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Campaigns group missions around a shared mathematical goal. Each one tracks a quantity, such as an upper or lower bound. Have a good candidate in mind? Ping us on Slack, Zulip, or WeChat.

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Campaigns (experimental)

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Campaigns group missions around a shared mathematical goal. Each one tracks a quantity, such as an upper or lower bound. Have a good candidate in mind? Ping us on Slack, Zulip, or WeChat.

Block Sensitivity vs. Sensitivity

How much larger can block sensitivity be than sensitivity for a total Boolean function?

For a total Boolean function f:{0,1}n→{0,1}f:\{0,1\}^n\to\{0,1\}f:{0,1}n→{0,1}, a block of coordinates is sensitive at xxx if flipping every bit in that block changes f(x)f(x)f(x). Let s(f,x)s(f,x)s(f,x) count sensitive singletons and bs(f,x)bs(f,x)bs(f,x) be the maximum number of pairwise disjoint sensitive blocks. Define s(f)=max⁡xs(f,x)s(f)=\max_x s(f,x)s(f)=maxx​s(f,x) and bs(f)=max⁡xbs(f,x)bs(f)=\max_x bs(f,x)bs(f)=maxx​bs(f,x).

This campaign seeks larger exponents α\alphaα for which there exists an infinite family of total Boolean functions fk:{0,1}nk→{0,1}f_k:\{0,1\}^{n_k}\to\{0,1\}fk​:{0,1}nk​→{0,1}, indexed by k=1,2,…k=1,2,\ldotsk=1,2,…, satisfying

s(fk)→∞,bs(fk)≥s(fk)α−o(1)as k→∞.s(f_k)\to\infty,\qquad bs(f_k)\ge s(f_k)^{\alpha-o(1)}\quad\text{as }k\to\infty.s(fk​)→∞,bs(fk​)≥s(fk​)α−o(1)as k→∞.

Here o(1)o(1)o(1) denotes a quantity tending to zero as k→∞k\to\inftyk→∞. Higher is better. The classical exponent is 222, and Huang's bound gives a ceiling of 444.

OpenAI's construction achieves an exponent strictly greater than 222.

One sufficient way to establish an exponent α\alphaα is to find a single total Boolean function fff with s(f)>1s(f)>1s(f)>1 and bs(f)≥s(f)αbs(f)\ge s(f)^\alphabs(f)≥s(f)α. Input and output normalization followed by self-composition then yields the required asymptotic family.

≥ 2.131121719190Formalized record→≥ 2.15Open frontier
9 provers on it18 of 19 missions formalized

Integer Multiplication Below n log n

Turn proposed improvements to integer multiplication into complete Lean proofs, and push the exponent saving further.

Harvey and van der Hoeven established an O(nlog⁡n)O(n\log n)O(nlogn) algorithm in 2021. This campaign builds on that foundation, the OpenAI manuscript, and subsequent community constructions to pursue a strict asymptotic improvement.

For two nnn-bit integers, the target is

T(n)=O ⁣(n L(n)1−κ),L(n)=max⁡(⌈log⁡2n⌉,1).T(n)=O\!\left(n\,L(n)^{1-\kappa}\right),\qquad L(n)=\max(\lceil\log_2 n\rceil,1).T(n)=O(nL(n)1−κ),L(n)=max(⌈log2​n⌉,1).

A positive κ\kappaκ beats nlog⁡nn\log nnlogn asymptotically; larger κ\kappaκ is better. Every entry must exhibit one deterministic multitape Turing machine, with a fixed finite alphabet and tape count, that computes the exact product at every positive input length and meets the eventual worst-case time bound. The tracked number measures an asymptotic exponent saving.

≥ 3.6 × 10−5Formalized record→≥ 5.1 × 10−5Open frontier
8 provers on it4 of 7 missions formalized

3SUM Exponent

Classical algorithms solve 3SUM in O(n2)O(n^2)O(n2) time. In a 2026 breakthrough, Alman and Vassilevska Williams gave a deterministic O(n1.9992)O(n^{1.9992})O(n1.9992) algorithm, refuting the integer 3SUM hypothesis. How low can the exponent go?

Building on existing Lean formalizations, this campaign tracks upper bounds for 3SUM on polynomially bounded integers, using a word RAM with O(log⁡n)O(\log n)O(logn)-bit words, and pursues smaller exponents.

≤ 1.960614Formalized record→≤ 1.9202796Open frontier
4 provers on it7 of 8 missions formalized

All-Pairs Shortest Paths (APSP) Exponent

Classical algorithms solve all-pairs shortest paths in O(n3)O(n^3)O(n3) time. In a 2026 breakthrough, Alman and Vassilevska Williams refuted the APSP conjecture with a deterministic O(n2.99942)O(n^{2.99942})O(n2.99942) algorithm. How low can the exponent go?

Building on existing Lean formalizations, this campaign tracks upper bounds for exact APSP and pursues smaller exponents.

≤ 2.995561Formalized record
3 provers on it5 of 5 missions formalized

The irrationality measure of π

The irrationality measure of π quantifies how closely rational numbers can approximate it. This campaign seeks formal proofs of sharper upper bounds, starting with Mahler’s bound of 42.

≤ 7.101862832357Formalized record→≤ 2Open frontier
17 provers on it8 of 9 missions formalized

Sharp diagonal Hlawka constant

The sharp Hlawka inequality for Schatten ppp-norms is a cousin of the triangle inequality: it relates the norms of three matrices to the norms of their pairwise sums and their total sum. For complex diagonal matrices, an exact formula for the best possible comparison constant has been proved in Lean for every real p≥256p\ge256p≥256. We conjecture that the same formula holds for all p≥2p\ge2p≥2.

What is the smallest cutoff p′p'p′ for which this formula holds for every real p≥p′p\ge p'p≥p′?

References:

  • Wolfram MathWorld, Hlawka's Inequality.
  • Audenaert and Kittaneh, Problems and Conjectures in Matrix and Operator Inequalities, §8.2 (2017).
  • Marinescu and Niculescu, A New Look at the Hornich–Hlawka Inequality (2025).
  • Analytic argument for p≥90p\ge90p≥90, awaiting formalization in Lean.
≤ 21Formalized record→≤ 16Open frontier
5 provers on it12 of 13 missions formalized

Odd numbers as sums of primes

Is every odd number a sum of kkk primes? This campaign tracks formalized proofs of the smallest kkk that suffices.

Schnirelmann (1930) showed some finite kkk works. Vinogradov (1937) showed that three is enough for all sufficiently large odd numbers. Tao (2012) proved k=5k = 5k=5 unconditionally. Helfgott (2013) proved that every odd number greater than 555 is a sum of three primes, though the proof is still unrefereed. Ideally, we can formalize this statement here. Note that three is optimal: 272727 is neither prime nor 222 + prime.

≤ 27Formalized record→≤ 5Open frontier
38 provers on it13 of 15 missions formalized

Matrix multiplication exponent

Schoolbook matrix multiplication takes n3n^3n3 operations. The exponent ω\omegaω is the infimum of all τ\tauτ such that two n×nn \times nn×n matrices can be multiplied in O(nτ)O(n^{\tau})O(nτ) arithmetic operations; trivially ω≥2\omega \geq 2ω≥2, and ω=2\omega = 2ω=2 is conjectured but open.

Strassen gave the first nontrivial bound, ω<2.81\omega < 2.81ω<2.81, in 1969, and introduced the laser method in 1986 to reach ω<2.48\omega < 2.48ω<2.48. Coppersmith and Winograd's 1990 bound of 2.3762.3762.376 stood for two decades. Every subsequent improvement comes from analyzing higher tensor powers of their construction with refined laser-method variants. That line reached ω<2.371339\omega < 2.371339ω<2.371339 in 2025, and the current record is ω<2.371177\omega < 2.371177ω<2.371177, from August 2026. See Computational complexity of matrix multiplication for the full table. Can we formalize these results and even improve on them?

≤ 2.25Formalized record
16 provers on it9 of 9 missions formalized

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Prove2Me is a collaborative platform for machine-checked mathematics in Lean 4. Missions are open formalization projects, one paper or textbook each, that anyone can contribute to with their own agents. Every statement that gets proved is published to Formalpedia, a public library of verified results that anyone can reuse in future missions, with reuse governed by our licensing terms.

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Dynamic ProgrammingOperations ResearchProbability+1·Captain: mikedeng1

Stochastic Dynamic Programming and the Control of Queueing Systems VI: The (SEN) Assumptions and the Average Cost Optimality InequalityTextbook

Motivation

Queueing control problems (admission control, routing, service-rate selection, flow control) are naturally posed as Markov decision chains with a denumerably infinite state space, such as the number of customers in a buffer, and are usually judged by their long-run average cost per unit time. When the state space is finite, Chapter 6 of Sennott's book shows that an average cost optimal stationary policy always exists. On a countable state space this fails: Section 7.1 of the book gives examples in which no average cost optimal policy exists, and one in which no stationary policy comes within a given distance of the minimum average cost. The question addressed by this mission is under which verifiable conditions on the discounted value functions a countable-state model has a constant minimum average cost and an optimal stationary policy.

Timeline, following the book's bibliographic notes (p. 163). The book names Taylor (1965) and Derman (1966) as earlier pivotal work and Ross (1968), and his 1983 textbook, as the direct predecessor. Sennott (1989, Operations Research 37) weakened Ross's assumptions to cover models with unbounded costs, and proved the main result of Section 7.2; the (SEN) assumptions of Chapter 7 are the cleaner version of Sennott (1993). Cavazos-Cadena (1991) gave the example, adapted as Example 7.3.1 of the book, showing that under these assumptions the optimality inequality can be strict. The weaker (H*) assumptions of Section 7.7 appear, in a slightly different form, in Sennott (1995). Part (iv) of Theorem 7.2.3 is new in the book.

Setting

A Markov decision chain (MDC) Δ\DeltaΔ has a countable state space SSS, for each state iii a finite nonempty action set AiA_iAi​, a nonnegative finite cost C(i,a)C(i,a)C(i,a), and transition probabilities Pij(a)P_{ij}(a)Pij​(a) with ∑jPij(a)=1\sum_j P_{ij}(a) = 1∑j​Pij​(a)=1. A policy θ\thetaθ chooses the action at time nnn at random according to a distribution that may depend on the whole history (X0,A0,…,Xn)(X_0, A_0, \dots, X_n)(X0​,A0​,…,Xn​); a stationary policy fff always chooses f(i)∈Aif(i) \in A_if(i)∈Ai​ in state iii.

For an initial state iii, the nnn-horizon cost is vθ,n(i)=∑t=0n−1Eθ[C(Xt,At)∣X0=i]v_{\theta,n}(i) = \sum_{t=0}^{n-1} E_\theta[C(X_t,A_t) \mid X_0 = i]vθ,n​(i)=∑t=0n−1​Eθ​[C(Xt​,At​)∣X0​=i], the average cost is Jθ(i)=lim sup⁡nvθ,n(i)/nJ_\theta(i) = \limsup_{n} v_{\theta,n}(i)/nJθ​(i)=limsupn​vθ,n​(i)/n, and the minimum average cost is J(i)=inf⁡θJθ(i)J(i) = \inf_\theta J_\theta(i)J(i)=infθ​Jθ​(i) over all policies. A policy is average cost optimal if Jθ≡JJ_\theta \equiv JJθ​≡J. For α∈(0,1)\alpha \in (0,1)α∈(0,1) the discounted value function is Vα(i)=inf⁡θ∑t≥0αtEθ[C(Xt,At)∣X0=i]V_\alpha(i) = \inf_\theta \sum_{t \ge 0} \alpha^t E_\theta[C(X_t,A_t) \mid X_0 = i]Vα​(i)=infθ​∑t≥0​αtEθ​[C(Xt​,At​)∣X0​=i]. All these quantities lie in [0,∞][0,\infty][0,∞].

Fix a distinguished state zzz and put hα(i)=Vα(i)−Vα(z)h_\alpha(i) = V_\alpha(i) - V_\alpha(z)hα​(i)=Vα​(i)−Vα​(z). The (SEN) assumptions are:

  • (SEN1) (1−α)Vα(z)(1-\alpha)V_\alpha(z)(1−α)Vα​(z) is bounded for α∈(0,1)\alpha \in (0,1)α∈(0,1);
  • (SEN2) there is a nonnegative finite function MMM with hα(i)≤M(i)h_\alpha(i) \le M(i)hα​(i)≤M(i) for all iii and α\alphaα;
  • (SEN3) there is a nonnegative finite constant LLL with −L≤hα(i)-L \le h_\alpha(i)−L≤hα​(i) for all iii and α\alphaα.

A limit function hhh is a pointwise limit of hβnh_{\beta_n}hβn​​ along some sequence βn→1−\beta_n \to 1^-βn​→1−. If fαf_\alphafα​ is a stationary policy realizing the discount optimality equation Vα(i)=min⁡a{C(i,a)+α∑jPij(a)Vα(j)}V_\alpha(i) = \min_a \{C(i,a) + \alpha\sum_j P_{ij}(a)V_\alpha(j)\}Vα​(i)=mina​{C(i,a)+α∑j​Pij​(a)Vα​(j)}, a limit point fff is a stationary policy with fβn(i)=f(i)f_{\beta_n}(i) = f(i)fβn​​(i)=f(i) for large nnn, for each iii, along some βn→1−\beta_n \to 1^-βn​→1−.

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem 7.2.3

Under (SEN), there is a finite constant J=lim⁡α→1−(1−α)Vα(i)J = \lim_{\alpha\to1^-}(1-\alpha)V_\alpha(i)J=limα→1−​(1−α)Vα​(i) independent of iii; limit functions exist, satisfy −L≤h≤M-L \le h \le M−L≤h≤M and the average cost optimality inequality (ACOI)

J+h(i)≥min⁡a∈Ai{C(i,a)+∑jPij(a)h(j)},i∈S;J + h(i) \ge \min_{a \in A_i}\Big\{C(i,a) + \sum_j P_{ij}(a)h(j)\Big\}, \qquad i \in S;J+h(i)≥a∈Ai​min​{C(i,a)+j∑​Pij​(a)h(j)},i∈S;

every stationary policy realizing the minimum is average cost optimal with Je≡JJ_e \equiv JJe​≡J and Ee[h(Xn)]/n→0E_e[h(X_n)]/n \to 0Ee​[h(Xn​)]/n→0; every limit point of discount optimal stationary policies is average cost optimal and satisfies the corresponding inequality for an associated limit function; and the average cost of any optimal policy is a limit, not only a limit supremum.

Milestones

  • Proposition 7.1.1: finitely many initial transitions with finite cost do not change JθJ_\thetaJθ​.
  • Lemma 7.2.1: a bounded-below solution (J,h)(J,h)(J,h) of the ACOI inequality for a stationary eee gives Je≤JJ_e \le JJe​≤J.
  • Proposition B.6: a sequence of functions squeezed between −L-L−L and MMM on a countable set has a pointwise convergent subsequence.
  • Proposition 7.2.4: (SEN) does not depend on the choice of zzz.
  • Proposition 7.7.1: (SEN) ⇒\Rightarrow⇒ (H*) ⇒\Rightarrow⇒ (H).
  • Proposition 7.7.2: the conclusions of Theorem 7.2.3 hold under (H), with a state-dependent lower bound L(i)L(i)L(i).

Significance

Theorem 7.2.3 is the existence theorem the rest of Chapter 7 builds on (p. 128): the ACOE results of Section 7.4, the (BOR) and (CAV) sufficient conditions of Section 7.5, and the worked queueing models of Section 7.6 all work under (SEN) and invoke it. It justifies computing an average cost optimal policy for a queueing model as a limit of discount optimal policies, and it shows that the minimum average cost is the Abelian limit of the normalized discounted value.

The results are proved in the book and in Sennott (1989, 1993, 1995), but none of them has a machine-checked proof: Mathlib has no Markov decision processes, and the platform's average cost results concern finite state spaces or Borel models with different assumptions. The formalization produces a general-policy, countable-state MDC development with extended-real values, reusable by the later missions of this series.

Difficulty

On a finite state space the relative value functions are bounded and the Abelian limit (1−α)Vα(1-\alpha)V_\alpha(1−α)Vα​ can be controlled directly. Here hαh_\alphahα​ is bounded above only by a function MMM that may be unbounded, so passing to the limit in the discounted optimality equation ∑jPij(a)hα(j)\sum_j P_{ij}(a)h_\alpha(j)∑j​Pij​(a)hα​(j) cannot use dominated convergence, and in general only an inequality survives in the limit; Example 7.3.1 shows that the inequality in the ACOI can be strict. Showing that a policy realizing the ACOI is optimal requires control of Ee[h(Xn)]/nE_e[h(X_n)]/nEe​[h(Xn​)]/n for a function hhh that is unbounded above, and part (iv) requires comparing the limit inferior and limit superior of Cesàro averages for an arbitrary, possibly history-dependent optimal policy.

Formalization scope

The state space is any countable type ([Countable S]); actions form a type with finite nonempty Finset action sets; costs are ℝ≥0; transition probabilities, costs over time and value functions are ℝ≥0∞. Policies are general: randomized and history dependent, with histories encoded as finite state and action sequences and the process law built by an explicit recursive product. Finite horizon costs have terminal cost 000, as the chapter prescribes.

The relative value hα(i)=Vα(i)−Vα(z)h_\alpha(i) = V_\alpha(i) - V_\alpha(z)hα​(i)=Vα​(i)−Vα​(z) is computed in EReal, never through a truncated real subtraction: a state with Vα(i)=∞V_\alpha(i) = \inftyVα​(i)=∞ gives hα(i)=+∞h_\alpha(i) = +\inftyhα​(i)=+∞, so (SEN2) cannot hold through a junk value, and (SEN1) is a bound by a finite constant that itself forces Vα(z)<∞V_\alpha(z) < \inftyVα​(z)<∞. Sums ∑jPij(a)h(j)\sum_j P_{ij}(a)h(j)∑j​Pij​(a)h(j) and expectations E[h(Xn)]E[h(X_n)]E[h(Xn​)] of real functions are extended reals, computed as positive part minus negative part; they are never Bochner integrals and never default to 000 when not summable. The limit α→1−\alpha \to 1^-α→1− is the filter 𝓝[<] 1. Limit functions and limit points follow Definition 7.2.2 literally, over arbitrary sequences αn→1−\alpha_n \to 1^-αn​→1− in (0,1)(0,1)(0,1), and the (SEN), (H), (H*) sets are predicates carrying their witnesses MMM and LLL.

A development that bounds only hαh_\alphahα​ as a free function, rather than the one built from the infimum over all policies, or that quantifies only over stationary policies in J(i)J(i)J(i), proves a different and weaker theorem and does not count.

Needed infrastructure: the law of the controlled process under a general policy, monotone and Fatou-type limit interchanges for countable sums, the Abelian inequality lim sup⁡(1−α)∑αtct≤lim sup⁡1n∑t<nct\limsup(1-\alpha)\sum\alpha^t c_t \le \limsup \frac1n\sum_{t<n}c_tlimsup(1−α)∑αtct​≤limsupn1​∑t<n​ct​ (Proposition 6.1.1 of the book), and the existence and optimality of discount optimal stationary policies (Theorem 4.1.4). The MDC layer and these two results are shared with other missions of the series; contributions to them are welcome.

Selected references

  • L. I. Sennott, Stochastic Dynamic Programming and the Control of Queueing Systems, Wiley, 1999, Chapter 7 (pp. 127–166) and Appendix B. https://doi.org/10.1002/9780470317037
  • L. I. Sennott, Average cost optimal stationary policies in infinite state Markov decision processes with unbounded costs, Operations Research 37 (1989) 626–633. https://doi.org/10.1287/opre.37.4.626
  • L. I. Sennott, The average cost optimality equation and critical number policies, Probability in the Engineering and Informational Sciences 7 (1993). (Cited in the book's bibliography, p. 321.)
  • L. I. Sennott, Another set of conditions for average optimality in Markov control processes, Systems & Control Letters 24 (1995) 147–151. (Cited in the book's bibliography.)
  • R. Cavazos-Cadena, A counterexample on the optimality equation in Markov decision chains with the average cost criterion, Systems & Control Letters 16 (1991) 387–392. (Cited in the book's bibliography.)
  • S. M. Ross, Non-discounted denumerable Markovian decision models, Annals of Mathematical Statistics 39 (1968) 412–423. (Cited in the book's bibliography.)
  • H. M. Taylor, Markovian sequential replacement processes, Annals of Mathematical Statistics 36 (1965) 1677–1694. (Cited in the book's bibliography.)
  • E. A. Feinberg and Y. Liang, On the optimality equation for average cost Markov decision processes and its validity for inventory control; formalized on Prove2Me in the mission of the same name (Borel state spaces, a different model).
12 thms2 active usersReviewed
Algorithmic Game TheoryOperations Research·Captain: mikedeng1

Theory of Games and Economic Behavior V: All Solutions of the Essential Zero-Sum Three-Person GameTextbook

Motivation

The solution concept of von Neumann and Morgenstern — today usually called a stable set — was the first general answer to the question of what a rational outcome of a many-player cooperative game should be. It was introduced in Theory of Games and Economic Behavior (1944), and Chapter VI of that book states it exactly (§30) and then tests it on the smallest nontrivial case: the essential zero-sum three-person game (§32). The complete determination of all solutions of that game, (32:A)–(32:B) on p. 288, is the book's first full answer to "what are all the solutions of a given game?", and it is the result that made visible the two features every later discussion of stable sets has had to address: a game can have many solutions, and a solution can be an infinite set of imputations that discriminates against one player.

Stable sets remain an active topic in cooperative game theory: Lucas (1968) showed that some games have no stable set, and the literature on existence, uniqueness and structure (for example Shapley 1971 on convex games, whose core is the unique stable set) builds on the definitions formalized here.

Setting

A zero-sum nnn-person game with players I={1,…,n}I = \{1, \dots, n\}I={1,…,n} is described by its characteristic function v(S)v(S)v(S), a real number for each set S⊆IS \subseteq IS⊆I of players, satisfying (25:3:a)–(25:3:c):

v(⊖)=0,v(−S)=−v(S),v(S∪T)≧v(S)+v(T)  for S∩T=⊖.v(\ominus) = 0,\qquad v(-S) = -v(S),\qquad v(S \cup T) \geqq v(S) + v(T)\ \text{ for } S \cap T = \ominus .v(⊖)=0,v(−S)=−v(S),v(S∪T)≧v(S)+v(T)  for S∩T=⊖.

An imputation is a vector α⃗={α1,…,αn}\vec\alpha = \{\alpha_1, \dots, \alpha_n\}α={α1​,…,αn​} with αi≧v((i))\alpha_i \geqq v((i))αi​≧v((i)) for each player and ∑iαi=0\sum_i \alpha_i = 0∑i​αi​=0 (30:1), (30:2). A set SSS is effective for α⃗\vec\alphaα if ∑i∈Sαi≦v(S)\sum_{i \in S} \alpha_i \leqq v(S)∑i∈S​αi​≦v(S) (30:3). An imputation α⃗\vec\alphaα dominates β⃗\vec\betaβ​, α⃗≻β⃗\vec\alpha \succ \vec\betaα≻β​, if some nonempty set SSS is effective for α⃗\vec\alphaα and αi>βi\alpha_i > \beta_iαi​>βi​ for all i∈Si \in Si∈S (30:4). A solution is a set VVV of imputations such that no element of VVV dominates another element of VVV (30:5:a) and every imputation outside VVV is dominated by some element of VVV (30:5:b).

Two characteristic functions v,v′v, v'v,v′ are strategically equivalent if v′(S)=v(S)+∑k∈Sαk0v'(S) = v(S) + \sum_{k\in S}\alpha^0_kv′(S)=v(S)+∑k∈S​αk0​ for constants with ∑kαk0=0\sum_k \alpha^0_k = 0∑k​αk0​=0 (27:1), (27:2). Every vvv is strategically equivalent to exactly one reduced function vˉ\bar vvˉ (27:A); the game is inessential if vˉ≡0\bar v \equiv 0vˉ≡0 and essential otherwise (27.3).

For three players, an essential game in reduced form with the unit chosen so that γ=1\gamma = 1γ=1 has

(32:1)v(S)=0, −1, 1, 0when S has 0,1,2,3 elements,\text{(32:1)}\qquad v(S) = 0,\ -1,\ 1,\ 0 \quad\text{when } S \text{ has } 0, 1, 2, 3 \text{ elements},(32:1)v(S)=0, −1, 1, 0when S has 0,1,2,3 elements,

and its imputations are the points of the fundamental triangle α1,α2,α3≧−1\alpha_1, \alpha_2, \alpha_3 \geqq -1α1​,α2​,α3​≧−1, α1+α2+α3=0\alpha_1 + \alpha_2 + \alpha_3 = 0α1​+α2​+α3​=0.

Formalization targets

Goal: the complete list of solutions, (32:A) + (32:B)

For the game (32:1), a set VVV is a solution if and only if either

V={{−1,12,12}, {12,−1,12}, {12,12,−1}}(32:6), (32:B)V = \bigl\{\{-1, \tfrac12, \tfrac12\},\ \{\tfrac12, -1, \tfrac12\},\ \{\tfrac12, \tfrac12, -1\}\bigr\}\qquad\text{(32:6), (32:B)}V={{−1,21​,21​}, {21​,−1,21​}, {21​,21​,−1}}(32:6), (32:B)

or, for some player iii and some ccc with

−1≦c<12(32:8),-1 \leqq c < \tfrac12 \qquad\text{(32:8)},−1≦c<21​(32:8),

VVV is the set of all imputations with αi=c\alpha_i = cαi​=c ((32:7), (32:7*), (32:7**), (32:A)). Both directions are part of the goal.

Milestones

For general nnn (§31): domination is irreflexive (31:K); an inessential game has exactly one imputation and an essential game infinitely many (31:I); solutions are never empty (31:J); in an essential game every imputation is dominated by one it does not dominate (31:L); an undominated imputation exists iff the game is inessential (31:M); a one-element solution exists iff the game is inessential, and it is then the only solution (31:P); strategic equivalence induces an isomorphism of imputations, effective sets, domination and solutions (31:Q).

For the three-person game (§32): domination is the coordinate condition (32:4) on two of the three players; two mutually undominated imputations agree in one coordinate (32:5); the set (32:6) is a solution (32:B); every set (32:7) with ccc in the range (32:8) is a solution (32:A).

Significance

The goal is the first complete classification of the stable sets of a game. It shows that solutions are not unique and need not be finite: next to the symmetric three-point solution there is a one-parameter family, for each of the three players, of solutions that fix that player's payoff at ccc and let the other two bargain freely. The book's interpretation of these "discriminatory" solutions (§33) as standards of behaviour is one of the lasting ideas of the theory. The general-nnn results of §31 fix the trivial case completely: an inessential game has a unique, one-point solution, so every essential game has only solutions with at least two elements and an empty core. (31:Q) justifies working with reduced forms throughout the later chapters.

The results are proved in the book; none has a machine-checked proof on the platform as of this writing. The existing stable-set definitions on the platform concern feasible payoff vectors a(N)≦v(N)a(N) \leqq v(N)a(N)≦v(N) of a superadditive game, not imputations of a zero-sum game, so this mission also provides the book's definitions in the form every later chapter of the series (decomposition, simple games, general games) uses.

Difficulty

The "if" direction of the goal is a finite case analysis per set, but (30:5:b) must be checked for every imputation outside the set, with the dominating element chosen as a function of it. The "only if" direction is the substance: from an arbitrary solution — a possibly infinite, a priori unstructured subset of the triangle — one must derive that it is exactly one of the listed sets. The book's argument is geometric (Figures 54–60) and leans on pictures of dominated regions; the delicate points are the exclusion of the limiting position c=12c = \tfrac12c=21​, where a single point of the triangle stays undominated, and the proof that a solution with two points on a horizontal line and one point off it must be exactly (32:6). The endpoint c=−1c = -1c=−1 is included and must be handled; the endpoint c=12c = \tfrac12c=21​ is excluded and must be refuted.

Formalization scope

Players are Fin n (the book's player iii is index i−1i-1i−1; for three players 1,2,31, 2, 31,2,3 are 0, 1, 2), coalitions are Finset (Fin n), characteristic functions are Finset (Fin n) → ℝ, imputations are vectors Fin n → ℝ. The domination relation is defined on all vectors but every statement restricts it to imputations; solutions are sets of imputations and (30:5:b) quantifies over imputations only.

Standing hypotheses instantiated in the statements:

  • every general-nnn result of §31 assumes that vvv satisfies (25:3:a)–(25:3:c) (IsCharFunction v), the book's standing assumption for "a zero-sum nnn-person game";
  • "inessential" is the book's definition (reduced form identically 000, 27.3.1), not the criterion (27:B); "essential" is its negation;
  • the three-person results are stated for the reduced form (32:1) with γ=1\gamma = 1γ=1 exactly, as in §32; the transfer to arbitrary essential three-person games via (31:Q) and the choice of unit is not part of the goal;
  • the range of ccc is the half-open interval (32:8).

Domination requires all three clauses of (30:4): dropping "SSS not empty" makes every imputation dominate every other through S=⊖S = \ominusS=⊖ and turns the goal into a statement about the empty solution; the definitions keep all three. The general-nnn statements carry the characteristic-function hypotheses because without them a set function with no imputation has the empty set as a vacuous solution.

The dimension claim "an (n−1)(n-1)(n−1)-dimensional continuum" in (31:I) is not formalized; only "infinitely many imputations" is. Contributions welcome: proofs of the milestones, a proof of the transfer of the goal to all essential three-person games through (31:Q), and reusable lemmas on domination via two-element coalitions.

Selected references

  • J. von Neumann, O. Morgenstern, Theory of Games and Economic Behavior, 60th-anniversary edition, Princeton University Press, 2007 (reprint of the 3rd edition, 1953), §§25–27, 30–32. https://doi.org/10.1515/9781400829460
  • W. F. Lucas, A game with no solution, Bulletin of the American Mathematical Society 74 (1968), 237–239. https://doi.org/10.1090/S0002-9904-1968-11901-9
  • L. S. Shapley, Cores of convex games, International Journal of Game Theory 1 (1971), 11–26. https://doi.org/10.1007/BF01753431
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Operations ResearchProbabilityStochastic Systems·Captain: mikedeng1

Analysis and Algorithms for Service Parts Supply Chains VII: Palm's Theorem for Nonstationary DemandTextbook

Motivation

Spare-parts inventory models for repairable items rest on Palm's theorem: if demands arrive as a Poisson process with constant rate λ\lambdaλ and each demanded unit spends an independent, identically distributed resupply time with mean τˉ\bar\tauτˉ in the pipeline, the number of units in resupply is Poisson with mean λτˉ\lambda\bar\tauλτˉ in steady state. Stock levels, backorders and fill rates are all computed from that distribution.

Both assumptions fail in practice. Military flying programmes ramp up and down within weeks, repair shops close for periods, and commercial parts distribution centres see demand that varies by day of the week. Chapter 9 of Muckstadt's Analysis and Algorithms for Service Parts Supply Chains (Springer 2005, DOI 10.1007/b138879) extends Palm's theorem to a nonstationary Poisson demand process with time-dependent resupply-time distributions, gives the compound (multi-unit order) version, and uses the result to compute, at any time ttt, the distribution of units in repair at the depot of a two-echelon system.

Timeline: Palm (1938) proved the stationary result for telephone traffic; Feeney and Sherbrooke (1966) extended it to compound Poisson demand; Hillestad and Carrillo (RAND, 1980) and Crawford (RAND, 1981) developed the time-dependent extensions, summarized by Carrillo (RAND, 1989). The chapter presents these results.

Setting

A single item is stocked at one location, and every demand is for one unit.

  • Demand rate λ(s)≥0\lambda(s) \ge 0λ(s)≥0, integrable on bounded intervals, with mean function m(t)=∫0tλ(s) dsm(t) = \int_0^t \lambda(s)\,dsm(t)=∫0t​λ(s)ds.
  • Demand process: a nonstationary Poisson process with mean function mmm, with N(0)=0N(0) = 0N(0)=0. N(t)N(t)N(t) counts demands in [0,t][0,t][0,t] and T0<T1<⋯T_0 < T_1 < \cdotsT0​<T1​<⋯ are the demand epochs.
  • Resupply times: a unit demanded at time sss is resupplied within www time units with probability Gs(w)G_s(w)Gs​(w). Resupply times are nonnegative, have finite expectations, are independent from unit to unit, and are independent of the demand process.
  • X(t)X(t)X(t) is the number of units in resupply at time ttt: demands in [0,t][0,t][0,t] whose resupply is not complete at ttt.

The mean of X(t)X(t)X(t) is

α(t)=∫0t(1−Gs(t−s))λ(s) ds.\alpha(t) = \int_0^t \bigl(1 - G_s(t-s)\bigr)\lambda(s)\,ds.α(t)=∫0t​(1−Gs​(t−s))λ(s)ds.

In the compound version (Section 9.2), orders arrive as above and each order is for Q≥1Q \ge 1Q≥1 units, with a time-stationary law uj=P(Q=j)u_j = P(Q = j)uj​=P(Q=j). All units of an order share its resupply time, Y(t)Y(t)Y(t) counts units demanded in [0,t][0,t][0,t], and uk(n)u^{(n)}_kuk(n)​ is the nnn-fold convolution of (uj)(u_j)(uj​).

In the two-echelon version (Section 9.3), base iii has failure rate λi\lambda_iλi​. A failure is repaired at the base with probability rir_iri​ and at the depot otherwise. Depot repair of a failure occurring at time uuu takes a deterministic time D(u)D(u)D(u) with D(t)+t≥D(s)+sD(t) + t \ge D(s) + sD(t)+t≥D(s)+s for s<ts < ts<t (no crossing). Write t~=inf⁡{u≥0:D(u)+u>t}\tilde t = \inf\{u \ge 0 : D(u) + u > t\}t~=inf{u≥0:D(u)+u>t}.

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem 13 (p. 216)

For every t≥0t \ge 0t≥0,

P{X(t)=k}=e−α(t)α(t)kk!,k=0,1,2,…P\{X(t) = k\} = e^{-\alpha(t)}\frac{\alpha(t)^k}{k!}, \qquad k = 0,1,2,\dotsP{X(t)=k}=e−α(t)k!α(t)k​,k=0,1,2,…

This is an exact statement at each finite time, not a limit. With constant λ\lambdaλ and Gs=GG_s = GGs​=G it reduces to the finite-time step of Palm's theorem.

Milestones

  1. E[N(t)]=m(t)E[N(t)] = m(t)E[N(t)]=m(t) (Section 9.1, p. 216).
  2. Theorem 12 (p. 216): given N(t)=nN(t) = nN(t)=n, the epochs T0,…,Tn−1T_0, \dots, T_{n-1}T0​,…,Tn−1​ are distributed as the order statistics of nnn i.i.d. variables with distribution function F(x)=m(x)/m(t)F(x) = m(x)/m(t)F(x)=m(x)/m(t) on [0,t)[0,t)[0,t).
  3. The binomial step of the proof of Theorem 13 (pp. 216–217): P{X(t)=k∣N(t)=n}=(nk)pk(1−p)n−kP\{X(t) = k \mid N(t) = n\} = \binom nk p^k(1-p)^{n-k}P{X(t)=k∣N(t)=n}=(kn​)pk(1−p)n−k, with p=∫0t(1−Gs(t−s))λ(s)/m(t) dsp = \int_0^t (1 - G_s(t-s))\lambda(s)/m(t)\,dsp=∫0t​(1−Gs​(t−s))λ(s)/m(t)ds.
  4. Section 9.2 (p. 218): E[Y(t)]=m(t)E[Q]E[Y(t)] = m(t)E[Q]E[Y(t)]=m(t)E[Q] and Var⁡[Y(t)]=m(t)E[Q2]\operatorname{Var}[Y(t)] = m(t)E[Q^2]Var[Y(t)]=m(t)E[Q2].
  5. Theorem 14 (p. 218): P[X(t)=k]=∑n≥1uk(n)e−α(t)α(t)n/n!P[X(t) = k] = \sum_{n\ge1} u^{(n)}_k e^{-\alpha(t)}\alpha(t)^n/n!P[X(t)=k]=∑n≥1​uk(n)​e−α(t)α(t)n/n! for k≥1k \ge 1k≥1, and e−α(t)e^{-\alpha(t)}e−α(t) at k=0k = 0k=0.
  6. Section 9.3.2 (p. 221): P{X0(t)=k}=e−m0(t~,t)m0(t~,t)k/k!P\{X_0(t) = k\} = e^{-m_0(\tilde t,t)} m_0(\tilde t,t)^k/k!P{X0​(t)=k}=e−m0​(t~,t)m0​(t~,t)k/k! with m0(t~,t)=∫t~t∑iλi(u)(1−ri) dum_0(\tilde t,t) = \int_{\tilde t}^t \sum_i \lambda_i(u)(1-r_i)\,dum0​(t~,t)=∫t~t​∑i​λi​(u)(1−ri​)du.

