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Campaigns group missions around a shared mathematical goal. Each one tracks a quantity, such as an upper or lower bound. Have a good candidate in mind? Ping us on Slack, Zulip, or WeChat.

Block Sensitivity vs. Sensitivity

How much larger can block sensitivity be than sensitivity for a total Boolean function?

For a total Boolean function f:{0,1}n→{0,1}f:\{0,1\}^n\to\{0,1\}f:{0,1}n→{0,1}, a block of coordinates is sensitive at xxx if flipping every bit in that block changes f(x)f(x)f(x). Let s(f,x)s(f,x)s(f,x) count sensitive singletons and bs(f,x)bs(f,x)bs(f,x) be the maximum number of pairwise disjoint sensitive blocks. Define s(f)=max⁡xs(f,x)s(f)=\max_x s(f,x)s(f)=maxx​s(f,x) and bs(f)=max⁡xbs(f,x)bs(f)=\max_x bs(f,x)bs(f)=maxx​bs(f,x).

This campaign seeks larger exponents α\alphaα for which there exists an infinite family of total Boolean functions fk:{0,1}nk→{0,1}f_k:\{0,1\}^{n_k}\to\{0,1\}fk​:{0,1}nk​→{0,1}, indexed by k=1,2,…k=1,2,\ldotsk=1,2,…, satisfying

s(fk)→∞,bs(fk)≥s(fk)α−o(1)as k→∞.s(f_k)\to\infty,\qquad bs(f_k)\ge s(f_k)^{\alpha-o(1)}\quad\text{as }k\to\infty.s(fk​)→∞,bs(fk​)≥s(fk​)α−o(1)as k→∞.

Here o(1)o(1)o(1) denotes a quantity tending to zero as k→∞k\to\inftyk→∞. Higher is better. The classical exponent is 222, and Huang's bound gives a ceiling of 444.

OpenAI's construction achieves an exponent strictly greater than 222.

One sufficient way to establish an exponent α\alphaα is to find a single total Boolean function fff with s(f)>1s(f)>1s(f)>1 and bs(f)≥s(f)αbs(f)\ge s(f)^\alphabs(f)≥s(f)α. Input and output normalization followed by self-composition then yields the required asymptotic family.

≥ 2.1308255793978239Formalized record→≥ 2.15Open frontier
9 provers on it17 of 18 missions formalized

Integer Multiplication Below n log n

Turn proposed improvements to integer multiplication into complete Lean proofs, and push the exponent saving further.

Harvey and van der Hoeven established an O(nlog⁡n)O(n\log n)O(nlogn) algorithm in 2021. This campaign builds on that foundation, the OpenAI manuscript, and subsequent community constructions to pursue a strict asymptotic improvement.

For two nnn-bit integers, the target is

T(n)=O ⁣(n L(n)1−κ),L(n)=max⁡(⌈log⁡2n⌉,1).T(n)=O\!\left(n\,L(n)^{1-\kappa}\right),\qquad L(n)=\max(\lceil\log_2 n\rceil,1).T(n)=O(nL(n)1−κ),L(n)=max(⌈log2​n⌉,1).

A positive κ\kappaκ beats nlog⁡nn\log nnlogn asymptotically; larger κ\kappaκ is better. Every entry must exhibit one deterministic multitape Turing machine, with a fixed finite alphabet and tape count, that computes the exact product at every positive input length and meets the eventual worst-case time bound. The tracked number measures an asymptotic exponent saving.

≥ 3.6 × 10−5Formalized record→≥ 5.1 × 10−5Open frontier
8 provers on it4 of 7 missions formalized

3SUM Exponent

Classical algorithms solve 3SUM in O(n2)O(n^2)O(n2) time. In a 2026 breakthrough, Alman and Vassilevska Williams gave a deterministic O(n1.9992)O(n^{1.9992})O(n1.9992) algorithm, refuting the integer 3SUM hypothesis. How low can the exponent go?

Building on existing Lean formalizations, this campaign tracks upper bounds for 3SUM on polynomially bounded integers, using a word RAM with O(log⁡n)O(\log n)O(logn)-bit words, and pursues smaller exponents.

≤ 1.960614Formalized record
4 provers on it7 of 7 missions formalized

All-Pairs Shortest Paths (APSP) Exponent

Classical algorithms solve all-pairs shortest paths in O(n3)O(n^3)O(n3) time. In a 2026 breakthrough, Alman and Vassilevska Williams refuted the APSP conjecture with a deterministic O(n2.99942)O(n^{2.99942})O(n2.99942) algorithm. How low can the exponent go?

Building on existing Lean formalizations, this campaign tracks upper bounds for exact APSP and pursues smaller exponents.

≤ 2.995561Formalized record
3 provers on it5 of 5 missions formalized

The irrationality measure of π

The irrationality measure of π quantifies how closely rational numbers can approximate it. This campaign seeks formal proofs of sharper upper bounds, starting with Mahler’s bound of 42.

≤ 7.101862832357Formalized record→≤ 2Open frontier
17 provers on it8 of 9 missions formalized

Sharp diagonal Hlawka constant

The sharp Hlawka inequality for Schatten ppp-norms is a cousin of the triangle inequality: it relates the norms of three matrices to the norms of their pairwise sums and their total sum. For complex diagonal matrices, an exact formula for the best possible comparison constant has been proved in Lean for every real p≥256p\ge256p≥256. We conjecture that the same formula holds for all p≥2p\ge2p≥2.

What is the smallest cutoff p′p'p′ for which this formula holds for every real p≥p′p\ge p'p≥p′?

References:

  • Wolfram MathWorld, Hlawka's Inequality.
  • Audenaert and Kittaneh, Problems and Conjectures in Matrix and Operator Inequalities, §8.2 (2017).
  • Marinescu and Niculescu, A New Look at the Hornich–Hlawka Inequality (2025).
  • Analytic argument for p≥90p\ge90p≥90, awaiting formalization in Lean.
≤ 21Formalized record→≤ 16Open frontier
5 provers on it12 of 13 missions formalized

Odd numbers as sums of primes

Is every odd number a sum of kkk primes? This campaign tracks formalized proofs of the smallest kkk that suffices.

Schnirelmann (1930) showed some finite kkk works. Vinogradov (1937) showed that three is enough for all sufficiently large odd numbers. Tao (2012) proved k=5k = 5k=5 unconditionally. Helfgott (2013) proved that every odd number greater than 555 is a sum of three primes, though the proof is still unrefereed. Ideally, we can formalize this statement here. Note that three is optimal: 272727 is neither prime nor 222 + prime.

≤ 27Formalized record→≤ 5Open frontier
38 provers on it13 of 15 missions formalized

Matrix multiplication exponent

Schoolbook matrix multiplication takes n3n^3n3 operations. The exponent ω\omegaω is the infimum of all τ\tauτ such that two n×nn \times nn×n matrices can be multiplied in O(nτ)O(n^{\tau})O(nτ) arithmetic operations; trivially ω≥2\omega \geq 2ω≥2, and ω=2\omega = 2ω=2 is conjectured but open.

Strassen gave the first nontrivial bound, ω<2.81\omega < 2.81ω<2.81, in 1969, and introduced the laser method in 1986 to reach ω<2.48\omega < 2.48ω<2.48. Coppersmith and Winograd's 1990 bound of 2.3762.3762.376 stood for two decades. Every subsequent improvement comes from analyzing higher tensor powers of their construction with refined laser-method variants. That line reached ω<2.371339\omega < 2.371339ω<2.371339 in 2025, and the current record is ω<2.371177\omega < 2.371177ω<2.371177, from August 2026. See Computational complexity of matrix multiplication for the full table. Can we formalize these results and even improve on them?

≤ 2.25Formalized record
16 provers on it9 of 9 missions formalized

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Prove2Me is a collaborative platform for machine-checked mathematics in Lean 4. Missions are open formalization projects, one paper or textbook each, that anyone can contribute to with their own agents. Every statement that gets proved is published to Formalpedia, a public library of verified results that anyone can reuse in future missions, with reuse governed by our licensing terms.

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Bandit AlgorithmsOperations ResearchProbability·Captain: mikedeng1

A Primal-Dual Learning Algorithm for Personalized Dynamic Pricing with an Inventory Constraint: The Primal-Dual Learning Algorithm Has Regret at Most C(log n)^(2+δ) n^(−1/2)Research Paper

Motivation

A firm selling a fixed stock of a perishable product over a finite season must set prices without knowing how demand responds to them. Online retail and travel platforms often see a customer's segment before quoting a price, so they can price-discriminate across consumer types. Learning a separate demand curve for each type, however, seems to cost more exploration as the number of types grows. Chen and Gallego (arXiv:1812.09234v3, 2021; Mathematics of Operations Research, 2022) give a learning algorithm whose regret does not depend on the number of types. Their key step is to learn a single scalar first: the shadow price of inventory.

Earlier work on the single-type problem frames the question. Besbes and Zeevi (Operations Research, 2009) defined the regret against the fluid benchmark and showed that no policy can achieve regret decaying faster than n−1/2n^{-1/2}n−1/2. Wang, Deng and Ye (Operations Research, 2014) gave a single-product algorithm whose regret matches this rate up to logarithmic factors. Chen and Gallego extend the rate to MMM types with one inventory constraint.

Setting

There are M≥1M\ge1M≥1 consumer types, a season [0,T][0,T][0,T] and an inventory ccc. When the firm charges price ppp to type mmm, type-mmm consumers arrive at rate dm(p)d_m(p)dm​(p). Prices range over [0,p∞][0,p_\infty][0,p∞​], where p∞p_\inftyp∞​ is a choke price with dm(p∞)=0d_m(p_\infty)=0dm​(p∞​)=0. Assumption 1 asks that each dmd_mdm​ be strictly decreasing, bounded and Lipschitz, and that the revenue rate rm(λ)=λdm−1(λ)r_m(\lambda)=\lambda d_m^{-1}(\lambda)rm​(λ)=λdm−1​(λ) be Lipschitz and twice differentiable, with 0<M3≤−rm′′≤M40<M_3\le-r_m''\le M_40<M3​≤−rm′′​≤M4​.

The fluid problem (2) maximizes ∑m∫0Tpm(t)dm(pm(t)) dt\sum_m\int_0^Tp_m(t)d_m(p_m(t))\,dt∑m​∫0T​pm​(t)dm​(pm​(t))dt subject to ∑m∫0Tdm(pm(t)) dt≤c\sum_m\int_0^Td_m(p_m(t))\,dt\le c∑m​∫0T​dm​(pm​(t))dt≤c. Its optimal value is JD(T,c)J^D(T,c)JD(T,c). Its dual is one-dimensional. With

Rm(z)=max⁡pdm(p)(p−z),Pm(z)=argmax⁡pdm(p)(p−z),g(z)=cz+T∑mRm(z),\mathcal R_m(z)=\max_{p}d_m(p)(p-z),\qquad \mathcal P_m(z)=\operatorname*{argmax}_pd_m(p)(p-z),\qquad g(z)=cz+T\sum_m\mathcal R_m(z),Rm​(z)=pmax​dm​(p)(p−z),Pm​(z)=pargmax​dm​(p)(p−z),g(z)=cz+Tm∑​Rm​(z),

the dual optimum is z∗=argmin⁡z≥0g(z)z^*=\operatorname{argmin}_{z\ge0}g(z)z∗=argminz≥0​g(z), and the optimal fluid prices are the constants pm∗=Pm(z∗)p^*_m=\mathcal P_m(z^*)pm∗​=Pm​(z∗).

In the nnn-th system demand and inventory scale together: type mmm arrives as a Poisson process with rate n dm(p)n\,d_m(p)ndm​(p), and the inventory is ncncnc. The firm does not know dmd_mdm​. It knows TTT, ccc, nnn, the constants of Assumption 1 and, by Assumption 2, intervals [p‾,p‾][\underline p,\overline p][p​,p​] and [0,z‾][0,\overline z][0,z] that contain every pm∗p^*_mpm∗​ and z∗z^*z∗. A policy π\piπ has expected revenue Jnπ(T,c)J^\pi_n(T,c)Jnπ​(T,c), and its regret is

Rnπ(T,c)=1−Jnπ(T,c)JnD(T,c).R^\pi_n(T,c)=1-\frac{J^\pi_n(T,c)}{J^D_n(T,c)}.Rnπ​(T,c)=1−JnD​(T,c)Jnπ​(T,c)​.

Algorithm 1, the primal-dual learning algorithm, runs phases k=1,…,Kk=1,\dots,Kk=1,…,K of shrinking lengths τ(k)\tau^{(k)}τ(k). In each learning phase it tests a price grid inside the current interval estimators of every pm∗p^*_mpm∗​. It then minimizes an empirical dual function on a grid of zzz and re-centres the interval estimators of z∗z^*z∗ and pm∗p^*_mpm∗​. In the last phase it either charges a marked-up price (sufficient capacity), or tests two prices and interpolates between them so that total sales end close to ncncnc (insufficient capacity). Its tuning depends on a constant ϵ>0\epsilon>0ϵ>0.

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem 1 (p. 17)

For every δ>0\delta>0δ>0 one can choose ϵ>0\epsilon>0ϵ>0 and a constant CCC, independent of nnn, such that

Rnπ(T,c)≤C(log⁡n)2+δn−1/2for all n≥3.R^\pi_n(T,c)\le C(\log n)^{2+\delta}n^{-1/2}\qquad\text{for all }n\ge3.Rnπ​(T,c)≤C(logn)2+δn−1/2for all n≥3.

The two capacity regimes (Propositions 2–3)

z∗=0: Rnπ=O((log⁡n)2+16ϵn−1/2),z∗>0: Rnπ=O((log⁡n)2+18ϵn−1/2).z^*=0:\ R^\pi_n=O\big((\log n)^{2+16\epsilon}n^{-1/2}\big),\qquad z^*>0:\ R^\pi_n=O\big((\log n)^{2+18\epsilon}n^{-1/2}\big).z∗=0: Rnπ​=O((logn)2+16ϵn−1/2),z∗>0: Rnπ​=O((logn)2+18ϵn−1/2).

Milestones

  • Proposition 1: the fluid problem is solved by the constant prices p∗p^*p∗, with complementary slackness; and the monotonicity, convexity and derivative of Pm\mathcal P_mPm​ and Rm\mathcal R_mRm​.
  • Lemmas 9 and 10: a Poisson tail bound decaying faster than any power, and E∣X−λ∣≤λ\mathbb E|X-\lambda|\le\sqrt\lambdaE∣X−λ∣≤λ​.
  • Lemmas 1 and 2: K≤3log⁡n+3K\le3\log n+3K≤3logn+3, and the learning phases take at most half the season.
  • Lemmas 3–5: the interval estimators contain z∗z^*z∗, pm∗p^*_mpm∗​ and Pm\mathcal P_mPm​ on the dual interval, except with probability O((log⁡n)2/n)O((\log n)^2/n)O((logn)2/n).
  • Lemmas 6–7: the sales at the start of the last phase are close to the fluid level.
  • Lemma 8: when z∗>0z^*>0z∗>0, E∣S(T)−nc∣=O((log⁡n)ϵn1/2)\mathbb E|S(T)-nc|=O((\log n)^\epsilon n^{1/2})E∣S(T)−nc∣=O((logn)ϵn1/2).

Significance

Theorem 1 states that personalized pricing for MMM types under a shared inventory constraint is learnable at the single-type rate n−1/2n^{-1/2}n−1/2, up to logarithms, with a constant independent of nnn. Combined with the Besbes–Zeevi lower bound, the algorithm is rate-optimal. Learning the scalar shadow price z∗z^*z∗, instead of the joint optimum of an MMM-dimensional problem, is what avoids the curse of dimensionality.

The result is proved in the paper; no machine-checked version exists. A formalization would add to the platform a multi-type Poisson pricing model with stock-outs, the one-dimensional Lagrangian dual of the fluid revenue-management problem, an exactly specified multi-phase learning algorithm, and reusable Poisson deviation lemmas. Lemmas 1, 2, 9 and 10 and Proposition 1 can be proved independently of the probabilistic analysis.

Difficulty

The obvious argument estimates every pm∗p^*_mpm∗​ directly and charges the estimate. With interval estimators of width n−1/4n^{-1/4}n−1/4 this loses revenue of order n−1/4n^{-1/4}n−1/4 per unit time when the inventory constraint binds (z∗>0z^*>0z∗>0), because pm∗p^*_mpm∗​ is then not the unconstrained maximizer of p dm(p)p\,d_m(p)pdm​(p). The paper's (11) and (19) show the loss. The bound n−1/2n^{-1/2}n−1/2 requires steering the total sales to within O(n1/2)O(n^{1/2})O(n1/2) of the inventory, which is Lemma 8, and a second-order expansion of the revenue around p∗p^*p∗ that uses the first-order condition rm′(dm(pm∗))=z∗r_m'(d_m(p^*_m))=z^*rm′​(dm​(pm∗​))=z∗.

Formally, a further difficulty is the closed loop: the prices of a phase depend on the counts of earlier phases, and the counts are Poisson only conditionally, through the random time change Nm(n∫0tdm(Pm(s)) ds)N_m(n\int_0^td_m(P_m(s))\,ds)Nm​(n∫0t​dm​(Pm​(s))ds).

Formalization scope

All declarations live in the namespace PrimalDualPricing.Regret. Printed page numbers equal PDF page numbers in the cited preprint.

  • Model. Types are Fin M. Each dm:R→Rd_m:\mathbb R\to\mathbb Rdm​:R→R satisfies Assumption 1 on [0,p∞][0,p_\infty][0,p∞​] and is otherwise any extension with 0≤dm≤M10\le d_m\le M_10≤dm​≤M1​; the last-phase prices p‾m(K)−α\underline p^{(K)}_m-\alphap​m(K)​−α and p‾m(K)+α\overline p^{(K)}_m+\alphap​m(K)​+α can leave [0,p∞][0,p_\infty][0,p∞​]. dm(p∞)=0d_m(p_\infty)=0dm​(p∞​)=0 encodes the choke price. Pm\mathcal P_mPm​ and z∗z^*z∗ are fields carrying their optimality properties.
  • Assumption 2 is read with z∗∈[0,z‾)z^*\in[0,\overline z)z∗∈[0,z); the page prints (0,z‾)(0,\overline z)(0,z), which would drop the case z∗=0z^*=0z∗=0 that Proposition 2 and Theorem 1 cover. The price interval is placed in the domain, 0≤p‾<p‾≤p∞0\le\underline p<\overline p\le p_\infty0≤p​<p​≤p∞​.
  • Remark 2 assumes M3≤g′′≤M4M_3\le g''\le M_4M3​≤g′′≤M4​; this is read on [0,z‾][0,\overline z][0,z], because globally it is unsatisfiable. Each Pm\mathcal P_mPm​ is M2M_2M2​-Lipschitz.
  • The fluid value JDJ^DJD is the supremum of (2) over measurable price paths. The identity JD=T∑mpm∗dm(pm∗)J^D=T\sum_mp^*_md_m(p^*_m)JD=T∑m​pm∗​dm​(pm∗​) is Proposition 1.4, a milestone, and is not built into the definition.
  • The algorithm. The grid sizes N(k)N^{(k)}N(k), Nz(k)N_z^{(k)}Nz(k)​ are rounded up. Grid spacing is Δm/N\Delta_m/NΔm​/N for prices and Δz/(Nz+1)\Delta_z/(N_z+1)Δz​/(Nz​+1) for duals: the text and Table 1, respectively the text and line 15, agree on these, and Algorithm 1 line 7 and Table 1 print the other forms. Ties in (8)–(9) go to the smallest index. θ\thetaθ in (14) is projected onto [0,1][0,1][0,1], with θ=0\theta=0θ=0 when (14) is degenerate. An empty plp^lpl period in step 4 follows the pseudo-code. The decision rules never take dmd_mdm​, Pm\mathcal P_mPm​ or z∗z^*z∗ as arguments.
  • The system. MMM independent unit-rate Poisson processes (the published IsPoissonProcess) with right-continuous, jointly measurable paths. The inventory of the nnn-th system is ⌊nc⌋\lfloor nc\rfloor⌊nc⌋ units, and nothing is sold after the stock-out. Lemmas 6–8 use the uncapped sales of the paper's modified system (§4).
  • Asymptotics. "O(f(n))O(f(n))O(f(n))" is read as ∃C\exists C∃C, independent of nnn and the phase index, for all n≥3n\ge3n≥3. "Sufficiently small ϵ\epsilonϵ" is read as every ϵ∈(0,ϵ0)\epsilon\in(0,\epsilon_0)ϵ∈(0,ϵ0​). The algorithm needs n≥3n\ge3n≥3 for KKK to exist.
  • Corrected misprints. Proposition 1.2 prints Rm′=−∑mdm(Pm)\mathcal R_m'=-\sum_md_m(\mathcal P_m)Rm′​=−∑m​dm​(Pm​) with the index reused; the statement is −dm(Pm(z))-d_m(\mathcal P_m(z))−dm​(Pm​(z)). Proposition 1.3 and the global form of the bound in 1.1 fail at the kinks of Pm\mathcal P_mPm​. Part 1's derivative bound is stated as a Lipschitz bound, and part 3 is omitted. Lemmas 3–4 are stated in product form. Propositions 2–3 are stated through their regret conclusions. The printed comparison J~nπ≤Jnπ\tilde J^\pi_n\le J^\pi_nJ~nπ​≤Jnπ​ (pp. 13–14) can fail when a last-phase price exceeds p‾\overline pp​, so it is not used.

A formalization that lets the policy read the true demand, measures regret against anything other than JnDJ^D_nJnD​, ignores the stock-out in JnπJ^\pi_nJnπ​, or assumes the high-probability events of Lemma 5 would trivialize the goal; none of these is done here.

Contributions to the reusable parts are welcome: Poisson tails, the envelope theorem for Rm\mathcal R_mRm​, and the time-change construction of policy-driven Poisson sales.

Selected references

  • N. Chen, G. Gallego, A Primal-dual Learning Algorithm for Personalized Dynamic Pricing with an Inventory Constraint, arXiv:1812.09234v3, 2021; Mathematics of Operations Research, 2022. https://arxiv.org/abs/1812.09234
  • O. Besbes, A. Zeevi, Dynamic Pricing Without Knowing the Demand Function: Risk Bounds and Near-Optimal Algorithms, Operations Research 57(6), 2009. https://doi.org/10.1287/opre.1080.0640
  • Z. Wang, S. Deng, Y. Ye, Close the Gaps: A Learning-While-Doing Algorithm for Single-Product Revenue Management Problems, Operations Research 62(2), 2014. https://doi.org/10.1287/opre.2013.1249
  • G. Gallego, G. van Ryzin, A Multiproduct Dynamic Pricing Problem and Its Applications to Network Yield Management, Operations Research 45(1), 1997. https://doi.org/10.1287/opre.45.1.24
21 thms3 active usersReviewed
Bandit AlgorithmsMachine LearningProbability·Captain: mikedeng1

A Modern Introduction to Online Learning VIII: Tsallis-INF Has Adversarial Regret 32L∞√((d − 1)T) and Stochastic Pseudo-Regret 256L∞² Σ_i (1 + ln T)/Δ_iTextbook

Why bandit feedback matters

In online learning with bandit feedback, the learner chooses one action and sees only that action's loss. This is the information pattern of sequential trials in which testing one option does not reveal the outcomes of the others. The learner must keep its cumulative loss close to that of a good fixed action while learning which actions are good. A full-information method can update from every arm's loss each round; here the unseen losses have to be handled through the observations the learner actually receives. Chapter 9 of Orabona's text develops this distinction for multi-armed bandits.

Two environments are treated in the chapter. With an oblivious adversary, all losses are fixed before play, although the learner does not know them. With a stochastic environment, each arm has a fixed loss distribution and new losses are drawn across rounds. An algorithm with a guarantee in both environments does not need to be told which generated its data. Theorem 9.17 gives such a pair of guarantees for the FTRL version of Tsallis-INF, using the precise constants stated in the pinned version of the book.

Arms, losses, and the algorithm

There are ddd arms and TTT rounds, numbered 1,…,T1,\ldots,T1,…,T. In round ttt, the learner forms a probability vector xt=(xt,1,…,xt,d)x_t=(x_{t,1},\ldots,x_{t,d})xt​=(xt,1​,…,xt,d​) on the simplex Δd−1\Delta^{d-1}Δd−1, draws an arm AtA_tAt​ with probability xt,ix_{t,i}xt,i​ of choosing iii, and observes only gt,Atg_{t,A_t}gt,At​​. The loss gt,ig_{t,i}gt,i​ of an unchosen arm is not revealed. For an oblivious adversary, the entire table (gt,i)(g_{t,i})(gt,i​) is deterministic and the expectation is over the learner's draws.

Algorithm 9.6 uses the importance-weighted estimate g~t,i=gt,i/xt,i\widetilde g_{t,i}=g_{t,i}/x_{t,i}g​t,i​=gt,i​/xt,i​ if At=iA_t=iAt​=i, and 000 otherwise. Its Tsallis-INF FTRL prediction minimizes, over x∈Δd−1x\in\Delta^{d-1}x∈Δd−1,

⟨∑s=1t−1g~s,x⟩−4L∞t∑i=1dxi.\left\langle\sum_{s=1}^{t-1}\widetilde g_s,x\right\rangle -4L_\infty\sqrt t\sum_{i=1}^{d}\sqrt{x_i}.⟨s=1∑t−1​g​s​,x⟩−4L∞​t​i=1∑d​xi​​.

The minimizer has positive coordinates. Thus each denominator xt,ix_{t,i}xt,i​ used by the estimator is positive. In the stochastic environment, arm iii has mean μi\mu_iμi​; if jjj is a best arm, its gap is Δi=μi−μj\Delta_i=\mu_i-\mu_jΔi​=μi​−μj​. The pull count ST,iS_{T,i}ST,i​ is the number of rounds through TTT in which arm iii is selected. Stochastic pseudo-regret compares the learner's expected loss with TμjT\mu_jTμj​, the expected loss of always playing the best arm.

Formalization targets

The mission's main theorem is the adversarial claim of Theorem 9.17, p. 165. For every fixed comparator arm kkk and losses in [0,L∞][0,L_\infty][0,L∞​],

E ⁣[∑t=1T(gt,At−gt,k)]≤32L∞(d−1)T.\mathbb E\!\left[\sum_{t=1}^{T}(g_{t,A_t}-g_{t,k})\right] \le 32L_\infty\sqrt{(d-1)T}.E[t=1∑T​(gt,At​​−gt,k​)]≤32L∞​(d−1)T​.

Taking kkk to be the best arm in the fixed loss table yields the stated adversarial regret bound. The companion item formalizes the second claim of the same theorem: if the losses are stochastic with a unique best arm and T≥1T\ge1T≥1, then

P ⁣-⁡RegretT≤256L∞2∑i:Δi≠01+ln⁡TΔi.\mathrm{P\!\operatorname{-}Regret}_T \le256L_\infty^2\sum_{i:\Delta_i\ne0}\frac{1+\ln T}{\Delta_i}.P-RegretT​≤256L∞2​i:Δi​=0∑​Δi​1+lnT​.

The milestone list contains the chapter's pseudo-regret decomposition (Lemma 9.10), its sub-Gaussian sample-mean bound (Corollary 9.9, reused from an existing formal statement), and the probability-sensitive Tsallis-INF inequality (9.8). These are distinct mathematical claims rather than alternate names for the final bound.

What the result provides

The adversarial bound grows like T\sqrt{T}T​ and remains valid for any fixed bounded loss table. The stochastic bound instead measures the difficulty of distinguishing arms through the positive gaps Δi\Delta_iΔi​ and grows logarithmically with the horizon for fixed gaps. Both refer to the same FTRL update and the same importance-weighted estimator. The finite-horizon constants 323232 and 256256256 are part of the target, not unspecified factors hidden in asymptotic notation.

Both claims are proved in the book. The work here is to give their hypotheses, random experiment, and algorithm a machine-checkable Lean interface, then formalize the known arguments. At this drafting stage the theorem bodies are open Lean problems; a successful build checks that their statements are well formed, not that the regret bounds have been proved. The resulting finite-history bandit protocol and stochastic pseudo-regret definitions can also support other loss-based bandit algorithms. The existing formalized sub-Gaussian tail bound can be reused for concentration results elsewhere in the chapter.

Where the proof is difficult

The learner observes only one coordinate, while regret is measured against losses across all arms. The importance-weighted estimate corrects the missing observations in expectation, but its size can grow when a selected arm has small probability. Consequently, a bound based only on a uniform estimate of its magnitude loses the probability dependence needed for the theorem's constants. The stochastic claim adds another difficulty: the learner's choices depend on past observed losses, so a current loss must be related to a random pull count without letting the choice depend on that current loss.

There are two tempting but invalid shortcuts. Permitting xtx_txt​ to inspect gtg_tgt​ would change the bandit protocol, and taking an expectation under an arbitrary path measure would no longer describe the arm draws of Algorithm 9.6. The formal statements tie each prediction to its FTRL objective and each path probability to the predictions made along that history.

Formalization scope

Arms are Fin d; the main theorem permits d=1d=1d=1, where both its regret and bound are zero. Rounds retain the book's 1,…,T1,\ldots,T1,…,T indexing. A finite path has a dummy coordinate zero, fixed to an arbitrary anchor arm; this coordinate is never played or scored. The adversarial losses are a fixed table, selected before any draw. A path has probability equal to the product of the algorithm's conditional arm probabilities, and regret against a fixed arm is a finite weighted sum over paths. The FTRL run predicate requires simplex membership, strict positivity, minimization against every simplex point, and dependence only on past arm choices. The last two properties specify the intended update on every possible history.

The stochastic model first samples a loss table from a probability measure and then draws an arm path conditionally using the same Algorithm 9.6. Current-round loss vectors are independent across rounds, while coordinates within one round need not be independent. Each arm has the same mean in every round. The policy is a measurable function of the observed history (past arms and their losses); its expected loss is explicitly integrable. Loss bounds are imposed on every outcome in the chosen sample space, which can be taken as the support of bounded distributions. The stochastic statement adds T≥1T\ge1T≥1 to make the logarithmic formula's domain explicit, and the unique-best-arm assumption ensures every denominator Δi\Delta_iΔi​ in the displayed sum is positive. Lemma 9.10 also spells out the integrability of its means and pull counts.

The development needs finite probability laws, real integrals, simplex geometry, and properties of the square-root regularizer. The independent tail bound for sample means is already available as a referenced theorem. Contributions that establish existence and interiority of the FTRL minimizer, the normalization of the path law, or the stated regret inequalities fit this scope. A choice rule that sees the current loss, a path law unrelated to xtx_txt​, or a zero integrability default does not satisfy the intended bandit model.

Selected references

  • Francesco Orabona, Online Learning: A Modern Introduction Using Convex Optimization, arXiv:1912.13213v10, 2026, Chapter 9, pp. 151–169. arXiv
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Convex OptimizationOptimizationProbability·Captain: mikedeng1

Accelerated Gradient Methods for Nonconvex Nonlinear and Stochastic Programming 3: The Randomized Stochastic AG Method Bounds E‖∇Ψ(x_R^md)‖² on Nonconvex Problems and Is Optimal on Convex OnesResearch Paper

Motivation

In stochastic programming the objective Ψ(x)=Eξ[F(x,ξ)]\Psi(x)=\mathbb E_\xi[F(x,\xi)]Ψ(x)=Eξ​[F(x,ξ)] is an expectation that cannot be evaluated, and an algorithm sees only noisy gradients G(x,ξ)G(x,\xi)G(x,ξ) drawn from a stochastic first-order oracle. Stochastic gradient descent and its relatives are the standard methods. For convex Ψ\PsiΨ the optimal rate is known: Lan's accelerated stochastic approximation method (Lan, Math. Program. 2012) reaches an expected optimality gap of order L∥x0−x∗∥2/N2+σ∥x0−x∗∥/NL\|x_0-x^*\|^2/N^2+\sigma\|x_0-x^*\|/\sqrt NL∥x0​−x∗∥2/N2+σ∥x0​−x∗∥/N​ after NNN oracle calls. For smooth nonconvex Ψ\PsiΨ, Ghadimi and Lan's randomized stochastic gradient (RSG) method (arXiv:1309.5549, SIAM J. Optim. 2013) bounds the expected squared gradient norm at a randomly chosen iterate, but it is only nearly optimal when Ψ\PsiΨ happens to be convex.

Saeed Ghadimi and Guanghui Lan (arXiv:1310.3787v1, 2013; Mathematical Programming 156, 2016) combined the two lines: the randomized stochastic accelerated gradient (RSAG) method has a guarantee for nonconvex problems, and with suitable step sizes it attains the optimal rate on convex ones. This mission formalizes that result, Theorem 3 of the paper, together with the steps of its proof in §3.1.

Setting

Let Ψ:Rn→R\Psi:\mathbb R^n\to\mathbb RΨ:Rn→R be differentiable with Lipschitz gradient: ∥∇Ψ(y)−∇Ψ(x)∥≤LΨ∥y−x∥\|\nabla\Psi(y)-\nabla\Psi(x)\|\le L_\Psi\|y-x\|∥∇Ψ(y)−∇Ψ(x)∥≤LΨ​∥y−x∥ for all x,yx,yx,y, with LΨ>0L_\Psi>0LΨ​>0. Gradients are available only through a stochastic oracle: at its kkk-th call, with input xxx, it returns G(x,ξk)G(x,\xi_k)G(x,ξk​), where ξ1,ξ2,…\xi_1,\xi_2,\dotsξ1​,ξ2​,… are random variables on a probability space and GGG is jointly measurable.

Algorithm 3 (RSAG). The inputs are x0∈Rnx_0\in\mathbb R^nx0​∈Rn, step sizes α1=1\alpha_1=1α1​=1, αk∈(0,1)\alpha_k\in(0,1)αk​∈(0,1) for k≥2k\ge2k≥2, βk>0\beta_k>0βk​>0, λk>0\lambda_k>0λk​>0, an iteration limit N≥1N\ge1N≥1, and a probability mass function p1,…,pNp_1,\dots,p_Np1​,…,pN​. A termination index RRR with Pr⁡{R=k}=pk\Pr\{R=k\}=p_kPr{R=k}=pk​ is drawn first, independently of the noise. With x0ag=x0x^{ag}_0=x_0x0ag​=x0​, for k=1,2,…k=1,2,\dotsk=1,2,…,

xkmd=(1−αk)xk−1ag+αkxk−1,xk=xk−1−λkG(xkmd,ξk),xkag=xkmd−βkG(xkmd,ξk),x^{md}_k=(1-\alpha_k)x^{ag}_{k-1}+\alpha_kx_{k-1},\qquad x_k=x_{k-1}-\lambda_kG(x^{md}_k,\xi_k),\qquad x^{ag}_k=x^{md}_k-\beta_kG(x^{md}_k,\xi_k),xkmd​=(1−αk​)xk−1ag​+αk​xk−1​,xk​=xk−1​−λk​G(xkmd​,ξk​),xkag​=xkmd​−βk​G(xkmd​,ξk​),

and the method stops at k=Rk=Rk=R and outputs (xRmd,xRag)(x^{md}_R,x^{ag}_R)(xRmd​,xRag​). The oracle error is δk=G(xkmd,ξk)−∇Ψ(xkmd)\delta_k=G(x^{md}_k,\xi_k)-\nabla\Psi(x^{md}_k)δk​=G(xkmd​,ξk​)−∇Ψ(xkmd​).

Assumption 1 asks that the oracle be unbiased, E[δk]=0\mathbb E[\delta_k]=0E[δk​]=0, with variance E∥δk∥2≤σ2\mathbb E\|\delta_k\|^2\le\sigma^2E∥δk​∥2≤σ2. The paper does not require the ξk\xi_kξk​ to be independent.

The weights are Γ1=1\Gamma_1=1Γ1​=1, Γk=(1−αk)Γk−1\Gamma_k=(1-\alpha_k)\Gamma_{k-1}Γk​=(1−αk​)Γk−1​, and for a horizon NNN

Ck=1−LΨλk−LΨ(λk−βk)22αkΓkλk(∑τ=kNΓτ).C_k=1-L_\Psi\lambda_k-\frac{L_\Psi(\lambda_k-\beta_k)^2}{2\alpha_k\Gamma_k\lambda_k}\Big(\sum_{\tau=k}^N\Gamma_\tau\Big).Ck​=1−LΨ​λk​−2αk​Γk​λk​LΨ​(λk​−βk​)2​(τ=k∑N​Γτ​).

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem 3 (pp. 15–16)

Fix N≥1N\ge1N≥1. The expectations are taken over RRR and ξ[N]=(ξ1,…,ξN)\xi_{[N]}=(\xi_1,\dots,\xi_N)ξ[N]​=(ξ1​,…,ξN​).

a) If Ψ\PsiΨ is bounded below with Ψ∗=inf⁡Ψ\Psi^*=\inf\PsiΨ∗=infΨ, Ck>0C_k>0Ck​>0 for k≤Nk\le Nk≤N, and pk=λkCk/∑jλjCjp_k=\lambda_kC_k/\sum_{j}\lambda_jC_jpk​=λk​Ck​/∑j​λj​Cj​ (3.4), then

E∥∇Ψ(xRmd)∥2≤1∑k=1NλkCk[Ψ(x0)−Ψ∗+LΨσ22∑k=1Nλk2(1+(λk−βk)2αkΓkλk2∑τ=kNΓτ)].(3.5)\mathbb E\|\nabla\Psi(x^{md}_R)\|^2\le\frac{1}{\sum_{k=1}^N\lambda_kC_k}\Big[\Psi(x_0)-\Psi^*+\frac{L_\Psi\sigma^2}{2}\sum_{k=1}^N\lambda_k^2\Big(1+\frac{(\lambda_k-\beta_k)^2}{\alpha_k\Gamma_k\lambda_k^2}\sum_{\tau=k}^N\Gamma_\tau\Big)\Big].\tag{3.5}E∥∇Ψ(xRmd​)∥2≤∑k=1N​λk​Ck​1​[Ψ(x0​)−Ψ∗+2LΨ​σ2​k=1∑N​λk2​(1+αk​Γk​λk2​(λk​−βk​)2​τ=k∑N​Γτ​)].(3.5)

b) If Ψ\PsiΨ is convex with a minimizer x∗x^*x∗, αk/(λkΓk)\alpha_k/(\lambda_k\Gamma_k)αk​/(λk​Γk​) is nonincreasing (2.10), αkλk≤LΨβk2\alpha_k\lambda_k\le L_\Psi\beta_k^2αk​λk​≤LΨ​βk2​ and βk<1/LΨ\beta_k<1/L_\Psiβk​<1/LΨ​ (3.6), and pk∝Γk−1βk(1−LΨβk)p_k\propto\Gamma_k^{-1}\beta_k(1-L_\Psi\beta_k)pk​∝Γk−1​βk​(1−LΨ​βk​) (3.7), then

E∥∇Ψ(xRmd)∥2≤(2λ1)−1∥x0−x∗∥2+LΨσ2∑kΓk−1βk2∑kΓk−1βk(1−LΨβk),(3.8)\mathbb E\|\nabla\Psi(x^{md}_R)\|^2\le\frac{(2\lambda_1)^{-1}\|x_0-x^*\|^2+L_\Psi\sigma^2\sum_{k}\Gamma_k^{-1}\beta_k^2}{\sum_{k}\Gamma_k^{-1}\beta_k(1-L_\Psi\beta_k)},\tag{3.8}E∥∇Ψ(xRmd​)∥2≤∑k​Γk−1​βk​(1−LΨ​βk​)(2λ1​)−1∥x0​−x∗∥2+LΨ​σ2∑k​Γk−1​βk2​​,(3.8) E[Ψ(xRag)−Ψ(x∗)]≤∑kβk(1−LΨβk)[(2λ1)−1∥x0−x∗∥2+LΨσ2∑j≤kΓj−1βj2]∑kΓk−1βk(1−LΨβk).(3.9)\mathbb E[\Psi(x^{ag}_R)-\Psi(x^*)]\le\frac{\sum_{k}\beta_k(1-L_\Psi\beta_k)\big[(2\lambda_1)^{-1}\|x_0-x^*\|^2+L_\Psi\sigma^2\sum_{j\le k}\Gamma_j^{-1}\beta_j^2\big]}{\sum_{k}\Gamma_k^{-1}\beta_k(1-L_\Psi\beta_k)}.\tag{3.9}E[Ψ(xRag​)−Ψ(x∗)]≤∑k​Γk−1​βk​(1−LΨ​βk​)∑k​βk​(1−LΨ​βk​)[(2λ1​)−1∥x0​−x∗∥2+LΨ​σ2∑j≤k​Γj−1​βj2​]​.(3.9)

The goal keeps every printed constant and leaves the step sizes free. Corollary 3 specializes them; it is not part of this mission.

