M. Kearns, U. Vazirani, An Introduction to Computational Learning Theory, MIT Press, 1994. DOI 10.7551/mitpress/3897.001.0001
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Partial Differential EquationsTheory of Computation·Captain: marwahaha

Incompressible Box Transport and Finite ComputationOpen Problem

Motivation

Volume-preserving box transport supplies geometric operations for a finite computation. The selected goal assembles these into a force and a fixed particle observer. The pinned manuscript supplies the research context.

Setting

A finite machine and input determine effective velocity and force coefficients. The force depends affinely on positive viscosity, and after time one the velocity is periodic and depends only on the machine.

Formalization target

The selected goal is OAI.BalancedTransport.balanced_three_stack_realization. Its central assertion is

∃t≥0: X(t,(4,0,0))∈(−1,2)3⟺M halts on w.\exists t\geq0:\ X(t,(4,0,0))\in(-1,2)^3\quad\Longleftrightarrow\quad M\text{ halts on }w.∃t≥0: X(t,(4,0,0))∈(−1,2)3⟺M halts on w.

The theorem states that there exist velocity fields U(M,w), force coefficients f₀(M,w) and f₁(M,w), material flows X(M,w), and a globally 1-periodic velocity field R(M) for each finite deterministic tape machine M, with the following properties for every finite input word w. On nonnegative time and ℝ³, U, f₀ and f₁ are smooth and vanish outside a common spatial compact set independent of time; every mixed space-time derivative of U is uniformly bounded. Moreover, f₀ = ∂ₜU + (U·∇)U and f₁ = −ΔU. All three families are uniformly effective from the encoded machine and input: algorithms approximate every mixed derivative component at rational space-time points within 2⁻ⁿ, provide global integer bounds on these derivatives, and provide integer support radii. The velocity is 1-periodic after time 1 and satisfies U(M,w)(t,x) = R(M)(t,x) for every t ≥ 1, so its later field depends only on M. The flow satisfies X(0,a) = a and ∂ₜX(t,a) = U(t,X(t,a)); its trajectory starting at (4,0,0) enters (−1,2)³ at some nonnegative time exactly when M halts on w, meaning that a configuration with no next transition is reached after finitely many machine steps. For every viscosity ν > 0, the force f = f₀ + νf₁ is smooth, has uniformly bounded mixed derivatives, and is 1-periodic after time 1; U with pressure zero solves the incompressible Navier–Stokes equation ∂ₜU + (U·∇)U = νΔU + f with U(0,·) = 0. This velocity is unique among smooth zero-data solutions in the comparison class, and every such solution has spatially constant pressure. The comparison class requires the velocity and all spatial derivatives through order two to be continuous in time as L² functions, the velocity to be continuously differentiable in time in L², velocity and first spatial derivatives to be bounded on each finite time slab, and pressure, after subtracting a time-dependent scalar, together with its first spatial derivatives to be continuous in time in L²; (U,0) belongs to this class. Finally, derivative approximations and global derivative bounds for f are computable when ν is computable, and computable relative to any rational name of ν whose nth approximation has error at most 2⁻ⁿ.

Significance and status

The balanced three-stack realization is the main goal; balanced box routing is a separate supporting reference. The exact conclusion permits spatially constant pressure in competing solutions and explicitly states its comparison class. The target is currently Open on Prove2Me. The manuscript's mathematical argument and a machine-checked proof of the selected statement are separate deliverables.

Difficulty

Uniform effectiveness, compact support, periodic behavior and uniqueness must all coexist with exact halting detection.

Formalization scope

The exact published goal, its hypotheses and its referenced definition blocks specify the requested formalization. The explanatory formula above is a summary; all quantifiers and additional clauses in the linked statement remain required.

Additional published targets are included as separate references:

  • OAI.BoxTransport.Routing.balanced_box_routing (Open).

Selected references

  • OpenAI, Incompressible Box Transport and Finite Computation, preprint, 2026. Manuscript.
  • OpenAI, accompanying formal statements, commit adc7f1241b42. Selected goal source.
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Functional Analysis·Captain: marwahaha

Bi-Lipschitz Absorption of c0 Without a Linear Copy of c0Open Problem

Motivation

Metric absorption asks whether adjoining a null-sequence component changes a space up to controlled distances. Linear absorption imposes a different requirement. The pinned manuscript supplies the research context.

Setting

The space Z is a separable real Banach space. The product Z×c0 uses the product metric, and equivalent metrics are compared through positive bi-Lipschitz constants.

Formalization target

The selected goal is OAI.C0Absorption.main_result. Its central assertion is

Z×c0≃biLipZ,c0̸↪linearZ.Z\times c_0\simeq_{\rm biLip}Z,\qquad c_0\not\hookrightarrow_{\rm linear}Z.Z×c0​≃biLip​Z,c0​↪linear​Z.

The theorem states that there exists a real normed space Z, in a fixed universe, with the following properties, where C₀ denotes the real Banach space of sequences ℝ-valued on ℕ that tend to zero at infinity, and a map f between metric spaces is bi-Lipschitz if there are constants 0<c≤C with c·d(x,y) ≤ d(f x,f y) ≤ C·d(x,y) for all x,y. First, Z is complete and separable. Second, Z contains no linear copy of C₀: every continuous linear map T from C₀ to Z fails to satisfy ‖Tx‖ ≥ c‖x‖ for all x for any c>0. Third, there is a surjective bi-Lipschitz map F from the product metric space Z × C₀ onto Z. Fourth, there is a bi-Lipschitz map from C₀ into Z. Fifth, Z is metrically universal for separable metric spaces: every separable metric space M, in the base universe, admits a bi-Lipschitz map into Z. Sixth, Z × C₀ is not linearly homeomorphic to Z, that is, there is no continuous linear equivalence, with continuous inverse, between Z × C₀ and Z.

Significance and status

The target also includes a bi-Lipschitz embedding of c0, universality for base-universe separable metric spaces, and failure of linear homeomorphism between the product and Z. The target is currently Open on Prove2Me. The manuscript's mathematical argument and a machine-checked proof of the selected statement are separate deliverables.

Difficulty

The metric universality and absorption maps must not produce a bounded-below linear embedding of c0.

Formalization scope

The exact published goal, its hypotheses and its referenced definition blocks specify the requested formalization. The explanatory formula above is a summary; all quantifiers and additional clauses in the linked statement remain required.

The available published material supplies this goal and its necessary definitions. Additional manuscript lemmas are not represented as attached milestones.

Selected references

  • OpenAI, Bi-Lipschitz Absorption of c0 Without a Linear Copy of c0, preprint, 2026. Manuscript.
  • OpenAI, accompanying formal statements, commit adc7f1241b42. Selected goal source.
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ProbabilityQuantum Information·Captain: marwahaha

Threshold parallel repetition for finite-dimensional entangled gamesOpen Problem

Motivation

Parallel repetition is useful for amplifying errors in nonlocal games, but a joint entangled strategy can correlate outcomes across repetitions. Independence of the sampled questions does not imply independence of wins. The pinned manuscript supplies the research context.

Setting

A finite two-player game has a probability distribution on question pairs and a Boolean acceptance predicate. Its entangled value is a supremum over finite-dimensional states and local positive-operator measurements.

Formalization target

The selected goal is OAI.ThresholdParallelRepetition.threshold_parallel_repetition. Its central assertion is

P{Wk≥⌈(v+δ)k⌉}≤exp⁡ ⁣(−κ0δ13k1+log⁡(∣A∣∣B∣)).P\{W_k\geq\lceil(v+\delta)k\rceil\}\leq\exp\!\left(-\kappa_0\frac{\delta^{13}k}{1+\log(|A||B|)}\right).P{Wk​≥⌈(v+δ)k⌉}≤exp(−κ0​1+log(∣A∣∣B∣)δ13k​).

The theorem states that there is a universal constant κ₀>0 such that the following holds for every two-player nonlocal game G with question sets of sizes x+1 and y+1 and answer sets of sizes a+1 and b+1, given by a probability distribution on question pairs and a Boolean acceptance predicate on questions and answers, whose entangled value is strictly less than 1. Here the entangled value is the supremum of the winning probability over finite-dimensional entangled strategies, which consist of a unit state on a bipartite space, positive semidefinite measurement operators for Alice and Bob summing to the identity for each question, with answer probabilities given by the Born rule. For every δ with 0<δ<1−entangledValue(G) and every number of repetitions k≥1, consider k-fold parallel repetition, where k independent question pairs are drawn from G's distribution and the players answer all coordinates at once. The threshold probability of a repeated entangled strategy S is the probability that the number of coordinates won is at least ⌈(entangledValue(G)+δ)k⌉. The theorem asserts that this probability is at most exp(−κ₀ δ¹³ k /(1+ln((a+1)(b+1)))) for every repeated strategy S, and that the threshold value, defined as the supremum of the threshold probability over all repeated strategies, satisfies the same bound. The statement is admitted without proof in the source.

Significance and status

The selected published Lean exponent is δ^13, not the manuscript abstract's δ^5 or its distribution-dependent cubic rate. Both every-strategy and supremum conclusions are included. The target is currently Open on Prove2Me. The manuscript's mathematical argument and a machine-checked proof of the selected statement are separate deliverables.

Difficulty

The estimate must hold uniformly over finite dimensions and collective strategies. Taking the supremum cannot assume that an optimal strategy exists.

Formalization scope

The exact published goal, its hypotheses and its referenced definition blocks specify the requested formalization. The explanatory formula above is a summary; all quantifiers and additional clauses in the linked statement remain required.

The available published material supplies this goal and its necessary definitions. Additional manuscript lemmas are not represented as attached milestones.

Selected references

  • OpenAI, Threshold parallel repetition for finite-dimensional entangled games, preprint, 2026. Manuscript.
  • OpenAI, accompanying formal statements, commit adc7f1241b42. Selected goal source.
34 thms4 active usersReviewed
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CombinatoricsNumber Theory·Captain: marwahaha

Quasipolynomial Bounds for Arithmetic ProgressionsOpen Problem

Motivation

A divergent reciprocal sum is a sparse largeness condition on integers. The mission asks whether it still forces additive structure of every finite length. The source manuscript presents the surrounding research claim.

Setting

For A⊆ℕ, reciprocalTerm(A,n) is 1/n when n∈A and zero otherwise, using Lean’s total real inverse at n=0. A nonconstant arithmetic progression has terms a+i·d with positive integer d.

Formalization target

Prove

∑n∈A1n is not summable⟹∀k∈N, ∃a∈N, d∈N>0,a+id∈A (i<k).\sum_{n\in A}\frac1n\text{ is not summable}\quad\Longrightarrow\quad\forall k\in\mathbb N,\ \exists a\in\mathbb N,\ d\in\mathbb N_{>0},\quad a+id\in A\ (i<k).n∈A∑​n1​ is not summable⟹∀k∈N, ∃a∈N, d∈N>0​,a+id∈A (i<k).

The starting term a is a natural number and is not separately required positive; the step d is strictly positive.

The selected formal target is OAI.Erdos3.manuscriptReciprocalProgressionTheorem.

Significance and status

The selected endpoint is the reciprocal-sum progression theorem. The manuscript’s quantitative bounds for progression-free subsets motivate it but are not supplied as separate published targets. The published target is currently Open; the manuscript's argument and a checked Lean proof are separate deliverables.

Difficulty

Positive density arguments alone do not cover all sets with divergent reciprocal sums. The hypothesis permits sets whose density tends to zero.

Formalization scope

The formal hypothesis is ¬Summable of a real sequence and ranges over all natural-number sets. All natural lengths k are included, including the degenerate zero and one cases. The n=0 summand equals zero and does not affect divergence. No quantitative constants are asserted here.

Selected references

  • OpenAI, Quasipolynomial Bounds for Arithmetic Progressions, preprint, 2026. Pinned manuscript.
  • OpenAI, accompanying formal statements, commit adc7f1241b42. Goal source.
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Functional AnalysisGraph Theory·Captain: wurtle

Distortion of countably branching diamonds from midpoint and tree energiesResearch Paper

Motivation

How well can a graph be drawn inside a Banach space without stretching some distances much more than others? The distortion of the best such drawing measures the mismatch between the graph's metric and the geometry of the space. Diamond graphs are a standard test family: each edge is repeatedly replaced by parallel two-edge paths, so the graph contains many "midpoints" between the same two endpoints at every scale. For binary diamonds, bounded distortion in a space is tied to the failure of super-reflexivity (Johnson–Schechtman 2009). For countably branching diamonds, where each edge is replaced by infinitely many paths, the relevant property is asymptotic midpoint uniform convexity (AMUC): an equivalent AMUC norm prevents uniform embeddings (Baudier et al. 2017).

This mission asks for an explicit, quantitative lower bound on the distortion of countably branching diamonds in two specific James-type tree spaces, deduced from a midpoint "lens" estimate for those spaces.

Timeline

  • 1974. James introduces the square-sum norm over disjoint tree segments (doi:10.1090/S0002-9904-1974-13580-9).
  • 2001. Girardi proves asymptotic uniform convexity of the coordinate predual and dual of the binary James tree space (doi:10.4064/sm147-2-2).
  • 2004. Lee and Naor give quantitative lower bounds for binary diamonds in LpL_pLp​, 1<p≤21<p\le21<p≤2, by summing a convexity inequality over levels (doi:10.1007/s00039-004-0473-8).
  • 2009. Johnson and Schechtman characterize super-reflexivity by non-embeddability of binary diamonds (doi:10.1142/S1793525309000114).
  • 2016. Dilworth, Kutzarova, Randrianarivony, Revalski and Zhivkov introduce AMUC and characterize it via lenses (doi:10.1016/j.jmaa.2015.11.061).
  • 2017. Baudier, Causey, Dilworth, Kutzarova, Randrianarivony, Schlumprecht and Zhang prove that an AMUC renorming with power-type modulus tpt^ptp forces distortion ≳k1/p\gtrsim k^{1/p}≳k1/p for depth-kkk countably branching diamonds, and prove a converse under unconditional asymptotic structure (arXiv:1612.01984).
  • 2018, 2021. Swift and Perreau extend the converse to bundle graphs and dual settings under additional structure (arXiv:1710.00877, arXiv:2104.10494).
  • 2025. Malthaner gives a coloring-based proof of the power-type lower bound (arXiv:2310.03257).

The source of this mission is an OpenAI preprint dated September 27, 2026; its lens input comes from the companion OpenAI preprint Midpoint lenses in segment spaces of the same date.

Setting

Diamonds. The normalized diamond D0\mathcal D_0D0​ is one edge of length 111. Dk+1\mathcal D_{k+1}Dk+1​ replaces every edge of Dk\mathcal D_kDk​ by countably many internally disjoint two-edge paths with the same endpoints, each new edge having half the length of its parent. Let dkd_kdk​ be the shortest-path metric. A map f:Dk→Yf:\mathcal D_k\to Yf:Dk​→Y has distortion at most DDD if for some scale s>0s>0s>0

s dk(u,v)≤∥f(u)−f(v)∥≤D s dk(u,v)(u,v∈Dk).s\,d_k(u,v)\le\|f(u)-f(v)\|\le D\,s\,d_k(u,v)\qquad(u,v\in\mathcal D_k).sdk​(u,v)≤∥f(u)−f(v)∥≤Dsdk​(u,v)(u,v∈Dk​).

Tree spaces. Let T=∐h≥1N≤h\mathcal T=\coprod_{h\ge1}\mathbb N^{\le h}T=∐h≥1​N≤h (one rooted tree of each finite height, prefix order inside each tree). A segment is the set of vertices between two comparable nodes. For a finitely supported array aaa,

ρ(a)=sup⁡{(∑j=1m∣∑s∈Sjas∣2)1/2: S1,…,Sm pairwise disjoint segments}.\rho(a)=\sup\Bigl\{\Bigl(\sum_{j=1}^m\Bigl|\sum_{s\in S_j}a_s\Bigr|^2\Bigr)^{1/2}:\ S_1,\dots,S_m\ \text{pairwise disjoint segments}\Bigr\}.ρ(a)=sup{(j=1∑m​​s∈Sj​∑​as​​2)1/2: S1​,…,Sm​ pairwise disjoint segments}.

JJJ is the completion and X=J∗X=J^*X=J∗ with the dual norm. On T∞=N<ωT_\infty=\mathbb N^{<\omega}T∞​=N<ω (root included) the same formula defines J∞J_\inftyJ∞​, and B∞=span⁡‾{et∗}⊂J∞∗B_\infty=\overline{\operatorname{span}}\{e_t^*\}\subset J_\infty^*B∞​=span​{et∗​}⊂J∞∗​ is the closed span of the coordinate functionals.

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem 1.1

For every k≥0k\ge0k≥0 and every distortion-DDD embedding of Dk\mathcal D_kDk​ into Y∈{X, B∞}Y\in\{X,\ B_\infty\}Y∈{X, B∞​},

D2 ≥ 1+k4.D^2\ \ge\ 1+\frac k4.D2 ≥ 1+4k​.

The Lean statement OAI.DiamondDistortion.headline_all_pairs is the conjunction of the two cases. It is open on the platform.

Significance

The bound shows that the countably branching diamonds do not embed with uniformly bounded distortion into either space, with an explicit square-root growth rate. Combined with the companion results that neither space admits an equivalent asymptotically uniformly convex norm, and that the forest dual XXX is reflexive, it shows that the diamond obstruction can hold in reflexive spaces without AUC renormability, so the unconditional-structure hypotheses in the known converses are doing real work. The constant 1/41/41/4 is obtained by retaining the full quadratic budget of the lens inequality. The paper also gives direct energy proofs (Theorem 5.1, Propositions 4.2–4.3) with weaker constants, and general transfer theorems (Section 7) from lens inequalities to distortion bounds.

The theorem is proved in the OpenAI preprint; it has not been peer reviewed and no machine-checked proof exists. A formalization would certify both the metric deduction and, through its input, the tree-space lens estimate.

Difficulty

The input lens inequality bounds only the tail of a displacement outside a finite head. Turning it into a loss of squared edge stretch at every replacement level requires selecting, among infinitely many middle vertices, two whose head projections nearly coincide, so that their half-difference is a tail vector that still lies in the lens. Doing this simultaneously along a descending chain of edges, with the head growing at each step, and summing the losses without wasting the quadratic budget is where the constant is decided. A binary diamond argument does not transfer, because finitely many midpoints give no near-coincident projections.

Formalization scope

  • Diamond.Vertex k and Diamond.Edge k are defined by recursion on the stage, each parent edge receiving new vertices indexed by N\mathbb NN; Diamond.graph k is the undirected replacement graph and Diamond.distance k u v is SimpleGraph.dist divided by 2k2^k2k. Since distortion is scale invariant, the normalization does not affect the statement.
  • ForestDual is the full continuous dual of the completion of the finite-height forest James space; InfinitePredual is the norm-closed span of coordinate functionals in the dual of the infinite-tree space, with the subspace norm.
  • Segments are nonempty finite intervals of an ancestral partial order; test families are finite and pairwise disjoint.
  • The conclusion is stated as 1+k/4≤D21+k/4\le D^21+k/4≤D2, with s>0s>0s>0 given and the two-sided bound holding for all pairs u,vu,vu,v.

A complete development needs the James segment norm and its dual, coordinate projections onto finite ancestral sets, the companion lens estimate, and graph distances on the countably branching diamonds. This infrastructure is shared with the other missions of this family. Formal proofs of Theorem 7.2 (lens-to-distortion transfer) and Theorem 7.12 (AMUC prevents uniform embeddings) are welcome as reusable components.

Selected references

  • OpenAI, Distortion of countably branching diamonds from midpoint and tree energies, preprint, September 27, 2026. https://github.com/openai/math/blob/adc7f1241b42e322a6451854ab7e4b4c146bf78a/preprints/Diamond-distortion-from-midpoint-and-tree-energies-September-27-2026/manuscript.pdf
  • OpenAI, Midpoint lenses in segment spaces, preprint, September 27, 2026. https://github.com/openai/math/blob/adc7f1241b42e322a6451854ab7e4b4c146bf78a/preprints/Midpoint-lenses-in-segment-spaces-September-27-2026/manuscript.pdf
  • F. Baudier, R. Causey, S. Dilworth, D. Kutzarova, N. L. Randrianarivony, T. Schlumprecht, S. Zhang, On the geometry of the countably branching diamond graphs, J. Funct. Anal., 2017. https://arxiv.org/abs/1612.01984
  • S. J. Dilworth, D. Kutzarova, N. L. Randrianarivony, J. P. Revalski, N. V. Zhivkov, Lenses and asymptotic midpoint uniform convexity, J. Math. Anal. Appl., 2016. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jmaa.2015.11.061
  • J. R. Lee, A. Naor, Embedding the diamond graph in LpL_pLp​ and dimension reduction in L1L_1L1​, Geom. Funct. Anal., 2004. https://doi.org/10.1007/s00039-004-0473-8
  • W. B. Johnson, G. Schechtman, Diamond graphs and super-reflexivity, J. Topol. Anal., 2009. https://doi.org/10.1142/S1793525309000114
  • R. Malthaner, On Matoušek-like embedding obstructions of countably branching graphs, J. Math. Anal. Appl., 2025. https://arxiv.org/abs/2310.03257
  • R. C. James, A separable somewhat reflexive Banach space with nonseparable dual, Bull. Amer. Math. Soc., 1974. https://doi.org/10.1090/S0002-9904-1974-13580-9
  • M. Girardi, The dual of the James tree space is asymptotically uniformly convex, Studia Math., 2001. https://doi.org/10.4064/sm147-2-2
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Mathematical PhysicsProbability·Captain: wurtle

Critical bond and site percolation on the cubic latticeResearch Paper

Motivation

Bernoulli percolation is the simplest model of a random medium: each edge (or each vertex) of a lattice is independently kept open with probability ppp, and one studies the connected components (clusters) of open edges or vertices. As ppp increases, an infinite cluster appears at a critical parameter pcp_cpc​. Whether an infinite cluster already exists at pcp_cpc​ decides whether the phase transition is continuous, and it is the basic question about critical behaviour. On the nearest-neighbour cubic lattice Z3\mathbb Z^3Z3 it has been a central open problem of probability and statistical physics since the 1980s; the dimensions where it was settled were d=2d=2d=2 and sufficiently high ddd.

Timeline

  • 1957. Broadbent and Hammersley introduce percolation as a model of transport through a random medium (doi:10.1017/S0305004100032680).
  • 1960. Harris proves that there is no infinite cluster at p=1/2p=1/2p=1/2 for bond percolation on Z2\mathbb Z^2Z2 (doi:10.1017/S0305004100034241).
  • 1980. Kesten identifies the square-lattice bond threshold as 1/21/21/2, which with Harris's theorem gives critical nonpercolation for planar bonds (doi:10.1007/BF01197577).
  • 1981. Russo proves critical nonpercolation for site percolation on the square lattice (doi:10.1007/BF00535742).
  • 1990. Hara and Slade establish mean-field critical behaviour, including θ(pc)=0\theta(p_c)=0θ(pc​)=0, in sufficiently high dimension via the lace expansion (doi:10.1007/BF02108785). Grimmett and Marstrand prove that slab thresholds converge to pcp_cpc​ and develop dynamic renormalization (doi:10.1098/rspa.1990.0100).
  • 1996. Benjamini and Schramm conjecture that θ(pc)=0\theta(p_c)=0θ(pc​)=0 on every quasi-transitive graph with pc<1p_c<1pc​<1 (doi:10.1214/ECP.v1-978).
  • 2016. Duminil-Copin, Sidoravicius and Tassion prove critical nonpercolation for bond percolation on slabs Z2×{0,…,k}\mathbb Z^2\times\{0,\dots,k\}Z2×{0,…,k} (doi:10.1002/cpa.21641); this does not by itself give the full Z3\mathbb Z^3Z3 result.
  • 2017. Fitzner and van der Hofstad reach the nearest-neighbour bond range d≥11d\ge 11d≥11 (doi:10.1214/17-EJP56).
  • 2020. Heydenreich and Matzke give a detailed site lace-expansion treatment in high dimension (doi:10.1007/s10955-020-02607-y).
  • 2024. Kozma and Nitzan reduce θ(pc)=0\theta(p_c)=0θ(pc​)=0 to a conjectured multiplicative gluing inequality (arXiv:2401.12397).
  • 2026. Public, non-peer-reviewed announcements report AI-assisted proofs of critical nonpercolation, including a reported Lean formalization for bonds on Zd\mathbb Z^dZd, d≥2d\ge2d≥2 (Leder, August 2026).

The source of this mission is an OpenAI preprint dated September 24, 2026, giving a self-contained argument for both bond and site percolation on Z3\mathbb Z^3Z3.

Setting

Vertices are x∈Z3x\in\mathbb Z^3x∈Z3; xxx and yyy are nearest neighbours if y=x±eiy=x\pm e_iy=x±ei​ for a coordinate vector eie_iei​.

  • Bond model. Each edge {x,x+ei}\{x,x+e_i\}{x,x+ei​} is open independently with probability ppp. Two vertices are connected if an open path joins them (a path of zero edges is allowed).
  • Site model. Each vertex is open independently with probability ppp. Two vertices are connected if a nearest-neighbour path joins them with every vertex open, endpoints included; in particular the cluster of a closed vertex is empty.

Let Pp\mathbb P_pPp​ be the product law, θ(p)=Pp(the cluster of 0 is infinite)\theta(p)=\mathbb P_p(\text{the cluster of }0\text{ is infinite})θ(p)=Pp​(the cluster of 0 is infinite), and

pc=inf⁡{p∈[0,1]:θ(p)>0},p_c=\inf\{p\in[0,1]:\theta(p)>0\},pc​=inf{p∈[0,1]:θ(p)>0},

defined separately for bonds (pcbondp_c^{\mathrm{bond}}pcbond​) and sites (pcsitep_c^{\mathrm{site}}pcsite​).

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem 1.1

Ppcbond(every bond cluster in Z3 is finite)=1,Ppcsite(every site cluster in Z3 is finite)=1.\mathbb P_{p_c^{\mathrm{bond}}}\bigl(\text{every bond cluster in }\mathbb Z^3\text{ is finite}\bigr)=1,\qquad \mathbb P_{p_c^{\mathrm{site}}}\bigl(\text{every site cluster in }\mathbb Z^3\text{ is finite}\bigr)=1.Ppcbond​​(every bond cluster in Z3 is finite)=1,Ppcsite​​(every site cluster in Z3 is finite)=1.

The Lean statement OAI.CriticalZ3.critical_no_infinite is the conjunction of these two almost-sure statements. It is open on the platform.

Significance

Theorem 1.1 gives continuity of the percolation probability at the transition: θ(p)→0\theta(p)\to0θ(p)→0 as p↓pcp\downarrow p_cp↓pc​ (the paper derives this on p. 1 from the theorem and finite-box approximation). It is the three-dimensional case of the Benjamini–Schramm criticality question and of the classical θ(pc)=0\theta(p_c)=0θ(pc​)=0 problem, which had resisted both planar methods (which rely on duality unavailable in three dimensions) and the lace expansion (which needs high dimension). The site statement is not a formal consequence of the bond statement: site bits become hyperedges with an endpoint convention that must be preserved.

The result is proved in an OpenAI preprint, which has not been peer reviewed. A public announcement reports a Lean formalization of the bond case on Zd\mathbb Z^dZd; no machine-checked proof of this exact statement exists on the platform, and the site case is not covered by that announcement's formalization. A formal proof here would certify both models in one development.

Difficulty

The natural route is renormalization: show that if an infinite cluster exists at pcp_cpc​, then good finite-box events have high probability, persist at some q<pcq<p_cq<pc​, and can be glued into an infinite cluster at qqq. The gluing step is where the obvious argument fails. Positive correlation (Harris–FKG) controls the probability that two increasing events both occur, but here one needs the probability of reaching a relay set and then a target, conditioned on an explored region; without a comparison inequality of the form P(o↔A, o↔T)≥P(o↔A)min⁡a∈AP(a↔T)\mathbb P(o\leftrightarrow A,\ o\leftrightarrow T)\ge \mathbb P(o\leftrightarrow A)\min_{a\in A}\mathbb P(a\leftrightarrow T)P(o↔A, o↔T)≥P(o↔A)mina∈A​P(a↔T) the losses compound. Slab results do not suffice: extinction at each slab threshold plus convergence of thresholds does not give extinction on Z3\mathbb Z^3Z3.

Formalization scope

  • Vertex := Fin 3 → ℤ; bonds are pairs (x, i) representing the edge from x to step x i = x + e_i, so each edge appears once.
  • bondLaw p and siteLaw p are Measure.infinitePi of bernoulliMeasure true false, giving mass ppp to "open"; parameter clamps ppp into [0,1][0,1][0,1].
  • Connectivity is Relation.ReflTransGen of the open-adjacency relation; siteCluster ω x is empty unless ω x = true, matching the endpoint convention.
  • bondCritical and siteCritical are sInf of {p∈[0,1]:Pp(cluster of 0 infinite)>0}\{p\in[0,1]:\mathbb P_p(\text{cluster of }0\text{ infinite})>0\}{p∈[0,1]:Pp​(cluster of 0 infinite)>0}. The statement does not assume pc<1p_c<1pc​<1; it is a known fact for Z3\mathbb Z^3Z3, and a solver may need to prove it to rule out the empty-set convention.
  • The conclusion quantifies over all vertices: almost surely every cluster is finite.

A complete development needs product Bernoulli measures on countable index sets, monotone coupling, increasing events and Harris–FKG, the finite hyperedge comparison inequality, and a planar boundary-counting lemma. The percolation infrastructure is reusable for the quasi-transitive generalization in the same family. Contributions formalizing Proposition 2.1 (joint connection comparison), Corollary 2.3 (failure comparison), Lemma 4.1 (extension estimate) and Lemma 5.1 (neighbouring-box relay) are welcome.

Selected references

  • OpenAI, Critical bond and site percolation on the cubic lattice, preprint, September 24, 2026. https://github.com/openai/math/blob/adc7f1241b42e322a6451854ab7e4b4c146bf78a/preprints/Critical-bond-and-site-percolation-on-the-cubic-lattice-September-24-2026/paper.pdf
  • I. Benjamini, O. Schramm, Percolation beyond Zd\mathbb Z^dZd, many questions and a few answers, Electron. Commun. Probab., 1996. https://doi.org/10.1214/ECP.v1-978
  • S. R. Broadbent, J. M. Hammersley, Percolation processes. I. Crystals and mazes, Proc. Cambridge Philos. Soc., 1957. https://doi.org/10.1017/S0305004100032680
  • T. E. Harris, A lower bound for the critical probability in a certain percolation process, Proc. Cambridge Philos. Soc., 1960. https://doi.org/10.1017/S0305004100034241
  • H. Kesten, The critical probability of bond percolation on the square lattice equals 1/2, Comm. Math. Phys., 1980. https://doi.org/10.1007/BF01197577
  • L. Russo, On the critical percolation probabilities, Z. Wahrsch. Verw. Gebiete, 1981. https://doi.org/10.1007/BF00535742
  • T. Hara, G. Slade, Mean-field critical behaviour for percolation in high dimensions, Comm. Math. Phys., 1990. https://doi.org/10.1007/BF02108785
  • G. R. Grimmett, J. M. Marstrand, The supercritical phase of percolation is well behaved, Proc. R. Soc. Lond. A, 1990. https://doi.org/10.1098/rspa.1990.0100
  • H. Duminil-Copin, V. Sidoravicius, V. Tassion, Absence of infinite cluster for critical Bernoulli percolation on slabs, Comm. Pure Appl. Math., 2016. https://doi.org/10.1002/cpa.21641
  • R. Fitzner, R. van der Hofstad, Mean-field behavior for nearest-neighbor percolation in d>10, Electron. J. Probab., 2017. https://doi.org/10.1214/17-EJP56
  • M. Heydenreich, K. Matzke, Critical site percolation in high dimension, J. Stat. Phys., 2020. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10955-020-02607-y
  • G. Kozma, S. Nitzan, A reduction of the θ(p_c)=0 problem to a conjectured inequality, preprint, 2024. https://arxiv.org/abs/2401.12397
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CombinatoricsGroup TheoryRepresentation Theory·Captain: wurtle

A Cyclic Polytabloid Proof of Saxl's ConjectureResearch Paper

Motivation: Saxl's conjecture on the staircase tensor square

The irreducible complex representations of the symmetric group SnS_nSn​ are the Specht modules SλS^\lambdaSλ, indexed by partitions λ⊢n\lambda\vdash nλ⊢n. How a tensor product Sα⊗SβS^\alpha\otimes S^\betaSα⊗Sβ (with diagonal action) decomposes is recorded by the Kronecker coefficients

g(α,β,λ)=dim⁡Hom⁡Sn ⁣(Sλ, Sα⊗Sβ),g(\alpha,\beta,\lambda)=\dim\operatorname{Hom}_{S_n}\!\big(S^\lambda,\,S^\alpha\otimes S^\beta\big),g(α,β,λ)=dimHomSn​​(Sλ,Sα⊗Sβ),

for which no positive combinatorial rule is known; even deciding positivity is hard, and the question is studied in algebraic combinatorics and geometric complexity theory. In 2012 Jan Saxl proposed that the staircase ρm=(m,m−1,…,1)\rho_m=(m,m-1,\dots,1)ρm​=(m,m−1,…,1), a partition of Nm=m(m+1)/2N_m=m(m+1)/2Nm​=m(m+1)/2, has a tensor square containing every irreducible representation of SNmS_{N_m}SNm​​.