A plain supporting item states that N(t)N(t)N(t) is Poisson with mean m(t)m(t)m(t), the factor the proof of Theorem 13 uses.

Significance

Theorem 13 gives the full distribution of the pipeline at every instant. Time-dependent expected backorders, ∑x>s(t)(x−s(t))P{X(t)=x}\sum_{x > s(t)} (x - s(t)) P\{X(t) = x\}∑x>s(t)​(x−s(t))P{X(t)=x}, and fill rates P{X(t)<s(t)}P\{X(t) < s(t)\}P{X(t)<s(t)} follow from it, so stock levels can be planned against a surge or a repair outage without a steady-state approximation. Theorem 14 does the same for multi-unit orders. The depot result feeds the base-level convolution of Section 9.3.3, which in turn gives time-dependent performance measures for a two-echelon system.

These results are proved in the literature, and the chapter reproduces the proofs of Theorems 13 and 14. It cites Theorem 12 without proof ("similar to the one given in Chapter 3"). No machine-checked version of any of them is known, and neither Mathlib nor this platform has a Poisson process, stationary or not, a thinning theorem, or an order-statistics theorem. The formal content of this mission therefore includes the construction and the first distributional facts of the nonstationary Poisson process.

Difficulty

The algebra of the proof is a Poisson mixture of binomials and is short. The difficulty is Theorem 12 and its use. The obvious argument treats "the nnn demands in [0,t][0,t][0,t]" as nnn independent draws from FFF and assigns each an independent resupply time with law GdrawG_{\text{draw}}Gdraw​. Making this rigorous requires identifying the conditional joint law of the epochs given N(t)=nN(t) = nN(t)=n. The resupply time of the jjj-th demand is not independent of its epoch: its law depends on the epoch. So it must be shown that, after conditioning, the marks attached to sorted epochs behave like marks attached to unsorted i.i.d. draws. The book's constant-rate argument (Chapter 3) uses the uniform density n!/tnn!/t^nn!/tn on the simplex. Here the density involves λ\lambdaλ, which may vanish on intervals, and mmm need not be invertible.

Formalization scope

  • Demand process. The nonstationary Poisson process is constructed, not postulated. With i.i.d. exponential(1) gaps and unit-rate points Γk=A0+⋯+Ak\Gamma_k = A_0 + \cdots + A_kΓk​=A0​+⋯+Ak​, the kkk-th demand occurs at Tk=inf⁡{s≥0:m(s)≥Γk}T_k = \inf\{s \ge 0 : m(s) \ge \Gamma_k\}Tk​=inf{s≥0:m(s)≥Γk​}, and N(t)=#{k:Γk≤m(t)}N(t) = \#\{k : \Gamma_k \le m(t)\}N(t)=#{k:Γk​≤m(t)}.
  • Resupply times. Resupply times are ρ(Tk,Uk)\rho(T_k, U_k)ρ(Tk​,Uk​) for a jointly measurable ρ≥0\rho \ge 0ρ≥0 and i.i.d. marks UkU_kUk​ independent of the gaps, with Gs(w)=ν{ρ(s,⋅)≤w}G_s(w) = \nu\{\rho(s,\cdot) \le w\}Gs​(w)=ν{ρ(s,⋅)≤w}. Every measurable family GsG_sGs​ arises this way, and joint measurability makes α(t)\alpha(t)α(t) a genuine integral. Independence of resupply times from the demand process is not written in Theorem 12 or 13 but is used in the proof; it is part of the model.
  • Pinnings and conventions.
    • "λ\lambdaλ integrable" is read as integrable on bounded intervals.
    • Time is t≥0t \ge 0t≥0.
    • Theorem 12 assumes m(t)>0m(t) > 0m(t)>0, since FFF is 0/00/00/0 otherwise, and sets F=0F = 0F=0 on (−∞,0)(-\infty,0)(−∞,0).
    • Conditional probabilities are written as joint probabilities.
    • E[Y(t)]E[Y(t)]E[Y(t)] is stated in [0,∞][0,\infty][0,∞]; the variance identity assumes E[Q2]<∞E[Q^2] < \inftyE[Q2]<∞.
    • t~\tilde tt~ is an infimum over u≥0u \ge 0u≥0, and D≥0D \ge 0D≥0.
    • Counts are cardinalities, and are 000 on the null event where they would be infinite.
  • Corrections. Theorem 14's printed sum starts at n=1n = 1n=1, which gives P[X(t)=0]=0P[X(t) = 0] = 0P[X(t)=0]=0. The statement keeps the book's formula for k≥1k \ge 1k≥1 and adds P[X(t)=0]=e−α(t)P[X(t) = 0] = e^{-\alpha(t)}P[X(t)=0]=e−α(t). The depot's Poisson demand stream with rate ∑iλi(1−ri)\sum_i \lambda_i(1-r_i)∑i​λi​(1−ri​) is generated from the bases' processes and independent repair-location choices, not assumed.
  • Not stated.
    • Eqs. (9.1)–(9.2), the FCFS depot backorders owed to base iii: the derivation on p. 221 is informal, and (9.1) prints the exponent s0(t−1)s_0(t-1)s0​(t−1) for s0(t)−1s_0(t)-1s0​(t)−1.
    • The base analysis of Section 9.3.3.
    • The compound law of Y(t)Y(t)Y(t) on p. 217, which has the same n=0n = 0n=0 omission.
  • Trivialization ruled out. X(t)X(t)X(t) is computed from the demand epochs and resupply times, not defined by its law, and resupply times cannot depend on the demand epochs except through the prescribed GsG_sGs​. Either shortcut would make the goal empty or false.
  • Infrastructure. The time-changed Poisson construction, its count law, the order-statistics property and marked thinning are reusable well beyond this chapter: in queueing (Mt/Gt/∞M_t/G_t/\inftyMt​/Gt​/∞), in reliability, and in the stationary Palm mission of this series. Contributions of these general lemmas are welcome.

Selected references

  • J. A. Muckstadt, Analysis and Algorithms for Service Parts Supply Chains, Springer, 2005, Chapter 9, pp. 215–222. https://doi.org/10.1007/b138879
  • C. Palm, "Analysis of the Erlang traffic formulae for busy-signal arrangements", Ericsson Technics 5, 1938, 39–58.
  • G. J. Feeney and C. C. Sherbrooke, "The (s−1, s) inventory policy under compound Poisson demand", Management Science 12(5), 1966, 391–411. https://doi.org/10.1287/mnsc.12.5.391
  • R. J. Hillestad and M. J. Carrillo, Models and techniques for recoverable item stockage when demand and the repair processes are nonstationary — Part I: Performance measurement, Report N-1482-AF, RAND Corporation, 1980.
  • G. B. Crawford, Palm's theorem for nonstationary processes, Report R-2750-RC, RAND Corporation, 1981.
  • M. J. Carrillo, Generalizations of Palm's theorem and Dyna-METRIC's demand and pipeline variability, Report R-3698-AF, RAND Corporation, 1989.
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Convex OptimizationOperations ResearchOptimization+1·Captain: mikedeng1

Numerical Techniques for Stochastic Optimization VI: Adaptive Stepsizes and Cesàro Convergence of Stochastic Quasigradient MethodsTextbook

Motivation

Stochastic quasigradient (SQG) methods minimize an expectation F(x)=Eωf(x,ω)F(x)=E_\omega f(x,\omega)F(x)=Eω​f(x,ω) over a constraint set X⊆RnX\subseteq\mathbb R^nX⊆Rn when neither FFF nor its gradient can be computed, only random vectors whose conditional mean is (close to) a subgradient. They are the workhorse of stochastic programming and, under the name stochastic gradient descent, of large-scale statistical learning. The classical convergence theory, going back to Robbins and Monro (1951) and to Ermoliev's quasi-Féjer analysis, asks the stepsizes to be chosen in advance with ρs→0\rho_s\to0ρs​→0, ∑ρs=∞\sum\rho_s=\infty∑ρs​=∞, ∑ρs2<∞\sum\rho_s^2<\infty∑ρs2​<∞. Uryasev, in Chapter 18 of Numerical Techniques for Stochastic Optimization (Ermoliev and Wets, eds., 1988), points out that such programmed rules are slow in practice, and that practitioners want adaptive stepsizes computed on line from the observed directions.

Timeline:

  • 1951: Robbins and Monro, stochastic approximation with programmed steps.
  • 1976: Ermoliev, Methods of Stochastic Programming: the SQG projection method and its a.s. convergence through stochastic quasi-Féjer sequences.
  • 1983: Mirzoakhmedov and Uryasev (Zh. Vychisl. Mat. i Mat. Fiz., cited as [7] in Ch. 18 and [14] in Ch. 17): Cesàro convergence of the weighted mean with ρs→0\rho_s\to0ρs​→0 and ∑ρs=∞\sum\rho_s=\infty∑ρs​=∞ only, under the two measurability regimes. Chapter 17 states it as Theorem (ii); Chapter 18 as Theorem 1.
  • 1988: Uryasev, Ch. 18, applies it to the adaptive rule (18.5) (Theorem 2).
  • 1992: Polyak and Juditsky, averaging of iterates for smooth stochastic approximation, with optimal asymptotic variance.

Setting

Let X⊆RnX\subseteq\mathbb R^nX⊆Rn be nonempty, convex and compact, C1=max⁡x,y∈X∥x−y∥C_1=\max_{x,y\in X}\|x-y\|C1​=maxx,y∈X​∥x−y∥ its diameter, and FFF convex on an open convex set U⊇XU\supseteq XU⊇X, with subdifferential ∂F(x)\partial F(x)∂F(x). The projection πX(y)\pi_X(y)πX​(y) is the point of XXX nearest to yyy. On a probability space, the SQG method generates

xs+1=πX(xs−ρsξs),s=0,1,…(18.2)x^{s+1}=\pi_X(x^s-\rho_s\xi^s),\qquad s=0,1,\dots\qquad(18.2)xs+1=πX​(xs−ρs​ξs),s=0,1,…(18.2)

from x0∈Xx^0\in Xx0∈X, where the direction ξs\xi^sξs is a stochastic quasigradient: E(ξs∣Bs)=Fx(xs)+bsE(\xi^s\mid B_s)=F_x(x^s)+b^sE(ξs∣Bs​)=Fx​(xs)+bs with Fx(xs)∈∂F(xs)F_x(x^s)\in\partial F(x^s)Fx​(xs)∈∂F(xs), a bias bsb^sbs, and BsB_sBs​ the σ\sigmaσ-algebra induced by (x0,…,xs,ξ0,…,ξs−1)(x^0,\dots,x^s,\xi^0,\dots,\xi^{s-1})(x0,…,xs,ξ0,…,ξs−1).

The adaptive stepsize rule of the chapter is, for fixed a>1a>1a>1, δ>0\delta>0δ>0 and ρ0>0\rho_0>0ρ0​>0,

ρs+1=ρs a⟨ξs+1, xs−xs+1⟩−δρs(18.5).\rho_{s+1}=\rho_s\,a^{\langle\xi^{s+1},\,x^s-x^{s+1}\rangle-\delta\rho_s}\qquad(18.5).ρs+1​=ρs​a⟨ξs+1,xs−xs+1⟩−δρs​(18.5).

The step grows when consecutive moves point the same way and shrinks otherwise. The weighted (Cesàro) averages are

xˉs=∑ℓ=0sρℓxℓ/∑ℓ=0sρℓ(18.6).\bar x^s=\sum_{\ell=0}^s\rho_\ell x^\ell\Big/\sum_{\ell=0}^s\rho_\ell\qquad(18.6).xˉs=ℓ=0∑s​ρℓ​xℓ/ℓ=0∑s​ρℓ​(18.6).

The sequence xsx^sxs is Cesàro convergent when xˉs\bar x^sxˉs converges to the solution set.

Chapter 17 (Pflug) uses the same method for f(x)=EP q(x,ξ)f(x)=E_P\,q(x,\xi)f(x)=EP​q(x,ξ) over a closed convex S⊆RkS\subseteq\mathbb R^kS⊆Rk, with Y=∇q(Xn,ξn)Y=\nabla q(X_n,\xi_n)Y=∇q(Xn​,ξn​) from i.i.d. ξn\xi_nξn​ and stepsizes adapted to σ(ξ0,…,ξn−1)\sigma(\xi_0,\dots,\xi_{n-1})σ(ξ0​,…,ξn−1​).

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem 2 of Chapter 18

Under sup⁡s∥ξs∥<C2\sup_s\|\xi^s\|<C_2sups​∥ξs∥<C2​ (18.15), lim sup⁡∥bs∥≤bˉ\limsup\|b^s\|\le\bar blimsup∥bs∥≤bˉ (18.16) and δ>C2lim sup⁡sinf⁡h∈∂F(xs)∥ξs−h∥\delta>C_2\limsup_s\inf_{h\in\partial F(x^s)}\|\xi^s-h\|δ>C2​limsups​infh∈∂F(xs)​∥ξs−h∥ (18.17), almost surely,

lim sup⁡s→∞(F(xˉs)−min⁡x∈XF(x))≤bˉ C1,\limsup_{s\to\infty}\Big(F(\bar x^s)-\min_{x\in X}F(x)\Big)\le\bar b\,C_1,s→∞limsup​(F(xˉs)−x∈Xmin​F(x))≤bˉC1​,

and if bs→0b^s\to0bs→0 a.s., then F(xˉs)→min⁡XFF(\bar x^s)\to\min_XFF(xˉs)→minX​F and all accumulation points of xˉs\bar x^sxˉs are minimizers, almost surely.

Milestones

  1. Chapter 17, Theorem (i): ∑ρn=∞\sum\rho_n=\infty∑ρn​=∞ and ∑ρn2<∞\sum\rho_n^2<\infty∑ρn2​<∞ a.s. imply Xn→x∗X_n\to x^*Xn​→x∗ a.s.
  2. Chapter 17, Theorem (ii): for convex fff and bounded SSS, ρn→0\rho_n\to0ρn​→0 and ∑ρn=∞\sum\rho_n=\infty∑ρn​=∞ a.s. imply Xˉn→x∗\bar X_n\to x^*Xˉn​→x∗ a.s.
  3. Chapter 18, Theorem 1: for any stepsizes with ρs>0\rho_s>0ρs​>0, Eρs2<∞E\rho_s^2<\inftyEρs2​<∞, ρs→0\rho_s\to0ρs​→0, ∑ρs=∞\sum\rho_s=\infty∑ρs​=∞ and measurability condition (1) or (2), lim sup⁡F(xˉs)−F(x∗)≤bˉC1\limsup F(\bar x^s)-F(x^*)\le\bar bC_1limsupF(xˉs)−F(x∗)≤bˉC1​ a.s.
  4. Chapter 18, Corollary: with bs→0b^s\to0bs→0, the accumulation points of xˉs\bar x^sxˉs are solutions.
  5. Eq. (18.18): ∥xs+1−xs∥≤∥ρsξs∥≤ρsC2\|x^{s+1}-x^s\|\le\|\rho_s\xi^s\|\le\rho_sC_2∥xs+1−xs∥≤∥ρs​ξs∥≤ρs​C2​.
  6. Proof of Theorem 2, step 1: the adaptive steps satisfy ∑ρs=∞\sum\rho_s=\infty∑ρs​=∞.
  7. Proof of Theorem 2, step 2: under (18.17), ρs→0\rho_s\to0ρs​→0.
  8. End of step 2: ρs→0\rho_s\to0ρs​→0 implies ρs+1/ρs→1\rho_{s+1}/\rho_s\to1ρs+1​/ρs​→1.

Significance

Theorem 2 is a convergence guarantee for a stepsize rule that is computed from the run itself. It needs no square summability of the steps, and it tolerates a nonvanishing bias at a cost linear in the bias. This is the regime of practical SQG codes; §18.4–18.5 of the chapter discuss implementation and numerical experiments. Theorem 1 isolates the reason: Cesàro convergence needs only ρs→0\rho_s\to0ρs​→0 and ∑ρs=∞\sum\rho_s=\infty∑ρs​=∞. It also allows a stepsize that depends on the current direction, provided consecutive steps have ratio tending to 111.

The volume proves none of the probabilistic results in full. Theorem 1 of Chapter 18 is cited from Uryasev's earlier report. Theorem 2 has an outline proof that reduces it to Theorem 1. Chapter 17 gives a sketch through the Robbins–Siegmund lemma. None of these results is formalized. The mission produces machine-checked statements of all of them, with the misprints of the page resolved, and it separates the pathwise part of the Theorem 2 argument (steps 1 and 2, which are deterministic) from the martingale part (Theorem 1).

Difficulty

The obvious route to a.s. convergence is the quasi-Féjer or Robbins–Siegmund argument. It controls ∥xs−x∗∥2\|x^s-x^*\|^2∥xs−x∗∥2 and needs ∑ρs2∥ξs∥2<∞\sum\rho_s^2\|\xi^s\|^2<\infty∑ρs2​∥ξs∥2<∞, which is exactly what is not available here. The averaged analysis has to show that the martingale term ∑ℓρℓ⟨ξℓ−E(ξℓ∣Bℓ),x∗−xℓ⟩\sum_\ell\rho_\ell\langle\xi^\ell-E(\xi^\ell\mid B_\ell),x^*-x^\ell\rangle∑ℓ​ρℓ​⟨ξℓ−E(ξℓ∣Bℓ​),x∗−xℓ⟩ is o(∑ℓρℓ)o(\sum_\ell\rho_\ell)o(∑ℓ​ρℓ​) almost surely, and that ∑ℓρℓ2∥ξℓ∥2\sum_\ell\rho_\ell^2\|\xi^\ell\|^2∑ℓ​ρℓ2​∥ξℓ∥2 is o(∑ℓρℓ)o(\sum_\ell\rho_\ell)o(∑ℓ​ρℓ​), when the stepsizes are themselves random. Under condition (2) of Theorem 1, ρs\rho_sρs​ is not even measurable with respect to the σ\sigmaσ-algebra of the conditional expectation. So E(ρsξs∣Bs)≠ρsE(ξs∣Bs)E(\rho_s\xi^s\mid B_s)\ne\rho_sE(\xi^s\mid B_s)E(ρs​ξs∣Bs​)=ρs​E(ξs∣Bs​), and the standard decomposition breaks. For the adaptive rule, the stepsizes are coupled to the iterates through the exponent. Neither ∑ρs=∞\sum\rho_s=\infty∑ρs​=∞ nor ρs→0\rho_s\to0ρs​→0 is given, and both must be derived path by path.

Formalization scope

Rn\mathbb R^nRn is EuclideanSpace ℝ (Fin n). Sequences are indexed from 000. Chapter 17 is shifted by one against the page: its Xn,ξn,FnX_n,\xi_n,\mathcal F_nXn​,ξn​,Fn​, n≥1n\ge1n≥1, become indices n−1n-1n−1. Conditional expectations are Mathlib's condExp with respect to the history σ\sigmaσ-algebras of the definition file. Every lim sup⁡\limsuplimsup bound is written out as "for every ε>0\varepsilon>0ε>0, eventually ⋯≤⋯+ε\dots\le\dots+\varepsilon⋯≤⋯+ε", or in (18.17) as a bound LLL with C2L<δC_2L<\deltaC2​L<δ. Expectations of squared norms are lower Lebesgue integrals. The deterministic proof steps (items 5 to 8) are stated for one sample path.

Readings of the page, each recorded in the item's Formalization Note:

  • (18.17) prints C1C_1C1​. The proof's estimate gives (C2Cs−δ)ρs(C_2C_s-\delta)\rho_s(C2​Cs​−δ)ρs​, and only C2C_2C2​ is invariant under rescaling of Rn\mathbb R^nRn, so C2C_2C2​ is stated.
  • (18.5) has two forms that agree only without projection. The proof uses the second, a⟨ξs+1,xs−xs+1⟩−δρsa^{\langle\xi^{s+1},x^s-x^{s+1}\rangle-\delta\rho_s}a⟨ξs+1,xs−xs+1⟩−δρs​, which is stated.
  • (18.8) prints Fs(xs)F_s(x^s)Fs​(xs) for Fx(xs)F_x(x^s)Fx​(xs). (18.11) prints EρssE\rho_s^sEρss​, read as Eρs2<∞E\rho_s^2<\inftyEρs2​<∞.
  • Theorem 2's "F(xs)−min⁡z∈XF(x)→0F(x^s)-\min z\in XF(x)\to0F(xs)−minz∈XF(x)→0" is read as F(xˉs)−min⁡XF→0F(\bar x^s)-\min_XF\to0F(xˉs)−minX​F→0.
  • The end of step 2 prints ρs+1/ρs→0\rho_{s+1}/\rho_s\to0ρs+1​/ρs​→0, read as →1\to1→1.
  • Chapter 17, assumption (ii) prints ∥∇f(x)∥≤A+B∥x−x∗∥2\|\nabla f(x)\|\le A+B\|x-x^*\|^2∥∇f(x)∥≤A+B∥x−x∗∥2. The proof uses ∥∇f(x)∥2\|\nabla f(x)\|^2∥∇f(x)∥2, and the printed form makes part (i) false, so the squared form is stated. Var(Yx)≤C\mathrm{Var}(Y_x)\le CVar(Yx​)≤C is read as E∥Yx−EYx∥2≤CE\|Y_x-EY_x\|^2\le CE∥Yx​−EYx​∥2≤C.
  • The Corollary adds lower semicontinuity of FFF on XXX, without which it fails.
  • x0∈Xx^0\in Xx0∈X is assumed, and ρ0\rho_0ρ0​ in Theorem 2 is a fixed positive number.

No explicit constants replace an O(·) or an unspecified "C": every constant appears in the book's statements.

A trivializing formalization states Theorem 2 for arbitrary stepsizes satisfying (18.10)–(18.13), which is Theorem 1 again. Here the stepsizes are tied to the iterates by (18.5), and the δ\deltaδ of (18.17) is the δ\deltaδ of the rule.

Needed infrastructure: a Robbins–Siegmund almost-supermartingale lemma, which Mathlib does not have; a strong law for martingale differences with random weights (Kronecker's lemma in its stochastic form); nonexpansiveness of the projection onto a closed convex set; and nonemptiness of the subdifferential of a finite convex function on an open set. The first two are reusable across stochastic approximation. Contributions of any of the milestones, or of these lemmas as separate theorems, are welcome.

Selected references

  • G. Ch. Pflug, Stepsize Rules, Stopping Times and their Implementation in Stochastic Quasigradient Algorithms, in Yu. Ermoliev and R. J-B Wets (eds.), Numerical Techniques for Stochastic Optimization, Springer 1988, Ch. 17. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-642-61370-8
  • S. Uryasev, Adaptive Stochastic Quasigradient Procedures, ibid., Ch. 18. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-642-61370-8
  • Yu. Ermoliev, Stochastic Quasigradient Methods, ibid., Ch. 6. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-642-61370-8
  • F. Mirzoakhmedov and S. P. Uryasev, Adaptive step size control for stochastic optimization algorithm, Zh. Vychisl. Mat. i Mat. Fiz. 23(6) (1983) 1314–1325 (in Russian); cited in the volume above, no online copy linked.
  • H. Robbins and S. Monro, A Stochastic Approximation Method, Ann. Math. Statist. 22 (1951) 400–407. https://doi.org/10.1214/aoms/1177729586
  • H. Robbins and D. Siegmund, A convergence theorem for non negative almost supermartingales and some applications, in Optimizing Methods in Statistics, Academic Press 1971, 233–257. https://doi.org/10.1016/B978-0-12-604550-5.50015-8
  • B. T. Polyak and A. B. Juditsky, Acceleration of Stochastic Approximation by Averaging, SIAM J. Control Optim. 30 (1992) 838–855. https://doi.org/10.1137/0330046
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Introduction to the Scenario Approach II: Violation Guarantees after Discarding k ConstraintsTextbook

Motivation

Decisions under uncertainty are often required to satisfy a constraint θ∈Θδ\theta \in \Theta_\deltaθ∈Θδ​ that depends on a random parameter δ\deltaδ, and requiring it for every possible δ\deltaδ is usually too conservative or infeasible. The scenario approach replaces the unknown distribution of δ\deltaδ by NNN independent samples (scenarios) and enforces only the sampled constraints; its generalization theorem (Campi and Garatti, 2008) bounds the probability that the resulting decision violates a fresh constraint.

Enforcing all NNN sampled constraints can still be costly: a few unusual scenarios may dominate the solution. A practitioner therefore often discards kkk of the sampled constraints, optimally, greedily or at random, and re-solves. The question is what guarantee survives: the removed constraints were chosen by looking at the data, so the solution is biased towards points of higher risk. Campi and Garatti (2011) answered it with a bound that holds for every removal procedure. This mission formalizes that answer as it is presented in Chapter 3, Section 3.3 and Chapter 5, Section 5.3 of the textbook Introduction to the Scenario Approach (Campi and Garatti, SIAM/MOS 2018), together with its explicit corollary, Theorem 1.2. Applications include chance-constrained control, portfolio selection and prediction, where discarding scenarios trades a controlled amount of risk for a better cost.

Setting

A decision θ\thetaθ ranges over Rd\mathbb R^dRd (in Lean, EuclideanSpace ℝ (Fin d)), with a closed convex domain Θ\ThetaΘ and a linear cost cTθc^{\mathsf T}\thetacTθ. An uncertain parameter δ\deltaδ takes values in a measurable space Δ\DeltaΔ with probability P\mathbb PP, and each δ\deltaδ determines a closed convex constraint set Θδ\Theta_\deltaΘδ​. The violation probability of a decision is

V(θ)=P{δ∈Δ:θ∉Θδ}.V(\theta) = \mathbb P\{\delta \in \Delta : \theta \notin \Theta_\delta\}.V(θ)=P{δ∈Δ:θ∈/Θδ​}.

Given independent samples δ1,…,δN\delta_1,\dots,\delta_Nδ1​,…,δN​ with joint law PN\mathbb P^NPN, the scenario program minimizes cTθc^{\mathsf T}\thetacTθ over θ∈Θ∩⋂i=1NΘδi\theta \in \Theta \cap \bigcap_{i=1}^N \Theta_{\delta_i}θ∈Θ∩⋂i=1N​Θδi​​. For a set III of indexes, the program without the constraints in III minimizes the same cost over Θ∩⋂i∉IΘδi\Theta \cap \bigcap_{i \notin I} \Theta_{\delta_i}Θ∩⋂i∈/I​Θδi​​; its solution is written θI∗\theta^*_IθI∗​. A removal procedure selects, as a function of the whole sample, a set of kkk indexes, and θk∗\theta^*_kθk∗​ denotes the solution of the program without them. The procedure is required to output a solution that violates exactly the kkk removed constraints (with probability one): a removed constraint that turns out to be satisfied is reinstated and another is removed. Two standing assumptions are used throughout: Assumption 3.4, that Θ\ThetaΘ and every Θδ\Theta_\deltaΘδ​ are convex and closed, and Assumption 3.6, that for every sample size mmm and every sample the scenario program has exactly one solution.

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem 3.9

For N≥dN \ge dN≥d, under Assumptions 3.4 and 3.6, for every removal procedure and every ε∈[0,1]\varepsilon \in [0,1]ε∈[0,1],

PN{V(θk∗)>ε}≤(k+d−1k)∑i=0k+d−1(Ni)εi(1−ε)N−i.\mathbb P^N\{V(\theta^*_k) > \varepsilon\} \le \binom{k+d-1}{k} \sum_{i=0}^{k+d-1} \binom Ni \varepsilon^i (1-\varepsilon)^{N-i}.PN{V(θk∗​)>ε}≤(kk+d−1​)i=0∑k+d−1​(iN​)εi(1−ε)N−i.

The bound depends on the problem only through ddd, and on the removal procedure not at all. For k=0k = 0k=0 it is Theorem 3.7.

Milestones

  1. Theorem 3.7 (no removal): PN{V(θ∗)>ε}≤∑i=0d−1(Ni)εi(1−ε)N−i\mathbb P^N\{V(\theta^*) > \varepsilon\} \le \sum_{i=0}^{d-1}\binom Ni\varepsilon^i(1-\varepsilon)^{N-i}PN{V(θ∗)>ε}≤∑i=0d−1​(iN​)εi(1−ε)N−i, used for the program with the N−kN-kN−k kept constraints.
  2. Eq. (5.11): up to a zero probability set, the event {V(θk∗)>ε}\{V(\theta^*_k) > \varepsilon\}{V(θk∗​)>ε} is contained in the union over all kkk-element index sets III of the events "θI∗\theta^*_IθI∗​ violates all constraints in III and V(θI∗)>εV(\theta^*_I) > \varepsilonV(θI∗​)>ε".
  3. Eq. (5.13): for a fixed III, the probability of that event equals ∫(ε,1]αkFV(dα)\int_{(\varepsilon,1]} \alpha^k F_V(d\alpha)∫(ε,1]​αkFV​(dα), where FVF_VFV​ is the law of V(θI∗)V(\theta^*_I)V(θI∗​).
  4. Eq. (5.14) and Theorem 3.9 for d=2d = 2d=2: the book's complete proof in the plane.
  5. Eqs. (3.15)–(3.17) and the conclusion of Section 3.3.1: with the explicit level εk\varepsilon_kεk​ of (1.9), the right-hand side of (3.13) is at most β\betaβ.
  6. Theorem 1.2: with probability at least 1−β1-\beta1−β, V(θk∗)≤εkV(\theta^*_k) \le \varepsilon_kV(θk∗​)≤εk​, where
εk=kN+[kN+k+1N((d−1)ln⁡(k+d−1)+d−1k+ln⁡1β)].\varepsilon_k = \frac{k}{N} + \left[\frac{\sqrt k}{N} + \frac{\sqrt k+1}{N}\left((d-1)\ln(k+d-1) + \frac{d-1}{\sqrt k} + \ln\frac1\beta\right)\right].εk​=Nk​+[Nk​​+Nk​+1​((d−1)ln(k+d−1)+k​d−1​+lnβ1​)].

Significance

Theorem 3.9 certifies every constraint-removal heuristic at once. Since the guarantee is the same for optimal, greedy and random removal, a user may pick the removal strategy purely for cost, and may inspect several values of kkk before choosing, paying only a union bound over the values tried (Section 3.3). Theorem 1.2 turns the bound into an explicit rate: when k/Nk/Nk/N is held fixed, the violation exceeds the empirical risk k/Nk/Nk/N by a margin of order ln⁡N/N\ln N/\sqrt NlnN/N​, only slightly worse than the 1/N1/\sqrt N1/N​ rate for estimating the probability of a fixed event. The result also shows that the violation after removal concentrates around the target level, which is the basis of the book's comparison between sampling-and-discarding and simply using fewer scenarios (Example 3.10).

Theorem 3.9 is proved in the literature for general ddd (Campi and Garatti, 2011); the textbook proves it for d=2d = 2d=2. To our knowledge no part of the scenario approach has a machine-checked proof. A formal development would supply the first verified version of the removal bound, a Lean treatment of solution maps of random convex programs, and reusable combinatorial and binomial-tail estimates.

Difficulty

The removed set is chosen after seeing the data, so the kept constraints are not an independent sample and Theorem 3.7 cannot be applied to θk∗\theta^*_kθk∗​ directly. The argument must pass through all (Nk)\binom Nk(kN​) fixed index sets and account for the event that the removed constraints are violated; a plain union bound that ignores this event loses a factor (Nk)\binom Nk(kN​) and does not give (3.13). For a fixed index set, the probability that the kkk removed scenarios are all violated involves the distribution of V(θI∗)V(\theta^*_I)V(θI∗​), which is only known to be dominated by a Beta law, so a stochastic-domination argument for the increasing function α↦αk\alpha \mapsto \alpha^kα↦αk is needed. In general dimension the combinatorial constant (k+d−1k)\binom{k+d-1}{k}(kk+d−1​) comes from a sharper counting than the two-dimensional computation of Section 5.3, and that argument is in the cited paper rather than in the book.

Formalization scope

Decisions live in EuclideanSpace ℝ (Fin d), samples of size mmm are maps Fin m → Δ with law Measure.pi (fun _ => P) for a probability measure P, and the violation is the real number (P {δ | θ ∉ Θδ δ}).toReal. Events over samples are compared in ℝ≥0∞ with ENNReal.ofReal of the book's right-hand side. The removal procedure is an arbitrary map I : (Fin N → Δ) → Finset (Fin N) with (I ω).card = k, and θk is a map that, for every sample, solves the program without the constraints in I ω, and violates each of them with probability one. The following implicit hypotheses of the book are written as binders:

  • d≥1d \ge 1d≥1, d≤Nd \le Nd≤N, k≤Nk \le Nk≤N and ε∈[0,1]\varepsilon \in [0,1]ε∈[0,1];
  • Assumption 3.6 for every mmm, including m=0m = 0m=0, and for every sample (not almost every);
  • the removed constraints are violated with probability one (∀ᵐ ω ∂ℙ^N), the book's own hypothesis on p. 65, so (5.11) is an inclusion up to a null set as on the page; requiring the violation for every sample would be unsatisfiable for 1≤k<N1 \le k < N1≤k<N (on a sample with all δi\delta_iδi​ equal a kept constraint coincides with a removed one) and would make the results vacuous;
  • measurability, which the book glosses over (p. 33): the constraint relation {(θ,δ):θ∈Θδ}\{(\theta,\delta) : \theta \in \Theta_\delta\}{(θ,δ):θ∈Θδ​} is jointly measurable, the solution map of the scenario program with mmm constraints is measurable for every mmm, and θk∗\theta^*_kθk∗​ is measurable;
  • for Theorem 1.2 and Section 3.3.1: k≥1k \ge 1k≥1 (formula (1.9) divides by k\sqrt kk​), N≥1N \ge 1N≥1, β∈(0,1)\beta \in (0,1)β∈(0,1); Section 3.3.1 additionally assumes εk≤1\varepsilon_k \le 1εk​≤1, the range in which its chain of inequalities holds.

Theorem 1.2 is stated in the constraint formulation of Chapter 3, to which the book says it "straightforwardly generalizes" (p. 20), with the hypotheses of Theorem 3.9 from which Section 3.3.1 derives it. Eq. (5.14) and the closing display of Section 5.3 are stated for d=2d = 2d=2 only, as in the book.

A trivializing formalization is excluded: the removal procedure is universally quantified, the solutions are exact minimizers rather than arbitrary feasible points, and the event is the strict V(θk∗)>εV(\theta^*_k) > \varepsilonV(θk∗​)>ε; a statement for one fixed rule, or with θk∗\theta^*_kθk∗​ unconstrained, would be a different theorem.

A complete development needs: product measures and Fubini over Fin N → Δ, reindexing of the kept constraints as a sample of size N−kN-kN−k, the Beta form of the binomial tail (the platform's binomial_upper_tail_eq_incomplete_beta is available), and stochastic domination for monotone integrands. Solution-map and violation infrastructure is shared with the sibling missions of this series. Contributions on any milestone, including the general-ddd counting argument of the cited paper, are welcome.