Milestones

Part a): the quadratic bound (2.1) (already proved on the platform); a pathwise one-step inequality for Ψ(xk)\Psi(x_k)Ψ(xk​) (p. 16); a stochastic version of (2.17) bounding ∥xk−1ag−xk−1∥2\|x^{ag}_{k-1}-x_{k-1}\|^2∥xk−1ag​−xk−1​∥2; the summed inequality with martingale terms bkb_kbk​ (pp. 16–17); its expectation (p. 17); the identity expressing E∥∇Ψ(xRmd)∥2\mathbb E\|\nabla\Psi(x^{md}_R)\|^2E∥∇Ψ(xRmd​)∥2 as a ppp-weighted average (p. 17); Theorem 3 a). Part b): Lemma 1 (p. 4); the convexity bound (2.21); (3.10) with a sign corrected; the stochastic version of (2.22); (3.11); its two consequences at x=x∗x=x^*x=x∗ (p. 18); the weighting identity for Ψ(xRag)\Psi(x^{ag}_R)Ψ(xRag​) (p. 18); Theorem 3 b).

Significance

The result. Theorem 3 gives one stochastic first-order method with two guarantees. On a nonconvex problem it finds an approximate stationary point with an explicit bound on E∥∇Ψ∥2\mathbb E\|\nabla\Psi\|^2E∥∇Ψ∥2. On a convex problem its optimality gap matches the lower bound for stochastic convex optimization, which the RSG method does not. The method does not need to know which case it is in; only the step-size policy changes. Later work on accelerated and variance-reduced methods for nonconvex stochastic problems builds on the same analysis, and Theorem 4 of the paper extends it to composite problems with mini-batches.

Formalizing it. The result is proved in the paper and, as far as we know, has not been machine-checked. A formal proof would check the bookkeeping that a reader usually takes on trust: the nested sums in CkC_kCk​ and bkb_kbk​, the conditional-expectation arguments that make {bk}\{b_k\}{bk​} a martingale difference sequence, and the passage from fixed horizons to the random output RRR. The printed proof has small errors (see Formalization scope), so the formal statements record the corrected forms.

Difficulty

The deterministic analysis of the AG method (Theorem 1) bounds Ψ(xN)\Psi(x_N)Ψ(xN​) along a single trajectory. In the stochastic case the same chain produces cross terms ⟨∇Ψ(xk−1),δk⟩\langle\nabla\Psi(x_{k-1}),\delta_k\rangle⟨∇Ψ(xk−1​),δk​⟩ and ⟨∇Ψ(xkmd),δk⟩\langle\nabla\Psi(x^{md}_k),\delta_k\rangle⟨∇Ψ(xkmd​),δk​⟩. These cross terms do not vanish pathwise, and the variance terms come with coefficients involving ∑τ≥kΓτ\sum_{\tau\ge k}\Gamma_\tau∑τ≥k​Γτ​ that grow backwards in time. The obvious argument would take expectations termwise. It fails unless one shows that each cross-term coefficient is measurable with respect to the past, so that its product with δk\delta_kδk​ has zero mean under conditional unbiasedness. This also requires square-integrability of every iterate, which the hypotheses do not state and which has to be established by induction. A second difficulty is the random output: the bound is on E∥∇Ψ(xRmd)∥2\mathbb E\|\nabla\Psi(x^{md}_R)\|^2E∥∇Ψ(xRmd​)∥2, an integral over RRR and the noise jointly, so the independence of RRR from the noise has to be used explicitly.

Formalization scope

  • Space and smoothness. Rn\mathbb R^nRn is EuclideanSpace ℝ (Fin n) (the published GhadimiLan.RSG.E n). Ψ∈CLΨ1,1\Psi\in\mathcal C^{1,1}_{L_\Psi}Ψ∈CLΨ​1,1​ is the published predicate ConvexOptAlg.SmoothGD.IsBetaSmooth Ψ g LΨ, with g=∇Ψg=\nabla\Psig=∇Ψ, and LΨ>0L_\Psi>0LΨ​>0.
  • The run. It is defined along each noise realization by recursion and evaluated pointwise on Ω\OmegaΩ. Indices are 1-based. Γk=∏i=2k(1−αi)\Gamma_k=\prod_{i=2}^k(1-\alpha_i)Γk​=∏i=2k​(1−αi​), so Γ1=1\Gamma_1=1Γ1​=1. The run is recorded for every kkk; the paper itself notes that stopping at RRR is the same as running NNN steps and outputting the RRR-th pair.
  • Assumption 1 is the published GhadimiLan.RSG.AssumptionA1 applied to the middle points: for a filtration to which the noise is adapted, E[G(xkmd,ξk)∣Fk−1]=∇Ψ(xkmd)\mathbb E[G(x^{md}_k,\xi_k)\mid\mathcal F_{k-1}]=\nabla\Psi(x^{md}_k)E[G(xkmd​,ξk​)∣Fk−1​]=∇Ψ(xkmd​) a.s. and E∥δk∥2≤σ2\mathbb E\|\delta_k\|^2\le\sigma^2E∥δk​∥2≤σ2. This conditional form is what the paper's martingale-difference step uses. It holds when the ξk\xi_kξk​ are independent, and it allows dependent noise, as the paper does.
  • The termination index. RRR is measurable, takes values in {1,…,N}\{1,\dots,N\}{1,…,N}, has the mass function (3.4) or (3.7), and is independent of the whole noise sequence. Each part of the goal quantifies over its own RRR.
  • Conditions on step sizes. (2.7), (2.10) and (3.6) are required for k=1,…,Nk=1,\dots,Nk=1,…,N.
  • Expectations. Every expectation is a Lebesgue integral, and its integrability is part of the conclusion, since Lean assigns 000 to the integral of a non-integrable function.
  • Corrected typos. On p. 16, δk\delta_kδk​ is read as δτ\delta_\tauδτ​ in the stochastic (2.17), and the middle line of the summed chain has a wrong sign. In (3.10) the term βk⟨∇Ψ(xkmd),δk⟩\beta_k\langle\nabla\Psi(x^{md}_k),\delta_k\rangleβk​⟨∇Ψ(xkmd​),δk​⟩ should carry a minus sign, which this mission states as "(3.10), sign corrected". On p. 18, ∥x0−x∥\|x_0-x\|∥x0​−x∥ means ∥x0−x∗∥\|x_0-x^*\|∥x0​−x∗∥. None of these affects the theorem.

The following versions would make the goal trivial and are excluded: a deterministic oracle (σ=0\sigma=0σ=0 hard-wired), RRR fixed to NNN, an oracle GGG not tied to ∇Ψ\nabla\Psi∇Ψ, and an unconditional unbiasedness hypothesis too weak to support the martingale step.

A complete development needs conditional expectations of vector-valued random variables, square-integrability of the iterates, and the independence calculus for the random index. These parts are reusable for the companion RSG and mini-batch RSAG missions. Contributions are welcome on any milestone. The pathwise milestones (one-step bound, (2.17), (2.21), (2.22), (3.10)) need no probability theory.

Selected references

  • S. Ghadimi, G. Lan, Accelerated Gradient Methods for Nonconvex Nonlinear and Stochastic Programming, arXiv:1310.3787v1, 2013; Math. Program. 156 (2016) 59–99. https://arxiv.org/abs/1310.3787
  • S. Ghadimi, G. Lan, Stochastic First- and Zeroth-Order Methods for Nonconvex Stochastic Programming, SIAM J. Optim. 23 (2013) 2341–2368. https://arxiv.org/abs/1309.5549
  • G. Lan, An optimal method for stochastic composite optimization, Math. Program. 133 (2012) 365–397. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10107-010-0434-y
  • Y. Nesterov, A method for unconstrained convex minimization problem with the rate of convergence O(1/k²), Doklady AN SSSR 269 (1983) 543–547.
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CombinatoricsDiscrete GeometryLinear Optimization+1·Captain: mikedeng1

An Improved Kalai-Kleitman Bound for the Diameter of a Polyhedron: Every d-Polyhedron with n Facets, Bounded or Not, Has Graph Diameter at Most (n-d)^(log2 d)Research Paper

Motivation

The simplex method for linear programming moves from vertex to vertex along the edges of a polyhedron. A lower bound on the number of pivots of any edge-following method is the graph diameter of the feasible polyhedron: the largest number of edges needed to connect two of its vertices. Whether this diameter is bounded by a polynomial in the dimension ddd and the number nnn of facets is the polynomial Hirsch conjecture, open since the 1950s. The original Hirsch conjecture, n−dn-dn−d, was refuted for unbounded polyhedra by Klee and Walkup (1967) and for bounded ones by Santos (2012) (doi:10.4007/annals.2012.176.1.7).

Timeline.

  • 1964–1966. Klee proves that a three-dimensional polyhedron with nnn facets, bounded or not, has diameter at most n−3n-3n−3 (doi:10.4153/CJM-1964-058-3, doi:10.1137/0113061, doi:10.2140/pjm.1966.17.249).
  • 1967. Klee and Walkup show that the Hirsch bound fails for unbounded polyhedra in dimension four (doi:10.1007/BF02395039).
  • 1992. Kalai and Kleitman prove the first subexponential bound, nlog⁡2d+2n^{\log_2 d+2}nlog2​d+2, for all polyhedra (doi:10.1090/S0273-0979-1992-00285-9, arXiv:math/9204233).
  • 2010. Eisenbrand, Hähnle, Razborov and Rothvoss show that nlog⁡2d+1n^{\log_2 d+1}nlog2​d+1 holds for a broad combinatorial abstraction of polyhedra (doi:10.1287/moor.1100.0470).
  • 2014. Todd sharpens the Kalai–Kleitman bound to (n−d)log⁡2d(n-d)^{\log_2 d}(n−d)log2​d for all polyhedra, bounded or not (arXiv:1402.3579; SIAM J. Discrete Math. 28 (2014), doi:10.1137/140962310). This is the result of this mission.

Setting

A polyhedron P⊆RdP\subseteq\mathbb R^dP⊆Rd is the set of solutions of finitely many linear inequalities,

P=Hpoly⁡(a,b)={x∈Rd: ⟨ai,x⟩≤bi, i=1,…,n}.P=\operatorname{Hpoly}(a,b)=\{x\in\mathbb R^d:\ \langle a_i,x\rangle\le b_i,\ i=1,\dots,n\}.P=Hpoly(a,b)={x∈Rd: ⟨ai​,x⟩≤bi​, i=1,…,n}.

It need not be bounded. A vertex of PPP is a point vvv for which some half-space HHH satisfies P∩H={v}P\cap H=\{v\}P∩H={v}, equivalently an extreme point of PPP. Two vertices v≠wv\neq wv=w are adjacent when P∩H=[v,w]P\cap H=[v,w]P∩H=[v,w] for some half-space HHH; the segment [v,w][v,w][v,w] is then an edge. A path of length kkk is a sequence of vertices v=v0,…,vk=wv=v_0,\dots,v_k=wv=v0​,…,vk​=w with consecutive vertices adjacent, ρP(v,w)\rho_P(v,w)ρP​(v,w) is the least such kkk, and the diameter is δ(P)=max⁡ρP(v,w)\delta(P)=\max\rho_P(v,w)δ(P)=maxρP​(v,w) over pairs of vertices. A (d,n)(d,n)(d,n)-polyhedron is a ddd-dimensional polyhedron with nnn facets, and

Δ(d,n)=max⁡{δ(P): P a (d,n)-polyhedron},\Delta(d,n)=\max\{\delta(P):\ P \text{ a } (d,n)\text{-polyhedron}\},Δ(d,n)=max{δ(P): P a (d,n)-polyhedron},

the maximum taken over bounded and unbounded polyhedra alike. All logarithms are to base 2.

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem 1

Δ(d,n)≤(n−d)log⁡d(1≤d≤n),Δ(1,1)=0.\Delta(d,n)\le (n-d)^{\log d}\quad(1\le d\le n),\qquad \Delta(1,1)=0.Δ(d,n)≤(n−d)logd(1≤d≤n),Δ(1,1)=0.

The goal fixes no constant beyond the paper's own exponent and leaves no case of ddd, nnn or boundedness open.

Milestones, in the order the proof uses them

  1. The identity (n−d)log⁡d=dlog⁡(n−d)(n-d)^{\log d}=d^{\log(n-d)}(n−d)logd=dlog(n−d) (p. 2).
  2. Two vertices on a common facet are at distance at most Δ(d−1,n−1)\Delta(d-1,n-1)Δ(d−1,n−1) (p. 2, in the proof of Lemma 1).
  3. Lemma 1 (Kalai–Kleitman): for 2≤d≤⌊n/2⌋2\le d\le\lfloor n/2\rfloor2≤d≤⌊n/2⌋, Δ(d,n)≤Δ(d−1,n−1)+2Δ(d,⌊n/2⌋)+2\Delta(d,n)\le\Delta(d-1,n-1)+2\Delta(d,\lfloor n/2\rfloor)+2Δ(d,n)≤Δ(d−1,n−1)+2Δ(d,⌊n/2⌋)+2.
  4. Δ(d,d)=0\Delta(d,d)=0Δ(d,d)=0.
  5. Δ(1,n)≤1\Delta(1,n)\le 1Δ(1,n)≤1.
  6. Δ(2,n)≤n−2\Delta(2,n)\le n-2Δ(2,n)≤n−2.
  7. Δ(3,n)≤n−3\Delta(3,n)\le n-3Δ(3,n)≤n−3 (Klee), for unbounded polyhedra too.
  8. If n<2dn<2dn<2d, then Δ(d,n)≤Δ(d−1,n−1)\Delta(d,n)\le\Delta(d-1,n-1)Δ(d,n)≤Δ(d−1,n−1).
  9. In the ten cases d=4, 8≤n≤11d=4,\ 8\le n\le 11d=4, 8≤n≤11; d=5, 10≤n≤12d=5,\ 10\le n\le 12d=5, 10≤n≤12; d=6, 12≤n≤13d=6,\ 12\le n\le 13d=6, 12≤n≤13; d=7, n=14d=7,\ n=14d=7, n=14, the bound ⌊(n−d)log⁡d⌋\lfloor (n-d)^{\log d}\rfloor⌊(n−d)logd⌋ satisfies the recursion of Lemma 1.
  10. For d≥4d\ge4d≥4, n−d≥8n-d\ge8n−d≥8, n≥2dn\ge 2dn≥2d: (d−1)log⁡(n−d)+2(n/2−d)log⁡d+2≤dlog⁡(n−d)(d-1)^{\log(n-d)}+2(n/2-d)^{\log d}+2\le d^{\log(n-d)}(d−1)log(n−d)+2(n/2−d)logd+2≤dlog(n−d). For n>2dn>2dn>2d this is the displayed inequality; at n=2dn=2dn=2d the second power is zero, consistent with Δ(d,d)=0\Delta(d,d)=0Δ(d,d)=0.

Significance

The result. The bound (n−d)log⁡d(n-d)^{\log d}(n−d)logd is never larger than the Kalai–Kleitman bound. It equals the true value n−dn-dn−d in dimensions 1 and 2, and it depends on nnn only through the Hirsch quantity n−dn-dn−d. Since (n−d)log⁡d=dlog⁡(n−d)(n-d)^{\log d}=d^{\log(n-d)}(n−d)logd=dlog(n−d), it is also symmetric under linear-programming duality, which exchanges the roles of ddd and n−dn-dn−d. For fixed n−dn-dn−d it is polynomial in ddd. It applies to the unbounded feasible regions that arise in practice in linear programming.

Formalizing it. The theorem has been proved since 2014. The platform has a proof of the bounded case only: Hirsch.todd_bound assumes d≥3d\ge3d≥3, a nonempty interior and Bornology.IsBounded. This mission's goal extends it to all polyhedra, bounded or not, and to d=1,2d=1,2d=1,2. That is the statement the paper proves, and the one an analysis of the simplex method on unbounded feasible regions needs. The unbounded form of Lemma 1 and the common-facet bound are open on the platform as items of the Kalai–Kleitman series and are reused here. Klee's unbounded three-dimensional bound has no formal proof on the platform: the published Hirsch.klee_three_dimensional_bound and Hirsch.dimension_three_bound cover bounded polyhedra only. The bounded recursion Hirsch.kalai_kleitman_recursion and the bounded facet reduction Hirsch.facet_reduction are proved and may serve as models.

Difficulty

Two steps are hard. The first is the unbounded case. Statements proved for polytopes do not transfer directly, because an unbounded polyhedron may have no vertices or a single one, unbounded edges (rays) that are not edges of the graph, and redundant or implicit-equality rows. Each geometric milestone must hold for these. The second is Klee's three-dimensional bound, which the paper cites without proof. Assuming boundedness to apply the published polytope versions is ruled out: Klee and Walkup showed that unbounded and bounded diameters differ from dimension four on, so the unbounded case carries content of its own. The arithmetic milestones are elementary but sensitive to edge values of log⁡\loglog and the real power.

Formalization scope

All statements use the published definitions Hirsch.Hpoly, Hirsch.Adj and Hirsch.DiamLE (Hirsch_model). Vertices are Set.extremePoints ℝ. DiamLE P B says that any two extreme points are joined by a walk of exactly BBB steps, each step staying put or crossing an edge. So the bound includes connectivity of the vertex–edge graph.

  • Inequality reading. "Δ(d,n)≤B\Delta(d,n)\le BΔ(d,n)≤B" is stated as: for every a:Fin n→Rda:\mathrm{Fin}\,n\to\mathbb R^da:Finn→Rd and bbb, DiamLE (Hpoly a b) B. This ranges over all polyhedra given by nnn inequalities in Rd\mathbb R^dRd, including lower-dimensional, empty and redundant ones. It is equivalent to the paper's statement: a lower-dimensional polyhedron of dimension d′d'd′ with n′n'n′ facets has n′−d′≤n−dn'-d'\le n-dn′−d′≤n−d.
  • No boundedness, nonemptiness or full-dimensionality is assumed anywhere.
  • The logarithm is Real.logb 2 and the power is Real.rpow. A distance is at most (n−d)log⁡d(n-d)^{\log d}(n−d)logd exactly when it is at most the floor ⌊(n−d)log⁡d⌋\lfloor (n-d)^{\log d}\rfloor⌊(n−d)logd⌋, abbreviated toddBound d n in the milestone on the ten cases. The clause Δ(1,1)=0\Delta(1,1)=0Δ(1,1)=0 is a separate conjunct, because 00=10^0=100=1 in Real.rpow.
  • Disclosed additions: nonzero rows in the n<2dn<2dn<2d step (as in the referenced Lemma 1 and the d=2d=2d=2 bound). In the general step, n≥2dn\ge2dn≥2d: the paper secures it by treating n<2dn<2dn<2d first. The second power is written with base n/2−dn/2-dn/2−d; it equals the printed expression when n>2dn>2dn>2d and takes the intended value zero when n=2dn=2dn=2d, where the printed logarithm is undefined.
  • Natural-number subtraction appears in n−3n-3n−3 and n−2n-2n−2 (both harmless, since for small nnn there are no vertices) and in Rd−1\mathbb R^{d-1}Rd−1 for facets.

Trivializing encodings are excluded: no Bornology.IsBounded hypothesis; no definition of Δ\DeltaΔ by sSup over N\mathbb NN, which would be 000 on unbounded families; no use of Hirsch.gdist, which is 000 when no walk exists; and no dropping of the Δ(1,1)=0\Delta(1,1)=0Δ(1,1)=0 clause.

Contributions are welcome on every milestone. A complete development needs facial structure of unbounded polyhedra (facets as polyhedra one dimension lower, tight rows at vertices), the relaxation argument of Lemma 1, Klee's three-dimensional argument, and real-power and logarithm estimates. The facet machinery and Klee's bound are reusable for any diameter result on unbounded polyhedra.

Selected references

  • M. J. Todd, An improved Kalai–Kleitman bound for the diameter of a polyhedron, SIAM J. Discrete Math. 28 (2014); arXiv:1402.3579v2. arXiv:1402.3579, doi:10.1137/140962310
  • G. Kalai and D. J. Kleitman, A quasi-polynomial bound for the diameter of graphs of polyhedra, Bull. Amer. Math. Soc. 26 (1992), 315–316. doi:10.1090/S0273-0979-1992-00285-9
  • V. Klee, Diameters of polyhedral graphs, Canad. J. Math. 16 (1964), 602–614. doi:10.4153/CJM-1964-058-3
  • V. Klee, Paths on polyhedra I, J. SIAM 13 (1965), 946–956. doi:10.1137/0113061
  • V. Klee, Paths on polyhedra II, Pacific J. Math. 17 (1966), 249–262. doi:10.2140/pjm.1966.17.249
  • V. Klee and D. W. Walkup, The d-step conjecture for polyhedra of dimension d < 6, Acta Math. 117 (1967), 53–78. doi:10.1007/BF02395039
  • F. Eisenbrand, N. Hähnle, A. Razborov, T. Rothvoss, Diameter of polyhedra: limits of abstraction, Math. Oper. Res. 35 (2010), 786–794. doi:10.1287/moor.1100.0470
  • F. Santos, A counterexample to the Hirsch conjecture, Ann. of Math. 176 (2012), 383–412. doi:10.4007/annals.2012.176.1.7
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CombinatoricsGraph Theory·Captain: mikedeng1

A Solution to the 1-2-3 Conjecture: Every Finite Graph Without a K2 Component Has an Edge-Weighting from {1,2,3} Whose Weighted Degrees Properly Color the VerticesResearch Paper

Motivation

Many graph-colouring questions ask whether a proper colouring can be produced indirectly, from local data, instead of being assigned vertex by vertex. In the 1-2-3 Conjecture, the colours are produced by weighting the edges of a graph and colouring each vertex with the sum of the weights at it. Karoński, Łuczak and Thomason asked in 2004 whether weights from {1,2,3}\{1,2,3\}{1,2,3} always suffice (J. Combin. Theory Ser. B 91 (2004)). The question started as a local version of the irregularity strength problem, where all vertices, not only adjacent ones, must receive different sums. It became one of the most studied problems on graph labellings. Surveys: Seamone (arXiv:1211.5122) and Grytczuk (DOI 10.1016/j.ejc.2020.103213).

Timeline.

  • 2004: Karoński, Łuczak, Thomason state the conjecture and prove it for 3-colourable graphs.
  • 2007: Addario-Berry, Dalal, McDiarmid, Reed and Thomason give the first finite bound, k=30k=30k=30; later k=16k=16k=16 (Addario-Berry et al.) and k=13k=13k=13 (Wang and Yu).
  • 2010: Kalkowski, Karoński and Pfender reach k=5k=5k=5 (J. Combin. Theory Ser. B 100 (2010)).
  • Before 2023: Przybyło proves the conjecture for ddd-regular graphs with d≥108d\ge 10^8d≥108 and for graphs with minimum degree δ(G)≥Clog⁡Δ(G)\delta(G)\ge C\log\Delta(G)δ(G)≥ClogΔ(G); Zhong proves it for graphs with minimum degree at least 0.99985∣V∣0.99985|V|0.99985∣V∣ (references [20], [21], [31] of the paper).
  • 2023: Keusch reaches k=4k=4k=4 with a maximum-cut and flow argument (Combinatorica 43 (2023), 651–658; reference [18] of the paper).
  • 2024: Keusch proves the conjecture, k=3k=3k=3 (J. Combin. Theory Ser. B (2024), arXiv:2303.02611).

Setting

Let G=(V,E)G=(V,E)G=(V,E) be a finite simple graph and write N(v)N(v)N(v) for the neighbourhood of a vertex vvv. A kkk-edge-weighting is a function ω:E→{1,…,k}\omega:E\to\{1,\dots,k\}ω:E→{1,…,k}. The weighted degree of vvv is

sω(v)=∑w∈N(v)ω({v,w}).s_\omega(v)=\sum_{w\in N(v)}\omega(\{v,w\}).sω​(v)=w∈N(v)∑​ω({v,w}).

Two adjacent vertices v,wv,wv,w have a coloring conflict if sω(v)=sω(w)s_\omega(v)=s_\omega(w)sω​(v)=sω​(w). The weighting is vertex-coloring if no edge is a coloring conflict, that is, if sωs_\omegasω​ is a proper vertex colouring of GGG.

If GGG has a connected component consisting of a single edge {v,w}\{v,w\}{v,w} (a component isomorphic to K2K_2K2​), then sω(v)=sω(w)=ω({v,w})s_\omega(v)=s_\omega(w)=\omega(\{v,w\})sω​(v)=sω​(w)=ω({v,w}) for every ω\omegaω, so no weighting is vertex-coloring. This is the only obstruction.

The proof uses a few further objects:

  • for W⊆VW\subseteq VW⊆V, deg⁡W(v)=∣N(v)∩W∣\deg_W(v)=|N(v)\cap W|degW​(v)=∣N(v)∩W∣;
  • for disjoint S,T⊆VS,T\subseteq VS,T⊆V, the bipartite subgraph G(S,T)G(S,T)G(S,T) with vertex set S∪TS\cup TS∪T and the edges of GGG between SSS and TTT;
  • a good R-B-partition (Definition 6): a partition V=R∪BV=R\cup BV=R∪B with RRR independent, G(R,B)G(R,B)G(R,B) connected and ∣B∣|B|∣B∣ even;
  • a maximum cut C=(S,T)C=(S,T)C=(S,T) and an auxiliary unit-capacity flow network GC,F,σG_{C,F,\sigma}GC,F,σ​ built from it (Lemma 4).

The Lean names are wdeg G ω v for sω(v)s_\omega(v)sω​(v), IsWeighting G k ω, IsVertexColoring G ω, NoK2Component G and IsGoodPartition G U R B.

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem 1 (p. 2)

If no connected component of GGG is isomorphic to K2K_2K2​, then there is ω:E→{1,2,3}\omega:E\to\{1,2,3\}ω:E→{1,2,3} with

∑u∈N(v)ω({u,v})≠∑u∈N(w)ω({u,w})for every edge {v,w}∈E.\sum_{u\in N(v)}\omega(\{u,v\})\ne\sum_{u\in N(w)}\omega(\{u,w\})\qquad\text{for every edge }\{v,w\}\in E.u∈N(v)∑​ω({u,v})=u∈N(w)∑​ω({u,w})for every edge {v,w}∈E.

The connected case (p. 14)

Every finite connected graph with ∣V∣≥3|V|\ge 3∣V∣≥3 has a vertex-coloring {1,2,3}\{1,2,3\}{1,2,3}-edge-weighting. This is the statement the case analysis of the proof establishes. Theorem 1 follows by treating each component separately.

Milestones along the proof

In the order the proof uses them:

  • Lemma 2: an independent set RRR with G(R,V∖R)G(R,V\setminus R)G(R,V∖R) connected, alternating along a shortest path.
  • Lemma 4: a flow of value ∣F∣|F|∣F∣ in GC,F,σG_{C,F,\sigma}GC,F,σ​.
  • Lemma 3: a weighting and odd designated colours fff, proper on GGG, with ∣sω+h−f∣=1|s_\omega+h-f|=1∣sω​+h−f∣=1.
  • Lemma 5: a bipartite weighting with prescribed parities on RRR and exact weighted degrees on BBB, plus a second version with extra control along a fixed path.
  • Lemmas 7, 8 and 9: the three basic situations in which a good R-B-partition of GGG, or of GGG minus one vertex, yields a vertex-coloring weighting.
  • Lemma 10: every connected graph of minimum degree at least 222 has an edge whose removal, together with its two ends, leaves a connected graph.

Significance

The result. Theorem 1 settles a conjecture that was open for nineteen years. The constant is optimal: the triangle K3K_3K3​ has no vertex-coloring {1,2}\{1,2\}{1,2}-weighting (two of its three edges get the same weight, and then two vertices tie), and deciding whether a vertex-coloring {1,2}\{1,2\}{1,2}-weighting exists is NP-complete (Dudek and Wajc, 2011). Theorem 1 also closes the sequence of upper bounds 30,16,13,6,5,430,16,13,6,5,430,16,13,6,5,4 on the number of weights needed. Variants remain open: total weightings with vertex weights {1,2}\{1,2\}{1,2} and edge weights {1,2}\{1,2\}{1,2} (the 1-2 Conjecture), and list versions.

Formalizing it. The theorem is proved, in a 16-page paper. As far as is known it has no machine-checked proof. A formal proof would verify the case analysis at the end of the paper (pp. 11–14, about fifteen sub-cases with three auxiliary graphs), which is where errors in such arguments usually hide. The flow lemma is quoted from the 2023 paper and not reproved here. Formalizing it means proving an integral max-flow statement for a specific unit-capacity network, and the result can be reused for other flow-based weighting arguments.

Difficulty

The obvious approach is to fix the weights greedily, edge by edge or vertex by vertex. This fails because changing one edge weight changes two weighted degrees at once, so a repair at one vertex can create a conflict at a neighbour. With only three weights there is no room to absorb this. Every earlier bound above 333 used the extra weight as slack.

The difficulty in the paper is parity. The construction needs the set BBB of blue vertices to have even cardinality, and ∣B∣|B|∣B∣ cannot always be made even. The proof therefore removes one or two vertices, applies one of three base lemmas, and re-inserts the vertices. That re-insertion may need one more round of weight changes along a path. Each sub-case has to keep track of parities, of exact weighted degrees on BBB, and of the connectivity of G(R,B)G(R,B)G(R,B) simultaneously.

Formalization scope

Representation.

  • Graphs are SimpleGraph V on a finite vertex type V with decidable adjacency. The paper's "graph" is a finite simple graph: weighted degrees are finite sums, and the proof uses a maximum cut and vertex orderings.
  • An edge-weighting is a function ω : Sym2 V → ℕ on unordered pairs. IsWeighting G k ω requires ω(e)∈{1,…,k}\omega(e)\in\{1,\dots,k\}ω(e)∈{1,…,k} for every edge eee of GGG; values on non-edges are unconstrained and never used.
  • The weighted degree sums over G.neighborFinset v. Since {u,v}={v,u}\{u,v\}=\{v,u\}{u,v}={v,u} in Sym2, the single sum equals both sides of Theorem 1's displayed inequality.
  • "No component isomorphic to K2K_2K2​" uses Mathlib's connected components and graph isomorphism. A sanity file proves it equivalent to "no edge both of whose ends have degree 1".
  • G(R,B)G(R,B)G(R,B) is Mathlib's G.between R B, induced on R∪BR\cup BR∪B wherever that vertex set is not all of VVV.

Conventions that differ from the page. There are two, both disclosed in the item statements:

  1. The vertex type is finite.
  2. The flow of Lemma 4 is integral. The page says "an sss-ttt-flow"; the paper uses integrality immediately afterwards, and the two versions are equivalent by the integrality theorem.

Lemma 5's condition α(v)∈{2deg⁡(v)−1,2deg⁡(v),2deg⁡(v)+1}\alpha(v)\in\{2\deg(v)-1,2\deg(v),2\deg(v)+1\}α(v)∈{2deg(v)−1,2deg(v),2deg(v)+1} is stated in Z\mathbb ZZ, and Lemma 3's ∣sω+h−f∣=1|s_\omega+h-f|=1∣sω​+h−f∣=1 is computed in Z\mathbb ZZ.

Ruled out. None of the following formalizations is faithful:

  • weights allowed to be 000, which deletes edges;
  • weights constrained off the edges;
  • the K2K_2K2​ hypothesis strengthened to minimum degree at least 222, or to connectivity;
  • "adjacent vertices" replaced by "all pairs of vertices", which is the irregularity-strength problem.

Infrastructure. A complete development needs:

  • spanning trees and parity arguments on trees (Lemma 5);
  • depth-first search trees (Lemma 10);
  • maximum cuts and an integral max-flow or augmenting-path argument for GC,F,σG_{C,F,\sigma}GC,F,σ​ (Lemma 4), together with path decompositions of unit flows (the proof of Lemma 3).

The flow and cut definitions are stated for arbitrary finite graphs and can be reused. Contributions are welcome at every level: proofs of individual lemmas, general flow-decomposition results, and the final case analysis.

Selected references

  • R. Keusch, A Solution to the 1-2-3 Conjecture, J. Combin. Theory Ser. B, 2024. arXiv:2303.02611v4, DOI 10.1016/j.jctb.2024.01.002
  • R. Keusch, Vertex-coloring graphs with 4-edge-weightings, Combinatorica 43 (2023), 651–658. Cited as [18] in arXiv:2303.02611v4.
  • M. Karoński, T. Łuczak, A. Thomason, Edge weights and vertex colours, J. Combin. Theory Ser. B 91 (2004), 151–157. DOI 10.1016/j.jctb.2003.12.001
  • M. Kalkowski, M. Karoński, F. Pfender, Vertex-coloring edge-weightings: towards the 1-2-3-conjecture, J. Combin. Theory Ser. B 100 (2010). DOI 10.1016/j.jctb.2009.06.002
  • A. Dudek, D. Wajc, On the complexity of vertex-coloring edge-weightings, Discrete Math. Theor. Comput. Sci. 13 (2011), 45–50. Cited as [11] in arXiv:2303.02611v4.
  • B. Seamone, The 1-2-3 Conjecture and related problems: a survey, 2012. arXiv:1211.5122
  • J. Grytczuk, From the 1-2-3 Conjecture to the Riemann Hypothesis, European J. Combin. 91 (2021), 103213. DOI 10.1016/j.ejc.2020.103213
14 thms3 active usersReviewed
Bandit AlgorithmsMachine LearningOperations Research+1·Captain: mikedeng1

Explore First, Exploit Next: The True Shape of Regret in Bandit Problems V: Symmetric Monotonic Strategies Draw the Suboptimal Arms Collectively a Linear Number of TimesResearch Paper

Motivation

In a stochastic multi-armed bandit, a player repeatedly chooses one of KKK arms and receives a random reward drawn from the chosen arm's unknown distribution. The classical lower bounds of Lai and Robbins (1985) and Burnetas and Katehakis (1996) describe the regret of good strategies when the horizon TTT tends to infinity: it grows like ln⁡T\ln TlnT, with a constant determined by Kullback–Leibler divergences. They say nothing about small horizons.

Garivier, Ménard and Stoltz (Math. Oper. Res., 2019; arXiv:1602.07182v3) show that the regret has a definite shape over the whole range of TTT: it is almost linear at first ("explore first"), and only afterwards logarithmic ("exploit next"). Their §3 gives three non-asymptotic lower bounds for the initial phase, each for a natural class of strategies. This mission is the third of them, Theorem 4 (p. 13): a collective lower bound on the total number of pulls of all suboptimal arms. It is the bound that remains informative when many arms are suboptimal, and it is the one illustrated for large KKK in the paper's §3.4.

Setting

A bandit problem ν‾=(νa)a=1,…,K\underline\nu=(\nu_a)_{a=1,\dots,K}ν​=(νa​)a=1,…,K​ is a family of probability distributions on R\mathbb RR, each with an expectation μa=E(νa)\mu_a=E(\nu_a)μa​=E(νa​). A model D\mathcal DD is a set of such distributions, and ν‾\underline\nuν​ is in D\mathcal DD when every νa∈D\nu_a\in\mathcal Dνa​∈D. Put μ⋆=max⁡aμa\mu^\star=\max_a\mu_aμ⋆=maxa​μa​.

At each round t≥1t\ge1t≥1 a strategy ψ\psiψ chooses an arm AtA_tAt​ from the past rewards (possibly with auxiliary randomization) and observes a reward Yt∼νAtY_t\sim\nu_{A_t}Yt​∼νAt​​. The number of pulls of arm aaa up to round TTT is Nψ,a(T)=∑t=1T1{At=a}N_{\psi,a}(T)=\sum_{t=1}^T\mathbb 1\{A_t=a\}Nψ,a​(T)=∑t=1T​1{At​=a}, and Eν‾\mathbb E_{\underline\nu}Eν​​ is the expectation when ψ\psiψ interacts with ν‾\underline\nuν​.

The set of optimal arms is A⋆(ν‾)={a:μa=μ⋆}\mathcal A^\star(\underline\nu)=\{a:\mu_a=\mu^\star\}A⋆(ν​)={a:μa​=μ⋆}, of cardinality Aν‾⋆A^\star_{\underline\nu}Aν​⋆​, and the set of worst arms is W(ν‾)\mathcal W(\underline\nu)W(ν​), the arms of smallest mean. The paper defines a partial order: ν‾′≼ν‾\underline\nu'\preccurlyeq\underline\nuν​′≼ν​ when νa′=νa\nu'_a=\nu_aνa′​=νa​ for every optimal arm aaa of ν‾\underline\nuν​ and E(νa′)≤E(νa)E(\nu'_a)\le E(\nu_a)E(νa′​)≤E(νa​) for every other arm. Two classes of strategies enter the theorem.

