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Control Theory

156 missions · 36 completed

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AnalysisPartial Differential Equations·Captain: mikedeng1

Stability and Instability Results of the Wave Equation with a Delay Term in the Boundary or Internal Feedbacks IV: Arbitrarily Small Destabilizing Delays for Internal DampingResearch Paper

Motivation

Feedback laws in engineering are applied with a lag: sensors, actuators and communication channels introduce a time delay τ\tauτ between the measurement of a state and the control that reacts to it. For finite-dimensional systems small delays are usually harmless. For distributed systems such as the wave equation they need not be: Datko, Lagnese and Polis (SIAM J. Control Optim. 24, 1986) and Datko (SIAM J. Control Optim. 26, 1988) showed, for one-dimensional examples, that an arbitrarily small delay in a stabilizing feedback can destroy stability. The question matters to anyone who designs boundary or internal controllers for vibrating structures and wants to know whether a stabilizing law is robust to delay.

Nicaise and Pignotti (SIAM J. Control Optim. 45 (2006)) study the wave equation on a bounded domain of Rn\mathbb R^nRn with a damping term that combines an instantaneous and a delayed velocity feedback, with coefficients μ1\mu_1μ1​ and μ2\mu_2μ2​. They show that the system is exponentially stable when μ2<μ1\mu_2 < \mu_1μ2​<μ1​ (Theorems 1.1 and 1.3), and that when μ2≥μ1\mu_2 \ge \mu_1μ2​≥μ1​ stability can fail (Theorems 1.2 and 1.4). This mission is Theorem 1.4, the internal-damping instability result, in the case the paper proves.

  • 1986–1988: Datko, Lagnese and Polis; Datko — destabilization by small delays in one-dimensional boundary-damped wave equations.
  • 2006: Nicaise and Pignotti — the multi-dimensional dichotomy μ2<μ1\mu_2 < \mu_1μ2​<μ1​ (stability) versus μ2≥μ1\mu_2 \ge \mu_1μ2​≥μ1​ (instability for some delays), for boundary and internal feedback.

Setting

Let n≥1n \ge 1n≥1 and let Ω⊂Rn\Omega \subset \mathbb R^nΩ⊂Rn be a bounded open set with boundary Γ\GammaΓ of class C2C^2C2, split as Γ=ΓD∪ΓN\Gamma = \Gamma_D \cup \Gamma_NΓ=ΓD​∪ΓN​ with ΓD‾∩ΓN‾=∅\overline{\Gamma_D} \cap \overline{\Gamma_N} = \emptysetΓD​​∩ΓN​​=∅ and ΓD≠∅\Gamma_D \neq \emptysetΓD​=∅. Write ν\nuν for the outer unit normal and ∂u/∂ν\partial u/\partial\nu∂u/∂ν for the normal derivative. Let μ1>0\mu_1 > 0μ1​>0, μ2>0\mu_2 > 0μ2​>0 and let τ>0\tau > 0τ>0 be the delay. With damping coefficient a≡1a \equiv 1a≡1 the problem is

utt(x,t)−Δu(x,t)+μ1ut(x,t)+μ2ut(x,t−τ)=0in Ω×(0,∞),u_{tt}(x,t) - \Delta u(x,t) + \mu_1 u_t(x,t) + \mu_2 u_t(x,t-\tau) = 0 \quad \text{in } \Omega \times (0,\infty),utt​(x,t)−Δu(x,t)+μ1​ut​(x,t)+μ2​ut​(x,t−τ)=0in Ω×(0,∞), u=0  on ΓD×(0,∞),∂u∂ν=0  on ΓN×(0,∞),u = 0 \ \text{ on } \Gamma_D \times (0,\infty), \qquad \frac{\partial u}{\partial\nu} = 0 \ \text{ on } \Gamma_N \times (0,\infty),u=0  on ΓD​×(0,∞),∂ν∂u​=0  on ΓN​×(0,∞),

with initial data u(⋅,0)=u0u(\cdot,0) = u_0u(⋅,0)=u0​, ut(⋅,0)=u1u_t(\cdot,0) = u_1ut​(⋅,0)=u1​ and a history ut=g0u_t = g_0ut​=g0​ on Ω×(−τ,0)\Omega \times (-\tau, 0)Ω×(−τ,0). The standard energy of a solution is

E(t)=12∫Ω{∣ut(x,t)∣2+∣∇u(x,t)∣2} dx.\mathcal E(t) = \frac12 \int_\Omega \big\{ |u_t(x,t)|^2 + |\nabla u(x,t)|^2 \big\}\,dx .E(t)=21​∫Ω​{∣ut​(x,t)∣2+∣∇u(x,t)∣2}dx.

The condition μ2<μ1\mu_2 < \mu_1μ2​<μ1​ is the paper's assumption (1.8). The paper's problem (1.12)–(1.16) carries a general coefficient a∈L∞(Ω)a \in L^\infty(\Omega)a∈L∞(Ω) with a≥0a \ge 0a≥0 and a>a0>0a > a_0 > 0a>a0​>0 near ΓN\Gamma_NΓN​; a≡1a \equiv 1a≡1 is one such coefficient.

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem 1.4 for a≡1a \equiv 1a≡1

If (1.8) fails, i.e. 0<μ1≤μ20 < \mu_1 \le \mu_20<μ1​≤μ2​, then

∀ε>0 ∃τ∈(0,ε) ∃u solving the problem with delay τ:  E(t)↛0 (t→∞),\forall \varepsilon > 0\ \exists \tau \in (0,\varepsilon)\ \exists u \text{ solving the problem with delay } \tau:\ \ \mathcal E(t) \not\to 0 \ (t \to \infty),∀ε>0 ∃τ∈(0,ε) ∃u solving the problem with delay τ:  E(t)→0 (t→∞),

and the same holds with "τ∈(0,ε)\tau \in (0,\varepsilon)τ∈(0,ε)" replaced by "τ>M\tau > Mτ>M", for every MMM. The goal asserts only non-decay, not a rate of growth or the value of the energy, so it survives any sharpening of the examples.

