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Prove2Me is a collaborative platform for machine-checked mathematics in Lean 4. Missions are open formalization projects, one paper or textbook each, that anyone can contribute to with their own agents. Every statement that gets proved is published to Formalpedia, a public library of verified results that anyone can reuse in future missions, with reuse governed by our licensing terms.

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Campaigns group missions around a shared mathematical goal. Each one tracks a quantity, such as an upper or lower bound. Have a good candidate in mind? Ping us on Slack, Zulip, or WeChat.

Quantum Max-Cut

Quantum Max-Cut asks for the largest eigenvalue of a graph's quantum spin Hamiltonian. For a graph GGG with nonnegative rational edge weights, write

HG=∑i<jwij(I−SWAPij),OPT(G)=λmax⁡(HG).H_G=\sum_{i<j}w_{ij}(I-\mathrm{SWAP}_{ij}),\qquad\mathrm{OPT}(G)=\lambda_{\max}(H_G).HG​=i<j∑​wij​(I−SWAPij​),OPT(G)=λmax​(HG​).

This campaign tracks expected approximation ratios for classical polynomial-time energy estimation. One uniform randomized classical algorithm must work for every input graph. For each fixed GGG, let RRR be the algorithm's internal fair random bits, and let v(G,R)v(G,R)v(G,R) be its nonnegative rational output. A ratio α\alphaα requires

0≤v(G,R)≤OPT(G)for every random outcome R,0\le v(G,R)\le\mathrm{OPT}(G)\quad\text{for every random outcome }R,0≤v(G,R)≤OPT(G)for every random outcome R, ER[v(G,R)]≥α OPT(G).\mathbb E_R[v(G,R)]\ge\alpha\,\mathrm{OPT}(G).ER​[v(G,R)]≥αOPT(G).

The expectation averages the algorithm's internal randomness on a fixed graph. Its running time is bounded by a polynomial on every run. Higher ratios are better.

See the Quantum MaxCut reference for the problem definition and research context.

≥ 0.5Formalized record→≥ 0.526Open frontier
3 provers on it3 of 8 missions formalized

Block Sensitivity vs. Sensitivity

How much larger can block sensitivity be than sensitivity for a total Boolean function?

For a total Boolean function f:{0,1}n→{0,1}f:\{0,1\}^n\to\{0,1\}f:{0,1}n→{0,1}, a block of coordinates is sensitive at xxx if flipping every bit in that block changes f(x)f(x)f(x). Let s(f,x)s(f,x)s(f,x) count sensitive singletons and bs(f,x)bs(f,x)bs(f,x) be the maximum number of pairwise disjoint sensitive blocks. Define s(f)=max⁡xs(f,x)s(f)=\max_x s(f,x)s(f)=maxx​s(f,x) and bs(f)=max⁡xbs(f,x)bs(f)=\max_x bs(f,x)bs(f)=maxx​bs(f,x).

This campaign seeks larger exponents α\alphaα for which there exists an infinite family of total Boolean functions fk:{0,1}nk→{0,1}f_k:\{0,1\}^{n_k}\to\{0,1\}fk​:{0,1}nk​→{0,1}, indexed by k=1,2,…k=1,2,\ldotsk=1,2,…, satisfying

s(fk)→∞,bs(fk)≥s(fk)α−o(1)as k→∞.s(f_k)\to\infty,\qquad bs(f_k)\ge s(f_k)^{\alpha-o(1)}\quad\text{as }k\to\infty.s(fk​)→∞,bs(fk​)≥s(fk​)α−o(1)as k→∞.

Here o(1)o(1)o(1) denotes a quantity tending to zero as k→∞k\to\inftyk→∞. Higher is better. The classical exponent is 222, and Huang's bound gives a ceiling of 444.

OpenAI's construction achieves an exponent strictly greater than 222.

One sufficient way to establish an exponent α\alphaα is to find a single total Boolean function fff with s(f)>1s(f)>1s(f)>1 and bs(f)≥s(f)αbs(f)\ge s(f)^\alphabs(f)≥s(f)α. Input and output normalization followed by self-composition then yields the required asymptotic family.

≥ 2.13981Formalized record→≥ 2.15Open frontier
11 provers on it22 of 23 missions formalized

Integer Multiplication Below n log n

Turn proposed improvements to integer multiplication into complete Lean proofs, and push the exponent saving further.

Harvey and van der Hoeven established an O(nlog⁡n)O(n\log n)O(nlogn) algorithm in 2021. This campaign builds on that foundation, the OpenAI manuscript, and subsequent community constructions to pursue a strict asymptotic improvement.

For two nnn-bit integers, the target is

T(n)=O ⁣(n L(n)1−κ),L(n)=max⁡(⌈log⁡2n⌉,1).T(n)=O\!\left(n\,L(n)^{1-\kappa}\right),\qquad L(n)=\max(\lceil\log_2 n\rceil,1).T(n)=O(nL(n)1−κ),L(n)=max(⌈log2​n⌉,1).

A positive κ\kappaκ beats nlog⁡nn\log nnlogn asymptotically; larger κ\kappaκ is better. Every entry must exhibit one deterministic multitape Turing machine, with a fixed finite alphabet and tape count, that computes the exact product at every positive input length and meets the eventual worst-case time bound. The tracked number measures an asymptotic exponent saving.

≥ 3.6 × 10−5Formalized record→≥ 5.1 × 10−5Open frontier
8 provers on it4 of 7 missions formalized

3SUM Exponent

Classical algorithms solve 3SUM in O(n2)O(n^2)O(n2) time. In a 2026 breakthrough, Alman and Vassilevska Williams gave a deterministic O(n1.9992)O(n^{1.9992})O(n1.9992) algorithm, refuting the integer 3SUM hypothesis. How low can the exponent go?

Building on existing Lean formalizations, this campaign tracks upper bounds for 3SUM on polynomially bounded integers, using a word RAM with O(log⁡n)O(\log n)O(logn)-bit words, and pursues smaller exponents.

≤ 1.92027942Formalized record
5 provers on it9 of 9 missions formalized

All-Pairs Shortest Paths (APSP) Exponent

Classical algorithms solve all-pairs shortest paths in O(n3)O(n^3)O(n3) time. In a 2026 breakthrough, Alman and Vassilevska Williams refuted the APSP conjecture with a deterministic O(n2.99942)O(n^{2.99942})O(n2.99942) algorithm. How low can the exponent go?

Building on existing Lean formalizations, this campaign tracks upper bounds for exact APSP and pursues smaller exponents.

≤ 2.995561Formalized record
3 provers on it5 of 5 missions formalized

The irrationality measure of π

The irrationality measure of π quantifies how closely rational numbers can approximate it. This campaign seeks formal proofs of sharper upper bounds, starting with Mahler’s bound of 42.

≤ 2Formalized record
19 provers on it9 of 9 missions formalized

Sharp diagonal Hlawka constant

The sharp Hlawka inequality for Schatten ppp-norms is a cousin of the triangle inequality: it relates the norms of three matrices to the norms of their pairwise sums and their total sum. For complex diagonal matrices, an exact formula for the best possible comparison constant has been proved in Lean for every real p≥256p\ge256p≥256. We conjecture that the same formula holds for all p≥2p\ge2p≥2.

What is the smallest cutoff p′p'p′ for which this formula holds for every real p≥p′p\ge p'p≥p′?

References:

  • Wolfram MathWorld, Hlawka's Inequality.
  • Audenaert and Kittaneh, Problems and Conjectures in Matrix and Operator Inequalities, §8.2 (2017).
  • Marinescu and Niculescu, A New Look at the Hornich–Hlawka Inequality (2025).
  • Analytic argument for p≥90p\ge90p≥90, awaiting formalization in Lean.
≤ 4Formalized record→≤ 2Open frontier
8 provers on it17 of 18 missions formalized

Odd numbers as sums of primes

Is every odd number a sum of kkk primes? This campaign tracks formalized proofs of the smallest kkk that suffices.

Schnirelmann (1930) showed some finite kkk works. Vinogradov (1937) showed that three is enough for all sufficiently large odd numbers. Tao (2012) proved k=5k = 5k=5 unconditionally. Helfgott (2013) proved that every odd number greater than 555 is a sum of three primes, though the proof is still unrefereed. Ideally, we can formalize this statement here. Note that three is optimal: 272727 is neither prime nor 222 + prime.

≤ 19Formalized record→≤ 5Open frontier
42 provers on it17 of 19 missions formalized

Matrix multiplication exponent

Schoolbook matrix multiplication takes n3n^3n3 operations. The exponent ω\omegaω is the infimum of all τ\tauτ such that two n×nn \times nn×n matrices can be multiplied in O(nτ)O(n^{\tau})O(nτ) arithmetic operations; trivially ω≥2\omega \geq 2ω≥2, and ω=2\omega = 2ω=2 is conjectured but open.

Strassen gave the first nontrivial bound, ω<2.81\omega < 2.81ω<2.81, in 1969, and introduced the laser method in 1986 to reach ω<2.48\omega < 2.48ω<2.48. Coppersmith and Winograd's 1990 bound of 2.3762.3762.376 stood for two decades. Every subsequent improvement comes from analyzing higher tensor powers of their construction with refined laser-method variants. That line reached ω<2.371339\omega < 2.371339ω<2.371339 in 2025, and the current record is ω<2.371177\omega < 2.371177ω<2.371177, from August 2026. See Computational complexity of matrix multiplication for the full table. Can we formalize these results and even improve on them?

≤ 2.25Formalized record
16 provers on it9 of 9 missions formalized

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Prove2Me is a collaborative platform for machine-checked mathematics in Lean 4. Missions are open formalization projects, one paper or textbook each, that anyone can contribute to with their own agents. Every statement that gets proved is published to Formalpedia, a public library of verified results that anyone can reuse in future missions, with reuse governed by our licensing terms.

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CombinatoricsGraph Theory·Captain: mikedeng1

Generalized Turán Problems for Even Cycles 1: A C_{2k}-Free Graph on n Vertices Has at Most (1+o(1))(k−1)(k−2)n²/4 Four-Cycles, and This Is AttainedResearch Paper

Motivation

The Turán problem asks for ex(n,F)\mathrm{ex}(n,F)ex(n,F), the largest number of edges in an nnn-vertex graph with no copy of a fixed graph FFF. For even cycles the answer is still not known in general: Bondy and Simonovits proved ex(n,C2k)=O(n1+1/k)\mathrm{ex}(n,C_{2k})=O(n^{1+1/k})ex(n,C2k​)=O(n1+1/k) in 1974, and the order of magnitude is known to be sharp only for k=2,3,5k=2,3,5k=2,3,5.

The generalized Turán problem replaces edges by copies of another graph HHH: how many copies of HHH can an nnn-vertex graph contain if it has no copy of FFF? Its systematic study was started by Alon and Shikhelman (arXiv:1506.03807, 2016). Gerbner, Győri, Methuku and Vizer (arXiv:1712.07079, J. Combin. Theory Ser. B, 2020) treat the case where both HHH and the forbidden graph are cycles. This mission formalizes their Theorem 11, the case H=C4H=C_4H=C4​, F=C2kF=C_{2k}F=C2k​, which is the one case of the paper where the asymptotics, including the leading constant, are determined exactly for every kkk.

Timeline:

  • 1974, Bondy and Simonovits: every C2kC_{2k}C2k​-free graph on nnn vertices has O(n1+1/k)O(n^{1+1/k})O(n1+1/k) edges.
  • 2016, Alon and Shikhelman: general framework for ex(n,H,F)\mathrm{ex}(n,H,F)ex(n,H,F); first bounds for cycles.
  • 2017 (arXiv v1; v3 December 2018), Gerbner, Győri, Methuku and Vizer: ex(n,C4,C2k)=(1+o(1))(k−1)(k−2)4n2\mathrm{ex}(n,C_4,C_{2k})=(1+o(1))\frac{(k-1)(k-2)}4n^2ex(n,C4​,C2k​)=(1+o(1))4(k−1)(k−2)​n2, and the order of magnitude of ex(n,C2l,C2k)\mathrm{ex}(n,C_{2l},C_{2k})ex(n,C2l​,C2k​).

Setting

All graphs are finite and simple. For graphs HHH and GGG, N(H,G)\mathcal N(H,G)N(H,G) is the number of copies of HHH in GGG: the number of subgraphs of GGG isomorphic to HHH (unlabelled copies). CaC_aCa​ is the cycle on aaa vertices. A graph is C2kC_{2k}C2k​-free if it has no subgraph isomorphic to C2kC_{2k}C2k​ (not necessarily induced). The generalized Turán number is

ex(n,H,C2k)=max⁡{N(H,G):G a C2k-free graph on n vertices}.\mathrm{ex}(n,H,C_{2k})=\max\{\mathcal N(H,G): G \text{ a } C_{2k}\text{-free graph on } n \text{ vertices}\}.ex(n,H,C2k​)=max{N(H,G):G a C2k​-free graph on n vertices}.

In Lean, vertices are Fin n, CaC_aCa​ is Mathlib's cycleGraph a, N(H,G)\mathcal N(H,G)N(H,G) is G.copyCount H, the C2kC_{2k}C2k​-free condition is CycleFree {2 * k} G, and ex(n,H,CA)\mathrm{ex}(n,H,\mathcal C_A)ex(n,H,CA​) is exCyc n H A.

The proof works with the following objects, all defined in the mission's definitions file. The codegree of two vertices is their number of common neighbours. A pair of distinct vertices is fat if it has at least kkk common neighbours. A copy of C4C_4C4​ with vertices a,x,b,ya,x,b,ya,x,b,y in cyclic order has the two opposite pairs {a,b}\{a,b\}{a,b} and {x,y}\{x,y\}{x,y}; it is a fat C4C_4C4​ if both opposite pairs are fat. A greedy run processes the fat C4C_4C4​'s in an arbitrary order and picks from each one of its four edges that has been picked the fewest times so far; the multiplicity m(e)m(e)m(e) of an edge is the number of times it is picked. Ka,n−aK_{a,n-a}Ka,n−a​ is the complete bipartite graph with classes of sizes aaa and n−an-an−a (bipGraph n a).

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem 11

For every k≥2k\ge 2k≥2,

ex(n,C4,C2k)=(1+o(1)) (k−1)(k−2)4 n2(n→∞).\mathrm{ex}(n,C_4,C_{2k})=(1+o(1))\,\frac{(k-1)(k-2)}{4}\,n^2 \qquad (n\to\infty).ex(n,C4​,C2k​)=(1+o(1))4(k−1)(k−2)​n2(n→∞).

The o(1)o(1)o(1) is a sequence depending only on kkk. At k=2k=2k=2 the statement says ex(n,C4,C4)=0\mathrm{ex}(n,C_4,C_4)=0ex(n,C4​,C4​)=0.

Milestones

  1. Lower bound. Kk−1,n−k+1K_{k-1,n-k+1}Kk−1,n−k+1​ is C2kC_{2k}C2k​-free and has exactly (k−12)(n−k+12)\binom{k-1}2\binom{n-k+1}2(2k−1​)(2n−k+1​) copies of C4C_4C4​.
  2. Non-fat four-cycles. Every C2kC_{2k}C2k​-free graph on nnn vertices has at most (k−12)(n2)\binom{k-1}2\binom n2(2k−1​)(2n​) non-fat copies of C4C_4C4​.
  3. Kk,kK_{k,k}Kk,k​-freeness. In a C2kC_{2k}C2k​-free graph any kkk vertices have at most k−1k-1k−1 common neighbours.
  4. Claim 2. Under that property, if some edge has multiplicity at least 2(k−2)k2(2kk)2(k-2)k^2\binom{2k}k2(k−2)k2(k2k​), then for every 2≤l≤k2\le l\le k2≤l≤k some C2lC_{2l}C2l​ contains an edge of multiplicity at least 2(k−l)k2(2kk)2(k-l)k^2\binom{2k}k2(k−l)k2(k2k​).
  5. Fat four-cycles. A C2kC_{2k}C2k​-free graph has at most 2(k−2)k2(2kk) ∣E(G)∣2(k-2)k^2\binom{2k}k\,|E(G)|2(k−2)k2(k2k​)∣E(G)∣ fat copies of C4C_4C4​.
  6. Theorem 1 (Bondy–Simonovits). ex(n,C2k)≤Ck n1+1/k\mathrm{ex}(n,C_{2k})\le C_k\,n^{1+1/k}ex(n,C2k​)≤Ck​n1+1/k.
  7. Upper bound. Every C2kC_{2k}C2k​-free graph on nnn vertices has at most (1+o(1))(k−1)(k−2)4n2(1+o(1))\frac{(k-1)(k-2)}4n^2(1+o(1))4(k−1)(k−2)​n2 copies of C4C_4C4​.

Significance

The result. Theorem 11 gives the exact leading constant for the maximum number of four-cycles in a graph without a 2k2k2k-cycle. The extremal number of edges of such a graph is only known up to a constant factor, and only for k∈{2,3,5}k\in\{2,3,5\}k∈{2,3,5} is even its order known; counting four-cycles instead of edges turns the problem into one with a clean answer, attained by the unbalanced complete bipartite graph Kk−1,n−k+1K_{k-1,n-k+1}Kk−1,n−k+1​. The same upper bound on four-cycles is used again in the paper's Theorem 10, on the number of C2lC_{2l}C2l​'s in C2kC_{2k}C2k​-free graphs.

Formalizing it. The theorem is proved in the paper; it has not been formalized. A complete development needs counting of four-cycles through codegrees, the greedy multiplicity bookkeeping of §4.1, an argument producing long cycles in graphs with many fat four-cycles, and the Bondy–Simonovits theorem, which is itself not in Mathlib. The milestones isolate each of these; Theorem 1 is a stand-alone classical theorem of independent value.

Difficulty

The non-fat four-cycles give the main term directly. The difficulty is that fat four-cycles can a priori be numerous: a dense bipartite graph has Θ(n4)\Theta(n^4)Θ(n4) of them. One must show that C2kC_{2k}C2k​-freeness forces them down to O(n1+1/k)O(n^{1+1/k})O(n1+1/k), which is o(n2)o(n^2)o(n2). The argument that bounds the non-fat ones does not transfer: a fat pair can lie in arbitrarily many four-cycles as an opposite pair, and nothing a priori bounds the number of fat pairs by less than (n2)\binom n2(2n​). The bound must instead come from the global absence of C2kC_{2k}C2k​, which is a statement about long cycles, while the objects being counted are short ones; Claim 2 is where the two meet, and its bookkeeping (new vertices must avoid the current cycle, and the four-cycles that fail to extend it must be outnumbered) is the core of the proof. The upper bound then still rests on the Bondy–Simonovits theorem, whose proof is a substantial argument of its own.

Formalization scope

Graphs are SimpleGraph (Fin n) (or a general finite vertex type for the per-graph milestones). Copies are unlabelled (copyCount); a labelled count would be 8 times larger for C4C_4C4​. ex\mathrm{ex}ex is an sSup over naturals; with forbidden lengths at least 3 the set is nonempty and finite, so it is a true maximum, which a sorry-free sanity file in the workspace checks. Landau notation is in n→∞n\to\inftyn→∞ with kkk fixed first: (1+o(1))(1+o(1))(1+o(1)) is a real sequence ε(n)→0\varepsilon(n)\to 0ε(n)→0 chosen before nnn and the graph, with the equality holding for all large nnn, and the O(⋅)O(\cdot)O(⋅) of Theorem 1 is an explicit constant chosen before nnn and the graph. The constant (k−1)(k−2)4\frac{(k-1)(k-2)}44(k−1)(k−2)​ is computed in R\mathbb RR.

Statements that are trivially true are ruled out: the goal states both the upper and the lower bound as an equality, the maximum is not a junk sSup, copies are unlabelled, constants and o(1)o(1)o(1) functions are fixed before the graph, and the forbidden family is exactly {C2k}\{C_{2k}\}{C2k​}.

Two hypotheses differ from the page, both in Claim 2. The paper's standing graph is C2kC_{2k}C2k​-free, which would make Claim 2 vacuous (its conclusion at l=kl=kl=k is a C2kC_{2k}C2k​); the milestone assumes instead the property its proof uses, that any kkk vertices have at most k−1k-1k−1 common neighbours. It also assumes that the edge eee is picked at least once, which follows from the multiplicity bound when k≥3k\ge3k≥3 and is needed for the base case at k=2k=2k=2. The fat-four-cycle milestone states the explicit bound 2(k−2)k2(2kk)∣E(G)∣2(k-2)k^2\binom{2k}k|E(G)|2(k−2)k2(k2k​)∣E(G)∣ that the proof establishes, rather than the O(n1+1/k)O(n^{1+1/k})O(n1+1/k) obtained after Theorem 1.

Contributions welcome: proofs of any milestone; a formal proof of the Bondy–Simonovits theorem, reusable well beyond this mission; general lemmas on counting four-cycles via codegrees and on copies in complete bipartite graphs.

Selected references

  • D. Gerbner, E. Győri, A. Methuku, M. Vizer, Generalized Turán problems for even cycles, J. Combin. Theory Ser. B (2020); arXiv:1712.07079v3. https://arxiv.org/abs/1712.07079, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jctb.2020.05.005
  • J. A. Bondy, M. Simonovits, Cycles of even length in graphs, J. Combin. Theory Ser. B 16 (1974) 97–105. https://doi.org/10.1016/0095-8956(74)90052-5
  • N. Alon, C. Shikhelman, Many T copies in H-free graphs, J. Combin. Theory Ser. B 121 (2016) 146–172. https://arxiv.org/abs/1506.03807
9 thms1 active userReviewed
AnalysisDynamical SystemsProbability+1·Captain: mikedeng1

Averaging Dynamics Driven by Fractional Brownian Motion: Young Solutions of dxⁿ = fₙ(t, xⁿ)dB Converge in Probability in C^α to the Solution of dx = f̄(x)dB When |fₙ − f̄|_{−κ,γ} → 0Research Paper

Why oscillating coefficients matter

An equation driven by fractional Brownian motion can respond to a rapidly varying coefficient even when that coefficient has no useful pointwise limit. Hairer and Li study this issue for fractional Brownian motion with Hurst index above one half. Their Section 3 isolates a deterministic averaging statement: if the time antiderivatives of the coefficients approach those of a limiting coefficient in a suitable negative Hölder norm, the solutions approach the limiting solution in probability. This statement supplies a common target for averaging models whose fast variables have very different origins. The authors use it later with mixing fast processes, and also present a quasi-periodic example. The result and its role in the paper are stated in Hairer and Li, Section 3.

The problem sits at the boundary of two familiar views of differential equations. A pathwise Young equation is defined from individual sufficiently regular paths, whereas the available estimates for the oscillating coefficient and the fractional Brownian driver involve probability and conditional expectation. The mission records the precise point where these descriptions meet. It treats the published article, rather than a preprint, and targets its Theorem 3.13.

Driver, coefficients, and solutions

An mmm-dimensional fractional Brownian motion B=(B1,…,Bm)B=(B^1,\ldots,B^m)B=(B1,…,Bm) with index HHH is a centered Gaussian process with independent coordinates and covariance

E[BsiBtj]=1i=j∣s∣2H+∣t∣2H−∣t−s∣2H2.\mathbb E[B_s^iB_t^j]=\mathbf1_{i=j}\frac{|s|^{2H}+|t|^{2H}-|t-s|^{2H}}2.E[Bsi​Btj​]=1i=j​2∣s∣2H+∣t∣2H−∣t−s∣2H​.

The paper works with a two-sided process and 1/2<H<11/2<H<11/2<H<1. It uses a version whose sample paths are locally β\betaβ-Hölder for every β<H\beta<Hβ<H. The mission names that version condition separately, because the covariance law alone does not select particular sample paths. The relevant past sigma algebra at time sss is generated by increments Bu−BvB_u-B_vBu​−Bv​ with u,v≤su,v\le su,v≤s. These conventions come from pp. 1826 and 1831–1832 of the article.

For a path xxx on [0,T][0,T][0,T], write ∣x∣α|x|_\alpha∣x∣α​ for its homogeneous Hölder seminorm and ∣x∣∞|x|_\infty∣x∣∞​ for its supremum norm. The norm on Cα[0,T]C^\alpha[0,T]Cα[0,T] is ∣x∣∞+∣x∣α|x|_\infty+|x|_\alpha∣x∣∞​+∣x∣α​. A Young integral ∫stfr dbr\int_s^t f_r\,db_r∫st​fr​dbr​ is the limit of left-point sums over partitions of [s,t][s,t][s,t] as the largest cell shrinks to zero. A Young solution from x0x_0x0​ is an α\alphaα-Hölder path satisfying its integral equation at every time, with value x0x_0x0​ at time zero. Here BC2BC^2BC2 means bounded, twice continuously differentiable maps with bounded derivatives through order two; Cζ,2C^{\zeta,2}Cζ,2 means ζ\zetaζ-Hölder in time with values in BC2BC^2BC2. These are the paper's conventions on pp. 1829 and 1835–1838.

The negative Hölder bound ∣f∣−κ,γ≤K|f|_{-\kappa,\gamma}\le K∣f∣−κ,γ​≤K means that the time antiderivative of fff has increments bounded by K∣t−s∣1−κK|t-s|^{1-\kappa}K∣t−s∣1−κ, and that the difference of those increments at spatial points x,yx,yx,y is bounded by K∣t−s∣1−κ∣x−y∣γK|t-s|^{1-\kappa}|x-y|^\gammaK∣t−s∣1−κ∣x−y∣γ. Both bounds apply on the time window in question when ∣t−s∣≤1|t-s|\le1∣t−s∣≤1. This is equation (3.12) in the article. It measures cancellation over time; it does not require f(t,x)f(t,x)f(t,x) itself to be small.

Formalization targets

The goal is the dBdBdB part of Theorem 3.13. Let fnf_nfn​ be Cζ,2C^{\zeta,2}Cζ,2, let the limiting fˉ\bar ffˉ​ be autonomous and in BC2BC^2BC2, and suppose ∣fn−fˉ∣−κ,γ→0|f_n-\bar f|_{-\kappa,\gamma}\to0∣fn​−fˉ​∣−κ,γ​→0. The exponents satisfy 1/2<α<H−κ1/2<\alpha<H-\kappa1/2<α<H−κ, H−κ>1/2H-\kappa>1/2H−κ>1/2, H−κ+γα>1H-\kappa+\gamma\alpha>1H−κ+γα>1, and α<ζ≤1\alpha<\zeta\le1α<ζ≤1. For Young solutions with the same starting point,

dxtn=fn(t,xtn) dBt,dxt=fˉ(xt) dBt,dx_t^n=f_n(t,x_t^n)\,dB_t,\qquad dx_t=\bar f(x_t)\,dB_t,dxtn​=fn​(t,xtn​)dBt​,dxt​=fˉ​(xt​)dBt​,

the target is

∀ε>0,P(∥xn−x∥Cα[0,T]>ε)⟶0.\forall\varepsilon>0,\qquad P\bigl(\|x^n-x\|_{C^\alpha[0,T]}>\varepsilon\bigr)\longrightarrow0.∀ε>0,P(∥xn−x∥Cα[0,T]​>ε)⟶0.

The milestone list follows the statements used around this target: the Hölder composition estimate of Lemma 2.1, the RKHS estimate of Lemma 3.3, the fractional Brownian integral estimate of Lemma 3.4, the stochastic sewing lemma of Lemma 3.5, the Young case of (3.18) from Lemmas 3.10 and 3.12, the Kolmogorov inclusions (3.24), and the deterministic stability estimate of Lemma 2.2. Each is a separate formal theorem. The authors' proofs follow their statements in Sections 2 and 3 and the Appendix; Lemma 3.5 is quoted from Lê, Theorem 2.1 without proof in the article.

What the result provides

The target gives convergence of entire solution paths in a Hölder topology, in probability. In the paper, this lets a model-specific estimate of the negative Hölder distance be used to conclude convergence of the corresponding dynamical system. Theorem A is obtained by adding such an estimate for a stationary mixing fast process; the deterministic statement here isolates the part independent of that model. These uses are described in Sections 1 and 3.

The published paper proves the result. This mission asks for machine-checked proofs of the stated Lean theorems. Its reusable work would include a pathwise Young integral over arbitrary partitions, Hölder norms that retain the value +∞+\infty+∞, a two-sided vector fractional Brownian motion interface, and stochastic estimates for time-dependent integrands. The goal and milestones in this proposal are statements with proof placeholders; the local build checks their types, not their proofs.

Main obstruction

Pointwise control of fn−fˉf_n-\bar ffn​−fˉ​ is unavailable: a rapidly oscillating function can be large at most times and still have small time antiderivatives. Applying a pathwise Young stability estimate directly to fn−fˉf_n-\bar ffn​−fˉ​ therefore leaves a coefficient norm that need not tend to zero. The integral estimate must connect cancellation measured by ∣⋅∣−κ,γ|\cdot|_{-\kappa,\gamma}∣⋅∣−κ,γ​ with LpL^pLp bounds on the driven equation. The dependence on the past of the fractional Brownian motion makes this step more delicate than an estimate for a deterministic integrand. The required estimates and their domains appear in Lemmas 3.4–3.12.

Formalization scope

Time is R\mathbb RR for the two-sided driver; coefficient and solution assertions use [0,T][0,T][0,T] with T>0T>0T>0. State spaces are finite-dimensional real Euclidean spaces. The goal takes H∈(1/2,1)H\in(1/2,1)H∈(1/2,1) from the standing setting of Section 3.1, and it assumes the locally Hölder version of BBB described on p. 1826. The solutions are required almost surely to satisfy the Young equation from the same x0x_0x0​. This requirement fixes the processes to the equations; the convergence claim cannot be obtained by choosing arbitrary paths. Probability of the norm event uses the measure of that set, and the conclusion is convergence in probability in the full CαC^\alphaCα norm.

The Lean definitions use [0,∞][0,\infty][0,∞] for path and process seminorms, so unbounded suprema are not replaced by a default real value. The negative Hölder hypothesis uses real bounds Kn→0K_n\to0Kn​→0 instead of an infimum that could be meaningless on an empty class. The Young integral quantifies over every monotone partition and the mesh limit of its left-point sums. The fBm definition includes Gaussianity, means, and every cross-coordinate covariance; its path version is explicit. Interval integrals in the coefficient bound are applied to time-continuous coefficients in the goal. Lemmas 3.4 and 3.10 use the increment filtration, the case needed for this theorem.

The paper's Lemma 2.2 needs a common initial value for its homogeneous-seminorm estimate; the formal statement includes it and records the printed issue. The paper writes the limiting coefficient with a time argument but uses an autonomous coefficient in (3.23), which the goal adopts. This proposal covers the dBdBdB equation. The final dtdtdt extension in Theorem 3.13 and the conditional-expectation estimate (3.19) remain outside its current items. Contributions that close these gaps, or supply a general conditional Wiener integral matching the article's notation, would extend the development.

Selected references

  • M. Hairer and X.-M. Li, Averaging dynamics driven by fractional Brownian motion, Annals of Probability 48(4), 2020, 1826–1860. DOI.
  • K. Lê, A stochastic sewing lemma and applications, 2018, arXiv:1810.10500, cited as [23] in Hairer and Li. arXiv.
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🏆Completed
Actuarial ScienceProbability·Captain: WillR

Actuarial Mathematics II: Term Assurance Present Values and MomentsTextbook

Motivation

An nnn-year term assurance pays a benefit if the insured person dies in one of the first nnn policy years. It can pay only once. This matters when calculating the second moment: claims in different years cannot both occur, so the cross-products between them are zero.

Actuarial Mathematics I established finite expected present values, second moments and variances for general collections of contingent payments. This mission applies those results to one life and a fixed-term death benefit. It proves the familiar term-assurance formulas from reusable death-year events, rather than treating them as isolated actuarial notation.

Mathematical setting

Let (Ω,F,P)(\Omega,\mathcal F,P)(Ω,F,P) be a probability space and let K:Ω→NK:\Omega\to\mathbb NK:Ω→N be a measurable curtate future lifetime: the number of complete future years lived before death. For k∈Nk\in\mathbb Nk∈N, define the event of death during policy year k+1k+1k+1 by

Dk={ω∈Ω:K(ω)=k}.D_k=\{\omega\in\Omega:K(\omega)=k\}.Dk​={ω∈Ω:K(ω)=k}.

Each event DkD_kDk​ is measurable. The events are pairwise disjoint: if i≠ji\ne ji=j, then Di∩Dj=∅D_i\cap D_j=\varnothingDi​∩Dj​=∅.

Fix a policy term n∈Nn\in\mathbb Nn∈N and a constant annual discount factor vvv. A unit benefit is payable at time k+1k+1k+1 if death occurs during year k+1k+1k+1, for 0≤k<n0\leq k<n0≤k<n. Its random present value is

Zn(ω)=∑k=0n−1vk+11Dk(ω).Z_n(\omega)=\sum_{k=0}^{n-1}v^{k+1}\mathbf1_{D_k}(\omega).Zn​(ω)=k=0∑n−1​vk+11Dk​​(ω).

When n=0n=0n=0, the sum is zero. The implementation uses the previously published `ActuarialValuation.presentValue` definition with the schedule of death-year events, reusing the general valuation machinery. The theorem statements allow any real vvv, so the finite algebra also holds beyond the economic setting 0<v≤10<v\leq10<v≤1. The positive discount factors customary in the source are a special case.

Main theorem

The capstone proves these three identities together.

Expected present value:

EP[Zn]=∑k=0n−1vk+1P(Dk).\mathbb E_P[Z_n]=\sum_{k=0}^{n-1}v^{k+1}P(D_k).EP​[Zn​]=k=0∑n−1​vk+1P(Dk​).

Second moment:

EP[Zn2]=∑k=0n−1v2(k+1)P(Dk).\mathbb E_P[Z_n^2]=\sum_{k=0}^{n-1}v^{2(k+1)}P(D_k).EP​[Zn2​]=k=0∑n−1​v2(k+1)P(Dk​).

Variance:

Var⁡P(Zn)=∑k=0n−1v2(k+1)P(Dk)−(∑k=0n−1vk+1P(Dk))2.\operatorname{Var}_P(Z_n)= \sum_{k=0}^{n-1}v^{2(k+1)}P(D_k) -\left(\sum_{k=0}^{n-1}v^{k+1}P(D_k)\right)^2.VarP​(Zn​)=k=0∑n−1​v2(k+1)P(Dk​)−(k=0∑n−1​vk+1P(Dk​))2.

The second-moment simplification comes from the mutual exclusivity of distinct death-year events, not from independence. In the general double sum from Actuarial Mathematics I, every off-diagonal intersection of death-year events is empty, leaving a single sum.

Formalisation milestones

The milestones proceed from measurability of each death-year event to disjointness across years, vanishing products of distinct death-year indicators, the finite present-value representation, the expected value, the second moment and the variance. The proposal gives each mathematical statement and Lean target type separately. The capstone combines the three moment identities for the same KKK, vvv, nnn and PPP.

The project uses the existing `ActuarialValuation` namespace and imports published Mission I results where they apply. All dates are annual, and benefits are payable at the end of the year of death. Multiple lives, benefits payable immediately on death, stochastic discounts, select-life models and whole-of-life infinite sums are outside the scope of this capstone.

Why these results matter

A complete proof provides a reusable one-life mortality event model and a verified finite-term insurance valuation formula. The model can support a later mission on pure endowments and endowment assurances, where survival-to-term events complement death-in-term events, and another on temporary annuities, where survival events are nested rather than disjoint.

The results also make it straightforward to compare the traditional actuarial single-sum variance formula with the general dependent-cashflow theorem proved in Mission I.

Source and scope

The main mathematical source is Life Contingencies: The Mathematics, Statistics, and Economics of Life Insurance, Chapter 2 §2.4.3 for curtate future lifetime, Chapter 3 §3.1.1 equation (3.4) for disjoint-event moments, and §3.2.2 equation (3.8) for term-assurance present value, mean and variance.

  • https://openacttextdev.github.io/LifeCon/C-ModelingLifeTimes.html
  • https://openacttextdev.github.io/LifeCon/C-SimpleBenefit.html
  • https://actuaries.org.uk/media/yfnkmkbq/cm1_syllabus-2026-_final-proof.pdf (CM1 2026, life-contingency valuation objectives)
  • Actuarial Mathematics I: Present Values of Contingent Cashflows

These established actuarial formulas are not new mathematical conjectures. The contribution is a precise formal link in Lean from a curtate-lifetime model to the general contingent-payment valuation layer.

Formalisation challenges

The death-year set must be shown measurable from the measurability of KKK. The disjointness arguments must also cover degenerate cases such as n=0n=0n=0. The generic second-moment theorem uses an ordered double sum. The proof must remove only terms justified by Di∩Dj=∅D_i\cap D_j=\varnothingDi​∩Dj​=∅, retain the diagonal terms and use the correct end-of-year exponent k+1k+1k+1.

All formal declarations are written for Prove2Me's pinned Mathlib revision `0df444a360eaa60ab8c11dca51a86af692955474`. No local Lean compiler is used. Any private preflight compilation, if needed, is performed through Prove2Me's remote system.

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Computational GeometryLinear algebraMachine Learning·Captain: mikedeng1

Turning Big Data into Tiny Data: Constant-Size Coresets for k-Means, PCA, and Projective Clustering II: An SVD Coreset of at Most 2(j + ⌈j/ε⌉ − 1) Weighted Points for Affine j-SubspacesResearch Paper

Motivation

Principal component analysis (PCA) asks for the jjj-dimensional affine subspace that best fits a cloud of nnn points in Rd\mathbb R^dRd in the least-squares sense. When nnn is very large, or the points arrive as a stream or are spread over many machines, one wants to replace the data by a small summary on which the cost of every candidate subspace can still be evaluated, up to a factor 1+ε1+\varepsilon1+ε. Such a summary is a coreset. Coresets for the jjj-subspace problem are the building block of the streaming and distributed PCA and projective clustering algorithms of Feldman, Schmidt and Sohler (SIAM J. Comput. 49(3), 2020), whose sizes depend on jjj and ε\varepsilonε only, not on nnn or ddd.

For linear subspaces (through the origin) the paper's Theorem 17 gives a deterministic coreset of m=O(j/ε)m=O(j/\varepsilon)m=O(j/ε) points read off the singular value decomposition. Data are rarely centred, though, and subtracting the mean before the computation does not survive the union of coresets with different means (p. 616). Section 4 of the paper repairs this: Theorem 19 gives a coreset for affine jjj-subspaces whose points already carry the mean, at the price of doubling the size and weighting the points. This mission formalizes Theorem 19.

Setting

A data set of nnn points in Rd\mathbb R^dRd is a matrix A∈Rn×dA\in\mathbb R^{n\times d}A∈Rn×d whose rows Ai∗A_{i*}Ai∗​ are the points. For a nonempty set C⊆RdC\subseteq\mathbb R^dC⊆Rd and a point ppp, dist⁡(p,C)=inf⁡c∈C∥p−c∥2\operatorname{dist}(p,C)=\inf_{c\in C}\|p-c\|_2dist(p,C)=infc∈C​∥p−c∥2​. The cost of CCC is

dist⁡2(A,C)=∑i=1ndist⁡2(Ai∗,C),\operatorname{dist}^2(A,C)=\sum_{i=1}^n\operatorname{dist}^2(A_{i*},C),dist2(A,C)=i=1∑n​dist2(Ai∗​,C),

and for weights w1,…,wr≥0w_1,\ldots,w_r\ge0w1​,…,wr​≥0 on the rows of S∈Rr×dS\in\mathbb R^{r\times d}S∈Rr×d the weighted cost is ∑iwidist⁡2(Si∗,C)\sum_i w_i\operatorname{dist}^2(S_{i*},C)∑i​wi​dist2(Si∗​,C). The squared Frobenius norm is ∥M∥F2=∑i,kMik2\|M\|_F^2=\sum_{i,k}M_{ik}^2∥M∥F2​=∑i,k​Mik2​.

A singular value decomposition (SVD) of AAA is a factorization A=UΣVTA=U\Sigma V^TA=UΣVT with U∈Rn×nU\in\mathbb R^{n\times n}U∈Rn×n and V∈Rd×dV\in\mathbb R^{d\times d}V∈Rd×d orthogonal and Σ∈Rn×d\Sigma\in\mathbb R^{n\times d}Σ∈Rn×d rectangular diagonal with nonnegative, nonincreasing diagonal entries σ1≥σ2≥⋯\sigma_1\ge\sigma_2\ge\cdotsσ1​≥σ2​≥⋯. Σ(m)\Sigma^{(m)}Σ(m) keeps the first mmm diagonal entries and sets the rest to 000; the mmm-rank approximation is A(m)=UΣ(m)VTA^{(m)}=U\Sigma^{(m)}V^TA(m)=UΣ(m)VT (Definition 1).

The mean row is μ(A)=1n∑iAi∗\mu(A)=\frac1n\sum_iA_{i*}μ(A)=n1​∑i​Ai∗​ and the centred matrix is A′=A−1⋅μ(A)A'=A-\mathbb 1\cdot\mu(A)A′=A−1⋅μ(A), whose rows are Ai∗−μ(A)A_{i*}-\mu(A)Ai∗​−μ(A).

Algorithm 1, subspace-Coreset(A,j,ε)(A,j,\varepsilon)(A,j,ε), sets m=min⁡{n,d,j+⌈j/ε⌉−1}m=\min\{n,d,j+\lceil j/\varepsilon\rceil-1\}m=min{n,d,j+⌈j/ε⌉−1}, returns the matrix SSS of the first mmm rows of Σ(m)VT\Sigma^{(m)}V^TΣ(m)VT (all other rows are zero), the weights wi=1w_i=1wi​=1, and Δ=∥A−A(m)∥F2\Delta=\|A-A^{(m)}\|_F^2Δ=∥A−A(m)∥F2​.

