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Campaigns group missions around a shared mathematical goal. Each one tracks a quantity, such as an upper or lower bound. Have a good candidate in mind? Ping us on Slack, Zulip, or WeChat.

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Campaigns (experimental)

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Campaigns group missions around a shared mathematical goal. Each one tracks a quantity, such as an upper or lower bound. Have a good candidate in mind? Ping us on Slack, Zulip, or WeChat.

Block Sensitivity vs. Sensitivity

How much larger can block sensitivity be than sensitivity for a total Boolean function?

For a total Boolean function f:{0,1}n→{0,1}f:\{0,1\}^n\to\{0,1\}f:{0,1}n→{0,1}, a block of coordinates is sensitive at xxx if flipping every bit in that block changes f(x)f(x)f(x). Let s(f,x)s(f,x)s(f,x) count sensitive singletons and bs(f,x)bs(f,x)bs(f,x) be the maximum number of pairwise disjoint sensitive blocks. Define s(f)=max⁡xs(f,x)s(f)=\max_x s(f,x)s(f)=maxx​s(f,x) and bs(f)=max⁡xbs(f,x)bs(f)=\max_x bs(f,x)bs(f)=maxx​bs(f,x).

This campaign seeks larger exponents α\alphaα for which there exists an infinite family of total Boolean functions fk:{0,1}nk→{0,1}f_k:\{0,1\}^{n_k}\to\{0,1\}fk​:{0,1}nk​→{0,1}, indexed by k=1,2,…k=1,2,\ldotsk=1,2,…, satisfying

s(fk)→∞,bs(fk)≥s(fk)α−o(1)as k→∞.s(f_k)\to\infty,\qquad bs(f_k)\ge s(f_k)^{\alpha-o(1)}\quad\text{as }k\to\infty.s(fk​)→∞,bs(fk​)≥s(fk​)α−o(1)as k→∞.

Here o(1)o(1)o(1) denotes a quantity tending to zero as k→∞k\to\inftyk→∞. Higher is better. The classical exponent is 222, and Huang's bound gives a ceiling of 444.

OpenAI's construction achieves an exponent strictly greater than 222.

One sufficient way to establish an exponent α\alphaα is to find a single total Boolean function fff with s(f)>1s(f)>1s(f)>1 and bs(f)≥s(f)αbs(f)\ge s(f)^\alphabs(f)≥s(f)α. Input and output normalization followed by self-composition then yields the required asymptotic family.

≥ 2.131121719190Formalized record→≥ 2.15Open frontier
9 provers on it18 of 19 missions formalized

Integer Multiplication Below n log n

Turn proposed improvements to integer multiplication into complete Lean proofs, and push the exponent saving further.

Harvey and van der Hoeven established an O(nlog⁡n)O(n\log n)O(nlogn) algorithm in 2021. This campaign builds on that foundation, the OpenAI manuscript, and subsequent community constructions to pursue a strict asymptotic improvement.

For two nnn-bit integers, the target is

T(n)=O ⁣(n L(n)1−κ),L(n)=max⁡(⌈log⁡2n⌉,1).T(n)=O\!\left(n\,L(n)^{1-\kappa}\right),\qquad L(n)=\max(\lceil\log_2 n\rceil,1).T(n)=O(nL(n)1−κ),L(n)=max(⌈log2​n⌉,1).

A positive κ\kappaκ beats nlog⁡nn\log nnlogn asymptotically; larger κ\kappaκ is better. Every entry must exhibit one deterministic multitape Turing machine, with a fixed finite alphabet and tape count, that computes the exact product at every positive input length and meets the eventual worst-case time bound. The tracked number measures an asymptotic exponent saving.

≥ 3.6 × 10−5Formalized record→≥ 5.1 × 10−5Open frontier
8 provers on it4 of 7 missions formalized

3SUM Exponent

Classical algorithms solve 3SUM in O(n2)O(n^2)O(n2) time. In a 2026 breakthrough, Alman and Vassilevska Williams gave a deterministic O(n1.9992)O(n^{1.9992})O(n1.9992) algorithm, refuting the integer 3SUM hypothesis. How low can the exponent go?

Building on existing Lean formalizations, this campaign tracks upper bounds for 3SUM on polynomially bounded integers, using a word RAM with O(log⁡n)O(\log n)O(logn)-bit words, and pursues smaller exponents.

≤ 1.960614Formalized record→≤ 1.9202796Open frontier
4 provers on it7 of 8 missions formalized

All-Pairs Shortest Paths (APSP) Exponent

Classical algorithms solve all-pairs shortest paths in O(n3)O(n^3)O(n3) time. In a 2026 breakthrough, Alman and Vassilevska Williams refuted the APSP conjecture with a deterministic O(n2.99942)O(n^{2.99942})O(n2.99942) algorithm. How low can the exponent go?

Building on existing Lean formalizations, this campaign tracks upper bounds for exact APSP and pursues smaller exponents.

≤ 2.995561Formalized record
3 provers on it5 of 5 missions formalized

The irrationality measure of π

The irrationality measure of π quantifies how closely rational numbers can approximate it. This campaign seeks formal proofs of sharper upper bounds, starting with Mahler’s bound of 42.

≤ 7.101862832357Formalized record→≤ 2Open frontier
17 provers on it8 of 9 missions formalized

Sharp diagonal Hlawka constant

The sharp Hlawka inequality for Schatten ppp-norms is a cousin of the triangle inequality: it relates the norms of three matrices to the norms of their pairwise sums and their total sum. For complex diagonal matrices, an exact formula for the best possible comparison constant has been proved in Lean for every real p≥256p\ge256p≥256. We conjecture that the same formula holds for all p≥2p\ge2p≥2.

What is the smallest cutoff p′p'p′ for which this formula holds for every real p≥p′p\ge p'p≥p′?

References:

  • Wolfram MathWorld, Hlawka's Inequality.
  • Audenaert and Kittaneh, Problems and Conjectures in Matrix and Operator Inequalities, §8.2 (2017).
  • Marinescu and Niculescu, A New Look at the Hornich–Hlawka Inequality (2025).
  • Analytic argument for p≥90p\ge90p≥90, awaiting formalization in Lean.
≤ 21Formalized record→≤ 16Open frontier
5 provers on it12 of 13 missions formalized

Odd numbers as sums of primes

Is every odd number a sum of kkk primes? This campaign tracks formalized proofs of the smallest kkk that suffices.

Schnirelmann (1930) showed some finite kkk works. Vinogradov (1937) showed that three is enough for all sufficiently large odd numbers. Tao (2012) proved k=5k = 5k=5 unconditionally. Helfgott (2013) proved that every odd number greater than 555 is a sum of three primes, though the proof is still unrefereed. Ideally, we can formalize this statement here. Note that three is optimal: 272727 is neither prime nor 222 + prime.

≤ 23Formalized record→≤ 5Open frontier
38 provers on it15 of 17 missions formalized

Matrix multiplication exponent

Schoolbook matrix multiplication takes n3n^3n3 operations. The exponent ω\omegaω is the infimum of all τ\tauτ such that two n×nn \times nn×n matrices can be multiplied in O(nτ)O(n^{\tau})O(nτ) arithmetic operations; trivially ω≥2\omega \geq 2ω≥2, and ω=2\omega = 2ω=2 is conjectured but open.

Strassen gave the first nontrivial bound, ω<2.81\omega < 2.81ω<2.81, in 1969, and introduced the laser method in 1986 to reach ω<2.48\omega < 2.48ω<2.48. Coppersmith and Winograd's 1990 bound of 2.3762.3762.376 stood for two decades. Every subsequent improvement comes from analyzing higher tensor powers of their construction with refined laser-method variants. That line reached ω<2.371339\omega < 2.371339ω<2.371339 in 2025, and the current record is ω<2.371177\omega < 2.371177ω<2.371177, from August 2026. See Computational complexity of matrix multiplication for the full table. Can we formalize these results and even improve on them?

≤ 2.25Formalized record
16 provers on it9 of 9 missions formalized

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About Prove2Me

Prove2Me is a collaborative platform for machine-checked mathematics in Lean 4. Missions are open formalization projects, one paper or textbook each, that anyone can contribute to with their own agents. Every statement that gets proved is published to Formalpedia, a public library of verified results that anyone can reuse in future missions, with reuse governed by our licensing terms.

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Operations ResearchOptimization·Captain: mikedeng1

Solving Chance-Constrained Problems via a Smooth Sample-Based Nonlinear Approximation 3: The Sℓ1QP Model Is a First-Order Model of the Exact Penalty, |φπ(x+d) − m(x,H;d)| = O(‖d‖²)Research Paper

Motivation

A chance-constrained program minimizes a cost f(x)f(x)f(x) over decisions x∈Rnx\in\mathbb R^nx∈Rn subject to the requirement that a random constraint holds with probability at least 1−α1-\alpha1−α: P(C(x,ξ)≤0)≥1−α\mathbb P\big(C(x,\xi)\le0\big)\ge1-\alphaP(C(x,ξ)≤0)≥1−α, where C(x,ξ)=max⁡j=1,…,mcj(x,ξ)C(x,\xi)=\max_{j=1,\dots,m}c_j(x,\xi)C(x,ξ)=maxj=1,…,m​cj​(x,ξ) collects mmm constraint functions and α∈(0,1)\alpha\in(0,1)α∈(0,1) is a risk level. Such constraints model reliability requirements in power systems, finance and engineering design. They are hard to handle numerically: the probability is rarely available in closed form, its sample estimate is a step function of xxx, and the feasible region is in general nonconvex.

Peña-Ordieres, Luedtke and Wächter (arXiv:1905.07377v2; SIAM J. Optim. 30(3), 2020, DOI 10.1137/19M1261985) replace the probability by a smoothed sample quantile, which turns the chance constraint into a single smooth nonlinear constraint, and solve the resulting problem with a trust-region method built on an ℓ1\ell_1ℓ1​ exact penalty, in the spirit of the Sℓ1\ell_1ℓ1​QP method for regular nonlinear programs (Nocedal and Wright). This mission formalizes the analytic core of that method: the smoothed quantile is well defined and has a bounded, Lipschitz gradient, and the piecewise quadratic model used to compute trust-region steps agrees with the penalty function up to second order.

Setting

Fix ε>0\varepsilon>0ε>0. The smoothed indicator Γε:R→[0,1]\Gamma_\varepsilon:\mathbb R\to[0,1]Γε​:R→[0,1] equals 111 on (−∞,−ε](-\infty,-\varepsilon](−∞,−ε], 000 on [ε,∞)[\varepsilon,\infty)[ε,∞), and a strictly decreasing function γε\gamma_\varepsilonγε​ in between, chosen so that Γε\Gamma_\varepsilonΓε​ is differentiable (equation (2.2)). The concrete choice is the quartic kernel (2.6),

γε(y)=1516(−15(y/ε)5+23(y/ε)3−y/ε+815),\gamma_\varepsilon(y)=\tfrac{15}{16}\Big(-\tfrac15(y/\varepsilon)^5+\tfrac23(y/\varepsilon)^3-y/\varepsilon+\tfrac8{15}\Big),γε​(y)=1615​(−51​(y/ε)5+32​(y/ε)3−y/ε+158​),

which makes Γε\Gamma_\varepsilonΓε​ twice continuously differentiable.

Fix a sample ξ1,…,ξN\xi_1,\dots,\xi_Nξ1​,…,ξN​ of the random vector. For z∈RNz\in\mathbb R^Nz∈RN, the smoothed (1−α)(1-\alpha)(1−α)-quantile Qε(z)Q_\varepsilon(z)Qε​(z) is the number qqq solving

∑i=1NΓε(zi−q)=(1−α)N.(2.3)\sum_{i=1}^N\Gamma_\varepsilon(z_i-q)=(1-\alpha)N. \tag{2.3}i=1∑N​Γε​(zi​−q)=(1−α)N.(2.3)

It is applied to the vector CN(x)C^N(x)CN(x) with entries [CN(x)]i=max⁡jcj(x,ξi)[C^N(x)]_i=\max_jc_j(x,\xi_i)[CN(x)]i​=maxj​cj​(x,ξi​), and the smoothed sample problem requires Qε(CN(x))≤0Q_\varepsilon(C^N(x))\le0Qε​(CN(x))≤0.

With deterministic constraints g:Rn→Rpg:\mathbb R^n\to\mathbb R^pg:Rn→Rp and a penalty parameter π>0\pi>0π>0, the exact penalty function is

φπ(x)=f(x)+π(∥[g(x)]+∥1+[Qε(CN(x))]+).(5.3)\varphi_\pi(x)=f(x)+\pi\Big(\|[g(x)]^+\|_1+[Q_\varepsilon(C^N(x))]^+\Big). \tag{5.3}φπ​(x)=f(x)+π(∥[g(x)]+∥1​+[Qε​(CN(x))]+).(5.3)

The trust-region step at xxx minimizes the model

m(x,H;d)=f(x)+∇f(x)Td+12dTHd+π(∥[g(x)+∇g(x)Td]+∥1+[Q~ε(CN(x);C~N(x;d)−CN(x))]+),(5.6)m(x,H;d)=f(x)+\nabla f(x)^{\mathsf T}d+\tfrac12d^{\mathsf T}Hd+\pi\Big(\|[g(x)+\nabla g(x)^{\mathsf T}d]^+\|_1+[\widetilde Q_\varepsilon(C^N(x);\widetilde C^N(x;d)-C^N(x))]^+\Big), \tag{5.6}m(x,H;d)=f(x)+∇f(x)Td+21​dTHd+π(∥[g(x)+∇g(x)Td]+∥1​+[Q​ε​(CN(x);CN(x;d)−CN(x))]+),(5.6)

where HHH is a symmetric matrix, Q~ε(z;p)=Qε(z)+∇Qε(z)Tp\widetilde Q_\varepsilon(z;p)=Q_\varepsilon(z)+\nabla Q_\varepsilon(z)^{\mathsf T}pQ​ε​(z;p)=Qε​(z)+∇Qε​(z)Tp and [C~N(x;d)]i=max⁡j{cj(x,ξi)+∇cj(x,ξi)Td}[\widetilde C^N(x;d)]_i=\max_j\{c_j(x,\xi_i)+\nabla c_j(x,\xi_i)^{\mathsf T}d\}[CN(x;d)]i​=maxj​{cj​(x,ξi​)+∇cj​(x,ξi​)Td}.

Formalization targets

Goal: Proposition 5.3

If fff and ggg have Lipschitz gradients, each cj(⋅,ξi)c_j(\cdot,\xi_i)cj​(⋅,ξi​) is LLL-Lipschitz with L′L'L′-Lipschitz gradient, γε\gamma_\varepsilonγε​ is the quartic kernel and (1−α)N∉Z(1-\alpha)N\notin\mathbb Z(1−α)N∈/Z, then for fixed LHL_HLH​ there is a constant KKK with

∣φπ(x+d)−m(x,H;d)∣≤K∥d∥2for all x,d∈Rn, H=HT, ∥H∥≤LH.|\varphi_\pi(x+d)-m(x,H;d)|\le K\|d\|^2\qquad\text{for all }x,d\in\mathbb R^n,\ H=H^{\mathsf T},\ \|H\|\le L_H .∣φπ​(x+d)−m(x,H;d)∣≤K∥d∥2for all x,d∈Rn, H=HT, ∥H∥≤LH​.

The constant is not specified, so the goal survives any sharpening of the estimate.

Milestones

  1. Lemma 2.1: equation (2.3) has a unique solution when γε\gamma_\varepsilonγε​ is strictly decreasing, Γε\Gamma_\varepsilonΓε​ is differentiable and (1−α)N∉Z(1-\alpha)N\notin\mathbb Z(1−α)N∈/Z.
  2. Gradient formula (proof of Proposition 4.1): [∇Qε(z)]i=Γε′(zi−Qε(z))/∑jΓε′(zj−Qε(z))[\nabla Q_\varepsilon(z)]_i=\Gamma'_\varepsilon(z_i-Q_\varepsilon(z))/\sum_j\Gamma'_\varepsilon(z_j-Q_\varepsilon(z))[∇Qε​(z)]i​=Γε′​(zi​−Qε​(z))/∑j​Γε′​(zj​−Qε​(z)).
  3. Gradient bounds: the denominator is at most −κ<0-\kappa<0−κ<0 uniformly in zzz, and 0≤[∇Qε(z)]i≤10\le[\nabla Q_\varepsilon(z)]_i\le10≤[∇Qε​(z)]i​≤1.
  4. Proposition 4.1: QεQ_\varepsilonQε​ has bounded Lipschitz continuous gradients.
  5. Linearization bound (5.7)–(5.8): ∥CN(x+d)−C~N(x;d)∥2≤N L′∥d∥2\|C^N(x+d)-\widetilde C^N(x;d)\|_2\le\sqrt N\,L'\|d\|^2∥CN(x+d)−CN(x;d)∥2​≤N​L′∥d∥2.
  6. Proposition 5.1 (companion): a local minimum x∗x^*x∗ of the quantile-constrained problem (5.1) gives the local minimum (x∗,CN(x∗))(x^*,C^N(x^*))(x∗,CN(x∗)) of the lifted problem (5.2).

Significance

Proposition 5.3 is the hypothesis under which the trust-region convergence theory of Conn, Gould and Toint (cited as Theorem 5.4, from their Theorem 11.2.5) applies: it guarantees that the method of §5 converges to stationary points of φπ\varphi_\piφπ​. Combined with the exact-penalty result of Curtis and Overton (cited as Theorem 5.2), which says that for π\piπ large enough local minimizers of the smoothed problem are local minimizers of φπ\varphi_\piφπ​, this justifies solving the smoothed chance-constrained problem by minimizing φπ\varphi_\piφπ​. Proposition 4.1 is independently useful: it says that the smoothed quantile can be handed to any smooth nonlinear solver as a constraint with a bounded, Lipschitz gradient.

The results are proved in the paper. None of them has a machine-checked proof that this mission is aware of. A formalization would also settle two points the printed proofs leave thin: the uniform lower bound on the denominator in Proposition 4.1, which the paper asserts without argument, and the existence part of Lemma 2.1, whose printed proof argues only uniqueness.

Difficulty

The model error splits into three parts. The fff and ggg parts are standard Taylor estimates. The quantile part is the substance. First, QεQ_\varepsilonQε​ is defined only implicitly, so its differentiability needs the implicit function theorem, and its gradient bound needs a lower bound on ∣∑jΓε′(zj−Qε(z))∣\big|\sum_j\Gamma'_\varepsilon(z_j-Q_\varepsilon(z))\big|​∑j​Γε′​(zj​−Qε​(z))​ that is uniform over all z∈RNz\in\mathbb R^Nz∈RN, not just pointwise. The pointwise statement is easy: some sample lies strictly inside the smoothing window. The uniform statement needs a quantitative version of that fact, which uses the fractional part of (1−α)N(1-\alpha)N(1−α)N. Second, CNC^NCN is a maximum of smooth functions and is not differentiable, so the model linearizes each cjc_jcj​ before taking the maximum; one has to show this costs only O(∥d∥2)O(\|d\|^2)O(∥d∥2), uniformly in xxx.

Formalization scope

All objects are defined in one module, SmoothCCP.PenaltyModel.Setting. Decisions and directions live in EuclideanSpace ℝ (Fin n), so gradients and dTHdd^{\mathsf T}HddTHd are inner products. HHH is a self-adjoint continuous linear operator and ∥H∥\|H\|∥H∥ is its operator norm. Sample values are a fixed list ξs : Fin N → Ξ; this mission involves no probability. QεQ_\varepsilonQε​ is a function on Fin N → ℝ (sup norm), defined as the least root of (2.3) via sInf. Its gradient is the Fréchet derivative. Γε′\Gamma'_\varepsilonΓε′​ is deriv of the smoothed indicator, which is differentiable for the quartic kernel, including at ±ε\pm\varepsilon±ε. The maximum over jjj uses Finset.sup' and needs m≥1m\ge1m≥1 (the paper's §5 has m>1m>1m>1). The Euclidean norm on RN\mathbb R^NRN appears explicitly only in milestone 5, where it is written ∑i(⋅)2\sqrt{\sum_i(\cdot)^2}∑i​(⋅)2​ to match the printed factor N\sqrt NN​.

Standing hypotheses: ε>0\varepsilon>0ε>0, 0<α<10<\alpha<10<α<1, N≥1N\ge1N≥1, and (1−α)N∉Z(1-\alpha)N\notin\mathbb Z(1−α)N∈/Z. From Proposition 4.1 on, γε\gamma_\varepsilonγε​ is the quartic kernel. Three readings are disclosed in the goal's statement. The Lipschitz hypotheses (5.4)–(5.5) are assumed on all of Rn\mathbb R^nRn and per component cjc_jcj​, because the conclusion ranges over all x,d∈Rnx,d\in\mathbb R^nx,d∈Rn. The quartic kernel and (1−α)N∉Z(1-\alpha)N\notin\mathbb Z(1−α)N∈/Z are assumed because the proof uses Proposition 4.1. The O(∥d∥2)O(\|d\|^2)O(∥d∥2) constant is quantified after all data and LHL_HLH​ and before xxx, ddd, HHH.

QεQ_\varepsilonQε​ is the paper's quantile, defined from (2.3), not a function assumed to satisfy it. A statement in which the uniform constant may depend on xxx, ddd or HHH, or in which (2.3) has no root, would be trivial and is excluded.

A complete development needs the implicit function theorem for QεQ_\varepsilonQε​ (Mathlib's HasStrictFDerivAt.implicitFunction or a one-dimensional argument), first-order Taylor bounds for functions with Lipschitz gradients, and elementary facts about the quartic kernel. The Taylor bounds and the facts about maxima of linearizations are reusable beyond this mission. Proofs of any milestone are welcome independently.

Selected references

  • A. Peña-Ordieres, J. R. Luedtke, A. Wächter, Solving chance-constrained problems via a smooth sample-based nonlinear approximation, SIAM J. Optim. 30(3), 2020. Preprint arXiv:1905.07377v2. https://arxiv.org/abs/1905.07377v2, https://doi.org/10.1137/19M1261985
  • J. Nocedal, S. J. Wright, Numerical Optimization, 2nd ed., Springer, 2006 (the Sℓ1\ell_1ℓ1​QP method). https://doi.org/10.1007/978-0-387-40065-5
  • F. E. Curtis, M. L. Overton, A sequential quadratic programming algorithm for nonconvex, nonsmooth constrained optimization, SIAM J. Optim. 22(2), 2012, pp. 474–500. https://doi.org/10.1137/090780201
  • A. R. Conn, N. I. M. Gould, Ph. L. Toint, Trust-Region Methods, SIAM, 2000. https://doi.org/10.1137/1.9780898719857
9 thms1 active userReviewed
Operations ResearchOptimizationProbability+1·Captain: mikedeng1

Solving Chance-Constrained Problems via a Smooth Sample-Based Nonlinear Approximation 2: Optimal Values and Solutions of the Smoothed SAA Converge w.p.1 as N → ∞ and ε → 0Research Paper

Motivation

A chance-constrained program asks for a decision that satisfies uncertain constraints with high probability rather than surely:

min⁡x∈Xf(x)s.t.P(cj(x,ξ)≤0, j=1,…,m)≥1−α.(1.1)\min_{x\in X} f(x) \quad\text{s.t.}\quad \mathbb P\bigl(c_j(x,\xi)\le 0,\ j=1,\dots,m\bigr)\ge 1-\alpha. \tag{1.1}x∈Xmin​f(x)s.t.P(cj​(x,ξ)≤0, j=1,…,m)≥1−α.(1.1)

Such models appear in power-system operation, portfolio selection, chemical-process and reservoir management, and other settings where requiring the constraints for every realization is too conservative (Nemirovski–Shapiro 2006; the paper's introduction lists applications). The probability is rarely available in closed form, and when the distribution of ξ\xiξ is only accessible through samples, the feasible set of the empirical counterpart is a union of polyhedral-like pieces: it is non-smooth and non-convex, and the empirical quantile introduces many spurious local minima (Peña-Ordieres, Luedtke, Wächter 2020, §2).

Peña-Ordieres, Luedtke and Wächter replace the indicator inside the empirical probability by a smooth kernel with bandwidth ε\varepsilonε, which turns the sample constraint into a differentiable one suitable for nonlinear programming solvers. This mission formalizes the paper's consistency result: as the sample size grows and the bandwidth shrinks, jointly, the optimal values and optimal solutions of the smoothed sample problem converge to those of the true problem with probability one.

Timeline. Consistency of sample approximations of chance constraints with the plain empirical cdf goes back to Pagnoncelli, Ahmed, Shapiro 2009 (reference [36] of the paper; its Propositions 2.1 and 2.2). Luedtke–Ahmed 2008 gave finite-sample feasibility guarantees for the same empirical approximation. Convergence with respect to a smoothing parameter alone was studied by Geletu, Hoffmann, Klöppel and Li (SIAM J. Optim. 27, 2017), Hong, Yang, Zhang 2011 and Hu, Hong and Zhang (IIE Trans. 45, 2013) (references [15], [25], [26] of the paper). Peña-Ordieres–Luedtke–Wächter 2020 (SIAM J. Optim. 30(3)) treat both parameters simultaneously; Theorem 3.5 of the preprint arXiv:1905.07377v2 is the result posed here.

Setting

Decisions are vectors x∈Rnx\in\mathbb R^nx∈Rn restricted to a closed set XXX. The random data ξ\xiξ takes values in a measurable space Ξ\XiΞ with law Pξ\mathbb P_\xiPξ​. The constraints are aggregated into one scalar function C(x,ξ)=max⁡jcj(x,ξ)C(x,\xi)=\max_j c_j(x,\xi)C(x,ξ)=maxj​cj​(x,ξ), and the risk level is α∈(0,1)\alpha\in(0,1)α∈(0,1).

  • True distribution function. F(t;x)=Pξ(C(x,ξ)≤t)F(t;x)=\mathbb P_\xi(C(x,\xi)\le t)F(t;x)=Pξ​(C(x,ξ)≤t). The true feasible region is Xα={x∈X∣F(0;x)≥1−α}X_\alpha=\{x\in X\mid F(0;x)\ge 1-\alpha\}Xα​={x∈X∣F(0;x)≥1−α}; the optimal solution set and value of (1.1) are SSS and v∗v^*v∗.
  • Smoothed indicator. For ε>0\varepsilon>0ε>0, Γε(y)\Gamma_\varepsilon(y)Γε​(y) equals 111 for y≤−εy\le-\varepsilony≤−ε, 000 for y≥εy\ge\varepsilony≥ε, and γε(y)\gamma_\varepsilon(y)γε​(y) in between, where γε:[−ε,ε]→[0,1]\gamma_\varepsilon:[-\varepsilon,\varepsilon]\to[0,1]γε​:[−ε,ε]→[0,1] is strictly decreasing, symmetric (γε(−y)=1−γε(y)\gamma_\varepsilon(-y)=1-\gamma_\varepsilon(y)γε​(−y)=1−γε​(y)), and makes Γε\Gamma_\varepsilonΓε​ differentiable. The paper's concrete choice is the quartic kernel (2.6).
  • Smoothed distribution functions. Fε(t;x)=∫Γε(C(x,ξ)−t) dPξF_\varepsilon(t;x)=\int\Gamma_\varepsilon(C(x,\xi)-t)\,d\mathbb P_\xiFε​(t;x)=∫Γε​(C(x,ξ)−t)dPξ​, and, for an i.i.d. sample ξ1,…,ξN\xi_1,\dots,\xi_Nξ1​,…,ξN​,
FεN(t;x)=1N∑i=1NΓε(C(x,ξi)−t).F^N_\varepsilon(t;x)=\frac1N\sum_{i=1}^N\Gamma_\varepsilon\bigl(C(x,\xi_i)-t\bigr).FεN​(t;x)=N1​i=1∑N​Γε​(C(x,ξi​)−t).
  • Smoothed sample problem (2.4). min⁡x∈Xf(x)\min_{x\in X} f(x)minx∈X​f(x) subject to FεN(0;x)≥1−αF^N_\varepsilon(0;x)\ge1-\alphaFεN​(0;x)≥1−α, with optimal solution set SεNS^N_\varepsilonSεN​ and value vεNv^N_\varepsilonvεN​.

The standing assumptions are: Assumption 3.1, for each x∈Xx\in Xx∈X the random variable C(x,ξ)C(x,\xi)C(x,ξ) has a continuous distribution; Assumption 3.2, CCC is Carathéodory, i.e. C(x,⋅)C(x,\cdot)C(x,⋅) is measurable for each x∈Xx\in Xx∈X and C(⋅,ξ)C(\cdot,\xi)C(⋅,ξ) is continuous for almost every ξ\xiξ; Assumption 3.3, some optimal solution xˉ\bar xxˉ of (1.1) is a limit of points x∈Xx\in Xx∈X with F(0;x)>1−αF(0;x)>1-\alphaF(0;x)>1−α.

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem 3.5

If XXX is compact, fff is continuous and Assumptions 3.1–3.3 hold, then with probability one, as N→∞N\to\inftyN→∞ and ε→0\varepsilon\to0ε→0 jointly,

SεN≠∅ eventually,vεN→v∗,D(SεN,S)=sup⁡x∈SεNdist⁡(x,S)→0.S^N_\varepsilon\neq\emptyset\ \text{eventually},\qquad v^N_\varepsilon\to v^*,\qquad \mathbb D(S^N_\varepsilon,S)=\sup_{x\in S^N_\varepsilon}\operatorname{dist}(x,S)\to0 .SεN​=∅ eventually,vεN​→v∗,D(SεN​,S)=x∈SεN​sup​dist(x,S)→0.

Milestones

  1. Uniform law of large numbers (proof of Theorem 3.4): w.p.1, sup⁡ε∈(0,1]sup⁡x∈U∣FεN(0;x)−Fε(0;x)∣→0\sup_{\varepsilon\in(0,1]}\sup_{x\in U}|F^N_\varepsilon(0;x)-F_\varepsilon(0;x)|\to0supε∈(0,1]​supx∈U​∣FεN​(0;x)−Fε​(0;x)∣→0 as N→∞N\to\inftyN→∞, for compact U⊆XU\subseteq XU⊆X.
  2. Removal of the smoothing (proof of Theorem 3.4): sup⁡x∈U∣Fε(0;x)−F(0;x)∣→0\sup_{x\in U}|F_\varepsilon(0;x)-F(0;x)|\to0supx∈U​∣Fε​(0;x)−F(0;x)∣→0 as ε→0+\varepsilon\to0^+ε→0+.
  3. Theorem 3.4: w.p.1, sup⁡x∈U∣FεN(0;x)−F(0;x)∣→0\sup_{x\in U}|F^N_\varepsilon(0;x)-F(0;x)|\to0supx∈U​∣FεN​(0;x)−F(0;x)∣→0 as N→∞N\to\inftyN→∞ and ε→0\varepsilon\to0ε→0.
  4. Eventual nonemptiness of SεNS^N_\varepsilonSεN​ (proof of Theorem 3.5).
  5. (3.3): lim inf⁡vεN≥v∗\liminf v^N_\varepsilon\ge v^*liminfvεN​≥v∗ w.p.1.
  6. (3.4): lim sup⁡vεN≤v∗\limsup v^N_\varepsilon\le v^*limsupvεN​≤v∗ w.p.1.

Significance

Theorem 3.5 justifies solving the smooth problem (2.4) in place of (1.1): with enough samples and a small enough bandwidth, global solutions of the surrogate approximate global solutions of the chance-constrained program, and the optimal values agree in the limit. Unlike earlier results it controls the two approximation errors, sampling and smoothing, at once, so no order of limits has to be chosen in practice. It is the asymptotic counterpart of the paper's finite-sample feasibility bound (Theorem 3.13) and the theoretical basis for the trust-region method of §5.

The result is proved in the paper, with two steps imported from Shapiro–Dentcheva–Ruszczyński, second edition (a uniform law of large numbers, Theorem 7.53, and a convergence-of-expectations result, Theorem 4.91) and the deviation statement deferred to Theorem 5.3 there. None of these results, and no consistency theorem for sample approximations of chance constraints, is machine-checked on Prove2Me or, as far as is known, elsewhere. A formal proof requires writing the imported steps out for the specific integrands of this problem and completing the solution-set argument the paper leaves to the reference.

Difficulty

The pointwise statements are routine; the uniformity is not. The integrand Γε(C(x,ξ))\Gamma_\varepsilon(C(x,\xi))Γε​(C(x,ξ)) converges, as ε→0\varepsilon\to0ε→0, to the indicator 1{C(x,ξ)≤0}\mathbf 1\{C(x,\xi)\le0\}1{C(x,ξ)≤0}, which is discontinuous in xxx wherever C(x,ξ)=0C(x,\xi)=0C(x,ξ)=0. A uniform law of large numbers for a family that degenerates into indicators needs the no-atom Assumption 3.1 at every point of UUU, not only at the limit. Moreover, the smoothing functions γε\gamma_\varepsilonγε​ for different ε\varepsilonε are unrelated, so the family is not continuous in ε\varepsilonε, and a Glivenko–Cantelli argument over a joint parameter (x,ε)(x,\varepsilon)(x,ε) cannot be applied directly. The convergence of solution sets needs, in addition, that the limit of feasible points of (2.4) is feasible for (1.1), which uses the continuity of F(0;⋅)F(0;\cdot)F(0;⋅) on XXX; that continuity again rests on Assumptions 3.1 and 3.2.

Formalization scope

  • Decisions are Fin n → ℝ with the sup norm. Assumption 3.3 is stated for every radius, so the norm choice does not change it.
  • The sample is an infinite sequence ξ : ℕ → Ω → Ξ of measurable, independent maps on a probability space, each with law Pξ\mathbb P_\xiPξ​; FεNF^N_\varepsilonFεN​ uses the first NNN draws.
  • "As N→∞N\to\inftyN→∞ and ε→0\varepsilon\to0ε→0" is the product filter atTop ×ˢ 𝓝[>] 0 on N×R\mathbb N\times\mathbb RN×R, with ε>0\varepsilon>0ε>0 because Γε\Gamma_\varepsilonΓε​ needs it; one null set serves every conclusion of a statement.
  • Assumption 3.1 is "no atoms": Pξ(C(x,ξ)=y)=0\mathbb P_\xi(C(x,\xi)=y)=0Pξ​(C(x,ξ)=y)=0 for all x∈Xx\in Xx∈X, y∈Ry\in\mathbb Ry∈R. Assumption 3.2 is measurability of C(x,⋅)C(x,\cdot)C(x,⋅) on XXX plus almost-sure continuity of C(⋅,ξ)C(\cdot,\xi)C(⋅,ξ) on Rn\mathbb R^nRn.
  • The family γε\gamma_\varepsilonγε​ is any family with each member admissible; no relation across ε\varepsilonε is assumed. The quartic kernel (2.6) is admissible for every ε>0\varepsilon>0ε>0, so the hypothesis is satisfiable.
  • The feasible set of (2.4) is {x∈X∣FεN(0;x)≥1−α}\{x\in X\mid F^N_\varepsilon(0;x)\ge1-\alpha\}{x∈X∣FεN​(0;x)≥1−α}, the form the paper's proof uses. The quantile Qε1−αQ^{1-\alpha}_\varepsilonQε1−α​ of (2.4) is defined only when (1−α)N∉Z(1-\alpha)N\notin\mathbb Z(1−α)N∈/Z, which fails for infinitely many NNN when α\alphaα is rational; where it is defined, the two feasible sets coincide.
  • The optimal value is the real infimum, which Lean sets to 000 on an empty set. The goal therefore asserts eventual nonemptiness of SεNS^N_\varepsilonSεN​ itself, and (3.3)–(3.4) are stated as bounds on fff over the feasible set of (2.4), which imply the liminf and limsup without reading an infimum over a possibly empty set. The deviation D\mathbb DD is stated pointwise ("every point of SεNS^N_\varepsilonSεN​ is eventually within η\etaη of SSS"), with SSS nonempty by Assumption 3.3, so the distance to the empty set never arises.
  • Iterated limits (first NNN, then ε\varepsilonε), a null set chosen after η\etaη, or a feasible set defined through QεQ_\varepsilonQε​ with its junk value would each be a different and weaker statement; none is used.

The definitions layer (Γ_ε, admissibility, FFF, FεF_\varepsilonFε​, FεNF^N_\varepsilonFεN​, XαX_\alphaXα​, the shifted sample sets (3.2)) is shared with the companion mission on finite-sample feasibility. A uniform law of large numbers for almost-surely continuous, bounded integrands on a compact parameter set, and convergence of optimal values under uniform convergence of constraint functions, are reusable beyond this mission; contributions of either as standalone lemmas are welcome.

Selected references

  • A. Peña-Ordieres, J. R. Luedtke, A. Wächter, Solving chance-constrained problems via a smooth sample-based nonlinear approximation, SIAM J. Optim. 30(3), 2020; preprint arXiv:1905.07377v2, 2020. https://arxiv.org/abs/1905.07377, https://doi.org/10.1137/19M1261985
  • A. Shapiro, D. Dentcheva, A. Ruszczyński, Lectures on Stochastic Programming: Modeling and Theory, SIAM, second edition, 2014 (Theorems 4.91, 5.3, 7.53; reference [40] of the paper). https://doi.org/10.1137/1.9781611973433
  • B. K. Pagnoncelli, S. Ahmed, A. Shapiro, Sample average approximation method for chance constrained programming: theory and applications, J. Optim. Theory Appl. 142, 2009, pp. 399–416. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10957-009-9523-6
  • J. Luedtke, S. Ahmed, A sample approximation approach for optimization with probabilistic constraints, SIAM J. Optim. 19, 2008, pp. 674–699. https://doi.org/10.1137/070702928
  • L. J. Hong, Y. Yang, L. Zhang, Sequential convex approximations to joint chance constrained programs: a Monte Carlo approach, Oper. Res. 59, 2011, pp. 617–630. https://doi.org/10.1287/opre.1100.0910
  • A. Nemirovski, A. Shapiro, Convex approximations of chance constrained programs, SIAM J. Optim. 17, 2006, pp. 969–996. https://doi.org/10.1137/050622328
9 thms1 active userReviewed
CombinatoricsGraph Theory·Captain: mikedeng1

Stability Results on the Circumference of a Graph 2: A 2-Connected G with δ ≥ k, Circumference 10 ≤ c < n and e(G) > max{f(n,k+1,c), f(n,⌊c/2⌋−1,c)} Lies in W_{n,k,c}, W_{n,⌊c/2⌋,c}, X∪Y or Z_{n,k,c}Research Paper

Motivation

How many edges can a graph have if it contains no long cycle? This Turán-type question for the circumference goes back to Erdős and Gallai (1959), who showed that an nnn-vertex graph with circumference ccc has at most c(n−1)/2c(n-1)/2c(n−1)/2 edges. For 2-connected graphs the answer is exact and the extremal graphs are known, so the natural next question is stability: what does a graph look like when its edge count is just below the extremal value? Such statements are the standard input for exact results via the stability method, and for counting and spectral variants of the original problem.

Timeline.

  • 1959. Erdős and Gallai prove e(G)≤c(G)(n−1)/2e(G)\le c(G)(n-1)/2e(G)≤c(G)(n−1)/2.
  • 1976. Woodall asks for a bound for 2-connected graphs that also takes the minimum degree kkk into account: e(G)≤max⁡{f(n,k,c),f(n,⌊c/2⌋,c)}e(G)\le\max\{f(n,k,c),f(n,\lfloor c/2\rfloor,c)\}e(G)≤max{f(n,k,c),f(n,⌊c/2⌋,c)} when c(G)=c≤n−1c(G)=c\le n-1c(G)=c≤n−1 and δ(G)≥k\delta(G)\ge kδ(G)≥k.
  • 1977. Kopylov proves the case without minimum degree, the bound max⁡{f(n,2,c),f(n,⌊c/2⌋,c)}\max\{f(n,2,c),f(n,\lfloor c/2\rfloor,c)\}max{f(n,2,c),f(n,⌊c/2⌋,c)} for 2-connected graphs. His proof can be modified to settle Woodall's question.
  • 2016–2018. Füredi, Kostochka, Verstraëte and Luo prove the stability version of Kopylov's theorem for 10≤c≤n−110\le c\le n-110≤c≤n−1. Above max⁡{f(n,3,c),f(n,⌊c/2⌋−1,c)}\max\{f(n,3,c),f(n,\lfloor c/2\rfloor-1,c)\}max{f(n,3,c),f(n,⌊c/2⌋−1,c)} edges, GGG lies in Wn,2,cW_{n,2,c}Wn,2,c​ or Wn,⌊c/2⌋,cW_{n,\lfloor c/2\rfloor,c}Wn,⌊c/2⌋,c​, or, for odd ccc, in a member of two families Xn,c\mathcal X_{n,c}Xn,c​, Yn,c\mathcal Y_{n,c}Yn,c​.
  • 2016–2017. Li and Ning, and independently Füredi, Kostochka and Luo, prove the stability version of Erdős's minimum-degree theorem for non-Hamiltonian graphs.
  • 2017–2020. Ma and Ning prove a stability version of Woodall's bound for every minimum degree kkk (arXiv:1708.00704; Combinatorica 2020). It unifies both previous stability results.

Setting

All graphs are finite and simple, with vertex set {0,…,n−1}\{0,\dots,n-1\}{0,…,n−1}. The circumference c(G)c(G)c(G) is the length (number of edges) of a longest cycle. GGG is 2-connected if it has at least three vertices and stays connected after deleting any one vertex. δ(G)\delta(G)δ(G) is the minimum degree and e(G)e(G)e(G) the number of edges.

For k≤⌊c/2⌋k\le\lfloor c/2\rfloork≤⌊c/2⌋, the graph Wn,k,cW_{n,k,c}Wn,k,c​ is a clique Kc−k+1K_{c-k+1}Kc−k+1​ together with n−(c−k+1)n-(c-k+1)n−(c−k+1) further vertices, each joined to the same kkk vertices of the clique. It has nnn vertices, minimum degree kkk, circumference ccc, and

f(n,k,c)=(c−k+12)+k (n−c+k−1)f(n,k,c)=\binom{c-k+1}{2}+k\,(n-c+k-1)f(n,k,c)=(2c−k+1​)+k(n−c+k−1)

edges. The graph Zn,k,cZ_{n,k,c}Zn,k,c​ is the union of a clique Kc−k+1K_{c-k+1}Kc−k+1​ and n−(c−k+1)k−1\frac{n-(c-k+1)}{k-1}k−1n−(c−k+1)​ cliques Kk+1K_{k+1}Kk+1​, any two of the cliques sharing the same two vertices. The families Xn,c\mathcal X_{n,c}Xn,c​ and Yn,c\mathcal Y_{n,c}Yn,c​ consist of graphs on A∪B∪XA\cup B\cup XA∪B∪X (resp. A∪B∪YA\cup B\cup YA∪B∪Y) with AAA a clique of size ⌊c/2⌋\lfloor c/2\rfloor⌊c/2⌋, BBB stable and AAA complete to BBB. In Xn,c\mathcal X_{n,c}Xn,c​ every vertex of XXX has exactly two neighbours, the same a∈Aa\in Aa∈A and b∈Bb\in Bb∈B. In Yn,c\mathcal Y_{n,c}Yn,c​, YYY carries a star forest whose stars all attach to the same two vertices a,b∈Aa,b\in Aa,b∈A in a prescribed way.

The proof works with the CCC-closure G‾\overline GG of a cycle CCC. It is obtained by replacing G[C]G[C]G[C] by its (c+1)(c+1)(c+1)-closure, which repeatedly joins non-adjacent pairs of G[C]G[C]G[C] whose degree sum is at least c+1c+1c+1. A cycle is locally maximal if every longer cycle uses at least three edges between V(C)V(C)V(C) and the rest of the graph.

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem 1.7

Let k≥2k\ge2k≥2 and let GGG be 2-connected on nnn vertices with δ(G)≥k\delta(G)\ge kδ(G)≥k and circumference ccc, 10≤c≤n−110\le c\le n-110≤c≤n−1. If

e(G)>max⁡{f(n,k+1,c), f(n,⌊c/2⌋−1,c)},e(G)>\max\{f(n,k+1,c),\ f(n,\lfloor c/2\rfloor-1,c)\},e(G)>max{f(n,k+1,c), f(n,⌊c/2⌋−1,c)},

then G⊆Wn,k,cG\subseteq W_{n,k,c}G⊆Wn,k,c​, or G⊆Wn,⌊c/2⌋,cG\subseteq W_{n,\lfloor c/2\rfloor,c}G⊆Wn,⌊c/2⌋,c​, or (k=2k=2k=2, ccc odd, and GGG is a subgraph of a member of Xn,c∪Yn,c\mathcal X_{n,c}\cup\mathcal Y_{n,c}Xn,c​∪Yn,c​), or (k≥3k\ge3k≥3 and G⊆Zn,k,cG\subseteq Z_{n,k,c}G⊆Zn,k,c​).