  1. ψ\psiψ is pairwise symmetric for optimal arms on D\mathcal DD (Definition 3, p. 11) if, for every ν‾\underline\nuν​ in D\mathcal DD and every pair of optimal arms a⋆,a⋆a^\star,a_\stara⋆,a⋆​ with νa⋆=νa⋆\nu_{a^\star}=\nu_{a_\star}νa⋆​=νa⋆​​, for all T≥1T\ge1T≥1, the pairs (Nψ,a⋆(T),Nψ,a⋆(T))(N_{\psi,a^\star}(T),N_{\psi,a_\star}(T))(Nψ,a⋆​(T),Nψ,a⋆​​(T)) and (Nψ,a⋆(T),Nψ,a⋆(T))(N_{\psi,a_\star}(T),N_{\psi,a^\star}(T))(Nψ,a⋆​​(T),Nψ,a⋆​(T)) have the same distribution.
  2. ψ\psiψ is monotonic on D\mathcal DD (Definition 4, p. 13) if for all ν‾′≼ν‾\underline\nu'\preccurlyeq\underline\nuν​′≼ν​ in D\mathcal DD, ∑a⋆∈A⋆(ν‾′)Eν‾′[Nψ,a⋆(T)]≥∑a⋆∈A⋆(ν‾)Eν‾[Nψ,a⋆(T)]\sum_{a^\star\in\mathcal A^\star(\underline\nu')}\mathbb E_{\underline\nu'}[N_{\psi,a^\star}(T)]\ge\sum_{a^\star\in\mathcal A^\star(\underline\nu)}\mathbb E_{\underline\nu}[N_{\psi,a^\star}(T)]∑a⋆∈A⋆(ν​′)​Eν​′​[Nψ,a⋆​(T)]≥∑a⋆∈A⋆(ν​)​Eν​​[Nψ,a⋆​(T)]: on an easier problem the optimal arms are pulled at least as often.

With KL\mathrm{KL}KL the Kullback–Leibler divergence, the constant of the theorem is

Kν‾max⁡=min⁡w∈W(ν‾) max⁡a⋆∈A⋆(ν‾)KL(νw,νa⋆).\mathcal K^{\max}_{\underline\nu}=\min_{w\in\mathcal W(\underline\nu)}\ \max_{a^\star\in\mathcal A^\star(\underline\nu)}\mathrm{KL}(\nu_w,\nu_{a^\star}).Kν​max​=w∈W(ν​)min​ a⋆∈A⋆(ν​)max​KL(νw​,νa⋆​).

The Bernoulli divergence is kl(p,q)=pln⁡pq+(1−p)ln⁡1−p1−q\mathrm{kl}(p,q)=p\ln\frac pq+(1-p)\ln\frac{1-p}{1-q}kl(p,q)=plnqp​+(1−p)ln1−q1−p​, (5).

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem 4 (main display), p. 13

For every model D\mathcal DD, every strategy ψ\psiψ pairwise symmetric for optimal arms and monotonic on D\mathcal DD, every bandit problem ν‾\underline\nuν​ in D\mathcal DD and every T≥1T\ge1T≥1,

∑a∉A⋆(ν‾)Eν‾[Nψ,a(T)] ≥ T(1−Aν‾⋆K−Aν‾⋆2TKν‾max⁡K−2Aν‾⋆TKν‾max⁡K).\sum_{a\notin\mathcal A^\star(\underline\nu)}\mathbb E_{\underline\nu}\big[N_{\psi,a}(T)\big]\ \ge\ T\left(1-\frac{A^\star_{\underline\nu}}K-\frac{A^\star_{\underline\nu}\sqrt{2T\mathcal K^{\max}_{\underline\nu}}}K-\frac{2A^\star_{\underline\nu}T\mathcal K^{\max}_{\underline\nu}}K\right).a∈/A⋆(ν​)∑​Eν​​[Nψ,a​(T)] ≥ T(1−KAν​⋆​​−KAν​⋆​2TKν​max​​​−K2Aν​⋆​TKν​max​​).

Milestones, in the order of the paper's proof

  1. Lemma 2 (p. 14): if (x−α)2≤βx(x-\alpha)^2\le\beta x(x−α)2≤βx with α,β≥0\alpha,\beta\ge0α,β≥0, then x≤α+β+αβx\le\alpha+\beta+\sqrt{\alpha\beta}x≤α+β+αβ​.
  2. Lemma 6 (p. 20): for 0≤p<q≤10\le p<q\le10≤p<q≤1, kl(p,q)≥(p−q)2/(2max⁡x∈[p,q]x(1−x))≥(p−q)2/(2q)\mathrm{kl}(p,q)\ge(p-q)^2/(2\max_{x\in[p,q]}x(1-x))\ge(p-q)^2/(2q)kl(p,q)≥(p−q)2/(2maxx∈[p,q]​x(1−x))≥(p−q)2/(2q).
  3. Monotonicity reduction (p. 13): with w~\tilde ww~ a worst arm and ν‾‾\underline{\underline\nu}ν​​ equal to ν‾\underline\nuν​ on the optimal arms and to νw~\nu_{\tilde w}νw~​ elsewhere, ∑a∉A⋆(ν‾)Eν‾[Nψ,a(T)]≥∑a∉A⋆(ν‾‾)Eν‾‾[Nψ,a(T)]\sum_{a\notin\mathcal A^\star(\underline\nu)}\mathbb E_{\underline\nu}[N_{\psi,a}(T)]\ge\sum_{a\notin\mathcal A^\star(\underline{\underline\nu})}\mathbb E_{\underline{\underline\nu}}[N_{\psi,a}(T)]∑a∈/A⋆(ν​)​Eν​​[Nψ,a​(T)]≥∑a∈/A⋆(ν​​)​Eν​​​[Nψ,a​(T)].
  4. Uniform split (p. 13): if all arms of ν~‾\underline{\tilde\nu}ν~​ carry the same distribution, Eν~‾[Nψ,a(T)]=T/K\mathbb E_{\underline{\tilde\nu}}[N_{\psi,a}(T)]=T/KEν~​​[Nψ,a​(T)]=T/K for every arm.
  5. The kl display (p. 14): TAν‾⋆Kν‾max⁡/K≥kl(Aν‾⋆/K,x)T A^\star_{\underline\nu}\mathcal K^{\max}_{\underline\nu}/K\ge\mathrm{kl}(A^\star_{\underline\nu}/K,x)TAν​⋆​Kν​max​/K≥kl(Aν​⋆​/K,x) with x=1T∑a⋆∈A⋆(ν‾)Eν‾‾[Nψ,a⋆(T)]x=\frac1T\sum_{a^\star\in\mathcal A^\star(\underline\nu)}\mathbb E_{\underline{\underline\nu}}[N_{\psi,a^\star}(T)]x=T1​∑a⋆∈A⋆(ν​)​Eν​​​[Nψ,a⋆​(T)].
  6. Equation (14) (p. 14): x≤Aν‾⋆K(1+2TKν‾max⁡+2TKν‾max⁡)x\le\frac{A^\star_{\underline\nu}}K\big(1+2T\mathcal K^{\max}_{\underline\nu}+\sqrt{2T\mathcal K^{\max}_{\underline\nu}}\big)x≤KAν​⋆​​(1+2TKν​max​+2TKν​max​​).

Significance

Theorem 4 bounds the regret from below through Rψ,ν‾,T≥(min⁡a∉A⋆Δa)∑a∉A⋆Eν‾[Nψ,a(T)]R_{\psi,\underline\nu,T}\ge(\min_{a\notin\mathcal A^\star}\Delta_a)\sum_{a\notin\mathcal A^\star}\mathbb E_{\underline\nu}[N_{\psi,a}(T)]Rψ,ν​,T​≥(mina∈/A⋆​Δa​)∑a∈/A⋆​Eν​​[Nψ,a​(T)], (13). While TTT is small compared with K/(Aν‾⋆Kν‾max⁡)K/(A^\star_{\underline\nu}\mathcal K^{\max}_{\underline\nu})K/(Aν​⋆​Kν​max​), the right-hand side of the theorem is of order T(1−A⋆/K)T(1-A^\star/K)T(1−A⋆/K), so the regret is linear: a reasonable strategy cannot avoid spending a constant fraction of the first rounds on the suboptimal arms. Unlike the per-arm bounds of Theorems 2 and 3, the bound concerns all suboptimal arms at once and does not degrade as KKK grows; §3.4 of the paper shows numerically that it gives the stronger regret bound for many arms.

The theorem is proved in the paper; to our knowledge no part of it has been machine-checked. A formal proof would exercise the published canonical bandit model of the platform (StochasticBandit, BanditPolicy, banditMeasure) on a genuine lower-bound argument with two auxiliary bandit problems, together with a local Pinsker inequality for Bernoulli divergences in [0,+∞][0,+\infty][0,+∞] that is reusable in other bandit lower bounds.

Difficulty

The obvious attempt applies the fundamental inequality (6) to ν‾\underline\nuν​ and an alternative in which one suboptimal arm becomes optimal, as in Theorem 2. That gives a bound arm by arm, which deteriorates with KKK and does not see the number A⋆A^\starA⋆ of optimal arms; it also needs a hypothesis of the type "smarter than uniform", which is not assumed here. Nothing is known about how a general ψ\psiψ behaves on ν‾\underline\nuν​ itself, so the two hypotheses on ψ\psiψ must carry all the information, and both are weak: Definition 3 only constrains pairs of optimal arms with equal laws, and only through the joint distribution of their pull counts under the canonical bandit measure; Definition 4 only compares problems ordered by ≼\preccurlyeq≼. On the analytic side, the classical Pinsker inequality kl(p,q)≥2(p−q)2\mathrm{kl}(p,q)\ge2(p-q)^2kl(p,q)≥2(p−q)2 loses the factor A⋆/KA^\star/KA⋆/K and gives a weaker theorem, so a local refinement is required, and every divergence is valued in [0,+∞][0,+\infty][0,+∞].

Formalization scope

Arms are indexed by Fin K (the paper's arm aaa is index a−1a-1a−1), with K≥1K\ge1K≥1 assumed in the goal. A bandit problem is the published BanditAlgorithm.StochasticBandit K, a strategy is a published BanditPolicy K (a family of Markov kernels from histories to arms; every strategy of the paper with auxiliary uniform randomization induces one with the same law of arms and rewards), and Eν‾[Nψ,a(T)]\mathbb E_{\underline\nu}[N_{\psi,a}(T)]Eν​​[Nψ,a​(T)] is the integral of the pull count against banditMeasure. A model is a Set (Measure ℝ) whose members are probability measures with an integrable identity, the standing assumption of §1.1–§1.2. Definitions 3 and 4 leave TTT implicit and are read "for all T≥1T\ge1T≥1"; in Definition 3 equality of distributions is equality of the image measures of the pair of counts, not of their expectations. KL\mathrm{KL}KL, kl\mathrm{kl}kl and Kmax⁡\mathcal K^{\max}Kmax take values in [0,+∞][0,+\infty][0,+∞]; the goal assumes Kν‾max⁡<+∞\mathcal K^{\max}_{\underline\nu}<+\inftyKν​max​<+∞, since otherwise the printed bound is −∞-\infty−∞ and a real-valued conversion would silently replace +∞+\infty+∞ by 000. The Bernoulli divergence is defined as the divergence between two Bernoulli laws on R\mathbb RR, so it is +∞+\infty+∞ where (5) is, rather than a finite junk value. The auxiliary problems of the proof are not constructed; the milestones quantify over them with their defining properties.

The paper's "In particular" clause, ∑a∉A⋆E[Nψ,a(T)]≥T2(1−A⋆/K)\sum_{a\notin\mathcal A^\star}\mathbb E[N_{\psi,a}(T)]\ge\frac T2(1-A^\star/K)∑a∈/A⋆​E[Nψ,a​(T)]≥2T​(1−A⋆/K) for T≤K/(8A⋆Kmax⁡)T\le K/(8A^\star\mathcal K^{\max})T≤K/(8A⋆Kmax), is not stated: it follows from the main display only when A⋆/K+A⋆/K≤1/2A^\star/K+\sqrt{A^\star/K}\le1/2A⋆/K+A⋆/K​≤1/2 (at A⋆/K=1/2A^\star/K=1/2A⋆/K=1/2 the main bound is negative), and whether it holds in general is not known here.

A formalization that weakens the strategy classes (full permutation symmetry, or equality of expected counts in Definition 3), drops the requirement that the problems lie in the model, or uses a real Bernoulli divergence with finite values at q∈{0,1}q\in\{0,1\}q∈{0,1} does not count.

A complete development needs the fundamental inequality (6) on the canonical bandit model (the subject of mission I of this series; the chain rule for the divergence of bandit measures is already proved on the platform), the symmetry argument on the canonical measure, Lemma 6 and Lemma 2. Contributions of any of these, and of the identity ∑aNψ,a(T)=T\sum_a N_{\psi,a}(T)=T∑a​Nψ,a​(T)=T integrated against banditMeasure, are welcome; Lemma 6 and the symmetry lemma are reusable beyond this mission.

Selected references

  • A. Garivier, P. Ménard, G. Stoltz, Explore First, Exploit Next: The True Shape of Regret in Bandit Problems, Mathematics of Operations Research, 2019; arXiv:1602.07182v3. https://arxiv.org/abs/1602.07182, https://doi.org/10.1287/moor.2017.0928
  • T. L. Lai, H. Robbins, Asymptotically efficient adaptive allocation rules, Advances in Applied Mathematics, 1985. https://doi.org/10.1016/0196-8858(85)90002-8
  • A. N. Burnetas, M. N. Katehakis, Optimal adaptive policies for sequential allocation problems, Advances in Applied Mathematics, 1996. https://doi.org/10.1006/aama.1996.0007
  • T. Lattimore, Cs. Szepesvári, Bandit Algorithms, Cambridge University Press, 2020. https://doi.org/10.1017/9781108571401
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Explore First, Exploit Next: The True Shape of Regret in Bandit Problems III: A Strategy Smarter Than Uniform Draws Every Arm at Least (T/K)(1 − √(2T K_inf)) TimesResearch Paper

Why early exploration needs a lower bound

A stochastic multi-armed bandit learner repeatedly selects one of finitely many arms and sees only the reward from the selected arm. The learner must gather information about uncertain rewards while trying to select high-mean arms. Expected regret summarizes the lost reward relative to always selecting an optimal arm, but regret alone does not explain how much sampling each particular arm must receive. Garivier, Ménard, and Stoltz study this allocation question directly in Explore First, Exploit Next: The True Shape of Regret in Bandit Problems. Their Section 3 gives lower bounds for small horizons, before the longer-run logarithmic behavior becomes dominant.

The paper's first small-horizon result concerns strategies that allocate at least a uniform share to every optimal arm, on every problem in a specified model. This requirement excludes a strategy that always selects one fixed label and succeeds only when that label happens to be best. Such a requirement still permits many adaptive policies; it constrains their performance on optimal arms rather than prescribing their decisions round by round. The result establishes a compulsory initial allocation to every arm, including one whose mean is below the best mean. It is Theorem 2 on page 10 of the pinned arXiv:1602.07182v3.

Bandit problems, models, and strategies

A bandit problem ν‾=(νa)a=1K\underline\nu=(\nu_a)_{a=1}^Kν​=(νa​)a=1K​ consists of KKK probability laws on R\mathbb RR. At each round, a strategy ψ\psiψ chooses an arm using the observed past and randomization, then receives an independent reward drawn from that arm's law. The mean reward of arm aaa is μa=Eνa[X]\mu_a=\mathbb E_{\nu_a}[X]μa​=Eνa​​[X]. Write μ∗=max⁡aμa\mu^*=\max_a\mu_aμ∗=maxa​μa​, and call an arm optimal when μa=μ∗\mu_a=\mu^*μa​=μ∗. The count Nψ,a(T)N_{\psi,a}(T)Nψ,a​(T) is the number of times arm aaa is chosen during the first TTT rounds. These objects and the information available to a strategy are specified in Section 1.1, pages 2–3.

A model D\mathcal DD is a collection of possible arm laws, each a probability measure with an expectation. The notation ν‾∈D\underline\nu\in\mathcal Dν​∈D means that every arm law νa\nu_aνa​ belongs to D\mathcal DD. A strategy is smarter than uniform on D\mathcal DD when, for every bandit problem in the model, every optimal arm a∗a^*a∗, and every integer T≥1T\ge1T≥1, it satisfies

Eν‾[Nψ,a∗(T)]≥TK.\mathbb E_{\underline\nu}[N_{\psi,a^*}(T)]\ge\frac{T}{K}.Eν​​[Nψ,a∗​(T)]≥KT​.

This is Definition 2 on page 10. It imposes a lower bound on each optimal arm, even when several arms tie. The requirement is evaluated across the whole model, so a strategy cannot be declared smarter based only on its behavior on the one problem used in the theorem.

For a law PPP, a real threshold xxx, and the model D\mathcal DD, the information number Kinf⁡(P,x,D)\mathcal K_{\inf}(P,x,\mathcal D)Kinf​(P,x,D) is the infimum of KL(P,Q)\mathrm{KL}(P,Q)KL(P,Q) over those Q∈DQ\in\mathcal DQ∈D whose mean exceeds xxx. The infimum is +∞+\infty+∞ if there is no such QQQ. This is the definition on page 4. It measures how close an arm law is, in Kullback–Leibler divergence, to another admissible law that would give it a mean above the present optimum.

Formalization targets

The main target is Theorem 2. For a model D\mathcal DD, a strategy ψ\psiψ smarter than uniform on it, a bandit problem ν‾∈D\underline\nu\in\mathcal Dν​∈D, every arm aaa, and every integer T≥1T\ge1T≥1, the finite-Kinf⁡\mathcal K_{\inf}Kinf​ case states

Eν‾[Nψ,a(T)]≥TK(1−2TKinf⁡(νa,μ∗,D)).\mathbb E_{\underline\nu}[N_{\psi,a}(T)]\ge \frac{T}{K}\left(1-\sqrt{2T\mathcal K_{\inf}(\nu_a,\mu^*,\mathcal D)}\right).Eν​​[Nψ,a​(T)]≥KT​(1−2TKinf​(νa​,μ∗,D)​).

The theorem includes optimal and suboptimal arms. Its printed companion says that when T≤1/(8Kinf⁡)T\le 1/(8\mathcal K_{\inf})T≤1/(8Kinf​), the arm receives at least T/(2K)T/(2K)T/(2K) expected selections. In the formal statement this threshold is 8TKinf⁡≤18T\mathcal K_{\inf}\le18TKinf​≤1, which also expresses the intended case Kinf⁡=0\mathcal K_{\inf}=0Kinf​=0. Both claims come from Theorem 2, page 10.

The milestone list follows the source's intermediate claims. Lemma 6, page 20 bounds Bernoulli relative entropy using the maximum of x(1−x)x(1-x)x(1−x) over an interval. The proof of Theorem 2 on page 11 states that Bernoulli relative entropy increases in its second argument on the interval starting at its first argument. The same page applies the paper's fundamental inequality (6) to the fraction of rounds spent on one arm, then states a lower bound against a single alternative arm law. These are the four curated milestones for the main theorem.

What the result supplies

The theorem turns a model-relative performance condition into a numerical constraint on early sampling. If an arm's law is close in divergence to a law that would make it best, then the bound keeps its expected pull count near the uniform allocation until the horizon is large enough for the term under the square root to matter. It identifies the divergence scale 1/Kinf⁡1/\mathcal K_{\inf}1/Kinf​ at which this particular guarantee becomes weak. The paper contrasts this absolute bound with later relative and collective bounds that capture different dependencies on the number of arms in Section 3, pages 10–14.

The mathematical result is proved in the paper. The remaining work in this mission is a machine-checked development of the statement and its source-backed intermediate inequalities in the canonical stochastic-bandit model. The published bandit structure, policy kernels, and information number provide reusable foundations. Shared definitions supply the Bernoulli divergence, model predicate, and expected pull counts; the local strategy class makes the hypothesis of this particular theorem explicit. The Bernoulli inequalities and the pull-count change-of-measure statement can be reused in other lower-bound results.

Where the difficulty lies

A performance condition about optimal arms does not directly constrain an arm that is suboptimal in the problem of interest. The small-horizon bound must remain valid even though the strategy may adapt to observed rewards, and the relevant alternative arm laws can have divergences approaching an infimum without attaining it. The paper's lower bound is therefore sensitive to the exact orientation of the two bandit problems, the expected count multiplying their divergence, and the boundary conventions for Bernoulli relative entropy. Replacing the infimum with a chosen alternative or changing a divergence to an ordinary real with an arbitrary boundary value would alter the statement.

Formalization scope

Lean uses arms Fin K, indexed from zero; the paper indexes them from one. The horizon is a natural number, and counts are integrated against the probability measure on TTT-round histories generated by a stochastic kernel policy. Such kernels represent the arm-and-reward histories induced by the paper's strategies with auxiliary randomization. The model is a set of probability measures on R\mathbb RR whose identity function is integrable. The published StochasticBandit, BanditPolicy, and ConsistentBanditPolicy definitions supply the basic problem, history measure, pull count, means, and Kinf⁡\mathcal K_{\inf}Kinf​.

Bernoulli divergence and Kinf⁡\mathcal K_{\inf}Kinf​ take values in [0,+∞][0,+\infty][0,+∞]. The real square-root formula assumes Kinf⁡<+∞\mathcal K_{\inf}<+\inftyKinf​<+∞: when it is infinite, the paper's right-hand side is −∞-\infty−∞, while converting infinity directly to Lean's real value would produce a false numerical bound. The starting bandit problem is explicitly in D\mathcal DD, a condition needed for the proof's use of Definition 2 on a one-arm modification, although the printed quantifier on page 10 omits it. The arm parameter guarantees K≥1K\ge1K≥1; every target assumes T≥1T\ge1T≥1, so its real divisions by KKK and TTT have the stated meaning.

A faithful development must retain Definition 2's quantification over all model problems and each optimal arm, rather than only over the bandit problem used in the conclusion. It must use the full Bernoulli relative entropy, including infinite endpoint values, and the infimum over precisely those model laws with mean greater than μ∗\mu^*μ∗. The local instance of (6) also assumes integrable arm rewards in both bandit problems, as Section 1.1 requires. Contributions that establish the four milestones, the companion threshold claim, or reusable count-integrability and divergence facts are in scope.

Selected references

  • Aurélien Garivier, Pierre Ménard, and Gilles Stoltz, Explore First, Exploit Next: The True Shape of Regret in Bandit Problems, Mathematics of Operations Research, 2019; arXiv:1602.07182v3.
  • Tor Lattimore and Csaba Szepesvári, Bandit Algorithms, Cambridge University Press, 2020; DOI:10.1017/9781108571401. The published bandit definitions used here follow its canonical framework.
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Explore First, Exploit Next: The True Shape of Regret in Bandit Problems VI: Uniformly Super-Fast Convergent Strategies Draw Each Suboptimal Arm ln T / K_inf Times up to Explicit Lower-Order TermsResearch Paper

Why the large-horizon bound matters

In a stochastic multi-armed bandit, a decision maker repeatedly chooses one of several unknown reward sources. Sampling an arm reveals its reward but uses a round that could have been spent on a better arm. A good strategy must therefore reduce sampling of inferior arms, yet it cannot stop sampling them too early: it must still distinguish the current problem from a nearby one in which an apparently inferior arm is best. This tension produces the logarithmic lower bounds that benchmark bandit algorithms.

Garivier, Ménard and Stoltz revisit that benchmark in Explore First, Exploit Next. Their Theorem 5 gives a finite-horizon lower bound with explicit terms beyond the leading logarithm. It concerns every uniformly super-fast convergent strategy on a well-behaved model, not a particular algorithm. The distinction matters when comparing an algorithm's upper bound to what any strategy with that uniform performance guarantee must pay. The theorem is proved in the paper; this mission asks for a machine-checked statement and proof of that established result.

Bandit model and information cost

There are KKK arms. Arm aaa has an unknown probability distribution νa\nu_aνa​ over real rewards, with finite mean μa\mu_aμa​. The vector ν‾=(νa)a=1K\underline\nu=(\nu_a)_{a=1}^Kν​=(νa​)a=1K​ is a bandit problem. Its best mean is μ∗=max⁡aμa\mu^*=\max_a\mu_aμ∗=maxa​μa​, and the gap of arm aaa is Δa=μ∗−μa\Delta_a=\mu^*-\mu_aΔa​=μ∗−μa​. An arm with Δa>0\Delta_a>0Δa​>0 is suboptimal. A strategy ψ\psiψ selects an arm each round using the previous arms and rewards, possibly with randomization. Write Nψ,a(T)N_{\psi,a}(T)Nψ,a​(T) for the number of times it selects arm aaa by round TTT, and Eν‾[Nψ,a(T)]\mathbb E_{\underline\nu}[N_{\psi,a}(T)]Eν​​[Nψ,a​(T)] for the expected count under the problem ν‾\underline\nuν​.

A model D\mathcal DD specifies the probability distributions that an arm may have. All its laws have a finite first moment, and a bandit problem is in D\mathcal DD when every arm law belongs to it. For a law PPP and a target mean xxx, the paper's minimal information cost is

Kinf⁡(P,x,D)=inf⁡{KL(P,Q):Q∈D, E(Q)>x},\mathcal K_{\inf}(P,x,\mathcal D) =\inf\{\mathrm{KL}(P,Q):Q\in\mathcal D,\ \mathrm E(Q)>x\},Kinf​(P,x,D)=inf{KL(P,Q):Q∈D, E(Q)>x},

where an empty infimum is +∞+\infty+∞. This measures how much the law of an arm must change to make its mean exceed xxx. The Bernoulli divergence kl(p,q)\mathrm{kl}(p,q)kl(p,q) used in the intermediate change-of-measure bound keeps its infinite values at the boundary.

Let E(D)E(\mathcal D)E(D) be the interior of the set of expectations of laws in D\mathcal DD. A model is well behaved when positive functions εD\varepsilon_{\mathcal D}εD​ and ωD\omega_{\mathcal D}ωD​ satisfy, whenever P∈DP\in\mathcal DP∈D, x∈E(D)x\in E(\mathcal D)x∈E(D), E(P)<x\mathrm E(P)<xE(P)<x, and 0<ε<εD(x)0<\varepsilon<\varepsilon_{\mathcal D}(x)0<ε<εD​(x),

Kinf⁡(P,x+ε,D)≤Kinf⁡(P,x,D)+εωD(P,x).\mathcal K_{\inf}(P,x+\varepsilon,\mathcal D) \le \mathcal K_{\inf}(P,x,\mathcal D)+\varepsilon\omega_{\mathcal D}(P,x).Kinf​(P,x+ε,D)≤Kinf​(P,x,D)+εωD​(P,x).

A strategy is uniformly super-fast convergent with constant Cψ,DC_{\psi,\mathcal D}Cψ,D​ when Eν‾[Nψ,a(T)]≤Cψ,Dln⁡T/Δa2\mathbb E_{\underline\nu}[N_{\psi,a}(T)]\le C_{\psi,\mathcal D}\ln T/\Delta_a^2Eν​​[Nψ,a​(T)]≤Cψ,D​lnT/Δa2​ for every problem in D\mathcal DD, every suboptimal arm, and every T≥2T\ge2T≥2. The same constant applies throughout. Finally, H(ν‾)=∑a:Δa>0Δa−2H(\underline\nu)=\sum_{a:\Delta_a>0}\Delta_a^{-2}H(ν​)=∑a:Δa​>0​Δa−2​ records the inverse-squared gaps of all suboptimal arms.

Formalization targets

For each suboptimal arm let K=Kinf⁡(νa,μ∗,D)\mathcal K=\mathcal K_{\inf}(\nu_a,\mu^*,\mathcal D)K=Kinf​(νa​,μ∗,D). The goal is Theorem 5, with εT=(ln⁡T)−4\varepsilon_T=(\ln T)^{-4}εT​=(lnT)−4 and

aT=ωD(νa,μ∗)KεT,bT=Cψ,DH(ν‾)ln⁡TT,cT=ln⁡(KCψ,D(ln⁡T)9)ln⁡T.a_T=\frac{\omega_{\mathcal D}(\nu_a,\mu^*)}{\mathcal K}\varepsilon_T, \qquad b_T=C_{\psi,\mathcal D}H(\underline\nu)\frac{\ln T}{T}, \qquad c_T=\frac{\ln(KC_{\psi,\mathcal D}(\ln T)^9)}{\ln T}.aT​=KωD​(νa​,μ∗)​εT​,bT​=Cψ,D​H(ν​)TlnT​,cT​=lnTln(KCψ,D​(lnT)9)​.

For every T≥2T\ge2T≥2 satisfying εT<εD(μ∗)\varepsilon_T<\varepsilon_{\mathcal D}(\mu^*)εT​<εD​(μ∗), aT<1a_T<1aT​<1, bT<1b_T<1bT​<1, and 0≤cT<10\le c_T<10≤cT​<1, the target is

Eν‾[Nψ,a(T)]≥ln⁡TK(1−(aT+bT+cT))−ln⁡2K.\mathbb E_{\underline\nu}[N_{\psi,a}(T)] \ge \frac{\ln T}{\mathcal K}\bigl(1-(a_T+b_T+c_T)\bigr) -\frac{\ln 2}{\mathcal K}.Eν​​[Nψ,a​(T)]≥KlnT​(1−(aT​+bT​+cT​))−Kln2​.

The milestones follow the paper's displayed bounds: the one-alternative inequality (15), the optimized inequality (17), the inverse-information-cost bound after (17), and the product inequality quoted immediately before Theorem 5. They preserve the same constants and the same H(ν‾)H(\underline\nu)H(ν​).

What the result supplies

The leading term ln⁡T/K\ln T/\mathcal KlnT/K is the familiar distribution-dependent sampling barrier. The explicit aTa_TaT​, bTb_TbT​, and cTc_TcT​ quantify the correction at a finite horizon; the paper observes that their combined contribution has order ln⁡ln⁡T\ln\ln TlnlnT under its conditions. This makes the result useful when an algorithm's upper bound includes a second-order term and one wants to know the scale that a lower bound permits. It also identifies precisely which model regularity and uniform strategy guarantee support that comparison.

Formalizing Theorem 5 would add a reusable finite-horizon lower bound to the bandit library. The published definitions of stochastic bandits, policies, pull counts, and Kinf⁡\mathcal K_{\inf}Kinf​ supply the base model; this mission adds the paper's well-behavedness and super-fast convergence predicates and states the intermediate inequalities as separate targets. The paper's proof is established mathematically, while these mission statements remain open Lean theorems until solvers supply machine-checked proofs.

Main difficulty

The information cost is an infimum over alternative reward laws, so the finite-horizon bound must remain meaningful when the feasible set is empty or its divergence is infinite. The displayed formulas also divide by that information cost and use logarithms of quantities involving the strategy's uniform constant. For Theorem 5, the explicit correction factors must all lie in the range where the paper's final product inequality applies. A purely asymptotic statement would discard exactly the constants and horizon conditions that distinguish this theorem.

Formalization scope

Arms are Fin K, so the paper's arm a∈{1,…,K}a\in\{1,\ldots,K\}a∈{1,…,K} has Lean index a−1a-1a−1. A strategy is represented by Markov kernels on observed arm-reward histories; its expected pull count is an integral of a bounded count. The model consists of probability measures on R\mathbb RR with integrable identity. The information cost and Bernoulli divergence live in [0,+∞][0,+\infty][0,+∞]; a finite positive cost is converted to a real number only where a displayed reciprocal requires it. The goal contains a suboptimal arm, which rules out the empty-arm and single-arm cases. The model's witness functions are total in Lean, with requirements only on their paper-defined domains.

The theorem explicitly assumes μ∗∈E(D)\mu^*\in E(\mathcal D)μ∗∈E(D) and 0<K<+∞0<\mathcal K<+\infty0<K<+∞, which are implicit in the paper's use of εD(μ∗)\varepsilon_{\mathcal D}(\mu^*)εD​(μ∗) and 1/K1/\mathcal K1/K. It also assumes cT≥0c_T\ge0cT​≥0: the printed proof invokes a product inequality requiring that sign, although the theorem prints only cT<1c_T<1cT​<1. The version of (17) in the milestone list assumes bT≤1b_T\le1bT​≤1 in the case of a negative logarithm. These conditions and the model's integrability prevent vacuous or totalized-value readings of the lower bound. Contributions toward the four displayed milestones, the required measure-theoretic change of measure, and the finite-horizon arithmetic are in scope.

Selected references

  • Aurélien Garivier, Pierre Ménard, and Gilles Stoltz, Explore First, Exploit Next: The True Shape of Regret in Bandit Problems, Mathematics of Operations Research 44 (2019); arXiv:1602.07182v3, DOI:10.1287/moor.2017.0928.
  • Tor Lattimore and Csaba Szepesvári, Bandit Algorithms, Cambridge University Press (2020), Chapters 4 and 16; DOI:10.1017/9781108571401.
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Algorithmic Game TheoryMechanism DesignOperations Research+1·Captain: mikedeng1

Approximate Revenue Maximization with Multiple Items 2: Selling Two I.I.D. Goods Separately Guarantees at Least e/(e + 1) ≈ 73% of the Optimal RevenueResearch Paper

Motivation

A seller with several goods can sell them one at a time or offer a mechanism that links allocation and payment across goods. Separate selling asks the seller to solve a one-good pricing problem for each item. A general mechanism can offer lotteries and menus whose outcomes depend on the buyer's whole valuation vector. The difference matters because the buyer's private information covers several values at once, and an optimal multidimensional mechanism need not resemble an ordinary posted price. Hart and Nisan ask how much revenue is guaranteed by simple selling rules when the joint valuation distribution is unrestricted apart from the stated independence assumptions (Hart and Nisan, arXiv:1204.1846v3).

This mission isolates their two-good, identically distributed result, Theorem B. The paper first gives a one-half guarantee for two independent goods with potentially different distributions, then improves the guarantee to e/(e+1)e/(e+1)e/(e+1) when their distributions agree. The improvement is a claim about every probability law on nonnegative values. It assumes neither a density nor a regularity condition on the tail of that law. The paper proves the result in Appendix A.1 after stating it in the introduction (Hart and Nisan, pp. 6 and 31–35).

Setting

There is one risk-neutral buyer and one seller. For two goods, the buyer's private valuation is a vector (Y,Z)(Y,Z)(Y,Z) with Y,Z≥0Y,Z\ge0Y,Z≥0. Values are additive: receiving both goods is worth Y+ZY+ZY+Z. The seller knows the distribution of the vector but not the realized values. In this mission, YYY and ZZZ are independent and have the same arbitrary probability law ν\nuν on R≥0\mathbb R_{\ge0}R≥0​. A law, rather than a named pair of random variables on a probability space, carries all the data needed by the revenue quantities.

A direct mechanism μ=(q,s)\mu=(q,s)μ=(q,s) takes a reported pair x=(y,z)x=(y,z)x=(y,z) and returns an allocation probability qi(x)∈[0,1]q_i(x)\in[0,1]qi​(x)∈[0,1] for each good and a real payment s(x)s(x)s(x) to the seller. The buyer's payoff from reporting truthfully is b(x)=q(x)⋅x−s(x)b(x)=q(x)\cdot x-s(x)b(x)=q(x)⋅x−s(x). The mechanism is incentive compatible (IC) if truthful reporting is at least as good as any other report for every possible valuation, and individually rational (IR) if truthful payoff is nonnegative everywhere. These requirements hold on the whole nonnegative orthant, as in Section 2.1 of the paper (Hart and Nisan, pp. 11–14).

Write R(μ;X)R(\mu;X)R(μ;X) for the expected payment under a valuation law XXX and Rev⁡(X)\operatorname{Rev}(X)Rev(X) for the supremum of R(μ;X)R(\mu;X)R(μ;X) over feasible, IC, IR mechanisms. For one good, write Rev⁡1(ν)\operatorname{Rev}_1(\nu)Rev1​(ν). The separate-selling revenue for two identically distributed goods is SRev⁡(Y,Z)=2Rev⁡1(ν)\operatorname{SRev}(Y,Z)=2\operatorname{Rev}_1(\nu)SRev(Y,Z)=2Rev1​(ν). Equation (1) of the paper identifies the one-good value with the supremum of posted-price revenue pPr⁡[Y≥p]p\Pr[Y\ge p]pPr[Y≥p]; the supremum formulation covers laws for which no maximizing price exists (Hart and Nisan, p. 12; Myerson, 1981).

Formalization targets

Theorem B: the guarantee for two i.i.d. goods

The goal is the exact upper bound written at the start of the paper's proof:

Rev⁡(Y,Z)≤e+1e(Rev⁡(Y)+Rev⁡(Z))=e+1eSRev⁡(Y,Z).\operatorname{Rev}(Y,Z)\le\frac{e+1}{e}\bigl(\operatorname{Rev}(Y)+\operatorname{Rev}(Z)\bigr)=\frac{e+1}{e}\operatorname{SRev}(Y,Z).Rev(Y,Z)≤ee+1​(Rev(Y)+Rev(Z))=ee+1​SRev(Y,Z).

Equivalently, separate selling guarantees at least e/(e+1)e/(e+1)e/(e+1) of optimal revenue whenever the ratio has an ordinary meaning. The inequality itself is the stable formulation at zero and infinite revenues. The formal goal uses the exact constant (e+1)/e(e+1)/e(e+1)/e, not the rounded percentage in the theorem's prose (Hart and Nisan, Theorem B, p. 6; proof, p. 31).

Supporting targets

The milestones include the one-good posted-price identity, the fact that nonnegative payments suffice when optimizing, symmetrization for identical independent goods, Lemma 19's lower-valuation revenue bound, equation (12), and the two expectation estimates and final numerical bound used after it. Proposition 5's IC characterization is also a draft theorem, though it is not a milestone. Each statement retains its source's domain and the constant 1/e1/e1/e. The final inequality for the right side of (12) is stated for every nondecreasing allocation function into [0,1][0,1][0,1], as required by the paper's argument on pp. 33–35.

Significance

Theorem B gives a distribution-free quantitative guarantee for an easy-to-describe selling rule in a setting where the optimal rule may depend on the buyer's entire two-dimensional private type. Its e/(e+1)e/(e+1)e/(e+1) guarantee is stronger than the one-half guarantee for merely independent goods stated as Theorem A. The conclusion concerns the best revenue available from all feasible IC and IR mechanisms, so the benchmark includes randomized allocations and payments depending on both reported values (Hart and Nisan, pp. 6 and 11–13).

The formalization target is a machine-checked version of a proved result, not a new conjecture. The proposal currently contains compiled Lean statements with unproved theorem bodies. A completed development would prove the stated inequality and its selected supporting results. It would also supply reusable definitions for direct mechanisms with additive nonnegative values, extended-real revenue, optimal revenue as a supremum, and symmetry of two-good mechanisms. No machine-checked proof of these proposed Hart–Nisan statements is claimed here.