Timeline

  • 2012 — Saxl proposes the conjecture at the UCLA Combinatorics Seminar (20 March 2012), as recorded by Pak, Panova and Vallejo.
  • 2010 — Brown, van Willigenburg and Zabrocki show that S(m,m−1)⊗S(m,m−1)S^{(m,m-1)}\otimes S^{(m,m-1)}S(m,m−1)⊗S(m,m−1) is the multiplicity-free sum of all irreducibles with at most four rows (BWZ 2010, Cor. 4.1).
  • 2013 — Heide, Saxl, Tiep and Zalesski prove that the Steinberg square of most finite simple groups of Lie type contains every irreducible, a motivating precedent (HSTZ 2013, Thm 1.2).
  • 2015 — Ikenmeyer proves positivity for all λ\lambdaλ comparable with ρm\rho_mρm​ in dominance order, and all hooks (Ikenmeyer 2015).
  • 2016 — Pak, Panova and Vallejo formulate the conjecture in print, give a character-nonvanishing criterion, and handle hooks and two-row shapes for large mmm (PPV 2016).
  • 2017 — Luo and Sellke: almost every partition occurs (uniform and Plancherel measures) (Luo–Sellke 2017).
  • 2018–2021 — Bessenrodt: double hooks (2018); Bessenrodt, Bowman and Sutton: all 2-height-zero constituents and framed staircases (2021); Li: triple hooks (2021).
  • 2023 — Harman and Ryba: the staircase tensor cube contains everything (Harman–Ryba 2023).
  • 2025 — Letellier and Nam prove the staircase-square statement for unipotent characters of GLn(q)\mathrm{GL}_n(q)GLn​(q), a different character theory (Letellier–Nam 2025).
  • 2026 — An OpenAI preprint, A Cyclic Polytabloid Proof of Saxl's Conjecture (OpenAI Math Release, September 24, 2026), claims a proof of the full conjecture. It has not been peer reviewed and the theorem is not formally verified.

Setting

A partition is a Mathlib YoungDiagram. The Lean development builds SλS^\lambdaSλ concretely: for a tableau ttt (a bijection between {0,…,n−1}\{0,\dots,n-1\}{0,…,n−1} and the cells), the polytabloid ete_tet​ is the signed sum over the column group of ttt of the permuted indicator of the row word of ttt, inside the space of functions on words Fin n→Fin d\mathrm{Fin}\,n\to\mathrm{Fin}\,dFinn→Find; Specht t is the C\mathbb CC-span of the SnS_nSn​-orbit of ete_tet​. The coefficient kronecker a b t is the complex dimension of the space of SnS_nSn​-intertwining maps from spechtRep t into spechtRep a ⊗ spechtRep b. The staircase staircase m is the diagram of cells (i,j)(i,j)(i,j) with i+j<mi+j<mi+j<m, i.e. ρm\rho_mρm​.

Formalization targets

Goal: Saxl's conjecture

For every integer m≥1m\ge1m≥1 and every partition λ⊢Nm\lambda\vdash N_mλ⊢Nm​,

g(ρm,ρm,λ)>0,g(\rho_m,\rho_m,\lambda)>0 ,g(ρm​,ρm​,λ)>0,

equivalently Sρm⊗SρmS^{\rho_m}\otimes S^{\rho_m}Sρm​⊗Sρm​ contains every irreducible representation of SNmS_{N_m}SNm​​. This is Theorem 1.1 of the source, formalized as SaxlConjecture (positivity of kronecker for every Young diagram μ\muμ with as many cells as staircase m). The goal is published on the platform with status Open.

Significance

The result itself. Saxl's conjecture is the best-known instance of the tensor-square covering problem for symmetric groups. The source proves a stronger cyclic form (its Theorem 3.1): every SλS^\lambdaSλ already occurs in the submodule WmW_mWm​ generated by one explicit tensor vRm⊗vCmv_{R_m}\otimes v_{C_m}vRm​​⊗vCm​​ of row and column polytabloids. A companion preprint uses this cyclic form to construct, for every n∉{2,4,9}n\notin\{2,4,9\}n∈/{2,4,9}, an irreducible representation of SnS_nSn​ whose tensor square contains every irreducible (the tensor square conjecture of Pak–Panova–Vallejo).

Formalizing it. The Lean statement is the classical, non-cyclic conclusion, the form in which the conjecture is usually quoted. A formal proof would require Specht-module theory (irreducibility, Young's rule, branching, induced modules), none of which is presently in Mathlib in usable form; that layer would be reusable across representation theory of SnS_nSn​.

Difficulty

Positivity of a Kronecker coefficient cannot be read off from characters in general: character sums cancel, and the families handled earlier (hooks, two rows, double and triple hooks, dominance-comparable shapes, 2-height-zero shapes) each relied on a special structure. Asymptotic statements (almost all λ\lambdaλ) or higher powers (cube, fourth power) leave exceptional constituents. An induction on mmm must retain an explicit vector at every step, because knowing that a constituent appears somewhere in a smaller square does not propagate through the projections needed to grow the staircase.

Formalization scope

  • staircase m has cells {(i,j):i+j<m}\{(i,j): i+j<m\}{(i,j):i+j<m}, with m(m+1)/2m(m+1)/2m(m+1)/2 cells; canonicalTableau fixes one enumeration of cells (any enumeration gives an isomorphic module). The target diagram ranges over all YoungDiagrams of the same cardinality.
  • kronecker is Module.finrank ℂ of Representation.IntertwiningMap, the genuine multiplicity; positivity means a nonzero equivariant map Sλ→Sρm⊗SρmS^\lambda\to S^{\rho_m}\otimes S^{\rho_m}Sλ→Sρm​⊗Sρm​ exists.
  • The case m≥1m\ge1m≥1 matches the source; m=0m=0m=0 is excluded.
  • Needed infrastructure: Specht modules and polytabloid bases, Young's rule and dominance, sign twists, induction and restriction, Littlewood–Richardson branching. The definitions are shared verbatim with the companion universal-tensor-square mission.

Selected references

  • I. Pak, G. Panova and E. Vallejo, Kronecker products, characters, partitions, and the tensor square conjectures, Adv. Math. 288 (2016), 702–731. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.aim.2015.11.002
  • G. Heide, J. Saxl, P. H. Tiep and A. E. Zalesski, Conjugacy action, induced representations and the Steinberg square for simple groups of Lie type, Proc. London Math. Soc. 106 (2013), 908–930. https://doi.org/10.1112/plms/pds062
  • A. A. H. Brown, S. van Willigenburg and M. Zabrocki, Expressions for Catalan Kronecker products, Pacific J. Math. 248 (2010), 31–48. https://doi.org/10.2140/pjm.2010.248.31
  • C. Ikenmeyer, The Saxl conjecture and the dominance order, Discrete Math. 338 (2015), 1970–1975. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.disc.2015.04.027
  • S. Luo and M. Sellke, The Saxl conjecture for fourth powers via the semigroup property, J. Algebraic Combin. 45 (2017), 33–80. https://arxiv.org/abs/1511.02387v2
  • C. Bessenrodt, Critical classes, Kronecker products of spin characters, and the Saxl conjecture, Algebr. Comb. 1 (2018), 353–369. https://doi.org/10.5802/alco.18
  • C. Bessenrodt, C. Bowman and L. Sutton, Kronecker positivity and 2-modular representation theory, Trans. Amer. Math. Soc. Ser. B 8 (2021), 1024–1055. https://doi.org/10.1090/btran/70
  • X. Li, Saxl Conjecture for triple hooks, Discrete Math. 344 (2021), 112340. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.disc.2021.112340
  • N. Harman and C. Ryba, A tensor-cube version of the Saxl conjecture, Algebr. Comb. 6 (2023), 507–511. https://doi.org/10.5802/alco.267
  • E. Letellier and G. Nam, The Saxl conjecture and the tensor square of unipotent characters of GL_n(q), Algebr. Comb. 8 (2025), 1119–1140. https://doi.org/10.5802/alco.434
  • OpenAI, A Cyclic Polytabloid Proof of Saxl's Conjecture, OpenAI Math Release preprint, September 24, 2026 (Theorem 1.1, p. 1). https://github.com/openai/math/blob/adc7f1241b42e322a6451854ab7e4b4c146bf78a/preprints/A-Cyclic-Polytabloid-Proof-of-Saxls-Conjecture-September-24-2026/paper.pdf
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AnalysisDynamical SystemsProbability·Captain: wurtle

The entropy-rate dimension formula for self-similar measures on the lineResearch Paper

Motivation

A self-similar measure on the line is the natural probability measure on the attractor of finitely many contracting similarities φi(x)=rix+ti\varphi_i(x)=r_ix+t_iφi​(x)=ri​x+ti​, chosen with probabilities pip_ipi​. Self-similar measures are the basic test case for fractal dimension theory; Bernoulli convolutions, the laws of ∑j±λj\sum_j\pm\lambda^j∑j​±λj, are the classical example. When the pieces φi(K)\varphi_i(K)φi​(K) are well separated, the dimension is given by the entropy-to-Lyapunov formula H(p)/χH(p)/\chiH(p)/χ. When they overlap, dimension can drop, and the question is exactly how much. If two compositions of the same length coincide as maps (an exact overlap), information is genuinely lost; the entropy-rate dimension conjecture, formulated in Varjú's survey, predicts that this is the only mechanism: the dimension equals min⁡{1,hRW/χ}\min\{1,h_{RW}/\chi\}min{1,hRW​/χ}, where hRWh_{RW}hRW​ is the entropy rate of the random walk on composed maps.

This mission asks for a formal proof of that formula, as stated in an OpenAI preprint dated September 24, 2026 (source). The preprint has not been peer reviewed and its claims have not been independently verified; on the platform the Lean goal is open.

Background

  • 1946–1981 — Moran (Proc. Camb. Phil. Soc. 1946) and Hutchinson (Indiana 1981) give the similarity-dimension formula under separation and the invariant-measure construction.
  • 1939–1996 — Erdős proves singularity of Bernoulli convolutions at reciprocal Pisot parameters (AJM 1939); Garsia introduces the entropy rate (Pacific J. Math. 1963); Solomyak proves a.e. absolute continuity (Annals 1995).
  • 2009 — Feng and Hu prove exact dimensionality of self-similar measures without separation (CPAM 2009).
  • 2014 — Hochman shows a dimension drop forces superexponential concentration of cylinders (Annals 2014).
  • 2019 — Breuillard–Varjú (Ann. Probab. 2019) and Varjú's full dimension for transcendental parameters (Annals 2019).
  • 2021 — Baker and Bárány–Käenmäki construct systems without exact overlaps whose cylinders approach superexponentially (Adv. Math. 2021, Adv. Math. 2021).
  • 2022–2025 — Rapaport proves the no-exact-overlap formula for algebraic ratios (Ann. Sci. ENS 2022); Rapaport–Varjú treat homogeneous three-map systems (Duke 2024); Feng–Feng treat algebraic translations (J. LMS 2025).
  • 2026 — Varjú's survey states the entropy-rate conjecture (Conjecture 3, arXiv:2509.22042).
  • September 2026 — The OpenAI preprint claims the conjecture in full (Theorem 1.1, p. 2).

Setting

Let Λ\LambdaΛ be a finite nonempty alphabet and φi(x)=rix+ti\varphi_i(x)=r_ix+t_iφi​(x)=ri​x+ti​ with 0<∣ri∣<10<|r_i|<10<∣ri​∣<1, ti∈Rt_i\in\mathbb Rti​∈R; different symbols may give the same map, and ratios may be negative and unequal. Let p=(pi)p=(p_i)p=(pi​) be a probability vector with all pi>0p_i>0pi​>0. The self-similar measure μ\muμ is the Borel probability measure with

μ=∑i∈Λpi (φi)∗μ.\mu=\sum_{i\in\Lambda}p_i\,(\varphi_i)_*\mu .μ=i∈Λ∑​pi​(φi​)∗​μ.

For a word w=i1⋯inw=i_1\cdots i_nw=i1​⋯in​ let φw=φi1∘⋯∘φin\varphi_w=\varphi_{i_1}\circ\cdots\circ\varphi_{i_n}φw​=φi1​​∘⋯∘φin​​, and let GnG_nGn​ be the random affine map φw\varphi_wφw​ when the letters are independent with law ppp. With logarithms in base 222,

hRW=inf⁡n≥1H(Gn)n,χ=−∑ipilog⁡∣ri∣>0,h_{RW}=\inf_{n\ge1}\frac{H(G_n)}{n},\qquad \chi=-\sum_ip_i\log|r_i|>0,hRW​=n≥1inf​nH(Gn​)​,χ=−i∑​pi​log∣ri​∣>0,

where HHH is Shannon entropy of the distribution of the map GnG_nGn​ (coinciding words are merged). The lower Hausdorff dimension of μ\muμ is dim⁡Hμ=inf⁡{dim⁡HE:E Borel, μ(E)>0}\dim_H\mu=\inf\{\dim_HE: E\ \text{Borel},\ \mu(E)>0\}dimH​μ=inf{dimH​E:E Borel, μ(E)>0}. The system has no exact overlaps if distinct words of the same length give distinct maps.

Formalization targets

Milestone: Corollary 6.3 (p. 20) — dimension of the attractor

If there are no exact overlaps, the attractor K={lim⁡nφω1∘⋯∘φωn(0)}K=\{\lim_n\varphi_{\omega_1}\circ\cdots\circ\varphi_{\omega_n}(0)\}K={limn​φω1​​∘⋯∘φωn​​(0)} is compact and nonempty, the equation ∑i∣ri∣s=1\sum_i|r_i|^s=1∑i​∣ri​∣s=1 has a unique solution s∗≥0s_*\ge0s∗​≥0, and dim⁡HK=min⁡{1,s∗}\dim_HK=\min\{1,s_*\}dimH​K=min{1,s∗​}.

Milestone: Corollary 6.4 (p. 20) — homogeneous systems

If ri=λ∈(0,1)r_i=\lambda\in(0,1)ri​=λ∈(0,1) for all iii and there are no exact overlaps, then dim⁡Hμ=min⁡{1,H(p)/log⁡(1/λ)}\dim_H\mu=\min\{1,H(p)/\log(1/\lambda)\}dimH​μ=min{1,H(p)/log(1/λ)}.

Goal: Theorem 1.1 (p. 2)

For every such family and every strictly positive probability vector ppp,

dim⁡Hμ=min⁡{1, hRWχ}.\dim_H\mu=\min\Bigl\{1,\ \frac{h_{RW}}{\chi}\Bigr\}.dimH​μ=min{1, χhRW​​}.

No separation assumption is made; exact overlaps and repeated generators are allowed.

Significance

The result itself. It removes every arithmetic and separation hypothesis from the dimension theory of self-similar measures on the line: the only way dimension can drop below min⁡{1,H(p)/χ}\min\{1,H(p)/\chi\}min{1,H(p)/χ} is through exact overlaps, and then the drop is exactly measured by the map entropy. Without exact overlaps it gives the classical formula (Corollary 6.2, p. 19), and hence the dimension of every self-similar set without exact overlaps (Corollary 6.3), which is the exact-overlaps conjecture for sets. It asserts nothing about absolute continuity.

Formalizing it. Hausdorff dimension and self-similar measures exist only partially in Mathlib, and the proof needs a quantitative entropy calculus for finite laws at multiple scales. A formal proof would certify the general theorem together with the consequences that previously required separate arithmetic hypotheses. The only external input is the Feng–Hu exact-dimensionality theorem.

Difficulty

Hochman's method yields the formula under exponential separation of cylinders, but Baker and Bárány–Käenmäki showed that without exact overlaps cylinders can still come superexponentially close, so no lower bound on the separation is available, and exact overlaps add further collisions. The proof must therefore detect entropy hidden at arbitrarily fine scales with no control on the smallest positive distance. The preprint does this with a finite-law pair estimate independent of minimal separation (Lemma 3.2, p. 9), conditioning on block types to recover the map-entropy rate when addresses collide (Lemma 4.1, p. 13), and disjoint windows of entropy gain whose depths are chosen adaptively (Section 5).

Formalization scope

  • A System ι over a nonempty Fintype ι carries ratio, offset, weight with 0<∣ri∣<10<|r_i|<10<∣ri​∣<1, pi>0p_i>0pi​>0, ∑pi=1\sum p_i=1∑pi​=1. SelfSimilar S μ is the equation μ=∑ipi (φi)∗μ\mu=\sum_i p_i\,(\varphi_i)_*\muμ=∑i​pi​(φi​)∗​μ for a probability measure μ\muμ on R\mathbb RR.
  • wordAffine composes maps as φi∘φw\varphi_{i}\circ\varphi_wφi​∘φw​ and records (slope, translation); mapMass merges words with equal complete maps; walkEntropy n is base-2 Shannon entropy of GnG_nGn​; entropyRate is the sInf over n≥1n\ge1n≥1 of H(Gn)/nH(G_n)/nH(Gn​)/n; lyapunov is base-2.
  • lowerHausdorffDimension μ is an iInf in ℝ≥0∞ of dimH E over measurable EEE with μ(E)>0\mu(E)>0μ(E)>0; the goal compares it to ENNReal.ofReal (min 1 (h/χ)).
  • NoExactOverlaps is injectivity of wordAffine on all words; words of different lengths always differ in slope modulus, so this matches the same-length condition of the source. The homogeneous milestone allows a single map, a degenerate case where both sides are 000.
  • The attractor milestone uses its own coding map codingPoint and word functions, equivalent to the definitions above.

Selected references

  • OpenAI, The entropy-rate dimension formula for self-similar measures on the line, OpenAI Math Release preprint, September 24, 2026. https://github.com/openai/math/blob/adc7f1241b42e322a6451854ab7e4b4c146bf78a/preprints/The-entropy-rate-dimension-formula-for-self-similar-measures-on-the-line-September-24-2026/main.pdf
  • P. P. Varjú, Entropy rates in the dimension theory of self-similar measures, arXiv:2509.22042 (2026). https://arxiv.org/abs/2509.22042v2
  • J. E. Hutchinson, Fractals and self-similarity, Indiana Univ. Math. J. 30 (1981). https://doi.org/10.1512/iumj.1981.30.30055
  • D.-J. Feng, H. Hu, Dimension theory of iterated function systems, Comm. Pure Appl. Math. (2009). https://doi.org/10.1002/cpa.20276
  • M. Hochman, On self-similar sets with overlaps and inverse theorems for entropy, Ann. of Math. 180 (2014). https://doi.org/10.4007/annals.2014.180.2.7
  • P. P. Varjú, On the dimension of Bernoulli convolutions for all transcendental parameters, Ann. of Math. 189 (2019). https://doi.org/10.4007/annals.2019.189.3.9
  • E. Breuillard, P. P. Varjú, On the dimension of Bernoulli convolutions, Ann. Probab. (2019). https://doi.org/10.1214/18-AOP1324
  • A. Rapaport, Proof of the exact overlaps conjecture for systems with algebraic contractions, Ann. Sci. ENS (2022). https://doi.org/10.24033/asens.2518
  • A. Rapaport, P. P. Varjú, Self-similar measures associated to a homogeneous system of three maps, Duke Math. J. (2024). https://doi.org/10.1215/00127094-2023-0019
  • S. Baker, Iterated function systems with super-exponentially close cylinders, Adv. Math. (2021). https://doi.org/10.1016/j.aim.2020.107548
  • B. Bárány, A. Käenmäki, Super-exponential condensation without exact overlaps, Adv. Math. (2021). https://doi.org/10.1016/j.aim.2020.107549
  • B. Solomyak, On the random series Σ±λ^n (an Erdős problem), Ann. of Math. (1995). https://doi.org/10.2307/2118556
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AnalysisProbabilityTheoretical Computer Science·Captain: wurtle

Projection moments, positive cap domination, and Riesz estimates on the sphereResearch Paper

Motivation

A linear projection can concentrate a measure even when the measure has no atoms; how much depends on how much mass sits near the affine subspaces that the projection collapses. Quantitative versions of this principle go back to the potential-theoretic projection method of Kaufman and Mattila, which relates ball-growth bounds ν(B(x,r))≤Krβ\nu(B(x,r)) \le K r^\betaν(B(x,r))≤Krβ to the behaviour of projections. This preprint proves explicit, dimension-dependent versions for random exact projections and applies them to a learning question: how many noiseless Gaussian measurements ⟨xt,s⟩\langle x_t, s\rangle⟨xt​,s⟩ does a learner with MMM bits of memory need to recover a unit vector sss to angular accuracy ϵ\epsilonϵ?

The answer proved here is that M=o(d2)M = o(d^2)M=o(d2) bits force T≥c dlog⁡(1/ϵ)T \ge c\,d\log(1/\epsilon)T≥cdlog(1/ϵ) measurements, matching the real-valued randomized Kaczmarz scale, and more generally T≥c dlog⁡(1/ϵ)/(1+M/d2)T \ge c\,d\log(1/\epsilon)/(1 + M/d^2)T≥cdlog(1/ϵ)/(1+M/d2) for every MMM.

Timeline

  • 1975. Mattila relates Hausdorff dimension, orthogonal projections and ball-growth measures through inverse-distance energy averaging.
  • 1984. Drury's affine-plane change of variables for kkk-plane transforms contains the simplex-volume Jacobian used in projection calculations.
  • 2014–2016. Shamir's finite-message framework includes bounded-memory online learning; Steinhardt and Duchi (2015) prove memory-dependent minimax rates for sparse regression; Steinhardt, Valiant and Wager (2016) relate memory, communication and statistical queries; Raz (2016) proves the quadratic-memory versus exponential-sample separation for parity learning.
  • 2019. Sharan, Sidford and Valiant prove an Ω(dlog⁡r)\Omega(d\log r)Ω(dlogr) sample bound for Gaussian regression with small uniform noise, d2/4d^2/4d2/4 bits and Euclidean accuracy d−rd^{-r}d−r, using high-moment expansions and successive orthogonalization. Dagan, Kur and Shamir prove quadratic-space bounds for two other linear-prediction tasks.
  • 2026. The OpenAI preprint Projection moments, positive cap domination, and Riesz estimates on the sphere (dated September 27, 2026) gives three independent proofs of the Ω(dlog⁡(1/ϵ))\Omega(d\log(1/\epsilon))Ω(dlog(1/ϵ)) bound for exact observations and o(d2)o(d^2)o(d2) memory. It has not been peer reviewed; the Lean goal is open on this platform.

Setting

Let σ\sigmaσ be uniform probability on Sd−1⊂RdS^{d-1} \subset \mathbb{R}^dSd−1⊂Rd. A finite measure ν\nuν on Rd\mathbb{R}^dRd satisfies an all-ball mass bound with constants K,βK, \betaK,β if ν(B(x,r))≤Krβ\nu(B(x,r)) \le K r^\betaν(B(x,r))≤Krβ for every ball. For an orthonormal kkk-frame PPP, P#νP_\#\nuP#​ν is the image measure on Rk\mathbb{R}^kRk and g(P,⋅)g(P,\cdot)g(P,⋅) its density. The Riesz functional of h:Sd−1→[0,1]h : S^{d-1} \to [0,1]h:Sd−1→[0,1] is V(h)=sup⁡z∫h(s)∥s−z∥−d/2 dσ(s)V(h) = \sup_{z} \int h(s)\|s-z\|^{-d/2}\,d\sigma(s)V(h)=supz​∫h(s)∥s−z∥−d/2dσ(s).

In the finite-state regression experiment, the signal S∼σS \sim \sigmaS∼σ; at each step a row xt∼N(0,Id)x_t \sim N(0, I_d)xt​∼N(0,Id​) arrives with its exact label ⟨xt,S⟩\langle x_t, S\rangle⟨xt​,S⟩. A learner keeps one of 2M2^M2M states, may use arbitrary measurable randomized transitions of the current state and pair, stops by a deterministic horizon TTT, and outputs a unit vector from its terminal state, stopping index and fresh randomness. Success means arccos⁡⟨S^,S⟩≤ϵ\arccos\langle \hat S, S\rangle \le \epsilonarccos⟨S^,S⟩≤ϵ.

In Lean (OAI.ProjectionMoments, OAI.NoiselessRegression), learners are FiniteKernelLearner d M T (Markov-kernel transitions on completed observations, states Fin (2^M)), mixed over a seed space Ξ with probability ρ; seededSuccess is uniform-prior success; AllBallMass ν K β, coordinateDensity, frameLaw, capMeasure, rieszPotential encode the geometric objects.

Formalization targets

Goal: OAI.ProjectionMoments.main

A conjunction of the paper's results, including:

  • Theorem 2.4 (finite-memory precision bound). There is an absolute c>0c > 0c>0 such that for every M(d)=o(d2)M(d) = o(d^2)M(d)=o(d2), eventually in ddd, uniform-sphere success at least 2/32/32/3 at accuracy 0<ϵ≤1/100 < \epsilon \le 1/100<ϵ≤1/10 forces
T≥c dlog⁡(1/ϵ),T \ge c\, d \log(1/\epsilon),T≥cdlog(1/ϵ),

also under an every-signal guarantee.

  • Corollary 2.5, in the weakened form that M≤Ad2M \le A d^2M≤Ad2 gives T≥cAdlog⁡(1/ϵ)T \ge c_A d\log(1/\epsilon)T≥cA​dlog(1/ϵ) (the paper proves T≥c dlog⁡(1/ϵ)/(1+M/d2)T \ge c\,d\log(1/\epsilon)/(1+M/d^2)T≥cdlog(1/ϵ)/(1+M/d2)).
  • Theorem 3.3 (integrated orthonormal-projection moment). If ν\nuν is finite, supported in B(z,R)B(z,R)B(z,R), with ν(B(x,r))≤Krβ\nu(B(x,r)) \le K r^\betaν(B(x,r))≤Krβ, and k+q≤dk+q \le dk+q≤d, 0<β≤d0 < \beta \le d0<β≤d, β−k−(q−2)≥1\beta - k - (q-2) \ge 1β−k−(q−2)≥1, then
(∬g(P,u)q du dϑd,k(P))1/q≤Cd(Cd)k(1−1/q)KRβ−k(1−1/q).\Big(\iint g(P,u)^q\,du\,d\vartheta_{d,k}(P)\Big)^{1/q} \le C^d (C\sqrt d)^{k(1-1/q)} K R^{\beta - k(1-1/q)}.(∬g(P,u)qdudϑd,k​(P))1/q≤Cd(Cd​)k(1−1/q)KRβ−k(1−1/q).
  • Theorem 3.5, Corollary 3.4 and Proposition 3.7 (normalized and all-radii moments, one-block propagation), Proposition 4.1 (positive domination by countable sums of cap measures), Lemma 5.3 (projection density at deterministic offsets), and the explicit success bounds of Propositions 3.8, 4.4 and 5.4 for arbitrary MMM.
  • A bridge showing the kernel learner model agrees with the seeded deterministic learner model.

Significance

The result. The projection moment estimates are general statements about finite measures with ball-growth control and apply beyond learning. In the learning application they give three proofs, with different stopping and accuracy costs, that o(d2)o(d^2)o(d2) bits cannot beat the dlog⁡(1/ϵ)d\log(1/\epsilon)dlog(1/ϵ) sample scale for exact Gaussian measurements, plus an explicit trade-off for all MMM.

Formalizing it. The results are in an unrefereed preprint; there is no machine-checked proof. The conjunct FixedQuadraticMemory coincides with part of the goal of the companion mission on Memory and precision in noiseless Gaussian regression, so progress here is shared.

Difficulty

Integrated density norms do not determine density values on a matrix-dependent graph, so pointwise statements need an explicitly chosen density version. The high moments of projected densities require controlling collisions of qqq independent points under projection, which leads to inverse affine heights whose integrability must be extracted from the ball-growth hypothesis at all scales. In the learning application, conditioning on an exact label produces a singular posterior, so arguments that track a posterior density fail.

Formalization scope

  • Space is EuclideanSpace ℝ (Fin d); frames are orthonormal families Fin k → E drawn by frameLaw; densities are ℝ≥0∞-valued with explicit measurable versions.
  • Parameters are natural-number floors (d/4, d/8, d/16); block counts appear as (T+k-1)/k.
  • Learners: FiniteKernelLearner with CompletedRules almost surely in the seed; success probabilities are ℝ≥0∞.

The goal has no trivial reading: each conjunct quantifies over all measures or learners satisfying the stated hypotheses, and the hypotheses are satisfiable.

Needed infrastructure: Stiefel and Haar measures, Gaussian polar decomposition of matrices, Gram–Schmidt Jacobians, spherical caps, Riesz potentials. Contributions proving individual conjuncts (for example Theorem 3.3) are welcome.

Selected references

  • OpenAI, Projection moments, positive cap domination, and Riesz estimates on the sphere, OpenAI Math Release preprint, September 27, 2026. https://github.com/openai/math/blob/adc7f1241b42e322a6451854ab7e4b4c146bf78a/preprints/Projection-moments-positive-cap-domination-and-Riesz-estimates-on-the-sphere-September-27-2026/paper.pdf
  • P. Mattila, Hausdorff Dimension, Orthogonal Projections and Intersections with Planes, Ann. Acad. Sci. Fenn. Ser. A I Math. 1 (1975). https://doi.org/10.5186/aasfm.1975.0110
  • S. W. Drury, Generalizations of Riesz Potentials and LpL^pLp Estimates for Certain kkk-Plane Transforms, Illinois J. Math. 28 (1984).
  • V. Sharan, A. Sidford, G. Valiant, Memory-Sample Tradeoffs for Linear Regression with Small Error, STOC 2019. https://doi.org/10.1145/3313276.3316403
  • R. Raz, Fast Learning Requires Good Memory, 2016. https://arxiv.org/abs/1602.05161
  • J. Steinhardt, G. Valiant, S. Wager, Memory, Communication, and Statistical Queries, COLT 2016. https://proceedings.mlr.press/v49/steinhardt16.html
  • J. Steinhardt, J. Duchi, Minimax Rates for Memory-Bounded Sparse Linear Regression, COLT 2015. https://proceedings.mlr.press/v40/Steinhardt15.html
  • O. Shamir, Fundamental Limits of Online and Distributed Algorithms for Statistical Learning and Estimation, NeurIPS 2014.
  • Y. Dagan, G. Kur, O. Shamir, Space Lower Bounds for Linear Prediction in the Streaming Model, COLT 2019. https://proceedings.mlr.press/v99/dagan19b.html
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Information TheoryProbability·Captain: wurtle

Sharp binary-information contraction on the discrete cubeResearch Paper

Motivation

Draw nnn independent fair bits XXX, compute a one-bit summary f(X)f(X)f(X), and send the bits through independent binary symmetric channels with crossover probability ε\varepsilonε, producing YYY. Which summary tells the receiver the most about YYY? Kumar and Courtade conjectured that a single coordinate, f(X)=X1f(X)=X_1f(X)=X1​, is optimal: I(f(X);Y)≤1−h2(ε)I(f(X);Y)\le 1-h_2(\varepsilon)I(f(X);Y)≤1−h2​(ε) bits for every Boolean fff, in every dimension and at every noise level (ISIT 2013; IEEE Trans. Inf. Theory 2014). The Courtade–Kumar (most informative Boolean function) conjecture is a basic question about how noise destroys information on the discrete cube, connecting information theory with Boolean Fourier analysis and hypercontractivity.