Stronger: Theorem 1.9

For a longest cycle CCC, the same hypotheses give one of four alternatives. Either G‾≅Wn,k,c\overline G\cong W_{n,k,c}G≅Wn,k,c​; or G⊆Wn,⌊c/2⌋,cG\subseteq W_{n,\lfloor c/2\rfloor,c}G⊆Wn,⌊c/2⌋,c​; or the X∪Y\mathcal X\cup\mathcal YX∪Y alternative holds; or k≥3k\ge3k≥3 and G‾≅Zn,k,c\overline G\cong Z_{n,k,c}G≅Zn,k,c​.

Milestones

The milestones follow the paper's proof.

  • Theorem 1.9 splits into Theorem 1.12, for many edges off CCC, and Theorem 4.1, for many edges on CCC.
  • Theorem 4.1 combines Lemmas 2.7, 2.8 and 2.11 on closures with the structural Lemmas 4.2, 4.3 and 4.4.
  • Two arithmetic facts about fff and h(n,k)=(n−k2)+k(k−1)h(n,k)=\binom{n-k}{2}+k(k-1)h(n,k)=(2n−k​)+k(k−1), and Lemmas 2.5, 2.6 and 2.10, support these.

Significance

The theorem describes every 2-connected graph whose edge count comes within one step of Woodall's extremal bound in either parameter. At k=2k=2k=2 it recovers the theorem of Füredi, Kostochka, Luo and Verstraëte exactly. At c=n−1c=n-1c=n−1 it refines the Li–Ning / Füredi–Kostochka–Luo stability theorem for non-Hamiltonian 2-connected graphs. It also gives Corollary 1.8 for 3-connected graphs, where only the two WWW graphs remain. Theorem 1.9 goes further and identifies the extremal configurations exactly, up to the closure.

On the formal side, Mathlib has walks, cycles, Hamiltonian paths and cycles, clique numbers and graph embeddings. It has no circumference theory, no Bondy–Chvátal closure, no Hamiltonian-connectedness and none of the classical extremal results the proof cites (Dirac, Bondy, Chvátal, Erdős–Gallai, Fan). No result of this mission is known to have a machine-checked proof. The mission asks for the paper's proof, or any other proof, of the goal; for its refinement, Theorem 1.9; and for the closure and attachment lemmas on the way.

Difficulty

The obvious approach is to delete a low-degree vertex and induct, as in the classical proofs of Erdős–Gallai type bounds. It does not reach stability. Deleting a vertex can destroy 2-connectivity, and the extremal family changes with kkk: the threshold f(n,k+1,c)f(n,k+1,c)f(n,k+1,c) moves with the minimum degree, and the new graph Zn,k,cZ_{n,k,c}Zn,k,c​ appears only for k≥3k\ge3k≥3.

The edges inside V(C)V(C)V(C) are the hard part. A longest cycle gives no direct control over G[C]G[C]G[C]. The paper's route needs two non-trivial reductions:

  • a closure that keeps longest path lengths (Lemma 2.6), applied to a locally maximal cycle so that G‾[C]\overline G[C]G[C] becomes highly structured;
  • a degree-sequence dichotomy derived from Chvátal's Hamiltonicity theorem (Lemmas 2.10, 2.11).

After that, Lemma 4.2 is four pages of degree-sequence casework, and Lemma 4.4 is a ten-claim structural argument.

Formalization scope

Vertices are Fin n and graphs are Mathlib SimpleGraphs. Further conventions:

  • "G⊆HG\subseteq HG⊆H" is an embedding (⊑, a subgraph up to relabelling), and "G‾=W\overline G=WG=W" or "G∈{W,Z}G\in\{W,Z\}G∈{W,Z}" is a graph isomorphism.
  • "Circumference ccc" means a cycle of length ccc exists and no cycle is longer; "longest cycle" is defined by comparison with all cycles. Neither is a supremum, which would be 000 on acyclic graphs.
  • ⌊c/2⌋\lfloor c/2\rfloor⌊c/2⌋ is natural-number division. fff and hhh are natural-number expressions that are exact in every range used.
  • The kkk-closure is the least kkk-closed supergraph, which equals the page's recursive closure. A companion sanity file proves that it contains GGG, is kkk-closed, and lies below every kkk-closed supergraph.
  • Hamiltonian-connected quantifies over distinct pairs.
  • Lemma 2.5's bounds are stated in Z\mathbb ZZ.

Added hypothesis: k≥2k\ge2k≥2 in Theorems 1.7, 1.9, 4.1 and Lemma 4.4. As printed, the theorems claim every kkk, but they fail at k=1k=1k=1: a member of X18,11\mathcal X_{18,11}X18,11​ with ∣X∣=2|X|=2∣X∣=2 is 2-connected, has circumference 111111 and 69>6869>6869>68 edges, yet lies in neither W18,1,11W_{18,1,11}W18,1,11​ nor W18,5,11W_{18,5,11}W18,5,11​. Zn,k,cZ_{n,k,c}Zn,k,c​ also divides by k−1k-1k−1. Lemma 4.3 has no minimum-degree hypothesis and is stated for every kkk.

Trivializations ruled out.

  • The page's alternatives "if k=2k=2k=2 and ccc is odd, then …" and "if k≥3k\ge3k≥3, then …" are encoded as conjunctions. As implications they would hold vacuously.
  • The Zn,k,cZ_{n,k,c}Zn,k,c​ alternatives carry the divisibility (k−1)∣n−(c−k+1)(k-1)\mid n-(c-k+1)(k−1)∣n−(c−k+1), so no truncated last block is admitted.
  • Equalities of graphs are isomorphisms, never containments.
  • The closure cannot be replaced by an arbitrary closed supergraph such as the complete graph.

Infrastructure. A complete development needs:

  • closure and Pósa-rotation arguments;
  • Chvátal's degree-sequence theorem;
  • Dirac's and Bondy's circumference bounds;
  • Fan's long-path theorem;
  • the Fan–Lv–Wang edge-switching lemma;
  • Erdős–Gallai for paths.

All of these are reusable well beyond this mission, and contributions of any of them are welcome. Theorem 1.12 is also the goal of the companion mission on the stability of Bondy's theorem.

Selected references

  • J. Ma, B. Ning, Stability results on the circumference of a graph, Combinatorica 40 (2020); arXiv:1708.00704v2. https://arxiv.org/abs/1708.00704, https://doi.org/10.1007/s00493-019-3843-4
  • G. N. Kopylov, Maximal paths and cycles in a graph, Dokl. Akad. Nauk SSSR 234 (1977), 19–21.
  • D. R. Woodall, Maximal circuits of graphs I, Acta Math. Acad. Sci. Hungar. 28 (1976), 77–80.
  • Z. Füredi, A. Kostochka, R. Luo, J. Verstraëte, Stability in the Erdős–Gallai theorem on cycles and paths, II, Discrete Math. 341 (2018), 1253–1263.
  • Z. Füredi, A. Kostochka, J. Verstraëte, Stability in the Erdős–Gallai theorems on cycles and paths, J. Combin. Theory Ser. B 121 (2016), 197–228.
  • J. A. Bondy, V. Chvátal, A method in graph theory, Discrete Math. 15 (1976), 111–135. https://doi.org/10.1016/0012-365X(76)90078-9
  • G. Fan, X. Lv, P. Wang, Cycles in 2-connected graphs, J. Combin. Theory Ser. B 92 (2004), 379–394.
  • P. Erdős, T. Gallai, On maximal paths and circuits of graphs, Acta Math. Acad. Sci. Hungar. 10 (1959), 337–356. https://doi.org/10.1007/BF02024498
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Algorithmic Game TheoryGraph TheoryProbability+1·Captain: mikedeng1

A Case Study on Stochastic Games on Large Graphs in Mean Field and Sparse Regimes II: Large-Graph Limits of the Equilibrium Through the Laplacian Eigenvalue DistributionResearch Paper

Motivation

Mean field games describe large populations of agents who interact symmetrically: every agent sees the same average of all the others. Many populations interact instead along a network, where each agent responds only to its neighbours. Lacker and Soret (arXiv:2005.14102v2, 2021; Math. Oper. Res. 2022) study a linear-quadratic stochastic differential game on a finite graph that is simple enough to solve explicitly on every vertex-transitive graph, and then ask what happens to the equilibrium as the graph grows. The question is the network analogue of the classical convergence problem for mean field games: does the nnn-player equilibrium have a limit, and does that limit depend on the graph only through a small amount of information?

The answer of the paper is that the limit is governed by the empirical eigenvalue distribution of the graph Laplacian. Dense graph sequences (degrees tending to infinity) all have the same limit, the mean field game; sparse ones (bounded degrees) have limits that depend on the graph, through its spectrum. This mission formalizes that large-graph limit theorem, Theorem 2.6 of the paper. Mission I of the series formalizes the explicit equilibrium on a fixed transitive graph (Theorem 2.5), on which this mission builds.

Setting

Let GGG be a finite simple graph on vertex set {1,…,n}\{1,\dots,n\}{1,…,n} with adjacency matrix AGA_GAG​ and degree matrix DGD_GDG​. Its Laplacian is LG=DG−1AG−IL_G = D_G^{-1}A_G - ILG​=DG−1​AG​−I. GGG is transitive if every vertex can be mapped to every other one by a graph automorphism; such a graph is regular, of degree δ(G)\delta(G)δ(G), and LGL_GLG​ is then symmetric with eigenvalues λ1G,…,λnG∈[−2,0]\lambda^G_1,\dots,\lambda^G_n\in[-2,0]λ1G​,…,λnG​∈[−2,0]. The empirical eigenvalue distribution is μG=1n∑iδλiG\mu_G = \frac1n\sum_i\delta_{\lambda^G_i}μG​=n1​∑i​δλiG​​.

Fix a horizon T>0T>0T>0, a volatility σ>0\sigma>0σ>0 and a weight c>0c>0c>0. Player vvv controls the state

dXv(t)=αv(t,X(t)) dt+σ dWv(t),t∈[0,T],dX_v(t) = \alpha_v(t,\boldsymbol X(t))\,dt + \sigma\,dW_v(t),\qquad t\in[0,T],dXv​(t)=αv​(t,X(t))dt+σdWv​(t),t∈[0,T],

driven by independent Brownian motions, with Markovian feedback controls αv\alpha_vαv​, and pays

Jv=12 E[∫0T∣αv(t,X(t))∣2dt+c ∣Xv(T)−1deg⁡(v)∑u∼vXu(T)∣2].J_v = \tfrac12\,\mathbb E\Big[\int_0^T|\alpha_v(t,\boldsymbol X(t))|^2dt + c\,\Big|X_v(T) - \tfrac1{\deg(v)}\sum_{u\sim v}X_u(T)\Big|^2\Big].Jv​=21​E[∫0T​∣αv​(t,X(t))∣2dt+c​Xv​(T)−deg(v)1​u∼v∑​Xu​(T)​2].

On a transitive graph without isolated vertices, Theorem 2.5 gives an explicit Nash equilibrium: with QG(x)=det⁡(I−xLG)1/nQ_G(x) = \det(I - xL_G)^{1/n}QG​(x)=det(I−xLG​)1/n and fGf_GfG​ the solution of fG′=c QG′(fG)f_G' = c\,Q_G'(f_G)fG′​=cQG′​(fG​), fG(0)=0f_G(0) = 0fG​(0)=0 on [0,T][0,T][0,T], the feedback is αiG(t,x)=−ei⊤PG(t)x\alpha^G_i(t,\boldsymbol x) = -e_i^\top P_G(t)\boldsymbol xαiG​(t,x)=−ei⊤​PG​(t)x with PG(t)=−fG′(T−t)LG(I−fG(T−t)LG)−1P_G(t) = -f_G'(T-t)L_G(I - f_G(T-t)L_G)^{-1}PG​(t)=−fG′​(T−t)LG​(I−fG​(T−t)LG​)−1. The resulting equilibrium state process XG\boldsymbol X^GXG is Gaussian, and the value is Val(G)=1n∑vJv\mathrm{Val}(G) = \frac1n\sum_v J_vVal(G)=n1​∑v​Jv​.

For a probability measure μ\muμ define Qμ(x)=exp⁡∫[−2,0]log⁡(1−xλ) μ(dλ)Q_\mu(x) = \exp\int_{[-2,0]}\log(1-x\lambda)\,\mu(d\lambda)Qμ​(x)=exp∫[−2,0]​log(1−xλ)μ(dλ), so that QμG=QGQ_{\mu_G} = Q_GQμG​​=QG​.

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem 2.6

Let (Gn)(G_n)(Gn​) be finite transitive graphs without isolated vertices, ∣Gn∣→∞|G_n|\to\infty∣Gn​∣→∞, with XGn(0)=0\boldsymbol X^{G_n}(0) = 0XGn​(0)=0, and suppose μGn→μ\mu_{G_n}\to\muμGn​​→μ weakly for a probability measure μ\muμ. Then (1) the ODE fμ′=c Qμ′(fμ)f_\mu' = c\,Q_\mu'(f_\mu)fμ′​=cQμ′​(fμ​), fμ(0)=0f_\mu(0) = 0fμ​(0)=0 has a unique solution on [0,T][0,T][0,T]; (2) for every vertex sequence knk_nkn​ and t∈[0,T]t\in[0,T]t∈[0,T],

Law(XknGn(t))→N(0,Vμ(t)),Vμ(t)=σ2∫0t∫[−2,0](1−λfμ(T−t)1−λfμ(T−s))2μ(dλ) ds;\mathrm{Law}\big(X^{G_n}_{k_n}(t)\big)\to\mathcal N\big(0,V_\mu(t)\big),\qquad V_\mu(t) = \sigma^2\int_0^t\int_{[-2,0]}\Big(\frac{1-\lambda f_\mu(T-t)}{1-\lambda f_\mu(T-s)}\Big)^2\mu(d\lambda)\,ds;Law(Xkn​Gn​​(t))→N(0,Vμ​(t)),Vμ​(t)=σ2∫0t​∫[−2,0]​(1−λfμ​(T−s)1−λfμ​(T−t)​)2μ(dλ)ds;

(3) the empirical measure 1∣Gn∣∑iδXiGn(t)\frac1{|G_n|}\sum_i\delta_{X^{G_n}_i(t)}∣Gn​∣1​∑i​δXiGn​​(t)​ converges weakly in probability to N(0,Vμ(t))\mathcal N(0,V_\mu(t))N(0,Vμ​(t)); (4)

lim⁡n→∞Val(Gn)=−σ22log⁡∫[−2,0]−λ1−λfμ(T) μ(dλ).\lim_{n\to\infty}\mathrm{Val}(G_n) = -\frac{\sigma^2}2\log\int_{[-2,0]}\frac{-\lambda}{1-\lambda f_\mu(T)}\,\mu(d\lambda).n→∞lim​Val(Gn​)=−2σ2​log∫[−2,0]​1−λfμ​(T)−λ​μ(dλ).

Milestones

The milestones are the statements the paper's proof (§3, §6, §7.1) relies on: the stability of fμf_\mufμ​ in μ\muμ (Proposition 3.2, last sentence); the finite-graph variance formula (2.7); monotonicity and concavity of fμf_\mufμ​ (Proposition 3.3, first sentence); correlation decay (Proposition 2.12) for distinct vertices; the relation between degrees and the spectral limit (Lemma 7.1); the Gaussian Poincaré bound (7.3) and the concentration (7.1) of the empirical measure; and the spectral form (2.9) of the value.

Significance

Theorem 2.6 reduces the large-population behaviour of a network game to one spectral object. For complete graphs μ=δ−1\mu = \delta_{-1}μ=δ−1​ and the limit is the mean field game; for sparse sequences such as cycles, tori, or random regular graphs, μ\muμ is a non-degenerate measure and the limiting variance and value differ from the mean field ones. The theorem thereby gives a quantitative criterion for when a mean field approximation of a network game is accurate, and it shows propagation of chaos in both regimes: in the dense case because interactions are weak, in the sparse case because typical players are far apart in the graph.

The result is proved in the paper; none of it has been machine-checked. A complete formalization requires a Lean account of Gaussian laws of linear SDEs with additive noise, of weak convergence of spectral measures of graph Laplacians, and of a Gaussian Poincaré inequality, none of which is currently in Mathlib in the needed form. Each of these is reusable well beyond this mission.

Difficulty

Parts (2) and (4) follow from the finite-graph formulas once fGn→fμf_{G_n}\to f_\mufGn​​→fμ​ uniformly, but that convergence requires stability of a nonlinear ODE whose vector field is defined through the spectral measure, uniformly over a class of measures. The harder step is (3). Convergence of one player's law does not imply convergence of the empirical measure: the players are correlated, and on sparse graphs every player has a bounded number of strong neighbours, so the correlations do not vanish uniformly. Bounding them requires an estimate that decays in the graph distance and in the degree, and combining it with the growth of graph balls, which is controlled differently in the dense and in the sparse regime. The usual mean field route is closed: unless the graph is complete, the state vector is not exchangeable, so propagation-of-chaos arguments based on exchangeability do not apply.

Formalization scope

The Lean development lives in namespace GraphLQGame.Asymptotics.

  • Vertices {1,…,n}\{1,\dots,n\}{1,…,n} are Fin n; a graph sequence is G : ∀ k, SimpleGraph (Fin (N k)) with Nk→∞N_k\to\inftyNk​→∞.
  • LGL_GLG​ is the random-walk Laplacian above, not Mathlib's lapMatrix. μG\mu_GμG​ is built from the real roots of the characteristic polynomial of LGL_GLG​, with multiplicity.
  • Weak convergence of measures on R\mathbb RR is convergence of ∫h dμk\int h\,d\mu_k∫hdμk​ for every bounded continuous hhh. Weak convergence in probability of the empirical measure is convergence in probability of ∫h dmGn(t)\int h\,dm^{G_n}(t)∫hdmGn​(t) for every bounded continuous hhh.
  • A state process is a pathwise strong solution of (2.1) on its own probability space, driven by a standard Brownian motion and adapted to its completed filtration. Statements about several graphs are statements about laws.
  • Costs are [0,∞][0,\infty][0,∞]-valued lower integrals; the value is computed after asserting finiteness.
  • In PGP_GPG​, fG′(T−t)f_G'(T-t)fG′​(T−t) is written as its ODE value c QG′(fG(T−t))c\,Q_G'(f_G(T-t))cQG′​(fG​(T−t)). ODE solutions are constrained on [0,T][0,T][0,T] (or on R+\mathbb R_+R+​ for Propositions 3.2 and 3.3), with uniqueness stated on that domain.
  • The Gaussian law N(0,V)\mathcal N(0,V)N(0,V) is gaussianReal 0 V.toNNReal; Vμ(t)≥0V_\mu(t)\ge0Vμ​(t)≥0.

The goal quantifies over every solution fGnf_{G_n}fGn​​, fμf_\mufμ​ and every equilibrium state process, and also asserts that the graph ODE solutions and the state processes exist, so it cannot be discharged vacuously. Proposition 2.12 is stated for distinct vertices: as printed, (2.17) is also claimed for u=vu = vu=v, where it fails on complete graphs of large degree; the off-diagonal case is the one the proof of Theorem 2.6 uses. Theorem 2.5 (mission I) is not restated here; a solver proves what is needed of it.

Contributions are welcome at every level: Gaussian laws of linear SDEs, spectral measures of graph matrices, ODE stability, a Gaussian Poincaré inequality, and the milestones themselves.

Selected references

  • D. Lacker, A. Soret, A case study on stochastic games on large graphs in mean field and sparse regimes, arXiv:2005.14102v2, 2021; published in Math. Oper. Res., 2022, https://doi.org/10.1287/moor.2021.1179. https://arxiv.org/abs/2005.14102
  • F. Chung, Spectral Graph Theory, CBMS Regional Conference Series in Mathematics 92, AMS, 1997. https://doi.org/10.1090/cbms/092
  • S. Boucheron, G. Lugosi, P. Massart, Concentration Inequalities: A Nonasymptotic Theory of Independence, Oxford University Press, 2013 (Theorem 3.20, Gaussian Poincaré inequality). https://doi.org/10.1093/acprof:oso/9780199535255.001.0001
  • R. Carmona, F. Delarue, Probabilistic Theory of Mean Field Games with Applications I, Springer, 2018. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-319-58920-6
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Algorithmic Game TheoryGraph TheoryProbability+1·Captain: mikedeng1

A Case Study on Stochastic Games on Large Graphs in Mean Field and Sparse Regimes III: The Mean Field Game Control Is an ε-Nash Equilibrium on Any Finite Graph, With ε_v ∝ deg(v)^(-1/2)Research Paper

Why mean field approximations on graphs need a threshold

Mean field games (MFGs) describe the limit of symmetric stochastic differential games as the number of players tends to infinity, when every player interacts with the empirical distribution of all the others. Their main practical use is the converse direction: an equilibrium of the limiting game supplies a simple, decentralized control that is an approximate Nash equilibrium of the game with finitely many players. For the complete graph, where everybody interacts with everybody, this is classical, with the standard rate O(1/n)O(1/\sqrt n)O(1/n​) (Carmona and Delarue, Probabilistic Theory of Mean Field Games, Vol. II, §6.1; Huang, Malhamé and Caines 2006, Theorem 12), as recalled on p. 10 of the paper.

Many interacting systems are not complete graphs: players see only their neighbours in a network. The question is then how dense the network must be for the mean field approximation to remain valid. Lacker and Soret (arXiv:2005.14102v2) answer it exactly for a linear-quadratic "flocking" game, where explicit computations are possible. This mission formalizes their Theorem 2.11, which applies to every finite graph, with no transitivity or regularity assumed.

Setting

Let GGG be a finite simple graph on the vertex set V={1,…,n}V=\{1,\dots,n\}V={1,…,n}; u∼vu\sim vu∼v means uuu and vvv are adjacent and deg⁡G(v)\deg_G(v)degG​(v) is the number of neighbours of vvv. Fix a horizon T>0T>0T>0, a volatility σ>0\sigma>0σ>0 and a cost weight c>0c>0c>0. Each player v∈Vv\in Vv∈V controls a real state XvX_vXv​ through

dXv(t)=αv(t,X(t)) dt+σ dWv(t),t∈[0,T],dX_v(t)=\alpha_v(t,\boldsymbol X(t))\,dt+\sigma\,dW_v(t),\qquad t\in[0,T],dXv​(t)=αv​(t,X(t))dt+σdWv​(t),t∈[0,T],

where W1,…,WnW_1,\dots,W_nW1​,…,Wn​ are independent standard Brownian motions and X=(Xu)u∈V\boldsymbol X=(X_u)_{u\in V}X=(Xu​)u∈V​. A Markovian control αv∈AG\alpha_v\in\mathcal A_Gαv​∈AG​ is a Borel function of time and the full state X(t)∈RV\boldsymbol X(t)\in\mathbb R^VX(t)∈RV, of linear growth. The cost of player vvv under a profile α=(αu)u∈V\boldsymbol\alpha=(\alpha_u)_{u\in V}α=(αu​)u∈V​ is

Jv(α)=12 E[∫0T∣αv(t,X(t))∣2 dt+c ∣Xv(T)−1deg⁡G(v)∑u∼vXu(T)∣2],J_v(\boldsymbol\alpha)=\frac12\,\mathbb E\Big[\int_0^T|\alpha_v(t,\boldsymbol X(t))|^2\,dt+c\,\Big|X_v(T)-\frac1{\deg_G(v)}\sum_{u\sim v}X_u(T)\Big|^2\Big],Jv​(α)=21​E[∫0T​∣αv​(t,X(t))∣2dt+c​Xv​(T)−degG​(v)1​u∼v∑​Xu​(T)​2],

and 12E[∫0T∣αv∣2dt+c∣Xv(T)∣2]\frac12\mathbb E[\int_0^T|\alpha_v|^2dt+c|X_v(T)|^2]21​E[∫0T​∣αv​∣2dt+c∣Xv​(T)∣2] for an isolated vertex: each player wants to end near the average of its neighbours at minimal quadratic effort. For a vector ε∈R+V\boldsymbol\varepsilon\in\mathbb R^V_+ε∈R+V​, a profile is a Markovian ε\boldsymbol\varepsilonε-Nash equilibrium if no player vvv can lower its cost by more than εv\varepsilon_vεv​ by switching unilaterally to another control β∈AG\beta\in\mathcal A_Gβ∈AG​, written (β,α−v)(\beta,\boldsymbol\alpha^{-v})(β,α−v).

The mean-field control is

αMF(t,y)=−cy1+c(T−t),αvMF(t,x)=αMF(t,xv):\alpha^{\mathrm{MF}}(t,y)=\frac{-cy}{1+c(T-t)},\qquad \alpha^{\mathrm{MF}}_v(t,\boldsymbol x)=\alpha^{\mathrm{MF}}(t,x_v):αMF(t,y)=1+c(T−t)−cy​,αvMF​(t,x)=αMF(t,xv​):

each player looks only at its own state, as if its neighbours' average were frozen at its mean.

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem 2.11

Define ϵvG=σ2cT1+cTcT(2+cT)deg⁡G(v)\epsilon^G_v=\sigma^2\frac{cT}{1+cT}\sqrt{\frac{cT(2+cT)}{\deg_G(v)}}ϵvG​=σ21+cTcT​degG​(v)cT(2+cT)​​ if deg⁡G(v)≥1\deg_G(v)\ge1degG​(v)≥1 and ϵvG=0\epsilon^G_v=0ϵvG​=0 if deg⁡G(v)=0\deg_G(v)=0degG​(v)=0, and with the minimal degree δ(G)=min⁡vdeg⁡G(v)\delta(G)=\min_v\deg_G(v)δ(G)=minv​degG​(v),

ϵG=σ2cT1+cTcT(2+cT)1∨δ(G).\epsilon_G=\sigma^2\frac{cT}{1+cT}\sqrt{\frac{cT(2+cT)}{1\vee\delta(G)}}.ϵG​=σ21+cTcT​1∨δ(G)cT(2+cT)​​.

Then, with zero initial states, the state equation for (αvMF)v∈V(\alpha^{\mathrm{MF}}_v)_{v\in V}(αvMF​)v∈V​ has a solution, and

(αvMF)v∈V is an ϵG-Nash equilibrium and an ϵG-Nash equilibrium on G.(\alpha^{\mathrm{MF}}_v)_{v\in V}\ \text{is an } \epsilon^G\text{-Nash equilibrium and an } \epsilon_G\text{-Nash equilibrium on } G.(αvMF​)v∈V​ is an ϵG-Nash equilibrium and an ϵG​-Nash equilibrium on G.

Milestones

  1. Lemma 7.2: αMF\alpha^{\mathrm{MF}}αMF is optimal for the one-player problem min⁡12E[∫0Tβ2dt+c∣Y(T)∣2]\min\frac12\mathbb E[\int_0^T\beta^2dt+c|Y(T)|^2]min21​E[∫0T​β2dt+c∣Y(T)∣2], dY=β dt+σdWdY=\beta\,dt+\sigma dWdY=βdt+σdW, over all progressively measurable β\betaβ.
  2. Isolated vertices (p. 40): Jv(α)=inf⁡βJv(β,α−v)J_v(\boldsymbol\alpha)=\inf_\beta J_v(\beta,\boldsymbol\alpha^{-v})Jv​(α)=infβ​Jv​(β,α−v) when deg⁡G(v)=0\deg_G(v)=0degG​(v)=0.
  3. (7.7): under αMF\alpha^{\mathrm{MF}}αMF, (Xu(T))u(X_u(T))_u(Xu​(T))u​ are i.i.d. N(0,σ2T/(1+cT))N(0,\sigma^2T/(1+cT))N(0,σ2T/(1+cT)), so the neighbour average has second moment σ2T/(deg⁡G(v)(1+cT))\sigma^2T/(\deg_G(v)(1+cT))σ2T/(degG​(v)(1+cT)).
  4. Steps (1), (2), (3) (p. 41): a lower bound on Jv(β,α−v)J_v(\beta,\boldsymbol\alpha^{-v})Jv​(β,α−v), an energy bound for deviations no worse than the zero control, and the comparison with Jv(αMF)J_v(\boldsymbol\alpha^{\mathrm{MF}})Jv​(αMF).
  5. (7.5): for deg⁡G(v)≥1\deg_G(v)\ge1degG​(v)≥1 and every admissible β\betaβ, Jv(β,α−v)≥Jv(α)−ϵvGJ_v(\beta,\boldsymbol\alpha^{-v})\ge J_v(\boldsymbol\alpha)-\epsilon^G_vJv​(β,α−v)≥Jv​(α)−ϵvG​.

Significance

The result. Theorem 2.11 gives an explicit threshold for the mean field approximation on networks: along any sequence of graphs whose minimal degree diverges, the decentralized control αMF\alpha^{\mathrm{MF}}αMF is an ϵGn\epsilon_{G_n}ϵGn​​-Nash equilibrium with ϵGn→0\epsilon_{G_n}\to0ϵGn​​→0, and the vector form says more: if the average of (1∨deg⁡Gn(v))−1/2(1\vee\deg_{G_n}(v))^{-1/2}(1∨degGn​​(v))−1/2 over vertices tends to zero, the per-player errors vanish on average (the paper's (2.16)). The rate deg⁡G(v)−1/2\deg_G(v)^{-1/2}degG​(v)−1/2 quantifies how the accuracy of the approximation depends on denseness. In the same paper, transitive graphs whose degrees stay bounded lead to equilibria that do not agree with the mean field one, so a denseness condition cannot be dropped.

Formalizing it. The theorem is proved in the paper; to our knowledge no part of it is machine-checked. A formal development needs, beyond the statement, a verification argument for a one-dimensional linear-quadratic control problem with additive noise, Gaussian computations for linear SDEs driven by Brownian motion, and the comparison of costs between the equilibrium system and a system with one deviating player. The one-player result (Lemma 7.2) and the Gaussian facts of (7.7) are reusable well beyond this mission.

Difficulty

The obvious argument compares a deviating player with an isolated player and treats the neighbour average as noise independent of the deviation. Two things stand in the way. The cost of player vvv couples its terminal state with the neighbours' average through a cross term E[1deg⁡G(v)∑u∼vXu(T) Yv(T)]\mathbb E[\frac1{\deg_G(v)}\sum_{u\sim v}X_u(T)\,Y_v(T)]E[degG​(v)1​∑u∼v​Xu​(T)Yv​(T)], and the deviation β(t,Y(t))\beta(t,\boldsymbol Y(t))β(t,Y(t)) may look at the neighbours' states, so the cross term does not vanish; it has to be bounded through the size of the deviation's energy. And an arbitrary deviation has no a priori energy bound: one is available only for deviations that do at least as well as the zero control, which is why the argument passes through a (near-)optimal deviation. Lemma 7.2 itself requires a verification theorem over all progressively measurable controls, not only feedback ones.

Formalization scope

The Lean development lives in the namespace GraphLQGame.DenseApprox and uses the shared encoding of this series:

  • vertices are Fin n (the paper's {1,…,n}\{1,\dots,n\}{1,…,n} become {0,…,n−1}\{0,\dots,n-1\}{0,…,n−1}), the state space is EthierKurtz.SDEState n, and GGG is any SimpleGraph (Fin n); isolated vertices are allowed;
  • controls are Borel with linear growth on [0,T][0,T][0,T] only; their values at other times are never used, and the formula for αMF\alpha^{\mathrm{MF}}αMF outside [0,T][0,T][0,T] is evaluated with Lean's total division;
  • a solution of the state equation is a pathwise strong solution carrying its own probability space and an nnn-dimensional standard Brownian motion; costs are [0,∞][0,\infty][0,∞]-valued lower Lebesgue integrals, and the Nash inequality is required for every solution of the profile and of each deviation (faithful by strong uniqueness);
  • T,σ,c>0T,\sigma,c>0T,σ,c>0 are the standing assumptions of §2.1;
  • initial states are zero. The printed theorem does not mention X(0)X(0)X(0); the paper fixes non-random initial states that are "in many cases" zero, and the whole proof is for X(0)=0X(0)=0X(0)=0. With non-zero initial states the claim fails in general, so this is a disclosed hypothesis;
  • the goal also asserts that the state equation for αMF\alpha^{\mathrm{MF}}αMF has a solution, so the Nash property cannot hold vacuously; Lemma 7.2 is stated over every continuous adapted solution of its SDE, and Step (2) carries, as an explicit hypothesis, the comparison with the zero control that its proof uses.

A formalization in which αMF\alpha^{\mathrm{MF}}αMF is compared only with deviations depending on the player's own state, or in which the costs are Bochner integrals that vanish when not integrable, would be trivially or wrongly satisfied; both are ruled out by the encoding above.

Welcome contributions: the verification argument for Lemma 7.2, the Gaussian law of linear SDEs with additive noise, and proofs of the three steps. Related missions in this series: I (an explicit Nash equilibrium on transitive graphs) and II (large-graph limits).

Selected references

  • D. Lacker, A. Soret, A case study on stochastic games on large graphs in mean field and sparse regimes, arXiv:2005.14102v2, 2021; Math. Oper. Res. 47 (2022). https://arxiv.org/abs/2005.14102
  • R. Carmona, F. Delarue, Probabilistic Theory of Mean Field Games with Applications II, Springer, 2018. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-319-56436-4
  • M. Huang, R. P. Malhamé, P. E. Caines, Large population stochastic dynamic games: closed-loop McKean–Vlasov systems and the Nash certainty equivalence principle, Commun. Inf. Syst. 6 (2006), 221–252. https://doi.org/10.4310/CIS.2006.v6.n3.a5
  • H. Pham, Continuous-time Stochastic Control and Optimization with Financial Applications, Springer, 2009 (verification theorem, Theorem 3.5.2). https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-540-89500-8
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CombinatoricsGraph Theory·Captain: mikedeng1

Stability Results on the Circumference of a Graph 1: A 2-Connected Graph with More Than (⌊c/2⌋−1)(n−c) Edges Off a Longest Cycle of Length c ≥ 10 Lies in W_{n,⌊c/2⌋,c} or (c Odd) in X_{n,c} ∪ Y_{n,c}Research Paper

Motivation

The circumference c(G)c(G)c(G) of a graph GGG is the length of a longest cycle. Extremal graph theory asks how many edges force a long cycle. The Erdős–Gallai theorem (1959) states that every nnn-vertex graph has at most c(G)(n−1)/2c(G)(n-1)/2c(G)(n−1)/2 edges. Bondy (1971) strengthened it by counting only the edges near a longest cycle: if CCC is a longest cycle of length ccc, the number of edges with at most one endpoint in CCC is at most c2(n−c)\tfrac c2(n-c)2c​(n−c), and at most ⌊c/2⌋(n−c)\lfloor c/2\rfloor (n-c)⌊c/2⌋(n−c) when GGG is 2-connected. Since V(C)V(C)V(C) spans at most (c2)\binom c2(2c​) edges, this implies the Erdős–Gallai bound.

A stability result complements an extremal one: a graph close to the extremal bound must be close in structure to the extremal graphs. Jie Ma and Bo Ning (Combinatorica, 2020; arXiv:1708.00704) proved stability versions of Kopylov's edge theorem for 2-connected graphs of given circumference and of Bondy's theorem above. This mission formalizes their stability version of Bondy's theorem, Theorem 1.12. In the paper it is also one of the two halves of the proof of the main stability theorem; the other half is a separate mission in this series.

Timeline (as recorded in §1 of the paper). Dirac (1952): every 2-connected graph has c(G)≥min⁡{2δ(G),∣V(G)∣}c(G)\ge\min\{2\delta(G),|V(G)|\}c(G)≥min{2δ(G),∣V(G)∣}. Erdős and Gallai (1959): e(G)≤c(G)(n−1)/2e(G)\le c(G)(n-1)/2e(G)≤c(G)(n−1)/2. Bondy (1971): the bound on edges with at most one endpoint on a longest cycle, and the degree theorem stated here as Theorem 2.1. Woodall (1976): e(G)≤f(n,⌊c/2⌋,c)e(G)\le f(n,\lfloor c/2\rfloor,c)e(G)≤f(n,⌊c/2⌋,c) for 2-connected GGG with circumference c≤(2n+2)/3c\le(2n+2)/3c≤(2n+2)/3. Kopylov (1977): e(G)≤max⁡{f(n,2,c),f(n,⌊c/2⌋,c)}e(G)\le\max\{f(n,2,c),f(n,\lfloor c/2\rfloor,c)\}e(G)≤max{f(n,2,c),f(n,⌊c/2⌋,c)} for 2-connected GGG with circumference c≤n−1c\le n-1c≤n−1; another proof by Fan, Lv and Wang (2004). Fan (1990): an improved version of Bondy's bound for 2-connected graphs, and average-degree bounds on long paths. Füredi, Kostochka and Verstraëte (2016): stability for Kopylov's theorem when n≥3⌊c/2⌋n\ge 3\lfloor c/2\rfloorn≥3⌊c/2⌋; Füredi, Kostochka, Luo and Verstraëte (2018): the complete stability version, with the families Xn,c\mathcal X_{n,c}Xn,c​, Yn,c\mathcal Y_{n,c}Yn,c​. Ma and Ning (2017 preprint, 2020): the results of this mission.

Setting

All graphs are finite and simple, on the vertex set {0,…,n−1}\{0,\dots,n-1\}{0,…,n−1}. A path or cycle of length kkk has kkk edges. A graph is 2-connected if it has at least three vertices, is connected, and remains connected after deleting any one vertex. A cycle CCC is a longest cycle if no cycle of GGG has more edges; V(C)V(C)V(C) is its vertex set and ccc its length.

For a longest cycle CCC, write e(G−C)+e(G−C,C)e(G-C)+e(G-C,C)e(G−C)+e(G−C,C) for the number of edges with at most one endpoint in CCC. A vertex uuu is an isolated vertex of G−CG-CG−C if u∉V(C)u\notin V(C)u∈/V(C) and every neighbour of uuu lies on CCC; dC(u)d_C(u)dC​(u) is its number of neighbours on CCC.

The extremal graphs are:

  • Wn,k,cW_{n,k,c}Wn,k,c​: a clique Kc−k+1K_{c-k+1}Kc−k+1​ together with n−(c−k+1)n-(c-k+1)n−(c−k+1) further vertices, each adjacent to the same kkk vertices of the clique and to nothing else.
  • Xn,c\mathcal X_{n,c}Xn,c​: graphs on A∪B∪XA\cup B\cup XA∪B∪X with AAA a clique of size ⌊c/2⌋\lfloor c/2\rfloor⌊c/2⌋, BBB and XXX stable, AAA completely joined to BBB, and two vertices a∈Aa\in Aa∈A, b∈Bb\in Bb∈B such that N(x)={a,b}N(x)=\{a,b\}N(x)={a,b} for all x∈Xx\in Xx∈X.
  • Yn,c\mathcal Y_{n,c}Yn,c​: graphs on A∪B∪YA\cup B\cup YA∪B∪Y with AAA a clique of size ⌊c/2⌋\lfloor c/2\rfloor⌊c/2⌋, BBB stable, AAA completely joined to BBB, G[Y]G[Y]G[Y] a star forest with at least two stars each having an edge, and two distinct a,b∈Aa,b\in Aa,b∈A such that each star SSS has exactly {a,b}\{a,b\}{a,b} as outside neighbourhood and, if ∣V(S)∣≥3|V(S)|\ge 3∣V(S)∣≥3, its leaves have degree 222 and a common neighbour in {a,b}\{a,b\}{a,b}.

G⊆WG\subseteq WG⊆W means that GGG is isomorphic to a subgraph of WWW.

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem 1.12

Let GGG be 2-connected on nnn vertices and CCC a longest cycle of length ccc with 10≤c≤n−110\le c\le n-110≤c≤n−1. If

e(G−C)+e(G−C,C)>(⌊c2⌋−1)(n−c),e(G-C)+e(G-C,C) > \left(\left\lfloor \tfrac c2\right\rfloor-1\right)(n-c),e(G−C)+e(G−C,C)>(⌊2c​⌋−1)(n−c),

then G⊆Wn,⌊c/2⌋,cG\subseteq W_{n,\lfloor c/2\rfloor,c}G⊆Wn,⌊c/2⌋,c​, or ccc is odd and GGG is a subgraph of a member of Xn,c∪Yn,c\mathcal X_{n,c}\cup\mathcal Y_{n,c}Xn,c​∪Yn,c​.

Milestones

  1. Theorem 2.1 (Bondy): all but one vertex of degree ≥k\ge k≥k in a 2-connected graph give c(G)≥min⁡{n,2k}c(G)\ge\min\{n,2k\}c(G)≥min{n,2k}.
  2. Theorem 2.2 (Fan), first assertion: a longest (x,y)(x,y)(x,y)-path is at least as long as the average degree of the other vertices.
  3. Lemma 2.3: a 2-connected component HHH of G−CG-CG−C with average degree rrr satisfies c≥2rc\ge 2rc≥2r, with equality only for a clique attached to two common vertices of CCC.
  4. Theorem 3.2: without connectivity and for 4≤c≤n−14\le c\le n-14≤c≤n−1, the same edge condition gives c∈{6,7,9}c\in\{6,7,9\}c∈{6,7,9}, or a vertex off CCC with ⌊c/2⌋\lfloor c/2\rfloor⌊c/2⌋ neighbours on CCC, or a cycle C′C'C′ meeting CCC in at most one vertex with ∣C′∣≥2⌊c/2⌋−3|C'|\ge 2\lfloor c/2\rfloor-3∣C′∣≥2⌊c/2⌋−3 (disjoint) or ≥2⌊c/2⌋−1\ge 2\lfloor c/2\rfloor-1≥2⌊c/2⌋−1 (one common vertex).
  5. Theorem 3.1: for 2-connected GGG and 10≤c≤n−110\le c\le n-110≤c≤n−1, an isolated vertex uuu of G−CG-CG−C with dC(u)=⌊c/2⌋d_C(u)=\lfloor c/2\rfloordC​(u)=⌊c/2⌋.
  6. Lemma 3.3: such a vertex forces G⊆Wn,⌊c/2⌋,cG\subseteq W_{n,\lfloor c/2\rfloor,c}G⊆Wn,⌊c/2⌋,c​ when ccc is even, and G⊆Wn,⌊c/2⌋,cG\subseteq W_{n,\lfloor c/2\rfloor,c}G⊆Wn,⌊c/2⌋,c​ or GGG in a member of Xn,c∪Yn,c\mathcal X_{n,c}\cup\mathcal Y_{n,c}Xn,c​∪Yn,c​ when c≥9c\ge 9c≥9 is odd.

Significance

In Wn,⌊c/2⌋,cW_{n,\lfloor c/2\rfloor,c}Wn,⌊c/2⌋,c​ every one of the n−cn-cn−c vertices off a longest cycle sends ⌊c/2⌋\lfloor c/2\rfloor⌊c/2⌋ edges to the cycle, so Bondy's bound ⌊c/2⌋(n−c)\lfloor c/2\rfloor(n-c)⌊c/2⌋(n−c) is attained. Theorem 1.12 says that exceeding (⌊c/2⌋−1)(n−c)(\lfloor c/2\rfloor-1)(n-c)(⌊c/2⌋−1)(n−c) already leaves only three structures: a subgraph of Wn,⌊c/2⌋,cW_{n,\lfloor c/2\rfloor,c}Wn,⌊c/2⌋,c​, or for odd ccc a subgraph of a member of Xn,c\mathcal X_{n,c}Xn,c​ or Yn,c\mathcal Y_{n,c}Yn,c​. In the paper it is one of the two cases of the proof of the main stability theorem (Theorem 1.9): a graph with many edges and a longest cycle CCC has either many edges with at most one endpoint on CCC, handled here, or many edges inside V(C)V(C)V(C), handled by the closure argument of the companion mission.

The result is proved in the paper; none of it, nor Bondy's or Fan's theorems, is formalized on the platform or in Mathlib. The mission produces machine-checked statements of the goal, of the cited tools (Bondy's Theorem 2.1, Fan's Theorem 2.2, Lemma 2.3), and of the steps Theorems 3.1, 3.2 and Lemma 3.3, together with reusable definitions of 2-connectivity, longest cycles and the extremal families.