Milestones

  1. (5.21)–(5.23): if φ\varphiφ is an eigenfunction of the mixed Dirichlet–Neumann Laplacian, Δφ=−Λ2φ\Delta\varphi = -\Lambda^2\varphiΔφ=−Λ2φ, and λ∈C\lambda \in \mathbb Cλ∈C solves λ2+(μ1+μ2e−λτ)λ=−Λ2\lambda^2 + (\mu_1 + \mu_2 e^{-\lambda\tau})\lambda = -\Lambda^2λ2+(μ1​+μ2​e−λτ)λ=−Λ2, then eλtφ(x)e^{\lambda t}\varphi(x)eλtφ(x) is a solution.
  2. (5.24)–(5.25): with λ=α+iβ\lambda = \alpha + i\betaλ=α+iβ and βτ=(2l+1)π\beta\tau = (2l+1)\piβτ=(2l+1)π, that equation is equivalent to α2+β2=Λ2\alpha^2 + \beta^2 = \Lambda^2α2+β2=Λ2, μ2e−ατ=2α+μ1\mu_2 e^{-\alpha\tau} = 2\alpha + \mu_1μ2​e−ατ=2α+μ1​.
  3. Case (a), μ1=μ2\mu_1 = \mu_2μ1​=μ2​: the system forces α=0\alpha = 0α=0 and β2=Λ2\beta^2 = \Lambda^2β2=Λ2.
  4. Case (b), μ2>μ1\mu_2 > \mu_1μ2​>μ1​, (5.26)–(5.27): for every Λ>0\Lambda > 0Λ>0 and lll there is α∈(0,(μ2−μ1)/2)\alpha \in (0, (\mu_2-\mu_1)/2)α∈(0,(μ2​−μ1​)/2) with τ(α)=α−1ln⁡(μ2/(μ1+2α))>0\tau(\alpha) = \alpha^{-1}\ln(\mu_2/(\mu_1+2\alpha)) > 0τ(α)=α−1ln(μ2​/(μ1​+2α))>0 solving the system.
  5. Energy of separated solutions (p. 1584): E(t)=e2 Re(λ)t E(0)\mathcal E(t) = e^{2\,\mathrm{Re}(\lambda)t}\,\mathcal E(0)E(t)=e2Re(λ)tE(0) with E(0)>0\mathcal E(0) > 0E(0)>0.
  6. Delay bounds (p. 1585, corrected): (2l+1)π/Λ<τ<(2l+1)π/Λ2−(μ2−μ1)2/4(2l+1)\pi/\Lambda < \tau < (2l+1)\pi/\sqrt{\Lambda^2 - (\mu_2-\mu_1)^2/4}(2l+1)π/Λ<τ<(2l+1)π/Λ2−(μ2​−μ1​)2/4​, the second when Λ2>(μ2−μ1)2/4\Lambda^2 > (\mu_2-\mu_1)^2/4Λ2>(μ2​−μ1​)2/4.

Significance

The result shows that the stability threshold μ2<μ1\mu_2 < \mu_1μ2​<μ1​ of Theorem 1.3 is sharp in the sense that matters for design: at or beyond the threshold there is no delay margin, since delays as small as desired already produce solutions whose energy does not decay. Together with Theorem 1.3 it gives a complete dichotomy in the coefficients (μ1,μ2)(\mu_1,\mu_2)(μ1​,μ2​) for the internally damped wave equation with delay, in any dimension, and it identifies the mechanism (roots of the characteristic equation on or to the right of the imaginary axis) that later work on delayed stabilization has had to avoid.

The result is proved in the paper; to the best of current knowledge it has not been machine-checked. The mission's product is a formal proof of the a≡1a \equiv 1a≡1 case together with its algebraic core: the reduction of the transcendental characteristic equation, the analysis of both cases, and the two-sided bounds on the delays. The spectral input it needs, an unbounded sequence of eigenvalues of the mixed Dirichlet–Neumann Laplacian with regular eigenfunctions, is reusable well beyond this paper.

Difficulty

The scalar part is elementary. The difficulty is the spectral input. The small delays come from τn,l≈(2l+1)π/Λn\tau_{n,l} \approx (2l+1)\pi/\Lambda_nτn,l​≈(2l+1)π/Λn​ with Λn→∞\Lambda_n \to \inftyΛn​→∞, so the proof needs infinitely many eigenvalues Λn2→∞\Lambda_n^2 \to \inftyΛn2​→∞ of the Laplacian with mixed Dirichlet–Neumann conditions on a C2C^2C2 domain, with eigenfunctions that are C2C^2C2 inside and C1C^1C1 up to the boundary. This requires compactness of the embedding HΓD1(Ω)↪L2(Ω)H^1_{\Gamma_D}(\Omega) \hookrightarrow L^2(\Omega)HΓD​1​(Ω)↪L2(Ω), the spectral theorem for compact self-adjoint operators, and elliptic regularity for a mixed problem, none of which is available in Mathlib for domains in Rn\mathbb R^nRn. A single eigenpair gives only the large delays (letting l→∞l \to \inftyl→∞); it does not give the small ones.

A second point: the paper's own bound (2l+1)2π2/τn,l2≤Λn2(2l+1)^2\pi^2/\tau_{n,l}^2 \le \Lambda_n^2(2l+1)2π2/τn,l2​≤Λn2​ bounds τn,l\tau_{n,l}τn,l​ only from below, so it does not by itself give τn,l→0\tau_{n,l} \to 0τn,l​→0; the upper bound of milestone 6 is needed.

Formalization scope

  • Space: Rn\mathbb R^nRn is EuclideanSpace ℝ (Fin n) with n≥1n \ge 1n≥1. The C2C^2C2 boundary is given by a global C2C^2C2 defining function ψ\psiψ (Ω={ψ<0}\Omega = \{\psi < 0\}Ω={ψ<0}, ∂Ω={ψ=0}\partial\Omega = \{\psi = 0\}∂Ω={ψ=0}, ∇ψ≠0\nabla\psi \ne 0∇ψ=0 on ∂Ω\partial\Omega∂Ω); ν=∇ψ/∣∇ψ∣\nu = \nabla\psi/|\nabla\psi|ν=∇ψ/∣∇ψ∣; the surface measure is pinned by the Gauss–Green formula for all C1C^1C1 fields.
  • Solutions are complex valued functions u(x,t)u(x,t)u(x,t) defined for all t∈Rt \in \mathbb Rt∈R, C2C^2C2 on Ω×R\Omega \times \mathbb RΩ×R and C1C^1C1 on Ω‾×R\overline\Omega \times \mathbb RΩ×R; the equation and boundary conditions hold for t>0t > 0t>0; initial data and history are the traces of uuu. The Neumann condition uses the derivative within Ω‾\overline\OmegaΩ. ∣∇u∣2|\nabla u|^2∣∇u∣2 is the sum of the squared moduli of the partial derivatives.
  • Corrected scope: Theorem 1.4 is printed for a general aaa satisfying (1.17)–(1.18); §5.2 proves it only for a≡1a \equiv 1a≡1, which is what is stated.
  • Corrected slips: (5.22) prints Δφ=−μ2φ\Delta\varphi = -\mu^2\varphiΔφ=−μ2φ for −Λ2φ-\Lambda^2\varphi−Λ2φ; p. 1584 prints eα+iβφ(x)e^{\alpha+i\beta}\varphi(x)eα+iβφ(x) for e(α+iβ)tφ(x)e^{(\alpha+i\beta)t}\varphi(x)e(α+iβ)tφ(x); the p. 1585 bound is supplemented by the upper bound of milestone 6. Milestone texts are quoted verbatim, including the slips.
  • The standing hypotheses (1.6)–(1.7) and the constant ξ\xiξ of (1.10) are not used by §5.2 and are omitted, which strengthens the statements.
  • A trivializing formalization is ruled out: the goal's conclusion E↛0\mathcal E \not\to 0E→0 excludes u≡0u \equiv 0u≡0, the energy integrand is continuous on the compact Ω‾\overline\OmegaΩ so the integral is genuine, and the normal derivative is taken within Ω‾\overline\OmegaΩ so the Neumann condition is not satisfied by a junk value.
  • No statement assumes the existence of eigenvalues; supplying the spectral theory of the mixed Laplacian is part of the goal. Contributions welcome: the spectral theorem for the mixed Dirichlet–Neumann Laplacian on a bounded C2C^2C2 domain, boundary regularity of its eigenfunctions, and the energy identity for separated solutions.

