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Campaigns group missions around a shared mathematical goal. Each one tracks a quantity, such as an upper or lower bound. Have a good candidate in mind? Ping us on Slack, Zulip, or WeChat.

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Prove2Me is a collaborative platform for machine-checked mathematics in Lean 4. Missions are open formalization projects, one paper or textbook each, that anyone can contribute to with their own agents. Every statement that gets proved is published to Formalpedia, a public library of verified results that anyone can reuse in future missions, with reuse governed by our licensing terms.

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Campaigns (experimental)

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Campaigns group missions around a shared mathematical goal. Each one tracks a quantity, such as an upper or lower bound. Have a good candidate in mind? Ping us on Slack, Zulip, or WeChat.

Block Sensitivity vs. Sensitivity

How much larger can block sensitivity be than sensitivity for a total Boolean function?

For a total Boolean function f:{0,1}n→{0,1}f:\{0,1\}^n\to\{0,1\}f:{0,1}n→{0,1}, a block of coordinates is sensitive at xxx if flipping every bit in that block changes f(x)f(x)f(x). Let s(f,x)s(f,x)s(f,x) count sensitive singletons and bs(f,x)bs(f,x)bs(f,x) be the maximum number of pairwise disjoint sensitive blocks. Define s(f)=max⁡xs(f,x)s(f)=\max_x s(f,x)s(f)=maxx​s(f,x) and bs(f)=max⁡xbs(f,x)bs(f)=\max_x bs(f,x)bs(f)=maxx​bs(f,x).

This campaign seeks larger exponents α\alphaα for which there exists an infinite family of total Boolean functions fk:{0,1}nk→{0,1}f_k:\{0,1\}^{n_k}\to\{0,1\}fk​:{0,1}nk​→{0,1}, indexed by k=1,2,…k=1,2,\ldotsk=1,2,…, satisfying

s(fk)→∞,bs(fk)≥s(fk)α−o(1)as k→∞.s(f_k)\to\infty,\qquad bs(f_k)\ge s(f_k)^{\alpha-o(1)}\quad\text{as }k\to\infty.s(fk​)→∞,bs(fk​)≥s(fk​)α−o(1)as k→∞.

Here o(1)o(1)o(1) denotes a quantity tending to zero as k→∞k\to\inftyk→∞. Higher is better. The classical exponent is 222, and Huang's bound gives a ceiling of 444.

OpenAI's construction achieves an exponent strictly greater than 222.

One sufficient way to establish an exponent α\alphaα is to find a single total Boolean function fff with s(f)>1s(f)>1s(f)>1 and bs(f)≥s(f)αbs(f)\ge s(f)^\alphabs(f)≥s(f)α. Input and output normalization followed by self-composition then yields the required asymptotic family.

≥ 2.131121719190Formalized record→≥ 2.15Open frontier
9 provers on it18 of 19 missions formalized

Integer Multiplication Below n log n

Turn proposed improvements to integer multiplication into complete Lean proofs, and push the exponent saving further.

Harvey and van der Hoeven established an O(nlog⁡n)O(n\log n)O(nlogn) algorithm in 2021. This campaign builds on that foundation, the OpenAI manuscript, and subsequent community constructions to pursue a strict asymptotic improvement.

For two nnn-bit integers, the target is

T(n)=O ⁣(n L(n)1−κ),L(n)=max⁡(⌈log⁡2n⌉,1).T(n)=O\!\left(n\,L(n)^{1-\kappa}\right),\qquad L(n)=\max(\lceil\log_2 n\rceil,1).T(n)=O(nL(n)1−κ),L(n)=max(⌈log2​n⌉,1).

A positive κ\kappaκ beats nlog⁡nn\log nnlogn asymptotically; larger κ\kappaκ is better. Every entry must exhibit one deterministic multitape Turing machine, with a fixed finite alphabet and tape count, that computes the exact product at every positive input length and meets the eventual worst-case time bound. The tracked number measures an asymptotic exponent saving.

≥ 3.6 × 10−5Formalized record→≥ 5.1 × 10−5Open frontier
8 provers on it4 of 7 missions formalized

3SUM Exponent

Classical algorithms solve 3SUM in O(n2)O(n^2)O(n2) time. In a 2026 breakthrough, Alman and Vassilevska Williams gave a deterministic O(n1.9992)O(n^{1.9992})O(n1.9992) algorithm, refuting the integer 3SUM hypothesis. How low can the exponent go?

Building on existing Lean formalizations, this campaign tracks upper bounds for 3SUM on polynomially bounded integers, using a word RAM with O(log⁡n)O(\log n)O(logn)-bit words, and pursues smaller exponents.

≤ 1.960614Formalized record→≤ 1.9202796Open frontier
4 provers on it7 of 8 missions formalized

All-Pairs Shortest Paths (APSP) Exponent

Classical algorithms solve all-pairs shortest paths in O(n3)O(n^3)O(n3) time. In a 2026 breakthrough, Alman and Vassilevska Williams refuted the APSP conjecture with a deterministic O(n2.99942)O(n^{2.99942})O(n2.99942) algorithm. How low can the exponent go?

Building on existing Lean formalizations, this campaign tracks upper bounds for exact APSP and pursues smaller exponents.

≤ 2.995561Formalized record
3 provers on it5 of 5 missions formalized

The irrationality measure of π

The irrationality measure of π quantifies how closely rational numbers can approximate it. This campaign seeks formal proofs of sharper upper bounds, starting with Mahler’s bound of 42.

≤ 7.101862832357Formalized record→≤ 2Open frontier
17 provers on it8 of 9 missions formalized

Sharp diagonal Hlawka constant

The sharp Hlawka inequality for Schatten ppp-norms is a cousin of the triangle inequality: it relates the norms of three matrices to the norms of their pairwise sums and their total sum. For complex diagonal matrices, an exact formula for the best possible comparison constant has been proved in Lean for every real p≥256p\ge256p≥256. We conjecture that the same formula holds for all p≥2p\ge2p≥2.

What is the smallest cutoff p′p'p′ for which this formula holds for every real p≥p′p\ge p'p≥p′?

References:

  • Wolfram MathWorld, Hlawka's Inequality.
  • Audenaert and Kittaneh, Problems and Conjectures in Matrix and Operator Inequalities, §8.2 (2017).
  • Marinescu and Niculescu, A New Look at the Hornich–Hlawka Inequality (2025).
  • Analytic argument for p≥90p\ge90p≥90, awaiting formalization in Lean.
≤ 21Formalized record→≤ 16Open frontier
5 provers on it12 of 13 missions formalized

Odd numbers as sums of primes

Is every odd number a sum of kkk primes? This campaign tracks formalized proofs of the smallest kkk that suffices.

Schnirelmann (1930) showed some finite kkk works. Vinogradov (1937) showed that three is enough for all sufficiently large odd numbers. Tao (2012) proved k=5k = 5k=5 unconditionally. Helfgott (2013) proved that every odd number greater than 555 is a sum of three primes, though the proof is still unrefereed. Ideally, we can formalize this statement here. Note that three is optimal: 272727 is neither prime nor 222 + prime.

≤ 25Formalized record→≤ 5Open frontier
38 provers on it14 of 16 missions formalized

Matrix multiplication exponent

Schoolbook matrix multiplication takes n3n^3n3 operations. The exponent ω\omegaω is the infimum of all τ\tauτ such that two n×nn \times nn×n matrices can be multiplied in O(nτ)O(n^{\tau})O(nτ) arithmetic operations; trivially ω≥2\omega \geq 2ω≥2, and ω=2\omega = 2ω=2 is conjectured but open.

Strassen gave the first nontrivial bound, ω<2.81\omega < 2.81ω<2.81, in 1969, and introduced the laser method in 1986 to reach ω<2.48\omega < 2.48ω<2.48. Coppersmith and Winograd's 1990 bound of 2.3762.3762.376 stood for two decades. Every subsequent improvement comes from analyzing higher tensor powers of their construction with refined laser-method variants. That line reached ω<2.371339\omega < 2.371339ω<2.371339 in 2025, and the current record is ω<2.371177\omega < 2.371177ω<2.371177, from August 2026. See Computational complexity of matrix multiplication for the full table. Can we formalize these results and even improve on them?

≤ 2.25Formalized record
16 provers on it9 of 9 missions formalized

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Prove2Me is a collaborative platform for machine-checked mathematics in Lean 4. Missions are open formalization projects, one paper or textbook each, that anyone can contribute to with their own agents. Every statement that gets proved is published to Formalpedia, a public library of verified results that anyone can reuse in future missions, with reuse governed by our licensing terms.

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Poisson Approximation for Dependent Trials 3: For Independent Trials with max p_i ≤ λ/2, |Eh(W) − 𝒫_λh + (Σp_i²)𝒫_λU_λh| ≤ (24 + 96√2)λ⁻¹Σp_i³Research Paper

Motivation

The number of successes in many rare, roughly independent trials is approximately Poisson. This law of small numbers is used for counts of rare events in reliability, insurance, epidemiology, queueing and random combinatorics. A quantitative version says how large the error is. For independent Bernoulli trials with success probabilities p1,…,pnp_1,\dots,p_np1​,…,pn​ and λ=∑pi\lambda=\sum p_iλ=∑pi​, Le Cam (1960) showed that the error in total variation is of order ∑pi2\sum p_i^2∑pi2​. When all pip_ipi​ are small this tends to zero, but it does not say what the leading part of the error is.

L. H. Y. Chen's 1975 paper (Ann. Probab. 3, 534–545) adapted Charles Stein's method for normal approximation to the Poisson case. The result is now called the Stein–Chen method. The paper's §2–§4 give first-order error bounds for dependent (mixing) trials. Its §5, "A refinement", goes one order further for independent trials. It identifies the first-order correction explicitly and shows that what remains is of order λ−1∑pi3\lambda^{-1}\sum p_i^3λ−1∑pi3​. Kerstan (1964) had obtained a similar expansion by a different method. Chen's version comes from iterating the basic identity of the Stein–Chen method. This mission formalizes §5.

Timeline:

  • 1953: Prohorov bounds the distance between the binomial and the Poisson law.
  • 1960: Le Cam proves the ∑pi2\sum p_i^2∑pi2​ bound for independent, non-identical trials. Hodges and Le Cam give a short proof.
  • 1964: Kerstan gives a refinement of the Prohorov–Le Cam bounds.
  • 1975: Chen introduces the Stein–Chen method. It gives first-order bounds under Ibragimov's mixing condition and the second-order expansion (Theorem 5.1) for independent trials.

Setting

Let X1,…,XnX_1,\dots,X_nX1​,…,Xn​ be independent random variables on a probability space, each taking only the values 000 and 111, with success probabilities pi=P(Xi=1)p_i=P(X_i=1)pi​=P(Xi​=1). Put

W=∑i=1nXi,λ=∑i=1npi,W(i)=∑k≠iXk,λ(i)=∑j≠ipj.W=\sum_{i=1}^nX_i,\qquad\lambda=\sum_{i=1}^np_i,\qquad W^{(i)}=\sum_{k\ne i}X_k,\qquad\lambda^{(i)}=\sum_{j\ne i}p_j .W=i=1∑n​Xi​,λ=i=1∑n​pi​,W(i)=k=i∑​Xk​,λ(i)=j=i∑​pj​.

For a bounded real function hhh on the nonnegative integers, the Poisson expectation is

Pλh=e−λ∑k=0∞h(k)λkk!,\mathscr P_\lambda h=e^{-\lambda}\sum_{k=0}^\infty h(k)\frac{\lambda^k}{k!},Pλ​h=e−λk=0∑∞​h(k)k!λk​,

the mean of hhh under the Poisson law with parameter λ\lambdaλ. The Stein equation is wf(w)−λf(w+1)=h(w)−Pλhwf(w)-\lambda f(w+1)=h(w)-\mathscr P_\lambda hwf(w)−λf(w+1)=h(w)−Pλ​h. For w≥1w\ge1w≥1 its solution is

Sλh(w)=−(w−1)! λ−w∑k=0w−1[h(k)−Pλh]λkk!.S_\lambda h(w)=-(w-1)!\,\lambda^{-w}\sum_{k=0}^{w-1}\bigl[h(k)-\mathscr P_\lambda h\bigr]\frac{\lambda^k}{k!}.Sλ​h(w)=−(w−1)!λ−wk=0∑w−1​[h(k)−Pλ​h]k!λk​.

Write Δf(w)=f(w+1)−f(w)\Delta f(w)=f(w+1)-f(w)Δf(w)=f(w+1)−f(w) and Lf(w)=f(w+1)Lf(w)=f(w+1)Lf(w)=f(w+1). Chen's second-order operator is

Uλh(w)=ΔSλh(w+1)=Sλh(w+2)−Sλh(w+1),w≥0.U_\lambda h(w)=\Delta S_\lambda h(w+1)=S_\lambda h(w+2)-S_\lambda h(w+1),\qquad w\ge0 .Uλ​h(w)=ΔSλ​h(w+1)=Sλ​h(w+2)−Sλ​h(w+1),w≥0.

For another parameter b>0b>0b>0, SbUλhS_bU_\lambda hSb​Uλ​h and UbUλhU_bU_\lambda hUb​Uλ​h apply the Stein solution and the operator with parameter bbb to the function UλhU_\lambda hUλ​h.

In Lean: poissonExp, stein, delta, shiftL, stU, prob, lam, lamExcept, W, Wi, all in the namespace PoissonDepTrials.SecondOrder.

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem 5.1, (5.7)

If X1,…,XnX_1,\dots,X_nX1​,…,Xn​ are independent, n≥2n\ge2n≥2 and pˉ=max⁡ipi≤λ/2\bar p=\max_ip_i\le\lambda/2pˉ​=maxi​pi​≤λ/2, then for every hhh with ∣h∣≤1|h|\le1∣h∣≤1,

∣Eh(W)−Pλh+(∑i=1npi2)PλUλh∣≤(24+962)λ−1∑i=1npi3.\Bigl|Eh(W)-\mathscr P_\lambda h+\Bigl(\sum_{i=1}^np_i^2\Bigr)\mathscr P_\lambda U_\lambda h\Bigr|\le\bigl(24+96\sqrt2\bigr)\lambda^{-1}\sum_{i=1}^np_i^3 .​Eh(W)−Pλ​h+(i=1∑n​pi2​)Pλ​Uλ​h​≤(24+962​)λ−1i=1∑n​pi3​.

The paper writes the constant as "an absolute constant CCC not greater than 24+96(2)1/224+96(2)^{1/2}24+96(2)1/2". The formal goal fixes CCC at that value, which is the same statement.

Milestones

In order: the Stein solution (2.3)/(2.5); the difference identity (3.6); Lemmas 3.1, 3.2, 3.3 and 3.5 (bounds on SλhS_\lambda hSλ​h and ΔSλh\Delta S_\lambda hΔSλ​h); the first-order identity (5.8) Eh(W)=Pλh−∑ipi2EUλh(W(i))Eh(W)=\mathscr P_\lambda h-\sum_ip_i^2EU_\lambda h(W^{(i)})Eh(W)=Pλ​h−∑i​pi2​EUλ​h(W(i)); Lemmas 5.1 and 5.2 (dependence of Poisson expectations on the parameter); Lemmas 5.3–5.5 (bounds on Pb∣LmUλh∣\mathscr P_b|L^mU_\lambda h|Pb​∣LmUλ​h∣, SbUλhS_bU_\lambda hSb​Uλ​h and UbUλhU_bU_\lambda hUb​Uλ​h); the bound (5.9),

∣Eh(W)−Pλh+(∑pi2)PλUλh∣≤24λ−1∑ipi3+96λ−1∑i∑j≠ipi2pj2λ(i);\Bigl|Eh(W)-\mathscr P_\lambda h+\Bigl(\sum p_i^2\Bigr)\mathscr P_\lambda U_\lambda h\Bigr|\le24\lambda^{-1}\sum_ip_i^3+96\lambda^{-1}\sum_i\sum_{j\ne i}\frac{p_i^2p_j^2}{\lambda^{(i)}};​Eh(W)−Pλ​h+(∑pi2​)Pλ​Uλ​h​≤24λ−1i∑​pi3​+96λ−1i∑​j=i∑​λ(i)pi2​pj2​​;

and the closing inequality λ−1∑ipi2∑j≠ipj2/λ(i)≤2 λ−1∑ipi3\lambda^{-1}\sum_ip_i^2\sum_{j\ne i}p_j^2/\lambda^{(i)}\le\sqrt2\,\lambda^{-1}\sum_ip_i^3λ−1∑i​pi2​∑j=i​pj2​/λ(i)≤2​λ−1∑i​pi3​.

Significance

The theorem gives an explicit first correction to the Poisson approximation of a Poisson-binomial law, with a remainder of the next order. When all pip_ipi​ equal ppp, the first-order error ∑pi2=λp\sum p_i^2=\lambda p∑pi2​=λp is replaced by the remainder λ−1∑pi3=p2\lambda^{-1}\sum p_i^3=p^2λ−1∑pi3​=p2, which is smaller by the factor λ\lambdaλ. The correction term is a functional of the Poisson law alone, −(∑pi2)PλUλh-(\sum p_i^2)\mathscr P_\lambda U_\lambda h−(∑pi2​)Pλ​Uλ​h. It can be evaluated without knowing the distribution of WWW. The method of proof applies the basic identity twice. The paper notes that further iteration gives expansions to any order.

On the formal side, Mathlib has the Poisson distribution but no Stein–Chen machinery and no quantitative Poisson approximation. The theorem has, as far as is known, no machine-checked proof. This mission produces the Stein solution and its standard bounds (Lemmas 3.1–3.5), which are reusable by any Stein–Chen argument. It also produces the parameter-perturbation estimates of Lemmas 5.1–5.2 and a complete second-order expansion. Missions 1 and 2 of this series formalize the first-order bounds of §4 under a mixing condition. They share the Stein-solution layer.

Difficulty

The first-order bound needs only that ΔSλh\Delta S_\lambda hΔSλ​h is uniformly small (Lemma 3.4). A second-order bound needs more. After the first application of the identity, the error ∑pi2EUλh(W(i))\sum p_i^2EU_\lambda h(W^{(i)})∑pi2​EUλ​h(W(i)) has to be expanded again. That requires control of the iterated operator UbUλhU_bU_\lambda hUb​Uλ​h with a different parameter b=λ(i)b=\lambda^{(i)}b=λ(i), because W(i)W^{(i)}W(i) is approximately Poisson with mean λ(i)\lambda^{(i)}λ(i), not λ\lambdaλ. The bound on UbUλhU_bU_\lambda hUb​Uλ​h (Lemma 5.5) grows linearly in ∣w−λ∣|w-\lambda|∣w−λ∣. Applying the uniform bounds of §3 throughout loses a factor λ1/2\lambda^{1/2}λ1/2 and produces an error of order λ−1/2∑pi3\lambda^{-1/2}\sum p_i^3λ−1/2∑pi3​ instead of λ−1∑pi3\lambda^{-1}\sum p_i^3λ−1∑pi3​. The linear growth has to be paired with the variance of W(i,j)W^{(i,j)}W(i,j). The averaging over pairs (i,j)(i,j)(i,j) in the final step uses the condition pˉ≤λ/2\bar p\le\lambda/2pˉ​≤λ/2, which keeps every λ(i)\lambda^{(i)}λ(i) comparable to λ\lambdaλ.

Formalization scope

Conventions committed to in Lean:

  • The trials are a sequence X : ℕ → Ω → ℕ. Each XiX_iXi​ is measurable with values in {0,1}\{0,1\}{0,1} almost surely. Xi≡0X_i\equiv0Xi​≡0 for i=0i=0i=0 and i>ni>ni>n, which is the paper's own padding convention (p. 535). Independence is iIndepFun (fun i => X i) P over all of ℕ. Because the padding variables are constants, this is equivalent to independence of X1,…,XnX_1,\dots,X_nX1​,…,Xn​.
  • pip_ipi​ is defined from XXX, not taken as a parameter.
  • ∥h∥\|h\|∥h∥ is replaced by an arbitrary bound MMM with ∣h(k)∣≤M|h(k)|\le M∣h(k)∣≤M for all kkk. The norm of SλhS_\lambda hSλ​h is taken over its domain w≥1w\ge1w≥1.
  • pˉ≤λ/2\bar p\le\lambda/2pˉ​≤λ/2 is written as pi≤λ/2p_i\le\lambda/2pi​≤λ/2 for every i∈{1,…,n}i\in\{1,\dots,n\}i∈{1,…,n}.
  • The goal assumes neither λ>0\lambda>0λ>0 nor integrability. Every function involved is bounded, so every expectation and Poisson sum is genuine. At λ=0\lambda=0λ=0 both sides of (5.7) vanish.

Hypotheses added relative to the page, each disclosed in the item's Formalization Note:

  • λ>0\lambda>0λ>0 in the §3 and §5 lemmas, in (5.8) and in (5.9). These divide by λ\lambdaλ, by bbb or by λ(i)\lambda^{(i)}λ(i).
  • b>0b>0b>0 in Lemmas 5.3–5.5, which is the standing range of §5.
  • Boundedness of fff in Lemma 5.2. The lemma is only applied to bounded functions.

The random indices I,JI,JI,J that the paper introduces to shorten notation in (5.8)–(5.9) are not formalized. The same quantities are written as finite sums over indices.

Ruled out: the second-order term must be the operator Uλh=ΔSλh(⋅+1)U_\lambda h=\Delta S_\lambda h(\cdot+1)Uλ​h=ΔSλ​h(⋅+1) built from the Stein solution exactly as on p. 543. A free function, or UλhU_\lambda hUλ​h evaluated at the junk value Sλh(0)S_\lambda h(0)Sλ​h(0), would empty the theorem.

Welcome contributions include:

  • the Stein-solution bounds of §3, which are reusable well beyond this paper;
  • Poisson-sum manipulations (Lemmas 5.1–5.2);
  • the independence bookkeeping that turns (2.6) into (5.8).

Selected references

  • L. H. Y. Chen, Poisson approximation for dependent trials, Ann. Probab. 3(3):534–545, 1975. https://doi.org/10.1214/aop/1176996359
  • L. Le Cam, An approximation theorem for the Poisson binomial distribution, Pacific J. Math. 10:1181–1197, 1960. https://doi.org/10.2140/pjm.1960.10.1181
  • J. L. Hodges and L. Le Cam, The Poisson approximation to the Poisson binomial distribution, Ann. Math. Statist. 31:737–740, 1960. https://doi.org/10.1214/aoms/1177705799
  • J. Kerstan, Verallgemeinerung eines Satzes von Prochorow und Le Cam, Z. Wahrscheinlichkeitstheorie verw. Gebiete 2:173–179, 1964. https://doi.org/10.1007/BF00533419
  • C. Stein, A bound for the error in the normal approximation to the distribution of a sum of dependent random variables, Proc. Sixth Berkeley Symp. Math. Statist. Prob. 2, 1972. https://projecteuclid.org/euclid.bsmsp/1200514239
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CombinatoricsDynamic ProgrammingGraph Theory+1·Captain: mikedeng1

The Complexity of Markov Decision Processes IV: In a Deterministic Process a Cheapest T-Arc Walk Is a Walk of Fewer Than n³ Arcs Plus One Repeated CycleResearch Paper

Motivation

Finite-horizon Markov decision processes ask which decisions minimize accumulated cost over a specified number of stages. In a stationary process, the same costs and transitions apply at every stage. This compact input can describe a horizon TTT much larger than the state set, so a method that processes all TTT stages one by one may take time exponential in the length of the written horizon. Papadimitriou and Tsitsiklis identified this issue while comparing sequential and parallel algorithms for decision processes. For the deterministic stationary case, their Theorem 5 states an NC classification, supported by a finite structural description of a cheapest long walk. Papadimitriou and Tsitsiklis (1987)

The structural description is the subject of this mission. It connects a policy optimization problem to bounded-length graph objects and an exact cost identity. This is useful independently of a particular model of parallel computation: it says which shorter walk and cycle costs determine the answer even when the horizon is very large. Papadimitriou and Tsitsiklis (1987), p. 447

Setting

Let SSS be a finite nonempty set of states, with n=∣S∣n=|S|n=∣S∣, and fix an initial state s0s_0s0​. At each state sss, a finite nonempty set DsD_sDs​ contains the available decisions. A decision d∈Dsd\in D_sd∈Ds​ has a certain successor state next⁡(s,d)\operatorname{next}(s,d)next(s,d) and a real cost c(s,d)c(s,d)c(s,d). The model is stationary: these data do not depend on time. The corresponding directed graph has one arc for each decision. It may have loops and parallel arcs, because distinct decisions can share endpoints. This is the deterministic graph translation made in §3 of the paper. Papadimitriou and Tsitsiklis (1987), pp. 444–445

A policy is a function δ(s,t)∈Ds\delta(s,t)\in D_sδ(s,t)∈Ds​ of both state and time. Starting at s0s_0s0​, it produces st+1=next⁡(st,δ(st,t))s_{t+1}=\operatorname{next}(s_t,\delta(s_t,t))st+1​=next(st​,δ(st​,t)). In the convention of the paragraph before Theorem 5, horizon TTT means TTT decisions and therefore a walk with TTT arcs. Its cost is

JT(s0,δ)=∑t=0T−1c(st,δ(st,t)),JT∗(s0)=inf⁡δJT(s0,δ).J_T(s_0,\delta)=\sum_{t=0}^{T-1}c(s_t,\delta(s_t,t)),\qquad J_T^*(s_0)=\inf_\delta J_T(s_0,\delta).JT​(s0​,δ)=t=0∑T−1​c(st​,δ(st​,t)),JT∗​(s0​)=δinf​JT​(s0​,δ).

A walk records the states and the decision arc used at each step; states may repeat. A simple path has no repeated state. A simple cycle has positive length, returns to its starting state, and has no other repeated state. A closed walk may repeat states internally and need not be a simple cycle. The distinction matters because the structural claim uses a simple cycle, whereas the computation in the target identity uses a cheapest closed walk of a chosen length.

Formalization targets

The first milestone identifies JT∗(s0)J_T^*(s_0)JT∗​(s0​) with the minimum cost of a TTT-arc walk from s0s_0s0​. The next milestones record a decomposition into a simple path and simple cycles, the restriction on cycles repeated more than nnn times, and the existence of a cheapest walk with a short prefix and one repeated simple cycle. These are claims in the paragraph preceding Theorem 5, with corrections to the printed exchange and its connectivity justification documented in the formal statements. Papadimitriou and Tsitsiklis (1987), p. 447

For l≤Tl\le Tl≤T and u∈Su\in Su∈S, let wl,uw_{l,u}wl,u​ be the cheapest lll-arc walk from s0s_0s0​ that visits uuu. Let rk,ur_{k,u}rk,u​ be the cheapest closed kkk-arc walk at uuu. Only choices for which these walks exist are included. The mission's goal is

JT∗(s0)=min⁡l≤T, l<n3, u∈S,1≤k≤n, k∣T−l(wl,u+T−lk rk,u),T>n2.J_T^*(s_0)=\min_{\substack{l\le T,\ l<n^3,\ u\in S,\\1\le k\le n,\ k\mid T-l}}\left(w_{l,u}+\frac{T-l}{k}\,r_{k,u}\right),\qquad T>n^2.JT∗​(s0​)=l≤T, l<n3, u∈S,1≤k≤n, k∣T−l​min​(wl,u​+kT−l​rk,u​),T>n2.

The l<n3l<n^3l<n3 bound is the paper's finite compression claim. The divisibility condition makes (T−l)/k(T-l)/k(T−l)/k an integer number of cycle copies. The goal states an exact value, with the inner minima taken over genuine walks and the outer optimum still taken over all policies. Papadimitriou and Tsitsiklis (1987), p. 447

Significance

The identity replaces an optimization over arbitrarily many time-dependent policy decisions with costs of walks having fewer than n3n^3n3 arcs and closed walks of at most nnn arcs. It gives the mathematical statement that must hold before the paper's proposed parallel calculation can be trusted. It also applies when several different decisions have the same endpoints, because each decision remains a separate weighted arc. Papadimitriou and Tsitsiklis (1987), pp. 445, 447

The paper proves the result informally and states the NC classification. The mission seeks machine-checked proofs of the graph and cost statements, including the printed argument's delicate boundary cases. The local proposal contains open Lean theorem statements, not proofs. Reusable outcomes include a decision-walk representation, a cycle decomposition that preserves the multiset of arcs, and finite-horizon policy-to-walk equivalence. A related published result, TropicalLA.exists_repeat, detects repetition for dense max-plus matrices; it does not state this weighted multigraph decomposition or the min-cost identity.

Difficulty

The obstacle is preserving both walk feasibility and the exact number of arcs when repeated cycles are rearranged. A cycle may be the only connection to other parts of a walk, so deleting its last copy can invalidate the remaining sequence. The printed exchange paragraph also reverses the cost-improving direction and appeals to a no-ties perturbation without carrying it through the bounded-prefix conclusion. Those issues affect the claimed n3n^3n3 bound; merely knowing that a long walk repeats a vertex does not establish the target identity. Papadimitriou and Tsitsiklis (1987), p. 447

Formalization scope

Lean represents SSS and each DsD_sDs​ as finite types and uses real costs. The decision sets are nonempty, making policies and arbitrarily long walks available. Policies depend on state and time, as in §2. A walk stores its decisions as well as its states, so loops and parallel arcs are represented. Cycle decompositions preserve endpoints, length, cost, and the multiset of decision arcs. A loop is a simple cycle of length one. Time starts at zero, and an lll-arc walk has states at indices 0,…,l0,\ldots,l0,…,l.

The paper's general finite-horizon definition sums costs from 000 through TTT, while the Theorem 5 paragraph explicitly asks for a TTT-arc walk. This mission follows the latter convention: decisions occur at 0,…,T−10,\ldots,T-10,…,T−1. The goal also imposes l≤Tl\le Tl≤T, which the printed loop leaves implicit, and uses a closed walk for rk,ur_{k,u}rk,u​ because that is what the length-kkk graph calculation computes. It does not assume distinct walk costs. The condition T>n2T>n^2T>n2 is retained from the paper even though related identities may hold in other ranges. Papadimitriou and Tsitsiklis (1987), pp. 444, 447

Theorem 5's NC membership, processor and parallel-time bounds, the membership-in-P discussion, log-space reductions, PSPACE membership, and Corollaries 1–2 are outside this mission. Mathlib does not supply the PRAM and complexity-class framework those claims require. The target is the exact cost identity behind the algorithm. Defining the optimum directly as the right-hand minimum, restricting policies to stationary policies, or allowing an empty policy class would trivialize or change it. Contributions proving the milestones, the goal, or reusable walk and cycle facts are welcome.

Selected references

  • Christos H. Papadimitriou and John N. Tsitsiklis, The Complexity of Markov Decision Processes, Mathematics of Operations Research 12(3), 441–450, 1987. DOI: 10.1287/moor.12.3.441
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Poisson Approximation for Dependent Trials 1: For φ-Mixing Bernoulli Trials, |Eh(W) − 𝒫_λh| ≤ 6 min(λ^{−1/2}, 1)[Var W − λ + 2(2m+1)Σp_i² + 4(λ+1)nφ(m+1)]Research Paper

Motivation

A sum of many rare events is approximately Poisson. For independent Bernoulli trials this is the classical law of small numbers, and its quantitative form goes back to Prohorov (1953) and Le Cam (1960): if X1,…,XnX_1,\dots,X_nX1​,…,Xn​ are independent with P(Xi=1)=piP(X_i=1)=p_iP(Xi​=1)=pi​, then the law of W=∑iXiW=\sum_i X_iW=∑i​Xi​ is close to the Poisson law with mean λ=∑ipi\lambda=\sum_i p_iλ=∑i​pi​, with an error controlled by ∑ipi2\sum_i p_i^2∑i​pi2​. Many applications need the same conclusion for dependent trials: runs and clusters in sequences, exceedances of a stationary time series, matches in DNA sequences, extremes of mixing processes.

Louis H. Y. Chen's 1975 paper adapted Charles Stein's method for normal approximation (1970, published 1972) to the Poisson case and obtained explicit error bounds for sums of dependent Bernoulli trials under mixing and mmm-dependence. The technique, now called the Stein–Chen method, became the standard tool for Poisson approximation, through Arratia, Goldstein and Gordon (1989) and Barbour, Holst and Janson, Poisson Approximation (1992).

Timeline:

  • 1953–1960. Prohorov and Le Cam bound the error of the Poisson approximation for independent trials.
  • 1964. Kerstan extends Le Cam's bounds to independent nonnegative integer-valued variables.
  • 1970. Stein introduces his method for normal approximation of dependent sums (Berkeley Symposium, proceedings 1972).
  • 1975. Chen proves Poisson approximation bounds for φ\varphiφ-mixing and mmm-dependent trials (this mission).
  • 1989–1992. Arratia–Goldstein–Gordon and Barbour–Holst–Janson give local-dependence and total-variation versions.

Setting

Let (Ω,F,P)(\Omega,\mathcal F,P)(Ω,F,P) be a probability space and X1,…,XnX_1,\dots,X_nX1​,…,Xn​ Bernoulli random variables, possibly dependent, with success probabilities pi=P(Xi=1)p_i=P(X_i=1)pi​=P(Xi​=1). Put

W=∑i=1nXi,λ=∑i=1npi.W=\sum_{i=1}^n X_i,\qquad \lambda=\sum_{i=1}^n p_i .W=i=1∑n​Xi​,λ=i=1∑n​pi​.

For a real function hhh on the nonnegative integers, the Poisson expectation of hhh is

Pλh=e−λ∑k=0∞h(k)λkk!,\mathcal P_\lambda h=e^{-\lambda}\sum_{k=0}^\infty h(k)\frac{\lambda^k}{k!},Pλ​h=e−λk=0∑∞​h(k)k!λk​,

the mean of hhh under the Poisson distribution with parameter λ\lambdaλ. The quantity to be bounded is ∣Eh(W)−Pλh∣|Eh(W)-\mathcal P_\lambda h|∣Eh(W)−Pλ​h∣ for all hhh with ∣h∣≤1|h|\le1∣h∣≤1; its supremum over such hhh is twice the total variation distance between the law of WWW and the Poisson law.

Dependence is measured by Ibragimov's mixing condition. Write Ma,b\mathcal M_{a,b}Ma,b​ for the σ\sigmaσ-algebra generated by Xa,…,XbX_a,\dots,X_bXa​,…,Xb​ and Ma,∞\mathcal M_{a,\infty}Ma,∞​ for that generated by Xa,Xa+1,…X_a,X_{a+1},\dotsXa​,Xa+1​,…. The sequence satisfies (4.1) with a nonincreasing sequence φ(k)↓0\varphi(k)\downarrow0φ(k)↓0 if, for all j,k≥1j,k\ge1j,k≥1 and every event B∈Mj+k,∞B\in\mathcal M_{j+k,\infty}B∈Mj+k,∞​,

∣P(B∣M1j)−P(B)∣≤φ(k)almost surely.\bigl|P(B\mid\mathcal M_{1j})-P(B)\bigr|\le\varphi(k)\quad\text{almost surely}.​P(B∣M1j​)−P(B)​≤φ(k)almost surely.

Thus φ(k)\varphi(k)φ(k) bounds how much knowledge of the first jjj trials can change the probability of an event determined by trials at distance at least kkk. A sequence is mmm-dependent if (X1,…,Xr)(X_1,\dots,X_r)(X1​,…,Xr​) and (Xr+k,Xr+k+1,… )(X_{r+k},X_{r+k+1},\dots)(Xr+k​,Xr+k+1​,…) are independent whenever k>mk>mk>m; then (4.1) holds with φ(k)=0\varphi(k)=0φ(k)=0 for k>mk>mk>m, and independent trials are the case m=0m=0m=0.

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem 4.1 (p. 541)

For every m=0,1,2,…m=0,1,2,\dotsm=0,1,2,… and every hhh with ∣h∣≤1|h|\le1∣h∣≤1,

∣Eh(W)−Pλh∣≤6min⁡(λ−1/2,1)[Var⁡(W)−λ+2(2m+1)∑i=1npi2+4(λ+1) n φ(m+1)].\bigl|Eh(W)-\mathcal P_\lambda h\bigr|\le6\min(\lambda^{-1/2},1)\Bigl[\operatorname{Var}(W)-\lambda+2(2m+1)\sum_{i=1}^np_i^2+4(\lambda+1)\,n\,\varphi(m+1)\Bigr].​Eh(W)−Pλ​h​≤6min(λ−1/2,1)[Var(W)−λ+2(2m+1)i=1∑n​pi2​+4(λ+1)nφ(m+1)].

The parameter mmm is free: it trades the local term 2(2m+1)∑pi22(2m+1)\sum p_i^22(2m+1)∑pi2​ against the mixing term nφ(m+1)n\varphi(m+1)nφ(m+1).

