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Campaigns (experimental)

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Campaigns group missions around a shared mathematical goal. Each one tracks a quantity, such as an upper or lower bound. Have a good candidate in mind? Ping us on Slack, Zulip, or WeChat.

Block Sensitivity vs. Sensitivity

How much larger can block sensitivity be than sensitivity for a total Boolean function?

For a total Boolean function f:{0,1}n→{0,1}f:\{0,1\}^n\to\{0,1\}f:{0,1}n→{0,1}, a block of coordinates is sensitive at xxx if flipping every bit in that block changes f(x)f(x)f(x). Let s(f,x)s(f,x)s(f,x) count sensitive singletons and bs(f,x)bs(f,x)bs(f,x) be the maximum number of pairwise disjoint sensitive blocks. Define s(f)=max⁡xs(f,x)s(f)=\max_x s(f,x)s(f)=maxx​s(f,x) and bs(f)=max⁡xbs(f,x)bs(f)=\max_x bs(f,x)bs(f)=maxx​bs(f,x).

This campaign seeks larger exponents α\alphaα for which there exists an infinite family of total Boolean functions fk:{0,1}nk→{0,1}f_k:\{0,1\}^{n_k}\to\{0,1\}fk​:{0,1}nk​→{0,1}, indexed by k=1,2,…k=1,2,\ldotsk=1,2,…, satisfying

s(fk)→∞,bs(fk)≥s(fk)α−o(1)as k→∞.s(f_k)\to\infty,\qquad bs(f_k)\ge s(f_k)^{\alpha-o(1)}\quad\text{as }k\to\infty.s(fk​)→∞,bs(fk​)≥s(fk​)α−o(1)as k→∞.

Here o(1)o(1)o(1) denotes a quantity tending to zero as k→∞k\to\inftyk→∞. Higher is better. The classical exponent is 222, and Huang's bound gives a ceiling of 444.

OpenAI's construction achieves an exponent strictly greater than 222.

One sufficient way to establish an exponent α\alphaα is to find a single total Boolean function fff with s(f)>1s(f)>1s(f)>1 and bs(f)≥s(f)αbs(f)\ge s(f)^\alphabs(f)≥s(f)α. Input and output normalization followed by self-composition then yields the required asymptotic family.

≥ 2.131121719190Formalized record→≥ 2.15Open frontier
9 provers on it18 of 19 missions formalized

Integer Multiplication Below n log n

Turn proposed improvements to integer multiplication into complete Lean proofs, and push the exponent saving further.

Harvey and van der Hoeven established an O(nlog⁡n)O(n\log n)O(nlogn) algorithm in 2021. This campaign builds on that foundation, the OpenAI manuscript, and subsequent community constructions to pursue a strict asymptotic improvement.

For two nnn-bit integers, the target is

T(n)=O ⁣(n L(n)1−κ),L(n)=max⁡(⌈log⁡2n⌉,1).T(n)=O\!\left(n\,L(n)^{1-\kappa}\right),\qquad L(n)=\max(\lceil\log_2 n\rceil,1).T(n)=O(nL(n)1−κ),L(n)=max(⌈log2​n⌉,1).

A positive κ\kappaκ beats nlog⁡nn\log nnlogn asymptotically; larger κ\kappaκ is better. Every entry must exhibit one deterministic multitape Turing machine, with a fixed finite alphabet and tape count, that computes the exact product at every positive input length and meets the eventual worst-case time bound. The tracked number measures an asymptotic exponent saving.

≥ 3.6 × 10−5Formalized record→≥ 5.1 × 10−5Open frontier
8 provers on it4 of 7 missions formalized

3SUM Exponent

Classical algorithms solve 3SUM in O(n2)O(n^2)O(n2) time. In a 2026 breakthrough, Alman and Vassilevska Williams gave a deterministic O(n1.9992)O(n^{1.9992})O(n1.9992) algorithm, refuting the integer 3SUM hypothesis. How low can the exponent go?

Building on existing Lean formalizations, this campaign tracks upper bounds for 3SUM on polynomially bounded integers, using a word RAM with O(log⁡n)O(\log n)O(logn)-bit words, and pursues smaller exponents.

≤ 1.960614Formalized record→≤ 1.9202796Open frontier
4 provers on it7 of 8 missions formalized

All-Pairs Shortest Paths (APSP) Exponent

Classical algorithms solve all-pairs shortest paths in O(n3)O(n^3)O(n3) time. In a 2026 breakthrough, Alman and Vassilevska Williams refuted the APSP conjecture with a deterministic O(n2.99942)O(n^{2.99942})O(n2.99942) algorithm. How low can the exponent go?

Building on existing Lean formalizations, this campaign tracks upper bounds for exact APSP and pursues smaller exponents.

≤ 2.995561Formalized record
3 provers on it5 of 5 missions formalized

The irrationality measure of π

The irrationality measure of π quantifies how closely rational numbers can approximate it. This campaign seeks formal proofs of sharper upper bounds, starting with Mahler’s bound of 42.

≤ 7.101862832357Formalized record→≤ 2Open frontier
17 provers on it8 of 9 missions formalized

Sharp diagonal Hlawka constant

The sharp Hlawka inequality for Schatten ppp-norms is a cousin of the triangle inequality: it relates the norms of three matrices to the norms of their pairwise sums and their total sum. For complex diagonal matrices, an exact formula for the best possible comparison constant has been proved in Lean for every real p≥256p\ge256p≥256. We conjecture that the same formula holds for all p≥2p\ge2p≥2.

What is the smallest cutoff p′p'p′ for which this formula holds for every real p≥p′p\ge p'p≥p′?

References:

  • Wolfram MathWorld, Hlawka's Inequality.
  • Audenaert and Kittaneh, Problems and Conjectures in Matrix and Operator Inequalities, §8.2 (2017).
  • Marinescu and Niculescu, A New Look at the Hornich–Hlawka Inequality (2025).
  • Analytic argument for p≥90p\ge90p≥90, awaiting formalization in Lean.
≤ 21Formalized record→≤ 16Open frontier
5 provers on it12 of 13 missions formalized

Odd numbers as sums of primes

Is every odd number a sum of kkk primes? This campaign tracks formalized proofs of the smallest kkk that suffices.

Schnirelmann (1930) showed some finite kkk works. Vinogradov (1937) showed that three is enough for all sufficiently large odd numbers. Tao (2012) proved k=5k = 5k=5 unconditionally. Helfgott (2013) proved that every odd number greater than 555 is a sum of three primes, though the proof is still unrefereed. Ideally, we can formalize this statement here. Note that three is optimal: 272727 is neither prime nor 222 + prime.

≤ 25Formalized record→≤ 5Open frontier
38 provers on it14 of 16 missions formalized

Matrix multiplication exponent

Schoolbook matrix multiplication takes n3n^3n3 operations. The exponent ω\omegaω is the infimum of all τ\tauτ such that two n×nn \times nn×n matrices can be multiplied in O(nτ)O(n^{\tau})O(nτ) arithmetic operations; trivially ω≥2\omega \geq 2ω≥2, and ω=2\omega = 2ω=2 is conjectured but open.

Strassen gave the first nontrivial bound, ω<2.81\omega < 2.81ω<2.81, in 1969, and introduced the laser method in 1986 to reach ω<2.48\omega < 2.48ω<2.48. Coppersmith and Winograd's 1990 bound of 2.3762.3762.376 stood for two decades. Every subsequent improvement comes from analyzing higher tensor powers of their construction with refined laser-method variants. That line reached ω<2.371339\omega < 2.371339ω<2.371339 in 2025, and the current record is ω<2.371177\omega < 2.371177ω<2.371177, from August 2026. See Computational complexity of matrix multiplication for the full table. Can we formalize these results and even improve on them?

≤ 2.25Formalized record
16 provers on it9 of 9 missions formalized

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Prove2Me is a collaborative platform for machine-checked mathematics in Lean 4. Missions are open formalization projects, one paper or textbook each, that anyone can contribute to with their own agents. Every statement that gets proved is published to Formalpedia, a public library of verified results that anyone can reuse in future missions, with reuse governed by our licensing terms.

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Convex OptimizationFunctional AnalysisOptimization·Captain: mikedeng1

A Dual Algorithm for the Solution of Nonlinear Variational Problems via Finite Element Approximation 1: For 0 < ρ < 2r, the Modified Dual Algorithm Converges Strongly to (v*, Av*)Research Paper

Motivation

Many problems in mechanics and optimal control are posed as the minimization of a convex functional of the form f(Av)−⟨b,v⟩f(Av)-\langle b,v\ranglef(Av)−⟨b,v⟩, where AAA is a differential operator and fff is non-smooth: an obstacle, a friction term, a plasticity threshold. Splitting the variable, y=Avy=Avy=Av, separates the linear operator from the non-smooth function, and a Lagrange multiplier for the constraint Av−y=0Av-y=0Av−y=0 turns the problem into a sequence of two simpler ones: a linear system in vvv and a pointwise nonlinear problem in yyy. The scheme that alternates between the two and then updates the multiplier is now called the alternating direction method of multipliers (ADMM). It is one of the standard algorithms of large-scale convex optimization, statistics and imaging (Boyd, Parikh, Chu, Peleato and Eckstein, 2011).

Gabay and Mercier (IRIA report RR-126, 1975; Comput. Math. Appl., 1976) gave a convergence proof of this method in Hilbert space, for a stepsize ρ\rhoρ anywhere in (0,2r)(0,2r)(0,2r), where rrr is the penalty parameter of the augmented Lagrangian.

Timeline.

  • 1969: Hestenes and Powell introduce the augmented Lagrangian (method of multipliers).
  • 1975: Glowinski and Marrocco propose the alternating scheme for nonlinear Dirichlet problems.
  • 1975–76: Gabay and Mercier prove strong convergence of the primal iterates for 0<ρ<2r0<\rho<2r0<ρ<2r under strong monotonicity of f1′f_1'f1′​ (this mission).
  • 1983: Gabay identifies ADMM with Douglas–Rachford splitting applied to the dual.
  • 1992: Eckstein and Bertsekas extend convergence to maximal monotone operators, without strong monotonicity, for ρ=r\rho=rρ=r.

Setting

VVV and YYY are real Hilbert spaces; (⋅,⋅)(\cdot,\cdot)(⋅,⋅) and ∣⋅∣|\cdot|∣⋅∣ are the inner product and norm of YYY, ∥⋅∥\|\cdot\|∥⋅∥ the norm of VVV. A:V→YA:V\to YA:V→Y is a continuous linear operator and bbb is a continuous linear functional on VVV, with value ⟨b,v⟩\langle b,v\rangle⟨b,v⟩ at vvv. The dual of YYY is identified with YYY. The function f:Y→(−∞,+∞]f:Y\to(-\infty,+\infty]f:Y→(−∞,+∞] is a sum f=f1+f2f=f_1+f_2f=f1​+f2​ where

  1. f1:Y→Rf_1:Y\to\mathbb Rf1​:Y→R is convex and continuously differentiable, and its gradient is strongly monotone: (f1′(y)−f1′(z),y−z)≥γ∣y−z∣2(f_1'(y)-f_1'(z),y-z)\ge\gamma|y-z|^2(f1′​(y)−f1′​(z),y−z)≥γ∣y−z∣2 for some γ>0\gamma>0γ>0 (2.3);
  2. f2f_2f2​ is proper (never −∞-\infty−∞, somewhere finite), convex and lower semicontinuous;
  3. ∣Av∣2≥α2∥v∥2|Av|^2\ge\alpha^2\|v\|^2∣Av∣2≥α2∥v∥2 for some α>0\alpha>0α>0 (2.5);
  4. some Av0Av_0Av0​ lies in the interior of dom⁡f2={y:f2(y)<+∞}\operatorname{dom}f_2=\{y:f_2(y)<+\infty\}domf2​={y:f2​(y)<+∞} (qualification).

The problem is

(P)inf⁡v∈V f(Av)−⟨b,v⟩,(\mathcal P)\qquad \inf_{v\in V}\ f(Av)-\langle b,v\rangle ,(P)v∈Vinf​ f(Av)−⟨b,v⟩,

and a solution v∗v^*v∗ is a point where this value is finite and minimal. The Lagrangian and augmented Lagrangian are, for λ∈Y\lambda\in Yλ∈Y and r>0r>0r>0,

L(v,y;λ)=f(y)+(λ,Av−y)−⟨b,v⟩,Lr=L+r2∣Av−y∣2.\mathcal L(v,y;\lambda)=f(y)+(\lambda,Av-y)-\langle b,v\rangle,\qquad \mathcal L_r=\mathcal L+\frac r2|Av-y|^2 .L(v,y;λ)=f(y)+(λ,Av−y)−⟨b,v⟩,Lr​=L+2r​∣Av−y∣2.

The modified dual algorithm (3.4) starts from any (y0,λ0)∈Y×Y(y^0,\lambda^0)\in Y\times Y(y0,λ0)∈Y×Y and, for n≥0n\ge0n≥0,

  1. finds vn+1v^{n+1}vn+1 with r(Avn+1,Aw)=(ryn−λn,Aw)+⟨b,w⟩r(Av^{n+1},Aw)=(ry^n-\lambda^n,Aw)+\langle b,w\rangler(Avn+1,Aw)=(ryn−λn,Aw)+⟨b,w⟩ for all w∈Vw\in Vw∈V (minimization of Lr\mathcal L_rLr​ in vvv);
  2. finds yn+1y^{n+1}yn+1 with λn+rAvn+1−ryn+1−f1′(yn+1)∈∂f2(yn+1)\lambda^n+rAv^{n+1}-ry^{n+1}-f_1'(y^{n+1})\in\partial f_2(y^{n+1})λn+rAvn+1−ryn+1−f1′​(yn+1)∈∂f2​(yn+1) (minimization of Lr\mathcal L_rLr​ in yyy);
  3. sets λn+1=λn+ρ(Avn+1−yn+1)\lambda^{n+1}=\lambda^n+\rho(Av^{n+1}-y^{n+1})λn+1=λn+ρ(Avn+1−yn+1).

PPP denotes the orthogonal projection of YYY onto the range R(A)R(A)R(A), which is closed by (2.5).

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem 3.1

For r>0r>0r>0 and every stepsize with

0<ρ<2r,0<\rho<2r,0<ρ<2r,

every run of the algorithm satisfies

∥vn−v∗∥→0,∣yn−Av∗∣→0,sup⁡n∣λn∣<∞,\|v^n-v^*\|\to0,\qquad |y^n-Av^*|\to0,\qquad \sup_n|\lambda^n|<\infty,∥vn−v∗∥→0,∣yn−Av∗∣→0,nsup​∣λn∣<∞,

where v∗v^*v∗ is the unique solution of (P)(\mathcal P)(P). The multipliers need not converge.

Milestones

  1. Proposition 2.1: (P)(\mathcal P)(P) has a unique solution.
  2. Theorem 2.1: a saddle point (v∗,y∗;λ∗)(v^*,y^*;\lambda^*)(v∗,y∗;λ∗) of L\mathcal LL consists of the solution v∗v^*v∗, y∗=Av∗y^*=Av^*y∗=Av∗ and λ∗∈∂f(Av∗)\lambda^*\in\partial f(Av^*)λ∗∈∂f(Av∗) with A′λ∗=bA'\lambda^*=bA′λ∗=b; and a saddle point exists.
  3. Theorem 2.2: for r>0r>0r>0, Lr\mathcal L_rLr​ and L\mathcal LL have the same saddle points.
  4. (3.8)–(3.10): a saddle point is a fixed point of Steps 1–2.
  5. (3.11)–(3.12): A(vn+1−v∗)=P(yn−y∗)−1rP(λn−λ∗)A(v^{n+1}-v^*)=P(y^n-y^*)-\frac1rP(\lambda^n-\lambda^*)A(vn+1−v∗)=P(yn−y∗)−r1​P(λn−λ∗).
  6. (3.19)–(3.20): the energy estimate
γ∣yn+1−y∗∣2+(r−ρ2)∣(I−P)(yn+1−y∗)∣2+r2∣P(yn+1−y∗)∣2+12ρ∣(I−P)(λn+1−λ∗)∣2≤r2∣P(yn−y∗)∣2+12ρ∣(I−P)(λn−λ∗)∣2\gamma|y^{n+1}-y^*|^2+\Bigl(r-\frac\rho2\Bigr)|(I-P)(y^{n+1}-y^*)|^2+\frac r2|P(y^{n+1}-y^*)|^2+\frac1{2\rho}|(I-P)(\lambda^{n+1}-\lambda^*)|^2\le\frac r2|P(y^n-y^*)|^2+\frac1{2\rho}|(I-P)(\lambda^n-\lambda^*)|^2γ∣yn+1−y∗∣2+(r−2ρ​)∣(I−P)(yn+1−y∗)∣2+2r​∣P(yn+1−y∗)∣2+2ρ1​∣(I−P)(λn+1−λ∗)∣2≤2r​∣P(yn−y∗)∣2+2ρ1​∣(I−P)(λn−λ∗)∣2

and its sum over n=0,…,Nn=0,\dots,Nn=0,…,N. 7. yn→y∗y^n\to y^*yn→y∗ for 0<ρ≤2r0<\rho\le2r0<ρ≤2r. 8. (3.22)–(3.23): a contraction-plus-summable-forcing recursion for ∣P(λn−λ∗)∣2|P(\lambda^n-\lambda^*)|^2∣P(λn−λ∗)∣2, and the scalar lemma that such recursions tend to 000. 9. P(λn−λ∗)→0P(\lambda^n-\lambda^*)\to0P(λn−λ∗)→0 and vn→v∗v^n\to v^*vn→v∗ for 0<ρ<2r0<\rho<2r0<ρ<2r.

Significance

The theorem says that ADMM converges without any step-size tuning beyond ρ<2r\rho<2rρ<2r, and that the primal iterates converge in norm in infinite dimension, which is what makes the method usable for finite element discretizations of variational problems (the companion mission on internal approximations treats the discretization). It covers obstacle problems, Bingham fluids and elasto-plastic torsion, where f2f_2f2​ is an indicator or a non-differentiable norm.

The result is proved in the 1975 report. To our knowledge it has no machine-checked proof. Formalizing it adds a library-level convergence theorem for ADMM in Hilbert space with EReal\mathrm{EReal}EReal-valued convex functions, a saddle-point existence theorem for linearly constrained convex problems, and the energy estimate (3.19) as a reusable lemma. The formalization also fixes two defects of the printed text (see Formalization scope): a sign in Step 1 and a qualification hypothesis that is too weak.

Difficulty

The energy estimate (3.19) only controls the multiplier through its component in R(A)⊥R(A)^\perpR(A)⊥, and only the yyy-error through γ>0\gamma>0γ>0. The natural first idea, a Lyapunov function in ∣λn−λ∗∣2|\lambda^n-\lambda^*|^2∣λn−λ∗∣2 alone that decreases at each step, does not work for ρ≠r\rho\ne rρ=r: the component P(λn−λ∗)P(\lambda^n-\lambda^*)P(λn−λ∗) obeys a separate recursion whose contraction factor ∣1−ρ/r∣|1-\rho/r|∣1−ρ/r∣ is below one only for 0<ρ<2r0<\rho<2r0<ρ<2r, and whose forcing term must be shown summable from the yyy-estimate. The existence of a multiplier, i.e. of a saddle point, is a separate difficulty: it needs the subdifferential chain rule ∂(f∘A)=A′∂f(A ⋅)\partial(f\circ A)=A'\partial f(A\,\cdot)∂(f∘A)=A′∂f(A⋅) in infinite dimension, under a constraint qualification.

Formalization scope

Lean conventions:

  • VVV, YYY are InnerProductSpace ℝ with CompleteSpace; multipliers are elements of YYY; bbb is a StrongDual ℝ V.
  • f1:Y→Rf_1:Y\to\mathbb Rf1​:Y→R (a Gateaux-differentiable function is finite), with a gradient f₁' at every point (HasGradientAt) that is continuous; "weakly continuous on finite-dimensional subspaces" is then automatic.
  • f2:Y→f_2:Y\tof2​:Y→ EReal, with IsProperFn, IsConvexFn, IsSubgradient from the published InertialFB.IFB.ConvexAnalysis and Mathlib's LowerSemicontinuous. No subtraction in EReal occurs: the variational inequalities (3.6), (3.9) are stated as subgradient inclusions, and the Lagrangians as a real part plus f2(y)f_2(y)f2​(y).
  • A solution of (P)(\mathcal P)(P) has finite value. A run is any triple of sequences indexed by N\mathbb NN satisfying Steps 1–3 for every nnn; the start is arbitrary, and the well-posedness of the steps is not assumed or used.
  • PPP is the orthogonal projection onto the closure of R(A)R(A)R(A), equal to R(A)R(A)R(A) under (2.5).
  • Strong convergence is convergence in norm; "bounded" is Bornology.IsBounded (Set.range λ).

Corrections to the printed text, each explained in the item's statement:

  • Step 1 (3.5) and (3.8) carry +⟨b,v⟩+\langle b,v\rangle+⟨b,v⟩. The paper prints −⟨b,v⟩-\langle b,v\rangle−⟨b,v⟩ there and in Remark 1 of p. 15, which is inconsistent with L\mathcal LL and (P)(\mathcal P)(P): with the printed sign the iteration solves the problem with −b-b−b.
  • The qualification (2.4), "int⁡dom⁡f2≠∅\operatorname{int}\operatorname{dom}f_2\ne\emptysetintdomf2​=∅", is strengthened to int⁡dom⁡f2∩R(A)≠∅\operatorname{int}\operatorname{dom}f_2\cap R(A)\ne\emptysetintdomf2​∩R(A)=∅. With (2.4) alone, Theorem 2.1's saddle point need not exist and the multipliers of Theorem 3.1 need not be bounded: V=RV=\mathbb RV=R, Y=R2Y=\mathbb R^2Y=R2, Av=(v,0)Av=(v,0)Av=(v,0), f1=∣⋅∣2/2f_1=|\cdot|^2/2f1​=∣⋅∣2/2, f2f_2f2​ the indicator of the disc of centre (0,1)(0,1)(0,1) and radius 111, ⟨b,v⟩=v\langle b,v\rangle=v⟨b,v⟩=v.
  • Proposition 2.1 assumes that f2∘Af_2\circ Af2​∘A is somewhere finite, which its proof requires.

Ruled out: the solution v∗v^*v∗ is a hypothesis of the goal, so the hypotheses must not be contradictory. They are met by V=Y=RV=Y=\mathbb RV=Y=R, A=idA=\mathrm{id}A=id, f1(y)=y2/2f_1(y)=y^2/2f1​(y)=y2/2, f2=0f_2=0f2​=0, b=0b=0b=0, and a proper f2f_2f2​ excludes the degenerate reading in which every point "solves" (P)(\mathcal P)(P) with value +∞+\infty+∞.

A complete development needs: existence of minimizers of coercive convex l.s.c. functions on a Hilbert space; the subdifferential sum and chain rules under a continuity qualification; orthogonal projections onto closed ranges; and elementary facts about summable sequences. The saddle-point theory (Theorems 2.1–2.2) and the scalar lemma (3.23) are reusable beyond this mission. Proofs of any milestone are welcome, as are proofs of the goal by a different route.

Selected references

  • D. Gabay and B. Mercier, A dual algorithm for the solution of non linear variational problems via finite element approximation, IRIA Rapport de Recherche 126, 1975. https://hal.science/hal-04716124v1 ; journal version: Computers & Mathematics with Applications 2 (1976) 17–40, https://doi.org/10.1016/0898-1221(76)90003-1
  • R. Glowinski and A. Marrocco, Sur l'approximation, par éléments finis d'ordre un, et la résolution, par pénalisation-dualité, d'une classe de problèmes de Dirichlet non linéaires, RAIRO Analyse Numérique 9 (1975) 41–76. https://doi.org/10.1051/m2an/197509R200411
  • M. R. Hestenes, Multiplier and gradient methods, J. Optim. Theory Appl. 4 (1969) 303–320. https://doi.org/10.1007/BF00927673
  • I. Ekeland and R. Temam, Analyse convexe et problèmes variationnels, Dunod, 1974 (the paper's [E]).
  • J. Eckstein and D. P. Bertsekas, On the Douglas–Rachford splitting method and the proximal point algorithm for maximal monotone operators, Math. Programming 55 (1992) 293–318. https://doi.org/10.1007/BF01581204
  • S. Boyd, N. Parikh, E. Chu, B. Peleato and J. Eckstein, Distributed optimization and statistical learning via the alternating direction method of multipliers, Found. Trends Mach. Learn. 3 (2011) 1–122. https://doi.org/10.1561/2200000016
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ProbabilityStatistics·Captain: mikedeng1

On Tail Probabilities for Martingales 1: If X_n ≤ 1 and E{X_n | ℱ_{n−1}} ≤ 0, Then P{S_n ≥ a and T_n ≤ b for Some n} ≤ (b/(a+b))^{a+b} e^a ≤ exp[−a²/2(a+b)]Research Paper

Motivation

For sums of independent bounded random variables, the inequalities of Bernstein and Bennett bound the probability of a large deviation by an exponential in the deviation and the variance (Bennett 1962; Hoeffding 1963). Many processes met in probability, statistics and learning theory are not sums of independent terms but martingales or supermartingales: sequential estimators, stochastic approximation iterates, the regret of an online algorithm. For them the relevant scale is not a fixed variance but the conditional variance accumulated along the path, which is itself random.

David A. Freedman's paper On Tail Probabilities for Martingales (Ann. Probab. 3 (1975) 100–118) extended the Bernstein–Bennett inequality to this dependent case, with the conditional variance in place of the variance and with a bound that holds simultaneously for all times. The result, now called Freedman's inequality, is the standard tool for martingale concentration with variance-sensitive rates and is used throughout bandit and reinforcement-learning analyses, random-graph arguments and stochastic optimization. This mission formalizes that theorem, (4.1) of the paper, together with the chain of lemmas the paper uses to prove it.

Setting

Let (Ω,F,P)(\Omega,\mathcal F,P)(Ω,F,P) be a probability space and F0⊂F1⊂F2⊂⋯\mathcal F_0\subset\mathcal F_1\subset\mathcal F_2\subset\cdotsF0​⊂F1​⊂F2​⊂⋯ an increasing sequence of sub-σ\sigmaσ-fields of F\mathcal FF (a filtration). Let X1,X2,…X_1,X_2,\dotsX1​,X2​,… be real random variables with XnX_nXn​ measurable with respect to Fn\mathcal F_nFn​. Define

  • the partial sums Sn=X1+⋯+XnS_n=X_1+\cdots+X_nSn​=X1​+⋯+Xn​, with S0=0S_0=0S0​=0;
  • the conditional variances Vn=Var⁡{Xn∣Fn−1}V_n=\operatorname{Var}\{X_n\mid\mathcal F_{n-1}\}Vn​=Var{Xn​∣Fn−1​};
  • the intrinsic time Tn=V1+⋯+VnT_n=V_1+\cdots+V_nTn​=V1​+⋯+Vn​, with T0=0T_0=0T0​=0.

Freedman treats TnT_nTn​ as an intrinsic clock: read at time TnT_nTn​ rather than nnn, the process SnS_nSn​ resembles Brownian motion. The paper's condition (3.4) is

Xn≤1 a.e.andE{Xn∣Fn−1}≤0 a.e.for all n≥1,X_n\le1\ \text{a.e.}\qquad\text{and}\qquad E\{X_n\mid\mathcal F_{n-1}\}\le0\ \text{a.e.}\qquad\text{for all }n\ge1,Xn​≤1 a.e.andE{Xn​∣Fn−1​}≤0 a.e.for all n≥1,

so (Sn)(S_n)(Sn​) is a supermartingale whose increments are bounded above by 111; no lower bound is assumed. The auxiliary functions are e(λ)=eλ−1−λe(\lambda)=e^\lambda-1-\lambdae(λ)=eλ−1−λ and Qλ(v,y)=exp⁡{λy−e(λ)v}Q_\lambda(v,y)=\exp\{\lambda y-e(\lambda)v\}Qλ​(v,y)=exp{λy−e(λ)v}, with time first and position second. A stopping time σ\sigmaσ takes values in {0,1,2,…,∞}\{0,1,2,\dots,\infty\}{0,1,2,…,∞} with {σ≤n}∈Fn\{\sigma\le n\}\in\mathcal F_n{σ≤n}∈Fn​, and P{σ=∞}>0P\{\sigma=\infty\}>0P{σ=∞}>0 is allowed.

In Lean these are FreedmanTail.Bernstein.S, V, T (on Filtration ℕ m, with V given by Mathlib's condVar) and FreedmanTail.Bernstein.e, Q.

Formalization targets

Goal: (4.1) Theorem

Under (3.4), for all a>0a>0a>0 and b>0b>0b>0,

P{Sn≥a and Tn≤b for some n=1,2,… }≤(ba+b)a+bea≤exp⁡[−a22(a+b)].P\{S_n\ge a\ \text{and}\ T_n\le b\ \text{for some } n=1,2,\dots\}\le\Bigl(\frac{b}{a+b}\Bigr)^{a+b}e^{a}\le\exp\Bigl[-\frac{a^{2}}{2(a+b)}\Bigr].P{Sn​≥a and Tn​≤b for some n=1,2,…}≤(a+bb​)a+bea≤exp[−2(a+b)a2​].

The first bound is of Bennett type, the second of Bernstein type. The event is a union over all times; the bound does not depend on any horizon.

Milestones

In the order the paper's proof uses them:

  1. (3.1) Lemma: g(0)=12g(0)=\tfrac12g(0)=21​, g(x)=(ex−1−x)/x2g(x)=(e^x-1-x)/x^2g(x)=(ex−1−x)/x2 for x≠0x\ne0x=0, is increasing.
  2. (3.2) Corollary: exp⁡(λx)≤1+λx+x2e(λ)\exp(\lambda x)\le1+\lambda x+x^2e(\lambda)exp(λx)≤1+λx+x2e(λ) for λ≥0\lambda\ge0λ≥0, x≤1x\le1x≤1.
  3. (3.5): E{exp⁡(λX)}≤1+e(λ)Var⁡X≤exp⁡[e(λ)Var⁡X]E\{\exp(\lambda X)\}\le1+e(\lambda)\operatorname{Var}X\le\exp[e(\lambda)\operatorname{Var}X]E{exp(λX)}≤1+e(λ)VarX≤exp[e(λ)VarX] for λ≥0\lambda\ge0λ≥0, X≤1X\le1X≤1, E(X)≤0E(X)\le0E(X)≤0.
  4. Proof of (3.3): {Qλ(Tn,Sn),Fn}\{Q_\lambda(T_n,S_n),\mathcal F_n\}{Qλ​(Tn​,Sn​),Fn​} is a supermartingale for λ≥0\lambda\ge0λ≥0.
  5. (3.3) Proposition: ∫{σ<∞}Qλ(Tσ,Sσ) dP≤1\int_{\{\sigma<\infty\}}Q_\lambda(T_\sigma,S_\sigma)\,dP\le1∫{σ<∞}​Qλ​(Tσ​,Sσ​)dP≤1 for every stopping time σ\sigmaσ and λ≥0\lambda\ge0λ≥0.
  6. Proof of (4.1): P{A}≤exp⁡[−λa+e(λ)b]P\{A\}\le\exp[-\lambda a+e(\lambda)b]P{A}≤exp[−λa+e(λ)b] for every λ≥0\lambda\ge0λ≥0, where AAA is the event of the goal.
  7. Proof of (4.1): λ0=log⁡[(a+b)/b]\lambda_0=\log[(a+b)/b]λ0​=log[(a+b)/b] minimizes this bound, with value (b/(a+b))a+bea(b/(a+b))^{a+b}e^a(b/(a+b))a+bea.
  8. Proof of (4.1): (b/(a+b))a+bea≤exp⁡[−a2/(2(a+b))](b/(a+b))^{a+b}e^a\le\exp[-a^2/(2(a+b))](b/(a+b))a+bea≤exp[−a2/(2(a+b))].

Significance

The inequality bounds the probability that a supermartingale ever reaches level aaa before its accumulated conditional variance exceeds bbb. Since it holds for all times at once, fixed-horizon versions follow immediately, as do versions with stopping times, and with a peeling argument over bbb it gives the variance-adaptive confidence sequences used in sequential testing and in the analysis of algorithms. Freedman's paper uses it to derive the law of the iterated logarithm for martingales; later work uses it wherever a martingale's conditional variance is much smaller than the square of its increment bound.

The theorem has been proved for fifty years. What this mission adds is a machine-checked statement and proof of the full infinite-horizon form under the one-sided hypothesis (3.4), together with the exponential supermartingale and the optional-stopping bound (3.3) as reusable lemmas. Prove2Me already has fixed-horizon Bernstein-form consequences for martingale differences; the infinite-horizon Bennett form under (3.4) does not appear in Mathlib or on the platform.

Difficulty

The naive route of applying Markov's inequality to exp⁡(λSn)\exp(\lambda S_n)exp(λSn​) at a fixed nnn gives a bound for one time only and requires a deterministic bound on TnT_nTn​. Taking a union over all nnn loses everything. The content of the theorem is that the random clock TnT_nTn​ and the supremum over time can both be absorbed, which requires an exponential process compensated by the random TnT_nTn​ and an optional-stopping bound for stopping times that may be infinite with positive probability. The process need not be uniformly integrable, and the increments have no lower bound. A second, smaller, difficulty is the variance form of (3.5): the bound uses Var⁡X\operatorname{Var}XVarX rather than E(X2)E(X^2)E(X2), which is strictly sharper when E(X)<0E(X)<0E(X)<0 and is needed to compensate with conditional variances.

Formalization scope

Lean conventions this mission commits to:

  • Increments are a sequence X : ℕ → Ω → ℝ used from index 111 (X 0 is never read), so SnS_nSn​, TnT_nTn​ and VnV_nVn​ carry the paper's indices. The filtration is Mathlib's Filtration ℕ m, and "XnX_nXn​ is Fn\mathcal F_nFn​-measurable" is StronglyMeasurable[ℱ n] (X n) for n≥1n\ge1n≥1.
  • VnV_nVn​ is Mathlib's condVar (ℱ (n - 1)) (X n) P. Mathlib sets a conditional expectation of a non-integrable function to 000, so every increment is assumed square integrable (MemLp (X n) 2 P). This is the one hypothesis added to the page. Under (3.4) the page also allows increments of infinite variance, for which its TnT_nTn​ is +∞+\infty+∞; the formalization narrows the class of processes and leaves every conclusion as printed. Milestone (3.5) likewise assumes E(X2)<∞E(X^2)<\inftyE(X2)<∞, which is the case the page reduces to.
  • "Expectation-decreasing martingale" is Mathlib's Supermartingale.
  • Stopping times are Ω → WithTop ℕ with IsStoppingTime; ⊤\top⊤ is ∞\infty∞. In (3.3) the integral over {σ<∞}\{\sigma<\infty\}{σ<∞} is a lower Lebesgue integral in [0,∞][0,\infty][0,∞], so the bound does not presuppose integrability, and SσS_\sigmaSσ​, TσT_\sigmaTσ​ are read only on {σ≠∞}\{\sigma\ne\infty\}{σ=∞}.
  • The probability of the event "for some nnn" is the measure of {ω:∃n≥1, Sn(ω)≥a, Tn(ω)≤b}\{\omega:\exists n\ge1,\ S_n(\omega)\ge a,\ T_n(\omega)\le b\}{ω:∃n≥1, Sn​(ω)≥a, Tn​(ω)≤b}. (b/(a+b))a+b(b/(a+b))^{a+b}(b/(a+b))a+b is a real power.
  • (3.1) is stated as strict monotonicity, which its proof (g′(x)>0g'(x)>0g′(x)>0 for x≠0x\ne0x=0) establishes.

A fixed-horizon statement (n=Nn=Nn=N, or n≤Nn\le Nn≤N), a martingale hypothesis E{Xn∣Fn−1}=0E\{X_n\mid\mathcal F_{n-1}\}=0E{Xn​∣Fn−1​}=0, or a two-sided bound ∣Xn∣≤1|X_n|\le1∣Xn​∣≤1 would each be a strictly weaker theorem than (4.1) and is not an acceptable formalization of the goal.

The development needs exponential supermartingales compensated by conditional variance, optional stopping for stopping times that may be infinite, and elementary real analysis of exe^xex. The real-analysis milestones (3.1), (3.2) and the two calculus steps are independent and reusable; (3.5) is a self-contained moment-generating-function bound; the supermartingale and (3.3) are reusable for every exponential-supermartingale argument. Contributions to any milestone, and alternative proofs of the goal, are welcome.