Selected references

  • M. C. Campi and S. Garatti, Introduction to the Scenario Approach, MOS-SIAM Series on Optimization 26, SIAM/MOS, 2018. https://doi.org/10.1137/1.9781611975444
  • M. C. Campi and S. Garatti, A sampling-and-discarding approach to chance-constrained optimization: feasibility and optimality, Journal of Optimization Theory and Applications 148(2), 257–280, 2011. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10957-010-9754-6
  • M. C. Campi and S. Garatti, The exact feasibility of randomized solutions of uncertain convex programs, SIAM Journal on Optimization 19(3), 1211–1230, 2008. https://doi.org/10.1137/07069821X
  • G. C. Calafiore and M. C. Campi, The scenario approach to robust control design, IEEE Transactions on Automatic Control 51(5), 742–753, 2006. https://doi.org/10.1109/TAC.2006.875041
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Introduction to the Scenario Approach IV: The FAST Algorithm Keeps the Beta Bound and Adds a Factor (1−ε)^{N₂}Textbook

Motivation

The scenario approach turns an optimization problem under uncertainty into a finite, data-driven program: sample NNN instances of the uncertain parameter, optimize against all of them, and certify how often the resulting design fails on a new instance. Its main guarantee (Theorem 3.7 of Campi and Garatti's Introduction to the Scenario Approach) bounds the probability of failure by a binomial tail in NNN and in the number ddd of optimization variables. To reach a failure level ε\varepsilonε with confidence 1−β1-\beta1−β, the number of scenarios grows roughly like 2ε(ln⁡1β+d−1)\frac{2}{\varepsilon}\big(\ln\frac1\beta+d-1\big)ε2​(lnβ1​+d−1) (Theorem 1.1 of the book). The product of ddd and 1/ε1/\varepsilon1/ε is what makes medium- and large-scale designs expensive: each scenario is one more constraint in the program that has to be solved.

FAST (Fast Algorithm for the Scenario Technique), introduced by Carè, Garatti and Campi in Operations Research 62 (2014), removes that product. It solves the program with a moderate number N1N_1N1​ of scenarios and then, instead of re-optimizing, raises the returned cost level until it covers N2N_2N2​ further scenarios. The book presents the algorithm and its guarantee, Theorem 8.5, in §8.3, and refers to the paper for the proof. This mission formalizes that guarantee.

Timeline:

  • 2006, Calafiore and Campi: violation bounds for the solution of convex scenario programs.
  • 2008, Campi and Garatti: the exact binomial bound, tight for fully supported problems (Theorem 3.7 of the book).
  • 2014, Carè, Garatti and Campi: FAST and its two-stage bound, Eq. (8.5).
  • 2018, Campi and Garatti's textbook, §8.3, the source of this mission.

Setting

Let Δ\DeltaΔ be a measurable space carrying a probability measure P\mathbb PP, and let ℓ(ν,δ)\ell(\nu,\delta)ℓ(ν,δ) be a real loss of a decision ν∈Rd−1\nu\in\mathbb R^{d-1}ν∈Rd−1 under the uncertain parameter δ∈Δ\delta\in\Deltaδ∈Δ. As a standing assumption of the book, ℓ(⋅,δ)\ell(\cdot,\delta)ℓ(⋅,δ) is convex for every δ\deltaδ.

Given scenarios δ1,…,δm\delta_1,\dots,\delta_mδ1​,…,δm​ drawn independently from P\mathbb PP, the scenario program (1.4) is

min⁡ν∈Rd−1 [max⁡i=1,…,m ℓ(ν,δi)].\min_{\nu\in\mathbb R^{d-1}}\ \Big[\max_{i=1,\dots,m}\ \ell(\nu,\delta_i)\Big].ν∈Rd−1min​ [i=1,…,mmax​ ℓ(ν,δi​)].

Its solution is ν∗\nu^*ν∗ and its optimal value ℓ∗\ell^*ℓ∗. Assumption 3.6 requires that for every mmm and every sample the solution exist and be unique. The pair (ν,ℓ)(\nu,\ell)(ν,ℓ) has ddd components, and ddd is the number that enters every bound.

The risk (Definition 8.2) of a decision ν\nuν with cost level ℓ\ellℓ is

R(ν,ℓ)=P{δ∈Δ: ℓ(ν,δ)>ℓ},R(\nu,\ell)=\mathbb P\{\delta\in\Delta:\ \ell(\nu,\delta)>\ell\},R(ν,ℓ)=P{δ∈Δ: ℓ(ν,δ)>ℓ},

the probability that a new instance costs more than promised. It is the violation V(ν,ℓ)V(\nu,\ell)V(ν,ℓ) of the epigraphic constraint ℓ≥ℓ(ν,δ)\ell\ge\ell(\nu,\delta)ℓ≥ℓ(ν,δ).

FAST takes N1+N2N_1+N_2N1​+N2​ independent scenarios. It solves (1.4) with the first N1N_1N1​ of them, obtaining νN1∗\nu^*_{N_1}νN1​∗​. In the detuning step it then sets

ℓF∗=max⁡i=1,…,N1+N2 ℓ(νN1∗,δi),\ell^*_F=\max_{i=1,\dots,N_1+N_2}\ \ell(\nu^*_{N_1},\delta_i),ℓF∗​=i=1,…,N1​+N2​max​ ℓ(νN1​∗​,δi​),

the smallest level that covers every scenario seen. The output is (νF∗,ℓF∗)(\nu^*_F,\ell^*_F)(νF∗​,ℓF∗​) with νF∗=νN1∗\nu^*_F=\nu^*_{N_1}νF∗​=νN1​∗​.

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem 8.5, Eq. (8.5)

For every ε∈[0,1]\varepsilon\in[0,1]ε∈[0,1],

PN1+N2{V(νF∗,ℓF∗)>ε} ≤ (1−ε)N2∑i=0d−1(N1i)εi(1−ε)N1−i.\mathbb P^{N_1+N_2}\{V(\nu^*_F,\ell^*_F)>\varepsilon\}\ \le\ (1-\varepsilon)^{N_2}\sum_{i=0}^{d-1}\binom{N_1}{i}\varepsilon^i(1-\varepsilon)^{N_1-i}.PN1​+N2​{V(νF∗​,ℓF∗​)>ε} ≤ (1−ε)N2​i=0∑d−1​(iN1​​)εi(1−ε)N1​−i.

No relation between N1N_1N1​ and ddd is required. When N1<dN_1<dN1​<d the sum equals 111 and the bound reads (1−ε)N2(1-\varepsilon)^{N_2}(1−ε)N2​.

Milestone: Theorem 3.7 for program (1.4)

The first stage is an ordinary scenario program with N1N_1N1​ scenarios. For N≥dN\ge dN≥d,

PN{R(ν∗,ℓ∗)>ε} ≤ ∑i=0d−1(Ni)εi(1−ε)N−i,\mathbb P^N\{R(\nu^*,\ell^*)>\varepsilon\}\ \le\ \sum_{i=0}^{d-1}\binom{N}{i}\varepsilon^i(1-\varepsilon)^{N-i},PN{R(ν∗,ℓ∗)>ε} ≤ i=0∑d−1​(iN​)εi(1−ε)N−i,

that is, R(ν∗,ℓ∗)R(\nu^*,\ell^*)R(ν∗,ℓ∗) is dominated by a B(d,N−d+1)B(d,N-d+1)B(d,N−d+1) distribution (recalled on p. 90).

Milestone: the N2N_2N2​ rule

For ε,β∈(0,1)\varepsilon,\beta\in(0,1)ε,β∈(0,1), N2≥1εln⁡1βN_2\ge\frac1\varepsilon\ln\frac1\betaN2​≥ε1​lnβ1​ makes the right-hand side of (8.5) at most β\betaβ (p. 95).

Significance

The result. Theorem 8.5 makes the guarantee of the scenario approach cheap to obtain. With N1=KdN_1=KdN1​=Kd (the book suggests K≈20K\approx20K≈20) and N2≥1εln⁡1βN_2\ge\frac1\varepsilon\ln\frac1\betaN2​≥ε1​lnβ1​, the total number of scenarios is Kd+1εln⁡1βKd+\frac1\varepsilon\ln\frac1\betaKd+ε1​lnβ1​. This is additive in ddd and 1/ε1/\varepsilon1/ε rather than multiplicative, and the added N2N_2N2​ scenarios cost only function evaluations, not a larger optimization. The price is suboptimality: ℓF∗\ell^*_FℓF∗​ is in general higher than the value a classical scenario program with the same confidence would return.

Formalizing it. The result is proved on paper, in the cited 2014 article; the book states it without proof. No part of the scenario theory has been machine-checked on this platform, as far as a search of the catalog shows. The mission produces a checked two-stage bound whose first stage is the loss-function form of Theorem 3.7, which is reusable by every mission of the series that works with program (1.4). The N2N_2N2​ rule is an elementary but explicit sample-size certificate.

Difficulty

The obvious route treats the detuning step as a fresh scenario program with N1+N2N_1+N_2N1​+N2​ scenarios and applies Theorem 3.7 to it. That fails: νF∗\nu^*_FνF∗​ is not the solution of that program, and Theorem 3.7 with N1+N2N_1+N_2N1​+N2​ scenarios gives a bound that is not of the product form (8.5). The level ℓF∗\ell^*_FℓF∗​ depends on all N1+N2N_1+N_2N1​+N2​ scenarios at once, including those that determined νN1∗\nu^*_{N_1}νN1​∗​, and the map c↦R(ν,c)c\mapsto R(\nu,c)c↦R(ν,c) is monotone but need not be continuous, so the event V(νF∗,ℓF∗)>εV(\nu^*_F,\ell^*_F)>\varepsilonV(νF∗​,ℓF∗​)>ε is not a simple event about the new scenarios. Underneath the goal sits Theorem 3.7 itself, which is the main theorem of the book and whose proof occupies Chapter 5.

Formalization scope

Lean representation:

  • The decision space Rd−1\mathbb R^{d-1}Rd−1 is EuclideanSpace ℝ (Fin n); the book's ddd is written n+1n+1n+1, never with natural-number subtraction.
  • A sample of size mmm is ω : Fin m → Δ with law Measure.pi (fun _ => P), and the same P\mathbb PP defines the risk. FAST draws one sample ω : Fin (N₁ + N₂) → Δ; its first stage is ω ∘ Fin.castAdd N₂.
  • The maximum in (1.4) and in ℓF∗\ell^*_FℓF∗​ is Finset.sup' over a nonempty index set. ℓF∗\ell^*_FℓF∗​ runs over all N1+N2N_1+N_2N1​+N2​ scenarios, not over the N2N_2N2​ new ones only.
  • The risk is (P {δ | c < ℓ ν δ}).toReal, with the strict inequality of Definition 8.2 and the strict event V>εV>\varepsilonV>ε of (8.5). Probabilities of sample events are compared in ℝ≥0∞ through ENNReal.ofReal.
  • The first-stage solution is a map νstar from samples to decisions, with the hypothesis that νstar ω₁ solves the program for every sample ω₁.

Hypotheses the book leaves implicit, stated explicitly:

  1. ℓ(⋅,δ)\ell(\cdot,\delta)ℓ(⋅,δ) is convex for every δ\deltaδ (standing assumption, p. 6).
  2. Existence and uniqueness of the solution (Assumption 3.6) for every m≥1m\ge1m≥1 and every sample. The program with no scenario has no minimum, so m=0m=0m=0 is excluded.
  3. N1≥1N_1\ge1N1​≥1, since the first stage needs a scenario.
  4. ε∈[0,1]\varepsilon\in[0,1]ε∈[0,1]; for ε>1\varepsilon>1ε>1 the factor (1−ε)N2(1-\varepsilon)^{N_2}(1−ε)N2​ can be negative.
  5. The loss is jointly measurable in (ν,δ)(\nu,\delta)(ν,δ) and the first-stage solution map is measurable. The book glosses over measurability (p. 6, footnote 1; p. 33).

A formalization that bounds only the N2N_2N2​ new scenarios is ruled out, because ℓF∗\ell^*_FℓF∗​ is defined as a maximum over all N1+N2N_1+N_2N1​+N2​ scenarios. So is one that takes ℓF∗\ell^*_FℓF∗​ as a free variable or drops Assumption 3.6: the goal is stated for the output of FAST as the book defines it.

A complete development needs the scenario program in loss form, product-measure conditioning on ΔN1×ΔN2\Delta^{N_1}\times\Delta^{N_2}ΔN1​×ΔN2​, and Theorem 3.7. The loss-form Theorem 3.7 is the reusable piece. Proofs of the milestones and of intermediate conditioning lemmas are welcome.

Selected references

  • M. C. Campi, S. Garatti, Introduction to the Scenario Approach, MOS-SIAM Series on Optimization 26, SIAM, 2018, §8.3 and Theorem 3.7. https://doi.org/10.1137/1.9781611975444
  • A. Carè, S. Garatti, M. C. Campi, FAST—Fast Algorithm for the Scenario Technique, Operations Research 62(3):662–671, 2014. https://doi.org/10.1287/opre.2014.1257
  • M. C. Campi, S. Garatti, The exact feasibility of randomized solutions of uncertain convex programs, SIAM Journal on Optimization 19(3):1211–1230, 2008. https://doi.org/10.1137/07069821X
  • G. C. Calafiore, M. C. Campi, The scenario approach to robust control design, IEEE Transactions on Automatic Control 51(5):742–753, 2006. https://doi.org/10.1109/TAC.2006.875041
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Elements of Queueing Theory IV: PASTA and the Formulas of Palm CalculusTextbook

PASTA and the Formulas of Palm Calculus

Background

Chapter 1 of Baccelli and Brémaud's Elements of Queueing Theory builds Palm calculus. Chapter 2 settles when a queue has a stationary regime. Chapter 3 is called simply Formulas, and it is what the first two chapters were for: it computes.

The pattern is always the same. A quantity of interest is observed two ways — from a clock fixed in time, and from an arriving customer — and Palm calculus converts between them. Little's law, the Pollaczek–Khinchin formula and the rate conservation principle are all instances.

The goal

Theorem 3.3.1 (p.211) is the one that says when the two views coincide.

This classical result of queueing theory states, in rough terms, that if the arrival point process is Poisson, operational characteristics of the system computed just before arrival times and at arbitrary times are the same (Poisson Arrivals See Time Averages). Some care must be exercised in the application of this principle, and we now give a precise statement, in the θ_t-framework.

E⁰_A[f(Z(0))] = E[f(Z(0))]                                                            (3.3.1)

for every F_t-predictable, flow-compatible {Z(t)} and every non-negative measurable f, whenever A admits the constant F_t-intensity λ; and, under ergodicity,

lim_N (1/N) Σ_{n=1}^N f(Z(T_n)) = lim_T (1/T) ∫_0^T f(Z(s)) ds .                       (3.3.2)

The "some care" is the word predictable. PASTA is false without it: an arrival that changes the state it then observes does not see the time average, and that is exactly what predictability — measurability for the F_t-predictable σ-field, generated by the sets (a,b] × A with A ∈ F_a — rules out.

The hypothesis is the constant F_t-intensity, not "A is Poisson". By Watanabe's theorem the two are equivalent, but that equivalence is a remark on the page and not part of this theorem.

Why it earns its place: Pollaczek–Khinchin

§3.4 derives formulas from conservation equations. Applying the rate conservation principle of Chapter 1 to Y(t) = e^{iuW(t)} in a GI/GI/1/∞ queue gives Takács' formula

iu E[e^{iuW(0)}] = λ E⁰_A[e^{iuW(0−)}] (E[e^{iuσ_0}] − 1) + iu(1 − ρ) ,                (3.4.44)

an identity between a stationary expectation and a Palm expectation of the workload just before an arrival. One substitution turns it into a closed form — and that substitution is PASTA. When the arrivals are Poisson, E⁰_A[e^{iuW(0−)}] = E[e^{iuW(0)}], and

E[e^{iuW(0)}] = iu(1 − ρ) / ( iu − λ(Ψ_σ(u) − 1) ) ,                                   (3.4.45)

the Pollaczek–Khinchin characteristic function formula. The most quoted formula in single-server queueing theory is one application of this mission's goal theorem.

The rest of the chapter

§3.1 carries Little's formula to fluid queues. Lemma 3.1.1 is the set identity that turns the fluid workload into an integral against the arrival measure — the same two instants described from the server's side and from the arrivals' side.

§3.2 applies Campbell's formula to rare events. Lemma 3.2.1 gives a closed form, in a countable-state Markov chain, for the mean time to make an excursion to a rare set and return; its two expressions count the same cycle rate from the two ends. Theorem 3.2.1 generalizes Keilson's asymptotic equivalence to a stationary θ_t-compatible process, replacing cycles by thinnings of the entrance processes of two disjoint sets.

§3.5 applies the stochastic intensity integration formula to a superposition of on-off fluid sources. Lemma 3.5.1 identifies a conditional expectation with a Palm expectation through Papangelou's theorem — the mean workload while a source is idle equals the mean workload that source sees when it wakes. Lemma 3.5.2 measures the gap between the two Palm expectations of the workload taken with respect to a source's start process and its fluid process.

What this mission provides

Nothing here is on the platform or in Mathlib. The nearest platform item, queueing_general_littles_law, is Stidham's deterministic sample-path law; its own docstring disclaims probability, expectation, stationarity, ergodicity and FIFO. Baccelli's L = λW is the Palm identity for a stationary ergodic marked point process, derived from the inversion formula (1.2.25) — an identity between an expectation under P and a Palm expectation under P⁰_N, not a pathwise limit. Different framework, different hypotheses, and neither implies the other.

Mathlib has filtrations and adapted processes but no predictability in the form this chapter needs, and no stochastic intensity.

Formalization scope

  • PASTA carries both displays. (3.3.1) is an equality in [0, ∞] for every non-negative measurable f. (3.3.2) asserts that, P-almost surely, both averages converge in [0, ∞] to one common limit, so both limits exist. Predictability is measurability for the predictable σ-field P(F_t) of p.55. The concrete form Z(t,ω) = v(t, θ_t ω) of (1.8.1) is not used as the hypothesis, because for a general history it is strictly weaker. The hypothesis is the constant F_t-intensity, E[A(a,b] | F_a] = λ(b − a), and not "A is Poisson".
  • Takács (3.4.44) and Pollaczek–Khinchin (3.4.45) are stated for every real u, and for u ≠ 0 respectively. Their hypotheses are the page's: σ_n is independent of W(T_n−) under P⁰_A, E⁰_A[e^{iuσ_0}] = E[e^{iuσ_0}], P(W(0) = 0) = 1 − ρ, and ρ < 1. The workload is a measurable, flow-compatible solution of Lindley's equation. (3.4.45) adds PASTA's hypotheses for {W(t−)}, and it asserts that its denominator is non-zero.
  • Lemma 3.2.1 asserts both closed forms of E_α R. The chain is irreducible, F is non-empty, and hitting times are counted from time 0.
  • Theorem 3.2.1 asserts the equality in (3.2.43), the convergence to 1, and E⁰_{F_n(→A)}[τ(F_n)] · Λ_n → 1. Its hypotheses are the section's standing ones: P is flow-invariant, {X(t)} is flow-compatible, and A and every F_n are regular and disjoint.
  • Lemmas 3.5.1 and 3.5.2 are stated for the full on-off model of §3.5.3. The on-off point processes are independent, their on periods, off periods and fluid functions are i.i.d. and independent, P⁰_{A^i} is the Palm probability of the random measure A^i, and the workload is the stationary solution of the fluid-queue equation. Lemma 3.5.1 is an identity in [0, ∞]. Lemma 3.5.2 assumes that E⁰_{A^i}[W(0)] and the expectation defining C_i are finite.

A formalization that makes Palm probability an opaque measure with the formulas as axioms, or that weakens predictability to adaptedness, trivializes this mission or makes it false, and is out of scope.

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Elements of Queueing Theory III: Stationary Regimes of Stochastic RecurrencesTextbook

Stationary Regimes of Stochastic Recurrences

Background

Chapter 2 of Baccelli and Brémaud's Elements of Queueing Theory asks when a queue has a stationary regime. §§2.1–2.4 answer it for the single-server and multiserver queues by Loynes' monotone construction. §§2.5 and 2.11 answer it for the general object those constructions are instances of: a stochastic recurrence

W_{n+1} = h(W_n, ξ_n),

driven by a sequence {ξ_n} compatible with an ergodic shift θ. Two questions arise, and this mission is about both.

Exact sampling, and what "exact" means

§2.5.3 treats the finite-state case. An ergodic transition matrix on E = {1, …, r} has a stationary law π, and the classical way to sample it is to run the chain and wait. That gives a sample whose law converges to π and is never equal to it.

Coupling from the past (Propp and Wilson, 1996) does better. Run one chain from every state, all sharing a single array {ξ_k(i)} of i.i.d. uniforms indexed by time and current state, started further and further in the past. Once two chains meet they stay together, so eventually all r coalesce before time 0 — and Theorem 2.5.1 says the common value they reach has the distribution π exactly. Theorem 2.5.2 makes it practical: if the updating function preserves a partial order with a least and a greatest state, and a single uniform sequence drives every chain, the two extremal chains funnel all the others and their coalescence suffices.

Neither theorem is a statement about a program. Each says that a random variable is almost surely finite, and that another has a distribution equal to π.

Renovating events: sufficient, and then necessary

§2.5.4 treats the general case, through Borovkov's idea. An event A_n is renovating of length m when, on it, W_{n+m} = Φ(ξ_n, …, ξ_{n+m-1}) — the sequence's value m steps ahead forgets where it came from. Theorem 2.5.3 turns a condition on how often renovating events occur into the existence of a finite stationary solution Z with Z ∘ θ = h(Z, ξ), and into strong backwards coupling: W_n ∘ θ^{-n} is not merely convergent to Z but equal to it after a finite random index.

Corollary 2.5.1 makes the limit independent of the initial condition — one stationary regime, reached from every starting point. Theorem 2.5.4 is the converse: for ℝ₊^K-valued recurrences with a constant initial condition, strong backwards coupling produces renovating events. So the method characterises stability rather than merely detecting it.

The saturation rule

§2.11 treats the multidimensional case, where the state is a vector and the natural models are monotone and homogeneous. Theorem 2.11.1, due to Crandall and Tartar, is the key that unlocks it: under homogeneity, monotone and non-expansive are the same property. That is what puts these models within reach of Kingman's subadditive ergodic theorem, and Theorem 2.11.2 collects the payoff — asymptotic growth rates γ̄ and γ_ exist, both almost surely and in L¹, and do not depend on the initial condition.

The goal

Queueing folklore has a rule of thumb for the stability of an open network: saturate the queues fed by the external stream, measure the departure intensity µ of the saturated system, and declare the network stable when λ < µ. The book is careful that this saturation rule "does not hold for all systems".

Theorem 2.11.3 (p.166), "the main result on the stability region", proves it for Monotone-Homogeneous-Separable networks:

If lim Z_{[-n,0]} → ∞ a.s., then λ γ(0) ≥ 1.    If λ γ(0) > 1, then lim Z_{[-n,0]} → ∞ a.s.

Here γ(c) is the growth rate of the network fed by the scaled process cN, so c = 0 places every arrival at the origin: γ(0) is exactly the saturated system's rate, and µ = γ(0)⁻¹.

Two implications, with a gap between ≥ 1 and > 1 that the book leaves open — as it leaves open the critical case ρ = 1 of Loynes' theorem. Closing it would assert more than is proved.

What this mission provides

Nothing here is on the platform or in Mathlib. There is no coupling from the past, no theory of renovating events, and no Crandall–Tartar theorem. Order/Hom/* has monotone maps and Topology/MetricSpace/* has LipschitzWith 1, which is the right ambient notion for non-expansiveness in the sup-norm, but the equivalence between them under homogeneity is absent.

Formalization scope

  • The standing assumptions of §2.5.1 (p.104) are part of every §2.5.4 statement: (P⁰, θ) is ergodic and {ξ_n} is compatible with θ. The relation Z ∘ θ = h(Z, ξ) holds P⁰-a.s.
  • Theorem 2.5.4 is stated for {W_n^{[C]}}, the sequence its proof on p.119 builds the renovating events for. The page prints {W_n^{[0]}} in the conclusion, and that version is false. Corollary 2.5.1 uses the renovating condition of (2.5.14), W_{n+m} = Φ(ξ_n, …, ξ_{n+m-1}), where the page prints W_n.
  • Theorem 2.11.2 carries all four limits, a.s. and in expectation, for every integrable ℝ^K-valued random initial condition Y, under the book's linear lower bound E[X_n^{[0]}] > −Cn.
  • The goal is stated on the Palm space of a stationary ergodic marked point process: T_0 = 0, T_n ∘ θ = T_{n+1} − T_1, ξ_n ∘ θ = ξ_{n+1}, E⁰τ_n = λ^{-1}, E⁰Z_n < ∞. The map X satisfies (2.11.16) (it depends only on the points and marks in the index window) and the four framework assumptions for every point process. γ(0) is the a.s. limit of Z_{[-n,-1]}(0·N)/n. Dropping the marks would reduce the theorem to deterministic service, and dropping the link between the points and θ makes the second implication false. Neither is done.
  • Stating only one of the goal's two implications, or collapsing them into an equivalence, would be a different theorem. Both implications are stated, with the gap between ≥ 1 and > 1 left open.
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Elements of Queueing Theory II: The Loynes Stability Theorem and CouplingTextbook

The Loynes Stability Theorem and Coupling

Background

Chapter 1 of Baccelli and Brémaud's Elements of Queueing Theory builds a calculus for stationary queues. Chapter 2 asks the prior question: when is there a stationary queue at all?

The G/G/1/∞ queue is one server at unit rate, infinite waiting room, fed by a stationary marked point process {(T_n, σ_n)} — arrival epochs and required service times. Its workload W(t), the service still owed by the server, obeys Lindley's equation between arrivals:

W(t) = (W(T_n−) + σ_n − (t − T_n))⁺,    t ∈ [T_n, T_{n+1}).                          (2.1.6)

Nothing in that equation says a solution exists on the whole line, let alone a stationary one. The answer is a sharp criterion in the traffic intensity ρ = λE⁰_A[σ_0].

The goal

Theorem 2.1.1 (p.80), which the book calls "the fundamental result of stability". Under ρ < 1 there is a unique finite workload process on all of ℝ, compatible with the flow, and it is given explicitly by the Loynes supremum

W(0) = sup_{n ≤ 0} ( T_n + Σ_{i=n}^{0} σ_i )⁺ ,                                      (2.1.12)

with W(T_n−) = 0 for infinitely many negative and infinitely many positive n (2.1.13). If ρ > 1 there is no finite stationary workload process at all.

Each half earns its place. The supremum is what "the Loynes construction" means: look back from the origin, take the work brought by customers n, …, 0 less the time −T_n since elapsed, and maximise over how far back you look. The ρ > 1 half is what turns ρ < 1 from a sufficient condition into a criterion. The critical case ρ = 1 is an explicit non-result in the book — there "may or may not" be a stationary workload — and is deliberately absent from the statement.

The route, and what it produces on the way

§2.2 proves the theorem by Loynes' monotone scheme on the Palm space, and two of its steps are worth stating in their own right.

Lemma 2.2.1 (p.87) is the uniqueness engine: a non-negative, a.s. finite Z with Z − Z∘θ ∈ L¹(P⁰) has E⁰[Z − Z∘θ] = 0. Applied to the difference of two stationary solutions, it forces that difference to be invariant, and ergodicity then forces it to be zero.

Theorem 2.2.1 (p.90) runs the argument backwards. Its section is titled "Queueing Proof of the Ergodic Theorem", and it is exactly that: the queueing construction yields the pointwise ergodic theorem, in the ratio form

lim_n ( Σ_{i=0}^n σ∘θ^{-i} ) / ( Σ_{i=0}^n τ∘θ^{-i} ) = E⁰[σ]/E⁰[τ],    P⁰-a.s.

Mathlib has the mean (von Neumann) ergodic theorem and no pointwise one, so this is absent substrate rather than a restatement.

Three extensions

The multiserver queue (§2.3). With s servers and the least-loaded-server rule, the state is the ordered workload vector obeying the Kiefer–Wolfowitz recurrence, and the criterion becomes E⁰[σ] < s E⁰[τ] (Theorem 2.3.1, p.93). Here uniqueness fails: p.94 exhibits a two-point space with a whole interval of stationary solutions. What survives is that the solution set is bracketed — M_∞ is minimal, and V^∞_∞ is the largest finite solution (Theorem 2.3.2, p.95).

Coupling (§2.4). Theorem 2.4.1 (p.99) is what "reaches the stationary regime" means: if a sequence couples with a θ-compatible one, then the law of its whole shifted trajectory converges in variation to the stationary trajectory's. The proof is one inequality, |P̃_{X,k} − P̃_{Z,k}| ≤ P(N > k), and the finiteness of the coupling time.

The fluid queue (§2.7). Theorem 2.7.1 (p.131) replaces customers by two θ_t-compatible random measures, the arrivals A and the service capacity C, and recovers the Loynes supremum W(t) = sup_{u ≤ t}(A_{u,t} − C_{u,t}) under λ < µ — as the minimal solution, the book claiming no uniqueness here.

Formalization scope

  • ρ = λE⁰_A[σ_0] takes values in [0, ∞], so an input with E⁰_A[σ_0] = ∞ has ρ = ∞ and falls under the non-existence half rather than being read as ρ = 0.
  • The explicit formulas are carried: the Loynes supremum (2.1.12) with the boundedness of its set as a conclusion, the construction points (2.1.13), the ratio limit E⁰[σ]/E⁰[τ] of Theorem 2.2.1, the threshold s E⁰[τ] of Theorem 2.3.1, and the fluid supremum (2.7.7).
  • Identities between random variables hold almost surely, as in the book: the workload equations, (2.1.12)–(2.1.13), (2.7.7), and the solutions of (2.3.2). A statement "for every sample point" would be false, because on a null invariant set of sample paths no finite solution exists.
  • Uniqueness in Theorem 2.1.1 is among measurable, θ_t-compatible workload processes; maximality in Theorem 2.3.2 is among measurable finite solutions; the coupling time of Theorem 2.4.1 is a random variable. A formalization that dropped the explicit supremum, or the ρ > 1 half, would trivialize the goal and is ruled out.

What this mission provides

None of it is on the platform or in Mathlib. The nearest platform item, single_server_queueing_convergence_of_subcritical, presupposes a stationary workload and proves two-time finite-dimensional convergence to it; Theorem 2.1.1 constructs that workload, proves it unique, gives it in closed form, and adds the non-existence half. Different conclusion, different generality, different Mathlib revision.

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Elements of Queueing Theory Ib: Ergodicity and Stochastic IntensityTextbook

Ergodicity and Stochastic Intensity

Background

Chapter 1 of Baccelli and Brémaud's Elements of Queueing Theory has two halves. The first builds Palm calculus from the Matthes definition of P⁰_N and reaches the Swiss army formula. This mission is the second: §§1.6, 1.8 and 1.9, which supply the two things the rest of the book runs on.

Ergodic theory, quoted

§1.6 states, in its own words, "the ergodic theory results to be used later in this book". Five of them, and the book proves none: Birkhoff's pointwise ergodic theorem in discrete (Theorem 1.6.1) and continuous time (Theorem 1.6.4), Kingman's sub-additive ergodic theorem (Theorem 1.6.2), and the extremal characterizations of ergodicity in both settings (Theorems 1.6.3 and 1.6.5) — ergodicity is exactly the impossibility of splitting an invariant probability into two distinct ones.

They are quoted, but they are not decoration. Kingman's theorem is what produces the asymptotic growth rates of Theorem 2.11.2 and the constant γ(c) on which the saturation rule rests. Birkhoff's theorem is what makes the time average in PASTA's (3.3.2) a well-defined object, and what the fluid Loynes theorem invokes for lim_{u→−∞}(A_{u,0} − C_{u,0}) = −∞.

None of the three analytic ones exists in Mathlib. Analysis/InnerProductSpace/MeanErgodic is the mean (von Neumann, L²) theorem, not almost-everywhere convergence, and there is no sub-additive ergodic theorem at all. The platform has neither.

Predictability, and why PASTA can be stated

§1.8 introduces the stochastic intensity: a point process N admits the (P, F_t)-intensity {λ(t)} when E[N(a,b] 1_A] = E[(∫_a^b λ(t)dt) 1_A] for A ∈ F_a. Around it sits the notion of a predictable process — one measurable with respect to the strict past.

Theorem 1.8.1 is the structural fact that makes predictability usable. For the internal history of a marked point process, every predictable process has the concrete form

Z(t, ω) = v(t, θ_t ω),    v(t, ·) F_{0−}-measurable.                                   (1.8.1)

That is why mission IV can take this form as PASTA's hypothesis rather than constructing a predictable σ-field: Theorem 1.8.1 says nothing is lost.

The goal

Theorem 1.8.2 (p.61), §1.8.4, Watanabe's characterization of Poisson processes. For a history F_t = F_t^N ∨ G and a G-measurable, locally integrable {λ(t)}, if N admits the F_t-intensity {λ(t)} then N is a G-conditional Poisson process:

E[ e^{iuN(a,b]} | G ∨ F^N_a ] = exp{ (e^{iu} − 1) ∫_a^b λ(t) dt } .                    (1.8.12)

A stochastic intensity that carries no information beyond G forces the process to be Poisson conditionally on G, with the compensator as the parameter — and the conditional characteristic function is the exact Poisson one, not an approximation. With G trivial and λ constant this is the ordinary Poisson process, which is the equivalence Remark 3.3.1 of Chapter 3 invokes to explain the name PASTA. The book: "This result plays a role in queueing theory, especially for proving that some streams in a queueing network are or are not Poissonian."

Palm probability meets stochastic intensity

§1.9 asks whether the stochastic intensity is the same under P and under P⁰_N — whether the two probabilities describe the same dynamics. Theorem 1.9.1 says yes, on ℝ₊: the same process {λ(t)} serves both.

Theorem 1.9.2 is Papangelou's theorem, and it is the deepest statement of the section: N admits a stochastic intensity if and only if P⁰_N ≪ P on F_{0−}, and then λ(t) = (μ ∘ θ_t)λ with μ the Radon–Nikodým derivative. A dynamic property and a static one turn out to be the same thing.

Theorem 1.9.3 is Mecke's characterization: N is Poisson exactly when P ≡ P⁰_N on F_{0−}. The view from a point of the process and the view from a deterministic instant agree on the strict past precisely when the process has no memory. It follows in one line from the two theorems before it.

What this mission provides

Four of the five missions in this series import the Chapter 1 substrate; this one adds the two pieces they need from its second half — ergodic theory and the stochastic intensity. Nothing here is on the platform, and Mathlib has filtrations and adapted processes but no predictability in this form, no stochastic intensity, no pointwise ergodic theorem and no Kingman.

Formalization scope

Every result is stated in the book's strength, with the book's standing definitions as binders. A discrete flow is a bijective, measurable, P⁰-preserving map (p.46); a continuous flow is jointly measurable in (t, ω) (p.3, clause (a)). A history compatible with the flow satisfies θ_t F_s = F_{s−t} (p.57), and an F_t-intensity is a non-negative, measurable, locally integrable, adapted process (p.58). The limits of Theorems 1.6.1, 1.6.2 and 1.6.4 are asserted to exist; Kingman's constant h̄ lies in ℝ ∪ {−∞} and is identified with inf_n (1/n) E⁰[h_n], the means being extended reals so that E⁰[h_n] = −∞ is not read as 0. Theorems 1.6.3, 1.6.5, 1.9.2 and 1.9.3 are equivalences, and Theorem 1.9.2 carries the closed form λ(t) = (μ ∘ θ_t)λ with μ = dP⁰_N/dP on F_{0−}. The goal's conclusion is the exact conditional characteristic function (1.8.12); a formalization that only asserted some conditional Poisson law, or conditioned on G alone, would not be this theorem.