This mission asks for a formal proof of a sharp contraction theorem for arbitrary randomized binary summaries, whose Boolean case is the Courtade–Kumar conjecture, as stated in an OpenAI preprint dated September 24, 2026 (source). The preprint has not been peer reviewed and its claims have not been independently verified; on the platform the Lean goal is open.

Background

  • 1970–1976 — Hypercontractivity on the cube (Bonami, Ann. Inst. Fourier 1970; Gross, Amer. J. Math. 1975; Beckner, Annals 1975); Mrs. Gerber's lemma (Wyner–Ziv, IEEE TIT 1973).
  • 2013–2014 — Kumar and Courtade pose the conjecture and prove a coordinatewise sum bound.
  • 2016 — High-noise results: Ordentlich, Shayevitz and Weinstein for balanced functions (ISIT 2016); Samorodnitsky for all Boolean functions in a dimension-independent high-noise range (IEEE TIT 2016).
  • 2018 — Pichler, Piantanida and Matz prove coordinate optimality when the observation is also reduced to one bit (Ann. Appl. Probab. 2018).
  • 2020–2023 — Barnes–Özgür's symmetrized reformulation (ISIT 2020); Li–Médard on fixed-mean optimizers (IEEE TIT 2021); Yu's Φ\PhiΦ-stability (PTRF 2023).
  • 2025–2026 — Chen, Gohari and Nair's differential (entropy-production) approach; independent preprints announcing proofs by Chen, Gohari, Javanmard, Lin, Mirrokni, Nair and Woodruff (arXiv:2609.24931), Ky and Tran (arXiv:2609.24184), Mahdavifar and Beirami (arXiv:2609.26444), and a bias-retaining finite-noise bound by Kramer and Saglam.
  • September 2026 — The OpenAI preprint (Theorems 1.1 and 1.3, Corollary 1.2, pp. 1–4).

Setting

Let Ωn={−1,1}n\Omega_n=\{-1,1\}^nΩn​={−1,1}n with uniform measure; information is in nats unless stated. For r∈[−1,1]r\in[-1,1]r∈[−1,1] put

L=log⁡2,H(r)=−1+r2log⁡1+r2−1−r2log⁡1−r2,ψ(r)=L−H(r),L=\log2,\quad H(r)=-\tfrac{1+r}2\log\tfrac{1+r}2-\tfrac{1-r}2\log\tfrac{1-r}2,\quad \psi(r)=L-H(r),L=log2,H(r)=−21+r​log21+r​−21−r​log21−r​,ψ(r)=L−H(r),

with 0log⁡0=00\log0=00log0=0; ψ−1\psi^{-1}ψ−1 is the increasing branch [0,L]→[0,1][0,L]\to[0,1][0,L]→[0,1]. A soft channel is u:Ωn→[−1,1]u:\Omega_n\to[-1,1]u:Ωn​→[−1,1], the conditional mean of an auxiliary sign UUU given XXX; its information is I(u)=H(Eu)−EH(u)=I(U;X)I(u)=H(\mathbb Eu)-\mathbb EH(u)=I(U;X)I(u)=H(Eu)−EH(u)=I(U;X). For ρ∈[−1,1]\rho\in[-1,1]ρ∈[−1,1] let Yi=XiZiY_i=X_iZ_iYi​=Xi​Zi​ with independent signs EZi=ρ\mathbb EZ_i=\rhoEZi​=ρ, and let Tρu(y)=E[u(X)∣Y=y]T_\rho u(y)=\mathbb E[u(X)\mid Y=y]Tρ​u(y)=E[u(X)∣Y=y], so I(Tρu)=I(U;Y)I(T_\rho u)=I(U;Y)I(Tρ​u)=I(U;Y). For an interior field g:Ωn→(−1,1)g:\Omega_n\to(-1,1)g:Ωn​→(−1,1) with m=Egm=\mathbb Egm=Eg, the production is D(g)=E[atanh⁡(g) Ng]D(g)=\mathbb E[\operatorname{atanh}(g)\,Ng]D(g)=E[atanh(g)Ng] with Ng=12∑i(g−g∘flipi)Ng=\frac12\sum_i(g-g\circ\mathrm{flip}_i)Ng=21​∑i​(g−g∘flipi​); the rate FFF is defined by F(ψ(r))=ratanh⁡rF(\psi(r))=r\operatorname{atanh}rF(ψ(r))=ratanhr; S(I)=F(I)−2IS(I)=F(I)-2IS(I)=F(I)−2I (zero for I<0I<0I<0); Bm(I)=2I+(1−m2)S(L−H(m)−I1−m2)B_m(I)=2I+(1-m^2)S\bigl(L-\frac{H(m)-I}{1-m^2}\bigr)Bm​(I)=2I+(1−m2)S(L−1−m2H(m)−I​).

Formalization targets

Milestone: Courtade–Kumar inequality in bits (Corollary 1.2, p. 2)

For n≥1n\ge1n≥1, 0≤ε≤120\le\varepsilon\le\frac120≤ε≤21​ and every Boolean fff on {0,1}n\{0,1\}^n{0,1}n,

I2(f(X);Y)≤1−h2(ε),I_2(f(X);Y)\le 1-h_2(\varepsilon),I2​(f(X);Y)≤1−h2​(ε),

with equality for every coordinate x↦xix\mapsto x_ix↦xi​ and its complement.

Goal: the soft contraction package (Theorem 1.1, p. 1; Corollary 1.2, p. 2; Theorem 1.3, p. 4)

The goal OAI.SoftChannel204.fullMain is the conjunction of:

  1. Theorem 1.1. For all nnn, u:Ωn→[−1,1]u:\Omega_n\to[-1,1]u:Ωn​→[−1,1], ρ∈[−1,1]\rho\in[-1,1]ρ∈[−1,1]:
I(Tρu)≤ψ(∣ρ∣ ψ−1(I(u))),I(T_\rho u)\le\psi\bigl(|\rho|\,\psi^{-1}(I(u))\bigr),I(Tρ​u)≤ψ(∣ρ∣ψ−1(I(u))),

with equality for every soft coordinate u(x)=axiu(x)=a x_iu(x)=axi​, ∣a∣≤1|a|\le1∣a∣≤1; and I(U;Y)=I(Tρu)I(U;Y)=I(T_\rho u)I(U;Y)=I(Tρ​u) for the joint law of (U,Y)(U,Y)(U,Y). 2. Corollary 1.2. For Boolean fff with m=Efm=\mathbb Efm=Ef and rm=ψ−1(H(m))r_m=\psi^{-1}(H(m))rm​=ψ−1(H(m)): I(f(X);Y)≤ψ(∣ρ∣rm)≤ψ(∣ρ∣)I(f(X);Y)\le\psi(|\rho|r_m)\le\psi(|\rho|)I(f(X);Y)≤ψ(∣ρ∣rm​)≤ψ(∣ρ∣), strictly below ψ(∣ρ∣)\psi(|\rho|)ψ(∣ρ∣) when 0<∣m∣<10<|m|<10<∣m∣<1 and 0<∣ρ∣0<|\rho|0<∣ρ∣; coordinates and their negations attain ψ(∣ρ∣)\psi(|\rho|)ψ(∣ρ∣); and the bits conversion ψ(1−2ε)/L=1−h2(ε)\psi(1-2\varepsilon)/L=1-h_2(\varepsilon)ψ(1−2ε)/L=1−h2​(ε). 3. Theorem 1.3. For every interior ggg: D(g)≥max⁡{Bm(I(g)),F(I(g))}≥F(I(g))D(g)\ge\max\{B_m(I(g)),F(I(g))\}\ge F(I(g))D(g)≥max{Bm​(I(g)),F(I(g))}≥F(I(g)).

Significance

The result itself. It settles the Courtade–Kumar conjecture and strengthens it in two directions: to randomized summaries at fixed initial information, and to a bias-dependent bound that is strictly better for nonconstant biased outputs. Theorem 1.3 is a mean-dependent entropy-production inequality, stronger than the scalar rate needed for Theorem 1.1. Several independent proofs of the Boolean conjecture were announced in the same period; the preprint compares its production profile with that of Chen et al. in Section 8.

Formalizing it. All objects are finite sums over {−1,1}n\{-1,1\}^n{−1,1}n, so the statements are elementary to state in Lean. The proof requires an explicit three-point optimizer for a joining problem, convexity facts about FFF and SSS (Lemmas 2.2–2.4, pp. 5–6), dimension induction and integration along the noise semigroup. A formal proof would give a checked solution of a conjecture with several competing announced proofs, some computer-assisted.

Difficulty

The local-to-global method of Chen, Gohari and Nair needs a local inequality to pass from the two halves of the cube to the whole. The natural information-only profile Φm(I)=F(I)\Phi_m(I)=F(I)Φm​(I)=F(I) fails the corresponding local comparison for some coupled pair laws, so the induction must carry the mean mmm as well. The preprint uses the maximum of two profiles, BmB_mBm​ and FFF; it must solve the minimization of the joining cost exactly (Section 3), pay the interior pair with a variance-refined one-bit inequality (Lemma 4.1, p. 12), and control the common-output corners by a thinning argument (Theorem 6.1, p. 17). The linear bound D(g)≥2I(g)D(g)\ge2I(g)D(g)≥2I(g) from the log-Sobolev inequality does not suffice; the nonlinear surplus above 2I2I2I is where the difficulty lies.

Formalization scope

  • Cube n = Fin n → Bool, averages are finite sums divided by 2n2^n2n, logs are natural; sign maps Bool to ±1\pm1±1.
  • psiInv is Function.invFunOn psi (Icc 0 1); since ψ\psiψ is strictly increasing on [0,1][0,1][0,1] and I(u)∈[0,L]I(u)\in[0,L]I(u)∈[0,L], this is the paper's branch.
  • noise ρ u y = ∑ x, kernel ρ y x * u x with kernel the product of (1±ρ)/2(1\pm\rho)/2(1±ρ)/2, which is TρT_\rhoTρ​. Mutual information is the finite sum over the joint table, with terms omitted where the joint probability is 000.
  • F is stated as psiInv s * artanh (psiInv s) and is only used on [0,L)[0,L)[0,L); for interior ggg, ∣m∣<1|m|<1∣m∣<1 and 0≤I(g)<H(m)≤L0\le I(g)<H(m)\le L0≤I(g)<H(m)≤L, so reserve and hybrid are evaluated in their source domain.
  • All results hold for every n≥0n\ge0n≥0; the attainment statements quantify over i : Fin n. The milestone (separate definition file) uses the crossover form with bits.

Selected references

  • OpenAI, Sharp binary-information contraction on the discrete cube, OpenAI Math Release preprint, September 24, 2026. https://github.com/openai/math/blob/adc7f1241b42e322a6451854ab7e4b4c146bf78a/preprints/Sharp-binary-information-contraction-on-the-discrete-cube-September-24-2026/main.pdf
  • T. A. Courtade, G. R. Kumar, Which Boolean functions maximize mutual information on noisy inputs?, IEEE Trans. Inf. Theory 60 (2014). https://doi.org/10.1109/TIT.2014.2326877
  • G. R. Kumar, T. A. Courtade, Which Boolean functions are most informative?, ISIT 2013. https://doi.org/10.1109/ISIT.2013.6620221
  • A. Samorodnitsky, On the entropy of a noisy function, IEEE Trans. Inf. Theory (2016). https://doi.org/10.1109/TIT.2016.2584625
  • O. Ordentlich, O. Shayevitz, O. Weinstein, An improved upper bound for the most informative Boolean function conjecture, ISIT 2016. https://doi.org/10.1109/ISIT.2016.7541349
  • G. Pichler, P. Piantanida, G. Matz, Dictator functions maximize mutual information, Ann. Appl. Probab. (2018). https://doi.org/10.1214/18-AAP1384
  • L. Yu, On the Φ\PhiΦ-stability and related conjectures, Probab. Theory Relat. Fields (2023). https://doi.org/10.1007/s00440-023-01209-5
  • A. Gohari, C. Nair, Outer bounds for multiuser settings: the auxiliary receiver approach, IEEE Trans. Inf. Theory (2022). https://doi.org/10.1109/TIT.2021.3128136
  • Z. Chen, A. Gohari, A. Javanmard, et al., A proof of the most informative Boolean function conjecture, arXiv:2609.24931 (2026). https://arxiv.org/abs/2609.24931
  • V. K. Ky, T. Tran, Dictators are most informative, arXiv:2609.24184 (2026). https://arxiv.org/abs/2609.24184
  • H. Mahdavifar, A. Beirami, The most informative bit and beyond, arXiv:2609.26444 (2026). https://arxiv.org/abs/2609.26444
  • S. G. Bobkov, P. Tetali, Modified logarithmic Sobolev inequalities in discrete settings, J. Theoret. Probab. (2006). https://doi.org/10.1007/s10959-006-0016-3
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CombinatoricsDiscrete GeometryTheoretical Computer Science·Captain: wurtle

The Euclidean Steinitz–Bergström theoremResearch Paper

Motivation: keeping partial sums of vectors small

Given vectors v1,…,vNv_1,\dots,v_Nv1​,…,vN​ in the Euclidean unit ball of Rd\mathbb R^dRd that sum to zero, can they always be reordered so that every partial sum stays in a ball whose radius depends only on ddd? Steinitz's lemma, from his work on rearrangements of conditionally convergent vector series, says yes: in any norm, radius ddd suffices (Grinberg–Sevast'yanov 1980). For the Euclidean norm, the expected answer is O(d)O(\sqrt d)O(d​), the Euclidean Steinitz–Bergström conjecture. A closely related prefix discrepancy problem asks for signs εi∈{±1}\varepsilon_i\in\{\pm1\}εi​∈{±1}, chosen once and for all, such that every signed prefix ∑i≤kεivi\sum_{i\le k}\varepsilon_iv_i∑i≤k​εi​vi​ is O(d)O(\sqrt d)O(d​), independently of NNN. Both questions are basic in discrepancy theory and combinatorial vector balancing, with applications to scheduling, rounding and the analysis of online and streaming algorithms.

Timeline

  • 1913 — Steinitz proves his rearrangement lemma for conditionally convergent vector series (historical account in Ambrus–Heck 2026, Section 2).
  • 1954 — Behrend discusses the expected square-root growth in Euclidean space (Canad. J. Math., p. 108).
  • 1980 — Grinberg and Sevast'yanov prove that partial sums can be kept within ddd times the unit ball, for every norm (Funct. Anal. Appl.).
  • 1994–2023 — Chobanyan's transference principle relates rearrangements to signed sums (Probability in Banach Spaces 9, 1994), later in a finite positive-forward, negative-reverse form (Chobanyan et al., Bull. TICMI 2023).
  • 1998 / 2012 — Banaszczyk's Gaussian-measure balancing theorem (Random Structures Algorithms 1998) and his prefix bound O(d+log⁡N)O(\sqrt d+\sqrt{\log N})O(d​+logN​) for signed series and rearrangements (Random Structures Algorithms 2012).
  • 2021 — Bansal, Jiang, Meka, Singla and Sinha state the O(d)O(\sqrt d)O(d​) prefix-signing question explicitly (Conjecture 6.3, arXiv:2111.07049).
  • 2026 — Ambrus and Heck record the conjecture and its attribution to Bergström (Conjecture 5) and reduce it to a relaxed problem (Mathematika); Dutta, Jha and Jiang give efficient bounds O(d+d1/4log⁡7/4N)O(\sqrt d+d^{1/4}\log^{7/4}N)O(d​+d1/4log7/4N) (arXiv:2604.13355).
  • 2026 — An OpenAI preprint, The Euclidean Steinitz–Bergström theorem (OpenAI Math Release, September 24, 2026), claims the O(d)O(\sqrt d)O(d​) bound for both problems with an absolute constant. It has not been peer reviewed, and its proof is not formally verified.

Setting

Work in Euclidean space Rd\mathbb R^dRd with norm ∥⋅∥2\|\cdot\|_2∥⋅∥2​, and let v1,…,vNv_1,\dots,v_Nv1​,…,vN​ satisfy ∥vi∥2≤1\|v_i\|_2\le1∥vi​∥2​≤1; repetitions and zero vectors are allowed. A prefix sum is ∑i=1k\sum_{i=1}^k∑i=1k​ for 0≤k≤N0\le k\le N0≤k≤N (the empty sum is 000). For a zero-sum family, the Steinitz quantity

β(v1,…,vN)=min⁡π∈SN max⁡0≤k≤N∥∑i=1kvπ(i)∥2\beta(v_1,\dots,v_N)=\min_{\pi\in\mathfrak S_N}\ \max_{0\le k\le N}\Bigl\|\sum_{i=1}^kv_{\pi(i)}\Bigr\|_2β(v1​,…,vN​)=π∈SN​min​ 0≤k≤Nmax​​i=1∑k​vπ(i)​​2​

is the best achievable maximal prefix norm over all orderings. The Euclidean Steinitz constant S2(d)S_2(d)S2​(d) is its supremum over all such families.

Formalization targets

Goal: prescribed-order signing and Euclidean Steinitz with one absolute constant (Theorems 1.1 and 1.2)

There is an absolute constant CCC such that for all d,N≥1d,N\ge1d,N≥1 and all v1,…,vN∈Rdv_1,\dots,v_N\in\mathbb R^dv1​,…,vN​∈Rd with ∥vi∥2≤1\|v_i\|_2\le1∥vi​∥2​≤1:

  1. (Theorem 1.1) there are signs εi∈{−1,1}\varepsilon_i\in\{-1,1\}εi​∈{−1,1} with
max⁡0≤k≤N∥∑i=1kεivi∥2≤Cd;\max_{0\le k\le N}\Bigl\|\sum_{i=1}^k\varepsilon_iv_i\Bigr\|_2\le C\sqrt d ;0≤k≤Nmax​​i=1∑k​εi​vi​​2​≤Cd​;
  1. (Theorem 1.2) if moreover ∑ivi=0\sum_iv_i=0∑i​vi​=0, some permutation π\piπ satisfies
max⁡0≤k≤N∥∑i=1kvπ(i)∥2≤Cd.\max_{0\le k\le N}\Bigl\|\sum_{i=1}^kv_{\pi(i)}\Bigr\|_2\le C\sqrt d .0≤k≤Nmax​​i=1∑k​vπ(i)​​2​≤Cd​.

The constant is not fixed. The simplex example in the source shows S2(d)≥12dS_2(d)\ge\tfrac12\sqrt dS2​(d)≥21​d​, so the order is optimal. The goal statement is published on the platform with status Open.

Significance

The result itself. Theorem 1.2 settles the Euclidean Steinitz–Bergström conjecture: S2(d)=Θ(d)S_2(d)=\Theta(\sqrt d)S2​(d)=Θ(d​). Theorem 1.1 settles the ℓ2\ell_2ℓ2​ prefix-discrepancy question of Bansal et al., removing the log⁡N\sqrt{\log N}logN​ term in Banaszczyk's bound. A single choice of signs controls all prefixes at once, unlike terminal balancing results that bound one sum. The source also derives finite-dimensional ℓp\ell_pℓp​ Steinitz bounds and a colorful Steinitz theorem (Corollaries 8.1–8.2). The result is existential and gives no efficient algorithm.

Formalizing it. The statement is finite and elementary. The deduction of Theorem 1.2 from Theorem 1.1 is a short transference argument (Section 1.1 of the source), suitable as a first formalization step. The proof of Theorem 1.1 uses Gaussian measures of convex bodies, Dirichlet energies, Steiner symmetrization and Brownian survival estimates, which would make substantial reusable additions to Mathlib's probability and convex-geometry libraries.

Difficulty

Signing each prefix separately is easy, by terminal balancing results, but one common signing must work for all NNN prefixes. Union bounds over prefixes and Banaszczyk's Gaussian-measure method lose a log⁡N\sqrt{\log N}logN​ factor, because the probability that a random walk stays in a ball of radius CdC\sqrt dCd​ for NNN steps decays with NNN. The proof must therefore control a single body of coefficients enforcing all prefix constraints, with bounds independent of the number of steps.

Formalization scope

  • Vectors live in EuclideanSpace ℝ (Fin d), indexed by Fin N, with d,N≥1d,N\ge1d,N≥1 and ∥vi∥≤1\|v_i\|\le1∥vi​∥≤1.
  • Prefixes are sums over {i:i<k}\{i : i < k\}{i:i<k} for every natural k≤Nk\le Nk≤N, so the empty prefix and the full sum are included.
  • SignedPrefixBound C asks for signs εi∈{−1,1}\varepsilon_i\in\{-1,1\}εi​∈{−1,1} (as reals) with every signed prefix at most CdC\sqrt dCd​. OrderingPrefixBound C asks, for zero-sum families, for a permutation π\piπ with every reordered prefix at most CdC\sqrt dCd​. The goal is ∃C, SignedPrefixBound C∧OrderingPrefixBound C\exists C,\ \mathrm{SignedPrefixBound}\,C\wedge\mathrm{OrderingPrefixBound}\,C∃C, SignedPrefixBoundC∧OrderingPrefixBoundC; the same constant serves both, as stated in the source.
  • The quantifier order is the source's: CCC is chosen before ddd, NNN and the vectors.
  • Needed infrastructure: Gaussian measures of symmetric convex bodies, Steiner symmetrization, Dirichlet energies of densities, Ornstein–Uhlenbeck/Brownian survival estimates, and the Chobanyan transference. Contributions proving the transference step (Theorem 1.1 ⇒ Theorem 1.2) or the lower-bound example are welcome.

Selected references

  • V. S. Grinberg and S. V. Sevast'yanov, Value of the Steinitz constant, Funct. Anal. Appl. (1980).
  • F. A. Behrend, The Steinitz–Gross theorem on sums of vectors, Canad. J. Math. (1954).
  • S. Chobanyan, Convergence a.s. of rearranged random series in Banach space and associated inequalities, Probability in Banach Spaces 9 (1994).
  • W. Banaszczyk, Balancing vectors and Gaussian measures of n-dimensional convex bodies, Random Structures Algorithms (1998).
  • W. Banaszczyk, On series of signed vectors and their rearrangements, Random Structures Algorithms (2012).
  • N. Bansal, H. Jiang, R. Meka, S. Singla and M. Sinha, Prefix discrepancy, smoothed analysis, and combinatorial vector balancing, 2021. https://arxiv.org/abs/2111.07049
  • G. Ambrus and R. Heck, A note on the Steinitz Lemma, Mathematika (2026). https://doi.org/10.1112/mtk.70085
  • K. Dutta, A. V. Jha and H. Jiang, Near-optimal constructive bounds for ℓ2\ell_2ℓ2​ prefix discrepancy and Steinitz problems via affine spectral independence, 2026. https://arxiv.org/abs/2604.13355
  • OpenAI, The Euclidean Steinitz–Bergström theorem, OpenAI Math Release preprint, September 24, 2026 (Theorems 1.1 and 1.2, p. 2). https://github.com/openai/math/blob/adc7f1241b42e322a6451854ab7e4b4c146bf78a/preprints/The-Euclidean-Steinitz-Bergstrom-theorem-September-24-2026/The-Euclidean-Steinitz-Bergstrom-theorem-September-24-2026.pdf
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AnalysisHarmonic Analysis·Captain: wurtle

The maximal triangular Hilbert transform at the symmetric pointResearch Paper

Motivation: the triangular Hilbert transform

The triangular Hilbert transform is a bilinear singular integral on the plane that couples translations in two different coordinate directions:

B(F,G)(x,y)=p.v. ⁣∫RF(x+t,y) G(x,y+t) dtt.B(F,G)(x,y)=\mathrm{p.v.}\!\int_{\mathbb R}F(x+t,y)\,G(x,y+t)\,\frac{dt}{t}.B(F,G)(x,y)=p.v.∫R​F(x+t,y)G(x,y+t)tdt​.

Paired with a third function, it becomes a trilinear form whose three inputs depend on the three pairs of variables of (a,b,c)(a,b,c)(a,b,c). This "triangular" or entangled structure defeats the time–frequency methods that handle the one-dimensional bilinear Hilbert transform. Boundedness of this operator is a model problem for multilinear singular integrals with simplex structure, and is closely tied to norm convergence and variation of ergodic averages for two commuting transformations. Thiele listed the symmetric case (L3×L3×L3L^3\times L^3\times L^3L3×L3×L3) as Problem 13 in the 2017 collection Some problems in harmonic analysis.

Timeline

  • 2010 — Demeter and Thiele study the two-dimensional bilinear Hilbert transform and highlight the flat triangular operator (Amer. J. Math.).
  • 2012 — Kovač proves boundedness of the twisted paraproduct, a bipartite relative of the triangular form, by energy telescoping (Rev. Mat. Iberoam.).
  • 2015 — Kovač, Thiele and Zorin-Kranich prove bounds for a Walsh (dyadic) model with one structurally restricted input (Forum Math. Sigma).
  • 2016–2017 — Tao proves sublogarithmic cancellation for multilinear Hilbert transforms (Collect. Math.); Zorin-Kranich extends it to simplex Hilbert transforms (Math. Res. Lett.); Thiele's problem appears in Grafakos et al. (arXiv:1701.06637).
  • 2019 — Durcik, Kovač, Škreb and Thiele obtain square-root cancellation across finitely many smooth scales (Ergodic Theory Dynam. Systems); Durcik, Kovač and Thiele prove power-type cancellation with hard truncations, still growing like log⁡(R/ε)\sqrt{\log(R/\varepsilon)}log(R/ε)​ at the symmetric point (J. Anal. Math.).
  • 2021 — Durcik and Roos bound averages over directions (Proc. AMS); Christ, Durcik and Roos treat the curved variant along (t,t2)(t,t^2)(t,t2) (Adv. Math.).
  • 2026 — An OpenAI preprint, The maximal triangular Hilbert transform at the symmetric point (OpenAI Math Release, September 24, 2026), claims the scale-free L3×L3→L3/2L^3\times L^3\to L^{3/2}L3×L3→L3/2 bound for the maximal truncated operator. It has not been peer reviewed, and its proof is not formally verified.

Setting

For complex functions F,GF,GF,G on R2\mathbb R^2R2 and 0<ε<R<∞0<\varepsilon<R<\infty0<ε<R<∞, the hard truncation is

Bε,R(F,G)(x,y)=∫ε<∣t∣<RF(x+t,y) G(x,y+t) dtt,B_{\varepsilon,R}(F,G)(x,y)=\int_{\varepsilon<|t|<R}F(x+t,y)\,G(x,y+t)\,\frac{dt}{t},Bε,R​(F,G)(x,y)=∫ε<∣t∣<R​F(x+t,y)G(x,y+t)tdt​,

and the maximal truncation is

B∗(F,G)(x,y)=sup⁡0<ε<R<∞∣Bε,R(F,G)(x,y)∣.B_*(F,G)(x,y)=\sup_{0<\varepsilon<R<\infty}\bigl|B_{\varepsilon,R}(F,G)(x,y)\bigr| .B∗​(F,G)(x,y)=0<ε<R<∞sup​​Bε,R​(F,G)(x,y)​.

For F,G∈L3(R2)F,G\in L^3(\mathbb R^2)F,G∈L3(R2) the finite truncations converge absolutely outside a common null set, and B∗B_*B∗​ is measurable (Lemma 7.1 of the source).

Formalization targets

Goal: the maximal triangular Hilbert transform is bounded at the symmetric point (Theorem 1.1)

There is an absolute constant CCC such that, for all complex F,G∈L3(R2)F,G\in L^3(\mathbb R^2)F,G∈L3(R2),

∥B∗(F,G)∥L3/2(R2)≤C ∥F∥L3(R2)∥G∥L3(R2).\|B_*(F,G)\|_{L^{3/2}(\mathbb R^2)}\le C\,\|F\|_{L^3(\mathbb R^2)}\|G\|_{L^3(\mathbb R^2)} .∥B∗​(F,G)∥L3/2(R2)​≤C∥F∥L3(R2)​∥G∥L3(R2)​.

The Lean goal also includes the measure-theoretic preliminaries of Lemma 7.1: almost every point is a point where all finite truncations converge absolutely, and B∗B_*B∗​ is almost-everywhere measurable. The goal statement is published on the platform with status Open.

Significance

The result itself. A uniform bound for the maximal operator controls a truncation chosen independently at each point, which is stronger than a uniform bound on each Bε,RB_{\varepsilon,R}Bε,R​. It yields existence of the joint principal value B(F,G)B(F,G)B(F,G) almost everywhere and in L3/2L^{3/2}L3/2 (Theorem 7.2). By duality and a determinant-one change of variables, it gives endpoint-uniform bounds for the symmetric trilinear triangular form ∭G0(a,b)G1(b,c)G2(c,a) da db dca+b+c\iiint G_0(a,b)G_1(b,c)G_2(c,a)\,\frac{da\,db\,dc}{a+b+c}∭G0​(a,b)G1​(b,c)G2​(c,a)a+b+cdadbdc​, which resolves Thiele's Problem 13 positively. Earlier bounds all grew with the number of scales.

Formalizing it. The estimate is a clean statement in Mathlib's LpL^pLp and lower-integral language. Its proof combines matrix trace inequalities, Gaussian heat-flow energies and discretization limits, all of which would have to be built. The finite-dimensional matrix inequalities (Sections 2–3 of the source) are self-contained and reusable for other entangled multilinear forms.

Difficulty

Time–frequency analysis, which handles the one-dimensional bilinear Hilbert transform, does not adapt to the triangular form because its three inputs are entangled: each depends on a different pair of variables, so no single frequency-localization serves all three. Energy and telescoping methods (Kovač; Durcik) work for bipartite forms, but the triangular cycle is the documented obstruction. Previous cancellation estimates lose a factor depending on the number of scales log⁡(R/ε)\log(R/\varepsilon)log(R/ε). The maximal version adds a further difficulty: the truncation endpoints vary from point to point, so the energy argument must tolerate entries that switch on and off at independently chosen scales, without losses depending on the number of scales or on matrix dimensions.

Formalization scope

  • Functions are ℝ × ℝ → ℂ with Lebesgue measure; hypotheses are MemLp F 3 and MemLp G 3 (which include a.e. strong measurability).
  • truncation F G E z is the Bochner integral of F(x+t,y)G(x,y+t)/tF(x+t,y)G(x,y+t)/tF(x+t,y)G(x,y+t)/t over {ε<∣t∣<R}\{\varepsilon<|t|<R\}{ε<∣t∣<R}, with endpoints packaged as Endpoints (0<ε<R0<\varepsilon<R0<ε<R).
  • GoodPoint requires integrability on the annuli 1/(n+2)<∣t∣<n+21/(n+2)<|t|<n+21/(n+2)<∣t∣<n+2 for all nnn, hence on every finite annulus. maximal is the ℝ≥0∞-valued supremum over all endpoint pairs at good points, and 000 elsewhere. The goal asserts that almost every point is good, so this junk value cannot help.
  • The norm is (∫−B∗3/2)2/3\bigl(\int^- B_*^{3/2}\bigr)^{2/3}(∫−B∗3/2​)2/3 in ℝ≥0∞, compared with eLpNorm F 3 * eLpNorm G 3. The constant is an existential ℝ≥0, so it is finite and independent of F,GF,GF,G.
  • Needed infrastructure: discretization of L3L^3L3 functions, finite-dimensional trace inequalities for tr⁡((R∗R)3/2)\operatorname{tr}((R^*R)^{3/2})tr((R∗R)3/2), Gaussian heat-flow monotonicity, one-dimensional Hardy–Littlewood maximal bounds, and limits of smooth truncations. Contributions on the matrix inequalities or the jump-control lemma are welcome.

