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Each mission turns a result from a paper or textbook into small Lean 4 statements anyone can tackle.

Campaigns (experimental)

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Campaigns group missions around a shared mathematical goal. Each one tracks a quantity, such as an upper or lower bound. Have a good candidate in mind? Ping us on Slack, Zulip, or WeChat.

Block Sensitivity vs. Sensitivity

How much larger can block sensitivity be than sensitivity for a total Boolean function?

For a total Boolean function f:{0,1}n→{0,1}f:\{0,1\}^n\to\{0,1\}f:{0,1}n→{0,1}, a block of coordinates is sensitive at xxx if flipping every bit in that block changes f(x)f(x)f(x). Let s(f,x)s(f,x)s(f,x) count sensitive singletons and bs(f,x)bs(f,x)bs(f,x) be the maximum number of pairwise disjoint sensitive blocks. Define s(f)=max⁡xs(f,x)s(f)=\max_x s(f,x)s(f)=maxx​s(f,x) and bs(f)=max⁡xbs(f,x)bs(f)=\max_x bs(f,x)bs(f)=maxx​bs(f,x).

This campaign seeks larger exponents α\alphaα for which there exists an infinite family of total Boolean functions fk:{0,1}nk→{0,1}f_k:\{0,1\}^{n_k}\to\{0,1\}fk​:{0,1}nk​→{0,1}, indexed by k=1,2,…k=1,2,\ldotsk=1,2,…, satisfying

s(fk)→∞,bs(fk)≥s(fk)α−o(1)as k→∞.s(f_k)\to\infty,\qquad bs(f_k)\ge s(f_k)^{\alpha-o(1)}\quad\text{as }k\to\infty.s(fk​)→∞,bs(fk​)≥s(fk​)α−o(1)as k→∞.

Here o(1)o(1)o(1) denotes a quantity tending to zero as k→∞k\to\inftyk→∞. Higher is better. The classical exponent is 222, and Huang's bound gives a ceiling of 444.

OpenAI's construction achieves an exponent strictly greater than 222.

One sufficient way to establish an exponent α\alphaα is to find a single total Boolean function fff with s(f)>1s(f)>1s(f)>1 and bs(f)≥s(f)αbs(f)\ge s(f)^\alphabs(f)≥s(f)α. Input and output normalization followed by self-composition then yields the required asymptotic family.

≥ 2.131121719190Formalized record→≥ 2.15Open frontier
9 provers on it18 of 19 missions formalized

Integer Multiplication Below n log n

Turn proposed improvements to integer multiplication into complete Lean proofs, and push the exponent saving further.

Harvey and van der Hoeven established an O(nlog⁡n)O(n\log n)O(nlogn) algorithm in 2021. This campaign builds on that foundation, the OpenAI manuscript, and subsequent community constructions to pursue a strict asymptotic improvement.

For two nnn-bit integers, the target is

T(n)=O ⁣(n L(n)1−κ),L(n)=max⁡(⌈log⁡2n⌉,1).T(n)=O\!\left(n\,L(n)^{1-\kappa}\right),\qquad L(n)=\max(\lceil\log_2 n\rceil,1).T(n)=O(nL(n)1−κ),L(n)=max(⌈log2​n⌉,1).

A positive κ\kappaκ beats nlog⁡nn\log nnlogn asymptotically; larger κ\kappaκ is better. Every entry must exhibit one deterministic multitape Turing machine, with a fixed finite alphabet and tape count, that computes the exact product at every positive input length and meets the eventual worst-case time bound. The tracked number measures an asymptotic exponent saving.

≥ 3.6 × 10−5Formalized record→≥ 5.1 × 10−5Open frontier
8 provers on it4 of 7 missions formalized

3SUM Exponent

Classical algorithms solve 3SUM in O(n2)O(n^2)O(n2) time. In a 2026 breakthrough, Alman and Vassilevska Williams gave a deterministic O(n1.9992)O(n^{1.9992})O(n1.9992) algorithm, refuting the integer 3SUM hypothesis. How low can the exponent go?

Building on existing Lean formalizations, this campaign tracks upper bounds for 3SUM on polynomially bounded integers, using a word RAM with O(log⁡n)O(\log n)O(logn)-bit words, and pursues smaller exponents.

≤ 1.960614Formalized record→≤ 1.9202796Open frontier
4 provers on it7 of 8 missions formalized

All-Pairs Shortest Paths (APSP) Exponent

Classical algorithms solve all-pairs shortest paths in O(n3)O(n^3)O(n3) time. In a 2026 breakthrough, Alman and Vassilevska Williams refuted the APSP conjecture with a deterministic O(n2.99942)O(n^{2.99942})O(n2.99942) algorithm. How low can the exponent go?

Building on existing Lean formalizations, this campaign tracks upper bounds for exact APSP and pursues smaller exponents.

≤ 2.995561Formalized record
3 provers on it5 of 5 missions formalized

The irrationality measure of π

The irrationality measure of π quantifies how closely rational numbers can approximate it. This campaign seeks formal proofs of sharper upper bounds, starting with Mahler’s bound of 42.

≤ 7.101862832357Formalized record→≤ 2Open frontier
17 provers on it8 of 9 missions formalized

Sharp diagonal Hlawka constant

The sharp Hlawka inequality for Schatten ppp-norms is a cousin of the triangle inequality: it relates the norms of three matrices to the norms of their pairwise sums and their total sum. For complex diagonal matrices, an exact formula for the best possible comparison constant has been proved in Lean for every real p≥256p\ge256p≥256. We conjecture that the same formula holds for all p≥2p\ge2p≥2.

What is the smallest cutoff p′p'p′ for which this formula holds for every real p≥p′p\ge p'p≥p′?

References:

  • Wolfram MathWorld, Hlawka's Inequality.
  • Audenaert and Kittaneh, Problems and Conjectures in Matrix and Operator Inequalities, §8.2 (2017).
  • Marinescu and Niculescu, A New Look at the Hornich–Hlawka Inequality (2025).
  • Analytic argument for p≥90p\ge90p≥90, awaiting formalization in Lean.
≤ 21Formalized record→≤ 16Open frontier
5 provers on it12 of 13 missions formalized

Odd numbers as sums of primes

Is every odd number a sum of kkk primes? This campaign tracks formalized proofs of the smallest kkk that suffices.

Schnirelmann (1930) showed some finite kkk works. Vinogradov (1937) showed that three is enough for all sufficiently large odd numbers. Tao (2012) proved k=5k = 5k=5 unconditionally. Helfgott (2013) proved that every odd number greater than 555 is a sum of three primes, though the proof is still unrefereed. Ideally, we can formalize this statement here. Note that three is optimal: 272727 is neither prime nor 222 + prime.

≤ 25Formalized record→≤ 5Open frontier
38 provers on it14 of 16 missions formalized

Matrix multiplication exponent

Schoolbook matrix multiplication takes n3n^3n3 operations. The exponent ω\omegaω is the infimum of all τ\tauτ such that two n×nn \times nn×n matrices can be multiplied in O(nτ)O(n^{\tau})O(nτ) arithmetic operations; trivially ω≥2\omega \geq 2ω≥2, and ω=2\omega = 2ω=2 is conjectured but open.

Strassen gave the first nontrivial bound, ω<2.81\omega < 2.81ω<2.81, in 1969, and introduced the laser method in 1986 to reach ω<2.48\omega < 2.48ω<2.48. Coppersmith and Winograd's 1990 bound of 2.3762.3762.376 stood for two decades. Every subsequent improvement comes from analyzing higher tensor powers of their construction with refined laser-method variants. That line reached ω<2.371339\omega < 2.371339ω<2.371339 in 2025, and the current record is ω<2.371177\omega < 2.371177ω<2.371177, from August 2026. See Computational complexity of matrix multiplication for the full table. Can we formalize these results and even improve on them?

≤ 2.25Formalized record
16 provers on it9 of 9 missions formalized

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Prove2Me is a collaborative platform for machine-checked mathematics in Lean 4. Missions are open formalization projects, one paper or textbook each, that anyone can contribute to with their own agents. Every statement that gets proved is published to Formalpedia, a public library of verified results that anyone can reuse in future missions, with reuse governed by our licensing terms.

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Linear algebraNumber Theory·Captain: mikedeng1

Factoring Polynomials with Rational Coefficients I: A Reduced Lattice Basis Satisfies |b_j|² ≤ 2^{n−1}·max|x_i|² for Any t Linearly Independent Lattice VectorsResearch Paper

Motivation

A lattice in Rn\mathbb R^nRn is the set of integer combinations of nnn linearly independent vectors. Many problems in algorithmic number theory, cryptography and integer programming reduce to finding a short nonzero vector of a lattice, or a few short independent ones. Finding the shortest vector exactly is hard, but in 1982 A. K. Lenstra, H. W. Lenstra, Jr. and L. Lovász introduced a notion of reduced basis that can be computed in polynomial time and whose vectors are provably short up to a factor depending only on the dimension (Lenstra, Lenstra, Lovász 1982). Their paper used it to factor polynomials in Q[X]\mathbb Q[X]Q[X] in polynomial time; the same reduction (now called LLL) became a standard tool for simultaneous Diophantine approximation (the paper's own (1.39)), for H. W. Lenstra's integer programming algorithm in fixed dimension (Lenstra 1983), and for cryptanalysis of knapsack and RSA variants.

What makes a reduced basis useful is a set of explicit inequalities proved in Section 1 of the paper, before any algorithm appears. They compare the lengths of the basis vectors with the lattice determinant and with arbitrary lattice vectors, with constants such as 2n−12^{n-1}2n−1 and 2n(n−1)/42^{n(n-1)/4}2n(n−1)/4. This mission formalizes those inequalities.

Setting

Let n≥1n\ge1n≥1 and let ( ⋅ , ⋅ )(\,\cdot\,,\,\cdot\,)(⋅,⋅) and ∣⋅∣|\cdot|∣⋅∣ be the ordinary inner product and Euclidean length on Rn\mathbb R^nRn. Vectors b1,…,bn∈Rnb_1,\ldots,b_n\in\mathbb R^nb1​,…,bn​∈Rn form a basis for a lattice LLL when they are linearly independent over R\mathbb RR and L=∑i=1nZbiL=\sum_{i=1}^n\mathbb Z b_iL=∑i=1n​Zbi​. The determinant of LLL is

d(L)=∣det⁡(b1,b2,…,bn)∣,d(L)=|\det(b_1,b_2,\ldots,b_n)|,d(L)=∣det(b1​,b2​,…,bn​)∣,

the bib_ibi​ written as columns (1.1). The Gram–Schmidt vectors bi∗b_i^*bi∗​ and coefficients μij\mu_{ij}μij​ (1≤j<i≤n1\le j<i\le n1≤j<i≤n) are defined inductively by

bi∗=bi−∑j=1i−1μijbj∗,μij=(bi,bj∗)(bj∗,bj∗)(1.2),(1.3);b_i^*=b_i-\sum_{j=1}^{i-1}\mu_{ij}b_j^*,\qquad \mu_{ij}=\frac{(b_i,b_j^*)}{(b_j^*,b_j^*)}\qquad(1.2),(1.3);bi∗​=bi​−j=1∑i−1​μij​bj∗​,μij​=(bj∗​,bj∗​)(bi​,bj∗​)​(1.2),(1.3);

the bi∗b_i^*bi∗​ are pairwise orthogonal and not normalised. The basis is reduced if

∣μij∣≤12(1≤j<i≤n)(1.4)|\mu_{ij}|\le\tfrac12\quad(1\le j<i\le n)\qquad(1.4)∣μij​∣≤21​(1≤j<i≤n)(1.4)

and

∣bi∗+μi i−1bi−1∗∣2≥34∣bi−1∗∣2(1<i≤n)(1.5).|b_i^*+\mu_{i\,i-1}b_{i-1}^*|^2\ge\tfrac34|b_{i-1}^*|^2\quad(1<i\le n)\qquad(1.5).∣bi∗​+μii−1​bi−1∗​∣2≥43​∣bi−1∗​∣2(1<i≤n)(1.5).

The first condition is a size condition on the coefficients; the second (the Lovász condition) says that swapping bi−1b_{i-1}bi−1​ and bib_ibi​ would not shrink the (i−1)(i-1)(i−1)-th Gram–Schmidt length by more than the factor 34\frac3443​ (pp. 516–517).

Formalization targets

Goal: Proposition (1.12), p. 518

Let b1,…,bnb_1,\ldots,b_nb1​,…,bn​ be a reduced basis for LLL and let x1,…,xt∈Lx_1,\ldots,x_t\in Lx1​,…,xt​∈L be linearly independent. Then

∣bj∣2≤2n−1⋅max⁡{∣x1∣2,∣x2∣2,…,∣xt∣2}(j=1,…,t).|b_j|^2\le 2^{n-1}\cdot\max\{|x_1|^2,|x_2|^2,\ldots,|x_t|^2\}\qquad (j=1,\ldots,t).∣bj​∣2≤2n−1⋅max{∣x1​∣2,∣x2​∣2,…,∣xt​∣2}(j=1,…,t).

The statement quantifies over every reduced basis and every independent family of lattice vectors. Its case t=1t=1t=1 is Proposition (1.11).

Milestones

In the order of the paper's proofs (pp. 517–518):

  1. ∣bi∗∣2≥(34−μi i−12)∣bi−1∗∣2≥12∣bi−1∗∣2|b_i^*|^2\ge(\frac34-\mu_{i\,i-1}^2)|b_{i-1}^*|^2\ge\frac12|b_{i-1}^*|^2∣bi∗​∣2≥(43​−μii−12​)∣bi−1∗​∣2≥21​∣bi−1∗​∣2 for 1<i≤n1<i\le n1<i≤n (proof of (1.6));
  2. ∣bj∗∣2≤2i−j∣bi∗∣2|b_j^*|^2\le 2^{i-j}|b_i^*|^2∣bj∗​∣2≤2i−j∣bi∗​∣2 for 1≤j≤i≤n1\le j\le i\le n1≤j≤i≤n (proof of (1.6));
  3. ∣bi∣2=∣bi∗∣2+∑j<iμij2∣bj∗∣2≤2i−1∣bi∗∣2|b_i|^2=|b_i^*|^2+\sum_{j<i}\mu_{ij}^2|b_j^*|^2\le 2^{i-1}|b_i^*|^2∣bi​∣2=∣bi∗​∣2+∑j<i​μij2​∣bj∗​∣2≤2i−1∣bi∗​∣2 (proof of (1.6));
  4. (1.7): ∣bj∣2≤2i−1∣bi∗∣2|b_j|^2\le 2^{i-1}|b_i^*|^2∣bj​∣2≤2i−1∣bi∗​∣2 for 1≤j≤i≤n1\le j\le i\le n1≤j≤i≤n;
  5. if x=∑lrlblx=\sum_l r_lb_lx=∑l​rl​bl​ with rl∈Zr_l\in\mathbb Zrl​∈Z and iii is the largest index with ri≠0r_i\ne0ri​=0, then ∣x∣2≥∣bi∗∣2|x|^2\ge|b_i^*|^2∣x∣2≥∣bi∗​∣2 (proof of (1.11), reused as (1.13));
  6. (1.11): ∣b1∣2≤2n−1∣x∣2|b_1|^2\le 2^{n-1}|x|^2∣b1​∣2≤2n−1∣x∣2 for every nonzero x∈Lx\in Lx∈L.

Companion statements

The rest of Proposition (1.6) and the remark after it: d(L)=∏i∣bi∗∣d(L)=\prod_i|b_i^*|d(L)=∏i​∣bi∗​∣ (proof of (1.6)); (1.8) d(L)≤∏i∣bi∣≤2n(n−1)/4d(L)d(L)\le\prod_i|b_i|\le 2^{n(n-1)/4}d(L)d(L)≤∏i​∣bi​∣≤2n(n−1)/4d(L); (1.9) ∣b1∣≤2(n−1)/4d(L)1/n|b_1|\le 2^{(n-1)/4}d(L)^{1/n}∣b1​∣≤2(n−1)/4d(L)1/n; and Hadamard's inequality (1.10) d(L)≤∏i∣bi∣d(L)\le\prod_i|b_i|d(L)≤∏i​∣bi​∣ for an arbitrary basis.

Significance

Proposition (1.11) says the first vector of a reduced basis approximates a shortest nonzero lattice vector within the factor 2(n−1)/22^{(n-1)/2}2(n−1)/2; (1.12) extends this to all of the first ttt basis vectors, so that ∣bj∣2|b_j|^2∣bj​∣2 is within 2n−12^{n-1}2n−1 of the jjj-th successive minimum of LLL (the remark after (1.12)). These are the guarantees on which the paper's factoring algorithm rests: in Section 2 a reduced basis of a lattice built from a ppp-adic factor yields, through (1.11) and (1.12), an irreducible factor of the polynomial. Inequality (1.9) gives simultaneous Diophantine approximation in polynomial time, and (1.8) bounds how far a reduced basis is from orthogonal.

All of these results are proved in the paper and in textbooks. Verified LLL developments exist in Isabelle/HOL (Bottesch et al., A verified LLL algorithm, AFP 2018), but Mathlib, the library this platform builds on, has neither the reduced-basis predicate of (1.4)–(1.5) nor these bounds. A Lean development produces a reusable definition layer for lattices with the paper's conventions, Gram–Schmidt length estimates, and Hadamard's inequality in determinant form, which the other missions of this series (the reduction algorithm and the factoring application) build on.

Difficulty

The estimates on Gram–Schmidt lengths are single-variable inductions once (1.5) has been rewritten using orthogonality. The step that does not follow from a direct estimate is (1.12): the vectors x1,…,xtx_1,\ldots,x_tx1​,…,xt​ are arbitrary independent lattice vectors with no relation to the basis order, so a bound on each ∣xj∣|x_j|∣xj​∣ by a single Gram–Schmidt length does not by itself say which bjb_jbj​ it controls. A naive argument that pairs xjx_jxj​ with bjb_jbj​ fails. The determinant statements need the link between Mathlib's matrix determinant of the columns bib_ibi​ and the Gram–Schmidt lengths, which Mathlib does not state in this form.

Formalization scope

Rn\mathbb R^nRn is EuclideanSpace ℝ (Fin n) (abbreviated Vec n), a basis is a family b : Fin n → Vec n, the lattice is Submodule.span ℤ (Set.range b), and "basis for LLL" is linear independence over R\mathbb RR together with equality of that span with LLL. The vectors bi∗b_i^*bi∗​ are Mathlib's unnormalised InnerProductSpace.gramSchmidt, and μij\mu_{ij}μij​ is (1.3) verbatim. d(L)d(L)d(L) is the absolute determinant of the column matrix; it is not defined as ∏∣bi∗∣\prod|b_i^*|∏∣bi∗​∣, which would make the first companion statement true by definition. Section 1 begins "Let nnn be a positive integer", so every statement carries 0<n0<n0<n.

Lean indices run from 000 to n−1n-1n−1: the paper's bib_ibi​ is Lean's b ⟨i-1, _⟩, an exponent 2i−12^{i-1}2i−1 at paper index iii is 2i2^i2i at Lean index iii, and the pair (i−1,i)(i-1,i)(i−1,i) of (1.5) is (i,i+1)(i,i+1)(i,i+1). Exponents n(n−1)/4n(n-1)/4n(n−1)/4, (n−1)/4(n-1)/4(n−1)/4 and 1/n1/n1/n are real powers. The maximum in (1.12) is a Finset.sup' over the nonempty index set of the xjx_jxj​, and the statement is empty at t=0t=0t=0, as on the page.

Every statement about a reduced basis also assumes linear independence: the reducedness inequalities alone hold for degenerate dependent families, whose Gram–Schmidt vectors vanish, and would make the targets trivial. The goal does not assume (1.7), (1.13) or any ordering of the xjx_jxj​; those appear only as milestones. Proofs of the milestones and companions, and general lemmas on Gram–Schmidt and determinants that would belong in Mathlib, are welcome.

Selected references

  • A. K. Lenstra, H. W. Lenstra, Jr., L. Lovász, Factoring polynomials with rational coefficients, Mathematische Annalen 261, 515–534, 1982. https://doi.org/10.1007/BF01457454
  • H. W. Lenstra, Jr., Integer programming with a fixed number of variables, Mathematics of Operations Research 8(4), 538–548, 1983. https://doi.org/10.1287/moor.8.4.538
  • R. Bottesch, J. Divasón, M. Haslbeck, S. Joosten, R. Thiemann, A. Yamada, A verified LLL algorithm, Archive of Formal Proofs, 2018. https://www.isa-afp.org/entries/LLL_Basis_Reduction.html
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Algorithmic Game TheoryFunctional AnalysisProbability·Captain: mikedeng1

Existence of Correlated Equilibria III: A Game with Compact Hausdorff Strategy Spaces and Continuous Payoffs Has a Countably Additive Correlated EquilibriumResearch Paper

Motivation

A correlated equilibrium (Aumann 1974) describes play in a game where a mediator draws a profile of recommended actions from a joint distribution and tells each player only that player's own recommendation; the distribution is an equilibrium when no player gains, on average, by departing from the recommendation. Correlated equilibria are the natural outcome of regret-minimizing learning dynamics and the solution concept underlying much of algorithmic game theory, so it matters in which games they are guaranteed to exist.

For finite games existence follows from Nash's theorem, since every Nash equilibrium is a correlated one. Hart and Schmeidler (1989) gave a direct proof based on linear duality, with no fixed-point theorem, and then extended it beyond finite games. This mission formalizes the last and most general of their three existence theorems: games with arbitrarily many players whose strategy spaces are compact Hausdorff spaces.

Timeline.

  • 1952: Fan and Glicksberg prove fixed-point theorems that yield Nash equilibria, hence correlated equilibria, for continuous games on compact strategy spaces.
  • 1969: Peleg proves existence of Nash equilibria for games with infinitely many players, finite strategy sets and continuous payoffs.
  • 1974: Aumann introduces correlated equilibria (J. Math. Econ. 1).
  • 1987: Aumann characterizes correlated equilibrium as Bayesian rationality (Econometrica 55).
  • 1989: Hart and Schmeidler prove existence of correlated equilibria by a separation argument: Theorem 1 for finite games, Theorem 2 for infinitely many players with finite strategy sets, Theorem 3 for compact Hausdorff strategy spaces (Math. Oper. Res. 14).

Setting

A game consists of a nonempty set NNN of players, possibly uncountable; for each player i∈Ni\in Ni∈N a nonempty set SiS^iSi of pure strategies; and for each player a payoff function hi:S→Rh^i:S\to\mathbb Rhi:S→R on the set of strategy profiles S=∏j∈NSjS=\prod_{j\in N}S^jS=∏j∈N​Sj. For a profile sss and a strategy ti∈Sit^i\in S^iti∈Si, (s−i,ti)(s^{-i},t^i)(s−i,ti) denotes the profile obtained from sss by replacing player iii's coordinate with tit^iti; thus hi(s)=hi(s−i,si)h^i(s)=h^i(s^{-i},s^i)hi(s)=hi(s−i,si).

In this mission each SiS^iSi is a compact Hausdorff space with its Borel σ-algebra Σi\Sigma^iΣi, the profile space SSS carries the product topology, and Σ\SigmaΣ is the Borel σ-algebra of SSS. The product σ-algebra Σ0\Sigma_0Σ0​ generated by the Σi\Sigma^iΣi is contained in Σ\SigmaΣ, and the inclusion may be strict when SSS is not metrizable (the paper's footnote 13).

Let ppp be a probability measure on (S,Σ)(S,\Sigma)(S,Σ). Think of ppp as the mediator's distribution; player iii learns the coordinate sis^isi of the drawn profile. A deviation of player iii is a Σi\Sigma^iΣi-measurable map ζi:Si→Si\zeta^i:S^i\to S^iζi:Si→Si that replaces each recommendation by an action. The measure ppp is a correlated equilibrium with respect to {Σi}i∈N\{\Sigma^i\}_{i\in N}{Σi}i∈N​ and Σ\SigmaΣ when, for every player iii and every deviation ζi\zeta^iζi,

∫S[hi(s−i,si)−hi(s−i,ζi(si))] dp(s) ≥ 0.(4)\int_S\bigl[h^i(s^{-i},s^i)-h^i\bigl(s^{-i},\zeta^i(s^i)\bigr)\bigr]\,dp(s)\ \ge\ 0 . \tag{4}∫S​[hi(s−i,si)−hi(s−i,ζi(si))]dp(s) ≥ 0.(4)

The left side is the expected gain from obeying the recommendation instead of following ζi\zeta^iζi.

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem 3

If every SiS^iSi is compact Hausdorff and every hih^ihi is continuous on SSS with the product topology, then

∃ p probability measure on (S,Σ) such that (4) holds for all i∈N and all Σi-measurable ζi.\exists\, p\ \text{probability measure on } (S,\Sigma)\ \text{such that (4) holds for all } i\in N \text{ and all } \Sigma^i\text{-measurable } \zeta^i .∃p probability measure on (S,Σ) such that (4) holds for all i∈N and all Σi-measurable ζi.

"Countably additive" in the paper's statement is automatic: ppp is a measure.

Milestones, in the order of the proof

  1. Every f-set game has a correlated equilibrium. An f-set is a product T=∏iTiT=\prod_iT^iT=∏i​Ti of finite nonempty sets Ti⊆SiT^i\subseteq S^iTi⊆Si with TiT^iTi a singleton for all but finitely many iii; the game ΓT\Gamma_TΓT​ restricts each player to TiT^iTi, and its correlated equilibrium qTq_TqT​ is a finitely supported probability on SSS.
  2. On a compact Hausdorff space, every net of probability measures has a regular probability measure as a cluster point for the topology induced by the continuous functions.
  3. For a regular probability ppp on SSS and a Borel set Ri⊆SiR^i\subseteq S^iRi⊆Si, there are a closed Fi⊆RiF^i\subseteq R^iFi⊆Ri and an open Gi⊇RiG^i\supseteq R^iGi⊇Ri with p((Gi∖Fi)×S−i)<εp\bigl((G^i\setminus F^i)\times S^{-i}\bigr)<\varepsilonp((Gi∖Fi)×S−i)<ε: the marginal of a regular measure is regular.
  4. The special case. A regular cluster point ppp of the qTq_TqT​ satisfies (4) for every deviation that equals a fixed tit^iti on a Borel set RiR^iRi and the identity elsewhere.
  5. For continuous hih^ihi and ε>0\varepsilon>0ε>0, SiS^iSi has a finite Borel partition A1,…,AKA_1,\dots,A_KA1​,…,AK​ with ∣hi(s−i,a)−hi(s−i,b)∣<ε|h^i(s^{-i},a)-h^i(s^{-i},b)|<\varepsilon∣hi(s−i,a)−hi(s−i,b)∣<ε for a,ba,ba,b in the same piece and every s−is^{-i}s−i.
  6. The general case. If (4) holds for all deviations of the special form, it holds for every Borel deviation.

An optional milestone records the remark on p. 23 that, for a finite strategy set SiS^iSi, condition (4) for player iii is equivalent to the earlier condition (3), one inequality per recommendation rir^iri and alternative tit^iti.

Significance

The result. Theorem 3 guarantees correlated equilibria, with a genuine (countably additive) probability measure, in every continuous game on compact strategy spaces, however many players there are. It also justifies taking Σ\SigmaΣ to be the full Borel σ-algebra rather than the smaller product σ-algebra, so that every Borel-measurable deviation rule is allowed. Nash existence under the same hypotheses (Fan 1952, Glicksberg 1952) implies existence of correlated equilibria too, but through a fixed-point theorem; the proof here uses only finite-dimensional duality and compactness.

Formalizing it. The theorem is classical and its proof is published; nothing here is open. To our knowledge no machine-checked proof of Theorem 3, or of any existence result for correlated equilibria in infinite games, exists. Finite-game existence results are on the platform (AGT.nash_existence; the correlated-equilibrium encodings of Aumann 1987 and Foster and Vohra 1997, and AGT.swap_regret_correlated_equilibrium). The formalization would add reusable measure-theoretic tools on compact products: the regular cluster point of a net of probability measures, the regularity of marginals, and uniform partitions for continuous functions on a product.

Difficulty

The obvious argument is the one that proves Theorem 2: approximate the game by finite games ΓT\Gamma_TΓT​, take correlated equilibria qTq_TqT​, extract a weak-* cluster point ppp, and pass the inequalities of ΓT\Gamma_TΓT​ to the limit. Passing to the limit works only for integrands that are continuous in sss, because ppp is a cluster point against continuous functions only. The integrand of (4) is hi(s)−hi(s−i,ζi(si))h^i(s)-h^i(s^{-i},\zeta^i(s^i))hi(s)−hi(s−i,ζi(si)), and ζi\zeta^iζi is merely Borel measurable, so this integrand need not be continuous and the limit step fails. Restricting to continuous deviations would avoid the difficulty but would prove a weaker theorem. Two further points need care: on a non-metrizable product the Borel σ-algebra is larger than the product σ-algebra, and the f-sets ordered by inclusion are not a directed set.

Formalization scope

The profile space is a type synonym Profile S of ∀ i, S i carrying the product topology and the instance borel (Profile S), so measures on SSS live on the Borel σ-algebra Σ\SigmaΣ and not on Mathlib's product σ-algebra MeasurableSpace.pi (=Σ0=\Sigma_0=Σ0​). The pair (s−i,ti)(s^{-i},t^i)(s−i,ti) is Function.update s i t. Players form a type ι with Nonempty ι; each S i is nonempty, compact and Hausdorff with BorelSpace (S i); payoffs are h : ι → Profile S → ℝ with each h i continuous. Deviations are all maps ζ : S i → S i with Measurable ζ.

The predicate IsCorrelatedEq h μ requires IsProbabilityMeasure μ and, for each player and measurable deviation, both integrability of the integrand and nonnegativity of its integral. The integrability clause prevents a trivializing reading in which a non-integrable integrand, whose Lean integral is 000, satisfies (4) vacuously; restricting deviations to continuous maps, or using the product σ-algebra, would also change the theorem and is ruled out.

The f-set net is indexed by the f-sets containing a fixed profile s^\hat ss^, which are directed; the paper's "ordered by inclusion of the sets TTT" over all f-sets is not directed, and anchoring repairs this without affecting any statement of the paper. A correlated equilibrium qTq_TqT​ of ΓT\Gamma_TΓT​ is encoded by its finite support and weights (IsFSetCE). The special case is stated for a regular cluster point of the qTq_TqT​ given by these constructed objects, not for an arbitrary measure.

A complete development needs Banach–Alaoglu or the compactness of probability measures on a compact space, the Riesz–Markov–Kakutani representation (RealRMK), regularity of measures (Measure.Regular), Urysohn's lemma, and uniform continuity on compact spaces, all available in Mathlib in some form. Proofs of any milestone, including the general-purpose milestones 2, 3 and 5, are welcome.

Selected references

  • S. Hart and D. Schmeidler, Existence of Correlated Equilibria, Mathematics of Operations Research 14(1), 18–25, 1989. https://doi.org/10.1287/moor.14.1.18
  • R. J. Aumann, Subjectivity and Correlation in Randomized Strategies, Journal of Mathematical Economics 1, 67–96, 1974. https://doi.org/10.1016/0304-4068(74)90037-8
  • R. J. Aumann, Correlated Equilibrium as an Expression of Bayesian Rationality, Econometrica 55(1), 1–18, 1987. https://doi.org/10.2307/1911154
  • B. Peleg, Equilibrium Points for Games with Infinitely Many Players, Journal of the London Mathematical Society s1-44, 292–294, 1969. https://doi.org/10.1112/jlms/s1-44.1.292
  • I. L. Glicksberg, A Further Generalization of the Kakutani Fixed Point Theorem, with Application to Nash Equilibrium Points, Proceedings of the AMS 3, 170–174, 1952. https://doi.org/10.1090/S0002-9939-1952-0046638-5
  • K. Fan, Fixed-Point and Minimax Theorems in Locally Convex Topological Linear Spaces, PNAS 38, 121–126, 1952. https://doi.org/10.1073/pnas.38.2.121
  • N. Dunford and J. T. Schwartz, Linear Operators, Part I, Interscience, 1958.
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Contact Interactions on a Lattice I: A Contact Process with (2d − 1)λₖ < kμ Dies Out from Every Finite Initial SetResearch Paper

Motivation

The contact process is the basic model of an infection spreading on a lattice: each infected site recovers at a constant rate, and each healthy site becomes infected at a rate that depends on how many of its neighbours are infected. It was introduced by T. E. Harris in Contact Interactions on a Lattice (Ann. Probab. 2, 1974), and it became one of the central examples of interacting particle systems, alongside the voter model and the stochastic Ising model (Liggett, Interacting Particle Systems, 1985, Ch. VI). Its main question is whether a finite infection dies out with probability one or survives forever with positive probability, and how that answer depends on the rates.

Harris's paper gives the first answers. It shows that, under natural conditions on the rates, the probability of survival is monotone, subadditive and submodular as a function of the initial set, and it uses these properties to prove a condition for certain extinction: Theorem 7.1. For the linear contact process (recovery rate 111, infection rate λ\lambdaλ per infected neighbour) the condition is (2d−1)λ<1(2d-1)\lambda<1(2d−1)λ<1. Holley obtained Theorem 7.1 by different methods at about the same time (footnote 4, p. 981); Holley and Liggett (Ann. Probab. 3, 1975) later developed the duality theory of such processes.

Setting

Let ZdZ_dZd​ be the ddd-dimensional integer lattice, d≥1d\ge1d≥1. Sites x,yx,yx,y are neighbours, x∼yx\sim yx∼y, if ∑i∣xi−yi∣=1\sum_i|x^i-y^i|=1∑i​∣xi−yi∣=1; NxN_xNx​ is the set of the 2d2d2d neighbours of xxx. A configuration is a finite set ξ⊂Zd\xi\subset Z_dξ⊂Zd​ of infected sites; Ξ0\Xi_0Ξ0​ is the set of all of them, ξ(Nx)=∣ξ∩Nx∣\xi(N_x)=|\xi\cap N_x|ξ(Nx​)=∣ξ∩Nx​∣, and x∼ξx\sim\xix∼ξ means x∉ξx\notin\xix∈/ξ and xxx has a neighbour in ξ\xiξ.

The parameters are a recovery rate μ≥0\mu\ge0μ≥0 and infection rates λ0=0,λ1,…,λ2d≥0\lambda_0=0,\lambda_1,\dots,\lambda_{2d}\ge0λ0​=0,λ1​,…,λ2d​≥0. The contact process {ξt}\{\xi_t\}{ξt​} started from a finite set is the continuous-time Markov chain on Ξ0\Xi_0Ξ0​ that leaves ξ\xiξ at rate

qξ=μ∣ξ∣+∑x∼ξλξ(Nx)(4.4)q_\xi=\mu|\xi|+\sum_{x\sim\xi}\lambda_{\xi(N_x)}\qquad(4.4)qξ​=μ∣ξ∣+x∼ξ∑​λξ(Nx​)​(4.4)

and jumps to ξ∖x\xi\setminus xξ∖x (x∈ξx\in\xix∈ξ) at rate μ\muμ and to ξ∪x\xi\cup xξ∪x (x∼ξx\sim\xix∼ξ) at rate λξ(Nx)\lambda_{\xi(N_x)}λξ(Nx​)​ (4.5). The empty set is absorbing. Write Pt(ξ,η)P_t(\xi,\eta)Pt​(ξ,η) for its transition function, r(ξ,η)=qξη/qξr(\xi,\eta)=q_{\xi\eta}/q_\xir(ξ,η)=qξη​/qξ​ for the transition matrix of its imbedded jump chain, and

pt(ξ)=Pξ{ξt≠∅},p∞(ξ)=lim⁡t→∞pt(ξ),mt(ξ)=Eξ∣ξt∣.p_t(\xi)=P_\xi\{\xi_t\neq\varnothing\},\qquad p_\infty(\xi)=\lim_{t\to\infty}p_t(\xi),\qquad m_t(\xi)=\mathscr E_\xi|\xi_t| .pt​(ξ)=Pξ​{ξt​=∅},p∞​(ξ)=t→∞lim​pt​(ξ),mt​(ξ)=Eξ​∣ξt​∣.

The process is increasing, subadditive or submodular if, for all ξ,η\xi,\etaξ,η and t≥0t\ge0t≥0, respectively pt(ξ)≤pt(ξ∪η)p_t(\xi)\le p_t(\xi\cup\eta)pt​(ξ)≤pt​(ξ∪η), pt(ξ∪η)≤pt(ξ)+pt(η)p_t(\xi\cup\eta)\le p_t(\xi)+p_t(\eta)pt​(ξ∪η)≤pt​(ξ)+pt​(η), or pt(ξ∪η)+pt(ξ∩η)≤pt(ξ)+pt(η)p_t(\xi\cup\eta)+p_t(\xi\cap\eta)\le p_t(\xi)+p_t(\eta)pt​(ξ∪η)+pt​(ξ∩η)≤pt​(ξ)+pt​(η) ((5.2)–(5.4)).

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem 7.1 (p. 981)

If

(2d−1)λk<kμ,k=1,…,2d,(2d-1)\lambda_k<k\mu,\qquad k=1,\dots,2d,(2d−1)λk​<kμ,k=1,…,2d,

then

p∞(ξ)=0for every finite ξ⊂Zd.p_\infty(\xi)=0\qquad\text{for every finite }\xi\subset Z_d .p∞​(ξ)=0for every finite ξ⊂Zd​.