Consequences

  • Theorem 4.3, (4.20). For mmm-dependent trials the mixing term vanishes:
∣Eh(W)−Pλh∣≤6min⁡(λ−1/2,1)[∑∑i≠jCov⁡(Xi,Xj)+(4m+1)∑i=1npi2].\bigl|Eh(W)-\mathcal P_\lambda h\bigr|\le6\min(\lambda^{-1/2},1)\Bigl[\sum\sum_{i\ne j}\operatorname{Cov}(X_i,X_j)+(4m+1)\sum_{i=1}^np_i^2\Bigr].​Eh(W)−Pλ​h​≤6min(λ−1/2,1)[∑i=j∑​Cov(Xi​,Xj​)+(4m+1)i=1∑n​pi2​].
  • Corollary 4.1 (Le Cam), (4.22). For independent trials, ∣Eh(W)−Pλh∣≤6min⁡(λ−1/2,1)∑ipi2|Eh(W)-\mathcal P_\lambda h|\le6\min(\lambda^{-1/2},1)\sum_ip_i^2∣Eh(W)−Pλ​h∣≤6min(λ−1/2,1)∑i​pi2​.

Milestones

The milestones follow the paper's proof:

  1. the basic identity (2.2) for E[Wf(W)−λf(W+1)]E[Wf(W)-\lambda f(W+1)]E[Wf(W)−λf(W+1)], valid for any dependence;
  2. the solution SλhS_\lambda hSλ​h of the Stein equation (2.3)–(2.5), and the resulting representation (2.6) of Eh(W)−PλhEh(W)-\mathcal P_\lambda hEh(W)−Pλ​h;
  3. the bounds on SλhS_\lambda hSλ​h and ΔSλh\Delta S_\lambda hΔSλ​h (Lemmas 3.1–3.4);
  4. the covariance inequalities under mixing (Lemmas 4.1–4.3, 4.6);
  5. the variance identity (4.7), the bound (4.8), the inequality (4.10) and Lemma 4.5.

Significance

The theorem bounds the distance to the Poisson law by quantities a user can compute or estimate: the variance of WWW, the pip_ipi​, and the mixing rate. When the trials are weakly dependent and individually rare, Var⁡(W)≈λ\operatorname{Var}(W)\approx\lambdaVar(W)≈λ, ∑pi2\sum p_i^2∑pi2​ is small, and the bound is small. It recovers Le Cam's independent-case bound up to the constant and extends it to mmm-dependent and φ\varphiφ-mixing sequences. The expansion (2.6) and the bounds on the Stein solution in §3 are reused throughout the later literature on the Stein–Chen method.

The results of this paper are proved on paper; none of them is formalized in a proof assistant. Mathlib has the Poisson distribution, conditional expectation, independence and regular conditional distributions, but no Stein–Chen identity, no bounds on the Stein solution, and no covariance inequality for φ\varphiφ-mixing sequences. This mission produces all three, and the companion missions of this series (Theorem 4.2, an order-λ−1\lambda^{-1}λ−1 bound, and Theorem 5.1, a second-order refinement for independent trials) rely on the same objects.

Difficulty

The identities (2.2), (2.6) and (4.7) are finite manipulations, and the bounds of §3 on SλhS_\lambda hSλ​h are elementary real analysis. The main difficulty is the transfer of the mixing condition from events to functions. Condition (4.1) bounds conditional probabilities of single events almost surely, with a null set that depends on the event. Lemma 4.2 needs a bound on EYf(Y,Z)−EYf(Y,Z′)E^Yf(Y,Z)-E^Yf(Y,Z')EYf(Y,Z)−EYf(Y,Z′) for an arbitrary bounded function of a past vector YYY and a future vector ZZZ; this requires a regular conditional distribution of ZZZ given YYY and one null set that works for all events at once (Lemma 4.1). That step uses that Rs\mathbb R^sRs is a standard Borel space, and it fails for an argument that handles one event at a time. Lemma 4.3 then needs care with the independent copy Z′Z'Z′ and with the three-block decomposition.

Formalization scope

All objects are defined in PoissonDepTrials.MixSqrt.Setting. The conventions are:

  • The trials are a sequence X:N→Ω→NX:\mathbb N\to\Omega\to\mathbb NX:N→Ω→N, measurable, with values in {0,1}\{0,1\}{0,1} almost surely, and identically zero at index 000 and at indices above nnn. The zero padding is the paper's own convention (p. 535), and it changes no σ\sigmaσ-algebra.
  • pip_ipi​ is defined as P(Xi=1)P(X_i=1)P(Xi​=1), not taken as a parameter.
  • ∥h∥\|h\|∥h∥ is replaced by an arbitrary bound MMM with ∣h∣≤M|h|\le M∣h∣≤M. ∥Sλh∥\|S_\lambda h\|∥Sλ​h∥ is taken over w≥1w\ge1w≥1, the domain of SλhS_\lambda hSλ​h.
  • P(B∣M1j)P(B\mid\mathcal M_{1j})P(B∣M1j​) is the conditional expectation of the indicator of BBB. Measurability of every XiX_iXi​ is assumed wherever (4.1) is used.
  • mmm-dependence is stated for the tail σ\sigmaσ-algebra Mr+k,∞\mathcal M_{r+k,\infty}Mr+k,∞​, which is equivalent to the paper's finite blocks.
  • EYf(Y,Z′)E^Yf(Y,Z')EYf(Y,Z′), for Z′Z'Z′ an independent copy of ZZZ, is written as ∫f(Y,z) dPZ(z)\int f(Y,z)\,dP_Z(z)∫f(Y,z)dPZ​(z), without enlarging Ω\OmegaΩ.
  • In Lemma 4.1, "Borel space" is StandardBorelSpace.

Added hypotheses: λ>0\lambda>0λ>0 in the identity (2.6) and in Lemmas 3.3, 3.4 and (2.5), because SλhS_\lambda hSλ​h divides by λw\lambda^wλw; m≥1m\ge1m≥1 and a≥1a\ge1a≥1 in Lemmas 4.2 and 4.3, because (4.1) concerns lags ≥1\ge1≥1 of a sequence starting at X1X_1X1​. The goal has no hypothesis λ>0\lambda>0λ>0: at λ=0\lambda=0λ=0 every trial vanishes almost surely and both sides are zero.

The goal does not mention SλhS_\lambda hSλ​h, V(i)V^{(i)}V(i) or YijY_{ij}Yij​; it is stated only in terms of WWW, λ\lambdaλ, the pip_ipi​, Var⁡(W)\operatorname{Var}(W)Var(W), φ\varphiφ, mmm and hhh. The mixing condition is required to hold with a nonincreasing φ\varphiφ tending to 000, so it cannot be satisfied vacuously.

Reusable infrastructure includes the Stein–Chen identity (2.2), the bounds on the Stein solution (Lemmas 3.3, 3.4), and the covariance inequalities for φ\varphiφ-mixing sequences (Lemmas 4.2, 4.3), which apply beyond Poisson approximation. Proofs of any milestone are welcome, as are proofs of the companion results from the goal.

Selected references

  • L. H. Y. Chen, Poisson approximation for dependent trials, Ann. Probab. 3(3):534–545, 1975. https://doi.org/10.1214/aop/1176996359
  • C. Stein, A bound for the error in the normal approximation to the distribution of a sum of dependent random variables, Proc. Sixth Berkeley Symp. Math. Statist. Probab. 2:583–602, 1972. https://projecteuclid.org/euclid.bsmsp/1200514239
  • L. Le Cam, An approximation theorem for the Poisson binomial distribution, Pacific J. Math. 10(4):1181–1197, 1960. https://doi.org/10.2140/pjm.1960.10.1181
  • I. A. Ibragimov, Some limit theorems for stationary processes, Theory Probab. Appl. 7(4):349–382, 1962. https://doi.org/10.1137/1107036
  • R. Arratia, L. Goldstein, L. Gordon, Two moments suffice for Poisson approximations: the Chen–Stein method, Ann. Probab. 17(1):9–25, 1989. https://doi.org/10.1214/aop/1176991491
  • A. D. Barbour, L. Holst, S. Janson, Poisson Approximation, Oxford University Press, 1992. https://global.oup.com/academic/product/poisson-approximation-9780198522355
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Algorithmic Game TheoryOperations ResearchOptimization·Captain: mikedeng1

The Bargaining Problem: The Nash Product Maximizer Is the Unique Solution Satisfying Invariance, Symmetry, IIA and Pareto EfficiencyResearch Paper

Motivation

Two parties who can cooperate for mutual benefit must still agree on how to share the benefit. In The Bargaining Problem (Econometrica, 1950) John Nash asked which agreement two rational bargainers of equal skill should reach. His answer is not a model of haggling: it is a list of conditions any reasonable rule should satisfy, together with a proof that exactly one point of the set of feasible agreements is compatible with them. That point maximizes the product of the two parties' utility gains. Known as the Nash bargaining solution, it is the reference point of cooperative bargaining theory. Economics, operations research and networking all use it: in supply contracts, in wage bargaining, and in fair bandwidth allocation, where maximizing a product of gains becomes maximizing a sum of logarithms (proportional fairness).

Timeline:

  • 1944. von Neumann and Morgenstern axiomatize expected utility. A utility is determined up to a positive affine transformation au+bau+bau+b. Nash quotes this on p. 157.
  • 1950. Nash introduces the two-person bargaining problem and the axioms of Pareto efficiency, independence of irrelevant alternatives and symmetry, the solution being invariant under the choice of utility scales. He proves that they force the maximizer of the product u1u2u_1u_2u1​u2​ (doi:10.2307/1907266).
  • 1953. Nash's Two-Person Cooperative Games adds the threat game that fixes the disagreement point.
  • 1975. Kalai and Smorodinsky replace independence of irrelevant alternatives by monotonicity and obtain a different solution.
  • 1986. Binmore, Rubinstein and Wolinsky show that the Nash solution is the limit of equilibria of alternating-offers bargaining as the time between offers vanishes.

Setting

A bargaining problem is a pair ⟨S,d⟩\langle S,d\rangle⟨S,d⟩. Here S⊆R2S\subseteq\mathbb R^2S⊆R2 is the set of utility pairs u=(u1,u2)u=(u_1,u_2)u=(u1​,u2​) the two players can reach by agreement, including lotteries over agreements. d∈Sd\in Sd∈S is the disagreement point, the utilities of no cooperation. As in the platform goal, SSS is compact and convex, and some s∈Ss\in Ss∈S has s1>d1s_1>d_1s1​>d1​ and s2>d2s_2>d_2s2​>d2​ (both individuals could gain). Write B\mathcal BB for the set of such pairs.

A bargaining solution is a map ggg from B\mathcal BB to R2\mathbb R^2R2. Nash requires:

  • Selection. g(S,d)∈Sg(S,d)\in Sg(S,d)∈S.
  • PAR (Nash's assumption 6). If s,t∈Ss,t\in Ss,t∈S and ttt is strictly better than sss for both players, then g(S,d)≠sg(S,d)\neq sg(S,d)=s.
  • IIA (assumption 7). If S⊆TS\subseteq TS⊆T and g(T,d)∈Sg(T,d)\in Sg(T,d)∈S, then g(S,d)=g(T,d)g(S,d)=g(T,d)g(S,d)=g(T,d).
  • SYM (assumption 8). If d1=d2d_1=d_2d1​=d2​ and SSS is symmetric in the line u1=u2u_1=u_2u1​=u2​, then g(S,d)g(S,d)g(S,d) lies on that line.
  • INV. For L(s)=(α1s1+β1, α2s2+β2)L(s)=(\alpha_1s_1+\beta_1,\ \alpha_2s_2+\beta_2)L(s)=(α1​s1​+β1​, α2​s2​+β2​) with α1,α2>0\alpha_1,\alpha_2>0α1​,α2​>0, g(L(S),L(d))=L(g(S,d))g(L(S),L(d))=L(g(S,d))g(L(S),L(d))=L(g(S,d)).

The paper has no separate INV axiom. It normalizes the disagreement utility to 000 and notes that each utility is then determined only up to a positive multiple (p. 158), so the solution must not depend on that choice.

Formalization targets

Goal

The goal is the platform theorem NashBargaining.nash_bargaining_solution_unique, posed by Nickrobbins95 and currently Open. This mission references it and does not restate it. It asserts that there is a solution fff such that a solution ggg satisfies selection, INV, SYM, IIA and PAR if and only if g=fg=fg=f, and that for every ⟨S,d⟩∈B\langle S,d\rangle\in\mathcal B⟨S,d⟩∈B

f(S,d)≥d,(s1−d1)(s2−d2)<(f1−d1)(f2−d2)  for all s∈S, s≥d, s≠f(S,d).f(S,d)\ge d,\qquad (s_1-d_1)(s_2-d_2)<(f_1-d_1)(f_2-d_2)\ \text{ for all } s\in S,\ s\ge d,\ s\neq f(S,d).f(S,d)≥d,(s1​−d1​)(s2​−d2​)<(f1​−d1​)(f2​−d2​)  for all s∈S, s≥d, s=f(S,d).

Nash's paper proves the necessity half: a solution satisfying the conditions must select the maximizer of the Nash product. The sufficiency half, that the maximizer map satisfies the five conditions, is not argued in the paper. It must be supplied by whoever closes the goal.

Milestones

  1. On a compact convex S∋(0,0)S\ni(0,0)S∋(0,0) that contains a point where both players gain, u1u2u_1u_2u1​u2​ has exactly one strict maximizer ppp in the closed first quadrant, and p1,p2>0p_1,p_2>0p1​,p2​>0.
  2. Multiplying the utilities by positive constants maps the maximizer to the maximizer, so ppp may be moved to (1,1)(1,1)(1,1).
  3. If SSS is convex and (1,1)(1,1)(1,1) maximizes u1u2u_1u_2u1​u2​, then u1+u2≤2u_1+u_2\le2u1​+u2​≤2 on all of SSS.
  4. A compact SSS under that line lies in a square Qh={2−2h≤u1+u2≤2, ∣u1−u2∣≤h}Q_h=\{2-2h\le u_1+u_2\le2,\ |u_1-u_2|\le h\}Qh​={2−2h≤u1​+u2​≤2, ∣u1​−u2​∣≤h}.
  5. (1,1)(1,1)(1,1) is the only point of QhQ_hQh​ on the diagonal that no point of QhQ_hQh​ strictly dominates.
  6. Necessity. Under the five conditions, g(S,d)g(S,d)g(S,d) is the strict maximizer of (s1−d1)(s2−d2)(s_1-d_1)(s_2-d_2)(s1​−d1​)(s2​−d2​) over S∩{s≥d}S\cap\{s\ge d\}S∩{s≥d}.

Two further items formalize the paper's examples: the Bill–Jack barter, whose solution is the vertex (12,5)(12,5)(12,5) reached by exactly one exchange, and trade with money, where the solution gives equal money profits.

Significance

The Nash product characterization is used, mostly without proof, wherever a "fair" split of a cooperative surplus is needed. Examples are generalized Nash bargaining in supply-chain contracting and labour economics, the proportional-fairness criterion in network rate control, and the Nash-in-Nash models of bilateral negotiations. Many papers that build on it apply it to a specific feasible set. They therefore rely on the necessity direction, which is the step that makes the maximizer the unique answer rather than one answer among several.

The result has been proved since 1950, while the referenced Prove2Me goal remains Open. This mission supplies the milestones of Nash's own argument in the encoding of that goal, so that the necessity direction can be assembled from them. Sufficiency remains as separate work. The two examples are small, concrete checks of the solution concept.

Difficulty

Each step is elementary. The difficulty is in keeping the bookkeeping honest across the normalizations. The axioms are stated on the class B\mathcal BB, and a solution is a function on a subtype. Every application of INV, SYM or IIA therefore needs a membership proof for a transformed set: the image of SSS under an affine map, or the enclosing square. It also needs the disagreement point to be carried along. The tempting short cut is to argue "without loss of generality d=0d=0d=0 and p=(1,1)p=(1,1)p=(1,1)". That is exactly what INV licenses, but only after compactness, convexity, the point where both gain, and the location of ddd inside the square have been re-established for each transformed problem. Uniqueness of the maximizer also needs care at the boundary of the quadrant, where the product vanishes.

Formalization scope

Utility pairs are ℝ × ℝ, with u.1 player 1's utility and u.2 player 2's. Milestones 1–5 work at d=(0,0)d=(0,0)d=(0,0), the paper's normalization. Milestone 6 has a general ddd and the goal's encoding. Milestones 1–5 make the following readings explicit:

  • "First quadrant" is the closed quadrant u1≥0, u2≥0u_1\ge0,\ u_2\ge0u1​≥0, u2​≥0.
  • "The point where u1u2u_1u_2u1​u2​ is maximized" is the strict maximizer over SSS in that quadrant, in the goal's form. Milestone 1 also states p1,p2>0p_1,p_2>0p1​,p2​>0, which follows from the point where both gain (p. 158).
  • Milestone 3's hypothesis is the weak maximum s1s2≤1s_1s_2\le1s1​s2​≤1. Its conclusion covers every point of SSS, not only first-quadrant points.
  • The square is the explicit set QhQ_hQh​. Its compactness, convexity and literal symmetry (a,b)∈Qh  ⟺  (b,a)∈Qh(a,b)\in Q_h\iff(b,a)\in Q_h(a,b)∈Qh​⟺(b,a)∈Qh​ are part of milestone 4's conclusion.
  • "Satisfying assumptions (6) and (8)" in the square means lying on u1=u2u_1=u_2u1​=u2​ and being strictly dominated by no point of the square.

Milestone 6's five hypotheses are copied verbatim from the goal, and its conclusion is the goal's last conjunct for the given ggg. It does not restate the goal: it has no existence claim and no "if and only if".

Trivializing formalizations are ruled out. The point where both gain is a hypothesis wherever uniqueness is claimed; without it a segment on an axis has many maximizers of u1u2=0u_1u_2=0u1​u2​=0. The square is a concrete set, not "some symmetric compact convex set", and the solution's properties are quantified over the goal's class B\mathcal BB, which is nonempty.

The examples need finite sums, convex hulls of finite sets, and extreme points, all in Mathlib. Contributions are welcome on each milestone and on the sufficiency half of the goal.

Related platform work treats other bargaining models. These are Rubinstein's alternating-offers game (RubinsteinBargaining.PEP) and the Chatterjee–Samuelson sealed-offer double auction (ChatterjeeSamuelson). Neither is used here. The von Neumann–Morgenstern utility theorem behind the normalization is formalized as TheoryOfGames.Utility.utility_existence_uniqueness.

Selected references

  • J. F. Nash, Jr., The Bargaining Problem, Econometrica 18(2), 155–162, 1950. doi:10.2307/1907266
  • J. von Neumann, O. Morgenstern, Theory of Games and Economic Behavior, Princeton University Press, 1944.
  • J. F. Nash, Jr., Two-Person Cooperative Games, Econometrica 21(1), 128–140, 1953. doi:10.2307/1906951
  • E. Kalai, M. Smorodinsky, Other Solutions to Nash's Bargaining Problem, Econometrica 43(3), 513–518, 1975. doi:10.2307/1914280
  • K. Binmore, A. Rubinstein, A. Wolinsky, The Nash Bargaining Solution in Economic Modelling, RAND Journal of Economics 17(2), 176–188, 1986. doi:10.2307/2555382
  • M. J. Osborne, A. Rubinstein, Bargaining and Markets, Academic Press, 1990, Theorem 2.3.
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Complexity of Machine Scheduling Problems 7: Makespan Reduces to Total Completion Time on Identical Machines with Precedence ConstraintsResearch Paper

Motivation

Scheduling jobs on parallel machines under precedence constraints is the core model of project and parallel-processing scheduling: a job may start only after its predecessors have finished. Two criteria dominate the literature, the makespan Cmax⁡C_{\max}Cmax​ (when does the last job finish?) and the total completion time ∑jCj\sum_j C_j∑j​Cj​ (how long do jobs wait on average?). Knowing that one criterion is at least as hard as the other lets a hardness proof for one transfer to the other without a new reduction from a combinatorial problem.

Brucker, Lenstra and Rinnooy Kan's report Complexity of Machine Scheduling Problems (Mathematisch Centrum, 1975; later in Annals of Discrete Mathematics 1, 1977) collected the complexity status of the standard scheduling problems and stated a set of elementary reductions among them as Theorem 1. Part (l) reduces makespan to total completion time for identical machines with precedence constraints and bounded processing times.

Timeline.

  • 1971–1972: Cook (doi:10.1145/800157.805047) and Karp (doi:10.1007/978-1-4684-2001-2_9) introduce NP-completeness and polynomial reducibility.
  • 1975: Ullman (doi:10.1016/S0022-0000(75)80008-0) proves that the makespan problems n∣2∣I,prec,1≤pj1≤2∣Cmax⁡n|2|I,\mathit{prec},1\le p_{j1}\le 2|C_{\max}n∣2∣I,prec,1≤pj1​≤2∣Cmax​ and n∣m∣I,prec,pj1=1∣Cmax⁡n|m|I,\mathit{prec},p_{j1}=1|C_{\max}n∣m∣I,prec,pj1​=1∣Cmax​ are NP-complete, by reductions from 3-SATISFIABILITY.
  • 1975: Brucker, Lenstra and Rinnooy Kan state Theorem 1(l); their Table III (p. 13) applies it to Ullman's two problems and concludes that the corresponding total completion time problems are NP-complete.

Setting

An instance has nnn jobs J1,…,JnJ_1,\dots,J_nJ1​,…,Jn​, a number m≥1m \ge 1m≥1 of identical machines, a processing time pjp_jpj​ for each job, and a precedence relation <<< on the jobs: Jj<JkJ_j < J_kJj​<Jk​ means that JkJ_kJk​ may start only after JjJ_jJj​ has completed. Each job is one operation, processed without interruption on any one machine. For a constant p∗p_*p∗​, the class n∣m∣I,prec,1≤pj1≤p∗n|m|I,\mathit{prec},1\le p_{j1}\le p_*n∣m∣I,prec,1≤pj1​≤p∗​ requires 1≤pj≤p∗1 \le p_j \le p_*1≤pj​≤p∗​ for every job and an acyclic precedence relation.

A schedule assigns to every job a machine and a starting time Bj∈NB_j \in \mathbb NBj​∈N; the completion time is Cj=Bj+pjC_j = B_j + p_jCj​=Bj​+pj​. It is feasible if two jobs on the same machine never overlap and Jj<JkJ_j < J_kJj​<Jk​ implies Cj≤BkC_j \le B_kCj​≤Bk​.

Following the paper, each optimization problem is replaced by its recognition version. Problem P′P'P′ asks, for an instance and a threshold y′y'y′, whether some feasible schedule has Cmax⁡=max⁡jCj≤y′C_{\max} = \max_j C_j \le y'Cmax​=maxj​Cj​≤y′. Problem PPP asks, for an instance of the same class and a threshold yyy, whether some feasible schedule has ∑jCj≤y\sum_j C_j \le y∑j​Cj​≤y (all weights wj=1w_j = 1wj​=1).

P′P'P′ is reducible to PPP, written P′∝PP' \propto PP′∝P, if every instance of P′P'P′ can be transformed in polynomial time into an instance of PPP with the same answer.

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem 1(l)

For every constant p∗≥1p_* \ge 1p∗​≥1,

n′∣m∣I,prec,1≤pj1≤p∗∣Cmax⁡  ∝  n∣m∣I,prec,1≤pj1≤p∗,wj=1∣∑wjCj.n'|m|I,\mathit{prec},1\le p_{j1}\le p_*|C_{\max} \;\propto\; n|m|I,\mathit{prec},1\le p_{j1}\le p_*,w_j=1|\textstyle\sum w_jC_j .n′∣m∣I,prec,1≤pj1​≤p∗​∣Cmax​∝n∣m∣I,prec,1≤pj1​≤p∗​,wj​=1∣∑wj​Cj​.

Milestones

  1. A trivial upper bound. Every instance of P′P'P′ with n′n'n′ jobs has a feasible schedule with Cmax⁡≤n′p∗C_{\max} \le n'p_*Cmax​≤n′p∗​.
  2. The construction and the forward direction. For 0≤y′≤n′p∗0 \le y' \le n'p_*0≤y′≤n′p∗​ let n′′=(n′−1)y′n'' = (n'-1)y'n′′=(n′−1)y′, n=n′+n′′n = n'+n''n=n′+n′′ and y=ny′+12n′′(n′′+1)y = ny' + \tfrac12 n''(n''+1)y=ny′+21​n′′(n′′+1), and add n′′n''n′′ unit-time jobs Jn′+kJ_{n'+k}Jn′+k​, each required to follow every original job and every earlier added job. If P′P'P′ has a schedule with Cmax⁡≤y′C_{\max} \le y'Cmax​≤y′, the new instance has a feasible schedule with ∑jCj≤y\sum_j C_j \le y∑j​Cj​≤y.
  3. The backward direction. If every feasible schedule of P′P'P′ has Cmax⁡>y′C_{\max} > y'Cmax​>y′, every feasible schedule of the new instance has ∑jCj>y\sum_j C_j > y∑j​Cj​>y.

Significance

The result. Theorem 1(l) makes the total completion time problem at least as hard as the makespan problem in the same class. Combined with Ullman's NP-completeness results and Theorem 1(b) (reducibility transfers NP-completeness), it shows that minimizing ∑jCj\sum_j C_j∑j​Cj​ on identical machines with precedence constraints is NP-complete, already for two machines with pj∈{1,2}p_j \in \{1, 2\}pj​∈{1,2} and for unit processing times on mmm machines. These are two rows of the paper's Table III.

Formalizing it. The result is proved on one page of a typewritten report; no machine-checked version exists. The mission produces a scheduling model for identical machines with precedence constraints, binary languages for the two recognition problems, and the reduction in Cook's Turing-machine model. The proof's displayed bounds contain a misprinted index range, which the formal statements correct.

Difficulty

The two criteria are not monotonically related: a schedule with a smaller makespan can have a larger total completion time than one with a larger makespan. So the obvious reduction, keeping the instance and asking for ∑jCj≤n′y′\sum_j C_j \le n'y'∑j​Cj​≤n′y′, is not an equivalence: a no-instance of P′P'P′ can have a schedule with small total completion time. The instance has to be changed so that the total completion time is governed by the makespan, and the comparison of the two thresholds must be exact, including the strict inequality on the "no" side, which depends on integral completion times and positive processing times.

The main formal difficulty lies in the reduction itself. A polynomial-time Turing machine must decode the binary instance, check that it belongs to the class (including acyclicity of the precedence relation), compare y′y'y′ with n′p∗n'p_*n′p∗​, and write out an instance with n′′=(n′−1)y′n'' = (n'-1)y'n′′=(n′−1)y′ additional jobs and a quadratic-size precedence matrix. The size of that output is polynomial only because p∗p_*p∗​ is a constant: a version with p∗p_*p∗​ part of the input would make n′′n''n′′ exponential in the input length.

Formalization scope

  • Jobs and machines are indexed from 000 (Fin n, Fin m). Starting times are natural numbers; Section 3 derives all times from processing orders on nonnegative integer data, and both criteria are regular. "Cmax⁡≤yC_{\max} \le yCmax​≤y" is written as "Cj≤yC_j \le yCj​≤y for every jjj".
  • The precedence relation is a Boolean matrix. Its acyclicity and m≥1m \ge 1m≥1 are part of the problem class; the paper leaves both implicit, and the claim "any instance has a solution with Cmax⁡≤n′p∗C_{\max} \le n'p_*Cmax​≤n′p∗​" fails without them.
  • p∗p_*p∗​ is a constant of the class and a parameter of both languages, not part of the input. All weights in the target problem equal 111 and are not written.
  • The threshold y=ny′+12n′′(n′′+1)y = ny' + \tfrac12 n''(n''+1)y=ny′+21​n′′(n′′+1) is stated in Q\mathbb QQ exactly as printed in the milestones; it is an integer, and the reduction uses its natural-number value.
  • The paper's displayed bounds n′y′+∑k=n′+1n(y′+k)=yn'y' + \sum_{k=n'+1}^{n}(y'+k) = yn′y′+∑k=n′+1n​(y′+k)=y and y′+∑k=n′+1n(y′+1+k)=yy' + \sum_{k=n'+1}^{n}(y'+1+k) = yy′+∑k=n′+1n​(y′+1+k)=y have a misprinted index range (the sums must run over k=1,…,n′′k = 1,\dots,n''k=1,…,n′′). The milestones state the end-to-end bounds ∑jCj≤y\sum_j C_j \le y∑j​Cj​≤y and ∑jCj>y\sum_j C_j > y∑j​Cj​>y.
  • "Cmax⁡>y′C_{\max} > y'Cmax​>y′" in the backward direction is read as the negation of the forward hypothesis: no feasible schedule of P′P'P′ has Cmax⁡≤y′C_{\max} \le y'Cmax​≤y′.
  • "Reducible" is Cook's polynomial-time many-one reducibility from the published definition CookPvsNP_defs; numbers are written in binary with the alphabet and code encNats of the published definition ProjSchedTW.Complexity.Encoding (Neumann, Schwindt and Zimmermann's encoding). The unit-time model ResourceScheduling.Chain.Model (Błażewicz, Lenstra and Rinnooy Kan) has the same feasibility conditions but unit processing times and real start times, so the model here is defined anew.
  • A trivializing formalization is ruled out: the goal asserts a polynomial-time computable map, not the bare equivalence, and codes of instances outside the class are excluded from both languages, so the reduction cannot exploit malformed inputs.
  • Contributions welcome: proofs of the three milestones, a Turing-machine library for arithmetic on binary codes (reusable across this series), and a proof of the goal from the milestones.

Selected references

  • P. Brucker, J. K. Lenstra, A. H. G. Rinnooy Kan, Complexity of Machine Scheduling Problems, Mathematisch Centrum Report BW 43/75, Amsterdam, 1975; published in Annals of Discrete Mathematics 1 (1977) 343–362. doi:10.1016/S0167-5060(08)70743-X
  • J. D. Ullman, NP-complete scheduling problems, Journal of Computer and System Sciences 10 (1975) 384–393. doi:10.1016/S0022-0000(75)80008-0
  • S. A. Cook, The complexity of theorem-proving procedures, STOC 1971, 151–158. doi:10.1145/800157.805047
  • R. M. Karp, Reducibility among combinatorial problems, in Complexity of Computer Computations, Plenum, 1972, 85–103. doi:10.1007/978-1-4684-2001-2_9
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Complexity of Machine Scheduling Problems 6: DIRECTED HAMILTON PATH Reduces to No-Wait Flow Shop Makespan and Total Completion TimeResearch Paper

Motivation

In a no-wait flow shop every job passes through the machines M1,…,MmM_1,\dots,M_mM1​,…,Mm​ in the same order, and once it has started it may never wait between two machines. The constraint comes from processes in which the material changes state if it is left standing, such as hot metal rolling, chemical and food processing, and some pharmaceutical lines; see the survey of Hall and Sriskandarajah (doi:10.1287/opre.44.3.510). The question of how hard it is to schedule such a shop well is the question this mission formalizes.

Brucker, Lenstra and Rinnooy Kan settled it for the case in which the number of machines is part of the input. In their report Complexity of Machine Scheduling Problems (Mathematisch Centrum, 1975; journal version in Annals of Discrete Mathematics 1, 1977, doi:10.1016/S0167-5060(08)70743-X), Theorem 5 reduces DIRECTED HAMILTON PATH to the no-wait flow shop. Both minimizing the makespan Cmax⁡C_{\max}Cmax​ and minimizing the total completion time ∑Cj\sum C_j∑Cj​ are thereby NP-complete.

Timeline.

  • 1964: Gilmore and Gomory solve the two-machine no-wait flow shop with makespan in polynomial time (doi:10.1287/opre.12.5.655).
  • 1972: Wismer (doi:10.1287/opre.20.3.689) and Reddi and Ramamoorthy (doi:10.1057/jors.1972.52) show that no-wait makespan minimization is a travelling-salesman problem with arc weights computed from the processing times.
  • 1972: Karp proves DIRECTED HAMILTON CIRCUIT NP-complete (doi:10.1007/978-1-4684-2001-2_9).
  • 1975: Brucker, Lenstra and Rinnooy Kan reduce DIRECTED HAMILTON CIRCUIT to DIRECTED HAMILTON PATH (their Theorem 2(d)), and DIRECTED HAMILTON PATH to n∣m∣F,no wait∣Cmax⁡n|m|F,\textit{no wait}|C_{\max}n∣m∣F,no wait∣Cmax​ and to n∣m∣F,no wait,wj=1∣∑wjCjn|m|F,\textit{no wait},w_j=1|\sum w_jC_jn∣m∣F,no wait,wj​=1∣∑wj​Cj​ (Theorem 5).
  • 1984: Röck shows that the problem stays NP-hard for three machines (doi:10.1145/62.65).

Setting

There are nnn jobs J1,…,JnJ_1,\dots,J_nJ1​,…,Jn​ and mmm machines. Job JℓJ_\ellJℓ​ needs processing time pℓi∈Np_{\ell i}\in\mathbb Npℓi​∈N on machine MiM_iMi​. Write

qℓi=∑r=1ipℓr,qℓ0=0,q_{\ell i}=\sum_{r=1}^{i}p_{\ell r},\qquad q_{\ell 0}=0,qℓi​=r=1∑i​pℓr​,qℓ0​=0,

for the time job JℓJ_\ellJℓ​ spends on its first iii machines. Because a job never waits, a schedule is determined by the start times Bℓ∈NB_\ell\in\mathbb NBℓ​∈N. The operation of JℓJ_\ellJℓ​ on MiM_iMi​ occupies [Bℓ+qℓ,i−1, Bℓ+qℓi)[B_\ell+q_{\ell,i-1},\,B_\ell+q_{\ell i})[Bℓ​+qℓ,i−1​,Bℓ​+qℓi​), and job JℓJ_\ellJℓ​ completes at Cℓ=Bℓ+qℓmC_\ell=B_\ell+q_{\ell m}Cℓ​=Bℓ​+qℓm​. A schedule is feasible when no two distinct jobs occupy the same machine at the same time. The delay

cjk=max⁡1≤i≤m{qji−qk,i−1}c_{jk}=\max_{1\le i\le m}\{q_{ji}-q_{k,i-1}\}cjk​=1≤i≤mmax​{qji​−qk,i−1​}

is the least gap Bk−BjB_k-B_jBk​−Bj​ that lets JkJ_kJk​ follow JjJ_jJj​ on every machine.

A directed graph G=(V,A)G=(V,A)G=(V,A) on V={0,…,n−1}V=\{0,\dots,n-1\}V={0,…,n−1} has a Hamilton path if its vertices can be ordered σ(0),…,σ(n−1)\sigma(0),\dots,\sigma(n-1)σ(0),…,σ(n−1) with every (σ(i),σ(i+1))∈A(\sigma(i),\sigma(i+1))\in A(σ(i),σ(i+1))∈A.

From GGG the paper builds an instance with nnn jobs and m=n(n−1)+2m=n(n-1)+2m=n(n−1)+2 machines. Each ordered pair (j,k)(j,k)(j,k) of distinct jobs is assigned a middle machine ι(j,k)∈{2,…,m−1}\iota(j,k)\in\{2,\dots,m-1\}ι(j,k)∈{2,…,m−1}, and the partial sums qℓiq_{\ell i}qℓi​ are perturbed from iμi\muiμ by ±λ\pm\lambda±λ or ±(λ+1)\pm(\lambda+1)±(λ+1) on the machines ι(ℓ,⋅)\iota(\ell,\cdot)ι(ℓ,⋅) and just before the machines ι(⋅,ℓ)\iota(\cdot,\ell)ι(⋅,ℓ), depending on whether the pair is an arc. The parameters satisfy λ≥1\lambda\ge1λ≥1 and μ≥2λ+3\mu\ge2\lambda+3μ≥2λ+3.

Formalization targets

Goal (Theorem 5)

DIRECTED HAMILTON PATH ∝ n∣m∣F,no wait∣Cmax⁡andDIRECTED HAMILTON PATH ∝ n∣m∣F,no wait,wj=1∣∑wjCj,\text{DIRECTED HAMILTON PATH}\ \propto\ n|m|F,\textit{no wait}|C_{\max}\quad\text{and}\quad \text{DIRECTED HAMILTON PATH}\ \propto\ n|m|F,\textit{no wait},w_j=1|\textstyle\sum w_jC_j,DIRECTED HAMILTON PATH ∝ n∣m∣F,no wait∣Cmax​andDIRECTED HAMILTON PATH ∝ n∣m∣F,no wait,wj​=1∣∑wj​Cj​,

where ∝\propto∝ is polynomial-time many-one reducibility between the binary-coded recognition languages.

Milestones, in the order the proof uses them

  1. Eq. (9): cjkc_{jk}cjk​ is the least gap between BjB_jBj​ and BkB_kBk​ for which JkJ_kJk​ follows JjJ_jJj​ on every machine.
  2. The travelling-salesman reformulation: if all processing times are positive, a feasible schedule with Cmax⁡≤yC_{\max}\le yCmax​≤y (resp. ∑Cℓ≤y\sum C_\ell\le y∑Cℓ​≤y) exists iff some job order has path length (resp. summed completion times along the path) at most yyy.
  3. An admissible ordering ι\iotaι exists for every n≠2n\ne2n=2.
  4. All processing times of the construction are at least 111.
  5. The delays of the construction: cjk=μ+2λc_{jk}=\mu+2\lambdacjk​=μ+2λ if (j,k)∈A(j,k)\in A(j,k)∈A, and μ+2λ+2\mu+2\lambda+2μ+2λ+2 otherwise.
  6. Theorem 5(a), the equivalence: GGG has a Hamilton path   ⟺  \iff⟺ Cmax⁡≤(n−1)(μ+2λ)+mμC_{\max}\le(n-1)(\mu+2\lambda)+m\muCmax​≤(n−1)(μ+2λ)+mμ.
  7. Theorem 5(b), the equivalence: GGG has a Hamilton path   ⟺  \iff⟺ ∑jCj≤12n(n−1)(μ+2λ)+nmμ\sum_jC_j\le\tfrac12n(n-1)(\mu+2\lambda)+nm\mu∑j​Cj​≤21​n(n−1)(μ+2λ)+nmμ.
  8. Theorem 2(d), off the goal's path: G′G'G′ has a Hamilton circuit iff the graph obtained by splitting a vertex v′v'v′ into v′v'v′ and a new sink v′′v''v′′ has a Hamilton path.