Selected references

  • David A. Freedman, On Tail Probabilities for Martingales, The Annals of Probability 3(1) (1975), 100–118. https://doi.org/10.1214/aop/1176996452 (source of this mission; a scanned copy of the published article, cited by printed page)
  • George Bennett, Probability Inequalities for the Sum of Independent Random Variables, Journal of the American Statistical Association 57 (1962), 33–45. https://doi.org/10.1080/01621459.1962.10482149
  • Wassily Hoeffding, Probability Inequalities for Sums of Bounded Random Variables, Journal of the American Statistical Association 58 (1963), 13–30. https://doi.org/10.1080/01621459.1963.10500830
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Operations ResearchProbabilityStochastic Systems·Captain: mikedeng1

Shock Models and Wear Processes IV: With a Random Threshold, Shock Survival Probabilities Are Submultiplicative for Every Damage Law Iff the Threshold Is NBUResearch Paper

Motivation

Reliability theory classifies life distributions by how they age. A device whose remaining life, once it has survived to age ttt, is stochastically shorter than the life of a new device is called new better than used (NBU). The NBU class, together with the classes IHR (increasing hazard rate) and IHRA (increasing hazard rate average), organizes much of the theory of maintenance and replacement: Marshall and Proschan showed that the NBU property is what makes certain replacement policies beneficial, and Barlow and Proschan's monographs build the statistical theory of reliability on these classes.

A question that runs through this literature is where such ageing properties come from physically. Esary, Marshall and Proschan (Ann. Probability 1973) answer it for shock models: a device is hit by shocks arriving in time as a Poisson process, each shock adds a random amount of damage, and the device fails when the accumulated damage exceeds its threshold. Section 4 of their paper treats a fixed threshold and shows that the life is IHRA for every damage law. Section 5, the subject of this mission, lets the threshold itself be random, which models the variation between individual items of a production lot. It then asks which ageing properties of the threshold law are inherited by the life distribution, and which are forced if the inheritance is to hold whatever the damage law.

Setting

All distributions are laws of non-negative random variables. For a distribution FFF on R\mathbb RR with F(z)=0F(z) = 0F(z)=0 for z<0z < 0z<0 (a damage law), F(k)F^{(k)}F(k) denotes the kkk-fold convolution of FFF, with F(0)F^{(0)}F(0) the point mass at 000; thus F(k)(x)=P{X1+⋯+Xk≤x}F^{(k)}(x) = P\{X_1 + \cdots + X_k \le x\}F(k)(x)=P{X1​+⋯+Xk​≤x} for independent Xi∼FX_i \sim FXi​∼F.

A threshold law is a distribution GGG with G(z)=0G(z) = 0G(z)=0 for z<0z < 0z<0; write Gˉ=1−G\bar G = 1 - GGˉ=1−G for its survival function. If the threshold Y∼GY \sim GY∼G is independent of the damages, the probability of surviving kkk shocks is

Pˉk=∫0∞F(k)(x) dG(x)=P{X1+⋯+Xk≤Y},k=0,1,…(5.1)\bar P_k = \int_0^\infty F^{(k)}(x)\, dG(x) = P\{X_1 + \cdots + X_k \le Y\}, \qquad k = 0, 1, \dots \tag{5.1}Pˉk​=∫0∞​F(k)(x)dG(x)=P{X1​+⋯+Xk​≤Y},k=0,1,…(5.1)

If shocks arrive as a Poisson process of rate λ>0\lambda > 0λ>0, the device's life distribution HHH has survival function

Hˉ(t)=∑k=0∞e−λt(λt)kk! Pˉk,t≥0.(5.2)\bar H(t) = \sum_{k=0}^\infty e^{-\lambda t}\frac{(\lambda t)^k}{k!}\,\bar P_k, \qquad t \ge 0. \tag{5.2}Hˉ(t)=k=0∑∞​e−λtk!(λt)k​Pˉk​,t≥0.(5.2)

A survival function Fˉ\bar FFˉ is NBU if Fˉ(t+x)≤Fˉ(x)Fˉ(t)\bar F(t + x) \le \bar F(x)\bar F(t)Fˉ(t+x)≤Fˉ(x)Fˉ(t) for all x,t≥0x, t \ge 0x,t≥0; it is IHR if Fˉ(x+t)/Fˉ(t)\bar F(x + t)/\bar F(t)Fˉ(x+t)/Fˉ(t) is non-increasing in ttt for each x>0x > 0x>0, and IHRA if [Fˉ(t)]1/t[\bar F(t)]^{1/t}[Fˉ(t)]1/t is non-increasing in t>0t > 0t>0. The discrete analogue of NBU for the sequence Pˉk\bar P_kPˉk​ is submultiplicativity, Pˉj+k≤PˉjPˉk\bar P_{j+k} \le \bar P_j \bar P_kPˉj+k​≤Pˉj​Pˉk​.

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem 5.3

For a threshold law GGG with G(z)=0G(z) = 0G(z)=0 for z<0z < 0z<0:

(∀F: Pˉj+k≤Pˉj Pˉk  ∀j,k≥0)  ⟺  Gˉ is NBU,\Big(\forall F:\ \bar P_{j+k} \le \bar P_j\,\bar P_k \ \ \forall j,k \ge 0\Big) \iff \bar G \text{ is NBU},(∀F: Pˉj+k​≤Pˉj​Pˉk​  ∀j,k≥0)⟺Gˉ is NBU,

the quantifier ranging over every damage law FFF; and if GGG is NBU, then for every damage law FFF and every λ>0\lambda > 0λ>0 the life distribution HHH of (5.2) is NBU.

Milestones

  1. Theorem 3.1 (3.5). For any sequence 1=Pˉ0≥Pˉ1≥⋯≥01 = \bar P_0 \ge \bar P_1 \ge \cdots \ge 01=Pˉ0​≥Pˉ1​≥⋯≥0 and λ>0\lambda > 0λ>0: if PˉjPˉk≥Pˉj+k\bar P_j \bar P_k \ge \bar P_{j+k}Pˉj​Pˉk​≥Pˉj+k​ for all j,kj, kj,k, then HHH of (2.1) is NBU.
  2. First display of the proof of Theorem 5.3. If GGG is NBU, then Pˉj+k≤PˉjPˉk\bar P_{j+k} \le \bar P_j \bar P_kPˉj+k​≤Pˉj​Pˉk​ for each damage law FFF.
  3. Second display of the proof of Theorem 5.3. If submultiplicativity holds for every FFF, then Gˉ(s+jxk)≤Gˉ(s) Gˉ(jxk)\bar G(s + j x_k) \le \bar G(s)\,\bar G(j x_k)Gˉ(s+jxk​)≤Gˉ(s)Gˉ(jxk​) for s>0s > 0s>0, xk=s/kx_k = s/kxk​=s/k, j=0,1,…j = 0, 1, \dotsj=0,1,….

Further items (not milestones)

Theorem 5.1 (the life is exponential for every FFF iff GGG is exponential) and Theorem 5.2 (b), (c) (an IHR threshold makes Pˉk1/k\bar P_k^{1/k}Pˉk1/k​ non-increasing for every FFF; non-increasing Pˉk1/k\bar P_k^{1/k}Pˉk1/k​ for every FFF forces GGG to be IHRA) are posed as companion statements from the same section.

Significance

Theorem 5.3 is a characterization: the NBU class is exactly the class of threshold laws for which the cumulative-damage mechanism preserves the discrete NBU property under every damage law. Combined with Theorem 3.1 (3.5), it gives a physical derivation of NBU life distributions: an item with an NBU random strength, subject to Poisson shocks with arbitrary i.i.d. non-negative damage, has an NBU life. Theorems 5.1 and 5.2 place the exponential and the IHR/IHRA classes in the same framework, and the authors record that whether an IHRA threshold suffices in Theorem 5.2 (b) is left unresolved.

The results are proved in the paper. No machine-checked version is known to exist; this mission produces one. A complete development also supplies reusable infrastructure: convolution powers of laws on [0,∞)[0, \infty)[0,∞) as Mathlib measures, Poisson mixtures of a sequence, and the ageing classes of p. 631 as predicates on survival functions.

Difficulty

The equivalence couples a property of one function, Gˉ\bar GGˉ, to a family of inequalities indexed by every damage law, and the left side is about convolutions while the right side is pointwise. Two points make the statement harder than it looks. First, (5.1) as printed is P{X1+⋯+Xk≤Y}P\{X_1 + \cdots + X_k \le Y\}P{X1​+⋯+Xk​≤Y}, whereas the paper's proof works with EGˉ(X1+⋯+Xk)=P{X1+⋯+Xk<Y}E\bar G(X_1 + \cdots + X_k) = P\{X_1 + \cdots + X_k < Y\}EGˉ(X1​+⋯+Xk​)=P{X1​+⋯+Xk​<Y}; the two agree only when F(k)F^{(k)}F(k) and GGG have no common discontinuities, and they can disagree as soon as F(k)F^{(k)}F(k) has an atom where GGG has one, a case the left side of the equivalence includes. A formal proof cannot invoke that convention. Second, the second sentence of the theorem passes through a Poisson series (5.2) whose terms involve the whole sequence Pˉk\bar P_kPˉk​, so the NBU property of HHH is a statement about a power series in ttt, not about any single Pˉk\bar P_kPˉk​.

Formalization scope

  • A distribution is a probability measure on R\mathbb RR; "F(z)=0F(z) = 0F(z)=0 for z<0z < 0z<0" is mass 000 on (−∞,0)(-\infty, 0)(−∞,0), and "G(0)=0G(0) = 0G(0)=0" (Theorems 5.1, 5.2) is mass 000 on (−∞,0](-\infty, 0](−∞,0]. F(k)F^{(k)}F(k) is the kkk-fold Measure.conv power with F(0)=δ0F^{(0)} = \delta_0F(0)=δ0​, and F(k)(x)F^{(k)}(x)F(k)(x) is the mass of (−∞,x](-\infty, x](−∞,x].
  • Pˉk\bar P_kPˉk​ is (5.1) as printed, ∫F(k)(x) dG(x)\int F^{(k)}(x)\,dG(x)∫F(k)(x)dG(x) over R\mathbb RR; since GGG is carried by [0,∞)[0, \infty)[0,∞) this is ∫0∞\int_0^\infty∫0∞​ including an atom of GGG at 000, which Theorem 5.3 allows. The paper's convention that F(k)F^{(k)}F(k) and GGG have no common discontinuities is not added as a hypothesis: the statements hold for (5.1) without it. The integrand is monotone with values in [0,1][0,1][0,1], so the Bochner integral is a genuine expectation.
  • "For all FFF" sits inside the equivalence of Theorem 5.3 and ranges over every probability measure on [0,∞)[0, \infty)[0,∞). Submultiplicativity for one fixed FFF is a different, weaker statement.
  • NBU and IHR are cross-multiplied, agreeing with the paper's ratio form wherever denominators are positive (the paper restricts variables to avoid zero denominators). NBU is on x,t≥0x, t \ge 0x,t≥0 exactly as in definition (v). Powers [Gˉ(t)]1/t[\bar G(t)]^{1/t}[Gˉ(t)]1/t and Pˉk1/k\bar P_k^{1/k}Pˉk1/k​ are real powers. "Decreasing" means non-increasing.
  • HHH is the series (2.1) as a function on R\mathbb RR, equal to 111 on (−∞,0)(-\infty, 0)(−∞,0); λ>0\lambda > 0λ>0 as in (1.1). In Theorem 3.1 (3.5) the non-negativity Pˉk≥0\bar P_k \ge 0Pˉk​≥0 is stated explicitly.
  • In Theorem 5.1 "exponential" allows rate 000 for HHH (the damage law δ0\delta_0δ0​ gives Hˉ≡1\bar H \equiv 1Hˉ≡1) and requires a positive rate for GGG (G(0)=0G(0) = 0G(0)=0 rules out the degenerate case Gˉ=0\bar G = 0Gˉ=0 on (0,∞)(0,\infty)(0,∞)).
  • A trivializing formalization is ruled out: the threshold-law quantifier is not restricted to a class where both sides are automatic, the integral cannot collapse to a default value, and the NBU predicate is the paper's on [0,∞)[0, \infty)[0,∞), not on (0,∞)(0, \infty)(0,∞) or a vacuous domain.

Contributions welcome: proofs of the milestones, a library for Poisson mixtures and convolution powers of laws on [0,∞)[0,\infty)[0,∞), and the extra items of §5.

Selected references

  • J. D. Esary, A. W. Marshall and F. Proschan, Shock Models and Wear Processes, The Annals of Probability 1(4), 627–649, 1973. https://doi.org/10.1214/aop/1176996891
  • R. E. Barlow and F. Proschan, Mathematical Theory of Reliability, Wiley, 1965; reprinted SIAM Classics in Applied Mathematics, 1996. https://doi.org/10.1137/1.9781611971194
  • Z. W. Birnbaum, J. D. Esary and A. W. Marshall, A Stochastic Characterization of Wear-Out for Components and Systems, The Annals of Mathematical Statistics 37(4), 816–825, 1966. https://doi.org/10.1214/aoms/1177699362
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Markov ChainProbabilityStochastic Systems·Captain: mikedeng1

Ergodic Theorems for Weakly Interacting Infinite Systems and the Voter Model: The Discrete-Time Proximity Process Is Dual to the Branching Process with InterferenceResearch Paper

Motivation

Many models in probability, statistical physics and the theory of stochastic networks are interacting particle systems: infinitely many sites, each in state 0 or 1, each updating at random according to the states of a few other sites. A basic question about such a system is ergodicity: does it have a unique stationary distribution, and does its law converge to it from every initial configuration? For infinite systems the question is hard, because the state space {0,1}I\{0,1\}^I{0,1}I is uncountable and standard Markov chain arguments do not apply.

Holley and Liggett (Ann. Probab. 3 (1975), 643–663) introduced a class of such systems, the proximity processes, which arise from a coupling of more general weakly interacting systems (the settings of Vasershtein (1969), Dobrushin (1971) and Chover (1974)), and showed that each proximity process is dual to a process of finite sets, the branching process with interference. Duality turns a question about an infinite-dimensional process into a question about a process whose states are finite sets. The paper uses it to give short proofs of ergodicity criteria and, in its §5, to study the invariant measures of the voter model. Duality of this kind became one of the main tools of the field; see Liggett, Interacting Particle Systems (Springer, 1985).

This mission formalizes the discrete-time half of the paper: the duality theorem (1.6) and its first applications, Corollary (3.1) and Corollary (4.1).

Setting

Let III be a countable set of sites and S={0,1}IS=\{0,1\}^IS={0,1}I the set of configurations η:I→{0,1}\eta:I\to\{0,1\}η:I→{0,1}, with the product σ\sigmaσ-algebra. For η∈S\eta\in Sη∈S, C(η)={i∈I:η(i)=1}C(\eta)=\{i\in I:\eta(i)=1\}C(η)={i∈I:η(i)=1} is the set of occupied sites.

The data of the model are, for each site iii, a sequence Ni,0=∅,Ni,1,Ni,2,…N_{i,0}=\emptyset,N_{i,1},N_{i,2},\dotsNi,0​=∅,Ni,1​,Ni,2​,… of finite subsets of III and a probability distribution fif_ifi​ on {0,1,2,… }\{0,1,2,\dots\}{0,1,2,…}.

The proximity process ηn\eta_nηn​ is the Markov chain on SSS whose transition function is the product measure

Q(η,⋅)=∏i∈Iνα(i,η),i,α(i,η)=∑k: Ni,k∩C(η)≠∅fi(k),Q(\eta,\cdot)=\prod_{i\in I}\nu_{\alpha(i,\eta),i},\qquad \alpha(i,\eta)=\sum_{k:\,N_{i,k}\cap C(\eta)\neq\emptyset}f_i(k),Q(η,⋅)=i∈I∏​να(i,η),i​,α(i,η)=k:Ni,k​∩C(η)=∅∑​fi​(k),

where νρ,i\nu_{\rho,i}νρ,i​ puts mass ρ\rhoρ on 111. In words: each site iii independently picks an index kkk with probability fi(k)f_i(k)fi​(k) and becomes 111 exactly when the set Ni,kN_{i,k}Ni,k​ contains an occupied site. Pη(ηn∈⋅)P_\eta(\eta_n\in\cdot)Pη​(ηn​∈⋅) denotes the law at time nnn started from η\etaη.

The branching process with interference (b.p.i.) AnA_nAn​ is the Markov chain on the collection T\mathcal TT of finite subsets of III with transition function

Q~(A,B)=∑′∏i∈Afi(ki),\tilde Q(A,B)=\sum{}'\prod_{i\in A}f_i(k_i),Q~​(A,B)=∑′i∈A∏​fi​(ki​),

the sum over all sequences (ki)i∈A(k_i)_{i\in A}(ki​)i∈A​ with ⋃i∈ANi,ki=B\bigcup_{i\in A}N_{i,k_i}=B⋃i∈A​Ni,ki​​=B: each particle at iii splits into particles on Ni,kN_{i,k}Ni,k​ with probability fi(k)f_i(k)fi​(k), and particles landing on the same site merge. PFP_FPF​ denotes probabilities for the chain started at FFF.

For F∈TF\in\mathcal TF∈T, B(F)={η∈S:η(i)=0 for all i∈F}B(F)=\{\eta\in S:\eta(i)=0\ \text{for all } i\in F\}B(F)={η∈S:η(i)=0 for all i∈F}.

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem (1.6)

For all n≥0n\ge0n≥0, η∈S\eta\in Sη∈S and F∈TF\in\mathcal TF∈T,

Pη(ηn∈B(F))=PF(An∩C(η)=∅).P_\eta(\eta_n\in B(F))=P_F(A_n\cap C(\eta)=\emptyset).Pη​(ηn​∈B(F))=PF​(An​∩C(η)=∅).

Milestones

The proof is an induction on nnn whose steps are four displayed identities on p. 647:

  1. (2.3) the one-step law of the proximity process on B(F)B(F)B(F): Pη(η1∈B(F))=∑′∏i∈Ffi(ki)P_\eta(\eta_1\in B(F))=\sum'\prod_{i\in F}f_i(k_i)Pη​(η1​∈B(F))=∑′∏i∈F​fi​(ki​), the sum over sequences with Ni,ki∩C(η)=∅N_{i,k_i}\cap C(\eta)=\emptysetNi,ki​​∩C(η)=∅ for all i∈Fi\in Fi∈F;
  2. (2.4) the same expression for PF(A1∩C(η)=∅)P_F(A_1\cap C(\eta)=\emptyset)PF​(A1​∩C(η)=∅);
  3. (2.5) the first-step decomposition PF(An+1∩C(η)=∅)=∑(ki)P⋃i∈FNi,ki(An∩C(η)=∅)∏i∈Ffi(ki)P_F(A_{n+1}\cap C(\eta)=\emptyset)=\sum_{(k_i)}P_{\bigcup_{i\in F}N_{i,k_i}}(A_n\cap C(\eta)=\emptyset)\prod_{i\in F}f_i(k_i)PF​(An+1​∩C(η)=∅)=∑(ki​)​P⋃i∈F​Ni,ki​​​(An​∩C(η)=∅)∏i∈F​fi​(ki​);
  4. (2.8) the last-step decomposition Pη(ηn+1∈B(F))=∑(ki)Pη(ηn∈B(⋃i∈FNi,ki))∏i∈Ffi(ki)P_\eta(\eta_{n+1}\in B(F))=\sum_{(k_i)}P_\eta(\eta_n\in B(\bigcup_{i\in F}N_{i,k_i}))\prod_{i\in F}f_i(k_i)Pη​(ηn+1​∈B(F))=∑(ki​)​Pη​(ηn​∈B(⋃i∈F​Ni,ki​​))∏i∈F​fi​(ki​).

Applications

  • Corollary (3.1): if ∑k∣Ni,k∣fi(k)≤λ<1\sum_k|N_{i,k}|f_i(k)\le\lambda<1∑k​∣Ni,k​∣fi​(k)≤λ<1 for all iii, then
Pη(ηn∈B(F))≥1−λn∣F∣,P_\eta(\eta_n\in B(F))\ge1-\lambda^n|F|,Pη​(ηn​∈B(F))≥1−λn∣F∣,

and the point mass on the all-zero configuration is the only stationary distribution; along the way, (3.5): PF(An≠∅)≤EF∣An∣≤λn∣F∣P_F(A_n\neq\emptyset)\le E_F|A_n|\le\lambda^n|F|PF​(An​=∅)≤EF​∣An​∣≤λn∣F∣.

  • (4.5): for the §4 model on Z\mathbb ZZ, PF∪G(At≠∅)≤PF(At≠∅)+PG(At≠∅)−PF∩G(At≠∅)P_{F\cup G}(A_t\neq\emptyset)\le P_F(A_t\neq\emptyset)+P_G(A_t\neq\emptyset)-P_{F\cap G}(A_t\neq\emptyset)PF∪G​(At​=∅)≤PF​(At​=∅)+PG​(At​=∅)−PF∩G​(At​=∅).
  • Corollary (4.1): on I=ZI=\mathbb ZI=Z with Ni,1={i−1,i+1}N_{i,1}=\{i-1,i+1\}Ni,1​={i−1,i+1}, fi(0)=1−λf_i(0)=1-\lambdafi​(0)=1−λ, fi(1)=λf_i(1)=\lambdafi​(1)=λ, and h(λ)=2λ+2λ2−7λ3+5λ4−λ5h(\lambda)=2\lambda+2\lambda^2-7\lambda^3+5\lambda^4-\lambda^5h(λ)=2λ+2λ2−7λ3+5λ4−λ5,
Pη(ηt∈B(F))≥1−[h(λ)](t−1)/2∣F∣(t≥1).P_\eta(\eta_t\in B(F))\ge1-[h(\lambda)]^{(t-1)/2}|F|\qquad(t\ge1).Pη​(ηt​∈B(F))≥1−[h(λ)](t−1)/2∣F∣(t≥1).

Significance

The duality identity expresses every finite-dimensional "all vacant" probability of the proximity process, which determine its law, through a chain on finite sets. Consequences in the paper: a sufficient condition for convergence to the all-zero configuration (Corollary (3.1)), which in the nearest-neighbour example on Z\mathbb ZZ gives λ<12\lambda<\tfrac12λ<21​; the sharper range h(λ)<1h(\lambda)<1h(λ)<1, i.e. λ<0.6527\lambda<0.6527λ<0.6527, for that example (Corollary (4.1)), which the interference term makes possible; and, in continuous time, the analysis of the invariant measures of the voter model.

The results are classical and proved; a search of Prove2Me and Mathlib found no machine-checked proof of any of them. A formalization contributes a Lean model of an infinite-product Markov kernel on {0,1}I\{0,1\}^I{0,1}I with its nnn-step laws, a model of a set-valued branching chain, and the duality between them, which are reusable for other duality arguments (contact process, voter model, coalescing random walks).

Difficulty

The two sides of (1.7) are defined independently and live on different spaces. The left side is the time-nnn law of a chain on the uncountable space {0,1}I\{0,1\}^I{0,1}I, obtained by iterating an infinite product kernel; the right side comes from a transition matrix on the countable set of finite subsets of III, whose entries are themselves infinite sums over sequences indexed by a finite set. Neither side can be computed in closed form beyond n=1n=1n=1, so no direct evaluation proves the identity for general nnn.

Two technical points stand in the way of a naive argument. Evaluating a product kernel on a cylinder event and integrating it against a previous law requires the kernel to be measurable in η\etaη, a statement about cylinder sets of an infinite product that a hand proof passes over. And the natural recursion for nnn-step probabilities of the b.p.i. adds the new step at the end, while the comparison with the proximity process needs information about the first step; the two orders agree only by a Chapman–Kolmogorov argument over a countable state space with [0,∞][0,\infty][0,∞]-valued sums. Corollary (4.1) further needs quantitative estimates of survival probabilities for specific initial sets on Z\mathbb ZZ.

Formalization scope

All objects are in the namespace HolleyLiggett.Duality, in one definitions file.

  • {0,1}\{0,1\}{0,1} is Bool (true = 1), SSS is Config I := I → Bool with the product σ\sigmaσ-algebra, T\mathcal TT is Finset I.
  • Standing assumptions on every theorem: [Countable I], N : I → ℕ → Finset I (finite sets) with N i 0 = ∅, and f : I → PMF ℕ (probability distributions). A finite collection Ni,0,…,Ni,mN_{i,0},\dots,N_{i,m}Ni,0​,…,Ni,m​ is the case fi(k)=0f_i(k)=0fi​(k)=0 for k>mk>mk>m.
  • The kernel (1.1) is Measure.infinitePi of the two-point measures; the nnn-step law is proxLaw, iterating Measure.bind from the point mass at η\etaη. Measurability of the kernel is a true fact that solvers must prove; it is not assumed.
  • The b.p.i. nnn-step probabilities bpiProb follow the last-step recursion PF(An+1=B)=∑GPF(An=G)Q~(G,B)P_F(A_{n+1}=B)=\sum_GP_F(A_n=G)\tilde Q(G,B)PF​(An+1​=B)=∑G​PF​(An​=G)Q~​(G,B). All probabilities are in ℝ≥0∞, and each ∑′\sum'∑′ over sequences is an unconditional sum over ↥F → ℕ.
  • The page's "η(1)=1\eta(1)=1η(1)=1" in (1.2) is read as η(i)=1\eta(i)=1η(i)=1. Corollary (4.1) carries the added hypothesis t≥1t\ge1t≥1: at t=0t=0t=0 the printed bound fails when h(λ)>1h(\lambda)>1h(λ)>1, and the proof starts at t=1t=1t=1. Inequality (4.5) uses the §4 model on Z\mathbb ZZ, with the subtracted term moved across.
  • The goal relates the two chains defined by (1.1) and (1.4). A statement through the coupling Xi,nX_{i,n}Xi,n​ of the proof, about an arbitrary process with the right one-step behaviour, or for n=1n=1n=1 only, is not the theorem.

The continuous-time duality (Theorem (2.12)), Corollaries (3.9) and (4.15) and the voter model of §5 are out of scope. Contributions welcome: the measurability and probability facts for proxStep, Chapman–Kolmogorov for bpiProb, and proofs of the milestones.

Selected references

  • R. A. Holley and T. M. Liggett, Ergodic theorems for weakly interacting infinite systems and the voter model, Ann. Probab. 3(4) (1975), 643–663. https://doi.org/10.1214/aop/1176996306
  • T. M. Liggett, Interacting Particle Systems, Grundlehren der mathematischen Wissenschaften 276, Springer, 1985. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-1-4613-8542-4
  • R. L. Dobrushin, Markov processes with a large number of locally interacting components (Russian), Problems of Information Transmission 7(2) (1971), 70–87 (as cited by Holley and Liggett).
  • O. N. Stavskaya and I. I. Pyatetskii-Shapiro, On homogeneous nets of spontaneously active elements, Systems Theory Research 20 (1971), 75–88 (as cited by Holley and Liggett).
  • L. N. Vasershtein, Processes over denumerable products of spaces, describing large systems, Problems of Information Transmission 3 (1969), 47–52 (as cited by Holley and Liggett).
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Globally Convergent Inexact Newton Methods I: Inexact Newton Backtracking Converges to Every Limit Point Where F′ Is Invertible, That Point Is a Zero of F, and Initial Steps Are Eventually AcceptedResearch Paper

Motivation

Newton's method for a nonlinear system F(x)=0F(x) = 0F(x)=0, with F:Rn→RnF:\mathbb R^n\to\mathbb R^nF:Rn→Rn, solves the linear system F′(xk)sk=−F(xk)F'(x_k)s_k = -F(x_k)F′(xk​)sk​=−F(xk​) at every step. For large systems that solve is itself iterative (a Krylov method such as GMRES), and it is stopped early. The resulting inexact Newton methods, introduced by Dembo, Eisenstat and Steihaug (SIAM J. Numer. Anal. 19 (1982)), accept any step with ∥F(xk)+F′(xk)sk∥≤ηk∥F(xk)∥\|F(x_k)+F'(x_k)s_k\|\le\eta_k\|F(x_k)\|∥F(xk​)+F′(xk​)sk​∥≤ηk​∥F(xk​)∥, where the forcing term ηk∈[0,1)\eta_k\in[0,1)ηk​∈[0,1) controls how accurately the linear system is solved. Their theory is local: it applies once the iterates are near a solution with invertible derivative.

Practical solvers (Newton–Krylov codes in large-scale simulation, nonlinear solver libraries such as PETSc's SNES and SUNDIALS' KINSOL) combine such inexact steps with a globalization, most often backtracking along the step. Eisenstat and Walker (SIAM J. Optim. 4 (1994)) gave the global convergence theory for this combination: what can be said about the iterates from an arbitrary starting point, with no assumption that a solution exists or that F′F'F′ is invertible anywhere.

Timeline. Dembo, Eisenstat and Steihaug (1982) proved local convergence of inexact Newton methods. Dembo and Steihaug (Math. Program. 26 (1983)) studied truncated Newton methods for unconstrained minimization. Brown and Saad (1990) studied globalized Newton–Krylov methods with line searches and model trust regions, under the inner-product norm. Eisenstat and Walker (1994) gave the general framework treated here, for an arbitrary norm. Their 1996 paper (SIAM J. Sci. Comput. 17) proposed the forcing-term choices that are now standard.

Setting

Let EEE be Rn\mathbb R^nRn with an arbitrary norm ∥⋅∥\|\cdot\|∥⋅∥, and let F:E→EF:E\to EF:E→E be continuously differentiable with derivative F′(x)F'(x)F′(x). A point x∗x_*x∗​ is a limit point of (xk)(x_k)(xk​) if every ball Nδ(x∗)={y:∥y−x∗∥<δ}N_\delta(x_*)=\{y:\|y-x_*\|<\delta\}Nδ​(x∗​)={y:∥y−x∗​∥<δ} contains xkx_kxk​ for infinitely many kkk.

Algorithm GIN (global inexact Newton method). Fix t∈(0,1)t\in(0,1)t∈(0,1). At each kkk, find a level ηk∈[0,1)\eta_k\in[0,1)ηk​∈[0,1) and a step sks_ksk​ with

∥F(xk)+F′(xk)sk∥≤ηk∥F(xk)∥(2.1),∥F(xk+sk)∥≤[1−t(1−ηk)] ∥F(xk)∥(2.2),\|F(x_k)+F'(x_k)s_k\|\le\eta_k\|F(x_k)\| \quad (2.1),\qquad \|F(x_k+s_k)\|\le[1-t(1-\eta_k)]\,\|F(x_k)\| \quad (2.2),∥F(xk​)+F′(xk​)sk​∥≤ηk​∥F(xk​)∥(2.1),∥F(xk​+sk​)∥≤[1−t(1−ηk​)]∥F(xk​)∥(2.2),

and set xk+1=xk+skx_{k+1}=x_k+s_kxk+1​=xk​+sk​. Condition (2.1) says that sks_ksk​ reduces the norm of the local linear model by the factor ηk\eta_kηk​. Condition (2.2) asks that ∥F∥\|F\|∥F∥ itself decrease by a fixed fraction ttt of that predicted reduction.

Algorithm MR (minimum reduction method). Fix ηmax⁡∈[0,1)\eta_{\max}\in[0,1)ηmax​∈[0,1) and 0<θmin⁡<θmax⁡<10<\theta_{\min}<\theta_{\max}<10<θmin​<θmax​<1. At step kkk, choose ηˉk∈[0,ηmax⁡]\bar\eta_k\in[0,\eta_{\max}]ηˉ​k​∈[0,ηmax​] and a curve σk\sigma_kσk​ with ∥F(xk)+F′(xk)σk(η)∥≤η∥F(xk)∥\|F(x_k)+F'(x_k)\sigma_k(\eta)\|\le\eta\|F(x_k)\|∥F(xk​)+F′(xk​)σk​(η)∥≤η∥F(xk​)∥ for ηˉk≤η≤1\bar\eta_k\le\eta\le1ηˉ​k​≤η≤1 (5.1). Start at ηk=ηˉk\eta_k=\bar\eta_kηk​=ηˉ​k​. While (2.2) fails for sk=σk(ηk)s_k=\sigma_k(\eta_k)sk​=σk​(ηk​), replace ηk\eta_kηk​ by 1−θ(1−ηk)1-\theta(1-\eta_k)1−θ(1−ηk​) for some θ∈[θmin⁡,θmax⁡]\theta\in[\theta_{\min},\theta_{\max}]θ∈[θmin​,θmax​]. Then set xk+1=xk+σk(ηk)x_{k+1}=x_k+\sigma_k(\eta_k)xk+1​=xk​+σk​(ηk​).

Algorithm INB (inexact Newton backtracking). Choose ηˉk∈[0,ηmax⁡]\bar\eta_k\in[0,\eta_{\max}]ηˉ​k​∈[0,ηmax​] and an inexact Newton step sˉk\bar s_ksˉk​ at level ηˉk\bar\eta_kηˉ​k​. While (2.2) fails, shorten the step, sk←θsks_k\leftarrow\theta s_ksk​←θsk​, and raise the level, ηk←1−θ(1−ηk)\eta_k\leftarrow1-\theta(1-\eta_k)ηk​←1−θ(1−ηk​). INB is MR with the backtracking curve σk(η)=1−η1−ηˉksˉk\sigma_k(\eta)=\frac{1-\eta}{1-\bar\eta_k}\bar s_kσk​(η)=1−ηˉ​k​1−η​sˉk​ (6.1).

An algorithm does not break down if it produces an infinite sequence of iterates, in particular if every while-loop exits.

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem 6.1 (global convergence of Algorithm INB)

If Algorithm INB does not break down and x∗x_*x∗​ is a limit point of (xk)(x_k)(xk​) at which F′(x∗)F'(x_*)F′(x∗​) is invertible, then

F(x∗)=0,xk→x∗,sk=sˉk and ηk=ηˉk for all sufficiently large k.F(x_*)=0,\qquad x_k\to x_*,\qquad s_k=\bar s_k\ \text{and}\ \eta_k=\bar\eta_k\ \text{for all sufficiently large }k.F(x∗​)=0,xk​→x∗​,sk​=sˉk​ and ηk​=ηˉ​k​ for all sufficiently large k.

The statement assumes no solution, bounded level set, Lipschitz derivative or particular norm. The last clause says that backtracking eventually stops, so the local rate is governed by the forcing terms ηˉk\bar\eta_kηˉ​k​.

Milestones

In attack order:

  1. Lemmas 1.1 and 1.2. Continuity of y↦F′(y)−1y\mapsto F'(y)^{-1}y↦F′(y)−1 at an invertible point, and a uniform linearization error ∥F(z)−F(y)−F′(y)(z−y)∥≤ε∥z−y∥\|F(z)-F(y)-F'(y)(z-y)\|\le\varepsilon\|z-y\|∥F(z)−F(y)−F′(y)(z−y)∥≤ε∥z−y∥ near xxx.
  2. Theorem 3.3. If F(xk)→0F(x_k)\to0F(xk​)→0, the steps satisfy (2.1) with a fixed η\etaη, and ∥F(xk)∥\|F(x_k)\|∥F(xk​)∥ is nonincreasing, then an invertible limit point is a zero and the limit.
  3. Theorem 3.4. A GIN run with ∑k(1−ηk)=∞\sum_k(1-\eta_k)=\infty∑k​(1−ηk​)=∞ has F(xk)→0F(x_k)\to0F(xk​)→0, plus the conclusion of Theorem 3.3 at invertible limit points.
  4. Theorem 3.5. A GIN run converges to a limit point near which ∥sk∥≤Γ(1−ηk)∥F(xk)∥\|s_k\|\le\Gamma(1-\eta_k)\|F(x_k)\|∥sk​∥≤Γ(1−ηk​)∥F(xk​)∥ (3.2).
  5. Lemma 5.1. The while-loop terminates, with 1−ηk≥min⁡{1−ηˉk,θmin⁡δ/(Γ∥F(xk)∥)}1-\eta_k\ge\min\{1-\bar\eta_k,\theta_{\min}\delta/(\Gamma\|F(x_k)\|)\}1−ηk​≥min{1−ηˉ​k​,θmin​δ/(Γ∥F(xk​)∥)}.
  6. MR runs are GIN runs (§5).
  7. Theorem 5.2 for MR. Under ∥σk(η)∥≤Γ(1−η)∥F(xk)∥\|\sigma_k(\eta)\|\le\Gamma(1-\eta)\|F(x_k)\|∥σk​(η)∥≤Γ(1−η)∥F(xk​)∥ near a limit point x∗x_*x∗​ (5.6): F(x∗)=0F(x_*)=0F(x∗​)=0, xk→x∗x_k\to x_*xk​→x∗​, and ηk=ηˉk\eta_k=\bar\eta_kηk​=ηˉ​k​ eventually.
  8. INB runs are MR runs with the curve (6.1), and sk=σk(ηk)s_k=\sigma_k(\eta_k)sk​=σk​(ηk​) throughout the loop (§6).

Further items, which are not milestones: Corollary 6.2 (exact Newton with backtracking takes full Newton steps eventually), Theorem 5.2 for Algorithm TL, Lemma 3.1 (existence of acceptable GIN steps), and Proposition 2.1 (the Goldstein–Armijo alpha condition implies (2.2) in the Euclidean norm).

Significance

The result. Theorem 6.1 is the global convergence guarantee for the inexact Newton backtracking method that Newton–Krylov solvers implement. It separates three outcomes: the iterates diverge, they accumulate only at points where F′F'F′ is singular, or they converge to a solution with invertible derivative and eventually take the unmodified inexact Newton steps. In the third case the local theory of Dembo, Eisenstat and Steihaug applies from some iteration on, so the forcing terms alone set the convergence rate. Theorem 5.2 is the template: §§6–8 of the paper derive the convergence of backtracking, equality-curve and dogleg-type methods from it by verifying (5.6).