Milestones, in the order of the paper

  1. Theorem 4.3 (p. 975): from a finite set the process has finitely many jumps on every [0,t][0,t][0,t]; equivalently ∑ηPt(ξ,η)=1\sum_\eta P_t(\xi,\eta)=1∑η​Pt​(ξ,η)=1.
  2. (5.1) (p. 976): pt(ξ)p_t(\xi)pt​(ξ) is non-increasing in ttt, so p∞(ξ)p_\infty(\xi)p∞​(ξ) is a limit.
  3. Theorem 5.6(a) (p. 977): if λk↑\lambda_k\uparrowλk​↑, the process is increasing.
  4. Theorem 5.6(b) (p. 977): if moreover λk/k↓\lambda_k/k\downarrowλk​/k↓, it is subadditive.
  5. Lemma 5.8 (p. 978): if λk≤min⁡j≥kλj′\lambda_k\le\min_{j\ge k}\lambda'_jλk​≤minj≥k​λj′​, then pt≤pt′p_t\le p'_tpt​≤pt′​ and mt≤mt′m_t\le m'_tmt​≤mt′​.
  6. Theorem 6.2 (p. 979): if {λi}\{\lambda_i\}{λi​} is concave and non-decreasing with λ0=0\lambda_0=0λ0​=0, the process is submodular.
  7. Change of time scale (p. 981): multiplying all rates by c>0c>0c>0 replaces PtP_tPt​ by PctP_{ct}Pct​ and leaves p∞p_\inftyp∞​ unchanged.
  8. First-step display (p. 981): for a subadditive process, a singleton {x}\{x\}{x}, and n≥1n\ge1n≥1, p∞({x})=∑ηr(n)({x},η)p∞(η)≤p∞({x}) Ex∣ξ(n)∣p_\infty(\{x\})=\sum_\eta r^{(n)}(\{x\},\eta)p_\infty(\eta)\le p_\infty(\{x\})\,\mathscr E_x|\xi_{(n)}|p∞​({x})=∑η​r(n)({x},η)p∞​(η)≤p∞​({x})Ex​∣ξ(n)​∣.
  9. (7.2) (p. 981): for μ=1\mu=1μ=1, λk=kλ\lambda_k=k\lambdaλk​=kλ: π1=2dλ1+2dλπ2\pi_1=\frac{2d\lambda}{1+2d\lambda}\pi_2π1​=1+2dλ2dλ​π2​, where π1,π2\pi_1,\pi_2π1​,π2​ are p∞p_\inftyp∞​ of a site and of a pair of neighbours.
  10. (7.3)–(7.4) (p. 981): π2−π1=(1+(2d−1)λ)∑′r(ξ,ξ∪x)(p∞(ξ∪x)−π2)≤(π2−π1)(2d−1)λ\pi_2-\pi_1=(1+(2d-1)\lambda)\sum'r(\xi,\xi\cup x)(p_\infty(\xi\cup x)-\pi_2)\le(\pi_2-\pi_1)(2d-1)\lambdaπ2​−π1​=(1+(2d−1)λ)∑′r(ξ,ξ∪x)(p∞​(ξ∪x)−π2​)≤(π2​−π1​)(2d−1)λ.
  11. Conclusion of the proof (p. 981): for μ=1\mu=1μ=1, λk=kλ\lambda_k=k\lambdaλk​=kλ, π1>0\pi_1>0π1​>0 implies (2d−1)λ≥1(2d-1)\lambda\ge1(2d−1)λ≥1.

Significance

Theorem 7.1 gives a computable sufficient condition for extinction that holds in every dimension and for every non-linear infection law satisfying it. For the linear process it gives the lower bound λc≥1/(2d−1)\lambda_c\ge1/(2d-1)λc​≥1/(2d−1) on the critical infection rate; the paper's §9 shows conversely that the process survives for large λk/μ\lambda_k/\muλk​/μ, so the critical rate is non-trivial. The monotonicity, subadditivity and submodularity theorems of §§5–6 are the comparison tools on which much of the later theory of attractive spin systems was built, and Lemma 5.8 is the prototype of comparison between processes with ordered rates.

The results are proved in the paper, and the proof of Theorem 7.1 is half a page once §§5–6 are available. No machine-checked version of the contact process, of its comparison theorems, or of Theorem 7.1 is known to exist. A formalization produces a continuous-time Markov chain with unbounded rates and an absorbing state on a countable state space, its minimal transition function, a non-explosion criterion, first-step analysis for absorption probabilities, and coupling arguments for monotone comparison. The companion mission Contact Interactions on a Lattice II treats Theorem 7.6, the integrability of the expected size, on the same model.

Difficulty

The obvious argument is first-step analysis on singletons and pairs, (7.2) and (7.3). It fails as it stands because (7.3) involves p∞p_\inftyp∞​ of every three-point set ξ∪x\xi\cup xξ∪x, and no finite system of first-step equations closes; some inequality between survival probabilities of nested sets is needed, and the milestones record the one the paper uses. Submodularity, subadditivity and monotonicity are not consequences of the rates by direct computation: the paper proves each by building several contact processes on one probability space (Tables 1–4), which in a formal development means constructing couplings of chains with unbounded rates and checking that each marginal has the right law. The reduction from general λk\lambda_kλk​ to the linear case also needs the comparison Lemma 5.8, another coupling. Finally the rates grow linearly in ∣ξ∣|\xi|∣ξ∣, so uniformization does not apply and non-explosion (Theorem 4.3) must be proved before transition probabilities are known to sum to one.

Formalization scope

The process is the countable-state chain of §4, not the Feller process on all subsets of ZdZ_dZd​ of §2: sites are Fin d → ℤ, configurations are Finsets, and PtP_tPt​ is the minimal transition function of the rates (4.4)–(4.5), defined as the increasing limit of Feller's backward recursion. There is no measure-theoretic process object; PξP_\xiPξ​ and Eξ\mathscr E_\xiEξ​ enter only through PtP_tPt​. Consequently Theorem 4.1 (Ξ0\Xi_0Ξ0​ is stochastically closed) is built in, and every statement is made for finite initial sets, including those the page makes for arbitrary ξ∈Ξ\xi\in\Xiξ∈Ξ ((5.2)–(5.4), Lemma 5.8); for infinite ξ\xiξ the page itself notes pt(ξ)=1p_t(\xi)=1pt​(ξ)=1.

The committed conventions:

  • PtP_tPt​, ptp_tpt​, p∞p_\inftyp∞​ and mtm_tmt​ take values in [0,∞][0,\infty][0,∞]; pt(ξ)=1−Pt(ξ,∅)p_t(\xi)=1-P_t(\xi,\varnothing)pt​(ξ)=1−Pt​(ξ,∅) and p∞(ξ)=inf⁡t≥0pt(ξ)p_\infty(\xi)=\inf_{t\ge0}p_t(\xi)p∞​(ξ)=inft≥0​pt​(ξ), so p∞=0p_\infty=0p∞​=0 means absorption at ∅\varnothing∅ and cannot be produced by loss of mass to explosion.
  • The rates are real; every theorem assumes d≥1d\ge1d≥1, μ≥0\mu\ge0μ≥0, λ0=0\lambda_0=0λ0​=0 and λk≥0\lambda_k\ge0λk​≥0 for k≤2dk\le2dk≤2d. Conditions on {λk}\{\lambda_k\}{λk​} range over k=1,…,2dk=1,\dots,2dk=1,…,2d (or 0,…,2d0,\dots,2d0,…,2d), never over all natural numbers.
  • 2d−12d-12d−1 is the real number 2d−12d-12d−1.
  • In the linear case the scalar rate is written lll (λ\lambdaλ is reserved in Lean), μ=1\mu=1μ=1 and λk=kl\lambda_k=klλk​=kl.

Trivializing formalizations are ruled out: the survival probability is not taken from an arbitrary semigroup or a uniformization (the rates are unbounded); p∞p_\inftyp∞​ is not a real infimum or limUnder, whose junk value 000 would make the goal free; λ\lambdaλ is indexed by the number of infected, not vacant, neighbours, and λ0=0\lambda_0=0λ0​=0 forbids spontaneous infection; and (7.2) is stated for every site and every neighbour, not for one fixed pair.

A complete development needs: non-explosion for chains with linearly growing rates; the Chapman–Kolmogorov and strong Markov properties of the minimal chain at jump times; lattice symmetries (translations and coordinate reflections) acting on the chain; and couplings of several contact processes realised as one chain on a product type space. The chain infrastructure and the coupling lemmas are reusable beyond this mission, in particular by its companion. Contributions to any milestone are welcome, including proofs of the milestones under the paper's hypotheses by methods other than Harris's.

Selected references

  • T. E. Harris, Contact interactions on a lattice, The Annals of Probability 2(6), 969–988, 1974. https://doi.org/10.1214/aop/1176996493
  • R. Holley and T. M. Liggett, Ergodic theorems for weakly interacting infinite systems and the voter model, The Annals of Probability 3(4), 643–663, 1975. https://doi.org/10.1214/aop/1176996306
  • T. M. Liggett, Interacting Particle Systems, Grundlehren 276, Springer, 1985. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-1-4613-8542-4
  • W. Feller, On the integro-differential equations of purely discontinuous Markoff processes, Transactions of the AMS 48, 488–515, 1940. https://doi.org/10.1090/S0002-9947-1940-0002697-3
  • J. R. Norris, Markov Chains, Cambridge University Press, 1997, §2.8. https://doi.org/10.1017/CBO9780511810633
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Heavy-Traffic Limits for Queues with Many Exponential Servers: The Scaled Stationary M/M/n Queue Length Converges to a Hybrid Exponential–Normal LawResearch Paper

Why many-server queues in heavy traffic

Telephone exchanges, call centers, hospital wards and cloud server pools are queues with a large number sss of parallel servers. For such systems two classical approximations pull in opposite directions. Holding sss fixed and letting the traffic intensity ρ→1\rho \to 1ρ→1 gives the conventional heavy-traffic limit, in which almost every customer waits. Letting sss grow with ρ\rhoρ fixed below one gives a limit in which almost nobody waits. Real systems sit in between: a positive fraction of customers wait, and waits are short. Halfin and Whitt (Operations Research 29 (1981) 567–588) identified the scaling that produces this middle regime and the limit laws it yields. The scaling is now called the Halfin–Whitt or quality-and-efficiency-driven (QED) regime, and it underlies square-root staffing: run n≈R+βRn \approx R + \beta\sqrt Rn≈R+βR​ servers for an offered load of RRR Erlangs. Borst, Mandelbaum and Reiman (Operations Research 52 (2004) 17–34) built staffing rules for large call centers on it.

Timeline. Erlang (1917) gave the delay probability of the M/M/s queue. Iglehart (1965) proved diffusion limits for M/M/s queues with the number of servers growing and the traffic intensity fixed. Halfin and Whitt (1981) proved that the delay probability has a limit strictly between 0 and 1 exactly when (1−ρn)n(1-\rho_n)\sqrt n(1−ρn​)n​ converges to a positive constant (their Proposition 1), derived the limit of the stationary queue length (Theorem 1), and extended the process-level limit to GI/M/s queues. Later work extended the regime to many-server queues with general service times and abandonment.

Setting

An M/M/s queue has Poisson arrivals at rate λ>0\lambda > 0λ>0, s≥1s \ge 1s≥1 servers, and exponential service times with rate μ>0\mu > 0μ>0. Its traffic intensity is ρ=λ/(sμ)\rho = \lambda/(s\mu)ρ=λ/(sμ). The number Q(t)Q(t)Q(t) of customers in the system (waiting or in service) is a birth–death process on {0,1,2,… }\{0,1,2,\dots\}{0,1,2,…} with birth rate λ\lambdaλ and death rate min⁡(k,s)μ\min(k,s)\mumin(k,s)μ in state kkk. When ρ<1\rho < 1ρ<1, Q(t)Q(t)Q(t) converges in distribution to Q(∞)Q(\infty)Q(∞), whose law pk=P(Q(∞)=k)p_k = P(Q(\infty) = k)pk​=P(Q(∞)=k) is the unique probability distribution solving the balance equations of this chain. The probability of delay α=P(Q(∞)≥s)\alpha = P(Q(\infty) \ge s)α=P(Q(∞)≥s) is the Erlang-C formula.

The mission studies a sequence of such queues: queue n≥1n \ge 1n≥1 has sn=ns_n = nsn​=n servers, the fixed service rate μ\muμ, and arrival rate λn\lambda_nλn​ with ρn=λn/(nμ)<1\rho_n = \lambda_n/(n\mu) < 1ρn​=λn​/(nμ)<1 and λn→∞\lambda_n \to \inftyλn​→∞. Its stationary queue length is Qn(∞)Q_n(\infty)Qn​(∞), and the scaled queue length is

Xn=Qn(∞)−nn.X_n = \frac{Q_n(\infty) - n}{\sqrt n}.Xn​=n​Qn​(∞)−n​.

Throughout, Φ\PhiΦ and φ\varphiφ denote the standard normal distribution function and density, and for β>0\beta > 0β>0

α(β)=[1+2π β Φ(β) eβ2/2]−1=φ(β)φ(β)+βΦ(β)∈(0,1).\alpha(\beta) = \big[1 + \sqrt{2\pi}\,\beta\,\Phi(\beta)\,e^{\beta^2/2}\big]^{-1} = \frac{\varphi(\beta)}{\varphi(\beta) + \beta\Phi(\beta)} \in (0,1).α(β)=[1+2π​βΦ(β)eβ2/2]−1=φ(β)+βΦ(β)φ(β)​∈(0,1).

The standing assumption of the paper's Section 2 is the heavy-traffic condition

lim⁡n→∞(1−ρn)n=β,β>0.(2.2)\lim_{n\to\infty} (1-\rho_n)\sqrt n = \beta, \qquad \beta > 0. \tag{2.2}n→∞lim​(1−ρn​)n​=β,β>0.(2.2)

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem 1

Under (2.2), with α=α(β)\alpha = \alpha(\beta)α=α(β),

Xn⇒X,P(X≥0)=α,P(X>x∣X≥0)=e−xβ (x≥0),P(X≤x∣X≤0)=Φ(β+x)Φ(β) (x≤0).X_n \Rightarrow X, \qquad P(X \ge 0) = \alpha,\quad P(X > x \mid X \ge 0) = e^{-x\beta}\ (x \ge 0),\quad P(X \le x \mid X \le 0) = \frac{\Phi(\beta + x)}{\Phi(\beta)}\ (x \le 0).Xn​⇒X,P(X≥0)=α,P(X>x∣X≥0)=e−xβ (x≥0),P(X≤x∣X≤0)=Φ(β)Φ(β+x)​ (x≤0).

The limit is exponential with rate β\betaβ above zero and a normal law truncated at zero below it, with masses α\alphaα and 1−α1-\alpha1−α.

Milestones, in the order the paper proves them

  1. The stationary law (1.1)–(1.3) of one M/M/s queue, and the identification (1.2) of P(Q(∞)≥s)P(Q(\infty) \ge s)P(Q(∞)≥s) with the Erlang-C formula.
  2. Lemma 1: recursions expressing the partial moments ∑k<skmpk\sum_{k<s} k^m p_k∑k<s​kmpk​ and ∑k≥skmpk\sum_{k \ge s} k^m p_k∑k≥s​kmpk​ through lower ones and α\alphaα.
  3. Proposition 1: P(Qn(∞)≥n)→α∈(0,1)P(Q_n(\infty) \ge n) \to \alpha \in (0,1)P(Qn​(∞)≥n)→α∈(0,1) if and only if (2.2) holds, and then α=α(β)\alpha = \alpha(\beta)α=α(β).
  4. Proposition 2: for δ>0\delta > 0δ>0 and (n−δn)/n→δ(n - \delta_n)/\sqrt n \to \delta(n−δn​)/n​→δ with δn≤n\delta_n \le nδn​≤n,
P(Qn(∞)≤δn∣Qn(∞)≤n)→Φ(β−δ)Φ(β),n P(Qn(∞)=[δn]∣Qn(∞)≤n)→φ(β−δ)Φ(β),P(Q_n(\infty) \le \delta_n \mid Q_n(\infty) \le n) \to \frac{\Phi(\beta-\delta)}{\Phi(\beta)},\qquad \sqrt n\,P(Q_n(\infty) = [\delta_n] \mid Q_n(\infty) \le n) \to \frac{\varphi(\beta-\delta)}{\Phi(\beta)},P(Qn​(∞)≤δn​∣Qn​(∞)≤n)→Φ(β)Φ(β−δ)​,n​P(Qn​(∞)=[δn​]∣Qn​(∞)≤n)→Φ(β)φ(β−δ)​,

and for (δn−n)/n→δ(\delta_n - n)/\sqrt n \to \delta(δn​−n)/n​→δ with δn≥n\delta_n \ge nδn​≥n,

P(Qn(∞)≥δn∣Qn(∞)≥n)→e−δβ,n P(Qn(∞)=[δn]∣Qn(∞)≥n)→βe−δβ.P(Q_n(\infty) \ge \delta_n \mid Q_n(\infty) \ge n) \to e^{-\delta\beta},\qquad \sqrt n\,P(Q_n(\infty) = [\delta_n] \mid Q_n(\infty) \ge n) \to \beta e^{-\delta\beta}.P(Qn​(∞)≥δn​∣Qn​(∞)≥n)→e−δβ,n​P(Qn​(∞)=[δn​]∣Qn​(∞)≥n)→βe−δβ.
  1. Corollary 1: the first four moments and the variance of XnX_nXn​ converge to explicit functions of α\alphaα and β\betaβ, for example EXn→−β+α/βE X_n \to -\beta + \alpha/\betaEXn​→−β+α/β.

Significance

Theorem 1 is the stationary half of the Halfin–Whitt regime. It turns the Erlang-C formula, a ratio of sums with nnn terms that is opaque for large nnn, into a two-parameter description of congestion: α\alphaα is the fraction of customers who wait, β\betaβ is the scaled safety margin of servers, and the conditional laws above give the distribution of the number waiting and of the number of idle servers. Proposition 1 and Theorem 1 are what square-root staffing rules evaluate; Corollary 1 supplies the mean and variance used in the paper's numerical approximations.

All results of this mission are proved in the paper, by direct calculation from (1.1)–(1.3), Stirling's formula and the central limit theorem for Poisson variables. None has a machine-checked proof. Proposition 1 and the two Section 1 facts are posed on the platform as open theorems from the Gross et al. queueing textbook series; this mission adds the conditional and local limits, the weak-convergence theorem and the moment results on the same definitions, so that a closed development would give a fully checked derivation of the Halfin–Whitt limit from the balance equations.

Difficulty

The stationary law is explicit, so nothing here needs a stochastic process. The difficulty is analytic and uniform: each statement is a limit of ratios of sums of nnn or infinitely many terms, (nρn)k/k!(n\rho_n)^k/k!(nρn​)k/k! below nnn and a geometric tail above nnn, in which ρn→1\rho_n \to 1ρn​→1 and n→∞n \to \inftyn→∞ at linked rates. The lower half needs a central limit theorem for Poisson laws whose parameter nρnn\rho_nnρn​ moves with nnn and is evaluated at a moving point; the local limits (2.10) and (2.12) need Stirling's formula with explicit control of log⁡ρn\log \rho_nlogρn​ to second order. Weak convergence then needs tightness, or a direct argument from the conditional limits, and the moment limits need uniform integrability, which the fixed-sss moment recursions do not give by themselves. Holding ρ\rhoρ fixed, or taking limits in nnn and ρ\rhoρ one after the other, gives degenerate answers (α=0\alpha = 0α=0 or α=1\alpha = 1α=1); the two limits must be taken together.

Formalization scope

The Lean development lives in the namespace HalfinWhitt81.Stationary. The law of Qn(∞)Q_n(\infty)Qn​(∞) is a sequence p n : ℕ → ℝ satisfying IsSteadyState (fun _ => lam n) (mmcDeath μ n) (p n) of the referenced definition QueueingFundamentals.BirthDeath.Balance (nonnegative, summing to one, solving the balance equations of the M/M/n chain); the Erlang-C formula and α(β)\alpha(\beta)α(β) are erlangC and halfinWhittAlpha of QueueingFundamentals.BirthDeath.Erlang, and Φ\PhiΦ, φ\varphiφ are Mathlib's cdf (gaussianReal 0 1) and gaussianPDFReal 0 1. These, and the three open theorems for (1.1)–(1.3), (1.2) and Proposition 1, come from the Gross et al. (2008) series and are referenced, not restated. The related Borst–Mandelbaum–Reiman items (DimCallCenters.*.lemma_4_1, for the continuous extension of Erlang-C) state a different result and are not used.

Conventions committed to:

  • hypotheses on queue nnn (rates, steady state, δn≤n\delta_n \le nδn​≤n or δn≥n\delta_n \ge nδn​≥n) are imposed for n≥1n \ge 1n≥1, and only limits are asserted; λn→∞\lambda_n \to \inftyλn​→∞ is kept as a hypothesis although it follows from (2.2);
  • the standing assumption "(2.1) or, equivalently, (2.2)" is the hypothesis (2.2) with β>0\beta > 0β>0, and α\alphaα is written as α(β)\alpha(\beta)α(β), equal to the limit in (2.1) by Proposition 1;
  • probabilities of Qn(∞)Q_n(\infty)Qn​(∞) are sums of p n (probLE, probGE, probEqInt); a conditional probability P(A∣B)P(A \mid B)P(A∣B) with A⊆BA \subseteq BA⊆B is the ratio P(A)/P(B)P(A)/P(B)P(A)/P(B); [x][x][x] is Int.floor, with P(Q=m)=0P(Q = m) = 0P(Q=m)=0 for m<0m < 0m<0;
  • XnX_nXn​ uses n−1/2n^{-1/2}n−1/2: the page's (2.13) prints n1/2n^{1/2}n1/2, a misprint; (2.12) prints the limit βe−β\beta e^{-\beta}βe−β, a misprint for βe−δβ\beta e^{-\delta\beta}βe−δβ, which is what is formalized;
  • "Xn⇒XX_n \Rightarrow XXn​⇒X" is stated as: there is a Borel probability measure ν\nuν on R\mathbb RR with the three properties of Theorem 1 such that ∑kpn(k) g((k−n)/n)→∫g dν\sum_k p_n(k)\,g((k-n)/\sqrt n) \to \int g\,d\nu∑k​pn​(k)g((k−n)/n​)→∫gdν for every bounded continuous ggg; the exponential clause is for x≥0x \ge 0x≥0 and the normal clause for x≤0x \le 0x≤0;
  • infinite sums whose convergence is not implied by the hypotheses (the moment series of Lemma 1 and Corollary 1) have their convergence in the conclusion.

The goal cannot be met trivially: the law of Qn(∞)Q_n(\infty)Qn​(∞) is the M/M/n steady state, not a free sequence; the limit measure is asserted to exist together with its three properties and the convergence, so no vacuous "for every ν\nuν" reading is possible; and the statement P(Xn≥0)→αP(X_n \ge 0) \to \alphaP(Xn​≥0)→α alone is Proposition 1, already posed.

A complete development needs: the closed form of the M/M/n steady state, Poisson central limit and local limit theorems with a moving parameter, Stirling's formula with error terms, a criterion for weak convergence from convergence of distribution functions, and uniform integrability for the moments. The Poisson limit theorems and the weak-convergence criterion are reusable beyond this mission. Proofs of the referenced open theorems, of individual milestones, and alternative routes to Theorem 1 (moment convergence, or the process-level limit) are all welcome.

Selected references

  • S. Halfin and W. Whitt, Heavy-Traffic Limits for Queues with Many Exponential Servers, Operations Research 29(3) (1981) 567–588. https://doi.org/10.1287/opre.29.3.567
  • R. B. Cooper, Introduction to Queueing Theory, Macmillan, 1972 (the source cited for (1.1)–(1.3)).
  • D. L. Iglehart, Limiting Diffusion Approximations for the Many Server Queue and the Repairman Problem, Journal of Applied Probability 2(2) (1965) 429–441.
  • S. Borst, A. Mandelbaum and M. I. Reiman, Dimensioning Large Call Centers, Operations Research 52(1) (2004) 17–34. https://doi.org/10.1287/opre.1030.0081
  • D. Gross, J. F. Shortle, J. M. Thompson and C. M. Harris, Fundamentals of Queueing Theory, 4th ed., Wiley, 2008 (§2.4: the Erlang-C formula and the Halfin–Whitt limit).
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Bimatrix Equilibrium Points and Mathematical Programming: If Z Is Non-Degenerate and uᵀMu ≥ 0, uᵀMu = 0 ⇒ Mu + Mᵀu = 0 for All u ≥ 0, a Non-Empty Z Has an Equilibrium PointResearch Paper

Motivation

The linear complementarity problem asks, for a real square matrix MMM of order nnn and a vector q∈Rnq\in\mathbb R^nq∈Rn, for a vector zzz with

z≥0,w=Mz−q≥0,zTw=0.z\ge 0,\qquad w=Mz-q\ge 0,\qquad z^{\mathsf T}w=0 .z≥0,w=Mz−q≥0,zTw=0.

It is the common form of the Kuhn–Tucker conditions of linear and convex quadratic programs and of the equilibrium conditions of two-person non-zero-sum (bimatrix) games. In 1964 Lemke and Howson gave a constructive existence proof for equilibrium points of bimatrix games by following a path of adjacent extreme points of a polyhedron (Lemke–Howson 1964). In 1965 Lemke adapted that path-following technique to the general problem above, under a condition on MMM that covers the positive semidefinite case treated by Dantzig and Cottle and the case M>0M>0M>0 (Lemke 1965). The resulting procedure, now called Lemke's algorithm or complementary pivoting, became a standard method for linear complementarity problems and a template for later path-following existence proofs (Cottle, Pang, Stone 1992).

Timeline:

  • 1964: Lemke and Howson, adjacent-extreme-point path for bimatrix games.
  • 1965: Lemke, existence for matrices satisfying conditions (i)–(ii) below (the goal of this mission), under a non-degeneracy assumption, by an augmented path with an artificial variable z0z_0z0​.
  • Later literature names matrices with (i)–(ii) copositive-plus, and removes non-degeneracy by lexicographic perturbation.

Setting

Fix a finite index set of size nnn, a real n×nn\times nn×n matrix MMM and q∈Rnq\in\mathbb R^nq∈Rn. Inequalities between vectors are componentwise and eee is the all-ones vector.

  • The set Z={z∈Rn:z≥0, w=Mz−q≥0}Z=\{z\in\mathbb R^n : z\ge 0,\ w=Mz-q\ge 0\}Z={z∈Rn:z≥0, w=Mz−q≥0}; www is always the function Mz−qMz-qMz−q of zzz.
  • An equilibrium point is a point z∈Zz\in Zz∈Z with zTw=0z^{\mathsf T}w=0zTw=0; SSS is the set of them.
  • For any z∈Rnz\in\mathbb R^nz∈Rn, the matrix N(z)N(z)N(z) consists of the columns of (MT,I)(M^{\mathsf T},I)(MT,I) that are kept when one deletes the iii-th column of MTM^{\mathsf T}MT whenever wi≠0w_i\ne 0wi​=0 and the iii-th column of III whenever zi≠0z_i\ne0zi​=0.
  • An extreme point of ZZZ is a point z∈Zz\in Zz∈Z with rank⁡N(z)=n\operatorname{rank}N(z)=nrankN(z)=n; zzz lies on an open edge if z∈Zz\in Zz∈Z and rank⁡N(z)=n−1\operatorname{rank}N(z)=n-1rankN(z)=n−1. An open edge is the set of points of ZZZ sharing the matrix N(z)N(z)N(z) of such a point; a ray is an open edge with exactly one end-point.
  • ZZZ is non-degenerate if for every z∈Rnz\in\mathbb R^nz∈Rn the columns of N(z)N(z)N(z) are linearly independent.
  • For an index sss, Zs={z∈Z:zTw=zsws}Z_s=\{z\in Z : z^{\mathsf T}w=z_sw_s\}Zs​={z∈Z:zTw=zs​ws​}. An adjacency path is a non-empty connected class of closed edges of ZZZ no three of which meet; its end-points are the extreme points lying on exactly one of its edges.
  • The augmented sets: Z∗={(z,z0):z≥0, z0≥0, Mz+z0e−q≥0}Z^*=\{(z,z_0) : z\ge0,\ z_0\ge0,\ Mz+z_0e-q\ge0\}Z∗={(z,z0​):z≥0, z0​≥0, Mz+z0​e−q≥0}, its subset Z0∗Z_0^*Z0∗​ where zTw=0z^{\mathsf T}w=0zTw=0, and, for a number kkk, Z∗∗Z^{**}Z∗∗, the set of the form above for the bordered data (Me−eT0)\begin{pmatrix}M&e\\-e^{\mathsf T}&0\end{pmatrix}(M−eT​e0​), (q−k)\begin{pmatrix}q\\-k\end{pmatrix}(q−k​).

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem 4 (p. 7)

Suppose ZZZ is non-degenerate and that for every u≥0u\ge0u≥0

(i) uTMu≥0,(ii) uTMu=0 ⟹ Mu+MTu=0.\text{(i)}\ u^{\mathsf T}Mu\ge 0,\qquad \text{(ii)}\ u^{\mathsf T}Mu=0\ \Longrightarrow\ Mu+M^{\mathsf T}u=0 .(i) uTMu≥0,(ii) uTMu=0 ⟹ Mu+MTu=0.

Then

Z≠∅ ⟹ ∃z∈Z, zT(Mz−q)=0.Z\ne\emptyset\ \Longrightarrow\ \exists z\in Z,\ z^{\mathsf T}(Mz-q)=0 .Z=∅ ⟹ ∃z∈Z, zT(Mz−q)=0.

Milestones, in the order the paper's proof uses them

  1. Theorem 1 (p. 3): for non-degenerate ZZZ, ZsZ_sZs​ is empty or a disjoint union of adjacency paths whose end-points are exactly the equilibrium points.
  2. Lemma 2 (p. 4): Z=∅Z=\emptysetZ=∅ iff some u≥0u\ge0u≥0 has MTu≤0M^{\mathsf T}u\le0MTu≤0, uTq>0u^{\mathsf T}q>0uTq>0.
  3. Theorem 2 (p. 4): if some ZsZ_sZs​ contains precisely one ray of a non-degenerate ZZZ, the number of equilibrium points is odd.
  4. p. 6: for kkk chosen as in (12), the starting ray E0∗E_0^*E0∗​ (z=0z=0z=0) is a ray of Z∗∗Z^{**}Z∗∗ inside Z0∗∗Z_0^{**}Z0∗∗​, and it is the only one.
  5. Lemma 2 (p. 6): Z∗∗Z^{**}Z∗∗ has an equilibrium point.
  6. Lemma 3 (p. 7): a ray (zˉ+θu,zˉ0+θu0)(\bar z+\theta u,\bar z_0+\theta u_0)(zˉ+θu,zˉ0​+θu0​) of Z∗Z^*Z∗ in Z0∗Z_0^*Z0∗​ with eTu=1e^{\mathsf T}u=1eTu=1 satisfies uTMu+u0=0u^{\mathsf T}Mu+u_0=0uTMu+u0​=0.
  7. (22)–(25) (pp. 7–8): under (i)–(ii) such a ray has zˉ0=0\bar z_0=0zˉ0​=0 and zˉ\bar zzˉ an equilibrium point of ZZZ, or zˉ0>0\bar z_0>0zˉ0​>0 and Z=∅Z=\emptysetZ=∅.

Companion results

The Corollary (p. 5: q=eq=eq=e, M>0M>0M>0 gives an odd number of equilibrium points), Theorem 3 (p. 5: if zTMz≥0z^{\mathsf T}Mz\ge0zTMz≥0 for all zzz, at most one equilibrium point) and Theorem 5 (p. 8: if moreover Z≠∅Z\ne\emptysetZ=∅, ZZZ has at least nnn rays).

Significance

Theorem 4 is an existence theorem for a class of linear complementarity problems that contains convex quadratic programming (the case zTMz≥0z^{\mathsf T}Mz\ge0zTMz≥0 for all zzz) and strictly positive matrices, and its proof is an algorithm: the path followed is the sequence of pivots of Lemke's method. The parity statements (Theorem 2, the Corollary) are an early instance of the path-following parity arguments later abstracted in the complexity class PPAD (Papadimitriou 1994).

The theorem is classical and proved. To our knowledge neither Lemke's theorem nor the polyhedral path machinery of Theorems 1–2 has a machine-checked proof in Lean or Mathlib. This mission produces the vocabulary of non-degenerate complementarity polyhedra (the matrix N(z)N(z)N(z), open edges, rays, adjacency paths), the parity theorem, and the existence theorem itself; the Farkas-type Lemma 2 (p. 4) is already available on the platform.

Difficulty

The algebraic part (Lemma 3 and (22)–(25)) is short. The difficulty is combinatorial-geometric: Theorem 1 requires that, under non-degeneracy, every extreme point of ZZZ has exactly nnn incident edges, that each point of ZsZ_sZs​ is an extreme point or lies on an open edge, and that the edges contained in ZsZ_sZs​ form paths whose end-points are exactly the equilibrium points; the parity of Theorem 2 then needs finiteness of the set of extreme points. None of this polyhedral structure (edges as zero-pattern classes, their closures and end-points) is in Mathlib. Moreover, the printed proof of Theorem 4 applies Theorem 2 to Z∗∗Z^{**}Z∗∗, whose non-degeneracy the paper obtains from an informal perturbation remark, and it sketches the step from the end of the augmented path to a ray of Z∗Z^*Z∗; a complete proof of the goal must supply these steps or take another route.

Formalization scope

  • Vectors are functions from a finite index type ι\iotaι to R\mathbb RR (n=∣ι∣n=|\iota|n=∣ι∣; Fin n\mathrm{Fin}\,nFinn is a special case); the bordered system lives on ι⊕{∗}\iota\oplus\{\ast\}ι⊕{∗}. www is always Mz−qMz-qMz−q, never a free variable.
  • N(z)N(z)N(z) is the indexed family of its columns, rank⁡N(z)\operatorname{rank}N(z)rankN(z) the dimension of their span; "rank⁡N(z)=n−1\operatorname{rank}N(z)=n-1rankN(z)=n−1" is written rank⁡N(z)+1=n\operatorname{rank}N(z)+1=nrankN(z)+1=n.
  • Non-degeneracy (Def. 3) is linear independence of the columns of N(z)N(z)N(z) for every z∈Rnz\in\mathbb R^nz∈Rn. The phrase "(but not all)" is read as excluding only the empty matrix; the other reading differs only when q=0q=0q=0, and the formal definition is then the stronger hypothesis.
  • An open edge is the set of points of ZZZ with the zero pattern of a point z0z_0z0​ with rank⁡N(z0)=n−1\operatorname{rank}N(z_0)=n-1rankN(z0​)=n−1; closed edges are closures; end-points of an open edge EEE are the points of E‾∖E\overline E\setminus EE∖E; a ray has exactly one. Adjacency paths are classes of closed edges.
  • Conditions (i)–(ii) are quantified over u≥0u\ge0u≥0 only. "Non-negative definite" (Theorems 3, 5) is zTMz≥0z^{\mathsf T}Mz\ge0zTMz≥0 for all zzz, with no symmetry assumed.
  • "An odd number" is finiteness plus odd cardinality; "at least nnn rays" counts rays as an extended natural number; "at most one" is a subsingleton.
  • Equilibrium points include membership in ZZZ: zT(Mz−q)=0z^{\mathsf T}(Mz-q)=0zT(Mz−q)=0 alone holds at z=0z=0z=0 and would make the goal trivial. The goal mentions neither Z∗Z^*Z∗, Z∗∗Z^{**}Z∗∗, kkk, rays nor paths; in particular non-degeneracy of Z∗∗Z^{**}Z∗∗ is not a hypothesis of the goal.
  • Deviations: Lemma 2 (p. 6) assumes non-degeneracy of Z∗∗Z^{**}Z∗∗ (Def. 3 does not define it for the non-square Z∗Z^*Z∗); milestone 4 holds for every kkk without non-degeneracy; Lemma 3 and (22)–(25) parametrize the ray as in (15) without requiring zˉ∗\bar z^*zˉ∗ to be an extreme point, which makes them stronger.

Contributions welcome: the polyhedral lemmas for non-degenerate ZZZ (extreme points have nnn edges, finitely many extreme points), the parity argument, and any complete route to Theorem 4.

Selected references

  • C. E. Lemke, Bimatrix Equilibrium Points and Mathematical Programming, Management Science 11(7):681–689, 1965. https://doi.org/10.1287/mnsc.11.7.681 (cited from the HAL deposit hal-01885823v1)
  • C. E. Lemke, J. T. Howson, Equilibrium Points of Bimatrix Games, J. SIAM 12(2):413–423, 1964. https://doi.org/10.1137/0112033
  • R. W. Cottle, J.-S. Pang, R. E. Stone, The Linear Complementarity Problem, Academic Press 1992; SIAM Classics 2009. https://doi.org/10.1137/1.9780898719000
  • C. H. Papadimitriou, On the complexity of the parity argument and other inefficient proofs of existence, J. Computer and System Sciences 48(3):498–532, 1994. https://doi.org/10.1016/S0022-0000(05)80063-7
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Dynamical SystemsOperations ResearchProbability+1·Captain: mikedeng1

Subadditive Ergodic Theory 1: Kingman's Theorem — x₀ₜ/t Converges with Probability One and in Mean to a Finite ξ with E(ξ) = γResearch Paper

Motivation

Many stochastic systems have an accumulated cost or passage time that grows with the length of an observation window. Splitting a window at an intermediate time gives an upper bound on the total, even when it does not give an equality. First-passage percolation and products of random matrices are examples discussed by Kingman (1973). A central question is whether the cost per unit time settles to a long-run rate on almost every sample path.

Hammersley and Welsh introduced subadditive stochastic processes in 1965. Kingman's 1968 theorem established the almost-sure limit for the stationary process considered here. His 1973 paper restated the result, identified the limit's expectation, and set out the process model and related formulations used in later applications. The 1973 article explicitly attributes the proof of Theorem 1, its maximal inequality, and its decomposition to the 1968 work; this mission formalizes the statements as presented in the 1973 paper.

Setting

Fix a probability space (Ω,F,P)(\Omega,\mathcal F,P)(Ω,F,P). For integers 0≤s<t0\le s<t0≤s<t, let xst:Ω→Rx_{st}:\Omega\to\mathbb Rxst​:Ω→R be a measurable random variable. Think of xstx_{st}xst​ as the accumulated quantity over the interval from sss to ttt. Condition S₁ is subadditivity: xsu≤xst+xtux_{su}\le x_{st}+x_{tu}xsu​≤xst​+xtu​ whenever s<t<us<t<us<t<u. The stronger equality defines an additive process.

Condition S₂ says that shifting every interval one time unit forward leaves the joint distribution of the whole family unchanged. It concerns the law of (xs+1,t+1)s<t(x_{s+1,t+1})_{s<t}(xs+1,t+1​)s<t​ as a single countable path. The one-dimensional statement that each xstx_{st}xst​ has a distribution depending only on t−st-st−s is called S₂′ in the paper; it does not replace S₂. Condition S₃ says that every positive-time variable x0tx_{0t}x0t​ is integrable and that, for some real AAA, its mean gt=EP(x0t)g_t=E_P(x_{0t})gt​=EP​(x0t​) satisfies gt≥−Atg_t\ge-Atgt​≥−At for all t≥1t\ge1t≥1. A subadditive process satisfies S₁, S₂, and S₃.

The associated mean growth rate is γ(x)=inf⁡t≥1gt/t\gamma(x)=\inf_{t\ge1}g_t/tγ(x)=inft≥1​gt​/t. The time index starts at one in this infimum because division by zero would introduce an unrelated value. S₃ gives a finite lower bound; the subadditive mean relation makes this infimum the limit of gt/tg_t/tgt​/t. Kingman also considers the invariant σ-field I\mathcal II: events determined by the entire path and unchanged by the shift (xst)↦(xs+1,t+1)(x_{st})\mapsto(x_{s+1,t+1})(xst​)↦(xs+1,t+1​). It records the part of the process that can remain random in the limiting rate. Source: §§1.1–1.2, pp. 883–885.