Selected references

  • S. Nicaise, C. Pignotti, Stability and instability results of the wave equation with a delay term in the boundary or internal feedbacks, SIAM J. Control Optim. 45(5):1561–1585, 2006. https://doi.org/10.1137/060648891
  • R. Datko, Not all feedback stabilized hyperbolic systems are robust with respect to small time delays in their feedbacks, SIAM J. Control Optim. 26:697–713, 1988.
  • R. Datko, J. Lagnese, M. P. Polis, An example on the effect of time delays in boundary feedback stabilization of wave equations, SIAM J. Control Optim. 24:152–156, 1986.
  • P. Grisvard, Elliptic Problems in Nonsmooth Domains, Pitman, 1985 (regularity of mixed boundary value problems).
10 thms2 active usersReviewed
AnalysisPartial Differential Equations·Captain: mikedeng1

Stability and Instability Results of the Wave Equation with a Delay Term in the Boundary or Internal Feedbacks III: Destabilizing Delays for Boundary FeedbackResearch Paper

Motivation

Boundary feedback stabilization of the wave equation asks whether a damping term placed on part of the boundary drives the energy of every solution to zero. Without delay the answer is classical: the feedback ∂u/∂ν=−μ1ut\partial u/\partial\nu = -\mu_1 u_t∂u/∂ν=−μ1​ut​ on a part ΓN\Gamma_NΓN​ of the boundary gives exponential energy decay under geometric conditions (Chen, Lagnese, Lasiecka–Triggiani, Komornik–Zuazua). In practice a feedback is applied with a lag, and a small lag can destroy stability. Datko, Lagnese and Polis (doi:10.1137/0324007) and Datko (doi:10.1137/0326040) showed, in one space dimension, that a purely delayed boundary feedback destabilizes the system for arbitrarily small delays.

Nicaise and Pignotti (doi:10.1137/060648891) study a feedback made of an instantaneous part and a delayed part, with weights μ1\mu_1μ1​ and μ2\mu_2μ2​, in any space dimension. Their Theorem 1.1 gives exponential decay when μ2<μ1\mu_2 < \mu_1μ2​<μ1​. This mission formalizes the converse, Theorem 1.2: when μ2≥μ1\mu_2 \ge \mu_1μ2​≥μ1​, some delays admit solutions whose energy does not decay at all.

Timeline.

  • 1986: Datko, Lagnese and Polis, a one-dimensional wave equation whose delayed boundary feedback is unstable.
  • 1988: Datko, instability under arbitrarily small delays for a class of hyperbolic systems.
  • 2006: Xu, Yung and Li (doi:10.1051/cocv:2006021), one space dimension, by spectral analysis: stability for μ2<μ1\mu_2 < \mu_1μ2​<μ1​, instability for μ2>μ1\mu_2 > \mu_1μ2​>μ1​, possible instabilities for μ1=μ2\mu_1 = \mu_2μ1​=μ2​.
  • 2006: Nicaise and Pignotti, the same dichotomy in any dimension nnn, with explicit destabilizing delays built from eigenfunctions (§5.1).

Setting

Let n≥1n \ge 1n≥1 and let Ω⊂Rn\Omega \subset \mathbb R^nΩ⊂Rn be a bounded open set with boundary Γ\GammaΓ of class C2C^2C2. The boundary is split as Γ=ΓD∪ΓN\Gamma = \Gamma_D \cup \Gamma_NΓ=ΓD​∪ΓN​, with ΓD‾∩ΓN‾=∅\overline{\Gamma_D} \cap \overline{\Gamma_N} = \emptysetΓD​​∩ΓN​​=∅ and ΓD≠∅\Gamma_D \neq \emptysetΓD​=∅. Write ν\nuν for the outer unit normal and dΓd\GammadΓ for the surface measure. Together these data form a mixed domain (MixedDomain n in Lean).

Fix μ1,μ2>0\mu_1, \mu_2 > 0μ1​,μ2​>0 and a delay τ>0\tau > 0τ>0. The problem (1.1)–(1.3) is

{utt(x,t)−Δu(x,t)=0in Ω×(0,+∞),u(x,t)=0on ΓD×(0,+∞),∂u∂ν(x,t)=−μ1ut(x,t)−μ2ut(x,t−τ)on ΓN×(0,+∞),\begin{cases} u_{tt}(x,t) - \Delta u(x,t) = 0 & \text{in } \Omega \times (0,+\infty),\\ u(x,t) = 0 & \text{on } \Gamma_D \times (0,+\infty),\\ \dfrac{\partial u}{\partial\nu}(x,t) = -\mu_1 u_t(x,t) - \mu_2 u_t(x,t-\tau) & \text{on } \Gamma_N \times (0,+\infty), \end{cases}⎩⎨⎧​utt​(x,t)−Δu(x,t)=0u(x,t)=0∂ν∂u​(x,t)=−μ1​ut​(x,t)−μ2​ut​(x,t−τ)​in Ω×(0,+∞),on ΓD​×(0,+∞),on ΓN​×(0,+∞),​

with initial data u(⋅,0)u(\cdot,0)u(⋅,0), ut(⋅,0)u_t(\cdot,0)ut​(⋅,0) and a history utu_tut​ on ΓN×(−τ,0)\Gamma_N \times (-\tau,0)ΓN​×(−τ,0) (1.4)–(1.5). The standard energy of a solution is (3.7)

E(t)=12∫Ω(∣ut(x,t)∣2+∣∇u(x,t)∣2) dx.\mathcal E(t) = \frac12\int_\Omega \big(|u_t(x,t)|^2 + |\nabla u(x,t)|^2\big)\,dx .E(t)=21​∫Ω​(∣ut​(x,t)∣2+∣∇u(x,t)∣2)dx.

Condition (1.8) of the paper is μ2<μ1\mu_2 < \mu_1μ2​<μ1​. This mission concerns the complementary case μ2≥μ1\mu_2 \ge \mu_1μ2​≥μ1​.