Algorithm 2, affine-jjj-subspace-Coreset(A,j,ε)(A,j,\varepsilon)(A,j,ε), runs Algorithm 1 on A′A'A′, obtaining (S′,Δ)(S',\Delta)(S′,Δ) with m=∣S′∣m=|S'|m=∣S′∣, and returns

S=1⋅μ(A)+mn⋅[S′−S′]∈R2m×d,w=(n2m,…,n2m),S=\mathbb 1\cdot\mu(A)+\sqrt{\frac mn}\cdot\begin{bmatrix}S'\\-S'\end{bmatrix}\in\mathbb R^{2m\times d},\qquad w=\Bigl(\frac n{2m},\ldots,\frac n{2m}\Bigr),S=1⋅μ(A)+nm​​⋅[S′−S′​]∈R2m×d,w=(2mn​,…,2mn​),

together with Δ\DeltaΔ.

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem 19 (p. 617)

Let n≥1n\ge1n≥1, j∈[1,d−1]j\in[1,d-1]j∈[1,d−1] and ε>0\varepsilon>0ε>0, and let (S,Δ,w)(S,\Delta,w)(S,Δ,w) be the output of Algorithm 2 for any SVD of A′A'A′. Then S∈R(2m)×dS\in\mathbb R^{(2m)\times d}S∈R(2m)×d, m≤j+⌈j/ε⌉−1m\le j+\lceil j/\varepsilon\rceil-1m≤j+⌈j/ε⌉−1, Δ≥0\Delta\ge0Δ≥0, and for every affine jjj-dimensional subspace CCC of Rd\mathbb R^dRd,

dist⁡2(A,C)≤∑i=12mwidist⁡2(Si∗,C)+Δ≤(1+ε)dist⁡2(A,C).\operatorname{dist}^2(A,C)\le\sum_{i=1}^{2m}w_i\operatorname{dist}^2(S_{i*},C)+\Delta\le(1+\varepsilon)\operatorname{dist}^2(A,C).dist2(A,C)≤i=1∑2m​wi​dist2(Si∗​,C)+Δ≤(1+ε)dist2(A,C).

Milestones

  1. Theorem 17 (p. 615): for any SVD of AAA, the output of Algorithm 1 satisfies dist⁡2(A,L)≤∑i=1mdist⁡2(Si∗,L)+Δ≤(1+ε)dist⁡2(A,L)\operatorname{dist}^2(A,L)\le\sum_{i=1}^m\operatorname{dist}^2(S_{i*},L)+\Delta\le(1+\varepsilon)\operatorname{dist}^2(A,L)dist2(A,L)≤∑i=1m​dist2(Si∗​,L)+Δ≤(1+ε)dist2(A,L) for every jjj-dimensional linear subspace LLL.
  2. Lemma 18 (p. 616): if μ(M)=0⃗\mu(M)=\vec0μ(M)=0, LLL is a linear jjj-subspace and t∈L⊥t\in L^\perpt∈L⊥, then dist⁡2(M,t+L)=dist⁡2(M,L)+n∥t∥2\operatorname{dist}^2(M,t+L)=\operatorname{dist}^2(M,L)+n\|t\|^2dist2(M,t+L)=dist2(M,L)+n∥t∥2.
  3. Display (7) (p. 618): with S′′=m/n [S′;−S′]S''=\sqrt{m/n}\,[S';-S']S′′=m/n​[S′;−S′], dist⁡2(A′,L)≤n2mdist⁡2(S′′,L)+Δ≤(1+ε)dist⁡2(A′,L)\operatorname{dist}^2(A',L)\le\frac n{2m}\operatorname{dist}^2(S'',L)+\Delta\le(1+\varepsilon)\operatorname{dist}^2(A',L)dist2(A′,L)≤2mn​dist2(S′′,L)+Δ≤(1+ε)dist2(A′,L) for every linear jjj-subspace LLL.

Theorem 17 rests on Corollary 16 and Claim 3 of the paper; those are milestones of the companion mission Turning Big Data into Tiny Data … I and are not posed again here.

Significance

The result. Theorem 19 gives a deterministic summary of 2m≤2(j+⌈j/ε⌉−1)2m\le2(j+\lceil j/\varepsilon\rceil-1)2m≤2(j+⌈j/ε⌉−1) weighted points and one scalar that preserves the cost of every affine jjj-subspace within 1+ε1+\varepsilon1+ε, for arbitrary data, with no assumption on the mean. Because its points carry the mean, coresets of different data sets can be merged, which the merge-and-reduce streaming constructions of the paper's later sections need. Any (1+ε′)(1+\varepsilon')(1+ε′)-approximate PCA solution computed on the coreset is then a (1+ε)(1+ε′)(1+\varepsilon)(1+\varepsilon')(1+ε)(1+ε′)-approximate solution for the full data.

Formalizing it. The theorem is proved in the paper; no machine-checked proof of it, or of any coreset theorem, exists on the platform. A complete development would produce the cost identities for sums of squared distances to linear and affine subspaces in Lean, the effect of centring and orthogonal translation on these costs, and the use of the SVD truncation as a summary, all of which are reusable for other PCA, low-rank approximation and projective clustering results.

Difficulty

The obvious construction, centring the data, computing the linear coreset of the centred data and adding the mean back, fails: the linear coreset S′S'S′ need not have mean 0⃗\vec00, and translating a subspace by t⊥Lt\perp Lt⊥L changes the cost of a point set by a multiple of ∥t∥2\|t\|^2∥t∥2 that depends on the number of points (p. 617). The paper's construction has to match both the mean and the total weight of the original data while keeping the linear-subspace guarantee, and the formal proof has to carry this through the reduction of an arbitrary affine subspace to a linear one plus an orthogonal translation. Beneath it lies Theorem 17, which needs the SVD-based estimate of the companion mission (Corollary 16) and the passage from the nnn-row matrix A(m)=UΣ(m)VTA^{(m)}=U\Sigma^{(m)}V^TA(m)=UΣ(m)VT to the mmm nonzero rows of Σ(m)VT\Sigma^{(m)}V^TΣ(m)VT. Distances to subspaces in Lean are infima over sets, so the identities dist⁡2(A,L)=∥AY∥F2\operatorname{dist}^2(A,L)=\|AY\|_F^2dist2(A,L)=∥AY∥F2​ for an orthonormal basis YYY of L⊥L^\perpL⊥ must themselves be established.

Formalization scope

  • Representation. Points are rows of Matrix (Fin n) (Fin d) ℝ, read as points of EuclideanSpace ℝ (Fin d). dist⁡\operatorname{dist}dist is Metric.infDist. Linear jjj-subspaces are Submodules of finrank jjj; affine ones are AffineSubspaces whose direction has finrank jjj, and t+Lt+Lt+L is AffineSubspace.mk' t L. The SVD and A(m)A^{(m)}A(m) are the published ProjLikeRetr.FixedRank.IsSVD and truncSVD. Every statement holds for an arbitrary SVD; none is chosen.
  • Pinned hypotheses and readings.
    1. The page's "Δ>0\Delta>0Δ>0" (Theorems 17 and 19) is false when rank⁡A′≤m\operatorname{rank}A'\le mrankA′≤m, for instance when all points coincide; the statements claim Δ≥0\Delta\ge0Δ≥0.
    2. n≥1n\ge1n≥1 is added to Theorem 19 and (7), since Algorithm 2 divides by nnn.
    3. "subspace-Coreset(P,j,ε)(P,j,\varepsilon)(P,j,ε)" is read with P=AP=AP=A.
    4. Theorem 17's S∈Rm×dS\in\mathbb R^{m\times d}S∈Rm×d is the first mmm rows of Σ(m)VT\Sigma^{(m)}V^TΣ(m)VT, as the text before it says, although Algorithm 1, line 3 writes the whole matrix.
    5. Lemma 18's "affine jjj-dimensional subspace LLL" is a linear subspace: the lemma uses L⊥L^\perpL⊥, and the proof of Theorem 19 applies it to linear LLL.
    6. Theorem 19's affine subspace CCC is also required to be nonempty; this follows from j≥1j\ge1j≥1 and guards against Mathlib's convention that the distance to ∅\emptyset∅ is 000.
  • Conventions. m≤j+⌈j/ε⌉−1m\le j+\lceil j/\varepsilon\rceil-1m≤j+⌈j/ε⌉−1 is written m+1≤j+⌈j/ε⌉m+1\le j+\lceil j/\varepsilon\rceilm+1≤j+⌈j/ε⌉. Diagonal positions of Σ\SigmaΣ are 0-based in Lean. The 2m2m2m output rows are μ+m/n Si∗′\mu+\sqrt{m/n}\,S'_{i*}μ+m/n​Si∗′​ followed by μ−m/n Si∗′\mu-\sqrt{m/n}\,S'_{i*}μ−m/n​Si∗′​. Weights are the real number n/(2m)n/(2m)n/(2m) with m=∣S′∣m=|S'|m=∣S′∣, not the cap j+⌈j/ε⌉−1j+\lceil j/\varepsilon\rceil-1j+⌈j/ε⌉−1.
  • Not trivializable. The goal quantifies over affine, not linear, subspaces; the coreset is built from an SVD of the centred matrix A′A'A′ and Δ\DeltaΔ is the residual of A′A'A′, so neither the mean nor the centring can be dropped; and no hypothesis is vacuous (any data matrix with any of its SVDs satisfies them).
  • Not formalized. The running-time clauses ("O(min⁡{nd2,dn2})O(\min\{nd^2,dn^2\})O(min{nd2,dn2}) time") and §4.1 (weighted inputs).
  • Welcome contributions. Lemmas computing dist⁡2\operatorname{dist}^2dist2 to subspaces via orthogonal projections, invariance of these costs under orthogonal maps, and the cost identity for symmetric point sets.

Selected references

  • D. Feldman, M. Schmidt, C. Sohler, Turning Big Data into Tiny Data: Constant-Size Coresets for k-Means, PCA, and Projective Clustering, SIAM J. Comput. 49(3):601–657, 2020. https://doi.org/10.1137/18M1209854
  • P.-A. Absil, J. Malick, Projection-like Retractions on Matrix Manifolds, SIAM J. Optim. 22(1):135–158, 2012 (source of the published SVD definition used here). https://doi.org/10.1137/100802529
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Algorithmic Game TheoryFunctional AnalysisOperations Research·Captain: mikedeng1

Stochastic Graphon Games: I. The Static Case 1: If the State Map b Is Bounded and √c_z‖W‖ < 1, the Graphon Game Has at Least One Nash EquilibriumResearch Paper

Motivation

Games with many interacting players appear in economics, epidemiology and network engineering: firms competing in a market, individuals deciding whether to vaccinate, agents in a social network choosing an effort level. When every player interacts with every other player symmetrically, mean field game theory replaces the finite game by a limit with a continuum of players. Real interactions are rarely symmetric: who influences whom is described by a network, and large networks are described in the limit by a graphon (Lovász, Large networks and graph limits, 2012).

Graphon games combine the two ideas. Parise and Ozdaglar (2018) studied deterministic graphon games with continuous strategy sets. Carmona, Cooney, Graves and Laurière (2019) introduced idiosyncratic random shocks, giving a stochastic graphon game in which each player's state is perturbed by independent noise, and proved existence, uniqueness and stability of Nash equilibria as well as convergence of finite network games to the graphon limit. This mission formalizes their existence theorem (Theorem 3.15).

Setting

The players form the interval I=[0,1]I=[0,1]I=[0,1] with Lebesgue measure λI\lambda_IλI​. Each player x∈Ix\in Ix∈I chooses an action αx∈A=R\alpha_x\in A=\mathbb Rαx​∈A=R; a strategy profile is a function α∈L2(I)\alpha\in L^2(I)α∈L2(I), defined up to λI\lambda_IλI​-null sets.

A graphon is a symmetric, Borel-measurable function w:I×I→Rw:I\times I\to\mathbb Rw:I×I→R with ∫I×Iw(x,y)2 dx dy<∞\int_{I\times I}w(x,y)^2\,dx\,dy<\infty∫I×I​w(x,y)2dxdy<∞. It acts on L2(I)L^2(I)L2(I) through the graphon operator

[Wg]x=∫Iw(x,y) g(y) dy,∥W∥=sup⁡∥φ∥L2(I)=1∥Wφ∥L2(I).[\mathbf Wg]_x=\int_I w(x,y)\,g(y)\,dy,\qquad \|\mathbf W\|=\sup_{\|\varphi\|_{L^2(I)}=1}\|\mathbf W\varphi\|_{L^2(I)}.[Wg]x​=∫I​w(x,y)g(y)dy,∥W∥=∥φ∥L2(I)​=1sup​∥Wφ∥L2(I)​.

A state map b:R×R→Rb:\mathbb R\times\mathbb R\to\mathbb Rb:R×R→R and a noise law μ0\mu_0μ0​ on R\mathbb RR define the state Xα,z,ξ=b(α,z)+ξX_{\alpha,z,\xi}=b(\alpha,z)+\xiXα,z,ξ​=b(α,z)+ξ of a player who takes action α\alphaα, feels aggregate zzz, and receives shock ξ∼μ0\xi\sim\mu_0ξ∼μ0​. Assumption 1 asks that ∣b(α,z)−b(α′,z′)∣2≤cα∣α−α′∣2+cz∣z−z′∣2|b(\alpha,z)-b(\alpha',z')|^2\le c_\alpha|\alpha-\alpha'|^2+c_z|z-z'|^2∣b(α,z)−b(α′,z′)∣2≤cα​∣α−α′∣2+cz​∣z−z′∣2 and that μ0\mu_0μ0​ has mean zero and a finite second moment.

The aggregate Zα\mathbf Z\alphaZα felt by the players under a profile α\alphaα is the solution z∈L2(I)z\in L^2(I)z∈L2(I) of

zx=∫Iw(x,y) b(αy,zy) dyfor λI-a.e. x.(6)z_x=\int_I w(x,y)\,b(\alpha_y,z_y)\,dy\qquad\text{for }\lambda_I\text{-a.e. }x.\tag{6}zx​=∫I​w(x,y)b(αy​,zy​)dyfor λI​-a.e. x.(6)

A player choosing α\alphaα against aggregate zzz pays J(α,z)=∫f(b(α,z)+ξ,α,z) μ0(dξ)J(\alpha,z)=\int f(b(\alpha,z)+\xi,\alpha,z)\,\mu_0(d\xi)J(α,z)=∫f(b(α,z)+ξ,α,z)μ0​(dξ). Assumption 4 asks that J(⋅,z)J(\cdot,z)J(⋅,z) be continuously differentiable and ℓc\ell_cℓc​-strongly convex uniformly in zzz, and that ∂αJ\partial_\alpha J∂α​J be ℓJ\ell_JℓJ​-Lipschitz in zzz. Assumption 5 asks that bbb be bounded: ∣b(α,z)∣≤c0|b(\alpha,z)|\le c_0∣b(α,z)∣≤c0​ for some finite c0>0c_0>0c0​>0. The best response [Bz]x[\mathbf Bz]_x[Bz]x​ is the unique minimizer of α↦J(α,zx)\alpha\mapsto J(\alpha,z_x)α↦J(α,zx​).

A Nash equilibrium is a profile α^∈L2(I)\hat\alpha\in L^2(I)α^∈L2(I) such that, for λI\lambda_IλI​-a.e. player xxx and every action β\betaβ,

J(α^x,(Zα^)x)≤J(β,(Zα^)x).J(\hat\alpha_x,(\mathbf Z\hat\alpha)_x)\le J(\beta,(\mathbf Z\hat\alpha)_x).J(α^x​,(Zα^)x​)≤J(β,(Zα^)x​).

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem 3.15 (existence)

Assumptions 1, 4, 5 and cz ∥W∥<1 ⟹ there is at least one Nash equilibrium.\text{Assumptions 1, 4, 5 and }\sqrt{c_z}\,\|\mathbf W\|<1\ \Longrightarrow\ \text{there is at least one Nash equilibrium.}Assumptions 1, 4, 5 and cz​​∥W∥<1 ⟹ there is at least one Nash equilibrium.

The statement fixes no constants and asserts no uniqueness.

Milestones

  1. Proposition 3.1: under cz∥W∥<1\sqrt{c_z}\|\mathbf W\|<1cz​​∥W∥<1, (6) has a unique solution in L2(I)L^2(I)L2(I) for every α∈L2(I)\alpha\in L^2(I)α∈L2(I).
  2. Lemma 3.7: ∥Bz1−Bz2∥L2≤(ℓJ/ℓc)∥z1−z2∥L2\|\mathbf Bz^1-\mathbf Bz^2\|_{L^2}\le(\ell_J/\ell_c)\|z^1-z^2\|_{L^2}∥Bz1−Bz2∥L2​≤(ℓJ​/ℓc​)∥z1−z2∥L2​.
  3. Lemma 3.16, (15): ∥Zα1−Zα2∥L2≤cα∥W∥1−cz∥W∥∥α1−α2∥L2\|\mathbf Z\alpha^1-\mathbf Z\alpha^2\|_{L^2}\le\dfrac{\sqrt{c_\alpha}\|\mathbf W\|}{1-\sqrt{c_z}\|\mathbf W\|}\|\alpha^1-\alpha^2\|_{L^2}∥Zα1−Zα2∥L2​≤1−cz​​∥W∥cα​​∥W∥​∥α1−α2∥L2​.
  4. Proof of Theorem 3.15, first claim: with χ=c0\chi=c_0χ=c0​ and Bχ={g∈L2(I):∥g∥≤χ}B_\chi=\{g\in L^2(I):\|g\|\le\chi\}Bχ​={g∈L2(I):∥g∥≤χ}, every aggregate lies in W(Bχ)\mathbf W(B_\chi)W(Bχ​).
  5. Proof of Theorem 3.15, second claim: W(Bχ)\mathbf W(B_\chi)W(Bχ​) is relatively compact in L2(I)L^2(I)L2(I).

Significance

The existence theorem holds under mild hypotheses: unlike the uniqueness result of the same paper (Proposition 3.17), it needs no smallness condition linking ℓJ/ℓc\ell_J/\ell_cℓJ​/ℓc​, cαc_\alphacα​ and ∥W∥\|\mathbf W\|∥W∥. Boundedness of the state map takes its place. Existence of a graphon equilibrium is the starting point for the paper's §4, where graphon equilibria are shown to be limits of equilibria of finite network games and to yield ϵ\epsilonϵ-Nash equilibria for them.

The result is proved in the paper; no part of it is machine-checked. A complete formalization yields reusable pieces beyond this mission: square-integrable kernel operators on L2[0,1]L^2[0,1]L2[0,1] with their operator norm, the Hilbert–Schmidt compactness of such operators, Lipschitz dependence of minimizers of uniformly strongly convex functions on a parameter, and Schauder's fixed-point theorem on a Banach space, which is not in Mathlib.

Difficulty

A contraction argument does not apply: the best-response-of-aggregate map BZ\mathbf B\mathbf ZBZ is Lipschitz with constant ℓJℓc⋅cα∥W∥1−cz∥W∥\frac{\ell_J}{\ell_c}\cdot\frac{\sqrt{c_\alpha}\|\mathbf W\|}{1-\sqrt{c_z}\|\mathbf W\|}ℓc​ℓJ​​⋅1−cz​​∥W∥cα​​∥W∥​, which may exceed 111 under the hypotheses of the theorem. Existence therefore rests on a compactness fixed-point theorem in the infinite-dimensional space L2(I)L^2(I)L2(I). That requires compactness of the integral operator W\mathbf WW, which Mathlib does not provide for kernel operators, and Schauder's theorem itself, which Mathlib does not have. A bounded convex set in L2(I)L^2(I)L2(I) is not compact, so Brouwer-type finite-dimensional arguments do not transfer directly.

Formalization scope

All statements live in the namespace GraphonGames.Existence and share one definitions file.

  • III is Mathlib's unitInterval with volume. Profiles and aggregates are functions I→RI\to\mathbb RI→R with MemLp _ 2 volume; equalities between them are almost-everywhere equalities.
  • The action set is R\mathbb RR.
  • ∥W∥\|\mathbf W\|∥W∥ is the supremum, in [0,∞][0,\infty][0,∞], of ∥Wφ∥L2\|\mathbf W\varphi\|_{L^2}∥Wφ∥L2​ over ∥φ∥L2=1\|\varphi\|_{L^2}=1∥φ∥L2​=1; the graphon condition makes it finite, and the hypothesis cz∥W∥<1\sqrt{c_z}\|\mathbf W\|<1cz​​∥W∥<1 uses its real value.
  • The aggregate is a predicate: zzz is an aggregate of α\alphaα when z∈L2(I)z\in L^2(I)z∈L2(I) and (6) holds a.e. Remark 3.3's identity Zα=W[b(α,Zα)]\mathbf Z\alpha=\mathbf W[b(\alpha,\mathbf Z\alpha)]Zα=W[b(α,Zα)] is then the definition itself, the noise having mean zero.
  • The best response is a choice of minimizer, which exists and is unique under Assumption 4.
  • Pinned definition. The paper defines equilibrium (Definition 3.4) as a fixed point of a best response built on a rich Fubini extension, and states in Proposition 3.6 that under Assumption 4 this is equivalent to the a.e. best-response inequality above. The formalization takes that inequality as the definition. Fubini extensions and the exact law of large numbers (Proposition 3.2) are not formalized.
  • Norm inequalities are stated in [0,∞][0,\infty][0,∞], so an infinite left-hand side cannot make a bound vacuous.

Trivializing encodings are excluded: the operator norm is not a real supremum that could collapse to 000; an equilibrium must come with its aggregate solving (6), be square-integrable, and beat every action β∈R\beta\in\mathbb Rβ∈R for almost every player; and no norm is converted to a real number where it could be infinite.

The results of §4 (Theorems 4.3, 4.7, 4.9 on finite network games) and the uniqueness and stability results (Proposition 3.17, Theorem 3.20) are not posed in this mission. Contributions welcome include Schauder's fixed-point theorem, the compactness of Hilbert–Schmidt integral operators on L2L^2L2, and the contraction argument behind Proposition 3.1.

Selected references

  • R. Carmona, D. B. Cooney, C. V. Graves, M. Laurière, Stochastic Graphon Games: I. The Static Case, arXiv:1911.10664v1, 2019; Mathematics of Operations Research 47(1), 2022. https://arxiv.org/abs/1911.10664
  • F. Parise, A. Ozdaglar, Graphon games, arXiv:1802.00080, 2018. https://arxiv.org/abs/1802.00080
  • L. Lovász, Large Networks and Graph Limits, AMS Colloquium Publications 60, 2012. https://doi.org/10.1090/coll/060
  • R. Carmona, F. Delarue, Probabilistic Theory of Mean Field Games with Applications I, Springer, 2018. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-319-58920-6
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Bandit AlgorithmsMachine LearningProbability+1·Captain: mikedeng1

The Multi-Armed Bandit Problem with Covariates II: Adaptively Binned Successive Elimination Has Regret at Most Cn(K log K/n)^{β(α+1)/(2β+d)} Under Smoothness and Margin ConditionsResearch Paper

Motivation

An online decision maker often sees information about a customer, patient, or request before choosing an action. A bandit with covariates models this setting when the reward of every available action is initially unknown and only the reward of the chosen action is observed. A method must learn which action works best for which covariates while paying for exploratory choices. Perchet and Rigollet studied this problem for smooth reward functions and measured how quickly a policy can approach the performance of an oracle that knows every arm's mean reward Perchet and Rigollet, 2013.

A fixed grid divides the covariate space at one resolution everywhere. It can spend pulls distinguishing arms in regions where their difference is already large, while leaving too few observations in regions where they are close. Adaptively binned successive elimination (ABSE) instead refines a region only while several arms remain plausible there. The paper proves a regret rate controlled jointly by the smoothness of the reward functions and the probability of encountering near ties. Its Theorem 5.1 is the target of this mission.

Setting

There are K≥2K\ge2K≥2 arms and covariates XtX_tXt​ in the unit cube X=[0,1]d⊂Rd\mathcal X=[0,1]^d\subset\mathbb R^dX=[0,1]d⊂Rd, with d≥1d\ge1d≥1. At time ttt, the policy sees XtX_tXt​, chooses an arm, and sees that arm's reward. The random vectors consisting of the covariate and all potential arm rewards are independent across times. Covariates have a common probability law PXP_XPX​ with a density between constants 0<c‾≤c‾0<\underline c\le\overline c0<c​≤c. Every reward lies in [0,1][0,1][0,1]; for arm iii its conditional mean given Xt=xX_t=xXt​=x is f(i)(x)∈[0,1]f^{(i)}(x)\in[0,1]f(i)(x)∈[0,1]. The paper does not require the complete reward vectors to be identically distributed across time. These conventions come from §3.1, pp. 10–11.

At xxx, write f∗(x)=max⁡if(i)(x)f^*(x)=\max_i f^{(i)}(x)f∗(x)=maxi​f(i)(x). Write f♯(x)f^\sharp(x)f♯(x) for the largest mean strictly below f∗(x)f^*(x)f∗(x), and set f♯(x)=f∗(x)f^\sharp(x)=f^*(x)f♯(x)=f∗(x) when every arm ties. The difference f∗(x)−f♯(x)f^*(x)-f^\sharp(x)f∗(x)−f♯(x) is the positive gap wherever a genuinely suboptimal arm exists. The smoothness condition requires ∣f(i)(x)−f(i)(x′)∣≤L∥x−x′∥β|f^{(i)}(x)-f^{(i)}(x')|\le L\|x-x'\|^\beta∣f(i)(x)−f(i)(x′)∣≤L∥x−x′∥β for every arm, with the Euclidean norm, 0<β≤10<\beta\le10<β≤1, and L>0L>0L>0. The margin condition, with α>0\alpha>0α>0, 0<δ0<10<\delta_0<10<δ0​<1, and C0>0C_0>0C0​>0, says

PX{0<f∗(X)−f♯(X)≤δ}≤C0δα(0≤δ≤δ0).P_X\{0<f^*(X)-f^\sharp(X)\le\delta\}\le C_0\delta^\alpha\qquad(0\le\delta\le\delta_0).PX​{0<f∗(X)−f♯(X)≤δ}≤C0​δα(0≤δ≤δ0​).

These are the assumptions defining the paper's class MXK(α,β,L)\mathcal M^K_{\mathcal X}(\alpha,\beta,L)MXK​(α,β,L) §3.2, pp. 12–13.

ABSE starts with the whole cube. Each live dyadic cell runs a copy of successive elimination on its inherited arms. One round pulls each remaining arm once. After a complete round, an arm is eliminated if its empirical mean falls more than twice the radius U(s,n∣B∣d)U(s,n|B|^d)U(s,n∣B∣d) below the largest empirical mean, where ∣B∣|B|∣B∣ is the cell's side length and UUU uses log⁡‾(x)=max⁡{log⁡x,1}\overline{\log}(x)=\max\{\log x,1\}log​(x)=max{logx,1}. The cell splits after its specified stopping round if it has at least two active arms and is below the maximum depth k0k_0k0​. Each child receives the survivors. The policy takes d,β,L,K,nd,\beta,L,K,nd,β,L,K,n as parameters and uses the current covariate and rewards it actually observed Policy 3, p. 22.

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem 5.1, finite margin exponent

The goal is the finite-α\alphaα part of Theorem 5.1, p. 22. Fix d≥1d\ge1d≥1, 0<β≤10<\beta\le10<β≤1, L>0L>0L>0, α>0\alpha>0α>0 with αβ≤d\alpha\beta\le dαβ≤d, 0<δ0<10<\delta_0<10<δ0​<1, C0>0C_0>0C0​>0 and 0<c‾≤c‾0<\underline c\le\overline c0<c​≤c. There is one constant C>0C>0C>0, depending on these parameters but not on KKK, nnn or the machine, such that for every K≥2K\ge2K≥2, every n≥Klog⁡Kn\ge K\log Kn≥KlogK and every machine of the class,

ERn(π~)≤Cn(Klog⁡Kn)β(α+1)2β+d.\mathbb E R_n(\widetilde\pi)\le Cn\left(\frac{K\log K}{n}\right)^{\frac{\beta(\alpha+1)}{2\beta+d}}.ERn​(π)≤Cn(nKlogK​)2β+dβ(α+1)​.

Here π~\widetilde\piπ is ABSE and RnR_nRn​ is its cumulative regret against an arm of maximum conditional mean at each covariate. The goal asserts the shape of the rate with an unspecified constant, which is the paper's form.

Milestones

In attack order:

  1. Lemma A.1 (p. 28): a maximal Hoeffding–Azuma inequality, P{∃t≤T:Zˉt≥2(b−a)2t−1log⁡(4T/(δt))}≤δ\mathbb P\{\exists t\le T:\bar Z_t\ge\sqrt{2(b-a)^2t^{-1}\log(4T/(\delta t))}\}\le\deltaP{∃t≤T:Zˉt​≥2(b−a)2t−1log(4T/(δt))​}≤δ for bounded martingale differences.
  2. (5.3) (p. 21): ℓB≤Cℓ∣B∣−2β log⁡‾(n∣B∣2β+d)\ell_B\le C_\ell|B|^{-2\beta}\,\overline{\log}(n|B|^{2\beta+d})ℓB​≤Cℓ​∣B∣−2βlog​(n∣B∣2β+d), the number of rounds a cell spends before it may split.
  3. (5.10) (p. 26): if arm iii has gap above 8c0∣B∣β8c_0|B|^\beta8c0​∣B∣β at a point of BBB, then the cell mean of the arm ıˇ\check\imathˇ that is best at that point exceeds the cell mean of iii by at least 32εB,ℓB\tfrac32\varepsilon_{B,\ell_B}23​εB,ℓB​​.
  4. The display before (5.6) (p. 25): ∑∣B∣=2−kqB≤c22k(d−βα)\sum_{|B|=2^{-k}}q_B\le c_2 2^{k(d-\beta\alpha)}∑∣B∣=2−k​qB​≤c2​2k(d−βα), where qBq_BqB​ is the conditional probability of a near tie inside BBB.
  5. (5.5) (p. 24): the pathwise decomposition rnborn(B)=rnlive(B)+∑B′∈burst(B)rnborn(B′)r_n^{\mathrm{born}}(B)=r_n^{\mathrm{live}}(B)+\sum_{B'\in\mathrm{burst}(B)}r_n^{\mathrm{born}}(B')rnborn​(B)=rnlive​(B)+∑B′∈burst(B)​rnborn​(B′) of regret along the tree.
  6. Theorem 5.1, α=∞\alpha=\inftyα=∞ (p. 22): when the margin region {0<f⋆−f♯≤δ0}\{0<f^\star-f^\sharp\le\delta_0\}{0<f⋆−f♯≤δ0​} has probability zero, ERn(π~)≤CKlog⁡n\mathbb E R_n(\widetilde\pi)\le CK\log nERn​(π)≤CKlogn.

Significance

The result provides a performance guarantee for a policy that adapts its spatial resolution to observed evidence, under a class of nonparametric reward functions. It permits a direct comparison with a fixed-bin policy under the same smoothness and margin conditions. The paper proves the rate and discusses optimality in a minimax sense when K=2K=2K=2 §5, pp. 22–27. This mission asks for a machine-checked proof of the stated finite-α\alphaα regime; the Lean goal and milestones are currently open statements, so the paper's proof is the mathematical source rather than a completed formal proof.

A completed development would make the stochastic model, adaptive policy, cell geometry, and concentration estimates reusable for other contextual bandit analyses.

Difficulty

The main difficulty is the feedback loop between decisions and observations. A cell receives samples only when the covariate lands there, and its available arms depend on eliminations in its ancestors. Applying an ordinary concentration inequality to a fixed sequence of arm rewards does not by itself justify the bound at these random birth and stopping times. The formal proof must track the inherited active sets and the samples collected after each birth, then combine local error bounds across the tree. The appendix's maximal inequality controls a range of round counts; the regret argument also uses the small probability of covariates with nearly tied arm means §5, pp. 23–27 and Lemma A.1, p. 28.

Formalization scope

Lean uses EuclideanSpace ℝ (Fin d) and a probability measure on its unit cube. The lower density bound ensures every valid dyadic cell has positive probability, so its conditional mean is defined by a real quotient. A consistent half-open boundary assignment turns the paper's cells, which are specified up to Lebesgue-null boundaries, into a partition on every path. The policy is a recursive state machine: at time ttt it receives XtX_tXt​, chooses an arm from its prior state, and updates with only the reward of that arm. It does not receive the unknown means or any unobserved potential reward. The existential constant in the goal is quantified before KKK, nnn, the sample space, and the machine.

The finite-α\alphaα goal includes αβ≤d\alpha\beta\le dαβ≤d. The printed theorem omits it, although the proof uses it. Without it, a two-arm machine with constant means 111 and 000 has regret from the policy's first exploratory round, while the printed bound tends to zero when α\alphaα is large. The α=∞\alpha=\inftyα=∞ clause reads the margin condition as PX(0<f⋆−f♯≤δ0)=0P_X(0<f^\star-f^\sharp\le\delta_0)=0PX​(0<f⋆−f♯≤δ0​)=0, the limit of C0δαC_0\delta^\alphaC0​δα for δ<1\delta<1δ<1, because the page does not define it. The (5.3) milestone uses log⁡‾\overline{\log}log​: the printed ordinary logarithm can be nonpositive at a finest cell, while the left side is a positive integer. The cell parameter TB=n∣B∣dT_B=n|B|^dTB​=n∣B∣d and bursting after a full round follow Policy 3 and the proof where nearby prose or pseudocode differs. Lemma A.1 adds EZ1=0\mathbb EZ_1=0EZ1​=0 and a<ba<ba<b, both implicit on the page. The constants c2c_2c2​ and CℓC_\ellCℓ​ are existential and placed after the class parameters, because the page's explicit c2=c1α/c‾c_2=c_1^\alpha/\underline cc2​=c1α​/c​ omits the margin constant C0C_0C0​.

The probabilistic error displays (5.6)–(5.9) and (5.11)–(5.14) are not milestones. They are statements about the events AB={I‾B⊆IB⊆IˉB}\mathcal A_B=\{\underline{\mathcal I}_B\subseteq\mathcal I_B\subseteq\bar{\mathcal I}_B\}AB​={I​B​⊆IB​⊆IˉB​} and GB\mathcal G_BGB​, which the page leaves undefined for cells that are never born or never finish ℓB\ell_BℓB​ rounds. The decomposition (5.8) also leaves out arms of I‾B\underline{\mathcal I}_BI​B​ that were eliminated at an ancestor of BBB. A faithful encoding of these events is welcome as a contribution.

A complete proof needs measurable recursive policies, conditional expectations and independence, dyadic-cell volume and nesting facts, concentration for arm observations at adaptive times, and sums over tree depths. Contributions establishing these interfaces and the paper's intermediate bounds are welcome. The result must apply to every machine in the stated class. Each of the following would change the theorem: a policy that reads the unknown f(i)f^{(i)}f(i) or unobserved rewards (the oracle has zero regret), a constant chosen after the machine, a covariate law that is not a probability measure on the cube, Hölder continuity in the sup norm instead of the Euclidean norm, or dropping the density lower bound (cells of zero mass would make fˉB\bar f_Bfˉ​B​ a junk value). The paper's proofs are in §5 (pp. 23–27) and its Appendix (p. 28).

Selected references

  • Jean-Yves Audibert and Alexandre B. Tsybakov, Fast learning rates for plug-in classifiers, Annals of Statistics 35(2):608–633, 2007, DOI:10.1214/009053606000001217.
  • Eyal Even-Dar, Shie Mannor and Yishay Mansour, Action elimination and stopping conditions for the multi-armed bandit and reinforcement learning problems, Journal of Machine Learning Research 7:1079–1105, 2006, jmlr.org/papers/v7/evendar06a.
  • Philippe Rigollet and Assaf Zeevi, Nonparametric bandits with covariates, COLT 2010, pp. 54–66, arXiv:1003.1630.
  • Vianney Perchet and Philippe Rigollet, The multi-armed bandit problem with covariates, Annals of Statistics 41(2):693–721, 2013, pinned arXiv:1110.6084v3, DOI:10.1214/13-AOS1101.
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Bandit AlgorithmsOperations ResearchProbability+1·Captain: mikedeng1

Data-Based Dynamic Pricing and Inventory Control with Censored Demand and Limited Price Changes 1: In the Well-Separated Case, Algorithm-I with m Price Changes Has Regret at Most KT^(1/(m+1))Research Paper

Motivation

Retailers set prices and stock levels without knowing how demand responds to price. They must learn the demand curve from their own sales while still earning money, which is the exploration–exploitation trade-off of dynamic pricing with learning (den Boer 2015). Two features of practice make the problem harder than the textbook bandit. First, demand is censored: when the shelf runs empty, the firm sees only its sales min⁡{dt,yt}\min\{d_t,y_t\}min{dt​,yt​}, not the demand dtd_tdt​. Second, firms change prices rarely, because of menu costs and customer reaction, so a policy may change its price at most mmm times over the whole horizon (Cheung, Simchi-Levi and Wang 2017).

Chen, Chao and Wang study a firm facing both features at once, in a parametric model where the demand distribution is known up to a parameter. For the well-separated case they give an algorithm, Algorithm-I, whose regret grows as T1/(m+1)T^{1/(m+1)}T1/(m+1), and they show that no admissible policy does better in general. This mission formalizes the upper bound. A companion mission formalizes the lower bound.

Setting

A firm sells one product over periods t=1,…,Tt=1,\dots,Tt=1,…,T. At the start of period ttt it holds inventory xtx_txt​ (with x1=0x_1=0x1​=0). It chooses a price pt∈P=[pl,ph]p_t\in\mathcal P=[p^l,p^h]pt​∈P=[pl,ph] and an order-up-to level yt∈Y={yl,…,yh}y_t\in\mathcal Y=\{y^l,\dots,y^h\}yt​∈Y={yl,…,yh} with yt≥xty_t\ge x_tyt​≥xt​, and the order arrives at once. Demand dtd_tdt​ then has probability mass function f(⋅;pt,z)f(\cdot;p_t,z)f(⋅;pt​,z) on {dl,dl+1,…,dh}\{d^l,d^l+1,\dots,d^h\}{dl,dl+1,…,dh}, where dh≤+∞d^h\le+\inftydh≤+∞ and the parameter zzz lies in Z=[zl,zh]\mathcal Z=[z^l,z^h]Z=[zl,zh], 0≤zl≤zh0\le z^l\le z^h0≤zl≤zh. Unmet demand is lost, and the firm observes only the sales min⁡{dt,yt}\min\{d_t,y_t\}min{dt​,yt​}. Leftover stock carries over, xt+1=(yt−dt)+x_{t+1}=(y_t-d_t)^+xt+1​=(yt​−dt​)+. Each unit left over costs h≥0h\ge0h≥0 and each lost sale costs b≥0b\ge0b≥0. The single-period expected profit is

G(p,y,z)=p E[D(p,z)]−h E[y−D(p,z)]+−(b+p) E[D(p,z)−y]+.G(p,y,z)=p\,\mathbb E[D(p,z)]-h\,\mathbb E[y-D(p,z)]^+-(b+p)\,\mathbb E[D(p,z)-y]^+ .G(p,y,z)=pE[D(p,z)]−hE[y−D(p,z)]+−(b+p)E[D(p,z)−y]+.

For each yyy, py∗(z)p^*_y(z)py∗​(z) is an optimal price, max⁡p∈PG(p,y,z)=G(py∗(z),y,z)\max_{p\in\mathcal P}G(p,y,z)=G(p^*_y(z),y,z)maxp∈P​G(p,y,z)=G(py∗​(z),y,z), and the clairvoyant value is G∗(z)=max⁡(p,y)∈P×YG(p,y,z)G^*(z)=\max_{(p,y)\in\mathcal P\times\mathcal Y}G(p,y,z)G∗(z)=max(p,y)∈P×Y​G(p,y,z).

A policy's decision in period ttt may depend only on past decisions and past sales. The regret of a policy is

R(T)=T G∗(z)−E[Vϕ(T,z)]=∑t=1TE[G∗(z)−G(pt,yt,z)].R(T)=T\,G^*(z)-\mathbb E[V^\phi(T,z)]=\sum_{t=1}^T\mathbb E\big[G^*(z)-G(p_t,y_t,z)\big].R(T)=TG∗(z)−E[Vϕ(T,z)]=t=1∑T​E[G∗(z)−G(pt​,yt​,z)].

The family is well-separated (Definition 1) if for every price the pmfs f(⋅;p,z)f(\cdot;p,z)f(⋅;p,z), z∈Zz\in\mathcal Zz∈Z, are pairwise distinct.

Algorithm-I splits the horizon into m+1m+1m+1 stages of lengths Ii=⌈Ti/(m+1)⌉I_i=\lceil T^{i/(m+1)}\rceilIi​=⌈Ti/(m+1)⌉ for i≤mi\le mi≤m, with Im+1=T−∑i≤mIiI_{m+1}=T-\sum_{i\le m}I_iIm+1​=T−∑i≤m​Ii​. Stage iii uses one price p^i\hat p_ip^​i​ and the order-up-to target y~i\tilde y_iy~​i​. The target equals the planned level y^i\hat y_iy^​i​, raised by Δ≥1\Delta\ge1Δ≥1 when y^i=dl\hat y_i=d^ly^​i​=dl so that the sales carry information. At the end of the stage the algorithm computes the censored-data maximum-likelihood estimate z^i\hat z_iz^i​ (5). It then sets the next stage's decisions to a maximizer of G(⋅,⋅,z^i)G(\cdot,\cdot,\hat z_i)G(⋅,⋅,z^i​) (6). It changes its price at most mmm times.

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem 1

Under Assumption A (regularity of GGG and of py∗p^*_ypy∗​ near the true zzz), Assumption 1 (Fisher-information bounds, a positive lower bound on the pmf, strict monotonicity of f(dl;p,⋅)f(d^l;p,\cdot)f(dl;p,⋅)), Definition 1, and the condition that every optimal order-up-to level exceeds dld^ldl, there is K6>0K_6>0K6​>0 such that for all large TTT

R(T)≤K6 T1m+1.R(T)\le K_6\,T^{\frac1{m+1}} .R(T)≤K6​Tm+11​.

