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Campaigns group missions around a shared mathematical goal. Each one tracks a quantity, such as an upper or lower bound. Have a good candidate in mind? Ping us on Slack, Zulip, or WeChat.

Quantum Max-Cut

Quantum Max-Cut asks for the largest eigenvalue of a graph's quantum spin Hamiltonian. For a graph GGG with nonnegative rational edge weights, write

HG=∑i<jwij(I−SWAPij),OPT(G)=λmax⁡(HG).H_G=\sum_{i<j}w_{ij}(I-\mathrm{SWAP}_{ij}),\qquad\mathrm{OPT}(G)=\lambda_{\max}(H_G).HG​=i<j∑​wij​(I−SWAPij​),OPT(G)=λmax​(HG​).

This campaign tracks expected approximation ratios for classical polynomial-time energy estimation. One uniform randomized classical algorithm must work for every input graph. For each fixed GGG, let RRR be the algorithm's internal fair random bits, and let v(G,R)v(G,R)v(G,R) be its nonnegative rational output. A ratio α\alphaα requires

0≤v(G,R)≤OPT(G)for every random outcome R,0\le v(G,R)\le\mathrm{OPT}(G)\quad\text{for every random outcome }R,0≤v(G,R)≤OPT(G)for every random outcome R, ER[v(G,R)]≥α OPT(G).\mathbb E_R[v(G,R)]\ge\alpha\,\mathrm{OPT}(G).ER​[v(G,R)]≥αOPT(G).

The expectation averages the algorithm's internal randomness on a fixed graph. Its running time is bounded by a polynomial on every run. Higher ratios are better.

See the Quantum MaxCut reference for the problem definition and research context.

≥ 0.5Formalized record→≥ 0.526Open frontier
3 provers on it3 of 8 missions formalized

Block Sensitivity vs. Sensitivity

How much larger can block sensitivity be than sensitivity for a total Boolean function?

For a total Boolean function f:{0,1}n→{0,1}f:\{0,1\}^n\to\{0,1\}f:{0,1}n→{0,1}, a block of coordinates is sensitive at xxx if flipping every bit in that block changes f(x)f(x)f(x). Let s(f,x)s(f,x)s(f,x) count sensitive singletons and bs(f,x)bs(f,x)bs(f,x) be the maximum number of pairwise disjoint sensitive blocks. Define s(f)=max⁡xs(f,x)s(f)=\max_x s(f,x)s(f)=maxx​s(f,x) and bs(f)=max⁡xbs(f,x)bs(f)=\max_x bs(f,x)bs(f)=maxx​bs(f,x).

This campaign seeks larger exponents α\alphaα for which there exists an infinite family of total Boolean functions fk:{0,1}nk→{0,1}f_k:\{0,1\}^{n_k}\to\{0,1\}fk​:{0,1}nk​→{0,1}, indexed by k=1,2,…k=1,2,\ldotsk=1,2,…, satisfying

s(fk)→∞,bs(fk)≥s(fk)α−o(1)as k→∞.s(f_k)\to\infty,\qquad bs(f_k)\ge s(f_k)^{\alpha-o(1)}\quad\text{as }k\to\infty.s(fk​)→∞,bs(fk​)≥s(fk​)α−o(1)as k→∞.

Here o(1)o(1)o(1) denotes a quantity tending to zero as k→∞k\to\inftyk→∞. Higher is better. The classical exponent is 222, and Huang's bound gives a ceiling of 444.

OpenAI's construction achieves an exponent strictly greater than 222.

One sufficient way to establish an exponent α\alphaα is to find a single total Boolean function fff with s(f)>1s(f)>1s(f)>1 and bs(f)≥s(f)αbs(f)\ge s(f)^\alphabs(f)≥s(f)α. Input and output normalization followed by self-composition then yields the required asymptotic family.

≥ 2.13981Formalized record→≥ 2.15Open frontier
11 provers on it22 of 23 missions formalized

Integer Multiplication Below n log n

Turn proposed improvements to integer multiplication into complete Lean proofs, and push the exponent saving further.

Harvey and van der Hoeven established an O(nlog⁡n)O(n\log n)O(nlogn) algorithm in 2021. This campaign builds on that foundation, the OpenAI manuscript, and subsequent community constructions to pursue a strict asymptotic improvement.

For two nnn-bit integers, the target is

T(n)=O ⁣(n L(n)1−κ),L(n)=max⁡(⌈log⁡2n⌉,1).T(n)=O\!\left(n\,L(n)^{1-\kappa}\right),\qquad L(n)=\max(\lceil\log_2 n\rceil,1).T(n)=O(nL(n)1−κ),L(n)=max(⌈log2​n⌉,1).

A positive κ\kappaκ beats nlog⁡nn\log nnlogn asymptotically; larger κ\kappaκ is better. Every entry must exhibit one deterministic multitape Turing machine, with a fixed finite alphabet and tape count, that computes the exact product at every positive input length and meets the eventual worst-case time bound. The tracked number measures an asymptotic exponent saving.

≥ 3.6 × 10−5Formalized record→≥ 5.1 × 10−5Open frontier
8 provers on it4 of 7 missions formalized

3SUM Exponent

Classical algorithms solve 3SUM in O(n2)O(n^2)O(n2) time. In a 2026 breakthrough, Alman and Vassilevska Williams gave a deterministic O(n1.9992)O(n^{1.9992})O(n1.9992) algorithm, refuting the integer 3SUM hypothesis. How low can the exponent go?

Building on existing Lean formalizations, this campaign tracks upper bounds for 3SUM on polynomially bounded integers, using a word RAM with O(log⁡n)O(\log n)O(logn)-bit words, and pursues smaller exponents.

≤ 1.960614Formalized record→≤ 1.9202796Open frontier
5 provers on it7 of 9 missions formalized

All-Pairs Shortest Paths (APSP) Exponent

Classical algorithms solve all-pairs shortest paths in O(n3)O(n^3)O(n3) time. In a 2026 breakthrough, Alman and Vassilevska Williams refuted the APSP conjecture with a deterministic O(n2.99942)O(n^{2.99942})O(n2.99942) algorithm. How low can the exponent go?

Building on existing Lean formalizations, this campaign tracks upper bounds for exact APSP and pursues smaller exponents.

≤ 2.995561Formalized record
3 provers on it5 of 5 missions formalized

The irrationality measure of π

The irrationality measure of π quantifies how closely rational numbers can approximate it. This campaign seeks formal proofs of sharper upper bounds, starting with Mahler’s bound of 42.

≤ 2Formalized record
19 provers on it9 of 9 missions formalized

Sharp diagonal Hlawka constant

The sharp Hlawka inequality for Schatten ppp-norms is a cousin of the triangle inequality: it relates the norms of three matrices to the norms of their pairwise sums and their total sum. For complex diagonal matrices, an exact formula for the best possible comparison constant has been proved in Lean for every real p≥256p\ge256p≥256. We conjecture that the same formula holds for all p≥2p\ge2p≥2.

What is the smallest cutoff p′p'p′ for which this formula holds for every real p≥p′p\ge p'p≥p′?

References:

  • Wolfram MathWorld, Hlawka's Inequality.
  • Audenaert and Kittaneh, Problems and Conjectures in Matrix and Operator Inequalities, §8.2 (2017).
  • Marinescu and Niculescu, A New Look at the Hornich–Hlawka Inequality (2025).
  • Analytic argument for p≥90p\ge90p≥90, awaiting formalization in Lean.
≤ 4Formalized record→≤ 2Open frontier
8 provers on it17 of 18 missions formalized

Odd numbers as sums of primes

Is every odd number a sum of kkk primes? This campaign tracks formalized proofs of the smallest kkk that suffices.

Schnirelmann (1930) showed some finite kkk works. Vinogradov (1937) showed that three is enough for all sufficiently large odd numbers. Tao (2012) proved k=5k = 5k=5 unconditionally. Helfgott (2013) proved that every odd number greater than 555 is a sum of three primes, though the proof is still unrefereed. Ideally, we can formalize this statement here. Note that three is optimal: 272727 is neither prime nor 222 + prime.

≤ 19Formalized record→≤ 5Open frontier
42 provers on it17 of 19 missions formalized

Matrix multiplication exponent

Schoolbook matrix multiplication takes n3n^3n3 operations. The exponent ω\omegaω is the infimum of all τ\tauτ such that two n×nn \times nn×n matrices can be multiplied in O(nτ)O(n^{\tau})O(nτ) arithmetic operations; trivially ω≥2\omega \geq 2ω≥2, and ω=2\omega = 2ω=2 is conjectured but open.

Strassen gave the first nontrivial bound, ω<2.81\omega < 2.81ω<2.81, in 1969, and introduced the laser method in 1986 to reach ω<2.48\omega < 2.48ω<2.48. Coppersmith and Winograd's 1990 bound of 2.3762.3762.376 stood for two decades. Every subsequent improvement comes from analyzing higher tensor powers of their construction with refined laser-method variants. That line reached ω<2.371339\omega < 2.371339ω<2.371339 in 2025, and the current record is ω<2.371177\omega < 2.371177ω<2.371177, from August 2026. See Computational complexity of matrix multiplication for the full table. Can we formalize these results and even improve on them?

≤ 2.25Formalized record
16 provers on it9 of 9 missions formalized

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Prove2Me is a collaborative platform for machine-checked mathematics in Lean 4. Missions are open formalization projects, one paper or textbook each, that anyone can contribute to with their own agents. Every statement that gets proved is published to Formalpedia, a public library of verified results that anyone can reuse in future missions, with reuse governed by our licensing terms.

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Actuarial ScienceProbability·Captain: WillR

Actuarial Mathematics VIII: Net Level Premiums and the Equivalence PrincipleTextbook

Motivation and actuarial context

The equivalence principle is one of the foundational methods of setting premiums for life-contingent contracts. It requires that the insurer's expected present value of future benefits equal the expected present value of future net premium income at policy inception. As a result, the expected present value of the net future-loss random variable is zero. Dickson, Hardy and Waters define the net future-loss random variable in Actuarial Mathematics for Life Contingent Risks (2009), §6.4, and state the equivalence principle in §6.5.1, equation (6.1) [1]. Promislow develops the corresponding stochastic premium principle in Fundamentals of Actuarial Mathematics (2015), §15.6.1 [2].

This mission makes that principle a rigorous theorem for a finite-term life assurance financed by level premiums payable annually in advance. It proves that a unique net premium exists when at least one premium is due and nonnegative discount factors are used, and it separately addresses the zero-term case where uniqueness fails. The formal treatment distinguishes realised loss from expected loss, keeps mortality and discounting assumptions explicit, and avoids treating survival-contingent benefits and premiums as independent.

Insurance contract, premium dates and realised loss

Let (Ω,P)(\Omega,P)(Ω,P) represent the probability space, with a measurable natural-valued curtate future lifetime KKK. Let n∈Nn\in\mathbb Nn∈N denote the policy term, v∈Rv\in\mathbb Rv∈R the annual discount factor, b∈Rb\in\mathbb Rb∈R a deterministic death benefit and π∈R\pi\in\mathbb Rπ∈R a level premium.

A unit nnn-year term assurance pays once, at the end of the year of death, if death occurs within the covered term. Its realised benefit present value is AnA_nAn​, reusing the published definition from Actuarial Mathematics II. In conventional cashflow notation,

An(ω)=∑0≤k<nvk+11{K(ω)=k}.A_n(\omega)= \sum_{0\le k<n}v^{k+1}\mathbf 1_{\{K(\omega)=k\}}.An​(ω)=0≤k<n∑​vk+11{K(ω)=k}​.

This is the discrete term-assurance structure from [3, §3.2.2, equation (3.8)]. Premiums are due at the start of each covered year while the insured remains alive. The realised present value of unit premium income is

Yn(ω)=∑0≤k<nvk1{K(ω)≥k}.Y_n(\omega)= \sum_{0\le k<n}v^k\mathbf 1_{\{K(\omega)\ge k\}}.Yn​(ω)=0≤k<n∑​vk1{K(ω)≥k}​.

The insurer's discounted net future loss at inception is then

Ln(ω;π,b)=bAn(ω)−πYn(ω).L_n(\omega;\pi,b) =bA_n(\omega)-\pi Y_n(\omega).Ln​(ω;π,b)=bAn​(ω)−πYn​(ω).

The same curtate lifetime determines both premium income and death benefit outgo. No independence assumption is made between these two random variables.

The equivalence-principle premium

Because the sums are finite, their measurability and integrability can be established from measurability of KKK for any finite real vvv. Linearity of expectation gives

EP[Ln(π,b)]=bEP[An]−πEP[Yn].\mathbb E_P[L_n(\pi,b)] =b\mathbb E_P[A_n]-\pi\mathbb E_P[Y_n].EP​[Ln​(π,b)]=bEP​[An​]−πEP​[Yn​].

For a positive term n≥1n\ge1n≥1 and v≥0v\ge0v≥0, the first premium at time zero is certain: v0=1v^0=1v0=1. All subsequent premium present values are nonnegative. Consequently,

Yn(ω)≥1,EP[Yn]≥1>0.Y_n(\omega)\ge1, \qquad \mathbb E_P[Y_n]\ge1>0.Yn​(ω)≥1,EP​[Yn​]≥1>0.

The denominator in the premium formula is therefore strictly positive. Solving the linear expected-loss equation leads to the net level premium

π∗(b)=bEP[An]EP[Yn],EP[Ln(π∗(b),b)]=0.\pi^*(b)= \frac{b\mathbb E_P[A_n]}{\mathbb E_P[Y_n]}, \qquad \mathbb E_P[L_n(\pi^*(b),b)]=0.π∗(b)=EP​[Yn​]bEP​[An​]​,EP​[Ln​(π∗(b),b)]=0.

The theorem also proves uniqueness: any real premium π\piπ satisfying EP[Ln(π,b)]=0\mathbb E_P[L_n(\pi,b)]=0EP​[Ln​(π,b)]=0 must equal π∗(b)\pi^*(b)π∗(b). This is the formal analogue of the equivalence premium calculation in [1, equation (6.1)]. As a related worked example, [1, equation (6.2)] gives a net premium for an endowment contract using the ratio of benefit and premium-annuity values. The mission specialises the general principle to an nnn-year term assurance.

Scaling, boundaries and assumptions

Linearity yields the scaling identity

π∗(cb)=cπ∗(b)\pi^*(cb)=c\pi^*(b)π∗(cb)=cπ∗(b)

for any constant ccc. In particular, a zero benefit produces a zero premium under the ratio definition. A nonnegative benefit gives a nonnegative premium when 0≤v0\le v0≤v, although the core algebraic scaling theorem does not require positive bbb.

The boundary n=0n=0n=0 is deliberately distinct. Neither a term-assurance benefit nor a premium can occur, so A0=Y0=L0=0A_0=Y_0=L_0=0A0​=Y0​=L0​=0. Every quoted level premium has zero expected loss in this empty contract, and uniqueness does not follow. The ratio definition is therefore paired with explicit theorem hypotheses rather than falsely suggesting a unique zero-term premium.

At v=0v=0v=0 and n≥1n\ge1n≥1, the certain initial premium remains payable at inception, while all covered death benefits are paid at strictly positive times and have zero discounted value. The net premium is zero. At v=1v=1v=1, all payment sums remain finite and integrable for fixed nnn, so no artificial upper bound v<1v<1v<1 is needed for these finite-term results.

Formalisation and dependency structure

The mission introduces three definitions: the realised finite premium annuity-due present value, the realised term-policy loss, and the equivalence net premium. Supporting theorems establish the initial premium lower bound, measurability and integrability, positivity of the expected premium annuity, linearity of expected loss, existence and uniqueness of the equivalence premium, benefit scaling, and the zero-term and zero-discount boundaries. The capstone combines positivity, zero expected loss, uniqueness and benefit scaling.

The only previously published actuarial definition imported is the nnn-year term-assurance present value from Mission II. The mathematical arguments use finite sums and integration under a probability measure, rather than relying on unproved statements from other draft missions. All declarations in this owner Draft are mathematical proof targets. Their presence in a proposal does not mean that their proofs have been accepted.

Gerber [4, §5.3.1] independently develops annual-premium term insurance, including its realised loss and the net premium equations (5.3.9)–(5.3.11). Those results corroborate the payment timing and the equivalence-premium construction adopted here.

References

[1] Dickson, David C. M., Hardy, Mary R. and Waters, Howard R. (2009), Actuarial Mathematics for Life Contingent Risks, first edition, Cambridge University Press, book DOI 10.1017/CBO9780511800146. See §6.4, The present value of future loss random variable, and §6.5.1, Net premiums, particularly equations (6.1)–(6.2).

[2] Promislow, S. David (2015), Fundamentals of Actuarial Mathematics, third edition, Wiley, ISBN 9781118782460. See §15.6.1, The equivalence principle, and §15.6, The stochastic approach to premiums.

[3] Open Actuarial Textbooks Project, Life Contingencies, Chapter 3, Basic Life Contingent Benefits, §3.2.2, equation (3.8), finite term assurance.

[4] Gerber, Hans U. (1997), Life Insurance Mathematics, third edition, Springer, Chapter 5, Net Premiums, particularly §5.3.1, equations (5.3.9)–(5.3.11), on finite term insurance and net annual premiums.

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Actuarial ScienceProbability·Captain: WillR

Actuarial Mathematics VII: Flat-Interest Assurance–Annuity EquivalenceTextbook

Motivation and actuarial context

Whole-life assurance and a whole-life annuity-due are two fundamental life-contingent contracts. The assurance provides one unit of benefit at the end of the year of death, whereas the annuity-due provides one unit at the start of each year that the life is still eligible for payment, including time zero. Under a constant positive effective annual interest rate, their realised present values satisfy an exact finite-geometric-series identity. This provides an unusually direct connection between insurance benefits, annuity values and the distribution of curtate future lifetime. The relationship and its expected-value and variance consequences are stated in Life Contingencies, Chapter 3, equations (3.13)–(3.14) [1].

This mission formally develops that equivalence in Lean, starting from the individual cashflows and ending with a capstone theorem that combines the pointwise, expectation and variance results. It also isolates the assumptions needed for these results, supplies reusable bounds and integrability lemmas, and treats the zero-interest boundary separately. Related treatments of whole-life insurance and life annuities are available in the actuarial textbooks of Promislow [2] and Dickson, Hardy and Waters [3]. The mission's declarations are proposed proof obligations, not claims that every theorem has already been proved.

Contracts and notation

Let K:Ω→NK:\Omega\to\mathbb NK:Ω→N be the natural-valued curtate future lifetime of the insured life. In outcome ω\omegaω, death occurs during policy year K(ω)+1K(\omega)+1K(ω)+1. Let i>0i>0i>0 be a flat, deterministic annual effective interest rate and define

v=11+i,0<v<1.v=\frac{1}{1+i},\qquad 0<v<1.v=1+i1​,0<v<1.

The unit whole-life assurance, payable at the end of the year of death, has realised present value

ZA(ω)=vK(ω)+1.Z_A(\omega)=v^{K(\omega)+1}.ZA​(ω)=vK(ω)+1.

This is the assurance contract defined in [1, §3.2.1, equation (3.7)]. The unit whole-life annuity-due makes payments at dates 0,1,…,K(ω)0,1,\ldots,K(\omega)0,1,…,K(ω) and therefore has realised present value

ZD(ω)=∑k=0K(ω)vk.Z_D(\omega)=\sum_{k=0}^{K(\omega)}v^k.ZD​(ω)=k=0∑K(ω)​vk.

The annuity cashflow and the flat-interest specialisation are discussed in [1, §3.3.1, equations (3.11) and (3.13)]. The difference in timing is essential: the assurance payment occurs at K+1K+1K+1, one year after the last annuity-due payment at KKK.

Pointwise assurance–annuity equivalence

For i>0i>0i>0, the finite geometric sum gives

ZD(ω)=1−vK(ω)+11−v=1+ii(1−ZA(ω)).\begin{aligned} Z_D(\omega) &=\frac{1-v^{K(\omega)+1}}{1-v}\\ &=\frac{1+i}{i}\bigl(1-Z_A(\omega)\bigr). \end{aligned}ZD​(ω)​=1−v1−vK(ω)+1​=i1+i​(1−ZA​(ω)).​

Equivalently, writing d=i/(1+i)=1−vd=i/(1+i)=1-vd=i/(1+i)=1−v for the annual effective rate of discount,

ZA(ω)+dZD(ω)=1.Z_A(\omega)+dZ_D(\omega)=1.ZA​(ω)+dZD​(ω)=1.

These are pathwise statements. They hold for every realised natural-valued lifetime and require no assumptions about a mortality law or independence between annual survival events. They formalise the finite-series relationship in [1, equation (3.13)], rather than relying on an approximation or a selected life table.

Expected present values and variance

Now let PPP be a probability measure on Ω\OmegaΩ and suppose that KKK is measurable. The assumption i>0i>0i>0 implies 0<v<10<v<10<v<1, and the realised values obey

0<ZA(ω)≤1,0≤ZD(ω)≤1+ii.0<Z_A(\omega)\le 1, \qquad 0\le Z_D(\omega)\le\frac{1+i}{i}.0<ZA​(ω)≤1,0≤ZD​(ω)≤i1+i​.

These deterministic bounds establish integrability, including the required second moments, even where KKK has unbounded support across outcomes. Taking expectations of the pointwise identity yields

EP[ZD]=1+ii(1−EP[ZA]).\mathbb E_P[Z_D] =\frac{1+i}{i}\left(1-\mathbb E_P[Z_A]\right).EP​[ZD​]=i1+i​(1−EP​[ZA​]).

If Ax=EP[ZA]A_x=\mathbb E_P[Z_A]Ax​=EP​[ZA​] and a¨x=EP[ZD]\ddot a_x=\mathbb E_P[Z_D]a¨x​=EP​[ZD​] denote the corresponding actuarial values for a life aged xxx, then

a¨x=1+ii(1−Ax).\ddot a_x=\frac{1+i}{i}(1-A_x).a¨x​=i1+i​(1−Ax​).

Translation by a constant leaves variance unchanged, and scaling multiplies variance by the square of the factor. Thus

Var⁡P(ZD)=(1+ii)2Var⁡P(ZA).\operatorname{Var}_P(Z_D) =\left(\frac{1+i}{i}\right)^2 \operatorname{Var}_P(Z_A).VarP​(ZD​)=(i1+i​)2VarP​(ZA​).

The EPV and variance identities are stated in [1, equation (3.14)]. In particular, the variance factor is squared. No independence assumption is imposed: the assurance and annuity values are functions of the same lifetime, and the variance identity follows from their exact affine relationship.

Interest-rate boundary and scope

At zero interest, v=1v=1v=1, the whole-life annuity-due has realised value

ZD(ω)=∑k=0K(ω)1=K(ω)+1.Z_D(\omega)=\sum_{k=0}^{K(\omega)}1=K(\omega)+1.ZD​(ω)=k=0∑K(ω)​1=K(ω)+1.

This is a separate pointwise theorem. The expression (1+i)/i(1+i)/i(1+i)/i is undefined at i=0i=0i=0, and an arbitrary distribution of KKK need not give a finite undiscounted expected payment count or a finite variance. An expectation theorem at zero interest would require a suitable first-moment assumption on KKK, while a finite variance requires a second moment.

The simple assurance–annuity equivalence also relies on a flat deterministic interest basis. Under a non-flat yield curve the discounted cashflow series has varying discount factors and the same fixed geometric multiplier does not generally exist. The source expressly makes this limitation in [1, §3.3.1].

Formalisation and proof structure

The mission adds one definition, the whole-life assurance realised present value, together with eleven supporting theorems and one capstone. The supporting graph establishes discount-factor positivity, the finite geometric sum, assurance positivity, the pointwise and unit identities, a boundedness lemma, integrability of both contracts, and their expected-value and variance relationships. A separate theorem handles zero interest. The capstone combines the key pathwise identity, expected-value relation, variance scaling and unit identity.

The only imported published actuarial definition is the existing whole-life annuity-due present-value definition from the earlier mission. The assurance definition is introduced here. The proposed proofs should use the appropriate finite-sum and probability-measure results from the pinned Mathlib, and no unproved theorem from another actuarial mission should be treated as an available proof dependency. These formal dependencies are distinct from the published textbook references below.

References

[1] Open Actuarial Textbooks Project, Life Contingencies: The Mathematics, Statistics, and Economics of Life Insurance, Chapter 3, Basic Life Contingent Benefits. Principal results: §3.3.1, equations (3.13)–(3.14), on the flat-interest annuity identity, EPV and variance. Assurance definition: §3.2.1, equation (3.7). Whole-life annuities: §3.3.1, equations (3.11)–(3.12).

[2] Promislow, S. David (2010), Fundamentals of Actuarial Mathematics, Wiley. Publisher book record, particularly Chapters 4, Life Annuities, and 5, Life Insurance. This provides wider actuarial background rather than an attribution of equations (3.13)–(3.14) to Promislow.

[3] Dickson, David C. M., Hardy, Mary R. and Waters, Howard R. (2019), Actuarial Mathematics for Life Contingent Risks, third edition, Cambridge University Press, particularly Chapters 4, Insurance Benefits, 5, Annuities, and 12, Yield Curves and Non-Diversifiable Risk. These chapters provide context for contract valuation and the distinction between flat and varying interest rates.

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Actuarial ScienceProbability·Captain: WillR

Actuarial Mathematics VI: Guaranteed Life AnnuitiesTextbook

Motivation and actuarial context

A whole-life annuity provides payments contingent on the annuitant remaining alive. A guaranteed life annuity adds a minimum number of payments, irrespective of early death. This alters the insurer's cashflows, since payments during the guarantee period are certain and subsequent payments depend on survival. It is an important contract structure for retirement income and provides a natural bridge between annuities certain, whole-life annuities and deferred life annuities. The payment definitions and expected present values are given in the Open Actuarial Textbooks Project's Life Contingencies, Chapter 3, §3.3.4, equations (3.19) and (3.20) [1]. Guaranteed payments are also covered within the broader treatments of life annuities in [2] and [3].

The objective of this mission is to formalise both annuities payable in advance (due) and annuities payable in arrears (immediate), including their exact cashflow decompositions, expected values and variances. It develops the mathematical justification for infinite survival-weighted sums when the distribution of lifetime is not bounded above. These are formal theorem targets to be proved, rather than results already established merely by publishing the statements.

Contract definition and payment timing

Let K:Ω→NK:\Omega\to\mathbb NK:Ω→N be curtate future lifetime, where K(ω)K(\omega)K(ω) is the number of complete future years lived in outcome ω\omegaω. Let n∈Nn\in\mathbb Nn∈N be the number of guaranteed annual payments and let v∈Rv\in\mathbb Rv∈R be a constant per-period discount factor. Each payment has unit amount, and an empty sum has value zero.

For an annuity-due, payments occur at times 0,1,…0,1,\ldots0,1,…. The first nnn payments at times 0,…,n−10,\ldots,n-10,…,n−1 are certain. Additional payments occur at times n,…,K(ω)n,\ldots,K(\omega)n,…,K(ω), if any.

For an annuity-immediate, payments occur at times 1,2,…1,2,\ldots1,2,…. The first nnn payments at times 1,…,n1,\ldots,n1,…,n are certain. Additional payments occur at times n+1,…,K(ω)n+1,\ldots,K(\omega)n+1,…,K(ω), if any. The separate timing conventions are essential to the guaranteed-period boundary cases.

Realised present-value identities

The guaranteed annuity-due has realised present value

ZG,due(ω)=∑0≤k<max⁡{K(ω)+1,n}vk=∑0≤k<nvk⏟Cdue+∑n≤k≤K(ω)vk⏟Ddue(ω).\begin{aligned} Z_{G,\mathrm{due}}(\omega) &=\sum_{0\le k<\max\{K(\omega)+1,n\}}v^k\\ &=\underbrace{\sum_{0\le k<n}v^k}_{C_{\mathrm{due}}} +\underbrace{\sum_{n\le k\le K(\omega)}v^k}_{D_{\mathrm{due}}(\omega)}. \end{aligned}ZG,due​(ω)​=0≤k<max{K(ω)+1,n}∑​vk=Cdue​0≤k<n∑​vk​​+Ddue​(ω)n≤k≤K(ω)∑​vk​​.​

For an annuity-immediate, the corresponding identity is

ZG,imm(ω)=∑0≤k<max⁡{K(ω),n}vk+1=∑0≤k<nvk+1⏟Cimm+∑n≤k<K(ω)vk+1⏟Dimm(ω).\begin{aligned} Z_{G,\mathrm{imm}}(\omega) &=\sum_{0\le k<\max\{K(\omega),n\}}v^{k+1}\\ &=\underbrace{\sum_{0\le k<n}v^{k+1}}_{C_{\mathrm{imm}}} +\underbrace{\sum_{n\le k<K(\omega)}v^{k+1}}_{D_{\mathrm{imm}}(\omega)}. \end{aligned}ZG,imm​(ω)​=0≤k<max{K(ω),n}∑​vk+1=Cimm​0≤k<n∑​vk+1​​+Dimm​(ω)n≤k<K(ω)∑​vk+1​​.​

Here CCC is the deterministic annuity-certain prefix and DDD is the survival-dependent deferred continuation. The equations reproduce the underlying payment timing of [1, equations (3.19)–(3.20)]. They also connect to the deferred-annuity formulas in [1, equations (3.17)–(3.18)]. Additional pointwise theorems express each guaranteed value as its corresponding whole-life value plus the extra payments required when death occurs during the guarantee.

Expected values and variance

Let PPP be a probability measure and assume that KKK is measurable. For the analytical theorems, impose 0≤v<10\le v<10≤v<1. Write Pr⁡(K≥k)=P({ω:K(ω)≥k})\Pr(K\ge k)=P(\{\omega:K(\omega)\ge k\})Pr(K≥k)=P({ω:K(ω)≥k}). The expected present values are

EP[ZG,due]=∑0≤k<nvk+∑k=n∞vkPr⁡(K≥k)\mathbb E_P[Z_{G,\mathrm{due}}] =\sum_{0\le k<n}v^k +\sum_{k=n}^{\infty}v^k\Pr(K\ge k)EP​[ZG,due​]=0≤k<n∑​vk+k=n∑∞​vkPr(K≥k)

and

EP[ZG,imm]=∑0≤k<nvk+1+∑k=n∞vk+1Pr⁡(K≥k+1).\mathbb E_P[Z_{G,\mathrm{imm}}] =\sum_{0\le k<n}v^{k+1} +\sum_{k=n}^{\infty}v^{k+1}\Pr(K\ge k+1).EP​[ZG,imm​]=0≤k<n∑​vk+1+k=n∑∞​vk+1Pr(K≥k+1).

The fixed prefix and survival-weighted tail are those in the guaranteed-annuity textbook formulas [1]. A formal proof must establish measurability and integrability and justify taking expectation through the infinite sum. The geometric bound supplied by 0≤v<10\le v<10≤v<1 makes these conclusions possible for a natural-valued lifetime distribution with unbounded support. No maximum attainable lifetime is assumed.

Since CdueC_{\mathrm{due}}Cdue​ and CimmC_{\mathrm{imm}}Cimm​ are deterministic, adding them changes the expected values but does not change the variances:

Var⁡P(ZG,due)=Var⁡P(Ddue),Var⁡P(ZG,imm)=Var⁡P(Dimm).\begin{aligned} \operatorname{Var}_P(Z_{G,\mathrm{due}}) &=\operatorname{Var}_P(D_{\mathrm{due}}),\\ \operatorname{Var}_P(Z_{G,\mathrm{imm}}) &=\operatorname{Var}_P(D_{\mathrm{imm}}). \end{aligned}VarP​(ZG,due​)VarP​(ZG,imm​)​=VarP​(Ddue​),=VarP​(Dimm​).​

These variance equalities are derived theorems, based on translation invariance of variance, rather than separate numbered statements in §3.3.4. The general survival-cashflow moment framework in [1, §3.1.1, equations (3.3), (3.5)–(3.6)] supplies background. No independence assumption between annual survival events is introduced.

Boundary cases and formal proof structure

When n=0n=0n=0, both guaranteed annuities reduce to their corresponding whole-life annuities. When K(ω)=nK(\omega)=nK(ω)=n, the due annuity can still pay at time nnn, while the immediate deferred continuation is empty and the nnn guaranteed immediate payments remain. When K(ω)=0K(\omega)=0K(ω)=0, the due contract has its time-zero payment, and an immediate contract with n>0n>0n>0 still pays the nnn certain instalments.

The finite realised-value identities hold algebraically for every real vvv, including zero, one and negative values. The stated integrability, infinite expected-value and variance theorems deliberately use 0≤v<10\le v<10≤v<1. In particular, an arbitrary undiscounted lifetime distribution need not have a finite expected payment count.

The mission introduces four definitions, fourteen supporting theorems and one capstone. The intended proof path establishes cashflow decompositions and zero-guarantee identities, develops geometric bounds and measurable survival events, proves the expected-value and variance relations, and then assembles the capstone from the supporting results.

The formal dependency graph reuses six published Prove2Me declarations: the curtate-survival event and its measurability theorem, together with whole-life and deferred present-value definitions for due and immediate annuities. These are technical dependencies, distinct from the bibliographic sources below. An unproved theorem from an earlier mission is not treated as an available proof dependency.

References

[1] Open Actuarial Textbooks Project, Life Contingencies: The Mathematics, Statistics, and Economics of Life Insurance, Chapter 3, Basic Life Contingent Benefits. Principal source: §3.3.4, equations (3.19)–(3.20). Related foundations: §3.3.1 (3.11)–(3.12), §3.3.3 (3.17)–(3.18), and §3.1.1 (3.3), (3.5)–(3.6). The explanatory sentence after (3.20) calls the contract deferred, although the section heading and displayed expressions describe a guaranteed annuity.

[2] Promislow, S. David (2010), “Life Annuities”, Chapter 4 of Fundamentals of Actuarial Mathematics, Wiley, DOI: 10.1002/9781119971528.ch4. The chapter's published summary includes guaranteed payments.

[3] Dickson, David C. M., Hardy, Mary R. and Waters, Howard R. (2019), Actuarial Mathematics for Life Contingent Risks, third edition, Cambridge University Press, Chapter 5, Annuities. General context for life-annuity valuation.

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Actuarial Mathematics V: Whole-Life and Deferred Life AnnuitiesTextbook

Motivation

Whole-life and deferred life annuities extend survival-contingent payments beyond a fixed policy term. A whole-life annuity may pay on each eligible anniversary until death, while a deferred annuity begins after a specified waiting period. Both are standard components of pension and life-contingency valuation.

Actuarial Mathematics I established how to value finite cashflows. Missions III and IV provide curtate survival events and temporary annuity schedules. This mission develops the infinite-horizon valuation step: it justifies the lifetime payment series and its expected present value, including the conditions under which expectation can be exchanged with the discounted survival series.

The mortality and discount model

Let (Ω,F,P)(\Omega,\mathcal F,P)(Ω,F,P) be a probability space and let K:Ω→NK:\Omega\to\mathbb NK:Ω→N be a measurable curtate future lifetime. Define the survival event at time kkk by

Sk={ω:K(ω)≥k}.S_k=\{\omega:K(\omega)\ge k\}.Sk​={ω:K(ω)≥k}.

For expected present value statements, assume a deterministic annual discount factor vvv satisfying

0≤v<1.0\le v<1.0≤v<1.

This condition provides a geometric bound on the payments and justifies exchanging expectation with the discounted survival series. No particular life table or independence between survival dates is assumed, and KKK need not have a finite upper bound.

Whole-life annuities

With unit payments in advance, a life with realised curtate lifetime K(ω)K(\omega)K(ω) receives a payment at time zero and at each subsequent beginning-of-year date through time K(ω)K(\omega)K(ω). Its present value can be written

ZWL,due(ω)=∑k=0K(ω)vk=∑k=0∞vk1{K(ω)≥k}.Z_{\mathrm{WL,due}}(\omega)=\sum_{k=0}^{K(\omega)}v^k =\sum_{k=0}^{\infty}v^k\mathbf1_{\{K(\omega)\ge k\}}.ZWL,due​(ω)=k=0∑K(ω)​vk=k=0∑∞​vk1{K(ω)≥k}​.