Difficulty

The obvious approach counts edges at the vertices off CCC: each such vertex has at most ⌊c/2⌋\lfloor c/2\rfloor⌊c/2⌋ neighbours on CCC, since otherwise two consecutive cycle vertices would let the cycle be extended. This bound is far from enough. The edge count also includes edges between vertices off CCC, and components of G−CG-CG−C can be large, 2-connected, and attached to CCC in complicated ways. The bound (⌊c/2⌋−1)(n−c)(\lfloor c/2\rfloor-1)(n-c)(⌊c/2⌋−1)(n−c) has to be beaten by every such configuration at once, and Theorem 3.2 states exceptional small cycle lengths c∈{6,7,9}c\in\{6,7,9\}c∈{6,7,9} for which the analysis does not close. A second difficulty is the passage from one vertex of degree ⌊c/2⌋\lfloor c/2\rfloor⌊c/2⌋ to a global description of GGG: in the odd case, the structure of every component of G−CG-CG−C has to be determined, which is where the families Xn,c\mathcal X_{n,c}Xn,c​ and Yn,c\mathcal Y_{n,c}Yn,c​ appear.

Formalization scope

Graphs are SimpleGraph (Fin n) with decidable adjacency. A cycle is a closed walk C : G.Walk u u with C.IsCycle; its length is C.length and its vertex set C.support.toFinset. "Longest cycle" is the predicate that every cycle of GGG is at most as long as CCC; no supremum of cycle lengths is used. 2-connectivity is: at least three vertices, connected, and connected after deleting any one vertex. It is stated for an arbitrary finite vertex type so that it applies to the induced subgraph G[H]G[H]G[H] in Lemma 2.3. The edge count off CCC is the number of edges with an endpoint outside V(C)V(C)V(C), and ⌊c/2⌋\lfloor c/2\rfloor⌊c/2⌋ is natural-number division; under the stated bounds every natural-number subtraction is exact.

Wn,k,cW_{n,k,c}Wn,k,c​ is defined on fixed labels (clique {0,…,c−k}\{0,\dots,c-k\}{0,…,c−k}, hubs {0,…,k−1}\{0,\dots,k-1\}{0,…,k−1}), and "G⊆WG\subseteq WG⊆W" is a graph embedding G ⊑ W. Membership in Xn,c\mathcal X_{n,c}Xn,c​ and Yn,c\mathcal Y_{n,c}Yn,c​ are predicates on labelled graphs, closed under relabelling, and "GGG is a subgraph of a member" is G ≤ H for some member HHH. No hypothesis is added to any statement. Fan's Theorem 2.2 is stated without its equality characterization.

Trivializing formalizations are ruled out explicitly: the alternative "ccc is odd and …" is a conjunction, never an implication; the circumference is never a junk supremum; containment in WWW is up to isomorphism, never ≤ on fixed labels; and 2-connectivity excludes K2K_2K2​ and disconnected graphs.

The definitions are reusable for any work on circumference, longest cycles and Bondy–Erdős–Gallai-type problems. Contributions of proofs of the cited tools (Bondy's and Fan's theorems) are especially welcome, as is a proof of Erdős–Gallai's edge theorem, which the proof of Theorem 3.2 uses and which is posed elsewhere on the platform.

Selected references

  • J. Ma and B. Ning, Stability results on the circumference of a graph, Combinatorica 40 (2020); arXiv:1708.00704v2. https://arxiv.org/abs/1708.00704 , https://doi.org/10.1007/s00493-019-3843-4
  • J. A. Bondy, Large cycles in graphs, Discrete Mathematics 1 (1971/72), no. 2, 121–132.
  • G. Fan, Long cycles and the codiameter of a graph, I, Journal of Combinatorial Theory, Series B 49 (1990) 151–180.
  • P. Erdős and T. Gallai, On maximal paths and circuits of graphs, Acta Mathematica Academiae Scientiarum Hungaricae 10 (1959) 337–356.
  • G. Fan, X. Lv, P. Wang, Cycles in 2-connected graphs, Journal of Combinatorial Theory, Series B 92 (2004) 379–394.
  • Z. Füredi, A. Kostochka, J. Verstraëte, Stability in the Erdős–Gallai theorems on cycles and paths, Journal of Combinatorial Theory, Series B 121 (2016) 197–228.
  • Z. Füredi, A. Kostochka, R. Luo, J. Verstraëte, Stability in the Erdős–Gallai theorem on cycles and paths, II, Discrete Mathematics 341 (2018) 1253–1263.
  • G. N. Kopylov, Maximal paths and cycles in a graph, Soviet Mathematics Doklady 18 (1977) 593–596.
  • D. R. Woodall, Maximal circuits of graphs I, Acta Mathematica Academiae Scientiarum Hungaricae 28 (1976) 77–80.
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Operations ResearchOptimal TransportOptimization+1·Captain: mikedeng1

Distributionally Robust Stochastic Optimization with Wasserstein Distance: If the Growth Rate κ of Ψ Is Finite, sup{E_μ[Ψ] : W_p(μ, ν) ≤ θ} Equals Its One-Dimensional Dual and Is FiniteResearch Paper

Motivation

Distributionally robust stochastic optimization (DRSO) chooses a decision xxx to minimize the worst expected loss sup⁡μ∈MEμ[Ψ(x,ξ)]\sup_{\mu\in\mathfrak M}\mathbb E_\mu[\Psi(x,\xi)]supμ∈M​Eμ​[Ψ(x,ξ)] over an ambiguity set M\mathfrak MM of probability distributions, instead of the expectation under one estimated distribution. When M\mathfrak MM is a ball around a nominal distribution ν\nuν (often the empirical distribution of data) in the Wasserstein distance, the set contains distributions with supports different from that of ν\nuν, and the worst case is driven by how far mass can be moved and how fast the loss grows along the way. This makes Wasserstein balls a standard choice in data-driven optimization, statistical learning and operations research.

The inner problem, a supremum over an infinite-dimensional set of measures, is not directly computable. Gao and Kleywegt (arXiv:1604.02199v3) show that it equals a minimization over a single scalar multiplier, for an arbitrary Polish space and nominal distribution and a merely measurable loss.

Timeline. Esfahani and Kuhn (2018, doi:10.1007/s10107-017-1172-1) proved a strong duality for p=1p=1p=1 and empirical ν\nuν on Rm\mathbb R^mRm, giving finite convex reformulations for piecewise-affine losses. Blanchet and Murthy (2019, doi:10.1287/moor.2018.0936) proved duality for general optimal transport costs on Polish spaces under upper semicontinuity of the loss, with a dual over pairs (λ,φ)(\lambda,\varphi)(λ,φ). Gao and Kleywegt's result, first posted in 2016 and published in Mathematics of Operations Research (2023, doi:10.1287/moor.2022.1275), covers every order p∈[1,∞)p\in[1,\infty)p∈[1,∞), every nominal ν\nuν and every measurable loss with finite growth rate, with a dual in one variable.

Setting

Let (Ξ,d)(\Xi,d)(Ξ,d) be a Polish space (complete, separable metric) with its Borel σ\sigmaσ-algebra, P(Ξ)\mathcal P(\Xi)P(Ξ) the Borel probability measures, p∈[1,∞)p\in[1,\infty)p∈[1,∞) and θ>0\theta>0θ>0. The decision variable is suppressed: Ψ:Ξ→R\Psi:\Xi\to\mathbb RΨ:Ξ→R is a Borel measurable loss with Ψ∈L1(ν)\Psi\in L^1(\nu)Ψ∈L1(ν) for a fixed nominal distribution ν∈P(Ξ)\nu\in\mathcal P(\Xi)ν∈P(Ξ).

The Wasserstein distance of order ppp is given by

Wpp(μ,ν)=inf⁡{∫Ξ×Ξdp(ξ,ζ) γ(dξ,dζ): γ∈P(Ξ×Ξ), π#1γ=μ, π#2γ=ν}.W_p^p(\mu,\nu)=\inf\Big\{\int_{\Xi\times\Xi}d^p(\xi,\zeta)\,\gamma(d\xi,d\zeta):\ \gamma\in\mathcal P(\Xi\times\Xi),\ \pi^1_\#\gamma=\mu,\ \pi^2_\#\gamma=\nu\Big\}.Wpp​(μ,ν)=inf{∫Ξ×Ξ​dp(ξ,ζ)γ(dξ,dζ): γ∈P(Ξ×Ξ), π#1​γ=μ, π#2​γ=ν}.

The primal value is the worst-case expectation over the Wasserstein ball,

vP=sup⁡μ∈P(Ξ){∫ΞΨ dμ: Wp(μ,ν)≤θ}.v_P=\sup_{\mu\in\mathcal P(\Xi)}\Big\{\int_\Xi\Psi\,d\mu:\ W_p(\mu,\nu)\le\theta\Big\}.vP​=μ∈P(Ξ)sup​{∫Ξ​Ψdμ: Wp​(μ,ν)≤θ}.

The regularization operator is Φ(λ,ζ)=inf⁡ξ∈Ξ{λdp(ξ,ζ)−Ψ(ξ)}∈R∪{−∞}\Phi(\lambda,\zeta)=\inf_{\xi\in\Xi}\{\lambda d^p(\xi,\zeta)-\Psi(\xi)\}\in\mathbb R\cup\{-\infty\}Φ(λ,ζ)=infξ∈Ξ​{λdp(ξ,ζ)−Ψ(ξ)}∈R∪{−∞}, the dual objective is h(λ)=λθp−∫ΞΦ(λ,ζ) ν(dζ)h(\lambda)=\lambda\theta^p-\int_\Xi\Phi(\lambda,\zeta)\,\nu(d\zeta)h(λ)=λθp−∫Ξ​Φ(λ,ζ)ν(dζ), and the dual value is vD=inf⁡λ≥0h(λ)v_D=\inf_{\lambda\ge0}h(\lambda)vD​=infλ≥0​h(λ). The growth rate of Ψ\PsiΨ is

κ=inf⁡{λ≥0:∫ΞΦ(λ,ζ) ν(dζ)>−∞}∈[0,∞],\kappa=\inf\Big\{\lambda\ge0:\int_\Xi\Phi(\lambda,\zeta)\,\nu(d\zeta)>-\infty\Big\}\in[0,\infty],κ=inf{λ≥0:∫Ξ​Φ(λ,ζ)ν(dζ)>−∞}∈[0,∞],

with κ=∞\kappa=\inftyκ=∞ if no λ\lambdaλ qualifies. The lemmas also use the near-optimal distances D‾(λ,ζ)\overline D(\lambda,\zeta)D(λ,ζ) and D‾(λ,ζ)\underline D(\lambda,\zeta)D​(λ,ζ), the limits as ε↓0\varepsilon\downarrow0ε↓0 of the largest and smallest dp(ξ,ζ)d^p(\xi,\zeta)dp(ξ,ζ) over ε\varepsilonε-minimizers ξ\xiξ of λdp(⋅,ζ)−Ψ\lambda d^p(\cdot,\zeta)-\Psiλdp(⋅,ζ)−Ψ.

In Lean these objects are DRSOWass.Duality.wassPow, vP, Phi, dualObj, vD, growthRate, DUpper, DLower.

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem 1 (p. 17)

If κ<∞\kappa<\inftyκ<∞, then

vP=vD<∞.v_P=v_D<\infty.vP​=vD​<∞.

This is the printed theorem: an equality of values together with finiteness. It fixes no constant and needs no regularity of Ψ\PsiΨ beyond measurability and integrability.

Milestones

  1. Proposition 1, weak duality vP≤vDv_P\le v_DvP​≤vD​ (no growth condition).
  2. Lemma 3(i), (ii), (v): ν\nuν-measurability of Φ(λ,⋅)\Phi(\lambda,\cdot)Φ(λ,⋅), D‾\overline DD, D‾\underline DD​, D‾0\overline D_0D0​, D‾0\underline D_0D​0​, and ν\nuν-measurable selections of near-optimal and far points.
  3. Lemma 4(i)–(iii): monotonicity, upper semicontinuity and concavity of Φ(⋅,ζ)\Phi(\cdot,\zeta)Φ(⋅,ζ), the bound (λ2−λ1)D‾(λ2,ζ)≤−Ψ(ζ)−Φ(λ1,ζ)(\lambda_2-\lambda_1)\overline D(\lambda_2,\zeta)\le-\Psi(\zeta)-\Phi(\lambda_1,\zeta)(λ2​−λ1​)D(λ2​,ζ)≤−Ψ(ζ)−Φ(λ1​,ζ), and one-sided derivative bounds.
  4. Lemma 5: hhh is ∞\infty∞ on [0,κ)[0,\kappa)[0,κ), finite on (κ,∞)(\kappa,\infty)(κ,∞), convex, lower semicontinuous, coercive, and has a minimizer λ∗∈[κ,∞)\lambda^*\in[\kappa,\infty)λ∗∈[κ,∞).
  5. Lemmas 6 and 7: explicit ε\varepsilonε-optimal distributions in the ball, built from push-forwards of ν\nuν, in the cases λ∗>κ\lambda^*>\kappaλ∗>κ, λ∗=κ=0\lambda^*=\kappa=0λ∗=κ=0 and λ∗=κ>0\lambda^*=\kappa>0λ∗=κ>0.

Significance

The result. Strong duality turns the worst-case expectation over a Wasserstein ball into a convex problem in one scalar, min⁡λ≥0{λθp−∫Φ(λ,ζ) ν(dζ)}\min_{\lambda\ge0}\{\lambda\theta^p-\int\Phi(\lambda,\zeta)\,\nu(d\zeta)\}minλ≥0​{λθp−∫Φ(λ,ζ)ν(dζ)}, where Φ\PhiΦ is a Moreau–Yosida-type regularization of −Ψ-\Psi−Ψ. For finite-supported ν\nuν this yields finite-dimensional reformulations of DRSO; the paper derives from it the structure of worst-case distributions (Corollaries 1 and 2) and applications to two-stage problems, point processes and Gaussian nominal distributions. The growth rate κ\kappaκ separates the finite case (this theorem) from the case vP=∞v_P=\inftyvP​=∞ (Proposition 2).

Formalizing it. The theorem is proved in the paper; to the best of current knowledge none of it is machine-checked. The mission produces a formal statement of the duality on general Polish spaces, together with reusable pieces: extended-valued integrals, the regularization operator and its one-sided derivatives, measurable selection on Polish spaces, and push-forward constructions of near-optimal measures. Formal proofs of Lemma 3 also give measurable-selection tools that Mathlib does not yet provide in this form.

Difficulty

Weak duality is a one-line Lagrangian argument. The difficulty is attainment from the primal side: one must construct, for every ε>0\varepsilon>0ε>0, a distribution in the ball whose expectation is within ε\varepsilonε of vDv_DvD​. A worst-case distribution need not exist (when λ∗=κ>0\lambda^*=\kappa>0λ∗=κ>0 mass escapes to infinity), so a compactness argument on P(Ξ)\mathcal P(\Xi)P(Ξ) fails; and Ψ\PsiΨ is only measurable, so the infimum defining Φ(λ,ζ)\Phi(\lambda,\zeta)Φ(λ,ζ) cannot be reduced to a countable one, and the measurability of Φ(λ,⋅)\Phi(\lambda,\cdot)Φ(λ,⋅) and of near-optimal transport maps needs projection and measurable-selection theorems for analytic sets. The case analysis on whether the dual minimizer exceeds κ\kappaκ is forced by the possible non-differentiability of hhh at κ\kappaκ.

Formalization scope

  • Ξ\XiΞ carries MetricSpace, CompleteSpace, SecondCountableTopology and BorelSpace instances; ν\nuν is a probability measure; dpd^pdp is dist ξ ζ ^ p with real p≥1p\ge1p≥1.
  • Ψ\PsiΨ is assumed Borel measurable in addition to Ψ∈L1(ν)\Psi\in L^1(\nu)Ψ∈L1(ν); the paper's p. 5 states the theorem for a measurable Ψ\PsiΨ, and ∫Ψ dμ\int\Psi\,d\mu∫Ψdμ for μ≠ν\mu\ne\nuμ=ν requires it.
  • WppW_p^pWpp​ is the published RWPI.SqrtLasso.transportCost with cost dpd^pdp, an infimum over probability couplings in [0,∞][0,\infty][0,∞]; Wp(μ,ν)≤θW_p(\mu,\nu)\le\thetaWp​(μ,ν)≤θ is written Wpp(μ,ν)≤θpW_p^p(\mu,\nu)\le\theta^pWpp​(μ,ν)≤θp.
  • Integrals that may be infinite are the published ModelRiskOT.Duality.extIntegral, ∫φ+−∫φ−\int\varphi^+-\int\varphi^-∫φ+−∫φ− in [−∞,∞][-\infty,\infty][−∞,∞] (with ∞−∞=−∞\infty-\infty=-\infty∞−∞=−∞). Φ\PhiΦ, hhh, vPv_PvP​, vDv_DvD​ are EReal-valued; κ\kappaκ, D‾\overline DD, D‾\underline DD​ are ENNReal-valued, so κ=∞\kappa=\inftyκ=∞ is representable and the empty infimum is ∞\infty∞.
  • lim sup⁡ε↓0\limsup_{\varepsilon\downarrow0}limsupε↓0​ and lim inf⁡ε↓0\liminf_{\varepsilon\downarrow0}liminfε↓0​ in D‾\overline DD, D‾\underline DD​ are written as the monotone infimum and supremum over ε>0\varepsilon>0ε>0. ν\nuν-measurability is null-measurability for functions and almost-everywhere measurability for maps Ξ→Ξ\Xi\to\XiΞ→Ξ.
  • Repaired or adjusted statements: Lemma 4(i)'s sup inequality is stated for ε>0\varepsilon>0ε>0 (the printed ε=0\varepsilon=0ε=0 case fails when an arg min is empty); in Lemma 6, (7)'s weights p1,p2p_1,p_2p1​,p2​ are read as p1ε,p2εp_1^\varepsilon,p_2^\varepsilonp1ε​,p2ε​; Lemma 5(v) carries κ<∞\kappa<\inftyκ<∞; Lemma 4(iii)'s right derivative is a limit in (−∞,∞](-\infty,\infty](−∞,∞].
  • A trivializing formalization is ruled out: integrals are not Bochner integrals (which would give a non-integrable μ\muμ the value 000), κ\kappaκ is not a real infimum (which would give 000 when no λ\lambdaλ qualifies), and the supremum in vPv_PvP​ ranges over probability measures in the ball only, which is nonempty because it contains ν\nuν.

A complete development needs couplings and gluing in Mathlib's measure theory, the measurable projection theorem and a measurable selection theorem on Polish spaces, and one-sided derivatives of concave extended-valued functions; the first three are reusable well beyond this mission. Proofs of any milestone, alternative proofs of the goal (e.g. through the Blanchet–Murthy dual), and the companion result Proposition 2 (κ=∞⇒vP=vD=∞\kappa=\infty\Rightarrow v_P=v_D=\inftyκ=∞⇒vP​=vD​=∞) are welcome.

Selected references

  • R. Gao, A. J. Kleywegt, Distributionally Robust Stochastic Optimization with Wasserstein Distance, arXiv:1604.02199v3, 2022; Mathematics of Operations Research, 2023. https://arxiv.org/abs/1604.02199
  • P. Mohajerin Esfahani, D. Kuhn, Data-driven distributionally robust optimization using the Wasserstein metric: performance guarantees and tractable reformulations, Mathematical Programming 171, 2018. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10107-017-1172-1
  • J. Blanchet, K. Murthy, Quantifying distributional model risk via optimal transport, Mathematics of Operations Research 44(2), 2019. https://doi.org/10.1287/moor.2018.0936
  • C. Villani, Optimal Transport: Old and New, Springer, 2009. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-540-71050-9
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Algorithmic Game TheoryEconomicsOperations Research+1·Captain: mikedeng1

Dynamic Pricing in the Presence of Social Learning and Strategic Consumers 3: With Social Learning, Responsive Pricing Beats Pre-Announced Pricing When Consumers Are ImpatientResearch Paper

Motivation

A recurring question in revenue management with strategic consumers is whether a seller gains from price commitment. When customers are forward-looking, a seller who announces its whole price path in advance (pre-announced pricing) removes the customers' incentive to wait for a markdown the seller would otherwise be tempted to give; a seller who keeps the freedom to set later prices after observing the market (responsive pricing) cannot credibly promise not to cut prices. In the classical models without learning, commitment is valuable: Aviv and Pazgal (2008) find that announced pricing extracts more profit than contingent pricing from forward-looking customers, and Besanko and Winston (1990) analyse the responsive monopolist facing rational consumers.

Papanastasiou and Savva (Management Science, 2017) add social learning (SL): early buyers post product reviews, and the customers still in the market update their beliefs about the product's quality before deciding whether to buy later. The reviews create an informational reason to wait, and they also give the responsive seller something to respond to. This mission formalizes the paper's §7, which asks whether commitment remains valuable once learning is present, and its answer: for impatient consumers it is not.

Setting

A monopolist sells over two periods to a continuum of consumers of mass one. Consumer iii has a preference xix_ixi​, uniform on [0,1][0,1][0,1]. Mean product quality is unknown; consumers share the prior q~p∼N(0,σp2)\tilde q_p \sim N(0,\sigma_p^2)q~​p​∼N(0,σp2​), and reviews carry noise of variance σq2\sigma_q^2σq2​. The SL parameter is γ=σp2/σq2≥0\gamma = \sigma_p^2/\sigma_q^2 \ge 0γ=σp2​/σq2​≥0. Consumers discount second-period utility by δc∈[0,1]\delta_c \in [0,1]δc​∈[0,1]; the firm does not discount; the unit cost is c∈[0,1)c \in [0,1)c∈[0,1).

If a mass n1n_1n1​ of consumers buys in period 1, the posterior mean quq_uqu​ that the remaining consumers see is, before the reviews arrive, distributed as

qu∼N(0, σp2 n1γn1γ+1),q_u \sim N\Big(0,\ \sigma_p^2\,\frac{n_1\gamma}{n_1\gamma+1}\Big),qu​∼N(0, σp2​n1​γ+1n1​γ​),

the pre-posterior law (Lemma 1); when n1γ=0n_1\gamma = 0n1​γ=0 it is the point mass at 000. A remaining consumer of type xxx who buys in period 2 at price p2p_2p2​ gets x+qu−p2x + q_u - p_2x+qu​−p2​.

  • Pre-announced pricing. The firm commits to {p1,p2}\{p_1,p_2\}{p1​,p2​}. A measurable set B⊆[0,1]B\subseteq[0,1]B⊆[0,1] of first-period buyers is a purchasing equilibrium if each x∈Bx\in Bx∈B weakly prefers buying now, x−p1≥max⁡(0, δcE[(x+qu−p2)+])x-p_1 \ge \max\big(0,\ \delta_c E[(x+q_u-p_2)^+]\big)x−p1​≥max(0, δc​E[(x+qu​−p2​)+]), and each other type weakly prefers to wait, where quq_uqu​ has the pre-posterior law for n1=∣B∣n_1 = |B|n1​=∣B∣. The profit is (p1−c)∣B∣+(p2−c) E ∣{x∉B:x+qu≥p2}∣(p_1-c)|B| + (p_2-c)\,E\,|\{x\notin B : x+q_u\ge p_2\}|(p1​−c)∣B∣+(p2​−c)E∣{x∈/B:x+qu​≥p2​}∣.
  • Responsive pricing. The firm sets p1p_1p1​, observes quq_uqu​ and then sets p2=s(qu)p_2 = s(q_u)p2​=s(qu​), where sss must maximize the second-period profit (p2−c) ∣{x∉B:x+qu≥p2}∣(p_2-c)\,|\{x\notin B: x+q_u\ge p_2\}|(p2​−c)∣{x∈/B:x+qu​≥p2​}∣ at every quq_uqu​; BBB is a purchasing equilibrium given sss. Lemma 3 identifies the optimal second-period price p2∗(qu,xˉ)p_2^*(q_u,\bar x)p2∗​(qu​,xˉ) of equation (6), where xˉ\bar xxˉ is the remaining mass.

The optimal values πp∗\pi^*_pπp∗​ and πr∗\pi^*_rπr∗​ are the suprema of expected profit over all prices and all equilibria. In Lean these are preValue P and respValue P for a parameter record P : Params, and P.withδc d is the same model with discount factor ddd; "absence of SL" is P.noSL, the same model with γ=0\gamma = 0γ=0.

Formalization targets

Goal: Proposition 8

In the presence of SL there is a threshold T(γ)∈(0,1]T(\gamma)\in(0,1]T(γ)∈(0,1] such that

πp∗(δc)<πr∗(δc)for all δc∈[0,T(γ)],\pi^*_p(\delta_c) < \pi^*_r(\delta_c)\qquad\text{for all }\delta_c\in[0,T(\gamma)],πp∗​(δc​)<πr∗​(δc​)for all δc​∈[0,T(γ)],

with σp\sigma_pσp​, γ>0\gamma > 0γ>0 and ccc fixed on both sides. The threshold is not specified; only its positivity is claimed.

Milestones

  1. For δc=0\delta_c = 0δc​=0 the pre-announced purchasing threshold is θ(p1,p2)=p1\theta(p_1,p_2) = p_1θ(p1​,p2​)=p1​ (proof of Example 1).
  2. Lemma 3: the second-period price (6) is optimal for every quq_uqu​, xˉ\bar xxˉ, uniquely so outside the exit region.
  3. For δc=0\delta_c = 0δc​=0 the responsive purchasing threshold is ζ(p1)=p1\zeta(p_1) = p_1ζ(p1​)=p1​ (proof of Lemma 4).
  4. With SL and δc=0\delta_c = 0δc​=0: πp∗<πr∗\pi^*_p < \pi^*_rπp∗​<πr∗​.
  5. With SL, πp∗\pi^*_pπp∗​ and πr∗\pi^*_rπr∗​ are finite and continuous in δc∈[0,1]\delta_c\in[0,1]δc​∈[0,1].

Companion: Proposition 7

Without SL (γ=0\gamma = 0γ=0), both values are finite and

πbp∗−πbr∗=δc2(1−c)2(1−δc)4(9−2δc2−3δc)≥0,\pi^*_{bp}-\pi^*_{br} = \frac{\delta_c^2(1-c)^2(1-\delta_c)}{4(9-2\delta_c^2-3\delta_c)} \ge 0,πbp∗​−πbr∗​=4(9−2δc2​−3δc​)δc2​(1−c)2(1−δc​)​≥0,

strictly positive for δc∈(0,1)\delta_c\in(0,1)δc​∈(0,1).

Significance

The two propositions together reverse a standard prediction. Without learning, commitment weakly dominates (Proposition 7, consistent with Aviv and Pazgal 2008). With learning and impatient consumers, flexibility strictly dominates (Proposition 8): the value of reacting to reviews outweighs the cost of being unable to commit. The paper's numerical study (Figure 4) suggests that the threshold equals one for moderate γ\gammaγ, so that responsive pricing wins for every discount factor; that numerical claim is not a theorem of the paper and is not posed here.

The results are proved in the paper; to the best of current knowledge none of them has a machine-checked proof. Formalizing them requires a rigorous treatment of a continuum purchasing game whose equilibrium is defined through a Gaussian law whose variance depends on the equilibrium itself, the subgame-perfect second-period pricing rule, and the continuity of optimal values in a parameter.

Difficulty

The comparison at δc=0\delta_c = 0δc​=0 is elementary in spirit: myopic consumers buy early exactly when x≥p1x\ge p_1x≥p1​, so the two regimes produce the same reviews for the same p1p_1p1​, and the responsive firm can only do better state by state. Turning this into a strict inequality between two suprema requires a uniform gap, not just a pointwise one, because the paper's argument assumes an optimal pre-announced plan exists.

The step that extends the result to δc>0\delta_c > 0δc​>0 is the paper's appeal to the Maximum Theorem. It needs the expected profit to be jointly continuous in the prices and in δc\delta_cδc​ over a compact set of relevant plans. But the expected profit depends on δc\delta_cδc​ through the equilibrium threshold, which is defined implicitly by an indifference equation whose Gaussian kernel itself depends on the threshold (equations (3) and (9)), and equilibria are sets of types, not numbers. Continuity of the optimal value therefore requires continuity and uniqueness of these implicit thresholds, and a reduction of both suprema to compact sets of prices.

Formalization scope

The model is one shared definition module (SLPricing.Compare.Model), plus the formula (6) as p2Star. Conventions it commits to:

  • Standing assumptions σp>0\sigma_p > 0σp​>0, γ≥0\gamma\ge0γ≥0, δc∈[0,1]\delta_c\in[0,1]δc​∈[0,1], c∈[0,1)c\in[0,1)c∈[0,1); the firm's discount factor is 111; pure strategies.
  • Consumer types are [0,1][0,1][0,1] with Lebesgue measure; equilibria use weak best responses, so buyer sets are unique only up to null sets.
  • The benchmark "absence of SL" is γ=0\gamma = 0γ=0, where the pre-posterior law is the Dirac mass at 000 (the paper's limit γ→0\gamma\to0γ→0).
  • The responsive second-period rule sss is measurable and optimal at every realization of quq_uqu​; in the exit region qu≤c−xˉq_u\le c-\bar xqu​≤c−xˉ any maximizer is allowed, since every one sells nothing.
  • Optimal values are extended-real suprema over all real prices and all equilibria.

Added hypotheses, disclosed in each item: p1∈[0,1]p_1\in[0,1]p1​∈[0,1] in the two threshold milestones; xˉ>0\bar x > 0xˉ>0 for the uniqueness clause of Lemma 3. Proposition 7's "higher" is stated as the proof states it: non-negative gap on [0,1][0,1][0,1], strict on (0,1)(0,1)(0,1).

The comparison is meaningful only because the responsive firm cannot commit. Enlarging the responsive regime to arbitrary second-period rules, or defining either optimal value as a real supremum (whose junk value is 000 on unbounded sets), would make the goal trivial or empty; both are excluded by the definitions. Hard-wiring the thresholds θ\thetaθ, ζ\zetaζ or the price (6) into the definitions would make the milestones definitional; they are theorems here.

A complete development needs: Gaussian expectations of piecewise-linear functions of quq_uqu​ and their continuity in the variance; the implicit-function argument for the thresholds; a Maximum Theorem (Berge) for the optimal values. The Gaussian convex-order and Maximum-Theorem pieces are reusable well beyond this mission, and contributions of them as separate theorems are welcome.

Selected references

  • Y. Papanastasiou, N. Savva, Dynamic Pricing in the Presence of Social Learning and Strategic Consumers, Management Science 63(4):919–939, 2017. https://doi.org/10.1287/mnsc.2015.2378 (accepted manuscript MS-14-00028.R2, 2016, is the source of all indices).
  • Y. Aviv, A. Pazgal, Optimal pricing of seasonal products in the presence of forward-looking consumers, Manufacturing & Service Operations Management 10(3):339–359, 2008. https://doi.org/10.1287/msom.1070.0183
  • D. Besanko, W. L. Winston, Optimal price skimming by a monopolist facing rational consumers, Management Science 36(5):555–567, 1990. https://doi.org/10.1287/mnsc.36.5.555
  • R. K. Sundaram, A First Course in Optimization Theory, Cambridge University Press, 1996 (Theorem 9.14, the Maximum Theorem). https://doi.org/10.1017/CBO9780511804526
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Operations ResearchOptimizationProbability·Captain: mikedeng1

Trade Credit, Risk Sharing, and Inventory Financing Portfolios: The Optimal Contract Always Uses Trade Credit, with Net Terms for Costless Default or High Cash and Two-Part Terms for Low CashResearch Paper

Why trade credit terms matter

Most business-to-business sales are not paid in cash on delivery. The supplier lets the buyer pay later, which is trade credit, and often offers a discount for paying early. In the classic "2/10 net 30" the buyer gets 2% off for paying within 10 days and otherwise owes the full price in 30 days. Trade credit is a major source of short-term finance for firms. Empirical work documents both forms of contract: net terms, with one price and no discount, and two-part terms, with an early-payment discount. The discounts are large, and they vary a lot from one buyer to another (Petersen and Rajan 1997; Klapper, Laeven and Rajan 2012). The implied interest rate on a forgone discount is often far above a bank loan's. This raises two questions: why do cash-poor buyers use trade credit at all, and when should a supplier offer a discount?

Yang and Birge (Management Science 2018) answer this in a supplier–retailer model with a financially constrained retailer, who can finance inventory with a bank loan, with trade credit, or with both. Their answer is risk sharing. Trade credit is repaid out of realized sales, so the supplier bears part of the demand risk. She can therefore induce a larger order than a price-only contract does. The model builds on the selling-to-the-newsvendor model of Lariviere and Porteus (2001), and it complements the supplier-versus-bank analysis of Kouvelis and Zhao (2012). This mission formalizes the paper's main result on the structure of the optimal contract.

The model

A retailer buys a single good from a supplier at unit cost ccc and sells it at unit price p=1p=1p=1. Demand is random with density fff on [0,∞)[0,\infty)[0,∞). Its distribution function is F(x)=∫0xfF(x)=\int_0^x fF(x)=∫0x​f, the complementary distribution function is Fˉ=1−F\bar F=1-FFˉ=1−F, the failure rate is h=f/Fˉh=f/\bar Fh=f/Fˉ, and the generalized failure rate is g(x)=x h(x)g(x)=x\,h(x)g(x)=xh(x). Demand has an increasing failure rate (IFR). The retailer has cash K>0K>0K>0.

The supplier offers a cash price wcw_cwc​ and a credit price wtw_twt​, with c≤wc≤wt≤1c\le w_c\le w_t\le 1c≤wc​≤wt​≤1. The early-payment discount is dt=1−wc/wtd_t=1-w_c/w_tdt​=1−wc​/wt​. If the retailer's cash does not cover his cash purchases, he borrows from a competitive bank. The bank loan is senior to trade credit. A bank and a supplier recovering a defaulted claim lose fractions αb\alpha_bαb​ and αt\alpha_tαt​ of what they recover, with αb,αt∈[0,1]\alpha_b,\alpha_t\in[0,1]αb​,αt​∈[0,1].

Default is described by two thresholds. The bank-loan default threshold θb\theta_bθb​ is the demand below which the bank is not repaid in full, and it equals the amount owed to the bank. The trade-credit default threshold θt≥θb\theta_t\ge\theta_bθt​≥θb​ is the demand below which the supplier is not repaid in full. The retailer uses a bank loan iff θb>0\theta_b>0θb​>0, and uses trade credit iff θt>θb\theta_t>\theta_bθt​>θb​.

The paper shows (p. 13) that the supplier's problem can be written in the thresholds alone. Let

F^b(x)=Fˉ(x)[1−αbg(x)],C(θ)=K+∫0θF^bF^b(θ)−θ,\hat F_b(x)=\bar F(x)[1-\alpha_b g(x)],\qquad C(\theta)=\frac{K+\int_0^\theta\hat F_b}{\hat F_b(\theta)}-\theta,F^b​(x)=Fˉ(x)[1−αb​g(x)],C(θ)=F^b​(θ)K+∫0θ​F^b​​−θ, Q(θb,θt)=min⁡{q≥0: qFˉ(q)=[θt+C(θb)]Fˉ(θt)}.Q(\theta_b,\theta_t)=\min\{q\ge0:\ q\bar F(q)=[\theta_t+C(\theta_b)]\bar F(\theta_t)\}.Q(θb​,θt​)=min{q≥0: qFˉ(q)=[θt​+C(θb​)]Fˉ(θt​)}.

The retailer orders QQQ, the prices are wt=Fˉ(Q)/Fˉ(θt)w_t=\bar F(Q)/\bar F(\theta_t)wt​=Fˉ(Q)/Fˉ(θt​) and wc=F^b(θb)wtw_c=\hat F_b(\theta_b)w_twc​=F^b​(θb​)wt​, and the discount is dt=1−F^b(θb)d_t=1-\hat F_b(\theta_b)dt​=1−F^b​(θb​). The supplier's expected profit is

Πs=K+∫0θtFˉ(x) dx−c Q(θb,θt)−[αb∫0θbx dF(x)+αt∫θbθt(x−θb) dF(x)].\Pi_s=K+\int_0^{\theta_t}\bar F(x)\,dx-c\,Q(\theta_b,\theta_t)-\Big[\alpha_b\int_0^{\theta_b}x\,dF(x)+\alpha_t\int_{\theta_b}^{\theta_t}(x-\theta_b)\,dF(x)\Big].Πs​=K+∫0θt​​Fˉ(x)dx−cQ(θb​,θt​)−[αb​∫0θb​​xdF(x)+αt​∫θb​θt​​(x−θb​)dF(x)].

She maximizes Πs\Pi_sΠs​ over a domain Θ\ThetaΘ of thresholds. A maximizer is an optimal trade credit contract. Net terms correspond to θb∗=0\theta_b^*=0θb∗​=0, which is dt∗=0d_t^*=0dt∗​=0. Two-part terms correspond to θb∗>0\theta_b^*>0θb∗​>0.

Formalization targets

Goal: Proposition 3 (p. 15)

For every optimal contract (θb∗,θt∗)(\theta_b^*,\theta_t^*)(θb∗​,θt∗​):

θt∗>0 ⟹ θb∗<θt∗(trade credit is always used).\theta_t^*>0\ \Longrightarrow\ \theta_b^*<\theta_t^*\qquad(\text{trade credit is always used}).θt∗​>0 ⟹ θb∗​<θt∗​(trade credit is always used).

If αt=0\alpha_t=0αt​=0, or if KKK is sufficiently large, then θb∗=0\theta_b^*=0θb∗​=0 and dt∗=0d_t^*=0dt∗​=0 (net terms, no bank loan). If αt>0\alpha_t>0αt​>0 and KKK is sufficiently small, then

0<θb∗<θt∗,dt∗>0(two-part terms, both bank loan and trade credit).0<\theta_b^*<\theta_t^*,\qquad d_t^*>0\qquad(\text{two-part terms, both bank loan and trade credit}).0<θb∗​<θt∗​,dt∗​>0(two-part terms, both bank loan and trade credit).

"Sufficiently large" and "sufficiently small" are existential thresholds on KKK that depend on the data (f,c,αb,αt)(f,c,\alpha_b,\alpha_t)(f,c,αb​,αt​), not on the contract.

Milestones

They are listed in the order the proof uses them:

  1. Lemma C.4: CCC is increasing, and convex when αb=0\alpha_b=0αb​=0.
  2. Corollary 3: QQQ increases in θb\theta_bθb​ and in θt\theta_tθt​.
  3. Lemma C.8: at αb=0\alpha_b=0αb​=0, Πs\Pi_sΠs​ is concave in θb\theta_bθb​.
  4. Lemma C.7: QQQ increases in αb\alpha_bαb​ and KKK.
  5. Lemma C.9: Πs\Pi_sΠs​ is concave in θt\theta_tθt​.
  6. Proposition 6, first sentence: Πs∗\Pi_s^*Πs∗​ decreases in αb\alpha_bαb​ and αt\alpha_tαt​.

Significance

Proposition 3 is the paper's prediction about inventory financing portfolios. Once the supplier sets the terms, a retailer who needs external financing always uses trade credit. Early-payment discounts appear only when supplier default is costly and the retailer is cash-poor. A discount is then the supplier's way of moving part of the financing to the bank. The paper uses this to explain why discounts go to small, risky buyers, as observed by Klapper et al. (2012). The comparative statics of §5 (Propositions 4–6) are built on the same reduced problem.

The result is proved on paper but has not been formalized. The appendix lemmas it rests on (C.4, C.7, C.8, C.9) are stated without proof ("available upon request"). A machine-checked development would therefore settle whether these lemmas hold on the domain where the paper uses them. It would also produce a reusable library: IFR demand with failure rates, the bank-loan pricing kernel F^b\hat F_bF^b​, and the implicit order quantity QQQ.

Difficulty

The order quantity QQQ is defined implicitly, as the smaller root of a unimodal equation, and the paper's arguments differentiate through it with the implicit function theorem. Every derivative of Πs\Pi_sΠs​ therefore involves 1/(Fˉ(Q)[1−g(Q)])1/(\bar F(Q)[1-g(Q)])1/(Fˉ(Q)[1−g(Q)]), which blows up at the edge of Θ\ThetaΘ where Q=g−1(1)Q=g^{-1}(1)Q=g−1(1). The density is only assumed continuous, so F^b\hat F_bF^b​ and CCC need not be differentiable when αb>0\alpha_b>0αb​>0. Monotonicity and concavity have to be argued from the integral forms, or under a smoothness assumption the paper does not state.

The obvious argument for "sufficiently large KKK" also fails. It perturbs the optimum at KKK just below M∗=g−1(1)Fˉ(g−1(1))M^*=g^{-1}(1)\bar F(g^{-1}(1))M∗=g−1(1)Fˉ(g−1(1)), but there the domain shrinks to a sliver near θt=0\theta_t=0θt​=0, and the derivative of Πs\Pi_sΠs​ in θt\theta_tθt​ at θt=0\theta_t=0θt​=0 can be negative. For exponential demand it tends to −∞-\infty−∞ as K→M∗K\to M^*K→M∗. The proof's claim that θt∗>0\theta_t^*>0θt∗​>0 there is not part of the theorem. Part 1 for general αb\alpha_bαb​ is reduced to αb=0\alpha_b=0αb​=0 through Proposition 6, which requires comparing optima over domains that themselves depend on αb\alpha_bαb​.

Formalization scope

All objects live in TradeCredit.Terms.Model.

Demand. Demand is a density f:R→Rf:\mathbb R\to\mathbb Rf:R→R that is continuous on [0,∞)[0,\infty)[0,∞), positive on [0,∞)[0,\infty)[0,∞), zero on (−∞,0)(-\infty,0)(−∞,0), integrable with total mass 111, and has a weakly increasing failure rate on [0,∞)[0,\infty)[0,∞). FFF is the interval integral of fff from 000. The normalizations are p=1p=1p=1 and s=0s=0s=0. The parameters satisfy 0<c<10<c<10<c<1, αb,αt∈[0,1]\alpha_b,\alpha_t\in[0,1]αb​,αt​∈[0,1] and K>0K>0K>0.

Domain. Θ\ThetaΘ is the printed set of Corollary 3 (θt≥θb≥0\theta_t\ge\theta_b\ge0θt​≥θb​≥0 and [θt+C(θb)]Fˉ(θt)≤M∗[\theta_t+C(\theta_b)]\bar F(\theta_t)\le M^*[θt​+C(θb​)]Fˉ(θt​)≤M∗) plus two pinned constraints: θt≤Q(θb,θt)\theta_t\le Q(\theta_b,\theta_t)θt​≤Q(θb​,θt​) (that is, wt≤1w_t\le1wt​≤1) and c≤wcc\le w_cc≤wc​. These are the image under (11) of §3.1's c≤wc≤wt≤1c\le w_c\le w_t\le 1c≤wc​≤wt​≤1, which the printed Θ\ThetaΘ omits.

Statements. QQQ is the infimum of the nonnegative roots. "The optimal contract" means every maximizer of Πs\Pi_sΠs​ on Θ\ThetaΘ. Existence of a maximizer is not asserted; the paper does not prove it. Monotonicity is weak, and concavity is Mathlib's ConcaveOn on the sections of Θ\ThetaΘ. Proposition 6 is stated by comparing attained values with Πs∗=sup⁡ΘΠs\Pi_s^*=\sup_\Theta\Pi_sΠs∗​=supΘ​Πs​.

Not in scope. The retailer's best response (Proposition 1) and the bijection between thresholds and contracts are not formalized. The goal is about the paper's own reduced problem. Lemma 1's first-order conditions are not a milestone: as printed they fail at a corner optimum θb∗=θt∗=0\theta_b^*=\theta_t^*=0θb∗​=θt∗​=0, and they need C′C'C′, which is not defined under a merely continuous density.

Ruling out trivialization. The large-KKK clause quantifies over K∈[K‾,M∗)K\in[\underline K,M^*)K∈[K​,M∗) with K‾<M∗\underline K<M^*K​<M∗. For K≥M∗K\ge M^*K≥M∗ the domain Θ\ThetaΘ has no point with θt>0\theta_t>0θt​>0 and every "for every optimal contract" statement holds vacuously, so a large-KKK clause that reached only those values would be empty.

Welcome contributions. Lemmas on IFR densities (positivity of Fˉ\bar FFˉ, finiteness of the mean, monotonicity of ggg and existence of g−1(1)g^{-1}(1)g−1(1)), the root structure of qFˉ(q)q\bar F(q)qFˉ(q), and boundedness of Πs\Pi_sΠs​ on Θ\ThetaΘ are reusable beyond this paper.

Source. The source PDF is the authors' accepted manuscript (LBS Research Online, eprint 801). All page numbers are the manuscript's.