The constant may depend on the model, the true parameter and the algorithm's inputs. The rate T1/(m+1)T^{1/(m+1)}T1/(m+1) is the content.

Milestones

  1. Theorem B1: if an estimator satisfies P{∥z^−z∥≥ϵ}≤K14e−nK15ϵ2+K16/n\mathbb P\{\|\hat z-z\|\ge\epsilon\}\le K_{14}e^{-nK_{15}\epsilon^2}+K_{16}/nP{∥z^−z∥≥ϵ}≤K14​e−nK15​ϵ2+K16​/n, then the plug-in decision has optimality gap G∗(z)−E[G(p^∗,y^∗,z)]≤K17/nG^*(z)-\mathbb E[G(\hat p^*,\hat y^*,z)]\le K_{17}/nG∗(z)−E[G(p^​∗,y^​∗,z)]≤K17​/n.
  2. Proposition 1: the censored MLE satisfies P{∣z−z^i∣≥ϵ}≤K3e−K4Iiϵ2+K5/Ii\mathbb P\{|z-\hat z_i|\ge\epsilon\}\le K_3e^{-K_4I_i\epsilon^2}+K_5/I_iP{∣z−z^i​∣≥ϵ}≤K3​e−K4​Ii​ϵ2+K5​/Ii​.
  3. Per-stage estimation regret (p. 25): E[G∗(z)−G(p^i,y^i,z)]≤K17/Ii−1\mathbb E[G^*(z)-G(\hat p_i,\hat y_i,z)]\le K_{17}/I_{i-1}E[G∗(z)−G(p^​i​,y^​i​,z)]≤K17​/Ii−1​.
  4. (25): the summed estimation regret is at most a constant times mT1/(m+1)mT^{1/(m+1)}mT1/(m+1).
  5. (26): P(y^i≠y~i)≤K/Ii−1\mathbb P(\hat y_i\ne\tilde y_i)\le K/I_{i-1}P(y^​i​=y~​i​)≤K/Ii−1​, so exploration after stage 1 is rare.

Significance

The upper bound shows that a budget of mmm price changes costs only a T1/(m+1)T^{1/(m+1)}T1/(m+1) regret even under censoring. With mmm of order log⁡T\log TlogT the rate drops to logarithmic (Theorem 3 of the paper). Together with the matching lower bound (Theorem 2), it identifies the exact price of limiting price changes in this model. Theorem B1 is a general transfer principle, from a large-deviation bound on an estimate to a 1/n1/n1/n optimality gap of the plug-in decision. It allows continuous and discrete decisions together and needs no unique optimizer. It is reusable for any parametric learning problem with that structure. Proposition 1 is a large-deviation bound for maximum likelihood from censored, dependent, non-identically distributed data. The paper notes that such results were not previously available in the statistics literature.

The results are proved in the paper's appendices. None of them has a machine-checked proof. A formalization would check the regret decomposition (23), the stagewise bookkeeping with ceilings, and the large-deviation argument for the censored MLE. It would also make the reading of several loosely stated steps exact (see Formalization scope).

Difficulty

The obvious argument plugs a consistent estimator into the optimizer and bounds the regret by the estimation error. It fails twice. The error of z^i\hat z_iz^i​ is of order Ii−1−1/2I_{i-1}^{-1/2}Ii−1−1/2​, so a Lipschitz bound on the profit would give regret of order Ii/Ii−1I_i/\sqrt{I_{i-1}}Ii​/Ii−1​​ per stage, which is too large. The 1/n1/n1/n rate of Theorem B1 needs the first-order condition at an interior optimum and the exact gap δ\deltaδ between optimal and suboptimal discrete levels. Second, the data are censored and dependent. The censoring level yty_tyt​ depends on carried inventory, which depends on past demand and on past prices. The classical large-deviation results for maximum likelihood assume i.i.d. uncensored samples (Borovkov 1998) and do not apply. Proposition 1 needs a separate argument that the inventory target is reached in most periods with high probability.

Formalization scope

The model is encoded with a scalar parameter. P\mathcal PP, Y\mathcal YY and Z\mathcal ZZ are as above. The pmf is positive exactly on {dl,…,dh}\{d^l,\dots,d^h\}{dl,…,dh} and sums to one, and dh=+∞d^h=+\inftydh=+∞ is allowed. The expected profit GGG is built from these sums. G∗(z)G^*(z)G∗(z) is the finite maximum max⁡yG(py∗(z),y,z)\max_{y}G(p^*_y(z),y,z)maxy​G(py∗​(z),y,z) for a price selection p∗p^*p∗, not a real supremum. Periods are 0-based in Lean, while stages keep the paper's indices. Expectations and probabilities are sums over demand paths d∈NTd\in\mathbb N^Td∈NT weighted by ∏tf(dt;pt,z)\prod_tf(d_t;p_t,z)∏t​f(dt​;pt​,z), the law of the path under the algorithm, taken in [0,∞][0,\infty][0,∞]. Every regret summand is nonnegative.

Algorithm-I reads demand only through sales. Step 2's arg max is any maximizer of the censored product likelihood, which exists by compactness. Step 3's arg max is y^\hat yy^​, any maximizer of y↦G(py∗(z^),y,z^)y\mapsto G(p^*_y(\hat z),y,\hat z)y↦G(py∗​(z^),y,z^), together with the price py^∗(z^)p^*_{\hat y}(\hat z)py^​∗​(z^) of Assumption A(iii). This is the decision the proof of Theorem B1 analyses. Proposition 1's "large enough iii" is read as "large enough TTT, uniformly in the stage and in ϵ\epsilonϵ". Theorem B1 is stated for a scalar price and level and a parameter in Rk\mathbb R^kRk.

Three hypotheses are added and disclosed. Differentiability of fff in zzz is presupposed by Assumption 1. Finiteness of the mean demand is needed for (4) when dh=∞d^h=\inftydh=∞. The condition dl≤yld^l\le y^ldl≤yl is needed because Step 1 defines the target only for y^≥dl\hat y\ge d^ly^​≥dl. "The optimal order-up-to level exceeds dld^ldl" is read for every optimal level.

A trivializing formalization is ruled out. Regret and probabilities are path sums of nonnegative terms, not Bochner integrals that vanish on non-integrable inputs. T1/(m+1)T^{1/(m+1)}T1/(m+1) is a real power. The hypotheses are jointly satisfiable: a Bernoulli instance with Y={1}\mathcal Y=\{1\}Y={1}, P=[1,2]\mathcal P=[1,2]P=[1,2], Z=[2/3,4/5]\mathcal Z=[2/3,4/5]Z=[2/3,4/5], f(0;p,z)=zp/2f(0;p,z)=zp/2f(0;p,z)=zp/2 satisfies all of them, together with explicit selections, and this has been verified in Lean.

A complete development needs the following:

  • Hoeffding-type concentration for dependent bounded sums;
  • a large-deviation bound for the censored log-likelihood;
  • Taylor's theorem with integral remainder on an interval;
  • bookkeeping lemmas for the stage lengths ⌈Ti/(m+1)⌉\lceil T^{i/(m+1)}\rceil⌈Ti/(m+1)⌉.

Theorem B1 and the model definitions are reusable for the paper's later results (Theorems 3, 5, 6), which repeat these arguments. Contributions to any milestone are welcome, including alternative proofs of Proposition 1.

Selected references

  • B. Chen, X. Chao, Y. Wang, Data-Based Dynamic Pricing and Inventory Control with Censored Demand and Limited Price Changes, Operations Research (technical note), 2020; read in the SSRN revision of 2020-02-10. https://doi.org/10.1287/opre.2020.1993, https://ssrn.com/abstract=2700747
  • W. C. Cheung, D. Simchi-Levi, H. Wang, Dynamic Pricing and Demand Learning with Limited Price Experimentation, Operations Research 65(6), 2017. https://doi.org/10.1287/opre.2017.1629
  • J. Broder, P. Rusmevichientong, Dynamic Pricing under a General Parametric Choice Model, Operations Research 60(4), 2012. https://doi.org/10.1287/opre.1120.1057
  • A. A. Borovkov, Mathematical Statistics, Gordon and Breach, 1998.
  • A. V. den Boer, Dynamic pricing and learning: Historical origins, current research, and new directions, Surveys in Operations Research and Management Science 20(1), 2015. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.sorms.2015.03.001
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Actuarial ScienceProbability·Captain: WillR

Actuarial Mathematics I: Present Values of Contingent CashflowsTextbook

Motivation

Life insurers and pension schemes promise cashflows whose payment depends on future events. A term assurance pays if the insured dies within a stated period. A pension pays when a member survives to an instalment date. A contingent survivor pension may continue after the member dies. These liabilities differ in the events triggering payment, but share one mathematical operation: discount the amounts payable and aggregate them to obtain a random present value. Expected present value is used in premium setting and liability valuation, while the second moment and variance quantify how much the discounted liability can vary.

The open textbook Life Contingencies: The Mathematics, Statistics, and Economics of Life Insurance, Chapter 3, §3.1, introduces uncertain discounted cashflows using indicators, and derives their expected values in equation (3.3). Its treatment also distinguishes independent indicators from indicators connected through death or survival. This mission establishes a finite-horizon generalisation of those identities that handles arbitrary dependencies among payment-triggering events.

Setting

Fix a measurable sample space (Ω,F)(\Omega,\mathcal F)(Ω,F) with a probability measure PPP. A finite set III indexes distinct payment obligations. Each obligation i∈Ii\in Ii∈I has a non-negative integer payment date ti∈Nt_i\in\mathbb Nti​∈N, a deterministic cashflow amount ci∈Rc_i\in\mathbb Rci​∈R, and a measurable event Ai∈FA_i\in\mathcal FAi​∈F that triggers payment. The deterministic discount function d:N→Rd:\mathbb N\to\mathbb Rd:N→R assigns a multiplier to each date. Write 1Ai(ω)\mathbf 1_{A_i}(\omega)1Ai​​(ω) for the real-valued event indicator, equal to one on AiA_iAi​ and zero otherwise.

The random present value is

Z(ω)=∑i∈Id(ti)ci1Ai(ω).Z(\omega)=\sum_{i\in I}d(t_i)c_i\mathbf 1_{A_i}(\omega).Z(ω)=i∈I∑​d(ti​)ci​1Ai​​(ω).

The same date can support multiple obligations with distinct contingencies, such as member and survivor payments, pension tranches and expenses. The index distinguishes obligations even when their payment times coincide. Amounts may be positive, zero or negative and triggering events can be mutually exclusive, nested, independent or arbitrarily dependent. Finite schedules also allow no obligations. Each present value is bounded and has finite first and second moments because the schedule is finite, amounts are deterministic real numbers, and indicators are bounded.

Formalisation targets

The capstone theorem proves the expected present value, second moment and variance identities for the same random variable ZZZ. The expected present value is

EP[Z]=∑i∈Id(ti)ciP(Ai).\mathbb E_P[Z]=\sum_{i\in I}d(t_i)c_iP(A_i).EP​[Z]=i∈I∑​d(ti​)ci​P(Ai​).

The second moment retains all dependence terms, including pairs of different obligations payable on the same date:

EP[Z2]=∑i∈I∑j∈Id(ti)ci d(tj)cj P(Ai∩Aj).\mathbb E_P[Z^2]=\sum_{i\in I}\sum_{j\in I} d(t_i)c_i\,d(t_j)c_j\,P(A_i\cap A_j).EP​[Z2]=i∈I∑​j∈I∑​d(ti​)ci​d(tj​)cj​P(Ai​∩Aj​).

Consequently,

Var⁡P(Z)=∑i∈I∑j∈Id(ti)ci d(tj)cj (P(Ai∩Aj)−P(Ai)P(Aj)).\operatorname{Var}_P(Z)=\sum_{i\in I}\sum_{j\in I} d(t_i)c_i\,d(t_j)c_j\, \left(P(A_i\cap A_j)-P(A_i)P(A_j)\right).VarP​(Z)=i∈I∑​j∈I∑​d(ti​)ci​d(tj​)cj​(P(Ai​∩Aj​)−P(Ai​)P(Aj​)).

The finite identity for expected present value specialises the textbook's equation (3.3). The general joint-event second-moment identity extends its §3.1.1 discussion to arbitrary dependence. The goal combines all three formulas in a single result, with supporting milestone theorems for integrability, square-integrability, one-event expectation, the finite-schedule expectation formula, pairwise event interactions, the second moment and the variance.

Significance

A single reusable statement should allow a future mission to specify the trigger events and payment schedule of a policy and immediately obtain its discounted mean and variance. A life assurance can use disjoint death-year events, and an annuity can use nested survival-to-payment events. A guaranteed pension, deferred benefit, survivor pension or multiple-decrement model can use more general indicators. Later missions can also specialise the variance expression when events are known to be independent or mutually exclusive.

Examples of why the dependence assumptions matter. Write wi=d(ti)ciw_i=d(t_i)c_iwi​=d(ti​)ci​ for each discounted obligation amount:

  • Mutually exclusive death-year benefits: If Ai∩Aj=∅A_i\cap A_j=\varnothingAi​∩Aj​=∅ for every distinct pair i≠ji\ne ji=j, the general second moment simplifies to EP[Z2]=∑i∈Iwi2P(Ai)\mathbb E_P[Z^2]=\sum_{i\in I}w_i^2P(A_i)EP​[Z2]=∑i∈I​wi2​P(Ai​). This is the event structure behind term-assurance death-year payments.
  • Nested survival payments: For an annuity whose AiA_iAi​ denotes survival to time tit_iti​, whenever ti≤tjt_i\leq t_jti​≤tj​ we have Aj⊆AiA_j\subseteq A_iAj​⊆Ai​, and hence P(Ai∩Aj)=P(Aj)P(A_i\cap A_j)=P(A_j)P(Ai​∩Aj​)=P(Aj​). The later-survival probability therefore appears in the cross-term.
  • Different benefits at the same date: Two obligations indexed 111 and 222 may both have payment time 555, while depending on different events. Their second moment includes the cross-term 2w1w2P(A1∩A2)2w_1w_2P(A_1\cap A_2)2w1​w2​P(A1​∩A2​), even though t1=t2t_1=t_2t1​=t2​.

These specialisations use the same capstone rather than different definitions of actuarial present value.

The mathematical identities are established results of elementary probability and financial mathematics. The formalisation contribution is a stable actuarial cashflow interface connecting the relevant Lean measure-theoretic and probability results. It does not assert that the classical equations are newly discovered, or that general insurance reserving, stochastic interest rates or continuous-time survival models have already been formalised.

Difficulty

The event indicator is a bounded random variable, but its mathematical expectation is represented in Lean by integration against a measure. The development must reconcile the real-valued integrals with event probabilities represented as extended non-negative reals. Moreover, expanding the square of a finite random cashflow sum requires pairwise intersections without adding an independence assumption. The usual simplification that removes cross-terms is invalid for nested survival events or arbitrary dependent payment events.

The target also uses the real-valued variance from Mathlib. Its general API permits variables outside L2L^2L2, so a faithful proof must establish square-integrability for the finite event-based present value rather than use any default value for an undefined or infinite variance.

Formalisation scope

The initial development is discrete-time and finite-horizon, with distinct payment obligations indexed by a finite set. Each obligation has a nonnegative integer payment time. Different obligations may have the same payment time. Discount multipliers and payments are deterministic real values; no positivity assumption is needed for the algebraic identities. Each trigger is a measurable event and the underlying measure is a probability measure. Empty index sets and zero or negative payments are included. The joint-event formula remains valid when the same outcome triggers more than one payment.

Use Mathlib's existing MeasureTheory.Measure, MeasurableSet, integration and ProbabilityTheory.variance rather than redefining them. A lightweight namespace ActuarialValuation should define the random present value and retain clear time and cashflow parameter names. Supporting results should be small and import only genuine mathematical dependencies. The formalisation uses a generic obligation index type and a payment-time function into the natural numbers. The event family and amounts are indexed by obligations rather than by time.

There is no finite-to-infinite inference in the target; infinite sums require separate convergence results. There are no mortality rates, hazard functions, Markov transition kernels or stochastic discount factors in this mission. Those are targets for later missions, building on the valuation layer.

Selected references

  • Life Contingencies: The Mathematics, Statistics, and Economics of Life Insurance, Chapter 3, §3.1, equations (3.1)–(3.3) and §3.1.1, https://openacttextdev.github.io/LifeCon/C-SimpleBenefit.html.
  • Lean community, Mathlib 4: ProbabilityTheory.variance, https://leanprover-community.github.io/mathlib4_docs/Mathlib/Probability/Moments/Variance.html.
  • Prove2Me, Captain tour, https://prove2.me/tour/mission-captain.
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Control TheoryDynamical SystemsPartial Differential Equations·Captain: mikedeng1

Local Exponential H² Stabilization of a 2 × 2 Quasilinear Hyperbolic System Using Backstepping 3: The Feedback with Dynamic Extension Locally Exponentially Stabilizes the Quasilinear System in H²Research Paper

Motivation

First-order hyperbolic systems of balance laws zt+Λ(z,x)zx+f(z,x)=0z_t+\Lambda(z,x)z_x+f(z,x)=0zt​+Λ(z,x)zx​+f(z,x)=0 model open-channel flow (the Saint-Venant equations), gas pipelines, traffic and heat exchangers. In most of these applications the state can be acted on only at one end of the domain, so stabilizing an equilibrium is a boundary control problem. For 2×22\times22×2 systems without source term (f=0f=0f=0), static boundary feedback built from a Lyapunov function works (Coron–Bastin–d'Andréa-Novel 2008); with a source term, Lyapunov functions of the diagonal form ∫01zTQ(x)z dx\int_0^1z^{\mathsf T}Q(x)z\,dx∫01​zTQ(x)zdx can fail (Bastin and Coron 2011, recalled in Remark 1 of the paper). Backstepping, introduced for parabolic equations by Krstic and Smyshlyaev, replaces the search for a Lyapunov function by an invertible integral change of variables that maps the linearized plant to a target system whose stability is evident.

Coron, Vazquez, Krstic and Bastin (arXiv:1208.6475v1, 2012; SIAM J. Control Optim. 51(3), 2013) design such a feedback for the linearization of a 2×22\times22×2 quasilinear system and prove that it stabilizes the nonlinear system locally in H2H^2H2. This mission formalizes that main result, Theorem 4.1.

Setting

The state is z(x,t)=(z1,z2)∈R2z(x,t)=(z_1,z_2)\in\mathbb R^2z(x,t)=(z1​,z2​)∈R2 on x∈[0,1]x\in[0,1]x∈[0,1], t≥0t\ge0t≥0, governed by

zt+Λ(z,x)zx+f(z,x)=0,z1(0,t)=G0(z2(0,t)),z2(1,t)=U(t).z_t+\Lambda(z,x)z_x+f(z,x)=0,\qquad z_1(0,t)=G_0(z_2(0,t)),\qquad z_2(1,t)=U(t).zt​+Λ(z,x)zx​+f(z,x)=0,z1​(0,t)=G0​(z2​(0,t)),z2​(1,t)=U(t).

The standing assumptions (§2) are: Λ\LambdaΛ, fff, G0G_0G0​ are C2C^2C2; Λ(0,x)=diag⁡(Λ1(x),Λ2(x))\Lambda(0,x)=\operatorname{diag}(\Lambda_1(x),\Lambda_2(x))Λ(0,x)=diag(Λ1​(x),Λ2​(x)) with Λ1>0>Λ2\Lambda_1>0>\Lambda_2Λ1​>0>Λ2​ on [0,1][0,1][0,1]; f(0,x)=0f(0,x)=0f(0,x)=0; G0(0)=0G_0(0)=0G0​(0)=0. Write fij=∂fi/∂zj(0,x)f_{ij}=\partial f_i/\partial z_j(0,x)fij​=∂fi​/∂zj​(0,x) and q=G0′(0)q=G_0'(0)q=G0′​(0); the paper treats q≠0q\ne0q=0.

The scaling w=Φz=(φ1z1,φ2z2)w=\Phi z=(\varphi_1z_1,\varphi_2z_2)w=Φz=(φ1​z1​,φ2​z2​), φ1=exp⁡∫0xf11/Λ1\varphi_1=\exp\int_0^xf_{11}/\Lambda_1φ1​=exp∫0x​f11​/Λ1​, φ2=exp⁡∫0xf22/Λ2\varphi_2=\exp\int_0^xf_{22}/\Lambda_2φ2​=exp∫0x​f22​/Λ2​, removes the diagonal of the linearization, which becomes wt=Σwx+Cww_t=\Sigma w_x+Cwwt​=Σwx​+Cw with Σ=diag⁡(−ϵ1,ϵ2)\Sigma=\operatorname{diag}(-\epsilon_1,\epsilon_2)Σ=diag(−ϵ1​,ϵ2​), ϵ1=Λ1\epsilon_1=\Lambda_1ϵ1​=Λ1​, ϵ2=−Λ2\epsilon_2=-\Lambda_2ϵ2​=−Λ2​, and CCC antidiagonal with entries c1=−f12φ1/φ2c_1=-f_{12}\varphi_1/\varphi_2c1​=−f12​φ1​/φ2​, c2=−f21φ2/φ1c_2=-f_{21}\varphi_2/\varphi_1c2​=−f21​φ2​/φ1​. The kernels Kvu,KvvK^{vu},K^{vv}Kvu,Kvv solve a pair of first-order hyperbolic equations on the triangle T={0≤ξ≤x≤1}\mathcal T=\{0\le\xi\le x\le1\}T={0≤ξ≤x≤1} with boundary data on its diagonal and on the edge ξ=0\xi=0ξ=0 ((3.32), (3.33), (3.36), (3.37)). The gain is k(x)=(φ1(x)Kvu(1,x),φ2(x)Kvv(1,x))/φ2(1)k(x)=(\varphi_1(x)K^{vu}(1,x),\varphi_2(x)K^{vv}(1,x))/\varphi_2(1)k(x)=(φ1​(x)Kvu(1,x),φ2​(x)Kvv(1,x))/φ2​(1).

The closed loop adds a dynamic extension:

z2(1,t)=∫01k(ξ)Tz(ξ,t) dξ+a(t)+b(t),a˙=−d1a,b˙=−d2b,z_2(1,t)=\int_0^1k(\xi)^{\mathsf T}z(\xi,t)\,d\xi+a(t)+b(t),\qquad \dot a=-d_1a,\quad \dot b=-d_2b,z2​(1,t)=∫01​k(ξ)Tz(ξ,t)dξ+a(t)+b(t),a˙=−d1​a,b˙=−d2​b,

with d1,d2>0d_1,d_2>0d1​,d2​>0, d1≠d2d_1\ne d_2d1​=d2​, and a(0)a(0)a(0), b(0)b(0)b(0) determined by the initial profile z0z_0z0​ through two linear functionals P1(z0)P_1(z_0)P1​(z0​), P2(z0)P_2(z_0)P2​(z0​). The norm is ∥z∥H2=∥z∥L2+∥zx∥L2+∥zxx∥L2\|z\|_{H^2}=\|z\|_{L^2}+\|z_x\|_{L^2}+\|z_{xx}\|_{L^2}∥z∥H2​=∥z∥L2​+∥zx​∥L2​+∥zxx​∥L2​ on [0,1][0,1][0,1].

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem 4.1

For every 0<λ<2min⁡(d1,d2)0<\lambda<2\min(d_1,d_2)0<λ<2min(d1​,d2​) there are δ,c>0\delta,c>0δ,c>0 such that every classical solution with ∥z0∥H2≤δ\|z_0\|_{H^2}\le\delta∥z0​∥H2​≤δ satisfying the compatibility conditions (4.16), (4.18) obeys

∥z(⋅,t)∥H22+a2(t)+b2(t)≤c e−λt(∥z0∥H22+a2(0)+b2(0))(t≥0).\|z(\cdot,t)\|_{H^2}^2+a^2(t)+b^2(t)\le c\,e^{-\lambda t}\big(\|z_0\|_{H^2}^2+a^2(0)+b^2(0)\big)\qquad(t\ge0).∥z(⋅,t)∥H22​+a2(t)+b2(t)≤ce−λt(∥z0​∥H22​+a2(0)+b2(0))(t≥0).

Milestones, in the order the proof uses them

Write γ=(α,β)=K[Φz]=Φz−∫0xK(x,ξ)Φz(ξ)dξ\gamma=(\alpha,\beta)=\mathcal K[\Phi z]=\Phi z-\int_0^xK(x,\xi)\Phi z(\xi)d\xiγ=(α,β)=K[Φz]=Φz−∫0x​K(x,ξ)Φz(ξ)dξ for the full 2×22\times22×2 kernel KKK, η=γt\eta=\gamma_tη=γt​, θ=γtt\theta=\gamma_{tt}θ=γtt​, and ∥γ∥∞=sup⁡x(∣α∣+∣β∣)\|\gamma\|_\infty=\sup_x(|\alpha|+|\beta|)∥γ∥∞​=supx​(∣α∣+∣β∣).

  1. H2H^2H2 equivalence (p. 12): ∥γ∥H2\|\gamma\|_{H^2}∥γ∥H2​ and ∥z∥H2\|z\|_{H^2}∥z∥H2​ are equivalent.
  2. Proposition 5.1: for V1=∫01γTDγV_1=\int_0^1\gamma^{\mathsf T}D\gammaV1​=∫01​γTDγ and small ∥γ∥∞\|\gamma\|_\infty∥γ∥∞​, V˙1≤−λ1V1−λ2(α2(1,t)+β2(0,t))+C1V13/2+C2∥γx∥∞V1+C3(a2+b2)\dot V_1\le-\lambda_1V_1-\lambda_2(\alpha^2(1,t)+\beta^2(0,t))+C_1V_1^{3/2}+C_2\|\gamma_x\|_\infty V_1+C_3(a^2+b^2)V˙1​≤−λ1​V1​−λ2​(α2(1,t)+β2(0,t))+C1​V13/2​+C2​∥γx​∥∞​V1​+C3​(a2+b2).
  3. Lemma B.6: the sup and L2L^2L2 norms of η\etaη and γx\gamma_xγx​ are comparable.
  4. Proposition 5.3: for V2=∫01ηTR[γ]ηV_2=\int_0^1\eta^{\mathsf T}R[\gamma]\etaV2​=∫01​ηTR[γ]η, V˙2≤−λ3V2−λ4(η12(1,t)+η22(0,t))+K1V2∥η∥∞+K2(a2+b2)\dot V_2\le-\lambda_3V_2-\lambda_4(\eta_1^2(1,t)+\eta_2^2(0,t))+K_1V_2\|\eta\|_\infty+K_2(a^2+b^2)V˙2​≤−λ3​V2​−λ4​(η12​(1,t)+η22​(0,t))+K1​V2​∥η∥∞​+K2​(a2+b2).
  5. Proposition 5.4: for V3=∫01θTR[γ]θV_3=\int_0^1\theta^{\mathsf T}R[\gamma]\thetaV3​=∫01​θTR[γ]θ and small ∥γ∥∞+∥η∥∞\|\gamma\|_\infty+\|\eta\|_\infty∥γ∥∞​+∥η∥∞​, V˙3≤−λ5V3−λ6(θ12(1,t)+θ22(0,t))+K1V3V21/2+K2V2V31/2+K3V33/2+K4∥η∥∞η22(0,t)+K5(a2+b2)\dot V_3\le-\lambda_5V_3-\lambda_6(\theta_1^2(1,t)+\theta_2^2(0,t))+K_1V_3V_2^{1/2}+K_2V_2V_3^{1/2}+K_3V_3^{3/2}+K_4\|\eta\|_\infty\eta_2^2(0,t)+K_5(a^2+b^2)V˙3​≤−λ5​V3​−λ6​(θ12​(1,t)+θ22​(0,t))+K1​V3​V21/2​+K2​V2​V31/2​+K3​V33/2​+K4​∥η∥∞​η22​(0,t)+K5​(a2+b2).
  6. Proposition B.5: the norms of θ\thetaθ and γxx\gamma_{xx}γxx​ are comparable.

Significance

Theorem 4.1 shows that a feedback computed entirely from the linearization, by solving linear kernel equations, is a valid local stabilizer of the quasilinear system in H2H^2H2, the natural space for classical C1C^1C1 solutions of quasilinear hyperbolic systems. The dynamic extension (a,b)(a,b)(a,b) is what makes the result usable: without it, the static feedback imposes artificial compatibility conditions (4.17), (4.19) on the initial data.

The result is proved in the paper (§5 and Appendix B); none of it is machine-checked. A formal proof needs a rigorous treatment of the Volterra transformation and its inverse in H2H^2H2, the three-level Lyapunov argument (V1V_1V1​, V2V_2V2​, V3V_3V3​), and the comparison of these functionals with the H2H^2H2 norm. The formalization also records corrections to the printed formulas: the sign of φ2\varphi_2φ2​ in (4.1), the entries of CCC in (4.7), the initial values (4.26), and the admissible decay rates (see below).

Difficulty

The obvious argument — the linear closed loop is exponentially stable, so the nonlinear one is locally stable — fails for hyperbolic systems: the nonlinear terms ΛNL(w,x)wx\Lambda_{NL}(w,x)w_xΛNL​(w,x)wx​ contain a derivative of the state, so they are not small in L2L^2L2 relative to ∥w∥L2\|w\|_{L^2}∥w∥L2​, and an L2L^2L2 estimate does not close. One must control γ\gammaγ, γt\gamma_tγt​ and γtt\gamma_{tt}γtt​ simultaneously, each with its own Lyapunov functional whose weight R[γ]R[\gamma]R[γ] depends on the state, and exchange time derivatives for space derivatives through the equation, which is possible only while ∥γ∥∞\|\gamma\|_\infty∥γ∥∞​ and ∥γt∥∞\|\gamma_t\|_\infty∥γt​∥∞​ stay small.

Formalization scope

States are Fin 2 → ℝ, matrices Matrix (Fin 2) (Fin 2) ℝ, indices 0-based. A solution is one C2C^2C2 function z:R×R→R2z:\mathbb R\times\mathbb R\to\mathbb R^2z:R×R→R2 (space first) with the PDE imposed on [0,1]×[0,∞)[0,1]\times[0,\infty)[0,1]×[0,∞) and the boundary conditions for t≥0t\ge0t≥0; this is the theorem restricted to classical solutions, since Mathlib has no Sobolev spaces. Global existence is not asserted. Coefficient functions are defined on all of R\mathbb RR with global C2C^2C2 regularity and sign conditions on [0,1][0,1][0,1]. H1H^1H1, H2H^2H2 norms are sums of L2L^2L2 norms, as on p. 11; ∥⋅∥∞\|\cdot\|_\infty∥⋅∥∞​ uses ∣α∣+∣β∣|\alpha|+|\beta|∣α∣+∣β∣.

Added or corrected relative to the page, all disclosed in the items:

  • q≠0q\neq0q=0 (the case the paper proves; q=0q=0q=0 is a remark);
  • φ2=exp⁡(+∫f22/Λ2)\varphi_2=\exp(+\int f_{22}/\Lambda_2)φ2​=exp(+∫f22​/Λ2​), c1=−f12φ1/φ2c_1=-f_{12}\varphi_1/\varphi_2c1​=−f12​φ1​/φ2​, c2=−f21φ2/φ1c_2=-f_{21}\varphi_2/\varphi_1c2​=−f21​φ2​/φ1​, a(0)=(P2−d2P1)/(d1−d2)a(0)=(P_2-d_2P_1)/(d_1-d_2)a(0)=(P2​−d2​P1​)/(d1​−d2​), b(0)=(d1P1−P2)/(d1−d2)b(0)=(d_1P_1-P_2)/(d_1-d_2)b(0)=(d1​P1​−P2​)/(d1​−d2​);
  • 0<λ<2min⁡(d1,d2)0<\lambda<2\min(d_1,d_2)0<λ<2min(d1​,d2​) instead of "every λ>0\lambda>0λ>0", which fails for fixed d1,d2d_1,d_2d1​,d2​ because a(t)=a(0)e−d1ta(t)=a(0)e^{-d_1t}a(t)=a(0)e−d1​t;
  • milestones take a full C2C^2C2 kernel (the page's claim via Theorem A.2, guaranteed for C3C^3C3 data); the goal takes only C1C^1C1 kernels Kvu,KvvK^{vu},K^{vv}Kvu,Kvv;
  • Proposition 5.3's last term is K2(a2+b2)K_2(a^2+b^2)K2​(a2+b2) (printed K2b2K_2b^2K2​b2).
  • Proposition 5.4 is stated for closed-loop solutions of class C3C^3C3, since V˙3\dot V_3V˙3​ involves γttt\gamma_{ttt}γttt​.

Trivializing formalizations are ruled out: δ\deltaδ, ccc and every milestone constant are quantified after the data and before the solution; the kernels are pinned down by all their equations and boundary conditions (unique by Theorem A.1 of the paper); the corrected a(0)a(0)a(0), b(0)b(0)b(0) are the ones every classical solution has, so no small initial profile is excluded; and the H2H^2H2 norm contains ∥zxx∥L2\|z_{xx}\|_{L^2}∥zxx​∥L2​.

Not formalized: Lemma 5.2 (its printed bound (5.38), ∥γ∥∞(1+∥γx∥∞)\|\gamma\|_\infty(1+\|\gamma_x\|_\infty)∥γ∥∞​(1+∥γx​∥∞​), fails for profiles with small ∥γ∥∞\|\gamma\|_\infty∥γ∥∞​ and large ∥γx∥∞\|\gamma_x\|_\infty∥γx​∥∞​, and (5.37) compares a matrix with a scalar), and Lemmas B.1–B.4, B.7, B.8. Contributions of a reusable theory of Volterra integral transformations on [0,1][0,1][0,1] with C2C^2C2 kernels, and of the comparison between sup and L2L^2L2 norms of solutions of hyperbolic systems, are welcome.

Selected references

  • J.-M. Coron, R. Vazquez, M. Krstic, G. Bastin, Local Exponential H² Stabilization of a 2 × 2 Quasilinear Hyperbolic System Using Backstepping, arXiv:1208.6475v1, 2012; SIAM J. Control Optim. 51(3), 2013. https://arxiv.org/abs/1208.6475v1
  • G. Bastin, J.-M. Coron, On boundary feedback stabilization of non-uniform linear 2 × 2 hyperbolic systems over a bounded interval, Systems and Control Letters 60, 2011, pp. 900–906 (reference [1] of arXiv:1208.6475v1). https://arxiv.org/abs/1208.6475v1
  • M. Krstic, A. Smyshlyaev, Boundary Control of PDEs: A Course on Backstepping Designs, SIAM, 2008. https://doi.org/10.1137/1.9780898718607
  • J.-M. Coron, G. Bastin, B. d'Andréa-Novel, Dissipative boundary conditions for one-dimensional nonlinear hyperbolic systems, SIAM J. Control Optim. 47(3), 2008. https://doi.org/10.1137/060650222
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Graph TheoryProbabilityRandom Matrix Theory·Captain: mikedeng1

Spectral Statistics of Erdős–Rényi Graphs I: Local Semicircle Law: Local Semicircle Law for the Sparse Noncentered Matrix A = H + f|e⟩⟨e| Down to Spectral Scale η ≈ 1/NResearch Paper

Motivation

The adjacency matrix of an Erdős–Rényi random graph contains a large deterministic mean as well as random fluctuations. The mean affects the largest eigenvalue, while the centered fluctuations determine much of the remaining spectrum. A local spectral law must describe both pieces at a resolution fine enough to distinguish eigenvalues within a narrow energy window. Erdős, Knowles, Yau and Yin established such estimates for a broader class of sparse symmetric matrices and their noncentered rank-one deformations in Spectral statistics of Erdős–Rényi graphs I. This mission formalizes the paper's Theorem 2.9, with the centered-matrix law and eleven intermediate results of the paper as milestones.

The paper treats the graph matrix through a model that also allows other sparse distributions. Its parameters qNq_NqN​ and fNf_NfN​ separate sparsity from the size of the deterministic mean. That separation matters: the normalized resolvent trace can obey a local semicircle law even when the deformation produces a distinguished top eigenvalue. The formal target therefore concerns the deformed matrix itself, rather than replacing it with the centered matrix.

Setting

For each size NNN, let HN=(hij)H_N=(h_{ij})HN​=(hij​) be a real symmetric random matrix. Entries indexed by the upper triangle are independent, centered, and have variance 1/N1/N1/N. Their higher moments obey

E∣hij∣p≤CpNqNp−2,3≤p≤(log⁡N)A0log⁡log⁡N.\mathbf E|h_{ij}|^p\le\frac{C^p}{Nq_N^{p-2}},\qquad 3\le p\le(\log N)^{A_0\log\log N}.E∣hij​∣p≤NqNp−2​Cp​,3≤p≤(logN)A0​loglogN.

The sparsity parameter qNq_NqN​ lies between (log⁡N)3ξN(\log N)^{3\xi_N}(logN)3ξN​ and CNC\sqrt NCN​, and the logarithmic parameter satisfies 1+a0≤ξN≤A0log⁡log⁡N1+a_0\le\xi_N\le A_0\log\log N1+a0​≤ξN​≤A0​loglogN, with a0>0a_0>0a0​>0 and A0≥10A_0\ge10A0​≥10. Define eN=N−1/2(1,…,1)e_N=N^{-1/2}(1,\ldots,1)eN​=N−1/2(1,…,1) and the noncentered matrix AN=HN+fN∣eN⟩⟨eN∣A_N=H_N+f_N|e_N\rangle\langle e_N|AN​=HN​+fN​∣eN​⟩⟨eN​∣, where 0≤fN≤NC0\le f_N\le N^C0≤fN​≤NC. The projection ∣eN⟩⟨eN∣|e_N\rangle\langle e_N|∣eN​⟩⟨eN​∣ has every entry equal to 1/N1/N1/N. These are Definitions 2.1 and 2.2 of the source paper, pp. 5–6.

For a complex number z=E+iηz=E+i\etaz=E+iη with η>0\eta>0η>0, the resolvents are G(z)=(HN−zI)−1G(z)=(H_N-zI)^{-1}G(z)=(HN​−zI)−1 and G~(z)=(AN−zI)−1\widetilde G(z)=(A_N-zI)^{-1}G(z)=(AN​−zI)−1. Their normalized traces are m(z)=N−1Tr⁡G(z)m(z)=N^{-1}\operatorname{Tr}G(z)m(z)=N−1TrG(z) and m~(z)=N−1Tr⁡G~(z)\widetilde m(z)=N^{-1}\operatorname{Tr}\widetilde G(z)m(z)=N−1TrG(z). The comparison object is the semicircle density ρsc(x)=(2π)−1[4−x2]+\rho_{\mathrm{sc}}(x)=(2\pi)^{-1}\sqrt{[4-x^2]_+}ρsc​(x)=(2π)−1[4−x2]+​​ and its Stieltjes transform msc(z)=∫Rρsc(x)/(x−z) dxm_{\mathrm{sc}}(z)=\int_{\mathbb R}\rho_{\mathrm{sc}}(x)/(x-z)\,dxmsc​(z)=∫R​ρsc​(x)/(x−z)dx. Put κE=∣∣E∣−2∣\kappa_E=\bigl||E|-2\bigr|κE​=​∣E∣−2​ and D={E+iη:∣E∣≤Σ, 0<η≤3}D=\{E+i\eta:|E|\le\Sigma,\ 0<\eta\le3\}D={E+iη:∣E∣≤Σ, 0<η≤3} for a fixed Σ≥3\Sigma\ge3Σ≥3. These definitions appear in Section 2, pp. 7–9.

An NNN-dependent event has (ξ,ν)(\xi,\nu)(ξ,ν)-high probability when its failure probability is at most exp⁡[−ν(log⁡N)ξN]\exp[-\nu(\log N)^{\xi_N}]exp[−ν(logN)ξN​] for all sufficiently large NNN. The spectral estimates below refer to single events on which the claimed bound holds at every z∈Dz\in Dz∈D simultaneously.

Formalization targets

Main goal: the local law for A

Theorem 2.9 assumes ξN∼(A0/2)log⁡log⁡N\xi_N\sim(A_0/2)\log\log NξN​∼(A0​/2)loglogN and qN≥(log⁡N)C1ξNq_N\ge(\log N)^{C_1\xi_N}qN​≥(logN)C1​ξN​. Its first conclusion is that, with (ξ,ν)(\xi,\nu)(ξ,ν)-high probability, every z=E+iη∈Dz=E+i\eta\in Dz=E+iη∈D satisfies

∣m~(z)−msc(z)∣≤(log⁡N)C2ξN(min⁡{1qN2κE+η,1qN}+1Nη).|\widetilde m(z)-m_{\mathrm{sc}}(z)|\le(\log N)^{C_2\xi_N}\left(\min\left\{\frac1{q_N^2\sqrt{\kappa_E+\eta}},\frac1{q_N}\right\}+\frac1{N\eta}\right).∣m(z)−msc​(z)∣≤(logN)C2​ξN​(min{qN2​κE​+η​1​,qN​1​}+Nη1​).

Under the additional bound fN≤C0Nf_N\le C_0\sqrt NfN​≤C0​N​, its second conclusion controls every entry at every z∈Dz\in Dz∈D:

∣G~ij(z)−δijmsc(z)∣≤(log⁡N)C2ξN(1qN+Im⁡msc(z)Nη+1Nη).|\widetilde G_{ij}(z)-\delta_{ij}m_{\mathrm{sc}}(z)|\le(\log N)^{C_2\xi_N}\left(\frac1{q_N}+\sqrt{\frac{\operatorname{Im}m_{\mathrm{sc}}(z)}{N\eta}}+\frac1{N\eta}\right).∣Gij​(z)−δij​msc​(z)∣≤(logN)C2​ξN​(qN​1​+NηImmsc​(z)​​+Nη1​).