Formalization targets

Theorem 1: finite long-run rate

For every subadditive process there is an integrable real random variable ξ\xiξ such that

x0t(ω)t⟶ξ(ω)for P-almost every ω,∫Ω∣x0tt−ξ∣ dP⟶0,EP(ξ)=γ(x).\frac{x_{0t}(\omega)}{t}\longrightarrow\xi(\omega) \quad\text{for }P\text{-almost every }\omega, \qquad \int_\Omega\left|\frac{x_{0t}}{t}-\xi\right|\,dP\longrightarrow0, \qquad E_P(\xi)=\gamma(x).tx0t​(ω)​⟶ξ(ω)for P-almost every ω,∫Ω​​tx0t​​−ξ​dP⟶0,EP​(ξ)=γ(x).

These are three distinct claims: almost-sure convergence, convergence in mean, and an identity for the limit's expectation. The limit need not be a constant. The milestone list also covers the convergence of the means, the maximal inequality (1.2.5), the decomposition (1.2.6), the measure-preserving formulation (1.3.4)–(1.3.5), and the representation through I\mathcal II in (1.2.4). Each statement comes from the 1973 paper, §§1.1–1.3.

Measure-preserving formulation

For a measure-preserving map θ:Ω→Ω\theta:\Omega\to\Omegaθ:Ω→Ω, condition Sᴱ concerns integrable functions fnf_nfn​ with fm+n(ω)≤fm(ω)+fn(θmω)f_{m+n}(\omega)\le f_m(\omega)+f_n(\theta^m\omega)fm+n​(ω)≤fm​(ω)+fn​(θmω) for m,n≥1m,n\ge1m,n≥1 and a linear lower bound on their expectations. It yields an integrable ξ\xiξ with fn/n→ξf_n/n\to\xifn​/n→ξ almost surely and in mean. Neither invertibility nor ergodicity of θ\thetaθ is assumed. Source: §1.3, p. 886.

Significance

The theorem assigns a finite sample-path growth rate to an entire class of stationary subadditive systems. It also ties the average of that rate to the infimum of the normalized expected values. The equality is useful when a system's finite-window means are easier to estimate than its individual long-run paths. The invariant σ-field statement explains why a stationary system can have different rates on different paths without contradicting the mean identity. Kingman's examples show how the same framework reaches percolation and matrix products.

The result is mathematically proved, as the 1973 article states. The remaining work here is a machine-checked development of its process model and the displayed results. A published Prove2Me item, PalmQueueing.Ergodic.kingman_subadditive, is open and concerns an ergodic bijective flow with a constant possibly infinite limit; it does not supply this nonergodic finite-limit theorem or convergence in mean. The draft statements in this mission compile with proof placeholders. No machine-checked proof of these new statements is claimed.

Difficulty

Subadditivity gives bounds when intervals are joined, but it does not express x0tx_{0t}x0t​ as a sum of identically distributed increments. The ordinary additive ergodic theorem therefore does not immediately give convergence for x0t/tx_{0t}/tx0t​/t. Nor does convergence of the expectations gt/tg_t/tgt​/t alone force convergence on individual paths or in mean. The process may also have a nonconstant limit: stationarity is a joint-law condition, not an ergodicity assumption that erases invariant information. These are the gaps the formalization must close without strengthening the hypotheses. Source: §§1.1–1.3.

Formalization scope

Lean represents xxx as a function of two natural-number indices and a sample point, but every condition and conclusion uses only s<ts<ts<t. S₁ and the Sᴱ cocycle inequality follow the paper's pointwise displays; random-variable equality in the decomposition is stated almost surely at each valid index pair. Measurability of each valid coordinate is explicit. S₂ compares two probability measures on the full countable path space, so equality of individual marginals cannot satisfy it. The probability measure is normalized, and S₃ requires Bochner integrability to keep every mean finite. The constant γ\gammaγ is a real infimum over positive times, used only under S₃. The goal's limit is real and integrable; Kingman's separate Theorem 2 treats a possible value of −∞-\infty−∞ and belongs to another mission.

The invariant σ-field is the pullback of the path-space shift-invariant σ-field. Its measurability claim is made through an almost-everywhere equal version, since almost-sure limits are insensitive to changes on null sets. Conditional expectation uses this explicit sub-σ-field. All limits in this mission take positive integer time to infinity. The Sᴱ definition requires measure preservation but no inverse and no ergodicity. Thus neither a marginal-law substitution for S₂ nor an ergodic constant-limit specialization can trivialize the target.

A complete proof can reuse Mathlib's measure theory, conditional expectation, product measurable spaces, measure-preserving maps, and subadditive-sequence results. The two process definitions, the invariant σ-field interface, and auxiliary statements are useful to later formalizations of stationary growth models. Contributions that prove the stated results or develop general-purpose lemmas for these objects fit the mission.

Selected references

  • J. F. C. Kingman, Subadditive ergodic theory, The Annals of Probability 1(6), 883–899, 1973. DOI: 10.1214/aop/1176996798.
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On the Generalized “Birth-and-Death” Process 1: For Rates λ(t), μ(t) ≥ 0 the Population Size Is Geometric with a Modified Zero Term, ξ_t = 1 − e^{−ρ}/W, η_t = 1 − 1/WResearch Paper

Motivation

Population models often allow each individual to produce a new individual or die at rates that change over time. Seasonal conditions, exposure to an epidemic, and changing conditions in a laboratory population all make a constant rate a restrictive assumption. In Kendall's 1948 paper, the question is how the entire distribution of the population size evolves when the per-individual birth and death rates are prescribed functions of time. The distribution matters even when its mean is known: a population can have a stable expected size while still having a substantial chance of extinction. Kendall presents the varying-rate model as a generalization of the constant-rate process discussed by Feller in 1939 (Kendall 1948, §1).

This mission concerns Kendall's solution for a population descended from one ancestor. It includes the explicit distribution, the forward equations that connect it to the birth and death model, and the formulas for its mean, variance, and chance of eventual extinction. The paper has no numbered theorems; its results are identified here by its equation numbers and printed pages.

Setting

At time t≥0t\ge0t≥0, let ntn_tnt​ be the number of individuals. Each individual gives birth at instantaneous rate λ(t)\lambda(t)λ(t) and dies at rate μ(t)\mu(t)μ(t), so a population of size nnn moves to n+1n+1n+1 at rate nλ(t)n\lambda(t)nλ(t) and to n−1n-1n−1 at rate nμ(t)n\mu(t)nμ(t). Both rates are nonnegative. The initial state is n0=1n_0=1n0​=1. Write Pn(t)P_n(t)Pn​(t) for the probability that nt=nn_t=nnt​=n. The forward equations in §2, (2)–(4), p. 2 are

P0′(t)=μ(t)P1(t),Pn′(t)=(n+1)μ(t)Pn+1(t)+(n−1)λ(t)Pn−1(t)−n(λ(t)+μ(t))Pn(t)(n≥1).P_0'(t)=\mu(t)P_1(t),\qquad P_n'(t)=(n+1)\mu(t)P_{n+1}(t)+(n-1)\lambda(t)P_{n-1}(t) -n(\lambda(t)+\mu(t))P_n(t)\quad(n\ge1).P0′​(t)=μ(t)P1​(t),Pn′​(t)=(n+1)μ(t)Pn+1​(t)+(n−1)λ(t)Pn−1​(t)−n(λ(t)+μ(t))Pn​(t)(n≥1).

The formula for P0′P_0'P0′​ reflects that a population already at zero cannot reproduce. The n−1n-1n−1 term vanishes at n=1n=1n=1, as it must. The model is expressed through these real-valued probability functions; it does not require a sample-space construction of a stochastic process.

Define the integrated rate difference ρ(t)\rho(t)ρ(t) and the function W(t)W(t)W(t) by §2, (10a)–(11), p. 4:

ρ(t)=∫0t(μ(τ)−λ(τ)) dτ,W(t)=e−ρ(t)(1+∫0teρ(τ)μ(τ) dτ).\rho(t)=\int_0^t(\mu(\tau)-\lambda(\tau))\,d\tau,\qquad W(t)=e^{-\rho(t)}\left(1+\int_0^t e^{\rho(\tau)}\mu(\tau)\,d\tau\right).ρ(t)=∫0t​(μ(τ)−λ(τ))dτ,W(t)=e−ρ(t)(1+∫0t​eρ(τ)μ(τ)dτ).

Set ξt=1−e−ρ(t)/W(t)\xi_t=1-e^{-\rho(t)}/W(t)ξt​=1−e−ρ(t)/W(t) and ηt=1−1/W(t)\eta_t=1-1/W(t)ηt​=1−1/W(t). Kendall's modified-zero geometric law is P0(t)=ξtP_0(t)=\xi_tP0​(t)=ξt​ and Pn(t)=(1−ξt)(1−ηt)ηtn−1P_n(t)=(1-\xi_t)(1-\eta_t)\eta_t^{n-1}Pn​(t)=(1−ξt​)(1−ηt​)ηtn−1​ for n≥1n\ge1n≥1. The zero state has its own mass; the positive states form a geometric tail. For the nonnegative rates in this mission, W(t)≥1W(t)\ge1W(t)≥1 and 0≤ηt<10\le\eta_t<10≤ηt​<1 on t≥0t\ge0t≥0, so the displayed formulas have their ordinary probabilistic meaning.

Formalization targets

The geometric transient law

The goal is the full claim of §2, (8), (10a)–(12), pp. 3–4: the explicit Pn(t)P_n(t)Pn​(t) starts from one ancestor, is nonnegative and sums to one for every t≥0t\ge0t≥0, and satisfies the forward equations above. In symbols, the distribution part is

P0(t)=ξt,Pn(t)=(1−ξt)(1−ηt)ηtn−1 (n≥1),∑n=0∞Pn(t)=1.P_0(t)=\xi_t,\qquad P_n(t)=(1-\xi_t)(1-\eta_t)\eta_t^{n-1}\ (n\ge1),\qquad \sum_{n=0}^{\infty}P_n(t)=1.P0​(t)=ξt​,Pn​(t)=(1−ξt​)(1−ηt​)ηtn−1​ (n≥1),n=0∑∞​Pn​(t)=1.

The milestones record the paper's intermediate statements in reading order: the rational generating function ϕ(z,t)\phi(z,t)ϕ(z,t) in (9); the pair of equations for ξ\xiξ and η\etaη obtained from the generating-function equation (6); the equations for U=1−ξU=1-\xiU=1−ξ and V=1−ηV=1-\etaV=1−η; the differential equation and integral representation of WWW; the alternate formulas (10b)–(10c); and the explicit expressions (12). Each is a statement made in the source, with the page and equation displayed beside its milestone.

Extinction and moments

The companion target from §3, (18)–(19), p. 6 writes J(t)=∫0teρ(τ)μ(τ) dτJ(t)=\int_0^t e^{\rho(\tau)}\mu(\tau)\,d\tauJ(t)=∫0t​eρ(τ)μ(τ)dτ and states

P0(t)=J(t)1+J(t),P0(t)⟶1 ⟺ J(t)⟶+∞.P_0(t)=\frac{J(t)}{1+J(t)},\qquad P_0(t)\longrightarrow1\ \Longleftrightarrow\ J(t)\longrightarrow+\infty.P0​(t)=1+J(t)J(t)​,P0​(t)⟶1 ⟺ J(t)⟶+∞.

When J(t)J(t)J(t) has finite limit III, the limiting extinction chance is I/(1+I)I/(1+I)I/(1+I). Companion statements also retain the mean nˉt=e−ρ(t)\bar n_t=e^{-\rho(t)}nˉt​=e−ρ(t), all three expressions for the variance in (14c), the criterion that extinction has zero chance exactly when μ\muμ vanishes identically, and the necessary divergence of ∫0∞μ\int_0^\infty\mu∫0∞​μ for almost-sure extinction (Kendall 1948, pp. 4, 6–7).

Significance

The geometric law supplies every finite-time population probability from the rate functions. Its zero mass yields an extinction probability without taking limits of an unspecified process, while its first two moments quantify expected growth and fluctuations. The extinction criterion distinguishes a population that dies out with probability one from one that retains a positive chance of survival even when its eventual mean behavior is simple. The variance formulas give later sections of Kendall's paper a way to compare rate schedules with the same expected population (§§3, 6).

The result was proved in the 1948 paper. The work here is to state its model and conclusions precisely in Lean, preserving the initial condition, normalization, boundary state, and time-dependent rate conventions. The current files are theorem statements with proof placeholders; a successful build checks their syntax and types, not the mathematical proofs. Once proved, the definitions and the moment and extinction statements can also support formal work on time-dependent branching and population models.

Difficulty

Knowing the expected population is insufficient to determine the distribution. The forward equation for each PnP_nPn​ couples it to both neighboring states, producing an infinite system. A direct finite truncation would change the birth rate at its upper boundary and would therefore no longer be Kendall's model. The zero state also behaves differently from positive states: a purely geometric law on all n≥0n\ge0n≥0 does not capture its mass. The generating function has a rational form, but its time dependence must still agree with the forward system for every state and with a normalized probability law. The extinction statement adds an improper integral, whose finite and divergent regimes require distinct limits.

Formalization scope

Lean represents λ,μ:R→R\lambda,\mu:\mathbb R\to\mathbb Rλ,μ:R→R as continuous functions that are nonnegative for t≥0t\ge0t≥0. The paper calls the rates specified functions and assumes their nonnegativity; global continuity is an explicit convenience for the two-sided derivatives and interval integrals. Only nonnegative time appears in the probabilistic statements. The oriented intervalIntegral from zero to ttt represents every finite integral. HasDerivAt expresses each derivative, and HasSum expresses both normalization and the moment and generating-function series. The law lives on natural-number states, with P0P_0P0​ handled separately. The coefficient at state n=1n=1n=1 is the real number n−1n-1n−1, not an implicit extension to a negative state.

The positivity of WWW on nonnegative time must follow from the rates. The definitions are total Lean real functions, so a result that relies on a division states the hypotheses that keep its denominator nonzero. The limit J(t)→+∞J(t)\to+\inftyJ(t)→+∞ expresses divergence of the paper's improper integral. No uniqueness of solutions to the forward equations is included, because the cited passage does not establish that claim. The goal requires the explicit law to solve the forward equations and to be a probability law; merely expanding its generating function would leave the population model unformalized. Contributions that prove the formulas, establish the required positivity and convergence facts, or develop reusable lemmas for time-dependent linear birth and death equations all fit the scope.

Selected references

  • D. G. Kendall, On the generalized “birth-and-death” process, Annals of Mathematical Statistics 19(1), 1–15, 1948. DOI: 10.1214/aoms/1177730285.
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CombinatoricsGraph TheoryOperations Research+1·Captain: mikedeng1

Sequencing a One State-Variable Machine: A Solvable Case of the Traveling Salesman Problem 1: The Spanning-Tree Interchange Tour ψ* Is a Minimal Cost TourResearch Paper

Motivation

The traveling salesman problem is NP-hard in general, so special cost structures under which it can be solved exactly in polynomial time are of lasting interest in combinatorial optimization and scheduling. One of the earliest and most cited such cases comes from sequencing on a machine whose condition is described by a single real number: a furnace temperature, a knife setting, a fill level. Each job must start at a prescribed state and leaves the machine in another, and changing the state between consecutive jobs costs money or time. Finding the cheapest cyclic order of the jobs is a traveling salesman problem with asymmetric costs.

P. C. Gilmore and R. E. Gomory solved this problem exactly in 1964 (Oper. Res. 12(5), 655–679) with an algorithm of O(N2)O(N^2)O(N2) simple steps. Their construction became the standard example of a solvable TSP case: it is the starting point of the survey literature on polynomially solvable TSPs (Gilmore, Lawler and Shmoys 1985; Burkard, Deineko, van Dal, van der Veen and Woeginger 1998), and it appears in the no-wait flow shop literature, where two-machine no-wait scheduling reduces to exactly this cost structure.

Setting

There are NNN jobs J1,…,JNJ_1,\dots,J_NJ1​,…,JN​. Job iii must be started when the state of the machine is AiA_iAi​ and leaves the machine in state BiB_iBi​; the jobs are numbered so that j>ij>ij>i implies Bj≥BiB_j\ge B_iBj​≥Bi​. Two cost densities f,g:R→Rf,g:\mathbb R\to\mathbb Rf,g:R→R satisfy f(x)+g(x)≥0f(x)+g(x)\ge0f(x)+g(x)≥0: raising the state through xxx costs f(x)f(x)f(x) per unit, lowering it costs g(x)g(x)g(x) per unit. The changeover cost of having job jjj follow job iii is

cij={∫BiAjf(x) dxif Aj≥Bi,∫AjBig(x) dxif Bi>Aj.c_{ij}=\begin{cases}\int_{B_i}^{A_j}f(x)\,dx & \text{if } A_j\ge B_i,\\ \int_{A_j}^{B_i}g(x)\,dx & \text{if } B_i>A_j.\end{cases}cij​={∫Bi​Aj​​f(x)dx∫Aj​Bi​​g(x)dx​if Aj​≥Bi​,if Bi​>Aj​.​

A permutation ψ\psiψ of the jobs assigns to each job iii its successor ψ(i)\psi(i)ψ(i) and has cost c(ψ)=∑iciψ(i)c(\psi)=\sum_i c_{i\psi(i)}c(ψ)=∑i​ciψ(i)​. It is a tour if ψ(s)≠s\psi(s)\ne sψ(s)=s for every nonempty proper subset sss of the jobs, i.e. if it is a single cycle through all jobs.

A permutation φ\varphiφ ranks the AAA if j>ij>ij>i implies Aφ(j)≥Aφ(i)A_{\varphi(j)}\ge A_{\varphi(i)}Aφ(j)​≥Aφ(i)​. The interchange αij\alpha_{ij}αij​ swaps iii and jjj; applying it to ψ\psiψ gives ψαij\psi\alpha_{ij}ψαij​ (first αij\alpha_{ij}αij​, then ψ\psiψ), which exchanges the successors of iii and jjj, at cost cψ(αij)=c(ψαij)−c(ψ)c_\psi(\alpha_{ij})=c(\psi\alpha_{ij})-c(\psi)cψ​(αij​)=c(ψαij​)−c(ψ). The graph GφG_\varphiGφ​ links iii and φ(i)\varphi(i)φ(i) for every iii; a spanning tree of GφG_\varphiGφ​ is a minimal set of additional arcs RijR_{ij}Rij​ that makes it connected, with cost ∑cφ(αij)\sum c_\varphi(\alpha_{ij})∑cφ​(αij​). Node qqq is of type 1 if Bq≤Aφ(q)B_q\le A_{\varphi(q)}Bq​≤Aφ(q)​ and of type 2 otherwise.

Given a minimal cost spanning tree τ\tauτ of GφG_\varphiGφ​ made of arcs Rq,q+1R_{q,q+1}Rq,q+1​, the tour ψ∗\psi^*ψ∗ is obtained from φ\varphiφ by executing the interchanges αq,q+1\alpha_{q,q+1}αq,q+1​, Rq,q+1∈τR_{q,q+1}\in\tauRq,q+1​∈τ, first those of type 1 in decreasing order of qqq, then those of type 2 in increasing order of qqq.

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem 5

ψ∗ is a tour, andc(ψ∗)≤c(ψ)  for every tour ψ.\psi^*\ \text{is a tour, and}\quad c(\psi^*)\le c(\psi)\ \text{ for every tour }\psi.ψ∗ is a tour, andc(ψ∗)≤c(ψ)  for every tour ψ.

This is the paper's main theorem. It fixes no constant and no special form of f,gf,gf,g; it asserts that the specific tour produced by the algorithm is optimal among all tours.

Milestones

In the order the proof uses them:

  1. Theorem 1: c(φ)=min⁡ψc(ψ)c(\varphi)=\min_\psi c(\psi)c(φ)=minψ​c(ψ) over all permutations.
  2. Eq. (11): under Bj≥BiB_j\ge B_iBj​≥Bi​, Aψ(j)≥Aψ(i)A_{\psi(j)}\ge A_{\psi(i)}Aψ(j)​≥Aψ(i)​, the cost of αij\alpha_{ij}αij​ is ∫[Bi,Bj]∩[Aψ(i),Aψ(j)](f+g)\int_{[B_i,B_j]\cap[A_{\psi(i)},A_{\psi(j)}]}(f+g)∫[Bi​,Bj​]∩[Aψ(i)​,Aψ(j)​]​(f+g).
  3. Lemma 1: an interchange between two different cycles merges them.
  4. Theorem 2: the interchanges of a spanning tree, in any order, turn ψ\psiψ into a tour.
  5. Lemma 2: some minimal cost spanning tree of GφG_\varphiGφ​ uses only arcs Ri,i+1R_{i,i+1}Ri,i+1​.
  6. Lemma 5: adjacent interchanges executed on φ\varphiφ in the stated order have additive cost.
  7. Theorem 3: ψ∗\psi^*ψ∗ is a tour of cost c(φ)+cφ(τ)c(\varphi)+c_\varphi(\tau)c(φ)+cφ​(τ).
  8. Theorem 4: c(ψ)≥c(φ)+c∗(ψ)c(\psi)\ge c(\varphi)+c^*(\psi)c(ψ)≥c(φ)+c∗(ψ) for every permutation, with the underestimate c∗c^*c∗ of (17).
  9. Lemma 7: for a tour ψ\psiψ the graph Gψ∗G_\psi^*Gψ∗​ is connected.
  10. Lemma 8: conditions (22a) and (22b) hold for equally many indices.
  11. Eq. (28): c∗(ψ)≥cφ(τ)c^*(\psi)\ge c_\varphi(\tau)c∗(ψ)≥cφ​(τ) for every tour ψ\psiψ.

Off the goal's path: Theorem 7, a minimal tour for (f,g)(f,g)(f,g) is minimal for (f+g,0)(f+g,0)(f+g,0).

Significance

The theorem shows that a traveling salesman problem whose costs come from a one-dimensional state is solved by three polynomial steps: sorting (an optimal assignment), a minimum spanning tree over N−1N-1N−1 candidate arcs, and a prescribed sequence of interchanges. It is the base case for a family of later results on solvable TSPs and for the two-machine no-wait flow shop, where it gives an exact polynomial algorithm.

The result has been proved since 1964. No machine-checked proof of it is known to exist. The proof in the paper argues largely from figures ("evident geometrically"), and its statement of Theorem 3 lists the interchanges in an order that contradicts its own proof: executed in the printed order, the paper's numerical example yields a tour of cost 39 instead of the optimum 34. A formal proof settles which order is correct and fills in the geometric steps. Partial contributions are useful: the permutation facts (Lemmas 1, 8 and Theorem 2) are independent of the cost model and reusable.

Difficulty

The obvious argument fails at two points. First, interchanges do not commute in cost: once one interchange is executed, the cost of the next one depends on the new successors, so the cost of ψ∗\psi^*ψ∗ is not simply c(φ)c(\varphi)c(φ) plus the tree cost for an arbitrary execution order. Showing that the specific order of Lemma 5 avoids all interference requires tracking how type-1 and type-2 nodes behave as interchanges are applied. Second, optimality is not a local statement: an arbitrary tour is not reachable from φ\varphiφ by tree interchanges, so the lower bound needs the separate underestimate c∗c^*c∗ and a counting argument relating every tour to a spanning tree of GφG_\varphiGφ​. Neither step follows from general minimum spanning tree theory.

Formalization scope

Jobs are Fin (n + 1) (N=n+1≥1N=n+1\ge1N=n+1≥1), so the paper's job iii is index i−1i-1i−1; the adjacent arc Rq,q+1R_{q,q+1}Rq,q+1​ is indexed by q : Fin n and joins q.castSucc and q.succ. Permutations are Equiv.Perm (Fin (n + 1)), and ψαij\psi\alpha_{ij}ψαij​ is ψ * Equiv.swap i j (Mathlib's composition, "first αij\alpha_{ij}αij​, then ψ\psiψ"). Costs are real; (1) uses oriented interval integrals and (17) set integrals.

Explicit readings of the paper's loose phrases:

  • "any integrable functions f,gf,gf,g" is read as local integrability on R\mathbb RR, with f+g≥0f+g\ge0f+g≥0 the only sign condition;
  • "proper subsets sss" in (4) are nonempty proper subsets;
  • "a minimal set of additional arcs that connect" is minimal under inclusion; "minimal cost spanning tree" is minimal in cost among spanning trees made of adjacent arcs (by Lemma 2 the same minimum as over all trees);
  • "minimal cost tour" means cost at most that of every tour, i.e. every permutation that is a single cycle;
  • "obtained by executing the α\alphaα's in a particular order" (Lemma 5) is the explicit order of its proof;
  • ties among the AAA leave φ\varphiφ non-unique; every statement holds for every ranking φ\varphiφ.

The order of ψ∗\psi^*ψ∗ is that of the proof of Lemma 5 and of steps T2–T4 (p. 673), not the order printed in Theorem 3.

Trivializing formalizations are ruled out: the goal quantifies over all tours, not over permutations (that is Theorem 1) nor over tours reachable from φ\varphiφ; ψ∗\psi^*ψ∗ is constructed from φ\varphiφ and τ\tauτ, not taken as an arbitrary tour of the right cost; τ\tauτ is both inclusion-minimal and cost-minimal; and the costs keep both branches of (1) with general densities, not cij=∣Aj−Bi∣c_{ij}=|A_j-B_i|cij​=∣Aj​−Bi​∣. The TSP items already on the platform concern symmetric or metric distances with tours as visiting orders, a different model, and are not reused.

Needed infrastructure: cycle structure of permutations under transpositions (Mathlib's Equiv.Perm.SameCycle), connectivity of finite simple graphs, interval integrals of locally integrable functions. Contributions to any milestone are welcome; the purely combinatorial ones (Lemmas 1, 8, Theorem 2, Lemma 7) are independent of the integrals.

Selected references

  • P. C. Gilmore and R. E. Gomory, Sequencing a one state-variable machine: a solvable case of the traveling salesman problem, Operations Research 12(5), 1964, 655–679. https://doi.org/10.1287/opre.12.5.655
  • P. C. Gilmore, E. L. Lawler and D. B. Shmoys, Well-solved special cases, in The Traveling Salesman Problem (Lawler, Lenstra, Rinnooy Kan, Shmoys, eds.), Wiley, 1985, 87–143. ISBN 978-0-471-90413-7
  • R. E. Burkard, V. G. Deineko, R. van Dal, J. A. A. van der Veen and G. J. Woeginger, Well-solvable special cases of the traveling salesman problem: a survey, SIAM Review 40(3), 1998, 496–546. https://doi.org/10.1137/S0036144596297514
  • J. B. Kruskal, On the shortest spanning subtree of a graph and the traveling salesman problem, Proc. AMS 7(1), 1956, 48–50. https://doi.org/10.1090/S0002-9939-1956-0078686-7
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ProbabilityStatistics·Captain: mikedeng1

On Tail Probabilities for Martingales 3: If E exp[−e(λ)W] ≤ e^{−λa} and E exp[−f(λ)W] ≥ e^{−λ(a+1)} for All λ ≥ 0, Then P{W < b} > ½ exp[−(½ + 2δ)a²/b]Research Paper

Motivation

Freedman's inequality bounds the probability that a martingale with increments bounded above by 111 reaches a level aaa before its accumulated conditional variance exceeds bbb: the bound is exp⁡[−a2/2(a+b)]\exp[-a^2/2(a+b)]exp[−a2/2(a+b)] (D. A. Freedman, On Tail Probabilities for Martingales, Ann. Probab. 3 (1975) 100–118, Theorem (4.1), doi:10.1214/aop/1176996452). It is the standard tool for concentration of martingales whose variance is random, and it is used throughout online learning, bandit theory and the analysis of randomized algorithms.

The same paper shows that the exponent a2/2ba^2/2ba2/2b cannot be improved in general. For a martingale with increments bounded by 111 in absolute value, Freedman's estimate (1.10) bounds from below the probability that level aaa is crossed while the conditional variance used is still below bbb. The analytic core of that lower bound is isolated in the paper as Proposition (4.10), p. 109: a statement about a single nonnegative random variable whose Laplace transform is controlled from both sides. The paper calls its proof "disappointingly hard". This mission formalizes Proposition (4.10) and the steps of its proof.

Setting

Let (Ω,F,P)(\Omega,\mathcal F,P)(Ω,F,P) be a probability space. For real λ\lambdaλ put (Definition (1.2), p. 101)

e(λ)=eλ−1−λ,f(λ)=e−λ−1+λ.e(\lambda)=e^{\lambda}-1-\lambda,\qquad f(\lambda)=e^{-\lambda}-1+\lambda .e(λ)=eλ−1−λ,f(λ)=e−λ−1+λ.

Both are nonnegative and equal λ2/2+O(λ3)\lambda^2/2+O(\lambda^3)λ2/2+O(λ3) near 000. Fix a>0a>0a>0 and a nonnegative random variable WWW. The two Laplace-transform bounds are, for every λ≥0\lambda\ge0λ≥0,

(4.11a)E{exp⁡[−e(λ)W]}≤exp⁡(−λa),(4.11b)E{exp⁡[−f(λ)W]}≥exp⁡(−λ(a+1)).\text{(4.11a)}\quad E\{\exp[-e(\lambda)W]\}\le\exp(-\lambda a),\qquad \text{(4.11b)}\quad E\{\exp[-f(\lambda)W]\}\ge\exp(-\lambda(a+1)).(4.11a)E{exp[−e(λ)W]}≤exp(−λa),(4.11b)E{exp[−f(λ)W]}≥exp(−λ(a+1)).

In the paper W=WaW=W_aW=Wa​ is the conditional variance ∑i≤τaVar⁡{Xi∣Fi−1}\sum_{i\le\tau_a}\operatorname{Var}\{X_i\mid\mathcal F_{i-1}\}∑i≤τa​​Var{Xi​∣Fi−1​} accumulated up to the first time τa\tau_aτa​ the martingale reaches aaa; for that variable (4.11a) and (4.11b) are Theorems (1.12) and (1.8). Here WWW is abstract. The hypotheses are consistent: the first-passage time of standard Brownian motion to level aaa has Ee−sW=e−a2sE e^{-sW}=e^{-a\sqrt{2s}}Ee−sW=e−a2s​, and since f(λ)≤λ2/2≤e(λ)f(\lambda)\le\lambda^2/2\le e(\lambda)f(λ)≤λ2/2≤e(λ) for λ≥0\lambda\ge0λ≥0, it satisfies both bounds.

The parameter conditions (4.12) on positive reals δ,a,b\delta,a,bδ,a,b are

δ<13,ba>9δ2,a2b>16δ2log⁡64δ2.\delta<\tfrac13,\qquad \frac ba>\frac{9}{\delta^2},\qquad \frac{a^2}{b}>\frac{16}{\delta^2}\log\frac{64}{\delta^2}.δ<31​,ab​>δ29​,ba2​>δ216​logδ264​.

The proof uses the notation (4.14): φ(λ)=λ2/2−λ3/6\varphi(\lambda)=\lambda^2/2-\lambda^3/6φ(λ)=λ2/2−λ3/6, λ=(1+δ)a/b\lambda=(1+\delta)a/bλ=(1+δ)a/b, k=a2/bk=a^2/bk=a2/b, N=2/δ2N=2/\delta^2N=2/δ2, the five intervals I1=[0,Na]I_1=[0,Na]I1​=[0,Na], I2=(Na,(1−2δ)b]I_2=(Na,(1-2\delta)b]I2​=(Na,(1−2δ)b], I3=(b,2b]I_3=(b,2b]I3​=(b,2b], I4=(2b,∞)I_4=(2b,\infty)I4​=(2b,∞), I5=((1−2δ)b,b]I_5=((1-2\delta)b,b]I5​=((1−2δ)b,b], and the terms

ηi=φ(λ)∫IiP{W<x} e−φ(λ)x dx.\eta_i=\varphi(\lambda)\int_{I_i}P\{W<x\}\,e^{-\varphi(\lambda)x}\,dx .ηi​=φ(λ)∫Ii​​P{W<x}e−φ(λ)xdx.

In Lean these objects are FreedmanTail.LowerTail.e, f, LaplaceUpper, LaplaceLower, ParamConditions, phi, lamStar, kStar, NStar, I1–I5 and eta.

Formalization targets

Goal: Proposition (4.10)

Under (4.11a)–(4.11b) for all λ≥0\lambda\ge0λ≥0 and (4.12a)–(4.12c),

P{W<b}>12exp⁡ ⁣[−(12+2δ)a2b].(4.13)P\{W<b\}>\tfrac12\exp\!\left[-\left(\tfrac12+2\delta\right)\frac{a^2}{b}\right].\qquad(4.13)P{W<b}>21​exp[−(21​+2δ)ba2​].(4.13)

Milestones

In the order of the proof:

  1. Lemma (4.9): α>0\alpha>0α>0, x>2log⁡αx>2\log\alphax>2logα imply ex>αxe^x>\alpha xex>αx.
  2. (4.17): exp⁡(−δ2k/8)<1/(8k)\exp(-\delta^2k/8)<1/(8k)exp(−δ2k/8)<1/(8k) under (4.12).
  3. (4.18): under (4.11a), P{W<x}<exp⁡[−a2/(2(a+x))]P\{W<x\}<\exp[-a^2/(2(a+x))]P{W<x}<exp[−a2/(2(a+x))] for x≥0x\ge0x≥0.
  4. (4.15): under (4.11b) and (4.12), φ(λ)∫0∞P{W<x}e−φ(λ)x dx>exp⁡[−λ(a+1)]\varphi(\lambda)\int_0^\infty P\{W<x\}e^{-\varphi(\lambda)x}\,dx>\exp[-\lambda(a+1)]φ(λ)∫0∞​P{W<x}e−φ(λ)xdx>exp[−λ(a+1)].
  5. (4.19), with its exponent corrected: P{W<x}<(18−150)exp⁡[−(1+δ)k]P\{W<x\}<(\tfrac18-\tfrac1{50})\exp[-(1+\delta)k]P{W<x}<(81​−501​)exp[−(1+δ)k] for 0≤x≤Na0\le x\le Na0≤x≤Na.
  6. (4.16:1)–(4.16:4): η1<(18−150)e−(1+δ)k\eta_1<(\tfrac18-\tfrac1{50})e^{-(1+\delta)k}η1​<(81​−501​)e−(1+δ)k and ηi<18e−(1+δ)k\eta_i<\tfrac18e^{-(1+\delta)k}ηi​<81​e−(1+δ)k for i=2,3,4i=2,3,4i=2,3,4.
  7. (4.16:5): η5<P{W<b}⋅exp⁡[(−12+2δ2)k]\eta_5<P\{W<b\}\cdot\exp[(-\tfrac12+2\delta^2)k]η5​<P{W<b}⋅exp[(−21​+2δ2)k].

Significance

The result. Proposition (4.10) converts two-sided control of a Laplace transform into a lower bound for a left tail, with an explicit constant and an explicit range of validity. Applied to the crossing variance WaW_aWa​ it gives Freedman's lower bound (1.10) for P{Wa<b}P\{W_a<b\}P{Wa​<b}, which matches the exponent a2/(2b)a^2/(2b)a2/(2b) of the upper bound of Theorem (4.1) up to the term 2δa2/b2\delta a^2/b2δa2/b. That is the statement that Freedman's inequality is sharp in the regime a2/b→∞a^2/b\to\inftya2/b→∞, b/a→∞b/a\to\inftyb/a→∞.

Formalizing it. The proposition is proved in the 1975 paper; no machine-checked proof is known. Mathlib contains Chernoff-type upper bounds and the layer-cake formula, but no lower tail bound derived from two-sided Laplace-transform control. The mission produces a self-contained, constant-explicit Tauberian-type lemma for nonnegative random variables, usable without any martingale structure. The companion missions of this series formalize Theorem (4.1) and the Laplace bound (1.8); together they would give the sharpness statement for martingales.

Difficulty

The obvious route is to invert the Laplace-transform bounds directly. A lower bound on E{e−sW}E\{e^{-sW}\}E{e−sW} does not by itself bound P{W<b}P\{W<b\}P{W<b} from below: the mass that makes the Laplace transform large could sit at small values of WWW or be spread over a wide range. Without (4.11a) the conclusion fails, and with it every contribution from values of WWW away from bbb must be shown negligible at a precision of order e−(1+δ)ke^{-(1+\delta)k}e−(1+δ)k, where k=a2/bk=a^2/bk=a2/b is large. The main term is smaller than the total by the factor e−k/2e^{-k/2}e−k/2, so every error term must be estimated with constants explicit enough to stay below it. The thresholds (4.12b)–(4.12c) are what make all of these comparisons hold at once.

Formalization scope

The probability space is a measurable space Ω with a measure P and [IsProbabilityMeasure P]. WWW is a measurable function Ω → ℝ with W ω ≥ 0 for every ω. The expectations in (4.11) are Bochner integrals of exp⁡[−e(λ)W]\exp[-e(\lambda)W]exp[−e(λ)W] and exp⁡[−f(λ)W]\exp[-f(\lambda)W]exp[−f(λ)W]; for λ≥0\lambda\ge0λ≥0 these integrands lie in (0,1](0,1](0,1], so they are integrable and the integrals are genuine expectations. Probabilities are P.real {ω | W ω < x}, with the strict event as on the page. The integrals in xxx are Lebesgue integrals over [0,∞)[0,\infty)[0,∞) and over the intervals IiI_iIi​; the integrand is a nondecreasing function of xxx times e−φ(λ)xe^{-\varphi(\lambda)x}e−φ(λ)x, hence measurable and, as φ(λ)>0\varphi(\lambda)>0φ(λ)>0, integrable.

Conventions and corrections, each also disclosed in the items:

  • The page says "for each a>0a>0a>0, let WaW_aWa​ be a nonnegative random variable"; only the one variable at the one level aaa of (4.12) enters, so the statement is made for a fixed aaa and a single WWW.
  • (4.14) prints φ(λ)=λ2/2>λ3/6\varphi(\lambda)=\lambda^2/2>\lambda^3/6φ(λ)=λ2/2>λ3/6; this is read as φ(λ)=λ2/2−λ3/6\varphi(\lambda)=\lambda^2/2-\lambda^3/6φ(λ)=λ2/2−λ3/6, as the rest of the proof requires.
  • (4.19) prints θ=(18−150)exp⁡[−(1+δ)]\theta=(\tfrac18-\tfrac1{50})\exp[-(1+\delta)]θ=(81​−501​)exp[−(1+δ)]; the milestone states θ=(18−150)exp⁡[−(1+δ)k]\theta=(\tfrac18-\tfrac1{50})\exp[-(1+\delta)k]θ=(81​−501​)exp[−(1+δ)k], which is what the page's argument proves and what (4.16:1) needs.
  • (4.18) is stated for every x≥0x\ge0x≥0, the range on which it is used.
  • The proof of (4.16:5) ends "This settles (3.16:5)", a misprint for (4.16:5).

A trivializing formalization is ruled out: the hypotheses are satisfied by the Brownian first-passage time above, the parameter conditions hold for instance at δ=0.3\delta=0.3δ=0.3, a=106a=10^6a=106, b=2⋅108b=2\cdot10^8b=2⋅108, and no integral in a hypothesis or conclusion can take a default value 000.