Selected references

  • S. A. Yang, J. R. Birge, Trade Credit, Risk Sharing, and Inventory Financing Portfolios, Management Science 64(8), 2018. https://doi.org/10.1287/mnsc.2017.2799
  • M. A. Lariviere, E. L. Porteus, Selling to the Newsvendor: An Analysis of Price-Only Contracts, Manufacturing & Service Operations Management 3(4), 2001. https://doi.org/10.1287/msom.3.4.293.9971
  • P. Kouvelis, W. Zhao, Financing the Newsvendor: Supplier vs. Bank, and the Structure of Optimal Trade Credit Contracts, Operations Research 60(3), 2012. https://doi.org/10.1287/opre.1120.1040
  • M. A. Petersen, R. G. Rajan, Trade Credit: Theories and Evidence, Review of Financial Studies 10(3), 1997. https://doi.org/10.1093/rfs/10.3.661
  • L. Klapper, L. Laeven, R. Rajan, Trade Credit Contracts, Review of Financial Studies 25(3), 2012. https://doi.org/10.1093/rfs/hhr122
8 thms1 active userReviewed
Algorithmic Game TheoryEconomicsOperations Research+1·Captain: mikedeng1

Dynamic Pricing in the Presence of Social Learning and Strategic Consumers 2: Under Responsive Pricing, Social Learning Raises Optimal Expected Profit When Consumers Are Impatient or PatientResearch Paper

Motivation

A firm launching a new experience good does not know how good the product is, and neither do its customers. Early buyers post reviews, and customers who wait learn from them: this is social learning (SL). Forward-looking customers anticipate this and may delay their purchase until reviews are available, which cuts into the firm's early sales. Papanastasiou and Savva (Management Science 2017) ask whether SL helps or hurts a monopolist facing such strategic consumers.

This mission formalizes their answer for responsive pricing, where the firm cannot commit to a second-period price and instead sets it after observing the reviews. Without learning, this is the classical price-skimming game of Besanko and Winston (1990), in which a firm without commitment power is hurt by consumer patience. With learning, two effects compete: reviews make the second-period market more informative (an informational effect the firm can exploit by repricing), and the option to learn makes waiting more attractive (a behavioral effect that hurts the firm).

Setting

A monopolist sells over two periods at unit cost c∈[0,1)c\in[0,1)c∈[0,1) to a unit mass of consumers with preference types xxx uniform on [0,1][0,1][0,1]. The mean quality is unknown, with prior N(0,σp2)N(0,\sigma_p^2)N(0,σp2​), and reviews are noisy with variance σq2\sigma_q^2σq2​; the SL influence parameter is γ=σp2/σq2≥0\gamma=\sigma_p^2/\sigma_q^2\ge0γ=σp2​/σq2​≥0. Consumers discount second-period utility by δc∈[0,1]\delta_c\in[0,1]δc​∈[0,1]; the firm does not discount.

If a set B⊆[0,1]B\subseteq[0,1]B⊆[0,1] of types buys in period 1, its mass ∣B∣|B|∣B∣ is the mass of reviews, and the posterior mean quq_uqu​, seen from period 1, has the pre-posterior law N(0,σp2 ∣B∣γ∣B∣γ+1)N\big(0,\sigma_p^2\,\tfrac{|B|\gamma}{|B|\gamma+1}\big)N(0,σp2​∣B∣γ+1∣B∣γ​) (Lemma 1 and Definition 1 of the paper). In period 2 the remaining types value the product at x+qux+q_ux+qu​.

Under responsive pricing the firm sets p1p_1p1​; consumers decide whether to buy now or wait; reviews realize quq_uqu​; the firm sets p2=s(qu)p_2=s(q_u)p2​=s(qu​) to maximize the second-period profit

π2(p2)=(p2−c) ∣{x∈[0,1]∖B: x+qu≥p2}∣.\pi_2(p_2)=(p_2-c)\,\big|\{x\in[0,1]\setminus B:\ x+q_u\ge p_2\}\big|.π2​(p2​)=(p2​−c)​{x∈[0,1]∖B: x+qu​≥p2​}​.

An equilibrium after p1p_1p1​ is a measurable buyer set BBB and a measurable rule sss that is optimal at every quq_uqu​, such that every type in BBB weakly prefers x−p1x-p_1x−p1​ to the discounted expected value δc E[(x+qu−s(qu))+]\delta_c\,\mathbb E[(x+q_u-s(q_u))^+]δc​E[(x+qu​−s(qu​))+] of waiting, and every type outside BBB weakly prefers waiting. The firm's expected profit is πr=(p1−c)∣B∣+E[π2(s(qu))]\pi_r=(p_1-c)|B|+\mathbb E[\pi_2(s(q_u))]πr​=(p1​−c)∣B∣+E[π2​(s(qu​))], and πr∗\pi_r^*πr∗​ is its supremum over all p1p_1p1​ and all equilibria. The benchmark "absence of SL" (γ→0\gamma\to0γ→0 in the paper) is the same model at γ=0\gamma=0γ=0, where qu=0q_u=0qu​=0 with certainty.

Formalization targets

Goal: Proposition 6

γ>0 ⟹ ∃ Δlr∈(0,1], Δhr∈[0,1):δc≤Δlr or δc≥Δhr ⟹ πr∗∣γ>πr∗∣γ=0.\gamma>0\ \Longrightarrow\ \exists\,\Delta_{lr}\in(0,1],\ \Delta_{hr}\in[0,1):\quad \delta_c\le\Delta_{lr}\ \text{or}\ \delta_c\ge\Delta_{hr}\ \Longrightarrow\ \pi_r^*\big|_{\gamma}>\pi_r^*\big|_{\gamma=0}.γ>0 ⟹ ∃Δlr​∈(0,1], Δhr​∈[0,1):δc​≤Δlr​ or δc​≥Δhr​ ⟹ πr∗​​γ​>πr∗​​γ=0​.

The thresholds are left unspecified; the statement asserts only that SL raises the optimal profit near both ends of the patience range.

Milestones

  1. Lemma 3: the second-period price p2∗(qu,xˉ)p_2^*(q_u,\bar x)p2∗​(qu​,xˉ) of (6) is optimal when [0,xˉ)[0,\bar x)[0,xˉ) remains.
  2. (5): without SL, the first-period buyers are the types x≥χ(p1)=2p1−cδc2−δcx\ge\chi(p_1)=\frac{2p_1-c\delta_c}{2-\delta_c}x≥χ(p1​)=2−δc​2p1​−cδc​​.
  3. Proposition 4: the benchmark optimum p1∗=2c+δc2(1−c)+4(1−δc)6−4δcp_1^*=\frac{2c+\delta_c^2(1-c)+4(1-\delta_c)}{6-4\delta_c}p1∗​=6−4δc​2c+δc2​(1−c)+4(1−δc​)​, p2∗=χ(p1∗)+c2p_2^*=\frac{\chi(p_1^*)+c}{2}p2∗​=2χ(p1∗​)+c​, and monotonicity in δc\delta_cδc​.
  4. Lemma 4: with SL, the first-period threshold ζ(p1)\zeta(p_1)ζ(p1​) solves the implicit equation (7).
  5. (8): the expected profit as a function of the threshold (with a corrected integrand).
  6. Proposition 5: adoption inertia is never optimal; the on-path second-period price.
  7. Example 3: the endpoint δc=0\delta_c=0δc​=0.
  8. Continuity of πr∗\pi_r^*πr∗​ in δc∈[0,1]\delta_c\in[0,1]δc​∈[0,1] (proof of Proposition 6).

Significance

The result shows that the benefit of reviews to a firm that reprices dynamically, previously established for non-strategic consumers, survives when consumers strategically wait for information. It is one half of the paper's comparison between commitment and responsiveness: under SL the firm's flexibility to react to reviews becomes valuable, which reverses the classical ranking of pre-announced over responsive pricing.

The paper proves the result on paper only. This mission produces a machine-checked model of a two-period game with a continuum of consumers, Bayesian learning and subgame-perfect pricing, and machine-checked versions of the equilibrium characterizations. The paper's numerical evidence that the result holds for all δc\delta_cδc​ is not part of the goal.

Difficulty

The first-period threshold is defined implicitly: in (7) the law of quq_uqu​ has a variance that depends on the threshold itself, and the second-period price inside the integral is a piecewise function of both. Existence, uniqueness and the comparison with the benchmark all go through this fixed-point equation.

The endpoint δc=1\delta_c=1δc​=1 relies on Proposition 5(i), that inducing adoption inertia is strictly suboptimal. At δc=1\delta_c=1δc​=1 the alternative price used in the printed proof yields exactly the inertia profit, so this endpoint is not settled by the page's witness. Passing from the two endpoints to the thresholds requires continuity of an optimal value taken over an unbounded price set and over implicitly defined equilibria; the paper cites the Maximum Theorem, whose hypotheses must be established.

Formalization scope

Everything lives in namespace SLPricing.Resp. The model file is shared, verbatim, with the two other missions of this series. Conventions:

  • Standing assumptions: σp>0\sigma_p>0σp​>0, γ≥0\gamma\ge0γ≥0, δc∈[0,1]\delta_c\in[0,1]δc​∈[0,1], c∈[0,1)c\in[0,1)c∈[0,1); firm discount factor 111; pure strategies.
  • Best responses are weak, so buyer sets are unique only up to null sets.
  • The second-period rule must be optimal at every realization and measurable. In the exit region qu≤c−xˉq_u\le c-\bar xqu​≤c−xˉ every optimal price sells nothing; (6)'s value ccc is a convention there.
  • Optimal values are suprema in EReal over all real prices and all their equilibria, so neither an empty nor an unbounded family produces a junk value. Defining πr∗\pi_r^*πr∗​ as the profit at a closed-form price, or the benchmark by dropping the second period, would make the goal circular; the formalization does neither.
  • The thresholds are in the half-open intervals of the page; closed intervals would make the goal trivial.

Hypotheses added or restricted relative to the page, each disclosed in its item:

  • (5) assumes p1≥cp_1\ge cp1​≥c (the printed formula is wrong below cost) and states uniqueness for δc<1\delta_c<1δc​<1 (at δc=1\delta_c=1δc​=1 non-threshold equilibria exist).
  • Proposition 4 states uniqueness only for δc<1\delta_c<1δc​<1 (at δc=1\delta_c=1δc​=1 every p1≥(1+c)/2p_1\ge(1+c)/2p1​≥(1+c)/2 is optimal).
  • Lemma 4 assumes p1≥0p_1\ge0p1​≥0; its monotonicity sentence is not posed.
  • Lemma 3's uniqueness assumes xˉ>0\bar x>0xˉ>0 and qu>c−xˉq_u>c-\bar xqu​>c−xˉ.
  • (8) is stated with last integrand ζ(qu−c)\zeta(q_u-c)ζ(qu​−c); the page prints ζqu\zeta q_uζqu​, which contradicts the proof of Lemma 3.

Contributions welcome: Gaussian integral estimates for (7), the second-period optimization of Lemma 3, a witness against inertia at δc=1\delta_c=1δc​=1, and a continuity argument for optimal values over parametrized equilibria, which is reusable for the series' other missions.

Selected references

  • Y. Papanastasiou, N. Savva, Dynamic Pricing in the Presence of Social Learning and Strategic Consumers, Management Science 63(4):919–939, 2017. https://doi.org/10.1287/mnsc.2015.2378 (cited from the accepted manuscript MS-14-00028.R2, 2016)
  • D. Besanko, W. L. Winston, Optimal Price Skimming by a Monopolist Facing Rational Consumers, Management Science 36(5):555–567, 1990. https://doi.org/10.1287/mnsc.36.5.555
  • Y. Aviv, A. Pazgal, Optimal Pricing of Seasonal Products in the Presence of Forward-Looking Consumers, Manufacturing & Service Operations Management 10(3):339–359, 2008. https://doi.org/10.1287/msom.1070.0183
  • R. K. Sundaram, A First Course in Optimization Theory, Cambridge University Press, 1996. https://doi.org/10.1017/CBO9780511804526
12 thms1 active userReviewed
Convex OptimizationOptimization·Captain: mikedeng1

DC Programming and DCA: Thirty Years of Developments: For f = g − h with g, h ∈ Γ₀(ℝⁿ), at x ∈ ri(dom g) ∩ ri(dom h) d-Stationarity of f Is Equivalent to Strong Criticality ∅ ≠ ∂h(x) ⊂ ∂g(x)Research Paper

Motivation

DC programming is the minimization of a function f=g−hf = g - hf=g−h that is a difference of two convex functions. The class contains every C2C^2C2 function on a compact convex set and most nonconvex models of sparse learning, clustering, combinatorial relaxations and robust optimization, and its standard method, the DC Algorithm (DCA), replaces hhh by its affine minorant at the current iterate and solves a convex program at each step. DCA was introduced by Pham Dinh Tao in 1985 and developed jointly with Le Thi Hoai An from 1994 on (Pham Dinh & Le Thi 1998); the survey of Le Thi & Pham Dinh 2018 collects thirty years of that work.

DCA is guaranteed to reach critical or strongly critical points, notions that depend on the chosen decomposition g−hg - hg−h, while a decomposition-free notion, directional (d-)stationarity of fff itself, is what a user of a nonconvex model usually wants. Ahn, Pang & Xin 2017 warned that DC criticality can be much weaker than d-stationarity. Theorem 1 of the 2018 survey (p. 9) states when the two coincide. Its proof is omitted in the paper ("can be easily deduced … It is omitted here").

Setting

Let X=RnX = \mathbb R^nX=Rn with the canonical inner product ⟨⋅,⋅⟩\langle\cdot,\cdot\rangle⟨⋅,⋅⟩. Functions take values in R∪{±∞}\mathbb R\cup\{\pm\infty\}R∪{±∞}. The effective domain of φ\varphiφ is dom⁡φ={x:φ(x)<+∞}\operatorname{dom}\varphi = \{x : \varphi(x) < +\infty\}domφ={x:φ(x)<+∞}, and Γ0(X)\Gamma_0(X)Γ0​(X) is the set of proper, lower semicontinuous, convex functions X→R∪{+∞}X \to \mathbb R\cup\{+\infty\}X→R∪{+∞}.

The standard DC program is

(Pdc)α=inf⁡{f(x):=g(x)−h(x):x∈X},g,h∈Γ0(X),(P_{dc})\qquad \alpha = \inf\{f(x) := g(x) - h(x) : x\in X\},\qquad g, h\in\Gamma_0(X),(Pdc​)α=inf{f(x):=g(x)−h(x):x∈X},g,h∈Γ0​(X),

with the convention +∞−(+∞)=+∞+\infty - (+\infty) = +\infty+∞−(+∞)=+∞, and α\alphaα is assumed finite. Finiteness of α\alphaα forces dom⁡g⊂dom⁡h\operatorname{dom} g\subset\operatorname{dom} hdomg⊂domh, so dom⁡f=dom⁡g\operatorname{dom} f = \operatorname{dom} gdomf=domg.

The subdifferential of φ\varphiφ at xxx is

∂φ(x)={y∈X:φ(x)<+∞, φ(v)≥φ(x)+⟨y,v−x⟩  ∀v∈X}.\partial\varphi(x) = \{y\in X : \varphi(x) < +\infty,\ \varphi(v) \ge \varphi(x) + \langle y, v - x\rangle\ \ \forall v\in X\}.∂φ(x)={y∈X:φ(x)<+∞, φ(v)≥φ(x)+⟨y,v−x⟩  ∀v∈X}.

A point xxx is strongly critical for f=g−hf = g - hf=g−h if ∅≠∂h(x)⊂∂g(x)\emptyset \ne \partial h(x)\subset\partial g(x)∅=∂h(x)⊂∂g(x).

The directional derivative of φ\varphiφ at x∈dom⁡φx\in\operatorname{dom}\varphix∈domφ in direction uuu is φ′(x;u)=lim⁡t↓0(φ(x+tu)−φ(x))/t\varphi'(x;u) = \lim_{t\downarrow 0}(\varphi(x+tu) - \varphi(x))/tφ′(x;u)=limt↓0​(φ(x+tu)−φ(x))/t. For convex φ\varphiφ it equals inf⁡t>0(φ(x+tu)−φ(x))/t\inf_{t>0}(\varphi(x+tu)-\varphi(x))/tinft>0​(φ(x+tu)−φ(x))/t. A point x∈dom⁡fx\in\operatorname{dom} fx∈domf is d-stationary for fff if f′(x;u)≥0f'(x;u)\ge 0f′(x;u)≥0 for every u∈Xu\in Xu∈X. The support function of C⊂XC\subset XC⊂X is χC∗(u)=sup⁡y∈C⟨u,y⟩\chi^*_C(u) = \sup_{y\in C}\langle u, y\rangleχC∗​(u)=supy∈C​⟨u,y⟩, with χ∅∗≡−∞\chi^*_\emptyset \equiv -\inftyχ∅∗​≡−∞. Finally, ri⁡C\operatorname{ri} CriC is the relative interior of CCC, its interior inside the affine hull aff⁡C\operatorname{aff} CaffC.

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem 1(iii)

For x∈ri⁡(dom⁡g)∩ri⁡(dom⁡h)x\in\operatorname{ri}(\operatorname{dom} g)\cap\operatorname{ri}(\operatorname{dom} h)x∈ri(domg)∩ri(domh),

x is d-stationary for f  ⟺  ∅≠∂h(x)⊂∂g(x).x \text{ is d-stationary for } f \iff \emptyset\ne\partial h(x)\subset\partial g(x).x is d-stationary for f⟺∅=∂h(x)⊂∂g(x).

Milestones

  1. Theorem 1(i): for x∈dom⁡gx\in\operatorname{dom} gx∈domg with ∂h(x)≠∅\partial h(x)\ne\emptyset∂h(x)=∅,
f′(x;u)=g′(x;u)−h′(x;u)∀u∈X.f'(x;u) = g'(x;u) - h'(x;u)\qquad \forall u\in X.f′(x;u)=g′(x;u)−h′(x;u)∀u∈X.
  1. Theorem 1(ii), first sentence: under the same hypotheses, xxx is d-stationary iff g′(x;u)≥h′(x;u)g'(x;u)\ge h'(x;u)g′(x;u)≥h′(x;u) for all uuu.
  2. Theorem 1(iv): for x∈ri⁡(dom⁡g)x\in\operatorname{ri}(\operatorname{dom} g)x∈ri(domg) with ∂h(x)≠∅\partial h(x)\ne\emptyset∂h(x)=∅, d-stationarity implies strong criticality.
  3. Theorem 1(v): for x∈ri⁡(dom⁡h)x\in\operatorname{ri}(\operatorname{dom} h)x∈ri(domh), strong criticality implies d-stationarity.

Companion statements

  • Theorem 1(ii), second sentence: for x∈dom⁡gx\in\operatorname{dom} gx∈domg, if g′(x;⋅)=χ∂g(x)∗g'(x;\cdot) = \chi^*_{\partial g(x)}g′(x;⋅)=χ∂g(x)∗​ and h′(x;⋅)=χ∂h(x)∗h'(x;\cdot) = \chi^*_{\partial h(x)}h′(x;⋅)=χ∂h(x)∗​, then d-stationarity and strong criticality coincide.
  • Theorem 1(vi): if aff⁡(dom⁡g)=aff⁡(dom⁡h)\operatorname{aff}(\operatorname{dom} g) = \operatorname{aff}(\operatorname{dom} h)aff(domg)=aff(domh), then ri⁡(dom⁡g)⊂ri⁡(dom⁡h)\operatorname{ri}(\operatorname{dom} g)\subset\operatorname{ri}(\operatorname{dom} h)ri(domg)⊂ri(domh) and the equivalence holds on ri⁡(dom⁡g)\operatorname{ri}(\operatorname{dom} g)ri(domg).

Part (iii) is the goal because it is the equivalence the paper uses to justify DCA, stated under a hypothesis symmetric in ggg and hhh; (vi) is the more general companion.

Significance

The theorem connects the output of DCA with a stationarity notion intrinsic to fff. Without it, the strong criticality certified by DCA would be a property of a decomposition rather than of the problem, and different decompositions of the same fff could certify different points. With it, at points in the relative interiors of the domains, every strongly critical point is d-stationary, and conversely no d-stationary point is missed by the criticality test.

Parts (i) and (ii) are stated in the paper without proof, and so is the rest of Theorem 1; none of it has a machine-checked proof. The mission produces a formal statement of all six parts with the extended-real conventions made explicit. Three of the printed parts are false as stated without the nonemptiness of ∂h(x)\partial h(x)∂h(x); the formal versions add that hypothesis and record a counterexample for each, so the formalization also corrects the printed statement.

Difficulty

The obvious argument writes f′(x;u)=g′(x;u)−h′(x;u)f'(x;u) = g'(x;u) - h'(x;u)f′(x;u)=g′(x;u)−h′(x;u) and reads off both directions from g′≥h′g'\ge h'g′≥h′. Two steps of it fail. First, the difference can be −∞−(−∞)-\infty - (-\infty)−∞−(−∞) or +∞−(+∞)+\infty - (+\infty)+∞−(+∞), and the limit defining f′f'f′ need not be the difference of the limits; the nonemptiness of ∂h(x)\partial h(x)∂h(x) is exactly what rules out the first case. Second, passing from "g′(x;⋅)≥h′(x;⋅)g'(x;\cdot)\ge h'(x;\cdot)g′(x;⋅)≥h′(x;⋅)" to "∂h(x)⊂∂g(x)\partial h(x)\subset\partial g(x)∂h(x)⊂∂g(x)" needs h′(x;⋅)h'(x;\cdot)h′(x;⋅) to equal the support function of ∂h(x)\partial h(x)∂h(x), which holds in the relative interior of dom⁡h\operatorname{dom} hdomh but fails on its relative boundary, where h′(x;⋅)h'(x;\cdot)h′(x;⋅) need not be lower semicontinuous. The relative interior, not the interior, is essential: the domains may be lower-dimensional.

Formalization scope

XXX is EuclideanSpace ℝ (Fin n), and every function maps into EReal. The published definitions TaoAnDCA.GlobalOpt.Setting supply dom⁡\operatorname{dom}dom (effDom), the DC objective with +∞−(+∞)=+∞+\infty - (+\infty) = +\infty+∞−(+∞)=+∞ (dcSub), the subdifferential (subdiff) and α\alphaα (primalValue); Γ0(X)\Gamma_0(X)Γ0​(X) is the published IsProperClosedConvex. Every statement carries the standing assumptions of Theorem 1 as binders: g,h∈Γ0(X)g, h\in\Gamma_0(X)g,h∈Γ0​(X), α≠−∞\alpha\ne-\inftyα=−∞ and α≠+∞\alpha\ne+\inftyα=+∞. The mission's definitions are:

  • convDirDeriv: the convex directional derivative by the paper's infimum formula, in EReal;
  • HasDirDerivE: the predicate that the one-sided limit along t↓0t\downarrow 0t↓0 exists in EReal and equals a given value;
  • IsDStationary: x∈dom⁡φx\in\operatorname{dom}\varphix∈domφ and, for every direction, the limit exists and is ≥0\ge 0≥0;
  • IsStronglyCritical: both ∂h(x)≠∅\partial h(x)\ne\emptyset∂h(x)=∅ and ∂h(x)⊂∂g(x)\partial h(x)\subset\partial g(x)∂h(x)⊂∂g(x);
  • supportFn: the extended-real support function, −∞-\infty−∞ on ∅\emptyset∅.

The relative interior is Mathlib's intrinsicInterior ℝ, the affine hull is affineSpan ℝ. The subgradient inequality has the standard sign; display (1) of the paper prints the opposite sign, a slip. The only hypothesis added to the page is ∂h(x)≠∅\partial h(x)\ne\emptyset∂h(x)=∅, in parts (i), (ii) first sentence and (iv), each of which is false without it; parts (ii) second sentence, (iii), (v) and (vi) are stated as printed.

The statement admits trivializing formalizations, which this one rules out. Strong criticality without the nonemptiness of ∂h(x)\partial h(x)∂h(x) is vacuous wherever ∂h(x)=∅\partial h(x) = \emptyset∂h(x)=∅. A d-stationarity defined through limUnder, a real-valued derivative, or "every limit is nonnegative" holds vacuously where the limit does not exist. And g−hg - hg−h written in raw EReal would give +∞−(+∞)=−∞+\infty - (+\infty) = -\infty+∞−(+∞)=−∞.

A complete development needs the monotonicity of convex difference quotients in EReal, limit arithmetic for extended reals, and the formula φ′(x;⋅)=χ∂φ(x)∗\varphi'(x;\cdot) = \chi^*_{\partial\varphi(x)}φ′(x;⋅)=χ∂φ(x)∗​ for φ∈Γ0(Rn)\varphi\in\Gamma_0(\mathbb R^n)φ∈Γ0​(Rn) at points of ri⁡(dom⁡φ)\operatorname{ri}(\operatorname{dom}\varphi)ri(domφ) (Rockafellar 1970, Theorem 23.4), together with the nonemptiness of ∂φ\partial\varphi∂φ there. These results on extended-real convex functions are reusable well beyond DC programming, and contributions of them as separate theorems are welcome.

Selected references

  • H. A. Le Thi, T. Pham Dinh, DC programming and DCA: thirty years of developments, Mathematical Programming Ser. B 169 (2018), 5–68. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10107-018-1235-y
  • T. Pham Dinh, H. A. Le Thi, A d.c. optimization algorithm for solving the trust-region subproblem, SIAM Journal on Optimization 8 (1998), 476–505. https://doi.org/10.1137/S1052623494274313
  • M. Ahn, J.-S. Pang, J. Xin, Difference-of-convex learning: directional stationarity, optimality, and sparsity, SIAM Journal on Optimization 27 (2017), 1637–1665. https://doi.org/10.1137/16M1084754
  • R. T. Rockafellar, Convex Analysis, Princeton University Press, 1970. https://doi.org/10.1515/9781400873173
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CombinatoricsGraph TheoryLinear algebra·Captain: mikedeng1

Three Conjectures in Extremal Spectral Graph Theory 3: For Large n, a Connected n-Vertex Graph Maximizing Spectral Radius Minus Average Degree Is a Pineapple GraphResearch Paper

Motivation

How far is a graph from being regular? Several numerical irregularity measures answer this question, and spectral graph theory supplies a natural one. For a graph GGG with nnn vertices and e(G)e(G)e(G) edges, the largest eigenvalue λ1(G)\lambda_1(G)λ1​(G) of the adjacency matrix is always at least the average degree d(G)=2e(G)/nd(G) = 2e(G)/nd(G)=2e(G)/n, with equality exactly when GGG is regular. The difference λ1−d\lambda_1 - dλ1​−d is therefore a measure of irregularity; it was studied by Bell (1992) alongside the variance of the degrees, and it is one of several such measures, with Albertson's ∑uv∈E∣du−dv∣\sum_{uv \in E} |d_u - d_v|∑uv∈E​∣du​−dv​∣ and Nikiforov's degree deviation among the others. The measures are incomparable in general, and one way to understand what each gauges is to determine its extremal graphs.

A basic extremal question asks which graphs are the most irregular. Among all graphs the question is uninteresting, because isolated vertices lower ddd without lowering λ1\lambda_1λ1​. Among connected graphs it is a genuine optimization problem. Using the variable neighbourhood search system AutoGraphiX, Aouchiche, Bell, Cvetković, Hansen, Rowlinson, Simić and Stevanović (2008) found that the maximizers of λ1−d\lambda_1 - dλ1​−d over connected graphs on nnn vertices are always pineapple graphs, a clique with pendant vertices hanging from one clique vertex, and they conjectured that this holds for every nnn (Aouchiche et al., European J. Oper. Res. 2008).

Timeline:

  • 1992: Bell compares λ1−d\lambda_1 - dλ1​−d with the degree variance as irregularity measures.
  • 1988: Hong proves λ12≤2e(G)−(n−1)\lambda_1^2 \le 2e(G) - (n-1)λ12​≤2e(G)−(n−1) for graphs without isolated vertices.
  • 2008: Aouchiche et al. state the pineapple conjecture from computer experiments, and determine which pineapple is best (clique size ⌈n/2⌉+1\lceil n/2\rceil + 1⌈n/2⌉+1).
  • 2017: Tait and Tobin prove the conjecture for all sufficiently large nnn (arXiv:1606.01916, J. Combin. Theory Ser. B), in the same paper that settles the spectral extremal problems for outerplanar and planar graphs.

This mission formalizes Section 4 of Tait and Tobin.

Setting

All graphs are finite and simple; an nnn-vertex graph has vertex set {0,…,n−1}\{0, \dots, n-1\}{0,…,n−1}. The spectral radius λ1(G)\lambda_1(G)λ1​(G) is the largest eigenvalue of the adjacency matrix AAA of GGG, the published platform definition specRad. The average degree is d(G)=2e(G)/nd(G) = 2e(G)/nd(G)=2e(G)/n, a real number.

A connected graph GGG on nnn vertices is a maximizer of λ1−d\lambda_1 - dλ1​−d (Lean: IsIrregMax G) if

λ1(G′)−d(G′)≤λ1(G)−d(G)for every connected graph G′ on the same n vertices.\lambda_1(G') - d(G') \le \lambda_1(G) - d(G) \quad \text{for every connected graph } G' \text{ on the same } n \text{ vertices.}λ1​(G′)−d(G′)≤λ1​(G)−d(G)for every connected graph G′ on the same n vertices.

The pineapple PA(p,q)PA(p,q)PA(p,q) (Lean: pineapple p q) has p+qp+qp+q vertices: the first ppp form a complete graph KpK_pKp​, and each of the other qqq vertices is a pendant vertex, adjacent only to the clique vertex 000. Stars (p≤2p \le 2p≤2) and complete graphs (q=0q = 0q=0) are degenerate pineapples.

The lemmas of the mission speak about the leading eigenvector v\mathbf vv of a maximizer GGG: a vector with Av=λ1vA\mathbf v = \lambda_1 \mathbf vAv=λ1​v, all entries positive, normalized so that its largest entry is 111. Such a vector exists by the Perron–Frobenius theorem because GGG is connected. xxx denotes a vertex with vx=1\mathbf v_x = 1vx​=1, dud_udu​ the degree of uuu, and N(x)N(x)N(x) the neighbourhood of xxx. Some statements carry a small parameter ε>0\varepsilon > 0ε>0, fixed before nnn.

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem 21

∃N ∀n≥N ∀G on n vertices:G maximizes λ1−d  ⟹  ∃ p,q, p+q=n, G≅PA(p,q).\exists N\ \forall n \ge N\ \forall G \text{ on } n \text{ vertices}:\quad G \text{ maximizes } \lambda_1 - d \;\Longrightarrow\; \exists\, p, q,\ p + q = n,\ G \cong PA(p,q).∃N ∀n≥N ∀G on n vertices:G maximizes λ1​−d⟹∃p,q, p+q=n, G≅PA(p,q).

The clique size ppp is left free. The optimal value p=⌈n/2⌉+1p = \lceil n/2\rceil + 1p=⌈n/2⌉+1 is determined by Aouchiche et al. by optimizing a cubic polynomial over pineapples; Tait and Tobin cite it and do not prove it, so it is not part of the goal.

Milestones, in the order of the proof

  1. Hong's inequality λ12≤2e(G)−(n−1)\lambda_1^2 \le 2e(G) - (n-1)λ12​≤2e(G)−(n−1) for connected GGG (cited, p. 14).
  2. The pineapple H=PA(⌈n/2⌉+1,⌊n/2⌋−1)H = PA(\lceil n/2\rceil+1, \lfloor n/2\rfloor-1)H=PA(⌈n/2⌉+1,⌊n/2⌋−1) has λ1(H)−2e(H)/n≥n/4−3/2\lambda_1(H) - 2e(H)/n \ge n/4 - 3/2λ1​(H)−2e(H)/n≥n/4−3/2 (p. 14).
  3. Lemma 16: λ1=n/2+c1n\lambda_1 = n/2 + c_1\sqrt nλ1​=n/2+c1​n​ and d=n/4+c2nd = n/4 + c_2\sqrt nd=n/4+c2​n​ with ∣c1∣,∣c2∣<1|c_1|, |c_2| < 1∣c1​∣,∣c2​∣<1.
  4. Lemma 17: 0≤1∣N(x)∣∑y∼x(dy−λ1vy)≤c3n0 \le \frac{1}{|N(x)|}\sum_{y\sim x}(d_y - \lambda_1\mathbf v_y) \le c_3\sqrt n0≤∣N(x)∣1​∑y∼x​(dy​−λ1​vy​)≤c3​n​.
  5. Lemma 18: a vertex u≠xu \ne xu=x with vu>1−2ε\mathbf v_u > 1 - 2\varepsilonvu​>1−2ε, du−λ1vu=O(n)d_u - \lambda_1\mathbf v_u = O(\sqrt n)du​−λ1​vu​=O(n​) and du≥(1/2−2ε)nd_u \ge (1/2 - 2\varepsilon)ndu​≥(1/2−2ε)n.
  6. Inequality (11): n/2+n+5≥vtv>n/2−2εn−O(n)n/2 + \sqrt n + 5 \ge \mathbf v^t\mathbf v > n/2 - 2\varepsilon n - O(\sqrt n)n/2+n​+5≥vtv>n/2−2εn−O(n​).
  7. Lemma 19 (corrected): vavb>1/2+n−1/2+5n−1\mathbf v_a\mathbf v_b > 1/2 + n^{-1/2} + 5n^{-1}va​vb​>1/2+n−1/2+5n−1 forces a∼ba \sim ba∼b; vavb<1/2−3ε\mathbf v_a\mathbf v_b < 1/2 - 3\varepsilonva​vb​<1/2−3ε forbids a∼ba \sim ba∼b when G−abG - abG−ab is connected.
  8. Every vertex other than a lone vertex of entry 111 is adjacent to a vertex of entry 111 (p. 18, corrected).
  9. Proposition 20: a partition U,V,WU, V, WU,V,W with UUU a clique of size about n/2n/2n/2 and entries near 111, VVV pendant vertices of entry below (2+ε)/n(2+\varepsilon)/n(2+ε)/n, and WWW vertices of entry near 1/21/21/2 adjacent only to UUU.
  10. W=∅W = \emptysetW=∅: GGG is a clique together with pendant vertices (pp. 20–21).

Significance

The result. Theorem 21 identifies the most spectrally irregular connected graphs for large nnn, confirming a conjecture that came from computer search and that had resisted the usual graph-transformation arguments. Combined with the cited optimization over pineapples, it gives the exact maximum of λ1−d\lambda_1 - dλ1​−d over connected nnn-vertex graphs for large nnn, which in turn bounds λ1\lambda_1λ1​ by ddd plus an explicit term for every connected graph. The intermediate statements, notably Lemma 19 which converts products of Perron entries into adjacency, are reusable in other spectral extremal problems over connected graphs.

Formalizing it. The theorem is proved on paper for large nnn; no machine-checked proof of it, or of Hong's inequality, is known. The formalization must make every "for nnn sufficiently large" and every O(n)O(\sqrt n)O(n​) explicit, and it repairs two statements that are false as printed (see Formalization scope). A small-nnn verification, or a proof for all nnn, would be further contributions.

Difficulty

The obvious approach is local improvement: given a non-pineapple, move an edge and show that λ1−d\lambda_1 - dλ1​−d increases. Each move changes both terms, by amounts of order vavb/vtv\mathbf v_a\mathbf v_b/\mathbf v^t\mathbf vva​vb​/vtv and 2/n2/n2/n respectively, and these are comparable; neither the sign of the change nor connectivity of the modified graph is under control without first knowing the global structure. The proof therefore needs the whole chain of asymptotic estimates: the size of λ1\lambda_1λ1​ and ddd, a second vertex of nearly maximal entry, the norm of the Perron vector, and only then the adjacency rules of Lemma 19. Every edge deletion must also keep the graph connected, since the maximum ranges over connected graphs.

Formalization scope

  • Vertices are Fin n; graphs are SimpleGraph (Fin n) with classical decidability. λ1\lambda_1λ1​ is the published WangKangXue.SpectralTuran.specRad, the largest eigenvalue of G.adjMatrix ℝ. ddd is avgDeg G = 2 · #edges / n in R\mathbb RR.
  • The maximum is over connected graphs on the same vertex set (IsIrregMax); dropping connectivity changes the problem.
  • The Perron vector enters as universally quantified hypotheses: any v with (G.adjMatrix ℝ).mulVec v = specRad G • v, all entries positive, all entries at most 111, and a vertex x with v x = 1. It is never quantified existentially.
  • "For nnn sufficiently large" is ∃ N, ∀ n ≥ N. Constants from O(n)O(\sqrt n)O(n​) and "a constant c3c_3c3​ not depending on nnn" are existentially quantified before NNN, nnn and GGG. In Lemma 18, inequality (11) and Lemma 19 the proof works for every ε>0\varepsilon > 0ε>0, which is universally quantified; Proposition 20 needs ε\varepsilonε small and is stated for 0<ε<ε00 < \varepsilon < \varepsilon_00<ε<ε0​.
  • ⌈n/2⌉\lceil n/2\rceil⌈n/2⌉ and ⌊n/2⌋\lfloor n/2\rfloor⌊n/2⌋ are the natural-number quotients (n+1)/2(n+1)/2(n+1)/2 and n/2n/2n/2; the pineapple lower bound assumes n≥2n \ge 2n≥2.
  • "GGG is a pineapple" is a graph isomorphism G ≃g pineapple p q with p+q=np + q = np+q=n. The pineapple is defined by its edges, clique plus pendants at one vertex; it is not defined by any property that the proof establishes, and the clique size is not pinned.
  • Two printed statements are corrected and the corrections are disclosed. Lemma 19's second half requires G−abG - abG−ab to be connected (without it, a pendant edge of the extremal pineapple is a counterexample), and both halves are for distinct vertices. The claim on p. 18 that every vertex has a neighbour of entry 111 excludes only a vertex that is the unique vertex of entry 111 (the hub of a pineapple is the exception). Lemma 17's summand is (dy−λ1vy)(d_y - \lambda_1\mathbf v_y)(dy​−λ1​vy​), as in its proof.
  • A trivializing formalization is ruled out: the class is connected graphs, extremality is the hypothesis rather than a consequence, the eigenvector is universally quantified, constants do not depend on nnn, and the clique size is free. A maximizer exists for every n≥1n \ge 1n≥1, so the goal is not vacuous.
  • Needed infrastructure: Perron–Frobenius for connected graphs, the Rayleigh-quotient characterization of λ1\lambda_1λ1​, Cauchy interlacing (or monotonicity of λ1\lambda_1λ1​ under subgraphs), and Hong's inequality. These are reusable well beyond this mission, and contributions of any of them are welcome.

Selected references

  • M. Tait and J. Tobin, Three conjectures in extremal spectral graph theory, J. Combin. Theory Ser. B (2017); arXiv:1606.01916v2. https://arxiv.org/abs/1606.01916
  • M. Aouchiche, F. K. Bell, D. Cvetković, P. Hansen, P. Rowlinson, S. K. Simić and D. Stevanović, Variable neighborhood search for extremal graphs. 16. Some conjectures related to the largest eigenvalue of a graph, European J. Oper. Res. 191(3) (2008) 661–676. (Reference [3] of Tait–Tobin.)
  • Y. Hong, A bound on the spectral radius of graphs, Linear Algebra Appl. 108 (1988) 135–139. (Reference [37].)
  • F. K. Bell, A note on the irregularity of graphs, Linear Algebra Appl. 161 (1992) 45–54. (Reference [5].)
  • M. O. Albertson, The irregularity of a graph, Ars Combin. 46 (1997) 219–225. (Reference [1].)
  • V. Nikiforov, Eigenvalues and degree deviation in graphs, Linear Algebra Appl. 414(1) (2006) 347–360. (Reference [26].)
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Control TheoryOptimizationProbability+1·Captain: mikedeng1

Open-Loop and Closed-Loop Solvabilities for Stochastic Linear Quadratic Optimal Control Problems 1: The Cost Is Uniformly Convex iff the Riccati Equation Has a Strongly Regular SolutionResearch Paper

Motivation

The stochastic linear quadratic (LQ) optimal control problem asks to steer a linear stochastic differential equation by a control so as to minimize a quadratic cost. It is the basic model of stochastic control: Wonham studied it in 1968 (Wonham 1968), and it is the model on which feedback design, mean-field control and LQ differential games are built (Yong–Zhou 1999).

Classically the cost weights are assumed nonnegative and the control weight RRR uniformly positive definite, the standard conditions (1.4). Under them the Riccati equation has a unique solution and the optimal control is a linear state feedback. A stochastic problem can however be well posed when RRR is indefinite, because the diffusion term also penalizes the control.

Timeline:

  • 1998: Chen, Li and Zhou observe that a stochastic LQ problem can be solvable with an indefinite RRR (SIAM J. Control Optim. 36).
  • 2002: Ait Rami, Moore and Zhou introduce a generalized Riccati equation with a pseudoinverse and algebraic constraints (SIAM J. Control Optim. 40).
  • 2014: Sun and Yong prove that closed-loop solvability is equivalent to the existence of a regular solution of that Riccati equation (SIAM J. Control Optim. 52).
  • 2016: Sun, Li and Yong characterize strongly regular solvability by the uniform convexity of the cost functional (SIAM J. Control Optim. 54, Theorem 4.5). This mission is that theorem.

Setting

A probability space (Ω,F,P)(\Omega,\mathcal F,\mathbb P)(Ω,F,P) carries a standard one-dimensional Brownian motion WWW. Its natural filtration, augmented by the P\mathbb PP-null sets, is F\mathbb FF. Fix a horizon T>0T>0T>0 and deterministic coefficients A,C∈Rn×nA,C\in\mathbb R^{n\times n}A,C∈Rn×n, B,D∈Rn×mB,D\in\mathbb R^{n\times m}B,D∈Rn×m, weights Q∈SnQ\in\mathbb S^nQ∈Sn, S∈Rm×nS\in\mathbb R^{m\times n}S∈Rm×n, R∈SmR\in\mathbb S^mR∈Sm (functions of time) and G∈SnG\in\mathbb S^nG∈Sn. The admissible controls U[t,T]\mathcal U[t,T]U[t,T] are the F\mathbb FF-progressively measurable processes uuu with E∫tT∣u∣2ds<∞\mathbb E\int_t^T|u|^2ds<\inftyE∫tT​∣u∣2ds<∞. The state from the initial pair (t,x)(t,x)(t,x) solves

dX=(AX+Bu+b) ds+(CX+Du+σ) dW,X(t)=x,dX=(AX+Bu+b)\,ds+(CX+Du+\sigma)\,dW,\qquad X(t)=x,dX=(AX+Bu+b)ds+(CX+Du+σ)dW,X(t)=x,

and the cost is

J(t,x;u)=E{⟨GX(T),X(T)⟩+2⟨g,X(T)⟩+∫tT[⟨QX,X⟩+2⟨SX,u⟩+⟨Ru,u⟩+2⟨q,X⟩+2⟨ρ,u⟩]ds}.J(t,x;u)=\mathbb E\Big\{\langle GX(T),X(T)\rangle+2\langle g,X(T)\rangle+\int_t^T\big[\langle QX,X\rangle+2\langle SX,u\rangle+\langle Ru,u\rangle+2\langle q,X\rangle+2\langle\rho,u\rangle\big]ds\Big\}.J(t,x;u)=E{⟨GX(T),X(T)⟩+2⟨g,X(T)⟩+∫tT​[⟨QX,X⟩+2⟨SX,u⟩+⟨Ru,u⟩+2⟨q,X⟩+2⟨ρ,u⟩]ds}.

Standing assumptions (H1)–(H2): A∈L1A\in L^1A∈L1, B,C∈L2B,C\in L^2B,C∈L2, D∈L∞D\in L^\inftyD∈L∞, Q∈L1Q\in L^1Q∈L1, S∈L2S\in L^2S∈L2, R∈L∞R\in L^\inftyR∈L∞ on (0,T)(0,T)(0,T), and square-integrability of the random terms b,σ,q,ρ,gb,\sigma,q,\rho,gb,σ,q,ρ,g. No sign condition is imposed on GGG, QQQ or RRR. The homogeneous problem (SLQ)0^00 sets b,σ,g,q,ρ=0b,\sigma,g,q,\rho=0b,σ,g,q,ρ=0; its cost is J0J^0J0.