Formalizing it. The results are proved on paper and none of them has a machine-checked proof that we know of. The mission produces a library of algorithm-run predicates with explicit while-loops for inexact Newton methods. It also checks the paper's reduction chain (INB is a run of MR, MR is a run of GIN) and the global convergence theorems in an arbitrary finite-dimensional norm.

Difficulty

The obvious argument fails at both ends. Sufficient decrease (2.2) alone gives monotonicity of ∥F(xk)∥\|F(x_k)\|∥F(xk​)∥, but not convergence of the iterates. On the page, F(x)=x2−1F(x)=x^2-1F(x)=x2−1 admits sequences satisfying (2.2) with both ±1\pm1±1 as limit points. Convergence of ∥F(xk)∥\|F(x_k)\|∥F(xk​)∥ to 000 needs ∑(1−ηk)=∞\sum(1-\eta_k)=\infty∑(1−ηk​)=∞, and nothing in the algorithm states this. In Theorem 5.2 it has to be derived from the exit level of the while-loop, which depends on a neighbourhood of x∗x_*x∗​ where the linearization error is uniformly controlled. A solver must combine a limit-point argument (only infinitely many iterates are near x∗x_*x∗​, not all of them) with the loop's worst-case backtracking factor θmin⁡\theta_{\min}θmin​. The invertibility of F′(x∗)F'(x_*)F′(x∗​) enters only through the bound (5.6) for the backtracking curve, which must be established uniformly in kkk.

Formalization scope

  • Space and norm. EEE is a finite-dimensional real normed space ([NormedAddCommGroup E] [NormedSpace ℝ E] [FiniteDimensional ℝ E]). This is exactly "Rn\mathbb R^nRn with an arbitrary norm". Fin n → ℝ (sup norm) and EuclideanSpace would each fix one norm. Only Proposition 2.1 assumes an inner product space, as the page does.
  • Derivative. F′F'F′ is fderiv ℝ F, with ContDiff ℝ 1 F (the paper's standing assumption). Invertibility is ContinuousLinearMap.IsInvertible, and F′(x)−1F'(x)^{-1}F′(x)−1 is ContinuousLinearMap.inverse.
  • Runs. An algorithm that does not break down is a predicate on infinite sequences (IsGINRun, IsMRRun, IsINBRun, plus IsTLRun, IsENBRun). The steps and levels the algorithm says to "find" or "choose" are data constrained only by the stated conditions. A while-loop is recorded by its number of passes mkm_kmk​ and factors θk,j∈[θmin⁡,θmax⁡]\theta_{k,j}\in[\theta_{\min},\theta_{\max}]θk,j​∈[θmin​,θmax​]. Every trial before the last fails the loop's test and the last one passes it. Termination is part of the run.
  • Limit point is MapClusterPt xstar atTop x. "For all sufficiently large kkk" is ∀ᶠ k in atTop. The paper's "whenever xkx_kxk​ is sufficiently near x∗x_*x∗​ [and kkk is sufficiently large]" is ∃ Γ, ∃ δ > 0, [∃ K,] ∀ k [≥ K], x k ∈ ball xstar δ → …. Γ\GammaΓ precedes kkk ("independent of kkk"), and the "kkk large" clause appears only in (3.2), where the page has it.
  • Hypotheses as printed. Theorems 3.5 and 5.2 do not assume F′(x∗)F'(x_*)F′(x∗​) invertible. Theorem 5.2 does not assume ∑(1−ηk)=∞\sum(1-\eta_k)=\infty∑(1−ηk​)=∞. Lemma 5.1 is stated for one iteration of the loop shared by MR and TL, for every choice of factors.
  • Trivializing readings ruled out. A run predicate without the "rejected" clause would allow needless backtracking, and one without the "accepted" clause would drop (2.2). Both clauses are present. A sorry-free check (F = id on R\mathbb RR) confirms that the INB, GIN and ENB run predicates and the goal's hypotheses are satisfiable, so the goal is not vacuous.
  • Infrastructure. Continuity of operator inversion and uniform differentiability on neighbourhoods are in Mathlib. The run predicates and trial-level recursions are reusable for any line-search or backtracking analysis. Each milestone is stated independently; contributions in any order are welcome.

Selected references

  • S. C. Eisenstat and H. F. Walker, Globally Convergent Inexact Newton Methods, SIAM J. Optim. 4(2) (1994) 393–422. https://doi.org/10.1137/0804022
  • R. S. Dembo, S. C. Eisenstat and T. Steihaug, Inexact Newton Methods, SIAM J. Numer. Anal. 19(2) (1982) 400–408. https://doi.org/10.1137/0719025
  • R. S. Dembo and T. Steihaug, Truncated-Newton algorithms for large-scale unconstrained optimization, Math. Program. 26 (1983) 190–212. https://doi.org/10.1007/BF02592055
  • P. N. Brown and Y. Saad, Hybrid Krylov Methods for Nonlinear Systems of Equations, SIAM J. Sci. Stat. Comput. 11(3) (1990) 450–481. https://doi.org/10.1137/0911026
  • S. C. Eisenstat and H. F. Walker, Choosing the Forcing Terms in an Inexact Newton Method, SIAM J. Sci. Comput. 17(1) (1996) 16–32. https://doi.org/10.1137/0917003
  • J. E. Dennis and R. B. Schnabel, Numerical Methods for Unconstrained Optimization and Nonlinear Equations, SIAM Classics in Applied Mathematics 16 (1996). https://doi.org/10.1137/1.9781611971200
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Operations ResearchProbabilityStochastic Systems·Captain: mikedeng1

Shock Models and Wear Processes I: Under Poisson Shocks, Cumulative Nonnegative I.I.D. Damage up to a Fixed Threshold Gives an IHRA Life DistributionResearch Paper

Motivation

Reliability theory classifies life distributions by how they age. The IHRA class (increasing hazard rate average) is the smallest class of life distributions that contains the exponential distributions and is closed under forming coherent systems and taking limits in distribution (Birnbaum, Esary and Marshall 1966). It is therefore the natural class for the lifetime of a system built from components that wear out. A distribution belongs to it when its survival function Fˉ\bar FFˉ satisfies: [Fˉ(t)]1/t[\bar F(t)]^{1/t}[Fˉ(t)]1/t is decreasing in t>0t > 0t>0.

Esary, Marshall and Proschan (Ann. Probability 1 (1973) 627–649) asked where such ageing comes from physically. Their answer is a shock model: a device receives shocks at the epochs of a Poisson process, each shock does random damage, and the device fails when the accumulated damage exceeds its capacity. The central result of their §4, formalized in this mission, is that this model always produces an IHRA life, whatever the damage distribution. In the authors' words, "the IHRA property has been obtained … as an implication of a natural physical model. The only hypothesis imposed upon FFF is that it be the distribution of a nonnegative random variable." The paper is a standard reference of reliability theory and the source of the cumulative damage model used across maintenance and insurance applications.

Setting

Shocks arrive according to a Poisson process with rate λ>0\lambda > 0λ>0. Write Pˉk\bar P_kPˉk​ for the probability that the device survives the first kkk shocks; then 1≥Pˉ0≥Pˉ1≥⋯≥01 \ge \bar P_0 \ge \bar P_1 \ge \dots \ge 01≥Pˉ0​≥Pˉ1​≥⋯≥0 (display (2.2)). Conditioning on the number of shocks in [0,t][0, t][0,t] gives the shock survival function (2.1):

Hˉ(t)=∑k=0∞Pˉk e−λt(λt)kk!,t≥0,\bar H(t) = \sum_{k=0}^{\infty} \bar P_k\, e^{-\lambda t}\frac{(\lambda t)^k}{k!}, \qquad t \ge 0,Hˉ(t)=k=0∑∞​Pˉk​e−λtk!(λt)k​,t≥0,

with Hˉ(t)=1\bar H(t) = 1Hˉ(t)=1 for t<0t < 0t<0. The weights K(k,t)=e−λt(λt)k/k!K(k,t) = e^{-\lambda t}(\lambda t)^k/k!K(k,t)=e−λt(λt)k/k! are the Poisson probabilities.

In the cumulative damage model the iiith shock causes a damage Xi≥0X_i \ge 0Xi​≥0, the damages are independent with common distribution function FFF (so F(z)=0F(z) = 0F(z)=0 for z<0z < 0z<0), and the device survives kkk shocks when X1+⋯+Xk≤xX_1 + \dots + X_k \le xX1​+⋯+Xk​≤x, for a fixed threshold xxx. Hence (4.1)

Pˉk=F(k)(x),k=0,1,…,\bar P_k = F^{(k)}(x), \qquad k = 0, 1, \dots,Pˉk​=F(k)(x),k=0,1,…,

where F(k)F^{(k)}F(k) is the kkk-fold convolution of FFF and F(0)F^{(0)}F(0) is degenerate at 000. A distribution with survival function Fˉ\bar FFˉ is IHRA if [Fˉ(t)]1/t[\bar F(t)]^{1/t}[Fˉ(t)]1/t is decreasing in t>0t > 0t>0; throughout, "decreasing" means non-increasing.

Formalization targets

Goal: Corollary 4.2, display (4.7)

For every distribution FFF on [0,∞)[0,\infty)[0,∞), every λ>0\lambda > 0λ>0 and every threshold xxx,

Hˉ(t)=∑k=0∞e−λt(λt)kk!F(k)(x)is IHRA.\bar H(t) = \sum_{k=0}^\infty e^{-\lambda t}\frac{(\lambda t)^k}{k!} F^{(k)}(x) \quad \text{is IHRA.}Hˉ(t)=k=0∑∞​e−λtk!(λt)k​F(k)(x)is IHRA.

This is the first of the three statements of Corollary 4.2; the second ((4.7a), independent damages FiF_iFi​ that worsen with iii) is an extra item of this mission, and the third ((4.7b), dependent damages satisfying (4.3)–(4.5)) belongs to mission III of this series.

Milestones

  1. (2.6): Hˉ(t)≥Hˉ(0)e−λt\bar H(t) \ge \bar H(0)e^{-\lambda t}Hˉ(t)≥Hˉ(0)e−λt for t≥0t \ge 0t≥0.
  2. Theorem 3.1 (3.4) through the three claims of its proof (p. 633): if 1=Pˉ0≥Pˉ1≥…1 = \bar P_0 \ge \bar P_1 \ge \dots1=Pˉ0​≥Pˉ1​≥… and Pˉk1/k\bar P_k^{1/k}Pˉk1/k​ is decreasing in k≥1k \ge 1k≥1, then Pˉk−ζk\bar P_k - \zeta^kPˉk​−ζk (0≤ζ≤10 \le \zeta \le 10≤ζ≤1) has at most one sign change, from +++ to −-−; this property passes to Hˉ(t)−e−(1−ζ)λt\bar H(t) - e^{-(1-\zeta)\lambda t}Hˉ(t)−e−(1−ζ)λt on t≥0t \ge 0t≥0; hence Hˉ(t)−e−θt\bar H(t) - e^{-\theta t}Hˉ(t)−e−θt has at most one sign change for every θ>0\theta > 0θ>0; and HHH is IHRA.
  3. Lemma 4.1: for FFF on [0,∞)[0,\infty)[0,∞), [F(k)(x)]1/k[F^{(k)}(x)]^{1/k}[F(k)(x)]1/k is decreasing in k=1,2,…k = 1, 2, \dotsk=1,2,….

Further items

Lemma 4.1a and Corollary 4.2 (4.7a); Theorem 4.4 ([F(k)(x)]1/k[F^{(k)}(x)]^{1/k}[F(k)(x)]1/k is constant in kkk iff FFF has no mass in (0,x](0,x](0,x]); Corollary 4.5 ((4.7) is exponential iff FFF has no mass in (0,x](0,x](0,x]); Corollary 4.11 ([P{N(x)≥k}]1/k[P\{N(x) \ge k\}]^{1/k}[P{N(x)≥k}]1/k is decreasing for the count N(x)N(x)N(x) of an ordinary renewal process).

Significance

The goal turns a modelling assumption into a theorem: anyone who models failure as accumulated nonnegative damage under Poisson shocks obtains, without further checks, every consequence of IHRA proved in reliability theory, including the closure of the class under the formation of coherent systems. Theorem 3.1 (3.4) is reusable on its own: it reduces the IHRA property of any Poisson mixture to a discrete condition on the Pˉk\bar P_kPˉk​, and the same scheme drives the first passage result for wear processes (Theorem 4.10, mission III). Lemma 4.1, applied to renewal processes, gives Corollary 4.11, a statement about renewal counts with no shock model in sight.

All results are proved in the paper; none has a machine-checked proof that we know of. The Mathlib library has the Poisson distribution and the convolution of measures, but no reliability classes, no total positivity and no variation diminishing property. The mission's output is a formal proof of the paper's chain of results and, along the way, reusable statements about Poisson mixtures and convolution powers.

Difficulty

Two steps resist a direct argument. The first is the transfer from sequences to functions: knowing that Pˉk−ζk\bar P_k - \zeta^kPˉk​−ζk changes sign at most once says nothing pointwise about the series ∑k(Pˉk−ζk)K(k,t)\sum_k(\bar P_k - \zeta^k)K(k,t)∑k​(Pˉk​−ζk)K(k,t). The paper invokes the variation diminishing property of the totally positive Poisson kernel (Karlin, Total Positivity, 1968), which is not in Mathlib. The second is Lemma 4.1, an inequality between convolution powers of an arbitrary law: no density, moments or continuity may be assumed, atoms at 000 and at xxx are allowed, so any argument through densities or Laplace transforms loses generality. A further subtlety is the passage from "one sign change of Hˉ(t)−e−θt\bar H(t) - e^{-\theta t}Hˉ(t)−e−θt for every θ\thetaθ" to the monotonicity of [Hˉ(t)]1/t[\bar H(t)]^{1/t}[Hˉ(t)]1/t, which needs care where Hˉ\bar HHˉ vanishes.

Formalization scope

  • A distribution FFF with F(z)=0F(z) = 0F(z)=0 for z<0z < 0z<0 is a probability measure μ\muμ on R\mathbb RR with μ(−∞,0)=0\mu(-\infty,0) = 0μ(−∞,0)=0; nothing else is assumed. F(k)F^{(k)}F(k) is the kkk-fold additive convolution of μ\muμ (Mathlib's Measure.conv) starting from the point mass at 000, and F(k)(x)F^{(k)}(x)F(k)(x) is the real number F(k)(−∞,x]F^{(k)}(-\infty,x]F(k)(−∞,x].
  • Hˉ\bar HHˉ is the series (2.1) as a function on R\mathbb RR, equal to 111 on t<0t < 0t<0. It is never defined through a constructed random failure time, and IHRA is never encoded through a condition on the Pˉk\bar P_kPˉk​: the goal concludes that [Hˉ(t)]1/t[\bar H(t)]^{1/t}[Hˉ(t)]1/t is decreasing on t>0t > 0t>0 for the series itself. This rules out the trivializing reading in which the goal unfolds to Lemma 4.1.
  • Powers [Hˉ(t)]1/t[\bar H(t)]^{1/t}[Hˉ(t)]1/t and Pˉk1/k\bar P_k^{1/k}Pˉk1/k​ are real powers with exponent 1/t1/t1/t, 1/k1/k1/k in R\mathbb RR.
  • Hypotheses the paper leaves implicit and the Lean statements make explicit: λ>0\lambda > 0λ>0; Pˉk≥0\bar P_k \ge 0Pˉk​≥0 (the Pˉk\bar P_kPˉk​ are probabilities); in Corollary 4.5, x≥0x \ge 0x≥0 (the threshold is a capacity), and "exponential" includes the degenerate rate 000.
  • Sign change statements about Hˉ\bar HHˉ hold on t≥0t \ge 0t≥0, where the series defines it.
  • The threshold xxx in the goal ranges over all reals, as printed.
  • In Corollary 4.11 the renewal process is given by independent measurable interarrival times with common law μ\muμ, and N(x)=#{k≥1:X1+⋯+Xk≤x}N(x) = \#\{k \ge 1 : X_1 + \dots + X_k \le x\}N(x)=#{k≥1:X1​+⋯+Xk​≤x} takes values in {0,1,…,∞}\{0, 1, \dots, \infty\}{0,1,…,∞}.

A complete development needs: the variation diminishing property of the Poisson kernel (reusable for every Poisson mixture), monotonicity of [F(k)(x)]1/k[F^{(k)}(x)]^{1/k}[F(k)(x)]1/k via convolution integrals, and elementary facts about real powers and sign changes. Proofs of any milestone or extra item, and general total positivity lemmas, are welcome.

Selected references

  • J. D. Esary, A. W. Marshall and F. Proschan, Shock Models and Wear Processes, The Annals of Probability 1(4) (1973) 627–649. https://doi.org/10.1214/aop/1176996891
  • Z. W. Birnbaum, J. D. Esary and A. W. Marshall, A Stochastic Characterization of Wear-Out for Components and Systems, The Annals of Mathematical Statistics 37 (1966) 816–825. https://doi.org/10.1214/aoms/1177699362
  • S. Karlin, Total Positivity, Vol. I, Stanford University Press, 1968.
  • R. E. Barlow and F. Proschan, Mathematical Theory of Reliability, Wiley, 1965. https://doi.org/10.1137/1.9781611971194
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CombinatoricsComputational GeometryDiscrete Geometry+1·Captain: mikedeng1

A Combinatorial Theorem in Plane Geometry: Every n-Triangulation Can Be Partitioned into at Most ⌊n/3⌋ FansResearch Paper

Motivation

In a conversation reported by Chvátal, Victor Klee asked for the smallest number f(n)f(n)f(n) such that every region bounded by a simple closed nnn-gon is dominated by f(n)f(n)f(n) points: every point of the region sees one of them along a segment inside the region. In the picturesque language that gave the problem its name, f(n)f(n)f(n) is the number of guards needed to watch any art gallery with nnn walls. A comb-shaped polygon (Figure 1 of the paper) shows f(n)≥⌊n/3⌋f(n) \ge \lfloor n/3 \rfloorf(n)≥⌊n/3⌋.

V. Chvátal's three-page note (J. Combin. Theory Ser. B 18 (1975) 39–41) proves the matching upper bound by reducing it to a purely combinatorial statement about triangulated polygons: every such triangulation splits into at most ⌊n/3⌋\lfloor n/3\rfloor⌊n/3⌋ fans, and a fan is watched by a single guard. The combinatorial theorem is the result this mission formalizes.

Timeline.

  • 1973: Klee poses the question to Chvátal (the paper reports the conversation; the year is O'Rourke's).
  • 1975: Chvátal proves f(n)=⌊n/3⌋f(n) = \lfloor n/3\rfloorf(n)=⌊n/3⌋ via the fan partition theorem, by induction on nnn with a four-case analysis.
  • 1978: S. Fisk gives the short proof by 3-colouring the vertices of the triangulation (J. Combin. Theory Ser. B 24 (1978) 374); the smallest colour class is a set of at most ⌊n/3⌋\lfloor n/3\rfloor⌊n/3⌋ vertices meeting every triangle.
  • 1987 onwards: J. O'Rourke's monograph Art Gallery Theorems and Algorithms (Oxford University Press, 1987) makes the theorem the starting point of a large literature on guarding problems.

Setting

An nnn-triangulation (p. 39) is a planar graph GGG with nnn vertices such that one face is bounded by an nnn-gon and every other face by a triangle. Its vertices are labelled 0,1,…,n−10, 1, \dots, n-10,1,…,n−1 in their cyclic order around the nnn-gon, and indices are taken mod nnn; the sides of the nnn-gon are the pairs {a,a+1}\{a, a+1\}{a,a+1}. Every other edge of GGG is inner; it is a diagonal {a,b}\{a, b\}{a,b} of the nnn-gon. Two diagonals cross when their endpoints are distinct and alternate around the polygon.

Combinatorially, an nnn-triangulation requires n≥3n\ge 3n≥3 and is the same thing as a set DDD of diagonals that pairwise do not cross and is maximal with this property. Its triangles are the 3-element vertex sets all of whose pairs are edges of GGG; there are n−2n - 2n−2 of them, and they are the bounded faces.

Two triangles are adjacent when they share an edge. A set FFF of triangles is dual-connected when any two of its members are joined by a chain of adjacent members; such an FFF is a sub-polygon of GGG, a kkk-triangulation with k=∣F∣+2k = |F| + 2k=∣F∣+2, whose inner edges are the edges shared by two of its triangles. Following the paper, a kkk-triangulation is a fan if one of its vertices, the centre, meets all k−3k-3k−3 of its inner edges. A partition of GGG into fans is a family of fans, pairwise disjoint as sets of triangles, covering all triangles of GGG. Fans may share vertices and edges.

Formalization targets

Goal: Chvátal's theorem (p. 39)

For every n≥3n \ge 3n≥3 and every nnn-triangulation GGG there is a partition of GGG into mmm fans with

m≤⌊n3⌋.m \le \left\lfloor \frac{n}{3} \right\rfloor .m≤⌊3n​⌋.

Milestones (the claims of the proof, pp. 40–41, in attack order)

  1. Base case. Every nnn-triangulation with 3≤n≤53 \le n \le 53≤n≤5 is a fan.
  2. Least span. For n≥6n \ge 6n≥6, let kkk be the least integer with k≥4k \ge 4k≥4 such that GGG has an inner edge {j,j+k}\{j, j+k\}{j,j+k}. Then k≤6k \le 6k≤6.
  3. The cut. An inner edge {j,j+k}\{j, j+k\}{j,j+k} with 2≤k≤n−22 \le k \le n-22≤k≤n−2 cuts GGG into a (k+1)(k+1)(k+1)-triangulation G1G_1G1​ on j,…,j+kj, \dots, j+kj,…,j+k and an (n−k+1)(n-k+1)(n−k+1)-triangulation G2G_2G2​ on j+k,…,jj+k, \dots, jj+k,…,j, whose triangles together are those of GGG.
  4. The four cases. If 4≤k≤64 \le k \le 64≤k≤6 and every inner edge {a,b}\{a,b\}{a,b} of G1G_1G1​ (relabelled 0,…,k0,\dots,k0,…,k, a<ba<ba<b) has b−a≤3b - a \le 3b−a≤3, then G1G_1G1​ is a fan or one of three explicit configurations (cases (2)–(4) of the paper), up to the mirror image i↦k−ii \mapsto k - ii↦k−i.
  5. Tightness. For every n≥3n \ge 3n≥3 some nnn-triangulation admits no partition into fewer than ⌊n/3⌋\lfloor n/3\rfloor⌊n/3⌋ fans:
∀n≥3 ∃G ∀P:∣P∣≥⌊n/3⌋.\forall n\ge 3\ \exists G\ \forall P:\quad |P| \ge \lfloor n/3\rfloor .∀n≥3 ∃G ∀P:∣P∣≥⌊n/3⌋.

The goal's only constant is the paper's ⌊n/3⌋\lfloor n/3 \rfloor⌊n/3⌋, which milestone 5 shows is best possible.

Significance

The result. The fan partition is a strengthening of the guard bound: the centres of the fans form a set of at most ⌊n/3⌋\lfloor n/3\rfloor⌊n/3⌋ vertices meeting every triangle, but the partition also says that the triangles split into star-shaped pieces, each visible from one vertex. With the existence of triangulations of simple polygons it yields f(n)≤⌊n/3⌋f(n) \le \lfloor n/3 \rfloorf(n)≤⌊n/3⌋, the art gallery theorem; with Figure 1 it gives f(n)=⌊n/3⌋f(n) = \lfloor n/3\rfloorf(n)=⌊n/3⌋.

Formalizing it. The theorem has been proved since 1975, and the platform already has Fisk's consequence: ProofsInTheBook.Chapter36.chapter36 and chapter36_artgallery_combinatorial (Proofs from THE BOOK, Chapter 36) prove that an inductively built family of triangles has a hitting set of at most n/3n/3n/3 vertices, and ProofsInTheBook.PolygonGeometryDischarge.artGallery_strict_of_residue proves a geometric guard bound conditional on two assumed inputs. Neither states the fan partition, which is strictly stronger than a hitting set, and neither uses the cyclic labelling of a triangulated polygon. This mission asks for a machine-checked proof of Chvátal's own theorem and of the claims of his proof, on a reusable encoding of triangulated polygons (cyclic labels, non-crossing diagonals, triangles, cutting along a diagonal) that other results on polygon triangulations can build on.

Difficulty

The induction itself is short on paper; the work is in what the paper calls easy. Cutting GGG along a diagonal and relabelling each piece cyclically must be shown to produce triangulations again, with the triangles split exactly between the two pieces; this is a statement about non-crossing chords that has no counterpart in Mathlib. The case analysis "it is easy to verify that we have one of the following four cases" is an enumeration of all triangulations of a 5-, 6- or 7-gon whose diagonals have span at most 3, and its exhaustiveness (including the mirror images of (2) and (4)) is precisely what the four inductive constructions rely on. The constructions then enlarge one fan of a smaller triangulation, so the induction must be carried out for partitions of arbitrary triangulations, with fans that share edges.

Formalization scope

  • Encoding of "planar graph". Mathlib has no planar embeddings. An nnn-triangulation is encoded as the labelled nnn-cycle on Fin n (vertex iii is the paper's i+1i+1i+1) plus a finset D : Finset (Sym2 (Fin n)) of diagonals that pairwise do not cross and is maximal. Maximality is binding: without it the empty set would "triangulate" every polygon and the goal would hold vacuously.
  • Triangles are the 3-element vertex sets whose pairs are all edges; in a triangulated polygon every 3-cycle bounds an inner face.
  • "Partitioned into fans" means a finset of fans, pairwise disjoint as sets of triangles, covering all triangles. A fan must be nonempty, dual-connected, and have a centre on all of its inner edges (edges shared by two of its triangles). Dropping dual-connectedness would turn the goal into Fisk's hitting-set bound; dropping the centre would let the whole triangulation be one "fan". Both clauses are stated.
  • "[n/3]" is the floor, n / 3 in ℕ. The goal assumes only n≥3n \ge 3n≥3.
  • "The least k≥4k \ge 4k≥4 such that GGG has an edge (j,j+k)(j, j+k)(j,j+k)" is read over inner edges, with the minimality stated explicitly; read over all edges, a side of span n−1n-1n−1 would make the claim trivial for n=6,7n = 6, 7n=6,7.
  • "Cuts GGG into" is stated for every inner edge of span 2≤k≤n−22 \le k \le n-22≤k≤n−2 (the paper's 4≤k≤64 \le k \le 64≤k≤6 is a special case), as the pulled-back diagonal sets being triangulations and the triangles splitting between the pieces.
  • "Mirror image" is the relabelling i↦k−ii \mapsto k - ii↦k−i of G1G_1G1​ (Fin.rev); the four cases are an explicit disjunction on the diagonal set of G1G_1G1​. The minimality of kkk enters as the hypothesis that inner edges of G1G_1G1​ have span at most 3.
  • "Cannot be improved" is stated combinatorially, for the theorem itself; the paper argues it through Figure 1.
  • Not formalized: Klee's function f(n)f(n)f(n), Figure 1's lower bound and the corollary f(n)≤⌊n/3⌋f(n) \le \lfloor n/3\rfloorf(n)≤⌊n/3⌋ (p. 41). They need simple polygons in the plane, their interiors, visibility and the existence of triangulations, none of which is available unconditionally.

All definitions are in one file, ChvatalArtGallery.FanPartition.Triangulation; the triangle and cut machinery is reusable for any result on triangulated polygons. Proofs of the milestones, general lemmas on non-crossing diagonal sets (the count ∣D∣=n−3|D| = n-3∣D∣=n−3, existence of ears, the dual tree), and alternative proofs of the goal are all welcome.

Selected references

  • V. Chvátal, A combinatorial theorem in plane geometry, J. Combin. Theory Ser. B 18 (1975) 39–41. https://doi.org/10.1016/0095-8956(75)90061-1
  • S. Fisk, A short proof of Chvátal's watchman theorem, J. Combin. Theory Ser. B 24 (1978) 374. https://doi.org/10.1016/0095-8956(78)90059-X
  • J. O'Rourke, Art Gallery Theorems and Algorithms, Oxford University Press, 1987. https://www.science.smith.edu/~jorourke/books/ArtGalleryTheorems/
  • M. Aigner, G. M. Ziegler, Proofs from THE BOOK, Springer, Chapter "How to guard a museum". https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-662-57265-8
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Convex OptimizationOperations ResearchOptimization+1·Captain: mikedeng1

Deterministic Equivalents for Optimizing and Satisficing under Chance Constraints 1: Under Normality, the E-Model Chance Constraints Are Equivalent to the Convex Program (29)Research Paper

Motivation

Chance-constrained programming replaces a linear program max⁡c′x\max c'xmaxc′x subject to Ax≤bAx\le bAx≤b by a problem in which some data are random and each constraint only has to hold with a prescribed probability. Charnes and Cooper introduced the idea in 1959 for scheduling heating-oil production against weather-dependent demand, and the formulation is now a standard modelling tool in operations research, finance, energy systems and engineering design (Charnes and Cooper 1959; Prékopa 1995).

A chance-constrained problem is not directly solvable: its constraints are probabilities of events that depend on the decision. The 1963 paper of Charnes and Cooper (doi:10.1287/opre.11.1.18) asks when such a problem has a deterministic equivalent, an ordinary mathematical program with the same feasible decisions and corresponding objective values, and when that equivalent is a convex program. Its first answer, for the expected-value ('E') model under linear decision rules and normality, is the subject of this mission. The resulting constraint form, a mean slack dominating KαK_\alphaKα​ standard deviations, is an early instance of the second-order-cone reformulation of individual normal chance constraints used throughout modern stochastic and robust optimization.

Timeline. 1959: Charnes and Cooper, chance-constrained programming with the heating-oil model. 1963: this paper, deterministic equivalents for the E, V and P models under linear decision rules x=Dbx=Dbx=Db. 1965: Miller and Wagner treat joint chance constraints with independent rows (doi:10.1287/opre.13.6.930). 1971: Prékopa's logarithmically concave measures give convexity of joint chance constraints under log-concave laws.

Setting

Let (Ω,F,P)(\Omega,\mathcal F,P)(Ω,F,P) be a probability space. The data are a constant m×nm\times nm×n matrix AAA with rows a1′,…,am′a_1',\dots,a_m'a1′​,…,am′​, a random right-hand side b:Ω→Rmb:\Omega\to\mathbb R^mb:Ω→Rm and random objective coefficients c:Ω→Rnc:\Omega\to\mathbb R^nc:Ω→Rn. A linear decision rule is an n×mn\times mn×m real matrix DDD; it chooses x=Dbx=Dbx=Db after bbb is observed. Write μb=Eb\mu_b=Ebμb​=Eb, μc=Ec\mu_c=Ecμc​=Ec and b^=b−μb\hat b=b-\mu_bb^=b−μb​.

The E-model (18) is

max⁡ E(c′Db)subject toP(ai′Db≤bi)≥αi(i=1,…,m),\max\ E(c'Db)\quad\text{subject to}\quad P(a_i'Db\le b_i)\ge\alpha_i\qquad(i=1,\dots,m),max E(c′Db)subject toP(ai′​Db≤bi​)≥αi​(i=1,…,m),

with one probability level αi\alpha_iαi​ per row: the constraints are row-wise, as in (3) of the paper, not a single joint constraint.

For 12<α<1\tfrac12<\alpha<121​<α<1 let Kα=Φ−1(α)>0K_\alpha=\Phi^{-1}(\alpha)>0Kα​=Φ−1(α)>0 be the standard normal α\alphaα-quantile. With the moment functions (30),

σi2(D)=E(ai′Db−bi)2,μi(D)=μbi−ai′Dμb,\sigma_i^2(D)=E(a_i'Db-b_i)^2,\qquad \mu_i(D)=\mu_{b_i}-a_i'D\mu_b,σi2​(D)=E(ai′​Db−bi​)2,μi​(D)=μbi​​−ai′​Dμb​,

the paper's deterministic program (29) in the variables (D,v)(D,v)(D,v), v∈Rmv\in\mathbb R^mv∈Rm, is

min⁡ −μc′Dμbs.t.μi(D)−vi≥0,−Kαi2σi2(D)+Kαi2μi2(D)+vi2≥0,vi≥0.\min\ -\mu_c'D\mu_b\quad\text{s.t.}\quad \mu_i(D)-v_i\ge0,\quad -K_{\alpha_i}^2\sigma_i^2(D)+K_{\alpha_i}^2\mu_i^2(D)+v_i^2\ge0,\quad v_i\ge0 .min −μc′​Dμb​s.t.μi​(D)−vi​≥0,−Kαi​2​σi2​(D)+Kαi​2​μi2​(D)+vi2​≥0,vi​≥0.

Formalization targets

Goal: (18) is equivalent to the convex program (29)

Assume every bkb_kbk​ is square integrable, every cjc_jcj​ and cjbkc_jb_kcj​bk​ integrable, bbb and ccc uncorrelated (E(cjbk)=Ecj EbkE(c_jb_k)=E c_j\,E b_kE(cj​bk​)=Ecj​Ebk​), every variate ai′Db−bia_i'Db-b_iai′​Db−bi​ normal (for every DDD and iii, zero variance allowed), and 12<αi<1\tfrac12<\alpha_i<121​<αi​<1. Then

(∀D: D feasible for (18)  ⟺  ∃v, (D,v) feasible for (29)) ∧ (∀D: E(c′Db)=μc′Dμb) ∧ {(D,v) feasible for (29)} is convex.\Big(\forall D:\ D\text{ feasible for (18)}\iff\exists v,\ (D,v)\text{ feasible for (29)}\Big)\ \wedge\ \Big(\forall D:\ E(c'Db)=\mu_c'D\mu_b\Big)\ \wedge\ \{(D,v)\ \text{feasible for (29)}\}\ \text{is convex}.(∀D: D feasible for (18)⟺∃v, (D,v) feasible for (29)) ∧ (∀D: E(c′Db)=μc′​Dμb​) ∧ {(D,v) feasible for (29)} is convex.

Milestones, in the order of the paper

  1. (19a): E(c′Db)=(Ec)′D(Eb)E(c'Db)=(Ec)'D(Eb)E(c′Db)=(Ec)′D(Eb) for uncorrelated bbb, ccc.
  2. (22)–(27): with positive variance, P(ai′Db≤bi)≥αi  ⟺  (−μbi+ai′Dμb)/E[b^i−ai′Db^]2≤−KαiP(a_i'Db\le b_i)\ge\alpha_i\iff(-\mu_{b_i}+a_i'D\mu_b)/\sqrt{E[\hat b_i-a_i'D\hat b]^2}\le-K_{\alpha_i}P(ai′​Db≤bi​)≥αi​⟺(−μbi​​+ai′​Dμb​)/E[b^i​−ai′​Db^]2​≤−Kαi​​.
  3. (28a)–(28b): (27) holds iff some viv_ivi​ satisfies μbi−ai′Dμb≥vi≥KαiE[b^i−ai′Db^]2≥0\mu_{b_i}-a_i'D\mu_b\ge v_i\ge K_{\alpha_i}\sqrt{E[\hat b_i-a_i'D\hat b]^2}\ge0μbi​​−ai′​Dμb​≥vi​≥Kαi​​E[b^i​−ai′​Db^]2​≥0.
  4. (28c)–(28d): for vi≥0v_i\ge0vi​≥0, that pair is equivalent to its squared form.
  5. Footnote ‡ to (30): σi2(D)−μi2(D)=E[b^i−ai′Db^]2\sigma_i^2(D)-\mu_i^2(D)=E[\hat b_i-a_i'D\hat b]^2σi2​(D)−μi2​(D)=E[b^i​−ai′​Db^]2.
  6. The convexity paragraph after (30): the feasible set of (29) is convex in (D,v)(D,v)(D,v).
  7. 'V Model' (32)–(34): under the same normal chance assumptions and square integrability of each cjbkc_jb_kcj​bk​, the chance constraints of (32) are equivalent to (33) for some vvv; the pair feasible set and V(D)=E(c′Db−z0)2V(D)=E(c'Db-z^0)^2V(D)=E(c′Db−z0)2 are convex.

Significance

The result. The theorem turns a problem whose constraints are probabilities into a finite-dimensional convex program whose data are the first two moments of bbb and the means of ccc. The optimal rules of (18) minimize (29), whose optimal value is the negative of the maximum in (18). The slack variables viv_ivi​ separate each constraint into a "quality" part (the mean slack μi(D)\mu_i(D)μi​(D)) and a "risk" part (KαiK_{\alpha_i}Kαi​​ standard deviations), which is the interpretation the paper develops in (31) and its Appendix. The same constraint set serves the V-model (33), so only the objective changes between the two models.

Formalizing it. The result is classical and its proof is elementary, but the paper's argument is informal in ways that matter for a machine-checked version: it divides by a standard deviation it then allows to vanish, writes FiF_iFi​ for what must be an upper-tail function, and labels a variance as σi2(D)\sigma_i^2(D)σi2​(D) while defining σi2(D)\sigma_i^2(D)σi2​(D) as a raw second moment. This mission produces a statement in which each of these points is settled, with every hypothesis explicit. No machine-checked version of the result is known to exist.