For real functions www on Ω\OmegaΩ, (5.11) defines q0(w)=∫ΓN∣w∣2 dΓq_0(w) = \int_{\Gamma_N} |w|^2\,d\Gammaq0​(w)=∫ΓN​​∣w∣2dΓ and q1(w)=∫Ω∣∇w∣2 dxq_1(w) = \int_\Omega |\nabla w|^2\,dxq1​(w)=∫Ω​∣∇w∣2dx.

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem 1.2 (p. 1563)

If μ2≥μ1\mu_2 \ge \mu_1μ2​≥μ1​, there exist delays 0<τ0<τ1<⋯0 < \tau_0 < \tau_1 < \cdots0<τ0​<τ1​<⋯ and, for each kkk, a classical solution uku_kuk​ of (1.1)–(1.3) with delay τk\tau_kτk​ and a constant ck>0c_k > 0ck​>0 such that

Ek(t)=ckfor all t≥0.\mathcal E_k(t) = c_k \qquad \text{for all } t \ge 0 .Ek​(t)=ck​for all t≥0.

The statement fixes no formula for the delays and no value of the energy. It asserts only the existence of infinitely many delays for which the energy does not decay.

Milestones

  1. (5.1)–(5.2), pp. 1579–1580. If λ∈C\lambda \in \mathbb Cλ∈C and φ\varphiφ solves −Δφ+λ2φ=0-\Delta\varphi + \lambda^2\varphi = 0−Δφ+λ2φ=0 in Ω\OmegaΩ, φ=0\varphi = 0φ=0 on ΓD\Gamma_DΓD​ and ∂φ/∂ν=−(μ1+μ2e−λτ)λφ\partial\varphi/\partial\nu = -(\mu_1 + \mu_2 e^{-\lambda\tau})\lambda\varphi∂φ/∂ν=−(μ1​+μ2​e−λτ)λφ on ΓN\Gamma_NΓN​, then u=eλtφu = e^{\lambda t}\varphiu=eλtφ solves (1.1)–(1.3).
  2. (5.5)–(5.7), pp. 1580 and 1582. For b>0b > 0b>0, l∈Nl \in \mathbb Nl∈N and bτ=arccos⁡(−μ1/μ2)+2lπb\tau = \arccos(-\mu_1/\mu_2) + 2l\pibτ=arccos(−μ1​/μ2​)+2lπ:
cos⁡(bτ)=−μ1/μ2,μ2sin⁡(bτ)=μ22−μ12,(μ1+μ2e−ibτ) ib=bμ22−μ12.\cos(b\tau) = -\mu_1/\mu_2,\qquad \mu_2\sin(b\tau) = \sqrt{\mu_2^2-\mu_1^2},\qquad (\mu_1 + \mu_2e^{-ib\tau})\,ib = b\sqrt{\mu_2^2-\mu_1^2}.cos(bτ)=−μ1​/μ2​,μ2​sin(bτ)=μ22​−μ12​​,(μ1​+μ2​e−ibτ)ib=bμ22​−μ12​​.
  1. Case (a), μ1=μ2\mu_1 = \mu_2μ1​=μ2​, p. 1581. For a normalized mixed Dirichlet–Neumann eigenfunction φ\varphiφ with −Δφ=b2φ-\Delta\varphi = b^2\varphi−Δφ=b2φ and τ=(2l+1)π/b\tau = (2l+1)\pi/bτ=(2l+1)π/b, the function u=eibtφu = e^{ibt}\varphiu=eibtφ is a solution and
∫Ω(∣∇u∣2+∣ut∣2) dx=2b2(t≥0).\int_\Omega(|\nabla u|^2 + |u_t|^2)\,dx = 2b^2 \quad (t \ge 0).∫Ω​(∣∇u∣2+∣ut​∣2)dx=2b2(t≥0).
  1. Case (b), μ2>μ1\mu_2 > \mu_1μ2​>μ1​, pp. 1581–1582. A normalized minimizer φ\varphiφ of s q0(w)+s2q0(w)2+4q1(w)s\,q_0(w) + \sqrt{s^2q_0(w)^2 + 4q_1(w)}sq0​(w)+s2q0​(w)2+4q1​(w)​, where s=μ22−μ12s = \sqrt{\mu_2^2-\mu_1^2}s=μ22​−μ12​​, solves the variational problem (5.7) with 2b2b2b equal to the minimum value.

Significance

The result. Theorem 1.2 shows that the threshold μ2<μ1\mu_2 < \mu_1μ2​<μ1​ of Theorem 1.1 is sharp in the following sense: once the delayed weight reaches the instantaneous one, no geometric assumption restores asymptotic stability for every delay. Together, Theorems 1.1 and 1.2 separate robust from non-robust boundary feedbacks by a single inequality between the two gains. The explicit delays of case (a), τn,l=(2l+1)π/bn\tau_{n,l} = (2l+1)\pi/b_nτn,l​=(2l+1)π/bn​, become arbitrarily small or large. So even an arbitrarily short lag in an equally weighted feedback can remove decay.

The formalization. The paper proves the result. It has not been formalized, and Mathlib has no wave equation on domains, no mixed eigenvalue problems and no Sobolev spaces on domains. This mission produces:

  • a machine-checked statement of the instability half of the paper's dichotomy;
  • the reduction to a spectral problem as separate, checkable steps;
  • a precise record of what the paper leaves implicit. In case (b) the existence of the minimizer is assumed ("if the minimum … is attained"), and in case (a) the existence of Dirichlet–Neumann eigenfunctions is quoted.

Difficulty

Milestones 1 and 2 are calculus and trigonometry. The difficulty sits in producing φ\varphiφ. The goal needs a nonzero function φ\varphiφ that is C2C^2C2 in Ω\OmegaΩ and C1C^1C1 up to the boundary and solves an eigenvalue problem with mixed Dirichlet and Neumann (case (a)) or Dirichlet and Robin-type (case (b)) boundary conditions. Existence requires compactness of HΓD1(Ω)↪L2(Ω)H^1_{\Gamma_D}(\Omega) \hookrightarrow L^2(\Omega)HΓD​1​(Ω)↪L2(Ω) and of the trace into L2(ΓN)L^2(\Gamma_N)L2(ΓN​), followed by elliptic regularity up to a C2C^2C2 boundary. None of these is in Mathlib.

A shortcut does not work: in case (b) the frequency bbb enters the boundary condition, so φ\varphiφ is not an eigenfunction of a fixed self-adjoint operator. The page instead minimizes a non-quadratic functional, and its first-variation computation (5.18)–(5.19) needs care: the functional is not 2-homogeneous, so the normalization by 1+ε2∥v∥21 + \varepsilon^2\|v\|^21+ε2∥v∥2 does not literally give g(ε)≥g(0)g(\varepsilon) \ge g(0)g(ε)≥g(0), although the first-order condition is right.

Taking real parts does not give a real-valued solution with constant energy: in case (b) the energy of cos⁡(bt)φ\cos(bt)\varphicos(bt)φ oscillates.

