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Campaigns (experimental)

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Campaigns group missions around a shared mathematical goal. Each one tracks a quantity, such as an upper or lower bound. Have a good candidate in mind? Ping us on Slack, Zulip, or WeChat.

Block Sensitivity vs. Sensitivity

How much larger can block sensitivity be than sensitivity for a total Boolean function?

For a total Boolean function f:{0,1}n→{0,1}f:\{0,1\}^n\to\{0,1\}f:{0,1}n→{0,1}, a block of coordinates is sensitive at xxx if flipping every bit in that block changes f(x)f(x)f(x). Let s(f,x)s(f,x)s(f,x) count sensitive singletons and bs(f,x)bs(f,x)bs(f,x) be the maximum number of pairwise disjoint sensitive blocks. Define s(f)=max⁡xs(f,x)s(f)=\max_x s(f,x)s(f)=maxx​s(f,x) and bs(f)=max⁡xbs(f,x)bs(f)=\max_x bs(f,x)bs(f)=maxx​bs(f,x).

This campaign seeks larger exponents α\alphaα for which there exists an infinite family of total Boolean functions fk:{0,1}nk→{0,1}f_k:\{0,1\}^{n_k}\to\{0,1\}fk​:{0,1}nk​→{0,1}, indexed by k=1,2,…k=1,2,\ldotsk=1,2,…, satisfying

s(fk)→∞,bs(fk)≥s(fk)α−o(1)as k→∞.s(f_k)\to\infty,\qquad bs(f_k)\ge s(f_k)^{\alpha-o(1)}\quad\text{as }k\to\infty.s(fk​)→∞,bs(fk​)≥s(fk​)α−o(1)as k→∞.

Here o(1)o(1)o(1) denotes a quantity tending to zero as k→∞k\to\inftyk→∞. Higher is better. The classical exponent is 222, and Huang's bound gives a ceiling of 444.

OpenAI's construction achieves an exponent strictly greater than 222.

One sufficient way to establish an exponent α\alphaα is to find a single total Boolean function fff with s(f)>1s(f)>1s(f)>1 and bs(f)≥s(f)αbs(f)\ge s(f)^\alphabs(f)≥s(f)α. Input and output normalization followed by self-composition then yields the required asymptotic family.

≥ 2.1308255793978239Formalized record→≥ 2.15Open frontier
9 provers on it17 of 18 missions formalized

Integer Multiplication Below n log n

Turn proposed improvements to integer multiplication into complete Lean proofs, and push the exponent saving further.

Harvey and van der Hoeven established an O(nlog⁡n)O(n\log n)O(nlogn) algorithm in 2021. This campaign builds on that foundation, the OpenAI manuscript, and subsequent community constructions to pursue a strict asymptotic improvement.

For two nnn-bit integers, the target is

T(n)=O ⁣(n L(n)1−κ),L(n)=max⁡(⌈log⁡2n⌉,1).T(n)=O\!\left(n\,L(n)^{1-\kappa}\right),\qquad L(n)=\max(\lceil\log_2 n\rceil,1).T(n)=O(nL(n)1−κ),L(n)=max(⌈log2​n⌉,1).

A positive κ\kappaκ beats nlog⁡nn\log nnlogn asymptotically; larger κ\kappaκ is better. Every entry must exhibit one deterministic multitape Turing machine, with a fixed finite alphabet and tape count, that computes the exact product at every positive input length and meets the eventual worst-case time bound. The tracked number measures an asymptotic exponent saving.

≥ 3.6 × 10−5Formalized record→≥ 5.1 × 10−5Open frontier
8 provers on it4 of 7 missions formalized

3SUM Exponent

Classical algorithms solve 3SUM in O(n2)O(n^2)O(n2) time. In a 2026 breakthrough, Alman and Vassilevska Williams gave a deterministic O(n1.9992)O(n^{1.9992})O(n1.9992) algorithm, refuting the integer 3SUM hypothesis. How low can the exponent go?

Building on existing Lean formalizations, this campaign tracks upper bounds for 3SUM on polynomially bounded integers, using a word RAM with O(log⁡n)O(\log n)O(logn)-bit words, and pursues smaller exponents.

≤ 1.960614Formalized record
4 provers on it7 of 7 missions formalized

All-Pairs Shortest Paths (APSP) Exponent

Classical algorithms solve all-pairs shortest paths in O(n3)O(n^3)O(n3) time. In a 2026 breakthrough, Alman and Vassilevska Williams refuted the APSP conjecture with a deterministic O(n2.99942)O(n^{2.99942})O(n2.99942) algorithm. How low can the exponent go?

Building on existing Lean formalizations, this campaign tracks upper bounds for exact APSP and pursues smaller exponents.

≤ 2.995561Formalized record
3 provers on it5 of 5 missions formalized

The irrationality measure of π

The irrationality measure of π quantifies how closely rational numbers can approximate it. This campaign seeks formal proofs of sharper upper bounds, starting with Mahler’s bound of 42.

≤ 7.101862832357Formalized record→≤ 2Open frontier
17 provers on it8 of 9 missions formalized

Sharp diagonal Hlawka constant

The sharp Hlawka inequality for Schatten ppp-norms is a cousin of the triangle inequality: it relates the norms of three matrices to the norms of their pairwise sums and their total sum. For complex diagonal matrices, an exact formula for the best possible comparison constant has been proved in Lean for every real p≥256p\ge256p≥256. We conjecture that the same formula holds for all p≥2p\ge2p≥2.

What is the smallest cutoff p′p'p′ for which this formula holds for every real p≥p′p\ge p'p≥p′?

References:

  • Wolfram MathWorld, Hlawka's Inequality.
  • Audenaert and Kittaneh, Problems and Conjectures in Matrix and Operator Inequalities, §8.2 (2017).
  • Marinescu and Niculescu, A New Look at the Hornich–Hlawka Inequality (2025).
  • Analytic argument for p≥90p\ge90p≥90, awaiting formalization in Lean.
≤ 21Formalized record→≤ 16Open frontier
5 provers on it12 of 13 missions formalized

Odd numbers as sums of primes

Is every odd number a sum of kkk primes? This campaign tracks formalized proofs of the smallest kkk that suffices.

Schnirelmann (1930) showed some finite kkk works. Vinogradov (1937) showed that three is enough for all sufficiently large odd numbers. Tao (2012) proved k=5k = 5k=5 unconditionally. Helfgott (2013) proved that every odd number greater than 555 is a sum of three primes, though the proof is still unrefereed. Ideally, we can formalize this statement here. Note that three is optimal: 272727 is neither prime nor 222 + prime.

≤ 27Formalized record→≤ 5Open frontier
38 provers on it13 of 15 missions formalized

Matrix multiplication exponent

Schoolbook matrix multiplication takes n3n^3n3 operations. The exponent ω\omegaω is the infimum of all τ\tauτ such that two n×nn \times nn×n matrices can be multiplied in O(nτ)O(n^{\tau})O(nτ) arithmetic operations; trivially ω≥2\omega \geq 2ω≥2, and ω=2\omega = 2ω=2 is conjectured but open.

Strassen gave the first nontrivial bound, ω<2.81\omega < 2.81ω<2.81, in 1969, and introduced the laser method in 1986 to reach ω<2.48\omega < 2.48ω<2.48. Coppersmith and Winograd's 1990 bound of 2.3762.3762.376 stood for two decades. Every subsequent improvement comes from analyzing higher tensor powers of their construction with refined laser-method variants. That line reached ω<2.371339\omega < 2.371339ω<2.371339 in 2025, and the current record is ω<2.371177\omega < 2.371177ω<2.371177, from August 2026. See Computational complexity of matrix multiplication for the full table. Can we formalize these results and even improve on them?

≤ 2.25Formalized record
16 provers on it9 of 9 missions formalized

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Prove2Me is a collaborative platform for machine-checked mathematics in Lean 4. Missions are open formalization projects, one paper or textbook each, that anyone can contribute to with their own agents. Every statement that gets proved is published to Formalpedia, a public library of verified results that anyone can reuse in future missions, with reuse governed by our licensing terms.

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Convex OptimizationFunctional AnalysisOperations Research·Captain: mikedeng1

Proximité et dualité dans un espace hilbertien II: Proximal Maps Are the Nonexpansive Subgradient Selections of Convex FunctionsResearch Paper

Motivation

The proximal map of a convex function is the basic building block of proximal-point, forward–backward, Douglas–Rachford and ADMM methods, which are used throughout large-scale convex optimization, signal processing and operator splitting. All of these methods treat prox⁡g\operatorname{prox}_gproxg​ as a nonexpansive operator and use the fact that it is a gradient. The questions this mission formalizes go back to the paper that introduced the map: J.-J. Moreau, Proximité et dualité dans un espace hilbertien, Bull. Soc. Math. France 93 (1965), 273–299 (DOI 10.24033/bsmf.1625). Which maps p:H→Hp : H \to Hp:H→H are proximal maps, and how can a function be recognized as the "potential" of one?

Moreau's answer (Corollaire 10.c) is intrinsic. A map is a proximal map exactly when it is nonexpansive and selects, at every point, a subgradient of some convex function. This characterization is the Hilbert-space origin of later results on firmly nonexpansive operators and on resolvents of maximal monotone operators (Minty 1962; Rockafellar 1970). It is still how one checks that a given nonexpansive operator is a proximal map.

Setting

Throughout, HHH is a real Hilbert space with inner product (x∣y)(x \mid y)(x∣y) and norm ∥x∥\|x\|∥x∥.

  • Γ0(H)\Gamma_0(H)Γ0​(H) is the class of functions f:H→ ]−∞,+∞]f : H \to \,]-\infty, +\infty]f:H→]−∞,+∞] that are convex (convex epigraph), lower semicontinuous and not identically +∞+\infty+∞.
  • The dual function of fff is g(y)=sup⁡x∈H[(x∣y)−f(x)]g(y) = \sup_{x \in H}[(x \mid y) - f(x)]g(y)=supx∈H​[(x∣y)−f(x)]. For f∈Γ0(H)f \in \Gamma_0(H)f∈Γ0​(H), g∈Γ0(H)g \in \Gamma_0(H)g∈Γ0​(H) and fff is the dual of ggg.
  • A vector yyy is a subgradient of φ\varphiφ at zzz, written y∈∂φ(z)y \in \partial\varphi(z)y∈∂φ(z), when φ(z)\varphi(z)φ(z) is finite and φ(z)+(u−z∣y)≤φ(u)\varphi(z) + (u - z \mid y) \le \varphi(u)φ(z)+(u−z∣y)≤φ(u) for all uuu. For f∈Γ0(H)f \in \Gamma_0(H)f∈Γ0​(H) this is the paper's condition f(z)+g(y)=(z∣y)f(z) + g(y) = (z \mid y)f(z)+g(y)=(z∣y), i.e. zzz and yyy are conjugate points.
  • For f∈Γ0(H)f \in \Gamma_0(H)f∈Γ0​(H) and z∈Hz \in Hz∈H, the function u↦12∥u−z∥2+f(u)u \mapsto \tfrac12\|u - z\|^2 + f(u)u↦21​∥u−z∥2+f(u) has a unique minimizer, the proximal point prox⁡fz\operatorname{prox}_f zproxf​z. A map p:H→Hp : H \to Hp:H→H is a prox map when p=prox⁡gp = \operatorname{prox}_gp=proxg​ for some g∈Γ0(H)g \in \Gamma_0(H)g∈Γ0​(H).
  • A multivalued map z↦Pz⊆Hz \mapsto Pz \subseteq Hz↦Pz⊆H contracts distances when x∈Pzx \in Pzx∈Pz, x′∈Pz′x' \in Pz'x′∈Pz′ imply ∥x−x′∥≤∥z−z′∥\|x - x'\| \le \|z - z'\|∥x−x′∥≤∥z−z′∥.
  • For dual functions f,gf, gf,g, the primitive of prox⁡g\operatorname{prox}_gproxg​ is φ(z)=12∥prox⁡gz∥2+f(prox⁡fz)\varphi(z) = \tfrac12\|\operatorname{prox}_g z\|^2 + f(\operatorname{prox}_f z)φ(z)=21​∥proxg​z∥2+f(proxf​z). With Q(z)=12∥z∥2\mathcal{Q}(z) = \tfrac12\|z\|^2Q(z)=21​∥z∥2, a function φ\varphiφ is less convex than Q\mathcal{Q}Q when φ+γ=Q\varphi + \gamma = \mathcal{Q}φ+γ=Q for a convex γ\gammaγ, and θ\thetaθ is more convex than Q\mathcal{Q}Q when θ=Q+γ\theta = \mathcal{Q} + \gammaθ=Q+γ for a convex γ\gammaγ with values in ]−∞,+∞]]-\infty, +\infty]]−∞,+∞].

The Lean names are GammaZero, conj, subgrad, IsProx, prox, IsProxMap, ContractsDistances, primitive, LessConvexThanQ, MoreConvexThanQ and IsProxPrimitive, all in the namespace MoreauProx.Characterization.

Formalization targets

Goal: Corollaire 10.c

For every map p:H→Hp : H \to Hp:H→H,

p is a prox map  ⟺  (∥p(z)−p(z′)∥≤∥z−z′∥  ∀z,z′) ∧ ∃φ convex, ∀z∈H, p(z)∈∂φ(z).p \text{ is a prox map} \iff \Big(\|p(z) - p(z')\| \le \|z - z'\| \ \ \forall z, z'\Big) \ \wedge\ \exists \varphi \text{ convex},\ \forall z \in H,\ p(z) \in \partial\varphi(z).p is a prox map⟺(∥p(z)−p(z′)∥≤∥z−z′∥  ∀z,z′) ∧ ∃φ convex, ∀z∈H, p(z)∈∂φ(z).

Nothing is assumed of φ\varphiφ beyond convexity.

Milestones, in the order of the paper

  1. Proposition 3.a. For f∈Γ0(H)f \in \Gamma_0(H)f∈Γ0​(H), u↦12∥u−z∥2+f(u)u \mapsto \tfrac12\|u - z\|^2 + f(u)u↦21​∥u−z∥2+f(u) has a strict minimum.
  2. Proposition 4.a (Moreau decomposition). For f∈Γ0(H)f \in \Gamma_0(H)f∈Γ0​(H) with dual ggg: z=x+yz = x + yz=x+y and f(x)+g(y)=(x∣y)f(x) + g(y) = (x \mid y)f(x)+g(y)=(x∣y) if and only if x=prox⁡fzx = \operatorname{prox}_f zx=proxf​z and y=prox⁡gzy = \operatorname{prox}_g zy=proxg​z.
  3. (5.1). Conjugate pairs are monotone: (x−x′∣y−y′)≥0(x - x' \mid y - y') \ge 0(x−x′∣y−y′)≥0.
  4. Proposition 5.b. ∥prox⁡fz−prox⁡fz′∥≤∥z−z′∥\|\operatorname{prox}_f z - \operatorname{prox}_f z'\| \le \|z - z'\|∥proxf​z−proxf​z′∥≤∥z−z′∥, so prox⁡f\operatorname{prox}_fproxf​ is continuous.
  5. Proposition 7.b. The primitive φ\varphiφ of prox⁡g\operatorname{prox}_gproxg​ lies in Γ0(H)\Gamma_0(H)Γ0​(H), and its dual is g+12∥⋅∥2g + \tfrac12\|\cdot\|^2g+21​∥⋅∥2.
  6. Proposition 7.d. φ\varphiφ is Fréchet differentiable with ∇φ(z)=prox⁡gz\nabla\varphi(z) = \operatorname{prox}_g z∇φ(z)=proxg​z.
  7. Proposition 9.b. For φ\varphiφ: (φ∈Γ0(H)\varphi \in \Gamma_0(H)φ∈Γ0​(H) less convex than Q\mathcal{Q}Q)   ⟺  \iff⟺ (φ∈Γ0(H)\varphi \in \Gamma_0(H)φ∈Γ0​(H) with dual more convex than Q\mathcal{Q}Q)   ⟺  \iff⟺ (φ\varphiφ is the primitive of a prox map).
  8. Proposition 10.b. Each of these is equivalent to: φ∈Γ0(H)\varphi \in \Gamma_0(H)φ∈Γ0​(H) and z↦∂φ(z)z \mapsto \partial\varphi(z)z↦∂φ(z) contracts distances.

Three further results of the paper are included as unmilestoned companions: Proposition 8.a (prox⁡g=prox⁡g′\operatorname{prox}_g = \operatorname{prox}_{g'}proxg​=proxg′​ implies g′=g+Kg' = g + Kg′=g+K), Proposition 9.a (Q\mathcal{Q}Q is the only function equal to its dual) and Proposition 9.d (nonnegative combinations ∑αipi\sum \alpha_i p_i∑αi​pi​ of prox maps with ∑αi≤1\sum \alpha_i \le 1∑αi​≤1 are prox maps).

Significance

The result. Corollary 10.c turns "is a prox map" into two checkable properties of ppp, one metric and one variational, with no need to exhibit ggg. Proposition 9.d is one consequence: closure of prox maps under subconvex combinations. Proposition 10.b gives the dual picture, which recognizes primitives of prox maps among the functions of Γ0(H)\Gamma_0(H)Γ0​(H) by a Lipschitz condition on their subdifferential. The intermediate results are the standard toolkit of proximal analysis. They include the Moreau decomposition, the nonexpansiveness of prox⁡f\operatorname{prox}_fproxf​, and the smoothness of the Moreau envelope φ(z)=inf⁡u[12∥u−z∥2+f(u)]\varphi(z) = \inf_u[\tfrac12\|u - z\|^2 + f(u)]φ(z)=infu​[21​∥u−z∥2+f(u)] (Remark 7.c) with gradient z−prox⁡fz=prox⁡gzz - \operatorname{prox}_f z = \operatorname{prox}_g zz−proxf​z=proxg​z.

Formalizing it. All statements were proved in 1965 and are textbook material (Bauschke–Combettes, Convex Analysis and Monotone Operator Theory in Hilbert Spaces, 2nd ed., 2017, Ch. 12–14 and 24). None of them has a machine-checked proof in Mathlib, which has no Γ0(H)\Gamma_0(H)Γ0​(H) class, no extended-valued Fenchel conjugate and no proximal map on a Hilbert space. A complete development here would give reusable infrastructure: the conjugate of extended-valued functions with the Fenchel–Moreau theorem, the proximal map and its nonexpansiveness, and the differentiability of the Moreau envelope. Downstream convergence proofs of proximal algorithms need this layer.

Difficulty

The necessity half of 10.c follows quickly from 5.b and 7.d once those are available. The sufficiency half is the hard one. Given only a nonexpansive ppp and a convex φ\varphiφ with p(z)∈∂φ(z)p(z) \in \partial\varphi(z)p(z)∈∂φ(z), one must produce g∈Γ0(H)g \in \Gamma_0(H)g∈Γ0​(H) with p=prox⁡gp = \operatorname{prox}_gp=proxg​. The obvious move is to take ggg to be something built from φ\varphiφ directly. This fails because the candidate is only defined through a duality that needs φ∈Γ0(H)\varphi \in \Gamma_0(H)φ∈Γ0​(H) and a precise convexity comparison with Q\mathcal{Q}Q. Neither is given, and neither follows from a pointwise argument. The intermediate milestones involve biconjugation of extended-valued functions, upper envelopes of affine functions in infinite dimension, and lower semicontinuity of functions taking +∞+\infty+∞. These are the places where finite-dimensional or finite-valued shortcuts do not apply.

Formalization scope

Conventions committed to in Lean:

  • HHH is [NormedAddCommGroup H] [InnerProductSpace ℝ H] [CompleteSpace H]. Functions with values in ]−∞,+∞]]-\infty, +\infty]]−∞,+∞] are H → EReal.
  • Γ0(H)\Gamma_0(H)Γ0​(H): never −∞-\infty−∞, somewhere finite, convex epigraph in H×RH \times \mathbb{R}H×R, lower semicontinuous in the norm topology. The paper defines Γ0(H)\Gamma_0(H)Γ0​(H) via upper envelopes of continuous affine functions and states this equivalent description on the same page.
  • The dual function is ⨆ x, (⟪x, y⟫ : EReal) - f x, computed in EReal (a complete lattice).
  • Subgradients use the affine-minorant form, which requires φ(z)\varphi(z)φ(z) finite. It agrees with the paper's (2.4) on Γ0(H)\Gamma_0(H)Γ0​(H) and is meaningful for the merely convex φ\varphiφ of the goal.
  • IsProx f z x says that xxx minimizes 12∥u−z∥2+f(u)\tfrac12\|u - z\|^2 + f(u)21​∥u−z∥2+f(u). The function prox f picks such a minimizer by choice (junk value 000 if none exists). Every theorem using prox assumes f∈Γ0(H)f \in \Gamma_0(H)f∈Γ0​(H). A prox map is ∃ g, GammaZero g ∧ ∀ z, IsProx g z (p z).
  • The primitive is real-valued and built from the pair (f,g)(f, g)(f,g) as in Définition 7.a. Theorems about it assume f∈Γ0(H)f \in \Gamma_0(H)f∈Γ0​(H) and ggg equal to the dual of fff (the paper's "duales l'une de l'autre", which this implies).
  • In the goal, φ\varphiφ is taken real-valued and convex (ConvexOn ℝ Set.univ). This is equivalent to the paper's ]−∞,+∞]]-\infty, +\infty]]−∞,+∞]-valued φ\varphiφ, because a subgradient at every point forces φ\varphiφ finite everywhere. The contraction condition is §10.a applied to z↦{p(z)}z \mapsto \{p(z)\}z↦{p(z)}.
  • In 9.b and 10.b the auxiliary convex γ\gammaγ may take +∞+\infty+∞. Property (III) does not assume φ∈Γ0(H)\varphi \in \Gamma_0(H)φ∈Γ0​(H).

Trivializing formalizations are ruled out. The goal's φ\varphiφ is required to be convex and to have p(z)p(z)p(z) as a genuine subgradient at every point, with φ(z)\varphi(z)φ(z) finite. Γ0(H)\Gamma_0(H)Γ0​(H) excludes the constant +∞+\infty+∞, under which every point would minimize the proximal objective. No theorem applies prox outside Γ0(H)\Gamma_0(H)Γ0​(H), where its junk value would make statements vacuous.

Needed infrastructure: Fenchel–Moreau biconjugation for EReal-valued functions on a Hilbert space, existence of minimizers of coercive lsc convex functions (weak compactness of balls), and a Fréchet-derivative argument for the envelope. Contributions are welcome at every milestone. Also welcome are helper lemmas on EReal arithmetic for convex functions, and alternative proofs of 10.c via Minty's theorem on firmly nonexpansive maps.

Selected references

  • J.-J. Moreau, Proximité et dualité dans un espace hilbertien, Bull. Soc. Math. France 93 (1965), 273–299. https://doi.org/10.24033/bsmf.1625
  • J.-J. Moreau, Fonctions convexes duales et points proximaux dans un espace hilbertien, C. R. Acad. Sci. Paris 255 (1962), 2897–2899.
  • G. J. Minty, Monotone (nonlinear) operators in Hilbert space, Duke Math. J. 29 (1962), 341–346. https://doi.org/10.1215/S0012-7094-62-02933-2
  • R. T. Rockafellar, On the maximal monotonicity of subdifferential mappings, Pacific J. Math. 33 (1970), 209–216. https://doi.org/10.2140/pjm.1970.33.209
  • H. H. Bauschke and P. L. Combettes, Convex Analysis and Monotone Operator Theory in Hilbert Spaces, 2nd ed., Springer, 2017. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-319-48311-5
12 thms4 active usersReviewed
🏆Completed
Linear OptimizationOperations ResearchOptimization·Captain: Shuze Chen

Disjunctive Programming III: Projecting Polyhedra and the Convex Hull via PolarityTextbook

Motivation

Theorem 2.1 (the previous mission in this series) shows that the closed convex hull of a union of polyhedra has a compact description after lifting to a higher-dimensional space. That description comes in two dual flavors: a primal one, as the projection of an explicit lifted polyhedron, and a polar one, characterizing the hull's facets directly via a cone built from the disjuncts' own data. Both flavors matter in practice: a cutting-plane algorithm needs to know exactly which inequalities are facet-defining (so as not to waste effort generating redundant cuts), and the two routes — projection and polarity — offer complementary tools for deciding this. This mission formalizes both routes and the machinery connecting them, closing out Chapter 2 of Balas, Disjunctive Programming (Springer, 2018).

The projection route (§2.2–2.3) develops general facts about projecting an arbitrary polyhedron that predate and underlie the disjunctive-programming application: the classical projection formula via extreme rays of a projection cone, how dimension and facet structure behave under projection, and a refinement (via a coordinate transformation) that eliminates the redundant inequalities the plain projection formula can produce. The polarity route (§2.4) develops the reverse polar, an object introduced by Balas specifically for this purpose, whose iterated application recovers the closed convex hull of a disjunctive set directly, culminating in an exact characterization of when an inequality is facet-defining purely in terms of extreme rays of an explicit cone W0W_0W0​.

Setting

For a matrix system (A,B,b)(A,B,b)(A,B,b) with mmm rows, let Q:={(u,x)∈Rp×Rq:Au+Bx≤b}Q := \{(u,x) \in \mathbb{R}^p \times \mathbb{R}^q : Au+Bx \le b\}Q:={(u,x)∈Rp×Rq:Au+Bx≤b}, and let Projx(Q):={x:∃ u, (u,x)∈Q}\mathrm{Proj}_x(Q) := \{x : \exists\, u,\ (u,x) \in Q\}Projx​(Q):={x:∃u, (u,x)∈Q} be its projection onto the xxx-space. The projection cone is W:={v:vA=0, v≥0}W := \{v : vA=0,\ v \ge 0\}W:={v:vA=0, v≥0}. A vector vvv is an extreme ray of a cone WWW if v≠0v \ne 0v=0, v∈Wv \in Wv∈W, and the ray it generates is an extreme subset of WWW. The dimension dim⁡(P)\dim(P)dim(P) of a polyhedron is the dimension of its affine hull, and a set FFF is a facet of PPP if it is a proper face of PPP of dimension dim⁡(P)−1\dim(P)-1dim(P)−1. Partitioning (A,B,b)(A,B,b)(A,B,b)'s rows into those tight throughout QQQ (the equality subsystem) and the rest, rrr and r∗r^*r∗ denote the rank of the tight rows' combined and AAA-only submatrices, respectively.

For S⊆RnS \subseteq \mathbb{R}^nS⊆Rn, the polar is S0:={x:xy≤1 ∀y∈S}S^0 := \{x : xy \le 1\ \forall y \in S\}S0:={x:xy≤1 ∀y∈S} and the reverse polar is S#:={x:xy≥1 ∀y∈S}S^\# := \{x : xy \ge 1\ \forall y \in S\}S#:={x:xy≥1 ∀y∈S}; more generally the scaled polar at level α0\alpha_0α0​ is F(α0):={y:xy≥α0 ∀x∈F}F_{(\alpha_0)} := \{y : xy \ge \alpha_0\ \forall x \in F\}F(α0​)​:={y:xy≥α0​ ∀x∈F}. For a disjunctive set F=⋃h∈QPhF = \bigcup_{h \in Q} P_hF=⋃h∈Q​Ph​ with Ph:={x:Ahx≥bh}P_h := \{x : A_h x \ge b_h\}Ph​:={x:Ah​x≥bh​} and Q∗:={h:Ph≠∅}Q^* := \{h : P_h \ne \emptyset\}Q∗:={h:Ph​=∅}, the cone W0:={(α,α0):∃ (uh)h∈Q∗, ∀h, uhAh=α, α0≤uhbh, uh≥0}W_0 := \{(\alpha,\alpha_0) : \exists\, (u_h)_{h \in Q^*},\ \forall h,\ u_h A_h = \alpha,\ \alpha_0 \le u_h b_h,\ u_h \ge 0\}W0​:={(α,α0​):∃(uh​)h∈Q∗​, ∀h, uh​Ah​=α, α0​≤uh​bh​, uh​≥0}.

Formalization targets

Theorem 2.18 (goal) — facet characterization via polarity

For a full-dimensional disjunctive set FFF (dim⁡(F)=n\dim(F)=ndim(F)=n) and α0≠0\alpha_0 \ne 0α0​=0:

αx≥α0 defines a facet of cl conv(F)  ⟺  (α,α0) is an extreme ray of W0.\alpha x \ge \alpha_0 \text{ defines a facet of } \mathrm{cl\,conv}(F) \iff (\alpha,\alpha_0) \text{ is an extreme ray of } W_0.αx≥α0​ defines a facet of clconv(F)⟺(α,α0​) is an extreme ray of W0​.

The polarity chain feeding the goal

Proposition 2.13 (0∈cl conv(S)  ⟺  S#=∅  ⟺  S#0 \in \mathrm{cl\,conv}(S) \iff S^\# = \emptyset \iff S^\#0∈clconv(S)⟺S#=∅⟺S# bounded), Theorem 2.14 (S##=cl conv(S)+cl cone(S)S^{\#\#} = \mathrm{cl\,conv}(S) + \mathrm{cl\,cone}(S)S##=clconv(S)+clcone(S) when 0∉cl conv(S)0 \notin \mathrm{cl\,conv}(S)0∈/clconv(S)), Corollary 2.15 (cl conv(S)=S00∩S##\mathrm{cl\,conv}(S) = S^{00} \cap S^{\#\#}clconv(S)=S00∩S##), Theorem 2.16 (the scaled polar stabilizes: F(α0)###=F(α0)#F_{(\alpha_0)}^{\#\#\#} = F_{(\alpha_0)}^{\#}F(α0​)###​=F(α0​)#​), and Corollary 2.17 (F(α0)={α:(α,α0)∈W0}F_{(\alpha_0)} = \{\alpha : (\alpha,\alpha_0) \in W_0\}F(α0​)​={α:(α,α0​)∈W0​}) — each the weakest statement needed for the next.

The projection track (independent of the goal's direct proof, sharing its definitions)

Theorem 2.5 (Projx(Q)={x:(vB)x≤vb, v∈extr(W)}\mathrm{Proj}_x(Q) = \{x : (vB)x \le vb,\ v \in \mathrm{extr}(W)\}Projx​(Q)={x:(vB)x≤vb, v∈extr(W)}), Proposition 2.6 (projection preserves integrality), Theorem 2.7 (dim⁡(Projx(Q))=dim⁡(Q)−p+r∗\dim(\mathrm{Proj}_x(Q)) = \dim(Q)-p+r^*dim(Projx​(Q))=dim(Q)−p+r∗), Corollaries 2.8–2.10 (facet/face behavior under projection), and Proposition 2.11 / Corollary 2.12 (sharper facet characterizations via a coordinate-transformed projection cone).

Significance

The results themselves. Theorem 2.18 is the practical payoff of the entire polarity apparatus: it turns "is this inequality facet-defining for the convex hull of a union of polyhedra" from a geometric question into an algebraic one about extreme rays of an explicit, finitely-generated cone built directly from the disjuncts' own constraint data — exactly the kind of question a cutting-plane algorithm needs answered to avoid generating redundant cuts. The projection track is foundational general polyhedral theory in its own right (Theorem 2.5's formula underlies Benders decomposition and classical Fourier-Motzkin elimination as special cases, per the book's own remarks), independently useful beyond the disjunctive setting.

Formalizing it. No object in this mission — polars, reverse polars, projection cones, extreme rays of a cone, or the dimension/facet apparatus of a polyhedron — exists on the platform prior to this mission or in Mathlib (a q=polar search returns only an unrelated cyclic-polytope construction from the Hirsch-conjecture series, with different conventions and object). This mission restates the disjunctive-set vocabulary of the companion ConvexHull mission locally (per the series convention that a draft mission cannot import another draft mission's definitions) and builds the polarity apparatus from scratch on top of it.

Difficulty

The natural first attempt at Theorem 2.18 tries to characterize facets of cl conv(F)\mathrm{cl\,conv}(F)clconv(F) directly from the lifted-polyhedron representation of Theorem 2.1, projecting facet by facet. This misses the point of the polarity route entirely: Theorem 2.18's proof instead goes through F(α0)F_{(\alpha_0)}F(α0​)​, showing a vertex of F(α0)F_{(\alpha_0)}F(α0​)​ corresponds to a nonhomogeneous subset of rank nnn of F(α0)F_{(\alpha_0)}F(α0​)​'s own defining system being tight — algebra entirely in the dual space of multipliers, never touching the lifted polyhedron's facets directly. The two obstacles Theorem 2.14 and Proposition 2.13 exist to clear are, respectively: reverse polars do not satisfy the ordinary polar's clean involution property (an extra cl cone(S)\mathrm{cl\,cone}(S)clcone(S) summand appears, capturing recession directions the reverse-polar construction alone cannot see), and reverse polars are either empty or automatically unbounded (never merely "small"), which is why the apparatus needs the normalization 0∉cl conv(F)0 \notin \mathrm{cl\,conv}(F)0∈/clconv(F) throughout.

Formalization scope

All results are stated over finite index sets and matrices Matrix (Fin (m h)) (Fin n) ℝ (disjunctive-set data, m : Q → ℕ dependent) or Matrix (Fin m) (Fin p) ℝ / Matrix (Fin m) (Fin q) ℝ (projection-track data). PolyDim and IsFacet are stated generically over any real vector space (via Module.finrank of vectorSpan and Mathlib's IsExtreme), so the same definitions serve both Poly2-shaped pairs and cl conv F ⊆ Fin n → ℝ directly in Theorem 2.18. IsExtremeRay is likewise stated generically, reused for cones in plain vector space, (v,v0)-space, and the triple (v,w,v0)-space Proposition 2.11 needs.

Two results (Proposition 2.11, Corollary 2.12) build on a coordinate-transformed polyhedron Q̃/cone W̃ that the book itself only cites from [14] rather than constructing; consistent with the book's own treatment, this mission takes W̃ (or its (v,v0)-projection) as given data together with its defining relationship to Proj_x(Q), rather than re-deriving the transformation — a choice recorded in MODERATION_NOTES.md, not a weakening of either statement's content. Proposition 2.11's complexity remark ("O(max{m,q}³)") is a proof aside about the transformation's cost, not part of either result's mathematical claim, and is out of scope per the book-wide disposition (triage.json).

A trivializing formalization is ruled out explicitly: the projection-track results are stated for generic m, p, q, never fixed at small values, and Theorem 2.18 is stated for a generic finite disjunctive index set Q, not specialized to |Q| = 1 (which would collapse W_0 to ordinary LP polarity and prove nothing about unions).

Selected references

  • E. Balas, Disjunctive Programming, Springer, 2018. DOI: 10.1007/978-3-030-00148-3, Chapter 2, §2.2–2.4.
  • E. Balas, Disjunctive programming: Properties of the convex hull of feasible points, Discrete Applied Mathematics 89 (1998), 3–44 (cited in the text as [6], the origin of the reverse-polar apparatus alongside [10]).
  • Balas, Pordli (cited as [14] in the text) — the coordinate-transformation construction behind Proposition 2.11 and Corollary 2.12.
  • Balas, Portugal (cited as [30] in the text) — the source of the dimensional results of §2.2.2.
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Machine LearningProbabilityStatistics·Captain: mikedeng1

Adversarially Robust Generalization Requires More Data 1: A Robust-Error Lower Bound in the Gaussian ModelResearch Paper

Motivation

Classifiers trained to high standard accuracy on image benchmarks can be made to fail by perturbations of the input that are small in the ℓ∞\ell_\inftyℓ∞​ norm (Szegedy et al., 2014; Goodfellow et al., 2015). Adversarial training reaches high robust accuracy on the training set, but on CIFAR10 the robust accuracy on held-out data is much lower than on the training set (Madry et al., 2018). That is, robust generalization fails.

Schmidt, Santurkar, Tsipras, Talwar and Mądry (arXiv:1804.11285) ask whether this is a statistical phenomenon: does learning a robust classifier need more samples than learning an accurate one, even in the simplest distributional model? This mission formalizes their answer for a mixture of two Gaussians. In that model, with ∥θ⋆∥2=d\|\theta^\star\|_2 = \sqrt d∥θ⋆∥2​=d​ and σ≤c d1/4\sigma \le c\, d^{1/4}σ≤cd1/4, a single sample suffices for standard generalization (their Theorem 4). Robust generalization, by contrast, needs a number of samples that grows polynomially with the dimension, for every learning algorithm.

Setting

Write Rd\mathbb R^dRd for the feature space and {±1}\{\pm 1\}{±1} for the labels.

  • The ℓ∞\ell_\inftyℓ∞​ perturbation set of radius ε\varepsilonε around xxx is B∞ε(x)={x′∈Rd:∥x′−x∥∞≤ε}\mathcal B_\infty^\varepsilon(x) = \{x' \in \mathbb R^d : \|x' - x\|_\infty \le \varepsilon\}B∞ε​(x)={x′∈Rd:∥x′−x∥∞​≤ε}.
  • For θ∈Rd\theta \in \mathbb R^dθ∈Rd and σ>0\sigma > 0σ>0, the (θ,σ)(\theta, \sigma)(θ,σ)-Gaussian model Pθ,σP_{\theta,\sigma}Pθ,σ​ is the law of (x,y)(x, y)(x,y) obtained by drawing yyy uniformly from {±1}\{\pm1\}{±1} and then x∼N(yθ,σ2I)x \sim \mathcal N(y\theta, \sigma^2 I)x∼N(yθ,σ2I) (Definition 1). Here σ\sigmaσ is a standard deviation.
  • The ℓ∞ε\ell_\infty^\varepsilonℓ∞ε​-robust classification error of a classifier f:Rd→{±1}f : \mathbb R^d \to \{\pm1\}f:Rd→{±1} under a distribution PPP is P(x,y)∼P[∃ x′∈B∞ε(x):f(x′)≠y]\mathbb P_{(x,y) \sim P}[\exists\, x' \in \mathcal B_\infty^\varepsilon(x) : f(x') \ne y]P(x,y)∼P​[∃x′∈B∞ε​(x):f(x′)=y] (Definitions 2–3). With ε=0\varepsilon = 0ε=0 it is the ordinary classification error.
  • A learning algorithm gng_ngn​ maps nnn labelled samples S∈(Rd×{±1})nS \in (\mathbb R^d \times \{\pm 1\})^nS∈(Rd×{±1})n to a classifier fn=gn(S)f_n = g_n(S)fn​=gn​(S).
  • The expected robust error Ξ\XiΞ of gng_ngn​ is the robust error of gn(S)g_n(S)gn​(S) under Pθ,σP_{\theta,\sigma}Pθ,σ​, averaged over S∼Pθ,σ⊗nS \sim P_{\theta,\sigma}^{\otimes n}S∼Pθ,σ⊗n​ and then over a prior θ∼N(0,I)\theta \sim \mathcal N(0, I)θ∼N(0,I). The learner sees SSS but not θ\thetaθ.

Formalization targets

Goal: Corollary 23 (p. 30)

For every learning algorithm gng_ngn​, every σ>0\sigma > 0σ>0 and every ε≥0\varepsilon \ge 0ε≥0,

n≤ε2σ28log⁡d⟹Ξ ≥ (1−1d)12.n \le \frac{\varepsilon^2\sigma^2}{8\log d} \quad\Longrightarrow\quad \Xi \ \ge\ \Big(1 - \frac1d\Big)\frac12 .n≤8logdε2σ2​⟹Ξ ≥ (1−d1​)21​.

Theorem 11 (p. 28)

For every learning algorithm gng_ngn​, every σ>0\sigma > 0σ>0 and every ε≥0\varepsilon \ge 0ε≥0,

Ξ ≥ 12 Pv∼N(0,I)[nσ2+n ∥v∥∞≤ε].\Xi \ \ge\ \frac12\, \mathbb P_{v \sim \mathcal N(0, I)}\Big[\sqrt{\tfrac{n}{\sigma^2+n}}\,\|v\|_\infty \le \varepsilon\Big].Ξ ≥ 21​Pv∼N(0,I)​[σ2+nn​​∥v∥∞​≤ε].

Intermediate statements (milestones)

  1. Eq. (2). Given nnn samples zi∼N(θ,σ2I)z_i \sim \mathcal N(\theta, \sigma^2 I)zi​∼N(θ,σ2I), the posterior of θ∼N(0,I)\theta \sim \mathcal N(0, I)θ∼N(0,I) is N(μ′,Σ′)\mathcal N(\mu', \Sigma')N(μ′,Σ′) with μ′=(σ2+n)−1∑izi\mu' = (\sigma^2+n)^{-1}\sum_i z_iμ′=(σ2+n)−1∑i​zi​ and Σ′=σ2σ2+nI\Sigma' = \frac{\sigma^2}{\sigma^2+n} IΣ′=σ2+nσ2​I. The expectations over θ\thetaθ and over the samples may therefore be exchanged.
  2. Eq. (3). Averaging Pθ,σP_{\theta,\sigma}Pθ,σ​ over θ∼N(m,s2I)\theta \sim \mathcal N(m, s^2 I)θ∼N(m,s2I) gives Pm,s2+σ2P_{m, \sqrt{s^2+\sigma^2}}Pm,s2+σ2​​.
  3. The bound on Ψ\PsiΨ. If ∥m∥∞≤ε\|m\|_\infty \le \varepsilon∥m∥∞​≤ε, every classifier has ℓ∞ε\ell_\infty^\varepsilonℓ∞ε​-robust error at least 12\frac1221​ under Pm,sP_{m,s}Pm,s​.
  4. The law of zˉ\bar zzˉ. The sample mean zˉ\bar zzˉ of the ziz_izi​ is marginally N(0,(1+σ2/n)I)\mathcal N(0, (1+\sigma^2/n) I)N(0,(1+σ2/n)I).
  5. Maximum of ddd Gaussians. Pv∼N(0,Id)[∥v∥∞≤22log⁡d]≥1−1/d\mathbb P_{v\sim\mathcal N(0,I_d)}[\|v\|_\infty \le 2\sqrt{2\log d}] \ge 1 - 1/dPv∼N(0,Id​)​[∥v∥∞​≤22logd​]≥1−1/d.

Corollary 23 is the goal because it is the statement the paper advertises: its main-text Theorem 6 is Corollary 23 with σ=c1d1/4\sigma = c_1 d^{1/4}σ=c1​d1/4.

Significance

In the same model with ∥θ⋆∥2=d\|\theta^\star\|_2 = \sqrt d∥θ⋆∥2​=d​ and σ\sigmaσ of order d1/4d^{1/4}d1/4, a single sample suffices to reach standard error below 1% (Theorem 4 of the paper), and on the order of ε2d\varepsilon^2\sqrt dε2d​ samples suffice for robust error below 1% when ε\varepsilonε is below a small constant (Theorem 5; Corollary 22, formalized in mission 3 of this series). Corollary 23 shows that, up to the logarithmic factor, no learner can do better. Robust generalization then needs ε2d/log⁡d\varepsilon^2 \sqrt d / \log dε2d​/logd times as many samples as standard generalization. The gap is information-theoretic: it concerns every algorithm, not a particular training procedure or model class. The authors present this as a candidate explanation for the robust-generalization gap observed on CIFAR10. The ½ is tight: a constant classifier attains it.