Significance

The result. Theorem 5, together with the NP-completeness of DIRECTED HAMILTON PATH, places both no-wait criteria among the NP-complete problems once mmm is part of the input. The Gilmore–Gomory algorithm for two machines therefore cannot be extended to arbitrary mmm unless P = NP, and heuristics and exact exponential methods for no-wait shops are justified. The reduction also gives a structural fact of independent use: every directed graph can be realized, up to two arc-weight values, as the delay matrix of a no-wait flow shop.

Formalizing it. The result has been proved for fifty years; to our knowledge no machine-checked version exists. This mission produces a checked no-wait flow shop model, a checked travelling-salesman reformulation of it, the correctness of the paper's construction, and a polynomial-time reduction in an explicit Turing-machine model. It also records a gap in the printed proof: the ordering ι\iotaι the paper calls easy to construct does not exist for n=2n=2n=2.

Difficulty

Three steps are not routine.

  1. The passage from schedules to job orders assumes that the order in which jobs start is the order in which they visit every machine. With zero processing times this fails, so the reformulation needs the positivity milestone.
  2. Computing the delays requires a case analysis over all machines and all pairs of perturbations. The property of ι\iotaι is exactly what keeps the "+++" and "−-−" cases from colliding, and the constants λ≥1\lambda\ge1λ≥1, μ≥2λ+3\mu\ge2\lambda+3μ≥2λ+3 are tight enough that the comparison must be done carefully.
  3. The goal asks for an actual Turing machine with a polynomial step bound. It has to build ι\iotaι for every n≠2n\ne2n=2 and handle n≤2n\le2n≤2 separately. The equivalences alone do not give this.

Formalization scope

Jobs and machines are 000-based (Fin n, Fin m); cum p ℓ i is the paper's qℓiq_{\ell i}qℓi​, and the machine indices ι(j,k)\iota(j,k)ι(j,k) are the paper's 111-based indices. Start times are natural numbers, and release dates are 000. Section 3 computes times from processing orders on integer data, and every criterion is regular, so real start times would not change the yes-instances. A zero-length operation occupies the empty interval. Cmax⁡≤yC_{\max}\le yCmax​≤y is stated as Cℓ≤yC_\ell\le yCℓ​≤y for every job. The delays, the partial sums of the construction and its processing times are computed in Z\mathbb ZZ. The instance uses their conversion to N\mathbb NN, which is exact by milestone 4. The threshold of Theorem 5(b) is compared in Q\mathbb QQ, as printed.

The paper's loose phrases are made explicit as follows:

  • "scheduled directly after" means "precedes on every machine";
  • "equivalent to solving the TRAVELLING SALESMAN problem" means the two threshold equivalences of milestone 2, with the ∑Cj\sum C_j∑Cj​ version as the reading of "constructed as in (a)";
  • "such an ordering can easily be constructed" is stated for n≠2n\ne2n=2, the only case in which it is true.

Directed graphs are Boolean adjacency matrices. A graph with 000 or 111 vertices has a Hamilton path, and a one-vertex graph has a Hamilton circuit iff it has a loop.

The goal is CookPvsNP.PolyReducible from the published definition CookPvsNP_defs, with polynomial time measured on Cook's one-tape Turing machines. Instances are coded with the alphabet BSym and binary code encNats of the published ProjSchedTW.Complexity.Encoding (Neumann, Schwindt and Zimmermann). A graph is coded as nnn followed by its adjacency matrix; a flow-shop instance as nnn, mmm, the matrix (pℓi)(p_{\ell i})(pℓi​) and the threshold yyy.

Stating only the equivalences 6–7 and calling the result "reducible" would drop polynomiality; the goal therefore asserts PolyReducible. The target languages contain exactly the no-wait flow-shop instances, with no waiting allowed, so the reduction cannot land in a looser problem. The parameters λ,μ\lambda,\muλ,μ always carry λ≥1\lambda\ge1λ≥1, μ≥2λ+3\mu\ge2\lambda+3μ≥2λ+3.

Contributions are welcome at every level:

  • the general travelling-salesman reformulation, which is reusable for any no-wait flow-shop result;
  • the combinatorial existence of ι\iotaι;
  • the arithmetic of the construction;
  • Turing-machine infrastructure for computing arithmetic list transformations in polynomial time, which every reduction in this series needs.

Selected references

  • P. Brucker, J. K. Lenstra, A. H. G. Rinnooy Kan, Complexity of Machine Scheduling Problems, Mathematisch Centrum Report BW 43/75, Amsterdam, 1975; Annals of Discrete Mathematics 1 (1977) 343–362. doi:10.1016/S0167-5060(08)70743-X
  • R. M. Karp, Reducibility among combinatorial problems, in Complexity of Computer Computations, Plenum, 1972, 85–103. doi:10.1007/978-1-4684-2001-2_9
  • P. C. Gilmore, R. E. Gomory, Sequencing a one state-variable machine: a solvable case of the traveling salesman problem, Operations Research 12 (1964) 655–679. doi:10.1287/opre.12.5.655
  • D. A. Wismer, Solution of the flowshop-scheduling problem with no intermediate queues, Operations Research 20 (1972) 689–697. doi:10.1287/opre.20.3.689
  • S. S. Reddi, C. V. Ramamoorthy, On the flow-shop sequencing problem with no wait in process, Operational Research Quarterly 23 (1972) 323–331. doi:10.1057/jors.1972.52
  • H. Röck, The three-machine no-wait flow shop is NP-complete, Journal of the ACM 31 (1984) 336–345. doi:10.1145/62.65
  • N. G. Hall, C. Sriskandarajah, A survey of machine scheduling problems with blocking and no-wait in process, Operations Research 44 (1996) 510–525. doi:10.1287/opre.44.3.510
  • S. A. Cook, The complexity of theorem-proving procedures, STOC 1971, 151–158. doi:10.1145/800157.805047
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CombinatoricsOperations ResearchProbability+1·Captain: mikedeng1

An Optimal Algorithm for On-line Bipartite Matching 2: No Randomized On-line Algorithm Guarantees an Expected Matching Larger Than n(1 − 1/e) + o(n)Research Paper

Motivation

An online matching algorithm must commit to each assignment when a request arrives, before it sees later requests. This limitation arises whenever waiting for the full instance is impossible: an available resource can be assigned to a current request or saved for an unknown future request. The quality of the assignment is measured by how many requests can be matched. The central question is how much the lack of future information costs, even when an algorithm uses randomness. Karp, U. Vazirani, and V. Vazirani studied this question for bipartite graphs and proved an asymptotic ceiling of 1−1/e1-1/e1−1/e for the expected fraction matched by any randomized online rule on graphs with a perfect matching (Karp, Vazirani, and Vazirani, 1990).

The paper also analyzes RANKING and gives a matching asymptotic guarantee from below. This mission concerns the separate upper-bound result: the existence of hard instances for every algorithm. The upper bound matters independently of any particular proposed rule. It says that improving an algorithm's decisions cannot remove the worst-case loss due to decisions made before all columns are revealed. Its quantifiers make the adversarial model precise: the graph is selected with knowledge of the algorithm, before that algorithm's random choices are made.

Setting

There are nnn boys, represented by rows, and nnn girls, represented by columns. A bipartite graph G⊆[n]×[n]G\subseteq[n]\times[n]G⊆[n]×[n] records which boy and girl pairs may be matched. The graph is assumed to contain a perfect matching: some bijection between the two sides uses only edges of GGG. This assumption supplies an offline benchmark of nnn matches. Without it, a graph with no edges would make every upper bound on matching size empty of content.

Girls arrive one at a time. On arrival, the algorithm learns the edges incident to that girl, chooses an as-yet-unmatched adjacent boy, or declines to match her. A choice cannot later be changed. The paper labels columns so that they arrive in the order n,n−1,…,1n,n-1,\ldots,1n,n−1,…,1. A deterministic algorithm can base its action on the neighborhoods revealed so far. A randomized algorithm can additionally use internal random choices. Its performance p(A)p(A)p(A) is the minimum, over a graph with a perfect matching and a preselected arrival order, of its expected number of matches; the expectation is over its own randomness (Karp, Vazirani, and Vazirani, 1990, p. 352).

The paper's hard family begins with the complete upper-triangular graph TnT_nTn​, where row iii is adjacent to column jjj exactly when i≤ji\le ji≤j. Its columns arrive from largest to smallest. Relabeling the rows by a permutation π\piπ gives an instance TπT_\piTπ​ that still contains a perfect matching. The algorithm RANDOM takes an eligible boy uniformly whenever at least one is available. Write VTn(n,∅)V_{T_n}(n,\varnothing)VTn​​(n,∅) for RANDOM's expected number of matches on TnT_nTn​, beginning with no matched rows (Karp, Vazirani, and Vazirani, 1990, p. 357).

Formalization targets

Main theorem

For every ε>0\varepsilon>0ε>0, there is one threshold NNN such that, for every n≥Nn\ge Nn≥N and every randomized online algorithm AAA on nnn rows and columns, a graph GGG with a perfect matching satisfies

EA[∣M(G)∣]≤(1−e−1+ε)n.\mathbb E_A[|M(G)|]\le (1-e^{-1}+\varepsilon)n.EA​[∣M(G)∣]≤(1−e−1+ε)n.

The threshold is uniform over algorithms. The graph may depend on AAA. This is the quantified upper-bound reading of Theorem 2's p(A)≤n(1−1/e)+o(n)p(A)\le n(1-1/e)+o(n)p(A)≤n(1−1/e)+o(n) (Karp, Vazirani, and Vazirani, 1990, Theorem 2).

Milestone statements

Lemma 13 identifies the average size produced by any deterministic greedy algorithm on a uniformly permuted TnT_nTn​ with RANDOM's expected size on TnT_nTn​. Lemma 14 bounds the worst-case performance of every randomized algorithm, including non-greedy algorithms, by that value. Lemma 16 identifies the value itself by the two-sided limit

lim⁡n→∞VTn(n,∅)n=1−e−1.\lim_{n\to\infty}\frac{V_{T_n}(n,\varnothing)}{n}=1-e^{-1}.n→∞lim​nVTn​​(n,∅)​=1−e−1.

Together these statements give the finite-instance comparison and the asymptotic value named in the goal (Karp, Vazirani, and Vazirani, 1990, Lemmas 13, 14, 16).

Significance

Theorem 2 limits what any randomized online matching rule can guarantee under the paper's oblivious-adversary performance measure. Since the hard graph always admits a perfect matching, the gap from nnn is caused by the order of information and the required irrevocable decisions. The statement applies to the entire algorithm class, rather than comparing two selected procedures. It therefore provides the ceiling against which the paper's lower guarantee for RANKING is measured.

Formalizing the result requires a reusable description of finite online algorithms, their visible histories, and expected matching size. It also requires a definition of uniform random choice from currently eligible rows with an explicit empty-choice case. The 1990 result is proved in the paper; the statements in this mission are targets for machine-checked proofs, not claims of an existing formal proof. The model can support later statements about other matching rules and hard-input distributions without changing the meaning of an online decision.

Difficulty

For a fixed graph, an algorithm can be designed around the graph's particular perfect matching, so one hard graph cannot simply be announced in advance for all deterministic algorithms. The theorem instead has to bound each randomized algorithm against a graph selected for that algorithm. Even then, checking the triangular graph against one rule does not establish a universal bound: different rules can respond differently to the same revealed neighborhoods. The crucial mathematical obstacle is a comparison across all such rules while preserving the restriction that future columns remain unseen. A further asymptotic step is needed to determine RANDOM's value on the triangular family, including both sides of the o(n)o(n)o(n) claim in Lemma 16.

Formalization scope

Both sides are Fin n. An edge set is a subset of row-column pairs. The published perfect-matching predicate is reused: it asks for a bijection whose every selected pair is an edge. The paper's one-based column order n,…,1n,\ldots,1n,…,1 is represented by zero-based order n−1,…,0n-1,\ldots,0n−1,…,0; arrival number zero is the largest column. A deterministic rule receives only the neighborhoods of columns that have arrived, including the current column. A randomized rule is a probability mass function on the finite set of deterministic rules, allowing arbitrary correlations among its choices. The expected size is a finite sum over that mass function.

RANDOM is represented by the conditional-expectation recursion for uniform choice among eligible rows. If none is eligible, the column remains unmatched and there is no division by zero. For n=0n=0n=0, the matching and RANDOM value are zero; the main theorem is eventual in nnn and Lemma 16's value at zero does not affect the limit. Lemma 16 uses a two-sided limit. The paper's o(n)o(n)o(n) in Theorem 2 is stated as ∀ε>0,∃N,∀n≥N\forall\varepsilon>0,\exists N,\forall n\ge N∀ε>0,∃N,∀n≥N with NNN before the algorithm, so the error is uniform across algorithms. A hard graph must contain a perfect matching; dropping this condition would let the empty graph satisfy the inequality trivially.

Useful contributions include finite probabilistic averaging, the greedy comparison, analysis of the recursive RANDOM value, and a proof joining Lemmas 14 and 16 into the uniform goal. The history and matching-run definitions are reusable for other finite online bipartite matching statements. The two numbered claims inside the paper's proof of Lemma 13 and its later remarks are outside the mission's curated milestone list.

Selected references

  • Richard M. Karp, Umesh V. Vazirani, and Vijay V. Vazirani, An Optimal Algorithm for On-line Bipartite Matching, Proceedings of the 22nd Annual ACM Symposium on Theory of Computing, pp. 352–358, 1990. DOI: 10.1145/100216.100262.
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Convex OptimizationOperations ResearchOptimization+1·Captain: mikedeng1

Wait-and-Judge Scenario Optimization 1: For Convex Programs, Seeing s_N Support Constraints Gives P^N{V(x_N) > ε(s_N)} ≤ γ, the Value of the Variational Problem (10)Research Paper

Motivation

Many decision problems in control, finance and engineering must hold against an uncertain parameter δ\deltaδ whose distribution is unknown, while samples of δ\deltaδ (measurements, historical records, simulations) are available. The scenario approach replaces the uncertain constraint by the constraints of the NNN observed samples and solves the resulting convex program. The open question is then how robust its solution is: with what probability does a new, unseen δ\deltaδ violate it?

The classical answer, due to Calafiore and Campi (doi:10.1007/s10107-003-0499-y, 2005; doi:10.1109/TAC.2006.875041, 2006) and sharpened by Campi and Garatti (doi:10.1137/07069821X, 2008), is an a-priori bound: it depends only on NNN and the dimension ddd, and it is tight for the worst problems. It is conservative for the many problems whose solution is determined by far fewer than ddd samples. Campi and Garatti's wait-and-judge theorem (doi:10.1007/s10107-016-1056-9, Math. Program. 2018) replaces it by an a-posteriori certificate: after solving, count the samples that actually determine the solution and certify the solution at a level that depends on that count.

Timeline:

  • 2005–2006, Calafiore and Campi: a convex scenario program in Rd\mathbb R^dRd has at most ddd support constraints; first sample-size bounds.
  • 2008, Campi and Garatti: the exact bound PN{V(xN∗)>ϵ}≤∑i=0d−1(Ni)ϵi(1−ϵ)N−i\mathbb P^N\{V(x^*_N)>\epsilon\}\le\sum_{i=0}^{d-1}\binom Ni\epsilon^i(1-\epsilon)^{N-i}PN{V(xN∗​)>ϵ}≤∑i=0d−1​(iN​)ϵi(1−ϵ)N−i, with equality for fully-supported problems.
  • 2018, Campi and Garatti: the wait-and-judge bound, Theorem 1 below, with the 2008 bound as a corollary.

Setting

The decision variable is x∈Rdx\in\mathbb R^dx∈Rd. A problem consists of a cost vector c∈Rdc\in\mathbb R^dc∈Rd, a convex domain X⊆Rd\mathcal X\subseteq\mathbb R^dX⊆Rd, convex constraint sets Xδ⊆Rd\mathcal X_\delta\subseteq\mathbb R^dXδ​⊆Rd indexed by δ\deltaδ in a probability space (Δ,F,P)(\Delta,\mathcal F,\mathbb P)(Δ,F,P), and convex tie-break functions t1,…,tpt_1,\dots,t_pt1​,…,tp​. Given an i.i.d. sample δ(1),…,δ(N)\delta^{(1)},\dots,\delta^{(N)}δ(1),…,δ(N) with N>dN>dN>d, the scenario program is

min⁡x∈X cTxsubject tox∈⋂i=1NXδ(i).\min_{x\in\mathcal X}\ c^{\mathsf T}x\quad\text{subject to}\quad x\in\bigcap_{i=1}^N\mathcal X_{\delta^{(i)}}.x∈Xmin​ cTxsubject tox∈i=1⋂N​Xδ(i)​.

Ties are broken by minimising t1t_1t1​ among the minimisers, then t2t_2t2​, and so on; the resulting solution is xN∗x^*_NxN∗​.

  • The violation of a point is V(x)=P{δ∈Δ:x∉Xδ}V(x)=\mathbb P\{\delta\in\Delta: x\notin\mathcal X_\delta\}V(x)=P{δ∈Δ:x∈/Xδ​}.
  • A constraint is a support constraint if removing it changes the solution; sN∗s^*_NsN∗​ is their number.
  • Assumption 1: for every mmm and every sample of size mmm, the program with those mmm constraints has a unique tie-broken solution.
  • Assumption 2 (non-degeneracy): for every mmm, with probability one, keeping only the support constraints does not change the solution.

The variational problem (10) is: for a function ϵ:{0,…,d}→[0,1]\epsilon:\{0,\dots,d\}\to[0,1]ϵ:{0,…,d}→[0,1],

γ∗=inf⁡ξ∈Cd[0,1]ξ(1)s.t.1k!dkdtkξ(t)≥(Nk)tN−k 1[0,1−ϵ(k))(t),  t∈[0,1], k=0,…,d.\gamma^*=\inf_{\xi\in C^d[0,1]}\xi(1)\quad\text{s.t.}\quad\frac1{k!}\frac{\mathrm d^k}{\mathrm dt^k}\xi(t)\ge\binom Nk t^{N-k}\,\mathbf 1_{[0,1-\epsilon(k))}(t),\ \ t\in[0,1],\ k=0,\dots,d.γ∗=ξ∈Cd[0,1]inf​ξ(1)s.t.k!1​dtkdk​ξ(t)≥(kN​)tN−k1[0,1−ϵ(k))​(t),  t∈[0,1], k=0,…,d.

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem 1 (p. 10)

For every [0,1][0,1][0,1]-valued ϵ(k)\epsilon(k)ϵ(k), under Assumptions 1 and 2,

PN{V(xN∗)>ϵ(sN∗)} ≤ γ∗.\mathbb P^N\{V(x^*_N)>\epsilon(s^*_N)\}\ \le\ \gamma^*.PN{V(xN∗​)>ϵ(sN∗​)} ≤ γ∗.

The level ϵ\epsilonϵ is evaluated at the observed number of support constraints. The goal fixes no particular ϵ\epsilonϵ, which keeps it stable under any later choice of levels.

Milestones (the proof of Theorem 1, Sect. 5.1)

  1. sm∗≤ds^*_m\le dsm∗​≤d for every sample (quoted from [7]).
  2. (14): PN{V(xN∗)>ϵ(k)∧sN∗=k}=(Nk) PN{A}\mathbb P^N\{V(x^*_N)>\epsilon(k)\wedge s^*_N=k\}=\binom Nk\,\mathbb P^N\{A\}PN{V(xN∗​)>ϵ(k)∧sN∗​=k}=(kN​)PN{A}, where AAA adds "the first kkk constraints are of support".
  3. A=BA=BA=B up to a null set, where BBB concerns the program on the first kkk samples.
  4. (16): PN{A}=∫(ϵ(k),1](1−v)N−k dFk(v)\mathbb P^N\{A\}=\int_{(\epsilon(k),1]}(1-v)^{N-k}\,\mathrm dF_k(v)PN{A}=∫(ϵ(k),1]​(1−v)N−kdFk​(v), with Fk(v)=Pk{V(xk∗)≤v∧sk∗=k}F_k(v)=\mathbb P^k\{V(x^*_k)\le v\wedge s^*_k=k\}Fk​(v)=Pk{V(xk∗​)≤v∧sk∗​=k}.
  5. (17): PN{V(xN∗)>ϵ(sN∗)}=∑k=0d(Nk)∫(ϵ(k),1](1−v)N−k dFk(v)\mathbb P^N\{V(x^*_N)>\epsilon(s^*_N)\}=\sum_{k=0}^d\binom Nk\int_{(\epsilon(k),1]}(1-v)^{N-k}\,\mathrm dF_k(v)PN{V(xN∗​)>ϵ(sN∗​)}=∑k=0d​(kN​)∫(ϵ(k),1]​(1−v)N−kdFk​(v).
  6. (18): ∑k=0min⁡{m,d}(mk)∫[0,1](1−v)m−k dFk(v)=1\sum_{k=0}^{\min\{m,d\}}\binom mk\int_{[0,1]}(1-v)^{m-k}\,\mathrm dF_k(v)=1∑k=0min{m,d}​(km​)∫[0,1]​(1−v)m−kdFk​(v)=1 for every mmm.
  7. Weak duality between the truncated moment problem (20) and its dual (21), giving (22).
  8. (23): 1k!dkdtktm=(mk)tm−k\frac1{k!}\frac{\mathrm d^k}{\mathrm dt^k}t^m=\binom mk t^{m-k}k!1​dtkdk​tm=(km​)tm−k for m≥km\ge km≥k, and 000 otherwise.
  9. (24): the infimum of p(1)p(1)p(1) over polynomials feasible for (10) equals γ∗\gamma^*γ∗.

Companions

  • Theorem 2 (p. 11): for β∈(0,1)\beta\in(0,1)β∈(0,1) and ϵ(k)=1−t(k)\epsilon(k)=1-t(k)ϵ(k)=1−t(k), with t(k)t(k)t(k) the unique root in (0,1)(0,1)(0,1) of βN+1∑m=kN(mk)tm−k−(Nk)tN−k=0\frac{\beta}{N+1}\sum_{m=k}^N\binom mk t^{m-k}-\binom Nk t^{N-k}=0N+1β​∑m=kN​(km​)tm−k−(kN​)tN−k=0, the probability is at most β\betaβ.
  • The root lemma of Sect. 5.3, including its sign and divergence claims.
  • γ∗≤∑i<d(Ni)ϵi(1−ϵ)N−i\gamma^*\le\sum_{i<d}\binom Ni\epsilon^i(1-\epsilon)^{N-i}γ∗≤∑i<d​(iN​)ϵi(1−ϵ)N−i for constant ϵ\epsilonϵ (Sect. 5.2).
  • Corollary 1, the 2008 bound.

Significance

Theorem 1 turns the number of support constraints, which is observed after solving, into a confidence statement that holds uniformly over all convex problems and all distributions. With Theorem 2's choice of ϵ(k)\epsilon(k)ϵ(k), a user who finds k≪dk\ll dk≪d support constraints obtains a level ϵ(k)\epsilon(k)ϵ(k) comparable to that of a kkk-dimensional problem, which is far below the a-priori level for dimension ddd. The classical bound (2) is recovered as Corollary 1, so Theorem 1 contains the earlier theory.

The result is proved in the paper. As far as is known, it has no machine-checked proof. A formalization produces:

  • a formal account of scenario programs with lexicographic tie-break and of support constraints in the "changes the solution" sense;
  • the exchangeability argument (14) on product measures;
  • the representation (17) of a tail probability through generalized distribution functions;
  • a weak-duality argument for a generalized moment problem. The 2008 bound itself is posed on the platform as an open problem under other hypotheses; Corollary 1 states it under this paper's assumptions.

Difficulty

The obvious approach bounds the probability for each value of sN∗s^*_NsN∗​ separately by a binomial tail, then sums. This fails: the event sN∗=ks^*_N=ksN∗​=k is not known in advance, and summing the individual bounds over kkk loses the uniformity that makes the result useful. The paper instead characterises every convex problem by the (d+1)(d+1)(d+1)-tuple (F0,…,Fd)(F_0,\dots,F_d)(F0​,…,Fd​). It then maximises (17) over all tuples satisfying the infinitely many moment conditions (18), which is a generalized moment problem in d+1d+1d+1 measures, and solves it by duality.

Two steps carry most of the work. One is the almost-sure identity A=BA=BA=B, which depends on the precise interplay of Assumptions 1 and 2 with the tie-break. The other is passing from the polynomial dual problems to the variational problem (10), which needs a density argument in Cd[0,1]C^d[0,1]Cd[0,1]. The bound sN∗≤ds^*_N\le dsN∗​≤d itself is quoted from the earlier literature; it needs a Helly-type argument adapted to the lexicographic tie-break.

Formalization scope

  • Spaces. The decision space is EuclideanSpace ℝ (Fin d) with its Borel σ-algebra, and samples are Fin N → Δ, indexed from 000. P\mathbb PP is a probability measure and PN\mathbb P^NPN is the product measure.
  • Tie-break. The tie-broken solution is the lexicographic minimiser of (cTx,t1(x),…,tp(x))(c^{\mathsf T}x,t_1(x),\dots,t_p(x))(cTx,t1​(x),…,tp​(x)) and depends only on the feasible set, which is what makes the exchangeability step valid. A support constraint is one whose removal changes this solution; this is not the platform's earlier "removal lowers the cost" notion.
  • Assumptions. Assumption 1 is required for every sample, Assumption 2 almost surely.
  • Measurability. The paper takes measurability for granted (footnote 1). Here it is two explicit hypotheses: the relation {(x,δ):x∈Xδ}\{(x,\delta):x\in\mathcal X_\delta\}{(x,δ):x∈Xδ​} is measurable, and every solution map ω↦xm∗(ω)\omega\mapsto x^*_m(\omega)ω↦xm∗​(ω) is measurable. No event is assumed measurable directly.
  • FkF_kFk​. FkF_kFk​ is the finite measure on R\mathbb RR given by the law of V(xk∗)V(x^*_k)V(xk∗​) on the event {sk∗=k}\{s^*_k=k\}{sk∗​=k}; it is not normalised.
  • Problem (10). Cd[0,1]C^d[0,1]Cd[0,1] is ContDiffOn ℝ d on [0,1][0,1][0,1], with derivatives taken within [0,1][0,1][0,1]. γ∗\gamma^*γ∗ is a real infimum over a set that is nonempty (ξ(t)=tN\xi(t)=t^Nξ(t)=tN) and bounded below by 000.
  • Probabilities are compared with real quantities through ENNReal.ofReal.
  • Theorem 2 is stated for every ϵ\epsilonϵ whose values 1−ϵ(k)1-\epsilon(k)1−ϵ(k) are roots of (11) in (0,1)(0,1)(0,1), which by its first part is the paper's ϵ\epsilonϵ.
  • Added hypothesis. The constant-ϵ\epsilonϵ companion assumes d≥1d\ge1d≥1: at d=0d=0d=0, ϵ=0\epsilon=0ϵ=0 its inequality is false.

Ruled-out trivializations:

  • The solution is never a free function of the sample.
  • The goal does not mention FkF_kFk​, moments or polynomials.
  • Assumption 1 is not weakened to almost surely.
  • N>dN>dN>d is kept on Theorems 1, 2 and Corollary 1.
  • The indicators keep the paper's open and closed ends: [0,1−ϵ(k))[0,1-\epsilon(k))[0,1−ϵ(k)) in (10), (ϵ(k),1](\epsilon(k),1](ϵ(k),1] in (16)–(21).

Contributions welcome:

  • the support-constraint bound under lexicographic tie-break, which is reusable for any convex scenario result;
  • the exchangeability lemma on Measure.pi;
  • the duality and density lemmas, which are pure analysis.

Selected references

  • M. C. Campi, S. Garatti, Wait-and-judge scenario optimization, Mathematical Programming 167 (2018). https://doi.org/10.1007/s10107-016-1056-9
  • G. C. Calafiore, M. C. Campi, Uncertain convex programs: randomized solutions and confidence levels, Mathematical Programming 102 (2005). https://doi.org/10.1007/s10107-003-0499-y
  • G. C. Calafiore, M. C. Campi, The scenario approach to robust control design, IEEE Transactions on Automatic Control 51 (2006). https://doi.org/10.1109/TAC.2006.875041
  • M. C. Campi, S. Garatti, The exact feasibility of randomized solutions of uncertain convex programs, SIAM Journal on Optimization 19 (2008). https://doi.org/10.1137/07069821X
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Operations ResearchOptimizationProbability·Captain: mikedeng1

Supply Chain Coordination with Contracts VI: With a Forecast Update, Buy-Back Terms with w₁ − w₂ + λc₂ = λc₁ Give the Retailer λΩ₁(q₁) and a Lower Period-2 Margin w₂ − c₂ < w₁ − c₁Textbook

Motivation

A newsvendor retailer who may order twice faces a tradeoff. Ordering late lets the retailer use a better demand forecast. Ordering early lets the supplier produce more cheaply, with longer procurement lead times and no overtime labor. Fisher and Raman (1996) document such forecast improvements between ordering epochs in fashion apparel. A decentralized supply chain must balance cheap early production against well-informed late production, and it is not obvious that a simple contract can induce both firms to strike the balance an integrated firm would choose.

This mission formalizes §6.6 of G. P. Cachon's survey chapter Supply Chain Coordination with Contracts (Handbooks in OR & MS, Vol. 11, 2003), read in the author's January 2003 draft. The section builds on Donohue (2000), who studied the same two-mode production problem under forced compliance. The chapter's model lets the supplier operate under voluntary compliance: she may deliver less than the retailer orders, and she may produce more in period 1 than was ordered. The question is whether a buy back contract with one wholesale price per ordering epoch still coordinates the supply chain.

Setting

A demand signal ξ≥0\xi \ge 0ξ≥0 with density ggg and distribution function GGG is observed once before the selling season. Given ξ\xiξ, demand DDD has distribution function F(⋅ ∣ ξ)F(\cdot\,|\,\xi)F(⋅∣ξ), continuous and strictly increasing on [0,∞)[0,\infty)[0,∞). Demand is stochastically increasing in the signal: F(x ∣ ξh)<F(x ∣ ξl)F(x\,|\,\xi_h) < F(x\,|\,\xi_l)F(x∣ξh​)<F(x∣ξl​) for ξh>ξl\xi_h > \xi_lξh​>ξl​. Expected sales are S(q ∣ ξ)=E[min⁡(q,D) ∣ ξ]S(q\,|\,\xi) = E[\min(q,D)\,|\,\xi]S(q∣ξ)=E[min(q,D)∣ξ]. Period 1 is before the signal and period 2 is after it. The retailer's total order is q1q_1q1​ after period 1 and q2≥q1q_2 \ge q_1q2​≥q1​ after period 2. The supplier's unit production cost is cic_ici​ in period iii, with c1<c2<pc_1 < c_2 < pc1​<c2​<p, where ppp is the retail price. Salvage values and goodwill costs are zero.

The supply chain's period-2 objective is

Ω2(q2 ∣ q1,ξ)=pS(q2 ∣ ξ)−c2q2+c2q1,\Omega_2(q_2\,|\,q_1,\xi) = pS(q_2\,|\,\xi) - c_2 q_2 + c_2 q_1 ,Ω2​(q2​∣q1​,ξ)=pS(q2​∣ξ)−c2​q2​+c2​q1​,

and q2(q1,ξ)q_2(q_1,\xi)q2​(q1​,ξ) maximizes it over q2≥q1q_2 \ge q_1q2​≥q1​. The supply chain's expected profit is Ω1(q1)=−c1q1+E[Ω2(q2(q1,ξ) ∣ q1,ξ)]\Omega_1(q_1) = -c_1 q_1 + E[\Omega_2(q_2(q_1,\xi)\,|\,q_1,\xi)]Ω1​(q1​)=−c1​q1​+E[Ω2​(q2​(q1​,ξ)∣q1​,ξ)].

Under the buy back contract {w1,w2,b}\{w_1, w_2, b\}{w1​,w2​,b} the retailer pays wiw_iwi​ per unit ordered in period iii, and the supplier refunds bbb per unsold unit. The retailer's period-2 profit is π2(q2 ∣ q1,ξ)=(p−b)S(q2 ∣ ξ)−(w2−b)q2+w2q1\pi_2(q_2\,|\,q_1,\xi) = (p-b)S(q_2\,|\,\xi) - (w_2-b)q_2 + w_2 q_1π2​(q2​∣q1​,ξ)=(p−b)S(q2​∣ξ)−(w2​−b)q2​+w2​q1​, and his period-1 profit is π1(q1)=−w1q1+E[π2(q2(q1,ξ) ∣ q1,ξ)]\pi_1(q_1) = -w_1 q_1 + E[\pi_2(q_2(q_1,\xi)\,|\,q_1,\xi)]π1​(q1​)=−w1​q1​+E[π2​(q2​(q1​,ξ)∣q1​,ξ)]. The supplier's period-2 profit Π2\Pi_2Π2​ and her period-1 profit Π1(x ∣ q1)\Pi_1(x\,|\,q_1)Π1​(x∣q1​), as functions of the stock xxx she holds, are given in the mission's Profits definition.

Formalization targets

Goal: the buy back contract coordinates

For λ∈[0,1]\lambda \in [0,1]λ∈[0,1] with

p−b=λp,w2−b=λc2,w1−w2+λc2=λc1,p - b = \lambda p,\qquad w_2 - b = \lambda c_2,\qquad w_1 - w_2 + \lambda c_2 = \lambda c_1,p−b=λp,w2​−b=λc2​,w1​−w2​+λc2​=λc1​,

the identities

π2(q2 ∣ q1,ξ)=λ(Ω2(q2 ∣ q1,ξ)−c2q1)+w2q1,π1(q1)=λ Ω1(q1)\pi_2(q_2\,|\,q_1,\xi) = \lambda\big(\Omega_2(q_2\,|\,q_1,\xi) - c_2 q_1\big) + w_2 q_1,\qquad \pi_1(q_1) = \lambda\,\Omega_1(q_1)π2​(q2​∣q1​,ξ)=λ(Ω2​(q2​∣q1​,ξ)−c2​q1​)+w2​q1​,π1​(q1​)=λΩ1​(q1​)

hold, so the supply chain's optima in both periods are the retailer's optima (with equivalence for λ>0\lambda > 0λ>0). In addition,

w2−c2=w1−(λc1+(1−λ)c2)<w1−c1(λ<1).w_2 - c_2 = w_1 - \big(\lambda c_1 + (1-\lambda)c_2\big) < w_1 - c_1 \quad (\lambda < 1).w2​−c2​=w1​−(λc1​+(1−λ)c2​)<w1​−c1​(λ<1).

Milestones

  1. The structure of the period-2 problem, Eqs. (25)–(26): q2(ξ)q_2(\xi)q2​(ξ) solves F(q2(ξ) ∣ ξ)=(p−c2)/pF(q_2(\xi)\,|\,\xi) = (p-c_2)/pF(q2​(ξ)∣ξ)=(p−c2​)/p and increases in ξ\xiξ, and the threshold ξ(q1)\xi(q_1)ξ(q1​) splits the signals into those that trigger a period-2 order and those that do not.
  2. The retailer's period-2 identity (p. 65).
  3. The supplier fills any period-2 order up to q2(q1,ξ)q_2(q_1,\xi)q2​(q1​,ξ), and for λ<1\lambda < 1λ<1 she does not fill a larger one (p. 65).
  4. The retailer's period-1 identity (p. 66).
  5. The first-order condition (27) for q1oq_1^oq1o​.
  6. The supplier's period-2 profit increases in her stock below q1q_1q1​, so she produces at least the period-1 order (p. 66).
  7. The supplier produces exactly the period-1 order (p. 67).
  8. The margin comparison (p. 67).

Significance

The result shows that the buy back contract, which coordinates the single-period newsvendor, extends to a setting with a forecast update and two production modes, even when the supplier is free to under-deliver or to stockpile. Profit can be divided arbitrarily through λ\lambdaλ. Coordination also forces the supplier's margin on expensive late production below her margin on cheap early production, which contradicts the intuition that the better-informed late order should command a premium. Milestone 7 rules out stranded inventory: under the coordinating terms the supplier never stocks more than the retailer ordered in period 1.

These results are established on paper in Cachon's chapter. No machine-checked version is known. The identities are algebraic. The supplier's production result needs differentiation of an expectation over the signal across the moving threshold ξ(x)\xi(x)ξ(x).