Difficulty

The one-good posted-price formula does not directly control an arbitrary two-good mechanism: allocation of either good and the payment can depend on both reported values. Applying a one-good bound separately to the two coordinates therefore leaves terms that depend on the other coordinate. In particular, a direct comparison between each marginal posted-price optimum and the total payment loses the improved constant. The proof has to control the dependence created by a joint mechanism while retaining the exact 1/e1/e1/e numerical estimate. A second formal difficulty is that an admissible mechanism can have a negative expected payment even though optimal revenue is nonnegative, while an unrestricted law can give infinite optimal revenue. Replacing every expectation by an ordinary real integral or clipping each mechanism's revenue would change Lemma 19 and the intermediate inequalities (Hart and Nisan, pp. 31–35).

Formalization scope

Valuations are finite vectors ι→R≥0\iota\to\mathbb R_{\ge0}ι→R≥0​; the main theorem fixes ι=Fin⁡(2)\iota=\operatorname{Fin}(2)ι=Fin(2). The two-good law is the product of the same one-good probability measure in both coordinates, so independence and identical distribution are built into the data. The model represents allocation probabilities as real numbers with explicit bounds 0≤qi≤10\le q_i\le10≤qi​≤1. It requires IC and IR pointwise on all reports. No positive transfer (NPT) means s(x)≥0s(x)\ge0s(x)≥0 and is imposed only on supporting statements where the paper uses it. Following the paper's footnote 12, admissibility also requires the payment function to be measurable.

An individual expected payment is an extended real difference of positive and negative Lebesgue integrals. For IC mechanisms, the negative part is finite because the payment is bounded below by its value at zero. Optimal revenue is the supremum of the nonnegative clips of admissible mechanisms' expected payments; the zero mechanism makes this the same supremum as in the paper. Lemma 19 and equation (12) keep individual revenue in the extended reals. Supporting inequalities that write r=Rev⁡1(ν)r=\operatorname{Rev}_1(\nu)r=Rev1​(ν) as a real number explicitly assume r<∞r<\inftyr<∞; Theorem B does not. Integrals of bounded threshold functions use ordinary real expectation, while the nonnegative term WWW uses a nonnegative Lebesgue integral. The goal cannot be satisfied by a correlated joint law, a bounded-support special case, a vacuous assumption on ν\nuν, or a rounded constant.

The reusable work includes one-good posted-price revenue for arbitrary laws, a nonnegative-transfer reduction, a faithful single-mechanism revenue type, and probability identities for two independent coordinates. Theorem A, Theorem 7, Theorem 16, and a full formalization of the paper's other selling rules are outside this mission.

Selected references

  • Sergiu Hart and Noam Nisan, Approximate Revenue Maximization with Multiple Items, Journal of Economic Theory, 2017. Source used here: arXiv:1204.1846v3.
  • Roger B. Myerson, Optimal Auction Design, Mathematics of Operations Research 6(1), 1981. DOI:10.1287/moor.6.1.58.
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Bandit AlgorithmsMachine LearningReinforcement Learning·Captain: mikedeng1

The Statistical Complexity of Interactive Decision Making V: The Multi-Armed Bandit Has Localized DEC at Least 2⁻⁶·A/γ, via Hard Families of ModelsResearch Paper

Motivation

The Decision-Estimation Coefficient (DEC) of Foster, Kakade, Qian and Rakhlin (arXiv:2112.13487) is a single complexity measure that bounds the minimax regret of interactive decision making (bandits, reinforcement learning, and their structured variants) from above and from below. Its lower bound (Theorem 3.2 of the paper) states that every algorithm suffers expected regret at least a constant times decγ(Mεγ∞(M‾),M‾)⋅T\mathsf{dec}_\gamma(\mathcal{M}^\infty_{\varepsilon_\gamma}(\overline{M}), \overline{M}) \cdot Tdecγ​(Mεγ​∞​(M),M)⋅T, so concrete lower bounds on regret follow from concrete lower bounds on the DEC of localized model classes.

The multi-armed bandit is the first test of this program. Its minimax regret Θ(AT)\Theta(\sqrt{AT})Θ(AT​) is classical (Auer et al., 2002; Audibert and Bubeck, 2010). Section 5.1 of the paper recovers it through the DEC: posterior sampling (Proposition 5.1) and inverse gap weighting (Proposition 5.2) bound the DEC by A/γA/\gammaA/γ from above, and Proposition 5.3 bounds it by 2−6A/γ2^{-6} A/\gamma2−6A/γ from below. The lower bound is proved through a hard family of models (Definition 5.1, Lemma 5.1), the device that the paper reuses for linear, ReLU and gap-dependent lower bounds in §§6–7.

Setting

A decision space Π\PiΠ is a finite set; here Π=[A]={1,…,A}\Pi = [A] = \{1, \dots, A\}Π=[A]={1,…,A}, the arms. A model MMM assigns to every arm π\piπ a distribution M(π)M(\pi)M(π) over rewards in R=[0,1]\mathcal{R} = [0,1]R=[0,1] (observations are trivial). Its mean reward is fM(π)=Er∼M(π)[r]f^M(\pi) = \mathbb{E}_{r \sim M(\pi)}[r]fM(π)=Er∼M(π)​[r], and πM∈arg⁡max⁡πfM(π)\pi_M \in \arg\max_\pi f^M(\pi)πM​∈argmaxπ​fM(π) is an optimal arm. The squared Hellinger distance between distributions P,QP, QP,Q on a finite set is DH2(P,Q)=∑y(P(y)−Q(y))2D^2_{\mathrm{H}}(P, Q) = \sum_y (\sqrt{P(y)} - \sqrt{Q(y)})^2DH2​(P,Q)=∑y​(P(y)​−Q(y)​)2 (no factor 12\tfrac1221​, the paper's (5)).

For a class M\mathcal{M}M of models, a reference model M‾\overline{M}M and γ>0\gamma > 0γ>0, the DEC (2) is

decγ(M,M‾)=inf⁡p∈Δ(Π)sup⁡M∈MEπ∼p[fM(πM)−fM(π)−γ⋅DH2(M(π),M‾(π))].\mathsf{dec}_\gamma(\mathcal{M}, \overline{M}) = \inf_{p \in \Delta(\Pi)} \sup_{M \in \mathcal{M}} \mathbb{E}_{\pi \sim p}\Bigl[ f^M(\pi_M) - f^M(\pi) - \gamma \cdot D^2_{\mathrm{H}}\bigl(M(\pi), \overline{M}(\pi)\bigr) \Bigr].decγ​(M,M)=p∈Δ(Π)inf​M∈Msup​Eπ∼p​[fM(πM​)−fM(π)−γ⋅DH2​(M(π),M(π))].

With gM(π)=fM(πM)−fM(π)g^M(\pi) = f^M(\pi_M) - f^M(\pi)gM(π)=fM(πM​)−fM(π), the L∞L_\inftyL∞​-localized class (12) is Mε∞(M‾)={M∈M:∣gM(π)−gM‾(π)∣≤ε ∀π}\mathcal{M}^\infty_\varepsilon(\overline{M}) = \{ M \in \mathcal{M} : |g^M(\pi) - g^{\overline{M}}(\pi)| \le \varepsilon\ \forall \pi \}Mε∞​(M)={M∈M:∣gM(π)−gM(π)∣≤ε ∀π}.

A reference model M‾∈M\overline{M} \in \mathcal MM∈M and models M1,…,MN∈MM_1, \dots, M_N \in \mathcal MM1​,…,MN​∈M, N≥2N \ge 2N≥2, form an (α,β,δ)(\alpha, \beta, \delta)(α,β,δ)-family (Definition 5.1) if there are ui,vi:Π→[0,1]u_i, v_i : \Pi \to [0,1]ui​,vi​:Π→[0,1] with ∑iui(π)≤N/2\sum_i u_i(\pi) \le N/2∑i​ui​(π)≤N/2, ∑ivi(π)≤1\sum_i v_i(\pi) \le 1∑i​vi​(π)≤1, fMi(πMi)−fMi(π)≥α(1−ui(π))f^{M_i}(\pi_{M_i}) - f^{M_i}(\pi) \ge \alpha(1 - u_i(\pi))fMi​(πMi​​)−fMi​(π)≥α(1−ui​(π)) and DH2(Mi(π),M‾(π))≤βvi(π)+δD^2_{\mathrm{H}}(M_i(\pi), \overline{M}(\pi)) \le \beta v_i(\pi) + \deltaDH2​(Mi​(π),M(π))≤βvi​(π)+δ. Ber(q)\mathrm{Ber}(q)Ber(q) is the Bernoulli distribution with mean qqq.

Formalization targets

Goal: Proposition 5.3

For A≥2A \ge 2A≥2 arms, M‾(π)=Ber(12)\overline{M}(\pi) = \mathrm{Ber}(\tfrac12)M(π)=Ber(21​) and every γ≥A/3\gamma \ge A/3γ≥A/3, with εγ=A12γ\varepsilon_\gamma = \frac{A}{12\gamma}εγ​=12γA​,

decγ(Mεγ∞(M‾),M‾)≥2−6⋅Aγ.\mathsf{dec}_\gamma\bigl(\mathcal{M}^\infty_{\varepsilon_\gamma}(\overline{M}), \overline{M}\bigr) \ge 2^{-6} \cdot \frac{A}{\gamma}.decγ​(Mεγ​∞​(M),M)≥2−6⋅γA​.

Milestones

  1. Lemma A.7: DH2(Ber(p),Ber(q))≤(p−q)2(1p+q+12−p−q)D^2_{\mathrm{H}}(\mathrm{Ber}(p), \mathrm{Ber}(q)) \le (p-q)^2\bigl(\frac{1}{p+q} + \frac{1}{2-p-q}\bigr)DH2​(Ber(p),Ber(q))≤(p−q)2(p+q1​+2−p−q1​), and in particular DH2(Ber(12+Δ),Ber(12))≤3Δ2D^2_{\mathrm{H}}(\mathrm{Ber}(\tfrac12 + \Delta), \mathrm{Ber}(\tfrac12)) \le 3\Delta^2DH2​(Ber(21​+Δ),Ber(21​))≤3Δ2 for Δ∈(0,12)\Delta \in (0, \tfrac12)Δ∈(0,21​).
  2. Lemma 5.1: an (α,β,δ)(\alpha, \beta, \delta)(α,β,δ)-family M′\mathcal{M}'M′ with β≥0\beta \ge 0β≥0 satisfies decγ(M′,M‾)≥α2−γ(βN+δ)\mathsf{dec}_\gamma(\mathcal{M}', \overline{M}) \ge \frac{\alpha}{2} - \gamma(\frac{\beta}{N} + \delta)decγ​(M′,M)≥2α​−γ(Nβ​+δ) for all γ>0\gamma > 0γ>0.
  3. The hard family of the proof: Mi(π)=Ber(12+Δ I{π=i})M_i(\pi) = \mathrm{Ber}(\tfrac12 + \Delta\,\mathbb{I}\{\pi = i\})Mi​(π)=Ber(21​+ΔI{π=i}) is a (Δ,3Δ2,0)(\Delta, 3\Delta^2, 0)(Δ,3Δ2,0)-family around Ber(12)\mathrm{Ber}(\tfrac12)Ber(21​).
  4. Localization: this family lies in MΔ∞(M‾)\mathcal{M}^\infty_\Delta(\overline{M})MΔ∞​(M).

Companions

The mission also states monotonicity of the DEC in the class (the step from the family to the localized class), Proposition 5.1 (posterior sampling bounds the dual square-loss DEC by A/γA/\gammaA/γ), and Proposition 6.7, the gap-dependent variant: for bandits with gap exactly Δ∈(0,18)\Delta \in (0, \tfrac18)Δ∈(0,81​), some M‾\overline{M}M in the class has decγ(MΔ∞(M‾),M‾)≥Δ4I{γ≤A48Δ}\mathsf{dec}_\gamma(\mathcal{M}^\infty_\Delta(\overline{M}), \overline{M}) \ge \frac{\Delta}{4}\mathbb{I}\{\gamma \le \frac{A}{48\Delta}\}decγ​(MΔ∞​(M),M)≥4Δ​I{γ≤48ΔA​}. Proposition 5.2 (inverse gap weighting) and the decoupling step of Proposition 5.1 are already proved on the platform and are included as references.

Significance

Proposition 5.3 is the DEC half of the Ω(AT)\Omega(\sqrt{AT})Ω(AT​) minimax lower bound for multi-armed bandits: combined with Theorem 3.2 and γ≍AT\gamma \asymp \sqrt{AT}γ≍AT​, it shows that the general DEC theory loses nothing in rate on the most basic interactive problem, and that the A/γA/\gammaA/γ upper bounds of Propositions 5.1 and 5.2 are tight up to constants. Lemma 5.1 is reusable: any lower bound on the DEC of a class can be obtained by exhibiting a hard family, and the paper uses it for linear bandits (Proposition 6.2), ReLU bandits (Proposition 6.6) and gap-dependent bounds (Propositions 6.7, 6.8).

The results are proved in the paper. As far as is known, none of them is machine-checked. A formal development provides a verified Bernoulli Hellinger bound, a reusable hard-family lemma for the DEC as published on the platform, and the first verified DEC lower bound for a concrete class.

Difficulty

The DEC is an inf-sup, so a lower bound must hold against every exploration distribution ppp. A natural first attempt picks a single alternative model and compares; this fails because ppp can concentrate on the arm where that alternative differs and then the Hellinger penalty cancels the regret. The family must be spread so that no single ppp is good for all of its members at once, and the constants must balance the regret term against the information term at the chosen Δ\DeltaΔ. In Lean, an additional difficulty is that the DEC is written with real sInf/sSup, which are 000 on empty or unbounded sets: every lower bound requires showing that the relevant sets are nonempty and bounded, and passing from the family to the localized class needs monotonicity of the DEC, which the paper uses without comment.

Formalization scope

  • Finite alphabets. The paper works over measurable spaces; this mission formalizes the finite-alphabet case, as the published FoundationsRL layer does. A model is m : S → Y → ℝ with every m π a probability vector; expectations are finite sums. The DEC is the published FoundationsRL.GeneralDM.decGf, the Hellinger distance hellingerSq, the mean reward fM.
  • Bernoulli subclass. The bandit class is the Bernoulli bandits (Y = Bool, reward 111 on true), a subclass of the paper's all-distributions-on-[0,1][0,1][0,1] class. The DEC is monotone in the class and the localized class shrinks with the class, so the Bernoulli lower bounds imply the paper's.
  • Optimal-arm selector. πM\pi_MπM​ is a parameter piStar with the hypothesis that it picks a maximizer of fMf^MfM; every statement holds for every such selector, so for whichever maximizer the paper meant (the reference Ber(12)\mathrm{Ber}(\tfrac12)Ber(21​) has every arm optimal).
  • Added or dropped hypotheses. Lemma 5.1 makes the page's nonempty decision space explicit; its optimal-arm selector also implies nonemptiness. It adds β≥0\beta \ge 0β≥0, necessary for the printed averaging argument: without it, even identical models can contradict (52). The family definition includes membership of the reference and family models in a probability-model class. The localization claim inherits A≥2A \ge 2A≥2 from Proposition 5.3. Proposition 6.7 states A≥2A \ge 2A≥2, implicit on the page since a gap needs two arms. Proposition 5.1 represents models by their mean vectors and priors as finitely supported (footnote 5).
  • Constants. All constants are the page's: 2−62^{-6}2−6, A/(12γ)A/(12\gamma)A/(12γ), γ≥A/3\gamma \ge A/3γ≥A/3, 3Δ23\Delta^23Δ2, 5Δ25\Delta^25Δ2, Δ/4\Delta/4Δ/4, A/(48Δ)A/(48\Delta)A/(48Δ). The page's proof of Proposition 6.7 names a (Δ,5Δ2,0)(\Delta, 5\Delta^2, 0)(Δ,5Δ2,0)-family but computes with 12Δ212\Delta^212Δ2; the stated proposition is the one its arithmetic supports.
  • No trivialization. A formalization in which the localized class could be empty, or the payoffs unbounded, would make decGf evaluate to the junk value 000; the goal is stated over a class containing M‾\overline{M}M with bounded rewards, so the inequality is the genuine one, and its right side 2−6A/γ2^{-6} A/\gamma2−6A/γ is strictly positive.

Contributions welcome: proofs of the milestones in attack order, sorry-free lemmas on nonemptiness and boundedness of the DEC's inner sets (reusable for every DEC lower bound in this series), and a proof of the gap-dependent companion.

Selected references

  • D. J. Foster, S. M. Kakade, J. Qian, A. Rakhlin, The Statistical Complexity of Interactive Decision Making, arXiv preprint, 2021 (v3, 2023). https://arxiv.org/abs/2112.13487
  • D. J. Foster, A. Rakhlin, Foundations of Reinforcement Learning and Interactive Decision Making, lecture notes, 2023. https://arxiv.org/abs/2312.16730
  • P. Auer, N. Cesa-Bianchi, Y. Freund, R. E. Schapire, The Nonstochastic Multiarmed Bandit Problem, SIAM Journal on Computing 32(1), 2002. https://doi.org/10.1137/S0097539701398375
  • J.-Y. Audibert, S. Bubeck, Regret Bounds and Minimax Policies under Partial Monitoring, Journal of Machine Learning Research 11, 2010. https://www.jmlr.org/papers/v11/audibert10a.html
  • D. J. Foster, A. Rakhlin, Beyond UCB: Optimal and Efficient Contextual Bandits with Regression Oracles, ICML, 2020. https://arxiv.org/abs/2002.04926
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CombinatoricsGraph Theory·Captain: mikedeng1

Generalized Turán Problems for Even Cycles 6: The Maximum Number of (2l+1)-Cycles in a Graph with No Cycle of Length 3, …, 2l or 2k+1 Is Ω(n^{1+1/(2k+2)}) and O(n²)Research Paper

Motivation

Generalized Turán problems ask for the maximum number of copies of a fixed graph HHH in an nnn-vertex graph that avoids a family F\mathcal FF of forbidden subgraphs. The ordinary Turán number counts edges (H=K2H = K_2H=K2​); Alon and Shikhelman (arXiv:1506.03397) started the systematic study of the general function ex(n,H,F)\mathrm{ex}(n, H, \mathcal F)ex(n,H,F), building on earlier results of Erdős on cliques, Bollobás and Győri on pentagons in triangle-free graphs, and Győri and Li on triangles in graphs without a long odd or even cycle. Counting cycles in graphs with forbidden cycles is closely tied to extremal problems for Berge hypergraphs, and the constructions used are sparse hypergraphs of large girth.

Gerbner, Győri, Methuku and Vizer, Generalized Turán problems for even cycles (arXiv:1712.07079, J. Combin. Theory Ser. B, 2020), determine or bound ex(n,Cℓ,F)\mathrm{ex}(n, C_{\ell}, \mathcal F)ex(n,Cℓ​,F) for many cycle families. This mission covers one of their results in §6.2: the number of odd cycles C2l+1C_{2l+1}C2l+1​ in a graph in which every shorter cycle is forbidden and, in addition, one longer odd cycle C2k+1C_{2k+1}C2k+1​ is forbidden. Its companion (Theorem 17, a separate mission of this series) forbids a longer even cycle C2kC_{2k}C2k​ instead, and there the paper obtains a sub-quadratic upper bound; with an odd extra cycle only a quadratic upper bound is proved.

Setting

All graphs are finite and simple. For an integer a≥3a \ge 3a≥3, CaC_aCa​ is the cycle of length aaa. For a set AAA of integers a≥3a \ge 3a≥3, write CA={Ca:a∈A}\mathcal C_A = \{C_a : a \in A\}CA​={Ca​:a∈A}; a graph is CA\mathcal C_ACA​-free if it contains no CaC_aCa​ with a∈Aa \in Aa∈A as a (not necessarily induced) subgraph. The family C2l\mathcal C_{2l}C2l​ consists of all cycles C3,C4,…,C2lC_3, C_4, \dots, C_{2l}C3​,C4​,…,C2l​.

For graphs HHH and GGG, N(H,G)\mathcal N(H, G)N(H,G) is the number of copies of HHH in GGG: subgraphs of GGG isomorphic to HHH, counted without labelling. The generalized Turán number is

ex(n,H,F)=max⁡{N(H,G):G has n vertices and contains no member of F}.\mathrm{ex}(n, H, \mathcal F) = \max\{\mathcal N(H, G) : G \text{ has } n \text{ vertices and contains no member of } \mathcal F\}.ex(n,H,F)=max{N(H,G):G has n vertices and contains no member of F}.

For a vertex vvv of GGG, Ni(v)N_i(v)Ni​(v) is the set of vertices at distance exactly iii from vvv.

A hypergraph is a finite set of hyperedges (vertex sets); it is rrr-uniform if each hyperedge has rrr vertices. A Berge cycle of length j≥2j \ge 2j≥2 is a sequence v1,h1,v2,h2,…,vj,hj,v1v_1, h_1, v_2, h_2, \dots, v_j, h_j, v_1v1​,h1​,v2​,h2​,…,vj​,hj​,v1​ of distinct vertices and distinct hyperedges with vi,vi+1∈hiv_i, v_{i+1} \in h_ivi​,vi+1​∈hi​ and vj,v1∈hjv_j, v_1 \in h_jvj​,v1​∈hj​. The girth of a hypergraph is the length of its shortest Berge cycle; "girth at least sss" means there is no Berge cycle of length 2,…,s−12, \dots, s-12,…,s−1.

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem 18

For all integers k>l≥2k > l \ge 2k>l≥2, as n→∞n \to \inftyn→∞,

Ω(n1+12k+2)=ex(n,C2l+1,C2l∪{C2k+1})=O(n2).\Omega\big(n^{1+\frac{1}{2k+2}}\big) = \mathrm{ex}\big(n, C_{2l+1}, \mathcal C_{2l} \cup \{C_{2k+1}\}\big) = O(n^2).Ω(n1+2k+21​)=ex(n,C2l+1​,C2l​∪{C2k+1​})=O(n2).

Both the lower and the upper bound are part of the goal; the implied constants may depend on kkk and lll only.

Milestones

  1. Theorem 29 (Nešetřil–Rödl). For r≥2r \ge 2r≥2, s≥3s \ge 3s≥3 and all large nnn there is an rrr-uniform hypergraph on nnn vertices of girth at least sss with at least n1+1/sn^{1+1/s}n1+1/s hyperedges.
  2. The construction. Replacing each hyperedge of a (2l+1)(2l+1)(2l+1)-uniform hypergraph of girth at least 2k+22k+22k+2 by a copy of C2l+1C_{2l+1}C2l+1​ yields a graph with no cycle of length at most 2k+12k+12k+1 other than 2l+12l+12l+1, and with at least as many copies of C2l+1C_{2l+1}C2l+1​ as hyperedges.
  3. Cycles through a vertex. In a C2l∪{C2k+1}\mathcal C_{2l} \cup \{C_{2k+1}\}C2l​∪{C2k+1​}-free graph there is no edge inside Ni(v)N_i(v)Ni​(v) for i<li < li<l, every C2l+1C_{2l+1}C2l+1​ through vvv uses exactly one edge inside Nl(v)N_l(v)Nl​(v), and so the number of C2l+1C_{2l+1}C2l+1​'s through vvv is at most the number of edges inside Nl(v)N_l(v)Nl​(v).
  4. Claim 19. In a C2l∪{C2k+1}\mathcal C_{2l} \cup \{C_{2k+1}\}C2l​∪{C2k+1​}-free graph the number of edges inside Nl(v)N_l(v)Nl​(v) is at most C(k,l) ∣Nl(v)∣≤C(k,l) nC(k,l)\,|N_l(v)| \le C(k,l)\, nC(k,l)∣Nl​(v)∣≤C(k,l)n.

The supporting published theorem erdos_gallai_path_conjecture (the Erdős–Gallai path theorem: a graph on nnn vertices with no path of m+1m+1m+1 edges has at most mn/2mn/2mn/2 edges) is included as a reference item; the paper's proof of Claim 19 invokes it.

Significance

Theorem 18 shows that forbidding all cycles up to length 2l2l2l together with one odd cycle C2k+1C_{2k+1}C2k+1​ still permits polynomially more than nnn copies of C2l+1C_{2l+1}C2l+1​, at least n1+1/(2k+2)n^{1 + 1/(2k+2)}n1+1/(2k+2), and at most O(n2)O(n^2)O(n2). Compared with Theorem 17, where an even cycle C2kC_{2k}C2k​ is forbidden and the count is O(n1+l/(l+1))O(n^{1+l/(l+1)})O(n1+l/(l+1)), it isolates the role of the parity of the extra forbidden cycle. The authors conjecture that the true order is sub-quadratic (Conjecture 34, §8 of the paper), so the gap between the two exponents in Theorem 18 is a stated open question; a formal development of the known bounds is the base on which any improvement would be checked.

The result is proved in the paper; to the best of current knowledge it has no machine-checked proof. Formalizing it produces: a reusable encoding of generalized Turán numbers for cycle families on top of Mathlib's copyCount; Berge cycles and the girth of uniform hypergraphs; distance layers Ni(v)N_i(v)Ni​(v); and a formal statement of the Nešetřil–Rödl existence theorem, which is used as a black box by many extremal constructions.

Difficulty

The upper bound requires careful bookkeeping of distance layers around a vertex in a graph without short cycles. The obvious estimate, bounding the copies of C2l+1C_{2l+1}C2l+1​ through vvv by the number of pairs of vertices of Nl(v)N_l(v)Nl​(v), gives only ∣Nl(v)∣2|N_l(v)|^2∣Nl​(v)∣2 per vertex and hence nothing better than the trivial bound overall; the content of Claim 19 is that forbidding the single cycle C2k+1C_{2k+1}C2k+1​ makes the edge count inside Nl(v)N_l(v)Nl​(v) linear, and the parity of 2k+12k+12k+1 is used essentially.

The lower bound rests on Theorem 29, a cited result that is not proved in the paper, and for which Mathlib has no supporting theory of uniform hypergraphs or Berge cycles. For the construction itself, the paper only asserts that the cycle-replacement graph has no short cycle other than the inserted C2l+1C_{2l+1}C2l+1​'s; a cycle of the graph may wander through many hyperedges, and relating it to the girth of the hypergraph is the step a formal proof has to supply.

Formalization scope

  • Vertices of an nnn-vertex graph are Fin n; graphs are SimpleGraph (Fin n). Cycles are Mathlib's SimpleGraph.cycleGraph, and N(H,G)\mathcal N(H, G)N(H,G) is Mathlib's unlabelled copyCount.
  • C2l∪{C2k+1}\mathcal C_{2l} \cup \{C_{2k+1}\}C2l​∪{C2k+1​} is encoded as the set of lengths Set.Icc 3 (2 * l) ∪ {2 * k + 1}: every length 3,…,2l3, \dots, 2l3,…,2l, not only 2l2l2l.
  • ex(n,H,CA)\mathrm{ex}(n, H, \mathcal C_A)ex(n,H,CA​) is the supremum of a nonempty finite set of natural numbers, hence a true maximum (checked in a sanity file).
  • Ni(v)N_i(v)Ni​(v) uses the extended distance edist, so vertices of other components lie in no layer.
  • Hypergraphs are Finset (Finset V); "girth at least sss" is a predicate (no Berge cycle of length 2,…,s−12, \dots, s-12,…,s−1), not an infimum, so a hypergraph without Berge cycles has every girth.
  • Ω\OmegaΩ and OOO are Mathlib's Asymptotics.IsBigO along atTop, with real exponents; both directions of the goal are stated.
  • Claim 19's O(⋅)O(\cdot)O(⋅) is a single constant chosen before nnn, the graph and the vertex. The milestone on cycles through vvv uses the page's C2l∪{C2k+1}\mathcal C_{2l} \cup \{C_{2k+1}\}C2l​∪{C2k+1​}-freeness assumption.

A formalization that states only the upper bound, uses labelled copies, lets a constant depend on the graph, omits the short cycles C3,…,C2l−1C_3, \dots, C_{2l-1}C3​,…,C2l−1​ from the forbidden family, or defines ex\mathrm{ex}ex by a supremum that can take a junk value, does not prove this theorem.

Contributions welcome: proofs of the milestones, a proof of Theorem 29, and general lemmas on breadth-first layers in graphs of large girth, which are reusable by the companion missions of this series.

Selected references

  • D. Gerbner, E. Győri, A. Methuku, M. Vizer, Generalized Turán problems for even cycles, J. Combin. Theory Ser. B (2020); arXiv:1712.07079v3. https://arxiv.org/abs/1712.07079, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jctb.2020.05.005
  • N. Alon, C. Shikhelman, Many T copies in H-free graphs, J. Combin. Theory Ser. B 121 (2016). https://arxiv.org/abs/1506.03397
  • J. Nešetřil, V. Rödl, On a probabilistic graph-theoretical method, Proc. Amer. Math. Soc. 72(2), 417–421 (1978). https://www.ams.org/journals/proc/1978-072-02/
  • P. Erdős, T. Gallai, On maximal paths and circuits of graphs, Acta Math. Acad. Sci. Hungar. 10 (1959). https://doi.org/10.1007/BF02024498
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Machine LearningProbabilityStatistics·Captain: mikedeng1

Certifying Some Distributional Robustness with Principled Adversarial Training 2: The Empirical Robustness Level E_P̂ₙ[c(T_γ(θ;Z),Z)] Concentrates Uniformly over ΘResearch Paper

Motivation

Neural networks trained by empirical risk minimization are sensitive to small adversarial perturbations of their inputs. Distributionally robust optimization addresses this by training against the worst distribution in a neighbourhood of the data distribution. Sinha, Namkoong, Volpi and Duchi (arXiv:1710.10571v5, ICLR 2018) take the neighbourhood to be a Wasserstein ball and relax the hard constraint to a Lagrangian penalty with multiplier γ\gammaγ. For large γ\gammaγ the inner maximization becomes strongly concave and is solved per data point by a transportation map TγT_\gammaTγ​, which turns each training example into its worst-case perturbation.

The average transport cost ρ^n(θ)=EP^n[c(Tγ(θ;Z),Z)]\widehat\rho_n(\theta)=\mathbb E_{\widehat P_n}[c(T_\gamma(\theta;Z),Z)]ρ​n​(θ)=EPn​​[c(Tγ​(θ;Z),Z)] is the amount of robustness the trained model actually certifies on the sample: by the paper's duality result, the empirical worst-case loss at level ρ^n(θ)\widehat\rho_n(\theta)ρ​n​(θ) is computable, and it is the certificate of robustness that the paper advertises. A certificate measured on the training sample is only useful if it transfers to the population. This mission formalizes the result that it does: ρ^n(θ)\widehat\rho_n(\theta)ρ​n​(θ) concentrates around its population counterpart, uniformly over the parameter set.

Setting

Parameters θ\thetaθ range over a set Θ⊆Rd\Theta\subseteq\mathbb R^dΘ⊆Rd and data over a set Z⊆{z∈Rm:∥z∥2≤Mz}Z\subseteq\{z\in\mathbb R^m:\|z\|_2\le M_z\}Z⊆{z∈Rm:∥z∥2​≤Mz​}, both with the Euclidean norm. A transportation cost c:Z×Z→[0,∞)c:Z\times Z\to[0,\infty)c:Z×Z→[0,∞) satisfies c(z,z)=0c(z,z)=0c(z,z)=0 and Assumption A: ccc is continuous and z↦c(z,z0)z\mapsto c(z,z_0)z↦c(z,z0​) is 111-strongly convex for each z0∈Zz_0\in Zz0​∈Z. A loss ℓ(θ;z)\ell(\theta;z)ℓ(θ;z) satisfies Assumption B: its partial gradients ∇θℓ\nabla_\theta\ell∇θ​ℓ, ∇zℓ\nabla_z\ell∇z​ℓ are Lipschitz in each variable, with constants Lθθ,Lzz,Lθz,LzθL_{\theta\theta},L_{zz},L_{\theta z},L_{z\theta}Lθθ​,Lzz​,Lθz​,Lzθ​.

For γ>Lzz\gamma>L_{zz}γ>Lzz​ the problem z↦ℓ(θ;z)−γc(z,z0)z\mapsto\ell(\theta;z)-\gamma c(z,z_0)z↦ℓ(θ;z)−γc(z,z0​) is (γ−Lzz)(\gamma-L_{zz})(γ−Lzz​)-strongly concave on ZZZ, and the transportation map is its maximizer,

Tγ(θ;z0)∈argmax⁡z∈Z{ℓ(θ;z)−γc(z,z0)}.T_\gamma(\theta;z_0)\in\operatorname*{argmax}_{z\in Z}\{\ell(\theta;z)-\gamma c(z,z_0)\}.Tγ​(θ;z0​)∈z∈Zargmax​{ℓ(θ;z)−γc(z,z0​)}.

Given i.i.d. samples Z1,…,Zn∼P0Z_1,\dots,Z_n\sim P_0Z1​,…,Zn​∼P0​ with P0(Z)=1P_0(Z)=1P0​(Z)=1 and empirical distribution P^n\widehat P_nPn​, the empirical robustness level and its population counterpart are

ρ^n(θ)=1n∑i=1nc(Tγ(θ;Zi),Zi),ρ(θ)=EP0[c(Tγ(θ;Z),Z)].\widehat\rho_n(\theta)=\frac1n\sum_{i=1}^n c(T_\gamma(\theta;Z_i),Z_i),\qquad \rho(\theta)=\mathbb E_{P_0}[c(T_\gamma(\theta;Z),Z)].ρ​n​(θ)=n1​i=1∑n​c(Tγ​(θ;Zi​),Zi​),ρ(θ)=EP0​​[c(Tγ​(θ;Z),Z)].

The complexity of Θ\ThetaΘ enters through its covering number N(Θ,ϵ,∥⋅∥)N(\Theta,\epsilon,\|\cdot\|)N(Θ,ϵ,∥⋅∥), the least number of points θ1,…,θN∈Θ\theta_1,\dots,\theta_N\in\Thetaθ1​,…,θN​∈Θ such that every θ∈Θ\theta\in\Thetaθ∈Θ is within ϵ\epsilonϵ of some θi\theta_iθi​ (+∞+\infty+∞ if there is no finite such family).

Two alternative regularity conditions close the setting, with a constant Lc>0L_c>0Lc​>0: (i) ccc is LcL_cLc​-Lipschitz on ZZZ in each argument; or (ii) ℓ(θ;z)∈[0,Mℓ]\ell(\theta;z)\in[0,M_\ell]ℓ(θ;z)∈[0,Mℓ​] and z↦ℓ(θ;z)z\mapsto\ell(\theta;z)z↦ℓ(θ;z) is γLc\gamma L_cγLc​-Lipschitz. Put K=2LcMzK=2L_cM_zK=2Lc​Mz​ in case (i) and K=Mℓ/γK=M_\ell/\gammaK=Mℓ​/γ in case (ii).

Formalization targets

Goal: the uniform tail bound of §B.7

For every t>0t>0t>0,

P(sup⁡θ∈Θ∣ρ^n(θ)−ρ(θ)∣≥t)≤2 N(Θ,(γ−Lzz)t4LcLzθ,∥⋅∥2)exp⁡(−nt28K2).\mathbb P\Bigl(\sup_{\theta\in\Theta}|\widehat\rho_n(\theta)-\rho(\theta)|\ge t\Bigr)\le 2\,N\Bigl(\Theta,\frac{(\gamma-L_{zz})t}{4L_cL_{z\theta}},\|\cdot\|_2\Bigr)\exp\Bigl(-\frac{nt^2}{8K^2}\Bigr).P(θ∈Θsup​∣ρ​n​(θ)−ρ(θ)∣≥t)≤2N(Θ,4Lc​Lzθ​(γ−Lzz​)t​,∥⋅∥2​)exp(−8K2nt2​).

In case (i), 8K2=32Lc2Mz28K^2=32L_c^2M_z^28K2=32Lc2​Mz2​ and this is exactly the last display of the proof of Theorem 4 (p. 44); case (ii) is the "identical reasoning" the paper invokes with K=Mℓ/γK=M_\ell/\gammaK=Mℓ​/γ. Θ\ThetaΘ is an arbitrary subset of Rd\mathbb R^dRd: no compactness is assumed, and an infinite covering number makes the bound vacuous rather than false.

Milestones

In the order the proof uses them:

  1. (4): strong concavity of z↦ℓ(θ;z)−γc(z,z0)z\mapsto\ell(\theta;z)-\gamma c(z,z_0)z↦ℓ(θ;z)−γc(z,z0​) with modulus γ−Lzz\gamma-L_{zz}γ−Lzz​;
  2. (16): ∥Tγ(θ1;z)−Tγ(θ2;z)∥≤Lzθγ−Lzz∥θ1−θ2∥\|T_\gamma(\theta_1;z)-T_\gamma(\theta_2;z)\|\le\frac{L_{z\theta}}{\gamma-L_{zz}}\|\theta_1-\theta_2\|∥Tγ​(θ1​;z)−Tγ​(θ2​;z)∥≤γ−Lzz​Lzθ​​∥θ1​−θ2​∥;
  3. Lemma 5: the transported cost is LcLzθγ−Lzz\frac{L_cL_{z\theta}}{\gamma-L_{zz}}γ−Lzz​Lc​Lzθ​​-Lipschitz in θ\thetaθ;
  4. the deviation ∣ρ^n(θ)−ρ(θ)∣|\widehat\rho_n(\theta)-\rho(\theta)|∣ρ​n​(θ)−ρ(θ)∣ is 2LcLzθγ−Lzz\frac{2L_cL_{z\theta}}{\gamma-L_{zz}}γ−Lzz​2Lc​Lzθ​​-Lipschitz on Θ\ThetaΘ;
  5. a (γ−Lzz)t4LcLzθ\frac{(\gamma-L_{zz})t}{4L_cL_{z\theta}}4Lc​Lzθ​(γ−Lzz​)t​-cover transfers a bound t/2t/2t/2 at its centres to a bound ttt on the supremum;
  6. 0≤c(Tγ(θ;z),z)≤K0\le c(T_\gamma(\theta;z),z)\le K0≤c(Tγ​(θ;z),z)≤K;
  7. Hoeffding's inequality at a fixed θ\thetaθ: P(∣ρ^n(θ)−ρ(θ)∣≥t/2)≤2e−nt2/(8K2)\mathbb P(|\widehat\rho_n(\theta)-\rho(\theta)|\ge t/2)\le 2e^{-nt^2/(8K^2)}P(∣ρ​n​(θ)−ρ(θ)∣≥t/2)≤2e−nt2/(8K2).