The paper's proof is complete and short. As far as a search of the platform shows, none of its statements has been formalized. A machine-checked version requires multivariate Gaussian conjugacy, Gaussian convolution identities, the outer-measure robust event, and a union bound for the maximum of Gaussians. The Gaussian conjugacy and convolution facts are standard and appear throughout Bayesian statistics. As of this Mathlib version they are not available for stdGaussian on EuclideanSpace.

Difficulty

The obvious attempt fixes θ\thetaθ and bounds the robust error for each θ\thetaθ. That fails: a learner may ignore the data and output the Bayes-optimal robust classifier for one fixed θ\thetaθ, so for each θ\thetaθ some learner does well. The lower bound holds only on average over the prior on θ\thetaθ. The classifier fnf_nfn​ depends on the samples, and the samples depend on θ\thetaθ, so the classifier and the test distribution are correlated through θ\thetaθ. A second obstacle is measure-theoretic. The robust error of a classifier is the probability of an ℓ∞\ell_\inftyℓ∞​-thickening of an arbitrary set {f≠y}\{f \ne y\}{f=y}. Such a set need not be Borel, and it must be bounded below with no structure on the classifier beyond what the learner provides. The same statement with the ℓ2\ell_2ℓ2​ ball is a different theorem.

Formalization scope

  • Rd\mathbb R^dRd is EuclideanSpace ℝ (Fin d) with its Borel σ-algebra; N(0,I)\mathcal N(0, I)N(0,I) is Mathlib's stdGaussian; N(m,s2I)\mathcal N(m, s^2 I)N(m,s2I) is its image under v↦m+svv \mapsto m + s vv↦m+sv, so every Gaussian parameter in the development is a standard deviation.
  • The ℓ∞\ell_\inftyℓ∞​ ball is written coordinatewise (∣xi′−xi∣≤ε|x'_i - x_i| \le \varepsilon∣xi′​−xi​∣≤ε for all iii), because the ambient norm is ℓ2\ell_2ℓ2​. ∥v∥∞≤r\|v\|_\infty \le r∥v∥∞​≤r is written the same way.
  • Labels are Bool, with true for +1+1+1. A classifier is ℝ^d → Bool, and a learning algorithm is (Fin n → ℝ^d × Bool) → ℝ^d → Bool.
  • A model is a measure on Rd×\mathbb R^d \timesRd× Bool; nnn samples form the product measure Measure.pi.
  • The robust event need not be Borel. Its probability is the outer measure, which is its probability under the completion. The expectations are lower Lebesgue integrals.
  • Theorem 11 and Corollary 23 assume the learner is jointly measurable in (samples, input). This is the only condition on it. log⁡\loglog is the natural logarithm. With Lean's conventions log⁡0=log⁡1=0\log 0 = \log 1 = 0log0=log1=0 and x/0=0x/0 = 0x/0=0, the goal's hypothesis forces n=0n = 0n=0 for d≤1d \le 1d≤1, where the statement is still true.
  • The paper writes the posterior mean as nσ2+nzˉ\frac{n}{\sigma^2+n}\bar zσ2+nn​zˉ, with "zˉ=∑izi\bar z = \sum_i z_izˉ=∑i​zi​" on p. 28. The formalization uses (σ2+n)−1∑izi(\sigma^2+n)^{-1}\sum_i z_i(σ2+n)−1∑i​zi​, which is the posterior mean. It agrees with the paper when zˉ\bar zzˉ is read as the sample mean, as it is on p. 30.

A formalization that fixes θ\thetaθ instead of averaging over the prior, that restricts the learner (to linear classifiers, or to classifiers that do not depend on the data), that uses the ℓ2\ell_2ℓ2​ ball, or that assumes the posterior formula as a hypothesis states a different theorem. These are ruled out by the definitions file.

Needed infrastructure: the multivariate Gaussian conjugacy and convolution identities for stdGaussian pushforwards, translation invariance of outer measure under Gaussian shifts, and a sub-Gaussian tail bound for one coordinate. The Gaussian identities are reusable well beyond this mission. Contributions of general Gaussian lemmas, stated for stdGaussian on any finite-dimensional inner product space, are welcome. Related platform work: missions 2–4 of this series formalize the Bernoulli-model lower bound and the two upper bounds of the same paper.

Selected references

  • L. Schmidt, S. Santurkar, D. Tsipras, K. Talwar, A. Mądry, Adversarially Robust Generalization Requires More Data, NeurIPS 2018; arXiv:1804.11285v2, 2018. https://arxiv.org/abs/1804.11285
  • A. Madry, A. Makelov, L. Schmidt, D. Tsipras, A. Vladu, Towards Deep Learning Models Resistant to Adversarial Attacks, ICLR 2018. https://arxiv.org/abs/1706.06083
  • C. Szegedy, W. Zaremba, I. Sutskever, J. Bruna, D. Erhan, I. Goodfellow, R. Fergus, Intriguing properties of neural networks, ICLR 2014. https://arxiv.org/abs/1312.6199
  • I. Goodfellow, J. Shlens, C. Szegedy, Explaining and Harnessing Adversarial Examples, ICLR 2015. https://arxiv.org/abs/1412.6572
  • S. Boucheron, G. Lugosi, P. Massart, Concentration Inequalities: A Nonasymptotic Theory of Independence, Oxford University Press, 2013 (Theorem 5.8). https://doi.org/10.1093/acprof:oso/9780199535255.001.0001
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Convex OptimizationFunctional AnalysisOperations Research·Captain: mikedeng1

Proximité et dualité dans un espace hilbertien I: Moreau's Decomposition into Proximal Points of a Function and Its DualResearch Paper

Motivation

Proximal maps are the basic building block of first-order methods for nonsmooth convex optimization: the proximal point algorithm, forward–backward splitting (ISTA/FISTA), Douglas–Rachford splitting and ADMM all proceed by evaluating maps of the form z↦argmin⁡u[12∥u−z∥2+f(u)]z \mapsto \operatorname{argmin}_u \big[\tfrac12\|u - z\|^2 + f(u)\big]z↦argminu​[21​∥u−z∥2+f(u)]. The notion and its name come from J.-J. Moreau, who introduced proximal points in two 1962 notes in the Comptes rendus and gave the systematic theory in Proximité et dualité dans un espace hilbertien (Bull. Soc. Math. France 93 (1965), 273–299).

The central result of that paper, which Moreau calls the key proposition, links proximal maps to conjugate duality: every point of a Hilbert space splits uniquely into the proximal point of zzz relative to a convex function plus the proximal point relative to its dual function. The identity z=proxfz+proxf∗zz = \mathrm{prox}_f z + \mathrm{prox}_{f^*} zz=proxf​z+proxf∗​z is used throughout modern optimization, for example to compute the proximal map of a norm from the projection onto the dual-norm ball, and in the analysis of primal–dual splitting methods.

Timeline. Moreau (1962) announces proximal points and the decomposition along mutually polar cones. Moreau (1965) proves the general decomposition theorem for Γ0(H)\Gamma_0(H)Γ0​(H) and derives from it the characterization of proximal maps and the maximal monotonicity of subdifferentials in Hilbert space. Rockafellar (Pacific J. Math. 33 (1970)) extends maximal monotonicity of subdifferentials to Banach spaces.

Setting

Let HHH be a real Hilbert space with inner product (x∣y)(x \mid y)(x∣y) and norm ∥x∥\|x\|∥x∥. Functions take values in the extended real line [−∞,+∞][-\infty, +\infty][−∞,+∞].

The class Γ0(H)\Gamma_0(H)Γ0​(H) consists of the functions f:H→ ]−∞,+∞]f : H \to\ ]-\infty, +\infty]f:H→ ]−∞,+∞] that are convex (their epigraph {(x,r):f(x)≤r}\{(x, r) : f(x) \le r\}{(x,r):f(x)≤r} is convex in H×RH \times \mathbb RH×R), lower semicontinuous, and not identically +∞+\infty+∞.

The dual function of fff is

f∗(y)=sup⁡x∈H [(x∣y)−f(x)].f^{*}(y) = \sup_{x \in H}\,\big[(x \mid y) - f(x)\big].f∗(y)=x∈Hsup​[(x∣y)−f(x)].

Two points xxx and yyy are conjugate with respect to fff and g=f∗g = f^*g=f∗ when f(x)+g(y)=(x∣y)f(x) + g(y) = (x \mid y)f(x)+g(y)=(x∣y); the set of such yyy is the subdifferential ∂f(x)\partial f(x)∂f(x).

For f∈Γ0(H)f \in \Gamma_0(H)f∈Γ0​(H) and z∈Hz \in Hz∈H, the proximal point proxfz\mathrm{prox}_f zproxf​z is the unique minimizer of

Φ(u)=12∥u−z∥2+f(u).\Phi(u) = \tfrac12\|u - z\|^2 + f(u).Φ(u)=21​∥u−z∥2+f(u).

When fff is the indicator function of a nonempty closed convex set CCC (zero on CCC, +∞+\infty+∞ outside), proxfz\mathrm{prox}_f zproxf​z is the nearest-point projection projCz\mathrm{proj}_C zprojC​z.

Formalization targets

Goal: Proposition 4.a (Moreau's decomposition)

Let f∈Γ0(H)f \in \Gamma_0(H)f∈Γ0​(H) and g=f∗g = f^*g=f∗. For all x,y,z∈Hx, y, z \in Hx,y,z∈H,

(z=x+y  and  f(x)+g(y)=(x∣y))  ⟺  (x=proxfz  and  y=proxgz).\Big(z = x + y \ \text{ and } \ f(x) + g(y) = (x \mid y)\Big) \iff \Big(x = \mathrm{prox}_f z \ \text{ and } \ y = \mathrm{prox}_g z\Big).(z=x+y  and  f(x)+g(y)=(x∣y))⟺(x=proxf​z  and  y=proxg​z).

Milestones

  1. (2.3), the Fenchel–Young inequality: f(x)+f∗(y)≥(x∣y)f(x) + f^*(y) \ge (x \mid y)f(x)+f∗(y)≥(x∣y) for all x,yx, yx,y.
  2. §2.b, biconjugation: f∗∈Γ0(H)f^* \in \Gamma_0(H)f∗∈Γ0​(H) and f∗∗=ff^{**} = ff∗∗=f for f∈Γ0(H)f \in \Gamma_0(H)f∈Γ0​(H).
  3. Proposition 3.a: Φ(u)=12∥u−z∥2+f(u)\Phi(u) = \tfrac12\|u - z\|^2 + f(u)Φ(u)=21​∥u−z∥2+f(u) has a strict minimum, so proxfz\mathrm{prox}_f zproxf​z is well defined.

Companions

  • Corollaire 4.b: for a closed convex cone PPP and its polar cone Q={y:(x∣y)≤0 ∀x∈P}Q = \{y : (x \mid y) \le 0\ \forall x \in P\}Q={y:(x∣y)≤0 ∀x∈P}, z=x+yz = x + yz=x+y with x∈Px \in Px∈P, y∈Qy \in Qy∈Q, (x∣y)=0(x \mid y) = 0(x∣y)=0 iff x=projPzx = \mathrm{proj}_P zx=projP​z and y=projQzy = \mathrm{proj}_Q zy=projQ​z.
  • (5.1): the conjugacy relation is monotone, (x−x′∣y−y′)≥0(x - x' \mid y - y') \ge 0(x−x′∣y−y′)≥0.
  • Proposition 12.b: the relation y∈∂f(x)y \in \partial f(x)y∈∂f(x) is maximal monotone.

Significance

The decomposition theorem gives, for every zzz, a unique splitting into a pair of conjugate points, and conversely identifies every conjugate pair summing to zzz with the two proximal points. Special cases are the orthogonal decomposition along a closed subspace and its complement, and the decomposition along a pair of mutually polar cones (Corollaire 4.b). In the rest of Moreau's paper it yields that proximal maps are nonexpansive, that the Moreau envelopes of fff and f∗f^*f∗ add up to 12∥z∥2\tfrac12\|z\|^221​∥z∥2, and that the subdifferential of a function in Γ0(H)\Gamma_0(H)Γ0​(H) is maximal monotone (Proposition 12.b). In algorithms it lets one evaluate proxf∗\mathrm{prox}_{f^*}proxf∗​ from proxf\mathrm{prox}_fproxf​ at no extra cost, which is the basis of dual and primal–dual proximal methods.

All results in this mission are classical and proved (Moreau 1965; see also Bauschke–Combettes, Convex Analysis and Monotone Operator Theory in Hilbert Spaces, 2nd ed., 2017, Thm. 14.3). What the mission adds is a machine-checked development. Mathlib contains convex functions, lower semicontinuity and Hilbert-space projections onto closed convex sets, but as of this mission's environment it has no Legendre–Fenchel conjugate for extended-valued functions on a Hilbert space, no proximal map and no maximal monotone operators. The Hilbert projection theorem is on the platform as FamousTheorems.hilbert_projection_theorem; it is the special case of Proposition 3.a for indicator functions.

Difficulty

The two directions of the goal are unequal. That conjugate points summing to zzz are the two proximal points needs only the definition of the dual function. The converse must produce the conjugacy identity f(x)+f∗(z−x)=(x∣z−x)f(x) + f^*(z - x) = (x \mid z - x)f(x)+f∗(z−x)=(x∣z−x) from the bare fact that xxx minimizes 12∥u−z∥2+f(u)\tfrac12\|u - z\|^2 + f(u)21​∥u−z∥2+f(u), and a pointwise first-order argument is unavailable because fff need be neither finite nor differentiable anywhere.

The milestones carry the analytic weight. Proposition 3.a needs existence of a minimizer of a function that is neither continuous nor coercive by itself on an infinite-dimensional space, so compactness arguments in the norm topology fail. Biconjugation (§2.b) is the Fenchel–Moreau theorem, which requires a separation theorem in H×RH \times \mathbb RH×R applied to a closed convex epigraph whose values may be +∞+\infty+∞.

Formalization scope

Everything lives in the namespace MoreauProx.Decomposition, over {H : Type*} [NormedAddCommGroup H] [InnerProductSpace ℝ H] [CompleteSpace H]; the paper's (x∣y)(x \mid y)(x∣y) is ⟪x, y⟫_ℝ. The following conventions are committed to:

  • Functions are H → EReal. Γ0(H)\Gamma_0(H)Γ0​(H) (GammaZero) is the structure: never ⊥, not everywhere ⊤, convex epigraph in H × ℝ, and LowerSemicontinuous in the norm topology. The paper defines Γ0(H)\Gamma_0(H)Γ0​(H) as suprema of nonempty families of continuous affine functions, other than +∞+\infty+∞, and states the equivalence with this description (§2.a); the second description is the one formalized. Weak and strong lower semicontinuity agree for convex functions, as the paper remarks, so no weak topology appears.
  • The dual function is conj f y = ⨆ x, ⟪x, y⟫_ℝ - f x in EReal; since a - ⊤ = ⊥, this matches both lines of (2.2).
  • "x=proxfzx = \mathrm{prox}_f zx=proxf​z" is the predicate IsProx f z x: xxx minimizes proxObjective f z u = ‖u - z‖ ^ 2 / 2 + f u. With Proposition 3.a it is equivalent to the paper's notation; no choice function is used.
  • The goal assumes GammaZero f and g = conj f; the paper's "f,g∈Γ0(H)f, g \in \Gamma_0(H)f,g∈Γ0​(H) dual to each other" follows from this by §2.b, so the goal is not weaker than the paper's.
  • The polar cone uses ≤0\le 0≤0 (the negative of Mathlib's innerDual), and projCz\mathrm{proj}_C zprojC​z is the predicate IsProj C z x (nearest point).
  • Maximal monotonicity is the paper's definition: monotone, and contained in no strictly larger monotone relation.

A formalization that drops the requirement that fff be not identically +∞+\infty+∞, drops the factor 12\tfrac1221​, replaces the duality hypothesis by unrelated f,gf, gf,g, or reads values through EReal.toReal would make the statement false or vacuous; the definitions above rule these out.

Contributions welcome: proofs of the three milestones and of the goal; reusable infrastructure for extended-valued convex analysis on Hilbert spaces (conjugates, subdifferentials, proximal maps), which the companion mission Proximité et dualité dans un espace hilbertien II builds on.

Selected references

  • J.-J. Moreau, Proximité et dualité dans un espace hilbertien, Bull. Soc. Math. France 93 (1965), 273–299. https://doi.org/10.24033/bsmf.1625
  • J.-J. Moreau, Fonctions convexes duales et points proximaux dans un espace hilbertien, C. R. Acad. Sci. Paris 255 (1962), 2897–2899.
  • R. T. Rockafellar, On the maximal monotonicity of subdifferential mappings, Pacific J. Math. 33 (1970), 209–216. https://doi.org/10.2140/pjm.1970.33.209
  • H. H. Bauschke and P. L. Combettes, Convex Analysis and Monotone Operator Theory in Hilbert Spaces, 2nd ed., Springer, 2017. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-319-48311-5
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Linear OptimizationOperations ResearchOptimization·Captain: mikedeng1

A Branch and Bound Algorithm for the Generalized Assignment Problem: The Knapsack Penalty Bound Equals the Lagrangean Bound at Second-Smallest CostsResearch Paper

Motivation

The generalized assignment problem (GAP) asks for the cheapest way to give each of nnn tasks to exactly one of mmm agents when every agent has a limited amount of a resource and different agents consume different amounts of it for the same task. It models assigning jobs to machines or computers, software tasks to programmers, commercials to time slots, and customers to single-source plants in capacitated facility location. The problem is NP-hard, so exact methods rely on lower bounds that are cheap to compute and strong enough to prune a branch and bound tree.

G. Terry Ross and Richard M. Soland (Mathematical Programming 8, 1975) gave such a bound. The relaxation that ignores the resource limits is solved by giving every task to its cheapest agent; the overloaded agents are then repaired by one small binary knapsack problem each, whose optimal values are added as penalties. Their paper then shows that this repaired bound is not an ad hoc heuristic: it is exactly the value of a Lagrangean relaxation of the GAP at an explicit choice of multipliers. This identity made the Ross–Soland bound the reference point for the later Lagrangean and column-generation methods for the GAP (for example Fisher, Jaikumar and Van Wassenhove, Management Science 1986 and Savelsbergh, Operations Research 1997).

Setting

Agents are I={1,…,m}I=\{1,\dots,m\}I={1,…,m} and tasks J={1,…,n}J=\{1,\dots,n\}J={1,…,n}. Giving task jjj to agent iii costs cijc_{ij}cij​ and uses rij≥0r_{ij}\ge 0rij​≥0 units of agent iii's resource; agent iii has bi>0b_i>0bi​>0 units. The problem is

(P)min⁡ ∑i∈I∑j∈Jcijxijs.t.∑j∈Jrijxij≤bi (i∈I),∑i∈Ixij=1 (j∈J),xij∈{0,1}.\text{(P)}\qquad \min\ \sum_{i\in I}\sum_{j\in J}c_{ij}x_{ij}\quad\text{s.t.}\quad\sum_{j\in J}r_{ij}x_{ij}\le b_i\ (i\in I),\quad\sum_{i\in I}x_{ij}=1\ (j\in J),\quad x_{ij}\in\{0,1\}.(P)min i∈I∑​j∈J∑​cij​xij​s.t.j∈J∑​rij​xij​≤bi​ (i∈I),i∈I∑​xij​=1 (j∈J),xij​∈{0,1}.

Dropping the resource constraints gives the relaxation (PR). It is solved by choosing, for each task jjj, a cheapest agent iji_jij​ with cijj=min⁡icijc_{i_jj}=\min_{i}c_{ij}cij​j​=mini​cij​ and setting xijj=1x_{i_jj}=1xij​j​=1; its value is Z=∑jcijjZ=\sum_jc_{i_jj}Z=∑j​cij​j​. Let Ji={j:ij=i}J_i=\{j: i_j=i\}Ji​={j:ij​=i} be the tasks this solution gives to agent iii, I′={i:∑j∈Jirij>bi}I'=\{i:\sum_{j\in J_i}r_{ij}>b_i\}I′={i:∑j∈Ji​​rij​>bi​} the overloaded agents, and di=∑j∈Jirij−bid_i=\sum_{j\in J_i}r_{ij}-b_idi​=∑j∈Ji​​rij​−bi​ the excess of agent iii. The penalty of moving task jjj away from iji_jij​ is pj=min⁡k≠ij(ckj−cijj)p_j=\min_{k\ne i_j}(c_{kj}-c_{i_jj})pj​=mink=ij​​(ckj​−cij​j​). For i∈I′i\in I'i∈I′ the binary knapsack problem

(PKi)min⁡ zi=∑j∈Jipjyijs.t.∑j∈Jirijyij≥di,yij∈{0,1}\text{(PK}_i)\qquad\min\ z_i=\sum_{j\in J_i}p_jy_{ij}\quad\text{s.t.}\quad\sum_{j\in J_i}r_{ij}y_{ij}\ge d_i,\quad y_{ij}\in\{0,1\}(PKi​)min zi​=j∈Ji​∑​pj​yij​s.t.j∈Ji​∑​rij​yij​≥di​,yij​∈{0,1}

chooses the cheapest set of tasks to move off agent iii; call its optimal value zi∗z^*_izi∗​. The knapsack bound is

LB=Z+∑i∈I′zi∗.\mathrm{LB}=Z+\sum_{i\in I'}z^*_i .LB=Z+i∈I′∑​zi∗​.

Dualizing the assignment constraints with multipliers λj\lambda_jλj​ gives the Lagrangean relaxation

(PRλ)min⁡ ∑i∈I∑j∈Jcijxij+∑j∈Jλj(1−∑i∈Ixij)s.t.∑j∈Jrijxij≤bi (i∈I),xij∈{0,1}.\text{(PR}_\lambda)\qquad\min\ \sum_{i\in I}\sum_{j\in J}c_{ij}x_{ij}+\sum_{j\in J}\lambda_j\Bigl(1-\sum_{i\in I}x_{ij}\Bigr)\quad\text{s.t.}\quad\sum_{j\in J}r_{ij}x_{ij}\le b_i\ (i\in I),\quad x_{ij}\in\{0,1\}.(PRλ​)min i∈I∑​j∈J∑​cij​xij​+j∈J∑​λj​(1−i∈I∑​xij​)s.t.j∈J∑​rij​xij​≤bi​ (i∈I),xij​∈{0,1}.

Finally c1jc_{1j}c1j​ and c2jc_{2j}c2j​ are the smallest and second smallest of c1j,…,cmjc_{1j},\dots,c_{mj}c1j​,…,cmj​, counted with multiplicity.

Formalization targets

Goal: the knapsack bound is the Lagrangean bound at λ=c2\lambda=c_2λ=c2​

For every cheapest-agent choice j↦ijj\mapsto i_jj↦ij​ and every choice of optimal knapsack solutions,

LB=min⁡{∑i∑jcijxij+∑jc2j(1−∑ixij) : x feasible for (PRλ)},\mathrm{LB}=\min\Bigl\{\sum_{i}\sum_{j}c_{ij}x_{ij}+\sum_{j}c_{2j}\Bigl(1-\sum_{i}x_{ij}\Bigr)\ :\ x\ \text{feasible for (PR}_\lambda)\Bigr\},LB=min{i∑​j∑​cij​xij​+j∑​c2j​(1−i∑​xij​) : x feasible for (PRλ​)},

the minimum being attained, and consequently LB≤∑i∑jcijxij\mathrm{LB}\le\sum_i\sum_jc_{ij}x_{ij}LB≤∑i​∑j​cij​xij​ for every xxx feasible for (P). This is the paper's "principal result of this Lagrangean analysis" (§2, p. 96). It has no constants to improve; it is an identity between two optimization problems.

Milestones

In the paper's order of use: (PR) is solved by the cheapest agents (pp. 93–94); every lower bound on (PRλ_\lambdaλ​) is a lower bound on (P) (p. 95); (PRλ_\lambdaλ​) separates into one binary knapsack per agent (p. 95); at λ=c2\lambda=c_2λ=c2​ the variables that are zero in the (PR) solution can be fixed at zero, the substitution yij=1−xijy_{ij}=1-x_{ij}yij​=1−xij​ turns agent iii's part into (PKi_ii​), pj=c2j−c1jp_j=c_{2j}-c_{1j}pj​=c2j​−c1j​, and agent iii's part has value −∑j∈Jipj+zi∗-\sum_{j\in J_i}p_j+z^*_i−∑j∈Ji​​pj​+zi∗​ (p. 96). Two side results close the section: the solution obtained by moving the tasks the knapsacks select has cost exactly LB, so it is optimal whenever it is feasible (pp. 94–95); and the optimal dual multipliers of the bounded-variable linear program (PRL_LL​) are exactly the vectors with c1j≤λj≤c2jc_{1j}\le\lambda_j\le c_{2j}c1j​≤λj​≤c2j​ (pp. 95–96).

Significance

The identity says that a bound computed from one sorting pass and a handful of small knapsacks equals a Lagrangean dual bound at a closed-form multiplier. Validity of LB for (P) then follows from weak Lagrangean duality alone, and the multiplier c2c_2c2​ is the upper end of the range of optimal dual multipliers of the linear program (PRL_LL​), which the paper singles out as a suitable choice of multipliers. The rebuilt solution gives the algorithm a feasible incumbent at no extra cost whenever the knapsack repairs happen to respect all budgets.

The result is proved in the paper, in one sentence. The mission turns that sentence into checked statements: the separation of (PRλ_\lambdaλ​), the reduction of each agent's subproblem to (PKi_ii​), the handling of ties among cheapest agents, and the role of nonnegative resources. As far as a search of the platform shows, nothing about the generalized assignment problem or its Lagrangean bounds has been formalized; the definitions here (assignment relaxations, per-agent knapsacks, bounded-variable duals) are reusable for other GAP and facility-location missions.

Difficulty

The Lagrangean relaxation at λ=c2\lambda=c_2λ=c2​ is a larger problem than the knapsack bound suggests: a feasible xxx may give a task to several agents or to none, and may use any agent, not only the cheapest one. The knapsack bound, by contrast, only looks at the tasks each agent receives in the (PR) solution. The paper bridges the two in one sentence of three observations, and each observation depends on a condition the sentence does not state: the sign of the resource coefficients, the treatment of agents that are not overloaded (for which no knapsack is solved), and ties among cheapest agents, which make some penalties zero and require the statement to hold for every tie-break. An inequality in one direction only (LB is a valid bound) is not the claim; the equality needs a feasible point of (PRλ_\lambdaλ​) whose value is exactly LB.

Formalization scope

Agents are Fin m and tasks Fin n, indexed from 0. Costs, resources, budgets, multipliers and variables are real numbers; a 0-1 variable is a real equal to 0 or 1, so the paper's sums are literal. The cheapest-agent selection is an arbitrary function a : Fin n → Fin m with IsCheapest c a, so every statement holds for every tie-break. pjp_jpj​ and c2jc_{2j}c2j​ are minima over the other agents, which requires m≥2m\ge2m≥2 (hm : 1 < m); c2jc_{2j}c2j​ is proved to be the second smallest cost with multiplicity. Optimal values are never encoded as sInf: zi∗z^*_izi∗​ is the objective of a given optimal knapsack solution, and "the bound provided by (PRλ_\lambdaλ​)" is stated as a lower bound over all feasible points that is attained.

Standing hypotheses: bi>0b_i>0bi​>0 (printed on p. 92), rij≥0r_{ij}\ge0rij​≥0 (implicit in "the resource required", and necessary: with a negative rijr_{ij}rij​ both (PRλ_\lambdaλ​) and (P) can fall below LB), and m≥2m\ge2m≥2. All costs are finite; the "not permissible" pairs of the paper's numerical example are outside the model.

A formalization that states only LB≤\mathrm{LB}\leLB≤ every (PRλ_\lambdaλ​) value, or that restricts the (PRλ_\lambdaλ​) competitors to the (PR) support or to at most one agent per task, would be a weaker theorem and does not meet the goal. The (PRL_LL​) dual is written out explicitly with multipliers uij≥0u_{ij}\ge0uij​≥0 for the bounds xij≤1x_{ij}\le1xij​≤1; "each optimal dual multiplier lies anywhere in the range c1j≤λj≤c2jc_{1j}\le\lambda_j\le c_{2j}c1j​≤λj​≤c2j​" is read as "the optimal multipliers are exactly this box".

Needed infrastructure is only finite sums over Fin and Finset.inf'. Proofs of the milestones, and lemmas on separable binary programs that could serve other Lagrangean-relaxation missions, are welcome.

Selected references

  • G. T. Ross and R. M. Soland, A branch and bound algorithm for the generalized assignment problem, Mathematical Programming 8 (1975) 91–103. https://doi.org/10.1007/BF01580430
  • A. M. Geoffrion, Lagrangean relaxation for integer programming, Mathematical Programming Study 2 (1974) 82–114. https://doi.org/10.1007/BFb0120690
  • M. L. Fisher, R. Jaikumar and L. N. Van Wassenhove, A multiplier adjustment method for the generalized assignment problem, Management Science 32 (1986) 1095–1103. https://doi.org/10.1287/mnsc.32.9.1095
  • M. Savelsbergh, A branch-and-price algorithm for the generalized assignment problem, Operations Research 45 (1997) 831–841. https://doi.org/10.1287/opre.45.6.831
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Operations ResearchProbabilityStatistics+1·Captain: mikedeng1

Weak Convergence and Optimal Scaling of Random Walk Metropolis Algorithms: Langevin Diffusion Limit of the First CoordinateResearch Paper

Motivation

The random walk Metropolis algorithm is one of the most widely used Markov chain Monte Carlo methods for sampling from a density known up to a constant. Its one tuning parameter is the variance of the Gaussian proposal. If the variance is too small, the chain accepts almost every move but barely moves. If it is too large, it proposes long jumps that are almost always rejected. Practitioners need a rule for choosing it, and the rule has to work in high dimension, where both failure modes are severe.

Roberts, Gelman and Gilks (Ann. Appl. Probab. 7(1), 1997) gave the first rigorous answer for product targets. As the dimension grows, one coordinate of the suitably speeded-up chain converges to a Langevin diffusion. The speed of that diffusion is an explicit function of the proposal scale, and maximising it gives the rule "tune the proposal so that about 23% of proposals are accepted". This rule, and the 2.38/√I scaling behind it, is now standard advice in applied Bayesian statistics.

Setting

Let f:R→Rf:\mathbb R\to\mathbb Rf:R→R be a target density: positive, C2C^2C2, integrating to one, with f′/ff'/ff′/f Lipschitz, and satisfying the moment conditions (A1) Ef[(f′/f)8]<∞\mathbb E_f[(f'/f)^8]<\inftyEf​[(f′/f)8]<∞ and (A2) Ef[(f′′/f)4]<∞\mathbb E_f[(f''/f)^4]<\inftyEf​[(f′′/f)4]<∞. Here Ef[g(X)]=∫g(x)f(x) dx\mathbb E_f[g(X)]=\int g(x)f(x)\,dxEf​[g(X)]=∫g(x)f(x)dx. In dimension n≥2n\ge2n≥2 the target is the product density πn(x)=∏i=1nf(xi)\pi_n(x)=\prod_{i=1}^n f(x_i)πn​(x)=∏i=1n​f(xi​) on Rn\mathbb R^nRn.

Fix a scale l>0l>0l>0 and set σn2=l2/(n−1)\sigma_n^2=l^2/(n-1)σn2​=l2/(n−1). The random walk Metropolis chain Xn=(X0n,X1n,… )X^n=(X^n_0,X^n_1,\dots)Xn=(X0n​,X1n​,…) moves as follows. From Xm−1nX^n_{m-1}Xm−1n​ it proposes Y∼N(Xm−1n,σn2In)Y\sim N(X^n_{m-1},\sigma_n^2I_n)Y∼N(Xm−1n​,σn2​In​). It sets Xmn=YX^n_m=YXmn​=Y with probability α(Xm−1n,Y)=1∧πn(Y)/πn(Xm−1n)\alpha(X^n_{m-1},Y)=1\wedge\pi_n(Y)/\pi_n(X^n_{m-1})α(Xm−1n​,Y)=1∧πn​(Y)/πn​(Xm−1n​), and Xmn=Xm−1nX^n_m=X^n_{m-1}Xmn​=Xm−1n​ otherwise. The chain starts from πn\pi_nπn​, which is stationary for it. The speeded-up first coordinate is Utn=X⌊nt⌋,1nU^n_t=X^n_{\lfloor nt\rfloor,1}Utn​=X⌊nt⌋,1n​ for t≥0t\ge0t≥0.

Let Φ\PhiΦ be the standard normal distribution function, and define the roughness I=Ef[(f′(X)/f(X))2]I=\mathbb E_f[(f'(X)/f(X))^2]I=Ef​[(f′(X)/f(X))2]. The speed and the limiting acceptance rate are

h(l)=2l2 Φ ⁣(−lI2),a(l)=2 Φ ⁣(−lI2).h(l)=2l^2\,\Phi\!\Big(-\frac{l\sqrt I}{2}\Big),\qquad a(l)=2\,\Phi\!\Big(-\frac{l\sqrt I}{2}\Big).h(l)=2l2Φ(−2lI​​),a(l)=2Φ(−2lI​​).

The Langevin generator is GV(x)=h(l)[12V′′(x)+12(log⁡f)′(x)V′(x)]GV(x)=h(l)\big[\tfrac12V''(x)+\tfrac12(\log f)'(x)V'(x)\big]GV(x)=h(l)[21​V′′(x)+21​(logf)′(x)V′(x)]. It generates the Langevin diffusion dUt=h(l)1/2dBt+h(l)f′(Ut)2f(Ut)dtdU_t=h(l)^{1/2}dB_t+h(l)\frac{f'(U_t)}{2f(U_t)}dtdUt​=h(l)1/2dBt​+h(l)2f(Ut​)f′(Ut​)​dt.

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem 1.1

As n→∞n\to\inftyn→∞,

Un⇒U,U^n\Rightarrow U,Un⇒U,

where ⇒\Rightarrow⇒ denotes weak convergence in the Skorokhod topology, U0U_0U0​ has density fff, and UUU is the Langevin diffusion with speed h(l)h(l)h(l). The limit is asserted to exist. No constants appear in the statement beyond those the model defines.

Milestones: the proof

  1. Lemma 2.1. The stationary chain stays in the sets Fn={∣Rn−I∣<n−1/8}∩{∣Sn−I∣<n−1/8}F_n=\{|R_n-I|<n^{-1/8}\}\cap\{|S_n-I|<n^{-1/8}\}Fn​={∣Rn​−I∣<n−1/8}∩{∣Sn​−I∣<n−1/8} up to time ttt with probability tending to one. Here RnR_nRn​ and SnS_nSn​ are the empirical averages of ((log⁡f)′)2((\log f)')^2((logf)′)2 and −(log⁡f)′′-(\log f)''−(logf)′′ over coordinates 2,…,n2,\dots,n2,…,n.
  2. Proposition 2.2. ∣1∧ex−1∧ey∣≤∣x−y∣|1\wedge e^x-1\wedge e^y|\le|x-y|∣1∧ex−1∧ey∣≤∣x−y∣.
  3. Lemma 2.3. sup⁡x∈FnE∣Wn∣→0\sup_{x\in F_n}\mathbb E|W_n|\to0supx∈Fn​​E∣Wn​∣→0, where WnW_nWn​ is the second-order part of the log acceptance ratio.
  4. Proposition 2.4. E[1∧eA]=Φ(μ/σ)+eμ+σ2/2Φ(−σ−μ/σ)\mathbb E[1\wedge e^A]=\Phi(\mu/\sigma)+e^{\mu+\sigma^2/2}\Phi(-\sigma-\mu/\sigma)E[1∧eA]=Φ(μ/σ)+eμ+σ2/2Φ(−σ−μ/σ) for A∼N(μ,σ2)A\sim N(\mu,\sigma^2)A∼N(μ,σ2).
  5. Lemma 2.5. lim sup⁡nsup⁡x1n∣E[V(Y1)−V(x1)]∣<∞\limsup_n\sup_{x_1}n|\mathbb E[V(Y_1)-V(x_1)]|<\inftylimsupn​supx1​​n∣E[V(Y1​)−V(x1​)]∣<∞ for V∈Cc∞V\in C_c^\inftyV∈Cc∞​.
  6. Lemma 2.6. The discrete generator GnV(x)=n E[(V(Y)−V(x))α(x,Y)]G_nV(x)=n\,\mathbb E[(V(Y)-V(x))\alpha(x,Y)]Gn​V(x)=nE[(V(Y)−V(x))α(x,Y)] converges to GVGVGV uniformly on FnF_nFn​, for V∈Cc∞V\in C_c^\inftyV∈Cc∞​ a function of the first coordinate (stated with bounded (log⁡f)′′′(\log f)'''(logf)′′′, the assumption its proof uses).

Milestones: the optimal-scaling corollary

  1. Corollary 1.2 (i). an(l)=∬πn(x)α(x,y)qn(x,y) dx dy→a(l)a_n(l)=\iint\pi_n(x)\alpha(x,y)q_n(x,y)\,dx\,dy\to a(l)an​(l)=∬πn​(x)α(x,y)qn​(x,y)dxdy→a(l).
  2. Corollary 1.2 (ii). hhh is maximised at l^=2.38/I\hat l=2.38/\sqrt Il^=2.38/I​, with a(l^)=0.23a(\hat l)=0.23a(l^)=0.23 and h(l^)=1.3/Ih(\hat l)=1.3/Ih(l^)=1.3/I, to the printed precision.

Significance

Theorem 1.1 shows that, run for nnn times as many steps, the chain in dimension nnn looks like a fixed one-dimensional diffusion. The algorithm's cost therefore grows linearly in dimension, and its efficiency is measured by the single number h(l)h(l)h(l). Corollary 1.2 turns this into the 0.234 acceptance-rate heuristic and the 2.38/I2.38/\sqrt I2.38/I​ scaling. The same diffusion-limit method has since been applied to the Metropolis-adjusted Langevin algorithm, to Hamiltonian Monte Carlo and to non-product targets.

The theorem is proved on paper; it has no machine-checked proof. A formal development would give the first verified diffusion limit of an MCMC algorithm. It would also yield reusable components: the Metropolis chain on Rn\mathbb R^nRn as a measurable random mapping, a martingale-problem characterisation of one-dimensional diffusions, and a Gaussian computation (Proposition 2.4) that recurs throughout the optimal-scaling literature.

Difficulty

The obvious approach, a Taylor expansion of the log acceptance ratio, gives a sum of n−1n-1n−1 terms of size 1/n1/n1/n. That sum does not concentrate uniformly over the state space, since the coordinates 2,…,n2,\dots,n2,…,n are arbitrary. The expansion is controlled only on the sets FnF_nFn​, where the empirical averages RnR_nRn​ and SnS_nSn​ are close to III. The limit therefore holds only after showing that the chain rarely leaves FnF_nFn​ over a time horizon of ntntnt steps. A pointwise law of large numbers is not enough for that, because the bound has to survive a union over ntntnt steps. Passing from generator convergence on a set of high probability to weak convergence of processes requires the Ethier–Kurtz convergence theory: a core for the limit generator, and convergence of processes that are not themselves Markov. None of this theory is in Mathlib.

Formalization scope

All declarations live in the namespace Roberts1997.RWM. The following conventions are fixed.

  • Vectors are Fin n → ℝ, and the paper's first coordinate x1x_1x1​ is index 0. Its coordinates 2,…,n2,\dots,n2,…,n are the indices i ≠ 0.
  • σn2=l2/(n−1)\sigma_n^2=l^2/(n-1)σn2​=l2/(n−1) is computed in R\mathbb RR. All statements concern n≥2n\ge2n≥2 or large nnn.
  • l>0l>0l>0 is assumed. The paper leaves it implicit, but h(−l)≠h(l)h(-l)\ne h(l)h(−l)=h(l).
  • "fff is a density" is read as ∫f=1\int f=1∫f=1. The moment conditions are read as integrability of (f′/f)8f(f'/f)^8f(f′/f)8f and (f′′/f)4f(f''/f)^4f(f′′/f)4f. The standing assumption "f′/ff'/ff′/f is Lipschitz" (p. 111) is carried by every statement.
  • The chain is built as a random mapping on an explicit probability space: x0∼πnx_0\sim\pi_nx0​∼πn​, with i.i.d. standard normal innovations and uniform acceptance variables. Theorem 1.1's initial condition (components i.i.d. fff, shared across dimensions) is read as "the nnn-th chain starts from πn\pi_nπn​", since weak convergence depends only on the law of each UnU^nUn.
  • "UUU satisfies the Langevin SDE" is read as "the law of UUU solves the martingale problem for GGG on Cc∞C_c^\inftyCc∞​, with continuous paths and initial law f(x) dxf(x)\,dxf(x)dx". This is equivalent by Ethier–Kurtz (1986), Ch. 5, Prop. 3.1 and Thm 3.3, and follows the platform definition EthierKurtz_IsContinuousDiffusionLaw.
  • "Un⇒UU^n\Rightarrow UUn⇒U" is read as the existence of an almost-sure coupling in which càdlàg copies of the UnU^nUn converge to a continuous Langevin path uniformly on compact time intervals. For a continuous limit this is equivalent to weak convergence in DR[0,∞)D_{\mathbb R}[0,\infty)DR​[0,∞), by Skorokhod's representation theorem and Ethier–Kurtz Ch. 3, Thm 1.8, Prop. 5.3 and Prop. 7.1. It follows the platform encoding of Ethier–Kurtz Theorem 7.4.1.
  • "sup⁡→0\sup\to0sup→0" and "lim sup⁡sup⁡<∞\limsup\sup<\inftylimsupsup<∞" are stated as eventual uniform bounds. This avoids real suprema, whose value on an unbounded set is a default.
  • In Lemma 2.6, "as d→∞d\to\inftyd→∞" is a misprint for n→∞n\to\inftyn→∞, and "2f(Ut)2f(Ut)2f(Ut)" in (1.2) is read as 2f(Ut)2f(U_t)2f(Ut​).
  • Corollary 1.2 (ii) is stated for an arbitrary constant I>0I>0I>0. "To two decimal places" is read as explicit rounding intervals: 1.31.31.3 is read to one decimal, and all maximisers over l>0l>0l>0 are covered.