Difficulty

The chance-constraint step itself is a one-dimensional fact about the normal law, but three points need care. The variance of ai′Db−bia_i'Db-b_iai′​Db−bi​ may be zero for some DDD and iii; then the law is a point mass, the quotient in (27) is undefined, and the equivalence must be argued separately, as footnote † of p. 28 indicates. The quadratic constraint of (29) alone, vi2≥Kαi2(σi2(D)−μi2(D))v_i^2\ge K_{\alpha_i}^2(\sigma_i^2(D)-\mu_i^2(D))vi2​≥Kαi​2​(σi2​(D)−μi2​(D)), describes both nappes of a hyperboloid and is not convex; convexity needs vi≥0v_i\ge0vi​≥0 and the positive semidefiniteness of D↦Var⁡(ai′Db−bi)D\mapsto\operatorname{Var}(a_i'Db-b_i)D↦Var(ai′​Db−bi​), which comes from square integrability of bbb and not from normality. Finally, the identity relating σi2\sigma_i^2σi2​, μi2\mu_i^2μi2​ and the variance requires the integrals to be genuine, so the integrability hypotheses cannot be dropped.

Formalization scope

Everything is in the namespace ChanceDetEquiv.EModel. The probability space is (Ω, P) with [IsProbabilityMeasure P]; A : Matrix (Fin m) (Fin n) ℝ, b : Ω → Fin m → ℝ, c : Ω → Fin n → ℝ, D : Matrix (Fin n) (Fin m) ℝ; ai′Dba_i'Dbai′​Db is (A *ᵥ (D *ᵥ b ω)) i. Expectations are Bochner integrals and probabilities are P.real. Explicit readings of the paper's phrases:

  • "deterministic equivalent for (18)" is the conjunction of an iff between feasible sets (with the auxiliary vvv existentially quantified) and E(c′Db)=μc′DμbE(c'Db)=\mu_c'D\mu_bE(c′Db)=μc′​Dμb​ for every DDD; (29) minimizes the negative of this mean;
  • "is a convex programming problem" is Convex ℝ of the feasible set of (29) in (D,v)(D,v)(D,v), vi≥0v_i\ge0vi​≥0 included; for the V model it also asserts ConvexOn ℝ of VVV;
  • "normally distributed" is: for every DDD and iii, the law of ai′Db−bia_i'Db-b_iai′​Db−bi​ is gaussianReal μ s for some μ\muμ and s≥0s\ge0s≥0; joint normality of bbb is not assumed, since it would be a stronger hypothesis;
  • "bbb and ccc are uncorrelated" is E(cjbk)=Ecj EbkE(c_jb_k)=E c_j\,E b_kE(cj​bk​)=Ecj​Ebk​ for all j,kj,kj,k;
  • Kα=Φ−1(α)K_\alpha=\Phi^{-1}(\alpha)Kα​=Φ−1(α), using the published definition Cohen2019_Robust_Phi; FiF_iFi​ in (26)–(27) is read as the upper-tail function of ziz_izi​, and αi<1\alpha_i<1αi​<1 is added so that KαiK_{\alpha_i}Kαi​​ is finite;
  • σi2(D)\sigma_i^2(D)σi2​(D) is the raw second moment exactly as printed in (30).

Positive variance is a hypothesis of milestones 2 and 3, where (27) has a denominator. The goal and later milestones admit zero variance. The statements admit no trivializing reading: the normality hypothesis is satisfied by constant and by Gaussian bbb, the integrability hypotheses rule out the junk value 000 of non-integrable expectations, and αi<1\alpha_i<1αi​<1 rules out the junk value of Φ−1(1)\Phi^{-1}(1)Φ−1(1).

A complete development needs: the normal CDF and quantile, the law of an affine image of a random variable, variance as EX2−(EX)2E X^2-(EX)^2EX2−(EX)2 in L2L^2L2, and convexity of the epigraph of a seminorm composed with an affine map. The convexity milestones need no probability beyond L2L^2L2 and are reusable for any second-order-cone representation of individual chance constraints. Proofs of any milestone, and of the goal from the milestones, are welcome.

The related open platform item KallMayer.Chance.chapter2_theorem2_5 (convexity of a single normal chance-feasible set in xxx) is credited here and not restated: no item of this mission states the convexity of the set of DDD feasible for (18). Related published items that are about other models: DRCVRP.RCI.prob_le_iff_valueAtRisk_le (chance constraints and value-at-risk for a general law) and the log-concavity results of NumStochOpt.LogConcave.

Selected references

  • A. Charnes and W. W. Cooper, Deterministic Equivalents for Optimizing and Satisficing under Chance Constraints, Operations Research 11(1), 1963, 18–39. https://doi.org/10.1287/opre.11.1.18
  • A. Charnes and W. W. Cooper, Chance-Constrained Programming, Management Science 6(1), 1959, 73–79. https://doi.org/10.1287/mnsc.6.1.73
  • A. Prékopa, Stochastic Programming, Kluwer, 1995. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-94-017-3087-7
  • P. Kall and J. Mayer, Stochastic Linear Programming, 2nd ed., Springer, 2011. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-1-4419-7729-8
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CombinatoricsGraph TheoryOperations Research·Captain: mikedeng1

On Representatives of Subsets: Two Partitions into m Classes Have a Common System of Representatives When Any k Classes of One Meet at Least k Classes of the OtherResearch Paper

Motivation

Many assignment questions reduce to one combinatorial question: given finitely many sets, can one choose a different element from each? Workers are matched to jobs they are qualified for, rows of a matrix to columns with nonzero entries. The criterion for when this is possible is Hall's marriage theorem, first stated and proved by P. Hall in a five-page note in 1935 (DOI 10.1112/jlms/s1-10.37.26). It underlies bipartite matching, the integrality of the assignment polytope, the Birkhoff–von Neumann theorem on doubly stochastic matrices, and transversal theory in matroids.

Hall's note was written with a second question in view. In 1916 D. König proved, in the language of bipartite graphs, that if a set of mnmnmn things is divided into mmm classes of nnn things in two ways, then one can choose mmm things that represent every class of both divisions at once ("Über Graphen und ihre Anwendungen", Math. Annalen 77 (1916), 453). Van der Waerden (1927) and Sperner (1927) gave the set-theoretic form and a short proof. Hall's contribution was a criterion for a common system of representatives of two divisions in which the classes need not have equal sizes, obtained from the marriage theorem in two short steps.

Setting

Let SSS be any set, finite or infinite, and let

T1,T2,…,Tm(1)T_1, T_2, \dots, T_m \tag{1}T1​,T2​,…,Tm​(1)

be a finite system of subsets of SSS. The sets TiT_iTi​ may be infinite and need not be distinct; when one speaks of kkk of the sets, kkk indices are meant, so a repeated set is counted with multiplicity. A complete set of distinct representatives, or C.D.R., of (1) is a choice of pairwise distinct elements a1,…,ama_1, \dots, a_ma1​,…,am​ of SSS with

ai∈Ti(i=1,…,m).a_i \in T_i \qquad (i = 1, \dots, m).ai​∈Ti​(i=1,…,m).

The system satisfies Hall's condition when any kkk of the sets contain between them at least kkk elements of SSS, for k=1,…,mk = 1, \dots, mk=1,…,m. The meet of all C.D.R.s, written RRR, is the set of elements of SSS that occur as a representative in every C.D.R. of (1).

A division of SSS into classes is a family of pairwise disjoint sets S1,S2,…S_1, S_2, \dotsS1​,S2​,… whose union is SSS. The paper writes A∧BA \wedge BA∧B and A∨BA \vee BA∨B for intersection and union; this mission writes A∩BA \cap BA∩B and A∪BA \cup BA∪B.

In Lean the system is T : ι → Set α over a finite index type, a C.D.R. is an injective a : ι → α with a i ∈ T i (IsCDR), Hall's condition is HallCondition, and the meet of all C.D.R.s is cdrMeet, all in the namespace HallReps.CDR.

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem 3 (pp. 29–30)

Let SSS be divided into mmm classes in two ways, S=S1∪⋯∪Sm=S1′∪⋯∪Sm′S = S_1 \cup \dots \cup S_m = S_1' \cup \dots \cup S_m'S=S1​∪⋯∪Sm​=S1′​∪⋯∪Sm′​, each a division into pairwise disjoint classes. If, for each kkk, any kkk of the classes Sj′S_j'Sj′​ contain between them elements from at least kkk of the classes SiS_iSi​, then for some permutation σ\sigmaσ of {1,…,m}\{1, \dots, m\}{1,…,m} there are elements

ai∈Si∩Sσ(i)′(i=1,…,m).a_i \in S_i \cap S'_{\sigma(i)} \qquad (i = 1, \dots, m).ai​∈Si​∩Sσ(i)′​(i=1,…,m).

The set SSS and the classes may be infinite, and no class is assumed non-empty.

Milestones

  1. Lemma (p. 27). If aaa is a C.D.R. of (1) and RRR is the meet of all C.D.R.s, the sets TiT_iTi​ whose representative aia_iai​ lies in RRR contain between them exactly the elements of RRR, and there are ∣R∣|R|∣R∣ of them.
  2. Induction step, p. 28. With (4) the system T1,…,Tm−1T_1, \dots, T_{m-1}T1​,…,Tm−1​ and R∗R^*R∗ the meet of its C.D.R.s: if Tm⊈R∗T_m \not\subseteq R^*Tm​⊆R∗, then (1) has a C.D.R.
  3. Induction step, p. 29. If (4) has a C.D.R. and Tm⊆R∗T_m \subseteq R^*Tm​⊆R∗, then some ρ+1\rho + 1ρ+1 of the sets, including TmT_mTm​, have union exactly R∗R^*R∗, where ρ=∣R∗∣\rho = |R^*|ρ=∣R∗∣.
  4. Theorem 1 (p. 27). Hall's condition is sufficient for a C.D.R. of (1).
  5. Theorem 2 (p. 29). If SSS is divided into any number of classes and any kkk of the sets TiT_iTi​ contain between them elements from at least kkk classes, there are ai∈Tia_i \in T_iai​∈Ti​ lying in pairwise different classes.

A companion item states König's theorem (§1, p. 26), which the paper deduces from Theorem 3 on p. 30.

Significance

Theorem 3 gives a necessary and sufficient criterion for two partitions of a set into mmm classes to admit a common system of representatives. Necessity is immediate, and the paper proves sufficiency. It contains König's theorem, and through it the statement that a regular bipartite multigraph has a perfect matching, as the case of equal class sizes. Hall remarks that R. Rado's generalization of König's theorem (1933) also follows. Theorem 2, the passage from "distinct elements" to "elements of distinct classes", is the form used for transversals of partitions and is the first instance of what later became the theory of common transversals and matroid intersection.

On the formal side, Hall's theorem for finite sets is in Mathlib as Finset.all_card_le_biUnion_card_iff_existsInjective' (in Mathlib/Combinatorics/Hall/Finite.lean), and the platform already has a proved equivalence for arbitrary sets with a finite index type (YogeshwaranDM.sdr_iff, included in this mission as a reference item) as well as finite bipartite-graph forms. For that reason Theorem 1 is a milestone and not the goal. What this mission adds is Hall's own proof structure, namely the meet of all C.D.R.s and the Lemma about it, which has not been formalized; Theorems 2 and 3 for divisions of a possibly infinite set; and König's theorem in its set-partition form. To our knowledge none of these statements has a machine-checked proof on the platform.

Difficulty

Theorem 3 does not follow from Theorem 1 applied to the classes Sj′S_j'Sj′​ directly. Theorem 1 produces distinct elements, but the conclusion needs elements in distinct classes SiS_iSi​, and two distinct elements of Sj′S_j'Sj′​ may lie in the same SiS_iSi​. The paper's route goes through Theorem 2, which allows any number of classes. That route needs Theorem 1 for systems whose sets can be infinite, because a single TiT_iTi​ may meet infinitely many classes, so the finite-set version of Hall's theorem in Mathlib is not enough on its own. In Hall's own proof of Theorem 1, the work lies in the Lemma. It is an exchange statement about all C.D.R.s at once, whose object RRR is defined by a universal quantifier over C.D.R.s, and it must be established over an arbitrary finite index type with possibly infinite sets.

Formalization scope

  • The ground set is a type α, with no finiteness or decidability assumed. The system (1) is T : ι → Set α with [Finite ι] (or Fin (m + 1) in the two induction steps, where the paper's mmm is the Lean m + 1, its last set is T (Fin.last m), and (4) is fun i : Fin m => T i.castSucc).
  • Cardinalities of unions of the TiT_iTi​ are Set.encard in ℕ∞, so an infinite union counts as infinite. Set.ncard is used only for subsets of Fin m, for the finite set R∗R^*R∗ (with its finiteness stated), and in König's theorem.
  • "kkk of the sets" is a Finset ι of indices, so repeated sets count with multiplicity.
  • Divisions into classes are class maps: cls : α → κ in Theorem 2, with κ arbitrary, and p q : α → Fin m in Theorem 3 and König's theorem. A class map makes the classes cover SSS and be pairwise disjoint by construction. Empty classes are allowed.
  • In Theorem 3 the permutation is existential and chosen together with the representatives. ai∈Si∩Sσ(i)′a_i \in S_i \cap S'_{\sigma(i)}ai​∈Si​∩Sσ(i)′​ is p (a i) = i ∧ q (a i) = σ i.
  • Added or dropped hypotheses: the Lemma assumes a C.D.R. exists, as the page does (without one, cdrMeet is all of α). The first induction step omits the page's C.D.R. of (4), because its hypothesis already implies one. König's theorem adds 0<n0 < n0<n, which the page presumes and without which the statement is false.
  • The trivializing formalizations are ruled out. Typing the TiT_iTi​ as Finset α would reduce Theorem 1 to Mathlib and lose the page's "It is not necessary that the sets TiT_iTi​ shall be finite". Measuring unions by ncard would make Hall's condition fail exactly when a union is infinite. An infinite index type would make Theorem 1 and the Lemma false. None of these is used.
  • Useful contributions include proofs of the Lemma and of the induction steps, a proof of Theorem 1 either from them or from Mathlib's Hall theorem via a reduction to finite sets, and the reductions Theorem 1 → Theorem 2 → Theorem 3 → König.

Selected references

  • P. Hall, On representatives of subsets, J. London Math. Soc. 10 (1935), 26–30. https://doi.org/10.1112/jlms/s1-10.37.26
  • D. König, Über Graphen und ihre Anwendungen auf Determinantentheorie und Mengenlehre, Math. Annalen 77 (1916), 453–465. https://doi.org/10.1007/BF01456961
  • B. L. van der Waerden, Ein Satz über Klasseneinteilungen von endlichen Mengen, Abh. Math. Sem. Hamburg 5 (1927), 185–188. https://doi.org/10.1007/BF02952519
  • R. Rado, Bemerkungen zur Kombinatorik im Anschluss an Untersuchungen von Herrn D. König, Sitzungsber. Berliner Math. Ges. 32 (1933), 60–75.
  • Mathlib, Mathlib/Combinatorics/Hall/Finite.lean and Mathlib/Combinatorics/Hall/Basic.lean. https://github.com/leanprover-community/mathlib4
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CombinatoricsOperations ResearchOptimization·Captain: mikedeng1

Optimization and Approximation in Deterministic Sequencing and Scheduling: A Survey 2: The Optimal Preemptive Open Shop Makespan Equals the Largest Machine Load or Job LengthResearch Paper

Motivation

Open shops model production and service systems in which every job must visit every machine, but the order of the visits is free: a car that needs an inspection, a wash and a tyre change, a patient who needs several tests, a student who sits several exams. The survey of Graham, Lawler, Lenstra and Rinnooy Kan (Ann. Discrete Math. 5, 1979) fixed the three-field notation α∣β∣γ\alpha|\beta|\gammaα∣β∣γ that the scheduling literature still uses, and classified the complexity of the problems it can express. Among the polynomially solvable cases, the preemptive open shop with makespan objective, O∣pmtn∣Cmax⁡O|pmtn|C_{\max}O∣pmtn∣Cmax​, is one of the few multi-machine problems whose optimal value has a closed form for any number of machines and jobs.

Timeline.

  • 1976: Gonzalez and Sahni (J. ACM 23) prove that the optimal preemptive open-shop makespan is the largest machine load or job length, and give a polynomial algorithm. In the same paper they solve O2∥Cmax⁡O2\|C_{\max}O2∥Cmax​ in linear time and show O3∥Cmax⁡O3\|C_{\max}O3∥Cmax​ NP-hard.
  • 1978: Lawler and Labetoulle (J. ACM 25) give a linear-programming treatment of preemptive scheduling on unrelated machines and reformulate the open-shop construction in terms of decrementing sets, found by an assignment problem through the Birkhoff–von Neumann theorem.
  • 1979: the survey (§5.2.2, p. 313) presents this construction as the standard argument and records the O(r+min⁡{m4,n4,r2})O(r+\min\{m^4,n^4,r^2\})O(r+min{m4,n4,r2}) bound of Gonzalez (1976), where rrr is the number of nonzero processing times.

Setting

There are mmm machines M1,…,MmM_1,\dots,M_mM1​,…,Mm​ and nnn jobs J1,…,JnJ_1,\dots,J_nJ1​,…,Jn​. Job JjJ_jJj​ consists of operations O1j,…,OmjO_{1j},\dots,O_{mj}O1j​,…,Omj​; operation OijO_{ij}Oij​ must be processed on machine MiM_iMi​ for pij≥0p_{ij}\ge 0pij​≥0 time units. The processing-time matrix is P=(pij)P=(p_{ij})P=(pij​): its rows are machines and its columns are jobs. Every job is available at time 000.

Preemption is allowed: an operation may be interrupted and resumed later. A schedule is a finite list of pieces (i,j,s,e)(i,j,s,e)(i,j,s,e), each meaning that MiM_iMi​ processes JjJ_jJj​ during [s,e)[s,e)[s,e). A schedule is feasible if

  1. every piece satisfies 0≤s≤e0\le s\le e0≤s≤e;
  2. each machine processes at most one job at a time, and each job is processed on at most one machine at a time: two pieces that share a machine or a job do not overlap;
  3. for every pair (i,j)(i,j)(i,j) the pieces of OijO_{ij}Oij​ have total length exactly pijp_{ij}pij​.

The makespan Cmax⁡C_{\max}Cmax​ is the time at which the last piece ends, and Cmax⁡∗C^*_{\max}Cmax∗​ is its minimum over feasible schedules. The load of machine MiM_iMi​ is the row sum ∑jpij\sum_j p_{ij}∑j​pij​, the length of job JjJ_jJj​ is the column sum ∑ipij\sum_i p_{ij}∑i​pij​, and

C=max⁡{max⁡j∑ipij, max⁡i∑jpij}.C=\max\Big\{\max_j \sum_i p_{ij},\ \max_i \sum_j p_{ij}\Big\}.C=max{jmax​i∑​pij​, imax​j∑​pij​}.

A row or column is tight if its sum equals CCC and slack otherwise. A decrementing set is a set SSS of strictly positive entries of PPP with exactly one element in each tight row and each tight column and at most one in each slack row and each slack column.

Formalization targets

Goal: Cmax⁡∗=CC^*_{\max}=CCmax∗​=C

For every T≥0T\ge 0T≥0,

(∃ feasible schedule with Cmax⁡≤T)  ⟺  (∑jpij≤T ∀i  and  ∑ipij≤T ∀j).\big(\exists \text{ feasible schedule with } C_{\max}\le T\big)\iff \Big(\sum_j p_{ij}\le T\ \forall i\ \text{ and }\ \sum_i p_{ij}\le T\ \forall j\Big).(∃ feasible schedule with Cmax​≤T)⟺(j∑​pij​≤T ∀i  and  i∑​pij​≤T ∀j).

This says that the optimal makespan is exactly the largest machine load or job length, and that it is attained.

Milestones (all from §5.2.2, p. 313)

  1. Lower bound Cmax⁡∗≥CC^*_{\max}\ge CCmax∗​≥C.
  2. Existence of a decrementing set for every nonzero nonnegative PPP.
  3. Positive step: for a decrementing set, the largest δ\deltaδ satisfying the constraints (1)–(3) of the survey exists and is positive.
  4. Step property: after replacing each pij∈Sp_{ij}\in Spij​∈S by max⁡{0,pij−δ}\max\{0,p_{ij}-\delta\}max{0,pij​−δ}, the largest line sum is exactly C−δC-\deltaC−δ.
  5. Partial schedule: for each pij∈Sp_{ij}\in Spij​∈S, MiM_iMi​ processes JjJ_jJj​ for min⁡{pij,δ}\min\{p_{ij},\delta\}min{pij​,δ} time units, with no machine or job used twice.
  6. Termination: every run of the procedure reaches P′=(0)P'=(0)P′=(0) within a bounded number of stages.
  7. Joining: the concatenated partial schedules form a feasible schedule with Cmax⁡≤CC_{\max}\le CCmax​≤C.

Significance

The result. The theorem turns an optimization over continuous-time schedules into the computation of m+nm+nm+n sums. It certifies optimality by a counting argument, it is the base case for preemptive open shops with release dates and due dates, and it is used elsewhere in the survey (§4.4.6) to reduce problems on unrelated machines with preemption to open-shop instances. Because a nonnegative matrix whose row and column sums are all equal is a multiple of a doubly stochastic matrix, the theorem is a scheduling form of the Birkhoff–von Neumann decomposition. It also underlies timetabling and edge-colouring results for bipartite multigraphs.

Formalizing it. The theorem has been proved since 1976 and is textbook material. No machine-checked proof is known to exist: Mathlib has the Birkhoff–von Neumann theorem for doubly stochastic matrices but no model of open-shop schedules. A formalization adds a reusable model of preemptive multi-machine schedules with both disjointness requirements, a checked proof of the decrementing-set construction, and a termination argument the survey asserts without proof.

Difficulty

The lower bound is a one-line counting argument. The difficulty is the construction of a schedule of length exactly CCC. Scheduling each machine's operations back to back gives length max⁡i∑jpij\max_i\sum_j p_{ij}maxi​∑j​pij​, but may run one job on two machines at once. Scheduling job by job has the symmetric defect. A greedy list schedule that only respects both constraints can leave machines idle and overshoot CCC. The construction must keep every tight line busy at every moment while never letting a slack line fall behind. The existence of the decrementing set at each stage is the combinatorial core: it is a Hall-type matching condition, not a local choice. Termination is also not automatic, because a careless choice of step length can produce infinitely many shrinking steps.

Formalization scope

All objects live in the namespace SchedSurvey.OPmtn. Machines and jobs are Fin m and Fin n, both 0-based, and processing times and piece endpoints are real numbers; integer data are a special case. A schedule is a List of pieces. Feasibility requires nonnegative start times, disjointness for pieces sharing a machine or a job (touching intervals allowed), and exactly pijp_{ij}pij​ units of processing for every pair (i,j)(i,j)(i,j). Every theorem assumes pij≥0p_{ij}\ge 0pij​≥0.

"CCC is the maximum" is the predicate IsMaxLoad P C: all line sums are at most CCC and one equals CCC. The goal is stated in threshold form and mentions no maximum at all. The display defining CCC on p. 313 prints max⁡i{∑ipij}\max_i\{\sum_i p_{ij}\}maxi​{∑i​pij​} for the second term; the following sentence shows it means the row sums ∑jpij\sum_j p_{ij}∑j​pij​, and the formalization uses those. The hypothesis T≥0T\ge 0T≥0 matters only for P=0P=0P=0, where the empty schedule finishes by every TTT.

A trivializing formalization is ruled out: the goal mentions neither decrementing sets nor δ\deltaδ. Its "if" direction asserts that a schedule exists. Feasibility counts work per pair (machine, job), not per job, and forbids a job from running on two machines at once. Without either requirement the statement would be a different and easier theorem.

A complete development needs: list sums of interval lengths over disjoint intervals, the existence of decrementing sets (via Birkhoff–von Neumann, König's theorem or Hall's theorem on the bipartite graph of positive entries), the step and termination lemmas, and concatenation of schedules. The schedule model and the decrementing-set lemma are reusable for other preemptive shop problems. Contributions of alternative proofs of any milestone, for example a direct Hall-theorem proof of the existence of decrementing sets, are welcome.

Selected references

  • R. L. Graham, E. L. Lawler, J. K. Lenstra, A. H. G. Rinnooy Kan, Optimization and approximation in deterministic sequencing and scheduling: a survey, Annals of Discrete Mathematics 5 (1979) 287–326. https://doi.org/10.1016/S0167-5060(08)70356-X
  • T. Gonzalez, S. Sahni, Open shop scheduling to minimize finish time, Journal of the ACM 23 (1976) 665–679. https://doi.org/10.1145/321978.321985
  • E. L. Lawler, J. Labetoulle, On preemptive scheduling of unrelated parallel processors by linear programming, Journal of the ACM 25 (1978) 612–619. https://doi.org/10.1145/322077.322090
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CombinatoricsOperations ResearchOptimization·Captain: mikedeng1

Optimization and Approximation in Deterministic Sequencing and Scheduling: A Survey 1: The Optimal Two-Machine Open Shop Makespan Is max{T₁, T₂, maxⱼ(aⱼ + bⱼ)}Research Paper

Motivation

Shop scheduling asks how to sequence jobs that each need processing on several machines. In an open shop, a job's operations may be executed in any order, as in testing stations, repair bays, or classroom and examination timetables, where the order in which a candidate visits the stations is irrelevant. The objective studied here is the makespan Cmax⁡C_{\max}Cmax​, the time at which the last operation finishes.

The survey of Graham, Lawler, Lenstra and Rinnooy Kan (Ann. Discrete Math. 5, 1979) introduced the three-field notation α∣β∣γ\alpha|\beta|\gammaα∣β∣γ that the scheduling literature still uses, and classified the complexity of the problems it names. For the open shop, its §5.2.1 presents a simplified exposition of the result of Gonzalez and Sahni (J. ACM 23, 1976): with two machines and no preemption, the obvious lower bound on the makespan is always achieved. The same page records that the three-machine case O3∥Cmax⁡O3\|C_{\max}O3∥Cmax​ is binary NP-hard, so two machines is exactly where the problem is easy.

Timeline. Gonzalez and Sahni (1976) gave the linear-time algorithm for O2∥Cmax⁡O2\|C_{\max}O2∥Cmax​, proved NP-hardness for O3∥Cmax⁡O3\|C_{\max}O3∥Cmax​, and gave a polynomial algorithm for the preemptive problem O∣pmtn∣Cmax⁡O|pmtn|C_{\max}O∣pmtn∣Cmax​. Graham et al. (1979, §5.2.1) gave the shorter construction formalized here, and observed (§5.2.2) that it implies preemption brings no advantage for m=2m = 2m=2. Lenstra (cited as forthcoming in the survey) showed O2∣rj∣Cmax⁡O2|r_j|C_{\max}O2∣rj​∣Cmax​, O2∣tree∣Cmax⁡O2|tree|C_{\max}O2∣tree∣Cmax​ and O∥Cmax⁡O\|C_{\max}O∥Cmax​ unary NP-hard.

Setting

There are nnn jobs J1,…,JnJ_1, \dots, J_nJ1​,…,Jn​ and two machines M1M_1M1​, M2M_2M2​. Job JjJ_jJj​ has an operation on M1M_1M1​ of length aj≥0a_j \ge 0aj​≥0 and an operation on M2M_2M2​ of length bj≥0b_j \ge 0bj​≥0. There is no preemption, and every job is available at time 000. A schedule assigns start times s1(j)s_1(j)s1​(j) and s2(j)s_2(j)s2​(j) to the two operations of JjJ_jJj​, which then occupy [s1(j),s1(j)+aj)[s_1(j), s_1(j)+a_j)[s1​(j),s1​(j)+aj​) on M1M_1M1​ and [s2(j),s2(j)+bj)[s_2(j), s_2(j)+b_j)[s2​(j),s2​(j)+bj​) on M2M_2M2​.

A schedule is feasible if

  1. all start times are nonnegative;
  2. each machine processes at most one job at a time: the intervals of distinct jobs on the same machine do not overlap;
  3. each job is processed on at most one machine at a time: the two intervals of the same job do not overlap, in either order.

Write T1=∑jajT_1 = \sum_j a_jT1​=∑j​aj​ and T2=∑jbjT_2 = \sum_j b_jT2​=∑j​bj​ for the two machine loads. The survey's construction uses the sets

A={Jj∣aj≥bj},B={Jj∣aj<bj},A = \{J_j \mid a_j \ge b_j\}, \qquad B = \{J_j \mid a_j < b_j\},A={Jj​∣aj​≥bj​},B={Jj​∣aj​<bj​},

two distinct jobs JrJ_rJr​, JlJ_lJl​ with ar≥max⁡Jj∈Abja_r \ge \max_{J_j \in A} b_jar​≥maxJj​∈A​bj​ and bl≥max⁡Jj∈Bajb_l \ge \max_{J_j \in B} a_jbl​≥maxJj​∈B​aj​, and A′=A−{Jr,Jl}A' = A - \{J_r, J_l\}A′=A−{Jr​,Jl​}, B′=B−{Jr,Jl}B' = B - \{J_r, J_l\}B′=B−{Jr​,Jl​}.

Formalization targets

Goal: the optimal makespan

Cmax⁡∗=max⁡{T1, T2, max⁡j (aj+bj)},C^*_{\max} = \max\Big\{T_1,\ T_2,\ \max_j\,(a_j + b_j)\Big\},Cmax∗​=max{T1​, T2​, jmax​(aj​+bj​)},

and the optimum is attained. Formally, for every T≥0T \ge 0T≥0: a feasible schedule completing every operation by TTT exists if and only if T1≤TT_1 \le TT1​≤T, T2≤TT_2 \le TT2​≤T and aj+bj≤Ta_j + b_j \le Taj​+bj​≤T for all jjj. The goal mentions neither AAA, BBB, JrJ_rJr​, JlJ_lJl​ nor the case analysis; those are the milestones.

Milestones (in the order of the argument)

  1. Two distinct jobs JrJ_rJr​, JlJ_lJl​ with the required bounds exist when n≥2n \ge 2n≥2.
  2. Fig. 5.1: the blocks B′∪{Jl}B' \cup \{J_l\}B′∪{Jl​} and A′∪{Jr}A' \cup \{J_r\}A′∪{Jr​}, with A′A'A′ and B′B'B′ in arbitrary order, have feasible staircase schedules without idle time.
  3. Fig. 5.2: if T1−al≥T2−brT_1 - a_l \ge T_2 - b_rT1​−al​≥T2​−br​, the blocks combine into a feasible schedule of all jobs ending by T1+brT_1 + b_rT1​+br​.
  4. Case (1): if moreover ar≤T2−bra_r \le T_2 - b_rar​≤T2​−br​, some feasible schedule has length at most max⁡{T1,T2}\max\{T_1, T_2\}max{T1​,T2​}.
  5. Case (2): if moreover ar>T2−bra_r > T_2 - b_rar​>T2​−br​, some feasible schedule has length at most max⁡{T1,ar+br}\max\{T_1, a_r + b_r\}max{T1​,ar​+br​}.
  6. The symmetric case T1−al<T2−brT_1 - a_l < T_2 - b_rT1​−al​<T2​−br​: some feasible schedule has length at most max⁡{T1,T2,al+bl}\max\{T_1, T_2, a_l + b_l\}max{T1​,T2​,al​+bl​}.
  7. The lower bound: every feasible schedule has Cmax⁡≥max⁡{T1,T2,max⁡j(aj+bj)}C_{\max} \ge \max\{T_1, T_2, \max_j(a_j + b_j)\}Cmax​≥max{T1​,T2​,maxj​(aj​+bj​)}.

Significance

The result. The theorem gives a closed form for the optimal makespan of a two-machine open shop, together with a linear-time construction of an optimal schedule. The survey uses it immediately: since the bound is also a lower bound for preemptive schedules, O2∣pmtn∣Cmax⁡O2|pmtn|C_{\max}O2∣pmtn∣Cmax​ is solved by the same schedules, so preemption gives no advantage on two machines (§5.2.2). It is the standard example of a shop problem whose trivial lower bound is tight, and the contrast with the binary NP-hard O3∥Cmax⁡O3\|C_{\max}O3∥Cmax​ marks the complexity boundary for nonpreemptive open shops.

Formalizing it. The result is classical and proved on paper; no machine-checked proof is known to exist on this platform. The mission produces a reusable model of nonpreemptive two-machine open-shop schedules with real processing times, a verified lower bound, and a verified constructive argument. Unlike many existence-of-schedule results, the survey's construction is explicit (orders and start times), so it can be formalized directly rather than through an abstract existence argument.

Difficulty

The lower bound is the easy half. The difficulty is the construction: a schedule must meet the bound simultaneously on both machines and for every job. The natural first idea, running every job on M1M_1M1​ then M2M_2M2​ in some order (a flow-shop schedule), fails: Johnson's rule then gives a makespan that can exceed max⁡{T1,T2,max⁡j(aj+bj)}\max\{T_1, T_2, \max_j(a_j+b_j)\}max{T1​,T2​,maxj​(aj​+bj​)}, because the open shop needs some job to visit M2M_2M2​ first. The survey's construction moves exactly one job, JrJ_rJr​, to the front of M2M_2M2​, and its correctness depends on the choice of JrJ_rJr​ and JlJ_lJl​ and on the case split on T1−alT_1 - a_lT1​−al​ versus T2−brT_2 - b_rT2​−br​. Figures 5.3 and 5.4 are drawn for T1≥T2T_1 \ge T_2T1​≥T2​; in the other subcases the start times shown in the figures need adjustment, and the formal statements of the cases assert lengths rather than the figures' exact start times.

Formalization scope

All declarations live in the namespace SchedSurvey.O2. Jobs are Fin n, 0-based (JjJ_jJj​ is index j−1j-1j−1). Processing times and start times are real numbers with aj,bj≥0a_j, b_j \ge 0aj​,bj​≥0; the survey's integer data are a special case, and every claim of §5.2.1 holds over the reals. A schedule is a pair of start-time functions s₁ s₂ : Fin n → ℝ. Interval non-overlap is s + p ≤ s' ∨ s' + p' ≤ s, so touching intervals are allowed and a zero-length operation occupies nothing. Feasibility (IsFeasible) contains both disjointness constraints of §2.1, the machine constraint and the job constraint, with the two operations of a job in either order. The job constraint is essential: without it the optimum would be max⁡{T1,T2}\max\{T_1, T_2\}max{T1​,T2​} and the goal false.

"Length at most LLL" is CompletesBy a b S L: every operation ends by LLL. Optimality is stated in threshold form, which avoids taking a supremum or infimum over a possibly empty set and is equivalent to "Cmax⁡∗C^*_{\max}Cmax∗​ equals the maximum and is attained". A maximum over AAA or BBB appears as a bound on every member, which is also correct for empty AAA or BBB. The orders of A′A'A′ and B′B'B′ are duplicate-free lists whose members are exactly those sets; back-to-back start times are given by contigStart.

The milestone on the choice of JrJ_rJr​, JlJ_lJl​ assumes n≥2n \ge 2n≥2, which the page presupposes; the goal does not, and covers n≤1n \le 1n≤1 as well. The lower bound assumes T≥0T \ge 0T≥0, which matters only for n=0n = 0n=0.

A trivializing formalization is ruled out: feasibility includes both disjointness constraints and nonnegative start times, the threshold is quantified over all T≥0T \ge 0T≥0, and no constant is fixed.

Contributions welcome: proofs of the lower bound (a sum of disjoint intervals inside [0,T][0, T][0,T]), of the list-based block lemmas, of the case lemmas, and of the goal from them. The interval and back-to-back-schedule lemmas are reusable for other shop problems.

Selected references

  • R.L. Graham, E.L. Lawler, J.K. Lenstra, A.H.G. Rinnooy Kan, Optimization and approximation in deterministic sequencing and scheduling: a survey, Annals of Discrete Mathematics 5 (1979) 287–326. https://doi.org/10.1016/S0167-5060(08)70356-X
  • T. Gonzalez, S. Sahni, Open shop scheduling to minimize finish time, Journal of the ACM 23(4) (1976) 665–679. https://doi.org/10.1145/321978.321985
  • S.M. Johnson, Optimal two- and three-stage production schedules with setup times included, Naval Research Logistics Quarterly 1 (1954) 61–68. https://doi.org/10.1002/nav.3800010110
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Operations ResearchStochastic Systems·Captain: mikedeng1

Extensions of the Queueing Relations L = λW and H = λG: Under (14) and (15) the Time Average H(t) Converges if and only if the Customer Average G(s) Does, and Then H = λGResearch Paper

Motivation

Queueing results often relate an average accumulated over customers to an average accumulated over time. In the familiar relation L=λWL=\lambda WL=λW, the long-run average number in a system equals the arrival rate times the average time spent there. Glynn and Whitt study a broader relation, H=λGH=\lambda GH=λG, that can represent queue lengths and waiting times but also costs, work, and other cumulative inputs. Their framework is deterministic: a stochastic model may supply a sample path, yet the central comparison is a statement about functions on that path. This lets the same theorem apply to different queueing models without choosing a probability law for each one. Glynn and Whitt (1989)

The paper asks for more than the usual forward implication from a customer average to a time average. Its main theorem identifies conditions under which either average has a finite limit exactly when the other does. It also compares lim inf and lim sup when ordinary limits fail to exist. Both questions matter when sample paths fluctuate: convergence of one average cannot simply be inferred from a visual similarity between the two ways of indexing the input. Glynn and Whitt (1989), §§1–2

Setting

A cumulative input is a real-valued function F(s,t)F(s,t)F(s,t) on [0,∞)×[0,∞)[0,\infty)\times[0,\infty)[0,∞)×[0,∞), nondecreasing separately in the customer coordinate sss and the time coordinate ttt. Its marginal limits F(s,∞)F(s,\infty)F(s,∞) and F(∞,t)F(\infty,t)F(∞,t) are finite for every fixed argument. The first counts all eventual input associated with customers through index sss; the second counts all input accumulated through time ttt. The marginal averages are

G(s)=F(s,∞)s,H(t)=F(∞,t)t.G(s)=\frac{F(s,\infty)}{s},\qquad H(t)=\frac{F(\infty,t)}{t}.G(s)=sF(s,∞)​,H(t)=tF(∞,t)​.