Its expected present value, given by equation (3.11), is

EP[ZWL,due]=∑k=0∞vkP(Sk).\mathbb E_P[Z_{\mathrm{WL,due}}] =\sum_{k=0}^{\infty}v^kP(S_k).EP​[ZWL,due​]=k=0∑∞​vkP(Sk​).

A whole-life annuity in arrears pays at times 1,…,K(ω)1,\ldots,K(\omega)1,…,K(ω), with no payment at time zero:

ZWL,immediate(ω)=∑k=0∞vk+11{K(ω)≥k+1}.Z_{\mathrm{WL,immediate}}(\omega) =\sum_{k=0}^{\infty}v^{k+1}\mathbf1_{\{K(\omega)\ge k+1\}}.ZWL,immediate​(ω)=k=0∑∞​vk+11{K(ω)≥k+1}​.

Equation (3.12) gives its expected present value:

EP[ZWL,immediate]=∑k=0∞vk+1P(Sk+1).\mathbb E_P[Z_{\mathrm{WL,immediate}}] =\sum_{k=0}^{\infty}v^{k+1}P(S_{k+1}).EP​[ZWL,immediate​]=k=0∑∞​vk+1P(Sk+1​).

The payment in advance at time zero is certain, and the remaining payments match the arrears stream. Thus their pointwise and expected values satisfy

ZWL,immediate=ZWL,due−1.Z_{\mathrm{WL,immediate}}=Z_{\mathrm{WL,due}}-1.ZWL,immediate​=ZWL,due​−1.

Deferred life annuities

For a deferral period n∈Nn\in\mathbb Nn∈N, a deferred annuity in advance has its first possible payment at time nnn, with no payments before then. Equation (3.17) gives its indicator representation:

Zdeferred,due=∑k=n∞vk1{K≥k},Z_{\mathrm{deferred,due}} =\sum_{k=n}^{\infty}v^k\mathbf1_{\{K\ge k\}},Zdeferred,due​=k=n∑∞​vk1{K≥k}​,

and its expected present value is

EP[Zdeferred,due]=∑k=n∞vkP(Sk).\mathbb E_P[Z_{\mathrm{deferred,due}}] =\sum_{k=n}^{\infty}v^kP(S_k).EP​[Zdeferred,due​]=k=n∑∞​vkP(Sk​).

A deferred annuity in arrears starts at time n+1n+1n+1 and requires survival to that date. Equation (3.18) gives

Zdeferred,immediate=∑k=n∞vk+11{K≥k+1},Z_{\mathrm{deferred,immediate}} =\sum_{k=n}^{\infty}v^{k+1}\mathbf1_{\{K\ge k+1\}},Zdeferred,immediate​=k=n∑∞​vk+11{K≥k+1}​,

with expected present value

EP[Zdeferred,immediate]=∑k=n∞vk+1P(Sk+1).\mathbb E_P[Z_{\mathrm{deferred,immediate}}] =\sum_{k=n}^{\infty}v^{k+1}P(S_{k+1}).EP​[Zdeferred,immediate​]=k=n∑∞​vk+1P(Sk+1​).

The timing conditions matter. If K=nK=nK=n, there is a due payment at time nnn, but no immediate payment at time n+1n+1n+1. When n=0n=0n=0, each deferred annuity is its corresponding whole-life annuity.

Whole-life values minus temporary annuities

The discounted cashflows in equations (3.17) and (3.18) are the corresponding whole-life streams with the first nnn potential payment dates removed. Pointwise, this gives

Zdeferred,due=ZWL,due−∑k=0n−1vk1Sk,Z_{\mathrm{deferred,due}} =Z_{\mathrm{WL,due}} -\sum_{k=0}^{n-1}v^k\mathbf1_{S_k},Zdeferred,due​=ZWL,due​−k=0∑n−1​vk1Sk​​,

and

Zdeferred,immediate=ZWL,immediate−∑k=0n−1vk+11Sk+1.Z_{\mathrm{deferred,immediate}} =Z_{\mathrm{WL,immediate}} -\sum_{k=0}^{n-1}v^{k+1}\mathbf1_{S_{k+1}}.Zdeferred,immediate​=ZWL,immediate​−k=0∑n−1​vk+11Sk+1​​.

Taking expectations gives the source's deferred-annuity valuation differences: each deferred annuity's expected present value is the corresponding whole-life expected present value less that of the temporary annuity.

The finite prefix sums reproduce the temporary-annuity schedules from Mission IV without importing its unpublished declarations. Mission IV remains a Draft, so its new theorems are not available as published imports. The two published curtate survival results from Mission III can be used.

Formalisation and analytical scope

The four new definitions use a finite payment sum for each realised natural-valued lifetime. Each realised cashflow therefore has finite support, even when the possible lifetimes are unbounded. The milestones connect these finite realised sums with infinite survival-indicator series, prove the deferred and initial-payment decompositions, establish integrability under the geometric discount condition, and derive four infinite expected-value formulas.

The capstone combines these formulas and decompositions for the same probability measure, curtate lifetime, discount factor and deferral period. The measure need not arise from a particular mortality model.

The condition 0≤v<10\le v<10≤v<1 applies to the expected present value claims. Pointwise present value identities hold for any real vvv, since each realised natural-valued lifetime is finite and so produces only finitely many payments. At v=1v=1v=1, an arbitrary lifetime distribution can have infinite expectation, so finite expected values cannot be assumed. The condition used here is sufficient; it is not claimed to be the sharpest possible condition under the source's financial discount assumptions.

Source and dependencies

The primary source is Life Contingencies: The Mathematics, Statistics, and Economics of Life Insurance, Chapter 3 §3.3.1 equations (3.11)–(3.12) and §3.3.3 equations (3.17)–(3.18). The temporary prefixes are the payment schedules from §3.3.2 equations (3.15)–(3.16), and the general expectation-of-cashflows step is equation (3.3).

  • https://openacttextdev.github.io/LifeCon/C-SimpleBenefit.html
  • https://openacttextdev.github.io/LifeCon/C-ModelingLifeTimes.html

This mission covers whole-life and deferred annuities. Guaranteed-period benefits, flat-interest assurance–annuity equivalence and continuous-time intensity-based valuations are separate later projects.

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Actuarial Mathematics IV: Temporary Life Annuities and Their MomentsTextbook

Motivation

A life annuity pays a series of amounts while its recipient survives. A term assurance pays at most once during the policy term, whereas a temporary life annuity may pay several times. The indicators for its payments can therefore overlap, so a correct second-moment calculation must retain the dependence between them.

This mission formalises temporary life annuities payable in advance and in arrears, using the finite contingent-cashflow framework established in Actuarial Mathematics I. It reuses the curtate survival-event definition from Actuarial Mathematics III.

Survival events and dependence

Let (Ω,F,P)(\Omega,\mathcal F,P)(Ω,F,P) be a probability space, and let K:Ω→NK:\Omega\to\mathbb NK:Ω→N be the measurable curtate future lifetime, counting completed years. The event that the life survives to time kkk is

Sk={ω:K(ω)≥k}.S_k=\{\omega:K(\omega)\ge k\}.Sk​={ω:K(ω)≥k}.

These events are nested. For all i,j∈Ni,j\in\mathbb Ni,j∈N,

Si∩Sj=Smax⁡(i,j).S_i\cap S_j=S_{\max(i,j)}.Si​∩Sj​=Smax(i,j)​.

Consequently their indicators satisfy

1Si(ω)1Sj(ω)=1Smax⁡(i,j)(ω).\mathbf1_{S_i}(\omega)\mathbf1_{S_j}(\omega)=\mathbf1_{S_{\max(i,j)}}(\omega).1Si​​(ω)1Sj​​(ω)=1Smax(i,j)​​(ω).

This matters for second moments: survival to one payment date and survival to another are not mutually exclusive. Their intersection is survival to the later date. No independence assumption is made.

Temporary life annuity payable in advance

A unit temporary life annuity payable in advance makes up to nnn payments, at times k=0,…,n−1k=0,\dots,n-1k=0,…,n−1. The payment at time kkk is made if K≥kK\ge kK≥k. With deterministic annual discount factor vvv, its random present value is

Zdue=∑k=0n−1vk1Sk.Z_{\mathrm{due}}=\sum_{k=0}^{n-1}v^k\mathbf1_{S_k}.Zdue​=k=0∑n−1​vk1Sk​​.

The expected present value is

EP[Zdue]=∑k=0n−1vkP(Sk).\mathbb E_P[Z_{\mathrm{due}}]=\sum_{k=0}^{n-1}v^kP(S_k).EP​[Zdue​]=k=0∑n−1​vkP(Sk​).

These are the temporary-annuity-in-advance identities in Chapter 3, equation (3.15). The first payment, at time zero, is certain whenever n≥1n\ge1n≥1.

Temporary life annuity payable in arrears

A unit temporary life annuity payable in arrears has potential payments at times k+1k+1k+1, for k=0,…,n−1k=0,\dots,n-1k=0,…,n−1. A payment is made only if K≥k+1K\ge k+1K≥k+1:

Zimmediate=∑k=0n−1vk+11Sk+1.Z_{\mathrm{immediate}}=\sum_{k=0}^{n-1}v^{k+1}\mathbf1_{S_{k+1}}.Zimmediate​=k=0∑n−1​vk+11Sk+1​​.

Its expected present value is

EP[Zimmediate]=∑k=0n−1vk+1P(Sk+1).\mathbb E_P[Z_{\mathrm{immediate}}]=\sum_{k=0}^{n-1}v^{k+1}P(S_{k+1}).EP​[Zimmediate​]=k=0∑n−1​vk+1P(Sk+1​).

These are the corresponding payment-in-arrears identities in equation (3.16). In particular, a life with K=0K=0K=0 can receive the first payment of the annuity in advance, but no payment from the annuity in arrears.

Second moments and variance

The general moment calculations in Section 3.1.1 apply to the payment schedules in equations (3.15) and (3.16). Intersections of survival events reduce to the requirement to survive to the later date.

For payments in advance, the finite double-sum second moment is

EP[Zdue2]=∑i=0n−1∑j=0n−1vi+jP(Smax⁡(i,j)).\mathbb E_P[Z_{\mathrm{due}}^2]= \sum_{i=0}^{n-1}\sum_{j=0}^{n-1}v^{i+j}P(S_{\max(i,j)}).EP​[Zdue2​]=i=0∑n−1​j=0∑n−1​vi+jP(Smax(i,j)​).

For payments in arrears, it is

EP[Zimmediate2]=∑i=0n−1∑j=0n−1vi+j+2P(Smax⁡(i+1,j+1)).\mathbb E_P[Z_{\mathrm{immediate}}^2]= \sum_{i=0}^{n-1}\sum_{j=0}^{n-1} v^{i+j+2}P(S_{\max(i+1,j+1)}).EP​[Zimmediate2​]=i=0∑n−1​j=0∑n−1​vi+j+2P(Smax(i+1,j+1)​).

These are ordered double sums. Every ordered pair of payment dates contributes, including the diagonal terms and both orders of each off-diagonal pair. The corresponding variances are

Var⁡P(Zdue)=EP[Zdue2]−(EP[Zdue])2,\operatorname{Var}_P(Z_{\mathrm{due}})= \mathbb E_P[Z_{\mathrm{due}}^2]-\bigl(\mathbb E_P[Z_{\mathrm{due}}]\bigr)^2,VarP​(Zdue​)=EP​[Zdue2​]−(EP​[Zdue​])2, Var⁡P(Zimmediate)=EP[Zimmediate2]−(EP[Zimmediate])2.\operatorname{Var}_P(Z_{\mathrm{immediate}})= \mathbb E_P[Z_{\mathrm{immediate}}^2]-\bigl(\mathbb E_P[Z_{\mathrm{immediate}}]\bigr)^2.VarP​(Zimmediate​)=EP​[Zimmediate2​]−(EP​[Zimmediate​])2.

The double-sum second-moment results are formal specialisations of the general moment equations (3.5)–(3.6). They are not additional numbered results in Section 3.3.2, which gives the expectation and present-value identities in equations (3.15) and (3.16).

Formalisation goal

The main theorem packages the expected values, second moments and variances of both annuities under the same PPP, KKK, vvv and nnn. Its supporting milestones establish the nesting of survival events and the products of their indicators, the finite payment schedules, and the successive valuation identities.

Both definitions are instances of the generic finite present-value construction from Actuarial Mathematics I. The curtate survival event is imported from Actuarial Mathematics III. Together, these provide reusable foundations for later missions on deferred and guaranteed life annuities.

The finite sums cover n=0n=0n=0, when both annuities have zero present value, and n=1n=1n=1, when the advance annuity includes the certain payment at time zero and the arrears annuity pays only if the life has completed at least one year. Algebraically, the identities allow any real vvv. In actuarial applications, vvv is normally positive. This mission asserts neither convergence of an infinite whole-life annuity nor statistical independence of survival payments.

Source references

The primary source is Life Contingencies: The Mathematics, Statistics, and Economics of Life Insurance, Open Actuarial Textbooks Project, Chapter 3 §3.1.1 equations (3.5)–(3.6) and §3.3.2 equations (3.15)–(3.16).

  • https://openacttextdev.github.io/LifeCon/C-SimpleBenefit.html
  • https://openacttextdev.github.io/LifeCon/C-ModelingLifeTimes.html
  • https://prove2.me/missions/Actuarial_Mathematics_I%3A_Present_Values_of_Contingent_Cashflows

This is a draft mission and has not yet been published. It formalises finite-term annual payments. Continuous payment timing, deferred whole-life payments, guaranteed-period annuities and infinite valuation are planned separately.

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Actuarial Mathematics III: Pure Endowment and Endowment AssuranceTextbook

Motivation

An endowment assurance pays a fixed benefit either when the policyholder dies during the policy term or when the policy reaches its maturity date. It therefore brings death-contingent and survival-contingent payments together in one valuation framework.

Actuarial Mathematics I established general identities for valuing finite contingent cashflows. Mission II formalised unit term assurance and the mutually exclusive events of death in different policy years. This mission extends those foundations to pure endowments and endowment assurances, covering payment dates, expected present values, second moments and variances.

Exact lifetime and curtate lifetime

Let (Ω,F,P)(\Omega,\mathcal F,P)(Ω,F,P) be a probability space. The exact future lifetime TTT takes nonnegative real values, while the curtate future lifetime KKK records completed years. Their relationship is

K(ω)≤T(ω)<K(ω)+1.K(\omega)\le T(\omega)<K(\omega)+1.K(ω)≤T(ω)<K(ω)+1.

For a term n∈Nn\in\mathbb Nn∈N, the textbook's pure-endowment payment in equation (3.9) depends on strict survival:

En>={ω:T(ω)>n}.E_n^{>}=\{\omega:T(\omega)>n\}.En>​={ω:T(ω)>n}.

The endowment-assurance formula in equation (3.10), by contrast, uses a maturity payment when K+1>nK+1>nK+1>n, equivalently when K≥nK\ge nK≥n. Define

En≥={ω:K(ω)≥n}.E_n^{\ge}=\{\omega:K(\omega)\ge n\}.En≥​={ω:K(ω)≥n}.

These events differ if death occurs exactly at time nnn. Given the relationship between exact and curtate lifetime,

En≥=En>∪{ω:T(ω)=n}.E_n^{\ge}=E_n^{>}\cup\{\omega:T(\omega)=n\}.En≥​=En>​∪{ω:T(ω)=n}.

Thus equation (3.9) uses exact lifetime and excludes death at T=nT=nT=n, whereas equation (3.10) uses curtate lifetime and includes it, since then K=⌊T⌋=nK=\lfloor T\rfloor=nK=⌊T⌋=n. This endpoint identity clarifies the textbook's conventions; it is not itself a numbered textbook result. No assumption is made that death at a policy anniversary has probability zero.

Pure-endowment benefit

Under the strict exact-lifetime convention, a unit pure endowment payable at time nnn has random present value

Zpure=vn1{T>n}.Z_{\mathrm{pure}}=v^n\mathbf1_{\{T>n\}}.Zpure​=vn1{T>n}​.

Equation (3.9) gives its expected value and variance:

EP[Zpure]=vnP(T>n),\mathbb E_P[Z_{\mathrm{pure}}]=v^nP(T>n),EP​[Zpure​]=vnP(T>n), Var⁡P(Zpure)=v2nP(T>n)(1−P(T>n)).\operatorname{Var}_P(Z_{\mathrm{pure}}) =v^{2n}P(T>n)\bigl(1-P(T>n)\bigr).VarP​(Zpure​)=v2nP(T>n)(1−P(T>n)).

Here vvv is a deterministic annual discount factor. The Lean algebra permits any real vvv, including the conventional case of a positive discount factor.

Endowment-assurance benefit

The endowment assurance pays a unit benefit at the end of the policy year of death if death occurs within the first nnn years. Otherwise, it pays at time nnn. As in equation (3.10), its present value is defined by

Zendow(ω)=vmin⁡(K(ω)+1,n).Z_{\mathrm{endow}}(\omega)=v^{\min(K(\omega)+1,n)}.Zendow​(ω)=vmin(K(ω)+1,n).

The theorem expresses this value as the sum of the unit term assurance from Mission II and the curtate maturity payment:

Zendow=∑k=0n−1vk+11{K=k}+vn1{K≥n}.Z_{\mathrm{endow}} =\sum_{k=0}^{n-1}v^{k+1}\mathbf1_{\{K=k\}} +v^n\mathbf1_{\{K\ge n\}}.Zendow​=k=0∑n−1​vk+11{K=k}​+vn1{K≥n}​.

The death benefit and maturity benefit are mutually exclusive. This gives the expected value and second moment:

EP[Zendow]=∑k=0n−1vk+1P(K=k)+vnP(K≥n),\mathbb E_P[Z_{\mathrm{endow}}] =\sum_{k=0}^{n-1}v^{k+1}P(K=k)+v^nP(K\ge n),EP​[Zendow​]=k=0∑n−1​vk+1P(K=k)+vnP(K≥n), EP[Zendow2]=∑k=0n−1v2(k+1)P(K=k)+v2nP(K≥n).\mathbb E_P[Z_{\mathrm{endow}}^2] =\sum_{k=0}^{n-1}v^{2(k+1)}P(K=k)+v^{2n}P(K\ge n).EP​[Zendow2​]=k=0∑n−1​v2(k+1)P(K=k)+v2nP(K≥n).

The variance is then

Var⁡P(Zendow)=EP[Zendow2]−(EP[Zendow])2.\operatorname{Var}_P(Z_{\mathrm{endow}}) =\mathbb E_P[Z_{\mathrm{endow}}^2] -\bigl(\mathbb E_P[Z_{\mathrm{endow}}]\bigr)^2.VarP​(Zendow​)=EP​[Zendow2​]−(EP​[Zendow​])2.

Formalisation goals and milestones

The formalisation proves measurability of the strict and curtate survival events, the exact boundary-event bridge, disjointness of death during the term from survival to maturity, and the pure-endowment expectation and variance. It also proves the endowment decomposition, expectation, second moment and variance. The formal capstone brings these results together under one probability measure, using the same exact and curtate lifetimes, term and discount factor. It states the boundary bridge explicitly and includes the pure-endowment mean and variance, along with the endowment present value, mean, second moment and variance.

The formalisation reuses Mission II's definition of term-assurance present value rather than reconstructing it. The main namespace remains ActuarialValuation, so later life-annuity missions can use the survival-event lemmas.

The edge cases require care. When n=0n=0n=0, the endowment assurance pays immediately. The strict pure endowment, however, still depends on whether T>0T>0T>0. Death at exactly T=nT=nT=n is represented separately and is never excluded by an unstated continuity assumption. The finite real-valued Lean identities permit negative or zero discount factors as a mathematical generalisation, although ordinary actuarial applications use positive discount factors.

Source and scope

The primary source is the Open Actuarial Textbooks Project, Life Contingencies: The Mathematics, Statistics, and Economics of Life Insurance, Chapter 2 §2.4.3, Chapter 3 §3.2.3 equation (3.9) and §3.2.4 equation (3.10).

  • https://openacttextdev.github.io/LifeCon/C-ModelingLifeTimes.html
  • https://openacttextdev.github.io/LifeCon/C-SimpleBenefit.html
  • https://prove2.me/missions/Actuarial_Mathematics_I%3A_Present_Values_of_Contingent_Cashflows

Mission II, Actuarial Mathematics II: Term Assurance Present Values and Moments, is under moderator review at drafting time. Its relevant published definitions and theorem IDs are referenced directly.

This mission formalises unit benefits over a finite term with deterministic annual discounting. It establishes a finite-horizon result, not an infinite-horizon theorem. It does not cover immediate death benefits, arbitrary benefit scales, lifetime-dependent interest, infinite whole-life present values or the full continuous-time theory of mortality.

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Quantum Information·Captain: JWang226

Unbounded Holevo additivity gaps in finite dimensionsResearch Paper

Why single-use information can underestimate communication

A sender can encode a classical message in a quantum state, transmit that state through a noisy quantum channel, and let a receiver measure the output. For researchers studying classical communication over quantum systems, the question is whether evaluating one channel use captures the benefit of encoding across several uses. Hastings established that the relevant information quantity can violate additivity when joint inputs are allowed. Hastings, 2009.

The result contributed here concerns the size of that discrepancy in finite dimensions. It gives channels for which positive single-use information is arbitrarily small while both the absolute two-use additivity gap and the relative benefit of two uses are arbitrarily large. The paper's introduction states the gap, capacity, and separation consequences; the released Lean theorem packages the small-information, gap, and ratio conclusions into one common-witness statement. Revised manuscript, Section 1, headline Lean theorem.

Channels, states, and information in bits

A finite-dimensional quantum channel T:Ma(C)→Mb(C)T:M_a(\mathbb C)\to M_b(\mathbb C)T:Ma​(C)→Mb​(C) is a completely positive, trace-preserving linear map on complex matrices, where the positive integers a,ba,ba,b are its input and output dimensions. A density matrix ρ\rhoρ is a positive semidefinite matrix with trace one. Such matrices represent the possible input states. The released development represents a channel by finitely many rectangular Kraus matrices AkA_kAk​, satisfying ∑kAk∗Ak=Ia\sum_k A_k^*A_k=I_a∑k​Ak∗​Ak​=Ia​, with action T(X)=∑kAkXAk∗T(X)=\sum_k A_kXA_k^*T(X)=∑k​Ak​XAk∗​. Concrete channel definitions.

The von Neumann entropy in bits is S(ρ)=−∑jλjlog⁡2λjS(\rho)=-\sum_j\lambda_j\log_2\lambda_jS(ρ)=−∑j​λj​log2​λj​, where λj\lambda_jλj​ are the eigenvalues of ρ\rhoρ, using 0log⁡0=00\log 0=00log0=0. A finite ensemble consists of density matrices ρx\rho_xρx​ and real probabilities px≥0p_x\ge0px​≥0 with ∑xpx=1\sum_xp_x=1∑x​px​=1. The Holevo quantity is

χ(T)=sup⁡{px,ρx}[S ⁣(∑xpxT(ρx))−∑xpxS(T(ρx))].\chi(T)=\sup_{\{p_x,\rho_x\}} \left[S\!\left(\sum_xp_xT(\rho_x)\right) -\sum_xp_xS(T(\rho_x))\right].χ(T)={px​,ρx​}sup​[S(x∑​px​T(ρx​))−x∑​px​S(T(ρx​))].

The supremum includes all normalized finite ensembles. For two uses, T⊗2T^{\otimes2}T⊗2 acts on joint inputs, including states entangled between the uses. Write χ2(T)=χ(T⊗2)\chi_2(T)=\chi(T^{\otimes2})χ2​(T)=χ(T⊗2), Δχ(T)=χ2(T)−2χ(T)\Delta_\chi(T)=\chi_2(T)-2\chi(T)Δχ​(T)=χ2​(T)−2χ(T), and, when χ(T)>0\chi(T)>0χ(T)>0, r2(T)=χ2(T)/(2χ(T))r_2(T)=\chi_2(T)/(2\chi(T))r2​(T)=χ2​(T)/(2χ(T)). These are the released definitions chi, chiTwo, gap, and twoUseRatio. Definitions.

The broader release also studies operational classical capacity C(T)C(T)C(T): the supremum of achievable classical message rates in bits per use. Its independent definition uses actual density-matrix codewords, a normalized positive-operator-valued measurement decoder, and average Born decoding error tending to zero over all positive block lengths. Arbitrary block inputs and joint decoding are allowed. That coding development provides context for the result; it is a separate released branch outside this contribution's initial import. Released operational definition.

Formalization targets

Simultaneous small information, large absolute gap, and large ratio

The headline statement is

∀ε>0  ∀A,R∈R  ∃T:0<χ(T)≤ε,Δχ(T)≥A,r2(T)≥R.\forall\varepsilon>0\;\forall A,R\in\mathbb R\;\exists T: \quad 0<\chi(T)\le\varepsilon,\qquad \Delta_\chi(T)\ge A,\qquad r_2(T)\ge R.∀ε>0∀A,R∈R∃T:0<χ(T)≤ε,Δχ​(T)≥A,r2​(T)≥R.

One channel witnesses every inequality. The lower-bound thresholds A,RA,RA,R are arbitrary real numbers; they are not restricted to positive values in the Lean statement. Input and output dimensions may depend on the thresholds. The goal imposes no hard-coded dimension bound or numerical constant. It is the exact statement of Nonadditivity.DeterministicConsequences.exists_small_chi_large_gap_and_ratio. Source.

The supporting separation statement uses a sequence of genuine finite channels T(K)T^{(K)}T(K) with

χ(T(K))⟶0,χ2(T(K))2⟶+∞.\chi(T^{(K)})\longrightarrow0,\qquad \frac{\chi_2(T^{(K)})}{2}\longrightarrow+\infty.χ(T(K))⟶0,2χ2​(T(K))​⟶+∞.

The separation statement is already proved for the selected deterministic family. It gives the two information limits asserted in the manuscript's Corollary 1.3, with no analytic channel-existence assumption. The formal family is totalized at its first two indices by the one-dimensional identity channel; this finite prefix does not affect either limit. Its members have positive single-use Holevo information for every K≥2K\ge2K≥2. Released family, positivity, and limits.

What the result and its formal proofs provide

The theorem gives unbounded absolute Holevo additivity gaps and unbounded two-use ratios for the same witnesses, even while their single-use information is arbitrarily small. This supplies an existence result rather than an efficient method for finding small channels with practical parameters. The manuscript separately proves explicit sufficient input dimensions; those bounds are not conclusions of the headline theorem. Manuscript, Corollaries 1.2–1.3.

The mathematical result is proved, and its principal endpoints already have machine-checked Lean proofs in release v1.0.0. This contribution imports the existing deterministic separation theorem and its dependency library, preserving their source provenance and proofs. The reusable material includes density matrices, concrete channels, entropy, finite ensembles, tensor products, and the finite-channel construction. Independent review of the correspondence between the formal statements and the manuscript remains useful. Release and verification scope.

The broader release additionally proves C(T)=sup⁡m≥1χ(T⊗m)/mC(T)=\sup_{m\ge1}\chi(T^{\otimes m})/mC(T)=supm≥1​χ(T⊗m)/m from independently defined physical codes, implying C(T)−χ(T)≥Δχ(T)/2C(T)-\chi(T)\ge\Delta_\chi(T)/2C(T)−χ(T)≥Δχ​(T)/2. It also proves a common-witness theorem combining small positive information with arbitrary capacity gain and two-use ratio. Those operational results are separate released context, rather than targets or imported milestones of this contribution. They concern unassisted memoryless communication and do not assert distinct-channel capacity nonadditivity or a strong converse. Released coding identity, released operational consequence.

Why the uniform bounds matter

A separate information estimate for each channel factor does not control inputs entangled across an entire block. The construction needs bounds valid for every such joint input, while retaining the favorable two-use behavior. Likewise, convergence of averaged matrix moments alone need not control exceptional eigenvalues and therefore cannot replace the needed norm control. These are substantive uniformity requirements in the paper's construction. Manuscript, Section 1.

Regrouping tensor powers of one fixed channel is insufficient for a gap linear in the regrouping length: the manuscript shows Δχ(T⊗m)/m→0\Delta_\chi(T^{\otimes m})/m\to0Δχ​(T⊗m)/m→0 for a fixed TTT. The existential goal instead allows channel dimensions and the channel itself to vary. Fixed-channel limitation.

Formalization scope and conventions

The imported representation is ActualConsequences.FiniteQuantumChannel: finite, nonempty input and output index types, a finite environment index type, and a concrete Kraus channel. Entropy is computed spectrally with natural logarithms internally; holevoBits divides by ln⁡2\ln2ln2. Supremum and infimum uses are accompanied by the developed nonemptiness and boundedness results. Positive tensor powers are indexed by a natural number nnn meaning n+1n+1n+1 uses. Strict positivity of the goal's χ(T)\chi(T)χ(T) prevents division-by-zero interpretations of its ratio. The channel and information quantities must retain these physical definitions; numerical records assigned the desired values would not formalize the result. Formal representation, bit conversion.

The headline proof uses the alternate deterministic finite-channel construction. It does not assert the prescribed-dimension result. The imported library provides complex matrix analysis, positivity and trace normalization, tensor products, entropy inequalities, finite ensembles, and the construction's finite group and moment infrastructure. The full manuscript remains outside the completed formalization: general Haar convergence interfaces and the broader finite-dimensional realization statement retain their documented limitations. The release's correspondence findings remain qualified; no complete semantic audit or independent human certification is claimed. Formalization status, statement review.

Selected references

  • Jinzhao Wang, Unbounded Holevo additivity gaps in finite dimensions, arXiv preprint, 2026. arXiv:2609.18222v2; revised manuscript retained in the formalization release.
  • M. B. Hastings, Superadditivity of communication capacity using entangled inputs, Nature Physics 5, 255–257, 2009. arXiv:0809.3972.
  • A. S. Holevo, The capacity of the quantum channel with general signal states, IEEE Transactions on Information Theory 44, 269–273, 1998. DOI:10.1109/18.651037.
  • B. Schumacher and M. D. Westmoreland, Sending classical information via noisy quantum channels, Physical Review A 56, 131–138, 1997. DOI:10.1103/PhysRevA.56.131.
  • P. W. Shor, Equivalence of additivity questions in quantum information theory, Communications in Mathematical Physics 246, 453–472, 2004. arXiv:quant-ph/0305035.
  • Nonadditivity project contributors, Holevo Additivity Gap: Lean certificates, software release v1.0.0, 2026. Release, source commit 635aa93eb3a2310b79fd5371e2ce311914ec5887.
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Functional AnalysisQuantum Information·Captain: JWang226

Continuity of Regularized Channel Rényi DivergencesResearch Paper

Motivation: comparing quantum processes

A quantum channel describes a physical process that transforms a quantum state into another state. Comparing two channels means comparing their possible outputs, including outputs obtained when the input is entangled with a reference system. This distinction matters in quantum information: an experiment can retain a reference while sending the other part of an entangled state through an unknown process. The resulting measure of distinguishability should account for that experiment.

For states, several divergence measures approach relative entropy when their order parameter approaches one. For channels, optimization over inputs and arbitrarily many channel uses introduces an additional question: does this continuity survive those optimizations? Jinzhao Wang and Yuxiang Yang answer that question for the regularized, stabilized sandwiched Rényi divergence in Continuity of Regularized Channel Rényi Divergences, arXiv:2609.28635v1, Theorem 1. This mission contributes the completed result and its supporting formal infrastructure.

Setting: states, references, and repeated uses

Let HHH and KKK be nonzero finite-dimensional complex Hilbert spaces. A density operator is a positive operator with trace one. Two channels N,M:L(H)→L(K)N,M:\mathcal L(H)\to\mathcal L(K)N,M:L(H)→L(K) are completely positive, trace-preserving linear maps with the same input and output spaces.

The relative entropy D(ρ∥σ)D(\rho\Vert\sigma)D(ρ∥σ) compares density operators ρ\rhoρ and σ\sigmaσ. The sandwiched Rényi divergence D~α(ρ∥σ)\widetilde D_\alpha(\rho\Vert\sigma)Dα​(ρ∥σ) is an order-dependent comparison, defined for α≥12\alpha\ge\tfrac12α≥21​, α≠1\alpha\ne1α=1. The state, channel, and regularized divergences are measured in bits. Operator-level analytic lemmas may use natural logarithms; the state wrappers divide by log⁡2\log 2log2. Singular states are allowed; the support conventions retain infinite values rather than assigning a finite substitute. These are the state quantities in the paper's equations (1.2)–(1.3).

The stabilized channel divergence optimizes the state divergence over normalized pure inputs on H⊗RH\otimes RH⊗R, where RRR is a copy of HHH. The channel acts on HHH and the identity acts on RRR. Writing ψ=∣ψ⟩⟨ψ∣\psi=|\psi\rangle\langle\psi|ψ=∣ψ⟩⟨ψ∣, the convention is

D(N∥M)=sup⁡∥ψ∥=1D((N⊗id⁡R)(ψ)∥(M⊗id⁡R)(ψ)),\mathbb D(N\Vert M)=\sup_{\|\psi\|=1} \mathbb D\bigl((N\otimes\operatorname{id}_R)(\psi) \Vert(M\otimes\operatorname{id}_R)(\psi)\bigr),D(N∥M)=∥ψ∥=1sup​D((N⊗idR​)(ψ)∥(M⊗idR​)(ψ)),

where D\mathbb DD denotes either state divergence. The paper places the reference first; the formalization places it second and proves the tensor-factor convention agrees. A block of nnn uses employs N⊗n,M⊗nN^{\otimes n},M^{\otimes n}N⊗n,M⊗n and a reference copy of H⊗nH^{\otimes n}H⊗n. Its pure input may be entangled across every use. Equation (1.4) specifies this stabilization.

Formalization targets

The regularized divergences are defined independently as positive-block suprema:

D~αreg(N∥M)=sup⁡n≥1D~α(N⊗n∥M⊗n)n,Dreg(N∥M)=sup⁡n≥1D(N⊗n∥M⊗n)n.\widetilde D_\alpha^{\mathrm{reg}}(N\Vert M) =\sup_{n\ge1}\frac{\widetilde D_\alpha(N^{\otimes n}\Vert M^{\otimes n})}{n}, \qquad D^{\mathrm{reg}}(N\Vert M) =\sup_{n\ge1}\frac{D(N^{\otimes n}\Vert M^{\otimes n})}{n}.Dαreg​(N∥M)=n≥1sup​nDα​(N⊗n∥M⊗n)​,Dreg(N∥M)=n≥1sup​nD(N⊗n∥M⊗n)​.

Two supporting targets establish that these definitions are the actual asymptotic limits in equation (1.5). For every fixed α≥12\alpha\ge\tfrac12α≥21​, α≠1\alpha\ne1α=1,

lim⁡n→∞D~α(N⊗n∥M⊗n)n=D~αreg(N∥M),\lim_{n\to\infty}\frac{\widetilde D_\alpha(N^{\otimes n}\Vert M^{\otimes n})}{n} =\widetilde D_\alpha^{\mathrm{reg}}(N\Vert M),n→∞lim​nDα​(N⊗n∥M⊗n)​=Dαreg​(N∥M),

and

lim⁡n→∞D(N⊗n∥M⊗n)n=Dreg(N∥M).\lim_{n\to\infty}\frac{D(N^{\otimes n}\Vert M^{\otimes n})}{n} =D^{\mathrm{reg}}(N\Vert M).n→∞lim​nD(N⊗n∥M⊗n)​=Dreg(N∥M).

The main goal is Theorem 1:

lim⁡α→1, α≠1D~αreg(N∥M)=Dreg(N∥M).\lim_{\alpha\to1,\,\alpha\ne1} \widetilde D_\alpha^{\mathrm{reg}}(N\Vert M) =D^{\mathrm{reg}}(N\Vert M).α→1,α=1lim​Dαreg​(N∥M)=Dreg(N∥M).

This is convergence from both sides. Each target includes infinite divergence. The block identities are supporting identifications, rather than extra premises of the main theorem.