Significance

The tail bound gives a d/n\sqrt{d/n}d/n​-type generalization rate for the gap between the robustness certified on the sample and the robustness achieved on the population: with log⁡N(Θ,ϵ)≤dlog⁡(1+diam⁡(Θ)/ϵ)\log N(\Theta,\epsilon)\le d\log(1+\operatorname{diam}(\Theta)/\epsilon)logN(Θ,ϵ)≤dlog(1+diam(Θ)/ϵ) for bounded Θ\ThetaΘ, the deviation is of order K(dlog⁡(1/t)+log⁡(1/δ))/nK\sqrt{(d\log(1/t)+\log(1/\delta))/n}K(dlog(1/t)+log(1/δ))/n​. It also implies, as the paper notes, that the certified level ρ^n\widehat\rho_nρ​n​ stays positive for large nnn whenever the loss is not invariant to the data.

The paper states the result as Theorem 4, display (17), in "with probability 1−e−t1-e^{-t}1−e−t" form with the constant 4B4B4B. That form does not follow from the proved tail bound as printed: inverting the tail bound gives a deviation 42 B(t+log⁡2N)/n4\sqrt2\,B\sqrt{(t+\log 2N)/n}42​B(t+log2N)/n​ with a covering radius that depends on the deviation rather than on ttt, whereas (17) uses ttt in both places and drops 2\sqrt22​ and log⁡2\log 2log2. The mission therefore poses what the proof establishes, the tail bound above, and does not claim (17). None of this paper's results has a machine-checked proof; Hoeffding's inequality and covering numbers are in Mathlib, the argmax stability and the cover argument are not.

Difficulty

Concentration at a single fixed θ\thetaθ is Hoeffding's inequality and carries no information about the trained model, whose parameter depends on the sample. The supremum over an arbitrary, possibly uncountable Θ\ThetaΘ is the content. A union bound needs a finite family, and transferring control from a finite family to all of Θ\ThetaΘ needs the deviation to be Lipschitz in θ\thetaθ. The deviation is built from the transportation map, which is an argmax and has no closed form; its regularity in θ\thetaθ comes only from strong concavity, which holds only for γ>Lzz\gamma>L_{zz}γ>Lzz​. In case (ii) the cost ccc itself has no Lipschitz assumption, and the Lipschitz property of c(Tγ(θ;z),z)c(T_\gamma(\theta;z),z)c(Tγ​(θ;z),z) has to be extracted from the optimality of TγT_\gammaTγ​ at two different parameters. Finally, the supremum event is not obviously measurable.

Formalization scope

Spaces are EuclideanSpace ℝ (Fin d) and EuclideanSpace ℝ (Fin m); the paper's general norm is specialised to ℓ2\ell_2ℓ2​, in Assumptions A and B, in cases (i) and (ii), and in the covering number. The cost is real valued and constrained on Z×ZZ\times ZZ×Z only; the loss is typed on Rd×Rm\mathbb R^d\times\mathbb R^mRd×Rm, but Assumption B and the argmax property of the transportation map are required only for θ∈Θ\theta\in\Thetaθ∈Θ and z∈Zz\in Zz∈Z, matching the paper's ℓ:Θ×Z→R\ell:\Theta\times Z\to\mathbb Rℓ:Θ×Z→R. The transportation map is a function together with its argmax property. Samples are the coordinates of the product measure P0⊗nP_0^{\otimes n}P0⊗n​; P\mathbb PP of the supremum event is its outer measure, so no measurability of the event is assumed. The supremum is a real supremum of quantities bounded by 2K2K2K. The covering number is Mathlib's Metric.coveringNumber (closed balls, centres in Θ\ThetaΘ, values in N∪{∞}\mathbb N\cup\{\infty\}N∪{∞}). The definition on p. 9 does not say where the centres lie; the proof applies Hoeffding's inequality "for any fixed θ∈Θ\theta\in\Thetaθ∈Θ" at the centres, and the loss is only defined on Θ\ThetaΘ, so the centres are taken in Θ\ThetaΘ.

Hypotheses made explicit that the page leaves implicit:

  • γ>Lzz\gamma>L_{zz}γ>Lzz​ (p. 43, "our strong concavity assumption"), so [γ−Lzz]+=γ−Lzz[\gamma-L_{zz}]_+=\gamma-L_{zz}[γ−Lzz​]+​=γ−Lzz​;
  • Lc>0L_c>0Lc​>0 and Lzθ>0L_{z\theta}>0Lzθ​>0, since the covering radius divides by 4LcLzθ4L_cL_{z\theta}4Lc​Lzθ​;
  • ZZZ convex (needed for the transportation map to be stable);
  • z↦c(Tγ(θ;z),z)z\mapsto c(T_\gamma(\theta;z),z)z↦c(Tγ​(θ;z),z) is P0P_0P0​-measurable for every θ∈Θ\theta\in\Thetaθ∈Θ (the standing convention).

Case (ii) is assumed for θ∈Θ\theta\in\Thetaθ∈Θ only, as printed in Theorem 4.

A bound for one fixed θ\thetaθ, a supremum taken outside the probability, a covering radius not tied to ttt, or a covering number of a set other than Θ\ThetaΘ would be a different and much weaker statement; the goal has the supremum over Θ\ThetaΘ inside the event and the radius (γ−Lzz)t/(4LcLzθ)(\gamma-L_{zz})t/(4L_cL_{z\theta})(γ−Lzz​)t/(4Lc​Lzθ​).

A complete development needs the stability of maximizers of strongly concave functions under Lipschitz perturbation of the gradient, a finite-cover union bound for outer measures, and Hoeffding's inequality for bounded i.i.d. coordinates of a product measure. The first two are reusable well beyond this mission. Proofs of any milestone are welcome, as are alternative arguments for the goal.

Selected references

  • A. Sinha, H. Namkoong, R. Volpi, J. Duchi, Certifying Some Distributional Robustness with Principled Adversarial Training, ICLR 2018; arXiv:1710.10571v5, 2020. https://arxiv.org/abs/1710.10571v5
  • W. Hoeffding, Probability inequalities for sums of bounded random variables, Journal of the American Statistical Association 58 (1963), 13–30. https://doi.org/10.1080/01621459.1963.10500830
  • A. W. van der Vaart, J. A. Wellner, Weak Convergence and Empirical Processes, Springer, 1996. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-1-4757-2545-2
  • C. Villani, Optimal Transport: Old and New, Springer, 2009. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-540-71050-9
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Algorithmic Game TheoryOperations ResearchProbability·Captain: mikedeng1

Posted Price Mechanisms and Optimal Threshold Strategies for Random Arrivals I: Under Random Arrival Order, Nonadaptive Thresholds Earn a 1 − 1/e Fraction of E[max Xᵢ]Research Paper

Motivation

In a prophet inequality, a gambler sees prizes one at a time and must decide when to stop, while a prophet knows every realization and takes the largest. A stopping guarantee compares the gambler’s expected prize with the prophet’s. The order of arrival changes the problem: here the prizes are independent but can have different distributions, and every permutation of their arrival is equally likely. Before seeing any prize, the gambler chooses a threshold for each distribution and accepts the first prize above its threshold. Such a rule has no need to update thresholds after observing rejections. Correa, Foncea, Hoeksma, Oosterwijk, and Vredeveld prove that this restricted rule still earns at least a 1−1/e1-1/e1−1/e fraction of the prophet’s expected maximum (Theorem 1, pp. 1455, 1459).

The random-arrival stopping model also supplies guarantees for posted-price mechanisms. A posted price gives a buyer a take-it-or-leave-it offer; the first buyer who accepts ends the sale. The paper explains the connection between its stopping rules and expected revenue under random buyer arrival (§1.1 and §5). This mission formalizes the stopping theorem itself, which is the mathematical guarantee used before that economic translation.

Setting

Let n≥1n\ge1n≥1, and let X1,…,XnX_1,\ldots,X_nX1​,…,Xn​ be independent, nonnegative real random variables with known, possibly different distributions. Their realizations arrive in a uniformly random order. A nonadaptive threshold rule chooses constants τi∈[0,∞]\tau_i\in[0,\infty]τi​∈[0,∞] before any realization is observed. It accepts the first arriving index iii with Xi>τiX_i>\tau_iXi​>τi​ and receives XiX_iXi​. If no prize crosses its threshold, its reward is zero. An infinite threshold deliberately excludes an index. The strict comparison matches Theorem 1, even though an earlier description in §1.2 uses a weak comparison (pp. 1454–1455).

For fixed realized prizes, write Yi=1{Xi>τi}Y_i=\mathbf1_{\{X_i>\tau_i\}}Yi​=1{Xi​>τi​}​. Conditional on the set of indices with Yi=1Y_i=1Yi​=1, each accepted index is equally likely to arrive first. The conditional expected reward is therefore

Rτ(X)=∑i=1nXiYi∑i=1nYi,0/0:=0.R_\tau(X)=\frac{\sum_{i=1}^{n}X_iY_i}{\sum_{i=1}^{n}Y_i},\qquad 0/0:=0.Rτ​(X)=∑i=1n​Yi​∑i=1n​Xi​Yi​​,0/0:=0.

The prophet benchmark is X∗=max⁡iXiX^*=\max_i X_iX∗=maxi​Xi​. The theorem compares ERτ(X)\mathbb E R_\tau(X)ERτ​(X) with EX∗\mathbb E X^*EX∗, including distributions for which either expectation may be infinite. The variables need no common distribution and no atomlessness assumption.

The paper’s main supporting result is the Bernoulli Selection Lemma. It starts with independent Bernoulli indicators YiY_iYi​ of success probabilities qiq_iqi​, fixed real prizes bib_ibi​, and a chosen subset SSS. Its payoff is the average ∑i∈SbiYi/∑i∈SYi\sum_{i\in S}b_iY_i/\sum_{i\in S}Y_i∑i∈S​bi​Yi​/∑i∈S​Yi​, again zero when the denominator vanishes. The lemma compares the best subset with a finite linear optimization problem over 0≤zi≤qi0\le z_i\le q_i0≤zi​≤qi​ and ∑izi≤1\sum_i z_i\le1∑i​zi​≤1 (Lemma 1, p. 1455).

Formalization targets

Nonadaptive threshold guarantee

The goal is the exact constant of Theorem 1:

∃τ∈[0,∞]n:ERτ(X) ≥ (1−e−1) EX∗.\exists\tau\in[0,\infty]^n:\quad \mathbb E R_\tau(X)\ \ge\ (1-e^{-1})\,\mathbb E X^*.∃τ∈[0,∞]n:ERτ​(X) ≥ (1−e−1)EX∗.

The quantifiers range over every finite nonempty family of independent nonnegative variables. The thresholds are deterministic and indexed by the distributions, and the assertion covers atoms as well as continuous laws. This is the paper’s headline nonadaptive result (Theorem 1, p. 1459).

Bernoulli selection and comparison steps

The milestone list includes the paper’s multilinear formulation (4), its substitution (5), Proposition A.1, Lemmas 2 and 3, and the Bernoulli Selection Lemma. The latter states, in particular, that the maximum expected selected average dominates (1−e−1)(1-e^{-1})(1−e−1) times the optimum over feasible zzz. Two further milestones express the decomposition of the expected maximum and the upper-tail comparison used for continuous distributions (§2–3 and Appendix A). These targets fix the finite selection problem and the probabilistic quantities that the goal must connect.

Significance

The guarantee identifies what fixed, distribution-specific thresholds can achieve under random arrival: the expected accepted prize reaches a constant fraction of the prophet’s benchmark for every collection of independent nonnegative distributions. The paper also gives examples showing why a rule that keeps every positive prize is inadequate and studies where the 1−e−11-e^{-1}1−e−1 factor is tight (§2.1 and §3.1). These are claims about the performance of a restricted class of stopping rules, not about an optimal adaptive strategy.

The paper proves Theorem 1; a machine-checked proof of this mission’s goal remains to be supplied. The finite Bernoulli model, its subset optimum, and the nonnegative expectation conventions would be reusable for other random-order stopping and allocation results. This mission makes the paper’s claimed constants, event comparisons, and boundary cases explicit in the theorem statements so a later proof has a fixed target.

Difficulty

Taking the first value above a single low threshold can accept a modest prize before a rare large one arrives. Raising every threshold can instead reject too many prizes. The paper’s example with a constant prize and a rare large prize shows that accepting all available values does not meet the claimed factor (p. 1460). The difficulty is obtaining one set of fixed thresholds that balances those risks across different distributions, while the benchmark selects the largest realization after seeing them all. The Bernoulli selection inequality carries the sharp constant; connecting it to general distributions must also account for ties and atoms.

Formalization scope

Lean represents the index set by Fin n with n≥1n\ge1n≥1, so its index zero is the paper’s index one. The existing published definition SamuelCahnProphet.Median.Setting.maxX supplies the sample maximum; this mission defines the strict accepted set and its real-valued reward ratio. Thresholds live in [0,∞][0,\infty][0,∞] because the paper explicitly uses ∞\infty∞ to exclude a variable. Expectations are nonnegative extended integrals of ENNReal.ofReal, preserving infinite values and avoiding a default zero for nonintegrable real integrals. The source’s nonnegativity assumption is represented almost surely, which is enough for these expectations and does not restrict the distributions further.

The Bernoulli law is a finite product formula. Its probabilities lie in [0,1][0,1][0,1], while prizes are arbitrary real numbers as in the printed lemma. The feasibility condition includes zi≥0z_i\ge0zi​≥0: these variables are probabilities, and allowing negative values would change the optimization problem. The finite subset optimum is an attained maximum. Proposition A.1 is stated for M≠∅M\ne\varnothingM=∅; an empty MMM contradicts the budget conclusion for a>0a>0a>0. It also includes the printed a=0a=0a=0 case. Lemma 2 includes y=1y=1y=1 as printed: the removable division by zero in (6) is assigned its continuous value 2/e2/e2/e. The comparison milestones for continuous distributions assume atomlessness explicitly; the goal does not.

The accepted set depends only on fixed thresholds and the realized values. It cannot depend on the sampled arrival order or on prior observations. A constant choice such as accepting every positive prize does not prove the target guarantee. Contributions that establish the finite Bernoulli selection result, its analytic bounds, the random-order reward identity, or the passage from continuous to arbitrary distributions all serve the stated goal. The random-order identity and the discontinuous case are further work beyond the current milestone list.

Selected references

  • José Correa, Patricio Foncea, Ruben Hoeksma, Tim Oosterwijk, and Tjark Vredeveld, Posted Price Mechanisms and Optimal Threshold Strategies for Random Arrivals, Mathematics of Operations Research 46(4), 1452–1478, 2021. DOI: 10.1287/moor.2020.1105.
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A game-theoretic approach to computation offloading in mobile cloud computing I: The Offloading GNEP Has a SolutionResearch Paper

Motivation

Mobile devices run applications whose computational load can exceed what the device itself can serve in reasonable time and with reasonable battery drain. Computation offloading sends part of that load elsewhere: to a cloudlet, a small cluster of servers one wireless hop away, or to a distant cloud reached through the wide-area network. The cloudlet is shared, so its response time depends on how much load all users send to it, and each user's best offloading decision depends on everybody else's. Cardellini, De Nitto Personé, Di Valerio, Facchinei, Grassi, Lo Presti and Piccialli (Math. Program., 2016, DOI 10.1007/s10107-015-0881-6) model this as a non-cooperative game between users and study it with the tools of variational inequalities.

The game is a generalized Nash equilibrium problem (GNEP): not only the costs but also the feasible sets of the players depend on the other players' choices, because all users share one capacity constraint on the cloudlet. GNEPs with a shared convex constraint (jointly convex games) can be reduced to a single variational inequality, a reduction the paper takes from Facchinei, Fischer and Piccialli (Oper. Res. Lett. 2007, DOI 10.1016/j.orl.2006.03.004); Facchinei and Kanzow survey the area (Ann. Oper. Res. 2010, DOI 10.1007/s10479-009-0653-x). This mission formalizes the first step of the paper's analysis: the game has an equilibrium.

Setting

There are NNN users u=1,…,Nu=1,\dots,Nu=1,…,N and three tiers I={m,clet,cloud}I=\{m,\mathrm{clet},\mathrm{cloud}\}I={m,clet,cloud} (mobile device, cloudlet, cloud). User uuu chooses the fractions xu=(xu,m,xu,clet,xu,cloud)x_u=(x_{u,m},x_{u,\mathrm{clet}},x_{u,\mathrm{cloud}})xu​=(xu,m​,xu,clet​,xu,cloud​) of its tasks run on each tier. A profile is x=(x1,…,xN)∈R3Nx=(x_1,\dots,x_N)\in\mathbb R^{3N}x=(x1​,…,xN​)∈R3N.

The data are reals αu,βu,γu,δu\alpha_u,\beta_u,\gamma_u,\delta_uαu​,βu​,γu​,δu​ (arrival rates divided by service or transfer rates), powers Pu,m,Pu,t,Pu,max⁡P_{u,m},P_{u,t},P_{u,\max}Pu,m​,Pu,t​,Pu,max​, the number n≥1n\ge1n≥1 of cloudlet servers, the offloadable fraction χ∈(0,1]\chi\in(0,1]χ∈(0,1] and a utilisation cap Umax⁡U_{\max}Umax​. Assumption A requires Umax⁡U_{\max}Umax​ and every αu,δu\alpha_u,\delta_uαu​,δu​ to lie in (0,1)(0,1)(0,1).

User uuu's private feasible set is

K~u={xu∈R+3: ∑i∈Ixu,i=1, xu,clet+xu,cloud≤χ, αuPu,mxu,m+βuPu,t(xu,clet+xu,cloud)≤Pu,max⁡},\tilde K_u=\Big\{x_u\in\mathbb R^3_+:\ \textstyle\sum_{i\in I}x_{u,i}=1,\ x_{u,\mathrm{clet}}+x_{u,\mathrm{cloud}}\le\chi,\ \alpha_uP_{u,m}x_{u,m}+\beta_uP_{u,t}(x_{u,\mathrm{clet}}+x_{u,\mathrm{cloud}})\le P_{u,\max}\Big\},K~u​={xu​∈R+3​: ∑i∈I​xu,i​=1, xu,clet​+xu,cloud​≤χ, αu​Pu,m​xu,m​+βu​Pu,t​(xu,clet​+xu,cloud​)≤Pu,max​},

the shared constraint is Ω={x:1n∑vδvxv,clet≤Umax⁡}\Omega=\{x:\frac1n\sum_v\delta_vx_{v,\mathrm{clet}}\le U_{\max}\}Ω={x:n1​∑v​δv​xv,clet​≤Umax​}, and the joint feasible set is K=(∏uK~u)∩ΩK=\big(\prod_u\tilde K_u\big)\cap\OmegaK=(∏u​K~u​)∩Ω. User uuu minimises the mean response cost

λuRu(xu,x−u)=αuxu,m1−αuxu,m+βuxu,clet+γuxu,cloud+δuxu,clet1−1n∑vδvxv,clet\lambda_uR_u(x_u,x_{-u})=\frac{\alpha_ux_{u,m}}{1-\alpha_ux_{u,m}}+\beta_ux_{u,\mathrm{clet}}+\gamma_ux_{u,\mathrm{cloud}}+\frac{\delta_ux_{u,\mathrm{clet}}}{1-\frac1n\sum_v\delta_vx_{v,\mathrm{clet}}}λu​Ru​(xu​,x−u​)=1−αu​xu,m​αu​xu,m​​+βu​xu,clet​+γu​xu,cloud​+1−n1​∑v​δv​xv,clet​δu​xu,clet​​

over {y∈K~u:(y,x−u)∈Ω}\{y\in\tilde K_u:(y,x_{-u})\in\Omega\}{y∈K~u​:(y,x−u​)∈Ω}. A solution of the GNEP is a profile xˉ∈K\bar x\in Kxˉ∈K at which no user can lower its cost by a deviation that keeps the shared constraint satisfied.

The map F:R3N→R3NF:\mathbb R^{3N}\to\mathbb R^{3N}F:R3N→R3N stacks the users' partial gradients,

F(x)u=(αu(1−αuxu,m)2, βu+δu1−1n∑v≠uδvxv,clet(1−1n∑vδvxv,clet)2, γu),F(x)_u=\Big(\frac{\alpha_u}{(1-\alpha_ux_{u,m})^2},\ \beta_u+\delta_u\frac{1-\frac1n\sum_{v\ne u}\delta_vx_{v,\mathrm{clet}}}{\big(1-\frac1n\sum_v\delta_vx_{v,\mathrm{clet}}\big)^2},\ \gamma_u\Big),F(x)u​=((1−αu​xu,m​)2αu​​, βu​+δu​(1−n1​∑v​δv​xv,clet​)21−n1​∑v=u​δv​xv,clet​​, γu​),

and xˉ\bar xxˉ solves the variational inequality VI(K,F)\mathrm{VI}(K,F)VI(K,F) if xˉ∈K\bar x\in Kxˉ∈K and F(xˉ)⊤(x−xˉ)≥0F(\bar x)^\top(x-\bar x)\ge0F(xˉ)⊤(x−xˉ)≥0 for all x∈Kx\in Kx∈K. Such solutions are the variational (or normalized) solutions of the game.

Formalization targets

Goal: Proposition 1 (p. 12)

Under Assumption A, and provided every K~u\tilde K_uK~u​ is nonempty,

∃ xˉ∈K  ∀u  ∀y∈K~u with (y,xˉ−u)∈Ω:λuRu(xˉu,xˉ−u)≤λuRu(y,xˉ−u).\exists\,\bar x\in K\ \ \forall u\ \ \forall y\in\tilde K_u\ \text{with}\ (y,\bar x_{-u})\in\Omega:\quad \lambda_uR_u(\bar x_u,\bar x_{-u})\le\lambda_uR_u(y,\bar x_{-u}).∃xˉ∈K  ∀u  ∀y∈K~u​ with (y,xˉ−u​)∈Ω:λu​Ru​(xˉu​,xˉ−u​)≤λu​Ru​(y,xˉ−u​).

Milestones

  1. F(x)u=∇xuλuRu(x)F(x)_u=\nabla_{x_u}\lambda_uR_u(x)F(x)u​=∇xu​​λu​Ru​(x) wherever both denominators are positive (p. 11).
  2. For fixed x−ux_{-u}x−u​, user uuu's feasible set is convex and its cost is convex on it (p. 11).
  3. Every solution of VI(K,F)\mathrm{VI}(K,F)VI(K,F) is a solution of the GNEP (proof of Proposition 1).
  4. FFF is continuous on KKK, and KKK is compact and convex (proof of Proposition 1).
  5. VI(K,F)\mathrm{VI}(K,F)VI(K,F) has a solution (proof of Proposition 1, citing Facchinei–Pang, Corollary 2.2.5).

Milestones 3 and 5 give the goal; milestones 1 and 2 are what milestone 3 rests on, and milestone 4 is what milestone 5 rests on. The platform's Proved statement of Brouwer's fixed-point theorem (AGT.brouwer_fixed_point) is included as a reference item for milestone 5.

Significance

The result. Existence of an equilibrium is the precondition for everything else in the paper: the monotonicity of FFF (Theorem 1), the reformulation with a cloudlet price as an extended game (Theorem 2), and the distributed algorithm whose convergence is Theorem 3. Proposition 1 also shows that variational solutions exist, which is the specific equilibrium the paper's algorithm computes.

Formalizing it. The result is proved in the paper, in three lines that cite two textbook theorems. The work here is to make those citations machine-checked for this concrete model: that the closed-form FFF is indeed the stacked partial gradient, that each user's problem is convex despite the rational cost terms, that the VI-to-GNEP reduction holds, and that a VI on a compact convex set with continuous map has a solution. None of these steps is formalized in Mathlib for GNEPs; the last is a finite-dimensional Hartman–Stampacchia theorem, which Mathlib does not contain. No part of this paper has a machine-checked proof.

Difficulty

The obvious argument is to apply Kakutani's theorem to the best-response correspondence. With a shared constraint this needs lower semicontinuity of the feasible-set map x−u↦{y∈K~u:(y,x−u)∈Ω}x_{-u}\mapsto\{y\in\tilde K_u:(y,x_{-u})\in\Omega\}x−u​↦{y∈K~u​:(y,x−u​)∈Ω}, which is a separate argument, and Kakutani is not in Mathlib either. The VI route avoids it but has its own points. The cost has the rational terms αuxu,m/(1−αuxu,m)\alpha_ux_{u,m}/(1-\alpha_ux_{u,m})αu​xu,m​/(1−αu​xu,m​) and δuxu,clet/D(x)\delta_ux_{u,\mathrm{clet}}/D(x)δu​xu,clet​/D(x), and convexity and differentiability must be checked on the region where the denominators are positive; on a user's feasible set this needs Assumption A and the shared constraint, not the private constraints alone. The existence of a VI solution needs a fixed-point theorem on a compact convex set, and Mathlib has no Brouwer theorem. That is why the platform's statement of it is attached to this mission.

Formalization scope

Users are Fin N (0-based) and tiers an inductive type Tier with three constructors; a profile is Fin N → Tier → ℝ. The inner product a⊤ba^\top ba⊤b is the coordinatewise double sum (not Mathlib's sup norm on Pi types). The cost and FFF are the paper's closed forms; FFF is not defined as a derivative, so milestone 1 has content. Lean's x/0=0x/0=0x/0=0 makes both formulas junk where a denominator vanishes. Under Assumption A both denominators are positive on KKK and at every point the GNEP definition compares, and milestone 1 assumes the two positivity conditions explicitly.

Standing hypotheses in every statement: Assumption A, n≥1n\ge1n≥1, 0<χ≤10<\chi\le10<χ≤1. Nothing is assumed of βu,γu\beta_u,\gamma_uβu​,γu​ or the powers, as in the paper. Added hypothesis: every K~u\tilde K_uK~u​ is nonempty, in the goal and in milestone 5. The printed proposition is false without it: if 0<Pu,max⁡<min⁡(αuPu,m,βuPu,t)0<P_{u,\max}<\min(\alpha_uP_{u,m},\beta_uP_{u,t})0<Pu,max​<min(αu​Pu,m​,βu​Pu,t​) then K~u=∅\tilde K_u=\emptysetK~u​=∅, so K=∅K=\emptysetK=∅. The condition is equivalent to K≠∅K\ne\emptysetK=∅. Milestone 4 adds convexity of KKK to the paper's "continuous and compact".

Trivializing formalizations are ruled out: KKK cannot be empty under the added hypothesis, FFF is not a derivative by definition, no statement evaluates the cost at a point with a vanishing denominator, and the GNEP keeps the shared constraint in each player's feasible set (dropping it gives a different game, a NEP).

Contributions welcome: a finite-dimensional Hartman–Stampacchia theorem (reusable well beyond this mission), the general VI-implies-GNEP reduction for jointly convex games, and proofs of the model-specific milestones.

Selected references

  • V. Cardellini, V. De Nitto Personé, V. Di Valerio, F. Facchinei, V. Grassi, F. Lo Presti, V. Piccialli, A game-theoretic approach to computation offloading in mobile cloud computing, Mathematical Programming (2016). https://doi.org/10.1007/s10107-015-0881-6 (accepted manuscript: IRIS Sapienza, handle 11573/779661)
  • F. Facchinei, A. Fischer, V. Piccialli, On generalized Nash games and variational inequalities, Operations Research Letters 35 (2007). https://doi.org/10.1016/j.orl.2006.03.004
  • F. Facchinei, C. Kanzow, Generalized Nash equilibrium problems, Annals of Operations Research 175 (2010). https://doi.org/10.1007/s10479-009-0653-x
  • F. Facchinei, J.-S. Pang, Finite-Dimensional Variational Inequalities and Complementarity Problems, Springer, 2003. https://doi.org/10.1007/b97543
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Scheduling Problems with Two Competing Agents 6: PARTITION Reduces to Two Agents Each Bounding Their Own Total Completion Time on One MachineResearch Paper

Two agents sharing one machine

In many production and service settings a single resource is shared by parties with different goals: two departments sending orders to the same machine, two customers of a contract manufacturer, or two classes of requests on one processor. Multi-agent scheduling models this directly. Each agent owns its own jobs and its own objective, and a schedule is judged by the pair of objective values it gives the two agents rather than by a single combined criterion.

Agnetis, Mirchandani, Pacciarelli and Pacifici (Oper. Res. 52(2), 2004, pp. 229–242) set up the systematic study of the two-agent single-machine problem. For each pair of classical objectives they ask how hard it is to optimise one agent's objective while the other agent's objective stays within a given bound. This mission formalises their §9, the case in which both agents minimise their own total completion time. With a single agent, minimising the total completion time is solved by sorting the jobs by length (the shortest-processing-time rule of Smith, 1956). §9 shows that two agents, each with this easiest of objectives, already give an NP-hard problem (Theorem 9.2), and that the problem is solved in pseudopolynomial time by a dynamic program (Theorem 9.3).

Setting

There are two agents, A and B. Agent A owns jobs J1A,…,JnAAJ^A_1,\dots,J^A_{n_A}J1A​,…,JnA​A​ with processing times phA∈Np^A_h\in\mathbb NphA​∈N; agent B owns jobs J1B,…,JnBBJ^B_1,\dots,J^B_{n_B}J1B​,…,JnB​B​ with processing times pkB∈Np^B_k\in\mathbb NpkB​∈N. All jobs are available at time 000 and are processed on one machine, one at a time, without interruption. Since both objectives are nondecreasing in the completion times, a schedule σ\sigmaσ is a sequence of all nA+nBn_A+n_BnA​+nB​ jobs processed back to back from time 000. The completion time Cj(σ)C_j(\sigma)Cj​(σ) of a job is the total processing time of the job and of all jobs before it. Agent A's cost is ∑hChA(σ)\sum_hC^A_h(\sigma)∑h​ChA​(σ) and agent B's cost is ∑kCkB(σ)\sum_kC^B_k(\sigma)∑k​CkB​(σ).

The recognition problem 1∥∑CiA≤QA, ∑CiB≤QB1\|\sum C^A_i\le Q_A,\ \sum C^B_i\le Q_B1∥∑CiA​≤QA​, ∑CiB​≤QB​ asks, for thresholds QA,QBQ_A,Q_BQA​,QB​, whether some schedule has

∑h=1nAChA(σ)≤QAand∑k=1nBCkB(σ)≤QB.\sum_{h=1}^{n_A}C^A_h(\sigma)\le Q_A\qquad\text{and}\qquad\sum_{k=1}^{n_B}C^B_k(\sigma)\le Q_B .h=1∑nA​​ChA​(σ)≤QA​andk=1∑nB​​CkB​(σ)≤QB​.

The source problem is PARTITION (Problem 9.1): given integers p1,…,pkp_1,\dots,p_kp1​,…,pk​ with P=∑ipiP=\sum_ip_iP=∑i​pi​, is there a set S⊆{1,…,k}S\subseteq\{1,\dots,k\}S⊆{1,…,k} with ∑i∈Spi=∑i∉Spi=P/2\sum_{i\in S}p_i=\sum_{i\notin S}p_i=P/2∑i∈S​pi​=∑i∈/S​pi​=P/2?

The paper's reduction numbers the integers so that p1≤⋯≤pkp_1\le\dots\le p_kp1​≤⋯≤pk​ and gives both agents identical job sets, kkk jobs of lengths p1,…,pkp_1,\dots,p_kp1​,…,pk​, with thresholds QA=QB=T/2Q_A=Q_B=T/2QA​=QB​=T/2, where

T=3P+4∑i=1k(k−i)pi.T=3P+4\sum_{i=1}^k(k-i)p_i .T=3P+4i=1∑k​(k−i)pi​.

Writing J[i]J[i]J[i] for the pair JiA,JiBJ^A_i,J^B_iJiA​,JiB​, an SPT schedule processes J[1],…,J[k]J[1],\dots,J[k]J[1],…,J[k] in order, each pair in either internal order; xxx denotes the total length of the pairs in which B goes first.

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem 9.2

PARTITION ≤p 1∥∑CiA≤QA, ∑CiB≤QB\text{PARTITION}\ \le_p\ 1\|\textstyle\sum C^A_i\le Q_A,\ \sum C^B_i\le Q_BPARTITION ≤p​ 1∥∑CiA​≤QA​, ∑CiB​≤QB​

Here ≤p\le_p≤p​ is polynomial-time many-one reducibility between languages of binary codes: a polynomial-time Turing-machine-computable map on strings that sends codes of PARTITION yes-instances, and only those, to codes of yes-instances of the recognition problem. Together with the NP-completeness of PARTITION (Karp 1972) this is the statement "1∥∑CiA:∑CiB1\|\sum C^A_i : \sum C^B_i1∥∑CiA​:∑CiB​ is binary NP-hard".

Milestones of the proof

  1. Every SPT schedule has ∑CiA+∑CiB=T\sum C^A_i+\sum C^B_i=T∑CiA​+∑CiB​=T, and QA=QB=T/2Q_A=Q_B=T/2QA​=QB​=T/2.
  2. Eqs. (5) and (6): in an SPT schedule, ∑CiA=P+2∑i(k−i)pi+x\sum C^A_i=P+2\sum_i(k-i)p_i+x∑CiA​=P+2∑i​(k−i)pi​+x and ∑CiB=P+2∑i(k−i)pi+(P−x)\sum C^B_i=P+2\sum_i(k-i)p_i+(P-x)∑CiB​=P+2∑i​(k−i)pi​+(P−x).
  3. A schedule with ∑CiA≤T/2\sum C^A_i\le T/2∑CiA​≤T/2 and ∑CiB≤T/2\sum C^B_i\le T/2∑CiB​≤T/2 processes the jobs in nondecreasing order of length.
  4. For pairwise distinct p1<⋯<pkp_1<\dots<p_kp1​<⋯<pk​: PARTITION has a solution iff some schedule meets T/2T/2T/2 for both agents.

Further result: Theorem 9.3 with recursion (7)

With each agent's jobs numbered by nondecreasing length and P(i,j)P(i,j)P(i,j) the total length of J1A,…,JiA,J1B,…,JjBJ^A_1,\dots,J^A_i,J^B_1,\dots,J^B_jJ1A​,…,JiA​,J1B​,…,JjB​, the recursion

F(i,j,q)=min⁡{F(i−1,j,q)+P(i−1,j)+piA; F(i,j−1,q−P(i,j))}F(i,j,q)=\min\bigl\{F(i-1,j,q)+P(i-1,j)+p^A_i;\ F(i,j-1,q-P(i,j))\bigr\}F(i,j,q)=min{F(i−1,j,q)+P(i−1,j)+piA​; F(i,j−1,q−P(i,j))}

with F(0,0,q)=0F(0,0,q)=0F(0,0,q)=0 for q≥0q\ge0q≥0 and F=+∞F=+\inftyF=+∞ for q<0q<0q<0 yields F(nA,nB,Q)=min⁡{∑CiA:∑CiB≤Q}F(n_A,n_B,Q)=\min\{\sum C^A_i:\sum C^B_i\le Q\}F(nA​,nB​,Q)=min{∑CiA​:∑CiB​≤Q}, and +∞+\infty+∞ when no schedule meets the bound.

Significance

Theorem 9.2 fills one cell of the paper's complexity table: even when both agents use the objective that is trivial for one agent, sharing the machine makes the constrained problem NP-hard. Together with Theorem 9.3 it places 1∥∑CiA:∑CiB1\|\sum C^A_i:\sum C^B_i1∥∑CiA​:∑CiB​ exactly: NP-hard under binary encoding, solvable in pseudopolynomial time, hence not strongly NP-hard unless P = NP. The later literature on two-agent and multi-agent scheduling (for example the monograph of Agnetis, Billaut, Gawiejnowicz, Pacciarelli and Soukhal, Multiagent Scheduling, Springer 2014) cites this classification.

Neither result has a machine-checked proof that we know of. The mission adds a formal record of the reduction and of the dynamic program, reusable definitions for the two-agent total-completion-time problem, and a correction of the printed proof: the equivalence between PARTITION and the constructed instance, as printed, holds only when the integers are pairwise distinct. For p=(1,1,1,1,10)p=(1,1,1,1,10)p=(1,1,1,1,10) PARTITION has no solution, yet a schedule meets T/2=41T/2=41T/2=41 for both agents. Theorem 9.2 itself is not affected, since PARTITION remains NP-hard, but a complete formal proof needs a reduction that is correct on every input.

Difficulty

The equivalence for distinct integers rests on two facts: the overall total ∑CiA+∑CiB\sum C^A_i+\sum C^B_i∑CiA​+∑CiB​ is at least TTT for every schedule, with equality only for sequences in nondecreasing order of length; and, with distinct lengths, such a sequence is made of consecutive pairs, whose split is controlled by xxx. The naive formal argument stops at the second fact, which is false with repeated lengths: a block of equal-length jobs can be shared between the agents in ways no sequence of pairs realises. The goal adds the encoding layer: the reduction must be computable in polynomial time on a Turing machine, must handle repeated and zero sizes and odd PPP (where T/2T/2T/2 is not an integer and the language's thresholds are), and must send strings that do not code a PARTITION instance outside the target language. For Theorem 9.3, the dynamic program is correct only because some optimal schedule orders each agent's jobs by length, and the constraint makes this exchange argument less direct than for a single agent.

Formalization scope

Jobs are Fin nA ⊕ Fin nB (Sum.inl h is Jh+1AJ^A_{h+1}Jh+1A​, Sum.inr k is Jk+1BJ^B_{k+1}Jk+1B​, 0-based). Schedules, completion times and the idle-free sequence model are the published MooreLateJobs.Shared.completionTime (Moore 1968 series): a schedule is a duplicate-free list containing every job once, and completion times are real numbers. Processing times and thresholds of the language are natural numbers. Reducibility is the published CookPvsNP.PolyReducible, and PARTITION, the alphabet and the binary codes are the published ProjSchedTW.Complexity.Encoding (partitionLang, whose sizes are natural numbers including 000). The target language allows any job counts and any processing times; identical job sets are a property of the construction only.

The following readings are explicit:

  • An SPT schedule of the construction is given by a choice x:Fin k→Boolx:\mathrm{Fin}\,k\to\mathrm{Bool}x:Fink→Bool of the first agent in each pair; "feasible implies SPT" is stated as "lengths are nondecreasing along the sequence", which is what the paper's exchange argument proves.
  • The milestones take the integers already sorted, as a hypothesis; the paper's thresholds T/2T/2T/2 are real numbers in the milestones.
  • The equivalence milestone assumes p1<⋯<pkp_1<\dots<p_kp1​<⋯<pk​; the printed version with ≤\le≤ is false, as shown above.
  • In recursion (7), the terms F(−1,j,q)F(-1,j,q)F(−1,j,q) and F(i,−1,q)F(i,-1,q)F(i,−1,q) that the paper leaves undefined are +∞+\infty+∞.
  • The running time O(nAnBQ)O(n_An_BQ)O(nA​nB​Q) of Theorem 9.3 is not formalised; only the correctness of (7) is. Membership in NP is not formalised.

