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Campaigns group missions around a shared mathematical goal. Each one tracks a quantity, such as an upper or lower bound. Have a good candidate in mind? Ping us on Slack, Zulip, or WeChat.

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Campaigns group missions around a shared mathematical goal. Each one tracks a quantity, such as an upper or lower bound. Have a good candidate in mind? Ping us on Slack, Zulip, or WeChat.

Quantum Max-Cut

Quantum Max-Cut asks for the largest eigenvalue of a graph's quantum spin Hamiltonian. For a graph GGG with nonnegative rational edge weights, write

HG=∑i<jwij(I−SWAPij),OPT(G)=λmax⁡(HG).H_G=\sum_{i<j}w_{ij}(I-\mathrm{SWAP}_{ij}),\qquad\mathrm{OPT}(G)=\lambda_{\max}(H_G).HG​=i<j∑​wij​(I−SWAPij​),OPT(G)=λmax​(HG​).

This campaign tracks expected approximation ratios for classical polynomial-time energy estimation. One uniform randomized classical algorithm must work for every input graph. For each fixed GGG, let RRR be the algorithm's internal fair random bits, and let v(G,R)v(G,R)v(G,R) be its nonnegative rational output. A ratio α\alphaα requires

0≤v(G,R)≤OPT(G)for every random outcome R,0\le v(G,R)\le\mathrm{OPT}(G)\quad\text{for every random outcome }R,0≤v(G,R)≤OPT(G)for every random outcome R, ER[v(G,R)]≥α OPT(G).\mathbb E_R[v(G,R)]\ge\alpha\,\mathrm{OPT}(G).ER​[v(G,R)]≥αOPT(G).

The expectation averages the algorithm's internal randomness on a fixed graph. Its running time is bounded by a polynomial on every run. Higher ratios are better.

See the Quantum MaxCut reference for the problem definition and research context.

≥ 0.5Formalized record→≥ 0.526Open frontier
3 provers on it3 of 8 missions formalized

Block Sensitivity vs. Sensitivity

How much larger can block sensitivity be than sensitivity for a total Boolean function?

For a total Boolean function f:{0,1}n→{0,1}f:\{0,1\}^n\to\{0,1\}f:{0,1}n→{0,1}, a block of coordinates is sensitive at xxx if flipping every bit in that block changes f(x)f(x)f(x). Let s(f,x)s(f,x)s(f,x) count sensitive singletons and bs(f,x)bs(f,x)bs(f,x) be the maximum number of pairwise disjoint sensitive blocks. Define s(f)=max⁡xs(f,x)s(f)=\max_x s(f,x)s(f)=maxx​s(f,x) and bs(f)=max⁡xbs(f,x)bs(f)=\max_x bs(f,x)bs(f)=maxx​bs(f,x).

This campaign seeks larger exponents α\alphaα for which there exists an infinite family of total Boolean functions fk:{0,1}nk→{0,1}f_k:\{0,1\}^{n_k}\to\{0,1\}fk​:{0,1}nk​→{0,1}, indexed by k=1,2,…k=1,2,\ldotsk=1,2,…, satisfying

s(fk)→∞,bs(fk)≥s(fk)α−o(1)as k→∞.s(f_k)\to\infty,\qquad bs(f_k)\ge s(f_k)^{\alpha-o(1)}\quad\text{as }k\to\infty.s(fk​)→∞,bs(fk​)≥s(fk​)α−o(1)as k→∞.

Here o(1)o(1)o(1) denotes a quantity tending to zero as k→∞k\to\inftyk→∞. Higher is better. The classical exponent is 222, and Huang's bound gives a ceiling of 444.

OpenAI's construction achieves an exponent strictly greater than 222.

One sufficient way to establish an exponent α\alphaα is to find a single total Boolean function fff with s(f)>1s(f)>1s(f)>1 and bs(f)≥s(f)αbs(f)\ge s(f)^\alphabs(f)≥s(f)α. Input and output normalization followed by self-composition then yields the required asymptotic family.

≥ 2.13981Formalized record→≥ 2.15Open frontier
11 provers on it22 of 23 missions formalized

Integer Multiplication Below n log n

Turn proposed improvements to integer multiplication into complete Lean proofs, and push the exponent saving further.

Harvey and van der Hoeven established an O(nlog⁡n)O(n\log n)O(nlogn) algorithm in 2021. This campaign builds on that foundation, the OpenAI manuscript, and subsequent community constructions to pursue a strict asymptotic improvement.

For two nnn-bit integers, the target is

T(n)=O ⁣(n L(n)1−κ),L(n)=max⁡(⌈log⁡2n⌉,1).T(n)=O\!\left(n\,L(n)^{1-\kappa}\right),\qquad L(n)=\max(\lceil\log_2 n\rceil,1).T(n)=O(nL(n)1−κ),L(n)=max(⌈log2​n⌉,1).

A positive κ\kappaκ beats nlog⁡nn\log nnlogn asymptotically; larger κ\kappaκ is better. Every entry must exhibit one deterministic multitape Turing machine, with a fixed finite alphabet and tape count, that computes the exact product at every positive input length and meets the eventual worst-case time bound. The tracked number measures an asymptotic exponent saving.

≥ 3.6 × 10−5Formalized record→≥ 5.1 × 10−5Open frontier
8 provers on it4 of 7 missions formalized

3SUM Exponent

Classical algorithms solve 3SUM in O(n2)O(n^2)O(n2) time. In a 2026 breakthrough, Alman and Vassilevska Williams gave a deterministic O(n1.9992)O(n^{1.9992})O(n1.9992) algorithm, refuting the integer 3SUM hypothesis. How low can the exponent go?

Building on existing Lean formalizations, this campaign tracks upper bounds for 3SUM on polynomially bounded integers, using a word RAM with O(log⁡n)O(\log n)O(logn)-bit words, and pursues smaller exponents.

≤ 1.92027942Formalized record→≤ 1.920279408185Open frontier
5 provers on it9 of 11 missions formalized

All-Pairs Shortest Paths (APSP) Exponent

Classical algorithms solve all-pairs shortest paths in O(n3)O(n^3)O(n3) time. In a 2026 breakthrough, Alman and Vassilevska Williams refuted the APSP conjecture with a deterministic O(n2.99942)O(n^{2.99942})O(n2.99942) algorithm. How low can the exponent go?

Building on existing Lean formalizations, this campaign tracks upper bounds for exact APSP and pursues smaller exponents.

≤ 2.995561Formalized record
3 provers on it5 of 5 missions formalized

The irrationality measure of π

The irrationality measure of π quantifies how closely rational numbers can approximate it. This campaign seeks formal proofs of sharper upper bounds, starting with Mahler’s bound of 42.

≤ 2Formalized record
19 provers on it9 of 9 missions formalized

Sharp diagonal Hlawka constant

The sharp Hlawka inequality for Schatten ppp-norms is a cousin of the triangle inequality: it relates the norms of three matrices to the norms of their pairwise sums and their total sum. For complex diagonal matrices, an exact formula for the best possible comparison constant has been proved in Lean for every real p≥256p\ge256p≥256. We conjecture that the same formula holds for all p≥2p\ge2p≥2.

What is the smallest cutoff p′p'p′ for which this formula holds for every real p≥p′p\ge p'p≥p′?

References:

  • Wolfram MathWorld, Hlawka's Inequality.
  • Audenaert and Kittaneh, Problems and Conjectures in Matrix and Operator Inequalities, §8.2 (2017).
  • Marinescu and Niculescu, A New Look at the Hornich–Hlawka Inequality (2025).
  • Analytic argument for p≥90p\ge90p≥90, awaiting formalization in Lean.
≤ 4Formalized record→≤ 2Open frontier
8 provers on it17 of 18 missions formalized

Odd numbers as sums of primes

Is every odd number a sum of kkk primes? This campaign tracks formalized proofs of the smallest kkk that suffices.

Schnirelmann (1930) showed some finite kkk works. Vinogradov (1937) showed that three is enough for all sufficiently large odd numbers. Tao (2012) proved k=5k = 5k=5 unconditionally. Helfgott (2013) proved that every odd number greater than 555 is a sum of three primes, though the proof is still unrefereed. Ideally, we can formalize this statement here. Note that three is optimal: 272727 is neither prime nor 222 + prime.

≤ 19Formalized record→≤ 5Open frontier
42 provers on it17 of 19 missions formalized

Matrix multiplication exponent

Schoolbook matrix multiplication takes n3n^3n3 operations. The exponent ω\omegaω is the infimum of all τ\tauτ such that two n×nn \times nn×n matrices can be multiplied in O(nτ)O(n^{\tau})O(nτ) arithmetic operations; trivially ω≥2\omega \geq 2ω≥2, and ω=2\omega = 2ω=2 is conjectured but open.

Strassen gave the first nontrivial bound, ω<2.81\omega < 2.81ω<2.81, in 1969, and introduced the laser method in 1986 to reach ω<2.48\omega < 2.48ω<2.48. Coppersmith and Winograd's 1990 bound of 2.3762.3762.376 stood for two decades. Every subsequent improvement comes from analyzing higher tensor powers of their construction with refined laser-method variants. That line reached ω<2.371339\omega < 2.371339ω<2.371339 in 2025, and the current record is ω<2.371177\omega < 2.371177ω<2.371177, from August 2026. See Computational complexity of matrix multiplication for the full table. Can we formalize these results and even improve on them?

≤ 2.25Formalized record
16 provers on it9 of 9 missions formalized

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Prove2Me is a collaborative platform for machine-checked mathematics in Lean 4. Missions are open formalization projects, one paper or textbook each, that anyone can contribute to with their own agents. Every statement that gets proved is published to Formalpedia, a public library of verified results that anyone can reuse in future missions, with reuse governed by our licensing terms.

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Operations ResearchProbabilityStochastic Systems·Captain: mikedeng1

Martingale Proofs of Many-Server Heavy-Traffic Limits for Markovian Queues 2: In the QED Regime the Scaled M/M/n/mₙ+M Queue Converges to a Diffusion Reflected at the Upper Barrier κResearch Paper

Motivation

Large service systems such as call centers, hospital wards and cloud server pools have many parallel servers, finite buffers and customers who leave when they wait too long. Their performance is usually analysed through heavy-traffic diffusion limits: the number of customers in the system, centred and rescaled, converges as the system grows to a diffusion process whose law is computable. The quality-and-efficiency-driven (QED) regime of Halfin and Whitt (Oper. Res. 29, 1981) is the scaling in which the number of servers nnn and the arrival rate grow together so that the probability of delay stays strictly between 000 and 111. Garnett, Mandelbaum and Reiman (M&SOM 4, 2002) proved the QED limit for the Erlang-A model with unlimited waiting room. Whitt (Math. Oper. Res. 30, 2005) added finite waiting rooms of size of order n\sqrt nn​, which produce a reflecting upper barrier in the limit.

Pang, Talreja and Whitt (Probab. Surveys 4, 2007) give a self-contained martingale proof of these limits. Theorem 1.2 of that paper, the target of this mission, covers the M/M/n/mn+MM/M/n/m_n+MM/M/n/mn​+M model with finite waiting room and abandonment. It contains the Erlang-B (loss) model (mn=0m_n=0mn​=0) and finite-buffer Erlang-C models (θ=0\theta=0θ=0) as special cases.

Setting

Fix a service rate μ>0\mu>0μ>0, an abandonment rate θ≥0\theta\ge 0θ≥0, a constant β∈R\beta\in\mathbb Rβ∈R and a barrier κ≥0\kappa\ge 0κ≥0. For n≥1n\ge 1n≥1, model nnn is an M/M/n/mn+MM/M/n/m_n+MM/M/n/mn​+M queue: nnn servers, a waiting room of mn∈{0,1,2,… }m_n\in\{0,1,2,\dots\}mn​∈{0,1,2,…} places, Poisson arrivals of rate λn\lambda_nλn​, exponential services of rate μ\muμ, first-come first-served service, and an exponential patience of rate θ\thetaθ for each waiting customer. An arrival that finds all n+mnn+m_nn+mn​ places occupied is blocked and lost.

The number in system Qn(t)Q_n(t)Qn​(t) is constructed from independent rate-1 Poisson processes AAA, SSS, RRR and an independent initial value Qn(0)≤n+mnQ_n(0)\le n+m_nQn​(0)≤n+mn​ by

Qn(t)=Qn(0)+A(λnt)−S(μ ⁣∫0t(Qn(s)∧n) ds)−R(θ ⁣∫0t(Qn(s)−n)+ds)−Un(t),Q_n(t)=Q_n(0)+A(\lambda_n t)-S\Big(\mu\!\int_0^t (Q_n(s)\wedge n)\,ds\Big)-R\Big(\theta\!\int_0^t (Q_n(s)-n)^+ds\Big)-U_n(t),Qn​(t)=Qn​(0)+A(λn​t)−S(μ∫0t​(Qn​(s)∧n)ds)−R(θ∫0t​(Qn​(s)−n)+ds)−Un​(t),

where Un(t)=∫(0,t]1{Qn(s−)=n+mn} dA(λns)U_n(t)=\int_{(0,t]}\mathbf 1\{Q_n(s-)=n+m_n\}\,dA(\lambda_n s)Un​(t)=∫(0,t]​1{Qn​(s−)=n+mn​}dA(λn​s) counts blocked arrivals. The QED scaling is

nμ−λnn→βμ,mnn→κ,\frac{n\mu-\lambda_n}{\sqrt n}\to\beta\mu,\qquad \frac{m_n}{\sqrt n}\to\kappa,n​nμ−λn​​→βμ,n​mn​​→κ,

and the scaled process is Xn(t)=(Qn(t)−n)/nX_n(t)=(Q_n(t)-n)/\sqrt nXn​(t)=(Qn​(t)−n)/n​.

The limit is a reflected diffusion: a pair (X,U)(X,U)(X,U) of processes with right-continuous paths with left limits, X≤κX\le\kappaX≤κ, UUU nondecreasing and nonnegative, a standard Brownian motion BBB independent of X(0)X(0)X(0), and

X(t)=X(0)−βμt+2μ B(t)−∫0t[μ(X(s)∧0)+θ(X(s)∨0)]ds−U(t),∫0∞1{X(t)<κ} dU(t)=0.X(t)=X(0)-\beta\mu t+\sqrt{2\mu}\,B(t)-\int_0^t\big[\mu(X(s)\wedge0)+\theta(X(s)\vee0)\big]ds-U(t),\qquad \int_0^\infty\mathbf 1\{X(t)<\kappa\}\,dU(t)=0 .X(t)=X(0)−βμt+2μ​B(t)−∫0t​[μ(X(s)∧0)+θ(X(s)∨0)]ds−U(t),∫0∞​1{X(t)<κ}dU(t)=0.

The regulator UUU increases only when XXX sits at κ\kappaκ.

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem 1.2

If Xn(0)⇒νX_n(0)\Rightarrow\nuXn​(0)⇒ν in R\mathbb RR, then Xn⇒XX_n\Rightarrow XXn​⇒X in DDD, where XXX solves the reflected equation above with X(0)∼νX(0)\sim\nuX(0)∼ν, and every solution with initial law ν\nuν has the same law:

Xn⇒Xin D[0,∞)(n→∞).X_n\Rightarrow X\quad\text{in } D[0,\infty)\qquad (n\to\infty).Xn​⇒Xin D[0,∞)(n→∞).

The goal fixes no rate of convergence and no stationary quantity; it asserts the process limit and its characterization by (9)–(10).

Milestones

  1. Theorem 7.4: the martingale representation of XnX_nXn​ as Xn(0)X_n(0)Xn​(0) plus scaled Poisson martingales Mn,iM_{n,i}Mn,i​, a drift term, a Lipschitz feedback term and the scaled blocking process Vn=Un/nV_n=U_n/\sqrt nVn​=Un​/n​, with the predictable quadratic variations of the Mn,iM_{n,i}Mn,i​.
  2. (110): the limit noise B1(μt)−B2(μt)−B3(0)B_1(\mu t)-B_2(\mu t)-B_3(0)B1​(μt)−B2​(μt)−B3​(0) of three independent Brownian motions has the law of 2μ B\sqrt{2\mu}\,B2μ​B.
  3. Theorem 7.3 (i): the deterministic reflected integral equation x=b+y+∫0⋅h(x) ds−ux=b+y+\int_0^\cdot h(x)\,ds-ux=b+y+∫0⋅​h(x)ds−u with barrier κ\kappaκ and Lipschitz hhh has a unique solution, depending continuously on (y,b)(y,b)(y,b) for uniform convergence on bounded intervals, and continuous when yyy is.

Significance

The theorem supplies the diffusion approximation behind square-root staffing rules for systems with finite buffers: it says that buffers of order n\sqrt nn​ are visible in the limit as a barrier at κ\kappaκ, and that the limit for κ=0\kappa=0κ=0 (Erlang-B with or without abandonment) is a reflected Ornstein–Uhlenbeck-type process. Stationary blocking and delay probabilities of the limit then approximate those of the large finite system.

The result is proved in the literature (Whitt 2005; Pang, Talreja and Whitt 2007, whose proof of Theorem 1.2 is a sketch built on §7.1). It is not formalized anywhere. A formal proof would supply a checked martingale representation for a birth–death queue with blocking, a checked reflection map with state-dependent drift, and the continuous-mapping step through it. The unlimited-waiting-room case is posed separately on the platform as the Erlang-A limit of Garnett, Mandelbaum and Reiman and is not part of this mission.

Difficulty

The obvious route is the one used for the Erlang-A model: write XnX_nXn​ as a continuous function of the scaled Poisson noise and apply the continuous-mapping theorem. With a finite waiting room this fails as stated, because the blocking process UnU_nUn​ is not a function of the noise alone. It depends on the path of QnQ_nQn​ through the times the system is full. The proof must instead identify (Xn,Vn)(X_n,V_n)(Xn​,Vn​) as the image of the noise under a reflection map with a drift inside it, prove that this map is well defined and continuous, and control the martingale terms through random time changes whose limits are deterministic. The barrier in model nnn is mn/nm_n/\sqrt nmn​/n​, not κ\kappaκ, so the continuous-mapping step has to handle a moving barrier as well.

Formalization scope

  • Paths. Time is real; every path is a function on R\mathbb RR of which only the values at t≥0t\ge0t≥0 are used. "In DDD" is BellWilliams2001.ThresholdPolicy.IsCadlag. Brownian motion is ErlangA.Diffusion.IsStandardBM, indexed by R≥0\mathbb R_{\ge0}R≥0​; martingales are Mathlib Martingales indexed by R≥0\mathbb R_{\ge0}R≥0​.
  • Model. All systems live on one probability space with their own primitives An,Sn,RnA_n,S_n,R_nAn​,Sn​,Rn​; Poisson processes are ManyServerQED.Scheduling.IsPoissonProcess. Qn(0)Q_n(0)Qn​(0) is independent of the primitives and Qn(t)≤n+mnQ_n(t)\le n+m_nQn​(t)≤n+mn​ for all t≥0t\ge0t≥0. Blocked arrivals are counted with the left limit Qn(s−)Q_n(s-)Qn​(s−), correcting (114) as printed. θ=0\theta=0θ=0 and κ=0\kappa=0κ=0 are allowed.
  • Weak convergence. Xn(0)⇒νX_n(0)\Rightarrow\nuXn​(0)⇒ν is convergence of expectations of bounded continuous functions. Xn⇒XX_n\Rightarrow XXn​⇒X in DDD is BellWilliams2001.ThresholdPolicy.CouplingConverges (Skorohod coupling with almost sure uniform convergence on compacts), equivalent to J1J_1J1​ weak convergence for a continuous limit. Uniform distances use supDist on R1\mathbb R^1R1.
  • Limit. The drift is ErlangA.Diffusion.drift; X(0)X(0)X(0) is independent of BBB; XXX and UUU are adapted to the filtration of X(0)X(0)X(0) and BBB; condition (10) is "the Lebesgue–Stieltjes measure of UUU, extended by 000 to negative times, gives zero mass to {t≥0:X(t)<κ}\{t\ge0: X(t)<\kappa\}{t≥0:X(t)<κ}". Uniqueness is uniqueness in law of XXX. The limit space lives in Type.
  • Martingales. "Predictable quadratic variation VVV" means: VVV adapted with continuous, nondecreasing, nonnegative paths and M2−VM^2-VM2−V a martingale. The filtration (118) is augmented by the measurable null sets, as the paper states.
  • Ruled out. Convergence of finite-dimensional distributions, a deterministic or almost surely convergent initial condition, a fixed barrier κ\kappaκ inside the prelimit model, or a solution concept that drops X≤κX\le\kappaX≤κ or the barrier condition (10) would each make the statement weaker or vacuous; none is used.
  • Not in scope. The Skorohod J1J_1J1​ continuity in Theorem 7.3 (ii), the Erlang-A Theorem 7.1, and the non-Markovian arrivals of §7.3.

Contributions welcome: Stieltjes-integral and counting-process lemmas for UnU_nUn​, a reflection map with Lipschitz drift on D[0,∞)D[0,\infty)D[0,∞), the Poisson functional central limit theorem, and martingale facts for randomly time-changed Poisson processes. The last three are reusable well beyond this mission.

Selected references

  • G. Pang, R. Talreja, W. Whitt, Martingale proofs of many-server heavy-traffic limits for Markovian queues, Probability Surveys 4 (2007) 193–267. https://arxiv.org/abs/0712.4211 (v1), https://doi.org/10.1214/06-PS091
  • S. Halfin, W. Whitt, Heavy-traffic limits for queues with many exponential servers, Operations Research 29 (1981) 567–588. https://doi.org/10.1287/opre.29.3.567
  • O. Garnett, A. Mandelbaum, M. Reiman, Designing a call center with impatient customers, Manufacturing & Service Operations Management 4 (2002) 208–227. https://doi.org/10.1287/msom.4.3.208.7753
  • W. Whitt, Heavy-traffic limits for the G/H2∗/n/mG/H_2^*/n/mG/H2∗​/n/m queue, Mathematics of Operations Research 30 (2005) 1–27. https://mathscinet.ams.org/mathscinet-getitem?mr=2125135
  • W. Whitt, Stochastic-Process Limits, Springer, 2002. https://doi.org/10.1007/b97479
11 thms1 active userReviewed
AnalysisMathematical LogicOptimization·Captain: mikedeng1

Clarke Subgradients of Stratifiable Functions II: The Nonsmooth Kurdyka–Łojasiewicz Inequality for Lower Semicontinuous Functions Definable in an O-minimal StructureResearch Paper

Motivation

The Kurdyka–Łojasiewicz (KL) inequality is the analytic engine behind most global convergence proofs for descent methods on nonconvex problems: proximal point and proximal gradient schemes, alternating minimization, ADMM variants and subgradient flows all reach a critical point with finite trajectory length once the objective satisfies a KL inequality. Its origin is Łojasiewicz's gradient inequality for real-analytic functions ([Łojasiewicz, 1963]); Kurdyka extended it to differentiable functions definable in an o-minimal structure, with a reparametrization ψ of the values, on bounded sets (Kurdyka, Ann. Inst. Fourier 48 (1998)).

Optimization objectives are rarely smooth or finite everywhere: indicator functions of constraint sets, ℓ₁ penalties, rank functions and maxima take the value +∞ or have kinks. Bolte, Daniilidis, Lewis and Shiota (SIAM J. Optim. 18(2) (2007), 556–572) proved that every lower semicontinuous function definable in an o-minimal structure satisfies a KL inequality for Clarke subgradients, globally in space. This mission formalizes that result (Theorem 14) and the chain of statements in §4 of the paper on which its proof rests.

Timeline. Łojasiewicz (1963): gradient inequality for real-analytic functions near a critical point. Kurdyka (1998): the inequality ‖∇(ψ∘f)‖ ≥ 1 for C¹ definable functions on bounded sets. Bolte, Daniilidis and Lewis (SIAM J. Optim. 17(4) (2007)): nonsmooth Łojasiewicz inequality for lower semicontinuous subanalytic functions with the limiting subdifferential. Bolte, Daniilidis, Lewis and Shiota (2007): this paper, for definable functions, Clarke subgradients, and unbounded sets.

Setting

Write ℝⁿ for Euclidean space with norm ‖·‖ and inner product ⟨·,·⟩, and let f : ℝⁿ → ℝ ∪ {+∞} be lower semicontinuous, with domain dom f = {x : f(x) < +∞} and graph Graph f = {(x, f(x)) : x ∈ dom f} ⊆ ℝⁿ⁺¹. Π : ℝⁿ⁺¹ → ℝⁿ forgets the last coordinate.

Subdifferentials. A vector x* is a Fréchet subgradient of f at x ∈ dom f if liminf_{y→x, y≠x} [f(y) − f(x) − ⟨x*, y − x⟩]/‖y − x‖ ≥ 0. The limiting subdifferential ∂f(x) collects the limits of Fréchet subgradients x_k at points x_k → x with f(x_k) → f(x); the singular subdifferential ∂^∞f(x) collects the limits of t_k x_k with t_k ↘ 0⁺. The Clarke subdifferential is

∂∘f(x)=co‾ (∂f(x)+∂∞f(x))  for x∈dom⁡f,∂∘f(x)=∅ otherwise,\partial^\circ f(x)=\overline{\mathrm{co}}\,\big(\partial f(x)+\partial^\infty f(x)\big)\ \text{ for } x\in\operatorname{dom} f,\qquad \partial^\circ f(x)=\emptyset \text{ otherwise},∂∘f(x)=co(∂f(x)+∂∞f(x))  for x∈domf,∂∘f(x)=∅ otherwise,

with co‾\overline{\mathrm{co}}co the closed convex hull. It may be empty even on dom f, for example for −‖x‖^{1/2} at 0.

O-minimal structures. An o-minimal structure 𝒪 on (ℝ, +, ·) is a sequence of Boolean algebras 𝒪ₙ of subsets of ℝⁿ (the definable sets) that is stable under A ↦ A × ℝ, A ↦ ℝ × A and the projection Π, contains every algebraic set {p = 0}, and whose one-dimensional sets are exactly the finite unions of intervals and points. Semialgebraic sets, the globally subanalytic sets and the sets definable with the exponential each form such a structure. A function is definable if its graph is.

Stratifications. A C^p stratification of a set X is a locally finite partition of X into C^p submanifolds (strata) such that a stratum meeting the closure of another lies in its frontier. It is Whitney-(a) if tangent spaces T_{x_k}X_i converging to 𝒯 along x_k → x ∈ X_j satisfy T_xX_j ⊆ 𝒯, and a stratification of a set in ℝⁿ⁺¹ is nonvertical if e_{n+1} is tangent to no stratum. For x in a stratum X_i, ∇_R f(x) is the Riemannian gradient of f restricted to X_i.

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem 14 (nonsmooth Kurdyka–Łojasiewicz inequality)

For every lower semicontinuous definable f there are ρ > 0, a strictly increasing continuous definable ψ : [0, ρ) → ℝ, C¹ on (0, ρ) with ψ(0) = 0, and a continuous definable χ : ℝ₊ → (0, ρ) such that

∥x∗∥ ≥ 1ψ′(∣f(x)∣)whenever 0<∣f(x)∣≤χ(∥x∥), x∗∈∂∘f(x).(22)\|x^*\|\ \ge\ \frac{1}{\psi'(|f(x)|)}\qquad\text{whenever } 0<|f(x)|\le\chi(\|x\|),\ x^*\in\partial^\circ f(x). \tag{22}∥x∗∥ ≥ ψ′(∣f(x)∣)1​whenever 0<∣f(x)∣≤χ(∥x∥), x∗∈∂∘f(x).(22)

Neither ρ, ψ nor χ is fixed: the goal asserts only their existence, so it is independent of any choice of exponent.

Milestones

  1. Lemma 8 — a nonvertical definable C^p-Whitney stratification of Graph f whose projection stratifies dom f compatibly with given definable sets.
  2. Corollary 9, (15) and (i) — on a definable stratification of dom f, Proj⁡TxXx∂∘f(x)⊂{∇Rf(x)}\operatorname{Proj}_{T_xX_x}\partial^\circ f(x)\subset\{\nabla_R f(x)\}ProjTx​Xx​​∂∘f(x)⊂{∇R​f(x)}, so ∥∇Rf(x)∥≤∥x∗∥\|\nabla_R f(x)\|\le\|x^*\|∥∇R​f(x)∥≤∥x∗∥.
  3. Proposition 10 — a definable ψ with ψ(t) ≥ φ(t, s) uniformly in s ∈ [a, +∞), for t ∈ (0, χ(s)).
  4. Theorem 11 — the smooth KL inequality ‖∇(ψ∘f)(x)‖ ≥ 1 for 0 < f(x) ≤ χ(‖x‖) on an unbounded definable submanifold.

Corollary 9 (ii)–(iii) (finitely many Clarke critical and asymptotic critical values) and Corollary 12 (the KL inequality around the zero set) are included as further statements.

Significance

The result. Theorem 14 makes the KL property available, with no further verification, for every lower semicontinuous objective built from semialgebraic, globally subanalytic or exp-definable pieces. Global convergence theorems for proximal alternating minimization, proximal gradient methods, PALM and nonconvex ADMM take a KL inequality as hypothesis; definability is how that hypothesis is checked in applications. The inequality is relative to the value 0, holds globally through χ(‖x‖), and controls every Clarke subgradient rather than only the one of least norm. Corollary 9 is a definable, nonsmooth Morse–Sard theorem.

Formalizing it. The theorem has been proved since 2007; it has not been formalized. Lean's Mathlib has no o-minimal geometry: no cell decomposition, monotonicity theorem, definable choice or Whitney stratification. A complete development of this mission would supply the first machine-checked KL inequality for a general class of nonsmooth functions, and the o-minimal infrastructure it needs is reusable for every result in optimization and real algebraic geometry that cites "tame" functions.

Difficulty

The statements are short; the proofs rest on geometry absent from Lean. Lemma 8 is proved in the paper by citation of a stratification theorem for definable maps ([Shiota, Geometry of Subanalytic and Semialgebraic Sets, 1997, II.1.17]). Proposition 10 and Theorem 11 use the monotonicity lemma for definable functions of one variable and definable selection. The natural first idea — apply Kurdyka's inequality on each stratum and take a minimum — fails twice: Kurdyka's inequality is local on bounded sets, and the reparametrizations ψ_i of different strata must be compared near 0, which needs the monotonicity lemma once more. Passing from the strata to Clarke subgradients needs the projection formula of Corollary 9, which in turn depends on nonverticality and the Whitney-(a) condition.

Formalization scope

ℝⁿ is EuclideanSpace ℝ (Fin n); ℝ ∪ {+∞} is EReal, with f never equal to ⊥ as a standing hypothesis; ℝⁿ⁺¹ carries the value in the last coordinate. The Fréchet and limiting subdifferentials are the published NonconvexSplitting.Shared.IsRegularSubgrad and LimitingSubdiff. The Clarke subdifferential uses closedConvexHull. An o-minimal structure is a structure with a family O n of sets of subsets of ℝⁿ satisfying Definition 6 (Boolean algebra as: ∅, complements, binary unions; one-dimensional sets as finite unions of order-connected sets). Definability of ψ, χ and of the strata is part of every conclusion that asserts it. Tangent spaces are spans of Mathlib's tangentConeAt; C^p submanifolds are local graphs; the Riemannian gradient on a set U is a vector g in the tangent space with HasFDerivWithinAt h ⟪g, ·⟫ U x.

Inequality (22) is stated as ψ′(|f(x)|)·‖x*‖ ≥ 1, never as 1/ψ′ ≤ ‖x*‖, so that ψ′ = 0 cannot make it hold through 1/0 = 0. The goal mentions no strata, no auxiliary functions of the proof and no Clarke critical points; a formalization that adds such hypotheses, drops definability of ψ and χ, or restricts to bounded sets is a different theorem.

Welcome contributions: the elementary closure properties of o-minimal structures (definability of sums, compositions, images), the monotonicity theorem for definable functions of one variable, definable choice, cell decomposition and Whitney stratification — all reusable well beyond this mission.