Significance: continuity after optimization

The main result identifies a single limit after optimization over entangled inputs and unbounded block lengths. It permits near-one regularized Rényi quantities to approach regularized relative entropy for arbitrary channel pairs in the stated finite-dimensional setting. When the latter is infinite, the conclusion is convergence to positive infinity. The paper discusses applications to discrimination and asymptotic approximation; those operational conclusions are beyond this mission's targets. Wang–Yang, arXiv:2609.28635v1.

This is a contribution of a known, formally proved result, rather than an unsolved conjecture. The original public Lean development includes proofs of the definitions' supporting properties and both block identities. Its recorded verification reports Lean checking with a transitive axiom audit, Comparator statement comparison and Lean kernel replay, and independent Nanoda kernel checking. These records concern the original pinned development. They are unsigned and do not establish independent human review of correspondence to the paper. The converted contribution uses Lean 4.30.0 and Mathlib c5ea003. Its 95 Definition bundles and 27 theorem nodes have been published; every theorem has an ACCEPTED proof and public Proved status. Before upload, the exact statement and solution files compiled locally, their types and transparent definition values were compared with the frozen compatibility port, and a transitive axiom audit of every generated declaration found only propext, Classical.choice, and Quot.sound. These new checks are separate from the original Comparator and Nanoda records. Human review of correspondence to the paper is still required.

Difficulty: optimization and singular inputs

Pointwise continuity for a fixed pair of output states does not justify interchanging a limit with the supremum over all block inputs. That domain includes every positive block length, so finite-dimensionality of each block does not itself supply a uniform conclusion. The right-hand limit is particularly sensitive to the order of these operations. Singular inputs introduce a separate issue: support mismatch can force genuine infinity, and converting all expressions to ordinary real numbers would discard that case. The formalization must preserve these domains and conventions throughout, as documented in the paper-to-Lean mapping.

Formalization scope

The Lean representation uses actual positive density operators, CPTP maps, reference systems, and tensor powers. State divergences have extended-real values; channel and regularized divergences take values in [0,+∞][0,+\infty][0,+∞]. Nonnegativity is proved for the admissible orders, so conversion to nonnegative extended reals preserves those values. Supremum definitions quantify over positive block lengths. The normalized block sequences are total at n=0n=0n=0, which is irrelevant to convergence as n→∞n\to\inftyn→∞.

The main formal statement uses a punctured neighborhood of one. A sufficiently small such neighborhood lies within α>12\alpha>\tfrac12α>21​, so totalized definitions at other real orders impose no assertion about their divergence interpretation outside the admissible range. No support inclusion, finite max-relative entropy, filter estimate, or Schatten estimate is assumed by the main theorem. Defining the limiting value to equal the desired conclusion, or replacing arbitrary channels by an easy special family, would not meet these targets.

The development builds on Mathlib and Lean-Quantum. Reusable components include extended-valued Fekete convergence, channel tensor identities, quantum testing quantities, prescribed-dilation approximation, and finite-dimensional Schatten bounds. The scope mapping records that the supporting decomposition estimate is formalized for 1<α≤21<\alpha\le21<α≤2, sufficient near one; it does not claim the paper's entire all-orders version. Contributions that improve reuse, verify the converted dependency graph, or extend separately stated results are welcome. The paper's later operational corollaries are excluded.

Selected references

  • Jinzhao Wang and Yuxiang Yang, Continuity of Regularized Channel Rényi Divergences, arXiv preprint, 2026, version 1. Paper and versioned source.
  • Jinzhao Wang, Continuity of regularized channel Rényi divergence: Lean formalization, public software repository, 2026; development assisted by Codex. Source commit e29274a, v1.1.0 verification release.
  • Hayata–Yamasaki Group, Lean-Quantum, formalization library, pinned revision bf1c4f6, 2026. Dependency source.
  • Lean community, Mathlib4, mathematical library for Lean 4, 2026. Converted contribution's selected revision c5ea003.
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CombinatoricsGraph TheoryOperations Research+1·Captain: mikedeng1

A Constant-Factor Approximation Algorithm for the Asymmetric Traveling Salesman Problem: The Asymmetric Held–Karp Relaxation Has Integrality Gap at Most 319Research Paper

Motivation

The asymmetric traveling salesman problem (ATSP) asks for a shortest closed walk through every vertex of a directed graph whose edge weights need not be symmetric. It models routing with one-way streets, scheduling with sequence-dependent setup times, and many other problems in which the cost of going from uuu to vvv differs from the cost of going back. Its standard linear relaxation, the asymmetric Held–Karp relaxation, is the lower bound used both by exact branch-and-cut codes and by approximation algorithms, and the central question about it is how far it can be from the integer optimum.

Timeline of the approximation ratio and of the integrality gap for ATSP:

  • 1982: Frieze, Galbiati and Maffioli give a log⁡2n\log_2 nlog2​n-approximation by repeated cycle covers.
  • 2010: Asadpour, Goemans, Mądry, Oveis Gharan and Saberi reach O(log⁡n/log⁡log⁡n)O(\log n/\log\log n)O(logn/loglogn) via thin trees (SODA 2010).
  • 2015: Anari and Oveis Gharan bound the integrality gap by poly(log⁡log⁡n)\mathrm{poly}(\log\log n)poly(loglogn), non-constructively; Svensson obtains a constant factor for node-weighted digraphs.
  • 2018: Svensson, Tarnawski and Végh obtain the first constant-factor approximation for general ATSP (STOC 2018); the journal version (J. ACM 2020) states the ratio 506506506 and the integrality gap bound 319319319.
  • 2020: Traub and Vygen improve the ratio to 22+ε22+\varepsilon22+ε and the gap to 222222 (STOC 2020).

The lower bound on the integrality gap remains 222 (Charikar, Goemans and Karloff, 2006).

Setting

A digraph G=(V,E)G=(V,E)G=(V,E) has finite vertex and edge sets; each edge has a tail and a head, and parallel edges and loops are allowed. For S⊆VS\subseteq VS⊆V, δ+(S)\delta^+(S)δ+(S) and δ−(S)\delta^-(S)δ−(S) are the edges leaving and entering SSS, and δ(S)=δ+(S)∪δ−(S)\delta(S)=\delta^+(S)\cup\delta^-(S)δ(S)=δ+(S)∪δ−(S). An ATSP input is a strongly connected digraph GGG with a weight function w:E→R≥0w:E\to\mathbb R_{\ge0}w:E→R≥0​.

An edge multiset FFF gives each edge a multiplicity F(e)∈NF(e)\in\mathbb NF(e)∈N; V(F)V(F)V(F) is the set of vertices it touches. FFF is Eulerian if every vertex has as many outgoing as incoming edges of FFF, a subtour if moreover (V(F),F)(V(F),F)(V(F),F) is connected, and a tour if it is a subtour with V(F)=VV(F)=VV(F)=V. Tours are exactly the closed walks visiting every vertex. The weight of FFF is ∑eF(e)w(e)\sum_e F(e)w(e)∑e​F(e)w(e).

The asymmetric Held–Karp relaxation LP(G,w)(G,w)(G,w) is

min⁡∑e∈Ew(e)x(e)s.t.x(δ+(v))=x(δ−(v)) (v∈V),x(δ(S))≥2 (∅≠S⊊V),x≥0,\min\sum_{e\in E}w(e)x(e)\quad\text{s.t.}\quad x(\delta^+(v))=x(\delta^-(v))\ (v\in V),\qquad x(\delta(S))\ge2\ (\emptyset\ne S\subsetneq V),\qquad x\ge0,mine∈E∑​w(e)x(e)s.t.x(δ+(v))=x(δ−(v)) (v∈V),x(δ(S))≥2 (∅=S⊊V),x≥0,

and its optimum is the Held–Karp lower bound.

The mission also uses the paper's intermediate objects: laminarly-weighted instances I=(G,L,x,y)I=(G,\mathcal L,x,y)I=(G,L,x,y), in which L\mathcal LL is a laminar family of sets that are tight for a strictly positive feasible xxx, y≥0y\ge0y≥0 on L\mathcal LL, and the weight of an edge is wI(e)=∑S∈L: e∈δ(S)ySw_I(e)=\sum_{S\in\mathcal L:\,e\in\delta(S)}y_SwI​(e)=∑S∈L:e∈δ(S)​yS​; the value value(I)=2∑S∈LyS\mathrm{value}(I)=2\sum_{S\in\mathcal L}y_Svalue(I)=2∑S∈L​yS​ and the lower bound lbI(U)=∑v∈U2y{v}\mathrm{lb}_I(U)=\sum_{v\in U}2y_{\{v\}}lbI​(U)=∑v∈U​2y{v}​; Subtour Partition Cover and (α,β)(\alpha,\beta)(α,β)-lightness; irreducible instances; vertebrate pairs; and quasi-backbones. Each is defined, with the paper's page reference, in the two definition files of the mission.

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem 11.1

For every strongly connected digraph GGG with ∣V∣≥2|V|\ge2∣V∣≥2, every w≥0w\ge0w≥0 and every feasible solution xxx of LP(G,w)(G,w)(G,w), there is a tour FFF with

∑e∈EF(e) w(e) ≤ 319∑e∈Ew(e) x(e).\sum_{e\in E}F(e)\,w(e)\ \le\ 319\sum_{e\in E}w(e)\,x(e).e∈E∑​F(e)w(e) ≤ 319e∈E∑​w(e)x(e).

This is the statement that the integrality gap of the asymmetric Held–Karp relaxation is at most 319319319.

Milestones

The milestones are the results the paper's §11 combines, in the order it combines them:

  1. Theorem 4.1: Subtour Partition Cover is (2,0)(2,0)(2,0)-light on singleton instances with B=∅B=\emptysetB=∅.
  2. Theorem 5.1: an (α,β)(\alpha,\beta)(α,β)-light pair (I,B)(I,B)(I,B) has a tour of weight at most 5α lbI(Bˉ)+β+wI(B)5\alpha\,\mathrm{lb}_I(\bar B)+\beta+w_I(B)5αlbI​(Bˉ)+β+wI​(B).
  3. §11: every singleton instance has a tour of weight at most 10 value(I)10\,\mathrm{value}(I)10value(I) (αS′=10\alpha'_S=10αS′​=10).
  4. Theorem 10.1: vertebrate pairs are (4, 2 value(I)+lbI(Bˉ))(4,\,2\,\mathrm{value}(I)+\mathrm{lb}_I(\bar B))(4,2value(I)+lbI​(Bˉ))-light.
  5. §11: a vertebrate pair has a tour of weight at most 2 value(I)+21 lbI(Bˉ)+wI(B)2\,\mathrm{value}(I)+21\,\mathrm{lb}_I(\bar B)+w_I(B)2value(I)+21lbI​(Bˉ)+wI​(B) (η′=1+5⋅4\eta'=1+5\cdot4η′=1+5⋅4).
  6. Lemma 9.3: an irreducible instance has a quasi-backbone of weight at most (αS+3) value(I)(\alpha_S+3)\,\mathrm{value}(I)(αS​+3)value(I).
  7. Theorem 9.4: tours on vertebrate pairs give a ρ\rhoρ-bound on irreducible instances, ρ=κ+η(1−δ)+αS+32δ−1\rho=\frac{\kappa+\eta(1-\delta)+\alpha_S+3}{2\delta-1}ρ=2δ−1κ+η(1−δ)+αS​+3​.
  8. Theorem 8.3: a ρ\rhoρ-bound on irreducible instances gives a 2ρ1−δ\frac{2\rho}{1-\delta}1−δ2ρ​-bound on all laminarly-weighted instances.
  9. Lemma 2.2: DUAL(G,w)(G,w)(G,w) has an optimal solution with laminar support.
  10. Theorem 2.4: a bound α value(I)\alpha\,\mathrm{value}(I)αvalue(I) on all laminarly-weighted instances gives α\alphaα times the Held–Karp bound on all ATSP inputs.

Significance

The result shows that the asymmetric Held–Karp relaxation approximates ATSP within a constant factor, which settled a question open since the 1980s and made the relaxation a certified lower bound with bounded loss. The structural steps (reduction to laminarly-weighted instances, Subtour Partition Cover, irreducibility and vertebrate pairs) are the framework on which the later improvement to 222222 by Traub and Vygen is built.

The theorem is proved; to the best of available knowledge none of it has been formalized in a proof assistant. A complete development would give a machine-checked bound on the integrality gap of a central relaxation in combinatorial optimization, and its intermediate statements are reusable for the improved bounds that follow the same framework.

Difficulty

The obvious approaches do not give a constant. Repeated cycle covers lose a factor at each of logarithmically many rounds. Rounding the LP solution through thin trees needs a spanning tree that is thin in every cut, and only polylogarithmic thinness is known. The paper's route is long: the reduction to laminarly-weighted instances needs an uncrossed dual; the reduction from irreducible to general instances and the one from vertebrate pairs to irreducible instances are recursive, applying the assumed algorithm to instances built by contracting or inducing tight sets, so their hypotheses must hold on all instances and not only on the given one; and the lightness bound for vertebrate pairs (Theorem 10.1) rests on a flow-based construction with careful accounting against the laminar family.

Formalization scope

Vertices and edges are finite types; edges carry tail and head maps, so parallel edges (created by contraction) are distinct edges, and loops are allowed and lie in no cut. Edge multisets are functions E→NE\to\mathbb NE→N. Connectivity of a multiset and its components are defined by the reflexive–transitive closure of undirected adjacency along its edges.

Running times are not formalized. Every algorithmic statement is posed in its existential form, as §11 of the paper itself uses it to derive Theorem 11.1: "there is an algorithm returning a tour within ccc" becomes "every instance has a tour within ccc", and an assumed algorithm becomes a hypothesis quantified over instances on all finite vertex and edge types. The algorithmic constants 9(1+ε)9(1+\varepsilon)9(1+ε), 18+ε18+\varepsilon18+ε, 37+36ε37+36\varepsilon37+36ε and 506506506 are therefore not stated; the non-constructive constants 555, 101010 and 212121 of §11 are.

The Held–Karp lower bound is never defined as an infimum: comparisons with it are stated for every feasible xxx, equivalently because the LP optimum is attained. Likewise dSd_SdS​ and DSD_SDS​ in the definition of irreducibility are expressed through walks, without an infimum.

Added hypotheses, each disclosed in the item's Formalization Note:

  • ∣V∣≥2|V|\ge2∣V∣≥2 in the goal, Theorem 2.4 and every laminarly-weighted instance: on one vertex without a loop no tour exists while LP(G,w)(G,w)(G,w) has value 000.
  • Partition parts in Subtour Partition Cover are nonempty and different from VVV; for B=∅B=\emptysetB=∅ the one-part partition (V)(V)(V) admits no solution.
  • α≥0\alpha\ge0α≥0 in Theorem 5.1, which is false without it.
  • αS\alpha_SαS​ in Lemma 9.3 and Theorem 9.4 is a parameter with the hypothesis that singleton instances have tours within αS value\alpha_S\,\mathrm{value}αS​value, instead of the fixed 18+ε18+\varepsilon18+ε.

These choices rule out trivializing formalizations: no instance class in a hypothesis is empty (a two-vertex singleton instance is valid, irreducible and vertebrate), admissible partitions exist for every instance, and LP(G,w)(G,w)(G,w) is feasible for every strongly connected input. The goal assumes none of the milestones.

Out of scope: the polynomial running times, §5's merge-procedure lemmas, the constructions of §7, and Corollaries 11.2–11.4 on the path version, which rest on external reductions. Contributions are welcome on every milestone, and on infrastructure that a complete development needs: LP duality and uncrossing for cut LPs, Eulerian multigraphs and their decomposition into closed walks, and circulations with lower bounds (Hoffman's theorem). The platform's proved LP strong duality (SmaleNinth.lp_strong_duality) is a natural starting point for Lemma 2.2.

Selected references

  • O. Svensson, J. Tarnawski, L. A. Végh, A constant-factor approximation algorithm for the asymmetric traveling salesman problem, J. ACM 67(6), 2020. https://doi.org/10.1145/3424306 (accepted manuscript: LSE Research Online 106582, https://eprints.lse.ac.uk/106582/)
  • O. Svensson, J. Tarnawski, L. A. Végh, A constant-factor approximation algorithm for the asymmetric traveling salesman problem, STOC 2018. https://doi.org/10.1145/3188745.3188824
  • V. Traub, J. Vygen, An improved approximation algorithm for ATSP, STOC 2020. https://arxiv.org/abs/1912.00670
  • A. Asadpour, M. X. Goemans, A. Mądry, S. Oveis Gharan, A. Saberi, An O(log n/log log n)-approximation algorithm for the asymmetric traveling salesman problem, SODA 2010. https://doi.org/10.1137/1.9781611973075.32
  • A. M. Frieze, G. Galbiati, F. Maffioli, On the worst-case performance of some algorithms for the asymmetric traveling salesman problem, Networks 12(1), 1982. https://doi.org/10.1002/net.3230120103
  • M. Charikar, M. X. Goemans, H. Karloff, On the integrality ratio for the asymmetric traveling salesman problem, Math. Oper. Res. 31(2), 2006. https://doi.org/10.1287/moor.1050.0172
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AnalysisProbabilityStochastic Systems·Captain: mikedeng1

Affine Volterra Processes 3: Global Solutions with Nonpositive Real Part of the Square-Root Riccati–Volterra EquationResearch Paper

Motivation

The Volterra square-root model describes a nonnegative, time-dependent state whose present value depends on a weighted history. Ordinary square-root diffusions use a constant kernel and have a Markov state; replacing that kernel by a function of elapsed time allows persistent or singular memory. This matters for the transform formulas used to characterize distributions of such processes. Those formulas depend on a deterministic nonlinear integral equation, and require a solution that exists at every finite time. Abi Jaber, Larsson and Pulido isolate that requirement in Lemma 6.3 of Affine Volterra processes, arXiv:1708.08796v3 (2019).

The paper's Section 6 treats processes in the nonnegative orthant and its Section 7 specializes the framework to a Volterra Heston model. The present mission concerns the deterministic equation behind the Section 6 transform. The stochastic existence theorem and the transform identity are separate results in the same paper. Keeping this mission on the integral equation makes its analytic content usable independently of a chosen probability space.

Setting

Fix a finite coordinate set of size ddd. A diagonal kernel consists of real functions Ki(t)K_i(t)Ki​(t) for t≥0t\ge0t≥0, with the iii-th entry of the matrix kernel equal to KiK_iKi​ and all off-diagonal entries zero. A resolvent of the first kind for KiK_iKi​ is a nonnegative measure LiL_iLi​ for which the convolution Ki∗LiK_i*L_iKi​∗Li​ equals one at positive times. The relevant regularity condition, labeled (2.5), requires local square integrability and positive-time translation bounds of order hγih^{\gamma_i}hγi​ for some γi∈(0,2]\gamma_i\in(0,2]γi​∈(0,2]. Condition (3.4) requires a kernel to be nonnegative, nonzero, nonincreasing and continuous at positive times. It also requires its resolvent measure to have decreasing interval masses Li([s,s+t])L_i([s,s+t])Li​([s,s+t]) as sss increases. Each shifted function ΔhKi(t)=Ki(t+h)\Delta_hK_i(t)=K_i(t+h)Δh​Ki​(t)=Ki​(t+h) must satisfy (3.4) for 0≤h≤10\le h\le10≤h≤1, with its own resolvent. These are the assumptions of Theorem 6.1 and hence of its Lemma 6.3 (pp. 6, 14, 28–29).

Let u=(ui)u=(u_i)u=(ui​) be a complex row vector and let f(t)=(fi(t))f(t)=(f_i(t))f(t)=(fi​(t)) be a locally integrable complex row function. Let BBB be a real matrix whose off-diagonal entries are nonnegative, and let σi>0\sigma_i>0σi​>0. The iii-th square-root Riccati–Volterra equation is

ψi(t)=uiKi(t)+∫0tKi(t−s)(fi(s)+∑jψj(s)Bji+σi22ψi(s)2) ds.\psi_i(t)=u_iK_i(t)+\int_0^t K_i(t-s)\left(f_i(s)+\sum_j\psi_j(s)B_{ji}+\frac{\sigma_i^2}{2}\psi_i(s)^2\right)\,ds.ψi​(t)=ui​Ki​(t)+∫0t​Ki​(t−s)(fi​(s)+j∑​ψj​(s)Bji​+2σi2​​ψi​(s)2)ds.

The index BjiB_{ji}Bji​ selects column iii: in the paper's notation B=(b1  ⋯  bd)B=(b^1\;\cdots\;b^d)B=(b1⋯bd) and the coupling is ψ(s)bi\psi(s)b^iψ(s)bi. The kernel acts only on the iii-th equation, while BBB couples the coordinates. The coefficient b0b^0b0 from the stochastic process does not enter this equation (equation (6.3), p. 27).

Formalization targets

The goal is the global existence, uniqueness and sign statement of Lemma 6.3. If Re⁡ui≤0\operatorname{Re}u_i\le0Reui​≤0 and Re⁡fi≤0\operatorname{Re}f_i\le0Refi​≤0, then

∃! ψ∈Lloc2(R+,Cd)solving (6.3) globally, withRe⁡ψi≤0for every i.\exists!\,\psi\in L^2_{\mathrm{loc}}(\mathbb R_+,\mathbb C^d) \quad\text{solving (6.3) globally, with}\quad \operatorname{Re}\psi_i\le0\quad\text{for every }i.∃!ψ∈Lloc2​(R+​,Cd)solving (6.3) globally, withReψi​≤0for every i.

For functions defined only up to null sets, the equation, uniqueness and sign conclusion are understood almost everywhere. The goal has no fixed time horizon and no hard-coded kernel: it covers every diagonal kernel satisfying the paper's conditions. The five milestones record the source's analytic support: the shifted resolvent bounds (3.9)–(3.10), the L2L^2L2 stability lemma C.1, maximal-solution Theorem B.1, global-solution Corollary B.3 and nonnegative-orthant invariance Theorem C.2. Their statements and locations are recorded in the milestone list.

Significance

Global solvability makes the square-root transform equation meaningful at any finite horizon. Uniqueness fixes the transform parameter determined by a kernel and forcing function. The nonpositive real part is the sign property needed in the paper's subsequent exponential-affine transform argument for nonnegative states (Theorem 6.1(ii), pp. 28–29). Without a global solution, that argument would only address a time interval before a possible blow-up.

The result is proved in the cited paper; this mission asks for a machine-checked development of that known theorem and its supporting integral-equation results. Its reusable output includes an L2L^2L2 notion of Volterra solution, the first-kind resolvent hypotheses, maximal lifetime, stability under changes of forcing and kernel, and a comparison statement for diagonal systems. The goal and milestones are presently proof obligations, not claims of existing machine-checked proofs.

Difficulty

Local solvability alone does not control the quadratic term ψi2\psi_i^2ψi2​ for arbitrarily large time. In particular, a generic local fixed-point theorem can yield a maximal solution whose L2L^2L2 norm diverges at a finite horizon. Sign information for the real part is also coupled to the imaginary part through that quadratic term; checking each coordinate independently does not establish invariance of the nonpositive half-plane. The analysis has to preserve the kernel's first-kind resolvent conditions and the off-diagonal sign pattern of BBB across the coupled system. Singular kernels allowed by (2.5) prevent replacing the problem with a standard ordinary differential equation.

Formalization scope

Time is represented by real numbers and every local LpL^pLp condition is restricted to positive bounded intervals. Vectors are functions on Fin d; matrix LpL^pLp membership is componentwise. These finite-dimensional norms are equivalent to the Euclidean and operator norms used in the paper. The kernel regularity estimates are Big-O statements as hhh tends to zero through positive values. A first-kind resolvent is a nonnegative measure supported on nonnegative times, with the convolution identity and interval-mass monotonicity stated directly. The convolution at positive time is an interval integral; the bound at zero in (3.10) uses the integral on [0,0][0,0][0,0], while the source describes a right-continuous extension when available.

Solutions are locally square integrable and satisfy their equations almost everywhere. The integrability of each asserted convolution is part of the solution predicate, so the default zero value of a nonintegrable Lean integral cannot create a spurious solution. A maximal lifetime is extended-nonnegative-real valued, allowing infinity, and a finite lifetime requires an infinite extended L2L^2L2 norm. Sign conditions on locally integrable forcing and on the solution are almost everywhere. Measurable time dependence of the nonlinear drift is made explicit for Theorem B.1 and Corollary B.3, where it is necessary to interpret their integrals. The condition b0≥0b^0\ge0b0≥0 of the square-root process is omitted from the goal because b0b^0b0 is absent from (6.3).

The development needs Mathlib's Bochner integrals, local LpL^pLp predicates, measures, complex arithmetic and asymptotic filters. Proof contributions to the five source milestones and the goal are welcome, including infrastructure for nonconvolution Volterra resolvents where the paper cites earlier literature. The formalization must keep the coefficient σi2/2\sigma_i^2/2σi2​/2, the column index BjiB_{ji}Bji​, and every shift h∈[0,1]h\in[0,1]h∈[0,1].

Selected references

  • E. Abi Jaber, M. Larsson and S. Pulido, Affine Volterra processes, arXiv:1708.08796v3, 2019. Preprint.
  • G. Gripenberg, S.-O. Londen and O. Staffans, Volterra Integral and Functional Equations, Cambridge University Press, 1990. DOI.
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Functional AnalysisMachine LearningProbability+1·Captain: mikedeng1

Generalization Properties of Learning with Random Features: Ridge Regression with c₀√n·log(108κ²√n/δ) Random Features Has Excess Risk at Most c₁·log²(18/δ)/√n with Probability 1 − δResearch Paper

Motivation

Kernel ridge regression is a standard nonparametric estimator with optimal statistical guarantees, but it needs the n×nn\times nn×n kernel matrix of the data: roughly O(n3)O(n^3)O(n3) time and O(n2)O(n^2)O(n2) memory. Random features (Rahimi and Recht, NeurIPS 2007) replace the kernel by an average over MMM randomly sampled feature functions, turning the problem into ridge regression in dimension MMM, at cost O(nM2)O(nM^2)O(nM2) time and O(nM)O(nM)O(nM) memory. The question is how many features are needed before the statistical accuracy of the exact kernel method is lost.

The first statistical analysis of a random-features estimator (Rahimi and Recht, NeurIPS 2009), for Lipschitz losses over a ball of fixed radius, needs O(n)O(n)O(n) features to reach an O(1/n)O(1/\sqrt n)O(1/n​) bound. Rudi and Rosasco (arXiv:1602.04474, NeurIPS 2017) showed that MMM of order nlog⁡n\sqrt n\log nn​logn features already give the O(1/n)O(1/\sqrt n)O(1/n​) excess risk that exact kernel ridge regression attains with regularization λ=n−1/2\lambda=n^{-1/2}λ=n−1/2 (Caponnetto and De Vito 2007), assuming only that the best predictor in the reproducing kernel Hilbert space exists.

Setting

Let XXX be a separable input space and (Ω,π)(\Omega,\pi)(Ω,π) a probability space. A random feature is a function ψ:X×Ω→R\psi:X\times\Omega\to\mathbb Rψ:X×Ω→R, continuous in both variables with ∣ψ(x,ω)∣≤κ|\psi(x,\omega)|\le\kappa∣ψ(x,ω)∣≤κ for some κ≥1\kappa\ge1κ≥1. It defines the kernel

K(x,x′)=∫Ωψ(x,ω)ψ(x′,ω) dπ(ω),K(x,x')=\int_\Omega\psi(x,\omega)\psi(x',\omega)\,d\pi(\omega),K(x,x′)=∫Ω​ψ(x,ω)ψ(x′,ω)dπ(ω),

whose reproducing kernel Hilbert space is H\mathcal HH. Data (x1,y1),…,(xn,yn)(x_1,y_1),\dots,(x_n,y_n)(x1​,y1​),…,(xn​,yn​) are drawn i.i.d. from a probability ρ\rhoρ on X×RX\times\mathbb RX×R with ∣y∣≤b|y|\le b∣y∣≤b almost surely, b>0b>0b>0. The expected risk is E(f)=∫(f(x)−y)2 dρ(x,y)\mathcal E(f)=\int(f(x)-y)^2\,d\rho(x,y)E(f)=∫(f(x)−y)2dρ(x,y), and fH∈Hf_{\mathcal H}\in\mathcal HfH​∈H is a minimizer of E\mathcal EE over H\mathcal HH, assumed to exist.

Given features ω1,…,ωM\omega_1,\dots,\omega_Mω1​,…,ωM​ drawn i.i.d. from π\piπ, independently of the data, the feature map is ϕM(x)=M−1/2(ψ(x,ω1),…,ψ(x,ωM))\phi_M(x)=M^{-1/2}(\psi(x,\omega_1),\dots,\psi(x,\omega_M))ϕM​(x)=M−1/2(ψ(x,ω1​),…,ψ(x,ωM​)). With C^M=1n∑iϕM(xi)ϕM(xi)⊤\widehat C_M=\frac1n\sum_i\phi_M(x_i)\phi_M(x_i)^\topCM​=n1​∑i​ϕM​(xi​)ϕM​(xi​)⊤ and S^M⊤y^=1n∑iyiϕM(xi)\widehat S_M^\top\widehat y=\frac1n\sum_iy_i\phi_M(x_i)SM⊤​y​=n1​∑i​yi​ϕM​(xi​), the random-features ridge estimator with parameter λ>0\lambda>0λ>0 is

f^λ,M(x)=ϕM(x)⊤w^λ,M,w^λ,M=(C^M+λI)−1S^M⊤y^.\widehat f_{\lambda,M}(x)=\phi_M(x)^\top\widehat w_{\lambda,M},\qquad\widehat w_{\lambda,M}=(\widehat C_M+\lambda I)^{-1}\widehat S_M^\top\widehat y .f​λ,M​(x)=ϕM​(x)⊤wλ,M​,wλ,M​=(CM​+λI)−1SM⊤​y​.

In the Lean development these are kernelOf, featureMap, empCov, empCross, rfWeights, rfEstimator and risk in the namespace RFRidge.Basic.

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem 1

There are constants c0,c1>0c_0,c_1>0c0​,c1​>0, independent of nnn, λ\lambdaλ and δ\deltaδ, and a threshold n0n_0n0​ such that for every δ∈(0,1]\delta\in(0,1]δ∈(0,1] and n≥n0n\ge n_0n≥n0​, with λn=n−1/2\lambda_n=n^{-1/2}λn​=n−1/2 and

Mn=c0n log⁡108κ2nδM_n=c_0\sqrt n\,\log\frac{108\kappa^2\sqrt n}{\delta}Mn​=c0​n​logδ108κ2n​​

features, with probability at least 1−δ1-\delta1−δ over the data and the features,

E(f^λn,Mn)−E(fH)≤c1log⁡218δn.\mathcal E(\widehat f_{\lambda_n,M_n})-\mathcal E(f_{\mathcal H})\le\frac{c_1\log^2\frac{18}{\delta}}{\sqrt n}.E(f​λn​,Mn​​)−E(fH​)≤n​c1​log2δ18​​.

The constants are existential: the paper prints them without values, and the values in its appendix are not established by the printed proof. The goal therefore asserts the shape of the bound, which survives any later improvement of the constants.

Milestones

The proof goes through an analytic decomposition of the excess risk on L2(X,ρX)L^2(X,\rho_X)L2(X,ρX​) followed by concentration. The milestones are the results of that proof that are stated as printed:

  1. Lemma 1: the integral operator LLL of KKK equals ∫ψω⊗ψω dπ(ω)\int\psi_\omega\otimes\psi_\omega\,d\pi(\omega)∫ψω​⊗ψω​dπ(ω).
  2. Lemma 2: the component of the regression function orthogonal to the range of LLL is invisible to every random-features predictor, almost surely.
  3. Proposition 4 (Cordes), Proposition 9 (interpolation ∥XAσ∥≤∥X∥1−σ∥XA∥σ\|XA^\sigma\|\le\|X\|^{1-\sigma}\|XA\|^\sigma∥XAσ∥≤∥X∥1−σ∥XA∥σ) and Proposition 8 (a multiplicative bound between regularized operators).
  4. Lemma 5: the bound on the approximation error under the source condition Pfρ=LrgPf_\rho=L^rgPfρ​=Lrg. Lemmas 3 and 4 remain draft items, but are omitted from the milestone list because the PDF text layer corrupts their displayed equations and the mechanical verbatim checker rejects the exact visual transcription.
  5. Propositions 1 and 2: Bernstein inequalities for real random variables and for random vectors in a Hilbert space.

Significance

Theorem 1 shows that, in the basic setting, random features reduce the cost of kernel ridge regression from O(n3)O(n^3)O(n3) time and O(n2)O(n^2)O(n2) memory to O(n2)O(n^2)O(n2) and O(nn)O(n\sqrt n)O(nn​) without losing the minimax-optimal O(1/n)O(1/\sqrt n)O(1/n​) rate. It is the reference result on the statistical cost of random-features approximations, and the same decomposition yields the paper's faster rates under source and capacity conditions (Theorems 2 and 3) and the analysis of data-dependent feature sampling.

To the best of the mission's knowledge, none of these results has a machine-checked proof. Formalizing them requires real infrastructure: integral operators on L2L^2L2 defined by a kernel with an integral representation, operator inequalities for the continuous functional calculus, and Bernstein inequalities in Hilbert spaces. The Bernstein inequalities and the operator inequalities (Cordes, interpolation, Proposition 8) are reusable well beyond this paper.

Difficulty

The obvious argument controls sup⁡x,x′∣KM(x,x′)−K(x,x′)∣\sup_{x,x'}|K_M(x,x')-K(x,x')|supx,x′​∣KM​(x,x′)−K(x,x′)∣ uniformly and transfers it to the estimator. It needs MMM of order nnn to keep the O(1/n)O(1/\sqrt n)O(1/n​) rate, because a uniform kernel approximation ignores that the estimator only probes KKK through a regularized operator. Getting nlog⁡n\sqrt n\log nn​logn features requires comparing the integral operators LLL and LML_MLM​ relative to L+λIL+\lambda IL+λI, in the operator norm weighted by (L+λI)−1/2(L+\lambda I)^{-1/2}(L+λI)−1/2, and this needs fractional powers of operators, operator monotonicity and concentration of random operators. A second subtlety is that the regression function need not lie in the closure of H\mathcal HH; Lemma 2 shows that the orthogonal component does not affect any random-features estimator.

Formalization scope

All models are posed in Lean 4 with Mathlib. The input space is a separable topological space with its Borel σ-algebra, the feature space Ω\OmegaΩ is the type W, and ψ\psiψ is jointly continuous, jointly measurable for the product σ-algebra (an added hypothesis: without second countability it does not follow from continuity), and bounded by κ≥1\kappa\ge1κ≥1 everywhere. The RKHS is Mathlib's RKHS ℝ H X ℝ, tied to the kernel by RKHS.kernel H x x' 1 = K x x'. Samples and features are indexed from 000; the nnn samples and MnM_nMn​ features have the product law ρ⊗n⊗π⊗Mn\rho^{\otimes n}\otimes\pi^{\otimes M_n}ρ⊗n⊗π⊗Mn​, and MnM_nMn​ is rounded up. "With probability at least 1−δ1-\delta1−δ" is "the failure event has probability at most δ\deltaδ", with δ∈(0,1]\delta\in(0,1]δ∈(0,1] and n≥1n\ge1n≥1.

Operators: the paper's Hilbert spaces are real, but Mathlib's continuous functional calculus for bounded operators, which defines AsA^sAs and (A+λI)−1/2(A+\lambda I)^{-1/2}(A+λI)−1/2, exists only on complex Hilbert spaces. The operator milestones are therefore posed on complex Hilbert spaces, and every inverse or power is the functional calculus of an explicit real function; the real statements follow by complexification. Lemmas 3–5 are stated for abstract positive operators satisfying exactly the relations their proofs use, and add r≤1r\le1r≤1 (the range of Assumption 6), without which Lemma 5 is false. Proposition 8 states β<1\beta<1β<1 as a conclusion. Lemma 3 corrects a sign in the exponent of CM,λC_{M,\lambda}CM,λ​: its display prints −1/2-1/2−1/2 where its proof uses +1/2+1/2+1/2; the printed bound fails for scalar operators.