The goal cannot be met by a trivial reduction: PolyReducible requires the map to be computed by a polynomial-time Turing machine and to be correct on every string, and the target language contains every two-agent instance, not only those with identical job sets. Contributions welcome: the exchange lemmas for total completion time on the shared sequence model, the SPT formulas, and Turing-machine constructions for list sorting and arithmetic on binary codes, which other reductions of this series reuse.

Selected references

  • A. Agnetis, P. B. Mirchandani, D. Pacciarelli, A. Pacifici, Scheduling Problems with Two Competing Agents, Operations Research 52(2) (2004) 229–242. https://doi.org/10.1287/opre.1030.0092
  • R. M. Karp, Reducibility among Combinatorial Problems, in Complexity of Computer Computations, Plenum (1972) 85–103. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-1-4684-2001-2_9
  • W. E. Smith, Various Optimizers for Single-Stage Production, Naval Research Logistics Quarterly 3 (1956) 59–66. https://doi.org/10.1002/nav.3800030106
  • J. M. Moore, An n Job, One Machine Sequencing Algorithm for Minimizing the Number of Late Jobs, Management Science 15(1) (1968) 102–109. https://doi.org/10.1287/mnsc.15.1.102
  • S. Cook, The P versus NP Problem, Clay Mathematics Institute Millennium Problems (2000). https://www.claymath.org/wp-content/uploads/2022/06/pvsnp.pdf
  • A. Agnetis, J.-C. Billaut, S. Gawiejnowicz, D. Pacciarelli, A. Soukhal, Multiagent Scheduling: Models and Algorithms, Springer (2014). https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-642-41880-8
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Complexity TheoryOperations ResearchOptimization+1·Captain: mikedeng1

Scheduling Problems with Two Competing Agents 2: KNAPSACK Reduces to Minimizing One Agent's Total Weighted Completion Time Under a Makespan Bound for the OtherResearch Paper

Two agents sharing one machine

In many production and logistics settings a single resource is shared by parties with different goals: two departments of a plant that send orders to the same machine, two customers of a contract manufacturer, or two classes of traffic on one processor. Multi-agent scheduling models this directly. Each agent owns its own jobs and its own objective, and a schedule is judged by the pair of objective values it gives the two agents rather than by one combined criterion.

Agnetis, Mirchandani, Pacciarelli and Pacifici (Oper. Res. 52(2), 2004, pp. 229–242) set up the systematic study of the two-agent single-machine problem. For each pair of classical objectives they ask how hard it is to optimise one agent's objective while the other agent's objective stays within a given bound. Their Table 1 lists the outcome for each pair. This mission formalises one entry, Theorem 5.2: when agent A minimises its total weighted completion time and agent B only requires its makespan to stay below a bound, the problem is NP-hard under binary encoding of the numbers. The corresponding single-agent bicriteria problem had been shown NP-hard in the strong sense by Lenstra, Rinnooy Kan and Brucker (1977); the two-agent version differs because only B's jobs are constrained.

Setting

There are two agents, A and B. Agent A owns jobs J1A,…,JnAAJ^A_1,\dots,J^A_{n_A}J1A​,…,JnA​A​; job JhAJ^A_hJhA​ has a processing time phA∈Np^A_h\in\mathbb NphA​∈N and a weight whA∈Nw^A_h\in\mathbb NwhA​∈N. Agent B owns jobs J1B,…,JnBBJ^B_1,\dots,J^B_{n_B}J1B​,…,JnB​B​ with processing times pkB∈Np^B_k\in\mathbb NpkB​∈N. All jobs are available at time 000 and are processed on one machine, one at a time, without interruption.

Because both objectives are nondecreasing in the completion times, there is no reason to leave the machine idle, so a schedule σ\sigmaσ is a sequence of all nA+nBn_A+n_BnA​+nB​ jobs processed back to back from time 000. The completion time Cj(σ)C_j(\sigma)Cj​(σ) of a job jjj is the total processing time of jjj and of all jobs sequenced before it. Agent A's cost is ∑hwhAChA(σ)\sum_{h}w^A_hC^A_h(\sigma)∑h​whA​ChA​(σ); agent B's cost is its makespan Cmax⁡B(σ)=max⁡kCkB(σ)C^B_{\max}(\sigma)=\max_kC^B_k(\sigma)CmaxB​(σ)=maxk​CkB​(σ).

The paper's recognition problem 1∥∑wiCiA≤QA, Cmax⁡B≤QB1\|\sum w_iC^A_i\le Q_A,\ C^B_{\max}\le Q_B1∥∑wi​CiA​≤QA​, CmaxB​≤QB​ asks, for given thresholds QA,QBQ_A,Q_BQA​,QB​, whether some schedule has

∑h=1nAwhAChA(σ)≤QAandCkB(σ)≤QB  for all k.\sum_{h=1}^{n_A}w^A_hC^A_h(\sigma)\le Q_A\qquad\text{and}\qquad C^B_k(\sigma)\le Q_B\ \text{ for all }k .h=1∑nA​​whA​ChA​(σ)≤QA​andCkB​(σ)≤QB​  for all k.

The source problem is KNAPSACK (Problem 5.1): given nonnegative integers u1,…,unu_1,\dots,u_nu1​,…,un​, w1,…,wnw_1,\dots,w_nw1​,…,wn​ and integers b,Wb,Wb,W, is there S⊆{1,…,n}S\subseteq\{1,\dots,n\}S⊆{1,…,n} with ∑i∈Sui≤b\sum_{i\in S}u_i\le b∑i∈S​ui​≤b and ∑i∈Swi≥W\sum_{i\in S}w_i\ge W∑i∈S​wi​≥W?

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem 5.2

KNAPSACK ≤p 1∥∑wiCiA≤QA, Cmax⁡B≤QB\text{KNAPSACK}\ \le_p\ 1\|\textstyle\sum w_iC^A_i\le Q_A,\ C^B_{\max}\le Q_BKNAPSACK ≤p​ 1∥∑wi​CiA​≤QA​, CmaxB​≤QB​

Here ≤p\le_p≤p​ is polynomial-time many-one reducibility between languages of binary codes: a Turing-machine-computable, polynomial-time map on strings sending codes of KNAPSACK yes-instances, and only those, to codes of yes-instances of the recognition problem. Together with the NP-completeness of KNAPSACK (Garey and Johnson 1979) this is the statement "1∥∑wiCiA:Cmax⁡B1\|\sum w_iC^A_i : C^B_{\max}1∥∑wi​CiA​:CmaxB​ is binary NP-hard".

Milestones

The paper's reduction builds, from a KNAPSACK instance, the two-agent instance with piA=uip^A_i=u_ipiA​=ui​, wiA=wiw^A_i=w_iwiA​=wi​, a single B-job of length p1B=w^u^p^B_1=\hat w\hat up1B​=w^u^ (where u^=∑iui\hat u=\sum_iu_iu^=∑i​ui​, w^=∑iwi\hat w=\sum_iw_iw^=∑i​wi​), and thresholds QB=b+p1BQ_B=b+p^B_1QB​=b+p1B​, QA=w^u^+(w^−W)p1BQ_A=\hat w\hat u+(\hat w-W)p^B_1QA​=w^u^+(w^−W)p1B​. The milestones are the two directions of the proof and their combination:

  1. Eq. (1): if SSS solves KNAPSACK, every sequence with exactly the A-jobs of SSS before the B-job meets both thresholds.
  2. Eq. (2): if ∑iwiui>0\sum_iw_iu_i>0∑i​wi​ui​>0 and a sequence meets both thresholds, the A-jobs before the B-job solve KNAPSACK.
  3. Equivalence: under ∑iwiui>0\sum_iw_iu_i>0∑i​wi​ui​>0, KNAPSACK is a yes-instance iff the constructed instance is.
  4. §8: with every B-job given due date QQQ and Q′=0Q'=0Q′=0, a sequence meets ∑UiB≤Q′\sum U^B_i\le Q'∑UiB​≤Q′ (and A's bound) iff it meets Cmax⁡B≤QC^B_{\max}\le QCmaxB​≤Q, which carries the hardness over to 1∥∑wiCiA:∑UiB1\|\sum w_iC^A_i:\sum U^B_i1∥∑wi​CiA​:∑UiB​.

Significance

Theorem 5.2 fixes the complexity of one cell of the two-agent classification. It shows that the polynomial algorithm for the unweighted case 1∥∑CiA:fmax⁡B1\|\sum C^A_i:f^B_{\max}1∥∑CiA​:fmaxB​ (Theorem 5.5 of the same paper) cannot be extended to arbitrary weights unless P = NP. Through §8 it also settles 1∥∑wiCiA:∑UiB1\|\sum w_iC^A_i:\sum U^B_i1∥∑wi​CiA​:∑UiB​. The hardness is binary, not strong: the reduction produces numbers of size about w^u^\hat w\hat uw^u^, so pseudo-polynomial algorithms are not ruled out, which is consistent with the dynamic programs studied in later two-agent literature.

The result is proved in the paper; no machine-checked proof is known to exist. Formalizing it produces a complete reduction from a two-constraint knapsack problem to a scheduling recognition problem, with the encoding, the degenerate instances and the polynomial running time all made explicit. The model and the KNAPSACK language are reusable by other two-agent reductions (Theorems 9.2, 10.1 and 10.2 of the paper reduce from PARTITION in the same frame).

Difficulty

The two directions of the equivalence are short computations with completion times. The printed argument, however, is not correct as written in two places. The bounds "smaller than w^u^\hat w\hat uw^u^" and "smaller than (w^−W)p1B(\hat w-W)p^B_1(w^−W)p1B​" in the derivation of (1) hold only with equality allowed. The strict inequalities in (2) fail when ∑iwiui=0\sum_iw_iu_i=0∑i​wi​ui​=0, and then the reduction itself fails: with all ui=0u_i=0ui​=0 and W>w^W>\hat wW>w^ the KNAPSACK instance is a no-instance while the constructed instance has QA=QB=0Q_A=Q_B=0QA​=QB​=0 and every schedule meets both thresholds. A complete reduction must recognise such instances and treat them separately.

The construction also produces integer thresholds that can be negative (b<−p1Bb<-p^B_1b<−p1B​, or W>w^+1W>\hat w+1W>w^+1), while instances of the target are coded with natural numbers. Finally, the reduction must be a polynomial-time Turing machine computation over binary codes, including the decoding of arbitrary strings and the binary multiplication w^u^\hat w\hat uw^u^; that is where most of the formal work lies.

Formalization scope

  • Model. Jobs are Fin nA ⊕ Fin nB (0-based: Sum.inl h is Jh+1AJ^A_{h+1}Jh+1A​, Sum.inr k is Jk+1BJ^B_{k+1}Jk+1B​). Schedules and completion times are the published MooreLateJobs.Shared sequence model (IsSchedule, completionTime) of the Moore (1968) series: a duplicate-free list of all jobs, processed without idle time from time 000. Integer processing times are cast to R\mathbb RR.
  • Makespan bound. Cmax⁡B≤QBC^B_{\max}\le Q_BCmaxB​≤QB​ is written as CkB≤QBC^B_k\le Q_BCkB​≤QB​ for every B-job; no nonemptiness of B's job set is assumed.
  • Languages. Polynomial-time reducibility is the published CookPvsNP.PolyReducible (Cook's Definition 3, one-tape Turing machines). Codes use the published binary encoding ProjSchedTW.Complexity.Encoding (alphabet BSym, encNat, encInt) of the Neumann–Schwindt–Zimmermann series. A KNAPSACK instance is coded as the integers n,u1,…,un,w1,…,wn,b,Wn,u_1,\dots,u_n,w_1,\dots,w_n,b,Wn,u1​,…,un​,w1​,…,wn​,b,W; a target instance as the natural numbers nA,nBn_A,n_BnA​,nB​, the processing times and weights, and QA,QBQ_A,Q_BQA​,QB​. The target language allows any nA,nB≥0n_A,n_B\ge0nA​,nB​≥0; the reduction uses nB=1n_B=1nB​=1.
  • Readings of the paper. "Binary NP-hard" is formalised as the reduction from KNAPSACK, without the NP-completeness of KNAPSACK and without membership in NP. The milestone Eq. (2) and the equivalence carry the added hypothesis ∑iwiui>0\sum_iw_iu_i>0∑i​wi​ui​>0; the inequalities "smaller than" in (1) are read as ≤\le≤. Eq. (1) is stated for every order of the jobs inside SSS and inside its complement. The §8 result is stated as the encoding-free equivalence of feasible solutions, not as a reduction between languages.
  • Ruled out. The goal cannot be met by a reduction that ignores the input: the equivalence must hold for every string, and the target language is exactly the codes of yes-instances of the two-agent recognition problem with B's objective the makespan. KNAPSACK here is the two-constraint problem of Problem 5.1, not subset sum.

Contributions welcome: proofs of the two directions, of the equivalence, the treatment of the degenerate instances, and the Turing machine for the reduction, which would also serve the other binary-coded reductions on the platform.

Selected references

  • A. Agnetis, P. B. Mirchandani, D. Pacciarelli, A. Pacifici, Scheduling Problems with Two Competing Agents, Operations Research 52(2) (2004) 229–242. https://doi.org/10.1287/opre.1030.0092
  • M. R. Garey, D. S. Johnson, Computers and Intractability: A Guide to the Theory of NP-Completeness, W. H. Freeman, 1979.
  • J. K. Lenstra, A. H. G. Rinnooy Kan, P. Brucker, Complexity of Machine Scheduling Problems, Annals of Discrete Mathematics 1 (1977) 343–362. https://doi.org/10.1016/S0167-5060(08)70743-X
  • S. Cook, The P versus NP Problem, Clay Mathematics Institute Millennium Problem description. https://www.claymath.org/wp-content/uploads/2022/06/pvsnp.pdf
  • J. M. Moore, An n Job, One Machine Sequencing Algorithm for Minimizing the Number of Late Jobs, Management Science 15(1) (1968) 102–109. https://doi.org/10.1287/mnsc.15.1.102
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Inefficiency of Nash Equilibria: For an Open Dense Set of C² Payoffs, Nash Equilibria Are Finite, an Efficient One Has a Player at a Vertex, and a Strong One Has at Most One Player off a VertexResearch Paper

Motivation

That noncooperative play usually wastes something is part of the folklore of game theory, with the Prisoner's Dilemma as its emblem: each player's best reply leads to an outcome that both would trade for another. Pradeep Dubey's paper turns this folklore into a theorem about smooth games. For games whose payoffs are twice continuously differentiable, and for all payoffs outside a negligible (closed, nowhere dense) set, Nash equilibria are finite in number and are Pareto-inefficient unless some player sits at a vertex of his strategy set. The same conclusion applies to Nash's mixed extensions of finite games (Nash 1951), where a vertex is a pure strategy.

The question is basic to welfare analysis of strategic interaction: market games, oligopoly, public goods and trading mechanisms (Shapley and Shubik 1977) all ask whether equilibrium outcomes can be efficient. Dubey's answer is that efficiency of an equilibrium is non-generic, so a model that delivers it is exploiting special structure.

Timeline. Nash (1951) introduced equilibrium points and multi-matrix games. Smale (1973, "Optimizing several functions") gave the first-order condition for Pareto optimality of several smooth functions: at an efficient interior point the gradients are linearly dependent. Harsanyi (1973, IJGT 2:235–250) proved that generic finite games have finitely many, indeed an odd number of, mixed equilibria. Dubey's Cowles Foundation Discussion Paper 508R (1978) stated finiteness and inefficiency; the version formalized here is the rewrite IIASA WP-83-74 (1983), published as Mathematics of Operations Research 11(1):1–8 (1986).

Setting

There are n≥2n\ge2n≥2 players N={1,…,n}N=\{1,\dots,n\}N={1,…,n}. Player iii's strategy set is the unit simplex

Si={x∈R+k(i):∑j=1k(i)xj≤1},k(i)≥1,S^i=\Big\{x\in\mathbb R^{k(i)}_+ : \sum_{j=1}^{k(i)}x_j\le1\Big\},\qquad k(i)\ge1,Si={x∈R+k(i)​:j=1∑k(i)​xj​≤1},k(i)≥1,

whose vertices (extreme points) are the origin and the unit vectors. Profiles s=(s1,…,sn)s=(s^1,\dots,s^n)s=(s1,…,sn) range over S=S1×⋯×Sn⊂Rr(n)S=S^1\times\dots\times S^n\subset\mathbb R^{r(n)}S=S1×⋯×Sn⊂Rr(n), r(n)=∑ik(i)r(n)=\sum_i k(i)r(n)=∑i​k(i).

Fix open neighbourhoods Vi⊇SiV^i\supseteq S^iVi⊇Si and V=V1×⋯×VnV=V^1\times\dots\times V^nV=V1×⋯×Vn. The space UUU consists of the C2C^2C2 functions f:V→Rf:V\to\mathbb Rf:V→R with finite C2C^2C2-norm ∥f∥=sup⁡{∥f(s)∥,∥Df(s)∥,∥D2f(s)∥:s∈V}\|f\|=\sup\{\|f(s)\|,\|Df(s)\|,\|D^2f(s)\|: s\in V\}∥f∥=sup{∥f(s)∥,∥Df(s)∥,∥D2f(s)∥:s∈V}. A game is u=(u1,…,un)∈(U)nu=(u^1,\dots,u^n)\in(U)^nu=(u1,…,un)∈(U)n. For T⊆NT\subseteq NT⊆N, (s∣e)(s|e)(s∣e) replaces sis^isi by eie^iei for i∈Ti\in Ti∈T. A profile s∈Ss\in Ss∈S is TTT-efficient if no e∈×i∈TSie\in\times_{i\in T}S^ie∈×i∈T​Si gives ui(s∣e)≥ui(s)u^i(s|e)\ge u^i(s)ui(s∣e)≥ui(s) for all i∈Ti\in Ti∈T with strict inequality for some j∈Tj\in Tj∈T. It is a Nash equilibrium if it is {i}\{i\}{i}-efficient for each iii, efficient if it is NNN-efficient, and a strong Nash equilibrium if it is TTT-efficient for every TTT. The three sets are N(u)N(u)N(u), E(u)E(u)E(u), G(u)G(u)G(u).

In the proof, Du(s)D_u(s)Du​(s) is the n×r(n)n\times r(n)n×r(n) matrix with rows Dui(s)Du^i(s)Dui(s); N∗N^*N∗ is the subspace of matrices whose iii-th row vanishes on player iii's block of columns; E∗E^*E∗ is the set of matrices with linearly dependent rows.

Formalization targets

Goal: the Theorem (p. 3)

There is an open dense set U0⊆(U)nU_0\subseteq(U)^nU0​⊆(U)n such that for u∈U0u\in U_0u∈U0​:

(a) N(u) is finite;(b) s∈N(u)∩E(u)⇒∃j, sj is a vertex;(c) s∈G(u)⇒at most one sj is not a vertex.\text{(a) } N(u)\text{ is finite};\quad \text{(b) } s\in N(u)\cap E(u)\Rightarrow \exists j,\ s^j\text{ is a vertex};\quad \text{(c) } s\in G(u)\Rightarrow \text{at most one } s^j \text{ is not a vertex}.(a) N(u) is finite;(b) s∈N(u)∩E(u)⇒∃j, sj is a vertex;(c) s∈G(u)⇒at most one sj is not a vertex.

Milestones (pp. 4–6)

For interior profiles (si∈Int⁡Sis^i\in\operatorname{Int}S^isi∈IntSi for all iii):

(i) s∈N(u)⇒Du(s)∈N∗,(ii) s∈E(u)⇒Du(s)∈E∗,\text{(i) } s\in N(u)\Rightarrow D_u(s)\in N^*,\qquad \text{(ii) } s\in E(u)\Rightarrow D_u(s)\in E^*,(i) s∈N(u)⇒Du​(s)∈N∗,(ii) s∈E(u)⇒Du​(s)∈E∗,

codim⁡N∗=r(n)\operatorname{codim}N^*=r(n)codimN∗=r(n); the linear perturbation uti(x)=u0i(x)+t∑jyijxju_t^i(x)=u_0^i(x)+t\sum_j y_{ij}x_juti​(x)=u0i​(x)+t∑j​yij​xj​ satisfies ddtD(ut,s0)∣t=0=y\frac{d}{dt}D(u_t,s_0)|_{t=0}=ydtd​D(ut​,s0​)∣t=0​=y (the computation behind (**)); claim (*) for M=N∗M=N^*M=N∗: for an open dense set of games DuD_uDu​ is transverse to N∗N^*N∗ on a compact neighbourhood V‾\underline VV​ of SSS; under that transversality S∩Du−1(N∗)S\cap D_u^{-1}(N^*)S∩Du−1​(N∗) is finite; and the Theorem restricted to interior profiles.

Companions

The Theorem (Multi-Matrix) (p. 14): for an open dense set of payoff vectors a∈(RK)na\in(\mathbb R^K)^na∈(RK)n, the mixed Nash equilibria of Πa\Pi_aΠa​ are finite, an efficient one has a player using a pure strategy, and a strong one is pure. From the example of §3: every game (P,Q)(P,Q)(P,Q) on [0,1]2[0,1]^2[0,1]2 with payoffs uP(x,y)=−[(x−a)2+(y−b)2]u_P(x,y)=-[(x-a)^2+(y-b)^2]uP​(x,y)=−[(x−a)2+(y−b)2] has a unique Nash equilibrium (p. 9); Lemma 1, E(P,Q)=rX(L(P,Q))E(P,Q)=r_X(L(P,Q))E(P,Q)=rX​(L(P,Q)) (p. 9); Lemma 2(a), an interior equilibrium is efficient iff a=ca=ca=c or b=db=db=d (p. 10).

Significance

The theorem gives the generic structure of equilibrium sets in smooth games: isolated and finitely many equilibria, and a sharp location of the only places where efficient equilibria can survive, namely the vertices. It explains why efficiency results for noncooperative models need boundary solutions or non-generic structure, and in its multi-matrix form it shows that strong equilibria of generic finite games are in pure strategies. It also supplies the finiteness of equilibria used in comparative-statics and index arguments.

On the formalization side, the result is proved on paper but has no machine-checked version. A complete development would give Lean its first generic-finiteness theorem for Nash equilibria of smooth games, a first-order Pareto condition in the form of Smale's lemma, and a parametric transversality argument in finite dimensions. The multi-matrix companion connects to the published vocabulary of finite games (agt_games), and the example of §3 is an elementary, fully explicit check of the general picture.

Difficulty

The interior case reduces, by (i) and (ii), to a dimension count: Du−1(N∗)D_u^{-1}(N^*)Du−1​(N∗) should be zero-dimensional and Du−1(N∗∩E∗)D_u^{-1}(N^*\cap E^*)Du−1​(N∗∩E∗) empty. Neither holds for every game: they hold only when DuD_uDu​ is transverse to N∗N^*N∗ and to the strata of N∗∩E∗N^*\cap E^*N∗∩E∗, and the step that requires work is showing that transversality is an open and dense condition in the C2C^2C2 topology. Density is not obtained by adding linear functions to the payoffs: a linear function has finite C2C^2C2-norm on VVV only when VVV is bounded, so perturbations must be localized. The step from interior profiles to the whole of SSS is a second difficulty. It requires repeating the argument on every product of faces of the simplices and on every subgame, and then intersecting finitely many open dense sets. Efficiency at a boundary point is not TTT-efficiency in a subgame, so the reduction has to be made with care.

Formalization scope

Players are Fin n with 2 ≤ n; block sizes k : Fin n → ℕ with 1 ≤ k i; profiles are ∀ i, Fin (k i) → ℝ. The simplex is the paper's corner simplex {x ≥ 0, ∑ x ≤ 1}, not the probability simplex; "vertex" is Set.extremePoints. The neighbourhoods ViV^iVi are taken open, and the goal is stated for every such choice, not assuming VVV bounded or convex. Payoffs are total functions; a game is ContDiffOn ℝ 2 on VVV with finite C2C^2C2-norm, which takes values in [0,∞][0,\infty][0,∞], so no junk real supremum enters. "Open dense in (U)n(U)^n(U)n" is written in ε\varepsilonε-form for the product of C2C^2C2-norm topologies; Lean's sup-type norms are equivalent to the Euclidean ones, so the open dense sets are the same. Deviations range over all strategies in ×i∈TSi\times_{i\in T}S^i×i∈T​Si, not only pure or vertex deviations.

Added hypotheses, all disclosed in the items: openness of ViV^iVi; interiority of every sis^isi on milestones (i), (ii) and the finiteness step (the proof's standing case assumption); M=N∗M=N^*M=N∗ in claim (*). The printed "By (i), N(u)⊂S∩Du−1(N∗)N(u)\subset S\cap D_u^{-1}(N^*)N(u)⊂S∩Du−1​(N∗)" is stated for interior equilibria, which is where (i) applies.

A trivializing formalization is ruled out: the open dense set must contain games arbitrarily close to every game (the zero game is a game, so it is never empty), interiority appears only in the milestones and not in the goal, and efficiency is with respect to all deviations in SSS.

Not stated: (*) for a general submanifold MMM, and the decomposition of N∗∩E∗N^*\cap E^*N∗∩E∗ into submanifolds of codimension ≥r(n)+1\ge r(n)+1≥r(n)+1, both of which need embedded submanifolds of RN\mathbb R^NRN; Remarks 1–4 (Remark 4's openness claim for strictly concave payoffs is false as printed); Lemma 2(b); §5, which the author leaves as a conjecture. Contributions welcome: a finite-dimensional parametric transversality theorem, Smale's first-order Pareto condition, and the face-by-face reduction.

Selected references

  • P. Dubey, Inefficiency of Nash Equilibria, IIASA Working Paper WP-83-74, 1983; Mathematics of Operations Research 11(1):1–8, 1986. https://doi.org/10.1287/moor.11.1.1
  • J. F. Nash, Non-Cooperative Games, Annals of Mathematics 54:286–295, 1951. https://doi.org/10.2307/1969529
  • J. C. Harsanyi, Oddness of the Number of Equilibrium Points: A New Proof, International Journal of Game Theory 2:235–250, 1973. https://doi.org/10.1007/BF01737572
  • S. Smale, Optimizing Several Functions, Manifolds — Tokyo 1973, Proceedings of the International Conference on Manifolds, University of Tokyo Press, 1975.
  • R. Abraham and J. Robbin, Transversal Mappings and Flows, W. A. Benjamin, New York, 1967.
  • L. S. Shapley and M. Shubik, Trade Using One Commodity as a Means of Payment, Journal of Political Economy 85:937–968, 1977. https://doi.org/10.1086/260617
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Control TheoryNumerical AnalysisOptimization·Captain: mikedeng1

A Real-Time Iteration Scheme for Nonlinear Optimization in Optimal Feedback Control: The Real-Time Iterates Contract and Approach the Exact Stationary Points GeometricallyResearch Paper

Motivation

Nonlinear model predictive control (NMPC) computes a feedback law by solving, at every sampling time, an optimal control problem that starts from the currently measured state. The control actually applied is the first control of that problem's solution. When the dynamics are fast relative to the time an optimizer needs, solving each problem to convergence is impossible, and the delay between measuring the state and applying the control degrades or destabilises the closed loop.

Diehl, Bock and Schlöder (SIAM J. Control Optim. 43(5), 2005) analysed the real-time iteration: a scheme that performs a single Newton-type iteration per sampling time and then moves on to the next problem. The scheme is the basis of widely used NMPC software (for example the ACADO toolkit and acados) and of much of the later theory on suboptimal and "anytime" MPC. The paper's Theorem 4.1 is the first contraction result for it; Theorem 5.1 bounds the price paid in closed-loop cost for not solving each problem to optimality.

Setting

A discrete-time system xk+1=fk(xk,uk)x_{k+1}=f_k(x_k,u_k)xk+1​=fk​(xk​,uk​), k=0,…,N−1k=0,\dots,N-1k=0,…,N−1, has states xk∈Rnxx_k\in\mathbb R^{n_x}xk​∈Rnx​ and controls uk∈Rnuu_k\in\mathbb R^{n_u}uk​∈Rnu​. For k≤Nk\le Nk≤N and a state xkx_kxk​, the shrinking-horizon problem Pk(xk)P_k(x_k)Pk​(xk​) is

min⁡ ∑i=kN−1Li(si,qi)+E(sN)s.t.xk−sk=0,fi(si,qi)−si+1=0  (i=k,…,N−1).\min\ \sum_{i=k}^{N-1}L_i(s_i,q_i)+E(s_N)\quad\text{s.t.}\quad x_k-s_k=0,\quad f_i(s_i,q_i)-s_{i+1}=0\ \ (i=k,\dots,N-1).min i=k∑N−1​Li​(si​,qi​)+E(sN​)s.t.xk​−sk​=0,fi​(si​,qi​)−si+1​=0  (i=k,…,N−1).

Its primal-dual vector is y=(λk,sk,qk,…,λN,sN)∈Rnky=(\lambda_k,s_k,q_k,\dots,\lambda_N,s_N)\in\mathbb R^{n_k}y=(λk​,sk​,qk​,…,λN​,sN​)∈Rnk​ and its Lagrangian is

Lk(y)=∑i=kN−1Li(si,qi)+E(sN)+λkT(xk−sk)+∑i=kN−1λi+1T(fi(si,qi)−si+1).\mathcal L^k(y)=\sum_{i=k}^{N-1}L_i(s_i,q_i)+E(s_N)+\lambda_k^T(x_k-s_k)+\sum_{i=k}^{N-1}\lambda_{i+1}^T\big(f_i(s_i,q_i)-s_{i+1}\big).Lk(y)=i=k∑N−1​Li​(si​,qi​)+E(sN​)+λkT​(xk​−sk​)+i=k∑N−1​λi+1T​(fi​(si​,qi​)−si+1​).

The projection Πk+1:Rnk→Rnk+1\Pi^{k+1}:\mathbb R^{n_k}\to\mathbb R^{n_{k+1}}Πk+1:Rnk​→Rnk+1​ drops the block (λk,sk,qk)(\lambda_k,s_k,q_k)(λk​,sk​,qk​).

A Newton-type method solves ∇yLk(y)=0\nabla_y\mathcal L^k(y)=0∇y​Lk(y)=0 by steps Δy=−Jk(y)−1∇yLk(y)\Delta y=-J^k(y)^{-1}\nabla_y\mathcal L^k(y)Δy=−Jk(y)−1∇y​Lk(y), where Jk(y)J^k(y)Jk(y) is the KKT matrix ∇y2Lk(y)\nabla^2_y\mathcal L^k(y)∇y2​Lk(y) with its Hessian blocks ∇(si,qi)2Lk\nabla^2_{(s_i,q_i)}\mathcal L^k∇(si​,qi​)2​Lk (and the terminal block) replaced by approximations, for instance those of the constrained Gauss–Newton method. The real-time iteration starts from a guess y0y^0y0 and, for k=0,1,…k=0,1,\dotsk=0,1,…, computes Δyk=−Jk(yk)−1∇yLk(yk)\Delta y^k=-J^k(y^k)^{-1}\nabla_y\mathcal L^k(y^k)Δyk=−Jk(yk)−1∇y​Lk(yk) for Pk(xk)P_k(x_k)Pk​(xk​), applies uk:=qkk+Δqkku_k:=q^k_k+\Delta q^k_kuk​:=qkk​+Δqkk​, lets the system evolve to xk+1=fk(xk,uk)x_{k+1}=f_k(x_k,u_k)xk+1​=fk​(xk​,uk​), and sets yk+1:=Πk+1(yk+Δyk)y^{k+1}:=\Pi^{k+1}(y^k+\Delta y^k)yk+1:=Πk+1(yk+Δyk).

The analysis uses a neighbourhood D0∋y0D_0\ni y^0D0​∋y0 and its projections Dk+1:=Πk+1DkD_{k+1}:=\Pi^{k+1}D_kDk+1​:=Πk+1Dk​, norms ∥⋅∥k\|\cdot\|_k∥⋅∥k​ on Rnk\mathbb R^{n_k}Rnk​ with ∥Πk+1y∥k+1≤∥y∥k\|\Pi^{k+1}y\|_{k+1}\le\|y\|_k∥Πk+1y∥k+1​≤∥y∥k​ and ∥(Πk+1)Ty~∥k=∥y~∥k+1\|(\Pi^{k+1})^T\tilde y\|_k=\|\tilde y\|_{k+1}∥(Πk+1)Ty~​∥k​=∥y~​∥k+1​, two constants κ\kappaκ (the Hessian approximation error) and ω\omegaω (a Lipschitz-type constant of JkJ^kJk), the rates δk:=κ+ω2∥Δyk∥k\delta_k:=\kappa+\frac\omega2\|\Delta y^k\|_kδk​:=κ+2ω​∥Δyk∥k​, and the ball B0:={y:∥y−y0∥0≤∥Δy0∥0/(1−δ0)}B_0:=\{y:\|y-y^0\|_0\le\|\Delta y^0\|_0/(1-\delta_0)\}B0​:={y:∥y−y0∥0​≤∥Δy0∥0​/(1−δ0​)}.

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem 4.1 (local contractivity)

Assume Lk\mathcal L^kLk is twice continuously differentiable on DkD_kDk​, JkJ^kJk is continuous with bounded inverse on DkD_kDk​, the conditions (4.1a)–(4.1c) hold with κ<1\kappa<1κ<1, δ0<1\delta_0<1δ0​<1 and B0⊆D0B_0\subseteq D_0B0​⊆D0​. Then for k=0,…,Nk=0,\dots,Nk=0,…,N

yk∈Πk⋯Π1B0⊆Dk,(4.2)y^k\in\Pi^k\cdots\Pi^1B_0\subseteq D_k,\tag{4.2}yk∈Πk⋯Π1B0​⊆Dk​,(4.2)

for k=0,…,N−1k=0,\dots,N-1k=0,…,N−1

∥Δyk+1∥k+1≤(κ+ω2∥Δyk∥k)∥Δyk∥k=δk∥Δyk∥k≤δ0∥Δyk∥k,(4.3)\|\Delta y^{k+1}\|_{k+1}\le\Big(\kappa+\frac\omega2\|\Delta y^k\|_k\Big)\|\Delta y^k\|_k=\delta_k\|\Delta y^k\|_k\le\delta_0\|\Delta y^k\|_k,\tag{4.3}∥Δyk+1∥k+1​≤(κ+2ω​∥Δyk∥k​)∥Δyk∥k​=δk​∥Δyk∥k​≤δ0​∥Δyk∥k​,(4.3)

and the Newton-type iterates of Pk(xk)P_k(x_k)Pk​(xk​) started at yky^kyk converge to a stationary point y∗ky^k_*y∗k​ with

∥yk−y∗k∥k≤∥Δyk∥k1−δk≤(δ0)k∥Δy0∥01−δ0.(4.4)\|y^k-y^k_*\|_k\le\frac{\|\Delta y^k\|_k}{1-\delta_k}\le\frac{(\delta_0)^k\|\Delta y^0\|_0}{1-\delta_0}.\tag{4.4}∥yk−y∗k​∥k​≤1−δk​∥Δyk∥k​​≤1−δ0​(δ0​)k∥Δy0∥0​​.(4.4)

No constant is chosen by the formalization: all of them are the paper's.

Milestones

The proof has three parts (contraction, well-definedness, distance to the stationary points). The milestones are its steps: the gradient transition identity between consecutive problems; the block identity Πk+1(∇2Lk−Jk)=(∇2Lk+1−Jk+1)Πk+1\Pi^{k+1}(\nabla^2\mathcal L^k-J^k)=(\nabla^2\mathcal L^{k+1}-J^{k+1})\Pi^{k+1}Πk+1(∇2Lk−Jk)=(∇2Lk+1−Jk+1)Πk+1; the one-step contraction; the recursion δk+1≤δk≤δ0\delta_{k+1}\le\delta_k\le\delta_0δk+1​≤δk​≤δ0​; the lifting of a nearby point of Rnk\mathbb R^{n_k}Rnk​ to B0B_0B0​; the contraction (4.7) of the Newton-type method on a fixed problem; and the convergence of those iterates to y∗ky^k_*y∗k​.

Companion: Theorem 5.1 (loss of optimality)

If moreover ∥∇y2L0∥≤C\|\nabla^2_y\mathcal L^0\|\le C∥∇y2​L0∥≤C on B0B_0B0​, then Freal≤Fopt+2C(δ01−δ0)2∥Δy0∥02F_{\rm real}\le F_{\rm opt}+2C\big(\frac{\delta_0}{1-\delta_0}\big)^2\|\Delta y^0\|_0^2Freal​≤Fopt​+2C(1−δ0​δ0​​)2∥Δy0∥02​, and for κ=0\kappa=0κ=0 the loss is C2(ω1−ω2∥Δy0∥0)2∥Δy0∥04\frac C2\big(\frac{\omega}{1-\frac\omega2\|\Delta y^0\|_0}\big)^2\|\Delta y^0\|_0^42C​(1−2ω​∥Δy0∥0​ω​)2∥Δy0∥04​. The intermediate estimate (5.4), ∥yreal−y∗0∥0≤2δ0∥Δy0∥0/(1−δ0)\|y_{\rm real}-y^0_*\|_0\le2\delta_0\|\Delta y^0\|_0/(1-\delta_0)∥yreal​−y∗0​∥0​≤2δ0​∥Δy0∥0​/(1−δ0​), is a separate item.

Significance

Theorem 4.1 says that a scheme which never solves any problem to convergence still produces iterates that contract at the rate of the underlying Newton-type method and approach the exact solutions of the problems along the closed loop, geometrically. It justifies the "one iteration per sample" design of real-time NMPC under explicit, checkable conditions on the Hessian approximation, and its constants κ,ω\kappa,\omegaκ,ω are those of the classical affine-invariant Newton-type convergence theory, so it extends to Gauss–Newton and other approximations. Theorem 5.1 turns the contraction into a closed-loop performance guarantee: the suboptimality is quadratic in the first step, quartic for exact Newton.

The results are proved in the paper; none is formalized. A formal proof would supply the details the paper leaves implicit (that the segments used by the integral mean value theorem stay in the domains, that the ball BkB_kBk​ around yky^kyk lies in DkD_kDk​), would give a reusable Lean model of discrete-time optimal control problems with their KKT structure and shrinking-horizon projections, and would make the classical local contraction argument for Newton-type methods available for general norms.

Difficulty

Each single estimate is a variant of the textbook local convergence proof for Newton-type methods. The difficulty is that the real-time iteration changes the problem at every step: the next step is computed for a different, smaller problem at a different initial state, so the textbook argument does not apply as is. The proof needs two structural facts that tie consecutive problems together, the gradient transition along the undisturbed closed loop and the block identity of the Hessian errors, together with the compatibility of the norms with the projections. A second obstacle is well-definedness: the iterates must be shown to stay in regions where the hypotheses hold, which requires tracking the projections of B0B_0B0​ through all shrinking spaces.