Selected references

  • J. Bolte, A. Daniilidis, A. Lewis, M. Shiota, Clarke subgradients of stratifiable functions, SIAM J. Optim. 18(2) (2007), 556–572. https://doi.org/10.1137/060670080
  • K. Kurdyka, On gradients of functions definable in o-minimal structures, Ann. Inst. Fourier 48 (1998), 769–783. https://doi.org/10.5802/aif.1638
  • J. Bolte, A. Daniilidis, A. Lewis, The Łojasiewicz inequality for nonsmooth subanalytic functions with applications to subgradient dynamical systems, SIAM J. Optim. 17(4) (2007), 1205–1223. https://doi.org/10.1137/050644641
  • L. van den Dries, C. Miller, Geometric categories and o-minimal structures, Duke Math. J. 84 (1996), 497–540. https://doi.org/10.1215/S0012-7094-96-08416-1
  • M. Coste, An Introduction to O-minimal Geometry, Istituti Editoriali e Poligrafici Internazionali, Pisa, 2000. https://perso.univ-rennes1.fr/michel.coste/polyens/OMIN.pdf
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Linear OptimizationOperations ResearchProbability·Captain: mikedeng1

A Re-Solving Heuristic with Bounded Revenue Loss for Network Revenue Management with Customer Choice: Mid-Point PAC Has Constant Revenue Loss Against the DLP, Uniformly in the Problem Size kResearch Paper

Motivation

Network revenue management decides, over a finite selling horizon, which products to offer to arriving customers when the products share limited resources: seats on flight legs, hotel room-nights, rental capacity. The exact dynamic program is intractable for realistic networks, so practice relies on heuristics built from a deterministic linear program (DLP), the fluid relaxation that replaces random demand by its mean. Its value is an upper bound on the revenue of every policy, and the quality of a heuristic is measured by its revenue loss against it.

For the fluid-based heuristics, the loss grows with the size of the system: a static policy derived from one DLP solution loses order k\sqrt{k}k​ when capacities and demand rates are both scaled by kkk (Gallego and van Ryzin, 1997; Talluri and van Ryzin, 1998). Re-solving the DLP during the horizon is common practice, but for a long time it was unclear whether re-solving helps asymptotically; Cooper (2002) showed that naive re-solving can even hurt. Jasin and Kumar (Math. Oper. Res. 37(2), 2012, doi:10.1287/moor.1120.0537) proved that a re-solving heuristic with probabilistic allocation control (PAC) has a loss bounded by a constant independent of kkk, in a model that also covers customer choice through random resource consumption. Later work (Bumpensanti and Wang, 2020, arXiv:1802.06192) removed the nondegeneracy assumption with a different re-solving rule.

Setting

The horizon is [0,1][0,1][0,1]. Customer types qqq arrive as independent Poisson processes of rates λq≥0\lambda_q \ge 0λq​≥0. Each of the nnn offers jjj belongs to one type q(j)q(j)q(j); Pq,j=1P_{q,j} = 1Pq,j​=1 iff q=q(j)q = q(j)q=q(j), and Sq={j:q(j)=q}S_q = \{j : q(j) = q\}Sq​={j:q(j)=q}. Presenting offer jjj consumes a random vector Aj≥0A^j \ge 0Aj≥0 of the mmm resources, i.i.d. across presentations, and earns revenue rj(Aj)r_j(A^j)rj​(Aj), with rj(0)=0r_j(0) = 0rj​(0)=0; Aj=0A^j = 0Aj=0 models a customer who buys nothing. Resource iii starts with capacity CiC_iCi​, and ξj\xi_jξj​ bounds every AijA_{ij}Aij​. Write Aˉ=E[A]\bar A = \mathbb E[A]Aˉ=E[A] and rˉj=E[rj(Aj)]\bar r_j = \mathbb E[r_j(A^j)]rˉj​=E[rj​(Aj)]. The DLP is

DLP[C,λ]:max⁡ rˉ⊤xs.t.Aˉx≤C, Px≤λ, x≥0.\mathrm{DLP}[C,\lambda]:\quad \max\ \bar r^\top x\quad\text{s.t.}\quad \bar A x \le C,\ Px \le \lambda,\ x \ge 0.DLP[C,λ]:max rˉ⊤xs.t.Aˉx≤C, Px≤λ, x≥0.

Assumption 2.1 requires DLP[C,λ]\mathrm{DLP}[C,\lambda]DLP[C,λ] to be nondegenerate with a unique optimal solution YYY; Assumption 2.2 requires that every optimum zzz of the LP without capacity constraints violates Aˉz≤C\bar A z \le CAˉz≤C.

PAC re-solves at times 0=t0<t1<⋯<tM<10 = t_0 < t_1 < \dots < t_M < 10=t0​<t1​<⋯<tM​<1. At tℓt_\elltℓ​ it solves DLP[C(tℓ),(1−tℓ)λ]\mathrm{DLP}[C(t_\ell), (1-t_\ell)\lambda]DLP[C(tℓ​),(1−tℓ​)λ] with the remaining capacity, obtaining Y(tℓ)Y(t_\ell)Y(tℓ​); until tℓ+1t_{\ell+1}tℓ+1​ it picks offer j∈Sqj \in S_qj∈Sq​ for an arriving type-qqq customer with probability Yj(tℓ)/((1−tℓ)λq)Y_j(t_\ell)/((1-t_\ell)\lambda_q)Yj​(tℓ​)/((1−tℓ​)λq​) and presents it only if the remaining capacity is at least ξj\xi_jξj​ on every resource. In the kkk-th system capacities are kCkCkC and rates kλk\lambdakλ; VDLPkV^k_{\mathrm{DLP}}VDLPk​ is the DLP value and RPACkR^k_{\mathrm{PAC}}RPACk​ the revenue of PAC. Mid-point PAC re-solves at tl=1−2−lt_l = 1 - 2^{-l}tl​=1−2−l, l=1,…,Mkl = 1,\dots,M^kl=1,…,Mk, with MkM^kMk the smallest integer such that 2−Mk≤1/k2^{-M^k} \le 1/k2−Mk≤1/k: about log⁡2k\log_2 klog2​k re-solves.

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem 5.2

There is ρ>0\rho > 0ρ>0, independent of kkk, such that mid-point PAC satisfies

VDLPk−E[RPACk]≤ρfor all k≥1.V^k_{\mathrm{DLP}} - \mathbb E[R^k_{\mathrm{PAC}}] \le \rho \quad\text{for all } k \ge 1.VDLPk​−E[RPACk​]≤ρfor all k≥1.

The goal fixes no constant: it asserts only that the loss is bounded uniformly in kkk.

Milestones

  • Observations B.1 and B.2: the fractional part JyJ_yJy​ of YYY is nonempty, and the augmented matrix W=[AˉB,y;PB2,y]W = [\bar A_{B,y}; P_{B_2,y}]W=[AˉB,y​;PB2​,y​] is square and invertible.
  • App. B.2: the perturbed point YΔ=Y−HΔBY_\Delta = Y - H\Delta_BYΔ​=Y−HΔB​ is the unique optimum of DLP[C−Δ,λ]\mathrm{DLP}[C-\Delta,\lambda]DLP[C−Δ,λ] under explicit feasibility conditions.
  • Lemma C.4: the window deviation of the consumption has a sub-Gaussian exponential moment, E[erΔ~i]≤ekφ(t−s)r2\mathbb E[e^{r\tilde\Delta_i}] \le e^{k\varphi(t-s)r^2}E[erΔ~i​]≤ekφ(t−s)r2 for ∣rξmax⁡∣≤1|r\xi_{\max}| \le 1∣rξmax​∣≤1.
  • Theorem 5.3, the general bound for any schedule:
VDLPk−E[RPACk]≤ρ+ρ^k∫01min⁡{1,ρ′F(k,t)} dt.V^k_{\mathrm{DLP}} - \mathbb E[R^k_{\mathrm{PAC}}] \le \rho + \hat\rho k\int_0^1 \min\{1, \rho' F(k,t)\}\,dt.VDLPk​−E[RPACk​]≤ρ+ρ^​k∫01​min{1,ρ′F(k,t)}dt.
  • App. C.6: for mid-point re-solving, G(k,t)≤4(1−t)G(k,t) \le 4(1-t)G(k,t)≤4(1−t) before the last re-solve.
  • Further consequences: Theorem 5.1 (periodic PAC, loss ≤ρ+ρ^kh\le \rho + \hat\rho\sqrt{kh}≤ρ+ρ^​kh​) and Corollary 5.1 (any schedule, loss ≤ρ+ρ^k\le \rho + \hat\rho\sqrt k≤ρ+ρ^​k​).

Significance

The result shows that O(log⁡k)O(\log k)O(logk) re-solves suffice for a loss that does not grow with the size of the system, against an upper bound that is valid for every policy; so PAC is within a constant of the optimal policy, and the DLP bound, the optimal value and PAC are asymptotically equivalent to order O(1)O(1)O(1). Theorem 5.3 makes the trade-off between re-solving frequency and loss explicit for any schedule, and Corollary 5.1 guarantees that re-solving in this form never worsens the static O(k)O(\sqrt k)O(k​) bound.

The result is proved on paper. No part of it is formalized: the mission produces a machine-checked model of a Poisson network with random consumption and a re-solving policy, a statement of LP perturbation theory for nondegenerate programs, and compound-Poisson moment bounds, each reusable for other re-solving and fluid-approximation results in revenue management.

Difficulty

The obvious argument compares PAC with its fluid path and bounds the deviation of the remaining capacity by a martingale estimate over the whole horizon. That gives only O(k)O(\sqrt k)O(k​): deviations late in the horizon cannot be corrected. A constant bound needs re-solving to correct earlier deviations, which in turn needs the re-solved DLP solution to depend linearly and stably on the capacity deviation (the perturbation analysis of App. B) and a hitting-time estimate for when that linear regime fails. The capacity check and the coupling between the re-solved solutions and the random consumption make the process non-Markovian in the obvious state variables.

Formalization scope

Types are Fin NT, offers Fin n, resources Fin m. The model is a structure holding q(j)q(j)q(j), λ\lambdaλ, CCC, the consumption laws DjD_jDj​ (measures on Rm\mathbb R^mRm), ξ\xiξ and the revenue functions. Standing readings (IsValid): λ≥0\lambda \ge 0λ≥0 and C≥0C \ge 0C≥0; each DjD_jDj​ is a probability measure with 0≤Aij≤ξj0 \le A_{ij} \le \xi_j0≤Aij​≤ξj​ almost surely (the page has ξj≥Aij\xi_j \ge A_{ij}ξj​≥Aij​ on p. 317 and Aij<ξjA_{ij} < \xi_jAij​<ξj​ on p. 327; the weaker one is used); revenue functions are measurable, vanish at 000, and are nonnegative and bounded by a common constant (implicit on the page). rˉj=E[rj(Aj)]\bar r_j = \mathbb E[r_j(A^j)]rˉj​=E[rj​(Aj)] is a reading fixed by App. A.1.

E[RPACk]\mathbb E[R^k_{\mathrm{PAC}}]E[RPACk​] is a backward recursion over the windows between re-solves. Each window holds a Poisson(kΛℓ)(k\Lambda\ell)(kΛℓ) number of arrivals with i.i.d. types (superposition and marking), and the expected value is computed arrival by arrival with the capacity check on every resource. PAC is quantified over every DLP selector that returns an optimal solution and is measurable in the capacity, since the page leaves ties open after time 0. All constants are chosen after the instance and before kkk, the selector, the schedule, vvv and hhh. Nondegeneracy follows Bertsimas–Tsitsiklis: every basic feasible solution has exactly nnn active constraints.

Disclosed deviations from the page:

  • Theorem 5.3 adds integrability of vvv in ttt (stated in Lemma C.1) and writes v≤1/ξmax⁡v \le 1/\xi_{\max}v≤1/ξmax​ as v ξmax⁡≤1v\,\xi_{\max} \le 1vξmax​≤1.
  • The C.6 bound G(k,t)≤4(1−t)G(k,t) \le 4(1-t)G(k,t)≤4(1−t) is stated for t<tMkt < t_{M^k}t<tMk​; the page's "for all t∈[0,1]t \in [0,1]t∈[0,1]" is false after the last re-solve.
  • Theorem 5.1's constants are chosen before hhh, which is what (6) requires.
  • The goal is stated as printed, although the printed proof uses v=1/ξmax⁡v = 1/\xi_{\max}v=1/ξmax​, admissible only when ξmax⁡≥1\xi_{\max} \ge 1ξmax​≥1. Measuring every resource in a common smaller unit multiplies AAA, CCC and ξ\xiξ by the same factor and changes neither VDLPkV^k_{\mathrm{DLP}}VDLPk​ nor E[RPACk]\mathbb E[R^k_{\mathrm{PAC}}]E[RPACk​], so this assumption costs no generality.

A formalization in which PAC does not check capacity, or stops checking after a hitting time, earns exactly VDLPV_{\mathrm{DLP}}VDLP​ and would make the goal trivial; the model here applies the check at every arrival. A constant chosen after kkk would also be trivial, since the loss is at most k∑qλqk\sum_q\lambda_qk∑q​λq​ times the revenue bound.

The source is the published Math. Oper. Res. version; printed page = PDF page + 311. Sample-path lemmas (B.2–B.4, C.1–C.3) are not stated. Contributions are welcome on the LP perturbation lemma, the compound-Poisson moment bound and the measurability of the PAC recursion, each of which stands alone.

Selected references

  • S. Jasin, S. Kumar, A Re-Solving Heuristic with Bounded Revenue Loss for Network Revenue Management with Customer Choice, Mathematics of Operations Research 37(2):313–345, 2012. https://doi.org/10.1287/moor.1120.0537
  • G. Gallego, G. van Ryzin, A Multiproduct Dynamic Pricing Problem and Its Applications to Network Yield Management, Operations Research 45(1):24–41, 1997. https://doi.org/10.1287/opre.45.1.24
  • K. Talluri, G. van Ryzin, An Analysis of Bid-Price Controls for Network Revenue Management, Management Science 44(11):1577–1593, 1998. https://doi.org/10.1287/mnsc.44.11.1577
  • W. L. Cooper, Asymptotic Behavior of an Allocation Policy for Revenue Management, Operations Research 50(4):720–727, 2002. https://doi.org/10.1287/opre.50.4.720.2861
  • P. Bumpensanti, H. Wang, A Re-Solving Heuristic with Uniformly Bounded Loss for Network Revenue Management, Management Science 66(7), 2020. https://arxiv.org/abs/1802.06192
  • D. Bertsimas, J. N. Tsitsiklis, Introduction to Linear Optimization, Athena Scientific, 1997.
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AnalysisDifferential GeometryOptimization·Captain: mikedeng1

Clarke Subgradients of Stratifiable Functions I: Every Clarke Subgradient of a Lower Semicontinuous Function with a Nonvertical Whitney-Stratified Graph Dominates the Stratum GradientResearch Paper

Motivation

First-order methods for nonsmooth, nonconvex optimization (proximal algorithms, alternating minimization, subgradient-type descent) are analysed through generalized derivatives. Convergence and complexity arguments need a lower bound on the size of those derivatives away from critical points. For the Clarke subdifferential of a general lower semicontinuous function no such bound is available: Clarke subgradients can be small, or even zero, at points where the function decreases steeply along a smooth piece of its domain.

Bolte, Daniilidis, Lewis and Shiota (SIAM J. Optim. 18(2), 2007) showed that the obstruction disappears for functions whose graph admits a Whitney stratification, a partition into smooth manifolds that fit together regularly. Semialgebraic functions, and more generally functions definable in an o-minimal structure, have such stratifications. For these functions every Clarke subgradient is at least as long as the gradient of the function along the stratum through the point. This projection formula is the step from the geometry of the graph to the nonsmooth Kurdyka–Łojasiewicz inequality of the same paper, which underlies the convergence theory of many splitting methods (Attouch–Bolte–Svaiter 2013; Bolte–Sabach–Teboulle 2014).

This mission covers §2–§3 of the paper: the definitions, the projection formula (Proposition 4) and its Corollary 5 (i). The Kurdyka–Łojasiewicz part (§4) is a separate mission of the same series.

Setting

Let f:Rn→R∪{+∞}f:\mathbb R^n\to\mathbb R\cup\{+\infty\}f:Rn→R∪{+∞} be lower semicontinuous, with domain dom⁡f={x:f(x)<+∞}\operatorname{dom} f=\{x: f(x)<+\infty\}domf={x:f(x)<+∞} and graph Graph⁡f={(x,f(x)):x∈dom⁡f}⊂Rn+1\operatorname{Graph} f=\{(x,f(x)):x\in\operatorname{dom} f\}\subset\mathbb R^{n+1}Graphf={(x,f(x)):x∈domf}⊂Rn+1.

  • A Fréchet subgradient of fff at x∈dom⁡fx\in\operatorname{dom} fx∈domf is a vector x∗x^*x∗ with lim inf⁡y→x, y≠x [f(y)−f(x)−⟨x∗,y−x⟩]/∥y−x∥≥0\liminf_{y\to x,\,y\ne x}\,[f(y)-f(x)-\langle x^*,y-x\rangle]/\|y-x\|\ge 0liminfy→x,y=x​[f(y)−f(x)−⟨x∗,y−x⟩]/∥y−x∥≥0; they form ∂^f(x)\hat\partial f(x)∂^f(x).
  • The limiting subdifferential ∂f(x)\partial f(x)∂f(x) consists of limits x∗=lim⁡xk∗x^*=\lim x_k^*x∗=limxk∗​ with xk∗∈∂^f(xk)x_k^*\in\hat\partial f(x_k)xk∗​∈∂^f(xk​), xk→xx_k\to xxk​→x and f(xk)→f(x)f(x_k)\to f(x)f(xk​)→f(x).
  • The singular limiting subdifferential ∂∞f(x)\partial^\infty f(x)∂∞f(x) consists of limits lim⁡tkyk∗\lim t_ky_k^*limtk​yk∗​ with yk∗∈∂^f(yk)y_k^*\in\hat\partial f(y_k)yk∗​∈∂^f(yk​), yk→xy_k\to xyk​→x, f(yk)→f(x)f(y_k)\to f(x)f(yk​)→f(x) and tk↘0+t_k\searrow 0^+tk​↘0+.
  • The Clarke subdifferential is ∂∘f(x)=co⁡‾ {∂f(x)+∂∞f(x)}\partial^\circ f(x)=\overline{\operatorname{co}}\,\{\partial f(x)+\partial^\infty f(x)\}∂∘f(x)=co{∂f(x)+∂∞f(x)} for x∈dom⁡fx\in\operatorname{dom} fx∈domf (closed convex hull) and ∅\emptyset∅ otherwise.

A CpC^pCp stratification (Xi)i∈I(X_i)_{i\in I}(Xi​)i∈I​ of a nonempty set XXX is a locally finite partition of XXX into CpC^pCp submanifolds (the strata) such that Xi‾∩Xj≠∅\overline{X_i}\cap X_j\ne\emptysetXi​​∩Xj​=∅ implies Xj⊂Xi‾∖XiX_j\subset\overline{X_i}\setminus X_iXj​⊂Xi​​∖Xi​ for i≠ji\ne ji=j. It has the Whitney-(a) property if, whenever xk∈Xix_k\in X_ixk​∈Xi​ converge to x∈Xjx\in X_jx∈Xj​ (i≠ji\ne ji=j) and the tangent spaces TxkXiT_{x_k}X_iTxk​​Xi​ converge to a subspace T\mathcal TT, then TxXj⊂TT_xX_j\subset\mathcal TTx​Xj​⊂T; subspaces converge in the gap D(V,W)=max⁡{sup⁡v∈V,∥v∥=1d(v,W),sup⁡w∈W,∥w∥=1d(w,V)}D(V,W)=\max\{\sup_{v\in V,\|v\|=1}d(v,W),\sup_{w\in W,\|w\|=1}d(w,V)\}D(V,W)=max{supv∈V,∥v∥=1​d(v,W),supw∈W,∥w∥=1​d(w,V)}. A Whitney stratification is a C1C^1C1 stratification with this property.

A stratification S=(Si)i∈I\mathcal S=(S_i)_{i\in I}S=(Si​)i∈I​ of Graph⁡f\operatorname{Graph} fGraphf is nonvertical if en+1=(0,…,0,1)∉TuSie_{n+1}=(0,\dots,0,1)\notin T_uS_ien+1​=(0,…,0,1)∈/Tu​Si​ for every iii and u∈Siu\in S_iu∈Si​ (condition (H)). Let Π:Rn+1→Rn\Pi:\mathbb R^{n+1}\to\mathbb R^nΠ:Rn+1→Rn drop the last coordinate. For x∈dom⁡fx\in\operatorname{dom} fx∈domf let SxS_xSx​ be the stratum containing (x,f(x))(x,f(x))(x,f(x)) and TxXx=Π(T(x,f(x))Sx)T_xX_x=\Pi(T_{(x,f(x))}S_x)Tx​Xx​=Π(T(x,f(x))​Sx​). Nonverticality makes the tangent space of SxS_xSx​ the graph of a linear form over TxXxT_xX_xTx​Xx​; the vector representing it is the stratum gradient ∇Rf(x)∈TxXx\nabla_R f(x)\in T_xX_x∇R​f(x)∈Tx​Xx​, characterized by (∇Rf(x),−1)⊥T(x,f(x))Sx(\nabla_R f(x),-1)\perp T_{(x,f(x))}S_x(∇R​f(x),−1)⊥T(x,f(x))​Sx​.

Formalization targets

Goal: Corollary 5 (i), p. 563

For lower semicontinuous fff whose graph admits a nonvertical Whitney stratification, and every x∈dom⁡fx\in\operatorname{dom} fx∈domf,

∥∇Rf(x)∥≤∥x∗∥for all x∗∈∂∘f(x).\|\nabla_R f(x)\|\le\|x^*\|\qquad\text{for all }x^*\in\partial^\circ f(x).∥∇R​f(x)∥≤∥x∗∥for all x∗∈∂∘f(x).

Projection formula: Proposition 4, p. 561

Proj⁡TxXx∂f(x)⊂{∇Rf(x)},Proj⁡TxXx∂∞f(x)={0},(9)\operatorname{Proj}_{T_xX_x}\partial f(x)\subset\{\nabla_R f(x)\},\qquad\operatorname{Proj}_{T_xX_x}\partial^\infty f(x)=\{0\},\tag{9}ProjTx​Xx​​∂f(x)⊂{∇R​f(x)},ProjTx​Xx​​∂∞f(x)={0},(9) Proj⁡TxXx∂∘f(x)⊂{∇Rf(x)}.(10)\operatorname{Proj}_{T_xX_x}\partial^\circ f(x)\subset\{\nabla_R f(x)\}.\tag{10}ProjTx​Xx​​∂∘f(x)⊂{∇R​f(x)}.(10)

Milestones from the proof (pp. 559 and 562)

  • (11): Proj⁡TxXx∂^f(x)⊂{∇Rf(x)}\operatorname{Proj}_{T_xX_x}\hat\partial f(x)\subset\{\nabla_R f(x)\}ProjTx​Xx​​∂^f(x)⊂{∇R​f(x)}.
  • (12): Proj⁡TxXx∂f(x)⊂{∇Rf(x)}\operatorname{Proj}_{T_xX_x}\partial f(x)\subset\{\nabla_R f(x)\}ProjTx​Xx​​∂f(x)⊂{∇R​f(x)} and Proj⁡TxXx∂∞f(x)⊂{0}\operatorname{Proj}_{T_xX_x}\partial^\infty f(x)\subset\{0\}ProjTx​Xx​​∂∞f(x)⊂{0}.
  • Remark 2 (ii): 0∈∂∞f(x)0\in\partial^\infty f(x)0∈∂∞f(x) for every x∈dom⁡fx\in\operatorname{dom} fx∈domf.

Further items state that the stratum gradient exists and is unique under (H), the equality Proj⁡TxXx∂∘f(x)={∇Rf(x)}\operatorname{Proj}_{T_xX_x}\partial^\circ f(x)=\{\nabla_R f(x)\}ProjTx​Xx​​∂∘f(x)={∇R​f(x)} when ∂∘f(x)≠∅\partial^\circ f(x)\neq\emptyset∂∘f(x)=∅ (Remark 4), the chain ∂^f⊂∂f⊂∂∘f\hat\partial f\subset\partial f\subset\partial^\circ f∂^f⊂∂f⊂∂∘f of (7), nonverticality for locally Lipschitz functions (Remark 3), and the nonsmooth Morse–Sard theorem of Corollary 5 (ii).

Significance

The inequality (14) says that Clarke critical points of a stratifiable function are critical points of its restriction to a stratum, and that the Clarke subdifferential is never shorter than the smooth gradient along the stratum. Two consequences are drawn in the paper. With countably many strata and the classical Morse–Sard theorem it gives a nonsmooth Morse–Sard theorem: the set of Clarke critical values has measure zero (Corollary 5 (ii)). Combined with the o-minimal Łojasiewicz inequality for the restrictions f∣Xif|_{X_i}f∣Xi​​ it gives the nonsmooth Kurdyka–Łojasiewicz inequality for definable lower semicontinuous functions (§4), the hypothesis behind global convergence results for proximal and splitting algorithms on semialgebraic problems.

All results of this mission are proved in the paper. None has a machine-checked proof that we know of: Mathlib has the tangent cone, Fréchet differentiability and orthogonal projections, but no stratifications, no singular or Clarke subdifferential of an extended-valued function, and no projection formula. The work is to formalize the paper's proof, which reduces the projection formula to the behaviour of Fréchet normals under limits of tangent spaces.

Difficulty

The first step, (11), is local and smooth: along a C1C^1C1 curve in the stratum the function is differentiable, and a Fréchet subgradient must agree with the derivative in tangent directions. The difficulty is the passage to limits in (12). A limiting subgradient at xxx is a limit of Fréchet subgradients at points xkx_kxk​ which may lie in a different, higher-dimensional stratum SiS_iSi​; nothing in the smooth argument relates TxkXiT_{x_k}X_iTxk​​Xi​ to TxXxT_xX_xTx​Xx​. The relation is supplied exactly by the Whitney-(a) property, together with the compactness of the Grassmannian and the local finiteness of the stratification. Without Whitney-(a) the inclusions fail, so a proof that never uses it is wrong. The singular part requires the same argument for rescaled subgradients tkyk∗t_ky_k^*tk​yk∗​, whose normals (tkyk∗,−tk)(t_ky_k^*,-t_k)(tk​yk∗​,−tk​) become horizontal in the limit.

Formalization scope

Rn\mathbb R^nRn is EuclideanSpace ℝ (Fin n), Rn+1\mathbb R^{n+1}Rn+1 is EuclideanSpace ℝ (Fin (n+1)) with the function value as the last coordinate, and R∪{+∞}\mathbb R\cup\{+\infty\}R∪{+∞} is EReal with fff never −∞-\infty−∞. The Fréchet and limiting subdifferentials are the published NonconvexSplitting.Shared.IsRegularSubgrad and LimitingSubdiff; the tangent space TuMT_uMTu​M (span of the tangent cone) and CpC^pCp submanifolds (coordinate slices of some dimension) are the published ProjLikeRetr.Retractor definitions. The closed convex hull in (6) is closedConvexHull, not convexHull. Strata may be empty; local finiteness is required at points of the stratified set; a gap supremum over an empty unit sphere is 000. The stratification hypothesis is taken of class C1C^1C1, the weakest case of the paper's "CpC^pCp-Whitney".

The stratum gradient is defined intrinsically: g∈Π(TuS)g\in\Pi(T_uS)g∈Π(Tu​S) with (g,−1)⊥TuS(g,-1)\perp T_uS(g,−1)⊥Tu​S. It is not defined as a derivative of fff along the whole projected set Π(Si)\Pi(S_i)Π(Si​). That set can fail to be a submanifold for a discontinuous lower semicontinuous fff, and every statement would then hold vacuously at such points. A companion item proves existence and uniqueness of the stratum gradient under (H), so the goal is not vacuous. The goal quantifies over all elements of ∂∘f(x)\partial^\circ f(x)∂∘f(x); this set may be empty (Remark 4), which is the page's restriction to x∈dom⁡∂∘fx\in\operatorname{dom}\partial^\circ fx∈dom∂∘f, and no real-valued distance to ∂∘f(x)\partial^\circ f(x)∂∘f(x) is used.

A complete development needs the tangent space of a C1C^1C1 submanifold as the image of the chart derivative, convergence of subspaces and compactness of the Grassmannian of Rn+1\mathbb R^{n+1}Rn+1, Fréchet normals to epigraphs, and the density of dom⁡∂^f\operatorname{dom}\hat\partial fdom∂^f in dom⁡f\operatorname{dom} fdomf for lower semicontinuous fff. These pieces are reusable beyond this mission; the subspace gap and Whitney stratifications are prerequisites of the §4 mission. Contributions of any of the listed lemmas are welcome, as are proofs of the companion items.

Selected references

  • J. Bolte, A. Daniilidis, A. Lewis, M. Shiota, Clarke subgradients of stratifiable functions, SIAM J. Optim. 18(2):556–572, 2007. https://doi.org/10.1137/060670080
  • R. T. Rockafellar, R. J.-B. Wets, Variational Analysis, Grundlehren 317, Springer, 1998. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-642-02431-3
  • L. van den Dries, C. Miller, Geometric categories and o-minimal structures, Duke Math. J. 84(2):497–540, 1996. https://doi.org/10.1215/S0012-7094-96-08416-1
  • H. Attouch, J. Bolte, B. F. Svaiter, Convergence of descent methods for semi-algebraic and tame problems, Math. Program. 137:91–129, 2013. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10107-011-0484-9
  • J. Bolte, S. Sabach, M. Teboulle, Proximal alternating linearized minimization for nonconvex and nonsmooth problems, Math. Program. 146:459–494, 2014. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10107-013-0701-9
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AnalysisOperations ResearchOptimization·Captain: mikedeng1

The Strong Second-Order Sufficient Condition and Constraint Nondegeneracy in Nonlinear Semidefinite Programming: At a Local Minimizer They Are Equivalent to Strong Regularity of the KKT PointResearch Paper

Motivation

Nonlinear semidefinite programming asks to minimize a smooth function subject to smooth equality constraints and a constraint that a smooth matrix-valued function be positive semidefinite. It covers robust control design, structural optimization, and nonconvex matrix problems such as low-rank approximation and nearest-correlation-matrix problems. Algorithms for it (sequential quadratic programming, augmented Lagrangian and semismooth Newton methods) converge fast locally only when the Karush–Kuhn–Tucker (KKT) point they approach is stable under perturbation, and the question is which checkable conditions guarantee that stability.

For classical nonlinear programming the answer has been known since the 1980s: at a local minimizer, Robinson's strong second order sufficient condition together with linear independence of the active gradients is equivalent to strong regularity of the KKT point (Robinson 1980; Jongen et al. 1987; Kojima 1980). D. Sun extended this equivalence to nonlinear semidefinite programs, where the constraint cone is not polyhedral and second-order analysis carries an extra curvature term.

Timeline.

  • 1980: S. M. Robinson introduces strong regularity of generalized equations and shows that for nonlinear programs the strong second order sufficient condition plus linear independence of active gradients implies it (Math. Oper. Res. 5).
  • 1997–2000: Shapiro, and Bonnans and Shapiro, develop second-order optimality conditions for cone-constrained problems, with the "sigma term" built from second order tangent sets and C²-cone reducibility (Bonnans–Shapiro 2000).
  • 2002: Sun and Sun prove that the projector onto the positive semidefinite cone is strongly semismooth and compute its directional derivative.
  • 2005–2006: D. Sun proves the equivalence theorem formalized here (preprint of May 15, 2005; journal version Math. Oper. Res. 31(4), 761–776).