Needed infrastructure: Markov's inequality and the layer-cake formula (both in Mathlib), the identity E{e−sW}=s∫0∞P{W<x}e−sx dxE\{e^{-sW}\}=s\int_0^\infty P\{W<x\}e^{-sx}\,dxE{e−sW}=s∫0∞​P{W<x}e−sxdx for W≥0W\ge0W≥0, and elementary estimates of exe^xex and of the convex function θ(x)=λ22x+NN+1a22x\theta(x)=\tfrac{\lambda^2}2x+\tfrac{N}{N+1}\tfrac{a^2}{2x}θ(x)=2λ2​x+N+1N​2xa2​ of (4.21). The layer-cake identity and the left-tail bound (4.18) are reusable beyond this mission. Proofs of any milestone are welcome, as are proofs of the unnumbered steps (4.20)–(4.30).

The source is the published article in The Annals of Probability (a scanned copy); page numbers are the journal's.

Selected references

  • D. A. Freedman, On Tail Probabilities for Martingales, The Annals of Probability 3(1) (1975) 100–118. doi:10.1214/aop/1176996452
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🏆Completed
Convex OptimizationFunctional AnalysisOptimization·Captain: mikedeng1

A Dual Algorithm for the Solution of Nonlinear Variational Problems via Finite Element Approximation 1: For 0 < ρ < 2r, the Modified Dual Algorithm Converges Strongly to (v*, Av*)Research Paper

Motivation

Many problems in mechanics and optimal control are posed as the minimization of a convex functional of the form f(Av)−⟨b,v⟩f(Av)-\langle b,v\ranglef(Av)−⟨b,v⟩, where AAA is a differential operator and fff is non-smooth: an obstacle, a friction term, a plasticity threshold. Splitting the variable, y=Avy=Avy=Av, separates the linear operator from the non-smooth function, and a Lagrange multiplier for the constraint Av−y=0Av-y=0Av−y=0 turns the problem into a sequence of two simpler ones: a linear system in vvv and a pointwise nonlinear problem in yyy. The scheme that alternates between the two and then updates the multiplier is now called the alternating direction method of multipliers (ADMM). It is one of the standard algorithms of large-scale convex optimization, statistics and imaging (Boyd, Parikh, Chu, Peleato and Eckstein, 2011).

Gabay and Mercier (IRIA report RR-126, 1975; Comput. Math. Appl., 1976) gave a convergence proof of this method in Hilbert space, for a stepsize ρ\rhoρ anywhere in (0,2r)(0,2r)(0,2r), where rrr is the penalty parameter of the augmented Lagrangian.

Timeline.

  • 1969: Hestenes and Powell introduce the augmented Lagrangian (method of multipliers).
  • 1975: Glowinski and Marrocco propose the alternating scheme for nonlinear Dirichlet problems.
  • 1975–76: Gabay and Mercier prove strong convergence of the primal iterates for 0<ρ<2r0<\rho<2r0<ρ<2r under strong monotonicity of f1′f_1'f1′​ (this mission).
  • 1983: Gabay identifies ADMM with Douglas–Rachford splitting applied to the dual.
  • 1992: Eckstein and Bertsekas extend convergence to maximal monotone operators, without strong monotonicity, for ρ=r\rho=rρ=r.

Setting

VVV and YYY are real Hilbert spaces; (⋅,⋅)(\cdot,\cdot)(⋅,⋅) and ∣⋅∣|\cdot|∣⋅∣ are the inner product and norm of YYY, ∥⋅∥\|\cdot\|∥⋅∥ the norm of VVV. A:V→YA:V\to YA:V→Y is a continuous linear operator and bbb is a continuous linear functional on VVV, with value ⟨b,v⟩\langle b,v\rangle⟨b,v⟩ at vvv. The dual of YYY is identified with YYY. The function f:Y→(−∞,+∞]f:Y\to(-\infty,+\infty]f:Y→(−∞,+∞] is a sum f=f1+f2f=f_1+f_2f=f1​+f2​ where

  1. f1:Y→Rf_1:Y\to\mathbb Rf1​:Y→R is convex and continuously differentiable, and its gradient is strongly monotone: (f1′(y)−f1′(z),y−z)≥γ∣y−z∣2(f_1'(y)-f_1'(z),y-z)\ge\gamma|y-z|^2(f1′​(y)−f1′​(z),y−z)≥γ∣y−z∣2 for some γ>0\gamma>0γ>0 (2.3);
  2. f2f_2f2​ is proper (never −∞-\infty−∞, somewhere finite), convex and lower semicontinuous;
  3. ∣Av∣2≥α2∥v∥2|Av|^2\ge\alpha^2\|v\|^2∣Av∣2≥α2∥v∥2 for some α>0\alpha>0α>0 (2.5);
  4. some Av0Av_0Av0​ lies in the interior of dom⁡f2={y:f2(y)<+∞}\operatorname{dom}f_2=\{y:f_2(y)<+\infty\}domf2​={y:f2​(y)<+∞} (qualification).

The problem is

(P)inf⁡v∈V f(Av)−⟨b,v⟩,(\mathcal P)\qquad \inf_{v\in V}\ f(Av)-\langle b,v\rangle ,(P)v∈Vinf​ f(Av)−⟨b,v⟩,

and a solution v∗v^*v∗ is a point where this value is finite and minimal. The Lagrangian and augmented Lagrangian are, for λ∈Y\lambda\in Yλ∈Y and r>0r>0r>0,

L(v,y;λ)=f(y)+(λ,Av−y)−⟨b,v⟩,Lr=L+r2∣Av−y∣2.\mathcal L(v,y;\lambda)=f(y)+(\lambda,Av-y)-\langle b,v\rangle,\qquad \mathcal L_r=\mathcal L+\frac r2|Av-y|^2 .L(v,y;λ)=f(y)+(λ,Av−y)−⟨b,v⟩,Lr​=L+2r​∣Av−y∣2.

The modified dual algorithm (3.4) starts from any (y0,λ0)∈Y×Y(y^0,\lambda^0)\in Y\times Y(y0,λ0)∈Y×Y and, for n≥0n\ge0n≥0,

  1. finds vn+1v^{n+1}vn+1 with r(Avn+1,Aw)=(ryn−λn,Aw)+⟨b,w⟩r(Av^{n+1},Aw)=(ry^n-\lambda^n,Aw)+\langle b,w\rangler(Avn+1,Aw)=(ryn−λn,Aw)+⟨b,w⟩ for all w∈Vw\in Vw∈V (minimization of Lr\mathcal L_rLr​ in vvv);
  2. finds yn+1y^{n+1}yn+1 with λn+rAvn+1−ryn+1−f1′(yn+1)∈∂f2(yn+1)\lambda^n+rAv^{n+1}-ry^{n+1}-f_1'(y^{n+1})\in\partial f_2(y^{n+1})λn+rAvn+1−ryn+1−f1′​(yn+1)∈∂f2​(yn+1) (minimization of Lr\mathcal L_rLr​ in yyy);
  3. sets λn+1=λn+ρ(Avn+1−yn+1)\lambda^{n+1}=\lambda^n+\rho(Av^{n+1}-y^{n+1})λn+1=λn+ρ(Avn+1−yn+1).

PPP denotes the orthogonal projection of YYY onto the range R(A)R(A)R(A), which is closed by (2.5).

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem 3.1

For r>0r>0r>0 and every stepsize with

0<ρ<2r,0<\rho<2r,0<ρ<2r,

every run of the algorithm satisfies

∥vn−v∗∥→0,∣yn−Av∗∣→0,sup⁡n∣λn∣<∞,\|v^n-v^*\|\to0,\qquad |y^n-Av^*|\to0,\qquad \sup_n|\lambda^n|<\infty,∥vn−v∗∥→0,∣yn−Av∗∣→0,nsup​∣λn∣<∞,

where v∗v^*v∗ is the unique solution of (P)(\mathcal P)(P). The multipliers need not converge.

Milestones

  1. Proposition 2.1: (P)(\mathcal P)(P) has a unique solution.
  2. Theorem 2.1: a saddle point (v∗,y∗;λ∗)(v^*,y^*;\lambda^*)(v∗,y∗;λ∗) of L\mathcal LL consists of the solution v∗v^*v∗, y∗=Av∗y^*=Av^*y∗=Av∗ and λ∗∈∂f(Av∗)\lambda^*\in\partial f(Av^*)λ∗∈∂f(Av∗) with A′λ∗=bA'\lambda^*=bA′λ∗=b; and a saddle point exists.
  3. Theorem 2.2: for r>0r>0r>0, Lr\mathcal L_rLr​ and L\mathcal LL have the same saddle points.
  4. (3.8)–(3.10): a saddle point is a fixed point of Steps 1–2.
  5. (3.11)–(3.12): A(vn+1−v∗)=P(yn−y∗)−1rP(λn−λ∗)A(v^{n+1}-v^*)=P(y^n-y^*)-\frac1rP(\lambda^n-\lambda^*)A(vn+1−v∗)=P(yn−y∗)−r1​P(λn−λ∗).
  6. (3.19)–(3.20): the energy estimate
γ∣yn+1−y∗∣2+(r−ρ2)∣(I−P)(yn+1−y∗)∣2+r2∣P(yn+1−y∗)∣2+12ρ∣(I−P)(λn+1−λ∗)∣2≤r2∣P(yn−y∗)∣2+12ρ∣(I−P)(λn−λ∗)∣2\gamma|y^{n+1}-y^*|^2+\Bigl(r-\frac\rho2\Bigr)|(I-P)(y^{n+1}-y^*)|^2+\frac r2|P(y^{n+1}-y^*)|^2+\frac1{2\rho}|(I-P)(\lambda^{n+1}-\lambda^*)|^2\le\frac r2|P(y^n-y^*)|^2+\frac1{2\rho}|(I-P)(\lambda^n-\lambda^*)|^2γ∣yn+1−y∗∣2+(r−2ρ​)∣(I−P)(yn+1−y∗)∣2+2r​∣P(yn+1−y∗)∣2+2ρ1​∣(I−P)(λn+1−λ∗)∣2≤2r​∣P(yn−y∗)∣2+2ρ1​∣(I−P)(λn−λ∗)∣2

and its sum over n=0,…,Nn=0,\dots,Nn=0,…,N. 7. yn→y∗y^n\to y^*yn→y∗ for 0<ρ≤2r0<\rho\le2r0<ρ≤2r. 8. (3.22)–(3.23): a contraction-plus-summable-forcing recursion for ∣P(λn−λ∗)∣2|P(\lambda^n-\lambda^*)|^2∣P(λn−λ∗)∣2, and the scalar lemma that such recursions tend to 000. 9. P(λn−λ∗)→0P(\lambda^n-\lambda^*)\to0P(λn−λ∗)→0 and vn→v∗v^n\to v^*vn→v∗ for 0<ρ<2r0<\rho<2r0<ρ<2r.

Significance

The theorem says that ADMM converges without any step-size tuning beyond ρ<2r\rho<2rρ<2r, and that the primal iterates converge in norm in infinite dimension, which is what makes the method usable for finite element discretizations of variational problems (the companion mission on internal approximations treats the discretization). It covers obstacle problems, Bingham fluids and elasto-plastic torsion, where f2f_2f2​ is an indicator or a non-differentiable norm.

The result is proved in the 1975 report. To our knowledge it has no machine-checked proof. Formalizing it adds a library-level convergence theorem for ADMM in Hilbert space with EReal\mathrm{EReal}EReal-valued convex functions, a saddle-point existence theorem for linearly constrained convex problems, and the energy estimate (3.19) as a reusable lemma. The formalization also fixes two defects of the printed text (see Formalization scope): a sign in Step 1 and a qualification hypothesis that is too weak.

Difficulty

The energy estimate (3.19) only controls the multiplier through its component in R(A)⊥R(A)^\perpR(A)⊥, and only the yyy-error through γ>0\gamma>0γ>0. The natural first idea, a Lyapunov function in ∣λn−λ∗∣2|\lambda^n-\lambda^*|^2∣λn−λ∗∣2 alone that decreases at each step, does not work for ρ≠r\rho\ne rρ=r: the component P(λn−λ∗)P(\lambda^n-\lambda^*)P(λn−λ∗) obeys a separate recursion whose contraction factor ∣1−ρ/r∣|1-\rho/r|∣1−ρ/r∣ is below one only for 0<ρ<2r0<\rho<2r0<ρ<2r, and whose forcing term must be shown summable from the yyy-estimate. The existence of a multiplier, i.e. of a saddle point, is a separate difficulty: it needs the subdifferential chain rule ∂(f∘A)=A′∂f(A ⋅)\partial(f\circ A)=A'\partial f(A\,\cdot)∂(f∘A)=A′∂f(A⋅) in infinite dimension, under a constraint qualification.

Formalization scope

Lean conventions:

  • VVV, YYY are InnerProductSpace ℝ with CompleteSpace; multipliers are elements of YYY; bbb is a StrongDual ℝ V.
  • f1:Y→Rf_1:Y\to\mathbb Rf1​:Y→R (a Gateaux-differentiable function is finite), with a gradient f₁' at every point (HasGradientAt) that is continuous; "weakly continuous on finite-dimensional subspaces" is then automatic.
  • f2:Y→f_2:Y\tof2​:Y→ EReal, with IsProperFn, IsConvexFn, IsSubgradient from the published InertialFB.IFB.ConvexAnalysis and Mathlib's LowerSemicontinuous. No subtraction in EReal occurs: the variational inequalities (3.6), (3.9) are stated as subgradient inclusions, and the Lagrangians as a real part plus f2(y)f_2(y)f2​(y).
  • A solution of (P)(\mathcal P)(P) has finite value. A run is any triple of sequences indexed by N\mathbb NN satisfying Steps 1–3 for every nnn; the start is arbitrary, and the well-posedness of the steps is not assumed or used.
  • PPP is the orthogonal projection onto the closure of R(A)R(A)R(A), equal to R(A)R(A)R(A) under (2.5).
  • Strong convergence is convergence in norm; "bounded" is Bornology.IsBounded (Set.range λ).

Corrections to the printed text, each explained in the item's statement:

  • Step 1 (3.5) and (3.8) carry +⟨b,v⟩+\langle b,v\rangle+⟨b,v⟩. The paper prints −⟨b,v⟩-\langle b,v\rangle−⟨b,v⟩ there and in Remark 1 of p. 15, which is inconsistent with L\mathcal LL and (P)(\mathcal P)(P): with the printed sign the iteration solves the problem with −b-b−b.
  • The qualification (2.4), "int⁡dom⁡f2≠∅\operatorname{int}\operatorname{dom}f_2\ne\emptysetintdomf2​=∅", is strengthened to int⁡dom⁡f2∩R(A)≠∅\operatorname{int}\operatorname{dom}f_2\cap R(A)\ne\emptysetintdomf2​∩R(A)=∅. With (2.4) alone, Theorem 2.1's saddle point need not exist and the multipliers of Theorem 3.1 need not be bounded: V=RV=\mathbb RV=R, Y=R2Y=\mathbb R^2Y=R2, Av=(v,0)Av=(v,0)Av=(v,0), f1=∣⋅∣2/2f_1=|\cdot|^2/2f1​=∣⋅∣2/2, f2f_2f2​ the indicator of the disc of centre (0,1)(0,1)(0,1) and radius 111, ⟨b,v⟩=v\langle b,v\rangle=v⟨b,v⟩=v.
  • Proposition 2.1 assumes that f2∘Af_2\circ Af2​∘A is somewhere finite, which its proof requires.

Ruled out: the solution v∗v^*v∗ is a hypothesis of the goal, so the hypotheses must not be contradictory. They are met by V=Y=RV=Y=\mathbb RV=Y=R, A=idA=\mathrm{id}A=id, f1(y)=y2/2f_1(y)=y^2/2f1​(y)=y2/2, f2=0f_2=0f2​=0, b=0b=0b=0, and a proper f2f_2f2​ excludes the degenerate reading in which every point "solves" (P)(\mathcal P)(P) with value +∞+\infty+∞.

A complete development needs: existence of minimizers of coercive convex l.s.c. functions on a Hilbert space; the subdifferential sum and chain rules under a continuity qualification; orthogonal projections onto closed ranges; and elementary facts about summable sequences. The saddle-point theory (Theorems 2.1–2.2) and the scalar lemma (3.23) are reusable beyond this mission. Proofs of any milestone are welcome, as are proofs of the goal by a different route.

Selected references

  • D. Gabay and B. Mercier, A dual algorithm for the solution of non linear variational problems via finite element approximation, IRIA Rapport de Recherche 126, 1975. https://hal.science/hal-04716124v1 ; journal version: Computers & Mathematics with Applications 2 (1976) 17–40, https://doi.org/10.1016/0898-1221(76)90003-1
  • R. Glowinski and A. Marrocco, Sur l'approximation, par éléments finis d'ordre un, et la résolution, par pénalisation-dualité, d'une classe de problèmes de Dirichlet non linéaires, RAIRO Analyse Numérique 9 (1975) 41–76. https://doi.org/10.1051/m2an/197509R200411
  • M. R. Hestenes, Multiplier and gradient methods, J. Optim. Theory Appl. 4 (1969) 303–320. https://doi.org/10.1007/BF00927673
  • I. Ekeland and R. Temam, Analyse convexe et problèmes variationnels, Dunod, 1974 (the paper's [E]).
  • J. Eckstein and D. P. Bertsekas, On the Douglas–Rachford splitting method and the proximal point algorithm for maximal monotone operators, Math. Programming 55 (1992) 293–318. https://doi.org/10.1007/BF01581204
  • S. Boyd, N. Parikh, E. Chu, B. Peleato and J. Eckstein, Distributed optimization and statistical learning via the alternating direction method of multipliers, Found. Trends Mach. Learn. 3 (2011) 1–122. https://doi.org/10.1561/2200000016
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ProbabilityStatistics·Captain: mikedeng1

On Tail Probabilities for Martingales 1: If X_n ≤ 1 and E{X_n | ℱ_{n−1}} ≤ 0, Then P{S_n ≥ a and T_n ≤ b for Some n} ≤ (b/(a+b))^{a+b} e^a ≤ exp[−a²/2(a+b)]Research Paper

Motivation

For sums of independent bounded random variables, the inequalities of Bernstein and Bennett bound the probability of a large deviation by an exponential in the deviation and the variance (Bennett 1962; Hoeffding 1963). Many processes met in probability, statistics and learning theory are not sums of independent terms but martingales or supermartingales: sequential estimators, stochastic approximation iterates, the regret of an online algorithm. For them the relevant scale is not a fixed variance but the conditional variance accumulated along the path, which is itself random.

David A. Freedman's paper On Tail Probabilities for Martingales (Ann. Probab. 3 (1975) 100–118) extended the Bernstein–Bennett inequality to this dependent case, with the conditional variance in place of the variance and with a bound that holds simultaneously for all times. The result, now called Freedman's inequality, is the standard tool for martingale concentration with variance-sensitive rates and is used throughout bandit and reinforcement-learning analyses, random-graph arguments and stochastic optimization. This mission formalizes that theorem, (4.1) of the paper, together with the chain of lemmas the paper uses to prove it.

Setting

Let (Ω,F,P)(\Omega,\mathcal F,P)(Ω,F,P) be a probability space and F0⊂F1⊂F2⊂⋯\mathcal F_0\subset\mathcal F_1\subset\mathcal F_2\subset\cdotsF0​⊂F1​⊂F2​⊂⋯ an increasing sequence of sub-σ\sigmaσ-fields of F\mathcal FF (a filtration). Let X1,X2,…X_1,X_2,\dotsX1​,X2​,… be real random variables with XnX_nXn​ measurable with respect to Fn\mathcal F_nFn​. Define

  • the partial sums Sn=X1+⋯+XnS_n=X_1+\cdots+X_nSn​=X1​+⋯+Xn​, with S0=0S_0=0S0​=0;
  • the conditional variances Vn=Var⁡{Xn∣Fn−1}V_n=\operatorname{Var}\{X_n\mid\mathcal F_{n-1}\}Vn​=Var{Xn​∣Fn−1​};
  • the intrinsic time Tn=V1+⋯+VnT_n=V_1+\cdots+V_nTn​=V1​+⋯+Vn​, with T0=0T_0=0T0​=0.

Freedman treats TnT_nTn​ as an intrinsic clock: read at time TnT_nTn​ rather than nnn, the process SnS_nSn​ resembles Brownian motion. The paper's condition (3.4) is

Xn≤1 a.e.andE{Xn∣Fn−1}≤0 a.e.for all n≥1,X_n\le1\ \text{a.e.}\qquad\text{and}\qquad E\{X_n\mid\mathcal F_{n-1}\}\le0\ \text{a.e.}\qquad\text{for all }n\ge1,Xn​≤1 a.e.andE{Xn​∣Fn−1​}≤0 a.e.for all n≥1,

so (Sn)(S_n)(Sn​) is a supermartingale whose increments are bounded above by 111; no lower bound is assumed. The auxiliary functions are e(λ)=eλ−1−λe(\lambda)=e^\lambda-1-\lambdae(λ)=eλ−1−λ and Qλ(v,y)=exp⁡{λy−e(λ)v}Q_\lambda(v,y)=\exp\{\lambda y-e(\lambda)v\}Qλ​(v,y)=exp{λy−e(λ)v}, with time first and position second. A stopping time σ\sigmaσ takes values in {0,1,2,…,∞}\{0,1,2,\dots,\infty\}{0,1,2,…,∞} with {σ≤n}∈Fn\{\sigma\le n\}\in\mathcal F_n{σ≤n}∈Fn​, and P{σ=∞}>0P\{\sigma=\infty\}>0P{σ=∞}>0 is allowed.

In Lean these are FreedmanTail.Bernstein.S, V, T (on Filtration ℕ m, with V given by Mathlib's condVar) and FreedmanTail.Bernstein.e, Q.

Formalization targets

Goal: (4.1) Theorem

Under (3.4), for all a>0a>0a>0 and b>0b>0b>0,

P{Sn≥a and Tn≤b for some n=1,2,… }≤(ba+b)a+bea≤exp⁡[−a22(a+b)].P\{S_n\ge a\ \text{and}\ T_n\le b\ \text{for some } n=1,2,\dots\}\le\Bigl(\frac{b}{a+b}\Bigr)^{a+b}e^{a}\le\exp\Bigl[-\frac{a^{2}}{2(a+b)}\Bigr].P{Sn​≥a and Tn​≤b for some n=1,2,…}≤(a+bb​)a+bea≤exp[−2(a+b)a2​].

The first bound is of Bennett type, the second of Bernstein type. The event is a union over all times; the bound does not depend on any horizon.

Milestones

In the order the paper's proof uses them:

  1. (3.1) Lemma: g(0)=12g(0)=\tfrac12g(0)=21​, g(x)=(ex−1−x)/x2g(x)=(e^x-1-x)/x^2g(x)=(ex−1−x)/x2 for x≠0x\ne0x=0, is increasing.
  2. (3.2) Corollary: exp⁡(λx)≤1+λx+x2e(λ)\exp(\lambda x)\le1+\lambda x+x^2e(\lambda)exp(λx)≤1+λx+x2e(λ) for λ≥0\lambda\ge0λ≥0, x≤1x\le1x≤1.
  3. (3.5): E{exp⁡(λX)}≤1+e(λ)Var⁡X≤exp⁡[e(λ)Var⁡X]E\{\exp(\lambda X)\}\le1+e(\lambda)\operatorname{Var}X\le\exp[e(\lambda)\operatorname{Var}X]E{exp(λX)}≤1+e(λ)VarX≤exp[e(λ)VarX] for λ≥0\lambda\ge0λ≥0, X≤1X\le1X≤1, E(X)≤0E(X)\le0E(X)≤0.
  4. Proof of (3.3): {Qλ(Tn,Sn),Fn}\{Q_\lambda(T_n,S_n),\mathcal F_n\}{Qλ​(Tn​,Sn​),Fn​} is a supermartingale for λ≥0\lambda\ge0λ≥0.
  5. (3.3) Proposition: ∫{σ<∞}Qλ(Tσ,Sσ) dP≤1\int_{\{\sigma<\infty\}}Q_\lambda(T_\sigma,S_\sigma)\,dP\le1∫{σ<∞}​Qλ​(Tσ​,Sσ​)dP≤1 for every stopping time σ\sigmaσ and λ≥0\lambda\ge0λ≥0.
  6. Proof of (4.1): P{A}≤exp⁡[−λa+e(λ)b]P\{A\}\le\exp[-\lambda a+e(\lambda)b]P{A}≤exp[−λa+e(λ)b] for every λ≥0\lambda\ge0λ≥0, where AAA is the event of the goal.
  7. Proof of (4.1): λ0=log⁡[(a+b)/b]\lambda_0=\log[(a+b)/b]λ0​=log[(a+b)/b] minimizes this bound, with value (b/(a+b))a+bea(b/(a+b))^{a+b}e^a(b/(a+b))a+bea.
  8. Proof of (4.1): (b/(a+b))a+bea≤exp⁡[−a2/(2(a+b))](b/(a+b))^{a+b}e^a\le\exp[-a^2/(2(a+b))](b/(a+b))a+bea≤exp[−a2/(2(a+b))].

Significance

The inequality bounds the probability that a supermartingale ever reaches level aaa before its accumulated conditional variance exceeds bbb. Since it holds for all times at once, fixed-horizon versions follow immediately, as do versions with stopping times, and with a peeling argument over bbb it gives the variance-adaptive confidence sequences used in sequential testing and in the analysis of algorithms. Freedman's paper uses it to derive the law of the iterated logarithm for martingales; later work uses it wherever a martingale's conditional variance is much smaller than the square of its increment bound.

The theorem has been proved for fifty years. What this mission adds is a machine-checked statement and proof of the full infinite-horizon form under the one-sided hypothesis (3.4), together with the exponential supermartingale and the optional-stopping bound (3.3) as reusable lemmas. Prove2Me already has fixed-horizon Bernstein-form consequences for martingale differences; the infinite-horizon Bennett form under (3.4) does not appear in Mathlib or on the platform.

Difficulty

The naive route of applying Markov's inequality to exp⁡(λSn)\exp(\lambda S_n)exp(λSn​) at a fixed nnn gives a bound for one time only and requires a deterministic bound on TnT_nTn​. Taking a union over all nnn loses everything. The content of the theorem is that the random clock TnT_nTn​ and the supremum over time can both be absorbed, which requires an exponential process compensated by the random TnT_nTn​ and an optional-stopping bound for stopping times that may be infinite with positive probability. The process need not be uniformly integrable, and the increments have no lower bound. A second, smaller, difficulty is the variance form of (3.5): the bound uses Var⁡X\operatorname{Var}XVarX rather than E(X2)E(X^2)E(X2), which is strictly sharper when E(X)<0E(X)<0E(X)<0 and is needed to compensate with conditional variances.

Formalization scope

Lean conventions this mission commits to:

  • Increments are a sequence X : ℕ → Ω → ℝ used from index 111 (X 0 is never read), so SnS_nSn​, TnT_nTn​ and VnV_nVn​ carry the paper's indices. The filtration is Mathlib's Filtration ℕ m, and "XnX_nXn​ is Fn\mathcal F_nFn​-measurable" is StronglyMeasurable[ℱ n] (X n) for n≥1n\ge1n≥1.
  • VnV_nVn​ is Mathlib's condVar (ℱ (n - 1)) (X n) P. Mathlib sets a conditional expectation of a non-integrable function to 000, so every increment is assumed square integrable (MemLp (X n) 2 P). This is the one hypothesis added to the page. Under (3.4) the page also allows increments of infinite variance, for which its TnT_nTn​ is +∞+\infty+∞; the formalization narrows the class of processes and leaves every conclusion as printed. Milestone (3.5) likewise assumes E(X2)<∞E(X^2)<\inftyE(X2)<∞, which is the case the page reduces to.
  • "Expectation-decreasing martingale" is Mathlib's Supermartingale.
  • Stopping times are Ω → WithTop ℕ with IsStoppingTime; ⊤\top⊤ is ∞\infty∞. In (3.3) the integral over {σ<∞}\{\sigma<\infty\}{σ<∞} is a lower Lebesgue integral in [0,∞][0,\infty][0,∞], so the bound does not presuppose integrability, and SσS_\sigmaSσ​, TσT_\sigmaTσ​ are read only on {σ≠∞}\{\sigma\ne\infty\}{σ=∞}.
  • The probability of the event "for some nnn" is the measure of {ω:∃n≥1, Sn(ω)≥a, Tn(ω)≤b}\{\omega:\exists n\ge1,\ S_n(\omega)\ge a,\ T_n(\omega)\le b\}{ω:∃n≥1, Sn​(ω)≥a, Tn​(ω)≤b}. (b/(a+b))a+b(b/(a+b))^{a+b}(b/(a+b))a+b is a real power.
  • (3.1) is stated as strict monotonicity, which its proof (g′(x)>0g'(x)>0g′(x)>0 for x≠0x\ne0x=0) establishes.

A fixed-horizon statement (n=Nn=Nn=N, or n≤Nn\le Nn≤N), a martingale hypothesis E{Xn∣Fn−1}=0E\{X_n\mid\mathcal F_{n-1}\}=0E{Xn​∣Fn−1​}=0, or a two-sided bound ∣Xn∣≤1|X_n|\le1∣Xn​∣≤1 would each be a strictly weaker theorem than (4.1) and is not an acceptable formalization of the goal.

The development needs exponential supermartingales compensated by conditional variance, optional stopping for stopping times that may be infinite, and elementary real analysis of exe^xex. The real-analysis milestones (3.1), (3.2) and the two calculus steps are independent and reusable; (3.5) is a self-contained moment-generating-function bound; the supermartingale and (3.3) are reusable for every exponential-supermartingale argument. Contributions to any milestone, and alternative proofs of the goal, are welcome.

Selected references

  • David A. Freedman, On Tail Probabilities for Martingales, The Annals of Probability 3(1) (1975), 100–118. https://doi.org/10.1214/aop/1176996452 (source of this mission; a scanned copy of the published article, cited by printed page)
  • George Bennett, Probability Inequalities for the Sum of Independent Random Variables, Journal of the American Statistical Association 57 (1962), 33–45. https://doi.org/10.1080/01621459.1962.10482149
  • Wassily Hoeffding, Probability Inequalities for Sums of Bounded Random Variables, Journal of the American Statistical Association 58 (1963), 13–30. https://doi.org/10.1080/01621459.1963.10500830
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Operations ResearchProbabilityStochastic Systems·Captain: mikedeng1

Shock Models and Wear Processes IV: With a Random Threshold, Shock Survival Probabilities Are Submultiplicative for Every Damage Law Iff the Threshold Is NBUResearch Paper

Motivation

Reliability theory classifies life distributions by how they age. A device whose remaining life, once it has survived to age ttt, is stochastically shorter than the life of a new device is called new better than used (NBU). The NBU class, together with the classes IHR (increasing hazard rate) and IHRA (increasing hazard rate average), organizes much of the theory of maintenance and replacement: Marshall and Proschan showed that the NBU property is what makes certain replacement policies beneficial, and Barlow and Proschan's monographs build the statistical theory of reliability on these classes.

A question that runs through this literature is where such ageing properties come from physically. Esary, Marshall and Proschan (Ann. Probability 1973) answer it for shock models: a device is hit by shocks arriving in time as a Poisson process, each shock adds a random amount of damage, and the device fails when the accumulated damage exceeds its threshold. Section 4 of their paper treats a fixed threshold and shows that the life is IHRA for every damage law. Section 5, the subject of this mission, lets the threshold itself be random, which models the variation between individual items of a production lot. It then asks which ageing properties of the threshold law are inherited by the life distribution, and which are forced if the inheritance is to hold whatever the damage law.

Setting

All distributions are laws of non-negative random variables. For a distribution FFF on R\mathbb RR with F(z)=0F(z) = 0F(z)=0 for z<0z < 0z<0 (a damage law), F(k)F^{(k)}F(k) denotes the kkk-fold convolution of FFF, with F(0)F^{(0)}F(0) the point mass at 000; thus F(k)(x)=P{X1+⋯+Xk≤x}F^{(k)}(x) = P\{X_1 + \cdots + X_k \le x\}F(k)(x)=P{X1​+⋯+Xk​≤x} for independent Xi∼FX_i \sim FXi​∼F.

A threshold law is a distribution GGG with G(z)=0G(z) = 0G(z)=0 for z<0z < 0z<0; write Gˉ=1−G\bar G = 1 - GGˉ=1−G for its survival function. If the threshold Y∼GY \sim GY∼G is independent of the damages, the probability of surviving kkk shocks is

Pˉk=∫0∞F(k)(x) dG(x)=P{X1+⋯+Xk≤Y},k=0,1,…(5.1)\bar P_k = \int_0^\infty F^{(k)}(x)\, dG(x) = P\{X_1 + \cdots + X_k \le Y\}, \qquad k = 0, 1, \dots \tag{5.1}Pˉk​=∫0∞​F(k)(x)dG(x)=P{X1​+⋯+Xk​≤Y},k=0,1,…(5.1)

If shocks arrive as a Poisson process of rate λ>0\lambda > 0λ>0, the device's life distribution HHH has survival function

Hˉ(t)=∑k=0∞e−λt(λt)kk! Pˉk,t≥0.(5.2)\bar H(t) = \sum_{k=0}^\infty e^{-\lambda t}\frac{(\lambda t)^k}{k!}\,\bar P_k, \qquad t \ge 0. \tag{5.2}Hˉ(t)=k=0∑∞​e−λtk!(λt)k​Pˉk​,t≥0.(5.2)

A survival function Fˉ\bar FFˉ is NBU if Fˉ(t+x)≤Fˉ(x)Fˉ(t)\bar F(t + x) \le \bar F(x)\bar F(t)Fˉ(t+x)≤Fˉ(x)Fˉ(t) for all x,t≥0x, t \ge 0x,t≥0; it is IHR if Fˉ(x+t)/Fˉ(t)\bar F(x + t)/\bar F(t)Fˉ(x+t)/Fˉ(t) is non-increasing in ttt for each x>0x > 0x>0, and IHRA if [Fˉ(t)]1/t[\bar F(t)]^{1/t}[Fˉ(t)]1/t is non-increasing in t>0t > 0t>0. The discrete analogue of NBU for the sequence Pˉk\bar P_kPˉk​ is submultiplicativity, Pˉj+k≤PˉjPˉk\bar P_{j+k} \le \bar P_j \bar P_kPˉj+k​≤Pˉj​Pˉk​.

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem 5.3

For a threshold law GGG with G(z)=0G(z) = 0G(z)=0 for z<0z < 0z<0:

(∀F: Pˉj+k≤Pˉj Pˉk  ∀j,k≥0)  ⟺  Gˉ is NBU,\Big(\forall F:\ \bar P_{j+k} \le \bar P_j\,\bar P_k \ \ \forall j,k \ge 0\Big) \iff \bar G \text{ is NBU},(∀F: Pˉj+k​≤Pˉj​Pˉk​  ∀j,k≥0)⟺Gˉ is NBU,

the quantifier ranging over every damage law FFF; and if GGG is NBU, then for every damage law FFF and every λ>0\lambda > 0λ>0 the life distribution HHH of (5.2) is NBU.

Milestones

  1. Theorem 3.1 (3.5). For any sequence 1=Pˉ0≥Pˉ1≥⋯≥01 = \bar P_0 \ge \bar P_1 \ge \cdots \ge 01=Pˉ0​≥Pˉ1​≥⋯≥0 and λ>0\lambda > 0λ>0: if PˉjPˉk≥Pˉj+k\bar P_j \bar P_k \ge \bar P_{j+k}Pˉj​Pˉk​≥Pˉj+k​ for all j,kj, kj,k, then HHH of (2.1) is NBU.
  2. First display of the proof of Theorem 5.3. If GGG is NBU, then Pˉj+k≤PˉjPˉk\bar P_{j+k} \le \bar P_j \bar P_kPˉj+k​≤Pˉj​Pˉk​ for each damage law FFF.
  3. Second display of the proof of Theorem 5.3. If submultiplicativity holds for every FFF, then Gˉ(s+jxk)≤Gˉ(s) Gˉ(jxk)\bar G(s + j x_k) \le \bar G(s)\,\bar G(j x_k)Gˉ(s+jxk​)≤Gˉ(s)Gˉ(jxk​) for s>0s > 0s>0, xk=s/kx_k = s/kxk​=s/k, j=0,1,…j = 0, 1, \dotsj=0,1,….

Further items (not milestones)

Theorem 5.1 (the life is exponential for every FFF iff GGG is exponential) and Theorem 5.2 (b), (c) (an IHR threshold makes Pˉk1/k\bar P_k^{1/k}Pˉk1/k​ non-increasing for every FFF; non-increasing Pˉk1/k\bar P_k^{1/k}Pˉk1/k​ for every FFF forces GGG to be IHRA) are posed as companion statements from the same section.

Significance

Theorem 5.3 is a characterization: the NBU class is exactly the class of threshold laws for which the cumulative-damage mechanism preserves the discrete NBU property under every damage law. Combined with Theorem 3.1 (3.5), it gives a physical derivation of NBU life distributions: an item with an NBU random strength, subject to Poisson shocks with arbitrary i.i.d. non-negative damage, has an NBU life. Theorems 5.1 and 5.2 place the exponential and the IHR/IHRA classes in the same framework, and the authors record that whether an IHRA threshold suffices in Theorem 5.2 (b) is left unresolved.

The results are proved in the paper. No machine-checked version is known to exist; this mission produces one. A complete development also supplies reusable infrastructure: convolution powers of laws on [0,∞)[0, \infty)[0,∞) as Mathlib measures, Poisson mixtures of a sequence, and the ageing classes of p. 631 as predicates on survival functions.

Difficulty

The equivalence couples a property of one function, Gˉ\bar GGˉ, to a family of inequalities indexed by every damage law, and the left side is about convolutions while the right side is pointwise. Two points make the statement harder than it looks. First, (5.1) as printed is P{X1+⋯+Xk≤Y}P\{X_1 + \cdots + X_k \le Y\}P{X1​+⋯+Xk​≤Y}, whereas the paper's proof works with EGˉ(X1+⋯+Xk)=P{X1+⋯+Xk<Y}E\bar G(X_1 + \cdots + X_k) = P\{X_1 + \cdots + X_k < Y\}EGˉ(X1​+⋯+Xk​)=P{X1​+⋯+Xk​<Y}; the two agree only when F(k)F^{(k)}F(k) and GGG have no common discontinuities, and they can disagree as soon as F(k)F^{(k)}F(k) has an atom where GGG has one, a case the left side of the equivalence includes. A formal proof cannot invoke that convention. Second, the second sentence of the theorem passes through a Poisson series (5.2) whose terms involve the whole sequence Pˉk\bar P_kPˉk​, so the NBU property of HHH is a statement about a power series in ttt, not about any single Pˉk\bar P_kPˉk​.