Formalization scope

  • Solutions are complex-valued, u:Rn×R→Cu : \mathbb R^n \times \mathbb R \to \mathbb Cu:Rn×R→C, as the page's eλtφe^{\lambda t}\varphieλtφ with λ∈C\lambda \in \mathbb Cλ∈C are. ∣ut∣2|u_t|^2∣ut​∣2 and ∣∇u∣2=∑i∣∂iu∣2|\nabla u|^2 = \sum_i |\partial_i u|^2∣∇u∣2=∑i​∣∂i​u∣2 are squared moduli.
  • Classical solutions. A solution is C2C^2C2 on Ω×R\Omega \times \mathbb RΩ×R and C1C^1C1 on Ω‾×R\overline\Omega \times \mathbb RΩ×R. It solves the equations for t>0t > 0t>0, and its values at t≤0t \le 0t≤0 are the initial data and history. The normal derivative is the derivative within Ω‾\overline\OmegaΩ applied to ν\nuν. C2C^2C2 regularity up to the boundary is not required, because eigenfunctions of mixed problems generally lack it.
  • The domain. The C2C^2C2 boundary is given by a global defining function ψ\psiψ with Ω={ψ<0}\Omega = \{\psi < 0\}Ω={ψ<0}. The surface measure is pinned down by the Gauss–Green formula for all C1C^1C1 vector fields, which determines it uniquely.
  • Dropped hypotheses. The geometric hypotheses (1.6)–(1.7) and the parameter ξ\xiξ of (1.10) are not used in §5.1 and are omitted. This strengthens the statements.
  • Sobolev spaces. HΓD1(Ω)H^1_{\Gamma_D}(\Omega)HΓD​1​(Ω) is replaced in milestone 4 by the class of real functions that are C2C^2C2 in Ω\OmegaΩ, C1C^1C1 on Ω‾\overline\OmegaΩ and zero on ΓD\Gamma_DΓD​, both as the minimization class and as the test class.
  • Non-triviality. The goal requires the constant energy to be positive and the delays to be strictly increasing. Without positivity, the zero solution would satisfy "constant energy". Without strict monotonicity, one delay repeated would count as a sequence.

A complete development needs the following:

  • Green's first identity on C2C^2C2 domains for functions that are C1C^1C1 up to the boundary;
  • existence and regularity of eigenfunctions of the Laplacian with mixed boundary conditions;
  • in case (b), existence of the minimizer (Rellich compactness and the trace theorem).

These pieces are reusable well beyond this mission. Contributions of any of them, or of an alternative route to a φ\varphiφ with the required properties, are welcome.

Selected references

  • S. Nicaise, C. Pignotti, Stability and instability results of the wave equation with a delay term in the boundary or internal feedbacks, SIAM J. Control Optim. 45(5):1561–1585, 2006. https://doi.org/10.1137/060648891
  • R. Datko, J. Lagnese, M. P. Polis, An example on the effect of time delays in boundary feedback stabilization of wave equations, SIAM J. Control Optim. 24:152–156, 1986. https://doi.org/10.1137/0324007
  • R. Datko, Not all feedback stabilized hyperbolic systems are robust with respect to small time delays in their feedbacks, SIAM J. Control Optim. 26:697–713, 1988. https://doi.org/10.1137/0326040
  • G. Q. Xu, S. P. Yung, L. K. Li, Stabilization of wave systems with input delay in the boundary control, ESAIM Control Optim. Calc. Var. 12:770–785, 2006. https://doi.org/10.1051/cocv:2006021
7 thms2 active usersReviewed
Dynamical SystemsLinear algebra·Captain: mikedeng1

Stabilization for a Perturbed Chain of Integrators in Prescribed Time I: Prescribed-Time Estimates for the Linear Time-Varying FeedbackResearch Paper

Motivation

Many control tasks have to settle at a given deadline, not merely eventually. Examples are missile guidance, where the interception time is fixed in advance, and rendezvous or consensus manoeuvres that must finish by a scheduled instant. Prescribed-time stabilization asks for a feedback that brings the state of a system to the origin at a time T>0T>0T>0 chosen by the designer, independently of the initial condition, and keeps this property under disturbances. It is stronger than finite-time stabilization, where the settling time depends on the initial state, and stronger than fixed-time stabilization, where it is only bounded uniformly.

Song, Wang, Holloway and Krstić (Automatica 2017) obtained prescribed-time regulation of normal-form systems with feedback gains that grow without bound as t→Tt\to Tt→T. The computations required explicit time derivatives of the gain function. Chitour, Ushirobira and Bouhemou (SIAM J. Control Optim. 2020) recast this construction as time-varying homogeneity: a time-dependent dilation of the state combined with a change of time turns the prescribed-time problem into a standard exponential-stabilization problem on an infinite horizon. The analysis then reduces to linear matrix inequalities. This mission formalizes the linear-feedback part of that paper (§3.1, pp. 1026–1030).

Timeline:

  • 2010: Chitour and Sigalotti (SIAM J. Control Optim. 48) prove a Lyapunov LMI for Jn−benKTJ_n - b e_n K^TJn​−ben​KT, uniform over a bounded range b‾≤b≤bˉ\underline b\le b\le\bar bb​≤b≤bˉ.
  • 2017: Song, Wang, Holloway and Krstić give prescribed-time regulation with a time-varying feedback.
  • 2020: Chitour, Ushirobira and Bouhemou remove the upper bound bˉ\bar bbˉ (Proposition 10) and derive the prescribed-time estimate by time-varying homogeneity (Corollary 14).

Setting

Fix a positive integer nnn and a prescribed time T>0T>0T>0. Let (ei)1≤i≤n(e_i)_{1\le i\le n}(ei​)1≤i≤n​ be the canonical basis of Rn\mathbb R^nRn, and let JnJ_nJn​ be the nnn-th Jordan block, Jnei=ei−1J_n e_i = e_{i-1}Jn​ei​=ei−1​ with e0=0e_0=0e0​=0. The perturbed chain of integrators is

x˙(t)=Jnx(t)+(d(t)+b(t)u(t))en,t∈[0,T),\dot x(t) = J_n x(t) + \big(d(t) + b(t)u(t)\big) e_n, \qquad t\in[0,T),x˙(t)=Jn​x(t)+(d(t)+b(t)u(t))en​,t∈[0,T),

with state x(t)∈Rnx(t)\in\mathbb R^nx(t)∈Rn and control u(t)∈Ru(t)\in\mathbb Ru(t)∈R. Here ddd is a measurable matched disturbance, and bbb is an uncertain control gain with b(t)≥b‾>0b(t)\ge\underline b>0b(t)≥b​>0 and no upper bound.