Selected references

  • C. Demeter and C. Thiele, On the two-dimensional bilinear Hilbert transform, Amer. J. Math. (2010). https://doi.org/10.1353/ajm.0.0101
  • V. Kovač, Boundedness of the twisted paraproduct, Rev. Mat. Iberoam. https://doi.org/10.4171/RMI/707
  • V. Kovač, C. Thiele and P. Zorin-Kranich, Dyadic triangular Hilbert transform of two general functions and one not too general function, Forum Math. Sigma (2015). https://doi.org/10.1017/fms.2015.25
  • T. Tao, Cancellation for the multilinear Hilbert transform, Collect. Math. (2016). https://arxiv.org/abs/1505.06479v3
  • P. Zorin-Kranich, Cancellation for the simplex Hilbert transform, Math. Res. Lett. (2017). https://doi.org/10.4310/MRL.2017.v24.n2.a16
  • L. Grafakos, D. Oliveira e Silva, M. Pramanik, A. Seeger and B. Stovall, Some problems in harmonic analysis (2017), Section 9, Problem 13. https://arxiv.org/abs/1701.06637v1
  • P. Durcik, V. Kovač, K. A. Škreb and C. Thiele, Norm-variation of ergodic averages with respect to two commuting transformations, Ergodic Theory Dynam. Systems (2019). https://doi.org/10.1017/etds.2017.48
  • P. Durcik, V. Kovač and C. Thiele, Power-type cancellation for the simplex Hilbert transform, J. Anal. Math. (2019). https://doi.org/10.1007/s11854-019-0052-4
  • OpenAI, The maximal triangular Hilbert transform at the symmetric point, OpenAI Math Release preprint, September 24, 2026 (Theorem 1.1, p. 2; Lemma 7.1, p. 24). https://github.com/openai/math/blob/adc7f1241b42e322a6451854ab7e4b4c146bf78a/preprints/The-maximal-triangular-Hilbert-transform-at-the-symmetric-point-September-24-2026/paper.pdf
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Algorithmic Game TheoryLinear algebraOperations Research·Captain: mikedeng1

Flows and Decompositions of Games: Harmonic and Potential Games 3: In Every Harmonic Game the Uniformly Mixed Strategy Profile Is a Mixed Nash EquilibriumResearch Paper

Motivation

Finite games in strategic form are the basic model of strategic interaction in economics, engineering and computer science. Potential games (Monderer and Shapley, 1996, DOI 10.1006/game.1996.0044) are the class with the most tractable equilibrium behaviour: every finite potential game has a pure Nash equilibrium, and simple learning dynamics converge to one.

Candogan, Menache, Ozdaglar and Parrilo (arXiv:1005.2405; Mathematics of Operations Research 36(3), 2011, DOI 10.1287/moor.1110.0500) decompose every finite game canonically into a potential, a harmonic and a nonstrategic component, by viewing the payoff differences of a game as a flow on a graph and applying the combinatorial Helmholtz decomposition. Harmonic games are the complement of potential games, and their equilibria behave in the opposite way: they generically have no pure Nash equilibrium. This mission formalizes the paper's positive result on the harmonic side. In every harmonic game, whatever the number of players and strategies, the profile in which every player randomizes uniformly over its strategies is a mixed Nash equilibrium. Rock–paper–scissors and matching pennies are the familiar two-player instances.

Setting

A finite game has a finite set of players M\mathcal MM and, for each player mmm, a nonempty finite strategy set EmE^mEm with hm=∣Em∣h_m = |E^m|hm​=∣Em∣ elements. A strategy profile is p=(pm)m∈E=∏mEmp = (p^m)_m \in E = \prod_m E^mp=(pm)m​∈E=∏m​Em. We write p−mp^{-m}p−m for the strategies of the players other than mmm, E−m=∏k≠mEkE^{-m} = \prod_{k\ne m}E^kE−m=∏k=m​Ek, and (qm,p−m)(q^m, p^{-m})(qm,p−m) for ppp with player mmm's strategy replaced by qmq^mqm. A game is identified with its utilities u=(um)mu = (u^m)_mu=(um)m​, um:E→Ru^m : E \to \mathbb Rum:E→R, which form an element of C0MC_0^MC0M​, where C0={f:E→R}C_0 = \{f : E\to\mathbb R\}C0​={f:E→R} carries ⟨φ1,φ2⟩0=∑pφ1(p)φ2(p)\langle\varphi_1,\varphi_2\rangle_0 = \sum_p\varphi_1(p)\varphi_2(p)⟨φ1​,φ2​⟩0​=∑p​φ1​(p)φ2​(p).

Two profiles are mmm-comparable if they are distinct and differ only in player mmm's strategy. The game graph has the profiles as nodes and joins every comparable pair. An edge flow is a function XXX on ordered pairs of profiles with X(p,q)=−X(q,p)X(p,q) = -X(q,p)X(p,q)=−X(q,p) on edges and X=0X = 0X=0 off edges. The space C1C_1C1​ of edge flows carries ⟨X,Y⟩1=12∑(p,q)∈AX(p,q)Y(p,q)\langle X,Y\rangle_1 = \tfrac12\sum_{(p,q)\in A}X(p,q)Y(p,q)⟨X,Y⟩1​=21​∑(p,q)∈A​X(p,q)Y(p,q). The combinatorial gradient is (δ0φ)(p,q)=W(p,q)(φ(q)−φ(p))(\delta_0\varphi)(p,q) = W(p,q)(\varphi(q)-\varphi(p))(δ0​φ)(p,q)=W(p,q)(φ(q)−φ(p)), with WWW the edge indicator, and δ0∗\delta_0^*δ0∗​ is its adjoint. Restricting to mmm-comparable pairs gives Dm:C0→C1D_m : C_0\to C_1Dm​:C0​→C1​, and Du=∑mDmumDu = \sum_m D_m u^mDu=∑m​Dm​um is the flow of payoff differences of uuu. With Πm=Dm†Dm\Pi_m = D_m^\dagger D_mΠm​=Dm†​Dm​ (Moore–Penrose pseudoinverse) and Π=diag⁡(Π1,…,ΠM)\Pi = \operatorname{diag}(\Pi_1,\dots,\Pi_M)Π=diag(Π1​,…,ΠM​), Definition 4.2 of the paper sets

H={u∣u=Πu, Du∈ker⁡δ0∗},N=ker⁡D.\mathcal H = \{u \mid u = \Pi u,\ Du \in \ker\delta_0^*\},\qquad \mathcal N = \ker D .H={u∣u=Πu, Du∈kerδ0∗​},N=kerD.

A game is a harmonic game if u∈H⊕Nu\in\mathcal H\oplus\mathcal Nu∈H⊕N, and a normalized harmonic game if u∈Hu\in\mathcal Hu∈H.

A mixed strategy of player mmm is a probability vector xm∈ΔEmx^m\in\Delta E^mxm∈ΔEm, and a mixed strategy profile is x={xm}m∈∏mΔEmx = \{x^m\}_m\in\prod_m\Delta E^mx={xm}m​∈∏m​ΔEm. The mixed extension is um(x)=∑p∈Eum(p)∏kxk(pk)u^m(x) = \sum_{p\in E}u^m(p)\prod_k x^k(p^k)um(x)=∑p∈E​um(p)∏k​xk(pk) (34). The payoff of the pure strategy qmq^mqm against x−mx^{-m}x−m is um(qm,x−m)=∑p−mum(qm,p−m)∏k≠mxk(pk)u^m(q^m,x^{-m}) = \sum_{p^{-m}}u^m(q^m,p^{-m})\prod_{k\ne m}x^k(p^k)um(qm,x−m)=∑p−m​um(qm,p−m)∏k=m​xk(pk) (35). A mixed Nash equilibrium (Definition 5.1.1) is a mixed profile with um(xm,x−m)≥um(pm,x−m)u^m(x^m,x^{-m})\ge u^m(p^m,x^{-m})um(xm,x−m)≥um(pm,x−m) for every mmm and pm∈Emp^m\in E^mpm∈Em. A probability distribution x∈ΔEx\in\Delta Ex∈ΔE on profiles is a correlated equilibrium (Definition 5.1.2) if ∑p−m(um(pm,p−m)−um(qm,p−m)) x(pm,p−m)≥0\sum_{p^{-m}}(u^m(p^m,p^{-m})-u^m(q^m,p^{-m}))\,x(p^m,p^{-m})\ge 0∑p−m​(um(pm,p−m)−um(qm,p−m))x(pm,p−m)≥0 for all mmm and pm,qmp^m,q^mpm,qm. The uniformly mixed strategy profile (Definition 5.2) has xm(qm)=1/hmx^m(q^m) = 1/h_mxm(qm)=1/hm​ for every mmm and qmq^mqm.

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem 5.4

For every harmonic game u∈H⊕Nu\in\mathcal H\oplus\mathcal Nu∈H⊕N, the uniformly mixed strategy profile xxx is a mixed Nash equilibrium:

um(xm,x−m)  ≥  um(pm,x−m)for all m∈M, pm∈Em.u^m(x^m,x^{-m}) \;\ge\; u^m(p^m,x^{-m})\qquad\text{for all } m\in\mathcal M,\ p^m\in E^m .um(xm,x−m)≥um(pm,x−m)for all m∈M, pm∈Em.

Milestones

  1. Lemma A.1: for every edge flow X^\hat XX^ and every set of profiles S^\hat SS^, ∑p∈S^(δ0∗X^)(p)=−∑p∈S^∑q∈S^cX^(p,q)\sum_{p\in\hat S}(\delta_0^*\hat X)(p) = -\sum_{p\in\hat S}\sum_{q\in\hat S^c}\hat X(p,q)∑p∈S^​(δ0∗​X^)(p)=−∑p∈S^​∑q∈S^c​X^(p,q).
  2. Lemma 5.2: in a harmonic game, ∑p−m∈E−m(um(rm,p−m)−um(qm,p−m))=0\sum_{p^{-m}\in E^{-m}}\big(u^m(r^m,p^{-m}) - u^m(q^m,p^{-m})\big) = 0∑p−m∈E−m​(um(rm,p−m)−um(qm,p−m))=0 for all mmm and qm,rmq^m, r^mqm,rm.
  3. Proposition 5.2: in a normalized harmonic game, a distribution x∈ΔEx\in\Delta Ex∈ΔE is a correlated equilibrium iff all the inequalities of Definition 5.1.2 hold with equality (36), iff ∑p−mum(qm,p−m) x(pm,p−m)=0\sum_{p^{-m}}u^m(q^m,p^{-m})\,x(p^m,p^{-m}) = 0∑p−m​um(qm,p−m)x(pm,p−m)=0 for all m,pm,qmm,p^m,q^mm,pm,qm (37).
  4. Remark after Proposition 5.2: the equivalence of correlated equilibrium with (36) holds for all harmonic games.
  5. Corollary 5.2: in a harmonic game, a mixed profile is a mixed Nash equilibrium iff um(xm,x−m)=um(pm,x−m)u^m(x^m,x^{-m}) = u^m(p^m,x^{-m})um(xm,x−m)=um(pm,x−m) for all mmm and pmp^mpm (42).

Significance

Theorem 5.4 is the counterpart, for harmonic games, of the existence of pure equilibria in potential games. It exhibits an explicit equilibrium that does not depend on the payoffs at all, only on the strategy counts hmh_mhm​. Corollary 5.2, a milestone here, adds that at any mixed equilibrium of a harmonic game every player is indifferent among all its pure strategies, including those outside the support. That is much stronger than the usual support condition. Proposition 5.2 shows that the correlated equilibria of a normalized harmonic game are the points of the probability simplex in a linear subspace determined by the utilities. The paper uses that description in its later analysis of two-player harmonic games.

The results are proved in the paper; none of them is machine-checked. The formalization connects the paper's operator layer (flows on the game graph, the gradient and its adjoint with the 12\tfrac1221​-weighted inner product, pseudoinverses) with standard equilibrium notions on finite games. It reuses published definitions of lotteries, the mixed extension and correlated equilibria.

Difficulty

The equilibrium statement follows quickly once Lemma 5.2 is available. The difficulty lies in translating the harmonic condition, a statement about the adjoint of an operator on edge flows, into an identity about payoffs. That needs the explicit form of δ0∗\delta_0^*δ0∗​, which depends on the 12\tfrac1221​ in the inner product of C1C_1C1​. It also needs the fact that DDD kills the nonstrategic component, and a computation of the flow of DuDuDu across the boundary of the set of profiles in which player mmm plays rmr^mrm. Corollary 5.2 needs the passage from mixed profiles to product distributions on profiles and a careful accounting of sums over p−mp^{-m}p−m against sums over full profiles.

The first idea, to use the normalization ∑qmum(qm,p−m)=0\sum_{q^m}u^m(q^m,p^{-m}) = 0∑qm​um(qm,p−m)=0, is not available. The goal concerns all harmonic games, not only normalized ones, and normalization alone does not give indifference against uniform opponents: the harmonic condition is essential.

Formalization scope

Players form a finite type ι with decidable equality, and the strategy sets E m are nonempty finite types, as in the paper (Em={1,…,hm}E^m = \{1,\dots,h_m\}Em={1,…,hm​}). The hypothesis [∀ m, Nonempty (E m)] is stated explicitly on the game theorems, because the uniform profile 1/hm1/h_m1/hm​ is a probability vector only if hm≥1h_m\ge1hm​≥1. A game is an element of PiLp 2 (fun _ => EuclideanSpace ℝ (∀ k, E k)) with the unweighted sum inner product of p. 14. C1C_1C1​ is the subspace of edge flows with the inner product 12∑\tfrac12\sum21​∑ of (7). δ0∗\delta_0^*δ0∗​ is Mathlib's adjoint, and the pseudoinverse is defined directly. H\mathcal HH and N\mathcal NN are defined by (28), and harmonic games are the submodule H ⊔ N. Lotteries, mixed profiles and the mixed extension (34) come from the published agt_games definitions; correlated equilibrium is the published HartSchmeidler.Finite.IsCorrelatedEq. The pure-deviation payoff (35), mixed Nash equilibrium with pure deviations (Definition 5.1.1, as printed), and the uniform profile are defined in the mission. Sums over p−mp^{-m}p−m are written as sums over the profiles with player mmm's strategy fixed, so each p−mp^{-m}p−m is counted once.

The goal concerns mixed Nash equilibria. Stating it for the uniform product distribution as a correlated equilibrium, or for normalized games only, would be a weaker statement and is not the target. No hypothesis is added beyond the nonemptiness of the strategy sets.

Contributions welcome: proofs of the milestones, and general lemmas on adjoints of graph gradients and on product distributions that are reusable beyond this mission.

Selected references

  • O. Candogan, I. Menache, A. Ozdaglar, P. A. Parrilo, Flows and Decompositions of Games: Harmonic and Potential Games, arXiv:1005.2405v2, 2010; Mathematics of Operations Research 36(3), 2011. https://arxiv.org/abs/1005.2405, https://doi.org/10.1287/moor.1110.0500
  • D. Monderer, L. S. Shapley, Potential Games, Games and Economic Behavior 14, 1996. https://doi.org/10.1006/game.1996.0044
  • S. Hart, D. Schmeidler, Existence of Correlated Equilibria, Mathematics of Operations Research 14(1), 1989. https://doi.org/10.1287/moor.14.1.18
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Convex OptimizationOptimization·Captain: mikedeng1

Rank-Sparsity Incoherence for Matrix Decomposition: If μ(A⋆)ξ(B⋆) < 1/6, ℓ1 + Nuclear-Norm Minimization Uniquely Recovers the Sparse and Low-Rank ComponentsResearch Paper

Motivation

Many data matrices are, to a good approximation, the sum of a sparse matrix (few nonzero entries) and a low-rank matrix. In system identification the low-rank part models a system of small order and the sparse part a system with sparse impulse response; in statistics the same structure appears in latent-variable graphical models, where a sparse inverse covariance is corrupted by a low-rank effect of hidden variables; in signal and image processing it separates a slowly varying background from sparse outliers. Recovering the two components from their sum is NP-hard in general, so a convex relaxation is the natural tractable approach.

Chandrasekaran, Sanghavi, Parrilo and Willsky (arXiv:0906.2220, SIAM J. Optim. 21(2), 2011, doi:10.1137/090761793) introduced the convex program that minimizes a weighted sum of the entrywise ℓ1\ell_1ℓ1​ norm and the nuclear norm, and gave a deterministic condition under which it recovers both components exactly. The condition is an uncertainty principle between the support of the sparse matrix and the row and column spaces of the low-rank matrix. Their analysis was followed by probabilistic guarantees for the same program under random sparsity patterns (Candès, Li, Ma, Wright, Robust Principal Component Analysis?, J. ACM 2011, arXiv:0912.3599).

Setting

All matrices are real and square, n×nn\times nn×n. For a matrix MMM:

  • support⁡(M)={(i,j):Mij≠0}\operatorname{support}(M)=\{(i,j): M_{ij}\neq0\}support(M)={(i,j):Mij​=0}, ∥M∥1=∑i,j∣Mij∣\|M\|_1=\sum_{i,j}|M_{ij}|∥M∥1​=∑i,j​∣Mij​∣, and sign⁡(M)\operatorname{sign}(M)sign(M) is the matrix with entries +1,−1,0+1,-1,0+1,−1,0 according as Mij>0M_{ij}>0Mij​>0, <0<0<0, =0=0=0.
  • ∥M∥\|M\|∥M∥ is the spectral norm (largest singular value), ∥M∥∗\|M\|_*∥M∥∗​ the nuclear norm (sum of singular values), and ∥M∥∞=max⁡i,j∣Mij∣\|M\|_\infty=\max_{i,j}|M_{ij}|∥M∥∞​=maxi,j​∣Mij​∣.
  • The sparse tangent space is Ω(M)={N:support⁡(N)⊆support⁡(M)}\Omega(M)=\{N:\operatorname{support}(N)\subseteq\operatorname{support}(M)\}Ω(M)={N:support(N)⊆support(M)}, with orthogonal projections PΩ(M)P_{\Omega(M)}PΩ(M)​ and PΩ(M)c=I−PΩ(M)P_{\Omega(M)^c}=I-P_{\Omega(M)}PΩ(M)c​=I−PΩ(M)​.
  • If M=UΣVTM=U\Sigma V^{T}M=UΣVT is a compact singular value decomposition, U,V∈Rn×kU,V\in\mathbb R^{n\times k}U,V∈Rn×k with orthonormal columns and k=rank⁡Mk=\operatorname{rank}Mk=rankM, the low-rank tangent space is T(M)={UXT+YVT:X,Y∈Rn×k}T(M)=\{UX^{T}+YV^{T}: X,Y\in\mathbb R^{n\times k}\}T(M)={UXT+YVT:X,Y∈Rn×k}, with projection PT(M)(N)=PUN+NPV−PUNPVP_{T(M)}(N)=P_UN+NP_V-P_UNP_VPT(M)​(N)=PU​N+NPV​−PU​NPV​, PU=UUTP_U=UU^{T}PU​=UUT, PV=VVTP_V=VV^{T}PV​=VVT, and PT(M)⊥=I−PT(M)P_{T(M)^\perp}=I-P_{T(M)}PT(M)⊥​=I−PT(M)​.

The two rank-sparsity incoherence quantities are

ξ(M)=max⁡N∈T(M), ∥N∥≤1∥N∥∞,μ(M)=max⁡N∈Ω(M), ∥N∥∞≤1∥N∥.\xi(M)=\max_{N\in T(M),\ \|N\|\le1}\|N\|_\infty,\qquad \mu(M)=\max_{N\in\Omega(M),\ \|N\|_\infty\le1}\|N\|.ξ(M)=N∈T(M), ∥N∥≤1max​∥N∥∞​,μ(M)=N∈Ω(M), ∥N∥∞​≤1max​∥N∥.

Small ξ(M)\xi(M)ξ(M) says that the elements of T(M)T(M)T(M) are not concentrated on few entries; small μ(M)\mu(M)μ(M) says that the elements of Ω(M)\Omega(M)Ω(M) have diffuse spectra.

Given C=A⋆+B⋆C=A^\star+B^\starC=A⋆+B⋆ and a trade-off parameter γ\gammaγ, the decomposition program is

(A^,B^)=arg⁡min⁡A,B γ∥A∥1+∥B∥∗s.t. A+B=C.(1.3)(\hat A,\hat B)=\arg\min_{A,B}\ \gamma\|A\|_1+\|B\|_*\quad\text{s.t. } A+B=C. \tag{1.3}(A^,B^)=argA,Bmin​ γ∥A∥1​+∥B∥∗​s.t. A+B=C.(1.3)

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem 2

If

μ(A⋆) ξ(B⋆)<16,\mu(A^\star)\,\xi(B^\star)<\tfrac16,μ(A⋆)ξ(B⋆)<61​,

then for every

γ∈(ξ(B⋆)1−4μ(A⋆)ξ(B⋆), 1−3μ(A⋆)ξ(B⋆)μ(A⋆))\gamma\in\left(\frac{\xi(B^\star)}{1-4\mu(A^\star)\xi(B^\star)},\ \frac{1-3\mu(A^\star)\xi(B^\star)}{\mu(A^\star)}\right)γ∈(1−4μ(A⋆)ξ(B⋆)ξ(B⋆)​, μ(A⋆)1−3μ(A⋆)ξ(B⋆)​)

the pair (A⋆,B⋆)(A^\star,B^\star)(A⋆,B⋆) is the unique optimum of (1.3); moreover γ=3ξ(B⋆)/(2μ(A⋆))\gamma=\sqrt{3\xi(B^\star)/(2\mu(A^\star))}γ=3ξ(B⋆)/(2μ(A⋆))​ always lies in this interval (for A⋆,B⋆≠0A^\star,B^\star\neq0A⋆,B⋆=0).

Milestones

  1. Proposition 1: μ(A⋆)ξ(B⋆)<1⇒Ω(A⋆)∩T(B⋆)={0}\mu(A^\star)\xi(B^\star)<1\Rightarrow\Omega(A^\star)\cap T(B^\star)=\{0\}μ(A⋆)ξ(B⋆)<1⇒Ω(A⋆)∩T(B⋆)={0}.
  2. (4.3)–(4.5): optimality of (A⋆,B⋆)(A^\star,B^\star)(A⋆,B⋆) for (1.3) is equivalent to a common dual Q∈γ ∂∥A⋆∥1∩∂∥B⋆∥∗Q\in\gamma\,\partial\|A^\star\|_1\cap\partial\|B^\star\|_*Q∈γ∂∥A⋆∥1​∩∂∥B⋆∥∗​, and the two subdifferentials are characterized through PΩP_\OmegaPΩ​, PΩcP_{\Omega^c}PΩc​, PTP_TPT​, PT⊥P_{T^\perp}PT⊥​.
  3. Proposition 2: transversality Ω(A⋆)∩T(B⋆)={0}\Omega(A^\star)\cap T(B^\star)=\{0\}Ω(A⋆)∩T(B⋆)={0} plus a dual QQQ with PT(Q)=UVTP_T(Q)=UV^{T}PT​(Q)=UVT, PΩ(Q)=γsign⁡(A⋆)P_\Omega(Q)=\gamma\operatorname{sign}(A^\star)PΩ​(Q)=γsign(A⋆), ∥PT⊥(Q)∥<1\|P_{T^\perp}(Q)\|<1∥PT⊥​(Q)∥<1, ∥PΩc(Q)∥∞<γ\|P_{\Omega^c}(Q)\|_\infty<\gamma∥PΩc​(Q)∥∞​<γ give unique recovery.
  4. Appendix B, proof of Theorem 2: the range (B.6) is nonempty; the unique candidate Q^∈Ω⊕T\hat Q\in\Omega\oplus TQ^​∈Ω⊕T; the bound ∥PT(M)∥≤2∥M∥\|P_T(M)\|\le2\|M\|∥PT​(M)∥≤2∥M∥; the error estimates (B.13)–(B.14); and the two strict certificate inequalities for Q^\hat QQ^​.

Significance

Theorem 2 is a deterministic exact-recovery guarantee: it involves no randomness, only the support of A⋆A^\starA⋆ and the row and column spaces of B⋆B^\starB⋆, and so it applies to any fixed instance for which μ\muμ and ξ\xiξ can be bounded. Combined with the paper's bounds of μ\muμ by the maximum number of nonzeros per row or column and of ξ\xiξ by the coherence of the singular vectors, it yields explicit sparsity-versus-incoherence trade-offs under which (1.3) succeeds. It is the starting point of the analysis of sparse-plus-low-rank decompositions in robust PCA, latent-variable graphical model selection and system identification.

The theorem is proved in the paper. No machine-checked proof of it, of Propositions 1–2, or of the subdifferential characterizations (4.4)–(4.5) is known to exist. A formalization adds: a checked account of the edge cases the paper leaves implicit (a zero sparse or low-rank component, the open endpoints of the γ\gammaγ-interval), a reusable library of the two tangent spaces and their projections for the Prove2Me matrix-completion definitions, and the nuclear-norm subdifferential (Watson's theorem), which is used throughout low-rank recovery.

Difficulty

The obvious argument writes down a dual certificate and checks four conditions; the work is in showing that one exists. The natural candidate Q^\hat QQ^​ is defined implicitly, as the unique element of Ω⊕T\Omega\oplus TΩ⊕T with prescribed projections onto Ω\OmegaΩ and TTT, and its existence is a linear-algebra fact about two transverse subspaces, not a formula. Bounding its components outside Ω\OmegaΩ and TTT requires coupled estimates in two different norms, the spectral norm and the entrywise maximum, related only through μ\muμ and ξ\xiξ. On the convex-analysis side, the "only if" direction of the nuclear-norm subdifferential characterization (4.5) is a genuine theorem about singular values, not a computation.

Formalization scope

Statements follow the arXiv v1 preprint (arXiv:0906.2220v1), with its numbering and page numbers. Matrices are Matrix (Fin n) (Fin n) ℝ; the rectangular remark of §3 is not formalized. The nuclear norm, spectral norm, ∥⋅∥∞\|\cdot\|_\infty∥⋅∥∞​, trace inner product, PTP_TPT​, PT⊥P_{T^\perp}PT⊥​, the SVD datum and UVTUV^{T}UVT are the published Prove2Me definitions matrix_completion_basic, matrix_completion_svd and matrix_completion_tangent. The SVD of B⋆B^\starB⋆ is an explicit argument: T(B⋆)T(B^\star)T(B⋆), UVTUV^{T}UVT and ξ(B⋆)\xi(B^\star)ξ(B⋆) are taken with respect to it, and every statement holds for every compact SVD. μ\muμ and ξ\xiξ are real suprema of bounded sets containing 000, hence maxima. Subgradients use the inequality f(x)≥f(x^)+⟨y,x−x^⟩f(x)\ge f(\hat x)+\langle y,x-\hat x\ranglef(x)≥f(x^)+⟨y,x−x^⟩; Q∈γ ∂fQ\in\gamma\,\partial fQ∈γ∂f means Q=γGQ=\gamma GQ=γG for a subgradient GGG.

"Unique optimum" is strict: every other feasible pair has strictly larger objective, so a statement only asserting that (A⋆,B⋆)(A^\star,B^\star)(A⋆,B⋆) minimizes the objective, or a definition of μ\muμ or ξ\xiξ that collapses to 000, does not count. The upper end of the γ\gammaγ-interval is stated as γ μ(A⋆)<1−3μ(A⋆)ξ(B⋆)\gamma\,\mu(A^\star)<1-3\mu(A^\star)\xi(B^\star)γμ(A⋆)<1−3μ(A⋆)ξ(B⋆), which is the paper's condition when μ(A⋆)>0\mu(A^\star)>0μ(A⋆)>0 and means "no upper bound" when A⋆=0A^\star=0A⋆=0; the "specifically" clause assumes A⋆≠0A^\star\neq0A⋆=0 and B⋆≠0B^\star\neq0B⋆=0 because it divides by μ(A⋆)\mu(A^\star)μ(A⋆) and needs ξ(B⋆)>0\xi(B^\star)>0ξ(B⋆)>0.

A complete development needs: the subdifferentials of the ℓ1\ell_1ℓ1​ and nuclear norms, the fixed-point and norm properties of PTP_TPT​ (in particular ∥PT(M)∥≤2∥M∥\|P_T(M)\|\le2\|M\|∥PT​(M)∥≤2∥M∥), and the direct-sum argument for Ω⊕T\Omega\oplus TΩ⊕T. The nuclear-norm subdifferential and the PTP_TPT​ bounds are reusable across all of low-rank matrix recovery. Proofs of any milestone, and lemmas that shorten the Appendix B estimates, are welcome.

Selected references

  • V. Chandrasekaran, S. Sanghavi, P. A. Parrilo, A. S. Willsky, Rank-Sparsity Incoherence for Matrix Decomposition, arXiv:0906.2220v1, 2009; SIAM J. Optim. 21(2):572–596, 2011. https://arxiv.org/abs/0906.2220, https://doi.org/10.1137/090761793
  • G. A. Watson, Characterization of the subdifferential of some matrix norms, Linear Algebra Appl. 170:33–45, 1992. https://doi.org/10.1016/0024-3795(92)90407-2
  • E. J. Candès, X. Li, Y. Ma, J. Wright, Robust Principal Component Analysis?, J. ACM 58(3), 2011. https://arxiv.org/abs/0912.3599
  • E. J. Candès, B. Recht, Exact Matrix Completion via Convex Optimization, Found. Comput. Math. 9:717–772, 2009. https://arxiv.org/abs/0805.4471
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Convex OptimizationLinear OptimizationOperations Research·Captain: mikedeng1

Retailer-Supplier Flexible Commitments Contracts: A Robust Optimization Approach: With Box Demand Uncertainty the Min-Max RSFC Problem Has the Same Optimal Value on the Extreme DemandsResearch Paper

Motivation

In a flexible commitments contract a retailer announces, before a selling horizon starts, a vector of planned orders (commitments) to its supplier, who uses them to plan capacity. During the horizon the retailer may deviate from the commitments, but pays penalties for each deviation and for changes between successive commitments. Such contracts were studied with stochastic demand by Bassok and Anupindi, Tsay and Lovejoy, and others, typically by dynamic programming over a discretized state space.

Ben-Tal, Golany, Nemirovski and Vial (2005) treat the retailer's problem as a robust multiperiod linear program: demand is only known to lie in an uncertainty set, decisions may adapt to observed demand, and the retailer minimizes its worst-case total cost. Most of the paper approximates this problem by affinely adjustable decision rules. For one important case, however, the paper shows that the problem can be solved exactly: when the uncertainty set is a box, nature may be restricted to the finitely many corner trajectories of the box. That reduction, Proposition 1 of the Appendix, is the subject of this mission, together with the general principle behind it (Lemma 2), which applies to any multistage worst-case problem with polyhedral dynamics and convex polyhedral costs.

Setting

Data. There are TTT periods. Period ttt carries an ordering cost ctc_tct​, a holding cost hth_tht​, a shortage cost ptp_tpt​, penalties αt+,αt−\alpha_t^{+}, \alpha_t^{-}αt+​,αt−​ for ordering above or below the commitment, and penalties βt+,βt−\beta_t^{+}, \beta_t^{-}βt+​,βt−​ for raising or lowering the commitment relative to the previous one. A salvage value sss applies to the final inventory; put hˉt=ht\bar h_t = h_thˉt​=ht​ for t<Tt < Tt<T and hˉT=hT−s\bar h_T = h_T - shˉT​=hT​−s. The initial inventory x1x_1x1​ and a nominal previous commitment w0w_0w0​ are given, as are order bounds Lt≤qt≤UtL_t \le q_t \le U_tLt​≤qt​≤Ut​ and cumulative bounds L^t≤∑τ≤tqτ≤U^t\widehat L_t \le \sum_{\tau \le t} q_\tau \le \widehat U_tLt​≤∑τ≤t​qτ​≤Ut​, possibly infinite.