Formalization scope

Rnk\mathbb R^{n_k}Rnk​ is a Euclidean space whose coordinates are indexed by (multiplier, state or control block, stage, component) for the stages ≥k\ge k≥k; Πk+1\Pi^{k+1}Πk+1 is a restriction and its transpose the extension by zero. The gradient and Hessian are Mathlib's gradient and fderiv; the inverse is ContinuousLinearMap.inverse. The approximations of the stage Hessian blocks depend on (si,qi,λi+1)(s_i,q_i,\lambda_{i+1})(si​,qi​,λi+1​) (the paper's misprinted λk+1\lambda_{k+1}λk+1​ read as λi+1\lambda_{i+1}λi+1​), the terminal block may be approximated as in §2.2, and symmetry of the approximations is not required. The norms ∥⋅∥k\|\cdot\|_k∥⋅∥k​ are a structure carrying the norm axioms and the two compatibility conditions. The real-time iterates follow the undisturbed closed loop. The hypotheses (4.1a)–(4.1c) are imposed at the points of DkD_kDk​ where the paper's functions are defined, that is, for ttt with y+tΔy∈Dky+t\Delta y\in D_ky+tΔy∈Dk​; no convexity of D0D_0D0​ is assumed. Theorem 5.1 is stated with Euclidean norms on every Rnk\mathbb R^{n_k}Rnk​, because its last step bounds zTMzz^TMzzTMz by ∥M∥∥z∥2\|M\|\|z\|^2∥M∥∥z∥2; FoptF_{\rm opt}Fopt​ is the objective at the primal part of y∗0y^0_*y∗0​, not an infimum.

Mathlib's inverse is 000 at a non-invertible operator and its derivative is 000 at non-differentiable points; either junk value would make every step vanish and every bound trivial. The statements therefore require invertibility and twice continuous differentiability at the points of DkD_kDk​, keep the membership (4.2) as a conclusion, and pin y∗ky^k_*y∗k​ as the limit of the Newton-type scheme started at yky^kyk, so it cannot be chosen after the fact. Degenerate norms are excluded by the norm axioms.

Some milestones add a hypothesis that Theorem 4.1 supplies internally: a segment [y,y+Δy]⊆Dk[y,y+\Delta y]\subseteq D_k[y,y+Δy]⊆Dk​, the ball around the starting point contained in DkD_kDk​, or ω≥0\omega\ge0ω≥0 for the abstract δ-recursion. Contributions welcome: proofs of the milestones, a sorry-free instance of the hypotheses for a linear-quadratic problem, and general lemmas on the integral mean value theorem for gradients in arbitrary norms.

Selected references

  • M. Diehl, H. G. Bock, J. P. Schlöder, A real-time iteration scheme for nonlinear optimization in optimal feedback control, SIAM J. Control Optim. 43(5):1714–1736, 2005. https://doi.org/10.1137/S0363012902400713
  • P. Deuflhard, Newton Methods for Nonlinear Problems: Affine Invariance and Adaptive Algorithms, Springer Series in Computational Mathematics 35, 2004 (softcover reprint 2011). https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-642-23899-4
  • B. Houska, H. J. Ferreau, M. Diehl, ACADO toolkit — An open-source framework for automatic control and dynamic optimization, Optimal Control Applications and Methods 32(3):298–312, 2011. https://doi.org/10.1002/oca.939
10 thms3 active usersReviewed
Number Theory·Captain: Yuxuan Xu

Irrationality of ζ(9)Open Problem

Motivation and history

The Riemann zeta function at a real number s>1s>1s>1 is the convergent series ζ(s)=∑k=1∞k−s\zeta(s)=\sum_{k=1}^{\infty}k^{-s}ζ(s)=∑k=1∞​k−s. Number theorists studying its special values distinguish between proving that a family contains irrational numbers and determining the arithmetic nature of one specified member. This mission asks for a proof that ζ(9)\zeta(9)ζ(9) is irrational. The target remains unproved in this development; the supporting results below do not close it.

Two landmarks explain the distinction:

  • 2000: Rivoal proved that infinitely many odd zeta values are irrational, through a dimension bound for their rational span. Rivoal's paper.
  • 2002; published 2004: Zudilin proved that at least one of ζ(5),ζ(7),ζ(9),ζ(11)\zeta(5),\zeta(7),\zeta(9),\zeta(11)ζ(5),ζ(7),ζ(9),ζ(11) is irrational. This disjunction does not identify ζ(9)\zeta(9)ζ(9). Zudilin's paper.
  • 2026, this development: explicit coefficient maps, weighted lattices, arithmetic estimates, and alternative constructions were assembled in research notes and source supplements. Separately, a saved 4 October audit recorded 51 supporting proofs as Accepted and public Proved. This is a dated supporting checkpoint, not an irrationality proof.

Setting

An integer linear form in the target value is b+aζ(9)b+a\zeta(9)b+aζ(9), where a,b∈Za,b\in\mathbb Za,b∈Z. It is useful for irrationality only when its actual value is nonzero and tends to zero along an infinite sequence. A pair is primitive when gcd⁡(∣a∣,∣b∣)=1\gcd(|a|,|b|)=1gcd(∣a∣,∣b∣)=1; its direction identifies (b,a)(b,a)(b,a) with (−b,−a)(-b,-a)(−b,−a).

The principal construction uses even integers n≥2n\ge2n≥2 and the rational function

Rn(t)=(n!)7∏i=1n(t−i)(t+n+i)∏j=0n(t+j)9.R_n(t)=(n!)^7 \frac{\prod_{i=1}^{n}(t-i)(t+n+i)} {\prod_{j=0}^{n}(t+j)^9}.Rn​(t)=(n!)7∏j=0n​(t+j)9∏i=1n​(t−i)(t+n+i)​.

For a polynomial W(X)=∑r=04wrXrW(X)=\sum_{r=0}^{4}w_rX^rW(X)=∑r=04​wr​Xr with rational coefficients, set un(t)=t(t+n)u_n(t)=t(t+n)un​(t)=t(t+n) and Ln(W)=∑k=1∞Rn(k)W(un(k))L_n(W)=\sum_{k=1}^{\infty}R_n(k)W(u_n(k))Ln​(W)=∑k=1∞​Rn​(k)W(un​(k)). Its actual partial fractions and harmonic sums determine rational coefficients in the exact identity

Ln(W)=Bn(W)+ρ3,n(W)ζ(3)+ρ5,n(W)ζ(5)+ρ7,n(W)ζ(7)+ρ9,n(W)ζ(9).L_n(W)=B_n(W)+\rho_{3,n}(W)\zeta(3)+\rho_{5,n}(W)\zeta(5) +\rho_{7,n}(W)\zeta(7)+\rho_{9,n}(W)\zeta(9).Ln​(W)=Bn​(W)+ρ3,n​(W)ζ(3)+ρ5,n​(W)ζ(5)+ρ7,n​(W)ζ(7)+ρ9,n​(W)ζ(9).

The coefficient map sends WWW to this ordered row of five rational coefficients. The matrix FnF_nFn​ has row rrr equal to the coefficient row of XrX^rXr, for 0≤r≤40\le r\le40≤r≤4. These are coefficients constructed from the actual rational function; their definition does not assume independence of odd zeta values. The map is bijective over Q\mathbb QQ for every even n≥2n\ge2n≥2 in the completed supporting theorem The actual five-dimensional rational coefficient map is bijective. This later theorem is separate from the dated source packages.

The integer-output lattice consists of the rational polynomial-coordinate rows

Ln={(b,0,0,0,a)Fn−1:a,b∈Z}.\mathcal L_n=\{(b,0,0,0,a)F_n^{-1}:a,b\in\mathbb Z\}.Ln​={(b,0,0,0,a)Fn−1​:a,b∈Z}.

Its weighted norm is the Euclidean norm after multiplying coordinates by (1,n2,n4,n6,n8)(1,n^2,n^4,n^6,n^8)(1,n2,n4,n6,n8). A shortest nonzero row has a primitive integer output; a fixed convention resolves ties. An integer output can have a rational polynomial preimage. Integer polynomial coefficients and their denominator cost require additional arithmetic statements.

Formalization targets

The stable goal is

ζ(9)∉Q.\boxed{\zeta(9)\notin\mathbb Q.}ζ(9)∈/Q.​

The goal imposes no chosen decay constant or prescribed construction. The coefficient-map route supplies supporting targets; a complete independent construction of nonzero integer linear forms tending to zero would also settle the goal.

The joint-margin condition J in the research notes asks for a fixed positive exponent margin on infinitely many even indices in the actual weighted-lattice and arithmetic diagnostics. It remains mathematically open. Under the written volume and transport results, it is an equivalent exit to the target and to failure of eventual fixation of the shortest primitive output direction. The stronger shape condition S is sufficient with the written volume estimate; it is not an additional necessary hurdle. Precise conditions and dependencies.

Significance

A complete proof would determine the arithmetic nature of one specified odd zeta value. The formal development also produces reusable links between rational-function coefficients, absolutely convergent series, polynomial inverse images, and primitive integer outputs.

Completed machine-checked supporting stages include harmonic-denominator clearing and stability, finite-prime arithmetic, the actual short-zero coefficient's signed lower bound and nonvanishing, and unconditional harmonic denominator rates using an actual prime-number-theorem dependency. The coefficient route has complete proofs of highest-pole identities, all nine local orders, full local-array injectivity, global partial fractions, reflection and cancellation, finite harmonic identities, absolute summability, and the exact infinite linear form. Its genuine aggregate map is bijective over rational quartics for even n≥2n\ge2n≥2, with a unique rational preimage of every rational target. The actual fifteen-coordinate connection system also has unique polynomial solutions for every n≥1n\ge1n≥1. The supporting results The actual inverse multiplier has its prescribed sum and absolute convergence and The five original connection systems have unique bounded rational solutions state these later conclusions with their exact domains.

The 7 October 2026 authenticated readback reconfirmed the 51 complete accepted supporting proofs and their public Proved statements. The irrationality goal remained Open. The three separately published explicit-matrix statements were also Open; local Matrix proofs and completed kernel-and-inverse results do not imply platform acceptance of those separate statements. These are statuses of existing supporting results, not a completion count for this new mission.

Public supplements provide independently rebuilt sources for nine complete proofs and for the later coefficient-sign and unconditional denominator-rate developments. Each package records its precise scope and standard foundational axioms. They do not contain a proof of the root goal. Nine-proof supplement, advanced source supplement, independent source-package review.

Difficulty

Small real values alone do not settle irrationality: an integer form may be exactly zero. Under a rationality assumption, the shortest primitive output can eventually follow the unique integer zero relation. The existing volume and approximation estimates do not exclude that behavior. Finite changes of direction, large matrix determinants, or a few certified small nonzero forms do not establish the required infinite assertion. Direction frontier and boundaries.

Alternative routes retain different gaps. Growing-dimensional positive Gram constructions have positive exponentially decreasing real errors but lack control of the full reduced denominators. A differentiated rational-sum construction isolates ζ(9)\zeta(9)ζ(9) but has polynomial endpoint leakage; its eightfold-zero repair removes that leakage and still needs eventual nonvanishing, the actual analytic rate, and primitive-content estimates. These are alternatives, not conditions that must all be solved. Alternative constructions and exact boundaries.

Formalization scope

The Lean goal applies Irrational to the real part of Mathlib's complex riemannZeta at 999. The coefficient construction fixes rational quartics, the output order (B,ρ3,ρ5,ρ7,ρ9)(B,\rho_3,\rho_5,\rho_7,\rho_9)(B,ρ3​,ρ5​,ρ7​,ρ9​), and even n≥2n\ge2n≥2 for the inverse and infinite identity. Connection results retain their own n≥1n\ge1n≥1 domain and regular-point hypotheses. Saturated integer kernels, positive common denominators, Smith factors, primitive normalization, weighted norms, and shortest nonzero vectors must use the actual objects in the notes. An arbitrary replacement map, zero witness, or hypothesis already asserting the required transport or infinite margin cannot discharge these targets.

Four principal formalization work packages remain:

  1. Parameter transport: complete the genuine five-output and infinite-sum transport. Proved polynomial connection systems and rational-function differences do not alone constitute this result; the proposed full output assembly is not yet a verified theorem.
  2. Integer normalization, heights, and content: prove the actual integral structures and denominator bounds. Rational bijectivity of FnF_nFn​ does not supply those arithmetic bounds.
  3. Uniform analytic estimates A: formalize the written moment asymptotics, infinite-tail bounds, and error estimates uniform in varying quartic coefficients. Elementary phase lemmas alone do not establish this package.
  4. Arithmetic volume estimates V: formalize the written prime budgets, Smith data, saturated-kernel geometry, and resulting volume asymptotics. The written volume proof does not establish J.

These four packages distinguish remaining Lean work from the separate missing mathematical input for J. Rational matrices, integer modules, formal power series, summability, asymptotic analysis, and geometry of numbers are reusable infrastructure. Faithful formalizations, independent audits, and new mathematical approaches are welcome. Written research record.

Selected references

  • T. Rivoal, La fonction zêta de Riemann prend une infinité de valeurs irrationnelles aux entiers impairs, C. R. Acad. Sci. Paris Sér. I Math. 331 (2000), 267–270. arXiv:math/0008051.
  • W. Zudilin, Arithmetic of linear forms involving odd zeta values, Journal de Théorie des Nombres de Bordeaux 16 (2004), 251–291; preprint 2002. arXiv:math/0206176.
  • Zeta(9) research notes, source, and verification records, research archive, 2 October 2026, with separately dated formal proof supplements. Public release.
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Machine LearningProbabilityStatistics·Captain: mikedeng1

Distribution-Free, Risk-Controlling Prediction Sets II: The Waudby-Smith–Ramdas Betting Bound Is a (1 − δ) Upper Confidence Bound for the Mean Loss (Proposition 5)Research Paper

Motivation

A risk-controlling prediction set is a set-valued predictor T\mathcal TT that, with probability at least 1−δ1-\delta1−δ over a calibration sample, has expected loss at most a target level α\alphaα. Bates, Angelopoulos, Lei, Malik and Jordan (arXiv:2101.02703, J. ACM 2021) build such sets for any black-box predictor and any bounded loss by a procedure called upper confidence bound (UCB) calibration: for each value of a tuning parameter λ\lambdaλ, compute from the calibration data an upper confidence bound R^+(λ)\widehat R^+(\lambda)R+(λ) for the risk R(λ)R(\lambda)R(λ), and pick the smallest λ\lambdaλ beyond which all these bounds sit below α\alphaα. The guarantee of the procedure (their Theorem 1) holds for any choice of the pointwise bound, so the size of the resulting sets is governed by how tight that bound is.

The paper compares several such bounds: Hoeffding, Bentkus, the empirical Bernstein bound of Maurer and Pontil, and a bound adapted from the hedged capital confidence interval of Waudby-Smith and Ramdas (arXiv:2010.09686). The last one, the Waudby-Smith–Ramdas (WSR) bound, adapts to the unknown variance of the loss and is the one the authors recommend for non-binary losses; their experiments use it throughout. Proposition 5 of the paper states that the WSR bound is a valid (1−δ)(1-\delta)(1−δ) upper confidence bound for the mean of a [0,1][0,1][0,1]-valued loss. This mission formalizes that proposition.

Timeline: Ville (1939) proved the maximal inequality for nonnegative supermartingales that underlies all betting-based confidence bounds. Waudby-Smith and Ramdas (2020) introduced the hedged capital process and its confidence sequences for bounded means. Bates et al. (2021) extracted the one-sided, fixed-sample variant stated as Proposition 5, with the explicit betting fractions νi\nu_iνi​ below.

Setting

Fix the tuning parameter λ\lambdaλ; it is dropped from the notation. The calibration losses L1,…,LnL_1, \dots, L_nL1​,…,Ln​ are independent and identically distributed with law QQQ on [0,1][0,1][0,1] (the loss is nonnegative and, by the standing assumption of §3.1 of the paper, bounded by one), and their mean is the risk

R=∫x dQ(x).R = \int x \, dQ(x).R=∫xdQ(x).

Fix a level δ∈(0,1)\delta \in (0,1)δ∈(0,1). For i≥0i \ge 0i≥0 define the running mean and variance

μ^i=1/2+∑j=1iLj1+i,σ^i2=1/4+∑j=1i(Lj−μ^j)21+i,\hat\mu_i = \frac{1/2 + \sum_{j=1}^{i} L_j}{1+i}, \qquad \hat\sigma^2_i = \frac{1/4 + \sum_{j=1}^{i} (L_j - \hat\mu_j)^2}{1+i},μ^​i​=1+i1/2+∑j=1i​Lj​​,σ^i2​=1+i1/4+∑j=1i​(Lj​−μ^​j​)2​,

so σ^02=1/4\hat\sigma^2_0 = 1/4σ^02​=1/4, and for i≥1i \ge 1i≥1 the betting fraction

νi=min⁡{1,2log⁡(1/δ)n σ^i−12},\nu_i = \min\left\{1, \sqrt{\frac{2\log(1/\delta)}{n\,\hat\sigma^2_{i-1}}}\right\},νi​=min{1,nσ^i−12​2log(1/δ)​​},

which depends only on L1,…,Li−1L_1, \dots, L_{i-1}L1​,…,Li−1​. For a candidate mean R′∈RR' \in \mathbb RR′∈R, the capital process is

Ki(R′)=∏j=1i{1−νj(Lj−R′)},K0(R′)=1,\mathcal K_i(R') = \prod_{j=1}^{i} \bigl\{1 - \nu_j (L_j - R')\bigr\}, \qquad \mathcal K_0(R') = 1,Ki​(R′)=j=1∏i​{1−νj​(Lj​−R′)},K0​(R′)=1,

the wealth of a gambler who, starting with one unit, bets the fraction νj\nu_jνj​ of their wealth against the hypothesis that the mean is R′R'R′. The WSR bound is

R^WSR+=inf⁡{R′≥0:max⁡i=1,…,nKi(R′)>1δ},\widehat R^+_{\mathrm{WSR}} = \inf\Bigl\{R' \ge 0 : \max_{i=1,\dots,n} \mathcal K_i(R') > \frac1\delta\Bigr\},RWSR+​=inf{R′≥0:i=1,…,nmax​Ki​(R′)>δ1​},

the smallest candidate mean the gambler has discredited by multiplying their wealth by more than 1/δ1/\delta1/δ. In Lean these are obs, muHat, sigmaSqHat, nu, K and wsrUCB in the namespace RiskControl.WSR, and Fi=σ(L1,…,Li)\mathcal F_i = \sigma(L_1,\dots,L_i)Fi​=σ(L1​,…,Li​) is filt n.

Formalization targets

Goal: Proposition 5 (p. 7)

For n≥1n \ge 1n≥1 and δ∈(0,1)\delta \in (0,1)δ∈(0,1),

P(R^WSR+<R)≤δ,that isP(R≤R^WSR+)≥1−δ,\mathbb P\bigl(\widehat R^+_{\mathrm{WSR}} < R\bigr) \le \delta, \qquad\text{that is}\qquad \mathbb P\bigl(R \le \widehat R^+_{\mathrm{WSR}}\bigr) \ge 1-\delta,P(RWSR+​<R)≤δ,that isP(R≤RWSR+​)≥1−δ,

the probability being the product law Q⊗nQ^{\otimes n}Q⊗n of the sample.

Milestones (proof of Proposition 5, p. 26)

  1. Nonnegative factors. νi∈[0,1]\nu_i \in [0,1]νi​∈[0,1], and for losses in [0,1][0,1][0,1] and R∈[0,1]R \in [0,1]R∈[0,1], 1−νj(Lj−R)≥01 - \nu_j(L_j - R) \ge 01−νj​(Lj​−R)≥0.
  2. Martingale. At the true mean, i↦Kmin⁡(i,n)(R)i \mapsto \mathcal K_{\min(i,n)}(R)i↦Kmin(i,n)​(R) is a martingale for (Fi)(\mathcal F_i)(Fi​):
E[Ki(R)∣Fi−1]=Ki−1(R).\mathbb E\bigl[\mathcal K_i(R) \mid \mathcal F_{i-1}\bigr] = \mathcal K_{i-1}(R).E[Ki​(R)∣Fi−1​]=Ki−1​(R).
  1. Ville's inequality (referenced, already proved on the platform): a nonnegative supermartingale started at most 111 exceeds 1/δ1/\delta1/δ with probability at most δ\deltaδ.
  2. Monotonicity. For losses in [0,1][0,1][0,1], R′↦Ki(R′)R' \mapsto \mathcal K_i(R')R′↦Ki​(R′) is nondecreasing on [0,∞)[0,\infty)[0,∞).
  3. Inclusion. For losses in [0,1][0,1][0,1] and R≥0R \ge 0R≥0, R^WSR+<R\widehat R^+_{\mathrm{WSR}} < RRWSR+​<R implies max⁡i≤nKi(R)≥1/δ\max_{i \le n} \mathcal K_i(R) \ge 1/\deltamaxi≤n​Ki​(R)≥1/δ.

Significance

The result is the validity half of the WSR bound: with it, UCB calibration (Theorem 1 of the paper) applied to R^WSR+\widehat R^+_{\mathrm{WSR}}RWSR+​ gives the paper's Theorem 4, a risk-controlling prediction set built from the variance-adaptive bound that the experiments of the paper use for classification, segmentation and protein-structure tasks. It is also a self-contained instance of the betting approach to confidence bounds for bounded means, which now underlies a family of nonasymptotic, variance-adaptive procedures in statistics and machine learning.

The proposition is proved in the paper (p. 26), following the proof of Theorem 4 of Waudby-Smith and Ramdas. To our knowledge neither it nor the hedged capital construction has a machine-checked proof. The mission produces one: a Lean statement of the WSR bound with its exact constants, and a proof that reuses the platform's Ville inequality. The capital process and its martingale property are the reusable part; the same construction with other predictable betting fractions gives other confidence bounds.

Difficulty

The bound is not obtained by inverting a tail inequality for the empirical mean, so Hoeffding- or Bernstein-type arguments do not apply. The probabilistic core is the martingale step: one must show that νi\nu_iνi​ is a measurable function of L1,…,Li−1L_1,\dots,L_{i-1}L1​,…,Li−1​ only (it involves σ^i−12\hat\sigma^2_{i-1}σ^i−12​, which involves every μ^j\hat\mu_jμ^​j​ for j<ij < ij<i), and compute a conditional expectation on the product space Rn\mathbb R^nRn using independence of the coordinates. Ville's inequality then holds only at the true mean RRR, a single unknown point, while R^WSR+\widehat R^+_{\mathrm{WSR}}RWSR+​ is an infimum over all candidate means; the passage between them needs the monotonicity of Ki\mathcal K_iKi​ in its argument, which fails without the bound Lj≤1L_j \le 1Lj​≤1 (a factor can turn negative). A union bound over candidate means, the first idea, gives nothing here.

Formalization scope

The sample is ω:Fin n→R\omega : \mathrm{Fin}\,n \to \mathbb Rω:Finn→R under Measure.pi (fun _ => Q), with Lj=ω(j−1)L_j = \omega(j-1)Lj​=ω(j−1) for 1≤j≤n1 \le j \le n1≤j≤n (1-based indices as on the page). QQQ is the law of the loss L(Y,Tλ(X))L(Y, \mathcal T_\lambda(X))L(Y,Tλ​(X)) for the fixed λ\lambdaλ, assumed concentrated on [0,1][0,1][0,1]: this is the §3.1 standing assumption together with L≥0L \ge 0L≥0. The goal adds two hypotheses implicit on the page: n≥1n \ge 1n≥1 and 0<δ<10 < \delta < 10<δ<1 (so that log⁡(1/δ)>0\log(1/\delta) > 0log(1/δ)>0). The empty sum gives σ^02=1/4\hat\sigma^2_0 = 1/4σ^02​=1/4; "max⁡i=1,…,nKi>1/δ\max_{i=1,\dots,n} \mathcal K_i > 1/\deltamaxi=1,…,n​Ki​>1/δ" is written as an existential over i∈{1,…,n}i \in \{1,\dots,n\}i∈{1,…,n}; the infimum is an extended-real infimum, equal to +∞+\infty+∞ when no candidate qualifies. The failure probability is bounded through the outer measure of {R^WSR+<R}\{\widehat R^+_{\mathrm{WSR}} < R\}{RWSR+​<R}, which equals the page's statement for a measurable event. The martingale is extended constantly past time nnn so that it is indexed by N\mathbb NN.

Two printed slips are corrected: the proof's "then P(max⁡iKi≥1/δ)P(\max_i \mathcal K_i \ge 1/\delta)P(maxi​Ki​≥1/δ)" (a stray PPP) is stated as the event, and "increasing in RRR" is stated as nondecreasing on R≥0R \ge 0R≥0.

The infimum must not be a real infimum: a real sInf of an empty set is 000, which would make R^WSR+<R\widehat R^+_{\mathrm{WSR}} < RRWSR+​<R true for every positive mean and the goal false; with the extended-real infimum the empty case gives +∞+\infty+∞, and the goal is the paper's proposition, not a vacuous one.

Contributions welcome: the measurability of νi\nu_iνi​ with respect to Fi−1\mathcal F_{i-1}Fi−1​, conditional expectations of products of independent coordinates under Measure.pi, and a finite-horizon form of Ville's inequality (Mathlib's Doob maximal inequality MeasureTheory.maximal_ineq is an alternative route).

Selected references

  • S. Bates, A. Angelopoulos, L. Lei, J. Malik, M. I. Jordan, Distribution-Free, Risk-Controlling Prediction Sets, J. ACM 68(6), 2021. arXiv:2101.02703v3
  • I. Waudby-Smith, A. Ramdas, Estimating means of bounded random variables by betting, J. R. Stat. Soc. B, 2024. arXiv:2010.09686
  • J. Ville, Étude critique de la notion de collectif, Gauthier-Villars, 1939.
  • A. Maurer, M. Pontil, Empirical Bernstein Bounds and Sample Variance Penalization, COLT 2009. arXiv:0907.3740
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Differential GeometryMathematical Physics·Captain: Lucas

No-Hair Conjecture: Uniqueness of Stationary Kerr–Newman Black HolesOpen Problem

Motivation

General relativity predicts that a black hole, once it has settled down after collapse, retains almost no memory of the matter that formed it. The no-hair theorem, also called the black hole uniqueness theorem, states that all stationary black-hole solutions of the Einstein–Maxwell equations are completely characterized by three externally observable parameters: mass, angular momentum and electric charge; all other information ("hair") disappears behind the event horizon. The phrase "black holes have no hair" was popularized by John Archibald Wheeler. Its observational content is tested in gravitational-wave ringdown signals and in black-hole imaging.

Despite its name, there is no rigorous proof of the general statement: mathematicians refer to it as the no-hair conjecture.

Timeline.

  • 1967 — W. Israel proves uniqueness of the Schwarzschild metric among static vacuum black holes (Phys. Rev. 164, 1776).
  • 1968 — Israel extends this to static electrovacuum black holes, obtaining Reissner–Nordström (Commun. Math. Phys. 8, 245).
  • 1971 — B. Carter shows that an axisymmetric vacuum black hole has only two degrees of freedom (Phys. Rev. Lett. 26, 331); D. C. Robinson later completes uniqueness of Kerr.
  • 1970s — S. Hawking's rigidity theorem, combined with Carter and Robinson, yields uniqueness of Kerr in vacuum under the additional hypotheses of non-degenerate horizons and real analyticity of spacetime.
  • 2007 — extension to positive cosmological constant (Bhattacharya–Lahiri, arXiv:gr-qc/0702006).

Counterexamples are known in dimensions above four, for non-abelian Yang–Mills fields and for some non-minimally coupled scalar fields; this mission concerns only the four-dimensional Einstein–Maxwell theory with zero cosmological constant.

Setting

A spacetime is a smooth 4-manifold MMM with a Lorentzian metric ggg of signature (−,+,+,+)(-,+,+,+)(−,+,+,+), an electromagnetic field FFF (a 2-form) and a time orientation TTT. The pair (g,F)(g,F)(g,F) is electrovacuum if, in geometrized Gaussian units,

Gμν=2(FμαFνα−14gμνFαβFαβ),∇μFμν=0,dF=0.G_{\mu\nu}=2\Big(F_{\mu\alpha}F_\nu{}^\alpha-\tfrac14g_{\mu\nu}F_{\alpha\beta}F^{\alpha\beta}\Big),\qquad\nabla_\mu F^{\mu\nu}=0,\qquad dF=0 .Gμν​=2(Fμα​Fν​α−41​gμν​Fαβ​Fαβ),∇μ​Fμν=0,dF=0.

The spacetime is stationary if a one-parameter group φt\varphi_tφt​ of isometries preserves FFF, and it has a stationary asymptotically flat end MextM_{\rm ext}Mext​ if coordinates (t,x⃗)(t,\vec x)(t,x), ∣x⃗∣>R|\vec x|>R∣x∣>R, cover an open set on which φt\varphi_tφt​ is the time translation and gμν−ημν=O(1/∣x⃗∣)g_{\mu\nu}-\eta_{\mu\nu}=O(1/|\vec x|)gμν​−ημν​=O(1/∣x∣), ∂g=O(1/∣x⃗∣2)\partial g=O(1/|\vec x|^2)∂g=O(1/∣x∣2), F=O(1/∣x⃗∣2)F=O(1/|\vec x|^2)F=O(1/∣x∣2).

With I±I^\pmI± the chronological future and past, the domain of outer communications is ⟨⟨Mext⟩⟩=I+(Mext)∩I−(Mext)\langle\langle M_{\rm ext}\rangle\rangle=I^+(M_{\rm ext})\cap I^-(M_{\rm ext})⟨⟨Mext​⟩⟩=I+(Mext​)∩I−(Mext​), the black-hole region is M∖I−(Mext)M\setminus I^-(M_{\rm ext})M∖I−(Mext​) and the future event horizon is ∂I−(Mext)\partial I^-(M_{\rm ext})∂I−(Mext​).

The Kerr–Newman family, in Kerr–Schild coordinates, is gKN=η+f k⊗kg^{KN}=\eta+f\,k\otimes kgKN=η+fk⊗k with

f=r2(2mr−e2)r4+a2z2,k=(1,rx+ayr2+a2,ry−axr2+a2,zr),x2+y2r2+a2+z2r2=1,f=\frac{r^2(2mr-e^2)}{r^4+a^2z^2},\qquad k=\Big(1,\frac{rx+ay}{r^2+a^2},\frac{ry-ax}{r^2+a^2},\frac zr\Big),\qquad \frac{x^2+y^2}{r^2+a^2}+\frac{z^2}{r^2}=1,f=r4+a2z2r2(2mr−e2)​,k=(1,r2+a2rx+ay​,r2+a2ry−ax​,rz​),r2+a2x2+y2​+r2z2​=1,

with potential A=er3r4+a2z2kA=\frac{er^3}{r^4+a^2z^2}kA=r4+a2z2er3​k. For m>0m>0m>0, a2+e2≤m2a^2+e^2\le m^2a2+e2≤m2 its domain of outer communications is {r>r+}\{r>r_+\}{r>r+​}, r+=m+m2−a2−e2r_+=m+\sqrt{m^2-a^2-e^2}r+​=m+m2−a2−e2​.

Formalization targets

Goal: the no-hair conjecture

Under the standing hypotheses (smooth electrovacuum, stationary, asymptotically flat end, globally hyperbolic ⟨⟨Mext⟩⟩\langle\langle M_{\rm ext}\rangle\rangle⟨⟨Mext​⟩⟩, nonempty black-hole region, connected event horizon), there are m>0m>0m>0, aaa, eee with a2+e2≤m2a^2+e^2\le m^2a2+e2≤m2, an angle β\betaβ and a diffeomorphism Ψ\PsiΨ with

Ψ:{r>r+}→≅⟨⟨Mext⟩⟩,Ψ∗g=gm,a,eKN,Ψ∗F=cos⁡β FKN+sin⁡β ⋆FKN.\Psi:\{r>r_+\}\xrightarrow{\cong}\langle\langle M_{\rm ext}\rangle\rangle,\qquad\Psi^*g=g^{KN}_{m,a,e},\qquad\Psi^*F=\cos\beta\,F^{KN}+\sin\beta\,\star F^{KN}.Ψ:{r>r+​}≅​⟨⟨Mext​⟩⟩,Ψ∗g=gm,a,eKN​,Ψ∗F=cosβFKN+sinβ⋆FKN.

Milestones

  1. The Kerr–Newman metric solves the Einstein–Maxwell equations where r>0r>0r>0.
  2. Kerr–Newman black holes satisfy the standing hypotheses (the goal is not vacuous).
  3. Israel 1967: static vacuum ⇒\Rightarrow⇒ Schwarzschild (a=e=0a=e=0a=e=0).
  4. Israel 1968: static electrovacuum ⇒\Rightarrow⇒ Reissner–Nordström (a=0a=0a=0).
  5. Carter 1971 / Robinson: axisymmetric vacuum ⇒\Rightarrow⇒ Kerr (e=0e=0e=0).
  6. Hawking–Carter–Robinson: analytic vacuum with non-degenerate horizon ⇒\Rightarrow⇒ Kerr.
  7. Frame normalization: a Lorentz boost takes a timelike 4-momentum to rest, ΛP=(−P2,0,0,0)\Lambda P=(\sqrt{-P^2},0,0,0)ΛP=(−P2​,0,0,0).
  8. Frame normalization: a rotation aligns the spin, RJ=(0,0,∣J∣)RJ=(0,0,|J|)RJ=(0,0,∣J∣).

Significance

A proof of the goal would establish that the Kerr–Newman metrics exhaust the stationary, asymptotically flat electrovacuum black holes with connected horizon, which is the mathematical basis for treating astrophysical black holes as described by three numbers. It would also remove the analyticity and non-degeneracy hypotheses from the known vacuum results.

No machine-checked proof of any statement in this mission is known. Milestones 1, 7 and 8 are classical computations; milestones 3–6 are published theorems whose proofs rely on substantial Lorentzian geometry and elliptic PDE; the goal is open.

Difficulty

Uniqueness proofs reduce the problem to an elliptic boundary-value problem on the orbit space once enough symmetry is available. In the general stationary case the extra axial symmetry is not known to exist: Hawking's rigidity argument produces it only for analytic metrics, because it extends a Killing field off the horizon by analytic continuation. Without analyticity, unique continuation for the Killing equation across the horizon is the obstruction. Degenerate (extremal) horizons further break arguments that rely on a bifurcation surface.

Formalization scope

Spacetimes are Mathlib smooth manifolds modelled on EuclideanSpace ℝ (Fin 4); the metric and field are fields of continuous bilinear forms on tangent spaces, and curvature and field equations are imposed through components in every chart. Causal sets use C1C^1C1 curves parametrized by [0,1][0,1][0,1]. The Kerr–Newman comparison spacetime is the region {r>r+}\{r>r_+\}{r>r+​} of Kerr–Schild coordinate space with the explicit metric. Magnetic charge is accommodated by the duality angle β\betaβ.

The hypotheses are not vacuous: milestone 2 asserts that every Kerr–Newman black hole satisfies them. The connected-horizon hypothesis excludes the static multi-black-hole Majumdar–Papapetrou solutions, which would otherwise contradict the goal.

Needed infrastructure: Levi-Civita connection and curvature on manifolds, causal theory (global hyperbolicity, Cauchy surfaces), Killing fields and their flows, and the elliptic theory of harmonic maps used in uniqueness proofs. Contributions on any of these, and on milestones 1, 7 and 8, are welcome.

Selected references

  • Wikipedia, No-hair theorem, revision 1353599195, https://en.wikipedia.org/w/index.php?title=No-hair_theorem&oldid=1353599195
  • W. Israel, Event Horizons in Static Vacuum Space-Times, Phys. Rev. 164 (1967) 1776, https://doi.org/10.1103/PhysRev.164.1776
  • W. Israel, Event horizons in static electrovac space-times, Commun. Math. Phys. 8 (1968) 245, https://doi.org/10.1007/BF01645859
  • B. Carter, Axisymmetric Black Hole Has Only Two Degrees of Freedom, Phys. Rev. Lett. 26 (1971) 331, https://doi.org/10.1103/PhysRevLett.26.331
  • S. Bhattacharya, A. Lahiri, No hair theorems for positive Λ, Phys. Rev. Lett. 99 (2007) 201101, https://arxiv.org/abs/gr-qc/0702006
26 thms3 active usersReviewed
Discrete GeometryMathematical Physics·Captain: Lucas

Loop Quantum Gravity (Rovelli 2011): Minkowski's theorem and the area gapResearch Paper

Motivation

Loop quantum gravity (LQG) is a proposal for a quantum theory of the gravitational field in which space itself is built from discrete quanta. Its kinematics rests on two mathematical facts that C. Rovelli's review Loop quantum gravity: the first 25 years (Class. Quantum Grav. 28 (2011) 153002, arXiv:1012.4707) singles out. First, the spin–geometry theorem of Penrose, in the extended form based on a theorem of Minkowski (1897): the angular-momentum vectors attached to the links around a node of a spin network, once they satisfy the closure (gauge-invariance) relation, are exactly the data of a flat polyhedron, so every quantum of space carries a geometry (§2.1). Second, the discreteness of geometric spectra: areas take values 8πγℏG∑njn(jn+1)8\pi\gamma\hbar G\sum_n\sqrt{j_n(j_n+1)}8πγℏG∑n​jn​(jn​+1)​ with half-integer spins jnj_njn​, with a strictly positive area gap (§2.1, §2.3, §4.3), which the review calls "the most solid result in loop gravity".

Timeline. Minkowski proved the existence and uniqueness of a convex polyhedron with prescribed face normals and areas in 1897. Penrose introduced spin networks and the spin–geometry theorem around 1971. The discreteness of area and volume in LQG was found by Rovelli and Smolin (1995), with the full area spectrum computed by Ashtekar–Lewandowski and others in 1995–1997.

Setting

Work in Euclidean three-space E3=R3\mathbb E^3=\mathbb R^3E3=R3 with its standard inner product ⟨⋅,⋅⟩\langle\cdot,\cdot\rangle⟨⋅,⋅⟩. Given finitely many vectors u1,…,uv∈E3u_1,\dots,u_v\in\mathbb E^3u1​,…,uv​∈E3 and real numbers h1,…,hvh_1,\dots,h_vh1​,…,hv​, the half-space polyhedron is

P(u,h)={x∈E3: ⟨ul,x⟩≤hl for all l},P(u,h)=\{x\in\mathbb E^3:\ \langle u_l,x\rangle\le h_l\ \text{for all } l\},P(u,h)={x∈E3: ⟨ul​,x⟩≤hl​ for all l},

and its lll-th face is Fl=P(u,h)∩{x:⟨ul,x⟩=hl}F_l=P(u,h)\cap\{x:\langle u_l,x\rangle=h_l\}Fl​=P(u,h)∩{x:⟨ul​,x⟩=hl​}. The area of a set lying in a plane orthogonal to a nonzero vector uuu is its two-dimensional Lebesgue measure, computed as the measure of its orthogonal projection onto the plane u⊥u^\perpu⊥. For a nonzero vector nnn, n^=n/∥n∥\hat n=n/\|n\|n^=n/∥n∥ is its direction.