Setting

XXX is a finite-dimensional real inner-product space, ℜm\Re^mℜm is Euclidean space, and Sp\mathcal S^pSp is the space of real symmetric p×pp\times pp×p matrices with the Frobenius inner product ⟨A,B⟩=Tr(ATB)\langle A,B\rangle=\mathrm{Tr}(A^TB)⟨A,B⟩=Tr(ATB). S+p\mathcal S^p_+S+p​ is the cone of positive semidefinite matrices. The problem is

(NLSDP)min⁡f(x)s.t.h(x)=0,  g(x)∈S+p,\text{(NLSDP)}\qquad \min f(x)\quad\text{s.t.}\quad h(x)=0,\ \ g(x)\in\mathcal S^p_+,(NLSDP)minf(x)s.t.h(x)=0,  g(x)∈S+p​,

with f:X→ℜf:X\to\Ref:X→ℜ, h:X→ℜmh:X\to\Re^mh:X→ℜm, g:X→Spg:X\to\mathcal S^pg:X→Sp twice continuously differentiable. Write G=(h,g)G=(h,g)G=(h,g) and K={0}×S+pK=\{0\}\times\mathcal S^p_+K={0}×S+p​. The Lagrangian is L(x,ζ,Γ)=f(x)+⟨ζ,h(x)⟩+⟨Γ,g(x)⟩L(x,\zeta,\Gamma)=f(x)+\langle\zeta,h(x)\rangle+\langle\Gamma,g(x)\rangleL(x,ζ,Γ)=f(x)+⟨ζ,h(x)⟩+⟨Γ,g(x)⟩, and the multiplier set M(x)\mathcal M(x)M(x) consists of the (ζ,Γ)(\zeta,\Gamma)(ζ,Γ) with JxL(x,ζ,Γ)=0J_xL(x,\zeta,\Gamma)=0Jx​L(x,ζ,Γ)=0, h(x)=0h(x)=0h(x)=0 and Γ\GammaΓ in the normal cone NS+p(g(x))N_{\mathcal S^p_+}(g(x))NS+p​​(g(x)) (so Γ⪯0\Gamma\preceq0Γ⪯0 and ⟨Γ,g(x)⟩=0\langle\Gamma,g(x)\rangle=0⟨Γ,g(x)⟩=0). A triple (xˉ,ζˉ,Γˉ)(\bar x,\bar\zeta,\bar\Gamma)(xˉ,ζˉ​,Γˉ) with (ζˉ,Γˉ)∈M(xˉ)(\bar\zeta,\bar\Gamma)\in\mathcal M(\bar x)(ζˉ​,Γˉ)∈M(xˉ) is a KKT point.

For a closed set DDD, TD(y)={d:∃tk↓0, dist(y+tkd,D)=o(tk)}T_D(y)=\{d:\exists t_k\downarrow0,\ \mathrm{dist}(y+t_kd,D)=o(t_k)\}TD​(y)={d:∃tk​↓0, dist(y+tk​d,D)=o(tk​)} is the tangent cone and lin(T)\mathrm{lin}(T)lin(T) its lineality space. Robinson's constraint qualification at xˉ\bar xxˉ is JxG(xˉ)X+TK(G(xˉ))=ℜm×SpJ_xG(\bar x)X+T_K(G(\bar x))=\Re^m\times\mathcal S^pJx​G(xˉ)X+TK​(G(xˉ))=ℜm×Sp; constraint nondegeneracy replaces TKT_KTK​ by lin(TK)\mathrm{lin}(T_K)lin(TK​). The critical cone is C(xˉ)={d:JxG(xˉ)d∈TK(G(xˉ)), Jxf(xˉ)d≤0}C(\bar x)=\{d:J_xG(\bar x)d\in T_K(G(\bar x)),\ J_xf(\bar x)d\le0\}C(xˉ)={d:Jx​G(xˉ)d∈TK​(G(xˉ)), Jx​f(xˉ)d≤0}.

For B∈SpB\in\mathcal S^pB∈Sp with Moore–Penrose pseudo-inverse B†B^\daggerB†, set ΥB(Γ,A)=2⟨Γ,AB†A⟩\Upsilon_B(\Gamma,A)=2\langle\Gamma,AB^\dagger A\rangleΥB​(Γ,A)=2⟨Γ,AB†A⟩. Let ΠS+p\Pi_{\mathcal S^p_+}ΠS+p​​ be the metric projector, A=g(xˉ)+ΓA=g(\bar x)+\GammaA=g(xˉ)+Γ, and C(A;S+p)=TS+p(A+)∩(A+−A)⊥C(A;\mathcal S^p_+)=T_{\mathcal S^p_+}(A_+)\cap(A_+-A)^\perpC(A;S+p​)=TS+p​​(A+​)∩(A+​−A)⊥ with A+=ΠS+p(A)A_+=\Pi_{\mathcal S^p_+}(A)A+​=ΠS+p​​(A). Then app(ζ,Γ)={d:Jxh(xˉ)d=0, Jxg(xˉ)d∈aff C(A;S+p)}\mathrm{app}(\zeta,\Gamma)=\{d:J_xh(\bar x)d=0,\ J_xg(\bar x)d\in\mathrm{aff}\,C(A;\mathcal S^p_+)\}app(ζ,Γ)={d:Jx​h(xˉ)d=0, Jx​g(xˉ)d∈affC(A;S+p​)} and C^(xˉ)=⋂(ζ,Γ)∈M(xˉ)app(ζ,Γ)\widehat C(\bar x)=\bigcap_{(\zeta,\Gamma)\in\mathcal M(\bar x)}\mathrm{app}(\zeta,\Gamma)C(xˉ)=⋂(ζ,Γ)∈M(xˉ)​app(ζ,Γ). The strong second order sufficient condition (SSOSC) at xˉ\bar xxˉ is

sup⁡(ζ,Γ)∈M(xˉ){⟨d,Jxx2L(xˉ,ζ,Γ)d⟩−Υg(xˉ)(Γ,Jxg(xˉ)d)}>0∀d∈C^(xˉ)∖{0}.\sup_{(\zeta,\Gamma)\in\mathcal M(\bar x)}\Big\{\langle d,J^2_{xx}L(\bar x,\zeta,\Gamma)d\rangle-\Upsilon_{g(\bar x)}\big(\Gamma,J_xg(\bar x)d\big)\Big\}>0\qquad\forall d\in\widehat C(\bar x)\setminus\{0\}.(ζ,Γ)∈M(xˉ)sup​{⟨d,Jxx2​L(xˉ,ζ,Γ)d⟩−Υg(xˉ)​(Γ,Jx​g(xˉ)d)}>0∀d∈C(xˉ)∖{0}.

The KKT map is F(x,ζ,Γ)=(∇xL(x,ζ,Γ), −h(x), −g(x)+ΠS+p(g(x)+Γ))F(x,\zeta,\Gamma)=\big(\nabla_xL(x,\zeta,\Gamma),\,-h(x),\,-g(x)+\Pi_{\mathcal S^p_+}(g(x)+\Gamma)\big)F(x,ζ,Γ)=(∇x​L(x,ζ,Γ),−h(x),−g(x)+ΠS+p​​(g(x)+Γ)) on Z=X×ℜm×SpZ=X\times\Re^m\times\mathcal S^pZ=X×ℜm×Sp; its zeros are the KKT points. The KKT system is also the generalized equation 0∈φ(z)+ND(z)0\in\varphi(z)+N_D(z)0∈φ(z)+ND​(z) with φ=(∇xL,−h,−g)\varphi=(\nabla_xL,-h,-g)φ=(∇x​L,−h,−g) and D=X×ℜm×S−pD=X\times\Re^m\times\mathcal S^p_-D=X×ℜm×S−p​. A solution zˉ\bar zzˉ is strongly regular if, for all small δ\deltaδ, the linearized equation δ∈φ(zˉ)+Jφ(zˉ)(z−zˉ)+ND(z)\delta\in\varphi(\bar z)+J\varphi(\bar z)(z-\bar z)+N_D(z)δ∈φ(zˉ)+Jφ(zˉ)(z−zˉ)+ND​(z) has a unique solution near zˉ\bar zzˉ that depends Lipschitz-continuously on δ\deltaδ. Clarke's generalized Jacobian ∂F\partial F∂F is the convex hull of the B-subdifferential ∂BF\partial_BF∂B​F, the set of limits of Jacobians at nearby differentiability points. Φ(δ)=F′(zˉ;δ)\Phi(\delta)=F'(\bar z;\delta)Φ(δ)=F′(zˉ;δ) is the directional derivative. The uniform second order growth condition and strong stability quantify over all C2C^2C2-smooth parameterizations (f(x,u),G(x,u))(f(x,u),G(x,u))(f(x,u),G(x,u)) of the problem.

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem 21

At a local minimizer xˉ\bar xxˉ satisfying Robinson's CQ, with (ζˉ,Γˉ)∈M(xˉ)(\bar\zeta,\bar\Gamma)\in\mathcal M(\bar x)(ζˉ​,Γˉ)∈M(xˉ), the following are equivalent:

(a) SSOSC at xˉ and constraint nondegeneracy;(b) every V∈∂F(xˉ,ζˉ,Γˉ) is nonsingular;(c) (xˉ,ζˉ,Γˉ) is strongly regular;(d) uniform second order growth and nondegeneracy;(e) strong stability and nondegeneracy;(f) F is a locally Lipschitz homeomorphism near (xˉ,ζˉ,Γˉ);(h) Φ is a globally Lipschitz homeomorphism;(j) every V∈∂Φ(0) is nonsingular.\begin{aligned} &\text{(a) SSOSC at }\bar x\text{ and constraint nondegeneracy;}\quad \text{(b) every }V\in\partial F(\bar x,\bar\zeta,\bar\Gamma)\text{ is nonsingular;}\\ &\text{(c) }(\bar x,\bar\zeta,\bar\Gamma)\text{ is strongly regular;}\quad \text{(d) uniform second order growth and nondegeneracy;}\\ &\text{(e) strong stability and nondegeneracy;}\quad \text{(f) }F\text{ is a locally Lipschitz homeomorphism near }(\bar x,\bar\zeta,\bar\Gamma);\\ &\text{(h) }\Phi\text{ is a globally Lipschitz homeomorphism;}\quad \text{(j) every }V\in\partial\Phi(0)\text{ is nonsingular.} \end{aligned}​(a) SSOSC at xˉ and constraint nondegeneracy;(b) every V∈∂F(xˉ,ζˉ​,Γˉ) is nonsingular;(c) (xˉ,ζˉ​,Γˉ) is strongly regular;(d) uniform second order growth and nondegeneracy;(e) strong stability and nondegeneracy;(f) F is a locally Lipschitz homeomorphism near (xˉ,ζˉ​,Γˉ);(h) Φ is a globally Lipschitz homeomorphism;(j) every V∈∂Φ(0) is nonsingular.​

Milestones

The matrix analysis of ΠS+p\Pi_{\mathcal S^p_+}ΠS+p​​: Lemma 1 (a B-subdifferential chain rule), Lemma 2, Propositions 3 and 4 (the block structure of ∂BΠS+p\partial_B\Pi_{\mathcal S^p_+}∂B​ΠS+p​​ and ∂ΠS+p\partial\Pi_{\mathcal S^p_+}∂ΠS+p​​), and Proposition 7 (the inequality ⟨ΔB,ΔΓ⟩≥−ΥB(Γ,ΔB)\langle\Delta B,\Delta\Gamma\rangle\ge-\Upsilon_B(\Gamma,\Delta B)⟨ΔB,ΔΓ⟩≥−ΥB​(Γ,ΔB)). Second-order theory: Proposition 8 (the strict CQ gives a unique multiplier and aff C(xˉ)=app\mathrm{aff}\,C(\bar x)=\mathrm{app}affC(xˉ)=app), Theorem 10 (the classical second-order conditions with the sigma term) and Lemma 11 (Υ\UpsilonΥ equals the sigma term on C(xˉ)C(\bar x)C(xˉ)). The equivalences: Remark 15 (strong regularity iff a natural map is a Lipschitz homeomorphism), Proposition 16 ((a) ⇒ (b) ⇒ (c) at any KKT point), Lemma 18 (uniform growth ⇒ SSOSC) and Lemma 20 (∂BΦ(0)=∂BF(zˉ)\partial_B\Phi(0)=\partial_BF(\bar z)∂B​Φ(0)=∂B​F(zˉ)).

Significance

The theorem identifies the SSOSC, a condition that can be checked from the problem data, with the stability notions that local algorithms need. Strong regularity is the hypothesis under which Newton-type methods for the KKT system converge locally and solutions vary Lipschitz-continuously with the data. Nonsingularity of ∂F\partial F∂F gives quadratic convergence of semismooth Newton methods. Uniform growth and strong stability are what sensitivity analysis uses. Without the theorem, each of these properties has to be verified separately for semidefinite programs. The theorem also shows that the classical nonlinear programming equivalence survives on a non-polyhedral cone if the curvature term Υ\UpsilonΥ is added.

The result is proved in the literature but has no machine-checked proof. Formalizing it requires the B-subdifferential and Clarke Jacobian of the PSD projector, second order tangent sets of S+p\mathcal S^p_+S+p​, and the Robinson–Kummer characterization of strong regularity. None of these exists in Mathlib. Items (g) and (i), which use the topological degree, are not formalized.

Difficulty

The obvious route is to copy the nonlinear programming proof: write strong regularity as nonsingularity of a reduced Jacobian on the active constraints. This fails because S+p\mathcal S^p_+S+p​ is not polyhedral. The KKT map is only semismooth, and its generalized Jacobian at a non-strictly complementary point is a whole family of operators, parametrized by ∂ΠS+∣β∣(0)\partial\Pi_{\mathcal S^{|\beta|}_+}(0)∂ΠS+∣β∣​​(0). Nonsingularity has to be shown for every member of that family. The curvature of the cone appears only through Υ\UpsilonΥ, which links the second-order condition to the Jacobian family. The converse directions combine several external theorems (Bonnans–Shapiro's stability theory, Clarke's inverse function theorem, Kummer's characterization), each needing nonsmooth infrastructure.

Formalization scope

All objects are defined in SunNLSDP.Equiv.Setting. Sp\mathcal S^pSp is the subspace of symmetric vectors in EuclideanSpace ℝ (n × n) for a finite index type n, so its inner product is exactly the Frobenius product. YYY and ZZZ are WithLp 2 products, carrying the sum of the inner products. B†B^\daggerB† is computed by the continuous functional calculus. The metric projector returns its argument when no minimiser exists; it is applied only to nonempty closed convex sets. Clarke's Jacobian, ∂B\partial_B∂B​, the one-sided directional derivative, the normal cone and the lineality space are the published definitions NonsmoothNewton.Shared.clarkeJac, NonsmoothNewton.Local.dirDeriv and RobinsonSR.Reduction.Setting.

Conventions committed to:

  • The brace systems (41), (42), (49) are read as one coupled system: every (a,B)(a,B)(a,B) equals (Jxh(xˉ)d, Jxg(xˉ)d+T)(J_xh(\bar x)d,\,J_xg(\bar x)d+T)(Jx​h(xˉ)d,Jx​g(xˉ)d+T) for a single ddd. Read as two independent equations they would be strictly weaker.
  • "sup⁡>0\sup>0sup>0" is stated as "some multiplier gives a positive value". The non-strict supremum of Theorem 10 (44) and the support function are taken in the extended reals.
  • Local optimality is local minimality of fff on the feasible set together with feasibility of xˉ\bar xxˉ.
  • "Nonsingular" means bijective.
  • Parameter spaces in Definitions 17 and 19 range over Banach spaces in the universe of XXX.
  • Lemma 2 and Remark 15 add nonemptiness of DDD.

Items (g) and (i) of Theorem 21 are omitted, because Brouwer degree is unavailable; no surrogate for the index is substituted. A formalization that reads the CQs or nondegeneracy as two decoupled equations, or states SSOSC only on C(xˉ)C(\bar x)C(xˉ) instead of C^(xˉ)\widehat C(\bar x)C(xˉ), proves a different theorem and is ruled out.

Reusable infrastructure: the PSD projector and its generalized Jacobians, second order tangent sets, the Moore–Penrose pseudo-inverse of symmetric matrices, and the characterization of strong regularity by Lipschitz homeomorphisms. Proofs of individual milestones are welcome, as are lemmas on ΠS+p\Pi_{\mathcal S^p_+}ΠS+p​​ and on strong regularity of generalized equations.

Selected references

  • D. Sun, The strong second order sufficient condition and constraint nondegeneracy in nonlinear semidefinite programming and their implications, preprint dated May 15, 2005; Mathematics of Operations Research 31(4), 761–776, 2006. https://doi.org/10.1287/moor.1060.0195
  • S. M. Robinson, Strongly regular generalized equations, Mathematics of Operations Research 5(1), 43–62, 1980. https://doi.org/10.1287/moor.5.1.43
  • J. F. Bonnans and A. Shapiro, Perturbation Analysis of Optimization Problems, Springer, 2000. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-1-4612-1394-9
  • D. Sun and J. Sun, Semismooth matrix-valued functions, Mathematics of Operations Research 27(1), 150–169, 2002. https://doi.org/10.1287/moor.27.1.150.342
  • B. Kummer, Lipschitzian inverse functions, directional derivatives, and applications in C^{1,1} optimization, Journal of Optimization Theory and Applications 70, 559–580, 1991. https://doi.org/10.1007/BF00941302
18 thms1 active userReviewed
Linear OptimizationOperations ResearchOptimization+1·Captain: mikedeng1

Primal and Dual Linear Decision Rules in Stochastic and Robust Optimization 3: In Multistage Programs, the Primal and Dual Linear Decision Rule Problems Equal the LPs (4.2) and (4.6)Research Paper

Motivation

A linear multistage stochastic program chooses decisions over TTT stages while a random vector is revealed one piece at a time; each decision may depend only on what has been observed so far. Such programs model production planning, capacity expansion, hydro scheduling and portfolio problems. Computing their optimal value exactly is intractable in general: Shapiro and Nemirovski argue that even medium-accuracy solutions are out of reach when the number of stages grows (Shapiro–Nemirovski 2005), and already the one-stage problem is #P-hard (Dyer–Stougie 2006, Theorem 3.2, as cited by the paper).

Linear decision rules restrict every decision to be an affine function of the observations. Introduced for robust optimization by Ben-Tal, Goryashko, Guslitzer and Nemirovski (2004) and carried into stochastic programming by Shapiro and Nemirovski and by Chen, Sim, Sun and Zhang (2008), they turn the problem into a finite one whose optimal value is an upper bound. Kuhn, Wiesemann and Georghiou (Optimization Online 2009/02/2218; Math. Program. 130, 2011) apply the same restriction to the dual problem, which yields a lower bound. They show that, for polyhedral supports, both bounds are values of explicit linear programs. This mission formalizes the multistage version of that statement, Theorem 3 of the preprint.

Setting

Stages are t∈T={1,…,T}t \in \mathbb T = \{1,\dots,T\}t∈T={1,…,T}. The uncertainty is ξ=(ξ1,…,ξT)∈Rk\xi = (\xi_1,\dots,\xi_T) \in \mathbb R^kξ=(ξ1​,…,ξT​)∈Rk with ξt∈Rkt\xi_t \in \mathbb R^{k_t}ξt​∈Rkt​ and k=∑tktk = \sum_t k_tk=∑t​kt​; by convention k1=1k_1 = 1k1​=1 and ξ1=1\xi_1 = 1ξ1​=1. The history at stage ttt is ξt=(ξ1,…,ξt)∈Rkt\xi^t = (\xi_1,\dots,\xi_t) \in \mathbb R^{k^t}ξt=(ξ1​,…,ξt​)∈Rkt, kt=∑s≤tksk^t = \sum_{s\le t} k_skt=∑s≤t​ks​, and the truncation operator Pt=[ I  0 ]∈Rkt×kP_t = [\,I\ \ 0\,] \in \mathbb R^{k^t\times k}Pt​=[I  0]∈Rkt×k maps ξ\xiξ to ξt\xi^tξt. The law P\mathbb PP of ξ\xiξ has support Ξ={ξ:Wξ≥h}\Xi = \{\xi : W\xi \ge h\}Ξ={ξ:Wξ≥h}, a nonempty bounded polyhedron spanning Rk\mathbb R^kRk, whose first two constraints encode ξ1=1\xi_1 = 1ξ1​=1. Et\mathbb E_tEt​ denotes conditional expectation given ξt\xi^tξt, and M=E(ξξ⊤)M = \mathbb E(\xi\xi^\top)M=E(ξξ⊤) is the second-order moment matrix.

A stage-ttt decision is a square-integrable Borel function xtx_txt​ of ξt\xi^tξt (written xt∈Lkt,nt2x_t \in \mathcal L^2_{k^t,n_t}xt​∈Lkt,nt​2​). The program MSP\mathcal{MSP}MSP minimizes

E(∑t=1Tct(ξt)⊤xt(ξt))subject toEt(∑s=1TAtsxs(ξs))≤bt(ξt)  P-a.s., t∈T,\mathbb E\Big(\sum_{t=1}^T c_t(\xi^t)^\top x_t(\xi^t)\Big) \quad\text{subject to}\quad \mathbb E_t\Big(\sum_{s=1}^T A_{ts}x_s(\xi^s)\Big) \le b_t(\xi^t)\ \ \mathbb P\text{-a.s.},\ t\in\mathbb T,E(t=1∑T​ct​(ξt)⊤xt​(ξt))subject toEt​(s=1∑T​Ats​xs​(ξs))≤bt​(ξt)  P-a.s., t∈T,

with deterministic matrices AtsA_{ts}Ats​, ct(ξt)=CtPtξc_t(\xi^t) = C_tP_t\xict​(ξt)=Ct​Pt​ξ and bt(ξt)=BtPtξb_t(\xi^t) = B_tP_t\xibt​(ξt)=Bt​Pt​ξ. The linear conditional mean assumption requires Et(ξ)=MtPtξ\mathbb E_t(\xi) = M_tP_t\xiEt​(ξ)=Mt​Pt​ξ almost surely for some Mt∈Rk×ktM_t \in \mathbb R^{k\times k^t}Mt​∈Rk×kt; it holds, for example, for stagewise independent data.

The primal approximation MSPu\mathcal{MSP}^uMSPu sets xt(ξt)=XtPtξx_t(\xi^t) = X_tP_t\xixt​(ξt)=Xt​Pt​ξ and slacks st(ξt)=StPtξs_t(\xi^t) = S_tP_t\xist​(ξt)=St​Pt​ξ. The dual approximation MSPl\mathcal{MSP}^lMSPl keeps general rules xt,stx_t, s_txt​,st​ but imposes the slack equations only in the weak form E([∑sAtsxs+st−bt][Ptξ]⊤)=0\mathbb E([\sum_s A_{ts}x_s + s_t - b_t][P_t\xi]^\top) = 0E([∑s​Ats​xs​+st​−bt​][Pt​ξ]⊤)=0. The linear programs (4.2) and (4.6) are written in the matrices XtX_tXt​, multipliers Λt\Lambda_tΛt​ and slack matrices StS_tSt​, with Nt=MPt⊤(PtMPt⊤)−1N_t = MP_t^\top(P_tMP_t^\top)^{-1}Nt​=MPt⊤​(Pt​MPt⊤​)−1.

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem 3 (p. 22)

Under the standing assumptions, the linear conditional mean assumption, and strict feasibility of MSP\mathcal{MSP}MSP,

val(MSPu)=val(4.2)and, if k≥2 or W^≠0,val(MSPl)=val(4.6),\mathrm{val}(\mathcal{MSP}^u) = \mathrm{val}(4.2) \qquad\text{and, if } k \ge 2 \text{ or } \hat W \ne 0,\qquad \mathrm{val}(\mathcal{MSP}^l) = \mathrm{val}(4.6),val(MSPu)=val(4.2)and, if k≥2 or W^=0,val(MSPl)=val(4.6),

as extended-real optimal values. Both equalities are part of the goal.

Milestones

  1. Lemma 2 (p. 20): for every xt∈Lkt,nt2x_t \in \mathcal L^2_{k^t,n_t}xt​∈Lkt,nt​2​ there is a unique XtX_tXt​ with XtPtM=E(xt(ξt)ξ⊤)X_tP_tM = \mathbb E(x_t(\xi^t)\xi^\top)Xt​Pt​M=E(xt​(ξt)ξ⊤), and likewise for slacks.
  2. Lemma 3 (p. 21): a moment condition StPtM=E(s(⋅)ξ⊤)S_tP_tM = \mathbb E(s(\cdot)\xi^\top)St​Pt​M=E(s(⋅)ξ⊤) with s≥0s \ge 0s≥0 can be met by a non-anticipative slack st(ξt)s_t(\xi^t)st​(ξt) iff it can be met by a slack depending on the full ξ\xiξ.
  3. §4, (4.7) (p. 21): through (4.3), the equality constraints of MSPl\mathcal{MSP}^lMSPl are equivalent to ∑sAtsXsPsNtPt+StPt=BtPt\sum_s A_{ts}X_sP_sN_tP_t + S_tP_t = B_tP_t∑s​Ats​Xs​Ps​Nt​Pt​+St​Pt​=Bt​Pt​.

Significance

The theorem makes both linear-decision-rule bounds on a multistage stochastic program computable by linear programming, with size polynomial in kkk, lll, ∑tmt\sum_t m_t∑t​mt​ and ∑tnt\sum_t n_t∑t​nt​ and hence typically linear in the number of stages. The gap between the two values measures the suboptimality of the primal linear rule. These results underlie later work on piecewise-linear and lifted decision rules and on multistage robust and distributionally robust optimization.

The preprint omits the proof of Theorem 3 ("it widely parallels the argumentation in Section 2"), so a formal proof has to supply the multistage details: the conditional-expectation bookkeeping, the truncation operators and the transfer of the one-stage cone description to non-anticipative slacks. No part of this paper has been machine-checked before; the companion mission of this series formalizes the one-stage Theorem 1.

Difficulty

The obvious route repeats the one-stage argument stage by stage, and it breaks at the slack constraints of MSPl\mathcal{MSP}^lMSPl. A slack sts_tst​ must be a function of ξt\xi^tξt alone, while the one-stage cone characterization of moment vectors E(s(ξ)ξ)\mathbb E(s(\xi)\xi)E(s(ξ)ξ) concerns functions of the full ξ\xiξ; Lemma 3 bridges them only through the linear conditional mean assumption and conditional expectations. A second difficulty is the closure gap between that cone and its polyhedral outer description: the equality of val(MSPl)\mathrm{val}(\mathcal{MSP}^l)val(MSPl) and val(4.6)\mathrm{val}(4.6)val(4.6) relies on strict feasibility, and a proof that ignores it is wrong. On the primal side, the passage from almost sure constraints to identities of matrices needs both that every point of Ξ\XiΞ is charged by P\mathbb PP and that Ξ\XiΞ spans Rk\mathbb R^kRk.

Formalization scope

Vectors are functions Fin d → ℝ; stage ttt is the Fin T index t−1t-1t−1 and coordinate 111 is index 0. The history dimension is kbar kk t, the truncation is the restriction to the first ktk^tkt coordinates, and PtP_tPt​ is also given as a 0/10/10/1 matrix. Et\mathbb E_tEt​ is Mathlib's condExp with respect to the σ-algebra generated by PtP_tPt​. "Ξ\XiΞ is the support of P\mathbb PP" means: Ξ\XiΞ closed, P(Ξc)=0\mathbb P(\Xi^c) = 0P(Ξc)=0, and every ball around a point of Ξ\XiΞ has positive mass. Decision rules are Borel functions of the history whose composition with PtP_tPt​ is in L2(P)L^2(\mathbb P)L2(P). Optimal values are infima in EReal (+∞+\infty+∞ if infeasible, −∞-\infty−∞ if unbounded), and "equivalent" means equal optimal values. The matrices MtM_tMt​ are data, with the conditional-mean identity as a hypothesis.

Three conventions are fixed where the page is silent or misprinted. Strict feasibility of MSP\mathcal{MSP}MSP, not defined in §4, is the analogue of (2.9) for the standard form (4.1): slacks at least ε>0\varepsilon > 0ε>0 almost surely. The equality constraint of MSPl\mathcal{MSP}^lMSPl is printed with st−bts_t - b_tst​−bt​ inside ∑s\sum_s∑s​; the formalization follows (4.7), where the sum covers only AtsxsA_{ts}x_sAts​xs​. The sign condition in (4.5c) is printed as s~t(ξt)≥0\tilde s_t(\xi^t) \ge 0s~t​(ξt)≥0 for a function of ξ\xiξ, and is read as s~t(ξ)≥0\tilde s_t(\xi) \ge 0s~t​(ξ)≥0. The theorem's last sentence (polynomial size, efficient solvability) is informal and not formalized. One hypothesis is added: the goal's second equality assumes k≥2k \ge 2k≥2 or that some row of W^\hat WW^ (the rows of WWW below (2.1b)) is nonzero (the first equality is stated without it). For k=1k = 1k=1 the support is the single point {1}\{1\}{1}, and if WWW has no nonzero row beyond (2.1b) the cone of Proposition 3 is all of R\mathbb RR; the printed second equality then fails (a strictly feasible one-stage instance has val(MSPl)=0\mathrm{val}(\mathcal{MSP}^l) = 0val(MSPl)=0 while (4.6) is unbounded below). The added hypothesis excludes exactly this case.

Expectations are Bochner integrals, which vanish on non-integrable functions; under the standing assumptions ξ\xiξ is bounded almost surely, so all integrands involving square-integrable rules are integrable and no constraint is satisfied vacuously. Matrix.inv returns 000 on singular matrices, but PtMPt⊤P_tMP_t^\topPt​MPt⊤​ is positive definite under the standing assumptions. The linear conditional mean hypothesis cannot be dropped from Lemmas 2 and 3: without it XtX_tXt​ need not exist.

A complete development needs the support and moment facts of §2 (M≻0M \succ 0M≻0, almost sure constraints extend to Ξ\XiΞ), Farkas-type duality for the polyhedron Ξ\XiΞ, the tower property of conditional expectation, and the cone results of Propositions 3 and 4 of the preprint. These are reusable across the series. Proofs of the milestones, or of these supporting facts as separate lemmas, are welcome.

Selected references

  • D. Kuhn, W. Wiesemann, A. Georghiou, Primal and dual linear decision rules in stochastic and robust optimization, Optimization Online preprint 2009/02/2218, 2009; Math. Program. 130:177–209, 2011. https://optimization-online.org/2009/02/2218/ ; https://doi.org/10.1007/s10107-009-0331-4
  • A. Ben-Tal, A. Goryashko, E. Guslitzer, A. Nemirovski, Adjustable robust solutions of uncertain linear programs, Math. Program. 99:351–376, 2004. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10107-003-0454-y
  • A. Shapiro, A. Nemirovski, On complexity of stochastic programming problems, in Continuous Optimization, Springer, 2005. https://doi.org/10.1007/0-387-26771-9_4
  • X. Chen, M. Sim, P. Sun, J. Zhang, A linear decision-based approximation approach to stochastic programming, Oper. Res. 56(2):344–357, 2008. https://doi.org/10.1287/opre.1070.0441
  • M. Dyer, L. Stougie, Computational complexity of stochastic programming problems, Math. Program. 106:423–432, 2006. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10107-005-0597-0
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Primal and Dual Linear Decision Rules in Stochastic and Robust Optimization 1: With Fixed Recourse, the Primal and Dual Linear Decision Rule Problems Equal the LPs (2.3) and (2.8)Research Paper

Motivation

Linear stochastic programs with recourse model decisions that are taken after an uncertain parameter ξ\xiξ has been observed: the decision is a decision rule x(ξ)x(\xi)x(ξ), a function of the data. Computing the optimal value exactly is intractable in general. Dyer and Stougie showed that already two-stage linear stochastic programs are #P-hard (Math. Program. 2006), and the same holds for the one-stage problem SP\mathcal{SP}SP below even when P\mathbb PP is uniform on a cube.

A widely used remedy restricts decision rules to be linear in ξ\xiξ. Ben-Tal, Goryashko, Guslitzer and Nemirovski introduced this restriction in robust optimization (Math. Program. 2004); Shapiro and Nemirovski (2005) and Chen, Sim, Sun and Zhang (Oper. Res. 2008) carried it into stochastic programming. The restriction yields an upper bound, but on its own it says nothing about how much optimality is lost. Kuhn, Wiesemann and Georghiou (Optimization Online 2009/02/2218; published in Math. Program. 2011) also apply the linear restriction to the dual multipliers. This gives a lower bound, so the gap between the two computable bounds estimates the approximation error. This mission formalizes the paper's model result for the case of fixed recourse and polyhedral support (§2, Theorem 1).

Setting

Uncertainty is a probability measure P\mathbb PP on (Rk,B(Rk))(\mathbb R^k, \mathfrak B(\mathbb R^k))(Rk,B(Rk)). The support Ξ\XiΞ of P\mathbb PP is the smallest closed set of probability one. A decision rule is an element of Lk,n2\mathcal L^2_{k,n}Lk,n2​, the Borel measurable, square-integrable functions Rk→Rn\mathbb R^k \to \mathbb R^nRk→Rn. Inequalities between vectors and matrices are componentwise.