A trivializing formalization is ruled out: the goal mentions only the estimator, the risk and fHf_{\mathcal H}fH​, never the operators of the proof, and its constants c0,c1c_0,c_1c0​,c1​ are fixed before δ\deltaδ and nnn, so they cannot absorb log⁡2(18/δ)\log^2(18/\delta)log2(18/δ) or n\sqrt nn​.

Not included: Theorem 4 (the analytic decomposition), Propositions 5 and 7 (which need Hilbert–Schmidt norms and traces), Lemmas 6–10 and Theorems 5–7 of Appendix A.3–A.4. Contributions of these intermediate results, of a Lean theory of integral operators of kernels, and of Hilbert-space concentration inequalities are welcome.

Selected references

  • A. Rudi, L. Rosasco, Generalization Properties of Learning with Random Features, NeurIPS 2017; arXiv:1602.04474v5. https://arxiv.org/abs/1602.04474
  • A. Rahimi, B. Recht, Random Features for Large-Scale Kernel Machines, NeurIPS 2007. https://papers.nips.cc/paper/3182-random-features-for-large-scale-kernel-machines
  • A. Caponnetto, E. De Vito, Optimal Rates for the Regularized Least-Squares Algorithm, Foundations of Computational Mathematics 7, 2007. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10208-006-0196-8
  • A. Rahimi, B. Recht, Weighted Sums of Random Kitchen Sinks: Replacing Minimization with Randomization in Learning, NeurIPS 2008 (proceedings 2009). https://papers.nips.cc/paper/3495-weighted-sums-of-random-kitchen-sinks-replacing-minimization-with-randomization-in-learning
  • H. O. Cordes, Spectral Theory of Linear Differential Operators and Comparison Algebras, Cambridge University Press, 1987. https://doi.org/10.1017/CBO9780511662836
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Machine LearningOptimizationProbability·Captain: mikedeng1

Stochastic Model-Based Minimization of Weakly Convex Functions 3: The Projected Stochastic Subgradient Method Is an Approximate Descent Method on the Moreau Envelope for Any StepsizesResearch Paper

Motivation

The projected stochastic subgradient method minimizes an expected loss f(x)=Eξ∼P[f(x,ξ)]f(x) = \mathbb E_{\xi\sim P}[f(x,\xi)]f(x)=Eξ∼P​[f(x,ξ)] over a closed convex set XXX: it samples a data point, steps against a sampled subgradient, and projects back onto XXX. For convex fff its sample complexity has been known for decades, and for smooth nonconvex fff the stochastic gradient method needs O(ε−4)O(\varepsilon^{-4})O(ε−4) samples to reach gradient norm ε\varepsilonε (Ghadimi–Lan 2013). Many problems in statistical learning and signal processing are neither convex nor smooth — robust phase retrieval, nonlinear regression with an ℓ1\ell_1ℓ1​ loss, covariance estimation, conditional value-at-risk with smooth losses — but are weakly convex: they become convex after adding a quadratic ρ2∥x∥2\frac{\rho}{2}\|x\|^22ρ​∥x∥2.

Timeline. Nurminskii (1970s) showed that for weakly convex losses f(⋅,ξ)f(\cdot,\xi)f(⋅,ξ) and no constraint the stochastic subgradient method subsequentially converges to a stationary point almost surely, without a rate. Ghadimi and Lan (2013) proved the O(ε−4)O(\varepsilon^{-4})O(ε−4) rate for smooth fff. Davis and Drusvyatskiy (arXiv:1803.06523, SIAM J. Optim. 2019) proved the first rate for the plain projected stochastic subgradient method on weakly convex problems, measured by the gradient of the Moreau envelope, and for any nonnegative stepsizes. This is Theorem 3.1 of their paper and the goal of this mission.

Setting

Work in Rd\mathbb R^dRd with the Euclidean norm. Let X⊆RdX \subseteq \mathbb R^dX⊆Rd be nonempty, closed and convex, and let f:Rd→Rf : \mathbb R^d \to \mathbb Rf:Rd→R be ρ\rhoρ-weakly convex (ρ>0\rho > 0ρ>0): x↦f(x)+ρ2∥x∥2x \mapsto f(x) + \frac{\rho}{2}\|x\|^2x↦f(x)+2ρ​∥x∥2 is convex. The problem is

min⁡x∈Xf(x),i.e. min⁡xφ(x), φ=f+δX,\min_{x \in X} f(x), \qquad \text{i.e. } \min_x \varphi(x),\ \varphi = f + \delta_X,x∈Xmin​f(x),i.e. xmin​φ(x), φ=f+δX​,

where δX\delta_XδX​ is 000 on XXX and +∞+\infty+∞ off XXX.

The subdifferential ∂f(x)\partial f(x)∂f(x) is the set of vvv with f(y)≥f(x)+⟨v,y−x⟩+o(∥y−x∥)f(y) \ge f(x) + \langle v, y - x\rangle + o(\|y - x\|)f(y)≥f(x)+⟨v,y−x⟩+o(∥y−x∥) as y→xy \to xy→x. For λ>0\lambda > 0λ>0 the Moreau envelope and the proximal point of φ\varphiφ are

φλ(x)=min⁡y∈X{f(y)+12λ∥y−x∥2},prox⁡λφ(x)=argmin⁡y∈X{f(y)+12λ∥y−x∥2}.\varphi_\lambda(x) = \min_{y \in X}\Big\{f(y) + \tfrac{1}{2\lambda}\|y - x\|^2\Big\}, \qquad \operatorname{prox}_{\lambda\varphi}(x) = \operatorname*{argmin}_{y \in X}\Big\{f(y) + \tfrac{1}{2\lambda}\|y - x\|^2\Big\}.φλ​(x)=y∈Xmin​{f(y)+2λ1​∥y−x∥2},proxλφ​(x)=y∈Xargmin​{f(y)+2λ1​∥y−x∥2}.

Assumption A (stochastic subgradient oracle): on a probability space (Ω,F,P)(\Omega, \mathcal F, P)(Ω,F,P) one can draw i.i.d. samples ξ0,ξ1,⋯∼P\xi_0, \xi_1, \dots \sim Pξ0​,ξ1​,⋯∼P (A1); there are an open set U⊇XU \supseteq XU⊇X and a measurable map GGG with Eξ[G(x,ξ)]∈∂f(x)\mathbb E_\xi[G(x,\xi)] \in \partial f(x)Eξ​[G(x,ξ)]∈∂f(x) for all x∈Ux \in Ux∈U (A2); and Eξ∥G(x,ξ)∥2≤L2\mathbb E_\xi\|G(x,\xi)\|^2 \le L^2Eξ​∥G(x,ξ)∥2≤L2 for all x∈Xx \in Xx∈X (A3).

Algorithm 3.1 with r=δXr = \delta_Xr=δX​ starts at x0∈Xx_0 \in Xx0​∈X and, for t=0,…,Tt = 0, \dots, Tt=0,…,T, samples ξt\xi_tξt​ and sets xt+1=proj⁡X(xt−αtG(xt,ξt))x_{t+1} = \operatorname{proj}_X(x_t - \alpha_t G(x_t, \xi_t))xt+1​=projX​(xt​−αt​G(xt​,ξt​)) with stepsizes αt≥0\alpha_t \ge 0αt​≥0. It returns xt∗x_{t^*}xt∗​ with t∗t^*t∗ drawn from {0,…,T}\{0, \dots, T\}{0,…,T} with probability αt/∑iαi\alpha_t / \sum_i \alpha_iαt​/∑i​αi​.

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem 3.1, (3.4) and (3.5)

For every ρˉ>ρ\bar\rho > \rhoρˉ​>ρ and any stepsizes αt≥0\alpha_t \ge 0αt​≥0 with ∑tαt>0\sum_t \alpha_t > 0∑t​αt​>0,

E[∥∇φ1/ρˉ(xt∗)∥2]≤ρˉρˉ−ρ⋅(φ1/ρˉ(x0)−min⁡φ)+ρˉL22∑t=0Tαt2∑t=0Tαt,\mathbb E\big[\|\nabla\varphi_{1/\bar\rho}(x_{t^*})\|^2\big] \le \frac{\bar\rho}{\bar\rho - \rho}\cdot\frac{\big(\varphi_{1/\bar\rho}(x_0) - \min\varphi\big) + \frac{\bar\rho L^2}{2}\sum_{t=0}^T\alpha_t^2}{\sum_{t=0}^T\alpha_t},E[∥∇φ1/ρˉ​​(xt∗​)∥2]≤ρˉ​−ρρˉ​​⋅∑t=0T​αt​(φ1/ρˉ​​(x0​)−minφ)+2ρˉ​L2​∑t=0T​αt2​​,

and with αt=γ/T+1\alpha_t = \gamma/\sqrt{T+1}αt​=γ/T+1​, γ>0\gamma > 0γ>0,

E[∥∇φ1/(2ρ)(xt∗)∥2]≤2⋅(φ1/(2ρ)(x0)−min⁡φ)+ρL2γ2γT+1.\mathbb E\big[\|\nabla\varphi_{1/(2\rho)}(x_{t^*})\|^2\big] \le 2\cdot\frac{\big(\varphi_{1/(2\rho)}(x_0) - \min\varphi\big) + \rho L^2\gamma^2}{\gamma\sqrt{T+1}}.E[∥∇φ1/(2ρ)​(xt∗​)∥2]≤2⋅γT+1​(φ1/(2ρ)​(x0​)−minφ)+ρL2γ2​.

Milestones

  1. Lemma 2.1 (p. 10): for a closed proper φ\varphiφ, weak convexity, the approximate secant inequality (2.4), the subgradient inequality (2.5) and hypomonotonicity of ∂φ\partial\varphi∂φ are equivalent.
  2. §3.1, display after (3.8) (pp. 13–14; the display starts on p. 13 and ends on p. 14): for x∈Xx \in Xx∈X and x^=prox⁡φ/ρˉ(x)\hat x = \operatorname{prox}_{\varphi/\bar\rho}(x)x^=proxφ/ρˉ​​(x), f(x)−f(x^)−ρ2∥x−x^∥2≥(ρˉ−ρ)∥x−x^∥2=ρˉ−ρρˉ2∥∇φ1/ρˉ(x)∥2f(x) - f(\hat x) - \frac{\rho}{2}\|x - \hat x\|^2 \ge (\bar\rho - \rho)\|x - \hat x\|^2 = \frac{\bar\rho - \rho}{\bar\rho^2}\|\nabla\varphi_{1/\bar\rho}(x)\|^2f(x)−f(x^)−2ρ​∥x−x^∥2≥(ρˉ​−ρ)∥x−x^∥2=ρˉ​2ρˉ​−ρ​∥∇φ1/ρˉ​​(x)∥2.
  3. Lemma 2.2 (p. 11): for λ∈(0,ρ−1)\lambda \in (0, \rho^{-1})λ∈(0,ρ−1) the envelope φλ\varphi_\lambdaφλ​ is C1C^1C1 with ∇φλ(x)=λ−1(x−prox⁡λφ(x))\nabla\varphi_\lambda(x) = \lambda^{-1}(x - \operatorname{prox}_{\lambda\varphi}(x))∇φλ​(x)=λ−1(x−proxλφ​(x)).
  4. Theorem 3.1, (3.3) (p. 13): the one-step estimate
E[φ1/ρˉ(xt+1)]≤E[φ1/ρˉ(xt)]−αt(ρˉ−ρ)ρˉE[∥∇φ1/ρˉ(xt)∥2]+αt2ρˉL22.\mathbb E\big[\varphi_{1/\bar\rho}(x_{t+1})\big] \le \mathbb E\big[\varphi_{1/\bar\rho}(x_t)\big] - \frac{\alpha_t(\bar\rho - \rho)}{\bar\rho}\mathbb E\big[\|\nabla\varphi_{1/\bar\rho}(x_t)\|^2\big] + \frac{\alpha_t^2\bar\rho L^2}{2}.E[φ1/ρˉ​​(xt+1​)]≤E[φ1/ρˉ​​(xt​)]−ρˉ​αt​(ρˉ​−ρ)​E[∥∇φ1/ρˉ​​(xt​)∥2]+2αt2​ρˉ​L2​.

Significance

The result. The gradient of the Moreau envelope is a near-stationarity measure: ∥∇φλ(x)∥\|\nabla\varphi_\lambda(x)\|∥∇φλ​(x)∥ small means that xxx is within λ∥∇φλ(x)∥\lambda\|\nabla\varphi_\lambda(x)\|λ∥∇φλ​(x)∥ of a point x^∈X\hat x \in Xx^∈X with f(x^)≤f(x)f(\hat x) \le f(x)f(x^)≤f(x) and dist⁡(0,∂φ(x^))≤∥∇φλ(x)∥\operatorname{dist}(0, \partial\varphi(\hat x)) \le \|\nabla\varphi_\lambda(x)\|dist(0,∂φ(x^))≤∥∇φλ​(x)∥. Theorem 3.1 therefore gives O(ε−4)O(\varepsilon^{-4})O(ε−4) sample complexity for finding nearly stationary points of nonsmooth nonconvex constrained stochastic problems, matching the smooth case. Estimate (3.3) shows that the Moreau envelope is an approximate Lyapunov function for the method, and it holds for arbitrary nonnegative stepsizes; Theorem 3.4 of the same paper (the proximal extension) needs αt≤1/ρˉ\alpha_t \le 1/\bar\rhoαt​≤1/ρˉ​ and a worse constant.

Formalizing it. The result is proved in the paper; no machine-checked version exists. A formalization requires the Fréchet subdifferential of extended-valued functions, the Moreau envelope and its smoothness under weak convexity (Lemma 2.2, which the paper cites as standard rather than proving), and a measure-theoretic treatment of the iterates of a stochastic algorithm on a product probability space. Lemma 2.1 and Lemma 2.2 are reused by the other missions of this series.

Difficulty

The obvious approach — show that f(xt)f(x_t)f(xt​) decreases in expectation — fails: without smoothness, a subgradient step can increase fff by an amount of order αt\alpha_tαt​, not αt2\alpha_t^2αt2​, and no stepsize repairs that. The argument instead tracks the Moreau envelope, which is smooth even though fff is not; the difficulty moves into (i) Lemma 2.2, the C1C^1C1-smoothness of the envelope of a weakly convex function, which is a nontrivial piece of variational analysis, and (ii) the conditional-expectation bookkeeping that turns a one-sample estimate into (3.3) along the random iterates, including the integrability of φ1/ρˉ(xt)\varphi_{1/\bar\rho}(x_t)φ1/ρˉ​​(xt​) and ∥∇φ1/ρˉ(xt)∥2\|\nabla\varphi_{1/\bar\rho}(x_t)\|^2∥∇φ1/ρˉ​​(xt​)∥2, which the paper does not discuss.

Formalization scope

  • Carrier and encoding. Rd\mathbb R^dRd is EuclideanSpace ℝ (Fin d). An extended-valued function is encoded by its domain and its real values on the domain; φ=f+δX\varphi = f + \delta_Xφ=f+δX​ is the pair (X,f)(X, f)(X,f), and φλ\varphi_\lambdaφλ​ is moreauEnv X f lam, a real infimum over XXX. Lemma 2.2 supplies the attainment and differentiability under which this infimum is the paper's envelope.
  • The projection is a function proj constrained by the published nearest-point predicate SpectralProjGrad.Shared.IsProjOnto X proj. It is not the proximal-point predicate of αtδX\alpha_t\delta_Xαt​δX​, so that αt=0\alpha_t = 0αt​=0 remains meaningful; zero stepsizes are allowed, as in Algorithm 3.1.
  • Randomness. T+1T+1T+1 i.i.d. samples are a point of ΩT+1\Omega^{T+1}ΩT+1 under the product measure; E[⋅(xt∗)]\mathbb E[\cdot(x_{t^*})]E[⋅(xt∗​)] is the α\alphaα-weighted average of E[⋅(xt)]\mathbb E[\cdot(x_t)]E[⋅(xt​)], exactly as the paper's proof identifies it. Every bounded expectation comes with an integrability conclusion, since a Bochner integral of a non-integrable function is 000.
  • Added hypotheses. ρ>0\rho > 0ρ>0 (implicit in φ1/(2ρ)\varphi_{1/(2\rho)}φ1/(2ρ)​ and in λ<ρ−1\lambda < \rho^{-1}λ<ρ−1 of Lemma 2.2); ∑tαt>0\sum_t\alpha_t > 0∑t​αt​>0 in (3.4) (needed for t∗t^*t∗); closedness and properness in Lemmas 2.1–2.2. min⁡φ\min\varphiminφ is any lower bound φ∗\varphi^*φ∗ of fff on XXX. The C2C^2C2 clause of Lemma 2.1 is not stated.
  • Erratum. The rearranged display before "Notice that the left-hand-side is precisely …" (p. 14) has an extra factor ρˉ\bar\rhoρˉ​ in its denominator; the statement (3.4), which the goal formalizes, is what the unfolded recursion gives.
  • Ruled out. A formalization with an unconstrained proj, a stochastic subgradient not tied to ∂f\partial f∂f by (A2), expectations without integrability, or min⁡φ\min\varphiminφ as a junk-valued infimum would be trivial or false; each is excluded by the statements' hypotheses and conclusions.
  • Not included. The complexity remarks (3.9)–(3.10) and the paragraph on improved complexity under convexity.

Proofs of any milestone are welcome; Lemma 2.2 and the product-measure bookkeeping for (3.3) are the reusable parts.

Selected references

  • D. Davis, D. Drusvyatskiy, Stochastic Model-Based Minimization of Weakly Convex Functions, SIAM J. Optim. 29(1), 2019; arXiv:1803.06523v3. https://arxiv.org/abs/1803.06523
  • S. Ghadimi, G. Lan, Stochastic First- and Zeroth-Order Methods for Nonconvex Stochastic Programming, SIAM J. Optim. 23(4), 2013. https://doi.org/10.1137/120880811
  • R. T. Rockafellar, R. J.-B. Wets, Variational Analysis, Springer, 1998. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-642-02431-3
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Markov ChainProbabilityStatistics·Captain: mikedeng1

Spectral Gaps for a Metropolis–Hastings Algorithm in Infinite Dimensions II: The pCN Algorithm Has a Wasserstein Spectral Gap Uniform in the Dimension When the Potential Is Locally LipschitzResearch Paper

Motivation

Bayesian inverse problems for functions — the initial condition of a PDE, a permeability field, a diffusion coefficient — lead to posterior measures μ\muμ on an infinite-dimensional Hilbert space HHH, given by a density exp⁡(−Φ)\exp(-\Phi)exp(−Φ) with respect to a Gaussian prior γ\gammaγ. In practice μ\muμ is sampled by Markov chain Monte Carlo on an mmm-dimensional discretisation μm\mu_mμm​, and the question that matters is whether the sampler's convergence rate survives the limit m→∞m\to\inftym→∞. For the standard random-walk Metropolis algorithm it does not (mission III of this series). The preconditioned Crank–Nicolson (pCN) algorithm, whose proposal preserves γ\gammaγ, was introduced to avoid this (Beskos, Roberts, Stuart and Voss 2008; Cotter, Roberts, Stuart and White 2013).

Hairer, Stuart and Vollmer (2014) prove that pCN has a Wasserstein spectral gap that is uniform in the dimension. Mission I of this series covers their result for globally Lipschitz potentials Φ\PhiΦ (Theorem 2.12). This mission covers Theorem 2.14, which needs only that Φ\PhiΦ be locally Lipschitz, with a local Lipschitz constant growing slower than any exponential. That class contains potentials of polynomial growth, which arise for nonlinear forward maps.

Setting

HHH is a separable real Hilbert space with a centred Gaussian measure γ\gammaγ, and (ei)i≥0(e_i)_{i\ge0}(ei​)i≥0​ is an orthonormal basis of eigenvectors of the covariance of γ\gammaγ. PmHP_mHPm​H is the span of e0,…,em−1e_0,\dots,e_{m-1}e0​,…,em−1​, and γm\gamma_mγm​ is the image of γ\gammaγ under the orthogonal projection onto PmHP_mHPm​H. For a potential Φ:H→R\Phi:H\to\mathbb RΦ:H→R the targets are

μ(dx)∝e−Φ(x)γ(dx),μm(dx)∝e−Φ(x)γm(dx).\mu(dx)\propto e^{-\Phi(x)}\gamma(dx),\qquad \mu_m(dx)\propto e^{-\Phi(x)}\gamma_m(dx).μ(dx)∝e−Φ(x)γ(dx),μm​(dx)∝e−Φ(x)γm​(dx).

Fix a step size δ∈(0,12]\delta\in(0,\tfrac12]δ∈(0,21​] and put ρ=1−(1−2δ)1/2\rho=1-(1-2\delta)^{1/2}ρ=1−(1−2δ)1/2. One pCN step from xxx draws ξ∼γ\xi\sim\gammaξ∼γ and proposes px=(1−2δ)1/2x+2δ ξp_x=(1-2\delta)^{1/2}x+\sqrt{2\delta}\,\xipx​=(1−2δ)1/2x+2δ​ξ. The proposal is accepted with probability α(x,px)=1∧exp⁡(Φ(x)−Φ(px))\alpha(x,p_x)=1\wedge\exp(\Phi(x)-\Phi(p_x))α(x,px​)=1∧exp(Φ(x)−Φ(px​)); otherwise the chain stays at xxx. Its transition kernel is P\mathcal PP. The kernel Pm\mathcal P_mPm​ is the same algorithm on PmHP_mHPm​H with ξ∼γm\xi\sim\gamma_mξ∼γm​.

Distances between probability measures are Wasserstein lifts of a cost ccc: c(ν1,ν2)=inf⁡π∫c dπc(\nu_1,\nu_2)=\inf_\pi\int c\,d\pic(ν1​,ν2​)=infπ​∫cdπ over couplings π\piπ of ν1,ν2\nu_1,\nu_2ν1​,ν2​. A kernel is ddd-contracting if d(x,y)<1d(x,y)<1d(x,y)<1 implies d(P(x,⋅),P(y,⋅))≤c d(x,y)d(\mathcal P(x,\cdot),\mathcal P(y,\cdot))\le c\,d(x,y)d(P(x,⋅),P(y,⋅))≤cd(x,y) for a fixed c<1c<1c<1. A set SSS is ddd-small if d(P(x,⋅),P(y,⋅))≤s<1d(\mathcal P(x,\cdot),\mathcal P(y,\cdot))\le s<1d(P(x,⋅),P(y,⋅))≤s<1 for all x,y∈Sx,y\in Sx,y∈S.

The distance of this mission is a weighted path length (3.6). For unit-speed C1C^1C1 paths ψ:[0,T]→H\psi:[0,T]\to Hψ:[0,T]→H from xxx to yyy,

dˉ(x,y)=inf⁡T,ψ1ε∫0Teη∥ψ(t)∥ dt,d=1∧dˉ,d~(x,y)=d(x,y) (1+V(x)+V(y)),\bar d(x,y)=\inf_{T,\psi}\frac1\varepsilon\int_0^T e^{\eta\|\psi(t)\|}\,dt,\qquad d=1\wedge\bar d,\qquad \tilde d(x,y)=\sqrt{d(x,y)\,(1+V(x)+V(y))},dˉ(x,y)=T,ψinf​ε1​∫0T​eη∥ψ(t)∥dt,d=1∧dˉ,d~(x,y)=d(x,y)(1+V(x)+V(y))​,

with V(x)=∥x∥iV(x)=\|x\|^iV(x)=∥x∥i (i≥1i\ge1i≥1) or V(x)=ev∥x∥V(x)=e^{v\|x\|}V(x)=ev∥x∥ (v>0v>0v>0).

There are two assumptions. Assumption 2.10 says that for ∥x∥≥R\|x\|\ge R∥x∥≥R every proposal within distance r(∥x∥)r(\|x\|)r(∥x∥) of the proposal mean (1−ρ)x(1-\rho)x(1−ρ)x is accepted with probability at least eαle^{\alpha_l}eαl​, where r(s)≤ρ2sr(s)\le\frac\rho2 sr(s)≤2ρ​s. Assumption 2.13 says that e−Φe^{-\Phi}e−Φ is γ\gammaγ-integrable and that φ(r)=sup⁡x≠y∈Br(0)∣Φ(x)−Φ(y)∣/∥x−y∥≤Mκeκr\varphi(r)=\sup_{x\ne y\in B_r(0)}|\Phi(x)-\Phi(y)|/\|x-y\|\le M_\kappa e^{\kappa r}φ(r)=supx=y∈Br​(0)​∣Φ(x)−Φ(y)∣/∥x−y∥≤Mκ​eκr for every κ>0\kappa>0κ>0.

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem 2.14

Under Assumption 2.10 with r(s)=rsar(s)=r s^ar(s)=rsa (r>0r>0r>0, a∈(12,1)a\in(\frac12,1)a∈(21​,1)) and Assumption 2.13:

  1. μ\muμ and every μm\mu_mμm​ are the unique invariant probability measures of P\mathcal PP and Pm\mathcal P_mPm​.
  2. For η\etaη small enough and then ε\varepsilonε small enough, there is one n~\tilde nn~ such that for every mmm and all probability measures ν1,ν2\nu_1,\nu_2ν1​,ν2​
d~(ν1Pn~,ν2Pn~)≤12d~(ν1,ν2),d~(ν1Pmn~,ν2Pmn~)≤12d~(ν1,ν2).\tilde d(\nu_1\mathcal P^{\tilde n},\nu_2\mathcal P^{\tilde n})\le\tfrac12\tilde d(\nu_1,\nu_2),\qquad \tilde d(\nu_1\mathcal P_m^{\tilde n},\nu_2\mathcal P_m^{\tilde n})\le\tfrac12\tilde d(\nu_1,\nu_2).d~(ν1​Pn~,ν2​Pn~)≤21​d~(ν1​,ν2​),d~(ν1​Pmn~​,ν2​Pmn~​)≤21​d~(ν1​,ν2​).

The essential point is that n~\tilde nn~ does not depend on mmm.

Milestones

  • Lemma 3.5 (1)–(3): the comparison of dˉ\bar ddˉ with ∥x−y∥eη(∥x∥∨∥y∥)/ε\|x-y\|e^{\eta(\|x\|\vee\|y\|)}/\varepsilon∥x−y∥eη(∥x∥∨∥y∥)/ε, and the contraction of dˉ\bar ddˉ under a common-noise pCN step,
dˉ(px,py)≤(1−2δ)1/2eη[−ρ(∥x∥∨∥y∥)+2δ∥ξ∥+J]dˉ(x,y).\bar d(p_x,p_y)\le(1-2\delta)^{1/2}e^{\eta[-\rho(\|x\|\vee\|y\|)+\sqrt{2\delta}\|\xi\|+J]}\bar d(x,y).dˉ(px​,py​)≤(1−2δ)1/2eη[−ρ(∥x∥∨∥y∥)+2δ​∥ξ∥+J]dˉ(x,y).
  • Lemma 3.6: P\mathcal PP and every Pm\mathcal P_mPm​ are ddd-contracting with one constant.
  • Lemma 3.7: bounded sets are ddd-small for Pn\mathcal P^nPn and every Pmn\mathcal P_m^nPmn​, with nnn and sss independent of mmm.

The paper derives Theorem 2.14 from these, from Lemma 3.2 (Lyapunov functions) and from Proposition 2.6 (the weak Harris theorem of Hairer, Mattingly and Scheutzow 2011). The last two are posed in mission I of this series.

Significance

A Wasserstein spectral gap uniform in mmm means that the number of pCN steps needed to reach a given accuracy does not grow with the discretisation level. In §4 of the paper this yields a strong law of large numbers and a central limit theorem for pCN ergodic averages, and, combined with Theorem 2.15, an Lμ2L^2_\muLμ2​-spectral gap and mean-square error bounds, all uniform in the dimension. The locally Lipschitz case is the one that covers potentials of polynomial growth.

The result is proved in the paper. It has not been formalized. A formalization would produce a reusable weak-Harris toolkit for Markov kernels on Polish spaces, and a machine-checked account of the path-metric construction, which the paper adapts from Hairer and Majda (2010) and Hairer, Mattingly and Scheutzow (2011). It would also check the paper's proof, whose printed Lemma 3.5 (3) contains a typographical slip in the exponent; the formalized bound is the one the proof derives.

Difficulty

With Φ\PhiΦ only locally Lipschitz, no single ε\varepsilonε makes 1∧∥x−y∥/ε1\wedge\|x-y\|/\varepsilon1∧∥x−y∥/ε contracting. The probability that exactly one of two coupled chains accepts is controlled by ∣Φ(x)−Φ(y)∣|\Phi(x)-\Phi(y)|∣Φ(x)−Φ(y)∣, and far from the origin this exceeds any fixed multiple of ∥x−y∥\|x-y\|∥x−y∥. The weighted path distance makes far-out points "close" only when they are very close in norm. But then even the "both accept" move can increase the distance, because the weight eη∥⋅∥e^{\eta\|\cdot\|}eη∥⋅∥ changes along the move. Showing that the shrinkage (1−ρ)(1-\rho)(1−ρ) of the proposal mean beats this, while the Gaussian noise term stays integrable uniformly in mmm, is the content of Lemmas 3.5 and 3.6. The order of the choices (RRR, then η\etaη, then ε\varepsilonε) is essential.

Formalization scope

  • HHH is a real Hilbert space that is complete, separable and Borel. γ\gammaγ is Mathlib's IsGaussian with mean zero. (ei)(e_i)(ei​) is a HilbertBasis ℕ whose vectors are pairwise uncorrelated under the covariance bilinear form.
  • PmHP_mHPm​H is a submodule. γm\gamma_mγm​ is the pushforward under the orthogonal projection. Pm\mathcal P_mPm​ lives on the subtype PmHP_mHPm​H, with Φ\PhiΦ and VVV restricted to it and ddd restricted from HHH.
  • μ\muμ and μm\mu_mμm​ are Mathlib's normalised tilted measures. The goal concludes that they are probability measures.
  • The Metropolis–Hastings kernel is built from Mathlib's Kernel.withDensity. Kernel powers are composition powers, and νPn\nu\mathcal P^nνPn is Measure.bind.
  • Wasserstein lifts and dˉ\bar ddˉ are infima in [0,∞][0,\infty][0,∞], so no junk zero arises from an empty or unbounded set. Unit speed is imposed on (0,T)(0,T)(0,T), so dˉ(x,x)=0\bar d(x,x)=0dˉ(x,x)=0 through the constant path with T=0T=0T=0.
  • Contraction, smallness and Lyapunov constants are explicit arguments. "Uniform in mmm" is "one constant for all mmm".
  • "Small enough" is ∃η0>0 ∀η∈(0,η0] ∃ε0>0 ∀ε∈(0,ε0]\exists\eta_0>0\ \forall\eta\in(0,\eta_0]\ \exists\varepsilon_0>0\ \forall\varepsilon\in(0,\varepsilon_0]∃η0​>0 ∀η∈(0,η0​] ∃ε0​>0 ∀ε∈(0,ε0​].
  • Several readings are disclosed. "r∈Rr\in\mathbb Rr∈R" is read as r>0r>0r>0, i∈Ni\in\mathbb Ni∈N as i≥1i\ge1i≥1, and v>0v>0v>0. Assumption 2.10 is stated for s≥0s\ge0s≥0, the domain of rrr, and requires r(s)>0r(s)>0r(s)>0 for s>0s>0s>0 so that the acceptance balls are nonempty. Its infimum and the supremum φ(r)\varphi(r)φ(r) of Assumption 2.13 are stated pointwise.
  • The general form of Lemma 3.6 has a disclosed radius-floor hypothesis: r(s)r(s)r(s) stays bounded away from zero for large sss. The printed proof needs a uniform positive probability for the proposal ball; this hypothesis supplies it. Theorem 2.14's power-law radius already meets it.
  • The formalization rules out trivialising readings. The tilted measure cannot be the zero measure, because the goal asserts it is a probability measure. Uniqueness is among probability measures. V≡1V\equiv1V≡1 is excluded. A n~\tilde nn~ chosen after mmm would give a per-dimension gap, not this theorem.
  • A complete development needs:
    • the weak Harris theorem (Proposition 2.6, mission I);
    • Gaussian tail bounds of Fernique type, with the dimension-monotonicity of Lemma 3.1 (mission I);
    • the Lyapunov drift Lemma 3.2 (mission I);
    • calculus of C1C^1C1 paths in Hilbert space;
    • synchronous couplings of Metropolis–Hastings kernels.
  • The Harris and coupling layers are reusable well beyond this paper. Contributions to any of them are welcome.

Selected references

  • M. Hairer, A. M. Stuart and S. J. Vollmer, Spectral gaps for a Metropolis–Hastings algorithm in infinite dimensions, arXiv:1112.1392v4 (2014), published in Ann. Appl. Probab. 24(6) (2014) 2455–2490, https://doi.org/10.1214/13-AAP982. https://arxiv.org/abs/1112.1392v4
  • M. Hairer, J. C. Mattingly and M. Scheutzow, Asymptotic coupling and a general form of Harris' theorem with applications to stochastic delay equations, Probab. Theory Related Fields 149 (2011) 223–259. MR2773030, https://mathscinet.ams.org/mathscinet-getitem?mr=2773030
  • M. Hairer and A. J. Majda, A simple framework to justify linear response theory, Nonlinearity 23 (2010) 909–922. MR2602020, https://mathscinet.ams.org/mathscinet-getitem?mr=2602020
  • A. Beskos, G. O. Roberts, A. M. Stuart and J. Voss, MCMC methods for diffusion bridges, Stoch. Dyn. 8 (2008) 319–350. MR2444507, https://mathscinet.ams.org/mathscinet-getitem?mr=2444507
  • S. L. Cotter, G. O. Roberts, A. M. Stuart and D. White, MCMC methods for functions: modifying old algorithms to make them faster, Statist. Sci. 28 (2013) 424–446. https://doi.org/10.1214/13-STS421
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AnalysisProbabilityStochastic Systems·Captain: mikedeng1

Affine Volterra Processes 2: The Exponential-Affine Transform Formula via the Riccati–Volterra EquationResearch Paper

Motivation

Many stochastic models have a present state that depends on a weighted history of past drift and noise. A stochastic Volterra equation captures this dependence through a kernel KKK: a recent increment and an older increment can enter the current state with different weights. Classical affine diffusions arise from the special constant kernel K=IK=IK=I. For those diffusions, conditional Fourier–Laplace transforms can often be found from finite-dimensional Riccati ordinary differential equations. The paper by Abi Jaber, Larsson and Pulido asks for an analogous transform when the kernel retains memory. Its Theorem 4.3 gives a formula for a continuous affine Volterra process under a stated Riccati–Volterra solution assumption.

The result matters for models in which the history cannot be replaced by the current state alone. The transform characterizes conditional distributions and integrated path functionals in the form used by the paper's later results. The present mission isolates Theorem 4.3 and four of its stated supporting claims. The paper proves these results; the mission seeks machine-checked proofs of their Lean statements.

Setting

Fix a positive integer ddd and a deterministic, matrix-valued kernel K:[0,∞)→Rd×dK:[0,\infty)\to\mathbb R^{d\times d}K:[0,∞)→Rd×d whose entries are locally square integrable. The Volterra convolution of KKK with a vector function vvv is (K∗v)(t)=∫0tK(t−s)v(s) ds(K*v)(t)=\int_0^t K(t-s)v(s)\,ds(K∗v)(t)=∫0t​K(t−s)v(s)ds. Matrix convolutions retain the order of multiplication: (K∗R)(t)=∫0tK(t−s)R(s) ds(K*R)(t)=\int_0^t K(t-s)R(s)\,ds(K∗R)(t)=∫0t​K(t−s)R(s)ds.