Formalization scope

  • A distribution is a probability measure on R\mathbb RR; "F(z)=0F(z) = 0F(z)=0 for z<0z < 0z<0" is mass 000 on (−∞,0)(-\infty, 0)(−∞,0), and "G(0)=0G(0) = 0G(0)=0" (Theorems 5.1, 5.2) is mass 000 on (−∞,0](-\infty, 0](−∞,0]. F(k)F^{(k)}F(k) is the kkk-fold Measure.conv power with F(0)=δ0F^{(0)} = \delta_0F(0)=δ0​, and F(k)(x)F^{(k)}(x)F(k)(x) is the mass of (−∞,x](-\infty, x](−∞,x].
  • Pˉk\bar P_kPˉk​ is (5.1) as printed, ∫F(k)(x) dG(x)\int F^{(k)}(x)\,dG(x)∫F(k)(x)dG(x) over R\mathbb RR; since GGG is carried by [0,∞)[0, \infty)[0,∞) this is ∫0∞\int_0^\infty∫0∞​ including an atom of GGG at 000, which Theorem 5.3 allows. The paper's convention that F(k)F^{(k)}F(k) and GGG have no common discontinuities is not added as a hypothesis: the statements hold for (5.1) without it. The integrand is monotone with values in [0,1][0,1][0,1], so the Bochner integral is a genuine expectation.
  • "For all FFF" sits inside the equivalence of Theorem 5.3 and ranges over every probability measure on [0,∞)[0, \infty)[0,∞). Submultiplicativity for one fixed FFF is a different, weaker statement.
  • NBU and IHR are cross-multiplied, agreeing with the paper's ratio form wherever denominators are positive (the paper restricts variables to avoid zero denominators). NBU is on x,t≥0x, t \ge 0x,t≥0 exactly as in definition (v). Powers [Gˉ(t)]1/t[\bar G(t)]^{1/t}[Gˉ(t)]1/t and Pˉk1/k\bar P_k^{1/k}Pˉk1/k​ are real powers. "Decreasing" means non-increasing.
  • HHH is the series (2.1) as a function on R\mathbb RR, equal to 111 on (−∞,0)(-\infty, 0)(−∞,0); λ>0\lambda > 0λ>0 as in (1.1). In Theorem 3.1 (3.5) the non-negativity Pˉk≥0\bar P_k \ge 0Pˉk​≥0 is stated explicitly.
  • In Theorem 5.1 "exponential" allows rate 000 for HHH (the damage law δ0\delta_0δ0​ gives Hˉ≡1\bar H \equiv 1Hˉ≡1) and requires a positive rate for GGG (G(0)=0G(0) = 0G(0)=0 rules out the degenerate case Gˉ=0\bar G = 0Gˉ=0 on (0,∞)(0,\infty)(0,∞)).
  • A trivializing formalization is ruled out: the threshold-law quantifier is not restricted to a class where both sides are automatic, the integral cannot collapse to a default value, and the NBU predicate is the paper's on [0,∞)[0, \infty)[0,∞), not on (0,∞)(0, \infty)(0,∞) or a vacuous domain.

Contributions welcome: proofs of the milestones, a library for Poisson mixtures and convolution powers of laws on [0,∞)[0,\infty)[0,∞), and the extra items of §5.

Selected references

  • J. D. Esary, A. W. Marshall and F. Proschan, Shock Models and Wear Processes, The Annals of Probability 1(4), 627–649, 1973. https://doi.org/10.1214/aop/1176996891
  • R. E. Barlow and F. Proschan, Mathematical Theory of Reliability, Wiley, 1965; reprinted SIAM Classics in Applied Mathematics, 1996. https://doi.org/10.1137/1.9781611971194
  • Z. W. Birnbaum, J. D. Esary and A. W. Marshall, A Stochastic Characterization of Wear-Out for Components and Systems, The Annals of Mathematical Statistics 37(4), 816–825, 1966. https://doi.org/10.1214/aoms/1177699362
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Markov ChainProbabilityStochastic Systems·Captain: mikedeng1

Ergodic Theorems for Weakly Interacting Infinite Systems and the Voter Model: The Discrete-Time Proximity Process Is Dual to the Branching Process with InterferenceResearch Paper

Motivation

Many models in probability, statistical physics and the theory of stochastic networks are interacting particle systems: infinitely many sites, each in state 0 or 1, each updating at random according to the states of a few other sites. A basic question about such a system is ergodicity: does it have a unique stationary distribution, and does its law converge to it from every initial configuration? For infinite systems the question is hard, because the state space {0,1}I\{0,1\}^I{0,1}I is uncountable and standard Markov chain arguments do not apply.

Holley and Liggett (Ann. Probab. 3 (1975), 643–663) introduced a class of such systems, the proximity processes, which arise from a coupling of more general weakly interacting systems (the settings of Vasershtein (1969), Dobrushin (1971) and Chover (1974)), and showed that each proximity process is dual to a process of finite sets, the branching process with interference. Duality turns a question about an infinite-dimensional process into a question about a process whose states are finite sets. The paper uses it to give short proofs of ergodicity criteria and, in its §5, to study the invariant measures of the voter model. Duality of this kind became one of the main tools of the field; see Liggett, Interacting Particle Systems (Springer, 1985).

This mission formalizes the discrete-time half of the paper: the duality theorem (1.6) and its first applications, Corollary (3.1) and Corollary (4.1).

Setting

Let III be a countable set of sites and S={0,1}IS=\{0,1\}^IS={0,1}I the set of configurations η:I→{0,1}\eta:I\to\{0,1\}η:I→{0,1}, with the product σ\sigmaσ-algebra. For η∈S\eta\in Sη∈S, C(η)={i∈I:η(i)=1}C(\eta)=\{i\in I:\eta(i)=1\}C(η)={i∈I:η(i)=1} is the set of occupied sites.

The data of the model are, for each site iii, a sequence Ni,0=∅,Ni,1,Ni,2,…N_{i,0}=\emptyset,N_{i,1},N_{i,2},\dotsNi,0​=∅,Ni,1​,Ni,2​,… of finite subsets of III and a probability distribution fif_ifi​ on {0,1,2,… }\{0,1,2,\dots\}{0,1,2,…}.

The proximity process ηn\eta_nηn​ is the Markov chain on SSS whose transition function is the product measure

Q(η,⋅)=∏i∈Iνα(i,η),i,α(i,η)=∑k: Ni,k∩C(η)≠∅fi(k),Q(\eta,\cdot)=\prod_{i\in I}\nu_{\alpha(i,\eta),i},\qquad \alpha(i,\eta)=\sum_{k:\,N_{i,k}\cap C(\eta)\neq\emptyset}f_i(k),Q(η,⋅)=i∈I∏​να(i,η),i​,α(i,η)=k:Ni,k​∩C(η)=∅∑​fi​(k),

where νρ,i\nu_{\rho,i}νρ,i​ puts mass ρ\rhoρ on 111. In words: each site iii independently picks an index kkk with probability fi(k)f_i(k)fi​(k) and becomes 111 exactly when the set Ni,kN_{i,k}Ni,k​ contains an occupied site. Pη(ηn∈⋅)P_\eta(\eta_n\in\cdot)Pη​(ηn​∈⋅) denotes the law at time nnn started from η\etaη.

The branching process with interference (b.p.i.) AnA_nAn​ is the Markov chain on the collection T\mathcal TT of finite subsets of III with transition function

Q~(A,B)=∑′∏i∈Afi(ki),\tilde Q(A,B)=\sum{}'\prod_{i\in A}f_i(k_i),Q~​(A,B)=∑′i∈A∏​fi​(ki​),

the sum over all sequences (ki)i∈A(k_i)_{i\in A}(ki​)i∈A​ with ⋃i∈ANi,ki=B\bigcup_{i\in A}N_{i,k_i}=B⋃i∈A​Ni,ki​​=B: each particle at iii splits into particles on Ni,kN_{i,k}Ni,k​ with probability fi(k)f_i(k)fi​(k), and particles landing on the same site merge. PFP_FPF​ denotes probabilities for the chain started at FFF.

For F∈TF\in\mathcal TF∈T, B(F)={η∈S:η(i)=0 for all i∈F}B(F)=\{\eta\in S:\eta(i)=0\ \text{for all } i\in F\}B(F)={η∈S:η(i)=0 for all i∈F}.

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem (1.6)

For all n≥0n\ge0n≥0, η∈S\eta\in Sη∈S and F∈TF\in\mathcal TF∈T,

Pη(ηn∈B(F))=PF(An∩C(η)=∅).P_\eta(\eta_n\in B(F))=P_F(A_n\cap C(\eta)=\emptyset).Pη​(ηn​∈B(F))=PF​(An​∩C(η)=∅).

Milestones

The proof is an induction on nnn whose steps are four displayed identities on p. 647:

  1. (2.3) the one-step law of the proximity process on B(F)B(F)B(F): Pη(η1∈B(F))=∑′∏i∈Ffi(ki)P_\eta(\eta_1\in B(F))=\sum'\prod_{i\in F}f_i(k_i)Pη​(η1​∈B(F))=∑′∏i∈F​fi​(ki​), the sum over sequences with Ni,ki∩C(η)=∅N_{i,k_i}\cap C(\eta)=\emptysetNi,ki​​∩C(η)=∅ for all i∈Fi\in Fi∈F;
  2. (2.4) the same expression for PF(A1∩C(η)=∅)P_F(A_1\cap C(\eta)=\emptyset)PF​(A1​∩C(η)=∅);
  3. (2.5) the first-step decomposition PF(An+1∩C(η)=∅)=∑(ki)P⋃i∈FNi,ki(An∩C(η)=∅)∏i∈Ffi(ki)P_F(A_{n+1}\cap C(\eta)=\emptyset)=\sum_{(k_i)}P_{\bigcup_{i\in F}N_{i,k_i}}(A_n\cap C(\eta)=\emptyset)\prod_{i\in F}f_i(k_i)PF​(An+1​∩C(η)=∅)=∑(ki​)​P⋃i∈F​Ni,ki​​​(An​∩C(η)=∅)∏i∈F​fi​(ki​);
  4. (2.8) the last-step decomposition Pη(ηn+1∈B(F))=∑(ki)Pη(ηn∈B(⋃i∈FNi,ki))∏i∈Ffi(ki)P_\eta(\eta_{n+1}\in B(F))=\sum_{(k_i)}P_\eta(\eta_n\in B(\bigcup_{i\in F}N_{i,k_i}))\prod_{i\in F}f_i(k_i)Pη​(ηn+1​∈B(F))=∑(ki​)​Pη​(ηn​∈B(⋃i∈F​Ni,ki​​))∏i∈F​fi​(ki​).

Applications

  • Corollary (3.1): if ∑k∣Ni,k∣fi(k)≤λ<1\sum_k|N_{i,k}|f_i(k)\le\lambda<1∑k​∣Ni,k​∣fi​(k)≤λ<1 for all iii, then
Pη(ηn∈B(F))≥1−λn∣F∣,P_\eta(\eta_n\in B(F))\ge1-\lambda^n|F|,Pη​(ηn​∈B(F))≥1−λn∣F∣,

and the point mass on the all-zero configuration is the only stationary distribution; along the way, (3.5): PF(An≠∅)≤EF∣An∣≤λn∣F∣P_F(A_n\neq\emptyset)\le E_F|A_n|\le\lambda^n|F|PF​(An​=∅)≤EF​∣An​∣≤λn∣F∣.

  • (4.5): for the §4 model on Z\mathbb ZZ, PF∪G(At≠∅)≤PF(At≠∅)+PG(At≠∅)−PF∩G(At≠∅)P_{F\cup G}(A_t\neq\emptyset)\le P_F(A_t\neq\emptyset)+P_G(A_t\neq\emptyset)-P_{F\cap G}(A_t\neq\emptyset)PF∪G​(At​=∅)≤PF​(At​=∅)+PG​(At​=∅)−PF∩G​(At​=∅).
  • Corollary (4.1): on I=ZI=\mathbb ZI=Z with Ni,1={i−1,i+1}N_{i,1}=\{i-1,i+1\}Ni,1​={i−1,i+1}, fi(0)=1−λf_i(0)=1-\lambdafi​(0)=1−λ, fi(1)=λf_i(1)=\lambdafi​(1)=λ, and h(λ)=2λ+2λ2−7λ3+5λ4−λ5h(\lambda)=2\lambda+2\lambda^2-7\lambda^3+5\lambda^4-\lambda^5h(λ)=2λ+2λ2−7λ3+5λ4−λ5,
Pη(ηt∈B(F))≥1−[h(λ)](t−1)/2∣F∣(t≥1).P_\eta(\eta_t\in B(F))\ge1-[h(\lambda)]^{(t-1)/2}|F|\qquad(t\ge1).Pη​(ηt​∈B(F))≥1−[h(λ)](t−1)/2∣F∣(t≥1).

Significance

The duality identity expresses every finite-dimensional "all vacant" probability of the proximity process, which determine its law, through a chain on finite sets. Consequences in the paper: a sufficient condition for convergence to the all-zero configuration (Corollary (3.1)), which in the nearest-neighbour example on Z\mathbb ZZ gives λ<12\lambda<\tfrac12λ<21​; the sharper range h(λ)<1h(\lambda)<1h(λ)<1, i.e. λ<0.6527\lambda<0.6527λ<0.6527, for that example (Corollary (4.1)), which the interference term makes possible; and, in continuous time, the analysis of the invariant measures of the voter model.

The results are classical and proved; a search of Prove2Me and Mathlib found no machine-checked proof of any of them. A formalization contributes a Lean model of an infinite-product Markov kernel on {0,1}I\{0,1\}^I{0,1}I with its nnn-step laws, a model of a set-valued branching chain, and the duality between them, which are reusable for other duality arguments (contact process, voter model, coalescing random walks).

Difficulty

The two sides of (1.7) are defined independently and live on different spaces. The left side is the time-nnn law of a chain on the uncountable space {0,1}I\{0,1\}^I{0,1}I, obtained by iterating an infinite product kernel; the right side comes from a transition matrix on the countable set of finite subsets of III, whose entries are themselves infinite sums over sequences indexed by a finite set. Neither side can be computed in closed form beyond n=1n=1n=1, so no direct evaluation proves the identity for general nnn.

Two technical points stand in the way of a naive argument. Evaluating a product kernel on a cylinder event and integrating it against a previous law requires the kernel to be measurable in η\etaη, a statement about cylinder sets of an infinite product that a hand proof passes over. And the natural recursion for nnn-step probabilities of the b.p.i. adds the new step at the end, while the comparison with the proximity process needs information about the first step; the two orders agree only by a Chapman–Kolmogorov argument over a countable state space with [0,∞][0,\infty][0,∞]-valued sums. Corollary (4.1) further needs quantitative estimates of survival probabilities for specific initial sets on Z\mathbb ZZ.

Formalization scope

All objects are in the namespace HolleyLiggett.Duality, in one definitions file.

  • {0,1}\{0,1\}{0,1} is Bool (true = 1), SSS is Config I := I → Bool with the product σ\sigmaσ-algebra, T\mathcal TT is Finset I.
  • Standing assumptions on every theorem: [Countable I], N : I → ℕ → Finset I (finite sets) with N i 0 = ∅, and f : I → PMF ℕ (probability distributions). A finite collection Ni,0,…,Ni,mN_{i,0},\dots,N_{i,m}Ni,0​,…,Ni,m​ is the case fi(k)=0f_i(k)=0fi​(k)=0 for k>mk>mk>m.
  • The kernel (1.1) is Measure.infinitePi of the two-point measures; the nnn-step law is proxLaw, iterating Measure.bind from the point mass at η\etaη. Measurability of the kernel is a true fact that solvers must prove; it is not assumed.
  • The b.p.i. nnn-step probabilities bpiProb follow the last-step recursion PF(An+1=B)=∑GPF(An=G)Q~(G,B)P_F(A_{n+1}=B)=\sum_GP_F(A_n=G)\tilde Q(G,B)PF​(An+1​=B)=∑G​PF​(An​=G)Q~​(G,B). All probabilities are in ℝ≥0∞, and each ∑′\sum'∑′ over sequences is an unconditional sum over ↥F → ℕ.
  • The page's "η(1)=1\eta(1)=1η(1)=1" in (1.2) is read as η(i)=1\eta(i)=1η(i)=1. Corollary (4.1) carries the added hypothesis t≥1t\ge1t≥1: at t=0t=0t=0 the printed bound fails when h(λ)>1h(\lambda)>1h(λ)>1, and the proof starts at t=1t=1t=1. Inequality (4.5) uses the §4 model on Z\mathbb ZZ, with the subtracted term moved across.
  • The goal relates the two chains defined by (1.1) and (1.4). A statement through the coupling Xi,nX_{i,n}Xi,n​ of the proof, about an arbitrary process with the right one-step behaviour, or for n=1n=1n=1 only, is not the theorem.

The continuous-time duality (Theorem (2.12)), Corollaries (3.9) and (4.15) and the voter model of §5 are out of scope. Contributions welcome: the measurability and probability facts for proxStep, Chapman–Kolmogorov for bpiProb, and proofs of the milestones.

Selected references

  • R. A. Holley and T. M. Liggett, Ergodic theorems for weakly interacting infinite systems and the voter model, Ann. Probab. 3(4) (1975), 643–663. https://doi.org/10.1214/aop/1176996306
  • T. M. Liggett, Interacting Particle Systems, Grundlehren der mathematischen Wissenschaften 276, Springer, 1985. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-1-4613-8542-4
  • R. L. Dobrushin, Markov processes with a large number of locally interacting components (Russian), Problems of Information Transmission 7(2) (1971), 70–87 (as cited by Holley and Liggett).
  • O. N. Stavskaya and I. I. Pyatetskii-Shapiro, On homogeneous nets of spontaneously active elements, Systems Theory Research 20 (1971), 75–88 (as cited by Holley and Liggett).
  • L. N. Vasershtein, Processes over denumerable products of spaces, describing large systems, Problems of Information Transmission 3 (1969), 47–52 (as cited by Holley and Liggett).
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Numerical AnalysisOperations ResearchOptimization·Captain: mikedeng1

Globally Convergent Inexact Newton Methods I: Inexact Newton Backtracking Converges to Every Limit Point Where F′ Is Invertible, That Point Is a Zero of F, and Initial Steps Are Eventually AcceptedResearch Paper

Motivation

Newton's method for a nonlinear system F(x)=0F(x) = 0F(x)=0, with F:Rn→RnF:\mathbb R^n\to\mathbb R^nF:Rn→Rn, solves the linear system F′(xk)sk=−F(xk)F'(x_k)s_k = -F(x_k)F′(xk​)sk​=−F(xk​) at every step. For large systems that solve is itself iterative (a Krylov method such as GMRES), and it is stopped early. The resulting inexact Newton methods, introduced by Dembo, Eisenstat and Steihaug (SIAM J. Numer. Anal. 19 (1982)), accept any step with ∥F(xk)+F′(xk)sk∥≤ηk∥F(xk)∥\|F(x_k)+F'(x_k)s_k\|\le\eta_k\|F(x_k)\|∥F(xk​)+F′(xk​)sk​∥≤ηk​∥F(xk​)∥, where the forcing term ηk∈[0,1)\eta_k\in[0,1)ηk​∈[0,1) controls how accurately the linear system is solved. Their theory is local: it applies once the iterates are near a solution with invertible derivative.

Practical solvers (Newton–Krylov codes in large-scale simulation, nonlinear solver libraries such as PETSc's SNES and SUNDIALS' KINSOL) combine such inexact steps with a globalization, most often backtracking along the step. Eisenstat and Walker (SIAM J. Optim. 4 (1994)) gave the global convergence theory for this combination: what can be said about the iterates from an arbitrary starting point, with no assumption that a solution exists or that F′F'F′ is invertible anywhere.

Timeline. Dembo, Eisenstat and Steihaug (1982) proved local convergence of inexact Newton methods. Dembo and Steihaug (Math. Program. 26 (1983)) studied truncated Newton methods for unconstrained minimization. Brown and Saad (1990) studied globalized Newton–Krylov methods with line searches and model trust regions, under the inner-product norm. Eisenstat and Walker (1994) gave the general framework treated here, for an arbitrary norm. Their 1996 paper (SIAM J. Sci. Comput. 17) proposed the forcing-term choices that are now standard.

Setting

Let EEE be Rn\mathbb R^nRn with an arbitrary norm ∥⋅∥\|\cdot\|∥⋅∥, and let F:E→EF:E\to EF:E→E be continuously differentiable with derivative F′(x)F'(x)F′(x). A point x∗x_*x∗​ is a limit point of (xk)(x_k)(xk​) if every ball Nδ(x∗)={y:∥y−x∗∥<δ}N_\delta(x_*)=\{y:\|y-x_*\|<\delta\}Nδ​(x∗​)={y:∥y−x∗​∥<δ} contains xkx_kxk​ for infinitely many kkk.

Algorithm GIN (global inexact Newton method). Fix t∈(0,1)t\in(0,1)t∈(0,1). At each kkk, find a level ηk∈[0,1)\eta_k\in[0,1)ηk​∈[0,1) and a step sks_ksk​ with

∥F(xk)+F′(xk)sk∥≤ηk∥F(xk)∥(2.1),∥F(xk+sk)∥≤[1−t(1−ηk)] ∥F(xk)∥(2.2),\|F(x_k)+F'(x_k)s_k\|\le\eta_k\|F(x_k)\| \quad (2.1),\qquad \|F(x_k+s_k)\|\le[1-t(1-\eta_k)]\,\|F(x_k)\| \quad (2.2),∥F(xk​)+F′(xk​)sk​∥≤ηk​∥F(xk​)∥(2.1),∥F(xk​+sk​)∥≤[1−t(1−ηk​)]∥F(xk​)∥(2.2),

and set xk+1=xk+skx_{k+1}=x_k+s_kxk+1​=xk​+sk​. Condition (2.1) says that sks_ksk​ reduces the norm of the local linear model by the factor ηk\eta_kηk​. Condition (2.2) asks that ∥F∥\|F\|∥F∥ itself decrease by a fixed fraction ttt of that predicted reduction.

Algorithm MR (minimum reduction method). Fix ηmax⁡∈[0,1)\eta_{\max}\in[0,1)ηmax​∈[0,1) and 0<θmin⁡<θmax⁡<10<\theta_{\min}<\theta_{\max}<10<θmin​<θmax​<1. At step kkk, choose ηˉk∈[0,ηmax⁡]\bar\eta_k\in[0,\eta_{\max}]ηˉ​k​∈[0,ηmax​] and a curve σk\sigma_kσk​ with ∥F(xk)+F′(xk)σk(η)∥≤η∥F(xk)∥\|F(x_k)+F'(x_k)\sigma_k(\eta)\|\le\eta\|F(x_k)\|∥F(xk​)+F′(xk​)σk​(η)∥≤η∥F(xk​)∥ for ηˉk≤η≤1\bar\eta_k\le\eta\le1ηˉ​k​≤η≤1 (5.1). Start at ηk=ηˉk\eta_k=\bar\eta_kηk​=ηˉ​k​. While (2.2) fails for sk=σk(ηk)s_k=\sigma_k(\eta_k)sk​=σk​(ηk​), replace ηk\eta_kηk​ by 1−θ(1−ηk)1-\theta(1-\eta_k)1−θ(1−ηk​) for some θ∈[θmin⁡,θmax⁡]\theta\in[\theta_{\min},\theta_{\max}]θ∈[θmin​,θmax​]. Then set xk+1=xk+σk(ηk)x_{k+1}=x_k+\sigma_k(\eta_k)xk+1​=xk​+σk​(ηk​).

Algorithm INB (inexact Newton backtracking). Choose ηˉk∈[0,ηmax⁡]\bar\eta_k\in[0,\eta_{\max}]ηˉ​k​∈[0,ηmax​] and an inexact Newton step sˉk\bar s_ksˉk​ at level ηˉk\bar\eta_kηˉ​k​. While (2.2) fails, shorten the step, sk←θsks_k\leftarrow\theta s_ksk​←θsk​, and raise the level, ηk←1−θ(1−ηk)\eta_k\leftarrow1-\theta(1-\eta_k)ηk​←1−θ(1−ηk​). INB is MR with the backtracking curve σk(η)=1−η1−ηˉksˉk\sigma_k(\eta)=\frac{1-\eta}{1-\bar\eta_k}\bar s_kσk​(η)=1−ηˉ​k​1−η​sˉk​ (6.1).

An algorithm does not break down if it produces an infinite sequence of iterates, in particular if every while-loop exits.

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem 6.1 (global convergence of Algorithm INB)

If Algorithm INB does not break down and x∗x_*x∗​ is a limit point of (xk)(x_k)(xk​) at which F′(x∗)F'(x_*)F′(x∗​) is invertible, then

F(x∗)=0,xk→x∗,sk=sˉk and ηk=ηˉk for all sufficiently large k.F(x_*)=0,\qquad x_k\to x_*,\qquad s_k=\bar s_k\ \text{and}\ \eta_k=\bar\eta_k\ \text{for all sufficiently large }k.F(x∗​)=0,xk​→x∗​,sk​=sˉk​ and ηk​=ηˉ​k​ for all sufficiently large k.

The statement assumes no solution, bounded level set, Lipschitz derivative or particular norm. The last clause says that backtracking eventually stops, so the local rate is governed by the forcing terms ηˉk\bar\eta_kηˉ​k​.

Milestones

In attack order:

  1. Lemmas 1.1 and 1.2. Continuity of y↦F′(y)−1y\mapsto F'(y)^{-1}y↦F′(y)−1 at an invertible point, and a uniform linearization error ∥F(z)−F(y)−F′(y)(z−y)∥≤ε∥z−y∥\|F(z)-F(y)-F'(y)(z-y)\|\le\varepsilon\|z-y\|∥F(z)−F(y)−F′(y)(z−y)∥≤ε∥z−y∥ near xxx.
  2. Theorem 3.3. If F(xk)→0F(x_k)\to0F(xk​)→0, the steps satisfy (2.1) with a fixed η\etaη, and ∥F(xk)∥\|F(x_k)\|∥F(xk​)∥ is nonincreasing, then an invertible limit point is a zero and the limit.
  3. Theorem 3.4. A GIN run with ∑k(1−ηk)=∞\sum_k(1-\eta_k)=\infty∑k​(1−ηk​)=∞ has F(xk)→0F(x_k)\to0F(xk​)→0, plus the conclusion of Theorem 3.3 at invertible limit points.
  4. Theorem 3.5. A GIN run converges to a limit point near which ∥sk∥≤Γ(1−ηk)∥F(xk)∥\|s_k\|\le\Gamma(1-\eta_k)\|F(x_k)\|∥sk​∥≤Γ(1−ηk​)∥F(xk​)∥ (3.2).
  5. Lemma 5.1. The while-loop terminates, with 1−ηk≥min⁡{1−ηˉk,θmin⁡δ/(Γ∥F(xk)∥)}1-\eta_k\ge\min\{1-\bar\eta_k,\theta_{\min}\delta/(\Gamma\|F(x_k)\|)\}1−ηk​≥min{1−ηˉ​k​,θmin​δ/(Γ∥F(xk​)∥)}.
  6. MR runs are GIN runs (§5).
  7. Theorem 5.2 for MR. Under ∥σk(η)∥≤Γ(1−η)∥F(xk)∥\|\sigma_k(\eta)\|\le\Gamma(1-\eta)\|F(x_k)\|∥σk​(η)∥≤Γ(1−η)∥F(xk​)∥ near a limit point x∗x_*x∗​ (5.6): F(x∗)=0F(x_*)=0F(x∗​)=0, xk→x∗x_k\to x_*xk​→x∗​, and ηk=ηˉk\eta_k=\bar\eta_kηk​=ηˉ​k​ eventually.
  8. INB runs are MR runs with the curve (6.1), and sk=σk(ηk)s_k=\sigma_k(\eta_k)sk​=σk​(ηk​) throughout the loop (§6).

Further items, which are not milestones: Corollary 6.2 (exact Newton with backtracking takes full Newton steps eventually), Theorem 5.2 for Algorithm TL, Lemma 3.1 (existence of acceptable GIN steps), and Proposition 2.1 (the Goldstein–Armijo alpha condition implies (2.2) in the Euclidean norm).

Significance

The result. Theorem 6.1 is the global convergence guarantee for the inexact Newton backtracking method that Newton–Krylov solvers implement. It separates three outcomes: the iterates diverge, they accumulate only at points where F′F'F′ is singular, or they converge to a solution with invertible derivative and eventually take the unmodified inexact Newton steps. In the third case the local theory of Dembo, Eisenstat and Steihaug applies from some iteration on, so the forcing terms alone set the convergence rate. Theorem 5.2 is the template: §§6–8 of the paper derive the convergence of backtracking, equality-curve and dogleg-type methods from it by verifying (5.6).

Formalizing it. The results are proved on paper and none of them has a machine-checked proof that we know of. The mission produces a library of algorithm-run predicates with explicit while-loops for inexact Newton methods. It also checks the paper's reduction chain (INB is a run of MR, MR is a run of GIN) and the global convergence theorems in an arbitrary finite-dimensional norm.

Difficulty

The obvious argument fails at both ends. Sufficient decrease (2.2) alone gives monotonicity of ∥F(xk)∥\|F(x_k)\|∥F(xk​)∥, but not convergence of the iterates. On the page, F(x)=x2−1F(x)=x^2-1F(x)=x2−1 admits sequences satisfying (2.2) with both ±1\pm1±1 as limit points. Convergence of ∥F(xk)∥\|F(x_k)\|∥F(xk​)∥ to 000 needs ∑(1−ηk)=∞\sum(1-\eta_k)=\infty∑(1−ηk​)=∞, and nothing in the algorithm states this. In Theorem 5.2 it has to be derived from the exit level of the while-loop, which depends on a neighbourhood of x∗x_*x∗​ where the linearization error is uniformly controlled. A solver must combine a limit-point argument (only infinitely many iterates are near x∗x_*x∗​, not all of them) with the loop's worst-case backtracking factor θmin⁡\theta_{\min}θmin​. The invertibility of F′(x∗)F'(x_*)F′(x∗​) enters only through the bound (5.6) for the backtracking curve, which must be established uniformly in kkk.

Formalization scope

  • Space and norm. EEE is a finite-dimensional real normed space ([NormedAddCommGroup E] [NormedSpace ℝ E] [FiniteDimensional ℝ E]). This is exactly "Rn\mathbb R^nRn with an arbitrary norm". Fin n → ℝ (sup norm) and EuclideanSpace would each fix one norm. Only Proposition 2.1 assumes an inner product space, as the page does.
  • Derivative. F′F'F′ is fderiv ℝ F, with ContDiff ℝ 1 F (the paper's standing assumption). Invertibility is ContinuousLinearMap.IsInvertible, and F′(x)−1F'(x)^{-1}F′(x)−1 is ContinuousLinearMap.inverse.
  • Runs. An algorithm that does not break down is a predicate on infinite sequences (IsGINRun, IsMRRun, IsINBRun, plus IsTLRun, IsENBRun). The steps and levels the algorithm says to "find" or "choose" are data constrained only by the stated conditions. A while-loop is recorded by its number of passes mkm_kmk​ and factors θk,j∈[θmin⁡,θmax⁡]\theta_{k,j}\in[\theta_{\min},\theta_{\max}]θk,j​∈[θmin​,θmax​]. Every trial before the last fails the loop's test and the last one passes it. Termination is part of the run.
  • Limit point is MapClusterPt xstar atTop x. "For all sufficiently large kkk" is ∀ᶠ k in atTop. The paper's "whenever xkx_kxk​ is sufficiently near x∗x_*x∗​ [and kkk is sufficiently large]" is ∃ Γ, ∃ δ > 0, [∃ K,] ∀ k [≥ K], x k ∈ ball xstar δ → …. Γ\GammaΓ precedes kkk ("independent of kkk"), and the "kkk large" clause appears only in (3.2), where the page has it.
  • Hypotheses as printed. Theorems 3.5 and 5.2 do not assume F′(x∗)F'(x_*)F′(x∗​) invertible. Theorem 5.2 does not assume ∑(1−ηk)=∞\sum(1-\eta_k)=\infty∑(1−ηk​)=∞. Lemma 5.1 is stated for one iteration of the loop shared by MR and TL, for every choice of factors.
  • Trivializing readings ruled out. A run predicate without the "rejected" clause would allow needless backtracking, and one without the "accepted" clause would drop (2.2). Both clauses are present. A sorry-free check (F = id on R\mathbb RR) confirms that the INB, GIN and ENB run predicates and the goal's hypotheses are satisfiable, so the goal is not vacuous.
  • Infrastructure. Continuity of operator inversion and uniform differentiability on neighbourhoods are in Mathlib. The run predicates and trial-level recursions are reusable for any line-search or backtracking analysis. Each milestone is stated independently; contributions in any order are welcome.

Selected references

  • S. C. Eisenstat and H. F. Walker, Globally Convergent Inexact Newton Methods, SIAM J. Optim. 4(2) (1994) 393–422. https://doi.org/10.1137/0804022
  • R. S. Dembo, S. C. Eisenstat and T. Steihaug, Inexact Newton Methods, SIAM J. Numer. Anal. 19(2) (1982) 400–408. https://doi.org/10.1137/0719025
  • R. S. Dembo and T. Steihaug, Truncated-Newton algorithms for large-scale unconstrained optimization, Math. Program. 26 (1983) 190–212. https://doi.org/10.1007/BF02592055
  • P. N. Brown and Y. Saad, Hybrid Krylov Methods for Nonlinear Systems of Equations, SIAM J. Sci. Stat. Comput. 11(3) (1990) 450–481. https://doi.org/10.1137/0911026
  • S. C. Eisenstat and H. F. Walker, Choosing the Forcing Terms in an Inexact Newton Method, SIAM J. Sci. Comput. 17(1) (1996) 16–32. https://doi.org/10.1137/0917003
  • J. E. Dennis and R. B. Schnabel, Numerical Methods for Unconstrained Optimization and Nonlinear Equations, SIAM Classics in Applied Mathematics 16 (1996). https://doi.org/10.1137/1.9781611971200
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Operations ResearchProbabilityStochastic Systems·Captain: mikedeng1

Shock Models and Wear Processes I: Under Poisson Shocks, Cumulative Nonnegative I.I.D. Damage up to a Fixed Threshold Gives an IHRA Life DistributionResearch Paper

Motivation

Reliability theory classifies life distributions by how they age. The IHRA class (increasing hazard rate average) is the smallest class of life distributions that contains the exponential distributions and is closed under forming coherent systems and taking limits in distribution (Birnbaum, Esary and Marshall 1966). It is therefore the natural class for the lifetime of a system built from components that wear out. A distribution belongs to it when its survival function Fˉ\bar FFˉ satisfies: [Fˉ(t)]1/t[\bar F(t)]^{1/t}[Fˉ(t)]1/t is decreasing in t>0t > 0t>0.

Esary, Marshall and Proschan (Ann. Probability 1 (1973) 627–649) asked where such ageing comes from physically. Their answer is a shock model: a device receives shocks at the epochs of a Poisson process, each shock does random damage, and the device fails when the accumulated damage exceeds its capacity. The central result of their §4, formalized in this mission, is that this model always produces an IHRA life, whatever the damage distribution. In the authors' words, "the IHRA property has been obtained … as an implication of a natural physical model. The only hypothesis imposed upon FFF is that it be the distribution of a nonnegative random variable." The paper is a standard reference of reliability theory and the source of the cumulative damage model used across maintenance and insurance applications.

Setting

Shocks arrive according to a Poisson process with rate λ>0\lambda > 0λ>0. Write Pˉk\bar P_kPˉk​ for the probability that the device survives the first kkk shocks; then 1≥Pˉ0≥Pˉ1≥⋯≥01 \ge \bar P_0 \ge \bar P_1 \ge \dots \ge 01≥Pˉ0​≥Pˉ1​≥⋯≥0 (display (2.2)). Conditioning on the number of shocks in [0,t][0, t][0,t] gives the shock survival function (2.1):

Hˉ(t)=∑k=0∞Pˉk e−λt(λt)kk!,t≥0,\bar H(t) = \sum_{k=0}^{\infty} \bar P_k\, e^{-\lambda t}\frac{(\lambda t)^k}{k!}, \qquad t \ge 0,Hˉ(t)=k=0∑∞​Pˉk​e−λtk!(λt)k​,t≥0,

with Hˉ(t)=1\bar H(t) = 1Hˉ(t)=1 for t<0t < 0t<0. The weights K(k,t)=e−λt(λt)k/k!K(k,t) = e^{-\lambda t}(\lambda t)^k/k!K(k,t)=e−λt(λt)k/k! are the Poisson probabilities.

In the cumulative damage model the iiith shock causes a damage Xi≥0X_i \ge 0Xi​≥0, the damages are independent with common distribution function FFF (so F(z)=0F(z) = 0F(z)=0 for z<0z < 0z<0), and the device survives kkk shocks when X1+⋯+Xk≤xX_1 + \dots + X_k \le xX1​+⋯+Xk​≤x, for a fixed threshold xxx. Hence (4.1)

Pˉk=F(k)(x),k=0,1,…,\bar P_k = F^{(k)}(x), \qquad k = 0, 1, \dots,Pˉk​=F(k)(x),k=0,1,…,

where F(k)F^{(k)}F(k) is the kkk-fold convolution of FFF and F(0)F^{(0)}F(0) is degenerate at 000. A distribution with survival function Fˉ\bar FFˉ is IHRA if [Fˉ(t)]1/t[\bar F(t)]^{1/t}[Fˉ(t)]1/t is decreasing in t>0t > 0t>0; throughout, "decreasing" means non-increasing.

Formalization targets

Goal: Corollary 4.2, display (4.7)

For every distribution FFF on [0,∞)[0,\infty)[0,∞), every λ>0\lambda > 0λ>0 and every threshold xxx,

Hˉ(t)=∑k=0∞e−λt(λt)kk!F(k)(x)is IHRA.\bar H(t) = \sum_{k=0}^\infty e^{-\lambda t}\frac{(\lambda t)^k}{k!} F^{(k)}(x) \quad \text{is IHRA.}Hˉ(t)=k=0∑∞​e−λtk!(λt)k​F(k)(x)is IHRA.

This is the first of the three statements of Corollary 4.2; the second ((4.7a), independent damages FiF_iFi​ that worsen with iii) is an extra item of this mission, and the third ((4.7b), dependent damages satisfying (4.3)–(4.5)) belongs to mission III of this series.