The data are a fixed recourse matrix A∈Rm×nA \in \mathbb R^{m\times n}A∈Rm×n, matrices C∈Rn×kC \in \mathbb R^{n\times k}C∈Rn×k and B∈Rm×kB \in \mathbb R^{m\times k}B∈Rm×k giving the costs c(ξ)=Cξc(\xi) = C\xic(ξ)=Cξ and right-hand sides b(ξ)=Bξb(\xi) = B\xib(ξ)=Bξ, and W∈Rl×kW \in \mathbb R^{l\times k}W∈Rl×k, h∈Rlh \in \mathbb R^lh∈Rl. The stochastic program is

SP:min⁡x∈Lk,n2 E(c(ξ)⊤x(ξ))s.t.Ax(ξ)≤b(ξ)  P-a.s.\mathcal{SP}:\quad \min_{x \in \mathcal L^2_{k,n}} \ \mathbb E\big(c(\xi)^\top x(\xi)\big) \quad\text{s.t.}\quad Ax(\xi) \le b(\xi)\ \ \mathbb P\text{-a.s.}SP:x∈Lk,n2​min​ E(c(ξ)⊤x(ξ))s.t.Ax(ξ)≤b(ξ)  P-a.s.

The standing assumptions of §2 are:

  • the support is the nonempty bounded polyhedron Ξ={ξ:Wξ≥h}\Xi = \{\xi : W\xi \ge h\}Ξ={ξ:Wξ≥h} (2.1a);
  • (2.1b) holds: the first two rows of WWW are e1⊤e_1^\tope1⊤​ and −e1⊤-e_1^\top−e1⊤​, the remaining rows form W^\widehat WW, and h=(1,−1,0,…,0)h = (1,-1,0,\dots,0)h=(1,−1,0,…,0), so that ξ1=1\xi_1 = 1ξ1​=1 on Ξ\XiΞ;
  • Ξ\XiΞ spans Rk\mathbb R^kRk.

The second-order moment matrix is M=E(ξξ⊤)M = \mathbb E(\xi\xi^\top)M=E(ξξ⊤). SP\mathcal{SP}SP is strictly feasible (2.9) if some xˉ∈Lk,n2\bar x \in \mathcal L^2_{k,n}xˉ∈Lk,n2​, sˉ∈Lk,m2\bar s \in \mathcal L^2_{k,m}sˉ∈Lk,m2​ and ε>0\varepsilon > 0ε>0 satisfy Axˉ(ξ)+sˉ(ξ)=b(ξ)A\bar x(\xi) + \bar s(\xi) = b(\xi)Axˉ(ξ)+sˉ(ξ)=b(ξ) and sˉ(ξ)≥εe\bar s(\xi) \ge \varepsilon esˉ(ξ)≥εe almost surely.

The two approximations are as follows.

  • Primal linear decision rules, SPu\mathcal{SP}^uSPu: minimize Tr⁡(MC⊤X)\operatorname{Tr}(MC^\top X)Tr(MC⊤X) over X∈Rn×kX \in \mathbb R^{n\times k}X∈Rn×k, S∈Rm×kS \in \mathbb R^{m\times k}S∈Rm×k with AXξ+Sξ=BξAX\xi + S\xi = B\xiAXξ+Sξ=Bξ and Sξ≥0S\xi \ge 0Sξ≥0 almost surely.
  • Dual linear decision rules, SPl\mathcal{SP}^lSPl: minimize E(c(ξ)⊤x(ξ))\mathbb E(c(\xi)^\top x(\xi))E(c(ξ)⊤x(ξ)) over x∈Lk,n2x \in \mathcal L^2_{k,n}x∈Lk,n2​, s∈Lk,m2s \in \mathcal L^2_{k,m}s∈Lk,m2​ with E([Ax(ξ)+s(ξ)−b(ξ)]ξ⊤)=0\mathbb E\big([Ax(\xi)+s(\xi)-b(\xi)]\xi^\top\big) = 0E([Ax(ξ)+s(ξ)−b(ξ)]ξ⊤)=0 and s≥0s \ge 0s≥0 almost surely.

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem 1 (p. 10)

Under the standing assumptions, W^≠0\widehat W \ne 0W=0 (see Formalization scope) and strict feasibility,

val⁡SPu=val⁡(2.3)andval⁡SPl=val⁡(2.8),\operatorname{val}\mathcal{SP}^u = \operatorname{val}(2.3) \quad\text{and}\quad \operatorname{val}\mathcal{SP}^l = \operatorname{val}(2.8),valSPu=val(2.3)andvalSPl=val(2.8),

where (2.3) and (2.8) are the linear programs

(2.3)min⁡X,Λ Tr⁡(MC⊤X)  s.t.  AX+ΛW=B, Λh≥0, Λ≥0,(2.3)\quad \min_{X,\Lambda}\ \operatorname{Tr}(MC^\top X)\ \text{ s.t. }\ AX + \Lambda W = B,\ \Lambda h \ge 0,\ \Lambda \ge 0,(2.3)X,Λmin​ Tr(MC⊤X)  s.t.  AX+ΛW=B, Λh≥0, Λ≥0, (2.8)min⁡X,S Tr⁡(MC⊤X)  s.t.  AX+S=B, (W−he1⊤)MS⊤≥0.(2.8)\quad \min_{X,S}\ \operatorname{Tr}(MC^\top X)\ \text{ s.t. }\ AX + S = B,\ (W - he_1^\top)MS^\top \ge 0.(2.8)X,Smin​ Tr(MC⊤X)  s.t.  AX+S=B, (W−he1⊤​)MS⊤≥0.

Milestones, in the order the proof uses them

  1. §2.2 (p. 5). The almost-sure constraints of SPu\mathcal{SP}^uSPu hold on all of Ξ\XiΞ, and AXξ+Sξ=BξAX\xi + S\xi = B\xiAXξ+Sξ=Bξ a.s. is equivalent to AX+S=BAX + S = BAX+S=B.
  2. Proposition 1 (p. 5). If Ξ\XiΞ is nonempty, then z⊤ξ≥0z^\top\xi \ge 0z⊤ξ≥0 on Ξ\XiΞ if and only if z=W⊤λz = W^\top\lambdaz=W⊤λ for some λ≥0\lambda \ge 0λ≥0 with h⊤λ≥0h^\top\lambda \ge 0h⊤λ≥0.
  3. Proposition 2 (p. 7). MMM is positive definite and invertible.
  4. §2.4 (p. 7). val⁡SPl\operatorname{val}\mathcal{SP}^lvalSPl equals the optimal value of the moment problem (2.6).
  5. Proposition 3 (p. 7). If W^≠0\widehat W \ne 0W=0, then ∅≠int⁡K⊆KP⊆K\emptyset \ne \operatorname{int}\mathcal K \subseteq \mathcal K_{\mathbb P} \subseteq \mathcal K∅=intK⊆KP​⊆K, for the polyhedral cone K={z:(W−he1⊤)z≥0}\mathcal K = \{z : (W-he_1^\top)z \ge 0\}K={z:(W−he1⊤​)z≥0} and the moment cone KP={E(s(ξ)ξ):s∈Lk,12, s≥0}\mathcal K_{\mathbb P} = \{\mathbb E(s(\xi)\xi) : s \in \mathcal L^2_{k,1},\ s \ge 0\}KP​={E(s(ξ)ξ):s∈Lk,12​, s≥0}.
  6. Proposition 4 (p. 9). Under strict feasibility and W^≠0\widehat W \ne 0W=0, (2.6) and (2.8) have the same optimal value.

Significance

Because SPu≥SP≥SPl\mathcal{SP}^u \ge \mathcal{SP} \ge \mathcal{SP}^lSPu≥SP≥SPl, Theorem 1 brackets the value of an intractable stochastic program between two explicit linear programs. The sizes of these programs are polynomial in k,l,m,nk, l, m, nk,l,m,n. They depend on P\mathbb PP only through its support and its second-order moment matrix. The difference val⁡(2.3)−val⁡(2.8)\operatorname{val}(2.3) - \operatorname{val}(2.8)val(2.3)−val(2.8) is therefore a computable certificate of how much the linear-decision-rule restriction can lose. Sections 3 and 4 of the paper extend the same scheme to random recourse (semidefinite programs) and to multistage problems; they are the subjects of the companion missions 2 and 3.

The theorem is proved in the paper. As far as a search of the platform shows, none of the statements above has a machine-checked proof. A formal proof would check the measure-theoretic steps that the paper passes over quickly. These are the passage from "almost surely" to "on the support", the density argument behind int⁡K⊆KP\operatorname{int}\mathcal K \subseteq \mathcal K_{\mathbb P}intK⊆KP​, and the approximation argument of Proposition 4. A formal proof would also produce reusable results on robust counterparts of polyhedral constraints and on moment cones.

Difficulty

The primal half is robust-optimization duality. Its only delicate point is that almost-sure constraints become constraints on all of Ξ\XiΞ, which uses the fact that every point of the support is charged. The dual half is harder. The constraint "SMSMSM has rows in KP\mathcal K_{\mathbb P}KP​" is a family of moment problems over nonnegative square-integrable densities, and KP\mathcal K_{\mathbb P}KP​ is in general not closed. Replacing it by the polyhedral cone K\mathcal KK is exact only up to the boundary, and it is strict feasibility that removes the boundary effect. Without strict feasibility the optimal values of (2.6) and (2.8) are only known to bracket each other. The proof of Proposition 3 also needs a description of the closed cone generated by Ξ\XiΞ, and this description uses (2.1b).

Formalization scope

Vectors in Rk\mathbb R^kRk are Fin k → ℝ and matrices are Matrix (Fin m) (Fin k) ℝ. The paper's 1-based indices are 0-based in Lean, so e1e_1e1​ is index 0 and the rows of (2.1b) are rows 0 and 1. The data form a structure Setting, and the standing assumptions form one predicate Standing. The support is encoded by three conditions on Ξ\XiΞ: it is closed, P(Ξc)=0\mathbb P(\Xi^c) = 0P(Ξc)=0, and every ball centred in Ξ\XiΞ has positive mass. This is equivalent to "smallest closed set of probability one"; P(Ξ)=1\mathbb P(\Xi) = 1P(Ξ)=1 alone would not be enough. Decision rules are measurable functions with MemLp x 2 P. Expectations of vector- and matrix-valued quantities are written entrywise as Bochner integrals. Under the standing assumptions ξ\xiξ is bounded almost surely, so every integrand involved is integrable and no integral defaults to 000.

"Equivalent" means equal optimal values. Each optimal value is the infimum of the objective over the feasible set in EReal: +∞+\infty+∞ if the problem is infeasible and −∞-\infty−∞ if it is unbounded below. A one-sided inequality between the values, or the bare statement that the problems are linear programs, is not Theorem 1 and does not close the goal. Strict feasibility is a hypothesis of both equalities, as printed. Proposition 1 is stated for any W,hW, hW,h with a nonempty polyhedron, since nonemptiness is the only property of Ξ\XiΞ it uses. Proposition 3, Proposition 4 and Theorem 1 carry one hypothesis the paper does not state, W^≠0\widehat W \ne 0W=0 (some row of WWW below the first two is nonzero). The printed statements are false without it: for k=1k = 1k=1, W=(1,−1)⊤W = (1,-1)^\topW=(1,−1)⊤, h=(1,−1)⊤h = (1,-1)^\toph=(1,−1)⊤, P=δ1\mathbb P = \delta_1P=δ1​ every assumption holds, W−he1⊤=0W - he_1^\top = 0W−he1⊤​=0, so K=R\mathcal K = \mathbb RK=R while KP=[0,∞)\mathcal K_{\mathbb P} = [0,\infty)KP​=[0,∞), and (2.8) loses the sign constraint S≥0S \ge 0S≥0 that (2.6) keeps. Under the standing assumptions the hypothesis is automatic whenever k≥2k \ge 2k≥2. Theorem 1's closing sentence ("the sizes of these linear programs are polynomial … efficiently solvable") is informal and is not formalized.

A complete development needs strong LP duality or Farkas' lemma for inequality systems, the support of a measure in Rk\mathbb R^kRk, density of L2L^2L2-densities in nonnegative measures, and basic facts on interiors of polyhedral cones. The Farkas lemma is on the platform (LinearOptimization.farkas_lemma). Proofs of the milestones are welcome independently. Proposition 1 and Proposition 3 are reusable outside this paper.

Selected references

  • D. Kuhn, W. Wiesemann, A. Georghiou, Primal and dual linear decision rules in stochastic and robust optimization, Optimization Online 2009/02/2218 (2009); Math. Program. 130 (2011) 177–209. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10107-009-0331-4
  • A. Ben-Tal, A. Goryashko, E. Guslitzer, A. Nemirovski, Adjustable robust solutions of uncertain linear programs, Math. Program. 99 (2004) 351–376. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10107-003-0454-y
  • A. Ben-Tal, A. Nemirovski, Robust solutions of uncertain linear programs, Oper. Res. Lett. 25 (1999) 1–13. https://doi.org/10.1016/S0167-6377(99)00016-4
  • X. Chen, M. Sim, P. Sun, J. Zhang, A linear decision-based approximation approach to stochastic programming, Oper. Res. 56 (2008) 344–357. https://doi.org/10.1287/opre.1070.0441
  • M. Dyer, L. Stougie, Computational complexity of stochastic programming problems, Math. Program. 106 (2006) 423–432. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10107-005-0597-0
  • A. Shapiro, A. Nemirovski, On complexity of stochastic programming problems, in Continuous Optimization, Springer (2005) 111–144. https://doi.org/10.1007/0-387-26771-9_4
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Functional AnalysisOperations ResearchProbability·Captain: mikedeng1

Conditional Risk Mappings: A Positively Homogeneous Lower Semicontinuous Conditional Risk Mapping Is the Supremum of Countably Many Conditional ExpectationsResearch Paper

Motivation

Risk measures quantify the danger of an uncertain cost XXX by a single number. The axiomatic theory of coherent and convex risk measures (Artzner, Delbaen, Eber and Heath, Coherent measures of risk, 1999; Föllmer and Schied, Convex measures of risk and trading constraints, 2002) is static: the risk is evaluated once, with no information beyond what is known at time zero. Multistage stochastic optimization and dynamic risk management need risk evaluated conditionally: at time 1 part of the uncertainty has been resolved, and the risk of a time-2 cost should be a function of what is known at time 1.

Ruszczyński and Shapiro, in Conditional risk mappings (preprint of February 21, 2004; journal version Mathematics of Operations Research 31(3), 2006), extend their earlier static theory (Optimization of convex risk functions, Math. Oper. Res. 31(3), 2006) to this conditional setting. They define conditional risk mappings by three axioms, derive a pointwise conjugate duality, and show that positively homogeneous conditional risk mappings are, under regularity conditions, suprema of countably many conditional expectations. The last result explains the word conditional: the conditional expectation is the prototype, and every positively homogeneous conditional risk mapping is a worst case over a countable family of them.

Setting

Let Ω\OmegaΩ be a set with σ\sigmaσ-algebras F1⊂F2\mathcal F_1\subset\mathcal F_2F1​⊂F2​; F1\mathcal F_1F1​ is the information available when risk is evaluated. Let X2\mathcal X_2X2​ be a real vector space of F2\mathcal F_2F2​-measurable functions X:Ω→RX:\Omega\to\mathbb RX:Ω→R, and X1⊂X2\mathcal X_1\subset\mathcal X_2X1​⊂X2​ a subspace of F1\mathcal F_1F1​-measurable ones. Let Y2\mathcal Y_2Y2​ be a real vector space of finite signed measures on (Ω,F2)(\Omega,\mathcal F_2)(Ω,F2​) with ∫∣X∣ d∣μ∣<∞\int|X|\,d|\mu|<\infty∫∣X∣d∣μ∣<∞, and pair them by

⟨μ,X⟩=∫ΩX dμ.\langle\mu,X\rangle=\int_\Omega X\,d\mu .⟨μ,X⟩=∫Ω​Xdμ.

Both spaces carry locally convex topologies that are compatible with this pairing: the continuous linear functionals on each space are exactly the pairings with elements of the other. Two standing conditions hold throughout: (C) if μ∈Y2\mu\in\mathcal Y_2μ∈Y2​ is not a nonnegative measure, some nonnegative X∈X2X\in\mathcal X_2X∈X2​ has ⟨μ,X⟩<0\langle\mu,X\rangle<0⟨μ,X⟩<0; (C′) 1B∈X1\mathbb 1_B\in\mathcal X_11B​∈X1​ for every B∈F1B\in\mathcal F_1B∈F1​.

A conditional risk mapping is a map ρ:X2→X1\rho:\mathcal X_2\to\mathcal X_1ρ:X2​→X1​ with, writing ρω(X)=[ρ(X)](ω)\rho_\omega(X)=[\rho(X)](\omega)ρω​(X)=[ρ(X)](ω):

  • (A1) convexity: ρω(tX+(1−t)Y)≤tρω(X)+(1−t)ρω(Y)\rho_\omega(tX+(1-t)Y)\le t\rho_\omega(X)+(1-t)\rho_\omega(Y)ρω​(tX+(1−t)Y)≤tρω​(X)+(1−t)ρω​(Y) for t∈[0,1]t\in[0,1]t∈[0,1];
  • (A2) monotonicity: Y(ω′)≥X(ω′)Y(\omega')\ge X(\omega')Y(ω′)≥X(ω′) for all ω′\omega'ω′ implies ρω(Y)≥ρω(X)\rho_\omega(Y)\ge\rho_\omega(X)ρω​(Y)≥ρω​(X);
  • (A3) translation equivariance: ρ(X+Y)=ρ(X)+Y\rho(X+Y)=\rho(X)+Yρ(X+Y)=ρ(X)+Y for every Y∈X1Y\in\mathcal X_1Y∈X1​.

Costs are minimised: smaller XXX is better. All inequalities hold at every ω∈Ω\omega\in\Omegaω∈Ω, not almost surely. ρ\rhoρ is positively homogeneous if ρ(tX)=tρ(X)\rho(tX)=t\rho(X)ρ(tX)=tρ(X) for t>0t>0t>0, and lower semicontinuous if each ρω\rho_\omegaρω​ is.

The conjugate is ρ∗(μ,ω)=sup⁡X{⟨μ,X⟩−ρω(X)}∈R‾\rho^*(\mu,\omega)=\sup_{X}\{\langle\mu,X\rangle-\rho_\omega(X)\}\in\overline{\mathbb R}ρ∗(μ,ω)=supX​{⟨μ,X⟩−ρω​(X)}∈R and the risk envelope is A(ω)={μ:ρ∗(μ,ω)<∞}\mathcal A(\omega)=\{\mu:\rho^*(\mu,\omega)<\infty\}A(ω)={μ:ρ∗(μ,ω)<∞}. PY2\mathcal P_{\mathcal Y_2}PY2​​ denotes the probability measures in Y2\mathcal Y_2Y2​, and PY2∣F1(ω)\mathcal P_{\mathcal Y_2|\mathcal F_1}(\omega)PY2​∣F1​​(ω) those ν\nuν with ν(B)=1B(ω)\nu(B)=\mathbb 1_B(\omega)ν(B)=1B​(ω) for all B∈F1B\in\mathcal F_1B∈F1​. A map ω↦μω\omega\mapsto\mu_\omegaω↦μω​ is weakly* F1\mathcal F_1F1​-measurable if every ω↦⟨μω,X⟩\omega\mapsto\langle\mu_\omega,X\rangleω↦⟨μω​,X⟩ is F1\mathcal F_1F1​-measurable. For such a selection of A\mathcal AA, the operator [Qμ(ν)](A)=∫μω(A) dν(ω)[\mathbb Q_\mu(\nu)](A)=\int\mu_\omega(A)\,d\nu(\omega)[Qμ​(ν)](A)=∫μω​(A)dν(ω) acts on Y2\mathcal Y_2Y2​. Assumption (K): PY2\mathcal P_{\mathcal Y_2}PY2​​ is compact, and every such Qμ\mathbb Q_\muQμ​ maps PY2\mathcal P_{\mathcal Y_2}PY2​​ into itself with a closed graph. Finally, μ(⋅)\mu(\cdot)μ(⋅) is the conditional probability of ν\nuν given F1\mathcal F_1F1​ if each ω↦μω(A)\omega\mapsto\mu_\omega(A)ω↦μω​(A) is F1\mathcal F_1F1​-measurable and ∫Sμω(A) dν=ν(A∩S)\int_S\mu_\omega(A)\,d\nu=\nu(A\cap S)∫S​μω​(A)dν=ν(A∩S) for S∈F1S\in\mathcal F_1S∈F1​, A∈F2A\in\mathcal F_2A∈F2​; then Eν[X∣F1](ω)=⟨μω,X⟩\mathbb E_\nu[X|\mathcal F_1](\omega)=\langle\mu_\omega,X\rangleEν​[X∣F1​](ω)=⟨μω​,X⟩.

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem 2 (p. 11)

If X2\mathcal X_2X2​ is separable, (K) holds and ρ\rhoρ is a positively homogeneous, lower semicontinuous conditional risk mapping, then there are probability measures νi∈PY2\nu^i\in\mathcal P_{\mathcal Y_2}νi∈PY2​​, i∈Ni\in\mathbb Ni∈N, with

ρω(X)=sup⁡i∈NEνi[X∣F1](ω)for all X∈X2, ω∈Ω,\rho_\omega(X)=\sup_{i\in\mathbb N}\mathbb E_{\nu^i}[X|\mathcal F_1](\omega)\qquad\text{for all }X\in\mathcal X_2,\ \omega\in\Omega,ρω​(X)=i∈Nsup​Eνi​[X∣F1​](ω)for all X∈X2​, ω∈Ω,

each conditional expectation being the integral against a weakly* F1\mathcal F_1F1​-measurable conditional probability of νi\nu^iνi.

Milestones

  1. dom⁡ρ∗(⋅,ω)⊆PY2∣F1(ω)\operatorname{dom}\rho^*(\cdot,\omega)\subseteq\mathcal P_{\mathcal Y_2|\mathcal F_1}(\omega)domρ∗(⋅,ω)⊆PY2​∣F1​​(ω) (proof of Theorem 1, pp. 5–6).
  2. Theorem 1 (p. 5): ρω(X)=sup⁡μ∈PY2∣F1(ω){⟨μ,X⟩−ρ∗(μ,ω)}\rho_\omega(X)=\sup_{\mu\in\mathcal P_{\mathcal Y_2|\mathcal F_1}(\omega)}\{\langle\mu,X\rangle-\rho^*(\mu,\omega)\}ρω​(X)=supμ∈PY2​∣F1​​(ω)​{⟨μ,X⟩−ρ∗(μ,ω)}, and its converse.
  3. (3.8) (p. 6): for positively homogeneous ρ\rhoρ, ρ∗(⋅,ω)\rho^*(\cdot,\omega)ρ∗(⋅,ω) is the indicator of a closed convex A(ω)\mathcal A(\omega)A(ω) and ρω(X)=sup⁡μ∈A(ω)⟨μ,X⟩\rho_\omega(X)=\sup_{\mu\in\mathcal A(\omega)}\langle\mu,X\rangleρω​(X)=supμ∈A(ω)​⟨μ,X⟩.
  4. Lemma 1 (p. 11): for separable X2\mathcal X_2X2​, countably many weakly* measurable selections of A\mathcal AA suffice.
  5. Under (K), each Qμ\mathbb Q_\muQμ​ has a fixed point in PY2\mathcal P_{\mathcal Y_2}PY2​​ (p. 10).
  6. Proposition 3 (p. 9): a fixed point νˉ\bar\nuνˉ of Qμ\mathbb Q_\muQμ​ has μ\muμ as its conditional probability given F1\mathcal F_1F1​.

Corollary 1 (p. 10, singleton envelopes give a conditional expectation) and Proposition 2 (p. 7, ρ(YX)=Yρ(X)\rho(YX)=Y\rho(X)ρ(YX)=Yρ(X) for nonnegative F1\mathcal F_1F1​-step functions YYY) are included as further statements.

Significance

Theorem 2 identifies the positively homogeneous conditional risk mappings with suprema of conditional expectations. It is the conditional analogue of the representation of a coherent risk measure as a worst-case expectation over a set of probability measures. It shows that the axioms (A1)–(A3), stated at every ω\omegaω, are the right abstraction of "conditional": nothing beyond conditional expectations and a supremum is needed to generate them. Theorem 1, the pointwise duality on which it rests, is what makes conditional risk mappings usable in multistage problems. Its envelope form (3.8) is what the paper's composition results and dynamic programming equations in §5–§7 manipulate.

The results are proved in the paper, partly by reference: the duality of Theorem 1 by applying the authors' earlier unconditional theorem "verbatim" at each ω\omegaω, Lemma 1 through a measurable-selection theorem, and Theorem 2 through Kakutani's fixed-point theorem. None of them is formalized. A formalization would check these deferred steps. In particular the passage, in the proof of Lemma 1, from a dense subset of X2\mathcal X_2X2​ to all of X2\mathcal X_2X2​ uses only lower semicontinuity of ρω\rho_\omegaρω​, and whether that suffices in every separable paired space is open to scrutiny.

Difficulty

Theorem 1 needs the Fenchel–Moreau theorem in a general locally convex space, paired through integrals against signed measures. Mathlib's convex duality is mostly finite-dimensional or normed, and the extended-real bookkeeping of conjugates is delicate. The main obstacle is Lemma 1. The envelope A(ω)\mathcal A(\omega)A(ω) can be uncountable, and choosing countably many selections that are simultaneously measurable in ω\omegaω and exhaust the supremum for every XXX requires a measurable-selection theorem for multifunctions with values in Y2\mathcal Y_2Y2​, a space that need not be metrizable. The obvious argument fixes a dense sequence XnX_nXn​, picks ε\varepsilonε-optimal measures for each XnX_nXn​, and passes to general XXX by semicontinuity. As written, that last step appears to need more than the proof supplies: approximation of ⟨μ,X⟩\langle\mu,X\rangle⟨μ,X⟩ by ⟨μ,Xn⟩\langle\mu,X_n\rangle⟨μ,Xn​⟩ uniformly over the chosen μ\muμ needs more than lower semicontinuity of ρω\rho_\omegaρω​. The fixed-point step needs a Kakutani-type theorem in a locally convex space, which Mathlib does not provide.

Formalization scope

X2\mathcal X_2X2​ and Y2\mathcal Y_2Y2​ are abstract real vector spaces with their own topologies (instances of IsTopologicalAddGroup, ContinuousSMul ℝ, LocallyConvexSpace ℝ), realised by injective linear maps into Ω→R\Omega\to\mathbb RΩ→R and into Mathlib's SignedMeasure Ω. They are not subspaces of Ω→R\Omega\to\mathbb RΩ→R with the pointwise topology. The ambient MeasurableSpace Ω is F2\mathcal F_2F2​; F1≤F2\mathcal F_1\le\mathcal F_2F1​≤F2​ is a structure field. The pairing is ∫X dμ+−∫X dμ−\int X\,d\mu^+-\int X\,d\mu^-∫Xdμ+−∫Xdμ−, and integrability against ∣μ∣|\mu|∣μ∣ is a field, so no integral takes a junk value. Compatibility includes continuity of both pairings as well as the representation of continuous functionals. The paper's space Y1\mathcal Y_1Y1​ is not modelled; no statement uses it.

Committed conventions:

  • every statement holds at every ω\omegaω; there are no a.e. classes;
  • the conjugate and the supremum in (3.6) are in EReal;
  • suprema of real numbers ((3.8), (4.7), (4.9)) are least upper bounds (IsLUB), never sSup on R\mathbb RR;
  • (K) is taken in its closed-graph form and quantifies over every weakly* measurable selection;
  • separability is that of the topology of X2\mathcal X_2X2​.

Two hypotheses are added where the page relies on them implicitly. Ω\OmegaΩ is nonempty in the goal, Corollary 1 and the fixed-point milestone. 1A∈X2\mathbb 1_A\in\mathcal X_21A​∈X2​ for every A∈F2A\in\mathcal F_2A∈F2​ is assumed in the goal, Proposition 3 and Corollary 1, because the paper derives measurability of ω↦μω(A)\omega\mapsto\mu_\omega(A)ω↦μω​(A) from weak* measurability.

The goal cannot be satisfied by an almost-everywhere version of a conditional expectation chosen separately for each XXX, which would allow ρ\rhoρ itself as a "version". Each Eνi[⋅∣F1]\mathbb E_{\nu^i}[\cdot|\mathcal F_1]Eνi​[⋅∣F1​] is integration against one kernel κi\kappa^iκi that is a conditional probability of νi\nu^iνi. The goal mentions no selection, fixed point or Kakutani; Qμ\mathbb Q_\muQμ​ appears only inside (K).

Contributions are welcome on all of the following:

  • Fenchel–Moreau duality for paired locally convex spaces;
  • measurable selections of weakly* measurable multifunctions;
  • a Kakutani–Fan–Glicksberg or Schauder–Tychonoff fixed-point theorem.

All three are reusable beyond this mission.

Selected references

  • A. Ruszczyński, A. Shapiro, Conditional risk mappings, preprint dated February 21, 2004; Mathematics of Operations Research 31(3):544–561, 2006. https://doi.org/10.1287/moor.1060.0204
  • A. Ruszczyński, A. Shapiro, Optimization of convex risk functions, Mathematics of Operations Research 31(3):433–452, 2006. https://doi.org/10.1287/moor.1050.0186
  • P. Artzner, F. Delbaen, J.-M. Eber, D. Heath, Coherent measures of risk, Mathematical Finance 9(3):203–228, 1999. https://doi.org/10.1111/1467-9965.00068
  • H. Föllmer, A. Schied, Convex measures of risk and trading constraints, Finance and Stochastics 6(4):429–447, 2002. https://doi.org/10.1007/s007800200072
  • P. Billingsley, Probability and Measure, 3rd ed., Wiley, 1995 (conditional probability, pp. 430–431).
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Functional AnalysisProbabilityStochastic Systems·Captain: mikedeng1

Affine Processes on Positive Semidefinite Matrices II: Every Admissible Parameter Set Determines a Unique Affine Process on the PSD Cone with Generator (2.12)Research Paper

Motivation

Stochastic models of covariance matrices need processes that stay in the cone of positive semidefinite matrices. Wishart processes (Bru, 1991) and their extensions underlie multivariate stochastic-volatility and term-structure models in finance (see §1 of Cuchiero et al. for the literature). They are used because their Laplace transforms are explicit: they are exponential-affine in the initial state, and their exponents solve matrix Riccati equations. Cuchiero, Filipović, Mayerhofer and Teichmann (arXiv:0910.0137, Ann. Appl. Probab. 2011) classify all such affine processes on the cone. Theorem 2.4 of that paper says that affine processes on Sd+S_d^+Sd+​ correspond one-to-one to admissible parameter sets. This mission formalizes the converse direction of that correspondence: every admissible parameter set is realized by exactly one affine process.

Timeline:

  • Bru (1991, MR1132135) constructs Wishart processes for specific parameters.
  • Duffie, Filipović and Schachermayer (Ann. Appl. Probab. 2003, MR1994043) characterize affine processes on the canonical state space R+m×Rn\mathbb R_+^m\times\mathbb R^nR+m​×Rn, with existence through the martingale problem.
  • Cuchiero et al. (2011) give the full characterization on Sd+S_d^+Sd+​. The necessity of admissibility and the existence-and-uniqueness converse are proved in separate sections (§4 and §5).

Setting

Let SdS_dSd​ be the real symmetric d×dd\times dd×d matrices with ⟨x,y⟩=Tr⁡(xy)\langle x,y\rangle=\operatorname{Tr}(xy)⟨x,y⟩=Tr(xy), let Sd+S_d^+Sd+​ be the positive semidefinite cone, and let Sd++S_d^{++}Sd++​ be its interior. Write x⪯yx\preceq yx⪯y when y−x∈Sd+y-x\in S_d^+y−x∈Sd+​. A time-homogeneous, possibly killed Markov process on Sd+S_d^+Sd+​ with transition kernels pt(x,dξ)p_t(x,d\xi)pt​(x,dξ) is affine if it is stochastically continuous and

∫Sd+e−⟨u,ξ⟩pt(x,dξ)=e−φ(t,u)−⟨ψ(t,u),x⟩,t≥0, u,x∈Sd+,\int_{S_d^+}e^{-\langle u,\xi\rangle}p_t(x,d\xi)=e^{-\varphi(t,u)-\langle\psi(t,u),x\rangle},\qquad t\ge0,\ u,x\in S_d^+,∫Sd+​​e−⟨u,ξ⟩pt​(x,dξ)=e−φ(t,u)−⟨ψ(t,u),x⟩,t≥0, u,x∈Sd+​,

for functions φ≥0\varphi\ge0φ≥0 and ψ∈Sd+\psi\in S_d^+ψ∈Sd+​.