Let A0,…,AdA^0,\ldots,A^dA0,…,Ad be real symmetric matrices and b0,…,bdb^0,\ldots,b^db0,…,bd real column vectors. Their affine covariance and drift are a(x)=A0+∑ixiAia(x)=A^0+\sum_i x_iA^ia(x)=A0+∑i​xi​Ai and b(x)=b0+∑ixibib(x)=b^0+\sum_i x_i b^ib(x)=b0+∑i​xi​bi. The matrix B=(b1 ⋯ bd)B=(b^1\ \cdots\ b^d)B=(b1 ⋯ bd) has the bib^ibi as columns. For a complex row uuu, write A(u)=(uA1u⊤,…,uAdu⊤)A(u)=(uA^1u^\top,\ldots,uA^du^\top)A(u)=(uA1u⊤,…,uAdu⊤); the transpose is ordinary, with no complex conjugation.

An affine Volterra process XXX is a continuous solution of

Xt=x0+∫0tK(t−s)b(Xs) ds+∫0tK(t−s)σ(Xs) dWs.X_t=x_0+\int_0^t K(t-s)b(X_s)\,ds+\int_0^t K(t-s)\sigma(X_s)\,dW_s.Xt​=x0​+∫0t​K(t−s)b(Xs​)ds+∫0t​K(t−s)σ(Xs​)dWs​.

Here WWW is a ddd-dimensional Brownian motion on a usual stochastic basis, x0x_0x0​ is deterministic, and XXX stays in a state space EEE. The continuous coefficient σ\sigmaσ obeys σ(x)σ(x)⊤=a(x)\sigma(x)\sigma(x)^\top=a(x)σ(x)σ(x)⊤=a(x) on EEE, where a(x)a(x)a(x) is positive semidefinite. This is Definition 4.1 and the standing setting of Section 4 of the paper.

Formalization targets

The main target is Theorem 4.3. Fix a finite horizon TTT, a complex row uuu, and an integrable complex-row function fff. Suppose a square-integrable function ψ\psiψ solves the Riccati–Volterra equation

ψ=uK+(f+ψB+12A(ψ))∗K.\psi=uK+\bigl(f+\psi B+\tfrac12A(\psi)\bigr)*K.ψ=uK+(f+ψB+21​A(ψ))∗K.

Define YYY by the stochastic integral and drift in equations (4.4)–(4.5). The theorem identifies YtY_tYt​ with a conditional mean plus a quadratic correction:

Yt=E[uXT+(f∗X)T∣Ft]+12∫tTψ(T−s)a(E[Xs∣Ft])ψ(T−s)⊤ ds,0≤t≤T.Y_t=\mathbb E[uX_T+(f*X)_T\mid\mathcal F_t] +\tfrac12\int_t^T\psi(T-s)a(\mathbb E[X_s\mid\mathcal F_t])\psi(T-s)^\top\,ds, \qquad 0\le t\le T.Yt​=E[uXT​+(f∗X)T​∣Ft​]+21​∫tT​ψ(T−s)a(E[Xs​∣Ft​])ψ(T−s)⊤ds,0≤t≤T.

It also states that eYe^{Y}eY is a local martingale on [0,T][0,T][0,T]. If it is a true martingale, then the exponential-affine transform formula is

E ⁣[euXT+(f∗X)T∣Ft]=eYt,t≤T.\mathbb E\!\left[e^{uX_T+(f*X)_T}\mid\mathcal F_t\right]=e^{Y_t},\qquad t\le T.E[euXT​+(f∗X)T​∣Ft​]=eYt​,t≤T.

The milestone list records Lemma 4.2's conditional and unconditional means, the mean Volterra equation stated in the proof of Theorem 4.3, the resolvent commutation claim in the proof of Lemma 4.4, and Lemma 4.4's equivalent Riccati equation. A second-kind resolvent RBR_BRB​ of −KB-KB−KB uses the paper's sign convention H∗RB=RB∗H=H−RBH*R_B=R_B*H=H-R_BH∗RB​=RB​∗H=H−RB​ for H=−KBH=-KBH=−KB; the equivalent equation uses EB=K−RB∗KE_B=K-R_B*KEB​=K−RB​∗K.

Significance

The conditional transform links a path-dependent stochastic equation to a deterministic nonlinear Volterra equation. It supplies a way to describe the law of a future state together with a linear functional of its past. The conditional-mean milestone separately gives a usable formula for E[XT∣Ft]\mathbb E[X_T\mid\mathcal F_t]E[XT​∣Ft​], while the resolvent milestones identify the deterministic kernel relations needed by the transform.

The source provides proofs of these claims. The formalization task is to check their assumptions and equalities against a precise model of Brownian Itô integration, conditional expectation, and matrix convolution. Published Lean definitions for Brownian motion and an Itô integral relation are reused. The affine Volterra process, its Riccati equation, and these theorem statements are drafted here; their proofs remain open.

Difficulty

The conditional payoff involves the entire path before TTT, while XXX generally has no finite-dimensional Markov state. Consequently, the familiar affine-diffusion formula in terms of XtX_tXt​ alone is not the target of Theorem 4.3. Deterministic matrix convolutions are order-sensitive, and the two resolvents of −KB-KB−KB and −BK-BK−BK have different kernels. Stochastic convolutions also have integrands that depend on the terminal time. The passage from fixed-time integral equalities to a continuous local-martingale process requires care about versions and filtration adaptation.

Formalization scope

Processes use nonnegative real time, while deterministic kernels and interval integrals use real time. Finite-dimensional LpL^pLp conditions are checked componentwise. Kernel and resolvent identities between locally integrable functions hold almost everywhere on positive time. Riccati equations hold almost everywhere on [0,T][0,T][0,T]; stochastic and conditional identities hold almost surely at each fixed time. The local-martingale claim uses the real and imaginary parts of the complex exponential, stopped at TTT.

The process definition includes the Section 4 assumptions on symmetry, covariance positivity, continuity of σ\sigmaσ, deterministic x0x_0x0​, and the usual stochastic basis. Brownian Itô terms are constrained by the published integral relation. Deterministic drift convolutions require integrable integrands. The theorem asserts integrability of the payoff and of XsX_sXs​ as conclusions, preventing conditional expectation from defaulting to zero. In (4.6) the conditional means E[Xs∣Ft]\mathbb E[X_s\mid\mathcal F_t]E[Xs​∣Ft​] enter the dsdsds-integral through a jointly measurable version in (s,ω)(s,\omega)(s,ω), so that integral cannot default to zero. The dimension is positive, and the theorem does not specialize the kernel to III or insert a resolvent assumption into its goal.

A complete development will need reusable results on locally integrable matrix kernels and their resolvents, stochastic Fubini interchange, moment bounds for Volterra solutions, and conditional expectation of the resulting integrals. The moment bound is posed as Lemma 3.1 in the companion existence mission. This draft includes the four listed milestones; Lemmas 2.1 and 2.5 from the source are left for a fuller stochastic Fubini and semimartingale encoding. Contributions that preserve their general hypotheses and conclusions are welcome.

Selected references

  • E. Abi Jaber, M. Larsson, and S. Pulido, Affine Volterra processes, arXiv:1708.08796v3, 2019. Preprint
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Convex OptimizationMachine LearningOptimization+1·Captain: mikedeng1

Stochastic Model-Based Minimization of Weakly Convex Functions 4: Under Convexity, Stochastic Model-Based Minimization Reaches Expected Function Gap (½‖x₀−x*‖² + L²γ²)/(γ√(T+1))Research Paper

Motivation

Many problems in statistical learning and signal processing take the form of minimizing an expectation f(x)=Eξ[F(x,ξ)]f(x)=\mathbb E_\xi[F(x,\xi)]f(x)=Eξ​[F(x,ξ)] plus a regularizer or constraint r(x)r(x)r(x), where the only access to fff is through samples ξ∼P\xi\sim Pξ∼P. The classical tool is the stochastic (proximal) subgradient method, which replaces fff at the current point by a random linear function. Two other methods use richer local approximations: the stochastic proximal point method keeps the whole sampled loss F(⋅,ξ)F(\cdot,\xi)F(⋅,ξ), and the stochastic prox-linear method linearizes only the smooth inner part of a composite loss h(c(x,ξ))h(c(x,\xi))h(c(x,ξ)). In experiments the richer models are markedly less sensitive to the choice of step size.

Davis and Drusvyatskiy (arXiv:1803.06523, SIAM J. Optim. 29(1), 2019) treat all three methods as instances of one scheme, stochastic model-based minimization, in which each step minimizes a sampled one-sided model fxt(⋅,ξt)f_{x_t}(\cdot,\xi_t)fxt​​(⋅,ξt​) of fff plus rrr plus a quadratic penalty. Their main theorem (Theorem 4.3) covers weakly convex problems through the Moreau envelope. This mission formalizes the companion result for the convex setting, Theorem 4.1: when the models lower-bound fff in expectation without quadratic error and fx(⋅,ξ)+rf_x(\cdot,\xi)+rfx​(⋅,ξ)+r is convex, the expected function gap at a weighted average of the iterates decays like 1/T1/\sqrt T1/T​. As the paper notes (p. 22), for the stochastic proximal subgradient method this improves earlier bounds (Cruz 2017; Duchi–Singer 2009) because no subgradient norm of rrr enters the estimate.

Setting

Work in Rd\mathbb R^dRd with the Euclidean norm. The problem is

min⁡x∈Rd φ(x):=f(x)+r(x),\min_{x\in\mathbb R^d}\ \varphi(x):=f(x)+r(x),x∈Rdmin​ φ(x):=f(x)+r(x),

where f:Rd→Rf:\mathbb R^d\to\mathbb Rf:Rd→R is locally Lipschitz and r:Rd→R∪{+∞}r:\mathbb R^d\to\mathbb R\cup\{+\infty\}r:Rd→R∪{+∞} is closed (its epigraph is closed) with nonempty domain D=dom⁡rD=\operatorname{dom}rD=domr. A function ψ\psiψ is ρ\rhoρ-weakly convex if x↦ψ(x)+ρ2∥x∥2x\mapsto\psi(x)+\frac\rho2\|x\|^2x↦ψ(x)+2ρ​∥x∥2 is convex; ρ=0\rho=0ρ=0 is ordinary convexity.

Assumption B (p. 18) fixes a probability space (Ω,F,P)(\Omega,\mathcal F,P)(Ω,F,P), an open convex set U⊇DU\supseteq DU⊇D, real constants τ,η,L\tau,\eta,\mathsf Lτ,η,L, a measurable model (x,y,ξ)↦fx(y,ξ)(x,y,\xi)\mapsto f_x(y,\xi)(x,y,ξ)↦fx​(y,ξ) on U×U×ΩU\times U\times\OmegaU×U×Ω and a measurable L:Ω→R+L:\Omega\to\mathbb R_+L:Ω→R+​ such that:

  1. (B1) i.i.d. samples ξ0,ξ1,⋯∼P\xi_0,\xi_1,\dots\sim Pξ0​,ξ1​,⋯∼P can be drawn;
  2. (B2) Eξ[fx(x,ξ)]=f(x)\mathbb E_\xi[f_x(x,\xi)]=f(x)Eξ​[fx​(x,ξ)]=f(x) and Eξ[fx(y,ξ)−f(y)]≤τ2∥y−x∥2\mathbb E_\xi[f_x(y,\xi)-f(y)]\le\frac\tau2\|y-x\|^2Eξ​[fx​(y,ξ)−f(y)]≤2τ​∥y−x∥2 for x,y∈Ux,y\in Ux,y∈U;
  3. (B3) fx(⋅,ξ)+rf_x(\cdot,\xi)+rfx​(⋅,ξ)+r is η\etaη-weakly convex for every x∈Ux\in Ux∈U and almost every ξ\xiξ;
  4. (B4) E[L(ξ)2]≤L\sqrt{\mathbb E[L(\xi)^2]}\le\mathsf LE[L(ξ)2]​≤L and fx(x,ξ)−fx(y,ξ)≤L(ξ)∥x−y∥f_x(x,\xi)-f_x(y,\xi)\le L(\xi)\|x-y\|fx​(x,ξ)−fx​(y,ξ)≤L(ξ)∥x−y∥ for x,y∈Ux,y\in Ux,y∈U and almost every ξ\xiξ.

Algorithm 4.1 (p. 19) starts at x0x_0x0​ and, for t=0,…,Tt=0,\dots,Tt=0,…,T, samples ξt∼P\xi_t\sim Pξt​∼P and sets

xt+1=argmin⁡x{r(x)+fxt(x,ξt)+βt2∥x−xt∥2}.x_{t+1}=\operatorname*{argmin}_{x}\Big\{r(x)+f_{x_t}(x,\xi_t)+\frac{\beta_t}{2}\|x-x_t\|^2\Big\}.xt+1​=xargmin​{r(x)+fxt​​(x,ξt​)+2βt​​∥x−xt​∥2}.

The convex setting is τ=0\tau=0τ=0 and η=0\eta=0η=0. Write αt=βt−1>0\alpha_t=\beta_t^{-1}>0αt​=βt−1​>0 for the step sizes and let x∗x^*x∗ be any minimizer of φ\varphiφ.

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem 4.1, (4.17) and (4.18)

For every T>0T>0T>0,

E[φ(1∑t=0Tαt∑t=0Tαtxt+1)−φ(x∗)]≤12∥x0−x∗∥2+2L2∑t=0Tαt2∑t=0Tαt,\mathbb E\Big[\varphi\Big(\tfrac{1}{\sum_{t=0}^T\alpha_t}\textstyle\sum_{t=0}^T\alpha_t x_{t+1}\Big)-\varphi(x^*)\Big]\le\frac{\frac12\|x_0-x^*\|^2+2\mathsf L^2\sum_{t=0}^T\alpha_t^2}{\sum_{t=0}^T\alpha_t},E[φ(∑t=0T​αt​1​∑t=0T​αt​xt+1​)−φ(x∗)]≤∑t=0T​αt​21​∥x0​−x∗∥2+2L2∑t=0T​αt2​​,

and with the constant step αt=γ/T+1\alpha_t=\gamma/\sqrt{T+1}αt​=γ/T+1​, γ>0\gamma>0γ>0,

E[φ(1T+1∑t=1T+1xt)−φ(x∗)]≤12∥x0−x∗∥2+2L2γ2γT+1.\mathbb E\Big[\varphi\Big(\tfrac{1}{T+1}\textstyle\sum_{t=1}^{T+1}x_t\Big)-\varphi(x^*)\Big]\le\frac{\frac12\|x_0-x^*\|^2+2\mathsf L^2\gamma^2}{\gamma\sqrt{T+1}}.E[φ(T+11​∑t=1T+1​xt​)−φ(x∗)]≤γT+1​21​∥x0​−x∗∥2+2L2γ2​.

The factor 222 in front of L2\mathsf L^2L2 is the constant the paper's proof establishes; see Formalization scope.

Milestones

  1. Lemma 4.1: φ\varphiφ is (τ+η)(\tau+\eta)(τ+η)-weakly convex and ∣f(x)−f(y)∣≤L∥x−y∥|f(x)-f(y)|\le\mathsf L\|x-y\|∣f(x)−f(y)∣≤L∥x−y∥ on UUU.
  2. Lemma 4.2, (4.8): for every x∈dom⁡rx\in\operatorname{dom}rx∈domr, with xtx_txt​ fixed and Et\mathbb E_tEt​ the expectation over ξt\xi_tξt​,
Et∥xt+1−x∥2≤βt+τβt−η∥xt−x∥2−2βt−ηEt[φ(xt+1)−φ(x)]+4L2βt(βt−η).\mathbb E_t\|x_{t+1}-x\|^2\le\frac{\beta_t+\tau}{\beta_t-\eta}\|x_t-x\|^2-\frac{2}{\beta_t-\eta}\mathbb E_t[\varphi(x_{t+1})-\varphi(x)]+\frac{4\mathsf L^2}{\beta_t(\beta_t-\eta)}.Et​∥xt+1​−x∥2≤βt​−ηβt​+τ​∥xt​−x∥2−βt​−η2​Et​[φ(xt+1​)−φ(x)]+βt​(βt​−η)4L2​.
  1. Proof of Theorem 4.1, first display (p. 23): 2αtE[φ(xt+1)−φ(x∗)]≤E∥xt−x∗∥2−E∥xt+1−x∗∥2+4L2αt22\alpha_t\mathbb E[\varphi(x_{t+1})-\varphi(x^*)]\le\mathbb E\|x_t-x^*\|^2-\mathbb E\|x_{t+1}-x^*\|^2+4\mathsf L^2\alpha_t^22αt​E[φ(xt+1​)−φ(x∗)]≤E∥xt​−x∗∥2−E∥xt+1​−x∗∥2+4L2αt2​.

Significance

Theorem 4.1 is the function-value guarantee of the model-based framework. Theorem 4.3 measures progress by the gradient of the Moreau envelope, which is the right quantity for nonconvex problems but says nothing directly about suboptimality; under convexity, Theorem 4.1 gives the familiar O(1/T)O(1/\sqrt T)O(1/T​) rate for the gap itself. It applies to the stochastic proximal point and prox-linear methods as well as to the proximal subgradient method, and §4.2 of the paper uses it for minimizing an expectation of a pointwise maximum of convex functions, such as the conditional value-at-risk. The estimate (4.8) behind it is also the engine of the strongly convex rate O(1/(μT))O(1/(\mu T))O(1/(μT)) (Theorem 4.2, a separate mission of this series).

The result is proved in the paper; nothing in it is open. To our knowledge none of these statements has a machine-checked proof. The formalization contributes a checked version of the one-step estimate (4.8) with its corrected constant, a reusable Lean encoding of Assumption B and of Algorithm 4.1 with extended-valued rrr, and the passage from conditional one-step bounds to expectations over the product measure of the samples.

Difficulty

The argument is short on paper; the work lies in the measure theory the paper leaves implicit. The iterate xt+1x_{t+1}xt+1​ is an argmin that depends on xtx_txt​ and on the fresh sample ξt\xi_tξt​, and the one-step estimate holds only conditionally, with xtx_txt​ frozen. Turning it into an inequality between unconditional expectations requires measurability of the iterates, independence of ξt\xi_tξt​ from the past, and integrability of φ(xt+1)\varphi(x_{t+1})φ(xt+1​) and ∥xt+1−x∗∥2\|x_{t+1}-x^*\|^2∥xt+1​−x∗∥2, which the paper takes for granted. The convex function φ\varphiφ is extended-valued, so the function gap is meaningful only because every iterate and every average lies in dom⁡r\operatorname{dom}rdomr.

A naive one-step argument that bounds f(xt)−f(xt+1)f(x_t)-f(x_{t+1})f(xt​)−f(xt+1​) and fxt(xt,ξt)−fxt(xt+1,ξt)f_{x_t}(x_t,\xi_t)-f_{x_t}(x_{t+1},\xi_t)fxt​​(xt​,ξt​)−fxt​​(xt+1​,ξt​) separately, each by a Lipschitz constant times ∥xt+1−xt∥\|x_{t+1}-x_t\|∥xt+1​−xt​∥, gives the constant 4L24\mathsf L^24L2 in (4.8) and not the printed 2L22\mathsf L^22L2. The printed constant is false (see below), so the constant cannot be improved simply by tightening that one step.

Formalization scope

  • Space and encoding. Rd\mathbb R^dRd is EuclideanSpace ℝ (Fin d). The extended-valued rrr is a real function together with its domain D; closedness of rrr is closedness of {(x,t):x∈D, r(x)≤t}\{(x,t):x\in D,\ r(x)\le t\}{(x,t):x∈D, r(x)≤t}, and convexity is ConvexOn ℝ D. L\mathsf LL is L and L(ξ)L(\xi)L(ξ) is Lfun.
  • Randomness. The T+1T+1T+1 samples are a point of ΩT+1\Omega^{T+1}ΩT+1 under the product measure P⊗(T+1)P^{\otimes(T+1)}P⊗(T+1); expectations are Bochner integrals. Every theorem that bounds an expectation also concludes integrability of the integrand, so the junk value 000 of a non-integrable integral cannot make a bound hold vacuously. The single-step estimate (4.8) holds xtx_txt​ fixed and integrates over one sample; integrability of r(xt+1)r(x_{t+1})r(xt+1​) is a hypothesis there, and a conclusion in the run-level statements, where the minimizer x∗x^*x∗ supplies the lower bound.
  • Algorithm. The iterates are the run of an update map that always lies in DDD, is jointly measurable, and is a minimizer of the subproblem for almost every sample. An unconstrained update map would make the goal false; this one is pinned to the paper's step. x0∈Ux_0\in Ux0​∈U is assumed, since the model is only defined on UUU. The parameter ρˉ\bar\rhoρˉ​ of Algorithm 4.1 does not affect the iterates, and requiring βt>ρˉ>τ+η=0\beta_t>\bar\rho>\tau+\eta=0βt​>ρˉ​>τ+η=0 over the steps used is the same as αt>0\alpha_t>0αt​>0.
  • Minimizer. x∗∈Dx^*\in Dx∗∈D with φ(x∗)≤φ(y)\varphi(x^*)\le\varphi(y)φ(x∗)≤φ(y) for all y∈Dy\in Dy∈D. A minimizer of fff alone, or an arbitrary point, would trivialize the goal; convexity of φ\varphiφ is not assumed separately, since it follows from Lemma 4.1.
  • Corrected constant (paper typo). The paper prints 2L2/(βt(βt−η))2\mathsf L^2/(\beta_t(\beta_t-\eta))2L2/(βt​(βt​−η)) in (4.8), 2L2αt22\mathsf L^2\alpha_t^22L2αt2​ in the first display of the proof of Theorem 4.1, and L2\mathsf L^2L2 in (4.17)–(4.18). Its own proof of (4.8) (p. 21) bounds the error terms by 2L2/βt2\mathsf L^2/\beta_t2L2/βt​ and divides by (βt−η)/2(\beta_t-\eta)/2(βt​−η)/2, which gives 4L2/(βt(βt−η))4\mathsf L^2/(\beta_t(\beta_t-\eta))4L2/(βt​(βt​−η)). The printed (4.8) and the printed first display fail on a one-dimensional example (r=0r=0r=0, f=∣⋅∣f=|\cdot|f=∣⋅∣, a linear model with slope ±1\pm1±1 at the origin, β=1\beta=1β=1). The Lean statements carry the constants the proof establishes: 4L24\mathsf L^24L2 in (4.8) and the display, 2L22\mathsf L^22L2 in (4.17)–(4.18). Whether the printed (4.17) holds by a sharper argument is not settled here; the milestone texts quote the page verbatim.
  • Needed infrastructure. Product measures and independence of coordinates (Measure.pi), Fubini–Tonelli over Ωt×Ω\Omega^{t}\times\OmegaΩt×Ω, measurability of the run, Jensen's inequality for a convex function on a convex set, and strong convexity of the subproblem. Proofs of any milestone are welcome, as are a general "conditional one-step bound to expectation over the run" lemma reusable by the other missions of this series.

Selected references

  • D. Davis, D. Drusvyatskiy, Stochastic model-based minimization of weakly convex functions, SIAM J. Optim. 29(1):207–239, 2019; arXiv:1803.06523v3. https://arxiv.org/abs/1803.06523
  • J. Duchi, Y. Singer, Efficient online and batch learning using forward backward splitting, J. Mach. Learn. Res. 10:2899–2934, 2009. https://jmlr.org/papers/v10/duchi09a.html
  • J. Cruz, On proximal subgradient splitting method for minimizing the sum of two nonsmooth convex functions, Set-Valued Var. Anal. 25:245–263, 2017. https://doi.org/10.1007/s11228-016-0376-5
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Convex OptimizationMachine LearningOptimization+1·Captain: mikedeng1

Stochastic Model-Based Minimization of Weakly Convex Functions 5: Under μ-Strong Convexity, Model-Based Minimization with β_t = μ(t+1)/2 Reaches Expected Function Gap O(1/(μT))Research Paper

Motivation

Many problems in statistical learning and signal processing minimize an expectation f(x)=Eξ[F(x,ξ)]f(x)=\mathbb E_\xi[F(x,\xi)]f(x)=Eξ​[F(x,ξ)] plus a regularizer or constraint r(x)r(x)r(x), with access to fff only through samples ξ∼P\xi\sim Pξ∼P. The standard tool is the stochastic (proximal) subgradient method, which replaces fff at the current point by a random linear function. Two other methods use richer local approximations: the stochastic proximal point method keeps the whole sampled loss F(⋅,ξ)F(\cdot,\xi)F(⋅,ξ), and the stochastic prox-linear method linearizes only the smooth inner map of a composite loss h(c(x,ξ))h(c(x,\xi))h(c(x,ξ)). The richer models are markedly less sensitive to the step size in practice.

Davis and Drusvyatskiy (arXiv:1803.06523, SIAM J. Optim. 29(1), 2019) treat all three methods as instances of one scheme, stochastic model-based minimization: each step minimizes a sampled one-sided model fxt(⋅,ξt)f_{x_t}(\cdot,\xi_t)fxt​​(⋅,ξt​) of fff, plus rrr, plus a quadratic penalty. Their main theorem (Theorem 4.3) concerns weakly convex problems. This mission formalizes the companion result for the strongly convex setting, Theorem 4.2: when the models lower-bound fff in expectation and fx(⋅,ξ)+rf_x(\cdot,\xi)+rfx​(⋅,ξ)+r is μ\muμ-strongly convex, the expected function gap at a nonuniformly weighted average of the iterates decays like 1/(μT)1/(\mu T)1/(μT). The weighting is the technique of Schmidt, Le Roux and Bach (2012) for the projected stochastic subgradient method; the paper extends it to the fully proximal, model-based setting (p. 23).

Setting

Work in Rd\mathbb R^dRd with the Euclidean norm. The problem is

min⁡x∈Rd φ(x):=f(x)+r(x),\min_{x\in\mathbb R^d}\ \varphi(x):=f(x)+r(x),x∈Rdmin​ φ(x):=f(x)+r(x),

where f:Rd→Rf:\mathbb R^d\to\mathbb Rf:Rd→R is locally Lipschitz and r:Rd→R∪{+∞}r:\mathbb R^d\to\mathbb R\cup\{+\infty\}r:Rd→R∪{+∞} is closed (its epigraph is closed) with nonempty domain D=dom⁡rD=\operatorname{dom}rD=domr. A function ψ\psiψ is ρ\rhoρ-weakly convex if x↦ψ(x)+ρ2∥x∥2x\mapsto\psi(x)+\frac\rho2\|x\|^2x↦ψ(x)+2ρ​∥x∥2 is convex; a negative modulus ρ=−μ\rho=-\muρ=−μ is μ\muμ-strong convexity.

Assumption B (p. 18) fixes a probability space (Ω,F,P)(\Omega,\mathcal F,P)(Ω,F,P), an open convex set U⊇DU\supseteq DU⊇D, real constants τ,η,L\tau,\eta,\mathsf Lτ,η,L, a measurable model (x,y,ξ)↦fx(y,ξ)(x,y,\xi)\mapsto f_x(y,\xi)(x,y,ξ)↦fx​(y,ξ) on U×U×ΩU\times U\times\OmegaU×U×Ω and a measurable L:Ω→R+L:\Omega\to\mathbb R_+L:Ω→R+​ such that:

  1. (B1) i.i.d. samples ξ0,ξ1,⋯∼P\xi_0,\xi_1,\dots\sim Pξ0​,ξ1​,⋯∼P can be drawn;
  2. (B2) Eξ[fx(x,ξ)]=f(x)\mathbb E_\xi[f_x(x,\xi)]=f(x)Eξ​[fx​(x,ξ)]=f(x) and Eξ[fx(y,ξ)−f(y)]≤τ2∥y−x∥2\mathbb E_\xi[f_x(y,\xi)-f(y)]\le\frac\tau2\|y-x\|^2Eξ​[fx​(y,ξ)−f(y)]≤2τ​∥y−x∥2 for x,y∈Ux,y\in Ux,y∈U;
  3. (B3) fx(⋅,ξ)+rf_x(\cdot,\xi)+rfx​(⋅,ξ)+r is η\etaη-weakly convex for every x∈Ux\in Ux∈U and almost every ξ\xiξ;
  4. (B4) E[L(ξ)2]≤L\sqrt{\mathbb E[L(\xi)^2]}\le\mathsf LE[L(ξ)2]​≤L and fx(x,ξ)−fx(y,ξ)≤L(ξ)∥x−y∥f_x(x,\xi)-f_x(y,\xi)\le L(\xi)\|x-y\|fx​(x,ξ)−fx​(y,ξ)≤L(ξ)∥x−y∥ for x,y∈Ux,y\in Ux,y∈U and almost every ξ\xiξ.

Algorithm 4.1 (p. 19) starts at x0x_0x0​ and, for t=0,…,Tt=0,\dots,Tt=0,…,T, samples ξt∼P\xi_t\sim Pξt​∼P and sets

xt+1=argmin⁡x{r(x)+fxt(x,ξt)+βt2∥x−xt∥2}.x_{t+1}=\operatorname*{argmin}_{x}\Big\{r(x)+f_{x_t}(x,\xi_t)+\frac{\beta_t}{2}\|x-x_t\|^2\Big\}.xt+1​=xargmin​{r(x)+fxt​​(x,ξt​)+2βt​​∥x−xt​∥2}.

The strongly convex setting is τ=0\tau=0τ=0 and η=−μ\eta=-\muη=−μ with μ>0\mu>0μ>0, run with βt=μ(t+1)/2\beta_t=\mu(t+1)/2βt​=μ(t+1)/2. Let x∗x^*x∗ be any minimizer of φ\varphiφ.

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem 4.2

For every integer T>0T>0T>0,

E[φ(2(T+2)(T+3)−2∑t=1T+1(t+1) xt)−φ(x∗)]≤μ∥x0−x∗∥2(T+2)2+16L2μ(T+2),\mathbb E\Big[\varphi\Big(\frac{2}{(T+2)(T+3)-2}\sum_{t=1}^{T+1}(t+1)\,x_t\Big)-\varphi(x^*)\Big]\le\frac{\mu\|x_0-x^*\|^2}{(T+2)^2}+\frac{16\mathsf L^2}{\mu(T+2)},E[φ((T+2)(T+3)−22​t=1∑T+1​(t+1)xt​)−φ(x∗)]≤(T+2)2μ∥x0​−x∗∥2​+μ(T+2)16L2​,

together with integrability of the function inside the expectation. The paper prints 8L28\mathsf L^28L2; see Formalization scope.

Milestones

  1. Lemma 4.1 (p. 18): φ\varphiφ is (τ+η)(\tau+\eta)(τ+η)-weakly convex and ∣f(x)−f(y)∣≤L∥x−y∥|f(x)-f(y)|\le\mathsf L\|x-y\|∣f(x)−f(y)∣≤L∥x−y∥ on UUU.
  2. Lemma 4.2, (4.8) (p. 20): for a fixed current point xtx_txt​ and any x∈dom⁡rx\in\operatorname{dom}rx∈domr,
Et∥xt+1−x∥2≤βt+τβt−η∥xt−x∥2−2βt−ηEt[φ(xt+1)−φ(x)]+4L2βt(βt−η).\mathbb E_t\|x_{t+1}-x\|^2\le\frac{\beta_t+\tau}{\beta_t-\eta}\|x_t-x\|^2-\frac{2}{\beta_t-\eta}\mathbb E_t[\varphi(x_{t+1})-\varphi(x)]+\frac{4\mathsf L^2}{\beta_t(\beta_t-\eta)}.Et​∥xt+1​−x∥2≤βt​−ηβt​+τ​∥xt​−x∥2−βt​−η2​Et​[φ(xt+1​)−φ(x)]+βt​(βt​−η)4L2​.
  1. Proof of Theorem 4.2, first display (p. 23): with Δt=12E∥x∗−xt∥2\Delta_t=\frac12\mathbb E\|x^*-x_t\|^2Δt​=21​E∥x∗−xt​∥2,
E[φ(xt+1)−φ(x∗)]≤βtΔt−(βt+μ)Δt+1+2L2βt.\mathbb E[\varphi(x_{t+1})-\varphi(x^*)]\le\beta_t\Delta_t-(\beta_t+\mu)\Delta_{t+1}+\frac{2\mathsf L^2}{\beta_t}.E[φ(xt+1​)−φ(x∗)]≤βt​Δt​−(βt​+μ)Δt+1​+βt​2L2​.

Significance

The result. Theorem 4.2 is the O(1/(μT))O(1/(\mu T))O(1/(μT)) rate for a whole family of stochastic methods at once: the stochastic proximal point, prox-linear and proximal subgradient methods all satisfy Assumption B (§4.2 of the paper). The rate is in function values at an explicit averaged point, with explicit constants, and needs neither smoothness of fff nor bounded subgradients of rrr: the regularizer enters only through the strong convexity of the subproblems. The 1/(μT)1/(\mu T)1/(μT) order is the one Schmidt, Le Roux and Bach obtained for the projected stochastic subgradient method; Theorem 4.2 extends it to models that are not linear and to a general closed rrr.

Formalizing it. The result is proved in the paper; it is not formalized anywhere to our knowledge. Formalizing it pins down the exact constant (the printed one does not follow from the paper's lemmas; see below), the measure-theoretic content of "iterates generated by Algorithm 4.1" (a measurable selection of the argmin, the product measure of the samples, conditional expectation as an integral over one fresh sample) and the integrability that the expectations presuppose. The one-step estimate (4.8) is shared with mission 4 of this series (Theorem 4.1, convex setting); a proof of it serves both.

Difficulty

The telescoping that turns the one-step bound into the rate is elementary once the weights t+2t+2t+2 are chosen. The work lies in two places. First, (4.8) itself: it combines the strong convexity of the subproblem, the one-sided accuracy (B2) used in expectation, the Lipschitz bound (B4) at the random point xt+1x_{t+1}xt+1​ (so the exceptional null set must not depend on that point), Cauchy–Schwarz, and Lemma 4.1. Second, the passage from one step with xtx_txt​ held fixed to expectations over the whole run: this needs the independence of ξt\xi_tξt​ from ξ0,…,ξt−1\xi_0,\dots,\xi_{t-1}ξ0​,…,ξt−1​ (Fubini on the product measure) and integrability of rrr, ∥xt−x∗∥2\|x_t-x^*\|^2∥xt​−x∗∥2 and φ(xt+1)\varphi(x_{t+1})φ(xt+1​) along the run, none of which is stated on the page. A natural first attempt, bounding φ\varphiφ at the average by the average of φ\varphiφ before checking that the average lies in DDD, is valid only because the weights sum to one and DDD is convex by (B3).

Formalization scope

  • Carrier and extended values. Rd\mathbb R^dRd is EuclideanSpace ℝ (Fin d). The extended-valued rrr is encoded by its domain D and its real values on D; closedness is closedness of {(x,t):x∈D, r(x)≤t}\{(x,t):x\in D,\ r(x)\le t\}{(x,t):x∈D, r(x)≤t}. μ\muμ-strong convexity is (−μ)(-\mu)(−μ)-weak convexity: convexity of ψ−μ2∥⋅∥2\psi-\frac\mu2\|\cdot\|^2ψ−2μ​∥⋅∥2 on D.
  • Randomness. The T+1T+1T+1 samples are a point of ΩT+1\Omega^{T+1}ΩT+1 under Measure.pi; expectations are Bochner integrals, and every bounded expectation comes with an integrability conclusion, so a junk value 000 cannot make a bound hold. Et\mathbb E_tEt​ in (4.8) is the integral over one fresh sample with xtx_txt​ held fixed.
  • Iterates. The update is a jointly measurable map that lies in DDD and is a minimizer of the subproblem for almost every sample; the run is driven by it. Measurability of the update and x0∈Ux_0\in Ux0​∈U are added hypotheses. The parameter ρˉ\bar\rhoρˉ​ of Algorithm 4.1 does not affect the iterates (any ρˉ∈(−μ,μ/2)\bar\rho\in(-\mu,\mu/2)ρˉ​∈(−μ,μ/2) is admissible for all ttt) and does not appear. x∗x^*x∗ is any minimizer of φ=f+r\varphi=f+rφ=f+r over DDD.
  • Constant correction. The proof of (4.8) on p. 21 bounds the δ\deltaδ-terms by 2L2/βt2\mathsf L^2/\beta_t2L2/βt​ and divides by (βt−η)/2(\beta_t-\eta)/2(βt​−η)/2, which gives 4L2/(βt(βt−η))4\mathsf L^2/(\beta_t(\beta_t-\eta))4L2/(βt​(βt​−η)); the display prints 2L2/(βt(βt−η))2\mathsf L^2/(\beta_t(\beta_t-\eta))2L2/(βt​(βt​−η)), which fails on a one-dimensional example. Carried through the proof of Theorem 4.2, the corrected constant gives 2L2/βt2\mathsf L^2/\beta_t2L2/βt​ in the first display (printed L2/βt\mathsf L^2/\beta_tL2/βt​) and 16L2/(μ(T+2))16\mathsf L^2/(\mu(T+2))16L2/(μ(T+2)) in the theorem (printed 8L28\mathsf L^28L2). The Lean states the proof's constants; the milestone texts are quoted as printed. Whether the printed 8L28\mathsf L^28L2 bound holds by a sharper argument is open here.
  • Trivializations ruled out. The stepsize is fixed to βt=μ(t+1)/2\beta_t=\mu(t+1)/2βt​=μ(t+1)/2, the update is constrained to the argmin, x∗x^*x∗ minimizes φ\varphiφ (not fff), and the modulus is −μ-\mu−μ, not μ\muμ (μ\muμ-weak convexity would make the theorem false).
  • Contributions welcome. A proof of (4.8) from Assumption B, the Fubini/independence step for the run, and integrability lemmas for argmin selections are reusable across the series.