The goal cannot be satisfied trivially. The limit law QQQ must exist, and it must be a probability measure whose initial marginal is f(x) dxf(x)\,dxf(x)dx, so the zero measure is excluded. The coupled copies must carry exactly the laws of the paths UnU^nUn, not an arbitrary process with the same one-time marginals.

The statements carry the paper's hypotheses, with one exception. The printed proof of Lemma 2.6 bounds sup⁡z∣(log⁡f)′′′(z)∣\sup_z|(\log f)'''(z)|supz​∣(logf)′′′(z)∣, which Theorem 1.1 does not assume, and under C2C^2C2 alone the uniform convergence over FnF_nFn​ claimed by Lemma 2.6 fails (narrow spikes of (log⁡f)′′(\log f)''(logf)′′ far out let a positive fraction of the coordinates shift the log acceptance ratio by a constant while RnR_nRn​ and SnS_nSn​ stay close to III). Lemma 2.6 is therefore stated with the proof's own assumption, f∈C3f\in C^3f∈C3 with (log⁡f)′′′(\log f)'''(logf)′′′ bounded, named as an addition. Theorem 1.1 and the other results keep the paper's hypotheses.

A complete development needs several pieces not yet available: path spaces and the Skorokhod topology (or the coupling reading), the martingale problem and its well-posedness for Lipschitz drift, and the Ethier–Kurtz theorem on convergence of generators on sets of high probability. Proofs of the Gaussian milestones (Propositions 2.2 and 2.4, Lemma 2.5) and of Corollary 1.2 (ii) are independent of this infrastructure and are welcome contributions.

Selected references

  • G. O. Roberts, A. Gelman, W. R. Gilks, Weak convergence and optimal scaling of random walk Metropolis algorithms, Ann. Appl. Probab. 7(1), 110–120, 1997. https://doi.org/10.1214/aoap/1034625254
  • S. N. Ethier, T. G. Kurtz, Markov Processes: Characterization and Convergence, Wiley, 1986. https://doi.org/10.1002/9780470316658
  • A. Gelman, G. O. Roberts, W. R. Gilks, Efficient Metropolis jumping rules, Bayesian Statistics 5, Oxford University Press, 599–607, 1996.
  • G. O. Roberts, J. S. Rosenthal, Optimal scaling for various Metropolis–Hastings algorithms, Statistical Science 16(4), 351–367, 2001. https://doi.org/10.1214/ss/1015346320
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CombinatoricsGraph TheoryLinear Optimization+1·Captain: mikedeng1

Cones of Matrices and Set-Functions and 0–1 Optimization II: One Round of N on the Stable Set Polytope Gives Exactly the Odd Hole ConstraintsResearch Paper

Motivation

The stable set problem (vertex packing) asks for a largest set of pairwise non-adjacent nodes of a graph. It is NP-hard, and its polyhedral study, the description of the stable set polytope STAB(G)\mathrm{STAB}(G)STAB(G) by linear inequalities, is one of the most studied topics of polyhedral combinatorics. Classes of valid inequalities (clique, odd hole, odd antihole, wheel constraints) and the graph classes they describe exactly (perfect, ttt-perfect, hhh-perfect graphs) organize much of that literature; see Grötschel, Lovász and Schrijver, Geometric Algorithms and Combinatorial Optimization (Springer, 1988).

Lovász and Schrijver (SIAM J. Optim. 1(2), 1991) introduced a general lift-and-project procedure for 0–1 programs: lift a relaxation KKK into a space of matrices, impose linear conditions that every 0–1 point satisfies, and project back. One round of their operator NNN gives a tighter relaxation N(K)N(K)N(K) that still contains every 0–1 point of KKK; nnn rounds give the 0–1 hull. The procedure is an ancestor of the Sherali–Adams and Lasserre hierarchies, and the stable set problem is its first test case. This mission formalizes the paper's exact description of what one round of NNN does to the fractional stable set polytope: it adds precisely the odd hole constraints.

Setting

Let G=(V,E)G = (V, E)G=(V,E) be a finite graph with no isolated nodes, n=∣V∣n = |V|n=∣V∣. Vectors of RV∪{0}\mathbb{R}^{V \cup \{0\}}RV∪{0} have a distinguished coordinate x0x_0x0​; RV\mathbb{R}^VRV sits inside as the hyperplane H0={x0=1}H_0 = \{x_0 = 1\}H0​={x0​=1}, via x↦(1,x)x \mapsto (1, x)x↦(1,x).

  • FRAC(G)⊆RV\mathrm{FRAC}(G) \subseteq \mathbb{R}^VFRAC(G)⊆RV is the solution set of the nonnegativity constraints xi≥0x_i \ge 0xi​≥0 (i∈Vi \in Vi∈V) and the edge constraints xi+xj≤1x_i + x_j \le 1xi​+xj​≤1 (ij∈Eij \in Eij∈E).
  • FR(G)⊆RV∪{0}\mathrm{FR}(G) \subseteq \mathbb{R}^{V\cup\{0\}}FR(G)⊆RV∪{0} is the cone given by xi≥0x_i \ge 0xi​≥0 and xi+xj≤x0x_i + x_j \le x_0xi​+xj​≤x0​; it is the cone spanned by the vectors (1,x)(1, x)(1,x) with x∈FRAC(G)x \in \mathrm{FRAC}(G)x∈FRAC(G).
  • QQQ is the cone spanned by the 0–1 vectors with x0=1x_0 = 1x0​=1. For a convex cone KKK, its polar cone is K∗={u:uTx≥0 ∀x∈K}K^* = \{u : u^{\mathsf T}x \ge 0 \ \forall x \in K\}K∗={u:uTx≥0 ∀x∈K}.
  • M(K)=M(K,Q)M(K) = M(K, Q)M(K)=M(K,Q) is the set of (n+1)×(n+1)(n+1)\times(n+1)(n+1)×(n+1) matrices Y=(yij)Y = (y_{ij})Y=(yij​) that are symmetric, satisfy yii=y0iy_{ii} = y_{0i}yii​=y0i​ for i∈Vi \in Vi∈V, and satisfy uTYv≥0u^{\mathsf T} Y v \ge 0uTYv≥0 for all u∈K∗u \in K^*u∈K∗, v∈Q∗v \in Q^*v∈Q∗.
  • N(K)={Ye0:Y∈M(K)}N(K) = \{Y e_0 : Y \in M(K)\}N(K)={Ye0​:Y∈M(K)}, and N(G)={x∈RV:(1,x)∈N(FR(G))}N(G) = \{x \in \mathbb{R}^V : (1, x) \in N(\mathrm{FR}(G))\}N(G)={x∈RV:(1,x)∈N(FR(G))}.
  • A set C⊆VC \subseteq VC⊆V is an odd hole if it induces a chordless cycle of odd length ∣C∣≥3|C| \ge 3∣C∣≥3 (triangles included). Its odd hole constraint is ∑i∈Cxi≤12(∣C∣−1)\sum_{i \in C} x_i \le \frac12(|C| - 1)∑i∈C​xi​≤21​(∣C∣−1).

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem 2.3 (p. 178)

For every finite graph GGG without isolated nodes,

N(G)={x∈RV:xi≥0 (i∈V),  xi+xj≤1 (ij∈E),  ∑i∈Cxi≤12(∣C∣−1) (C an odd hole)}.N(G) = \Big\{x \in \mathbb{R}^V : x_i \ge 0\ (i \in V),\ \ x_i + x_j \le 1\ (ij \in E),\ \ \sum_{i \in C} x_i \le \tfrac12(|C|-1)\ (C \text{ an odd hole})\Big\}.N(G)={x∈RV:xi​≥0 (i∈V),  xi​+xj​≤1 (ij∈E),  i∈C∑​xi​≤21​(∣C∣−1) (C an odd hole)}.

Milestones, in the order the proof uses them

  1. Lemma 1.3 (p. 171): for a convex cone K⊆QK \subseteq QK⊆Q and i∈Vi \in Vi∈V, N(K)⊆(K∩Hi)+(K∩Gi)N(K) \subseteq (K \cap H_i) + (K \cap G_i)N(K)⊆(K∩Hi​)+(K∩Gi​), with Hi={xi=0}H_i = \{x_i = 0\}Hi​={xi​=0}, Gi={xi=x0}G_i = \{x_i = x_0\}Gi​={xi​=x0​}.
  2. Lemma 2.2 (p. 178): if both the deletion and the contraction of some node vvv give inequalities valid for KKK, then aTx≤ba^{\mathsf T}x \le baTx≤b is valid for N(K)N(K)N(K).
  3. Part (1) of the proof of Theorem 2.3 (p. 178): for an odd hole CCC and i∈Ci \in Ci∈C, the deletion and contraction of iii in the odd hole constraint are valid for FRAC(G)\mathrm{FRAC}(G)FRAC(G).
  4. Observation of Section 2.b (p. 177): every Y∈M(FR(G))Y \in M(\mathrm{FR}(G))Y∈M(FR(G)) has yij=0y_{ij} = 0yij​=0 for ij∈Eij \in Eij∈E.
  5. Part (2) of the proof of Theorem 2.3 (p. 178): x∈N(G)x \in N(G)x∈N(G) if and only if some nonnegative symmetric YYY with y00=1y_{00} = 1y00​=1, yi0=yii=xiy_{i0} = y_{ii} = x_iyi0​=yii​=xi​ satisfies xi+xj+xk−1≤yik+yjk≤xkx_i + x_j + x_k - 1 \le y_{ik} + y_{jk} \le x_kxi​+xj​+xk​−1≤yik​+yjk​≤xk​ for all i,j,ki, j, ki,j,k with ij∈Eij \in Eij∈E.
  6. Lemma 2.4 (p. 178): a system a(ij)≤yi+yj≤b(ij)a(ij) \le y_i + y_j \le b(ij)a(ij)≤yi​+yj​≤b(ij), y≥0y \ge 0y≥0, y∣U=0y|_U = 0y∣U​=0 on a graph is infeasible if and only if a walk with a negative alternating sum of one of four types exists.

Significance

Theorem 2.3 gives a complete description of one round of NNN on the stable set problem: the only new constraints are the odd hole constraints. Consequences:

  • For ttt-perfect graphs (those for which nonnegativity, edge and odd hole constraints describe STAB(G)\mathrm{STAB}(G)STAB(G)), N(G)=STAB(G)N(G) = \mathrm{STAB}(G)N(G)=STAB(G).
  • It is the base case for the paper's bounds on the NNN-index of stable set inequalities (Theorem 2.13), and it contrasts with the semidefinite operator N+N_+N+​, which after one round already satisfies clique, odd antihole and wheel constraints.
  • Lemma 2.4 is a combinatorial feasibility criterion for systems with two variables per inequality, useful beyond this paper.

The result has been proved since 1991. At the time of drafting, Prove2Me holds no formalization of it or of any part of the Lovász–Schrijver construction, and Mathlib has none. The mission produces a formal account of the NNN operator on the stable set polytope and a formal proof of the walk criterion for two-variable systems.

Difficulty

The inclusion of N(G)N(G)N(G) in the odd hole system is a short argument once Lemma 1.3 is available. The reverse inclusion is the substance: given xxx satisfying all odd hole constraints, one must exhibit a lifted matrix YYY. A direct appeal to Farkas' lemma yields a certificate with no visible relation to odd cycles; the difficulty is to show that every obstruction to solvability of the matrix system forces a violated odd hole constraint, which is what Lemma 2.4 and the analysis of its four walk types accomplish. Case (d) of that analysis needs the odd hole constraints; the other cases need only the edge constraints. Lemma 2.4 itself is called folklore on the page and is stated without proof there.

A further point: Lemma 2.4 is stated for lower bounds 0≤a0 \le a0≤a, while the lower bounds that arise from the matrix system, xi+xj+xk−1x_i + x_j + x_k - 1xi​+xj​+xk​−1, can be negative.

Formalization scope

  • Coordinates of RV∪{0}\mathbb{R}^{V\cup\{0\}}RV∪{0} are indexed by Option V, with none the coordinate x0x_0x0​. Graphs are Mathlib SimpleGraphs on a finite type VVV with decidable adjacency. Every statement about a graph carries the paper's standing assumption that GGG has no isolated nodes (∀ v, ∃ w, G.Adj v w).
  • MMM is defined by condition (iii), never by its rewritings. Lemma 1.3 and Lemma 2.2 take the cone KKK closed, a hypothesis the paper leaves tacit (its cones are polyhedral); for a non-closed KKK Lemma 1.3 is false. FR(G)\mathrm{FR}(G)FR(G) is polyhedral, so the goal needs no such hypothesis.
  • FR(G)\mathrm{FR}(G)FR(G) is defined by its constraints; this agrees with the cone over FRAC(G)\mathrm{FRAC}(G)FRAC(G) because GGG has no isolated nodes.
  • Lemma 2.2 is stated in cone form: KKK is any closed convex cone inside FR(G)\mathrm{FR}(G)FR(G), and validity is read on the slice x0=1x_0 = 1x0​=1. The paper's extra hypothesis STAB(G)⊆K\mathrm{STAB}(G) \subseteq KSTAB(G)⊆K is dropped, which strengthens the lemma.
  • Deletion and contraction of a node are coefficient vectors on the same graph (coefficients set to 000), not inequalities on the subgraphs G−vG - vG−v and G−Γ(v)−vG - \Gamma(v) - vG−Γ(v)−v.
  • Odd holes are chordless odd cycles including triangles; triangles are needed, as 121\tfrac12\mathbf 121​1 satisfies all other constraints on a triangle.
  • The matrix system of part (2) is stated as an equivalence; the page uses one direction.
  • Lemma 2.4 uses edge values on unordered pairs and strict inequalities, exactly as printed.

A trivializing formalization is ruled out: the goal is the set equality for every graph without isolated nodes, not the existence of a lifted matrix and not a single graph.

Not formalized here: the semidefinite operator N+N_+N+​, the operator N^\hat NN^, algorithmic statements (Theorems 1.6, 2.1, Corollary 2.5), and the set-function results of Section 3.

Reusable beyond this mission: the matrix cone layer (QQQ, MMM, NNN), the stable-set cones, and the two-variable feasibility criterion of Lemma 2.4. Contributions of any of the milestones, and of general facts about polar cones of polyhedral cones in this setting, are welcome.

Selected references

  • L. Lovász and A. Schrijver, Cones of matrices and set-functions and 0–1 optimization, SIAM Journal on Optimization 1(2) (1991) 166–190. https://doi.org/10.1137/0801013
  • M. Grötschel, L. Lovász and A. Schrijver, Geometric Algorithms and Combinatorial Optimization, Springer, 1988. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-642-97881-4
  • H. D. Sherali and W. P. Adams, A hierarchy of relaxations between the continuous and convex hull representations for zero-one programming problems, SIAM Journal on Discrete Mathematics 3(3) (1990) 411–430. https://doi.org/10.1137/0403036
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Operations ResearchOptimization·Captain: mikedeng1

Strategic Capacity Rationing to Induce Early Purchases: Rationing Is Optimal When the Valuation Bound Reaches U_c, Low-Price-Only OtherwiseResearch Paper

Motivation

Retailers of seasonal goods sell at a full price first and mark down later. Customers who know this can wait for the markdown, and a firm that always has stock left for the markdown teaches them to wait. One remedy is to stock less than the low-price market would absorb, so that a customer who waits risks not getting the good at all. Liu and van Ryzin (Management Science 54(6), 2008) model this capacity rationing as a two-period game between a monopolist who chooses a stocking quantity and risk-averse customers who choose when to buy, and they characterize exactly when rationing is worth its cost in lost sales. The paper belongs to the revenue-management literature on strategic customers, where the firm's decision must anticipate the customers' best response to it.

Setting

A firm announces a price p1p_1p1​ for period 1 and a lower price p2<p1p_2<p_1p2​<p1​ for period 2 and buys CCC units at unit cost α<p2\alpha<p_2α<p2​ before sales start; there is no replenishment. A market of N>0N>0N>0 customers, each wanting one unit, has valuations vvv drawn independently from a distribution FFF; from §3 on, FFF is uniform on [0,Uˉ][0,\bar U][0,Uˉ].

Period-2 requests are filled at random with probability qqq, the fill rate, which customers anticipate correctly. Every customer has the same utility uuu: strictly increasing, concave, twice differentiable, with u(0)=0u(0)=0u(0)=0; from §3 on, u(x)=xγu(x)=x^\gammau(x)=xγ with 0<γ<10<\gamma<10<γ<1 (smaller γ\gammaγ means more risk aversion). A customer with valuation vvv buys in period 1 exactly when

v≥p1andu(v−p1)≥q u(v−p2).v\ge p_1\quad\text{and}\quad u(v-p_1)\ge q\,u(v-p_2).v≥p1​andu(v−p1​)≥qu(v−p2​).

The threshold v(q)v(q)v(q) separates early buyers from waiters.

Under the §3 assumptions, a cutoff v∈[p1,Uˉ]v\in[p_1,\bar U]v∈[p1​,Uˉ] is induced by the fill rate q(v)=((v−p1)/(v−p2))γq(v)=((v-p_1)/(v-p_2))^\gammaq(v)=((v−p1​)/(v−p2​))γ and the stocking quantity C(v)=NUˉ(Uˉ−v+(v−p2)q(v))C(v)=\frac{N}{\bar U}(\bar U-v+(v-p_2)q(v))C(v)=UˉN​(Uˉ−v+(v−p2​)q(v)). The firm's profit from a segmented market is

Π(v)=NUˉ((p1−α)(Uˉ−v)+(p2−α)(v−p2)(v−p1v−p2)γ),(6)\Pi(v)=\frac{N}{\bar U}\left((p_1-\alpha)(\bar U-v)+(p_2-\alpha)(v-p_2)\left(\frac{v-p_1}{v-p_2}\right)^\gamma\right),\tag{6}Π(v)=UˉN​((p1​−α)(Uˉ−v)+(p2​−α)(v−p2​)(v−p2​v−p1​​)γ),(6)

and the profit from serving everybody at the low price is ΠNS=(p2−α)NUˉ(Uˉ−p2)\Pi^{NS}=(p_2-\alpha)\frac{N}{\bar U}(\bar U-p_2)ΠNS=(p2​−α)UˉN​(Uˉ−p2​). The firm's optimal profit is the larger of Π0=max⁡p1≤v≤UˉΠ(v)\Pi^0=\max_{p_1\le v\le\bar U}\Pi(v)Π0=maxp1​≤v≤Uˉ​Π(v) and ΠNS\Pi^{NS}ΠNS. The first-order condition of (6) is

(v−p1v−p2)γ(1+γ(p1−p2)v−p1)−p1−αp2−α=0,(7)\left(\frac{v-p_1}{v-p_2}\right)^\gamma\left(1+\frac{\gamma(p_1-p_2)}{v-p_1}\right)-\frac{p_1-\alpha}{p_2-\alpha}=0,\tag{7}(v−p2​v−p1​​)γ(1+v−p1​γ(p1​−p2​)​)−p2​−αp1​−α​=0,(7)

with root v0>p1v^0>p_1v0>p1​, and the critical valuation bound is

Uc=(p2+γ(p1−α))v0−p2(p1+γ(p2−α))v0−p1+γ(p1−p2).(8)U_c=\frac{(p_2+\gamma(p_1-\alpha))v^0-p_2(p_1+\gamma(p_2-\alpha))}{v^0-p_1+\gamma(p_1-p_2)}.\tag{8}Uc​=v0−p1​+γ(p1​−p2​)(p2​+γ(p1​−α))v0−p2​(p1​+γ(p2​−α))​.(8)

In Lean these objects are IsCustomerUtility, buysEarly, cutoff (module LiuVanRyzin.Model) and fillRate, capacity, segProfit, lowPriceProfit, focLHS, criticalU (module LiuVanRyzin.PowerModel).

Formalization targets

Goal: Proposition 3 (p. 1122)

If Uˉ≥Uc\bar U\ge U_cUˉ≥Uc​, rationing is optimal: v0∈[p1,Uˉ]v^0\in[p_1,\bar U]v0∈[p1​,Uˉ], v0v^0v0 maximizes Π\PiΠ on [p1,Uˉ][p_1,\bar U][p1​,Uˉ], and Π(v0)≥ΠNS\Pi(v^0)\ge\Pi^{NS}Π(v0)≥ΠNS. If Uˉ<Uc\bar U<U_cUˉ<Uc​, serving the whole market at the low price is optimal:

Π(v)≤ΠNSfor all v∈[p1,Uˉ].\Pi(v)\le\Pi^{NS}\qquad\text{for all }v\in[p_1,\bar U].Π(v)≤ΠNSfor all v∈[p1​,Uˉ].

The goal fixes no constants; it is the paper's dichotomy, stated with its own (7) and (8).

Milestones, in attack order

  1. Proposition 1 (p. 1120): for every q∈[0,1)q\in[0,1)q∈[0,1) the threshold v(q)≥p1v(q)\ge p_1v(q)≥p1​ exists and is unique, for a general utility.
  2. Proposition 2 (p. 1120): v(q)v(q)v(q) is strictly increasing in qqq, and convex if u′′′≥0u'''\ge 0u′′′≥0.
  3. Proposition 5 (p. 1123): C(v)C(v)C(v) and q(v)q(v)q(v) are strictly increasing on [p1,Uˉ][p_1,\bar U][p1​,Uˉ], so choosing CCC is the same as choosing vvv or qqq.
  4. §3.1, root of (7) (p. 1122): the left side of (7) strictly decreases on v>p1v>p_1v>p1​ and changes sign, so v0v^0v0 exists and is unique.
  5. Lemma 1 (p. 1122): Π\PiΠ is strictly concave on v≥p1v\ge p_1v≥p1​; its maximizer on [p1,Uˉ][p_1,\bar U][p1​,Uˉ] is v0v^0v0 if v0≤Uˉv^0\le\bar Uv0≤Uˉ, and Uˉ\bar UUˉ otherwise.
  6. §3.1, bounds (p. 1122): UcU_cUc​ decreases in v0v^0v0, p1<v0<p1+γ(p2−α)p_1<v^0<p_1+\gamma(p_2-\alpha)p1​<v0<p1​+γ(p2​−α), and p1+γ(p2−α)<Uc<p1+p2−αp_1+\gamma(p_2-\alpha)<U_c<p_1+p_2-\alphap1​+γ(p2​−α)<Uc​<p1​+p2​−α.

Significance

Proposition 3 answers the paper's central question: whether a firm facing strategic, risk-averse customers should deliberately under-stock. The answer depends on a single number, UcU_cUc​, which depends on prices, cost and risk aversion but not on the market size, and it is compared with the top of the valuation range. Corollary 1, the γ→1\gamma\to1γ→1 limits of Proposition 4, and the comparative statics of Propositions 6–8 on how the optimal fill rate moves with p1p_1p1​, p2p_2p2​ and γ\gammaγ are all read off from it. The bounds of milestone 6 turn it into sufficient conditions stated in the primitives alone.

The results are proved in the paper's e-companion (Online Appendix C). No machine-checked proof of any of them is known. Formalizing them gives a verified instance of a pattern that recurs throughout revenue management: a customer best response (a threshold), a reduction of the firm's problem to one scalar decision, a concavity argument, and a comparison of two regimes.

Difficulty

Most of the work is analysis of real powers with a moving base. Π\PiΠ contains (v−p2)((v−p1)/(v−p2))γ(v-p_2)\bigl((v-p_1)/(v-p_2)\bigr)^\gamma(v−p2​)((v−p1​)/(v−p2​))γ, whose derivative blows up at v=p1v=p_1v=p1​, so its concavity on the closed half-line [p1,∞)[p_1,\infty)[p1​,∞) is not a routine second-derivative computation at the endpoint. The regime comparison in Proposition 3 is not implied by Lemma 1: Lemma 1 locates the segmented optimum, but whether it beats ΠNS\Pi^{NS}ΠNS depends on Uˉ\bar UUˉ, which enters Π\PiΠ both through the prefactor N/UˉN/\bar UN/Uˉ and through Uˉ−v\bar U-vUˉ−v. The equivalence of that comparison with Uˉ≥Uc\bar U\ge U_cUˉ≥Uc​ requires eliminating (v0−p1)/(v0−p2)(v^0-p_1)/(v^0-p_2)(v0−p1​)/(v0−p2​) with (7).

For Propositions 1–2 the utility is general: the threshold is defined by an inequality between u(v−p1)u(v-p_1)u(v−p1​) and q u(v−p2)q\,u(v-p_2)qu(v−p2​), and neither its monotonicity in qqq nor its convexity under u′′′≥0u'''\ge0u′′′≥0 follows from a closed form. Only for xγx^\gammaxγ is there one.

Formalization scope

All quantities are real numbers. The utility of Propositions 1–2 is a function u:R→Ru:\mathbb R\to\mathbb Ru:R→R that is strictly increasing, concave and continuous on [0,∞)[0,\infty)[0,∞), twice differentiable on (0,∞)(0,\infty)(0,∞), with u(0)=0u(0)=0u(0)=0. The threshold v(q)v(q)v(q) is defined as the infimum of the set of early buyers, not assumed. Powers are Real.rpow; every power-model statement stays on v≥p1v\ge p_1v≥p1​, or on v>p1v>p_1v>p1​ where (v−p1)−1(v-p_1)^{-1}(v−p1​)−1 appears. Π\PiΠ is written in the closed form (6). The root v0v^0v0 is a binder constrained by v0>p1v^0>p_1v0>p1​ and (7), and milestone 4 shows such a root exists. "Increases" in Propositions 2 and 5 is read as strictly increasing.

Hypotheses the paper uses without stating them, added here:

  • 0≤p2<Uˉ0\le p_2<\bar U0≤p2​<Uˉ in the goal. The uniform law gives NFˉ(p2)=NUˉ(Uˉ−p2)N\bar F(p_2)=\frac N{\bar U}(\bar U-p_2)NFˉ(p2​)=UˉN​(Uˉ−p2​) only for p2∈[0,Uˉ]p_2\in[0,\bar U]p2​∈[0,Uˉ], and it makes Uˉ>0\bar U>0Uˉ>0.
  • p1≤Uˉp_1\le\bar Up1​≤Uˉ in the second part of Lemma 1, because (6) maximizes over the interval [p1,Uˉ][p_1,\bar U][p1​,Uˉ].
  • Continuity of uuu at 000 in Propositions 1–2. The paper's "twice differentiable" implies it for any utility differentiable at 000, and xγx^\gammaxγ satisfies it.
  • In Proposition 2, "nonnegative third derivative" is read as u∈C3(0,∞)u\in C^3(0,\infty)u∈C3(0,∞) with u′′′≥0u'''\ge0u′′′≥0 there.

The goal cannot be trivialized: v0v^0v0 is pinned to the root of (7), part 2 quantifies over every v∈[p1,Uˉ]v\in[p_1,\bar U]v∈[p1​,Uˉ], and the optimum is compared with ΠNS\Pi^{NS}ΠNS exactly as the paper defines optimality.

Contributions are welcome at every level. Useful ones include the real-power calculus lemmas behind milestones 3–6, a proof of Propositions 1–2 for general concave utilities, and reusable facts about thresholds defined by single-crossing inequalities.

Selected references

  • Q. Liu, G. van Ryzin, Strategic Capacity Rationing to Induce Early Purchases, Management Science 54(6):1115–1131, 2008. https://doi.org/10.1287/mnsc.1070.0832
  • K. T. Talluri, G. J. van Ryzin, The Theory and Practice of Revenue Management, Kluwer, 2004. https://doi.org/10.1007/b139000
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Operations ResearchOptimizationProbability·Captain: mikedeng1

Advance Demand Information, Price Discrimination, and Preorder Strategies: When Preorder Profit Increases with Demand CorrelationResearch Paper

Motivation

Firms that sell new products (consoles, books, films) often take preorders before release. A preorder serves two purposes at once. It lets the firm charge early adopters a different price from later buyers, a form of price discrimination, and the number of preorders is advance demand information: an early signal of how large regular-season demand will be. Li and Zhang (MSOM 15(1), 2013) ask whether better advance information always helps a seller who runs a preorder, when consumers are strategic and anticipate the seller's stocking decision. Their answer is no. The second-period stocking decision improves, but the preorder price can fall. Whether the net effect is positive depends on the low-type margin and the size of the early-adopter segment.

This mission formalizes that answer, §4 of the paper: the preorder profit as a function of the demand correlation ρ\rhoρ.

Setting

A seller sells a perishable product over two periods. High-type consumers, with valuation vHv_HvH​, arrive in the first period and may preorder at price p1p_1p1​. Low-type consumers, with valuation vL<vHv_L < v_HvL​<vH​, arrive in the second period, when the price is p2p_2p2​. A high type who waits values the product at δvH\delta v_HδvH​, where δ≤1\delta \le 1δ≤1 and δvH>vL\delta v_H > v_LδvH​>vL​. The unit cost is ccc, with 0<c<vL0 < c < v_L0<c<vL​. Unsold units have no salvage value and unmet demand carries no penalty. Write Δ=δvH−vL\Delta = \delta v_H - v_LΔ=δvH​−vL​.

The demands are jointly normal with correlation ρ∈[0,1)\rho \in [0,1)ρ∈[0,1). The high-type demand has mean μH\mu_HμH​, and XXX denotes its standardization, a standard normal variable. The low-type demand has mean μL\mu_LμL​, standard deviation σL\sigma_LσL​ and λL=μL/σL\lambda_L = \mu_L/\sigma_LλL​=μL​/σL​. Given X=xX = xX=x, the updated low-type demand X~L(x)\tilde X_L(x)X~L​(x) is normal with mean μ~L(x)=μL+ρσLx\tilde\mu_L(x) = \mu_L + \rho\sigma_L xμ~​L​(x)=μL​+ρσL​x and standard deviation σ~L=σL1−ρ2\tilde\sigma_L = \sigma_L\sqrt{1-\rho^2}σ~L​=σL​1−ρ2​. Φ\PhiΦ and ϕ\phiϕ are the standard normal distribution function and density, and zLz_LzL​ solves Φ(zL)=(vL−c)/vL\Phi(z_L) = (v_L - c)/v_LΦ(zL​)=(vL​−c)/vL​.

In the second period the seller charges p2=vLp_2 = v_Lp2​=vL​ and solves a newsvendor problem. It orders

Q(x)=μ~L(x)+zLσ~L(1)Q(x) = \tilde\mu_L(x) + z_L\tilde\sigma_L \qquad (1)Q(x)=μ~​L​(x)+zL​σ~L​(1)

and earns ΠL(x)=(vL−c)(μL+ρσLx)−vLϕ(zL)σL1−ρ2\Pi_L(x) = (v_L - c)(\mu_L + \rho\sigma_L x) - v_L\phi(z_L)\sigma_L\sqrt{1-\rho^2}ΠL​(x)=(vL​−c)(μL​+ρσL​x)−vL​ϕ(zL​)σL​1−ρ2​ (2). A waiting high type believes half of the remaining consumers will be served before her, so her belief of product availability is

ξ(ρ)=E[Pr⁡(X~L(X)2<Q(X))].(3)\xi(\rho) = \mathbb E\Big[\Pr\Big(\tfrac{\tilde X_L(X)}{2} < Q(X)\Big)\Big]. \qquad (3)ξ(ρ)=E[Pr(2X~L​(X)​<Q(X))].(3)

In the rational-expectations equilibrium every high type preorders at p1=vH−Δξp_1 = v_H - \Delta\xip1​=vH​−Δξ. The preorder profit is

Πp(ρ)=(vH−Δξ(ρ)−c)μH+ΠL(0).(4)\Pi^p(\rho) = (v_H - \Delta\xi(\rho) - c)\mu_H + \Pi_L(0). \qquad (4)Πp(ρ)=(vH​−Δξ(ρ)−c)μH​+ΠL​(0).(4)

The threshold is

μ~(ρ)=−vLϕ(zL)σL2ΔzL ϕ(2zL1−ρ2+λL).(6)\tilde\mu(\rho) = -\frac{v_L\phi(z_L)\sigma_L}{2\Delta z_L\,\phi\big(2z_L\sqrt{1-\rho^2} + \lambda_L\big)}. \qquad (6)μ~​(ρ)=−2ΔzL​ϕ(2zL​1−ρ2​+λL​)vL​ϕ(zL​)σL​​.(6)

Formalization targets

Goal: PROPOSITION 2

(i) c<vL<2c: Πp strictly increases on every interval where μH<μ~(ρ),and strictly decreases on every interval where μH≥μ~(ρ);(ii) vL≥2c: Πp strictly increases on [0,1).\begin{aligned} &\text{(i) } c < v_L < 2c:\ \Pi^p \text{ strictly increases on every interval where } \mu_H < \tilde\mu(\rho),\\ &\qquad\text{and strictly decreases on every interval where } \mu_H \ge \tilde\mu(\rho);\\ &\text{(ii) } v_L \ge 2c:\ \Pi^p \text{ strictly increases on } [0,1). \end{aligned}​(i) c<vL​<2c: Πp strictly increases on every interval where μH​<μ~​(ρ),and strictly decreases on every interval where μH​≥μ~​(ρ);(ii) vL​≥2c: Πp strictly increases on [0,1).​

Milestones

  1. (1)–(2): Q(x)Q(x)Q(x) is the unique maximizer of E[vLmin⁡(Q,X~L(x))−cQ]\mathbb E[v_L\min(Q,\tilde X_L(x)) - cQ]E[vL​min(Q,X~L​(x))−cQ], and its value is ΠL(x)\Pi_L(x)ΠL​(x).
  2. (3): ξ(ρ)=E[Φ((λL+ρX)/1−ρ2+2zL)]\xi(\rho) = \mathbb E\big[\Phi\big((\lambda_L + \rho X)/\sqrt{1-\rho^2} + 2z_L\big)\big]ξ(ρ)=E[Φ((λL​+ρX)/1−ρ2​+2zL​)].
  3. LEMMA 1(i): if c<vL<2cc < v_L < 2cc<vL​<2c, then zL<0z_L < 0zL​<0 and ξ\xiξ is strictly increasing in ρ\rhoρ.
  4. LEMMA 1(ii): if vL≥2cv_L \ge 2cvL​≥2c, then zL≥0z_L \ge 0zL​≥0 and ξ\xiξ is non-increasing in ρ\rhoρ, strictly so when vL>2cv_L > 2cvL​>2c.
  5. After (5): ddρΠL(0)=vLϕ(zL)σL ρ/1−ρ2>0\dfrac{d}{d\rho}\Pi_L(0) = v_L\phi(z_L)\sigma_L\,\rho/\sqrt{1-\rho^2} > 0dρd​ΠL​(0)=vL​ϕ(zL​)σL​ρ/1−ρ2​>0 for ρ∈(0,1)\rho \in (0,1)ρ∈(0,1).
  6. PROPOSITION 2(i), pointwise: for ρ∈(0,1)\rho \in (0,1)ρ∈(0,1), dΠp/dρ>0  ⟺  μH<μ~(ρ)d\Pi^p/d\rho > 0 \iff \mu_H < \tilde\mu(\rho)dΠp/dρ>0⟺μH​<μ~​(ρ) and dΠp/dρ<0  ⟺  μH>μ~(ρ)d\Pi^p/d\rho < 0 \iff \mu_H > \tilde\mu(\rho)dΠp/dρ<0⟺μH​>μ~​(ρ).
  7. LEMMA 2(i): if −λL/2<zL<0-\lambda_L/2 < z_L < 0−λL​/2<zL​<0, then μ~\tilde\muμ~​ is strictly increasing in ρ\rhoρ.
  8. LEMMA 2(ii): if zL≤−λL/2z_L \le -\lambda_L/2zL​≤−λL​/2, then μ~\tilde\muμ~​ is quasi-convex in ρ\rhoρ.

Significance

The proposition splits the value of advance demand information into two effects with opposite signs. Better information always raises the second-period profit (milestone 5). Its effect on the preorder price depends on the margin. When vL<2cv_L < 2cvL​<2c, the seller stocks below the conditional mean. A more precise forecast then raises the stock and the availability ξ\xiξ, and waiting becomes more attractive, which lowers the preorder price. The threshold μ~(ρ)\tilde\mu(\rho)μ~​(ρ) says which effect wins, and LEMMA 2 describes its shape. This is the basis for the paper's later comparisons of preorder, price-guarantee and no-preorder strategies.

The paper states these results and leaves the proofs to an online appendix. None of them has a machine-checked proof. A complete development would also give reusable facts about normal laws: the expectation E[Φ(a+bX)]\mathbb E[\Phi(a + bX)]E[Φ(a+bX)] for standard normal XXX, the normal newsvendor solution with its closed-form optimal profit, and derivatives of Gaussian integrals with respect to a correlation parameter.

Difficulty

The model is explicit, so the difficulty is not in modelling. It is in turning the two expectations into closed forms and differentiating them. The availability ξ\xiξ is an integral over XXX of a normal probability whose mean and variance both move with ρ\rhoρ. The expected newsvendor profit involves E[min⁡(Q,Y)]\mathbb E[\min(Q, Y)]E[min(Q,Y)] for a normal YYY. Neither closed form is in Mathlib, and neither is a derivative in ρ\rhoρ of a Gaussian integral. The obvious route, differentiating under the integral sign in (3), needs domination estimates that are uniform in ρ\rhoρ near each point, and these degenerate as ρ→1\rho \to 1ρ→1.

Signs are the second difficulty. zLz_LzL​ changes sign at vL=2cv_L = 2cvL​=2c, μ~\tilde\muμ~​ carries a leading minus and divides by zLz_LzL​, and the derivative of Πp\Pi^pΠp vanishes at ρ=0\rho = 0ρ=0 and wherever μ~(ρ)=μH\tilde\mu(\rho) = \mu_Hμ~​(ρ)=μH​. Strict monotonicity on an interval has to be recovered from a derivative that is positive except at finitely many points.

Formalization scope

Everything lives in the namespace PreorderADI.Correlation. A structure Params holds vH,vL,c,δ,μH,μL,σL,zLv_H, v_L, c, \delta, \mu_H, \mu_L, \sigma_L, z_LvH​,vL​,c,δ,μH​,μL​,σL​,zL​. The predicate Params.Standing records the model's assumptions: vH>vLv_H > v_LvH​>vL​, c<vLc < v_Lc<vL​, δ≤1\delta \le 1δ≤1 and δvH>vL\delta v_H > v_LδvH​>vL​, together with Φ(zL)=(vL−c)/vL\Phi(z_L) = (v_L-c)/v_LΦ(zL​)=(vL​−c)/vL​. σH\sigma_HσH​ is omitted because nothing in §4 uses it after standardization. Φ\PhiΦ is ProbabilityTheory.cdf (gaussianReal 0 1) and ϕ\phiϕ is gaussianPDFReal 0 1. The normal law with mean mmm and standard deviation sss is gaussianReal m (s^2).

The formalization commits to the following conventions and additions:

  • Added hypotheses. Four hypotheses are added to the page's assumptions:
    • c>0c > 0c>0, so that zLz_LzL​ exists;
    • σL>0\sigma_L > 0σL​>0, so that the conditional law is a genuine normal law;
    • μL>0\mu_L > 0μL​>0, so that λL>0\lambda_L > 0λL​>0, as LEMMA 2 presupposes;
    • μH>0\mu_H > 0μH​>0, which PROPOSITION 2(ii) needs.
  • zLz_LzL​. zLz_LzL​ is a parameter pinned down by Φ(zL)=(vL−c)/vL\Phi(z_L) = (v_L-c)/v_LΦ(zL​)=(vL​−c)/vL​, not an inverse function with junk values.
  • Range of ρ\rhoρ. ρ\rhoρ ranges over [0,1)[0,1)[0,1), the paper's "we will focus on ρ≥0\rho \ge 0ρ≥0" together with ρ<1\rho < 1ρ<1. Derivative statements use (0,1)(0,1)(0,1).
  • ξ\xiξ and Πp\Pi^pΠp. ξ\xiξ is defined as the first expression of (3), the expected probability, so that no closed form is assumed. Πp\Pi^pΠp is defined by (4). PROPOSITION 1, which derives (4) as the unique equilibrium profit, is not formalized: the paper defines the equilibrium only through conditions that already assume every high type preorders.
  • Monotonicity. "Increases in ρ\rhoρ when μH<μ~(ρ)\mu_H < \tilde\mu(\rho)μH​<μ~​(ρ)" is formalized as strict monotonicity on every order-connected I⊆[0,1)I \subseteq [0,1)I⊆[0,1) on which the condition holds. "Decreasing" in LEMMA 1(ii) is non-strict, since ξ\xiξ is constant when vL=2cv_L = 2cvL​=2c. Quasi-convexity is Mathlib's QuasiconvexOn.
  • The ε_v sentence is omitted. PROPOSITION 2(i) also claims that some εv>0\varepsilon_v > 0εv​>0 makes Πp\Pi^pΠp always decrease when vL<c+εvv_L < c + \varepsilon_vvL​<c+εv​. That claim is false in the paper's own model. As vL↓cv_L \downarrow cvL​↓c, μ~(ρ)→∞\tilde\mu(\rho) \to \inftyμ~​(ρ)→∞ for ρ\rhoρ below roughly 3/2\sqrt 3/23​/2, so Πp\Pi^pΠp increases there for every fixed μH\mu_HμH​. The paper's Figure 1 shows the same behaviour.
  • Out of scope. §5 rests on an approximation that treats normal demands as nonnegative, so it is excluded. §§6–7 depend on models given only in the online appendix and are excluded too.

A statement about the closed form Φ(λL+2zL1−ρ2)\Phi(\lambda_L + 2z_L\sqrt{1-\rho^2})Φ(λL​+2zL​1−ρ2​) in place of ξ\xiξ would make LEMMA 1 a one-line monotonicity fact. So would a definition of Πp\Pi^pΠp that bypasses (3). The definitions rule both out.

Welcome contributions include proofs of the milestones, general Mathlib-style lemmas on Gaussian expectations of Φ\PhiΦ and of min⁡(Q,Y)\min(Q, Y)min(Q,Y), and a formalization of PROPOSITION 1 from conditions (i)–(v).

Selected references

  • C. Li and F. Zhang, Advance Demand Information, Price Discrimination, and Preorder Strategies, Manufacturing & Service Operations Management 15(1):57–71, 2013. https://doi.org/10.1287/msom.1120.0398
  • G. P. Cachon and R. Swinney, Purchasing, Pricing, and Quick Response in the Presence of Strategic Consumers, Management Science 55(3):497–511, 2009. https://doi.org/10.1287/mnsc.1080.0948
  • X. Su and F. Zhang, On the Value of Commitment and Availability Guarantees When Selling to Strategic Consumers, Management Science 55(5):713–726, 2009. https://doi.org/10.1287/mnsc.1080.0967
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Information TheoryOperations ResearchOptimization+1·Captain: mikedeng1

Worst-Case Value-At-Risk and Robust Portfolio Optimization: A Conic Programming Approach 2: Closed Form of the Entropy-Constrained Worst-Case VaRResearch Paper

Motivation

Value-at-Risk (VaR) is the loss level that a portfolio exceeds with probability at most ε\varepsilonε. It is the standard risk measure of banking regulation, and its classical computation assumes Gaussian returns: for a Gaussian return vector with mean x^\hat xx^ and covariance Γ\GammaΓ it equals −Φ−1(ε)w⊤Γw−x^⊤w-\Phi^{-1}(\varepsilon)\sqrt{w^\top\Gamma w} - \hat x^\top w−Φ−1(ε)w⊤Γw​−x^⊤w, where Φ\PhiΦ is the standard normal distribution function. Real returns are not exactly Gaussian, and a VaR computed from a misspecified distribution can badly understate risk.