The paper permits cumulative inputs that are not distribution functions of measures on rectangles. In particular, it does not require a rectangle-increment inequality or nonnegative values of FFF. The finite marginal limits and monotonicity are the actual assumptions of its general framework. Glynn and Whitt (1989), p. 635, (1)

A time change Ti(s)T_i(s)Ti​(s), for i=1,2i=1,2i=1,2, is finite, nonnegative, nondecreasing, and right-continuous, and tends to infinity with sss. Its right-continuous inverse is Si(t)=inf⁡{s≥0:Ti(s)>t}S_i(t)=\inf\{s\geq0:T_i(s)>t\}Si​(t)=inf{s≥0:Ti​(s)>t}. The two time changes may differ. Both have the same asymptotic rate Ti(s)/s→λ−1T_i(s)/s\to\lambda^{-1}Ti​(s)/s→λ−1 for a positive finite λ\lambdaλ. The paper's two approximation conditions are

F(s,T1(s−))−F(∞,T1(s−))s⟶0(14),F(s,∞)−F(s,T2(s))s⟶0(15),\frac{F(s,T_1(s-))-F(\infty,T_1(s-))}{s}\longrightarrow0 \quad(14), \qquad \frac{F(s,\infty)-F(s,T_2(s))}{s}\longrightarrow0 \quad(15),sF(s,T1​(s−))−F(∞,T1​(s−))​⟶0(14),sF(s,∞)−F(s,T2​(s))​⟶0(15),

as s→∞s\to\inftys→∞, where T1(s−)T_1(s-)T1​(s−) is the left limit. Condition (14) concerns input already present by a left-limit time; condition (15) concerns input not yet present by a right-limit time. Glynn and Whitt (1989), p. 638, (3), (14)–(15)

Formalization targets

One-sided asymptotic bounds

With only (14) and the rate for T1T_1T1​, the corrected upper bounds are

lim inf⁡H≤lim inf⁡λG,lim sup⁡H≤lim sup⁡λG.\liminf H\leq\liminf \lambda G,\qquad \limsup H\leq\limsup \lambda G.liminfH≤liminfλG,limsupH≤limsupλG.

With only (15) and the rate for T2T_2T2​, the corrected lower bounds reverse both inequalities. The two bounds remain useful separately when only one approximation condition holds. Their lim inf and lim sup may be infinite. Glynn and Whitt (1989), p. 639, Theorem 1(a)–(b) and Remark 2

Equality of asymptotic bounds and finite limits

Under both conditions, Theorem 1(c) asserts equality of the respective lim inf and lim sup. The mission goal is Theorem 1(f): for finite real limits,

H(t)→h⟺G(s)→g,and whenever these limits exist, h=λg.H(t)\to h\quad\Longleftrightarrow\quad G(s)\to g, \qquad\text{and whenever these limits exist, }h=\lambda g.H(t)→h⟺G(s)→g,and whenever these limits exist, h=λg.

Here the equivalence means existence of finite limits, with the second clause identifying their values. The lim inf and lim sup statement is retained as a milestone because it also covers nonconvergent paths. Glynn and Whitt (1989), p. 639, Theorem 1(c), (f)

Significance

The goal gives a two-way transfer between customer-indexed and time-indexed long-run averages. If an application establishes one finite average, the theorem supplies the other and fixes its value. The one-sided milestones give meaningful bounds when only one approximation condition is available; the lim inf and lim sup milestone retains information when neither average converges. These outcomes are stated for a general cumulative input, so applications can supply their own FFF, T1T_1T1​, and T2T_2T2​ without changing the theorem. Glynn and Whitt (1989), §§2–4

The paper proves these results on paper. The formalization target is a machine-checked interface for the paper's deterministic framework, its inversion lemmas, its asymptotic inequalities, and the two-way limit theorem. At this drafting stage the Lean theorem statements compile with proof placeholders; no machine-checked proofs of these new statements are claimed. The definitions and inverse-rate lemma can be reused in other sample-path results.

Difficulty

The two marginal averages examine different slices of FFF, and a time change may jump or have flat intervals. A direct substitution of t=Ti(s)t=T_i(s)t=Ti​(s) does not give an equality between F(s,∞)F(s,\infty)F(s,∞) and F(∞,t)F(\infty,t)F(∞,t) under the paper's assumptions. The left limit in (14) and the value in (15) also behave differently at jumps. The inverse SiS_iSi​ connects the coordinates, but its boundary behavior and rate must be handled before comparing the averages. These issues are present even without stochastic randomness. Glynn and Whitt (1989), pp. 638–639

Formalization scope

Lean represents s,ts,ts,t by nonnegative real numbers and FFF by a real-valued function with separate monotonicity and bounded marginal ranges. Real suprema represent F(s,∞)F(s,\infty)F(s,∞) and F(∞,t)F(\infty,t)F(∞,t); the boundedness fields ensure those suprema are the paper's finite limits. The inverse is an infimum of a nonempty set because Ti→∞T_i\to\inftyTi​→∞. The left limit is the supremum over earlier nonnegative arguments, with T(0−)=0T(0-)=0T(0−)=0. Ratios at zero use Lean's total division convention, but every ratio assertion is asymptotic at infinity.

Lim inf and lim sup are taken in the extended reals so an unbounded average retains an infinite limit. Multiplication by λ\lambdaλ happens in the reals before conversion. Ordinary limits in Theorem 1(f) are finite real limits. The two time changes are independent and share only the positive rate λ\lambdaλ. The goal assumes only (14), (15), and the stated time-change rates; it does not assume its own inverse-rate or asymptotic conclusions. No nonnegativity or rectangle inequality is imposed on FFF.

Theorem 1(a) and (b) have their hypothesis pairing reversed in print. The formalized one-sided bounds use the corrected pairing, and the milestone text preserves the printed source for audit. The intermediate expressions involving G(Si(t))G(S_i(t))G(Si​(t)) are excluded from the corrected statements because the framework does not assume customer-coordinate right continuity. Theorem 1(c) and (f) use both conditions and are true as printed. The scope includes the definitions, Lemmas 1–2, corrected parts (a)–(b), and parts (c) and (f). Contributions toward their proofs and reusable time-change lemmas are welcome. Glynn and Whitt (1989), p. 639, Theorem 1

Selected references

  • P. W. Glynn and W. Whitt, Extensions of the Queueing Relations L = λW and H = λG, Operations Research 37(4):634–644, 1989. DOI: 10.1287/opre.37.4.634
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Linear OptimizationOperations ResearchOptimization·Captain: mikedeng1

On the Relation Between Integer and Noninteger Solutions to Linear Programs: Deep in the Optimal-Basis Cone, z₂(b) = z₁(b) + φ(b) and the Group Problem Gives an Integer OptimumResearch Paper

Motivation

An integer program is a linear program whose variables must take integer values. Its linear relaxation can be solved efficiently, while the integer program itself is NP-hard in general, so a recurring question in integer programming is how much the optimal solution of the relaxation says about the integer optimum. Simple rounding of the fractional optimum does not answer it: examples show that the integer optimum need not lie within distance one of the LP optimum, even when the right-hand side is large.

R. E. Gomory's 1965 note in the Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences (doi:10.1073/pnas.53.2.260) showed that, for right-hand sides lying deep inside the cone of an optimal LP basis, the integer program is solved exactly by the LP solution plus a correction computed in a finite abelian group. The resulting group relaxation (the "corner polyhedron" of Gomory's later work, Gomory 1969) underlies a large body of work on cutting planes, the master group problem, Gomory–Johnson functions and asymptotic integer programming.

Timeline. Gomory's fractional cutting-plane algorithm (Gomory 1958) introduced the "fractional rows" of the simplex tableau; the 1965 note identifies the group they generate with M(I)/M(B)M(I)/M(B)M(I)/M(B) and proves the asymptotic theorem formalized here. Gomory 1969 develops the corner polyhedron; Gomory and Johnson (1972) study the continuous valid functions of the corner polyhedron.

Setting

Let AAA be an integer m×(m+n)m\times(m+n)m×(m+n) matrix of the form (A′,I)(A',I)(A′,I), let b∈Zmb\in\mathbb Z^mb∈Zm and c∈Rm+nc\in\mathbb R^{m+n}c∈Rm+n. Problem P1 is

max⁡ z1=cxs.t.Ax=b, x≥0,\max\ z_1=cx\quad\text{s.t.}\quad Ax=b,\ x\ge0,max z1​=cxs.t.Ax=b, x≥0,

and P2 is P1 with xxx integer. A basis is a nonsingular m×mm\times mm×m submatrix BBB of AAA; after rearranging, A=(B,N)A=(B,N)A=(B,N) with B=(α1,…,αm)B=(\alpha_1,\dots,\alpha_m)B=(α1​,…,αm​) and N=(αm+1,…,αm+n)N=(\alpha_{m+1},\dots,\alpha_{m+n})N=(αm+1​,…,αm+n​), and c=(cB,cN)c=(c_B,c_N)c=(cB​,cN​). The relative cost of a nonbasic column is ci∗=ci−cBB−1αic^*_i=c_i-c_BB^{-1}\alpha_ici∗​=ci​−cB​B−1αi​, and BBB is an optimal basis when all ci∗≤0c^*_i\le0ci∗​≤0. The cone of the basis is KB={β∈Rm:B−1β≥0}K^B=\{\beta\in\mathbb R^m: B^{-1}\beta\ge0\}KB={β∈Rm:B−1β≥0}; removing from it all points within Euclidean distance ddd of its boundary gives the reduced cone KB(d)K^B(d)KB(d).

Let M(I)=ZmM(I)=\mathbb Z^mM(I)=Zm and M(B)=LBM(B)=\mathfrak L_BM(B)=LB​ the lattice of integer combinations of α1,…,αm\alpha_1,\dots,\alpha_mα1​,…,αm​. The factor module M(I)/M(B)M(I)/M(B)M(I)/M(B) is a finite abelian group with D=∣det⁡B∣D=|\det B|D=∣detB∣ elements; write αˉi\bar\alpha_iαˉi​, bˉ\bar bbˉ for the classes of αi\alpha_iαi​, bbb. The group problem (4) is

max⁡ ∑i=1nci+m∗yis.t.∑i=1nαˉi+myi=bˉ,yi≥0 integer,\max\ \sum_{i=1}^n c^*_{i+m}y_i\quad\text{s.t.}\quad\sum_{i=1}^n\bar\alpha_{i+m}y_i=\bar b,\quad y_i\ge0\text{ integer},max i=1∑n​ci+m∗​yi​s.t.i=1∑n​αˉi+m​yi​=bˉ,yi​≥0 integer,

with optimal value φB(b)\varphi^B(b)φB(b). Finally l=max⁡i>m∥αi∥l=\max_{i>m}\|\alpha_i\|l=maxi>m​∥αi​∥.

Formalization targets

Goal: THEOREM 1 (p. 261)

If b∈KB(l(D−1))b\in K^B(l(D-1))b∈KB(l(D−1)), then P1, P2 and (4) attain their optima, the value z2(b)z_2(b)z2​(b) of P2 is

z2(b)=z1(b)+φB(b),z_2(b)=z_1(b)+\varphi^B(b),z2​(b)=z1​(b)+φB(b),

an optimal solution of P2 is

x(b)=(B−1(b−NyB(b)), yB(b))x(b)=\big(B^{-1}(b-Ny^B(b)),\ y^B(b)\big)x(b)=(B−1(b−NyB(b)), yB(b))

for an optimal solution yB(b)y^B(b)yB(b) of (4) with ∑iyiB(b)≤D−1\sum_iy^B_i(b)\le D-1∑i​yiB​(b)≤D−1, and φB\varphi^BφB, yBy^ByB are mmm-periodic: φB(b+αi)=φB(b)\varphi^B(b+\alpha_i)=\varphi^B(b)φB(b+αi​)=φB(b).

Milestones

In the order of the paper's proof: ∣M(I)/M(B)∣=D|M(I)/M(B)|=D∣M(I)/M(B)∣=D (p. 262); periodicity of (4) (p. 263); the cost identity (5)–(6); "cBB−1bc_BB^{-1}bcB​B−1b is z1(b)z_1(b)z1​(b)", the simplex optimality criterion (a published, proved theorem); the projection of a solution of P2 to a solution of (4); the bound (7), z2(b)≤z1(b)+φ(b)z_2(b)\le z_1(b)+\varphi(b)z2​(b)≤z1​(b)+φ(b); the extension of a solution of (4) to an integer solution; the LEMMA (an optimal solution of (4) with ∑yi≤D−1\sum y_i\le D-1∑yi​≤D−1); and the bound ∥Ny∥≤(D−1)l\|Ny\|\le(D-1)l∥Ny∥≤(D−1)l that places b−Nyb-Nyb−Ny in KBK^BKB.

Companions

THEOREM 2: the optimal x(b)x(b)x(b) satisfies ∑i>mxi=∑iyi≤D−1\sum_{i>m}x_i=\sum_iy_i\le D-1∑i>m​xi​=∑i​yi​≤D−1. THEOREM 4 (with the bound corrected, see below): if an optimal yyy of (4) has ∏i(yi+1)>D\prod_i(y_i+1)>D∏i​(yi​+1)>D, the optimum of (4) is not unique.

Significance

THEOREM 1 reduces integer programming, for right-hand sides far from the boundary of an optimal cone, to a shortest-path-type problem over a group of order DDD: the integer optimum is determined by the LP optimum and a periodic correction, and it can be computed in time polynomial in nnn and DDD (THEOREM 3, not formalized here). It explains why rounding fails while a structured correction succeeds, and it is the starting point of the corner-polyhedron and cutting-plane theory built on the group relaxation. THEOREM 2 bounds how far the integer optimum lies from a lattice point of LB\mathfrak L_BLB​, an early proximity result.

The results are classical and proved in the paper; none of them has a machine-checked proof that this mission is aware of. The mission produces a Lean statement and proof of the asymptotic theorem, together with reusable statements about the group Zm/BZm\mathbb Z^m/B\mathbb Z^mZm/BZm and the zero-sum shortening argument of the LEMMA.

Difficulty

The decomposition z2≤z1+φz_2\le z_1+\varphiz2​≤z1​+φ is a direct computation. The difficulty is the converse: an optimal solution yyy of the group problem extends to an integer point xB=B−1(b−Ny)x_B=B^{-1}(b-Ny)xB​=B−1(b−Ny), but nothing in (4) forces xB≥0x_B\ge0xB​≥0. Optimality of yyy alone does not bound yyy: an optimal solution may carry zero-cost cycles of arbitrary length, and then b−Nyb-Nyb−Ny can leave the cone KBK^BKB. The theorem therefore depends on choosing the right optimal solution of (4), one whose total size is bounded by the group order, and on relating that combinatorial bound to the Euclidean geometry of the cone.

Formalization scope

  • The basis is fixed: BBB is an integer m×mm\times mm×m matrix and NNN an integer m×nm\times nm×n matrix; column jjj of NNN (000-based) is the paper's αm+1+j\alpha_{m+1+j}αm+1+j​. The costs cBc_BcB​, cNc_NcN​ are real.
  • The standing assumptions of pp. 260–262 are hypotheses of the goal: det⁡B≠0\det B\neq0detB=0; every unit vector of Zm\mathbb Z^mZm is a column of BBB or of NNN (the paper's A=(A′,I)A=(A',I)A=(A′,I), without which P2 can be infeasible); all relative costs ci∗≤0c^*_i\le0ci∗​≤0 (BBB is optimal, without which (4) is unbounded).
  • P2's variables are natural numbers (integer and nonnegative). The group problem is written as "b−Ny∈BZmb-Ny\in B\mathbb Z^mb−Ny∈BZm", which is equivalent to ∑αˉi+myi=bˉ\sum\bar\alpha_{i+m}y_i=\bar b∑αˉi+m​yi​=bˉ.
  • Optimal values are greatest elements of the sets of objective values, never suprema; the goal asserts that they are attained.
  • The norm in lll and in KB(d)K^B(d)KB(d) is Euclidean. KB(d)K^B(d)KB(d) is the set of points whose closed ball of radius ddd lies in KBK^BKB. l=0l=0l=0 when n=0n=0n=0.
  • In part (3) of the goal, yB(b)y^B(b)yB(b) ranges over optimal solutions of (4) with ∑iyi≤D−1\sum_iy_i\le D-1∑i​yi​≤D−1, the solutions the paper's LEMMA and dynamic program produce.
  • THEOREM 4 is stated with the hypothesis ∏(yi+1)>D\prod(y_i+1)>D∏(yi​+1)>D: the printed >D−1>D-1>D−1 is false (m=n=1m=n=1m=n=1, B=(2)B=(2)B=(2), N=(1)N=(1)N=(1), c=(2,0)c=(2,0)c=(2,0), b=1b=1b=1 has the unique optimum y=1y=1y=1 with ∏(yi+1)=2\prod(y_i+1)=2∏(yi​+1)=2).
  • A trivializing formalization is ruled out: the goal assumes none of the LEMMA, the inequality (7), integrality of B−1(b−Ny)B^{-1}(b-Ny)B−1(b−Ny) or the norm bound, and it states the existence of the optima instead of assuming them.
  • Not in scope: the operation counts of THEOREM 3 and the recursion (8), which need a machine model the paper does not define.

Needed infrastructure: the cardinality of Zm/BZm\mathbb Z^m/B\mathbb Z^mZm/BZm (available in Mathlib through determinants of basis changes), a zero-sum/pigeonhole argument in a finite abelian group, the simplex optimality criterion (published), and elementary Euclidean estimates. The group-theoretic lemmas are reusable for other group-relaxation and proximity missions. Proofs of the milestones, alternative arguments and the extension to the open-ball reading of KB(d)K^B(d)KB(d) are welcome.

Selected references

  • R. E. Gomory, On the relation between integer and noninteger solutions to linear programs, Proc. Natl. Acad. Sci. USA 53(2):260–265, 1965. https://doi.org/10.1073/pnas.53.2.260
  • R. E. Gomory, Outline of an algorithm for integer solutions to linear programs, Bull. Amer. Math. Soc. 64:275–278, 1958. https://doi.org/10.1090/S0002-9904-1958-10224-4
  • R. E. Gomory, Some polyhedra related to combinatorial problems, Linear Algebra Appl. 2:451–558, 1969. https://doi.org/10.1016/0024-3795(69)90017-2
  • R. E. Gomory and E. L. Johnson, Some continuous functions related to corner polyhedra, Math. Programming 3:23–85, 1972.
  • J. Matoušek and B. Gärtner, Understanding and Using Linear Programming, Springer, 2007 (simplex optimality criterion). https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-540-30717-4
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CombinatoricsOperations ResearchTheoretical Computer Science·Captain: mikedeng1

One-Processor Scheduling with Symmetric Earliness and Tardiness Penalties 1: Minimizing the Total Discrepancy from Preferred Times Is NP-CompleteResearch Paper

Motivation

Scheduling with earliness and tardiness penalties asks for schedules in which a job finishing early is as undesirable as a job finishing late. The model fits production planned for just-in-time delivery, where finished goods held before their due date cost money, and sequences of experiments tied to fixed external events. It departs from classical scheduling, in which finishing early is never penalized.

Garey, Tarjan and Wilfong (Math. Oper. Res. 13 (1988) 330–348) study the symmetric version on one processor: each task has a preferred starting time, and the penalty is the absolute deviation from it. Their §2.1 settles the complexity of the most natural objective, the sum of these deviations, by proving it NP-complete. The result explains why the rest of their paper, and much of the later literature, turns to special cases that can be solved efficiently: a fixed task order, equal task lengths, or the maximum deviation instead of the sum.

A short history of the model:

  • Kanet (1981) minimized total absolute deviation from a common due date that is large enough not to constrain the schedule, by a sorting rule. The special case in the middle of §2.1 is the midtime version of this problem.
  • Garey, Tarjan and Wilfong (1988) proved the problem with arbitrary preferred times NP-complete (THEOREM 1, this mission), and gave an O(Nlog⁡N)O(N\log N)O(NlogN) algorithm for a fixed task order.
  • Hall, Kubiak and Sethi (1991) proved that the common-due-date problem becomes NP-hard when the due date is restrictive. The reduction of THEOREM 1 already uses a common preferred midtime that is not large, together with one extra task that pins the right end.

Setting

There are NNN tasks T1,…,TNT_1,\dots,T_NT1​,…,TN​. Task TiT_iTi​ has a length lil_ili​ and a preferred midtime MiM_iMi​. A schedule SSS assigns every task a starting time si≥0s_i\ge0si​≥0 such that no two tasks overlap on the single processor: for i≠ji\ne ji=j, either si+li≤sjs_i+l_i\le s_jsi​+li​≤sj​ or sj+lj≤sis_j+l_j\le s_isj​+lj​≤si​. Idle time is allowed. The actual midtime of TiT_iTi​ is mi(S)=si+li/2m_i(S)=s_i+l_i/2mi​(S)=si​+li​/2, and the total discrepancy of SSS is

cost(S)=∑i=1N∣mi(S)−Mi∣.\mathrm{cost}(S)=\sum_{i=1}^N |m_i(S)-M_i| .cost(S)=i=1∑N​∣mi​(S)−Mi​∣.

The paper works with midtimes because the special case below is then symmetric. Preferred midtimes and preferred starting times aia_iai​ are interchangeable through ai=Mi−li/2a_i=M_i-l_i/2ai​=Mi​−li​/2.

Total discrepancy (the decision problem). Given N,k∈Z+N,k\in\mathbb Z^+N,k∈Z+ and Mi,li∈Z+M_i,l_i\in\mathbb Z^+Mi​,li​∈Z+, is there a schedule with cost(S)≤k\mathrm{cost}(S)\le kcost(S)≤k?

Even-odd partition. Given positive integers x1<x2<⋯<x2nx_1<x_2<\dots<x_{2n}x1​<x2​<⋯<x2n​, can they be split into two sets of equal sum so that each set contains exactly one of x2i−1,x2ix_{2i-1},x_{2i}x2i−1​,x2i​ for every iii?

The special case. For tasks T0,…,T2nT_0,\dots,T_{2n}T0​,…,T2n​ with 0<l0<l1<⋯<l2n0<l_0<l_1<\dots<l_{2n}0<l0​<l1​<⋯<l2n​ and one common preferred midtime M>∑iliM>\sum_i l_iM>∑i​li​, write A(S)={Ti:mi(S)<M}A(S)=\{T_i: m_i(S)<M\}A(S)={Ti​:mi​(S)<M} and B(S)={Ti:mi(S)>M}B(S)=\{T_i:m_i(S)>M\}B(S)={Ti​:mi​(S)>M}. A schedule is ordered if, on each side of MMM, shorter tasks lie nearer to MMM. The bracket [An,…,A1,T0@M,B1,…,Bn][A_n,\dots,A_1,T_0@M,B_1,\dots,B_n][An​,…,A1​,T0​@M,B1​,…,Bn​] is the schedule that puts T0T_0T0​ at midtime MMM and packs the listed tasks against it in the listed order.

Formalization targets

Goal: THEOREM 1

Partition is NP-complete ⟹ Total discrepancy is NP-complete.\text{Partition is NP-complete}\ \Longrightarrow\ \text{Total discrepancy is NP-complete.}Partition is NP-complete ⟹ Total discrepancy is NP-complete.

The hypothesis is the one result the paper imports (Garey and Johnson, 1979). The conclusion includes membership in NP and polynomial-time many-one reductions from every NP language, with Turing machines as the model of computation.

Milestones, in attack order

  1. Even-odd partition is in NP; the instance x1=1x_1=1x1​=1, x2i=x2i−1+yix_{2i}=x_{2i-1}+y_ix2i​=x2i−1​+yi​, x2i+1=x2i+1x_{2i+1}=x_{2i}+1x2i+1​=x2i​+1 built from a Partition instance YYY is a yes-instance if and only if YYY is; and LEMMA 1, even-odd partition is NP-complete.
  2. The special case: a minimum cost schedule has no gaps and is ordered; LEMMA 2 (some mi(S)=Mm_i(S)=Mmi​(S)=M), LEMMA 3 (∣A(S)∣=∣B(S)∣|A(S)|=|B(S)|∣A(S)∣=∣B(S)∣), LEMMA 4 (m0(S)=Mm_0(S)=Mm0​(S)=M), LEMMA 5 (swapping AiA_iAi​ and BiB_iBi​ in a bracket keeps the cost), LEMMA 6 ({Ai,Bi}={T2i,T2i−1}\{A_i,B_i\}=\{T_{2i},T_{2i-1}\}{Ai​,Bi​}={T2i​,T2i−1​} in a minimum cost bracket), and the minimum cost
k=∑i=1n(l2i+l2i−1)(n−i+12)+l0 n.k=\sum_{i=1}^n(l_{2i}+l_{2i-1})\left(n-i+\tfrac12\right)+l_0\,n .k=i=1∑n​(l2i​+l2i−1​)(n−i+21​)+l0​n.
  1. At the midtime M=12∑i=02nliM=\frac12\sum_{i=0}^{2n}l_iM=21​∑i=02n​li​ used in the reduction, every schedule of T0,…,T2nT_0,\dots,T_{2n}T0​,…,T2n​ costs at least kkk; equality forces the ordered, gap-free form in item 2.
  2. The reduction: the instance D with l0=x1−1l_0=x_1-1l0​=x1​−1, li=xil_i=x_ili​=xi​, l2n+1=2l_{2n+1}=2l2n+1​=2, Mj=M=∑i≤2nli/2M_j=M=\sum_{i\le 2n}l_i/2Mj​=M=∑i≤2n​li​/2, M2n+1=2M+1M_{2n+1}=2M+1M2n+1​=2M+1 has a schedule of cost at most kkk if and only if XXX has an even-odd partition. Total discrepancy is in NP.

Significance

THEOREM 1 is the hardness boundary for one-processor scheduling with symmetric earliness–tardiness penalties and arbitrary preferred times. It is the reason exact algorithms for this objective are enumerative, and the reason polynomial results are sought under extra structure, such as the fixed-order algorithm of the same paper. The special-case lemmas characterize every optimal schedule for a common, unrestrictive midtime, not just one of them: shortest task centered at MMM, the iii-th pair of lengths in the iii-th positions on either side, either member on either side. This characterization holds independently of the reduction.

The result has been proved since 1988, and no machine-checked version of it is known to us. A formalization adds three things. First, the parts the paper calls "straightforward" or "a simple exercise", membership of both problems in NP. Second, the two places where the published argument is imprecise. The instance D has half-integer midtimes and threshold although the decision problem asks for integers, so a correct reduction must rescale. And the special-case lemmas are proved for a large midtime but applied with M=∑ili/2M=\sum_i l_i/2M=∑i​li​/2, so they must be restated for every MMM. Third, a reusable formal treatment of absolute-deviation scheduling objectives and of reductions between number problems written in binary.

Difficulty

The obvious argument fails at the step from the special case to the instance D. The lemmas on pp. 333–336 assume the common midtime is large, so that the constraint si≥0s_i\ge0si​≥0 never binds. In D the midtime is M=∑i=02nli/2M=\sum_{i=0}^{2n}l_i/2M=∑i=02n​li​/2, exactly half the total length, and the reduction works because the constraint binds. The tasks before MMM must fit in [0,M−l0/2][0,M-l_0/2][0,M−l0​/2], and the extra task T2n+1T_{2n+1}T2n+1​ must sit at [2M,2M+2][2M,2M+2][2M,2M+2]. Together these force the two sides to have equal total length. A proof that only cites the large-MMM lemmas proves nothing about D. Conversely, dropping si≥0s_i\ge 0si​≥0 makes the reduction false: put the shorter element of every pair after MMM.

The other obstacle is the complexity bookkeeping. NP-completeness here means Turing machines, binary codes, and polynomial bounds, and a full proof must compute D from the code of XXX, double the times to clear the half-integers, and certify membership in NP for a problem whose schedules have real starting times. The certificate cannot be the real starting times themselves.

Formalization scope

  • Everything is real-valued except the instance codes. Schedules have real starting times si≥0s_i\ge0si​≥0, and integer data are cast to R\mathbb RR. Restricting to integer starting times would be a different problem and is not what is stated.
  • Nonnegative starting times are a standing assumption. The paper uses them ("scheduled between 0 and M−l0/2M-l_0/2M−l0​/2", p. 336) without writing them into the model. Nonoverlap is "one task finishes before the other starts", the reading of "intersect only at their endpoints".
  • Tasks are indexed by Fin N from 000. In the special case TiT_iTi​ is index iii, and the paper's T2i−1,T2iT_{2i-1},T_{2i}T2i−1​,T2i​ (1≤i≤n1\le i\le n1≤i≤n) are the indices 2k+1,2k+22k+1,2k+22k+1,2k+2 for k=i−1k=i-1k=i−1.
  • Languages use the published CookPvsNP_defs (Cook's one-tape Turing machines, NP, NPComplete) and the published ProjSchedTW.Complexity.Encoding (four-letter alphabet and binary codes). This mission defines positivePartitionLang by restricting the imported equal-sum predicate to nonempty lists of positive integers, as on p. 333. Only codes of well-formed instances belong to the even-odd and total discrepancy languages.
  • The goal is not the combinatorial equivalence of milestone 4. It states NP-completeness, so it contains the polynomial-time computation of the reduction and membership in NP. Taking NPComplete evenOddLang as the hypothesis instead would drop LEMMA 1 and is not what is asked.
  • Running times of the algorithms of §2.2–§2.4 are out of scope for this mission, as are all results after §2.1.

Contributions welcome: proofs of any milestone, and reusable lemmas on Turing-machine computability of arithmetic on binary codes, which the two membership results and both reductions need.

Selected references

  • M. R. Garey, R. E. Tarjan, G. T. Wilfong, One-Processor Scheduling with Symmetric Earliness and Tardiness Penalties, Mathematics of Operations Research 13(2):330–348, 1988. https://doi.org/10.1287/moor.13.2.330
  • M. R. Garey, D. S. Johnson, Computers and Intractability: A Guide to the Theory of NP-Completeness, W. H. Freeman, 1979.
  • J. J. Kanet, Minimizing the average deviation of job completion times about a common due date, Naval Research Logistics Quarterly 28(4):643–651, 1981. https://doi.org/10.1002/nav.3800280411
  • N. G. Hall, W. Kubiak, S. P. Sethi, Earliness–tardiness scheduling problems, II: Deviation of completion times about a restrictive common due date, Operations Research 39(5):847–856, 1991. https://doi.org/10.1287/opre.39.5.847
  • S. Cook, The P versus NP problem, Clay Mathematics Institute Millennium Problems, 2000. https://www.claymath.org/wp-content/uploads/2022/06/pvsnp.pdf
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Graph TheoryLinear OptimizationOperations Research·Captain: mikedeng1

A Suggested Computation for Maximal Multi-Commodity Network Flows: With Nonnegative Simplex Multipliers, Shortest-Chain Labels Prove the Arc-Chain Basis Optimal or Find an Entering ChainResearch Paper

Motivation

The maximal multi-commodity flow problem asks how much total flow several commodities, each travelling from its own sources to its own sinks, can send through a network whose arcs have shared capacities. It arises in communication and transportation planning: Kalaba and Juncosa's 1956 study of communication networks (Management Science 3(1)) leads to linear programs of this form. For a single commodity the problem has a clean combinatorial theory: the max-flow min-cut theorem of Ford and Fulkerson (1956, doi:10.4153/CJM-1956-045-5) and the labeling algorithm. With several commodities both fail: the min-cut equality is false, and simplex bases are no longer triangular.

In a short note received in October 1957 and published in Management Science in 1958, L. R. Ford Jr. and D. R. Fulkerson proposed a way to solve the multi-commodity problem with the simplex method anyway (doi:10.1287/mnsc.1040.0269, reprinted 2004). They use the arc-chain formulation, which has one variable per chain from a source to a sink of a commodity. That formulation has far too many variables to write down. The note's point is that the simplex method never needs them explicitly. The "pricing" step (finding a variable to enter the basis, or recognizing that none exists) can be carried out by one shortest-chain computation per commodity, with the simplex multipliers as arc lengths.

Timeline. Ford (1956, RAND P-923) gave the label-correcting shortest-chain procedure the note uses. Ford and Fulkerson (1958) applied it to price the columns of the arc-chain program. Dantzig and Wolfe (1960) generalized the idea into the decomposition principle. Gilmore and Gomory (1961) applied the same pattern to the cutting-stock problem, and it is now called column generation.

Setting

A network has finitely many nodes P1,…,PNP_1,\dots,P_NP1​,…,PN​ and arcs A1,…,AmA_1,\dots,A_mA1​,…,Am​. Each arc ArA_rAr​ joins two nodes, has a capacity brb_rbr​, and is either directed (traversable one way only) or undirected (traversable both ways). There are finitely many commodities; commodity kkk has a set of sources SkS_kSk​ and a set of sinks TkT_kTk​.

A chain from uuu to www is the arc set of a path u=v0,v1,…,vp=wu = v_0, v_1, \dots, v_p = wu=v0​,v1​,…,vp​=w with distinct nodes, each arc traversable from vi−1v_{i-1}vi−1​ to viv_ivi​. A commodity chain of kkk is a chain from a node of SkS_kSk​ to a node of TkT_kTk​. List the commodity chains, for all commodities, as C1,…,CnC_1,\dots,C_nC1​,…,Cn​, and let A=(ars)A = (a_{rs})A=(ars​) be the incidence matrix: ars=1a_{rs} = 1ars​=1 if CsC_sCs​ contains ArA_rAr​ and 000 otherwise. With xsx_sxs​ the flow along CsC_sCs​ and xn+rx_{n+r}xn+r​ the slack of arc ArA_rAr​, the problem is the linear program

maximize ∑s=1nxssubject to∑s=1narsxs+xn+r=br,x1,…,xn+m≥0.(2–3)\text{maximize } \sum_{s=1}^{n} x_s \quad\text{subject to}\quad \sum_{s=1}^{n} a_{rs}x_s + x_{n+r} = b_r,\qquad x_1,\dots,x_{n+m} \ge 0. \tag{2–3}maximize s=1∑n​xs​subject tos=1∑n​ars​xs​+xn+r​=br​,x1​,…,xn+m​≥0.(2–3)

A basis is a set of mmm columns of [A∣I][A \mid I][A∣I] forming an invertible matrix B=(brj)B = (b_{rj})B=(brj​). Its simplex multipliers α1,…,αm\alpha_1,\dots,\alpha_mα1​,…,αm​ satisfy, for every basic column jjj,

∑r=1mαrbrj={1j≤n,0j>n.(4)\sum_{r=1}^{m} \alpha_r b_{rj} = \begin{cases} 1 & j \le n,\\ 0 & j > n.\end{cases} \tag{4}r=1∑m​αr​brj​={10​j≤n,j>n.​(4)

Read as arc lengths, the αr\alpha_rαr​ give each chain CsC_sCs​ the length ∑rαrars\sum_r \alpha_r a_{rs}∑r​αr​ars​. The labeling process for a source set SSS starts with labels πi=0\pi_i = 0πi​=0 on SSS and πi=∞\pi_i = \inftyπi​=∞ elsewhere. It repeatedly finds an arc traversable from PiP_iPi​ to PjP_jPj​ with πi+lij<πj\pi_i + l_{ij} < \pi_jπi​+lij​<πj​ and replaces πj\pi_jπj​ by πi+lij\pi_i + l_{ij}πi​+lij​. In Lean the labels are lab : V → WithTop ℝ, the multipliers are α : E → ℝ, and all objects live in the namespace FordFulkerson58.ArcChain.

Formalization targets

Goal: the shortest-chain pricing test (§3, pp. 1779–1780)

Let BBB be a basis with basic feasible solution zzz and multipliers α≥0\alpha \ge 0α≥0. Then:

(a) for every commodity, every run of the labeling process with lengths α is finite;(b) if all final sink labels are ≥1, then ∑sxs≤∑szs for every feasible x;(c) if a final sink label πt<1, some non-basic chain column to t has length πt and 1−∑rαrars>0.\begin{aligned} &\text{(a) for every commodity, every run of the labeling process with lengths } \alpha \text{ is finite;}\\ &\text{(b) if all final sink labels are } \ge 1, \text{ then } \textstyle\sum_s x_s \le \sum_s z_s \text{ for every feasible } x;\\ &\text{(c) if a final sink label } \pi_t < 1, \text{ some non-basic chain column to } t \text{ has length } \pi_t \text{ and } 1 - \textstyle\sum_r \alpha_r a_{rs} > 0. \end{aligned}​(a) for every commodity, every run of the labeling process with lengths α is finite;(b) if all final sink labels are ≥1, then ∑s​xs​≤∑s​zs​ for every feasible x;(c) if a final sink label πt​<1, some non-basic chain column to t has length πt​ and 1−∑r​αr​ars​>0.​

Milestones (§3, the labeling process and the test)

  1. Termination of the labeling process for non-negative lengths (p. 1780).
  2. Final labels are shortest-chain lengths from SSS; the smallest label on TTT is the SSS-to-TTT distance (p. 1780).
  3. The trace-back: a chain of tight arcs from SSS to every labeled node, of length its label (p. 1780).
  4. If α≥0\alpha \ge 0α≥0 and every commodity chain has length ≥1\ge 1≥1, the basis is optimal (p. 1779).