Decisions. Before any demand is observed the retailer fixes commitments wt≥0w_t \ge 0wt​≥0 and amounts ztz_tzt​. Demand d=(d1,…,dT)d = (d_1, \dots, d_T)d=(d1​,…,dT​) lies in a product set UT=U1×⋯×UT\mathcal U^T = \mathcal U_1 \times \dots \times \mathcal U_TUT=U1​×⋯×UT​. The order qtq_tqt​ and the cost bounds yt,uty_t, u_tyt​,ut​ of period ttt are decision rules, functions of the past demands dt−1=(d1,…,dt−1)d^{t-1} = (d_1, \dots, d_{t-1})dt−1=(d1​,…,dt−1​); the inventory xt+1x_{t+1}xt+1​ is a function of dtd^tdt. This nonanticipativity is required on trajectories of UT\mathcal U^TUT.

The min-max RSFC problem (5)–(6). A policy is feasible if for every d∈UTd \in \mathcal U^Td∈UT and every ttt: xt+1=xt+qt−dtx_{t+1} = x_t + q_t - d_txt+1​=xt​+qt​−dt​; the order and cumulative-order bounds hold; yt≥hˉtxt+1y_t \ge \bar h_t x_{t+1}yt​≥hˉt​xt+1​ and yt≥−ptxt+1y_t \ge -p_t x_{t+1}yt​≥−pt​xt+1​; ut≥αt+(qt−wt)u_t \ge \alpha_t^{+}(q_t - w_t)ut​≥αt+​(qt​−wt​) and ut≥−αt−(qt−wt)u_t \ge -\alpha_t^{-}(q_t - w_t)ut​≥−αt−​(qt​−wt​); and zt≥βt+(wt−wt−1)z_t \ge \beta_t^{+}(w_t - w_{t-1})zt​≥βt+​(wt​−wt−1​), zt≥−βt−(wt−wt−1)z_t \ge -\beta_t^{-}(w_t - w_{t-1})zt​≥−βt−​(wt​−wt−1​). The optimal value is

value⁡(U)=inf⁡feasible policies sup⁡d∈UT ∑t=1T[ctqt(dt−1)+yt(dt−1)+ut(dt−1)+zt]∈[−∞,+∞].\operatorname{value}(\mathcal U) = \inf_{\text{feasible policies}}\ \sup_{d \in \mathcal U^T}\ \sum_{t=1}^T \big[c_t q_t(d^{t-1}) + y_t(d^{t-1}) + u_t(d^{t-1}) + z_t\big] \in [-\infty, +\infty].value(U)=feasible policiesinf​ d∈UTsup​ t=1∑T​[ct​qt​(dt−1)+yt​(dt−1)+ut​(dt−1)+zt​]∈[−∞,+∞].

Box uncertainty (9)–(10). Ut=[dtmin⁡,dtmax⁡]\mathcal U_t = [d_t^{\min}, d_t^{\max}]Ut​=[dtmin​,dtmax​] with dtmin⁡<dtmax⁡d_t^{\min} < d_t^{\max}dtmin​<dtmax​; its extreme points are {dtmin⁡,dtmax⁡}\{d_t^{\min}, d_t^{\max}\}{dtmin​,dtmax​}.

Convex polyhedral functions. A function f:Rm→R∪{+∞}f : \mathbb R^m \to \mathbb R \cup \{+\infty\}f:Rm→R∪{+∞} is a c.p.f. if its domain {f<∞}\{f < \infty\}{f<∞} is the solution set of finitely many linear inequalities and fff is convex and lower semicontinuous on it. Lemma 2 concerns the generic problem (P[F0,…,FT])(P[F_0, \dots, F_T])(P[F0​,…,FT​]): minimize, over decision rules St(dt−1)∈RmtS_t(d^{t-1}) \in \mathbb R^{m_t}St​(dt−1)∈Rmt​, the worst case over d∈F0×⋯×FTd \in F_0 \times \dots \times F_Td∈F0​×⋯×FT​ of ∑t=1T+1ft(St(dt−1))\sum_{t=1}^{T+1} f_t(S_t(d^{t-1}))∑t=1T+1​ft​(St​(dt−1)), subject to A1S1≥b1A_1 S_1 \ge b_1A1​S1​≥b1​, At+1St+1≥Bt+1dt+Ct+1St+bt+1A_{t+1} S_{t+1} \ge B_{t+1} d_t + C_{t+1} S_t + b_{t+1}At+1​St+1​≥Bt+1​dt​+Ct+1​St​+bt+1​ and ∥St∥∞≤R\|S_t\|_\infty \le R∥St​∥∞​≤R.

Formalization targets

Goal: Proposition 1 (p. 269)

value⁡(∏t=1T[dtmin⁡,dtmax⁡])=value⁡(∏t=1T{dtmin⁡,dtmax⁡}).\operatorname{value}\Big(\prod_{t=1}^T [d_t^{\min}, d_t^{\max}]\Big) = \operatorname{value}\Big(\prod_{t=1}^T \{d_t^{\min}, d_t^{\max}\}\Big).value(t=1∏T​[dtmin​,dtmax​])=value(t=1∏T​{dtmin​,dtmax​}).

The data are arbitrary reals (bounds in [−∞,+∞][-\infty, +\infty][−∞,+∞]) and the values are compared in the extended reals, so the statement covers infeasible and unbounded instances.

Milestones

  1. The extreme points of a segment [a,b][a,b][a,b], a<ba<ba<b, are aaa and bbb.
  2. (38): for a c.p.f. val⁡\operatorname{val}val and a polytope DDD, sup⁡d∈Dval⁡(Bd+Cs+b)=sup⁡d∈ext⁡Dval⁡(Bd+Cs+b)\sup_{d \in D} \operatorname{val}(Bd + Cs + b) = \sup_{d \in \operatorname{ext} D} \operatorname{val}(Bd + Cs + b)supd∈D​val(Bd+Cs+b)=supd∈extD​val(Bd+Cs+b).
  3. val⁡(b)=min⁡{f(s):As≥b,∥s∥∞≤R}\operatorname{val}(b) = \min\{f(s) : As \ge b, \|s\|_\infty \le R\}val(b)=min{f(s):As≥b,∥s∥∞​≤R} is a c.p.f. when fff is.
  4. A c.p.f. composed with an affine map is a c.p.f.
  5. Item (a): φ(sT)=max⁡dT∈DTΦT(sT,dT)\varphi(s_T) = \max_{d_T \in D_T} \Phi_T(s_T, d_T)φ(sT​)=maxdT​∈DT​​ΦT​(sT​,dT​) and fT+φf_T + \varphifT​+φ are c.p.f.s.
  6. The Bellman reduction opt⁡(P[F0,…,FT])=opt⁡(P+[F0,…,FT−1])\operatorname{opt}(P[F_0, \dots, F_T]) = \operatorname{opt}(P_+[F_0, \dots, F_{T-1}])opt(P[F0​,…,FT​])=opt(P+​[F0​,…,FT−1​]).
  7. (39): replacing the last polytope by its extreme points leaves the optimal value unchanged.
  8. Lemma 2: opt⁡(P[D0,…,DT])=opt⁡(P[ext⁡D0,…,ext⁡DT])\operatorname{opt}(P[D_0, \dots, D_T]) = \operatorname{opt}(P[\operatorname{ext} D_0, \dots, \operatorname{ext} D_T])opt(P[D0​,…,DT​])=opt(P[extD0​,…,extDT​]) for convex polytopes DτD_\tauDτ​, D0D_0D0​ a singleton, and c.p.f. costs.
  9. For every RRR, the RSFC problem with every decision bounded by RRR has the same value on the box and on its corners.
  10. The RRR-box step, in corrected form: value⁡(box)≤value⁡R(box)\operatorname{value}(\text{box}) \le \operatorname{value}_R(\text{box})value(box)≤valueR​(box) for all RRR, value⁡(corners)≤value⁡(box)\operatorname{value}(\text{corners}) \le \operatorname{value}(\text{box})value(corners)≤value(box), and value⁡(corners)=inf⁡Rvalue⁡R(corners)\operatorname{value}(\text{corners}) = \inf_R \operatorname{value}_R(\text{corners})value(corners)=infR​valueR​(corners).

Significance

Proposition 1 turns a semi-infinite multistage problem into a finite one: with box uncertainty, the min-max RSFC problem is equivalent to a linear program over the scenario tree of the 2T2^T2T corner trajectories, problem PextP_{\text{ext}}Pext​ of §2.3. The paper uses this exact value as a benchmark for its affinely adjustable approximation in the simulation study. Lemma 2 is the transferable statement: in any multistage worst-case problem whose stage costs are convex polyhedral and whose dynamics are linear with a uniform box on the decisions, the adversary may be restricted to the vertices of each period's uncertainty polytope.

The result is proved in the paper; to the best of current knowledge it has no machine-checked proof. Formalizing it produces a reusable notion of convex polyhedral function in the extended reals, closure properties of that class (partial minimization over a polyhedral box, affine substitution, finite maxima, sums), and a formal worst-case Bellman equation for nonanticipative policies. The corrected form of the RRR-box step also records precisely when the paper's informal "for RRR large enough" argument is valid.

Difficulty

The natural argument, "a convex function attains its maximum over a polytope at a vertex", applies to one stage only. In a multistage problem the cost of the last stage depends on the earlier decisions, which depend on earlier demands, so the worst case is not a convex function of the whole trajectory. The proof must therefore pass through a dynamic programming recursion, and the class of stage costs must be closed under the recursion: the optimal last-stage value as a function of the previous decision must again be convex polyhedral. That closure (the value of a parametric problem with a convex polyhedral objective and a box constraint) is where the work is: the domain is a projection of a polyhedron, and attainment and lower semicontinuity have to be shown with infinite values allowed.

A second difficulty is bookkeeping. The RSFC problem must be rewritten as an instance of Lemma 2 with the right stage vectors so that nonanticipativity of yty_tyt​ in dt−1d^{t-1}dt−1 is preserved, and the bounded problem must be related back to the unbounded one, which can have value −∞-\infty−∞.

Formalization scope

Periods of the RSFC model are Fin T, 0-based. Policies are functions of the whole demand trajectory with nonanticipativity imposed on trajectories of the uncertainty set; a policy that sees future demand is not admissible, which rules out the clairvoyant reading under which the statement changes. Optimal values are EReal infima of suprema: +∞+\infty+∞ for infeasible problems and possibly −∞-\infty−∞, never a real sInf that would turn both into 000. The c.p.f. definition requires the domain to be exactly a finite system of linear inequalities, so it cannot be satisfied vacuously.

The standing assumptions of §2.2, s<cTs < c_Ts<cT​ and (1) hT−s≥−pTh_T - s \ge -p_ThT​−s≥−pT​, are not imposed, and no sign is assumed on any cost or penalty: Proposition 1 holds without them, so the formal statement is a generalization. The norm ∥⋅∥∞\|\cdot\|_\infty∥⋅∥∞​ is Mathlib's default norm on Fin m → ℝ. Lemma 2's families are indexed by N\mathbb NN with the paper's indices; B t, C t stand for Bt+1B_{t+1}Bt+1​, Ct+1C_{t+1}Ct+1​. Two printed slips are corrected in the statements: (38) keeps the + bT+1+\,b_{T+1}+bT+1​ that the page drops, and the RRR-box step is stated in the corrected sandwich form because the literal claim fails when the value is −∞-\infty−∞.

Useful infrastructure: convex polyhedral functions in EReal, Fourier–Motzkin projection of polyhedra, maximum principle for convex functions on polytopes, extreme points of convex hulls of finite sets. Contributions to any milestone, and to general lemmas on these topics, are welcome.

Selected references

  • A. Ben-Tal, B. Golany, A. Nemirovski, J.-P. Vial, Retailer-Supplier Flexible Commitments Contracts: A Robust Optimization Approach, Manufacturing & Service Operations Management 7(3):248–271, 2005. https://doi.org/10.1287/msom.1050.0081
  • A. Ben-Tal, A. Goryashko, E. Guslitzer, A. Nemirovski, Adjustable robust solutions of uncertain linear programs, Mathematical Programming 99(2):351–376, 2004. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10107-003-0454-y
  • G. Iyengar, Robust dynamic programming, Mathematics of Operations Research 30:257–280, 2005. https://doi.org/10.1287/moor.1040.0129
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Overbooking with Substitutable Inventory Classes: With Semigroup Survivals the Expected Net Revenue Is Componentwise Concave and Submodular in the Overbooking LevelsResearch Paper

Motivation

Airlines, hotels and car-rental firms sell reservations ahead of service, and a fraction of those reservations cancel or do not show up. Overbooking — accepting more reservations than there is capacity — recovers revenue that cancellations would otherwise destroy, at the risk of denying service to some customers. In practice inventory is often substitutable: a passenger booked in economy can be upgraded to business, a guest booked in a standard room can be given a suite. With substitution, the right overbooking level for one reservation class depends on the levels of all the others.

Karaesmen and van Ryzin (Operations Research 52(1):83–104, 2004) model this as a two-period problem: overbooking decisions in a reservation period, followed by an optimal assignment of the customers who actually show up to inventory classes in a service period. Their structural result, Theorem 2, establishes the shape of the expected net revenue as a function of the overbooking levels. That shape is what justifies critical-level booking policies and the stochastic-gradient method of their §4, and it is the textbook account of joint overbooking with substitution (Talluri and van Ryzin, The Theory and Practice of Revenue Management, 2004, Proposition 4.4).

Setting

There are nnn reservation classes i=1,…,ni = 1, \dots, ni=1,…,n and m+1m + 1m+1 inventory classes j=0,1,…,mj = 0, 1, \dots, mj=0,1,…,m. Class j=0j = 0j=0 is virtual: assigning a customer to it means the customer is denied service.

Reservation period. The firm holds xix_ixi​ reservations of class iii and chooses overbooking levels ui≥xiu_i \ge x_iui​≥xi​. Accepting a class-iii reservation earns rir_iri​; a cancellation of class iii is refunded qiq_iqi​, with qi≤riq_i \le r_iqi​≤ri​. The number of class-iii customers who survive to the service period is a random variable Zi(ui)Z_i(u_i)Zi​(ui​) with values in {0,1,2,… }\{0, 1, 2, \dots\}{0,1,2,…}. The family {Zi(ui)}\{Z_i(u_i)\}{Zi​(ui​)} has the semigroup property: if Y1Y_1Y1​ and Y2Y_2Y2​ are independent with the laws of Zi(ui)Z_i(u_i)Zi​(ui​) and Zi(si)Z_i(s_i)Zi​(si​), then Y1+Y2Y_1 + Y_2Y1​+Y2​ has the law of Zi(ui+si)Z_i(u_i + s_i)Zi​(ui​+si​). The binomial model (Zi(ui)∼Bin(ui,pi)Z_i(u_i) \sim \mathrm{Bin}(u_i, p_i)Zi​(ui​)∼Bin(ui​,pi​) for integer uiu_iui​) and the Poisson model (Zi(ui)∼Poisson(uipi)Z_i(u_i) \sim \mathrm{Poisson}(u_i p_i)Zi​(ui​)∼Poisson(ui​pi​)) both have it. The survivals of different classes are independent.

Service period. Given the survivals z=(z1,…,zn)≥0z = (z_1, \dots, z_n) \ge 0z=(z1​,…,zn​)≥0, net benefits aija_{ij}aij​ (of either sign) and capacities cjc_jcj​, the firm solves the transportation problem

V0(z,c)=max⁡∑i=1n∑j=0maijyijs.t.∑j=0myij=zi,  ∑i=1nyij≤cj,  yij≥0.V_0(z, c) = \max \sum_{i=1}^n \sum_{j=0}^m a_{ij} y_{ij} \quad \text{s.t.} \quad \sum_{j=0}^m y_{ij} = z_i, \ \ \sum_{i=1}^n y_{ij} \le c_j, \ \ y_{ij} \ge 0.V0​(z,c)=maxi=1∑n​j=0∑m​aij​yij​s.t.j=0∑m​yij​=zi​,  i=1∑n​yij​≤cj​,  yij​≥0.

Expected net revenue. The objective of the reservation period is

G(u)=∑i=1nri(ui−xi)−E[∑i=1nqi(ui−Zi(ui))]+E[V0(Z(u),c)],G(u) = \sum_{i=1}^n r_i (u_i - x_i) - \mathbb E\Big[\sum_{i=1}^n q_i\big(u_i - Z_i(u_i)\big)\Big] + \mathbb E\big[V_0(Z(u), c)\big],G(u)=i=1∑n​ri​(ui​−xi​)−E[i=1∑n​qi​(ui​−Zi​(ui​))]+E[V0​(Z(u),c)],

to be maximized over u≥xu \ge xu≥x.

A function fff on Rn\mathbb R^nRn is submodular on SSS if f(s∨s′)+f(s∧s′)≤f(s)+f(s′)f(s \vee s') + f(s \wedge s') \le f(s) + f(s')f(s∨s′)+f(s∧s′)≤f(s)+f(s′) for s,s′∈Ss, s' \in Ss,s′∈S, with ∨,∧\vee, \wedge∨,∧ the componentwise maximum and minimum.

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem 2

For every uuu with levels in the parameter set PPP, every class iii and all ε,α∈P\varepsilon, \alpha \in Pε,α∈P,

G(u+(ε+α)ei)−G(u+αei)≤G(u+εei)−G(u),G(u + (\varepsilon + \alpha) e_i) - G(u + \alpha e_i) \le G(u + \varepsilon e_i) - G(u),G(u+(ε+α)ei​)−G(u+αei​)≤G(u+εei​)−G(u),

and GGG is submodular on PnP^nPn:

G(u∨u′)+G(u∧u′)≤G(u)+G(u′).G(u \vee u') + G(u \wedge u') \le G(u) + G(u').G(u∨u′)+G(u∧u′)≤G(u)+G(u′).

The first statement is the paper's componentwise concavity (6); the second is its submodularity, proved in the paper through the pairwise inequality (7) and Theorem 1.

Milestones

  1. LP duality for the transportation problem (§2.2, p. 86): for z≥0z \ge 0z≥0 the primal attains its optimum and equals the dual optimum.
  2. Lemma 1: V0(⋅,c)V_0(\cdot, c)V0​(⋅,c) is submodular on R≥0n\mathbb R^n_{\ge 0}R≥0n​.
  3. Lemma 2: V0V_0V0​ is concave in (z1,…,zn)(z_1, \dots, z_n)(z1​,…,zn​) and concave in (c1,…,cm)(c_1, \dots, c_m)(c1​,…,cm​).
  4. Theorem 1: on a product set, submodularity is equivalent to decreasing differences.
  5. Under the semigroup property, E[Zi(ui)]\mathbb E[Z_i(u_i)]E[Zi​(ui​)] is additive in uiu_iui​.
  6. The semigroup representation E[V0(Z(u+εei))]=E[V0(Z(u)+Yei)]\mathbb E[V_0(Z(u + \varepsilon e_i))] = \mathbb E[V_0(Z(u) + Y e_i)]E[V0​(Z(u+εei​))]=E[V0​(Z(u)+Yei​)] with YYY independent of Z(u)Z(u)Z(u) and distributed as Zi(ε)Z_i(\varepsilon)Zi​(ε).
  7. The sample-path inequalities of the proof: nonincreasing increments of V0V_0V0​ along one coordinate, and the pairwise submodularity inequality for two coordinates.

Significance

Componentwise concavity of GGG implies that for each reservation class there is a critical booking level beyond which expected revenue does not increase, other levels held fixed. Submodularity implies that these critical levels are nonincreasing in the bookings accepted for any other class: heavier overbooking in one class leaves less spare substitute capacity for the others. These two properties underpin the heuristics and the stochastic-gradient optimization of §4–§5 of the paper.

The result is proved in the paper (for n=2n = 2n=2, with the general case described as straightforward). A machine-checked version would cover the general semigroup case, which includes the binomial model the paper calls realistic, real-valued levels and arbitrary step sizes. The platform already holds a proved special case, RevenueManagement.joint_overbooking_concave_submodular (Talluri–van Ryzin, Proposition 4.4): Poisson survivals, integer levels and unit steps only. This mission generalizes it in all three respects and also formalizes the transportation-problem facts (LP duality, submodularity and concavity of V0V_0V0​) as reusable statements.

Difficulty

The obvious route — differentiate GGG and use concavity of V0V_0V0​ — fails twice. First, V0V_0V0​ is piecewise linear and the survivals are discrete, so there is nothing to differentiate; under the binomial model GGG is only defined at integer levels. Second, concavity of V0V_0V0​ alone does not survive the expectation: E[V0(Z(u))]\mathbb E[V_0(Z(u))]E[V0​(Z(u))] is a mixture over laws that change with uuu, and a concave function of a random vector whose law moves with the parameter need not be concave in the parameter. The semigroup property is what replaces a change of law by the addition of an independent block of survivors, and that coupling must be built for every coordinate and every pair of coordinates at once. On the LP side, submodularity of a transportation-problem value in its demands is a lattice-programming fact (Topkis, Theorem 3.4.1; Shapley 1962), not a consequence of concavity.

Formalization scope

All declarations are in the namespace SubstOverbooking.Structure. Reservation classes are Fin n (0-based), inventory classes Fin (m + 1) with 0 the virtual denied-service class. Conventions committed to:

  • Uncapacitated virtual class. The paper gives class 0 "finite but very high capacity" and then needs it to absorb every survivor; with Poisson survivals no finite capacity does. Constraint (4) is imposed only for j≠0j \ne 0j=0, c0c_0c0​ is unused, and the dual fixes λ0=0\lambda_0 = 0λ0​=0. Capacities satisfy cj≥0c_j \ge 0cj​≥0 for j≠0j \ne 0j=0.
  • V0V_0V0​ on real demands. V0V_0V0​ is the supremum of the TP objective over feasible assignments, for real zzz; every statement assumes z≥0z \ge 0z≥0, where the supremum is attained and finite.
  • Survival laws. Each class has a family u↦Li(u)u \mapsto L_i(u)u↦Li​(u) of probability mass functions on N\mathbb NN, with finite means. Levels range over a parameter set P⊆[0,∞)P \subseteq [0, \infty)P⊆[0,∞) that contains 000 and is closed under addition and under nonnegative differences: P=NP = \mathbb NP=N covers the binomial model, P=[0,∞)P = [0, \infty)P=[0,∞) the Poisson model. The semigroup property is the identity of laws Li(u+s)=(Li(u)⊗Li(s))∘(+)−1L_i(u + s) = (L_i(u) \otimes L_i(s)) \circ (+)^{-1}Li​(u+s)=(Li​(u)⊗Li​(s))∘(+)−1 for u,s∈Pu, s \in Pu,s∈P, and independence across classes is the product law.
  • Concavity is stated as the increment inequality (6), which is meaningful on a discrete PPP; submodularity of GGG is lattice submodularity on PnP^nPn via the published SupermodularOn applied to −G-G−G.
  • Theorem 1 is stated for product sets S=T1×⋯×TnS = T_1 \times \dots \times T_nS=T1​×⋯×Tn​; as printed for arbitrary S⊂RnS \subset \mathbb R^nS⊂Rn it is false, and every set the paper applies it to is a product.
  • The refund condition qi≤riq_i \le r_iqi​≤ri​ is kept as a hypothesis of the goal, as on the page.

A formalization that fixes Poisson laws, integer levels or unit steps, or that defines GGG or V0V_0V0​ through the inequalities to be proved, is the already-proved special case or an empty statement, and is not the goal.

A complete development needs finite LP duality for the transportation problem, the lattice-programming argument for Lemma 1, product measures and image measures on Nn\mathbb N^nNn, and the coupling of the semigroup property. The LP and lattice parts are reusable beyond this mission. Proofs of any milestone are welcome, as are alternative arguments for Lemma 1 (for instance via monotonicity of optimal duals, after Erlenkotter 1970).

Selected references

  • I. Karaesmen and G. van Ryzin, Overbooking with Substitutable Inventory Classes, Operations Research 52(1):83–104, 2004. https://doi.org/10.1287/opre.1030.0079
  • K. T. Talluri and G. J. van Ryzin, The Theory and Practice of Revenue Management, Springer, 2004, §4.4. https://doi.org/10.1007/b139000
  • D. M. Topkis, Supermodularity and Complementarity, Princeton University Press, 1998, Theorem 3.4.1. https://doi.org/10.1515/9781400822539
  • R. K. Sundaram, A First Course in Optimization Theory, Cambridge University Press, 1996. https://doi.org/10.1017/CBO9780511804526
  • L. S. Shapley, Complements and substitutes in the optimal assignment problem, Naval Research Logistics Quarterly 9(1):45–48, 1962. https://doi.org/10.1002/nav.3800090106
  • M. Shaked and J. G. Shanthikumar, Stochastic convexity and its applications, Advances in Applied Probability 20(2):427–446, 1988. https://doi.org/10.2307/1427398
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On Implementing a Primal-Dual Interior-Point Method for Conic Quadratic Optimization IV: The Nesterov–Todd Scaling of a Quadratic or Rotated Quadratic Cone Is W = −Q + (e₁ + w)(e₁ + w)ᵀ/(1 + w₁)Research Paper

Why the Nesterov–Todd scaling of a second-order cone matters

Conic quadratic (second-order cone) programs are solved in practice by primal-dual interior-point methods. Each iteration solves a Newton system for the central-path equations, and for non-polyhedral cones that system is only guaranteed to be well posed after the problem is scaled: the primal point xxx and the dual slack sss are transformed by a matrix ΘW\Theta WΘW chosen from the current iterate. Among the scalings analysed by Monteiro and Tsuchiya (2000), the best complexity bounds are obtained with the Nesterov–Todd (NT) scaling of Nesterov and Todd (1997), which maps xxx and sss to the same point.

Andersen, Roos and Terlaky (2003) describe the conic quadratic interior-point solver of MOSEK. Their Lemma 4.2 gives the NT scaling in closed form for each of the three cone types they use. It is what makes the NT direction cheap: each cone block of WWW is determined by one vector www, and WWW, W2W^2W2 and their inverses can be applied in time linear in the dimension. For the quadratic cone the formula goes back to Tsuchiya (1999); the paper re-derives it and extends it to the rotated quadratic cone.

Setting

Fix one cone block of dimension ddd. Coordinates are x=(x1,…,xd)x = (x_1,\dots,x_d)x=(x1​,…,xd​), xk:dx_{k:d}xk:d​ denotes the subvector of coordinates k,…,dk,\dots,dk,…,d, and ∥⋅∥\|\cdot\|∥⋅∥ is the Euclidean norm. The block is one of

  • the positive half-line R+\mathbb R_+R+​ (d=1d=1d=1), with T=Q=1T = Q = 1T=Q=1;
  • the quadratic cone Kq={x:x1≥∥x2:d∥}K^q = \{x : x_1 \ge \|x_{2:d}\|\}Kq={x:x1​≥∥x2:d​∥} (d≥1d\ge1d≥1), with T=IT = IT=I and Q=diag⁡(1,−1,…,−1)Q = \operatorname{diag}(1,-1,\dots,-1)Q=diag(1,−1,…,−1);
  • the rotated quadratic cone Kr={x:2x1x2≥∥x3:d∥2, x1,x2≥0}K^r = \{x : 2x_1x_2 \ge \|x_{3:d}\|^2,\ x_1,x_2\ge0\}Kr={x:2x1​x2​≥∥x3:d​∥2, x1​,x2​≥0} (d≥2d\ge2d≥2), with TTT the identity except for the leading block 12[111−1]\tfrac1{\sqrt2}\begin{bmatrix}1&1\\1&-1\end{bmatrix}2​1​[11​1−1​], and QQQ the matrix with Q12=Q21=1Q_{12} = Q_{21} = 1Q12​=Q21​=1, Qjj=−1Q_{jj} = -1Qjj​=−1 for j≥3j\ge3j≥3, and zeros elsewhere.

A scaling matrix (Definition 3.3) is a symmetric positive definite WWW with WQW=QWQW = QWQW=Q. For θ>0\theta>0θ>0 the scaled points are xˉ=θWx\bar x = \theta W xxˉ=θWx and sˉ=(θW)−1s\bar s = (\theta W)^{-1}ssˉ=(θW)−1s. The pair (θ,W)(\theta, W)(θ,W) is an NT scaling of (x,s)(x, s)(x,s) when xˉ=sˉ\bar x = \bar sxˉ=sˉ, equation (28); equivalently s=θ2W2xs = \theta^2W^2xs=θ2W2x, equation (29).

Formalization targets

Goal: Lemma 4.2 (p. 15)

For x,sx, sx,s in the interior of the cone:

  1. every NT scaling satisfies
θ2=sTQsxTQx;(30)\theta^2 = \sqrt{\frac{s^TQs}{x^TQx}};\qquad(30)θ2=xTQxsTQs​​;(30)
  1. with this θ\thetaθ and
w=θ−1s+θQx2xTs+xTQx sTQs,(32)w = \frac{\theta^{-1}s + \theta Qx}{\sqrt2\sqrt{x^Ts + \sqrt{x^TQx\,s^TQs}}},\qquad(32)w=2​xTs+xTQxsTQs​​θ−1s+θQx​,(32)

the following matrices WWW make (θ,W)(\theta, W)(θ,W) an NT scaling: W=θ−1(X−1S)1/2W = \theta^{-1}(X^{-1}S)^{1/2}W=θ−1(X−1S)1/2 for R+\mathbb R_+R+​;

W=[w1w2:dTw2:dI+w2:dw2:dT1+w1]=−Q+(e1+w)(e1+w)T1+e1Tw(31)W = \begin{bmatrix} w_1 & w_{2:d}^T\\ w_{2:d} & I + \frac{w_{2:d}w_{2:d}^T}{1+w_1}\end{bmatrix} = -Q + \frac{(e_1+w)(e_1+w)^T}{1+e_1^Tw}\qquad(31)W=[w1​w2:d​​w2:dT​I+1+w1​w2:d​w2:dT​​​]=−Q+1+e1T​w(e1​+w)(e1​+w)T​(31)

for KqK^qKq; and

W=−Q+(Te1+w)(Te1+w)T1+e1TTw(34)W = -Q + \frac{(Te_1+w)(Te_1+w)^T}{1+e_1^TTw}\qquad(34)W=−Q+1+e1T​Tw(Te1​+w)(Te1​+w)T​(34)

for KrK^rKr. In the last two cases W2=−Q+2wwTW^2 = -Q + 2ww^TW2=−Q+2wwT, equations (33) and (35).

Milestones

Lemma 3.3 i)–iii) (scaling preserves xTsx^TsxTs and rescales xTQxx^TQxxTQx, sTQss^TQssTQs by θ±2\theta^{\pm2}θ±2); (30) on its own; the normalization w12−∥w2:d∥2=1w_1^2 - \|w_{2:d}\|^2 = 1w12​−∥w2:d​∥2=1 and the square (62) of the arrow form (31); positivity of the radicand of (32); the identity 2θ2(wTx)2=xTs+xTQx sTQs2\theta^2(w^Tx)^2 = x^Ts + \sqrt{x^TQx\,s^TQs}2θ2(wTx)2=xTs+xTQxsTQs​ and the formula (32); for the rotated cone, the transport (63) by TTT, the identities θ^=θ\hat\theta = \thetaθ^=θ and w^=Tw\hat w = Tww^=Tw, and TWT=W^TWT = \hat WTWT=W^. Two companions: Lemma 4.3, (θW)−2=θ−2QW2Q(\theta W)^{-2} = \theta^{-2}QW^2Q(θW)−2=θ−2QW2Q, and Lemma 3.3 iv), that a scaling maps the cone and its interior onto themselves.

Significance

The result. Lemma 4.2 turns the NT scaling, defined implicitly by (28), into explicit data: one scalar θ\thetaθ and one vector www per cone. Combined with Lemma 4.3 it shows that every product with WWW, W2W^2W2 or their inverses in the scaled Newton system (27) is a rank-one correction of a signature matrix, which is what the paper's implementation relies on. The rotated-cone formula (34) is the paper's own addition and is what lets rotated cones be handled natively instead of through a change of variables.