Milestones

  1. (2.6): Hˉ(t)≥Hˉ(0)e−λt\bar H(t) \ge \bar H(0)e^{-\lambda t}Hˉ(t)≥Hˉ(0)e−λt for t≥0t \ge 0t≥0.
  2. Theorem 3.1 (3.4) through the three claims of its proof (p. 633): if 1=Pˉ0≥Pˉ1≥…1 = \bar P_0 \ge \bar P_1 \ge \dots1=Pˉ0​≥Pˉ1​≥… and Pˉk1/k\bar P_k^{1/k}Pˉk1/k​ is decreasing in k≥1k \ge 1k≥1, then Pˉk−ζk\bar P_k - \zeta^kPˉk​−ζk (0≤ζ≤10 \le \zeta \le 10≤ζ≤1) has at most one sign change, from +++ to −-−; this property passes to Hˉ(t)−e−(1−ζ)λt\bar H(t) - e^{-(1-\zeta)\lambda t}Hˉ(t)−e−(1−ζ)λt on t≥0t \ge 0t≥0; hence Hˉ(t)−e−θt\bar H(t) - e^{-\theta t}Hˉ(t)−e−θt has at most one sign change for every θ>0\theta > 0θ>0; and HHH is IHRA.
  3. Lemma 4.1: for FFF on [0,∞)[0,\infty)[0,∞), [F(k)(x)]1/k[F^{(k)}(x)]^{1/k}[F(k)(x)]1/k is decreasing in k=1,2,…k = 1, 2, \dotsk=1,2,….

Further items

Lemma 4.1a and Corollary 4.2 (4.7a); Theorem 4.4 ([F(k)(x)]1/k[F^{(k)}(x)]^{1/k}[F(k)(x)]1/k is constant in kkk iff FFF has no mass in (0,x](0,x](0,x]); Corollary 4.5 ((4.7) is exponential iff FFF has no mass in (0,x](0,x](0,x]); Corollary 4.11 ([P{N(x)≥k}]1/k[P\{N(x) \ge k\}]^{1/k}[P{N(x)≥k}]1/k is decreasing for the count N(x)N(x)N(x) of an ordinary renewal process).

Significance

The goal turns a modelling assumption into a theorem: anyone who models failure as accumulated nonnegative damage under Poisson shocks obtains, without further checks, every consequence of IHRA proved in reliability theory, including the closure of the class under the formation of coherent systems. Theorem 3.1 (3.4) is reusable on its own: it reduces the IHRA property of any Poisson mixture to a discrete condition on the Pˉk\bar P_kPˉk​, and the same scheme drives the first passage result for wear processes (Theorem 4.10, mission III). Lemma 4.1, applied to renewal processes, gives Corollary 4.11, a statement about renewal counts with no shock model in sight.

All results are proved in the paper; none has a machine-checked proof that we know of. The Mathlib library has the Poisson distribution and the convolution of measures, but no reliability classes, no total positivity and no variation diminishing property. The mission's output is a formal proof of the paper's chain of results and, along the way, reusable statements about Poisson mixtures and convolution powers.

Difficulty

Two steps resist a direct argument. The first is the transfer from sequences to functions: knowing that Pˉk−ζk\bar P_k - \zeta^kPˉk​−ζk changes sign at most once says nothing pointwise about the series ∑k(Pˉk−ζk)K(k,t)\sum_k(\bar P_k - \zeta^k)K(k,t)∑k​(Pˉk​−ζk)K(k,t). The paper invokes the variation diminishing property of the totally positive Poisson kernel (Karlin, Total Positivity, 1968), which is not in Mathlib. The second is Lemma 4.1, an inequality between convolution powers of an arbitrary law: no density, moments or continuity may be assumed, atoms at 000 and at xxx are allowed, so any argument through densities or Laplace transforms loses generality. A further subtlety is the passage from "one sign change of Hˉ(t)−e−θt\bar H(t) - e^{-\theta t}Hˉ(t)−e−θt for every θ\thetaθ" to the monotonicity of [Hˉ(t)]1/t[\bar H(t)]^{1/t}[Hˉ(t)]1/t, which needs care where Hˉ\bar HHˉ vanishes.

Formalization scope

  • A distribution FFF with F(z)=0F(z) = 0F(z)=0 for z<0z < 0z<0 is a probability measure μ\muμ on R\mathbb RR with μ(−∞,0)=0\mu(-\infty,0) = 0μ(−∞,0)=0; nothing else is assumed. F(k)F^{(k)}F(k) is the kkk-fold additive convolution of μ\muμ (Mathlib's Measure.conv) starting from the point mass at 000, and F(k)(x)F^{(k)}(x)F(k)(x) is the real number F(k)(−∞,x]F^{(k)}(-\infty,x]F(k)(−∞,x].
  • Hˉ\bar HHˉ is the series (2.1) as a function on R\mathbb RR, equal to 111 on t<0t < 0t<0. It is never defined through a constructed random failure time, and IHRA is never encoded through a condition on the Pˉk\bar P_kPˉk​: the goal concludes that [Hˉ(t)]1/t[\bar H(t)]^{1/t}[Hˉ(t)]1/t is decreasing on t>0t > 0t>0 for the series itself. This rules out the trivializing reading in which the goal unfolds to Lemma 4.1.
  • Powers [Hˉ(t)]1/t[\bar H(t)]^{1/t}[Hˉ(t)]1/t and Pˉk1/k\bar P_k^{1/k}Pˉk1/k​ are real powers with exponent 1/t1/t1/t, 1/k1/k1/k in R\mathbb RR.
  • Hypotheses the paper leaves implicit and the Lean statements make explicit: λ>0\lambda > 0λ>0; Pˉk≥0\bar P_k \ge 0Pˉk​≥0 (the Pˉk\bar P_kPˉk​ are probabilities); in Corollary 4.5, x≥0x \ge 0x≥0 (the threshold is a capacity), and "exponential" includes the degenerate rate 000.
  • Sign change statements about Hˉ\bar HHˉ hold on t≥0t \ge 0t≥0, where the series defines it.
  • The threshold xxx in the goal ranges over all reals, as printed.
  • In Corollary 4.11 the renewal process is given by independent measurable interarrival times with common law μ\muμ, and N(x)=#{k≥1:X1+⋯+Xk≤x}N(x) = \#\{k \ge 1 : X_1 + \dots + X_k \le x\}N(x)=#{k≥1:X1​+⋯+Xk​≤x} takes values in {0,1,…,∞}\{0, 1, \dots, \infty\}{0,1,…,∞}.

A complete development needs: the variation diminishing property of the Poisson kernel (reusable for every Poisson mixture), monotonicity of [F(k)(x)]1/k[F^{(k)}(x)]^{1/k}[F(k)(x)]1/k via convolution integrals, and elementary facts about real powers and sign changes. Proofs of any milestone or extra item, and general total positivity lemmas, are welcome.

Selected references

  • J. D. Esary, A. W. Marshall and F. Proschan, Shock Models and Wear Processes, The Annals of Probability 1(4) (1973) 627–649. https://doi.org/10.1214/aop/1176996891
  • Z. W. Birnbaum, J. D. Esary and A. W. Marshall, A Stochastic Characterization of Wear-Out for Components and Systems, The Annals of Mathematical Statistics 37 (1966) 816–825. https://doi.org/10.1214/aoms/1177699362
  • S. Karlin, Total Positivity, Vol. I, Stanford University Press, 1968.
  • R. E. Barlow and F. Proschan, Mathematical Theory of Reliability, Wiley, 1965. https://doi.org/10.1137/1.9781611971194
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CombinatoricsComputational GeometryDiscrete Geometry+1·Captain: mikedeng1

A Combinatorial Theorem in Plane Geometry: Every n-Triangulation Can Be Partitioned into at Most ⌊n/3⌋ FansResearch Paper

Motivation

In a conversation reported by Chvátal, Victor Klee asked for the smallest number f(n)f(n)f(n) such that every region bounded by a simple closed nnn-gon is dominated by f(n)f(n)f(n) points: every point of the region sees one of them along a segment inside the region. In the picturesque language that gave the problem its name, f(n)f(n)f(n) is the number of guards needed to watch any art gallery with nnn walls. A comb-shaped polygon (Figure 1 of the paper) shows f(n)≥⌊n/3⌋f(n) \ge \lfloor n/3 \rfloorf(n)≥⌊n/3⌋.

V. Chvátal's three-page note (J. Combin. Theory Ser. B 18 (1975) 39–41) proves the matching upper bound by reducing it to a purely combinatorial statement about triangulated polygons: every such triangulation splits into at most ⌊n/3⌋\lfloor n/3\rfloor⌊n/3⌋ fans, and a fan is watched by a single guard. The combinatorial theorem is the result this mission formalizes.

Timeline.

  • 1973: Klee poses the question to Chvátal (the paper reports the conversation; the year is O'Rourke's).
  • 1975: Chvátal proves f(n)=⌊n/3⌋f(n) = \lfloor n/3\rfloorf(n)=⌊n/3⌋ via the fan partition theorem, by induction on nnn with a four-case analysis.
  • 1978: S. Fisk gives the short proof by 3-colouring the vertices of the triangulation (J. Combin. Theory Ser. B 24 (1978) 374); the smallest colour class is a set of at most ⌊n/3⌋\lfloor n/3\rfloor⌊n/3⌋ vertices meeting every triangle.
  • 1987 onwards: J. O'Rourke's monograph Art Gallery Theorems and Algorithms (Oxford University Press, 1987) makes the theorem the starting point of a large literature on guarding problems.

Setting

An nnn-triangulation (p. 39) is a planar graph GGG with nnn vertices such that one face is bounded by an nnn-gon and every other face by a triangle. Its vertices are labelled 0,1,…,n−10, 1, \dots, n-10,1,…,n−1 in their cyclic order around the nnn-gon, and indices are taken mod nnn; the sides of the nnn-gon are the pairs {a,a+1}\{a, a+1\}{a,a+1}. Every other edge of GGG is inner; it is a diagonal {a,b}\{a, b\}{a,b} of the nnn-gon. Two diagonals cross when their endpoints are distinct and alternate around the polygon.

Combinatorially, an nnn-triangulation requires n≥3n\ge 3n≥3 and is the same thing as a set DDD of diagonals that pairwise do not cross and is maximal with this property. Its triangles are the 3-element vertex sets all of whose pairs are edges of GGG; there are n−2n - 2n−2 of them, and they are the bounded faces.

Two triangles are adjacent when they share an edge. A set FFF of triangles is dual-connected when any two of its members are joined by a chain of adjacent members; such an FFF is a sub-polygon of GGG, a kkk-triangulation with k=∣F∣+2k = |F| + 2k=∣F∣+2, whose inner edges are the edges shared by two of its triangles. Following the paper, a kkk-triangulation is a fan if one of its vertices, the centre, meets all k−3k-3k−3 of its inner edges. A partition of GGG into fans is a family of fans, pairwise disjoint as sets of triangles, covering all triangles of GGG. Fans may share vertices and edges.

Formalization targets

Goal: Chvátal's theorem (p. 39)

For every n≥3n \ge 3n≥3 and every nnn-triangulation GGG there is a partition of GGG into mmm fans with

m≤⌊n3⌋.m \le \left\lfloor \frac{n}{3} \right\rfloor .m≤⌊3n​⌋.

Milestones (the claims of the proof, pp. 40–41, in attack order)

  1. Base case. Every nnn-triangulation with 3≤n≤53 \le n \le 53≤n≤5 is a fan.
  2. Least span. For n≥6n \ge 6n≥6, let kkk be the least integer with k≥4k \ge 4k≥4 such that GGG has an inner edge {j,j+k}\{j, j+k\}{j,j+k}. Then k≤6k \le 6k≤6.
  3. The cut. An inner edge {j,j+k}\{j, j+k\}{j,j+k} with 2≤k≤n−22 \le k \le n-22≤k≤n−2 cuts GGG into a (k+1)(k+1)(k+1)-triangulation G1G_1G1​ on j,…,j+kj, \dots, j+kj,…,j+k and an (n−k+1)(n-k+1)(n−k+1)-triangulation G2G_2G2​ on j+k,…,jj+k, \dots, jj+k,…,j, whose triangles together are those of GGG.
  4. The four cases. If 4≤k≤64 \le k \le 64≤k≤6 and every inner edge {a,b}\{a,b\}{a,b} of G1G_1G1​ (relabelled 0,…,k0,\dots,k0,…,k, a<ba<ba<b) has b−a≤3b - a \le 3b−a≤3, then G1G_1G1​ is a fan or one of three explicit configurations (cases (2)–(4) of the paper), up to the mirror image i↦k−ii \mapsto k - ii↦k−i.
  5. Tightness. For every n≥3n \ge 3n≥3 some nnn-triangulation admits no partition into fewer than ⌊n/3⌋\lfloor n/3\rfloor⌊n/3⌋ fans:
∀n≥3 ∃G ∀P:∣P∣≥⌊n/3⌋.\forall n\ge 3\ \exists G\ \forall P:\quad |P| \ge \lfloor n/3\rfloor .∀n≥3 ∃G ∀P:∣P∣≥⌊n/3⌋.

The goal's only constant is the paper's ⌊n/3⌋\lfloor n/3 \rfloor⌊n/3⌋, which milestone 5 shows is best possible.

Significance

The result. The fan partition is a strengthening of the guard bound: the centres of the fans form a set of at most ⌊n/3⌋\lfloor n/3\rfloor⌊n/3⌋ vertices meeting every triangle, but the partition also says that the triangles split into star-shaped pieces, each visible from one vertex. With the existence of triangulations of simple polygons it yields f(n)≤⌊n/3⌋f(n) \le \lfloor n/3 \rfloorf(n)≤⌊n/3⌋, the art gallery theorem; with Figure 1 it gives f(n)=⌊n/3⌋f(n) = \lfloor n/3\rfloorf(n)=⌊n/3⌋.

Formalizing it. The theorem has been proved since 1975, and the platform already has Fisk's consequence: ProofsInTheBook.Chapter36.chapter36 and chapter36_artgallery_combinatorial (Proofs from THE BOOK, Chapter 36) prove that an inductively built family of triangles has a hitting set of at most n/3n/3n/3 vertices, and ProofsInTheBook.PolygonGeometryDischarge.artGallery_strict_of_residue proves a geometric guard bound conditional on two assumed inputs. Neither states the fan partition, which is strictly stronger than a hitting set, and neither uses the cyclic labelling of a triangulated polygon. This mission asks for a machine-checked proof of Chvátal's own theorem and of the claims of his proof, on a reusable encoding of triangulated polygons (cyclic labels, non-crossing diagonals, triangles, cutting along a diagonal) that other results on polygon triangulations can build on.

Difficulty

The induction itself is short on paper; the work is in what the paper calls easy. Cutting GGG along a diagonal and relabelling each piece cyclically must be shown to produce triangulations again, with the triangles split exactly between the two pieces; this is a statement about non-crossing chords that has no counterpart in Mathlib. The case analysis "it is easy to verify that we have one of the following four cases" is an enumeration of all triangulations of a 5-, 6- or 7-gon whose diagonals have span at most 3, and its exhaustiveness (including the mirror images of (2) and (4)) is precisely what the four inductive constructions rely on. The constructions then enlarge one fan of a smaller triangulation, so the induction must be carried out for partitions of arbitrary triangulations, with fans that share edges.

Formalization scope

  • Encoding of "planar graph". Mathlib has no planar embeddings. An nnn-triangulation is encoded as the labelled nnn-cycle on Fin n (vertex iii is the paper's i+1i+1i+1) plus a finset D : Finset (Sym2 (Fin n)) of diagonals that pairwise do not cross and is maximal. Maximality is binding: without it the empty set would "triangulate" every polygon and the goal would hold vacuously.
  • Triangles are the 3-element vertex sets whose pairs are all edges; in a triangulated polygon every 3-cycle bounds an inner face.
  • "Partitioned into fans" means a finset of fans, pairwise disjoint as sets of triangles, covering all triangles. A fan must be nonempty, dual-connected, and have a centre on all of its inner edges (edges shared by two of its triangles). Dropping dual-connectedness would turn the goal into Fisk's hitting-set bound; dropping the centre would let the whole triangulation be one "fan". Both clauses are stated.
  • "[n/3]" is the floor, n / 3 in ℕ. The goal assumes only n≥3n \ge 3n≥3.
  • "The least k≥4k \ge 4k≥4 such that GGG has an edge (j,j+k)(j, j+k)(j,j+k)" is read over inner edges, with the minimality stated explicitly; read over all edges, a side of span n−1n-1n−1 would make the claim trivial for n=6,7n = 6, 7n=6,7.
  • "Cuts GGG into" is stated for every inner edge of span 2≤k≤n−22 \le k \le n-22≤k≤n−2 (the paper's 4≤k≤64 \le k \le 64≤k≤6 is a special case), as the pulled-back diagonal sets being triangulations and the triangles splitting between the pieces.
  • "Mirror image" is the relabelling i↦k−ii \mapsto k - ii↦k−i of G1G_1G1​ (Fin.rev); the four cases are an explicit disjunction on the diagonal set of G1G_1G1​. The minimality of kkk enters as the hypothesis that inner edges of G1G_1G1​ have span at most 3.
  • "Cannot be improved" is stated combinatorially, for the theorem itself; the paper argues it through Figure 1.
  • Not formalized: Klee's function f(n)f(n)f(n), Figure 1's lower bound and the corollary f(n)≤⌊n/3⌋f(n) \le \lfloor n/3\rfloorf(n)≤⌊n/3⌋ (p. 41). They need simple polygons in the plane, their interiors, visibility and the existence of triangulations, none of which is available unconditionally.

All definitions are in one file, ChvatalArtGallery.FanPartition.Triangulation; the triangle and cut machinery is reusable for any result on triangulated polygons. Proofs of the milestones, general lemmas on non-crossing diagonal sets (the count ∣D∣=n−3|D| = n-3∣D∣=n−3, existence of ears, the dual tree), and alternative proofs of the goal are all welcome.

Selected references

  • V. Chvátal, A combinatorial theorem in plane geometry, J. Combin. Theory Ser. B 18 (1975) 39–41. https://doi.org/10.1016/0095-8956(75)90061-1
  • S. Fisk, A short proof of Chvátal's watchman theorem, J. Combin. Theory Ser. B 24 (1978) 374. https://doi.org/10.1016/0095-8956(78)90059-X
  • J. O'Rourke, Art Gallery Theorems and Algorithms, Oxford University Press, 1987. https://www.science.smith.edu/~jorourke/books/ArtGalleryTheorems/
  • M. Aigner, G. M. Ziegler, Proofs from THE BOOK, Springer, Chapter "How to guard a museum". https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-662-57265-8
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Convex OptimizationOperations ResearchOptimization+1·Captain: mikedeng1

Deterministic Equivalents for Optimizing and Satisficing under Chance Constraints 1: Under Normality, the E-Model Chance Constraints Are Equivalent to the Convex Program (29)Research Paper

Motivation

Chance-constrained programming replaces a linear program max⁡c′x\max c'xmaxc′x subject to Ax≤bAx\le bAx≤b by a problem in which some data are random and each constraint only has to hold with a prescribed probability. Charnes and Cooper introduced the idea in 1959 for scheduling heating-oil production against weather-dependent demand, and the formulation is now a standard modelling tool in operations research, finance, energy systems and engineering design (Charnes and Cooper 1959; Prékopa 1995).

A chance-constrained problem is not directly solvable: its constraints are probabilities of events that depend on the decision. The 1963 paper of Charnes and Cooper (doi:10.1287/opre.11.1.18) asks when such a problem has a deterministic equivalent, an ordinary mathematical program with the same feasible decisions and corresponding objective values, and when that equivalent is a convex program. Its first answer, for the expected-value ('E') model under linear decision rules and normality, is the subject of this mission. The resulting constraint form, a mean slack dominating KαK_\alphaKα​ standard deviations, is an early instance of the second-order-cone reformulation of individual normal chance constraints used throughout modern stochastic and robust optimization.

Timeline. 1959: Charnes and Cooper, chance-constrained programming with the heating-oil model. 1963: this paper, deterministic equivalents for the E, V and P models under linear decision rules x=Dbx=Dbx=Db. 1965: Miller and Wagner treat joint chance constraints with independent rows (doi:10.1287/opre.13.6.930). 1971: Prékopa's logarithmically concave measures give convexity of joint chance constraints under log-concave laws.

Setting

Let (Ω,F,P)(\Omega,\mathcal F,P)(Ω,F,P) be a probability space. The data are a constant m×nm\times nm×n matrix AAA with rows a1′,…,am′a_1',\dots,a_m'a1′​,…,am′​, a random right-hand side b:Ω→Rmb:\Omega\to\mathbb R^mb:Ω→Rm and random objective coefficients c:Ω→Rnc:\Omega\to\mathbb R^nc:Ω→Rn. A linear decision rule is an n×mn\times mn×m real matrix DDD; it chooses x=Dbx=Dbx=Db after bbb is observed. Write μb=Eb\mu_b=Ebμb​=Eb, μc=Ec\mu_c=Ecμc​=Ec and b^=b−μb\hat b=b-\mu_bb^=b−μb​.

The E-model (18) is

max⁡ E(c′Db)subject toP(ai′Db≤bi)≥αi(i=1,…,m),\max\ E(c'Db)\quad\text{subject to}\quad P(a_i'Db\le b_i)\ge\alpha_i\qquad(i=1,\dots,m),max E(c′Db)subject toP(ai′​Db≤bi​)≥αi​(i=1,…,m),

with one probability level αi\alpha_iαi​ per row: the constraints are row-wise, as in (3) of the paper, not a single joint constraint.

For 12<α<1\tfrac12<\alpha<121​<α<1 let Kα=Φ−1(α)>0K_\alpha=\Phi^{-1}(\alpha)>0Kα​=Φ−1(α)>0 be the standard normal α\alphaα-quantile. With the moment functions (30),

σi2(D)=E(ai′Db−bi)2,μi(D)=μbi−ai′Dμb,\sigma_i^2(D)=E(a_i'Db-b_i)^2,\qquad \mu_i(D)=\mu_{b_i}-a_i'D\mu_b,σi2​(D)=E(ai′​Db−bi​)2,μi​(D)=μbi​​−ai′​Dμb​,

the paper's deterministic program (29) in the variables (D,v)(D,v)(D,v), v∈Rmv\in\mathbb R^mv∈Rm, is

min⁡ −μc′Dμbs.t.μi(D)−vi≥0,−Kαi2σi2(D)+Kαi2μi2(D)+vi2≥0,vi≥0.\min\ -\mu_c'D\mu_b\quad\text{s.t.}\quad \mu_i(D)-v_i\ge0,\quad -K_{\alpha_i}^2\sigma_i^2(D)+K_{\alpha_i}^2\mu_i^2(D)+v_i^2\ge0,\quad v_i\ge0 .min −μc′​Dμb​s.t.μi​(D)−vi​≥0,−Kαi​2​σi2​(D)+Kαi​2​μi2​(D)+vi2​≥0,vi​≥0.

Formalization targets

Goal: (18) is equivalent to the convex program (29)

Assume every bkb_kbk​ is square integrable, every cjc_jcj​ and cjbkc_jb_kcj​bk​ integrable, bbb and ccc uncorrelated (E(cjbk)=Ecj EbkE(c_jb_k)=E c_j\,E b_kE(cj​bk​)=Ecj​Ebk​), every variate ai′Db−bia_i'Db-b_iai′​Db−bi​ normal (for every DDD and iii, zero variance allowed), and 12<αi<1\tfrac12<\alpha_i<121​<αi​<1. Then

(∀D: D feasible for (18)  ⟺  ∃v, (D,v) feasible for (29)) ∧ (∀D: E(c′Db)=μc′Dμb) ∧ {(D,v) feasible for (29)} is convex.\Big(\forall D:\ D\text{ feasible for (18)}\iff\exists v,\ (D,v)\text{ feasible for (29)}\Big)\ \wedge\ \Big(\forall D:\ E(c'Db)=\mu_c'D\mu_b\Big)\ \wedge\ \{(D,v)\ \text{feasible for (29)}\}\ \text{is convex}.(∀D: D feasible for (18)⟺∃v, (D,v) feasible for (29)) ∧ (∀D: E(c′Db)=μc′​Dμb​) ∧ {(D,v) feasible for (29)} is convex.

Milestones, in the order of the paper

  1. (19a): E(c′Db)=(Ec)′D(Eb)E(c'Db)=(Ec)'D(Eb)E(c′Db)=(Ec)′D(Eb) for uncorrelated bbb, ccc.
  2. (22)–(27): with positive variance, P(ai′Db≤bi)≥αi  ⟺  (−μbi+ai′Dμb)/E[b^i−ai′Db^]2≤−KαiP(a_i'Db\le b_i)\ge\alpha_i\iff(-\mu_{b_i}+a_i'D\mu_b)/\sqrt{E[\hat b_i-a_i'D\hat b]^2}\le-K_{\alpha_i}P(ai′​Db≤bi​)≥αi​⟺(−μbi​​+ai′​Dμb​)/E[b^i​−ai′​Db^]2​≤−Kαi​​.
  3. (28a)–(28b): (27) holds iff some viv_ivi​ satisfies μbi−ai′Dμb≥vi≥KαiE[b^i−ai′Db^]2≥0\mu_{b_i}-a_i'D\mu_b\ge v_i\ge K_{\alpha_i}\sqrt{E[\hat b_i-a_i'D\hat b]^2}\ge0μbi​​−ai′​Dμb​≥vi​≥Kαi​​E[b^i​−ai′​Db^]2​≥0.
  4. (28c)–(28d): for vi≥0v_i\ge0vi​≥0, that pair is equivalent to its squared form.
  5. Footnote ‡ to (30): σi2(D)−μi2(D)=E[b^i−ai′Db^]2\sigma_i^2(D)-\mu_i^2(D)=E[\hat b_i-a_i'D\hat b]^2σi2​(D)−μi2​(D)=E[b^i​−ai′​Db^]2.
  6. The convexity paragraph after (30): the feasible set of (29) is convex in (D,v)(D,v)(D,v).
  7. 'V Model' (32)–(34): under the same normal chance assumptions and square integrability of each cjbkc_jb_kcj​bk​, the chance constraints of (32) are equivalent to (33) for some vvv; the pair feasible set and V(D)=E(c′Db−z0)2V(D)=E(c'Db-z^0)^2V(D)=E(c′Db−z0)2 are convex.

Significance

The result. The theorem turns a problem whose constraints are probabilities into a finite-dimensional convex program whose data are the first two moments of bbb and the means of ccc. The optimal rules of (18) minimize (29), whose optimal value is the negative of the maximum in (18). The slack variables viv_ivi​ separate each constraint into a "quality" part (the mean slack μi(D)\mu_i(D)μi​(D)) and a "risk" part (KαiK_{\alpha_i}Kαi​​ standard deviations), which is the interpretation the paper develops in (31) and its Appendix. The same constraint set serves the V-model (33), so only the objective changes between the two models.

Formalizing it. The result is classical and its proof is elementary, but the paper's argument is informal in ways that matter for a machine-checked version: it divides by a standard deviation it then allows to vanish, writes FiF_iFi​ for what must be an upper-tail function, and labels a variance as σi2(D)\sigma_i^2(D)σi2​(D) while defining σi2(D)\sigma_i^2(D)σi2​(D) as a raw second moment. This mission produces a statement in which each of these points is settled, with every hypothesis explicit. No machine-checked version of the result is known to exist.

Difficulty

The chance-constraint step itself is a one-dimensional fact about the normal law, but three points need care. The variance of ai′Db−bia_i'Db-b_iai′​Db−bi​ may be zero for some DDD and iii; then the law is a point mass, the quotient in (27) is undefined, and the equivalence must be argued separately, as footnote † of p. 28 indicates. The quadratic constraint of (29) alone, vi2≥Kαi2(σi2(D)−μi2(D))v_i^2\ge K_{\alpha_i}^2(\sigma_i^2(D)-\mu_i^2(D))vi2​≥Kαi​2​(σi2​(D)−μi2​(D)), describes both nappes of a hyperboloid and is not convex; convexity needs vi≥0v_i\ge0vi​≥0 and the positive semidefiniteness of D↦Var⁡(ai′Db−bi)D\mapsto\operatorname{Var}(a_i'Db-b_i)D↦Var(ai′​Db−bi​), which comes from square integrability of bbb and not from normality. Finally, the identity relating σi2\sigma_i^2σi2​, μi2\mu_i^2μi2​ and the variance requires the integrals to be genuine, so the integrability hypotheses cannot be dropped.

Formalization scope

Everything is in the namespace ChanceDetEquiv.EModel. The probability space is (Ω, P) with [IsProbabilityMeasure P]; A : Matrix (Fin m) (Fin n) ℝ, b : Ω → Fin m → ℝ, c : Ω → Fin n → ℝ, D : Matrix (Fin n) (Fin m) ℝ; ai′Dba_i'Dbai′​Db is (A *ᵥ (D *ᵥ b ω)) i. Expectations are Bochner integrals and probabilities are P.real. Explicit readings of the paper's phrases:

  • "deterministic equivalent for (18)" is the conjunction of an iff between feasible sets (with the auxiliary vvv existentially quantified) and E(c′Db)=μc′DμbE(c'Db)=\mu_c'D\mu_bE(c′Db)=μc′​Dμb​ for every DDD; (29) minimizes the negative of this mean;
  • "is a convex programming problem" is Convex ℝ of the feasible set of (29) in (D,v)(D,v)(D,v), vi≥0v_i\ge0vi​≥0 included; for the V model it also asserts ConvexOn ℝ of VVV;
  • "normally distributed" is: for every DDD and iii, the law of ai′Db−bia_i'Db-b_iai′​Db−bi​ is gaussianReal μ s for some μ\muμ and s≥0s\ge0s≥0; joint normality of bbb is not assumed, since it would be a stronger hypothesis;
  • "bbb and ccc are uncorrelated" is E(cjbk)=Ecj EbkE(c_jb_k)=E c_j\,E b_kE(cj​bk​)=Ecj​Ebk​ for all j,kj,kj,k;
  • Kα=Φ−1(α)K_\alpha=\Phi^{-1}(\alpha)Kα​=Φ−1(α), using the published definition Cohen2019_Robust_Phi; FiF_iFi​ in (26)–(27) is read as the upper-tail function of ziz_izi​, and αi<1\alpha_i<1αi​<1 is added so that KαiK_{\alpha_i}Kαi​​ is finite;
  • σi2(D)\sigma_i^2(D)σi2​(D) is the raw second moment exactly as printed in (30).

Positive variance is a hypothesis of milestones 2 and 3, where (27) has a denominator. The goal and later milestones admit zero variance. The statements admit no trivializing reading: the normality hypothesis is satisfied by constant and by Gaussian bbb, the integrability hypotheses rule out the junk value 000 of non-integrable expectations, and αi<1\alpha_i<1αi​<1 rules out the junk value of Φ−1(1)\Phi^{-1}(1)Φ−1(1).

A complete development needs: the normal CDF and quantile, the law of an affine image of a random variable, variance as EX2−(EX)2E X^2-(EX)^2EX2−(EX)2 in L2L^2L2, and convexity of the epigraph of a seminorm composed with an affine map. The convexity milestones need no probability beyond L2L^2L2 and are reusable for any second-order-cone representation of individual chance constraints. Proofs of any milestone, and of the goal from the milestones, are welcome.

The related open platform item KallMayer.Chance.chapter2_theorem2_5 (convexity of a single normal chance-feasible set in xxx) is credited here and not restated: no item of this mission states the convexity of the set of DDD feasible for (18). Related published items that are about other models: DRCVRP.RCI.prob_le_iff_valueAtRisk_le (chance constraints and value-at-risk for a general law) and the log-concavity results of NumStochOpt.LogConcave.

Selected references

  • A. Charnes and W. W. Cooper, Deterministic Equivalents for Optimizing and Satisficing under Chance Constraints, Operations Research 11(1), 1963, 18–39. https://doi.org/10.1287/opre.11.1.18
  • A. Charnes and W. W. Cooper, Chance-Constrained Programming, Management Science 6(1), 1959, 73–79. https://doi.org/10.1287/mnsc.6.1.73
  • A. Prékopa, Stochastic Programming, Kluwer, 1995. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-94-017-3087-7
  • P. Kall and J. Mayer, Stochastic Linear Programming, 2nd ed., Springer, 2011. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-1-4419-7729-8
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CombinatoricsGraph TheoryOperations Research·Captain: mikedeng1

On Representatives of Subsets: Two Partitions into m Classes Have a Common System of Representatives When Any k Classes of One Meet at Least k Classes of the OtherResearch Paper

Motivation

Many assignment questions reduce to one combinatorial question: given finitely many sets, can one choose a different element from each? Workers are matched to jobs they are qualified for, rows of a matrix to columns with nonzero entries. The criterion for when this is possible is Hall's marriage theorem, first stated and proved by P. Hall in a five-page note in 1935 (DOI 10.1112/jlms/s1-10.37.26). It underlies bipartite matching, the integrality of the assignment polytope, the Birkhoff–von Neumann theorem on doubly stochastic matrices, and transversal theory in matroids.

Hall's note was written with a second question in view. In 1916 D. König proved, in the language of bipartite graphs, that if a set of mnmnmn things is divided into mmm classes of nnn things in two ways, then one can choose mmm things that represent every class of both divisions at once ("Über Graphen und ihre Anwendungen", Math. Annalen 77 (1916), 453). Van der Waerden (1927) and Sperner (1927) gave the set-theoretic form and a short proof. Hall's contribution was a criterion for a common system of representatives of two divisions in which the classes need not have equal sizes, obtained from the marriage theorem in two short steps.

Setting

Let SSS be any set, finite or infinite, and let

T1,T2,…,Tm(1)T_1, T_2, \dots, T_m \tag{1}T1​,T2​,…,Tm​(1)

be a finite system of subsets of SSS. The sets TiT_iTi​ may be infinite and need not be distinct; when one speaks of kkk of the sets, kkk indices are meant, so a repeated set is counted with multiplicity. A complete set of distinct representatives, or C.D.R., of (1) is a choice of pairwise distinct elements a1,…,ama_1, \dots, a_ma1​,…,am​ of SSS with

ai∈Ti(i=1,…,m).a_i \in T_i \qquad (i = 1, \dots, m).ai​∈Ti​(i=1,…,m).

The system satisfies Hall's condition when any kkk of the sets contain between them at least kkk elements of SSS, for k=1,…,mk = 1, \dots, mk=1,…,m. The meet of all C.D.R.s, written RRR, is the set of elements of SSS that occur as a representative in every C.D.R. of (1).

A division of SSS into classes is a family of pairwise disjoint sets S1,S2,…S_1, S_2, \dotsS1​,S2​,… whose union is SSS. The paper writes A∧BA \wedge BA∧B and A∨BA \vee BA∨B for intersection and union; this mission writes A∩BA \cap BA∩B and A∪BA \cup BA∪B.

In Lean the system is T : ι → Set α over a finite index type, a C.D.R. is an injective a : ι → α with a i ∈ T i (IsCDR), Hall's condition is HallCondition, and the meet of all C.D.R.s is cdrMeet, all in the namespace HallReps.CDR.

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem 3 (pp. 29–30)

Let SSS be divided into mmm classes in two ways, S=S1∪⋯∪Sm=S1′∪⋯∪Sm′S = S_1 \cup \dots \cup S_m = S_1' \cup \dots \cup S_m'S=S1​∪⋯∪Sm​=S1′​∪⋯∪Sm′​, each a division into pairwise disjoint classes. If, for each kkk, any kkk of the classes Sj′S_j'Sj′​ contain between them elements from at least kkk of the classes SiS_iSi​, then for some permutation σ\sigmaσ of {1,…,m}\{1, \dots, m\}{1,…,m} there are elements

ai∈Si∩Sσ(i)′(i=1,…,m).a_i \in S_i \cap S'_{\sigma(i)} \qquad (i = 1, \dots, m).ai​∈Si​∩Sσ(i)′​(i=1,…,m).

The set SSS and the classes may be infinite, and no class is assumed non-empty.

Milestones

  1. Lemma (p. 27). If aaa is a C.D.R. of (1) and RRR is the meet of all C.D.R.s, the sets TiT_iTi​ whose representative aia_iai​ lies in RRR contain between them exactly the elements of RRR, and there are ∣R∣|R|∣R∣ of them.
  2. Induction step, p. 28. With (4) the system T1,…,Tm−1T_1, \dots, T_{m-1}T1​,…,Tm−1​ and R∗R^*R∗ the meet of its C.D.R.s: if Tm⊈R∗T_m \not\subseteq R^*Tm​⊆R∗, then (1) has a C.D.R.
  3. Induction step, p. 29. If (4) has a C.D.R. and Tm⊆R∗T_m \subseteq R^*Tm​⊆R∗, then some ρ+1\rho + 1ρ+1 of the sets, including TmT_mTm​, have union exactly R∗R^*R∗, where ρ=∣R∗∣\rho = |R^*|ρ=∣R∗∣.
  4. Theorem 1 (p. 27). Hall's condition is sufficient for a C.D.R. of (1).
  5. Theorem 2 (p. 29). If SSS is divided into any number of classes and any kkk of the sets TiT_iTi​ contain between them elements from at least kkk classes, there are ai∈Tia_i \in T_iai​∈Ti​ lying in pairwise different classes.

A companion item states König's theorem (§1, p. 26), which the paper deduces from Theorem 3 on p. 30.

Significance

Theorem 3 gives a necessary and sufficient criterion for two partitions of a set into mmm classes to admit a common system of representatives. Necessity is immediate, and the paper proves sufficiency. It contains König's theorem, and through it the statement that a regular bipartite multigraph has a perfect matching, as the case of equal class sizes. Hall remarks that R. Rado's generalization of König's theorem (1933) also follows. Theorem 2, the passage from "distinct elements" to "elements of distinct classes", is the form used for transversals of partitions and is the first instance of what later became the theory of common transversals and matroid intersection.

On the formal side, Hall's theorem for finite sets is in Mathlib as Finset.all_card_le_biUnion_card_iff_existsInjective' (in Mathlib/Combinatorics/Hall/Finite.lean), and the platform already has a proved equivalence for arbitrary sets with a finite index type (YogeshwaranDM.sdr_iff, included in this mission as a reference item) as well as finite bipartite-graph forms. For that reason Theorem 1 is a milestone and not the goal. What this mission adds is Hall's own proof structure, namely the meet of all C.D.R.s and the Lemma about it, which has not been formalized; Theorems 2 and 3 for divisions of a possibly infinite set; and König's theorem in its set-partition form. To our knowledge none of these statements has a machine-checked proof on the platform.

Difficulty

Theorem 3 does not follow from Theorem 1 applied to the classes Sj′S_j'Sj′​ directly. Theorem 1 produces distinct elements, but the conclusion needs elements in distinct classes SiS_iSi​, and two distinct elements of Sj′S_j'Sj′​ may lie in the same SiS_iSi​. The paper's route goes through Theorem 2, which allows any number of classes. That route needs Theorem 1 for systems whose sets can be infinite, because a single TiT_iTi​ may meet infinitely many classes, so the finite-set version of Hall's theorem in Mathlib is not enough on its own. In Hall's own proof of Theorem 1, the work lies in the Lemma. It is an exchange statement about all C.D.R.s at once, whose object RRR is defined by a universal quantifier over C.D.R.s, and it must be established over an arbitrary finite index type with possibly infinite sets.