El Ghaoui, Oks and Oustry (Oper. Res. 51(4), 2003) replace the single distribution by a class P\mathcal PP of distributions and define the worst-case VaR as the smallest loss level whose probability is at most ε\varepsilonε under every distribution of the class. Their first class, distributions with a given mean and covariance, leads to the Chebyshev-type bound of their Theorem 1, whose worst case is attained by discrete distributions. §4.2 of the paper asks instead for distributions that stay close to a Gaussian, measured by relative entropy (Kullback–Leibler divergence). Such balls are the basic uncertainty sets of distributionally robust optimization and of robust control in economics (Hansen and Sargent's multiplier and constraint preferences), and they give a smooth worst case. Theorem 9 computes the resulting worst-case VaR in closed form.

Setting

Returns are random vectors x∈Rnx \in \mathbb R^nx∈Rn and a portfolio is a vector w∈Rnw \in \mathbb R^nw∈Rn with w≠0w \neq 0w=0; its return is r(w,x)=w⊤xr(w,x) = w^\top xr(w,x)=w⊤x. For a level γ∈R\gamma \in \mathbb Rγ∈R the loss set is Sγ={x:γ≤−x⊤w}\mathcal S_\gamma = \{x : \gamma \le -x^\top w\}Sγ​={x:γ≤−x⊤w} (Eq. 13 of the paper).

Given a class P\mathcal PP of probability distributions on Rn\mathbb R^nRn and ε∈(0,1)\varepsilon \in (0,1)ε∈(0,1), the worst-case Value-at-Risk (Eq. 4) is

VP(w)=min⁡{γ∈R:sup⁡P∈PP(Sγ)≤ε}.V_{\mathcal P}(w) = \min\Big\{\gamma \in \mathbb R : \sup_{P \in \mathcal P} P(\mathcal S_\gamma) \le \varepsilon\Big\}.VP​(w)=min{γ∈R:P∈Psup​P(Sγ​)≤ε}.

Fix a mean x^∈Rn\hat x \in \mathbb R^nx^∈Rn and a positive definite covariance Γ≻0\Gamma \succ 0Γ≻0, and let P0=N(x^,Γ)P_0 = \mathcal N(\hat x, \Gamma)P0​=N(x^,Γ) be the reference Gaussian. For d≥0d \ge 0d≥0 the relative-entropy class (Eq. 43) is

Pd={P probability on Rn:KL(P,P0)=∫log⁡dPdP0 dP≤d},\mathcal P_d = \Big\{P \text{ probability on } \mathbb R^n : \mathrm{KL}(P, P_0) = \int \log\frac{dP}{dP_0}\,dP \le d\Big\},Pd​={P probability on Rn:KL(P,P0​)=∫logdP0​dP​dP≤d},

with KL(P,P0)=+∞\mathrm{KL}(P,P_0) = +\inftyKL(P,P0​)=+∞ unless PPP is absolutely continuous with respect to P0P_0P0​.

The risk factor (Eq. 45) is

f(ε,d)=sup⁡λ>0eε/λ−d−1e1/λ−1,κ(ε,d)=−Φ−1(f(ε,d)),f(\varepsilon,d) = \sup_{\lambda>0}\frac{e^{\varepsilon/\lambda - d} - 1}{e^{1/\lambda} - 1}, \qquad \kappa(\varepsilon,d) = -\Phi^{-1}\big(f(\varepsilon,d)\big),f(ε,d)=λ>0sup​e1/λ−1eε/λ−d−1​,κ(ε,d)=−Φ−1(f(ε,d)),

and the Gaussian tail of the loss set is ϕ(γ)=P0(Sγ)=1−Φ((γ+w⊤x^)/w⊤Γw)\phi(\gamma) = P_0(\mathcal S_\gamma) = 1 - \Phi\big((\gamma + w^\top\hat x)/\sqrt{w^\top\Gamma w}\big)ϕ(γ)=P0​(Sγ​)=1−Φ((γ+w⊤x^)/w⊤Γw​).

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem 9 (p. 553)

For Γ≻0\Gamma \succ 0Γ≻0, w≠0w \neq 0w=0, d≥0d \ge 0d≥0 and 0<ε<10 < \varepsilon < 10<ε<1, the minimum in (4) over Pd\mathcal P_dPd​ exists and

VPd(w)=κ(ε,d)w⊤Γw−x^⊤w.(44)V_{\mathcal P_d}(w) = \kappa(\varepsilon,d)\sqrt{w^\top\Gamma w} - \hat x^\top w. \tag{44}VPd​​(w)=κ(ε,d)w⊤Γw​−x^⊤w.(44)

Milestones

The milestones follow the proof of Theorem 9 on pp. 553–554, in attack order.

  1. Eq. (45). The two expressions of fff agree: sup⁡λ>0eε/λ−d−1e1/λ−1=sup⁡v>0e−d(v+1)ε−1v\sup_{\lambda>0}\frac{e^{\varepsilon/\lambda-d}-1}{e^{1/\lambda}-1} = \sup_{v>0}\frac{e^{-d}(v+1)^\varepsilon - 1}{v}supλ>0​e1/λ−1eε/λ−d−1​=supv>0​ve−d(v+1)ε−1​.
  2. Gaussian tail. P0(Sγ)=1−Φ((γ+w⊤x^)/w⊤Γw)P_0(\mathcal S_\gamma) = 1 - \Phi\big((\gamma + w^\top\hat x)/\sqrt{w^\top\Gamma w}\big)P0​(Sγ​)=1−Φ((γ+w⊤x^)/w⊤Γw​).
  3. Eq. (47). For λ>0\lambda > 0λ>0, the Lagrangian L(Q)=Q(Sγ)+λ0(1−Q(Rn))+λ(d−KL-integral)L(Q) = Q(\mathcal S_\gamma) + \lambda_0(1 - Q(\mathbb R^n)) + \lambda(d - \mathrm{KL}\text{-integral})L(Q)=Q(Sγ​)+λ0​(1−Q(Rn))+λ(d−KL-integral) is maximised over finite measures Q≪P0Q \ll P_0Q≪P0​ by the exponentially tilted density dQ⋆/dP0=exp⁡((χS−λ0)/λ−1)dQ^\star/dP_0 = \exp((\chi_{\mathcal S} - \lambda_0)/\lambda - 1)dQ⋆/dP0​=exp((χS​−λ0​)/λ−1), with value
θ(λ0,λ)=λ0+λd+λe−λ0/λ−1((e1/λ−1)ϕ(γ)+1).\theta(\lambda_0,\lambda) = \lambda_0 + \lambda d + \lambda e^{-\lambda_0/\lambda - 1}\big((e^{1/\lambda}-1)\phi(\gamma) + 1\big).θ(λ0​,λ)=λ0​+λd+λe−λ0​/λ−1((e1/λ−1)ϕ(γ)+1).
  1. Eq. (48). min⁡λ0∈Rθ(λ0,λ)=λd+λlog⁡((e1/λ−1)ϕ(γ)+1)\min_{\lambda_0\in\mathbb R}\theta(\lambda_0,\lambda) = \lambda d + \lambda\log\big((e^{1/\lambda}-1)\phi(\gamma)+1\big)minλ0​∈R​θ(λ0​,λ)=λd+λlog((e1/λ−1)ϕ(γ)+1).
  2. Duality. sup⁡P∈PdP(Sγ)=inf⁡λ>0(λd+λlog⁡((e1/λ−1)ϕ(γ)+1))\sup_{P\in\mathcal P_d} P(\mathcal S_\gamma) = \inf_{\lambda>0}\big(\lambda d + \lambda\log((e^{1/\lambda}-1)\phi(\gamma)+1)\big)supP∈Pd​​P(Sγ​)=infλ>0​(λd+λlog((e1/λ−1)ϕ(γ)+1)).
  3. Inversion. For d>0d > 0d>0: some λ>0\lambda > 0λ>0 makes the dual value at most ε\varepsilonε if and only if γ≥κ(ε,d)w⊤Γw−w⊤x^\gamma \ge \kappa(\varepsilon,d)\sqrt{w^\top\Gamma w} - w^\top\hat xγ≥κ(ε,d)w⊤Γw​−w⊤x^.
  4. Remark after Theorem 9. f(ε,0)=εf(\varepsilon, 0) = \varepsilonf(ε,0)=ε, so κ(ε,0)=−Φ−1(ε)\kappa(\varepsilon,0) = -\Phi^{-1}(\varepsilon)κ(ε,0)=−Φ−1(ε). The risk factor κ(ε,d)\kappa(\varepsilon, d)κ(ε,d) is strictly increasing in d≥0d \ge 0d≥0.

Significance

Theorem 9 says that an entropy ball around a Gaussian leaves the form of the Gaussian VaR unchanged: only the risk factor moves, from −Φ−1(ε)-\Phi^{-1}(\varepsilon)−Φ−1(ε) to κ(ε,d)\kappa(\varepsilon,d)κ(ε,d), a scalar computed by a one-dimensional maximisation. The worst-case VaR therefore stays a convex function of www whenever κ≥0\kappa \ge 0κ≥0, and minimising it over a polytope of portfolios is a second-order cone program (problem (3) of the paper). The number f(ε,d)f(\varepsilon,d)f(ε,d) is the largest ppp with KL(Bernoulli(ε) ∥ Bernoulli(p))≤d\mathrm{KL}(\mathrm{Bernoulli}(\varepsilon)\,\|\,\mathrm{Bernoulli}(p)) \le dKL(Bernoulli(ε)∥Bernoulli(p))≤d, which ties the result to the binary-divergence bounds used throughout information theory.

The theorem was proved in 2003. The worst-case-probability step (milestone 5) is an instance of the Donsker–Varadhan / Gibbs variational duality for relative-entropy balls, which the paper imports from the literature (Smith 1995). No machine-checked proof of Theorem 9 or of this duality on Rn\mathbb R^nRn is known. A formalization would give a verified closed form for a relative-entropy distributionally robust chance constraint, and the duality and tilting lemmas would serve any mission on KL-ball robust optimization.

Difficulty

The obvious argument is Lagrangian duality for the infinite-dimensional problem sup⁡{P(Sγ):KL(P,P0)≤d}\sup\{P(\mathcal S_\gamma) : \mathrm{KL}(P,P_0) \le d\}sup{P(Sγ​):KL(P,P0​)≤d}. Weak duality and the pointwise maximisation that produces the tilted density are elementary. The difficulty is the step the paper cites rather than proves: that the duality gap is zero, and that the supremum over distributions equals the infimum of the dual over λ>0\lambda > 0λ>0. The feasible set is a set of measures, the objective is an indicator, and the constraint is a divergence that is +∞+\infty+∞ off a set of absolutely continuous measures, so a finite-dimensional Slater argument does not apply as stated.

The second difficulty is at the boundary of the parameters. At d=0d = 0d=0 the supremum defining f(ε,0)f(\varepsilon,0)f(ε,0) is approached only as λ→∞\lambda \to \inftyλ→∞, so the final inversion step behaves differently from d>0d > 0d>0. At ε=1\varepsilon = 1ε=1 the theorem is false, since every level γ\gammaγ is feasible and (4) has no minimum.

Formalization scope

Returns live in EuclideanSpace ℝ (Fin n). P0P_0P0​ is Mathlib's multivariateGaussian xhat Γ with Γ.PosDef, and KL\mathrm{KL}KL is InformationTheory.klDiv, which is ∞\infty∞ unless P≪P0P \ll P_0P≪P0​ with integrable log-likelihood ratio and equals ∫log⁡dPdP0 dP\int\log\frac{dP}{dP_0}\,dP∫logdP0​dP​dP otherwise for probability measures. The class Pd\mathcal P_dPd​ requires IsProbabilityMeasure P. Φ\PhiΦ is cdf (gaussianReal 0 1), and Φ−1(p)\Phi^{-1}(p)Φ−1(p) is defined as inf⁡{t:p≤Φ(t)}\inf\{t : p \le \Phi(t)\}inf{t:p≤Φ(t)}, which inverts Φ\PhiΦ on (0,1)(0,1)(0,1). The quadratic form w⊤Γww^\top\Gamma ww⊤Γw is a double sum, and ∥Γ1/2w∥2\|\Gamma^{1/2}w\|_2∥Γ1/2w∥2​ is written w⊤Γw\sqrt{w^\top\Gamma w}w⊤Γw​.

Conventions the Lean statements commit to:

  • "min" in (4) is IsLeast of the feasible set {γ:P(Sγ)≤ε ∀P∈Pd}\{\gamma : P(\mathcal S_\gamma) \le \varepsilon \ \forall P \in \mathcal P_d\}{γ:P(Sγ​)≤ε ∀P∈Pd​}. "sup⁡PP(Sγ)≤ε\sup_{P}P(\mathcal S_\gamma) \le \varepsilonsupP​P(Sγ​)≤ε" is written "for every PPP", with probabilities compared in [0,∞][0,\infty][0,∞].
  • The paper prints ε∈(0,1]\varepsilon \in (0,1]ε∈(0,1]. The mission assumes 0<ε<10 < \varepsilon < 10<ε<1, because the goal is false at ε=1\varepsilon = 1ε=1.
  • w≠0w \neq 0w=0 is the paper's assumption that the admissible set of portfolios excludes 000.
  • f(ε,d)f(\varepsilon,d)f(ε,d) is a Lean sSup of a set that is nonempty and bounded above by 111 for ε≤1\varepsilon \le 1ε≤1, d≥0d \ge 0d≥0.
  • The duality of milestone 5 is stated as the existence of one real number that is both the least upper bound of the worst-case probabilities and the greatest lower bound of the dual values, not as an equality of Lean's sSup and sInf.
  • Eq. (48) is stated as an attained minimum (IsLeast), which the calculus gives.
  • Milestone 3 works with finite measures Q≪P0Q \ll P_0Q≪P0​ with integrable log-likelihood ratio in place of the paper's densities ppp. It uses the complement of Sγ\mathcal S_\gammaSγ​ where the paper writes {γ≥−x⊤w}\{\gamma \ge -x^\top w\}{γ≥−x⊤w}, which differs by a P0P_0P0​-null hyperplane.
  • Milestone 6 assumes d>0d > 0d>0; the goal keeps d≥0d \ge 0d≥0.

Restricting Pd\mathcal P_dPd​ to {P0}\{P_0\}{P0​}, dropping IsProbabilityMeasure, or taking an arbitrary reference measure would trivialize or change the theorem. The class is the full KL ball around the nondegenerate Gaussian.

Infrastructure a complete development needs: the pushforward of a multivariate Gaussian under a linear functional (a one-dimensional Gaussian), the Gibbs variational principle for relative entropy, the strong duality for KL balls, and properties of Φ\PhiΦ and its quantile (continuity, strict monotonicity, symmetry Φ(−t)=1−Φ(t)\Phi(-t) = 1 - \Phi(t)Φ(−t)=1−Φ(t)). The Gaussian-quantile and KL-ball duality lemmas are reusable beyond this mission. Contributions of any of these as separate lemmas are welcome.

Selected references

  • L. El Ghaoui, M. Oks, F. Oustry, Worst-Case Value-at-Risk and Robust Portfolio Optimization: A Conic Programming Approach, Operations Research 51(4):543–556, 2003. https://doi.org/10.1287/opre.51.4.543.16101
  • J. E. Smith, Generalized Chebychev Inequalities: Theory and Applications in Decision Analysis, Operations Research 43(5):807–825, 1995. https://doi.org/10.1287/opre.43.5.807
  • M. D. Donsker, S. R. S. Varadhan, Asymptotic evaluation of certain Markov process expectations for large time, I, Communications on Pure and Applied Mathematics 28(1):1–47, 1975. https://doi.org/10.1002/cpa.3160280102
  • L. P. Hansen, T. J. Sargent, Robust Control and Model Uncertainty, American Economic Review 91(2):60–66, 2001. https://doi.org/10.1257/aer.91.2.60
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Strong Convergence of a Proximal-Type Algorithm in a Banach Space: The Algorithm Converges Strongly to the Generalized Projection of x0 onto the Zeros of a Maximal Monotone OperatorResearch Paper

Motivation

Many problems in optimization and variational analysis reduce to finding a zero of a maximal monotone operator TTT: minimizers of a proper convex lower semicontinuous function are the zeros of its subdifferential, and saddle points and solutions of variational inequalities are zeros of associated monotone operators. The classical tool is Rockafellar's proximal point algorithm (Rockafellar 1976), which in a Hilbert space converges weakly but, as Güler showed (Güler 1991), not strongly in general.

Solodov and Svaiter (Math. Program. 87, 2000) modified the method in a Hilbert space HHH: after each proximal step they project the starting point x0x_0x0​ onto the intersection of two half-spaces, and they proved that the resulting sequence converges strongly to the metric projection of x0x_0x0​ onto T−10T^{-1}0T−10. Kamimura and Takahashi (SIAM J. Optim. 13, 2003) extended this result to Banach spaces such as LpL^pLp, 1<p<∞1<p<\infty1<p<∞, replacing the identity by the duality mapping and the metric projection by a generalized projection defined through the duality mapping. This mission formalizes that extension.

Setting

Let EEE be a real Banach space with dual E∗E^*E∗, and write ⟨x,f⟩\langle x,f\rangle⟨x,f⟩ for the value of f∈E∗f\in E^*f∈E∗ at x∈Ex\in Ex∈E.

  • The duality mapping is Jx={v∈E∗:⟨x,v⟩=∥x∥2=∥v∥2}Jx=\{v\in E^*:\langle x,v\rangle=\|x\|^2=\|v\|^2\}Jx={v∈E∗:⟨x,v⟩=∥x∥2=∥v∥2}. When EEE is smooth (the limit lim⁡t→0(∥x+ty∥−∥x∥)/t\lim_{t\to0}(\|x+ty\|-\|x\|)/tlimt→0​(∥x+ty∥−∥x∥)/t exists for all unit x,yx,yx,y), JJJ is single valued. EEE is uniformly smooth if this limit is attained uniformly over unit x,yx,yx,y, and uniformly convex if ∥xn−yn∥→0\|x_n-y_n\|\to0∥xn​−yn​∥→0 whenever ∥xn∥=∥yn∥=1\|x_n\|=\|y_n\|=1∥xn​∥=∥yn​∥=1 and ∥(xn+yn)/2∥→1\|(x_n+y_n)/2\|\to1∥(xn​+yn​)/2∥→1.
  • An operator T:E→2E∗T:E\to2^{E^*}T:E→2E∗ is monotone if ⟨x1−x2,y1−y2⟩≥0\langle x_1-x_2,y_1-y_2\rangle\ge0⟨x1​−x2​,y1​−y2​⟩≥0 for yi∈Txiy_i\in Tx_iyi​∈Txi​, and maximal monotone if no other monotone operator has a strictly larger graph. T−10={x:0∈Tx}T^{-1}0=\{x:0\in Tx\}T−10={x:0∈Tx}.
  • For smooth EEE, φ(x,y)=∥x∥2−2⟨x,Jy⟩+∥y∥2\varphi(x,y)=\|x\|^2-2\langle x,Jy\rangle+\|y\|^2φ(x,y)=∥x∥2−2⟨x,Jy⟩+∥y∥2. The generalized projection QCxQ_CxQC​x of xxx onto a nonempty closed convex set CCC is the unique minimizer of φ(⋅,x)\varphi(\cdot,x)φ(⋅,x) over CCC (it exists and is unique in reflexive, strictly convex, smooth spaces).
  • The algorithm (3.1): from x0∈Ex_0\in Ex0​∈E and positive reals rnr_nrn​,
0=vn+1rn(Jyn−Jxn), vn∈Tyn,Hn={z:⟨z−yn,vn⟩≤0},Wn={z:⟨z−xn,Jx0−Jxn⟩≤0},xn+1=QHn∩Wnx0.0=v_n+\tfrac1{r_n}(Jy_n-Jx_n),\ v_n\in Ty_n,\quad H_n=\{z:\langle z-y_n,v_n\rangle\le0\},\quad W_n=\{z:\langle z-x_n,Jx_0-Jx_n\rangle\le0\},\quad x_{n+1}=Q_{H_n\cap W_n}x_0 .0=vn​+rn​1​(Jyn​−Jxn​), vn​∈Tyn​,Hn​={z:⟨z−yn​,vn​⟩≤0},Wn​={z:⟨z−xn​,Jx0​−Jxn​⟩≤0},xn+1​=QHn​∩Wn​​x0​.

In Lean, JJJ is J : E → StrongDual ℝ E with ∀ x, J x ∈ dualityMap x, φ\varphiφ is phi J, "z=QCxz=Q_Cxz=QC​x" is IsGenProj J C x z, and a run of (3.1) is IsHybridRun T J r x y v with starting point x 0.

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem 8

If EEE is uniformly convex and uniformly smooth, TTT is maximal monotone, T−10≠∅T^{-1}0\neq\emptysetT−10=∅, rn>0r_n>0rn​>0 and lim inf⁡nrn>0\liminf_n r_n>0liminfn​rn​>0, then every sequence generated by (3.1) satisfies

xn ⟶ QT−10 x0in norm.x_n\ \longrightarrow\ Q_{T^{-1}0}\,x_0\quad\text{in norm}.xn​ ⟶ QT−10​x0​in norm.

Milestones

In the order of the paper: the single-valuedness of JJJ on smooth spaces and its uniform continuity on bounded sets for uniformly smooth spaces (§2, properties 2 and 4); Xu's characterization of uniform convexity (Proposition 1); φ(yn,zn)→0\varphi(y_n,z_n)\to0φ(yn​,zn​)→0 with one bounded sequence implies yn−zn→0y_n-z_n\to0yn​−zn​→0 (Proposition 2); existence and uniqueness of QCxQ_CxQC​x (Proposition 3); its variational characterization ⟨z−x0,Jx0−Jx⟩≥0\langle z-x_0,Jx_0-Jx\rangle\ge0⟨z−x0​,Jx0​−Jx⟩≥0 (Proposition 4); the inequality φ(y,QCx)+φ(QCx,x)≤φ(y,x)\varphi(y,Q_Cx)+\varphi(Q_Cx,x)\le\varphi(y,x)φ(y,QC​x)+φ(QC​x,x)≤φ(y,x) (Proposition 5); Rockafellar's surjectivity theorem R(J+rT)=E∗R(J+rT)=E^*R(J+rT)=E∗ (Theorem 6); well-definedness of (3.1) (Proposition 7); T−10⊆Hn∩WnT^{-1}0\subseteq H_n\cap W_nT−10⊆Hn​∩Wn​ (Remark 1); and the monotonicity step

φ(xn+1,xn)+φ(xn,x0)≤φ(xn+1,x0).(3.2)\varphi(x_{n+1},x_n)+\varphi(x_n,x_0)\le\varphi(x_{n+1},x_0).\tag{3.2}φ(xn+1​,xn​)+φ(xn​,x0​)≤φ(xn+1​,x0​).(3.2)

Significance

The theorem gives a strongly convergent method for finding zeros of maximal monotone operators in a class of Banach spaces that includes LpL^pLp and ℓp\ell^pℓp for 1<p<∞1<p<\infty1<p<∞, and it identifies the limit: it is not an arbitrary zero but the generalized projection of the starting point. Applied to T=∂fT=\partial fT=∂f it yields a strongly convergent minimization method for proper convex lower semicontinuous functions (§4 of the paper). The generalized projection QCQ_CQC​, the function φ\varphiφ and the hybrid (CQ-type) projection scheme became standard tools in the later Banach-space fixed-point and splitting literature.

The result is proved in the paper; the mission's contribution is a machine-checked proof. As far as the platform catalog and Mathlib show, none of its ingredients is formalized: Mathlib has uniformly convex and strictly convex spaces and the double dual, but no duality mapping, no notion of smoothness, no monotone operators and no generalized projection.

Difficulty

The obvious route, copying the Hilbert-space proof of Solodov and Svaiter, fails at every place where that proof uses the inner product: the projection onto Hn∩WnH_n\cap W_nHn​∩Wn​ is no longer characterized by orthogonality, ∥x−y∥2\|x-y\|^2∥x−y∥2 is not a Bregman-type distance, and weak convergence of xnix_{n_i}xni​​ together with ∥xni∥→∥w∥\|x_{n_i}\|\to\|w\|∥xni​​∥→∥w∥ no longer yields strong convergence for free. The paper replaces these steps with properties of φ\varphiφ and of JJJ, which in turn rest on the geometry of EEE: uniform convexity (through Proposition 1) and uniform smoothness (through the uniform continuity of JJJ). In Lean, these geometric facts, reflexivity of uniformly convex spaces (Milman–Pettis) and Rockafellar's surjectivity theorem are all absent and have to be built.

Formalization scope

  • EEE is a real Banach space (NormedAddCommGroup, NormedSpace ℝ, CompleteSpace). The dual is StrongDual ℝ E with the operator norm; ⟨x,f⟩\langle x,f\rangle⟨x,f⟩ is f x. Sequences are indexed by N\mathbb NN from 000.
  • Uniform convexity is Mathlib's UniformConvexSpace (ε–δ form, equivalent to the sequential definition); strict convexity is StrictConvexSpace ℝ E; reflexivity is surjectivity of NormedSpace.inclusionInDoubleDual. Smoothness and uniform smoothness are defined from the limit (2.1) over real t≠0t\neq0t=0; uniform smoothness uses one δ\deltaδ for all unit x,yx,yx,y.
  • Maximality quantifies over all monotone operators whose graph contains that of TTT.
  • The single-valued JJJ is a function constrained by ∀ x, J x ∈ dualityMap x in every statement that uses it; on a smooth space this determines JJJ (a milestone).
  • QCQ_CQC​ and the algorithm are relations, not functions; the goal is stated for every run of (3.1) and asserts the existence of a generalized projection zzz of x0x_0x0​ onto T−10T^{-1}0T−10 with xn→zx_n\to zxn​→z. lim inf⁡rn>0\liminf r_n>0liminfrn​>0 is "some c>0c>0c>0 bounds rnr_nrn​ below eventually", and rn>0r_n>0rn​>0 is a separate hypothesis.
  • The goal assumes neither reflexivity, strict convexity nor smoothness (they follow from the uniform hypotheses), nor that T−10T^{-1}0T−10 is closed or convex (that follows from maximality).
  • Trivializing formalizations are ruled out: JJJ must be the duality mapping, runs of (3.1) exist (Proposition 7), and the limit must be identified as QT−10x0Q_{T^{-1}0}x_0QT−10​x0​, not merely shown to exist.

Reusable infrastructure: the duality mapping and its properties, smooth and uniformly smooth spaces, Milman–Pettis, monotone operators and Rockafellar's surjectivity theorem, and the generalized projection. Contributions to any of these are welcome independently of the goal.

Selected references

  • S. Kamimura and W. Takahashi, Strong convergence of a proximal-type algorithm in a Banach space, SIAM J. Optim. 13(3):938–945, 2003. https://doi.org/10.1137/S105262340139611X
  • M. V. Solodov and B. F. Svaiter, Forcing strong convergence of proximal point iterations in a Hilbert space, Math. Program. 87:189–202, 2000. https://doi.org/10.1007/s101070050002
  • R. T. Rockafellar, Monotone operators and the proximal point algorithm, SIAM J. Control Optim. 14(5):877–898, 1976. https://doi.org/10.1137/0314056
  • R. T. Rockafellar, On the maximality of sums of nonlinear monotone operators, Trans. Amer. Math. Soc. 149:75–88, 1970. https://doi.org/10.1090/S0002-9947-1970-0282272-5
  • O. Güler, On the convergence of the proximal point algorithm for convex minimization, SIAM J. Control Optim. 29(2):403–419, 1991. https://doi.org/10.1137/0329022
  • H.-K. Xu, Inequalities in Banach spaces with applications, Nonlinear Anal. 16(12):1127–1138, 1991. https://doi.org/10.1016/0362-546X(91)90200-K
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Robust Solutions to Uncertain Semidefinite Programs III: Quadratic Growth and Uniqueness of the Robust SDP SolutionResearch Paper

Motivation

A semidefinite program (SDP) minimizes a linear objective cTxc^TxcTx subject to a linear matrix inequality F(x)=F0+∑ixiFi⪰0F(x) = F_0 + \sum_i x_i F_i \succeq 0F(x)=F0​+∑i​xi​Fi​⪰0. When the data FiF_iFi​ are uncertain, El Ghaoui, Oustry and Lebret (SIAM J. Optim. 9(1), 1998) proposed to optimize against the worst case over a norm-bounded family of perturbations: the robust SDP. Their Theorem 3.1 shows that, for unstructured ("full") perturbations, the robust SDP is itself an SDP in the enlarged variable (x,τ)(x,\tau)(x,τ). Section 4 of the paper then asks what robustification does to the solution. Nominal SDPs are often ill-posed: the optimal set can be a whole face, and optimal points can jump under small data changes. Section 4 shows that, under explicit hypotheses, the robust problem has a unique solution with quadratic growth, which is the sense in which the paper describes robustness as a regularization of SDPs. This mission formalizes that result, Theorem 4.2.

Setting

Fix natural numbers m,n,p,qm, n, p, qm,n,p,q, matrices F0,…,Fm∈Rn×nF_0, \dots, F_m \in \mathbb{R}^{n\times n}F0​,…,Fm​∈Rn×n (symmetric), R0,…,Rm∈Rq×nR_0, \dots, R_m \in \mathbb{R}^{q\times n}R0​,…,Rm​∈Rq×n, L∈Rn×pL \in \mathbb{R}^{n\times p}L∈Rn×p, and an objective vector c∈Rmc \in \mathbb{R}^mc∈Rm, c≠0c \neq 0c=0. Write F(x)=F0+∑i=1mxiFiF(x) = F_0 + \sum_{i=1}^m x_iF_iF(x)=F0​+∑i=1m​xi​Fi​ and R(x)=R0+∑i=1mxiRiR(x) = R_0 + \sum_{i=1}^m x_iR_iR(x)=R0​+∑i=1m​xi​Ri​.

With full perturbations, uncertainty level ρ=1\rho = 1ρ=1 and D=0D = 0D=0 (the standing choices of §4), the robust SDP is the SDP

minimize cTxsubject toF(x,τ)=[F(x)−τLLTR(x)TR(x)τI]⪰0(15)\text{minimize } c^Tx \quad\text{subject to}\quad \mathcal{F}(x,\tau) = \begin{bmatrix} F(x) - \tau LL^T & R(x)^T \\ R(x) & \tau I\end{bmatrix} \succeq 0 \tag{15}minimize cTxsubject toF(x,τ)=[F(x)−τLLTR(x)​R(x)TτI​]⪰0(15)

in the variables y=(x,τ)∈Rm×Ry = (x,\tau) \in \mathbb{R}^m \times \mathbb{R}y=(x,τ)∈Rm×R. A point is feasible if F(x,τ)⪰0\mathcal{F}(x,\tau) \succeq 0F(x,τ)⪰0 (symmetric positive semidefinite) and optimal if it is feasible and minimizes cTxc^TxcTx over all feasible (x′,τ′)(x',\tau')(x′,τ′). The solution is the pair (x,τ)(x,\tau)(x,τ).

The paper's hypotheses (§4.1):

  • H1 (Slater): F(x,τ)≻0\mathcal{F}(x,\tau) \succ 0F(x,τ)≻0 for some (x,τ)(x,\tau)(x,τ).
  • H2 (inf-compactness): every sublevel set {(x,τ) feasible:cTx≤M}\{(x,\tau)\ \text{feasible} : c^Tx \le M\}{(x,τ) feasible:cTx≤M} is bounded.
  • H3(a): the nullspace of the pencil λR0+∑ixiRi\lambda R_0 + \sum_i x_iR_iλR0​+∑i​xi​Ri​ is one and the same proper subspace N⊊RnN \subsetneq \mathbb{R}^nN⊊Rn for every (λ,x)≠(0,0)(\lambda,x) \neq (0,0)(λ,x)=(0,0).
  • H3(b): for every xxx the stacked matrix [LTR(x)]\begin{bmatrix} L^T \\ R(x)\end{bmatrix}[LTR(x)​] has full column rank.

For τ>0\tau > 0τ>0 put G(x,τ)=F(x)−τLLT−1τR(x)TR(x)G(x,\tau) = F(x) - \tau LL^T - \frac{1}{\tau}R(x)^TR(x)G(x,τ)=F(x)−τLLT−τ1​R(x)TR(x), the Schur complement of the block τI\tau IτI in F(x,τ)\mathcal{F}(x,\tau)F(x,τ).

The quadratic growth condition (QGC) holds at an optimal point y⋆=(x⋆,τ⋆)y^\star = (x^\star,\tau^\star)y⋆=(x⋆,τ⋆) if there are α,ε>0\alpha, \varepsilon > 0α,ε>0 with

cTx ≥ cTx⋆+α ∥y−y⋆∥2for every feasible y=(x,τ), ∥y−y⋆∥<ε.c^Tx \ \ge\ c^Tx^\star + \alpha\,\|y - y^\star\|^2 \qquad \text{for every feasible } y = (x,\tau),\ \|y - y^\star\| < \varepsilon .cTx ≥ cTx⋆+α∥y−y⋆∥2for every feasible y=(x,τ), ∥y−y⋆∥<ε.

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem 4.2 (p. 39)

Under c≠0c \neq 0c=0, symmetry of the FiF_iFi​, H1, H2, H3(a) and H3(b):

(∀ y⋆ optimal for (15): QGC holds at y⋆)and∃! y=(x,τ) optimal for (15).\bigl(\forall\, y^\star \text{ optimal for (15)}:\ \text{QGC holds at } y^\star\bigr)\quad\text{and}\quad \exists!\, y = (x,\tau) \text{ optimal for (15)} .(∀y⋆ optimal for (15): QGC holds at y⋆)and∃!y=(x,τ) optimal for (15).

Both halves are stated; uniqueness is of the pair (x,τ)(x,\tau)(x,τ), and existence is part of the claim.

Milestones, in the order the paper's proof uses them

  1. §4.1 (p. 38): H3(a) implies R(x)≠0R(x) \neq 0R(x)=0 for every xxx.
  2. §4.2 (p. 39): under H3(a), every feasible τ\tauτ is positive; in particular τopt>0\tau_{\mathrm{opt}} > 0τopt​>0.
  3. §4.2, Eq. (16): for τ>0\tau > 0τ>0, F(x,τ)⪰0  ⟺  G(x,τ)⪰0\mathcal{F}(x,\tau) \succeq 0 \iff G(x,\tau) \succeq 0F(x,τ)⪰0⟺G(x,τ)⪰0.
  4. Appendix A (p. 49): at every optimal (x,τ)(x,\tau)(x,τ) there is a dual matrix Z⪰0Z \succeq 0Z⪰0, Z≠0Z \neq 0Z=0, with Tr⁡ZG(x,τ)=0\operatorname{Tr} ZG(x,\tau) = 0TrZG(x,τ)=0, Tr⁡Z ∂G/∂xi=ci\operatorname{Tr} Z\,\partial G/\partial x_i = c_iTrZ∂G/∂xi​=ci​ and τ2Tr⁡LLTZ=Tr⁡R(x)TR(x)Z\tau^2\operatorname{Tr}LL^TZ = \operatorname{Tr}R(x)^TR(x)Zτ2TrLLTZ=TrR(x)TR(x)Z.
  5. Appendix A (p. 49): H3(b) rules out Tr⁡LLTZ=Tr⁡R(x)TR(x)Z=0\operatorname{Tr}LL^TZ = \operatorname{Tr}R(x)^TR(x)Z = 0TrLLTZ=TrR(x)TR(x)Z=0 for Z⪰0Z \succeq 0Z⪰0, Z≠0Z \neq 0Z=0, hence Tr⁡R(x)TR(x)Z>0\operatorname{Tr}R(x)^TR(x)Z > 0TrR(x)TR(x)Z>0.
  6. Appendix A (pp. 49–50): under H3(a), with τ>0\tau > 0τ>0, Z⪰0Z \succeq 0Z⪰0 and Tr⁡R(x)TR(x)Z>0\operatorname{Tr}R(x)^TR(x)Z > 0TrR(x)TR(x)Z>0, the Hessian of the Lagrangian cTx−Tr⁡Z G(x,τ)c^Tx - \operatorname{Tr} Z\,G(x,\tau)cTx−TrZG(x,τ) is positive definite.

Significance

The result. Theorem 4.2 turns the robust SDP into a well-posed problem: a unique solution with quadratic growth. Quadratic growth is the property from which the paper's Hölder-stability results (Theorem 4.3, Corollaries 4.1–4.2) follow through the perturbation theory of Bonnans, Cominetti and Shapiro, and it is what justifies using the robust SDP as a regularization of ill-conditioned SDPs (§5.4). The remark after the theorem notes a geometric reading: the growth holds for every objective, so the boundary of the robust feasible set contains no facets.

Formalizing it. The theorem has a published proof (Appendix A), which relies on a second-order sufficient condition for nonlinear SDPs cited from Bonnans, Cominetti and Shapiro. There is no machine-checked proof of it or of any second-order optimality result for SDPs that we know of. A formalization provides a complete account of the dual attainment, complementarity and second-order steps for this concrete problem class, and it checks the paper's computations; one of them, the intermediate display for the second derivative in Appendix A, has a factor error in its cross term that does not affect the conclusion.

Difficulty

The feasible set of (15) is a spectrahedron, and linear objectives over spectrahedra do not in general have unique minimizers, since optimal faces can be flat. Uniqueness therefore cannot come from convexity alone. It has to come from curvature of the boundary at the optimum, and that curvature is carried only by the nonlinear term 1τR(x)TR(x)\frac{1}{\tau}R(x)^TR(x)τ1​R(x)TR(x) of the Schur complement, which is degenerate along some directions. Positive definiteness of the Hessian must be recovered from the structural hypotheses H3(a) and H3(b), which interact with a dual matrix ZZZ that is known only to exist. The natural first attempt is to use τ>0\tau > 0τ>0 and the positive semidefiniteness of ZZZ directly. That attempt fails: the second derivative is Tr⁡Z RTR\operatorname{Tr} Z\,\mathcal{R}^T\mathcal{R}TrZRTR for a direction-dependent matrix R\mathcal{R}R, which vanishes on the kernel of ZZZ, so it is not positive without H3(a) relating the kernels of all members of the pencil. Dual attainment and complementarity for (15) also have to be established, and the local second-order bound then has to be converted into a statement about every nearby feasible point.

Formalization scope

  • Representation. Data are bundled in RobustSDP.Uniqueness.SDPData m n p q; decision points are pairs y : (Fin m → ℝ) × ℝ; the coefficient Fs i, i : Fin m, is the paper's Fi+1F_{i+1}Fi+1​. ⪰0\succeq 0⪰0 and ≻0\succ 0≻0 are Mathlib's Matrix.PosSemidef and Matrix.PosDef, which include symmetry, as the paper's notation does.
  • Conventions fixed. §4's standing choices D=0D = 0D=0 and ρ=1\rho = 1ρ=1 are built into (15). The standing assumptions c≠0c \neq 0c=0 and symmetric FiF_iFi​ (p. 33) are explicit hypotheses. H2 is read as bounded sublevel sets of the feasible set in (x,τ)(x,\tau)(x,τ); the paper's wording ("any unbounded sequence of feasible points produces an unbounded sequence of objectives") is meant in this sense, as its claim that H1 and H2 give existence of optimal points shows. H3(b)'s full column rank is injectivity of ξ↦(LTξ,R(x)ξ)\xi \mapsto (L^T\xi, R(x)\xi)ξ↦(LTξ,R(x)ξ). The QGC uses the Euclidean norm on Rm+1\mathbb{R}^{m+1}Rm+1 in its local form, which is equivalent to the paper's o(∥y−yopt∥2)o(\|y - y_{\mathrm{opt}}\|^2)o(∥y−yopt​∥2) form. It is stated for (15) rather than for the paper's reformulation (16), with which (15) coincides near the optimum because τopt>0\tau_{\mathrm{opt}} > 0τopt​>0. The auxiliary constraint τ≥0.99 τopt\tau \ge 0.99\,\tau_{\mathrm{opt}}τ≥0.99τopt​ of (16) is not formalized. GGG uses Lean's τ⁻¹, which is 000 at τ=0\tau = 0τ=0, so every statement about GGG assumes τ>0\tau > 0τ>0 or τ≠0\tau \ne 0τ=0.
  • No trivializing reading. The goal cannot be satisfied by stating only uniqueness of xxx, by reading H2 as "the objective is bounded below", or by reading H3(a) as "R(x)≠0R(x) \neq 0R(x)=0". The statement quantifies over the pair (x,τ)(x,\tau)(x,τ), and both the quadratic growth and the existence and uniqueness halves are required. The hypotheses are jointly satisfiable: for example m=1m = 1m=1, n=p=2n = p = 2n=p=2, q=4q = 4q=4, F(x)=diag(3+x,3−x)F(x) = \mathrm{diag}(3+x, 3-x)F(x)=diag(3+x,3−x), L=I2L = I_2L=I2​, R(x)=[1;x]⊗I2R(x) = [1; x]\otimes I_2R(x)=[1;x]⊗I2​ and c=1c = 1c=1.
  • Infrastructure. A complete development needs Schur complements for positive semidefinite block matrices (available in Mathlib), strong duality with dual attainment for inequality-form SDPs under Slater's condition (ConvexOptimization.sdp_strong_duality on the platform, in another Mathlib environment), existence of minimizers on closed bounded sets, second derivatives of matrix-valued maps, and a local second-order argument for convex problems. The duality and second-order parts can be reused beyond this mission. Contributions to any milestone, or alternative proofs that avoid the general Bonnans–Cominetti–Shapiro theory, are welcome.