Formalizing it. The result is proved on paper; no machine-checked version is known to exist, and the platform has no formalization of second-order-cone scalings. The work is the matrix algebra of the Lorentz group — the signature matrix QQQ, the matrices with WQW=QWQW = QWQW=Q, and their action on KqK^qKq and KrK^rKr — which is reusable for every second-order-cone algorithm.

Difficulty

Most of the items are finite-dimensional identities, but they are identities between block matrices of arbitrary size with entries that are nested square roots, and they hold only on the interior of the cone, where the radicands are positive. The derivation in the paper runs backwards: it assumes WWW has the shape (31) and solves for www, taking a square root without fixing its sign. The goal asks for the forward direction — that the displayed θ\thetaθ, www, WWW do satisfy (28) and W≻0W\succ0W≻0 — which needs the normalization wTQw=1w^TQw = 1wTQw=1, positive definiteness of −Q+(e1+w)(e1+w)T/(1+w1)-Q + (e_1+w)(e_1+w)^T/(1+w_1)−Q+(e1​+w)(e1​+w)T/(1+w1​), and, for the rotated cone, the reduction to the quadratic cone through TTT with TT=ITT = ITT=I and TQrT=QqTQ^rT = Q^qTQrT=Qq.

Formalization scope

  • Per block. Every statement is made for one cone block. Θ\ThetaΘ and WWW are block diagonal (pp. 11–12), so this is the paper's statement block by block. The cone type is the parameter kind : ConeKind, and vectors are Fin d → ℝ.
  • Index base and norms. The paper's x1x_1x1​ is coordinate 0. ∥x2:d∥2\|x_{2:d}\|^2∥x2:d​∥2 is written as a sum of squares (tailSq x 1); Mathlib's norm on Fin d → ℝ, which is the sup norm, is never used.
  • Interiors. The interiors are given by strict inequalities. The paper never defines int⁡(K)\operatorname{int}(K)int(K) concretely; these coincide with the topological interiors.
  • Added hypotheses. All are disclosed in the items:
    • the dimension conventions (d=1d=1d=1 for R+\mathbb R_+R+​, d≥1d\ge1d≥1 for KqK^qKq, d≥2d\ge2d≥2 for KrK^rKr), which the paper leaves implicit;
    • θ>0\theta>0θ>0 in Definition 3.3, which the paper calls positive definite on p. 24;
    • 1+w1>01+w_1>01+w1​>0 wherever the page divides by 1+w11+w_11+w1​;
    • wTx>0w^Tx>0wTx>0 for the last step of the derivation of (32), where the page silently fixes this sign.
  • Inverses. The matrix inverse is Mathlib's total inverse. The NT predicate always contains W≻0W\succ0W≻0, so (28) never reads the junk value of a singular inverse.
  • Reading of Lemma 4.2. The lemma names θ\thetaθ and WWW without quantifying them. The goal states (30) for every NT scaling and asserts that the displayed formulas are an NT scaling. It does not claim that the NT scaling is unique, which the paper does not prove.
  • Ruling out a trivial formalization. Stating only (30) would allow a version that holds vacuously if no NT scaling existed. Part 2 of the goal is what excludes this, and a sanity check exhibits θ=1\theta = 1θ=1, W=IW = IW=I at x=s=e1x = s = e_1x=s=e1​ in KqK^qKq for d=2d=2d=2.

A complete development needs:

  • the cone definitions and the matrices TTT, QQQ;
  • Mathlib's Matrix.PosDef and Matrix.inv;
  • elementary real square-root algebra.

Lemmas about {W:W≻0, WQW=Q}\{W : W\succ0,\ WQW = Q\}{W:W≻0, WQW=Q} (closure under products and inverses, invariance of KqK^qKq) are reusable beyond this mission. Proofs of any milestone are welcome, as are alternative arguments for positive definiteness of (31).

Selected references

  • E. D. Andersen, C. Roos, T. Terlaky, On implementing a primal-dual interior-point method for conic quadratic optimization, Mathematical Programming 95 (2003) 249–277; authors' preprint of 18 Dec 2000. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10107-002-0349-3
  • Yu. E. Nesterov, M. J. Todd, Self-scaled barriers and interior-point methods for convex programming, Mathematics of Operations Research 22(1) (1997) 1–42. https://doi.org/10.1287/moor.22.1.1
  • R. D. C. Monteiro, T. Tsuchiya, Polynomial convergence of primal-dual algorithms for the second-order cone program based on the MZ-family of directions, Mathematical Programming 88(1) (2000) 61–83. https://doi.org/10.1007/PL00011378
  • T. Tsuchiya, A convergence analysis of the scaling-invariant primal-dual path-following algorithms for second-order cone programming, Optimization Methods and Software 11–12 (1999) 141–182. https://doi.org/10.1080/10556789908805750
  • F. Alizadeh, D. Goldfarb, Second-order cone programming, Mathematical Programming 95 (2003) 3–51. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10107-002-0339-5
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Algorithmic Game TheoryConvex OptimizationOperations Research+1·Captain: mikedeng1

How Bad is Selfish Routing? 2: With Linear Latency Functions the Cost of a Nash Flow Is at Most 4/3 Times the Optimal CostResearch Paper

Motivation

In a road or communication network, each user picks a route to minimize its own delay, without regard to the delay it imposes on others. The outcome is an equilibrium that is in general not socially optimal: Braess's paradox shows that adding a road can make every user worse off, and Pigou's two-link example shows that selfish users can incur a third more total delay than a central planner would. Transportation science has studied such equilibria since Wardrop (1952) and Beckmann, McGuire and Winsten (1956). The computer-science question of how much is lost, uniformly over all networks, was answered for linear delays by Roughgarden and Tardos in How Bad is Selfish Routing? (FOCS 2000; J. ACM 2002, doi:10.1145/506147.506153). Their bound became the first instance of the price of anarchy for nonatomic routing and the template for a large literature on the inefficiency of equilibria.

Timeline. Wardrop (1952) states the equilibrium principle. Beckmann et al. (1956) and Dafermos–Sparrow (1969) characterize equilibria and optima by convex programs. Koutsoupias and Papadimitriou (1999) introduce the worst-case ratio of equilibrium to optimum. Roughgarden and Tardos (2000/2002) prove the bound 4/34/34/3 for linear latencies, tight by Pigou's example. Roughgarden (2003) and Correa, Schulz and Stier-Moses (2004) extend the analysis to general latency classes.

Setting

A network has finitely many edges eee and finitely many routes PPP; a route is the set of edges it uses, recorded by a 0/10/10/1 incidence. There are kkk commodities; each route serves one commodity iii, and Pi\mathcal P_iPi​ is the set of routes serving iii. Commodity iii has a positive rate rir_iri​. A flow assigns a nonnegative amount fPf_PfP​ to each route; it is feasible for rrr if ∑P∈PifP=ri\sum_{P\in\mathcal P_i}f_P=r_i∑P∈Pi​​fP​=ri​ for every iii. The edge flow is fe=∑P∋efPf_e=\sum_{P\ni e}f_Pfe​=∑P∋e​fP​.

Each edge has a linear latency ℓe(x)=aex+be\ell_e(x)=a_ex+b_eℓe​(x)=ae​x+be​ with ae,be≥0a_e,b_e\ge0ae​,be​≥0. The latency of a route is ℓP(f)=∑e∈Pℓe(fe)\ell_P(f)=\sum_{e\in P}\ell_e(f_e)ℓP​(f)=∑e∈P​ℓe​(fe​), and the cost of a flow is

C(f)=∑PℓP(f) fP=∑eℓe(fe) fe.C(f)=\sum_P\ell_P(f)\,f_P=\sum_e\ell_e(f_e)\,f_e .C(f)=P∑​ℓP​(f)fP​=e∑​ℓe​(fe​)fe​.

A feasible flow is at Nash equilibrium if no small amount of flow on a route P1P_1P1​ can reduce its latency by moving to another route P2P_2P2​ of the same commodity (Definition 2.1); equivalently (Lemma 2.2), every used route of commodity iii has minimum latency among the routes in Pi\mathcal P_iPi​. A flow is optimal if it is feasible and has minimum cost among feasible flows. The marginal cost of edge eee is ℓe∗(x)=(xℓe(x))′=2aex+be\ell^*_e(x)=(x\ell_e(x))'=2a_ex+b_eℓe∗​(x)=(xℓe​(x))′=2ae​x+be​, and Li∗(f∗)=min⁡P∈Pi∑e∈Pℓe∗(fe∗)L^*_i(f^*)=\min_{P\in\mathcal P_i}\sum_{e\in P}\ell^*_e(f^*_e)Li∗​(f∗)=minP∈Pi​​∑e∈P​ℓe∗​(fe∗​).

The Lean development uses the names pathLatency, cost, IsNashFlow, IsOptimalFlow, linLatency, marginalLatency and minMarginalPathCost for these objects.

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem 4.5

For every instance with linear latencies ae,be≥0a_e,b_e\ge0ae​,be​≥0, every Nash flow fff and every feasible flow f∗f^*f∗,

C(f)≤43 C(f∗).C(f)\le\tfrac43\,C(f^*).C(f)≤34​C(f∗).

This is the paper's ρ(G,r,ℓ)=C(f)/C(f∗)≤4/3\rho(G,r,\ell)=C(f)/C(f^*)\le4/3ρ(G,r,ℓ)=C(f)/C(f∗)≤4/3, stated without the ratio.

Milestones

  1. Lemma 2.2: Nash flows are exactly the Wardrop flows (for continuous nondecreasing latencies).
  2. Lemma 2.3: at a Nash flow, C(f)=∑iLi(f) riC(f)=\sum_iL_i(f)\,r_iC(f)=∑i​Li​(f)ri​, with Li(f)L_i(f)Li​(f) the common latency of the used routes of commodity iii.
  3. Lemma 4.1(a), (b): Nash and optimal flows for linear latencies, characterized by ∑e∈P(aefe+be)\sum_{e\in P}(a_ef_e+b_e)∑e∈P​(ae​fe​+be​) and ∑e∈P(2aefe∗+be)\sum_{e\in P}(2a_ef^*_e+b_e)∑e∈P​(2ae​fe∗​+be​) being minimal on used routes.
  4. Corollary 4.2: for ℓe(x)=aex\ell_e(x)=a_exℓe​(x)=ae​x, optimal and Nash flows coincide.
  5. Lemma 4.3: if fff is a Nash flow for rrr then f/2f/2f/2 is optimal for r/2r/2r/2, and ℓP∗(f/2)=ℓP(f)\ell^*_P(f/2)=\ell_P(f)ℓP∗​(f/2)=ℓP​(f).
  6. Lemma 4.4: if f∗f^*f∗ is optimal for rrr and δ>0\delta>0δ>0, every flow feasible for (1+δ)r(1+\delta)r(1+δ)r costs at least C(f∗)+δ∑iLi∗(f∗) riC(f^*)+\delta\sum_iL^*_i(f^*)\,r_iC(f∗)+δ∑i​Li∗​(f∗)ri​.
  7. C(f/2)≥14C(f)C(f/2)\ge\frac14C(f)C(f/2)≥41​C(f) (proof of Theorem 4.5).
  8. Figure 3: in Pigou's network the Nash flow costs 111 and the optimal flow 3/43/43/4, so the constant 4/34/34/3 is attained.

Significance

The bound says that, with linear delays, selfish routing never costs more than 4/34/34/3 times the optimum, independently of the network's size and topology and of the number of commodities. It explains why Braess-type phenomena are bounded in magnitude, and it yields consequences for mechanical networks of strings and springs (Corollary 4.6 of the paper). The inequality C(f)≤43C(f∗)C(f)\le\frac43C(f^*)C(f)≤34​C(f∗) for every feasible f∗f^*f∗ is the basic input to later work on bicriteria bounds, Stackelberg routing, tolls and the general price-of-anarchy framework.

The result is proved in the paper and in textbooks (Nisan et al., Algorithmic Game Theory, ch. 18). No machine-checked proof is known to exist on Prove2Me or in Mathlib. A formalization produces a checked model of nonatomic routing (route flows, Nash and optimal flows) together with the first-order characterization of optimal flows for convex quadratic costs, both of which are reusable for the other results of the paper and for later routing papers.

Difficulty

The equilibrium bound is not a pointwise inequality between the two flows: the Nash flow fff and an arbitrary feasible flow f∗f^*f∗ can use entirely different routes. The step that requires real work is the comparison between an optimal flow for the rates r/2r/2r/2 and an arbitrary flow for the rates rrr (Lemma 4.4), which rests on the characterization of optimal flows of a convex program (Lemma 4.1(b)). That characterization is a Karush–Kuhn–Tucker statement over a polytope of route flows; the paper cites it rather than proving it, and Mathlib has no ready-made version. The naive approach, bounding each edge's cost separately, fails because the two flows load different edges.

Formalization scope

  • Edges, routes and commodities are Fin J, Fin R, Fin Sd. A route is a 0/10/10/1 column A j r of the incidence; the commodity of route r is s r. The paper's simple paths in a directed graph are one instance, so all statements are a disclosed generalization; copies of one path serving two commodities are two routes.
  • Edge flows and feasibility are the published KellyStochasticNetworks.linkFlow and KellyStochasticNetworks.wardropFeasible; the Wardrop condition is KellyStochasticNetworks.IsWardropEquilibrium.
  • All rates are positive (0 < rate i), as on p. 6. Linear latencies have ae,be≥0a_e,b_e\ge0ae​,be​≥0, and only their values at nonnegative arguments matter.
  • Definition 2.1 is formalized for distinct routes P1≠P2P_1\neq P_2P1​=P2​ and 0<δ≤fP10<\delta\le f_{P_1}0<δ≤fP1​​. The literal P1=P2P_1=P_2P1​=P2​ would make Nash flows nonexistent, and the literal δ=0\delta=0δ=0 on an unused P1P_1P1​ would force equal latencies on unused routes; both readings would make the theorems vacuous or false.
  • Lemmas 2.2 and 2.3 are stated for arbitrary latencies that are nonnegative, nondecreasing and continuous on [0,∞)[0,\infty)[0,∞); continuity replaces differentiability, as the paper's footnote 3 allows.
  • The ratio ρ\rhoρ is never formed: C(f∗)C(f^*)C(f∗) may be 000 and Lean's division returns 000 there. Every bound is stated as an inequality against every feasible flow.
  • Li∗L^*_iLi∗​ is a minimum over the nonempty finite set of routes serving iii; Li(f)L_i(f)Li​(f) in Lemma 2.3 is stated existentially.
  • A trivializing formalization (a Nash definition no flow satisfies, a ratio with junk denominator, or a single-commodity or parallel-link special case) is ruled out by the choices above; Pigou's flow (0,1)(0,1)(0,1) is checked to satisfy the formal Nash definition.

Needed infrastructure: the edge/route exchange of summation, the first-order optimality conditions for a convex differentiable function on a product of simplices, and the convexity inequality xℓe(x)≥yℓe(y)+(x−y)ℓe∗(y)x\ell_e(x)\ge y\ell_e(y)+(x-y)\ell^*_e(y)xℓe​(x)≥yℓe​(y)+(x−y)ℓe∗​(y). Contributions of a general KKT lemma for separable convex costs on flow polytopes are reusable beyond this mission.

Selected references

  • T. Roughgarden and É. Tardos, How Bad is Selfish Routing?, Journal of the ACM 49(2), 236–259, 2002. https://doi.org/10.1145/506147.506153
  • J. G. Wardrop, Some theoretical aspects of road traffic research, Proc. Institution of Civil Engineers, Part II, 1, 325–378, 1952. https://doi.org/10.1680/ipeds.1952.11259
  • M. Beckmann, C. B. McGuire and C. B. Winsten, Studies in the Economics of Transportation, Yale University Press, 1956.
  • S. C. Dafermos and F. T. Sparrow, The traffic assignment problem for a general network, J. Research of the National Bureau of Standards 73B(2), 91–118, 1969. https://doi.org/10.6028/jres.073B.010
  • E. Koutsoupias and C. Papadimitriou, Worst-case equilibria, STACS 1999, LNCS 1563, 404–413. https://doi.org/10.1007/3-540-49116-3_38
  • T. Roughgarden, The price of anarchy is independent of the network topology, J. Computer and System Sciences 67(2), 341–364, 2003. https://doi.org/10.1016/S0022-0000(03)00044-8
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Convex OptimizationLinear algebraOptimization·Captain: mikedeng1

Guaranteed Minimum-Rank Solutions of Linear Matrix Equations via Nuclear Norm Minimization 1: If δ_5r < 1/10, Nuclear Norm Minimization Recovers Every Matrix of Rank at Most r ExactlyResearch Paper

Motivation

Many problems in system identification, collaborative filtering, low-dimensional embedding and model reduction ask for the simplest matrix consistent with a set of linear observations, where "simplest" means "of least rank". Given a linear map A:Rm×n→Rp\mathcal A:\mathbb R^{m\times n}\to\mathbb R^pA:Rm×n→Rp and a vector b∈Rpb\in\mathbb R^pb∈Rp, the affine rank minimization problem is

min⁡X rank⁡(X)s.t.A(X)=b.\min_X\ \operatorname{rank}(X)\quad\text{s.t.}\quad \mathcal A(X)=b .Xmin​ rank(X)s.t.A(X)=b.

This problem is NP-hard in general: it contains the problem of finding the sparsest solution of a linear system as the special case of diagonal matrices. A standard heuristic, popularized in control by Fazel, Hindi and Boyd, replaces the rank by the nuclear norm ∥X∥∗\|X\|_*∥X∥∗​, the sum of the singular values, which is the convex envelope of the rank on the unit ball of the operator norm. The resulting problem is a semidefinite program and can be solved efficiently.

Recht, Fazel and Parrilo (arXiv:0706.4138, SIAM Review 2010) gave the first general conditions under which this heuristic provably returns the minimum-rank solution. Their argument transfers the compressed sensing theory of Candès and Tao (Decoding by linear programming, 2005) and Candès, Romberg and Tao from sparse vectors and the ℓ1\ell_1ℓ1​ norm to low-rank matrices and the nuclear norm. This mission formalizes the paper's deterministic recovery theorem (Section 3).

Setting

Matrices are real m×nm\times nm×n matrices. For matrices X,YX,YX,Y of the same size, ⟨X,Y⟩=Tr⁡(X⊤Y)=∑i,jXijYij\langle X,Y\rangle=\operatorname{Tr}(X^{\top}Y)=\sum_{i,j}X_{ij}Y_{ij}⟨X,Y⟩=Tr(X⊤Y)=∑i,j​Xij​Yij​ is the trace inner product. With σ1(X)≥σ2(X)≥⋯≥0\sigma_1(X)\ge\sigma_2(X)\ge\dots\ge0σ1​(X)≥σ2​(X)≥⋯≥0 the singular values of XXX, the three norms used are the operator norm ∥X∥=σ1(X)\|X\|=\sigma_1(X)∥X∥=σ1​(X), the Frobenius norm ∥X∥F=⟨X,X⟩=(∑iσi(X)2)1/2\|X\|_F=\sqrt{\langle X,X\rangle}=(\sum_i\sigma_i(X)^2)^{1/2}∥X∥F​=⟨X,X⟩​=(∑i​σi​(X)2)1/2, and the nuclear norm ∥X∥∗=∑iσi(X)\|X\|_*=\sum_i\sigma_i(X)∥X∥∗​=∑i​σi​(X).

A linear map A:Rm×n→Rp\mathcal A:\mathbb R^{m\times n}\to\mathbb R^pA:Rm×n→Rp is given by ppp measurement matrices A1,…,ApA_1,\dots,A_pA1​,…,Ap​ through A(X)i=⟨Ai,X⟩\mathcal A(X)_i=\langle A_i,X\rangleA(X)i​=⟨Ai​,X⟩; ∥A(X)∥\|\mathcal A(X)\|∥A(X)∥ is the Euclidean norm of the vector A(X)∈Rp\mathcal A(X)\in\mathbb R^pA(X)∈Rp.

For an integer rrr, the rrr-restricted isometry constant δr(A)\delta_r(\mathcal A)δr​(A) (Definition 3.1) is the smallest δ≥0\delta\ge0δ≥0 with

(1−δ) ∥X∥F≤∥A(X)∥≤(1+δ) ∥X∥Ffor every X with rank⁡X≤r.(1-\delta)\,\|X\|_F\le\|\mathcal A(X)\|\le(1+\delta)\,\|X\|_F\qquad\text{for every } X \text{ with } \operatorname{rank}X\le r .(1−δ)∥X∥F​≤∥A(X)∥≤(1+δ)∥X∥F​for every X with rankX≤r.

Fix a matrix X0X_0X0​ of rank at most rrr, put b=A(X0)b=\mathcal A(X_0)b=A(X0​), and consider the nuclear norm minimization problem

X∗:=arg⁡min⁡X ∥X∥∗s.t.A(X)=b.(3.1)X^*:=\arg\min_X\ \|X\|_*\quad\text{s.t.}\quad\mathcal A(X)=b. \tag{3.1}X∗:=argXmin​ ∥X∥∗​s.t.A(X)=b.(3.1)

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem 3.3

If r≥1r\ge1r≥1 and δ5r(A)<110\delta_{5r}(\mathcal A)<\tfrac1{10}δ5r​(A)<101​, then X∗=X0X^*=X_0X∗=X0​; precisely,

∀X∈Rm×n:A(X)=A(X0)  and  ∥X∥∗≤∥X0∥∗ ⟹ X=X0.\forall X\in\mathbb R^{m\times n}:\quad \mathcal A(X)=\mathcal A(X_0)\ \text{ and }\ \|X\|_*\le\|X_0\|_*\ \Longrightarrow\ X=X_0 .∀X∈Rm×n:A(X)=A(X0​)  and  ∥X∥∗​≤∥X0​∥∗​ ⟹ X=X0​.

The statement holds for every linear map, every m,n,pm,n,pm,n,p and every X0X_0X0​ of rank at most rrr. The constant 1/101/101/10 is the paper's; the paper notes (p. 14) that its derivation is chosen for simplicity and is not optimal.

Milestones, in the paper's order

  1. Theorem 3.2 (p. 12): if δ2r<1\delta_{2r}<1δ2r​<1, then X0X_0X0​ is the only matrix of rank at most rrr with A(X)=b\mathcal A(X)=bA(X)=b.
  2. (2.1) (p. 6): ∥X∥≤∥X∥F≤∥X∥∗≤r ∥X∥F≤r ∥X∥\|X\|\le\|X\|_F\le\|X\|_*\le\sqrt r\,\|X\|_F\le r\,\|X\|∥X∥≤∥X∥F​≤∥X∥∗​≤r​∥X∥F​≤r∥X∥ whenever rank⁡X≤r\operatorname{rank}X\le rrankX≤r.
  3. Lemma 2.3 (p. 9): if AB⊤=0AB^{\top}=0AB⊤=0 and A⊤B=0A^{\top}B=0A⊤B=0, then ∥A+B∥∗=∥A∥∗+∥B∥∗\|A+B\|_*=\|A\|_*+\|B\|_*∥A+B∥∗​=∥A∥∗​+∥B∥∗​.
  4. Lemma 3.4 (pp. 12–13): every BBB splits as B=B1+B2B=B_1+B_2B=B1​+B2​ with rank⁡B1≤2rank⁡A\operatorname{rank}B_1\le2\operatorname{rank}ArankB1​≤2rankA, AB2⊤=0AB_2^{\top}=0AB2⊤​=0, A⊤B2=0A^{\top}B_2=0A⊤B2​=0 and ⟨B1,B2⟩=0\langle B_1,B_2\rangle=0⟨B1​,B2​⟩=0.
  5. (3.3)–(3.4) (p. 13): for the error R=R0+RcR=R_0+R_cR=R0​+Rc​ of a minimizer, ∥Rc∥∗≤∥R0∥∗\|R_c\|_*\le\|R_0\|_*∥Rc​∥∗​≤∥R0​∥∗​.
  6. (3.5)–(3.6) (p. 13): a matrix splits into pairwise orthogonal pieces of rank at most 3r3r3r whose Frobenius norms, from the second piece on, sum to at most ∥M∥∗/3r\|M\|_*/\sqrt{3r}∥M∥∗​/3r​.
  7. Monotonicity (p. 12): δr≤δr′\delta_r\le\delta_{r'}δr​≤δr′​ for r≤r′r\le r'r≤r′.
  8. (3.7) (p. 14): ∥A(R)∥≥((1−δ5r)−911(1+δ3r))∥R0∥F\|\mathcal A(R)\|\ge\big((1-\delta_{5r})-\tfrac9{11}(1+\delta_{3r})\big)\|R_0\|_F∥A(R)∥≥((1−δ5r​)−119​(1+δ3r​))∥R0​∥F​, with a positive factor whenever 9δ3r+11δ5r<29\delta_{3r}+11\delta_{5r}<29δ3r​+11δ5r​<2.

Significance

Theorem 3.3 is a deterministic certificate: it separates the question "does nuclear norm minimization recover low-rank matrices?" into a property of the measurement map alone, with an absolute constant independent of mmm, nnn, rrr and ppp. Section 4 of the same paper then shows that random maps with i.i.d. Gaussian or Bernoulli entries satisfy δ5r<1/10\delta_{5r}<1/10δ5r​<1/10 with high probability once ppp is of order r(m+n)log⁡(mn)r(m+n)\log(mn)r(m+n)log(mn), so a matrix with mnmnmn entries is determined by far fewer measurements than entries and is found by a semidefinite program.

The theorem is proved in the paper, and the sparse-vector analogue has been formalized on this platform (HighDimProb.SparseRecovery.rip_implies_exact_recovery, from Vershynin's textbook; CandesTao.Decoding.decoding_by_lp). The matrix version is not formalized. A machine-checked proof needs the basic theory of singular values for rectangular real matrices (the norm comparisons (2.1), additivity of the nuclear norm, the triangle inequality for the nuclear norm, and block decompositions via the singular value decomposition), most of which Mathlib lacks in this form. That infrastructure is reusable for every nuclear-norm result on the platform.

Difficulty

For sparse vectors the analogous proof splits the error vector by its support, and every step is coordinatewise. For matrices there is no common basis: the error RRR and the target X0X_0X0​ have different singular vectors, and the restricted isometry inequality controls only matrices of low rank. The first obstacle is therefore to split RRR into a piece of rank at most 2rank⁡X02\operatorname{rank}X_02rankX0​ and a piece whose row and column spaces are orthogonal to those of X0X_0X0​, so that the nuclear norm is additive. The second is that the triangle inequality, additivity and the norm chain (2.1) for the nuclear norm are themselves nontrivial statements about singular values. Applying the restricted isometry inequality directly to RRR fails, because RRR need not have low rank.

Formalization scope

  • Matrices are Matrix (Fin m) (Fin n) ℝ; rank is Matrix.rank; transpose is Xᵀ. The norms and the inner product are opNorm, frobeniusNorm, nuclearNorm and traceInner of the published module HighDimStat_MatrixRank_Core, which defines the nuclear norm as the sum of the square roots of the eigenvalues of X⊤XX^{\top}XX⊤X.
  • The map A\mathcal AA is given by Xs : Fin p → Matrix (Fin m) (Fin n) ℝ and evaluated by observationOp; measNorm Xs X is ∥A(X)∥\|\mathcal A(X)\|∥A(X)∥.
  • ripConst Xs r is the infimum of the admissible δ≥0\delta\ge0δ≥0; the set is nonempty and closed, so the infimum is attained. It is defined for every rrr, not only 1≤r≤m1\le r\le m1≤r≤m, since the goal uses δ5r\delta_{5r}δ5r​. The paper's normalization m≤nm\le nm≤n is not assumed.
  • The goal assumes rank⁡X0≤r\operatorname{rank}X_0\le rrankX0​≤r rather than =r=r=r (equivalent by monotonicity of δ\deltaδ). Its conclusion quantifies over all feasible XXX with ∥X∥∗≤∥X0∥∗\|X\|_*\le\|X_0\|_*∥X∥∗​≤∥X0​∥∗​, so it does not depend on a choice of arg min. A formalization that fixes some minimizer unrelated to bbb, or only asserts the existence of a minimizer equal to X0X_0X0​, would be trivial and is excluded.
  • Milestone (3.5)–(3.6) is stated existentially, listing the properties of the singular value blocks that the proof uses, because Mathlib has no ordered rectangular singular value decomposition. Milestone (3.7) makes explicit the orthogonality ⟨R0,R1⟩=0\langle R_0,R_1\rangle=0⟨R0​,R1​⟩=0 that the paper uses silently.

Welcome contributions: a rectangular SVD with ordered singular values, the triangle inequality and duality for nuclearNorm, and the attainment and monotonicity lemmas for ripConst.

Selected references

  • B. Recht, M. Fazel, P. A. Parrilo, Guaranteed Minimum-Rank Solutions of Linear Matrix Equations via Nuclear Norm Minimization, SIAM Review 52(3), 471–501, 2010. https://doi.org/10.1137/070697835 ; preprint arXiv:0706.4138v1. https://arxiv.org/abs/0706.4138
  • E. J. Candès, T. Tao, Decoding by Linear Programming, IEEE Trans. Inform. Theory 51(12), 2005. https://doi.org/10.1109/TIT.2005.858979
  • E. J. Candès, J. Romberg, T. Tao, Stable Signal Recovery from Incomplete and Inaccurate Measurements, Comm. Pure Appl. Math. 59(8), 2006. https://doi.org/10.1002/cpa.20124
  • M. Fazel, Matrix Rank Minimization with Applications, PhD thesis, Stanford University, 2002.
  • R. Vershynin, High-Dimensional Probability, Cambridge University Press, 2018, §10.5. https://doi.org/10.1017/9781108231596
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Convex OptimizationMachine LearningOptimization·Captain: mikedeng1

Pegasos: Primal Estimated Sub-Gradient Solver for SVM: Mini-Batch Pegasos Has Average Instantaneous Objective Within c(1+ln T)/(2λT) of the SVM Optimum'sResearch Paper

Motivation

The support vector machine (SVM) is a linear classifier trained by minimising a regularised hinge loss. For training sets with millions of examples, solving the SVM problem to high accuracy by interior-point or dual decomposition methods is too slow, and what is needed is an algorithm whose cost per iteration does not grow with the number of examples. Pegasos (Primal Estimated sub-GrAdient SOlver for SVM), introduced by Shalev-Shwartz, Singer and Srebro in 2007 and analysed in its final form by Shalev-Shwartz, Singer, Srebro and Cotter in Mathematical Programming (2011, doi:10.1007/s10107-010-0420-4), is a stochastic sub-gradient method on the primal SVM objective with step size 1/(λt)1/(\lambda t)1/(λt). Its analysis showed that the number of iterations needed for accuracy ϵ\epsilonϵ is O~(1/(λϵ))\tilde O(1/(\lambda\epsilon))O~(1/(λϵ)), independent of the training-set size, and the method became a standard baseline for large-scale linear SVM training.

The analysis rests on a logarithmic-regret bound for online gradient descent on strongly convex functions, due to Hazan, Agarwal and Kale (Machine Learning 69, 2007), which the paper re-proves for non-smooth functions as its Lemma 1 and then applies to the Pegasos iterates in its Theorem 1.

Setting

A training set consists of mmm examples (xi,yi)(x_i, y_i)(xi​,yi​), i∈[m]i\in[m]i∈[m], with xi∈Rnx_i\in\mathbb R^nxi​∈Rn and labels yi∈{+1,−1}y_i\in\{+1,-1\}yi​∈{+1,−1}. The hinge loss of a weight vector www on (x,y)(x,y)(x,y) is ℓ(w;(x,y))=max⁡{0, 1−y⟨w,x⟩}\ell(w;(x,y)) = \max\{0,\,1 - y\langle w, x\rangle\}ℓ(w;(x,y))=max{0,1−y⟨w,x⟩}. For a regularisation parameter λ>0\lambda>0λ>0, the SVM objective (Eq. (1)) is

f(w)=λ2∥w∥2+1m∑i=1mℓ(w;(xi,yi)),f(w) = \frac\lambda2\|w\|^2 + \frac1m\sum_{i=1}^m \ell(w;(x_i,y_i)),f(w)=2λ​∥w∥2+m1​i=1∑m​ℓ(w;(xi​,yi​)),

and w⋆w^\starw⋆ denotes a minimiser of fff (Eq. (9)). For a mini-batch AAA of k≥1k\ge1k≥1 example indices, the instantaneous objective (Eq. (7)) is

f(w;A)=λ2∥w∥2+1k∑i∈Aℓ(w;(xi,yi)).f(w;A) = \frac\lambda2\|w\|^2 + \frac1k\sum_{i\in A}\ell(w;(x_i,y_i)).f(w;A)=2λ​∥w∥2+k1​i∈A∑​ℓ(w;(xi​,yi​)).