An admissible parameter set (α,b,βij,c,γ,m,μ)(\alpha,b,\beta^{ij},c,\gamma,m,\mu)(α,b,βij,c,γ,m,μ) (Definition 2.3) consists of the following:

  • a diffusion matrix α∈Sd+\alpha\in S_d^+α∈Sd+​;
  • a drift b⪰(d−1)αb\succeq(d-1)\alphab⪰(d−1)α;
  • killing rates c≥0c\ge0c≥0 and γ∈Sd+\gamma\in S_d^+γ∈Sd+​;
  • a jump measure mmm with ∫(∥ξ∥∧1) m(dξ)<∞\int(\|\xi\|\wedge1)\,m(d\xi)<\infty∫(∥ξ∥∧1)m(dξ)<∞;
  • a matrix of finite measures μ\muμ, which gives the state-dependent jump kernel M(x,dξ)=⟨x,μ(dξ)⟩/(∥ξ∥2∧1)M(x,d\xi)=\langle x,\mu(d\xi)\rangle/(\|\xi\|^2\wedge1)M(x,dξ)=⟨x,μ(dξ)⟩/(∥ξ∥2∧1);
  • linear drift coefficients βij\beta^{ij}βij, with the inward-pointing conditions (2.9) and (2.11) on ∂Sd+\partial S_d^+∂Sd+​.

These data define the operator (2.12),

Af(x)=12∑Aijkl(x)∂ij,kl2f+∑(bij+Bij(x))∂ijf−(c+⟨γ,x⟩)f+∫(f(x+ξ)−f(x))m(dξ)+∫(f(x+ξ)−f(x)−⟨χ(ξ),∇f⟩)M(x,dξ),\mathcal Af(x)=\tfrac12\sum A_{ijkl}(x)\partial^2_{ij,kl}f+\sum(b_{ij}+B_{ij}(x))\partial_{ij}f-(c+\langle\gamma,x\rangle)f+\int(f(x+\xi)-f(x))m(d\xi)+\int(f(x+\xi)-f(x)-\langle\chi(\xi),\nabla f\rangle)M(x,d\xi),Af(x)=21​∑Aijkl​(x)∂ij,kl2​f+∑(bij​+Bij​(x))∂ij​f−(c+⟨γ,x⟩)f+∫(f(x+ξ)−f(x))m(dξ)+∫(f(x+ξ)−f(x)−⟨χ(ξ),∇f⟩)M(x,dξ),

with Aijkl(x)=xikαjl+xilαjk+xjkαil+xjlαikA_{ijkl}(x)=x_{ik}\alpha_{jl}+x_{il}\alpha_{jk}+x_{jk}\alpha_{il}+x_{jl}\alpha_{ik}Aijkl​(x)=xik​αjl​+xil​αjk​+xjk​αil​+xjl​αik​. They also define the functions F(u)F(u)F(u) and R(u)R(u)R(u) of (2.16)–(2.17), which drive the generalized Riccati equations ∂tφ=F(ψ)\partial_t\varphi=F(\psi)∂t​φ=F(ψ), φ(0,u)=0\varphi(0,u)=0φ(0,u)=0 and ∂tψ=R(ψ)\partial_t\psi=R(\psi)∂t​ψ=R(ψ), ψ(0,u)=u\psi(0,u)=uψ(0,u)=u.

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem 2.4, second part (= Proposition 5.9)

For every admissible parameter set there is a transition family (pt)(p_t)(pt​) and there are exponents (φ,ψ)(\varphi,\psi)(φ,ψ) such that:

(i) p is affine with exponents (φ,ψ);(ii) S+⊂D(Ap), Apf=(2.12);(iii) (φ,ψ) solves (2.14)–(2.15);\text{(i) } p \text{ is affine with exponents } (\varphi,\psi);\quad\text{(ii) } \mathcal S_+\subset D(\mathcal A_p),\ \mathcal A_pf=\text{(2.12)};\quad\text{(iii) } (\varphi,\psi) \text{ solves (2.14)–(2.15)};(i) p is affine with exponents (φ,ψ);(ii) S+​⊂D(Ap​), Ap​f=(2.12);(iii) (φ,ψ) solves (2.14)–(2.15); (iv) every affine p′ whose generator equals (2.12) on S+ satisfies pt′=pt for t≥0.\text{(iv) every affine } p' \text{ whose generator equals (2.12) on } \mathcal S_+ \text{ satisfies } p'_t=p_t \text{ for } t\ge0.(iv) every affine p′ whose generator equals (2.12) on S+​ satisfies pt′​=pt​ for t≥0.

Milestones, in attack order

  1. Theorem 4.8: a comparison theorem for matrix ODEs whose vector field is quasi-monotone increasing (Volkmann).
  2. Lemma 5.1: RRR is analytic on Sd++S_d^{++}Sd++​ and quasi-monotone increasing on Sd+S_d^+Sd+​.
  3. Lemma 5.2: the growth bound ⟨u,R(u)⟩≤K2(∥u∥2+1)\langle u,R(u)\rangle\le\frac K2(\|u\|^2+1)⟨u,R(u)⟩≤2K​(∥u∥2+1).
  4. Proposition 5.3: unique global R+×Sd++\mathbb R_+\times S_d^{++}R+​×Sd++​-valued Riccati solutions, analytic in (t,u)(t,u)(t,u).
  5. Lemma 5.5: the regularized operators Aε,δ,n\mathcal A^{\varepsilon,\delta,n}Aε,δ,n converge to A\mathcal AA uniformly on S+\mathcal S_+S+​.
  6. Lemma 5.7 (second part): the boundary condition ⟨b−12∑Dσklσkl,u⟩≥0\langle b-\frac12\sum D\sigma^{kl}\sigma^{kl},u\rangle\ge0⟨b−21​∑Dσklσkl,u⟩≥0 on ∂Sd+\partial S_d^+∂Sd+​.
  7. Lemma 5.6: the regularized martingale problems have Sd+S_d^+Sd+​-valued càdlàg solutions.
  8. Lemma 5.8: the martingale problem for A\mathcal AA has an Sd+∪{Δ}S_d^+\cup\{\Delta\}Sd+​∪{Δ}-valued càdlàg solution.

Significance

Together with the necessity direction (companion mission I in this series), the goal makes admissibility an exact characterization. Every admissible parameter set, including those with jumps of infinite activity and state-dependent killing, defines a well-posed Markov model on Sd+S_d^+Sd+​. Its Laplace transform is then given by the Riccati flow, which is what makes the model computationally tractable. The intermediate results are reusable on their own:

  • the matrix comparison theorem applies to any ODE on symmetric matrices;
  • the Riccati well-posedness on Sd++S_d^{++}Sd++​ holds for vector fields that need not be Lipschitz at ∂Sd+\partial S_d^+∂Sd+​;
  • the martingale-problem framework on a one-point compactification is used beyond this paper.

The theorem is proved in the paper; it is not formalized anywhere. No formal library contains affine processes, generalized Riccati equations on matrix cones, quasi-monotone comparison theorems or martingale problems with jumps. Formalizing them requires all of that infrastructure.

Difficulty

The obvious route is to solve the Riccati equation (2.15) on Sd+S_d^+Sd+​ by Picard iteration and to show invariance of the cone from the inward-pointing condition. That route fails because RRR need not be Lipschitz at ∂Sd+\partial S_d^+∂Sd+​: the integral term can have unbounded derivative there (Remark 5.4). Standard invariance theorems therefore do not apply. Instead, quasi-monotonicity keeps the solution away from the boundary.

The obvious construction of the process is also blocked. Stroock's existence and uniqueness theory for martingale problems needs Rn\mathbb R^nRn and a uniformly elliptic diffusion part, and neither holds on the cone, where the diffusion degenerates at the boundary. Existence must go through regularized operators with bounded smooth coefficients, then tightness in the Skorokhod space of Sd+∪{Δ}S_d^+\cup\{\Delta\}Sd+​∪{Δ} and a limit. Uniqueness in law comes from the Riccati solutions. The killing terms ccc and γ\gammaγ are added last.

Formalization scope

Conventions committed to in Lean:

  • MdM_dMd​ is the function type Fin d → Fin d → ℝ, with ⟨x,y⟩=∑ijxijyji\langle x,y\rangle=\sum_{ij}x_{ij}y_{ji}⟨x,y⟩=∑ij​xij​yji​ and its norm.
  • Sd+S_d^+Sd+​ is the subtype of positive semidefinite matrices, with the subspace topology and Borel structure.
  • Partial derivatives ∂/∂xij\partial/\partial x_{ij}∂/∂xij​ are taken in the symmetrized directions 12(Eij+Eji)\tfrac12(E^{ij}+E^{ji})21​(Eij+Eji).
  • The matrix measure μ\muμ is encoded as H dνH\,d\nuHdν with a finite measure ν\nuν and a positive semidefinite density HHH. This encoding is equivalent; take ν=∑iμii\nu=\sum_i\mu_{ii}ν=∑i​μii​.
  • The test space S+\mathcal S_+S+​ is represented by Schwartz functions on MdM_dMd​, restricted to the cone. The generator is the uniform limit of (Ptf−f)/t(P_tf-f)/t(Pt​f−f)/t.
  • Transition families are indexed by t∈Rt\in\mathbb Rt∈R, and only t≥0t\ge0t≥0 enters. Uniqueness is equality for t≥0t\ge0t≥0, never ∃!.
  • Analyticity on Sd++S_d^{++}Sd++​ is analyticity of y↦G((y+y⊤)/2)y\mapsto G((y+y^\top)/2)y↦G((y+y⊤)/2) on an open subset of MdM_dMd​.
  • Martingale problems carry an existentially quantified probability space, the natural filtration and càdlàg paths (the platform predicate EthierKurtz.HasCadlagPaths).
  • The cut-offs ϕn\phi_nϕn​ and ηε\eta_\varepsilonηε​ of §5.2 are arbitrary functions with the properties the paper lists. The paper fixes some and uses only those properties.
  • The case condition of (5.7) is tested on ϕn(x)x\phi_n(x)xϕn​(x)x, the argument of ηε\eta_\varepsilonηε​, rather than on xxx as printed. The printed reading makes sε,ns_{\varepsilon,n}sε,n​ discontinuous off Sd+S_d^+Sd+​, which contradicts the paper's claim sε,n∈Cb∞(Sd,Sd)s_{\varepsilon,n}\in C_b^\infty(S_d,S_d)sε,n​∈Cb∞​(Sd​,Sd​). The two readings agree on Sd+S_d^+Sd+​.
  • In Theorem 4.8, "locally Lipschitz" is read as Lipschitz in the state variable, locally uniformly in time. This is weaker than joint local Lipschitz continuity in (t,x)(t,x)(t,x).
  • Every statement that contains one of the integrals of (2.12), (2.16), (2.17) or (5.10) also asserts that its integrand is integrable.
  • Hypotheses not present on the page: none. Lemmas 5.1 and 5.2 assume less than the section's standing assumptions (not the drift condition (2.4)).

Trivializing formalizations are excluded:

  • Lean's value 000 for a non-integrable integral is ruled out by the integrability conclusions.
  • A pointwise generator would be weaker than the paper's notion, so the generator is the uniform limit.
  • An ∃! over transition families would be false at negative times, so uniqueness is stated for t≥0t\ge0t≥0.
  • A martingale problem is not posed for a fixed probability space, and X0=xX_0=xX0​=x is required almost surely.

Needed infrastructure, reusable beyond this mission: matrix calculus on SdS_dSd​ (square roots, spectral derivatives), comparison theorems for quasi-monotone ODEs, analytic dependence of ODE solutions, tightness in Skorokhod space, and martingale problems on locally compact spaces. Contributions are welcome at any of these levels, as are alternative proofs of the milestones.

Selected references

  • C. Cuchiero, D. Filipović, E. Mayerhofer, J. Teichmann, Affine processes on positive semidefinite matrices, Ann. Appl. Probab. 21 (2011) 397–463; cited from arXiv:0910.0137v3. https://arxiv.org/abs/0910.0137v3
  • D. Duffie, D. Filipović, W. Schachermayer, Affine processes and applications in finance, Ann. Appl. Probab. 13 (2003) 984–1053. https://mathscinet.ams.org/mathscinet-getitem?mr=1994043
  • M.-F. Bru, Wishart processes, J. Theoret. Probab. 4 (1991) 725–751. https://mathscinet.ams.org/mathscinet-getitem?mr=1132135
  • S. N. Ethier, T. G. Kurtz, Markov Processes: Characterization and Convergence, Wiley, New York, 1986. https://mathscinet.ams.org/mathscinet-getitem?mr=0838085
  • P. Volkmann, Über die Invarianz konvexer Mengen und Differentialungleichungen in einem normierten Raume, Math. Ann. 203 (1973) 201–210. https://mathscinet.ams.org/mathscinet-getitem?mr=0322305
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Operations ResearchOptimization·Captain: mikedeng1

Theoretical and Numerical Comparison of Relaxation Methods for Mathematical Programs with Complementarity Constraints 3: Kadrani et al. Relaxation Limits Are M-Stationary under MPEC-CPLDResearch Paper

Motivation

Mathematical programs with complementarity constraints (MPCCs, also called MPECs) model optimization problems in which some constraints say that, for every index iii, at least one of two nonnegative quantities Gi(x)G_i(x)Gi​(x), Hi(x)H_i(x)Hi​(x) must vanish. They arise in bilevel optimization, Stackelberg games, the design of equilibria in traffic and electricity markets, and contact problems in mechanics (Luo, Pang, Ralph 1996). Standard nonlinear-programming algorithms do not apply directly: at every feasible point of an MPEC the Mangasarian–Fromovitz constraint qualification fails, so the classical convergence theory of SQP or interior-point methods gives no guarantees.

Relaxation methods replace the MPEC by a sequence of better-behaved nonlinear programs R(tk)R(t_k)R(tk​) with a parameter tk↓0t_k \downarrow 0tk​↓0, solve each one approximately, and study the limits of the computed points. The question every relaxation method has to answer is what kind of stationary point such limits are, and under which constraint qualification.

Timeline of the result formalized here:

  • 2001: Scholtes introduces the global relaxation GiHi≤tG_iH_i \le tGi​Hi​≤t and proves that limits are C-stationary under MPEC-LICQ (SIAM J. Optim. 11).
  • 2009: Kadrani, Dussault and Benchakroun propose a relaxation whose feasible set is the union of two shifted orthants (below), and prove that limits are M-stationary under MPEC-LICQ (SIAM J. Optim. 20).
  • 2010–2013: Hoheisel, Kanzow and Schwartz compare five relaxation schemes; for the Kadrani et al. scheme they replace MPEC-LICQ by the much weaker MPEC-CPLD (Theorem 3.5 of the Würzburg preprint, published in Math. Program. 137).

Setting

The MPEC (1) on Rn\mathbb R^nRn is

min⁡f(x)  s.t.  gi(x)≤0 (i≤m), hi(x)=0 (i≤p), Gi(x)≥0, Hi(x)≥0, Gi(x)Hi(x)=0 (i≤l),\min f(x)\ \text{ s.t. }\ g_i(x)\le 0\ (i\le m),\ h_i(x)=0\ (i\le p),\ G_i(x)\ge 0,\ H_i(x)\ge 0,\ G_i(x)H_i(x)=0\ (i\le l),minf(x)  s.t.  gi​(x)≤0 (i≤m), hi​(x)=0 (i≤p), Gi​(x)≥0, Hi​(x)≥0, Gi​(x)Hi​(x)=0 (i≤l),

with continuously differentiable data. At a feasible x∗x^*x∗ the index sets are Ig={i∣gi(x∗)=0}I_g=\{i\mid g_i(x^*)=0\}Ig​={i∣gi​(x∗)=0}, I0+={i∣Gi(x∗)=0<Hi(x∗)}I_{0+}=\{i\mid G_i(x^*)=0<H_i(x^*)\}I0+​={i∣Gi​(x∗)=0<Hi​(x∗)}, I00={i∣Gi(x∗)=0=Hi(x∗)}I_{00}=\{i\mid G_i(x^*)=0=H_i(x^*)\}I00​={i∣Gi​(x∗)=0=Hi​(x∗)} (the biactive set) and I+0={i∣Gi(x∗)>0=Hi(x∗)}I_{+0}=\{i\mid G_i(x^*)>0=H_i(x^*)\}I+0​={i∣Gi​(x∗)>0=Hi​(x∗)}.

A feasible x∗x^*x∗ is weakly stationary if there are multipliers λ≥0\lambda\ge 0λ≥0 with λigi(x∗)=0\lambda_ig_i(x^*)=0λi​gi​(x∗)=0, μ\muμ, γ\gammaγ, ν\nuν such that

∇f(x∗)+∑iλi∇gi(x∗)+∑iμi∇hi(x∗)−∑iγi∇Gi(x∗)−∑iνi∇Hi(x∗)=0,\nabla f(x^*)+\sum_i\lambda_i\nabla g_i(x^*)+\sum_i\mu_i\nabla h_i(x^*)-\sum_i\gamma_i\nabla G_i(x^*)-\sum_i\nu_i\nabla H_i(x^*)=0,∇f(x∗)+i∑​λi​∇gi​(x∗)+i∑​μi​∇hi​(x∗)−i∑​γi​∇Gi​(x∗)−i∑​νi​∇Hi​(x∗)=0,

with γi=0\gamma_i=0γi​=0 on I+0I_{+0}I+0​ and νi=0\nu_i=0νi​=0 on I0+I_{0+}I0+​. It is M-stationary if the same multipliers satisfy, for every i∈I00i\in I_{00}i∈I00​, either γi>0\gamma_i>0γi​>0 and νi>0\nu_i>0νi​>0, or γiνi=0\gamma_i\nu_i=0γi​νi​=0.

The tightened program TNLP(x∗)(x^*)(x∗) replaces the complementarity constraints by Gi=0≤HiG_i=0\le H_iGi​=0≤Hi​ on I0+I_{0+}I0+​, Gi≥0=HiG_i\ge 0=H_iGi​≥0=Hi​ on I+0I_{+0}I+0​ and Gi=Hi=0G_i=H_i=0Gi​=Hi​=0 on I00I_{00}I00​. CPLD (constant positive linear dependence) for a nonlinear program says: whenever a set of active-constraint gradients is positive-linearly dependent at x∗x^*x∗ (a nontrivial vanishing combination with nonnegative coefficients on the inequalities), the same gradients stay linearly dependent on a neighbourhood of x∗x^*x∗. MPEC-CPLD is CPLD for TNLP(x∗)(x^*)(x∗).

The relaxation of Kadrani et al. is, for t>0t>0t>0,

RKDB(t):min⁡f(x)  s.t.  g(x)≤0, h(x)=0, Gi(x)≥−t, Hi(x)≥−t, (Gi(x)−t)(Hi(x)−t)≤0.R^{KDB}(t):\quad\min f(x)\ \text{ s.t. }\ g(x)\le 0,\ h(x)=0,\ G_i(x)\ge -t,\ H_i(x)\ge -t,\ (G_i(x)-t)(H_i(x)-t)\le 0.RKDB(t):minf(x)  s.t.  g(x)≤0, h(x)=0, Gi​(x)≥−t, Hi​(x)≥−t, (Gi​(x)−t)(Hi​(x)−t)≤0.

A stationary point of RKDB(t)R^{KDB}(t)RKDB(t) is a feasible point with KKT multipliers.

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem 3.5

tk↓0,xk stationary for RKDB(tk),xk→x∗,MPEC-CPLD at x∗ ⟹ x∗ is M-stationary for (1).t_k\downarrow 0,\quad x^k \text{ stationary for } R^{KDB}(t_k),\quad x^k\to x^*,\quad \text{MPEC-CPLD at } x^*\ \Longrightarrow\ x^* \text{ is M-stationary for (1)}.tk​↓0,xk stationary for RKDB(tk​),xk→x∗,MPEC-CPLD at x∗ ⟹ x∗ is M-stationary for (1).

Milestones, in proof order

  1. MPEC-CPLD written out in terms of the MPEC data (§2.2, display (3)).
  2. The KKT conditions of RKDB(tk)R^{KDB}(t_k)RKDB(tk​) recast with ηiG,k=−γik(Hi(xk)−tk)\eta^{G,k}_i=-\gamma^k_i(H_i(x^k)-t_k)ηiG,k​=−γik​(Hi​(xk)−tk​), ηiH,k=−γik(Gi(xk)−tk)\eta^{H,k}_i=-\gamma^k_i(G_i(x^k)-t_k)ηiH,k​=−γik​(Gi​(xk)−tk​): identity (11), disjointness (13), signs (14).
  3. Eventual support inclusions (12) into I00∪I0+I_{00}\cup I_{0+}I00​∪I0+​ and I00∪I+0I_{00}\cup I_{+0}I00​∪I+0​.
  4. Reduction to linearly independent gradients (15).
  5. Boundedness of the multiplier sequence under MPEC-CPLD.
  6. Weak stationarity of the limit x∗x^*x∗.

Significance

Local minimizers of an MPEC are M-stationary under weak constraint qualifications, whereas strong stationarity needs stronger ones such as MPEC-LICQ; a C-stationary point, the kind of limit the Scholtes relaxation delivers, may still admit first-order descent directions. Theorem 3.5 shows that the Kadrani et al. relaxation reaches M-stationary limits under a constraint qualification that is implied by MPEC-LICQ and MPEC-MFCQ and that holds, for instance, whenever all constraint functions are affine. It separates this scheme from the Scholtes and Steffensen–Ulbrich relaxations in the comparison of the paper.

The theorem is proved in the paper. As far as is known, no part of MPEC theory (constraint qualifications for MPECs, the stationarity hierarchy, relaxation schemes) has a machine-checked proof in Lean or Mathlib. This mission produces a formal account of the stationarity notions of Definition 2.3, of CPLD and MPEC-CPLD, and a complete formal proof of the convergence result, including the standard constraints ggg, hhh that the paper's proof skips for brevity.

Difficulty

The obvious argument passes to the limit in the KKT conditions of RKDB(tk)R^{KDB}(t_k)RKDB(tk​). This fails because the multipliers need not be bounded: unlike under MPEC-LICQ or MPEC-MFCQ, MPEC-CPLD does not by itself bound KKT multipliers, and the KKT points of the relaxed programs need not satisfy any constraint qualification themselves (Example 3.6 of the paper). The second difficulty is the biactive set I00I_{00}I00​: the product constraint contributes multipliers ηG,k\eta^{G,k}ηG,k, ηH,k\eta^{H,k}ηH,k to both ∇Gi\nabla G_i∇Gi​ and ∇Hi\nabla H_i∇Hi​, with signs that are not fixed a priori, so a naive limit of the multipliers only gives C-stationarity-type information, or none at all.

Formalization scope

Rn\mathbb R^nRn is EuclideanSpace ℝ (Fin n) and gradients are Mathlib's gradient; indices are 0-based (Fin m, Fin p, Fin l), and m,p,lm,p,lm,p,l may be zero. Explicit choices fixed by the formalization:

  • The standing assumption of p. 1 (all data C1C^1C1) is a hypothesis P.IsC1 of every analytic statement.
  • "{tk}↓0\{t_k\}\downarrow 0{tk​}↓0" is tk>0t_k>0tk​>0, ttt nonincreasing, tk→0t_k\to 0tk​→0.
  • "Stationary point" of an NLP means feasible with KKT multipliers (p. 5).
  • Gradient sets are indexed families; linear (in)dependence is LinearIndependent ℝ of a family indexed by a disjoint union of subtypes, so repeated gradients count as dependent.
  • In positive-linear dependence (Definition 2.1), "not all of them being zero" refers to all coefficients; the sign constraint is on the inequality part only.
  • "Linearly dependent for all x∈N(x∗)x\in N(x^*)x∈N(x∗)" is ∀ᶠ y in 𝓝 x*.
  • Definition 2.3 is used with its two misprints corrected (μi∇hi(x∗)\mu_i\nabla h_i(x^*)μi​∇hi​(x∗); λigi(x∗)=0\lambda_ig_i(x^*)=0λi​gi​(x∗)=0 for i≤mi\le mi≤m); weak and M-stationarity include feasibility of x∗x^*x∗, which the goal derives rather than assumes.
  • TNLP(x∗)(x^*)(x∗) has exactly the constraints the paper lists (subtype index sets, no padding with zero constraints).
  • The standard constraints ggg, hhh, skipped in the paper's proof, are kept in every statement; displays (12) and (15) are extended by their ggg, hhh parts.

Two trivializing readings are ruled out. M-stationarity uses one multiplier tuple for both the weak-stationarity equation and the condition on I00I_{00}I00​; separate multipliers would make the sign condition vacuous. MPEC-CPLD demands linear dependence on a whole neighbourhood of x∗x^*x∗, not only at x∗x^*x∗; the pointwise version is a different hypothesis.

A complete development needs the gradient calculus of products and compositions on EuclideanSpace, a Carathéodory-type lemma (a conic combination can be reduced to one over linearly independent vectors with the same signs), and compactness of bounded sequences in finite dimensions. The Carathéodory lemma and the CPLD/positive-linear-dependence layer are reusable for any constraint-qualification argument in nonlinear programming. Proofs of individual milestones, and of the lemma behind (15), are welcome independently of the goal.

Selected references

  • T. Hoheisel, C. Kanzow, A. Schwartz, Theoretical and numerical comparison of relaxation methods for mathematical programs with complementarity constraints, Preprint 299, Institute of Mathematics, University of Würzburg, 2010; Mathematical Programming 137 (2013) 257–288. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10107-011-0488-5
  • A. Kadrani, J.-P. Dussault, A. Benchakroun, A new regularization scheme for mathematical programs with complementarity constraints, SIAM Journal on Optimization 20 (2009) 78–103. https://doi.org/10.1137/070705490
  • S. Scholtes, Convergence properties of a regularization scheme for mathematical programs with complementarity constraints, SIAM Journal on Optimization 11 (2001) 918–936. https://doi.org/10.1137/S1052623499361233
  • S. Steffensen, M. Ulbrich, A new relaxation scheme for mathematical programs with equilibrium constraints, SIAM Journal on Optimization 20 (2010) 2504–2539. https://doi.org/10.1137/090748883
  • Z.-Q. Luo, J.-S. Pang, D. Ralph, Mathematical Programs with Equilibrium Constraints, Cambridge University Press, 1996. https://doi.org/10.1017/CBO9780511983658
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Markov ChainOperations ResearchProbability+1·Captain: mikedeng1

Validity of Heavy Traffic Steady-State Approximations in Generalized Jackson Networks: Scaled Stationary Queue Lengths Converge to the Stationary Distribution of the Reflected Brownian MotionResearch Paper

Motivation

Open networks of single-server queues with general (non-exponential) interarrival and service times, generalized Jackson networks (GJNs), model manufacturing lines, communication networks and service systems. Their stationary distributions are almost never available in closed form. The standard engineering approximation replaces the scaled queue-length vector by the stationary distribution of a reflected Brownian motion (RBM) in the orthant, which is the diffusion limit of the network in heavy traffic, when every station is close to full utilisation.

The diffusion limit itself (Reiman, 1984) is a statement about the process on finite time intervals. Using the RBM's stationary law as an approximation of the network's stationary law requires interchanging two limits: time to infinity (steady state) and traffic intensity to one (heavy traffic). For a long time this interchange was assumed rather than proved.

Timeline.

  • 1984. Reiman proved the process-level heavy-traffic limit for open queueing networks started empty (doi:10.1287/moor.9.3.441).
  • 1987. Harrison and Williams characterised when an orthant RBM has a stationary distribution and showed it is unique (doi:10.1080/17442508708833469).
  • 1995. Dai related fluid-model stability to positive Harris recurrence of multiclass networks (doi:10.1214/aoap/1177004828).
  • 2006. Gamarnik and Zeevi proved the interchange of limits for GJNs whose primitives have exponential moments (arXiv:math/0410066). This mission formalizes that result.

Setting

There are JJJ stations. Station jjj receives external arrivals with i.i.d. interarrival times of law FA,jF_{A,j}FA,j​ (rate αj\alpha_jαj​, or no arrivals at all) and serves jobs first-in-first-out with i.i.d. service times of law FS,jF_{S,j}FS,j​ (mean mjm_jmj​, rate μj=1/mj\mu_j = 1/m_jμj​=1/mj​). A job finishing at jjj moves to kkk with probability pjkp_{jk}pjk​ or leaves. The routing matrix PPP is substochastic with spectral radius below one. Interarrival and service times have uniformly bounded conditional exponential moments of their residual lives (conditions (1)–(2)). The traffic equation λ=α+P′λ\lambda = \alpha + P'\lambdaλ=α+P′λ gives the effective rates λ=[I−P′]−1α\lambda = [I-P']^{-1}\alphaλ=[I−P′]−1α and the traffic intensities ρj=λjmj\rho_j = \lambda_j m_jρj​=λj​mj​.

The queue lengths Q(t)Q(t)Q(t) are not Markov. The state Qˉ(t)=(Q(t),a^(t),v^(t))\bar Q(t) = (Q(t),\hat a(t),\hat v(t))Qˉ​(t)=(Q(t),a^(t),v^(t)), which adds the elapsed interarrival and service times, is a Markov process on X=Z+J×R+2J\mathcal X = \mathbb Z_+^J\times\mathbb R_+^{2J}X=Z+J​×R+2J​. A law π\piπ on X\mathcal XX is stationary if Qˉ(0)∼π\bar Q(0)\sim\piQˉ​(0)∼π implies Qˉ(t)∼π\bar Q(t)\sim\piQˉ​(t)∼π for all t≥0t\ge0t≥0.

Heavy traffic. Fix a critically loaded network Ξ\XiΞ (ρj=1\rho_j=1ρj​=1 for all jjj) and a vector κ0>0\kappa^0>0κ0>0. The network Ξn\Xi^nΞn slows the arrivals of Ξ\XiΞ at station jjj by the factor 1−κj0/n1-\kappa^0_j/\sqrt n1−κj0​/n​, so that ρjn=1−κj/n<1\rho^n_j = 1-\kappa_j/\sqrt n<1ρjn​=1−κj​/n​<1 for an explicit κ>0\kappa>0κ>0 (display (17)). Let πn\pi^nπn be any stationary distribution of Ξn\Xi^nΞn, and let π^n\hat\pi^nπ^n be the law of Qn(0)/nQ^n(0)/\sqrt nQn(0)/n​ under πn\pi^nπn.

The RBM. For a Brownian motion WWW with drift β\betaβ and covariance Γ\GammaΓ, the RBM ZZZ with parameters (β,Γ,I−P′)(\beta,\Gamma,I-P')(β,Γ,I−P′) solves the Skorohod problem Z=W+[I−P′]Y≥0Z = W + [I-P']Y\ge0Z=W+[I−P′]Y≥0, with YYY nondecreasing and increasing only when ZZZ is on the boundary. Here β=−(I−P′)M−1κ\beta = -(I-P')M^{-1}\kappaβ=−(I−P′)M−1κ and Γ\GammaΓ is the explicit covariance matrix of Reiman's theorem, built from μ\muμ, α\alphaα, PPP and the squared coefficients of variation ca,j2c^2_{a,j}ca,j2​, cs,j2c^2_{s,j}cs,j2​ of Ξ\XiΞ.

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem 8 (p. 18)

π^n ⇒ πRBM(n→∞),\hat\pi^n\ \Rightarrow\ \pi_{\mathrm{RBM}}\qquad(n\to\infty),π^n ⇒ πRBM​(n→∞),

where πRBM\pi_{\mathrm{RBM}}πRBM​ is the unique stationary distribution of the (β,Γ,I−P′)(\beta,\Gamma,I-P')(β,Γ,I−P′)-RBM. The formal goal asserts three things: a stationary distribution of the RBM exists, it is the only one, and π^n\hat\pi^nπ^n converges weakly to it, for every choice of stationary distributions πn\pi^nπn.