Selected references

  • L. El Ghaoui, F. Oustry and H. Lebret, Robust Solutions to Uncertain Semidefinite Programs, SIAM J. Optim. 9(1), 33–52, 1998. https://doi.org/10.1137/S1052623496305717
  • J. F. Bonnans, R. Cominetti and A. Shapiro, Sensitivity analysis of optimization problems under second order regular constraints, Math. Oper. Res. 23(4), 806–831, 1998 (the paper's reference [10]). https://doi.org/10.1287/moor.23.4.806
  • A. Shapiro, First and second order analysis of nonlinear semidefinite programs, Math. Programming Ser. B 77, 301–320, 1997. https://doi.org/10.1007/BF02614439
  • R. T. Rockafellar, Convex Analysis, Princeton University Press, 1970. https://doi.org/10.1515/9781400873173
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CombinatoricsProbability·Captain: mikedeng1

Limits of Permutation Sequences I: Every Convergent Permutation Sequence Has a Limit Permutation, and Every Limit Permutation Is a LimitResearch Paper

Motivation

Large combinatorial structures are often best understood through their limits. For dense graphs, Lovász and Szegedy (2006) showed that every sequence of graphs whose subgraph densities converge has a limit object, a graphon, and that every graphon arises this way. Borgs, Chayes, Lovász, Sós and Vesztergombi (2008) related this convergence to the cut distance. These results turned questions of extremal combinatorics and property testing into analysis on a compact space.

Hoppen, Kohayakawa, Moreira, Ráth and Sampaio (arXiv:1103.5844; J. Combin. Theory Ser. B, 2013) carried this programme over to permutations. Their limit objects, called limit permutations here and now usually called permutons (as a probability measure on the square), underlie later work on quasirandom permutations, pattern densities, and property testing of permutations (Hoppen et al., 2011). This mission formalizes the paper's main result, Theorem 1.6: convergent permutation sequences have limits, and every limit is attained.

Timeline:

  • 2006. Lovász and Szegedy prove that graphons are exactly the limits of convergent dense graph sequences.
  • 2008. Borgs et al. characterize convergence by the cut distance.
  • 2011–2013. Hoppen, Kohayakawa, Moreira, Ráth and Sampaio prove the permutation analogue (this paper), together with uniqueness of the limit and a characterization by a rectangular distance.

Setting

For n≥1n \ge 1n≥1, SnS_nSn​ is the set of permutations of [n]={1,…,n}[n] = \{1,\dots,n\}[n]={1,…,n}, and ∣π∣=n|\pi| = n∣π∣=n for π∈Sn\pi \in S_nπ∈Sn​. For τ∈Sk\tau \in S_kτ∈Sk​ and π∈Sn\pi \in S_nπ∈Sn​, the number of occurrences Λ(τ,π)\Lambda(\tau,\pi)Λ(τ,π) counts the increasing kkk-tuples x1<⋯<xkx_1 < \dots < x_kx1​<⋯<xk​ in [n][n][n] with π(xi)<π(xj)  ⟺  τ(i)<τ(j)\pi(x_i) < \pi(x_j) \iff \tau(i) < \tau(j)π(xi​)<π(xj​)⟺τ(i)<τ(j). The subpermutation density is t(τ,π)=Λ(τ,π)/(nk)t(\tau,\pi) = \Lambda(\tau,\pi)/\binom nkt(τ,π)=Λ(τ,π)/(kn​) for k≤nk \le nk≤n and 000 for k>nk > nk>n. A permutation sequence (σn)(\sigma_n)(σn​) is convergent if t(τ,σn)t(\tau,\sigma_n)t(τ,σn​) converges for every fixed τ\tauτ.

A function F:[0,1]→[0,1]F : [0,1]\to[0,1]F:[0,1]→[0,1] is a cdf if it is non-decreasing and right-continuous with F(0)≥0F(0) \ge 0F(0)≥0 and F(1)=1F(1) = 1F(1)=1. A limit permutation is a Lebesgue measurable Z:[0,1]2→[0,1]Z : [0,1]^2 \to [0,1]Z:[0,1]2→[0,1] such that Z(x,⋅)Z(x,\cdot)Z(x,⋅) is a cdf for every xxx, and ∫01Z(x,y) dx=y\int_0^1 Z(x,y)\,dx = y∫01​Z(x,y)dx=y for every yyy. The set of limit permutations is Z\mathcal ZZ.

With ZZZ one associates a random point (X,Y)(X,Y)(X,Y): X∼U[0,1]X \sim U[0,1]X∼U[0,1], and given XXX, YYY has cdf Z(X,⋅)Z(X,\cdot)Z(X,⋅). Draw kkk independent copies (Xi,Yi)(X_i,Y_i)(Xi​,Yi​). The ZZZ-random permutation σ(k,Z)\sigma(k,Z)σ(k,Z) records the relative order of the YiY_iYi​ read in increasing order of the XiX_iXi​. The density of τ∈Sk\tau \in S_kτ∈Sk​ in ZZZ is t(τ,Z)=P(σ(k,Z)=τ)t(\tau,Z) = \mathbf P(\sigma(k,Z) = \tau)t(τ,Z)=P(σ(k,Z)=τ). A sequence with ∣σn∣→∞|\sigma_n| \to \infty∣σn​∣→∞ converges to ZZZ, written σn→Z\sigma_n \to Zσn​→Z, if t(τ,σn)→t(τ,Z)t(\tau,\sigma_n) \to t(\tau,Z)t(τ,σn​)→t(τ,Z) for every τ\tauτ.

For σ∈Sn\sigma \in S_nσ∈Sn​, the step limit permutation ZσZ_\sigmaZσ​ spreads the permutation matrix of σ\sigmaσ uniformly over its n×nn \times nn×n grid cells. The rectangular distance d□(Z1,Z2)d_\square(Z_1,Z_2)d□​(Z1​,Z2​) is the largest difference, over axis-parallel rectangles, between the probabilities the two associated random points assign to the rectangle.

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem 1.6

(i)(σn) convergent, ∣σn∣→∞ ⟹ ∃Z∈Z: σn→Z;\text{(i)}\quad (\sigma_n)\ \text{convergent},\ |\sigma_n|\to\infty \ \Longrightarrow\ \exists Z\in\mathcal Z:\ \sigma_n\to Z;(i)(σn​) convergent, ∣σn​∣→∞ ⟹ ∃Z∈Z: σn​→Z; (ii)∀Z∈Z  ∃(σn): σn→Z.\text{(ii)}\quad \forall Z\in\mathcal Z\ \ \exists (\sigma_n):\ \sigma_n\to Z.(ii)∀Z∈Z  ∃(σn​): σn​→Z.

The two parts together identify Z\mathcal ZZ with the set of limits of permutation sequences.

Milestones

In the order the proof uses them:

  1. Eq. (21): the joint distribution function of the random point associated with ZZZ is F(x,y)=∫0xZ(t,y) dtF(x,y) = \int_0^x Z(t,y)\,dtF(x,y)=∫0x​Z(t,y)dt.
  2. Lemma 2.2: every law on [0,1]2[0,1]^2[0,1]2 with uniform marginals has a limit permutation as its conditional cdf, unique up to a null set of xxx.
  3. Lemma 2.1: for uniform marginals, weak convergence is equivalent to uniform convergence of the joint distribution functions.
  4. Lemma 3.5: ∣t(τ,σ)−t(τ,Zσ)∣≤1n(k2)|t(\tau,\sigma) - t(\tau,Z_\sigma)| \le \frac1n\binom k2∣t(τ,σ)−t(τ,Zσ​)∣≤n1​(2k​).
  5. Eq. (49): for ∣σn∣→∞|\sigma_n| \to \infty∣σn​∣→∞, σn→Z  ⟺  Zσn→tZ\sigma_n \to Z \iff Z_{\sigma_n} \xrightarrow{t} Zσn​→Z⟺Zσn​​t​Z.
  6. Lemma 5.1: the densities t(τ,Z)t(\tau,Z)t(τ,Z) determine the law of the associated random point.
  7. Lemma 5.3: weak convergence, d□d_\squared□​-convergence and density convergence on Z\mathcal ZZ are equivalent.
  8. Lemma 4.2: for all large kkk and every ZZZ, P(d□(Z,σ(k,Z))≤16k−1/4)≥1−12e−k\mathbf P\big(d_\square(Z,\sigma(k,Z)) \le 16k^{-1/4}\big) \ge 1 - \tfrac12 e^{-\sqrt k}P(d□​(Z,σ(k,Z))≤16k−1/4)≥1−21​e−k​.
  9. Theorem 1.7 (corrected): if σn→Z1\sigma_n \to Z_1σn​→Z1​, then σn→Z2\sigma_n \to Z_2σn​→Z2​ exactly when Z1(x,⋅)=Z2(x,⋅)Z_1(x,\cdot) = Z_2(x,\cdot)Z1​(x,⋅)=Z2​(x,⋅) for almost every xxx.

Significance

Theorem 1.6 makes Z\mathcal ZZ, modulo null sets, the completion of the set of finite permutations under density convergence. Asymptotic statements about pattern densities, such as quasirandomness criteria, extremal pattern-density problems and the testability of permutation properties, can then be stated and proved on a compact space of measures rather than along sequences. Lemma 4.2 is the quantitative sampling statement behind testability, and Theorem 1.7 says that a limit, viewed as a measure on the square, is unique.

The results are proved in the paper and have been used for over a decade. To the best of current knowledge they are not formalized in any proof assistant. The mission produces a machine-checked account of the permuton correspondence: the definitions of subpermutation density, limit permutation and ZZZ-random permutation, and the equivalences between the three natural convergences on Z\mathcal ZZ. Alternative proofs are welcome, for instance of (ii) through Lemma 4.2 and the Borel–Cantelli lemma rather than the paper's strong law for U-statistics.

Difficulty

The obvious route to (i) is compactness: the laws of the random points attached to ZσnZ_{\sigma_n}Zσn​​ have a weakly convergent subsequence. The weak limit is only a measure, however. Turning it into a function ZZZ that is a cdf in yyy for every xxx, with exact uniform integrals for every yyy, requires a regular conditional distribution (Lemma 2.2). One then has to show that weak convergence carries the pattern densities along. That fails for general measures on the square, because the events defining σ(k,Z)=τ\sigma(k,Z)=\tauσ(k,Z)=τ have boundaries on which ties occur. Uniform marginals are what rule the ties out. The limit must also be independent of the subsequence, which needs the uniqueness statement Lemma 5.1. For (ii), the natural random sequence converges only almost surely, so an almost-sure limit theorem or a quantitative concentration bound is unavoidable.

Formalization scope

  • [0,1][0,1][0,1] is Mathlib's unitInterval with Lebesgue measure. A limit permutation is a curried real function Z : I → I → ℝ. Measurability is almost-everywhere measurability for the product measure, which is Lebesgue measurability. The cdf and integral conditions hold for every xxx and every yyy.
  • SnS_nSn​ is Equiv.Perm (Fin n) (0-based), and a permutation sequence is ℕ → Σ n, Equiv.Perm (Fin n). Patterns of every length, including the trivial length 000, are quantified over; the length-000 clause always holds.
  • The law of the associated random point is built by the inverse-cdf construction (x,u)↦(x,inf⁡{y:u≤Z(x,y)})(x,u) \mapsto (x, \inf\{y : u \le Z(x,y)\})(x,u)↦(x,inf{y:u≤Z(x,y)}) applied to Lebesgue measure on the square. The density t(τ,Z)t(\tau,Z)t(τ,Z) is the product measure of the event AτA_\tauAτ​ (strict orders, so ties are excluded).
  • ZσZ_\sigmaZσ​ is given in closed form; at x=0x = 0x=0 it uses the first row, a null-set choice that keeps every Zσ(x,⋅)Z_\sigma(x,\cdot)Zσ​(x,⋅) a cdf. d□d_\squared□​ is the real supremum over rectangles, and is bounded on Z\mathcal ZZ.
  • "kkk sufficiently large" in Lemma 4.2 is ∃k0 ∀k≥k0 ∀Z\exists k_0\,\forall k \ge k_0\,\forall Z∃k0​∀k≥k0​∀Z, with the paper's constants 161616, k−1/4k^{-1/4}k−1/4, 12e−k\tfrac12 e^{-\sqrt k}21​e−k​. The probability is written as a sum of t(τ,Z)t(\tau,Z)t(τ,Z) over the qualifying τ\tauτ.
  • Theorem 1.7 is false as literally printed (its "if" direction fails); the corrected form assumes σn→Z1\sigma_n \to Z_1σn​→Z1​.
  • A trivializing formalization is ruled out: t(τ,Z)t(\tau,Z)t(τ,Z) is a genuine sampling probability under a probability measure whose joint distribution function is pinned down by Eq. (21), and σn→Z\sigma_n \to Zσn​→Z includes ∣σn∣→∞|\sigma_n| \to \infty∣σn​∣→∞.

Needed infrastructure includes Prokhorov compactness of probability measures on a compact space, the Portmanteau theorem, conditional cdfs (ProbabilityTheory.condCDF), Hoeffding's inequality and Borel–Cantelli, all largely in Mathlib. The permutation-density and permuton layer is reusable for quasirandomness and testing results. Mission II of this series, on the rectangular-distance characterization, uses the same model.

Selected references

  • C. Hoppen, Y. Kohayakawa, C. G. Moreira, B. Ráth, R. M. Sampaio, Limits of permutation sequences, arXiv:1103.5844v2, 2012; J. Combin. Theory Ser. B 103 (2013). https://arxiv.org/abs/1103.5844v2
  • L. Lovász, B. Szegedy, Limits of dense graph sequences, J. Combin. Theory Ser. B 96 (2006) 933–957. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jctb.2006.05.002
  • C. Borgs, J. T. Chayes, L. Lovász, V. T. Sós, K. Vesztergombi, Convergent sequences of dense graphs I: Subgraph frequencies, metric properties and testing, Adv. Math. 219 (2008) 1801–1851. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.aim.2007.08.004
  • C. Hoppen, Y. Kohayakawa, C. G. Moreira, R. M. Sampaio, Testing permutation properties through subpermutations, Theoret. Comput. Sci. 412 (2011) 3555–3567. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.tcs.2010.10.041
  • P. Billingsley, Convergence of Probability Measures, 2nd ed., Wiley, 1999. https://doi.org/10.1002/9780470316962
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Dynamic ProgrammingOperations ResearchOptimization·Captain: mikedeng1

Integrating Replenishment Decisions with Advance Demand Information I: The Myopic Order-Up-To Level Is Optimal When Observed Demand Beyond the Protection Period Is LargeResearch Paper

Motivation

Many firms learn part of future demand before it has to be served: customers place orders days or weeks ahead of the date they need the goods, or commit to delivery dates in contracts. Advance demand information of this kind reduces the uncertainty the inventory manager has to protect against, and the question is how replenishment decisions should use it. Gallego and Özer (Management Science 47(10), 2001) model orders placed up to NNN periods ahead and a supply lead time LLL. They show that, with a fixed ordering cost, the classical (s,S)(s,S)(s,S) structure survives with parameters that depend on the observed future demand, and they identify when that dependence disappears.

The classical theory this builds on is the finite-horizon inventory model with a set-up cost. Scarf (1960) introduced KKK-convexity to prove that (s,S)(s,S)(s,S) policies are optimal there. Veinott (1966) and Iglehart (1963) bounded the optimal policy parameters by myopic quantities. Gallego and Özer extend both results to a state that carries a vector of observed demands.

Setting

Periods are t=1,…,Tt = 1, \dots, Tt=1,…,T. In period ttt customers place orders Dt=(Dt,t,…,Dt,t+N)D_t = (D_{t,t}, \dots, D_{t,t+N})Dt​=(Dt,t​,…,Dt,t+N​) for periods t,…,t+Nt, \dots, t+Nt,…,t+N; DtD_tDt​ is a random vector with law μt\mu_tμt​ and nonnegative components. The lead time LLL and the information horizon NNN satisfy N>L+1N > L+1N>L+1; write M=N−L−1≥1M = N - L - 1 \ge 1M=N−L−1≥1. The state at the start of period ttt is a pair (xt,ot)(x_t, o_t)(xt​,ot​): the modified inventory position xt∈Rx_t \in \mathbb{R}xt​∈R, and the vector

ot=(ot,t+L+1,…,ot,t+N−1)∈RMo_t = (o_{t,t+L+1}, \dots, o_{t,t+N-1}) \in \mathbb{R}^Mot​=(ot,t+L+1​,…,ot,t+N−1​)∈RM

of demands already observed for the periods beyond the protection period t,…,t+Lt, \dots, t+Lt,…,t+L.

The manager raises xtx_txt​ to an order-up-to level y≥xty \ge x_ty≥xt​, paying a set-up cost Kt>0K_t > 0Kt​>0 if y>xty > x_ty>xt​. After DtD_tDt​ is observed, the state moves to

xt+1=y−∑s=tt+L+1Dt,s−ot,t+L+1,ot+1,s=ot,s+Dt,s  (s=t+L+2,…,t+N),x_{t+1} = y - \sum_{s=t}^{t+L+1} D_{t,s} - o_{t,t+L+1},\qquad o_{t+1,s} = o_{t,s} + D_{t,s}\ \ (s = t+L+2,\dots,t+N),xt+1​=y−s=t∑t+L+1​Dt,s​−ot,t+L+1​,ot+1,s​=ot,s​+Dt,s​  (s=t+L+2,…,t+N),

with ot,t+N=0o_{t,t+N} = 0ot,t+N​=0. With a convex single-period cost GtG_tGt​, discount factors αt>0\alpha_t > 0αt​>0 and δ(z)=1{z>0}\delta(z) = \mathbf 1\{z > 0\}δ(z)=1{z>0}, the optimal cost satisfies JT+1≡0J_{T+1} \equiv 0JT+1​≡0 and

Jt(x,o)=min⁡y≥x{Ktδ(y−x)+Vt(y,o)},Vt(y,o)=Gt(y)+αt+1 E Jt+1(xt+1,ot+1).J_t(x, o) = \min_{y \ge x}\{K_t\delta(y - x) + V_t(y, o)\},\qquad V_t(y, o) = G_t(y) + \alpha_{t+1}\,\mathbb E\,J_{t+1}(x_{t+1}, o_{t+1}).Jt​(x,o)=y≥xmin​{Kt​δ(y−x)+Vt​(y,o)},Vt​(y,o)=Gt​(y)+αt+1​EJt+1​(xt+1​,ot+1​).

Let Ht(x,o)=Kt+min⁡y≥xVt(y,o)−Vt(x,o)H_t(x, o) = K_t + \min_{y\ge x}V_t(y,o) - V_t(x,o)Ht​(x,o)=Kt​+miny≥x​Vt​(y,o)−Vt​(x,o). The order-up-to level St(o)S_t(o)St​(o) is the least minimizer of Vt(⋅,o)V_t(\cdot, o)Vt​(⋅,o), and the reorder point is st(o)=max⁡{x:Ht(x,o)≤0}s_t(o) = \max\{x : H_t(x,o) \le 0\}st​(o)=max{x:Ht​(x,o)≤0}.

A function ggg is (a,b)(a,b)(a,b)-convex, g∈C(a,b)g \in C(a,b)g∈C(a,b), if g(θx1+(1−θ)x2)≤θ(a+g(x1))+(1−θ)(b+g(x2))g(\theta x_1 + (1-\theta)x_2) \le \theta(a + g(x_1)) + (1-\theta)(b + g(x_2))g(θx1​+(1−θ)x2​)≤θ(a+g(x1​))+(1−θ)(b+g(x2​)) for all x1≤x2x_1 \le x_2x1​≤x2​ and θ∈[0,1]\theta \in [0,1]θ∈[0,1]; C(0,K)C(0,K)C(0,K) is Scarf's KKK-convexity. In the stationary problem Gt=GG_t = GGt​=G, Kt=KK_t = KKt​=K, αt=α\alpha_t = \alphaαt​=α and μt=ν\mu_t = \nuμt​=ν, and the myopic levels are

Sm=min⁡{y:G(y)≤G(x) ∀x},sm=max⁡{y≤Sm:G(y)≥K+G(Sm)},S‾=inf⁡{y>Sm:G(y)>G(Sm)+αK}.S^m = \min\{y : G(y) \le G(x)\ \forall x\},\quad s^m = \max\{y \le S^m : G(y) \ge K + G(S^m)\},\quad \overline S = \inf\{y > S^m : G(y) > G(S^m) + \alpha K\}.Sm=min{y:G(y)≤G(x) ∀x},sm=max{y≤Sm:G(y)≥K+G(Sm)},S=inf{y>Sm:G(y)>G(Sm)+αK}.

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem 2 (p. 1350)

For the stationary problem, every 1≤t≤T1 \le t \le T1≤t≤T and every observed-demand vector ot≥0o_t \ge 0ot​≥0,

ot,t+L+1≥S‾−sm  ⟹  St(ot)=Sm.o_{t,t+L+1} \ge \overline S - s^m \implies S_t(o_t) = S^m.ot,t+L+1​≥S−sm⟹St​(ot​)=Sm.

Only the observed demand for the first period beyond the protection period is compared with the threshold; the other components of oto_tot​ are free.

Milestones

  • Lemma 1, Parts 1, 2, 4, 5 (p. 1349): inclusion, positive combinations, expectations, and g(max⁡(x,s))g(\max(x,s))g(max(x,s)) for (a,b)(a,b)(a,b)-convex functions.
  • Lemma 2 and Corollary 1 (p. 1350): for V∈C(0,K)V \in C(0,K)V∈C(0,K) with a minimizer SSS, HHH changes sign once from −-− to +++, and (for continuous VVV) J(x)=V(max⁡(s,x))J(x) = V(\max(s,x))J(x)=V(max(s,x)).
  • Theorem 1, Parts 1–3 (p. 1350): Vt(⋅,ot)∈C(0,Kt)V_t(\cdot, o_t) \in C(0, K_t)Vt​(⋅,ot​)∈C(0,Kt​) is coercive, a state-dependent (st(ot),St(ot))(s_t(o_t), S_t(o_t))(st​(ot​),St​(ot​)) policy is optimal, and Jt(⋅,ot)∈C(0,Kt)J_t(\cdot, o_t) \in C(0, K_t)Jt​(⋅,ot​)∈C(0,Kt​) with its limits at ±∞\pm\infty±∞.
  • Lemma 3 (p. 1351): Sm≤St(ot)≤S‾S^m \le S_t(o_t) \le \overline SSm≤St​(ot​)≤S and sm≤st(ot)s^m \le s_t(o_t)sm≤st​(ot​).

Significance

Theorem 1 says that advance demand information does not destroy the (s,S)(s,S)(s,S) structure: the optimal policy is still a reorder point and an order-up-to level, now functions of oto_tot​. Theorem 2 is a horizon result. Once enough demand is already booked for period t+L+1t+L+1t+L+1, the order-up-to level is the myopic one, computed from GGG alone, and the rest of the information vector can be ignored. The threshold S‾−sm\overline S - s^mS−sm grows with the set-up cost. In practice the manager then orders only to cover demand up to period t+Lt+Lt+L, knowing another order will be placed in period t+1t+1t+1, and the search for state-dependent policies is confined to states with little booked demand.

The results are proved in the paper, with some steps argued informally (the unit forward difference in Lemma 3, a minimum over an open set in the definition of S‾\overline SS). As far as the platform's catalog shows, no (s,S)(s,S)(s,S) optimality theorem of this form has a machine-checked proof: the platform has KKK-convexity lemmas for a single constant, not for (a,b)(a,b)(a,b)-convexity or a dynamic program with a vector state. A formal proof would check the infinite-state induction and the conditions under which the expectation in (9) is finite. The (a,b)(a,b)(a,b)-convexity layer and the one-period results (Lemma 2, Corollary 1) are reusable for any set-up cost model.

Difficulty

The obvious induction proves KKK-convexity of VtV_tVt​ and then applies Scarf's argument. The vector state makes each step conditional on facts the scalar case gets for free. The expectation in (9) mixes a random shift of xxx with a random update of ooo, so preserving KKK-convexity needs Lemma 1, Part 4 rather than the scalar version. Coercivity and continuity of Vt(⋅,o)V_t(\cdot, o)Vt​(⋅,o), and measurability and integrability of D↦Jt+1(xt+1,ot+1)D \mapsto J_{t+1}(x_{t+1}, o_{t+1})D↦Jt+1​(xt+1​,ot+1​), must be carried through the induction jointly in (x,o)(x, o)(x,o). They cannot be assumed.

For Theorem 2, VtV_tVt​ is not a function of GGG alone, and a comparison of St(ot)S_t(o_t)St​(ot​) with SmS^mSm has to control EJt+1\mathbb E J_{t+1}EJt+1​. That requires the lower bound sm≤st+1(ot+1)s^m \le s_{t+1}(o_{t+1})sm≤st+1​(ot+1​) at the next period, which holds only on the nonnegative state space.

Formalization scope

Everything is stated about the functional equation (8)–(9). The paper derives it in Appendix A from a control problem over history-dependent policies, citing Özer (2000); that reduction is out of scope. The demand vector is Fin (L + M + 2) → ℝ and ooo is Fin M → ℝ, with component jjj equal to ot,t+L+1+jo_{t,t+L+1+j}ot,t+L+1+j​. JJJ is defined by backward recursion, minima over y≥xy \ge xy≥x are infima over {y:x≤y}\{y : x \le y\}{y:x≤y}, and expectations are Bochner integrals. GtG_tGt​ is an abstract primitive, not built from holding and penalty costs.

The paper's hypotheses are GtG_tGt​ convex with Gt(y)→∞G_t(y) \to \inftyGt​(y)→∞ as ∣y∣→∞|y| \to \infty∣y∣→∞ (stated for G~t\widetilde G_tGt​, used for GtG_tGt​), Kt>0K_t > 0Kt​>0 (Section 4), and αt+1Kt+1≤Kt\alpha_{t+1}K_{t+1} \le K_tαt+1​Kt+1​≤Kt​. The formalization adds hypotheses the paper uses without stating:

  • positive discount factors;
  • demands nonnegative almost surely;
  • every demand component has a finite mean, and ∣Gt(y)∣≤at+bt∣y∣|G_t(y)| \le a_t + b_t|y|∣Gt​(y)∣≤at​+bt​∣y∣ (so the expectation in (9) is finite);
  • continuity of VVV in the abstract Corollary 1;
  • nonnegative observed demands oto_tot​ in Lemma 3 and Theorem 2, where the lower bound fails for negative ot,t+L+1o_{t,t+L+1}ot,t+L+1​.

All hypotheses are placed on the primitives; nothing is assumed about the derived VtV_tVt​ or JtJ_tJt​. A Solutions/verification instance (G(y)=∣y∣G(y) = |y|G(y)=∣y∣, K=1K = 1K=1, α=1/2\alpha = 1/2α=1/2, zero demand) shows these hypotheses can be met together.

The definition of S‾\overline SS is read as an infimum: the paper prints a minimum over an open set. St(ot)S_t(o_t)St​(ot​) and st(ot)s_t(o_t)st​(ot​) appear through IsLeast and IsGreatest, never as sInf/sSup values. A default value therefore cannot satisfy a conclusion, and vacuous readings (an empty minimizer set, an unbounded reorder set) are excluded. The infinite-horizon results (Lemma 4, Theorem 3, Corollary 2) and the zero set-up cost case are not part of this mission. Contributions are welcome at every level, and most of all a reusable library for (a,b)(a,b)(a,b)-convex functions.

Selected references

  • G. Gallego, Ö. Özer, Integrating Replenishment Decisions with Advance Demand Information, Management Science 47(10):1344–1360, 2001. https://doi.org/10.1287/mnsc.47.10.1344.10261
  • H. Scarf, The Optimality of (S, s) Policies in the Dynamic Inventory Problem, in Mathematical Methods in the Social Sciences, Stanford University Press, 1960.
  • A. F. Veinott, On the Optimality of (s,S) Inventory Policies: New Conditions and a New Proof, SIAM Journal on Applied Mathematics 14(5):1067–1083, 1966. https://doi.org/10.1137/0114086
  • D. L. Iglehart, Optimality of (s, S) Policies in the Infinite Horizon Dynamic Inventory Problem, Management Science 9(2):259–267, 1963. https://doi.org/10.1287/mnsc.9.2.259
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Calibrated Learning and Correlated Equilibrium III: A Randomized Forecast Calibrated against Every OpponentResearch Paper

Motivation

A forecaster who announces "70% chance of rain" is calibrated if, among the days on which that number was announced, it rained on about 70% of them. Dawid (The well-calibrated Bayesian, JASA 1982) proposed calibration as the minimal requirement of an honest probability forecaster. Oakes (Self-calibrating priors do not exist, JASA 1985) showed that no deterministic forecasting rule can be calibrated against every sequence of outcomes: an adversary who knows the rule can always choose the outcome that contradicts the forecast.

Foster and Vohra (Calibrated learning and correlated equilibrium, Games Econ. Behav. 21 (1997) 40–55) use calibration as the bridge between learning and equilibrium in repeated games. Their Theorem 1 says that if each player best-responds to calibrated forecasts of the opponent, the empirical distribution of play converges to the set of correlated equilibria. That theorem is only useful if calibrated forecasts can actually be produced whatever the opponent does. Theorem 3 of the paper, credited to an unpublished 1991 manuscript of the same authors and proved in the paper's Appendix, says they can, provided the forecaster randomizes.

Timeline. Dawid (1982) defines calibration. Oakes (1985) rules out deterministic calibrated forecasting against arbitrary sequences. Foster and Vohra (1991 manuscript; 1997 paper, Theorem 3 and Appendix) give a randomized forecaster calibrated against any opponent, through a pairwise ("internal") no-regret property. The full argument appeared in Foster and Vohra, Asymptotic calibration, Biometrika 85 (1998). Hart and Mas-Colell (A simple adaptive procedure leading to correlated equilibrium, Econometrica 2000) later made internal regret the standard route to correlated equilibrium.

Setting

Player 2 has n≥1n\ge 1n≥1 pure strategies j∈{0,…,n−1}j\in\{0,\dots,n-1\}j∈{0,…,n−1}. In every round, player 1 announces a forecast p∈Rnp\in\mathbb R^np∈Rn, a probability vector (pj≥0p_j\ge 0pj​≥0, ∑jpj=1\sum_j p_j = 1∑j​pj​=1), and player 2 plays a strategy jjj. The two moves are simultaneous: player 2 does not see the current forecast.

A history hhh of length ttt is the list of the ttt pairs (forecast, play), oldest first. For a forecast vector ppp and a strategy jjj:

  • N(p,t)N(p,t)N(p,t) is the number of rounds of hhh in which ppp was forecast;
  • ρ(p,j,t)\rho(p,j,t)ρ(p,j,t) is the fraction of those rounds in which player 2 played jjj (and 000 if N(p,t)=0N(p,t)=0N(p,t)=0);
  • the calibration score (Eq. (1), p. 49) is
Ct=∑p∑j∣ρ(p,j,t)−pj∣ N(p,t)t.C_t = \sum_p\sum_j \bigl|\rho(p,j,t) - p_j\bigr|\,\frac{N(p,t)}{t}.Ct​=p∑​j∑​​ρ(p,j,t)−pj​​tN(p,t)​.

A randomized forecaster FFF maps each history to a probability distribution on forecasts. A learning rule AAA of player 2 maps each history to a probability distribution on strategies. In round t+1t+1t+1 the forecast is drawn from F(h)F(h)F(h) and the play from A(h)A(h)A(h), independently given the history hhh of the first ttt rounds. This defines the law PF,A\mathbb P_{F,A}PF,A​ of the first ttt rounds (histLaw F A t).

For the Appendix: with kkk forecasts, losses LtiL_t^iLti​ and mixing weights wtiw_t^iwti​, the pairwise regret of replacing forecast iii by forecast jjj is

RTi→j=max⁡{0, ∑t=1Twti (Lti−Ltj)}.R_T^{i\to j} = \max\Bigl\{0,\ \sum_{t=1}^T w_t^i\,(L_t^i - L_t^j)\Bigr\}.RTi→j​=max{0, t=1∑T​wti​(Lti​−Ltj​)}.

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem 3 (p. 49)

There is a forecaster FFF, with probability-vector forecasts, such that for every learning rule AAA of player 2 and every ε>0\varepsilon>0ε>0,

lim⁡t→∞PF,A(Ct<ε)=1.\lim_{t\to\infty}\mathbb P_{F,A}\bigl(C_t<\varepsilon\bigr) = 1.t→∞lim​PF,A​(Ct​<ε)=1.

The forecaster is fixed before the opponent; no rate is claimed, and the rate may depend on AAA.

Milestones, in the order the Appendix uses them

  1. Flow conservation is solvable (p. 52). For every nonnegative k×kk\times kk×k matrix RRR, k≥1k\ge 1k≥1, there is a probability vector www with wi∑jRi→j=∑jwjRj→iw^i\sum_j R^{i\to j} = \sum_j w^j R^{j\to i}wi∑j​Ri→j=∑j​wjRj→i for all iii.
  2. Lemma 1 (No-Regret) (p. 52). With losses in [0,1][0,1][0,1] and weights solving flow conservation for the previous regrets,
RTi→j≤2kTfor all i,j,T.R_T^{i\to j}\le\sqrt{2kT}\quad\text{for all } i,j,T.RTi→j​≤2kT​for all i,j,T.
  1. Regrets sandwich L-2 calibration (p. 54). For a grid p1,…,pkp^1,\dots,p^kp1,…,pk that is ε\varepsilonε-dense in squared distance and losses Lti=∣Xt−pi∣2L_t^i = |X_t - p^i|^2Lti​=∣Xt​−pi∣2,
∑imax⁡jRTi→jT ≤ C2,w(T) ≤ ε+∑imax⁡jRTi→jT,\sum_i\max_j \frac{R_T^{i\to j}}{T}\ \le\ C_{2,w}(T)\ \le\ \varepsilon + \sum_i\max_j\frac{R_T^{i\to j}}{T},i∑​jmax​TRTi→j​​ ≤ C2,w​(T) ≤ ε+i∑​jmax​TRTi→j​​,

with C2,wC_{2,w}C2,w​ the fractional L-2 calibration score. 4. L-1 versus L-2 (p. 54). For each jjj, ∑p∣ρ(p,j,t)−pj∣ N(p,t)/t≤∑p(ρ(p,j,t)−pj)2N(p,t)/t\sum_p|\rho(p,j,t)-p_j|\,N(p,t)/t \le \sqrt{\sum_p(\rho(p,j,t)-p_j)^2 N(p,t)/t}∑p​∣ρ(p,j,t)−pj​∣N(p,t)/t≤∑p​(ρ(p,j,t)−pj​)2N(p,t)/t​.

Significance

The result. Theorem 3 makes the hypothesis of Theorem 1 attainable: combined, they show that there are learning procedures under which play converges in probability to the set of correlated equilibria of any finite game (the paper's Corollary, p. 49). The intermediate Lemma 1 is an early internal-regret bound; internal (swap) regret minimization later became the standard algorithmic route to correlated equilibria and to calibrated prediction in online learning.

Formalizing it. The result is proved, in the 1997 Appendix in telegraphic form and in full in Foster and Vohra (1998). The Appendix leaves several steps informal (see Formalization scope), so a machine-checked proof must supply them. No formalization of calibration or of internal regret was found on Prove2Me as of 2026-09-26. The mission produces a formal model of randomized forecasters against adaptive opponents, a checked internal-regret bound with an explicit constant, and the passage from regret to calibration.

Difficulty

The obvious approach is to pick, at each round, a forecast that corrects the current miscalibration. This is a deterministic rule, and by Oakes' theorem an opponent can defeat it. Randomization alone does not help either: the forecaster must randomize in a way that controls every pairwise regret Ri→jR^{i\to j}Ri→j at once, not only the regret against the best fixed forecast. External no-regret does not imply calibration.

Two further gaps separate Lemma 1 from Theorem 3. First, the Appendix controls a fractional score in which the event "forecast pip^ipi was issued" is replaced by its probability wtiw_t^iwti​. The realized calibration score involves the random choices, so a concentration argument is needed against an adaptive opponent. Second, a fixed grid gives calibration only up to its mesh ε\varepsilonε. Exact convergence requires letting the grid size kkk grow and ε\varepsilonε shrink over time, and the scores of the different phases must be combined.

Formalization scope

  • Model. Strategies are Fin n; forecasts are vectors Fin n → ℝ that are probability vectors (IsDist). Histories are Lean lists of (forecast, play) pairs, oldest first. Forecaster and opponent are maps from histories to Mathlib PMFs. The history law is built with PMF.bind/PMF.map, with the two draws independent given the past. P(Ct<ε)\mathbb P(C_t<\varepsilon)P(Ct​<ε) is the toOuterMeasure of the law, in ℝ≥0∞; no σ-algebra on histories is used.
  • Opponent. The opponent may be randomized and may depend on all past forecasts and plays; fixed sequences and deterministic rules are special cases. The opponent never sees the current forecast. Letting it see the current forecast would make the goal false, and restricting to fixed sequences would make it weaker than the paper.
  • Quantifiers. The forecaster is chosen before the opponent (∃ F, ∀ A). The reverse order is trivial, since one can forecast AAA's next play.
  • Conventions. Rounds are counted from 000, so the paper's rounds 1,…,t1,\dots,t1,…,t are the first ttt list entries. The paper's Rt−1R_{t-1}Rt−1​ is the regret over the 000-based rounds before ttt. Forecasts are grouped by exact equality of real vectors. Sums over ppp run over the forecasts that occur, and every other term vanishes. Scores divide by the history length, and are 000 for the empty history. "Converges in probability" is the lim⁡P(Ct<ε)=1\lim\mathbb P(C_t<\varepsilon)=1limP(Ct​<ε)=1 form the page states. The grid of milestone 3 is indexed 1,…,k1,\dots,k1,…,k (the page writes i=0,…,ki = 0,\dots,ki=0,…,k on p. 53 and 1,…,k1,\dots,k1,…,k in Lemma 1), and "within ε\varepsilonε" is read in squared Euclidean distance.
  • Pinned reading. The page writes the middle term of milestone 3 as E(C2(t))E(C_2(t))E(C2​(t)) with a garbled formula. The mission states the inequality for the fractional score C2,wC_{2,w}C2,w​, for which it holds.
  • Steps the paper leaves informal, not stated as milestones. (a) "E(C2(t))≤ε+O(k/2)E(C_2(t))\le\varepsilon + O(k/\sqrt2)E(C2​(t))≤ε+O(k/2​)" when the weights solve flow conservation; the OOO-term is garbled and should decay in ttt. (b) "if we let kkk grow slowly and ε\varepsilonε go slowly to zero … C2(t)→0C_2(t)\to 0C2​(t)→0 in expectation which implies C2(t)→0C_2(t)\to0C2​(t)→0 in probability by Jensen's inequality", together with the passage from the fractional score to the realized one. Solvers will have to formalize these steps on the way to the goal.
  • Not included. The Corollary on p. 49 (convergence in probability of play to the correlated equilibria when both players use the scheme). It needs the game layer and a quantitative form of Theorem 1, and the page gives no proof.
  • Infrastructure welcome. Finite Markov chain stationary distributions (for milestone 1), for which Prove2Me has MarkovChain.exists_isStationary for row-stochastic matrices. Also useful: martingale concentration for PMF-built processes, and Cauchy–Schwarz with weights. The history-law construction is reusable for any repeated forecasting game.

Selected references

  • D. P. Foster and R. V. Vohra, Calibrated learning and correlated equilibrium, Games and Economic Behavior 21 (1997) 40–55. https://doi.org/10.1006/game.1997.0595
  • D. P. Foster and R. V. Vohra, Asymptotic calibration, Biometrika 85 (1998) 379–390. https://doi.org/10.1093/biomet/85.2.379
  • A. P. Dawid, The well-calibrated Bayesian, J. Amer. Statist. Assoc. 77 (1982) 605–613. https://doi.org/10.1080/01621459.1982.10477856
  • D. Oakes, Self-calibrating priors do not exist, J. Amer. Statist. Assoc. 80 (1985) 339. https://doi.org/10.1080/01621459.1985.10478117
  • S. Hart and A. Mas-Colell, A simple adaptive procedure leading to correlated equilibrium, Econometrica 68 (2000) 1127–1150. https://doi.org/10.1111/1468-0262.00153
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Calibrated Learning and Correlated Equilibrium I: Calibrated Forecasts with Best Responses Converge to the Set of Correlated EquilibriaResearch Paper

Motivation

A correlated equilibrium (Aumann 1974) is a joint distribution over the players' strategy profiles such that no player gains by deviating from the strategy the distribution recommends to them. It is the equilibrium notion that learning dynamics in repeated games most naturally reach, and a basic question in learning in games is which simple rules, played repeatedly, drive the empirical distribution of play to the set of correlated equilibria.

Foster and Vohra (1997) answer this with a hypothesis on forecasts instead of a particular algorithm. Each player forecasts the other's next move and best-responds to the forecast. They only require the forecasts to be calibrated in the sense of Dawid (1982): among the rounds in which a player forecast a given probability vector, the empirical frequencies of the opponent's moves must approach that vector. Their Theorem 1 says that this already forces the empirical joint distribution of play to approach the set of correlated equilibria. The paper uses this to argue that Bayesian players under a common prior, whose forecasts are calibrated by Dawid's theorem, end up playing a correlated equilibrium. That is an alternative to Aumann's (1987) derivation of correlated equilibrium from common priors and rationality.

Timeline:

  • Aumann (1974, 1987) introduces correlated equilibrium and derives it from Bayesian rationality.
  • Dawid (1982) proposes calibration as a minimal requirement on probability forecasts.
  • Foster and Vohra (1997) prove Theorem 1 (this mission) and show that calibrated forecasts exist once the forecaster may randomize.
  • Hart and Mas-Colell (2000) give regret matching, an adaptive procedure with the same limit set.

Setting

A finite two-player game GGG has strategy sets S(1)={0,…,m−1}S(1) = \{0, \dots, m-1\}S(1)={0,…,m−1} and S(2)={0,…,n−1}S(2) = \{0, \dots, n-1\}S(2)={0,…,n−1} and payoff matrices u1,u2:S(1)×S(2)→Ru_1, u_2 : S(1) \times S(2) \to \mathbb{R}u1​,u2​:S(1)×S(2)→R, which the players maximize. A joint distribution DDD is a nonnegative m×nm \times nm×n matrix with entries summing to 111. It is a correlated equilibrium if

∑x,yD(x,y) u1(Φ(x),y)≤∑x,yD(x,y) u1(x,y)for all Φ:S(1)→S(1),\sum_{x,y} D(x,y)\, u_1(\Phi(x), y) \le \sum_{x,y} D(x,y)\, u_1(x,y) \quad \text{for all } \Phi : S(1) \to S(1),x,y∑​D(x,y)u1​(Φ(x),y)≤x,y∑​D(x,y)u1​(x,y)for all Φ:S(1)→S(1),

and symmetrically for player 2. The set of correlated equilibria is π(G)\pi(G)π(G).