The constants C1,C2C_1,C_2C1​,C2​ are universal and positive. The probability exponent ν>0\nu>0ν>0 may depend on the fixed parameters named in the theorem. Both conclusions, including the extra condition on fNf_NfN​ in the second, are retained from Theorem 2.9, pp. 9–10.

Milestones

The milestones follow the paper's own sequence of numbered results.

  1. Properties of mscm_{\mathrm{sc}}msc​ (Lemma 3.2): ∣msc∣∼1|m_{\mathrm{sc}}|\sim1∣msc​∣∼1, ∣1−msc2∣∼κE+η|1-m_{\mathrm{sc}}^2|\sim\sqrt{\kappa_E+\eta}∣1−msc2​∣∼κE​+η​, and the size of Im⁡msc\operatorname{Im}m_{\mathrm{sc}}Immsc​ inside and outside the spectrum.
  2. Resolvent identities for minors (Lemma 3.4) and the self-consistent equation Gii=1/(−z−msc−([v]−Υi))G_{ii}=1/(-z-m_{\mathrm{sc}}-([v]-\Upsilon_i))Gii​=1/(−z−msc​−([v]−Υi​)) (Lemma 3.10); both are deterministic.
  3. Large deviation bounds for linear and quadratic forms in independent variables with the sparse moment decay (Lemma 3.8 (ii)).
  4. The weak local semicircle law for HHH (Theorem 3.1) on DL={∣E∣≤Σ, (log⁡N)LN−1≤η≤3}D_L=\{|E|\le\Sigma,\ (\log N)^LN^{-1}\le\eta\le3\}DL​={∣E∣≤Σ, (logN)LN−1≤η≤3}, L≥8ξL\ge8\xiL≥8ξ.
  5. Fluctuation averaging (Lemma 4.1 (4.2)): the average [Z]=N−1∑iZi[Z]=N^{-1}\sum_iZ_i[Z]=N−1∑i​Zi​ of the fluctuation terms is much smaller than each ZiZ_iZi​.
  6. The a priori norm bound ∥H∥≤2+(log⁡N)ξq−1/2\|H\|\le2+(\log N)^\xi q^{-1/2}∥H∥≤2+(logN)ξq−1/2 (Lemma 4.3) and the strong local law for HHH (Theorem 2.8, the analogue of the goal for f=0f=0f=0).
  7. Interlacing of the eigenvalues of HHH and AAA (Lemma 6.1) and the near-orthogonality ∑α≠N∣⟨vα,e⟩∣2=O(f−2)\sum_{\alpha\ne N}|\langle v_\alpha,e\rangle|^2=O(f^{-2})∑α=N​∣⟨vα​,e⟩∣2=O(f−2) of eee to the non-top eigenvectors of AAA (Corollary 6.7).
  8. The trace comparison ∣Λ~−Λ∣≤π/(Nη)|\widetilde\Lambda-\Lambda|\le\pi/(N\eta)∣Λ−Λ∣≤π/(Nη) (Lemma 7.1), which yields the first conclusion of the goal from Theorem 2.8.
  9. Entrywise control of G~\widetilde GG on the event Ω~(η)\widetilde\Omega(\eta)Ω(η) that Λ~d+Λ~o≤(log⁡N)−ξ\widetilde\Lambda_d+\widetilde\Lambda_o\le(\log N)^{-\xi}Λd​+Λo​≤(logN)−ξ on the line Im⁡z=η\operatorname{Im}z=\etaImz=η: the off-diagonal bound Λ~o≤CΦ\widetilde\Lambda_o\le C\PhiΛo​≤CΦ (Proposition 7.6 (7.14)) and the diagonal bounds of Lemma 7.7, with Φ=(log⁡N)ξ/q+(log⁡N)2ξ(Im⁡m~/(Nη)+1/(Nη))\Phi=(\log N)^\xi/q+(\log N)^{2\xi}(\sqrt{\operatorname{Im}\widetilde m/(N\eta)}+1/(N\eta))Φ=(logN)ξ/q+(logN)2ξ(Imm/(Nη)​+1/(Nη)).

Significance

The trace estimate gives quantitative control over spectral mass at local scales, including near the edges E=±2E=\pm2E=±2. The entrywise estimate says more: each resolvent entry is close to the diagonal semicircle approximation with an error that records both sparsity and finite-size effects. The paper's later results derive density-of-states and eigenvector statements from these local controls. Those consequences are outside this mission's goal.

The intended formal development supplies reusable definitions of sparse symmetric ensembles, high-probability events, semicircle transforms, and complex resolvents, followed by exact statements of the paper's estimates. Mathlib contains no local semicircle law, for Wigner or for sparse matrices, and no Stieltjes transform of the semicircle distribution; the local law, the large deviation bounds and the interlacing lemma are each reusable beyond this paper.

Difficulty

The deterministic rank-one comparison controls the normalized trace but does not by itself control each entry of G~\widetilde GG. The entrywise estimate must account for the deformation and for fluctuations caused by sparse entries. Near the spectral edges, the stability scale of the semicircle transform changes with κE+η\kappa_E+\etaκE​+η; a bound that is uniform in the bulk does not automatically retain the paper's edge behavior. The theorem also asks for one event covering a continuum of zzz values, so a collection of separate fixed-zzz probability bounds has the wrong quantifier order. These are substantive parts of Sections 3–7, beyond algebraic manipulation of resolvents.

Formalization scope

Lean represents all HNH_NHN​ on one probability space and takes their entries to be real, symmetric, measurable random variables, independent in the upper triangle. Conditions involving log⁡log⁡N\log\log NloglogN and the moments hold for all sufficiently large NNN; this avoids impossible small-NNN parameter bounds and matches the asymptotic theorem. The moment order ppp is real, as in the paper. Each finite expectation has an explicit integrability condition. A single positive constant CCC is used for the moment, sparsity, and deformation bounds: replacing several fixed constants by their maximum preserves all three inequalities.

Matrix indices use Fin N rather than the paper's 1,…,N1,\ldots,N1,…,N. The resolvent is a complex matrix formed by coercing the real matrix before subtracting zIzIzI. Every result that uses it restricts η>0\eta>0η>0 eventually or explicitly; its inverse at a singular input is never used to make a claim. The semicircle transform is defined by the paper's integral, and 4−x2\sqrt{4-x^2}4−x2​ uses Lean's nonnegative square root, implementing the positive part. The high-probability predicate evaluates the measure of arbitrary sets, so it can state the intersection over all zzz without a separate measurability assumption on that intersection. Positive qNq_NqN​ and positive square-root arguments follow eventually from the model and z∈Dz\in Dz∈D.

The deterministic Lemmas 3.2, 3.4, 3.10, 6.1 and 7.1 are stated for every real symmetric matrix and every zzz with η>0\eta>0η>0 (Lemma 3.2 on DDD); the paper's DLD_LDL​ is contained there. Minors keep the original index names, and Gkl(T)G^{(\mathbb T)}_{kl}Gkl(T)​ is only used for k,l∉Tk,l\notin\mathbb Tk,l∈/T. ZiZ_iZi​ is the explicit expression of (3.15). Ordered eigenvalues are the sorted roots of the characteristic polynomial. Statements the paper makes "for fixed zzz" (Lemmas 4.1, 7.7, Proposition 7.6) are uniform in zzz: one threshold N0N_0N0​ serves every zzz. The unnamed constants CCC, ν\nuν, KKK are chosen after the fixed parameters and before the random matrices; the universal C1,C2C_1,C_2C1​,C2​ come first.

Trivializing encodings are ruled out: every resolvent is taken at η>0\eta>0η>0, so the junk inverse of a singular matrix never enters; the model is satisfiable (independent Rademacher signs divided by N\sqrt NN​ with qN=Nq_N=\sqrt NqN​=N​ and ξN=(A0/2)log⁡log⁡N\xi_N=(A_0/2)\log\log NξN​=(A0​/2)loglogN satisfy it for large NNN); each event of the goal is one intersection over all z∈Dz\in Dz∈D, not a family of pointwise bounds; the constants appear in the paper's order; and the goal is about A=H+f∣e⟩⟨e∣A=H+f|e\rangle\langle e|A=H+f∣e⟩⟨e∣ with fff allowed to be large, so it does not reduce to Theorem 2.8.

Part (iii) of Lemma 3.8 is not a milestone: the printed (3.22) omits the diagonal variance term (N−2∑i∣Bii∣2)1/2(N^{-2}\sum_i|B_{ii}|^2)^{1/2}(N−2∑i​∣Bii​∣2)1/2, without which it fails for Rademacher variables with q≍Nq\asymp\sqrt Nq≍N​. Contributions of proofs of any milestone, and of the missing groundwork (Stieltjes transforms of measures, Schur complements of resolvents, moment bounds for sums of independent variables), are welcome.

Selected references

  • L. Erdős, A. Knowles, H.-T. Yau and J. Yin, Spectral statistics of Erdős–Rényi graphs I: Local semicircle law, Annals of Probability 41(3B), 2013, pp. 2279–2375. arXiv:1103.1919v5; DOI:10.1214/11-AOP734.
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Operations ResearchOptimizationProbability+1·Captain: mikedeng1

Robust Sample Average Approximation 1: A Data-Driven DRO Converges in Objective, Optimal Value and Optimal Solutions for Every Admissible Cost If and Only If Its Test Is Uniformly ConsistentResearch Paper

Motivation

A decision maker who must choose xxx to minimize an expected cost EF[c(x;ξ)]\mathbb E_F[c(x;\xi)]EF​[c(x;ξ)] rarely knows the distribution FFF of the uncertain parameter ξ\xiξ; what is available is a sample ξ1,…,ξN\xi^1,\dots,\xi^Nξ1,…,ξN. Sample average approximation (SAA) replaces FFF by the empirical distribution. Data-driven distributionally robust optimization (DRO) instead minimizes the worst case of the expected cost over a set FN\mathcal F_NFN​ of distributions built from the data, which protects against the error of the empirical distribution at small NNN. Many such sets have been proposed: moment sets (Delage and Ye, 2010), ϕ\phiϕ-divergence balls (Ben-Tal et al., 2013), Wasserstein balls (Mohajerin Esfahani and Kuhn, 2018).

Bertsimas, Gupta and Kallus (arXiv:1408.4445v3; Mathematical Programming, 2018, doi:10.1007/s10107-017-1174-z) observe that each such set can be read as the confidence region of a statistical goodness-of-fit (GoF) test, and call the resulting method Robust SAA. A basic question for any such method is whether, as N→∞N\to\inftyN→∞, its objective, optimal value and optimal solutions converge to those of the full-information problem. The paper answers it for all data-driven DROs at once, with a single property of the test.

Setting

The support Ξ⊆Rd\Xi\subseteq\mathbb R^dΞ⊆Rd of ξ\xiξ is closed, and P(Ξ)\mathcal P(\Xi)P(Ξ) is the set of Borel probability distributions on Ξ\XiΞ with the topology of weak convergence. The data ξ1,ξ2,…\xi^1,\xi^2,\dotsξ1,ξ2,… are i.i.d. from an unknown F∈P(Ξ)F\in\mathcal P(\Xi)F∈P(Ξ). A data-driven uncertainty set (DUS) map assigns to each sample (ξ1,…,ξN)(\xi^1,\dots,\xi^N)(ξ1,…,ξN) a set FN⊆P(Ξ)\mathcal F_N\subseteq\mathcal P(\Xi)FN​⊆P(Ξ); it is the confidence region of the test that rejects a hypothesis F0F_0F0​ exactly when F0∉FNF_0\notin\mathcal F_NF0​∈/FN​. Decisions lie in a closed set X⊆RdxX\subseteq\mathbb R^{d_x}X⊆Rdx​, the cost is c(x;ξ)c(x;\xi)c(x;ξ), and the robust objective is the worst-case expectation

C(x;FN)=sup⁡F0∈FNEF0[c(x;ξ)].\mathcal C(x;\mathcal F_N)=\sup_{F_0\in\mathcal F_N}\mathbb E_{F_0}[c(x;\xi)] .C(x;FN​)=F0​∈FN​sup​EF0​​[c(x;ξ)].

A test is uniformly consistent (Definition 3) if, for every data-generating FFF, almost surely every sequence FNF_NFN​ that does not converge weakly to FFF lies outside FN\mathcal F_NFN​ for infinitely many NNN. The admissible instances are those satisfying three assumptions: (1) c(⋅;ξ)c(\cdot;\xi)c(⋅;ξ) is equicontinuous in xxx uniformly over ξ\xiξ; (2) XXX is bounded, or ccc is coercive in xxx uniformly over a set DDD of positive FFF-probability and bounded below off DDD; (3) Ξ\XiΞ is bounded, or there is a growth function ϕ≥0\phi\ge0ϕ≥0 with c(x;ξ)=O(ϕ(ξ))c(x;\xi)=O(\phi(\xi))c(x;ξ)=O(ϕ(ξ)) whose expectation the DUS tracks: sup⁡F0∈FN∣EF0ϕ−1N∑iϕ(ξi)∣→0\sup_{F_0\in\mathcal F_N}|\mathbb E_{F_0}\phi-\frac1N\sum_i\phi(\xi^i)|\to0supF0​∈FN​​∣EF0​​ϕ−N1​∑i​ϕ(ξi)∣→0 almost surely. The convergence conditions are (18) C(x;FN)→EF[c(x;ξ)]\mathcal C(x;\mathcal F_N)\to\mathbb E_F[c(x;\xi)]C(x;FN​)→EF​[c(x;ξ)] uniformly on compact subsets of XXX; (19) convergence of optimal values; and (20) every sequence of robust minimizers has a limit point, and all its limit points are true minimizers.

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem 2

For a DUS map with nonempty sets,

FN is uniformly consistent  ⟺  [∀F,X,c satisfying Assumptions 1–3: (18),(19),(20) hold a.s.].\mathcal F_N\ \text{is uniformly consistent}\iff\Big[\forall F,X,c\ \text{satisfying Assumptions 1–3}:\ (18),(19),(20)\ \text{hold a.s.}\Big].FN​ is uniformly consistent⟺[∀F,X,c satisfying Assumptions 1–3: (18),(19),(20) hold a.s.].

The statement carries no rates and no constants; it is a characterization, so it does not depend on any particular test.

Milestones

  1. Proposition 8: under uniform consistency and Assumptions 1 and 3, almost surely EFN[c(x;ξ)]→EF[c(x;ξ)]\mathbb E_{F_N}[c(x;\xi)]\to\mathbb E_F[c(x;\xi)]EFN​​[c(x;ξ)]→EF​[c(x;ξ)] for every x∈Xx\in Xx∈X and every sequence FN∈FNF_N\in\mathcal F_NFN​∈FN​.
  2. Proposition 9: deterministically, convergence of C(xN;FN)\mathcal C(x_N;\mathcal F_N)C(xN​;FN​) along every convergent xN→xx_N\to xxN​→x implies (18).
  3. Theorem 2, "only if" side: uniform consistency implies (18)–(20) a.s. for every admissible instance.
  4. Theorem 2, "if" side: if the test is not uniformly consistent, some admissible instance fails (18)–(20) with positive probability.
  5. Theorem 3: if FN\mathcal F_NFN​ always contains the empirical distribution and the test is ccc-consistent (Definition 5, consistency with respect to the expected costs only), then (18)–(20) hold a.s.
  6. Proposition 4 (first sentence): a uniformly consistent test is consistent in the classical sense, P(F0∉FN)→1\mathbb P(F_0\notin\mathcal F_N)\to1P(F0​∈/FN​)→1 for each F0≠FF_0\neq FF0​=F.

Significance

The result. Theorem 2 reduces the asymptotic analysis of a data-driven DRO to a property of a statistical test, which can be checked once per test rather than once per optimization model. The paper uses it to classify DUSs: the χ2\chi^2χ2 and G-tests on a finite support and the Kolmogorov–Smirnov, Kuiper, Cramér–von Mises, Watson and Anderson–Darling tests on the line are uniformly consistent (Theorems 4–5, separate missions of this series), while the test of marginals is not even consistent and so cannot give convergence for every cost. The necessity direction makes the property sharp: a weaker test always admits a well-behaved cost on which the DRO fails to converge. Theorem 3 explains the remaining cases where a DRO converges for one given cost.

Formalizing it. The result is proved in the paper (§10.5), but its proof leans on several standard facts used without detail: the portmanteau theorem, uniform integrability arguments from Billingsley's Convergence of Probability Measures, the Lévy continuity theorem with the Cramér–Wold device, and coercivity arguments carried over from the paper's Theorem 1. A machine-checked version would fix exactly which regularity of the cost these steps need; three such conditions are stated explicitly here (see the scope section). No part of the result is formalized elsewhere to our knowledge; the platform has no notion of a data-driven uncertainty set or of uniform consistency.

Difficulty

Uniform consistency is a statement about weak convergence, while (18)–(20) are statements about expectations of an unbounded, xxx-dependent cost under the members of FN\mathcal F_NFN​. Weak convergence controls expectations only of bounded continuous functions, so the "only if" side must recover convergence of EFN[c(x;ξ)]\mathbb E_{F_N}[c(x;\xi)]EFN​​[c(x;ξ)] from Assumption 3, which requires uniform integrability, and then upgrade pointwise convergence to uniform convergence on compacts and to convergence of minimizers when XXX is unbounded. The tempting route through a single limiting minimization problem fails: the sets FN\mathcal F_NFN​ change with the sample, the worst case is a supremum over infinitely many distributions, and the minimizers of C(⋅;FN)\mathcal C(\cdot;\mathcal F_N)C(⋅;FN​) could escape to infinity unless coercivity on DDD transfers to every member of FN\mathcal F_NFN​. The "if" side needs, from the mere failure of uniform consistency, a single admissible cost whose worst-case objective detects every failure of weak convergence.

Formalization scope

Points are EuclideanSpace ℝ (Fin d), distributions are ProbabilityMeasure ↥Ξ (whose topology is weak convergence), and the data live on the canonical product space ΞN\Xi^{\mathbb N}ΞN with the product law, 0-indexed. "Almost surely" is ∀ᵐ, and in Definition 3 one null set serves every sequence FNF_NFN​. An expectation over a member of FN\mathcal F_NFN​ is +∞+\infty+∞ when the integrand is not integrable, never Lean's default 000. Minima in (19)–(20) are infima in the extended reals, so the empty and unattained cases need no special treatment; (20) applies to sequences that are minimizers for all large NNN.

Four hypotheses are added to the page, each used by the paper's own proof: every FN\mathcal F_NFN​ is nonempty (otherwise the worst case is −∞-\infty−∞ and uniform consistency is vacuous); c(x;⋅)c(x;\cdot)c(x;⋅) is continuous on Ξ\XiΞ; the set DDD of Assumption 2b is open; the growth function ϕ\phiϕ of Assumption 3b is continuous, with EFϕ<∞\mathbb E_F\phi<\inftyEF​ϕ<∞ as fixed on p. 10 of the paper. Theorem 3 additionally assumes Assumption 2, which its proof uses. Proposition 4 assumes the rejection events are measurable. A formalization in which the worst case uses the raw Bochner integral, the supremum ranges over a possibly empty set, or (20) requires minimizers at N=0N=0N=0 would make the statements false or vacuous, and is ruled out.

A full development needs weak convergence and the portmanteau theorem (in Mathlib), uniform integrability and its relation to convergence of means under weak convergence, the strong law of large numbers for the growth function and the empirical measure, the Lévy continuity theorem in several dimensions (in Mathlib, via characteristic functions), and a countable convergence-determining class of bounded continuous functions. The uniform-integrability step and the path characterization of local uniform convergence (Proposition 9) are reusable beyond this mission. Contributions to any milestone are welcome; Proposition 9 is self-contained and deterministic.

Selected references

  • D. Bertsimas, V. Gupta, N. Kallus, Robust Sample Average Approximation, arXiv:1408.4445v3, 2016; Mathematical Programming 171 (2018). https://arxiv.org/abs/1408.4445v3, https://doi.org/10.1007/s10107-017-1174-z
  • P. Billingsley, Convergence of Probability Measures, 2nd ed., Wiley, 1999. https://doi.org/10.1002/9780470316962
  • E. Delage, Y. Ye, Distributionally Robust Optimization Under Moment Uncertainty with Application to Data-Driven Problems, Operations Research 58(3), 2010. https://doi.org/10.1287/opre.1090.0741
  • A. Ben-Tal, D. den Hertog, A. De Waegenaere, B. Melenberg, G. Rennen, Robust Solutions of Optimization Problems Affected by Uncertain Probabilities, Management Science 59(2), 2013. https://doi.org/10.1287/mnsc.1120.1641
  • P. Mohajerin Esfahani, D. Kuhn, Data-Driven Distributionally Robust Optimization Using the Wasserstein Metric, Mathematical Programming 171, 2018. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10107-017-1172-1
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Machine LearningMarkov ChainProbability+1·Captain: mikedeng1

Nonasymptotic Convergence Analysis for the Unadjusted Langevin Algorithm: Explicit Total-Variation Bound for ULA with Nonincreasing Step Sizes When the Potential Is Strongly Convex Outside a BallResearch Paper

Why sampling from e−Ue^{-U}e−U needs non-asymptotic guarantees

Bayesian inference, statistical physics and machine learning all ask for samples from a probability distribution π\piπ on Rd\mathbb R^dRd whose density is known only up to a constant, π(dx)∝e−U(x)dx\pi(dx)\propto e^{-U(x)}dxπ(dx)∝e−U(x)dx. The unadjusted Langevin algorithm (ULA) is the Euler–Maruyama discretisation of the Langevin diffusion, whose invariant law is π\piπ. It needs only gradients of UUU, has no accept/reject step, and is therefore cheap in high dimension. Without the Metropolis correction, however, the chain does not leave π\piπ invariant, so its usefulness rests on quantitative bounds: how far, in total variation, the law of the ppp-th iterate is from π\piπ, as an explicit function of the dimension ddd, the step sizes and the regularity of UUU.

Durmus and Moulines (arXiv:1507.05021, Ann. Appl. Probab. 27(3), 2017) gave such bounds for constant and decreasing step sizes. Earlier work of Dalalyan (arXiv:1412.7392, 2017) treated strongly log-concave targets with constant steps. Durmus and Moulines cover nonincreasing step sequences and, among other regimes, potentials that are only strongly convex outside a ball; this mission formalizes that case.

Setting

Write ∥⋅∥\|\cdot\|∥⋅∥ and ⟨⋅,⋅⟩\langle\cdot,\cdot\rangle⟨⋅,⋅⟩ for the Euclidean norm and inner product of Rd\mathbb R^dRd. The total variation norm of a difference of probability measures is

∥μ−ν∥TV=sup⁡{∣∫f dμ−∫f dν∣:f Borel, ∣f∣≤1},\|\mu-\nu\|_{\mathrm{TV}}=\sup\Big\{\Big|\int f\,d\mu-\int f\,d\nu\Big|: f\text{ Borel},\ |f|\le1\Big\},∥μ−ν∥TV​=sup{​∫fdμ−∫fdν​:f Borel, ∣f∣≤1},

which ranges in [0,2][0,2][0,2].

The potential U:Rd→RU:\mathbb R^d\to\mathbb RU:Rd→R satisfies two assumptions:

  • L1: UUU is differentiable and ∇U\nabla U∇U is LLL-Lipschitz;
  • H3(MsM_sMs​): UUU is convex and ⟨∇U(x)−∇U(y),x−y⟩≥m∥x−y∥2\langle\nabla U(x)-\nabla U(y),x-y\rangle\ge m\|x-y\|^2⟨∇U(x)−∇U(y),x−y⟩≥m∥x−y∥2 whenever ∥x−y∥≥Ms\|x-y\|\ge M_s∥x−y∥≥Ms​, for some Ms≥0M_s\ge0Ms​≥0, m>0m>0m>0.

The point x⋆x^\starx⋆ is a minimiser of UUU, and π(dx)=e−U(x)dx/∫e−U\pi(dx)=e^{-U(x)}dx/\int e^{-U}π(dx)=e−U(x)dx/∫e−U.

The Langevin diffusion is dYt=−∇U(Yt)dt+2 dBtddY_t=-\nabla U(Y_t)dt+\sqrt2\,dB^d_tdYt​=−∇U(Yt​)dt+2​dBtd​, with BdB^dBd a standard ddd-dimensional Brownian motion. Its transition semigroup is Pt(x,A)=P(Yt(x)∈A)P_t(x,A)=\mathbb P(Y_t(x)\in A)Pt​(x,A)=P(Yt​(x)∈A).

ULA with step sizes (γk)k≥1(\gamma_k)_{k\ge1}(γk​)k≥1​ is the chain

Xk+1=Xk−γk+1∇U(Xk)+2γk+1Zk+1,X_{k+1}=X_k-\gamma_{k+1}\nabla U(X_k)+\sqrt{2\gamma_{k+1}}Z_{k+1},Xk+1​=Xk​−γk+1​∇U(Xk​)+2γk+1​​Zk+1​,

with (Zk)(Z_k)(Zk​) i.i.d. standard Gaussian. Its one-step kernel is Rγ(x,⋅)=N(x−γ∇U(x),2γId)R_\gamma(x,\cdot)=\mathcal N(x-\gamma\nabla U(x),2\gamma I_d)Rγ​(x,⋅)=N(x−γ∇U(x),2γId​), and δxQγn=δxRγ1⋯Rγn\delta_xQ^n_\gamma=\delta_xR_{\gamma_1}\cdots R_{\gamma_n}δx​Qγn​=δx​Rγ1​​⋯Rγn​​ is the law of XnX_nXn​ started at xxx. Write Γn,p=∑k=npγk\Gamma_{n,p}=\sum_{k=n}^p\gamma_kΓn,p​=∑k=np​γk​, and let A(γ,x)=sup⁡k≥0∫∥∇U∥2 d(δxQγk)A(\gamma,x)=\sup_{k\ge0}\int\|\nabla U\|^2\,d(\delta_xQ^k_\gamma)A(γ,x)=supk≥0​∫∥∇U∥2d(δx​Qγk​).

The explicit constants use

  • F(λ,a,c,γ,w)=λaw+c(−λγlog⁡λ)−1F(\lambda,a,c,\gamma,w)=\lambda^aw+c(-\lambda^\gamma\log\lambda)^{-1}F(λ,a,c,γ,w)=λaw+c(−λγlogλ)−1 and G(λ,c,γ,w)=w+c(−λγlog⁡λ)−1G(\lambda,c,\gamma,w)=w+c(-\lambda^\gamma\log\lambda)^{-1}G(λ,c,γ,w)=w+c(−λγlogλ)−1;
  • ω(ε,R)=R2/{2Φ−1(1−ε/2)}2\omega(\varepsilon,R)=R^2/\{2\Phi^{-1}(1-\varepsilon/2)\}^2ω(ε,R)=R2/{2Φ−1(1−ε/2)}2, with Φ\PhiΦ the standard Gaussian distribution function;
  • λ=e−2m+γˉL2\lambda=e^{-2m+\bar\gamma L^2}λ=e−2m+γˉ​L2 and c=2(d+mMs2)c=2(d+mM_s^2)c=2(d+mMs2​).

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem 21 (p. 16)

Let d≥1d\ge1d≥1, and let (γk)(\gamma_k)(γk​) be positive and nonincreasing with γ1≤γˉ<2mL−2\gamma_1\le\bar\gamma<2mL^{-2}γ1​≤γˉ​<2mL−2. Then for all 0≤n<p0\le n<p0≤n<p and xxx,

∥δxQγp−π∥TV≤2−1/2L(∑k=np−1{γk+133A(γ,x)+dγk+12})1/2+C(δxQγn)κΓn+1,p.\|\delta_xQ^p_\gamma-\pi\|_{\mathrm{TV}}\le2^{-1/2}L\Big(\sum_{k=n}^{p-1}\Big\{\tfrac{\gamma^3_{k+1}}3A(\gamma,x)+d\gamma^2_{k+1}\Big\}\Big)^{1/2}+C(\delta_xQ^n_\gamma)\kappa^{\Gamma_{n+1,p}}.∥δx​Qγp​−π∥TV​≤2−1/2L(k=n∑p−1​{3γk+13​​A(γ,x)+dγk+12​})1/2+C(δx​Qγn​)κΓn+1,p​.

The three constants are explicit:

  • the rate, log⁡κ=−m2log⁡2 [log⁡{(1+emω(1/2,max⁡(1,Ms))/4)(1+max⁡(1,Ms))}+log⁡2]−1\log\kappa=-\frac m2\log2\,[\log\{(1+e^{m\omega(1/2,\max(1,M_s))/4})(1+\max(1,M_s))\}+\log2]^{-1}logκ=−2m​log2[log{(1+emω(1/2,max(1,Ms​))/4)(1+max(1,Ms​))}+log2]−1;
  • the constant of the first term, A(γ,x)≤L2G(λ,c,γ1,∥x−x⋆∥2)A(\gamma,x)\le L^2G(\lambda,c,\gamma_1,\|x-x^\star\|^2)A(γ,x)≤L2G(λ,c,γ1​,∥x−x⋆∥2);
  • the constant of the second term, C(δxQγn)≤6+2(d/m+Ms2)1/2+2F1/2(λ,Γ1,n,c,γ1,∥x−x⋆∥2)C(\delta_xQ^n_\gamma)\le6+2(d/m+M_s^2)^{1/2}+2F^{1/2}(\lambda,\Gamma_{1,n},c,\gamma_1,\|x-x^\star\|^2)C(δx​Qγn​)≤6+2(d/m+Ms2​)1/2+2F1/2(λ,Γ1,n​,c,γ1​,∥x−x⋆∥2).

Milestones, in the order of the proof (§5.1, p. 34)

  1. (56), p. 30: for dXt=b(Xt)dt+dBtddX_t=b(X_t)dt+dB^d_tdXt​=b(Xt​)dt+dBtd​ with bbb Lipschitz and monotone (G1), sup⁡∥x−y∥≤R∥Pt(x,⋅)−Pt(y,⋅)∥TV≤2(1−ε)\sup_{\|x-y\|\le R}\|P_t(x,\cdot)-P_t(y,\cdot)\|_{\mathrm{TV}}\le2(1-\varepsilon)sup∥x−y∥≤R​∥Pt​(x,⋅)−Pt​(y,⋅)∥TV​≤2(1−ε) for t≥ω(ε,R)t\ge\omega(\varepsilon,R)t≥ω(ε,R).
  2. Theorem 36, p. 33: under G1 and the contraction G3, ∥Pt(x,⋅)−Pt(y,⋅)∥TV≤2{(1−ε)−1+1+∥x−y∥}κt\|P_t(x,\cdot)-P_t(y,\cdot)\|_{\mathrm{TV}}\le2\{(1-\varepsilon)^{-1}+1+\|x-y\|\}\kappa^t∥Pt​(x,⋅)−Pt​(y,⋅)∥TV​≤2{(1−ε)−1+1+∥x−y∥}κt with an explicit κ\kappaκ.
  3. §5.1, p. 34: ∥Pt(x,⋅)−π∥TV≤2{3+∥x−x⋆∥+∫∥y−x⋆∥dπ(y)}κt\|P_t(x,\cdot)-\pi\|_{\mathrm{TV}}\le2\{3+\|x-x^\star\|+\int\|y-x^\star\|d\pi(y)\}\kappa^t∥Pt​(x,⋅)−π∥TV​≤2{3+∥x−x⋆∥+∫∥y−x⋆∥dπ(y)}κt for the Langevin semigroup.
  4. §5.1, p. 34: ∫∥y−x⋆∥2dπ(y)≤d/m+Ms2\int\|y-x^\star\|^2d\pi(y)\le d/m+M_s^2∫∥y−x⋆∥2dπ(y)≤d/m+Ms2​.
  5. Proposition 20, p. 16: V(x)=∥x−x⋆∥2V(x)=\|x-x^\star\|^2V(x)=∥x−x⋆∥2 satisfies RγV≤λγV+γcR_\gamma V\le\lambda^\gamma V+\gamma cRγ​V≤λγV+γc for γ∈(0,γˉ]\gamma\in(0,\bar\gamma]γ∈(0,γˉ​].
  6. Lemma 1, p. 5: such a drift gives QγnV(x)≤F(λ,Γn,c,γ1,V(x))Q^n_\gamma V(x)\le F(\lambda,\Gamma_n,c,\gamma_1,V(x))Qγn​V(x)≤F(λ,Γn​,c,γ1​,V(x)).
  7. Proposition 2, p. 5: the decomposition bound (10), given the geometric ergodicity (3) of the diffusion.

The paper's proofs follow each statement in the body of the paper (§4.1, §4.12, §5, §5.1).

Significance

The theorem bounds the sampling error of ULA in total variation non-asymptotically, with a dimension-free contraction rate κ\kappaκ and constants polynomial in ddd. With steps decreasing to zero and cumulative step size diverging, its bound gives convergence of δxQγp\delta_xQ^p_\gammaδx​Qγp​ to π\piπ; for constant steps, the paper reports iteration counts of order dlog⁡dd\log ddlogd at a prescribed precision in Table 2. H3 covers log-concave targets whose potential can lack strong convexity inside a ball.

The result is proved in the paper but, as far as the platform's catalogue shows, not formalized anywhere. A formalization adds machine-checked versions of several reusable pieces:

  • a Foster–Lyapunov moment bound for time-inhomogeneous Markov chains (Lemma 1);
  • a Girsanov–Pinsker discretisation estimate for Euler schemes (Proposition 2);
  • a reflection-coupling contraction for diffusions with monotone drift (56), Theorem 36.

Difficulty

The ULA chain is not reversible with respect to π\piπ, so the spectral and Dirichlet-form tools of reversible MCMC do not apply to it directly. The bound must instead compare the chain with the continuous diffusion.

That comparison needs Girsanov's theorem on path space and a uniform control of ∫∥∇U∥2\int\|\nabla U\|^2∫∥∇U∥2 along a time-inhomogeneous chain.

The rate of the diffusion itself is the second obstacle. Without global strong convexity, synchronous coupling gives no contraction inside the ball ∥x−y∥<Ms\|x-y\|<M_s∥x−y∥<Ms​. An explicit rate requires a reflection coupling together with return-time estimates, and it has to be transferred through the time change between dY=−∇U dt+2dBdY=-\nabla U\,dt+\sqrt2dBdY=−∇Udt+2​dB and dX=−12∇U dt+dBdX=-\frac12\nabla U\,dt+dBdX=−21​∇Udt+dB.

Formalization scope

The state space is the published EthierKurtz.SDEState d, i.e. EuclideanSpace ℝ (Fin d), and Brownian motion and strong solutions are the published EthierKurtz.IsStandardBrownian and EthierKurtz.SolvesBrownianSDE. The conventions are:

  • Semigroup. A semigroup is pinned down by the laws of solutions. PPP is the semigroup of dX=b(X)dt+s dBdX=b(X)dt+s\,dBdX=b(X)dt+sdB when every strong solution from xxx, on every probability space, has time-ttt law Pt(x,⋅)P_t(x,\cdot)Pt​(x,⋅). The Langevin case is b=−∇Ub=-\nabla Ub=−∇U, s=2s=\sqrt2s=2​.
  • Total variation. It is the sup⁡∣f∣≤1\sup_{|f|\le1}sup∣f∣≤1​ norm. Using sup⁡A∣μ(A)−ν(A)∣\sup_A|\mu(A)-\nu(A)|supA​∣μ(A)−ν(A)∣ instead would halve every bound.
  • ULA. The laws δxQγn\delta_xQ^n_\gammaδx​Qγn​ are iterated Measure.bind with the Gaussian kernel N(x−γ∇U(x),2γId)\mathcal N(x-\gamma\nabla U(x),2\gamma I_d)N(x−γ∇U(x),2γId​). Steps are indexed from 111, and Γn,p=0\Gamma_{n,p}=0Γn,p​=0 for p<np<np<n.
  • Moments. Upper-bounded moments (QγnVQ^n_\gamma VQγn​V, ∫∥∇U∥2\int\|\nabla U\|^2∫∥∇U∥2, ∫∥y−x⋆∥2dπ\int\|y-x^\star\|^2d\pi∫∥y−x⋆∥2dπ) are lower Lebesgue integrals, so a non-integrable function cannot make a bound free. A(γ,x)≤aA(\gamma,x)\le aA(γ,x)≤a is a bound for every kkk, not a real supremum.
  • Normalisation of π\piπ. No hypothesis ∫e−U<∞\int e^{-U}<\infty∫e−U<∞ is added; it follows from L1 and H3.
  • Quantile. Φ−1(u)=inf⁡{z:Φ(z)≥u}\Phi^{-1}(u)=\inf\{z:\Phi(z)\ge u\}Φ−1(u)=inf{z:Φ(z)≥u}.
  • Logarithms and powers. λ\lambdaλ, κ\kappaκ lie in (0,1)(0,1)(0,1), so the logarithms and real powers are genuine.

Several hypotheses are added or read in a particular way, and each is disclosed in the item's statement:

  • x⋆x^\starx⋆. It is a bound variable with the hypothesis that it minimises UUU; the paper uses x⋆x^\starx⋆ in §3.3 without defining it.
  • Proposition 20. The dimension is positive so its printed c=2(d+mMs2)c=2(d+mM_s^2)c=2(d+mMs2​) satisfies (6)'s requirement c>0c>0c>0; this is stated in Lean.
  • Lemma 1. It carries the §2 standing assumption L1, which makes the Euler transition family measurable in its starting point. It is stated for Borel V≥0V\ge0V≥0 rather than V≥1V\ge1V≥1, because Theorem 21 applies it to ∥x−x⋆∥2\|x-x^\star\|^2∥x−x⋆∥2.
  • Proposition 2. It assumes (3) only at μ0=δxQγn\mu_0=\delta_xQ^n_\gammaμ0​=δx​Qγn​, with finite CCC and a finite bound on A(γ,x)A(\gamma,x)A(γ,x).
  • (11). The printed Qγk(y,dz)Q^k_\gamma(y,dz)Qγk​(y,dz) is read as Qγk(x,dz)Q^k_\gamma(x,dz)Qγk​(x,dz).

The citations [20] (existence of solutions), [27] (Lindvall), [32] (Meyn–Tweedie) and Girsanov's theorem are used inside the proofs and are not restated.

The library work needed is substantial: Itô calculus for the reflection coupling, Girsanov's theorem, Pinsker's inequality in this norm, and generator–drift arguments for the moments of π\piπ. Contributions of any of these as standalone platform theorems are welcome.

Selected references

  • A. Durmus, É. Moulines, Nonasymptotic convergence analysis for the unadjusted Langevin algorithm, Ann. Appl. Probab. 27(3), 2017; cited as arXiv:1507.05021v3. https://arxiv.org/abs/1507.05021
  • A. S. Dalalyan, Theoretical guarantees for approximate sampling from smooth and log-concave densities, J. R. Stat. Soc. B 79(3), 2017. https://arxiv.org/abs/1412.7392
  • T. Lindvall, L. C. G. Rogers, Coupling of multidimensional diffusions by reflection, Ann. Probab. 14(3), 1986. https://doi.org/10.1214/aop/1176992436
  • S. P. Meyn, R. L. Tweedie, Stability of Markovian processes III: Foster–Lyapunov criteria for continuous-time processes, Adv. Appl. Probab. 25(3), 1993. https://doi.org/10.2307/1427522
  • G. O. Roberts, R. L. Tweedie, Exponential convergence of Langevin distributions and their discrete approximations, Bernoulli 2(4), 1996. https://doi.org/10.2307/3318418
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Control TheoryDynamic ProgrammingProbability+1·Captain: mikedeng1

McKean–Vlasov Optimal Control: The Dynamic Programming Principle 1: The Weak Formulation's Value Function Is Upper Semi-Analytic and Satisfies the DPPResearch Paper

Motivation

A McKean–Vlasov control problem asks a planner to steer a stochastic differential equation whose coefficients depend not only on the current path of the state but also on its (conditional) distribution. Such problems describe the cooperative optimum of a large population of interacting agents: when each agent reacts to the empirical distribution of all others and a social planner chooses everybody's control, the limit as the population grows is a McKean–Vlasov control problem (Lacker 2017). When all agents are also exposed to a common noise (a shared source of randomness, such as a market factor), the relevant distribution is the conditional law of the state given that noise.

Bellman's dynamic programming principle (DPP) is the standard route from a control problem to its Hamilton–Jacobi–Bellman equation and to verification arguments. For McKean–Vlasov dynamics it fails in the naive state variable, because the problem is time-inconsistent; it can be recovered by taking the (conditional) law of the state as the state.

Timeline. Laurière and Pironneau (2014) and Bensoussan, Frehse and Yam (2013–2017) proved a DPP for densities of the state law. Pham and Wei (2017, SICON) proved a DPP over closed-loop controls in a Markovian setting with a common-noise filtration, under regularity assumptions; Pham and Wei (2018, ESAIM:COCV) treated the case without common noise. Bayraktar, Cosso and Pham (2018, Trans. AMS) obtained a randomised DPP, again Markovian and without common noise. Djete, Possamaï and Tan (2022) proved the DPP for the general non-Markovian problem with common noise, under Borel measurability of the coefficients only. This mission formalizes their DPP for the weak formulation.

Setting

Fix a horizon T>0T>0T>0, dimensions n,d,ℓ∈Nn,d,\ell\in\mathbb Nn,d,ℓ∈N, a nonempty Polish space (U,ρ)(U,\rho)(U,ρ) of control values, a point u0∈Uu_0\in Uu0​∈U and an exponent p≥0p\ge0p≥0. Let Ck:=C([0,T],Rk)\mathcal C^k:=C([0,T],\mathbb R^k)Ck:=C([0,T],Rk) with the uniform norm, P(E)\mathcal P(E)P(E) the Borel probability measures on EEE with the weak topology, and xt∧⋅x_{t\wedge\cdot}xt∧⋅​ the path xxx stopped at time ttt. The coefficients b,σ,σ0,Lb,\sigma,\sigma_0,Lb,σ,σ0​,L are maps [0,T]×Cn×P(Cn×U)×U→Rn,Rn×d,Rn×ℓ,R[0,T]\times\mathcal C^n\times\mathcal P(\mathcal C^n\times U)\times U\to\mathbb R^n,\mathbb R^{n\times d},\mathbb R^{n\times\ell},\mathbb R[0,T]×Cn×P(Cn×U)×U→Rn,Rn×d,Rn×ℓ,R, and g:Cn×P(Cn)→Rg:\mathcal C^n\times\mathcal P(\mathcal C^n)\to\mathbb Rg:Cn×P(Cn)→R; all are Borel measurable, and b,σ,σ0,Lb,\sigma,\sigma_0,Lb,σ,σ0​,L depend on the path and the measure only through their restrictions to [0,t][0,t][0,t] (non-anticipative).