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Dynamical SystemsGeometry & Topology·Captain: Lucas

Building Anosov flows on 3-manifolds (Béguin–Bonatti–Yu)Research Paper

Motivation

Anosov flows are the model of uniformly hyperbolic, chaotic continuous-time dynamics: a nonsingular vector field XXX on a closed manifold MMM is Anosov when the tangent bundle splits as TM=Es⊕RX⊕EuTM=E^s\oplus\mathbb RX\oplus E^uTM=Es⊕RX⊕Eu, with EsE^sEs uniformly contracted and EuE^uEu uniformly expanded by the derivative of the flow. They are structurally stable, so one can hope to classify them up to topological equivalence. In dimension three this classification is far from complete: it is not known which closed 3-manifolds carry Anosov flows, nor how many inequivalent Anosov flows a given manifold can carry.

The classical examples — suspensions of hyperbolic toral automorphisms and geodesic flows of hyperbolic surfaces — are rigid (Plante; Ghys). Non-algebraic examples were built by Franks–Williams (a nontransitive Anosov flow, 1980), Handel–Thurston, Goodman, Fried, Bonatti–Langevin, Fenley, Barbot and others. Several of these examples glue together neighbourhoods of hyperbolic sets along their boundaries. Béguin, Bonatti and Yu (Geom. Topol. 21 (2017)) turned this into a general theory, and used it to answer questions of Katok and of Barbot–Fenley.

Setting

A plug (U,X)(U,X)(U,X) is a compact 3-manifold UUU with boundary and a nonsingular C¹ vector field XXX transverse to ∂U\partial U∂U. The boundary splits into the entrance boundary ∂inU\partial^{in}U∂inU (where XXX points inwards) and the exit boundary ∂outU\partial^{out}U∂outU. The maximal invariant set Λ\LambdaΛ consists of the points whose orbit stays in UUU for all times. The plug is hyperbolic if Λ\LambdaΛ is a hyperbolic set with one-dimensional strong stable and strong unstable bundles. The entrance lamination LXs=Ws(Λ)∩∂inUL^s_X=W^s(\Lambda)\cap\partial^{in}ULXs​=Ws(Λ)∩∂inU and the exit lamination LXu=Wu(Λ)∩∂outUL^u_X=W^u(\Lambda)\cap\partial^{out}ULXu​=Wu(Λ)∩∂outU are one-dimensional laminations of the boundary surfaces. The plug has filling MS laminations when every component of ∂inU∖LXs\partial^{in}U\setminus L^s_X∂inU∖LXs​ (and of ∂outU∖LXu\partial^{out}U\setminus L^u_X∂outU∖LXu​) is a strip: a disc whose accessible boundary consists of two leaves asymptotic to each other at both ends.

A diffeomorphism φ:∂outU→∂inU\varphi:\partial^{out}U\to\partial^{in}Uφ:∂outU→∂inU is a strongly transverse gluing map if φ∗(LXu)\varphi_*(L^u_X)φ∗​(LXu​) and LXsL^s_XLXs​ are transverse and cut ∂inU\partial^{in}U∂inU into squares with sides alternately on leaves of the two laminations. Gluing then gives a closed manifold U/φU/\varphiU/φ with an induced vector field ZZZ. Two triples (U,X,φ)(U,X,\varphi)(U,X,φ) and (U,Y,ψ)(U,Y,\psi)(U,Y,ψ) are strongly isotopic if they are joined by a continuous path of such data.

Formalization targets

Goal: the gluing theorem (Theorem 1.5)

(U,X) hyperbolic plug with filling MS laminations, Λ without attractors or repellers, φ strongly transverse⟹ ∃ (Y,ψ) strongly isotopic to (X,φ) with the field induced by Y on U/ψ Anosov.\begin{gathered}(U,X)\ \text{hyperbolic plug with filling MS laminations},\ \Lambda\ \text{without attractors or repellers},\ \varphi\ \text{strongly transverse}\\ \Longrightarrow\ \exists\,(Y,\psi)\ \text{strongly isotopic to}\ (X,\varphi)\ \text{with the field induced by } Y \text{ on } U/\psi\ \text{Anosov}.\end{gathered}(U,X) hyperbolic plug with filling MS laminations, Λ without attractors or repellers, φ strongly transverse⟹ ∃(Y,ψ) strongly isotopic to (X,φ) with the field induced by Y on U/ψ Anosov.​

Milestones

  • Proposition 1.1: gluing two hyperbolic plugs along transverse laminations gives a hyperbolic plug. Proposition 1.3: strongly transverse gluing preserves filling MS laminations.
  • Lemma 3.27 (self-gluing case): the glued manifold U/φU/\varphiU/φ exists as a closed smooth manifold with an induced vector field.
  • Proposition 1.6: if the graph of basic pieces is strongly connected, the Anosov flow of Theorem 1.5 is transitive.
  • Theorem 1.8: every transitive Anosov flow on a closed 3-manifold is a factor of a transitive Anosov flow on another closed 3-manifold, restricted to a compact invariant set.
  • Theorem 1.9: some closed orientable 3-manifold carries both a transitive and a nontransitive Anosov flow.
  • Theorem 1.10 and Corollary 1.11: every MS foliation of a closed orientable surface is the entrance foliation of a transitive attracting hyperbolic plug; in particular incoherent transitive hyperbolic attractors exist.
  • Theorem 1.12: every hyperbolic plug with filling MS laminations embeds, up to topological equivalence, in an Anosov flow on a closed orientable 3-manifold, which can be taken transitive when Λ\LambdaΛ has no attractors or repellers.
  • Theorem 1.13: for every n≥1n\ge1n≥1 some closed orientable 3-manifold carries nnn pairwise inequivalent transitive Anosov flows.
  • Theorem 1.15: some transitive Anosov flow admits infinitely many pairwise nonisotopic transverse tori.

Significance

Theorem 1.5 lets one build Anosov flows on closed 3-manifolds by gluing hyperbolic plugs. Proposition 1.6 gives a combinatorial criterion for the result to be transitive. Together they answer a question of Katok (Theorem 1.9) and questions of Barbot and Fenley on manifolds with several hyperbolic JSJ pieces supporting transitive Anosov flows (Theorem 1.13). They also show that transitive Anosov flows admit no fully canonical decomposition into finitely many transverse tori (Theorem 1.15). The results are proved in the source paper. None of them is formalized, and Mathlib has no theory of hyperbolic sets for flows, stable manifolds or laminations. A formal proof therefore needs a substantial amount of reusable smooth dynamics.

Difficulty

The glued vector field is generally not hyperbolic: perturbing the gluing map can create solid tori of parallel periodic orbits. The difficulty is to choose the gluing map (and the vector field within its topological equivalence class) so that cone fields on ∂inU\partial^{in}U∂inU are mapped into themselves by the return map. The return map is the composition of the crossing map of the plug with the gluing map. Contraction and expansion must therefore be controlled simultaneously along two transverse invariant foliations. The paper achieves this after reducing to plugs with an affine Markov partition. The naive approach — fixing φ\varphiφ and trying to verify hyperbolicity — fails in general (Question 1.4 of the paper remains open).

Formalization scope

  • Manifolds are modelled on the half-space EuclideanHalfSpace 3 with a C∞C^\inftyC∞ structure; closed manifolds are compact, Hausdorff and BoundarylessManifold, and connected where the paper's statements concern a single manifold. Orientability is given by an atlas with positive Jacobians.
  • Vector fields are C¹ sections; flows are encoded by integral curves, so that partial flows on manifolds with boundary make sense; flowMap X t x is xxx when the orbit is undefined.
  • Hyperbolicity is quantified over a continuous Riemannian metric, invariant line fields and constants C,λ>0C,\lambda>0C,λ>0; continuity of the splitting is not imposed (it is automatic).
  • Filling MS laminations are encoded through the strip condition (Lemma 3.21); leaves of LsL^sLs are path components of intersections of weak stable manifolds with ∂inU\partial^{in}U∂inU.
  • The glued manifold U/φU/\varphiU/φ is not a quotient type: statements quantify over every closed smooth 3-manifold NNN with a surjective C¹ immersion q:U→Nq:U\to Nq:U→N realising the identification. Lemma 3.27 (a milestone) guarantees such NNN exists, so these statements are not vacuous. The induced field is not required to be C¹ and "Anosov" there means hyperbolicity of the whole manifold.
  • Useful reusable infrastructure: flows of C¹ vector fields on compact manifolds (with boundary), stable manifold theory, the λ-lemma, laminations and foliations of surfaces, and gluing of manifolds along boundary components.

Selected references

  • F. Béguin, C. Bonatti, B. Yu, Building Anosov flows on 3-manifolds, Geom. Topol. 21 (2017) 1837–1930. https://doi.org/10.2140/gt.2017.21.1837
59 thms2 active usersReviewed
AlgebraAnalysis·Captain: Lucas

Smale's Mean Value ConjectureOpen Problem

Motivation

The mean value problem, also called Smale's mean value conjecture, was posed by Stephen Smale in 1981 in his study of the complexity of root-finding algorithms for polynomials (Smale 1981). For a real differentiable function the mean value theorem produces, between two points, a point where the derivative equals a difference quotient. For a complex polynomial no such point need exist on a segment, and Smale asked for a substitute in which the special point is a critical point of the polynomial (a zero of its derivative). Estimates of this kind control how far Newton-type iterations can move, which is where Smale's original interest came from. The problem appears in lists of unsolved problems in mathematics, including Smale's own list of problems for the next century.

Timeline

  • 1981 — Smale poses the problem and proves the inequality below with constant K=4K = 4K=4 (Smale 1981). The example P(z)=zd−dzP(z) = z^d - dzP(z)=zd−dz shows that the constant cannot be smaller than d−1d\frac{d-1}{d}dd−1​ in degree ddd, so no constant below 111 works in all degrees.
  • 1989 — Tischler proves the inequality with the optimal constant K=d−1dK = \frac{d-1}{d}K=dd−1​ when all roots of PPP are real, and when all roots of PPP have the same absolute value (Tischler 1989).
  • 2007 — Conte, Fujikawa and Lakic prove K≤4d−1d+1K \le 4\frac{d-1}{d+1}K≤4d+1d−1​ (Conte–Fujikawa–Lakic 2007). Crane proves K<4−2.263dK < 4 - \frac{2.263}{\sqrt d}K<4−d​2.263​ for d≥8d \ge 8d≥8 (Crane 2007).
  • 2009 — Dubinin and Sugawa prove the reverse (dual) inequality with constant 1d 4d\frac{1}{d\,4^d}d4d1​ (Dubinin–Sugawa 2009); optimizing this lower bound is the dual mean value problem (Ng–Zhang 2016).

No absolute constant K<4K < 4K<4 is known that works in every degree.

Setting

Let PPP be a polynomial with complex coefficients of degree d≥2d \ge 2d≥2, and write P′P'P′ for its derivative. A critical point of PPP is a complex number ccc with P′(c)=0P'(c) = 0P′(c)=0; since d≥2d \ge 2d≥2, P′P'P′ is a nonconstant polynomial of degree d−1d-1d−1, so PPP has at least one and at most d−1d-1d−1 distinct critical points. Fix a complex number zzz that is not a critical point, P′(z)≠0P'(z) \ne 0P′(z)=0. For every critical point ccc we then have c≠zc \ne zc=z, and the difference quotient

P(z)−P(c)z−c\frac{P(z) - P(c)}{z - c}z−cP(z)−P(c)​

is well defined. The question is how small this quotient can be made, relative to ∣P′(z)∣|P'(z)|∣P′(z)∣, by choosing the critical point ccc well.

Formalization targets

Goal: Smale's mean value conjecture (K=1K = 1K=1)

For every complex polynomial PPP of degree d≥2d \ge 2d≥2 and every z∈Cz \in \mathbb Cz∈C with P′(z)≠0P'(z) \ne 0P′(z)=0 there is a critical point ccc of PPP with

∣P(z)−P(c)z−c∣≤∣P′(z)∣.\left| \frac{P(z) - P(c)}{z - c} \right| \le |P'(z)|.​z−cP(z)−P(c)​​≤∣P′(z)∣.

Stronger: the optimal constant

The same with ∣P′(z)∣|P'(z)|∣P′(z)∣ replaced by d−1d ∣P′(z)∣\frac{d-1}{d}\,|P'(z)|dd−1​∣P′(z)∣; the example zd−dzz^d - dzzd−dz shows this constant cannot be lowered.

Known results (milestones)

  1. Smale's inequality with K=4K = 4K=4.
  2. The extremal example P(z)=zd−dzP(z) = z^d - dzP(z)=zd−dz at z=0z = 0z=0, where every critical point gives exactly d−1d∣P′(0)∣\frac{d-1}{d}|P'(0)|dd−1​∣P′(0)∣, and its consequence that no constant K<1K < 1K<1 works in all degrees.
  3. Tischler's optimal inequality for polynomials with only real roots, and for polynomials whose roots all have the same absolute value.
  4. The Conte–Fujikawa–Lakic bound K≤4d−1d+1K \le 4\frac{d-1}{d+1}K≤4d+1d−1​.
  5. Crane's bound K<4−2.263dK < 4 - \frac{2.263}{\sqrt d}K<4−d​2.263​ for d≥8d \ge 8d≥8.
  6. The Dubinin–Sugawa dual inequality ∣P(z)−P(c)z−c∣≥∣P′(z)∣d 4d\left|\frac{P(z)-P(c)}{z-c}\right| \ge \frac{|P'(z)|}{d\,4^d}​z−cP(z)−P(c)​​≥d4d∣P′(z)∣​ for some critical point ccc.

Significance

The result itself. A positive answer gives a sharp, degree-independent mean value inequality for complex polynomials: for every non-critical point, some critical value is reachable along a chord whose slope is at most the local derivative. Bounds of this type feed into the analysis of Newton's method and of path-following root finders, and into the study of how critical values of a polynomial are distributed relative to its values. The conjecture is part of a family of open extremal problems on the geometry of critical points, alongside Sendov's conjecture.

Formalizing it. The goal and the optimal-constant form are open. The milestones are published theorems, none of which is known to have a machine-checked proof. Formalizing Smale's K=4K = 4K=4 bound and Tischler's special cases would put the classical tools of the subject (critical points of polynomials, univalent function estimates, root location) on a formal footing that later attempts can reuse.

Difficulty

The obvious strategies control the quotient through one critical point at a time: for instance, bounding ∣P(z)−P(c)∣|P(z) - P(c)|∣P(z)−P(c)∣ by integrating P′P'P′ along the segment from ccc to zzz. Such estimates lose a constant factor that depends on how the critical points are spread out, and the known uniform arguments all pass through distortion theorems for univalent functions, whose constants lead to KKK close to 444. Reaching K=1K = 1K=1 requires using all critical points simultaneously, and no argument doing this in every degree is known. The equality case zd−dzz^d - dzzd−dz, in which every critical point is equally bad, shows that any successful argument must be sharp for polynomials with maximally symmetric critical configurations.

Formalization scope

Polynomials are elements of ℂ[X] (Mathlib's Polynomial ℂ); the degree is natDegree, the derivative is Polynomial.derivative, evaluation is Polynomial.eval, and the roots of PPP are the multiset P.roots (counted with multiplicity). A critical point is a c : ℂ with P.derivative.eval c = 0. The absolute value is the norm ‖·‖ on ℂ, and the constants d−1d\frac{d-1}{d}dd−1​ and 4d−1d+14\frac{d-1}{d+1}4d+1d−1​ are computed in ℝ from the cast of natDegree.

Every statement assumes P′(z)≠0P'(z) \ne 0P′(z)=0. This is the standard normalization and is essential in Lean: division by zero returns 000, so without it the choice c=zc = zc=z would make the inequality trivially true whenever zzz is itself a critical point. With the hypothesis, every critical point ccc differs from zzz and the quotient is a genuine difference quotient.

Crane's bound is stated as the existence, for each degree d≥8d \ge 8d≥8, of a constant strictly below 4−2.263d4 - \frac{2.263}{\sqrt d}4−d​2.263​ that works for all polynomials of degree exactly ddd; this is equivalent to the best constant in degree ddd being strictly below that value.

A complete development needs basic facts on critical points of complex polynomials (existence, the Gauss–Lucas theorem), and, for the classical bounds, results from the theory of univalent functions such as the Koebe quarter theorem and coefficient estimates. These are reusable well beyond this mission. Contributions of any milestone, of supporting lemmas, and of partial results in fixed small degree are welcome.

Selected references

  • S. Smale, The fundamental theorem of algebra and complexity theory, Bull. Amer. Math. Soc. (N.S.) 4 (1981), 1–36. https://doi.org/10.1090/S0273-0979-1981-14858-8
  • D. Tischler, Critical points and values of complex polynomials, J. Complexity 5 (1989), 438–456. https://doi.org/10.1016/0885-064X(89)90019-8
  • A. Conte, E. Fujikawa, N. Lakic, Smale's mean value conjecture and the coefficients of univalent functions, Proc. Amer. Math. Soc. 135 (2007), 3295–3300. https://doi.org/10.1090/S0002-9939-07-08861-2
  • E. Crane, A bound for Smale's mean value conjecture for complex polynomials, Bull. London Math. Soc. 39 (2007), 781–791. https://doi.org/10.1112/blms/bdm063
  • V. Dubinin, T. Sugawa, Dual mean value problem for complex polynomials, Proc. Japan Acad. Ser. A 85 (2009), 135–137. https://arxiv.org/abs/0906.4605
  • T.-W. Ng, Y. Zhang, Smale's mean value conjecture for finite Blaschke products, J. Anal. 24 (2016), 331–345. https://arxiv.org/abs/1609.00170
  • Wikipedia, Mean value problem. https://en.wikipedia.org/w/index.php?title=Mean_value_problem&oldid=1374678764
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Differential GeometryDynamical Systems·Captain: Lucas

Pugh's Closing LemmaResearch Paper

Motivation

A periodic point of a map f ⁣:M→Mf\colon M\to Mf:M→M is a point xxx with fn(x)=xf^n(x)=xfn(x)=x for some n≥1n\ge 1n≥1. A nonwandering point is a much weaker form of recurrence: every neighbourhood UUU of xxx eventually returns to meet itself, fn(U)∩U≠∅f^n(U)\cap U\ne\emptysetfn(U)∩U=∅ for some n≥1n\ge 1n≥1. Every periodic point is nonwandering, but a nonwandering point need not be periodic, and the orbit of such a point may never come back to xxx exactly.

Pugh's closing lemma asserts that this gap can be closed by an arbitrarily small change of the system: if xxx is nonwandering for a C1C^1C1 diffeomorphism fff of a compact manifold, then some diffeomorphism ggg, as close to fff as desired in the C1C^1C1 topology, has xxx as a periodic point (Wikipedia, "Pugh's closing lemma"). The result was proved by C. C. Pugh in 1967 (Pugh 1967), in the same paper as the General Density Theorem: for a C1C^1C1-generic diffeomorphism the periodic points are dense in the nonwandering set. The source article describes the lemma as establishing a close relationship between chaotic and periodic behaviour and notes that it underlies some autonomous convergence theorems. The article also points to Smale's problems as related material.

Setting

Let MMM be a compact smooth manifold of dimension ddd, Hausdorff and without boundary. Write Diff1(M)\mathrm{Diff}^1(M)Diff1(M) for the set of C1C^1C1 diffeomorphisms g ⁣:M→Mg\colon M\to Mg:M→M: bijections such that ggg and g−1g^{-1}g−1 are continuously differentiable. For g∈Diff1(M)g\in\mathrm{Diff}^1(M)g∈Diff1(M), Tg ⁣:TM→TMTg\colon TM\to TMTg:TM→TM denotes its tangent map on the tangent bundle.

The C1C^1C1 topology on Diff1(M)\mathrm{Diff}^1(M)Diff1(M) is the coarsest topology for which g↦Tgg\mapsto Tgg↦Tg is continuous, where the space C(TM,TM)C(TM,TM)C(TM,TM) of continuous self-maps of TMTMTM carries the compact-open topology. Two diffeomorphisms are C1C^1C1-close when they, and their derivatives, are uniformly close.

For a map h ⁣:X→Xh\colon X\to Xh:X→X of a topological space:

  • xxx is nonwandering if for every neighbourhood UUU of xxx there is n≥1n\ge 1n≥1 with hn(U)∩U≠∅h^n(U)\cap U\ne\emptysethn(U)∩U=∅; the nonwandering set is Ω(h)\Omega(h)Ω(h);
  • Per(h)={x:∃ n≥1, hn(x)=x}\mathrm{Per}(h)=\{x : \exists\, n\ge 1,\ h^n(x)=x\}Per(h)={x:∃n≥1, hn(x)=x} is the set of periodic points.

Formalization targets

Goal: Pugh's closing lemma

For every f∈Diff1(M)f\in\mathrm{Diff}^1(M)f∈Diff1(M) and every x∈Ω(f)x\in\Omega(f)x∈Ω(f),

∀ U a C1-neighbourhood of f,∃ g∈U,  x∈Per(g).\forall\ \mathcal U \text{ a } C^1\text{-neighbourhood of } f,\quad \exists\, g\in\mathcal U,\ \ x\in\mathrm{Per}(g).∀ U a C1-neighbourhood of f,∃g∈U,  x∈Per(g).

Milestones

  1. Per(f)⊆Ω(f)\mathrm{Per}(f)\subseteq\Omega(f)Per(f)⊆Ω(f) for any map fff.
  2. Ω(f)\Omega(f)Ω(f) is closed for any map fff.
  3. f(Ω(f))=Ω(f)f(\Omega(f))=\Omega(f)f(Ω(f))=Ω(f) for a homeomorphism fff.
  4. Ω(f)≠∅\Omega(f)\ne\emptysetΩ(f)=∅ for any map of a nonempty compact space.
  5. General Density Theorem (Pugh 1967): there is a residual set G⊆Diff1(M)\mathcal G\subseteq\mathrm{Diff}^1(M)G⊆Diff1(M) with
Per(g)‾=Ω(g)(g∈G).\overline{\mathrm{Per}(g)}=\Omega(g)\qquad (g\in\mathcal G).Per(g)​=Ω(g)(g∈G).

Milestones 1–4 are elementary background facts that are not stated in the source article; milestone 5 is the second theorem named in the title of the source's reference.

Significance

The result. The closing lemma turns a topological recurrence property into periodicity after a C1C^1C1-small perturbation. Combined with genericity arguments it gives the General Density Theorem, so that for generic C1C^1C1 diffeomorphisms the whole nonwandering set is the closure of the periodic orbits. It is one of the basic perturbation tools of C1C^1C1 generic dynamics.

Formalizing it. The theorem is classical and proved in the literature. The drafter is not aware of a machine-checked proof. A formalization needs the C1C^1C1 topology on diffeomorphism groups, local perturbation lemmas in charts and the combinatorics of the closing argument. None of these is currently available in Mathlib as far as the drafter knows.

Difficulty

The first idea is to take the returning piece of orbit near xxx and push it back to xxx with a small local perturbation. This fails in the C1C^1C1 topology. Moving a point by distance δ\deltaδ with a bump supported in a ball of radius rrr costs C1C^1C1 size about δ/r\delta/rδ/r, and the return may happen at a distance comparable to the size of the only available ball. The perturbation then fails to be C1C^1C1-small. The derivative DfnDf^nDfn along the return can also distort any fixed neighbourhood shape without bound. Controlling this distortion is the central difficulty.

Formalization scope

  • Diff1(M)\mathrm{Diff}^1(M)Diff1(M) and its C1C^1C1 topology come from the published definition file BCWCentralizer_Basic. Diff1(M)\mathrm{Diff}^1(M)Diff1(M) is M ≃ₘ^1⟮𝓡 d, 𝓡 d⟯ M, and the topology is induced by g↦Tgg\mapsto Tgg↦Tg into C(TangentBundle, TangentBundle) with the compact-open topology. On a compact manifold this is the usual C1C^1C1 topology.
  • "Compact smooth manifold": a Hausdorff compact space with a C∞C^\inftyC∞ atlas modelled on Rd\mathbb R^dRd, so without boundary. ddd is arbitrary.
  • "Arbitrarily close" means that every neighbourhood of fff in the C1C^1C1 topology contains a suitable ggg. "Periodic" requires a period n≥1n\ge 1n≥1. Allowing n=0n=0n=0 would make every point periodic and the statement trivial.
  • The perturbation ggg is only required to be a C1C^1C1 diffeomorphism, matching Diff1(M)\mathrm{Diff}^1(M)Diff1(M) in the source.
  • The nonwandering notion is the definition item PughClosingLemma_nonwandering, shared by all statements. It is reusable for any topological dynamics mission.

Welcome contributions: a general theory of the C1C^1C1 topology on Diff1(M)\mathrm{Diff}^1(M)Diff1(M) (for example, that it is Baire), local perturbation lemmas, and proofs of the milestones.

Selected references

  • C. C. Pugh, An Improved Closing Lemma and a General Density Theorem, American Journal of Mathematics 89 (4), 1967, 1010–1021. https://doi.org/10.2307/2373414
  • Wikipedia, Pugh's closing lemma, revision 1304222873. https://en.wikipedia.org/w/index.php?title=Pugh%27s_closing_lemma&oldid=1304222873
  • V. Araújo, M. J. Pacifico, Three-Dimensional Flows, Springer, 2010, ISBN 978-3-642-11414-4.
8 thms2 active usersReviewed
Dynamical Systems·Captain: Lucas

The C¹-generic diffeomorphism has trivial centralizer (Bonatti–Crovisier–Wilkinson)Research Paper

Motivation

Two commuting diffeomorphisms f,gf,gf,g of a manifold MMM share all of their dynamics: ggg permutes the orbits of fff and preserves every smooth and topological invariant of fff. The centralizer of f∈Diffr(M)f\in\mathrm{Diff}^r(M)f∈Diffr(M),

Zr(f)={g∈Diffr(M):fg=gf},Z^r(f)=\{g\in\mathrm{Diff}^r(M): fg=gf\},Zr(f)={g∈Diffr(M):fg=gf},

always contains the cyclic group ⟨f⟩={fn:n∈Z}\langle f\rangle=\{f^n:n\in\mathbb Z\}⟨f⟩={fn:n∈Z}, and fff has trivial centralizer when Zr(f)=⟨f⟩Z^r(f)=\langle f\rangleZr(f)=⟨f⟩. S. Smale asked whether diffeomorphisms with trivial centralizer are dense, residual, or even open and dense in Diffr(M)\mathrm{Diff}^r(M)Diffr(M) (one of Smale's problems for the 21st century).

Timeline: Kopell (1970) answered the question for r≥2r\ge2r≥2 on the circle; Palis–Yoccoz, Fisher and Burslem obtained results under hyperbolicity or partial hyperbolicity assumptions; Togawa treated generic Axiom A diffeomorphisms in the C1C^1C1 topology; Bonatti–Crovisier–Vago–Wilkinson showed that trivial-centralizer diffeomorphisms do not contain an open dense set in Diff1(M)\mathrm{Diff}^1(M)Diff1(M); and Bonatti–Crovisier–Wilkinson (this paper, arXiv:0804.1416) proved residuality in Diff1(M)\mathrm{Diff}^1(M)Diff1(M) for every compact manifold.

Setting

MMM is a closed (compact, boundaryless), connected smooth manifold of dimension ddd. Diff1(M)\mathrm{Diff}^1(M)Diff1(M) is the space of C1C^1C1 diffeomorphisms of MMM with the C1C^1C1 topology; a subset is residual if it contains a countable intersection of open dense sets.

Formalization targets

Goal (Main Theorem, p. 3)

There is a residual subset R⊂Diff1(M)\mathcal R\subset\mathrm{Diff}^1(M)R⊂Diff1(M) such that for every f∈Rf\in\mathcal Rf∈R and every g∈Diff1(M)g\in\mathrm{Diff}^1(M)g∈Diff1(M) with fg=gffg=gffg=gf, one has g=fng=f^ng=fn for some n∈Zn\in\mathbb Zn∈Z.

Milestones

Following Section 2 of the paper: the classical upper-semicontinuity lemma used for Proposition 2.5, the wandering part of Theorem A (unbounded distortion is C1C^1C1-generic), Proposition 2.5 (density of trivial Lipschitz centralizers implies residuality) and Theorem 2.3 (residuality of trivial Lipschitz centralizers when dim⁡M≥2\dim M\ge2dimM≥2).

Significance

The theorem answers the second (and hence the first) part of Smale's question in the C1C^1C1 topology, and exhibits a precise link between dynamical properties of fff (large derivative and unbounded distortion) and the algebraic structure of fff inside the group Diff1(M)\mathrm{Diff}^1(M)Diff1(M). The result is proved in the literature; it has not been formalized.

Difficulty

The density of trivial centralizers comes from perturbation results (Theorems A and B) that change the derivative without changing the topological dynamics (tidy perturbations in topological towers). Density alone does not give residuality, since the set of diffeomorphisms with the large derivative property is not residual (Appendix); the passage from dense to residual needs the Lipschitz centralizer and a semicontinuity argument.

Formalization scope

MMM is a charted space over Rd\mathbb R^dRd with a C∞C^\inftyC∞ atlas, Hausdorff, compact and connected; Diff1(M)\mathrm{Diff}^1(M)Diff1(M) is Mathlib's type of C1C^1C1 diffeomorphisms. The C1C^1C1 topology is encoded as the topology induced by f↦Tff\mapsto Tff↦Tf into the compact-open topology on continuous self-maps of the tangent bundle TMTMTM. Powers fnf^nfn, n∈Zn\in\mathbb Zn∈Z, are taken in the permutation group of MMM. Bi-Lipschitz homeomorphisms are defined chart-locally (equivalent on a compact manifold to bi-Lipschitz for a Riemannian distance). Jacobians ∣det⁡Dfn∣|\det Df^n|∣detDfn∣ are computed with respect to an arbitrary continuous Riemannian metric; the unbounded-distortion property does not depend on this choice.

Contributions welcome: the C1C^1C1 topology API (Baire property, continuity of composition), the Kupka–Smale and closing-lemma genericity results, and the perturbation machinery of Sections 3–7.

Selected references

  • C. Bonatti, S. Crovisier, A. Wilkinson, The C1C^1C1 generic diffeomorphism has trivial centralizer, Publ. Math. IHÉS 109 (2009); arXiv:0804.1416. https://arxiv.org/abs/0804.1416
  • S. Smale, Mathematical problems for the next century, Math. Intelligencer 20 (1998).
  • N. Kopell, Commuting diffeomorphisms, Proc. Sympos. Pure Math. 14 (1970).
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Algebraic GeometryDynamical Systems·Captain: Lucas

Albouy–Kaloshin: Finiteness of Planar Five-Body Central ConfigurationsResearch Paper

Motivation

A central configuration of the Newtonian nnn-body problem is a placement of nnn point masses in which the gravitational acceleration of every body points toward the centre of mass and is proportional to its distance from it. Central configurations generate the only explicitly known solutions of the nnn-body problem (the homographic, or self-similar, motions), they are the possible limiting shapes of total collisions, and they organise the topology of the integral manifolds. Counting them is therefore a basic question of celestial mechanics.

Timeline.

  • Euler (1767) and Lagrange (1772) found all central configurations of three bodies: three collinear ones and the equilateral triangle.
  • Moulton (1910) showed there are exactly n!/2n!/2n!/2 collinear central configurations for any positive masses.
  • Chazy (1918) postulated that all central configurations are nondegenerate, which would imply finiteness; Wintner (1941) stated finiteness as a conjecture.
  • Palmore (1975) gave a degenerate example, refuting Chazy's postulate but not finiteness.
  • Smale (1998) listed finiteness of relative equilibria for every choice of positive masses as the 6th of his problems for the 21st century.
  • Hampton and Moeckel (2006) proved finiteness for n=4n = 4n=4, using heavy computer algebra (BKK theory).
  • Albouy and Kaloshin (2012) gave a new proof for n=4n = 4n=4 that avoids heavy computation, and proved finiteness for n=5n = 5n=5 except possibly for masses in a codimension-2 algebraic subset of the mass space. The case n≥6n \ge 6n≥6, and the n=5n = 5n=5 case for the excluded masses, remain open.

Setting

Fix nnn bodies with masses m1,…,mnm_1,\dots,m_nm1​,…,mn​; body kkk sits at (xk,yk)∈R2(x_k,y_k)\in\mathbb R^2(xk​,yk​)∈R2. Write xkl=xl−xkx_{kl}=x_l-x_kxkl​=xl​−xk​, ykl=yl−yky_{kl}=y_l-y_kykl​=yl​−yk​ and rkl=xkl2+ykl2r_{kl}=\sqrt{x_{kl}^2+y_{kl}^2}rkl​=xkl2​+ykl2​​. A configuration with all rkl>0r_{kl}>0rkl​>0 is a central configuration (normalised so that the proportionality constant is 111) when, for every kkk,

(xkyk)=∑l≠kml rkl−3(xk−xlyk−yl).\begin{pmatrix}x_k\\ y_k\end{pmatrix}=\sum_{l\ne k} m_l\, r_{kl}^{-3}\begin{pmatrix}x_k-x_l\\ y_k-y_l\end{pmatrix}.(xk​yk​​)=l=k∑​ml​rkl−3​(xk​−xl​yk​−yl​​).

These equations are invariant under rotations of the plane; imposing y12=0y_{12}=0y12​=0 removes this freedom, and a solution with this normalisation is a positive normalized central configuration (Definition 1 of the paper; Lean: PosNormalizedCC n m).

The proof works in the complex domain. Introducing unknowns δkl\delta_{kl}δkl​ (inverse distances) with δkl2(xkl2+ykl2)=1\delta_{kl}^2(x_{kl}^2+y_{kl}^2)=1δkl2​(xkl2​+ykl2​)=1 turns the equations into the polynomial system (4) on C2n×Cn(n−1)/2\mathbb C^{2n}\times\mathbb C^{n(n-1)/2}C2n×Cn(n−1)/2:

xk=∑l≠kml δkl3 (xk−xl),yk=∑l≠kml δkl3 (yk−yl),y12=0.x_k=\sum_{l\ne k} m_l\,\delta_{kl}^3\,(x_k-x_l),\qquad y_k=\sum_{l\ne k} m_l\,\delta_{kl}^3\,(y_k-y_l),\qquad y_{12}=0 .xk​=l=k∑​ml​δkl3​(xk​−xl​),yk​=l=k∑​ml​δkl3​(yk​−yl​),y12​=0.

A complex solution is a normalized central configuration (Lean: NormalizedCC n m), a real one if all xk,ykx_k,y_kxk​,yk​ are real (Lean: RealNormalizedCC n m). The potential is U=∑k<lmkmlδklU=\sum_{k<l}m_km_l\delta_{kl}U=∑k<l​mk​ml​δkl​ (Lean: potential n m).

Formalization targets

Goal — Theorem 2 (planar five bodies)

There is a closed algebraic subset A⊂R5A\subset\mathbb R^5A⊂R5 of codimension at least 222 such that for all masses m∈(R>0)5∖Am\in(\mathbb R_{>0})^5\setminus Am∈(R>0​)5∖A,

#{positive normalized central configurations of the planar 5-body problem with masses m}<∞.\#\{\text{positive normalized central configurations of the planar 5-body problem with masses } m\}<\infty .#{positive normalized central configurations of the planar 5-body problem with masses m}<∞.

The exceptional set is not made explicit; only its existence and dimension bound are asserted.

Stronger — Theorem 6

The same statement with all complex solutions of system (4) in place of the positive real ones.

Four bodies — Theorems 1, 3, 4, 5

For n=4n=4n=4 and every positive masses: finitely many positive (Theorem 1, Hampton–Moeckel) and even real (Theorem 5) normalized central configurations; finitely many complex ones unless the masses satisfy explicit polynomial relations (Theorem 3) or are all equal (Theorem 4).