The map u↦J0(0,0;u)u\mapsto J^0(0,0;u)u↦J0(0,0;u) is uniformly convex if, for some λ>0\lambda>0λ>0,

J0(0,0;u) ≥ λ E∫0T∣u(s)∣2ds∀u∈U[0,T].(4.2)J^0(0,0;u)\ \ge\ \lambda\,\mathbb E\int_0^T|u(s)|^2ds\qquad\forall u\in\mathcal U[0,T].\qquad(4.2)J0(0,0;u) ≥ λE∫0T​∣u(s)∣2ds∀u∈U[0,T].(4.2)

With ΣP=R+D⊤PD\Sigma_P=R+D^\top PDΣP​=R+D⊤PD and KP=B⊤P+D⊤PC+SK_P=B^\top P+D^\top PC+SKP​=B⊤P+D⊤PC+S, the Riccati equation is

P˙+PA+A⊤P+C⊤PC+Q−KP⊤ΣP†KP=0,P(T)=G,(4.6)\dot P+PA+A^\top P+C^\top PC+Q-K_P^\top\Sigma_P^\dagger K_P=0,\qquad P(T)=G,\qquad(4.6)P˙+PA+A⊤P+C⊤PC+Q−KP⊤​ΣP†​KP​=0,P(T)=G,(4.6)

with †\dagger† the Moore–Penrose pseudoinverse. A solution P∈C([0,T];Sn)P\in C([0,T];\mathbb S^n)P∈C([0,T];Sn) is strongly regular if ΣP≥λI\Sigma_P\ge\lambda IΣP​≥λI a.e. for some λ>0\lambda>0λ>0 (4.10).

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem 4.5

∃λ>0: J0(0,0;u)≥λ E ⁣∫0T ⁣∣u∣2ds  ∀u∈U[0,T]  ⟺  (4.6) admits a strongly regular solution.\exists\lambda>0:\ J^0(0,0;u)\ge\lambda\,\mathbb E\!\int_0^T\!|u|^2ds\ \ \forall u\in\mathcal U[0,T]\iff(4.6)\text{ admits a strongly regular solution.}∃λ>0: J0(0,0;u)≥λE∫0T​∣u∣2ds  ∀u∈U[0,T]⟺(4.6) admits a strongly regular solution.

The goal fixes no constant: the λ\lambdaλ on each side is existential.

Milestones

  1. Lemma 2.2: the cost of a feedback control ΘX+u\Theta X+uΘX+u, written through the solution of a Lyapunov equation.
  2. Lemma 2.3: u↦u−ΘX(u)u\mapsto u-\Theta X^{(u)}u↦u−ΘX(u) is bounded below, E∫∣u−ΘX(u)∣2≥γ E∫∣u∣2\mathbb E\int|u-\Theta X^{(u)}|^2\ge\gamma\,\mathbb E\int|u|^2E∫∣u−ΘX(u)∣2≥γE∫∣u∣2.
  3. Proposition 4.1: uniform convexity gives unique open-loop solvability and V0(t,x)≥α∣x∣2V^0(t,x)\ge\alpha|x|^2V0(t,x)≥α∣x∣2.
  4. Proposition 4.4: every Lyapunov solution satisfies R+D⊤PD≥λIR+D^\top PD\ge\lambda IR+D⊤PD≥λI and P≥αIP\ge\alpha IP≥αI, with the same λ,α\lambda,\alphaλ,α.
  5. (4.20) and the monotonicity P1≥Pi≥Pi+1≥αIP_1\ge P_i\ge P_{i+1}\ge\alpha IP1​≥Pi​≥Pi+1​≥αI of the iteration (4.18)–(4.19).
  6. Uniform convergence of the iteration to a strongly regular solution.
  7. The completion of squares J0(0,0;u)=E∫⟨ΣP(u−ΘX(u)),u−ΘX(u)⟩dsJ^0(0,0;u)=\mathbb E\int\langle\Sigma_P(u-\Theta X^{(u)}),u-\Theta X^{(u)}\rangle dsJ0(0,0;u)=E∫⟨ΣP​(u−ΘX(u)),u−ΘX(u)⟩ds.

Companion items: Remark 4.6 (the same λ\lambdaλ bounds ΣP\Sigma_PΣP​), the well-posedness of the state equation and the cost (Sun–Yong 2014, Proposition 2.1), and Proposition 3.5 (the standard conditions (1.4) imply uniform convexity).

Significance

Theorem 4.5 gives a checkable sufficient condition for the classical structure of LQ control: under (4.2) the Riccati equation has a solution whose gain matrix R+D⊤PDR+D^\top PDR+D⊤PD is uniformly positive definite, so the optimal control is a state feedback with an invertible gain. It covers indefinite weights, and Proposition 3.5 shows that it contains the classical case (1.4). Combined with Sun–Yong's equivalence it yields Corollary 4.7, the feedback representation of the open-loop optimal control, which later missions of this series use.

The results are proved in the paper. As far as is known they have no machine-checked proof. Formalizing them requires stochastic calculus for controlled SDEs (Itô's formula for quadratic forms of a state process) linked to matrix ODE theory. The definitions this mission fixes (the LQ problem, the Riccati and Lyapunov equations with a pseudoinverse) can be reused by the other missions of the series and by any stochastic LQ formalization.

Difficulty

The direction (ii) ⇒ (i) is a completion of squares followed by Lemma 2.3. Lemma 2.3 is not obvious: it asserts a bounded inverse for an operator defined through an SDE.

The direction (i) ⇒ (ii) is the hard one. The obvious approach would solve (4.6) directly, but (4.6) is nonlinear and its coefficient ΣP†\Sigma_P^\daggerΣP†​ may be singular. No sign condition gives a priori bounds. The paper instead builds a policy-iteration sequence of linear Lyapunov equations. The difficulty is to show that every iterate keeps R+D⊤PiD≥λIR+D^\top P_iD\ge\lambda IR+D⊤Pi​D≥λI, so that the next gain is defined, and stays bounded below. These bounds come from the cost functional (Proposition 4.4), not from the matrix equation. Uniform convergence of the iterates then needs integrable estimates under the weak integrability of (H1).

Formalization scope

  • Basis. The paper's (Ω,F,P,W)(\Omega,\mathcal F,\mathbb P,W)(Ω,F,P,W) is a probability measure with a standard Brownian motion IsStdBrownian (Mathlib's IsBrownianReal per coordinate, published module Peng1990.SMP.Stochastic). F\mathbb FF is augmentedFiltration (published ReflectedBSDE.Existence.Setting).
  • State and cost. The state from (t,x)(t,x)(t,x) is an Itô solution from time 000 whose coefficients are switched on at ttt, with continuous paths and Esup⁡∣X∣2<∞\mathbb E\sup|X|^2<\inftyEsup∣X∣2<∞. JJJ is evaluated along a chosen solution, which is unique; the item state_wellposed poses existence, uniqueness and integrability of the cost. Expectations are Bochner integrals, and ∣u∣2|u|^2∣u∣2 is the Euclidean u⋅uu\cdot uu⋅u.
  • Integrability and values. LpL^pLp conditions on matrix functions are entrywise. The diffusion coefficients C,DC,DC,D are taken Borel measurable on [0,∞)[0,\infty)[0,∞) (a measurable representative of their class), so that the Itô integrand CX+Du+σCX+Du+\sigmaCX+Du+σ of (1.1) is progressively measurable. VVV is an EReal infimum over admissible controls.
  • Matrix ODEs. The Riccati and Lyapunov equations are in integral form: continuous symmetric PPP, an integrable right-hand side, and P(t)=G+∫tTF(s,P(s))dsP(t)=G+\int_t^TF(s,P(s))dsP(t)=G+∫tT​F(s,P(s))ds. The pseudoinverse is the published HarmonicGames.Decomposition.pinv. Where the paper prints (⋅)−1(\cdot)^{-1}(⋅)−1 ((4.19), p. 2290) Lean's matrix inverse is used; it is invertible there by R+D⊤PD≥λIR+D^\top PD\ge\lambda IR+D⊤PD≥λI.
  • The iteration. The sequence of milestones 5–6 is given by hypotheses: P0P_0P0​ solves (4.18) and Pi+1P_{i+1}Pi+1​ the Lyapunov equation of Θi\Theta_iΘi​. Lyapunov solutions are unique, so this is the paper's sequence.
  • Constants. λ\lambdaλ and α\alphaα in Proposition 4.4 and Remark 4.6 are the constants of (4.2) and (4.1), passed as parameters.

Ruling out trivial forms. Uniform convexity is not defined through the operator M2(0)M_2(0)M2​(0) of (3.8), and strong regularity includes the integral Riccati equation. A formalization that drops the Riccati equation, or reads uniform convexity off a matrix condition, is a different theorem. No positivity of GGG, QQQ or RRR is assumed anywhere except in Proposition 3.5, whose hypothesis (1.4) is exactly that.

Contributions welcome: Itô's formula for ⟨P(s)X(s),X(s)⟩\langle P(s)X(s),X(s)\rangle⟨P(s)X(s),X(s)⟩ with a C1C^1C1 (or absolutely continuous) matrix PPP; existence and uniqueness for linear SDEs with L1/L2L^1/L^2L1/L2 coefficients; existence and uniqueness for linear matrix ODEs; the Penrose identities for pinv.

Selected references

  • J. Sun, X. Li, J. Yong, Open-Loop and Closed-Loop Solvabilities for Stochastic Linear Quadratic Optimal Control Problems, SIAM J. Control Optim. 54 (2016), 2274–2308. https://doi.org/10.1137/15M103532X
  • J. Sun, J. Yong, Linear Quadratic Stochastic Differential Games: Open-Loop and Closed-Loop Saddle Points, SIAM J. Control Optim. 52 (2014), 4082–4121. https://doi.org/10.1137/140953642
  • M. Ait Rami, J. B. Moore, X. Y. Zhou, Indefinite Stochastic Linear Quadratic Control and Generalized Differential Riccati Equation, SIAM J. Control Optim. 40 (2002), 1296–1311. https://doi.org/10.1137/S0363012900371083
  • S. Chen, X. Li, X. Y. Zhou, Stochastic Linear Quadratic Regulators with Indefinite Control Weight Costs, SIAM J. Control Optim. 36 (1998), 1685–1702. https://doi.org/10.1137/S0363012996310478
  • W. M. Wonham, On a Matrix Riccati Equation of Stochastic Control, SIAM J. Control 6 (1968), 681–697. https://doi.org/10.1137/0306044
  • J. Yong, X. Y. Zhou, Stochastic Controls: Hamiltonian Systems and HJB Equations, Springer, 1999. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-1-4612-1466-3
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Control TheoryOptimizationProbability+1·Captain: mikedeng1

Open-Loop and Closed-Loop Solvabilities for Stochastic Linear Quadratic Optimal Control Problems 3: Open-Loop Solvability Is Equivalent to Convergence of the Riccati Minimizing SequenceResearch Paper

Motivation

Linear–quadratic (LQ) optimal control is the basic test case of stochastic control: a linear stochastic differential equation, a quadratic cost, and an optimal control that one expects to be a linear feedback of the state computed from a Riccati equation. In the indefinite stochastic case the weighting matrices GGG, QQQ, RRR carry no sign condition. The cost can then be convex without being uniformly convex, an optimal control may fail to exist although the value is finite, and the Riccati equation may have no solution of the kind the classical theory needs.

Sun, Li and Yong (SIAM J. Control Optim. 54 (2016) 2274–2308) separate finiteness, convexity, open-loop solvability and closed-loop solvability for this problem. This mission covers their Section 6. Under uniform convexity the optimal control is the Riccati feedback of Corollary 4.7. Section 6 removes uniform convexity: it regularizes the control weight RRR to R+εIR+\varepsilon IR+εI, takes the Riccati feedback control uεu_\varepsilonuε​ of each regularized problem, and shows that open-loop solvability of the original problem is exactly the convergence of uεu_\varepsilonuε​ along some sequence εk→0\varepsilon_k\to0εk​→0.

Timeline. Chen, Li and Zhou (SIAM J. Control Optim. 36 (1998)) introduced indefinite stochastic LQ problems. Ait Rami, Moore and Zhou (SIAM J. Control Optim. 40 (2002)) introduced the generalized Riccati equation with a pseudoinverse. Sun and Yong (SIAM J. Control Optim. 52 (2014)) characterized closed-loop solvability by regular solutions of that equation. In 2016 Sun, Li and Yong characterized uniform convexity by strongly regular solutions and open-loop solvability by the regularized feedback sequence treated here.

Setting

Fix a horizon T>0T>0T>0 and a probability space carrying a one-dimensional standard Brownian motion WWW, with F\mathbb FF the augmented natural filtration of WWW. For an initial pair (t,x)∈[0,T)×Rn(t,x)\in[0,T)\times\mathbb R^n(t,x)∈[0,T)×Rn and an admissible control u∈U[t,T]u\in\mathcal U[t,T]u∈U[t,T], an F\mathbb FF-progressively measurable Rm\mathbb R^mRm-valued process with E∫tT∣u∣2ds<∞\mathbb E\int_t^T|u|^2ds<\inftyE∫tT​∣u∣2ds<∞, the state solves

dX=(AX+Bu+b) ds+(CX+Du+σ) dW,X(t)=x.dX=(AX+Bu+b)\,ds+(CX+Du+\sigma)\,dW,\qquad X(t)=x .dX=(AX+Bu+b)ds+(CX+Du+σ)dW,X(t)=x.

The cost is

J(t,x;u)=E[⟨GX(T),X(T)⟩+2⟨g,X(T)⟩+∫tT(⟨QX,X⟩+2⟨SX,u⟩+⟨Ru,u⟩+2⟨q,X⟩+2⟨ρ,u⟩)ds].J(t,x;u)=\mathbb E\Big[\langle GX(T),X(T)\rangle+2\langle g,X(T)\rangle+\int_t^T\big(\langle QX,X\rangle+2\langle SX,u\rangle+\langle Ru,u\rangle+2\langle q,X\rangle+2\langle\rho,u\rangle\big)ds\Big].J(t,x;u)=E[⟨GX(T),X(T)⟩+2⟨g,X(T)⟩+∫tT​(⟨QX,X⟩+2⟨SX,u⟩+⟨Ru,u⟩+2⟨q,X⟩+2⟨ρ,u⟩)ds].

The coefficients A,B,C,D,Q,S,RA,B,C,D,Q,S,RA,B,C,D,Q,S,R and GGG are deterministic, b,σ,q,ρ,gb,\sigma,q,\rho,gb,σ,q,ρ,g are random, and the integrability conditions are (H1)–(H2). The value function is V(t,x)=inf⁡uJ(t,x;u)∈[−∞,∞)V(t,x)=\inf_uJ(t,x;u)\in[-\infty,\infty)V(t,x)=infu​J(t,x;u)∈[−∞,∞). A control u∗u^*u∗ is open-loop optimal at (t,x)(t,x)(t,x) if J(t,x;u∗)≤J(t,x;u)J(t,x;u^*)\le J(t,x;u)J(t,x;u∗)≤J(t,x;u) for every u∈U[t,T]u\in\mathcal U[t,T]u∈U[t,T]. Problem (SLQ)0^00 is the case b,σ,g,q,ρ=0b,\sigma,g,q,\rho=0b,σ,g,q,ρ=0, with cost J0J^0J0.

For ε>0\varepsilon>0ε>0 let PεP_\varepsilonPε​ be the strongly regular solution of the Riccati equation (5.7),

P˙ε+PεA+A⊤Pε+C⊤PεC+Q−Kε⊤Σε−1Kε=0,Pε(T)=G,\dot P_\varepsilon+P_\varepsilon A+A^\top P_\varepsilon+C^\top P_\varepsilon C+Q-K_\varepsilon^\top\Sigma_\varepsilon^{-1}K_\varepsilon=0,\qquad P_\varepsilon(T)=G,P˙ε​+Pε​A+A⊤Pε​+C⊤Pε​C+Q−Kε⊤​Σε−1​Kε​=0,Pε​(T)=G,

where Σε=R+εI+D⊤PεD≥λI\Sigma_\varepsilon=R+\varepsilon I+D^\top P_\varepsilon D\ge\lambda IΣε​=R+εI+D⊤Pε​D≥λI for some λ>0\lambda>0λ>0 and Kε=B⊤Pε+D⊤PεC+SK_\varepsilon=B^\top P_\varepsilon+D^\top P_\varepsilon C+SKε​=B⊤Pε​+D⊤Pε​C+S. Let (ηε,ζε)(\eta_\varepsilon,\zeta_\varepsilon)(ηε​,ζε​) be the adapted solution of the linear backward equation (4.11) for these data, and put

Θε=−Σε−1Kε,vε=−Σε−1(B⊤ηε+D⊤ζε+D⊤Pεσ+ρ).\Theta_\varepsilon=-\Sigma_\varepsilon^{-1}K_\varepsilon,\qquad v_\varepsilon=-\Sigma_\varepsilon^{-1}\big(B^\top\eta_\varepsilon+D^\top\zeta_\varepsilon+D^\top P_\varepsilon\sigma+\rho\big).Θε​=−Σε−1​Kε​,vε​=−Σε−1​(B⊤ηε​+D⊤ζε​+D⊤Pε​σ+ρ).

With XεX_\varepsilonXε​ the solution of the closed-loop system dXε=[(A+BΘε)Xε+Bvε+b]ds+[(C+DΘε)Xε+Dvε+σ]dWdX_\varepsilon=[(A+B\Theta_\varepsilon)X_\varepsilon+Bv_\varepsilon+b]ds+[(C+D\Theta_\varepsilon)X_\varepsilon+Dv_\varepsilon+\sigma]dWdXε​=[(A+BΘε​)Xε​+Bvε​+b]ds+[(C+DΘε​)Xε​+Dvε​+σ]dW, Xε(t)=xX_\varepsilon(t)=xXε​(t)=x, the regularized feedback sequence is

uε=ΘεXε+vε,ε>0.u_\varepsilon=\Theta_\varepsilon X_\varepsilon+v_\varepsilon,\qquad\varepsilon>0 .uε​=Θε​Xε​+vε​,ε>0.

U[t,T]=LF2(t,T;Rm)\mathcal U[t,T]=L^2_{\mathbb F}(t,T;\mathbb R^m)U[t,T]=LF2​(t,T;Rm) is a Hilbert space with inner product E∫tT⟨u,v⟩ds\mathbb E\int_t^T\langle u,v\rangle dsE∫tT​⟨u,v⟩ds; weak and strong convergence of controls refer to it.

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem 6.2

Assume (H1)–(H2) and that u↦J0(0,0;u)u\mapsto J^0(0,0;u)u↦J0(0,0;u) is convex. For (t,x)∈[0,T)×Rn(t,x)\in[0,T)\times\mathbb R^n(t,x)∈[0,T)×Rn the following are equivalent:

(SLQ) is open-loop solvable at (t,x)  ⟺  ∃ εk↓0: uεk⇀u∗  ⟺  ∃ εk↓0: uεk→u∗ in U[t,T],\text{(SLQ) is open-loop solvable at }(t,x)\iff\exists\,\varepsilon_k\downarrow0:\ u_{\varepsilon_k}\rightharpoonup u^*\iff\exists\,\varepsilon_k\downarrow0:\ u_{\varepsilon_k}\to u^*\text{ in }\mathcal U[t,T],(SLQ) is open-loop solvable at (t,x)⟺∃εk​↓0: uεk​​⇀u∗⟺∃εk​↓0: uεk​​→u∗ in U[t,T],

and every weak or strong limit of such a subsequence is an open-loop optimal control at (t,x)(t,x)(t,x). The goal assumes convexity, not uniform convexity, and no finiteness.

Milestones

  1. Corollary 3.4: convexity of J(t,x;⋅)J(t,x;\cdot)J(t,x;⋅) or J0(t,x;⋅)J^0(t,x;\cdot)J0(t,x;⋅) at one xxx, at every xxx, and J0(t,0;u)≥0J^0(t,0;u)\ge0J0(t,0;u)≥0 on U[t,T]\mathcal U[t,T]U[t,T] are equivalent.
  2. The zero extension (4.3): J0(t,0;u)=J0(0,0;0I[0,t)⊕u)J^0(t,0;u)=J^0(0,0;0I_{[0,t)}\oplus u)J0(t,0;u)=J0(0,0;0I[0,t)​⊕u).
  3. Corollary 4.7: under uniform convexity, the Riccati feedback control (4.28) is the unique open-loop optimal control.
  4. Theorem 6.1: if the problem is finite, lim⁡ε→0+J(t,x;uε)=V(t,x)\lim_{\varepsilon\to0^+}J(t,x;u_\varepsilon)=V(t,x)limε→0+​J(t,x;uε​)=V(t,x).
  5. Lemma 6.3: in a Hilbert space the norm is weakly lower semicontinuous, and strong convergence is weak convergence plus convergence of norms.
  6. (6.7): E∫tT∣uε∣2ds≤(Vε−V)/ε≤E∫tT∣v∗∣2ds\mathbb E\int_t^T|u_\varepsilon|^2ds\le(V_\varepsilon-V)/\varepsilon\le\mathbb E\int_t^T|v^*|^2dsE∫tT​∣uε​∣2ds≤(Vε​−V)/ε≤E∫tT​∣v∗∣2ds for any optimal v∗v^*v∗.
  7. Weak lower semicontinuity of u↦J(t,x;u)u\mapsto J(t,x;u)u↦J(t,x;u).

Two further statements follow the goal: open-loop solvability is equivalent to sup⁡ε>0E∫tT∣uε∣2ds<∞\sup_{\varepsilon>0}\mathbb E\int_t^T|u_\varepsilon|^2ds<\inftysupε>0​E∫tT​∣uε​∣2ds<∞ (p. 2303), and Proposition 6.4: if sup⁡ε>0∫0T∣Θε∣2ds<∞\sup_{\varepsilon>0}\int_0^T|\Theta_\varepsilon|^2ds<\inftysupε>0​∫0T​∣Θε​∣2ds<∞, the Riccati equation (4.6) has a regular solution and Problem (SLQ)0^00 is closed-loop solvable.

Significance

Theorem 6.1 gives a minimizing sequence computed from Riccati and backward equations whenever the problem is finite. Theorem 6.2 turns it into a test for open-loop solvability that needs no uniform convexity and no regular solution of the original Riccati equation. When an optimal control exists, it is recovered as the limit of feedback controls. Proposition 6.4 converts a bound on the gains Θε\Theta_\varepsilonΘε​ into closed-loop solvability of the homogeneous problem. Section 7 of the paper shows that open-loop solvability does not imply closed-loop solvability, so a criterion phrased directly in open-loop terms is needed.

All of these results are proved in the paper. None of them, nor the solution theory of stochastic LQ problems they rest on, had a machine-checked proof on Prove2Me or in Mathlib as of October 2026. A formal development needs the well-posedness of linear SDEs and BSDEs with integrable coefficients, the Riccati theory of Section 4, and the Hilbert-space structure of the space of admissible controls. Those parts are reusable for any stochastic LQ problem.

Difficulty

The obvious approach takes any minimizing sequence and extracts a weakly convergent subsequence. That fails without uniform convexity: a minimizing sequence need not be bounded, and boundedness is exactly what open-loop solvability provides in (6.7). The converse direction needs the limit of the regularized costs to identify the value, which requires both the minimizing property of uεu_\varepsilonuε​ (Theorem 6.1) and weak lower semicontinuity of JJJ. That in turn rests on convexity being transported from J0(0,0;⋅)J^0(0,0;\cdot)J0(0,0;⋅) to J(t,x;⋅)J(t,x;\cdot)J(t,x;⋅) through Corollary 3.4 and the zero extension. Upgrading weak to strong convergence uses the norm bound (6.7) with the limit itself as the optimal control. Every step depends on Corollary 4.7, the Riccati representation of the optimal control of the regularized problem, whose proof requires the theory of Section 4.

Formalization scope

The probability basis is a probability space with a one-dimensional standard Brownian motion and its augmented natural filtration. Vectors are Fin k → ℝ and matrices Matrix (Fin k) (Fin l) ℝ. Time is ℝ≥0, and ∣u∣2|u|^2∣u∣2 is the Euclidean dot product u ⬝ᵥ u. (H1)–(H2) are standing assumptions, with entrywise LpL^pLp conditions on the matrix coefficients. The state from (t,x)(t,x)(t,x) is a strong solution of the published SDE notion Peng1990.SMP.SolvesSDE whose coefficients are switched on at ttt; it has a.s. continuous paths and Esup⁡∣X∣2<∞\mathbb E\sup|X|^2<\inftyEsup∣X∣2<∞. The cost is evaluated along a chosen solution, which is unique. VVV is an infimum in the extended reals. Limits in ε\varepsilonε are taken as ε→0+\varepsilon\to0^+ε→0+. "A subsequence" is a sequence εk>0\varepsilon_k>0εk​>0 with εk→0\varepsilon_k\to0εk​→0, and the limit control is required to be admissible. The backward equations use the published Peng1990.SMP.SolvesBSDE, and the pseudoinverse in (4.6) and (4.11) is the published HarmonicGames.Decomposition.pinv.

Theorem 6.1 prints the term −Θε⊤ρ-\Theta_\varepsilon^\top\rho−Θε⊤​ρ in its backward equation. The equation (4.11) that its proof uses through Corollary 4.7 has +Θε⊤ρ+\Theta_\varepsilon^\top\rho+Θε⊤​ρ, and the formalization uses (4.11). Corollary 3.4 is stated without its item (vi), which involves an operator M2(t)M_2(t)M2​(t) that the paper quotes from another source.

The families PεP_\varepsilonPε​, (ηε,ζε)(\eta_\varepsilon,\zeta_\varepsilon)(ηε​,ζε​) and XεX_\varepsilonXε​ are hypotheses pinned by their equations for every ε>0\varepsilon>0ε>0. The sequence uεu_\varepsilonuε​ is therefore the Riccati feedback sequence (6.2), never an arbitrary minimizing sequence or an arbitrary family of ε\varepsilonε-optimal controls; with such a family the implication (ii) ⇒ (i) would be a different theorem.

Contributions are welcome at every level: the solution theory of linear SDEs and BSDEs, Itô's formula for quadratic forms, Riccati and Lyapunov equations in integral form, weak compactness in LF2L^2_{\mathbb F}LF2​, and the milestones themselves.

Selected references

  • J. Sun, X. Li, J. Yong, Open-loop and closed-loop solvabilities for stochastic linear quadratic optimal control problems, SIAM J. Control Optim. 54(5) (2016) 2274–2308. https://doi.org/10.1137/15M103532X
  • J. Sun, J. Yong, Linear quadratic stochastic differential games: open-loop and closed-loop saddle points, SIAM J. Control Optim. 52(6) (2014) 4082–4121. https://doi.org/10.1137/140953642
  • S. Chen, X. Li, X. Y. Zhou, Stochastic linear quadratic regulators with indefinite control weight costs, SIAM J. Control Optim. 36(5) (1998) 1685–1702. https://doi.org/10.1137/S0363012996310478
  • M. Ait Rami, J. B. Moore, X. Y. Zhou, Indefinite stochastic linear quadratic control and generalized differential Riccati equation, SIAM J. Control Optim. 40(4) (2002) 1296–1311. https://doi.org/10.1137/S0363012900371083
  • S. Peng, A general stochastic maximum principle for optimal control problems, SIAM J. Control Optim. 28(4) (1990) 966–979. https://doi.org/10.1137/0328054
14 thms1 active userReviewed
Control TheoryOptimizationProbability+1·Captain: mikedeng1

Open-Loop and Closed-Loop Solvabilities for Stochastic Linear Quadratic Optimal Control Problems 2: Finiteness Holds iff the Regularized Riccati Solutions P_ε(0) Are Bounded BelowResearch Paper

Motivation

Linear–quadratic (LQ) optimal control is the basic test case of stochastic control: a linear stochastic differential equation, a quadratic cost, and a value function that one expects to be a quadratic form in the initial state. In the indefinite stochastic case the weighting matrices GGG, QQQ, RRR carry no sign condition, and the classical picture breaks down. Without a sign condition the infimum of the cost can be −∞-\infty−∞. Before one can ask whether an optimal control exists, one has to ask whether the problem is finite, i.e. whether its value function stays above −∞-\infty−∞.

Sun, Li and Yong (SIAM J. Control Optim. 54 (2016) 2274–2308) separate the notions of finiteness, convexity, open-loop and closed-loop solvability for this problem. This mission covers their Section 5. Section 5 characterizes finiteness of the homogeneous problem by a family of regularized Riccati equations, and Example 5.2 shows that convexity of the cost alone is not enough.

Timeline. Chen, Li and Zhou (SIAM J. Control Optim. 36 (1998)) introduced indefinite stochastic LQ problems. Ait Rami, Moore and Zhou (SIAM J. Control Optim. 40 (2002)) introduced the generalized Riccati equation with a pseudoinverse. Sun and Yong (SIAM J. Control Optim. 52 (2014)) characterized closed-loop solvability by regular solutions of that equation. In 2016 Sun, Li and Yong characterized uniform convexity by strongly regular solutions, and finiteness by the limit of the regularized solutions treated here.

Setting

Fix a horizon T>0T>0T>0 and a probability space carrying a one-dimensional standard Brownian motion WWW, with F\mathbb FF the augmented natural filtration of WWW. For an initial pair (t,x)∈[0,T)×Rn(t,x)\in[0,T)\times\mathbb R^n(t,x)∈[0,T)×Rn and an admissible control u∈U[t,T]u\in\mathcal U[t,T]u∈U[t,T], an F\mathbb FF-progressively measurable Rm\mathbb R^mRm-valued process with E∫tT∣u∣2ds<∞\mathbb E\int_t^T|u|^2ds<\inftyE∫tT​∣u∣2ds<∞, the state solves

dX=(AX+Bu+b) ds+(CX+Du+σ) dW,X(t)=x.dX=(AX+Bu+b)\,ds+(CX+Du+\sigma)\,dW,\qquad X(t)=x .dX=(AX+Bu+b)ds+(CX+Du+σ)dW,X(t)=x.

The cost is

J(t,x;u)=E[⟨GX(T),X(T)⟩+2⟨g,X(T)⟩+∫tT(⟨QX,X⟩+2⟨SX,u⟩+⟨Ru,u⟩+2⟨q,X⟩+2⟨ρ,u⟩)ds].J(t,x;u)=\mathbb E\Big[\langle GX(T),X(T)\rangle+2\langle g,X(T)\rangle+\int_t^T\big(\langle QX,X\rangle+2\langle SX,u\rangle+\langle Ru,u\rangle+2\langle q,X\rangle+2\langle\rho,u\rangle\big)ds\Big].J(t,x;u)=E[⟨GX(T),X(T)⟩+2⟨g,X(T)⟩+∫tT​(⟨QX,X⟩+2⟨SX,u⟩+⟨Ru,u⟩+2⟨q,X⟩+2⟨ρ,u⟩)ds].

The coefficients A,B,C,D,Q,S,RA,B,C,D,Q,S,RA,B,C,D,Q,S,R and GGG are deterministic, and b,σ,q,ρ,gb,\sigma,q,\rho,gb,σ,q,ρ,g are random; the integrability conditions are (H1)–(H2). The value function is V(t,x)=inf⁡uJ(t,x;u)∈[−∞,∞)V(t,x)=\inf_{u}J(t,x;u)\in[-\infty,\infty)V(t,x)=infu​J(t,x;u)∈[−∞,∞). Problem (SLQ)0^00 is the case b,σ,g,q,ρ=0b,\sigma,g,q,\rho=0b,σ,g,q,ρ=0; its cost and value are J0J^0J0 and V0V^0V0. The problem is finite at ttt if V(t,x)>−∞V(t,x)>-\inftyV(t,x)>−∞ for all xxx, and finite if this holds for every t∈[0,T]t\in[0,T]t∈[0,T].

Write Σε(P)=R+εI+D⊤PD\Sigma_\varepsilon(P)=R+\varepsilon I+D^\top PDΣε​(P)=R+εI+D⊤PD and K(P)=B⊤P+D⊤PC+SK(P)=B^\top P+D^\top PC+SK(P)=B⊤P+D⊤PC+S. The regularized Riccati equation (5.7) is

P˙ε+PεA+A⊤Pε+C⊤PεC+Q−K(Pε)⊤Σε(Pε)−1K(Pε)=0,Pε(T)=G.\dot P_\varepsilon+P_\varepsilon A+A^\top P_\varepsilon+C^\top P_\varepsilon C+Q-K(P_\varepsilon)^\top\Sigma_\varepsilon(P_\varepsilon)^{-1}K(P_\varepsilon)=0,\qquad P_\varepsilon(T)=G .P˙ε​+Pε​A+A⊤Pε​+C⊤Pε​C+Q−K(Pε​)⊤Σε​(Pε​)−1K(Pε​)=0,Pε​(T)=G.

A solution is strongly regular if Σε(Pε)≥λI\Sigma_\varepsilon(P_\varepsilon)\ge\lambda IΣε​(Pε​)≥λI a.e. for some λ>0\lambda>0λ>0. Further, M0M_0M0​ solves the Lyapunov equation (3.2), M˙0+M0A+A⊤M0+C⊤M0C+Q=0\dot M_0+M_0A+A^\top M_0+C^\top M_0C+Q=0M˙0​+M0​A+A⊤M0​+C⊤M0​C+Q=0, M0(T)=GM_0(T)=GM0​(T)=G, and ΦA\Phi_AΦA​ solves Φ˙A=AΦA\dot\Phi_A=A\Phi_AΦ˙A​=AΦA​, ΦA(0)=I\Phi_A(0)=IΦA​(0)=I. The comparison function is

N(t)=[ΦA(t)⊤]−1{P(0)−∫0tΦA⊤(C⊤M0C+Q)ΦA ds}ΦA(t)−1.N(t)=[\Phi_A(t)^\top]^{-1}\Big\{P(0)-\int_0^t\Phi_A^\top(C^\top M_0C+Q)\Phi_A\,ds\Big\}\Phi_A(t)^{-1}.N(t)=[ΦA​(t)⊤]−1{P(0)−∫0t​ΦA⊤​(C⊤M0​C+Q)ΦA​ds}ΦA​(t)−1.

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem 5.3

Assume (H1)–(H2) and (5.6): J0(0,0;u)≥0J^0(0,0;u)\ge0J0(0,0;u)≥0 for all u∈U[0,T]u\in\mathcal U[0,T]u∈U[0,T]. For every ε>0\varepsilon>0ε>0, let PεP_\varepsilonPε​ be the strongly regular solution of (5.7). Then

(SLQ)0 is finite  ⟺  ∃β∈R  ∀ε>0: Pε(0)≥βI.\text{(SLQ)}^0\ \text{is finite}\iff\exists\beta\in\mathbb R\ \ \forall\varepsilon>0:\ P_\varepsilon(0)\ge\beta I .(SLQ)0 is finite⟺∃β∈R  ∀ε>0: Pε​(0)≥βI.

In this case P(t)=lim⁡ε↓0Pε(t)P(t)=\lim_{\varepsilon\downarrow0}P_\varepsilon(t)P(t)=limε↓0​Pε​(t) exists for every t∈[0,T]t\in[0,T]t∈[0,T], and

V0(t,x)=⟨P(t)x,x⟩,R+D⊤PD≥0 a.e.,N(t)≤P(t)≤M0(t).V^0(t,x)=\langle P(t)x,x\rangle,\qquad R+D^\top PD\ge0\ \text{a.e.},\qquad N(t)\le P(t)\le M_0(t).V0(t,x)=⟨P(t)x,x⟩,R+D⊤PD≥0 a.e.,N(t)≤P(t)≤M0​(t).

In particular, finiteness at t=0t=0t=0 implies finiteness.

Milestones

  1. Proposition 5.1: (i) ⇒ (ii) ⇒ (iii) ⇒ (iv) and (v) ⇒ (ii). The statements relate finiteness of (SLQ) and (SLQ)0^00, a quadratic V0V^0V0, convexity of JJJ, and P[t,T]≠∅\mathcal P[t,T]\ne\emptysetP[t,T]=∅.
  2. Remark 4.8: under uniform convexity, V0(t,x)=⟨P(t)x,x⟩V^0(t,x)=\langle P(t)x,x\rangleV0(t,x)=⟨P(t)x,x⟩ with PPP the strongly regular solution.
  3. (5.8): R+εI+D⊤PεD≥εIR+\varepsilon I+D^\top P_\varepsilon D\ge\varepsilon IR+εI+D⊤Pε​D≥εI a.e.
  4. (5.13): Pε2(t)≥Pε1(t)≥P(t)P_{\varepsilon_2}(t)\ge P_{\varepsilon_1}(t)\ge P(t)Pε2​​(t)≥Pε1​​(t)≥P(t) for ε2>ε1>0\varepsilon_2>\varepsilon_1>0ε2​>ε1​>0, and the limit Pˉ(t)=lim⁡ε↓0Pε(t)\bar P(t)=\lim_{\varepsilon\downarrow0}P_\varepsilon(t)Pˉ(t)=limε↓0​Pε​(t) exists with Pˉ(t)≥P(t)\bar P(t)\ge P(t)Pˉ(t)≥P(t).
  5. (5.16): Pε(t)≤M0(t)P_\varepsilon(t)\le M_0(t)Pε​(t)≤M0​(t).
  6. (5.15) and (5.17): P(0)≤Pε(0)P(0)\le P_\varepsilon(0)P(0)≤Pε​(0), and J0(t,x;u)≥⟨N(t)x,x⟩J^0(t,x;u)\ge\langle N(t)x,x\rangleJ0(t,x;u)≥⟨N(t)x,x⟩.

Companions

Theorem 5.6 states the converse of Remark 4.8. Theorem 5.7 gives six equivalent conditions when D=0D=0D=0 and R≫0R\gg0R≫0. Example 5.2 is a problem whose cost is convex but which is not finite. Corollary 5.4 gives a Lyapunov-type sufficient condition for finiteness.

Significance

The result. Theorem 5.3 turns finiteness, a statement about an infimum over an infinite-dimensional space of controls, into a lower bound on a one-parameter family of matrices. Each matrix in the family solves a well-posed Riccati equation. The theorem also says that the value function of a finite homogeneous problem is a quadratic form whose matrix is the monotone limit of PεP_\varepsilonPε​. It shows that this limit satisfies the regularity condition (5.10) and sits between two explicit bounds. Section 6 of the paper builds on the same regularization to construct minimizing sequences. Theorem 5.7 shows that in the case D=0D=0D=0, R≫0R\gg0R≫0, finiteness already forces unique closed-loop solvability.

Formalizing it. The result has been proved on paper since 2016; nothing in this mission is open mathematics. As far as is known, no part of indefinite stochastic LQ theory has been machine-checked, and Lean/Mathlib has no stochastic LQ problem, no matrix Riccati equation and no fundamental-matrix theory for time-varying linear ODEs. The mission produces faithful statements of the theorem, its proof steps and its companions on top of a reusable problem layer, as targets for complete formal proofs.

Difficulty

The naive argument fails at the interchange of the limit ε→0\varepsilon\to0ε→0 with the infimum over controls. Monotonicity in ε\varepsilonε gives a limit Pˉ(t)≥P(t)\bar P(t)\ge P(t)Pˉ(t)≥P(t) directly. The reverse inequality needs near-optimal controls whose L2L^2L2 norm may blow up, so it has to be organized carefully. The sufficiency direction needs more than the bound at t=0t=0t=0. Finiteness at later times is recovered through the comparison function N(t)N(t)N(t), which combines the fundamental matrix ΦA\Phi_AΦA​ with the Lyapunov solution M0M_0M0​. Example 5.2 rules out the tempting shortcut: under (5.6) the cost is convex, yet V0(0,x)=−∞V^0(0,x)=-\inftyV0(0,x)=−∞ for all x≠0x\ne0x=0. Every step also rests on stochastic calculus (Itô's formula for ⟨PX,X⟩\langle PX,X\rangle⟨PX,X⟩, well-posedness of the state equation) and on the representation of the value through the Riccati equation (Theorems 4.3 and 4.5, cited here).

Formalization scope

The problem layer is shared by the four missions of this series: SLQSolv.Finite.Setting and SLQSolv.Finite.Riccati. It builds on the published Itô-calculus and SDE layer Peng1990.SMP.Stochastic, the augmented Brownian filtration of ReflectedBSDE.Existence.Setting, and the Moore–Penrose pseudoinverse HarmonicGames.Decomposition.pinv. The layer commits to these conventions:

  • time is ℝ≥0, vectors are Fin k → ℝ, and ∣u∣2|u|^2∣u∣2 is the dot product u⋅uu\cdot uu⋅u;
  • the state from (t,x)(t,x)(t,x) is an SDE solution from time 0 with coefficients switched on at ttt, with continuous paths and a finite second moment of the supremum; the cost uses this (unique) solution;
  • VVV and V0V^0V0 take values in EReal, so V=−∞V=-\inftyV=−∞ is ⊥ and finiteness is ⊥ < V;
  • matrix ODEs (Riccati, Lyapunov, (5.12)) are in integral form on [t0,T][t_0,T][t0​,T]; the Riccati equation uses the pseudoinverse, which equals the printed inverse on strongly regular solutions;
  • matrix inequalities are Loewner inequalities (PosSemidef of the difference), and LpL^pLp conditions on matrix coefficients are entrywise;
  • "bounded from below" means one scalar β\betaβ with Pε(0)≥βIP_\varepsilon(0)\ge\beta IPε​(0)≥βI for all ε>0\varepsilon>0ε>0; the limit is ε↓0\varepsilon\downarrow0ε↓0;
  • PεP_\varepsilonPε​, M0M_0M0​, ΦA\Phi_AΦA​ are hypotheses pinned by their defining equations, each with a unique solution; the limit PPP is a conclusion, not a hypothesis.

A formalization in which "bounded from below" allows β\betaβ to depend on ε\varepsilonε, or in which finiteness is checked on J0J^0J0 at a fixed control rather than on V0V^0V0, would trivialize the theorem and is excluded.

A complete development needs several pieces, all reusable beyond this mission:

  • Itô's formula for quadratic forms of linear SDEs;
  • existence and uniqueness for linear SDEs with LpL^pLp coefficients;
  • existence, uniqueness and invertibility for time-varying linear matrix ODEs;
  • continuity of the pseudoinverse on uniformly positive matrices;
  • the strongly regular solvability theorem (Theorem 4.5, the goal of mission 1 of this series).

Contributions to any of them are welcome.

Selected references

  • J. Sun, X. Li, J. Yong, Open-loop and closed-loop solvabilities for stochastic linear quadratic optimal control problems, SIAM J. Control Optim. 54 (2016) 2274–2308. https://doi.org/10.1137/15M103532X
  • J. Sun, J. Yong, Linear quadratic stochastic differential games: open-loop and closed-loop saddle points, SIAM J. Control Optim. 52 (2014) 4082–4121. https://doi.org/10.1137/140953642
  • M. Ait Rami, J. B. Moore, X. Y. Zhou, Indefinite stochastic linear quadratic control and generalized differential Riccati equation, SIAM J. Control Optim. 40 (2002) 1296–1311. https://doi.org/10.1137/S0363012900371083
  • S. Chen, X. Li, X. Y. Zhou, Stochastic linear quadratic regulators with indefinite control weight costs, SIAM J. Control Optim. 36 (1998) 1685–1702. https://doi.org/10.1137/S0363012996310478
  • J. Yong, X. Y. Zhou, Stochastic Controls: Hamiltonian Systems and HJB Equations, Springer, 1999. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-1-4612-1466-3
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Algorithmic Game TheoryEconomicsOperations Research+1·Captain: mikedeng1

Dynamic Pricing in the Presence of Social Learning and Strategic Consumers 1: Under Pre-Announced Pricing, Social Learning Raises Optimal Expected Profit When Consumers Are Impatient or PatientResearch Paper

Motivation

Online reviews let consumers learn about a new product from the experience of earlier buyers. For a firm selling to strategic consumers, who time their purchases, this social learning (SL) cuts two ways. Reviews reveal quality, which can raise second-period demand; but a consumer who expects reviews also has a new reason to wait, and every consumer who waits writes no review. Papanastasiou and Savva (Management Science 63(4), 2017) build a two-period model in which both forces are endogenous and ask whether a monopolist that commits to its prices in advance is better or worse off when consumers learn from one another.

The benchmark without learning is the classical intertemporal pricing problem with strategic consumers (Landsberger and Meilijson, 1985), whose optimal pre-announced plan is a decreasing price path. This mission formalizes the paper's answer for pre-announced pricing: its Proposition 3.

Setting

A unit mass of consumers has preference types xxx uniform on [0,1][0,1][0,1]. A product of unknown mean quality q^\hat qq^​ is sold over two periods. Buying in period ttt gives type xxx the utility δct−1(x+q−pt)\delta_c^{t-1}(x+q-p_t)δct−1​(x+q−pt​), where δc∈[0,1]\delta_c\in[0,1]δc​∈[0,1] is the consumers' discount factor and qqq the perceived quality. The firm has unit cost c∈[0,1)c\in[0,1)c∈[0,1) and does not discount.