Difficulty

The retailer's identities reduce to algebra once the contract terms are substituted, and the margin comparison is one line. The substantive steps are the derivative formulas (27) and ∂Π1(x ∣ q1)/∂x=−c1+c2(1−G(ξ(x)))\partial \Pi_1(x\,|\,q_1)/\partial x = -c_1 + c_2(1 - G(\xi(x)))∂Π1​(x∣q1​)/∂x=−c1​+c2​(1−G(ξ(x))). The obvious move, differentiating inside the expectation term by term, fails because the period-2 optimum max⁡(q1,q2(ξ))\max(q_1, q_2(\xi))max(q1​,q2​(ξ)) has a kink at ξ=ξ(q1)\xi = \xi(q_1)ξ=ξ(q1​). The integrand switches between two regimes, and the switch point moves with q1q_1q1​. The supplier's period-1 profit is not differentiable at x=q1x = q_1x=q1​; only its right derivative is negative at q1oq_1^oq1o​. Turning the page's derivative statements into the global claim that x=q1ox = q_1^ox=q1o​ is her unique optimum needs a monotonicity argument on both sides of q1oq_1^oq1o​.

Formalization scope

The conditional law is a measurable family ξ↦Dξ\xi \mapsto D_\xiξ↦Dξ​ of probability measures on R\mathbb RR supported on [0,∞)[0,\infty)[0,∞), each with a finite mean, a continuous distribution function, and a distribution function strictly increasing on [0,∞)[0,\infty)[0,∞). The signal has a measurable density g≥0g \ge 0g≥0 with ∫0∞g=1\int_0^\infty g = 1∫0∞​g=1, and demand has a finite unconditional mean. These standing assumptions follow the chapter's p. 7 newsvendor model, together with the measurability needed for expectations over the signal. 0<c2<p0 < c_2 < p0<c2​<p makes the critical ratio lie in (0,1)(0,1)(0,1). Expected sales reuse the platform definition SupplyChainTheory.expSales (from SupplyChainTheory_contracts).

The optimum q2(q1,ξ)q_2(q_1,\xi)q2​(q1​,ξ) is a hypothesis-carried selection maximizing Ω2\Omega_2Ω2​ over q2≥q1q_2 \ge q_1q2​≥q1​. It is never an arbitrary function: a formalization that let q2(q1,ξ)q_2(q_1,\xi)q2​(q1​,ξ) be unconstrained would make π1=λΩ1\pi_1 = \lambda\Omega_1π1​=λΩ1​ a statement about meaningless orders. The thresholds ξ(q1)\xi(q_1)ξ(q1​) enter as solutions of (26) whose existence is assumed where the page assumes it. Optimal order quantities are taken over q1≥0q_1 \ge 0q1​≥0 and q2≥q1q_2 \ge q_1q2​≥q1​. Derivatives are stated with HasDerivAt (or HasDerivWithinAt for the right derivative at a kink).

Three corrections of the print are disclosed in the item notes:

  • the strict margin inequality fails at λ=1\lambda = 1λ=1;
  • the p. 66 identity for Π2(x,q1,q2,ξ)\Pi_2(x, q_1, q_2, \xi)Π2​(x,q1​,q2​,ξ) is off by the constant (1−λ)c2q1(1-\lambda)c_2q_1(1−λ)c2​q1​;
  • "retailer optimal equals chain optimal" needs λ>0\lambda > 0λ>0 in the converse direction.

Contributions are welcome on all milestones. A lemma that differentiates q↦E[max⁡q2≥qΩ2]q \mapsto E[\max_{q_2 \ge q} \Omega_2]q↦E[maxq2​≥q​Ω2​] with a density-driven threshold would be reusable beyond this mission.

Selected references

  • G. P. Cachon, Supply Chain Coordination with Contracts, in S. Graves and T. de Kok (eds.), Handbooks in Operations Research and Management Science, Vol. 11: Supply Chain Management, North-Holland, 2003, Ch. 6. https://doi.org/10.1016/S0927-0507(03)11006-7
  • K. L. Donohue, Efficient Supply Contracts for Fashion Goods with Forecast Updating and Two Production Modes, Management Science 46(11), 1397–1411, 2000. https://doi.org/10.1287/mnsc.46.11.1397.12088
  • M. Fisher and A. Raman, Reducing the Cost of Demand Uncertainty Through Accurate Response to Early Sales, Operations Research 44(1), 87–99, 1996. https://doi.org/10.1287/opre.44.1.87
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Complexity TheoryOperations ResearchTheoretical Computer Science·Captain: mikedeng1

Complexity of Machine Scheduling Problems 3: KNAPSACK Reduces to Single-Machine Total Weighted TardinessResearch Paper

Motivation

Minimizing total weighted tardiness on a single machine, written n∣1∣∣∑wjTjn|1||\sum w_jT_jn∣1∣∣∑wj​Tj​, is one of the basic problems of deterministic scheduling. A job that finishes after its due date is penalized in proportion to its lateness and its weight. Practitioners use this criterion to model penalty clauses and customer priority. In the theory it was a reference problem for branch-and-bound methods and dominance rules throughout the 1960s and 1970s.

Close relatives are easy: with equal weights and a common due date, shortest-processing-time order is optimal. Whether the weighted problem admits a polynomial algorithm was open until the report of Brucker, Lenstra and Rinnooy Kan in 1975. Their Theorem 4(d) shows that KNAPSACK reduces to it, so the problem is NP-hard. The unweighted case n∣1∣∣∑Tjn|1||\sum T_jn∣1∣∣∑Tj​ is listed there as open (Section 5) and was settled only later by Du and Leung (1990).

Timeline:

  • 1972: Karp proves KNAPSACK NP-complete (Karp 1972).
  • 1975: Brucker, Lenstra and Rinnooy Kan, Mathematisch Centrum Report BW 43/75, Theorem 4(d), reduce KNAPSACK to n∣1∣∣∑wjTjn|1||\sum w_jT_jn∣1∣∣∑wj​Tj​ (journal version: Annals of Discrete Mathematics 1, 1977).
  • 1977: Lawler gives a pseudopolynomial algorithm for n∣1∣∣∑Tjn|1||\sum T_jn∣1∣∣∑Tj​ and shows that n∣1∣∣∑wjTjn|1||\sum w_jT_jn∣1∣∣∑wj​Tj​ is strongly NP-hard (Lawler 1977).
  • 1990: Du and Leung prove n∣1∣∣∑Tjn|1||\sum T_jn∣1∣∣∑Tj​ NP-hard (Du & Leung 1990).

Setting

A KNAPSACK instance consists of positive integers a1,…,ata_1,\dots,a_ta1​,…,at​ and bbb. It is a yes-instance if some subset S⊆T={1,…,t}S\subseteq T=\{1,\dots,t\}S⊆T={1,…,t} satisfies ∑j∈Saj=b\sum_{j\in S}a_j=b∑j∈S​aj​=b. Write A=∑j∈TajA=\sum_{j\in T}a_jA=∑j∈T​aj​ and a∗=max⁡j∈Taja_*=\max_{j\in T}a_ja∗​=maxj∈T​aj​.

An instance of n∣1∣∣∑wjTjn|1||\sum w_jT_jn∣1∣∣∑wj​Tj​ consists of nnn jobs. Job jjj has a processing time pjp_jpj​, a weight wjw_jwj​ and a due date djd_jdj​, all nonnegative integers, and every job is available at time 000. A schedule gives each job a start time Bj∈NB_j\in\mathbb NBj​∈N, and no two jobs may overlap on the machine. Job jjj completes at Cj=Bj+pjC_j=B_j+p_jCj​=Bj​+pj​ and has tardiness Tj=max⁡{0,Cj−dj}T_j=\max\{0,C_j-d_j\}Tj​=max{0,Cj​−dj​}. The instance with threshold yyy is a yes-instance if some schedule satisfies ∑jwjTj≤y\sum_jw_jT_j\le y∑j​wj​Tj​≤y. A processing order π=(π(1),…,π(n))\pi=(\pi(1),\dots,\pi(n))π=(π(1),…,π(n)) determines the schedule without idle time, in which Cπ(k)=∑i≤kpπ(i)C_{\pi(k)}=\sum_{i\le k}p_{\pi(i)}Cπ(k)​=∑i≤k​pπ(i)​.

Reducibility (Section 2 of the paper) is polynomial-time many-one reducibility between the recognition versions. A polynomial-time Turing machine must map codes of KNAPSACK instances to codes of scheduling instances so that yes-instances map exactly to yes-instances.

The paper's construction has n=t+t′n=t+t'n=t+t′ jobs: for j∈Tj\in Tj∈T, pj=τ+ajp_j=\tau+a_jpj​=τ+aj​, wj=τ+aj+1w_j=\tau+a_j+1wj​=τ+aj​+1, dj=tτ+bd_j=t\tau+bdj​=tτ+b; for each of the t′t't′ dummy jobs, pj=τp_j=\taupj​=τ, wj=τ+1w_j=\tau+1wj​=τ+1, dj=tτ+bd_j=t\tau+bdj​=tτ+b. The threshold is y=12t′(t′+1)τ(τ+1)+(t′+1)τ(A−b)+t′y=\tfrac12t'(t'+1)\tau(\tau+1)+(t'+1)\tau(A-b)+t'y=21​t′(t′+1)τ(τ+1)+(t′+1)τ(A−b)+t′, with t′=12(t+1)(A−b)+12t(t+1)a∗2t'=\tfrac12(t+1)(A-b)+\tfrac12t(t+1)a_*^2t′=21​(t+1)(A−b)+21​t(t+1)a∗2​ and τ>2t′+A\tau>2t'+Aτ>2t′+A. The proof is phrased in terms of cπ=Cπ(t)−(tτ+b)c_\pi=C_{\pi(t)}-(t\tau+b)cπ​=Cπ(t)​−(tτ+b), the amount by which the ttt-th job of the order misses the common due date.

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem 4(d)

KNAPSACK  ∝  n∣1∣∣∑wjTj,\text{KNAPSACK}\;\propto\;n|1||\textstyle\sum w_jT_j,KNAPSACK∝n∣1∣∣∑wj​Tj​,

stated as CookPvsNP.PolyReducible SchedComplexity.OneMachine.knapsackLang wtLangMult. The scheduling side uses the multiplicity encoding of the paper's Remark (p. 23), in which a class of identical jobs is written once together with its cardinality.

The equivalence and its claims

Each milestone is a statement of the paper's proof (pp. 20–21) about the construction above, for every admissible τ\tauτ:

  • removal of idle time: every schedule is matched or improved by the schedule without idle time of some processing order;
  • KNAPSACK has a solution iff some order has Cπ(t)=tτ+bC_{\pi(t)}=t\tau+bCπ(t)​=tτ+b; moreover −b≤cπ≤A−b-b\le c_\pi\le A-b−b≤cπ​≤A−b;
  • identities and bounds (2)–(7) for the tail sums ∑j>tvπ(j)(Cπ(j)−Cπ(t))\sum_{j>t}v_{\pi(j)}(C_{\pi(j)}-C_{\pi(t)})∑j>t​vπ(j)​(Cπ(j)​−Cπ(t)​);
  • claims (A) cπ=0⇒∃π′c_\pi=0\Rightarrow\exists\pi'cπ​=0⇒∃π′ with cπ′=0c_{\pi'}=0cπ′​=0 and ∑wjTj≤y\sum w_jT_j\le y∑wj​Tj​≤y; (B) cπ>0⇒∑wjTj>yc_\pi>0\Rightarrow\sum w_jT_j>ycπ​>0⇒∑wj​Tj​>y; (C) cπ<0⇒∑wjTj>yc_\pi<0\Rightarrow\sum w_jT_j>ycπ​<0⇒∑wj​Tj​>y;
  • the equivalence: KNAPSACK has a solution iff the constructed instance has a schedule with ∑wjTj≤y\sum w_jT_j\le y∑wj​Tj​≤y.

Significance

The theorem places n∣1∣∣∑wjTjn|1||\sum w_jT_jn∣1∣∣∑wj​Tj​ among the NP-hard problems, so (unless P = NP) the research on it has to aim at enumerative methods, pseudopolynomial algorithms or approximation, not at an exact polynomial algorithm. Together with the companion reductions of Theorem 4, it drew the boundary between easy and hard single-machine problems that the later classification of Lageweg, Lawler, Lenstra and Rinnooy Kan made systematic.

The result is proved in the paper, and Lawler's later strong NP-hardness proof supersedes it. No machine-checked proof is known to exist. A formal proof adds three things. It makes the paper's "it is easily seen" steps and the encoding argument of the Remark explicit. It produces a reusable single-machine tardiness model with processing orders. It also fixes a gap in the printed construction: the printed t′t't′ need not be an integer.

Difficulty

The equivalence is not a local exchange argument. The threshold yyy must separate orders with cπ=0c_\pi=0cπ​=0 from all others, and the objective is a quadratic function of the order. The orders with cπ=0c_\pi=0cπ​=0 can still differ in ∑wjTj\sum w_jT_j∑wj​Tj​ by the cross terms ∑aπ(j)aπ(k)\sum a_{\pi(j)}a_{\pi(k)}∑aπ(j)​aπ(k)​ and by how the late jobs are arranged. The construction therefore needs a slack t′t't′ that absorbs these terms, and a scale τ\tauτ large enough that a nonzero cπc_\picπ​ always costs more than the slack. Keeping exact track of every constant, including t′t't′ and yyy, is where errors creep in.

Polynomiality is a second, separate difficulty. The construction has Θ(t2a∗2+tA)\Theta(t^2a_*^2+tA)Θ(t2a∗2​+tA) jobs, which is exponential in the binary length of the KNAPSACK input. The goal holds only for the encoding of the Remark, and a solver must also produce an explicit polynomial-time Turing machine.

Formalization scope

  • Jobs of the order-based statements are Fin n, numbered from 000; a processing order is Equiv.Perm (Fin n) with π i the paper's π(i+1)\pi(i+1)π(i+1). posCompletion p π k is the paper's Cπ(k)C_{\pi(k)}Cπ(k)​ for the 1-based position kkk.
  • Start times are in N\mathbb NN. Every criterion is regular and the paper determines schedules by processing orders, so integer start times lose nothing. Tardiness and ∑wjTj\sum w_jT_j∑wj​Tj​ are computed in Z\mathbb ZZ; the bounds with halves are stated over R\mathbb RR exactly as printed.
  • Corrected gap: the printed t′=12(t+1)(A−b)+12t(t+1)a∗2t'=\tfrac12(t+1)(A-b)+\tfrac12t(t+1)a_*^2t′=21​(t+1)(A−b)+21​t(t+1)a∗2​ is a half-integer when (t+1)(A−b)(t+1)(A-b)(t+1)(A−b) is odd. The formalization uses its ceiling and computes yyy from the same t′t't′.
  • τ\tauτ is quantified over all integers with τ>2t′+A\tau>2t'+Aτ>2t′+A; the positivity of the aja_jaj​ and 0<b<A0<b<A0<b<A are hypotheses, as the paper assumes them.
  • Explicit readings of the paper's loose phrases: "we may assume [no idle time]" becomes a theorem that the schedule without idle time of some order is at least as good as any schedule; "easily seen" becomes the equivalence with Cπ(t)=tτ+bC_{\pi(t)}=t\tau+bCπ(t)​=tτ+b; "for some π\piπ" in (5) and (7) becomes a reordering that keeps the first ttt positions, and so keeps cπc_\picπ​; "we may assume 0<b<A0<b<A0<b<A" is a hypothesis of the milestones but not of the goal, whose reduction must handle every KNAPSACK instance.
  • Reducibility is CookPvsNP.PolyReducible from the published CookPvsNP_defs. Codes use the alphabet BSym and the binary numerals encNats of the published ProjSchedTW.Complexity.Encoding (Neumann, Schwindt and Zimmermann's encoding). KNAPSACK is restricted to positive integers, so that encoding's subsetSumLang is not reused.
  • The goal must not be weakened to the bare equivalence: polynomial-time computability of the reduction is part of the statement. The one-copy-per-job encoding of the target is ruled out: the paper does not claim polynomiality for it, and the goal uses the multiplicity encoding instead.
  • Welcome contributions: proofs of the claims, a reusable lemma that idle time can be removed for regular criteria, and Turing-machine constructions for arithmetic on binary numerals, which the sibling missions of this series also need.

Selected references

  • P. Brucker, J. K. Lenstra, A. H. G. Rinnooy Kan, Complexity of Machine Scheduling Problems, Mathematisch Centrum Report BW 43/75, Amsterdam, 1975; Annals of Discrete Mathematics 1 (1977) 343–362. https://ir.cwi.nl/pub/9725 , https://doi.org/10.1016/S0167-5060(08)70743-X
  • R. M. Karp, Reducibility among combinatorial problems, in Complexity of Computer Computations, Plenum, 1972, 85–103. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-1-4684-2001-2_9
  • E. L. Lawler, A "pseudopolynomial" algorithm for sequencing jobs to minimize total tardiness, Annals of Discrete Mathematics 1 (1977) 331–342. https://doi.org/10.1016/S0167-5060(08)70742-8
  • J. Du, J. Y.-T. Leung, Minimizing total tardiness on one machine is NP-hard, Mathematics of Operations Research 15 (1990) 483–495. https://doi.org/10.1287/moor.15.3.483
  • S. Cook, The P versus NP problem, Clay Mathematics Institute problem description, 2000. https://www.claymath.org/wp-content/uploads/2022/06/pvsnp.pdf
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Discrete GeometryLinear OptimizationNumber Theory+1·Captain: mikedeng1

Integer Programming with a Fixed Number of Variables 1: If B(p,r) ⊂ τK ⊂ B(p,R) with R/r ≤ c₁ and τK Misses the Lattice, Fewer Than 1 + c₁c₂√n Lattice Hyperplanes H + kbₙ Meet B(p,R)Research Paper

Motivation

The integer linear programming feasibility problem asks, for an integer m×nm\times nm×n matrix AAA and b∈Zmb\in\mathbb Z^mb∈Zm, whether some x∈Znx\in\mathbb Z^nx∈Zn satisfies Ax≤bAx\le bAx≤b. It is NP-complete, so no algorithm polynomial in the length of the data is expected. H. W. Lenstra, Jr. (Math. Oper. Res. 8 (1983) 538–548) showed that the picture changes when the number of variables nnn is fixed: the problem is then solvable in polynomial time. The proof is a short argument from the geometry of numbers, and it became the starting point of lattice methods in integer programming, including Kannan's improved algorithm and the later flatness-based branching schemes.

Lenstra's introduction (p. 538) describes the idea as transforming the problem into an equivalent one in which "either the existence of a vector x∈Znx \in \mathbb Z^nx∈Zn satisfying Ax≤bAx \le bAx≤b is obvious; or it is known that the last coordinate of any such xxx belongs to an interval whose length is bounded by a constant only depending on nnn." This mission formalizes the geometric statement behind that dichotomy, §1 of the paper.

Timeline. For n=2n = 2n=2, Hirschberg and Wong and Kannan gave polynomial algorithms in special cases, and Scarf treated the case n=2n=2n=2 completely; the case of general fixed nnn was conjectured by Hirschberg–Wong and Scarf (as recounted on p. 538). Lenstra's paper (received 1981, published 1983) settled the conjecture. Its lattice reduction step uses the algorithm of Lenstra, Lenstra and Lovász (1982). Kannan (1987) later reduced the dependence on nnn to nO(n)n^{O(n)}nO(n).

Setting

Work in Rn\mathbb R^nRn with the Euclidean length ∣⋅∣|\cdot|∣⋅∣, and write B(p,z)={x∈Rn:∣x−p∣≤z}B(p,z)=\{x\in\mathbb R^n : |x-p|\le z\}B(p,z)={x∈Rn:∣x−p∣≤z} for the closed ball with centre ppp and radius z>0z>0z>0.

A lattice is L=∑i=1nZbiL=\sum_{i=1}^n \mathbb Z b_iL=∑i=1n​Zbi​ for a basis b1,…,bnb_1,\dots,b_nb1​,…,bn​ of Rn\mathbb R^nRn. Its determinant d(L)=∣det⁡(b1,…,bn)∣d(L)=|\det(b_1,\dots,b_n)|d(L)=∣det(b1​,…,bn​)∣ (the bib_ibi​ as columns) is the volume of the parallelepiped ∑i[0,1) bi\sum_i[0,1)\,b_i∑i​[0,1)bi​ and does not depend on the basis. Hadamard's inequality (6) says d(L)≤∏i∣bi∣d(L)\le\prod_i|b_i|d(L)≤∏i​∣bi​∣. A basis is reduced in Lenstra's sense if, for a constant c2c_2c2​ depending only on nnn,

∏i=1n∣bi∣≤c2⋅d(L).(7)\prod_{i=1}^n |b_i| \le c_2\cdot d(L). \tag{7}i=1∏n​∣bi​∣≤c2​⋅d(L).(7)

Singling out bnb_nbn​, let H=∑i=1n−1RbiH=\sum_{i=1}^{n-1}\mathbb R b_iH=∑i=1n−1​Rbi​ be the hyperplane spanned by the other vectors, L′=∑i=1n−1ZbiL'=\sum_{i=1}^{n-1}\mathbb Z b_iL′=∑i=1n−1​Zbi​ the lattice inside it, and hhh the distance of bnb_nbn​ to HHH. Then L⊂⋃k∈Z(H+kbn)L\subset\bigcup_{k\in\mathbb Z}(H+kb_n)L⊂⋃k∈Z​(H+kbn​): the lattice lies on a family of parallel hyperplanes H+kbnH + kb_nH+kbn​ at successive distance hhh.

In the paper, K={x:Ax≤b}K=\{x : Ax\le b\}K={x:Ax≤b} is bounded with positive volume, and a linear map τ\tauτ makes it "round":

B(p,r)⊂τK⊂B(p,R)(3),R/r≤c1(4),B(p,r)\subset\tau K\subset B(p,R)\quad(3),\qquad R/r\le c_1\quad(4),B(p,r)⊂τK⊂B(p,R)(3),R/r≤c1​(4),

with c1c_1c1​ depending only on nnn. Then K∩Zn=∅K\cap\mathbb Z^n=\emptysetK∩Zn=∅ if and only if τK∩L=∅\tau K\cap L=\emptysetτK∩L=∅ for L=τZnL=\tau\mathbb Z^nL=τZn, a lattice with basis bi=τ(ei)b_i=\tau(e_i)bi​=τ(ei​).

Formalization targets

Goal (§1, p. 541)

Let b1,…,bnb_1,\dots,b_nb1​,…,bn​ be a basis with (7), numbered so that ∣bn∣=max⁡i∣bi∣|b_n|=\max_i|b_i|∣bn​∣=maxi​∣bi​∣, and let τK\tau KτK satisfy (3) and (4). Then

τK∩L≠∅ort−1<c1c2n,\tau K\cap L\neq\emptyset\quad\text{or}\quad t-1<c_1c_2\sqrt n,τK∩L=∅ort−1<c1​c2​n​,

where ttt is the number of hyperplanes H+kbnH+kb_nH+kbn​, k∈Zk\in\mathbb Zk∈Z, that meet B(p,R)B(p,R)B(p,R) (finiteness included).

Milestones, in the order the paper uses them

  1. LEMMA (8), p. 540: every xxx has y∈Ly\in Ly∈L with ∣x−y∣2≤14(∣b1∣2+⋯+∣bn∣2)|x-y|^2\le\frac14(|b_1|^2+\cdots+|b_n|^2)∣x−y∣2≤41​(∣b1​∣2+⋯+∣bn​∣2).
  2. (10), p. 540: if ∣bn∣|b_n|∣bn​∣ is maximal, ∣x−y∣≤12n ∣bn∣|x-y|\le\frac12\sqrt n\,|b_n|∣x−y∣≤21​n​∣bn​∣.
  3. (11), p. 540: d(L)=h⋅d(L′)d(L)=h\cdot d(L')d(L)=h⋅d(L′).
  4. (12), pp. 540–541: under (7), c2−1∣bn∣≤h≤∣bn∣c_2^{-1}|b_n|\le h\le|b_n|c2−1​∣bn​∣≤h≤∣bn​∣.
  5. p. 541: if B(p,r)⊂τKB(p,r)\subset\tau KB(p,r)⊂τK and τK∩L=∅\tau K\cap L=\emptysetτK∩L=∅, then r<12n ∣bn∣r<\frac12\sqrt n\,|b_n|r<21​n​∣bn​∣.
  6. p. 541: if precisely ttt hyperplanes H+kbnH+kb_nH+kbn​ meet B(p,R)B(p,R)B(p,R), then t−1≤2R/ht-1\le 2R/ht−1≤2R/h.

The goal leaves c1c_1c1​ and c2c_2c2​ free, so it remains valid for any reduction algorithm and any rounding procedure; the companion mission (Integer Programming with a Fixed Number of Variables 2) supplies c1=2n3/2c_1 = 2n^{3/2}c1​=2n3/2, and the LLL algorithm supplies c2=2n(n−1)/4c_2=2^{n(n-1)/4}c2​=2n(n−1)/4.

Significance

The result. The goal is the branching step of Lenstra's algorithm. It says that a lattice-point-free convex body that is well rounded is "flat" in the lattice direction dual to HHH: only boundedly many lattice hyperplanes meet it. The search for a lattice point in dimension nnn therefore reduces to fewer than 1+c1c2n1+c_1c_2\sqrt n1+c1​c2​n​ searches in dimension n−1n-1n−1, which with nnn fixed gives polynomial running time. Sharper forms of the same dichotomy, such as Kannan's bounds, are the basis of later lattice-based integer programming algorithms.

Formalizing it. The results are classical and proved on paper; to our knowledge none of the statements of §1 is machine-checked. Hadamard's inequality (6) is in Mathlib (Orientation.abs_volumeForm_apply_le). The published platform theorem KannanLattice.Core.exists_lattice_point_near_projection (Kannan 1987, Proposition 4.2) proves a stronger form of (8) and (10), with Gram–Schmidt lengths in place of ∣bi∣|b_i|∣bi​∣; for L=ZnL=\mathbb Z^nL=Zn, (10) is the published QFS.exists_lattice_mem_closedBall. What remains is the "base times height" identity (11) relating a full-rank determinant to the distance of a vector from a hyperplane, the spacing bound (12), the count of hyperplanes meeting a ball, and their assembly. This is one of the two geometric ingredients of Lenstra's polynomial algorithm; the algorithm itself and its running time are not formalized.

Difficulty

The argument is short on paper, and each step is "clear" there. The work lies in connecting three descriptions of the same geometry that Mathlib keeps apart: the determinant of a coordinate matrix (d(L)d(L)d(L)), the metric distance of a point to a subspace (hhh), and the (n−1)(n-1)(n−1)-dimensional volume of L′L'L′. Identity (11) needs exactly this bridge, and (12) needs Hadamard's inequality for the lower-dimensional lattice L′L'L′ inside a hyperplane of Rn\mathbb R^nRn, not for a full-rank matrix. Bounding the number of hyperplanes meeting a ball needs the normal direction of HHH and the fact that the hyperplanes are hhh apart along it. A tempting shortcut is to define hhh as the length of the last Gram–Schmidt vector and d(L)d(L)d(L) as the product of Gram–Schmidt lengths: that turns (11) into a tautology and is ruled out below.

Formalization scope

  • Rn\mathbb R^nRn is EuclideanSpace ℝ (Fin n), so norms are Euclidean and balls round; B(p,z)B(p,z)B(p,z) is Metric.closedBall p z with z>0z>0z>0 as a hypothesis where the paper writes a ball.
  • Where bnb_nbn​ is singled out, n=k+1n=k+1n=k+1, the basis is b : Fin (k+1) → ℝⁿ, bnb_nbn​ = b (Fin.last k) and b1,…,bn−1b_1,\dots,b_{n-1}b1​,…,bn−1​ = b ∘ Fin.castSucc. "Basis for LLL" is linear independence of the nnn vectors over R\mathbb RR, and LLL is the published KannanLattice.Core.lattice b, the Z\mathbb ZZ-span.
  • d(L)d(L)d(L) is the paper's definition, ∣det⁡∣|\det|∣det∣ of the column matrix (latDet). hhh is Metric.infDist from bnb_nbn​ to the span HHH. d(L′)d(L')d(L′), for which the paper writes no formula, is the published KannanLattice.Core.latticeDet (the product of Gram–Schmidt lengths of b1,…,bn−1b_1,\dots,b_{n-1}b1​,…,bn−1​, the (n−1)(n-1)(n−1)-volume of their parallelepiped).
  • The hyperplanes H+kbnH+kb_nH+kbn​ meeting B(p,R)B(p,R)B(p,R) are indexed by the set of integers hitIndices b p R; ttt is its cardinality, its finiteness is part of every conclusion (the cardinality of an infinite set is 000 in Lean), and t−1t-1t−1 is computed in R\mathbb RR.
  • The constants "only depending on nnn", c1c_1c1​ and c2c_2c2​, are arbitrary real numbers. The reducedness (7) is a hypothesis, and so is the maximality ∣bi∣≤∣bn∣|b_i|\le|b_n|∣bi​∣≤∣bn​∣, which enters (10), the radius bound and the goal only.
  • τK\tau KτK is an arbitrary set X⊆RnX\subseteq\mathbb R^nX⊆Rn satisfying (3); §1 never uses that KKK is a polyhedron or the map τ\tauτ, and every lattice is τZn\tau\mathbb Z^nτZn for τ(ei)=bi\tau(e_i)=b_iτ(ei​)=bi​. The paper's "for some p∈τKp\in\tau Kp∈τK" follows from (3).
  • The identity (11) is stated without (7), which the paper assumes in the surrounding sentence but does not use.
  • Ruled out: defining d(L)d(L)d(L) or hhh through Gram–Schmidt lengths (which makes (11) bookkeeping), dropping finiteness of the hyperplane count, and replacing the dichotomy "some lattice point lies in τK\tau KτK" by a statement about one computed lattice point.

Welcome contributions: the bridge between Matrix.det of a basis and products of Gram–Schmidt lengths (reusable for any lattice development), Hadamard's inequality for a family of fewer than nnn vectors, and the count of lattice hyperplanes meeting a ball.

Selected references

  • H. W. Lenstra, Jr., Integer Programming with a Fixed Number of Variables, Mathematics of Operations Research 8(4) (1983) 538–548. https://doi.org/10.1287/moor.8.4.538
  • A. K. Lenstra, H. W. Lenstra, Jr., L. Lovász, Factoring polynomials with rational coefficients, Mathematische Annalen 261 (1982) 515–534. https://doi.org/10.1007/BF01457454
  • R. Kannan, Minkowski's convex body theorem and integer programming, Mathematics of Operations Research 12(3) (1987) 415–440. https://doi.org/10.1287/moor.12.3.415
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Operations ResearchOptimizationProbability·Captain: mikedeng1

Supply Chain Coordination with Contracts VII: In the Single-Location Base-Stock Model the Transfers t_I = (1 − λ)h_r, t_B = β_r − λβ Make the Retailer's Cost λc(s_r)Textbook

Motivation

A retailer can keep too little inventory even when its own stocking decision is optimal. In the single-location model of Cachon, Supply Chain Coordination with Contracts (2003), the supplier suffers a cost when the retailer has backorders, but the retailer does not bear that part of the cost. The supplier and retailer therefore prefer different base-stock levels. Section 6.7 asks whether payments tied to expected inventory and backorders can make the retailer choose the level that minimizes their combined cost. The result also describes how the contract divides that cost between the firms.

The model concerns a continuing operation with repeated replenishment opportunities and backordered demand. A base-stock policy keeps the retailer's inventory position at a chosen level by replacing units as demand occurs. Cachon reduces the cost calculation for such a policy to the distribution of demand over one replenishment lead time. That reduction allows the coordination question to be stated with one real stock-level decision rather than a full inventory trajectory. The chapter presents this model as a building block for its two-location system in §6.8 Cachon (2003).

Setting

Let DrD_rDr​ denote lead-time demand, the amount demanded while the retailer waits for replenishment. It is nonnegative and has a finite mean μr=E[Dr]\mu_r=\mathbb E[D_r]μr​=E[Dr​], distribution function FrF_rFr​, and density frf_rfr​. At inventory level s∈Rs\in\mathbb Rs∈R, expected inventory is Ir(s)=E[(s−Dr)+]I_r(s)=\mathbb E[(s-D_r)^+]Ir​(s)=E[(s−Dr​)+] and expected backorders are Br(s)=E[(Dr−s)+]B_r(s)=\mathbb E[(D_r-s)^+]Br​(s)=E[(Dr​−s)+], where x+=max⁡(x,0)x^+=\max(x,0)x+=max(x,0). The section assumes Fr(0)=0F_r(0)=0Fr​(0)=0 and a strictly increasing differentiable FrF_rFr​ on nonnegative levels. These assumptions place the optimum above zero.

The retailer pays holding cost hrIr(s)h_r I_r(s)hr​Ir​(s) and its own backorder cost βrBr(s)\beta_r B_r(s)βr​Br​(s). The supplier pays a further backorder cost βsBr(s)\beta_s B_r(s)βs​Br​(s). All three cost rates are positive. Thus cr(s)=hrIr(s)+βrBr(s)c_r(s)=h_r I_r(s)+\beta_r B_r(s)cr​(s)=hr​Ir​(s)+βr​Br​(s) and cs(s)=βsBr(s)c_s(s)=\beta_s B_r(s)cs​(s)=βs​Br​(s) are the firms' costs, while c(s)=cr(s)+cs(s)c(s)=c_r(s)+c_s(s)c(s)=cr​(s)+cs​(s) is the channel cost. Write β=βr+βs\beta=\beta_r+\beta_sβ=βr​+βs​. Because demand is backordered rather than lost, the section treats the sales rate as constant across the stock decisions and compares costs alone Cachon (2003), §6.7.1.

The proposed contract pays the retailer tIIr(s)+tBBr(s)t_I I_r(s)+t_B B_r(s)tI​Ir​(s)+tB​Br​(s) from the supplier, where tIt_ItI​ and tBt_BtB​ are transfer rates. A positive rate is a subsidy; a negative rate charges the retailer. For a parameter λ∈(0,1]\lambda\in(0,1]λ∈(0,1], the contract sets tI=(1−λ)hrt_I=(1-\lambda)h_rtI​=(1−λ)hr​ and tB=βr−λβt_B=\beta_r-\lambda\betatB​=βr​−λβ. The retailer's contracted cost is its original cost minus this transfer; the supplier's contracted cost is its original cost plus it. The parameter λ\lambdaλ describes a family of printed contract rates and is not itself a payment term Cachon (2003), p. 74.

Formalization targets

The milestones establish the two expectation identities, the channel's cost formula and strict convexity, the channel's critical ratio, the retailer's lower uncontracted stock level, and the retailer's cost after the printed transfer. In the notation above, the channel optimum sr∘s_r^\circsr∘​ is unique and satisfies

Fr(sr∘)=βhr+β;F_r(s_r^\circ)=\frac{\beta}{h_r+\beta};Fr​(sr∘​)=hr​+ββ​;

the uncontracted retailer has its own unique optimum sr∗s_r^*sr∗​ with sr∗<sr∘s_r^*<s_r^\circsr∗​<sr∘​. Three further statements of §6.7.1 complete the section: the signs of the transfer rates over the family (tI≥0t_I\ge0tI​≥0, with tI>0t_I>0tI​>0 exactly for λ<1\lambda<1λ<1, and {tB:0<λ≤1}=[−βs,βr)\{t_B:0<\lambda\le1\}=[-\beta_s,\beta_r){tB​:0<λ≤1}=[−βs​,βr​)); the decomposition

tIIr(y)+tBBr(y)=(tI+tB)Ir(y)+tB(μr−y);t_I I_r(y)+t_B B_r(y)=(t_I+t_B)I_r(y)+t_B(\mu_r-y);tI​Ir​(y)+tB​Br​(y)=(tI​+tB​)Ir​(y)+tB​(μr​−y);

and the equivalence with the newsvendor model: with lead-time demand as newsvendor demand, retail price p=hr+βrp=h_r+\beta_rp=hr​+βr​ and wholesale price w=hrw=h_rw=hr​, the newsvendor retailer's profit pS(q)−wqpS(q)-wqpS(q)−wq, with expected sales S(q)=E[min⁡(q,Dr)]S(q)=\mathbb E[\min(q,D_r)]S(q)=E[min(q,Dr​)], equals −cr(q)+βrμr-c_r(q)+\beta_r\mu_r−cr​(q)+βr​μr​. The mission goal is the coordinating identity of Eq. (33), together with the unique optimality it implies:

crλ(s)=λc(s),csλ(s)=(1−λ)c(s)for all s∈R and 0<λ≤1.c_r^\lambda(s)=\lambda c(s),\qquad c_s^\lambda(s)=(1-\lambda)c(s) \quad\text{for all }s\in\mathbb R\text{ and }0<\lambda\le1.crλ​(s)=λc(s),csλ​(s)=(1−λ)c(s)for all s∈R and 0<λ≤1.

Consequently, the retailer's contracted cost has the same unique minimizer sr∘s_r^\circsr∘​ as the channel cost. At each stock level the retailer's contracted cost is strictly increasing in λ\lambdaλ, which is the page's statement that the retailer's share of the cost increases with λ\lambdaλ. The result does not prescribe one fixed allocation of cost: each λ\lambdaλ in the stated interval gives a contract with the same coordinated stock level and a different retailer share Cachon (2003), Eq. (33), p. 74.