Tools — Lemmas 1 and 2 and an explicit example

Lemma 1 (a polynomial image of an affine variety is finite or cofinite), Lemma 2 (the potential takes finitely many values on the solution set), and the explicit mass vector (1,2,3,4,5)(1,2,3,4,5)(1,2,3,4,5).

Significance

The result. Theorem 2 is the first finiteness result for planar central configurations of five bodies, settling Smale's 6th problem for n=5n=5n=5 for generic masses; before it, no single 5-tuple of positive masses was known to have finitely many planar central configurations. Its four-body part gives a short proof of the Hampton–Moeckel theorem, including the real (not necessarily positive) solutions.

Formalizing it. The results are proved on paper; none of them is formalized. A formal development requires affine elimination theory (Chevalley's theorem on constructible images in the form of Lemma 1), a Sard-type argument on algebraic sets (Lemma 2), and the singular-sequence analysis of Sections 3–9, which is a long case analysis of limiting diagrams together with polynomial eliminations done by computer algebra in the paper.

Difficulty

Finiteness is not a local statement: nondegeneracy fails in general (Palmore), so no implicit-function argument applies, and a continuum of solutions would have to be excluded globally. In the complex domain continua genuinely exist for some masses (Roberts' continuum with a negative mass; its sign-modified version with positive masses solves system (4)), so any proof must use the positivity of the masses in an essential way, and the exceptional mass set of Theorem 2 cannot simply be dropped with the present method.

Formalization scope

  • Bodies are indexed by Fin n; the paper's bodies 111 and 222 are the indices 0 and 1, so the normalisation reads y 1 - y 0 = 0.
  • Masses are real (and hypothesised positive) in all main theorems; in the definition of NormalizedCC they are complex, as in Section 2 of the paper. Lemma 2 carries the paper's standing hypothesis that no nonempty subset of bodies has total mass zero (NoZeroSubMass).
  • A point of system (4) is a triple (x, y, δ); δ is a full n × n array constrained to be symmetric with zero diagonal, so it carries exactly the n(n−1)/2n(n-1)/2n(n−1)/2 unknowns δkl\delta_{kl}δkl​, k<lk<lk<l. Finiteness of the solution set is unaffected by this encoding.
  • "Closed algebraic subset of codimension 2 of the mass space" is encoded as the real zero locus massZeroLocus I of an ideal I of R[m1,…,m5]\mathbb R[m_1,\dots,m_5]R[m1​,…,m5​] with ringKrullDim (ℝ[m] ⧸ I) ≤ 3. Taking I=0I=0I=0 is impossible (the quotient has dimension 555), so the goal is not trivialised by an exceptional set equal to the whole mass space.
  • Finiteness is Set.Finite of the solution set.

Useful reusable infrastructure: finite-or-cofinite images of polynomial maps on affine varieties, and basic facts on central configurations (centre of mass, the identity I=UI=UI=U).

Selected references

  • A. Albouy, V. Kaloshin, Finiteness of central configurations of five bodies in the plane, Annals of Mathematics 176 (2012), 535–588. https://doi.org/10.4007/annals.2012.176.1.10
  • M. Hampton, R. Moeckel, Finiteness of relative equilibria of the four-body problem, Inventiones Mathematicae 163 (2006), 289–312. https://doi.org/10.1007/s00222-005-0461-0
  • S. Smale, Mathematical problems for the next century, The Mathematical Intelligencer 20 (1998), 7–15. https://doi.org/10.1007/BF03025291
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Dynamic ProgrammingMarkov ChainOperations Research·Captain: mikedeng1

Analysis and Algorithms for Service Parts Supply Chains II: The Single-Unit Single-Customer DecompositionTextbook

Motivation

A base-stock (order-up-to) policy orders, in every period, exactly enough to bring the inventory position (stock on hand plus stock on order minus backorders) up to a target level. It is the policy used in practice for repairable and consumable service parts, and the analysis of every later chapter of Muckstadt's book assumes it. Its optimality is therefore a foundational question, and there are three classical ways to prove it.

  • 1960, Clark and Scarf proved optimality of echelon base-stock policies for finite-horizon serial systems by dynamic programming, decomposing the cost into one term per echelon (Management Science 6(4)).
  • 1984, Federgruen and Zipkin gave a lower-bound argument for the infinite-horizon average-cost case (Operations Research 32(4)); Chen and Song (2001) used it for Markov-modulated demand (Operations Research 49(2)).
  • 2008, Muharremoglu and Tsitsiklis introduced the single-unit single-customer approach: every unit of stock is paired with one future customer, and the inventory problem splits into countably many independent two-action problems (Operations Research 56(5)).

This mission formalizes the third approach, in the finite-horizon single-location form presented in Section 2.2.1 of Muckstadt (2005).

Setting

A single item is reviewed in periods n=1,…,Nn = 1, \dots, Nn=1,…,N. An exogenous, time-homogeneous Markov chain sns_nsn​ on a finite set Σ\SigmaΣ is observed at the start of period nnn; given sn=ss_n = ssn​=s, the demand Dn∈{0,1,2,… }D_n \in \{0,1,2,\dots\}Dn​∈{0,1,2,…} has law κ(s,⋅)\kappa(s,\cdot)κ(s,⋅) and is independent of sn+1s_{n+1}sn+1​. Excess demand is backordered.

Every unit of demand is a customer, and customers are indexed in arrival order, the v0v_0v0​ initially waiting customers first. A customer's distance is 000 once served, 111 while waiting, and 2,3,…2, 3, \dots2,3,… for future customers in the order they will arrive. Units are indexed by location: 000 (used), 111 (on hand), 2,…,m2, \dots, m2,…,m (in transit) and m+1m+1m+1 (at the supplier, which holds countably many units). The state is

xn=(sn,(z1n,y1n),(z2n,y2n),…),x_n = \big(s_n, (z_{1n}, y_{1n}), (z_{2n}, y_{2n}), \dots\big),xn​=(sn​,(z1n​,y1n​),(z2n​,y2n​),…),

with zjnz_{jn}zjn​ the location of unit jjj and yjny_{jn}yjn​ the distance of customer jjj. In period nnn: units in transit move one location closer and the released units move from m+1m+1m+1 to mmm (so an order is on hand m−1m-1m−1 periods later); the demand DnD_nDn​ brings the customers at distances 2,…,Dn+12, \dots, D_n+12,…,Dn​+1 to distance 111 and moves the others DnD_nDn​ steps closer; units on hand serve waiting customers, lowest indices first; then hhh is charged per unit on hand and bbb per waiting customer, with 0<h<b0 < h < b0<h<b. The criterion is the expected cost over the NNN periods, discounted by α∈(0,1]\alpha \in (0,1]α∈(0,1].

A policy for the whole system S\mathcal SS chooses a finite set of units at the supplier to release. It is monotone if it releases lower-indexed units first, and committed if unit jjj only ever serves customer jjj. The subsystem Sw\mathcal S_wSw​ is unit www with customer www under commitment, with state xnw=(sn,zwn,ywn)x^w_n = (s_n, z_{wn}, y_{wn})xnw​=(sn​,zwn​,ywn​) and actions Release and Hold. The set Rn∗(s,y)R^*_n(s,y)Rn∗​(s,y) contains the optimal actions of a subsystem whose unit is at the supplier and whose customer is at distance yyy, and the critical distance is

y∗(n,s)=max⁡{ y:Rn∗(s,y)∋Release }.y^*(n,s) = \max\{\, y : R^*_n(s,y) \ni \mathit{Release} \,\}.y∗(n,s)=max{y:Rn∗​(s,y)∋Release}.

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem 5 (p. 29)

Every policy that, in each period nnn and Markov state sns_nsn​, releases the lowest-indexed units at the supplier to raise the inventory position to

y∗(n,sn)−1y^*(n, s_n) - 1y∗(n,sn​)−1

is optimal for S\mathcal SS among all policies, from every starting state. Such a policy exists. The levels are not fixed numbers but the critical distances of the single-unit problem, so the goal asserts the structure of an optimal policy and identifies its levels, without committing to any constant.

Milestones

  1. Lemma 1 (p. 26): some monotone policy is optimal, every monotone policy is committed, and so some committed policy is optimal.
  2. Theorem 4 (p. 27): the optimal cost of S\mathcal SS is the sum over www of the optimal costs of Sw\mathcal S_wSw​,
V1S(s,x1)=∑wV1(s,(zw1,yw1)),V^{\mathcal S}_1(s, x_1) = \sum_{w} V_1\big(s, (z_{w1}, y_{w1})\big),V1S​(s,x1​)=w∑​V1​(s,(zw1​,yw1​)),

and managing every subsystem independently and optimally is optimal for S\mathcal SS. 3. Lemma 2 (p. 28): Rn∗(s,y+1)={Release}R^*_n(s, y+1) = \{\mathit{Release}\}Rn∗​(s,y+1)={Release} implies Release∈Rn∗(s,y)\mathit{Release} \in R^*_n(s, y)Release∈Rn∗​(s,y). 4. Section 2.2.1.2.2 (p. 29): the critical distance policy, release if and only if y≤y∗(n,s)y \le y^*(n,s)y≤y∗(n,s), is optimal for every subsystem.

Significance

The result shows that under Markov-modulated demand a single-location system is optimally run by a state-dependent base-stock policy. The same unit–customer argument gives echelon base-stock optimality in serial systems with noncrossing stochastic lead times (Sections 2.2.2–2.2.3). The decomposition also yields the levels themselves: they are the critical distances of a two-action problem, which can be solved one customer at a time.

The theorems are proved in the literature (Muharremoglu and Tsitsiklis 2008) and in the book. To our knowledge no machine-checked proof of any base-stock optimality theorem exists, by dynamic programming or by decomposition. The book's proof is informal in three places a formalization has to settle:

  • Lemma 1 is asserted as "clearly" true;
  • Lemma 2's proof by contradiction covers only uniquely optimal releases, while the critical distance policy also needs the case of ties;
  • the passage from the subsystem policy to the inventory position (Theorem 5) is an "intuitive argument".

A formal development makes each of these precise.

Difficulty

The obvious argument says that costs are linear, so the cost of S\mathcal SS is the sum of unit–customer costs and everything decouples. That is only half of Theorem 4. The pairing of unit jjj with customer jjj holds only under monotone policies, and a general policy for S\mathcal SS observes the whole infinite state xnx_nxn​, not just xnwx^w_nxnw​. The lower bound therefore needs Lemma 1 together with the fact that extra information about the demand history does not help a Markov decision problem. The upper bound needs the lowest-index matching to cost no more than committed matching.

The second difficulty is that the threshold structure is not the obvious consequence of Lemma 2. The set of distances at which releasing is optimal must be shown to be an initial segment {1,…,y∗}\{1, \dots, y^*\}{1,…,y∗} when ties are allowed. Unbounded demand makes that set possibly unbounded (it is, in the last m−1m-1m−1 periods). Finally, the release decisions of the subsystems must be counted to recover an inventory position, which uses the invariant that future customers occupy consecutive distances.

Formalization scope

Everything is in the namespace ServiceParts.UnitDecomp, with three definition files.

Model. Model bundles the chain, the demand law, mmm, hhh, bbb and α\alphaα with the standing assumptions 1≤m1 \le m1≤m, 0<h<b0 < h < b0<h<b, 0<α≤10 < \alpha \le 10<α≤1, together with the per-unit and per-customer motions and a generic finite-horizon expected-cost recursion. Costs are in [0,∞][0,\infty][0,∞].

Subsystem. Subsystem defines a subsystem, its optimal cost, Rn∗R^*_nRn∗​, y∗(n,s)y^*(n,s)y∗(n,s) and the critical distance policy.

System. System defines S\mathcal SS with lowest-index matching, its policies (finite release sets), monotone and committed policies, starting states, the inventory position and the order-up-to release.

Conventions and pinnings:

  • Indexing. Units and customers are indexed from 000; Lean index jjj is the book's j+1j+1j+1.
  • Policy class. Policies are Markov: functions of the period, the Markov state and the configuration, as on p. 25.
  • Optimality. Optimal means attaining the infimum over all policies for S\mathcal SS. Restricting the class to monotone or base-stock policies would make Theorem 5 circular and is ruled out.
  • Starting states. The book's "any starting state x1x_1x1​" is the configuration built on pp. 23–24 from v0v_0v0​ and the stock at locations 1,…,m1, \dots, m1,…,m. For arbitrarily labelled states Theorem 4 is false.
  • Critical distance. y∗(n,s)y^*(n,s)y∗(n,s) is a supremum in N∪{∞}\mathbb N \cup \{\infty\}N∪{∞}. Where it is ∞\infty∞ (a released unit cannot arrive before the horizon), Theorem 5 leaves the policy free.
  • Distance 0. Lemma 2 and the optimality of RnR_nRn​ are stated for customers at distance at least 1. At distance 0 with the unit at the supplier (a configuration committed policies never reach), both are false as printed.

Corrections to the book:

  • h>0h > 0h>0 is added. With h=0h = 0h=0 an optimal policy with finite orders need not exist, so Theorem 5 fails.
  • Chain structure is pinned. The chain's ergodicity is unused on a finite horizon and omitted. The conditional independence of DnD_nDn​ and sn+1s_{n+1}sn+1​ given sns_nsn​ is added as a reading of "given sns_nsn​, the distribution of DnD_nDn​ is known".
  • Vacuous corner. If some state's demand has infinite mean, every policy may cost ∞\infty∞ and the optimality statements hold vacuously.

Out of scope: stochastic noncrossing lead times (Section 2.2.2), serial systems (Section 2.2.3; compare the disproved platform statement SupplyChainTheory.clark_scarf_sequential), and continuous review (Section 2.2.4, which the book calls intuitive).

Proofs of any milestone are welcome. A reusable by-product would be a general lemma that Markov policies are optimal among history-dependent ones for finite-horizon problems with countable randomness and costs in [0,∞][0,\infty][0,∞].

Selected references

  • J. A. Muckstadt, Analysis and Algorithms for Service Parts Supply Chains, Springer, 2005, Section 2.2, pp. 22–31. https://doi.org/10.1007/b138879
  • A. Muharremoglu and J. N. Tsitsiklis, A single-unit decomposition approach to multiechelon inventory systems, Operations Research 56(5), 2008. https://doi.org/10.1287/opre.1080.0620
  • A. J. Clark and H. Scarf, Optimal policies for a multi-echelon inventory problem, Management Science 6(4), 1960. https://doi.org/10.1287/mnsc.6.4.475
  • A. Federgruen and P. Zipkin, Computational issues in an infinite-horizon, multiechelon inventory model, Operations Research 32(4), 1984. https://doi.org/10.1287/opre.32.4.818
  • F. Chen and J.-S. Song, Optimal policies for multiechelon inventory problems with Markov-modulated demand, Operations Research 49(2), 2001. https://doi.org/10.1287/opre.49.2.226.13528
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Convex OptimizationOperations ResearchOptimization+1·Captain: mikedeng1

Introduction to the Scenario Approach III: The Risks of the Empirical Costs Follow an Ordered Dirichlet DistributionTextbook

Motivation

A scenario program replaces an uncertain optimization problem by its worst case over finitely many sampled instances. In its simplest form it reads

min⁡ν∈Rd−1[max⁡i=1,…,Nℓ(ν,δi)],\min_{\nu\in\mathbb R^{d-1}}\Big[\max_{i=1,\dots,N}\ell(\nu,\delta_i)\Big],ν∈Rd−1min​[i=1,…,Nmax​ℓ(ν,δi​)],

where ℓ(ν,δ)\ell(\nu,\delta)ℓ(ν,δ) is the cost of a decision ν\nuν when the uncertain parameter takes the value δ\deltaδ, and δ1,…,δN\delta_1,\dots,\delta_Nδ1​,…,δN​ are independent draws from an unknown probability P\mathbb PP. The classical guarantee of the scenario approach (Campi and Garatti, 2008) bounds the probability that a new instance produces a cost above the optimal value ℓ∗\ell^*ℓ∗, and it does so without any knowledge of P\mathbb PP.

That guarantee concerns a single number, ℓ∗\ell^*ℓ∗. Two scenario programs with the same NNN and the same optimal value can look very different at the solution: in one, most sampled costs lie just below ℓ∗\ell^*ℓ∗; in the other, they are widely scattered. The costs that do not determine the solution still carry information about how the cost of the chosen decision is distributed on future instances. Carè, Garatti and Campi (2015) showed that this information can be extracted with the same distribution-free character as the classical result, which is the subject of this mission. It is Chapter 8, §8.1 ("Probability box") of Campi and Garatti, Introduction to the Scenario Approach (SIAM/MOS 2018), the third mission of the series formalizing that book.

Timeline:

  • 2008: Campi and Garatti prove that the violation of the scenario solution is dominated by a beta distribution B(d,N−d+1)B(d,N-d+1)B(d,N−d+1), with equality for fully supported problems (doi:10.1137/07069821X).
  • 2015: Carè, Garatti and Campi prove that the risks of all empirical costs from index ddd on have a joint ordered Dirichlet law (doi:10.1137/130928546).
  • 2018: the book states the result as Theorem 8.4 and draws the probability box from it.

Setting

Let Δ\DeltaΔ be a measurable space with a probability P\mathbb PP, and ℓ:Rd−1×Δ→R\ell:\mathbb R^{d-1}\times\Delta\to\mathbb Rℓ:Rd−1×Δ→R a cost that is convex in ν\nuν for every δ\deltaδ (a standing assumption of the book). For a sample (δ1,…,δN)(\delta_1,\dots,\delta_N)(δ1​,…,δN​) of independent draws from P\mathbb PP, let ν∗\nu^*ν∗ be the solution of the program above and ℓ∗=max⁡iℓ(ν∗,δi)\ell^*=\max_i\ell(\nu^*,\delta_i)ℓ∗=maxi​ℓ(ν∗,δi​) its optimal value.

Empirical costs (Definition 8.1). Sort the costs of the solution on the sampled scenarios in decreasing order, ℓ1∗≥ℓ2∗≥⋯≥ℓN∗\ell^*_1\ge\ell^*_2\ge\dots\ge\ell^*_Nℓ1∗​≥ℓ2∗​≥⋯≥ℓN∗​; so ℓ1∗=ℓ∗\ell^*_1=\ell^*ℓ1∗​=ℓ∗.

Risk (Definition 8.2). For a decision ν\nuν and a level ℓ\ellℓ, R(ν,ℓ)=P{δ:ℓ(ν,δ)>ℓ}R(\nu,\ell)=\mathbb P\{\delta:\ell(\nu,\delta)>\ell\}R(ν,ℓ)=P{δ:ℓ(ν,δ)>ℓ}. The risk of the kkk-th empirical cost is Rk=R(ν∗,ℓk∗)R_k=R(\nu^*,\ell^*_k)Rk​=R(ν∗,ℓk∗​), and R1≤R2≤⋯≤RNR_1\le R_2\le\dots\le R_NR1​≤R2​≤⋯≤RN​.

Nondegeneracy (Definition 8.3). For every N≥dN\ge dN≥d, with probability 111, ℓd∗≠ℓd+1∗≠…≠ℓN∗\ell^*_d\ne\ell^*_{d+1}\ne\dots\ne\ell^*_Nℓd∗​=ℓd+1∗​=…=ℓN∗​. Costs with index below ddd are excluded because several scenarios typically attain the maximum at ν∗\nu^*ν∗.

Support constraints and full support (Definitions 5.1 and 5.4). In epigraph form, min⁡t\min tmint subject to t≥ℓ(ν,δi)t\ge\ell(\nu,\delta_i)t≥ℓ(ν,δi​), the constraint of scenario iii is a support constraint if removing it lowers the optimal value; the problem is fully supported if for every m≥dm\ge dm≥d the program with mmm scenarios has exactly ddd support constraints with probability 111.

The ordered Dirichlet distribution with parameters (d,1,…,1)(d,1,\dots,1)(d,1,…,1) is the law on {0≤αd≤⋯≤αN≤1}\{0\le\alpha_d\le\dots\le\alpha_N\le1\}{0≤αd​≤⋯≤αN​≤1} with density N!(d−1)!αdd−1\frac{N!}{(d-1)!}\alpha_d^{d-1}(d−1)!N!​αdd−1​.

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem 8.4

Under nondegeneracy, for N≥dN\ge dN≥d and all εd,…,εN\varepsilon_d,\dots,\varepsilon_Nεd​,…,εN​,

PN{Rd≤εd,…,RN≤εN}=N!(d−1)!∫0εdαdd−1∫0εd+1 ⁣ ⁣⋯∫0εN1{0≤αd≤⋯≤αN≤1} dαN⋯dαd.\mathbb P^N\{R_d\le\varepsilon_d,\dots,R_N\le\varepsilon_N\}=\frac{N!}{(d-1)!}\int_0^{\varepsilon_d}\alpha_d^{d-1}\int_0^{\varepsilon_{d+1}}\!\!\cdots\int_0^{\varepsilon_N}\mathbf 1_{\{0\le\alpha_d\le\dots\le\alpha_N\le1\}}\,\mathrm d\alpha_N\cdots\mathrm d\alpha_d .PN{Rd​≤εd​,…,RN​≤εN​}=(d−1)!N!​∫0εd​​αdd−1​∫0εd+1​​⋯∫0εN​​1{0≤αd​≤⋯≤αN​≤1}​dαN​⋯dαd​.

This is an identity of joint distribution functions, not a bound, and it does not depend on ℓ\ellℓ or P\mathbb PP.

Milestones

  1. Theorem 3.7 for the min-max program: PN{R(ν∗,ℓ∗)>ε}≤∑i=0d−1(Ni)εi(1−ε)N−i\mathbb P^N\{R(\nu^*,\ell^*)>\varepsilon\}\le\sum_{i=0}^{d-1}\binom Ni\varepsilon^i(1-\varepsilon)^{N-i}PN{R(ν∗,ℓ∗)>ε}≤∑i=0d−1​(iN​)εi(1−ε)N−i for ε∈[0,1]\varepsilon\in[0,1]ε∈[0,1].
  2. Fully supported problems: ℓ∗=ℓd∗\ell^*=\ell^*_dℓ∗=ℓd∗​ with probability 111.
  3. Marginal of RdR_dRd​ (a corollary of the goal): PN{Rd≤ε}=1−∑i=0d−1(Ni)εi(1−ε)N−i\mathbb P^N\{R_d\le\varepsilon\}=1-\sum_{i=0}^{d-1}\binom Ni\varepsilon^i(1-\varepsilon)^{N-i}PN{Rd​≤ε}=1−∑i=0d−1​(iN​)εi(1−ε)N−i, the beta law B(d,N−d+1)B(d,N-d+1)B(d,N−d+1).

Significance

The result. The theorem controls the whole distribution function of the cost ℓ(ν∗,δ)\ell(\nu^*,\delta)ℓ(ν∗,δ) of the scenario solution on a new instance, not just one quantile of it. Discarding the extreme tails of the laws of Rd,…,RNR_d,\dots,R_NRd​,…,RN​ yields, with a prescribed confidence 1−β1-\beta1−β, a region (the book's "probability box", Figure 8.2) that contains the entire cumulative distribution function of ℓ(ν∗,δ)\ell(\nu^*,\delta)ℓ(ν∗,δ), computed from the sample alone. The first marginal recovers the classical Theorem 3.7, since ℓ∗≥ℓd∗\ell^*\ge\ell^*_dℓ∗≥ℓd∗​ makes the risk of ℓ∗\ell^*ℓ∗ at most RdR_dRd​.

Formalizing it. The theorem is proved in Carè, Garatti and Campi (2015); the book states it and gives no proof. No machine-checked version of the scenario approach, of its generalization theorem, or of ordered Dirichlet laws of risks is known to exist. A formalization would produce a checked proof of the distribution-free identity together with the combinatorial and measure-theoretic infrastructure (order statistics of sampled costs, laws of random risks) that the rest of scenario theory reuses. The milestones separate the classical beta bound, which is also the goal of the first mission of this series, from the new exact joint law.

Difficulty

The obvious attempt treats Rd,…,RNR_d,\dots,R_NRd​,…,RN​ as the order statistics of the uniform variables 1−F(ℓ(ν∗,δi))1-F(\ell(\nu^*,\delta_i))1−F(ℓ(ν∗,δi​)). That works only for d=1d=1d=1, when the decision space is a point and the costs are independent. For d≥2d\ge2d≥2 the decision ν∗\nu^*ν∗ is itself a function of the whole sample, so the sampled costs at ν∗\nu^*ν∗ are neither independent nor identically distributed, and the ddd-th cost is tied to the scenarios that determine the solution. The factor αdd−1\alpha_d^{d-1}αdd−1​ and the constant N!/(d−1)!N!/(d-1)!N!/(d−1)! encode exactly this dependence. Any argument must account for which scenarios are active at ν∗\nu^*ν∗ without assuming full support, since the theorem holds whether or not ℓ∗=ℓd∗\ell^*=\ell^*_dℓ∗=ℓd∗​.

Formalization scope

The decision space is EuclideanSpace ℝ (Fin n) and the book's ddd is n+1n+1n+1; the sample is ω : Fin N → Δ with law Measure.pi (fun _ => P). Empirical costs are read from Tuple.sort with kkk counted from 111; risks are real numbers (P {δ | c < ℓ ν δ}).toReal. The right-hand side of the goal is a Lebesgue integral over the box ∏k[0,εk]\prod_k[0,\varepsilon_k]∏k​[0,εk​] intersected with the ordered simplex, stated for all real εk\varepsilon_kεk​. The solution map ω↦ν∗\omega\mapsto\nu^*ω↦ν∗ is a hypothesis-constrained function, never an arbitrary map.

Implicit hypotheses of the book pinned down in the binders:

  • ℓ(⋅,δ)\ell(\cdot,\delta)ℓ(⋅,δ) is convex for every δ\deltaδ (p. 6).
  • Existence and uniqueness of the solution of the program for every sample size m≥1m\ge1m≥1 and every sample; the book's Assumption 3.6 says "every mmm", but the program with no scenario has no solution.
  • Nondegeneracy for every sample size m≥dm\ge dm≥d, not only for the NNN of the theorem, as Definition 8.3 is written.
  • Joint measurability of (ν,δ)↦ℓ(ν,δ)(\nu,\delta)\mapsto\ell(\nu,\delta)(ν,δ)↦ℓ(ν,δ) and measurability of the solution map (measurability is glossed over in the book, p. 6 footnote 1 and p. 33).
  • N≥dN\ge dN≥d, and ε∈[0,1]\varepsilon\in[0,1]ε∈[0,1] in the binomial-form statements.

A statement in which the solution is an arbitrary measurable map, or in which the nondegeneracy or existence hypothesis is unsatisfiable, would make the goal vacuous; the hypotheses here are met, for example, by ℓ(ν,δ)=∥ν−δ∥2\ell(\nu,\delta)=\|\nu-\delta\|^2ℓ(ν,δ)=∥ν−δ∥2 with a continuous law on Rn\mathbb R^{n}Rn, and for d=1d=1d=1 by any cost independent of ν\nuν with an atomless law.

A complete development needs: the scenario approach generalization theorem (reusable across this series), laws of order statistics of i.i.d. uniform variables, and the combinatorics of support sets of convex min-max programs. Proofs of the milestones, of the d=1d=1d=1 case of the goal, and of auxiliary facts about kthLargest are all welcome.

Selected references

  • M. C. Campi, S. Garatti, Introduction to the Scenario Approach, MOS-SIAM Series on Optimization 26, SIAM, 2018. doi:10.1137/1.9781611975444
  • A. Carè, S. Garatti, M. C. Campi, Scenario min-max optimization and the risk of empirical costs, SIAM J. Optim. 25(4):2061–2080, 2015. doi:10.1137/130928546
  • M. C. Campi, S. Garatti, The exact feasibility of randomized solutions of uncertain convex programs, SIAM J. Optim. 19:1211–1230, 2008. doi:10.1137/07069821X
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AnalysisControl TheoryPartial Differential Equations·Captain: mikedeng1

Stability and Instability Results of the Wave Equation with a Delay Term in the Boundary or Internal Feedbacks IV: Arbitrarily Small Destabilizing Delays for Internal DampingResearch Paper

Motivation

Feedback laws in engineering are applied with a lag: sensors, actuators and communication channels introduce a time delay τ\tauτ between the measurement of a state and the control that reacts to it. For finite-dimensional systems small delays are usually harmless. For distributed systems such as the wave equation they need not be: Datko, Lagnese and Polis (SIAM J. Control Optim. 24, 1986) and Datko (SIAM J. Control Optim. 26, 1988) showed, for one-dimensional examples, that an arbitrarily small delay in a stabilizing feedback can destroy stability. The question matters to anyone who designs boundary or internal controllers for vibrating structures and wants to know whether a stabilizing law is robust to delay.

Nicaise and Pignotti (SIAM J. Control Optim. 45 (2006)) study the wave equation on a bounded domain of Rn\mathbb R^nRn with a damping term that combines an instantaneous and a delayed velocity feedback, with coefficients μ1\mu_1μ1​ and μ2\mu_2μ2​. They show that the system is exponentially stable when μ2<μ1\mu_2 < \mu_1μ2​<μ1​ (Theorems 1.1 and 1.3), and that when μ2≥μ1\mu_2 \ge \mu_1μ2​≥μ1​ stability can fail (Theorems 1.2 and 1.4). This mission is Theorem 1.4, the internal-damping instability result, in the case the paper proves.

  • 1986–1988: Datko, Lagnese and Polis; Datko — destabilization by small delays in one-dimensional boundary-damped wave equations.
  • 2006: Nicaise and Pignotti — the multi-dimensional dichotomy μ2<μ1\mu_2 < \mu_1μ2​<μ1​ (stability) versus μ2≥μ1\mu_2 \ge \mu_1μ2​≥μ1​ (instability for some delays), for boundary and internal feedback.

Setting

Let n≥1n \ge 1n≥1 and let Ω⊂Rn\Omega \subset \mathbb R^nΩ⊂Rn be a bounded open set with boundary Γ\GammaΓ of class C2C^2C2, split as Γ=ΓD∪ΓN\Gamma = \Gamma_D \cup \Gamma_NΓ=ΓD​∪ΓN​ with ΓD‾∩ΓN‾=∅\overline{\Gamma_D} \cap \overline{\Gamma_N} = \emptysetΓD​​∩ΓN​​=∅ and ΓD≠∅\Gamma_D \neq \emptysetΓD​=∅. Write ν\nuν for the outer unit normal and ∂u/∂ν\partial u/\partial\nu∂u/∂ν for the normal derivative. Let μ1>0\mu_1 > 0μ1​>0, μ2>0\mu_2 > 0μ2​>0 and let τ>0\tau > 0τ>0 be the delay. With damping coefficient a≡1a \equiv 1a≡1 the problem is

utt(x,t)−Δu(x,t)+μ1ut(x,t)+μ2ut(x,t−τ)=0in Ω×(0,∞),u_{tt}(x,t) - \Delta u(x,t) + \mu_1 u_t(x,t) + \mu_2 u_t(x,t-\tau) = 0 \quad \text{in } \Omega \times (0,\infty),utt​(x,t)−Δu(x,t)+μ1​ut​(x,t)+μ2​ut​(x,t−τ)=0in Ω×(0,∞), u=0  on ΓD×(0,∞),∂u∂ν=0  on ΓN×(0,∞),u = 0 \ \text{ on } \Gamma_D \times (0,\infty), \qquad \frac{\partial u}{\partial\nu} = 0 \ \text{ on } \Gamma_N \times (0,\infty),u=0  on ΓD​×(0,∞),∂ν∂u​=0  on ΓN​×(0,∞),

with initial data u(⋅,0)=u0u(\cdot,0) = u_0u(⋅,0)=u0​, ut(⋅,0)=u1u_t(\cdot,0) = u_1ut​(⋅,0)=u1​ and a history ut=g0u_t = g_0ut​=g0​ on Ω×(−τ,0)\Omega \times (-\tau, 0)Ω×(−τ,0). The standard energy of a solution is

E(t)=12∫Ω{∣ut(x,t)∣2+∣∇u(x,t)∣2} dx.\mathcal E(t) = \frac12 \int_\Omega \big\{ |u_t(x,t)|^2 + |\nabla u(x,t)|^2 \big\}\,dx .E(t)=21​∫Ω​{∣ut​(x,t)∣2+∣∇u(x,t)∣2}dx.

The condition μ2<μ1\mu_2 < \mu_1μ2​<μ1​ is the paper's assumption (1.8). The paper's problem (1.12)–(1.16) carries a general coefficient a∈L∞(Ω)a \in L^\infty(\Omega)a∈L∞(Ω) with a≥0a \ge 0a≥0 and a>a0>0a > a_0 > 0a>a0​>0 near ΓN\Gamma_NΓN​; a≡1a \equiv 1a≡1 is one such coefficient.

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem 1.4 for a≡1a \equiv 1a≡1

If (1.8) fails, i.e. 0<μ1≤μ20 < \mu_1 \le \mu_20<μ1​≤μ2​, then

∀ε>0 ∃τ∈(0,ε) ∃u solving the problem with delay τ:  E(t)↛0 (t→∞),\forall \varepsilon > 0\ \exists \tau \in (0,\varepsilon)\ \exists u \text{ solving the problem with delay } \tau:\ \ \mathcal E(t) \not\to 0 \ (t \to \infty),∀ε>0 ∃τ∈(0,ε) ∃u solving the problem with delay τ:  E(t)→0 (t→∞),

and the same holds with "τ∈(0,ε)\tau \in (0,\varepsilon)τ∈(0,ε)" replaced by "τ>M\tau > Mτ>M", for every MMM. The goal asserts only non-decay, not a rate of growth or the value of the energy, so it survives any sharpening of the examples.

Milestones

  1. (5.21)–(5.23): if φ\varphiφ is an eigenfunction of the mixed Dirichlet–Neumann Laplacian, Δφ=−Λ2φ\Delta\varphi = -\Lambda^2\varphiΔφ=−Λ2φ, and λ∈C\lambda \in \mathbb Cλ∈C solves λ2+(μ1+μ2e−λτ)λ=−Λ2\lambda^2 + (\mu_1 + \mu_2 e^{-\lambda\tau})\lambda = -\Lambda^2λ2+(μ1​+μ2​e−λτ)λ=−Λ2, then eλtφ(x)e^{\lambda t}\varphi(x)eλtφ(x) is a solution.
  2. (5.24)–(5.25): with λ=α+iβ\lambda = \alpha + i\betaλ=α+iβ and βτ=(2l+1)π\beta\tau = (2l+1)\piβτ=(2l+1)π, that equation is equivalent to α2+β2=Λ2\alpha^2 + \beta^2 = \Lambda^2α2+β2=Λ2, μ2e−ατ=2α+μ1\mu_2 e^{-\alpha\tau} = 2\alpha + \mu_1μ2​e−ατ=2α+μ1​.
  3. Case (a), μ1=μ2\mu_1 = \mu_2μ1​=μ2​: the system forces α=0\alpha = 0α=0 and β2=Λ2\beta^2 = \Lambda^2β2=Λ2.
  4. Case (b), μ2>μ1\mu_2 > \mu_1μ2​>μ1​, (5.26)–(5.27): for every Λ>0\Lambda > 0Λ>0 and lll there is α∈(0,(μ2−μ1)/2)\alpha \in (0, (\mu_2-\mu_1)/2)α∈(0,(μ2​−μ1​)/2) with τ(α)=α−1ln⁡(μ2/(μ1+2α))>0\tau(\alpha) = \alpha^{-1}\ln(\mu_2/(\mu_1+2\alpha)) > 0τ(α)=α−1ln(μ2​/(μ1​+2α))>0 solving the system.
  5. Energy of separated solutions (p. 1584): E(t)=e2 Re(λ)t E(0)\mathcal E(t) = e^{2\,\mathrm{Re}(\lambda)t}\,\mathcal E(0)E(t)=e2Re(λ)tE(0) with E(0)>0\mathcal E(0) > 0E(0)>0.
  6. Delay bounds (p. 1585, corrected): (2l+1)π/Λ<τ<(2l+1)π/Λ2−(μ2−μ1)2/4(2l+1)\pi/\Lambda < \tau < (2l+1)\pi/\sqrt{\Lambda^2 - (\mu_2-\mu_1)^2/4}(2l+1)π/Λ<τ<(2l+1)π/Λ2−(μ2​−μ1​)2/4​, the second when Λ2>(μ2−μ1)2/4\Lambda^2 > (\mu_2-\mu_1)^2/4Λ2>(μ2​−μ1​)2/4.