Further items state the remarks of §3–§4: a negative multiplier lets a slack enter; the slack basis is a feasible start; dominated chains can be ignored; limited supplies reduce to the same problem by adding new directed source arcs; Figure 2 is the incidence matrix of Figure 1; with negative lengths the labeling process may not terminate.

Significance

The result. The test turns a linear program with exponentially many columns into one whose pricing step costs one shortest-path computation per commodity. Only the m×mm \times mm×m basis is ever stored. This is the first instance of column generation, which now underlies solvers for multi-commodity flow, cutting stock, vehicle routing, crew scheduling and many other set-partitioning models, typically inside branch-and-price. Part (a) together with milestones 2–3 also gives the correctness of Ford's label-correcting algorithm with non-negative lengths, started from a source set and with any order of arc scans.

Formalizing it. The results are classical and proved in the paper's informal style. None of them is formalized: the platform has no arc-chain LP, no column pricing, and no formal statement of Ford's label-correcting process. The general LP facts are on the platform (the simplex optimality criterion and weak duality, both proved) and are included as references. This mission adds the network-specific layer: chains as arc sets of simple paths, the labeling process as a relation on labelings, and the link from final labels to reduced costs. One sentence of the paper is corrected. The trace-back "eventually" reaches SSS only along some backward path, because zero-length cycles can trap a naive backward search, and milestone 3 states the true version.

Difficulty

The obvious argument for termination says each step lowers a label and there are finitely many chains. It fails: labels are lengths of walks, not chains, and with zero-length arcs (multipliers are often 000) there are infinitely many walks. Termination needs the finiteness of the set of walk lengths below a bound, not positivity. The correctness of the final labels needs both properties of the labeling: it is produced by the process (so every label is the length of a walk from SSS), and it is terminal. A terminal labeling alone, such as all labels 000, is not a distance labeling. Finally, the optimality claim is an LP statement about the full, never-enumerated column set. It must be derived from (4), α≥0\alpha \ge 0α≥0 and the shortest-chain lengths, with the chain columns indexed abstractly.

Formalization scope

Nodes, arcs and commodities are finite types V, E, ι. Each arc has tail, head, a per-arc directed flag and a capacity b : E → ℝ; commodities have src snk : ι → Finset V. Parallel arcs and mixed directed/undirected networks are allowed. No sign of the capacities and no disjointness of sources and sinks is assumed, except 0 ≤ b in the zero-flow item, where it is disclosed. Chains are arc sets of simple paths. The null chain at a source is a chain, so sources have distance 000. Columns are pairs (commodity, chain), so one arc set used by two commodities gives two columns. The columns of [A∣I][A \mid I][A∣I] are indexed by Col N ⊕ E. A basis is β : E → Col N ⊕ E with IsUnit (basisMatrix N β).det; its basic feasible solution and multipliers (4) are hypotheses about this β. Labels are in WithTop ℝ with ⊤ for ∞\infty∞. Shortest-chain lengths are finite infima (Finset.inf), equal to ⊤ when there is no chain. The process scans arcs, not node pairs, which handles parallel arcs and the undirected case lij=ljil_{ij} = l_{ji}lij​=lji​.

The standing assumption of §3 ("a stage has been reached in the computation where all αr\alpha_rαr​ are non-negative", p. 1779) is a hypothesis of the goal and of milestones 1–4. Milestones 1–3 are stated for any non-negative length function. The paper has no numbered theorems; every milestone is an unnumbered sentence of §3, cited by page and position.

A trivializing formalization is ruled out: the goal does not assume shortest-chain lengths, the trace-back, or any reduced-cost fact beyond (4). Statements about final labels require labelings that are both reachable from the initial labels and terminal, and part (a) shows such labelings exist.

Reusable beyond this mission: the chain and labeling layer (a label-correcting shortest-path algorithm from a source set over mixed networks) and the arc-chain LP. Contributions to the LP layer, which can import the referenced Matoušek–Gärtner results after reindexing, are particularly welcome.

Selected references

  • L. R. Ford Jr., D. R. Fulkerson, A suggested computation for maximal multi-commodity network flows, Management Science 5(1):97–101, 1958; reprinted Management Science 50(12S):1778–1780, 2004. https://doi.org/10.1287/mnsc.1040.0269
  • L. R. Ford Jr., D. R. Fulkerson, Maximal flow through a network, Canadian Journal of Mathematics 8:399–404, 1956. https://doi.org/10.4153/CJM-1956-045-5
  • L. R. Ford Jr., Network Flow Theory, RAND Corporation Paper P-923, 1956. https://www.rand.org/pubs/papers/P923.html
  • G. B. Dantzig, P. Wolfe, Decomposition principle for linear programs, Operations Research 8(1):101–111, 1960. https://doi.org/10.1287/opre.8.1.101
  • P. C. Gilmore, R. E. Gomory, A linear programming approach to the cutting-stock problem, Operations Research 9(6):849–859, 1961. https://doi.org/10.1287/opre.9.6.849
  • J. Matoušek, B. Gärtner, Understanding and Using Linear Programming, Springer, 2007. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-540-30717-4
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AnalysisOperations Research·Captain: mikedeng1

A Variational Inequality Formulation of the Dynamic Network User Equilibrium Problem II: Under Linear Arc Delay αx(t) + β the Arc Exit Time Is Strictly Increasing (FIFO Holds)Research Paper

Motivation

Dynamic traffic assignment models how commuters choose routes and departure times when travel times change over the day. In the model of Friesz, Bernstein, Smith, Tobin and Wie (Oper. Res. 41 (1993)), the time to traverse a path is built recursively from arc exit-time functions: a vehicle that enters an arc at time ttt leaves it at time τ(t)\tau(t)τ(t). The equilibrium conditions of that model refer to the inverses of these functions, so the model is only well defined when every arc exit-time function is invertible.

Invertibility has a direct traffic meaning. A strictly increasing exit time is the first-in-first-out (FIFO) property: a vehicle that enters later cannot leave earlier, so no overtaking occurs on the arc. Whether a given delay model respects FIFO was an active question in the early 1990s, because several delay functions used in practice violate it for some inflow patterns.

Timeline:

  • 1969. Vickrey's bottleneck model introduces deterministic queueing at a single bottleneck (Vickrey 1969).
  • 1986. Ben-Akiva and De Palma show (Trans. Sci. 20 (1986)), for uniform entry rates and deterministic queueing delays, that it is not possible to "arrive earlier by departing later".
  • 1993. Friesz et al. prove (Theorem 1, p. 185) that for every linear arc delay D=αx+βD = \alpha x + \betaD=αx+β the exit time is strictly increasing, extending the 1986 result to all continuous entry-rate patterns (remark, p. 186).

Setting

Consider one arc. Vehicles enter it at the entry rate u(t)≥0u(t) \ge 0u(t)≥0, a continuous function of time t≥0t \ge 0t≥0; the first vehicle enters at time 000. For an exit-time function τ\tauτ, the arc volume at time t≥0t \ge 0t≥0 is the inflow mass of the vehicles that entered during [0,t][0,t][0,t] and have not left by time ttt:

x(t)=∫{s∈[0,t] : τ(s)>t}u(s) ds.x(t) = \int_{\{s \in [0,t]\,:\,\tau(s) > t\}} u(s)\,ds .x(t)=∫{s∈[0,t]:τ(s)>t}​u(s)ds.

The linear delay function (18) of the paper is

D(t)=α x(t)+β,α,β>0,D(t) = \alpha\, x(t) + \beta, \qquad \alpha, \beta > 0,D(t)=αx(t)+β,α,β>0,

a fixed free-flow travel time β\betaβ plus a queueing time determined by the service rate 1/α1/\alpha1/α. The exit time is entry time plus delay, so τ\tauτ is pinned by the exit-time equation

τ(t)=t+α x(t)+β(t≥0).\tau(t) = t + \alpha\, x(t) + \beta \qquad (t \ge 0).τ(t)=t+αx(t)+β(t≥0).

The equation is implicit: τ\tauτ appears on the right through the volume. The proof partitions time at t0=0t_0 = 0t0​=0, tn+1=τ(tn)t_{n+1} = \tau(t_n)tn+1​=τ(tn​); in particular t1=τ(0)=βt_1 = \tau(0) = \betat1​=τ(0)=β is the exit time of the first vehicle. In Lean these objects are linearDelay, arcVolume, IsLinearExitTime and tSeq in FrieszDUE.FIFO.

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem 1 (p. 185)

For α,β>0\alpha, \beta > 0α,β>0 and a nonnegative continuous entry rate uuu, every τ\tauτ satisfying the exit-time equation is strictly increasing on [0,∞)[0, \infty)[0,∞):

0≤s<t  ⟹  τ(s)<τ(t),0 \le s < t \implies \tau(s) < \tau(t),0≤s<t⟹τ(s)<τ(t),

and hence injective there, so τ−1\tau^{-1}τ−1 exists.

Milestones

  1. Lemma 1 (19): for a differentiable invertible fff, [f−1]′(z)=1/f′[f−1(z)][f^{-1}]'(z) = 1/f'[f^{-1}(z)][f−1]′(z)=1/f′[f−1(z)].
  2. First interval (21)–(24): t1=βt_1 = \betat1​=β; on [0,t1][0, t_1][0,t1​], x(t)=∫0tux(t) = \int_0^t ux(t)=∫0t​u, τ(t)=t+α∫0tu+β\tau(t) = t + \alpha\int_0^t u + \betaτ(t)=t+α∫0t​u+β, and τ′=1+αu>0\tau' = 1 + \alpha u > 0τ′=1+αu>0.
  3. Second interval (25)–(28): on [t1,t2][t_1, t_2][t1​,t2​], τ(t)=t+α∫τ−1(t)tu+β\tau(t) = t + \alpha\int_{\tau^{-1}(t)}^t u + \betaτ(t)=t+α∫τ−1(t)t​u+β and τ′(t)=αu(t)+1/(1+αu[τ−1(t)])>αu(t)\tau'(t) = \alpha u(t) + 1/(1 + \alpha u[\tau^{-1}(t)]) > \alpha u(t)τ′(t)=αu(t)+1/(1+αu[τ−1(t)])>αu(t).
  4. Induction (29)–(34): the same representation and τ′(t)>αu(t)\tau'(t) > \alpha u(t)τ′(t)>αu(t) on every [tn+1,tn+2][t_{n+1}, t_{n+2}][tn+1​,tn+2​], with τ\tauτ strictly increasing there.
  5. Covering: tn+1−tn≥βt_{n+1} - t_n \ge \betatn+1​−tn​≥β and R+=⋃n≥0[tn,tn+1]\mathbb R_+ = \bigcup_{n \ge 0}[t_n, t_{n+1}]R+​=⋃n≥0​[tn​,tn+1​].

A supporting, non-milestone item states that the exit-time equation has a solution for every admissible uuu.

Significance

The result makes the path exit-time functions of the dynamic network model invertible whenever the arc delays are linear in volume. That invertibility is what allows the path costs, and through them the variational inequality of Theorem 2 of the same paper, to be written down. In traffic terms it certifies that linear volume-based delays never let a later entrant overtake an earlier one, whatever the continuous inflow profile.

The theorem is proved in the paper. As far as is known it has no machine-checked proof. The mission produces one, together with a formal model of a single arc whose exit time is defined implicitly through the volume, which is reusable for other delay functions and for FIFO questions in dynamic traffic assignment.

Difficulty

The obvious argument differentiates τ(t)=t+αx(t)+β\tau(t) = t + \alpha x(t) + \betaτ(t)=t+αx(t)+β and bounds the outflow rate. But the volume can only be written as ∫τ−1(t)tu\int_{\tau^{-1}(t)}^t u∫τ−1(t)t​u once τ\tauτ is known to be invertible, which is the conclusion. The paper breaks the circularity by working forward in time: on [tn,tn+1][t_n, t_{n+1}][tn​,tn+1​] the volume depends only on τ\tauτ restricted to the earlier interval, whose invertibility is already established. A formal proof must make this forward dependence rigorous for an exit time given only by the implicit equation, handle one-sided derivatives at the junctions tnt_ntn​, where τ\tauτ is generally not differentiable, and show that the junctions do not accumulate.

Formalization scope

Time is real; the entry rate is a function u:R→Ru : \mathbb R \to \mathbb Ru:R→R with u(t)≥0u(t) \ge 0u(t)≥0 and uuu continuous on [0,∞)[0, \infty)[0,∞). Both are added hypotheses: Theorem 1 names none, nonnegativity is implicit in "entry rate", and the remark after the proof covers "all continuous entry rate patterns". Integrals are Lebesgue integrals. Monotonicity is claimed on [0,∞)[0,\infty)[0,∞) only, the entry times that the equation constrains. Derivative claims in the milestones are taken within the closed interval [tn,tn+1][t_n, t_{n+1}][tn​,tn+1​]. The paper's separate pieces τk\tau_kτk​ are one global function here, so the junction identities (27), (30), (33) are automatic. Lemma 1 adds the hypothesis f′[f−1(z)]≠0f'[f^{-1}(z)] \ne 0f′[f−1(z)]=0, without which it is false.

The exit time τ is pinned by the implicit equation τ(t) = t + αx(t) + β, where x(t) is the inflow mass of vehicles that entered by time t and have not exited by time t; no monotonicity or invertibility of τ is assumed. A formalization that defined the volume through τ−1\tau^{-1}τ−1 or assumed τ\tauτ monotone would assume the conclusion and is ruled out.

The development needs one-sided derivatives of parametric integrals, the inverse-function derivative on an interval, and a forward induction over the partition. Contributions of proofs for any milestone, of the existence item, and of a uniqueness result for the exit-time equation are welcome.

Selected references

  • T. L. Friesz, D. Bernstein, T. E. Smith, R. L. Tobin and B. W. Wie, A variational inequality formulation of the dynamic network user equilibrium problem, Operations Research 41(1):179–191, 1993. https://doi.org/10.1287/opre.41.1.179
  • M. Ben-Akiva and A. de Palma, Some circumstances in which vehicles will reach their destinations earlier by starting later: revisited, Transportation Science 20(1):52–55, 1986. https://doi.org/10.1287/trsc.20.1.52
  • M. Ben-Akiva, A. de Palma and P. Kanaroglou, Dynamic model of peak period traffic congestion with elastic arrival rates, Transportation Science 20(3):164–181, 1986. https://doi.org/10.1287/trsc.20.3.164
  • W. S. Vickrey, Congestion theory and transport investment, American Economic Review 59(2):251–261, 1969. https://www.jstor.org/stable/1823678
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Operations ResearchOptimizationProbability+1·Captain: mikedeng1

Optimal Starting Times for End-of-Season Sales and Optimal Stopping Times for Promotional Fares 1: Markdown Is Optimal Once Time-to-Go Falls Below a Strictly Increasing Threshold x_nResearch Paper

Why the timing of a markdown matters

A seller with limited stock can charge a high price while demand is strong and lower the price before the selling season ends. The timing depends on how many units remain: a markdown that is sensible with ample stock may be premature when only one unit is left. Feng and Gallego studied this decision when each price generates a Poisson demand stream and only one price change is allowed. Their 1995 paper proves that the optimal decision has a threshold in remaining time for every inventory level. This mission formalizes their markdown theorem, including its value-function representation, rather than just the existence of a switching rule.

The model is a finite-inventory revenue problem, relevant when an unsold unit loses its value at the end of a season. It is also a continuous-time stopping problem: the seller observes actual sales and may react to them. A fixed calendar date for the markdown cannot describe all of those decisions. The paper treats the markdown case separately from the markup case, because the order of prices, arrival rates and revenue rates reverses the behavior of the switching boundary. The present mission concerns the markdown case alone.

Prices, demand, and admissible switches

Let n≥1n\ge1n≥1 be the initial stock and t≥0t\ge0t≥0 the time to go. The seller first charges price p1p_1p1​ and may change once to a lower price p2p_2p2​. Demands at the two prices are independent Poisson counts with positive rates λ1\lambda_1λ1​ and λ2\lambda_2λ2​. A lower price produces more arrivals, so p2<p1p_2<p_1p2​<p1​ and λ1<λ2\lambda_1<\lambda_2λ1​<λ2​. Feng and Gallego also assume that lowering the price increases the revenue rate: p1λ1<p2λ2p_1\lambda_1<p_2\lambda_2p1​λ1​<p2​λ2​. There is no salvage payment for inventory left when time expires. These conventions come from §2 and the case split on pp. 1375–1376.

Write N1(s)N_1(s)N1​(s) for the observed sales count at the initial price by time sss. If the price changes at deterministic time s∈[0,t]s\in[0,t]s∈[0,t], let J(n,t;s)J(n,t;s)J(n,t;s) be the expected total revenue. The count after the change is independent of N1(s)N_1(s)N1​(s), and their sum has Poisson mean λ1s+λ2(t−s)\lambda_1s+\lambda_2(t-s)λ1​s+λ2​(t−s). The optimal value J(n,t)J(n,t)J(n,t) allows the switch time τ\tauτ to depend on the counts observed so far. An admissible τ\tauτ lies between zero and ttt, is a stopping time for the history of N1N_1N1​, and occurs before stock is exhausted almost surely. At s=0s=0s=0, J(n,t;0)J(n,t;0)J(n,t;0) is the revenue from charging p2p_2p2​ immediately. The paper defines these quantities in §3, pp. 1377–1379.

Formalization targets

The goal is Theorem 1, p. 1380. It asserts a strictly increasing sequence x1<x2<⋯x_1<x_2<\cdotsx1​<x2​<⋯ of inventory-dependent thresholds. When t≤xnt\le x_nt≤xn​, switching immediately earns the optimal value; when t>xnt>x_nt>xn​, a correction F(n,t)F(n,t)F(n,t) is added:

J(n,t)={J(n,t;0),t≤xn,J(n,t;0)+F(n,t),t>xn.J(n,t)=\begin{cases} J(n,t;0),&t\le x_n,\\ J(n,t;0)+F(n,t),&t>x_n. \end{cases}J(n,t)={J(n,t;0),J(n,t;0)+F(n,t),​t≤xn​,t>xn​.​

The theorem specifies the correction, rather than leaving it as an arbitrary difference of values. It starts with F(0,t)=0F(0,t)=0F(0,t)=0. For n≥1n\ge1n≥1, set L(n,t)=G(n,t)+λ1F(n−1,t)L(n,t)=G(n,t)+\lambda_1F(n-1,t)L(n,t)=G(n,t)+λ1​F(n−1,t), where GGG is the Poisson-tail expression from §4.1. The threshold xnx_nxn​ is the first nonnegative zero of L(n,⋅)L(n,\cdot)L(n,⋅). A function H(n,⋅)H(n,\cdot)H(n,⋅) satisfies ∂tH=−λ1H+L\partial_tH=-\lambda_1H+L∂t​H=−λ1​H+L for positive time and H(n,xn)=0H(n,x_n)=0H(n,xn​)=0; FFF is zero below xnx_nxn​ and equals HHH at and above it. If yny_nyn​ is the first zero of G(n,⋅)G(n,\cdot)G(n,⋅), the theorem also gives x1=y1x_1=y_1x1​=y1​ and xn<ynx_n<y_nxn​<yn​ for n>1n>1n>1.

Three supporting targets match the source's attack path. Equation (17) differentiates immediate-switch revenue. Lemma 2 gives the zeros and one sign change of GGG in the markdown case. Lemma 1 identifies a value function through differential inequalities and its stopping payoff. Each is recorded with its page-level statement in the milestone list.

What the result provides

The threshold sequence turns an adaptive stopping problem into a state rule: inspect remaining inventory and time to go, then compare time with the corresponding threshold. The value representation supplies the expected-revenue quantity on both sides of that comparison. Strict increase means a larger stock requires a larger remaining-time threshold before charging the higher initial price is worthwhile. These are the conclusions of Theorem 1, already proved in the paper.

The work here is a Lean statement and eventual machine-checked proof of that known result. The current theorem items are open proof targets. Formalizing the model gives reusable Poisson-tail revenue expressions and a continuous-time stopping-value interface; Lemma 1 can also serve other Poisson-driven stopping problems once proved. A checked proof would establish that the threshold representation and the optimal stopping value agree under the stated assumptions, including boundary cases that informal notation leaves implicit.

Where the mathematics is difficult

The obvious comparison of two fixed switching times misses the information contained in the sales path. The switch decision can change after each observed arrival, while the threshold for inventory nnn depends on the correction at stock n−1n-1n−1. Showing that every such comparison is organized by one increasing threshold requires more than differentiating the fixed-switch revenue. The paper's appendix handles the interaction between the sign of GGG, the recursive correction, and the stopping-value verification; these are distinct formal targets pp. 1387–1388.

The printed verification lemma and one word of Lemma 2 require care. Lemma 1 omits boundary and regularity conditions needed by its proof. Lemma 2 calls the zero sequence “bounded,” although its thresholds tend to infinity; the usable claim is that they stay above a positive lower bound. The formal statements expose these corrections and retain the rest of the source's conclusions.

Formalization scope

Lean represents the first demand stream by a counting process built from independent exponential interarrival times. The terminal revenue after a switch is expressed using the Poisson law of the sum of the two independent counts. The stopping class records the count-generated history, bounds the stopping time by the horizon, and requires stock to remain at stopping almost surely. Its expected payoff uses the number sold before stopping and the immediate-switch value for the unsold stock. Prices and rates are positive, the markdown ordering and revenue-rate inequality are explicit, and the probability measure is named explicitly even though the exponential-interarrival law already entails it.

The paper uses nonnegative real time, inventories indexed by positive integers, and zero salvage. Lean uses a real supremum for the value and a real infimum for each threshold; the admissible payoff is bounded and measurable, and every threshold-defining zero set is asserted nonempty. The ODE is expressed with an actual derivative at positive time. The auxiliary Poisson-tail definition maps a negative mean to zero, but all model applications have nonnegative means. The threshold construction, its ODE, and the equality with the stopping value are all conclusions of the goal, so none is an assumed solution.

For Lemma 1, the formal target adds the initial-time and zero-stock boundary values, domination of terminal revenue, and local Lipschitz regularity in time. The first three conditions are used in the source's own proof or reformulation; local Lipschitz regularity makes its integral calculation valid. Contributions may establish the Poisson-tail calculus, the sign and threshold results, the verification theorem, or the complete markdown theorem. The referenced arrival-process definition is shared infrastructure; the two-price revenue and stopping model are specific to this paper.

Selected references

  • Y. Feng and G. Gallego, Optimal Starting Times for End-of-Season Sales and Optimal Stopping Times for Promotional Fares, Management Science 41(8), 1995, pp. 1371–1391. DOI: 10.1287/mnsc.41.8.1371.
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Linear algebraMachine LearningMarkov Chain+1·Captain: mikedeng1

Learning to Predict by the Methods of Temporal Differences: Linear TD(0) Converges in Expected Value to the Ideal Predictions on Absorbing Markov ChainsResearch Paper

Motivation

Temporal-difference (TD) methods learn to predict an eventual outcome from the differences between successive predictions rather than from the difference between each prediction and the final outcome. Sutton's 1988 paper Learning to predict by the methods of temporal differences introduced the TD(λ\lambdaλ) family and gave the first convergence proof for a TD method; before it, as the paper notes (p. 23), "no TD method has ever been proved stable or convergent to the correct predictions". TD learning is now the core of policy evaluation in reinforcement learning, and later analyses (Dayan 1992, Tsitsiklis and Van Roy 1997) start from the setting fixed here.

Timeline:

  • 1960 — Widrow and Hoff introduce the LMS (Widrow–Hoff) rule; its predictions converge in expected value to the ideal predictions for small step sizes (Widrow and Stearns 1985).
  • 1977 — Witten sketches a convergence proof for a TD-like procedure on discounted costs; many steps were left out, and Sutton (footnote 4) writes that it "now appears that the theorem he proposed is not true".
  • 1988 — Sutton proves Theorem 2 (linear TD(0), expected-value convergence on absorbing chains) and Theorem 3 (convergence of batch linear TD(0) to the maximum-likelihood predictions).
  • 1992–1997 — Dayan extends expected convergence to TD(λ\lambdaλ); Tsitsiklis and Van Roy prove almost-sure convergence of linear TD(λ\lambdaλ) under decreasing step sizes.

Setting

An absorbing Markov chain has a finite set NNN of nonterminal states, a finite set TTT of terminal states and transition probabilities pij≥0p_{ij}\ge0pij​≥0 (i∈Ni\in Ni∈N, j∈N∪Tj\in N\cup Tj∈N∪T) with ∑j∈N∪Tpij=1\sum_{j\in N\cup T}p_{ij}=1∑j∈N∪T​pij​=1. Let QQQ be the N×NN\times NN×N matrix [Q]ij=pij[Q]_{ij}=p_{ij}[Q]ij​=pij​. "Absorbing" means that every sequence terminates with probability one; for a finite chain this is Qk→0Q^k\to0Qk→0.

A sequence starts in a nonterminal state drawn from a distribution μ\muμ, follows the chain through nonterminal states q1,…,qmq_1,\dots,q_mq1​,…,qm​ until it enters a terminal state qm+1=jq_{m+1}=jqm+1​=j, and then produces a scalar outcome zzz drawn from a distribution νj\nu_jνj​ with finite mean zˉj\bar z_jzˉj​. Let [h]i=∑j∈Tpijzˉj[h]_i=\sum_{j\in T}p_{ij}\bar z_j[h]i​=∑j∈T​pij​zˉj​. The ideal prediction of state iii is the expected outcome from iii,

E{z∣i}=[∑k≥0Qkh]i=[(I−Q)−1h]i.E\{z\mid i\}=\Bigl[\sum_{k\ge0}Q^kh\Bigr]_i=\bigl[(I-Q)^{-1}h\bigr]_i .E{z∣i}=[k≥0∑​Qkh]i​=[(I−Q)−1h]i​.

The learner does not see states, only an observation vector xi∈RKx_i\in\mathbb R^Kxi​∈RK for each i∈Ni\in Ni∈N, and predicts linearly, Pt=w⊤xqtP_t=w^\top x_{q_t}Pt​=w⊤xqt​​. Linear TD(0) with weight updates after each sequence keeps www fixed during a sequence and then sets, with Pm+1=zP_{m+1}=zPm+1​=z,

w←w+∑t=1mα (Pt+1−Pt) xqt.w\leftarrow w+\sum_{t=1}^m\alpha\,(P_{t+1}-P_t)\,x_{q_t}.w←w+t=1∑m​α(Pt+1​−Pt​)xqt​​.

Sequences are experienced independently; wnw_nwn​ is the weight vector after nnn sequences. Let did_idi​ be the expected number of visits to iii in one sequence, D=diag⁡(d)D=\operatorname{diag}(d)D=diag(d), and XXX the matrix with columns xix_ixi​.

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem 2

For every absorbing chain, start distribution μ\muμ, outcome laws with finite means and linearly independent {xi}\{x_i\}{xi​}, with every di>0d_i>0di​>0, there is ε>0\varepsilon>0ε>0 such that for 0<α<ε0<\alpha<\varepsilon0<α<ε and every w0w_0w0​,

lim⁡n→∞E{xi⊤wn}=[(I−Q)−1h]i∀i∈N.\lim_{n\to\infty}E\{x_i^\top w_n\}=\bigl[(I-Q)^{-1}h\bigr]_i\qquad\forall i\in N .n→∞lim​E{xi⊤​wn​}=[(I−Q)−1h]i​∀i∈N.

The threshold ε\varepsilonε is existential, as in the paper; no explicit value is fixed.

Milestones on the goal's path

Theorem A.1 (Neumann series under An→0A^n\to0An→0); (5) the ideal predictions; (7) d⊤=μ⊤(I−Q)−1d^\top=\mu^\top(I-Q)^{-1}d⊤=μ⊤(I−Q)−1; the mean recursion wˉn+1=wˉn+αXD(h+QX⊤wˉn−X⊤wˉn)\bar w_{n+1}=\bar w_n+\alpha XD(h+QX^\top\bar w_n-X^\top\bar w_n)wˉn+1​=wˉn​+αXD(h+QX⊤wˉn​−X⊤wˉn​); Theorem A.2 (A⊤AA^\top AA⊤A nonsingular); Theorem A.3 (A≻0  ⟺  A+A⊤≻0A\succ0\iff A+A^\top\succ0A≻0⟺A+A⊤≻0); the Lemma of p. 27; D(I−Q)D(I-Q)D(I−Q) positive definite; the eigenvalues of X⊤XD(I−Q)X^\top XD(I-Q)X⊤XD(I−Q) have positive real parts; and (I−αX⊤XD(I−Q))n→0(I-\alpha X^\top XD(I-Q))^n\to0(I−αX⊤XD(I−Q))n→0 for small α\alphaα.

Further results

Theorem 3: under repeated presentations of a finite training set, batch linear TD(0) converges (deterministically) to the maximum-likelihood predictions [(I−Q^)−1h^]i[(I-\hat Q)^{-1}\hat h]_i[(I−Q^​)−1h^]i​, with its two supporting steps (Q^n→0\hat Q^n\to0Q^​n→0 and d^⊤=μ^⊤(I−Q^)−1\hat d^\top=\hat\mu^\top(I-\hat Q)^{-1}d^⊤=μ^​⊤(I−Q^​)−1). Theorem 1: linear TD(1) and Widrow–Hoff produce the same per-sequence weight changes.

Significance

Theorem 2 shows that a bootstrapping method, which learns from its own earlier predictions, is not biased by them in the limit: in expectation it reaches the same predictions as supervised (Widrow–Hoff) learning. Theorem 3 says more: on a fixed data set, TD(0) converges to the predictions that would be exact if the maximum-likelihood model of the process were correct, which differs from the least-squares answer Widrow–Hoff converges to. Together they are the formal basis for preferring TD to Monte-Carlo targets in multi-step prediction.

The results are proved on paper, and not formalized in Lean. A formalization adds a precise model of the experience (i.i.d. sequences of an absorbing chain with terminal-dependent outcome laws), the integrability facts the paper leaves implicit, and a correct proof of the positive definiteness of D(I−Q)D(I-Q)D(I−Q), whose printed argument has a gap (see below). The matrix lemmas (Neumann series under An→0A^n\to0An→0; real-part positivity of eigenvalues of GMGMGM for G≻0G\succ0G≻0 symmetric and MMM positive definite in the non-symmetric sense; the step-size threshold) are reusable for other linear stochastic-approximation analyses.

Difficulty

The obvious argument writes E{wn+1}E\{w_{n+1}\}E{wn+1​} as a linear function of E{wn}E\{w_n\}E{wn​} and observes that the iteration matrix I−αX⊤XD(I−Q)I-\alpha X^\top XD(I-Q)I−αX⊤XD(I−Q) is a contraction for small α\alphaα. Two steps of this fail as printed. First, the paper proves that D(I−Q)D(I-Q)D(I−Q) is positive definite through the Lemma of p. 27 with a weakened notion of diagonal dominance (weak in every row, strict in one), under which the Lemma is false; with the standard notion, D(I−Q)+(D(I−Q))⊤D(I-Q)+(D(I-Q))^\topD(I−Q)+(D(I−Q))⊤ is in general not strictly diagonally dominant (a row with μi=0\mu_i=0μi​=0 that cannot leave NNN in one step has row sum 000). A correct proof combines weak dominance with reachability of every state from the support of μ\muμ, which is where di>0d_i>0di​>0 enters. Second, X⊤XD(I−Q)X^\top XD(I-Q)X⊤XD(I−Q) is not symmetric, so a small α\alphaα does not make I−αX⊤XD(I−Q)I-\alpha X^\top XD(I-Q)I−αX⊤XD(I−Q) a contraction in the Euclidean norm; the argument goes through its eigenvalues, and turning eigenvalues of modulus below one into (I−αX⊤XD(I−Q))n→0(I-\alpha X^\top XD(I-Q))^n\to0(I−αX⊤XD(I−Q))n→0 is a spectral-radius argument. The probabilistic step is also not free: wnw_nwn​ is a polynomial in nnn random sequences of unbounded length, and its integrability and the factorization E{ηijwn}=dipijE{wn}E\{\eta_{ij}w_n\}=d_ip_{ij}E\{w_n\}E{ηij​wn​}=di​pij​E{wn​} need independence across sequences.

Formalization scope

States are finite types N (nonempty) and T; the chain is the structure AbsorbingChain with blocks pN, pT and the field Qk→0Q^k\to0Qk→0. Observation vectors are x : N → Fin K → ℝ with LinearIndependent ℝ x; XXX is Matrix (Fin K) N ℝ. A sequence is an Episode (list of nonterminal states, terminal state, outcome); IsEpisodeStream states measurability, mutual independence (iIndepFun) and the law P(path=s,term=j,out∈B)=μs1ps1s2⋯psmj νj(B)P(\text{path}=s,\text{term}=j,\text{out}\in B)=\mu_{s_1}p_{s_1s_2}\cdots p_{s_mj}\,\nu_j(B)P(path=s,term=j,out∈B)=μs1​​ps1​s2​​⋯psm​j​νj​(B). Expectations are Bochner integrals, and the goal asserts integrability of xi⊤wnx_i^\top w_nxi⊤​wn​, so a non-integrable junk value 000 cannot satisfy it. did_idi​ is defined as an expectation (a sum over sequences), not as [μ⊤(I−Q)−1]i[\mu^\top(I-Q)^{-1}]_i[μ⊤(I−Q)−1]i​, so (7) is not circular. "Positive definite" is the paper's footnote 6 (y⊤Ay>0y^\top Ay>0y⊤Ay>0 for real y≠0y\ne0y=0, no symmetry), not Mathlib's Matrix.PosDef.

Trivializations ruled out: the hypothesis di>0d_i>0di​>0 is the paper's own discarding of never-visited states (without it the goal is false: an unvisited state's weight never moves); N is nonempty and μ\muμ sums to one, so the hypotheses are satisfiable and the goal is not vacuous; the sequences cannot be arbitrary random variables or a fixed sequence, since their law is pinned to μ\muμ, ppp and ν\nuν; ε\varepsilonε is chosen before α\alphaα, w0w_0w0​ and the probability space; and the update is per sequence, not the intra-sequence variant of §5.

Corrected slips: "For each nonterminal state jjj" (p. 24) means terminal; the diagonal-dominance definition of p. 27 is replaced by the standard one; I−αXD(I−Q)X⊤I-\alpha XD(I-Q)X^\topI−αXD(I−Q)X⊤ (p. 28) means I−αX⊤XD(I−Q)I-\alpha X^\top XD(I-Q)I−αX⊤XD(I−Q). Not formalized: the variance and TD(λ\lambdaλ) conjectures of p. 29, §4.3, and the extension claims of §5.

Related open goals on this platform (different models, credited, not re-posed): SuttonBartoRL.BatchTD.batch_td_converges_to_certainty_equivalence (tabular, discounted analogue of Theorem 3), and SuttonBartoRL.LinearTD.keyMatrix_posDef, posDef_of_row_col_sums, expected_td_update (continuing discounted chain with stationary DDD, where every row sum of D(I−γP)D(I-\gamma P)D(I−γP) is positive). Contributions of any milestone, of general matrix lemmas, and of reusable infrastructure for i.i.d. episode streams are welcome.

Selected references

  • R. S. Sutton, Learning to predict by the methods of temporal differences, Machine Learning 3(1), 9–44, 1988. https://doi.org/10.1023/A:1022633531479
  • B. Widrow and M. E. Hoff, Adaptive switching circuits, IRE WESCON Convention Record, 96–104, 1960.
  • B. Widrow and S. D. Stearns, Adaptive Signal Processing, Prentice-Hall, 1985.
  • J. G. Kemeny and J. L. Snell, Finite Markov Chains, Springer, 1976. https://link.springer.com/book/9780387901923
  • R. S. Varga, Matrix Iterative Analysis, Prentice-Hall, 1962 (2nd ed., Springer, 2000: https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-642-05156-2).
  • P. Dayan, The convergence of TD(λ) for general λ, Machine Learning 8, 341–362, 1992. https://doi.org/10.1007/BF00992701
  • J. N. Tsitsiklis and B. Van Roy, An analysis of temporal-difference learning with function approximation, IEEE Transactions on Automatic Control 42(5), 674–690, 1997. https://doi.org/10.1109/9.580874
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Matching, Euler Tours and the Chinese Postman IV: Every Connected, Even, Symmetric Mixed Graph Has an Euler TourResearch Paper

Motivation

A postman, a snowplough or a street sweeper must traverse every street of a district and return to the depot. When some streets are one-way, the street network is a mixed graph: some edges are directed and must be traversed in a prescribed direction, the others are undirected and may be traversed either way. The first question about such a route is whether a closed route exists that traverses every street exactly once, an Euler tour of the mixed graph. When one exists, it is an optimal postman route; when none exists, the postman problem asks which streets to repeat.