Significance

The theorem identifies an explicit transfer that corrects an incentive gap created by the supplier's backorder cost. Without it, the retailer sets stock according to βr\beta_rβr​, while the channel's stock decision uses βr+βs\beta_r+\beta_sβr​+βs​. Under the contract, the retailer bears the fraction λ\lambdaλ of total cost at every stock level, so its decision agrees with the integrated channel's decision. This conclusion connects a decentralized cost objective to the base-stock target used in the next section's two-location analysis Cachon (2003), §§6.7–6.8.

The chapter proves these claims informally; this mission asks for machine-checked Lean proofs of the expectation identities, convexity and optimality claims, and the contract identity. Its reusable output is the precise treatment of expected positive-part inventory and backorders under a demand law with finite mean. The local definitions may also support later formalizations of inventory contracts. Expected sales in the newsvendor comparison is the published SupplyChainTheory.expSales (definition SupplyChainTheory_contracts), referenced rather than redefined. The existing proved SupplyChainTheory.chain_optimal_fractile concerns a single-period newsvendor profit objective; its critical ratio is related mathematically but belongs to a different model and is not substituted for Eq. (31).

Difficulty

The algebra of the transfer rates is short, but the unique-optimum claim depends on more than algebra. It requires expected inventory and backorders to match the distribution formulas, the cost to have the required curvature at nonnegative levels, and the optimum to occur at a positive level. A formal statement that defines the retailer's contracted cost directly as λc\lambda cλc would erase the coordinating claim. The negative-stock region also matters: since demand is nonnegative, expected inventory vanishes there and cost is affine rather than strictly convex. The formulation must keep strict convexity on the range where it holds while still identifying the unique optimum among all real stock levels.

Formalization scope

Lean represents DrD_rDr​ by a probability measure on R\mathbb RR supported on [0,∞)[0,\infty)[0,∞), with an explicit integrable first moment. The density is a measurable nonnegative function whose induced measure is the demand law; the cdf is continuous, strictly increasing on [0,∞)[0,\infty)[0,∞), equals zero at zero, and has that density as its derivative at positive levels. These are the section's distribution assumptions. The positive rates hr,βr,βsh_r,\beta_r,\beta_shr​,βr​,βs​ are fields of one model, and Ir,BrI_r,B_rIr​,Br​ are defined by expectations. This rules out accidental zero values from nonintegrable real integrals. The cost functions are constructed from the expected inventory and backorders; the transfer is constructed from the two printed rates. The identities in Eqs. (28)–(33) are theorem targets, not definitions.

Stock levels are real, including negative levels, because the section does not explicitly restrict the decision set. The formal result states strict convexity on nonnegative levels and uniqueness of the cost minimizers over all real levels. The page's sentence that tI>0t_I>0tI​>0 for all λ∈(0,1]\lambda\in(0,1]λ∈(0,1] fails at λ=1\lambda=1λ=1, where tI=0t_I=0tI​=0; the formal statement asserts tI≥0t_I\ge0tI​≥0 with strict positivity exactly for λ<1\lambda<1λ<1. The contract range is exactly 0<λ≤10<\lambda\le10<λ≤1; λ=0\lambda=0λ=0 would make every retailer stock level cost-equivalent. The transfer sign is positive from supplier to retailer, as on p. 73. Risk neutrality and full information are the chapter's standing conventions. The continuous-review state process, supplier capacity, and proof that a base-stock policy attains the displayed long-run average are not modeled; the mission formalizes the section's explicit lead-time-demand cost reduction. Contributions that establish integrability, distribution identities, strict convexity, and critical-ratio optimality are all needed for closure.

Selected references

  • Gérard P. Cachon, Supply Chain Coordination with Contracts, in Handbooks in Operations Research and Management Science, vol. 11, North-Holland, 2003; source used here: author's third draft, January 2003, §6.7. DOI.
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Complexity TheoryOperations ResearchTheoretical Computer Science·Captain: mikedeng1

Complexity of Machine Scheduling Problems 2: KNAPSACK Reduces to Single-Machine Maximum Lateness, Weighted Number of Late Jobs, and Weighted Completion Time with DeadlinesResearch Paper

Motivation

Deterministic machine scheduling was one of the first application areas of the theory of NP-completeness. After Cook (1971) and Karp (1972) showed that a large family of combinatorial problems are polynomially equivalent, Brucker, Lenstra and Rinnooy Kan set out to locate the boundary between the polynomially solvable and the NP-complete scheduling problems. Their report Complexity of Machine Scheduling Problems (Mathematisch Centrum, Report BW 43/75, 1975; journal version in Annals of Discrete Mathematics 1, 1977) introduced the four-field notation n∣m∣ℓ,λ∣kn|m|\ell,\lambda|kn∣m∣ℓ,λ∣k that, in refined form, is still the standard classification of scheduling problems, and proved NP-completeness of the "easiest" hard problems by explicit reductions.

Single-machine problems with due dates sit right at that boundary. Minimizing the maximum lateness Lmax⁡L_{\max}Lmax​ is solved by Jackson's earliest-due-date rule (1955), and minimizing the number of late jobs by Moore's algorithm (1968). Theorem 4 of the report shows that small changes to these problems — one release date, job weights, or due dates turned into deadlines under a weighted completion-time objective — make them NP-complete, by reduction from KNAPSACK. This mission formalizes four of those reductions, parts (b), (c), (e) and (f) of Theorem 4.

Timeline, as far as this mission is concerned:

  • 1955: Jackson — n∣1∣∣Lmax⁡n|1||L_{\max}n∣1∣∣Lmax​ is solved by sequencing in order of nondecreasing due dates.
  • 1968: Moore — n∣1∣∣∑Ujn|1||\sum U_jn∣1∣∣∑Uj​ (unit weights, no release dates) is solvable in polynomial time.
  • 1972: Karp — KNAPSACK (in the subset-sum form used here) is NP-complete; Karp also notes the reduction to n∣1∣∣∑wjUjn|1||\sum w_jU_jn∣1∣∣∑wj​Uj​, which the report cites for part (e).
  • 1975: Brucker, Lenstra and Rinnooy Kan — Theorem 4: KNAPSACK reduces to ten scheduling problems, including the four single-machine problems of this mission.

Setting

A single-machine instance consists of n≥1n\ge1n≥1 jobs J1,…,JnJ_1,\dots,J_nJ1​,…,Jn​. Job JjJ_jJj​ needs pj1p_{j1}pj1​ units of processing on the machine M1M_1M1​, has a weight wjw_jwj​, a release date rjr_jrj​ and a due date djd_jdj​; all data are nonnegative integers. A schedule assigns to each job a starting time Bj≥rjB_j\ge r_jBj​≥rj​ such that the occupied intervals [Bj,Bj+pj1)[B_j,B_j+p_{j1})[Bj​,Bj​+pj1​) of distinct jobs are disjoint. Idle time is allowed; a job with pj1=0p_{j1}=0pj1​=0 occupies an empty interval. The completion time is Cj=Bj+pj1C_j=B_j+p_{j1}Cj​=Bj​+pj1​, the lateness is Lj=Cj−djL_j=C_j-d_jLj​=Cj​−dj​ (possibly negative), and UjU_jUj​ is 000 if Cj≤djC_j\le d_jCj​≤dj​ and 111 otherwise. The criteria are

Lmax⁡=max⁡jLj,∑wjCj=∑j=1nwjCj,∑wjUj=∑j=1nwjUj.L_{\max}=\max_j L_j,\qquad \sum w_jC_j=\sum_{j=1}^n w_jC_j,\qquad \sum w_jU_j=\sum_{j=1}^n w_jU_j .Lmax​=jmax​Lj​,∑wj​Cj​=j=1∑n​wj​Cj​,∑wj​Uj​=j=1∑n​wj​Uj​.

The problem class is written in the λ\lambdaλ field: by default every rj=0r_j=0rj​=0; rn≥0r_n\ge0rn​≥0 allows a nonzero release date for the last job JnJ_nJn​ only; wj=1w_j=1wj​=1 fixes unit weights; Lmax⁡≤0L_{\max}\le0Lmax​≤0 admits only schedules that meet every due date. A problem is turned into a yes/no question by asking whether a schedule with value ≤y\le y≤y exists.

KNAPSACK (Theorem 2(b) of the report): given positive integers a1,…,at,ba_1,\dots,a_t,ba1​,…,at​,b, is there a subset S⊆T={1,…,t}S\subseteq T=\{1,\dots,t\}S⊆T={1,…,t} with ∑j∈Saj=b\sum_{j\in S}a_j=b∑j∈S​aj​=b? Write A=∑j∈TajA=\sum_{j\in T}a_jA=∑j∈T​aj​.

A problem P′P'P′ is reducible to PPP, P′∝PP'\propto PP′∝P, if every instance of P′P'P′ can be transformed in polynomial time into an instance of PPP whose answer is the same.

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem 4(b), (c), (e), (f)

KNAPSACK∝n∣1∣Lmax⁡≤0∣∑wjCj,KNAPSACK∝n∣1∣rn≥0∣Lmax⁡,\mathsf{KNAPSACK}\propto n|1|L_{\max}\le0|\textstyle\sum w_jC_j,\quad \mathsf{KNAPSACK}\propto n|1|r_n\ge0|L_{\max},KNAPSACK∝n∣1∣Lmax​≤0∣∑wj​Cj​,KNAPSACK∝n∣1∣rn​≥0∣Lmax​, KNAPSACK∝n∣1∣∣∑wjUj,KNAPSACK∝n∣1∣rn≥0,wj=1∣∑wjUj,\mathsf{KNAPSACK}\propto n|1||\textstyle\sum w_jU_j,\quad \mathsf{KNAPSACK}\propto n|1|r_n\ge0,w_j=1|\textstyle\sum w_jU_j ,KNAPSACK∝n∣1∣∣∑wj​Uj​,KNAPSACK∝n∣1∣rn​≥0,wj​=1∣∑wj​Uj​,

as polynomial-time many-one reductions between languages of binary strings.

Milestones: the four yes-instance equivalences

For positive a1,…,at,ba_1,\dots,a_t,ba1​,…,at​,b with 0<b<A0<b<A0<b<A, and the paper's constructions:

  • 4(c): n=t+1n=t+1n=t+1; rj=0r_j=0rj​=0, pj1=ajp_{j1}=a_jpj1​=aj​, dj=A+1d_j=A+1dj​=A+1 for j∈Tj\in Tj∈T; rn=br_n=brn​=b, pn1=1p_{n1}=1pn1​=1, dn=b+1d_n=b+1dn​=b+1. KNAPSACK has a solution iff some schedule has Lmax⁡≤0L_{\max}\le0Lmax​≤0.
  • 4(f): the same instance with unit weights; KNAPSACK has a solution iff some schedule has ∑Uj≤0\sum U_j\le0∑Uj​≤0.
  • 4(e): n=tn=tn=t; pj1=wj=ajp_{j1}=w_j=a_jpj1​=wj​=aj​, dj=bd_j=bdj​=b. KNAPSACK has a solution iff some schedule has ∑wjUj≤A−b\sum w_jU_j\le A-b∑wj​Uj​≤A−b.
  • 4(b): n=t+1n=t+1n=t+1; pj1=wj=ajp_{j1}=w_j=a_jpj1​=wj​=aj​, dj=A+1d_j=A+1dj​=A+1 for j∈Tj\in Tj∈T; pn1=1p_{n1}=1pn1​=1, wn=0w_n=0wn​=0, dn=b+1d_n=b+1dn​=b+1. KNAPSACK has a solution iff some schedule meeting all due dates has
∑wjCj≤y=∑j,k∈T, j≤kajak+A−b.\sum w_jC_j\le y=\sum_{j,k\in T,\ j\le k}a_ja_k+A-b .∑wj​Cj​≤y=j,k∈T, j≤k∑​aj​ak​+A−b.

Significance

The result. Combined with the NP-completeness of KNAPSACK, the four reductions show that the four problems are NP-hard (in the ordinary sense; they admit pseudo-polynomial algorithms). Part (c) shows that Jackson's rule cannot be extended to a single nonzero release date unless P = NP; part (f) does the same for Moore's algorithm; part (e) explains why weights are essential in the late-jobs problem; part (b) shows that deadlines turn the weighted completion-time problem, solved by Smith's ratio rule without them, into a hard one. These are entries of the complexity tables that every later scheduling classification builds on.

Formalizing it. The reductions are classical and proved on paper, in a few lines each: for (c), (e) and (f) the report gives only the construction and a figure. None of them has a machine-checked proof. A complete formalization supplies the explicit equivalence over all feasible schedules (including schedules with idle time and arbitrary processing order), the handling of the inputs the proof sets aside by "we may assume that 0<b<A0<b<A0<b<A", and the polynomial-time computability of the constructions in a Turing-machine model.

Difficulty

Each equivalence has an easy direction: a subset SSS with sum bbb gives the schedule "jobs of SSS, then JnJ_nJn​, then the rest" (Figures 4 and 7 of the report). The other direction must rule out every feasible schedule, not only the idle-free ones in the displayed order. The report gives no argument for this direction in (c), (e) and (f), and for (b) only a computation for idle-free schedules of one shape. The equivalences are false outside 0<b<A0<b<A0<b<A in some cases (for (c), any b>Ab>Ab>A makes every schedule on time), so the goal's reduction must treat those inputs separately.

The heavier part is polynomial-time computability: the reduction must be a function on strings, computed by a one-tape Turing machine within a polynomial number of steps, that parses a binary-coded KNAPSACK instance, computes AAA and the threshold (for (b), a sum of O(t2)O(t^2)O(t2) products), and writes the coded scheduling instance — and maps malformed strings outside the target language.

Formalization scope

  • Model. Jobs are Fin n (0-based; JnJ_nJn​ is the last index), with n>0n>0n>0 in each target language. Starting times are natural numbers: Section 3 computes them from processing orders on integer data, and since all criteria here are regular and release dates survive left shifts, real starting times give the same yes-instances. Feasibility requires disjoint occupied intervals, including empty intervals when pj1=0p_{j1}=0pj1​=0. Idle time is allowed. Lateness is an integer.
  • Problem classes are binding. rn≥0r_n\ge0rn​≥0 means at least one job and release date 000 for every job except the last; Lmax⁡≤0L_{\max}\le0Lmax​≤0 in (b) is a constraint on schedules, not the criterion. Instances outside the class are not in the target language.
  • Thresholds. y∈Ny\in\mathbb Ny∈N in all four languages; for Lmax⁡L_{\max}Lmax​ this restricts to nonnegative thresholds, enough for the paper's y=0y=0y=0. "Lmax⁡≤yL_{\max}\le yLmax​≤y" is stated as "Lj≤yL_j\le yLj​≤y for all jjj".
  • Codes. An instance with threshold yyy is the list nnn, then pj1,wj,rj,djp_{j1},w_j,r_j,d_jpj1​,wj​,rj​,dj​ per job, then yyy, each number in binary.
  • Reducibility. "Reducible" (Section 2) is read as Karp reducibility, CookPvsNP.PolyReducible from the published definition CookPvsNP_defs. The alphabet and binary number codes are those of the published definition ProjSchedTW.Complexity.Encoding (Neumann, Schwindt and Zimmermann); its SUBSET SUM language is not reused because it admits zero sizes, while the paper's KNAPSACK is over positive integers.
  • Explicit readings of loose phrases. "We may assume that 0<b<A0<b<A0<b<A" becomes a hypothesis of each milestone and an obligation on the goal's reduction. "Cf. reduction (i) and Figure 4", "Cf. Karp [19] and Figure 7" and "The equivalence follows immediately" become the stated equivalences over all feasible schedules. Reduction (c) does not specify weights; the shared construction uses unit weights.
  • Not trivializable. The equivalences are stated for the paper's explicit constructions, not for an existentially chosen instance; the target languages enforce the problem class; and the goal demands polynomial-time computability, not only the equivalence.
  • Infrastructure. A Turing-machine library for arithmetic on binary codes (parsing, addition, multiplication, comparison) is reusable across all seven missions of this series and across every reduction posed in the same framework. Contributions of such general lemmas are welcome.

Parts (a), (d) and (g)–(j) of Theorem 4 are formalized in other missions of this series.

Selected references

  • P. Brucker, J. K. Lenstra, A. H. G. Rinnooy Kan, Complexity of Machine Scheduling Problems, Mathematisch Centrum, Report BW 43/75, Amsterdam, 1975; journal version: J. K. Lenstra, A. H. G. Rinnooy Kan, P. Brucker, Annals of Discrete Mathematics 1 (1977) 343–362. https://doi.org/10.1016/S0167-5060(08)70743-X
  • R. M. Karp, Reducibility among combinatorial problems, in: Complexity of Computer Computations, Plenum, 1972, 85–103. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-1-4684-2001-2_9
  • S. A. Cook, The complexity of theorem-proving procedures, Proc. 3rd ACM STOC, 1971, 151–158. https://doi.org/10.1145/800157.805047
  • J. M. Moore, An n job, one machine sequencing algorithm for minimizing the number of late jobs, Management Science 15 (1968) 102–109. https://doi.org/10.1287/mnsc.15.1.102
  • J. R. Jackson, Scheduling a production line to minimize maximum tardiness, Research Report 43, Management Science Research Project, UCLA, 1955.
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Complexity of Machine Scheduling Problems 1: PARTITION Reduces to Makespan and to Weighted Completion Time on Two Identical MachinesResearch Paper

Motivation

Deterministic machine scheduling asks how to process a set of jobs on a set of machines so that an overall criterion, such as the time at which the last job finishes, is as small as possible. In the early 1970s many such problems had efficient algorithms (Johnson's rule for the two-machine flow shop, Smith's ratio rule for a single machine, Lawler's rule under precedence constraints), while others resisted every attempt. The report of Brucker, Lenstra and Rinnooy Kan (Mathematisch Centrum, 1975; journal version in Annals of Discrete Mathematics 1, 1977) drew the line between the two groups systematically. It fixed the four-field notation n∣m∣ℓ,λ∣kn|m|\ell,\lambda|kn∣m∣ℓ,λ∣k that the scheduling literature still uses, and it proved NP-completeness of the "easiest" hard problems by explicit reductions in the sense of Karp.

The first family of reductions in the report, Theorem 3, concerns the simplest machine environment beyond a single machine: two identical machines. It shows that already there, minimizing the makespan and minimizing the total weighted completion time are as hard as PARTITION. These two reductions are simplified versions of reductions given by Bruno, Coffman and Sethi (1974), reference [3] of the report.

Setting

PARTITION. Given positive integers a1,…,ata_1,\dots,a_ta1​,…,at​, decide whether there is a subset SSS of T={1,…,t}T=\{1,\dots,t\}T={1,…,t} with

∑j∈Saj=∑j∈T−Saj.\sum_{j\in S}a_j=\sum_{j\in T-S}a_j .j∈S∑​aj​=j∈T−S∑​aj​.

Write A=∑j∈TajA=\sum_{j\in T}a_jA=∑j∈T​aj​ for the total.

Two identical machines. There are nnn jobs J1,…,JnJ_1,\dots,J_nJ1​,…,Jn​ and two machines M1,M2M_1,M_2M1​,M2​. Job JjJ_jJj​ has a processing time pj∈Np_j\in\mathbb Npj​∈N and a weight wj∈Nw_j\in\mathbb Nwj​∈N, and must be processed without interruption on one machine of its choice; all jobs are available at time 000. A schedule assigns to every job a machine and a starting time Bj∈NB_j\in\mathbb NBj​∈N; its completion time is Cj=Bj+pjC_j=B_j+p_jCj​=Bj​+pj​. A schedule is feasible if no two jobs on the same machine are processed at the same time, i.e. the intervals [Bj,Bj+pj)[B_j,B_j+p_j)[Bj​,Bj​+pj​) on each machine are pairwise disjoint. Idle time is allowed. Two criteria are considered:

Cmax⁡=max⁡jCj,∑jwjCj.C_{\max}=\max_j C_j,\qquad \sum_j w_jC_j .Cmax​=jmax​Cj​,j∑​wj​Cj​.

The problems n∣2∣I∣Cmax⁡n|2|I|C_{\max}n∣2∣I∣Cmax​ and n∣2∣I∣∑wjCjn|2|I|\sum w_jC_jn∣2∣I∣∑wj​Cj​ ask for a feasible schedule minimizing the respective criterion.

Reducibility. Following Section 2 of the report, each problem is replaced by its recognition version: given an instance and a threshold yyy, is there a feasible schedule with value ≤y\le y≤y? A problem P′P'P′ is reducible to PPP, written P′∝PP'\propto PP′∝P, if every instance of P′P'P′ can be transformed in polynomial time into an instance of PPP with the same answer. Instances are written as words over a finite alphabet, with every number in binary.

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem 3

PARTITION∝n∣2∣I∣Cmax⁡andPARTITION∝n∣2∣I∣∑wjCj.\text{PARTITION}\propto n|2|I|C_{\max}\qquad\text{and}\qquad \text{PARTITION}\propto n|2|I|\textstyle\sum w_jC_j .PARTITION∝n∣2∣I∣Cmax​andPARTITION∝n∣2∣I∣∑wj​Cj​.

Both reductions use the same instance shape: n=tn=tn=t jobs with pj=ajp_j=a_jpj​=aj​.

Milestones

  1. Theorem 3(a), equivalence. With pj=ajp_j=a_jpj​=aj​ and y=12Ay=\tfrac12Ay=21​A: PARTITION has a solution iff some feasible schedule has Cmax⁡≤yC_{\max}\le yCmax​≤y.
  2. Ordering independence. With pj=wj=ajp_j=w_j=a_jpj​=wj​=aj​, if SSS is the set of jobs on M1M_1M1​ and each machine works without idle time from 000, then ∑wjCj=k(S)\sum w_jC_j=k(S)∑wj​Cj​=k(S) for every order of the jobs, where
k(S)=∑j,k∈S, j≤kajak+∑j,k∈T−S, j≤kajak;k(S)=\sum_{j,k\in S,\,j\le k}a_ja_k+\sum_{j,k\in T-S,\,j\le k}a_ja_k ;k(S)=j,k∈S,j≤k∑​aj​ak​+j,k∈T−S,j≤k∑​aj​ak​;

every feasible schedule with this assignment has value at least k(S)k(S)k(S). 3. The identity for k(S)k(S)k(S). With c=∑j∈Saj−12Ac=\sum_{j\in S}a_j-\tfrac12Ac=∑j∈S​aj​−21​A,

k(S)=k(T)−(∑j∈Saj)(∑j∈T−Saj)=∑j,k∈T, j≤kajak−(12A+c)(12A−c)=y+c2.k(S)=k(T)-\Big(\sum_{j\in S}a_j\Big)\Big(\sum_{j\in T-S}a_j\Big)=\sum_{j,k\in T,\,j\le k}a_ja_k-\big(\tfrac12A+c\big)\big(\tfrac12A-c\big)=y+c^2 .k(S)=k(T)−(j∈S∑​aj​)(j∈T−S∑​aj​)=j,k∈T,j≤k∑​aj​ak​−(21​A+c)(21​A−c)=y+c2.
  1. Theorem 3(b), equivalence. With pj=wj=ajp_j=w_j=a_jpj​=wj​=aj​ and y=∑j,k∈T, j≤kajak−14A2y=\sum_{j,k\in T,\,j\le k}a_ja_k-\tfrac14A^2y=∑j,k∈T,j≤k​aj​ak​−41​A2: PARTITION has a solution iff some feasible schedule has ∑wjCj≤y\sum w_jC_j\le y∑wj​Cj​≤y.

Significance

The result. Since PARTITION is NP-complete (Karp 1972), Theorem 3 shows that both problems are NP-hard with only two machines and a single operation per job; their recognition versions are NP-complete. Together with the single-machine and shop results in the rest of the report, it places the boundary of tractability in deterministic scheduling. The makespan problem P2∥Cmax⁡P2\|C_{\max}P2∥Cmax​ became a standard source problem for later hardness proofs and a standard target for pseudo-polynomial algorithms and approximation schemes. The weighted completion time result contrasts with the single-machine case, which Smith's ratio rule solves in polynomial time.

Formalizing it. The theorem is classical and fully proved on paper; the report prints the constructions and, for (b), a short calculation. To our knowledge no machine-checked proof exists. The mission produces (i) a precise model of nonpreemptive schedules on two identical machines with integer start times and idle time allowed, (ii) the two yes-instance equivalences with the paper's rational thresholds, (iii) the ordering-independence statement for pj=wjp_j=w_jpj​=wj​ behind part (b), and (iv) the polynomial-time computability of the reductions in a Turing machine model. Part (iv) is the formal content of "reducible" and is missing from the paper.

Difficulty

For part (a) the mathematics is short. The paper treats it as evident; a formal proof must still handle schedules with idle time and the case of odd AAA, where 12A\tfrac12A21​A is not an integer.

Part (b) rests on the claim that, when pj=wjp_j=w_jpj​=wj​, the value ∑wjCj\sum w_jC_j∑wj​Cj​ does not depend on the order of the jobs on a machine. For a single machine without idle time this is a symmetric double sum. A recognition-problem proof also needs the converse direction: no schedule with idle time beats the non-idle one, so every feasible schedule with assignment SSS has value at least k(S)k(S)k(S). The paper cites this rather than proving it.

The step the paper leaves out entirely is polynomiality. The constructions copy the input and compute 12A\tfrac12A21​A or ∑j≤kajak−14A2\sum_{j\le k}a_ja_k-\tfrac14A^2∑j≤k​aj​ak​−41​A2, and in a one-tape Turing machine model with an explicit polynomial time bound this needs binary arithmetic (sums, products, a floor) carried out on the tape. It also needs a decoder that rejects malformed words and lists containing a zero. This is routine in principle but long in practice.

Formalization scope

  • Model. Jobs are Fin n and machines Fin 2 (machine 0 is M1M_1M1​). Starting times are natural numbers. Section 3 of the report computes them from processing orders on nonnegative integer data, and both criteria are regular, so real starting times would give the same yes-instances. Processing times may be zero; a zero-length job occupies the empty interval. Schedules may contain idle time.
  • Criteria. "Cmax⁡≤yC_{\max}\le yCmax​≤y" is stated as Cj≤yC_j\le yCj​≤y for every job, which equals max⁡jCj≤y\max_jC_j\le ymaxj​Cj​≤y for n≥1n\ge1n≥1 and avoids a supremum. ∑wjCj\sum w_jC_j∑wj​Cj​ is a finite sum in N\mathbb NN.
  • Languages. PARTITION is the set of binary codes of lists of positive integers that admit a partition; a code of a list with a zero entry is not in the language. A target word codes nnn, the processing times (and weights, job by job), and a threshold y∈Ny\in\mathbb Ny∈N. The number of machines is fixed by the class and not coded. Every coded instance is in the class, so the language admits nothing outside it.
  • Reducibility is CookPvsNP.PolyReducible from the published definition CookPvsNP_defs (Cook's one-tape Turing machines, polynomial-time many-one reductions). The alphabet BSym and the binary code encNats are reused from the published ProjSchedTW.Complexity.Encoding (Neumann, Schwindt and Zimmermann). Its PARTITION language is not reused, because it allows zero sizes.
  • Thresholds. The milestones state the paper's thresholds 12A\tfrac12A21​A and ∑j≤kajak−14A2\sum_{j\le k}a_ja_k-\tfrac14A^2∑j≤k​aj​ak​−41​A2 as real numbers, exactly as printed. The goal's reduction must write a natural-number threshold; all schedule values are integers, so the floor of the printed threshold gives the same yes-instances.
  • Explicit readings. The equivalence of (a) is not printed; the report says on p. 14 that such equivalences are "trivial or clear" where not proved. "Only depends on the choice of SSS" is stated as two facts: equality for non-idle schedules and a lower bound for all feasible schedules. "It is easily seen (cf. Figure 1)" is the three-step identity, one equality per printed step. k(S)k(S)k(S) is defined by its closed form, and its link to schedules is a milestone.
  • Ruled out. A target language whose yes-instances are defined through PARTITION, an equivalence for some instance rather than the paper's construction, and a goal that drops polynomial-time computability would all make the goal vacuous or different. The statements here use the constructions as printed and Cook's reducibility.
  • Welcome contributions. Proofs of the four milestones; a library of polynomial-time Turing machine programs for binary arithmetic and list decoding over BSym, which every mission of this series needs and which is reusable for other reductions on the platform.

Selected references

  • P. Brucker, J. K. Lenstra, A. H. G. Rinnooy Kan, Complexity of Machine Scheduling Problems, Mathematisch Centrum Report BW 43/75, Amsterdam, 1975. https://ir.cwi.nl/pub/9725/9725D.pdf
  • J. K. Lenstra, A. H. G. Rinnooy Kan, P. Brucker, Complexity of machine scheduling problems, Annals of Discrete Mathematics 1 (1977) 343–362. https://doi.org/10.1016/S0167-5060(08)70743-X
  • J. Bruno, E. G. Coffman Jr., R. Sethi, Scheduling independent tasks to reduce mean finishing time, Communications of the ACM 17 (1974) 382–387. https://doi.org/10.1145/361011.361064
  • R. M. Karp, Reducibility among combinatorial problems, in Complexity of Computer Computations, Plenum, 1972, 85–103. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-1-4684-2001-2_9
  • S. A. Cook, The complexity of theorem-proving procedures, STOC 1971, 151–158. https://doi.org/10.1145/800157.805047
  • W. E. Smith, Various optimizers for single-stage production, Naval Research Logistics Quarterly 3 (1956) 59–66. https://doi.org/10.1002/nav.3800030106
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Send-and-Split Method for Minimum-Concave-Cost Network Flows II: Subproblem Minimum Costs Are the Greatest Solution of the Send-and-Split Equations, Unique if Circulations Cost Positively (Theorem 2)Research Paper

Motivation

Many network-design and production-planning problems ask for a cheapest way to route a commodity from supply points to demand points when the cost of an arc grows less than proportionally with the amount sent: setup charges, economies of scale, and fixed-plus-linear costs all give concave arc costs. Minimizing a concave function over the flow polytope is NP-hard in general, and the classical linear-cost machinery (potentials, negative-cycle tests) no longer applies. Erickson, Monma and Veinott (Math. Oper. Res. 12 (1987)) gave the send-and-split method, a dynamic program over subsets of the demand nodes that solves the uncapacitated problem in time polynomial in the number of nodes and arcs and exponential only in the number of demand nodes. It contains as special cases the Dreyfus–Wagner recursion for Steiner trees in graphs (Networks 1 (1971)), and the paper applies it to concave-cost production, inventory and network-design problems (§6).

Timeline. Zangwill (1968) solved minimum-concave-cost flows on special networks by dynamic programming. Dreyfus and Wagner (1971) gave the subset recursion for Steiner trees with positive arc lengths. Erickson, Monma and Veinott (1987) extended the subset recursion to arbitrary uncapacitated networks with additive concave arc costs and arbitrary real demands, proved that the minimum costs of the subproblems form the greatest solution of the resulting equations (Theorem 2), and showed it is the only solution when every simple circulation has positive cost.

Setting

A network consists of a directed graph G=(N,A)G = (N, A)G=(N,A) with nodes N={0,…,n−1}N = \{0, \dots, n-1\}N={0,…,n−1} and arcs AAA, ordered pairs of distinct nodes, together with a real demand vector r=(ri)r = (r_i)r=(ri​). A preflow is a nonnegative matrix x=(xij)x = (x_{ij})x=(xij​) supported on AAA; a flow for rrr is a preflow with inflow minus outflow equal to rir_iri​ at every node. Each arc has a cost function cijc_{ij}cij​, concave on [0,∞)[0, \infty)[0,∞) with cij(0)=0c_{ij}(0) = 0cij​(0)=0, and the cost of a preflow is c(x)=∑(i,j)∈Acij(xij)c(x) = \sum_{(i,j)\in A} c_{ij}(x_{ij})c(x)=∑(i,j)∈A​cij​(xij​). A minimum-cost flow is a flow whose cost is at most that of every flow. A simple circulation is a circulation equal to some θ>0\theta > 0θ>0 on the arcs of a simple directed circuit and 000 elsewhere.

The demand nodes are D={i:ri≠0}D = \{ i : r_i \neq 0 \}D={i:ri​=0}. For ∅⊂I⊆D\emptyset \subset I \subseteq D∅⊂I⊆D let rI=∑j∈Irjr_I = \sum_{j \in I} r_jrI​=∑j∈I​rj​. The subproblem i→Ii \to Ii→I keeps the demands of the nodes in III, sets all others to zero, and subtracts rIr_IrI​ at node iii; CiIC_{iI}CiI​ is its minimum cost, +∞+\infty+∞ when it has no flow. Let AI=AA_I = AAI​=A if rI>0r_I > 0rI​>0 and the reversed arcs if rI<0r_I < 0rI​<0, with sending cost cij(rI)c_{ij}(r_I)cij​(rI​), read as cji(−rI)c_{ji}(-r_I)cji​(−rI​) when rI<0r_I < 0rI​<0. The send-and-split equations for an array C′C'C′ are

CiI′=Cj,I∖{j}′ (j∈I)if rI=0,(1)C'_{iI} = C'_{j, I\setminus\{j\}} \ (j \in I) \quad \text{if } r_I = 0, \qquad (1)CiI′​=Cj,I∖{j}′​ (j∈I)if rI​=0,(1) CiI′=min⁡(i,j)∈AI[cij(rI)+CjI′]∧BiI′if rI≠0,(2)C'_{iI} = \min_{(i,j)\in A_I} \bigl[ c_{ij}(r_I) + C'_{jI} \bigr] \wedge B'_{iI} \quad \text{if } r_I \neq 0, \qquad (2)CiI′​=(i,j)∈AI​min​[cij​(rI​)+CjI′​]∧BiI′​if rI​=0,(2)

with BiI′=min⁡∅⊂J⊂I[CiJ′+Ci,I∖J′]B'_{iI} = \min_{\emptyset\subset J\subset I} [C'_{iJ} + C'_{i,I\setminus J}]BiI′​=min∅⊂J⊂I​[CiJ′​+Ci,I∖J′​] for ∣I∣>1|I| > 1∣I∣>1, and BiI′=0B'_{iI} = 0BiI′​=0 if I={i}I = \{i\}I={i}, +∞+\infty+∞ otherwise, for ∣I∣=1|I| = 1∣I∣=1 (3).

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem 2 (Dynamic-Programming Equations)

If there is a minimum-cost flow for rrr, then

C solves (1)–(3),CjI′≤CjI  for every +∞-or-real solution C′,C \text{ solves (1)–(3)}, \qquad C'_{jI} \le C_{jI} \ \text{ for every } +\infty\text{-or-real solution } C',C solves (1)–(3),CjI′​≤CjI​  for every +∞-or-real solution C′,

for all j∈Nj \in Nj∈N and ∅⊂I⊆D\emptyset \subset I \subseteq D∅⊂I⊆D. If moreover every simple circulation has positive cost, then every +∞+\infty+∞-or-real solution equals CCC.

Milestones

In attack order: the subproblem alternative (a minimum-cost flow or no flow, p. 640); equation (1); inequalities (4), (5), (6) (p. 641); CiI=BiIC_{iI} = B_{iI}CiI​=BiI​ for i∈Ii \in Ii∈I (p. 641); CCC satisfies (1) and (2) (p. 642); and two generic statements about Bellman's equations (2)′ for minimum-cost chains in a graph with nonnegative, respectively positive, simple circuits: the minimum chain costs form the greatest solution and are nondecreasing in the arc costs, and with positive circuits the solution is unique (p. 642).

Significance

Theorem 2 is the correctness theorem of the send-and-split method: it says that solving equations (1)–(3) by increasing ∣I∣|I|∣I∣, with a shortest-chain computation for each III, yields the true subproblem minimum costs, in particular the optimum CiDC_{iD}CiD​ of the original problem. Its uniqueness clause identifies when the equations alone determine the answer, and the counterexample on p. 641 (zero costs on a strongly connected graph) shows that the positivity hypothesis cannot simply be dropped. The same structure underlies the Steiner-tree recursion.

The theorem is proved in the paper; to our knowledge none of it is formalized. This mission supplies Lean definitions of uncapacitated concave-cost flows with extended-real minimum costs and the send-and-split equations, and poses the correctness theorem as a proof goal. The two Bellman milestones are general facts about minimum-cost chains with +∞+\infty+∞-or-real values and are reusable well beyond this paper. Related items on the platform are credited, not reused: the Dreyfus–Wagner Steiner recursion DreyfusWagner.Steiner.steinerLength_recurrence and DreyfusWagner.Steiner.optimal_decomposition (the special case of undirected positive lengths), and BellmanRouting.PolicySpace.routing_equation_unique (uniqueness of the routing equation on a complete graph with positive real times).

Difficulty

The equations (2) mix two minima: sending the whole demand rIr_IrI​ across one arc, and splitting III at the current node. Showing that CCC satisfies them requires that some optimal flow of every subproblem has a tree-like structure, which in turn rests on the existence theory for concave-cost flows (an optimum is attained at an extreme flow whose support is a forest). Showing that CCC is the greatest solution requires an induction on ∣I∣|I|∣I∣ in which, for fixed III, equation (2) is a shortest-chain system whose arc costs to an auxiliary node depend on the solution at smaller sets; comparison then needs monotonicity of minimum chain costs in the arc costs, including arcs whose cost drops from +∞+\infty+∞. The naive attempt to prove uniqueness by iterating (2) fails without the positivity hypothesis, because zero-cost circuits admit spurious solutions.