Mini-batch Pegasos (Fig. 2 of the paper) starts at w1=0w_1 = 0w1​=0. At each round t=1,2,…t = 1, 2, \dotst=1,2,… it receives a mini-batch AtA_tAt​, forms the sub-gradient

∇t=λwt−1k∑i∈At1[yi⟨wt,xi⟩<1] yixi(8)\nabla_t = \lambda w_t - \frac1k\sum_{i\in A_t}\mathbb 1\bigl[y_i\langle w_t, x_i\rangle < 1\bigr]\,y_i x_i \qquad (8)∇t​=λwt​−k1​i∈At​∑​1[yi​⟨wt​,xi​⟩<1]yi​xi​(8)

of f(⋅;At)f(\cdot;A_t)f(⋅;At​) at wtw_twt​, and sets wt+1=wt−ηt∇tw_{t+1} = w_t - \eta_t\nabla_twt+1​=wt​−ηt​∇t​ with ηt=1/(λt)\eta_t = 1/(\lambda t)ηt​=1/(λt). Optionally it then applies the projection step (6), wt+1←min⁡{1,(1/λ)/∥wt+1∥} wt+1w_{t+1}\leftarrow\min\{1,(1/\sqrt\lambda)/\|w_{t+1}\|\}\,w_{t+1}wt+1​←min{1,(1/λ​)/∥wt+1​∥}wt+1​, which maps wt+1w_{t+1}wt+1​ to the closest point of the Euclidean ball of radius 1/λ1/\sqrt\lambda1/λ​. A function ggg is λ\lambdaλ-strongly convex if g(w)−λ2∥w∥2g(w) - \frac\lambda2\|w\|^2g(w)−2λ​∥w∥2 is convex, and vvv is a sub-gradient of a convex ggg at w0w_0w0​ if g(w)−g(w0)≥⟨v,w−w0⟩g(w) - g(w_0)\ge\langle v, w - w_0\rangleg(w)−g(w0​)≥⟨v,w−w0​⟩ for every www.

In the Lean development these objects are svmObj, instObj, subgrad, projBall and run in the namespace Pegasos.Analysis; the hinge loss is UnderstandingML.hingeLoss, sub-gradients are UnderstandingML.IsSubgradient, and "zzz is the projection of vvv onto BBB" is LogRegretOCO.OGD.IsProj B v z.

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem 1

Assume ∥xi∥≤R\|x_i\|\le R∥xi​∥≤R for every iii, and set c=(λ+R)2c = (\sqrt\lambda + R)^2c=(λ​+R)2 when the projection step is performed and c=4R2c = 4R^2c=4R2 when it is not. Then for every sequence of mini-batches and every T≥3T\ge3T≥3,

1T∑t=1Tf(wt;At)  ≤  1T∑t=1Tf(w⋆;At)+c (1+ln⁡T)2λT.\frac1T\sum_{t=1}^T f(w_t;A_t) \;\le\; \frac1T\sum_{t=1}^T f(w^\star;A_t) + \frac{c\,(1+\ln T)}{2\lambda T}.T1​t=1∑T​f(wt​;At​)≤T1​t=1∑T​f(w⋆;At​)+2λTc(1+lnT)​.

The constants are the paper's and are stated exactly; a version with a single constant for both variants, or with an unspecified constant, is a weaker theorem.

Milestones

  1. Eq. (10): for λ\lambdaλ-strongly convex ggg with sub-gradient vvv at www, ⟨w−u,v⟩≥g(w)−g(u)+λ2∥w−u∥2\langle w - u, v\rangle\ge g(w) - g(u) + \frac\lambda2\|w-u\|^2⟨w−u,v⟩≥g(w)−g(u)+2λ​∥w−u∥2.
  2. Eq. (11): one projected step satisfies ⟨wt−u,∇t⟩≤∥wt−u∥2−∥wt+1−u∥22ηt+ηt2G2\langle w_t - u,\nabla_t\rangle\le\frac{\|w_t-u\|^2 - \|w_{t+1}-u\|^2}{2\eta_t} + \frac{\eta_t}2G^2⟨wt​−u,∇t​⟩≤2ηt​∥wt​−u∥2−∥wt+1​−u∥2​+2ηt​​G2 (an already-proved platform theorem, stated with a factor 2).
  3. Lemma 1: projected sub-gradient steps ηt=1/(λt)\eta_t = 1/(\lambda t)ηt​=1/(λt) on λ\lambdaλ-strongly convex ftf_tft​ with ∥∇t∥≤G\|\nabla_t\|\le G∥∇t​∥≤G satisfy 1T∑ft(wt)≤1T∑ft(u)+G2(1+ln⁡T)2λT\frac1T\sum f_t(w_t)\le\frac1T\sum f_t(u) + \frac{G^2(1+\ln T)}{2\lambda T}T1​∑ft​(wt​)≤T1​∑ft​(u)+2λTG2(1+lnT)​ for all u∈Bu\in Bu∈B.
  4. The vector (8) is a sub-gradient of f(⋅;A)f(\cdot;A)f(⋅;A); f(⋅;A)f(\cdot;A)f(⋅;A) is λ\lambdaλ-strongly convex; the projection step (6) is the projection onto the ball of radius 1/λ1/\sqrt\lambda1/λ​.
  5. The gradient bounds: ∥∇t∥≤λ+R\|\nabla_t\|\le\sqrt\lambda + R∥∇t​∥≤λ​+R with projection; Eq. (13), wt+1=1λt∑i≤tviw_{t+1} = \frac1{\lambda t}\sum_{i\le t}v_iwt+1​=λt1​∑i≤t​vi​, and ∥∇t∥≤2R\|\nabla_t\|\le 2R∥∇t​∥≤2R without.
  6. ∥w⋆∥≤1/λ\|w^\star\|\le 1/\sqrt\lambda∥w⋆∥≤1/λ​.

Significance

Theorem 1 is the deterministic core of every guarantee in the paper. Taking expectations over uniformly random mini-batches turns its left side into the expected objective of the iterates and its right side into f(w⋆)f(w^\star)f(w⋆) plus the rate, which yields the O~(1/(λϵ))\tilde O(1/(\lambda\epsilon))O~(1/(λϵ)) iteration bound and, via Markov-type arguments, the high-probability bounds of the later sections. Because the bound holds for every sequence of mini-batches, it is also an online-learning regret bound for the sequence of instantaneous objectives.

The result is proved in the paper and is classical. To our knowledge it has no machine-checked proof. Formalizing it produces a verified logarithmic-regret lemma for non-smooth strongly convex sub-gradient descent with an arbitrary closed convex feasible set (the platform currently has the twice-differentiable version with a bounded feasible set), a verified sub-gradient calculus for the regularised hinge loss, and an exact treatment of the Pegasos iteration including both the projected and unprojected variants.

Difficulty

The obvious argument applies Lemma 1 with BBB the ball of radius 1/λ1/\sqrt\lambda1/λ​ in both variants and GGG the sup of ∥∇t∥\|\nabla_t\|∥∇t​∥ over that ball. This fails twice. Without the projection step the iterates are not confined to that ball, so a separate argument (the closed form (13)) is needed to bound them, and it gives the different constant 4R24R^24R2. With projection, Lemma 1 requires the comparator w⋆w^\starw⋆ to lie in the ball, and ∥w⋆∥≤1/λ\|w^\star\|\le1/\sqrt\lambda∥w⋆∥≤1/λ​ is not implied by the elementary comparison f(w⋆)≤f(0)≤1f(w^\star)\le f(0)\le1f(w⋆)≤f(0)≤1, which only gives ∥w⋆∥≤2/λ\|w^\star\|\le\sqrt{2/\lambda}∥w⋆∥≤2/λ​; the paper obtains the sharp radius through duality. In Lemma 1 itself, the telescoping only closes because the step size 1/(λt)1/(\lambda t)1/(λt) is matched exactly to the strong-convexity modulus; any off-by-one in the step indexing breaks the cancellation.

Formalization scope

Vectors are EuclideanSpace ℝ (Fin n), examples are indexed by Fin m, labels are real numbers with the hypothesis yi∈{+1,−1}y_i\in\{+1,-1\}yi​∈{+1,−1}, and λ>0\lambda>0λ>0, k≥1k\ge1k≥1 are hypotheses. A mini-batch is a kkk-tuple Fin k → Fin m: an injective tuple is a subset of size kkk as in Fig. 2, a non-injective one is the multi-set with repetitions the paper also allows. The theorem is stated for every sequence of mini-batches A : ℕ → Fin k → Fin m; no probability space appears, because the proof never uses that the batches are random. Iterations are 1-based: run … 1 = 0, the step producing wt+1w_{t+1}wt+1​ uses ηt=1/(λt)\eta_t = 1/(\lambda t)ηt​=1/(λt) and the batch AtA_tAt​ only, and index 0 is unused. The variant is selected by a Boolean flag, and ccc depends on it. w⋆w^\starw⋆ is any www with f(w⋆)≤f(w)f(w^\star)\le f(w)f(w⋆)≤f(w) for all www, minimising the full objective (1), not the instantaneous ones. Strong convexity is the paper's own definition, convexity of g−λ2∥⋅∥2g - \frac\lambda2\|\cdot\|^2g−2λ​∥⋅∥2. At w=0w = 0w=0 the projection formula is evaluated with Lean's a/0=0a/0 = 0a/0=0, which gives the intended value 000. The paper's display (12) has two printed slips (the sign of the vtv_tvt​ term and xtx_txt​ for xix_ixi​); the Lean states the correct update, and Eq. (13) is correct as printed.

A trivializing formalization is ruled out: the goal is stated for the concrete iteration run, not for an abstract sequence assumed to be sub-gradient steps or projections, and those facts are separate milestones.

A complete development needs the sub-differential sum rule for a convex function plus a quadratic, convexity of the hinge loss, the variational characterisation of the projection onto a ball, the harmonic-sum bound ∑t≤T1/t≤1+ln⁡T\sum_{t\le T}1/t\le1+\ln T∑t≤T​1/t≤1+lnT, and a proof of ∥w⋆∥≤1/λ\|w^\star\|\le1/\sqrt\lambda∥w⋆∥≤1/λ​ (through duality or a direct optimality argument). Lemma 1 and the sub-gradient lemmas are reusable for any strongly convex stochastic sub-gradient method. Proofs of any milestone, and alternative proofs of the bound on ∥w⋆∥\|w^\star\|∥w⋆∥ that avoid the dual problem, are welcome.

Selected references

  • S. Shalev-Shwartz, Y. Singer, N. Srebro, A. Cotter, Pegasos: primal estimated sub-gradient solver for SVM, Mathematical Programming Ser. B 127 (2011) 3–30. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10107-010-0420-4
  • E. Hazan, A. Agarwal, S. Kale, Logarithmic regret algorithms for online convex optimization, Machine Learning 69 (2007) 169–192. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10994-007-5016-8
  • S. Shalev-Shwartz, Y. Singer, N. Srebro, Pegasos: primal estimated sub-gradient solver for SVM, ICML 2007. https://doi.org/10.1145/1273496.1273598
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Convex Quadratic and Semidefinite Programming Relaxations in Scheduling IV: A ρ-Approximate Max-m-Cut Gives a (ρ + m(1 − ρ))-Approximate Schedule for Pm | | Σ wⱼCⱼResearch Paper

Motivation

Scheduling jobs on identical parallel machines to minimize the total weighted completion time ∑jwjCj\sum_j w_jC_j∑j​wj​Cj​, the problem P ∣ ∣∑wjCjP\,|\,|\sum w_jC_jP∣∣∑wj​Cj​, is one of the basic NP-hard problems of machine scheduling. On a single machine it is solved by Smith's ratio rule (Smith 1956); with several machines the only hard decision is which jobs share a machine. Section 6 of M. Skutella's paper Convex quadratic and semidefinite programming relaxations in scheduling (J. ACM 48 (2001)) observes that this decision is a graph partitioning problem: the cost of a schedule is, up to a constant, the weight of the edges that a partition of a weighted complete graph does not cut. Minimizing ∑jwjCj\sum_j w_jC_j∑j​wj​Cj​ on mmm machines is therefore equivalent to Max-mmm-Cut on that graph, and the paper shows that the equivalence preserves approximation in a quantified way.

The reduction explains, from the graph side, why semidefinite rounding works for two machines: with the 0.878-approximation for MaxCut of Goemans and Williamson (1995) it gives a 1.122-approximation for P2 ∣ ∣∑wjCjP2\,|\,|\sum w_jC_jP2∣∣∑wj​Cj​ (Corollary 6.2 of the paper). For general mmm, the uniform random partition is both a (1−1/m)(1-1/m)(1−1/m)-approximation for Max-mmm-Cut and randomized rounding of the optimum of the convex quadratic relaxation (CQP).

Setting

There are nnn jobs J={1,…,n}J=\{1,\dots,n\}J={1,…,n} and m≥1m\ge 1m≥1 identical machines. Job jjj has a processing time pj>0p_j>0pj​>0 and a weight wj≥0w_j\ge 0wj​≥0. Smith's order ≺\prec≺ puts j≺kj\prec kj≺k when wj/pj>wk/pkw_j/p_j>w_k/p_kwj​/pj​>wk​/pk​, ties broken by index. An assignment σ:J→{1,…,m}\sigma:J\to\{1,\dots,m\}σ:J→{1,…,m} is a partition J1,…,JmJ_1,\dots,J_mJ1​,…,Jm​ of the jobs; each machine processes its jobs in the order ≺\prec≺ without idle time, so the completion time of jjj is

Cj(σ)=pj+∑k≺j, σ(k)=σ(j)pk.C_j(\sigma)=p_j+\sum_{k\prec j,\ \sigma(k)=\sigma(j)}p_k .Cj​(σ)=pj​+k≺j, σ(k)=σ(j)∑​pk​.

The value of σ\sigmaσ is ∑jwjCj(σ)\sum_j w_jC_j(\sigma)∑j​wj​Cj​(σ), and Z∗Z^*Z∗ is the minimum value over all assignments.

The graph GJG_JGJ​ is the complete graph on JJJ in which the edge {j,k}\{j,k\}{j,k} with k≺jk\prec jk≺j has weight c(jk)=wjpkc(jk)=w_jp_kc(jk)=wj​pk​; c(EJ)c(E_J)c(EJ​) is its total weight. A partition induces the mmm-cut EcutE_{\mathrm{cut}}Ecut​, the edges whose endpoints lie in different parts, of weight c(Ecut)c(E_{\mathrm{cut}})c(Ecut​); Zcut∗Z^*_{\mathrm{cut}}Zcut∗​ is the maximum weight of an mmm-cut.

The convex quadratic relaxation (CQP) of §2.2, specialised to identical machines, has variables aij≥0a_{ij}\ge 0aij​≥0 with ∑iaij=1\sum_i a_{ij}=1∑i​aij​=1 and objective ZCQP(a)=∑jwjCjZ_{CQP}(a)=\sum_j w_jC_jZCQP​(a)=∑j​wj​Cj​ where

Cj=∑i=1maij(1+aij2 pj+∑k≺jaik pk)(11).C_j=\sum_{i=1}^m a_{ij}\Big(\frac{1+a_{ij}}{2}\,p_j+\sum_{k\prec j}a_{ik}\,p_k\Big)\qquad(11).Cj​=i=1∑m​aij​(21+aij​​pj​+k≺j∑​aik​pk​)(11).

Its optimum value is ZCQP∗Z^*_{CQP}ZCQP∗​.

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem 6.1

For ρ≤1\rho\le 1ρ≤1, any assignment σ\sigmaσ whose mmm-cut weighs at least ρ⋅Zcut∗\rho\cdot Z^*_{\mathrm{cut}}ρ⋅Zcut∗​ satisfies

∑jwjCj(σ)≤(ρ+m(1−ρ)) Z∗.\sum_j w_jC_j(\sigma)\le\big(\rho+m(1-\rho)\big)\,Z^* .j∑​wj​Cj​(σ)≤(ρ+m(1−ρ))Z∗.

That is, a ρ\rhoρ-approximation algorithm for Max-mmm-Cut translates into a (ρ+m(1−ρ))(\rho+m(1-\rho))(ρ+m(1−ρ))-approximation algorithm for Pm ∣ ∣∑wjCjPm\,|\,|\sum w_jC_jPm∣∣∑wj​Cj​. The constant ρ\rhoρ is a parameter, so the goal does not depend on the best known cut algorithm.

Milestones

  1. (36): for every partition, c(EJ)=∑jwjCj−∑jwjpj+c(Ecut)c(E_J)=\sum_j w_jC_j-\sum_j w_jp_j+c(E_{\mathrm{cut}})c(EJ​)=∑j​wj​Cj​−∑j​wj​pj​+c(Ecut​).
  2. Lemma 2.5: aˉij=1/m\bar a_{ij}=1/maˉij​=1/m is an optimum of (CQP), unique when the ratios wj/pjw_j/p_jwj​/pj​ are pairwise different and positive.
  3. (37): Z∗≥ZCQP∗=1mc(EJ)+(12+12m)∑jwjpjZ^*\ge Z^*_{CQP}=\frac1m c(E_J)+\big(\frac12+\frac1{2m}\big)\sum_j w_jp_jZ∗≥ZCQP∗​=m1​c(EJ​)+(21​+2m1​)∑j​wj​pj​.
  4. (38): Zcut∗≤m−1mc(EJ)+(12−12m)∑jwjpjZ^*_{\mathrm{cut}}\le\frac{m-1}{m}c(E_J)+\big(\frac12-\frac1{2m}\big)\sum_j w_jp_jZcut∗​≤mm−1​c(EJ​)+(21​−2m1​)∑j​wj​pj​.
  5. Theorem 2.6 b) (supplementary): assigning each job independently and uniformly at random has expected value at most (32−12m)Z∗\big(\frac32-\frac1{2m}\big)Z^*(23​−2m1​)Z∗.

Significance

The result. Theorem 6.1 makes Max-mmm-Cut algorithms usable for scheduling with an explicit loss: a cut algorithm with ratio ρ\rhoρ close to 111 yields a schedule within 1+m(1−ρ)1+m(1-\rho)1+m(1−ρ) of optimal. For m=2m=2m=2 and the Goemans–Williamson ratio 0.8780.8780.878 the guarantee is 1.1221.1221.122, better than the 5/45/45/4 of Theorem 2.6 b) and the 1.27521.27521.2752 of the paper's semidefinite rounding in §5. In the other direction, (38) bounds the maximum cut of GJG_JGJ​ by the scheduling lower bound ZCQP∗Z^*_{CQP}ZCQP∗​, which is how a relaxation for scheduling becomes a bound for a cut problem. The problem itself is better understood today: P ∣ ∣∑wjCjP\,|\,|\sum w_jC_jP∣∣∑wj​Cj​ has a polynomial-time approximation scheme (Skutella and Woeginger 2000), and a fully polynomial one for fixed mmm (Sahni 1976). The reduction remains of interest as a structural identity between the two problems and as the source of the closed-form relaxation bound (37).

Formalizing it. All statements are proved in the paper; none is known to have a machine-checked proof. The mission produces a formal model of identical-machine scheduling under Smith's rule, of the weighted graph GJG_JGJ​ and its mmm-cuts, and of (CQP) for identical machines, together with the closed-form optimum of (CQP) (Lemma 2.5), which is the basis of the 32−12m\frac32-\frac1{2m}23​−2m1​ guarantee of Theorem 2.6 b).

Difficulty

The bookkeeping identity (36) and the final chain of inequalities are finite-sum manipulations. The substance is Lemma 2.5: that the uniform vector aˉ\bar aaˉ minimizes the quadratic objective (11) over the product of simplices. The objective is not separable, since the term ∑k≺jaikpk\sum_{k\prec j}a_{ik}p_k∑k≺j​aik​pk​ couples jobs through Smith's order, and its convexity on the feasible region (the positive semidefiniteness established in Lemma 2.4 of the paper) is the fact on which optimality and, with distinct positive ratios, uniqueness rest. The relaxation half of (37), that ZCQP∗Z^*_{CQP}ZCQP∗​ is at most the value of every schedule, needs the observation that ZCQPZ_{CQP}ZCQP​ evaluated at the 0/1 vector of an assignment equals the value of that assignment.

Formalization scope

Jobs are Fin n and machines Fin m, 0-based; Smith's order is cross-multiplied (wjpk>wkpjw_jp_k>w_kp_jwj​pk​>wk​pj​, or equality and j<kj<kj<k), equal to the ratio definition because p>0p>0p>0. Assignments are functions Fin n → Fin m, and every machine is sequenced by ≺\prec≺; by Smith's rule (p. 7 of the paper, a classical result it cites) this loses no optimality, so Z∗Z^*Z∗ is the minimum over assignments and is never a primitive: "within factor α\alphaα of Z∗Z^*Z∗" is stated against the value of every assignment. Likewise "weight at least ρ⋅Zcut∗\rho\cdot Z^*_{\mathrm{cut}}ρ⋅Zcut∗​" is stated as ρ c(Ecut(τ))≤c(Ecut(σ))\rho\,c(E_{\mathrm{cut}}(\tau))\le c(E_{\mathrm{cut}}(\sigma))ρc(Ecut​(τ))≤c(Ecut​(σ)) for every assignment τ\tauτ, so no supremum of an empty or unbounded set can enter. The edge weight is attached to the ordered pair (j,k)(j,k)(j,k) with k≺jk\prec jk≺j and is zero on the other orientation, so each edge of GJG_JGJ​ is counted once. Standing hypotheses on every theorem: pj>0p_j>0pj​>0, wj≥0w_j\ge 0wj​≥0 (p. 2 of the paper) and m>0m>0m>0 (needed for 1/m1/m1/m). Theorem 6.1 keeps the page's ρ≤1\rho\le 1ρ≤1.

Not formalized: polynomial running time, the phrase "approximation algorithm" beyond the value bound it asserts, and the semidefinite results of §5 and Corollary 6.2. A trivializing reading, such as stating the cut condition against a junk-valued supremum or replacing Z∗Z^*Z∗ by a free variable, is excluded by the encodings above.

The development needs only finite sums over Fin types and real arithmetic; the model of identical-machine scheduling under Smith's rule and the closed form of (CQP) are reusable for other results on P ∣ ∣∑wjCjP\,|\,|\sum w_jC_jP∣∣∑wj​Cj​. Proofs of the milestones, alternative proofs of Lemma 2.5 (the KKT argument the paper mentions, or Goemans' symmetrization argument it gives), and a proof of Theorem 2.6 b) are all welcome.

Selected references

  • M. Skutella, Convex quadratic and semidefinite programming relaxations in scheduling, Journal of the ACM 48(2), 2001. https://doi.org/10.1145/375827.375840
  • W. E. Smith, Various optimizers for single-stage production, Naval Research Logistics Quarterly 3, 1956. https://doi.org/10.1002/nav.3800030106
  • M. X. Goemans and D. P. Williamson, Improved approximation algorithms for maximum cut and satisfiability problems using semidefinite programming, Journal of the ACM 42(6), 1995. https://doi.org/10.1145/227683.227684
  • A. Frieze and M. Jerrum, Improved approximation algorithms for MAX k-CUT and MAX BISECTION, Algorithmica 18, 1997. https://doi.org/10.1007/BF02523689
  • M. Skutella and G. J. Woeginger, A PTAS for minimizing the total weighted completion time on identical parallel machines, Mathematics of Operations Research 25(1), 2000. https://doi.org/10.1287/moor.25.1.63.15212
  • S. Sahni, Algorithms for scheduling independent tasks, Journal of the ACM 23(1), 1976. https://doi.org/10.1145/321921.321934
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Consumer Returns Policies and Supply Chain Performance 2: Under Consumer Returns, the Differentiated Buy-Back with b − l = s Coordinates the Supply Chain and Gives the Retailer a Share φResearch Paper

Motivation

Retailers in many categories accept returns of products that are not defective: a consumer buys, learns whether the product suits them, and may send it back for a refund. Returns of this kind are a large cost item in retailing, and the refund a retailer offers is an operational decision on a par with its price and its stocking quantity. Xuanming Su, Consumer Returns Policies and Supply Chain Performance (SSRN 1020451, version of August 2008; published in Manufacturing & Service Operations Management 11(4), 2009, doi:10.1287/msom.1080.0240), studies this decision first for a single seller and then in a supply chain.

This mission formalizes the supply chain part, Section 5 of the paper. A classical result of supply chain contracting is that a manufacturer can align a retailer's ordering decision with the interest of the whole chain by a buy-back contract, which pays the retailer a credit for unsold units (Cachon, Supply Chain Coordination with Contracts, 2003). Su shows that once the retailer also sets a consumer returns policy, the standard buy-back no longer coordinates, and identifies three contracts that do. The companion mission (mission 1 of this series) formalizes the single-seller results of Sections 3–4, in particular Proposition 2, which gives the supply chain optimum used here.

Setting

A consumer who buys at price ppp learns a valuation VVV, drawn independently from a law ν\nuν with finite mean μ=EV\mu = EVμ=EV, and then either keeps the product or returns it for the refund rrr. Keeping is optimal when V≥rV \ge rV≥r. Write

Gˉ(r)=P(V≥r),G(r)=P(V<r),\bar G(r) = \mathbb P(V \ge r), \qquad G(r) = \mathbb P(V < r),Gˉ(r)=P(V≥r),G(r)=P(V<r),

for the probabilities of keeping and returning. A consumer's expected utility from buying is Emax⁡(V,r)E\max(V,r)Emax(V,r), which is therefore the reservation price: all consumers buy if p≤Emax⁡(V,r)p \le E\max(V,r)p≤Emax(V,r) and none buys otherwise (the demand rule (6)). Market demand X≥0X \ge 0X≥0 has distribution function FFF and Fˉ=1−F\bar F = 1 - FFˉ=1−F; a stock q≥0q \ge 0q≥0 sells Emin⁡(X,q)E\min(X,q)Emin(X,q) in expectation when consumers buy, and nothing when they do not. Write S(p,q,r)S(p,q,r)S(p,q,r) for these expected sales. The production cost is ccc, leftover and returned units are salvaged at sss, and 0≤s<c<μ0 \le s < c < \mu0≤s<c<μ.

The total supply chain profit is

ΠT(p,q,r)=[(p−s)Gˉ(r)+(p−r)G(r)] S(p,q,r)−(c−s)q.(15)\Pi_T(p,q,r) = [(p-s)\bar G(r) + (p-r)G(r)]\,S(p,q,r) - (c-s)q. \tag{15}ΠT​(p,q,r)=[(p−s)Gˉ(r)+(p−r)G(r)]S(p,q,r)−(c−s)q.(15)

A manufacturer sells to a retailer, who sets ppp, qqq and (except in Proposition 4) rrr. The contracts are:

  • standard buy-back (w,b)(w,b)(w,b): wholesale price www, credit bbb per leftover unit; the retailer earns (14);
  • differentiated buy-back (w,b,l)(w,b,l)(w,b,l): credit bbb per unsold unit and b−lb-lb−l per returned unit; the retailer earns
ΠR(p,q,r)=[(p−b)Gˉ(r)+(p−r−l)G(r)] S(p,q,r)−(w−b)q;(31)\Pi_R(p,q,r) = [(p-b)\bar G(r) + (p-r-l)G(r)]\,S(p,q,r) - (w-b)q; \tag{31}ΠR​(p,q,r)=[(p−b)Gˉ(r)+(p−r−l)G(r)]S(p,q,r)−(w−b)q;(31)
  • direct-to-manufacturer returns with a buy-back (w,b)(w,b)(w,b): consumers return to the manufacturer, who sets rrr; the profits are (19) and (21);
  • sales rebate (w,u)(w,u)(w,u): a rebate uuu per unit sold, returned or not; the retailer earns (25).

The supply chain optimum, from Proposition 2 of the paper, is

pSC=Emax⁡(V,s),Fˉ(qSC)=c−sEmax⁡(V,s)−s,rSC=s.p^{SC} = E\max(V,s), \qquad \bar F(q^{SC}) = \frac{c-s}{E\max(V,s)-s}, \qquad r^{SC} = s.pSC=Emax(V,s),Fˉ(qSC)=Emax(V,s)−sc−s​,rSC=s.

Formalization targets

Goal: Proposition 3 (p. 16)

For ϕ∈[0,1]\phi \in [0,1]ϕ∈[0,1] and ϕˉ=1−ϕ\bar\phi = 1-\phiϕˉ​=1−ϕ, the differentiated buy-back

w=ϕc+ϕˉ Emax⁡(V,s),b=ϕs+ϕˉ Emax⁡(V,s),b−l=sw = \phi c + \bar\phi\,E\max(V,s), \qquad b = \phi s + \bar\phi\,E\max(V,s), \qquad b - l = sw=ϕc+ϕˉ​Emax(V,s),b=ϕs+ϕˉ​Emax(V,s),b−l=s

makes the supply chain optimum a retailer optimum and gives the retailer the share ϕ\phiϕ:

ΠR(p,q,r)≤ΠR(pSC,qSC,rSC)  ∀p,r, q≥0,ΠR(pSC,qSC,rSC)=ϕ ΠT(pSC,qSC,rSC),\Pi_R(p,q,r) \le \Pi_R(p^{SC},q^{SC},r^{SC}) \ \ \forall p, r,\ q \ge 0, \qquad \Pi_R(p^{SC},q^{SC},r^{SC}) = \phi\,\Pi_T(p^{SC},q^{SC},r^{SC}),ΠR​(p,q,r)≤ΠR​(pSC,qSC,rSC)  ∀p,r, q≥0,ΠR​(pSC,qSC,rSC)=ϕΠT​(pSC,qSC,rSC),

and the contract is implementable: w≥bw \ge bw≥b, l≥0l \ge 0l≥0, b−l≥sb - l \ge sb−l≥s.

Milestones

  1. Under a standard buy-back the retailer's optimal refund is r∗=br^* = br∗=b (Sec. 5.1, p. 15).
  2. Under (31) the retailer's optimum is p∗=Emax⁡(V,b−l)p^* = E\max(V,b-l)p∗=Emax(V,b−l), Fˉ(q∗)=(w−b)/(Emax⁡(V,b−l)−b)\bar F(q^*) = (w-b)/(E\max(V,b-l)-b)Fˉ(q∗)=(w−b)/(Emax(V,b−l)−b), r∗=b−lr^* = b-lr∗=b−l (proof of Proposition 3, p. 27).
  3. Under (16)–(18), w−b=ϕ(c−s)w - b = \phi(c-s)w−b=ϕ(c−s) and Emax⁡(V,b−l)−b=ϕ[Emax⁡(V,s)−s]E\max(V,b-l) - b = \phi[E\max(V,s)-s]Emax(V,b−l)−b=ϕ[Emax(V,s)−s] ((32)–(33)).
  4. At (Emax⁡(V,s),q,s)(E\max(V,s), q, s)(Emax(V,s),q,s) the retailer earns ϕ ΠT\phi\,\Pi_TϕΠT​ ((34)–(39)).
  5. Retailer plus manufacturer profit under direct returns is ΠT\Pi_TΠT​ (Sec. 5.3, p. 17).
  6. Proposition 4: with direct-to-manufacturer returns and the buy-back (22)–(23), the chain optimum is a Nash equilibrium between retailer and manufacturer, with retailer share ϕ\phiϕ.
  7. Proposition 5: the sales rebate u=Emax⁡(V,s)−sc−s(w−c)u = \frac{E\max(V,s)-s}{c-s}(w-c)u=c−sEmax(V,s)−s​(w−c) makes the chain optimum a retailer optimum.
  8. With a rebate paid on kept units only, the retailer's optimal refund is r∗=s−u<sr^* = s - u < sr∗=s−u<s (Sec. 5.4, p. 19).