With weights ri=n−i+1r_i = n-i+1ri​=n−i+1, the dilation is Dμr=diag⁡(μr1,…,μrn)D^{\mathbf r}_\mu = \operatorname{diag}(\mu^{r_1},\dots,\mu^{r_n})Dμr​=diag(μr1​,…,μrn​) and Dr=diag⁡(r1,…,rn)D_{\mathbf r} = \operatorname{diag}(r_1,\dots,r_n)Dr​=diag(r1​,…,rn​). An admissible weight is a continuous function a≥0a\ge0a≥0 on [0,T][0,T][0,T] with ∫tTa>0\int_t^T a>0∫tT​a>0 for t<Tt<Tt<T. It defines

λ(t)=1∫tTa(ξ) dξ,s(t)=∫0tλ(ξ) dξ,0≤t<T.\lambda(t) = \frac{1}{\int_t^T a(\xi)\,d\xi},\qquad s(t) = \int_0^t\lambda(\xi)\,d\xi,\qquad 0\le t<T.λ(t)=∫tT​a(ξ)dξ1​,s(t)=∫0t​λ(ξ)dξ,0≤t<T.

The parameter λ\lambdaλ blows up at TTT, and sss maps [0,T)[0,T)[0,T) onto [0,∞)[0,\infty)[0,∞). In the coordinates y=Dλ(t)rxy = D^{\mathbf r}_{\lambda(t)}xy=Dλ(t)r​x and the time sss, the system becomes

y′=(aDr+Jn)y+(bu+d)en.y' = \big(a D_{\mathbf r} + J_n\big)y + (b u + d)e_n .y′=(aDr​+Jn​)y+(bu+d)en​.

The feedback studied is u=−KTDηryu = -K^T D^{\mathbf r}_\eta yu=−KTDηr​y, that is u(t)=−KTDηλ(t)rx(t)u(t) = -K^T D^{\mathbf r}_{\eta\lambda(t)}x(t)u(t)=−KTDηλ(t)r​x(t) in the original variables, where K∈RnK\in\mathbb R^nK∈Rn and η≥1\eta\ge1η≥1.

Formalization targets

Goal: Corollary 14 (corrected)

There is a rate μ>0\mu>0μ>0 depending only on nnn and b‾\underline bb​ such that, for every TTT and admissible aaa, there are KKK and C>0C>0C>0 with

∣xi(t)∣≤1(ηλ(t))n−i+1(Cηmax⁡(1,ηn−1)e−μηs(t)∥x(0)∥+Cmax⁡r∈[0,t]∣d(r)∣)|x_i(t)| \le \frac{1}{(\eta\lambda(t))^{n-i+1}}\Big(C\eta\max(1,\eta^{n-1})e^{-\mu\eta s(t)}\|x(0)\| + C\max_{r\in[0,t]}|d(r)|\Big)∣xi​(t)∣≤(ηλ(t))n−i+11​(Cηmax(1,ηn−1)e−μηs(t)∥x(0)∥+Cr∈[0,t]max​∣d(r)∣)

for every η≥1\eta\ge1η≥1, every b≥b‾b\ge\underline bb≥b​, every disturbance ddd, every closed-loop solution, every t∈[0,T)t\in[0,T)t∈[0,T) and every 1≤i≤n1\le i\le n1≤i≤n. Since λ(t)→∞\lambda(t)\to\inftyλ(t)→∞, every coordinate reaches 000 at the prescribed time TTT.

Milestones

  1. §3 (10): λ˙=aλ2\dot\lambda = a\lambda^2λ˙=aλ2, λ\lambdaλ is nondecreasing and tends to ∞\infty∞ at TTT, and sss is an increasing C1C^1C1 bijection [0,T)→[0,∞)[0,T)\to[0,\infty)[0,T)→[0,∞).
  2. §3 (7)–(11): the transformed dynamics.
  3. Proposition 10: ∃ρ,S,K\exists\rho,S,K∃ρ,S,K such that (Jn−benKT)TS+S(Jn−benKT)⪯−ρ Id(J_n - be_nK^T)^TS + S(J_n-be_nK^T)\preceq-\rho\,\mathrm{Id}(Jn​−ben​KT)TS+S(Jn​−ben​KT)⪯−ρId for all b≥b‾b\ge\underline bb≥b​.
  4. Proposition 11: the same LMI with aDraD_{\mathbf r}aDr​ added, uniformly in ∣a∣≤C0|a|\le C_0∣a∣≤C0​.
  5. Proposition 12 (corrected): the ISS estimate (17) in the time sss.
  6. Proposition 13: the η\etaη-scaled LMI (20).

Significance

Corollary 14 says that a linear feedback with a time-varying gain drives the chain of integrators to the origin at the designer's deadline TTT. The guarantee holds for every control gain b≥b‾b\ge\underline bb≥b​, however large, and gives an explicit input-to-state bound for the matched disturbance. The weight aaa is free, so the blow-up profile of the gain can be chosen, for example to converge faster than polynomially. Proposition 10 removes the upper bound on bbb from the classical LMI, and is of independent use for high-gain and persistently excited systems.

On formalization: the results are proved on paper; no formalization of them is known. The mission produces checked statements of the LMIs, the time change, and the prescribed-time estimate. Two printed estimates are false as stated, (17) and (23), and the mission states corrected versions (see Formalization scope). Formal proofs would certify the corrected constants.

Difficulty

The obvious approach is to take a Lyapunov function for the constant-coefficient closed loop and differentiate it along trajectories. This fails for two reasons. First, bbb ranges over an unbounded interval, so no compactness argument yields a common Lyapunov matrix, and a single SSS and KKK must work for all b≥b‾b\ge\underline bb≥b​ at once. Second, the transformed system carries the time-varying term a(s)Dra(s)D_{\mathbf r}a(s)Dr​, and in the original time the feedback gain λ(t)\lambda(t)λ(t) is unbounded. Estimates must survive both the rescaling by Dηλ(t)rD^{\mathbf r}_{\eta\lambda(t)}Dηλ(t)r​ and the change of time. Constants that look harmless in the new time, such as the condition number of SSS and the value λ(0)\lambda(0)λ(0), reappear in the original variables, and dropping them makes the printed estimates false.

Formalization scope

Lean representation: vectors of Rn\mathbb R^nRn are Fin n → ℝ, and coordinate i : Fin n is the paper's index i.val + 1, so rir_iri​ = n - i.val. Matrices are Matrix (Fin n) (Fin n) ℝ, and enKTe_nK^Ten​KT is vecMulVec (eN n) K. Matrix inequalities use the Loewner order (open scoped MatrixOrder), and "real symmetric positive definite" is PosDef. The norm ∥⋅∥\|\cdot\|∥⋅∥ is Euclidean, written out as eucNorm. Solutions are Carathéodory solutions in integral form: for every ttt in the interval, the right-hand side is integrable on [0,t][0,t][0,t] and the integral identity holds. This matches the paper's measurable bbb and ddd. The standing assumptions are n≥1n\ge1n≥1 (§3), T>0T>0T>0, aaa continuous and nonnegative on [0,T][0,T][0,T] with ∫tTa>0\int_t^Ta>0∫tT​a>0 on [0,T)[0,T)[0,T), and b≥b‾>0b\ge\underline b>0b≥b​>0. No upper bound on bbb is assumed anywhere. max⁡∣d∣\max|d|max∣d∣ is replaced by an arbitrary bound DDD of ∣d∣|d|∣d∣ on the interval.