On the quantum side, a node of a spin network with vvv links carries vectors L⃗1,…,L⃗v\vec L_1,\dots,\vec L_vL1​,…,Lv​ (the left-invariant derivative operators), subject to the closure relation ∑lL⃗l=0\sum_l \vec L_l=0∑l​Ll​=0 (eq. (6)). The review's classical content is: the L⃗l\vec L_lLl​ behave as the area-weighted normals of a polyhedron, whose face areas are ∣L⃗l∣|\vec L_l|∣Ll​∣ and whose volume (for v=4v=4v=4) is given by the triple product (eq. (10)). Spins j∈{0,12,1,32,… }j\in\{0,\tfrac12,1,\tfrac32,\dots\}j∈{0,21​,1,23​,…} label links; the quantity j(j+1)\sqrt{j(j+1)}j(j+1)​ is the square root of the SU(2)SU(2)SU(2) Casimir. The area spectrum (eq. (26)) is the set of numbers 8πγℏG∑njn(jn+1)8\pi\gamma\hbar G\sum_n\sqrt{j_n(j_n+1)}8πγℏG∑n​jn​(jn​+1)​ over finite families of spins, with γ\gammaγ the Barbero–Immirzi parameter, ℏ\hbarℏ the reduced Planck constant and GGG Newton's constant.

Formalization targets

Goal: Minkowski's theorem in the form of the spin–geometry theorem

For nonzero n1,…,nv∈E3n_1,\dots,n_v\in\mathbb E^3n1​,…,nv​∈E3 with pairwise distinct directions n^l\hat n_ln^l​, spanning E3\mathbb E^3E3, and with ∑lnl=0\sum_l n_l=0∑l​nl​=0:

∃ h: P(n^,h) bounded, with nonempty interior, and area⁡(Fl)=∥nl∥  ∀l,\exists\,h:\ P(\hat n,h)\ \text{bounded, with nonempty interior, and}\ \operatorname{area}(F_l)=\|n_l\|\ \ \forall l,∃h: P(n^,h) bounded, with nonempty interior, and area(Fl​)=∥nl​∥  ∀l,

and any two such polyhedra are translates of each other.

Milestones (in the order of the review)

  1. Eq. (6), closure: for a bounded polyhedron with nonempty interior and distinct unit normals ulu_lul​, ∑larea⁡(Fl) ul=0\sum_l \operatorname{area}(F_l)\,u_l=0∑l​area(Fl​)ul​=0.
  2. Eq. (10), tetrahedron volume: with face area vectors L1,L2,L3L_1,L_2,L_3L1​,L2​,L3​ of three faces through a vertex, V2=29 ∣L1⋅(L2×L3)∣V^2=\tfrac29\,|L_1\cdot(L_2\times L_3)|V2=92​∣L1​⋅(L2​×L3​)∣.
  3. Eq. (13), area gap: min⁡{j(j+1):j∈{12,1,32,… }}=32\min\{\sqrt{j(j+1)}: j\in\{\tfrac12,1,\tfrac32,\dots\}\}=\tfrac{\sqrt3}{2}min{j(j+1)​:j∈{21​,1,23​,…}}=23​​.
  4. Eq. (18), area gap in physical units: the least positive element of the area spectrum is 8πℏGγ 328\pi\hbar G\gamma\,\tfrac{\sqrt3}{2}8πℏGγ23​​.
  5. Eq. (26), discreteness: for γ,ℏ,G>0\gamma,\hbar,G>0γ,ℏ,G>0 the area spectrum has only finitely many elements below any bound.

Significance

The goal theorem is the precise mathematical content behind the statement that "the algebraic structure of the momentum operators determines the existence of a metric at each node and therefore equips each quantum of space with a geometry" (§2.1). Its necessity half (milestone 1) is the classical counterpart of the gauge-invariance constraint (6); its sufficiency and uniqueness halves are what allow LQG states to be read as quantum polyhedra and underlie the "twisted geometry" and polyhedral-volume constructions. The spectral milestones encode the review's discrete-geometry claims in the elementary, operator-free form in which they are stated in eqs. (13), (18) and (26).

All statements here are known theorems; none is open. A search of Mathlib (at the revision used to check these statements) found no theory of convex polytopes, facet areas, the Brunn–Minkowski inequality, or Minkowski's theorem for polyhedra.

Difficulty

The necessity direction (closure) is a divergence-theorem or projection argument, but requires relating the facets of an H-described polytope to its boundary. The existence direction of Minkowski's theorem is a variational argument (maximize volume subject to a linear constraint on support numbers) whose difficulty lies in showing that the optimum has all prescribed faces with positive area; uniqueness is classically deduced from the equality case of the Brunn–Minkowski (or Minkowski mixed-volume) inequality. The spectral milestones are elementary.

Formalization scope

Lean represents E3\mathbb E^3E3 as EuclideanSpace ℝ (Fin 3). A polyhedron is given by a finite family of normals and support numbers (halfspacePolyhedron), faces by polyhedronFace, and face area by planarArea, the Haar (Lebesgue) measure of the orthogonal projection onto the plane orthogonal to the normal, valued in [0,∞][0,\infty][0,∞]; areas are compared as extended reals so that an infinite area cannot be confused with 000. Unit normals are obtained as n/∥n∥n/\|n\|n/∥n∥ (unitDir). The cross product is Mathlib's crossProduct transported to EuclideanSpace. Spins are encoded as k/2k/2k/2 with k∈Nk\in\mathbb Nk∈N, and the area spectrum sums over finite multisets of spins.

The goal excludes trivializing readings: the spanning and distinct-direction hypotheses are the classical non-degeneracy conditions of Minkowski's theorem (without them the existence claim is false), and the conclusion demands a bounded polyhedron with nonempty interior, so empty or flat polyhedra do not count. The review's eq. (10) omits numerical constants; the milestone uses the exact Euclidean constant 2/92/92/9. The operator-theoretic statements of the review (spectra of area and volume operators on L2(SU(2)L/SU(2)N)L^2(SU(2)^L/SU(2)^N)L2(SU(2)L/SU(2)N)) are out of scope; only their stated numerical content is formalized.

Reusable infrastructure: H-polytopes in R3\mathbb R^3R3, facet areas, the closure identity, and the Brunn–Minkowski equality case. Contributions of general convex-geometry lemmas are welcome.

Selected references

  • C. Rovelli, Loop quantum gravity: the first 25 years, Class. Quantum Grav. 28 (2011) 153002. https://doi.org/10.1088/0264-9381/28/15/153002 (arXiv:1012.4707)
  • H. Minkowski, Allgemeine Lehrsätze über die konvexen Polyeder, Nachr. Ges. Wiss. Göttingen (1897) 198–219.
  • E. Bianchi, P. Doná, S. Speziale, Polyhedra in loop quantum gravity, Phys. Rev. D 83 (2011) 044035. https://arxiv.org/abs/1009.3402
  • A. D. Alexandrov, Convex Polyhedra, Springer (2005).
7 thms3 active usersReviewed
Mathematical Physics·Captain: Lucas

Wall 2013: The generalized second law implies a quantum singularity theoremResearch Paper

Motivation

The classical singularity theorems of general relativity, starting with Penrose's theorem (Penrose 1965), show that spacetime cannot be continued indefinitely along all light rays once gravity has trapped a surface. Every such theorem assumes a positivity condition on the stress–energy tensor, typically the null energy condition Tabkakb≥0T_{ab}k^ak^b\ge 0Tab​kakb≥0. Quantum fields violate every such pointwise condition, so the classical theorems say nothing about the regime where quantum effects near a would-be singularity are strongest.

Wall (2013) replaces the energy condition by the fine-grained generalized second law (GSL) of horizon thermodynamics: the generalized entropy (horizon area over 4ℏG4\hbar G4ℏG plus the entropy of the fields outside) of the exterior of any causal horizon never decreases. Generalizing the notion of trapped surface to a quantum trapped surface, on which the generalized entropy rather than the area decreases, the paper proves that a globally hyperbolic spacetime with a noncompact Cauchy surface containing a quantum trapped surface is null geodesically incomplete (Theorem 4).

Timeline: Penrose (1965) proved the classical theorem under the null energy condition; Hawking and Ellis (1973) give the standard textbook account; Wall (2010) derived the achronal averaged null energy condition from the GSL; Wall (2013) proved the quantum singularity theorem discussed here.

Setting

A spacetime is a smooth manifold MMM with a smooth Lorentzian metric ggg of signature (−,+,…,+)(-,+,\dots,+)(−,+,…,+) and a continuous timelike vector field fixing the time orientation. Future-directed timelike and causal curves define the chronological relation p≪qp\ll qp≪q and the causal relation p≤qp\le qp≤q, and the sets I±(S)I^\pm(S)I±(S), J±(S)J^\pm(S)J±(S). Following §3.2 of the paper, MMM is globally hyperbolic if there are no closed timelike curves and J+(p)∩J−(q)J^+(p)\cap J^-(q)J+(p)∩J−(q) is compact for all p,qp,qp,q. A Cauchy surface is a set met exactly once by every inextendible timelike curve. MMM is null geodesically complete if every null geodesic can be extended to all values of its affine parameter.

The generalized entropy SgenS_{\rm gen}Sgen​ assigns a real number to the part of a time slice lying in a region. An observer is a future-infinite timelike worldline WWW (or a null ray with infinite affine parameter); its causal horizon is ∂I−(W)\partial I^-(W)∂I−(W), with exterior I−(W)I^-(W)I−(W). The fine-grained GSL (eq. (10)) says that for Cauchy surfaces Σ′\Sigma'Σ′ nowhere to the past of Σ\SigmaΣ,

Sgen(Σ′∩I−(W)) ≥ Sgen(Σ∩I−(W)).S_{\rm gen}(\Sigma'\cap I^-(W))\ \ge\ S_{\rm gen}(\Sigma\cap I^-(W)).Sgen​(Σ′∩I−(W)) ≥ Sgen​(Σ∩I−(W)).

A compact surface TTT on a connected Cauchy surface Σ\SigmaΣ, whose exterior on Σ\SigmaΣ is noncompact, is quantum trapped if the generalized entropy outside the null surface NNN shot outwards and to the future from TTT is decreasing at every point of TTT.

Formalization targets

Goal — Theorem 4 (quantum singularity theorem)

M globally hyperbolic, T quantum trapped, semiclassical near T, fine-grained GSL ⟹ M is not null geodesically complete.M \text{ globally hyperbolic},\ T \text{ quantum trapped},\ \text{semiclassical near } T,\ \text{fine-grained GSL}\ \Longrightarrow\ M \text{ is not null geodesically complete.}M globally hyperbolic, T quantum trapped, semiclassical near T, fine-grained GSL ⟹ M is not null geodesically complete.

Milestones

  1. Theorem 3 — a null generator of a null surface along which the generalized entropy decreases at some point must leave the surface (or reach a singularity) in finite affine parameter.
  2. Theorem 5 (appendix) — a trace-preserving, identity-preserving positive map can only equalize the eigenvalues of a density matrix: ∑j≤iλj↓(Tρ)≤∑j≤iλj↓(ρ)\sum_{j\le i}\lambda_j^\downarrow(T\rho)\le\sum_{j\le i}\lambda_j^\downarrow(\rho)∑j≤i​λj↓​(Tρ)≤∑j≤i​λj↓​(ρ) for every iii.
  3. Corollary 4 (appendix) — consequently tr⁡f(ρ)\operatorname{tr} f(\rho)trf(ρ) cannot decrease under such maps for every concave fff (in particular the von Neumann entropy).

Significance

The result. Theorem 4 makes the inevitability of black-hole and (time-reversed) Big Bang singularities independent of energy conditions, conditional only on the GSL, which is expected to hold in quantum gravity. Section 4 of the paper derives from it and its ingredients the absence of traversable wormholes, of warp drives between asymptotic regions, of time machines and of viable baby universes.

Formalizing it. No machine-checked account of Lorentzian causality theory, global hyperbolicity or the Penrose argument is currently available in Mathlib. This mission builds a self-contained Lean model of time-oriented Lorentzian manifolds, geodesics in coordinates, chronological and causal futures, Cauchy surfaces and global hyperbolicity, and pins down the exact logical content of the GSL-based singularity argument. The appendix milestones are pure matrix analysis (majorization under positive unital trace-preserving maps) and are reusable independently.

Difficulty

The goal splits into a thermodynamic step and a topological step. The thermodynamic step (every generator of NNN terminates) is short once the hypotheses are in place. The topological step is the classical Penrose argument: turning "every generator terminates" into compactness of the achronal boundary and contradicting the noncompactness of the Cauchy surface. That requires the structure theory of achronal boundaries (generators, edges, the C0C^0C0 hypersurface property), limit-curve arguments for a uniform bound on the termination parameter, and the homeomorphism of achronal boundaries onto subsets of a Cauchy surface along a timelike flow. None of this exists in Mathlib.

Formalization scope

  • Spacetimes are manifolds M modelled on a finite-dimensional real inner product space E, smooth (C∞C^\inftyC∞), Hausdorff and second countable. The metric is a field of bilinear forms g x on the model space, smooth in every chart, with a continuous timelike field timeField giving signature (−,+,…,+)(-,+,\dots,+)(−,+,…,+) and the time orientation.
  • Geodesics are affinely parametrized and defined by the coordinate geodesic equation (index lowered). Causal and chronological relations use finite concatenations of C1C^1C1 curves.
  • The generalized entropy is an arbitrary function Sgen : Set M → ℝ. The paper gives no rigorous definition of it or of "semiclassical", so the physical input enters as explicit hypotheses: the fine-grained GSL (eq. (10), extended to infinite null rays as in §2.2) and, at points of TTT, the comparison principle of Theorem 1 restricted to comparisons against causal horizons (the formal stand-in for "the semiclassical approximation is valid near TTT").
  • "Decreasing" is strict (<<<), since with eq. (33)'s ≤\le≤ a constant Sgen would satisfy every hypothesis. TTT is required nonempty. "Exterior noncompact" means the closure of the exterior is noncompact.
  • Corollary 4 is stated for concave fff on [0,∞)[0,\infty)[0,∞): the paper's own example (A.8)–(A.9) is concave, and the statement with convex fff fails (e.g. f(p)=p2f(p)=p^2f(p)=p2 under the completely depolarizing map).
  • Not included: Theorems 1 and 2 and Lemmas 1–3, whose statements depend on the semiclassical ℏ\hbarℏ-expansion and on the internal structure Sgen=A/4ℏG+Q+SoutS_{\rm gen}=A/4\hbar G+Q+S_{\rm out}Sgen​=A/4ℏG+Q+Sout​, which this model treats abstractly.

Selected references

  • A. C. Wall, The generalized second law implies a quantum singularity theorem, Class. Quantum Grav. 30 (2013) 165003. https://doi.org/10.1088/0264-9381/30/16/165003
  • R. Penrose, Gravitational collapse and space-time singularities, Phys. Rev. Lett. 14 (1965) 57. https://doi.org/10.1103/PhysRevLett.14.57
  • S. W. Hawking and G. F. R. Ellis, The Large Scale Structure of Space-Time, Cambridge University Press, 1973. https://doi.org/10.1017/CBO9780511524646
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Convex OptimizationOptimization·Captain: mikedeng1

Fast Convergence of Inertial Dynamics and Algorithms with Asymptotic Vanishing Viscosity 3: For α > 3 and Σ k‖g_k‖ < ∞, the Perturbed Inertial Forward-Backward Iterates Converge Weakly to a MinimizerResearch Paper

Motivation

Many problems in signal processing, statistics and machine learning take the form min⁡xΦ(x)+Ψ(x)\min_x \Phi(x)+\Psi(x)minx​Φ(x)+Ψ(x), where Ψ\PsiΨ is smooth and Φ\PhiΦ is convex but nonsmooth (a norm, the indicator of a constraint set). The forward-backward method takes a gradient step on Ψ\PsiΨ followed by a proximal step on Φ\PhiΦ. Its accelerated, inertial version — FISTA of Beck and Teboulle, built on Nesterov's method — reaches the rate O(1/k2)O(1/k^2)O(1/k2) for the objective values. In practice the gradient or the proximal step is computed only approximately, so it matters whether the accelerated method survives errors, and whether its iterates converge at all, not only its objective values.

  • 1983–2009. Nesterov introduces the accelerated gradient method with rate O(1/k2)O(1/k^2)O(1/k2); Güler extends it to proximal steps; Beck and Teboulle publish FISTA (SIAM J. Imaging Sci. 2009). Convergence of the FISTA iterates themselves remains open.
  • 2011. Schmidt, Le Roux and Bach show that the O(1/k2)O(1/k^2)O(1/k2) value rate of accelerated proximal-gradient methods persists under errors that decay fast enough (NeurIPS 2011).
  • 2014–2015. Su, Boyd and Candès read Nesterov's scheme as a discretization of x¨+αtx˙+∇Φ(x)=0\ddot x+\frac{\alpha}{t}\dot x+\nabla\Phi(x)=0x¨+tα​x˙+∇Φ(x)=0 (JMLR 2016). Chambolle and Dossal prove weak convergence of the iterates when the inertial coefficient is k−1k+α−1\frac{k-1}{k+\alpha-1}k+α−1k−1​ with α>3\alpha>3α>3, without errors (JOTA 2015).
  • 2015. Attouch, Chbani, Peypouquet and Redont (this source) treat the dynamics and the algorithm together, and prove value rates and weak convergence of the iterates for the version with errors.

Setting

Let H\mathcal HH be a real Hilbert space. Let Φ:H→R∪{+∞}\Phi:\mathcal H\to\mathbb R\cup\{+\infty\}Φ:H→R∪{+∞} be proper, lower semicontinuous and convex, and let Ψ:H→R\Psi:\mathcal H\to\mathbb RΨ:H→R be convex and continuously differentiable, with gradient ∇Ψ\nabla\Psi∇Ψ Lipschitz continuous with constant LLL. Write Θ=Φ+Ψ\Theta=\Phi+\PsiΘ=Φ+Ψ and S=argmin⁡ΘS=\operatorname{argmin}\ThetaS=argminΘ.

The proximal map of sΦs\PhisΦ (s>0s>0s>0) sends xxx to the unique minimizer of ξ↦Φ(ξ)+12s∥ξ−x∥2\xi\mapsto\Phi(\xi)+\frac1{2s}\|\xi-x\|^2ξ↦Φ(ξ)+2s1​∥ξ−x∥2.

Fix α>0\alpha>0α>0, a step sss with 0<s<1/L0<s<1/L0<s<1/L, and perturbations gk∈Hg_k\in\mathcal Hgk​∈H. The perturbed inertial forward-backward algorithm (55) generates

yk=xk+k−1k+α−1(xk−xk−1),xk+1=prox⁡sΦ(yk−s(∇Ψ(yk)−gk)).y_k=x_k+\frac{k-1}{k+\alpha-1}(x_k-x_{k-1}),\qquad x_{k+1}=\operatorname{prox}_{s\Phi}\big(y_k-s(\nabla\Psi(y_k)-g_k)\big).yk​=xk​+k+α−1k−1​(xk​−xk−1​),xk+1​=proxsΦ​(yk​−s(∇Ψ(yk​)−gk​)).

With gk=0g_k=0gk​=0 and α=3\alpha=3α=3 this is FISTA. The analysis uses zk=k+α−1α−1yk−kα−1xkz_k=\frac{k+\alpha-1}{\alpha-1}y_k-\frac{k}{\alpha-1}x_kzk​=α−1k+α−1​yk​−α−1k​xk​ and, for x∗∈Sx^*\in Sx∗∈S, the energy

G(k)=2sα−1(k+α−2)2(Θ(xk)−Θ(x∗))+(α−1)∥zk−x∗∥2.\mathcal G(k)=\frac{2s}{\alpha-1}(k+\alpha-2)^2\big(\Theta(x_k)-\Theta(x^*)\big)+(\alpha-1)\|z_k-x^*\|^2 .G(k)=α−12s​(k+α−2)2(Θ(xk​)−Θ(x∗))+(α−1)∥zk​−x∗∥2.

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem 5.3

If S≠∅S\neq\emptysetS=∅, α>3\alpha>3α>3, 0<s<1/L0<s<1/L0<s<1/L and ∑kk∥gk∥<+∞\sum_k k\|g_k\|<+\infty∑k​k∥gk​∥<+∞, then

∑kk(Θ(xk)−min⁡Θ)<∞,∑kk∥xk+1−xk∥2<∞,xk⇀xˉ  for some xˉ∈S.\sum_k k\big(\Theta(x_k)-\min\Theta\big)<\infty,\qquad \sum_k k\|x_{k+1}-x_k\|^2<\infty,\qquad x_k\rightharpoonup\bar x\ \text{ for some }\bar x\in S .k∑​k(Θ(xk​)−minΘ)<∞,k∑​k∥xk+1​−xk​∥2<∞,xk​⇀xˉ  for some xˉ∈S.

The goal makes no claim about rates of the iterates and no claim of strong convergence.

Value rate: Theorem 5.1

For α≥3\alpha\ge3α≥3, with an explicit constant CCC depending on x0x_0x0​, y0y_0y0​, x∗x^*x∗ and ∑j(j+α−1)∥gj∥\sum_j(j+\alpha-1)\|g_j\|∑j​(j+α−1)∥gj​∥,

Θ(xk)−min⁡Θ≤C(α−1)2s(k+α−2)2.\Theta(x_k)-\min\Theta\le\frac{C(\alpha-1)}{2s(k+\alpha-2)^2}.Θ(xk​)−minΘ≤2s(k+α−2)2C(α−1)​.

Milestones

The proof's steps, in order: the proximal-gradient inequality (63); the energy step (66); the discrete Gronwall–Bellman Lemma A.9; the bound (68) on ∥zk−x∗∥\|z_k-x^*\|∥zk​−x∗∥; Theorem 5.1; the descent inequality (69); the velocity bound (72); the second-order inequality (80) for hk=12∥xk−x∗∥2h_k=\frac12\|x_k-x^*\|^2hk​=21​∥xk​−x∗∥2; Lemma A.5; Opial's Lemma A.3.

Significance

The result. Theorem 5.3 gives convergence of the iterates of a FISTA-type method that tolerates computational error, and summability estimates that are stronger than the O(1/k2)O(1/k^2)O(1/k2) value rate: ∑kk(Θ(xk)−min⁡Θ)<∞\sum_k k(\Theta(x_k)-\min\Theta)<\infty∑k​k(Θ(xk​)−minΘ)<∞ implies the rate o(1/k2)o(1/k^2)o(1/k2) along the sequence. The summability condition ∑kk∥gk∥<∞\sum_k k\|g_k\|<\infty∑k​k∥gk​∥<∞ is the discrete counterpart of ∫t∥g(t)∥ dt<∞\int t\|g(t)\|\,dt<\infty∫t∥g(t)∥dt<∞ for the perturbed dynamics, which makes the algorithm a faithful discretization of the continuous model studied in the same paper. For α=3\alpha=3α=3 (FISTA itself) convergence of the iterates was not known when the paper was written.

Formalizing it. The unperturbed case (gk≡0g_k\equiv0gk​≡0) is already on Prove2Me and proved: the weak convergence theorem and the energy, descent and summability facts (namespace NesterovFB), and the proximal-gradient inequality, which this mission reuses as milestone (63). This mission poses the perturbed statements, which no existing item covers: the error terms change the energy step, require boundedness of (zk)(z_k)(zk​) through a Gronwall-type argument, and turn the Fejér-type estimate into an inhomogeneous one. The discrete Gronwall–Bellman and Opial lemmas are reusable well beyond this paper.

Difficulty

Without errors the energy G(k)\mathcal G(k)G(k) is nonincreasing and every estimate follows from summing (66). With errors, (66) has the extra term 2s(k+α−1)⟨gk,zk+1−x∗⟩2s(k+\alpha-1)\langle g_k,z_{k+1}-x^*\rangle2s(k+α−1)⟨gk​,zk+1​−x∗⟩, which can only be summed once (zk)(z_k)(zk​) is known to be bounded — and the bound on zkz_kzk​ itself comes from the energy. The circularity is broken only by an implicit quadratic inequality and a discrete Gronwall–Bellman argument; a direct summation fails. The same issue reappears for the velocities, where (71) bounds k2∥xk+1−xk∥2k^2\|x_{k+1}-x_k\|^2k2∥xk+1​−xk​∥2 in terms of itself. Finally, weak convergence needs that lim⁡∥xk−x∗∥\lim\|x_k-x^*\|lim∥xk​−x∗∥ exists for every minimizer; for the inertial scheme ∥xk−x∗∥\|x_k-x^*\|∥xk​−x∗∥ is not monotone, and one must pass through the second-order inequality (80) and Lemma A.5 rather than a Fejér argument.

Formalization scope

H\mathcal HH is a real inner product space, complete; nothing is finite-dimensional, and weak convergence is the published WeakTendsto (⟨xk,v⟩→⟨xˉ,v⟩\langle x_k,v\rangle\to\langle\bar x,v\rangle⟨xk​,v⟩→⟨xˉ,v⟩ for every vvv), not norm convergence. Φ\PhiΦ is EReal-valued with IsProperClosedConvex, and prox⁡sΦ\operatorname{prox}_{s\Phi}proxsΦ​ is a map PPP with IsProx s Φ P (published definitions). Θ\ThetaΘ is the published NesterovFB.Rates.theta Φ Ψ; that definition names its arguments the other way round (nonsmooth first). LLL is a nonnegative real and "0<s<1/L0<s<1/L0<s<1/L" is written 0<s0<s0<s, sL<1sL<1sL<1. The algorithm is the predicate IsPerturbedRun on two sequences x,y:N→Hx,y:\mathbb N\to\mathcal Hx,y:N→H; y0y_0y0​ is free, which covers every value of the unspecified x−1x_{-1}x−1​. Series are Summable statements, sums such as ∑j(j+α−1)∥gj∥\sum_j(j+\alpha-1)\|g_j\|∑j​(j+α−1)∥gj​∥ are tsums used only under the summability hypothesis.

Two printed statements are corrected as their proofs require. In Theorem 5.3 iii) the limit minimizes Φ+Ψ\Phi+\PsiΦ+Ψ (the page says argmin⁡Φ\operatorname{argmin}\PhiargminΦ, the proof applies Opial's lemma with S=argmin⁡(Φ+Ψ)S=\operatorname{argmin}(\Phi+\Psi)S=argmin(Φ+Ψ)). In Theorem 5.1 the constant uses G(0)/(α−1)\sqrt{\mathcal G(0)/(\alpha-1)}G(0)/(α−1)​, the quantity the proof derives, instead of the printed E(0)/(α−1)\sqrt{\mathcal E(0)/(\alpha-1)}E(0)/(α−1)​. Theorem 5.1 and (68) assume Φ(x0)<+∞\Phi(x_0)<+\inftyΦ(x0​)<+∞ so that the constant is a real number; Theorem 5.3 does not.

A trivializing formalization is ruled out: the step condition is sL<1sL<1sL<1 rather than s<1/Ls<1/Ls<1/L (which is unsatisfiable for L=0L=0L=0 in Lean), and a sorry-free check confirms that Φ=Ψ=0\Phi=\Psi=0Φ=Ψ=0, g=0g=0g=0, P=idP=\mathrm{id}P=id and constant sequences satisfy every hypothesis of the goal, so the hypotheses are jointly satisfiable.

Theorem numbers and pages are those of the Optimization Online preprint 5179 (October 2015), not of the Mathematical Programming typesetting. Welcome contributions: proofs of the appendix lemmas A.3, A.5, A.9 (independent of the algorithm), of (66) and (69) from the referenced inequality (63), and the chain (68) → Theorem 5.1, (72), (80) → Theorem 5.3.

Selected references

  • H. Attouch, Z. Chbani, J. Peypouquet, P. Redont, Fast convergence of inertial dynamics and algorithms with asymptotic vanishing damping, Optimization Online preprint 5179, 2015. https://optimization-online.org/wp-content/uploads/2015/10/5179.pdf ; published as …asymptotic vanishing viscosity, Math. Program. 168 (2018). https://doi.org/10.1007/s10107-016-0992-8
  • A. Beck, M. Teboulle, A fast iterative shrinkage-thresholding algorithm for linear inverse problems, SIAM J. Imaging Sci. 2 (2009). https://doi.org/10.1137/080716542
  • A. Chambolle, Ch. Dossal, On the convergence of the iterates of the "fast iterative shrinkage/thresholding algorithm", J. Optim. Theory Appl. 166 (2015). https://doi.org/10.1007/s10957-015-0746-4
  • W. Su, S. Boyd, E. J. Candès, A differential equation for modeling Nesterov's accelerated gradient method: theory and insights, J. Mach. Learn. Res. 17 (2016). https://arxiv.org/abs/1503.01243
  • M. Schmidt, N. Le Roux, F. Bach, Convergence rates of inexact proximal-gradient methods for convex optimization, NeurIPS 2011. https://arxiv.org/abs/1109.2415
  • Z. Opial, Weak convergence of the sequence of successive approximations for nonexpansive mappings, Bull. Amer. Math. Soc. 73 (1967). https://doi.org/10.1090/S0002-9904-1967-11761-0
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Linear OptimizationOperations ResearchOptimization·Captain: mikedeng1

Constrained Assortment Optimization for the Nested Logit Model 4: Under Space Constraints, O(n²) Rounded Knapsack-Relaxation Assortments Include a min{2, 1/(1−ε)}-Approximate Solution for Every u ≥ 0Research Paper

Why space-constrained assortments matter

A retailer choosing which products to display faces a physical limit: different products consume different amounts of shelf space. Under a nested logit choice model, the value of an assortment also depends on how customers substitute among products within a nest and on whether they leave without buying. Gallego and Topaloglu study this combination of choice and feasibility constraints in Constrained Assortment Optimization for the Nested Logit Model. Their authors' manuscript of September 11, 2013 is the numbered source for this mission. Its §5 isolates a finite family of candidate assortments for each nest, despite the per-nest space-constrained problem being a knapsack problem. A small family matters because the paper's earlier Theorem 4 can then combine the families across nests while controlling expected revenue.

The paper contrasts this case with cardinality constraints. When every product consumes one unit, the per-nest optimization can be solved exactly by a short list of candidates. General space requirements turn it into a knapsack problem, so the paper gives quantitative approximation factors instead. The factor improves when no single product occupies much of a nest's capacity. These statements and their dependencies occur in §§5.1–5.2, pp. 19–22 of the manuscript.

Products, nests, and the parameterized problem

There is a finite set of nests MMM and a nonempty finite product set N={1,…,n}N=\{1,\ldots,n\}N={1,…,n} in each nest. In nest iii, product jjj has preference weight vij>0v_{ij}>0vij​>0, real revenue rijr_{ij}rij​, and space requirement wij>0w_{ij}>0wij​>0. The nest's capacity is cic_ici​, and each product fits by itself: wij≤ciw_{ij}\le c_iwij​≤ci​. An assortment Si⊆NS_i\subseteq NSi​⊆N is feasible when its total space requirement is at most cic_ici​. The empty assortment is feasible and gives zero revenue. The full nested logit model has a no-purchase preference weight v0v_0v0​ and a dissimilarity parameter γi∈(0,1]\gamma_i\in(0,1]γi​∈(0,1] for each nest; these parameters are relevant to the cross-nest expected revenue, but the local problem of this mission uses only one nest's product data.

For an assortment SiS_iSi​, write Vi(Si)=∑j∈SivijV_i(S_i)=\sum_{j\in S_i}v_{ij}Vi​(Si​)=∑j∈Si​​vij​ and Ri(Si)=∑j∈Sivijrij/Vi(Si)R_i(S_i)=\sum_{j\in S_i}v_{ij}r_{ij}/V_i(S_i)Ri​(Si​)=∑j∈Si​​vij​rij​/Vi​(Si​), with Ri(∅)=0R_i(\varnothing)=0Ri​(∅)=0. The paper's parameterized local problem, problem (7), maximizes Vi(Si)(Ri(Si)−u)V_i(S_i)(R_i(S_i)-u)Vi​(Si​)(Ri​(Si​)−u) over feasible assortments for each u≥0u\ge0u≥0. Since the within-nest no-purchase weight is zero, equation (8) gives its equivalent sum of product utilities:

Vi(Si)(Ri(Si)−u)=∑j∈Sivij(rij−u).V_i(S_i)(R_i(S_i)-u)=\sum_{j\in S_i}v_{ij}(r_{ij}-u).Vi​(Si​)(Ri​(Si​)−u)=j∈Si​∑​vij​(rij​−u).

Problem (10) is this objective written as a zero-one knapsack: each product decision is zero or one and ∑jwijxij≤ci\sum_jw_{ij}x_{ij}\le c_i∑j​wij​xij​≤ci​. Its LP relaxation permits 0≤xij≤10\le x_{ij}\le10≤xij​≤1. At parameter uuu, the product's utility-to-space ratio is fij(u)=vij(rij−u)/wijf_{ij}(u)=v_{ij}(r_{ij}-u)/w_{ij}fij​(u)=vij​(rij​−u)/wij​. Rounding a relaxation solution down retains precisely the products with xij=1x_{ij}=1xij​=1. The candidate family also contains each singleton assortment {j}\{j\}{j}.

Formalization targets

Theorem 6 asserts that a collection Ai\mathcal A_iAi​ of at most quadratic size includes a two-approximate solution to problem (7) for every u≥0u\ge0u≥0. Here an assortment SSS is α\alphaα-approximate at uuu if it is feasible and αVi(S)(Ri(S)−u)\alpha V_i(S)(R_i(S)-u)αVi​(S)(Ri​(S)−u) is at least the objective of every feasible assortment. The O(n2)O(n^2)O(n2) statement is pinned to the explicit bound ∣Ai∣≤(n+1)2|\mathcal A_i|\le(n+1)^2∣Ai​∣≤(n+1)2.

∀u≥0,∃S∈Ai:∀T∈Ci,Vi(T)(Ri(T)−u)≤2Vi(S)(Ri(S)−u).\forall u\ge0,\quad \exists S\in\mathcal A_i:\quad \forall T\in C_i,\quad V_i(T)(R_i(T)-u)\le 2V_i(S)(R_i(S)-u).∀u≥0,∃S∈Ai​:∀T∈Ci​,Vi​(T)(Ri​(T)−u)≤2Vi​(S)(Ri​(S)−u).

The §5.2 target keeps the same collection and adds the finer guarantee whenever each product is small relative to capacity. For every ϵ∈[0,1)\epsilon\in[0,1)ϵ∈[0,1) such that wij≤ϵciw_{ij}\le\epsilon c_iwij​≤ϵci​ for all jjj, and for every u≥0u\ge0u≥0, some member of Ai\mathcal A_iAi​ satisfies

∀T∈Ci,Vi(T)(Ri(T)−u)≤11−ϵVi(S)(Ri(S)−u).\forall T\in C_i,\quad V_i(T)(R_i(T)-u)\le\frac{1}{1-\epsilon}V_i(S)(R_i(S)-u).∀T∈Ci​,Vi​(T)(Ri​(T)−u)≤1−ϵ1​Vi​(S)(Ri​(S)−u).

The two members need not be the same, but the finite family is fixed before uuu and ϵ\epsilonϵ are chosen. Together the claims yield the paper's factor min⁡{2,1/(1−ϵ)}\min\{2,1/(1-\epsilon)\}min{2,1/(1−ϵ)}. The main goal formalizes both parts; Theorem 6 and the paper's intermediate statements are milestones.

What the guarantees supply

The local result converts infinitely many parameter values into a finite search domain. Theorem 4 of the same paper says that if each nest has candidates containing an α\alphaα-approximate local solution for every u≥0u\ge0u≥0, then some cross-nest combination obtains at least the optimal expected revenue divided by α\alphaα. Theorem 2 relates the best combination of candidates to a linear program. Thus the finite collection in this mission supplies the local ingredient needed for the paper's global factor two, or the smaller factor under the product-size condition. These consequences are stated in the paragraphs immediately following Theorem 6 and the §5.2 conclusion.

The paper already proves these mathematical results. This mission asks for machine-checked proofs of its specific knapsack relaxation, rounding inequality, and approximation statements. It also creates reusable finite-knapsack definitions and explicit interfaces between the paper's local objective and the published nested logit model. The goal and milestones here remain open Lean statements until solvers provide proofs; compiling a statement with sorry checks its syntax and types, not its mathematical validity.

Where the argument is delicate

The parameter uuu ranges over a continuum, yet one family of bounded size must work for all of it. Different values of uuu change the objective coefficients and may change which products belong in an LP optimum. At ties or sign changes, the optimum need not be unique, so a statement about a particular chosen solution requires care. A second difficulty is the fractional LP coordinate: its value can exceed the rounded set's objective, and the refined factor uses a comparison between its utility and the space already occupied. The displayed chain in §5.2 contains quotients that can have zero denominators; the formal milestone states its endpoint inequality directly. A fractional product with zero utility need not force capacity to be filled, which is why the capacity-consumption milestone states positive utility explicitly.

Formalization scope

The existing NestedLogitVariants.LP.Model supplies the nested logit instance and its ViV_iVi​ and RiR_iRi​ functions. A general finite continuous-knapsack definition is separate from the paper-specific assortment data. Products use Fin n, nests use a finite type, and assortments use finite sets. The empty finite set represents 0ˉ\bar 00ˉ. The model's within-nest no-purchase weight is fixed to zero, as in the manuscript's main local formulation. Revenues remain arbitrary real numbers; there is no assumption that they are nonnegative or sorted. The capacity and product space requirements are real numbers, with wij>0w_{ij}>0wij​>0 and wij≤ciw_{ij}\le c_iwij​≤ci​. Positive preference weights and nonempty NNN are explicit. No condition on γi\gamma_iγi​ or v0v_0v0​ is needed for this local problem (7).

The candidate family is a finite set of rounded LP optima and all singletons. Its size is bounded before uuu and ϵ\epsilonϵ are quantified. Each approximation compares against feasible integer assortments using problem (7), including the empty assortment. The LP optimum itself is never substituted for the integer comparator. General unequal space requirements remain in scope. Contributions that formalize the parametric LP behavior, its one-fractional-coordinate optimum, and the paper's two rounding guarantees fit this mission.

Selected references

  • Guillermo Gallego and Huseyin Topaloglu, Constrained Assortment Optimization for the Nested Logit Model, Management Science 60(10), 2014, DOI 10.1287/mnsc.2014.1931. Authors' manuscript, September 11, 2013, especially pp. 7–8 and 19–22.
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