J. Edmonds and E.L. Johnson treat this question in §6 of Matching, Euler tours and the Chinese postman (Mathematical Programming 5, 1973), the paper that solved the undirected Chinese postman problem by matching. Section 6 gives an algorithm that finds an Euler tour in any mixed graph that is connected, of even degree and symmetric, and §7 uses it for the mixed postman problem.

Timeline.

  • 1736: Euler's condition for undirected graphs (even degrees, connectivity).
  • 1951: T. van Aardenne-Ehrenfest and N.G. de Bruijn enumerate the Euler tours of a symmetric directed graph through spanning arborescences ("circuits and trees in oriented linear graphs"). Edmonds and Johnson cite this as the source of their arborescence rule.
  • 1962: L.R. Ford and D.R. Fulkerson (Flows in Networks, §II.7) characterize, by a flow argument, when a mixed graph has an Euler tour without assuming symmetry.
  • 1973: Edmonds and Johnson give the combined orientation and Rule algorithm of §6 for connected, even, symmetric mixed graphs, and the existence criterion of §7 for mixed postman tours.
  • 1976: C.H. Papadimitriou shows the mixed postman problem NP-hard, so the polynomial-time picture of §6 does not extend to its optimization version.

Setting

A mixed graph GGG has a finite set NNN of nodes and a finite set EEE of edges. Each edge eee meets two distinct nodes; several edges may meet the same pair of nodes. Some edges are directed: an edge directed away from node iii toward node jjj must be traversed from iii to jjj. In Lean an edge has a tail, a head (distinct) and a Boolean directed; for an undirected edge the order of the two ends carries no meaning.

  • The degree of a node is the total number of edges, regardless of direction, meeting it. GGG is even if every degree is even.
  • out⁡(n)\operatorname{out}(n)out(n) and in⁡(n)\operatorname{in}(n)in(n) count the directed edges directed away from and toward nnn. GGG is symmetric if out⁡(n)=in⁡(n)\operatorname{out}(n)=\operatorname{in}(n)out(n)=in(n) for every node nnn.
  • GGG is connected if it is connected when the directions on the edges are ignored.
  • A mixed walk is a sequence (n1,e1,n2,…,el,nl+1)(n_1,e_1,n_2,\dots,e_l,n_{l+1})(n1​,e1​,n2​,…,el​,nl+1​) in which each directed eie_iei​ goes from its tail nin_ini​ to its head ni+1n_{i+1}ni+1​ and each undirected eie_iei​ meets nin_ini​ and ni+1n_{i+1}ni+1​. It is a tour if nl+1=n1n_{l+1}=n_1nl+1​=n1​, an Euler tour if it contains every edge exactly once, and a postman tour if it contains every edge at least once.
  • An arborescence with root rrr is a tree TTT of directed edges in which every node n≠rn\neq rn=r of TTT has precisely one edge of TTT directed away from nnn. Following those edges from any node of TTT leads to rrr. It is spanning if it contains every node.

Formalization targets

Goal: the mixed Euler tour theorem (§6, pp. 115–118)

If GGG is connected, even and symmetric, then for every node rrr

∃ (r=n1,e1,…,el,nl+1=r) a mixed Euler tour of G.\exists\ (r=n_1,e_1,\dots,e_l,n_{l+1}=r)\ \text{a mixed Euler tour of } G .∃ (r=n1​,e1​,…,el​,nl+1​=r) a mixed Euler tour of G.

Milestones

  1. Cut balance (p. 116). If GGG is symmetric, every node set SSS has as many directed edges leaving it as entering it.
  2. Maximal arborescences span (pp. 115–116). Suppose the directed edges form a symmetric, connected spanning subgraph. Then an arborescence of directed edges to which no directed edge entering it from outside can be added contains every node.
  3. The Rule (pp. 116–117). Suppose the directed edges form a symmetric connected spanning subgraph and the undirected edges have even degree. Fix a spanning arborescence with root rrr and order the directed edges leaving each node n≠rn\neq rn=r so that the arborescence edge comes last. Then the following traversal from rrr is an Euler tour: leave by the next unused undirected edge if there is one, otherwise by the next unused directed edge.
  4. The assignment outcome (p. 118). If GGG is connected, even and symmetric, directions can be assigned to some undirected edges so that the result is symmetric, its directed edges form a connected spanning subgraph, and the unassigned edges have even degree.
  5. Mixed postman criterion (§7, p. 120). A connected mixed graph has a postman tour if and only if no nonempty proper node set SSS has every boundary edge directed away from SSS.

Significance

The goal contains two classical theorems as special cases. With every edge undirected it is Euler's theorem for connected even multigraphs. With every edge directed it is the theorem that a connected balanced digraph is Eulerian. The milestones connect the two cases: an orientation reduces the mixed case to one the Rule can handle. The Rule itself is the van Aardenne-Ehrenfest–de Bruijn construction, which underlies the BEST theorem counting Euler tours. Milestone 5 decides whether the mixed postman problem has any feasible solution. The mixed postman problem is the standard model for routing on one-way street networks.

All results here are proved in the paper, so none is open. No Lean proof of any of them in this form is known. Mathlib's Eulerian walks are for simple graphs; it has no multigraph or mixed-graph Euler theorem, no directed Euler theorem and no arborescence-based traversal. The mission produces these, together with a reusable vocabulary of mixed multigraphs, walks that respect directions, and arborescences given by parent edges.

Difficulty

The obvious approach to the goal is to forget the directions and apply Euler's theorem. This fails because the tour it produces may traverse a directed edge backwards. Orienting all undirected edges at once also fails: an arbitrary orientation of the undirected edges need not keep every node balanced.

The difficult part of the Rule is showing that the greedy traversal does not get stuck before using every edge. It cannot stop at a node other than rrr because of the degree conditions. The hard step is showing that no edge is left unused when it stops at rrr. The answer depends on the ordering condition: without the arborescence edge last at every node, the Rule can return to rrr with edges still unused. The assignment step needs an invariant: the orientation must keep every node symmetric while it extends a spanning structure of directed edges.

Formalization scope

  • Graphs. Nodes and edges are finite types (Fintype V, Fintype E). Parallel edges are allowed, including a directed and an undirected edge on the same pair. Loops are excluded (tail e ≠ head e), following the paper's standing setting of §2 (p. 91: edges meet two different nodes). Edges are a type, not a relation on nodes, so parallel edges stay distinct in every walk.
  • Hypotheses as on p. 115. "Even" counts all edges, directed or undirected. "Symmetric" counts only directed edges. "Connected" ignores directions. Strong connectivity is not assumed. "Symmetric" does not mean that every node has even in-degree, and an Euler tour of the underlying undirected multigraph does not satisfy the goal: the tour must traverse each directed edge from its tail to its head.
  • Walks are a node list and an edge list of length one less. The one-node walk is allowed, so the graph with one node and no edges satisfies the goal.
  • Arborescences are given by an optional edge ana_nan​ at each node, with an edge required for each non-root node of WWW; following those edges leads to rrr. A maximal arborescence is one where no directed edge enters WWW from outside. The optional choice represents the root-only arborescence when the graph has no edges.
  • The Rule is computed by a fuel-bounded traversal (at most ∣E∣|E|∣E∣ steps) that keeps a global list of used edges. Its conclusion is that the computed sequences form a mixed Euler tour from rrr.
  • The assignment is an existential statement over a second mixed graph G′G'G′ on the same edges, with the same unordered ends and every directed edge kept. The paper's algorithm (Steps 0–3) is not formalized.
  • Postman criterion. "Proper subset" means nonempty and proper. Connectivity is assumed, as throughout §7, and the node set is nonempty (with no nodes there is no tour, while the criterion holds vacuously).
  • Not formalized. The §7 evenness argument (p. 122) and the min-cost flow formulations are outside the scope.

Contributions are welcome at every level: proofs of the milestones, a direct proof of the goal, and general lemmas about mixed multigraph walks.

Selected references

  • J. Edmonds and E.L. Johnson, Matching, Euler tours and the Chinese postman, Mathematical Programming 5 (1973) 88–124. https://doi.org/10.1007/BF01580113
  • T. van Aardenne-Ehrenfest and N.G. de Bruijn, Circuits and trees in oriented linear graphs, Simon Stevin 28 (1951) 203–217.
  • L.R. Ford and D.R. Fulkerson, Flows in Networks, Princeton University Press, 1962.
  • C.H. Papadimitriou, On the complexity of edge traversing, Journal of the ACM 23 (1976) 544–554. https://doi.org/10.1145/321958.321974
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Paths, Trees, and Flowers I: Matching-Duality Theorem — the Maximum Cardinality of a Matching Equals the Minimum Capacity-Sum of an Odd-Set CoverResearch Paper

Motivation

A matching in a graph is a set of edges no two of which share a vertex. Finding a matching of maximum cardinality is one of the basic problems of combinatorial optimization: it models pairing tasks (workers to shifts, kidney donors to recipients, players to rounds), it is a subroutine of algorithms for the travelling salesman and Chinese postman problems, and it was the first problem shown to need more than linear programming over the obvious constraints to be solved exactly.

For bipartite graphs, König's theorem (1931) gives a min–max formula: the maximum size of a matching equals the minimum size of a set of vertices meeting every edge. In general graphs this fails already for a triangle, where a single edge is a maximum matching but two vertices are needed to meet all three edges. Jack Edmonds' paper Paths, trees, and flowers (1965) gave both a polynomial-time algorithm for maximum matching in general graphs, the blossom algorithm, and, as a by-product of its analysis, the correct min–max theorem for general graphs.

Timeline.

  • 1891: Petersen uses alternating paths to prove the existence of factors in certain graphs.
  • 1947: Tutte characterizes graphs with a perfect matching.
  • 1957: Berge proves that a matching is maximum if and only if there is no augmenting path, and derives the deficiency formula now called the Tutte–Berge formula (Berge 1957).
  • 1965: Edmonds shrinks odd circuits ("blossoms") to search for augmenting paths in polynomial time and proves the matching-duality theorem in terms of odd-set covers (Edmonds 1965); the companion paper on the matching polyhedron extends this to weighted matching.

Setting

A graph GGG is a finite set of vertices and a finite set of edges, each edge meeting exactly two distinct vertices, its end-points. Several edges may join the same two vertices; this is needed because shrinking creates parallel edges. A matching MMM is a set of edges no two of which meet the same vertex; a vertex is exposed if it meets no edge of MMM. "Maximum" refers to cardinality.

An odd set is a set UUU of vertices with an odd number of elements. Its capacity is

cap⁡(U)={1∣U∣=1,k∣U∣=2k+1, k≥1.\operatorname{cap}(U) = \begin{cases} 1 & |U| = 1,\\ k & |U| = 2k+1,\ k \ge 1.\end{cases}cap(U)={1k​∣U∣=1,∣U∣=2k+1, k≥1.​

A one-vertex set covers the edges meeting its vertex; a set of 2k+1≥32k+1 \ge 32k+1≥3 vertices covers the edges with both end-points in it. An odd-set cover is a family S\mathcal SS of odd sets such that every edge is covered by some member, and its capacity-sum is cap⁡(S)=∑U∈Scap⁡(U)\operatorname{cap}(\mathcal S) = \sum_{U \in \mathcal S} \operatorname{cap}(U)cap(S)=∑U∈S​cap(U).

The proof uses the following objects of §3–§4 of the paper. An alternating path is a simple path whose edges alternate between MMM and the non-matching edges Mˉ\bar MMˉ. An alternating tree is a tree whose vertices are split into inner and outer vertices, every edge joining an inner to an outer vertex and every inner vertex meeting exactly two tree edges; it is planted if MMM restricted to the tree is a maximum matching of the tree whose one exposed vertex (the root) is exposed in GGG, and Hungarian if its outer vertices are adjacent only to its inner vertices. A blossom is an odd circuit on which MMM is a maximum matching, leaving one vertex bbb exposed; with a stem (an alternating path from an exposed vertex ending in a matching edge at bbb) it forms a flower. Shrinking a vertex set UUU replaces it by a single vertex U/UU/UU/U, deletes the edges inside UUU and keeps all other edges; G/BG/BG/B and M/B=M∩(G/B)M/B = M \cap (G/B)M/B=M∩(G/B) denote the result for a blossom BBB.

Formalization targets

Goal: the matching-duality theorem (5.6, p. 462)

max⁡{∣M∣:M a matching of G}  =  min⁡{cap⁡(S):S an odd-set cover of G}.\max\{|M| : M \text{ a matching of } G\} \;=\; \min\{\operatorname{cap}(\mathcal S) : \mathcal S \text{ an odd-set cover of } G\}.max{∣M∣:M a matching of G}=min{cap(S):S an odd-set cover of G}.

It is stated as: there are a maximum matching MMM and a minimum odd-set cover S\mathcal SS with ∣M∣=cap⁡(S)|M| = \operatorname{cap}(\mathcal S)∣M∣=cap(S).

Milestones (attack order)

  1. Weak duality: ∣M∣≤cap⁡(S)|M| \le \operatorname{cap}(\mathcal S)∣M∣≤cap(S) for every matching and odd-set cover.
  2. 3.7 (Berge): MMM is not maximum iff an alternating path joins two exposed vertices.
  3. 4.1–4.2: maximum matchings of an alternating tree.
  4. 4.14 and 4.15: the two directions of 4.12, in stronger form.
  5. 4.12: for the blossom BBB of a flower, MMM is maximum in GGG iff M/BM/BM/B is maximum in G/BG/BG/B.
  6. 4.17: removing a Hungarian tree preserves maximality.
  7. 5.7: the theorem for graphs with at most one exposed vertex.
  8. 5.8: the configuration produced by the algorithm on a maximum matching, and the odd sets SJ\mathcal S_JSJ​ it yields, which reduce the theorem to a graph with one exposed vertex fewer.

Significance

The matching-duality theorem gives a certificate of optimality: a matching and an odd-set cover of equal size prove each other optimal, and the blossom algorithm produces both. It is equivalent to the Tutte–Berge formula ν(G)=min⁡X12(∣V∣+∣X∣−odd⁡(G−X))\nu(G) = \min_{X} \tfrac12\bigl(|V| + |X| - \operatorname{odd}(G - X)\bigr)ν(G)=minX​21​(∣V∣+∣X∣−odd(G−X)), it contains König's theorem as the case where all members of the cover are singletons, and it is the cardinality case of Edmonds' description of the matching polytope by odd-set constraints, which underlies weighted matching, bbb-matching and the polyhedral approach to combinatorial optimization.

The theorem has been proved since 1965, with several independent proofs (via Tutte's theorem, via the Gallai–Edmonds decomposition, via linear programming). Mathlib contains Tutte's perfect-matching theorem for simple graphs, but neither the Tutte–Berge formula nor odd-set covers, alternating trees, blossom shrinking or Berge's augmenting-path theorem in a multigraph setting. This mission produces a machine-checked version of Edmonds' statement together with the lemmas of his algorithmic proof (4.12, 4.14, 4.15, 4.17), which are the correctness core of the blossom algorithm.

Difficulty

Weak duality and Berge's theorem are elementary. The difficulty is the strong direction. The obvious argument, a search for augmenting paths from an exposed vertex, fails because an alternating search tree in a non-bipartite graph can close an odd circuit, after which a vertex is reachable both by an even and by an odd alternating path; a naive search either misses augmenting paths or must back-track exponentially. The proof therefore has to work in shrunken graphs, whose vertices are nested sets of original vertices, and transfer maximality and covers back through every shrinking (4.12–4.15). Keeping track of nested blossoms, of the identity of edges under shrinking and of the parity bookkeeping of 5.8 is the main formal burden.

Formalization scope

  • Graphs are the published EdmondsMatching65.Polyhedron.Graph V E (a map from edges to unordered pairs of distinct vertices) with finite V, E; parallel edges are allowed and loops are not. Matchings are Finset E. Maximum and minimum are by cardinality, stated with explicit comparisons rather than sSup/sInf.
  • A family of odd sets is a Finset (Finset V); repeating a member only adds capacity, so this does not change the minimum. The capacity of a singleton is 111, not (1−1)/2(1-1)/2(1−1)/2.
  • Paths and circuits are lists of vertices and edges; subgraphs are vertex and edge sets; a matching of a subgraph is a matching of GGG using only its edges.
  • Shrinking is contraction along a partition of the vertices: the vertex type of G/PG/\mathcal PG/P is the set of parts, the edge type is the set of edges not inside a part. Nested blossom shrinking is encoded by an inductive predicate of blossom sets (the complete expansions of pseudovertices), not by a tower of quotient types. Statements that shrink a set other than a circuit assume its induced subgraph connected, the standing assumption of 4.9.
  • 5.7 is stated as the existence of a cover: the page's explicit families fail for the two-vertex graph with one edge and for the one-vertex graph, where the claim still holds.
  • 5.8 is stated through the configuration the algorithm outputs (blossom sets, a planted Hungarian tree in G′G'G′, pseudovertices outer), not through the algorithm as a procedure.
  • A trivializing formalization is excluded: the goal asserts the equality of the maximum and the minimum, not weak duality and not the separate existence of an optimal matching and an optimal cover.

Reusable beyond this mission: the multigraph shrinking construction, blossom sets, alternating and Hungarian trees, and Berge's theorem in the multigraph setting; these are shared with the companion mission on the invariance of the dual (Gallai–Edmonds). Proofs of any milestone, and alternative proofs of the goal (e.g. through Mathlib's Tutte theorem), are welcome.

Selected references

  • J. Edmonds, Paths, trees, and flowers, Canadian Journal of Mathematics 17 (1965), 449–467. https://doi.org/10.4153/CJM-1965-045-4
  • C. Berge, Two theorems in graph theory, Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences USA 43 (1957), 842–844. https://doi.org/10.1073/pnas.43.9.842
  • W. T. Tutte, The factorization of linear graphs, Journal of the London Mathematical Society 22 (1947), 107–111. https://doi.org/10.1112/jlms/s1-22.2.107
  • J. Edmonds, Maximum matching and a polyhedron with 0,1-vertices, Journal of Research of the National Bureau of Standards 69B (1965), 125–130. https://doi.org/10.6028/jres.069B.013
  • L. Lovász and M. D. Plummer, Matching Theory, North-Holland, 1986. https://doi.org/10.1090/chel/367
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Dynamic ProgrammingLinear OptimizationOperations Research+1·Captain: mikedeng1

On the Convergence of Stochastic Dual Dynamic Programming and Related Methods: DOASA Reaches an Optimal Policy in Finitely Many Iterations Almost SurelyResearch Paper

Motivation

Stochastic dual dynamic programming (SDDP), introduced by Pereira and Pinto in 1991, is the standard method for multistage stochastic linear programs with many stages, such as hydro-thermal scheduling and long-term energy planning. It approximates each stage's expected future cost from below by the maximum of finitely many linear functions (cuts), built from LP dual solutions at sampled states, and alternates a forward simulation pass with a backward cut-generation pass. Practitioners stop the method when a simulated upper bound is close to the lower bound C1kC^k_1C1k​. Whether this procedure converges at all is the question of this mission.

Timeline:

  • 1991: Pereira and Pinto publish SDDP, with no convergence proof.
  • 1999: Chen and Powell prove almost-sure convergence for CUPPS; Linowsky and Philpott (2005) extend the argument to SDDP, AND and ReSa. Both proofs rely on an unstated independence assumption between sampled outcomes and convergent subsequences of iterates.
  • 2008: Philpott and Guan (Oper. Res. Lett. 36(4), 450–455) give a proof based on the finiteness of the set of distinct cut coefficients, for a class they call DOASA (Dynamic Outer Approximation Sampling Algorithms).
  • Later work (Shapiro 2011; Girardeau, Leclère and Philpott 2015) extends convergence to convex nonlinear and continuous settings.

Setting

There are T≥2T\ge2T≥2 stages. Stage ttt has a decision xt≥0x_t\ge0xt​≥0 in Rnt\mathbb R^{n_t}Rnt​, costs ctc_tct​, a matrix AtA_tAt​ and, for t≤T−1t\le T-1t≤T−1, a matrix BtB_tBt​ coupling xtx_txt​ to the next stage. At stage 111 the constraint is A1x1=b1A_1x_1=b_1A1​x1​=b1​. For 2≤t≤T2\le t\le T2≤t≤T the right-hand side is random: Atxt=ωt−Bt−1xt−1A_tx_t=\omega_t-B_{t-1}x_{t-1}At​xt​=ωt​−Bt−1​xt−1​, where ωt\omega_tωt​ takes values ωt1,…,ωtqt\omega_{t1},\dots,\omega_{tq_t}ωt1​,…,ωtqt​​ with probabilities pti>0p_{ti}>0pti​>0, independently across stages. The expected cost-to-go is defined backwards from QT+1≡0\mathcal Q_{T+1}\equiv0QT+1​≡0:

Qt(xt−1,ωti)=min⁡{ct⊤xt+Qt+1(xt):Atxt=ωti−Bt−1xt−1, xt≥0},Qt=∑iptiQt(⋅,ωti),Q_t(x_{t-1},\omega_{ti})=\min\{c_t^\top x_t+\mathcal Q_{t+1}(x_t):A_tx_t=\omega_{ti}-B_{t-1}x_{t-1},\ x_t\ge0\},\qquad \mathcal Q_t=\sum_i p_{ti}Q_t(\cdot,\omega_{ti}),Qt​(xt−1​,ωti​)=min{ct⊤​xt​+Qt+1​(xt​):At​xt​=ωti​−Bt−1​xt−1​, xt​≥0},Qt​=i∑​pti​Qt​(⋅,ωti​),

and Q1=min⁡{c1⊤x1+Q2(x1):A1x1=b1,x1≥0}Q_1=\min\{c_1^\top x_1+\mathcal Q_2(x_1):A_1x_1=b_1,x_1\ge0\}Q1​=min{c1⊤​x1​+Q2​(x1​):A1​x1​=b1​,x1​≥0} is the problem [LP1]. Assumption (A4) says every stage problem met along the way has a nonempty, bounded feasible region.

The approximate problem [APtk_t^ktk​] replaces Qt+1\mathcal Q_{t+1}Qt+1​ by max⁡j{αt+1,j−(βt+1j)⊤xt}\max_j\{\alpha_{t+1,j}-(\beta^j_{t+1})^\top x_t\}maxj​{αt+1,j​−(βt+1j​)⊤xt​} over the cuts generated before iteration kkk; its value is CtkC^k_tCtk​. A scenario fixes one outcome per stage 2,…,T−12,\dots,T-12,…,T−1. Each DOASA iteration (i) samples one forward scenario ωk\omega^kωk and solves [APtk_t^ktk​] along it, giving states xtkx^k_txtk​; (ii) for t=T,…,2t=T,\dots,2t=T,…,2 runs the Cut Calculation Algorithm (CCA): it solves [APtk_t^ktk​] at xt−1kx^k_{t-1}xt−1k​ for the outcomes in a backward sample Ωtk\Omega^k_tΩtk​, stores optimal extreme-point dual solutions (π,ρ)(\pi,\rho)(π,ρ) in a collection Dt\mathcal D_tDt​, picks for every outcome the best stored dual, and averages them into a new cut on θt\theta_tθt​. DOASA-N instead traverses a fixed list of NNN scenarios in every iteration.

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem 4 under the joint sampling property J

If, with probability 1, every scenario prefix is followed by the forward pass jointly with each outcome being in the backward sample infinitely often (property J), then with probability 1 every DOASA run has an iteration KKK after which the cuts no longer change, the policy xˉ\bar xxˉ they induce is optimal for [LP1], and

C1K=Q1.C^K_1=Q_1 .C1K​=Q1​.

Milestones

  • Monotonicity (p. 4): Ctk+1≥CtkC^{k+1}_t\ge C^k_tCtk+1​≥Ctk​ and C1k+1≥C1kC^{k+1}_1\ge C^k_1C1k+1​≥C1k​.
  • Lower bound (p. 4): every cut is valid, so Ctk≤QtC^k_t\le Q_tCtk​≤Qt​ and C1k≤Q1C^k_1\le Q_1C1k​≤Q1​.
  • Lemma 1 (p. 6): the set Gtk\mathcal G^k_tGtk​ of distinct generated cuts is bounded in size and eventually constant.
  • Lemma 2 (p. 10): DOASA-N stops changing after finitely many iterations, with lim⁡kC1k≤Q1\lim_kC^k_1\le Q_1limk​C1k​≤Q1​.
  • Lemma 3 (p. 10): DOASA-N over all scenarios, with backward sampling infinitely often per scenario, converges almost surely to an optimal policy.

Significance

The theorem justifies SDDP, AND, ReSa and CUPPS as exact methods: on a finite scenario tree, sampling-based cutting-plane schemes reach an optimal policy and a tight lower bound after finitely many iterations, almost surely. The finiteness argument (Lemma 1) is the template for later finite-convergence proofs of SDDP variants.

The paper's proofs are informal. No part of this development is machine-checked, and the printed statement of Theorem 4 is false (see below), so a formal proof also settles exactly which sampling hypothesis is enough. The finite-cut lemma and the cut-validity milestone are reusable for any Benders-type multistage method.

Difficulty

The obvious argument goes: cut sets stabilize (Lemma 1), and every scenario and every outcome is sampled infinitely often, so the limiting cuts must be exact. The last step fails. A cut at a state is exact only if, for every outcome, a dual that is optimal at that state has been collected. Sampling the forward scenario and the backward outcomes infinitely often, but separately, does not ensure this. Lemma 1 itself is also delicate: the dual vectors ρ\rhoρ grow in dimension with kkk, so the collection of extreme-point duals can be infinite even though the cut coefficients take finitely many values. The algorithm's choices (extreme-point duals, ties among best duals) must be handled for every run, not for a convenient one.

Formalization scope

Stages are numbered 1,…,T1,\dots,T1,…,T with variable dimensions per stage. B t is the paper's BtB_tBt​, the matrix multiplying xtx_txt​ in stage t+1t+1t+1. Value functions are real infima, used only on reachable states. Iterations are numbered from 000 in Lean. Explicit choices, each recorded in the item statements:

  • The J correction. The paper states Theorem 4 under FPSP and BPSP. These do not suffice. In a three-stage instance whose last-stage backward sample is {c}\{c\}{c} after forward outcome aaa and {d}\{d\}{d} after bbb, alternating, both properties hold but the cuts stabilize at a suboptimal policy with C1kC^k_1C1k​ below Q1Q_1Q1​. The goal is stated under J, which implies FPSP and BPSP and holds for the schemes the paper names. Lemma 3's BPSP is read per scenario of DOASA-N.
  • Initial cut. The paper's trivial cut θt+1≥−∞\theta_{t+1}\ge-\inftyθt+1​≥−∞ makes [APt1_t^1t1​] unbounded; it is replaced by a finite cut θt+1≥Lt\theta_{t+1}\ge L_tθt+1​≥Lt​ assumed valid on reachable states. Stage TTT uses the exact cut θT+1≥0\theta_{T+1}\ge0θT+1​≥0.
  • (A4) is required on reachable states only.
  • The LP solver is a deterministic oracle on cut sets returning optimal solutions of [APt_tt​], so repeated cuts do not change forward solutions.
  • Duals. Collected duals are optimal extreme points of the dual region; best duals are chosen with arbitrary tie-breaks. No cut is added while the dual collection is empty. Dual multipliers ρ\rhoρ are sequences padded with zeros.
  • Runs are relations covering DOASA and DOASA-N (batched forward scenarios). The conclusions hold for every run consistent with the samples, inside the almost-sure quantifier.

A trivializing encoding, in which cuts are arbitrary valid hyperplanes, duals are taken for all outcomes, or the sampling hypotheses directly assume exactness of the cuts, is ruled out: the run relation transcribes CCA steps 1–3 as printed.

A complete development needs LP weak and strong duality (published on the platform as LinearOptimization.lp_weak_duality and LinearOptimization.lp_strong_duality, in their own encoding), finiteness of the set of extreme points of a polyhedron, and the almost-sure intersection of finitely many events (Mathlib). Contributions to any milestone, to the proof that J holds for independent sampling, and to the counterexample showing FPSP and BPSP are insufficient are welcome.

Selected references

  • A. B. Philpott, Z. Guan, On the convergence of stochastic dual dynamic programming and related methods, Oper. Res. Lett. 36(4) (2008) 450–455. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.orl.2008.01.013 (cited from the authors' manuscript v24, 2008-02-25)
  • M. V. F. Pereira, L. M. V. G. Pinto, Multi-stage stochastic optimization applied to energy planning, Math. Program. 52 (1991) 359–375. https://doi.org/10.1007/BF01582895
  • Z.-L. Chen, W. B. Powell, Convergent cutting-plane and partial-sampling algorithm for multistage stochastic linear programs with recourse, J. Optim. Theory Appl. 102 (1999) 497–524. https://doi.org/10.1023/A:1022641805263
  • A. Shapiro, Analysis of stochastic dual dynamic programming method, European J. Oper. Res. 209 (2011) 63–72. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ejor.2010.08.007
  • P. Girardeau, V. Leclère, A. B. Philpott, On the convergence of decomposition methods for multistage stochastic convex programs, Math. Oper. Res. 40(1) (2015) 130–145. https://doi.org/10.1287/moor.2014.0664
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ProbabilityStatistics·Captain: mikedeng1

Poisson Approximation for Dependent Trials 2: For φ-Mixing Bernoulli Trials, an Order-λ⁻¹ Bound on |Eh(W) − 𝒫_λh| in Var W − λ + 2(2m+1)Σp_i² and nφ(m+1)Research Paper

Motivation

The number of successes in many rare trials is approximately Poisson. For independent trials the quality of that approximation was quantified by Le Cam in 1960: if X1,…,XnX_1,\dots,X_nX1​,…,Xn​ are independent Bernoulli variables with P(Xi=1)=piP(X_i=1)=p_iP(Xi​=1)=pi​, W=∑iXiW=\sum_i X_iW=∑i​Xi​ and λ=∑ipi\lambda=\sum_i p_iλ=∑i​pi​, the total variation distance between the law of WWW and the Poisson law with mean λ\lambdaλ is bounded by a constant multiple of ∑ipi2\sum_i p_i^2∑i​pi2​, and by a constant multiple of λ−1∑ipi2\lambda^{-1}\sum_i p_i^2λ−1∑i​pi2​ when λ≥1\lambda\ge 1λ≥1. Many applications have dependent trials: occurrences of a pattern in a sequence, exceedances of a high level by a stationary process, failures in a system with local interactions. L. H. Y. Chen's 1975 paper extended Charles Stein's method of normal approximation to the Poisson case and obtained explicit bounds for dependent trials. The approach became known as the Stein–Chen method, and is now the standard tool for Poisson approximation of dependent counts.

Timeline.

  • 1960. Le Cam proves the independent-trial bounds (0.1)–(0.3) of Chen's introduction.
  • 1964. Kerstan extends them to independent nonnegative integer variables and improves the constant in (0.3).
  • 1970. Stein introduces his method of normal approximation for dependent variables.
  • 1975. Chen (Ann. Probab. 3) adapts it to Poisson approximation. He proves Theorems 4.1–4.4 for sequences satisfying Ibragimov's mixing condition, the mmm-dependent case, and a second-order expansion for independent trials.

This mission formalizes the order-λ−1\lambda^{-1}λ−1 bound of that paper, Theorem 4.2.

Setting

Let (Ω,F,P)(\Omega,\mathcal F,P)(Ω,F,P) be a probability space and let X1,…,XnX_1,\dots,X_nX1​,…,Xn​ be Bernoulli trials: random variables with values in {0,1}\{0,1\}{0,1} and pi=P(Xi=1)p_i=P(X_i=1)pi​=P(Xi​=1). Following the paper, set Xi≡0X_i\equiv0Xi​≡0 for i≤0i\le0i≤0 and i≥n+1i\ge n+1i≥n+1. Put

W=∑i=1nXi,λ=∑i=1npi.W=\sum_{i=1}^nX_i,\qquad \lambda=\sum_{i=1}^np_i .W=i=1∑n​Xi​,λ=i=1∑n​pi​.

For a bounded real function hhh on the nonnegative integers, the Poisson expectation is

Pλh=e−λ∑k=0∞h(k)λkk!,\mathcal P_\lambda h=e^{-\lambda}\sum_{k=0}^\infty h(k)\frac{\lambda^k}{k!},Pλ​h=e−λk=0∑∞​h(k)k!λk​,

the mean of hhh under the Poisson law with parameter λ\lambdaλ. The quantity of interest is ∣Eh(W)−Pλh∣|Eh(W)-\mathcal P_\lambda h|∣Eh(W)−Pλ​h∣ for all hhh with ∣h∣≤1|h|\le1∣h∣≤1. Its supremum over such hhh is twice the total variation distance between the law of WWW and the Poisson law.

Dependence is measured by Ibragimov's mixing condition (4.1). Let Ma,b=σ(Xi:a≤i≤b)\mathcal M_{a,b}=\sigma(X_i:a\le i\le b)Ma,b​=σ(Xi​:a≤i≤b). There must be a non-increasing sequence φ(k)↓0\varphi(k)\downarrow0φ(k)↓0 such that for all j,k≥1j,k\ge1j,k≥1 and every event B∈Mj+k,∞B\in\mathcal M_{j+k,\infty}B∈Mj+k,∞​,

∣P(B∣M1j)−P(B)∣≤φ(k)almost surely.|P(B\mid\mathcal M_{1j})-P(B)|\le\varphi(k)\quad\text{almost surely}.∣P(B∣M1j​)−P(B)∣≤φ(k)almost surely.

A sequence is mmm-dependent when (X1,…,Xr)(X_1,\dots,X_r)(X1​,…,Xr​) and (Xr+k,… )(X_{r+k},\dots)(Xr+k​,…) are independent for all k>mk>mk>m. It then satisfies (4.1) with φ(k)=0\varphi(k)=0φ(k)=0 for k>mk>mk>m.

The proof works with the partial sums V(i)=∑∣k−i∣>mXkV^{(i)}=\sum_{|k-i|>m}X_kV(i)=∑∣k−i∣>m​Xk​, V(i,j)=∑∣k−i∣>m,∣k−j∣>mXkV^{(i,j)}=\sum_{|k-i|>m,|k-j|>m}X_kV(i,j)=∑∣k−i∣>m,∣k−j∣>m​Xk​, Yij=V(i)+∑k=i−mjXkY_{ij}=V^{(i)}+\sum_{k=i-m}^jX_kYij​=V(i)+∑k=i−mj​Xk​ and Yij′=V(i)+∑k=i−m,k≠ijXkY'_{ij}=V^{(i)}+\sum_{k=i-m,k\ne i}^jX_kYij′​=V(i)+∑k=i−m,k=ij​Xk​. It also uses the Stein solution SλhS_\lambda hSλ​h, the solution for w≥1w\ge1w≥1 of wf(w)−λf(w+1)=h(w)−Pλhwf(w)-\lambda f(w+1)=h(w)-\mathcal P_\lambda hwf(w)−λf(w+1)=h(w)−Pλ​h.

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem 4.2, (4.13)

For every m=0,1,2,…m=0,1,2,\dotsm=0,1,2,… and every hhh with ∣h∣≤1|h|\le1∣h∣≤1,

∣Eh(W)−Pλh∣≤2λ−1[8m+5+4(nφ(m+1))1/2][Var⁡(W)−λ+2(2m+1)∑i=1npi2]+32[6m+3+(nφ(m+1))1/2]nφ(m+1).|Eh(W)-\mathcal P_\lambda h|\le2\lambda^{-1}\bigl[8m+5+4(n\varphi(m+1))^{1/2}\bigr]\Bigl[\operatorname{Var}(W)-\lambda+2(2m+1)\sum_{i=1}^np_i^2\Bigr]+32\bigl[6m+3+(n\varphi(m+1))^{1/2}\bigr]n\varphi(m+1).∣Eh(W)−Pλ​h∣≤2λ−1[8m+5+4(nφ(m+1))1/2][Var(W)−λ+2(2m+1)i=1∑n​pi2​]+32[6m+3+(nφ(m+1))1/2]nφ(m+1).

The bound involves only the law of WWW through Var⁡(W)\operatorname{Var}(W)Var(W), the success probabilities, the window mmm and the mixing rate. The window mmm is free, so the statement covers every trade-off between local dependence and mixing.

Consequences (companion items)

  • Theorem 4.3, (4.21). For mmm-dependent trials, ∣Eh(W)−Pλh∣≤2(8m+5)λ−1[∑∑i≠jCov⁡(Xi,Xj)+(4m+1)∑pi2]|Eh(W)-\mathcal P_\lambda h|\le2(8m+5)\lambda^{-1}\bigl[\sum\sum_{i\ne j}\operatorname{Cov}(X_i,X_j)+(4m+1)\sum p_i^2\bigr]∣Eh(W)−Pλ​h∣≤2(8m+5)λ−1[∑∑i=j​Cov(Xi​,Xj​)+(4m+1)∑pi2​].
  • Corollary 4.1, (4.23). For independent trials, ∣Eh(W)−Pλh∣≤10λ−1∑pi2|Eh(W)-\mathcal P_\lambda h|\le10\lambda^{-1}\sum p_i^2∣Eh(W)−Pλ​h∣≤10λ−1∑pi2​. This improves Le Cam's (0.3).
  • Theorem 4.4. For identically distributed trials with φ(m)=e−αm\varphi(m)=e^{-\alpha m}φ(m)=e−αm, there are bounds (4.24) and (4.25) whose constants depend only on α\alphaα.