The game is played in rounds s=0,1,2,…s = 0, 1, 2, \dotss=0,1,2,…. In round sss player 1 issues a forecast f1(s)f_1(s)f1​(s), a probability vector over S(2)S(2)S(2), and player 2 issues a forecast f2(s)f_2(s)f2​(s) over S(1)S(1)S(1). Each player then plays a best response to its forecast, x(s)=R1(f1(s))x(s) = R_1(f_1(s))x(s)=R1​(f1​(s)) and y(s)=R2(f2(s))y(s) = R_2(f_2(s))y(s)=R2​(f2​(s)). Here R1R_1R1​ and R2R_2R2​ are best-reply functions: R1(p)R_1(p)R1​(p) maximizes ∑ypyu1(⋅,y)\sum_y p_y u_1(\cdot, y)∑y​py​u1​(⋅,y) for every probability vector ppp, and R1R_1R1​ is a fixed function of the forecast alone. This is the paper's standing assumption of a stationary, deterministic tie-breaking rule.

For a forecast sequence fff and the opponent's plays zzz, N(p,t)N(p,t)N(p,t) counts the rounds among the first ttt in which fff forecast ppp. ρ(p,j,t)\rho(p,j,t)ρ(p,j,t) is the fraction of those rounds in which the opponent played jjj, and 000 if there are none. The forecast is calibrated with respect to zzz if for every jjj

∑p∣ρ(p,j,t)−pj∣ N(p,t)t⟶0(t→∞).\sum_p |\rho(p,j,t) - p_j|\, \frac{N(p,t)}{t} \longrightarrow 0 \qquad (t \to \infty).p∑​∣ρ(p,j,t)−pj​∣tN(p,t)​⟶0(t→∞).

The empirical joint distribution Dt(x,y)D_t(x,y)Dt​(x,y) is the fraction of the first ttt rounds in which player 1 played xxx and player 2 played yyy.

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem 1

If f1f_1f1​ is calibrated with respect to yyy and f2f_2f2​ is calibrated with respect to xxx, then

min⁡D∈π(G) max⁡x∈S(1), y∈S(2)∣Dt(x,y)−D(x,y)∣⟶0(t→∞).\min_{D \in \pi(G)} \ \max_{x \in S(1),\, y \in S(2)} |D_t(x,y) - D(x,y)| \longrightarrow 0 \qquad (t \to \infty).D∈π(G)min​ x∈S(1),y∈S(2)max​∣Dt​(x,y)−D(x,y)∣⟶0(t→∞).

The goal fixes no rate and no particular forecasting method: it asserts only convergence of DtD_tDt​ to the set π(G)\pi(G)π(G), for every calibrated forecast.

Milestones: the steps of the proof (pp. 44–45)

  1. DtD_tDt​ lies in the simplex for t≥1t \ge 1t≥1.
  2. For each x∈S(1)x \in S(1)x∈S(1), the set Mb(x)M_b(x)Mb​(x) of mixtures to which xxx is a best response is closed and convex.
  3. The mixtures Mp(x)M_p(x)Mp​(x) at which player 1 actually plays xxx satisfy Mp(x)⊆Mb(x)M_p(x) \subseteq M_b(x)Mp​(x)⊆Mb​(x).
  4. The identity writing Dt(x,y)D_t(x,y)Dt​(x,y) as a forecast-weighted term plus a calibration error.
  5. Calibration makes the error term vanish.
  6. The weighted average of the forecasts at which player 1 plays xxx lies in Mb(x)M_b(x)Mb​(x).
  7. For a convergent subsequence Dti→DD_{t_i} \to DDti​​→D, every row of DDD with positive mass, normalized, lies in Mb(x)M_b(x)Mb​(x).
  8. Every subsequential limit of DtD_tDt​ is a correlated equilibrium.

Further result: matching pennies (p. 46)

With the constant forecast (1/2,1/2)(1/2, 1/2)(1/2,1/2) and the non-stationary tie-break "heads on even rounds, tails on odd rounds", both forecasts are calibrated and every play is a best reply, yet DtD_tDt​ does not approach π(G)\pi(G)π(G). The stationarity assumption cannot be dropped.

Significance

The result. Theorem 1 separates what learning needs from how it is achieved. Any forecasting procedure that is calibrated, combined with myopic best responses, yields correlated equilibrium behaviour in the long run. The paper's Theorem 3 constructs a randomized calibrated forecaster, so the theorem gives an uncoupled learning procedure for correlated equilibrium, one that needs no knowledge of the opponent's payoffs. The converse direction, that every correlated equilibrium arises this way for almost every game, is the paper's Theorem 2 (a separate mission of this series).

Formalizing it. The theorem is proved in the paper and has no machine-checked proof on Prove2Me or, to the knowledge of this mission, elsewhere. The platform's existing correlated-equilibrium results (the Algorithmic Game Theory swap-regret development, AGT.swap_regret_correlated_equilibrium) reach correlated equilibrium through swap regret of mixed strategies, a different hypothesis and a different object. This mission adds a formal notion of calibration and the convergence argument, both reusable for the paper's Theorems 2 and 3 and for later work on calibration and learning.

Difficulty

The obvious reading of calibration is that each player's forecast converges to the opponent's empirical distribution; if that held, best responses to it would give convergence. It does not hold. Calibration constrains the opponent's frequencies only conditionally on the forecast issued, and the forecasts need not converge at all. What must be shown is a statement about the conditional distributions of the joint play given each strategy of player 1, while the set of forecasts issued keeps growing. Rows of the limit with zero mass carry no conditional distribution. The "min → 0" form also asks for more than a property of limit points: it is a uniform statement about all large ttt.

Formalization scope

  • Strategies are Fin m and Fin n; payoffs are real matrices; forecasts are real vectors required to be probability vectors in every round.
  • A correlated equilibrium is the joint-distribution form of p. 44 (the correlated strategy on a finite probability space is represented by its law). It is the ε=0\varepsilon = 0ε=0, two-player, payoff (not cost) instance of the published AGT.IsCorrelatedEquilibrium, restated rather than imported.
  • The stationary deterministic tie-break is modelled by arbitrary best-reply functions RiR_iRi​ of the forecast. They do not depend on the round, and the statements quantify over all of them, which includes the lowest-index rule.
  • Forecasts are sequences fi:N→Rkf_i : \mathbb{N} \to \mathbb{R}^kfi​:N→Rk. The theorem uses only the realized forecasts, and every sequence is realized by a rule reading the round number from the history.
  • Rounds are indexed from 000: "the first ttt rounds" are 0,…,t−10, \dots, t-10,…,t−1. D0=0D_0 = 0D0​=0 by Lean's division convention; only t≥1t \ge 1t≥1 and limits are used.
  • The calibration sum runs over the forecasts issued in the first ttt rounds, which is the paper's sum over all ppp with its zero terms removed. ρ(p,j,t)=0\rho(p,j,t) = 0ρ(p,j,t)=0 when N(p,t)=0N(p,t) = 0N(p,t)=0, as on the page.
  • "min … → 0" is stated as: for every ε>0\varepsilon > 0ε>0, eventually some D∈π(G)D \in \pi(G)D∈π(G) is within ε\varepsilonε of DtD_tDt​ in every coordinate. The two forms are equivalent because π(G)\pi(G)π(G) is compact and nonempty. The formalization avoids an infimum over π(G)\pi(G)π(G), which Lean would evaluate to 000 on an empty set.
  • A statement that drops the best-reply property, the probability-vector condition on forecasts, or the stationarity of RiR_iRi​ is not Theorem 1: the matching pennies example shows the last one is essential. Swapping the calibration hypotheses (player 1's forecast calibrated against player 1's own plays) type-checks when m=nm = nm=n and is not the theorem.
  • Only the two-player case is claimed. The paper says the results "generalize easily to the nnn-person case" without proof.

Proofs of any milestone, and reusable lemmas about calibration scores and compactness of the simplex of joint distributions, are welcome.

Selected references

  • D. P. Foster, R. V. Vohra, Calibrated learning and correlated equilibrium, Games and Economic Behavior 21 (1997) 40–55. https://doi.org/10.1006/game.1997.0595
  • R. J. Aumann, Subjectivity and correlation in randomized strategies, Journal of Mathematical Economics 1 (1974) 67–96. https://doi.org/10.1016/0304-4068(74)90037-8
  • R. J. Aumann, Correlated equilibrium as an expression of Bayesian rationality, Econometrica 55 (1987) 1–18. https://doi.org/10.2307/1911154
  • A. P. Dawid, The well-calibrated Bayesian, Journal of the American Statistical Association 77 (1982) 605–610. https://doi.org/10.1080/01621459.1982.10477856
  • S. Hart, A. Mas-Colell, A simple adaptive procedure leading to correlated equilibrium, Econometrica 68 (2000) 1127–1150. https://doi.org/10.1111/1468-0262.00153
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Competitive Paging Algorithms I: The Marking Algorithm Is 2H_k-CompetitiveResearch Paper

Motivation

Paging is the problem of managing a two-level memory: a fast cache holds kkk pages out of an address space of nnn pages, requests to pages arrive one at a time, and a request to a page outside the cache (a page fault) forces the algorithm to bring that page in and, when the cache is full, to evict another. The cost is the number of faults. An on-line algorithm decides which page to evict without knowing future requests. The comparison of paging policies with the optimal off-line policy is where competitive analysis began.

Sleator and Tarjan showed that LRU and FIFO are within a factor kkk of the off-line optimum and that no deterministic on-line algorithm does better than kkk (Sleator–Tarjan 1985). Randomization changes the picture: Fiat, Karp, Luby, McGeoch, Sleator and Young introduced the marking algorithm and proved that its expected cost is within a factor 2Hk2H_k2Hk​ of the optimum, where Hk=1+12+⋯+1k≈ln⁡kH_k = 1 + \frac12 + \dots + \frac1k \approx \ln kHk​=1+21​+⋯+k1​≈lnk (arXiv:cs/0205038).

Timeline.

  • 1985: Sleator and Tarjan: LRU and FIFO are kkk-competitive; no deterministic algorithm beats kkk.
  • 1988: Karlin, Manasse, Rudolph and Sleator coin "competitive" and analyse flush-when-full (Algorithmica 3).
  • 1990: Manasse, McGeoch and Sleator introduce the kkk-server problem and define competitiveness for randomized algorithms (J. Algorithms 11).
  • 1991: Fiat et al.: the marking algorithm is 2Hk2H_k2Hk​-competitive, and Hn−1H_{n-1}Hn−1​-competitive when k=n−1k = n-1k=n−1; no randomized paging algorithm beats HkH_kHk​.
  • 1991: McGeoch and Sleator give an HkH_kHk​-competitive randomized paging algorithm (Algorithmica 6).
  • 2000: Achlioptas, Chrobak and Noga determine the exact competitive ratio of the marking algorithm, 2Hk−12H_k - 12Hk​−1 (Theoret. Comput. Sci. 234).

Setting

The paper works in the uniform kkk-server problem, which is isomorphic to paging. There is a set MMM of nnn vertices, enumerated e(0),…,e(n−1)e(0), \dots, e(n-1)e(0),…,e(n−1), and moving a server between two distinct vertices costs 111. There are kkk servers, 1≤k≤n1 \le k \le n1≤k≤n. A request is a vertex, and after each request some server must be on it. Cached pages are covered vertices; a fault is a server move.

The marking algorithm starts with its servers on e(0),…,e(k−1)e(0), \dots, e(k-1)e(0),…,e(k−1) and keeps a set of marked vertices, initially the covered ones. On a request to rrr:

  1. Marking. rrr is marked; the moment k+1k+1k+1 vertices are marked, all marks except the one on rrr are erased.
  2. Serving. If rrr is covered, nothing moves. Otherwise a server is chosen uniformly at random among the covered unmarked vertices and moved to rrr.

The marks are updated before the server is chosen. For a finite request sequence σ\sigmaσ, CM(σ)C_M(\sigma)CM​(σ) is the algorithm's expected number of server moves. OPT(σ)\mathrm{OPT}(\sigma)OPT(σ) is the least number of moves with which kkk servers, starting from the same configuration C0C_0C0​ and knowing σ\sigmaσ in advance, can serve σ\sigmaσ.

A randomized algorithm is ccc-competitive if there is a constant aaa such that CM(σ)≤c⋅CB(σ)+aC_M(\sigma) \le c \cdot C_B(\sigma) + aCM​(σ)≤c⋅CB​(σ)+a for every request sequence σ\sigmaσ and every algorithm BBB.

The marks divide σ\sigmaσ into phases. A new phase begins at the request that would make k+1k+1k+1 vertices marked. A vertex is clean in a phase if it was not requested in the previous phase and not yet in this one, and stale if it was requested in the previous phase but not yet in this one.

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem 1

∃ a∈R  ∀σ:CM(σ)  ≤  2Hk⋅OPT(σ)+a.\exists\, a \in \mathbb R\ \ \forall \sigma:\qquad C_M(\sigma) \;\le\; 2H_k \cdot \mathrm{OPT}(\sigma) + a .∃a∈R  ∀σ:CM​(σ)≤2Hk​⋅OPT(σ)+a.

The constant aaa may depend on nnn, kkk and the enumeration, never on σ\sigmaσ.

Milestones (proof of Theorem 1, pp. 4–5)

  1. Without loss of generality the adversary is lazy: no move on a covered request, exactly one move otherwise (reference item, already proved on the platform).
  2. At the start of every phase the marked vertices are exactly the covered ones, and the first request of a phase is unmarked.
  3. In a phase with lll clean requests, a lazy adversary pays CA≥l−dC_A \ge l - dCA​≥l−d, where ddd counts its servers off the marking algorithm's servers at the start of the phase.
  4. It also pays CA≥d′C_A \ge d'CA​≥d′, where d′d'd′ counts its servers off the final marked set at the end of the phase.
  5. Hence CA≥max⁡(l−d,d′)≥12(l−d+d′)C_A \ge \max(l-d, d') \ge \tfrac12(l - d + d')CA​≥max(l−d,d′)≥21​(l−d+d′).
  6. A request to a stale vertex is a fault with probability c/sc/sc/s (ccc clean vertices requested so far, sss stale vertices left).
  7. The marking algorithm's expected cost in a phase is at most l(Hk−Hl+1)≤lHkl(H_k - H_l + 1) \le lH_kl(Hk​−Hl​+1)≤lHk​.

Companions

  • Theorem 2: for k=n−1k = n-1k=n−1, CM(σ)≤Hn−1⋅OPT(σ)+aC_M(\sigma) \le H_{n-1} \cdot \mathrm{OPT}(\sigma) + aCM​(σ)≤Hn−1​⋅OPT(σ)+a.
  • Tightness remark (pp. 5–6): for k=2k = 2k=2, n=4n = 4n=4 there is no aaa with CM(σ)≤H2⋅OPT(σ)+aC_M(\sigma) \le H_2 \cdot \mathrm{OPT}(\sigma) + aCM​(σ)≤H2​⋅OPT(σ)+a for all σ\sigmaσ.

Significance

The result. Theorem 1 was the first proof that randomization beats the deterministic barrier kkk for paging, bringing the ratio down to O(log⁡k)O(\log k)O(logk). Together with the paper's lower bound HkH_kHk​ for every randomized algorithm, it determines the randomized competitive ratio of paging up to a factor 222. Its phase and clean/stale accounting is reused throughout the analysis of randomized caching.

Formalizing it. The theorem is proved (1991). As far as is known it has no machine-checked proof. Formalizing it requires a probabilistic model of a randomized on-line algorithm, an off-line optimum, and a phase decomposition with an exchangeability argument, and these are the first such objects in this library. Theorem 2 and the k=2k = 2k=2, n=4n = 4n=4 example use the same definitions and also check that the formal algorithm is the paper's. The sharp ratio 2Hk−12H_k - 12Hk​−1 is a natural follow-up.

Difficulty

The comparison is between a random process and a deterministic adversary, and each side has its own obstacle.

On the algorithm's side, the configuration inside a phase is random, and the fault probability of a stale request depends on the whole history of the phase. The claim that the ccc uncovered stale vertices form a uniformly random subset of the sss stale ones is an exchangeability property of the process, and must be established from the step-by-step uniform choice. The worst-case ordering of the requests within a phase then has to be justified as a bound, not assumed.

On the adversary's side, the per-phase bound max⁡(l−d,d′)\max(l-d, d')max(l−d,d′) does not sum directly. The ddd and d′d'd′ terms telescope across phases only because the configuration of the marking algorithm at each phase boundary is deterministic. The first phase, which begins after an initial run of requests to e(0),…,e(k−1)e(0), \dots, e(k-1)e(0),…,e(k−1), and the last, incomplete phase have to be absorbed into the additive constant.

Formalization scope

The vertex set is an abstract metric space MMM with e:Fin n≃Me : \mathrm{Fin}\,n \simeq Me:Finn≃M and dist(x,y)=1\mathrm{dist}(x,y) = 1dist(x,y)=1 for x≠yx \ne yx=y. The natural metric ∣i−j∣|i - j|∣i−j∣ on Fin n\mathrm{Fin}\,nFinn is deliberately not used. The configurations and the off-line optimum OPT\mathrm{OPT}OPT are the published KServer definitions (KServer.Config, KServer.offlineCost), with OPT\mathrm{OPT}OPT taken from the marking algorithm's initial configuration. An off-line algorithm starting elsewhere changes the cost by at most kkk, which is absorbed into aaa.

The marking algorithm is a Markov chain on pairs (covered set, marked set). Each step is a PMF, with the eviction drawn by PMF.uniformOfFinset from the covered unmarked vertices. The expected cost is the sum over requests of the probability that the request is not covered, which is exact because the algorithm moves exactly one server per fault. Harmonic numbers are Mathlib's harmonic, cast to R\mathbb RR. Phases, clean counts and lazy off-line schedules are defined once, in the mission's definition file, and all milestones use them.

A trivializing formalization is ruled out as follows. The additive constant is quantified before σ\sigmaσ, so a per-sequence constant cannot be used. The comparison is with the optimum over all off-line schedules, not a particular one. The random choice is among the covered unmarked vertices, with marks updated first. The hypothesis 1≤k≤n1 \le k \le n1≤k≤n excludes the degenerate case k=0k = 0k=0, where H0=0H_0 = 0H0​=0.

Proofs of individual milestones are welcome. The laziness reduction for off-line schedules, the exchangeability lemma for the uniform eviction process, and the harmonic-sum identity ∑j=l+1kl/j=l(Hk−Hl)\sum_{j=l+1}^{k} l/j = l(H_k - H_l)∑j=l+1k​l/j=l(Hk​−Hl​) are reusable beyond this mission.

Selected references

  • A. Fiat, R. M. Karp, M. Luby, L. A. McGeoch, D. D. Sleator, N. E. Young, Competitive Paging Algorithms, J. Algorithms 12(4):685–699, 1991; arXiv:cs/0205038v1. https://arxiv.org/abs/cs/0205038
  • D. D. Sleator, R. E. Tarjan, Amortized Efficiency of List Update and Paging Rules, Comm. ACM 28(2):202–208, 1985. https://doi.org/10.1145/2786.2793
  • A. R. Karlin, M. S. Manasse, L. Rudolph, D. D. Sleator, Competitive Snoopy Caching, Algorithmica 3:79–119, 1988. https://doi.org/10.1007/BF01762111
  • M. S. Manasse, L. A. McGeoch, D. D. Sleator, Competitive Algorithms for Server Problems, J. Algorithms 11(2):208–230, 1990. https://doi.org/10.1016/0196-6774(90)90003-W
  • L. A. McGeoch, D. D. Sleator, A Strongly Competitive Randomized Paging Algorithm, Algorithmica 6:816–825, 1991. https://doi.org/10.1007/BF01759073
  • D. Achlioptas, M. Chrobak, J. Noga, Competitive Analysis of Randomized Paging Algorithms, Theoret. Comput. Sci. 234:203–218, 2000. https://doi.org/10.1016/S0304-3975(98)00116-9
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Bargaining under Incomplete Information I: Class A Equilibrium Offer Strategies Satisfy the Linked Differential EquationsResearch Paper

Motivation

A buyer and a seller negotiate over a single indivisible good. Each knows how much the good is worth to them, but not how much it is worth to the other side. Whether the two will trade, and at what price, then depends on how each party shades its offer to exploit the other's uncertainty. Chatterjee and Samuelson (Bargaining under Incomplete Information, Operations Research 31(5), 1983) modelled this situation as a one-shot game in which both parties submit sealed offers simultaneously, and characterised its Bayesian equilibria.

The model became the standard reference point for bilateral trade with two-sided private information. Myerson and Satterthwaite (J. Econ. Theory 29, 1983) showed that no mechanism can guarantee efficient trade in this setting, and that the equilibrium of the Chatterjee–Samuelson game with k=1/2k = 1/2k=1/2 and uniform values attains the second-best efficiency bound. Later work on the kkk-double auction (Satterthwaite and Williams, J. Econ. Theory 48, 1989; Leininger, Linhart and Radner, J. Econ. Theory 48, 1989) studies the continuum of equilibria of exactly this game. The object of the present mission, a pair of linked differential equations, is the tool these papers use to construct and classify equilibria.

Setting

A seller has reservation price vs∈[v‾s,vˉs]v_s \in [\underline v_s, \bar v_s]vs​∈[v​s​,vˉs​] and a buyer has reservation price vb∈[v‾b,vˉb]v_b \in [\underline v_b, \bar v_b]vb​∈[v​b​,vˉb​]. Each knows their own value. The buyer's belief about vsv_svs​ is a probability measure μb\mu_bμb​ with distribution function FbF_bFb​; the seller's belief about vbv_bvb​ is μs\mu_sμs​ with distribution function FsF_sFs​. The subscript names the player who holds the belief, not the variable. Each belief is regular: F(v‾)=0F(\underline v) = 0F(v​)=0, F(vˉ)=1F(\bar v) = 1F(vˉ)=1, and FFF is strictly increasing and differentiable on the value interval, with density fbf_bfb​ (respectively fsf_sfs​).

Under the Bargaining Rule, the seller asks sss and the buyer offers bbb simultaneously. If b≥sb \ge sb≥s the good is sold at P=kb+(1−k)sP = kb + (1-k)sP=kb+(1−k)s for a fixed k∈[0,1]k \in [0, 1]k∈[0,1]; otherwise nothing happens. Profits are P−vsP - v_sP−vs​ for the seller and vb−Pv_b - Pvb​−P for the buyer on trade, and zero otherwise.

An offer strategy is a function SSS (for the seller) or BBB (for the buyer) from values to offers. Against SSS, a buyer with value vvv offering bbb earns in expectation

πb(b,v)=∫1{S(vs)≤b} (v−kb−(1−k)S(vs)) dμb(vs),\pi_b(b, v) = \int \mathbf 1\{S(v_s) \le b\}\,\bigl(v - kb - (1-k)S(v_s)\bigr)\,d\mu_b(v_s),πb​(b,v)=∫1{S(vs​)≤b}(v−kb−(1−k)S(vs​))dμb​(vs​),

and symmetrically πs(s,v)=∫1{s≤B(vb)} (kB(vb)+(1−k)s−v) dμs(vb)\pi_s(s, v) = \int \mathbf 1\{s \le B(v_b)\}\,(kB(v_b) + (1-k)s - v)\,d\mu_s(v_b)πs​(s,v)=∫1{s≤B(vb​)}(kB(vb​)+(1−k)s−v)dμs​(vb​). The pair (S,B)(S, B)(S,B) is an equilibrium if B(v)B(v)B(v) maximises πb(⋅,v)\pi_b(\cdot, v)πb​(⋅,v) over all real offers for every buyer value vvv, and S(v)S(v)S(v) maximises πs(⋅,v)\pi_s(\cdot, v)πs​(⋅,v) for every seller value vvv.

A strategy is of class AAA if its offers are bounded, it is nondecreasing, it is strictly increasing except where it sits at its lowest offer mmm or its highest offer MMM, and it is differentiable wherever its offer lies strictly between mmm and MMM. A class AAA equilibrium is an equilibrium in which both strategies are of class AAA.

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem 2, the linked differential equations

In a class AAA equilibrium, wherever the seller's strategy is strictly increasing around yyy and the buyer value xxx offers B(x)=S(y)B(x) = S(y)B(x)=S(y),

kFb(y)S′(y)+fb(y)S(y)=x fb(y),(3a)k F_b(y) S'(y) + f_b(y) S(y) = x\, f_b(y), \tag{3a}kFb​(y)S′(y)+fb​(y)S(y)=xfb​(y),(3a)

and wherever the buyer's strategy is strictly increasing around xxx and the seller value yyy asks S(y)=B(x)S(y) = B(x)S(y)=B(x),

(1−k)(1−Fs(x))B′(x)−fs(x)B(x)=− y fs(x).(3b)(1-k)\bigl(1 - F_s(x)\bigr) B'(x) - f_s(x) B(x) = -\,y\, f_s(x). \tag{3b}(1−k)(1−Fs​(x))B′(x)−fs​(x)B(x)=−yfs​(x).(3b)

The paper writes x=B−1(S(y))x = B^{-1}(S(y))x=B−1(S(y)) in (3a) and y=S−1(B(x))y = S^{-1}(B(x))y=S−1(B(x)) in (3b).

Milestones: the displays of the proof

  1. Gb(S(y))=Fb(y)G_b(S(y)) = F_b(y)Gb​(S(y))=Fb​(y): the buyer's probability that the seller asks at most S(y)S(y)S(y) equals Fb(y)F_b(y)Fb​(y).
  2. The buyer's first-order condition: ∂πb/∂b=(v−b)gb(b)−kGb(b)\partial \pi_b / \partial b = (v - b) g_b(b) - k G_b(b)∂πb​/∂b=(v−b)gb​(b)−kGb​(b) at b=S(y)b = S(y)b=S(y), with offer density gb(S(y))=fb(y)/S′(y)g_b(S(y)) = f_b(y)/S'(y)gb​(S(y))=fb​(y)/S′(y), and it vanishes at an equilibrium offer.
  3. The seller's first-order condition: ∂πs/∂s=(v−s)gs(s)+(1−k)(1−Gs(s))\partial \pi_s / \partial s = (v - s) g_s(s) + (1-k)(1 - G_s(s))∂πs​/∂s=(v−s)gs​(s)+(1−k)(1−Gs​(s)) at s=B(x)s = B(x)s=B(x), and it vanishes at an equilibrium ask.

The milestones assume S′(y)>0S'(y) > 0S′(y)>0 (respectively B′(x)>0B'(x) > 0B′(x)>0), which the paper's formula for the offer density needs. The goal does not assume it.

Significance

Theorem 2 reduces the search for equilibria to the analysis of a pair of ordinary differential equations. Every explicit equilibrium in the paper and in the later kkk-double-auction literature is found as a solution of (3a)–(3b) with suitable boundary conditions: the linear equilibrium for uniform beliefs (the paper's Example 1), the one-parameter families of Satterthwaite–Williams, and the non-linear equilibria of Leininger–Linhart–Radner. The equations also expose how the split parameter kkk distributes bargaining power: at k=1k = 1k=1 equation (3b) forces the seller to ask their own value, and at k=0k = 0k=0 equation (3a) forces the buyer to bid theirs.

The result is proved in the paper. To the best of a search of the platform, no formalization of it or of the bargaining model exists. This mission produces a machine-checked version of the necessary conditions. Its definitions of beliefs, expected profits, equilibrium and class AAA are also the basis for companion missions on the uniform linear equilibrium and its trade probability.

Difficulty

The paper's proof is four lines: differentiate the expected profit, set the derivative to zero, substitute. Three steps of that argument do not survive a careful reading.

First, the paper differentiates under an offer density gbg_bgb​ that exists only if SSS is strictly increasing and has a positive derivative. Class AAA allows SSS to be flat at its bounds, to jump between them, and to have zero derivative. The formal goal assumes none of this. It must handle the case S′(y)=0S'(y) = 0S′(y)=0, where the offer distribution has an infinite density at S(y)S(y)S(y) and the first-order condition becomes a one-sided argument.

Second, identifying Gb(S(y))G_b(S(y))Gb​(S(y)) with Fb(y)F_b(y)Fb​(y) requires that no seller value outside a neighbourhood of yyy makes the same offer. That is a global statement about SSS, and it is where monotonicity on the whole interval and the "flat only at the bounds" clause of class AAA enter.

Third, the first-order condition needs the equilibrium offer S(y)S(y)S(y) to be an interior maximiser of a function of bbb that is differentiable there. The profit πb\pi_bπb​ is an integral over the belief, and its differentiability at S(y)S(y)S(y) must be derived from the differentiability of SSS at the single point yyy and of FbF_bFb​. Neither SSS nor πb\pi_bπb​ is assumed continuous elsewhere.

Formalization scope

Values, offers and kkk are real numbers. Beliefs are probability measures on R\mathbb RR, with distribution function Mathlib's ProbabilityTheory.cdf. Expected profits are Bochner integrals over the opponent's value, not over an offer density. The two agree whenever the density exists, and the integral form needs none. Integrability is not assumed: for a class AAA strategy and a regular belief supported on the value interval, the integrand is bounded and almost everywhere measurable. Ties (b=sb = sb=s) trade. Deviations range over all real offers. Strategies are arbitrary functions R→R\mathbb R \to \mathbb RR→R whose values outside the value interval play no role.

The derivative S′(y)S'(y)S′(y) is deriv S y. The paper's inverses B−1B^{-1}B−1 and S−1S^{-1}S−1 are not introduced as functions. The matching value is a universally quantified variable xxx with B(x)=S(y)B(x) = S(y)B(x)=S(y), so no junk value of an inverse can make an equation true or false. The equations are asserted only at values yyy interior to an open subinterval on which SSS is strictly increasing. A formalization that assumed the first-order condition, or restricted to strategies with S′>0S' > 0S′>0 everywhere, would be a different and weaker theorem.

A complete development needs: differentiation of parametric integrals of indicator type (the derivative of b↦∫1{S≤b} h dμb \mapsto \int \mathbf 1\{S \le b\}\,h\,d\mub↦∫1{S≤b}hdμ), the change of variables from values to offers under a strictly increasing strategy, and Fermat's rule (IsLocalMax.hasDerivAt_eq_zero). The first two are reusable for auctions and other Bayesian games with monotone strategies. Proofs of the milestones, alternative proofs of the goal, and general lemmas about monotone strategies are welcome.

Selected references

  • K. Chatterjee and W. Samuelson, Bargaining under Incomplete Information, Operations Research 31(5):835–851, 1983. https://doi.org/10.1287/opre.31.5.835
  • R. B. Myerson and M. A. Satterthwaite, Efficient Mechanisms for Bilateral Trading, Journal of Economic Theory 29(2):265–281, 1983. https://doi.org/10.1016/0022-0531(83)90048-0
  • M. A. Satterthwaite and S. R. Williams, Bilateral Trade with the Sealed Bid k-Double Auction: Existence and Efficiency, Journal of Economic Theory 48(1):107–133, 1989. https://doi.org/10.1016/0022-0531(89)90120-8
  • W. Leininger, P. B. Linhart and R. Radner, Equilibria of the Sealed-Bid Mechanism for Bargaining with Incomplete Information, Journal of Economic Theory 48(1):63–106, 1989. https://doi.org/10.1016/0022-0531(89)90121-X
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Convex OptimizationOperations ResearchOptimization·Captain: mikedeng1

The Generalized Quasi-Variational Inequality Problem II: Existence via Projection and the Brouwer Fixed Point TheoremResearch Paper

Motivation

A variational inequality asks for a point xxx of a set K⊆RnK\subseteq\mathbb R^nK⊆Rn at which a vector field fff makes a non-obtuse angle with every feasible direction: (x′−x)Tf(x)≥0(x'-x)^T f(x)\ge 0(x′−x)Tf(x)≥0 for all x′∈Kx'\in Kx′∈K. It is the common form of the first-order optimality condition of a constrained optimization problem, of complementarity problems in mathematical programming, and of equilibrium conditions in traffic networks and economics. Two generalizations are standard in operations research. In a quasi-variational inequality the constraint set depends on the unknown, K=K(x)K=K(x)K=K(x), as in generalized Nash games where each player's feasible set depends on the other players' choices. In a generalized variational inequality the vector field is set-valued, y∈f(x)y\in f(x)y∈f(x), as when fff is the subdifferential of a nonsmooth convex function.

D. Chan and J. S. Pang (Math. Oper. Res. 7 (1982) 211–222) introduced the problem that combines both, the generalized quasi-variational inequality (GQVI), and proved existence theorems for it. Their §5 gives a second route to existence, independent of the set-valued fixed point theory of their §3: a solution is a fixed point of a map built from Euclidean projections, and for single-valued continuous fff the Brouwer fixed point theorem produces one. The characterization of solutions as projection fixed points, for the generalized variational inequality, is due to Fang and Peterson (reference [11] of the paper, a 1979 University of Maryland Baltimore County research report). This mission formalizes that projection route.

Setting

Work in Rn\mathbb R^nRn with the Euclidean inner product xTyx^TyxTy and norm ∥x∥\|x\|∥x∥. A point-to-set mapping KKK assigns to each x∈Rnx\in\mathbb R^nx∈Rn a subset K(x)⊆RnK(x)\subseteq\mathbb R^nK(x)⊆Rn; a point-to-point mapping fff assigns a vector f(x)f(x)f(x).

The GQVI. Given point-to-set mappings KKK and fff, GQVI(K,f)\mathrm{GQVI}(K,f)GQVI(K,f) asks for vectors xxx and yyy with

x∈K(x),y∈f(x),(x′−x)Ty≥0  for all x′∈K(x).x\in K(x),\qquad y\in f(x),\qquad (x'-x)^Ty\ge 0\ \text{ for all } x'\in K(x).x∈K(x),y∈f(x),(x′−x)Ty≥0  for all x′∈K(x).

Such a pair is a solution. For a point-to-point fff one takes y=f(x)y=f(x)y=f(x): find x∈K(x)x\in K(x)x∈K(x) with (x′−x)Tf(x)≥0(x'-x)^Tf(x)\ge0(x′−x)Tf(x)≥0 for all x′∈K(x)x'\in K(x)x′∈K(x).

Projection. For a set SSS and a point zzz, the projection PS(z)=sol⁡min⁡x∈S∥x−z∥P_S(z)=\operatorname{sol}\min_{x\in S}\|x-z\|PS​(z)=solminx∈S​∥x−z∥ is the nearest point of SSS to zzz. For nonempty closed convex SSS it exists and is unique.

Semicontinuity of point-to-set mappings (Berge). KKK is upper semicontinuous at xxx if for every open G⊇K(x)G\supseteq K(x)G⊇K(x) there is a neighbourhood NNN of xxx with K(x′)⊆GK(x')\subseteq GK(x′)⊆G for x′∈Nx'\in Nx′∈N; lower semicontinuous at xxx if for every open GGG meeting K(x)K(x)K(x) there is a neighbourhood NNN of xxx with K(x′)∩G≠∅K(x')\cap G\ne\emptysetK(x′)∩G=∅ for x′∈Nx'\in Nx′∈N; continuous if both. "On a set CCC" means at every point of CCC, with neighbourhoods relative to CCC.

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem 5.2 (p. 220)

Let fff be continuous on a nonempty compact convex set CCC, and let KKK be a continuous mapping on CCC whose values K(x)K(x)K(x), x∈Cx\in Cx∈C, are nonempty, closed, convex and contained in CCC. Then there is xxx with

x∈K(x),(x′−x)Tf(x)≥0for all x′∈K(x).x\in K(x),\qquad (x'-x)^Tf(x)\ge 0\quad\text{for all }x'\in K(x).x∈K(x),(x′−x)Tf(x)≥0for all x′∈K(x).

Milestone: Lemma 5.1 (p. 220)

If KKK is continuous at x0x_0x0​ and every K(x)K(x)K(x) is nonempty, closed and convex, then for every y0y_0y0​ the map

(x,y)⟼p(x,y)=PK(x)(y)(x,y)\longmapsto p(x,y)=P_{K(x)}(y)(x,y)⟼p(x,y)=PK(x)​(y)

is continuous at (x0,y0)(x_0,y_0)(x0​,y0​).

Milestone: Theorem 5.1 (p. 220)

If every K(x)K(x)K(x) is closed and convex, then for every pair (x∗,y∗)(x^*,y^*)(x∗,y∗)

(x∗,y∗) solves GQVI(K,f)  ⟺  x∗=PK(x∗)(x∗−y∗) and y∗∈f(x∗).(x^*,y^*)\ \text{solves}\ \mathrm{GQVI}(K,f)\iff x^*=P_{K(x^*)}(x^*-y^*)\ \text{and}\ y^*\in f(x^*).(x∗,y∗) solves GQVI(K,f)⟺x∗=PK(x∗)​(x∗−y∗) and y∗∈f(x∗).

The Brouwer fixed point theorem is already on the platform (AGT.brouwer_fixed_point) and is included as a reference item, as is the Hilbert-space nearest-point theorem VectorSpaceOpt.min_distance_convex_set.

Significance

Theorem 5.2 is the existence theorem for quasi-variational inequalities with a moving convex constraint set and a continuous single-valued field, under compactness. With KKK constant it is the Hartman–Stampacchia theorem (Acta Math. 115 (1966) 271–310), the basic existence result for finite-dimensional variational inequalities, and so it also covers existence of equilibria of generalized Nash games whose shared constraints satisfy the continuity hypotheses. The paper notes that Theorem 5.2 also follows from its Corollary 3.1, which rests on the Eilenberg–Montgomery fixed point theorem; the projection route needs only Brouwer.

Theorem 5.1 matters beyond this existence result: it turns the GQVI into a fixed-point equation, which is the basis of projection algorithms for variational inequalities and of the contraction argument of the paper's Theorem 5.3. Lemma 5.1, continuity of the projection onto a continuously moving closed convex set, is a stability result used throughout parametric optimization.

All three statements were proved in 1982. None has a machine-checked proof on the platform or in Mathlib, which has neither a projection onto a general closed convex set as a function of the set nor any variational inequality. The work of this mission is to formalize the known proofs.

Difficulty

Theorem 5.1 is a direct consequence of the variational characterization of the nearest point of a convex set. The substance lies in Lemma 5.1 and in adapting it to the goal. The projection depends on the set K(x)K(x)K(x), not only on the point, and continuity of KKK is a statement about sets, given by two separate semicontinuity conditions that each control only one side of the convergence. Neither alone suffices: upper semicontinuity without lower lets K(x)K(x)K(x) shrink abruptly and the nearest point jump; lower without upper lets limits of nearest points fall outside K(x0)K(x_0)K(x0​). The limit points of the projections must also be kept bounded, which needs the nonemptiness near x0x_0x0​.

A second difficulty is that the goal assumes continuity of KKK only on CCC, with neighbourhoods relative to CCC, while Lemma 5.1 is stated for continuity at a point of Rn\mathbb R^nRn. Applying the lemma to the composite map x↦PK(x)(x−f(x))x\mapsto P_{K(x)}(x-f(x))x↦PK(x)​(x−f(x)) on CCC therefore requires either a relative version of the lemma or a reduction; the lemma cannot be quoted verbatim.

Formalization scope

The space is EuclideanSpace ℝ (Fin n) with its Euclidean norm, never the sup-norm space Fin n → ℝ. Point-to-set mappings are functions into Set. The solution predicate is IsGQVISolution K f x y; a point-to-point fff enters as fun z => {f z}. Upper and lower semicontinuity are Mathlib's UpperHemicontinuousAt/On and LowerHemicontinuousAt/On; "continuous on CCC" is both, relative to CCC.

The projection is IsProj S z p (nearest-point predicate) and proj S z, which returns a nearest point when one exists and the junk value zzz otherwise. Theorem 5.1 uses the relational form, so no junk value enters when K(x∗)=∅K(x^*)=\emptysetK(x∗)=∅. Lemma 5.1 assumes every K(x)K(x)K(x) nonempty, closed and convex, so proj is always the true projection there.

Two hypotheses implicit in the paper are explicit:

  1. Closed values in Theorem 5.2. The paper uses Berge's definitions, under which upper semicontinuous mappings have compact values, and its proof uses that each K(x)K(x)K(x) is closed. The Lean statement assumes K(x)K(x)K(x) closed for x∈Cx\in Cx∈C; without it the theorem is false (C=[0,1]C=[0,1]C=[0,1], K(x)≡(0,1)K(x)\equiv(0,1)K(x)≡(0,1), f≡1f\equiv1f≡1).
  2. Nonempty values in Lemma 5.1. The projection function p(x,y)=PK(x)(y)p(x,y)=P_{K(x)}(y)p(x,y)=PK(x)​(y) is defined only for nonempty K(x)K(x)K(x); the Lean statement assumes K(x)≠∅K(x)\ne\emptysetK(x)=∅ for all xxx.

A formalization in which the projection is merely "some point of K(x)K(x)K(x)", or ignores the distance, would make the reverse direction of Theorem 5.1 false and Lemma 5.1 meaningless; a GQVI whose test points range over CCC instead of K(x)K(x)K(x) would turn Theorem 5.2 into a plain variational inequality on CCC. Both are excluded by the definitions above.

A complete development needs the nearest-point characterization on closed convex sets (available in Mathlib and on the platform), sequential characterizations of upper and lower hemicontinuity for closed-valued mappings in Rn\mathbb R^nRn, continuity of the projection onto a moving convex set, and Brouwer's theorem (a platform reference). The hemicontinuity lemmas and the projection-continuity lemma are reusable for the other missions of this series and for parametric optimization in general. Proofs of Lemma 5.1 and Theorem 5.1, a relative-to-CCC version of Lemma 5.1, and a proof of Brouwer's theorem are all welcome.

Selected references

  • D. Chan and J. S. Pang, The generalized quasi-variational inequality problem, Mathematics of Operations Research 7(2) (1982) 211–222. https://doi.org/10.1287/moor.7.2.211
  • S. C. Fang and E. L. Peterson, Generalized variational inequalities, Mathematics Research Report No. 79-10, Department of Mathematics, University of Maryland Baltimore County, October 1979 (cited by Chan and Pang as [11]; no online copy).
  • P. Hartman and G. Stampacchia, On some non-linear elliptic differential-functional equations, Acta Mathematica 115 (1966) 271–310. https://doi.org/10.1007/BF02392210
  • C. Berge, Topological Spaces, The Macmillan Company, New York, 1963 (definitions of upper and lower semicontinuity of point-to-set mappings).
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Control TheoryDynamic ProgrammingOperations Research+1·Captain: mikedeng1

Monotone Mappings with Application in Dynamic Programming I: Compactness Gives Convergence of the DP Algorithm and an Optimal Stationary Policy under Uniform IncreaseResearch Paper

Motivation

Infinite-horizon optimal control problems with nonnegative costs (Strauch's negative dynamic programming, the positive-cost counterpart of Blackwell's positive model) are among the settings where the standard tools of discounted dynamic programming fail: there is no contraction, costs may be infinite, and the value-iteration algorithm started from zero may converge to the wrong limit. Strauch showed in 1966 that under these assumptions the limit of value iteration can lie strictly below the optimal cost (Strauch 1966). Bertsekas (1977) recast the deterministic, stochastic and minimax versions of these problems as one abstract problem about a monotone mapping HHH, and proved Bellman's equation, optimality criteria for stationary policies, and conditions for convergence of the dynamic programming algorithm at that level of generality (Bertsekas 1977). This framework became the basis of the "abstract dynamic programming" theory developed later in Bertsekas and Shreve (1978) and Bertsekas (2013, 2022).