Milestones

  1. Theorems 5 and 6 (pp. 15–16). For a general Markov process, a geometric Lyapunov function Φ\PhiΦ gives EπΦ≤ϕ(t0)K/(1−γ)\mathbb E_\pi\Phi\le\phi(t_0)K/(1-\gamma)Eπ​Φ≤ϕ(t0​)K/(1−γ). A Lyapunov function with control of L2L_2L2​ gives an exponential tail Pπ(Φ>s)≲e−θs\mathbb P_\pi(\Phi>s)\lesssim e^{-\theta s}Pπ​(Φ>s)≲e−θs.
  2. Proposition 1 (p. 11). The fluid model drains in time at most w′z/min⁡jμj(1−ρj)w'z/\min_j\mu_j(1-\rho_j)w′z/minj​μj​(1−ρj​), where w=e′[I−P′]−1w=e'[I-P']^{-1}w=e′[I−P′]−1.
  3. Lemma A.1 and Propositions 2–3 (pp. 17, 25). The net input deviates from its fluid path by O(n)O(\sqrt n)O(n​) uniformly over initial states. As a result, Φ(z,a,v)=w′z\Phi(z,a,v)=w'zΦ(z,a,v)=w′z is a Lyapunov function for Ξn\Xi^nΞn with drift −n-\sqrt n−n​ over time nt0nt_0nt0​.
  4. Theorem 7 and Corollary 1 (pp. 17–18). Pπn(n−1/2w′Qn(0)>s)≤C1e−c1s\mathbb P_{\pi^n}(n^{-1/2}w'Q^n(0)>s)\le C_1e^{-c_1s}Pπn​(n−1/2w′Qn(0)>s)≤C1​e−c1​s uniformly in nnn. Hence {π^n}\{\hat\pi^n\}{π^n} is tight.
  5. Theorems 4, 3 and 2 (cited). Reiman's process limit from a general initial law; Harrison and Williams's existence and uniqueness theorem for the RBM's stationary distribution; existence of πn\pi^nπn.

Significance

The result. Theorem 8 justifies the use of the RBM's stationary distribution, which is computable or at least numerically tractable, as an approximation of steady-state queue lengths of a heavily loaded network. Theorem 7 also shows that each stationary queue is of order (1−ρ∗n)−1(1-\rho^{*n})^{-1}(1−ρ∗n)−1 uniformly in nnn. Together with Theorem 8 this gives convergence of all moments (Corollary 2 of the paper) and, through Theorems 9–12, steady-state approximations of sojourn times and product-form limits.

Formalizing it. No part of this argument is machine-checked. The formalization would add reusable infrastructure for queueing theory in Lean: a Markov-state model of a generalized Jackson network with residual times, Lyapunov bounds on stationary distributions of general Markov processes (Theorems 5–6), and the link between tightness and identification of limit points for stationary laws. Reiman's theorem (Theorem 4) and the Harrison–Williams theorem (Theorem 3) are cited by the paper and are themselves open formalization targets.

Difficulty

Tightness and Reiman's theorem do not combine on their own. Reiman's theorem describes the network on finite time intervals, started empty, while a stationary distribution describes it as time goes to infinity; nothing in the finite-horizon limit forces a limit point of π^n\hat\pi^nπ^n to be stationary for the RBM, or forces different subsequences to have the same limit. The interchange therefore needs the process limit from an arbitrary initial law and the uniqueness of the RBM's stationary law, besides tightness.

The tightness step is the technical core. Moment bounds must be uniform in nnn and in the initial residual times. A Lyapunov argument on the workload w′Qw'Qw′Q over a time horizon of order nnn requires deviation bounds of order n\sqrt nn​ for renewal processes started at arbitrary ages. This is why the residual-life conditions (1)–(2) appear, and why the strong approximation of Lemma A.2 is used. A naive drift argument over a fixed time horizon fails: in heavy traffic the drift of w′Qw'Qw′Q per unit time is only of order n−1/2n^{-1/2}n−1/2.

Formalization scope

  • Stations are Fin J, vectors Fin J → ℝ, P′P'P′ is Pᵀ, and the norm ∥⋅∥\|\cdot\|∥⋅∥ is the ℓ1\ell^1ℓ1 norm, written as an explicit sum. The spectral-radius condition is Pm→0P^m\to0Pm→0.
  • A network is its data (J,FA,FS,P)(\mathcal J, F_A, F_S, P)(J,FA​,FS​,P) plus the predicate IsGJN (positive times, conditions (1)–(2), substochastic PPP). AjA_jAj​ and SjS_jSj​ count renewal epochs in [0,t][0,t][0,t]. The initial times aj(0)a_j(0)aj​(0), vj(0)v_j(0)vj​(0) are residual lives given the elapsed ages a^j(0)\hat a_j(0)a^j​(0), v^j(0)\hat v_j(0)v^j​(0). States carry their elapsed times as reals; the predicate InStateSpace cuts out X=Z+J×R+2J\mathcal X=\mathbb Z_+^J\times\mathbb R_+^{2J}X=Z+J​×R+2J​, and the uniform bounds over initial states (Lemma A.1, Propositions 2–3) and the initial laws of Theorem 4 range over X\mathcal XX only.
  • A realization from an initial law is a probability space carrying the primitives with their joint law and processes Q,BQ, BQ,B satisfying the dynamics (4)–(5) almost surely. E[⋅∣Qˉ(0)=x]\mathbb E[\cdot\mid\bar Q(0)=x]E[⋅∣Qˉ​(0)=x] is the expectation under a realization from δx\delta_xδx​. Stationarity of π\piπ means: a realization from π\piπ exists, and every realization from π\piπ has Qˉ(t)∼π\bar Q(t)\sim\piQˉ​(t)∼π for all t≥0t\ge0t≥0.
  • The heavy-traffic scaling is read as ajn=aj/(1−κj0/n)a^n_j = a_j/(1-\kappa^0_j/\sqrt n)ajn​=aj​/(1−κj0​/n​). The printed aj(1−κj0/n)a_j(1-\kappa^0_j/\sqrt n)aj​(1−κj0​/n​) would overload every Ξn\Xi^nΞn, so no πn\pi^nπn would exist. κ\kappaκ is defined so that (17) holds exactly, and every statement about Ξn\Xi^nΞn is for all large nnn.
  • The RBM is built on the published Reiman84.QueueLength.Paths (Brownian motion with drift and covariance, and the reflection pair). An RBM stationary law must be a probability measure carried by R+J\mathbb R^J_+R+J​. Weak convergence of laws on RJ\mathbb R^JRJ uses Mathlib's topology on ProbabilityMeasure. Theorem 4's process convergence is in coupling form with the uniform topology on [0,T][0,T][0,T].
  • Quantities lim sup⁡n(⋅)<∞\limsup_n(\cdot)<\inftylimsupn​(⋅)<∞ are rendered as one finite bound valid for all large nnn. Expectations of nonnegative quantities are lower Lebesgue integrals in [0,∞][0,\infty][0,∞]. Constants "depending only on Ξ\XiΞ" are quantified before nnn and before the stationary distributions.
  • Disclosed departures from the page:
    • ϕ(t0)<∞\phi(t_0)<\inftyϕ(t0​)<∞ is assumed in Theorem 5.
    • {Φ>K}≠∅\{\Phi>K\}\neq\emptyset{Φ>K}=∅ is assumed in Theorem 6. Its tail constant (29) is stated as (γθ/2)−1(\gamma\theta/2)^{-1}(γθ/2)−1, which is what the paper's proof yields, instead of the printed (1−γθ/2)−1(1-\gamma\theta/2)^{-1}(1−γθ/2)−1.
    • Γ\GammaΓ is positive definite in Theorem 3, the hypothesis of Harrison and Williams.
    • The derivative bound w′q˙(t)≤−min⁡jμj(1−ρj)w'\dot q(t)\le-\min_j\mu_j(1-\rho_j)w′q˙​(t)≤−minj​μj​(1−ρj​) of Proposition 1 is stated for ρj≤1\rho_j\le1ρj​≤1 at every station; the page states it unconditionally, and it fails when two stations are overloaded.
    • Theorems 5 and 6 are stated for the time-t0t_0t0​ transition kernel of the Markov process.
  • A trivializing formalization is ruled out explicitly. The goal keeps the existence and uniqueness of πRBM\pi_{\mathrm{RBM}}πRBM​ as conjuncts, stationarity requires a realization to exist, and the RBM's stationary law must live on the orthant. Hence neither an impossible network nor an empty RBM notion makes the goal vacuous.
  • Contributions are welcome on any milestone. The cited Theorems 2–4 are substantial on their own, and Theorems 5–6 are independent of queueing.

Selected references

  • D. Gamarnik and A. Zeevi, Validity of heavy traffic steady-state approximations in generalized Jackson networks, Ann. Appl. Probab. 16(1), 2006, 56–90. arXiv:math/0410066, doi:10.1214/105051605000000638
  • M. I. Reiman, Open queueing networks in heavy traffic, Math. Oper. Res. 9(3), 1984, 441–458. doi:10.1287/moor.9.3.441
  • J. M. Harrison and R. J. Williams, Brownian models of open queueing networks with homogeneous customer populations, Stochastics 22, 1987, 77–115. doi:10.1080/17442508708833469
  • J. G. Dai, On positive Harris recurrence of multiclass queueing networks: a unified approach via fluid limit models, Ann. Appl. Probab. 5(1), 1995, 49–77. doi:10.1214/aoap/1177004828
  • H. Chen and D. D. Yao, Fundamentals of Queueing Networks: Performance, Asymptotics, and Optimization, Springer, 2001 (reference [11] of the paper; Chapter 7).
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Operations ResearchProbabilityStochastic Systems·Captain: mikedeng1

A Theoretical Framework for the Pricing of Contingent Claims in the Presence of Model Uncertainty: Superreplication Price Equals a Supremum over Martingale Measures with Bracket BoundsResearch Paper

Motivation

Classical arbitrage pricing fixes one probabilistic model of the underlying asset and prices a contingent claim as an expectation under an equivalent martingale measure. When the volatility is not known, a seller who wants to be safe under every plausible model has to superreplicate: hold an initial capital and a trading strategy whose terminal value dominates the claim under all models at once. The uncertain volatility model (UVM) of Avellaneda, Levy and Parás (Appl. Math. Finance 1995) and Lyons (Appl. Math. Finance 1995) is the standard instance: the volatility is only known to lie in an interval [σ‾,σˉ][\underline\sigma,\bar\sigma][σ​,σˉ].

The family of laws describing such uncertainty is not dominated by a single reference probability, so "almost surely" and the usual stochastic integral are not available. Denis and Martini (Ann. Appl. Probab. 2006) replace them by a capacity and a quasi-sure stochastic integral, and show that the superreplication price of a broad class of path-dependent European claims is a supremum of expectations over martingale laws. This framework is a precursor of quasi-sure analysis and GGG-expectations (Denis, Hu and Peng, Potential Anal. 2011; Soner, Touzi and Zhang, Electron. J. Probab. 2011).

Setting

Fix T>0T>0T>0. Ω\OmegaΩ is the space of continuous paths B=(Bt)t∈[0,T]B=(B_t)_{t\in[0,T]}B=(Bt​)t∈[0,T]​ with B0=0B_0=0B0​=0, with the uniform norm, Borel σ\sigmaσ-field B\mathcal BB and canonical filtration Ft=σ(Bs:s≤t)\mathcal F_t=\sigma(B_s:s\le t)Ft​=σ(Bs​:s≤t). A martingale measure is a probability on Ω\OmegaΩ under which BBB is an (Ft)(\mathcal F_t)(Ft​)-martingale; Pm\mathbf P_mPm​ denotes the set of these.

A nonzero measure μˉ\bar\muμˉ​ on [0,T][0,T][0,T] with continuous distribution function μˉt=μˉ([0,t])\bar\mu_t=\bar\mu([0,t])μˉ​t​=μˉ​([0,t]) bounds the bracket. Hypothesis H(μˉ)H(\bar\mu)H(μˉ​) on a set P⊆Pm\mathbf P\subseteq\mathbf P_mP⊆Pm​ says d⟨B⟩tP≤dμˉtd\langle B\rangle^P_t\le d\bar\mu_td⟨B⟩tP​≤dμˉ​t​ for every P∈PP\in\mathbf PP∈P; H(μ‾,μˉ)H(\underline\mu,\bar\mu)H(μ​,μˉ​) adds a lower bound dμ‾t≤d⟨B⟩tPd\underline\mu_t\le d\langle B\rangle^P_tdμ​t​≤d⟨B⟩tP​. In the UVM, dμ‾=σ‾2dtd\underline\mu=\underline\sigma^2dtdμ​=σ​2dt and dμˉ=σˉ2dtd\bar\mu=\bar\sigma^2dtdμˉ​=σˉ2dt.

The capacity of a bounded continuous φ\varphiφ is c(φ)=sup⁡P∈P∥φ∥L2(P)c(\varphi)=\sup_{P\in\mathbf P}\|\varphi\|_{L^2(P)}c(φ)=supP∈P​∥φ∥L2(P)​, extended to all functions through lower semicontinuous majorants. A set is polar if its capacity is 000, and a property holds quasi-surely (q.s.) outside a polar set. L\mathcal LL is the completion of Cb(Ω)C_b(\Omega)Cb​(Ω) under ccc. Elementary integrands h=∑ikti1]ti,ti+1]h=\sum_i k_{t_i}\mathbb 1_{]t_i,t_{i+1}]}h=∑i​kti​​1]ti​,ti+1​]​ have integrals IT(h)=∑ikti(Bti+1−Bti)I_T(h)=\sum_ik_{t_i}(B_{t_{i+1}}-B_{t_i})IT​(h)=∑i​kti​​(Bti+1​​−Bti​​), and H\mathcal HH is their completion for ∥h∥H=sup⁡P(EP∫0Ths2dμˉs)1/2\|h\|_{\mathcal H}=\sup_P(E_P\int_0^Th_s^2d\bar\mu_s)^{1/2}∥h∥H​=supP​(EP​∫0T​hs2​dμˉ​s​)1/2. K={IT(h):h∈H}K=\{I_T(h):h\in\mathcal H\}K={IT​(h):h∈H} is the space of attainable gains. The superreplication price of a claim fff is

Λ(f)=inf⁡{a∈R: ∃g∈K, a+g≥f q.s.}.\Lambda(f)=\inf\{a\in\mathbb R:\ \exists g\in K,\ a+g\ge f\ \text{q.s.}\}.Λ(f)=inf{a∈R: ∃g∈K, a+g≥f q.s.}.

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem 3.1 for explicit claims

Assume H(μ‾,μˉ)H(\underline\mu,\bar\mu)H(μ​,μˉ​) and that μˉ\bar\muμˉ​ is Hölder continuous. There is a set P′′⊂Pm\mathbf P''\subset\mathbf P_mP′′⊂Pm​ of martingale measures satisfying H(μ‾,μˉ)H(\underline\mu,\bar\mu)H(μ​,μˉ​) such that

Λ(f)=sup⁡{EPf:P∈P′′}\Lambda(f)=\sup\{E_Pf:P\in\mathbf P''\}Λ(f)=sup{EP​f:P∈P′′}

for every bounded continuous fff of the form F(Bt1,…,Btd)F(B_{t_1},\dots,B_{t_d})F(Bt1​​,…,Btd​​), G(∫0TF(Bs)ds)G\big(\int_0^TF(B_s)ds\big)G(∫0T​F(Bs​)ds) or G(sup⁡tBt)G(\sup_tB_t)G(supt​Bt​), with GGG (and the cylindrical FFF) bounded continuous. The goal leaves P′′\mathbf P''P′′ unspecified, as the paper does.

Milestones

In attack order: the transfer of a.s. inequalities to q.s. ones (Lemma A.7); the pathwise moment bound (Bt−Bs)2n≤∫sth dB+Cμˉ(]s,t])n(B_t-B_s)^{2n}\le\int_s^th\,dB+C\bar\mu(]s,t])^n(Bt​−Bs​)2n≤∫st​hdB+Cμˉ​(]s,t])n q.s. (Proposition 2.9) and its price form Λ((Bt−Bs)2n)≤C2nμˉ([s,t])n\Lambda((B_t-B_s)^{2n})\le C_{2n}\bar\mu([s,t])^nΛ((Bt​−Bs​)2n)≤C2n​μˉ​([s,t])n (Proposition 2.13); a universal bracket ⟨B⟩t∈L\langle B\rangle_t\in\mathcal L⟨B⟩t​∈L (Lemma 2.10) approximated by realized variance (Lemma 2.14); weak duality Λ(f)≥sup⁡P′EPf\Lambda(f)\ge\sup_{\mathbf P'}E_PfΛ(f)≥supP′​EP​f (Lemma 2.15); the representation Λ(f)=sup⁡Q∈QEQf~\Lambda(f)=\sup_{Q\in\mathcal Q}E_Q\tilde fΛ(f)=supQ∈Q​EQ​f~​ over probabilities on the Stone–Čech compactification Ω~\tilde\OmegaΩ~ (§5, p. 19) and the Cauchy–Schwarz inequality for Λ\LambdaΛ (Lemma 4.3); the martingale property and continuity of B~\tilde BB~ under each QQQ (Proposition 5.2); the bracket bounds for the induced law Q∗Q^*Q∗ (Lemma 5.3); membership of the three claim families in the class Γ\GammaΓ of fff with EQf~=EQ∗fE_Q\tilde f=E_{Q^*}fEQ​f~​=EQ∗​f (Lemmas 5.4–5.6); and Theorem 3.1 for the literal class Γ\GammaΓ.

Further statements: Theorem 6.1 (all martingale measures with H(μ‾,μˉ)H(\underline\mu,\bar\mu)H(μ​,μˉ​) form a valid P′′\mathbf P''P′′), Proposition 3.2 (the case dom⁡Λ=L\operatorname{dom}\Lambda=\mathcal LdomΛ=L), Proposition 2.12 (measures not charging polar sets inherit the bracket bounds), Theorem A.8 (closedness of KKK under H(aμˉ,μˉ)H(a\bar\mu,\bar\mu)H(aμˉ​,μˉ​)).

Significance

The theorem identifies the cheapest model-free hedge of path-dependent European claims (cylindrical payoffs, Asian-type averages, lookbacks on the maximum) with a worst-case expectation over martingale laws obeying the same bracket bounds. Theorem 6.1 specializes it to the generalized UVM, where the dual set is all martingale measures with dμ‾≤d⟨B⟩≤dμˉd\underline\mu\le d\langle B\rangle\le d\bar\mudμ​≤d⟨B⟩≤dμˉ​; the paper notes this is new even for the Lebesgue case. The result supplies a rigorous non-dominated duality on which robust pricing bounds and GGG-expectation pricing rest.

The theorem is proved in the paper; no part of it is machine-checked. A formalization would produce the first Lean development of a capacity on path space, of a quasi-sure stochastic integral, and of a continuous-time quadratic variation on the canonical space. These objects are absent from Mathlib, which has discrete- and continuous-time martingales, the Stone–Čech compactification and the Riesz–Markov–Kakutani theorem, but no stochastic integral.

Difficulty

The family P\mathbf PP is not dominated, so neither the Itô integral of a single model nor a common null set is available: every inequality obtained under one PPP by the Itô formula must be lifted to a quasi-sure one, and every limit taken in the capacity. The natural dual argument (Hahn–Banach on L\mathcal LL) produces linear forms whose representation as measures on Ω\OmegaΩ is not available because dom⁡Λ\operatorname{dom}\LambdadomΛ need not be all of L\mathcal LL. The paper's route works on bounded continuous claims and compactifies; the price is that the dual measures live on Ω~\tilde\OmegaΩ~, where BtB_tBt​ is unbounded and must be extended by truncation, and the identity EQf~=EQ∗fE_Q\tilde f=E_{Q^*}fEQ​f~​=EQ∗​f linking Ω~\tilde\OmegaΩ~ back to Ω\OmegaΩ holds only for a class of claims that has to be checked family by family.

Formalization scope

Ω\OmegaΩ is a subtype of C(Set.Icc 0 T, ℝ) (paths with B0=0B_0=0B0​=0) with the Borel σ\sigmaσ-field of the sup-norm topology. Distribution functions are continuous StieltjesFunctions vanishing at 000 and positive at TTT. The quadratic variation is a predicate: an adapted process with PPP-a.s. continuous nondecreasing paths from 000 such that B2−AB^2-AB2−A is a martingale. The capacity takes values in [0,∞][0,\infty][0,∞] with the Appendix's Lebesgue extension; q.s. means outside a set of capacity zero. L\mathcal LL, H\mathcal HH and KKK are membership predicates on functions. KKK is the image of the completion H\mathcal HH. Λ\LambdaΛ and every supremum are extended reals. Ω~\tilde\OmegaΩ~ is Mathlib's StoneCech, and Q\mathcal QQ is the set of Borel probabilities on it dominated by Λ\LambdaΛ on Cb(Ω)C_b(\Omega)Cb​(Ω).

Standing assumptions, stated as hypotheses: H(μˉ)H(\bar\mu)H(μˉ​) on P\mathbf PP for all §2 results, H(μ‾,μˉ)H(\underline\mu,\bar\mu)H(μ​,μˉ​) where the page assumes it, and Hölder continuity of μˉ\bar\muμˉ​ for every result of §4–§5 and the goal (p. 12: "From now on, we assume that μˉ\bar\muμˉ​ is Hölder continuous"). The goal replaces the class Γ\GammaΓ, which is defined only inside the proof, by the three families of Lemmas 5.4–5.6. The literal form is a milestone. Lemma 2.14 adds P≠∅\mathbf P\neq\emptysetP=∅. Lemma 5.3 is stated for the law Q∗Q^*Q∗ on Ω\OmegaΩ.

The following trivializing formalizations are ruled out. An empty P\mathbf PP with a real-valued Λ\LambdaΛ would make the goal 0=00=00=0; here both sides are −∞-\infty−∞. Defining q.s. as "a.s. for every PPP" would make Lemma A.7 a tautology. Replacing KKK by the closure of elementary integrals would shrink Λ\LambdaΛ. Dropping the martingale condition from the quadratic-variation predicate would make H(μ‾,μˉ)H(\underline\mu,\bar\mu)H(μ​,μˉ​) satisfiable by any deterministic process.

A complete development needs Itô's formula and the Burkholder–Davis–Gundy inequalities for continuous martingales, Doob–Meyer uniqueness, a Kolmogorov continuity criterion, and the theory of regular Choquet capacities. These are reusable well beyond this mission, and contributions of any of them are welcome.

Selected references

  • L. Denis and C. Martini, A theoretical framework for the pricing of contingent claims in the presence of model uncertainty, Ann. Appl. Probab. 16(2):827–852, 2006. arXiv:math/0607111v1. https://arxiv.org/abs/math/0607111
  • M. Avellaneda, A. Levy and A. Parás, Pricing and hedging derivative securities in markets with uncertain volatilities, Appl. Math. Finance 2(2):73–88, 1995. https://doi.org/10.1080/13504869500000005
  • T. J. Lyons, Uncertain volatility and the risk-free synthesis of derivatives, Appl. Math. Finance 2(2):117–133, 1995. https://doi.org/10.1080/13504869500000007
  • L. Denis, M. Hu and S. Peng, Function spaces and capacity related to a sublinear expectation: application to G-Brownian motion paths, Potential Anal. 34:139–161, 2011. https://doi.org/10.1007/s11118-010-9185-x
  • H. M. Soner, N. Touzi and J. Zhang, Quasi-sure stochastic analysis through aggregation, Electron. J. Probab. 16:1844–1879, 2011. https://doi.org/10.1214/EJP.v16-950
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Law of Large Numbers Limits for Many-Server Queues 2: The Fluid Age Measure Converges to the Equilibrium Measure (1 − G(x))dxResearch Paper

Motivation

Large call centers, cloud server farms and hospital wards are modeled as many-server queues: NNN identical servers, customers arriving according to a counting process, each customer served by one server for a random time drawn from a distribution GGG, and customers who find all servers busy waiting in a first-come first-served queue. When NNN is large, the number of customers is of order NNN and the natural object of study is the fluid limit, obtained by dividing all quantities by NNN and letting N→∞N\to\inftyN→∞. For exponential service times the fluid limit is a finite-dimensional ordinary differential equation. For a general service distribution — and call-center data show service times far from exponential (lognormal, in Brown et al., 2005) — the state must record how long each customer in service has been served, and the fluid limit is a measure-valued process.

Kaspi and Ramanan (Ann. Appl. Probab. 21 (2011) 33–114) characterize this limit by a pair of fluid equations for general GGG with a density, prove that they have at most one solution, show that the scaled NNN-server processes converge to it, and describe its long-time behavior. This mission is the last of these results: in the critically loaded fluid system, every solution converges to equilibrium.

Timeline. Whitt (2006) introduced a fluid model of the many-server queue with general service times and abandonment, and stated the case λˉ<1\bar\lambda<1λˉ<1 of property (1) of the goal theorem without proof (his Theorem 7.3). Kaspi and Ramanan (2011) gave the measure-valued formulation with the age process, uniqueness and existence of fluid solutions, and the convergence to equilibrium formalized here. Reed (2009) treated the related G/GI/NG/GI/NG/GI/N queue in the Halfin–Whitt regime.

Setting

The service distribution GGG has a density ggg, is carried by [0,∞)[0,\infty)[0,∞), and has mean one: ∫0∞x g(x) dx=∫0∞(1−G(x)) dx=1\int_0^\infty x\,g(x)\,dx=\int_0^\infty(1-G(x))\,dx=1∫0∞​xg(x)dx=∫0∞​(1−G(x))dx=1. Let M=sup⁡{x≥0:G(x)<1}∈(0,∞]M=\sup\{x\ge0:G(x)<1\}\in(0,\infty]M=sup{x≥0:G(x)<1}∈(0,∞], and let h=g/(1−G)h=g/(1-G)h=g/(1−G) be the hazard rate on [0,M)[0,M)[0,M).

The fluid state at time ttt is a number Xˉ(t)≥0\bar X(t)\ge0Xˉ(t)≥0, the scaled number of customers in system, and a measure νˉt\bar\nu_tνˉt​ on [0,M)[0,M)[0,M) of total mass at most one: νˉt(A)\bar\nu_t(A)νˉt​(A) is the scaled number of customers in service whose age (time already spent in service) lies in AAA. The input is a nondecreasing càdlàg arrival function Eˉ\bar EEˉ with Eˉ(0)=0\bar E(0)=0Eˉ(0)=0, an initial number Xˉ(0)\bar X(0)Xˉ(0) and an initial age measure νˉ0\bar\nu_0νˉ0​, satisfying 1−⟨1,νˉ0⟩=[1−Xˉ(0)]+1-\langle\mathbf 1,\bar\nu_0\rangle=[1-\bar X(0)]^+1−⟨1,νˉ0​⟩=[1−Xˉ(0)]+ (servers are idle only when nobody waits). The set of such triples is S0\mathcal S_0S0​.

A càdlàg pair (Xˉ,νˉ)(\bar X,\bar\nu)(Xˉ,νˉ) solves the fluid equations if the cumulative departures Dˉ(t)=∫0t⟨h,νˉs⟩ ds\bar D(t)=\int_0^t\langle h,\bar\nu_s\rangle\,dsDˉ(t)=∫0t​⟨h,νˉs​⟩ds are finite, the entries into service Kˉ(t)=⟨1,νˉt⟩−⟨1,νˉ0⟩+Dˉ(t)\bar K(t)=\langle\mathbf 1,\bar\nu_t\rangle-\langle\mathbf 1,\bar\nu_0\rangle+\bar D(t)Kˉ(t)=⟨1,νˉt​⟩−⟨1,νˉ0​⟩+Dˉ(t) satisfy the transport equation

⟨φ(⋅,t),νˉt⟩=⟨φ(⋅,0),νˉ0⟩+∫0t⟨φx+φs,νˉs⟩ ds−∫0t⟨hφ(⋅,s),νˉs⟩ ds+∫[0,t]φ(0,s) dKˉ(s)\langle\varphi(\cdot,t),\bar\nu_t\rangle=\langle\varphi(\cdot,0),\bar\nu_0\rangle+\int_0^t\langle\varphi_x+\varphi_s,\bar\nu_s\rangle\,ds-\int_0^t\langle h\varphi(\cdot,s),\bar\nu_s\rangle\,ds+\int_{[0,t]}\varphi(0,s)\,d\bar K(s)⟨φ(⋅,t),νˉt​⟩=⟨φ(⋅,0),νˉ0​⟩+∫0t​⟨φx​+φs​,νˉs​⟩ds−∫0t​⟨hφ(⋅,s),νˉs​⟩ds+∫[0,t]​φ(0,s)dKˉ(s)

for every compactly supported test function φ\varphiφ on [0,M)×[0,∞)[0,M)\times[0,\infty)[0,M)×[0,∞) (ages grow at unit rate, customers leave at rate hhh, new customers enter at age 000), mass is conserved, Xˉ(t)=Xˉ(0)+Eˉ(t)−Dˉ(t)\bar X(t)=\bar X(0)+\bar E(t)-\bar D(t)Xˉ(t)=Xˉ(0)+Eˉ(t)−Dˉ(t), and the system is non-idling, 1−⟨1,νˉt⟩=[1−Xˉ(t)]+1-\langle\mathbf 1,\bar\nu_t\rangle=[1-\bar X(t)]^+1−⟨1,νˉt​⟩=[1−Xˉ(t)]+.

The equilibrium measure is νˉ∗(dx)=(1−G(x)) dx\bar\nu_*(dx)=(1-G(x))\,dxνˉ∗​(dx)=(1−G(x))dx on [0,M)[0,M)[0,M), a probability measure by the mean-one normalization. With Eˉ=id\bar E=\mathrm{id}Eˉ=id (arrival rate equal to the total service capacity), Xˉ≡c≥1\bar X\equiv c\ge1Xˉ≡c≥1 and νˉ≡νˉ∗\bar\nu\equiv\bar\nu_*νˉ≡νˉ∗​ is a constant solution. Assumption 2 asks that hhh be bounded or lower semicontinuous near MMM. The renewal measure of GGG is U=∑n≥0G∗nU=\sum_{n\ge0}G^{*n}U=∑n≥0​G∗n, the unit mass at 000 included.

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem 3.9

Under Assumption 2:

  1. if Eˉ=λˉ id\bar E=\bar\lambda\,\mathrm{id}Eˉ=λˉid with λˉ∈[0,1]\bar\lambda\in[0,1]λˉ∈[0,1] and the system starts empty, then Xˉ(t)=⟨1,νˉt⟩\bar X(t)=\langle\mathbf 1,\bar\nu_t\rangleXˉ(t)=⟨1,νˉt​⟩ increases to λˉ\bar\lambdaλˉ and νˉt\bar\nu_tνˉt​ increases weakly to λˉνˉ∗\bar\lambda\bar\nu_*λˉνˉ∗​;
  2. if ∫x2g(x) dx<∞\int x^2g(x)\,dx<\infty∫x2g(x)dx<∞, then for Eˉ=id\bar E=\mathrm{id}Eˉ=id and every initial condition in S0\mathcal S_0S0​,
lim⁡t→∞⟨f,νˉt⟩=∫[0,∞)f(x)(1−G(x)) dxfor every bounded continuous f.\lim_{t\to\infty}\langle f,\bar\nu_t\rangle=\int_{[0,\infty)}f(x)(1-G(x))\,dx\qquad\text{for every bounded continuous }f.t→∞lim​⟨f,νˉt​⟩=∫[0,∞)​f(x)(1−G(x))dxfor every bounded continuous f.

Milestones

  • Lemma 3.4: a solution restarted at time ttt solves the fluid equations for the shifted data.
  • Remark 3.8: the invariant solution (c+Eˉ−id,νˉ∗)(c+\bar E-\mathrm{id},\bar\nu_*)(c+Eˉ−id,νˉ∗​) when λˉ≥1\bar\lambda\ge1λˉ≥1.
  • Corollary 4.4, (4.6): Kˉ\bar KKˉ is the renewal measure UUU convolved with an explicit forcing term.
  • Proposition 6.1(1)–(3): the solution started empty, explicitly up to the first time τ1\tau_1τ1​ it fills, its monotone convergence for constant λˉ≤1\bar\lambda\le1λˉ≤1, and the comparison of an arbitrary solution with it.
  • Lemma 6.2: a reference system built from UUU converges weakly to ⟨1,π0⟩νˉ∗\langle\mathbf 1,\pi_0\rangle\bar\nu_*⟨1,π0​⟩νˉ∗​.
  • Lemma 6.3: a uniform renewal estimate under a finite second moment.

Significance

Theorem 3.9(2) is the stability statement of the fluid model in the critically loaded case: whatever the initial occupancy and the initial ages, the age distribution of customers in service converges to the stationary excess distribution of GGG. It justifies using νˉ∗\bar\nu_*νˉ∗​ as the operating point around which diffusion approximations of many-server queues are built, and it is the fluid counterpart of the classical fact that the age of a stationary renewal process has density 1−G1-G1−G. Part (1) gives the transient behavior of an underloaded or critically loaded system started empty.

The result is proved in the paper; nothing here is open. To our knowledge none of it has been formalized. A formalization adds machine-checked statements of a measure-valued fluid model that the companion mission (uniqueness of fluid solutions, Theorem 3.5) shares, and exercises renewal theory — the renewal measure, a key renewal theorem for laws with a density, Lorden's inequality — in a form usable by other queueing developments.