Significance

The result shows that the stability threshold μ2<μ1\mu_2 < \mu_1μ2​<μ1​ of Theorem 1.3 is sharp in the sense that matters for design: at or beyond the threshold there is no delay margin, since delays as small as desired already produce solutions whose energy does not decay. Together with Theorem 1.3 it gives a complete dichotomy in the coefficients (μ1,μ2)(\mu_1,\mu_2)(μ1​,μ2​) for the internally damped wave equation with delay, in any dimension, and it identifies the mechanism (roots of the characteristic equation on or to the right of the imaginary axis) that later work on delayed stabilization has had to avoid.

The result is proved in the paper; to the best of current knowledge it has not been machine-checked. The mission's product is a formal proof of the a≡1a \equiv 1a≡1 case together with its algebraic core: the reduction of the transcendental characteristic equation, the analysis of both cases, and the two-sided bounds on the delays. The spectral input it needs, an unbounded sequence of eigenvalues of the mixed Dirichlet–Neumann Laplacian with regular eigenfunctions, is reusable well beyond this paper.

Difficulty

The scalar part is elementary. The difficulty is the spectral input. The small delays come from τn,l≈(2l+1)π/Λn\tau_{n,l} \approx (2l+1)\pi/\Lambda_nτn,l​≈(2l+1)π/Λn​ with Λn→∞\Lambda_n \to \inftyΛn​→∞, so the proof needs infinitely many eigenvalues Λn2→∞\Lambda_n^2 \to \inftyΛn2​→∞ of the Laplacian with mixed Dirichlet–Neumann conditions on a C2C^2C2 domain, with eigenfunctions that are C2C^2C2 inside and C1C^1C1 up to the boundary. This requires compactness of the embedding HΓD1(Ω)↪L2(Ω)H^1_{\Gamma_D}(\Omega) \hookrightarrow L^2(\Omega)HΓD​1​(Ω)↪L2(Ω), the spectral theorem for compact self-adjoint operators, and elliptic regularity for a mixed problem, none of which is available in Mathlib for domains in Rn\mathbb R^nRn. A single eigenpair gives only the large delays (letting l→∞l \to \inftyl→∞); it does not give the small ones.

A second point: the paper's own bound (2l+1)2π2/τn,l2≤Λn2(2l+1)^2\pi^2/\tau_{n,l}^2 \le \Lambda_n^2(2l+1)2π2/τn,l2​≤Λn2​ bounds τn,l\tau_{n,l}τn,l​ only from below, so it does not by itself give τn,l→0\tau_{n,l} \to 0τn,l​→0; the upper bound of milestone 6 is needed.

Formalization scope

  • Space: Rn\mathbb R^nRn is EuclideanSpace ℝ (Fin n) with n≥1n \ge 1n≥1. The C2C^2C2 boundary is given by a global C2C^2C2 defining function ψ\psiψ (Ω={ψ<0}\Omega = \{\psi < 0\}Ω={ψ<0}, ∂Ω={ψ=0}\partial\Omega = \{\psi = 0\}∂Ω={ψ=0}, ∇ψ≠0\nabla\psi \ne 0∇ψ=0 on ∂Ω\partial\Omega∂Ω); ν=∇ψ/∣∇ψ∣\nu = \nabla\psi/|\nabla\psi|ν=∇ψ/∣∇ψ∣; the surface measure is pinned by the Gauss–Green formula for all C1C^1C1 fields.
  • Solutions are complex valued functions u(x,t)u(x,t)u(x,t) defined for all t∈Rt \in \mathbb Rt∈R, C2C^2C2 on Ω×R\Omega \times \mathbb RΩ×R and C1C^1C1 on Ω‾×R\overline\Omega \times \mathbb RΩ×R; the equation and boundary conditions hold for t>0t > 0t>0; initial data and history are the traces of uuu. The Neumann condition uses the derivative within Ω‾\overline\OmegaΩ. ∣∇u∣2|\nabla u|^2∣∇u∣2 is the sum of the squared moduli of the partial derivatives.
  • Corrected scope: Theorem 1.4 is printed for a general aaa satisfying (1.17)–(1.18); §5.2 proves it only for a≡1a \equiv 1a≡1, which is what is stated.
  • Corrected slips: (5.22) prints Δφ=−μ2φ\Delta\varphi = -\mu^2\varphiΔφ=−μ2φ for −Λ2φ-\Lambda^2\varphi−Λ2φ; p. 1584 prints eα+iβφ(x)e^{\alpha+i\beta}\varphi(x)eα+iβφ(x) for e(α+iβ)tφ(x)e^{(\alpha+i\beta)t}\varphi(x)e(α+iβ)tφ(x); the p. 1585 bound is supplemented by the upper bound of milestone 6. Milestone texts are quoted verbatim, including the slips.
  • The standing hypotheses (1.6)–(1.7) and the constant ξ\xiξ of (1.10) are not used by §5.2 and are omitted, which strengthens the statements.
  • A trivializing formalization is ruled out: the goal's conclusion E↛0\mathcal E \not\to 0E→0 excludes u≡0u \equiv 0u≡0, the energy integrand is continuous on the compact Ω‾\overline\OmegaΩ so the integral is genuine, and the normal derivative is taken within Ω‾\overline\OmegaΩ so the Neumann condition is not satisfied by a junk value.
  • No statement assumes the existence of eigenvalues; supplying the spectral theory of the mixed Laplacian is part of the goal. Contributions welcome: the spectral theorem for the mixed Dirichlet–Neumann Laplacian on a bounded C2C^2C2 domain, boundary regularity of its eigenfunctions, and the energy identity for separated solutions.

Selected references

  • S. Nicaise, C. Pignotti, Stability and instability results of the wave equation with a delay term in the boundary or internal feedbacks, SIAM J. Control Optim. 45(5):1561–1585, 2006. https://doi.org/10.1137/060648891
  • R. Datko, Not all feedback stabilized hyperbolic systems are robust with respect to small time delays in their feedbacks, SIAM J. Control Optim. 26:697–713, 1988.
  • R. Datko, J. Lagnese, M. P. Polis, An example on the effect of time delays in boundary feedback stabilization of wave equations, SIAM J. Control Optim. 24:152–156, 1986.
  • P. Grisvard, Elliptic Problems in Nonsmooth Domains, Pitman, 1985 (regularity of mixed boundary value problems).
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AnalysisControl TheoryPartial Differential Equations·Captain: mikedeng1

Stability and Instability Results of the Wave Equation with a Delay Term in the Boundary or Internal Feedbacks III: Destabilizing Delays for Boundary FeedbackResearch Paper

Motivation

Boundary feedback stabilization of the wave equation asks whether a damping term placed on part of the boundary drives the energy of every solution to zero. Without delay the answer is classical: the feedback ∂u/∂ν=−μ1ut\partial u/\partial\nu = -\mu_1 u_t∂u/∂ν=−μ1​ut​ on a part ΓN\Gamma_NΓN​ of the boundary gives exponential energy decay under geometric conditions (Chen, Lagnese, Lasiecka–Triggiani, Komornik–Zuazua). In practice a feedback is applied with a lag, and a small lag can destroy stability. Datko, Lagnese and Polis (doi:10.1137/0324007) and Datko (doi:10.1137/0326040) showed, in one space dimension, that a purely delayed boundary feedback destabilizes the system for arbitrarily small delays.

Nicaise and Pignotti (doi:10.1137/060648891) study a feedback made of an instantaneous part and a delayed part, with weights μ1\mu_1μ1​ and μ2\mu_2μ2​, in any space dimension. Their Theorem 1.1 gives exponential decay when μ2<μ1\mu_2 < \mu_1μ2​<μ1​. This mission formalizes the converse, Theorem 1.2: when μ2≥μ1\mu_2 \ge \mu_1μ2​≥μ1​, some delays admit solutions whose energy does not decay at all.

Timeline.

  • 1986: Datko, Lagnese and Polis, a one-dimensional wave equation whose delayed boundary feedback is unstable.
  • 1988: Datko, instability under arbitrarily small delays for a class of hyperbolic systems.
  • 2006: Xu, Yung and Li (doi:10.1051/cocv:2006021), one space dimension, by spectral analysis: stability for μ2<μ1\mu_2 < \mu_1μ2​<μ1​, instability for μ2>μ1\mu_2 > \mu_1μ2​>μ1​, possible instabilities for μ1=μ2\mu_1 = \mu_2μ1​=μ2​.
  • 2006: Nicaise and Pignotti, the same dichotomy in any dimension nnn, with explicit destabilizing delays built from eigenfunctions (§5.1).

Setting

Let n≥1n \ge 1n≥1 and let Ω⊂Rn\Omega \subset \mathbb R^nΩ⊂Rn be a bounded open set with boundary Γ\GammaΓ of class C2C^2C2. The boundary is split as Γ=ΓD∪ΓN\Gamma = \Gamma_D \cup \Gamma_NΓ=ΓD​∪ΓN​, with ΓD‾∩ΓN‾=∅\overline{\Gamma_D} \cap \overline{\Gamma_N} = \emptysetΓD​​∩ΓN​​=∅ and ΓD≠∅\Gamma_D \neq \emptysetΓD​=∅. Write ν\nuν for the outer unit normal and dΓd\GammadΓ for the surface measure. Together these data form a mixed domain (MixedDomain n in Lean).

Fix μ1,μ2>0\mu_1, \mu_2 > 0μ1​,μ2​>0 and a delay τ>0\tau > 0τ>0. The problem (1.1)–(1.3) is

{utt(x,t)−Δu(x,t)=0in Ω×(0,+∞),u(x,t)=0on ΓD×(0,+∞),∂u∂ν(x,t)=−μ1ut(x,t)−μ2ut(x,t−τ)on ΓN×(0,+∞),\begin{cases} u_{tt}(x,t) - \Delta u(x,t) = 0 & \text{in } \Omega \times (0,+\infty),\\ u(x,t) = 0 & \text{on } \Gamma_D \times (0,+\infty),\\ \dfrac{\partial u}{\partial\nu}(x,t) = -\mu_1 u_t(x,t) - \mu_2 u_t(x,t-\tau) & \text{on } \Gamma_N \times (0,+\infty), \end{cases}⎩⎨⎧​utt​(x,t)−Δu(x,t)=0u(x,t)=0∂ν∂u​(x,t)=−μ1​ut​(x,t)−μ2​ut​(x,t−τ)​in Ω×(0,+∞),on ΓD​×(0,+∞),on ΓN​×(0,+∞),​

with initial data u(⋅,0)u(\cdot,0)u(⋅,0), ut(⋅,0)u_t(\cdot,0)ut​(⋅,0) and a history utu_tut​ on ΓN×(−τ,0)\Gamma_N \times (-\tau,0)ΓN​×(−τ,0) (1.4)–(1.5). The standard energy of a solution is (3.7)

E(t)=12∫Ω(∣ut(x,t)∣2+∣∇u(x,t)∣2) dx.\mathcal E(t) = \frac12\int_\Omega \big(|u_t(x,t)|^2 + |\nabla u(x,t)|^2\big)\,dx .E(t)=21​∫Ω​(∣ut​(x,t)∣2+∣∇u(x,t)∣2)dx.

Condition (1.8) of the paper is μ2<μ1\mu_2 < \mu_1μ2​<μ1​. This mission concerns the complementary case μ2≥μ1\mu_2 \ge \mu_1μ2​≥μ1​.

For real functions www on Ω\OmegaΩ, (5.11) defines q0(w)=∫ΓN∣w∣2 dΓq_0(w) = \int_{\Gamma_N} |w|^2\,d\Gammaq0​(w)=∫ΓN​​∣w∣2dΓ and q1(w)=∫Ω∣∇w∣2 dxq_1(w) = \int_\Omega |\nabla w|^2\,dxq1​(w)=∫Ω​∣∇w∣2dx.

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem 1.2 (p. 1563)

If μ2≥μ1\mu_2 \ge \mu_1μ2​≥μ1​, there exist delays 0<τ0<τ1<⋯0 < \tau_0 < \tau_1 < \cdots0<τ0​<τ1​<⋯ and, for each kkk, a classical solution uku_kuk​ of (1.1)–(1.3) with delay τk\tau_kτk​ and a constant ck>0c_k > 0ck​>0 such that

Ek(t)=ckfor all t≥0.\mathcal E_k(t) = c_k \qquad \text{for all } t \ge 0 .Ek​(t)=ck​for all t≥0.

The statement fixes no formula for the delays and no value of the energy. It asserts only the existence of infinitely many delays for which the energy does not decay.

Milestones

  1. (5.1)–(5.2), pp. 1579–1580. If λ∈C\lambda \in \mathbb Cλ∈C and φ\varphiφ solves −Δφ+λ2φ=0-\Delta\varphi + \lambda^2\varphi = 0−Δφ+λ2φ=0 in Ω\OmegaΩ, φ=0\varphi = 0φ=0 on ΓD\Gamma_DΓD​ and ∂φ/∂ν=−(μ1+μ2e−λτ)λφ\partial\varphi/\partial\nu = -(\mu_1 + \mu_2 e^{-\lambda\tau})\lambda\varphi∂φ/∂ν=−(μ1​+μ2​e−λτ)λφ on ΓN\Gamma_NΓN​, then u=eλtφu = e^{\lambda t}\varphiu=eλtφ solves (1.1)–(1.3).
  2. (5.5)–(5.7), pp. 1580 and 1582. For b>0b > 0b>0, l∈Nl \in \mathbb Nl∈N and bτ=arccos⁡(−μ1/μ2)+2lπb\tau = \arccos(-\mu_1/\mu_2) + 2l\pibτ=arccos(−μ1​/μ2​)+2lπ:
cos⁡(bτ)=−μ1/μ2,μ2sin⁡(bτ)=μ22−μ12,(μ1+μ2e−ibτ) ib=bμ22−μ12.\cos(b\tau) = -\mu_1/\mu_2,\qquad \mu_2\sin(b\tau) = \sqrt{\mu_2^2-\mu_1^2},\qquad (\mu_1 + \mu_2e^{-ib\tau})\,ib = b\sqrt{\mu_2^2-\mu_1^2}.cos(bτ)=−μ1​/μ2​,μ2​sin(bτ)=μ22​−μ12​​,(μ1​+μ2​e−ibτ)ib=bμ22​−μ12​​.
  1. Case (a), μ1=μ2\mu_1 = \mu_2μ1​=μ2​, p. 1581. For a normalized mixed Dirichlet–Neumann eigenfunction φ\varphiφ with −Δφ=b2φ-\Delta\varphi = b^2\varphi−Δφ=b2φ and τ=(2l+1)π/b\tau = (2l+1)\pi/bτ=(2l+1)π/b, the function u=eibtφu = e^{ibt}\varphiu=eibtφ is a solution and
∫Ω(∣∇u∣2+∣ut∣2) dx=2b2(t≥0).\int_\Omega(|\nabla u|^2 + |u_t|^2)\,dx = 2b^2 \quad (t \ge 0).∫Ω​(∣∇u∣2+∣ut​∣2)dx=2b2(t≥0).
  1. Case (b), μ2>μ1\mu_2 > \mu_1μ2​>μ1​, pp. 1581–1582. A normalized minimizer φ\varphiφ of s q0(w)+s2q0(w)2+4q1(w)s\,q_0(w) + \sqrt{s^2q_0(w)^2 + 4q_1(w)}sq0​(w)+s2q0​(w)2+4q1​(w)​, where s=μ22−μ12s = \sqrt{\mu_2^2-\mu_1^2}s=μ22​−μ12​​, solves the variational problem (5.7) with 2b2b2b equal to the minimum value.

Significance

The result. Theorem 1.2 shows that the threshold μ2<μ1\mu_2 < \mu_1μ2​<μ1​ of Theorem 1.1 is sharp in the following sense: once the delayed weight reaches the instantaneous one, no geometric assumption restores asymptotic stability for every delay. Together, Theorems 1.1 and 1.2 separate robust from non-robust boundary feedbacks by a single inequality between the two gains. The explicit delays of case (a), τn,l=(2l+1)π/bn\tau_{n,l} = (2l+1)\pi/b_nτn,l​=(2l+1)π/bn​, become arbitrarily small or large. So even an arbitrarily short lag in an equally weighted feedback can remove decay.

The formalization. The paper proves the result. It has not been formalized, and Mathlib has no wave equation on domains, no mixed eigenvalue problems and no Sobolev spaces on domains. This mission produces:

  • a machine-checked statement of the instability half of the paper's dichotomy;
  • the reduction to a spectral problem as separate, checkable steps;
  • a precise record of what the paper leaves implicit. In case (b) the existence of the minimizer is assumed ("if the minimum … is attained"), and in case (a) the existence of Dirichlet–Neumann eigenfunctions is quoted.

Difficulty

Milestones 1 and 2 are calculus and trigonometry. The difficulty sits in producing φ\varphiφ. The goal needs a nonzero function φ\varphiφ that is C2C^2C2 in Ω\OmegaΩ and C1C^1C1 up to the boundary and solves an eigenvalue problem with mixed Dirichlet and Neumann (case (a)) or Dirichlet and Robin-type (case (b)) boundary conditions. Existence requires compactness of HΓD1(Ω)↪L2(Ω)H^1_{\Gamma_D}(\Omega) \hookrightarrow L^2(\Omega)HΓD​1​(Ω)↪L2(Ω) and of the trace into L2(ΓN)L^2(\Gamma_N)L2(ΓN​), followed by elliptic regularity up to a C2C^2C2 boundary. None of these is in Mathlib.

A shortcut does not work: in case (b) the frequency bbb enters the boundary condition, so φ\varphiφ is not an eigenfunction of a fixed self-adjoint operator. The page instead minimizes a non-quadratic functional, and its first-variation computation (5.18)–(5.19) needs care: the functional is not 2-homogeneous, so the normalization by 1+ε2∥v∥21 + \varepsilon^2\|v\|^21+ε2∥v∥2 does not literally give g(ε)≥g(0)g(\varepsilon) \ge g(0)g(ε)≥g(0), although the first-order condition is right.

Taking real parts does not give a real-valued solution with constant energy: in case (b) the energy of cos⁡(bt)φ\cos(bt)\varphicos(bt)φ oscillates.

Formalization scope

  • Solutions are complex-valued, u:Rn×R→Cu : \mathbb R^n \times \mathbb R \to \mathbb Cu:Rn×R→C, as the page's eλtφe^{\lambda t}\varphieλtφ with λ∈C\lambda \in \mathbb Cλ∈C are. ∣ut∣2|u_t|^2∣ut​∣2 and ∣∇u∣2=∑i∣∂iu∣2|\nabla u|^2 = \sum_i |\partial_i u|^2∣∇u∣2=∑i​∣∂i​u∣2 are squared moduli.
  • Classical solutions. A solution is C2C^2C2 on Ω×R\Omega \times \mathbb RΩ×R and C1C^1C1 on Ω‾×R\overline\Omega \times \mathbb RΩ×R. It solves the equations for t>0t > 0t>0, and its values at t≤0t \le 0t≤0 are the initial data and history. The normal derivative is the derivative within Ω‾\overline\OmegaΩ applied to ν\nuν. C2C^2C2 regularity up to the boundary is not required, because eigenfunctions of mixed problems generally lack it.
  • The domain. The C2C^2C2 boundary is given by a global defining function ψ\psiψ with Ω={ψ<0}\Omega = \{\psi < 0\}Ω={ψ<0}. The surface measure is pinned down by the Gauss–Green formula for all C1C^1C1 vector fields, which determines it uniquely.
  • Dropped hypotheses. The geometric hypotheses (1.6)–(1.7) and the parameter ξ\xiξ of (1.10) are not used in §5.1 and are omitted. This strengthens the statements.
  • Sobolev spaces. HΓD1(Ω)H^1_{\Gamma_D}(\Omega)HΓD​1​(Ω) is replaced in milestone 4 by the class of real functions that are C2C^2C2 in Ω\OmegaΩ, C1C^1C1 on Ω‾\overline\OmegaΩ and zero on ΓD\Gamma_DΓD​, both as the minimization class and as the test class.
  • Non-triviality. The goal requires the constant energy to be positive and the delays to be strictly increasing. Without positivity, the zero solution would satisfy "constant energy". Without strict monotonicity, one delay repeated would count as a sequence.

A complete development needs the following:

  • Green's first identity on C2C^2C2 domains for functions that are C1C^1C1 up to the boundary;
  • existence and regularity of eigenfunctions of the Laplacian with mixed boundary conditions;
  • in case (b), existence of the minimizer (Rellich compactness and the trace theorem).

These pieces are reusable well beyond this mission. Contributions of any of them, or of an alternative route to a φ\varphiφ with the required properties, are welcome.

Selected references

  • S. Nicaise, C. Pignotti, Stability and instability results of the wave equation with a delay term in the boundary or internal feedbacks, SIAM J. Control Optim. 45(5):1561–1585, 2006. https://doi.org/10.1137/060648891
  • R. Datko, J. Lagnese, M. P. Polis, An example on the effect of time delays in boundary feedback stabilization of wave equations, SIAM J. Control Optim. 24:152–156, 1986. https://doi.org/10.1137/0324007
  • R. Datko, Not all feedback stabilized hyperbolic systems are robust with respect to small time delays in their feedbacks, SIAM J. Control Optim. 26:697–713, 1988. https://doi.org/10.1137/0326040
  • G. Q. Xu, S. P. Yung, L. K. Li, Stabilization of wave systems with input delay in the boundary control, ESAIM Control Optim. Calc. Var. 12:770–785, 2006. https://doi.org/10.1051/cocv:2006021
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Operations ResearchOptimization·Captain: mikedeng1

Global Convergence of Splitting Methods for Nonconvex Composite Optimization III: For Semi-Algebraic Problems the ADMM Sequence Converges and Has Finite LengthResearch Paper

Motivation

The alternating direction method of multipliers (ADMM) is a standard method for problems of the form min⁡xh(x)+P(Mx)\min_x h(x)+P(\mathcal Mx)minx​h(x)+P(Mx), in which a smooth loss hhh is composed with a structured, possibly nonsmooth regularizer PPP through a linear map M\mathcal MM. Its convergence theory was developed for convex problems, yet it is routinely run on nonconvex ones: sparse recovery with the ℓ0\ell_0ℓ0​ constraint, low-rank matrix problems, and total-variation-type models with nonconvex penalties. For such problems a practitioner wants a guarantee about the iterates actually produced, not only about the existence of good subsequences.

Li and Pong (arXiv:1407.0753v6, SIAM J. Optim. 25(4), 2015) gave the first such guarantee for the classical ADMM on nonconvex composite problems with a surjective M\mathcal MM. Their Theorem 1 shows that cluster points of the (proximal) ADMM are stationary; their Theorem 3, the subject of this mission, shows that for semi-algebraic data the whole sequence converges. The argument adapts the Kurdyka–Łojasiewicz (KL) framework of Attouch, Bolte and Svaiter (Math. Program. 137, 2013) to a setting where the ADMM only decreases its merit function in the xxx-block.

Setting

Fix M:Rn→Rm\mathcal M:\mathbb R^n\to\mathbb R^mM:Rn→Rm linear, h:Rn→Rh:\mathbb R^n\to\mathbb Rh:Rn→R twice continuously differentiable with bounded Hessian, and P:Rm→(−∞,+∞]P:\mathbb R^m\to(-\infty,+\infty]P:Rm→(−∞,+∞] proper (finite somewhere) and closed (lower semicontinuous). For β>0\beta>0β>0 the augmented Lagrangian is

Lβ(x,y,z)=h(x)+P(y)−⟨z,Mx−y⟩+β2∥Mx−y∥2.L_\beta(x,y,z)=h(x)+P(y)-\langle z,\mathcal Mx-y\rangle+\tfrac\beta2\|\mathcal Mx-y\|^2 .Lβ​(x,y,z)=h(x)+P(y)−⟨z,Mx−y⟩+2β​∥Mx−y∥2.

The ADMM produces (xt,yt,zt)t≥0(x^t,y^t,z^t)_{t\ge0}(xt,yt,zt)t≥0​ from arbitrary (x0,z0)(x^0,z^0)(x0,z0) by

yt+1∈Arg min⁡yLβ(xt,y,zt),xt+1∈Arg min⁡xLβ(x,yt+1,zt),zt+1=zt−β(Mxt+1−yt+1).y^{t+1}\in\operatorname*{Arg\,min}_y L_\beta(x^t,y,z^t),\quad x^{t+1}\in\operatorname*{Arg\,min}_x L_\beta(x,y^{t+1},z^t),\quad z^{t+1}=z^t-\beta(\mathcal Mx^{t+1}-y^{t+1}).yt+1∈yArgmin​Lβ​(xt,y,zt),xt+1∈xArgmin​Lβ​(x,yt+1,zt),zt+1=zt−β(Mxt+1−yt+1).

Assumption 1 with T1=0\mathcal T_1=0T1​=0 asks for σ,δ>0\sigma,\delta>0σ,δ>0, γ∈(0,1)\gamma\in(0,1)γ∈(0,1) and symmetric maps Q1,Q2,Q3\mathcal Q_1,\mathcal Q_2,\mathcal Q_3Q1​,Q2​,Q3​ with MM∗⪰σI\mathcal M\mathcal M^*\succeq\sigma\mathcal IMM∗⪰σI, Q1⪰∇2h(x)⪰Q2\mathcal Q_1\succeq\nabla^2h(x)\succeq\mathcal Q_2Q1​⪰∇2h(x)⪰Q2​ and Q3⪰[∇2h(x)]2\mathcal Q_3\succeq[\nabla^2h(x)]^2Q3​⪰[∇2h(x)]2 for all xxx, Q2+βM∗M⪰δI\mathcal Q_2+\beta\mathcal M^*\mathcal M\succeq\delta\mathcal IQ2​+βM∗M⪰δI, and δI≻2σβγQ3\delta\mathcal I\succ\frac{2}{\sigma\beta\gamma}\mathcal Q_3δI≻σβγ2​Q3​.

The limiting subdifferential ∂f(x)\partial f(x)∂f(x) of fff consists of limits vvv of regular subgradients vtv^tvt at points xt→xx^t\to xxt→x with f(xt)→f(x)f(x^t)\to f(x)f(xt)→f(x). A point xxx is stationary if 0∈∇h(x)+M∗∂P(Mx)0\in\nabla h(x)+\mathcal M^*\partial P(\mathcal Mx)0∈∇h(x)+M∗∂P(Mx).

A set in RN\mathbb R^NRN is semi-algebraic if it is a finite union of sets cut out by finitely many polynomial equations pi=0p_i=0pi​=0 and strict inequalities gj<0g_j<0gj​<0; a function is semi-algebraic if its graph is. A proper fff has the KL property at x^∈dom⁡∂f\hat x\in\operatorname{dom}\partial fx^∈dom∂f if there are η>0\eta>0η>0, a neighbourhood VVV of x^\hat xx^ and a continuous concave φ:[0,η)→R+\varphi:[0,\eta)\to\mathbb R_+φ:[0,η)→R+​ with φ(0)=0\varphi(0)=0φ(0)=0, φ∈C1(0,η)\varphi\in C^1(0,\eta)φ∈C1(0,η), φ′>0\varphi'>0φ′>0, such that φ′(f(x)−f(x^)) dist⁡(0,∂f(x))≥1\varphi'(f(x)-f(\hat x))\,\operatorname{dist}(0,\partial f(x))\ge1φ′(f(x)−f(x^))dist(0,∂f(x))≥1 whenever x∈Vx\in Vx∈V and f(x^)<f(x)<f(x^)+ηf(\hat x)<f(x)<f(\hat x)+\etaf(x^)<f(x)<f(x^)+η. A KL function is proper, closed, and KL at every point of dom⁡∂f\operatorname{dom}\partial fdom∂f.

In the Lean development LβL_\betaLβ​ is augLag h P M β x y z, and also augLagX h P M β as a single function on the triple space Rn×Rm×Rm\mathbb R^n\times\mathbb R^m\times\mathbb R^mRn×Rm×Rm with the Euclidean inner product.

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem 3 (p. 13)

Under the standing assumptions and Assumption 1 with T1=0\mathcal T_1=0T1​=0, if hhh and PPP are semi-algebraic and the ADMM sequence has a cluster point (x∗,y∗,z∗)(x^*,y^*,z^*)(x∗,y∗,z∗), then

(xt,yt,zt)→(x∗,y∗,z∗),0∈∇h(x∗)+M∗∂P(Mx∗),∑t∥xt+1−xt∥<∞.(x^t,y^t,z^t)\to(x^*,y^*,z^*),\qquad 0\in\nabla h(x^*)+\mathcal M^*\partial P(\mathcal Mx^*),\qquad \sum_{t}\|x^{t+1}-x^t\|<\infty .(xt,yt,zt)→(x∗,y∗,z∗),0∈∇h(x∗)+M∗∂P(Mx∗),t∑​∥xt+1−xt∥<∞.

No constants are fixed: every parameter is quantified exactly as in the paper.

Milestones

  1. (35): some w∈∂Lβ(xt+1,yt+1,zt+1)w\in\partial L_\beta(x^{t+1},y^{t+1},z^{t+1})w∈∂Lβ​(xt+1,yt+1,zt+1) has ∥w∥≤C∥xt+1−xt∥\|w\|\le C\|x^{t+1}-x^t\|∥w∥≤C∥xt+1−xt∥ for t≥1t\ge1t≥1.
  2. (36): Lβ(xt,yt,zt)−Lβ(xt+1,yt+1,zt+1)≥D∥xt+1−xt∥2L_\beta(x^t,y^t,z^t)-L_\beta(x^{t+1},y^{t+1},z^{t+1})\ge D\|x^{t+1}-x^t\|^2Lβ​(xt,yt,zt)−Lβ​(xt+1,yt+1,zt+1)≥D∥xt+1−xt∥2 for t≥1t\ge1t≥1.
  3. (39): Lβ(xt,yt,zt)→Lβ(x∗,y∗,z∗)L_\beta(x^t,y^t,z^t)\to L_\beta(x^*,y^*,z^*)Lβ​(xt,yt,zt)→Lβ​(x∗,y∗,z∗).
  4. Finite termination when LβL_\betaLβ​ reaches its limit value.
  5. (41): the one-step KL estimate.
  6. Remark 4(1): the goal with "LβL_\betaLβ​ is a KL function" in place of semi-algebraicity.
  7. LβL_\betaLβ​ is semi-algebraic when hhh and PPP are.
  8. Proper closed semi-algebraic functions are KL functions, with φ(s)=cs1−θ\varphi(s)=cs^{1-\theta}φ(s)=cs1−θ.

Milestones 6, 7 and 8 together imply the goal.

Significance

The result. Theorem 3 upgrades subsequential convergence to convergence of the whole iterate sequence, with finite length of the xxx-trajectory, for a nonconvex ADMM without any convexity of hhh or PPP. Semi-algebraicity covers the paper's applications: polynomial losses, the ℓ0\ell_0ℓ0​ constraint, and indicators of polyhedral or algebraic sets. Remark 4(1) isolates the only property actually used, the KL property of LβL_\betaLβ​, so the result extends to any class of functions for which that property is known (for instance, globally subanalytic or o-minimal definable data).

Formalizing it. The result is proved in the paper and, as far as is known, formalized nowhere. The mission produces a machine-checked version of the paper's convergence argument, a Lean definition of the KL property with the correct convention for empty subdifferentials, and a semi-algebraic set predicate over MvPolynomial. Milestone 8 is a published theorem of real algebraic geometry and nonsmooth analysis (Bolte–Daniilidis–Lewis 2007) that the paper quotes without proof; it is part of what a complete development of the goal requires.

Difficulty

The obvious route is to invoke the abstract convergence theorem of Attouch–Bolte–Svaiter for descent methods. It does not apply: its sufficient-decrease hypothesis requires LβL_\betaLβ​ to drop by a multiple of ∥xt+1−xt∥2+∥yt+1−yt∥2+∥zt+1−zt∥2\|x^{t+1}-x^t\|^2+\|y^{t+1}-y^t\|^2+\|z^{t+1}-z^t\|^2∥xt+1−xt∥2+∥yt+1−yt∥2+∥zt+1−zt∥2, while the ADMM only guarantees a drop proportional to ∥xt+1−xt∥2\|x^{t+1}-x^t\|^2∥xt+1−xt∥2 (Remark 4(2)). The relative-error bound (35) is likewise in terms of the xxx-step alone, and relating the yyy- and zzz-blocks back to the xxx-block uses the surjectivity of M\mathcal MM and the specific structure of the multiplier update. The neighbourhood on which the KL inequality holds is a neighbourhood of the full triple, whereas the trajectory is controlled only in xxx.

The semi-algebraic part has a separate difficulty: showing that LβL_\betaLβ​ is semi-algebraic needs closure of semi-algebraic sets under projection (the Tarski–Seidenberg theorem), and the KL property of semi-algebraic functions needs the Łojasiewicz inequality for subanalytic or semi-algebraic functions. Mathlib has neither.

Formalization scope

Spaces are EuclideanSpace ℝ (Fin n); M\mathcal MM is a continuous linear map and M∗\mathcal M^*M∗ its adjoint. PPP and LβL_\betaLβ​ take values in EReal, never passed through toReal except where the value is provably finite. ⪰\succeq⪰ is Mathlib's Loewner order on self-maps; the Hessian is fderiv ℝ (gradient h). The ADMM is the proximal-ADMM relation with ϕ=0\phi=0ϕ=0; argmin steps are "value at most the value anywhere", with no uniqueness; y0y^0y0 is unconstrained. The triple space is the nested L2L^2L2 product, so its inner product is the sum of the block inner products.

The KL inequality is stated for every v∈∂f(x)v\in\partial f(x)v∈∂f(x), which encodes dist⁡(0,∅)=+∞\operatorname{dist}(0,\emptyset)=+\inftydist(0,∅)=+∞. Writing it with Metric.infDist 0 (∂f x) would give dist⁡(0,∅)=0\operatorname{dist}(0,\emptyset)=0dist(0,∅)=0 and make the KL property fail at every point with empty subdifferential, so that "semi-algebraic implies KL" becomes false and the goal becomes a statement about a different notion. The KL property is required only at points of dom⁡∂f\operatorname{dom}\partial fdom∂f, only on a neighbourhood and only for values in (f(x^),f(x^)+η)(f(\hat x),f(\hat x)+\eta)(f(x^),f(x^)+η); φ\varphiφ is differentiable only on the open interval. Semi-algebraicity of an extended-valued function is that of its graph over its real values. η\etaη is a positive real, which is equivalent to the paper's η∈(0,∞]\eta\in(0,\infty]η∈(0,∞].

The hypotheses ϕ=0\phi=0ϕ=0 and T1=0\mathcal T_1=0T1​=0 are part of the theorem, not a simplification: the analogous statement for the proximal ADMM is open (Remark 4(3)). The cluster point is assumed, not derived.

Needed infrastructure: calculus of the limiting subdifferential (a smooth-plus-separable sum rule), the Tarski–Seidenberg theorem, and the Łojasiewicz/KL inequality for semi-algebraic functions. The last two are reusable far beyond this mission; contributions toward them, and toward the analytic core (milestones 1–6), are welcome.