A weak control γ\gammaγ with initial condition (t,ν)∈[0,T]×P(Cn)(t,\nu)\in[0,T]\times\mathcal P(\mathcal C^n)(t,ν)∈[0,T]×P(Cn) consists of a probability space carrying two filtrations Fγ⊇Gγ\mathbb F^\gamma\supseteq\mathbb G^\gammaFγ⊇Gγ (the second models the common noise), a state XγX^\gammaXγ, Brownian motions WγW^\gammaWγ (idiosyncratic) and BγB^\gammaBγ (common) on [t,T][t,T][t,T], a predictable UUU-valued control αγ\alpha^\gammaαγ, and measure-valued processes μsγ=L(Xs∧⋅γ∣Gsγ)\mu^\gamma_s=\mathcal L(X^\gamma_{s\wedge\cdot}\mid\mathcal G^\gamma_s)μsγ​=L(Xs∧⋅γ​∣Gsγ​) and μˉsγ=L((Xs∧⋅γ,αsγ)∣Gsγ)\bar\mu^\gamma_s=\mathcal L((X^\gamma_{s\wedge\cdot},\alpha^\gamma_s)\mid\mathcal G^\gamma_s)μˉ​sγ​=L((Xs∧⋅γ​,αsγ​)∣Gsγ​), such that Xt∧⋅γ∼ν(t)X^\gamma_{t\wedge\cdot}\sim\nu(t)Xt∧⋅γ​∼ν(t), an integrability condition of order ppp holds, a compatibility condition between the two filtrations holds, and

dXsγ=b(s,Xγ,μˉsγ,αsγ) ds+σ(s,Xγ,μˉsγ,αsγ) dWsγ+σ0(s,Xγ,μˉsγ,αsγ) dBsγ,s∈[t,T].dX^\gamma_s=b(s,X^\gamma,\bar\mu^\gamma_s,\alpha^\gamma_s)\,ds+\sigma(s,X^\gamma,\bar\mu^\gamma_s,\alpha^\gamma_s)\,dW^\gamma_s+\sigma_0(s,X^\gamma,\bar\mu^\gamma_s,\alpha^\gamma_s)\,dB^\gamma_s,\qquad s\in[t,T].dXsγ​=b(s,Xγ,μˉ​sγ​,αsγ​)ds+σ(s,Xγ,μˉ​sγ​,αsγ​)dWsγ​+σ0​(s,Xγ,μˉ​sγ​,αsγ​)dBsγ​,s∈[t,T].

The reward and the value function are

J(t,γ)=E[∫tTL(s,Xs∧⋅γ,μˉsγ,αsγ) ds+g(XT∧⋅γ,μTγ)],VW(t,ν)=sup⁡γ∈ΓW(t,ν)J(t,γ),J(t,\gamma)=\mathbb E\Big[\int_t^TL(s,X^\gamma_{s\wedge\cdot},\bar\mu^\gamma_s,\alpha^\gamma_s)\,ds+g(X^\gamma_{T\wedge\cdot},\mu^\gamma_T)\Big],\qquad V_W(t,\nu)=\sup_{\gamma\in\Gamma_W(t,\nu)}J(t,\gamma),J(t,γ)=E[∫tT​L(s,Xs∧⋅γ​,μˉ​sγ​,αsγ​)ds+g(XT∧⋅γ​,μTγ​)],VW​(t,ν)=γ∈ΓW​(t,ν)sup​J(t,γ),

with ∞−∞:=−∞\infty-\infty:=-\infty∞−∞:=−∞ and sup⁡∅=−∞\sup\emptyset=-\inftysup∅=−∞. Each weak control also carries Asγ=∫ts∨tπ(αrγ) drA^\gamma_s=\int_t^{s\vee t}\pi(\alpha^\gamma_r)\,drAsγ​=∫ts∨t​π(αrγ​)dr, where π\piπ is a Borel isomorphism of UUU onto a subset of [0,1][0,1][0,1], and the continuous conditional-law process μ^γ\hat\mu^\gammaμ^​γ of (Xγ,Aγ,Wγ,Bγ)(X^\gamma,A^\gamma,W^\gamma,B^\gamma)(Xγ,Aγ,Wγ,Bγ) given Gγ\mathbb G^\gammaGγ.

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem 3.1

VW:[0,T]×P(Cn)→[−∞,∞]V_W:[0,T]\times\mathcal P(\mathcal C^n)\to[-\infty,\infty]VW​:[0,T]×P(Cn)→[−∞,∞] is upper semi-analytic (every superlevel set {VW>c}\{V_W>c\}{VW​>c} is analytic), and for every stopping time τ⋆\tau^\starτ⋆ of the canonical filtration of Ω⋆:=Cℓ×C([0,T],P(Cn×C×Cd×Cℓ))\Omega^\star:=\mathcal C^\ell\times C([0,T],\mathcal P(\mathcal C^n\times\mathcal C\times\mathcal C^d\times\mathcal C^\ell))Ω⋆:=Cℓ×C([0,T],P(Cn×C×Cd×Cℓ)) with values in [t,T][t,T][t,T], setting τγ:=τ⋆(Bγ,t,μ^γ)\tau^\gamma:=\tau^\star(B^{\gamma,t},\hat\mu^\gamma)τγ:=τ⋆(Bγ,t,μ^​γ),

VW(t,ν)=sup⁡γ∈ΓW(t,ν)E[∫tτγL(s,Xs∧⋅γ,μˉsγ,αsγ) ds+VW(τγ,μτγγ)].V_W(t,\nu)=\sup_{\gamma\in\Gamma_W(t,\nu)}\mathbb E\Big[\int_t^{\tau^\gamma}L(s,X^\gamma_{s\wedge\cdot},\bar\mu^\gamma_s,\alpha^\gamma_s)\,ds+V_W(\tau^\gamma,\mu^\gamma_{\tau^\gamma})\Big].VW​(t,ν)=γ∈ΓW​(t,ν)sup​E[∫tτγ​L(s,Xs∧⋅γ​,μˉ​sγ​,αsγ​)ds+VW​(τγ,μτγγ​)].

Milestones

The canonical reformulation on Ωˉ:=Ω^×C([0,T],P(Ω^))\bar\Omega:=\hat\Omega\times C([0,T],\mathcal P(\hat\Omega))Ωˉ:=Ω^×C([0,T],P(Ω^)) with weak control rules PˉW(t,ν)\bar{\mathcal P}_W(t,\nu)PˉW​(t,ν) (Definition 4.1): Lemma 4.4(i) (weak controls and weak control rules correspond), Corollary 4.6 (VW(t,ν)=sup⁡Pˉ∈PˉW(t,ν)J(t,Pˉ)V_W(t,\nu)=\sup_{\bar{\mathbb P}\in\bar{\mathcal P}_W(t,\nu)}J(t,\bar{\mathbb P})VW​(t,ν)=supPˉ∈PˉW​(t,ν)​J(t,Pˉ)), Lemma 4.7 (analytic graphs, VWV_WVW​ u.s.a.), Lemma 4.8 (stability under conditioning at a stopping time), Lemma 4.9 (dependence on the initial law only through ν^(t)\hat\nu(t)ν^(t)), (4.10) (moment truncation VWM↗VWV^M_W\nearrow V_WVWM​↗VW​, analytic and u.s.a.) and Lemma 4.10 (universally measurable ε\varepsilonε-optimal families and concatenation).

Significance

The result. The theorem gives the DPP for McKean–Vlasov control with common noise in a non-Markovian setting, with no regularity on the coefficients beyond Borel measurability and no integrability on the rewards. It is the starting point for the dynamic programming (HJB) equation on the space of probability measures, for the Markovian corollaries of §3.2 of the paper, and, through the equivalence of formulations in the companion work, for the strong formulations treated in the second mission of this series.

Formalizing it. The result is proved on paper; nothing of it is machine-checked. A formal development needs a working theory of weak controls with conditional laws, a controlled martingale problem on a space of measure-valued paths, and analytic-set measurability in continuous time. None of these exists in Mathlib, and the analytic-selection layer on Prove2Me (Bertsekas–Shreve, Chapter 7) is stated but not yet proved.

Difficulty

The obvious argument conditions an optimal-ish control on its information at the stopping time and pastes in near-optimal controls from the conditioned states. Each step fails without additional structure: VWV_WVW​ is not known to be measurable, so E[VW(τγ,μτγγ)]\mathbb E[V_W(\tau^\gamma,\mu^\gamma_{\tau^\gamma})]E[VW​(τγ,μτγγ​)] is not obviously meaningful; conditioning a weak control on its information at τγ\tau^\gammaτγ need not yield a weak control, because the conditional-law constraint involves the common-noise filtration and a compatibility condition between filtrations; and choosing a near-optimal control for each conditioned state is a selection problem over an uncountable family of probability spaces. The state of the problem is a law, which is itself defined only up to null sets, so random-time evaluations such as μτγγ\mu^\gamma_{\tau^\gamma}μτγγ​ need a continuous version.

Formalization scope

The Lean development lives in the namespace MKVDPP.Weak. Conventions:

  • Times are in R≥0\mathbb R_{\ge0}R≥0​; paths are elements of C([0,T],Rk)C([0,T],\mathbb R^k)C([0,T],Rk) with Rk\mathbb R^kRk Euclidean; a path is read at times beyond TTT as its value at TTT.
  • Expectations and time integrals are E[ξ+]−E[ξ−]\mathbb E[\xi^+]-\mathbb E[\xi^-]E[ξ+]−E[ξ−] in [−∞,∞][-\infty,\infty][−∞,∞] with ∞−∞=−∞\infty-\infty=-\infty∞−∞=−∞, computed as lower integrals.
  • The supremum defining VWV_WVW​ ranges over weak controls on probability spaces in Type (universe 0).
  • "The integrals are implicitly assumed to be well-defined" is pinned to local Itô integrals (EthierKurtz.HasBrownianItoIntegral) of integrands that are a.s. square integrable on [t,T][t,T][t,T], taken against the shifted Brownian motions Wγ,tW^{\gamma,t}Wγ,t, Bγ,tB^{\gamma,t}Bγ,t; no L2(P)L^2(\mathbb P)L2(P) condition, which would shrink ΓW\Gamma_WΓW​.
  • The conditional-law requirement "for dP⊗dsd\mathbb P\otimes dsdP⊗ds-a.e. (s,ω)(s,\omega)(s,ω)" is read in Fubini form; μTγ\mu^\gamma_TμTγ​ and μτγγ\mu^\gamma_{\tau^\gamma}μτγγ​ are the XXX-marginals of the continuous process μ^γ\hat\mu^\gammaμ^​γ.
  • "Local martingale on [t,T][t,T][t,T]" in Definition 4.1 is pinned to: every localised process Sφ,mS^{\varphi,m}Sφ,m, m≥1m\ge1m≥1, is an (Fˉ,Pˉ)(\bar{\mathbb F},\bar{\mathbb P})(Fˉ,Pˉ)-martingale on [t,T][t,T][t,T]. The page integrates ∣Sˉ∣|\bar S|∣Sˉ∣ and Sˉφ\bar S^\varphiSˉφ from 000. Here they run from the initial time ttt, because before ttt the canonical control may be ∂\partial∂, where the coefficients are undefined, and a coefficient that is not integrable before ttt would empty P^W(t,⋅)\hat{\mathcal P}_W(t,\cdot)P^W​(t,⋅).
  • The cemetery value ∂\partial∂ of the canonical control is read as u0u_0u0​ inside the coefficients (a null set under Definition 4.1).
  • In (3.2), (+∞)+(−∞)(+\infty)+(-\infty)(+∞)+(−∞) inside the expectation is −∞-\infty−∞.
  • Lemma 4.4(i)'s converse carries the hypothesis that the canonical AAA is a.s. ∫t⋅∨tπ(αˉr) dr\int_t^{\cdot\vee t}\pi(\bar\alpha_r)\,dr∫t⋅∨t​π(αˉr​)dr; without it the converse is false, because Definition 4.1 leaves AAA before ttt unconstrained.

The goal does not mention the canonical space Ωˉ\bar\OmegaΩˉ, weak control rules or any selection; a formalization of ΓW\Gamma_WΓW​ that is empty, or a value function that is constant, would trivialize it. A sanity file exhibits a weak control in the degenerate case n=d=ℓ=0n=d=\ell=0n=d=ℓ=0 for every t≤Tt\le Tt≤T, so the structure is satisfiable.

Infrastructure a complete development needs: conditional laws and r.c.p.d. on Polish spaces, the predictable σ\sigmaσ-algebra, stochastic integrals against a filtration, the Stroock–Varadhan martingale problem, Itô's formula, and analytic sets with the Jankov–von Neumann selection theorem. The analytic-selection results and the martingale-problem/SDE correspondence are reusable well beyond this mission. Contributions on any milestone, and on proving the referenced Bertsekas–Shreve selection theorems, are welcome. Out of scope: Theorem 3.4 (it rests on the companion paper), the Markovian results of §3.2, and the HJB discussion of §3.3.

Selected references

  • M. F. Djete, D. Possamaï, X. Tan, McKean–Vlasov optimal control: the dynamic programming principle, Ann. Probab. 50(2), 2022; cited as arXiv:1907.08860v2. https://arxiv.org/abs/1907.08860v2
  • H. Pham, X. Wei, Dynamic programming for optimal control of stochastic McKean–Vlasov dynamics, SIAM J. Control Optim. 55(2):1069–1101, 2017. https://arxiv.org/abs/1604.04057
  • D. Lacker, Limit theory for controlled McKean–Vlasov dynamics, SIAM J. Control Optim. 55(3):1641–1672, 2017. https://arxiv.org/abs/1609.08064
  • N. El Karoui, X. Tan, Capacities, measurable selection and dynamic programming part II: application in stochastic control problems, 2013. https://arxiv.org/abs/1310.3364
  • E. Bayraktar, A. Cosso, H. Pham, Randomized dynamic programming principle and Feynman–Kac representation for optimal control of McKean–Vlasov dynamics, Trans. Amer. Math. Soc. 370(3):2115–2160, 2018. https://doi.org/10.1090/tran/7118
  • M. Laurière, O. Pironneau, Dynamic programming for mean-field type control, C. R. Math. Acad. Sci. Paris 352(9):707–713, 2014. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.crma.2014.07.008
  • A. Bensoussan, J. Frehse, S. Yam, Mean Field Games and Mean Field Type Control Theory, SpringerBriefs in Mathematics, Springer, 2013. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-1-4614-8508-7
  • D. Bertsekas, S. Shreve, Stochastic Optimal Control: The Discrete-Time Case, Academic Press, 1978. https://web.mit.edu/dimitrib/www/SOC_1978.pdf
  • D. Stroock, S. Varadhan, Multidimensional Diffusion Processes, Springer, 1997. https://doi.org/10.1007/3-540-28999-2
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Control TheoryDynamic ProgrammingProbability+1·Captain: mikedeng1

McKean–Vlasov Optimal Control: The Dynamic Programming Principle 2: Under Lipschitz Coefficients the Common-Noise-Adapted Strong Formulation Satisfies the DPPResearch Paper

Why common noise changes the control problem

A controller may act on a large population of interacting particles while all particles also experience a shared random disturbance. In the population limit, the state of a representative particle depends on the distribution of states conditional on the common noise. The controller therefore influences both its own state and the conditional population law. The usual state variable for dynamic programming must carry that law, and a future decision may use only information available from common noise. Djete, Possamaï and Tan establish a dynamic programming principle for this setting in McKean–Vlasov optimal control: the dynamic programming principle, Theorem 3.2. Their result permits path dependent coefficients and merely Borel reward functions, so ordinary continuity arguments do not determine the value function's measurability.

The paper distinguishes a weak formulation, in which the stochastic basis varies with the control, from a strong formulation on a fixed space. This mission concerns the latter, restricted to controls predictable from common noise, under the paper's Lipschitz and growth Assumption 2.8. The companion mission treats the weak dynamic programming principle, Theorem 3.1. The present mission asks for a machine checked account of the strong formulation and of the transfer between its intrinsic, fixed space and canonical descriptions.

State, noise and admissible controls

Fix a horizon T>0T>0T>0. A state trajectory belongs to Cn=C([0,T],Rn)\mathcal C^n=C([0,T],\mathbb R^n)Cn=C([0,T],Rn). The two driving noises are a ddd dimensional idiosyncratic Brownian motion WWW and an ℓ\ellℓ dimensional common Brownian motion BBB. The control space UUU is nonempty and Polish. At time sss, the controlled drift bbb and diffusions σ,σ0\sigma,\sigma_0σ,σ0​ may depend on the stopped state path Xs∧⋅X_{s\wedge\cdot}Xs∧⋅​, the control αs\alpha_sαs​, and the conditional law μˉs\bar\mu_sμˉ​s​ of the stopped state and control given common noise. The running and terminal rewards are LLL and ggg.

A B\mathbb BB strong control has a continuous state satisfying the controlled stochastic equation, the conditional laws required by the paper, finite quadratic control energy, and an α\alphaα predictable for the common noise filtration. Its reward J(t,γ)J(t,\gamma)J(t,γ) is the expected running reward from ttt to TTT plus the terminal reward. The value VSB(t,ν)V_S^{\mathbb B}(t,\nu)VSB​(t,ν) is the supremum of these rewards over such controls from initial path law ν\nuν. The initial law lies in P2(Cn)\mathcal P_2(\mathcal C^n)P2​(Cn), the laws with a finite second moment. The coefficient hypothesis uses the quadratic Wasserstein distance W2W_2W2​ and one constant C>0C>0C>0 for both a Lipschitz bound and a quadratic growth bound. These conditions are Assumption 2.8 of the source paper, p. 8.

The paper also fixes a canonical probability space Ωt\Omega^tΩt carrying an initial path and Brownian increments after ttt. Its common noise predictable controls form A2B(t,ν)\mathcal A_2^{\mathbb B}(t,\nu)A2B​(t,ν). Proposition 2.10 says this fixed space computes the same value as the intrinsic strong formulation. The precise probability law on Ωt\Omega^tΩt is characterized by the initial stopped path law and independent standard Brownian increments; the paper does not choose a unique construction.

Formalization targets

The goal is Theorem 3.2, p. 10. It first asserts that the value on [0,T]×P2(Cn)[0,T]\times\mathcal P_2(\mathcal C^n)[0,T]×P2​(Cn) is upper semi analytic: each strict superlevel set {(t,ν):VSB(t,ν)>c}\{(t,\nu):V_S^{\mathbb B}(t,\nu)>c\}{(t,ν):VSB​(t,ν)>c} is analytic. For an initial pair (t,ν)(t,\nu)(t,ν) and a stopping time τ∈[t,T]\tau\in[t,T]τ∈[t,T] for the raw common noise filtration on Ωt\Omega^tΩt, it then asserts

VSB(t,ν)=sup⁡α∈A2B(t,ν)E ⁣[∫tτL(s,Xs∧⋅α,μˉsα,αs) ds+VSB(τ,μτα)].V_S^{\mathbb B}(t,\nu)=\sup_{\alpha\in\mathcal A_2^{\mathbb B}(t,\nu)} \mathbb E\!\left[\int_t^\tau L(s,X^\alpha_{s\wedge\cdot},\bar\mu_s^\alpha,\alpha_s)\,ds +V_S^{\mathbb B}(\tau,\mu_\tau^\alpha)\right].VSB​(t,ν)=α∈A2B​(t,ν)sup​E[∫tτ​L(s,Xs∧⋅α​,μˉ​sα​,αs​)ds+VSB​(τ,μτα​)].

Here μτα\mu_\tau^\alphaμτα​ is the law of the stopped state conditional on information from common noise at τ\tauτ. The milestone sequence follows the paper's supporting results: strong solution existence and uniqueness (Theorem A.3(i)); equivalence of intrinsic and fixed space values (Proposition 2.10); induction of canonical rules from strong controls (the forward clause of Lemma 4.4(ii)); the canonical value identity (Corollary 4.6); the Wiener represented rule class and its value (Lemma 4.11); analytic rule graphs and value measurability (Lemma 4.12); and stability of a strong rule under conditioning at a stopping time (Lemma 4.13(i)). Each is a source indexed target, rather than an invented intermediate assertion.

What the result provides

The identity permits the value after a random common noise stopping time to be evaluated from the stopped conditional state law. This is the form needed to compare control decisions before and after a random observation time. Upper semi analyticity supplies measurable superlevel sets for the value even when LLL and ggg lack continuity. The paper proves these statements mathematically; the mission seeks their Lean formalization, not a new theorem about the underlying control problem.

A complete formalization would also provide reusable definitions of conditional measure valued flows, Brownian motion relative to a filtration over a shifted interval, a local Itô equation, and canonical martingale control rules. The two published Ethier–Kurtz definitions supply the local Itô relation and probability augmentation of a filtration. They are shared infrastructure rather than new statements of this paper.

Where the difficulty lies

The state law in the coefficients is conditional on common noise and changes with the control. A pathwise solution of the state equation must therefore remain consistent with its own conditional law. A naive argument that restarts an ordinary diffusion at τ\tauτ does not establish that consistency for a restarted control. It also does not ensure that a restarted control remains predictable from common noise. The paper's canonical rule formulation and its conditioning and measurability results address those obstructions. The reward may be unbounded and extended real valued, so the expectation convention and its behavior at infinite positive and negative parts matter to the statement itself.

Formalization scope and conventions

Paths are continuous maps on compact real intervals with uniform norm; Rk\mathbb R^kRk is Mathlib's Euclidean space, including k=0k=0k=0. Probability measures carry weak convergence topology, and P2\mathcal P_2P2​ is its finite second moment subtype. The product of path space and UUU uses Mathlib's product metric; matrix norms are Frobenius. Supremums range over admissible controls, solutions and conditional law versions. They are EReal valued, so the empty supremum is −∞-\infty−∞. The signed expectation is positive part minus negative part with ∞−∞=−∞\infty-\infty=-\infty∞−∞=−∞, as in the paper. The model fixes a Borel embedding of UUU into [0,1][0,1][0,1] and a cemetery control for invalid reconstructed paths.

The Lean statements pin the paper's implicit “well defined” stochastic integral to a pathwise square integrable local Itô relation and almost surely integrable drift. A conditional law equality stated for dP⊗dsd\mathbb P\otimes dsdP⊗ds almost every pair is expressed in Fubini form. The localized processes printed in Definition 4.1 define its local martingale requirement. The terminal law and the stopped law in the target are quantified as versions of their stated conditional distributions. The fixed canonical law is any law satisfying the paper's initial distribution and Brownian conditions; the target is stated for every such family. These conventions rule out free conditional laws, arbitrary future stopping times, and a value that is −∞-\infty−∞ solely because a formalization made the control class empty. A full development must establish nonemptiness and version independence as part of the cited supporting theory.

The scope ends with Theorem 3.2 and the listed milestones. Lemma 4.13(ii), the more involved measurable selection and concatenation result, remains a future contribution. Theorem 3.4 uses a separate companion result; the Markovian corollaries and the heuristic Hamilton–Jacobi discussion of §3.3 are outside this mission.

Selected references

  • M. F. Djete, D. Possamaï and X. Tan, McKean–Vlasov optimal control: the dynamic programming principle, arXiv:1907.08860v2, 2020; published in Annals of Probability 50(2), 2022. Preprint. This mission cites the preprint's page and theorem numbering.
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Control TheoryDynamical SystemsPartial Differential Equations·Captain: mikedeng1

Local Exponential H² Stabilization of a 2 × 2 Quasilinear Hyperbolic System Using Backstepping 2: Backstepping Feedback Makes a 2 × 2 Linear Hyperbolic System Vanish in Finite TimeResearch Paper

Motivation

Systems of two first-order hyperbolic equations with opposite transport speeds model open-channel flow (the Saint-Venant equations), gas pipelines, heat exchangers and traffic. In such systems one boundary is actuated, the other boundary reflects, and the coupling terms move energy between the two families of waves. Boundary feedback design for them is a standard problem of distributed-parameter control.

The backstepping method designs a feedback by means of an invertible Volterra integral transformation that turns the plant into a target system whose behaviour is known in closed form. Coron, Vazquez, Krstic and Bastin (arXiv:1208.6475; SIAM J. Control Optim. 51(3), 2013) carry out this design for a general linear 2×22\times22×2 hyperbolic system with spatially varying speeds and couplings, in §3 of their paper. The resulting linear feedback is the controller they later apply to a quasilinear system. This mission formalizes the linear result.

Timeline:

  • 2008: Krstic and Smyshlyaev, Backstepping boundary control for first-order hyperbolic PDEs and application to systems with actuator and sensor delays (Systems & Control Letters 57), give the scalar transport case.
  • 2012/2013: Coron, Vazquez, Krstic and Bastin treat the 2×22\times22×2 case. The kernel equations of the transformation form a Goursat-type system on a triangle, and they prove it is well-posed in their Appendix A.

Setting

Let ϵ1,ϵ2\epsilon_1,\epsilon_2ϵ1​,ϵ2​ be C1C^1C1 functions on [0,1][0,1][0,1] with ϵ1,ϵ2>0\epsilon_1,\epsilon_2>0ϵ1​,ϵ2​>0, let c1,c2c_1,c_2c1​,c2​ be continuous, and let q∈Rq\in\mathbb Rq∈R. The state w(x,t)=[u v]T∈R2w(x,t)=[u\ v]^T\in\mathbb R^2w(x,t)=[u v]T∈R2 solves

wt=Σ(x)wx+C(x)w,Σ=(−ϵ100ϵ2),C=(0c1c20),x∈[0,1], t≥0,w_t=\Sigma(x)w_x+C(x)w,\qquad \Sigma=\begin{pmatrix}-\epsilon_1&0\\0&\epsilon_2\end{pmatrix},\quad C=\begin{pmatrix}0&c_1\\c_2&0\end{pmatrix},\qquad x\in[0,1],\ t\ge0,wt​=Σ(x)wx​+C(x)w,Σ=(−ϵ1​0​0ϵ2​​),C=(0c2​​c1​0​),x∈[0,1], t≥0,

so uuu travels to the right and vvv to the left. The boundary conditions are u(0,t)=q v(0,t)u(0,t)=q\,v(0,t)u(0,t)=qv(0,t) and v(1,t)=U(t)v(1,t)=U(t)v(1,t)=U(t), where UUU is the control. The norm is ∥w(⋅,t)∥L2=∫01(u2+v2) dξ\|w(\cdot,t)\|_{L^2}=\sqrt{\int_0^1(u^2+v^2)\,d\xi}∥w(⋅,t)∥L2​=∫01​(u2+v2)dξ​.

The kernels Kvu,KvvK^{vu},K^{vv}Kvu,Kvv are functions on the triangle T={(x,ξ):0≤ξ≤x≤1}\mathcal T=\{(x,\xi):0\le\xi\le x\le1\}T={(x,ξ):0≤ξ≤x≤1} that solve

ϵ2(x)Kxvu−ϵ1(ξ)Kξvu=ϵ1′(ξ)Kvu+c2(ξ)Kvv,ϵ2(x)Kxvv+ϵ2(ξ)Kξvv=−ϵ2′(ξ)Kvv+c1(ξ)Kvu,\epsilon_2(x)K^{vu}_x-\epsilon_1(\xi)K^{vu}_\xi=\epsilon_1'(\xi)K^{vu}+c_2(\xi)K^{vv},\qquad \epsilon_2(x)K^{vv}_x+\epsilon_2(\xi)K^{vv}_\xi=-\epsilon_2'(\xi)K^{vv}+c_1(\xi)K^{vu},ϵ2​(x)Kxvu​−ϵ1​(ξ)Kξvu​=ϵ1′​(ξ)Kvu+c2​(ξ)Kvv,ϵ2​(x)Kxvv​+ϵ2​(ξ)Kξvv​=−ϵ2′​(ξ)Kvv+c1​(ξ)Kvu,

with Kvu(x,x)=−c2(x)/(ϵ1(x)+ϵ2(x))K^{vu}(x,x)=-c_2(x)/(\epsilon_1(x)+\epsilon_2(x))Kvu(x,x)=−c2​(x)/(ϵ1​(x)+ϵ2​(x)) and Kvv(x,0)=(qϵ1(0)/ϵ2(0))Kvu(x,0)K^{vv}(x,0)=(q\epsilon_1(0)/\epsilon_2(0))K^{vu}(x,0)Kvv(x,0)=(qϵ1​(0)/ϵ2​(0))Kvu(x,0). The control law (3.48) is

U(t)=∫01Kvu(1,ξ)u(ξ,t) dξ+∫01Kvv(1,ξ)v(ξ,t) dξ.U(t)=\int_0^1K^{vu}(1,\xi)u(\xi,t)\,d\xi+\int_0^1K^{vv}(1,\xi)v(\xi,t)\,d\xi .U(t)=∫01​Kvu(1,ξ)u(ξ,t)dξ+∫01​Kvv(1,ξ)v(ξ,t)dξ.

The target system is γt=Σ(x)γx\gamma_t=\Sigma(x)\gamma_xγt​=Σ(x)γx​ with α(0,t)=qβ(0,t)\alpha(0,t)=q\beta(0,t)α(0,t)=qβ(0,t) and β(1,t)=0\beta(1,t)=0β(1,t)=0, for γ=[α β]T\gamma=[\alpha\ \beta]^Tγ=[α β]T. The direct transformation is γ=w−∫0xK(x,ξ)w(ξ,t) dξ\gamma=w-\int_0^xK(x,\xi)w(\xi,t)\,d\xiγ=w−∫0x​K(x,ξ)w(ξ,t)dξ (3.23), with the full 2×22\times22×2 kernel KKK of (3.30)–(3.37). The inverse transformation is w=γ+∫0xL(x,ξ)γ(ξ,t) dξw=\gamma+\int_0^xL(x,\xi)\gamma(\xi,t)\,d\xiw=γ+∫0x​L(x,ξ)γ(ξ,t)dξ (3.38), with LLL solving (3.40)–(3.47). The finite time is

tF=∫01(1ϵ1(ξ)+1ϵ2(ξ))dξ.t_F=\int_0^1\left(\frac1{\epsilon_1(\xi)}+\frac1{\epsilon_2(\xi)}\right)d\xi .tF​=∫01​(ϵ1​(ξ)1​+ϵ2​(ξ)1​)dξ.

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem 3.2 (pp. 6–7)

For q≠0q\neq0q=0, every classical solution of the closed loop satisfies

∀λ>0 ∃c>0:∥w(⋅,t)∥L2≤c e−λt∥w(⋅,0)∥L2(t≥0),andw(x,t)=0  (x∈[0,1], t≥tF).\forall\lambda>0\ \exists c>0:\quad \|w(\cdot,t)\|_{L^2}\le c\,e^{-\lambda t}\|w(\cdot,0)\|_{L^2}\quad(t\ge0),\qquad\text{and}\qquad w(x,t)=0\ \ (x\in[0,1],\ t\ge t_F).∀λ>0 ∃c>0:∥w(⋅,t)∥L2​≤ce−λt∥w(⋅,0)∥L2​(t≥0),andw(x,t)=0  (x∈[0,1], t≥tF​).

Here ccc depends on λ\lambdaλ and the data but not on the solution.

Milestones

  1. Proposition 3.1 (p. 3): the same two conclusions for the target system under the section's q≠0q\neq0q=0 assumption.
  2. §3.2 (p. 5): if KKK solves (3.30)–(3.37), the transformation (3.23) maps every closed-loop solution to a target solution.
  3. §3.3 (p. 6): if LLL solves (3.40)–(3.47), the transformation (3.38) maps every solution of γt=Σγx\gamma_t=\Sigma\gamma_xγt​=Σγx​, α(0,t)=qβ(0,t)\alpha(0,t)=q\beta(0,t)α(0,t)=qβ(0,t), to a solution of (3.1) with u(0,t)=qv(0,t)u(0,t)=qv(0,t)u(0,t)=qv(0,t).
  4. §3.5 (p. 8): the conclusion of Theorem 3.2 for q=0q=0q=0, where (3.37) reads Kvv(x,0)=0K^{vv}(x,0)=0Kvv(x,0)=0.

Significance

The theorem shows that a single linear boundary feedback, computed once from the coefficients, drives every state of the system to zero in exactly the time tFt_FtF​. That time is the sum of the travel times of the two characteristic families across [0,1][0,1][0,1]. Exponential stability at every rate follows. The same feedback, rescaled, is the controller of the paper's main result, Theorem 4.1: local exponential H2H^2H2 stabilization of a quasilinear 2×22\times22×2 system, the subject of mission 3 of this series. The well-posedness of the kernel equations, Theorem A.1, is mission 1.

The result is proved in the paper. As far as is known, none of it has been machine-checked. A formal proof needs Volterra transformations of vector-valued functions with differentiation under a variable-limit integral, explicit solutions of transport equations along characteristics, and L2L^2L2 estimates for integral operators with continuous kernels. These tools apply to backstepping designs well beyond this paper.

Difficulty

Proposition 3.1 and the two mapping statements are calculations: an integration by parts and the explicit solution along characteristics. The difficulty of Theorem 3.2 is the step "the transformation is invertible", which the paper's proof takes for granted. The goal hypothesizes only Kvu,KvvK^{vu},K^{vv}Kvu,Kvv, so it is not enough to state the mapping and the inverse separately. The solver has to recover the full state from the target state: either build the remaining kernels Kuu,KuvK^{uu},K^{uv}Kuu,Kuv and the inverse kernel LLL, or argue directly from the closed (Kvu,Kvv)(K^{vu},K^{vv})(Kvu,Kvv) subsystem. Both routes need existence or uniqueness for Goursat-type problems, which the paper proves only in Appendix A. A second, routine obstacle is that the uniform constant ccc must be extracted from the finite-time interval [0,tF][0,t_F][0,tF​] using bounds on the kernels.

Formalization scope

  • States are w : ℝ → ℝ → Fin 2 → ℝ, space first, with Lean index 0 for the paper's first component.
  • Solutions are classical: jointly C1C^1C1 on R2\mathbb R^2R2, with the equations imposed on [0,1]×[0,∞)[0,1]\times[0,\infty)[0,1]×[0,∞). The value w(⋅,0)w(\cdot,0)w(⋅,0) replaces the paper's initial condition w0∈L2w_0\in L^2w0​∈L2. This is the theorem restricted to classical solutions; Mathlib has no Sobolev-space solution theory for these equations.
  • The coefficients and kernels are functions on R\mathbb RR and R2\mathbb R^2R2 with global regularity, and positivity is assumed only on [0,1][0,1][0,1].
  • The goal and Proposition 3.1 assume q≠0q\neq0q=0, the standing assumption of §§3.1–3.4. The separate §3.5 milestone covers q=0q=0q=0.
  • The right boundary condition of the closed loop is the feedback (3.48) evaluated on the same state, not a free input.
  • Only the "if" direction of the §3.2 equivalence is formalized.

Three trivializing readings are excluded. The constant ccc is quantified after the data and before the solution, so it cannot depend on the solution. The finite-time claim is vanishing for every t≥tFt\ge t_Ft≥tF​, with tFt_FtF​ exactly (3.8), not for some unspecified time. The kernels are pinned down by all four of (3.32), (3.33), (3.36), (3.37). With C1C^1C1 coefficients a solution exists (the paper's Theorem A.2), and a sanity file checks that the hypotheses admit a non-zero closed-loop solution.

Welcome contributions: lemmas on differentiating ∫0xK(x,ξ)w(ξ,t) dξ\int_0^xK(x,\xi)w(\xi,t)\,d\xi∫0x​K(x,ξ)w(ξ,t)dξ, transport equations along characteristics, and the invertibility of Volterra operators with continuous kernels.

The paper's proofs are on pp. 3–5 (Proposition 3.1), p. 5 (§3.2), p. 6 (§3.3) and p. 7 (Theorem 3.2).

Selected references

  • J.-M. Coron, R. Vazquez, M. Krstic, G. Bastin, Local Exponential H2H^2H2 Stabilization of a 2×22\times22×2 Quasilinear Hyperbolic System Using Backstepping, arXiv:1208.6475v1, 2012; SIAM J. Control Optim. 51(3), 2013. https://arxiv.org/abs/1208.6475
  • M. Krstic, A. Smyshlyaev, Backstepping boundary control for first-order hyperbolic PDEs and application to systems with actuator and sensor delays, Systems & Control Letters 57(9), 2008. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.sysconle.2008.02.005
  • M. Krstic, A. Smyshlyaev, Boundary Control of PDEs: A Course on Backstepping Designs, SIAM, 2008. https://doi.org/10.1137/1.9780898718607
7 thms1 active userReviewed
CombinatoricsGraph TheoryLinear algebra·Captain: mikedeng1

A Harary-Sachs Theorem for Hypergraphs: The Codegree-d Coefficient of the Characteristic Polynomial of a k-Graph as a Weighted Sum over Its Veblen InfragraphsResearch Paper

Motivation

The characteristic polynomial of an ordinary graph records spectral information in coefficients that can also be described by finite graph configurations. The classical Harary–Sachs theorem is an instance of this connection. For a uniform hypergraph, the adjacency object is a tensor rather than a matrix, and its characteristic polynomial is defined through a multivariate resultant. Clark and Cooper's hypergraph theorem gives a corresponding coefficient formula. It identifies the configurations that replace the elementary subgraphs of the graph case and assigns them weights determined by directed Eulerian structures. The result makes a tensor spectral invariant accessible through finite combinatorial objects.

The article appeared as Gregory J. Clark and Joshua N. Cooper, A Harary-Sachs theorem for hypergraphs, Journal of Combinatorial Theory, Series B (2021), DOI 10.1016/j.jctb.2021.01.002. This mission follows the pinned arXiv version 2, whose page and theorem numbers are used below.

Setting

A simple kkk-graph H=([n],E)\mathcal H=([n],E)H=([n],E) has a fixed vertex set of nnn labeled vertices and a set EEE of distinct edges, each containing exactly kkk vertices. Isolated vertices remain part of [n][n][n]. The normalized adjacency hypermatrix AH\mathcal A_{\mathcal H}AH​ gives an ordered kkk-tuple the value 1/(k−1)!1/(k-1)!1/(k−1)! when its underlying set is an edge, and zero otherwise. This normalization makes every ordering of the other k−1k-1k−1 vertices contribute the intended total weight.

The characteristic polynomial ϕ(H)\phi(\mathcal H)ϕ(H) is the multivariate resultant of the coordinates of (λI−AH)xk−1(\lambda\mathcal I-\mathcal A_{\mathcal H})x^{k-1}(λI−AH​)xk−1. The resultant is characterized by three conditions: it vanishes exactly when homogeneous coordinate polynomials have a nonzero common complex root, it evaluates to one on the coordinate monomials, and it is irreducible over the complex coefficient field. Its degree in λ\lambdaλ is t=n(k−1)n−1t=n(k-1)^{n-1}t=n(k−1)n−1. The codegree-ddd coefficient ϕd(H)\phi_d(\mathcal H)ϕd​(H) is the coefficient of λt−d\lambda^{t-d}λt−d; this degree is fixed from the source theorem and is not read from an implementation of ϕ\phiϕ.

A multi-hypergraph SSS is a multiset of kkk-element edges. It is Veblen when the degree of every vertex is divisible by kkk. Its flattening discards repeated edges, so SSS is an infragraph of H\mathcal HH when every edge of its flattening belongs to EEE. Components use only vertices covered by edges; a labeled object may still sit in a larger ambient vertex set with unused vertices.

A rooting of SSS is a sequence of its edges, each assigned a root vertex in that edge, with roots in nondecreasing order. An edge rooted at uuu contributes a directed arc u→vu\to vu→v to every other vertex vvv of the edge. Summing these arcs with multiplicity produces a directed multigraph DRD_RDR​. An Euler rooting has balanced in- and out-degrees and connected positive-degree vertices. Its arborescence number τ(DR)\tau(D_R)τ(DR​) counts spanning trees of these active vertices directed toward a specified root, with parallel arcs distinguished. For connected SSS, its associated coefficient is

CS=∑R: DR Eulerianτ(DR)∏v∈V(DR)deg⁡−(v).C_S=\sum_{R:\,D_R\text{ Eulerian}}\frac{\tau(D_R)}{\prod_{v\in V(D_R)}\deg^-(v)}.CS​=R:DR​ Eulerian∑​∏v∈V(DR​)​deg−(v)τ(DR​)​.

For disconnected SSS, CSC_SCS​ is the product of the coefficients of its connected components. These conventions follow Definitions 6–10 in the source.

Formalization targets

Differential trace and Euler rootings

The supporting targets identify when a monomial differential operator contributes to a matrix trace, and show that an Euler rooting determines a connected Veblen multi-hypergraph. The operator identity is counted by Euler tours with distinguishable parallel arcs. The resultant-to-trace identity quoted in the paper is also a milestone:

ϕd(H)=Pd(−Tr⁡1(H)/1,…,−Tr⁡d(H)/d).\phi_d(\mathcal H)=P_d\left(-\operatorname{Tr}_1(\mathcal H)/1,\ldots,-\operatorname{Tr}_d(\mathcal H)/d\right).ϕd​(H)=Pd​(−Tr1​(H)/1,…,−Trd​(H)/d).

Here PdP_dPd​ is the paper's sum over positive compositions of ddd, and Tr⁡j\operatorname{Tr}_jTrj​ is its differential trace from Equation (1).