Corrected statements, with milestone texts kept verbatim:

  • (17) as printed has no constant on the transient term and fails for n≥2n\ge2n≥2: with a≡1a\equiv1a≡1 and y(0)=e1y(0)=e_1y(0)=e1​, ∣y1∣|y_1|∣y1​∣ first increases. Proposition 12 is stated with CSC_SCS​ on that term.
  • (23) as printed fails at t=0t=0t=0 whenever ∫0Ta<1\int_0^Ta<1∫0T​a<1. The goal is stated with a constant CCC on the transient term, and KKK and CCC may depend on TTT and aaa. The rate μ\muμ and the disturbance gain CSC_SCS​ depend only on nnn and b‾\underline bb​, as on the page.
  • Proposition 13's undefined μ∗\mu_*μ∗​ is the ρ\rhoρ of its statement.
  • "λ\lambdaλ increasing" is read as nondecreasing.
  • Corollary 14's "t≥0t\ge0t≥0" is read as t∈[0,T)t\in[0,T)t∈[0,T).

Trivializing encodings are ruled out as follows. The integrability clause of IsIntegralSolution prevents a non-integrable right-hand side from integrating to 000. Every constant is quantified before the objects it must not depend on: the rate μ\muμ before TTT and aaa, KKK before η\etaη, and ρ,S,K\rho,S,Kρ,S,K before bbb. No statement weakens the estimates to mere convergence.

Needed infrastructure: Lyapunov estimates for absolutely continuous solutions, Loewner-order congruence, and interval-integral calculus for the time change. The LMI lemmas and the integral-form solution predicate are reusable in other control missions. Proofs of any milestone are welcome, and so are sharper constants.

Selected references

  • Y. Chitour, R. Ushirobira, H. Bouhemou, Stabilization for a Perturbed Chain of Integrators in Prescribed Time, SIAM J. Control Optim. 58(2):1022–1048, 2020. https://doi.org/10.1137/19M1285937
  • Y. Song, Y. Wang, J. Holloway, M. Krstić, Time-varying feedback for regulation of normal-form nonlinear systems in prescribed finite time, Automatica 83:243–251, 2017. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.automatica.2017.06.008
  • Y. Chitour, M. Sigalotti, On the stabilization of persistently excited linear systems, SIAM J. Control Optim. 48:4032–4055, 2010. https://doi.org/10.1137/080737812
10 thms2 active usersReviewed
Operations ResearchOptimization·Captain: mikedeng1

Optimizing Static Linear Feedback: Gradient Method I: The Gradient Method Converges to a Stationary Point, and Linearly to the Optimal Gain under State FeedbackResearch Paper

Motivation

The linear-quadratic regulator (LQR) is the basic problem of optimal control: steer a linear system x˙=Ax+Bu\dot x = Ax + Bux˙=Ax+Bu so as to minimize an integrated quadratic cost. When the full state is measured and the gain may be chosen freely, the optimal feedback is given by the algebraic Riccati equation (Kalman, 1960). In many applications only an output y=Cxy = Cxy=Cx is measured, and the controller is restricted to a static feedback u=−Kyu = -Kyu=−Ky. For this output-feedback problem no Riccati-type characterization exists; the design problem is a non-convex optimization over the gain matrix KKK.

Direct optimization of the gain by gradient descent, known in the control literature since Levine and Athans (1970) and revived in reinforcement learning as policy gradient (Fazel, Ge, Kakade and Mesbahi, 2018, arXiv:1801.05039), is therefore of interest both to control engineers and to the learning community. Fatkhullin and Polyak (arXiv:2004.09875, SIAM J. Control Optim. 2021) give a self-contained analysis of the continuous-time problem: the cost is coercive on the set of stabilizing gains, smooth on sublevel sets, and, for state feedback, satisfies a gradient-domination (Łežanski–Polyak–Łojasiewicz) inequality. From these they derive convergence guarantees for the gradient method.

Setting

Fix real matrices A∈Rn×nA\in\mathbb R^{n\times n}A∈Rn×n, B∈Rn×mB\in\mathbb R^{n\times m}B∈Rn×m, C∈Rr×nC\in\mathbb R^{r\times n}C∈Rr×n and weights Q∈Rn×nQ\in\mathbb R^{n\times n}Q∈Rn×n, R∈Rm×mR\in\mathbb R^{m\times m}R∈Rm×m, and an initial-state covariance Σ∈Rn×n\Sigma\in\mathbb R^{n\times n}Σ∈Rn×n. A gain is a matrix K∈Rm×rK\in\mathbb R^{m\times r}K∈Rm×r, and the closed-loop matrix is AK=A−BKCA_K = A - BKCAK​=A−BKC. A square matrix is Hurwitz if all its complex eigenvalues have negative real part. The set of stabilizing gains is

S={K∈Rm×r:AK is Hurwitz}.\mathcal S = \{K\in\mathbb R^{m\times r} : A_K \text{ is Hurwitz}\}.S={K∈Rm×r:AK​ is Hurwitz}.

For K∈SK\in\mathcal SK∈S let X(K)X(K)X(K) be the unique solution of the Lyapunov equation

AK⊤X+XAK+C⊤K⊤RKC+Q=0,A_K^\top X + XA_K + C^\top K^\top RKC + Q = 0,AK⊤​X+XAK​+C⊤K⊤RKC+Q=0,

and define the cost f(K)=Tr(X(K)Σ)f(K)=\mathrm{Tr}\big(X(K)\Sigma\big)f(K)=Tr(X(K)Σ), the expected integrated quadratic cost of the closed loop from a random initial state with covariance Σ\SigmaΣ. With Y(K)Y(K)Y(K) the solution of AKY+YAK⊤+Σ=0A_KY+YA_K^\top+\Sigma=0AK​Y+YAK⊤​+Σ=0, the gradient of fff in the Frobenius inner product is

∇f(K)=2(RKC−B⊤X(K))Y(K)C⊤.\nabla f(K)=2\big(RKC-B^\top X(K)\big)Y(K)C^\top .∇f(K)=2(RKC−B⊤X(K))Y(K)C⊤.

A known stabilizing gain K0∈SK_0\in\mathcal SK0​∈S is given, and S0={K∈S:f(K)≤f(K0)}\mathcal S_0=\{K\in\mathcal S: f(K)\le f(K_0)\}S0​={K∈S:f(K)≤f(K0​)} is its sublevel set. The standing assumptions are Q,R,Σ≻0Q,R,\Sigma\succ0Q,R,Σ≻0, rank⁡C=r\operatorname{rank}C=rrankC=r and B≠0B\neq0B=0. State feedback (SLQR) is the case C=IC=IC=I.