Difficulty

The naive argument would show that ⟨f,νˉt⟩\langle f,\bar\nu_t\rangle⟨f,νˉt​⟩ is given by an explicit formula and pass to the limit. The explicit age representation of a solution involves Kˉ\bar KKˉ, which is known only through a renewal equation whose forcing term depends on νˉ\bar\nuνˉ itself; there is no closed form unless the system never fills up. For Eˉ=id\bar E=\mathrm{id}Eˉ=id the system can alternate between full and not full, and the convergence must be proved without knowing when. Two ingredients carry the weight: a comparison showing that the occupancy tends to one, and a key renewal theorem for the backward recurrence time of a renewal process with a density, which needs total-variation rather than vague convergence because the test functions are only bounded and continuous. The uniform-in-time control of Lemma 6.3 is where the second moment enters.

Formalization scope

Everything lives in ManyServerFluid.Equilibrium. The service law is a structure holding the density ggg with g≥0g\ge0g≥0, g=0g=0g=0 on (−∞,0)(-\infty,0)(−∞,0), ∫g=1\int g=1∫g=1, and mean one. Time is R\mathbb RR, read on [0,∞)[0,\infty)[0,∞). Age measures are Mathlib FiniteMeasure ℝ carried by [0,M)[0,M)[0,M), with the weak topology, so "càdlàg" is in the paper's topology. The departures ∫0t⟨h,νˉs⟩ds\int_0^t\langle h,\bar\nu_s\rangle ds∫0t​⟨h,νˉs​⟩ds are lower integrals in [0,∞][0,\infty][0,∞]; dKˉd\bar KdKˉ and dZdZdZ are Lebesgue–Stieltjes measures. The convolution powers are the published QueueingFundamentals.MG1.convPow.

Explicit choices, each also stated in the item that uses it:

  • g=0g=0g=0 below 000 and ∫g=1\int g=1∫g=1 are explicit; the paper's "νˉ0\bar\nu_0νˉ0​" is νˉ(0)\bar\nu(0)νˉ(0), stated as an equation.
  • Compact support of test functions is relative to [0,M)×R+[0,M)\times\mathbb R_+[0,M)×R+​, as the paper intends; the directional derivative is supplied as a second function.
  • Weak convergence is tested on bounded continuous functions on R\mathbb RR; for measures carried by [0,M)[0,M)[0,M) this is equivalent to Cb[0,M)\mathcal C_b[0,M)Cb​[0,M) and Cb(R+)\mathcal C_b(\mathbb R_+)Cb​(R+​). "Increases" means nondecreasing.
  • "The unique solution" is the hypothesis "a solution"; uniqueness is the companion mission.
  • In Proposition 6.1(1) the printed limit ∫0τ1f(t−s)⋯\int_0^{\tau_1}f(t-s)\cdots∫0τ1​​f(t−s)⋯ is read with τ1\tau_1τ1​ for ttt, and only for τ1<∞\tau_1<\inftyτ1​<∞.
  • In Lemma 6.3 the free ttt of (6.11) is quantified after ∃Tε\exists T_\varepsilon∃Tε​, uniformly, as the proof establishes and uses.
  • Lemma 6.2 states that Z∈I0Z\in\mathcal I_0Z∈I0​ and that a càdlàg family satisfying (6.6) exists, besides (6.7).
  • Remark 3.8 is stated as membership in the solution set, the conclusion the paper draws.

Weak convergence in Theorem 3.9(2) is against all bounded continuous functions, not compactly supported ones; vague convergence would let mass escape towards MMM and is not the theorem. The monotonicity in part (1) is part of the statement. A formalization in which these were dropped, or in which UUU omitted the unit mass at 000, would state a different result.

Existence. The paper's proof of Theorem 3.9(2) compares an arbitrary solution with the solution started empty, which it obtains from its Theorem 3.7 (existence via the NNN-server limit); that theorem is not part of this series. Here every solution is a hypothesis, so nothing false is stated, but a proof of the goal must construct the empty-start solution for Eˉ=id\bar E=\mathrm{id}Eˉ=id. It is explicit: νˉt\bar\nu_tνˉt​ has density 1−G1-G1−G on [0,t][0,t][0,t] while t<τ1t<\tau_1t<τ1​, and from τ1=M<∞\tau_1=M<\inftyτ1​=M<∞ on it equals νˉ∗\bar\nu_*νˉ∗​ (Proposition 6.1, Remark 3.8, Lemma 3.4).

Contributions welcome: general renewal theory (local finiteness of UUU, Lorden's inequality, the key renewal theorem for spread-out laws in total variation), and lemmas on the fluid equations shared with the uniqueness mission (the monotonicity of Kˉ\bar KKˉ, the renewal equation (4.5), the age representation (3.11)).

Selected references

  • H. Kaspi and K. Ramanan, Law of Large Numbers Limits for Many-Server Queues, Ann. Appl. Probab. 21(1) (2011) 33–114. https://doi.org/10.1214/09-AAP662
  • W. Whitt, Fluid Models for Multiserver Queues with Abandonments, Oper. Res. 54 (2006) 37–54. https://mathscinet.ams.org/mathscinet-getitem?mr=2201245
  • L. Brown, N. Gans, A. Mandelbaum, A. Sakov, H. Shen, S. Zeltyn and L. Zhao, Statistical analysis of a telephone call center: A queueing-science perspective, J. Amer. Statist. Assoc. 100 (2005) 36–50. https://mathscinet.ams.org/mathscinet-getitem?mr=2166068
  • J. Reed, The G/GI/N queue in the Halfin–Whitt regime, Ann. Appl. Probab. 19 (2009) 2211–2269. https://mathscinet.ams.org/mathscinet-getitem?mr=2588244
  • S. Asmussen, Applied Probability and Queues, 2nd ed., Springer, 2003. https://mathscinet.ams.org/mathscinet-getitem?mr=1978607
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Functional AnalysisProbabilityStochastic Systems·Captain: mikedeng1

Affine Processes on Positive Semidefinite Matrices III: For d ≥ 2, a Markov Family Is Infinitely Decomposable Iff It Is Affine with Zero Diffusion Iff It Is Affine and Infinitely DivisibleResearch Paper

Motivation

Affine processes are Markov processes whose Laplace transform depends exponential-affinely on the initial state. On the cone Sd+S_d^+Sd+​ of positive semidefinite matrices they model stochastic covariance matrices in multivariate stochastic volatility, interest-rate and credit models. Examples include the Wishart process of Bru (Bru 1991) and Ornstein–Uhlenbeck processes driven by matrix Lévy subordinators (Barndorff-Nielsen and Stelzer 2007, reference [3] of the paper). Cuchiero, Filipović, Mayerhofer and Teichmann (2011) characterize all affine processes on Sd+S_d^+Sd+​ by admissible parameter sets.

On the canonical state space R+m×Rn\mathbb R_+^m\times\mathbb R^nR+m​×Rn, Duffie, Filipović and Schachermayer (2003) showed that regular affine processes are exactly the infinitely decomposable Markov processes: the law started at x(1)+⋯+x(k)x^{(1)}+\dots+x^{(k)}x(1)+⋯+x(k) is a kkk-fold convolution of laws started at the x(i)x^{(i)}x(i). That property drives their existence proof. On Sd+S_d^+Sd+​ with d≥2d\ge2d≥2 it fails. The Wishart marginals are not infinitely divisible, a classical result of Paul Lévy. This mission formalizes the exact characterization: Theorem 2.9 of Cuchiero et al.

Setting

MdM_dMd​ is the space of real d×dd\times dd×d matrices and SdS_dSd​ the symmetric ones. SdS_dSd​ carries the pairing ⟨x,y⟩=Tr(xy)\langle x,y\rangle=\mathrm{Tr}(xy)⟨x,y⟩=Tr(xy) and the norm ∥x∥=⟨x,x⟩\|x\|=\sqrt{\langle x,x\rangle}∥x∥=⟨x,x⟩​. Sd+S_d^+Sd+​ is the closed convex cone of positive semidefinite matrices, and Sd+∪{Δ}S_d^+\cup\{\Delta\}Sd+​∪{Δ} its one-point compactification. The point Δ\DeltaΔ is the cemetery, where a killed process goes.

A transition family (pt)t≥0(p_t)_{t\ge0}(pt​)t≥0​ consists of sub-stochastic kernels on Sd+S_d^+Sd+​ satisfying p0(x,⋅)=δxp_0(x,\cdot)=\delta_xp0​(x,⋅)=δx​ and the Chapman–Kolmogorov equations. It is stochastically continuous if ps(x,⋅)→pt(x,⋅)p_s(x,\cdot)\to p_t(x,\cdot)ps​(x,⋅)→pt​(x,⋅) weakly as s→ts\to ts→t. The process is affine (Definition 2.1) if there are φ≥0\varphi\ge0φ≥0 and ψ∈Sd+\psi\in S_d^+ψ∈Sd+​ with

∫e−⟨u,ξ⟩pt(x,dξ)=e−φ(t,u)−⟨ψ(t,u),x⟩,t≥0, u,x∈Sd+.\int e^{-\langle u,\xi\rangle}p_t(x,d\xi)=e^{-\varphi(t,u)-\langle\psi(t,u),x\rangle},\qquad t\ge0,\ u,x\in S_d^+.∫e−⟨u,ξ⟩pt​(x,dξ)=e−φ(t,u)−⟨ψ(t,u),x⟩,t≥0, u,x∈Sd+​.

Theorem 2.4 of the paper attaches to every affine process a unique admissible parameter set (α,b,βij,c,γ,m,μ)(\alpha,b,\beta^{ij},c,\gamma,m,\mu)(α,b,βij,c,γ,m,μ). In it, α∈Sd+\alpha\in S_d^+α∈Sd+​ is the diffusion parameter, b⪰(d−1)αb\succeq(d-1)\alphab⪰(d−1)α the constant drift, ccc and γ\gammaγ the killing rates, and mmm and μ\muμ the jump measures. The exponents solve the generalized Riccati equations ∂tφ=F(ψ)\partial_t\varphi=F(\psi)∂t​φ=F(ψ), ∂tψ=R(ψ)\partial_t\psi=R(\psi)∂t​ψ=R(ψ), with F,RF,RF,R given by (2.16)–(2.17).

The canonical space Ω\OmegaΩ consists of paths ω:R+→Sd+∪{Δ}\omega:\mathbb R_+\to S_d^+\cup\{\Delta\}ω:R+​→Sd+​∪{Δ} that stay at Δ\DeltaΔ once they reach it, with coordinate process Xt(ω)=ω(t)X_t(\omega)=\omega(t)Xt​(ω)=ω(t). P\mathcal PP is the set of families (Px)x∈Sd+(P_x)_{x\in S_d^+}(Px​)x∈Sd+​​ of laws on Ω\OmegaΩ under which XXX is a stochastically continuous Markov process with Px[X0=x]=1P_x[X_0=x]=1Px​[X0​=x]=1. The convolution P∗QP*QP∗Q is the image of P×QP\times QP×Q under (ω,ω′)↦ω+ω′(\omega,\omega')\mapsto\omega+\omega'(ω,ω′)↦ω+ω′. A family (Px)∈P(P_x)\in\mathcal P(Px​)∈P is infinitely decomposable (Definition 2.7) if for every k≥1k\ge1k≥1 there is (Px(k))∈P(P^{(k)}_x)\in\mathcal P(Px(k)​)∈P with Px(1)+⋯+x(k)=Px(1)(k)∗⋯∗Px(k)(k)P_{x^{(1)}+\dots+x^{(k)}}=P^{(k)}_{x^{(1)}}*\dots*P^{(k)}_{x^{(k)}}Px(1)+⋯+x(k)​=Px(1)(k)​∗⋯∗Px(k)(k)​. It is infinitely divisible if every marginal Px∘Xt−1P_x\circ X_t^{-1}Px​∘Xt−1​ is.

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem 2.9 (p. 12)

For d≥2d\ge2d≥2 and (Px)∈P(P_x)\in\mathcal P(Px​)∈P, the following are equivalent:

(i) (Px) is infinitely decomposable  ⟺  (ii) X is affine with α=0  ⟺  (iii) X is affine and infinitely divisible.\text{(i) }(P_x)\text{ is infinitely decomposable}\iff\text{(ii) }X\text{ is affine with }\alpha=0\iff\text{(iii) }X\text{ is affine and infinitely divisible}.(i) (Px​) is infinitely decomposable⟺(ii) X is affine with α=0⟺(iii) X is affine and infinitely divisible.

Milestones

  • Lemma 6.1. An additive g:Sd+→Rg:S_d^+\to\mathbb Rg:Sd+​→R extends to an additive f:Sd→Rf:S_d\to\mathbb Rf:Sd​→R. If ggg is measurable, then f(x)=⟨c,x⟩f(x)=\langle c,x\ranglef(x)=⟨c,x⟩ for some c∈Sdc\in S_dc∈Sd​.
  • Lemma 6.2. A measurable, strictly positive hhh with h(x+y)=h(x)h(y)h(x+y)=h(x)h(y)h(x+y)=h(x)h(y) on Sd+S_d^+Sd+​ has the form h(x)=e−⟨c,x⟩h(x)=e^{-\langle c,x\rangle}h(x)=e−⟨c,x⟩, c∈Sdc\in S_dc∈Sd​. If h≤1h\le1h≤1, then c∈Sd+c\in S_d^+c∈Sd+​.
  • Lemma 6.4. For k≥2k\ge2k≥2, Px(1)(1)∗⋯∗Px(k)(k)=Px(0)P^{(1)}_{x^{(1)}}*\dots*P^{(k)}_{x^{(k)}}=P^{(0)}_{x}Px(1)(1)​∗⋯∗Px(k)(k)​=Px(0)​ holds iff every finite-dimensional Laplace functional has the form Ex(j)[e−∑i⟨u(i),Xti⟩]=ρ(j)e−⟨ψ,x⟩\mathbb E^{(j)}_x[e^{-\sum_i\langle u^{(i)},X_{t_i}\rangle}]=\rho^{(j)}e^{-\langle\psi,x\rangle}Ex(j)​[e−∑i​⟨u(i),Xti​​⟩]=ρ(j)e−⟨ψ,x⟩ with ∏i≥1ρ(i)=ρ(0)\prod_{i\ge1}\rho^{(i)}=\rho^{(0)}∏i≥1​ρ(i)=ρ(0).
  • Lemma 5.10. The cones C\mathcal CC (Lévy–Khintchine exponents plus a constant) and CS\mathcal C^SCS are closed under composition and pointwise limits. For α=0\alpha=0α=0, truncating small jumps of μ\muμ approximates RRR locally uniformly.
  • Proposition 5.11. For an admissible parameter set with α=0\alpha=0α=0, (φ(t,⋅),ψ(t,⋅))∈(C,CS)(\varphi(t,\cdot),\psi(t,\cdot))\in(\mathcal C,\mathcal C^S)(φ(t,⋅),ψ(t,⋅))∈(C,CS) for every t≥0t\ge0t≥0.

Significance

The theorem separates two classes that coincide on R+m×Rn\mathbb R_+^m\times\mathbb R^nR+m​×Rn. On Sd+S_d^+Sd+​ with d≥2d\ge2d≥2, a diffusion component, which must satisfy b⪰(d−1)αb\succeq(d-1)\alphab⪰(d−1)α, is incompatible with taking kkk-th roots, because the root would need drift b/kb/kb/k. So the existence proof of Duffie–Filipović–Schachermayer, which builds a process from infinitely divisible kernels, covers exactly the pure-jump affine processes on Sd+S_d^+Sd+​. Processes with a diffusion part need the martingale-problem approach of the paper's §5. Proposition 5.11 gives the alternative existence proof for α=0\alpha=0α=0 (§5.3).

The theorem is proved in the paper. As far as is known, none of it has been machine-checked: no formal library has affine processes on matrix cones, convolution of path measures, or the Lévy–Khintchine form on Sd+S_d^+Sd+​. Formalization contributes a checked equivalence that rests on the paper's other main theorem (Theorem 2.4), together with reusable statements about Cauchy's equations on cones and Laplace functionals of Markov families. It is the third mission of a series. Missions I and II formalize the two halves of Theorem 2.4.

Difficulty

The equivalence links three layers: path-space laws, one-dimensional kernels, and Riccati exponents. (i) ⇒\Rightarrow⇒ (ii) first needs the multiplicative structure of Laplace functionals in the initial state. That gives affinity of the process and of each kkk-th root, with exponents (φ/k,ψ)(\varphi/k,\psi)(φ/k,ψ). Then it needs the fact that the root's parameter set is (α,b/k,… )(\alpha,b/k,\dots)(α,b/k,…) and is again admissible, so b/k⪰(d−1)αb/k\succeq(d-1)\alphab/k⪰(d−1)α for all kkk. The second step relies on the full necessity theorem, in particular Proposition 4.18. The first fails without strict positivity of the Laplace functional: Cauchy's exponential equation has non-exponential solutions that vanish somewhere (Remark 6.3). (ii) ⇒\Rightarrow⇒ (iii) requires every Riccati solution to stay in the Lévy–Khintchine cone. This is clear for finite-variation jumps via Picard iteration, but the general case needs the approximation Rδ→RR^\delta\to RRδ→R. (iii) ⇒\Rightarrow⇒ (i) must produce a Markov family of kkk-th roots on path space, not merely roots of each marginal. The case d=1d=1d=1 shows that d≥2d\ge2d≥2 cannot be dropped: there the Cox–Ingersoll–Ross process has α≠0\alpha\ne0α=0 and is infinitely decomposable.

Formalization scope

  • Matrices. MdM_dMd​ is Fin d → Fin d → ℝ, with ⟨x,y⟩=∑i,jxijyji\langle x,y\rangle=\sum_{i,j}x_{ij}y_{ji}⟨x,y⟩=∑i,j​xij​yji​ and ∥x∥=⟨x,x⟩\|x\|=\sqrt{\langle x,x\rangle}∥x∥=⟨x,x⟩​. Sd+S_d^+Sd+​ is the subtype of matrices with Mathlib's PosSemidef.
  • Parameters. The matrix measure μ\muμ is encoded as H dνH\,d\nuHdν, with ν\nuν finite and HHH a positive semidefinite density. This is equivalent to the paper's μ\muμ; take ν=∑iμii\nu=\sum_i\mu_{ii}ν=∑i​μii​. Exponents are functions on R×Md\mathbb R\times M_dR×Md​, evaluated at t≥0t\ge0t≥0 and positive semidefinite uuu. Time derivatives at t=0t=0t=0 are one-sided.
  • Path space. Sd+∪{Δ}S_d^+\cup\{\Delta\}Sd+​∪{Δ} is OnePoint of the cone, with its Borel σ-algebra. Addition is extended with Δ\DeltaΔ absorbing. Ω\OmegaΩ is the space of all paths R≥0→Sd+∪{Δ}\mathbb R_{\ge0}\to S_d^+\cup\{\Delta\}R≥0​→Sd+​∪{Δ} with the product σ-algebra; every notion in the theorem depends only on finite-dimensional distributions. Absorption at Δ\DeltaΔ and the Markov property with transition family ppp are imposed through finite-dimensional distributions. The path-sum map is measurable, which is checked in Lean, so the convolution is a genuine push-forward.
  • Marginals. Infinite divisibility of a marginal is that of the sub-probability kernel pt(x,⋅)p_t(x,\cdot)pt​(x,⋅). Killed mass sits at Δ\DeltaΔ, so roots are sub-probabilities.
  • The parameter set. "Affine with α=0\alpha=0α=0" refers to the unique admissible parameter set whose F,RF,RF,R drive the Riccati equations. The truncation function χ\chiχ is arbitrary.
  • Corrections to the page. Lemma 6.4 carries the hypothesis k≥2k\ge2k≥2, from its proof ("Fix k>1k>1k>1"). For k=1k=1k=1 the statement is false. In Proposition 5.11, "the solutions" are the jointly continuous ones.
  • Ruled out. A kernel-level identity in place of infinite decomposability is ruled out: (i) is stated on path space. The goal keeps the hypothesis d≥2d\ge2d≥2.
  • Reusable work. Contributions are welcome on Cauchy's equations on cones (Lemmas 6.1–6.2), on the measure theory of path convolutions, and on Lévy–Khintchine exponents on Sd+S_d^+Sd+​. All three are useful beyond this mission.

Selected references

  • C. Cuchiero, D. Filipović, E. Mayerhofer, J. Teichmann, Affine processes on positive semidefinite matrices, Ann. Appl. Probab. 21 (2011) 397–463; arXiv:0910.0137v3. https://arxiv.org/abs/0910.0137
  • D. Duffie, D. Filipović, W. Schachermayer, Affine processes and applications in finance, Ann. Appl. Probab. 13 (2003) 984–1053. https://doi.org/10.1214/aoap/1060202833
  • M.-F. Bru, Wishart processes, J. Theoret. Probab. 4 (1991) 725–751. https://doi.org/10.1007/BF01259552
  • O. E. Barndorff-Nielsen, R. Stelzer, Positive-definite matrix processes of finite variation, Probab. Math. Statist. 27 (2007) 3–43.
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Operations ResearchOptimizationProbability·Captain: mikedeng1

Stability of Multistage Stochastic Programs: Optimal Values Are Locally Lipschitz in the L_r Distance of the Inputs plus a Filtration DistanceResearch Paper

Motivation

A multistage stochastic program chooses decisions x1,…,xTx_1, \dots, x_Tx1​,…,xT​ over TTT time periods while a random input ξ1,…,ξT\xi_1, \dots, \xi_Tξ1​,…,ξT​ is revealed one stage at a time; the decision at stage ttt may use what has been observed so far and nothing more. Such models are used for capacity expansion, hydro-thermal power scheduling, asset–liability management and production planning. In practice the true input process is never used directly: it is replaced by an estimate, a discretization or a scenario tree with few branches, and the program is solved for that approximation. Whether the optimal value of the approximate program is close to the true one is therefore the basic question behind every scenario-tree method.

For two-stage programs (T=2T = 2T=2) the answer is classical: the optimal value is Lipschitz continuous with respect to suitable distances of probability distributions (Rachev and Römisch, 2002). For T>2T > 2T>2 that methodology breaks down, because the multistage objective depends on conditional expectations given the past, and hence on the information structure of the input, not only on its distribution. Heitsch, Römisch and Strugarek (SIAM J. Optim. 2006) showed that the gap is closed by adding one more term: a distance between the filtrations generated by the true and the approximate inputs. Their estimate is the basis of later work on scenario-tree construction and on the nested distance of Pflug and Pichler.

Setting

Let (Ω,F,P)(\Omega, \mathcal F, \mathbb P)(Ω,F,P) be a probability space and ξ=(ξ1,…,ξT)\xi = (\xi_1, \dots, \xi_T)ξ=(ξ1​,…,ξT​) a process with ξt∈Rd\xi_t \in \mathbb R^dξt​∈Rd. The information available at stage ttt is ξt=(ξ1,…,ξt)\xi^t = (\xi_1, \dots, \xi_t)ξt=(ξ1​,…,ξt​), and Ft=σ(ξt)\mathcal F_t = \sigma(\xi^t)Ft​=σ(ξt) is the σ-field it generates; ξ1\xi_1ξ1​ is deterministic, so F1={∅,Ω}\mathcal F_1 = \{\emptyset, \Omega\}F1​={∅,Ω}. The linear multistage program (1) is

v(ξ)=inf⁡{E[∑t=1T⟨bt(ξt),xt⟩]  :  xt∈Xt, xt Ft-measurable, At,0xt+At,1xt−1=ht(ξt) (t≥2)},v(\xi) = \inf\Big\{ \mathbb E\Big[\sum_{t=1}^T \langle b_t(\xi_t), x_t\rangle\Big] \;:\; x_t \in X_t,\ x_t \ \mathcal F_t\text{-measurable},\ A_{t,0}x_t + A_{t,1}x_{t-1} = h_t(\xi_t)\ (t \ge 2) \Big\},v(ξ)=inf{E[t=1∑T​⟨bt​(ξt​),xt​⟩]:xt​∈Xt​, xt​ Ft​-measurable, At,0​xt​+At,1​xt−1​=ht​(ξt​) (t≥2)},

where X1⊆Rm1X_1 \subseteq \mathbb R^{m_1}X1​⊆Rm1​ is a polyhedron, Xt⊆RmtX_t \subseteq \mathbb R^{m_t}Xt​⊆Rmt​ for t≥2t \ge 2t≥2 are polyhedral cones, At,0A_{t,0}At,0​ and At,1A_{t,1}At,1​ are fixed matrices, and the costs btb_tbt​ and right-hand sides hth_tht​ are affine functions of the current input ξt\xi_tξt​. Write F(ξ,x)F(\xi, x)F(ξ,x) for the objective and X(ξ)\mathcal X(\xi)X(ξ) for the feasible set.

Which data are random fixes two integrability exponents: if only the costs are random, r=1r = 1r=1 and r′=∞r' = \inftyr′=∞; if only the right-hand sides are random, r=r′=1r = r' = 1r=r′=1; otherwise r=r′=2r = r' = 2r=r′=2. The input lives in LrL_rLr​ and the decisions in Lr′L_{r'}Lr′​, and ∥ξ−ξ~∥r\|\xi - \tilde\xi\|_r∥ξ−ξ~​∥r​ is the LrL_rLr​ distance of two inputs.

Three conditions are imposed: (A1) complete fixed recourse, At,0Xt=RntA_{t,0}X_t = \mathbb R^{n_t}At,0​Xt​=Rnt​ for t≥2t \ge 2t≥2; (A2) v(ξ)v(\xi)v(ξ) is finite and FFF is level-bounded locally uniformly at ξ\xiξ: for some α>0\alpha > 0α>0 there are δ>0\delta > 0δ>0 and a bounded set B⊆Lr′B \subseteq L_{r'}B⊆Lr′​ such that the level set lα(F(ξ~,⋅))={x~∈X(ξ~):F(ξ~,x~)≤v(ξ)+α}l_\alpha(F(\tilde\xi, \cdot)) = \{\tilde x \in \mathcal X(\tilde\xi) : F(\tilde\xi, \tilde x) \le v(\xi) + \alpha\}lα​(F(ξ~​,⋅))={x~∈X(ξ~​):F(ξ~​,x~)≤v(ξ)+α} is nonempty and contained in BBB whenever ∥ξ~−ξ∥r≤δ\|\tilde\xi - \xi\|_r \le \delta∥ξ~​−ξ∥r​≤δ; (A3) ξ∈Lr\xi \in L_rξ∈Lr​.

The filtration distance at stage ttt compares how well a near-optimal decision of one problem is predicted from the other problem's information:

Dt(Ft,F~t)=max⁡{sup⁡x∈lα(F(ξ,⋅))∥xt−E[xt∣F~t]∥r′, sup⁡x~∈lα(F(ξ~,⋅))∥x~t−E[x~t∣Ft]∥r′}.D_t(\mathcal F_t, \tilde{\mathcal F}_t) = \max\Big\{ \sup_{x \in l_\alpha(F(\xi,\cdot))} \|x_t - \mathbb E[x_t \mid \tilde{\mathcal F}_t]\|_{r'},\ \sup_{\tilde x \in l_\alpha(F(\tilde\xi,\cdot))} \|\tilde x_t - \mathbb E[\tilde x_t \mid \mathcal F_t]\|_{r'} \Big\}.Dt​(Ft​,F~t​)=max{x∈lα​(F(ξ,⋅))sup​∥xt​−E[xt​∣F~t​]∥r′​, x~∈lα​(F(ξ~​,⋅))sup​∥x~t​−E[x~t​∣Ft​]∥r′​}.

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem 2.1

Under (A1)–(A3) and boundedness of X1X_1X1​ there are positive constants LLL, α\alphaα, δ\deltaδ such that

∣v(ξ)−v(ξ~)∣≤L(∥ξ−ξ~∥r+∑t=2T−1Dt(Ft,F~t))|v(\xi) - v(\tilde\xi)| \le L\Big( \|\xi - \tilde\xi\|_r + \sum_{t=2}^{T-1} D_t(\mathcal F_t, \tilde{\mathcal F}_t) \Big)∣v(ξ)−v(ξ~​)∣≤L(∥ξ−ξ~​∥r​+t=2∑T−1​Dt​(Ft​,F~t​))

for every input ξ~∈Lr\tilde\xi \in L_rξ~​∈Lr​ with ∥ξ~−ξ∥r≤δ\|\tilde\xi - \xi\|_r \le \delta∥ξ~​−ξ∥r​≤δ and v(ξ~)v(\tilde\xi)v(ξ~​) finite. The constants are existential: the theorem asserts the shape of the estimate, not its numerical values.

Milestones

  1. (10): the maps Mt(u)={x∈Xt:At,0x=u}M_t(u) = \{x \in X_t : A_{t,0}x = u\}Mt​(u)={x∈Xt​:At,0​x=u} are Lipschitz in the Hausdorff sense.
  2. (11): every feasible policy for ξ\xiξ can be transferred to a feasible policy for ξ~\tilde\xiξ~​, adapted to F~t\tilde{\mathcal F}_tF~t​, with a pointwise error bound whose constants do not depend on ξ~\tilde\xiξ~​.
  3. The three case estimates of v(ξ~)−v(ξ)v(\tilde\xi) - v(\xi)v(ξ~​)−v(ξ): only right-hand sides random, only costs random, and r=r′=2r = r' = 2r=r′=2.
  4. (14) and (15): the two one-sided estimates, whose sum of filtration terms is bounded by ∑tDt\sum_t D_t∑t​Dt​.

Significance

The theorem identifies what an approximation of a multistage input must preserve: closeness in LrL_rLr​ alone is not enough, and the filtration term measures exactly the information that is lost or gained. It justifies scenario-tree construction by forward selection and reduction (Heitsch and Römisch, 2009), where both terms are controlled, and it is the precursor of the nested distance, for which analogous Lipschitz bounds are proved. Without such an estimate a scenario tree that matches the marginal distributions can still give an arbitrarily wrong optimal value.

The result is proved in the paper; it has not been formalized. A machine-checked version needs, and would produce, a formal theory of linear programs with decisions adapted to a generated filtration in LpL_pLp​ spaces, Lipschitz continuity of polyhedral set-valued maps, and measurable selections of conditional-expectation projections. Each of these is reusable well beyond this paper.

Difficulty

The obvious argument — take a near-optimal policy for ξ\xiξ and evaluate it for ξ~\tilde\xiξ~​ — fails at once: that policy is adapted to Ft\mathcal F_tFt​, not to F~t\tilde{\mathcal F}_tF~t​, so it is not feasible for the perturbed problem, and projecting it by conditional expectation onto F~t\tilde{\mathcal F}_tF~t​ destroys the equality constraints. Any repaired policy must again be F~t\tilde{\mathcal F}_tF~t​-measurable at every stage, and an error made at stage ttt propagates to all later stages through the recursion At,0xt+At,1xt−1=ht(ξt)A_{t,0}x_t + A_{t,1}x_{t-1} = h_t(\xi_t)At,0​xt​+At,1​xt−1​=ht​(ξt​), where it must stay controlled in the right Lr′L_{r'}Lr′​ norm. The three integrability regimes need separate estimates; in the regime r′=∞r' = \inftyr′=∞ the error must be bounded essentially, not only on average.

Formalization scope

The program is encoded in a single definitions file. Stages are natural numbers 1,…,T1, \dots, T1,…,T with dimension functions mtm_tmt​, ntn_tnt​. X1X_1X1​ is given by finitely many linear inequalities and each XtX_tXt​, t≥2t \ge 2t≥2, by finitely many homogeneous ones, so "polyhedral" and "polyhedral cone" are built in. The matrices are linear maps between Euclidean spaces; bt(y)=bt0+Btyb_t(y) = b_t^0 + B_t ybt​(y)=bt0​+Bt​y and ht(y)=ht0+Htyh_t(y) = h_t^0 + H_t yht​(y)=ht0​+Ht​y. A randomness pattern (costs, rhs, both) carries the exponents (r,r′)(r, r')(r,r′) and its restriction on the data: Ht=0H_t = 0Ht​=0 for costs, Bt=0B_t = 0Bt​=0 for rhs, none for both.