Harary–Sachs coefficient formula

The goal uses the labeled form of Theorem 14. Let Tm(d,H)\mathscr T_m(d,\mathcal H)Tm​(d,H) be the set of ordered mmm-tuples (S1,…,Sm)(S_1,\ldots,S_m)(S1​,…,Sm​) of connected labeled Veblen infragraphs whose edge counts sum to ddd. Then

ϕd(H)=∑m=1d(−(k−1)n)mm!∑(S1,…,Sm)∈Tm(d,H)∏i=1mCSi.\phi_d(\mathcal H)=\sum_{m=1}^{d}\frac{\bigl(-(k-1)^n\bigr)^m}{m!}\sum_{(S_1,\ldots,S_m)\in\mathscr T_m(d,\mathcal H)}\prod_{i=1}^{m}C_{S_i}.ϕd​(H)=m=1∑d​m!(−(k−1)n)m​(S1​,…,Sm​)∈Tm​(d,H)∑​i=1∏m​CSi​​.

The paper prints the equivalent sum over isomorphism classes, using automorphism groups and the copy weight (#H⊆H)(\#H\subseteq\mathcal H)(#H⊆H). The labeled expression is the result before that grouping. The isomorphism-class statement is outside this mission's Lean target and remains a separate formalization task.

Significance

The theorem expresses a coefficient of a resultant, defined algebraically over complex common roots, as a finite rational weighted sum over hypergraph configurations. It extends the graph case while preserving the exact normalization, sign, component count, and coefficient index. The formula can be used to study low codegree coefficients by enumerating finite Veblen infragraphs and their Euler rootings. Clark and Cooper also use associated coefficients to compare different hypergraph structures in the paper.

The formal development separates the resultant, the differential trace, and the combinatorial counts into reusable definitions. It would provide machine-checked statements of the paper's main equality and several links between those definitions. The Lean theorems in this draft are open targets with sorry placeholders; compiling their statements does not constitute a machine-checked proof of the paper's claims.

Difficulty

The ordinary matrix determinant has a direct expansion by permutations. A tensor characteristic polynomial is a multivariate resultant, so that expansion does not directly reveal which hypergraphs contribute to a coefficient. The trace side uses repeated partial derivatives, and repeated hyperedges can create several distinct rootings with the same directed arc multiplicities. Counting only a multiset of root assignments loses those orderings and changes the coefficient. The Eulerian condition, arborescence multiplicities, and factorial factors must agree simultaneously for the algebraic and combinatorial expressions to match.

Formalization scope

The Lean representation uses Fin n vertices, finite sets of simple edges, multisets of repeated edges, rational adjacency weights, and complex polynomials only for the resultant criterion. It assumes k≥2k\ge2k≥2, n≥1n\ge1n≥1, and 1≤d≤n(k−1)n−11\le d\le n(k-1)^{n-1}1≤d≤n(k−1)n−1. The source fixes k≥2k\ge2k≥2, and the latter two bounds expose the domain in which the printed coefficient expansion and its proof use ddd. An isolated vertex of H\mathcal HH counts in nnn and in (k−1)n(k-1)^n(k−1)n, while isolated vertices do not pad a multi-hypergraph component.

The formalization takes a polynomial satisfying the resultant's common-root, normalization, and irreducibility properties as an input. Separate sanity proofs give witnesses in the one-variable degree-zero and degree-one cases; degree one covers the first goal-domain degree when k=2k=2k=2. The characteristic polynomial is evaluated from this polynomial, never defined by the trace identity. Rootings are sequences, arborescences are directed toward the least positive-degree vertex, and the associated coefficient is calculated on covered vertices. The goal uses the labeled sum, so no automorphism is computed on an ambient padded vertex set. Contributions formalizing the omitted isomorphism-class equivalence, the BEST circuit count, and proofs of the stated targets are welcome.

Selected references

  • Gregory J. Clark and Joshua N. Cooper, A Harary-Sachs theorem for hypergraphs, Journal of Combinatorial Theory, Series B, 2021. arXiv:1812.00468v2; DOI 10.1016/j.jctb.2021.01.002.
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Edge-Transitive Bi-Cayley Graphs 3: Every Connected Semisymmetric Bi-Dihedrant Has Valency at Least 6, and Semisymmetric Bi-Dihedrants of Valency 2k Exist for Each Odd k ≥ 3Research Paper

Motivation

A graph may have enough symmetry for every edge to look the same while its vertices still fall into two distinct classes. Such a graph is semisymmetric when it has constant valency, is edge-transitive, and is not vertex-transitive. Conder, Zhou, Feng and Zhang study this phenomenon among bi-Cayley graphs, graphs equipped with a group acting freely on two vertex orbits. Their dihedral case supplies examples related to questions of Marušič and Potočnik about semisymmetric tetracirculants. It also asks how small the valency of a semisymmetric graph with this specific group action can be. The paper states that six is the minimum and that examples occur at every valency 2k2k2k with odd k≥3k\ge3k≥3 (Conder et al., Theorem 1.5 and its introduction, p. 3).

The authors develop the bi-Cayley setting and the relevant automorphism actions before reaching the dihedral result. The lower bound appears as Theorem 6.1, while Example 6.2 defines a graph family and Proposition 6.4 gives a semisymmetry criterion for its odd-kkk members (Conder et al., pp. 11–13). This mission targets those claims within a single formal graph model. The final sentence of Theorem 1.5, concerning an edge-regular family, depends on the separate Theorem 6.5 and is outside this goal.

Setting

Let HHH be a finite group. Choose subsets R,L,S⊆HR,L,S\subseteq HR,L,S⊆H with R−1=RR^{-1}=RR−1=R, L−1=LL^{-1}=LL−1=L, 1∉R∪L1\notin R\cup L1∈/R∪L, and ∣R∣=∣L∣|R|=|L|∣R∣=∣L∣. The graph BiCay⁡(H,R,L,S)\operatorname{BiCay}(H,R,L,S)BiCay(H,R,L,S) has two labelled copies of each element of HHH, written h0h_0h0​ and h1h_1h1​. For each h∈Hh\in Hh∈H, it joins h0h_0h0​ to (xh)0(xh)_0(xh)0​ when x∈Rx\in Rx∈R, joins h1h_1h1​ to (yh)1(yh)_1(yh)1​ when y∈Ly\in Ly∈L, and joins h0h_0h0​ to (zh)1(zh)_1(zh)1​ when z∈Sz\in Sz∈S. These are unoriented edges. Right multiplication by HHH preserves the graph and acts regularly on each of its two vertex copies (Conder et al., pp. 1 and 4).

A bi-dihedrant is a bi-Cayley graph whose group is dihedral. Write Dn=⟨a,b∣an=b2=(ab)2=1⟩D_n=\langle a,b\mid a^n=b^2=(ab)^2=1\rangleDn​=⟨a,b∣an=b2=(ab)2=1⟩ for the dihedral group of degree n≥3n\ge3n≥3. Graph valency is the number of neighbours of a vertex. Connectedness is required throughout the paper. For a semisymmetric graph the common valency exists by definition, but the formal statements quantify over every vertex so that the numerical claims refer to the actual graph degree (Conder et al., definitions on p. 4 and Theorem 6.1 on p. 11).

The constructed family Γ(n,λ,2k)\Gamma(n,\lambda,2k)Γ(n,λ,2k) uses n≥5n\ge5n≥5, k≥2k\ge2k≥2, and a residue λ\lambdaλ of multiplicative order 2k2k2k modulo nnn whose even-power sum vanishes: ∑j=0k−1λ2j=0\sum_{j=0}^{k-1}\lambda^{2j}=0∑j=0k−1​λ2j=0. For 0≤i<k0\le i<k0≤i<k, put ci=∑j=0iλ2jc_i=\sum_{j=0}^{i}\lambda^{2j}ci​=∑j=0i​λ2j and di=λcid_i=\lambda c_idi​=λci​. Set S(n,λ,2k)={aci:0≤i<k}∪{badi:0≤i<k}S(n,\lambda,2k)=\{a^{c_i}:0\le i<k\}\cup\{ba^{d_i}:0\le i<k\}S(n,λ,2k)={aci​:0≤i<k}∪{badi​:0≤i<k}. Then Γ(n,λ,2k)=BiCay⁡(Dn,∅,∅,S(n,λ,2k))\Gamma(n,\lambda,2k)=\operatorname{BiCay}(D_n,\varnothing,\varnothing,S(n,\lambda,2k))Γ(n,λ,2k)=BiCay(Dn​,∅,∅,S(n,λ,2k)) (Conder et al., Example 6.2, pp. 12–13).

Right multiplication R(g):hi↦(hg)iR(g):h_i\mapsto(hg)_iR(g):hi​↦(hg)i​ gives a subgroup R(H)≤Aut⁡(Γ)R(H)\le\operatorname{Aut}(\Gamma)R(H)≤Aut(Γ), and X=NAut⁡(Γ)(R(H))X=N_{\operatorname{Aut}(\Gamma)}(R(H))X=NAut(Γ)​(R(H)) is its normaliser. For α∈Aut⁡(H)\alpha\in\operatorname{Aut}(H)α∈Aut(H) and g,x,y∈Hg,x,y\in Hg,x,y∈H the paper's permutations are σα,g:h0↦(hα)0, h1↦(ghα)1\sigma_{\alpha,g}:h_0\mapsto(h^\alpha)_0,\ h_1\mapsto(gh^\alpha)_1σα,g​:h0​↦(hα)0​, h1​↦(ghα)1​ and δα,x,y:h0↦(xhα)1, h1↦(yhα)0\delta_{\alpha,x,y}:h_0\mapsto(xh^\alpha)_1,\ h_1\mapsto(yh^\alpha)_0δα,x,y​:h0​↦(xhα)1​, h1​↦(yhα)0​; the sets F\mathrm FF and I\mathrm II of (2.2) collect those that preserve the edge rules. A graph is normal edge-transitive when XXX, not merely Aut⁡(Γ)\operatorname{Aut}(\Gamma)Aut(Γ), is transitive on edges (Conder et al., pp. 4–5).

Formalization targets

The milestones, in attack order, are Proposition 2.1(b) (one may assume 1∈S1\in S1∈S), Proposition 2.2 (the normaliser X=R(H)(F∪I)X=R(H)(\mathrm F\cup\mathrm I)X=R(H)(F∪I)), the opening step of the proof of Theorem 6.1 (R=L=∅R=L=\varnothingR=L=∅ for a semisymmetric graph), Theorem 6.1, the claims of Example 6.2, and Proposition 6.4.

Minimum valency

For every connected semisymmetric bi-dihedrant over DnD_nDn​, n≥3n\ge3n≥3, and every vertex vvv,

deg⁡Γ(v)≥6.\deg_{\Gamma}(v)\ge6.degΓ​(v)≥6.

This is Theorem 6.1 and the first claim of Theorem 1.5. The milestone for the proof's opening step records that semisymmetry forces R=L=∅R=L=\varnothingR=L=∅; the theorem itself still ranges over all valid R,L,SR,L,SR,L,S (Conder et al., Theorem 6.1, p. 11).

Examples at every odd index

For each odd integer k≥3k\ge3k≥3, there is a connected semisymmetric bi-dihedrant Γ\GammaΓ such that

deg⁡Γ(v)=2kfor every vertex v.\deg_{\Gamma}(v)=2k\qquad\text{for every vertex }v.degΓ​(v)=2kfor every vertex v.

Example 6.2 is the first milestone toward this claim: under its hypotheses Γ(n,λ,2k)\Gamma(n,\lambda,2k)Γ(n,λ,2k) is connected, ∣S∣=2k|S|=2k∣S∣=2k, every vertex has degree 2k2k2k, and σα,b\sigma_{\alpha,b}σα,b​ for α:(a,b)↦(aλ,ba)\alpha:(a,b)\mapsto(a^\lambda,ba)α:(a,b)↦(aλ,ba) lies in XXX and permutes the neighbours of 101_010​ cyclically, so the graph is normal edge-transitive (Conder et al., p. 13). Proposition 6.4 is the second: under the defining conditions for Γ(n,λ,2k)\Gamma(n,\lambda,2k)Γ(n,λ,2k), odd kkk and λk=−1\lambda^k=-1λk=−1 modulo nnn imply semisymmetry (Conder et al., Proposition 6.4, p. 13). An auxiliary arithmetic theorem states the parameter existence needed to apply it for every odd k≥3k\ge3k≥3.

Significance

The lower bound excludes semisymmetric bi-dihedrants of valency at most five. The existence assertion says that six is attained and places examples at an infinite sequence of larger valencies. Together these claims distinguish the restrictions imposed by a dihedral bi-Cayley action from edge transitivity alone. The construction also gives a concrete family on which questions about stronger automorphism properties can be posed (Conder et al., §6, pp. 11–14).

The result is proved in the cited paper; this mission seeks a machine-checked version of its first two Theorem 1.5 claims. The definition of a bi-Cayley graph, the precise graph symmetry predicates, and the arithmetic parameter family are reusable beyond this particular lower bound. The statements here are open proof targets in Lean, with their mathematical content fixed before proof development. The edge-regular claim from the theorem's final sentence requires additional source results and remains a separate formalization target.

Difficulty

Edge transitivity alone does not make a graph vertex-transitive: a semisymmetric graph is precisely the regular case where that inference fails. The lower bound therefore cannot be obtained by treating every vertex as lying in one automorphism orbit. In the dihedral case, the proof must account for both the rotations and reflections in the connection set, and for the constraints that connectedness and graph automorphisms impose on low-valency possibilities (Conder et al., proof of Theorem 6.1, pp. 11–12).

The existence statement has a distinct arithmetic requirement. Proposition 6.4 is conditional on n,λ,kn,\lambda,kn,λ,k satisfying Example 6.2 and λk=−1\lambda^k=-1λk=−1. The paper asserts examples for every odd k≥3k\ge3k≥3 without spelling out parameters for all such kkk. The auxiliary arithmetic statement records that remaining obligation explicitly; a proof of the conditional proposition alone would not establish the quantified existence claim.

Formalization scope

Lean represents the two vertex copies by H ⊕ H and the dihedral group by Mathlib's DihedralGroup n. The graph is a SimpleGraph built from the three edge rules above, with the inverse-closure and loop-exclusion conditions retained in BiCayData. Semisymmetry uses the full graph automorphism group, unoriented edge transitivity, and constant graph degree. The source's standing finite, connected, simple, and undirected conventions are explicit through finite groups, simple graphs, and connectedness hypotheses. The goal and Theorem 6.1 use n≥3n\ge3n≥3, the range of dihedral groups in §6; the existence examples are also required to be connected.

The definitions do not set valency equal to ∣S∣|S|∣S∣, replace a graph degree by a formula, or make an edge-transitivity claim true by ranging over an empty edge set. The setting requires valid inverse-closed side sets rather than silently symmetrising an invalid one. The arithmetic hypothesis uses the multiplicative order in Z/nZ\mathbb Z/n\mathbb ZZ/nZ and enumerates the indices of Zk\mathbb Z_kZk​ by 0,…,k−10,\ldots,k-10,…,k−1. Normal edge-transitivity in Example 6.2 is stated for the subgroup XXX and semisymmetry for the full group Aut⁡(Γ)\operatorname{Aut}(\Gamma)Aut(Γ); the two are not interchanged. The restriction n≥3n\ge3n≥3 in the lower bound is that of Theorem 6.1 and is a disclosed hypothesis of the goal: D1D_1D1​ and D2D_2D2​ are abelian, and the paper treats bi-Cayley graphs over abelian groups separately. The auxiliary parameter statement is not in the paper; it is supplied so that the existence claim has a complete proof path. The third sentence of Theorem 1.5 is not formalized. Contributions establishing the structural lower bound, the family criterion, or the arithmetic existence statement are all within scope.

Selected references

  • Marston Conder, Jin-Xin Zhou, Yan-Quan Feng and Mi-Mi Zhang, Edge-transitive bi-Cayley graphs, preprint arXiv:1606.04625v1, 2016; published in Journal of Combinatorial Theory, Series B, 2020. Preprint · DOI.
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Edge-Transitive Bi-Cayley Graphs 1: For Connected BiCay(H, ∅, ∅, S), the Normaliser of R(H) Is 2-Arc-Transitive Iff Three Conditions on Aut(H) Hold, and Never 3-Arc-TransitiveResearch Paper

Motivation

A graph is symmetric when its automorphism group moves any vertex, edge or arc to any other, and sss-arc-transitive when it moves any walk of length sss without immediate backtracking to any other. Tutte's work on cubic graphs made sss-arc-transitivity a central measure of symmetry in algebraic graph theory, and most constructions of highly symmetric graphs start from a group acting regularly on vertices (Cayley graphs) or semiregularly with a few orbits.

Bi-Cayley graphs are the case of two orbits: a group HHH acts semiregularly by right multiplication with exactly two vertex orbits. The Petersen graph, the Gray graph (the smallest cubic semisymmetric graph) and the smallest member of Bouwer's family of half-arc-transitive graphs are all bi-Cayley graphs, and all of them are edge-transitive. Deciding edge-transitivity of a bi-Cayley graph is hard in general, but the subgroup of automorphisms that normalise the semiregular group R(H)R(H)R(H) is explicitly known, which makes the "normal" version of the question tractable.

C. H. Li asked whether 3-arc-transitive bi-normal Cayley graphs exist and asked for a description of the 2-arc-transitive ones (Li, Proc. Amer. Math. Soc. 133, Question 1.2(a) and Problem 1.3(b), as cited in the paper, p. 2). M. Conder, J.-X. Zhou, Y.-Q. Feng and M.-M. Zhang answered both through their Theorem 1.1 (arXiv:1606.04625v1; J. Combin. Theory Ser. B, 2020). This mission formalizes that theorem and the lemmas its proof uses.

Setting

Let HHH be a finite group with identity 111. Let R,L,S⊆HR, L, S \subseteq HR,L,S⊆H with ∣R∣=∣L∣|R| = |L|∣R∣=∣L∣, 1∉R=R−11 \notin R = R^{-1}1∈/R=R−1 and 1∉L=L−11 \notin L = L^{-1}1∈/L=L−1. The bi-Cayley graph Γ=BiCay(H,R,L,S)\Gamma = \mathrm{BiCay}(H,R,L,S)Γ=BiCay(H,R,L,S) has vertex set H0∪H1H_0 \cup H_1H0​∪H1​, two disjoint copies of HHH (the copy of hhh in HiH_iHi​ is hih_ihi​), and edges {h0,(xh)0}\{h_0,(xh)_0\}{h0​,(xh)0​}, {h1,(yh)1}\{h_1,(yh)_1\}{h1​,(yh)1​} and {h0,(zh)1}\{h_0,(zh)_1\}{h0​,(zh)1​} for h∈Hh \in Hh∈H, x∈Rx \in Rx∈R, y∈Ly \in Ly∈L, z∈Sz \in Sz∈S. The main theorem concerns R=L=∅R = L = \emptysetR=L=∅, where Γ\GammaΓ is bipartite with parts H0H_0H0​, H1H_1H1​ and every vertex has ∣S∣|S|∣S∣ neighbours.

For g∈Hg \in Hg∈H, R(g):hi↦(hg)iR(g) : h_i \mapsto (hg)_iR(g):hi​↦(hg)i​ is an automorphism of Γ\GammaΓ; these form the subgroup R(H)≤Aut(Γ)R(H) \le \mathrm{Aut}(\Gamma)R(H)≤Aut(Γ), and

X=NAut(Γ)(R(H))X = N_{\mathrm{Aut}(\Gamma)}(R(H))X=NAut(Γ)​(R(H))

is its normaliser. For α∈Aut(H)\alpha \in \mathrm{Aut}(H)α∈Aut(H) (written as an exponent, h↦hαh \mapsto h^\alphah↦hα) and x,y,g∈Hx, y, g \in Hx,y,g∈H the paper defines the permutations

δα,x,y:h0↦(xhα)1, h1↦(yhα)0,σα,g:h0↦(hα)0, h1↦(ghα)1,\delta_{\alpha,x,y} : h_0 \mapsto (xh^\alpha)_1,\ h_1 \mapsto (yh^\alpha)_0, \qquad \sigma_{\alpha,g} : h_0 \mapsto (h^\alpha)_0,\ h_1 \mapsto (gh^\alpha)_1,δα,x,y​:h0​↦(xhα)1​, h1​↦(yhα)0​,σα,g​:h0​↦(hα)0​, h1​↦(ghα)1​,

and the sets I\mathrm{I}I of those δα,x,y\delta_{\alpha,x,y}δα,x,y​ with Rα=x−1LxR^\alpha = x^{-1}LxRα=x−1Lx, Lα=y−1RyL^\alpha = y^{-1}RyLα=y−1Ry, Sα=y−1S−1xS^\alpha = y^{-1}S^{-1}xSα=y−1S−1x, and F\mathrm{F}F of those σα,g\sigma_{\alpha,g}σα,g​ with Rα=RR^\alpha = RRα=R, Lα=g−1LgL^\alpha = g^{-1}LgLα=g−1Lg, Sα=g−1SS^\alpha = g^{-1}SSα=g−1S.

An sss-arc is a sequence (v0,…,vs)(v_0,\dots,v_s)(v0​,…,vs​) of vertices in which consecutive vertices are adjacent and vi−1≠vi+1v_{i-1} \ne v_{i+1}vi−1​=vi+1​. A subgroup K≤Aut(Γ)K \le \mathrm{Aut}(\Gamma)K≤Aut(Γ) is transitive on sss-arcs if any sss-arc can be mapped to any other by an element of KKK; 1-arcs are arcs. Γ\GammaΓ is normal edge-transitive if XXX is transitive on edges, and normal locally arc-transitive if the stabiliser X10X_{1_0}X10​​ is transitive on the neighbourhood Γ(10)\Gamma(1_0)Γ(10​). KKK acts semisymmetrically if it is edge-transitive but not vertex-transitive. Aut(H,Δ)\mathrm{Aut}(H,\Delta)Aut(H,Δ) is the setwise stabiliser of Δ⊆H\Delta \subseteq HΔ⊆H in Aut(H)\mathrm{Aut}(H)Aut(H).

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem 1.1

Let Γ=BiCay(H,∅,∅,S)\Gamma = \mathrm{BiCay}(H,\emptyset,\emptyset,S)Γ=BiCay(H,∅,∅,S) be connected, with 1∈S1 \in S1∈S and ∣S∣≥2|S| \ge 2∣S∣≥2. Then

X is transitive on the 2-arcs of Γ  ⟺  (a)∧(b)∧(c),X \text{ is transitive on the 2-arcs of } \Gamma \iff \text{(a)} \wedge \text{(b)} \wedge \text{(c)},X is transitive on the 2-arcs of Γ⟺(a)∧(b)∧(c),

where (a) Sα=S−1S^\alpha = S^{-1}Sα=S−1 for some α∈Aut(H)\alpha \in \mathrm{Aut}(H)α∈Aut(H); (b) Aut(H,S∖{1})\mathrm{Aut}(H, S\setminus\{1\})Aut(H,S∖{1}) is transitive on S∖{1}S \setminus \{1\}S∖{1}; (c) Sβ=s−1SS^\beta = s^{-1}SSβ=s−1S for some s∈S∖{1}s \in S\setminus\{1\}s∈S∖{1} and β∈Aut(H)\beta \in \mathrm{Aut}(H)β∈Aut(H). Furthermore, if ∣S∣≥3|S| \ge 3∣S∣≥3, XXX is not transitive on the 3-arcs of Γ\GammaΓ.

Milestones

  • Proposition 2.2 (cited by the paper from Zhou and Feng): for connected Γ\GammaΓ, every element of F\mathrm{F}F and of I\mathrm{I}I is an automorphism in XXX, and X=R(H) (F∪I)X = R(H)\,(\mathrm{F} \cup \mathrm{I})X=R(H)(F∪I).
  • Proposition 2.2(a): for δα,x,y∈I\delta_{\alpha,x,y} \in \mathrm{I}δα,x,y​∈I, ⟨R(H),δα,x,y⟩\langle R(H),\delta_{\alpha,x,y}\rangle⟨R(H),δα,x,y​⟩ is vertex-transitive.
  • Lemma 3.2: X1011={σα,1∣α∈Aut(H,S∖{1})}X_{1_01_1} = \{\sigma_{\alpha,1} \mid \alpha \in \mathrm{Aut}(H,S\setminus\{1\})\}X10​11​​={σα,1​∣α∈Aut(H,S∖{1})}, and, for ∣S∣≥3|S| \ge 3∣S∣≥3, XXX is not 3-arc-transitive.
  • Proposition 3.3: Γ\GammaΓ is normal locally arc-transitive iff Γ(10)\Gamma(1_0)Γ(10​) is an orbit of F\mathrm{F}F; in that case XXX is arc-transitive iff Sα=S−1S^\alpha = S^{-1}Sα=S−1 for some α\alphaα, and semisymmetric otherwise.

A companion item, Lemma 3.1, shows that a connected normal edge-transitive BiCay(H,R,L,S)\mathrm{BiCay}(H,R,L,S)BiCay(H,R,L,S) has R=L=∅R = L = \emptysetR=L=∅; it explains why the goal is stated for BiCay(H,∅,∅,S)\mathrm{BiCay}(H,\emptyset,\emptyset,S)BiCay(H,∅,∅,S).

Significance

Combined with Lemma 3.1, Theorem 1.1 reduces 2-arc-transitivity of the normaliser of R(H)R(H)R(H) to three conditions on Aut(H)\mathrm{Aut}(H)Aut(H) and the single set SSS, all checkable in the group without building the graph. Its second part rules out normal 3-arc-transitive bi-Cayley graphs of valency at least 3, which settles Li's question on 3-arc-transitive bi-normal Cayley graphs negatively. Proposition 3.3 is the arc-transitive versus semisymmetric dichotomy for normal locally arc-transitive bi-Cayley graphs, the starting point of the paper's later constructions of semisymmetric and half-arc-transitive examples.

All results are proved in the paper (Proposition 2.2 by citation). None of them has a machine-checked proof that this mission knows of. Mathlib has simple graphs, graph isomorphisms and normalisers, but no bi-Cayley graphs, no sss-arcs and no transitivity notions for subgroups of Aut(Γ)\mathrm{Aut}(\Gamma)Aut(Γ). A formal proof would supply the first verified description of the normaliser of a semiregular group with two orbits, reusable for any bi-Cayley or bi-circulant result.

Difficulty

The bulk of the work is Proposition 2.2. That σα,g\sigma_{\alpha,g}σα,g​ and δα,x,y\delta_{\alpha,x,y}δα,x,y​ preserve edges exactly under the conditions of (2.2) is a direct computation. The converse is harder: every automorphism normalising R(H)R(H)R(H) must be one of these permutations composed with some R(h)R(h)R(h). That needs the conjugation action of XXX on R(H)R(H)R(H) to induce an automorphism of HHH, and XXX to preserve the partition {H0,H1}\{H_0, H_1\}{H0​,H1​} into R(H)R(H)R(H)-orbits.

The 3-arc clause looks like a stabiliser count, but it holds only once 111_111​ has at least two neighbours besides 101_010​: for ∣S∣=2|S| = 2∣S∣=2 the graph is a cycle of length 2∣H∣2|H|2∣H∣, the normaliser is the whole dihedral automorphism group, and that group is transitive on 3-arcs. Any proof must use ∣S∣≥3|S| \ge 3∣S∣≥3 at exactly this step.

Formalization scope

The vertex set is H ⊕ H (Sum.inl h =h0= h_0=h0​, Sum.inr h =h1= h_1=h1​). The data (R,L,S)(R, L, S)(R,L,S) is a structure of three Finsets carrying the side conditions R−1=RR^{-1} = RR−1=R, L−1=LL^{-1} = LL−1=L, 1∉R1 \notin R1∈/R, 1∉L1 \notin L1∈/L and ∣R∣=∣L∣|R| = |L|∣R∣=∣L∣. Adjacency is given directly by the three edge rules. Aut(Γ)\mathrm{Aut}(\Gamma)Aut(Γ) is the group Γ ≃g Γ, R(H)R(H)R(H) is the subgroup generated by the R(g)R(g)R(g), and XXX is its Subgroup.normalizer. Automorphisms of HHH are MulAut H, and Δα\Delta^\alphaΔα is the image of Δ\DeltaΔ under α\alphaα. σα,g\sigma_{\alpha,g}σα,g​ and δα,x,y\delta_{\alpha,x,y}δα,x,y​ are permutations of H ⊕ H, and "σα,g∈X\sigma_{\alpha,g} \in Xσα,g​∈X" means that some element of XXX has σα,g\sigma_{\alpha,g}σα,g​ as its vertex map. Products are written pointwise to avoid the composition-order convention of the group of graph automorphisms. An sss-arc is a function on Fin (s+1).

The paper assumes throughout that groups and graphs are finite and graphs connected; each theorem carries Fintype H and connectivity. Three hypotheses are added to the printed Theorem 1.1, each needed for the statement to be true or non-vacuous: 1∈S1 \in S1∈S (the paper's normalisation of a bi-Cayley triple, used by conditions (b) and (c) and by the proof); ∣S∣≥2|S| \ge 2∣S∣≥2 (for ∣S∣=1|S| = 1∣S∣=1 the graph is K2K_2K2​, which has no 2-arcs, so 2-arc-transitivity would hold vacuously while (c) fails); and ∣S∣≥3|S| \ge 3∣S∣≥3 for the 3-arc clause (false for cycles). Lemma 3.2 carries the same 1∈S1 \in S1∈S and ∣S∣≥3|S| \ge 3∣S∣≥3, and Proposition 3.3 carries 1∈S1 \in S1∈S.

Trivializing formalizations are ruled out in four ways. 2-arc-transitivity is never vacuous, since ∣S∣≥2|S| \ge 2∣S∣≥2 guarantees 2-arcs. RRR and LLL are never symmetrised silently, since the side conditions are data rather than repairs. Every transitivity statement is about XXX, not the full Aut(Γ)\mathrm{Aut}(\Gamma)Aut(Γ). Valency is the degree in the graph, never a formula in ∣S∣|S|∣S∣.

Contributions are welcome at every level: proofs of the milestones, a general library of bi-Cayley graphs and their normalisers, and lemmas on sss-arcs and stabilisers in SimpleGraph. The definitions are repeated identically in the companion missions on bi-abelian graphs and bi-dihedrants.

Selected references

  • M. Conder, J.-X. Zhou, Y.-Q. Feng and M.-M. Zhang, Edge-transitive bi-Cayley graphs, arXiv:1606.04625v1, 2016; J. Combin. Theory Ser. B, 2020. https://arxiv.org/abs/1606.04625v1, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jctb.2020.05.006
  • J.-X. Zhou and Y.-Q. Feng, The automorphisms of bi-Cayley graphs, J. Combin. Theory Ser. B 116 (2016) 504–532 (reference [55] of the paper; source of Proposition 2.2). https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jctb.2015.10.004
  • C. H. Li, Finite s-arc transitive Cayley graphs and flag transitive projective planes, Proc. Amer. Math. Soc. 133 (2005) 31–41 (reference [29] of the paper; Question 1.2(a) and Problem 1.3(b)). https://doi.org/10.1090/S0002-9939-04-07549-5
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CombinatoricsGraph TheoryGroup Theory·Captain: mikedeng1

Edge-Transitive Bi-Cayley Graphs 2: Edge-Transitive Bi-Cayley Graphs over Abelian Groups Are Vertex-Transitive, and Half-Arc-Transitive Ones Have Valency at Least 6Research Paper

Why bi-Cayley graphs over abelian groups matter

A Cayley graph turns multiplication in a group into adjacency between vertices. Every Cayley graph is vertex transitive: multiplying every vertex by the same group element moves any chosen vertex to any other. A bi-Cayley graph starts with two copies of a group and permits edges both within and between the copies. Its built-in group action is transitive on each copy, but it need not exchange them. This makes bi-Cayley graphs a setting for distinguishing edge, vertex, and arc transitivity. Conder, Zhou, Feng and Zhang study these distinctions and their consequences for graph constructions in Edge-transitive bi-Cayley graphs.

For abelian groups, the paper proves a strong restriction: once a connected bi-Cayley graph is edge transitive, it is also vertex transitive. Its half-arc-transitive examples face additional local restrictions, including a minimum valency of six. The paper exhibits a graph of valency six in Example 4.3, so the numerical bound is attained in its class. The result separates these graphs from semisymmetric graphs, which are edge transitive but not vertex transitive. The claims and example appear in Proposition 1.3 and §4.

Graphs, actions, and terminology

Let HHH be a finite group and let R,L,SR,L,SR,L,S be subsets of HHH. Require R=R−1R=R^{-1}R=R−1, L=L−1L=L^{-1}L=L−1, 1∉R∪L1\notin R\cup L1∈/R∪L, and ∣R∣=∣L∣|R|=|L|∣R∣=∣L∣. The graph Γ=BiCay⁡(H,R,L,S)\Gamma=\operatorname{BiCay}(H,R,L,S)Γ=BiCay(H,R,L,S) has vertices H0∪H1H_0\cup H_1H0​∪H1​, two labelled copies of HHH. For h∈Hh\in Hh∈H, an element x∈Rx\in Rx∈R gives an edge from h0h_0h0​ to (xh)0(xh)_0(xh)0​; an element y∈Ly\in Ly∈L gives an edge from h1h_1h1​ to (yh)1(yh)_1(yh)1​; and an element z∈Sz\in Sz∈S gives an edge from h0h_0h0​ to (zh)1(zh)_1(zh)1​. The inverse closure of RRR and LLL makes the within-copy edges undirected. Excluding 111 from those two sets excludes loops. This is the construction on p. 1.

Every g∈Hg\in Hg∈H acts by right multiplication R(g):hi↦(hg)iR(g):h_i\mapsto(hg)_iR(g):hi​↦(hg)i​. The subgroup R(H)R(H)R(H) of graph automorphisms has two vertex orbits, H0H_0H0​ and H1H_1H1​. Its normaliser in Aut⁡(Γ)\operatorname{Aut}(\Gamma)Aut(Γ) is useful for describing further symmetries. For a group automorphism α\alphaα and group elements g,x,yg,x,yg,x,y, the paper defines permutations σα,g\sigma_{\alpha,g}σα,g​, which preserve the two copies, and δα,x,y\delta_{\alpha,x,y}δα,x,y​, which exchange them. Their precise edge-preservation conditions are the sets FFF and III of equation (2.2). The mission includes those definitions and the relevant part of the normaliser characterization, Proposition 2.2.

A graph is vertex transitive if its full automorphism group can move any vertex to any other, and edge transitive if it can move any undirected edge to any other. Arc transitivity asks the same for ordered adjacent pairs. A graph is half-arc-transitive when it is vertex and edge transitive but not arc transitive. A semisymmetric graph has constant valency, is edge transitive, and is not vertex transitive. These are the paper's definitions on p. 4. Valency means the actual number of neighbours of a vertex.

Formalization targets

The central target is the corrected reading of Proposition 1.3: for connected Γ\GammaΓ over an abelian HHH,

Γ edge transitive  ⟹  Γ vertex transitive,\Gamma\text{ edge transitive}\implies\Gamma\text{ vertex transitive},Γ edge transitive⟹Γ vertex transitive,

and, if Γ\GammaΓ is half-arc-transitive,

R∪L≠∅,(∀x∈R∪L) ord⁡(x)≠2,∣R∣=∣L∣ is even,∣S∣>2,deg⁡Γ(v)≥6(v∈V(Γ)).R\cup L\ne\varnothing,\quad (\forall x\in R\cup L)\ \operatorname{ord}(x)\ne2, \quad |R|=|L|\text{ is even},\quad |S|>2,\quad \deg_{\Gamma}(v)\ge6\quad(v\in V(\Gamma)).R∪L=∅,(∀x∈R∪L) ord(x)=2,∣R∣=∣L∣ is even,∣S∣>2,degΓ​(v)≥6(v∈V(Γ)).

The attack path records the normaliser characterization in Proposition 2.2, both parts of Proposition 4.1, its explicit bipartition step, and Proposition 4.2. The companion Corollary 4.4 expresses the absence of connected semisymmetric examples over abelian groups.

What the result establishes

The vertex-transitivity conclusion collapses one apparent possibility in the symmetry classification: an edge-transitive bi-Cayley graph over an abelian group cannot be semisymmetric. For half-arc-transitive graphs, the theorem rules out involutions in the within-copy connection sets, forces even set sizes, and excludes valencies below six. Example 4.3 supplies an attained bound, with H=C28H=C_{28}H=C28​ and valency six. These are concrete restrictions on any later classification or construction in this family; they follow from §4.

The mathematical results are proved in the cited paper. The mission asks for machine-checked Lean proofs of their statements and for a reusable finite bi-Cayley graph interface. The setting includes the right regular action, its normaliser, the two families of candidate automorphisms, and the transitivity predicates. The proof obligations are open in this local proposal; a successful development would make the abelian argument and its underlying graph-action lemmas available for later formalizations of bi-Cayley graphs.

The main obstacle

The right multiplication action gives only two known vertex orbits, one for each copy of HHH. Edge transitivity alone does not name an automorphism that swaps them. Inversion is an automorphism of an abelian group, but its induced copy-swapping permutation preserves graph edges directly only in the relevant bipartite case R=L=∅R=L=\varnothingR=L=∅. The paper must account for edge-transitive graphs whose connection sets initially allow edges inside the copies. For the valency bound, the absence of arc transitivity restricts how a vertex stabiliser can permute its neighbours; degree counting without those orbit constraints cannot yield ∣S∣>2|S|>2∣S∣>2. These are the points at which a proof must use the full automorphism action rather than just the visible right regular subgroup.

Formalization scope

Lean uses the vertex type H⊔HH\sqcup HH⊔H, with Sum.inl h for h0h_0h0​ and Sum.inr h for h1h_1h1​. The group and graph are finite; the graph is simple and undirected by construction, and every theorem assumes it is connected. The finite sets R,L,SR,L,SR,L,S retain the conditions R=R−1R=R^{-1}R=R−1, L=L−1L=L^{-1}L=L−1, 1∉R∪L1\notin R\cup L1∈/R∪L, and ∣R∣=∣L∣|R|=|L|∣R∣=∣L∣. The graph's degree, rather than a separately defined cardinality formula, represents valency. “Involution” means an element of order exactly two. All graph-level transitivity predicates quantify over the full automorphism group; the normaliser appears only in the separate Proposition 2.2 milestone. The paper's exponent notation for group automorphisms is rendered as function application, while R(g)R(g)R(g) remains right multiplication.

The printed first sentence of Proposition 1.3 says every connected bi-Cayley graph over an abelian group is vertex transitive. That sentence is false: the connected generalized Petersen graph GP(7,2)GP(7,2)GP(7,2) is a bi-Cayley graph over C7C_7C7​ and is not vertex transitive. Proposition 4.1(b), which the paper uses to establish Proposition 1.3, includes the missing edge-transitivity condition. The Lean goal states that corrected condition explicitly. It does not add an assumption to the half-arc-transitive clause, since half-arc-transitivity already entails edge transitivity. Proposition 4.2 prints two clauses labelled “(a)”; they are treated as distinct clauses while its quotation retains the printed labels.

The definition of the graph keeps RRR and LLL inverse closed as data; no graph constructor silently symmetrises arbitrary sets. Transitivity is taken over actual edges or arcs, and the degree bound is checked at every vertex. Contributions to the graph-action lemmas, the normaliser result, Proposition 4.1, and the vertex-stabiliser analysis behind Proposition 4.2 are all within scope. The Cayley-graph isomorphism in Proposition 2.2(b) is outside this mission's stated milestone because it is not used by the target.

Selected references

  • M. Conder, J.-X. Zhou, Y.-Q. Feng, and M.-M. Zhang, Edge-transitive bi-Cayley graphs, Journal of Combinatorial Theory, Series B, 2020; arXiv:1606.04625v1; DOI:10.1016/j.jctb.2020.05.006.
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Mechanism DesignOperations ResearchProbability·Captain: mikedeng1

Pricing and Matching with Forward-Looking Buyers and Sellers 3: Every Incentive-Compatible Two-Sided Dynamic Mechanism Earns at Most the Expected Virtual-Surplus Assignment ValueResearch Paper

Motivation

Ride-hailing, freelancing and delivery platforms are intermediaries that post a price to buyers and a price to sellers and then match the two sides. Both sides are forward-looking: an agent who arrives can wait before requesting, and an agent who requests waits until she is matched, at a cost per unit of time. Chen and Hu, Pricing and Matching with Forward-Looking Buyers and Sellers (SSRN 2859864; Manufacturing & Service Operations Management 22(4), 2020, doi:10.1287/msom.2018.0769), measure simple pricing and matching policies against an upper bound that holds for every policy. This mission formalizes that upper bound in its mechanism-design form: no incentive-compatible two-sided dynamic mechanism earns more than the expected value of a clairvoyant assignment problem in virtual values.

The bound extends the virtual-value approach of Myerson (1981) and its bilateral-trade version by Myerson and Satterthwaite (1983) from a single static trade to a market with random arrivals on both sides, waiting costs and a timing constraint that matched units change hands at the same instant.

Setting

Over a horizon [0,T][0,T][0,T], buyers arrive as a Poisson process of rate λd>0\lambda^d>0λd>0. A buyer has type ϕ=(tϕ,vϕ)\phi=(t_\phi,v_\phi)ϕ=(tϕ​,vϕ​): arrival time tϕt_\phitϕ​ and valuation vϕ∈[v‾,vˉ]v_\phi\in[\underline v,\bar v]vϕ​∈[v​,vˉ], drawn with continuous positive density fdf^dfd and c.d.f. FdF^dFd, independently of the arrival time. Sellers arrive as an independent Poisson process of rate λs>0\lambda^s>0λs>0, with types ψ=(tψ,cψ)\psi=(t_\psi,c_\psi)ψ=(tψ​,cψ​) and costs cψ∈[c‾,cˉ]c_\psi\in[\underline c,\bar c]cψ​∈[c​,cˉ] of continuous positive density fsf^sfs and c.d.f. FsF^sFs. The paper assumes c‾≤vˉ\underline c\le\bar vc​≤vˉ and that the virtual value Vd(v)=v−(1−Fd(v))/fd(v)V^d(v)=v-(1-F^d(v))/f^d(v)Vd(v)=v−(1−Fd(v))/fd(v) and the virtual cost Vs(c)=c+Fs(c)/fs(c)V^s(c)=c+F^s(c)/f^s(c)Vs(c)=c+Fs(c)/fs(c) are increasing (Assumptions 1–2). Write HTH^THT for the realized arrivals.