Selected references

  • D. Davis, D. Drusvyatskiy, Stochastic model-based minimization of weakly convex functions, SIAM J. Optim. 29(1):207–239, 2019; arXiv:1803.06523v3. https://arxiv.org/abs/1803.06523
  • M. Schmidt, N. Le Roux, F. Bach, A simpler approach to obtaining an O(1/t) convergence rate for the projected stochastic subgradient method, arXiv:1212.2002, 2012 (cited as [62] in the paper). https://arxiv.org/abs/1212.2002
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AnalysisProbabilityStochastic Systems·Captain: mikedeng1

Affine Volterra Processes 1: Nonnegative Weak Solutions of Stochastic Volterra Equations with Resolvent-Monotone KernelsResearch Paper

Motivation

Many stochastic models use a process whose response to a disturbance depends on the time elapsed since that disturbance. An ordinary stochastic differential equation uses only the current state and instantaneous coefficients. A stochastic Volterra equation instead weights its past drift and noise through a convolution kernel. Such equations include the constant kernel as a familiar limiting case, while singular or decaying kernels allow different memory patterns. The paper Affine Volterra processes studies this class to obtain non-Markovian models that retain tractable affine transform formulas. Before any transform can be used for a nonnegative state variable, the underlying equation must actually admit a solution that stays nonnegative. Abi Jaber, Larsson and Pulido, §§1–3.

The mission focuses on the paper's existence and invariance theorem, Theorem 3.6 of the pinned preprint. It is a separate question from uniqueness or explicit transforms: the coefficients are only continuous with linear growth, so classical contraction arguments for Lipschitz coefficients do not directly settle it. The proof also has to preserve the boundary of the nonnegative orthant despite a drift and noise term that depend on the entire past. Abi Jaber, Larsson and Pulido, Theorems 3.3–3.6.

Setting

Fix dimensions d,m≥0d,m\ge0d,m≥0. The kernel KKK is a deterministic function from nonnegative time to real d×dd\times dd×d matrices. The drift bbb maps Rd\mathbb R^dRd to Rd\mathbb R^dRd, and the diffusion coefficient σ\sigmaσ maps Rd\mathbb R^dRd to real d×md\times md×m matrices. Given a deterministic initial state x0x_0x0​ and an mmm-dimensional Brownian motion WWW, a continuous adapted process XXX solves

Xt=x0+∫0tK(t−s)b(Xs) ds+∫0tK(t−s)σ(Xs) dWs,t≥0.X_t=x_0+\int_0^t K(t-s)b(X_s)\,ds+ \int_0^t K(t-s)\sigma(X_s)\,dW_s,\qquad t\ge0.Xt​=x0​+∫0t​K(t−s)b(Xs​)ds+∫0t​K(t−s)σ(Xs​)dWs​,t≥0.

The deterministic and stochastic terms are matrix-vector convolutions: an event at time sss has an effect at time ttt weighted by K(t−s)K(t-s)K(t−s). A weak solution is allowed to choose its stochastic basis and Brownian motion. A strong solution is adapted to the completed filtration generated by its prescribed Brownian motion. All bases satisfy the usual completeness and right-continuity conditions. The equation is read at each fixed time almost surely, with XXX having continuous sample paths. Abi Jaber, Larsson and Pulido, (1.1), §3.

The paper's condition (2.5) asks each scalar kernel entry to be locally square-integrable and to satisfy two estimates of order hγh^\gammahγ as h↓0h\downarrow0h↓0: the integral of its square over [0,h][0,h][0,h], and the squared L2L^2L2 difference between its time shift by hhh and itself over each finite interval. The exponent satisfies 0<γ≤20<\gamma\le20<γ≤2 and may differ by entry. For the goal, KKK is diagonal. Each diagonal entry KiK_iKi​ is nonnegative, nonzero, nonincreasing and continuous on positive time. Its resolvent of the first kind LiL_iLi​ is a nonnegative measure whose convolution with KiK_iKi​ is the constant one; condition (3.4) also requires the interval mass Li([s,s+t])L_i([s,s+t])Li​([s,s+t]) to be nonincreasing in sss for every t≥0t\ge0t≥0. Abi Jaber, Larsson and Pulido, (2.5), (2.13), (3.4).

Formalization targets

Nonnegative weak existence

The goal is Theorem 3.6. Write R+d={x∈Rd:xi≥0 for all i}\mathbb R^d_+=\{x\in\mathbb R^d:x_i\ge0\text{ for all }i\}R+d​={x∈Rd:xi​≥0 for all i}. Suppose KKK is diagonal and satisfies (2.5) and (3.4) componentwise. Suppose bbb and σ\sigmaσ are continuous, satisfy max⁡{∣b(x)∣,∥σ(x)∥}≤cLG(1+∣x∣)\max\{|b(x)|,\|\sigma(x)\|\}\le c_{\mathrm{LG}}(1+|x|)max{∣b(x)∣,∥σ(x)∥}≤cLG​(1+∣x∣), and obey the boundary condition for every x∈Rdx\in\mathbb R^dx∈Rd:

xi=0⟹bi(x)≥0 and σik(x)=0for every k.x_i=0\quad\Longrightarrow\quad b_i(x)\ge0\ \text{and}\ \sigma_{ik}(x)=0\quad\text{for every }k.xi​=0⟹bi​(x)≥0 and σik​(x)=0for every k.

Then the target is

∀x0∈R+d,∃ a continuous weak solution X of (1.1) with Xt∈R+d.\forall x_0\in\mathbb R^d_+,\quad \exists\text{ a continuous weak solution }X\text{ of (1.1) with }X_t\in\mathbb R^d_+.∀x0​∈R+d​,∃ a continuous weak solution X of (1.1) with Xt​∈R+d​.

The milestone list records the paper's moment bound, strong existence for Lipschitz coefficients, and general weak existence with a first-kind resolvent. They are numbered results from the same preprint and establish distinct parts of the existence framework. Abi Jaber, Larsson and Pulido, Lemma 3.1 and Theorems 3.3, 3.4, 3.6.

Significance

The conclusion says more than finite-time nonnegativity of a proposed process: it asserts that a stochastic basis, Brownian motion and continuous solution actually exist for every nonnegative initial condition under the stated kernel and boundary assumptions. This supports later use of the affine transform results on state spaces with nonnegative coordinates. The paper treats this existence theorem as one of the main inputs to its square-root and rough-volatility examples. Abi Jaber, Larsson and Pulido, §§3, 6.

The theorem is already proved in the source paper. The formalization task is to state and eventually verify that known result in Lean, including the exact memory-kernel condition and the stochastic basis chosen by weak existence. The published Brownian and Itô-integral definitions are reused. A verified solution would leave reusable definitions for Volterra kernels, first-kind resolvents, and weak convolution equations, as well as machine-checked statements for the supporting existence theorems.

Difficulty

For Lipschitz coefficients, the paper obtains a unique strong solution. The goal permits only continuous coefficients of linear growth. Approximating them by better-behaved coefficients does not by itself guarantee that a limit solves the original convolution equation or remains in the nonnegative orthant. The stochastic convolution depends on the full history through K(t−s)K(t-s)K(t−s), and the boundary condition must be propagated through that memory. A direct appeal to an ordinary SDE invariance theorem therefore does not cover the claim. The first-kind resolvent and the monotonicity in (3.4) are central to the stated assumptions. Abi Jaber, Larsson and Pulido, proofs of Theorems 3.4 and 3.6.

Formalization scope

Lean uses EthierKurtz.SDEState d, a Euclidean ddd-vector, for states; real matrices for KKK and σ\sigmaσ; nonnegative real process time; and real arguments for deterministic kernels and interval integrals. Local L2L^2L2 membership is componentwise, which is equivalent to membership under any norm on the finite-dimensional matrix space. The matrix norm in linear growth is the Euclidean operator norm. The big-OOO bounds in (2.5) are taken as hhh tends to zero from the right. Each diagonal kernel has its own exponent and its own positive resolvent measure. A general matrix first-kind resolvent is encoded entrywise as the difference of two measures finite on compact positive-time intervals, so it may have infinite total mass.

The weak-solution predicate existentially quantifies the stochastic basis, Brownian motion and continuous process. Each stochastic convolution has a witness satisfying the published Brownian Itô relation; an unconstrained process cannot witness the equation. Drift terms carry interval integrability, avoiding a default-zero value for a nonintegrable integral. The stochastic basis is complete at time zero and right-continuous. The goal asserts orthant membership at every fixed time almost surely; continuous paths yield an orthant-valued version. The zero-time equation and empty-index cases are included. Contributions that formalize stochastic-convolution continuity, compactness of path laws, first-kind resolvent calculus, or invariance of the orthant are in scope.

Selected references

  • E. Abi Jaber, M. Larsson and S. Pulido, Affine Volterra processes, arXiv:1708.08796v3, 2019. Preprint
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CombinatoricsOperations ResearchOptimization·Captain: mikedeng1

Closing the Gap for Makespan Scheduling via Sparsification Techniques: A Feasible Configuration IP Has a Thin Solution, Support at Most 4(d+1)log(4(d+1)T), Complex Configurations Used at Most OnceResearch Paper

Motivation

Makespan minimization on identical parallel machines, P∥Cmax⁡P\|C_{\max}P∥Cmax​, asks to assign nnn jobs with processing times to mmm machines so that the largest machine load is as small as possible. It is strongly NP-hard, and the question has long been how fast a (1+ε)(1+\varepsilon)(1+ε)-approximate schedule can be found. After rounding and scaling, a guess TTT of the optimal makespan becomes a constant, the job sizes take only d=O((1/ε)log⁡(1/ε))d = O((1/\varepsilon)\log(1/\varepsilon))d=O((1/ε)log(1/ε)) distinct values, and the problem becomes an integer program over machine packings: the configuration IP.

A short history of the running times for this problem:

  • Hochbaum and Shmoys (1987) gave the first PTAS, with running time (n/ε)O(1/ε2)(n/\varepsilon)^{O(1/\varepsilon^2)}(n/ε)O(1/ε2).
  • Alon, Azar, Woeginger and Yadid (1997/1998), and Hochbaum and Shmoys, obtained an EPTAS with running time 2(1/ε)poly(1/ε)+O(nlog⁡n)2^{(1/\varepsilon)^{\mathrm{poly}(1/\varepsilon)}} + O(n\log n)2(1/ε)poly(1/ε)+O(nlogn).
  • Jansen (2010) used the support bound of Eisenbrand and Shmonin (2006) to reach 2O((1/ε)2log⁡3(1/ε))+O(nlog⁡n)2^{O((1/\varepsilon)^2\log^3(1/\varepsilon))} + O(n\log n)2O((1/ε)2log3(1/ε))+O(nlogn).
  • Chen, Jansen and Zhang (2014) showed that, under the Exponential Time Hypothesis, no PTAS runs in time 2(1/ε)1−δpoly(n)2^{(1/\varepsilon)^{1-\delta}}\mathrm{poly}(n)2(1/ε)1−δpoly(n).
  • Jansen, Klein and Verschae (arXiv 2016; Mathematics of Operations Research 2020) reached 2O((1/ε)log⁡4(1/ε))+O(nlog⁡n)2^{O((1/\varepsilon)\log^4(1/\varepsilon))} + O(n\log n)2O((1/ε)log4(1/ε))+O(nlogn), matching that lower bound up to polylogarithmic factors in the exponent. Their key ingredient is a structural theorem on the configuration IP, which this mission formalizes.

Setting

Fix d∈Nd \in \mathbb{N}d∈N, a vector of job sizes π∈Z>0d\pi \in \mathbb{Z}^d_{>0}π∈Z>0d​ and a capacity T∈Z>0T \in \mathbb{Z}_{>0}T∈Z>0​. The knapsack polytope is P={c∈R≥0d:π⋅c≤T}\mathcal{P} = \{c \in \mathbb{R}^d_{\ge 0} : \pi\cdot c \le T\}P={c∈R≥0d​:π⋅c≤T}, and a configuration is an integral point of it:

Q=Zd∩P,c∈Q  ⟺  c∈Z≥0d,  ∑kπkck≤T.Q = \mathbb{Z}^d \cap \mathcal{P}, \qquad c \in Q \iff c \in \mathbb{Z}^d_{\ge 0},\ \ \sum_{k} \pi_k c_k \le T.Q=Zd∩P,c∈Q⟺c∈Z≥0d​,  k∑​πk​ck​≤T.

A configuration describes one machine: ckc_kck​ jobs of size πk\pi_kπk​, of total load at most TTT. The support of a vector is the set of its nonzero coordinates, supp⁡(c)={k:ck≠0}\operatorname{supp}(c) = \{k : c_k \ne 0\}supp(c)={k:ck​=0}. Throughout, log⁡=log⁡2\log = \log_2log=log2​. A configuration is simple if ∣supp⁡(c)∣≤log⁡(T+1)|\operatorname{supp}(c)| \le \log(T+1)∣supp(c)∣≤log(T+1) and complex otherwise; QcQ_cQc​ is the set of complex configurations.

Given the number bkb_kbk​ of jobs of each size and the number mmm of machines, the configuration IP [conf-IP] asks for multiplicities xc∈Z≥0x_c \in \mathbb{Z}_{\ge 0}xc​∈Z≥0​, one per configuration, with

∑c∈Qc xc=b,∑c∈Qxc=m.\sum_{c\in Q} c\, x_c = b, \qquad \sum_{c \in Q} x_c = m.c∈Q∑​cxc​=b,c∈Q∑​xc​=m.

Its LP relaxation [conf-LP] replaces xc∈Z≥0x_c \in \mathbb{Z}_{\ge 0}xc​∈Z≥0​ by xc≥0x_c \ge 0xc​≥0. The support of a solution is supp⁡(x)={c∈Q:xc≠0}\operatorname{supp}(x) = \{c \in Q : x_c \neq 0\}supp(x)={c∈Q:xc​=0}.

Formalization targets

Goal: thin solutions (Theorem 1)

If [conf-IP] is feasible, it has a feasible solution xxx with

xc>1⇒c simple,∣supp⁡(x)∣≤4(d+1)log⁡(4(d+1)T),∑c∈Qcxc≤2(d+1)log⁡(4(d+1)T).x_c > 1 \Rightarrow c \text{ simple}, \qquad |\operatorname{supp}(x)| \le 4(d+1)\log(4(d+1)T), \qquad \sum_{c\in Q_c} x_c \le 2(d+1)\log(4(d+1)T).xc​>1⇒c simple,∣supp(x)∣≤4(d+1)log(4(d+1)T),c∈Qc​∑​xc​≤2(d+1)log(4(d+1)T).

A solution with these three properties is called thin.

Milestones

  1. Lemma 2 (Eisenbrand–Shmonin): if ∣supp⁡(x)∣>2(d+1)log⁡(4(d+1)T)|\operatorname{supp}(x)| > 2(d+1)\log(4(d+1)T)∣supp(x)∣>2(d+1)log(4(d+1)T) for a nonnegative integer vector xxx on QQQ, there are disjoint nonempty A,B⊆supp⁡(x)A, B \subseteq \operatorname{supp}(x)A,B⊆supp(x) with ∑c∈Ac=∑c∈Bc\sum_{c \in A} c = \sum_{c\in B} c∑c∈A​c=∑c∈B​c and ∣A∣=∣B∣|A| = |B|∣A∣=∣B∣.
  2. Lemma 3 (Eisenbrand–Shmonin): a feasible [conf-IP] has a solution with ∣supp⁡(x)∣≤2(d+1)log⁡(4(d+1)T)|\operatorname{supp}(x)| \le 2(d+1)\log(4(d+1)T)∣supp(x)∣≤2(d+1)log(4(d+1)T).
  3. Lemma 4 (Sparsification Lemma): every complex c∈Qc \in Qc∈Q satisfies 2c=c1+c22c = c_1 + c_22c=c1​+c2​ for configurations c1,c2c_1, c_2c1​,c2​ with π⋅c1=π⋅c2=π⋅c\pi\cdot c_1 = \pi\cdot c_2 = \pi\cdot cπ⋅c1​=π⋅c2​=π⋅c and supp⁡(ci)⊊supp⁡(c)\operatorname{supp}(c_i) \subsetneq \operatorname{supp}(c)supp(ci​)⊊supp(c).
  4. P1: a feasible solution minimizing the potential Φ(x)=∑c complexxc∣supp⁡(c)∣\Phi(x) = \sum_{c \text{ complex}} x_c|\operatorname{supp}(c)|Φ(x)=∑c complex​xc​∣supp(c)∣ uses each complex configuration at most once.
  5. P2: such a solution has at most 2(d+1)log⁡(4(d+1)T)2(d+1)\log(4(d+1)T)2(d+1)log(4(d+1)T) complex configurations in its support.

Companion results

  • Corollary 5: every vertex of conv.hull⁡(Q)\operatorname{conv.hull}(Q)conv.hull(Q) is a simple configuration; and, from its proof, the number of simple configurations is at most (L+1)dL(T+1)L(L+1)d^{L}(T+1)^{L}(L+1)dL(T+1)L with L=log⁡(T+1)L = \log(T+1)L=log(T+1), for d≥1d \ge 1d≥1.
  • Corollary 6: a feasible [conf-LP] has a solution supported on simple configurations only.

Significance

The result. Theorem 1 says that, up to O(dlog⁡(dT))O(d\log(dT))O(dlog(dT)) machines, every feasible configuration IP can be solved using simple configurations only. There are 2O(log⁡2d+log⁡2T)2^{O(\log^2 d + \log^2 T)}2O(log2d+log2T) simple configurations, far fewer than configurations in general, so an algorithm can guess the support of a solution among a much smaller family. This is what yields the 2O((1/ε)log⁡4(1/ε))+O(nlog⁡n)2^{O((1/\varepsilon)\log^4(1/\varepsilon))} + O(n\log n)2O((1/ε)log4(1/ε))+O(nlogn) EPTAS for P∥Cmax⁡P\|C_{\max}P∥Cmax​, and through the same structure PTASs for Q∥Cmax⁡Q\|C_{\max}Q∥Cmax​ and for LpL_pLp​-norm and max–min objectives. Corollaries 5 and 6 are structural facts about knapsack polytopes in their own right: the integer hull has only simple vertices, and the configuration LP can be restricted to simple configurations.

Formalizing it. The results are proved in the paper; none of them has a machine-checked proof that this mission knows of. The development produces a reusable formal model of configurations and of the configuration IP and LP, a formal Eisenbrand–Shmonin support bound for this IP (a Carathéodory-type statement for integer cones that recurs across integer programming), and the sparsification lemma with its potential-function argument. The constants 4(d+1)4(d+1)4(d+1) and 2(d+1)2(d+1)2(d+1) are the paper's and are stated exactly.

Difficulty

The obvious argument applies the sparsification lemma repeatedly, replacing any complex configuration used twice by two configurations of smaller support, and then shrinks the support with the Eisenbrand–Shmonin exchange. The second step can undo the first: the exchange moves weight between configurations and may raise the multiplicity of a complex configuration above one again, so alternating the two steps has no evident termination measure. A proof has to control both properties at once. The counting behind the support bound needs the explicit inequality (sT+1)d+1<2s(sT+1)^{d+1} < 2^s(sT+1)d+1<2s for every s>2(d+1)log⁡(4(d+1)T)s > 2(d+1)\log(4(d+1)T)s>2(d+1)log(4(d+1)T), which must be carried out with the exact constants rather than up to O(⋅)O(\cdot)O(⋅).

Formalization scope

  • Configurations are functions Fin d → ℕ with ∑kπkck≤T\sum_k \pi_k c_k \le T∑k​πk​ck​≤T; solutions of [conf-IP] are finitely supported functions (Fin d → ℕ) →₀ ℕ vanishing outside QQQ, and solutions of [conf-LP] are finitely supported real-valued functions, nonnegative and vanishing outside QQQ.
  • The standing assumptions of §2 are binders of every statement: πk>0\pi_k > 0πk​>0 for all kkk and T>0T > 0T>0. Lemma 4 does not need T>0T > 0T>0 and omits it.
  • The paper writes b∈Rdb \in \mathbb{R}^db∈Rd for [conf-IP]; feasibility forces b∈Ndb \in \mathbb{N}^db∈Nd, so bbb and mmm are natural numbers. For [conf-LP] they are real.
  • log⁡\loglog is Real.logb 2 and every bound is a real inequality; no floor is taken.
  • In Lemma 2, MxA=MxBMx^A = Mx^BMxA=MxB is stated row by row: the sum of the configurations in AAA equals that in BBB, and ∣A∣=∣B∣|A| = |B|∣A∣=∣B∣.
  • "Minimum potential" in P1 and P2 means Φ(x)≤Φ(y)\Phi(x) \le \Phi(y)Φ(x)≤Φ(y) for every feasible solution yyy of the same instance.
  • A vertex of conv.hull⁡(Q)\operatorname{conv.hull}(Q)conv.hull(Q) is an extreme point (Mathlib's Set.extremePoints). The asymptotic count of Corollary 5 is replaced by the explicit bound of its proof, with the added hypothesis d≥1d \ge 1d≥1 (at d=0d = 0d=0 the explicit bound is 000 while Q={0}Q = \{0\}Q={0}).

The goal theorem refers only to [conf-IP], its solutions, supports and the simple/complex split; it does not mention the potential, the matrix MMM or a minimality assumption, so it cannot be discharged by choosing a special solution in the hypotheses.

Needed infrastructure: finite sums over Finsupp, the pigeonhole principle on finsets, elementary bounds on Real.logb, and, for Corollaries 5 and 6, convex hulls and extreme points of finite sets in Rd\mathbb{R}^dRd. The definitions of configurations and of the configuration IP/LP are reusable for other configuration-IP papers (bin packing, cutting stock, scheduling). Contributions of auxiliary lemmas on supports of integer conic combinations are welcome.

Selected references

  • K. Jansen, K.-M. Klein, J. Verschae, Closing the Gap for Makespan Scheduling via Sparsification Techniques, ICALP 2016; Mathematics of Operations Research, 2020. https://arxiv.org/abs/1604.07153 (version v1, the basis of every citation in this mission)
  • F. Eisenbrand, G. Shmonin, Carathéodory bounds for integer cones, Operations Research Letters 34, 564–568, 2006. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.orl.2005.09.008
  • K. Jansen, An EPTAS for scheduling jobs on uniform processors: using an MILP relaxation with a constant number of integral variables, SIAM Journal on Discrete Mathematics 24, 457–485, 2010.
  • N. Alon, Y. Azar, G. J. Woeginger, T. Yadid, Approximation schemes for scheduling on parallel machines, Journal of Scheduling 1, 55–66, 1998.
  • D. S. Hochbaum, D. B. Shmoys, Using dual approximation algorithms for scheduling problems: theoretical and practical results, Journal of the ACM 34, 144–162, 1987. https://doi.org/10.1145/7531.7535
  • L. Chen, K. Jansen, G. Zhang, On the optimality of approximation schemes for the classical scheduling problem, Proceedings of the 25th ACM-SIAM Symposium on Discrete Algorithms (SODA), 657–668, 2014.
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Machine LearningOptimizationProbability·Captain: mikedeng1

Stochastic Model-Based Minimization of Weakly Convex Functions 1: Stochastic One-Sided Model Methods Drive the Moreau-Envelope Gradient E‖∇φ_{1/ρ̄}(x_{t*})‖² to Zero at Rate O(1/√T)Research Paper

Motivation

Many problems in statistics, signal processing and machine learning minimize an expected loss that is neither smooth nor convex: robust phase retrieval, blind deconvolution, covariance estimation with the ℓ1\ell_1ℓ1​ loss, training of networks with ReLU activations, and composite problems h(c(x))h(c(x))h(c(x)) with convex hhh and smooth ccc. A common structural feature of these objectives is weak convexity: adding a quadratic ρ2∥x∥2\frac{\rho}{2}\|x\|^22ρ​∥x∥2 makes the function convex. For such problems the classical stochastic algorithms — the stochastic proximal point method, the stochastic prox-linear method, and the stochastic proximal subgradient method — were used in practice long before any nonasymptotic complexity guarantee was available for them.

Damek Davis and Dmitriy Drusvyatskiy (arXiv:1803.06523, SIAM J. Optim. 29(1), 2019) gave such guarantees for all of these methods at once. They abstract each method as minimization of a stochastic one-sided model of the objective, and prove that the expected squared gradient of the Moreau envelope at a randomly selected iterate decays at rate O(1/T)O(1/\sqrt T)O(1/T​), i.e. a sample complexity of O(ε−4)O(\varepsilon^{-4})O(ε−4). This mission formalizes that main theorem (Theorem 4.3) and the lemmas its proof uses.

Timeline. Nurminskii (1973, 1974) showed that when the sample losses are ρ\rhoρ-weakly convex and there is no regularizer, the stochastic subgradient method converges subsequentially to stationary points almost surely; no rate was given. Ghadimi and Lan (2013) proved O(ε−4)O(\varepsilon^{-4})O(ε−4) complexity for smooth nonconvex stochastic problems. Davis and Grimmer (arXiv:1707.03505, 2017) gave a rate for a proximally guided variant of the stochastic subgradient method on weakly convex problems. Davis and Drusvyatskiy (2018) obtained the O(ε−4)O(\varepsilon^{-4})O(ε−4) complexity for the basic proximal stochastic subgradient method and, through the one-sided model framework, for the stochastic proximal point and prox-linear methods.

Setting

Work on Rd\mathbb R^dRd with the Euclidean norm. An extended-valued function r:Rd→R∪{∞}r:\mathbb R^d\to\mathbb R\cup\{\infty\}r:Rd→R∪{∞} has domain D=dom⁡r={x:r(x)<∞}D=\operatorname{dom} r=\{x: r(x)<\infty\}D=domr={x:r(x)<∞} and is closed when its epigraph is closed. A function ψ\psiψ is ρ\rhoρ-weakly convex when x↦ψ(x)+ρ2∥x∥2x\mapsto\psi(x)+\frac{\rho}{2}\|x\|^2x↦ψ(x)+2ρ​∥x∥2 is convex. For λ>0\lambda>0λ>0 the Moreau envelope and proximal map are

ψλ(x)=min⁡y{ψ(y)+12λ∥y−x∥2},prox⁡λψ(x)=argmin⁡y{ψ(y)+12λ∥y−x∥2}.\psi_\lambda(x)=\min_y\Big\{\psi(y)+\tfrac{1}{2\lambda}\|y-x\|^2\Big\},\qquad \operatorname{prox}_{\lambda\psi}(x)=\operatorname*{argmin}_y\Big\{\psi(y)+\tfrac{1}{2\lambda}\|y-x\|^2\Big\}.ψλ​(x)=ymin​{ψ(y)+2λ1​∥y−x∥2},proxλψ​(x)=yargmin​{ψ(y)+2λ1​∥y−x∥2}.

The problem is min⁡xφ(x):=f(x)+r(x)\min_x \varphi(x):=f(x)+r(x)minx​φ(x):=f(x)+r(x) with rrr closed and fff locally Lipschitz, where fff is accessible only through a random model fx(y,ξ)f_x(y,\xi)fx​(y,ξ), ξ∼P\xi\sim Pξ∼P. Assumption B asks for constants τ,η,L\tau,\eta,\mathsf Lτ,η,L, an open convex U⊇DU\supseteq DU⊇D and a measurable L:Ω→R+L:\Omega\to\mathbb R_+L:Ω→R+​ such that: Eξfx(x,ξ)=f(x)\mathbb E_\xi f_x(x,\xi)=f(x)Eξ​fx​(x,ξ)=f(x) and Eξ[fx(y,ξ)−f(y)]≤τ2∥y−x∥2\mathbb E_\xi[f_x(y,\xi)-f(y)]\le\frac\tau2\|y-x\|^2Eξ​[fx​(y,ξ)−f(y)]≤2τ​∥y−x∥2 on UUU (one-sided accuracy); fx(⋅,ξ)+rf_x(\cdot,\xi)+rfx​(⋅,ξ)+r is η\etaη-weakly convex for almost every ξ\xiξ; EL(ξ)2≤L\sqrt{\mathbb E L(\xi)^2}\le\mathsf LEL(ξ)2​≤L and fx(x,ξ)−fx(y,ξ)≤L(ξ)∥x−y∥f_x(x,\xi)-f_x(y,\xi)\le L(\xi)\|x-y\|fx​(x,ξ)−fx​(y,ξ)≤L(ξ)∥x−y∥.

Algorithm 4.1 fixes ρˉ>τ+η\bar\rho>\tau+\etaρˉ​>τ+η and parameters βt>ρˉ\beta_t>\bar\rhoβt​>ρˉ​, draws i.i.d. samples ξ0,…,ξT\xi_0,\dots,\xi_Tξ0​,…,ξT​, and sets

xt+1=argmin⁡x{r(x)+fxt(x,ξt)+βt2∥x−xt∥2}.x_{t+1}=\operatorname*{argmin}_x\Big\{r(x)+f_{x_t}(x,\xi_t)+\tfrac{\beta_t}{2}\|x-x_t\|^2\Big\}.xt+1​=xargmin​{r(x)+fxt​​(x,ξt​)+2βt​​∥x−xt​∥2}.

It returns xt∗x_{t^*}xt∗​, with t∗∈{0,…,T}t^*\in\{0,\dots,T\}t∗∈{0,…,T} drawn with P(t∗=t)∝ρˉ−τ−ηβt−η\mathbb P(t^*=t)\propto\frac{\bar\rho-\tau-\eta}{\beta_t-\eta}P(t∗=t)∝βt​−ηρˉ​−τ−η​. With fx(y,ξ)=f(y,ξ)f_x(y,\xi)=f(y,\xi)fx​(y,ξ)=f(y,ξ) it is the stochastic proximal point method; with a linearization it is the proximal stochastic subgradient method; with h(c(x,ξ)+∇c(x,ξ)(y−x),ξ)h(c(x,\xi)+\nabla c(x,\xi)(y-x),\xi)h(c(x,ξ)+∇c(x,ξ)(y−x),ξ) it is the stochastic prox-linear method.

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem 4.3, (4.15) and (4.16)

E∥∇φ1/ρˉ(xt∗)∥2≤ρˉ(φ1/ρˉ(x0)−min⁡φ)+2ρˉ2L2∑t=0T1(βt−η)(βt−ρˉ)∑t=0Tρˉ−τ−η2(βt−η),\mathbb E\|\nabla\varphi_{1/\bar\rho}(x_{t^*})\|^2\le\frac{\bar\rho(\varphi_{1/\bar\rho}(x_0)-\min\varphi)+2\bar\rho^2\mathsf L^2\sum_{t=0}^T\frac{1}{(\beta_t-\eta)(\beta_t-\bar\rho)}}{\sum_{t=0}^T\frac{\bar\rho-\tau-\eta}{2(\beta_t-\eta)}},E∥∇φ1/ρˉ​​(xt∗​)∥2≤∑t=0T​2(βt​−η)ρˉ​−τ−η​ρˉ​(φ1/ρˉ​​(x0​)−minφ)+2ρˉ​2L2∑t=0T​(βt​−η)(βt​−ρˉ​)1​​,

and for βt≡ρˉ+γ−1T+1\beta_t\equiv\bar\rho+\gamma^{-1}\sqrt{T+1}βt​≡ρˉ​+γ−1T+1​ with γ>0\gamma>0γ>0,

E∥∇φ1/ρˉ(xt∗)∥2≤2(ρˉ(φ1/ρˉ(x0)−min⁡φ)+2ρˉ2L2γ2)ρˉ−τ−η(ρˉ−ηT+1+1γT+1).\mathbb E\|\nabla\varphi_{1/\bar\rho}(x_{t^*})\|^2\le\frac{2(\bar\rho(\varphi_{1/\bar\rho}(x_0)-\min\varphi)+2\bar\rho^2\mathsf L^2\gamma^2)}{\bar\rho-\tau-\eta}\Big(\frac{\bar\rho-\eta}{T+1}+\frac{1}{\gamma\sqrt{T+1}}\Big).E∥∇φ1/ρˉ​​(xt∗​)∥2≤ρˉ​−τ−η2(ρˉ​(φ1/ρˉ​​(x0​)−minφ)+2ρˉ​2L2γ2)​(T+1ρˉ​−η​+γT+1​1​).

Milestones, in the order the proof uses them

  1. Lemma 4.1: φ\varphiφ is (τ+η)(\tau+\eta)(τ+η)-weakly convex and fff is L\mathsf LL-Lipschitz on UUU.
  2. Lemma 4.2, (4.7): Et∥x^t−xt+1∥2≤∥x^t−xt∥2−ρˉ−τ−ηβt−η∥x^t−xt∥2+4L2(βt−η)(βt−ρˉ)\mathbb E_t\|\hat x_t-x_{t+1}\|^2\le\|\hat x_t-x_t\|^2-\frac{\bar\rho-\tau-\eta}{\beta_t-\eta}\|\hat x_t-x_t\|^2+\frac{4\mathsf L^2}{(\beta_t-\eta)(\beta_t-\bar\rho)}Et​∥x^t​−xt+1​∥2≤∥x^t​−xt​∥2−βt​−ηρˉ​−τ−η​∥x^t​−xt​∥2+(βt​−η)(βt​−ρˉ​)4L2​, with x^t=prox⁡φ/ρˉ(xt)\hat x_t=\operatorname{prox}_{\varphi/\bar\rho}(x_t)x^t​=proxφ/ρˉ​​(xt​).
  3. Lemma 2.2: for ρ\rhoρ-weakly convex φ\varphiφ and λ∈(0,ρ−1)\lambda\in(0,\rho^{-1})λ∈(0,ρ−1), φλ\varphi_\lambdaφλ​ is C1C^1C1 with ∇φλ(x)=λ−1(x−prox⁡λφ(x))\nabla\varphi_\lambda(x)=\lambda^{-1}(x-\operatorname{prox}_{\lambda\varphi}(x))∇φλ​(x)=λ−1(x−proxλφ​(x)).
  4. Theorem 4.3, (4.14): the one-step expected descent of φ1/ρˉ\varphi_{1/\bar\rho}φ1/ρˉ​​.

Significance

The result. By Lemma 2.2, ∥∇φ1/ρˉ(x)∥=ρˉ∥x−x^∥\|\nabla\varphi_{1/\bar\rho}(x)\|=\bar\rho\|x-\hat x\|∥∇φ1/ρˉ​​(x)∥=ρˉ​∥x−x^∥, and the proximal point x^\hat xx^ satisfies φ(x^)≤φ(x)\varphi(\hat x)\le\varphi(x)φ(x^)≤φ(x) and dist⁡(0,∂φ(x^))≤∥∇φ1/ρˉ(x)∥\operatorname{dist}(0,\partial\varphi(\hat x))\le\|\nabla\varphi_{1/\bar\rho}(x)\|dist(0,∂φ(x^))≤∥∇φ1/ρˉ​​(x)∥. A small envelope gradient therefore certifies that xxx is close to a nearly stationary point. Theorem 4.3 gives this certificate, with explicit constants, for every algorithm fitting Assumption B, in particular the first complexity bounds for the stochastic proximal point and stochastic prox-linear methods on weakly convex problems. Companion results in the same paper (Theorems 4.1 and 4.2, separate missions) specialize to convex and strongly convex models.