Selected references

  • G. Li, T. K. Pong, Global convergence of splitting methods for nonconvex composite optimization, SIAM J. Optim. 25(4), 2015. https://arxiv.org/abs/1407.0753 (v6 is the cited version)
  • H. Attouch, J. Bolte, P. Redont, A. Soubeyran, Proximal alternating minimization and projection methods for nonconvex problems: an approach based on the Kurdyka–Łojasiewicz inequality, Math. Oper. Res. 35(2), 2010. https://doi.org/10.1287/moor.1100.0449
  • H. Attouch, J. Bolte, B. F. Svaiter, Convergence of descent methods for semi-algebraic and tame problems, Math. Program. 137, 2013. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10107-011-0484-9
  • J. Bolte, A. Daniilidis, A. Lewis, The Łojasiewicz inequality for nonsmooth subanalytic functions with applications to subgradient dynamical systems, SIAM J. Optim. 17(4), 2007. https://doi.org/10.1137/050644641
  • R. T. Rockafellar, R. J.-B. Wets, Variational Analysis, Springer, 1998. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-642-02431-3
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Algorithmic Game TheoryConvex OptimizationOperations Research+1·Captain: mikedeng1

Value of Information in Bayesian Routing Games II: Equilibrium Adoption Rates of Information Systems Are the Minimizers of the Equilibrium PotentialResearch Paper

Motivation

Traffic information systems (TIS) such as navigation apps send drivers private, noisy signals about the state of the road network: incidents, weather, closures. When several such systems coexist, their subscribers act on different information, and the congestion each population experiences depends on how all of them route. A question then arises for transport planners and for the information providers themselves: if travelers are free to choose which system to subscribe to, which market shares of the competing systems are stable?

Wu, Amin and Ozdaglar (Operations Research 69(1):148–163, 2021; preprint arXiv:1808.10590) model this situation as a Bayesian routing game with heterogeneous information and answer the question exactly: the equilibrium adoption rates are the minimizers of a convex function of the population sizes, the equilibrium value of a weighted potential. This mission formalizes that characterization (Theorem 4 of the paper) together with the results its proof rests on. A companion mission (Value of Information in Bayesian Routing Games I) formalizes the paper's other main result, the sign and monotonicity of the relative value of information between two populations.

Setting

A Bayesian routing game Γ(λ)\Gamma(\lambda)Γ(λ) has a single origin–destination pair, a finite set of edges E\mathcal EE and a finite nonempty set of routes R\mathcal RR (each route a set of edges), and a finite set of network states S\mathcal SS. Travelers of total demand D>0D>0D>0 are split into populations i∈Ii\in\mathcal Ii∈I, one per TIS; population iii has size λiD\lambda^iDλiD, where the size vector λ\lambdaλ lies in the simplex Δ={λ:λi≥0, ∑iλi=1}\Delta=\{\lambda:\lambda^i\ge0,\ \sum_i\lambda^i=1\}Δ={λ:λi≥0, ∑i​λi=1}. Each population receives a signal (its type) tit^iti from a finite set Ti\mathcal T^iTi; states and type profiles t=(ti)it=(t^i)_it=(ti)i​ are drawn from a common prior π∈Δ(S×T)\pi\in\Delta(\mathcal S\times\mathcal T)π∈Δ(S×T). Edge eee in state sss has cost ces(w)c^s_e(w)ces​(w) at load www, positive, strictly increasing and differentiable.

A strategy profile qqq assigns to each population and type a split qri(ti)≥0q^i_r(t^i)\ge0qri​(ti)≥0 of its demand over routes, with ∑rqri(ti)=λiD\sum_rq^i_r(t^i)=\lambda^iD∑r​qri​(ti)=λiD; these form the polytope Q(λ)\mathcal Q(\lambda)Q(λ). It induces route flows fr(t)=∑iqri(ti)f_r(t)=\sum_iq^i_r(t^i)fr​(t)=∑i​qri​(ti) and edge loads we(t)=∑r∋efr(t)w_e(t)=\sum_{r\ni e}f_r(t)we​(t)=∑r∋e​fr​(t). A traveler of population iii with signal tit^iti forms the belief βi(s,t−i∣ti)=π(s,ti,t−i)/Pr⁡(ti)\beta^i(s,t^{-i}\mid t^i)=\pi(s,t^i,t^{-i})/\Pr(t^i)βi(s,t−i∣ti)=π(s,ti,t−i)/Pr(ti) and evaluates the expected route cost E[cr(q)∣ti]=∑s,t−i∑e∈rβi(s,t−i∣ti) ces(we(t))\mathbb E[c_r(q)\mid t^i]=\sum_{s,t^{-i}}\sum_{e\in r}\beta^i(s,t^{-i}\mid t^i)\,c^s_e(w_e(t))E[cr​(q)∣ti]=∑s,t−i​∑e∈r​βi(s,t−i∣ti)ces​(we​(t)). A Bayesian Wardrop equilibrium (BWE) is a q∈Q(λ)q\in\mathcal Q(\lambda)q∈Q(λ) in which every type uses only routes of minimal expected cost. The equilibrium population cost is

Ci∗(λ)=∑ti∈TiPr⁡(ti)min⁡r∈RE[cr(q∗)∣ti].C^{i*}(\lambda)=\sum_{t^i\in\mathcal T^i}\Pr(t^i)\min_{r\in\mathcal R}\mathbb E[c_r(q^*)\mid t^i].Ci∗(λ)=ti∈Ti∑​Pr(ti)r∈Rmin​E[cr​(q∗)∣ti].

The weighted potential is Φ(q)=∑s,e,tπ(s,t)∫0we(t)ces(z) dz\Phi(q)=\sum_{s,e,t}\pi(s,t)\int_0^{w_e(t)}c^s_e(z)\,dzΦ(q)=∑s,e,t​π(s,t)∫0we​(t)​ces​(z)dz, and Ψ(λ)=min⁡q∈Q(λ)Φ(q)\Psi(\lambda)=\min_{q\in\mathcal Q(\lambda)}\Phi(q)Ψ(λ)=minq∈Q(λ)​Φ(q) is its equilibrium value. In route-flow form, Φ^(f)\widehat\Phi(f)Φ(f) is the same expression in terms of fff; route flows satisfy linear constraints (14a)–(14c) (a separability condition across populations, total demand DDD, nonnegativity) and one information impact constraint per population, J^i(f)≤λiD\widehat J^i(f)\le\lambda^iDJi(f)≤λiD, where J^i(f)=D−∑rmin⁡tifr(ti,t^−i)\widehat J^i(f)=D-\sum_r\min_{t^i}f_r(t^i,\widehat t^{-i})Ji(f)=D−∑r​minti​fr​(ti,t−i) measures how much of the demand reacts to population iii's signal. Let F†\mathcal F^\daggerF† be the set of minimizers of Φ^\widehat\PhiΦ subject to (14a)–(14c) only, and

Λ†={λ∈Δ: ∃f†∈F†, J^i(f†)≤λiD  ∀i}.\Lambda^\dagger=\{\lambda\in\Delta:\ \exists f^\dagger\in\mathcal F^\dagger,\ \widehat J^i(f^\dagger)\le\lambda^iD\ \ \forall i\}.Λ†={λ∈Δ: ∃f†∈F†, Ji(f†)≤λiD  ∀i}.

In the two-stage game, travelers first choose a TIS, inducing λ\lambdaλ, and then play Γ(λ)\Gamma(\lambda)Γ(λ). A size vector is a vector of equilibrium adoption rates if no traveler gains by switching TIS:

λi>0 ⟹ Ci∗(λ)=min⁡j∈ICj∗(λ)∀i∈I.(31)\lambda^i>0\ \Longrightarrow\ C^{i*}(\lambda)=\min_{j\in\mathcal I}C^{j*}(\lambda)\qquad\forall i\in\mathcal I.\tag{31}λi>0 ⟹ Ci∗(λ)=j∈Imin​Cj∗(λ)∀i∈I.(31)

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem 4

For every λ∈Δ\lambda\in\Deltaλ∈Δ and every BWE of Γ(λ)\Gamma(\lambda)Γ(λ),

(31) holds  ⟺  λ∈Λ†.(31)\ \text{holds}\iff\lambda\in\Lambda^\dagger .(31) holds⟺λ∈Λ†.

With the existence of a BWE for every λ∈Δ\lambda\in\Deltaλ∈Δ, this is the paper's statement that the set of equilibrium adoption rates is Λ†\Lambda^\daggerΛ†.

Milestones

  1. Theorem 1. qqq is a BWE of Γ(λ)\Gamma(\lambda)Γ(λ) iff qqq minimizes Φ\PhiΦ over Q(λ)\mathcal Q(\lambda)Q(λ); the equilibrium edge load w∗(λ)w^*(\lambda)w∗(λ) is unique.
  2. Proposition 2. A route flow in the flow polytope F(λ)\mathcal F(\lambda)F(λ) ((14a)–(14c) plus all information impact constraints) is an equilibrium flow iff it minimizes Φ^\widehat\PhiΦ over F(λ)\mathcal F(\lambda)F(λ).
  3. Lemma 5. Ψ\PsiΨ is convex on Δ\DeltaΔ, and with zij=ei−ejz^{ij}=e_i-e_jzij=ei​−ej​ and Vij∗=Cj∗−Ci∗V^{ij*}=C^{j*}-C^{i*}Vij∗=Cj∗−Ci∗,
lim⁡ϵ→0+Ψ(λ+ϵzij)−Ψ(λ)ϵ=−D Vij∗(λ).\lim_{\epsilon\to0^+}\frac{\Psi(\lambda+\epsilon z^{ij})-\Psi(\lambda)}{\epsilon}=-D\,V^{ij*}(\lambda).ϵ→0+lim​ϵΨ(λ+ϵzij)−Ψ(λ)​=−DVij∗(λ).
  1. Proposition 5. Λ†\Lambda^\daggerΛ† is convex, Λ†=argmin⁡λ∈ΔΨ(λ)\Lambda^\dagger=\operatorname{argmin}_{\lambda\in\Delta}\Psi(\lambda)Λ†=argminλ∈Δ​Ψ(λ), and the equilibrium edge load equals the size-independent load w†w^\daggerw† of F†\mathcal F^\daggerF† iff λ∈Λ†\lambda\in\Lambda^\daggerλ∈Λ†.

A separate item states the existence of a BWE for every λ∈Δ\lambda\in\Deltaλ∈Δ.

Significance

The result. Theorem 4 reduces a question about a two-stage game with a continuum of travelers and private signals to the minimization of one convex function over a simplex. It shows that the stable market shares form a convex set, generally not a single point, so each system's equilibrium adoption rate ranges over an interval; and that this set is determined by the joint information environment of all systems, not by each system's signal alone. On ˆ\Lambda^\daggerˆ the equilibrium edge load does not depend on the shares at all, which identifies when changes in market shares leave congestion unchanged.

Formalizing it. The proofs of Theorem 1, Proposition 2 and Proposition 5 are in the paper's online e-companion, and Lemma 5 relies on sensitivity results for parametric convex programs cited from the literature. No part of this development has, to our knowledge, been machine-checked. A complete formalization would produce a verified potential-game characterization of Bayesian Wardrop equilibria with heterogeneous information and a verified directional-derivative formula for the optimal value of a parametric convex program; nothing comparable is currently on the platform (the existing Wardrop development covers complete information only).

Difficulty

The direction "λ∈Λ†\lambda\in\Lambda^\daggerλ∈Λ† implies (31)" is not a pointwise statement about costs: it follows from Λ†\Lambda^\daggerΛ† being the argmin of Ψ\PsiΨ together with the formula linking directional derivatives of Ψ\PsiΨ to cost differences. Both are hard. The derivative formula (26) is a statement about the optimal value of a convex program whose feasible set moves with λ\lambdaλ; its standard proofs pass through uniqueness of Lagrange multipliers, which fails exactly at the degenerate size vectors (λi=0\lambda^i=0λi=0) that Theorem 4 must cover, since an unused TIS is a legitimate outcome. The identity Λ†=argmin⁡Ψ\Lambda^\dagger=\operatorname{argmin}\PsiΛ†=argminΨ needs the route-flow reformulation (Proposition 2), in which the size vector enters only through the information impact constraints, and the uniqueness of the minimizing edge load. The natural first idea, comparing population costs directly at a given equilibrium, gives no handle on which size vectors make them equal.

Formalization scope

The Lean development lives in the namespace BayesRouting.Adoption. Populations, types, states, edges and routes are finite types; type spaces and the route set are nonempty; routes are edge sets. The game is a structure whose fields include the paper's standing assumptions: the prior is a probability distribution, D>0D>0D>0, and each cost is positive on nonnegative loads, strictly increasing and differentiable (on all of R\mathbb RR, which loses no generality). One assumption is added: every type profile has positive probability. Without it the equilibrium edge load need not be unique and the beliefs can be undefined; it excludes the paper's Example 2(i) (perfectly correlated signals).

Conventions: size vectors range over the probability simplex; Ψ\PsiΨ is the infimum of Φ\PhiΦ over Q(λ)\mathcal Q(\lambda)Q(λ) and is only compared at points of the simplex (outside it the feasible set can be empty and the value is a default); Ci∗C^{i*}Ci∗ is the last form of the paper's (7), well defined when λi=0\lambda^i=0λi=0; J^i\widehat J^iJi is the maximum over reference profiles, which equals the paper's value on flows satisfying (14a); equilibrium statements are made for every BWE rather than for "the" equilibrium; F†\mathcal F^\daggerF† and similar sets are argmin sets. Lemma 5 is stated for the directions zijz^{ij}zij with λj>0\lambda^j>0λj>0 (otherwise λ+ϵzij\lambda+\epsilon z^{ij}λ+ϵzij leaves the simplex); λi=0\lambda^i=0λi=0 is allowed.

A trivializing formalization is ruled out: the existence of a BWE is its own item, so "for every BWE" is not vacuous, and Λ†\Lambda^\daggerΛ† is defined by (30) from the flow problem (28), not as the argmin of Ψ\PsiΨ, so the goal is not a restatement of Proposition 5.

Infrastructure a complete development needs: KKT conditions for convex programs with linear constraints, convexity of integrals of increasing functions, compactness arguments for existence of minimizers, and one-sided directional derivatives of optimal-value functions. The last two are reusable well beyond this mission. Proofs of any item, and of auxiliary lemmas such as Proposition 1 of the paper (feasible route flows form the polytope F(λ)\mathcal F(\lambda)F(λ)), are welcome.

Selected references

  • M. Wu, S. Amin, A. E. Ozdaglar, Value of Information in Bayesian Routing Games, Operations Research 69(1):148–163, 2021. https://doi.org/10.1287/opre.2020.1999 (preprint: https://arxiv.org/abs/1808.10590)
  • W. H. Sandholm, Potential games with continuous player sets, Journal of Economic Theory 97(1):81–108, 2001. https://doi.org/10.1006/jeth.2000.2696
  • A. V. Fiacco, J. Kyparisis, Convexity and concavity properties of the optimal value function in parametric nonlinear programming, Journal of Optimization Theory and Applications 48(1):95–126, 1986. https://doi.org/10.1007/BF00938592
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AnalysisFunctional AnalysisMathematical Physics+1·Captain: mikedeng1

Mathematical Methods in Quantum Mechanics XII: Self-Adjointness and Essential Spectrum of One-Particle Schrödinger OperatorsTextbook

Motivation

The Hamiltonian of a single nonrelativistic particle in Rn\mathbb R^nRn moving in a potential VVV is the Schrödinger operator H=−Δ+VH = -\Delta + VH=−Δ+V acting in L2(Rn)L^2(\mathbb R^n)L2(Rn). Before anything can be said about the dynamics or the energy levels of such a particle, one must know that HHH is a genuine observable: a self-adjoint operator on a specified domain. For potentials that decay at infinity one also wants the coarse structure of the spectrum, namely that it is bounded below and that everything below the continuum threshold 000 consists of isolated eigenvalues of finite multiplicity. The hydrogen atom, with the Coulomb potential −γ/∣x∣-\gamma/|x|−γ/∣x∣ in three dimensions, is the central example.

The self-adjointness results go back to T. Kato's 1951 paper on the Hamiltonians of atoms; the identification of the essential spectrum through relatively compact perturbations is due to H. Weyl's theorem and its later extensions. This mission follows Chapter 10 of G. Teschl, Mathematical Methods in Quantum Mechanics (AMS GSM 99, 2009), Sections 10.1, 10.2, 10.4 and 10.5.

Setting

L2(Rn)L^2(\mathbb R^n)L2(Rn) is the complex Hilbert space of square integrable functions with respect to Lebesgue measure. The free Schrödinger operator is H0=−ΔH_0 = -\DeltaH0​=−Δ with domain the Sobolev space H2(Rn)={f∈L2∣∣p∣2f^(p)∈L2}H^2(\mathbb R^n) = \{ f \in L^2 \mid |p|^2 \hat f(p) \in L^2 \}H2(Rn)={f∈L2∣∣p∣2f^​(p)∈L2}; equivalently, H0H_0H0​ is the inverse Fourier transform of the maximally defined multiplication by p2p^2p2. Units are ℏ=1\hbar = 1ℏ=1 and mass m=1/2m = 1/2m=1/2.

A real function VVV acts by the multiplication operator (Vf)(x)=V(x)f(x)(Vf)(x) = V(x) f(x)(Vf)(x)=V(x)f(x) on its maximal domain {f∈L2∣Vf∈L2}\{f \in L^2 \mid Vf \in L^2\}{f∈L2∣Vf∈L2}. The sum H0+VH_0 + VH0​+V is defined on D(H0)∩D(V)\mathfrak D(H_0) \cap \mathfrak D(V)D(H0​)∩D(V). L∞∞(Rn)L^\infty_\infty(\mathbb R^n)L∞∞​(Rn) denotes the bounded Borel functions vanishing at infinity, and Cc∞(Rn)C_c^\infty(\mathbb R^n)Cc∞​(Rn) the smooth compactly supported functions.

For a linear operator AAA, the resolvent RA(z)=(A−z)−1R_A(z) = (A - z)^{-1}RA​(z)=(A−z)−1 exists when A−zA - zA−z maps D(A)\mathfrak D(A)D(A) bijectively onto L2L^2L2 with bounded inverse; the resolvent set ρ(A)\rho(A)ρ(A) collects such zzz and σ(A)=C∖ρ(A)\sigma(A) = \mathbb C \setminus \rho(A)σ(A)=C∖ρ(A). The point spectrum σp(A)\sigma_p(A)σp​(A) is the set of eigenvalues; the discrete spectrum σd(A)\sigma_d(A)σd​(A) consists of the eigenvalues that are isolated in σ(A)\sigma(A)σ(A) and have finite-dimensional eigenspace; the essential spectrum is σess(A)=σ(A)∖σd(A)\sigma_{ess}(A) = \sigma(A) \setminus \sigma_d(A)σess​(A)=σ(A)∖σd​(A). An operator KKK is relatively compact with respect to AAA if D(A)⊆D(K)\mathfrak D(A) \subseteq \mathfrak D(K)D(A)⊆D(K) and KRA(z)K R_A(z)KRA​(z) is compact for one z∈ρ(A)z \in \rho(A)z∈ρ(A). AAA is bounded from below if ⟨ψ,Aψ⟩≥γ∥ψ∥2\langle \psi, A\psi\rangle \ge \gamma\|\psi\|^2⟨ψ,Aψ⟩≥γ∥ψ∥2 on D(A)\mathfrak D(A)D(A) for some real γ\gammaγ, and a subspace is a core of a closed operator if the closure of the restriction to it is the operator itself.

The hydrogen Hamiltonian is H(1)=−Δ−γ/∣x∣H^{(1)} = -\Delta - \gamma/|x|H(1)=−Δ−γ/∣x∣ on L2(R3)L^2(\mathbb R^3)L2(R3). A function in L2(Rn)L^2(\mathbb R^n)L2(Rn) is positive if it is ≥0\ge 0≥0 a.e. and not a.e. zero, and strictly positive if it is >0> 0>0 a.e.; a bounded operator is positivity improving if it maps positive functions to strictly positive ones.

Formalization targets

Goal: self-adjointness and essential spectrum (Theorem 10.2)

Let n≥1n \ge 1n≥1 and VVV real with V∈L∞∞(Rn)V \in L^\infty_\infty(\mathbb R^n)V∈L∞∞​(Rn) if n>3n > 3n>3 and V∈L∞∞(Rn)+L2(Rn)V \in L^\infty_\infty(\mathbb R^n) + L^2(\mathbb R^n)V∈L∞∞​(Rn)+L2(Rn) if n≤3n \le 3n≤3. Then VVV is relatively compact with respect to H0H_0H0​, and H=H0+VH = H_0 + VH=H0​+V has domain H2(Rn)H^2(\mathbb R^n)H2(Rn), is self-adjoint and bounded from below, satisfies

σess(H)=[0,∞),\sigma_{ess}(H) = [0,\infty),σess​(H)=[0,∞),

and has Cc∞(Rn)C_c^\infty(\mathbb R^n)Cc∞​(Rn) as a core.

Milestones

  • Sobolev bound (Lemma 10.1). For n≤3n \le 3n≤3, every ψ∈H2(Rn)\psi \in H^2(\mathbb R^n)ψ∈H2(Rn) is continuous and vanishes at infinity, and for every a>0a > 0a>0 there is b>0b > 0b>0 with ∥ψ∥∞≤a∥H0ψ∥+b∥ψ∥\|\psi\|_\infty \le a\|H_0\psi\| + b\|\psi\|∥ψ∥∞​≤a∥H0​ψ∥+b∥ψ∥ on H2(Rn)H^2(\mathbb R^n)H2(Rn).
  • Virial theorem (Theorem 10.3). If VVV is homogeneous of degree −1-1−1 under dilations, every normalized eigenfunction of H0+VH_0 + VH0​+V with eigenvalue λ\lambdaλ satisfies λ=−⟨ψ,H0ψ⟩=12⟨ψ,Vψ⟩\lambda = -\langle\psi, H_0\psi\rangle = \frac12\langle\psi, V\psi\rangleλ=−⟨ψ,H0​ψ⟩=21​⟨ψ,Vψ⟩; in particular λ<0\lambda < 0λ<0.
  • Hydrogen spectrum (Corollary 10.4). For γ>0\gamma > 0γ>0, σp(H(1))=σd(H(1))\sigma_p(H^{(1)}) = \sigma_d(H^{(1)})σp​(H(1))=σd​(H(1)) is a strictly increasing sequence of negative numbers converging to 000.
  • Hydrogen eigenvalues (Theorem 10.9, eigenvalue part). For γ>0\gamma > 0γ>0 the eigenvalues of H(1)H^{(1)}H(1) are En=−(γ/(2(n+1)))2E_n = -(\gamma/(2(n+1)))^2En​=−(γ/(2(n+1)))2, n∈N0n \in \mathbb N_0n∈N0​.
  • Perron–Frobenius for positivity improving operators (Theorem 10.11). If AAA is bounded, self-adjoint, real and positivity improving and ∥A∥\|A\|∥A∥ is an eigenvalue, it is simple with a strictly positive eigenfunction.
  • Nondegenerate ground state (Theorem 10.12). If H0+VH_0 + VH0​+V is self-adjoint, bounded below, has Cc∞C_c^\inftyCc∞​ as a core, and E0=min⁡σ(H)E_0 = \min\sigma(H)E0​=minσ(H) is an eigenvalue, then E0E_0E0​ is simple with a strictly positive eigenfunction.

Significance

The result. Theorem 10.2 is the existence theorem for one-particle quantum mechanics with decaying potentials. It makes H0+VH_0 + VH0​+V an observable on the natural domain H2H^2H2, guarantees a lowest energy, and places the continuum exactly at [0,∞)[0,\infty)[0,∞), so that all spectral information below zero is carried by bound states. Its three-dimensional case covers the Coulomb potential, and the same scheme (relative boundedness, Kato–Rellich, relative compactness, Weyl) is the template for the NNN-body HVZ theorem. The virial theorem, the qualitative and the explicit hydrogen spectrum, and the nondegeneracy of ground states are the standard first applications.

Formalizing it. None of these statements is formalized. Mathlib has the L2L^2L2 Fourier transform, tempered distributions and Sobolev spaces on the distribution side, and LinearPMap with adjoints and closures, but no free Schrödinger operator as an unbounded operator on L2L^2L2, no resolvent set or essential spectrum for unbounded operators, and no self-adjointness theorem for −Δ+V-\Delta + V−Δ+V. The mission asks for proofs of Teschl's statements and, with them, a reusable definition of H0H_0H0​ on H2(Rn)H^2(\mathbb R^n)H2(Rn) and of maximally defined multiplication operators.

Difficulty

The goal combines several chapters of the book. A proof needs self-adjointness of H0H_0H0​ on H2H^2H2 via the Fourier transform, the Sobolev bound of Lemma 10.1 to get D(H0)⊆D(V)\mathfrak D(H_0) \subseteq \mathfrak D(V)D(H0​)⊆D(V) with relative bound zero, the Kato–Rellich theorem, compactness of operators of the form g(x)f(p)g(x)f(p)g(x)f(p) (Lemma 7.11) to obtain relative compactness, Weyl's theorem on the invariance of the essential spectrum, σ(H0)=[0,∞)\sigma(H_0) = [0,\infty)σ(H0​)=[0,∞) with no eigenvalues, and the fact that Cc∞C_c^\inftyCc∞​ is a core for H0H_0H0​. None of these intermediate results is in Mathlib for unbounded operators.

The milestones add their own difficulties: the virial theorem requires the dilation group and a derivative argument on domains; Corollary 10.4 requires a variational argument producing infinitely many negative eigenvalues; Theorem 10.9 requires separation of variables in spherical coordinates and the Laguerre polynomials; and Theorem 10.12 uses the Trotter product formula and strong resolvent convergence to transfer positivity from e−tH0e^{-tH_0}e−tH0​ to e−tHe^{-tH}e−tH.

Formalization scope

Rn\mathbb R^nRn is EuclideanSpace ℝ (Fin n) with Lebesgue measure and L2(Rn)L^2(\mathbb R^n)L2(Rn) is Mathlib's Lp ℂ 2 volume, a separable complex Hilbert space. Unbounded operators are Mathlib LinearPMaps, sums of unbounded operators are LinearPMap sums on the intersection of domains, self-adjointness is Mathlib's IsSelfAdjoint, and "core" is LinearPMap.HasCore. The resolvent is the bounded two-sided inverse of A−zA - zA−z; ρ(A)\rho(A)ρ(A), σ(A)\sigma(A)σ(A), σp\sigma_pσp​, σd\sigma_dσd​ and σess\sigma_{ess}σess​ are defined from it, and Mathlib's Banach-algebra spectrum is not used. Compactness is IsCompactOperator.

The Fourier transform is Mathlib's unitary L2L^2L2 transform with kernel e−2πi⟨x,ξ⟩e^{-2\pi i\langle x,\xi\rangle}e−2πi⟨x,ξ⟩, not Teschl's (2π)−n/2e−ipx(2\pi)^{-n/2}e^{-ipx}(2π)−n/2e−ipx. H0H_0H0​ is defined as F−1(2π∣ξ∣)2F\mathcal F^{-1}(2\pi|\xi|)^2\mathcal FF−1(2π∣ξ∣)2F and H2H^2H2 as {f∣(2π∣ξ∣)2Ff∈L2}\{f \mid (2\pi|\xi|)^2 \mathcal F f \in L^2\}{f∣(2π∣ξ∣)2Ff∈L2}; both coincide with the book's objects, independently of the normalization. No projection-valued measure or functional calculus is taken as data. C∞(Rn)C_\infty(\mathbb R^n)C∞​(Rn) is Mathlib's space of continuous functions vanishing at infinity, and positivity of complex values is taken in ComplexOrder.

The virial hypothesis U(−s)VU(s)=e−sVU(-s)VU(s) = e^{-s}VU(−s)VU(s)=e−sV is stated as V(esx)=e−sV(x)V(e^s x) = e^{-s}V(x)V(esx)=e−sV(x) for almost every xxx, for every sss, which is what the operator identity means for a multiplication operator. Corollary 10.4's index set {Ej−1}j∈N0\{E_{j-1}\}_{j\in\mathbb N_0}{Ej−1​}j∈N0​​ is read as the sequence E0,E1,…E_0, E_1, \dotsE0​,E1​,…. Only the eigenvalue formula of Theorem 10.9 is included, not its explicit eigenbasis.

A trivializing formalization is ruled out: the only hypotheses of the goal are the function-space conditions on VVV and n≥1n \ge 1n≥1. Neither D(H0)⊆D(V)\mathfrak D(H_0) \subseteq \mathfrak D(V)D(H0​)⊆D(V), a relative bound below one, nor closedness of H0+VH_0 + VH0​+V is assumed; the equality of the domain with H2(Rn)H^2(\mathbb R^n)H2(Rn) and the relative compactness of VVV are conclusions. The essential spectrum requires all three of "eigenvalue", "isolated" and "finite multiplicity" in its complement, so [0,∞)[0,\infty)[0,∞) is a genuine identification.

Selected references

  • G. Teschl, Mathematical Methods in Quantum Mechanics, With Applications to Schrödinger Operators, Graduate Studies in Mathematics 99, AMS, 2009, Chapter 10. https://doi.org/10.1090/gsm/099
  • T. Kato, Fundamental properties of Hamiltonian operators of Schrödinger type, Transactions of the AMS 70 (1951), 195–211. https://doi.org/10.1090/S0002-9947-1951-0041010-X
  • M. Reed and B. Simon, Methods of Modern Mathematical Physics II: Fourier Analysis, Self-Adjointness (Section X.2) and IV: Analysis of Operators (Sections XIII.4, XIII.12), Academic Press, 1975, 1978.
  • H. L. Cycon, R. G. Froese, W. Kirsch and B. Simon, Schrödinger Operators, Springer, 1987.
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An Efficient Approximation Scheme for the One-Dimensional Bin-Packing Problem I: ALGORITHM 1, Linear Grouping with LP Rounding, Is an Asymptotic Approximation SchemeResearch Paper

Motivation

One-dimensional bin packing asks for the fewest unit-capacity bins that hold a given list of items with sizes in (0,1)(0,1)(0,1). It is the model behind cutting stock (cutting rolls of paper or steel to ordered widths), memory and file allocation, and batch scheduling on identical machines, and it is NP-hard. Its algorithmic study is therefore about approximation: how close to the optimum a polynomial-time algorithm can guarantee to come.

  • 1961–1963: Gilmore and Gomory introduce the configuration linear program for cutting stock and solve it by column generation (Gilmore–Gomory 1961).
  • 1974: Johnson, Demers, Ullman, Garey and Graham analyse First Fit and related heuristics, with asymptotic ratio 17/1017/1017/10 and 11/911/911/9 (Johnson et al. 1974).
  • 1981: Fernandez de la Vega and Lueker give the first asymptotic approximation scheme, packing within (1+ε) OPT(I)+1(1+\varepsilon)\,OPT(I) + 1(1+ε)OPT(I)+1 bins in time linear in nnn for fixed ε\varepsilonε, using elimination of small pieces and linear grouping (Fernandez de la Vega–Lueker 1981).
  • 1982: Karmarkar and Karp replace the enumeration of configurations by an approximate solution of the configuration LP and a rounding step, obtaining an additive term polynomial in 1/ε1/\varepsilon1/ε (this mission), and, with geometric grouping, OPT(I)+O(log⁡2OPT(I))OPT(I) + O(\log^2 OPT(I))OPT(I)+O(log2OPT(I)) (Karmarkar–Karp 1982).
  • 2013–2017: Rothvoß and then Hoberg–Rothvoß improve the additive term to O(log⁡OPT⋅log⁡log⁡OPT)O(\log OPT \cdot \log\log OPT)O(logOPT⋅loglogOPT) and O(log⁡OPT)O(\log OPT)O(logOPT) (Hoberg–Rothvoß 2017).

Setting

An instance III is a finite multiset of piece sizes, each in the open interval (0,1)(0,1)(0,1). Write n(I)n(I)n(I) for the number of pieces, m(I)m(I)m(I) for the number of distinct sizes, and SIZE(I)SIZE(I)SIZE(I) for the sum of all sizes. A packing of III is a finite multiset of bins, each a multiset of sizes, whose union is exactly III and in which every bin has total size at most 111. Its cost is the number of bins, and OPT(I)OPT(I)OPT(I) is the minimum cost.

A configuration of III is a nonempty multiset of sizes occurring in III with total at most 111. With btb_tbt​ the number of pieces of size ttt and atca_{tc}atc​ the number of occurrences of ttt in configuration ccc, the fractional bin-packing problem is the linear program

min⁡ 1⋅xs.t.x≥0,∑catcxc≥bt  for every size t,\min\ \mathbf 1\cdot x\quad\text{s.t.}\quad x\ge 0,\qquad \sum_c a_{tc}x_c \ge b_t\ \ \text{for every size } t,min 1⋅xs.t.x≥0,c∑​atc​xc​≥bt​  for every size t,

whose optimal value is LIN(I)LIN(I)LIN(I). A basic feasible solution is an extreme point of its feasible region.

For instances I,JI,JI,J, write I≤JI\le JI≤J if there is a one-to-one map fff from the pieces of III into the pieces of JJJ with x≤f(x)x\le f(x)x≤f(x). Linear grouping with parameter kkk sorts III non-increasingly, cuts it into groups G1,…,GqG_1,\dots,G_qG1​,…,Gq​ of kkk consecutive pieces (the last possibly shorter), rounds every piece of GiG_iGi​ up to the largest size of GiG_iGi​ to get Gi′G_i'Gi′​, and outputs J=⋃i≥2Gi′J = \bigcup_{i\ge 2} G_i'J=⋃i≥2​Gi′​ and J′=G1J' = G_1J′=G1​.

ALGORITHM 1 takes III and ε>0\varepsilon>0ε>0: (1) discard the pieces of size ≤max⁡(1/n(I),ε/2)\le \max(1/n(I), \varepsilon/2)≤max(1/n(I),ε/2), leaving JJJ; (2) apply linear grouping to JJJ with k=⌈n(J)ε2⌉k = \lceil n(J)\varepsilon^2\rceilk=⌈n(J)ε2⌉, giving KKK and K′K'K′; (3) put each piece of K′K'K′ in its own bin; (4) obtain from a Fractional Bin-Packing subroutine a basic feasible solution xxx of the LP of KKK with 1⋅x≤LIN(K)+1\mathbf 1\cdot x\le LIN(K)+11⋅x≤LIN(K)+1; (5) round xxx to a packing of KKK with at most 1⋅x+(m(K)+1)/2\mathbf 1\cdot x + (m(K)+1)/21⋅x+(m(K)+1)/2 bins; (6) shrink the pieces back to obtain a packing of JJJ; (7) insert the discarded pieces, opening a new bin only when a piece fits nowhere. A(I)A(I)A(I) is the cost of the resulting packing.

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem 3, as its proof establishes it

A(I)≤(1+2ε) OPT(I)+12ε2+3for every ε>0, every instance I, every run of ALGORITHM 1.A(I) \le (1+2\varepsilon)\,OPT(I) + \frac{1}{2\varepsilon^2} + 3 \qquad\text{for every } \varepsilon>0,\ \text{every instance } I,\ \text{every run of ALGORITHM 1.}A(I)≤(1+2ε)OPT(I)+2ε21​+3for every ε>0, every instance I, every run of ALGORITHM 1.

The additive term depends on ε\varepsilonε only, so ALGORITHM 1 is an asymptotic approximation scheme. The paper prints the factor 1+ε1+\varepsilon1+ε, which fails for ALGORITHM 1 as printed (see Formalization scope); running the algorithm with ε/2\varepsilon/2ε/2 gives the paper's main result (4), A(I)≤(1+ε)OPT(I)+O(ε−2)A(I)\le(1+\varepsilon)OPT(I)+O(\varepsilon^{-2})A(I)≤(1+ε)OPT(I)+O(ε−2), stated as a separate corollary with the explicit term 2/ε2+32/\varepsilon^2+32/ε2+3.