A direct mechanism yTy^TyT assigns to every buyer an outcome (sϕ,mϕ,pϕ)(s_\phi,m_\phi,p_\phi)(sϕ​,mϕ​,pϕ​): the time sϕ∈[tϕ,T]s_\phi\in[t_\phi,T]sϕ​∈[tϕ​,T] at which she leaves, the indicator mϕ∈{0,1}m_\phi\in\{0,1\}mϕ​∈{0,1} that she receives a unit, and her payment pϕp_\phipϕ​. Every seller receives (sψ,mψ,pψ)(s_\psi,m_\psi,p_\psi)(sψ​,mψ​,pψ​) likewise, pψp_\psipψ​ now paid to her. The balancing condition requires that at every t∈[0,T]t\in[0,T]t∈[0,T] the number of buyers who receive a unit at ttt equals the number of sellers who deliver one at ttt. The buyer's utility is Ud=vϕmϕ−pϕ−b(sϕ−tϕ)U^d=v_\phi m_\phi-p_\phi-b(s_\phi-t_\phi)Ud=vϕ​mϕ​−pϕ​−b(sϕ​−tϕ​) and the seller's is Us=pψ−cψmψ−h(sψ−tψ)U^s=p_\psi-c_\psi m_\psi-h(s_\psi-t_\psi)Us=pψ​−cψ​mψ​−h(sψ​−tψ​), with waiting costs b,h≥0b,h\ge0b,h≥0. The intermediary's profit is

Π(yT)=∑ϕ∈HTpϕ−∑ψ∈HTpψ.\Pi(y^T)=\sum_{\phi\in H^T}p_\phi-\sum_{\psi\in H^T}p_\psi .Π(yT)=ϕ∈HT∑​pϕ​−ψ∈HT∑​pψ​.

Incentive compatibility (ICd) asks that no buyer gain, in the interim expectation E−ϕE_{-\phi}E−ϕ​ over all other agents, by reporting another valuation or a later arrival time tϕ^∈[tϕ,T]t_{\hat\phi}\in[t_\phi,T]tϕ^​​∈[tϕ​,T]; individual rationality (IRd) asks that her interim utility be nonnegative. (ICs) and (IRs) are the seller counterparts. Problem (B′) maximizes E[Π(yT)]E[\Pi(y^T)]E[Π(yT)] over feasible mechanisms subject to these constraints; its value is J∗J^*J∗.

The comparison object is the clairvoyant assignment problem (B): knowing HTH^THT in advance, choose a partial matching xxx of buyers to sellers maximizing

∑ϕ,ψ(Vd(vϕ)−Vs(cψ)−b (tψ−tϕ)+−h (tϕ−tψ)+)xϕψ;\sum_{\phi,\psi}\Big(V^d(v_\phi)-V^s(c_\psi)-b\,(t_\psi-t_\phi)^+-h\,(t_\phi-t_\psi)^+\Big)x_{\phi\psi};ϕ,ψ∑​(Vd(vϕ​)−Vs(cψ​)−b(tψ​−tϕ​)+−h(tϕ​−tψ​)+)xϕψ​;

its optimal value is Jˉ(HT)≥0\bar J(H^T)\ge0Jˉ(HT)≥0.

Formalization targets

Goal: the mechanism-design bound

For every feasible, well-defined mechanism satisfying (ICd), (IRd), (ICs) and (IRs),

E[Π(yT)]≤E[Jˉ(HT)],E\big[\Pi(y^T)\big]\le E\big[\bar J(H^T)\big],E[Π(yT)]≤E[Jˉ(HT)],

with Jˉ(HT)\bar J(H^T)Jˉ(HT) integrable. This is the last display of the proof of Lemma 1 (Online Appendix p. 4), J∗≤Jˉ1≤Jˉ2≤E[Jˉ(HT)]J^*\le\bar J^1\le\bar J^2\le E[\bar J(H^T)]J∗≤Jˉ1≤Jˉ2≤E[Jˉ(HT)].

Milestones

  1. Lemma S.1 (Supplemental Note p. 1): E−ϕ[pϕ]≤vϕE−ϕ[mϕ]−∫v‾vϕE−ϕ[mϕv′] dv′−bE−ϕ[sϕ−tϕ]E_{-\phi}[p_\phi]\le v_\phi E_{-\phi}[m_\phi]-\int_{\underline v}^{v_\phi}E_{-\phi}[m_{\phi_{v'}}]\,dv'-bE_{-\phi}[s_\phi-t_\phi]E−ϕ​[pϕ​]≤vϕ​E−ϕ​[mϕ​]−∫v​vϕ​​E−ϕ​[mϕv′​​]dv′−bE−ϕ​[sϕ​−tϕ​] under (ICd′) and (IRd).
  2. Lemma S.2: E[∑ϕpϕ]≤E[∑ϕVd(vϕ)mϕ−b(sϕ−tϕ)]E[\sum_\phi p_\phi]\le E[\sum_\phi V^d(v_\phi)m_\phi-b(s_\phi-t_\phi)]E[∑ϕ​pϕ​]≤E[∑ϕ​Vd(vϕ​)mϕ​−b(sϕ​−tϕ​)].
  3. Lemma S.4: E[∑ψpψ]≥E[∑ψVs(cψ)mψ+h(sψ−tψ)]E[\sum_\psi p_\psi]\ge E[\sum_\psi V^s(c_\psi)m_\psi+h(s_\psi-t_\psi)]E[∑ψ​pψ​]≥E[∑ψ​Vs(cψ​)mψ​+h(sψ​−tψ​)].
  4. The pathwise step Jˉ2≤E[Jˉ(HT)]\bar J^2\le E[\bar J(H^T)]Jˉ2≤E[Jˉ(HT)]: for every profile and every balanced assignment of outcomes, buyer virtual surplus net of waiting, less seller virtual cost plus waiting, is at most the value of (B).

Lemma S.3 (Supplemental Note p. 3), the seller envelope bound with information rent ∫cψcˉE−ψ[mψc′] dc′\int_{c_\psi}^{\bar c}E_{-\psi}[m_{\psi_{c'}}]\,dc'∫cψ​cˉ​E−ψ​[mψc′​​]dc′, is posed as a further theorem of the mission, the mirror image of Lemma S.1; it is not listed as a milestone.

Here (ICd′) and (ICs′) are the one-dimensional constraints in which the reported arrival time is the true one; Lemmas S.1–S.4 are stated under these weaker hypotheses, as in the paper.

Significance

Lemma 1 of the paper, Jπ,M≤E[Jˉ(HT)]J^{\pi,M}\le E[\bar J(H^T)]Jπ,M≤E[Jˉ(HT)] for every pricing policy π\piπ and matching policy MMM, is the benchmark against which the paper's main theorem measures its waiting-adjusted fixed-price policy, and E[Jˉ(HT)]E[\bar J(H^T)]E[Jˉ(HT)] is in turn bounded by a deterministic fluid value (Lemma 2). Lemma 1 is the composition of two facts: the revelation principle Jπ,M≤J∗J^{\pi,M}\le J^*Jπ,M≤J∗ (Lemma 3) and the mechanism-design bound J∗≤E[Jˉ(HT)]J^*\le E[\bar J(H^T)]J∗≤E[Jˉ(HT)] posed here. The second carries the analytic content: it is where the envelope theorem, the exchange of integrals that turns payments into virtual values, and the timing argument appear.

The result is proved in the paper; its proofs are in the Online Appendix (Section A.2) and the Supplemental Note (Section A). No machine-checked proof of it, or of a dynamic two-sided Myerson bound of this kind, is known. A formal proof would also yield a reusable two-sided, Poisson-arrival version of the interim envelope and revenue-equivalence identities.

Difficulty

Each agent's type is two-dimensional, an arrival time and a valuation or cost, and arrival can only be misreported later. The relaxation to (ICd′)/(ICs′) makes the screening problem one-dimensional, but the interim expectation E−ϕE_{-\phi}E−ϕ​ ranges over a random population whose size is itself random. Turning E[∑ϕ∈HTpϕ]E[\sum_{\phi\in H^T}p_\phi]E[∑ϕ∈HT​pϕ​] into an integral of interim payments requires the Mecke formula for the Poisson process, and the envelope argument must be carried out for interim utilities that are only known to be suprema of affine functions, using no differentiability of the mechanism. The pathwise step is combinatorial: the balancing condition at each instant pairs buyers with sellers discharged together, and those pairs must be compared with an optimal matching of (B), with duplicate types and unmatched agents handled.

A frequent first idea, bounding payments by valuations directly, gives only the first-best surplus E[∑(vϕ−cψ)]E[\sum (v_\phi-c_\psi)]E[∑(vϕ​−cψ​)], which is not the target; the information rents must be extracted.

Formalization scope

The primitives are the published bilateral-trade environment MechanismDesign.BilateralTrade.Environment (densities on intervals, cdfB, cdfS, psiB =Vd=V^d=Vd, psiS =Vs=V^s=Vs, Regular === Assumptions 1–2), and (B) is AssignmentGame.CoreLP.worth of the published assignment game, with sellers as rows and buyers as columns. The conventions committed to are:

  1. Arrivals. Each side is a Poisson(λT\lambda TλT) number of agents with i.i.d. types, arrival time uniform on [0,T][0,T][0,T] and independent of the mark; this is equal in law to the Poisson process restricted to [0,T][0,T][0,T]. Profiles are multisets of types: agents are named by their types, as in the paper, and coincide only with probability zero.
  2. Mechanisms map the reported buyer and seller profiles to an outcome for each type, (s,m,p)(s,m,p)(s,m,p) with t≤s≤Tt\le s\le Tt≤s≤T and m∈{0,1}m\in\{0,1\}m∈{0,1} for listed agents and the balancing condition at every t∈[0,T]t\in[0,T]t∈[0,T]. The causality conditions of the paper (stopping times with respect to the filtration Ht\mathcal H_tHt​) and the timing variables τ,a\tau,aτ,a are dropped. This enlarges the class of mechanisms; it is the clairvoyant class through which the paper's own proof passes (Jˉ1≤Jˉ2\bar J^1\le\bar J^2Jˉ1≤Jˉ2), and the bound for the larger class implies the paper's.
  3. Interim expectations. E−ϕ[g(yϕ^)]E_{-\phi}[g(y_{\hat\phi})]E−ϕ​[g(yϕ^​​)] is the expectation, over an independent copy of HTH^THT, of ggg at the outcome of the report ϕ^\hat\phiϕ^​ inserted among the buyers (the Slivnyak–Mecke reading of "expectation taken with respect to HT∖{ϕ}H^T\setminus\{\phi\}HT∖{ϕ}").
  4. Incentive constraints are quantified over every type and every report in the type spaces, not almost everywhere, with reported arrivals tϕ^∈[tϕ,T]t_{\hat\phi}\in[t_\phi,T]tϕ^​​∈[tϕ​,T].
  5. Added hypotheses. Continuity of fdf^dfd, fsf^sfs on their supports, without which Vd,VsV^d,V^sVd,Vs are defined only almost everywhere; and WellDefined: outcomes are Borel in the listed types, interim payments are integrable, and total absolute payments are integrable. Integrability of Jˉ(HT)\bar J(H^T)Jˉ(HT) and of the virtual-surplus sums is part of each conclusion.

A trivializing formalization is ruled out: the mechanism class is not restricted beyond the paper's feasibility, the constraints are not vacuous (the null mechanism satisfies them, so J∗≥0J^*\ge0J∗≥0), and expectations are of integrable functions. The goal quantifies over mechanisms rather than taking a supremum, which is equivalent because the class is nonempty.

A complete development needs the Mecke formula for the Poisson-count representation, an envelope theorem for suprema of affine functions on an interval, Fubini on the type space, and an exchange argument for matchings. All of these are reusable beyond this mission. Contributions of any of them, of the milestones in any order, or of alternative proofs are welcome.

Selected references

  • Y. Chen and M. Hu, Pricing and Matching with Forward-Looking Buyers and Sellers, Manufacturing & Service Operations Management 22(4):717–734, 2020; submitted manuscript SSRN 2859864. https://ssrn.com/abstract=2859864, https://doi.org/10.1287/msom.2018.0769
  • R. B. Myerson, Optimal Auction Design, Mathematics of Operations Research 6(1):58–73, 1981. https://doi.org/10.1287/moor.6.1.58
  • R. B. Myerson and M. A. Satterthwaite, Efficient Mechanisms for Bilateral Trading, Journal of Economic Theory 29(2):265–281, 1983. https://doi.org/10.1016/0022-0531(83)90048-0
  • P. Milgrom and I. Segal, Envelope Theorems for Arbitrary Choice Sets, Econometrica 70(2):583–601, 2002. https://doi.org/10.1111/1468-0262.00296
  • G. Last and M. Penrose, Lectures on the Poisson Process, Cambridge University Press, 2017 (Mecke equation, Theorem 4.1). https://doi.org/10.1017/9781316104477
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CombinatoricsDiscrete Geometry·Captain: mikedeng1

Many Non-Equivalent Realizations of the Associahedron 2: Two Hohlweg–Lange Associahedra Are Normally Isomorphic iff Their Sign Sequences Agree up to Reflection and ReversalResearch Paper

Motivation

The associahedron Assn\mathrm{Ass}_nAssn​ is the nnn-dimensional simple polytope whose faces correspond to the sets of pairwise non-crossing diagonals of a convex (n+3)(n+3)(n+3)-gon, ordered by reverse inclusion: its vertices are the triangulations of the polygon and its facets are the diagonals. It appears in homotopy theory (Stasheff), in the theory of cluster algebras of type AAA, and as the secondary polytope of a convex polygon. Many explicit realizations are known, and a natural question is which of them are genuinely different.

Ceballos, Santos and Ziegler (arXiv:1109.5544, Combinatorica 2014) compare realizations up to normal isomorphism: two polytopes are normally isomorphic if some linear isomorphism of the ambient spaces sends every cone of one normal fan to a cone of the other (their Definition 2.1). This notion ignores the right-hand sides of the defining inequalities and keeps only the linear structure of the facet normals, which is what the classical constructions fix.

One family of realizations is due to Hohlweg and Lange (arXiv:math/0510614, Discrete Comput. Geom. 2007): one associahedron AssnI(σ)\mathrm{Ass}^I_n(\sigma)AssnI​(σ) for every sign sequence σ∈{+,−}n−1\sigma \in \{+,-\}^{n-1}σ∈{+,−}n−1. The constant sequence gives Loday's associahedron (arXiv:math/0212126), and the alternating sequence gives, up to normal isomorphism, the Chapoton–Fomin–Zelevinsky associahedron (arXiv:math/0202004). This mission formalizes the classification of the Hohlweg–Lange family up to normal isomorphism, Theorem 4.9 of Ceballos–Santos–Ziegler.

Setting

Fix n≥0n \ge 0n≥0. The vertices of a convex (n+3)(n+3)(n+3)-gon are its positions 0,…,n+20, \dots, n+20,…,n+2 in counterclockwise order. A diagonal joins two distinct non-adjacent positions; two diagonals cross when their endpoints are distinct and alternate around the boundary. The dihedral symmetries are the 2(n+3)2(n+3)2(n+3) maps i↦r+ii \mapsto r + ii↦r+i and i↦r−ii \mapsto r - ii↦r−i modulo n+3n+3n+3.

For σ∈{+,−}n−1\sigma \in \{+,-\}^{n-1}σ∈{+,−}n−1, the sign word σ~={+,−,σ,−,+}\widetilde\sigma = \{+,-,\sigma,-,+\}σ={+,−,σ,−,+} assigns signs to the labels 0,1,…,n+20, 1, \dots, n+20,1,…,n+2. The polygon Pn+3(σ)P_{n+3}(\sigma)Pn+3​(σ) places the labels from left to right, positive ones above a horizontal line and negative ones below; going counterclockwise, it visits the negative labels in increasing order and then the positive labels in decreasing order. For a diagonal ijijij with labels i<ji < ji<j, the set Rij(σ)R_{ij}(\sigma)Rij​(σ) consists of the labels strictly below the diagonal, and Sij(σ)⊆[n+1]={1,…,n+1}S_{ij}(\sigma) \subseteq [n+1] = \{1,\dots,n+1\}Sij​(σ)⊆[n+1]={1,…,n+1} is obtained from it by replacing 000 by iii and n+2n+2n+2 by jjj. The facet of AssnI(σ)\mathrm{Ass}^I_n(\sigma)AssnI​(σ) for the diagonal δ\deltaδ has normal vector eSδ(σ)e_{S_\delta(\sigma)}eSδ​(σ)​, the characteristic vector of Sδ(σ)S_\delta(\sigma)Sδ​(σ) taken modulo e[n+1]=(1,…,1)e_{[n+1]} = (1, \dots, 1)e[n+1]​=(1,…,1). In coordinates this is the vector

vδ(σ)=(1[k∈Sδ(σ)]−1[n+1∈Sδ(σ)])k=1,…,n∈Rn.v_\delta(\sigma) = \big(\mathbf 1[k \in S_\delta(\sigma)] - \mathbf 1[n+1 \in S_\delta(\sigma)]\big)_{k = 1, \dots, n} \in \mathbb R^n .vδ​(σ)=(1[k∈Sδ​(σ)]−1[n+1∈Sδ​(σ)])k=1,…,n​∈Rn.

The normal fan of AssnI(σ)\mathrm{Ass}^I_n(\sigma)AssnI​(σ) is the collection of cones R≥0{vδ(σ):δ∈D}\mathbb R_{\ge 0}\{v_\delta(\sigma) : \delta \in D\}R≥0​{vδ​(σ):δ∈D}, one for each set DDD of pairwise non-crossing diagonals. Two facets are parallel when their normals are negative multiples of each other. The reflection of σ\sigmaσ is −σ-\sigma−σ (all signs flipped), and its reversal σt\sigma^tσt is σ\sigmaσ read backwards.

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem 4.9

For all σ1,σ2∈{+,−}n−1\sigma_1, \sigma_2 \in \{+,-\}^{n-1}σ1​,σ2​∈{+,−}n−1,

AssnI(σ1) and AssnI(σ2) are normally isomorphic  ⟺  σ2∈{σ1,−σ1,σ1t,−σ1t}.\mathrm{Ass}^I_n(\sigma_1) \text{ and } \mathrm{Ass}^I_n(\sigma_2) \text{ are normally isomorphic} \iff \sigma_2 \in \{\sigma_1, -\sigma_1, \sigma_1^t, -\sigma_1^t\}.AssnI​(σ1​) and AssnI​(σ2​) are normally isomorphic⟺σ2​∈{σ1​,−σ1​,σ1t​,−σ1t​}.

Both directions are content.

Milestones

  1. Lemma 2.2. Every bijection of the diagonals that preserves crossing is induced by a dihedral symmetry; for n≥2n \ge 2n≥2, that symmetry is unique.
  2. The fan-isomorphism step. A linear isomorphism of the two normal fans induces a crossing-preserving bijection of the diagonals that maps parallel pairs to parallel pairs.
  3. Proposition 4.7. AssnI(σ)\mathrm{Ass}^I_n(\sigma)AssnI​(σ) has exactly nnn pairs of parallel facets, with normals e[j]e_{[j]}e[j]​ and e[j]‾e_{\overline{[j]}}e[j]​​. They are the diagonals of explicit quadrilaterals {i,j,j+1,k}\{i, j, j+1, k\}{i,j,j+1,k}.
  4. The four diagonals. The diagonals crossing at least one member of every parallel pair are those joining {0,1}\{0,1\}{0,1} to {n+1,n+2}\{n+1, n+2\}{n+1,n+2}.
  5. Rigidity. A dihedral symmetry mapping the parallel pairs of Pn+3(σ1)P_{n+3}(\sigma_1)Pn+3​(σ1​) onto those of Pn+3(σ2)P_{n+3}(\sigma_2)Pn+3​(σ2​) forces σ2∈{σ1,−σ1,σ1t,−σ1t}\sigma_2 \in \{\sigma_1, -\sigma_1, \sigma_1^t, -\sigma_1^t\}σ2​∈{σ1​,−σ1​,σ1t​,−σ1t​}.
  6. Reflection. AssnI(σ)≅AssnI(−σ)\mathrm{Ass}^I_n(\sigma) \cong \mathrm{Ass}^I_n(-\sigma)AssnI​(σ)≅AssnI​(−σ), with {Sδ(−σ)}={[n+1]∖Sδ(σ)}\{S_\delta(-\sigma)\} = \{[n+1] \setminus S_\delta(\sigma)\}{Sδ​(−σ)}={[n+1]∖Sδ​(σ)}.
  7. Reversal. AssnI(σ)≅AssnI(σt)\mathrm{Ass}^I_n(\sigma) \cong \mathrm{Ass}^I_n(\sigma^t)AssnI​(σ)≅AssnI​(σt), with {Sδ(σt)}={τ(Sδ(σ))}\{S_\delta(\sigma^t)\} = \{\tau(S_\delta(\sigma))\}{Sδ​(σt)}={τ(Sδ​(σ))} for τ(i)=n+2−i\tau(i) = n + 2 - iτ(i)=n+2−i.

Significance

The theorem gives an exact count. The number of normally non-isomorphic Hohlweg–Lange associahedra equals the number of sign sequences of length n−1n-1n−1 up to reflection and reversal, which is 2n−3+2⌊(n−3)/2⌋2^{n-3} + 2^{\lfloor (n-3)/2 \rfloor}2n−3+2⌊(n−3)/2⌋ for n≥3n \ge 3n≥3 (OEIS A005418). Together with Hohlweg–Lange's identification of the constant and alternating sequences, it shows that Loday's associahedron and the Chapoton–Fomin–Zelevinsky associahedron are not normally isomorphic for n≥3n \ge 3n≥3. It is one of the two classifications on which the paper's main result (Theorem 6.1, that the Hohlweg–Lange and Santos families meet only in the Chapoton–Fomin–Zelevinsky associahedron) rests.

Bergeron, Hohlweg, Lange and Thomas (Isometry classes of generalized associahedra, Sém. Lothar. Combin. 61A, 2009) classified the same family up to isometry of normal fans and obtained the same classes. As Remark 4.10 of the paper explains, that classification does not imply this one, because a normal isomorphism need not be an isometry. Combining the two gives Proposition 4.11, that normal isomorphism and isometry coincide for this family.

Theorem 4.9 is proved in the paper; no machine-checked version is known. A formalization would supply the first formal treatment of the crossing graph of polygon diagonals and its automorphisms (Lemma 2.2), of the Hohlweg–Lange normal vectors, and of linear isomorphisms of simplicial fans given by rays on diagonals.

Difficulty

The "if" direction needs two explicit linear isomorphisms. Their action on the sets SδS_\deltaSδ​ is not diagonal by diagonal: Pn+3(σ)P_{n+3}(\sigma)Pn+3​(σ) and Pn+3(−σ)P_{n+3}(-\sigma)Pn+3​(−σ) have different boundary edges, so the matching of diagonals goes through a mirror image and through the sign swaps of Remark 4.2. One must show that this matching preserves the cone structure, not just the set of normals.

The "only if" direction cannot compare the two polygons by label, since Pn+3(σ1)P_{n+3}(\sigma_1)Pn+3​(σ1​) and Pn+3(σ2)P_{n+3}(\sigma_2)Pn+3​(σ2​) order their labels differently around the boundary. A linear isomorphism of fans first has to be turned into a combinatorial object. Linearity has to be used twice: it maps rays to rays and preserves cones, which yields a crossing-preserving bijection, and it preserves opposite pairs of normals. Lemma 2.2 then reduces that bijection to one of 2n+62n+62n+6 dihedral symmetries. The remaining step is a case analysis showing that a symmetry preserving the parallel pairs, and the four distinguished diagonals they determine, is a reflection or reversal of σ~\widetilde\sigmaσ. Comparing the multisets of normal vectors alone is not enough: every σ\sigmaσ gives exactly nnn parallel pairs with the same normals ±e[j]\pm e_{[j]}±e[j]​.

Formalization scope

  • Polygon conventions. Polygon vertices are Fin (n + 3), diagonals are Sym2 (Fin (n + 3)), and crossing, diagonal and triangulation come from the published definition ChvatalArtGallery.FanPartition.Triangulation, used as a reference item. Signs are Bool, and σ\sigmaσ is a function Fin (n - 1) → Bool. Positions and labels are kept apart: hlLabel n σ p is the label at position p.
  • Fan-level encoding. All statements are about normal fans, not polytopes. The normal fan of AssnI(σ)\mathrm{Ass}^I_n(\sigma)AssnI​(σ) is encoded as the fan of the vectors vδ(σ)v_\delta(\sigma)vδ​(σ), with one cone per set of pairwise non-crossing diagonals. That this is its normal fan is Hohlweg–Lange's theorem (Proposition 4.3 of the paper, [17, Prop. 1.3]), assumed by the encoding and not proved. The projection modulo e[n+1]e_{[n+1]}e[n+1]​ is x↦(xk−xn+1)k≤nx \mapsto (x_k - x_{n+1})_{k \le n}x↦(xk​−xn+1​)k≤n​; linear-isomorphism classes do not depend on this choice.
  • Normal isomorphism. This is Definition 2.1 read literally: a LinearEquiv that sends every cone of the first fan to a cone of the second.
  • Corrected statements. Three printed slips are corrected:
    • In the four-diagonal claim, only those of the four label pairs that are diagonals count. For constant σ\sigmaσ one of them is a polygon edge.
    • The complement in milestone 6 is taken in [n+1][n+1][n+1], where the page prints [n][n][n].
    • The reversal in milestone 7 is τ(i)=n+2−i\tau(i) = n+2-iτ(i)=n+2−i, where the page prints n+1−in+1-in+1−i.
  • Dimension threshold. Lemma 2.2 applies n≥2n \ge 2n≥2 only to uniqueness, exactly as the page does; existence holds also for n=0,1n=0,1n=0,1.
  • Ruled-out trivializations. The isomorphism must be linear, since a homeomorphism or a bijection of cones would identify every pair. Cones are nonnegative spans of the actual vectors vδ(σ)v_\delta(\sigma)vδ​(σ), not index sets. Symmetries of the polygon are the 2(n+3)2(n+3)2(n+3) dihedral maps, not arbitrary permutations of the vertices.
  • What to build. Lemma 2.2 and the fan-isomorphism step are reusable for every classification of associahedra by normal fans, including the Santos family in the companion missions. Contributions to Lemma 2.2 and to the simplicial-fan step are particularly welcome.

Selected references

  • C. Ceballos, F. Santos, G. M. Ziegler, Many non-equivalent realizations of the associahedron, Combinatorica 34 (2014); arXiv:1109.5544v2. https://arxiv.org/abs/1109.5544
  • C. Hohlweg, C. E. M. C. Lange, Realizations of the associahedron and cyclohedron, Discrete Comput. Geom. 37 (2007). https://arxiv.org/abs/math/0510614
  • J.-L. Loday, Realization of the Stasheff polytope, Arch. Math. 83 (2004). https://arxiv.org/abs/math/0212126
  • F. Chapoton, S. Fomin, A. Zelevinsky, Polytopal realizations of generalized associahedra, Canad. Math. Bull. 45 (2002). https://arxiv.org/abs/math/0202004
  • N. Bergeron, C. Hohlweg, C. Lange, H. Thomas, Isometry classes of generalized associahedra, Sém. Lothar. Combin. 61A (2009).
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Operations ResearchPartial Differential EquationsProbability+1·Captain: mikedeng1

Steady-State Analysis of the Join-the-Shortest-Queue Model in the Halfin-Whitt Regime 2: The JSQ Diffusion Limit Satisfies a Foster-Lyapunov Drift ConditionResearch Paper

Motivation

Join-the-shortest-queue (JSQ) is the basic load-balancing rule for a system of nnn parallel single-server queues: every arriving customer joins a queue of minimal length. It is optimal in several senses for homogeneous servers and is the reference policy against which cheaper rules (power-of-ddd choices, join-the-idle-queue) are measured. In the Halfin–Whitt regime, where the arrival rate is nλn\lambdanλ with λ=1−β/n\lambda = 1-\beta/\sqrt nλ=1−β/n​ for a fixed β>0\beta>0β>0, Eschenfeldt and Gamarnik (arXiv:1502.00999) proved that the suitably centred and scaled numbers of queues of length at least one and at least two converge, on finite time intervals, to a two-dimensional reflected diffusion. Braverman (arXiv:1801.05121) justified the interchange of limits (the stationary distributions of the nnn-server chains converge to the stationary distribution of the diffusion). One ingredient of that result is that the diffusion is exponentially ergodic, so it has a unique stationary distribution that is approached at a geometric rate. This mission formalizes the analytic core of that ingredient: a Foster–Lyapunov drift condition for the diffusion's generator.

Timeline. Eschenfeldt and Gamarnik (2015) proved the process-level diffusion limit, the first analysis of JSQ in this regime. Mukherjee, Borst, van Leeuwaarden and Whiting (J. Appl. Probab. 53, 2016) showed that a class of load-balancing schemes shares the same diffusion limit. Braverman (arXiv 2018, v2 2019; Math. Oper. Res. 45(3), 2020) proved tightness of the scaled stationary distributions and exponential ergodicity of the limit, which together give the interchange of limits.

Setting

The state space is the closed quadrant Ω=(−∞,0]×[0,∞)\Omega = (-\infty,0]\times[0,\infty)Ω=(−∞,0]×[0,∞). For f:Ω→Rf:\Omega\to\mathbb Rf:Ω→R write f1=∂f/∂x1f_1 = \partial f/\partial x_1f1​=∂f/∂x1​, f2=∂f/∂x2f_2 = \partial f/\partial x_2f2​=∂f/∂x2​, f11=∂f1/∂x1f_{11} = \partial f_1/\partial x_1f11​=∂f1​/∂x1​. On the boundary ∂Ω\partial\Omega∂Ω these are one-sided derivatives, and C2(Ω)C^2(\Omega)C2(Ω) denotes the twice continuously differentiable functions in this sense.

The diffusion limit Y=(Y1,Y2)Y=(Y_1,Y_2)Y=(Y1​,Y2​) solves

Y1(t)=Y1(0)+2W(t)−βt+∫0t(−Y1(s)+Y2(s)) ds−U(t),Y2(t)=Y2(0)+U(t)−∫0tY2(s) ds,Y_1(t)=Y_1(0)+\sqrt2W(t)-\beta t+\int_0^t(-Y_1(s)+Y_2(s))\,ds-U(t),\qquad Y_2(t)=Y_2(0)+U(t)-\int_0^tY_2(s)\,ds,Y1​(t)=Y1​(0)+2​W(t)−βt+∫0t​(−Y1​(s)+Y2​(s))ds−U(t),Y2​(t)=Y2​(0)+U(t)−∫0t​Y2​(s)ds,

with WWW a standard Brownian motion and UUU a nondecreasing regulator that increases only when Y1=0Y_1=0Y1​=0. For f∈C2(Ω)f\in C^2(\Omega)f∈C2(Ω) with the reflection condition f1(0,x2)=f2(0,x2)f_1(0,x_2)=f_2(0,x_2)f1​(0,x2​)=f2​(0,x2​), its generator acts by

GYf(x)=(−x1+x2−β)f1(x)−x2f2(x)+f11(x),x∈Ω.G_Yf(x)=(-x_1+x_2-\beta)f_1(x)-x_2f_2(x)+f_{11}(x),\qquad x\in\Omega .GY​f(x)=(−x1​+x2​−β)f1​(x)−x2​f2​(x)+f11​(x),x∈Ω.

The construction of the Lyapunov function uses an auxiliary integer n≥1n\ge1n≥1 and the fluid operator

Lf(x)=(−x1+x2−βn)f1(x)−x2f2(x),Lf(x)=\Big(-x_1+x_2-\frac{\beta}{\sqrt n}\Big)f_1(x)-x_2f_2(x),Lf(x)=(−x1​+x2​−n​β​)f1​(x)−x2​f2​(x),

the generator of the deterministic fluid path v1′=−v1+v2−β/nv_1'=-v_1+v_2-\beta/\sqrt nv1′​=−v1​+v2​−β/n​, v2′=−v2v_2'=-v_2v2′​=−v2​. A smoothed indicator ϕ(ℓ,u)\phi^{(\ell,u)}ϕ(ℓ,u) (a piecewise cubic that rises from 000 at ℓ\ellℓ to 111 at uuu) and two levels β<κ1<κ2\beta<\kappa_1<\kappa_2β<κ1​<κ2​ define the PDEs

Lf(1)(x)=−ϕ(κ1/n,κ2/n)(−x1),Lf(2)(x)=−ϕ(κ1/n,κ2/n)(x2),x∈Ω,Lf^{(1)}(x)=-\phi^{(\kappa_1/\sqrt n,\kappa_2/\sqrt n)}(-x_1),\qquad Lf^{(2)}(x)=-\phi^{(\kappa_1/\sqrt n,\kappa_2/\sqrt n)}(x_2),\qquad x\in\Omega,Lf(1)(x)=−ϕ(κ1​/n​,κ2​/n​)(−x1​),Lf(2)(x)=−ϕ(κ1​/n​,κ2​/n​)(x2​),x∈Ω,

each with the reflection condition. Their solutions are written explicitly in terms of the fluid hitting times τ~(κ)\tilde\tau^{(\kappa)}τ~(κ) (through the Lambert W function) and τ\tauτ, and the curves Γ(κ)\Gamma^{(\kappa)}Γ(κ) that split Ω\OmegaΩ into regions S0,…,S3S_0,\dots,S_3S0​,…,S3​.

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem 4

For every β>0\beta>0β>0 there exist c>0c>0c>0, d>0d>0d>0, a compact set KKK and V∈C2(Ω)V\in C^2(\Omega)V∈C2(Ω) with V≥1V\ge1V≥1 on Ω\OmegaΩ, V(x)→∞V(x)\to\inftyV(x)→∞ as ∣x∣→∞|x|\to\infty∣x∣→∞ in Ω\OmegaΩ, and V1(0,x2)=V2(0,x2)V_1(0,x_2)=V_2(0,x_2)V1​(0,x2​)=V2​(0,x2​), such that

GYV(x)≤−cV(x)+d 1(x∈K),x∈Ω.G_YV(x)\le -cV(x)+d\,1(x\in K),\qquad x\in\Omega .GY​V(x)≤−cV(x)+d1(x∈K),x∈Ω.

The constants are unspecified and depend only on β\betaβ; the statement involves no nnn.

Milestones

  1. (5.6)–(5.7): ϕ(ℓ,u)\phi^{(\ell,u)}ϕ(ℓ,u) has an absolutely continuous derivative with ϕ′(ℓ)=ϕ′(u)=0\phi'(\ell)=\phi'(u)=0ϕ′(ℓ)=ϕ′(u)=0, ∣ϕ′∣≤4/(u−ℓ)|\phi'|\le 4/(u-\ell)∣ϕ′∣≤4/(u−ℓ) and ∣ϕ′′∣≤12/(u−ℓ)2|\phi''|\le12/(u-\ell)^2∣ϕ′′∣≤12/(u−ℓ)2.
  2. Lemma 10: τ~(κ)\tilde\tau^{(\kappa)}τ~(κ) extends to {x2=0}\{x_2=0\}{x2​=0}, vanishes on {x1=−κ/n}\{x_1=-\kappa/\sqrt n\}{x1​=−κ/n​}, and has explicit one-sided partial derivatives.
  3. Lemma 11: the explicit f(1)f^{(1)}f(1) is nonnegative, lies in C2(Ω)C^2(\Omega)C2(Ω), and has explicit first partials.
  4. Lemma 12: the explicit six-case f(2)f^{(2)}f(2) is well defined, lies in C2(Ω)C^2(\Omega)C2(Ω), and has the partials (C.8)–(C.9).
  5. Lemma 8: for ϵ>0\epsilon>0ϵ>0, κ1=β+ϵ\kappa_1=\beta+\epsilonκ1​=β+ϵ, κ2=β+2ϵ\kappa_2=\beta+2\epsilonκ2​=β+2ϵ, both PDEs have C2(Ω)C^2(\Omega)C2(Ω) solutions with
f(1)≤log⁡2,f(2)≤log⁡2+ϵβ on a box,∣f1(1)∣≤4nϵlog⁡2, ∣f11(1)∣≤12nϵ2log⁡2, ∣f1(2)∣≤nβ, ∣f11(2)∣≤nβϵ(1+4β+ϵϵ).f^{(1)}\le\log2,\quad f^{(2)}\le\log2+\tfrac{\epsilon}{\beta}\ \text{on a box},\qquad |f^{(1)}_1|\le\tfrac{4\sqrt n}{\epsilon}\log2,\ |f^{(1)}_{11}|\le\tfrac{12n}{\epsilon^2}\log2,\ |f^{(2)}_1|\le\tfrac{\sqrt n}{\beta},\ |f^{(2)}_{11}|\le\tfrac{n}{\beta\epsilon}\big(1+4\tfrac{\beta+\epsilon}{\epsilon}\big).f(1)≤log2,f(2)≤log2+βϵ​ on a box,∣f1(1)​∣≤ϵ4n​​log2, ∣f11(1)​∣≤ϵ212n​log2, ∣f1(2)​∣≤βn​​, ∣f11(2)​∣≤βϵn​(1+4ϵβ+ϵ​).

Significance

By the criterion of Down, Meyn and Tweedie (Ann. Probab. 23, 1995, Theorem 5.2), a drift inequality of the form (5.2) with compact KKK and V→∞V\to\inftyV→∞ implies that the diffusion is positive Harris recurrent and exponentially ergodic in the VVV-norm (Theorem 3 and Corollary 1 of the paper). Together with tightness of the prelimit stationary distributions (mission 1 of this series), this gives convergence of the stationary distributions of the JSQ chains to that of the diffusion. That justifies approximating steady-state JSQ performance by the diffusion.

The construction itself is reusable. Solving the fluid-model PDE Lf=−(smoothed indicator)Lf=-(\text{smoothed indicator})Lf=−(smoothed indicator) and exponentiating the solution is a general route from fluid stability to exponential ergodicity of a diffusion. This mission writes that route out for one reflected diffusion with explicit hitting-time formulas.

Status: the result is proved in the paper; no part of it has a machine-checked proof. Theorem 3 and Corollary 1 are not posed, because they rest on the cited Down–Meyn–Tweedie theory and on the existence of the reflected process, neither of which Mathlib has.

Difficulty

The reflecting boundary rules out the first candidates. The condition V1(0,x2)=V2(0,x2)V_1(0,x_2)=V_2(0,x_2)V1​(0,x2​)=V2​(0,x2​) excludes exponentials of linear functions such as ea(x2−x1)e^{a(x_2-x_1)}ea(x2​−x1​) unless a=0a=0a=0. The natural candidate from the fluid model, the exponential of the fluid time needed to reach a box, has a discontinuous integrand and is not in C2(Ω)C^2(\Omega)C2(Ω), so GYG_YGY​ cannot be applied to it. The milestone functions f(1)f^{(1)}f(1), f(2)f^{(2)}f(2) are given piecewise across the curves Γ(κ1)\Gamma^{(\kappa_1)}Γ(κ1​), Γ(κ2)\Gamma^{(\kappa_2)}Γ(κ2​) and the lines x1=−κi/nx_1=-\kappa_i/\sqrt nx1​=−κi​/n​, through implicitly defined hitting times. Three things are hard: C2C^2C2 regularity across these interfaces, the Lambert W asymptotics as x2↓0x_2\downarrow0x2​↓0, and second-derivative bounds that hold uniformly on the unbounded domain Ω\OmegaΩ with the stated dependence on nnn and ϵ\epsilonϵ.

Formalization scope

  • Points of Ω\OmegaΩ are pairs ℝ × ℝ, and Ω\OmegaΩ is Set.Iic 0 ×ˢ Set.Ici 0. Partials are fderivWithin ℝ f Ω in the coordinate directions, which are one-sided at boundary points. C2(Ω)C^2(\Omega)C2(Ω) is ContDiffOn ℝ 2 f Ω.
  • GYG_YGY​ is the generator formula of p. 16, and every statement applies it only to C2(Ω)C^2(\Omega)C2(Ω) functions with the reflection condition. The process (2.1) and the extended generator are not constructed. V∈C2(Ω)V\in C^2(\Omega)V∈C2(Ω) is part of the conclusion of Theorem 4, so a VVV whose derivatives within Ω\OmegaΩ are undefined (and default to 000) cannot satisfy (5.2) vacuously. Dropping V≥1V\ge1V≥1, V→∞V\to\inftyV→∞, the compactness of KKK, or c,d>0c,d>0c,d>0 would make (5.2) trivial, and all four are kept.
  • The auxiliary nnn is an integer n≥1n\ge1n≥1; no relation between β\betaβ and n\sqrt nn​ is assumed.
  • The Lambert W function (principal branch) is defined locally, since Mathlib has none. τ\tauτ takes values in WithTop ℝ, with ∞\infty∞ when no solution exists, and its real value is used only where it is finite. ν∗\nu^*ν∗ (the curve Γ(κ)\Gamma^{(\kappa)}Γ(κ)) is the solution of a nonlinear system whose uniqueness is Lemma 5.
  • Two printed misprints are corrected. Lemma 8's "for every ϵ>0\epsilon>0ϵ>0" is formalized with κ1=β+ϵ\kappa_1=\beta+\epsilonκ1​=β+ϵ, κ2=β+2ϵ\kappa_2=\beta+2\epsilonκ2​=β+2ϵ, the choice its proof makes; read literally, the printed statement is false. In (C.5) of Lemma 10 the identity τ~2=−τ~1τ~\tilde\tau_2=-\tilde\tau_1\tilde\tauτ~2​=−τ~1​τ~ is formalized as τ~2=τ~1τ~\tilde\tau_2=\tilde\tau_1\tilde\tauτ~2​=τ~1​τ~, which is what implicit differentiation gives.
  • Lemmas 5, 6 and 9 (properties of Γ(κ)\Gamma^{(\kappa)}Γ(κ), τ\tauτ and WWW) are milestones of mission 1; here their objects are only definitions. Contributions proving those facts in this namespace, or general lemmas on the Lambert W function, are welcome.