Milestones

The milestones follow the paper's proof:

  • the basic identity (2.2), the Stein solution (2.5) and the expansion (2.6);
  • the bounds on SλhS_\lambda hSλ​h: Lemmas 3.1–3.3, (3.6) and Lemma 3.5;
  • the mixing inequalities, Lemmas 4.1–4.3 and 4.6;
  • the variance bound, Lemma 4.4;
  • the four displays (4.14) and (4.16)–(4.19) of the proof of Theorem 4.2;
  • Cauchy–Schwarz (4.10) and Lemma 4.5.

Significance

Theorem 4.2 gives an error of order λ−1\lambda^{-1}λ−1 times the excess variance Var⁡(W)−λ+O(m∑pi2)\operatorname{Var}(W)-\lambda+O(m\sum p_i^2)Var(W)−λ+O(m∑pi2​), plus a mixing remainder. When the trials are nearly uncorrelated, Var⁡(W)≈λ\operatorname{Var}(W)\approx\lambdaVar(W)≈λ and the bound is small even though λ\lambdaλ is large. This is the regime where the companion Theorem 4.1, which carries a factor min⁡(λ−1/2,1)\min(\lambda^{-1/2},1)min(λ−1/2,1), is weaker. The independent case recovers Le Cam's order λ−1∑pi2\lambda^{-1}\sum p_i^2λ−1∑pi2​ with constant 10. The mmm-dependent case gives explicit Poisson limit theorems for scan statistics and pattern counts.

All results of the paper are proved there, and the proofs are elementary apart from the measure theory of Lemma 4.1. To our knowledge none of them has a machine-checked proof. Mathlib has the Poisson distribution and conditional expectation, but no Stein–Chen bound and no mixing inequality of Ibragimov's type. A formal proof would give the first checked quantitative Poisson approximation for dependent trials. It would also give reusable covariance inequalities for φ\varphiφ-mixing sequences (Lemmas 4.2 and 4.3).

Difficulty

Most of the work is bookkeeping, and it is heavy. Identity (2.2) needs a telescoping over windows [i−m,j][i-m,j][i−m,j] whose ends can fall outside [1,n][1,n][1,n]. (4.15)–(4.18) need ∣Yi,j−1′+1−λ∣|Y'_{i,j-1}+1-\lambda|∣Yi,j−1′​+1−λ∣ to be compared with ∣V(i,j)−EV(i,j)∣|V^{(i,j)}-EV^{(i,j)}|∣V(i,j)−EV(i,j)∣ with explicit constants.

The genuinely probabilistic step is the decoupling of Lemma 4.2. Condition (4.1) controls conditional probabilities of events. Lemma 4.2 needs a bound on conditional expectations of functions of a whole random vector. Passing from one to the other requires a regular conditional distribution that is uniformly close to the unconditional law on a set of full measure (Lemma 4.1). The naive route, applying (4.1) to each level set of a simple function, loses a factor that grows with the number of levels and does not give the constant 2∥f∥2\|f\|2∥f∥.

The bound (4.16) applies Lemma 4.4 to a subsequence of the trials. This uses the fact that dropping variables preserves (4.1) with the same φ\varphiφ, because φ\varphiφ is non-increasing.

Formalization scope

  • Trials. The trials are a map X:N→Ω→NX:\mathbb N\to\Omega\to\mathbb NX:N→Ω→N that is measurable, vanishes at index 000 and above nnn, and is at most 111 almost surely. The constant padding adds nothing to any σ\sigmaσ-algebra, so (4.1), mmm-dependence and independence of the padded sequence are those of X1,…,XnX_1,\dots,X_nX1​,…,Xn​.
  • Probabilities and moments. pip_ipi​ is defined as P(Xi=1)P(X_i=1)P(Xi​=1), not taken as a parameter. Var⁡\operatorname{Var}Var and Cov⁡\operatorname{Cov}Cov are Mathlib's. All integrands are almost surely bounded, so no integrability hypotheses are needed.
  • Norms. Sup norms are replaced by bounds MMM with ∣h∣≤M|h|\le M∣h∣≤M. ∥Sλh∥\|S_\lambda h\|∥Sλ​h∥ ranges over w≥1w\ge1w≥1.
  • Mixing condition. In (4.1) the conditional probability is the conditional expectation of the indicator, and lags are k≥1k\ge1k≥1.
  • Added hypotheses. The §3 lemmas and (2.6), (4.14) assume λ>0\lambda>0λ>0, because they divide by λ\lambdaλ. The goal and the companions do not assume it: at λ=0\lambda=0λ=0 all pip_ipi​ vanish, W=0W=0W=0 almost surely, and both sides are 000 under Lean's convention 0−1=00^{-1}=00−1=0.
  • Lemmas 4.2 and 4.3. They are stated for an arbitrary measurable real sequence satisfying (4.1), as on the page. The independent copy Z′Z'Z′ is expressed through the law of ZZZ.
  • Theorem 4.4. Its constants are quantified before the probability space, nnn and the trials. This is what "depend only on α\alphaα" means.

A trivializing formalization is ruled out. Measurability of the trials is part of the definition, because otherwise conditional expectations in (4.1) collapse to 000. The goal mentions only WWW, λ\lambdaλ, pip_ipi​, Var⁡(W)\operatorname{Var}(W)Var(W), φ\varphiφ, mmm and hhh. It does not mention SλhS_\lambda hSλ​h or any milestone quantity.

A complete development needs the Stein solution and its bounds, a Bernoulli-sum calculus over integer windows, regular conditional distributions on standard Borel spaces, and the mixing covariance inequalities. The last two are reusable beyond this mission. Contributions to any milestone are welcome, as are alternative proofs of Lemma 4.2 through Mathlib's condDistrib.

Selected references

  • L. H. Y. Chen, Poisson approximation for dependent trials, Annals of Probability 3(3):534–545, 1975. https://doi.org/10.1214/aop/1176996359
  • L. Le Cam, An approximation theorem for the Poisson binomial distribution, Pacific Journal of Mathematics 10(4):1181–1197, 1960. https://doi.org/10.2140/pjm.1960.10.1181
  • C. Stein, A bound for the error in the normal approximation to the distribution of a sum of dependent random variables, Proc. Sixth Berkeley Symp. Math. Statist. Probab. 2:583–602, 1972. https://projecteuclid.org/euclid.bsmsp/1200514239
  • I. A. Ibragimov, Some limit theorems for stationary processes, Theory of Probability and its Applications 7(4):349–382, 1962. https://doi.org/10.1137/1107036
  • A. D. Barbour, L. Holst, S. Janson, Poisson Approximation, Oxford University Press, 1992. ISBN 978-0-19-852235-9
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Operations ResearchProbabilityStochastic Systems·Captain: mikedeng1

Efficient Monte Carlo Procedures for Generating Points Uniformly Distributed over Bounded Regions 1: Symmetric Mixing Algorithms Converge to the Uniform Distribution from Every Starting PointResearch Paper

Motivation

Sampling uniformly from a bounded region can be difficult when direct transformation of a familiar random variable is unavailable and rejection sampling spends most of its trials outside the region. Robert L. Smith studied procedures that move within the region: from the current point, choose a direction, form the line set through that point inside the region, and choose the next point uniformly on that line set. The resulting sequence is a homogeneous Markov chain. The Random Directions Algorithm, later commonly called hit-and-run, is a central instance of this construction. Smith's 1984 paper establishes conditions under which the chain approaches the uniform distribution even when its initial point is fixed rather than sampled uniformly (Smith 1984, pp. 1298–1301).

For simulation, the initial point is usually chosen because it is known to be feasible. The question is therefore whether the distribution after many moves forgets that particular choice. A stationary distribution alone does not answer this: stationarity describes what happens if the chain already starts with that distribution. Smith's Theorem 2 gives the stronger, pointwise starting-state statement for the class of symmetric mixing algorithms satisfying his two regularity assumptions (Smith 1984, p. 1301).

Setting

Let SSS be the state region and VVV its finite, nonzero content measure. In Smith's geometric setting, SSS is a bounded kkk-dimensional measurable region in Rn\mathbb R^nRn, and VVV is kkk-dimensional content; at k=0k=0k=0, content is counting measure. A Markov transition kernel PPP assigns to every current point x∈Sx\in Sx∈S a probability P(x,A)P(x,A)P(x,A) of entering a measurable set A⊆SA\subseteq SA⊆S on the next move. For the associated chain (X0,X1,…)(X_0,X_1,\ldots)(X0​,X1​,…), the mmm-step transition probability is Pm(x,A)=P(Xm∈A∣X0=x)P^m(x,A)=\mathbb P(X_m\in A\mid X_0=x)Pm(x,A)=P(Xm​∈A∣X0​=x).

The uniform law is λ(A)=V(A)/V(S)\lambda(A)=V(A)/V(S)λ(A)=V(A)/V(S). Smith's Assumption (a) gives a measurable transition density f(y∣x)f(y\mid x)f(y∣x) relative to VVV:

P(x,A)=∫Af(y∣x) V(dy).P(x,A)=\int_A f(y\mid x)\,V(dy).P(x,A)=∫A​f(y∣x)V(dy).

For a symmetric mixing algorithm, the paper states that this density satisfies f(y∣x)=f(x∣y)f(y\mid x)=f(x\mid y)f(y∣x)=f(x∣y) for all x,y∈Sx,y\in Sx,y∈S. Assumption (b) says f(y∣x)>0f(y\mid x)>0f(y∣x)>0 for all such pairs. These are pointwise conditions, including states of zero VVV-measure. A nonempty measurable set AAA is closed if P(x,A)=1P(x,A)=1P(x,A)=1 for every x∈Ax\in Ax∈A. The chain is indecomposable in the paper's sense when it has no two disjoint closed sets (Smith 1984, pp. 1299–1300).

Formalization targets

Stationarity and indecomposability

Lemma 1 asserts that λ\lambdaλ is stationary: λ(A)=∫SP(x,A) λ(dx)\lambda(A)=\int_S P(x,A)\,\lambda(dx)λ(A)=∫S​P(x,A)λ(dx) for every measurable AAA. Lemma 2 excludes two disjoint closed sets. Both are direct prerequisites of the goal. Smith's Theorem 1 also establishes uniqueness of the stationary distribution and almost-sure convergence of empirical visit frequencies under a stationary start; it is described in the source, but its trajectory-level formalization is outside this proposal (Smith 1984, p. 1300).

Convergence from every starting point

The mission goal is Smith's Theorem 2. For every x∈Sx\in Sx∈S and every measurable A⊆SA\subseteq SA⊆S,

lim⁡m→∞Pm(x,A)=λ(A).\lim_{m\to\infty}P^m(x,A)=\lambda(A).m→∞lim​Pm(x,A)=λ(A).

This is the paper's explicit meaning of strongly mixing. The milestone list also records the proof's stated nonperiodicity condition: for every n≥2n\ge2n≥2, the nnn-step transition law has no two disjoint closed sets. It is a target in its own right because it concerns all higher-step kernels, not only the one-step chain (Smith 1984, p. 1301).

Significance

Theorem 2 makes the uniform law the limiting distribution of the sample at time mmm, for any fixed feasible initial point. The paper's Theorem 1 supplies a different guarantee about long-run empirical frequencies under a stationary start, although it is not a target of this proposal. Smith later specializes the framework to the Random Directions Algorithm and gives a quantitative rate under additional geometric conditions; that rate is the subject of the companion mission (Smith 1984, pp. 1303–1304).

These results are proved in the paper but the declarations in this proposal are theorem statements with sorry, not machine-checked proofs. A completed formalization would turn the paper's measure-theoretic claims into reusable statements about general measurable state spaces and kernels. The normalized content law, the density interface, and closed-set predicate can be reused when studying other Monte Carlo kernels with the same hypotheses.

Difficulty

The main obstacle is the jump from stationary behavior to convergence from every starting point. Symmetry identifies the candidate stationary law, and strict positivity limits how the chain can split into closed parts, but neither sentence by itself establishes the claimed limit of Pm(x,A)P^m(x,A)Pm(x,A). The distinction matters especially at starting points in VVV-null sets: an almost-everywhere starting-state result would leave out precisely the universal claim in Theorem 2. The paper appeals to a general-state Markov-chain convergence result for this step (Smith 1984, p. 1301).

Formalization scope

Lean uses a measurable type α\alphaα as the whole region SSS, a finite measure VVV with V(S)≠0V(S)\ne0V(S)=0, a Markov kernel PPP, and an extended-nonnegative density f:α→α→R≥0∞f:\alpha\to\alpha\to\mathbb R_{\ge0}^{\infty}f:α→α→R≥0∞​. The density is jointly measurable and is linked to PPP by the integral identity above; symmetry is pointwise, and positivity is added only for Lemma 2 and Theorems 1–2. This abstract representation retains the hypotheses those results use without fixing a particular Euclidean dimension. It covers the counting-content case as well as continuous content, although it does not construct the geometric direction-and-chord algorithm. The Random Directions kernel belongs to the companion mission.

The uniform law is normalized by V(S)V(S)V(S). Finiteness and nonzero total content prevent a meaningless inverse or an empty probability space. The mmm-step law is the published MarkovChainCLT.iterKernel. Theorem 2 quantifies over every xxx, rather than λ\lambdaλ-almost every xxx, and uses setwise convergence on each measurable AAA. No invariance, uniqueness, minorization, or convergence premise is added to the goal. Detaching fff from PPP would empty out the substantive assertion. Formal contributions can target the density-to-invariance argument, the closed-set conditions, and the general-state convergence theorem needed for the goal. The paper's separate pathwise Theorem 1 remains an appropriate later extension.

Selected references

  • Robert L. Smith, Efficient Monte Carlo Procedures for Generating Points Uniformly Distributed over Bounded Regions, Operations Research 32(6), 1296–1308, 1984. DOI: 10.1287/opre.32.6.1296.
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Convex OptimizationOptimization·Captain: mikedeng1

Convergence Analysis of a Proximal-Like Minimization Algorithm Using Bregman Functions: PMD Attains f(xⁿ) − f(u) ≤ σₙ⁻¹D_ψ(u, x⁰) and Its Iterates Converge to a MinimizerResearch Paper

Motivation

Convex minimization often has a simple objective but no useful closed form for its minimizer. A proximal method replaces one difficult minimization by a sequence of regularized minimizations. The familiar quadratic regularizer treats all directions through a Euclidean norm. In applications with nonnegative variables, entropy-like geometry can be more natural: a step can be penalized by a Bregman distance generated by a strictly convex function. Chen and Teboulle studied a proximal minimization algorithm with this geometry and established a rate in objective values together with convergence of the iterates under the paper's assumptions. Their analysis also removed a bounded-below assumption used in an earlier treatment and allowed step sizes whose sum diverges even if individual steps approach zero (Chen and Teboulle, 1993, pp. 539–540).

This mission records the complete theorem of that paper, rather than only its rate when a minimizer is known to exist. The distinction matters because a proper convex objective can have an infimum of −∞-\infty−∞ or a finite infimum that it never attains. The rate against each comparison point remains meaningful in those cases, and the theorem's value convergence does not presuppose a minimizer.

Setting

Let EEE be a finite-dimensional real normed space, C⊆EC\subseteq EC⊆E the nonempty effective domain of a proper lower semicontinuous convex objective, and f:C→Rf:C\to\mathbb Rf:C→R its finite restriction. Its value outside CCC is +∞+\infty+∞. Thus f∗=inf⁡u∈Cf(u)f_* = \inf_{u\in C}f(u)f∗​=infu∈C​f(u) is an extended-real number that may equal −∞-\infty−∞, and X∗={u∈C:f(u)≤f(v) for every v∈C}X_* = \{u\in C: f(u)\le f(v)\text{ for every }v\in C\}X∗​={u∈C:f(u)≤f(v) for every v∈C} is the set of minimizers, possibly empty.

A Bregman function with zone SSS is a function ψ\psiψ on the closure Sˉ\bar SSˉ of an open set SSS. It is continuously differentiable on SSS, strictly convex and continuous on Sˉ\bar SSˉ, and satisfies the bounded partial-level-set and two sequential conditions of Definition 2.1 (Chen and Teboulle, 1993, p. 539). Its distance-like expression is

Dψ(u,y)=ψ(u)−ψ(y)−⟨u−y,∇ψ(y)⟩,u∈Sˉ, y∈S.D_\psi(u,y)=\psi(u)-\psi(y)-\langle u-y,\nabla\psi(y)\rangle, \qquad u\in\bar S,\ y\in S.Dψ​(u,y)=ψ(u)−ψ(y)−⟨u−y,∇ψ(y)⟩,u∈Sˉ, y∈S.

It is nonnegative and zero exactly when u=yu=yu=y, but need not be symmetric or satisfy a triangle inequality. The zone contains the relative interior of CCC. Starting from x0∈Sx^0\in Sx0∈S and positive steps λk\lambda_kλk​, a PMD run selects xk∈S∩Cx^k\in S\cap Cxk∈S∩C minimizing f(u)+λk−1Dψ(u,xk−1)f(u)+\lambda_k^{-1}D_\psi(u,x^{k-1})f(u)+λk−1​Dψ​(u,xk−1) over u∈C∩Sˉu\in C\cap\bar Su∈C∩Sˉ, for k≥1k\ge1k≥1. Write σn=∑k=1nλk\sigma_n=\sum_{k=1}^n\lambda_kσn​=∑k=1n​λk​. The paper calls this proximal minimization with D-functions (Chen and Teboulle, 1993, pp. 539–540).

Formalization targets

Rate and value convergence

For every n≥1n\ge1n≥1 and every finite comparison point u∈C∩Sˉu\in C\cap\bar Su∈C∩Sˉ, the goal includes

f(xn)−f(u)≤σn−1Dψ(u,x0).f(x^n)-f(u)\le\sigma_n^{-1}D_\psi(u,x^0).f(xn)−f(u)≤σn−1​Dψ​(u,x0).

If σn→+∞\sigma_n\to+\inftyσn​→+∞, then f(xn)→f∗f(x^n)\to f_*f(xn)→f∗​ in the extended reals, including when f∗=−∞f_*=-\inftyf∗​=−∞. This is Theorem 3.4's inequality (20) and its ensuing value-convergence claim (Chen and Teboulle, 1993, p. 542).

Minimizer bound and iterate convergence

For every x∗∈X∗x^*\in X_*x∗∈X∗​, the same rate gives

f(xn)−f(x∗)≤σn−1Dψ(x∗,x0),n≥1.f(x^n)-f(x^*)\le\sigma_n^{-1}D_\psi(x^*,x^0),\qquad n\ge1.f(xn)−f(x∗)≤σn−1​Dψ​(x∗,x0),n≥1.

When X∗≠∅X_*\ne\varnothingX∗​=∅ and σn→+∞\sigma_n\to+\inftyσn​→+∞, the entire sequence xnx^nxn converges to a point of X∗X_*X∗​. The displayed bound is (21), and convergence of the iterates is the final clause of Theorem 3.4. The milestone list follows the authors' statements: the three-point identity, nonnegativity of the distance, Lemma 3.2, and the three parts of Lemma 3.3. Display (17) is an additional supporting theorem item (Chen and Teboulle, 1993, pp. 539–542).

Significance

The rate compares a PMD iterate with any admissible point, so it gives a finite-horizon certificate even before an optimal point is identified. If a minimizer exists, substituting it gives an explicit objective-gap bound. With divergent cumulative steps, the theorem identifies the limiting objective value without assuming that value is finite. Its final clause goes further: when the optimum is attained, the points themselves converge, not merely their objective values (Chen and Teboulle, 1993, p. 542).

The mathematical result was proved in 1993. The formalization task is to state and prove it in Lean with the extended objective, full Bregman-function conditions, and sequence limits visible to later developments. The three-point identity is already posed as a separate public platform theorem from a later mirror-descent treatment; this mission reuses that statement. The remaining statements here are proof obligations, not claims of completed machine-checked proofs. Their definition layer can also support analyses of other nonquadratic proximal algorithms.

Difficulty

The direct one-step minimization comparison alone does not yield the global estimate with σn\sigma_nσn​ and the exact weighted distance terms of Lemma 3.3(iii). It also does not settle convergence of the points: decreasing objective values can coexist with several cluster points. The Bregman function's bounded partial level sets and sequential conditions are needed to rule out that behavior. A further issue appears when f∗=−∞f_*=-\inftyf∗​=−∞: replacing the infimum by a real number, or assuming a minimizer to define it, removes a case that Theorem 3.4 explicitly covers. The original paper separates these issues across Lemmas 3.2–3.3 and Theorem 3.4 (Chen and Teboulle, 1993, pp. 540–542).

Formalization scope

Lean uses a finite-dimensional real normed space in place of Rn\mathbb R^nRn; none of the statements depends on a chosen Euclidean inner product. A derivative is a continuous linear functional, and its value on a vector represents the paper's gradient pairing. The Bregman distance is the already-published definition with the derivative at its second argument. The paper's ψ:Sˉ→R\psi:\bar S\to\mathbb Rψ:Sˉ→R is represented by a total function whose values outside Sˉ\bar SSˉ are unused. Strict convexity on Sˉ\bar SSˉ includes convexity of Sˉ\bar SSˉ. The last sequential condition explicitly requires its first arguments to lie in Sˉ\bar SSˉ, the domain where the paper defines DψD_\psiDψ​.

The extended objective is a nonempty convex domain CCC, a real-valued restriction fff, and an extended-real function equal to +∞+\infty+∞ off CCC. Lower semicontinuity applies to that extended function. The infimum f∗f_*f∗​ is taken in the extended reals; it cannot silently become zero when the values are unbounded below. A PMD run is a predicate on an existing sequence, recording a minimizer in S∩CS\cap CS∩C at each step. This makes explicit the existence consequence for which the paper assumes the gradient of ψ\psiψ has full range; it does not define iterates by a choice operator. Every Bregman distance differentiates at a point of SSS, where ψ\psiψ is C1C^1C1. The rate starts at n=1n=1n=1, so σn>0\sigma_n>0σn​>0 and no finite value is demanded of x0x^0x0. No lower bound on fff is imposed. Contributions proving the milestone inequalities, the extended-real value limit, the Bregman-function examples, and the compactness step for iterate convergence are within scope.

Selected references

  • Gong Chen and Marc Teboulle, Convergence analysis of a proximal-like minimization algorithm using Bregman functions, SIAM Journal on Optimization 3(3), 538–543, 1993. DOI: 10.1137/0803026.
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ProbabilityStatistics·Captain: mikedeng1

Poisson Approximation for Dependent Trials 3: For Independent Trials with max p_i ≤ λ/2, |Eh(W) − 𝒫_λh + (Σp_i²)𝒫_λU_λh| ≤ (24 + 96√2)λ⁻¹Σp_i³Research Paper

Motivation

The number of successes in many rare, roughly independent trials is approximately Poisson. This law of small numbers is used for counts of rare events in reliability, insurance, epidemiology, queueing and random combinatorics. A quantitative version says how large the error is. For independent Bernoulli trials with success probabilities p1,…,pnp_1,\dots,p_np1​,…,pn​ and λ=∑pi\lambda=\sum p_iλ=∑pi​, Le Cam (1960) showed that the error in total variation is of order ∑pi2\sum p_i^2∑pi2​. When all pip_ipi​ are small this tends to zero, but it does not say what the leading part of the error is.

L. H. Y. Chen's 1975 paper (Ann. Probab. 3, 534–545) adapted Charles Stein's method for normal approximation to the Poisson case. The result is now called the Stein–Chen method. The paper's §2–§4 give first-order error bounds for dependent (mixing) trials. Its §5, "A refinement", goes one order further for independent trials. It identifies the first-order correction explicitly and shows that what remains is of order λ−1∑pi3\lambda^{-1}\sum p_i^3λ−1∑pi3​. Kerstan (1964) had obtained a similar expansion by a different method. Chen's version comes from iterating the basic identity of the Stein–Chen method. This mission formalizes §5.

Timeline:

  • 1953: Prohorov bounds the distance between the binomial and the Poisson law.
  • 1960: Le Cam proves the ∑pi2\sum p_i^2∑pi2​ bound for independent, non-identical trials. Hodges and Le Cam give a short proof.
  • 1964: Kerstan gives a refinement of the Prohorov–Le Cam bounds.
  • 1975: Chen introduces the Stein–Chen method. It gives first-order bounds under Ibragimov's mixing condition and the second-order expansion (Theorem 5.1) for independent trials.

Setting

Let X1,…,XnX_1,\dots,X_nX1​,…,Xn​ be independent random variables on a probability space, each taking only the values 000 and 111, with success probabilities pi=P(Xi=1)p_i=P(X_i=1)pi​=P(Xi​=1). Put

W=∑i=1nXi,λ=∑i=1npi,W(i)=∑k≠iXk,λ(i)=∑j≠ipj.W=\sum_{i=1}^nX_i,\qquad\lambda=\sum_{i=1}^np_i,\qquad W^{(i)}=\sum_{k\ne i}X_k,\qquad\lambda^{(i)}=\sum_{j\ne i}p_j .W=i=1∑n​Xi​,λ=i=1∑n​pi​,W(i)=k=i∑​Xk​,λ(i)=j=i∑​pj​.

For a bounded real function hhh on the nonnegative integers, the Poisson expectation is

Pλh=e−λ∑k=0∞h(k)λkk!,\mathscr P_\lambda h=e^{-\lambda}\sum_{k=0}^\infty h(k)\frac{\lambda^k}{k!},Pλ​h=e−λk=0∑∞​h(k)k!λk​,

the mean of hhh under the Poisson law with parameter λ\lambdaλ. The Stein equation is wf(w)−λf(w+1)=h(w)−Pλhwf(w)-\lambda f(w+1)=h(w)-\mathscr P_\lambda hwf(w)−λf(w+1)=h(w)−Pλ​h. For w≥1w\ge1w≥1 its solution is

Sλh(w)=−(w−1)! λ−w∑k=0w−1[h(k)−Pλh]λkk!.S_\lambda h(w)=-(w-1)!\,\lambda^{-w}\sum_{k=0}^{w-1}\bigl[h(k)-\mathscr P_\lambda h\bigr]\frac{\lambda^k}{k!}.Sλ​h(w)=−(w−1)!λ−wk=0∑w−1​[h(k)−Pλ​h]k!λk​.

Write Δf(w)=f(w+1)−f(w)\Delta f(w)=f(w+1)-f(w)Δf(w)=f(w+1)−f(w) and Lf(w)=f(w+1)Lf(w)=f(w+1)Lf(w)=f(w+1). Chen's second-order operator is

Uλh(w)=ΔSλh(w+1)=Sλh(w+2)−Sλh(w+1),w≥0.U_\lambda h(w)=\Delta S_\lambda h(w+1)=S_\lambda h(w+2)-S_\lambda h(w+1),\qquad w\ge0 .Uλ​h(w)=ΔSλ​h(w+1)=Sλ​h(w+2)−Sλ​h(w+1),w≥0.

For another parameter b>0b>0b>0, SbUλhS_bU_\lambda hSb​Uλ​h and UbUλhU_bU_\lambda hUb​Uλ​h apply the Stein solution and the operator with parameter bbb to the function UλhU_\lambda hUλ​h.

In Lean: poissonExp, stein, delta, shiftL, stU, prob, lam, lamExcept, W, Wi, all in the namespace PoissonDepTrials.SecondOrder.

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem 5.1, (5.7)

If X1,…,XnX_1,\dots,X_nX1​,…,Xn​ are independent, n≥2n\ge2n≥2 and pˉ=max⁡ipi≤λ/2\bar p=\max_ip_i\le\lambda/2pˉ​=maxi​pi​≤λ/2, then for every hhh with ∣h∣≤1|h|\le1∣h∣≤1,

∣Eh(W)−Pλh+(∑i=1npi2)PλUλh∣≤(24+962)λ−1∑i=1npi3.\Bigl|Eh(W)-\mathscr P_\lambda h+\Bigl(\sum_{i=1}^np_i^2\Bigr)\mathscr P_\lambda U_\lambda h\Bigr|\le\bigl(24+96\sqrt2\bigr)\lambda^{-1}\sum_{i=1}^np_i^3 .​Eh(W)−Pλ​h+(i=1∑n​pi2​)Pλ​Uλ​h​≤(24+962​)λ−1i=1∑n​pi3​.

The paper writes the constant as "an absolute constant CCC not greater than 24+96(2)1/224+96(2)^{1/2}24+96(2)1/2". The formal goal fixes CCC at that value, which is the same statement.

Milestones

In order: the Stein solution (2.3)/(2.5); the difference identity (3.6); Lemmas 3.1, 3.2, 3.3 and 3.5 (bounds on SλhS_\lambda hSλ​h and ΔSλh\Delta S_\lambda hΔSλ​h); the first-order identity (5.8) Eh(W)=Pλh−∑ipi2EUλh(W(i))Eh(W)=\mathscr P_\lambda h-\sum_ip_i^2EU_\lambda h(W^{(i)})Eh(W)=Pλ​h−∑i​pi2​EUλ​h(W(i)); Lemmas 5.1 and 5.2 (dependence of Poisson expectations on the parameter); Lemmas 5.3–5.5 (bounds on Pb∣LmUλh∣\mathscr P_b|L^mU_\lambda h|Pb​∣LmUλ​h∣, SbUλhS_bU_\lambda hSb​Uλ​h and UbUλhU_bU_\lambda hUb​Uλ​h); the bound (5.9),

∣Eh(W)−Pλh+(∑pi2)PλUλh∣≤24λ−1∑ipi3+96λ−1∑i∑j≠ipi2pj2λ(i);\Bigl|Eh(W)-\mathscr P_\lambda h+\Bigl(\sum p_i^2\Bigr)\mathscr P_\lambda U_\lambda h\Bigr|\le24\lambda^{-1}\sum_ip_i^3+96\lambda^{-1}\sum_i\sum_{j\ne i}\frac{p_i^2p_j^2}{\lambda^{(i)}};​Eh(W)−Pλ​h+(∑pi2​)Pλ​Uλ​h​≤24λ−1i∑​pi3​+96λ−1i∑​j=i∑​λ(i)pi2​pj2​​;

and the closing inequality λ−1∑ipi2∑j≠ipj2/λ(i)≤2 λ−1∑ipi3\lambda^{-1}\sum_ip_i^2\sum_{j\ne i}p_j^2/\lambda^{(i)}\le\sqrt2\,\lambda^{-1}\sum_ip_i^3λ−1∑i​pi2​∑j=i​pj2​/λ(i)≤2​λ−1∑i​pi3​.

Significance

The theorem gives an explicit first correction to the Poisson approximation of a Poisson-binomial law, with a remainder of the next order. When all pip_ipi​ equal ppp, the first-order error ∑pi2=λp\sum p_i^2=\lambda p∑pi2​=λp is replaced by the remainder λ−1∑pi3=p2\lambda^{-1}\sum p_i^3=p^2λ−1∑pi3​=p2, which is smaller by the factor λ\lambdaλ. The correction term is a functional of the Poisson law alone, −(∑pi2)PλUλh-(\sum p_i^2)\mathscr P_\lambda U_\lambda h−(∑pi2​)Pλ​Uλ​h. It can be evaluated without knowing the distribution of WWW. The method of proof applies the basic identity twice. The paper notes that further iteration gives expansions to any order.

On the formal side, Mathlib has the Poisson distribution but no Stein–Chen machinery and no quantitative Poisson approximation. The theorem has, as far as is known, no machine-checked proof. This mission produces the Stein solution and its standard bounds (Lemmas 3.1–3.5), which are reusable by any Stein–Chen argument. It also produces the parameter-perturbation estimates of Lemmas 5.1–5.2 and a complete second-order expansion. Missions 1 and 2 of this series formalize the first-order bounds of §4 under a mixing condition. They share the Stein-solution layer.

Difficulty

The first-order bound needs only that ΔSλh\Delta S_\lambda hΔSλ​h is uniformly small (Lemma 3.4). A second-order bound needs more. After the first application of the identity, the error ∑pi2EUλh(W(i))\sum p_i^2EU_\lambda h(W^{(i)})∑pi2​EUλ​h(W(i)) has to be expanded again. That requires control of the iterated operator UbUλhU_bU_\lambda hUb​Uλ​h with a different parameter b=λ(i)b=\lambda^{(i)}b=λ(i), because W(i)W^{(i)}W(i) is approximately Poisson with mean λ(i)\lambda^{(i)}λ(i), not λ\lambdaλ. The bound on UbUλhU_bU_\lambda hUb​Uλ​h (Lemma 5.5) grows linearly in ∣w−λ∣|w-\lambda|∣w−λ∣. Applying the uniform bounds of §3 throughout loses a factor λ1/2\lambda^{1/2}λ1/2 and produces an error of order λ−1/2∑pi3\lambda^{-1/2}\sum p_i^3λ−1/2∑pi3​ instead of λ−1∑pi3\lambda^{-1}\sum p_i^3λ−1∑pi3​. The linear growth has to be paired with the variance of W(i,j)W^{(i,j)}W(i,j). The averaging over pairs (i,j)(i,j)(i,j) in the final step uses the condition pˉ≤λ/2\bar p\le\lambda/2pˉ​≤λ/2, which keeps every λ(i)\lambda^{(i)}λ(i) comparable to λ\lambdaλ.

Formalization scope

Conventions committed to in Lean:

  • The trials are a sequence X : ℕ → Ω → ℕ. Each XiX_iXi​ is measurable with values in {0,1}\{0,1\}{0,1} almost surely. Xi≡0X_i\equiv0Xi​≡0 for i=0i=0i=0 and i>ni>ni>n, which is the paper's own padding convention (p. 535). Independence is iIndepFun (fun i => X i) P over all of ℕ. Because the padding variables are constants, this is equivalent to independence of X1,…,XnX_1,\dots,X_nX1​,…,Xn​.
  • pip_ipi​ is defined from XXX, not taken as a parameter.
  • ∥h∥\|h\|∥h∥ is replaced by an arbitrary bound MMM with ∣h(k)∣≤M|h(k)|\le M∣h(k)∣≤M for all kkk. The norm of SλhS_\lambda hSλ​h is taken over its domain w≥1w\ge1w≥1.
  • pˉ≤λ/2\bar p\le\lambda/2pˉ​≤λ/2 is written as pi≤λ/2p_i\le\lambda/2pi​≤λ/2 for every i∈{1,…,n}i\in\{1,\dots,n\}i∈{1,…,n}.
  • The goal assumes neither λ>0\lambda>0λ>0 nor integrability. Every function involved is bounded, so every expectation and Poisson sum is genuine. At λ=0\lambda=0λ=0 both sides of (5.7) vanish.

Hypotheses added relative to the page, each disclosed in the item's Formalization Note:

  • λ>0\lambda>0λ>0 in the §3 and §5 lemmas, in (5.8) and in (5.9). These divide by λ\lambdaλ, by bbb or by λ(i)\lambda^{(i)}λ(i).
  • b>0b>0b>0 in Lemmas 5.3–5.5, which is the standing range of §5.
  • Boundedness of fff in Lemma 5.2. The lemma is only applied to bounded functions.

The random indices I,JI,JI,J that the paper introduces to shorten notation in (5.8)–(5.9) are not formalized. The same quantities are written as finite sums over indices.

Ruled out: the second-order term must be the operator Uλh=ΔSλh(⋅+1)U_\lambda h=\Delta S_\lambda h(\cdot+1)Uλ​h=ΔSλ​h(⋅+1) built from the Stein solution exactly as on p. 543. A free function, or UλhU_\lambda hUλ​h evaluated at the junk value Sλh(0)S_\lambda h(0)Sλ​h(0), would empty the theorem.

Welcome contributions include:

  • the Stein-solution bounds of §3, which are reusable well beyond this paper;
  • Poisson-sum manipulations (Lemmas 5.1–5.2);
  • the independence bookkeeping that turns (2.6) into (5.8).

Selected references

  • L. H. Y. Chen, Poisson approximation for dependent trials, Ann. Probab. 3(3):534–545, 1975. https://doi.org/10.1214/aop/1176996359
  • L. Le Cam, An approximation theorem for the Poisson binomial distribution, Pacific J. Math. 10:1181–1197, 1960. https://doi.org/10.2140/pjm.1960.10.1181
  • J. L. Hodges and L. Le Cam, The Poisson approximation to the Poisson binomial distribution, Ann. Math. Statist. 31:737–740, 1960. https://doi.org/10.1214/aoms/1177705799
  • J. Kerstan, Verallgemeinerung eines Satzes von Prochorow und Le Cam, Z. Wahrscheinlichkeitstheorie verw. Gebiete 2:173–179, 1964. https://doi.org/10.1007/BF00533419
  • C. Stein, A bound for the error in the normal approximation to the distribution of a sum of dependent random variables, Proc. Sixth Berkeley Symp. Math. Statist. Prob. 2, 1972. https://projecteuclid.org/euclid.bsmsp/1200514239
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