Formalizing it. The theorem is proved on paper; no machine-checked version exists, on this platform or in Mathlib, of Theorem 4.3, of Lemma 2.2 for extended-valued weakly convex functions, or of the one-sided-model framework. A formalization yields a reusable Moreau-envelope library for weakly convex functions with constraints (via the domain of rrr), and a template for iterate-level stochastic analysis on product probability spaces.

Difficulty

The algebra of each step is short; what is hard is making it rigorous. First, Lemma 2.2 must be proved for extended-valued closed functions: existence and uniqueness of the proximal point need strong convexity of the subproblem together with lower semicontinuity and a quadratic minorant, and differentiability of the envelope is not a consequence of a generic envelope theorem. Second, the conditional expectations Et\mathbb E_tEt​ in Lemma 4.2 must be realized on the product space of samples, with integrability of ∥xt+1−xt∥2\|x_{t+1}-x_t\|^2∥xt+1​−xt​∥2, r(xt+1)r(x_{t+1})r(xt+1​) and φ1/ρˉ(xt)\varphi_{1/\bar\rho}(x_t)φ1/ρˉ​​(xt​) established along the iterates rather than assumed; the paper takes all of these for granted. Third, Assumption B gives the Lipschitz bound (4.2) only in one direction and only almost surely, and the argmin of Algorithm 4.1 exists only almost surely, so every pointwise step must be carried through null sets that depend on the current iterate.

Formalization scope

  • Carrier and encoding. Rd\mathbb R^dRd is EuclideanSpace ℝ (Fin d). The extended-valued rrr (and φ\varphiφ) is a pair (D,real values on D)(D,\text{real values on }D)(D,real values on D); closedness, weak convexity, the envelope (an infimum over DDD) and proximal points are defined in this encoding. The envelope parameter λ\lambdaλ is written lam.
  • Randomness. The samples ξ0,…,ξT\xi_0,\dots,\xi_Tξ0​,…,ξT​ are a point of ΩT+1\Omega^{T+1}ΩT+1 under the product measure, and E\mathbb EE is the Bochner integral. In Lemma 4.2, Et\mathbb E_tEt​ is the integral over one fresh sample with the current iterate fixed.
  • The algorithm. The step is any jointly measurable selection that lies in DDD and minimizes the subproblem for almost every sample; measurability is an added hypothesis.
  • The output. E∥∇φ1/ρˉ(xt∗)∥2\mathbb E\|\nabla\varphi_{1/\bar\rho}(x_{t^*})\|^2E∥∇φ1/ρˉ​​(xt∗​)∥2 is the weighted average of E∥∇φ1/ρˉ(xt)∥2\mathbb E\|\nabla\varphi_{1/\bar\rho}(x_t)\|^2E∥∇φ1/ρˉ​​(xt​)∥2 with weights ρˉ−τ−ηβt−η\frac{\bar\rho-\tau-\eta}{\beta_t-\eta}βt​−ηρˉ​−τ−η​, its exact value for t∗t^*t∗ drawn independently of the samples.
  • min⁡φ\min\varphiminφ is any real lower bound of φ\varphiφ on DDD; the bound is monotone in it.
  • Added hypotheses, implicit in the paper: βt>η\beta_t>\etaβt​>η (the subproblem is (βt−η)(\beta_t-\eta)(βt​−η)-strongly convex; Assumption B allows any real τ\tauτ, so this does not follow from βt>ρˉ>τ+η\beta_t>\bar\rho>\tau+\etaβt​>ρˉ​>τ+η), η≤ρˉ\eta\le\bar\rhoη≤ρˉ​ in (4.16) (its derivation from (4.15) needs it), ρˉ>0\bar\rho>0ρˉ​>0, x0∈Ux_0\in Ux0​∈U, and, in Lemma 2.2, that φ\varphiφ is closed and proper.
  • Typos. The statement of Theorem 4.3 twice says "Algorithm 3.1"; it means Algorithm 4.1. The constant in (4.16) is the printed one, which is valid (slightly weaker than what (4.15) yields). The proof's "Setting ρˉ=2ρ\bar\rho=2\rhoρˉ​=2ρ" is a slip; (4.16) keeps ρˉ\bar\rhoρˉ​.
  • No trivialization. Every bounded expectation comes with an integrability conclusion (a Bochner integral of a non-integrable function is 000), the update is constrained by the argmin property of Algorithm 4.1, and min⁡φ\min\varphiminφ is a genuine lower bound; the hypotheses are satisfiable (e.g. r=0r=0r=0, f=0f=0f=0, zero model).
  • Contributions welcome: a general Moreau-envelope library for weakly convex extended-valued functions (Lemma 2.2), measurability of argmin selections, and the one-step analysis lemmas.

Selected references

  • D. Davis, D. Drusvyatskiy, Stochastic Model-Based Minimization of Weakly Convex Functions, SIAM J. Optim. 29(1):207–239, 2019. arXiv:1803.06523
  • D. Davis, B. Grimmer, Proximally Guided Stochastic Subgradient Method for Nonsmooth, Nonconvex Problems, SIAM J. Optim. 29(3), 2019. arXiv:1707.03505
  • S. Ghadimi, G. Lan, Stochastic First- and Zeroth-Order Methods for Nonconvex Stochastic Programming, SIAM J. Optim. 23(4):2341–2368, 2013. doi:10.1137/120880811
  • R. T. Rockafellar, R. J.-B. Wets, Variational Analysis, Springer, 1998. doi:10.1007/978-3-642-02431-3
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Algorithmic Game TheoryMechanism DesignOperations Research+1·Captain: mikedeng1

Approximate Revenue Maximization with Multiple Items 4: Bundling k ≥ 2 I.I.D. Goods Guarantees a Fraction c/log k of the Optimal RevenueResearch Paper

Motivation

A seller with several goods and a single buyer is the smallest setting in which multi-dimensional mechanism design differs from the one-good theory. For one good, Myerson's theorem (Myerson 1981) says the optimal mechanism posts a price. For two or more goods the optimal mechanism may use lotteries, may be non-monotone in the buyer's values, and is in general not known in closed form. Practitioners nevertheless use simple mechanisms, and the question that Hart and Nisan (arXiv:1204.1846v3) ask is quantitative: what fraction of the optimal revenue does a simple mechanism guarantee?

This mission concerns the simplest mechanism of all, bundling: one posted price for the set of all goods. When the goods are independent and identically distributed, bundling is known to become nearly optimal as the number of goods grows for a fixed distribution (Armstrong 1999; Bakos and Brynjolfsson 1999). That limit is not uniform over distributions. Theorem D of Hart and Nisan gives the uniform guarantee: for every k≥2k\ge2k≥2 and every distribution, bundling kkk i.i.d. goods earns at least c/log⁡kc/\log kc/logk of the optimal revenue.

Timeline. Armstrong (1999) and Bakos–Brynjolfsson (1999) proved the asymptotic optimality of bundling for a fixed distribution. Hart and Nisan circulated the first version of this paper in 2012 (EC 2012), proving Theorems A–D; the version formalized here is arXiv:1204.1846v3 (2017), published in J. Econ. Theory 172 (2017). Li and Yao (2013) later improved separate selling for i.i.d. goods to Θ(1/log⁡k)\Theta(1/\log k)Θ(1/logk), and Babaioff, Immorlica, Lucier and Weinberg (2014) showed that the better of separate selling and bundling is a constant-factor approximation for independent goods.

Setting

There are kkk goods and one buyer with additive valuation x=(x1,…,xk)∈R+kx=(x_1,\dots,x_k)\in\mathbb R_+^kx=(x1​,…,xk​)∈R+k​, drawn from a known distribution. A mechanism μ=(q,s)\mu=(q,s)μ=(q,s) assigns to every reported valuation xxx an allocation vector q(x)∈[0,1]kq(x)\in[0,1]^kq(x)∈[0,1]k (the probabilities of receiving each good) and a payment s(x)∈Rs(x)\in\mathbb Rs(x)∈R. The buyer's payoff is b(x)=q(x)⋅x−s(x)b(x)=q(x)\cdot x-s(x)b(x)=q(x)⋅x−s(x). The mechanism is incentive compatible (IC) if b(x)≥q(x~)⋅x−s(x~)b(x)\ge q(\tilde x)\cdot x-s(\tilde x)b(x)≥q(x~)⋅x−s(x~) for all x,x~x,\tilde xx,x~, and individually rational (IR) if b(x)≥0b(x)\ge0b(x)≥0 for all xxx. For a random valuation XXX, the expected revenue is R(μ;X)=E[s(X)]R(\mu;X)=\mathbb E[s(X)]R(μ;X)=E[s(X)] and the optimal revenue is

Rev(X)=sup⁡{R(μ;X): μ IC and IR}∈[0,∞].\mathrm{Rev}(X)=\sup\{R(\mu;X):\ \mu\text{ IC and IR}\}\in[0,\infty].Rev(X)=sup{R(μ;X): μ IC and IR}∈[0,∞].

For one good, Rev(X)=sup⁡p≥0p⋅P[X≥p]\mathrm{Rev}(X)=\sup_{p\ge0}p\cdot\mathbb P[X\ge p]Rev(X)=supp≥0​p⋅P[X≥p]. The bundled revenue is the one-good revenue of the total value, BRev(X)=Rev(X1+⋯+Xk)\mathrm{BRev}(X)=\mathrm{Rev}(X_1+\dots+X_k)BRev(X)=Rev(X1​+⋯+Xk​), and the separate revenue is SRev(X)=∑iRev(Xi)\mathrm{SRev}(X)=\sum_i\mathrm{Rev}(X_i)SRev(X)=∑i​Rev(Xi​).

"kkk i.i.d. goods" means that X1,…,XkX_1,\dots,X_kX1​,…,Xk​ are independent with a common law ν\nuν on R+\mathbb R_+R+​. Write Rk=Rev(X1,…,Xk)R_k=\mathrm{Rev}(X_1,\dots,X_k)Rk​=Rev(X1​,…,Xk​) and Bk=BRev(X1,…,Xk)B_k=\mathrm{BRev}(X_1,\dots,X_k)Bk​=BRev(X1​,…,Xk​).

Two auxiliary objects appear in the milestones. A real random variable XXX is stochastically dominated by YYY if P[X≥p]≤P[Y≥p]\mathbb P[X\ge p]\le\mathbb P[Y\ge p]P[X≥p]≤P[Y≥p] for every ppp. The equal-revenue (ER) law is that of V≥1V\ge1V≥1 with P[V≥p]=1/p\mathbb P[V\ge p]=1/pP[V≥p]=1/p for p≥1p\ge1p≥1. The constant w≈0.278w\approx0.278w≈0.278 is the unique real solution of w ew+1=1w\,e^{w+1}=1wew+1=1.

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem D (p. 7)

∃ c>0  ∀k≥2  ∀ν:clog⁡k Rk≤Bk.\exists\,c>0\ \ \forall k\ge2\ \ \forall\nu:\qquad \frac{c}{\log k}\,R_k\le B_k .∃c>0  ∀k≥2  ∀ν:logkc​Rk​≤Bk​.

The constant is absolute: it is chosen before kkk and before the distribution. This is the statement as printed; it fixes neither the constant nor the base of the logarithm.

Explicit form (proof of Theorem D, p. 27)

Rk≤8(w+1)(log⁡2k+2) Bk(k≥2).R_k\le 8(w+1)(\log_2k+2)\,B_k\qquad(k\ge2).Rk​≤8(w+1)(log2​k+2)Bk​(k≥2).

Milestones

The milestones follow the paper's proof: Myerson's formula (1); monotonicity of one-good revenue under domination (Proposition 11); the ER characterization (Lemma 20) and the tail of a weighted sum of two ER goods (Lemma 21); BRev(V1,V2)=2(w+1)\mathrm{BRev}(V_1,V_2)=2(w+1)BRev(V1​,V2​)=2(w+1) (Proposition 24); SRev≥BRev/(w+1)\mathrm{SRev}\ge\mathrm{BRev}/(w+1)SRev≥BRev/(w+1) for two independent goods (Proposition 13 (i)); BRev≥SRev/4\mathrm{BRev}\ge\mathrm{SRev}/4BRev≥SRev/4 for i.i.d. goods (Proposition 14 (ii)); the decomposition Theorem 7; the power-of-two bound Rk≤4(log⁡2k+1)BkR_k\le4(\log_2k+1)B_kRk​≤4(log2​k+1)Bk​; monotonicity of RkR_kRk​ and BkB_kBk​ in kkk; and the explicit bound above.

Significance

Theorem D says that for identically distributed goods the gap between the simplest mechanism and the optimal one grows at most logarithmically in the number of goods, uniformly over all distributions, including heavy-tailed ones with infinite mean. The i.i.d. hypothesis is essential: for independent goods with different distributions bundling can recover only a 1/k1/k1/k fraction (Example 27 of the paper). Together with Theorem C (separate selling, c/log⁡2kc/\log^2kc/log2k) it places the two simple mechanisms on a common scale, and the decomposition Theorem 7 it rests on is a general tool for independent groups of goods.

The result is proved in the paper; no machine-checked version is known to exist. A formalization adds: a Lean model of multi-good mechanisms with IC, IR and expected revenue in the extended reals; a checked version of Myerson's one-good formula for arbitrary laws on R+\mathbb R_+R+​; the equal-revenue law and its two-good convolution; and a checked reduction from the decomposition theorem to the logarithmic bundling guarantee. Shorter arguments or a better constant are also welcome.

Difficulty

The obvious argument fails at the first step: revenue is not monotone in the valuation for two or more goods (Hart and Reny 2015), so one cannot bound RkR_kRk​ by replacing each good by a dominating ER good. Every comparison therefore has to pass through one-dimensional quantities, and the multi-good step (Theorem 7) is a statement about expectations of a mechanism's payments conditioned on an independent block of goods. Proposition 14 (ii) must handle distributions where no optimal one-good price exists and Rev(Xi)\mathrm{Rev}(X_i)Rev(Xi​) may be infinite (the paper's proof speaks of "an optimal price"). Proposition 24 is an exact evaluation whose answer is defined only implicitly, through w ew+1=1w\,e^{w+1}=1wew+1=1. The induction itself must track how block sums of i.i.d. goods are again i.i.d.

Formalization scope

Valuations are laws: a kkk-good random valuation is a probability measure on Fin k → ℝ≥0, and kkk i.i.d. goods with law ν\nuν form Measure.pi (fun _ : Fin k => ν). Two independent groups Y,ZY,ZY,Z have the product law on the disjoint union of their index types (jointLaw); the two-good statement Proposition 13 (i) uses this encoding on Unit ⊕ Unit. A mechanism is a pair of functions; the admissible class requires q∈[0,1]kq\in[0,1]^kq∈[0,1]k, IC, IR, and a measurable payment rule, the last being the without-loss-of-generality pin of the paper's footnote 12. The expected revenue of one mechanism is an EReal difference of two lower integrals, never a Bochner integral (which would be 000 for non-integrable payments). Rev\mathrm{Rev}Rev is a supremum in ℝ≥0∞, so infinite revenues are represented. www is a real parameter with the hypothesis w ew+1=1w\,e^{w+1}=1wew+1=1, not a Lambert-WWW value. Logarithms are natural in Theorem D and base 2 (Real.logb 2) in the proof's explicit bounds, as printed; every statement with a logarithm keeps k≥2k\ge2k≥2.

The paper states Theorem D as a lower bound on an infimum of ratios BRev/Rev\mathrm{BRev}/\mathrm{Rev}BRev/Rev; the formal goal is the multiplicative inequality, which agrees with it wherever the ratio is defined and requires BRev=∞\mathrm{BRev}=\inftyBRev=∞ when Rev=∞\mathrm{Rev}=\inftyRev=∞. A formalization in which ccc may depend on kkk or on the distribution, or in which Rev\mathrm{Rev}Rev is computed with a Bochner integral, would trivialize the statement and is ruled out by the binder order and the definitions above.

The definitions are a mission-local copy of the model shared by this series (missions 1–5), so they can be merged later. Not posed here: Theorem C, Proposition 25, Corollary 23, Lemma 22, Example 32, the GFOR notation, and the asymptotic optimality of bundling (Appendix A.5). Proofs of any milestone are welcome, as are reusable lemmas on posted prices, stochastic domination of sums of independent variables, and binomial medians.

Selected references

  • S. Hart and N. Nisan, Approximate Revenue Maximization with Multiple Items, J. Econ. Theory 172 (2017); preprint arXiv:1204.1846v3. https://arxiv.org/abs/1204.1846
  • R. Myerson, Optimal Auction Design, Math. Oper. Res. 6 (1981) 58–73. https://doi.org/10.1287/moor.6.1.58
  • M. Armstrong, Price Discrimination by a Many-Product Firm, Rev. Econ. Stud. 66 (1999) 151–168. https://doi.org/10.1111/1467-937X.00083
  • Y. Bakos and E. Brynjolfsson, Bundling Information Goods: Pricing, Profits, and Efficiency, Management Sci. 45 (1999) 1613–1630. https://doi.org/10.1287/mnsc.45.12.1613
  • S. Hart and P. Reny, Maximal Revenue with Multiple Goods: Nonmonotonicity and Other Observations, Theoretical Economics 10 (2015) 893–922. https://doi.org/10.3982/TE1517
  • X. Li and A. C.-C. Yao, On Revenue Maximization for Selling Multiple Independently Distributed Items, PNAS 110 (2013) 11232–11237. https://doi.org/10.1073/pnas.1309533110
  • M. Babaioff, N. Immorlica, B. Lucier and S. M. Weinberg, A Simple and Approximately Optimal Mechanism for an Additive Buyer, FOCS 2014. https://arxiv.org/abs/1405.6146
14 thms1 active userReviewed
CombinatoricsGraph Theory·Captain: mikedeng1

Generalized Turán Problems for Even Cycles 3: The Maximum Number of Six-Cycles in a Bipartite C_8-Free Graph on n Vertices Is n³ + O(n^{5/2})Research Paper

Motivation

The generalized Turán number ex(n,H,F)\mathrm{ex}(n,H,\mathcal F)ex(n,H,F) is the largest number of copies of a graph HHH in an nnn-vertex graph containing no member of a family F\mathcal FF. With H=K2H=K_2H=K2​ it is the classical Turán number; the systematic study of general HHH began with Alon and Shikhelman (2016), and cycles are its most studied case: Bollobás and Győri bounded ex(n,C3,C5)\mathrm{ex}(n,C_3,C_5)ex(n,C3​,C5​), and Gerbner and Palmer determined ex(n,Cl,K2,t)\mathrm{ex}(n,C_l,K_{2,t})ex(n,Cl​,K2,t​).

Gerbner, Győri, Methuku and Vizer, Generalized Turán problems for even cycles (J. Combin. Theory Ser. B, 2020; arXiv:1712.07079), count copies of one cycle in graphs avoiding another. For even cycles they show ex(n,C2l,C2k)=Θ(nl)\mathrm{ex}(n,C_{2l},C_{2k})=\Theta(n^l)ex(n,C2l​,C2k​)=Θ(nl). Most extremal constructions there are bipartite, so they also study the bipartite generalized Turán number. For the first non-trivial pair, six-cycles in a graph avoiding eight-cycles, they determine its leading term exactly. This mission formalizes that result, Theorem 12 of the paper.

Setting

All graphs are finite and simple. A kkk-cycle CkC_kCk​ is a cycle with kkk vertices. A copy of CkC_kCk​ in GGG is a subgraph of GGG isomorphic to CkC_kCk​; N(Ck,G)\mathcal N(C_k,G)N(Ck​,G) is the number of copies, so a cycle is counted once regardless of its starting point and direction. A graph is C8C_8C8​-free if no subgraph of it is isomorphic to C8C_8C8​ (induced or not). A graph is bipartite if its vertices can be split into two classes AAA and BBB with every edge joining AAA to BBB.

exbip(n,C6,C8)=max⁡{N(C6,G):G bipartite, C8-free, ∣V(G)∣=n}.\mathrm{ex}_{bip}(n,C_6,C_8)=\max\{\mathcal N(C_6,G) : G \text{ bipartite},\ C_8\text{-free},\ |V(G)|=n\}.exbip​(n,C6​,C8​)=max{N(C6​,G):G bipartite, C8​-free, ∣V(G)∣=n}.

The proof works with a fixed bipartition (A,B)(A,B)(A,B) of a C8C_8C8​-free graph GGG and uses the following notions.

  • N(u,v)N(u,v)N(u,v) is the set of common neighbours of uuu and vvv.
  • A pair {u,v}\{u,v\}{u,v} is fat if ∣N(u,v)∣≥4|N(u,v)|\ge 4∣N(u,v)∣≥4.
  • A 6-cycle is fat if it contains a fat pair from each class.
  • A pair is marked if it has exactly three common neighbours.
  • A 4-set F⊆AF\subseteq AF⊆A is nice if its four vertices have three common neighbours in BBB, i.e. they span a K4,3K_{4,3}K4,3​.
  • For x,y,z∈Ax,y,z\in Ax,y,z∈A, h(x,y,z)h(x,y,z)h(x,y,z) is the number of 6-cycles through all three. The triple is good if h≤6h\le 6h≤6 and bad otherwise.
  • A hypergraph is Berge-C4C_4C4​-free if it has no distinct vertices x,y,z,wx,y,z,wx,y,z,w and distinct hyperedges h1,…,h4h_1,\dots,h_4h1​,…,h4​ with {x,y}⊆h1\{x,y\}\subseteq h_1{x,y}⊆h1​, {y,z}⊆h2\{y,z\}\subseteq h_2{y,z}⊆h2​, {z,w}⊆h3\{z,w\}\subseteq h_3{z,w}⊆h3​, {w,x}⊆h4\{w,x\}\subseteq h_4{w,x}⊆h4​.

In Lean, exbip(n,C6,C8)\mathrm{ex}_{bip}(n,C_6,C_8)exbip​(n,C6​,C8​) is exBip n (cycleGraph 6) {8}, and N\mathcal NN is Mathlib's copyCount.

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem 12

exbip(n,C6,C8)=n3+O(n5/2)(n→∞).\mathrm{ex}_{bip}(n,C_6,C_8)=n^3+O\bigl(n^{5/2}\bigr)\qquad(n\to\infty).exbip​(n,C6​,C8​)=n3+O(n5/2)(n→∞).

This is two-sided: ∣exbip(n,C6,C8)−n3∣≤Cn5/2|\mathrm{ex}_{bip}(n,C_6,C_8)-n^3|\le Cn^{5/2}∣exbip​(n,C6​,C8​)−n3∣≤Cn5/2 for some constant CCC and all large nnn.

Milestones

  1. Lower bound. K3,n−3K_{3,n-3}K3,n−3​ is bipartite, C8C_8C8​-free, and has exactly 6(n−33)=n3−O(n2)6\binom{n-3}{3}=n^3-O(n^2)6(3n−3​)=n3−O(n2) six-cycles. This is Theorem 10's construction with k=4k=4k=4, l=3l=3l=3, and Remark 2 notes that it is bipartite.
  2. Shape of fat 6-cycles.
    • Claim 3: a fat pair {v1,v3}\{v_1,v_3\}{v1​,v3​} on v1⋯v6v_1\cdots v_6v1​⋯v6​ excludes the fat pairs {v2,v4}\{v_2,v_4\}{v2​,v4​} and {v2,v6}\{v_2,v_6\}{v2​,v6​}.
    • Claim 4: fat 6-cycles through one fat pair have pairwise intersecting fat pairs in the other class.
    • Claim 5: distinct fat pairs of fat 6-cycles in AAA have ∣N∩N′∣≤1|N\cap N'|\le 1∣N∩N′∣≤1.
    • Observation 1: a disjointness statement for fat pairs sharing a vertex.
  3. Claim 6. For a fat pair {v1,v3}⊆A\{v_1,v_3\}\subseteq A{v1​,v3​}⊆A, the sum g(v1,v3)g(v_1,v_3)g(v1​,v3​) of ∣N(v4,v6)∣|N(v_4,v_6)|∣N(v4​,v6​)∣ over the fat pairs {v4,v6}⊆B\{v_4,v_6\}\subseteq B{v4​,v6​}⊆B on a common fat 6-cycle with v1,v3v_1,v_3v1​,v3​ is at most 4n4n4n.
  4. Corollary 7 (from Győri–Lemons). A Berge-C4C_4C4​-free hypergraph on nnn vertices has ∑e∣e∣=O(n3/2)\sum_e|e|=O(n^{3/2})∑e​∣e∣=O(n3/2).
  5. Claim 7. The hypergraph on BBB whose hyperedges are the sets N(v1,v3)N(v_1,v_3)N(v1​,v3​), over the fat pairs of AAA that lie on a fat 6-cycle, is Berge-C4C_4C4​-free.
  6. Claim 8. There are O(n5/2)O(n^{5/2})O(n5/2) fat 6-cycles.
  7. Non-fat cycles.
    • Claim 9: a marked pair inside a nice set gives good triples.
    • Claim 10: O(∣A∣3/2)O(|A|^{3/2})O(∣A∣3/2) marked pairs lie in no nice set.
    • Claim 11: O(∣A∣2)O(|A|^2)O(∣A∣2) bad triples contain neither a fat nor a marked pair.
  8. One-sided count. At most 6(∣A∣3)+O(∣A∣5/2)6\binom{|A|}{3}+O(|A|^{5/2})6(3∣A∣​)+O(∣A∣5/2) six-cycles contain no fat pair from AAA.

Significance

Theorem 12 is the only case of the paper where a bipartite generalized Turán number of two even cycles is determined up to a lower-order term. Theorem 10 gives the order nln^lnl in general, and Remark 2 gives bipartite upper and lower bounds whose ratio tends to 1 only as k→∞k\to\inftyk→∞. Theorem 12 settles (l,k)=(3,4)(l,k)=(3,4)(l,k)=(3,4) exactly. The authors conjecture that the non-bipartite number ex(n,C6,C8)\mathrm{ex}(n,C_6,C_8)ex(n,C6​,C8​) has the same asymptotics, but this is open. The argument also links graph counting to Berge hypergraphs: Claim 7 reduces the fat 6-cycles to a Berge-C4C_4C4​-free hypergraph, whose total edge size is controlled by Corollary 7.

Theorem 12 is proved in the paper. As far as a search of the Prove2Me catalogue shows, neither it nor any of its claims has a machine-checked proof. Formalizing it means:

  • formalizing the case analysis of §4.2;
  • formalizing Corollary 7, which depends on the Győri–Lemons theorems (Theorems 5 and 6), proved outside the paper;
  • formalizing the elementary but tedious count of 6-cycles in K3,n−3K_{3,n-3}K3,n−3​.

Difficulty

The obvious bound fails. Every 6-cycle in a bipartite graph has three vertices in each class, and each pair of them has some common neighbours. If no pair had more than three common neighbours, each triple in AAA would lie on at most 272727 six-cycles, giving roughly 27(n3)27\binom{n}{3}27(3n​) cycles, not n3n^3n3. The leading constant 111 needs two refinements. First, triples on more than 666 cycles must be shown to be rare. Second, cycles through pairs with many common neighbours (fat pairs) must be bounded separately, by O(n5/2)O(n^{5/2})O(n5/2). That second bound is the main obstacle. A fat pair alone can lie on many cycles, so counting fat pairs is not enough. What makes the bound work is the near-disjointness of the common neighbourhoods (Claims 4–6) together with a hypergraph Turán estimate.

Formalization scope

  • Vertices and copies. Graphs are SimpleGraph (Fin n), or a general finite type in milestones about a single graph. Copies are unlabelled (copyCount, the number of subgraphs isomorphic to C6C_6C6​): K3,3K_{3,3}K3,3​ has 666 copies of C6C_6C6​, not 727272.

  • Bipartiteness. In exbip\mathrm{ex}_{bip}exbip​ it is Colorable 2. In the milestones it is an explicit bipartition (A,B)(A,B)(A,B) that excludes edges inside a class. C8C_8C8​-freeness is (cycleGraph 8).Free G.

  • The maximum. exbip\mathrm{ex}_{bip}exbip​ is a supremum of natural numbers over a nonempty finite set, since the empty graph is admissible. It is therefore a true maximum; a sanity file proves this.

  • Cycles inside the proof. Labelled 6-cycles are injective maps from Z/6\mathbb Z/6Z/6 with consecutive images adjacent. Claim 8 counts fat 6-cycles labelled, which changes only the constant.

  • Landau terms. Every O(⋅)O(\cdot)O(⋅) is an explicit constant, quantified before nnn and the graph. The goal uses Mathlib's IsBigO of exbip(n,C6,C8)−n3\mathrm{ex}_{bip}(n,C_6,C_8)-n^3exbip​(n,C6​,C8​)−n3 against n5/2n^{5/2}n5/2.

  • Corrections to the printed text.

    • Observation 1's conclusion is stated with N(v4,v6′)N(v_4,v_6')N(v4​,v6′​), as in its proof, rather than the printed N(v4′,v6′)N(v_4',v_6')N(v4′​,v6′​).
    • Claim 6's ggg is the displayed sum, not "the cardinality of the union".
    • Claim 4 drops the hypothesis "different cycles", which only excludes a trivial case. It also drops "these are the other fat pairs", which follows from Claim 3.
  • Ruled-out encodings. Some encodings would make the statements trivial or wrong, and none of them is used:

    • a one-sided goal (only the upper bound, or only the lower bound);
    • a junk supremum;
    • labelled copies in place of unlabelled ones;
    • constants allowed to depend on nnn or on the graph;
    • a bipartition that allows edges inside a class.
  • Infrastructure. A complete development needs:

    • counting of cycle copies in complete bipartite graphs;
    • Hall's theorem (in Mathlib), used in Claims 7 and 10;
    • the Kővári–Sós–Turán bound ex(m,C4)=O(m3/2)\mathrm{ex}(m,C_4)=O(m^{3/2})ex(m,C4​)=O(m3/2) for Claim 10;
    • the Győri–Lemons theorems for Corollary 7.

    The Berge-cycle and C4C_4C4​-free bounds can be reused beyond this mission. Contributions are welcome at any level: proofs of individual claims, of Corollary 7, or the final assembly.

Selected references

  • D. Gerbner, E. Győri, A. Methuku, M. Vizer, Generalized Turán problems for even cycles, J. Combin. Theory Ser. B 145 (2020); arXiv:1712.07079v3. https://arxiv.org/abs/1712.07079, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jctb.2020.05.005
  • N. Alon, C. Shikhelman, Many TTT copies in HHH-free graphs, J. Combin. Theory Ser. B 121 (2016). https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jctb.2016.03.004
  • E. Győri, N. Lemons, Hypergraphs with no cycle of a given length, Combin. Probab. Comput. 21 (2012). https://doi.org/10.1017/S0963548311000691
  • B. Bollobás, E. Győri, Pentagons vs. triangles, Discrete Math. 308 (2008). https://doi.org/10.1016/j.disc.2007.08.041
  • D. Gerbner, C. Palmer, Counting copies of a fixed subgraph in FFF-free graphs, European J. Combin. 82 (2019). https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ejc.2019.07.004
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Algorithmic Game TheoryMechanism DesignOperations Research+1·Captain: mikedeng1

Approximate Revenue Maximization with Multiple Items 3: Selling k ≥ 2 Independent Goods Separately Guarantees a Fraction c/log² k of the Optimal RevenueResearch Paper

Motivation

A seller who knows the distributions of a buyer's values for several goods can, in principle, design a mechanism that offers lotteries and prices conditional on the buyer's reported values. Finding the best such mechanism can be difficult even with two goods. Separate selling is much simpler: choose a one-good price for each item and let the buyer decide item by item. The question is how much revenue this simplicity can cost when the goods' values are independent. Hart and Nisan establish a guarantee that declines only with the square of the logarithm of the number of goods, even though the distributions need not be identical or bounded. Their result is Theorem C of Approximate Revenue Maximization with Multiple Items, stated on p. 7 and proved on p. 26.

The paper grew from the problem of comparing easy selling formats with fully optimal mechanisms. For one good, a posted price characterizes optimal revenue. With multiple goods, the choice of a mechanism becomes genuinely multidimensional: its allocation rule can correlate the disposition of the goods and use lotteries. The guarantee in this mission applies uniformly over all independent distributions on nonnegative valuations, so a seller does not need a regularity, density, or finite-moment assumption to use it.

Setting

There is one seller, one risk-neutral buyer, and k≥2k\ge2k≥2 goods. The buyer's valuation vector is x=(xi)i=1k∈R+kx=(x_i)_{i=1}^k\in\mathbb R_+^kx=(xi​)i=1k​∈R+k​; receiving a set of goods gives the sum of the values of its members. The seller knows the joint law of the random vector XXX, but not its realization. In this mission the coordinates XiX_iXi​ are independent, with possibly different probability laws νi\nu_iνi​.

A direct mechanism consists of an allocation rule qi(x)∈[0,1]q_i(x)\in[0,1]qi​(x)∈[0,1] for each good and a real payment s(x)s(x)s(x). At a truthful report xxx, the buyer's payoff is b(x)=∑iqi(x)xi−s(x)b(x)=\sum_i q_i(x)x_i-s(x)b(x)=∑i​qi​(x)xi​−s(x). The mechanism is incentive compatible if truthful reporting is at least as good as every alternative report, and individually rational if b(x)≥0b(x)\ge0b(x)≥0 for every xxx. The seller's expected payment is its revenue. The optimal revenue Rev⁡(X)\operatorname{Rev}(X)Rev(X) is the supremum of revenue over such mechanisms. Payments are taken to be measurable, following footnote 12 on p. 12 of Hart and Nisan.

For one good, Rev⁡(Xi)\operatorname{Rev}(X_i)Rev(Xi​) equals the supremum of pPr⁡[Xi≥p]p\Pr[X_i\ge p]pPr[Xi​≥p] over prices p≥0p\ge0p≥0, as in display (1) on p. 12. The separate revenue is SRev⁡(X)=∑iRev⁡(Xi)\operatorname{SRev}(X)=\sum_i\operatorname{Rev}(X_i)SRev(X)=∑i​Rev(Xi​). The bundled revenue is BRev⁡(X)=Rev⁡(∑iXi)\operatorname{BRev}(X)=\operatorname{Rev}(\sum_i X_i)BRev(X)=Rev(∑i​Xi​), where the sum is treated as one good. Both formats are defined through one-good revenue, even when the full optimum can use multidimensional allocations.

Formalization targets

Theorem C: a uniform guarantee for separate selling

The goal is the inequality form of Theorem C, with one constant that works for every number and every family of independent goods:

∃c>0  ∀k≥2  ∀(νi)i=1k,SRev⁡(X1,…,Xk)≥c(log⁡k)2Rev⁡(X1,…,Xk).\exists c>0\;\forall k\ge2\;\forall (\nu_i)_{i=1}^k,\qquad \operatorname{SRev}(X_1,\ldots,X_k) \ge \frac{c}{(\log k)^2}\operatorname{Rev}(X_1,\ldots,X_k).∃c>0∀k≥2∀(νi​)i=1k​,SRev(X1​,…,Xk​)≥(logk)2c​Rev(X1​,…,Xk​).

Here XiX_iXi​ has law νi\nu_iνi​, and the joint law is their product. The paper phrases the headline as a guarantee for an approximation ratio; the displayed inequality is the form used in its proof on p. 26. It handles zero and infinite optimal revenues without introducing a ratio with an undefined denominator.

Supporting targets

The milestone list records the one-good posted-price formula, monotonicity under first-order stochastic domination, the equal-revenue comparison of Lemma 20, Proposition 13(ii)'s comparison of separate and bundled revenue, the two inequalities of Theorem 7, and the two-good base case of Theorem A. It also records the power-of-two estimate and the zero-padding assertion stated in the proof of Theorem C. Each milestone is attached to its source page in the pinned preprint.