This mission formalizes the part of the paper that works under the uniform increase assumption, culminating in the paper's compactness condition for convergence of value iteration.

Setting

A model consists of a nonempty state space SSS, a control space CCC, for each x∈Sx\in Sx∈S a nonempty constraint set U(x)⊆CU(x)\subseteq CU(x)⊆C, a mapping H:S×C×F→[−∞,+∞]H:S\times C\times F\to[-\infty,+\infty]H:S×C×F→[−∞,+∞], where FFF is the set of functions J:S→[−∞,∞]J:S\to[-\infty,\infty]J:S→[−∞,∞] ordered pointwise, and a terminal function Jˉ∈F\bar J\in FJˉ∈F with Jˉ(x)>−∞\bar J(x)>-\inftyJˉ(x)>−∞. HHH is monotone: J≤J′J\le J'J≤J′ implies H(x,u,J)≤H(x,u,J′)H(x,u,J)\le H(x,u,J')H(x,u,J)≤H(x,u,J′) for u∈U(x)u\in U(x)u∈U(x).

A selector is μ:S→C\mu:S\to Cμ:S→C with μ(x)∈U(x)\mu(x)\in U(x)μ(x)∈U(x); a policy is a sequence π={μ0,μ1,… }\pi=\{\mu_0,\mu_1,\dots\}π={μ0​,μ1​,…} of selectors, and {μ,μ,… }\{\mu,\mu,\dots\}{μ,μ,…} is stationary. Define

Tμ(J)(x)=H(x,μ(x),J),T(J)(x)=inf⁡u∈U(x)H(x,u,J),T_\mu(J)(x)=H(x,\mu(x),J),\qquad T(J)(x)=\inf_{u\in U(x)}H(x,u,J),Tμ​(J)(x)=H(x,μ(x),J),T(J)(x)=u∈U(x)inf​H(x,u,J), Jπ(x)=lim⁡N→∞(Tμ0⋯TμN−1)(Jˉ)(x),J∗(x)=inf⁡πJπ(x),J∞(x)=lim⁡N→∞TN(Jˉ)(x).J_\pi(x)=\lim_{N\to\infty}(T_{\mu_0}\cdots T_{\mu_{N-1}})(\bar J)(x),\qquad J^*(x)=\inf_\pi J_\pi(x),\qquad J_\infty(x)=\lim_{N\to\infty}T^N(\bar J)(x).Jπ​(x)=N→∞lim​(Tμ0​​⋯TμN−1​​)(Jˉ)(x),J∗(x)=πinf​Jπ​(x),J∞​(x)=N→∞lim​TN(Jˉ)(x).

J∗J^*J∗ is the optimal value function and J∞J_\inftyJ∞​ the limit of the dynamic programming algorithm. A policy is optimal if Jπ=J∗J_\pi=J^*Jπ​=J∗.

Assumption I is Jˉ(x)≤H(x,u,Jˉ)\bar J(x)\le H(x,u,\bar J)Jˉ(x)≤H(x,u,Jˉ) for all xxx and u∈U(x)u\in U(x)u∈U(x). Assumption I.1 says that H(x,u,⋅)H(x,u,\cdot)H(x,u,⋅) commutes with limits of nondecreasing sequences above Jˉ\bar JJˉ. Assumption I.2 says there is α>0\alpha>0α>0 with H(x,u,J)≤H(x,u,J+re)≤H(x,u,J)+αrH(x,u,J)\le H(x,u,J+re)\le H(x,u,J)+\alpha rH(x,u,J)≤H(x,u,J+re)≤H(x,u,J)+αr for r>0r>0r>0 and J≥JˉJ\ge\bar JJ≥Jˉ, where e≡1e\equiv1e≡1. For the convergence analysis the paper introduces, for k≥1k\ge1k≥1, the sets Ck={(x,u,λ)∣u∈U(x), H[x,u,Tk−1(Jˉ)]≤λ}C_k=\{(x,u,\lambda)\mid u\in U(x),\ H[x,u,T^{k-1}(\bar J)]\le\lambda\}Ck​={(x,u,λ)∣u∈U(x), H[x,u,Tk−1(Jˉ)]≤λ} with λ\lambdaλ real, their projections P(Ck)P(C_k)P(Ck​) on (x,λ)(x,\lambda)(x,λ) through admissible uuu, and the closure P(Ck)‾\overline{P(C_k)}P(Ck​)​ obtained by adding limits of real sequences λn\lambda_nλn​ at fixed xxx.

Formalization targets

Goal: Proposition 12

Let I, I.1, I.2 hold, let CCC be a Hausdorff topological space, and suppose there is kˉ\bar kkˉ such that Uk(x,λ)={u∈U(x)∣H[x,u,Tk(Jˉ)]≤λ}U_k(x,\lambda)=\{u\in U(x)\mid H[x,u,T^k(\bar J)]\le\lambda\}Uk​(x,λ)={u∈U(x)∣H[x,u,Tk(Jˉ)]≤λ} is compact for every xxx, real λ\lambdaλ and k≥kˉk\ge\bar kk≥kˉ. Then

P(⋂k≥1Ck)=⋂k≥1P(Ck)‾,J∞=T(J∞)=T(J∗)=J∗,P\Bigl(\bigcap_{k\ge1}C_k\Bigr)=\bigcap_{k\ge1}\overline{P(C_k)},\qquad J_\infty=T(J_\infty)=T(J^*)=J^*,P(k≥1⋂​Ck​)=k≥1⋂​P(Ck​)​,J∞​=T(J∞​)=T(J∗)=J∗,

and there exists an optimal stationary policy.

Milestones

In attack order: Proposition 2 (JN=TN(Jˉ)J_N=T^N(\bar J)JN​=TN(Jˉ) for the NNN-stage problem); Proposition 4 (ε\varepsilonε-optimal policies, stationary when α<1\alpha<1α<1); Proposition 5 (Bellman's equation J∗=T(J∗)J^*=T(J^*)J∗=T(J∗) and minimality of J∗J^*J∗ among TTT-excessive functions above Jˉ\bar JJˉ); Corollary 5.1 (the same for JμJ_\muJμ​); Proposition 7 ({μ∗,μ∗,… }\{\mu^*,\mu^*,\dots\}{μ∗,μ∗,…} is optimal iff Tμ∗(J∗)=T(J∗)T_{\mu^*}(J^*)=T(J^*)Tμ∗​(J∗)=T(J∗)); Proposition 10 (J∞≤T(J∞)≤T(J∗)=J∗J_\infty\le T(J_\infty)\le T(J^*)=J^*J∞​≤T(J∞​)≤T(J∗)=J∗, with equality throughout iff J∞=T(J∞)J_\infty=T(J_\infty)J∞​=T(J∞​)); Lemma 2 (P(Ck)‾=E[Tk(Jˉ)]\overline{P(C_k)}=E[T^k(\bar J)]P(Ck​)​=E[Tk(Jˉ)], the epigraph); Proposition 11 (convergence of value iteration is equivalent to interchanging projection and intersection); Lemma 3 (a function with compact real sublevel sets attains its minimum).

Significance

The result. Proposition 12 gives a checkable condition, compactness of sublevel sets of the one-stage costs, under which value iteration started at Jˉ\bar JJˉ converges to the optimal cost and an optimal stationary policy exists, in any model covered by the abstract framework: deterministic and stochastic control with nonnegative costs, minimax control, and problems with state constraints encoded by infinite costs. Without such a condition the algorithm can stall below J∗J^*J∗ even in one-dimensional deterministic problems. Propositions 5 and 7 are the abstract form of the classical Bellman equation and optimality criterion for positive-cost problems.

Formalizing it. The results are proved in the paper. The platform's existing dynamic programming results are finite-state, real-valued and contraction-based; none covers extended-real costs, general state spaces, or the uniform increase regime. This mission would produce a machine-checked abstract DP layer over EReal in which the Bellman equation, the stationary-policy criterion and the convergence conditions are proved once for every model satisfying the assumptions. No machine-checked proof of these results is known.

Difficulty

The obvious argument for J∞=J∗J_\infty=J^*J∞​=J∗ interchanges a limit in NNN with an infimum over policies. Under Assumption I the iterates increase, and a limit of infima of an increasing family can be strictly smaller than the infimum of the limits; the paper's own example in Section 1 shows it. Monotone convergence arguments therefore do not apply. The paper converts the interchange into a statement about projections of the sets CkC_kCk​ and closes the gap with a compactness argument, which requires handling infinite values carefully: epigraphs are taken over real λ\lambdaλ only, and states where the value is +∞+\infty+∞ are treated separately. Proposition 4, on which Bellman's equation rests, needs a selection of nearly optimal policies state by state and a geometric control of the errors through I.2.

Formalization scope

Functions in FFF are S → EReal. Policies are sequences ℕ → Selector, where a selector is a function with μ(x)∈U(x)\mu(x)\in U(x)μ(x)∈U(x) for all xxx. The composition Tμ0⋯TμN−1T_{\mu_0}\cdots T_{\mu_{N-1}}Tμ0​​⋯TμN−1​​ applies TμN−1T_{\mu_{N-1}}TμN−1​​ first. JπJ_\piJπ​ and J∞J_\inftyJ∞​ are limUnder atTop of their defining sequences. Every statement assumes Assumption I, under which these sequences are nondecreasing and the limits exist. TTT takes the infimum over U(x)U(x)U(x) only and J∗J^*J∗ over admissible policies only. Both SSS and each U(x)U(x)U(x) are nonempty. λ\lambdaλ ranges over R\mathbb RR, and the closure  ⋅ ‾\overline{\,\cdot\,}⋅ is the sequential closure in λ\lambdaλ at fixed xxx, not a topological closure on S×RS\times\mathbb RS×R. The sets CkC_kCk​ are used only for k≥1k\ge1k≥1. I.2 is parameterized by its scalar α\alphaα. Proposition 4's second part refers to the α\alphaα for which I.2 is assumed.

Repairs of the page. Lemma 3 is false as printed. On N\mathbb NN with the cofinite topology every subset is compact, yet f(n)=−nf(n)=-nf(n)=−n has no minimum. It also fails for U=∅U=\emptysetU=∅. The mission states Lemma 3 for a Hausdorff space CCC and nonempty UUU, and Proposition 12 for a Hausdorff control space. Proposition 12 is also false as printed: with S={0}S=\{0\}S={0}, C=U(0)=NC=U(0)=\mathbb NC=U(0)=N cofinite, Jˉ(0)=0\bar J(0)=0Jˉ(0)=0 and H(0,u,J)=J(0)+1/(u+1)H(0,u,J)=J(0)+1/(u+1)H(0,u,J)=J(0)+1/(u+1), all hypotheses hold but no stationary policy is optimal and (70) fails. Proposition 11(b)'s parenthetical "(equivalently there exists an optimal stationary policy)" holds only together with J∞=J∗J_\infty=J^*J∞​=J∗ (the paper cites an example with an optimal stationary policy and J∞≠J∗J_\infty\neq J^*J∞​=J∗). It is stated in that joint form, never as an equivalence between condition (68) and the bare existence of an optimal stationary policy.

Trivializing readings ruled out. An empty constraint set would make T≡+∞T\equiv+\inftyT≡+∞ and the policy set empty, so every Bellman identity would hold trivially. The model therefore requires U(x)≠∅U(x)\neq\emptysetU(x)=∅. The goal's three conclusions, (70), the chain of equalities and the optimal stationary policy, are all required, so a formalization that states only one of them is not the goal.

Needed infrastructure: monotone limits in EReal, infima over sets, and compactness in Hausdorff spaces (Mathlib's Cantor intersection theorem). The definitions (model, assumptions, epigraph sets) can be reused for the companion mission under Assumption D and for later abstract DP developments. Proofs of any milestone are welcome, as are reusable lemmas on monotone EReal sequences.

Selected references

  • D. P. Bertsekas, Monotone Mappings with Application in Dynamic Programming, SIAM J. Control Optim. 15(3), 438–464, 1977. https://doi.org/10.1137/0315031
  • R. E. Strauch, Negative Dynamic Programming, Ann. Math. Statist. 37(4), 871–890, 1966. https://doi.org/10.1214/aoms/1177699369
  • D. P. Bertsekas and S. E. Shreve, Stochastic Optimal Control: The Discrete-Time Case, Academic Press, 1978. http://web.mit.edu/dimitrib/www/soc.html
  • D. P. Bertsekas, Abstract Dynamic Programming, 3rd ed., Athena Scientific, 2022. http://web.mit.edu/dimitrib/www/abstractdp.html
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On Polyhedral Approximations of the Second-Order Cone I: A Compact Polyhedral Approximation of the Lorentz ConeResearch Paper

Motivation

Conic quadratic programs (second-order cone programs) minimize a linear objective subject to linear constraints and constraints of the form ∥Aℓx−bℓ∥2≤cℓTx−dℓ\|A_\ell x-b_\ell\|_2\le c_\ell^Tx-d_\ell∥Aℓ​x−bℓ​∥2​≤cℓT​x−dℓ​. They model robust linear programs with ellipsoidal uncertainty, truss topology design, contact problems with Coulomb friction, and convex quadratically constrained quadratic programs. In theory they are no harder than linear programs of the same size; in practice, linear programming software handles far larger instances than conic quadratic solvers did at the time of writing (Ben-Tal & Nemirovski 2001, pp. 193–195). This raises a question about geometry rather than algorithms: can a second-order cone be replaced by a polyhedral cone of moderate size without losing much accuracy?

The obvious answer — circumscribe the cone by a polyhedral cone with many facets — fails: the number of facets must grow exponentially in the dimension, even for constant accuracy. Ben-Tal and Nemirovski showed that auxiliary variables change the picture completely: a projection of a polyhedral cone can approximate the Lorentz cone with size only O(kln⁡(1/ε))O(k\ln(1/\varepsilon))O(kln(1/ε)). The construction is now standard; it underlies, for instance, the lifted linear-programming branch-and-bound algorithm for mixed-integer conic quadratic programs of Vielma, Ahmed & Nemhauser 2008.

Setting

For y∈Rky\in\mathbb R^ky∈Rk let ∥y∥2=y12+⋯+yk2\|y\|_2=\sqrt{y_1^2+\dots+y_k^2}∥y∥2​=y12​+⋯+yk2​​. The (k+1)(k+1)(k+1)-dimensional Lorentz cone is

Lk={(y,t)∈Rk×R∣t≥∥y∥2}.L^k=\{(y,t)\in\mathbb R^k\times\mathbb R\mid t\ge\|y\|_2\}.Lk={(y,t)∈Rk×R∣t≥∥y∥2​}.

Fix ε>0\varepsilon>0ε>0. A polyhedral ε\varepsilonε-approximation of LkL^kLk is a linear map

Π(y,t,u):Rk×R×Rp→Rq\Pi(y,t,u):\mathbb R^k\times\mathbb R\times\mathbb R^{p}\to\mathbb R^{q}Π(y,t,u):Rk×R×Rp→Rq

such that

  1. if (y,t)∈Lk(y,t)\in L^k(y,t)∈Lk, there is u∈Rpu\in\mathbb R^pu∈Rp with Π(y,t,u)≥0\Pi(y,t,u)\ge0Π(y,t,u)≥0 (componentwise);
  2. if Π(y,t,u)≥0\Pi(y,t,u)\ge0Π(y,t,u)≥0 for some uuu, then ∥y∥2≤(1+ε)t\|y\|_2\le(1+\varepsilon)t∥y∥2​≤(1+ε)t.

Equivalently, the polyhedral cone {(y,t,u)∣Π(y,t,u)≥0}\{(y,t,u)\mid\Pi(y,t,u)\ge0\}{(y,t,u)∣Π(y,t,u)≥0} projects onto a cone lying between LkL^kLk and its (1+ε)(1+\varepsilon)(1+ε)-extension. The size of the approximation is p+qp+qp+q: the number of auxiliary variables plus the number of linear inequalities (an equation counts as two).

The construction in the paper uses a tower of variables: for k=2θk=2^\thetak=2θ, the coordinates y1,…,yky_1,\dots,y_ky1​,…,yk​ form generation 000, each consecutive pair of generation ℓ−1\ell-1ℓ−1 has a successor in generation ℓ\ellℓ (yiℓy_i^\ellyiℓ​ has parents y2i−1ℓ−1,y2iℓ−1y_{2i-1}^{\ell-1},y_{2i}^{\ell-1}y2i−1ℓ−1​,y2iℓ−1​), and the single variable of generation θ\thetaθ is ttt. It also uses an explicit linear system (8) in variables ξj,ηj\xi^j,\eta^jξj,ηj, j=0,…,νj=0,\dots,\nuj=0,…,ν, with trigonometric coefficients cos⁡(π/2j+1)\cos(\pi/2^{j+1})cos(π/2j+1), sin⁡(π/2j+1)\sin(\pi/2^{j+1})sin(π/2j+1), tan⁡(π/2ν+1)\tan(\pi/2^{\nu+1})tan(π/2ν+1), whose accuracy is δ(ν)=1/cos⁡(π/2ν+1)−1\delta(\nu)=1/\cos(\pi/2^{\nu+1})-1δ(ν)=1/cos(π/2ν+1)−1.

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem 1.1

There is an absolute constant CCC such that for every positive integer kkk and every ε∈(0,1]\varepsilon\in(0,1]ε∈(0,1], LkL^kLk admits a polyhedral ε\varepsilonε-approximation with

pk+qk≤C kln⁡2ε.p_k+q_k\le C\,k\ln\frac{2}{\varepsilon}.pk​+qk​≤Cklnε2​.

The constant is not fixed; the goal asserts only the order of growth, which is what the paper claims.

Milestones

  1. §2, Eq. (5). For k=2θk=2^\thetak=2θ, θ≥1\theta\ge1θ≥1: (y,t)(y,t)(y,t) extends to a tower solving [y2i−1ℓ−1]2+[y2iℓ−1]2≤yiℓ\sqrt{[y_{2i-1}^{\ell-1}]^2+[y_{2i}^{\ell-1}]^2}\le y_i^\ell[y2i−1ℓ−1​]2+[y2iℓ−1​]2​≤yiℓ​ for all i,ℓi,\elli,ℓ if and only if ∥y∥2≤t\|y\|_2\le t∥y∥2​≤t.
  2. §2, Eqs. (6)–(7). Placing polyhedral εℓ\varepsilon_\ellεℓ​-approximations of L2L^2L2 on every level of the tower yields a polyhedral approximation of LkL^kLk with 1+ε=∏ℓ=1θ(1+εℓ)1+\varepsilon=\prod_{\ell=1}^\theta(1+\varepsilon_\ell)1+ε=∏ℓ=1θ​(1+εℓ​).
  3. Proposition 2.1 (i), (ii) and Eq. (9). System (8) is a polyhedral δ(ν)\delta(\nu)δ(ν)-approximation of L2L^2L2, and δ(ν)=O(4−ν)\delta(\nu)=O(4^{-\nu})δ(ν)=O(4−ν).
  4. Proof of Theorem 1.1, system (10), property 3. System (8) with parameter νℓ\nu_\ellνℓ​ on level ℓ\ellℓ of the tower approximates L2θL^{2^\theta}L2θ with quality β=∏ℓ=1θ1/cos⁡(π/2νℓ+1)−1\beta=\prod_{\ell=1}^\theta 1/\cos(\pi/2^{\nu_\ell+1})-1β=∏ℓ=1θ​1/cos(π/2νℓ​+1)−1.
  5. Proof of Theorem 1.1, choice of νℓ\nu_\ellνℓ​. With νℓ=⌊c ℓln⁡(2/ε)⌋\nu_\ell=\lfloor c\,\ell\ln(2/\varepsilon)\rfloorνℓ​=⌊cℓln(2/ε)⌋: β≤ε\beta\le\varepsilonβ≤ε and ∑ℓ2θ−ℓνℓ≤C 2θln⁡(2/ε)\sum_\ell 2^{\theta-\ell}\nu_\ell\le C\,2^\theta\ln(2/\varepsilon)∑ℓ​2θ−ℓνℓ​≤C2θln(2/ε).

Significance

The theorem shows that conic quadratic constraints are, up to a factor logarithmic in the accuracy, no more expensive to express as linear constraints than they are in their native form. Consequences listed in the paper include approximating convex quadratically constrained quadratic programs, robust counterparts of linear programs with ellipsoidal uncertainty, and problems with low-dimensional cones (Coulomb friction, k≤3k\le3k≤3; truss design, k≤2k\le2k≤2) by linear programs of comparable size. Together with the matching lower bound of §3 of the same paper (a separate mission of this series), it pins down the size of the best polyhedral approximation up to constants. The recursive halving of dimensions through the tower of 3-dimensional cones is a reusable device for other rotation-invariant cones.

The result is proved in the paper; as far as is known it has not been machine-checked. This mission produces a formal proof of the construction, including the trigonometric estimate δ(ν)=O(4−ν)\delta(\nu)=O(4^{-\nu})δ(ν)=O(4−ν) and the explicit linear encoding with its size count. Explicit values of the absolute constants are welcome as additional results.

Difficulty

The planar estimate is the core. Part (ii) of Proposition 2.1 must hold for every solution of the inequality system (8), not only for the solution one would write down for a given point of L2L^2L2; an argument that tracks only the intended solution proves part (i) and nothing about part (ii). The accuracy must also come out as 1/cos⁡(π/2ν+1)−11/\cos(\pi/2^{\nu+1})-11/cos(π/2ν+1)−1, geometric in ν\nuν; a bound that decays only polynomially in ν\nuν would give size poly(1/ε)\mathrm{poly}(1/\varepsilon)poly(1/ε) instead of ln⁡(1/ε)\ln(1/\varepsilon)ln(1/ε). The naive idea of approximating LkL^kLk directly by tangent hyperplanes is ruled out by the exponential facet count mentioned above; the auxiliary variables are indispensable. The second difficulty is bookkeeping: packaging k−1k-1k−1 copies of system (8) on a tower of depth θ=log⁡2k\theta=\log_2 kθ=log2​k into a single linear map, counting its variables and inequalities exactly, handling kkk that is not a power of two, and summing the accuracies so that the total size is O(kln⁡(2/ε))O(k\ln(2/\varepsilon))O(kln(2/ε)) rather than O(kln⁡kln⁡(1/ε))O(k\ln k\ln(1/\varepsilon))O(klnkln(1/ε)).

Formalization scope

  • Vectors of Rk\mathbb R^kRk are Fin k → ℝ. The norm ∥y∥2\|y\|_2∥y∥2​ is written out as eucNorm y = Real.sqrt (∑ i, y i ^ 2); the norm Mathlib attaches to Fin k → ℝ is the sup norm, under which the cone would be polyhedral and the theorem trivial.
  • A polyhedral approximation is an R\mathbb RR-linear map (Fin k → ℝ) × ℝ × (Fin p → ℝ) →ₗ[ℝ] (Fin q → ℝ) and ≥0\ge0≥0 is the componentwise order. Linearity is essential: with an arbitrary map, Π(y,t)=t−∥y∥2\Pi(y,t)=t-\|y\|_2Π(y,t)=t−∥y∥2​ would be an exact approximation with p=0p=0p=0, q=1q=1q=1. Affine maps are not allowed either; the paper's approximations are homogeneous.
  • The paper's absolute constants O(1)O(1)O(1) are existential constants quantified before kkk, ε\varepsilonε and θ\thetaθ. The goal requires k≥1k\ge1k≥1 and ε∈(0,1]\varepsilon\in(0,1]ε∈(0,1], as in the paper; ln⁡\lnln is Real.log.
  • System (8) and system (10) are stated as propositions with the absolute values written out; their parameters ν\nuν, νℓ\nu_\ellνℓ​ are required to be positive integers, as in the paper (at ν=0\nu=0ν=0 the coefficient tan⁡(π/2)\tan(\pi/2)tan(π/2) would be evaluated as 000 by Lean).
  • Tower variables are indexed Y ℓ i with 0-based i, so the parents of Y ℓ i are Y (ℓ-1) (2i) and Y (ℓ-1) (2i+1); the milestones on (6)–(7) and (10) are stated on solution sets rather than on an explicit linear map. The size counts of (10) (properties 1–2) are not separate milestones; the arithmetic milestone on νℓ\nu_\ellνℓ​ records the bound on ∑ℓ2θ−ℓνℓ\sum_\ell 2^{\theta-\ell}\nu_\ell∑ℓ​2θ−ℓνℓ​ to which they reduce.
  • δ(ν)=O(1/4ν)\delta(\nu)=O(1/4^\nu)δ(ν)=O(1/4ν) is stated as ∃C>0, ∀ν≥1, δ(ν)≤C/4ν\exists C>0,\ \forall\nu\ge1,\ \delta(\nu)\le C/4^\nu∃C>0, ∀ν≥1, δ(ν)≤C/4ν.

A complete development needs: elementary trigonometry of π/2j\pi/2^{j}π/2j (available in Mathlib), rotations in the plane, finite products and sums over {1,…,θ}\{1,\dots,\theta\}{1,…,θ}, and a way to assemble many small linear systems into one linear map with an exact count of rows and columns. The last piece, and the tower of variables with the reduction from arbitrary kkk to a power of two, are reusable for other lifted polyhedral approximations. Contributions of any milestone, of explicit linear encodings of (8) and (10), and of the extension from k=2θk=2^\thetak=2θ to all kkk are welcome.

Selected references

  • A. Ben-Tal and A. Nemirovski, On Polyhedral Approximations of the Second-Order Cone, Mathematics of Operations Research 26(2):193–205, 2001. https://doi.org/10.1287/moor.26.2.193.10561
  • J. P. Vielma, S. Ahmed and G. L. Nemhauser, A lifted linear programming branch-and-bound algorithm for mixed-integer conic quadratic programs, INFORMS Journal on Computing 20(3):438–450, 2008. https://doi.org/10.1287/ijoc.1070.0256
  • A. Ben-Tal and A. Nemirovski, Robust convex optimization, Mathematics of Operations Research 23(4):769–805, 1998. https://doi.org/10.1287/moor.23.4.769
  • A. Ben-Tal and A. Nemirovski, Lectures on Modern Convex Optimization, SIAM, 2001. https://doi.org/10.1137/1.9780898718829
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On Minimizing a Convex Function Subject to Linear Inequalities I: Beale's Simplex Method for a Convex Quadratic Function TerminatesResearch Paper

Motivation

Quadratic programming, the minimization of a convex quadratic function subject to linear constraints, is the simplest nonlinear extension of linear programming. It arises in least-squares estimation with sign constraints, in portfolio selection, and as the subproblem solved at each iteration of Newton-type methods for general smooth convex programs. E. M. L. Beale's 1955 paper (DOI 10.1111/j.2517-6161.1955.tb00191.x) gave one of the first finite algorithms for it by extending Dantzig's simplex method: the method keeps the simplex tableau and adds free variables, linear functions of the original variables with no sign restriction, along which the quadratic stops decreasing.

Timeline:

  • 1951: Dantzig publishes the simplex method for linear programming.
  • 1952: Charnes introduces ε-perturbations to resolve degeneracy in the simplex method.
  • 1955: Beale extends the simplex method to convex quadratic objectives and proves that the iteration terminates (§3 of the paper; the result formalized here).
  • 1959: Beale's "On quadratic programming" (Naval Research Logistics Quarterly 6) develops the method further; Wolfe's simplex method for quadratic programming (Econometrica 27) appears the same year.

Setting

There are nnn restricted variables xj≥0x_j \ge 0xj​≥0 satisfying mmm linearly independent linear equations, and a convex quadratic objective CCC. The iteration keeps N=n−mN = n - mN=n−m nonbasic variables z1,…,zNz_1, \dots, z_Nz1​,…,zN​, each either a restricted variable or a free variable, and writes every restricted variable as an affine function of them:

xh=ah0+∑l=1Nahlzl.(2.3)x_h = a_{h0} + \sum_{l=1}^{N} a_{hl} z_l. \qquad (2.3)xh​=ah0​+l=1∑N​ahl​zl​.(2.3)

A restricted variable that is not nonbasic is basic. The associated solution sets every zl=0z_l = 0zl​=0, so xh=ah0x_h = a_{h0}xh​=ah0​. The objective is written as

C=∑k=0N∑l=0Ncklzkzl,z0=1,(3.1)C = \sum_{k=0}^{N} \sum_{l=0}^{N} c_{kl} z_k z_l, \qquad z_0 = 1, \qquad (3.1)C=k=0∑N​l=0∑N​ckl​zk​zl​,z0​=1,(3.1)

with (ckl)(c_{kl})(ckl​) symmetric. Thus c00c_{00}c00​ is the value of CCC at the associated solution and 2ck02c_{k0}2ck0​ is its linear coefficient in zkz_kzk​. The number of nonbasic free variables is sss.

One step chooses a nonbasic zpz_pzp​ that can profitably be altered: a free one with cp0≠0c_{p0} \ne 0cp0​=0 if there is one, otherwise a restricted one with cp0<0c_{p0} < 0cp0​<0. It orients zpz_pzp​ so that it is to be increased, and increases it from 000. It stops at the first of two events. Either a basic variable xqx_qxq​ reaches 000 (the ratio test (2.4)), and then xqx_qxq​ becomes nonbasic in place of zpz_pzp​. Or CCC stops decreasing where the free variable ur=cp0+∑lcplzlu_r = c_{p0} + \sum_l c_{pl} z_lur​=cp0​+∑l​cpl​zl​ vanishes (3.2), and then uru_rur​ becomes nonbasic in place of zpz_pzp​. The coefficients are then transformed by substituting for zpz_pzp​ (eqs. (3.4)–(3.6)). CCC is in standard form when it has no linear term in any free variable.

Formalization targets

Goal: the iteration terminates

From a tableau with symmetric (ckl)(c_{kl})(ckl​), positive semidefinite quadratic block (ckl)k,l≥1(c_{kl})_{k,l \ge 1}(ckl​)k,l≥1​ and consistent labels, there is no infinite run

T0→T1→T2→⋯T_0 \to T_1 \to T_2 \to \cdotsT0​→T1​→T2​→⋯

of steps along which every basic variable stays strictly positive in the associated solution. No bound on the number of steps is claimed, as in the paper.

Milestones

  1. Eq. (3.7): the closed form of the transformed matrix, its symmetry, and the invariance ∑cklzkzl=∑ckl′′zk′zl′\sum c_{kl} z_k z_l = \sum c''_{kl} z'_k z'_l∑ckl​zk​zl​=∑ckl′′​zk′​zl′​.
  2. Lemma 1: when a free variable enters, its row and column vanish off the diagonal, the index 000 included.
  3. Lemma 2: a slot whose row and column vanish off the diagonal keeps this property when another free variable enters.
  4. The optimality criterion (p. 175): if no nonbasic variable can profitably be altered and CCC is convex, then c00c_{00}c00​ is the minimum over the feasible region.
  5. In standard form, c00≤C(z)c_{00} \le C(z)c00​≤C(z) for every zzz with the restricted nonbasic variables at 000.
  6. CCC decreases at every step: c00′<c00c'_{00} < c_{00}c00′​<c00​.
  7. A finite run never returns to a standard form with the same set of restricted nonbasic variables.
  8. If CCC is not in standard form and s=s0s = s_0s=s0​, then within s0s_0s0​ steps either standard form is reached or sss drops, and sss never exceeds s0s_0s0​ on the way.

Significance

The theorem makes Beale's method an algorithm: a finite procedure that ends either at an optimal tableau (milestone 4) or with a ray along which CCC decreases without bound. This finiteness is what later active-set methods for quadratic programming inherit.

The result was proved in 1955. What remains is to formalize it: a machine-checked account of a simplex-type method whose state includes variables that are created during the run and later discarded. Mathlib has no simplex-type algorithm for quadratic programming, and no machine-checked proof of this theorem is known. The pivot algebra (3.4)–(3.7) and the tableau model are reusable for other pivoting methods for quadratic programs.

Difficulty

The argument for linear programming does not carry over. There, the objective strictly decreases and a basis is a subset of a finite set of columns, so no basis repeats. Here each step may create a new free variable, and nothing bounds the number of distinct free variables that can occur. Tableaux are therefore not drawn from a finite set, and a strictly decreasing objective alone does not give termination. The paper states this itself: "there is no obvious limit to the number of free variables that may be involved". The difficulty is to bound the number of steps between returns to a well-behaved tableau, and this depends both on the rule that free variables are chosen first and on how the coefficient matrix evolves under repeated pivots.

Formalization scope

  • Representation. The nonbasic variables occupy fixed slots Fin (N+1). Slot 0 is z0=1z_0 = 1z0​=1; the nonbasic slot k : Fin N is index k.succ. A pivot stores the new nonbasic variable in the slot of the variable it replaces, so the paper's index qqq in (3.4)–(3.7) is that slot. The tableau holds the labels (restricted xjx_jxj​ or free), the rows of all nnn restricted variables (a nonbasic one has the unit row), and (ckl)(c_{kl})(ckl​). Free variables carry no row, as in the paper.
  • The pivot. pivotC is computed literally from (3.5) and then (3.6). Rows are transformed by the same substitution, as the paper states.
  • The step. The step is a relation. It allows any profitable choice of zpz_pzp​ subject to the free-first rule, and at a tie either outcome. No pricing rule is fixed, since the paper fixes none.
  • Convexity. Convexity of CCC is the symmetry of (ckl)(c_{kl})(ckl​) plus positive semidefiniteness of the block (ckl)k,l≥1(c_{kl})_{k,l \ge 1}(ckl​)k,l≥1​, assumed on the initial tableau.
  • Added hypothesis. The one hypothesis not on the page is that every basic restricted variable is strictly positive in the associated solution of every tableau of the run. It replaces Charnes's ε-perturbations, by which the paper ensures "the ah0a_{h0}ah0​ are always positive, and not zero". Positivity is required of basic variables only; nonbasic variables are 000 in the associated solution.
  • Out of scope. The link to the original equations (2.1) and phase 1 (artificial variables, the M-method) are not formalized: the iteration starts from a tableau already in the form (2.3).
  • Ruling out a trivial goal. A step relation that never fires, or a positivity hypothesis that no tableau can meet after a step, would make the goal trivially true. A sorry-free check exhibits a convex instance with consistent labels, a step, and positive basic variables before and after it.

Contributions are welcome on every milestone. The algebraic milestones 1–3 are self-contained.

Selected references

  • E. M. L. Beale, On Minimizing a Convex Function Subject to Linear Inequalities, Journal of the Royal Statistical Society, Series B 17(2):173–184, 1955. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.2517-6161.1955.tb00191.x
  • A. Charnes, Optimality and Degeneracy in Linear Programming, Econometrica 20(2):160–170, 1952. https://doi.org/10.2307/1907845
  • G. B. Dantzig, Maximization of a Linear Function of Variables Subject to Linear Inequalities, in T. C. Koopmans (ed.), Activity Analysis of Production and Allocation, Wiley, 1951, pp. 339–347.
  • E. M. L. Beale, On Quadratic Programming, Naval Research Logistics Quarterly 6(3):227–243, 1959. https://doi.org/10.1002/nav.3800060305
  • P. Wolfe, The Simplex Method for Quadratic Programming, Econometrica 27(3):382–398, 1959. https://doi.org/10.2307/1909468
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Simultaneous Analysis of Lasso and Dantzig Selector V: Estimation, Prediction and Sparsity Bounds for the LassoResearch Paper

Motivation

In a linear regression with many more candidate variables than observations, least squares is not defined uniquely and does not estimate anything useful. The Lasso (Tibshirani, 1996) replaces it by an ℓ1\ell_1ℓ1​-penalised least-squares problem, which is convex, can be solved at scale, and returns sparse coefficient vectors. The question that a statistician, a signal-processing engineer or an operations researcher fitting a sparse model must answer before trusting it is quantitative: how far is the Lasso estimate from the true coefficient vector, how well does it predict, and how many variables does it select, as functions of the sample size nnn, the number of variables MMM and the sparsity sss of the truth?

Bickel, Ritov and Tsybakov (arXiv:0801.1095, Ann. Statist. 37(4), 2009) answered this under the restricted eigenvalue (RE) condition, which they introduced, with explicit constants and an explicit failure probability. Their Theorem 7.2, the goal of this mission, is a standard reference result of high-dimensional statistics and a model for the Lasso analyses in the textbooks of Bühlmann and van de Geer (2011) and Wainwright (2019).

Timeline, restricted to what each work proved:

  • 2007: Candès and Tao (arXiv:math/0506081) prove ℓ2\ell_2ℓ2​ bounds for the Dantzig selector under a uniform uncertainty principle.
  • 2007: Bunea, Tsybakov and Wegkamp (doi:10.1214/07-EJS008) prove sparsity oracle inequalities for the Lasso under mutual-coherence conditions; Lemma B.1 of the present paper is essentially their Lemma 1.
  • 2008/2009: Bickel, Ritov and Tsybakov prove Theorem 7.2 under RE(s,3)(s,3)(s,3) and RE(s,m,3)(s,m,3)(s,m,3), conditions weaker than those of the previous works.

Setting

A deterministic design matrix X∈Rn×MX\in\mathbb R^{n\times M}X∈Rn×M with columns x(1),…,x(M)x_{(1)},\dots,x_{(M)}x(1)​,…,x(M)​ is observed together with

y=Xβ∗+w,y=X\beta^*+w,y=Xβ∗+w,

where β∗∈RM\beta^*\in\mathbb R^Mβ∗∈RM is unknown and w=(W1,…,Wn)w=(W_1,\dots,W_n)w=(W1​,…,Wn​) has independent N(0,σ2)\mathcal N(0,\sigma^2)N(0,σ2) entries with σ>0\sigma>0σ>0. Throughout, n≥1n\ge1n≥1, M≥2M\ge2M≥2, and every diagonal entry of the Gram matrix Ψn=X⊤X/n\Psi_n=X^\top X/nΨn​=X⊤X/n equals 111.

For δ∈RM\delta\in\mathbb R^Mδ∈RM write ∣δ∣p=(∑j∣δj∣p)1/p|\delta|_p=(\sum_j|\delta_j|^p)^{1/p}∣δ∣p​=(∑j​∣δj​∣p)1/p, J(δ)={j:δj≠0}J(\delta)=\{j:\delta_j\ne0\}J(δ)={j:δj​=0} for the support, M(δ)=∣J(δ)∣\mathcal M(\delta)=|J(\delta)|M(δ)=∣J(δ)∣ for the sparsity, and δJ\delta_JδJ​ for the vector that agrees with δ\deltaδ on JJJ and vanishes off JJJ. The largest eigenvalue of Ψn\Psi_nΨn​ is ϕmax⁡\phi_{\max}ϕmax​.

The Lasso estimator with tuning parameter r>0r>0r>0 is any minimiser

β^L∈arg⁡min⁡β∈RM{1n∣y−Xβ∣22+2r∣β∣1}.\hat\beta_L\in\arg\min_{\beta\in\mathbb R^M}\Big\{\frac1n|y-X\beta|_2^2+2r|\beta|_1\Big\}.β^​L​∈argβ∈RMmin​{n1​∣y−Xβ∣22​+2r∣β∣1​}.

Minimisers exist but need not be unique.

Assumption RE(s,c0)(s,c_0)(s,c0​) (1≤s≤M1\le s\le M1≤s≤M, c0>0c_0>0c0​>0) asks that

κ(s,c0)=min⁡∣J0∣≤s min⁡δ≠0, ∣δJ0c∣1≤c0∣δJ0∣1∣Xδ∣2n ∣δJ0∣2>0.\kappa(s,c_0)=\min_{|J_0|\le s}\ \min_{\delta\ne0,\ |\delta_{J_0^c}|_1\le c_0|\delta_{J_0}|_1}\frac{|X\delta|_2}{\sqrt n\,|\delta_{J_0}|_2}>0 .κ(s,c0​)=∣J0​∣≤smin​ δ=0, ∣δJ0c​​∣1​≤c0​∣δJ0​​∣1​min​n​∣δJ0​​∣2​∣Xδ∣2​​>0.

Assumption RE(s,m,c0)(s,m,c_0)(s,m,c0​) (1≤s≤M/21\le s\le M/21≤s≤M/2, m≥sm\ge sm≥s, s+m≤Ms+m\le Ms+m≤M) is the same with ∣δJ01∣2|\delta_{J_{01}}|_2∣δJ01​​∣2​ in the denominator, where J01=J0∪J1J_{01}=J_0\cup J_1J01​=J0​∪J1​ and J1J_1J1​ collects the mmm largest in absolute value coordinates of δ\deltaδ outside J0J_0J0​.

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem 7.2

Let M(β∗)≤s\mathcal M(\beta^*)\le sM(β∗)≤s, let RE(s,3)(s,3)(s,3) hold, and let r=Aσlog⁡M/nr=A\sigma\sqrt{\log M/n}r=AσlogM/n​ with A>22A>2\sqrt2A>22​. With probability at least 1−M1−A2/81-M^{1-A^2/8}1−M1−A2/8, every Lasso solution satisfies

∣β^L−β∗∣1≤16Aκ2(s,3)σslog⁡Mn,∣X(β^L−β∗)∣22≤16A2κ2(s,3)σ2slog⁡M,M(β^L)≤64ϕmax⁡κ2(s,3)s,|\hat\beta_L-\beta^*|_1\le\frac{16A}{\kappa^2(s,3)}\sigma s\sqrt{\frac{\log M}{n}},\qquad |X(\hat\beta_L-\beta^*)|_2^2\le\frac{16A^2}{\kappa^2(s,3)}\sigma^2s\log M,\qquad \mathcal M(\hat\beta_L)\le\frac{64\phi_{\max}}{\kappa^2(s,3)}s,∣β^​L​−β∗∣1​≤κ2(s,3)16A​σsnlogM​​,∣X(β^​L​−β∗)∣22​≤κ2(s,3)16A2​σ2slogM,M(β^​L​)≤κ2(s,3)64ϕmax​​s,

and, if RE(s,m,3)(s,m,3)(s,m,3) holds, on the same event and for all 1<p≤21<p\le21<p≤2,

∣β^L−β∗∣pp≤16{1+3sm}2(p−1)s(Aσκ2(s,m,3)log⁡Mn)p.|\hat\beta_L-\beta^*|_p^p\le16\Big\{1+3\sqrt{\tfrac sm}\Big\}^{2(p-1)}s\Big(\frac{A\sigma}{\kappa^2(s,m,3)}\sqrt{\frac{\log M}{n}}\Big)^p .∣β^​L​−β∗∣pp​≤16{1+3ms​​}2(p−1)s(κ2(s,m,3)Aσ​nlogM​​)p.