Significance

The results separate what a contract must observe in order to coordinate a chain with consumer returns: either the manufacturer distinguishes returned from unsold units (Propositions 3 and 4), or it observes sales (Proposition 5). The negative results (milestones 1 and 8) show why the standard buy-back and a kept-only rebate fail: each distorts the retailer's refund away from the salvage value. These statements are proved in the paper by short arguments; none of them has, to the knowledge of this mission, a machine-checked proof. Formalizing them yields a reusable model of a newsvendor with an endogenous price and refund under valuation uncertainty, and a checked account of the coordination conditions, including the boundary cases (ϕ=0\phi = 0ϕ=0, atoms in the valuation law) that the paper does not discuss.

Difficulty

Each result combines two optimizations, and neither is routine at the generality of the formal statements. The first is over price and refund jointly: the demand rule makes every profit discontinuous in ppp and rrr, and the refund problem must be solved for an arbitrary valuation law, where atoms make the tie rule at V=rV = rV=r matter. The second is a newsvendor problem in qqq for an arbitrary demand law: the paper writes the optimal stock as Fˉ−1\bar F^{-1}Fˉ−1 of a fractile, which presumes a continuous, strictly increasing FFF, whereas here FFF may jump or be flat and the optimal stock is any solution of the fractile equation. The obvious reduction, "the retailer's profit is ϕ ΠT\phi\,\Pi_TϕΠT​, so its maximizer is the chain's", is not available: that identity holds only at the chain's price and refund, and away from them the retailer's profit is not proportional to ΠT\Pi_TΠT​. In Proposition 4 the manufacturer's deviation to a refund below sss acts on the consumers' purchase decision, and the paper's remark that no one then buys is false when V≥sV \ge sV≥s almost surely, so that case needs its own argument.

Formalization scope

Prices, refunds, costs, quantities and profits are real numbers. The valuation law ν\nuν is a probability measure on R\mathbb RR with integrable identity (a strict generalization of the paper's density ggg); Gˉ(r)=ν([r,∞))\bar G(r) = \nu([r,\infty))Gˉ(r)=ν([r,∞)) and G(r)=ν((−∞,r))G(r) = \nu((-\infty,r))G(r)=ν((−∞,r)), matching the rule "keep iff V≥rV \ge rV≥r". The demand law DDD is a probability measure on R\mathbb RR with D((−∞,0))=0D((-\infty,0)) = 0D((−∞,0))=0, and Emin⁡(X,q)E\min(X,q)Emin(X,q) is SupplyChainTheory.expSales from the published module SupplyChainTheory_contracts. Every profit includes the demand rule (6): without it, (15) and (31) are unbounded in ppp. Optimization is over all real ppp and rrr and all q≥0q \ge 0q≥0, nonnegative stocks and demand being the paper's setting; with negative stocks the profits are unbounded. Optimality of the paper's closed-form triple is claimed, never uniqueness, and "induces the retailer to maximize supply chain profit" is stated as "the chain-optimal triple is a retailer optimum"; that the triple maximizes ΠT\Pi_TΠT​ is Proposition 2, formalized in mission 1, and not restated. The optimal stock is any solution of the fractile equation, and no continuity of DDD is assumed. The Nash equilibrium of Proposition 4 is written as the two best-response inequalities. Proposition 5 adds the hypothesis w≥sw \ge sw≥s, implied by the paper's range w≥cw \ge cw≥c (p. 19) and necessary: for w<sw < sw<s the retailer's profit is unbounded. The kept-only rebate of Sec. 5.4 has no printed formula; its profit is (24) with the rebate removed from the returned-units term. Printed page numbers equal PDF page numbers throughout the source. A formalization in which the retailer's profit is defined as ϕ ΠT\phi\,\Pi_TϕΠT​, or in which the optimization is restricted to r=sr = sr=s, would make the goal trivial and is excluded: (31) is stated with free www, bbb, lll, and the contract enters only through hypotheses.

The model module (SuReturns.Coordination.Model) restates the single-seller objects of mission 1 in this sub-namespace. Contributions welcome: proofs of the two optimization steps as reusable lemmas (the refund step for a general valuation law and the newsvendor step for an arbitrary demand law), which serve every milestone here.

Selected references

  • X. Su, Consumer Returns Policies and Supply Chain Performance, SSRN working paper 1020451, version of August 2008. https://ssrn.com/abstract=1020451 ; published in Manufacturing & Service Operations Management 11(4), 2009. https://doi.org/10.1287/msom.1080.0240
  • G. P. Cachon, Supply Chain Coordination with Contracts, in Handbooks in Operations Research and Management Science, vol. 11, 2003. https://doi.org/10.1016/S0927-0507(03)11006-7
  • B. A. Pasternack, Optimal Pricing and Return Policies for Perishable Commodities (the buy-back contract), Marketing Science 4(2), 1985. https://doi.org/10.1287/mksc.4.2.166
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Conditional Value-at-Risk for General Loss Distributions: β-CVaR Is min_α F_β(x, α), Attained on the Interval from β-VaR to Upper β-VaRResearch Paper

Motivation

Financial institutions, insurers and engineers who manage the risk of a decision describe it by a statistic of the loss distribution that the decision induces. The value-at-risk (VaR) at confidence level β\betaβ, the β\betaβ-quantile of the loss, became an industry and regulatory standard in the 1990s, but it is not subadditive and behaves erratically as a function of the decision when the loss distribution has atoms, as it always does in scenario-based models. The conditional value-at-risk (CVaR), roughly the average of the losses beyond VaR, was proposed as a replacement that is coherent in the sense of Artzner, Delbaen, Eber and Heath and that can be optimized.

In an earlier paper (Rockafellar and Uryasev, 2000) the same authors showed, for loss distributions with continuous distribution functions, that CVaR is the minimum value of an explicit convex function of one real variable, and that VaR is a minimizer. That formula turned CVaR minimization over a portfolio into a linear program and is the reason CVaR is used in practice. The paper formalized here (Rockafellar and Uryasev, Research Report #2001-5, 2001, published in J. Banking & Finance 2002) defines CVaR for general loss distributions, discrete ones included, and proves that the minimization formula survives.

Timeline.

  • 1997–1999: Artzner, Delbaen, Eber and Heath introduce coherent risk measures; VaR fails subadditivity.
  • 2000: Rockafellar and Uryasev prove the minimization formula for continuous loss distributions.
  • 2001–2002: the present paper, Theorem 10: the formula holds for every integrable loss once CVaR is defined as the mean of the β\betaβ-tail distribution. Acerbi and Tasche (2002) give an equivalent "expected shortfall" formulation.

Setting

A decision xxx lies in a set X⊆RnX\subseteq\mathbb R^nX⊆Rn; an uncertain outcome y∈Rmy\in\mathbb R^my∈Rm has a Borel probability law PPP that does not depend on xxx. The loss is z=f(x,y)z=f(x,y)z=f(x,y), where fff is continuous in xxx on XXX, measurable in yyy, and E{∣f(x,y)∣}<∞E\{|f(x,y)|\}<\inftyE{∣f(x,y)∣}<∞ for each x∈Xx\in Xx∈X. A confidence level β∈(0,1)\beta\in(0,1)β∈(0,1) is fixed.

  • The distribution function of the loss is Ψ(x,α)=P{y∣f(x,y)≤α}\Psi(x,\alpha)=P\{y\mid f(x,y)\le\alpha\}Ψ(x,α)=P{y∣f(x,y)≤α}, with left limit Ψ(x,α−)=P{y∣f(x,y)<α}\Psi(x,\alpha^-)=P\{y\mid f(x,y)<\alpha\}Ψ(x,α−)=P{y∣f(x,y)<α}.
  • The β\betaβ-VaR is αβ(x)=min⁡{α∣Ψ(x,α)≥β}\alpha_\beta(x)=\min\{\alpha\mid\Psi(x,\alpha)\ge\beta\}αβ​(x)=min{α∣Ψ(x,α)≥β} and the upper β\betaβ-VaR is αβ+(x)=inf⁡{α∣Ψ(x,α)>β}\alpha^+_\beta(x)=\inf\{\alpha\mid\Psi(x,\alpha)>\beta\}αβ+​(x)=inf{α∣Ψ(x,α)>β}.
  • The β\betaβ-tail distribution is the probability measure on R\mathbb RR with distribution function
Ψβ(x,α)={0,α<αβ(x),Ψ(x,α)−β1−β,α≥αβ(x).\Psi_\beta(x,\alpha)=\begin{cases}0,&\alpha<\alpha_\beta(x),\\ \dfrac{\Psi(x,\alpha)-\beta}{1-\beta},&\alpha\ge\alpha_\beta(x).\end{cases}Ψβ​(x,α)=⎩⎨⎧​0,1−βΨ(x,α)−β​,​α<αβ​(x),α≥αβ​(x).​
  • The β\betaβ-CVaR ϕβ(x)\phi_\beta(x)ϕβ​(x) is the mean of the β\betaβ-tail distribution.
  • The upper β\betaβ-CVaR is ϕβ+(x)=E{f(x,y)∣f(x,y)>αβ(x)}\phi^+_\beta(x)=E\{f(x,y)\mid f(x,y)>\alpha_\beta(x)\}ϕβ+​(x)=E{f(x,y)∣f(x,y)>αβ​(x)}, defined when Ψ(x,αβ(x))<1\Psi(x,\alpha_\beta(x))<1Ψ(x,αβ​(x))<1, and λβ(x)=[Ψ(x,αβ(x))−β]/[1−β]\lambda_\beta(x)=[\Psi(x,\alpha_\beta(x))-\beta]/[1-\beta]λβ​(x)=[Ψ(x,αβ​(x))−β]/[1−β].
  • Finally
Fβ(x,α)=α+11−β E{[f(x,y)−α]+},[t]+=max⁡{0,t}.F_\beta(x,\alpha)=\alpha+\frac{1}{1-\beta}\,E\big\{[f(x,y)-\alpha]^+\big\},\qquad[t]^+=\max\{0,t\}.Fβ​(x,α)=α+1−β1​E{[f(x,y)−α]+},[t]+=max{0,t}.

When Ψ(x,⋅)\Psi(x,\cdot)Ψ(x,⋅) jumps across β\betaβ at αβ(x)\alpha_\beta(x)αβ​(x), the tail distribution keeps only the part λβ(x)\lambda_\beta(x)λβ​(x) of that atom needed to give the tail total mass one: the atom is split.

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem 10 (fundamental minimization formula)

For each x∈Xx\in Xx∈X: Fβ(x,⋅)F_\beta(x,\cdot)Fβ​(x,⋅) is finite and convex (hence continuous), and

ϕβ(x)=min⁡α∈RFβ(x,α),argmin⁡αFβ(x,α)=[αβ(x),αβ+(x)],\phi_\beta(x)=\min_{\alpha\in\mathbb R}F_\beta(x,\alpha),\qquad \operatorname{argmin}_\alpha F_\beta(x,\alpha)=[\alpha_\beta(x),\alpha^+_\beta(x)],ϕβ​(x)=α∈Rmin​Fβ​(x,α),argminα​Fβ​(x,α)=[αβ​(x),αβ+​(x)],

the minimum being attained and the argmin a nonempty closed bounded interval; in particular ϕβ(x)=Fβ(x,αβ(x))\phi_\beta(x)=F_\beta(x,\alpha_\beta(x))ϕβ​(x)=Fβ​(x,αβ​(x)).

Milestones, in attack order

  1. The note after Definition 3: Ψβ(x,⋅)\Psi_\beta(x,\cdot)Ψβ​(x,⋅) is a distribution function, so the β\betaβ-tail distribution exists; its mean is finite.
  2. Proposition 6: ϕβ(x)=λβ(x)αβ(x)+[1−λβ(x)]ϕβ+(x)\phi_\beta(x)=\lambda_\beta(x)\alpha_\beta(x)+[1-\lambda_\beta(x)]\phi^+_\beta(x)ϕβ​(x)=λβ​(x)αβ​(x)+[1−λβ​(x)]ϕβ+​(x) when Ψ(x,αβ(x))<1\Psi(x,\alpha_\beta(x))<1Ψ(x,αβ​(x))<1, and ϕβ(x)=αβ(x)\phi_\beta(x)=\alpha_\beta(x)ϕβ​(x)=αβ​(x) otherwise.
  3. Fβ(x,⋅)F_\beta(x,\cdot)Fβ​(x,⋅) is finite and convex.
  4. The one-sided derivatives (31): ∂+Fβ/∂α=[Ψ(x,α)−β]/(1−β)\partial^+F_\beta/\partial\alpha=[\Psi(x,\alpha)-\beta]/(1-\beta)∂+Fβ​/∂α=[Ψ(x,α)−β]/(1−β) and ∂−Fβ/∂α=[Ψ(x,α−)−β]/(1−β)\partial^-F_\beta/\partial\alpha=[\Psi(x,\alpha^-)-\beta]/(1-\beta)∂−Fβ​/∂α=[Ψ(x,α−)−β]/(1−β).
  5. Bounded level sets, and argmin⁡αFβ(x,α)={α∣Ψ(x,α−)≤β≤Ψ(x,α)}\operatorname{argmin}_\alpha F_\beta(x,\alpha)=\{\alpha\mid\Psi(x,\alpha^-)\le\beta\le\Psi(x,\alpha)\}argminα​Fβ​(x,α)={α∣Ψ(x,α−)≤β≤Ψ(x,α)}, a nonempty closed bounded interval.
  6. The least element of that set is αβ(x)\alpha_\beta(x)αβ​(x) and the greatest is αβ+(x)\alpha^+_\beta(x)αβ+​(x).

A companion item states Corollary 7: ϕβ(x)≥αβ(x)\phi_\beta(x)\ge\alpha_\beta(x)ϕβ​(x)≥αβ​(x), strictly when Ψ(x,αβ(x))<1\Psi(x,\alpha_\beta(x))<1Ψ(x,αβ​(x))<1.

Significance

Theorem 10 is what makes CVaR computable and optimizable. Since ϕβ(x)=min⁡αFβ(x,α)\phi_\beta(x)=\min_\alpha F_\beta(x,\alpha)ϕβ​(x)=minα​Fβ​(x,α), minimizing CVaR over x∈Xx\in Xx∈X is the joint minimization of Fβ(x,α)F_\beta(x,\alpha)Fβ​(x,α) over (x,α)(x,\alpha)(x,α); with a finite scenario set and a loss linear in xxx, that is a linear program, and VaR comes out as a by-product. The convexity and sublinearity of CVaR in xxx (Corollary 11), its coherence (Corollary 12) and the equivalence of CVaR-constrained and CVaR-penalized problems (Theorem 14) are all derived from it. The formula is the basis of CVaR portfolio optimization software and of a large literature on risk-averse stochastic programming.

The result has been proved since 2001 and is not open. To our knowledge it has no machine-checked proof with CVaR defined independently: the CVaR items already on Prove2Me take min⁡αFβ\min_\alpha F_\betaminα​Fβ​ as the definition of CVaR, which makes (28) true by definition. This mission produces a formal proof that the tail-mean definition, with its atom splitting, agrees with the minimization formula for every integrable loss, together with reusable facts about one-sided derivatives of α↦E[f−α]+\alpha\mapsto E[f-\alpha]^+α↦E[f−α]+ and the argmin of the Rockafellar–Uryasev function.

Difficulty

The minimization side is elementary convex analysis in one variable once the one-sided derivatives are known; computing them requires passing a limit under the expectation, with the jumps of Ψ(x,⋅)\Psi(x,\cdot)Ψ(x,⋅) handled separately for right and left limits. The step that does not follow from that analysis is the identification of the minimum value with ϕβ(x)\phi_\beta(x)ϕβ​(x). When the loss has an atom at αβ(x)\alpha_\beta(x)αβ​(x) that straddles level β\betaβ, neither E{f∣f≥αβ(x)}E\{f\mid f\ge\alpha_\beta(x)\}E{f∣f≥αβ​(x)} nor E{f∣f>αβ(x)}E\{f\mid f>\alpha_\beta(x)\}E{f∣f>αβ​(x)} equals the minimum value; only the mean of the distribution with the split atom does. The obvious approach, proving the formula for continuous laws and passing to a limit, does not deliver the identity at the level of the defined objects; the identity has to be proved directly from the definition of the tail distribution, through Proposition 6.

Formalization scope

  • The outcome space is Rm\mathbb R^mRm (Fin m → ℝ) with its Borel σ-algebra and a probability measure P. The paper's support set Y⊆RmY\subseteq\mathbb R^mY⊆Rm is not modelled: a law on YYY is a law on Rm\mathbb R^mRm concentrated on YYY, and no statement uses YYY.
  • Probabilities are real numbers (P.real). Ψ(x,α−)\Psi(x,\alpha^-)Ψ(x,α−) is P{f(x,⋅)<α}P\{f(x,\cdot)<\alpha\}P{f(x,⋅)<α}, as the paper defines it in (2).
  • αβ(x)\alpha_\beta(x)αβ​(x) is the published MultistageStochastic.valueAtRisk P (f x) β (a real infimum, referenced, not redefined); αβ+(x)\alpha^+_\beta(x)αβ+​(x) is a real infimum. Both are meaningful because PPP is a probability measure and 0<β<10<\beta<10<β<1, and those hypotheses are carried wherever they appear.
  • The β\betaβ-tail distribution is a probability measure on R\mathbb RR whose distribution function is Ψβ(x,⋅)\Psi_\beta(x,\cdot)Ψβ​(x,⋅), chosen when one exists (it is then unique); ϕβ(x)\phi_\beta(x)ϕβ​(x) is its mean. Milestone 1 establishes existence and integrability.
  • "Minimum" is attainment: ϕβ(x)\phi_\beta(x)ϕβ​(x) is the least element of the range of Fβ(x,⋅)F_\beta(x,\cdot)Fβ​(x,⋅). The argmin is the set of global minimizers. "Finite" is integrability of [f(x,⋅)−α]+[f(x,\cdot)-\alpha]^+[f(x,⋅)−α]+ for each α\alphaα.
  • One-sided derivatives are derivatives within [α,∞)[\alpha,\infty)[α,∞) and (−∞,α](-\infty,\alpha](−∞,α]. The display (31) as printed on p. 14 has αβ(x)\alpha_\beta(x)αβ​(x) in place of α\alphaα; the formalization follows the derivation on p. 15.
  • The goal and Corollary 7 carry all standing assumptions of §2; milestones assume only what they use (integrability, measurability of the single loss f(x,⋅)f(x,\cdot)f(x,⋅)), which makes them stronger.

Defining CVaR as min⁡αFβ(x,α)\min_\alpha F_\beta(x,\alpha)minα​Fβ​(x,α), or as the quantile average, or by formula (21), would make the goal or a milestone true by definition; CVaR is defined here as the mean of the β\betaβ-tail distribution, and any such redefinition is ruled out.

A complete development needs: right-continuity and limits of distribution functions, dominated convergence for the difference quotients of α↦E[f−α]+\alpha\mapsto E[f-\alpha]^+α↦E[f−α]+, the uniqueness of a probability measure on R\mathbb RR with given distribution function, and one-variable convex analysis linking one-sided derivatives to minimizers. The derivative and argmin lemmas are reusable for any Rockafellar–Uryasev-type objective. Proofs of any milestone, and Lean lemmas that bridge valueAtRisk (stated with ENNReal) and P.real, are welcome.

Selected references

  • R. T. Rockafellar and S. Uryasev, Conditional value-at-risk for general loss distributions, Research Report #2001-5, ISE Dept., University of Florida, April 2001; published in Journal of Banking & Finance 26 (2002) 1443–1471. https://doi.org/10.1016/S0378-4266(02)00271-6
  • R. T. Rockafellar and S. Uryasev, Optimization of conditional value-at-risk, Journal of Risk 2 (2000) 21–41. https://doi.org/10.21314/JOR.2000.038
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Algorithmic Game TheoryMachine LearningProbability·Captain: mikedeng1

A Simple Adaptive Procedure Leading to Correlated Equilibrium 2: Playing an Invariant Vector of the Regret Matrix (3.1) Drives Every Regret R_t(j,k) to Zero Almost SurelyResearch Paper

Motivation

A correlated equilibrium (Aumann, 1974) is a probability distribution over the strategy profiles of a game such that no player gains by deviating from the strategy it recommends. It is the natural solution concept for repeated play by adaptive agents, because the set of correlated equilibria is a polytope described by linear inequalities and, as Hart and Mas-Colell showed, it can be reached by simple learning rules that use only a player's own past payoffs and regrets.

Hart and Mas-Colell's paper (Econometrica 68 (2000) 1127–1150) has two procedures. Its Main Theorem concerns regret matching (2.2), in which a player switches away from its last strategy with probabilities proportional to its regrets; it is the subject of a companion mission. Section 3 studies a variant in which, at every period, the player plays an invariant vector of the regret matrix, and proves with Blackwell's approachability theorem (Blackwell, 1956) that the player's regrets vanish almost surely, whatever the other players do. This result, Theorem A, is the target of this mission. It is the conditional ("internal") counterpart of Hannan's no-regret property (Hannan, 1957) and the template for later internal-regret algorithms in online learning (Cesa-Bianchi and Lugosi, 2006).

Timeline. Hannan (1957) gave a procedure with vanishing unconditional regret; Blackwell (1956) proved the approachability theorem and derived a universally consistent procedure from it; Foster and Vohra (1997) obtained convergence to correlated equilibria through calibrated forecasts; Fudenberg and Levine (1995, 1999) introduced universal consistency and calibrated smooth fictitious play; Hart and Mas-Colell (2000) gave Theorem A and regret matching.

Setting

A finite game Γ=(N,(Si)i∈N,(ui)i∈N)\Gamma=(N,(S^i)_{i\in N},(u^i)_{i\in N})Γ=(N,(Si)i∈N​,(ui)i∈N​) has a finite set NNN of players, a finite nonempty strategy set SiS^iSi for each player, and payoffs ui:S→Ru^i:S\to\mathbb Rui:S→R on S=∏iSiS=\prod_i S^iS=∏i​Si. For s∈Ss\in Ss∈S and k∈Sik\in S^ik∈Si, ui(k,s−i)u^i(k,s^{-i})ui(k,s−i) is iii's payoff when iii's coordinate of sss is replaced by kkk.

The game is played at t=1,2,…t=1,2,\dotst=1,2,…. After the history ht=(s1,…,st)h_t=(s_1,\dots,s_t)ht​=(s1​,…,st​) each player chooses a mixed action, and given hth_tht​ the players randomize independently. For j≠kj\ne kj=k in SiS^iSi the regret of player iii for not having played kkk whenever it played jjj is

Dti(j,k)=1t∑τ≤t: sτi=j[ui(k,sτ−i)−ui(sτ)],Rti(j,k)=max⁡{Dti(j,k),0}.D^i_t(j,k)=\frac1t\sum_{\tau\le t:\,s^i_\tau=j}\big[u^i(k,s^{-i}_\tau)-u^i(s_\tau)\big],\qquad R^i_t(j,k)=\max\{D^i_t(j,k),0\}.Dti​(j,k)=t1​τ≤t:sτi​=j∑​[ui(k,sτ−i​)−ui(sτ​)],Rti​(j,k)=max{Dti​(j,k),0}.

With Rti(j,j):=0R^i_t(j,j):=0Rti​(j,j):=0, a probability vector qti∈Δ(Si)q^i_t\in\Delta(S^i)qti​∈Δ(Si) satisfies (3.1) if

∑k∈Siqti(k)Rti(k,j)=qti(j)∑k∈SiRti(j,k)for every j∈Si,\sum_{k\in S^i}q^i_t(k)R^i_t(k,j)=q^i_t(j)\sum_{k\in S^i}R^i_t(j,k)\qquad\text{for every }j\in S^i,k∈Si∑​qti​(k)Rti​(k,j)=qti​(j)k∈Si∑​Rti​(j,k)for every j∈Si,

i.e. qtiq^i_tqti​ is an invariant distribution of the transition matrix of regret matching. The empirical distribution of play is zt(s)=1t∣{τ≤t:sτ=s}∣z_t(s)=\frac1t|\{\tau\le t: s_\tau=s\}|zt​(s)=t1​∣{τ≤t:sτ​=s}∣.

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem A (p. 1133)

If at every period t+1t+1t+1 player iii plays a probability vector satisfying (3.1), then, whatever the other players do,

Rti(j,k)→t→∞0almost surely, for all j≠k in Si.R^i_t(j,k)\xrightarrow[t\to\infty]{}0\quad\text{almost surely, for all }j\ne k\text{ in }S^i.Rti​(j,k)t→∞​0almost surely, for all j=k in Si.

Milestones (the proof of Theorem A, pp. 1135–1138)

  1. (3.5): the nonnegative matrix with entries λ(j,k)\lambda(j,k)λ(j,k) off the diagonal and 000 on it has an invariant vector qλ∈Δ(Si)q_\lambda\in\Delta(S^i)qλ​∈Δ(Si).
  2. (3.4a)–(3.4b): for the vector payoff v(si,s−i)∈RLv(s^i,s^{-i})\in\mathbb R^Lv(si,s−i)∈RL, L={(j,k):j≠k}L=\{(j,k):j\ne k\}L={(j,k):j=k}, the quantity λ⋅v(q,s−i)\lambda\cdot v(q,s^{-i})λ⋅v(q,s−i) equals ∑jα(j)ui(j,s−i)\sum_j\alpha(j)u^i(j,s^{-i})∑j​α(j)ui(j,s−i).
  3. Blackwell's condition for R−L\mathbb R^L_-R−L​: for λ≥0\lambda\ge0λ≥0 and qλq_\lambdaqλ​ solving (3.5), λ⋅v(qλ,s−i)=0\lambda\cdot v(q_\lambda,s^{-i})=0λ⋅v(qλ​,s−i)=0 for every s−is^{-i}s−i.
  4. Support function: wR−L(λ)=0w_{\mathbb R^L_-}(\lambda)=0wR−L​​(λ)=0 on R+L\mathbb R^L_+R+L​ and +∞+\infty+∞ elsewhere.
  5. Closest point: DtD_tDt​ has coordinates Dti(j,k)D^i_t(j,k)Dti​(j,k), the projection onto R−L\mathbb R^L_-R−L​ is [Dt]−[D_t]^-[Dt​]−, and λ(Dt)=[Dt]+\lambda(D_t)=[D_t]^+λ(Dt​)=[Dt​]+ is the regret vector.
  6. Blackwell's approachability theorem, "Moreover" part: the Blackwell procedure drives dist⁡(Dt,C)\operatorname{dist}(D_t,\mathcal C)dist(Dt​,C) to 000 almost surely against any opponent.

Companions

The Corollary (p. 1134): if every player follows (3.1), ztz_tzt​ converges almost surely to the set of correlated equilibria. The equivalence of (3.1) with invariance for the (2.2) matrix (p. 1133). Theorem B (p. 1139): the procedure proportional to unconditional regrets [Dti(k)]+[D^i_t(k)]^+[Dti​(k)]+ satisfies Hannan's universal consistency (4.1).

Significance

Theorem A shows that conditional regrets can be driven to zero by a stationary rule of fixed size mi×mim^i\times m^imi×mi, with no assumption on the other players beyond conditional independence. Combined with the Proposition of §3 it gives the Corollary: if all players follow such a rule, play converges to the set of correlated equilibria. The same argument with a different vector payoff yields Theorem B, a short proof of Hannan consistency. The approachability reduction used here is the standard route from vector-valued games to no-regret learning.

Theorem A and Blackwell's theorem are proved results. What this mission adds is a machine-checked development: a formal statement of Theorem A for arbitrary opponents, a formal statement of Blackwell's procedure in Hart and Mas-Colell's form (condition (3.2) via the support function, opponents that see the whole history), and the algebra connecting the two. Prove2Me already has Blackwell's original THEOREM 1 (strategies depending only on past payoff vectors, geometric separation condition); it is a different statement, and deriving this one from it, or proving it directly, is part of the work.

Difficulty

The algebra (milestones 1–5) is finite-dimensional and elementary, apart from the existence of an invariant vector, which needs a fixed-point or Perron–Frobenius type argument for a matrix that is not stochastic. The probabilistic core is milestone 6. The geometric picture of the paper (Figure 1) shows that the expected next average payoff moves closer to C\mathcal CC, but that controls only dist⁡(E[Dt+1∣ht],C)\operatorname{dist}(E[D_{t+1}\mid h_t],\mathcal C)dist(E[Dt+1​∣ht​],C), not the realized averages (footnote 15 of the paper); the opponent adapts to the whole history, so the increments are neither independent nor identically distributed, and the almost-sure statement has to be obtained on a measure known only through its conditional laws given each history.

Formalization scope

  • The game is finite with nonempty strategy sets; payoffs are real. Δ(Q)\Delta(Q)Δ(Q) is Mathlib's stdSimplex. RL\mathbb R^LRL is EuclideanSpace ℝ L with its inner product and Euclidean distance.
  • Time is 0-based in Lean (play τ is sτ+1s_{\tau+1}sτ+1​); every regret quantity is a function of a finite history Fin t → S, and every statement uses histories of length t+1≥1t+1\ge1t+1≥1.
  • A behaviour profile assigns a probability vector to every player, period and history. A play is any sequence of random variables on any probability space such that, given each history of positive probability, the next profile has the product law of the players' mixed actions. Theorem A constrains only player iii, and only from period 2 on; the other players are arbitrary.
  • The zero diagonal of (3.1) is explicit. The support function's value +∞+\infty+∞ is never computed in the reals: (3.2) is encoded as "λ⋅v(qλ,b)≤M\lambda\cdot v(q_\lambda,b)\le Mλ⋅v(qλ​,b)≤M for every real upper bound MMM of λ⋅C\lambda\cdot\mathcal Cλ⋅C", and milestone 4 uses IsLUB/¬ BddAbove.
  • In Blackwell's theorem, nonemptiness of C\mathcal CC is stated explicitly (it is implicit in the existence of the closest point), and the choices λ↦qλ\lambda\mapsto q_\lambdaλ↦qλ​ and the projection FFF are given as functions with the stated properties.
  • Requiring qtiq^i_tqti​ to be a probability vector rules out the trivial solution q=0q=0q=0 of (3.1); the goal mentions neither vvv, R−L\mathbb R^L_-R−L​ nor Blackwell, so it cannot be discharged by its own milestones' definitions.

Useful infrastructure, reusable beyond this mission: the existence of invariant vectors of nonnegative matrices, projections onto orthants, and a general Blackwell approachability theorem for history-dependent opponents. Proofs of any milestone, of the companions, and alternative proofs of Theorem A are welcome.

Selected references

  • S. Hart and A. Mas-Colell, A simple adaptive procedure leading to correlated equilibrium, Econometrica 68(5) (2000), 1127–1150. https://doi.org/10.1111/1468-0262.00153
  • D. Blackwell, An analog of the minimax theorem for vector payoffs, Pacific Journal of Mathematics 6 (1956), 1–8. https://doi.org/10.2140/pjm.1956.6.1
  • R. J. Aumann, Subjectivity and correlation in randomized strategies, Journal of Mathematical Economics 1 (1974), 67–96. https://doi.org/10.1016/0304-4068(74)90037-8
  • J. Hannan, Approximation to Bayes risk in repeated play, Contributions to the Theory of Games III (1957), 97–139. https://doi.org/10.1515/9781400882151-006
  • D. P. Foster and R. V. Vohra, Calibrated learning and correlated equilibrium, Games and Economic Behavior 21 (1997), 40–55. https://doi.org/10.1006/game.1997.0595
  • N. Cesa-Bianchi and G. Lugosi, Prediction, Learning, and Games, Cambridge University Press, 2006. https://doi.org/10.1017/CBO9780511546921
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