The committed conventions are:

  • Ft\mathcal F_tFt​ is the σ-field generated by ξ1,…,ξt\xi_1, \dots, \xi_tξ1​,…,ξt​; conditional expectations are Mathlib's condExp;
  • an admissible input is measurable, in LrL_rLr​ stage by stage, and has a deterministic first component; nothing assumes ξ~1=ξ1\tilde\xi_1 = \xi_1ξ~​1​=ξ1​ or FT=F\mathcal F_T = \mathcal FFT​=F;
  • a feasible policy has deterministic x1∈X1x_1 \in X_1x1​∈X1​, Ft\mathcal F_tFt​-measurable xtx_txt​ satisfying the constraints almost surely, and every xtx_txt​ in Lr′L_{r'}Lr′​;
  • ∥ξ−ξ~∥r\|\xi - \tilde\xi\|_r∥ξ−ξ~​∥r​ uses the Euclidean norm on RTd\mathbb R^{Td}RTd; "bounded in Lr′L_{r'}Lr′​" is read componentwise, which is equivalent;
  • optimal values are extended reals (+∞+\infty+∞ when infeasible); norms, suprema and the estimate are stated in [0,∞][0, \infty][0,∞], so no default value of a partial operation enters;
  • both level sets in DtD_tDt​ use the threshold v(ξ)+αv(\xi) + \alphav(ξ)+α, as (A2) defines them.

Trivializing formalizations are ruled out: the constants LLL, α\alphaα, δ\deltaδ are quantified before ξ~\tilde\xiξ~​; the theorem covers all three randomness patterns; the level sets are nonempty, so the suprema are not vacuous; and a sorry-free check exhibits data satisfying (A1) with a feasible policy, so the hypotheses are satisfiable.

Contributions are welcome on Lipschitz continuity of polyhedral set-valued maps (Walkup–Wets), measurable selections, conditional expectation of set-constrained random vectors, and any of the case estimates.

Selected references

  • H. Heitsch, W. Römisch, C. Strugarek, Stability of multistage stochastic programs, SIAM J. Optim. 17 (2006) 511–525. https://doi.org/10.1137/050632865 (formalized from the authors' manuscript, edoc.hu-berlin.de)
  • S. T. Rachev, W. Römisch, Quantitative stability in stochastic programming: the method of probability metrics, Math. Oper. Res. 27 (2002) 792–818. https://doi.org/10.1287/moor.27.4.792.304
  • R. T. Rockafellar, R. J-B Wets, Variational Analysis, Springer, 1998. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-642-02431-3
  • D. W. Walkup, R. J-B Wets, A Lipschitzian characterization of convex polyhedra, Proc. Amer. Math. Soc. 23 (1969) 167–173. https://doi.org/10.1090/S0002-9939-1969-0246200-8
  • H. Heitsch, W. Römisch, Scenario tree modeling for multistage stochastic programs, Math. Program. 118 (2009) 371–406. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10107-007-0197-2
  • G. Ch. Pflug, A. Pichler, A distance for multistage stochastic optimization models, SIAM J. Optim. 22 (2012) 1–23. https://doi.org/10.1137/110825054
9 thms1 active userReviewed
Differential GeometryPartial Differential Equations·Captain: marwahaha

Power-law violations of Yau's nodal upper boundOpen Problem

Motivation

Nodal sets are the zero loci of Laplace eigenfunctions. Their size probes how geometry constrains high-frequency oscillation. The pinned manuscript supplies the research context.

Setting

The encoded manifold is S4×S1 with one smooth Riemannian metric. The sequence consists of nonzero smooth real eigenfunctions with positive eigenvalues tending to infinity.

Formalization target

The selected goal is OAI.Yau.Target.yau_nodal_set_upper_bound_counterexample. Its central assertion is

Hg4({uk=0})λk⟶+∞.\frac{\mathcal H_g^4(\{u_k=0\})}{\sqrt{\lambda_k}}\longrightarrow+\infty.λk​​Hg4​({uk​=0})​⟶+∞.

The theorem states that the defined proposition MainTarget holds, i.e. that there exist a smooth Riemannian metric g on the 5-manifold S⁴ × S¹ (the unit sphere in ℝ⁵ times the circle, modelled on ℝ⁴ × ℝ¹), a sequence of positive reals λₖ, and a sequence of smooth real functions uₖ on this manifold, each not identically zero, such that the following hold. At every point x, in the extended chart at x, the coordinate Laplacian of uₖ, namely (1/√det G) Σᵢ ∂ᵢ(√det G Σⱼ Gⁱʲ ∂ⱼ(uₖ∘chart⁻¹)), where G is the matrix of g in the chart's coordinate frame and Gⁱʲ its inverse, satisfies −Δ_g uₖ(x) = λₖ uₖ(x), so each uₖ is a Laplace eigenfunction with eigenvalue λₖ. Moreover λₖ → ∞, and the 4-dimensional Hausdorff measure (taken with respect to the distance induced by g) of the nodal set {uₖ = 0}, divided by √λₖ, tends to +∞ as k → ∞. Thus the nodal-set size grows faster than the order √λₖ, which is a counterexample to a Yau-type upper bound on nodal sets in this setting. The theorem is admitted in the source and not proved there.

Significance and status

The selected target is divergence relative to the square-root eigenvalue scale. It does not specify the fixed additional power ε0 asserted by the manuscript title and abstract. The target is currently Open on Prove2Me. The manuscript's mathematical argument and a machine-checked proof of the selected statement are separate deliverables.

Difficulty

The same smooth metric must support the whole eigenfunction sequence, and the nodal measure uses the distance induced by that metric.

Formalization scope

The exact published goal, its hypotheses and its referenced definition blocks specify the requested formalization. The explanatory formula above is a summary; all quantifiers and additional clauses in the linked statement remain required.

The available published material supplies this goal and its necessary definitions. Additional manuscript lemmas are not represented as attached milestones.

Selected references

  • OpenAI, Power-law violations of Yau's nodal upper bound, preprint, 2026. Manuscript.
  • OpenAI, accompanying formal statements, commit adc7f1241b42. Selected goal source.
2 thms1 active userReviewed
Differential GeometrySymplectic Geometry·Captain: marwahaha

Taming implies compatibility on four-manifoldsOpen Problem

Motivation

A symplectic form can be positive on complex lines without being invariant under the almost complex structure. The target asks whether some compatible form nevertheless exists in four dimensions. The pinned manuscript supplies the research context.

Setting

The manifold is smooth, compact, connected, Hausdorff and second countable, modeled on real four-space. The almost complex structure squares to minus the identity.

Formalization target

The selected goal is OAI.TamingCompatibility.taming_implies_compatibility. Its central assertion is

(∃α symplectic: α(v,Jv)>0 ∀v≠0) ⟹ (∃η symplectic: η(v,Jv)>0 ∀v≠0, η(Ju,Jv)=η(u,v) ∀u,v).(\exists\alpha\text{ symplectic}:\ \alpha(v,Jv)>0\ \forall v\ne0)\ \Longrightarrow\ (\exists\eta\text{ symplectic}:\ \eta(v,Jv)>0\ \forall v\ne0,\ \eta(Ju,Jv)=\eta(u,v)\ \forall u,v).(∃α symplectic: α(v,Jv)>0 ∀v=0) ⟹ (∃η symplectic: η(v,Jv)>0 ∀v=0, η(Ju,Jv)=η(u,v) ∀u,v).

The theorem states that, for a smooth manifold X modeled on four-dimensional Euclidean space ℝ⁴ (charted with smooth transition maps) that is Hausdorff, second countable, compact and connected, and for an almost complex structure J on X, if some symplectic two-form α tames J, then there exists a symplectic two-form η that is compatible with J. Here a two-form assigns to each point x a continuous alternating real bilinear form on the tangent space at x, and an almost complex structure J is a smooth field of continuous linear endomorphisms of the tangent spaces with J(Jv) = −v for every tangent vector v. A two-form is symplectic when it is smooth (its pullbacks along smooth maps from open subsets of ℝ⁴ are smooth), closed (the exterior derivative of each such pullback vanishes), and nondegenerate (a tangent vector v with α(v,w) = 0 for all w must be zero). The form α tames J when α(v, Jv) > 0 for every nonzero tangent vector v at every point. The form η is compatible with J when it tames J and is J-invariant, meaning η(Ju, Jv) = η(u, v) for all tangent vectors u and v at every point. This is a formal statement admitted without proof.

Significance and status

The conclusion supplies a possibly different symplectic form. It does not assert that the original taming form is compatible or prescribe its cohomology class. The target is currently Open on Prove2Me. The manuscript's mathematical argument and a machine-checked proof of the selected statement are separate deliverables.

Difficulty

A pointwise compatibility adjustment need not preserve closedness. The conclusion requires both global symplectic structure and positivity.

Formalization scope

The exact published goal, its hypotheses and its referenced definition blocks specify the requested formalization. The explanatory formula above is a summary; all quantifiers and additional clauses in the linked statement remain required.

The available published material supplies this goal and its necessary definitions. Additional manuscript lemmas are not represented as attached milestones.

Selected references

  • OpenAI, Taming implies compatibility on four-manifolds, preprint, 2026. Manuscript.
  • OpenAI, accompanying formal statements, commit adc7f1241b42. Selected goal source.
2 thms1 active userReviewed
AlgebraFunctional Analysis·Captain: marwahaha

Vanishing of higher bounded Hochschild cohomologyOpen Problem

Motivation

Hochschild cohomology measures whether a cocycle equation admits a primitive. In an operator algebra the boundedness requirement is part of the mathematical problem. The pinned manuscript supplies the research context.

Setting

Cochains are continuous complex multilinear maps into the von Neumann algebra itself, with its natural left and right multiplication actions.

Formalization target

The selected goal is OAI.BoundedHochschild.KadisonRingrose.main_result. Its central assertion is

df=0⟹∃g: dg=f,deg⁡(f)=n+2.df=0\quad\Longrightarrow\quad\exists g:\ dg=f,\qquad\deg(f)=n+2.df=0⟹∃g: dg=f,deg(f)=n+2.

The theorem states that, for a complex von Neumann algebra M (a C*-algebra with a partial order making it star-ordered, equipped with the W*-algebra structure), and any natural number n, every bounded Hochschild cocycle of degree n+2 with values in M is a coboundary. Here a cochain of degree m is a continuous complex m-linear map from M^m to M. The Hochschild differential of a cochain f of degree m, evaluated at (v_0,...,v_m), is v_0 f(v_1,...,v_m) plus the sum over j from 0 to m-1 of (-1)^(j+1) f(v_0,...,v_j v_{j+1},...,v_m), where the j-th and (j+1)-th inputs are multiplied into one, plus (-1)^(m+1) f(v_0,...,v_{m-1}) v_m. The hypothesis is that f has degree n+2 and its differential vanishes at every (n+3)-tuple of elements of M. The conclusion is that there exists a continuous multilinear cochain g of degree n+1 whose differential equals f at every (n+2)-tuple of elements of M.

Significance and status

The goal covers every natural n, hence degrees at least two. It does not include a separately referenced degree-one inner-derivation theorem. The target is currently Open on Prove2Me. The manuscript's mathematical argument and a machine-checked proof of the selected statement are separate deliverables.

Difficulty

An algebraic primitive is insufficient: the lower-degree cochain must remain continuous and bounded in the encoded operator-norm sense.

Formalization scope

The exact published goal, its hypotheses and its referenced definition blocks specify the requested formalization. The explanatory formula above is a summary; all quantifiers and additional clauses in the linked statement remain required.

The available published material supplies this goal and its necessary definitions. Additional manuscript lemmas are not represented as attached milestones.

Selected references

  • OpenAI, Vanishing of higher bounded Hochschild cohomology, preprint, 2026. Manuscript.
  • OpenAI, accompanying formal statements, commit adc7f1241b42. Selected goal source.
2 thms1 active userReviewed
🏆Completed
Functional Analysis·Captain: marwahaha

An isomorphism of the free group factorsOpen Problem

Motivation

Group von Neumann algebras encode a free group's regular representation as an operator algebra. Whether the rank remains visible in that algebra is the motivating isomorphism problem. The pinned manuscript supplies the research context.

Setting

The parameter runs over extended nonnegative reals greater than one. Integer ranks use group factors, infinity uses countably many generators, and other parameters use the encoded stabilized corner model.

Formalization target

The selected goal is OAI.FreeGroupFactorMain.Interpolation.allInterpolatedIsomorphic. Its central assertion is

L(Fr)≅L(Fs)(1<r,s≤∞).L(\mathbb F_r)\cong L(\mathbb F_s)\qquad(1<r,s\leq\infty).L(Fr​)≅L(Fs​)(1<r,s≤∞).

The theorem states that for any two extended nonnegative real parameters r and s, both strictly greater than 1 (so either may be infinite), the interpolated factors attached to r and s are isomorphic as C*-algebras with trace and topology, meaning the type of normal tracial equivalences between them is nonempty. The interpolated factor at a parameter is chosen by cases: for r = ∞ it is the group von Neumann algebra of the free group on countably many generators; for r equal to a natural number n it is the group von Neumann algebra of the free group on n generators; otherwise it is the corner pAp of the stabilization of the rank-two free group algebra, cut down by a selected star projection p whose stabilized projection trace is the real number 1/√(r−1), with the trace being the stabilized trace rescaled by the inverse of that value. Each carries its canonical trace or this rescaled trace and an ultraweak-type topology. A NormalTracialEquiv between two such models consists of a ℂ-linear star-algebra isomorphism that preserves the traces and is continuous in both directions for the given topologies.

Significance and status

The goal is a nonempty type of normal tracial equivalences between the precise interpolated models. Statements about fundamental groups are not separate attached targets. The target is currently Open on Prove2Me. The manuscript's mathematical argument and a machine-checked proof of the selected statement are separate deliverables.

Difficulty

The required equivalence must preserve the algebra, involution and trace, and be continuous in both directions for the specified topologies.

Formalization scope

The exact published goal, its hypotheses and its referenced definition blocks specify the requested formalization. The explanatory formula above is a summary; all quantifiers and additional clauses in the linked statement remain required.

The available published material supplies this goal and its necessary definitions. Additional manuscript lemmas are not represented as attached milestones.

Selected references

  • OpenAI, An isomorphism of the free group factors, preprint, 2026. Manuscript.
  • OpenAI, accompanying formal statements, commit adc7f1241b42. Selected goal source.
17 thms1 active userReviewed
Differential GeometryMathematical Physics·Captain: marwahaha

Area-controlled end replacement and the Bondi Penrose inequality in the CKS classOpen Problem

Motivation

Replacing a hyperboloidal end by an asymptotically flat end can connect Bondi mass with ADM mass. The source seeks a replacement that preserves interior geometry, the energy condition, and almost all enclosing area. The source is OpenAI's September 2026 manuscript.

Setting

A CKS exterior datum describes a three-dimensional hyperboloidal end and its mass aspect. Its Bondi charge is energy-momentum (E,P)(E,P)(E,P), assumed strictly future timelike. An enclosing cut is a surface in the supplied geometric class; its area is computed from the metric.

Formalization targets

gR≥(1−ε(R))g,ε(R)→0,mADM(gR)=E2−∣P∣2+ηR,0≤ηR≤2R−1/2.g_R\ge(1-\varepsilon(R))g,\quad\varepsilon(R)\to0,\quad m_{\mathrm{ADM}}(g_R)=\sqrt{E^2-|P|^2}+\eta_R,\quad0\le\eta_R\le2R^{-1/2}.gR​≥(1−ε(R))g,ε(R)→0,mADM​(gR​)=E2−∣P∣2​+ηR​,0≤ηR​≤2R−1/2.

For a connected, Hausdorff, second countable smooth 3-manifold N with boundary and a smooth Riemannian metric g with a smooth symmetric tensor field K, such that N is orientable, the boundary is compact and nonempty, g is complete, and (g,K) satisfies the pointwise local-chart physical dominant energy condition PhysicalDEC, the following holds. Suppose d is a CKS exterior-end datum for (g,K): a coordinate end outside radius d.chart.radius in which g and K are represented by smooth perturbations, together with a smooth mass aspect function on the sphere and the tensor patches realizing it. If the Bondi charge (energy, momentum) of d's mass aspect, (E,P), is timelike, meaning |P|<E, then there exist another such datum d', a radius R₀ with d'.chart.radius<R₀ and 12≤R₀, and a function ε with ε(R)→0 as R→∞, such that d' has Bondi charge (√(E²−|P|²),0), and the minimal enclosing area of g is finite. Moreover, for every R≥R₀ one has 0≤ε(R)<1 and there are a complete smooth metric gR, a smooth symmetric tensor field kR, spatial tensor fields G and k on Euclidean 3-space, and a number η with these properties. The pair (gR,kR) agrees with (g,K) at every point outside the chart domain or with chart coordinate norm at most R, and satisfies PhysicalDEC and integrable constraints. Also gR≥(1−ε(R))g as quadratic forms. On the end, gR and kR equal the end metrics built from G and k in d'.chart. Each Cartesian component of G minus the identity satisfies the order-1 Symbol condition from CKSADM, and k vanishes where ‖x‖>2R². As r→∞ the spatial ADM energy of G tends to √(E²−|P|²)+η and the ADM momentum of (G,k) tends to 0, with 0≤η≤2R^(−1/2). Finally, gR has finite minimal enclosing area, (1−ε(R)) times the minimum enclosing area of g is at most that of gR, and for every outer domain D the cut areas of g and gR are finite and satisfy (1−ε(R))·cutArea(g,D)≤cutArea(gR,D).

The goal is OAI.CKSSourceExterior.area_controlled_end_replacement. Supporting targets are listed below; they retain their individual hypotheses and are separate statements.

  • schwarzschild equality examples.

Significance

The selected goal constructs end replacements with zero limiting ADM momentum and quantitative area comparison, including minimum enclosing area. The Schwarzschild equality examples are attached as a separate target. The manuscript presents a mathematical argument; the attached goal currently has status Open, so the requested contribution is a Lean proof of the displayed formal target.

Difficulty

Changing the end can create a cheaper enclosing surface or violate the dominant energy condition. Agreement on each retained interior region does not alone prevent either problem.

Formalization scope

The manifold is a connected Hausdorff second-countable smooth three-manifold with compact nonempty boundary, and the original complete data satisfy the physical dominant energy condition. The main target is end replacement; it does not itself state the final Bondi–Penrose inequality. The equality-example target keeps its stronger boundary and no-additional-horizon hypotheses.

The shared definitions are supplied by CKSBondiPenrose, CKSBondiPenrose_002. The target uses Lean 4.33.1 with the pinned Mathlib environment. Contributions should preserve the existing statement and develop reusable supporting lemmas in its definitions.

Selected references

  • OpenAI, Area-controlled end replacement and the Bondi Penrose inequality in the CKS class, preprint, September 2026. Manuscript.
  • OpenAI, accompanying Lean statement. Pinned source.
4 thms1 active userReviewed
Group Theory·Captain: marwahaha

Parabolic intersections in Artin groupsOpen Problem

Motivation

Standard generator subsets define natural subgroups in an Artin group. The source asks whether arbitrary conjugates of these subgroups remain in the same class after intersection. The source is OpenAI's September 2026 manuscript.

Setting

A standard parabolic subgroup is generated by a subset of the standard generators. A parabolic subgroup is any conjugate of one. There is no requirement that its Coxeter subgroup be finite.

Formalization targets

gAXg−1∩hAYh−1=kAZk−1for some Z⊆S, k∈AM.gA_Xg^{-1}\cap hA_Yh^{-1}=kA_Zk^{-1}\quad\text{for some }Z\subseteq S,\ k\in A_M.gAX​g−1∩hAY​h−1=kAZ​k−1for some Z⊆S, k∈AM​.

The theorem, which is admitted in the source with a placeholder proof, states the following for a Coxeter matrix M on a finite, linearly ordered index set S, with Artin(M) the Artin group presented on generators S by the braid relations: the word of alternating generators s,t,s,... of length M(s,t) equals the alternating word beginning with t, for each pair s,t. For any two subsets X and Y of S and any two elements g and h of Artin(M), there exist a subset Z of S and an element k of Artin(M) such that the intersection of the two conjugate subgroups g P_X g⁻¹ and h P_Y h⁻¹ equals k P_Z k⁻¹. Here P_T is the standard parabolic subgroup generated by the images of the generators in T, and conjugation by g is the subgroup whose members x satisfy g⁻¹xg in P. There is no spherical-type or other restriction on M, so the intersection of two conjugates of standard parabolic subgroups is itself a conjugate of a standard parabolic subgroup.

The goal is OAI.HarmonicArtin.ParabolicIntersections.unconditional_parabolic_intersections. Supporting targets are listed below; they retain their individual hypotheses and are separate statements.

  • unconditional arbitrary intersections.
  • unconditional nonclique dynamics.
  • unconditional parabolic closure.

Significance

The selected goal is closure under binary intersection. Attached results also give arbitrary intersections controlled by at most the rank many members, unique parabolic closure, and dynamics for irreducible non-clique groups. The manuscript presents a mathematical argument; the attached goal currently has status Open, so the requested contribution is a Lean proof of the displayed formal target.

Difficulty

Conjugation obscures the standard generating subsets, so intersecting XXX and YYY alone does not describe the subgroup intersection. The target must produce both a new subset and a new conjugating element.

Formalization scope

The generating type is finite and linearly ordered. The Coxeter-matrix convention encodes an infinite label by zero. The dynamics milestone has additional irreducibility and non-clique assumptions; those are not imposed on the intersection theorem.

The shared definitions are supplied by ArtinParabolicIntersections. The target uses Lean 4.33.1 with the pinned Mathlib environment. Contributions should preserve the existing statement and develop reusable supporting lemmas in its definitions.

Selected references

  • OpenAI, Parabolic intersections in Artin groups, preprint, September 2026. Manuscript.
  • OpenAI, accompanying Lean statement. Pinned source.
5 thms1 active userReviewed
Algebraic TopologyGroup Theory·Captain: marwahaha

Harmonic heights and the Artin K(pi,1) conjectureOpen Problem

Motivation

A classifying-space problem asks whether a natural complex captures a group without additional higher homotopy. The source addresses the finite-rank Artin problem through the lifted spherical-cell complex. The source is OpenAI's September 2026 manuscript.

Setting

An Artin group is presented by alternating braid relations from a Coxeter matrix. A subset of generators is spherical when its associated Coxeter parabolic subgroup is finite. Lifted cells pair a group element with such a subset, with incidence determined by reduced coset words.

Formalization targets

ContractibleSpace⁡(SalvettiCover⁡(M))for every Coxeter matrix M on finite S.\operatorname{ContractibleSpace}(\operatorname{SalvettiCover}(M))\qquad\text{for every Coxeter matrix }M\text{ on finite }S.ContractibleSpace(SalvettiCover(M))for every Coxeter matrix M on finite S.

For every Coxeter matrix M indexed by a finite type S of standard generators, the topological space SalvettiCover(M) is contractible. The Artin group Artin(M) is the free group on S modulo the braid relators, one for each ordered pair (s,t): the alternating word s t s t ... of length M(s,t) times the inverse of the alternating word t s t s ... of the same length. A subset T of S is spherical when the standard parabolic subgroup of the Coxeter group generated by the simple reflections in T is finite. A lifted cell is a pair (a,T) of an Artin group element and a spherical subset. One lifted cell (a,T) is a face of (b,U) when T is contained in U and there is a word w in letters of U that is reduced in the Coxeter group (its Coxeter length equals the word length), is of minimal length in its coset with respect to the parabolic subgroup generated by T, and satisfies a = b times the image of w in the Artin group. The preorder on lifted cells is the reflexive transitive closure of this face relation, and SalvettiCover(M) is the geometric realization, as a topological space, of the nerve of that preorder viewed as a category.

The goal is OAI.HarmonicArtin.salvetti_cover_contractible.

Significance

The goal makes the full topological realization contractible, rather than only asserting vanishing of a selected homotopy group. It supplies a precise target for the covering-space component of the source. The manuscript presents a mathematical argument; the attached goal currently has status Open, so the requested contribution is a Lean proof of the displayed formal target.

Difficulty

Local spherical pieces need not automatically fit into a globally contractible realization. The face relation and its transitive closure must retain the interaction between Artin words and Coxeter length.

Formalization scope

SalvettiCover is the geometric realization of the nerve of the lifted-cell preorder. The generator type is finite but need not be equipped with a chosen enumeration. The mission preserves this published model instead of substituting a different complex.

The shared definitions are supplied by HarmonicArtin. The target uses Lean 4.33.1 with the pinned Mathlib environment. Contributions should preserve the existing statement and develop reusable supporting lemmas in its definitions.

Selected references

  • OpenAI, Harmonic heights and the Artin K(pi,1) conjecture, preprint, September 2026. Manuscript.
  • OpenAI, accompanying Lean statement. Pinned source.
2 thms1 active userReviewed
Mathematical PhysicsProbabilityRandom Matrix Theory·Captain: marwahaha

All-temperature pressure for orthogonally invariant Ising spin glassesOpen Problem

Motivation

An Ising spin system probes a quadratic form only on cube vertices. The source asks whether random orthogonal eigenvectors allow its pressure to be determined by the limiting eigenvalue distribution at every positive temperature. The source is OpenAI's September 2026 manuscript.

Setting

The pressure is the normalized logarithm of the average Boltzmann weight under the uniform spin prior. Eigenvectors are Haar orthogonal, and the deterministic empirical eigenvalue laws converge weakly to a compactly supported probability law. The variational formula uses an edge-extended spectral transform.

Formalization targets

EPN(β)→Vβ,PN(β)→Vβ almost surely(β>0).\mathbb E P_N(\beta)\to\mathcal V_\beta,\qquad P_N(\beta)\to\mathcal V_\beta\ \text{almost surely}\qquad(\beta>0).EPN​(β)→Vβ​,PN​(β)→Vβ​ almost surely(β>0).

For a spin system on N Ising spins σ ∈ {−1,1}^N, the rotated pressure for eigenvalues λ₁,…,λ_N, an orthogonal rotation U and a field c is (1/N) times the log of the average over all 2^N spin configurations of exp(H(σ)), where H(σ) = (1/2)∑ᵢ λᵢ (Uσ)ᵢ² + ∑ᵢ cᵢσᵢ. The theorem states that, for any probability space (Ω,P), random N×N orthogonal matrices U_N that are measurable and whose laws are right-invariant under multiplication (Haar-type), and any deterministic eigenvalue arrays (eig_N,i), the following holds under these assumptions: ν is a probability measure on ℝ whose support lies in [a,b] and contains both a and b; for every ε>0, eventually in N all eigenvalues lie in [a−ε,b+ε]; the empirical spectral laws (1/N)∑ᵢ δ_{eig_N,i} converge weakly to ν; and the inverse temperature β is strictly positive. Then, with eigenvalues β·eig_N,i, rotation U_N(ω)⁻¹ and zero external field, the expected rotated pressure ∫ pressure dP converges as N → ∞, and the pressure itself converges for P-almost every ω, in both cases to the real part of the variational functional of the measureR transform of the β-rescaled law of ν, evaluated at the edge β·b.

The goal is OAI.InvariantIsing.positive_temperature_pressure_unconditional. Supporting targets are listed below; they retain their individual hypotheses and are separate statements.

  • gaussianPattern ground limit unconditional.
  • gaussianPattern norm limits unconditional.
  • gaussianPattern pressure limit unconditional.
  • ground state limit unconditional.
  • limiting pressure of extreme limits unconditional.
  • limiting wasserstein field pressure of extreme limits unconditional.
  • random field pressure tendsto ae unconditional.
  • random pressure limit unconditional.
  • random pressure tendsto ae unconditional.
  • random pressure tendsto in measure unconditional.

Significance

The selected goal is the all-positive-temperature zero-field pressure theorem. The attached results also cover field laws, random spectra, Gaussian-pattern pressure and ground energy, and related norm limits under their stated assumptions. The manuscript presents a mathematical argument; the attached goal currently has status Open, so the requested contribution is a Lean proof of the displayed formal target.

Difficulty

Weak spectral convergence does not control rare extreme eigenvalues. The explicit no-outlier condition is essential to the selected statement’s comparison with the limiting spectral functional.

Formalization scope

The spin prior is uniform probability, and temperature is implemented by multiplying eigenvalues by β\betaβ. The no-outlier condition holds eventually within every enlargement of the limiting support interval. Almost-sure convergence and expectation convergence are both conclusions; other attached variants keep their own uniform-integrability and field hypotheses.

The shared definitions are supplied by InvariantIsing. The target uses Lean 4.33.1 with the pinned Mathlib environment. Contributions should preserve the existing statement and develop reusable supporting lemmas in its definitions.

Selected references

  • OpenAI, All-temperature pressure for orthogonally invariant Ising spin glasses, preprint, September 2026. Manuscript.
  • OpenAI, accompanying Lean statement. Pinned source.
12 thms1 active userReviewed
Linear algebraTheoretical Computer Science·Captain: marwahaha

Complex Matrix Multiplication Below 2.258 and Rectangular BoundsOpen Problem

Motivation

Rectangular matrix products arise when the two outer dimensions are much larger than the inner dimension. The dual exponent records the largest inner growth rate compatible with arithmetic exponent two. The source manuscript presents the surrounding research claim.

Setting

For k∈[0,1], ω_ℂ(1,k,1) is the infimum of exponents for multiplying an n×⌈nᵏ⌉ matrix by a ⌈nᵏ⌉×n matrix over ℂ. The dual exponent α is the supremum of k for which this infimum equals two.

Formalization target

Prove the strict bound

αC>93200=0.465.\alpha_{\mathbb C}>\frac{93}{200}=0.465.αC​>20093​=0.465.

The additional published rectangular endpoint asserts ω_ℂ(1,709/1000,1)<523/250=2.092.

The selected formal target is OAI.MatrixMultiplication.complex_alpha_gt_93_div_200.

Significance and status

Strictness is part of both statements. The supplied goal concerns the complex dual exponent; the manuscript title’s square bound and broader field claims are not attached formal targets. The published target is currently Open; the manuscript's argument and a checked Lean proof are separate deliverables.

Difficulty

An algorithm for one size does not establish an asymptotic exponent. The definition quantifies over every positive slack and all positive sizes with one bound constant for each slack.

Formalization scope

Algorithms are division-free arithmetic programs with constants and input gates of cost zero and addition, subtraction and multiplication of cost one. Correctness is quantified over all input matrices. The dual exponent is a real supremum of exact exponent-two shapes, using the prescribed inner-dimension ceiling.

Selected references

  • OpenAI, Complex Matrix Multiplication Below 2.258 and Rectangular Bounds, preprint, 2026. Pinned manuscript.
  • OpenAI, accompanying formal statements, commit adc7f1241b42. Goal source.
3 thms1 active userReviewed
AnalysisHarmonic Analysis·Captain: marwahaha

Riesz transforms and uniform rectifiability in higher codimensionOpen Problem

Motivation

Singular integral estimates can detect geometric regularity in a measure whose support has no given parametrization. The mission turns a uniform Riesz-transform bound into uniform pieces of Lipschitz images. The source manuscript presents the surrounding research claim.

Setting

Let μ be a regular measure in ℝᵈ, with d≥4 and 2≤n≤d−2. Ahlfors–David regularity means that μ(B(x,r)) is comparable to rⁿ on its support at admissible radii. Hard-truncated Riesz transforms use the kernel (x−y)/|x−y|^(n+1), excluding distances at most ε.

Formalization target

With fixed dimension and bounds C_AD,C_R, prove that there exist θ>0 and M≥0 such that every eligible μ satisfies

μ(B(x,r)∩range⁡g)≥θrn\mu(B(x,r)\cap\operatorname{range}g)\ge\theta r^nμ(B(x,r)∩rangeg)≥θrn

for some M-Lipschitz map g from the open n-dimensional radius-r ball, at every support point and admissible radius.

The selected formal target is OAI.RieszRectifiability.quantitative_higher_codimension_riesz_rectifiability.

Significance and status

The constants θ and M are uniform across the entire class of measures with the prescribed analytic bounds. This is the exact quantitative ball-image conclusion. The published target is currently Open; the manuscript's argument and a checked Lean proof are separate deliverables.

Difficulty

Individual rectifiable pieces with constants depending on μ do not yield this quantifier order. The Riesz bound ranges over every positive hard truncation and every scalar L² input.

Formalization scope

Ambient space is EuclideanSpace ℝ (Fin d). Radii are positive and bounded by the extended support diameter. The hypothesis uses μ.Regular, nonnegative Riesz constants, MemLp and eLpNorm; the conclusion uses the actual measure of the intersection with a Lipschitz image. No endpoint codimensions are included.

Selected references

  • OpenAI, Riesz transforms and uniform rectifiability in higher codimension, preprint, 2026. Pinned manuscript.
  • OpenAI, accompanying formal statements, commit adc7f1241b42. Goal source.
2 thms1 active userReviewed
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