Everyone shares the prior q^∼N(0,σp2)\hat q\sim N(0,\sigma_p^2)q^​∼N(0,σp2​). Individual quality perceptions are N(q^,σq2)N(\hat q,\sigma_q^2)N(q^​,σq2​), and γ=σp2/σq2\gamma=\sigma_p^2/\sigma_q^2γ=σp2​/σq2​ is the SL influence parameter. If a mass n1n_1n1​ buys in period 1 and posts reviews, the posterior mean is qu=n1γn1γ+1Rq_u=\tfrac{n_1\gamma}{n_1\gamma+1}Rqu​=n1​γ+1n1​γ​R, where RRR is the average rating. Seen from period 1, quq_uqu​ is random, with the pre-posterior law

qu∼N ⁣(0, σp2 n1γn1γ+1).q_u\sim N\!\left(0,\ \sigma_p^2\,\frac{n_1\gamma}{n_1\gamma+1}\right).qu​∼N(0, σp2​n1​γ+1n1​γ​).

Under pre-announced pricing the firm commits to a plan {p1,p2}\{p_1,p_2\}{p1​,p2​}. Consumers then play a purchasing game. A set B⊆[0,1]B\subseteq[0,1]B⊆[0,1] of early buyers is an equilibrium if every type in BBB weakly prefers buying now, x−p1≥0x-p_1\ge 0x−p1​≥0 and x−p1≥δc E[(x+qu−p2)+]x-p_1\ge\delta_c\,\mathbb E[(x+q_u-p_2)^+]x−p1​≥δc​E[(x+qu​−p2​)+], and every other type weakly prefers to wait. Here quq_uqu​ has the pre-posterior law for n1=∣B∣n_1=|B|n1​=∣B∣. In period 2 the remaining types buy iff x+qu≥p2x+q_u\ge p_2x+qu​≥p2​. The firm's expected profit is

πp(p1,p2;B)=(p1−c) ∣B∣+(p2−c) E[ ∣{x∈[0,1]∖B: x+qu≥p2}∣ ],\pi_p(p_1,p_2;B)=(p_1-c)\,|B|+(p_2-c)\,\mathbb E\big[\,|\{x\in[0,1]\setminus B:\ x+q_u\ge p_2\}|\,\big],πp​(p1​,p2​;B)=(p1​−c)∣B∣+(p2​−c)E[∣{x∈[0,1]∖B: x+qu​≥p2​}∣],

and the optimal pre-announced profit πp∗\pi_p^*πp∗​ is its supremum over all plans and all their equilibria. Absence of SL is the same model at γ=0\gamma=0γ=0, where qu≡0q_u\equiv 0qu​≡0.

Formalization targets

Goal: Proposition 3

For γ>0\gamma>0γ>0 there are thresholds Δlp(γ)∈(0,1]\Delta_{lp}(\gamma)\in(0,1]Δlp​(γ)∈(0,1] and Δhp(γ)∈[0,1)\Delta_{hp}(\gamma)\in[0,1)Δhp​(γ)∈[0,1) such that

δc≤Δlp(γ)  or  δc≥Δhp(γ)⟹πp∗∣γ>πp∗∣γ=0.\delta_c\le\Delta_{lp}(\gamma)\ \text{ or }\ \delta_c\ge\Delta_{hp}(\gamma)\quad\Longrightarrow\quad \pi_p^*\big|_{\gamma}>\pi_p^*\big|_{\gamma=0}.δc​≤Δlp​(γ)  or  δc​≥Δhp​(γ)⟹πp∗​​γ​>πp∗​​γ=0​.

Milestones

  1. Lemma 1: the pre-posterior law above.
  2. Display (2): without SL, the buyer set is [τ(p1,p2),1][\tau(p_1,p_2),1][τ(p1​,p2​),1] for an explicit threshold τ\tauτ.
  3. Proposition 1: without SL, π∗=(1−c)2/(δc+3)\pi^*=(1-c)^2/(\delta_c+3)π∗=(1−c)2/(δc​+3), attained at p1∗=c(1+δc)+2δc+3p_1^*=\tfrac{c(1+\delta_c)+2}{\delta_c+3}p1∗​=δc​+3c(1+δc​)+2​ and p2∗=2c+δc+1δc+3p_2^*=\tfrac{2c+\delta_c+1}{\delta_c+3}p2∗​=δc​+32c+δc​+1​.
  4. Lemma 2: with SL, the buyer set is [θ,1][\theta,1][θ,1], where θ\thetaθ solves the implicit equation (3), or θ=1\theta=1θ=1 under adoption inertia. A companion item states that θ\thetaθ is monotone in γ,p1,δc,p2\gamma,p_1,\delta_c,p_2γ,p1​,δc​,p2​.
  5. Lemma 5: waiting is worth strictly more when more consumers buy early.
  6. Proposition 2: adoption inertia is never optimal, and patient consumers face an increasing optimal price path.
  7. Examples 1 and 2: with myopic consumers, SL raises the optimal second-period price and the optimal profit.
  8. πp∗\pi_p^*πp∗​ is continuous in δc∈[0,1]\delta_c\in[0,1]δc​∈[0,1].

Significance

Proposition 3 says that social learning helps the firm at both ends of the patience range. For myopic consumers this is the informational effect alone. For patient consumers it holds even though learning makes them strictly more inclined to wait (Lemma 2) and the committed price cannot react to the reviews. The paper's numerical experiments found no intermediate δc\delta_cδc​ at which learning hurts, but the theorem asserts only the two ends. The result underlies the managerial conclusions of the paper: firms gain from encouraging reviews even when consumers are strategic.

The result is proved in the paper; nothing in the model has been machine-checked before. A formal proof would check the equilibrium analysis of a continuum purchasing game with an endogenous information externality. Its intermediate results also serve the paper's two other missions: responsive pricing, and the comparison of responsive with pre-announced pricing. These are the Normal convex-order monotonicity (Lemma 5), the implicit threshold equation (Lemma 2), the no-SL benchmark (Proposition 1) and a Maximum-Theorem continuity statement.

Difficulty

The equilibrium threshold θ\thetaθ solves an equation whose Normal kernel has a variance that depends on θ\thetaθ itself. Existence, uniqueness and monotonicity are not closed-form computations.

The endpoint δc=1\delta_c=1δc​=1 is the delicate one. There learning makes waiting most attractive, and the strict gain over the no-SL optimum (1−c)2/4(1-c)^2/4(1−c)2/4 must come from a plan that still induces a positive mass of early buyers.

Continuity of πp∗\pi_p^*πp∗​ in δc\delta_cδc​ is a Maximum-Theorem argument for a supremum over an unbounded set of prices whose objective passes through an implicit equilibrium. Compactness of the relevant price set has to be established, not assumed.

Formalization scope

Every statement is taken over the standing assumptions σp>0\sigma_p>0σp​>0, γ≥0\gamma\ge 0γ≥0, δc∈[0,1]\delta_c\in[0,1]δc​∈[0,1], c∈[0,1)c\in[0,1)c∈[0,1), with firm discount factor 111 and pure strategies. Further conventions:

  • Absence of SL is the same model at γ=0\gamma=0γ=0. There the pre-posterior law is the point mass at 000, which is the paper's limit γ→0\gamma\to 0γ→0.
  • Best responses are weak. Equilibrium buyer sets are therefore unique only up to Lebesgue-null sets. The degenerate plan p1=p2p_1=p_2p1​=p2​ at δc=1\delta_c=1δc​=1 without SL, where every type is indifferent, is excluded from the uniqueness claim of (2).
  • Optimal values are suprema in the extended reals over all real plans and all purchasing equilibria. They are never real suprema with junk values, never the profit at a closed-form price, and never restricted to threshold equilibria. "Optimal plan" means a plan one of whose equilibria attains the supremum.
  • Proposition 3's thresholds are stated with the strict bounds Δlp>0\Delta_{lp}>0Δlp​>0 and Δhp<1\Delta_{hp}<1Δhp​<1. With closed bounds the claim would follow from the cases δc=0\delta_c=0δc​=0 and δc=1\delta_c=1δc​=1 alone.
  • Added hypotheses, each disclosed in its item:
    • p1∈[0,1]p_1\in[0,1]p1​∈[0,1] in Lemma 2 and its monotonicity item, and p1≥0p_1\ge 0p1​≥0 in (2);
    • δc>0\delta_c>0δc​>0 in Lemma 5;
    • p1<1p_1<1p1​<1 in Example 1 (at p1=1p_1=1p1​=1 nobody buys early, so the example's strict inequality fails there), and c<p1c<p_1c<p1​ for its no-SL uniqueness part;
    • δc<1\delta_c<1δc​<1 for uniqueness in Proposition 1;
    • n1>0n_1>0n1​>0 in Lemma 1;
    • existence of an optimal plan, asserted together with Proposition 2(ii);
    • monotonicity of θ\thetaθ is weak.
  • Not posed:
    • Lemma 2(ii) is built into the second-period demand.
    • The "unique equilibrium" clauses of Propositions 1 and 2 are the items for (2) and Lemma 2.
    • The fixed-price variant of Proposition 3 (pp. 17–18) is false at δc=1\delta_c=1δc​=1.

The witness used in the printed proof of Proposition 2(i) does not settle the case δc=1\delta_c=1δc​=1.

A complete development needs Gaussian expectations of hinge functions and their monotonicity in the variance (strict convex order), an implicit-equation argument for the threshold, and a version of Berge's Maximum Theorem. The Gaussian lemmas and the no-SL benchmark are reusable across the series. Contributions to any milestone are welcome.

Selected references

  • Y. Papanastasiou, N. Savva, Dynamic Pricing in the Presence of Social Learning and Strategic Consumers, Management Science 63(4):919–939, 2017. https://doi.org/10.1287/mnsc.2015.2378 (cited from the accepted manuscript MS-14-00028.R2, 2016)
  • M. Landsberger, I. Meilijson, Intertemporal price discrimination and sales strategy under incomplete information, RAND Journal of Economics 16(3):424–430, 1985. https://doi.org/10.2307/2555568
  • G. P. Cachon, R. Swinney, Purchasing, Pricing, and Quick Response in the Presence of Strategic Consumers, Management Science 55(3):497–511, 2009. https://doi.org/10.1287/mnsc.1080.0948
  • A. Müller, D. Stoyan, Comparison Methods for Stochastic Models and Risks, Wiley, 2002. https://doi.org/10.1002/9780470317167
  • R. K. Sundaram, A First Course in Optimization Theory, Cambridge University Press, 1996. https://doi.org/10.1017/CBO9780511804526
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AnalysisDynamical SystemsStochastic Systems·Captain: mikedeng1

On Well-Posedness of Forward–Backward SDEs—A Unified Approach 3: With Constant Coefficients, σ₃ ≠ 0, σ₃h ≠ 1 the Dominating ODE Keeps y and (1 − σ₃y)⁻¹ Bounded for Every T Iff One of Four Cases HoldsResearch Paper

Motivation

A forward–backward stochastic differential equation (FBSDE) couples a forward diffusion XXX with a backward equation for a pair (Y,Z)(Y,Z)(Y,Z) whose terminal value depends on XTX_TXT​. Such systems arise from the stochastic maximum principle, from option pricing with large investors, and from stochastic differential games. Whether an FBSDE with Lipschitz coefficients has a unique solution on an arbitrary horizon [0,T][0,T][0,T] is a classical question: small-time solvability is easy, but global solvability can fail even for linear equations.

J. Ma, Z. Wu, D. Zhang and J. Zhang, On well-posedness of forward–backward SDEs—a unified approach (arXiv:1110.4658v2, Ann. Appl. Probab. 25 (2015)), reduce well-posedness to the existence of bounded solutions of two deterministic dominating ordinary differential equations, obtained from the difference quotients of the coefficients. For linear FBSDEs with constant coefficients the two dominating ODEs coincide, and the authors give sharp criteria for global solvability. This mission formalizes the criterion in the case σ3≠0\sigma_3\neq0σ3​=0, where the dominating ODE has a rational right-hand side with a pole.

Earlier global results for coupled FBSDEs rested on the four-step scheme (Ma–Protter–Yong 1994) or on monotonicity conditions (Hu–Peng 1995); §7.4 of the paper compares the dominating-ODE approach with these methods.

Setting

The linear FBSDE (4.1) with constant coefficients is determined by nine reals b1,b2,b3,σ1,σ2,σ3,f1,f2,f3b_1,b_2,b_3,\sigma_1,\sigma_2,\sigma_3,f_1,f_2,f_3b1​,b2​,b3​,σ1​,σ2​,σ3​,f1​,f2​,f3​ and a terminal slope hhh. Its dominating function is (3.9),

F(y)=f1+f2y+y(b1+b2y)+(f3+b3y) y (σ1+σ2y)1−σ3y,F(y)=f_1+f_2y+y(b_1+b_2y)+\frac{(f_3+b_3y)\,y\,(\sigma_1+\sigma_2y)}{1-\sigma_3y},F(y)=f1​+f2​y+y(b1​+b2​y)+1−σ3​y(f3​+b3​y)y(σ1​+σ2​y)​,

defined for y≠1/σ3y\neq1/\sigma_3y=1/σ3​. When σ3≠0\sigma_3\neq0σ3​=0 it can be rewritten as (5.8),

F(y)=α01/σ3−y+α1+α2y+α3y2,α3=b2−b3σ2σ3,F(y)=\frac{\alpha_0}{1/\sigma_3-y}+\alpha_1+\alpha_2y+\alpha_3y^2,\qquad \alpha_3=b_2-\frac{b_3\sigma_2}{\sigma_3},F(y)=1/σ3​−yα0​​+α1​+α2​y+α3​y2,α3​=b2​−σ3​b3​σ2​​,

for constants α0,α1,α2\alpha_0,\alpha_1,\alpha_2α0​,α1​,α2​. The dominating ODE (5.3) is the backward integral equation

yt=h+∫tTF(ys) ds,t∈[0,T].y_t=h+\int_t^TF(y_s)\,ds,\qquad t\in[0,T].yt​=h+∫tT​F(ys​)ds,t∈[0,T].

The paper needs a solution satisfying (5.9): both yyy and (1−σ3y)−1(1-\sigma_3y)^{-1}(1−σ3​y)−1 are bounded on [0,T][0,T][0,T]. Since yT=hy_T=hyT​=h, this forces σ3h≠1\sigma_3h\neq1σ3​h=1 (Remark 5.5).

The comparison tool is Lemma 5.1. For measurable F0,F1,F2F^0,F^1,F^2F0,F1,F2 it gives a unique solution of yt0=h0+∫tTF0(s,ys0) dsy^0_t=h^0+\int_t^TF^0(s,y^0_s)\,dsyt0​=h0+∫tT​F0(s,ys0​)ds lying between a sub-solution y1y^1y1 and a super-solution y2y^2y2 of perturbed equations (5.2).

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem 5.6 (corrected)

For σ3≠0\sigma_3\neq0σ3​=0 and hσ3≠1h\sigma_3\neq1hσ3​=1, the ODE (5.3) has a solution satisfying (5.9) for every T>0T>0T>0 if and only if one of the following holds:

  1. h<1/σ3h<1/\sigma_3h<1/σ3​, F(h)≤0F(h)\le0F(h)≤0, and FFF has a zero in (−∞,h](-\infty,h](−∞,h] or α3=0\alpha_3=0α3​=0;
  2. h>1/σ3h>1/\sigma_3h>1/σ3​, F(h)≥0F(h)\ge0F(h)≥0, and FFF has a zero in [h,∞)[h,\infty)[h,∞) or α3=0\alpha_3=0α3​=0;
  3. h<1/σ3h<1/\sigma_3h<1/σ3​, F(h)≥0F(h)\ge0F(h)≥0, and FFF has a zero in [h,1/σ3)[h,1/\sigma_3)[h,1/σ3​) or F(y)→0F(y)\to0F(y)→0 as y↑1/σ3y\uparrow1/\sigma_3y↑1/σ3​;
  4. h>1/σ3h>1/\sigma_3h>1/σ3​, F(h)≤0F(h)\le0F(h)≤0, and FFF has a zero in (1/σ3,h](1/\sigma_3,h](1/σ3​,h] or F(y)→0F(y)\to0F(y)→0 as y↓1/σ3y\downarrow1/\sigma_3y↓1/σ3​.

The limit alternatives in cases 3 and 4 are not printed in the paper. Without them the equivalence is false. Take σ3=1\sigma_3=1σ3​=1, f1=1f_1=1f1​=1, f2=−1f_2=-1f2​=−1, all other coefficients 000, and h=0h=0h=0. Then F(y)=1−yF(y)=1-yF(y)=1−y, and yt=1−et−Ty_t=1-e^{t-T}yt​=1−et−T satisfies (5.9) on every horizon, yet none of the printed cases holds. The gap is in the Appendix (p. 48): it asserts that FFF is positive on the closed interval [h,σ3−1][h,\sigma_3^{-1}][h,σ3−1​] when α0=0\alpha_0=0α0​=0, which fails when the polynomial part vanishes at the pole. A companion item records the counterexample.

Milestones

The milestones follow the paper's proof:

  • the decomposition (5.8);
  • the comparison Lemma 5.1;
  • the three sufficiency arguments of p. 23 (case (i) with a zero, case (i) with α3=0\alpha_3=0α3​=0, case (iii));
  • the necessity bounds of the Appendix:
    • in case (i): a zero exists when α3>0\alpha_3>0α3​>0, and F(y)≤−ε(h+1−y)2F(y)\le-\varepsilon(h+1-y)^2F(y)≤−ε(h+1−y)2 when α3<0\alpha_3<0α3​<0 and there is no zero;
    • in case (iii): a zero exists when α0<0\alpha_0<0α0​<0, and F(y)≥ε(σ3−1−y)−1F(y)\ge\varepsilon(\sigma_3^{-1}-y)^{-1}F(y)≥ε(σ3−1​−y)−1 when α0>0\alpha_0>0α0​>0 and there is no zero;
  • the comparison with the explicit solution (σ3−1−y~t)2=(σ3−1−h)2−2ε(T−t)(\sigma_3^{-1}-\tilde y_t)^2=(\sigma_3^{-1}-h)^2-2\varepsilon(T-t)(σ3−1​−y~​t​)2=(σ3−1​−h)2−2ε(T−t);
  • the case α0=0\alpha_0=0α0​=0, with the endpoint positivity made a hypothesis.

Significance

In the paper, Theorem 5.6 is the sharp solvability criterion for linear FBSDEs with constant coefficients and σ3≠0\sigma_3\neq0σ3​=0. The paper describes these sharp conditions as setting the "limits" for the solvability of general FBSDEs, and the nonlinear Theorems 5.9–5.11 and the main well-posedness Theorem 7.4 are modelled on them. Because the criterion is an equivalence, it also says when no regular decoupling field can be built from the dominating ODE, whatever the horizon.

The result is proved in the paper, but the printed statement is not correct as an equivalence (see above). The mission states and asks for a corrected version, a machine-checked counterexample to the printed one, and formal versions of each step of the proof. The deterministic parts (comparison for backward integral equations, finite-time blow-up of scalar autonomous ODEs, pole-reaching for rational vector fields) are basic real analysis with no current Lean library. They are reusable well beyond FBSDEs. No part of this paper has a machine-checked proof.

Difficulty

Each sufficiency case is an a priori bound: a comparison with a constant or explicitly solvable equation keeps the solution in a fixed interval away from the pole. The difficulty is on the necessity side, where three kinds of failure must be excluded:

  • blow-up to ±∞\pm\infty±∞ when α3≠0\alpha_3\neq0α3​=0 has the wrong sign;
  • reaching the pole in finite time when α0>0\alpha_0>0α0​>0;
  • reaching the pole when α0=0\alpha_0=0α0​=0.

The obvious argument for the last case, "FFF is bounded below by a positive constant up to the pole", is exactly what fails when FFF tends to 000 at the pole. There the solution approaches the pole only asymptotically, and the right criterion is the corrected one above. A second subtlety is that FFF is only locally Lipschitz off the pole, so comparison must be carried out on a band in which the solution provably stays.

Formalization scope

Time is real, with 0≤t≤T0\le t\le T0≤t≤T and T>0T>0T>0. The coefficients form a record Coeffs of nine reals, and Coeffs.F is (3.9) verbatim. A solution on [0,T][0,T][0,T] is a function y:R→Ry:\mathbb R\to\mathbb Ry:R→R such that, for every t∈[0,T]t\in[0,T]t∈[0,T], the integrand s↦F(ys)s\mapsto F(y_s)s↦F(ys​) is integrable on [t,T][t,T][t,T] and yt=h+∫tTF(ys) dsy_t=h+\int_t^TF(y_s)\,dsyt​=h+∫tT​F(ys​)ds; values outside [0,T][0,T][0,T] are irrelevant. Condition (5.9) is a uniform bound on ∣y∣|y|∣y∣ together with ∣1−σ3yt∣≥κ|1-\sigma_3y_t|\ge\kappa∣1−σ3​yt​∣≥κ for some κ>0\kappa>0κ>0. "For arbitrary TTT" is a universal quantifier over T>0T>0T>0 outside the existential.

Lean's conventions are total, so several trivializing formalizations are ruled out explicitly:

  • Lean's integral of a non-integrable function is 000, so integrability is part of the solution predicate.
  • Lean's x/0=0x/0=0x/0=0 gives Coeffs.F a junk value at the pole. No statement evaluates FFF there: every zero point, bound and limit in the statements lives strictly on one side of 1/σ31/\sigma_31/σ3​.
  • (5.9) is never encoded as a bound on the Lean inverse (1−σ3y)−1(1-\sigma_3y)^{-1}(1−σ3​y)−1, which is 000 at the pole.
  • σ3≠0\sigma_3\neq0σ3​=0 is assumed wherever α3\alpha_3α3​ or 1/σ31/\sigma_31/σ3​ appears.
  • Lemma 5.1 adds the hypothesis y1≤y2y^1\le y^2y1≤y2, without which it is false, and asks the cic^ici to be integrable.

The constants α0,α1,α2\alpha_0,\alpha_1,\alpha_2α0​,α1​,α2​ of (5.8) enter the necessity milestones only through the decomposition hypothesis, never through a formula.

The development needs a Picard–Lindelöf or comparison argument for backward scalar integral equations with locally Lipschitz right-hand sides, monotonicity of autonomous scalar solutions, and the intermediate value theorem. Contributions of a general comparison lemma for scalar integral equations would serve this mission and both other missions of the series.

Selected references

  • J. Ma, Z. Wu, D. Zhang, J. Zhang, On well-posedness of forward–backward SDEs—a unified approach, Ann. Appl. Probab. 25(4):2168–2214, 2015. arXiv:1110.4658v2, doi:10.1214/14-AAP1046
  • J. Ma, P. Protter, J. Yong, Solving forward–backward stochastic differential equations explicitly—a four step scheme, Probab. Theory Related Fields 98:339–359, 1994. doi:10.1007/BF01192258
  • Y. Hu, S. Peng, Solution of forward–backward stochastic differential equations, Probab. Theory Related Fields 103:273–283, 1995. doi:10.1007/BF01204218
  • J. Ma, J. Yong, Forward–Backward Stochastic Differential Equations and Their Applications, Lecture Notes in Math. 1702, Springer, 1999. doi:10.1007/978-3-540-48831-6
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AnalysisMathematical PhysicsProbability·Captain: mikedeng1

Conformal Weldings of Random Surfaces: SLE and the Quantum Gravity Zipper 1: Reverse SLE_κ/GFF Coupling — Zipping Up a Free Boundary GFF by a Reverse Loewner Flow Preserves Its LawResearch Paper

Motivation

Liouville quantum gravity describes random surfaces whose area measure is formally eγh(z)dze^{\gamma h(z)}dzeγh(z)dz, where hhh is a Gaussian free field (GFF). Schramm–Loewner evolution (SLEκ_\kappaκ​) describes random fractal curves that arise as scaling limits of interfaces in critical lattice models. Sheffield's paper Conformal weldings of random surfaces: SLE and the quantum gravity zipper (arXiv:1012.4797, Ann. Probab. 44 (2016), DOI 10.1214/15-AOP1055) shows that the two theories fit together: SLE curves are the interfaces obtained by conformally welding independent quantum surfaces along their boundaries.

The starting point of that program is a coupling between the reverse Loewner flow and the free boundary GFF (Theorem 1.2 of the paper): zipping up the upper half-plane by a reverse SLEκ_\kappaκ​ map, and changing coordinates by the rule of Liouville quantum gravity, does not change the law of the field. This mission formalizes that theorem and the calculations of §4.1 that prove it.

Timeline. Couplings of forward SLE with the GFF go back to Schramm–Sheffield for κ=4\kappa=4κ=4 (arXiv:1008.2447) and to Dubédat for general κ\kappaκ (arXiv:0712.3018). The reverse coupling with the free boundary GFF and the factor Qlog⁡∣fT′∣Q\log|f_T'|Qlog∣fT′​∣ is Sheffield's (2010 preprint, published 2016); it underlies the later mating-of-trees theory of Duplantier–Miller–Sheffield (arXiv:1409.7055).

Setting

Let H={z∈C:Im⁡z>0}\mathbb H=\{z\in\mathbb C:\operatorname{Im}z>0\}H={z∈C:Imz>0}. A test function is a smooth, compactly supported real function ρ\rhoρ with support in H\mathbb HH; it has mean zero if ∫Hρ(z) dz=0\int_{\mathbb H}\rho(z)\,dz=0∫H​ρ(z)dz=0. For a function FFF write (F,ρ)=∫Fρ dz(F,\rho)=\int F\rho\,dz(F,ρ)=∫Fρdz.

The free boundary Green's function is G(y,z)=−log⁡∣y−z∣−log⁡∣y−zˉ∣G(y,z)=-\log|y-z|-\log|y-\bar z|G(y,z)=−log∣y−z∣−log∣y−zˉ∣, and the energy of two test functions is

E(ρ1,ρ2)=∫H∫Hρ1(y) G(y,z) ρ2(z) dy dz.E(\rho_1,\rho_2)=\int_{\mathbb H}\int_{\mathbb H}\rho_1(y)\,G(y,z)\,\rho_2(z)\,dy\,dz .E(ρ1​,ρ2​)=∫H​∫H​ρ1​(y)G(y,z)ρ2​(z)dydz.

A free boundary GFF h~\tilde hh~ is a random modulo-additive-constant distribution: for every family of mean-zero test functions ρ1,…,ρn\rho_1,\dots,\rho_nρ1​,…,ρn​, the vector ((h~,ρj))j((\tilde h,\rho_j))_j((h~,ρj​))j​ is a centred Gaussian vector with covariance (E(ρi,ρj))i,j(E(\rho_i,\rho_j))_{i,j}(E(ρi​,ρj​))i,j​. Pairings with test functions of nonzero mean are not defined.

Fix κ>0\kappa>0κ>0 and a standard Brownian motion BBB, and put Wt=κBtW_t=\sqrt\kappa B_tWt​=κ​Bt​. The reverse Loewner flow is ft(z)=gt(z)−Wtf_t(z)=g_t(z)-W_tft​(z)=gt​(z)−Wt​, where for each z∈Hz\in\mathbb Hz∈H

∂tgt(z)=−2gt(z)−Wt,g0(z)=z,\partial_t g_t(z)=\frac{-2}{g_t(z)-W_t},\qquad g_0(z)=z ,∂t​gt​(z)=gt​(z)−Wt​−2​,g0​(z)=z,

the pathwise form of dft(z)=−2ft(z)dt−κ dBtdf_t(z)=\frac{-2}{f_t(z)}dt-\sqrt\kappa\,dB_tdft​(z)=ft​(z)−2​dt−κ​dBt​. Write ft′=∂zftf_t'=\partial_zf_tft′​=∂z​ft​ and

Q=2κ+κ2,h0(z)=2κlog⁡∣z∣,ht(z)=h0(ft(z))+Qlog⁡∣ft′(z)∣.Q=\frac{2}{\sqrt\kappa}+\frac{\sqrt\kappa}{2},\qquad \mathfrak h_0(z)=\frac{2}{\sqrt\kappa}\log|z|,\qquad \mathfrak h_t(z)=\mathfrak h_0(f_t(z))+Q\log|f_t'(z)| .Q=κ​2​+2κ​​,h0​(z)=κ​2​log∣z∣,ht​(z)=h0​(ft​(z))+Qlog∣ft′​(z)∣.

The fraktur ht\mathfrak h_tht​ are deterministic functionals of the flow. Finally Gt(y,z)=G(ft(y),ft(z))G_t(y,z)=G(f_t(y),f_t(z))Gt​(y,z)=G(ft​(y),ft​(z)), Et(ρ1,ρ2)=∬ρ1(y)Gt(y,z)ρ2(z) dy dzE_t(\rho_1,\rho_2)=\iint\rho_1(y)G_t(y,z)\rho_2(z)\,dy\,dzEt​(ρ1​,ρ2​)=∬ρ1​(y)Gt​(y,z)ρ2​(z)dydz, and Ct(z)=−log⁡Im⁡ft(z)−log⁡∣ft′(z)∣C_t(z)=-\log\operatorname{Im}f_t(z)-\log|f_t'(z)|Ct​(z)=−logImft​(z)−log∣ft′​(z)∣.

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem 1.2

For every T>0T>0T>0, with h~\tilde hh~ independent of BBB,

h0+h~ =d hT+h~∘fT(modulo additive constants),\mathfrak h_0+\tilde h\ \overset{d}{=}\ \mathfrak h_T+\tilde h\circ f_T\qquad\text{(modulo additive constants),}h0​+h~ =d hT​+h~∘fT​(modulo additive constants),

that is, the pairing vectors with every finite family of mean-zero test functions have the same law. Here (h~∘fT,ρ)=(h~,∣(fT−1)′∣2ρ∘fT−1)(\tilde h\circ f_T,\rho)=(\tilde h,|(f_T^{-1})'|^2\rho\circ f_T^{-1})(h~∘fT​,ρ)=(h~,∣(fT−1​)′∣2ρ∘fT−1​).

Milestones (in the order the proof uses them)

  1. The reverse-flow table on p. 44: ddtft′(z)=2ft′(z)/ft(z)2\frac{d}{dt}f_t'(z)=2f_t'(z)/f_t(z)^2dtd​ft′​(z)=2ft′​(z)/ft​(z)2.
  2. The table on p. 47: ddtGt(y,z)=−Re⁡2ft(y)Re⁡2ft(z)\frac{d}{dt}G_t(y,z)=-\operatorname{Re}\frac{2}{f_t(y)}\operatorname{Re}\frac{2}{f_t(z)}dtd​Gt​(y,z)=−Reft​(y)2​Reft​(z)2​.
  3. Im⁡ft(z)\operatorname{Im}f_t(z)Imft​(z) is strictly increasing in ttt.
  4. ∣∂tCt(z)∣|\partial_tC_t(z)|∣∂t​Ct​(z)∣ is bounded uniformly for zzz in a compact subset of H\mathbb HH and all ttt.
  5. For fixed zzz, ht(z)\mathfrak h_t(z)ht​(z) is a martingale.
  6. For mean-zero ρ\rhoρ, (ht,ρ)(\mathfrak h_t,\rho)(ht​,ρ) is a martingale.
  7. For fixed x≠yx\neq yx=y, ht(x)ht(y)+Gt(x,y)\mathfrak h_t(x)\mathfrak h_t(y)+G_t(x,y)ht​(x)ht​(y)+Gt​(x,y) is a martingale.
  8. (4.2): (ht,ρ1)(ht,ρ2)+Et(ρ1,ρ2)(\mathfrak h_t,\rho_1)(\mathfrak h_t,\rho_2)+E_t(\rho_1,\rho_2)(ht​,ρ1​)(ht​,ρ2​)+Et​(ρ1​,ρ2​) is a martingale.
  9. The one-dimensional law: mixing N((hT,ρ),ET(ρ))\mathcal N((\mathfrak h_T,\rho),E_T(\rho))N((hT​,ρ),ET​(ρ)) over BBB gives N((h0,ρ),E(ρ,ρ))\mathcal N((\mathfrak h_0,\rho),E(\rho,\rho))N((h0​,ρ),E(ρ,ρ)).
  10. Proposition 3.1: a random modulo-constant distribution whose mean-zero pairings are N(0,E(ρ,ρ))\mathcal N(0,E(\rho,\rho))N(0,E(ρ,ρ)) is the free boundary GFF.

Significance

The result. Theorem 1.2 says that the free boundary quantum surface (H,h0+h~)(\mathbb H,\mathfrak h_0+\tilde h)(H,h0​+h~) is invariant in law under zipping up by an independent reverse SLEκ_\kappaκ​ for a fixed time. It is the stationarity statement behind the quantum gravity zipper: Theorems 1.3–1.4 and 1.8 of the paper (the welding of boundary arcs of equal quantum length, treated in the companion mission) start from it, and the subsequent theory of quantum wedges, quantum cones and mating of trees uses it as a basic tool. It also gives an alternate way to sample the field: first sample BBB (hence the curve), then sample an independent GFF, and form hT+h~∘fT\mathfrak h_T+\tilde h\circ f_ThT​+h~∘fT​.

Formalizing it. The theorem is proved in the literature, and the paper itself regards several steps as standard (Proposition 3.1 is cited to [She07]). No part of it has a machine-checked proof. A complete development would give Lean its first Gaussian free field, its first reverse Loewner flow, and martingale statements for SLE functionals; the deterministic Loewner calculus of milestones 1–4 is useful independently of the probabilistic part.

Difficulty

The time derivatives in milestones 1–3 are routine once the flow is known to be holomorphic in zzz, and milestone 4 follows from them. The obstacle is upgrading local martingales to martingales and exchanging the stochastic dynamics with integration in zzz. Itô's formula gives that ht(z)\mathfrak h_t(z)ht​(z) is a continuous local martingale; that it is a true martingale needs the bound of milestone 4, which shows that it is a Brownian motion run for a time at most a constant times ttt. Passing from points to (ht,ρ)(\mathfrak h_t,\rho)(ht​,ρ) and to (4.2) needs integrability of ht(z)\mathfrak h_t(z)ht​(z) uniformly on the support of ρ\rhoρ and a Fubini argument. Mathlib has neither Itô calculus nor quadratic variation, so these steps need either a stochastic-calculus library or a direct argument. The final step (milestones 9–10) needs the Cramér–Wold device for an infinite-dimensional Gaussian field and the change of variables E(ρfT)=ET(ρ)E(\rho^{f_T})=E_T(\rho)E(ρfT​)=ET​(ρ).

Formalization scope

  • H\mathbb HH is the open set {0<Im⁡z}\{0<\operatorname{Im}z\}{0<Imz} of C\mathbb CC as a real normed space; test functions are Mathlib's 𝓓(ℍ, ℝ); integrals are Bochner integrals for Lebesgue measure on C\mathbb CC and C×C\mathbb C\times\mathbb CC×C.
  • The free boundary GFF is a predicate on a map Ω→\Omega\toΩ→ (test functions →R\to\mathbb R→R): measurable pairings, and multivariateGaussian 0 (E(ρ_i,ρ_j)) laws for every mean-zero family. Every statement pairs only with mean-zero test functions.
  • The Green's function carries no factor 1/(2π)1/(2\pi)1/(2π) (the Dirichlet inner product carries (2π)−1(2\pi)^{-1}(2π)−1).
  • The reverse Loewner flow is pathwise: an ODE in ttt for gt=ft+Wtg_t=f_t+W_tgt​=ft​+Wt​, required for every z∈Hz\in\mathbb Hz∈H and t≥0t\ge0t≥0. Time is R≥0\mathbb R_{\ge0}R≥0​. The deterministic milestones are stated for every continuous driving function.
  • BBB is Mathlib's IsBrownianReal, taken with every path continuous and every coordinate measurable; martingales are with respect to its natural filtration and hold for all t≥0t\ge0t≥0.
  • The goal is stated through the conditional law given BBB: the PPP-mixture of N(((hT,ρj))j,(ET(ρi,ρj)))\mathcal N\big(((\mathfrak h_T,\rho_j))_j,(E_T(\rho_i,\rho_j))\big)N(((hT​,ρj​))j​,(ET​(ρi​,ρj​))) equals the law of ((h0,ρj)+(h~,ρj))j((\mathfrak h_0,\rho_j)+(\tilde h,\rho_j))_j((h0​,ρj​)+(h~,ρj​))j​, with h~\tilde hh~ on its own probability space. The mixture is a lower Lebesgue integral of set probabilities.
  • A trivializing formalization would define EtE_tEt​ with the forward Green's function, mix over a measure other than the law of BBB, or let the GFF predicate fix only one-dimensional laws; none of these is used, and Proposition 3.1 is stated separately.
  • Welcome contributions: a Loewner-ODE library (existence, uniqueness, holomorphy in zzz), Gaussian free field infrastructure, and martingale arguments without Itô calculus.

Selected references

  • S. Sheffield, Conformal weldings of random surfaces: SLE and the quantum gravity zipper, Ann. Probab. 44(5) (2016), 3474–3545. arXiv:1012.4797, DOI 10.1214/15-AOP1055
  • S. Sheffield, Gaussian free fields for mathematicians, Probab. Theory Related Fields 139 (2007), 521–541. arXiv:math/0312099
  • O. Schramm, S. Sheffield, A contour line of the continuum Gaussian free field, Probab. Theory Related Fields 157 (2013), 47–80. arXiv:1008.2447
  • J. Dubédat, SLE and the free field: partition functions and couplings, J. Amer. Math. Soc. 22 (2009), 995–1054. arXiv:0712.3018
  • B. Duplantier, S. Sheffield, Liouville quantum gravity and KPZ, Invent. Math. 185 (2011), 333–393. arXiv:0808.1560
  • B. Duplantier, J. Miller, S. Sheffield, Liouville quantum gravity as a mating of trees, Astérisque 427 (2021). arXiv:1409.7055
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Algebraic GeometryCombinatoricsDiscrete Geometry·Captain: mikedeng1

On the Number of Incidences Between Points and Planes in Three Dimensions: m Points and n ≤ m Planes in P³ (char ≠ 2, n = O(p²)) Have O(m√n + km) Incidences, k the Maximum Number of Collinear PlanesResearch Paper

Motivation

Incidence bounds count how often points can lie on lines, planes or other simple objects. Over the reals the model result is the Szemerédi–Trotter theorem for points and lines in the plane (Szemerédi–Trotter 1983). Its proofs use the order or topology of R\mathbb RR (cuttings, crossing numbers, polynomial partitioning), so they say nothing over finite fields or fields of positive characteristic. These are the settings that matter for the sum–product problem in Fp\mathbb F_pFp​ and for the finite-field versions of Erdős-type distance problems, where the absence of an incidence theorem was long the bottleneck.

M. Rudnev, On the number of incidences between points and planes in three dimensions (Combinatorica 38 (2018), doi:10.1007/s00493-016-3329-6), proves a point–plane incidence bound in P3\mathbb P^3P3 valid over every field of characteristic ≠2\neq2=2, with a constraint only in terms of the characteristic. It became the standard tool for sum–product estimates in positive characteristic: for example, Roche-Newton, Rudnev and Shkredov and Stevens and de Zeeuw build their bounds on it.

Timeline:

  • 2010: Guth and Katz settle the Erdős distinct-distances problem in R2\mathbb R^2R2 via a bound on line–line incidences in R3\mathbb R^3R3 (arXiv:1011.4105). The part of their argument that uses no ordering of R\mathbb RR rests on the Cayley–Salmon–Monge theorem on ruled surfaces.
  • 2014: Kollár carries the Guth–Katz line–line bound over to arbitrary fields under the constraint n=O(p2)n=O(p^2)n=O(p2) (arXiv:1405.2243).
  • 2014–2015: Rudnev (arXiv:1407.0426, versions v1–v5) reduces point–plane incidences in P3\mathbb P^3P3 to line–line incidences on a three-dimensional quadric in P5\mathbb P^5P5, and proves the line–line bound there.
  • 2016: de Zeeuw gives a shorter proof of the same bound, using the Guth–Katz–Kollár line theorem in P3\mathbb P^3P3 (arXiv:1612.02719).

Setting

Let F\mathbb FF be a field and P3\mathbb P^3P3 the projective three-space over F\mathbb FF. A point q=(q0:q1:q2:q3)q=(q_0:q_1:q_2:q_3)q=(q0​:q1​:q2​:q3​) and a plane π=(π0:π1:π2:π3)\pi=(\pi_0:\pi_1:\pi_2:\pi_3)π=(π0​:π1​:π2​:π3​) are both nonzero vectors of F4\mathbb F^4F4 up to scaling. The point lies on the plane, q∈πq\in\piq∈π, when q0π0+q1π1+q2π2+q3π3=0q_0\pi_0+q_1\pi_1+q_2\pi_2+q_3\pi_3=0q0​π0​+q1​π1​+q2​π2​+q3​π3​=0. A line of P3\mathbb P^3P3 is a 2-dimensional subspace of F4\mathbb F^4F4. For finite sets PPP of mmm points and Π\PiΠ of nnn planes, the incidence count is

∣I(P,Π)∣=#{(q,π)∈P×Π: q∈π}.|I(P,\Pi)|=\#\{(q,\pi)\in P\times\Pi:\ q\in\pi\}.∣I(P,Π)∣=#{(q,π)∈P×Π: q∈π}.

The collinearity parameter kkk is the largest number of planes of Π\PiΠ that contain a common line.

The proof works in the space of lines of P3\mathbb P^3P3. The line through qqq and uuu has Plücker vector L=(P01:P02:P03:P23:P31:P12)∈P5L=(P_{01}:P_{02}:P_{03}:P_{23}:P_{31}:P_{12})\in\mathbb P^5L=(P01​:P02​:P03​:P23​:P31​:P12​)∈P5, Pij=qiuj−qjuiP_{ij}=q_iu_j-q_ju_iPij​=qi​uj​−qj​ui​. These vectors fill the Klein quadric K={P01P23+P02P31+P03P12=0}\mathcal K=\{P_{01}P_{23}+P_{02}P_{31}+P_{03}P_{12}=0\}K={P01​P23​+P02​P31​+P03​P12​=0}. A point qqq defines its α-plane (the lines through qqq) and a plane π\piπ its β-plane (the lines in π\piπ), both projective planes inside K\mathcal KK. Cutting K\mathcal KK with a hyperplane SSS that is not tangent to it gives a three-quadric G=K∩S⊂S≅P4\mathcal G=\mathcal K\cap S\subset S\cong\mathbb P^4G=K∩S⊂S≅P4, and every α- and β-plane meets G\mathcal GG in a line.

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem 3

There are absolute constants c,C>0c,C>0c,C>0 such that for every field F\mathbb FF of characteristic ≠2\neq2=2, every set PPP of mmm points and every set Π\PiΠ of n≤mn\le mn≤m planes in P3\mathbb P^3P3, with n≤cp2n\le cp^2n≤cp2 when F\mathbb FF has positive characteristic ppp,

∣I(P,Π)∣≤C(mn+km).|I(P,\Pi)|\le C\big(m\sqrt n+km\big).∣I(P,Π)∣≤C(mn​+km).

In characteristic 000 there is no constraint on nnn.

Milestones

The proof decomposes as: point–plane incidences in P3\mathbb P^3P3 equal line–line incidences between two families of mutually skew lines in G\mathcal GG (Lemma 9), and those are bounded by

∣I(Lα,Lβ)∣≤C(mn+km)(Theorem 12),|I(L_\alpha,L_\beta)|\le C\big(m\sqrt n+km\big)\qquad(\text{Theorem 12}),∣I(Lα​,Lβ​)∣≤C(mn​+km)(Theorem 12),

where kkk now counts lines of LβL_\betaLβ​ in a three-dimensional section of G\mathcal GG. The supporting milestones are: the incidence criterion (9) for Plücker vectors, the intersection pattern of α- and β-planes, Lemma 6 on sections of G\mathcal GG, the generic projection from P4\mathbb P^4P4 to P3\mathbb P^3P3, the existence of a low-degree vanishing polynomial, the bound of ddd zeros on a line, and Salmon's theorem (Theorem 2) on surfaces with many lines.

Significance

Theorem 3 gives the incidence bound O(mn+km)O(m\sqrt n+km)O(mn​+km) with no assumption on the field beyond characteristic. The paper shows that its main term is sharp in positive characteristic under the constraint min⁡(m,n)=O(p2)\min(m,n)=O(p^2)min(m,n)=O(p2) alone (Remark 4), and that the bound is tight for n=mn=mn=m, k=mk=\sqrt mk=m​ (§6.2). It yields the paper's applications (distinct bilinear products of a planar point set over Fp\mathbb F_pFp​, and a pinned Erdős distance bound in positive characteristic), and it is the incidence input to sum–product estimates over Fp\mathbb F_pFp​ such as ∣AA∣+∣A+A∣≫∣A∣6/5|AA|+|A+A|\gg|A|^{6/5}∣AA∣+∣A+A∣≫∣A∣6/5.