Formalization scope

Nodes are Fin n; arcs are a Finset (Fin n × Fin n) with no loops; arc costs are functions R→R\mathbb{R} \to \mathbb{R}R→R assumed concave on Set.Ici 0 with cij(0)=0c_{ij}(0) = 0cij​(0)=0 at arcs (the paper's standing assumption, stated as a hypothesis). Minimum costs, sending costs, splitting terms and solutions take values in EReal; the empty infimum is +∞+\infty+∞, as on the page.

Explicit readings of the paper's phrases:

  • "there is a minimum-cost flow" means a flow for rrr whose cost is at most that of every flow for rrr;
  • "+∞+\infty+∞ or real-valued" means ≠−∞\neq -\infty=−∞, required on every ∅⊂I⊆D\emptyset \subset I \subseteq D∅⊂I⊆D;
  • "greatest solution" is two claims: CCC is a solution, and every solution is ≤C\le C≤C entrywise;
  • "each simple circulation has positive cost" quantifies over every simple circuit and every θ>0\theta > 0θ>0;
  • "CiIC_{iI}CiI​ is finite" is rendered as CiI=c(x)C_{iI} = c(x)CiI​=c(x) for a minimum-cost flow xxx of the subproblem;
  • "minimum-cost chain" is the infimum of walk costs, attained or +∞+\infty+∞; arc costs of +∞+\infty+∞ in (2)′ are missing arcs.

The definition of CiIC_{iI}CiI​ is the infimum over flows, never the equations themselves; a formalization defining CCC by (1)–(3), or omitting the ≠−∞\neq -\infty=−∞ condition on solutions, or dropping the clause that CCC is itself a solution, would make the theorem trivial or false and is ruled out. Arrays are compared only on admissible sets. The graph structure of (2)′ is the platform definition BertsekasSPGraph. Running-time bounds, the planar refinements of §4 (Theorem 3) and the capacitated reduction of §5 are out of scope. Proofs of any milestone, and a formalization of the paper's Theorem 1 that the proofs rely on, are welcome.

Selected references

  • R. E. Erickson, C. L. Monma, A. F. Veinott, Jr., Send-and-Split Method for Minimum-Concave-Cost Network Flows, Mathematics of Operations Research 12(4), 1987, 634–664. https://doi.org/10.1287/moor.12.4.634
  • S. E. Dreyfus, R. A. Wagner, The Steiner Problem in Graphs, Networks 1(3), 1971, 195–207. https://doi.org/10.1002/net.3230010302
  • R. Bellman, On a Routing Problem, Quarterly of Applied Mathematics 16(1), 1958, 87–90. https://doi.org/10.1090/qam/102435
  • W. M. Hirsch, A. J. Hoffman, Extreme Varieties, Concave Functions, and the Fixed Charge Problem, Communications on Pure and Applied Mathematics 14(3), 1961, 355–369. https://doi.org/10.1002/cpa.3160140312
  • W. I. Zangwill, Minimum Concave Cost Flows in Certain Networks, Management Science 14(7), 1968, 429–450. https://doi.org/10.1287/mnsc.14.7.429
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Operations ResearchOptimization·Captain: mikedeng1

Assortment Optimisation Under a General Discrete Choice Model: A Tight Analysis of Revenue-Ordered Assortments VI: Revenue-Ordered Offer Sets Grow with Capacity Left and Shrink with Time LeftResearch Paper

Motivation

In airline and hotel revenue management a firm sells a fixed stock of a perishable resource (seats on a flight leg, rooms on a night) over a finite selling horizon, and in each period decides which fare classes to open. Customers do not buy a fixed fare: they choose among the fares on offer, or leave. Talluri and van Ryzin (Management Science, 2004) formulated this single-leg, choice-based problem as a dynamic program over the time remaining and the units remaining.

Practical revenue management systems rarely offer arbitrary sets of fares. They use nested controls: fares are opened from the most expensive downwards, so the open set is always "every fare above some threshold". Whether restricting to such revenue-ordered offer sets is natural depends on how the optimal threshold moves as the state changes. For mixtures of multinomial logit models, Rusmevichientong, Shmoys, Tong and Topaloglu (Production and Operations Management, 2014, Theorem 6) showed that the best revenue-ordered threshold moves monotonically in both the remaining capacity and the remaining time.

Berbeglia and Joret (arXiv:1606.01371v3, §5, Theorem 5.1) extend these two monotonicity properties to every regular discrete choice model, the class that contains essentially every model used in revenue management, including all random utility models. This mission formalizes that result.

Setting

A finite nonempty set C\mathcal CC of products is sold. For a choice set S⊆CS\subseteq\mathcal CS⊆C and a product xxx, P(x,S)\mathcal P(x,S)P(x,S) is the probability that a customer offered SSS buys xxx; the no-purchase probability is P(0,S)=1−∑x∈SP(x,S)\mathcal P(0,S)=1-\sum_{x\in S}\mathcal P(x,S)P(0,S)=1−∑x∈S​P(x,S). The system P\mathcal PP is regular when (i) all these probabilities are nonnegative, (ii) P(x,S)=0\mathcal P(x,S)=0P(x,S)=0 for x∉Sx\notin Sx∈/S, (iii) ∑x∈SP(x,S)≤1\sum_{x\in S}\mathcal P(x,S)\le 1∑x∈S​P(x,S)≤1, and (iv) P(x,S)≥P(x,S′)\mathcal P(x,S)\ge\mathcal P(x,S')P(x,S)≥P(x,S′) whenever S⊆S′S\subseteq S'S⊆S′, for every x∈Sx\in Sx∈S and for the no-purchase option x=0x=0x=0.

Each product xxx has a revenue r(x)>0r(x)>0r(x)>0. Let r1<r2<⋯<rkr_1<r_2<\cdots<r_kr1​<r2​<⋯<rk​ be the distinct revenues. For ℓ∈[k]={1,…,k}\ell\in[k]=\{1,\dots,k\}ℓ∈[k]={1,…,k} the revenue-ordered assortment is Sℓ={x∈C:r(x)≥rℓ}S_\ell=\{x\in\mathcal C:r(x)\ge r_\ell\}Sℓ​={x∈C:r(x)≥rℓ​}; a larger index ℓ\ellℓ gives a smaller set, S1=CS_1=\mathcal CS1​=C.

In the multi-period model one customer arrives per period. With ttt periods remaining and qqq units left, the firm offers some SℓS_\ellSℓ​. The values of the revenue-ordered dynamic program are

Jt(q,ℓ)=∑x∈SℓP(x,Sℓ)(r(x)+Jt−1(q−1))+P(0,Sℓ) Jt−1(q)(t,q>0),\mathcal J_t(q,\ell)=\sum_{x\in S_\ell}\mathcal P(x,S_\ell)\bigl(r(x)+\mathcal J_{t-1}(q-1)\bigr)+\mathcal P(0,S_\ell)\,\mathcal J_{t-1}(q)\qquad(t,q>0),Jt​(q,ℓ)=x∈Sℓ​∑​P(x,Sℓ​)(r(x)+Jt−1​(q−1))+P(0,Sℓ​)Jt−1​(q)(t,q>0),

Jt(q,ℓ)=0\mathcal J_t(q,\ell)=0Jt​(q,ℓ)=0 when t=0t=0t=0 or q=0q=0q=0, and Jt(q)=max⁡ℓ∈[k]Jt(q,ℓ)\mathcal J_t(q)=\max_{\ell\in[k]}\mathcal J_t(q,\ell)Jt​(q)=maxℓ∈[k]​Jt​(q,ℓ). The optimal revenue-ordered index is the smallest maximiser,

ℓt∗(q)=min⁡{ℓ∈[k]:Jt(q,ℓ)=Jt(q)},\ell^*_t(q)=\min\{\ell\in[k]:\mathcal J_t(q,\ell)=\mathcal J_t(q)\},ℓt∗​(q)=min{ℓ∈[k]:Jt​(q,ℓ)=Jt​(q)},

and ΔJt(q)=Jt(q)−Jt(q−1)\Delta\mathcal J_t(q)=\mathcal J_t(q)-\mathcal J_t(q-1)ΔJt​(q)=Jt​(q)−Jt​(q−1) is the marginal value of capacity.

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem 5.1

For every t≥1t\ge 1t≥1 and q≥1q\ge 1q≥1,

ℓt∗(q)≤ℓt∗(q−1)  if q≥2,ℓt∗(q)≥ℓt−1∗(q)  if t≥2.\ell^*_t(q)\le\ell^*_t(q-1)\ \text{ if } q\ge 2,\qquad \ell^*_t(q)\ge\ell^*_{t-1}(q)\ \text{ if } t\ge 2 .ℓt∗​(q)≤ℓt∗​(q−1)  if q≥2,ℓt∗​(q)≥ℓt−1∗​(q)  if t≥2.

More units left give a weakly larger optimal offer set; more periods left give a weakly smaller one. The paper states the theorem for t∈[T]t\in[T]t∈[T], q∈[Q]q\in[Q]q∈[Q]; the horizon and the capacity only bound ttt and qqq, so the goal is stated for all t,q≥1t,q\ge 1t,q≥1.

Milestones

  1. Lemma 2.1 (p. 6): ∑x∈SP(x,S)≤∑x∈S′P(x,S′)\sum_{x\in S}\mathcal P(x,S)\le\sum_{x\in S'}\mathcal P(x,S')∑x∈S​P(x,S)≤∑x∈S′​P(x,S′) for S⊆S′S\subseteq S'S⊆S′.
  2. Lemma .1 (p. 35): with L∗(δ)\mathcal L^*(\delta)L∗(δ) the set of indices ℓ\ellℓ maximising ∑x∈SℓP(x,Sℓ)(r(x)+δ)\sum_{x\in S_\ell}\mathcal P(x,S_\ell)(r(x)+\delta)∑x∈Sℓ​​P(x,Sℓ​)(r(x)+δ), if δ1+rk≥0\delta_1+r_k\ge 0δ1​+rk​≥0 and δ1≤δ2\delta_1\le\delta_2δ1​≤δ2​ then min⁡L∗(δ2)≤min⁡L∗(δ1)\min\mathcal L^*(\delta_2)\le\min\mathcal L^*(\delta_1)minL∗(δ2​)≤minL∗(δ1​).
  3. Equation (16) (p. 36): Jt(q)=max⁡ℓ∑x∈SℓP(x,Sℓ)(r(x)−ΔJt−1(q))+Jt−1(q)\mathcal J_t(q)=\max_{\ell}\sum_{x\in S_\ell}\mathcal P(x,S_\ell)(r(x)-\Delta\mathcal J_{t-1}(q))+\mathcal J_{t-1}(q)Jt​(q)=maxℓ​∑x∈Sℓ​​P(x,Sℓ​)(r(x)−ΔJt−1​(q))+Jt−1​(q).
  4. Equations (17)–(18) (p. 36): ℓt∗(q)=min⁡L∗(−ΔJt−1(q))\ell^*_t(q)=\min\mathcal L^*(-\Delta\mathcal J_{t-1}(q))ℓt∗​(q)=minL∗(−ΔJt−1​(q)).
  5. Marginal value at most rkr_krk​ (p. 36): ΔJt(q)≤rk\Delta\mathcal J_t(q)\le r_kΔJt​(q)≤rk​.
  6. Marginal value non-increasing in capacity (p. 36, citing Talluri–van Ryzin, Lemma 4): ΔJt(q+1)≤ΔJt(q)\Delta\mathcal J_t(q+1)\le\Delta\mathcal J_t(q)ΔJt​(q+1)≤ΔJt​(q).
  7. Marginal value non-decreasing in time (p. 37, citing Talluri–van Ryzin, Lemma 5): ΔJt(q)≤ΔJt+1(q)\Delta\mathcal J_t(q)\le\Delta\mathcal J_{t+1}(q)ΔJt​(q)≤ΔJt+1​(q).

Milestones 5–7 are asserted or cited in the paper, not proved there; milestones 6–7 are stated for this restricted dynamic program, which is the one the paper applies them to.

Significance

The theorem says that a firm restricted to revenue-ordered offer sets can implement its policy as a nested booking control: as seats sell out, the threshold fare can only rise, and as departure approaches with seats in hand, it can only fall. This is the structure that standard revenue management systems already assume, and Rusmevichientong et al. point out that such monotonicity can be used to implement them. The paper's contribution is that the property depends only on regularity of the choice model, not on its multinomial-logit form.

Formalizing it adds a machine-checked statement of the single-leg choice-based dynamic program over a general choice model, a precise account of the tie-breaking rule (the smallest maximiser), and machine-checked versions of the two marginal-value monotonicity facts that the paper cites from Talluri and van Ryzin rather than proves. To our knowledge none of these statements has been formalized in any proof assistant; the paper's proofs are informal.

Difficulty

The paper's proof is short, but two of its steps are not proved there. The marginal-value inequalities are imported from Talluri and van Ryzin, whose dynamic program optimises over all offer sets; here only the kkk revenue-ordered sets are available and the empty set is not, so those proofs have to be redone for this program, and the bound ΔJ≤rk\Delta\mathcal J\le r_kΔJ≤rk​ is needed to keep each stage's shifted problem well behaved. The claim ΔJ≤rk\Delta\mathcal J\le r_kΔJ≤rk​ itself is justified on the page only by an informal sentence.

The second subtlety is tie-breaking. The monotonicity is about the smallest optimal index. Several indices can be optimal at once, and the comparison of Lemma .1 transfers optimality of one index from one shift to another only through Lemma 2.1, that is, through the no-purchase case of the regularity axiom. Without that case the statement fails.

Formalization scope

  • Products form a finite nonempty type C; choice probabilities are P : C → Finset C → ℝ, defined on all pairs. The no-purchase option is not a product: its probability is the derived quantity noPurchase P S = 1 − ∑_{x∈S} P x S.
  • IsChoiceSystem P is axioms (i)–(iii); IsRegular P adds axiom (iv) for products and for the no-purchase option. Milestones 5–7 assume only axioms (i)–(iii), as the paper says suffices; Lemma .1, (16), (18) and the goal assume regularity and r>0r>0r>0.
  • Revenue levels use the paper's 1-based index: level r ℓ is rℓr_\ellrℓ​ for 1≤ℓ≤k1\le\ell\le k1≤ℓ≤k, topRevenue r is rkr_krk​, and roSet r ℓ is SℓS_\ellSℓ​ as a Finset. The paper's sorting of products (Sℓ={1,…,j(ℓ)}S_\ell=\{1,\dots,j(\ell)\}Sℓ​={1,…,j(ℓ)}) is notation only and is not used.
  • The dynamic program is defined by structural recursion on ttt; there is no stochastic process. Maxima over [k][k][k] are Finset.sup', and the minima defining ℓt∗(q)\ell^*_t(q)ℓt∗​(q) and min⁡L∗(δ)\min\mathcal L^*(\delta)minL∗(δ) are Finset.min' over sets proved nonempty.
  • ΔJt(q)\Delta\mathcal J_t(q)ΔJt​(q) is used only for q≥1q\ge 1q≥1; milestones are stated with t+1t+1t+1, q+1q+1q+1 in place of the paper's t−1t-1t−1, q−1q-1q−1 to avoid natural-number subtraction, which the goal keeps under its hypotheses q≥2q\ge 2q≥2, t≥2t\ge 2t≥2.

Formalizations that would trivialize the statement are ruled out: the dynamic program maximises over the kkk revenue-ordered sets only, never over all subsets (that is Talluri and van Ryzin's program); ℓ∗\ell^*ℓ∗ is the smallest maximiser, never the largest; and TTT, QQQ, kkk and the choice model are arbitrary, never fixed.

The definitions (regular choice model, revenue-ordered assortments, the restricted dynamic program) are reusable for other results on nested policies. Proofs of the cited Talluri–van Ryzin lemmas for this program are especially welcome, as they are the part the paper leaves to the literature.

Selected references

  • G. Berbeglia and G. Joret, Assortment Optimisation Under a General Discrete Choice Model: A Tight Analysis of Revenue-Ordered Assortments, arXiv:1606.01371v3, 2019; Algorithmica 82, 2020. https://arxiv.org/abs/1606.01371
  • K. Talluri and G. van Ryzin, Revenue Management Under a General Discrete Choice Model of Consumer Behavior, Management Science 50(1), 2004. https://doi.org/10.1287/mnsc.1030.0147
  • P. Rusmevichientong, D. Shmoys, C. Tong and H. Topaloglu, Assortment Optimization under the Multinomial Logit Model with Random Choice Parameters, Production and Operations Management 23(11), 2014. https://doi.org/10.1111/poms.12191
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Operations ResearchOptimizationProbability·Captain: mikedeng1

Supply Chain Coordination with Contracts II: With Price-Dependent Demand the Price-Contingent Buy-Back Gives the Retailer λΠ(q, p), as Revenue Sharing Does, and Coordinates Price and QuantityTextbook

Motivation

A retailer who controls both inventory and price can respond to a supply contract in two ways. A contract that induces the right order quantity at a fixed price may change the retailer's incentive to raise or lower that price. For a one-season supply chain, Cachon's chapter compares familiar contracts under price-dependent demand and identifies a price-contingent buy-back, also called a price-discount contract, that aligns both decisions. The mission concerns §6.3 of the author's January 2003 third draft, on printed pages 33–38. Those page and equation numbers belong to the draft and may differ from the typeset chapter.

Setting

One risk-neutral supplier and one risk-neutral retailer have full information before a single selling season. The retailer chooses a nonnegative stocking quantity qqq and a retail price ppp from an admissible price set PPP; the price stays fixed during the season. Demand has a probability law DpD_pDp​ that depends on ppp. Write F(y∣p)F(y\mid p)F(y∣p) for its distribution function, S(q,p)=Ep[min⁡(q,D)]S(q,p)=\mathbb E_p[\min(q,D)]S(q,p)=Ep​[min(q,D)] for expected sales, and μ(p)=Ep[D]\mu(p)=\mathbb E_p[D]μ(p)=Ep​[D] for mean demand. Demand is nonnegative, has a finite mean and, in the chapter's regular setting, its distribution function increases with demand level and has a positive price derivative at positive demand levels. Higher prices thus lower demand in the stochastic order used by the chapter. The price set is nonempty and open so an admissible price optimum has an interior first-order condition.

The supplier's unit cost is csc_scs​, the retailer's unit procurement cost is crc_rcr​, and c=cs+crc=c_s+c_rc=cs​+cr​ is total unit cost. Their goodwill penalties for unmet demand are gsg_sgs​ and grg_rgr​, with g=gs+grg=g_s+g_rg=gs​+gr​. An unsold unit has salvage value vvv at the retailer. The integrated channel's expected profit is

Π(q,p)=(p−v+g)S(q,p)−(c−v)q−gμ(p).\Pi(q,p)=(p-v+g)S(q,p)-(c-v)q-g\mu(p).Π(q,p)=(p−v+g)S(q,p)−(c−v)q−gμ(p).

A buy-back contract charges a wholesale price wbw_bwb​ for each ordered unit and pays the retailer bbb for each unsold unit. A revenue-sharing contract charges a wholesale price wrw_rwr​ and gives the retailer a fraction ϕ\phiϕ of sales and salvage revenue. In this section the supplier offers the terms and the retailer chooses (q,p)(q,p)(q,p). The profit formulas use the chapter's convention that a positive transfer goes from retailer to supplier.

Formalization targets

The goal is the price-contingent buy-back on p. 35, with λ∈[0,1]\lambda\in[0,1]λ∈[0,1]:

b(p)=(1−λ)(p−v+g)−gs,wb(p)=λcs+(1−λ)(p+g−cr)−gs.b(p)=(1-\lambda)(p-v+g)-g_s,\qquad w_b(p)=\lambda c_s+(1-\lambda)(p+g-c_r)-g_s.b(p)=(1−λ)(p−v+g)−gs​,wb​(p)=λcs​+(1−λ)(p+g−cr​)−gs​.

In the chapter's zero-goodwill case, gr=gs=0g_r=g_s=0gr​=gs​=0, every feasible (q,p)(q,p)(q,p) then gives the retailer λΠ(q,p)\lambda\Pi(q,p)λΠ(q,p) and the supplier (1−λ)Π(q,p)(1-\lambda)\Pi(q,p)(1−λ)Π(q,p). The same retailer profit is obtained from revenue sharing with ϕ=λ\phi=\lambdaϕ=λ and wr=λ(c−v)−cr+λvw_r=\lambda(c-v)-c_r+\lambda vwr​=λ(c−v)−cr​+λv. Thus every existing maximizer (q∘,p∘)(q^\circ,p^\circ)(q∘,p∘) of the integrated profit maximizes each firm's profit under the contingent buy-back. At λ=0\lambda=0λ=0 the retailer is indifferent; at λ=1\lambda=1λ=1 the supplier is indifferent.

The milestones follow the chapter's printed claims in attack order:

  1. the integrated price condition (14), p. 34;
  2. the quantity-flexibility condition (15), p. 34: price coordination forces wq=v−crw_q=v-c_rwq​=v−cr​ or δ=0\delta=0δ=0;
  3. the fixed buy-back condition (16), p. 35: price coordination forces b=−gsb=-g_sb=−gs​ and then wb=cs−gsw_b=c_s-g_swb​=cs​−gs​;
  4. the linear price-contingent terms derived from (5)–(6), p. 35;
  5. the p. 36 profit split πr=λ(Π+gμ)−grμ\pi_r=\lambda(\Pi+g\mu)-g_r\muπr​=λ(Π+gμ)−gr​μ, πs=(1−λ)Π−(λg−gr)μ\pi_s=(1-\lambda)\Pi-(\lambda g-g_r)\muπs​=(1−λ)Π−(λg−gr​)μ, valid for all goodwill penalties as an identity;
  6. the zero-goodwill revenue-sharing price claim following (17), p. 36 (the milestone quotes its restatement in §6.3.2, p. 38);
  7. the price-contingent revenue-sharing parameters, p. 37;
  8. the quantity discount wd(q)w_d(q)wd​(q), pp. 37–38: with gs=0g_s=0gs​=0 it does not distort the price, and given p∘p^\circp∘ it makes q∘q^\circq∘ optimal for both firms.

Significance

The result identifies a contract schedule under which the same quantity-price pair is best for the integrated channel and for the two firms' reported profit functions. It also explains the relation between a buy-back whose terms vary with the chosen price and a revenue-sharing arrangement. In the zero-goodwill setting, both allocate every realized choice's expected channel profit in fixed shares. The general-goodwill identity shows the additional mean-demand terms that matter when the retailer controls price.

The source presents these results analytically; this mission asks for Lean proofs of the stated price and profit relationships. A published Prove2Me definition already supplies expected sales and mean demand for a single demand law, and the model here applies those functions to each price's law. The earlier open theorem RevShareCoord.Single.price_quantity_coordination (from Cachon and Lariviere's revenue-sharing paper) treats deterministic revenue and a simpler cost convention. It is an overlap in theme, but its statement does not include price-indexed demand, salvage value, retailer cost or the contingent buy-back terms, so it is not posed again here. The new model can support further price-dependent contract comparisons in the chapter.

Difficulty

The obstacle is that matching the retailer's quantity incentive at a fixed price can change the retailer's price incentive. The buy-back rate required by the fixed-price coordination equations depends on ppp; a fixed buy-back contract therefore does not generally align both choices. Revenue sharing with goodwill penalties has a similar price dependence. The integrated profit need not be concave or unimodal in (q,p)(q,p)(q,p), so a price first-order condition by itself does not establish coordination. The chapter assumes a finite integrated optimum exists and treats the price condition as necessary, not sufficient.

Formalization scope

Lean represents price-dependent demand as a family of probability measures on R\mathbb RR, one for each price in PPP. Each admissible law is supported on nonnegative demand, has no atom at zero and has an integrable identity function, so μ(p)\mu(p)μ(p) is a genuine finite expectation. Sales are defined by Ep[min⁡(q,D)]\mathbb E_p[\min(q,D)]Ep​[min(q,D)], using the published SupplyChainTheory_contracts definition; they are not defined by the equivalent CDF integral. The admissible decisions are exactly q≥0q\ge0q≥0 and p∈Pp\in Pp∈P. Unit costs and goodwill penalties are nonnegative, each admissible price exceeds c=cs+crc=c_s+c_rc=cs​+cr​, and v<cv<cv<c, as in the model of §6.2. The chapter's standing risk-neutrality and full-information conventions appear in the use of expected profit with the same demand laws available to both firms.

There is a material qualification. With price-dependent demand, μ(p)\mu(p)μ(p) may change with ppp. The printed first-order condition (14) and the p. 36 inference from πr=λ(Π+gμ)−grμ\pi_r=\lambda(\Pi+g\mu)-g_r\muπr​=λ(Π+gμ)−gr​μ to a joint optimum omit that effect when goodwill penalties are positive. Price first-order and optimality statements here therefore use gr=gs=0g_r=g_s=0gr​=gs​=0, a case explicitly discussed in the chapter; general-goodwill claims are limited to algebraic identities. The printed p. 36 equality of price derivatives under revenue sharing also misses its factor ϕ\phiϕ, which the formal statement restores. The contingent buy-back terms are defined by the chapter's linear formulas, not by a property that hard-codes coordination. The algebraic statement permits parameter values that may violate economic buy-back bounds such as 0≤b≤wb0\le b\le w_b0≤b≤wb​; those bounds need separate checks when selecting a contract.

Two first-order statements, (15) and (16), compare price derivatives; they take the derivative of expected sales in price as a hypothesis, and (15) also takes differentiation under the integral sign of ∫(1−δ)qqF(y∣p) dy\int_{(1-\delta)q}^{q}F(y\mid p)\,dy∫(1−δ)qq​F(y∣p)dy as a disclosed regularity hypothesis. For the quantity discount, the statement claims what the page shows, undistorted prices for each qqq and optimality of q∘q^\circq∘ given p∘p^\circp∘, not joint optimality of (q∘,p∘)(q^\circ,p^\circ)(q∘,p∘) for the retailer. The page's claim that revenue sharing with goodwill coordinates only with ϕ=gr/g\phi=g_r/gϕ=gr​/g is not stated, for the mean-demand reason above.

A trivializing formalization is ruled out: no contract term is defined by the profit identity it should satisfy, the demand family cannot be replaced by a single law, and the optimal pair is a hypothesis about the integrated profit, not a chosen witness.

Reusable contributions include the price-indexed demand family, the expected-profit model with five contract types, and the price-maximizer statements. Proofs of the first-order milestones need Fermat's interior-extremum theorem on the open price set and, for (15), positivity of an interval integral; the identities need the expectation algebra of SSS and μ\muμ, including S(0,p)=0S(0,p)=0S(0,p)=0.

Selected references

  • Gérard P. Cachon, “Supply Chain Coordination with Contracts,” in Handbooks in Operations Research and Management Science, vol. 11, Supply Chain Management, North-Holland, 2003. DOI 10.1016/S0927-0507(03)11006-7. Formalization source: author's third draft, January 2003, §6.3, pp. 33–38.
  • Fernando Bernstein and Awi Federgruen, “Decentralized supply chains with competing retailers under demand uncertainty,” Management Science 51(1), 2005 (the price-discount sharing contract; cited in the draft as a 2000 working paper). DOI 10.1287/mnsc.1040.0230
  • Nicholas C. Petruzzi and Maqbool Dada, “Pricing and the newsvendor problem: a review with extensions,” Operations Research 47(2), 1999, 183–194. DOI 10.1287/opre.47.2.183
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Finding Minimum-Cost Circulations by Successive Approximation II: For Real Costs, the Strongly Polynomial Loop Reaches a Minimum-Cost Circulation After at Most m⌈log₂(2n)⌉ RefinementsResearch Paper

Why minimum-cost circulation needs a real-cost iteration bound

A minimum-cost circulation is a way to send flow around a directed network while respecting capacities and paying a cost per unit on each arc. It is a basic form of network optimization: a minimum-cost flow with prescribed supplies and demands can be reduced to a circulation problem, and the circulation formulation exposes the residual arcs on which a flow can be improved. Goldberg and Tarjan's successive-approximation method relaxes exact optimality by an error parameter and repeatedly reduces that error. Its ordinary stopping rule for integer costs depends on the largest cost. For arbitrary real costs, including irrational costs, a decreasing positive error need never cross a fixed numerical cutoff. The strongly polynomial loop in their 1987 technical report, later published in Mathematics of Operations Research instead tests the smallest error parameter appropriate to the current circulation and stops when it is zero.

This mission formalizes the number of refinement calls made by that loop. It builds on the related Goldberg–Tarjan 1988 max-flow and 1989 minimum-mean cycle-canceling series: those develop different algorithms for network flow, while the published 1989 circulation and approximate-optimality definitions provide this mission's common network model. The result here concerns successive approximation and its fixed-arc progress measure.

Network and approximate optimality

The vertex set VVV is finite, with n=∣V∣n=|V|n=∣V∣, and EEE is a symmetric set of directed arcs, with m=∣E∣m=|E|m=∣E∣. Symmetry means that (v,w)∈E(v,w)\in E(v,w)∈E brings (w,v)∈E(w,v)\in E(w,v)∈E too. Each arc has a real capacity u(v,w)u(v,w)u(v,w) and a real cost c(v,w)c(v,w)c(v,w); costs obey c(v,w)=−c(w,v)c(v,w)=-c(w,v)c(v,w)=−c(w,v). A circulation fff obeys f(v,w)≤u(v,w)f(v,w)\le u(v,w)f(v,w)≤u(v,w), f(v,w)=−f(w,v)f(v,w)=-f(w,v)f(v,w)=−f(w,v), and conservation of flow at every vertex. Its total cost is half the sum of c(v,w)f(v,w)c(v,w)f(v,w)c(v,w)f(v,w) over directed arcs, since each unordered edge appears twice. A minimum-cost circulation costs no more than any other circulation of the network.

The residual capacity is uf(v,w)=u(v,w)−f(v,w)u_f(v,w)=u(v,w)-f(v,w)uf​(v,w)=u(v,w)−f(v,w). For a price function p:V→Rp:V\to\mathbb Rp:V→R, the report writes the reduced cost as cp(v,w)=c(v,w)−p(v)+p(w)c_p(v,w)=c(v,w)-p(v)+p(w)cp​(v,w)=c(v,w)−p(v)+p(w). A circulation is ε\varepsilonε-optimal with respect to ppp when every residual arc has reduced cost at least −ε-\varepsilon−ε. It is ε\varepsilonε-optimal if some price function works, where ε≥0\varepsilon\ge0ε≥0. The tight error ε(f)\varepsilon(f)ε(f) is the least such error. A circulation is ε\varepsilonε-tight when it is ε\varepsilonε-optimal but fails to be ε′\varepsilon'ε′-optimal at every ε′<ε\varepsilon'<\varepsilonε′<ε. This includes attainment at ε\varepsilonε.

An arc is ε\varepsilonε-fixed if all ε\varepsilonε-optimal circulations carry the same flow through it. Write FεF_\varepsilonFε​ for the set of these arcs. Theorem 4.2 supplies an arc-fixing criterion from a large absolute reduced cost. Lemma 4.4 says that when a positive tight error falls by a factor of 2n2n2n, FεF_\varepsilonFε​ becomes strictly larger. Both are numbered results on printed pages 16–17 of the source report's journal counterpart.

Formalization targets

The goal is the circulation-level form of Theorem 4.5. Begin with a circulation f0f_0f0​ and a sequence f0,f1,…f_0,f_1,\ldotsf0​,f1​,… whose positive-error steps satisfy the contract of Figure 3: if ε(fk)>0\varepsilon(f_k)>0ε(fk​)>0, the next circulation is ε(fk)/2\varepsilon(f_k)/2ε(fk​)/2-optimal. With the report's standing n≥2n\ge2n≥2 and m≥n−1m\ge n-1m≥n−1, the target is

∃k≤m⌈log⁡2(2n)⌉:ε(fk)=0andfk is minimum-cost.\exists k\le m\left\lceil\log_2(2n)\right\rceil:\quad \varepsilon(f_k)=0\quad\text{and}\quad f_k\text{ is minimum-cost}.∃k≤m⌈log2​(2n)⌉:ε(fk​)=0andfk​ is minimum-cost.

The milestone list contains the already proved complementary-slackness characterization of minimum cost (Theorem 2.2), the cross-parameter arc-fixing result (Theorem 4.2), and strict growth of fixed arcs (Lemma 4.4). The report states Theorem 4.5 as O(mlog⁡n)O(m\log n)O(mlogn) iterations when each refinement decreases error by a constant factor. The target makes explicit the factor two used by the paper's refinements and the resulting finite count.

What the result establishes

The theorem gives a bound on the number of refinement calls that depends on the number of vertices and arcs, not on the magnitude, precision, or integrality of the costs. It gives an exact minimum-cost circulation rather than an arbitrary small-error approximation. This distinguishes the real-cost loop from an integer-cost stopping rule based on 1/n1/n1/n. The bound counts refinement calls only; the report analyzes the work within particular implementations separately.

The published 1989 definitions and the complementary-slackness theorem already have machine-checked status on the platform. Theorem 4.2, Lemma 4.4, and this iteration theorem are the open formalization targets. A complete development will connect the tight error to residual-cycle structure, establish that its infimum is attained for circulations, and prove that zero tight error implies minimum cost. The mission thereby makes the fixed-arc argument reusable for other circulation algorithms that lower an approximate-optimality parameter.

Why the bound needs more than repeated halving

Repeatedly dividing a positive real error by two gives errors approaching zero, but it does not by itself produce a finite step with zero error. The missing finite progress is structural: an arc must become fixed after enough reductions, and only finitely many arcs exist. Proving that fixedness is strict is delicate because it compares all circulations at two different error levels, not just two consecutive flows. Theorem 4.2 is the quantitative bridge between a price certificate for one flow and agreement of an arc across every sufficiently accurate flow. At the boundary ε=0\varepsilon=0ε=0, the printed wording of Lemma 4.4 would require F0F_0F0​ to be a proper subset of itself, so its positive-error regime must be made explicit.

Formalization scope

The Lean network uses CycleCanceling.MinMean.CircNetwork with a finite vertex type, a finite symmetric arc set, and real-valued capacities, costs, and flows. Off-arc values of these functions are irrelevant. The report assumes m≥n−1≥1m\ge n-1\ge1m≥n−1≥1 on printed page 5; the theorem binders express it as n≥2n\ge2n≥2 and m≥n−1m\ge n-1m≥n−1. The arc count is for ordered arcs, exactly as the report defines mmm. No integrality, rounding, or bounded-cost hypothesis is imposed. A feasible initial circulation is required because Figure 3 starts from one; infeasibility detection is outside this target.

The reused 1989 definitions write reduced cost as c(v,w)+p(v)−p(w)c(v,w)+p(v)-p(w)c(v,w)+p(v)−p(w). Substituting −p-p−p for ppp gives the report's c(v,w)−p(v)+p(w)c(v,w)-p(v)+p(w)c(v,w)−p(v)+p(w), so existential price certificates, ε\varepsilonε-optimality, and absolute reduced-cost conditions agree. The tight error is represented by a real infimum; proving that it is attained is part of the work. The set FεF_\varepsilonFε​ is filtered from EEE and includes only arcs whose flow is shared by all ε\varepsilonε-optimal circulations. The halving run computes its error from the current circulation; it does not take an unrelated error sequence. Once that error is zero, the loop has returned and later sequence entries are unconstrained. These choices exclude a vacuous or artificially fixed error parameter and a preselected optimal flow.

The explicit reading of the report's asymptotic count is t=⌈log⁡2(2n)⌉t=\lceil\log_2(2n)\rceilt=⌈log2​(2n)⌉ halvings per factor-2n2n2n reduction and at most mmm such blocks, giving mtm tmt refinements. This is a statement about refinement count, not a RAM-operation bound. Contributions on Theorem 4.2, the residual-cycle characterization of positive tight error, the fixed-arc strictness lemma, and the final finite counting argument all support the goal. The circulation, price, and fixed-arc infrastructure can be reused beyond this particular implementation.

Selected references

  • A. V. Goldberg and R. E. Tarjan, Finding Minimum-Cost Circulations by Successive Approximation, MIT/LCS/TM-333, July 1987; journal version in Mathematics of Operations Research 15(3), 1990, pp. 430–466. DOI: 10.1287/moor.15.3.430. The mission's page and theorem indices refer to the 1987 report.
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The Chromatic Number of Random Graphs: For Fixed 0 < p < 1, Almost Every G(n,p) Has n/s₀ ≤ χ(G) ≤ (n/s₀)(1 + 3 log log n / log n), where s₀ ≈ 2 log_d n and d = 1/(1−p)Research Paper

Motivation

The chromatic number χ(G)\chi(G)χ(G) of a graph is the least number of colours in a proper vertex colouring. Determining it for a typical graph was, in the words of the paper, "one of the best known and most studied unsolved problems in the theory of random graphs". For the dense random graph Gn,pG_{n,p}Gn,p​ with fixed edge probability ppp, the clique number had been known precisely since the 1970s, but the chromatic number was known only up to a factor of 222.