Milestones

In the order in which the paper's proof uses them:

  1. (B.4): the noise event A=⋂j{2∣1nx(j)⊤w∣≤r}\mathcal A=\bigcap_j\{2|\tfrac1n x_{(j)}^\top w|\le r\}A=⋂j​{2∣n1​x(j)⊤​w∣≤r} has P(Ac)≤M1−A2/8\mathbb P(\mathcal A^c)\le M^{1-A^2/8}P(Ac)≤M1−A2/8.
  2. (B.6): the optimality conditions of the Lasso.
  3. Lemma B.1 (Section 7 case): the basic inequality (B.1) for all β\betaβ, the residual bound (B.2) and the sparsity bound M(β^L)≤4ϕmax⁡∥fβ^L−f∥n2/r2\mathcal M(\hat\beta_L)\le4\phi_{\max}\|f_{\hat\beta_L}-f\|_n^2/r^2M(β^​L​)≤4ϕmax​∥fβ^​L​​−f∥n2​/r2 (B.3).
  4. Corollary B.2: the error δ=β^L−β\delta=\hat\beta_L-\betaδ=β^​L​−β lies in the cone ∣δJ0c∣1≤3∣δJ0∣1|\delta_{J_0^c}|_1\le3|\delta_{J_0}|_1∣δJ0c​​∣1​≤3∣δJ0​​∣1​.
  5. (B.30)–(B.31): on A\mathcal AA, 1n∣Xδ∣22≤16r2s/κ2\frac1n|X\delta|_2^2\le16r^2s/\kappa^2n1​∣Xδ∣22​≤16r2s/κ2 and ∣δJ0∣2≤4rs/κ2|\delta_{J_0}|_2\le4r\sqrt s/\kappa^2∣δJ0​​∣2​≤4rs​/κ2.
  6. (B.27) and (B.28) with c0=3c_0=3c0​=3: ℓ1\ell_1ℓ1​ and ℓ2\ell_2ℓ2​ norms of a cone vector.
  7. The ℓp\ell_pℓp​ interpolation ∑ajp≤b12−pb2p−1\sum a_j^p\le b_1^{2-p}b_2^{p-1}∑ajp​≤b12−p​b2p−1​.

Significance

The result. Theorem 7.2 gives, for fixed nnn and MMM rather than asymptotically, the rate slog⁡M/ns\log M/nslogM/n for the prediction loss and slog⁡M/ns\sqrt{\log M/n}slogM/n​ for the ℓ1\ell_1ℓ1​ loss of the Lasso, under a condition on the design only (RE), with no assumption on how MMM compares with nnn. The dependence on MMM is only logarithmic, which is what makes the Lasso usable when M≫nM\gg nM≫n. Bound (7.9) shows that the Lasso selects at most a constant multiple of sss variables, and (7.10) covers every ℓp\ell_pℓp​ loss between ℓ1\ell_1ℓ1​ and ℓ2\ell_2ℓ2​. Together with Theorem 7.1 for the Dantzig selector, the result shows that the two estimators have the same rates.

Formalizing it. The theorem is proved on paper. As far as a search of the platform shows, there is no machine-checked proof of a probabilistic Lasso rate. The closest platform statement, HighDimStat.SparseLinear.lasso_l2_error_bound (Wainwright, Theorem 7.13(a)), is deterministic, assumes a lower bound on the regularisation parameter in place of Gaussian noise, uses a restricted eigenvalue condition over the cone of one fixed support, and concludes an ℓ2\ell_2ℓ2​ bound with a different constant. A formal proof of Theorem 7.2 would supply the Gaussian maximal inequality, the Lasso optimality conditions, and the cone and interpolation inequalities as reusable lemmas.

Difficulty

Each step is short on paper, and none of the steps is deep. The main work is in three places. First, the probability: the event on which the deterministic argument runs involves all MMM correlations 1nx(j)⊤w\frac1n x_{(j)}^\top wn1​x(j)⊤​w at once, and its probability must be bounded by exactly M1−A2/8M^{1-A^2/8}M1−A2/8, which requires the law of a linear combination of independent Gaussians and a sharp Gaussian tail estimate, not a generic concentration bound with unspecified constants. Second, the Lasso is defined only through its minimising property, while the sparsity bound (7.9) is a statement about the number of non-zero coordinates of a minimiser of a non-differentiable objective; the characterisation (B.6) of minimisers is not in Mathlib. Third, (7.10) involves two restricted eigenvalue constants, a ranking of coordinates with possible ties, and real exponents, and every constant has to come out exactly.

The obvious idea of proving (7.7)–(7.10) for one fixed minimiser does not suffice: the statement quantifies over every minimiser on a single event.

Formalization scope

The design XXX is a Matrix (Fin n) (Fin M) ℝ; vectors are functions Fin M → ℝ. The noise is a family W : Fin n → Ω → ℝ of independent, measurable random variables with law gaussianReal 0 σ² on a probability space, and y(ω)=Xβ∗+W(ω)y(\omega)=X\beta^*+W(\omega)y(ω)=Xβ∗+W(ω). The probabilistic conclusion is one measurable event EEE with P(E)≥1−M1−A2/8\mathbb P(E)\ge1-M^{1-A^2/8}P(E)≥1−M1−A2/8 on which every minimiser of (7.2) satisfies all bounds; the event does not depend on the minimiser, on mmm or on ppp. log⁡\loglog is the natural logarithm.

RE(s,3)(s,3)(s,3) and RE(s,m,3)(s,m,3)(s,m,3) are stated through witnesses: a predicate "κn∣δJ0∣2≤∣Xδ∣2\kappa\sqrt n|\delta_{J_0}|_2\le|X\delta|_2κn​∣δJ0​​∣2​≤∣Xδ∣2​ for every admissible J0J_0J0​ and δ\deltaδ", and the theorem holds for every witness κ>0\kappa>0κ>0. Because the paper's κ(s,c0)\kappa(s,c_0)κ(s,c0​) is an attained minimum, every witness is at most it and the bounds decrease in κ\kappaκ, so this is equivalent to the printed statement. The assumption quantifies over every J0J_0J0​ with ∣J0∣≤s|J_0|\le s∣J0​∣≤s, as on page 7, not only over the support of β∗\beta^*β∗. ϕmax⁡\phi_{\max}ϕmax​ is the supremum of 1n∣Xx∣22\frac1n|Xx|_2^2n1​∣Xx∣22​ over unit vectors xxx. Lemma B.1 is stated in its Section-7 specialisation (unit column norms, f=Xβ∗f=X\beta^*f=Xβ∗), the form used in the proof of Theorem 7.2; (B.28) is stated for every c0>0c_0>0c0​>0 and (B.27) likewise, since the paper writes them with c0=1c_0=1c0​=1 and invokes them with c0=3c_0=3c0​=3. The printed Theorem 7.2 needs no correction; all four constants were checked against the proof.

A formalization in which the noise is not Gaussian, the Lasso predicate can be vacuous, the RE condition is imposed only on the support of β∗\beta^*β∗, or the probability is that of a non-measurable set, is not this theorem and is ruled out by the statement.

Needed infrastructure: Gaussian tail bounds and the law of a linear combination of independent Gaussians (largely in Mathlib), subdifferential calculus for ℓ1\ell_1ℓ1​-penalised least squares, and elementary finite-sum inequalities. The cone inequalities (B.27)–(B.28), the interpolation inequality and the optimality conditions (B.6) are reusable in other sparse-estimation missions; contributions to any milestone are welcome.

Selected references

  • P. J. Bickel, Y. Ritov, A. B. Tsybakov, Simultaneous analysis of Lasso and Dantzig selector, Ann. Statist. 37(4), 1705–1732, 2009. arXiv:0801.1095v3, https://arxiv.org/abs/0801.1095 ; https://doi.org/10.1214/08-AOS620
  • F. Bunea, A. B. Tsybakov, M. H. Wegkamp, Sparsity oracle inequalities for the Lasso, Electron. J. Statist. 1, 169–194, 2007. https://doi.org/10.1214/07-EJS008
  • E. Candès, T. Tao, The Dantzig selector: statistical estimation when p is much larger than n, Ann. Statist. 35(6), 2313–2351, 2007. https://arxiv.org/abs/math/0506081
  • R. Tibshirani, Regression shrinkage and selection via the lasso, J. R. Statist. Soc. B 58(1), 267–288, 1996. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.2517-6161.1996.tb02080.x
  • M. J. Wainwright, High-Dimensional Statistics: A Non-Asymptotic Viewpoint, Cambridge University Press, 2019, Chapter 7. https://doi.org/10.1017/9781108627771
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Machine LearningOptimizationProbability+1·Captain: mikedeng1

Simultaneous Analysis of Lasso and Dantzig Selector IV: Estimation and Prediction Error Bounds for the Dantzig SelectorResearch Paper

Motivation

In high-dimensional linear regression the number of unknown coefficients MMM may be much larger than the number of observations nnn, and the coefficient vector can only be recovered because it is assumed to be sparse: few of its entries are non-zero. Two convex estimators dominate this setting: the Lasso of Tibshirani (1996), an ℓ1\ell_1ℓ1​-penalized least-squares estimator, and the Dantzig selector of Candès and Tao (2007), which minimizes the ℓ1\ell_1ℓ1​ norm subject to a bound on the correlation between the residual and the columns of the design. Both are used routinely in statistics, signal processing and machine learning, and their rates of convergence determine how many observations suffice to estimate a sparse vector.

Bickel, Ritov and Tsybakov (arXiv:0801.1095; Ann. Statist. 37(4), 2009) analysed the two estimators side by side under a single, weak condition on the design, the restricted eigenvalue (RE) assumption. This mission formalizes their rates for the Dantzig selector, Theorem 7.1 of the paper.

Timeline. Candès and Tao (Ann. Statist. 35, 2007) introduced the Dantzig selector and bounded its ℓ2\ell_2ℓ2​ error under a uniform uncertainty principle on the design. Bickel, Ritov and Tsybakov (2009) replaced that condition by the RE assumptions, which are implied by it (their Lemma 4.1), and obtained ℓp\ell_pℓp​ bounds for every 1≤p≤21\le p\le21≤p≤2 and a prediction bound, with explicit constants. Later work (van de Geer and Bühlmann, EJS 2009) compared RE with the compatibility condition and other design conditions.

Setting

Observations follow the linear model

y=Xβ∗+w,y=X\beta^*+w,y=Xβ∗+w,

where X∈Rn×MX\in\mathbb R^{n\times M}X∈Rn×M is a deterministic design matrix, n≥1n\ge1n≥1, M≥2M\ge2M≥2, β∗∈RM\beta^*\in\mathbb R^Mβ∗∈RM is unknown, and w=(W1,…,Wn)w=(W_1,\dots,W_n)w=(W1​,…,Wn​) has independent N(0,σ2)\mathcal N(0,\sigma^2)N(0,σ2) coordinates with σ>0\sigma>0σ>0. The columns are normalized: every diagonal element of the Gram matrix XTX/nX^TX/nXTX/n equals 1.

For β∈RM\beta\in\mathbb R^Mβ∈RM, J(β)={j:βj≠0}J(\beta)=\{j:\beta_j\ne0\}J(β)={j:βj​=0} is its support and M(β)=∣J(β)∣\mathcal M(\beta)=|J(\beta)|M(β)=∣J(β)∣ its sparsity; β∗\beta^*β∗ satisfies M(β∗)≤s\mathcal M(\beta^*)\le sM(β∗)≤s for an integer 1≤s≤M1\le s\le M1≤s≤M. Norms are ∣δ∣p=(∑j∣δj∣p)1/p|\delta|_p=(\sum_j|\delta_j|^p)^{1/p}∣δ∣p​=(∑j​∣δj​∣p)1/p and ∣v∣22=∑ivi2|v|_2^2=\sum_iv_i^2∣v∣22​=∑i​vi2​; for an index set JJJ, δJ\delta_JδJ​ keeps the coordinates of δ\deltaδ in JJJ and sets the others to 0, and JcJ^cJc is the complement of JJJ.

With a tuning level r=Aσlog⁡M/nr=A\sigma\sqrt{\log M/n}r=AσlogM/n​, A>2A>\sqrt2A>2​, the Dantzig selector is any minimizer

β^D∈arg⁡min⁡β∈Λ∣β∣1,Λ={β∈RM: ∣1nXT(y−Xβ)∣∞≤r}.\hat\beta_D\in\arg\min_{\beta\in\Lambda}|\beta|_1,\qquad \Lambda=\Big\{\beta\in\mathbb R^M:\ \Big|\tfrac1nX^T(y-X\beta)\Big|_\infty\le r\Big\}.β^​D​∈argβ∈Λmin​∣β∣1​,Λ={β∈RM: ​n1​XT(y−Xβ)​∞​≤r}.

The cone condition at an index set J0J_0J0​ with constant c0>0c_0>0c0​>0 is ∣δJ0c∣1≤c0∣δJ0∣1|\delta_{J_0^c}|_1\le c_0|\delta_{J_0}|_1∣δJ0c​​∣1​≤c0​∣δJ0​​∣1​. Assumption RE(s,c0)(s,c_0)(s,c0​) asks that

κ(s,c0)=min⁡∣J0∣≤s min⁡δ≠0, ∣δJ0c∣1≤c0∣δJ0∣1∣Xδ∣2n ∣δJ0∣2>0.\kappa(s,c_0)=\min_{|J_0|\le s}\ \min_{\delta\ne0,\ |\delta_{J_0^c}|_1\le c_0|\delta_{J_0}|_1}\frac{|X\delta|_2}{\sqrt n\,|\delta_{J_0}|_2}>0 .κ(s,c0​)=∣J0​∣≤smin​ δ=0, ∣δJ0c​​∣1​≤c0​∣δJ0​​∣1​min​n​∣δJ0​​∣2​∣Xδ∣2​​>0.

Assumption RE(s,m,c0)(s,m,c_0)(s,m,c0​) is the same with ∣δJ01∣2|\delta_{J_{01}}|_2∣δJ01​​∣2​ in the denominator, where J01=J0∪J1J_{01}=J_0\cup J_1J01​=J0​∪J1​ and J1J_1J1​ collects the mmm largest ∣δj∣|\delta_j|∣δj​∣ outside J0J_0J0​; it is used for s≤ms\le ms≤m, s+m≤Ms+m\le Ms+m≤M.

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem 7.1

With probability at least 1−M1−A2/21-M^{1-A^2/2}1−M1−A2/2, every Dantzig selector satisfies

∣β^D−β∗∣1≤8Aκ2(s,1) σslog⁡Mn,∣X(β^D−β∗)∣22≤16A2κ2(s,1) σ2slog⁡M,|\hat\beta_D-\beta^*|_1\le\frac{8A}{\kappa^2(s,1)}\,\sigma s\sqrt{\frac{\log M}{n}},\qquad |X(\hat\beta_D-\beta^*)|_2^2\le\frac{16A^2}{\kappa^2(s,1)}\,\sigma^2s\log M,∣β^​D​−β∗∣1​≤κ2(s,1)8A​σsnlogM​​,∣X(β^​D​−β∗)∣22​≤κ2(s,1)16A2​σ2slogM,

and, on the same event, if RE(s,m,1)(s,m,1)(s,m,1) holds, simultaneously for all 1<p≤21<p\le21<p≤2,

∣β^D−β∗∣pp≤2p−1 8{1+sm}2(p−1)s(Aσκ2(s,m,1)log⁡Mn)p.|\hat\beta_D-\beta^*|_p^p\le2^{p-1}\,8\Big\{1+\sqrt{\tfrac sm}\Big\}^{2(p-1)}s\Big(\frac{A\sigma}{\kappa^2(s,m,1)}\sqrt{\frac{\log M}{n}}\Big)^p .∣β^​D​−β∗∣pp​≤2p−18{1+ms​​}2(p−1)s(κ2(s,m,1)Aσ​nlogM​​)p.

Milestones

In the order the proof of the paper uses them:

  1. The noise event B=⋂j{∣1n∑iXijWi∣≤r∥fj∥n}\mathcal B=\bigcap_j\{|\frac1n\sum_iX_{ij}W_i|\le r\|f_j\|_n\}B=⋂j​{∣n1​∑i​Xij​Wi​∣≤r∥fj​∥n​} has P{Bc}≤M1−A2/2\mathbb P\{\mathcal B^c\}\le M^{1-A^2/2}P{Bc}≤M1−A2/2 (proof of Lemma B.3).
  2. Lemma B.3, (B.9): for any β\betaβ satisfying the Dantzig constraint, δ=β^D−β\delta=\hat\beta_D-\betaδ=β^​D​−β satisfies the cone condition at J(β)J(\beta)J(β) with c0=1c_0=1c0​=1.
  3. (B.25): on B\mathcal BB, β∗∈Λ\beta^*\in\Lambdaβ∗∈Λ, 1n∣XTXδ∣∞≤2r\frac1n|X^TX\delta|_\infty\le2rn1​∣XTXδ∣∞​≤2r, and 1n∣Xδ∣22≤4rs ∣δJ0∣2\frac1n|X\delta|_2^2\le4r\sqrt s\,|\delta_{J_0}|_2n1​∣Xδ∣22​≤4rs​∣δJ0​​∣2​.
  4. (B.26): under RE(s,1)(s,1)(s,1), 1n∣Xδ∣22≤16r2s/κ2\frac1n|X\delta|_2^2\le16r^2s/\kappa^2n1​∣Xδ∣22​≤16r2s/κ2 and ∣δJ0∣2≤4rs/κ2|\delta_{J_0}|_2\le4r\sqrt s/\kappa^2∣δJ0​​∣2​≤4rs​/κ2.
  5. (B.27): on the cone, ∣δ∣1≤(1+c0)s ∣δJ0∣2|\delta|_1\le(1+c_0)\sqrt s\,|\delta_{J_0}|_2∣δ∣1​≤(1+c0​)s​∣δJ0​​∣2​.
  6. (B.28): on the cone, ∣δ∣2≤(1+c0s/m) ∣δJ01∣2|\delta|_2\le(1+c_0\sqrt{s/m})\,|\delta_{J_{01}}|_2∣δ∣2​≤(1+c0​s/m​)∣δJ01​​∣2​.
  7. (B.29): under RE(s,m,1)(s,m,1)(s,m,1), ∣δ∣22≤16(1+s/m)2(rs/κ2)2|\delta|_2^2\le16(1+\sqrt{s/m})^2(r\sqrt s/\kappa^2)^2∣δ∣22​≤16(1+s/m​)2(rs​/κ2)2.
  8. Interpolation: ∑jaj≤b1\sum_ja_j\le b_1∑j​aj​≤b1​, ∑jaj2≤b2\sum_ja_j^2\le b_2∑j​aj2​≤b2​, aj≥0a_j\ge0aj​≥0 imply ∑jajp≤b12−pb2p−1\sum_ja_j^p\le b_1^{2-p}b_2^{p-1}∑j​ajp​≤b12−p​b2p−1​ for 1<p≤21<p\le21<p≤2.

Significance

The result. Theorem 7.1 shows that, up to the factor log⁡M\log MlogM, the Dantzig selector estimates an sss-sparse vector as well as least squares would if the support were known: the prediction error 1n∣X(β^D−β∗)∣22\frac1n|X(\hat\beta_D-\beta^*)|_2^2n1​∣X(β^​D​−β∗)∣22​ is of order σ2slog⁡M/n\sigma^2s\log M/nσ2slogM/n, and the ℓp\ell_pℓp​ errors are of order s1/pσlog⁡M/ns^{1/p}\sigma\sqrt{\log M/n}s1/pσlogM/n​. The bounds hold for any MMM, including M≫nM\gg nM≫n, provided only that RE holds, and every constant is explicit. The paper's Theorem 7.2 gives the same rates for the Lasso; comparing the two is the paper's main message.

Formalizing it. The theorem is proved in the paper; to the best of current knowledge it has not been machine-checked. A complete formal proof would provide: a verified Gaussian maximal inequality for the noise event, the deterministic cone and RE arithmetic that underlies essentially all ℓ1\ell_1ℓ1​-regularized estimation theory, and a reusable ℓ1\ell_1ℓ1​–ℓ2\ell_2ℓ2​ interpolation lemma. Most milestones are deterministic and independent of the probability layer.

Difficulty

The obvious argument — compare β^D\hat\beta_Dβ^​D​ with β∗\beta^*β∗ in Euclidean norm using the smallest eigenvalue of XTX/nX^TX/nXTX/n — fails because that eigenvalue is 0 whenever M>nM>nM>n. The proof must instead show that the error vector lies in a cone on which XXX is injective in a quantitative sense, and this uses the optimality of β^D\hat\beta_Dβ^​D​ (not just feasibility) together with the event B\mathcal BB on which β∗\beta^*β∗ itself is feasible. The ℓp\ell_pℓp​ bound needs a second, stronger condition RE(s,m,1)(s,m,1)(s,m,1) and a control of the tail of the error outside the mmm largest coordinates. On the formal side, handling the non-uniqueness of the minimizer, real powers with exponent p−1p-1p−1 or 2−p2-p2−p, and the union over MMM Gaussian tails with the exact constant M1−A2/2M^{1-A^2/2}M1−A2/2 all need care.

Formalization scope

Vectors are functions Fin M → ℝ, the design is Matrix (Fin n) (Fin M) ℝ; the paper's dictionary of functions enters only through XXX. The unit diagonal of XTX/nX^TX/nXTX/n is a hypothesis, not a normalization performed in the proof. The noise is W : Fin n → Ω → ℝ on a probability space, measurable, mutually independent, each of law N(0,σ2)\mathcal N(0,\sigma^2)N(0,σ2); log⁡\loglog is the natural logarithm. The Dantzig selector is a predicate (feasible and of minimal ℓ1\ell_1ℓ1​ norm among feasible vectors), and every result is stated for every minimizer. RE(s,c0)(s,c_0)(s,c0​) and RE(s,m,c0)(s,m,c_0)(s,m,c0​) are stated through a witness κ\kappaκ (a number with the defining lower-bound property); κ(s,c0)\kappa(s,c_0)κ(s,c0​) is the largest witness and the bounds decrease in κ\kappaκ, so the statements are equivalent to the paper's while avoiding the value of a real infimum over an empty set. Two witnesses are kept apart: κ\kappaκ for RE(s,1)(s,1)(s,1) in (7.4)–(7.5), κ′\kappa'κ′ for RE(s,m,1)(s,m,1)(s,m,1) in (7.6). Ties in the choice of the mmm largest coordinates are handled by quantifying over every admissible J1J_1J1​. The probability statement asserts one measurable event EEE with P(E)≥1−M1−A2/2\mathbb P(E)\ge1-M^{1-A^2/2}P(E)≥1−M1−A2/2 on which all three bounds hold for every minimizer, every admissible mmm, every witness κ′\kappa'κ′ and every ppp.

The event EEE is fixed before the minimizer is quantified, so a formalization in which the event depends on β^D\hat\beta_Dβ^​D​, or in which RE is a hypothesis about the random error vector rather than the design, would be a different (weaker) statement and is not accepted. The deterministic milestones (B.26)–(B.29) take the conclusion of (B.25) as a hypothesis; they are true for every vector satisfying their hypotheses and are not restricted to the event.

A complete development needs Gaussian tail bounds and a union bound (Mathlib's gaussianReal), finite Hölder-type inequalities for real exponents, and elementary sorting arguments for the tail outside J01J_{01}J01​. The cone, RE and interpolation lemmas are reusable for the Lasso (Theorem 7.2, a sister mission) and beyond. Proofs of any milestone are welcome independently.

Selected references

  • P. J. Bickel, Y. Ritov, A. B. Tsybakov, Simultaneous analysis of Lasso and Dantzig selector, Ann. Statist. 37(4), 1705–1732, 2009. arXiv:0801.1095v3: https://arxiv.org/abs/0801.1095
  • E. Candès, T. Tao, The Dantzig selector: statistical estimation when p is much larger than n, Ann. Statist. 35(6), 2313–2351, 2007. https://doi.org/10.1214/009053606000001523
  • R. Tibshirani, Regression shrinkage and selection via the lasso, J. R. Stat. Soc. B 58(1), 267–288, 1996. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.2517-6161.1996.tb02080.x
  • S. van de Geer, P. Bühlmann, On the conditions used to prove oracle results for the Lasso, Electron. J. Statist. 3, 1360–1392, 2009. https://doi.org/10.1214/09-EJS506
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Machine LearningOptimizationProbability+1·Captain: mikedeng1

Simultaneous Analysis of Lasso and Dantzig Selector II: Approximate Equivalence of the Lasso and Dantzig Prediction LossesResearch Paper

Motivation

Two estimators dominate sparse high-dimensional regression, where the number MMM of candidate regressors can far exceed the sample size nnn. The Lasso (Tibshirani, 1996) minimises a least-squares criterion plus an ℓ1\ell_1ℓ1​ penalty. The Dantzig selector (Candès and Tao, 2007) minimises the ℓ1\ell_1ℓ1​ norm of the coefficients subject to a bound on the correlation between the residual and the regressors, and is computed by a linear program. They were proposed independently and first analysed under different assumptions: sparsity oracle inequalities for the Lasso (Bunea, Tsybakov and Wegkamp, 2007) and ℓ2\ell_2ℓ2​ bounds for the Dantzig selector under a uniform uncertainty principle (Candès and Tao, 2007). A practitioner choosing between them needs to know whether guarantees for one say anything about the other.

Bickel, Ritov and Tsybakov (arXiv:0801.1095; Ann. Statist. 37(4), 2009, doi:10.1214/08-AOS620) analyse both estimators in parallel under one assumption on the design, the restricted eigenvalue condition. Their main message is that, under sparsity, the two estimators "exhibit similar behavior" (p. 2). Section 5 makes this precise: the prediction losses of the two estimators are close. The result holds in a nonparametric model: the regression function need not be a combination of the regressors. This mission formalizes that comparison, Theorem 5.1 of the paper.

Setting

Let f1,…,fMf_1,\dots,f_Mf1​,…,fM​ be real functions (the dictionary) on a set Z\mathcal ZZ, and Z1,…,Zn∈ZZ_1,\dots,Z_n\in\mathcal ZZ1​,…,Zn​∈Z fixed design points, with n≥1n\ge1n≥1 and M≥2M\ge2M≥2. The design matrix is X=(fj(Zi))∈Rn×MX=(f_j(Z_i))\in\mathbb R^{n\times M}X=(fj​(Zi​))∈Rn×M. Observations are Yi=f(Zi)+WiY_i=f(Z_i)+W_iYi​=f(Zi​)+Wi​, where fff is an unknown function and W1,…,WnW_1,\dots,W_nW1​,…,Wn​ are independent N(0,σ2)\mathcal N(0,\sigma^2)N(0,σ2) with σ>0\sigma>0σ>0. Write y=(Yi)y=(Y_i)y=(Yi​), f=(f(Zi))\boldsymbol f=(f(Z_i))f=(f(Zi​)) and w=(Wi)w=(W_i)w=(Wi​), so y=f+wy=\boldsymbol f+wy=f+w.

The empirical norm of ggg is ∥g∥n=(1n∑ig(Zi)2)1/2\|g\|_n=(\tfrac1n\sum_i g(Z_i)^2)^{1/2}∥g∥n​=(n1​∑i​g(Zi​)2)1/2. Every column has ∥fj∥n≠0\|f_j\|_n\neq0∥fj​∥n​=0, and fmax⁡=max⁡j∥fj∥nf_{\max}=\max_j\|f_j\|_nfmax​=maxj​∥fj​∥n​. For β∈RM\beta\in\mathbb R^Mβ∈RM, fβ=∑jβjfjf_\beta=\sum_j\beta_jf_jfβ​=∑j​βj​fj​ has value vector XβX\betaXβ. The support is J(β)={j:βj≠0}J(\beta)=\{j:\beta_j\ne0\}J(β)={j:βj​=0} and the sparsity is M(β)=∣J(β)∣\mathcal M(\beta)=|J(\beta)|M(β)=∣J(β)∣. For J⊆{1,…,M}J\subseteq\{1,\dots,M\}J⊆{1,…,M}, δJ\delta_JδJ​ agrees with δ\deltaδ on JJJ and vanishes elsewhere.

Fix r>0r>0r>0. The Lasso β^L\hat\beta_Lβ^​L​ is any minimiser of

1n∑i=1n(Yi−fβ(Zi))2+2r∑j=1M∥fj∥n∣βj∣.\frac1n\sum_{i=1}^n\big(Y_i-f_\beta(Z_i)\big)^2+2r\sum_{j=1}^M\|f_j\|_n|\beta_j| .n1​i=1∑n​(Yi​−fβ​(Zi​))2+2rj=1∑M​∥fj​∥n​∣βj​∣.

With D=diag(∥f1∥n2,…,∥fM∥n2)D=\mathrm{diag}(\|f_1\|_n^2,\dots,\|f_M\|_n^2)D=diag(∥f1​∥n2​,…,∥fM​∥n2​), the Dantzig constraint is ∣1nD−1/2X⊤(y−Xβ)∣∞≤r|\tfrac1nD^{-1/2}X^\top(y-X\beta)|_\infty\le r∣n1​D−1/2X⊤(y−Xβ)∣∞​≤r. The Dantzig selector β^D\hat\beta_Dβ^​D​ is any vector of smallest ∣β∣1=∑j∣βj∣|\beta|_1=\sum_j|\beta_j|∣β∣1​=∑j​∣βj​∣ that satisfies it. The estimators are f^L=fβ^L\hat f_L=f_{\hat\beta_L}f^​L​=fβ^​L​​ and f^D=fβ^D\hat f_D=f_{\hat\beta_D}f^​D​=fβ^​D​​.

Assumption RE(s,c0)(s,c_0)(s,c0​) with 1≤s≤M1\le s\le M1≤s≤M, c0>0c_0>0c0​>0 asks that

κ(s,c0)=min⁡∣J0∣≤s min⁡δ≠0, ∣δJ0c∣1≤c0∣δJ0∣1 ∣Xδ∣2n ∣δJ0∣2>0.\kappa(s,c_0)=\min_{|J_0|\le s}\ \min_{\delta\ne0,\ |\delta_{J_0^c}|_1\le c_0|\delta_{J_0}|_1}\ \frac{|X\delta|_2}{\sqrt n\,|\delta_{J_0}|_2}>0 .κ(s,c0​)=∣J0​∣≤smin​ δ=0, ∣δJ0c​​∣1​≤c0​∣δJ0​​∣1​min​ n​∣δJ0​​∣2​∣Xδ∣2​​>0.

Throughout, r=Aσlog⁡M/nr=A\sigma\sqrt{\log M/n}r=AσlogM/n​, where log⁡\loglog is the natural logarithm.

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem 5.1

Assume RE(s,1)(s,1)(s,1) with 1≤s≤M1\le s\le M1≤s≤M, and let A>22A>2\sqrt2A>22​. With probability at least 1−M1−A2/81-M^{1-A^2/8}1−M1−A2/8, every Lasso solution with M(β^L)≤s\mathcal M(\hat\beta_L)\le sM(β^​L​)≤s and every Dantzig selector satisfy

∣ ∥f^D−f∥n2−∥f^L−f∥n2 ∣≤16A2 M(β^L)σ2n fmax⁡2κ2(s,1) log⁡M.\Big|\,\|\hat f_D-f\|_n^2-\|\hat f_L-f\|_n^2\,\Big|\le16A^2\,\frac{\mathcal M(\hat\beta_L)\sigma^2}{n}\,\frac{f_{\max}^2}{\kappa^2(s,1)}\,\log M .​∥f^​D​−f∥n2​−∥f^​L​−f∥n2​​≤16A2nM(β^​L​)σ2​κ2(s,1)fmax2​​logM.

Milestones

The proof uses one probabilistic event and two one-sided deterministic inequalities.

  1. The Lasso satisfies the Dantzig constraint (2.3).
  2. The noise event A=⋂j{2∣1n∑iXijWi∣≤r∥fj∥n}\mathcal A=\bigcap_j\{2|\tfrac1n\sum_iX_{ij}W_i|\le r\|f_j\|_n\}A=⋂j​{2∣n1​∑i​Xij​Wi​∣≤r∥fj​∥n​} has P(Ac)≤M1−A2/8\mathbb P(\mathcal A^c)\le M^{1-A^2/8}P(Ac)≤M1−A2/8 (B.4).
  3. On A\mathcal AA, ∣1nX⊤(f−Xβ^L)∣∞≤3rfmax⁡/2|\tfrac1nX^\top(\boldsymbol f-X\hat\beta_L)|_\infty\le 3rf_{\max}/2∣n1​X⊤(f−Xβ^​L​)∣∞​≤3rfmax​/2 (Lemma B.1, (B.2)).
  4. The Dantzig error lies in the cone ∣δJ0c∣1≤∣δJ0∣1|\delta_{J_0^c}|_1\le|\delta_{J_0}|_1∣δJ0c​​∣1​≤∣δJ0​​∣1​ (Lemma B.3, (B.9)).
  5. On the larger event B⊇A\mathcal B\supseteq\mathcal AB⊇A, ∣1nX⊤(f−Xβ^D)∣∞≤2rfmax⁡|\tfrac1nX^\top(\boldsymbol f-X\hat\beta_D)|_\infty\le 2rf_{\max}∣n1​X⊤(f−Xβ^​D​)∣∞​≤2rfmax​ (Lemma B.3, (B.10)).
  6. ∥f^D−f∥n2≤∥f^L−f∥n2+16fmax⁡2r2M(β^L)/κ2\|\hat f_D-f\|_n^2\le\|\hat f_L-f\|_n^2+16f_{\max}^2r^2\mathcal M(\hat\beta_L)/\kappa^2∥f^​D​−f∥n2​≤∥f^​L​−f∥n2​+16fmax2​r2M(β^​L​)/κ2 on B\mathcal BB (B.15).
  7. ∥f^L−f∥n2≤∥f^D−f∥n2+9fmax⁡2r2M(β^L)/κ2\|\hat f_L-f\|_n^2\le\|\hat f_D-f\|_n^2+9f_{\max}^2r^2\mathcal M(\hat\beta_L)/\kappa^2∥f^​L​−f∥n2​≤∥f^​D​−f∥n2​+9fmax2​r2M(β^​L​)/κ2 on A\mathcal AA (B.17).

Further result: Theorem 5.2

Assume ∥fj∥n=1\|f_j\|_n=1∥fj​∥n​=1 for all jjj and RE(s,5)(s,5)(s,5). With probability at least 1−M1−A2/81-M^{1-A^2/8}1−M1−A2/8, whenever M(β^D)≤s\mathcal M(\hat\beta_D)\le sM(β^​D​)≤s,

∥f^L−f∥n2≤10∥f^D−f∥n2+81A2 M(β^D)σ2n log⁡Mκ2(s,5).\|\hat f_L-f\|_n^2\le10\|\hat f_D-f\|_n^2+81A^2\,\frac{\mathcal M(\hat\beta_D)\sigma^2}{n}\,\frac{\log M}{\kappa^2(s,5)} .∥f^​L​−f∥n2​≤10∥f^​D​−f∥n2​+81A2nM(β^​D​)σ2​κ2(s,5)logM​.

Significance

The result. Theorem 5.1 bounds the gap between the two prediction losses by the rate M(β^L)σ2log⁡M/n\mathcal M(\hat\beta_L)\sigma^2\log M/nM(β^​L​)σ2logM/n of a sparse regression with M(β^L)\mathcal M(\hat\beta_L)M(β^​L​) parameters. The bound carries a factor fmax⁡2/κ2(s,1)f^2_{\max}/\kappa^2(s,1)fmax2​/κ2(s,1) that measures how ill-conditioned the Gram matrix is on sparse vectors. A prediction bound for one estimator therefore transfers to the other at this cost. The paper uses this transfer in Proposition 6.3, which combines Theorem 5.1 with the Lasso oracle inequality of Section 6 to derive an oracle inequality for the Dantzig selector. The theorem requires no assumption relating fff to the dictionary.

Formalizing it. The result has been proved since 2009, and this mission formalizes that proof. None of the objects involved exists on Prove2Me yet: the weighted Lasso, the Dantzig selector and the Gaussian noise events. The Wainwright series on the platform defines a differently normalised Lasso with an unweighted penalty, a single fixed support and a different restricted eigenvalue condition, so it cannot be reused here. A machine-checked proof would also confirm the paper's constants, 16A216A^216A2 and the thresholds 222\sqrt222​ and M1−A2/8M^{1-A^2/8}M1−A2/8, which appear in all later analyses.

Difficulty

Each estimator is defined only implicitly, as the solution of an optimisation problem, and neither need be unique. Comparing their losses directly gives ±2nδ⊤X⊤(f−Xβ^)\pm\tfrac2n\delta^\top X^\top(\boldsymbol f-X\hat\beta)±n2​δ⊤X⊤(f−Xβ^​) plus 1n∣Xδ∣22\tfrac1n|X\delta|_2^2n1​∣Xδ∣22​ with δ=β^L−β^D\delta=\hat\beta_L-\hat\beta_Dδ=β^​L​−β^​D​. A crude bound on the cross term, ∣δ∣1⋅∣X⊤(⋅)∣∞|\delta|_1\cdot|X^\top(\cdot)|_\infty∣δ∣1​⋅∣X⊤(⋅)∣∞​, yields an error proportional to ∣δ∣1|\delta|_1∣δ∣1​. This does not produce the sparse rate unless ∣δ∣1|\delta|_1∣δ∣1​ is controlled by ∣Xδ∣2|X\delta|_2∣Xδ∣2​. That control needs δ\deltaδ to lie in the restricted eigenvalue cone at the support of the random, data-dependent vector β^L\hat\beta_Lβ^​L​. The restricted eigenvalue condition must therefore hold uniformly over supports of size at most sss; a condition for one fixed support does not suffice. The probabilistic part is a union bound over MMM Gaussian coordinates, and it must be arranged so that a single event serves every minimiser of both programs.

Formalization scope

The dictionary and the design points enter every statement only through XXX and f\boldsymbol ff, so the Lean statements take X : Matrix (Fin n) (Fin M) ℝ and f : Fin n → ℝ directly, and fff is arbitrary. The noise is a family W : Fin n → Ω → ℝ of measurable, mutually independent random variables with law gaussianReal 0 σ², and y=f+W(ω)y=f+W(\omega)y=f+W(ω). The Lasso and the Dantzig selector are predicates (IsLasso, IsDantzig), and every theorem is stated for every solution. The Dantzig constraint is written coordinatewise as ∣1n∑iXij(yi−(Xβ)i)∣≤r∥fj∥n|\tfrac1n\sum_iX_{ij}(y_i-(X\beta)_i)|\le r\|f_j\|_n∣n1​∑i​Xij​(yi​−(Xβ)i​)∣≤r∥fj​∥n​. The Lasso penalty and the Dantzig constraint are weighted by ∥fj∥n\|f_j\|_n∥fj​∥n​, and the Dantzig objective ∣β∣1|\beta|_1∣β∣1​ is unweighted, exactly as in the paper. Theorem 5.1 does not normalise the columns.

RE(s,c0)(s,c_0)(s,c0​) is stated through a witness: a real κ>0\kappa>0κ>0 with κn∣δJ0∣2≤∣Xδ∣2\kappa\sqrt n|\delta_{J_0}|_2\le|X\delta|_2κn​∣δJ0​​∣2​≤∣Xδ∣2​ on the cone, for all ∣J0∣≤s|J_0|\le s∣J0​∣≤s. The paper's κ(s,c0)\kappa(s,c_0)κ(s,c0​) is attained, so it is the largest witness. Every bound decreases in κ\kappaκ, so this reading is equivalent to the paper's and avoids a real infimum over an empty set. "With probability at least ppp" becomes the existence of a measurable event EEE with P(E)≥p\mathbb P(E)\ge pP(E)≥p on which the conclusion holds for every Lasso solution and every Dantzig selector. The condition M(β^L)≤s\mathcal M(\hat\beta_L)\le sM(β^​L​)≤s is imposed inside the event, per realisation. The milestones (B.2), (B.10), (B.15) and (B.17) are stated deterministically, on the noise events A\mathcal AA and B\mathcal BB as predicates on the noise vector; this is how the proof uses them. (B.4) is stated for every A>0A>0A>0, which is stronger than the paper's A>22A>2\sqrt2A>22​ and still true.

The goal cannot be made vacuous. For A>22A>2\sqrt2A>22​ the probability bound 1−M1−A2/81-M^{1-A^2/8}1−M1−A2/8 is positive. Lasso solutions exist because r>0r>0r>0 and every ∥fj∥n>0\|f_j\|_n>0∥fj​∥n​>0, and Dantzig selectors exist because the Lasso is feasible. RE(s,1)(s,1)(s,1) with κ=1\kappa=1κ=1 holds for X=n IX=\sqrt n\,IX=n​I.

A complete development needs:

  • subgradient optimality for the weighted Lasso;
  • a Gaussian tail bound P(∣η∣≥t)≤e−t2/2\mathbb P(|\eta|\ge t)\le e^{-t^2/2}P(∣η∣≥t)≤e−t2/2 together with the law of a weighted sum of independent Gaussians;
  • Cauchy–Schwarz on supports;
  • the quadratic bound bx−x2≤b2/4bx-x^2\le b^2/4bx−x2≤b2/4.

The noise-event lemmas and the Lasso optimality condition can be reused by the companion missions on this paper. Proofs of any milestone are welcome, including proofs that route (B.4) through Mathlib's sub-Gaussian API.

Selected references

  • P. J. Bickel, Y. Ritov, A. B. Tsybakov, Simultaneous analysis of Lasso and Dantzig selector, Ann. Statist. 37(4), 1705–1732, 2009. arXiv:0801.1095v3: https://arxiv.org/abs/0801.1095 ; doi:10.1214/08-AOS620
  • E. Candès, T. Tao, The Dantzig selector: statistical estimation when p is much larger than n, Ann. Statist. 35(6), 2313–2351, 2007. https://doi.org/10.1214/009053606000001523
  • R. Tibshirani, Regression shrinkage and selection via the lasso, J. R. Stat. Soc. B 58(1), 267–288, 1996. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.2517-6161.1996.tb02080.x
  • F. Bunea, A. B. Tsybakov, M. H. Wegkamp, Sparsity oracle inequalities for the Lasso, Electron. J. Stat. 1, 169–194, 2007. https://doi.org/10.1214/07-EJS008
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