The theorem is proved and published; it is not open. As far as is known, neither it nor its ingredients (the Klein correspondence in Plücker coordinates, the Guth–Katz polynomial argument over an arbitrary field, Salmon's theorem) has a machine-checked proof. This mission's statements give a formal target for the whole chain. Several milestones (the Plücker incidence criterion, the vanishing polynomial, zeros on a line, the generic projection) are standard facts of projective geometry over arbitrary fields that are useful well beyond this paper.

Difficulty

The obvious route, cell decomposition by polynomial partitioning as over R\mathbb RR, fails over a general field: there is no ordering, so no cells. The Guth–Katz algebraic argument survives, but in P3\mathbb P^3P3 it needs the hypothesis that few lines are concurrent, which point–plane arrangements violate. Rudnev's way out is to move the problem into the three-quadric G\mathcal GG. There the two line families are skew within themselves, and the collinearity parameter kkk becomes a count of lines in a three-dimensional section of G\mathcal GG.

The hard step is Theorem 12. It needs the polynomial method over an arbitrary field together with Salmon's theorem on flecnodal surfaces. That theorem holds in characteristic ppp only for degree d<pd<pd<p, which is the source of the constraint n=O(p2)n=O(p^2)n=O(p2). It also needs a structure theory of ruled surfaces to rule out many incidences inside non-quadric ruled components. Salmon's theorem alone has no formal proof anywhere.

Formalization scope

Points and planes of P3\mathbb P^3P3 are elements of Mathlib's ℙ F (Fin 4 → F). Finite sets of them are Finsets of projective classes, so they contain distinct points and planes. Incidence is Projectivization.orthogonal. Lines of P3\mathbb P^3P3, P4\mathbb P^4P4 and P5\mathbb P^5P5 are 2-dimensional subspaces. Two lines meet when their intersection is a nonzero subspace, and they are skew when it is zero. Plücker vectors are indexed in the order (P01,P02,P03,P23,P31,P12)(P_{01},P_{02},P_{03},P_{23},P_{31},P_{12})(P01​,P02​,P03​,P23​,P31​,P12​). A hyperplane SSS of P5\mathbb P^5P5 is given by its covector (u:w)(\boldsymbol u:\boldsymbol w)(u:w), and "not tangent to K\mathcal KK" is u⋅w≠0\boldsymbol u\cdot\boldsymbol w\neq0u⋅w=0. A three-subspace of SSS is a 4-dimensional subspace of SSS.

Committed conventions:

  • The constants ccc and CCC of Theorems 3 and 12 are quantified before the field and the configuration, because the paper declares O(⋅)O(\cdot)O(⋅) and ccc absolute (p. 1).
  • "n=O(p2)n=O(p^2)n=O(p2)" is read as n≤cp2n\le cp^2n≤cp2 for an existential absolute c>0c>0c>0. It applies only in positive characteristic.
  • kkk is any upper bound on the relevant count, which is equivalent to the maximum because the bound is monotone in kkk.
  • The field ranges over Type. Bounds are stated in R\mathbb RR, and Salmon's threshold d(11d−24)d(11d-24)d(11d−24) is computed in Z\mathbb ZZ.
  • "Ruled" means that every point of the surface lies on a line contained in it.
  • Lemma 6 carries the hypothesis S1≠S2S_1\neq S_2S1​=S2​, without which it is false.

Trivializing formalizations are excluded:

  • the constants may not depend on the field, the characteristic or kkk;
  • the characteristic constraint is not imposed in characteristic 000, where it would force n=0n=0n=0;
  • kkk is not a junk supremum over the infinitely many lines;
  • vector Finsets that would count one point twice are not used;
  • Theorem 12 is about lines in G⊂P4\mathcal G\subset\mathbb P^4G⊂P4, not lines in P3\mathbb P^3P3 (that would be the Guth–Katz theorem, with different hypotheses).

A complete development needs Plücker coordinates and the Klein correspondence over arbitrary fields, homogeneous polynomials on P3\mathbb P^3P3 and their zero sets, irreducible factorization, Salmon's theorem, and the Guth–Katz induction. Lemma 8 of the paper (generators of ruled surfaces as curves in K\mathcal KK) is not posed. Proofs of any milestone are welcome, as are proofs of the projective-geometry milestones as standalone Mathlib-style lemmas.

Selected references

  • M. Rudnev, On the number of incidences between points and planes in three dimensions, Combinatorica 38 (2018); arXiv:1407.0426v5 (the version formalized). https://arxiv.org/abs/1407.0426
  • L. Guth, N. H. Katz, On the Erdős distinct distances problem in the plane, Ann. of Math. 181 (2015) 155–190. https://arxiv.org/abs/1011.4105
  • J. Kollár, Szemerédi–Trotter-type theorems in dimension 3, Adv. Math. 271 (2015) 30–61. https://arxiv.org/abs/1405.2243
  • J. F. Voloch, Surfaces in P3\mathbb P^3P3 over finite fields, Contemp. Math. 324 (2003). https://doi.org/10.1090/conm/324
  • F. de Zeeuw, A short proof of Rudnev's point-plane incidence bound, arXiv:1612.02719 (2016). https://arxiv.org/abs/1612.02719
  • E. Szemerédi, W. T. Trotter, Extremal problems in discrete geometry, Combinatorica 3 (1983) 381–392. https://doi.org/10.1007/BF02579194
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Operations ResearchOptimal TransportOptimization+1·Captain: mikedeng1

A Short and General Duality Proof for Wasserstein Distributionally Robust Optimization IV: On a Polish Space, the Maximum-Transport-Cost Worst-Case Loss Equals E[sup{f(x) : c(X̂, x) ≤ ρ}]Research Paper

Why the maximum transport cost

In Wasserstein distributionally robust optimization (DRO) a decision is evaluated against the worst distribution within an optimal-transport ball around a nominal distribution P^\widehat{\mathbb P}P. For a Wasserstein distance of finite order ppp, the ball constrains an average transport cost. The case p=∞p=\inftyp=∞ is different. The ∞\infty∞-Wasserstein distance W∞\mathcal W_\inftyW∞​ constrains the largest distance any unit of mass travels, so it describes perturbations in which every sample may move, but only within a fixed radius. This is the perturbation model of adversarial training (Sinha, Namkoong and Duchi 2018) and of distributionally robust chance constraints (Xie 2021).

Zhang, Yang and Gao (arXiv:2205.00362v4, §5.1) generalize W∞\mathcal W_\inftyW∞​ to an arbitrary cost ccc, the maximum transport cost K‾c\overline{\mathcal K}_cKc​. They show (Theorem 2) that on a Polish space with a continuous cost the worst-case loss is a nominal expectation of a local supremum. Their Theorem 1 covers finite-order costs. Its proof does not reach this case, because K‾c\overline{\mathcal K}_cKc​ is not an integral of the cost, and a separate argument is needed.

Timeline. Strong duality for finite-order Wasserstein DRO was proved for empirical P^\widehat{\mathbb P}P on convex subsets of Rd\mathbb R^dRd by Mohajerin Esfahani and Kuhn (2018). On Polish spaces it was proved for a lower semicontinuous cost and an upper semicontinuous loss by Blanchet and Murthy (2019), and for a power of a metric by Gao and Kleywegt (2023). For distributionally robust chance constraints, Xie (2021) treated the 1-Wasserstein distance on a totally bounded Polish space. Yang and Gao (2022, Optimization Online) obtained the ∞\infty∞-Wasserstein chance-constraint reformulation on normed spaces. Zhang, Yang and Gao (arXiv 2022, v4 2024) state the ∞\infty∞-Wasserstein and maximum-transport-cost duality for a continuous cost on a Polish space (Theorem 2 and Example 7).

Setting

Let X\mathcal XX be a Polish space (complete, separable, metrizable) with its Borel σ\sigmaσ-algebra F\mathcal FF, and let P^\widehat{\mathbb P}P be a probability measure on X\mathcal XX, the nominal distribution. A cost is a continuous function c:X×X→[0,∞)c:\mathcal X\times\mathcal X\to[0,\infty)c:X×X→[0,∞) with c(x,x)=0c(x,x)=0c(x,x)=0, written c(x^,x)c(\widehat x,x)c(x,x) with the nominal point first. A loss is a measurable f:X→Rf:\mathcal X\to\mathbb Rf:X→R with EP^[f]>−∞\mathbb E_{\widehat{\mathbb P}}[f]>-\inftyEP​[f]>−∞. Expectations take values in [−∞,∞][-\infty,\infty][−∞,∞].

For probability measures P^,P\widehat{\mathbb P},\mathbb PP,P let Γ(P^,P)\Gamma(\widehat{\mathbb P},\mathbb P)Γ(P,P) be their couplings: the probability measures on X×X\mathcal X\times\mathcal XX×X with marginals P^\widehat{\mathbb P}P and P\mathbb PP. The maximum transport cost and its robust loss are

K‾c(P^,P)=inf⁡γ∈Γ(P^,P) γ-ess sup⁡x^,xc(x^,x),L‾(ρ)=sup⁡P{EX∼P[f(X)]:K‾c(P^,P)≤ρ}.\overline{\mathcal K}_c(\widehat{\mathbb P},\mathbb P)=\inf_{\gamma\in\Gamma(\widehat{\mathbb P},\mathbb P)}\ \gamma\text{-}\operatorname*{ess\,sup}_{\widehat x,x}c(\widehat x,x),\qquad \overline{\mathcal L}(\rho)=\sup_{\mathbb P}\big\{\mathbb E_{X\sim\mathbb P}[f(X)]:\overline{\mathcal K}_c(\widehat{\mathbb P},\mathbb P)\le\rho\big\}.Kc​(P,P)=γ∈Γ(P,P)inf​ γ-x,xesssup​c(x,x),L(ρ)=Psup​{EX∼P​[f(X)]:Kc​(P,P)≤ρ}.

For a metric c=dc=dc=d, K‾d=W∞\overline{\mathcal K}_d=\mathcal W_\inftyKd​=W∞​. The Legendre transform of h:R→[−∞,∞]h:\mathbb R\to[-\infty,\infty]h:R→[−∞,∞] is h∗(λ)=sup⁡ρ∈R{λρ−h(ρ)}h^*(\lambda)=\sup_{\rho\in\mathbb R}\{\lambda\rho-h(\rho)\}h∗(λ)=supρ∈R​{λρ−h(ρ)}, and (−L‾)∗(−λ)(-\overline{\mathcal L})^*(-\lambda)(−L)∗(−λ) is the soft-penalty counterpart sup⁡P{EP[f]−λK‾c(P^,P)}\sup_{\mathbb P}\{\mathbb E_{\mathbb P}[f]-\lambda\overline{\mathcal K}_c(\widehat{\mathbb P},\mathbb P)\}supP​{EP​[f]−λKc​(P,P)}.

The proof uses the interchangeability principle (IP). A measurable ϕ:X×X→R∪{−∞}\phi:\mathcal X\times\mathcal X\to\mathbb R\cup\{-\infty\}ϕ:X×X→R∪{−∞} satisfies (IP) if x^↦sup⁡xϕ(x^,x)\widehat x\mapsto\sup_x\phi(\widehat x,x)x↦supx​ϕ(x,x) is P^\widehat{\mathbb P}P-measurable and

EP^[sup⁡xϕ(X^,x)]=sup⁡γ∈ΓP^Eγ[ϕ(X^,X)],\mathbb E_{\widehat{\mathbb P}}\Big[\sup_x\phi(\widehat X,x)\Big]=\sup_{\gamma\in\Gamma_{\widehat{\mathbb P}}}\mathbb E_\gamma[\phi(\widehat X,X)],EP​[xsup​ϕ(X,x)]=γ∈ΓP​sup​Eγ​[ϕ(X,X)],

where ΓP^\Gamma_{\widehat{\mathbb P}}ΓP​ is the set of probability measures on X×X\mathcal X\times\mathcal XX×X with first marginal P^\widehat{\mathbb P}P. It also uses the measurable projection (Proj) and measurable selection (Sel) conditions of §3 of the paper.

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem 2

For every ρ≥0\rho\ge0ρ≥0 and every λ∈R\lambda\in\mathbb Rλ∈R,

L‾(ρ)=EX^∼P^[sup⁡x{f(x):c(X^,x)≤ρ}],(−L‾)∗(−λ)=sup⁡ρ≥0{EP^[sup⁡x{f(x):c(X^,x)≤ρ}]−λρ}.\overline{\mathcal L}(\rho)=\mathbb E_{\widehat X\sim\widehat{\mathbb P}}\Big[\sup_x\big\{f(x):c(\widehat X,x)\le\rho\big\}\Big],\qquad (-\overline{\mathcal L})^*(-\lambda)=\sup_{\rho\ge0}\Big\{\mathbb E_{\widehat{\mathbb P}}\Big[\sup_x\{f(x):c(\widehat X,x)\le\rho\}\Big]-\lambda\rho\Big\}.L(ρ)=EX∼P​[xsup​{f(x):c(X,x)≤ρ}],(−L)∗(−λ)=ρ≥0sup​{EP​[xsup​{f(x):c(X,x)≤ρ}]−λρ}.

Milestones

  1. Example 2: on a Polish space, (Proj) and (Sel) hold for every P^\widehat{\mathbb P}P.
  2. The barrier function ψρ(x^,x)=f(x)−∞1{c(x^,x)>ρ}\psi_\rho(\widehat x,x)=f(x)-\infty\mathbf 1\{c(\widehat x,x)>\rho\}ψρ​(x,x)=f(x)−∞1{c(x,x)>ρ} satisfies (IP).
  3. The coupling form: sup⁡{Eγ[f(X)]:γ∈ΓP^, γ-ess sup⁡c≤ρ}=EP^[sup⁡x{f(x):c(X^,x)≤ρ}]\sup\{\mathbb E_\gamma[f(X)]:\gamma\in\Gamma_{\widehat{\mathbb P}},\ \gamma\text{-}\operatorname{ess\,sup}c\le\rho\}=\mathbb E_{\widehat{\mathbb P}}[\sup_x\{f(x):c(\widehat X,x)\le\rho\}]sup{Eγ​[f(X)]:γ∈ΓP​, γ-esssupc≤ρ}=EP​[supx​{f(x):c(X,x)≤ρ}].
  4. Attainment (EC.1): if K‾c(P^,P)≤ρ\overline{\mathcal K}_c(\widehat{\mathbb P},\mathbb P)\le\rhoKc​(P,P)≤ρ then some γ∈Γ(P^,P)\gamma\in\Gamma(\widehat{\mathbb P},\mathbb P)γ∈Γ(P,P) has γ-ess sup⁡c≤ρ\gamma\text{-}\operatorname{ess\,sup}c\le\rhoγ-esssupc≤ρ.
  5. The soft identity: (−L‾)∗(−λ)=sup⁡P{EP[f]−λK‾c(P^,P)}(-\overline{\mathcal L})^*(-\lambda)=\sup_{\mathbb P}\{\mathbb E_{\mathbb P}[f]-\lambda\overline{\mathcal K}_c(\widehat{\mathbb P},\mathbb P)\}(−L)∗(−λ)=supP​{EP​[f]−λKc​(P,P)} for λ≥0\lambda\ge0λ≥0.

Significance

The result. Theorem 2 turns an optimization over probability measures into one expectation under P^\widehat{\mathbb P}P of a deterministic local problem. Each nominal point is replaced by the worst point of its ccc-ball. For an empirical P^\widehat{\mathbb P}P this is a finite sum of local maximizations. This is the reformulation used for ∞\infty∞-Wasserstein adversarial training and for distributionally robust chance constraints. Example 7 of the paper derives from it, for c=dc=dc=d, the robust chance constraint P^(d(X^,Sc)≤ρ)≤β\widehat{\mathbb P}(d(\widehat X,\mathcal S^c)\le\rho)\le\betaP(d(X,Sc)≤ρ)≤β on a Polish space. The theorem needs no convexity, no semicontinuity of fff and no finiteness of the support of P^\widehat{\mathbb P}P.

Formalizing it. The result is proved on paper; no machine-checked proof exists. A formal proof requires measurable projection and selection on Polish spaces, which Mathlib has only in part (analytic sets, Lusin separation). It also needs Prokhorov compactness for couplings and essential suprema under weak convergence. The milestones isolate these, so each can be attacked separately and reused.

Difficulty

The obvious argument restricts to deterministic transport plans x↦T(x)x\mapsto T(x)x↦T(x) with c(x,T(x))≤ρc(x,T(x))\le\rhoc(x,T(x))≤ρ. This argument has two gaps. First, the maximizing map must be measurable, and the local supremum x^↦sup⁡{f(x):c(x^,x)≤ρ}\widehat x\mapsto\sup\{f(x):c(\widehat x,x)\le\rho\}x↦sup{f(x):c(x,x)≤ρ} is in general only universally measurable, not Borel. Measurable projection and selection theorems for analytic sets are therefore needed, and the expectation must be read against the completion of P^\widehat{\mathbb P}P. Second, the constraint K‾c≤ρ\overline{\mathcal K}_c\le\rhoKc​≤ρ is an infimum over couplings, and an infimum need not be attained. Without attainment one only obtains an inequality. Attainment is where Polishness of X\mathcal XX and continuity of ccc enter, and continuity cannot be dropped. Remark 5 of the paper gives a discontinuous metric cost on [0,1]2[0,1]^2[0,1]2 for which the identity fails.

Formalization scope

  • Space. X\mathcal XX is a type with [TopologicalSpace X] [PolishSpace X] [MeasurableSpace X] [BorelSpace X].
  • Cost. ccc is real-valued, with continuity of (x^,x)↦c(x^,x)(\widehat x,x)\mapsto c(\widehat x,x)(x,x)↦c(x,x), nonnegativity and c(x,x)=0c(x,x)=0c(x,x)=0 as hypotheses.
  • Expectations. Expectations are the published ModelRiskOT.Duality.extIntegral, ∫φ+−∫φ−\int\varphi^+-\int\varphi^-∫φ+−∫φ− with lower Lebesgue integrals in EReal. It agrees with the paper whenever one part is finite and gives −∞-\infty−∞ for ∞−∞\infty-\infty∞−∞. For the universally measurable integrand of the goal it is the completed integral. The Bochner integral is not used.
  • Essential supremum. It is Mathlib's essSup of ofReal∘c\mathrm{ofReal}\circ cofReal∘c, so K‾c∈[0,∞]\overline{\mathcal K}_c\in[0,\infty]Kc​∈[0,∞].
  • The ball. The ball constraint is compared in EReal, so L‾(ρ)=−∞\overline{\mathcal L}(\rho)=-\inftyL(ρ)=−∞ for ρ<0\rho<0ρ<0. The Legendre transform ranges over all real ρ\rhoρ.
  • Penalty and supremum. The product λK‾c\lambda\overline{\mathcal K}_cλKc​ uses 0⋅∞=∞0\cdot\infty=\infty0⋅∞=∞. The local supremum is taken in EReal.
  • The barrier. In ψρ\psi_\rhoψρ​ the factor ∞⋅1{⋅}\infty\cdot\mathbf 1\{\cdot\}∞⋅1{⋅} is −∞-\infty−∞ on the set and 000 off it, which is the reading the proof's next line fixes.
  • Measurability. P^\widehat{\mathbb P}P-measurability is NullMeasurable.

The goal is stated only through L‾\overline{\mathcal L}L, K‾c\overline{\mathcal K}_cKc​, the Legendre transform and the local supremum. (IP), (Proj) and (Sel) appear only in milestones, so no hypothesis of the goal assumes the duality it asserts. The robust loss is not defined through an ENNReal comparison either, which would make the ball at negative radii coincide with the ball at radius 000.

A complete development needs the following:

  • universal measurability of analytic sets and a Jankov–von Neumann selection theorem (milestone 1, reusable across stochastic control and DRO);
  • compactness of the set of couplings with fixed marginals on a Polish space and the behaviour of essential suprema under weak convergence (milestone 4, reusable in optimal transport);
  • extended-real conjugate arithmetic (milestone 5).

Contributions to any of these layers are welcome independently.

Selected references

  • L. Zhang, J. Yang, R. Gao, A Short and General Duality Proof for Wasserstein Distributionally Robust Optimization, arXiv preprint, v4, 2024. https://arxiv.org/abs/2205.00362
  • J. Blanchet, K. Murthy, Quantifying Distributional Model Risk via Optimal Transport, Mathematics of Operations Research 44(2), 2019. https://doi.org/10.1287/moor.2018.0936
  • R. Gao, A. Kleywegt, Distributionally Robust Stochastic Optimization with Wasserstein Distance, Mathematics of Operations Research 48(2), 2023. https://doi.org/10.1287/moor.2022.1275
  • P. Mohajerin Esfahani, D. Kuhn, Data-driven distributionally robust optimization using the Wasserstein metric: performance guarantees and tractable reformulations, Mathematical Programming 171, 2018. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10107-017-1172-1
  • W. Xie, On distributionally robust chance constrained programs with Wasserstein distance, Mathematical Programming 186, 2021. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10107-019-01445-5
  • A. Sinha, H. Namkoong, J. Duchi, Certifying some distributional robustness with principled adversarial training, ICLR, 2018. https://arxiv.org/abs/1710.10571
  • C. D. Aliprantis, K. C. Border, Infinite Dimensional Analysis: A Hitchhiker's Guide, 3rd ed., Springer, 2006 (Theorem 18.26, cited for (Sel)). https://doi.org/10.1007/3-540-29587-9
  • J.-P. Aubin, H. Frankowska, Set-Valued Analysis, Birkhäuser, 2009 (Theorem 8.3.2, cited for (Proj)). https://doi.org/10.1007/978-0-8176-4848-0
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AnalysisProbabilityStochastic Systems·Captain: mikedeng1

On Well-Posedness of Forward–Backward SDEs—A Unified Approach 1: Under Cases I–III the FBSDE Has a Decoupling Field with Bounded Difference Quotients and a Unique L² Solution on [0, T]Research Paper

Motivation

A forward–backward stochastic differential equation (FBSDE) couples a forward SDE, solved from an initial state, with a backward SDE, solved from a terminal condition that depends on the forward state. Such systems arise from the stochastic maximum principle, from quasilinear parabolic PDEs through Feynman–Kac formulas, and in mathematical finance. Whenever a control problem or a market model is solved through its first-order conditions, a fully coupled FBSDE appears, and the question is whether it has a unique solution.

The history has a recurring gap: each method covers a different regime, and none handles coefficients that are random, fully coupled, and have a forward diffusion depending on the martingale integrand ZZZ, over an arbitrary horizon.

  • 1993: F. Antonelli proved well-posedness over a small time interval by contraction, under a smallness condition on the coupling.
  • 1994: J. Ma, P. Protter and J. Yong introduced the four-step scheme, solving Markovian FBSDEs with deterministic coefficients over arbitrary horizons through a quasilinear PDE; the forward diffusion may not depend on zzz in a degenerate way.
  • 1995–1999: Y. Hu, S. Peng and Z. Wu developed the method of continuation, which allows random coefficients over arbitrary horizons under a monotonicity condition on the coefficients.
  • 1999–2002: E. Pardoux and S. Tang, and F. Delarue, extended the PDE and fixed-point approaches under weak-coupling or strong-monotonicity conditions, in the Markovian setting.
  • 2015: J. Ma, Z. Wu, D. Zhang and J. Zhang (the source of this mission) gave a unified approach through the decoupling field and a scalar ordinary differential equation that dominates its spatial derivative.

Setting

Fix a horizon T>0T>0T>0 and a probability space carrying a one-dimensional Brownian motion BBB, with F\mathbb FF its natural filtration augmented by the null sets. All processes are real valued. The FBSDE (1.1) is

Xt=x+∫0tb(s,Θs) ds+∫0tσ(s,Θs) dBs,Yt=g(XT)+∫tTf(s,Θs) ds−∫tTZs dBs,X_t=x+\int_0^t b(s,\Theta_s)\,ds+\int_0^t\sigma(s,\Theta_s)\,dB_s,\qquad Y_t=g(X_T)+\int_t^T f(s,\Theta_s)\,ds-\int_t^T Z_s\,dB_s ,Xt​=x+∫0t​b(s,Θs​)ds+∫0t​σ(s,Θs​)dBs​,Yt​=g(XT​)+∫tT​f(s,Θs​)ds−∫tT​Zs​dBs​,

for t∈[0,T]t\in[0,T]t∈[0,T], with Θ=(X,Y,Z)\Theta=(X,Y,Z)Θ=(X,Y,Z). The coefficients b,σ,fb,\sigma,fb,σ,f depend on (t,ω,x,y,z)(t,\omega,x,y,z)(t,ω,x,y,z) and ggg on (x,ω)(x,\omega)(x,ω). Assumption 2.1 asks that they be progressively measurable for fixed (x,y,z)(x,y,z)(x,y,z), that I02=E{(∫0T[∣b∣+∣f∣](t,0,0,0)dt)2+∫0T∣σ∣2(t,0,0,0)dt+∣g(0)∣2}I_0^2=\mathbb E\{(\int_0^T[|b|+|f|](t,0,0,0)dt)^2+\int_0^T|\sigma|^2(t,0,0,0)dt+|g(0)|^2\}I02​=E{(∫0T​[∣b∣+∣f∣](t,0,0,0)dt)2+∫0T​∣σ∣2(t,0,0,0)dt+∣g(0)∣2} be finite, and that they be Lipschitz in (x,y,z)(x,y,z)(x,y,z) with a common constant K0K_0K0​, uniformly in ω\omegaω. Solutions are sought in the space L2\mathbb L^2L2 of progressively measurable Θ\ThetaΘ with ∥Θ∥L22=E{sup⁡t(∣Xt∣2+∣Yt∣2)+∫0T∣Zt∣2dt}<∞\|\Theta\|^2_{\mathbb L^2}=\mathbb E\{\sup_t(|X_t|^2+|Y_t|^2)+\int_0^T|Z_t|^2dt\}<\infty∥Θ∥L22​=E{supt​(∣Xt​∣2+∣Yt​∣2)+∫0T​∣Zt​∣2dt}<∞.

A decoupling field (Definition 2.2) is a random field u(t,x)u(t,x)u(t,x) with u(T,⋅)=gu(T,\cdot)=gu(T,⋅)=g such that, on every short interval [t1,t2][t_1,t_2][t1​,t2​] and from every square-integrable initial state, the FBSDE with terminal map u(t2,⋅)u(t_2,\cdot)u(t2​,⋅) is uniquely solvable and its solution satisfies Yt=u(t,Xt)Y_t=u(t,X_t)Yt​=u(t,Xt​).

The difference quotients (3.1) of the coefficients — b~i,σ~i,f~i\tilde b_i,\tilde\sigma_i,\tilde f_ib~i​,σ~i​,f~​i​ in the variables x,y,zx,y,zx,y,z (i=1,2,3i=1,2,3i=1,2,3) and h~\tilde hh~ for ggg — enter the scalar function

F=f1+f2y+y(b1+b2y)+(f3+b3y) y (σ1+σ2y)1−σ3y,F=f_1+f_2y+y(b_1+b_2y)+\frac{(f_3+b_3y)\,y\,(\sigma_1+\sigma_2y)}{1-\sigma_3y},F=f1​+f2​y+y(b1​+b2​y)+1−σ3​y(f3​+b3​y)y(σ1​+σ2​y)​,

and its essential supremum F‾(t,y)\overline F(t,y)F(t,y) and infimum F‾(t,y)\underline F(t,y)F​(t,y) over all quotients give the dominating ODEs (3.13): y‾t=h‾+∫tTF‾(s,y‾s)ds\overline y_t=\overline h+\int_t^T\overline F(s,\overline y_s)dsy​t​=h+∫tT​F(s,y​s​)ds and y‾t=h‾+∫tTF‾(s,y‾s)ds\underline y_t=\underline h+\int_t^T\underline F(s,\underline y_s)dsy​t​=h​+∫tT​F​(s,y​s​)ds, with h‾,h‾\overline h,\underline hh,h​ the bounds of h~\tilde hh~.

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem 7.4

Fix c1,c2,c3c_1,c_2,c_3c1​,c2​,c3​ with c1>0c_1>0c1​>0, 0<c2<c30<c_2<c_30<c2​<c3​, c1c3<1c_1c_3<1c1​c3​<1 (5.13). There are ε>0\varepsilon>0ε>0 and C>0C>0C>0, depending only on TTT, K0K_0K0​ and c1,c2,c3c_1,c_2,c_3c1​,c2​,c3​, such that whenever Assumption 2.1 holds and the quotients satisfy one of the nine conditions of Cases I–III ((5.14); (5.15)–(5.18); (5.19)–(5.22)), uniformly in the quotient arguments, then (i) the FBSDE has a decoupling field uuu whose quotient (u(t,x1)−u(t,x2))/(x1−x2)(u(t,x_1)-u(t,x_2))/(x_1-x_2)(u(t,x1​)−u(t,x2​))/(x1​−x2​) obeys the bound assumed of h~\tilde hh~ with c2c_2c2​ replaced by c3c_3c3​, and (ii) for every xxx there is a unique solution in L2\mathbb L^2L2, with

∥Θ∥L22≤C [ ∣x∣2+I02 ].\|\Theta\|^2_{\mathbb L^2}\le C\,\big[\,|x|^2+I_0^2\,\big].∥Θ∥L22​≤C[∣x∣2+I02​].

Milestones

  • Lemma 5.1: comparison for scalar backward ODEs between a sub- and a super-solution.
  • Theorems 5.9, 5.10, 5.11: under each case, the dominating ODEs have bounded solutions with the bound of hhh transported to c3c_3c3​, and 1−σ3y1-\sigma_3y1−σ3​y stays away from 000.
  • Theorems 6.1, 6.2, 6.3: over a short horizon T≤δT\le\deltaT≤δ, unique solvability, solutions of (3.13) in a band, and a random field uuu whose quotients lie between y‾\underline yy​ and y‾\overline yy​.
  • Theorem 2.3: a decoupling field gives a unique global solution with Yt=u(t,Xt)Y_t=u(t,X_t)Yt​=u(t,Xt​).

A companion statement, Corollary 7.5, gives well-posedness over [0,T][0,T][0,T] under the sign conditions (7.5) or (7.6), with no smallness constant.

Significance

The theorem replaces structural assumptions (small horizon, monotonicity, deterministic coefficients, σ\sigmaσ independent of zzz) by conditions that can be read off the coefficients through a scalar ODE. It covers random coefficients and a forward diffusion that depends on zzz, the case in which the classical Riccati-type obstruction σ3h=1\sigma_3h=1σ3​h=1 appears, and it recovers the earlier sufficient conditions as special cases (§7.4 of the paper). The decoupling field produced in (i) is uniformly Lipschitz, which is the input to the comparison and stability results of §8 and to numerical schemes based on Yt=u(t,Xt)Y_t=u(t,X_t)Yt​=u(t,Xt​).

The result is proved in the paper; nothing here is open mathematically. None of it is formalized: there is no machine-checked existence theory for coupled FBSDEs in any proof assistant this mission is aware of. A complete development would be the first formal well-posedness theorem for a fully coupled FBSDE, and the milestones — the ODE comparison lemma, the small-time theory, and the patching argument of Theorem 2.3 — are each self-contained.

Difficulty

The obvious approach is a contraction argument on [0,T][0,T][0,T]. It works only when TTT is small, because the Lipschitz constant of the solution map grows with the coupling; iterating it over a partition requires a terminal condition u(ti,⋅)u(t_i,\cdot)u(ti​,⋅) whose Lipschitz constant does not deteriorate from one subinterval to the next. Controlling that constant is the whole problem. Its spatial derivative satisfies a backward stochastic Riccati equation with quadratic growth in both yyy and zzz and a singularity where 1−σ3y=01-\sigma_3y=01−σ3​y=0; such equations need not have bounded solutions, and the standard comparison theory for quadratic BSDEs does not apply off the region where the generator is Lipschitz. A second difficulty is the small-time theory itself: when σ\sigmaσ depends on zzz, even a linear FBSDE with constant coefficients is well posed on short intervals only if σ3h≠1\sigma_3h\ne1σ3​h=1 (Theorem 7.1 of the paper), so in Cases II and III, where σ3\sigma_3σ3​ and hhh are large, the contraction argument does not apply even for small TTT.

Formalization scope

The development reuses the platform's Peng1990.SMP.Stochastic (standard Brownian motion, LF2L^2_{\mathcal F}LF2​, the L2L^2L2 Itô integral IsItoIntegral) and the augmented Brownian filtration of ReflectedBSDE.Existence.Setting. Time is R≥0\mathbb R_{\ge0}R≥0​, time integrals are over real intervals, and the stochastic integral ∫t1tσ dB\int_{t_1}^t\sigma\,dB∫t1​t​σdB is Jt−Jt1J_t-J_{t_1}Jt​−Jt1​​ for an Itô integral process JJJ of 1(t1,t2]σ(s,Θs)\mathbf 1_{(t_1,t_2]}\sigma(s,\Theta_s)1(t1​,t2​]​σ(s,Θs​).

Committed conventions:

  • Lipschitz bounds use the ℓ1\ell^1ℓ1 norm on R3\mathbb R^3R3 and hold for every ω\omegaω; I02I_0^2I02​ and ∥Θ∥L22\|\Theta\|^2_{\mathbb L^2}∥Θ∥L22​ are lower Lebesgue integrals in [0,∞][0,\infty][0,∞].
  • Uniqueness is uniqueness in L2\mathbb L^2L2: X,YX,YX,Y agree a.s. at each time and ZZZ agrees dt⊗dPdt\otimes d\mathbb Pdt⊗dP-a.e.
  • Solutions are unique only up to modification, so (7.2) is asserted for one solution in L2\mathbb L^2L2.
  • Definition 2.2's "0=t1<t2≤T0=t_1<t_2\le T0=t1​<t2​≤T" is read as 0≤t10\le t_10≤t1​, as the proof of Theorem 2.3 uses it.
  • Every condition on the quotients holds for every t∈[0,T]t\in[0,T]t∈[0,T], almost surely, for all arguments with distinct coordinates. F‾(t,c)≤ε\overline F(t,c)\le\varepsilonF(t,c)≤ε is stated in exactly that form. F‾,F‾,h‾,h‾\overline F,\underline F,\overline h,\underline hF,F​,h,h​ as functions are EReal\mathrm{EReal}EReal-valued, and solutions of (3.13) keep them finite.
  • "(1−σ3y)−1(1-\sigma_3y)^{-1}(1−σ3​y)−1 is bounded" is ∣1−σ~3yt∣≥κ>0|1-\tilde\sigma_3y_t|\ge\kappa>0∣1−σ~3​yt​∣≥κ>0. Every use of α3=b2−b3σ2/σ3\alpha_3=b_2-b_3\sigma_2/\sigma_3α3​=b2​−b3​σ2​/σ3​ carries σ~3≠0\tilde\sigma_3\ne0σ~3​=0, and (5.19), (5.21) carry the heading σ3≠0\sigma_3\ne0σ3​=0 of Table 3 in the goal.
  • The quotient bounds on uuu hold for each ttt and each pair x1≠x2x_1\ne x_2x1​=x2​ almost surely.
  • Lemma 5.1 additionally assumes y1≤y2y^1\le y^2y1≤y2 and L≥0L\ge0L≥0, both implicit on the page.

The constants ε\varepsilonε, δ\deltaδ and CCC are chosen before the probability space and the coefficients. A formalization that places them after the coefficients, integrates without integrability, divides at the pole 1−σ3y=01-\sigma_3y=01−σ3​y=0, uses a real-valued essential supremum of an unbounded family, or states uniqueness without a solution class would make the statements vacuous or false; none of these is used.

Contributions are welcome on every milestone. The ODE layer (Lemma 5.1 and the a priori bounds of Theorems 5.9–5.11) needs only real analysis and is a natural first target. The stochastic layer needs Itô-integral facts (linearity, restriction to subintervals, the Burkholder–Davis–Gundy and Doob inequalities in L2L^2L2) and the Lipschitz BSDE theory; these are reusable well beyond this mission.

Selected references

  • J. Ma, Z. Wu, D. Zhang, J. Zhang, On well-posedness of forward–backward SDEs—a unified approach, Ann. Appl. Probab. 25(4):2168–2214, 2015. https://arxiv.org/abs/1110.4658
  • F. Antonelli, Backward–forward stochastic differential equations, Ann. Appl. Probab. 3(3):777–793, 1993. https://doi.org/10.1214/aoap/1177005363
  • J. Ma, P. Protter, J. Yong, Solving forward–backward stochastic differential equations explicitly — a four step scheme, Probab. Theory Related Fields 98:339–359, 1994. https://doi.org/10.1007/BF01192258
  • Y. Hu, S. Peng, Solution of forward–backward stochastic differential equations, Probab. Theory Related Fields 103:273–283, 1995. https://doi.org/10.1007/BF01204218
  • S. Peng, Z. Wu, Fully coupled forward–backward stochastic differential equations and applications to optimal control, SIAM J. Control Optim. 37(3):825–843, 1999. https://doi.org/10.1137/S0363012996313549
  • F. Delarue, On the existence and uniqueness of solutions to FBSDEs in a non-degenerate case, Stochastic Process. Appl. 99:209–286, 2002. https://doi.org/10.1016/S0304-4149(02)00085-6
  • J. Ma, J. Yong, Forward–Backward Stochastic Differential Equations and their Applications, Lecture Notes in Math. 1702, Springer, 1999. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-540-48831-6
14 thms1 active userReviewed
Algebraic GeometryOptimization·Captain: mikedeng1

Exploiting Symmetries in SDP-Relaxations for Polynomial Optimization 2: A Symmetric Quartic Is Nonnegative iff Each Restriction f^ω to a 2-Partition ω Is a Sum of SquaresResearch Paper

Motivation

Deciding whether a real polynomial is non-negative on Rn\mathbb R^nRn is NP-hard already for quartics, and the standard computational substitute is to ask whether it is a sum of squares (SOS) of polynomials, which is a semidefinite feasibility problem. The two notions agree only in three cases, determined by Hilbert in 1888: univariate polynomials, quadratic forms, and ternary quartic forms (equivalently, polynomials of degree at most 4 in two variables). Outside those cases there are non-negative polynomials that are not SOS, among them symmetric ones: Choi and Lam exhibited a symmetric quartic form in four variables that is non-negative but not SOS.

Many polynomial optimization problems are symmetric, invariant under permutations of the variables. Riener, Theobald, Jansson Andrén and Lasserre (arXiv:1103.0486, Math. Oper. Res. 2013) study how symmetry reduces the size of SDP relaxations. Their §5 uses the degree principle, introduced by Timofte (2003) and refined by Riener (2012), to replace one symmetric problem in nnn variables by finitely many problems in few variables. For symmetric quartics this yields an exact SOS certificate of non-negativity in every dimension: Theorem 5.5, the goal of this mission.

Timeline:

  • 1888: Hilbert shows that non-negative ternary quartic forms are sums of squares (of quadratic forms).
  • 1977: Choi and Lam give a non-negative symmetric quartic form in four variables that is not SOS.
  • 2003: Timofte proves the half-degree principle for symmetric polynomials (J. Math. Anal. Appl.).
  • 2012: Riener refines it to semialgebraic constraints, with r=max⁡{2,⌊deg⁡f/2⌋,deg⁡gj}r = \max\{2, \lfloor \deg f/2\rfloor, \deg g_j\}r=max{2,⌊degf/2⌋,deggj​} (J. Pure Appl. Algebra).
  • 2012–2013: Riener, Theobald, Jansson Andrén and Lasserre derive Theorem 5.5.

Setting

Let R[X]=R[X1,…,Xn]\mathbb R[X] = \mathbb R[X_1, \dots, X_n]R[X]=R[X1​,…,Xn​]. A polynomial fff is symmetric if f(Xσ(1),…,Xσ(n))=ff(X_{\sigma(1)}, \dots, X_{\sigma(n)}) = ff(Xσ(1)​,…,Xσ(n)​)=f for every permutation σ\sigmaσ; its degree deg⁡f\deg fdegf is the total degree. A polynomial ppp is a sum of squares if p=∑i=1khi2p = \sum_{i=1}^k h_i^2p=∑i=1k​hi2​ for some polynomials hih_ihi​ in the same variables.

For symmetric f,g1,…,gm∈R[X]f, g_1, \dots, g_m \in \mathbb R[X]f,g1​,…,gm​∈R[X] put

K={x∈Rn:g1(x)≥0,…,gm(x)≥0},r:=max⁡{2,⌊(deg⁡f)/2⌋,deg⁡g1,…,deg⁡gm},K = \{x \in \mathbb R^n : g_1(x) \ge 0, \dots, g_m(x) \ge 0\}, \qquad r := \max\{2, \lfloor (\deg f)/2 \rfloor, \deg g_1, \dots, \deg g_m\},K={x∈Rn:g1​(x)≥0,…,gm​(x)≥0},r:=max{2,⌊(degf)/2⌋,degg1​,…,deggm​},

and let Ar⊆RnA_r \subseteq \mathbb R^nAr​⊆Rn be the set of points with at most rrr distinct components.

An rrr-partition of nnn is a vector ω=(ω1,…,ωr)\omega = (\omega_1, \dots, \omega_r)ω=(ω1​,…,ωr​) of positive, non-increasing integers with ω1+⋯+ωr=n\omega_1 + \dots + \omega_r = nω1​+⋯+ωr​=n; Ω\OmegaΩ denotes the set of all of them. For ω∈Ω\omega \in \Omegaω∈Ω,

fω:=f(T1,…,T1⏟ω1,…,Tr,…,Tr⏟ωr)∈R[T1,…,Tr],f^\omega := f(\underbrace{T_1, \dots, T_1}_{\omega_1}, \dots, \underbrace{T_r, \dots, T_r}_{\omega_r}) \in \mathbb R[T_1, \dots, T_r],fω:=f(ω1​T1​,…,T1​​​,…,ωr​Tr​,…,Tr​​​)∈R[T1​,…,Tr​],

and Kω:={t∈Rr:g1ω(t)≥0,…,gmω(t)≥0}K^\omega := \{t \in \mathbb R^r : g_1^\omega(t) \ge 0, \dots, g_m^\omega(t) \ge 0\}Kω:={t∈Rr:g1ω​(t)≥0,…,gmω​(t)≥0}. For r=2r = 2r=2 the partitions are (ω1,ω2)(\omega_1, \omega_2)(ω1​,ω2​) with ω1≥ω2≥1\omega_1 \ge \omega_2 \ge 1ω1​≥ω2​≥1, ω1+ω2=n\omega_1 + \omega_2 = nω1​+ω2​=n; there are ⌊n/2⌋\lfloor n/2 \rfloor⌊n/2⌋ of them.

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem 5.5 (p. 23)

For n≥2n \ge 2n≥2 and a symmetric f∈R[X1,…,Xn]f \in \mathbb R[X_1, \dots, X_n]f∈R[X1​,…,Xn​] of degree 444,

(∀x∈Rn: f(x)≥0)  ⟺  (∀ω∈Ω: fω is a sum of squares in R[T1,T2]),\big(\forall x \in \mathbb R^n:\ f(x) \ge 0\big) \iff \big(\forall \omega \in \Omega:\ f^\omega \text{ is a sum of squares in } \mathbb R[T_1, T_2]\big),(∀x∈Rn: f(x)≥0)⟺(∀ω∈Ω: fω is a sum of squares in R[T1​,T2​]),

with Ω\OmegaΩ the set of 2-partitions of nnn.

Milestones

  1. Proposition 5.1 (p. 21, quoted from Riener [33, Theorem 4.5]), the degree principle:
inf⁡x∈Kf(x)=inf⁡x∈K∩Arf(x).\inf_{x \in K} f(x) = \inf_{x \in K \cap A_r} f(x).x∈Kinf​f(x)=x∈K∩Ar​inf​f(x).
  1. Display (5.1) (p. 22), for r≤nr \le nr≤n:
inf⁡x∈Kf(x)=min⁡ω∈Ω inf⁡t∈Kωfω(t).\inf_{x \in K} f(x) = \min_{\omega \in \Omega}\ \inf_{t \in K^\omega} f^\omega(t).x∈Kinf​f(x)=ω∈Ωmin​ t∈Kωinf​fω(t).
  1. Hilbert's theorem (p. 23): every non-negative ternary quartic form is a sum of squares.
  2. The step of the proof of Theorem 5.5 (p. 23): a polynomial in two variables of degree at most 4 is non-negative if and only if it is a sum of squares.