Formalization scope

  • The ground set is a type α, with no finiteness or decidability assumed. The system (1) is T : ι → Set α with [Finite ι] (or Fin (m + 1) in the two induction steps, where the paper's mmm is the Lean m + 1, its last set is T (Fin.last m), and (4) is fun i : Fin m => T i.castSucc).
  • Cardinalities of unions of the TiT_iTi​ are Set.encard in ℕ∞, so an infinite union counts as infinite. Set.ncard is used only for subsets of Fin m, for the finite set R∗R^*R∗ (with its finiteness stated), and in König's theorem.
  • "kkk of the sets" is a Finset ι of indices, so repeated sets count with multiplicity.
  • Divisions into classes are class maps: cls : α → κ in Theorem 2, with κ arbitrary, and p q : α → Fin m in Theorem 3 and König's theorem. A class map makes the classes cover SSS and be pairwise disjoint by construction. Empty classes are allowed.
  • In Theorem 3 the permutation is existential and chosen together with the representatives. ai∈Si∩Sσ(i)′a_i \in S_i \cap S'_{\sigma(i)}ai​∈Si​∩Sσ(i)′​ is p (a i) = i ∧ q (a i) = σ i.
  • Added or dropped hypotheses: the Lemma assumes a C.D.R. exists, as the page does (without one, cdrMeet is all of α). The first induction step omits the page's C.D.R. of (4), because its hypothesis already implies one. König's theorem adds 0<n0 < n0<n, which the page presumes and without which the statement is false.
  • The trivializing formalizations are ruled out. Typing the TiT_iTi​ as Finset α would reduce Theorem 1 to Mathlib and lose the page's "It is not necessary that the sets TiT_iTi​ shall be finite". Measuring unions by ncard would make Hall's condition fail exactly when a union is infinite. An infinite index type would make Theorem 1 and the Lemma false. None of these is used.
  • Useful contributions include proofs of the Lemma and of the induction steps, a proof of Theorem 1 either from them or from Mathlib's Hall theorem via a reduction to finite sets, and the reductions Theorem 1 → Theorem 2 → Theorem 3 → König.

Selected references

  • P. Hall, On representatives of subsets, J. London Math. Soc. 10 (1935), 26–30. https://doi.org/10.1112/jlms/s1-10.37.26
  • D. König, Über Graphen und ihre Anwendungen auf Determinantentheorie und Mengenlehre, Math. Annalen 77 (1916), 453–465. https://doi.org/10.1007/BF01456961
  • B. L. van der Waerden, Ein Satz über Klasseneinteilungen von endlichen Mengen, Abh. Math. Sem. Hamburg 5 (1927), 185–188. https://doi.org/10.1007/BF02952519
  • R. Rado, Bemerkungen zur Kombinatorik im Anschluss an Untersuchungen von Herrn D. König, Sitzungsber. Berliner Math. Ges. 32 (1933), 60–75.
  • Mathlib, Mathlib/Combinatorics/Hall/Finite.lean and Mathlib/Combinatorics/Hall/Basic.lean. https://github.com/leanprover-community/mathlib4
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CombinatoricsOperations ResearchOptimization·Captain: mikedeng1

Optimization and Approximation in Deterministic Sequencing and Scheduling: A Survey 2: The Optimal Preemptive Open Shop Makespan Equals the Largest Machine Load or Job LengthResearch Paper

Motivation

Open shops model production and service systems in which every job must visit every machine, but the order of the visits is free: a car that needs an inspection, a wash and a tyre change, a patient who needs several tests, a student who sits several exams. The survey of Graham, Lawler, Lenstra and Rinnooy Kan (Ann. Discrete Math. 5, 1979) fixed the three-field notation α∣β∣γ\alpha|\beta|\gammaα∣β∣γ that the scheduling literature still uses, and classified the complexity of the problems it can express. Among the polynomially solvable cases, the preemptive open shop with makespan objective, O∣pmtn∣Cmax⁡O|pmtn|C_{\max}O∣pmtn∣Cmax​, is one of the few multi-machine problems whose optimal value has a closed form for any number of machines and jobs.

Timeline.

  • 1976: Gonzalez and Sahni (J. ACM 23) prove that the optimal preemptive open-shop makespan is the largest machine load or job length, and give a polynomial algorithm. In the same paper they solve O2∥Cmax⁡O2\|C_{\max}O2∥Cmax​ in linear time and show O3∥Cmax⁡O3\|C_{\max}O3∥Cmax​ NP-hard.
  • 1978: Lawler and Labetoulle (J. ACM 25) give a linear-programming treatment of preemptive scheduling on unrelated machines and reformulate the open-shop construction in terms of decrementing sets, found by an assignment problem through the Birkhoff–von Neumann theorem.
  • 1979: the survey (§5.2.2, p. 313) presents this construction as the standard argument and records the O(r+min⁡{m4,n4,r2})O(r+\min\{m^4,n^4,r^2\})O(r+min{m4,n4,r2}) bound of Gonzalez (1976), where rrr is the number of nonzero processing times.

Setting

There are mmm machines M1,…,MmM_1,\dots,M_mM1​,…,Mm​ and nnn jobs J1,…,JnJ_1,\dots,J_nJ1​,…,Jn​. Job JjJ_jJj​ consists of operations O1j,…,OmjO_{1j},\dots,O_{mj}O1j​,…,Omj​; operation OijO_{ij}Oij​ must be processed on machine MiM_iMi​ for pij≥0p_{ij}\ge 0pij​≥0 time units. The processing-time matrix is P=(pij)P=(p_{ij})P=(pij​): its rows are machines and its columns are jobs. Every job is available at time 000.

Preemption is allowed: an operation may be interrupted and resumed later. A schedule is a finite list of pieces (i,j,s,e)(i,j,s,e)(i,j,s,e), each meaning that MiM_iMi​ processes JjJ_jJj​ during [s,e)[s,e)[s,e). A schedule is feasible if

  1. every piece satisfies 0≤s≤e0\le s\le e0≤s≤e;
  2. each machine processes at most one job at a time, and each job is processed on at most one machine at a time: two pieces that share a machine or a job do not overlap;
  3. for every pair (i,j)(i,j)(i,j) the pieces of OijO_{ij}Oij​ have total length exactly pijp_{ij}pij​.

The makespan Cmax⁡C_{\max}Cmax​ is the time at which the last piece ends, and Cmax⁡∗C^*_{\max}Cmax∗​ is its minimum over feasible schedules. The load of machine MiM_iMi​ is the row sum ∑jpij\sum_j p_{ij}∑j​pij​, the length of job JjJ_jJj​ is the column sum ∑ipij\sum_i p_{ij}∑i​pij​, and

C=max⁡{max⁡j∑ipij, max⁡i∑jpij}.C=\max\Big\{\max_j \sum_i p_{ij},\ \max_i \sum_j p_{ij}\Big\}.C=max{jmax​i∑​pij​, imax​j∑​pij​}.

A row or column is tight if its sum equals CCC and slack otherwise. A decrementing set is a set SSS of strictly positive entries of PPP with exactly one element in each tight row and each tight column and at most one in each slack row and each slack column.

Formalization targets

Goal: Cmax⁡∗=CC^*_{\max}=CCmax∗​=C

For every T≥0T\ge 0T≥0,

(∃ feasible schedule with Cmax⁡≤T)  ⟺  (∑jpij≤T ∀i  and  ∑ipij≤T ∀j).\big(\exists \text{ feasible schedule with } C_{\max}\le T\big)\iff \Big(\sum_j p_{ij}\le T\ \forall i\ \text{ and }\ \sum_i p_{ij}\le T\ \forall j\Big).(∃ feasible schedule with Cmax​≤T)⟺(j∑​pij​≤T ∀i  and  i∑​pij​≤T ∀j).

This says that the optimal makespan is exactly the largest machine load or job length, and that it is attained.

Milestones (all from §5.2.2, p. 313)

  1. Lower bound Cmax⁡∗≥CC^*_{\max}\ge CCmax∗​≥C.
  2. Existence of a decrementing set for every nonzero nonnegative PPP.
  3. Positive step: for a decrementing set, the largest δ\deltaδ satisfying the constraints (1)–(3) of the survey exists and is positive.
  4. Step property: after replacing each pij∈Sp_{ij}\in Spij​∈S by max⁡{0,pij−δ}\max\{0,p_{ij}-\delta\}max{0,pij​−δ}, the largest line sum is exactly C−δC-\deltaC−δ.
  5. Partial schedule: for each pij∈Sp_{ij}\in Spij​∈S, MiM_iMi​ processes JjJ_jJj​ for min⁡{pij,δ}\min\{p_{ij},\delta\}min{pij​,δ} time units, with no machine or job used twice.
  6. Termination: every run of the procedure reaches P′=(0)P'=(0)P′=(0) within a bounded number of stages.
  7. Joining: the concatenated partial schedules form a feasible schedule with Cmax⁡≤CC_{\max}\le CCmax​≤C.

Significance

The result. The theorem turns an optimization over continuous-time schedules into the computation of m+nm+nm+n sums. It certifies optimality by a counting argument, it is the base case for preemptive open shops with release dates and due dates, and it is used elsewhere in the survey (§4.4.6) to reduce problems on unrelated machines with preemption to open-shop instances. Because a nonnegative matrix whose row and column sums are all equal is a multiple of a doubly stochastic matrix, the theorem is a scheduling form of the Birkhoff–von Neumann decomposition. It also underlies timetabling and edge-colouring results for bipartite multigraphs.

Formalizing it. The theorem has been proved since 1976 and is textbook material. No machine-checked proof is known to exist: Mathlib has the Birkhoff–von Neumann theorem for doubly stochastic matrices but no model of open-shop schedules. A formalization adds a reusable model of preemptive multi-machine schedules with both disjointness requirements, a checked proof of the decrementing-set construction, and a termination argument the survey asserts without proof.

Difficulty

The lower bound is a one-line counting argument. The difficulty is the construction of a schedule of length exactly CCC. Scheduling each machine's operations back to back gives length max⁡i∑jpij\max_i\sum_j p_{ij}maxi​∑j​pij​, but may run one job on two machines at once. Scheduling job by job has the symmetric defect. A greedy list schedule that only respects both constraints can leave machines idle and overshoot CCC. The construction must keep every tight line busy at every moment while never letting a slack line fall behind. The existence of the decrementing set at each stage is the combinatorial core: it is a Hall-type matching condition, not a local choice. Termination is also not automatic, because a careless choice of step length can produce infinitely many shrinking steps.

Formalization scope

All objects live in the namespace SchedSurvey.OPmtn. Machines and jobs are Fin m and Fin n, both 0-based, and processing times and piece endpoints are real numbers; integer data are a special case. A schedule is a List of pieces. Feasibility requires nonnegative start times, disjointness for pieces sharing a machine or a job (touching intervals allowed), and exactly pijp_{ij}pij​ units of processing for every pair (i,j)(i,j)(i,j). Every theorem assumes pij≥0p_{ij}\ge 0pij​≥0.

"CCC is the maximum" is the predicate IsMaxLoad P C: all line sums are at most CCC and one equals CCC. The goal is stated in threshold form and mentions no maximum at all. The display defining CCC on p. 313 prints max⁡i{∑ipij}\max_i\{\sum_i p_{ij}\}maxi​{∑i​pij​} for the second term; the following sentence shows it means the row sums ∑jpij\sum_j p_{ij}∑j​pij​, and the formalization uses those. The hypothesis T≥0T\ge 0T≥0 matters only for P=0P=0P=0, where the empty schedule finishes by every TTT.

A trivializing formalization is ruled out: the goal mentions neither decrementing sets nor δ\deltaδ. Its "if" direction asserts that a schedule exists. Feasibility counts work per pair (machine, job), not per job, and forbids a job from running on two machines at once. Without either requirement the statement would be a different and easier theorem.

A complete development needs: list sums of interval lengths over disjoint intervals, the existence of decrementing sets (via Birkhoff–von Neumann, König's theorem or Hall's theorem on the bipartite graph of positive entries), the step and termination lemmas, and concatenation of schedules. The schedule model and the decrementing-set lemma are reusable for other preemptive shop problems. Contributions of alternative proofs of any milestone, for example a direct Hall-theorem proof of the existence of decrementing sets, are welcome.

Selected references

  • R. L. Graham, E. L. Lawler, J. K. Lenstra, A. H. G. Rinnooy Kan, Optimization and approximation in deterministic sequencing and scheduling: a survey, Annals of Discrete Mathematics 5 (1979) 287–326. https://doi.org/10.1016/S0167-5060(08)70356-X
  • T. Gonzalez, S. Sahni, Open shop scheduling to minimize finish time, Journal of the ACM 23 (1976) 665–679. https://doi.org/10.1145/321978.321985
  • E. L. Lawler, J. Labetoulle, On preemptive scheduling of unrelated parallel processors by linear programming, Journal of the ACM 25 (1978) 612–619. https://doi.org/10.1145/322077.322090
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CombinatoricsOperations ResearchOptimization·Captain: mikedeng1

Optimization and Approximation in Deterministic Sequencing and Scheduling: A Survey 1: The Optimal Two-Machine Open Shop Makespan Is max{T₁, T₂, maxⱼ(aⱼ + bⱼ)}Research Paper

Motivation

Shop scheduling asks how to sequence jobs that each need processing on several machines. In an open shop, a job's operations may be executed in any order, as in testing stations, repair bays, or classroom and examination timetables, where the order in which a candidate visits the stations is irrelevant. The objective studied here is the makespan Cmax⁡C_{\max}Cmax​, the time at which the last operation finishes.

The survey of Graham, Lawler, Lenstra and Rinnooy Kan (Ann. Discrete Math. 5, 1979) introduced the three-field notation α∣β∣γ\alpha|\beta|\gammaα∣β∣γ that the scheduling literature still uses, and classified the complexity of the problems it names. For the open shop, its §5.2.1 presents a simplified exposition of the result of Gonzalez and Sahni (J. ACM 23, 1976): with two machines and no preemption, the obvious lower bound on the makespan is always achieved. The same page records that the three-machine case O3∥Cmax⁡O3\|C_{\max}O3∥Cmax​ is binary NP-hard, so two machines is exactly where the problem is easy.

Timeline. Gonzalez and Sahni (1976) gave the linear-time algorithm for O2∥Cmax⁡O2\|C_{\max}O2∥Cmax​, proved NP-hardness for O3∥Cmax⁡O3\|C_{\max}O3∥Cmax​, and gave a polynomial algorithm for the preemptive problem O∣pmtn∣Cmax⁡O|pmtn|C_{\max}O∣pmtn∣Cmax​. Graham et al. (1979, §5.2.1) gave the shorter construction formalized here, and observed (§5.2.2) that it implies preemption brings no advantage for m=2m = 2m=2. Lenstra (cited as forthcoming in the survey) showed O2∣rj∣Cmax⁡O2|r_j|C_{\max}O2∣rj​∣Cmax​, O2∣tree∣Cmax⁡O2|tree|C_{\max}O2∣tree∣Cmax​ and O∥Cmax⁡O\|C_{\max}O∥Cmax​ unary NP-hard.

Setting

There are nnn jobs J1,…,JnJ_1, \dots, J_nJ1​,…,Jn​ and two machines M1M_1M1​, M2M_2M2​. Job JjJ_jJj​ has an operation on M1M_1M1​ of length aj≥0a_j \ge 0aj​≥0 and an operation on M2M_2M2​ of length bj≥0b_j \ge 0bj​≥0. There is no preemption, and every job is available at time 000. A schedule assigns start times s1(j)s_1(j)s1​(j) and s2(j)s_2(j)s2​(j) to the two operations of JjJ_jJj​, which then occupy [s1(j),s1(j)+aj)[s_1(j), s_1(j)+a_j)[s1​(j),s1​(j)+aj​) on M1M_1M1​ and [s2(j),s2(j)+bj)[s_2(j), s_2(j)+b_j)[s2​(j),s2​(j)+bj​) on M2M_2M2​.

A schedule is feasible if

  1. all start times are nonnegative;
  2. each machine processes at most one job at a time: the intervals of distinct jobs on the same machine do not overlap;
  3. each job is processed on at most one machine at a time: the two intervals of the same job do not overlap, in either order.

Write T1=∑jajT_1 = \sum_j a_jT1​=∑j​aj​ and T2=∑jbjT_2 = \sum_j b_jT2​=∑j​bj​ for the two machine loads. The survey's construction uses the sets

A={Jj∣aj≥bj},B={Jj∣aj<bj},A = \{J_j \mid a_j \ge b_j\}, \qquad B = \{J_j \mid a_j < b_j\},A={Jj​∣aj​≥bj​},B={Jj​∣aj​<bj​},

two distinct jobs JrJ_rJr​, JlJ_lJl​ with ar≥max⁡Jj∈Abja_r \ge \max_{J_j \in A} b_jar​≥maxJj​∈A​bj​ and bl≥max⁡Jj∈Bajb_l \ge \max_{J_j \in B} a_jbl​≥maxJj​∈B​aj​, and A′=A−{Jr,Jl}A' = A - \{J_r, J_l\}A′=A−{Jr​,Jl​}, B′=B−{Jr,Jl}B' = B - \{J_r, J_l\}B′=B−{Jr​,Jl​}.

Formalization targets

Goal: the optimal makespan

Cmax⁡∗=max⁡{T1, T2, max⁡j (aj+bj)},C^*_{\max} = \max\Big\{T_1,\ T_2,\ \max_j\,(a_j + b_j)\Big\},Cmax∗​=max{T1​, T2​, jmax​(aj​+bj​)},

and the optimum is attained. Formally, for every T≥0T \ge 0T≥0: a feasible schedule completing every operation by TTT exists if and only if T1≤TT_1 \le TT1​≤T, T2≤TT_2 \le TT2​≤T and aj+bj≤Ta_j + b_j \le Taj​+bj​≤T for all jjj. The goal mentions neither AAA, BBB, JrJ_rJr​, JlJ_lJl​ nor the case analysis; those are the milestones.

Milestones (in the order of the argument)

  1. Two distinct jobs JrJ_rJr​, JlJ_lJl​ with the required bounds exist when n≥2n \ge 2n≥2.
  2. Fig. 5.1: the blocks B′∪{Jl}B' \cup \{J_l\}B′∪{Jl​} and A′∪{Jr}A' \cup \{J_r\}A′∪{Jr​}, with A′A'A′ and B′B'B′ in arbitrary order, have feasible staircase schedules without idle time.
  3. Fig. 5.2: if T1−al≥T2−brT_1 - a_l \ge T_2 - b_rT1​−al​≥T2​−br​, the blocks combine into a feasible schedule of all jobs ending by T1+brT_1 + b_rT1​+br​.
  4. Case (1): if moreover ar≤T2−bra_r \le T_2 - b_rar​≤T2​−br​, some feasible schedule has length at most max⁡{T1,T2}\max\{T_1, T_2\}max{T1​,T2​}.
  5. Case (2): if moreover ar>T2−bra_r > T_2 - b_rar​>T2​−br​, some feasible schedule has length at most max⁡{T1,ar+br}\max\{T_1, a_r + b_r\}max{T1​,ar​+br​}.
  6. The symmetric case T1−al<T2−brT_1 - a_l < T_2 - b_rT1​−al​<T2​−br​: some feasible schedule has length at most max⁡{T1,T2,al+bl}\max\{T_1, T_2, a_l + b_l\}max{T1​,T2​,al​+bl​}.
  7. The lower bound: every feasible schedule has Cmax⁡≥max⁡{T1,T2,max⁡j(aj+bj)}C_{\max} \ge \max\{T_1, T_2, \max_j(a_j + b_j)\}Cmax​≥max{T1​,T2​,maxj​(aj​+bj​)}.

Significance

The result. The theorem gives a closed form for the optimal makespan of a two-machine open shop, together with a linear-time construction of an optimal schedule. The survey uses it immediately: since the bound is also a lower bound for preemptive schedules, O2∣pmtn∣Cmax⁡O2|pmtn|C_{\max}O2∣pmtn∣Cmax​ is solved by the same schedules, so preemption gives no advantage on two machines (§5.2.2). It is the standard example of a shop problem whose trivial lower bound is tight, and the contrast with the binary NP-hard O3∥Cmax⁡O3\|C_{\max}O3∥Cmax​ marks the complexity boundary for nonpreemptive open shops.

Formalizing it. The result is classical and proved on paper; no machine-checked proof is known to exist on this platform. The mission produces a reusable model of nonpreemptive two-machine open-shop schedules with real processing times, a verified lower bound, and a verified constructive argument. Unlike many existence-of-schedule results, the survey's construction is explicit (orders and start times), so it can be formalized directly rather than through an abstract existence argument.

Difficulty

The lower bound is the easy half. The difficulty is the construction: a schedule must meet the bound simultaneously on both machines and for every job. The natural first idea, running every job on M1M_1M1​ then M2M_2M2​ in some order (a flow-shop schedule), fails: Johnson's rule then gives a makespan that can exceed max⁡{T1,T2,max⁡j(aj+bj)}\max\{T_1, T_2, \max_j(a_j+b_j)\}max{T1​,T2​,maxj​(aj​+bj​)}, because the open shop needs some job to visit M2M_2M2​ first. The survey's construction moves exactly one job, JrJ_rJr​, to the front of M2M_2M2​, and its correctness depends on the choice of JrJ_rJr​ and JlJ_lJl​ and on the case split on T1−alT_1 - a_lT1​−al​ versus T2−brT_2 - b_rT2​−br​. Figures 5.3 and 5.4 are drawn for T1≥T2T_1 \ge T_2T1​≥T2​; in the other subcases the start times shown in the figures need adjustment, and the formal statements of the cases assert lengths rather than the figures' exact start times.

Formalization scope

All declarations live in the namespace SchedSurvey.O2. Jobs are Fin n, 0-based (JjJ_jJj​ is index j−1j-1j−1). Processing times and start times are real numbers with aj,bj≥0a_j, b_j \ge 0aj​,bj​≥0; the survey's integer data are a special case, and every claim of §5.2.1 holds over the reals. A schedule is a pair of start-time functions s₁ s₂ : Fin n → ℝ. Interval non-overlap is s + p ≤ s' ∨ s' + p' ≤ s, so touching intervals are allowed and a zero-length operation occupies nothing. Feasibility (IsFeasible) contains both disjointness constraints of §2.1, the machine constraint and the job constraint, with the two operations of a job in either order. The job constraint is essential: without it the optimum would be max⁡{T1,T2}\max\{T_1, T_2\}max{T1​,T2​} and the goal false.

"Length at most LLL" is CompletesBy a b S L: every operation ends by LLL. Optimality is stated in threshold form, which avoids taking a supremum or infimum over a possibly empty set and is equivalent to "Cmax⁡∗C^*_{\max}Cmax∗​ equals the maximum and is attained". A maximum over AAA or BBB appears as a bound on every member, which is also correct for empty AAA or BBB. The orders of A′A'A′ and B′B'B′ are duplicate-free lists whose members are exactly those sets; back-to-back start times are given by contigStart.

The milestone on the choice of JrJ_rJr​, JlJ_lJl​ assumes n≥2n \ge 2n≥2, which the page presupposes; the goal does not, and covers n≤1n \le 1n≤1 as well. The lower bound assumes T≥0T \ge 0T≥0, which matters only for n=0n = 0n=0.

A trivializing formalization is ruled out: feasibility includes both disjointness constraints and nonnegative start times, the threshold is quantified over all T≥0T \ge 0T≥0, and no constant is fixed.

Contributions welcome: proofs of the lower bound (a sum of disjoint intervals inside [0,T][0, T][0,T]), of the list-based block lemmas, of the case lemmas, and of the goal from them. The interval and back-to-back-schedule lemmas are reusable for other shop problems.

Selected references

  • R.L. Graham, E.L. Lawler, J.K. Lenstra, A.H.G. Rinnooy Kan, Optimization and approximation in deterministic sequencing and scheduling: a survey, Annals of Discrete Mathematics 5 (1979) 287–326. https://doi.org/10.1016/S0167-5060(08)70356-X
  • T. Gonzalez, S. Sahni, Open shop scheduling to minimize finish time, Journal of the ACM 23(4) (1976) 665–679. https://doi.org/10.1145/321978.321985
  • S.M. Johnson, Optimal two- and three-stage production schedules with setup times included, Naval Research Logistics Quarterly 1 (1954) 61–68. https://doi.org/10.1002/nav.3800010110
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Operations ResearchStochastic Systems·Captain: mikedeng1

Extensions of the Queueing Relations L = λW and H = λG: Under (14) and (15) the Time Average H(t) Converges if and only if the Customer Average G(s) Does, and Then H = λGResearch Paper

Motivation

Queueing results often relate an average accumulated over customers to an average accumulated over time. In the familiar relation L=λWL=\lambda WL=λW, the long-run average number in a system equals the arrival rate times the average time spent there. Glynn and Whitt study a broader relation, H=λGH=\lambda GH=λG, that can represent queue lengths and waiting times but also costs, work, and other cumulative inputs. Their framework is deterministic: a stochastic model may supply a sample path, yet the central comparison is a statement about functions on that path. This lets the same theorem apply to different queueing models without choosing a probability law for each one. Glynn and Whitt (1989)

The paper asks for more than the usual forward implication from a customer average to a time average. Its main theorem identifies conditions under which either average has a finite limit exactly when the other does. It also compares lim inf and lim sup when ordinary limits fail to exist. Both questions matter when sample paths fluctuate: convergence of one average cannot simply be inferred from a visual similarity between the two ways of indexing the input. Glynn and Whitt (1989), §§1–2

Setting

A cumulative input is a real-valued function F(s,t)F(s,t)F(s,t) on [0,∞)×[0,∞)[0,\infty)\times[0,\infty)[0,∞)×[0,∞), nondecreasing separately in the customer coordinate sss and the time coordinate ttt. Its marginal limits F(s,∞)F(s,\infty)F(s,∞) and F(∞,t)F(\infty,t)F(∞,t) are finite for every fixed argument. The first counts all eventual input associated with customers through index sss; the second counts all input accumulated through time ttt. The marginal averages are

G(s)=F(s,∞)s,H(t)=F(∞,t)t.G(s)=\frac{F(s,\infty)}{s},\qquad H(t)=\frac{F(\infty,t)}{t}.G(s)=sF(s,∞)​,H(t)=tF(∞,t)​.

The paper permits cumulative inputs that are not distribution functions of measures on rectangles. In particular, it does not require a rectangle-increment inequality or nonnegative values of FFF. The finite marginal limits and monotonicity are the actual assumptions of its general framework. Glynn and Whitt (1989), p. 635, (1)

A time change Ti(s)T_i(s)Ti​(s), for i=1,2i=1,2i=1,2, is finite, nonnegative, nondecreasing, and right-continuous, and tends to infinity with sss. Its right-continuous inverse is Si(t)=inf⁡{s≥0:Ti(s)>t}S_i(t)=\inf\{s\geq0:T_i(s)>t\}Si​(t)=inf{s≥0:Ti​(s)>t}. The two time changes may differ. Both have the same asymptotic rate Ti(s)/s→λ−1T_i(s)/s\to\lambda^{-1}Ti​(s)/s→λ−1 for a positive finite λ\lambdaλ. The paper's two approximation conditions are

F(s,T1(s−))−F(∞,T1(s−))s⟶0(14),F(s,∞)−F(s,T2(s))s⟶0(15),\frac{F(s,T_1(s-))-F(\infty,T_1(s-))}{s}\longrightarrow0 \quad(14), \qquad \frac{F(s,\infty)-F(s,T_2(s))}{s}\longrightarrow0 \quad(15),sF(s,T1​(s−))−F(∞,T1​(s−))​⟶0(14),sF(s,∞)−F(s,T2​(s))​⟶0(15),

as s→∞s\to\inftys→∞, where T1(s−)T_1(s-)T1​(s−) is the left limit. Condition (14) concerns input already present by a left-limit time; condition (15) concerns input not yet present by a right-limit time. Glynn and Whitt (1989), p. 638, (3), (14)–(15)

Formalization targets

One-sided asymptotic bounds

With only (14) and the rate for T1T_1T1​, the corrected upper bounds are

lim inf⁡H≤lim inf⁡λG,lim sup⁡H≤lim sup⁡λG.\liminf H\leq\liminf \lambda G,\qquad \limsup H\leq\limsup \lambda G.liminfH≤liminfλG,limsupH≤limsupλG.

With only (15) and the rate for T2T_2T2​, the corrected lower bounds reverse both inequalities. The two bounds remain useful separately when only one approximation condition holds. Their lim inf and lim sup may be infinite. Glynn and Whitt (1989), p. 639, Theorem 1(a)–(b) and Remark 2

Equality of asymptotic bounds and finite limits

Under both conditions, Theorem 1(c) asserts equality of the respective lim inf and lim sup. The mission goal is Theorem 1(f): for finite real limits,

H(t)→h⟺G(s)→g,and whenever these limits exist, h=λg.H(t)\to h\quad\Longleftrightarrow\quad G(s)\to g, \qquad\text{and whenever these limits exist, }h=\lambda g.H(t)→h⟺G(s)→g,and whenever these limits exist, h=λg.

Here the equivalence means existence of finite limits, with the second clause identifying their values. The lim inf and lim sup statement is retained as a milestone because it also covers nonconvergent paths. Glynn and Whitt (1989), p. 639, Theorem 1(c), (f)

Significance

The goal gives a two-way transfer between customer-indexed and time-indexed long-run averages. If an application establishes one finite average, the theorem supplies the other and fixes its value. The one-sided milestones give meaningful bounds when only one approximation condition is available; the lim inf and lim sup milestone retains information when neither average converges. These outcomes are stated for a general cumulative input, so applications can supply their own FFF, T1T_1T1​, and T2T_2T2​ without changing the theorem. Glynn and Whitt (1989), §§2–4

The paper proves these results on paper. The formalization target is a machine-checked interface for the paper's deterministic framework, its inversion lemmas, its asymptotic inequalities, and the two-way limit theorem. At this drafting stage the Lean theorem statements compile with proof placeholders; no machine-checked proofs of these new statements are claimed. The definitions and inverse-rate lemma can be reused in other sample-path results.

Difficulty

The two marginal averages examine different slices of FFF, and a time change may jump or have flat intervals. A direct substitution of t=Ti(s)t=T_i(s)t=Ti​(s) does not give an equality between F(s,∞)F(s,\infty)F(s,∞) and F(∞,t)F(\infty,t)F(∞,t) under the paper's assumptions. The left limit in (14) and the value in (15) also behave differently at jumps. The inverse SiS_iSi​ connects the coordinates, but its boundary behavior and rate must be handled before comparing the averages. These issues are present even without stochastic randomness. Glynn and Whitt (1989), pp. 638–639

Formalization scope

Lean represents s,ts,ts,t by nonnegative real numbers and FFF by a real-valued function with separate monotonicity and bounded marginal ranges. Real suprema represent F(s,∞)F(s,\infty)F(s,∞) and F(∞,t)F(\infty,t)F(∞,t); the boundedness fields ensure those suprema are the paper's finite limits. The inverse is an infimum of a nonempty set because Ti→∞T_i\to\inftyTi​→∞. The left limit is the supremum over earlier nonnegative arguments, with T(0−)=0T(0-)=0T(0−)=0. Ratios at zero use Lean's total division convention, but every ratio assertion is asymptotic at infinity.

Lim inf and lim sup are taken in the extended reals so an unbounded average retains an infinite limit. Multiplication by λ\lambdaλ happens in the reals before conversion. Ordinary limits in Theorem 1(f) are finite real limits. The two time changes are independent and share only the positive rate λ\lambdaλ. The goal assumes only (14), (15), and the stated time-change rates; it does not assume its own inverse-rate or asymptotic conclusions. No nonnegativity or rectangle inequality is imposed on FFF.

Theorem 1(a) and (b) have their hypothesis pairing reversed in print. The formalized one-sided bounds use the corrected pairing, and the milestone text preserves the printed source for audit. The intermediate expressions involving G(Si(t))G(S_i(t))G(Si​(t)) are excluded from the corrected statements because the framework does not assume customer-coordinate right continuity. Theorem 1(c) and (f) use both conditions and are true as printed. The scope includes the definitions, Lemmas 1–2, corrected parts (a)–(b), and parts (c) and (f). Contributions toward their proofs and reusable time-change lemmas are welcome. Glynn and Whitt (1989), p. 639, Theorem 1

Selected references

  • P. W. Glynn and W. Whitt, Extensions of the Queueing Relations L = λW and H = λG, Operations Research 37(4):634–644, 1989. DOI: 10.1287/opre.37.4.634
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Linear OptimizationOperations ResearchOptimization·Captain: mikedeng1

On the Relation Between Integer and Noninteger Solutions to Linear Programs: Deep in the Optimal-Basis Cone, z₂(b) = z₁(b) + φ(b) and the Group Problem Gives an Integer OptimumResearch Paper

Motivation

An integer program is a linear program whose variables must take integer values. Its linear relaxation can be solved efficiently, while the integer program itself is NP-hard in general, so a recurring question in integer programming is how much the optimal solution of the relaxation says about the integer optimum. Simple rounding of the fractional optimum does not answer it: examples show that the integer optimum need not lie within distance one of the LP optimum, even when the right-hand side is large.

R. E. Gomory's 1965 note in the Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences (doi:10.1073/pnas.53.2.260) showed that, for right-hand sides lying deep inside the cone of an optimal LP basis, the integer program is solved exactly by the LP solution plus a correction computed in a finite abelian group. The resulting group relaxation (the "corner polyhedron" of Gomory's later work, Gomory 1969) underlies a large body of work on cutting planes, the master group problem, Gomory–Johnson functions and asymptotic integer programming.

Timeline. Gomory's fractional cutting-plane algorithm (Gomory 1958) introduced the "fractional rows" of the simplex tableau; the 1965 note identifies the group they generate with M(I)/M(B)M(I)/M(B)M(I)/M(B) and proves the asymptotic theorem formalized here. Gomory 1969 develops the corner polyhedron; Gomory and Johnson (1972) study the continuous valid functions of the corner polyhedron.

Setting

Let AAA be an integer m×(m+n)m\times(m+n)m×(m+n) matrix of the form (A′,I)(A',I)(A′,I), let b∈Zmb\in\mathbb Z^mb∈Zm and c∈Rm+nc\in\mathbb R^{m+n}c∈Rm+n. Problem P1 is

max⁡ z1=cxs.t.Ax=b, x≥0,\max\ z_1=cx\quad\text{s.t.}\quad Ax=b,\ x\ge0,max z1​=cxs.t.Ax=b, x≥0,

and P2 is P1 with xxx integer. A basis is a nonsingular m×mm\times mm×m submatrix BBB of AAA; after rearranging, A=(B,N)A=(B,N)A=(B,N) with B=(α1,…,αm)B=(\alpha_1,\dots,\alpha_m)B=(α1​,…,αm​) and N=(αm+1,…,αm+n)N=(\alpha_{m+1},\dots,\alpha_{m+n})N=(αm+1​,…,αm+n​), and c=(cB,cN)c=(c_B,c_N)c=(cB​,cN​). The relative cost of a nonbasic column is ci∗=ci−cBB−1αic^*_i=c_i-c_BB^{-1}\alpha_ici∗​=ci​−cB​B−1αi​, and BBB is an optimal basis when all ci∗≤0c^*_i\le0ci∗​≤0. The cone of the basis is KB={β∈Rm:B−1β≥0}K^B=\{\beta\in\mathbb R^m: B^{-1}\beta\ge0\}KB={β∈Rm:B−1β≥0}; removing from it all points within Euclidean distance ddd of its boundary gives the reduced cone KB(d)K^B(d)KB(d).

Let M(I)=ZmM(I)=\mathbb Z^mM(I)=Zm and M(B)=LBM(B)=\mathfrak L_BM(B)=LB​ the lattice of integer combinations of α1,…,αm\alpha_1,\dots,\alpha_mα1​,…,αm​. The factor module M(I)/M(B)M(I)/M(B)M(I)/M(B) is a finite abelian group with D=∣det⁡B∣D=|\det B|D=∣detB∣ elements; write αˉi\bar\alpha_iαˉi​, bˉ\bar bbˉ for the classes of αi\alpha_iαi​, bbb. The group problem (4) is

max⁡ ∑i=1nci+m∗yis.t.∑i=1nαˉi+myi=bˉ,yi≥0 integer,\max\ \sum_{i=1}^n c^*_{i+m}y_i\quad\text{s.t.}\quad\sum_{i=1}^n\bar\alpha_{i+m}y_i=\bar b,\quad y_i\ge0\text{ integer},max i=1∑n​ci+m∗​yi​s.t.i=1∑n​αˉi+m​yi​=bˉ,yi​≥0 integer,

with optimal value φB(b)\varphi^B(b)φB(b). Finally l=max⁡i>m∥αi∥l=\max_{i>m}\|\alpha_i\|l=maxi>m​∥αi​∥.

Formalization targets

Goal: THEOREM 1 (p. 261)

If b∈KB(l(D−1))b\in K^B(l(D-1))b∈KB(l(D−1)), then P1, P2 and (4) attain their optima, the value z2(b)z_2(b)z2​(b) of P2 is

z2(b)=z1(b)+φB(b),z_2(b)=z_1(b)+\varphi^B(b),z2​(b)=z1​(b)+φB(b),

an optimal solution of P2 is

x(b)=(B−1(b−NyB(b)), yB(b))x(b)=\big(B^{-1}(b-Ny^B(b)),\ y^B(b)\big)x(b)=(B−1(b−NyB(b)), yB(b))

for an optimal solution yB(b)y^B(b)yB(b) of (4) with ∑iyiB(b)≤D−1\sum_iy^B_i(b)\le D-1∑i​yiB​(b)≤D−1, and φB\varphi^BφB, yBy^ByB are mmm-periodic: φB(b+αi)=φB(b)\varphi^B(b+\alpha_i)=\varphi^B(b)φB(b+αi​)=φB(b).

Milestones

In the order of the paper's proof: ∣M(I)/M(B)∣=D|M(I)/M(B)|=D∣M(I)/M(B)∣=D (p. 262); periodicity of (4) (p. 263); the cost identity (5)–(6); "cBB−1bc_BB^{-1}bcB​B−1b is z1(b)z_1(b)z1​(b)", the simplex optimality criterion (a published, proved theorem); the projection of a solution of P2 to a solution of (4); the bound (7), z2(b)≤z1(b)+φ(b)z_2(b)\le z_1(b)+\varphi(b)z2​(b)≤z1​(b)+φ(b); the extension of a solution of (4) to an integer solution; the LEMMA (an optimal solution of (4) with ∑yi≤D−1\sum y_i\le D-1∑yi​≤D−1); and the bound ∥Ny∥≤(D−1)l\|Ny\|\le(D-1)l∥Ny∥≤(D−1)l that places b−Nyb-Nyb−Ny in KBK^BKB.