Timeline:

  • 1975. Grimmett and McDiarmid (doi:10.1017/S0305004100051124) proved that almost every Gn,pG_{n,p}Gn,p​ satisfies n2log⁡dn(1+o(1))≤χ(Gn,p)≤nlog⁡dn(1+o(1))\frac{n}{2\log_d n}(1+o(1))\le\chi(G_{n,p})\le\frac{n}{\log_d n}(1+o(1))2logd​nn​(1+o(1))≤χ(Gn,p​)≤logd​nn​(1+o(1)), with d=1/(1−p)d=1/(1-p)d=1/(1−p). The lower bound comes from the independence number; the upper bound from the greedy algorithm.
  • 1976. Bollobás and Erdős (doi:10.1017/S0305004100053056) determined the clique number of Gn,pG_{n,p}Gn,p​ up to two consecutive values, and slightly sharpened the bounds above.
  • 1987. Matula (Combinatorica 7) improved the upper bound to 2n3log⁡dn(1+o(1))\frac{2n}{3\log_d n}(1+o(1))3logd​n2n​(1+o(1)). Shamir and Spencer (Combinatorica 7) proved that χ(Gn,p)\chi(G_{n,p})χ(Gn,p​) is concentrated on an interval of length ω(n)n\omega(n)\sqrt nω(n)n​, without locating that interval.
  • 1988. Bollobás (this paper, doi:10.1007/BF02122551) showed that the lower bound is the truth: χ(Gn,p)=(1+o(1)) n/(2log⁡dn)\chi(G_{n,p})=(1+o(1))\,n/(2\log_d n)χ(Gn,p​)=(1+o(1))n/(2logd​n) for almost every Gn,pG_{n,p}Gn,p​.

Setting

Let n≥1n\ge 1n≥1, let V=[n]V=[n]V=[n], and let N=(n2)N=\binom n2N=(2n​). For a fixed real 0<p<10<p<10<p<1, the random graph Gp=Gn,pG_p=G_{n,p}Gp​=Gn,p​ includes each of the NNN pairs of vertices as an edge independently with probability ppp. A graph GGG on VVV with e(G)e(G)e(G) edges thus occurs with probability pe(G)(1−p)N−e(G)p^{e(G)}(1-p)^{N-e(G)}pe(G)(1−p)N−e(G). A property of graphs holds for almost every GpG_pGp​ if its probability tends to 111 as n→∞n\to\inftyn→∞.

Put q=1−pq=1-pq=1−p and d=1/qd=1/qd=1/q. Write log⁡\loglog for the natural logarithm and [x][x][x] for the integer part of xxx, and set

s0=[ 2log⁡dn−log⁡dlog⁡dn+2log⁡d(e/2)+1 ].s_0=\bigl[\,2\log_d n-\log_d\log_d n+2\log_d(e/2)+1\,\bigr].s0​=[2logd​n−logd​logd​n+2logd​(e/2)+1].

s0s_0s0​ is slightly larger than the independence number of GpG_pGp​, which is about 2log⁡dn−2log⁡dlog⁡dn2\log_d n-2\log_d\log_d n2logd​n−2logd​logd​n.

Supporting objects: E(n,r)=(nr)p(r2)E(n,r)=\binom nr p^{\binom r2}E(n,r)=(rn​)p(2r​) is the expected number of rrr-cliques of Gn,pG_{n,p}Gn,p​, and Eq(n,r)E_q(n,r)Eq​(n,r) is the same with qqq for ppp. XXX is the maximal number of pairwise edge-disjoint KrK^rKr subgraphs, and X′X'X′ is the number of KrK^rKr subgraphs that share no edge with any other KrK^rKr. Finally s1=s0−⌊5log⁡dlog⁡n⌋s_1=s_0-\lfloor 5\log_d\log n\rfloors1​=s0​−⌊5logd​logn⌋.

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem 4

P(ns0≤χ(Gp)≤ns0(1+3log⁡log⁡nlog⁡n))⟶1(n→∞).\mathbb P\Bigl(\frac n{s_0}\le\chi(G_p)\le\frac n{s_0}\Bigl(1+\frac{3\log\log n}{\log n}\Bigr)\Bigr)\longrightarrow 1\qquad(n\to\infty).P(s0​n​≤χ(Gp​)≤s0​n​(1+logn3loglogn​))⟶1(n→∞).

Both bounds are part of the goal. The companion statement χ(Gp)=(n/s0)(1+o(1))\chi(G_p)=(n/s_0)(1+o(1))χ(Gp​)=(n/s0​)(1+o(1)) for almost every GpG_pGp​ is a separate item.

Milestones

  1. Lemma 1 (a martingale inequality the paper attributes to Freedman). If ∣Xk+1−Xk∣≤c|X_{k+1}-X_k|\le c∣Xk+1​−Xk​∣≤c, b=mc2b=mc^2b=mc2 and a>0a>0a>0, then P(Xm≤EXm−a)≤(ba+b)a+bea≤exp⁡{−a2/2(a+b)}\mathbb P(X_m\le\mathbb E X_m-a)\le\bigl(\tfrac b{a+b}\bigr)^{a+b}e^a\le\exp\{-a^2/2(a+b)\}P(Xm​≤EXm​−a)≤(a+bb​)a+bea≤exp{−a2/2(a+b)}.
  2. Adding one edge changes XXX by at most one. Hence (5): P(X≤EX−a)≤exp⁡{−a2/2(a+N)}\mathbb P(X\le\mathbb EX-a)\le\exp\{-a^2/2(a+N)\}P(X≤EX−a)≤exp{−a2/2(a+N)}.
  3. (6), (8), (9): E(X′)≥(1+o(1))E(n,r)\mathbb E(X')\ge(1+o(1))E(n,r)E(X′)≥(1+o(1))E(n,r) when E(n,r)=nαE(n,r)=n^\alphaE(n,r)=nα, α≥12\alpha\ge\tfrac12α≥21​, nα=o(n2/(log⁡n)4)n^\alpha=o(n^2/(\log n)^4)nα=o(n2/(logn)4).
  4. Theorem 2: under those hypotheses, P(Yr≤(1−c)nα)≤exp⁡{−(c2+o(1))n2α−2}\mathbb P(Y_r\le(1-c)n^\alpha)\le\exp\{-(c^2+o(1))n^{2\alpha-2}\}P(Yr​≤(1−c)nα)≤exp{−(c2+o(1))n2α−2} for 0<c≤10<c\le10<c≤1, where YrY_rYr​ is the number of rrr-cliques.
  5. Corollary 3: under explicit growth conditions on n′n'n′ and r′r'r′, almost every GpG_pGp​ has a Kr′K^{r'}Kr′ in every n′n'n′-subset of vertices.
  6. The complement of GpG_pGp​ is GqG_qGq​, and almost no GqG_qGq​ contains Ks0+1K^{s_0+1}Ks0​+1. This gives the lower bound.
  7. The choice of n1n_1n1​ with 2n15/3≤Eq(n1,s1)≤3n15/32n_1^{5/3}\le E_q(n_1,s_1)\le3n_1^{5/3}2n15/3​≤Eq​(n1​,s1​)≤3n15/3​ and n1=O(n/(log⁡n)2)n_1=O(n/(\log n)^2)n1​=O(n/(logn)2); the greedy colouring bound χ≤n/s1+n1\chi\le n/s_1+n_1χ≤n/s1​+n1​; and the final inequality n/s1+n1<(n/s0)(1+3log⁡log⁡n/log⁡n)n/s_1+n_1<(n/s_0)(1+3\log\log n/\log n)n/s1​+n1​<(n/s0​)(1+3loglogn/logn).

Significance

Theorem 4 settles the first-order asymptotics of χ(Gn,p)\chi(G_{n,p})χ(Gn,p​) for constant ppp: χ(Gn,p)∼n/(2log⁡dn)\chi(G_{n,p})\sim n/(2\log_d n)χ(Gn,p​)∼n/(2logd​n). It shows that the trivial lower bound n/α(G)n/\alpha(G)n/α(G) is asymptotically tight. It also shows that greedy colouring, which uses about twice as many colours, is far from optimal. The method also became standard: concentration of a cleverly chosen packing variable, combined with the edge-exposure martingale. It reappears in Łuczak's extension to sparse random graphs and in the later literature on the concentration of χ(Gn,p)\chi(G_{n,p})χ(Gn,p​).

The theorem has been proved since 1988 and is textbook material (Bollobás, Random Graphs; Alon–Spencer, The Probabilistic Method). As of this mission it has no machine-checked proof in Mathlib. A formal proof would add:

  • a reusable finite model of G(n,p)G(n,p)G(n,p) on SimpleGraph (Fin n);
  • a lower-tail martingale inequality of Freedman type;
  • the first formal treatment of the edge-exposure martingale;
  • a careful audit of the paper's constants, several of which are misprinted (see Formalization scope).

Difficulty

The natural first attempt is to colour greedily and to control the independence number of every large vertex set by a union bound. It fails. The probability that a fixed set of n′n'n′ vertices has no independent set of size about 2log⁡dn′2\log_d n'2logd​n′ is not small enough to beat the (nn′)\binom n{n'}(n′n​) sets. The second moment method gives only a polynomially small failure probability, and that is what limits earlier results to a constant factor.

The paper needs a failure probability of order exp⁡(−n′1+δ)\exp(-n'^{1+\delta})exp(−n′1+δ) for the absence of a large independent set. Two difficulties block this:

  • The number YrY_rYr​ of rrr-cliques is not a Lipschitz function of the edges: one edge can lie in many cliques.
  • Its concentration is therefore not available from a bounded-differences inequality.

Replacing YrY_rYr​ by the edge-disjoint packing number XXX restores the Lipschitz property. The price is a lower bound on EX\mathbb E XEX, which requires the count X′X'X′ of "isolated" cliques and a delicate estimate of the overlap sums ∑lFl\sum_l F_l∑l​Fl​. These estimates depend on rrr being within O(1)O(1)O(1) of the clique number, so the asymptotics of r1(n)r_1(n)r1​(n) and of the binomial coefficients must be controlled uniformly in nnn.

Formalization scope

  • Model. Vertices are Fin n, graphs are SimpleGraph (Fin n), and G(n,p)G(n,p)G(n,p) is given by explicit finite sums: the weight pe(G)(1−p)N−e(G)p^{e(G)}(1-p)^{N-e(G)}pe(G)(1−p)N−e(G), probabilities and expectations. No measure is built for the random graph. "Almost every" is Tendsto (fun n => P_n) atTop (𝓝 1). Lemma 1 alone is stated on an arbitrary probability space with a Mathlib Filtration and Martingale.
  • Fixed ppp. ppp is a real constant with 0<p<10<p<10<p<1, the standing assumption of §1, and never depends on nnn.
  • Asymptotic notation. o(1)o(1)o(1) is an explicit sequence εn→0\varepsilon_n\to0εn​→0, quantified after every parameter the page fixes. f=o(g)f=o(g)f=o(g) is Asymptotics.IsLittleO. Hypotheses on nnn-indexed sequences hold for all large nnn, because E(n,r)=nαE(n,r)=n^\alphaE(n,r)=nα cannot hold for small nnn.
  • Conventions. χ\chiχ is Mathlib's chromaticNumber, which is finite on Fin n and converted to ℕ. s0,s1s_0,s_1s0​,s1​ are integers built with Int.floor and Real.logb d. For small nnn they take junk values that no asymptotic statement depends on.
  • Corrected misprints, each disclosed in the item's Formalization Note:
    • Theorem 2's exponent is stated as in the last display of its proof, exp⁡{−(c2+o(1))n2α−2}\exp\{-(c^2+o(1))n^{2\alpha-2}\}exp{−(c2+o(1))n2α−2}.
    • (6) omits a factor P(A)\mathbb P(A)P(A); the inequality is stated without conditioning.
    • The "maximal" n1n_1n1​ should be minimal; only its existence is stated.
    • The printed n1≤n/(log⁡n)2n_1\le n/(\log n)^2n1​≤n/(logn)2 is false with constant 111 and is replaced by n1≤Cn/(log⁡n)2n_1\le Cn/(\log n)^2n1​≤Cn/(logn)2 for some C>0C>0C>0.
    • The last display has n/s1n/s_1n/s1​ on its right-hand side; it is stated with n/s0n/s_0n/s0​, which is what Theorem 4 requires.
  • Added hypotheses. Lemma 1 assumes X0X_0X0​ almost surely constant, without which it is false at m=0m=0m=0; this matches the paper's application. The greedy colouring assumes s≥1s\ge1s≥1.
  • Not trivializable. The goal mentions only χ\chiχ, s0s_0s0​ and the random graph. It contains no martingale, packing number, s1s_1s1​ or n1n_1n1​. It keeps both bounds, so neither the well-known lower bound alone nor the asymptotic companion suffices.
  • Infrastructure needed and reusable:
    • the identity ∑Gpe(G)(1−p)N−e(G)=1\sum_G p^{e(G)}(1-p)^{N-e(G)}=1∑G​pe(G)(1−p)N−e(G)=1, and the marginalization over a fixed edge set;
    • the edge-exposure martingale on SimpleGraph (Fin n);
    • a one-sided Freedman/Bennett inequality, for which Mathlib's conditional sub-Gaussian MGF bounds are a natural starting point;
    • Stirling-type estimates for (nr)p(r2)\binom nr p^{\binom r2}(rn​)p(2r​) near the clique number.

Contributions to any of these are welcome, as are independent proofs of the deterministic milestones (greedy colouring, the final inequality, the complement identity).

Selected references

  • B. Bollobás, The chromatic number of random graphs, Combinatorica 8 (1988) 49–55. https://doi.org/10.1007/BF02122551
  • G. R. Grimmett and C. J. H. McDiarmid, On colouring random graphs, Math. Proc. Cambridge Philos. Soc. 77 (1975) 313–324. https://doi.org/10.1017/S0305004100051124
  • B. Bollobás and P. Erdős, Cliques in random graphs, Math. Proc. Cambridge Philos. Soc. 80 (1976) 419–427. https://doi.org/10.1017/S0305004100053056
  • D. W. Matula, Expose-and-merge exploration and the chromatic number of a random graph, Combinatorica 7 (1987).
  • E. Shamir and J. Spencer, Sharp concentration of the chromatic number on random graphs Gn,pG_{n,p}Gn,p​, Combinatorica 7 (1987).
  • D. A. Freedman, On tail probabilities for martingales, Ann. Probab. 3 (1975) 100–118. https://doi.org/10.1214/aop/1176996452
  • K. Azuma, Weighted sums of certain dependent random variables, Tôhoku Math. J. 19 (1967) 357–367. https://doi.org/10.2748/tmj/1178243286
  • B. Bollobás, Random Graphs, Academic Press, 1985.
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CombinatoricsDiscrete GeometryLinear Optimization·Captain: mikedeng1

A Quasi-Polynomial Bound for the Diameter of Graphs of Polyhedra: Every Polyhedron Given by n Inequalities in ℝ^d, Bounded or Not, Has Graph Diameter at Most n^(log₂ d + 2)Research Paper

Motivation

The simplex method solves a linear program by walking along the edges of the feasible polyhedron, from vertex to vertex. However cleverly a pivot rule chooses its steps, it cannot reach the optimum in fewer steps than the graph distance from the starting vertex. The largest possible graph diameter of a polyhedron therefore bounds from below the worst-case number of pivots of every pivot rule, and whether that diameter is polynomial in the size of the problem is one of the basic open questions of linear optimization (Klee–Kleinschmidt 1987).

Timeline.

  • 1957: Hirsch conjectures that a ddd-dimensional polyhedron with nnn facets has graph diameter at most n−dn-dn−d (reported in Dantzig, Linear Programming and Extensions, 1963).
  • 1967: Klee and Walkup show the conjecture false for unbounded polyhedra, with the lower bound n−d+[d/5]n-d+[d/5]n−d+[d/5] for n≥2dn\ge2dn≥2d (Acta Math. 1967).
  • 1967–1970: Barnette proves Δ(d,n)≤n3d−3\Delta(d,n)\le n3^{d-3}Δ(d,n)≤n3d−3, and Larman improves it to n2d−3n2^{d-3}n2d−3 (Proc. LMS 1970); both are linear in nnn but exponential in ddd.
  • 1990–1992: Kalai proves a subexponential bound, and then Kalai and Kleitman prove the quasi-polynomial bound nlog⁡d+2n^{\log d+2}nlogd+2 that is the subject of this mission (Bull. AMS 1992, arXiv:math/9204233).
  • 2012: Santos disproves the Hirsch conjecture for bounded polytopes (Ann. Math. 2012). Whether a polynomial bound holds remains open; the best general upper bounds known are refinements of the exponent of the Kalai–Kleitman bound.

Setting

A polyhedron in Rd\mathbb R^dRd is the solution set of finitely many linear inequalities,

P={x∈Rd: ⟨ai,x⟩≤bi, i=1,…,n},ai∈Rd, bi∈R.P=\{x\in\mathbb R^d:\ \langle a_i,x\rangle\le b_i,\ i=1,\dots,n\},\qquad a_i\in\mathbb R^d,\ b_i\in\mathbb R .P={x∈Rd: ⟨ai​,x⟩≤bi​, i=1,…,n},ai​∈Rd, bi​∈R.

It may be bounded or unbounded, and empty. Its vertices are its extreme points. Two distinct vertices u,vu,vu,v are adjacent when the segment [u,v][u,v][u,v] is an edge of PPP, a one-dimensional face; unbounded one-dimensional faces (rays) are not edges. The graph G(P)G(P)G(P) consists of these vertices and edges, and its diameter δ(P)\delta(P)δ(P) is the largest graph distance between two vertices. Kalai and Kleitman write Δ(d,n)\Delta(d,n)Δ(d,n) for the largest diameter of the graph of a ddd-dimensional polyhedron with nnn facets.

For a set FFF of row indices, the relaxation QFQ_FQF​ is the polyhedron obtained from PPP by ignoring the inequalities with index outside FFF. A walk of BBB steps is a sequence w0,…,wBw_0,\dots,w_Bw0​,…,wB​ of points in which each step stays put or crosses an edge; "diameter at most BBB" means that any two vertices are joined by such a walk, which includes connectivity of the graph.

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem 1

Δ(d,n)≤nlog⁡d+2.\Delta(d,n)\le n^{\log d+2}.Δ(d,n)≤nlogd+2.

Stated for polyhedra given by inequalities: for all d,nd,nd,n and all a∈(Rd)na\in(\mathbb R^d)^na∈(Rd)n, b∈Rnb\in\mathbb R^nb∈Rn, the graph of PPP is connected and has diameter at most ⌊nlog⁡2d+2⌋\lfloor n^{\log_2 d+2}\rfloor⌊nlog2​d+2⌋. No nonemptiness, boundedness or full-dimensionality is assumed.

Milestones, in the order the proof uses them

  1. If a vertex ω\omegaω of PPP satisfies with equality only rows in FFF, then ω\omegaω is a vertex of QFQ_FQF​ (published).
  2. If an edge of QFQ_FQF​ starts at a point of PPP and is not an edge of PPP, then it meets the hyperplane of an ignored row at a vertex of PPP adjacent to its start, or at its start (published).
  3. The claim kv≤Δ(d,[n/2])k_v\le\Delta(d,[n/2])kv​≤Δ(d,[n/2]): if every vertex within distance kkk of vvv lies only on rows of FFF, and G(QF)G(Q_F)G(QF​) has diameter at most BBB, then every vertex within distance kkk of vvv is within distance BBB of vvv.
  4. The facet step: any two vertices of a face {x∈P:⟨ai,x⟩=bi}\{x\in P:\langle a_i,x\rangle=b_i\}{x∈P:⟨ai​,x⟩=bi​} with ai≠0a_i\ne0ai​=0 are joined, inside that face, by a walk of at most Δ(d−1,n−1)\Delta(d-1,n-1)Δ(d−1,n−1) edges.
  5. The recursion Δ(d,n)≤Δ(d−1,n−1)+2Δ(d,[n/2])+2\Delta(d,n)\le\Delta(d-1,n-1)+2\Delta(d,[n/2])+2Δ(d,n)≤Δ(d−1,n−1)+2Δ(d,[n/2])+2, for polyhedra with nonzero rows.
  6. The arithmetic: N(d,n)=⌊nlog⁡2d+2⌋N(d,n)=\lfloor n^{\log_2 d+2}\rfloorN(d,n)=⌊nlog2​d+2⌋ satisfies N(d−1,n−1)+2N(d,⌊n/2⌋)+2≤N(d,n)N(d-1,n-1)+2N(d,\lfloor n/2\rfloor)+2\le N(d,n)N(d−1,n−1)+2N(d,⌊n/2⌋)+2≤N(d,n) for d≥2d\ge2d≥2, n≥d+1n\ge d+1n≥d+1.

Significance

The bound is polynomial in nnn for each fixed ddd, and nO(log⁡d)n^{O(\log d)}nO(logd) overall. Before it, every bound was exponential in ddd or subexponential in nnn. It remains, up to improvements of the exponent, the best known upper bound on the diameter of polyhedra, and thus the best known limit on how badly an optimal pivot rule must behave. Its proof is also the template for the later abstractions of the problem (connected layer families, subset partition graphs) in which the polynomial Hirsch question is studied.

The bounded case is already formalized on the platform: Hirsch.kalai_kleitman_bound states the theorem for nonempty bounded polytopes and is Proved, together with the bounded forms of the recursion (Hirsch.kalai_kleitman_recursion), of the facet step (Hirsch.facet_reduction, Hirsch.facet_walk) and of the zero-row reduction (Hirsch.diamLE_of_nonzero_rows), and the one-step relaxation lemma Hirsch.relaxation_no_new_neighbours. Kalai and Kleitman state Theorem 1 for all polyhedra: their introduction contrasts unbounded polyhedra (where Hirsch fails) with bounded ones. This mission formalizes the theorem as the paper states it, including unbounded polyhedra, where the bounded proofs do not apply as written. The combinatorial abstraction of the same bound (EHRR10.KalaiKleitman.diameter_le_kalai_kleitman, for the Eisenbrand–Hähnle–Razborov–Rothvoß model) is a different object and is not reused.

Difficulty

The bounded argument relies on compactness: faces are polytopes, every relaxation used in the induction is again a polytope, and the facet of a polytope is a polytope of one dimension less. The relaxation QFQ_FQF​ contains PPP and is typically unbounded even when PPP is bounded, and for an unbounded polyhedron a face on a facet hyperplane can be unbounded or have no vertices at all. Each step must therefore hold for general polyhedra: that a shortest walk in G(QF)G(Q_F)G(QF​) between two vertices of the ball uses only edges of PPP, and that the graph of a face, identified with a polyhedron in Rd−1\mathbb R^{d-1}Rd−1, sits inside G(P)G(P)G(P). The "maximal positive number kvk_vkv​" of the paper need not exist, and the proof must handle the two cases (no radius qualifies; every radius qualifies) separately. Zero rows are allowed in the goal and must be removed before the recursion applies, since a zero row with bi=0b_i=0bi​=0 is tight everywhere.

Formalization scope

Lean represents Rd\mathbb R^dRd as EuclideanSpace ℝ (Fin d) and the polyhedron as Hirsch.Hpoly a b with a : Fin n → ℝ^d, b : Fin n → ℝ, from the published definition Hirsch_model, which also supplies adjacency Hirsch.Adj (the segment is an extreme subset) and the diameter predicate Hirsch.DiamLE. The mission commits to these explicit readings:

  • "Δ(d,n)≤N\Delta(d,n)\le NΔ(d,n)≤N" is ∀ a b, DiamLE (Hpoly a b) N over nnn inequalities in Rd\mathbb R^dRd. This is equivalent to the facet formulation, since a ddd-dimensional polyhedron is cut out by its facet inequalities and a polyhedron given by nnn inequalities in Rd\mathbb R^dRd has dimension at most ddd and at most nnn facets.
  • "log" is log⁡2\log_2log2​ (Real.logb 2), the power is the real power, and the integer bound is its floor ⌊·⌋₊, which is equivalent because distances are natural numbers.
  • "[n/2][n/2][n/2]" is ⌊n/2⌋\lfloor n/2\rfloor⌊n/2⌋ (ℕ division); "at most n/2n/2n/2 facets" is a row set of cardinality at most ⌊n/2⌋\lfloor n/2\rfloor⌊n/2⌋.
  • An ignored row is replaced by the vacuous inequality ⟨0,x⟩≤1\langle0,x\rangle\le1⟨0,x⟩≤1, which keeps the index type Fin n.
  • Walks have exactly BBB steps with stationary steps allowed, so "BBB steps" means "at most BBB edges".
  • The paper's kvk_vkv​ is not defined; milestone 3 quantifies over every radius with the ball property.
  • Milestones 4 and 5 assume nonzero rows; the goal does not.

A statement with a boundedness or nonemptiness hypothesis, with the graph diameter measured by a distance function whose value on unreachable pairs is 000, or with the bound read with Nat.log or the natural logarithm, is not the target. Contributions welcome: proofs of the general-polyhedron facet step and of milestone 3, a general zero-row reduction, the arithmetic of milestone 6, and the base cases d≤1d\le1d≤1 and n≤dn\le dn≤d.

Selected references

  • G. Kalai and D. J. Kleitman, A quasi-polynomial bound for the diameter of graphs of polyhedra, Bull. Amer. Math. Soc. 26 (1992), 315–316. https://doi.org/10.1090/S0273-0979-1992-00285-9 (arXiv:math/9204233)
  • V. Klee and D. W. Walkup, The d-step conjecture for polyhedra of dimension d < 6, Acta Math. 117 (1967), 53–78. https://doi.org/10.1007/BF02395040
  • V. Klee and P. Kleinschmidt, The d-step conjecture and its relatives, Math. Oper. Res. 12 (1987), 718–755. https://doi.org/10.1287/moor.12.4.718
  • D. G. Larman, Paths on polytopes, Proc. London Math. Soc. (3) 20 (1970), 161–178. https://doi.org/10.1112/plms/s3-20.1.161
  • F. Santos, A counterexample to the Hirsch conjecture, Ann. of Math. 176 (2012), 383–412. https://doi.org/10.4007/annals.2012.176.1.7
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Bandit AlgorithmsMachine LearningOperations Research+1·Captain: mikedeng1

MNL-Bandit: A Dynamic Learning Approach to Assortment Selection I: The Epoch-Based UCB Policy Has Regret at Most C₁√(NT log NT) + C₂N log² NT Under the No-Purchase AssumptionResearch Paper

Motivation

A retailer that decides which products to display, an online platform that decides which items to show in a recommendation slot, and an airline that decides which fare classes to open all face the same problem: the set of options offered changes what customers buy, and the substitution pattern is not known in advance. The multinomial logit (MNL) model is the standard model of this substitution in revenue management (Talluri and van Ryzin 2004), and optimizing the offered set under a known MNL model is a classical, efficiently solvable problem (e.g. Rusmevichientong, Shen and Shmoys 2010, for a capacity constraint).

The MNL-Bandit asks what happens when the MNL parameters are unknown and must be learned from the purchases themselves, while revenue is being earned. Earlier approaches (Rusmevichientong, Shen and Shmoys 2010; Sauré and Zeevi 2013) separate exploration from exploitation and need the gap between the best and the second-best assortment to be known. Agrawal, Avadhanula, Goyal and Zeevi (Oper. Res. 2019, arXiv:1706.03880) give a single upper-confidence-bound policy whose regret is of order NT\sqrt{NT}NT​ up to logarithmic factors, with no such knowledge. This mission formalizes that result, Theorem 1 of the paper.

Setting

There are NNN products with known revenues ri∈[0,1]r_i\in[0,1]ri​∈[0,1]. At each time t=1,…,Tt=1,\dots,Tt=1,…,T the seller offers an assortment StS_tSt​ from a family S\mathcal SS of feasible subsets of {1,…,N}\{1,\dots,N\}{1,…,N}, and one customer either buys a product ct∈Stc_t\in S_tct​∈St​ or buys nothing (ct=0c_t=0ct​=0). Given St=SS_t=SSt​=S, the choice follows the MNL model with attraction parameters v1,…,vN≥0v_1,\dots,v_N\ge0v1​,…,vN​≥0 and v0=1v_0=1v0​=1:

pi(S)=vi1+∑j∈Svj(i∈S∪{0}),pi(S)=0 otherwise,p_i(S)=\frac{v_i}{1+\sum_{j\in S}v_j}\quad(i\in S\cup\{0\}),\qquad p_i(S)=0\ \text{otherwise},pi​(S)=1+∑j∈S​vj​vi​​(i∈S∪{0}),pi​(S)=0 otherwise,

independently of the past. The expected revenue of SSS is R(S,v)=∑i∈Srivi/(1+∑j∈Svj)R(S,v)=\sum_{i\in S}r_iv_i\big/\big(1+\sum_{j\in S}v_j\big)R(S,v)=∑i∈S​ri​vi​/(1+∑j∈S​vj​). The family S\mathcal SS is described by totally unimodular constraints, S={S:A x(S)≤b}\mathcal S=\{S : A\,x(S)\le b\}S={S:Ax(S)≤b} with x(S)x(S)x(S) the incidence vector of SSS, AAA totally unimodular and bbb integral (cardinality constraints are the main example). A policy chooses StS_tSt​ from the past choices, and its regret is

Regπ(T,v)=T R(S∗,v)−Eπ[∑t=1TR(St,v)],R(S∗,v)=max⁡S∈SR(S,v).\mathrm{Reg}_\pi(T,v)=T\,R(S^*,v)-\mathbb E_\pi\Big[\sum_{t=1}^TR(S_t,v)\Big],\qquad R(S^*,v)=\max_{S\in\mathcal S}R(S,v).Regπ​(T,v)=TR(S∗,v)−Eπ​[t=1∑T​R(St​,v)],R(S∗,v)=S∈Smax​R(S,v).

The seller knows rrr and S\mathcal SS but not vvv.

Algorithm 1 works in epochs: epoch ℓ\ellℓ offers one assortment SℓS_\ellSℓ​ repeatedly until a customer buys nothing. Let v^i,ℓ\hat v_{i,\ell}v^i,ℓ​ be the number of purchases of iii in epoch ℓ\ellℓ, Ti(ℓ)T_i(\ell)Ti​(ℓ) the number of the first ℓ\ellℓ epochs that offered iii, and vˉi,ℓ\bar v_{i,\ell}vˉi,ℓ​ the average of v^i,τ\hat v_{i,\tau}v^i,τ​ over those epochs. The algorithm forms the upper confidence bounds

vi,ℓUCB=vˉi,ℓ+vˉi,ℓ 48log⁡(Nℓ+1)Ti(ℓ)+48log⁡(Nℓ+1)Ti(ℓ),v^{\mathrm{UCB}}_{i,\ell}=\bar v_{i,\ell}+\sqrt{\bar v_{i,\ell}\,\frac{48\log(\sqrt N\ell+1)}{T_i(\ell)}}+\frac{48\log(\sqrt N\ell+1)}{T_i(\ell)},vi,ℓUCB​=vˉi,ℓ​+vˉi,ℓ​Ti​(ℓ)48log(N​ℓ+1)​​+Ti​(ℓ)48log(N​ℓ+1)​,

starting from vi,0UCB=1v^{\mathrm{UCB}}_{i,0}=1vi,0UCB​=1, and offers next the assortment in S\mathcal SS that maximizes R(S,v⋅,ℓUCB)R(S,v^{\mathrm{UCB}}_{\cdot,\ell})R(S,v⋅,ℓUCB​).

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem 1 (p. 11)

Under Assumption 4.1 (every vi≤v0=1v_i\le v_0=1vi​≤v0​=1, and S\mathcal SS is closed under taking subsets) there are absolute constants C1,C2C_1,C_2C1​,C2​ such that for every instance and every horizon TTT,

Regπ(T,v)≤C1NTlog⁡NT+C2Nlog⁡2NT.\mathrm{Reg}_\pi(T,v)\le C_1\sqrt{NT\log NT}+C_2N\log^2NT .Regπ​(T,v)≤C1​NTlogNT​+C2​Nlog2NT.

The constants are not fixed: the goal asserts the order of the regret, which is what the paper claims.

Milestones

The milestones follow the proof in Appendix A of the paper:

  1. The law of an epoch's purchase count: Lemma A.1, its moment generating function given the offered assortment.
  2. Concentration: Theorem 5, Chernoff bounds for geometric variables; Corollary D.1; and Lemma A.2 for the averages vˉi,ℓ\bar v_{i,\ell}vˉi,ℓ​ along Algorithm 1.
  3. Lemma 4.1: vi,ℓUCB≥viv^{\mathrm{UCB}}_{i,\ell}\ge v_ivi,ℓUCB​≥vi​ with probability at least 1−6/(Nℓ)1-6/(N\ell)1−6/(Nℓ), and its rate of convergence.
  4. Optimism of the revenue estimate: Lemma A.3 (monotonicity of the optimal revenue in vvv) and Lemma 4.2.
  5. The per-epoch error: Lemma A.4 (a Lipschitz bound) and Lemma 4.3.
  6. The epoch decomposition of the regret, (A.14).

Significance

Theorem 1 shows that learning the choice model costs only O~(NT)\tilde O(\sqrt{NT})O~(NT​) revenue, with no dependence on how separated the instance is. The paper also proves a lower bound of order NT/K\sqrt{NT/K}NT/K​ under a KKK-cardinality constraint (its Theorem 2), so for small KKK the bound is optimal up to logarithmic factors. The epoch device used here reduces the analysis of a choice model with substitution to unbiased i.i.d. estimates of each viv_ivi​.

The result is proved in the paper (Appendix A, with the concentration bounds in Appendix D). It has not been machine-checked. A formal proof would also settle several printed slips that the formalization had to repair (listed under Formalization scope). The concentration bounds for geometric variables, Theorem 5 and Corollary D.1, are useful outside this mission.

Difficulty

The estimates v^i,ℓ\hat v_{i,\ell}v^i,ℓ​ are counted in epochs whose assortments are chosen adaptively from earlier estimates, so they are not independent a priori. The paper's argument that they are i.i.d. geometric with mean viv_ivi​ has to be made rigorous for an adaptive policy. The variables are unbounded, so the standard Chernoff–Hoeffding bounds for bounded variables do not apply, and the number of samples Ti(ℓ)T_i(\ell)Ti​(ℓ) is random, which requires a union bound over all its possible values. Finally, the regret is a sum over customers while the analysis is per epoch, and the two are linked through the expected epoch length 1+∑j∈Sℓvj1+\sum_{j\in S_\ell}v_j1+∑j∈Sℓ​​vj​ under a random number of epochs and a horizon that cuts the last one.

Formalization scope

  • Model. Products are Fin N; a choice is none (no purchase) or some i. The parameter v0v_0v0​ is normalized to 111, as the paper allows. Algorithm 1 is deterministic, so a history of horizon TTT is a sequence of TTT choices with the product law ∏tpct(St)\prod_tp_{c_t}(S_t)∏t​pct​​(St​), and every expectation is a finite sum. The revenue R(S,v)R(S,v)R(S,v) is the published definition ChoiceCDLP.MNL.mnlObjective v r 1 S.
  • Feasible family. S\mathcal SS is a finite family with the TU representation (2.3), closed under subsets, and nonempty (the paper presupposes nonemptiness when it writes S∗=arg⁡max⁡S^*=\arg\maxS∗=argmax).
  • Algorithm. Algorithm 1 is a policy defined by recursion on the history. It receives rrr and an argmax selector for S\mathcal SS, never vvv. Every statement quantifies over all selectors, that is, over every tie-breaking rule. While a product has never been offered, its vUCBv^{\mathrm{UCB}}vUCB stays at the initial value 111.
  • Epoch events. The lemmas about epoch ℓ\ellℓ are stated for every finite horizon TTT, on the event that epoch ℓ\ellℓ is completed by customer TTT; uniformity in TTT is the paper's infinite-horizon statement.
  • Repairs of the page, all disclosed in the items:
    1. Lemma A.2's misprinted log⁡(ℓ+1)\log(\ell+1)log(ℓ+1) is replaced by log⁡(Nℓ+1)\log(\sqrt N\ell+1)log(N​ℓ+1).
    2. Lemmas 4.2 and 4.3 are indexed by the estimate built at the end of epoch ℓ\ellℓ.
    3. Lemma 4.3's free index iii becomes the sum over i∈Sℓ+1i\in S_{\ell+1}i∈Sℓ+1​.
    4. Lemmas 4.1 and 4.3 use the explicit constants C1=72+24C_1=\sqrt{72}+\sqrt{24}C1​=72​+24​ and C2=144C_2=144C2​=144 of the proof.
    5. Lemma A.3 and Lemma 4.2 require positive parameters on the optimal set; the printed versions are false otherwise.
    6. (A.14) is an inequality, since the horizon cuts the last epoch.
  • Not stated. Corollary A.1 (the epoch estimates are i.i.d. geometric across the epochs of the adaptive policy) is not posed as an item: a single-epoch law would be a weaker statement than the page's.
  • No trivialization. The policy cannot see vvv, the constants of the goal precede every other quantifier, and the regret is the paper's (2.6), so the goal cannot be met by a policy that offers S∗S^*S∗ or by constants that depend on the instance.
  • Welcome contributions. Infrastructure for adaptive sampling (the i.i.d. property of the epoch estimates), Chernoff bounds for geometric and sub-exponential variables, and a Wald-type identity for epochs.