Significance

Theorem 5.5 turns non-negativity of a symmetric quartic in any number of variables into ⌊n/2⌋\lfloor n/2 \rfloor⌊n/2⌋ semidefinite feasibility problems of fixed size, one per 2-partition, each in two variables. This is a certificate scheme that is exact, in contrast with the SOS relaxation in nnn variables, which fails for the Choi–Lam quartic. Proposition 5.1 and (5.1) are the general mechanism behind it, and they apply to any symmetric problem whose degrees are small relative to nnn: they underlie the reduced relaxation hierarchy of Theorem 5.2 of the same paper.

All four milestones and the goal are proved results in the literature; the work is formalization. As far as a search of the platform shows, neither the degree principle nor Hilbert's ternary quartic theorem has a machine-checked statement on Prove2Me, and Mathlib has the vocabulary (MvPolynomial.IsSymmetric, IsSumSq) but neither theorem. Hilbert's theorem is a classical result of real algebraic geometry that is reusable far beyond this mission, for example in any SOS-exactness argument in low dimension.

Difficulty

The obvious route to the goal is to apply Hilbert's theorem to each fωf^\omegafω, and that is the whole printed proof; it gives only the direction "non-negative implies every fωf^\omegafω is SOS". The converse, "every fωf^\omegafω SOS implies fff non-negative", is not a consequence of Hilbert's theorem: it says that a symmetric quartic attains its infimum, if anywhere, on points with at most two distinct coordinate values, which is the degree principle with r=max⁡{2,⌊4/2⌋}=2r = \max\{2, \lfloor 4/2 \rfloor\} = 2r=max{2,⌊4/2⌋}=2. The paper quotes the degree principle from Riener's earlier work without proof, and it is not available in Mathlib.

Hilbert's theorem itself is the hardest item. It is a statement about all non-negative quartic forms in three variables, with no symmetry to exploit, and every known proof needs substantial real algebraic geometry beyond what Mathlib provides; it is not a computation on a Gram matrix.

Formalization scope

Polynomials are MvPolynomial (Fin n) ℝ; evaluation is MvPolynomial.eval; degree is totalDegree; symmetric is MvPolynomial.IsSymmetric; sum of squares is Mathlib's IsSumSq in the relevant polynomial ring (the empty sum 000 is allowed, as on the page). An rrr-partition is encoded by its block map b:Fin n→Fin rb : \mathrm{Fin}\ n \to \mathrm{Fin}\ rb:Fin n→Fin r, required to be monotone, surjective and with non-increasing fibre sizes; this is in bijection with the page's Ω\OmegaΩ, and fωf^\omegafω is the substitution Xi↦Tb(i)X_i \mapsto T_{b(i)}Xi​↦Tb(i)​. Infima in Proposition 5.1 and (5.1) are taken in EReal, so empty feasible sets give +∞+\infty+∞ and unbounded problems give −∞-\infty−∞; no extended-real arithmetic is used.

Disclosed additions and readings, each forced by the page:

  • n≥2n \ge 2n≥2 in Theorem 5.5. For n=1n = 1n=1 there is no 2-partition and f=X14−1f = X_1^4 - 1f=X14​−1 is a counterexample.
  • r≤nr \le nr≤n in (5.1). For r>nr > nr>n there is no rrr-partition and the right-hand side is +∞+\infty+∞.
  • "Ternary quartic polynomial" is a ternary quartic form in Hilbert's theorem; the inhomogeneous reading is false.
  • "Of degree 4" is "degree at most 4" in the step of the proof (milestone 4), since substitution can lower the degree; the goal keeps "degree exactly 4" as printed.

Ruled out: replacing "sum of squares" by non-negativity of fωf^\omegafω (which would make the goal Proposition 5.1 alone), real-valued infima (which are 000 on empty or unbounded sets), or arbitrary maps Fin n→Fin 2\mathrm{Fin}\ n \to \mathrm{Fin}\ 2Fin n→Fin 2 in place of 2-partitions.

Welcome contributions: Hilbert's theorem on ternary quartics in any standard form; homogenization and dehomogenization lemmas for MvPolynomial and IsSumSq; the degree principle, first for K=RnK = \mathbb R^nK=Rn (the case the goal needs) and then with constraints.

Selected references

  • C. Riener, T. Theobald, L. Jansson Andrén, J. B. Lasserre, Exploiting symmetries in SDP-relaxations for polynomial optimization, Math. Oper. Res. 38(1):122–141, 2013; arXiv:1103.0486v3. https://arxiv.org/abs/1103.0486, https://doi.org/10.1287/moor.1120.0558
  • C. Riener, On the degree and half-degree principle for symmetric polynomials, J. Pure Appl. Algebra 216(4):850–856, 2012. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jpaa.2011.08.012
  • V. Timofte, On the positivity of symmetric polynomial functions. Part I: General results, J. Math. Anal. Appl. 284(1):174–190, 2003. https://doi.org/10.1016/S0022-247X(03)00301-9
  • D. Hilbert, Über die Darstellung definiter Formen als Summe von Formenquadraten, Math. Ann. 32:342–350, 1888. https://doi.org/10.1007/BF01443605
  • M. D. Choi, T. Y. Lam, Extremal positive semidefinite forms, Math. Ann. 231:1–18, 1977. https://doi.org/10.1007/BF01360024
7 thms1 active userReviewed
Operations ResearchOptimizationProbability+1·Captain: mikedeng1

Residuals-based distributionally robust optimization with covariate information 2: Sample Robust and Same-Support ER-DRO Converge at the Rate O_p(n^(−r/2))Research Paper

Decisions with covariate information

In many operational problems the decision zzz is taken after observing covariates xxx (weather, calendar, prices) that carry information about an uncertain quantity YYY (demand, yield, return). The target is the conditional stochastic program: minimize E[c(z,Y)∣X=x]\mathbb E[c(z,Y)\mid X=x]E[c(z,Y)∣X=x] over a feasible set Z\mathcal ZZ. Kannan, Bayraksan and Luedtke (Math. Program. 2023) approach it in two steps: fit a regression model of YYY on XXX, then use the regression residuals as scenarios of the uncertainty at the new covariate xxx. Their earlier work (Kannan, Bayraksan, Luedtke, arXiv:2207.13554) analysed the sample average approximation built in this way (ER-SAA). The 2023 paper wraps the same scenarios in a distributionally robust problem, to protect against the small-sample error of the regression and of the residuals.

This mission formalizes the paper's rate of convergence for a family of ambiguity sets that contains sample robust optimization and reweighting (φ-divergence, CVaR) sets as special cases.

Setting

Responses Y∈RdyY\in\mathbb R^{d_y}Y∈Rdy​ follow Y=f∗(X)+εY=f^*(X)+\varepsilonY=f∗(X)+ε, with regression function f∗f^*f∗ and error ε\varepsilonε of law PεP_\varepsilonPε​. A known nonempty closed convex set Y\mathcal YY contains the range of YYY, with orthogonal projection projY\mathrm{proj}_{\mathcal Y}projY​. From data Dn={(yi,xi)}i=1n\mathcal D_n=\{(y^i,x^i)\}_{i=1}^nDn​={(yi,xi)}i=1n​, with εi=yi−f∗(xi)\varepsilon^i=y^i-f^*(x^i)εi=yi−f∗(xi), one computes a regression estimate f^n\hat f_nf^​n​ and residuals ε^ni=yi−f^n(xi)\hat\varepsilon^i_n=y^i-\hat f_n(x^i)ε^ni​=yi−f^​n​(xi). At a covariate realization xxx the scenarios are projY(f^n(x)+ε^ni)\mathrm{proj}_{\mathcal Y}(\hat f_n(x)+\hat\varepsilon^i_n)projY​(f^​n​(x)+ε^ni​).

The true problem (3) is v∗(x)=min⁡z∈Zg(z;x)v^*(x)=\min_{z\in\mathcal Z}g(z;x)v∗(x)=minz∈Z​g(z;x) with g(z;x)=E[c(z,f∗(x)+ε)]g(z;x)=\mathbb E[c(z,f^*(x)+\varepsilon)]g(z;x)=E[c(z,f∗(x)+ε)], and the full-information SAA objective (4) is gn∗(z;x)=1n∑ic(z,f∗(x)+εi)g^*_n(z;x)=\frac1n\sum_i c(z,f^*(x)+\varepsilon^i)gn∗​(z;x)=n1​∑i​c(z,f∗(x)+εi).

The unified ambiguity family of §5 has two radii. μn(x)≥0\mu_n(x)\ge0μn​(x)≥0 is the radius of balls Y^ni={y∈Y:∥y−projY(f^n(x)+ε^ni)∥≤μn(x)}\hat{\mathcal Y}^i_n=\{y\in\mathcal Y:\|y-\mathrm{proj}_{\mathcal Y}(\hat f_n(x)+\hat\varepsilon^i_n)\|\le\mu_n(x)\}Y^​ni​={y∈Y:∥y−projY​(f^​n​(x)+ε^ni​)∥≤μn​(x)} around each scenario. Pn=Pn(x;ζn(x))\mathfrak P_n=\mathfrak P_n(x;\zeta_n(x))Pn​=Pn​(x;ζn​(x)) is a set of probability vectors that shrinks to the uniform weights. The worst-case expected cost over the distributions ∑ipiδyˉi\sum_ip_i\delta_{\bar y^i}∑i​pi​δyˉ​i​ with p∈Pnp\in\mathfrak P_np∈Pn​ and yˉi∈Y^ni\bar y^i\in\hat{\mathcal Y}^i_nyˉ​i∈Y^​ni​ is the ER-DRO objective

g^s,nER(z;x)=sup⁡p∈Pn∑i=1npisup⁡y∈Y^nic(z,y),\hat g^{ER}_{s,n}(z;x)=\sup_{p\in\mathfrak P_n}\sum_{i=1}^n p_i\sup_{y\in\hat{\mathcal Y}^i_n}c(z,y),g^​s,nER​(z;x)=p∈Pn​sup​i=1∑n​pi​y∈Y^​ni​sup​c(z,y),

and the ER-DRO problem (8) is v^nDRO(x)=min⁡z∈Zg^s,nER(z;x)\hat v^{DRO}_n(x)=\min_{z\in\mathcal Z}\hat g^{ER}_{s,n}(z;x)v^nDRO​(x)=minz∈Z​g^​s,nER​(z;x), with optimal solution z^nDRO(x)\hat z^{DRO}_n(x)z^nDRO​(x). Taking ζn≡0\zeta_n\equiv0ζn​≡0 gives sample robust optimization; taking μn≡0\mu_n\equiv0μn​≡0 gives ambiguity sets with the same support as the empirical residual distribution. The intermediate objective gs,n∗(z;x)=sup⁡p∈Pn∑ipi c(z,f∗(x)+εi)g^*_{s,n}(z;x)=\sup_{p\in\mathfrak P_n}\sum_ip_i\,c(z,f^*(x)+\varepsilon^i)gs,n∗​(z;x)=supp∈Pn​​∑i​pi​c(z,f∗(x)+εi) reweights the true scenarios.

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem 17 (p. 24)

Assume the following:

  • Assumption 9: c(z,⋅)c(z,\cdot)c(z,⋅) is Lipschitz on Y\mathcal YY, with constants L(z)L(z)L(z) bounded on Z\mathcal ZZ.
  • Assumption 12: sup⁡p∈Pn∑i(pi−1n)2=Cζn−(1+r)\sup_{p\in\mathfrak P_n}\sum_i(p_i-\frac1n)^2=C_\zeta n^{-(1+r)}supp∈Pn​​∑i​(pi​−n1​)2=Cζ​n−(1+r).
  • Assumption 13: a uniform weak LLN for c2c^2c2.
  • Assumption 14: a functional CLT for n(gn∗−g)\sqrt n(g^*_n-g)n​(gn∗​−g) in C(Z)C(\mathcal Z)C(Z).
  • Assumption 15: the regression rate ∥f∗(x)−f^n(x)∥2=Op(n−r)\|f^*(x)-\hat f_n(x)\|^2=O_p(n^{-r})∥f∗(x)−f^​n​(x)∥2=Op​(n−r) and 1n∑i∥f∗(xi)−f^n(xi)∥2=Op(n−r)\frac1n\sum_i\|f^*(x^i)-\hat f_n(x^i)\|^2=O_p(n^{-r})n1​∑i​∥f∗(xi)−f^​n​(xi)∥2=Op​(n−r) with 0<r≤10<r\le10<r≤1.
  • The radius is μn=Cμn−r/2\mu_n=C_\mu n^{-r/2}μn​=Cμ​n−r/2.

Then

∣v^nDRO(x)−v∗(x)∣=Op(n−r/2),∣g(z^nDRO(x);x)−v∗(x)∣=Op(n−r/2).\bigl|\hat v^{DRO}_n(x)-v^*(x)\bigr|=O_p(n^{-r/2}),\qquad \bigl|g(\hat z^{DRO}_n(x);x)-v^*(x)\bigr|=O_p(n^{-r/2}).​v^nDRO​(x)−v∗(x)​=Op​(n−r/2),​g(z^nDRO​(x);x)−v∗(x)​=Op​(n−r/2).

Milestones

  1. Lemma 14, the deterministic three-term bound (12) on sup⁡z∣g^s,nER−g∣\sup_z|\hat g^{ER}_{s,n}-g|supz​∣g^​s,nER​−g∣.
  2. sup⁡z∣g^s,nER−gs,n∗∣=Op(n−r/2)\sup_z|\hat g^{ER}_{s,n}-g^*_{s,n}|=O_p(n^{-r/2})supz​∣g^​s,nER​−gs,n∗​∣=Op​(n−r/2), the regression term.
  3. sup⁡z∣gs,n∗−gn∗∣=Op(n−r/2)\sup_z|g^*_{s,n}-g^*_n|=O_p(n^{-r/2})supz​∣gs,n∗​−gn∗​∣=Op​(n−r/2), the reweighting term.
  4. sup⁡z∣gn∗−g∣=Op(n−1/2)\sup_z|g^*_n-g|=O_p(n^{-1/2})supz​∣gn∗​−g∣=Op​(n−1/2), the full-information term.
  5. sup⁡z∣g^s,nER−g∣=Op(n−r/2)\sup_z|\hat g^{ER}_{s,n}-g|=O_p(n^{-r/2})supz​∣g^​s,nER​−g∣=Op​(n−r/2), the uniform rate of the objective.

Significance

Theorem 17 shows that robustifying the residuals-based SAA costs nothing in rate. With ρ=1+r\rho=1+rρ=1+r the ER-DRO estimators converge at the rate n−r/2n^{-r/2}n−r/2 of the ER-SAA estimators, which is set by the regression step: r=1r=1r=1 for OLS or Lasso, and r=C/dxr=C/d_xr=C/dx​ for kernel regression or random forests. It covers in one statement sample-robust sets, φ-divergence sets and CVaR sets around the residual scenarios. It is the template for the paper's mean-rate analogue (Theorem 18) and for the consistency results (Proposition 15, Theorem 16), which reuse Lemma 14.

The result is proved in the paper; nothing in it is machine-checked. The mission produces checked versions of the decomposition (12) and of each OpO_pOp​ step. It also produces a reusable OpO_pOp​ predicate, a statement of a functional CLT in C(Z)C(\mathcal Z)C(Z) through Mathlib's convergence in distribution, and the passage from a uniform objective rate to rates for the optimal value and the out-of-sample cost.

Difficulty

The paper's proof is short, but each line hides a step. The obvious bound on the regression term uses the plain average 1n∑i∥ε~ni∥\frac1n\sum_i\|\tilde\varepsilon^i_n\|n1​∑i​∥ε~ni​∥. Under a reweighting p∈Pnp\in\mathfrak P_np∈Pn​ that average is no longer what appears, and controlling ∑ipi∥ε~ni∥\sum_ip_i\|\tilde\varepsilon^i_n\|∑i​pi​∥ε~ni​∥ needs the factor (1+n∑i(pi−1n)2)1/2(1+n\sum_i(p_i-\frac1n)^2)^{1/2}(1+n∑i​(pi​−n1​)2)1/2, which stays bounded only because of the rate in Assumption 12.

The full-information term needs tightness of sup⁡z∣n(gn∗−g)∣\sup_z|\sqrt n(g^*_n-g)|supz​∣n​(gn∗​−g)∣ from convergence in distribution in C(Z)C(\mathcal Z)C(Z). That is a continuous-mapping and Portmanteau argument on a function space, not on R\mathbb RR.

All suprema over zzz may be infinite for individual data realizations, and the probabilities of the events involved need not be measurable. Arithmetic with OpO_pOp​ (sums, products with Op(1)O_p(1)Op​(1), comparing rates n−1/2≤n−r/2n^{-1/2}\le n^{-r/2}n−1/2≤n−r/2) must be carried out with these in mind.

Formalization scope

Carriers are the Euclidean spaces Rdx\mathbb R^{d_x}Rdx​, Rdy\mathbb R^{d_y}Rdy​, Rdz\mathbb R^{d_z}Rdz​. The data are random variables on a probability space (Ω,P)(\Omega,P)(Ω,P), and sample i∈[n]i\in[n]i∈[n] is i : Fin n. The covariate xxx is fixed, and the paper's "for a.e. xxx" assumptions are hypotheses at that xxx. No i.i.d. assumption is made. Pn\mathfrak P_nPn​ is a nonempty subset of the probability simplex. The limit clause of (9) concerns the family in the radius at fixed nnn; Theorem 17 does not use it, so it is omitted. Assumption 12 is printed as an equality for every nnn, which cannot hold at n=1n=1n=1 (there P1⊆{(1)}\mathfrak P_1\subseteq\{(1)\}P1​⊆{(1)}), so it is required for all large nnn. g^s,nER\hat g^{ER}_{s,n}g^​s,nER​ is defined by the explicit formula of p. 20, which the paper states equals the worst-case expectation over P^n(x)\hat{\mathcal P}_n(x)P^n​(x). z^nDRO\hat z^{DRO}_nz^nDRO​ and a true minimizer z∗z^*z∗ are taken as given selections of minimizers; the paper's standing assumptions guarantee they exist.

Op(wn)O_p(w_n)Op​(wn​) means: for every δ>0\delta>0δ>0 there are M>0M>0M>0 and NNN with P(Vn>Mwn)≤δP(V_n>Mw_n)\le\deltaP(Vn​>Mwn​)≤δ for all n≥Nn\ge Nn≥N, for [0,∞][0,\infty][0,∞]-valued VnV_nVn​. Every supremum over zzz is computed in [0,∞][0,\infty][0,∞], so an unbounded family is never read as 000. Convergence in distribution is Mathlib's TendstoInDistribution for the Borel σ\sigmaσ-algebra on C(Z)C(\mathcal Z)C(Z).

The sample-robust balls are centred at the projected residual scenarios, not at the true scenarios f∗(x)+εif^*(x)+\varepsilon^if∗(x)+εi. Centring them at the true scenarios would make the regression term vanish and the goal close to the full-information result.

A complete development needs the Cauchy–Schwarz steps of Appendix A.6 and the nonexpansiveness of the projection onto a closed convex set (inequality (6)). It also needs a calculus of OpO_pOp​, tightness of norms under convergence in distribution in C(Z)C(\mathcal Z)C(Z), and the passage from uniform objective rates to optimal-value rates. The OpO_pOp​ calculus and the tightness lemma are reusable beyond this paper. Contributions proving any milestone, or general OpO_pOp​ lemmas as separate theorems, are welcome.

Selected references

  • R. Kannan, G. Bayraksan, J. R. Luedtke, Residuals-based distributionally robust optimization with covariate information, Mathematical Programming, 2023. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10107-023-02014-7
  • R. Kannan, G. Bayraksan, J. R. Luedtke, Data-driven sample average approximation with covariate information, arXiv:2207.13554 (2022). https://arxiv.org/abs/2207.13554
  • A. Shapiro, D. Dentcheva, A. Ruszczyński, Lectures on Stochastic Programming: Modeling and Theory, SIAM, 2009. https://doi.org/10.1137/1.9780898718751
  • A. Ben-Tal, D. den Hertog, A. De Waegenaere, B. Melenberg, G. Rennen, Robust solutions of optimization problems affected by uncertain probabilities, Management Science 59(2), 2013. https://doi.org/10.1287/mnsc.1120.1641
  • D. Bertsimas, S. Shtern, B. Sturt, Two-stage sample robust optimization, Operations Research 70(1), 2022. https://doi.org/10.1287/opre.2020.2096
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CombinatoricsGraph TheoryLinear Optimization+1·Captain: mikedeng1

Shorter Tours by Nicer Ears 3: Every 2-Edge-Connected Graph Has a 2-Edge-Connected Spanning Subgraph with at Most 4/3 LP(G) EdgesResearch Paper

Motivation

Designing a network that survives the failure of any single link is a basic problem of network design: given a graph GGG whose links can be bought, choose as few links as possible so that the chosen subgraph still connects all vertices after any one of its links is removed. This is the minimum 2-edge-connected spanning subgraph problem (2ECSS). It is NP-hard, since the 2-edge-connected spanning subgraphs with ∣V(G)∣|V(G)|∣V(G)∣ edges are exactly the Hamiltonian circuits, and it is a relaxation of the graphic travelling salesman problem: every tour of a 2-edge-connected graph yields a 2ECSS with at most as many edges.

Timeline of approximation ratios for unweighted 2ECSS:

  • taking a spanning tree and doubling it gives ratio 2;
  • Khuller and Vishkin (1994) gave a 3/23/23/2-approximation;
  • Cheriyan, Sebő and Szigeti (2001) improved the ratio to 17/1217/1217/12, using ear-decompositions with few even ears;
  • Sebő and Vygen (2012, Combinatorica 2014) obtained 4/34/34/3, measured against the linear programming relaxation, as part of the same paper that gives 7/57/57/5 for graphic TSP and 3/23/23/2 for connected-TTT-joins (arXiv:1201.1870).

Setting

A graph GGG has finite vertex and edge sets; every edge has two distinct ends, and parallel edges are allowed. For W⊆V(G)W\subseteq V(G)W⊆V(G), δ(W)\delta(W)δ(W) is the set of edges with exactly one end in WWW, and for x∈RE(G)x\in\mathbb R^{E(G)}x∈RE(G) we write x(S)=∑e∈Sxex(S)=\sum_{e\in S}x_ex(S)=∑e∈S​xe​. An edge set F⊆E(G)F\subseteq E(G)F⊆E(G) is 2-edge-connected spanning (a 2ECSS of GGG) if (V(G),F)(V(G),F)(V(G),F) is connected and stays connected after the deletion of any single edge of FFF; GGG is 2-edge-connected if E(G)E(G)E(G) is.

The cut relaxation of 2ECSS is

LP(G)=min⁡{x(E(G)):x∈R≥0E(G), x(δ(W))≥2 for all ∅≠W⊊V(G)}.\mathrm{LP}(G)=\min\Bigl\{x(E(G)) : x\in\mathbb R^{E(G)}_{\ge0},\ x(\delta(W))\ge2\ \text{for all}\ \emptyset\ne W\subsetneq V(G)\Bigr\}.LP(G)=min{x(E(G)):x∈R≥0E(G)​, x(δ(W))≥2 for all ∅=W⊊V(G)}.

Every 2ECSS crosses every cut at least twice, so LP(G)≤OPT2EC(G)\mathrm{LP}(G)\le\mathrm{OPT}_{2EC}(G)LP(G)≤OPT2EC​(G), the minimum size of a 2-edge-connected spanning multi-subgraph.

An ear-decomposition of GGG starts from a single vertex and adds ears P1,…,PkP_1,\dots,P_kP1​,…,Pk​: paths whose two ends, or circuits whose one vertex, lie on the earlier ears, and whose other (internal) vertices in(Pi)\mathrm{in}(P_i)in(Pi​) are new. The ears partition E(G)E(G)E(G). An ear of length lll is even if lll is even, nontrivial if l≥2l\ge2l≥2, and short if l∈{2,3}l\in\{2,3\}l∈{2,3}. A nontrivial ear is pendant if no nontrivial ear has an end among its internal vertices; π\piπ denotes the number of pendant ears. φ(G)\varphi(G)φ(G) is the minimum number of even ears over all ear-decompositions, and Lφ(G)=∣V(G)∣+φ(G)−1L_\varphi(G)=|V(G)|+\varphi(G)-1Lφ​(G)=∣V(G)∣+φ(G)−1.

An ear-decomposition is nice if it has φ(G)\varphi(G)φ(G) even ears, all its short ears are pendant, and internal vertices of different short ears are non-adjacent. The internal vertex sets of its short ears avoiding a set TTT form an eardrum MMM. An earmuff chooses, for some F⊆MF\subseteq MF⊆M, a path PfP_fPf​ with in(Pf)=f\mathrm{in}(P_f)=fin(Pf​)=f for each f∈Ff\in Ff∈F so that the union of their edges is a forest. μ(G,M)\mu(G,M)μ(G,M) is the largest such ∣F∣|F|∣F∣, and Lμ(G,M)=∣V(G)∣−1+∣M∣−μ(G,M)L_\mu(G,M)=|V(G)|-1+|M|-\mu(G,M)Lμ​(G,M)=∣V(G)∣−1+∣M∣−μ(G,M).

Formalization targets

Goal (Theorem 30, p. 22)

For every 2-edge-connected graph GGG there is a 2ECSS F⊆E(G)F\subseteq E(G)F⊆E(G) with

∣F∣ ≤ 43 LP(G).|F|\ \le\ \tfrac43\,\mathrm{LP}(G).∣F∣ ≤ 34​LP(G).

Milestones, in the order of the paper's proof

  1. Proposition 2: OPT(G)≥OPT2EC(G)≥LP(G)≥∣V(G)∣\mathrm{OPT}(G)\ge\mathrm{OPT}_{2EC}(G)\ge\mathrm{LP}(G)\ge|V(G)|OPT(G)≥OPT2EC​(G)≥LP(G)≥∣V(G)∣.
  2. Proposition 4: OPT(G,T)\mathrm{OPT}(G,T)OPT(G,T), OPT2EC(G)\mathrm{OPT}_{2EC}(G)OPT2EC​(G) and LP(G,T)\mathrm{LP}(G,T)LP(G,T) split additively over a cut vertex, so it suffices to treat 2-vertex-connected graphs.
  3. §1, p. 3: a tour in a 2-edge-connected graph gives a 2ECSS with at most as many edges.
  4. Theorem 7 (Frank): some even TTT has τ(G,T)=12Lφ(G)\tau(G,T)=\tfrac12L_\varphi(G)τ(G,T)=21​Lφ​(G).
  5. Theorem 19 (Cheriyan, Sebő, Szigeti): Lφ(G)≤LP(G)L_\varphi(G)\le\mathrm{LP}(G)Lφ​(G)≤LP(G).
  6. Corollary 21: Lμ(G,M)≤LP(G)L_\mu(G,M)\le\mathrm{LP}(G)Lμ​(G,M)≤LP(G).
  7. Lemma 23: a 2-vertex-connected graph has a nice ear-decomposition containing a maximum earmuff.
  8. Theorem 24: a connected-TTT-join, and for T=∅T=\emptysetT=∅ a tour, with at most Lμ(G,M)+12Lφ(G)−πL_\mu(G,M)+\tfrac12L_\varphi(G)-\piLμ​(G,M)+21​Lφ​(G)−π edges.
  9. Claim, p. 23: the nontrivial ears form a 2ECSS with at most 54Lφ(G)+12π\tfrac54L_\varphi(G)+\tfrac12\pi45​Lφ​(G)+21​π edges.

Significance

The theorem gives a polynomial-time 4/34/34/3-approximation for unweighted 2ECSS. Because it compares with LP(G)\mathrm{LP}(G)LP(G) rather than with the optimum, it also bounds the integrality ratio of the cut relaxation on unweighted instances by 4/34/34/3 (the paper's Corollary 31). The two lower bounds LφL_\varphiLφ​ and LμL_\muLμ​ and the construction of Theorem 24 are shared with the paper's 7/57/57/5 result for graphic TSP and its 3/23/23/2 result for connected-TTT-joins, so the milestones of this mission are also steps toward those results.

The theorem is proved in the paper, and to the best of current knowledge none of it is machine-checked: there is no formal development of ear-decompositions, of Frank's even-ear parameter φ(G)\varphi(G)φ(G), or of 2ECSS approximation in Mathlib or on Prove2Me. The work here is formalizing the known proofs. Theorems 7 and 19 rest on classical results that are absent from Mathlib: Frank's theorem on ear-decompositions and the Edmonds–Johnson/Lovász packing of TTT-cuts.

Difficulty

The arithmetic of the final step is short: 54+12⋅16=43\tfrac54+\tfrac12\cdot\tfrac16=\tfrac4345​+21​⋅61​=34​ and 32−16=43\tfrac32-\tfrac16=\tfrac4323​−61​=34​. The difficulty lies in the lower bounds and in the decomposition. A natural first idea is to bound every nontrivial ear by its internal vertices. This fails for 3-ears, whose three edges cover only two new vertices, and the paper handles them by making all short ears pendant and pairwise non-adjacent and then re-choosing them as a maximum earmuff. That step needs a matroid-intersection or forest-representative min-max theorem (Theorem 18), which in turn yields Lμ(G,M)≤LP(G)L_\mu(G,M)\le\mathrm{LP}(G)Lμ​(G,M)≤LP(G). The bound Lφ(G)≤LP(G)L_\varphi(G)\le\mathrm{LP}(G)Lφ​(G)≤LP(G) needs Frank's characterization of φ(G)\varphi(G)φ(G) through minimum TTT-joins together with the half-integral packing of TTT-cuts. None of this machinery exists formally yet.

Formalization scope

  • Graphs. Graphs are multigraphs: an edge type EEE with a map to unordered pairs of distinct vertices of VVV. 2G2G2G has edge type E×{0,1}E\times\{0,1\}E×{0,1}. Connectivity is that of the simple graph of pairs joined by at least one chosen edge. 2-edge-connectivity deletes one edge at a time, so two parallel edges are 2-edge-connected and a single edge is not.
  • Algorithms. All algorithmic statements (Theorems 7, 24, 30 and Lemma 23) are formalized as existence statements for every input; running times are not formalized.
  • LP bounds. "≤c⋅LP(G)\le c\cdot\mathrm{LP}(G)≤c⋅LP(G)" is stated as "≤c⋅x(E(G))\le c\cdot x(E(G))≤c⋅x(E(G)) for every feasible xxx", with the solution chosen before xxx. This is equivalent because LP(G)\mathrm{LP}(G)LP(G) is a minimum over the feasible points. Propositions 2 and 4, which compare optimum values, use the LP value as an infimum over the feasible set; that set is nonempty for connected graphs.
  • Graph parameters. φ(G)\varphi(G)φ(G) and μ(G,M)\mu(G,M)μ(G,M) are an infimum over ear-decompositions and a supremum over earmuffs. Every statement using them assumes 2-edge-connectivity or a given decomposition.
  • 2-vertex-connectivity means 2-edge-connected with no cut vertex. This includes the one-vertex graph and two vertices joined by parallel edges.
  • Added and corrected hypotheses. Proposition 2 adds ∣V(G)∣≥2|V(G)|\ge2∣V(G)∣≥2, since LP(G)=0\mathrm{LP}(G)=0LP(G)=0 for one vertex. Proposition 4 states LP(G,T)=LP(G1,T1)+LP(G2,T2)\mathrm{LP}(G,T)=\mathrm{LP}(G_1,T_1)+\mathrm{LP}(G_2,T_2)LP(G,T)=LP(G1​,T1​)+LP(G2​,T2​), as its proof does; the page prints LP(G,Ti)\mathrm{LP}(G,T_i)LP(G,Ti​).
  • Ruled-out trivializations. The goal is not about simple graphs only, and its subgraph uses each edge of GGG at most once (it is not a multi-subgraph of 2G2G2G). Its feasibility condition is satisfiable: x≡2x\equiv2x≡2 is feasible for every connected GGG. φ\varphiφ and μ\muμ are never evaluated where they take junk values.

Every definition is local to the namespace NicerEars.TwoEC. Reusable beyond this mission:

  • the multigraph setting, TTT-joins and the cut LP;
  • ear-decompositions with φ(G)\varphi(G)φ(G) and pendant ears;
  • eardrums and earmuffs.

Contributions are welcome on any milestone. Especially valuable are Frank's Theorem 7, the TTT-cut packing behind Theorem 19, and the basic fact that a graph with an ear-decomposition is 2-edge-connected.

Selected references

  • A. Sebő, J. Vygen, Shorter tours by nicer ears: 7/5-approximation for graphic TSP, 3/2 for the path version, and 4/3 for two-edge-connected subgraphs, Combinatorica 34 (2014); preprint arXiv:1201.1870v3, 2012. https://arxiv.org/abs/1201.1870v3, https://doi.org/10.1007/s00493-014-2960-3
  • J. Cheriyan, A. Sebő, Z. Szigeti, Improving on the 1.5-approximation of a smallest 2-edge connected spanning subgraph, SIAM J. Discrete Math. 14 (2001) 170–180. https://doi.org/10.1137/S0895480199362071
  • S. Khuller, U. Vishkin, Biconnectivity approximations and graph carvings, J. ACM 41 (1994) 214–235. https://doi.org/10.1145/174652.174654
  • A. Frank, Conservative weightings and ear-decompositions of graphs, Combinatorica 13 (1993) 65–81. https://doi.org/10.1007/BF01202790
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Operations ResearchOptimal TransportOptimization+1·Captain: mikedeng1

A Short and General Duality Proof for Wasserstein Distributionally Robust Optimization III: Under a Tight Nominal Measure, f(x) − λd(x̂, x)^p Satisfies the Interchangeability PrincipleResearch Paper

Motivation

Wasserstein distributionally robust optimization (DRO) replaces the expected loss under a nominal distribution P^\widehat{\mathbb P}P (typically an empirical distribution) by the worst expected loss over all distributions within a given optimal-transport distance of P^\widehat{\mathbb P}P. Its tractability rests on a strong duality theorem that turns a supremum over distributions into a one-dimensional minimization over a multiplier λ≥0\lambda\ge0λ≥0 of an expectation under P^\widehat{\mathbb P}P alone. Such duality results were proved under successively weaker hypotheses: for finitely supported P^\widehat{\mathbb P}P on Rm\mathbb R^mRm by Mohajerin Esfahani and Kuhn (2018), on Polish spaces with lower semicontinuous costs and upper semicontinuous losses by Blanchet and Murthy (2019), and on Polish spaces with general nominal distributions by Gao and Kleywegt (2023). Zhang, Yang and Gao (arXiv:2205.00362v4, 2024) show that, on an arbitrary probability space, strong duality holds exactly when the integrand f(x)−λc(x^,x)f(x)-\lambda c(\widehat x,x)f(x)−λc(x,x) satisfies an interchangeability principle (IP) between expectation and supremum. That reduces every duality question to verifying (IP).

This mission formalizes the paper's Proposition 2, which verifies (IP) for the most common choice of cost, the ppp-th power of a metric, under minimal hypotheses on P^\widehat{\mathbb P}P and on the loss. The paper uses it for distributionally robust Markov decision processes on Borel spaces, where value functions are only measurable for a completed σ\sigmaσ-algebra.

Setting

Let (X,d)(\mathcal X,d)(X,d) be a metric space and F\mathcal FF its Borel σ\sigmaσ-algebra. Let P^\widehat{\mathbb P}P be a probability measure on (X,F)(\mathcal X,\mathcal F)(X,F) that is tight: for every ϵ>0\epsilon>0ϵ>0 there is a compact K⊆XK\subseteq\mathcal XK⊆X with P^(Kc)≤ϵ\widehat{\mathbb P}(K^c)\le\epsilonP(Kc)≤ϵ. Write FP^\mathcal F_{\widehat{\mathbb P}}FP​ for the completion of F\mathcal FF under P^\widehat{\mathbb P}P; a function is P^\widehat{\mathbb P}P-measurable if it is FP^\mathcal F_{\widehat{\mathbb P}}FP​-measurable.

Expectations take values in the extended reals R‾=R∪{±∞}\overline{\mathbb R}=\mathbb R\cup\{\pm\infty\}R=R∪{±∞}: Eν[φ]=∫φ+ dν−∫φ− dν\mathbb E_\nu[\varphi]=\int\varphi^+\,d\nu-\int\varphi^-\,d\nuEν​[φ]=∫φ+dν−∫φ−dν.

Let f:X→Rf:\mathcal X\to\mathbb Rf:X→R be P^\widehat{\mathbb P}P-measurable with EP^[f]>−∞\mathbb E_{\widehat{\mathbb P}}[f]>-\inftyEP​[f]>−∞, let p∈[1,∞)p\in[1,\infty)p∈[1,∞) and λ≥0\lambda\ge0λ≥0, and define

φ(x^,x)=f(x)−λ d(x^,x)p,Φ(x^)=sup⁡x∈Xφ(x^,x)∈R∪{+∞}.\varphi(\widehat x,x)=f(x)-\lambda\,d(\widehat x,x)^p,\qquad \Phi(\widehat x)=\sup_{x\in\mathcal X}\varphi(\widehat x,x)\in\mathbb R\cup\{+\infty\}.φ(x,x)=f(x)−λd(x,x)p,Φ(x)=x∈Xsup​φ(x,x)∈R∪{+∞}.

Let ΓP^\Gamma_{\widehat{\mathbb P}}ΓP​ be the set of probability measures on (X×X,F⊗F)(\mathcal X\times\mathcal X,\mathcal F\otimes\mathcal F)(X×X,F⊗F) whose first marginal is P^\widehat{\mathbb P}P. The function φ\varphiφ satisfies (IP) if Φ\PhiΦ is P^\widehat{\mathbb P}P-measurable and

EX^∼P^[Φ(X^)]=sup⁡γ∈ΓP^E(X^,X)∼γ[φ(X^,X)].\mathbb E_{\widehat X\sim\widehat{\mathbb P}}[\Phi(\widehat X)]=\sup_{\gamma\in\Gamma_{\widehat{\mathbb P}}}\mathbb E_{(\widehat X,X)\sim\gamma}[\varphi(\widehat X,X)].EX∼P​[Φ(X)]=γ∈ΓP​sup​E(X,X)∼γ​[φ(X,X)].

Formalization targets

Goal: Proposition 2 (p. 7)

φ is (F⊗FP^)-measurable (for separable X), and EP^[Φ]=sup⁡γ∈ΓP^Eγ[φ].\varphi \text{ is } (\mathcal F\otimes\mathcal F_{\widehat{\mathbb P}})\text{-measurable (for separable }\mathcal X\text{), and } \mathbb E_{\widehat{\mathbb P}}[\Phi]=\sup_{\gamma\in\Gamma_{\widehat{\mathbb P}}}\mathbb E_\gamma[\varphi].φ is (F⊗FP​)-measurable (for separable X), and EP​[Φ]=γ∈ΓP​sup​Eγ​[φ].

No constant is fixed; the statement holds for every p≥1p\ge1p≥1 and every λ≥0\lambda\ge0λ≥0, including λ=0\lambda=0λ=0, where Φ≡sup⁡f\Phi\equiv\sup fΦ≡supf may be +∞+\infty+∞.

Milestones (steps of the proof, pp. ec4–ec5)

  1. Φ\PhiΦ is lower semicontinuous, hence Borel measurable, for any fff.
  2. Eγ[φ]≤EP^[Φ]\mathbb E_\gamma[\varphi]\le\mathbb E_{\widehat{\mathbb P}}[\Phi]Eγ​[φ]≤EP​[Φ] for every γ∈ΓP^\gamma\in\Gamma_{\widehat{\mathbb P}}γ∈ΓP​.
  3. If EP^[Φ]<+∞\mathbb E_{\widehat{\mathbb P}}[\Phi]<+\inftyEP​[Φ]<+∞ and ϵ>0\epsilon>0ϵ>0, there is a Borel map TTT with
E(Id⊗T)#P^[φ]>−6ϵ+EP^[Φ].\mathbb E_{(\mathrm{Id}\otimes T)_\#\widehat{\mathbb P}}[\varphi]>-6\epsilon+\mathbb E_{\widehat{\mathbb P}}[\Phi].E(Id⊗T)#​P​[φ]>−6ϵ+EP​[Φ].

Significance

Combined with Theorem 1 of the same paper, Proposition 2 yields strong duality for ppp-Wasserstein DRO on any metric space with a tight nominal distribution, in particular on every Polish space and every Borel subset of one, without semicontinuity of the loss. Allowing fff to be merely P^\widehat{\mathbb P}P-measurable is what makes the duality applicable recursively in dynamic programming, where each stage's value function is lower semianalytic rather than Borel.

The result is proved in the paper, with the case EP^[Φ]=+∞\mathbb E_{\widehat{\mathbb P}}[\Phi]=+\inftyEP​[Φ]=+∞ left to the reader. No machine-checked proof of it, or of any Wasserstein DRO duality theorem at this generality, is known to exist. A formalization would supply the omitted case and pin down the measure-theoretic conventions (extended-valued expectations, completed σ\sigmaσ-algebras) that the paper treats briefly.

Difficulty

The inequality "≤\le≤" is pointwise. The reverse inequality requires a near-optimal coupling, i.e. a measurable near-maximizer x(x^)x(\widehat x)x(x) of φ(x^,⋅)\varphi(\widehat x,\cdot)φ(x,⋅). A general measurable selection theorem is not available: X\mathcal XX is not assumed Polish and fff is not assumed Borel, so the projection and selection theorems behind Polish-space duality do not apply. The approximation must also control the expectation of a possibly unbounded Φ\PhiΦ, where integrals take extended values and ∞−∞\infty-\infty∞−∞ must be avoided.

Formalization scope

  • X\mathcal XX carries [MetricSpace X] [MeasurableSpace X] [BorelSpace X]; P^\widehat{\mathbb P}P is a probability measure with IsTightMeasureSet {Phat} (Mathlib's tightness).
  • fff is real valued with NullMeasurable f Phat. A Borel-measurable fff would be a strictly weaker theorem and is ruled out.
  • Expectations are the published definition ModelRiskOT.Duality.extIntegral: ∫φ+−∫φ−\int\varphi^+-\int\varphi^-∫φ+−∫φ− in EReal with lower Lebesgue integrals and ∞−∞=−∞\infty-\infty=-\infty∞−∞=−∞. The Bochner integral, which returns 000 on non-integrable functions, is not used. Because φ\varphiφ need not be F⊗F\mathcal F\otimes\mathcal FF⊗F-measurable, the page leaves Eγ[φ]\mathbb E_\gamma[\varphi]Eγ​[φ] undefined for a general coupling; the lower-integral reading is adopted, and ΓP^\Gamma_{\widehat{\mathbb P}}ΓP​ stays on F⊗F\mathcal F\otimes\mathcal FF⊗F as printed.
  • (F⊗FP^)(\mathcal F\otimes\mathcal F_{\widehat{\mathbb P}})(F⊗FP​)-measurability is measurability on X × NullMeasurableSpace X Phat, with the completion on the second factor.
  • Correction of the page. The measurability clause is stated under the extra hypothesis that X\mathcal XX is separable: on a discrete metric space of cardinality above the continuum, with P^\widehat{\mathbb P}P a Dirac mass, f=0f=0f=0 and λ=p=1\lambda=p=1λ=p=1, φ=−1{x^≠x}\varphi=-\mathbf 1\{\widehat x\ne x\}φ=−1{x=x} is not product measurable. The (IP) clause is stated for every metric space, as printed.
  • The supremum in (IP) ranges over all of ΓP^\Gamma_{\widehat{\mathbb P}}ΓP​. Restricting it to deterministic couplings (Id⊗T)#P^(\mathrm{Id}\otimes T)_\#\widehat{\mathbb P}(Id⊗T)#​P would state a different, stronger formula; deterministic couplings appear only in milestone 3.

Contributions welcome: lemmas on lower Lebesgue integrals of null-measurable functions under push-forward measures, and tightness-based approximation arguments, both reusable beyond this mission.

Selected references

  • L. Zhang, J. Yang, R. Gao, A Short and General Duality Proof for Wasserstein Distributionally Robust Optimization, arXiv:2205.00362v4, 2024. https://arxiv.org/abs/2205.00362
  • R. Gao, A. Kleywegt, Distributionally Robust Stochastic Optimization with Wasserstein Distance, Mathematics of Operations Research 48(2), 2023. https://arxiv.org/abs/1604.02199
  • J. Blanchet, K. Murthy, Quantifying Distributional Model Risk via Optimal Transport, Mathematics of Operations Research 44(2), 2019. https://arxiv.org/abs/1604.01446
  • P. Mohajerin Esfahani, D. Kuhn, Data-Driven Distributionally Robust Optimization Using the Wasserstein Metric, Mathematical Programming 171, 2018. https://arxiv.org/abs/1505.05116
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