Milestones

  1. Lemma 1: OPT(I)≤2 SIZE(I)+1OPT(I)\le 2\,SIZE(I)+1OPT(I)≤2SIZE(I)+1.
  2. Lemma 2: SIZE(I)≤LIN(I)≤OPT(I)≤LIN(I)+m(I)+12SIZE(I)\le LIN(I)\le OPT(I)\le LIN(I)+\frac{m(I)+1}{2}SIZE(I)≤LIN(I)≤OPT(I)≤LIN(I)+2m(I)+1​.
  3. Corollary 1: every basic feasible solution xxx can be rounded to a packing of cost ≤1⋅x+m(I)+12\le \mathbf 1\cdot x + \frac{m(I)+1}{2}≤1⋅x+2m(I)+1​.
  4. Lemma 3: inserting pieces of size ≤g/2\le g/2≤g/2 last, with new bins only when necessary, costs at most max⁡(A,(1+g) OPT(I)+1)\max(A, (1+g)\,OPT(I)+1)max(A,(1+g)OPT(I)+1).
  5. Monotonicity: I≤JI\le JI≤J implies OPTOPTOPT, LINLINLIN and SIZESIZESIZE do not decrease.
  6. Lemma 4: linear grouping loses at most kkk in OPTOPTOPT, LINLINLIN and SIZESIZESIZE.
  7. Proof steps (ii)–(iii) (corrected): k≤2ε OPT(I)+1k\le 2\varepsilon\,OPT(I)+1k≤2εOPT(I)+1.
  8. Proof step (iv): m(K)≤1/ε2m(K)\le 1/\varepsilon^2m(K)≤1/ε2.
  9. Proof step (vii): 1⋅x≤OPT(I)+1\mathbf 1\cdot x\le OPT(I)+11⋅x≤OPT(I)+1.
  10. Proof step (viii) (corrected): the packing of Step 6 has at most (1+2ε)OPT(I)+12ε2+52(1+2\varepsilon)OPT(I)+\frac{1}{2\varepsilon^2}+\frac52(1+2ε)OPT(I)+2ε21​+25​ bins.

Significance

The result showed that the configuration LP, of exponential size in general, can be used for a guaranteed approximation: its value is within (m+1)/2(m+1)/2(m+1)/2 of the integer optimum, and grouping reduces mmm at small cost. The same template (eliminate small items, group, solve the configuration LP, round a basic solution, reinsert) underlies later schemes for bin packing, cutting stock, bin packing with cardinality constraints and scheduling, and the LP-based analysis is the starting point of the Rothvoß and Hoberg–Rothvoß improvements.

The theorems are proved in the literature; none of them has a machine-checked proof on the platform or, to our knowledge, in Mathlib. This mission produces a checked analysis of the algorithm, including a correction: the printed approximation factor is not valid for the algorithm as printed, and the checked statement records the factor its proof yields. The definitions (instances, packings, the configuration LP, basic solutions, the order I≤JI\le JI≤J, any-fit insertion) are reusable for the second mission of the series and for other bin-packing results.

Difficulty

The Lean statements are short, but several proofs need linear-programming structure that is not in Mathlib in this form. Lemma 2 and Corollary 1 use that an extreme point of {x≥0, Ax≥b}\{x\ge0,\ Ax\ge b\}{x≥0, Ax≥b} has at most as many nonzero coordinates as there are rows of AAA; the configuration LP is indexed by a finite but implicitly described set of multisets. Monotonicity of LINLINLIN under I≤JI\le JI≤J ("clearly" in the paper) requires transporting a fractional solution across a piece-to-piece matching whose images are types, not pieces. The existence of a run requires an optimal basic feasible solution of the configuration LP. Lemma 3 concerns an insertion process with unrestricted order and bin choice, so its bound has to hold for every execution, not for one greedy rule.

Formalization scope

  • Sizes are real numbers in the open interval (0,1)(0,1)(0,1); the paper says "a rational number between 0 and 1". Real sizes generalize rational ones; the open interval is what the paper's arguments use.
  • Instances are Multiset ℝ; packings are Multiset (Multiset ℝ) with join equal to the instance, bin loads at most 111, empty bins allowed and counted. OPTOPTOPT is a natural-number infimum over a set that is always nonempty.
  • LP solutions are Multiset ℝ →₀ ℝ supported on configurations. LINLINLIN is a real infimum over a set that is nonempty (singleton configurations) and bounded below by 000. "Basic" is the extreme-point property; the bound on the number of nonzero coordinates is a consequence, not the definition.
  • The Fractional Bin-Packing subroutine is modelled by its contract only (§5, p. 315): any basic feasible solution of cost at most LIN(K)+1LIN(K)+1LIN(K)+1. The ellipsoid method of §6 is not modelled.
  • ALGORITHM 1 is a relation Alg1Run ε I P: PPP is a possible output. Every open choice is quantified: the subroutine's output, the packing of Step 5 (any packing within the stated bound), the size reduction of Step 6 (bin by bin), and the insertion of Step 7 (any order, any fitting bin). The goal holds for every run, and a separate item states that a run exists, so the goal is not vacuous.
  • The paper's O(⋅)O(\cdot)O(⋅) in result (4) is replaced by the explicit 2/ε2+32/\varepsilon^2+32/ε2+3.
  • Corrected statements. The printed Theorem 3 bound (1+ε)OPT(I)+12ε2+3(1+\varepsilon)OPT(I)+\frac{1}{2\varepsilon^2}+3(1+ε)OPT(I)+2ε21​+3 fails: for ε=1/10\varepsilon=1/10ε=1/10 and 19 00019\,00019000 pieces of size 0.0510.0510.051, some run uses 118011801180 bins while the bound is 115311531153. The failing step is (ii), SIZE(J)≥ε n(J)SIZE(J)\ge\varepsilon\,n(J)SIZE(J)≥εn(J), since Step 1 discards only pieces ≤ε/2\le\varepsilon/2≤ε/2. Steps (ii)–(iii) and (viii) are stated with 2ε2\varepsilon2ε; step (iv) is stated as m(K)≤1/ε2m(K)\le 1/\varepsilon^2m(K)≤1/ε2 because its first link m(K)≤n(K)/km(K)\le n(K)/km(K)≤n(K)/k fails when the last group is short.
  • Running time (Theorem 3's first half, Corollary 1's time bound, the function TTT) is out of scope.
  • Trivializations are ruled out: "some packing has at most the bound" is not the goal; the goal constrains every output of the algorithm, and the packing property of that output is part of its conclusion.

Proofs of any item are welcome; Lemma 2, Corollary 1 and the monotonicity display are the most reusable.

Selected references

  • N. Karmarkar, R. M. Karp, An Efficient Approximation Scheme for the One-Dimensional Bin-Packing Problem, Proc. 23rd FOCS (SFCS 1982), IEEE, pp. 312–320. https://doi.org/10.1109/sfcs.1982.61
  • W. Fernandez de la Vega, G. S. Lueker, Bin packing can be solved within 1+ε in linear time, Combinatorica 1 (1981) 349–355. https://doi.org/10.1007/BF02579456
  • P. C. Gilmore, R. E. Gomory, A Linear Programming Approach to the Cutting-Stock Problem, Operations Research 9 (1961) 849–859. https://doi.org/10.1287/opre.9.6.849
  • D. S. Johnson, A. Demers, J. D. Ullman, M. R. Garey, R. L. Graham, Worst-Case Performance Bounds for Simple One-Dimensional Packing Algorithms, SIAM J. Comput. 3 (1974) 299–325. https://doi.org/10.1137/0203025
  • R. Hoberg, T. Rothvoß, A Logarithmic Additive Integrality Gap for Bin Packing, Proc. SODA 2017, 2616–2625. https://doi.org/10.1137/1.9781611974782.172
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AnalysisDifferential GeometryPartial Differential Equations+1·Captain: mikedeng1

Tasty Bits of Several Complex Variables V: CR Functions and Severi's Extension TheoremTextbook

Motivation

A holomorphic function on an open set of Cn\mathbb{C}^nCn restricts to a real hypersurface MMM as a function that satisfies the tangential Cauchy–Riemann equations: it is annihilated by every antiholomorphic vector tangent to MMM. Functions on MMM with this property are called CR functions, and they are the boundary values that several complex variables studies whenever a domain is approached through its boundary. The basic question is the converse: when is a CR function locally the restriction of a holomorphic function? For smooth data the answer is "not always" (the book's Example 3.2.7 gives a smooth CR function on the hyperplane Im⁡z2=0\operatorname{Im} z_2 = 0Imz2​=0 that is no such restriction). For real-analytic data the answer is "always", and that is Severi's theorem, the goal of this mission.

The mission follows Chapter 3 of Jiří Lebl's open textbook Tasty Bits of Several Complex Variables (version 4.4, 2026), where Severi's theorem is proved by complexification: a real-analytic function of zzz and zˉ\bar zzˉ is treated as a holomorphic function of two independent variables (z,ζ)(z, \zeta)(z,ζ) restricted to the diagonal ζ=zˉ\zeta = \bar zζ=zˉ. The milestones are the steps of that route: uniqueness on totally real slices, the two complexification propositions, the fact that restrictions of holomorphic functions are CR, and the normal form wˉ=Φ(z,zˉ,w)\bar w = \Phi(z, \bar z, w)wˉ=Φ(z,zˉ,w) of a real-analytic hypersurface.

Setting

Write Cn≅R2n\mathbb{C}^n \cong \mathbb{R}^{2n}Cn≅R2n with zk=xk+iykz_k = x_k + i y_kzk​=xk​+iyk​. A function on an open subset of RN\mathbb{R}^NRN is real-analytic if near each point it equals a convergent power series in the real coordinates. A set M⊂CnM \subset \mathbb{C}^nM⊂Cn is a real-analytic hypersurface if near each of its points, after choosing one real coordinate yyy among the 2n2n2n and collecting the other 2n−12n-12n−1 as xxx, it is the graph y=φ(x)y = \varphi(x)y=φ(x) of a real-analytic function φ\varphiφ.

A function fff on an arbitrary set X⊂CnX \subset \mathbb{C}^nX⊂Cn is smooth (respectively real-analytic) if near each point of XXX it agrees on XXX with a smooth (respectively real-analytic) function FFF defined on an open neighbourhood. A defining function of MMM at ppp is a smooth real function rrr on an open V∋pV \ni pV∋p with nonvanishing derivative and M∩V={r=0}M \cap V = \{r = 0\}M∩V={r=0}; MMM is a smooth real hypersurface if it has one at every point.

With the Wirtinger derivative ∂/∂zˉk=12(∂/∂xk+i ∂/∂yk)\partial/\partial\bar z_k = \tfrac12(\partial/\partial x_k + i\,\partial/\partial y_k)∂/∂zˉk​=21​(∂/∂xk​+i∂/∂yk​), the space of antiholomorphic tangent vectors of MMM at ppp is

Tp(0,1)M={∑kak∂∂zˉk∣p:∑kak∂r∂zˉk(p)=0}.T^{(0,1)}_p M = \Big\{ \textstyle\sum_{k} a_k \frac{\partial}{\partial \bar z_k}\big|_p : \sum_k a_k \frac{\partial r}{\partial \bar z_k}(p) = 0 \Big\}.Tp(0,1)​M={∑k​ak​∂zˉk​∂​​p​:∑k​ak​∂zˉk​∂r​(p)=0}.

A smooth f:M→Cf : M \to \mathbb{C}f:M→C is a CR function if Xpf=0X_p f = 0Xp​f=0 for all p∈Mp \in Mp∈M and Xp∈Tp(0,1)MX_p \in T^{(0,1)}_pMXp​∈Tp(0,1)​M, where XpfX_p fXp​f is computed on any smooth local extension of fff. A real-analytic CR function is a CR function that is real-analytic on MMM.

In Lean, Cn\mathbb{C}^nCn is Fin n → ℂ, and these notions are the definitions IsRealAnalyticOn, IsRealAnalyticHypersurface, IsSmoothHypersurface, IsSmoothOnSet / IsRealAnalyticOnSet, antiholTangent and IsSmoothCRFunction / IsRealAnalyticCRFunction of the namespace LeblSCV.CR.

Formalization targets

Goal: Severi's theorem (Theorem 3.2.9)

Let M⊂CnM \subset \mathbb{C}^nM⊂Cn be a real-analytic hypersurface, p∈Mp \in Mp∈M, and f:M→Cf : M \to \mathbb{C}f:M→C a real-analytic CR function. Then there are an open neighbourhood UUU of ppp and F∈O(U)F \in \mathcal{O}(U)F∈O(U) with

F(q)=f(q)for all q∈M∩U.F(q) = f(q) \qquad \text{for all } q \in M \cap U.F(q)=f(q)for all q∈M∩U.

Milestones

  1. Lemma 3.1.2. Holomorphic functions on a domain V⊂CnV \subset \mathbb{C}^nV⊂Cn that agree on V∩Rn≠∅V \cap \mathbb{R}^n \neq \emptysetV∩Rn=∅ agree on VVV.
  2. Proposition 3.1.3. A real-analytic function on a domain U⊂RnU \subset \mathbb{R}^nU⊂Rn extends to a unique holomorphic function on some domain V⊃UV \supset UV⊃U of Cn\mathbb{C}^nCn.
  3. Lemma 3.1.4. Holomorphic functions on a domain V⊂Cn×CnV \subset \mathbb{C}^n \times \mathbb{C}^nV⊂Cn×Cn that agree on V∩{ζ=zˉ}≠∅V \cap \{\zeta = \bar z\} \neq \emptysetV∩{ζ=zˉ}=∅ agree on VVV.
  4. Proposition 3.1.5. A real-analytic fff on a domain U⊂CnU \subset \mathbb{C}^nU⊂Cn has a unique holomorphic FFF on a domain V⊃{(z,zˉ):z∈U}V \supset \{(z, \bar z) : z \in U\}V⊃{(z,zˉ):z∈U} with F(z,zˉ)=f(z)F(z, \bar z) = f(z)F(z,zˉ)=f(z).
  5. Proposition 3.2.6. The restriction of a holomorphic function to a smooth (respectively real-analytic) hypersurface is a smooth (respectively real-analytic) CR function.
  6. Proposition 3.2.8. After a translation and a unitary rotation taking ppp to 000, a real-analytic hypersurface is locally wˉ=Φ(z,zˉ,w)\bar w = \Phi(z, \bar z, w)wˉ=Φ(z,zˉ,w) with Φ\PhiΦ holomorphic, Φ\PhiΦ, ∂Φ/∂zk\partial\Phi/\partial z_k∂Φ/∂zk​, ∂Φ/∂ζk\partial\Phi/\partial\zeta_k∂Φ/∂ζk​ vanishing at 000, and w=Φˉ(ζ,z,Φ(z,ζ,w))w = \bar\Phi(\zeta, z, \Phi(z, \zeta, w))w=Φˉ(ζ,z,Φ(z,ζ,w)).

Significance

Severi's theorem identifies the real-analytic CR functions on a real-analytic hypersurface with the local traces of holomorphic functions. Together with Proposition 3.2.6 it shows that, in the real-analytic category, the tangential Cauchy–Riemann equations are exactly the obstruction to holomorphic extension. It is the model for the later extension theorems of the chapter: the Baouendi–Trèves approximation theorem (Theorem 3.3.1) and the Lewy extension theorem (Theorem 3.4.1), which replace real-analyticity with smoothness and pay for it with one-sided extension or approximation. Complexification (Propositions 3.1.3 and 3.1.5) is also a tool in its own right, used for the composition of real-analytic maps (Proposition 3.1.10) and for pluriharmonic functions.

All results here are classical and proved in the book; none of them is formalized in Lean or Mathlib as far as a search of the Prove2Me corpus and Mathlib shows. Mathlib has real and complex analyticity (AnalyticOnNhd), the one-variable and several-variable identity theorems for analytic functions, and the holomorphic implicit function theorem is within reach, but it has no notion of real hypersurface, CR vector or CR function. The mission produces that layer and a checked proof of the first extension theorem for CR functions.

Difficulty

The obvious idea is to take a real-analytic extension of fff, complexify it to a holomorphic function f(z,w,ζ,ω)f(z, w, \zeta, \omega)f(z,w,ζ,ω) of 2n2n2n variables, and substitute ω=Φ(z,ζ,w)\omega = \Phi(z, \zeta, w)ω=Φ(z,ζ,w) to remove wˉ\bar wwˉ. That produces a holomorphic function of (z,w,ζ)(z, w, \zeta)(z,w,ζ), not of (z,w)(z, w)(z,w); showing that it does not depend on ζ\zetaζ requires transporting the CR equations, which hold only on MMM, to the whole complexified hypersurface. That transport is a uniqueness statement for the complexification, and it rests on the normal form of Proposition 3.2.8, itself an application of the holomorphic implicit function theorem to the complexified defining function together with its reality symmetry. On the Lean side, the diagonal {ζ=zˉ}\{\zeta = \bar z\}{ζ=zˉ} is not a complex submanifold, so identity theorems along it (Lemmas 3.1.2 and 3.1.4) do not follow from the standard identity theorem for open sets.

Formalization scope

  • Cn\mathbb{C}^nCn is Fin n → ℂ, with 0-based indices; Cn×Cn\mathbb{C}^n \times \mathbb{C}^nCn×Cn is the product type. The sup norm of Fin n → ℂ never enters a statement: no ball, norm or distance occurs.
  • Holomorphic on an open set is DifferentiableOn ℂ, which is equivalent to the book's Definition 1.1.2 there. A domain is an open connected (hence nonempty) set.
  • Real-analytic is Mathlib's AnalyticOnNhd ℝ on an open set, applied to Cn\mathbb{C}^nCn as a real vector space, which is the book's power series in x,yx, yx,y (equivalently in z,zˉz, \bar zz,zˉ).
  • A real-analytic hypersurface is a local graph over one of the 2n2n2n real coordinates (Definition 3.1.9), not the zero set of a real-analytic function.
  • Functions on MMM are functions on Cn\mathbb{C}^nCn of which only the values on MMM are read. "Smooth on MMM" means locally the restriction of a C∞C^\inftyC∞ function (Definition 3.2.1). The CR condition is imposed for every defining function and every smooth local extension, which is equivalent to one choice because both are independent of the choice.
  • Proposition 3.2.8 is stated for n=m+1n = m + 1n=m+1, with the unitary change of coordinates q↦U(q−p)q \mapsto U(q - p)q↦U(q−p) and every "near the origin" made an explicit open set. Only its displayed statement is a target; the remarks that follow it on the page are not.
  • The goal cannot be satisfied by an empty hypothesis: real-analytic hypersurfaces exist (a sorry-free check shows {Im⁡z1=0}\{\operatorname{Im} z_1 = 0\}{Imz1​=0} qualifies), and by Proposition 3.2.6 every restriction of a holomorphic function is a real-analytic CR function. The CR condition is the intrinsic one on Tp(0,1)MT^{(0,1)}_pMTp(0,1)​M; replacing it with "restriction of a holomorphic function" would make the goal a tautology and is ruled out.
  • Needed infrastructure: the several-variable identity theorem, holomorphic implicit functions, power series in 2n2n2n variables, and the chain rule for Wirtinger derivatives. The definitions of real-analytic hypersurface and CR function are reusable by the later extension theorems of Chapter 3. Contributions of any milestone, of a proof that Tp(0,1)MT^{(0,1)}_pMTp(0,1)​M is independent of the defining function, or of Exercise 3.2.3 (independence of the extension) are welcome.

Selected references

  • J. Lebl, Tasty Bits of Several Complex Variables, version 4.4, 2026, Chapter 3. https://www.jirka.org/scv/
  • Mathlib documentation, Mathlib.Analysis.Analytic.Basic (analytic functions, AnalyticOnNhd). https://leanprover-community.github.io/mathlib4_docs/Mathlib/Analysis/Analytic/Basic.html
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Dynamic ProgrammingOperations ResearchProbability+1·Captain: mikedeng1

Exit Problems for Spectrally Negative Lévy Processes and Applications to (Canadized) Russian Options III: Optimal Stopping for the Canadized Russian OptionResearch Paper

Motivation

The Russian option of Shepp and Shiryaev pays its holder, at an exercise time of their choosing, the running maximum of the stock price, discounted, with no fixed maturity. It is the standard example of a perpetual lookback option, and its value is a model problem of optimal stopping for a two-dimensional Markov process (the price and its running maximum). Perpetual contracts are simple to analyse but economically unrealistic: every real contract ends. Canadization (Carr, Randomization and the American put, Rev. Financial Stud. 11, 1998, https://doi.org/10.1093/rfs/11.3.597) replaces a fixed maturity by an independent exponential time η(λ)\eta(\lambda)η(λ). The holder must exercise before η(λ)\eta(\lambda)η(λ); if they have not, they are paid the claim evaluated at η(λ)\eta(\lambda)η(λ). Because the exponential law is memoryless, the problem stays time-homogeneous and its value can be computed in closed form, while it approximates a contract of finite expected life 1/λ1/\lambda1/λ.

Avram, Kyprianou and Pistorius (AKP04) solved both the perpetual and the Canadized Russian problem when the log-price is a spectrally negative Lévy process: a process with stationary independent increments whose only jumps are downward. This covers Brownian motion with drift, the Black–Scholes model, and jump-diffusions with downward jumps (crashes). Their answer is written with the scale functions W(q)W^{(q)}W(q), Z(q)Z^{(q)}Z(q) of the process. This mission is the third of three drawn from that paper, and formalizes the Canadized problem (§7, Theorem 3).

Timeline. Shepp and Shiryaev (1993) solved the Russian option for geometric Brownian motion. Carr (1998) introduced Canadization for the American put. Kyprianou and Pistorius (Ann. Appl. Probab. 13, 2003) studied perpetual options through fluctuation theory; §7 of [AKP04] builds on their calculations. Avram, Kyprianou and Pistorius (2004) solved the perpetual and Canadized problems for general spectrally negative Lévy processes.

Setting

Let (Ω,F,F={Ft}t≥0,P)(\Omega,\mathcal F,\mathbf F=\{\mathcal F_t\}_{t\ge0},\mathbb P)(Ω,F,F={Ft​}t≥0​,P) be a filtered probability space with F\mathbf FF right-continuous, and let X={Xt}t≥0X=\{X_t\}_{t\ge0}X={Xt​}t≥0​ be a spectrally negative Lévy process adapted to F\mathbf FF: X0=0X_0=0X0​=0, paths càdlàg with no upward jumps and not monotone, increments Xs+t−XsX_{s+t}-X_sXs+t​−Xs​ stationary and independent of Fs\mathcal F_sFs​. The standing assumption is that XXX has unbounded variation, or bounded variation and a Lévy measure Λ(dx)≪dx\Lambda(dx)\ll dxΛ(dx)≪dx.

The Laplace exponent is ψ(θ)=log⁡E[eθX1]\psi(\theta)=\log\mathbb E[e^{\theta X_1}]ψ(θ)=logE[eθX1​]. Fix r≥0r\ge0r≥0 with ψ(1)=r\psi(1)=rψ(1)=r, and let P1\mathbb P^1P1 be the Esscher measure, dP1/dP∣Ft=eXt−rtd\mathbb P^1/d\mathbb P|_{\mathcal F_t}=e^{X_t-rt}dP1/dP∣Ft​​=eXt​−rt.

For q≥0q\ge0q≥0 the qqq-scale function W(q):R→[0,∞)W^{(q)}:\mathbb R\to[0,\infty)W(q):R→[0,∞) vanishes on (−∞,0](-\infty,0](−∞,0], is continuous on (0,∞)(0,\infty)(0,∞), and satisfies ∫0∞e−θxW(q)(x) dx=(ψ(θ)−q)−1\int_0^\infty e^{-\theta x}W^{(q)}(x)\,dx=(\psi(\theta)-q)^{-1}∫0∞​e−θxW(q)(x)dx=(ψ(θ)−q)−1 for θ>Φ(q)\theta>\Phi(q)θ>Φ(q), where Φ(q)\Phi(q)Φ(q) is the largest root of ψ(θ)=q\psi(\theta)=qψ(θ)=q. Further, Z(q)(x)=1+q∫−∞xW(q)(y) dyZ^{(q)}(x)=1+q\int_{-\infty}^xW^{(q)}(y)\,dyZ(q)(x)=1+q∫−∞x​W(q)(y)dy. All scale functions in this mission are those of (X,P)(X,\mathbb P)(X,P).

Starting from Y0=z≥0Y_0=z\ge0Y0​=z≥0 (the paper's P−z1\mathbb P^1_{-z}P−z1​), the reflected process is Yt=X‾t−XtY_t=\overline X_t-X_tYt​=Xt​−Xt​, where X‾t=max⁡{0,sup⁡u≤t(−z+Xu)}\overline X_t=\max\{0,\sup_{u\le t}(-z+X_u)\}Xt​=max{0,supu≤t​(−z+Xu​)} and the position is −z+Xt-z+X_t−z+Xt​. Its passage time above kkk is τk=inf⁡{t≥0:Yt∉[0,k)}\tau_k=\inf\{t\ge0:Y_t\notin[0,k)\}τk​=inf{t≥0:Yt​∈/[0,k)}.

Let α>0\alpha>0α>0, and let η(λ)\eta(\lambda)η(λ) be an exponential random variable of rate λ>0\lambda>0λ>0 which under P1\mathbb P^1P1 is independent of F∞\mathcal F_\inftyF∞​. The Canadized Russian problem (32) is

wCR(z)=sup⁡τ E−z1[e−α(τ∧η(λ))+Yτ∧η(λ)],w^{CR}(z)=\sup_\tau\ \mathbb E^1_{-z}\Big[e^{-\alpha(\tau\wedge\eta(\lambda))+Y_{\tau\wedge\eta(\lambda)}}\Big],wCR(z)=τsup​ E−z1​[e−α(τ∧η(λ))+Yτ∧η(λ)​],

over all P1\mathbb P^1P1-a.s. finite F\mathbf FF-stopping times τ\tauτ. Write p=α+λ+rp=\alpha+\lambda+rp=α+λ+r.

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem 3

With

κ∗=inf⁡{x≥0: Z(p)(x)−pW(p)(x)≤−λ/(p−λ)},h(z)=(p−λ)ezZ(p)(κ∗−z)p+λezp,\kappa_*=\inf\{x\ge0:\ Z^{(p)}(x)-pW^{(p)}(x)\le-\lambda/(p-\lambda)\},\qquad h(z)=\frac{(p-\lambda)e^zZ^{(p)}(\kappa_*-z)}{p}+\frac{\lambda e^z}{p},κ∗​=inf{x≥0: Z(p)(x)−pW(p)(x)≤−λ/(p−λ)},h(z)=p(p−λ)ezZ(p)(κ∗​−z)​+pλez​,

for every z≥0z\ge0z≥0:

wCR(z)=h(z),w^{CR}(z)=h(z),wCR(z)=h(z),

and τκ∗\tau_{\kappa_*}τκ∗​​ is a P1\mathbb P^1P1-a.s. finite F\mathbf FF-stopping time attaining the supremum. The statement covers every variation regime at once.

Milestones

In attack order:

  1. Lemma 2 (i), which gives the monotonicity behind κ∗\kappa_*κ∗​.
  2. Corollary 1 (29), the value of stopping at τk\tau_kτk​ at discount rate α+λ\alpha+\lambdaα+λ.
  3. The elimination of η(λ)\eta(\lambda)η(λ) (display after (32)):
E−z1[e−α(τ∧η)+Yτ∧η]=E−z1[e−(α+λ)τ+Yτ+λ∫0τe−(α+λ)t+Ytdt].\mathbb E^1_{-z}\big[e^{-\alpha(\tau\wedge\eta)+Y_{\tau\wedge\eta}}\big]=\mathbb E^1_{-z}\Big[e^{-(\alpha+\lambda)\tau+Y_\tau}+\lambda\int_0^\tau e^{-(\alpha+\lambda)t+Y_t}dt\Big].E−z1​[e−α(τ∧η)+Yτ∧η​]=E−z1​[e−(α+λ)τ+Yτ​+λ∫0τ​e−(α+λ)t+Yt​dt].
  1. The Itô identity (34).
  2. The expected dX‾d\overline XdX-integral up to τk\tau_kτk​.
  3. Lemma 3 (33), the value of τk∧η(λ)\tau_k\wedge\eta(\lambda)τk​∧η(λ).
  4. Lemma 4, with two misprints corrected.
  5. The supermartingale property of Ut=e−(α+λ)th(Yt)+λ∫0te−(α+λ)u+YuduU_t=e^{-(\alpha+\lambda)t}h(Y_t)+\lambda\int_0^te^{-(\alpha+\lambda)u+Y_u}duUt​=e−(α+λ)th(Yt​)+λ∫0t​e−(α+λ)u+Yu​du.
  6. The identity h(z)=ez+(p−λ)ez∫0κ∗−zW(p)≥ezh(z)=e^z+(p-\lambda)e^z\int_0^{\kappa_*-z}W^{(p)}\ge e^zh(z)=ez+(p−λ)ez∫0κ∗​−z​W(p)≥ez.

Significance

The result. Theorem 3 gives the price and the optimal exercise rule of a Russian option with random (exponential) maturity, for every spectrally negative Lévy model at once. It makes three things explicit. The optimal rule is a threshold rule for the reflected process YYY. The threshold κ∗\kappa_*κ∗​ is the crossing point of one explicit function of the scale functions. Whenever W(p)(0+)≥(p−λ)−1W^{(p)}(0+)\ge(p-\lambda)^{-1}W(p)(0+)≥(p−λ)−1 (possible only with bounded variation), immediate exercise is optimal. Because scale functions are known in closed form for many models, including Brownian motion with drift and hyper-exponential jump-diffusions (§8 of the paper), the theorem produces explicit prices.

Formalizing it. The result is proved on paper. It is not formalized in any proof assistant, and none of its infrastructure is available in Lean. This mission produces:

  • a path-level definition of spectrally negative Lévy processes;
  • scale functions defined as definite descriptions;
  • the reflected process and its passage times;
  • the Esscher change of measure as data;
  • a continuous-time optimal stopping problem with an independent random horizon, valued in [0,∞][0,\infty][0,∞].

A machine-checked proof would also check the verification argument, which the paper states in detail only for the unbounded-variation case.

Difficulty

The obvious route is to compute the value of every threshold rule (Lemma 3) and optimize over kkk. That identifies the right candidate, but it does not show that no other stopping time does better. The verification step needs two things for all regimes of W(p)(0+)W^{(p)}(0+)W(p)(0+): that UUU is a supermartingale, and that UUU stopped at τκ∗\tau_{\kappa_*}τκ∗​​ is a martingale. For processes of bounded variation, hhh is only continuous, not C1C^1C1, at κ∗\kappa_*κ∗​, so a smooth Itô formula does not apply directly. Computing the expected dX‾d\overline XdX-integral up to τk\tau_kτk​ uses excursion theory of YYY away from 000, which Mathlib does not have. Eliminating η(λ)\eta(\lambda)η(λ) is easy only if η\etaη is independent of the whole filtration. If it is independent of XXX alone, a stopping time could depend on η\etaη.

Formalization scope

  • Conventions. Time is [0,∞)[0,\infty)[0,∞) (ℝ≥0) and values are real. Random times take values in WithTop ℝ≥0, and the payoff is 000 on {τ=∞}\{\tau=\infty\}{τ=∞}. Expectations of nonnegative payoffs are lower Lebesgue integrals in [0,∞][0,\infty][0,∞], and wCRw^{CR}wCR is an extended-real supremum, so no expectation defaults to 000. Equalities with a real right-hand side also assert finiteness.
  • Readings of informal words.
    • "The usual conditions" means right-continuity of F\mathbf FF, without completeness. Completing F0\mathcal F_0F0​ with P\mathbb PP-null sets would contradict the Esscher relation, since P1\mathbb P^1P1 and P\mathbb PP are typically singular on F∞\mathcal F_\inftyF∞​.
    • "Unbounded variation" means "not almost surely of bounded variation on compacts". (AC) is stated through jumps.
    • "ψ(v) < ∞" means integrability of evX1e^{vX_1}evX1​.
    • "Decreases monotonically" means strictly decreasing, and "the unique root" means unique on [0,∞)[0,\infty)[0,∞).
    • W(p)(0+)W^{(p)}(0+)W(p)(0+) is the right limit.
    • "Almost surely finite" and the law and independence of η(λ)\eta(\lambda)η(λ) are all under P1\mathbb P^1P1, where independence is from F∞\mathcal F_\inftyF∞​. "Parameter λ\lambdaλ" is the rate.
    • Ps,x1\mathbb P^1_{s,x}Ps,x1​ is encoded pathwise through the reflected process with Y0=s−xY_0=s-xY0​=s−x.
    • The elimination of η\etaη is stated τ by τ, which implies the page's equality of suprema.
    • The supermartingale claim, derived on the page in the unbounded-variation case, is stated for all cases.
    • Corollary 1's discount rate is renamed aaa.
    • (34) is stated as pA+B=es−x+CpA+B=e^{s-x}+CpA+B=es−x+C with AAA, BBB, CCC finite.
  • Definition choices. Scale functions are defined by choice from their defining property, never as hypotheses on an arbitrary function. W(q)W^{(q)}W(q) for q<0q<0q<0 is the series (5), not the tilting formula of Remark 4. P1\mathbb P^1P1 is a measure given with the Esscher relation. dX‾td\overline X_tdXt​ is the Lebesgue–Stieltjes measure of the running-maximum path.
  • Corrected misprints. Lemma 4 is printed with p−1p^{-1}p−1 and −λ/p-\lambda/p−λ/p. The definition of κ∗\kappa_*κ∗​ (p. 233) and the proof of Theorem 3 (p. 235) require (p−λ)−1(p-\lambda)^{-1}(p−λ)−1 and −λ/(p−λ)-\lambda/(p-\lambda)−λ/(p−λ), and the printed version is false when p−1≤W(p)(0+)<(p−λ)−1p^{-1}\le W^{(p)}(0+)<(p-\lambda)^{-1}p−1≤W(p)(0+)<(p−λ)−1. The corrected statement is formalized.
  • Ruled out. A supremum over stopping times of a filtration containing σ(η)\sigma(\eta)σ(η), or a real-valued supremum or Bochner expectation that could be 000 by default, would trivialize the goal or change it. The admissible class is every P1\mathbb P^1P1-a.s. finite stopping time of the given filtration, of which η\etaη is independent. Replacing the goal by the η\etaη-free rewriting would state milestone 3 as if it were Theorem 3.
  • Needed and reusable. A complete development needs Lévy process theory, scale functions, fluctuation identities for the reflected process, optional stopping in continuous time, and Itô or change-of-variable formulas for semimartingales with jumps. The Lévy-process, scale-function and reflected-process definitions are shared with the other two missions of the series and are reusable in ruin theory and queueing. Proofs of any milestone, and sorry-free facts about the definitions, are welcome.

Selected references

  • F. Avram, A. E. Kyprianou, M. R. Pistorius, Exit problems for spectrally negative Lévy processes and applications to (Canadized) Russian options, Ann. Appl. Probab. 14(1), 215–238, 2004. https://doi.org/10.1214/aoap/1075828052
  • P. Carr, Randomization and the American put, Rev. Financial Stud. 11(3), 597–626, 1998. https://doi.org/10.1093/rfs/11.3.597
  • L. A. Shepp, A. N. Shiryaev, The Russian option: reduced regret, Ann. Appl. Probab. 3, 603–631, 1993. https://doi.org/10.1214/aoap/1177005715
  • A. E. Kyprianou, M. R. Pistorius, Perpetual options through fluctuation theory, Ann. Appl. Probab. 13, 1077–1098, 2003. https://doi.org/10.1214/aoap/1060202835
  • J. Bertoin, Lévy Processes, Cambridge University Press, 1996.
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