The paper's own proofs are in its Appendices A and D.

Selected references

  • S. Agrawal, V. Avadhanula, V. Goyal, A. Zeevi, MNL-Bandit: A Dynamic Learning Approach to Assortment Selection, Operations Research 67(5):1453–1485, 2019. arXiv:1706.03880v2, doi:10.1287/opre.2018.1832
  • P. Rusmevichientong, Z.-J. M. Shen, D. B. Shmoys, Dynamic assortment optimization with a multinomial logit choice model and capacity constraint, Operations Research 58(6):1666–1680, 2010. doi:10.1287/opre.1100.0866
  • D. Sauré, A. Zeevi, Optimal dynamic assortment planning with demand learning, Manufacturing & Service Operations Management 15(3):387–404, 2013. doi:10.1287/msom.2013.0429
  • K. Talluri, G. van Ryzin, Revenue management under a general discrete choice model of consumer behavior, Management Science 50(1):15–33, 2004. doi:10.1287/mnsc.1030.0147
  • M. Mitzenmacher, E. Upfal, Probability and Computing, Cambridge University Press, 2005.
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CombinatoricsOperations ResearchProbability+1·Captain: mikedeng1

Online Stochastic Matching: Beating 1-1/e 3: No Online Algorithm Beats Expected Approximation Factor 26/27 on a 6-Cycle, and None Reaches 1 − o(1) on Disjoint 6-CyclesResearch Paper

Motivation

Online bipartite matching asks an algorithm to assign arriving requests to resources it cannot reassign later. In display advertising, the requests are page views (impressions) and the resources are advertisers who have bought a fixed number of impressions in advance; each impression must be served immediately or lost. In the adversarial model, Karp, Vazirani and Vazirani (STOC 1990) showed that the RANKING algorithm achieves a 1−1/e1 - 1/e1−1/e fraction of the optimum in expectation, and that no online algorithm does better. Advertising systems, however, have historical traffic data, which motivates the i.i.d. model: the impression types are drawn independently from a distribution that is known in advance.

Feldman, Mehta, Mirrokni and Muthukrishnan (arXiv:0905.4100, FOCS 2009) were the first to beat 1−1/e1 - 1/e1−1/e in this model, with an algorithm that achieves ≈0.67\approx 0.67≈0.67 with high probability. Their Section 3 asks the complementary question: how close to 111 can any online algorithm get when the distribution is known? Their Theorem 3 answers that the expected approximation factor of every online algorithm is bounded strictly away from 111, already on a graph with six vertices. Later work in the same model (Manshadi, Oveis Gharan and Saberi, SODA 2011, arXiv:1007.1673) sharpened both the algorithmic and the hardness side.

Setting

An instance consists of a bipartite graph G=(A,I,E)G = (A, I, E)G=(A,I,E) between a finite set AAA of advertisers and a finite set III of impression types, a distribution DDD on III, and a number nnn of arrivals. In this mission DDD is the uniform distribution on III. Online, nnn impressions arrive one at a time; their types ω(0),…,ω(n−1)\omega(0), \dots, \omega(n-1)ω(0),…,ω(n−1) are independent draws from DDD. When impression ttt arrives, the algorithm must immediately either assign it to an advertiser aaa with (a,ω(t))∈E(a, \omega(t)) \in E(a,ω(t))∈E that has not yet been used, or leave it unassigned. Each advertiser can be used at most once, and decisions are final.

A deterministic online algorithm decides what to do with arrival ttt from the types ω(0),…,ω(t)\omega(0), \dots, \omega(t)ω(0),…,ω(t) seen so far; it knows GGG, DDD and nnn, but not the future. A randomized online algorithm is a probability distribution over deterministic ones. ALG(ω)\mathrm{ALG}(\omega)ALG(ω) is the number of impressions the algorithm assigns on the arrival sequence ω\omegaω. OPT(ω)\mathrm{OPT}(\omega)OPT(ω) is the size of a maximum matching of the realization graph, which has one node per arrival ttt, joined to every advertiser adjacent to ω(t)\omega(t)ω(t): the most impressions that could have been assigned with hindsight. The expected approximation factor of an algorithm is

E ⁣[ALG(ω)OPT(ω)],\mathbb E\!\left[\frac{\mathrm{ALG}(\omega)}{\mathrm{OPT}(\omega)}\right],E[OPT(ω)ALG(ω)​],

the expectation taken over the algorithm's randomness and the arrivals.

The 6-cycle instance has A={a,b,c}A = \{a, b, c\}A={a,b,c}, I={x,y,z}I = \{x, y, z\}I={x,y,z} and E={(x,a),(y,a),(y,b),(z,b),(z,c),(x,c)}E = \{(x,a),(y,a),(y,b),(z,b),(z,c),(x,c)\}E={(x,a),(y,a),(y,b),(z,b),(z,c),(x,c)}, with the uniform distribution and n=3n = 3n=3. The family Γk\Gamma_kΓk​ consists of kkk disjoint copies of the 6-cycle, with the uniform distribution on its 3k3k3k impression types and n=3kn = 3kn=3k arrivals.

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem 3

On the 6-cycle, every randomized online algorithm satisfies

E ⁣[ALGOPT]≤2627,\mathbb E\!\left[\frac{\mathrm{ALG}}{\mathrm{OPT}}\right] \le \frac{26}{27},E[OPTALG​]≤2726​,

and there are a constant c<1c < 1c<1 and a threshold K0K_0K0​ such that for every k≥K0k \ge K_0k≥K0​ and every randomized online algorithm on Γk\Gamma_kΓk​,

E ⁣[ALGOPT]≤c.\mathbb E\!\left[\frac{\mathrm{ALG}}{\mathrm{OPT}}\right] \le c .E[OPTALG​]≤c.

The second part is the paper's "there exists a family of instances with n→∞n \to \inftyn→∞ for which no algorithm can achieve an expected approximation of 1−o(1)1 - o(1)1−o(1)", stated on the paper's own family. It leaves ccc unspecified: Appendix B estimates c≈0.9898c \approx 0.9898c≈0.9898 through approximate counts, and a sharper constant would not invalidate the goal.

Milestones

  1. The (x,y,y)(x, y, y)(x,y,y) scenario (§3, p. 4). For every deterministic online algorithm on the 6-cycle and every type uuu of the first arrival there is a type vvv with ALG(u,v,v)≤2\mathrm{ALG}(u, v, v) \le 2ALG(u,v,v)≤2 and OPT(u,v,v)=3\mathrm{OPT}(u, v, v) = 3OPT(u,v,v)=3.
  2. Theorem 3, first sentence (p. 4). The bound 26/2726/2726/27 on the 6-cycle, for every randomized online algorithm.

Significance

Theorem 3 sets the ceiling against which algorithms in the i.i.d. model are measured. It rules out an online algorithm with expected factor arbitrarily close to 111, even though the distribution is known and the instance is tiny, so a constant-factor gap between online and offline matching is intrinsic to the model and not an artefact of adversarial arrivals. The paper's positive results (1−1/e1 - 1/e1−1/e for the Suggested Matching algorithm, ≈0.67\approx 0.67≈0.67 for Two Suggested Matchings) sit between 1−1/e1 - 1/e1−1/e and this ceiling.

The single-instance bound has a short counting proof. The family statement is argued in the paper only in outline: Appendix B approximates the fractions of copies receiving 111, 222, 333 or more impressions, assumes the most favourable outcome on each, and reports the resulting ratio as approximately 0.98980.98980.9898. A machine-checked proof of the family statement would turn that sketch into a theorem with an explicit constant. To our knowledge neither part has been formalized before.

Difficulty

The single-cycle bound reduces to a finite check, but the paper's "without loss of generality (from the symmetry of the 6-cycle)" hides the cases the algorithm can choose: assigning the first impression to either neighbour, or not assigning it at all. Each case needs its own bad continuation. The passage from deterministic to randomized algorithms is an averaging step.

The family bound is harder. On Γk\Gamma_kΓk​ the algorithm sees all arrivals in all copies and may coordinate its decisions across copies, so the per-copy loss of the single cycle does not transfer by independence. Moreover the target is the expectation of a ratio, E[ALG/OPT]\mathbb E[\mathrm{ALG}/\mathrm{OPT}]E[ALG/OPT], not a ratio of expectations: a bound on the expected loss must be combined with concentration of the number of copies that receive exactly three impressions, and with a lower bound on OPT\mathrm{OPT}OPT that holds with high probability. The approximations "≃3/e3\simeq 3/e^3≃3/e3, 9/(2e3)9/(2e^3)9/(2e3), 27/(6e3)27/(6e^3)27/(6e3)" of Appendix B have unquantified errors and cannot be used as they stand.

Formalization scope

The model is formalized for general finite AAA and III with uniform arrivals. Arrival sequences are functions Fin n → I. A deterministic online algorithm is a function that receives the time ttt, the prefix of the first ttt types (Fin t → I) and the current type, and returns an advertiser or none; it cannot read later arrivals. A proposal of a non-adjacent or already used advertiser leaves the impression unassigned, so the encoding covers all online algorithms, including ones that skip an impression while a neighbour is free. A randomized online algorithm is a probability distribution (PMF) on the finite type of deterministic algorithms; by Kuhn's theorem this is equivalent to fresh random choices at each step. OPT\mathrm{OPT}OPT is the maximum size of an injective, edge-respecting partial assignment of arrivals to advertisers. The expected approximation factor is a finite average over all ∣I∣n|I|^n∣I∣n arrival sequences, weighted by the algorithm distribution.

The explicit instantiations of the paper's asymptotic wording are as follows:

  • "no algorithm can achieve an expected approximation of 1−o(1)1 - o(1)1−o(1)" becomes ∃ c<1, ∃K0, ∀k≥K0, ∀P: E[ALG/OPT]≤c\exists\, c < 1,\ \exists K_0,\ \forall k \ge K_0,\ \forall P:\ \mathbb E[\mathrm{ALG}/\mathrm{OPT}] \le c∃c<1, ∃K0​, ∀k≥K0​, ∀P: E[ALG/OPT]≤c on Γk\Gamma_kΓk​, with n=3kn = 3kn=3k tied to kkk, and with ccc and K0K_0K0​ chosen before kkk and before the algorithm.
  • The paper's constant 0.98980.98980.9898 is not part of the statement.

Lean's division sets x/0=0x/0 = 0x/0=0. A formalization of the form "there is an instance on which every algorithm has expected factor at most 26/2726/2726/27" would be satisfied trivially by a graph without edges, where OPT=0\mathrm{OPT} = 0OPT=0; the statements here are on the paper's explicit instances, where every impression type has an adjacent advertiser and OPT≥1\mathrm{OPT} \ge 1OPT≥1 on every arrival sequence.

A complete development needs finite case analysis on runs of online algorithms, averaging over mixed strategies, and, for the family, concentration inequalities for occupancy counts (Azuma or McDiarmid, both available on the platform) together with bounds on maximum matchings of disjoint unions. The online-algorithm model and the averaging lemmas are reusable for other lower bounds in the i.i.d. model. Proofs of either milestone, and independent proofs of the family statement with any explicit c<1c < 1c<1, are welcome.

Selected references

  • J. Feldman, A. Mehta, V. Mirrokni, S. Muthukrishnan, Online Stochastic Matching: Beating 1-1/e, FOCS 2009; arXiv:0905.4100v1. https://arxiv.org/abs/0905.4100
  • R. M. Karp, U. V. Vazirani, V. V. Vazirani, An optimal algorithm for on-line bipartite matching, STOC 1990. https://doi.org/10.1145/100216.100262
  • V. H. Manshadi, S. Oveis Gharan, A. Saberi, Online Stochastic Matching: Online Actions Based on Offline Statistics, SODA 2011; arXiv:1007.1673. https://arxiv.org/abs/1007.1673
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On the Theory of Policy Gradient Methods: Optimality, Approximation, and Distribution Shift 6: Agnostic Q-NPG for Log-Linear Policies, Bounded by Transfer Error, Excess Risk and Condition NumberResearch Paper

Motivation

Policy gradient methods optimize a decision rule by changing the parameters that determine its action probabilities. In reinforcement learning, the objective is the expected total reward collected over time. Once a policy is restricted to a feature-based class, the best policy may be less effective than the unrestricted optimum. A useful guarantee must therefore compare the computed policy with a chosen comparator and account for both the limits of the features and the error in estimating an update direction. Agarwal, Kakade, Lee and Mahajan give such a guarantee for a version of the natural policy gradient method that fits action values with linear features, called Q-NPG (Agarwal et al., §6.2).

The result matters when a policy has far fewer parameters than there are state-action pairs. A bound phrased only for exact action values or an unrestricted policy class would leave out the errors introduced by fitting from samples and by moving the fitting distribution from the states of a comparator to the states visited by the current policy. Theorem 6.1 keeps those effects visible as separate terms. It also avoids assuming that the comparator is an optimal policy; the comparator can be a policy selected for an application or a benchmark within a restricted class.

Setting

A discounted Markov decision process has a finite state set S, a finite nonempty action set A, transition probabilities P(s'|s,a), immediate rewards r(s,a) in [0,1], and a discount factor γ in [0,1). A policy π assigns a probability distribution over A to every state. The value V^π(s) is the expected sum of discounted rewards from s, and V^π(ρ) averages this value over an initial state distribution ρ. The action value Q^π(s,a) starts by choosing a in s and then follows π. Its advantage is A^π(s,a)=Q^π(s,a)−V^π(s). These are the unnormalized value conventions of §3, pp. 9–12.

For each state-action pair, fix a feature vector φ(s,a) in Euclidean d-space. The log-linear policy with parameter θ assigns probability proportional to exp(θ·φ(s,a)):

πθ(a∣s)=exp⁡(θ⋅ϕ(s,a))∑a′∈Aexp⁡(θ⋅ϕ(s,a′)).\pi_\theta(a\mid s)= \frac{\exp(\theta\cdot\phi(s,a))} {\sum_{a'\in A}\exp(\theta\cdot\phi(s,a'))}.πθ​(a∣s)=∑a′∈A​exp(θ⋅ϕ(s,a′))exp(θ⋅ϕ(s,a))​.

The Q-NPG fitting loss L(w;θ,υ)L(w;\theta,\upsilon)L(w;θ,υ) is the mean squared error of predicting Qπθ(s,a)Q^{\pi_\theta}(s,a)Qπθ​(s,a) by w⋅ϕ(s,a)w\cdot\phi(s,a)w⋅ϕ(s,a) under a state-action distribution υ\upsilonυ. Q-NPG uses an approximate minimizer w of this loss under its current on-policy measure and updates θ by ηw. The distribution ν specifies the initial state-action pair for that measure. At time zero, the pair is drawn directly from ν; the given initial action is executed before later actions follow the current policy. These definitions are (19)–(20) of §6.2, pp. 27–28.

The comparison policy π⋆ has discounted state visitation distribution dρπ⋆d^{\pi^\star}_\rhodρπ⋆​. The paper's transfer measure d⋆d^\stard⋆ pairs those states with a uniform action from A. The excess risk measures how much worse an approximate fitting direction is than an exact constrained minimizer under the current on-policy measure. The transfer error measures the exact minimizer's loss under d⋆d^\stard⋆. A relative condition number κ bounds, in every feature direction, the covariance quadratic form under d⋆d^\stard⋆ by κ times that under ν (Assumptions 6.1–6.2, pp. 28–29).

Formalization targets

Agnostic Q-NPG guarantee

The goal is Theorem 6.1, p. 29. Starting with θ⁽⁰⁾=0, taking T positive updates with step size η=2log⁡∣A∣/(B2W2T)\eta=\sqrt{2\log|A|/(B^2W^2T)}η=2log∣A∣/(B2W2T)​, bounding feature norms by B and update norms by W, and assuming the expected excess and transfer errors are at most εstat\varepsilon_{\rm stat}εstat​ and εbias\varepsilon_{\rm bias}εbias​, respectively, it asserts

E ⁣[min⁡t<T{Vπ⋆(ρ)−Vπθ(t)(ρ)}]≤BW1−γ2log⁡∣A∣T+4∣A∣κεstat(1−γ)3+4∣A∣εbias1−γ.\mathbb E\!\left[ \min_{t<T}\{V^{\pi^\star}(\rho)-V^{\pi_{\theta^{(t)}}}(\rho)\} \right] \le \frac{BW}{1-\gamma}\sqrt{\frac{2\log|A|}{T}} + \sqrt{\frac{4|A|\kappa\varepsilon_{\rm stat}}{(1-\gamma)^3}} + \frac{\sqrt{4|A|\varepsilon_{\rm bias}}}{1-\gamma}.E[t<Tmin​{Vπ⋆(ρ)−Vπθ(t)​(ρ)}]≤1−γBW​T2log∣A∣​​+(1−γ)34∣A∣κεstat​​​+1−γ4∣A∣εbias​​​.

The expectation encloses the minimum: each random run may have a different best iterate. The claim gives a finite-horizon comparison with π⋆ even when π⋆ is not globally optimal.

Supporting targets

The milestones are the paper's performance-difference identity (Lemma 3.2), smoothness of bounded-feature log-linear policies (Remark 6.7), the deterministic NPG regret lemma (Lemma 6.2), and the two displayed bounds that control transfer and estimation terms ((25) and (26)). Together they connect the MDP's value comparison with the two statistical errors in the goal. Each milestone states a source result rather than a weakened surrogate.

Significance

The theorem separates three quantities that can vary independently in an application: the number of iterations, the statistical quality of the update direction, and the mismatch between the comparator's visited states and the fitting distribution. If both errors vanish, the displayed bound decreases with T at a square-root rate. With imperfect features, the transfer term shows the remaining performance limit. With finite-sample fitting, the excess-risk term shows how estimation quality affects the policy value. This is an agnostic statement because the comparator need not belong to a globally complete policy class (Agarwal et al., Theorem 6.1 and discussion, pp. 29–30).

The paper proves these claims mathematically. This mission asks for machine-checked proofs of the same statements in Lean, including the probabilistic expectation and the exact constants. The reusable parts are the state-action visitation distribution with a prescribed initial action, the log-linear policy and its smoothness property, the least-squares loss, and the deterministic regret lemma. Those objects can support other policy-gradient analyses with different fitting guarantees.

Difficulty

The update direction minimizes a loss under the distribution generated by the current policy, while the value comparison uses states visited by a different policy. The two distributions need not agree, and prediction error under one cannot simply be substituted for error under the other. The relative condition number controls the feature geometry of this shift, while the transfer error separately measures how well an exact on-policy fit predicts under the comparator's measure. Random approximate minimizers add a further layer: the bound concerns the expectation of the best iterate in each run, rather than a deterministic iterate chosen in advance. These are the obstacles identified around Assumptions 6.1–6.2 and the proof of Theorem 6.1.

Formalization scope

The Lean development uses finite state and action types, as in the paper's §3 standing setting. It imports published definitions of transition kernels, policies, occupation probabilities, value and Q-functions, and defines this paper's advantage, discounted visitation, log-linear class and fitting loss on top of them. Parameters and features lie in EuclideanSpace ℝ (Fin d), so the norm is the Euclidean norm used by the paper. A general probability space carries the random update directions and exact constrained minimizers; their measurability and boundedness make the displayed loss expectations integrable.

The action type is nonempty so that the uniform action distribution exists. B and W are positive and T is positive, because the prescribed step size divides by B2W2TB^2W^2TB2W2T and the result minimizes over t<Tt<Tt<T. The comparator is assumed to be a policy, with no optimality hypothesis. The nonnegative condition number is represented by its quadratic-form upper-bound property for every direction. This avoids undefined real ratios when a covariance form vanishes and includes the finite coefficient in Assumption 6.2. The value and loss expressions are calculated from P, r, π and φ; they are not free variables. The Q-NPG parameter sequence is defined by the update rule from θ⁽⁰⁾=0. In particular, the goal does not assume the regret lemma or either of the two statistical inequalities that the proof must establish.

The paper notes that some §6 results extend beyond finite state or action spaces. This mission fixes the finite case inherited from §3. Contributions that prove the source milestones, establish the required summability and integrability facts, or generalize the development to larger measurable spaces are useful; a generalization must keep the same statistical and comparator conventions.

Selected references

  • Alekh Agarwal, Sham M. Kakade, Jason D. Lee and Gaurav Mahajan, On the Theory of Policy Gradient Methods: Optimality, Approximation, and Distribution Shift, Journal of Machine Learning Research 22(98), 2021. arXiv:1908.00261v5
  • Sham M. Kakade and John Langford, Approximately Optimal Approximate Reinforcement Learning, Proceedings of the 19th International Conference on Machine Learning, 2002. PDF
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On the Theory of Policy Gradient Methods: Optimality, Approximation, and Distribution Shift 2: On a Chain MDP All Low-Order Derivatives of the Value Are Exponentially Small at Suboptimal PoliciesResearch Paper

Motivation

Policy gradient methods adjust a policy by following derivatives of its expected reward. A common expectation is that a small gradient indicates a policy close to optimal. For discounted Markov decision processes, that interpretation can fail when a policy rarely reaches the states where reward is available. Agarwal, Kakade, Lee, and Mahajan study this obstruction as part of their analysis of optimality and distribution shift in policy gradient methods. Their chain example makes the obstruction quantitative: even derivatives of several orders can be exponentially small while the value gap grows with the chain length. Agarwal et al., §4.3 and Proposition 4.1.

The example isolates a specific issue for local optimization. A parameter change at an early state affects reward only after the agent has passed through many intermediate decisions. A local derivative therefore measures the behavior of a policy under its own visitation pattern, which can be very different from the visitation pattern of an optimal policy. This mission states the resulting separation with explicit constants rather than treating “vanishing gradients” as a qualitative description.

Setting

A discounted Markov decision process has a finite set of states, a finite set of actions, a transition probability for each state and action, a reward in [0,1][0,1][0,1], and a discount 0≤γ<10\le\gamma<10≤γ<1. The value Vπ(s)V^\pi(s)Vπ(s) of a policy π\piπ is the expected sum of discounted rewards when the process starts in state sss and follows π\piπ. An optimal policy π⋆\pi^\starπ⋆ has value at least as large as every other policy at every state. These conventions are those of §3 of the paper and its unnormalized infinite-horizon value definition. Agarwal et al., §3, pp. 9–12.

The central model is a deterministic chain with states s0,s1,…,sH+1s_0,s_1,\ldots,s_{H+1}s0​,s1​,…,sH+1​ and four actions. At s0s_0s0​ the process moves to s1s_1s1​. At each interior state sis_isi​, action a1a_1a1​ moves forward to si+1s_{i+1}si+1​, while a2,a3,a4a_2,a_3,a_4a2​,a3​,a4​ move backward to si−1s_{i-1}si−1​. State sH+1s_{H+1}sH+1​ is absorbing. The only positive reward is r(sH+1,a1)=1r(s_{H+1},a_1)=1r(sH+1​,a1​)=1, and γ=H/(H+1)\gamma=H/(H+1)γ=H/(H+1). This is Figure 2 and the transition matrix in equation (27). Agarwal et al., Figure 2, p. 11, and (27), p. 50.

The direct policy parameter θ\thetaθ has three free coordinates at each interior state: the probabilities assigned to a1,a2,a3a_1,a_2,a_3a1​,a2​,a3​. The probability of a4a_4a4​ is their complement. Write πθ\pi_\thetaπθ​ for this policy expression and FH(θ)=Vπθ(s0)F_H(\theta)=V^{\pi_\theta}(s_0)FH​(θ)=Vπθ​(s0​) for its value from the starting state. The paper studies parameters whose free coordinates lie strictly between zero and one and whose forward-action coordinates satisfy θi,a1<1/4\theta_{i,a_1}<1/4θi,a1​​<1/4.

Formalization targets

The goal is Proposition 4.1. For H≥1H\ge1H≥1, every such θ\thetaθ, and every nonnegative integer kkk satisfying k≤H/(40log⁡(2H))−1k\le H/(40\log(2H))-1k≤H/(40log(2H))−1, it asserts the multilinear operator-norm bound

∥∇kFH(θ)∥op≤(1/3)H/4.\|\nabla^k F_H(\theta)\|_{\mathrm{op}}\le (1/3)^{H/4}.∥∇kFH​(θ)∥op​≤(1/3)H/4.

The same statement compares this policy with an optimal policy:

Vπ⋆(s0)−FH(θ)≥H+18−(H+1)23H.V^{\pi^\star}(s_0)-F_H(\theta) \ge \frac{H+1}{8}-\frac{(H+1)^2}{3^H}.Vπ⋆(s0​)−FH​(θ)≥8H+1​−3H(H+1)2​.

Both clauses and their constants are part of the target. The derivative order includes k=0k=0k=0 whenever the displayed threshold admits it. Agarwal et al., Proposition 4.1, p. 16.

Three supporting targets follow the appendix's attack path. First, FH(θ)F_H(\theta)FH​(θ) equals the (0,H+1)(0,H+1)(0,H+1) entry of the resolvent Mp=(I−γPp)−1M^p=(I-\gamma P^p)^{-1}Mp=(I−γPp)−1, where pi=θi,a1p_i=\theta_{i,a_1}pi​=θi,a1​​. Second, equation (32) gives the derivative of any entry of MpM^pMp in one forward probability. Third, the appendix separately bounds the optimal value below by (H+1)/8(H+1)/8(H+1)/8 and FH(θ)F_H(\theta)FH​(θ) above by (H+1)2/3H(H+1)^2/3^H(H+1)2/3H. A companion theorem records Lemma 3.1: a five-state deterministic example has a value function that is nonconcave in both the direct and softmax parameterizations. Agarwal et al., Appendix B.2, pp. 51, 54, 59; Lemma 3.1, p. 11.

Significance

The proposition supplies an explicit family in which local derivative information, even at orders growing with H/log⁡HH/\log HH/logH, is small at policies with a large value gap. It limits what a guarantee based only on finding a point with small low-order derivatives can imply about global policy quality. The paper uses this example to motivate attention to state visitation and distribution mismatch in its positive results. Agarwal et al., §4.3, pp. 16–17.

The mathematical result is proved in the cited paper. The remaining work is a machine-checked development of the chain model, its value and resolvent identities, the higher derivative estimates, and the value-gap inequality. The reusable parts include finite-state discounted value calculations, differentiation of a matrix inverse, and operator-norm estimates for multilinear derivatives. The statements in this proposal are proof targets; they do not themselves claim that those proofs have been formalized.

Difficulty

A policy can have a small gradient simply because it almost never reaches the rewarding state. The obvious inference from a near-zero gradient to near-optimal value therefore fails in this model. The technical difficulty is quantitative: each differentiation of a resolvent entry produces terms involving several entries, and the operator norm combines all mixed partial derivatives. The bound must remain exponentially small after that combination, uniformly over every derivative order allowed by the threshold. The second clause must simultaneously show that a policy taking the forward action reaches the reward often enough to create a large value gap. Agarwal et al., Appendix B.2, pp. 54–59.

Formalization scope

States are Fin (H + 2) and actions are Fin 4; the parameter space is EuclideanSpace ℝ (Fin H × Fin 3). Its norm is the Euclidean norm, so the norm of the iterated Fréchet derivative is the paper's multilinear operator norm. The first and last states have no free policy parameters. All four actions at s0s_0s0​ induce the same transition to s1s_1s1​, and the parameterized policy chooses a1a_1a1​ at both boundary states. The resolvent is the matrix inverse of I−γPpI-\gamma P^pI−γPp; its milestone statements are restricted to interior probabilities 0<pi<10<p_i<10<pi​<1, where that inverse is nonsingular.

The displayed coordinate assumptions of Proposition 4.1 do not require the three free probabilities at a state to sum to at most one. The Lean goal retains exactly those assumptions. Its value expression is still determined by the forward probabilities, because every other action has the same backward transition and only the absorbing state yields reward. This prevents an added simplex constraint from silently narrowing the proposition. A constant function or a free value variable cannot replace the chain value: FHF_HFH​ is computed from the concrete transition and reward arrays.

The development uses the published finite-state transition-kernel, policy, occupation, value, and optimal-policy definitions. Contributions needed for a proof include stochasticity of the chain, geometric-series evaluation of its absorbing reward, nonsingularity and differentiation of its resolvent, and estimates that pass from mixed partial derivatives to the Euclidean operator norm. For the companion example, direct parameters lie in the product of action simplices, with positive discount; at zero discount its value is constant and the nonconcavity claim would be false.

Selected references

  • Alekh Agarwal, Sham M. Kakade, Jason D. Lee, Gaurav Mahajan, On the Theory of Policy Gradient Methods: Optimality, Approximation, and Distribution Shift, Journal of Machine Learning Research 22(98), 2021. arXiv:1908.00261v5.
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Dynamical SystemsOperations ResearchStochastic Systems·Captain: mikedeng1

Stability and Instability of Fluid Models for Reentrant Lines 4: The Lu–Kumar Network Has an Unstable Work-Conserving Fluid Model iff m₂ + m₄ ≥ 1Research Paper

Motivation

A reentrant line is a queueing network in which every customer follows one fixed route but may return to a station after visiting another one. A manufacturing line can have this pattern when a product revisits the same machine at different processing stages. A station can then have little nominal workload and still face unstable queues under an unfortunate service order. Dai and Weiss studied this gap between nominal capacity and fluid stability for reentrant lines in their 1996 paper. The four-class line associated with Lu and Kumar is their sharp example: its behavior changes at a simple cross-station inequality that is different from either station's ordinary workload constraint.

The paper establishes several positive stability results for other disciplines and networks, then gives an exact boundary for the Lu–Kumar line. Here the exact boundary is the focus. The result concerns fluid models, deterministic large-scale approximations of queue trajectories. It does not assert positive Harris recurrence or transience of the underlying stochastic network in both directions. The paper cites Dai's earlier implication from a stable fluid model to a stable stochastic discipline, but the converse was still open in its concluding discussion (Dai and Weiss 1996, pp. 119 and 133).

Setting

There are four customer classes, encountered in order 1→2→3→41\to2\to3\to41→2→3→4. Classes 111 and 444 use station 111; classes 222 and 333 use station 222. Each class kkk has a positive mean service time mkm_kmk​ and service rate μk=1/mk\mu_k=1/m_kμk​=1/mk​. The external arrival rate is normalized to one. The nominal workloads are ρ1=m1+m4\rho_1=m_1+m_4ρ1​=m1​+m4​ and ρ2=m2+m3\rho_2=m_2+m_3ρ2​=m2​+m3​, both assumed strictly below one. These assumptions say that each station has enough average capacity for its own stages, but they leave the scheduling decision unresolved.

At time ttt, Qk(t)≥0Q_k(t)\ge0Qk​(t)≥0 is the amount of class-kkk fluid, and Tk(t)T_k(t)Tk​(t) is the cumulative service time devoted to that class. The fluid equations balance the inflow and outflow of each class. Outside fluid enters class 111 at unit rate; completion of class kkk feeds class k+1k+1k+1 until class 444 exits. Service times and idle times are nondecreasing, and a station's idle time can increase only when its total queue content is zero. A pair (Q,T)(Q,T)(Q,T) with these properties is a work-conserving fluid solution.

The Lu–Kumar priority discipline gives class 444 priority over class 111 at station 111, and class 222 priority over class 333 at station 222. Its fluid model adds the priority complementarity condition: service capacity available to a priority prefix can be unused only when that prefix has no immediate workload. For either model, fluid stability means that some common time δ>0\delta>0δ>0 empties every admissible solution with ∑kQk(0)=1\sum_kQ_k(0)=1∑k​Qk​(0)=1, with all queues remaining zero for t≥δt\ge\deltat≥δ. Instability is the negation of this statement; it does not require every solution to diverge.

Formalization targets

Exact threshold

Theorem 5.1 and Remark 1 give two connected classifications, under mk>0m_k>0mk​>0, ρ1<1\rho_1<1ρ1​<1, and ρ2<1\rho_2<1ρ2​<1:

¬FluidStable⁡(all work-conserving solutions)⟺m2+m4≥1,\neg\operatorname{FluidStable}(\text{all work-conserving solutions}) \quad\Longleftrightarrow\quad m_2+m_4\ge1,¬FluidStable(all work-conserving solutions)⟺m2​+m4​≥1, ¬FluidStable⁡(Lu–Kumar priority solutions)⟺m2+m4≥1.\neg\operatorname{FluidStable}(\text{Lu–Kumar priority solutions}) \quad\Longleftrightarrow\quad m_2+m_4\ge1.¬FluidStable(Lu–Kumar priority solutions)⟺m2​+m4​≥1.

The first clause captures the paper's existence of an unstable work-conserving policy: on the unstable side, the named priority discipline supplies one; on the other side, every work-conserving fluid model is stable. The second clause records the particular policy classification stated in Remark 1. Equality belongs to the unstable side: the paper exhibits a periodic nonempty solution there (Dai and Weiss 1996, pp. 125–127).

Supporting targets

The milestones follow the paper's own statements and proof claims. The real-analysis extinction criterion of Lemma 2.2(ii) and the maximum-of-components criterion of Lemma 3.2 provide the stability language. Display (3.2), already available as a proved platform theorem, identifies the derivative of an attained maximum at a regular point. The priority condition (4.4) implies the ordinary work-conserving condition (1.13). The unstable half records one first cycle, one solution with every scaled cycle, and instability of the priority model. The stable half records the authors' explicit parameter choice, the two linear Lyapunov conditions, and stability of every work-conserving fluid solution.

Significance

The threshold says that the two station-load inequalities alone do not characterize stability of all work-conserving service orders. The extra inequality m2+m4<1m_2+m_4<1m2​+m4​<1 determines when the entire work-conserving fluid class is stable; its failure admits a concrete priority discipline with a nonempty trajectory. At the boundary m2+m4=1m_2+m_4=1m2​+m4​=1, growth need not be strict: periodic fluid behavior already defeats finite-time stability. The result therefore distinguishes the paper's global stability region from the larger parameter region in which both stations are nominally underloaded (Dai and Weiss 1996, Remark 1, p. 125).

A machine-checked development would give reusable definitions for a four-stage reentrant fluid model, its priority complementarity condition, and the precise unit-initial-state notion of stability. The local Lean statements in this proposal compile, but their proofs remain open. The published maximum-derivative fact is the one already proved platform component used by this mission. The other milestones identify the mathematical work needed to formalize the known 1996 result, rather than presenting the result as a new open conjecture.

Difficulty

The ordinary load test ρi<1\rho_i<1ρi​<1 controls how much service each station needs on average, but it does not control which class receives service when several buffers at a station are nonempty. In the Lu–Kumar priority discipline, serving a high-priority downstream class changes the future arrival pattern seen by the other station. Thus a direct argument from ρ1<1\rho_1<1ρ1​<1 and ρ2<1\rho_2<1ρ2​<1 to queue extinction fails. On the stable side, checking a single station's workload is also insufficient: its content may fall while earlier-stage fluid continues to feed it. The paper formulates two linear components and a finite maximum; the challenge is to obtain a uniform negative drift whenever that maximum is positive, including times when one station is empty and the other determines the active component (Dai and Weiss 1996, pp. 126–128).

Formalization scope

Classes and stations are Fin 4 and Fin 2, with zero-based Lean indices: paper class kkk is Lean index k−1k-1k−1. The fixed station map is (0,1,1,0)(0,1,1,0)(0,1,1,0). Service times remain real parameters with explicit positivity hypotheses. Paths are total functions of real time, while equations and conclusions apply only on t≥0t\ge0t≥0. The external arrival rate is one, and initial size is the sum ∑kQk(0)\sum_kQ_k(0)∑k​Qk​(0), since class contents are nonnegative. The nominal-load assumptions are the two strict inequalities in (5.1). The named priority ranking is a permutation; it encodes only the station-local comparisons that matter.

Conditions (1.13) and (4.4), printed as complementarity or “increases only when empty,” use an equivalent interval-constancy condition in Lean. No extra Lipschitz or continuity assumption is placed on solutions: the fluid equations and monotone capacity constraints are intended to supply that regularity. Derivatives at regular points are represented with HasDerivAt. Lemma 2.2(ii) uses the non-strict bound g˙≤−ε\dot g\le-\varepsilong˙​≤−ε, the version used by the paper's applications, although its displayed hypothesis prints g˙<−ε\dot g<-\varepsilong˙​<−ε. The p. 127 line involving G1G_1G1​ prints (1−θ2)Q4(1-\theta_2)Q_4(1−θ2​)Q4​; (5.3) fixes the intended coefficient as (1−θ1)Q4(1-\theta_1)Q_4(1−θ1​)Q4​.

The goal uses Definition 1.3 exactly: one uniform emptying time for all solutions of unit initial content. An impossible solution predicate, or an instability claim that only asks for a nonzero state at time zero, would not represent the paper's theorem. The mission needs finite-index sum and maximum infrastructure, absolute continuity and almost-everywhere differentiation on nonnegative time, plus elementary algebra of service rates and the cycle scaling. These components can be reused in later fluid-network missions. Contributions that preserve the source's hypotheses and boundary case are welcome.

Selected references

  • J. G. Dai and G. Weiss, Stability and instability of fluid models for reentrant lines, Mathematics of Operations Research 21(1), 115–134, 1996. DOI: 10.1287/moor.21.1.115.
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