Companions

THEOREM 2: the optimal x(b)x(b)x(b) satisfies ∑i>mxi=∑iyi≤D−1\sum_{i>m}x_i=\sum_iy_i\le D-1∑i>m​xi​=∑i​yi​≤D−1. THEOREM 4 (with the bound corrected, see below): if an optimal yyy of (4) has ∏i(yi+1)>D\prod_i(y_i+1)>D∏i​(yi​+1)>D, the optimum of (4) is not unique.

Significance

THEOREM 1 reduces integer programming, for right-hand sides far from the boundary of an optimal cone, to a shortest-path-type problem over a group of order DDD: the integer optimum is determined by the LP optimum and a periodic correction, and it can be computed in time polynomial in nnn and DDD (THEOREM 3, not formalized here). It explains why rounding fails while a structured correction succeeds, and it is the starting point of the corner-polyhedron and cutting-plane theory built on the group relaxation. THEOREM 2 bounds how far the integer optimum lies from a lattice point of LB\mathfrak L_BLB​, an early proximity result.

The results are classical and proved in the paper; none of them has a machine-checked proof that this mission is aware of. The mission produces a Lean statement and proof of the asymptotic theorem, together with reusable statements about the group Zm/BZm\mathbb Z^m/B\mathbb Z^mZm/BZm and the zero-sum shortening argument of the LEMMA.

Difficulty

The decomposition z2≤z1+φz_2\le z_1+\varphiz2​≤z1​+φ is a direct computation. The difficulty is the converse: an optimal solution yyy of the group problem extends to an integer point xB=B−1(b−Ny)x_B=B^{-1}(b-Ny)xB​=B−1(b−Ny), but nothing in (4) forces xB≥0x_B\ge0xB​≥0. Optimality of yyy alone does not bound yyy: an optimal solution may carry zero-cost cycles of arbitrary length, and then b−Nyb-Nyb−Ny can leave the cone KBK^BKB. The theorem therefore depends on choosing the right optimal solution of (4), one whose total size is bounded by the group order, and on relating that combinatorial bound to the Euclidean geometry of the cone.

Formalization scope

  • The basis is fixed: BBB is an integer m×mm\times mm×m matrix and NNN an integer m×nm\times nm×n matrix; column jjj of NNN (000-based) is the paper's αm+1+j\alpha_{m+1+j}αm+1+j​. The costs cBc_BcB​, cNc_NcN​ are real.
  • The standing assumptions of pp. 260–262 are hypotheses of the goal: det⁡B≠0\det B\neq0detB=0; every unit vector of Zm\mathbb Z^mZm is a column of BBB or of NNN (the paper's A=(A′,I)A=(A',I)A=(A′,I), without which P2 can be infeasible); all relative costs ci∗≤0c^*_i\le0ci∗​≤0 (BBB is optimal, without which (4) is unbounded).
  • P2's variables are natural numbers (integer and nonnegative). The group problem is written as "b−Ny∈BZmb-Ny\in B\mathbb Z^mb−Ny∈BZm", which is equivalent to ∑αˉi+myi=bˉ\sum\bar\alpha_{i+m}y_i=\bar b∑αˉi+m​yi​=bˉ.
  • Optimal values are greatest elements of the sets of objective values, never suprema; the goal asserts that they are attained.
  • The norm in lll and in KB(d)K^B(d)KB(d) is Euclidean. KB(d)K^B(d)KB(d) is the set of points whose closed ball of radius ddd lies in KBK^BKB. l=0l=0l=0 when n=0n=0n=0.
  • In part (3) of the goal, yB(b)y^B(b)yB(b) ranges over optimal solutions of (4) with ∑iyi≤D−1\sum_iy_i\le D-1∑i​yi​≤D−1, the solutions the paper's LEMMA and dynamic program produce.
  • THEOREM 4 is stated with the hypothesis ∏(yi+1)>D\prod(y_i+1)>D∏(yi​+1)>D: the printed >D−1>D-1>D−1 is false (m=n=1m=n=1m=n=1, B=(2)B=(2)B=(2), N=(1)N=(1)N=(1), c=(2,0)c=(2,0)c=(2,0), b=1b=1b=1 has the unique optimum y=1y=1y=1 with ∏(yi+1)=2\prod(y_i+1)=2∏(yi​+1)=2).
  • A trivializing formalization is ruled out: the goal assumes none of the LEMMA, the inequality (7), integrality of B−1(b−Ny)B^{-1}(b-Ny)B−1(b−Ny) or the norm bound, and it states the existence of the optima instead of assuming them.
  • Not in scope: the operation counts of THEOREM 3 and the recursion (8), which need a machine model the paper does not define.

Needed infrastructure: the cardinality of Zm/BZm\mathbb Z^m/B\mathbb Z^mZm/BZm (available in Mathlib through determinants of basis changes), a zero-sum/pigeonhole argument in a finite abelian group, the simplex optimality criterion (published), and elementary Euclidean estimates. The group-theoretic lemmas are reusable for other group-relaxation and proximity missions. Proofs of the milestones, alternative arguments and the extension to the open-ball reading of KB(d)K^B(d)KB(d) are welcome.

Selected references

  • R. E. Gomory, On the relation between integer and noninteger solutions to linear programs, Proc. Natl. Acad. Sci. USA 53(2):260–265, 1965. https://doi.org/10.1073/pnas.53.2.260
  • R. E. Gomory, Outline of an algorithm for integer solutions to linear programs, Bull. Amer. Math. Soc. 64:275–278, 1958. https://doi.org/10.1090/S0002-9904-1958-10224-4
  • R. E. Gomory, Some polyhedra related to combinatorial problems, Linear Algebra Appl. 2:451–558, 1969. https://doi.org/10.1016/0024-3795(69)90017-2
  • R. E. Gomory and E. L. Johnson, Some continuous functions related to corner polyhedra, Math. Programming 3:23–85, 1972.
  • J. Matoušek and B. Gärtner, Understanding and Using Linear Programming, Springer, 2007 (simplex optimality criterion). https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-540-30717-4
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CombinatoricsOperations ResearchTheoretical Computer Science·Captain: mikedeng1

One-Processor Scheduling with Symmetric Earliness and Tardiness Penalties 1: Minimizing the Total Discrepancy from Preferred Times Is NP-CompleteResearch Paper

Motivation

Scheduling with earliness and tardiness penalties asks for schedules in which a job finishing early is as undesirable as a job finishing late. The model fits production planned for just-in-time delivery, where finished goods held before their due date cost money, and sequences of experiments tied to fixed external events. It departs from classical scheduling, in which finishing early is never penalized.

Garey, Tarjan and Wilfong (Math. Oper. Res. 13 (1988) 330–348) study the symmetric version on one processor: each task has a preferred starting time, and the penalty is the absolute deviation from it. Their §2.1 settles the complexity of the most natural objective, the sum of these deviations, by proving it NP-complete. The result explains why the rest of their paper, and much of the later literature, turns to special cases that can be solved efficiently: a fixed task order, equal task lengths, or the maximum deviation instead of the sum.

A short history of the model:

  • Kanet (1981) minimized total absolute deviation from a common due date that is large enough not to constrain the schedule, by a sorting rule. The special case in the middle of §2.1 is the midtime version of this problem.
  • Garey, Tarjan and Wilfong (1988) proved the problem with arbitrary preferred times NP-complete (THEOREM 1, this mission), and gave an O(Nlog⁡N)O(N\log N)O(NlogN) algorithm for a fixed task order.
  • Hall, Kubiak and Sethi (1991) proved that the common-due-date problem becomes NP-hard when the due date is restrictive. The reduction of THEOREM 1 already uses a common preferred midtime that is not large, together with one extra task that pins the right end.

Setting

There are NNN tasks T1,…,TNT_1,\dots,T_NT1​,…,TN​. Task TiT_iTi​ has a length lil_ili​ and a preferred midtime MiM_iMi​. A schedule SSS assigns every task a starting time si≥0s_i\ge0si​≥0 such that no two tasks overlap on the single processor: for i≠ji\ne ji=j, either si+li≤sjs_i+l_i\le s_jsi​+li​≤sj​ or sj+lj≤sis_j+l_j\le s_isj​+lj​≤si​. Idle time is allowed. The actual midtime of TiT_iTi​ is mi(S)=si+li/2m_i(S)=s_i+l_i/2mi​(S)=si​+li​/2, and the total discrepancy of SSS is

cost(S)=∑i=1N∣mi(S)−Mi∣.\mathrm{cost}(S)=\sum_{i=1}^N |m_i(S)-M_i| .cost(S)=i=1∑N​∣mi​(S)−Mi​∣.

The paper works with midtimes because the special case below is then symmetric. Preferred midtimes and preferred starting times aia_iai​ are interchangeable through ai=Mi−li/2a_i=M_i-l_i/2ai​=Mi​−li​/2.

Total discrepancy (the decision problem). Given N,k∈Z+N,k\in\mathbb Z^+N,k∈Z+ and Mi,li∈Z+M_i,l_i\in\mathbb Z^+Mi​,li​∈Z+, is there a schedule with cost(S)≤k\mathrm{cost}(S)\le kcost(S)≤k?

Even-odd partition. Given positive integers x1<x2<⋯<x2nx_1<x_2<\dots<x_{2n}x1​<x2​<⋯<x2n​, can they be split into two sets of equal sum so that each set contains exactly one of x2i−1,x2ix_{2i-1},x_{2i}x2i−1​,x2i​ for every iii?

The special case. For tasks T0,…,T2nT_0,\dots,T_{2n}T0​,…,T2n​ with 0<l0<l1<⋯<l2n0<l_0<l_1<\dots<l_{2n}0<l0​<l1​<⋯<l2n​ and one common preferred midtime M>∑iliM>\sum_i l_iM>∑i​li​, write A(S)={Ti:mi(S)<M}A(S)=\{T_i: m_i(S)<M\}A(S)={Ti​:mi​(S)<M} and B(S)={Ti:mi(S)>M}B(S)=\{T_i:m_i(S)>M\}B(S)={Ti​:mi​(S)>M}. A schedule is ordered if, on each side of MMM, shorter tasks lie nearer to MMM. The bracket [An,…,A1,T0@M,B1,…,Bn][A_n,\dots,A_1,T_0@M,B_1,\dots,B_n][An​,…,A1​,T0​@M,B1​,…,Bn​] is the schedule that puts T0T_0T0​ at midtime MMM and packs the listed tasks against it in the listed order.

Formalization targets

Goal: THEOREM 1

Partition is NP-complete ⟹ Total discrepancy is NP-complete.\text{Partition is NP-complete}\ \Longrightarrow\ \text{Total discrepancy is NP-complete.}Partition is NP-complete ⟹ Total discrepancy is NP-complete.

The hypothesis is the one result the paper imports (Garey and Johnson, 1979). The conclusion includes membership in NP and polynomial-time many-one reductions from every NP language, with Turing machines as the model of computation.

Milestones, in attack order

  1. Even-odd partition is in NP; the instance x1=1x_1=1x1​=1, x2i=x2i−1+yix_{2i}=x_{2i-1}+y_ix2i​=x2i−1​+yi​, x2i+1=x2i+1x_{2i+1}=x_{2i}+1x2i+1​=x2i​+1 built from a Partition instance YYY is a yes-instance if and only if YYY is; and LEMMA 1, even-odd partition is NP-complete.
  2. The special case: a minimum cost schedule has no gaps and is ordered; LEMMA 2 (some mi(S)=Mm_i(S)=Mmi​(S)=M), LEMMA 3 (∣A(S)∣=∣B(S)∣|A(S)|=|B(S)|∣A(S)∣=∣B(S)∣), LEMMA 4 (m0(S)=Mm_0(S)=Mm0​(S)=M), LEMMA 5 (swapping AiA_iAi​ and BiB_iBi​ in a bracket keeps the cost), LEMMA 6 ({Ai,Bi}={T2i,T2i−1}\{A_i,B_i\}=\{T_{2i},T_{2i-1}\}{Ai​,Bi​}={T2i​,T2i−1​} in a minimum cost bracket), and the minimum cost
k=∑i=1n(l2i+l2i−1)(n−i+12)+l0 n.k=\sum_{i=1}^n(l_{2i}+l_{2i-1})\left(n-i+\tfrac12\right)+l_0\,n .k=i=1∑n​(l2i​+l2i−1​)(n−i+21​)+l0​n.
  1. At the midtime M=12∑i=02nliM=\frac12\sum_{i=0}^{2n}l_iM=21​∑i=02n​li​ used in the reduction, every schedule of T0,…,T2nT_0,\dots,T_{2n}T0​,…,T2n​ costs at least kkk; equality forces the ordered, gap-free form in item 2.
  2. The reduction: the instance D with l0=x1−1l_0=x_1-1l0​=x1​−1, li=xil_i=x_ili​=xi​, l2n+1=2l_{2n+1}=2l2n+1​=2, Mj=M=∑i≤2nli/2M_j=M=\sum_{i\le 2n}l_i/2Mj​=M=∑i≤2n​li​/2, M2n+1=2M+1M_{2n+1}=2M+1M2n+1​=2M+1 has a schedule of cost at most kkk if and only if XXX has an even-odd partition. Total discrepancy is in NP.

Significance

THEOREM 1 is the hardness boundary for one-processor scheduling with symmetric earliness–tardiness penalties and arbitrary preferred times. It is the reason exact algorithms for this objective are enumerative, and the reason polynomial results are sought under extra structure, such as the fixed-order algorithm of the same paper. The special-case lemmas characterize every optimal schedule for a common, unrestrictive midtime, not just one of them: shortest task centered at MMM, the iii-th pair of lengths in the iii-th positions on either side, either member on either side. This characterization holds independently of the reduction.

The result has been proved since 1988, and no machine-checked version of it is known to us. A formalization adds three things. First, the parts the paper calls "straightforward" or "a simple exercise", membership of both problems in NP. Second, the two places where the published argument is imprecise. The instance D has half-integer midtimes and threshold although the decision problem asks for integers, so a correct reduction must rescale. And the special-case lemmas are proved for a large midtime but applied with M=∑ili/2M=\sum_i l_i/2M=∑i​li​/2, so they must be restated for every MMM. Third, a reusable formal treatment of absolute-deviation scheduling objectives and of reductions between number problems written in binary.

Difficulty

The obvious argument fails at the step from the special case to the instance D. The lemmas on pp. 333–336 assume the common midtime is large, so that the constraint si≥0s_i\ge0si​≥0 never binds. In D the midtime is M=∑i=02nli/2M=\sum_{i=0}^{2n}l_i/2M=∑i=02n​li​/2, exactly half the total length, and the reduction works because the constraint binds. The tasks before MMM must fit in [0,M−l0/2][0,M-l_0/2][0,M−l0​/2], and the extra task T2n+1T_{2n+1}T2n+1​ must sit at [2M,2M+2][2M,2M+2][2M,2M+2]. Together these force the two sides to have equal total length. A proof that only cites the large-MMM lemmas proves nothing about D. Conversely, dropping si≥0s_i\ge 0si​≥0 makes the reduction false: put the shorter element of every pair after MMM.

The other obstacle is the complexity bookkeeping. NP-completeness here means Turing machines, binary codes, and polynomial bounds, and a full proof must compute D from the code of XXX, double the times to clear the half-integers, and certify membership in NP for a problem whose schedules have real starting times. The certificate cannot be the real starting times themselves.

Formalization scope

  • Everything is real-valued except the instance codes. Schedules have real starting times si≥0s_i\ge0si​≥0, and integer data are cast to R\mathbb RR. Restricting to integer starting times would be a different problem and is not what is stated.
  • Nonnegative starting times are a standing assumption. The paper uses them ("scheduled between 0 and M−l0/2M-l_0/2M−l0​/2", p. 336) without writing them into the model. Nonoverlap is "one task finishes before the other starts", the reading of "intersect only at their endpoints".
  • Tasks are indexed by Fin N from 000. In the special case TiT_iTi​ is index iii, and the paper's T2i−1,T2iT_{2i-1},T_{2i}T2i−1​,T2i​ (1≤i≤n1\le i\le n1≤i≤n) are the indices 2k+1,2k+22k+1,2k+22k+1,2k+2 for k=i−1k=i-1k=i−1.
  • Languages use the published CookPvsNP_defs (Cook's one-tape Turing machines, NP, NPComplete) and the published ProjSchedTW.Complexity.Encoding (four-letter alphabet and binary codes). This mission defines positivePartitionLang by restricting the imported equal-sum predicate to nonempty lists of positive integers, as on p. 333. Only codes of well-formed instances belong to the even-odd and total discrepancy languages.
  • The goal is not the combinatorial equivalence of milestone 4. It states NP-completeness, so it contains the polynomial-time computation of the reduction and membership in NP. Taking NPComplete evenOddLang as the hypothesis instead would drop LEMMA 1 and is not what is asked.
  • Running times of the algorithms of §2.2–§2.4 are out of scope for this mission, as are all results after §2.1.

Contributions welcome: proofs of any milestone, and reusable lemmas on Turing-machine computability of arithmetic on binary codes, which the two membership results and both reductions need.

Selected references

  • M. R. Garey, R. E. Tarjan, G. T. Wilfong, One-Processor Scheduling with Symmetric Earliness and Tardiness Penalties, Mathematics of Operations Research 13(2):330–348, 1988. https://doi.org/10.1287/moor.13.2.330
  • M. R. Garey, D. S. Johnson, Computers and Intractability: A Guide to the Theory of NP-Completeness, W. H. Freeman, 1979.
  • J. J. Kanet, Minimizing the average deviation of job completion times about a common due date, Naval Research Logistics Quarterly 28(4):643–651, 1981. https://doi.org/10.1002/nav.3800280411
  • N. G. Hall, W. Kubiak, S. P. Sethi, Earliness–tardiness scheduling problems, II: Deviation of completion times about a restrictive common due date, Operations Research 39(5):847–856, 1991. https://doi.org/10.1287/opre.39.5.847
  • S. Cook, The P versus NP problem, Clay Mathematics Institute Millennium Problems, 2000. https://www.claymath.org/wp-content/uploads/2022/06/pvsnp.pdf
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Graph TheoryLinear OptimizationOperations Research·Captain: mikedeng1

A Suggested Computation for Maximal Multi-Commodity Network Flows: With Nonnegative Simplex Multipliers, Shortest-Chain Labels Prove the Arc-Chain Basis Optimal or Find an Entering ChainResearch Paper

Motivation

The maximal multi-commodity flow problem asks how much total flow several commodities, each travelling from its own sources to its own sinks, can send through a network whose arcs have shared capacities. It arises in communication and transportation planning: Kalaba and Juncosa's 1956 study of communication networks (Management Science 3(1)) leads to linear programs of this form. For a single commodity the problem has a clean combinatorial theory: the max-flow min-cut theorem of Ford and Fulkerson (1956, doi:10.4153/CJM-1956-045-5) and the labeling algorithm. With several commodities both fail: the min-cut equality is false, and simplex bases are no longer triangular.

In a short note received in October 1957 and published in Management Science in 1958, L. R. Ford Jr. and D. R. Fulkerson proposed a way to solve the multi-commodity problem with the simplex method anyway (doi:10.1287/mnsc.1040.0269, reprinted 2004). They use the arc-chain formulation, which has one variable per chain from a source to a sink of a commodity. That formulation has far too many variables to write down. The note's point is that the simplex method never needs them explicitly. The "pricing" step (finding a variable to enter the basis, or recognizing that none exists) can be carried out by one shortest-chain computation per commodity, with the simplex multipliers as arc lengths.

Timeline. Ford (1956, RAND P-923) gave the label-correcting shortest-chain procedure the note uses. Ford and Fulkerson (1958) applied it to price the columns of the arc-chain program. Dantzig and Wolfe (1960) generalized the idea into the decomposition principle. Gilmore and Gomory (1961) applied the same pattern to the cutting-stock problem, and it is now called column generation.

Setting

A network has finitely many nodes P1,…,PNP_1,\dots,P_NP1​,…,PN​ and arcs A1,…,AmA_1,\dots,A_mA1​,…,Am​. Each arc ArA_rAr​ joins two nodes, has a capacity brb_rbr​, and is either directed (traversable one way only) or undirected (traversable both ways). There are finitely many commodities; commodity kkk has a set of sources SkS_kSk​ and a set of sinks TkT_kTk​.

A chain from uuu to www is the arc set of a path u=v0,v1,…,vp=wu = v_0, v_1, \dots, v_p = wu=v0​,v1​,…,vp​=w with distinct nodes, each arc traversable from vi−1v_{i-1}vi−1​ to viv_ivi​. A commodity chain of kkk is a chain from a node of SkS_kSk​ to a node of TkT_kTk​. List the commodity chains, for all commodities, as C1,…,CnC_1,\dots,C_nC1​,…,Cn​, and let A=(ars)A = (a_{rs})A=(ars​) be the incidence matrix: ars=1a_{rs} = 1ars​=1 if CsC_sCs​ contains ArA_rAr​ and 000 otherwise. With xsx_sxs​ the flow along CsC_sCs​ and xn+rx_{n+r}xn+r​ the slack of arc ArA_rAr​, the problem is the linear program

maximize ∑s=1nxssubject to∑s=1narsxs+xn+r=br,x1,…,xn+m≥0.(2–3)\text{maximize } \sum_{s=1}^{n} x_s \quad\text{subject to}\quad \sum_{s=1}^{n} a_{rs}x_s + x_{n+r} = b_r,\qquad x_1,\dots,x_{n+m} \ge 0. \tag{2–3}maximize s=1∑n​xs​subject tos=1∑n​ars​xs​+xn+r​=br​,x1​,…,xn+m​≥0.(2–3)

A basis is a set of mmm columns of [A∣I][A \mid I][A∣I] forming an invertible matrix B=(brj)B = (b_{rj})B=(brj​). Its simplex multipliers α1,…,αm\alpha_1,\dots,\alpha_mα1​,…,αm​ satisfy, for every basic column jjj,

∑r=1mαrbrj={1j≤n,0j>n.(4)\sum_{r=1}^{m} \alpha_r b_{rj} = \begin{cases} 1 & j \le n,\\ 0 & j > n.\end{cases} \tag{4}r=1∑m​αr​brj​={10​j≤n,j>n.​(4)

Read as arc lengths, the αr\alpha_rαr​ give each chain CsC_sCs​ the length ∑rαrars\sum_r \alpha_r a_{rs}∑r​αr​ars​. The labeling process for a source set SSS starts with labels πi=0\pi_i = 0πi​=0 on SSS and πi=∞\pi_i = \inftyπi​=∞ elsewhere. It repeatedly finds an arc traversable from PiP_iPi​ to PjP_jPj​ with πi+lij<πj\pi_i + l_{ij} < \pi_jπi​+lij​<πj​ and replaces πj\pi_jπj​ by πi+lij\pi_i + l_{ij}πi​+lij​. In Lean the labels are lab : V → WithTop ℝ, the multipliers are α : E → ℝ, and all objects live in the namespace FordFulkerson58.ArcChain.

Formalization targets

Goal: the shortest-chain pricing test (§3, pp. 1779–1780)

Let BBB be a basis with basic feasible solution zzz and multipliers α≥0\alpha \ge 0α≥0. Then:

(a) for every commodity, every run of the labeling process with lengths α is finite;(b) if all final sink labels are ≥1, then ∑sxs≤∑szs for every feasible x;(c) if a final sink label πt<1, some non-basic chain column to t has length πt and 1−∑rαrars>0.\begin{aligned} &\text{(a) for every commodity, every run of the labeling process with lengths } \alpha \text{ is finite;}\\ &\text{(b) if all final sink labels are } \ge 1, \text{ then } \textstyle\sum_s x_s \le \sum_s z_s \text{ for every feasible } x;\\ &\text{(c) if a final sink label } \pi_t < 1, \text{ some non-basic chain column to } t \text{ has length } \pi_t \text{ and } 1 - \textstyle\sum_r \alpha_r a_{rs} > 0. \end{aligned}​(a) for every commodity, every run of the labeling process with lengths α is finite;(b) if all final sink labels are ≥1, then ∑s​xs​≤∑s​zs​ for every feasible x;(c) if a final sink label πt​<1, some non-basic chain column to t has length πt​ and 1−∑r​αr​ars​>0.​

Milestones (§3, the labeling process and the test)

  1. Termination of the labeling process for non-negative lengths (p. 1780).
  2. Final labels are shortest-chain lengths from SSS; the smallest label on TTT is the SSS-to-TTT distance (p. 1780).
  3. The trace-back: a chain of tight arcs from SSS to every labeled node, of length its label (p. 1780).
  4. If α≥0\alpha \ge 0α≥0 and every commodity chain has length ≥1\ge 1≥1, the basis is optimal (p. 1779).

Further items state the remarks of §3–§4: a negative multiplier lets a slack enter; the slack basis is a feasible start; dominated chains can be ignored; limited supplies reduce to the same problem by adding new directed source arcs; Figure 2 is the incidence matrix of Figure 1; with negative lengths the labeling process may not terminate.

Significance

The result. The test turns a linear program with exponentially many columns into one whose pricing step costs one shortest-path computation per commodity. Only the m×mm \times mm×m basis is ever stored. This is the first instance of column generation, which now underlies solvers for multi-commodity flow, cutting stock, vehicle routing, crew scheduling and many other set-partitioning models, typically inside branch-and-price. Part (a) together with milestones 2–3 also gives the correctness of Ford's label-correcting algorithm with non-negative lengths, started from a source set and with any order of arc scans.

Formalizing it. The results are classical and proved in the paper's informal style. None of them is formalized: the platform has no arc-chain LP, no column pricing, and no formal statement of Ford's label-correcting process. The general LP facts are on the platform (the simplex optimality criterion and weak duality, both proved) and are included as references. This mission adds the network-specific layer: chains as arc sets of simple paths, the labeling process as a relation on labelings, and the link from final labels to reduced costs. One sentence of the paper is corrected. The trace-back "eventually" reaches SSS only along some backward path, because zero-length cycles can trap a naive backward search, and milestone 3 states the true version.

Difficulty

The obvious argument for termination says each step lowers a label and there are finitely many chains. It fails: labels are lengths of walks, not chains, and with zero-length arcs (multipliers are often 000) there are infinitely many walks. Termination needs the finiteness of the set of walk lengths below a bound, not positivity. The correctness of the final labels needs both properties of the labeling: it is produced by the process (so every label is the length of a walk from SSS), and it is terminal. A terminal labeling alone, such as all labels 000, is not a distance labeling. Finally, the optimality claim is an LP statement about the full, never-enumerated column set. It must be derived from (4), α≥0\alpha \ge 0α≥0 and the shortest-chain lengths, with the chain columns indexed abstractly.

Formalization scope

Nodes, arcs and commodities are finite types V, E, ι. Each arc has tail, head, a per-arc directed flag and a capacity b : E → ℝ; commodities have src snk : ι → Finset V. Parallel arcs and mixed directed/undirected networks are allowed. No sign of the capacities and no disjointness of sources and sinks is assumed, except 0 ≤ b in the zero-flow item, where it is disclosed. Chains are arc sets of simple paths. The null chain at a source is a chain, so sources have distance 000. Columns are pairs (commodity, chain), so one arc set used by two commodities gives two columns. The columns of [A∣I][A \mid I][A∣I] are indexed by Col N ⊕ E. A basis is β : E → Col N ⊕ E with IsUnit (basisMatrix N β).det; its basic feasible solution and multipliers (4) are hypotheses about this β. Labels are in WithTop ℝ with ⊤ for ∞\infty∞. Shortest-chain lengths are finite infima (Finset.inf), equal to ⊤ when there is no chain. The process scans arcs, not node pairs, which handles parallel arcs and the undirected case lij=ljil_{ij} = l_{ji}lij​=lji​.

The standing assumption of §3 ("a stage has been reached in the computation where all αr\alpha_rαr​ are non-negative", p. 1779) is a hypothesis of the goal and of milestones 1–4. Milestones 1–3 are stated for any non-negative length function. The paper has no numbered theorems; every milestone is an unnumbered sentence of §3, cited by page and position.

A trivializing formalization is ruled out: the goal does not assume shortest-chain lengths, the trace-back, or any reduced-cost fact beyond (4). Statements about final labels require labelings that are both reachable from the initial labels and terminal, and part (a) shows such labelings exist.

Reusable beyond this mission: the chain and labeling layer (a label-correcting shortest-path algorithm from a source set over mixed networks) and the arc-chain LP. Contributions to the LP layer, which can import the referenced Matoušek–Gärtner results after reindexing, are particularly welcome.

Selected references

  • L. R. Ford Jr., D. R. Fulkerson, A suggested computation for maximal multi-commodity network flows, Management Science 5(1):97–101, 1958; reprinted Management Science 50(12S):1778–1780, 2004. https://doi.org/10.1287/mnsc.1040.0269
  • L. R. Ford Jr., D. R. Fulkerson, Maximal flow through a network, Canadian Journal of Mathematics 8:399–404, 1956. https://doi.org/10.4153/CJM-1956-045-5
  • L. R. Ford Jr., Network Flow Theory, RAND Corporation Paper P-923, 1956. https://www.rand.org/pubs/papers/P923.html
  • G. B. Dantzig, P. Wolfe, Decomposition principle for linear programs, Operations Research 8(1):101–111, 1960. https://doi.org/10.1287/opre.8.1.101
  • P. C. Gilmore, R. E. Gomory, A linear programming approach to the cutting-stock problem, Operations Research 9(6):849–859, 1961. https://doi.org/10.1287/opre.9.6.849
  • J. Matoušek, B. Gärtner, Understanding and Using Linear Programming, Springer, 2007. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-540-30717-4
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AnalysisOperations Research·Captain: mikedeng1

A Variational Inequality Formulation of the Dynamic Network User Equilibrium Problem II: Under Linear Arc Delay αx(t) + β the Arc Exit Time Is Strictly Increasing (FIFO Holds)Research Paper

Motivation

Dynamic traffic assignment models how commuters choose routes and departure times when travel times change over the day. In the model of Friesz, Bernstein, Smith, Tobin and Wie (Oper. Res. 41 (1993)), the time to traverse a path is built recursively from arc exit-time functions: a vehicle that enters an arc at time ttt leaves it at time τ(t)\tau(t)τ(t). The equilibrium conditions of that model refer to the inverses of these functions, so the model is only well defined when every arc exit-time function is invertible.

Invertibility has a direct traffic meaning. A strictly increasing exit time is the first-in-first-out (FIFO) property: a vehicle that enters later cannot leave earlier, so no overtaking occurs on the arc. Whether a given delay model respects FIFO was an active question in the early 1990s, because several delay functions used in practice violate it for some inflow patterns.

Timeline:

  • 1969. Vickrey's bottleneck model introduces deterministic queueing at a single bottleneck (Vickrey 1969).
  • 1986. Ben-Akiva and De Palma show (Trans. Sci. 20 (1986)), for uniform entry rates and deterministic queueing delays, that it is not possible to "arrive earlier by departing later".
  • 1993. Friesz et al. prove (Theorem 1, p. 185) that for every linear arc delay D=αx+βD = \alpha x + \betaD=αx+β the exit time is strictly increasing, extending the 1986 result to all continuous entry-rate patterns (remark, p. 186).

Setting

Consider one arc. Vehicles enter it at the entry rate u(t)≥0u(t) \ge 0u(t)≥0, a continuous function of time t≥0t \ge 0t≥0; the first vehicle enters at time 000. For an exit-time function τ\tauτ, the arc volume at time t≥0t \ge 0t≥0 is the inflow mass of the vehicles that entered during [0,t][0,t][0,t] and have not left by time ttt:

x(t)=∫{s∈[0,t] : τ(s)>t}u(s) ds.x(t) = \int_{\{s \in [0,t]\,:\,\tau(s) > t\}} u(s)\,ds .x(t)=∫{s∈[0,t]:τ(s)>t}​u(s)ds.

The linear delay function (18) of the paper is

D(t)=α x(t)+β,α,β>0,D(t) = \alpha\, x(t) + \beta, \qquad \alpha, \beta > 0,D(t)=αx(t)+β,α,β>0,

a fixed free-flow travel time β\betaβ plus a queueing time determined by the service rate 1/α1/\alpha1/α. The exit time is entry time plus delay, so τ\tauτ is pinned by the exit-time equation

τ(t)=t+α x(t)+β(t≥0).\tau(t) = t + \alpha\, x(t) + \beta \qquad (t \ge 0).τ(t)=t+αx(t)+β(t≥0).

The equation is implicit: τ\tauτ appears on the right through the volume. The proof partitions time at t0=0t_0 = 0t0​=0, tn+1=τ(tn)t_{n+1} = \tau(t_n)tn+1​=τ(tn​); in particular t1=τ(0)=βt_1 = \tau(0) = \betat1​=τ(0)=β is the exit time of the first vehicle. In Lean these objects are linearDelay, arcVolume, IsLinearExitTime and tSeq in FrieszDUE.FIFO.

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem 1 (p. 185)

For α,β>0\alpha, \beta > 0α,β>0 and a nonnegative continuous entry rate uuu, every τ\tauτ satisfying the exit-time equation is strictly increasing on [0,∞)[0, \infty)[0,∞):

0≤s<t  ⟹  τ(s)<τ(t),0 \le s < t \implies \tau(s) < \tau(t),0≤s<t⟹τ(s)<τ(t),

and hence injective there, so τ−1\tau^{-1}τ−1 exists.

Milestones

  1. Lemma 1 (19): for a differentiable invertible fff, [f−1]′(z)=1/f′[f−1(z)][f^{-1}]'(z) = 1/f'[f^{-1}(z)][f−1]′(z)=1/f′[f−1(z)].
  2. First interval (21)–(24): t1=βt_1 = \betat1​=β; on [0,t1][0, t_1][0,t1​], x(t)=∫0tux(t) = \int_0^t ux(t)=∫0t​u, τ(t)=t+α∫0tu+β\tau(t) = t + \alpha\int_0^t u + \betaτ(t)=t+α∫0t​u+β, and τ′=1+αu>0\tau' = 1 + \alpha u > 0τ′=1+αu>0.
  3. Second interval (25)–(28): on [t1,t2][t_1, t_2][t1​,t2​], τ(t)=t+α∫τ−1(t)tu+β\tau(t) = t + \alpha\int_{\tau^{-1}(t)}^t u + \betaτ(t)=t+α∫τ−1(t)t​u+β and τ′(t)=αu(t)+1/(1+αu[τ−1(t)])>αu(t)\tau'(t) = \alpha u(t) + 1/(1 + \alpha u[\tau^{-1}(t)]) > \alpha u(t)τ′(t)=αu(t)+1/(1+αu[τ−1(t)])>αu(t).
  4. Induction (29)–(34): the same representation and τ′(t)>αu(t)\tau'(t) > \alpha u(t)τ′(t)>αu(t) on every [tn+1,tn+2][t_{n+1}, t_{n+2}][tn+1​,tn+2​], with τ\tauτ strictly increasing there.
  5. Covering: tn+1−tn≥βt_{n+1} - t_n \ge \betatn+1​−tn​≥β and R+=⋃n≥0[tn,tn+1]\mathbb R_+ = \bigcup_{n \ge 0}[t_n, t_{n+1}]R+​=⋃n≥0​[tn​,tn+1​].

A supporting, non-milestone item states that the exit-time equation has a solution for every admissible uuu.

Significance

The result makes the path exit-time functions of the dynamic network model invertible whenever the arc delays are linear in volume. That invertibility is what allows the path costs, and through them the variational inequality of Theorem 2 of the same paper, to be written down. In traffic terms it certifies that linear volume-based delays never let a later entrant overtake an earlier one, whatever the continuous inflow profile.

The theorem is proved in the paper. As far as is known it has no machine-checked proof. The mission produces one, together with a formal model of a single arc whose exit time is defined implicitly through the volume, which is reusable for other delay functions and for FIFO questions in dynamic traffic assignment.

Difficulty

The obvious argument differentiates τ(t)=t+αx(t)+β\tau(t) = t + \alpha x(t) + \betaτ(t)=t+αx(t)+β and bounds the outflow rate. But the volume can only be written as ∫τ−1(t)tu\int_{\tau^{-1}(t)}^t u∫τ−1(t)t​u once τ\tauτ is known to be invertible, which is the conclusion. The paper breaks the circularity by working forward in time: on [tn,tn+1][t_n, t_{n+1}][tn​,tn+1​] the volume depends only on τ\tauτ restricted to the earlier interval, whose invertibility is already established. A formal proof must make this forward dependence rigorous for an exit time given only by the implicit equation, handle one-sided derivatives at the junctions tnt_ntn​, where τ\tauτ is generally not differentiable, and show that the junctions do not accumulate.

Formalization scope

Time is real; the entry rate is a function u:R→Ru : \mathbb R \to \mathbb Ru:R→R with u(t)≥0u(t) \ge 0u(t)≥0 and uuu continuous on [0,∞)[0, \infty)[0,∞). Both are added hypotheses: Theorem 1 names none, nonnegativity is implicit in "entry rate", and the remark after the proof covers "all continuous entry rate patterns". Integrals are Lebesgue integrals. Monotonicity is claimed on [0,∞)[0,\infty)[0,∞) only, the entry times that the equation constrains. Derivative claims in the milestones are taken within the closed interval [tn,tn+1][t_n, t_{n+1}][tn​,tn+1​]. The paper's separate pieces τk\tau_kτk​ are one global function here, so the junction identities (27), (30), (33) are automatic. Lemma 1 adds the hypothesis f′[f−1(z)]≠0f'[f^{-1}(z)] \ne 0f′[f−1(z)]=0, without which it is false.

The exit time τ is pinned by the implicit equation τ(t) = t + αx(t) + β, where x(t) is the inflow mass of vehicles that entered by time t and have not exited by time t; no monotonicity or invertibility of τ is assumed. A formalization that defined the volume through τ−1\tau^{-1}τ−1 or assumed τ\tauτ monotone would assume the conclusion and is ruled out.

The development needs one-sided derivatives of parametric integrals, the inverse-function derivative on an interval, and a forward induction over the partition. Contributions of proofs for any milestone, of the existence item, and of a uniqueness result for the exit-time equation are welcome.

Selected references

  • T. L. Friesz, D. Bernstein, T. E. Smith, R. L. Tobin and B. W. Wie, A variational inequality formulation of the dynamic network user equilibrium problem, Operations Research 41(1):179–191, 1993. https://doi.org/10.1287/opre.41.1.179
  • M. Ben-Akiva and A. de Palma, Some circumstances in which vehicles will reach their destinations earlier by starting later: revisited, Transportation Science 20(1):52–55, 1986. https://doi.org/10.1287/trsc.20.1.52
  • M. Ben-Akiva, A. de Palma and P. Kanaroglou, Dynamic model of peak period traffic congestion with elastic arrival rates, Transportation Science 20(3):164–181, 1986. https://doi.org/10.1287/trsc.20.3.164
  • W. S. Vickrey, Congestion theory and transport investment, American Economic Review 59(2):251–261, 1969. https://www.jstor.org/stable/1823678
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