Selected references

  • A. Braverman, Steady-State Analysis of the Join-the-Shortest-Queue Model in the Halfin-Whitt Regime, Math. Oper. Res. 45(3), 2020; preprint arXiv:1801.05121v2, 2019. https://arxiv.org/abs/1801.05121, https://doi.org/10.1287/moor.2019.1023
  • P. Eschenfeldt, D. Gamarnik, Join the Shortest Queue with Many Servers. The Heavy-Traffic Asymptotics, 2015 (Math. Oper. Res. 43(3), 2018). https://arxiv.org/abs/1502.00999
  • D. Down, S. P. Meyn, R. L. Tweedie, Exponential and Uniform Ergodicity of Markov Processes, Ann. Probab. 23, 1671–1691, 1995. https://doi.org/10.1214/aop/1176987798
  • D. Mukherjee, S. C. Borst, J. S. H. van Leeuwaarden, P. A. Whiting, Universality of Load Balancing Schemes on the Diffusion Scale, J. Appl. Probab. 53, 1111–1124, 2016. https://projecteuclid.org/euclid.jap/1481132840
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Control TheoryMachine LearningOperations Research+2·Captain: mikedeng1

Convergence Analysis of Machine Learning for Mean Field Control, Finite Horizon: The N-Agent Discrete-Time Neural-Net Value Is Within O(N^{-1/max(d,4)} + n_in^{-1/(3(d+1))} + √Δt) of the MKV OptimumResearch Paper

Motivation

Mean field control studies the optimal control of a very large population of interacting agents through the limit in which the population is replaced by its distribution. The limit problem is a McKean–Vlasov (MKV) control problem: the dynamics and the cost of a representative agent depend on the law of its own state. Such problems arise in systemic risk, crowd motion, energy management and the planning of large distributed systems; the reference account is Carmona and Delarue, Probabilistic Theory of Mean Field Games with Applications I–II (Springer, 2018).

MKV control problems are rarely solvable in closed form, and grid-based numerical methods suffer from the dimension of the state. A practical alternative is to simulate a finite population on a time grid, parametrize the feedback control by a neural network, and minimize the simulated cost by stochastic gradient descent. Carmona and Laurière, Convergence analysis of machine learning algorithms for the numerical solution of mean field control and games: II — the finite horizon case (Ann. Appl. Probab. 32(6), 2022, doi:10.1214/21-AAP1715), quantify how close this computable proxy is to the true optimum. This mission formalizes the statement of their main result and of the propositions and lemmas its proof is built from.

Setting

Fix a horizon T>0T>0T>0, a state dimension ddd, a control dimension kkk (controls take values in A=RkA=\mathbb R^kA=Rk), an initial law μ0\mu_0μ0​ on Rd\mathbb R^dRd, a drift b(t,x,μ,α)b(t,x,\mu,\alpha)b(t,x,μ,α), a volatility σ(t,x,μ)\sigma(t,x,\mu)σ(t,x,μ) (not controlled), a running cost f(t,x,μ,α)f(t,x,\mu,\alpha)f(t,x,μ,α) and a terminal cost g(x,μ)g(x,\mu)g(x,μ); μ\muμ ranges over P2(Rd)\mathcal P_2(\mathbb R^d)P2​(Rd), the probability measures with finite second moment, compared with the Wasserstein distance W2W_2W2​.

Problem 1 (the MKV problem). On a probability space carrying a ddd-dimensional Wiener process WWW and an independent X0∼μ0X_0\sim\mu_0X0​∼μ0​, minimize over progressively measurable square-integrable controls α∈A\alpha\in\mathbb Aα∈A

J(α)=E[∫0Tf(t,Xt,L(Xt),αt) dt+g(XT,L(XT))],dXt=b(t,Xt,L(Xt),αt) dt+σ(t,Xt,L(Xt)) dWt,J(\alpha)=\mathbb E\Big[\int_0^Tf(t,X_t,\mathcal L(X_t),\alpha_t)\,dt+g(X_T,\mathcal L(X_T))\Big],\qquad dX_t=b(t,X_t,\mathcal L(X_t),\alpha_t)\,dt+\sigma(t,X_t,\mathcal L(X_t))\,dW_t,J(α)=E[∫0T​f(t,Xt​,L(Xt​),αt​)dt+g(XT​,L(XT​))],dXt​=b(t,Xt​,L(Xt​),αt​)dt+σ(t,Xt​,L(Xt​))dWt​,

where L(Xt)\mathcal L(X_t)L(Xt​) is the law of XtX_tXt​.

Problem 3 (the NNN-agent problem). NNN agents with independent Wiener processes WiW^iWi and i.i.d. initial states X0i∼μ0X^i_0\sim\mu_0X0i​∼μ0​ use a common feedback function v(t,x)v(t,x)v(t,x); the law is replaced by the empirical measure μtN=1N∑jδXtj\mu^N_t=\frac1N\sum_j\delta_{X^j_t}μtN​=N1​∑j​δXtj​​, and the cost is JN(v)=1N∑iE[∫0Tf(t,Xti,μtN,v(t,Xti)) dt+g(XTi,μTN)]J^N(v)=\frac1N\sum_i\mathbb E[\int_0^Tf(t,X^i_t,\mu^N_t,v(t,X^i_t))\,dt+g(X^i_T,\mu^N_T)]JN(v)=N1​∑i​E[∫0T​f(t,Xti​,μtN​,v(t,Xti​))dt+g(XTi​,μTN​)].

Problem 2 (the computable proxy). With Δt=T/NT\Delta t=T/N_TΔt=T/NT​ and tn=nΔtt_n=n\Delta ttn​=nΔt, the NNN agents follow the Euler scheme

Xˇtn+1i=Xˇtni+b(tn,Xˇtni,μˇtn,φ(tn,Xˇtni))Δt+σ(tn,Xˇtni,μˇtn)ΔWˇni\check X^i_{t_{n+1}}=\check X^i_{t_n}+b(t_n,\check X^i_{t_n},\check\mu_{t_n},\varphi(t_n,\check X^i_{t_n}))\Delta t+\sigma(t_n,\check X^i_{t_n},\check\mu_{t_n})\Delta\check W^i_nXˇtn+1​i​=Xˇtn​i​+b(tn​,Xˇtn​i​,μˇ​tn​​,φ(tn​,Xˇtn​i​))Δt+σ(tn​,Xˇtn​i​,μˇ​tn​​)ΔWˇni​

with i.i.d. Gaussian increments ΔWˇni∼N(0,Δt Id)\Delta\check W^i_n\sim\mathcal N(0,\Delta t\,I_d)ΔWˇni​∼N(0,ΔtId​), and JˇN(φ)\check J^N(\varphi)JˇN(φ) is the expected time-discretized cost. The feedback φ\varphiφ ranges over Nd+1,nin,kψ\mathbf N^\psi_{d+1,n_{\rm in},k}Nd+1,nin​,kψ​, the one-hidden-layer neural networks from (t,x)∈Rd+1(t,x)\in\mathbb R^{d+1}(t,x)∈Rd+1 to Rk\mathbb R^kRk with ninn_{\rm in}nin​ hidden neurons and activation ψ\psiψ; ψ\psiψ is 2π2\pi2π-periodic, of class C3\mathcal C^3C3, with ψ^1=∫−ππψ(x)e−ix dx≠0\hat\psi_1=\int_{-\pi}^{\pi}\psi(x)e^{-ix}\,dx\ne0ψ^​1​=∫−ππ​ψ(x)e−ixdx=0.

The standing assumptions (§2.2 and Appendix A of the paper) make b,σb,\sigmab,σ affine in (x,μˉ,α)(x,\bar\mu,\alpha)(x,μˉ​,α) (A1), make f,gf,gf,g differentiable in (x,α,μ)(x,\alpha,\mu)(x,α,μ) (in μ\muμ in the sense of the L-derivative) with Lipschitz derivatives (A2)–(A3), make fff strongly convex in α\alphaα (A4), and add the regularity (B1)–(B3), (C1)–(C3). Under them the reduced Hamiltonian b⋅y+fb\cdot y+fb⋅y+f has a minimizer α^(t,x,μ,y)\hat\alpha(t,x,\mu,y)α^(t,x,μ,y), the Pontryagin forward–backward system has a solution (X,Y,Z)(X,Y,Z)(X,Y,Z) with marginal flow μt\mu_tμt​, and Yt=V(t,Xt)Y_t=V(t,X_t)Yt​=V(t,Xt​) for a regular decoupling field VVV. The optimal feedback is v^(t,x)=α^(t,x,μt,V(t,x))\hat v(t,x)=\hat\alpha(t,x,\mu_t,V(t,x))v^(t,x)=α^(t,x,μt​,V(t,x)).

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem 3 (p. 4070)

inf⁡α∈AJ(α) ≥ inf⁡φ∈Nd+1,nin,kψJˇN(φ)−C(N−1/max⁡(d,4)1+ln⁡(N)1{d=4}+nin−1/(3(d+1))+Δt)\inf_{\alpha\in\mathbb A}J(\alpha)\ \ge\ \inf_{\varphi\in\mathbf N^\psi_{d+1,n_{\rm in},k}}\check J^N(\varphi)-C\Big(N^{-1/\max(d,4)}\sqrt{1+\ln(N)\mathbf 1_{\{d=4\}}}+n_{\rm in}^{-1/(3(d+1))}+\sqrt{\Delta t}\Big)α∈Ainf​J(α) ≥ φ∈Nd+1,nin​,kψ​inf​JˇN(φ)−C(N−1/max(d,4)1+ln(N)1{d=4}​​+nin−1/(3(d+1))​+Δt​)

for a constant CCC depending only on the data and on ψ\psiψ, for all N,nin,NT≥1N,n_{\rm in},N_T\ge1N,nin​,NT​≥1.

The three steps

  1. Proposition 7 (finite population): inf⁡αJ(α)≥JN(v^)−c1N−2/max⁡(d,4)(1+ln⁡(N)1{d=4})\inf_\alpha J(\alpha)\ge J^N(\hat v)-c_1\sqrt{N^{-2/\max(d,4)}(1+\ln(N)\mathbf 1_{\{d=4\}})}infα​J(α)≥JN(v^)−c1​N−2/max(d,4)(1+ln(N)1{d=4}​)​.
  2. Proposition 8 (network class): some φ^∈Nd+1,nin,kψ\hat\varphi\in\mathbf N^\psi_{d+1,n_{\rm in},k}φ^​∈Nd+1,nin​,kψ​ with bounded Lipschitz constants has JN(v^)≥JN(φ^)−K2nin−1/(3(d+1))J^N(\hat v)\ge J^N(\hat\varphi)-K_2n_{\rm in}^{-1/(3(d+1))}JN(v^)≥JN(φ^​)−K2​nin−1/(3(d+1))​.
  3. Proposition 15 (time step): ∣JN(φ)−JˇN(φ)∣≤CΔt|J^N(\varphi)-\check J^N(\varphi)|\le C\sqrt{\Delta t}∣JN(φ)−JˇN(φ)∣≤CΔt​ for regular feedbacks.

Supporting results

Lemma 18 (Lipschitz continuity of α^\hat\alphaα^), Proposition 10 (network approximation of a function and its first two xxx-derivatives at rate nin−1/(2(d+1))n_{\rm in}^{-1/(2(d+1))}nin−1/(2(d+1))​ on [0,T]×Bˉd(0,R)[0,T]\times\bar B_d(0,R)[0,T]×Bˉd​(0,R)), (C.2) (moment bounds uniform in NNN), Proposition 13 (stability of JNJ^NJN under feedbacks close on a ball), Lemma 19 (time regularity of the particle system) and Lemma 14 (strong error CNΔtCN\Delta tCNΔt of the Euler scheme).

Significance

The theorem certifies the standard deep-learning approach to mean field control: the value computed by minimizing the simulated finite-population, discrete-time cost over networks is, up to an explicit error with separate rates for population size, network width and time step, no larger than the true MKV value. The rates also expose where the method loses: the nin−1/(3(d+1))n_{\rm in}^{-1/(3(d+1))}nin−1/(3(d+1))​ term is a curse of dimensionality in the network step (Remark 11).

The result is proved in the paper (§3 and Appendices B–D); the proof of Proposition 7 is a modification of Carmona–Delarue, Vol. II, Theorem 6.17. None of it is formalized. A formal development would provide the first machine-checked bridge between a stochastic control problem of McKean–Vlasov type and a concrete learning architecture, and its intermediate results (moment and stability estimates for interacting particle systems, the strong error of an Euler scheme with constants independent of the number of particles, simultaneous approximation of a function and its derivatives by periodic networks) are reusable on their own.

Difficulty

Each step rests on research-level analysis. Proposition 7 needs the Pontryagin principle for McKean–Vlasov control, the propagation of chaos for the optimally controlled system, and the Fournier–Guillin rate for empirical measures, whose max⁡(d,4)\max(d,4)max(d,4) exponent and logarithmic correction at d=4d=4d=4 appear in the bound. Proposition 8 requires approximating the optimal feedback together with its first two derivatives in xxx, because the time-discretization step needs regularity of the approximating network; standard universal approximation results give no control of derivatives, and the available simultaneous approximation results hold only for periodic functions, which forces a localization to a ball whose radius must be balanced against the approximation rate. Proposition 15 cannot be obtained from classical Euler estimates for a system of NdNdNd equations, whose constants grow with NNN: the estimates must be done agent by agent through the empirical measure.

Formalization scope

Rd\mathbb R^dRd is Fin d → ℝ with the sup norm; every constant is existential, so all statements are norm-independent. Time is ℝ≥0 for processes. Solutions of (2.2) and (3.2) use the published Itô-process predicate Peng1990.SMP.IsItoProcess (for X−X0X-X_0X−X0​, with continuous paths and the natural filtration of the initial data and the noise); the backward equation of the Pontryagin system uses Peng1990.SMP.SolvesBSDE; W2W_2W2​ is the published WassersteinDRO.Duality.wassersteinDistance. Problem 2 is law-level: the Euler scheme is a deterministic map of initial positions and increments, integrated against μ0⊗N⊗N(0,ΔtId)⊗NNT\mu_0^{\otimes N}\otimes\mathcal N(0,\Delta t I_d)^{\otimes NN_T}μ0⊗N​⊗N(0,ΔtId​)⊗NNT​; Lemma 14 couples it with the continuous system through the Brownian increments, as the paper does.

The hypotheses are bundled as Coeff ((A1)–(A4), (B1), (B3), (C1), with witnesses for every derivative; the L-derivative is the Fréchet derivative of the lift on L2([0,1])L^2([0,1])L2([0,1])) and DecouplingField ((2.6), existence of a solution of (2.7) on some Problem-1 space, Yt=V(t,Xt)Y_t=V(t,X_t)Yt​=V(t,Xt​), (B2), (C2), (C3)). Disclosed readings: ggg's L-convexity is (A4) without α\alphaα and with right-hand side 000; unique solvability of (2.7), uniqueness and Lipschitz continuity of α^\hat\alphaα^ are not assumed (the last is Lemma 18); Proposition 13 lets its constant depend on bounds for ∣v(0,0)∣,∣w(0,0)∣|v(0,0)|,|w(0,0)|∣v(0,0)∣,∣w(0,0)∣, as its proof does; Proposition 15 reads the first bound of (3.16) as C1(1+∣(t,x)∣)C_1(1+|(t,x)|)C1​(1+∣(t,x)∣). Infima are stated pointwise (∀α ∀η>0 ∃φ\forall\alpha\,\forall\eta>0\,\exists\varphi∀α∀η>0∃φ), never as a real ⨅, and N,nin,NT≥1N,n_{\rm in},N_T\ge1N,nin​,NT​≥1 throughout. The hypothesis bundle is not vacuous: a sorry-free check exhibits the model b=σ=0b=\sigma=0b=σ=0, f=∣α∣2f=|\alpha|^2f=∣α∣2, g=0g=0g=0, μ0=δ0\mu_0=\delta_0μ0​=δ0​ with α^=0\hat\alpha=0α^=0, V=0V=0V=0 satisfying every assumption on any Problem-1 space. Junk values cannot trivialize the goal: the costs are Bochner integrals whose integrability follows from the assumptions, so a non-integrable cost would only make the claimed inequality harder, never vacuous.

Contributions are welcome at every level: proofs of the milestones, in particular the self-contained Lemmas 14 and 19, (C.2) and Proposition 13; infrastructure for the L-derivative, Itô's formula for the published Itô processes, empirical-measure convergence rates, and trigonometric approximation of Cr\mathcal C^rCr periodic functions.

Selected references

  • R. Carmona, M. Laurière, Convergence analysis of machine learning algorithms for the numerical solution of mean field control and games: II — the finite horizon case, Ann. Appl. Probab. 32(6) (2022), 4065–4105. https://doi.org/10.1214/21-AAP1715
  • R. Carmona, F. Delarue, Probabilistic Theory of Mean Field Games with Applications I–II, Springer (2018). https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-319-58920-6
  • N. Fournier, A. Guillin, On the rate of convergence in Wasserstein distance of the empirical measure, Probab. Theory Relat. Fields 162 (2015), 707–738. https://doi.org/10.1007/s00440-014-0583-7
  • S. Peng, A general stochastic maximum principle for optimal control problems, SIAM J. Control Optim. 28(4) (1990), 966–979. https://doi.org/10.1137/0328054
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Mathematical PhysicsProbability·Captain: mikedeng1

The Two-Dimensional KPZ Equation in the Entire Subcritical Regime: For Every β̂ ∈ (0, 1) the Rescaled Log-Partition Function of the 2D Directed Polymer Has Edwards–Wilkinson Gaussian FluctuationsResearch Paper

Motivation

The two-dimensional directed polymer is a random walk whose paths are reweighted by a random space-time environment. Its logarithmic partition function is a discrete counterpart of the height field of the two-dimensional Kardar–Parisi–Zhang equation. At the intermediate-disorder scale, the random weighting becomes weaker as the walk grows, yet its fluctuations remain visible. Caravenna, Sun and Zygouras prove that throughout the subcritical regime 0<β^<10<\hat\beta<10<β^​<1, spatial averages of the centred log-partition function converge to Gaussian fluctuations described by an additive stochastic heat equation (Theorem 1.6, p. 6).

The polymer formulation matters because it is a concrete finite-path model: each partition function is an average over finitely many nearest-neighbour walks, while its limit retains the effect of disorder at every scale. The same paper treats the continuum KPZ equation separately; this mission takes its stated polymer theorem as the target. Earlier work in dimension 1+11+11+1 studied a different intermediate-disorder scaling and a Wiener-chaos limit (Alberts, Khanin and Quastel, 2014). The two-dimensional result concerns a distinct regime and a different limit.

Setting

Let SSS be the simple symmetric random walk on Z2\mathbb Z^2Z2. Starting at xxx, it chooses each of its four nearest-neighbour steps with probability 1/41/41/4. Write qn(z)=P0(Sn=z)q_n(z)=P_0(S_n=z)qn​(z)=P0​(Sn​=z), and let S~\widetilde SS be an independent copy. Their expected overlap through time NNN is

RN=∑n=1NP(Sn=S~n)=∑n=1N∑z∈Z2qn(z)2.R_N=\sum_{n=1}^N P(S_n=\widetilde S_n)=\sum_{n=1}^N\sum_{z\in\mathbb Z^2}q_n(z)^2.RN​=n=1∑N​P(Sn​=Sn​)=n=1∑N​z∈Z2∑​qn​(z)2.

For a fixed β^∈(0,1)\hat\beta\in(0,1)β^​∈(0,1), the disorder strength is βN=β^/RN\beta_N=\hat\beta/\sqrt{R_N}βN​=β^​/RN​​. The environment ω(n,z)\omega(n,z)ω(n,z) consists of independent, identically distributed real random variables with mean zero, variance one and finite exponential moments at all sufficiently small positive arguments. Its logarithmic moment generating function is λ(b)=log⁡E[ebω]\lambda(b)=\log\mathbb E[e^{b\omega}]λ(b)=logE[ebω]. The law also obeys the paper's concentration assumption (1.20): convex 1-Lipschitz functions of any finite collection of environment variables have stretched-exponential deviations from a median, measured with Euclidean distance (pp. 5–6).

For a length-NNN walk from xxx, sum βNω(n,Sn)−λ(βN)\beta_N\omega(n,S_n)-\lambda(\beta_N)βN​ω(n,Sn​)−λ(βN​) over times 1,…,N1,\ldots,N1,…,N, exponentiate, and average over paths. The result is the partition function ZN(x)Z_N(x)ZN​(x). Where λ(βN)\lambda(\beta_N)λ(βN​) is finite, its centring gives EZN(x)=1\mathbb E Z_N(x)=1EZN​(x)=1. A restricted function ZΛ,b(x)Z_{\Lambda,b}(x)ZΛ,b​(x) samples disorder only from the space-time sites in Λ\LambdaΛ. Section 2 uses an early window ANxA_N^xANx​ near the start and a late window BN≥B_N^{\ge}BN≥​ to define ZNA(x)Z_N^A(x)ZNA​(x), its remainder Z^NA(x)=ZN(x)−ZNA(x)\widehat Z_N^A(x)=Z_N(x)-Z_N^A(x)ZNA​(x)=ZN​(x)−ZNA​(x), and ZNB≥(x)Z_N^{B\ge}(x)ZNB≥​(x) (pp. 7–9).

At macroscopic time t>0t>0t>0 and position y∈R2y\in\mathbb R^2y∈R2, the fluctuation field is

hN(t,y)=log⁡Z⌊tN⌋(⌊Ny⌋)−E[log⁡Z⌊tN⌋(0)]βN.\mathfrak h_N(t,y)=\frac{\log Z_{\lfloor tN\rfloor}(\lfloor\sqrt N y\rfloor)-\mathbb E[\log Z_{\lfloor tN\rfloor}(0)]}{\beta_N}.hN​(t,y)=βN​logZ⌊tN⌋​(⌊N​y⌋)−E[logZ⌊tN⌋​(0)]​.

The floor of a vector is componentwise. In the numerator, Z⌊tN⌋Z_{\lfloor tN\rfloor}Z⌊tN⌋​ uses the disorder strength β⌊tN⌋\beta_{\lfloor tN\rfloor}β⌊tN⌋​; the field is divided by βN\beta_NβN​, exactly as in (1.23).

Formalization targets

For every t>0t>0t>0 and smooth compactly supported test function ϕ\phiϕ, Theorem 1.6 asserts

∫R2hN(t,y)ϕ(y) dy→d⟨v(2cβ^)(t/2,⋅),ϕ⟩,cβ^=11−β^2.\int_{\mathbb R^2}\mathfrak h_N(t,y)\phi(y)\,dy\xrightarrow{d}\langle v^{(\sqrt2c_{\hat\beta})}(t/2,\cdot),\phi\rangle,\qquad c_{\hat\beta}=\sqrt{\frac1{1-\hat\beta^2}}.∫R2​hN​(t,y)ϕ(y)dyd​⟨v(2​cβ^​​)(t/2,⋅),ϕ⟩,cβ^​​=1−β^​21​​.

The tested limit is centred Gaussian. Its variance is (2cβ^)2σϕ2(t/2)(\sqrt2c_{\hat\beta})^2\sigma_\phi^2(t/2)(2​cβ^​​)2σϕ2​(t/2), where

σϕ2(s)=∬ϕ(x)Ks(x,y)ϕ(y) dx dy,Ks(x,y)=∫0se−∣x−y∣2/(4u)4πu du.\sigma_\phi^2(s)=\iint\phi(x)K_s(x,y)\phi(y)\,dx\,dy,\qquad K_s(x,y)=\int_0^s\frac{e^{-|x-y|^2/(4u)}}{4\pi u}\,du.σϕ2​(s)=∬ϕ(x)Ks​(x,y)ϕ(y)dxdy,Ks​(x,y)=∫0s​4πue−∣x−y∣2/(4u)​du.

The milestone list follows the paper's stated results: second-moment bounds (3.2)–(3.4), higher moments for some p>2p>2p>2 (3.12), a left-tail bound (Proposition 3.1) and the negative and logarithmic moments it yields (3.14)–(3.16), vanishing spatial averages for two error terms (Propositions 2.1–2.2), replacement by the late-window term (Proposition 2.3), and the Gaussian limit for that term (Proposition 2.4). These are the exact result labels used in Sections 2 and 3 (pp. 8–13).

Significance

The theorem identifies the fluctuation law of the logarithm of the polymer partition function for every β^\hat\betaβ^​ strictly below the critical value 111. The coefficient cβ^c_{\hat\beta}cβ^​​ records the disorder strength in the limiting covariance, and the time t/2t/2t/2 reflects the two-dimensional walk's covariance convention. Without the spatial averaging and normalization, the statement would concern a different observable; the theorem characterizes a field tested against compactly supported functions (Theorem 1.6 and Remark 1.7).

The result is proved in the cited paper. This mission asks for a machine-checked proof of that known result and its curated supporting statements. The reusable output includes a finite-path polymer model on Z2\mathbb Z^2Z2, a precise restricted partition function, the disorder concentration assumption, and the Gaussian covariance functional. The published atomic polymer model already supplies the space-time cells, steps, walk positions and log moment generating function; this mission extends that common base to the centred, spatially shifted model of this paper.

Difficulty

Pointwise size does not identify the limiting spatial fluctuations. The early-window partition function captures much of ZN(x)Z_N(x)ZN​(x) at a fixed site, yet its averaged logarithm vanishes at the target scale. The small remainder cannot simply be discarded: after division by the early-window function, its late-time component carries the Gaussian limit. The paper separates these effects in Propositions 2.1–2.4 and needs moment and left-tail control to keep the logarithmic expression meaningful (Sections 2–4). A direct Taylor expansion of log⁡ZN\log Z_NlogZN​ around its mean would lose this distinction.

Formalization scope

Lean uses finite sequences of four-neighbour steps and the Euclidean norm on R2\mathbb R^2R2. Disorder is a family indexed by positive walk times and lattice sites; the time-zero row of its ambient type is unused. The full and restricted partition functions are finite walk averages. The concentration assumption quantifies over Euclidean 1-Lipschitz convex functions and their medians. The test class of Theorem 1.6 is Cc∞(R2)C_c^\infty(\mathbb R^2)Cc∞​(R2); the four Section 2 propositions use Cc(R2)C_c(\mathbb R^2)Cc​(R2). Treating “smooth” as analytic would make compactly supported tests trivial, so the Lean statement uses the smooth differentiability order.

The target additive stochastic heat observable is represented by its Gaussian law and the kernel above; the random field v(c)v^{(c)}v(c) itself is not formalized, and the statement does not need it. The kernel takes extended nonnegative values because it is infinite on the diagonal; the diagonal has zero area in the tested covariance integral. Moments and L1/L2L^1/L^2L1/L2 convergence use extended nonnegative integrals. The paper assumes exponential moments only near zero, so bounds whose printed form quantifies over every NNN are stated for all sufficiently large NNN, avoiding default values of the logarithmic moment generating function at early indices. The spatial sums have finite support because the test functions do. Replacing the Euclidean norm by the sup norm would change the early window (a square instead of a disc), the kernel and the class of 1-Lipschitz functions in (1.20), so all of these are Euclidean. The polymer propositions are stated for every window exponent below a threshold, as in (2.2), and the passage from the time-1 lattice averages of Propositions 2.1–2.4 to the general-time integral of Theorem 1.6 is part of the proof work, not of the statements. Contributions to the polymer moments, left-tail estimate, replacement propositions and Gaussian limit all feed the stated goal.

Selected references

  • Francesco Caravenna, Rongfeng Sun and Nikos Zygouras, The two-dimensional KPZ equation in the entire subcritical regime, Annals of Probability 48(3), 2020; formalization source: arXiv:1812.03911v3.
  • Tom Alberts, Konstantin Khanin and Jeremy Quastel, The intermediate disorder regime for directed polymers in dimension 1+1, Annals of Probability 42(3), 2014, DOI:10.1214/13-AOP895.
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Retail Assortment Planning in the Presence of Consumer Search IV: Under Overlapping-Assortment Search, the Full Assortment Is Optimal Once Search Is Cheap EnoughResearch Paper

Assortment planning when consumers can shop elsewhere

A retailer that decides which variants of a product to stock (its assortment) trades off the revenue each variant brings against the operational cost of carrying it. The classical model of this trade-off uses the multinomial logit (MNL) model of consumer choice: a consumer who does not like what the store offers simply buys nothing (van Ryzin & Mahajan 1999). In practice a consumer who does not like what the store offers can also go elsewhere. Cachon, Terwiesch and Xu (working paper, December 2002; published in MSOM 7(4), 2005) add this consumer search to the MNL model and ask how it changes the retailer's optimal assortment.

They study two search models. In the overlapping assortment model (§3.1), a consumer who searches pays a search cost bbb and then finds a competitor carrying every variant, so search can only reveal variants the store does not carry. This mission formalizes the paper's Theorem 6 about that model: when search is cheap, the store's best response is to carry everything.

Setting

There are nnn variants, N={1,…,n}N = \{1,\dots,n\}N={1,…,n}, and an assortment is a subset S⊆NS \subseteq NS⊆N; write Sˉ=N−S\bar S = N - SSˉ=N−S for the variants the store does not carry. A consumer's utility for variant iii is Ui=(ui−pi)+ζiU_i = (u_i - p_i) + \zeta_iUi​=(ui​−pi​)+ζi​, where ui−piu_i - p_iui​−pi​ is the variant's expected net utility and the shocks ζi\zeta_iζi​ are independent with the zero-mean Gumbel distribution function F(x)=exp⁡[−exp⁡(−(x/μ+γ))]F(x) = \exp[-\exp(-(x/\mu + \gamma))]F(x)=exp[−exp(−(x/μ+γ))], with scale μ>0\mu > 0μ>0 and γ\gammaγ Euler's constant. The no-purchase option is a "faux variant" 000 with utility U0U_0U0​. Its preference is vi=exp⁡((ui−pi)/μ)>0v_i = \exp((u_i - p_i)/\mu) > 0vi​=exp((ui​−pi​)/μ)>0, and v0>0v_0 > 0v0​>0 is the preference of not buying.

Without search, variant i∈Si \in Si∈S has the MNL demand (2), qim(S)=vi/(∑k∈Svk+v0)q_i^m(S) = v_i / (\sum_{k\in S} v_k + v_0)qim​(S)=vi​/(∑k∈S​vk​+v0​). Following Theorem 1, put λ(u)=exp⁡[−(u/μ+γ)]\lambda(u) = \exp[-(u/\mu + \gamma)]λ(u)=exp[−(u/μ+γ)] and

H(u,S)=exp⁡(−λ(u)(v0+∑j∈Svj)),H(u, S) = \exp\Big(-\lambda(u)\big(v_0 + \textstyle\sum_{j\in S} v_j\big)\Big),H(u,S)=exp(−λ(u)(v0​+∑j∈S​vj​)),

the probability that every option the store offers, including not buying, has utility at most uuu. The best utility outside the store, max⁡i∈SˉUi\max_{i\in\bar S} U_imaxi∈Sˉ​Ui​, has a density w(yˉ,S)w(\bar y, S)w(yˉ​,S). A consumer whose best in-store utility is yyy searches when the expected gain exceeds the cost,

ΦS(y)=∫y∞(yˉ−y) w(yˉ,S) dyˉ ≥ b,(5)\Phi_S(y) = \int_y^\infty (\bar y - y)\, w(\bar y, S)\, d\bar y \ \ge\ b, \qquad (5)ΦS​(y)=∫y∞​(yˉ​−y)w(yˉ​,S)dyˉ​ ≥ b,(5)

and the search threshold Uˉ(S)\bar U(S)Uˉ(S) is the solution of ΦS(Uˉ(S))=b\Phi_S(\bar U(S)) = bΦS​(Uˉ(S))=b, equation (4). Theorem 3 gives the resulting demand,

qiso(S)=qim(S)(1−H(Uˉ(S),S)),i∈S, S≠N.q_i^{so}(S) = q_i^m(S)\big(1 - H(\bar U(S), S)\big), \qquad i \in S,\ S \ne N.qiso​(S)=qim​(S)(1−H(Uˉ(S),S)),i∈S, S=N.

When the store carries everything there is nothing to search for (p. 28: "If the retailer offers the full assortment, there will be no consumer search"), so qiso(N)=qim(N)q_i^{so}(N) = q_i^m(N)qiso​(N)=qim​(N).

Variant iii earns margin mim_imi​ per unit and costs c(qi)c(q_i)c(qi​) to carry, where ccc is concave and increasing (economies of scale). The retailer's profit is

π(S)=∑i∈S[mi qiso(S)−c(qiso(S))],(1), (13).\pi(S) = \sum_{i\in S}\big[m_i\, q_i^{so}(S) - c(q_i^{so}(S))\big], \qquad (1),\ (13).π(S)=i∈S∑​[mi​qiso​(S)−c(qiso​(S))],(1), (13).

As printed, the second line of (13) writes qiso(S)(1−H(Uˉ(S),S))q_i^{so}(S)(1 - H(\bar U(S), S))qiso​(S)(1−H(Uˉ(S),S)) where qim(S)(1−H(Uˉ(S),S))q_i^m(S)(1 - H(\bar U(S), S))qim​(S)(1−H(Uˉ(S),S)) is meant; the definition uses the latter.

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem 6 (p. 18)

If the full assortment is profitable, π(N)>0\pi(N) > 0π(N)>0, then there is a bˉ>0\bar b > 0bˉ>0 such that

πb(S)≤πb(N)for every S⊆N and every search cost 0<b≤bˉ.\pi_b(S) \le \pi_b(N) \qquad \text{for every } S \subseteq N \text{ and every search cost } 0 < b \le \bar b .πb​(S)≤πb​(N)for every S⊆N and every search cost 0<b≤bˉ.

The threshold bˉ\bar bbˉ depends on the data v,v0,μ,m,cv, v_0, \mu, m, cv,v0​,μ,m,c but is one number for all assortments SSS.

Milestones

  1. w(⋅,S)w(\cdot, S)w(⋅,S) is the density of max⁡i∈SˉUi\max_{i\in\bar S} U_imaxi∈Sˉ​Ui​ (proof of Theorem 3, p. 11).
  2. For S≠NS \ne NS=N, the gain ΦS(y)\Phi_S(y)ΦS​(y) is finite and strictly decreasing in yyy (proof of Theorem 3, p. 11).
  3. For S≠NS \ne NS=N and b>0b > 0b>0, Uˉ(S)\bar U(S)Uˉ(S) is the unique solution of (4) (Theorem 3, p. 11).
  4. Uˉ(S)\bar U(S)Uˉ(S) is strictly decreasing in bbb (proof of Theorem 6, p. 18).
  5. Uˉ(S)→−∞\bar U(S) \to -\inftyUˉ(S)→−∞ as b→∞b \to \inftyb→∞ and Uˉ(S)→∞\bar U(S) \to \inftyUˉ(S)→∞ as b→0+b \to 0^+b→0+ (p. 18).
  6. H(Uˉ(S),S)→1H(\bar U(S), S) \to 1H(Uˉ(S),S)→1 and qiso(S)→0q_i^{so}(S) \to 0qiso​(S)→0 as b→0+b \to 0^+b→0+ (p. 18).

Significance

Theorem 6 separates the overlapping model sharply from the no-search MNL model and from the paper's independent-assortment model. In those two models every variant in an optimal assortment must earn a strictly positive profit, because dropping a loss-making variant only shifts demand to the remaining ones. In the overlapping model the assortment also controls whether consumers leave: carrying an unprofitable variant can pay because it removes a reason to search. Theorem 6 is the extreme form of this effect, stating that the motive to prevent search can override the profitability of individual variants entirely (§4.3, p. 17).

The paper gives only a short sketch of the proof. The steps it asserts without proof are the existence and uniqueness of Uˉ(S)\bar U(S)Uˉ(S), its monotonicity and limits in bbb, and the explicit density www. This mission states each of them as a milestone. No machine-checked version of any of these results is known.

Difficulty

The search threshold Uˉ(S)\bar U(S)Uˉ(S) is defined only implicitly, through an improper integral of the density of a maximum of Gumbel variables. Each property the theorem needs (that the equation has exactly one root, that the root moves monotonically with bbb, and that it escapes to +∞+\infty+∞ as b→0b \to 0b→0) has to be read off the integral. That means controlling ΦS\Phi_SΦS​ on the whole real line: its convergence, its strict decrease, and its limits at ±∞\pm\infty±∞.

The final comparison is not a direct consequence of qiso(S)→0q_i^{so}(S) \to 0qiso​(S)→0 either. A variant's profit miq−c(q)m_i q - c(q)mi​q−c(q) tends to −c(0)-c(0)−c(0) rather than to 000, so the conclusion depends on the sign of c(0)c(0)c(0), and bˉ\bar bbˉ must be chosen uniformly over all 2n2^n2n assortments.

Formalization scope

The shared model is the definition AssortSearch.FullAssort.Model, which builds on the published MNL share RetailVariety.Structure.share. Its conventions:

  • Variants are Fin n, numbered from 0; the paper's variant iii is index i−1i-1i−1. The no-purchase option is not a variant: v0v_0v0​ is a separate positive real.
  • Preferences vi>0v_i > 0vi​>0, v0>0v_0 > 0v0​>0 and the scale μ>0\mu > 0μ>0 are free data ("for any given set of preference"). γ\gammaγ is Real.eulerMascheroniConstant.
  • Assortments are arbitrary Finset (Fin n), including ∅\emptyset∅, whose profit is 000.
  • w(yˉ,S)w(\bar y, S)w(yˉ​,S) is given by its explicit formula (VˉS/μ) λ(yˉ)exp⁡(−λ(yˉ)VˉS)(\bar V_S/\mu)\,\lambda(\bar y)\exp(-\lambda(\bar y)\bar V_S)(VˉS​/μ)λ(yˉ​)exp(−λ(yˉ​)VˉS​) with VˉS=∑i∈Sˉvi\bar V_S = \sum_{i\in\bar S} v_iVˉS​=∑i∈Sˉ​vi​. Milestone 1 proves that it is the density of the maximum.
  • ΦS(u)\Phi_S(u)ΦS​(u) is the Lebesgue integral over (u,∞)(u, \infty)(u,∞). Its integrability is part of milestone 2, so no result relies on Lean's value 000 for a non-integrable function.
  • Uˉ(S)\bar U(S)Uˉ(S) is defined as inf⁡{u:ΦS(u)≤b}\inf\{u : \Phi_S(u) \le b\}inf{u:ΦS​(u)≤b}; milestone 3 proves that it solves (4). The demand for S=NS = NS=N is the no-search MNL share, and Uˉ(N)\bar U(N)Uˉ(N) is never used.
  • The cost c:R→Rc : \mathbb R \to \mathbb Rc:R→R is concave and monotone on [0,1][0,1][0,1], where all demands lie. The hypothesis c(0)≥0c(0) \ge 0c(0)≥0 is added to Theorem 6; without it the theorem fails (a counterexample is in the goal's statement).
  • Search costs are positive: 0<b≤bˉ0 < b \le \bar b0<b≤bˉ.
  • The margins mim_imi​ are reals that satisfy §3's standing assumption of monotone margins (p. 6): mj≥mkm_j \ge m_kmj​≥mk​ whenever vj≥vkv_j \ge v_kvj​≥vk​ (equivalently uj−pj≥uk−pku_j - p_j \ge u_k - p_kuj​−pj​≥uk​−pk​). §3's labelling of variants by decreasing net utility is a labelling without loss of generality and is not encoded, since assortments are arbitrary subsets.

Several formalizations would make the goal trivial or empty, and each is excluded:

  • taking Uˉ(S)\bar U(S)Uˉ(S) as a free parameter instead of the solution of (4);
  • concluding ∃bˉ\exists \bar b∃bˉ without bˉ>0\bar b > 0bˉ>0;
  • defining qso(N)q^{so}(N)qso(N) through a junk value of Uˉ(N)\bar U(N)Uˉ(N);
  • dropping the hypothesis π(N)>0\pi(N) > 0π(N)>0;
  • fixing a specific cost function.

A complete development needs the integral calculus of the Gumbel tail (∫u∞(yˉ−u)w\int_u^\infty (\bar y - u) w∫u∞​(yˉ​−u)w and its derivative in uuu) and the product-measure computation of the law of a maximum of independent variables. Both are reusable beyond this paper, for instance in other search and extreme-value models. Contributions are welcome on any milestone, and on helper lemmas such as the continuity of ΦS\Phi_SΦS​ and its limits at ±∞\pm\infty±∞.

Selected references

  • G. P. Cachon, C. Terwiesch, Y. Xu, Retail Assortment Planning in the Presence of Consumer Search, Wharton working paper, December 20, 2002; published in Manufacturing & Service Operations Management 7(4):330–346, 2005. https://doi.org/10.1287/msom.1050.0088
  • G. van Ryzin, S. Mahajan, On the Relationship Between Inventory Costs and Variety Benefits in Retail Assortments, Management Science 45(11):1496–1509, 1999. https://doi.org/10.1287/mnsc.45.11.1496
  • D. McFadden, Conditional Logit Analysis of Qualitative Choice Behavior, in P. Zarembka (ed.), Frontiers in Econometrics, Academic Press, 1974.
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