Significance

The theorem gives a distribution-independent performance floor for a mechanism that can be run using one price per good. It applies to unequal and unbounded independent distributions, for which expected values can be infinite while one-good optimal revenues remain finite. The comparison is with the best incentive-compatible and individually rational multi-good mechanism, including randomized allocations, rather than with another simple selling format. The result is proved in the 2017 preprint; the open work here is a machine-checked formalization of that known result and its selected supporting statements.

The formal development also supplies reusable objects: a law-based direct-mechanism model, extended-real expected revenue, product laws for independent groups of goods, and first-order stochastic domination of one-good laws. These are useful for other comparisons among separate selling, bundling, and optimal mechanisms in the same paper. The mission does not pose the paper's distinct i.i.d. bundling theorem, multi-buyer results, or tightness examples.

Difficulty

The main obstacle is that optimal multi-good revenue is not monotone in the values of the goods. Increasing each coordinate of a valuation vector does not, by itself, give a valid comparison between the optimal revenues of the two vectors' laws; Hart and Nisan, p. 23 explicitly warn against that inference. One-good revenue does have the needed monotonicity, but the full optimum can depend on how the goods interact in an incentive-compatible mechanism. Theorem 7 is a substantive bridge between these two regimes. Infinite expected values also make a real-valued integral or an ordinary ratio unsuitable for the general statement.

Formalization scope

Goods are indexed by finite types, and valuations lie in R≥0k\mathbb R_{\ge0}^kR≥0k​. Each good's law is a probability measure; independence means the product law, while Theorem 7 allows dependence among coordinates within each of its two independent groups. A one-good law is represented by a singleton coordinate type. Revenue takes values in R≥0∪{∞}\mathbb R_{\ge0}\cup\{\infty\}R≥0​∪{∞}, and the expectation of a mechanism's possibly negative payment is represented in extended reals. The supremum defining optimal revenue ranges only over feasible, incentive-compatible, individually rational mechanisms with measurable payments. Theorem C quantifies ccc before kkk and the laws, and the restriction k≥2k\ge2k≥2 keeps the logarithmic coefficient in its stated domain.

The equal-revenue law is represented by the density x−2x^{-2}x−2 on [1,∞)[1,\infty)[1,∞), mapped to nonnegative reals. First-order stochastic domination compares the upper-tail probabilities at nonnegative thresholds, which is equivalent to testing every real threshold for nonnegative valuations. A complete proof will need measure-theoretic facts about that law, the posted-price characterization, product measures, and operations on extended nonnegative revenue. Contributions to those reusable facts and to the selected milestone theorems are within scope.

Selected references

  • Sergiu Hart and Noam Nisan, Approximate Revenue Maximization with Multiple Items, arXiv:1204.1846v3, 2017. Preprint.
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CombinatoricsGraph Theory·Captain: mikedeng1

Generalized Turán Problems for Even Cycles 4: For k > l and 2k ≠ ml, the Maximum Number of ml-Cycles in a Graph with No Cycle of Length 3, …, 2l−1 or 2k Is Θ(n^m)Research Paper

Motivation

The Turán number ex(n,F)\mathrm{ex}(n,F)ex(n,F) is the largest number of edges in an nnn-vertex graph with no copy of FFF. Its generalized version, introduced systematically by Alon and Shikhelman (JCTB 2016), replaces edges by copies of a second graph HHH: ex(n,H,F)\mathrm{ex}(n,H,\mathcal F)ex(n,H,F) is the largest number of copies of HHH in an nnn-vertex graph containing no member of the family F\mathcal FF. When both HHH and the forbidden graphs are cycles, these numbers measure how many long cycles a graph can carry while some cycle lengths are excluded and they refine the Bondy–Simonovits even-cycle theorem (JCTB 1974), which bounds the number of edges of a C2kC_{2k}C2k​-free graph by O(n1+1/k)O(n^{1+1/k})O(n1+1/k).

Gerbner, Győri, Methuku and Vizer (arXiv:1712.07079, J. Combin. Theory Ser. B 2020, DOI 10.1016/j.jctb.2020.05.005) study ex(n,Ca,CA)\mathrm{ex}(n,C_a,\mathcal C_A)ex(n,Ca​,CA​) for cycles. Their Theorem 10 gives ex(n,C2l,C2k)=Θ(nl)\mathrm{ex}(n,C_{2l},C_{2k})=\Theta(n^l)ex(n,C2l​,C2k​)=Θ(nl); Theorem 14, the subject of this mission, adds a girth condition: when all cycles of length 3,…,2l−13,\dots,2l-13,…,2l−1 are forbidden together with C2kC_{2k}C2k​, the order of magnitude of the number of CmlC_{ml}Cml​'s is nmn^mnm. The case m=2m=2m=2 answers the question of how many C2lC_{2l}C2l​'s a C2kC_{2k}C2k​-free graph of girth 2l2l2l can have.

Setting

All graphs are finite and simple. A copy of a graph HHH in GGG is a subgraph of GGG isomorphic to HHH, and N(H,G)\mathcal N(H,G)N(H,G) is the number of copies. CaC_aCa​ is the cycle of length a≥3a\ge3a≥3; PlP_lPl​ is the path on lll vertices (of length l−1l-1l−1).

For a set AAA of integers, each at least 333, let CA={Ca:a∈A}\mathcal C_A=\{C_a:a\in A\}CA​={Ca​:a∈A}; a graph is CA\mathcal C_ACA​-free if it contains none of these cycles as a subgraph. Write C2l−1={C3,C4,…,C2l−1}\mathcal C_{2l-1}=\{C_3,C_4,\dots,C_{2l-1}\}C2l−1​={C3​,C4​,…,C2l−1​}. The generalized Turán number is

ex(n,H,CA)=max⁡{N(H,G):G is a CA-free graph on n vertices}.\mathrm{ex}(n,H,\mathcal C_A)=\max\{\mathcal N(H,G): G\text{ is a }\mathcal C_A\text{-free graph on }n\text{ vertices}\}.ex(n,H,CA​)=max{N(H,G):G is a CA​-free graph on n vertices}.

For vertices a≠ba\neq ba=b, fl(a,b)f_l(a,b)fl​(a,b) is the number of paths with lll edges between aaa and bbb. A pair {u,v}\{u,v\}{u,v} is fat if fl(u,v)≥4l2f_l(u,v)\ge 4l^2fl​(u,v)≥4l2, and a copy of C2lC_{2l}C2l​ is fat if all lll of its pairs of opposite vertices are fat.

The (l,t)(l,t)(l,t)-theta graph joins two vertices by ttt internally disjoint paths of length lll. For a graph FFF, the theta-(n,F,l)(n,F,l)(n,F,l) graph replaces each edge of FFF by an (l,t)(l,t)(l,t)-theta graph with t=⌊(n−∣V(F)∣)/(∣E(F)∣(l−1))⌋t=\lfloor (n-|V(F)|)/(|E(F)|(l-1))\rfloort=⌊(n−∣V(F)∣)/(∣E(F)∣(l−1))⌋ and adds isolated vertices up to nnn; here F=CmF=C_mF=Cm​ for m≥3m\ge3m≥3 and F=K2F=K_2F=K2​ for m=2m=2m=2.

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem 14

For integers k>l≥2k>l\ge2k>l≥2 and m≥2m\ge2m≥2 with 2k≠ml2k\neq ml2k=ml,

ex(n,Cml,C2l−1∪{C2k})=Θ(nm)(n→∞).\mathrm{ex}\big(n,C_{ml},\mathcal C_{2l-1}\cup\{C_{2k}\}\big)=\Theta(n^m)\qquad(n\to\infty).ex(n,Cml​,C2l−1​∪{C2k​})=Θ(nm)(n→∞).

Both bounds are part of the goal; the constants depend on k,l,mk,l,mk,l,m only.

Milestones

  1. Lemmas 25 and 26: forbidding additional odd cycles (Lemma 25) or shorter odd cycles (Lemma 26) does not change the order of magnitude of ex(n,C2k,CA)\mathrm{ex}(n,C_{2k},\mathcal C_A)ex(n,C2k​,CA​) or ex(n,C2k+1,CA)\mathrm{ex}(n,C_{2k+1},\mathcal C_A)ex(n,C2k+1​,CA​).
  2. Lemma 27: a partition V1,…,VsV_1,\dots,V_sV1​,…,Vs​ with no P3P_3P3​ inside ViV_iVi​ (i<si<si<s), no Pp+1P_{p+1}Pp+1​ joining different parts and VsV_sVs​ independent forces ∣E(G)∣≤p n|E(G)|\le p\,n∣E(G)∣≤pn.
  3. The lower bound: the theta graph has only cycles of lengths 2l2l2l and mlmlml, hence avoids the forbidden family, and has Ω(nm)\Omega(n^m)Ω(nm) cycles of length mlmlml.
  4. Claims 12 and 13: the structure of two 2l2l2l-cycles through a common path, and short detours between fat pairs, in graphs of girth at least 2l2l2l.
  5. Counting C2lC_{2l}C2l​'s in girth at least 2l2l2l: at most (4l2−12)(n2)\binom{4l^2-1}{2}\binom n2(24l2−1​)(2n​) non-fat ones; Claim 14 on the greedy multiplicities; at most 2k(k−l)l−2(n2)\frac{2k(k-l)}{l-2}\binom n2l−22k(k−l)​(2n​) fat ones.
  6. The case m≥3m\ge3m≥3: display (5), 12∑a≠b(fl(a,b)2)=O(n2)\tfrac12\sum_{a\ne b}\binom{f_l(a,b)}{2}=O(n^2)21​∑a=b​(2fl​(a,b)​)=O(n2), and Claim 15, ∑b≠afl(a,b)=O(n)\sum_{b\neq a}f_l(a,b)=O(n)∑b=a​fl​(a,b)=O(n).

Significance

Theorem 14 locates ex(n,Cml,C2l−1∪{C2k})\mathrm{ex}(n,C_{ml},\mathcal C_{2l-1}\cup\{C_{2k}\})ex(n,Cml​,C2l−1​∪{C2k​}) at nmn^mnm for every admissible triple, so in graphs of girth 2l2l2l forbidding one further even cycle C2kC_{2k}C2k​ (with 2k≠ml2k\neq ml2k=ml) caps the number of mlmlml-cycles at the count achieved by a blown-up mmm-cycle of long paths. The paper uses it to settle the order of magnitude of ex(n,C6,CA)\mathrm{ex}(n,C_6,\mathcal C_A)ex(n,C6​,CA​) for every family AAA with 4∈A4\in A4∈A, 6∉A6\notin A6∈/A and ∣Ae∣≥2|A_e|\ge2∣Ae​∣≥2 (Theorem 20), and its case l=2l=2l=2 recovers Theorem 10.

The result is proved in the paper; nothing here is open mathematically. To the best of a platform search (2026-10-08), no part of it is formalized: Mathlib has copyCount, cycleGraph and pathGraph, but no generalized Turán numbers, no theta graphs and no counting of paths between two vertices. The mission produces a machine-checked proof of the theorem and of the counting lemmas of §5, which are reusable for other generalized Turán problems with cycles.

Difficulty

The lower bound is an explicit construction, and its difficulty is bookkeeping: proving that a subdivided multigraph has no cycles other than those of lengths 2l2l2l and mlmlml, and counting the mlmlml-cycles. The upper bound is the substance. A direct count of C2lC_{2l}C2l​'s through codegrees, which works for C4C_4C4​, fails here because paths of length lll between a pair are not controlled by a single neighbourhood. The paper's route separates fat from non-fat cycles and runs a greedy multiplicity procedure; Claim 14 then grows a C2kC_{2k}C2k​ by an induction on the cycle length in steps of l−1l-1l−1, which needs the precise intersection pattern of Claim 12 and the detour paths of Claim 13. For m≥3m\ge3m≥3 the argument goes through layered neighbourhoods and Lemma 27. The m=2m=2m=2 argument divides by l−2l-2l−2, so for l=2l=2l=2 a different route (Theorems 10 and 11 of the paper) is needed.

Formalization scope

Graphs are SimpleGraph (Fin n) for the extremal function and graphs on an arbitrary finite type for the lemmas. Copies are unlabelled (copyCount, subgraphs isomorphic to the pattern); CaC_aCa​ and PlP_lPl​ are Mathlib's cycleGraph a and pathGraph l. exCyc n H A is the supremum, over CA\mathcal C_ACA​-free graphs on Fin n, of the copy count; the set is finite and contains the empty graph's count whenever every length in AAA is at least 333, so it is a maximum. The forbidden family of the goal is Set.Icc 3 (2 * l - 1) ∪ {2 * k}, every length from 333 to 2l−12l-12l−1 together with 2k2k2k. Θ\ThetaΘ, OOO and Ω\OmegaΩ are Mathlib's asymptotic relations along atTop, with constants fixed before nnn and the graph. fl(a,b)f_l(a,b)fl​(a,b) counts injective vertex sequences (paths, not walks). The theta graph thetaCycle n m l is an explicit graph on Fin n.

Added or pinned hypotheses, all disclosed in the items: l≥2l\ge2l≥2 in the goal (the page writes only k>lk>lk>l; at l=1l=1l=1 the family C2l−1\mathcal C_{2l-1}C2l−1​ is empty and the statement fails); C≠C′C\neq C'C=C′ in Claim 12; l≥3l\ge3l≥3 where the page divides by l−2l-2l−2; Lemma 27 with the explicit bound p np\,npn of its proof, which is uniform in sss; Claim 15 under the full family C2l−1∪{C2k}\mathcal C_{2l-1}\cup\{C_{2k}\}C2l−1​∪{C2k​}, which its proof needs. Claim 14 assumes only girth ≥2l\ge 2l≥2l, not C2kC_{2k}C2k​-freeness, since on the page its conclusion at r=kr=kr=k is the contradiction.

The statements rule out the trivializing readings: the goal is two-sided, so an upper bound alone does not close it; exCyc is a genuine maximum, not a junk supremum; copies are unlabelled; the constants come before nnn and the graph; the forbidden family contains all short cycles, not only C2l−1C_{2l-1}C2l−1​.

A complete development needs path counting in graphs of large girth (uniqueness of short paths), layered neighbourhoods, the degeneracy argument of Lemma 27, a random bipartition argument for Lemma 25, and cycle structure in theta graphs. Contributions of any milestone, and of general-purpose lemmas on paths and cycles in SimpleGraph, are welcome.

Selected references

  • D. Gerbner, E. Győri, A. Methuku, M. Vizer, Generalized Turán problems for even cycles, J. Combin. Theory Ser. B (2020); arXiv:1712.07079v3 (2018). https://arxiv.org/abs/1712.07079, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jctb.2020.05.005
  • N. Alon, C. Shikhelman, Many T copies in H-free graphs, J. Combin. Theory Ser. B 121 (2016). https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jctb.2016.03.004
  • J. A. Bondy, M. Simonovits, Cycles of even length in graphs, J. Combin. Theory Ser. B 16 (1974). https://doi.org/10.1016/0095-8956(74)90052-5
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CombinatoricsGraph Theory·Captain: mikedeng1

Generalized Turán Problems for Even Cycles 5: The Maximum Number of (2l+1)-Cycles in a Graph with No Cycle of Length 3, …, 2l or 2k Is Ω(n^{1+1/(2k+1)}) and O(n^{1+l/(l+1)})Research Paper

Why count cycles under a girth constraint?

An extremal graph question asks how many copies of one pattern can occur when other patterns are forbidden. When the counted pattern is a cycle, the answer depends strongly on which shorter cycles may occur. Excluding only an even cycle and excluding all cycles up to a given length are different constraints. The latter imposes a girth condition, meaning that nearby vertices cannot be connected by the many short alternative routes that otherwise create small cycles. For odd cycles, this makes a direct application of ordinary edge-count bounds inadequate: many graphs with relatively few edges can still arrange those edges into many copies of a fixed cycle.

Gerbner, Győri, Methuku and Vizer study generalized Turán numbers for cycles and paths. Their Theorem 17 bounds the number of copies of a particular odd cycle when every cycle of lengths 333 through 2l2l2l, and one further even cycle of length 2k2k2k, is forbidden. The lower and upper exponents differ; the theorem supplies a nontrivial interval for the possible growth rate rather than an exact asymptotic formula. The preprint, Theorem 17 is the source used here; its printed page numbers agree with its PDF pages.

Graphs, copies, and forbidden families

Write CaC_aCa​ for the simple cycle on aaa vertices. For a set AAA of integers at least 333, let CA={Ca:a∈A}\mathcal C_A=\{C_a:a\in A\}CA​={Ca​:a∈A}. A graph GGG is CA\mathcal C_ACA​-free if no member of the family occurs as a subgraph of GGG. The copies need not be induced: an extra edge between vertices of a copy does not erase that copy. When A={3,…,t}A=\{3,\ldots,t\}A={3,…,t}, write Ct\mathcal C_tCt​ for this family. Thus C2l∪{C2k}\mathcal C_{2l}\cup\{C_{2k}\}C2l​∪{C2k​} excludes every cycle of length from 333 to 2l2l2l and also excludes the single cycle C2kC_{2k}C2k​. This notation follows §1 of the paper.

For graphs HHH and GGG, let N(H,G)\mathcal N(H,G)N(H,G) be the number of unlabelled copies of HHH in GGG: subgraphs of GGG isomorphic to HHH, counted once each. The generalized Turán number is

ex⁡(n,H,CA)=max⁡{N(H,G):∣V(G)∣=n, G is CA-free}.\operatorname{ex}(n,H,\mathcal C_A) =\max\{\mathcal N(H,G): |V(G)|=n,\ G\text{ is }\mathcal C_A\text{-free}\}.ex(n,H,CA​)=max{N(H,G):∣V(G)∣=n, G is CA​-free}.

The graph with no edges is eligible for the forbidden families in this mission, and the finite vertex set makes the maximum well defined. For a vertex vvv and integer i≥0i\ge0i≥0, Ni(v)N_i(v)Ni​(v) is the set of vertices whose graph distance from vvv is exactly iii. Vertices in another connected component lie in no Ni(v)N_i(v)Ni​(v) with finite iii.

The lower-bound milestone also uses a hypergraph, a set of hyperedges that are subsets of a common vertex set. It is rrr-uniform when every hyperedge has exactly rrr vertices. A Berge cycle of length jjj alternates jjj distinct vertices and jjj distinct hyperedges; consecutive vertices lie in their connecting hyperedge. Hypergraph girth at least sss means that no Berge cycle has length less than sss. These definitions are used in Theorem 29 and §6.2.

Formalization targets

Fix integers k>l≥2k>l\ge2k>l≥2. The goal is the two-sided statement of Theorem 17, p. 7:

ex⁡(n,C2l+1,C2l∪{C2k})=Ω(n1+1/(2k+1)),\operatorname{ex}(n,C_{2l+1},\mathcal C_{2l}\cup\{C_{2k}\}) =\Omega\bigl(n^{1+1/(2k+1)}\bigr),ex(n,C2l+1​,C2l​∪{C2k​})=Ω(n1+1/(2k+1)), ex⁡(n,C2l+1,C2l∪{C2k})=O(n1+l/(l+1)).\operatorname{ex}(n,C_{2l+1},\mathcal C_{2l}\cup\{C_{2k}\}) =O\bigl(n^{1+l/(l+1)}\bigr).ex(n,C2l+1​,C2l​∪{C2k​})=O(n1+l/(l+1)).

Both estimates concern n→∞n\to\inftyn→∞ with kkk and lll fixed. The paper does not claim that either exponent is optimal for every pair (k,l)(k,l)(k,l), and these formulas should not be read as an equality of growth rates.

The milestones record the source statements needed on the two sides. Theorem 29 gives rrr-uniform hypergraphs of prescribed Berge girth with at least n1+1/sn^{1+1/s}n1+1/s hyperedges. The lower-bound paragraph of §6.2 turns such hypergraphs into graphs with many C2l+1C_{2l+1}C2l+1​ copies. Lemma 27 bounds the edges of a graph under a path-restricting partition condition. The local layer identity and Claim 18 control edges in the distance layers Nl(v)N_l(v)Nl​(v) and Nl+1(v)N_{l+1}(v)Nl+1​(v). The final milestone is the low-cycle-vertex conclusion from the paper's deletion passage on p. 28.

What the result provides

The upper exponent 1+l/(l+1)1+l/(l+1)1+l/(l+1) is strictly below 222, so the theorem rules out quadratic growth for this generalized Turán number under the stated forbidden family. The lower exponent 1+1/(2k+1)1+1/(2k+1)1+1/(2k+1) shows that the number of permitted odd cycles nevertheless grows faster than linearly. Together they locate the problem between two explicit power laws. These statements belong to a wider set of cycle-count results in the paper, where changing the forbidden family or the parity of its extra cycle changes the resulting bounds; see Theorems 17 and 18.

The paper proves these bounds. The work here is to state its objects and claims so that Lean can check future proofs: the maximum over admissible graphs, unlabelled cycle counts, Berge-cycle girth, and graph distance layers. The present proposal supplies proof targets; their Lean declarations have placeholders for proofs. The finite graph and hypergraph definitions can also serve later formalizations of generalized Turán and girth questions. The exact growth rate between the two exponents is left open by this theorem.

Where the proof is difficult

Counting cycles from an ordinary upper bound on the number of edges loses the relation between a cycle and its position around a vertex. The no-short-cycle condition constrains individual distance layers, but a layer can still contain edges that close a C2l+1C_{2l+1}C2l+1​. Controlling those edges uniformly across all graphs and vertices is the central issue in the upper bound. A bound with a constant chosen after seeing the graph would say little about the asymptotic maximum; Claim 18 instead requires a constant depending only on kkk and lll. The lower side has a different requirement: the construction must preserve both the abundance of odd cycles and every exclusion in C2l∪{C2k}\mathcal C_{2l}\cup\{C_{2k}\}C2l​∪{C2k​}. The precise assertions are in §6.2, pp. 27–28.

Formalization scope

Graphs on nnn vertices are represented as simple graphs on Fin⁡(n)\operatorname{Fin}(n)Fin(n), and CaC_aCa​ is Mathlib's cycle graph. A copy is a subgraph isomorphic to CaC_aCa​, counted without labels. The extremal number is the supremum of its finite, nonempty set of attainable natural-number counts; in this setting that supremum is the paper's maximum. Distance layers use extended graph distance, which assigns unreachable pairs infinity. The family of forbidden lengths is exactly {3,…,2l}∪{2k}\{3,\ldots,2l\}\cup\{2k\}{3,…,2l}∪{2k}; it does not omit any short cycle.

The hypergraph representation is a finite set of distinct finite vertex sets. Berge-cycle existence requires injective lists of vertices and hyperedges, and girth at least sss is expressed by absence of lengths 222 through s−1s-1s−1 rather than a numerical infimum with an exceptional value on acyclic hypergraphs. Theorem 29's threshold is chosen after r,sr,sr,s and before nnn. Claim 18's constant is chosen after k,lk,lk,l and before the graph or vertex. The upper and lower asymptotic bounds are both present, with real exponents; neither is replaced by a one-sided or purely existential statement.

Lemma 27 is given with the explicit m∣V(G)∣m|V(G)|m∣V(G)∣ edge bound from its proof, uniform in the number of partition classes. The final deletion milestone uses an existential constant D(k,l)D(k,l)D(k,l) because the page mixes several powers of its intermediate constant ccc; this is recorded in the accompanying audit notes. A complete proof development needs Mathlib's simple-graph copies, paths, graph metric, finite-set counting, and asymptotic notation, plus the hypergraph interface defined for this mission. Proofs of the goal and any of these milestones are welcome.

Selected references

  • D. Gerbner, E. Győri, A. Methuku, and M. Vizer, Generalized Turán problems for even cycles, Journal of Combinatorial Theory, Series B, 2020. arXiv:1712.07079v3; DOI: 10.1016/j.jctb.2020.05.005.
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Algorithmic Game TheoryOperations Research·Captain: mikedeng1

Potential Games Are Necessary to Ensure Pure Nash Equilibria in Cost Sharing Games 1: Every Game Has a Pure Nash Equilibrium Iff the Distribution Rules Are Generalized Weighted Shapley ValuesResearch Paper

Motivation

In a cost sharing game (or, symmetrically, a revenue sharing game) self-interested players each pick a set of resources, every resource generates a welfare that depends on who uses it, and a distribution rule splits that welfare among the users. Network formation, atomic routing, coverage and distributed-control problems all fit this model (Anshelevich et al. 2004; Marden and Wierman, Distributed welfare games, 2013; see §2 of the paper). The designer controls only the distribution rule, and the first requirement on a rule is that the games it induces have a pure Nash equilibrium; without one, equilibrium-based efficiency guarantees say nothing.

Which rules guarantee equilibria? The Shapley value and its weighted and generalized-weighted versions do, because they induce potential games (Hart and Mas-Colell 1989). Chen, Roughgarden and Valiant (2010) and Marden and Wierman (Overcoming the limitations of utility design for multiagent systems, 2013) showed that, among budget-balanced rules, these are the only ones that work for every welfare function, by exhibiting one worst-case welfare function (Proposition 1 of the paper, p. 9). Marden and Wierman (Distributed welfare games) also showed that when players may choose only one resource, other budget-balanced rules can work. That left open what happens when the designer knows the welfare functions in advance, and whether dropping budget-balance enlarges the set of good rules. Gopalakrishnan, Marden and Wierman 2014 answered both questions: for any fixed set of welfare functions, with or without budget-balance, the equilibrium-guaranteeing rules are exactly generalized weighted Shapley values on suitable ground welfare functions.

Setting

Players are N={1,…,n}N=\{1,\dots,n\}N={1,…,n} with n>1n>1n>1; resources are R={r1,…,rm}R=\{r_1,\dots,r_m\}R={r1​,…,rm​} with m>1m>1m>1. A local welfare function is W:2N→RW:2^N\to\mathbb RW:2N→R and a distribution rule is f:N×2N→Rf:N\times2^N\to\mathbb Rf:N×2N→R, where f(i,S)f(i,S)f(i,S) is the share of player iii when sharing with the coalition SSS (and f(i,S)=0f(i,S)=0f(i,S)=0 for i∉Si\notin Si∈/S). Each player iii has a nonempty action set Ai⊆2R\mathcal A_i\subseteq 2^RAi​⊆2R. In an allocation aaa, the users of rrr are {a}r={i:r∈ai}\{a\}_r=\{i:r\in a_i\}{a}r​={i:r∈ai​} and player iii receives

Ui(a)=∑r∈aifWr(i,{a}r).U_i(a)=\sum_{r\in a_i}f^{W_r}\bigl(i,\{a\}_r\bigr).Ui​(a)=r∈ai​∑​fWr​(i,{a}r​).

Resources with equal welfare functions use the same rule. For a nonempty set W\mathbb WW of welfare functions, G(N,fW,W)\mathcal G(N,f^{\mathbb W},\mathbb W)G(N,fW,W) is the class of all such games with every Wr∈WW_r\in\mathbb WWr​∈W, any number of resources and any action sets. A rule is budget-balanced for WWW if ∑i∈Sf(i,S)=W(S)\sum_{i\in S}f(i,S)=W(S)∑i∈S​f(i,S)=W(S).

A weight system ω=(λ,Σ)\omega=(\lambda,\Sigma)ω=(λ,Σ) consists of positive weights λi\lambda_iλi​ and an ordered partition Σ=(S1,…,SK)\Sigma=(S_1,\dots,S_K)Σ=(S1​,…,SK​) of NNN into priority classes. For nonempty TTT, T‾=T∩Sk\overline T=T\cap S_kT=T∩Sk​ with kkk the first class meeting TTT. With the basis coefficients qTW=∑R⊆T(−1)∣T∣−∣R∣W(R)q^W_T=\sum_{R\subseteq T}(-1)^{|T|-|R|}W(R)qTW​=∑R⊆T​(−1)∣T∣−∣R∣W(R), the generalized weighted Shapley value is

fGWSVW[ω](i,S)=∑T⊆S: i∈T‾λi∑j∈T‾λj qTW.f^W_{GWSV}[\omega](i,S)=\sum_{T\subseteq S:\,i\in\overline T}\frac{\lambda_i}{\sum_{j\in\overline T}\lambda_j}\,q^W_T .fGWSVW​[ω](i,S)=T⊆S:i∈T∑​∑j∈T​λj​λi​​qTW​.

The distributed welfare of a rule is W′(S)=∑i∈SfW(i,S)W'(S)=\sum_{i\in S}f^W(i,S)W′(S)=∑i∈S​fW(i,S), display (10).

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem 1

all games in G(N,fW,W) have a pure Nash equilibrium  ⟺  ∃ ω ∀W∈W: fW=fGWSVW′[ω] on {(i,S):i∈S},\text{all games in }\mathcal G(N,f^{\mathbb W},\mathbb W)\text{ have a pure Nash equilibrium}\iff\exists\,\omega\ \forall W\in\mathbb W:\ f^W=f^{W'}_{GWSV}[\omega]\text{ on }\{(i,S):i\in S\},all games in G(N,fW,W) have a pure Nash equilibrium⟺∃ω ∀W∈W: fW=fGWSVW′​[ω] on {(i,S):i∈S},

with W′W'W′ the distributed welfare of fWf^WfW. One weight system serves all of W\mathbb WW.

Milestones

The "if" direction (Appendix A, p. 16). For a single WWW and a budget-balanced fff guaranteeing equilibria: f(i,S)=0f(i,S)=0f(i,S)=0 when SSS contains no contributing coalition (Lemma 1) and for non-contributing iii (Lemma 2); f(i,S)=f(i,N(S))f(i,S)=f(i,N(S))f(i,S)=f(i,N(S)) (Lemma 3). The basis rules fTf^TfT of the recursion (27) are budget-balanced for the inclusion functions (Lemma 5), recover f=∑TqTfTf=\sum_Tq_Tf^Tf=∑T​qT​fT (Lemma 7), obey an inclusion–exclusion principle (Corollary 1), and are generalized weighted Shapley basis rules fGWSVT[ωT]f^T_{GWSV}[\omega^T]fGWSVT​[ωT] (Lemma 8). Across welfare functions the basis shares are consistent pairwise (Lemma 9) and around cycles (Lemma 10); the induced relation on players is a partial order modulo equivalence (Lemma 11), and one universal weight system replaces all ωW,T\omega^{W,T}ωW,T (Lemma 13).

Companions

Proposition 2: for welfare functions normalized by W′(∅)=W′′(∅)=0W'(\emptyset)=W''(\emptyset)=0W′(∅)=W′′(∅)=0, fGWSVW′[ω]=fGWMCW′′[ω]f^{W'}_{GWSV}[\omega]=f^{W''}_{GWMC}[\omega]fGWSVW′​[ω]=fGWMCW′′​[ω] iff T′=T′′\mathcal T'=\mathcal T''T′=T′′ and qT′=(∑j∈T‾λj)qT′′q'_T=(\sum_{j\in\overline T}\lambda_j)q''_TqT′​=(∑j∈T​λj​)qT′′​. Theorem 2: the same characterization with generalized weighted marginal contributions on W′′=h(W′)W''=h(W')W′′=h(W′).

Significance

The theorem settles the design space completely: a designer who wants equilibria in every game over known welfare functions must use a generalized weighted Shapley value, and the only freedom is the weight system and the ground welfare functions, which control budget-balance. Since these rules induce (generalized weighted) potential games, potential games are necessary for guaranteed equilibrium existence in this model, and computing shares inherits the exponential cost of Shapley values. Theorem 2 gives the marginal-contribution form, which needs one marginal contribution per share.

The paper proves Theorem 1 with a full appendix of counterexample constructions; none of it has a published machine-checked proof. The mission asks for a Lean proof of the characterization, of the reusable structure behind it (necessary conditions, basis decomposition, inclusion–exclusion for basis rules, consistency of weight systems), and of the Shapley–marginal-contribution correspondence.

Difficulty

The "if" direction is a potential argument. The "only if" direction is not: every necessary condition is proved by building, from a hypothetical violation, a specific game with no equilibrium, and the games grow more elaborate as the conditions do. Lemma 8 needs the inclusion–exclusion principle to isolate a single basis share, using many weighted copies of resources; Lemma 10's proof combines best-response cycles over kkk welfare functions and is partly omitted on the page ("We omit the proof for brevity", p. 51), so it is the hardest milestone. A tempting shortcut, applying the worst-case result of Chen et al. and Marden–Wierman (Proposition 1, p. 9), fails: it uses one worst-case welfare function, while here W\mathbb WW is arbitrary and may not contain it.

Formalization scope

Players are Fin n, resources Fin m, an action is a Finset (Fin m) (the empty action is allowed). The family of rules is one function f : Welfare n → Rule n, which encodes that equal welfare functions get equal rules. GuaranteesPNE 𝕎 f quantifies over every m > 1, every assignment Fin m → 𝕎 (repetitions allowed: the counterexamples rely on many copies of one welfare function) and every family of nonempty action sets. A weight system stores a block index Fin K per player (empty blocks allowed) and positive weights. Rules are compared only at i∈Si\in Si∈S. Contributing coalitions exclude ∅\emptyset∅ (Appendix A's normalization W(∅)=0W(\emptyset)=0W(∅)=0). The recursion (27) divides by qTq_TqT​ and is used only for contributing TTT; where it reads f(i,T)f(i,T)f(i,T) with i∉Ti\notin Ti∈/T, the paper's convention f(i,S)=0f(i,S)=0f(i,S)=0 off SSS is a hypothesis.

The ground welfare in Theorem 1 is the distributed welfare (10), written out, never an arbitrary function: an existentially quantified ground welfare would make the right side easier and the theorem a different one. The weight system is quantified before the welfare functions, and empty action sets are excluded; with them no game would have an equilibrium and the theorem would claim that no rule is a Shapley value.

Disclosed readings: Lemma 11's "partial order" is antisymmetry modulo the equivalence =Ω+=^+_\Omega=Ω+​, as the proof states; in (74) the first block S1W,TS_1^{W,T}S1W,T​ is read on TTT as its positive-share block T‾\overline TT. Proposition 2 carries W′(∅)=W′′(∅)=0W'(\emptyset)=W''(\emptyset)=0W′(∅)=W′′(∅)=0 so that the paper's basis support, which ranges over all coalitions, agrees with the local support of nonempty coalitions.

A complete development needs: finite games and pure equilibria on resource-selection models, Möbius inversion on Finset lattices, the potential argument for generalized weighted Shapley values (shared with the companion mission on generalized weighted potential games), and counterexample games built from copies of resources. The game model and the basis-rule recursion are reusable for other cost-sharing results. Proofs of any milestone, and alternative arguments for the necessary conditions, are welcome.

Selected references

  • R. Gopalakrishnan, J. R. Marden, A. Wierman, Potential Games are Necessary to Ensure Pure Nash Equilibria in Cost Sharing Games, Math. Oper. Res. 39(4), 2014; preprint arXiv:1402.3610v1, 2014. https://arxiv.org/abs/1402.3610v1
  • S. Hart, A. Mas-Colell, Potential, Value, and Consistency, Econometrica 57(3), 589–614, 1989. https://doi.org/10.2307/1911054
  • H.-L. Chen, T. Roughgarden, G. Valiant, Designing Network Protocols for Good Equilibria, SIAM J. Comput. 39(5), 1799–1832, 2010 (reference [8] of arXiv:1402.3610v1).
  • J. R. Marden, A. Wierman, Overcoming the Limitations of Utility Design for Multiagent Systems, IEEE Trans. Autom. Control, 2013 (reference [30] of arXiv:1402.3610v1).
  • J. R. Marden, A. Wierman, Distributed Welfare Games, Oper. Res., 2013 (reference [29] of arXiv:1402.3610v1).
  • E. Anshelevich, A. Dasgupta, J. Kleinberg, É. Tardos, T. Wexler, T. Roughgarden, The Price of Stability for Network Design with Fair Cost Allocation, FOCS 2004, 295–304 (reference [3] of arXiv:1402.3610v1).
  • L. S. Shapley, A Value for n-Person Games, Contributions to the Theory of Games II, Princeton University Press, 1953 (reference [43] of arXiv:1402.3610v1).
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