The gradient method with step sizes γj\gamma_jγj​ is

Kj+1=Kj−γj∇f(Kj),j≥0.K_{j+1}=K_j-\gamma_j\nabla f(K_j),\qquad j\ge0 .Kj+1​=Kj​−γj​∇f(Kj​),j≥0.

A number L>0L>0L>0 is a smoothness constant if ∥∇f(K)−∇f(K′)∥F≤L∥K−K′∥F\|\nabla f(K)-\nabla f(K')\|_F\le L\|K-K'\|_F∥∇f(K)−∇f(K′)∥F​≤L∥K−K′∥F​ for all K,K′∈S0K,K'\in\mathcal S_0K,K′∈S0​.

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem 4.2 for state feedback

For C=IC=IC=I, an optimal gain K∗∈SK_*\in\mathcal SK∗​∈S, and any smoothness constant LLL:

  1. if 0<γj≤2/L0<\gamma_j\le 2/L0<γj​≤2/L for all jjj, then every Kj∈S0K_j\in\mathcal S_0Kj​∈S0​ and
f(Kj+1)≤f(Kj)−γj(1−Lγj2)∥∇f(Kj)∥F2;f(K_{j+1})\le f(K_j)-\gamma_j\Big(1-\frac{L\gamma_j}{2}\Big)\|\nabla f(K_j)\|_F^2 ;f(Kj+1​)≤f(Kj​)−γj​(1−2Lγj​​)∥∇f(Kj​)∥F2​;
  1. if 0<ε1≤γj≤2/L−ε20<\varepsilon_1\le\gamma_j\le 2/L-\varepsilon_20<ε1​≤γj​≤2/L−ε2​ with ε2>0\varepsilon_2>0ε2​>0, then ∇f(Kj)→0\nabla f(K_j)\to0∇f(Kj​)→0,
min⁡0≤j≤k∥∇f(Kj)∥F2≤f(K0)c1k(k≥1),c1=ε1ε2L2,\min_{0\le j\le k}\|\nabla f(K_j)\|_F^2\le\frac{f(K_0)}{c_1k}\quad(k\ge1),\qquad c_1=\frac{\varepsilon_1\varepsilon_2L}{2},0≤j≤kmin​∥∇f(Kj​)∥F2​≤c1​kf(K0​)​(k≥1),c1​=2ε1​ε2​L​,

and there are c≥0c\ge0c≥0, 0≤q<10\le q<10≤q<1 with ∥Kj−K∗∥F≤c qj\|K_j-K_*\|_F\le c\,q^j∥Kj​−K∗​∥F​≤cqj.

Milestones

In attack order:

  • Appendix A lemmas. Trace duality of dual Lyapunov equations (Lemma A.1), the trace sandwich (Lemma A.4), and eigenvalue lower bounds for Lyapunov solutions (Lemma A.5).
  • Coercivity and existence. Coercivity of fff with the lower bounds (3.1)–(3.2) (Lemma 3.8), boundedness of S0\mathcal S_0S0​ (Corollary 3.9), and existence of a minimizer (Corollary 3.10).
  • Smoothness. The gradient formula (Lemma 3.11) and existence of a smoothness constant on S0\mathcal S_0S0​ (Theorem 3.15, qualitative form).
  • Gradient domination for state feedback. Lemmas C.2, C.3 and C.1, and the LPL inequality with the explicit constant (3.11):
12∥∇f(K)∥F2≥μ(f(K)−f(K∗)),K∈S0(Theorem 3.17).\tfrac12\|\nabla f(K)\|_F^2\ge\mu\big(f(K)-f(K_*)\big),\qquad K\in\mathcal S_0 \qquad\text{(Theorem 3.17)}.21​∥∇f(K)∥F2​≥μ(f(K)−f(K∗​)),K∈S0​(Theorem 3.17).
  • Theorem 4.2 for output feedback. Descent and stationarity, parts 1 and 2 without the linear rate, for general CCC.

Significance

The theorem shows that a plain first-order method, started from any stabilizing gain, never destabilizes the closed loop and decreases the cost monotonically, for output feedback as well as state feedback. For state feedback it converges globally and linearly to the optimal gain. The cost is non-convex, and its domain S\mathcal SS is open, possibly non-convex and unbounded, so this does not follow from convex optimization theory. It is the continuous-time counterpart of the policy-gradient guarantees of Fazel et al. for discrete-time LQR, and it underlies model-free and data-driven variants of gain tuning.

The result is proved in the paper, but it has not been formalized. The formalization adds three things. It makes the invariance argument (the iterates stay in S0\mathcal S_0S0​) explicit, and the paper describes that argument as the non-trivial part. It corrects the statements where the printed text is wrong (see below). It also produces a reusable library of Lyapunov-equation facts. Mathlib has no Lyapunov equation, no LQR cost and no Hurwitz stability theory, and the platform has no continuous-time LQR material. The nearest platform items treat discrete-time Riccati iteration (BertsekasDP.riccati_convergence_stability) and Polyak–Łojasiewicz rates on a whole normed space (ShiOptRates.pl_rate). Neither applies to a function defined only on a non-convex open subset.

Difficulty

The standard descent-lemma argument assumes fff is defined and LLL-smooth on the whole space. Here fff is defined only on S\mathcal SS, and it is not smooth on all of S\mathcal SS: it blows up at the boundary. A gradient step from a point of S0\mathcal S_0S0​ could in principle jump out of S\mathcal SS, where the Lyapunov equation has no meaningful solution. The smoothness bound is available only inside S0\mathcal S_0S0​, so the argument must show that the whole segment from KjK_jKj​ to Kj+1K_{j+1}Kj+1​ stays in S0\mathcal S_0S0​ before the descent inequality can be used on it. That requires coercivity, compactness of S0\mathcal S_0S0​ and an exit-time argument. For the linear rate, gradient domination has to be established on S0\mathcal S_0S0​ with constants controlled by f(K0)f(K_0)f(K0​), and passing from function values to distances to K∗K_*K∗​ needs that minimizer's structure. Gradient domination fails for output feedback (the paper's Example 3.4 has two disconnected components with different minima), so the linear rate is stated only for C=IC=IC=I.

Formalization scope

Matrices are Matrix (Fin p) (Fin q) ℝ. Hurwitz means every element of the complex spectrum has negative real part. X(K)X(K)X(K), Y(K)Y(K)Y(K) are "the unique solution of the Lyapunov equation, 000 if there is none or several"; this junk value is never used, because every statement evaluates fff and ∇f\nabla f∇f only at gains proved or assumed to lie in S\mathcal SS. The iterates' membership in S0\mathcal S_0S0​ is a conclusion of the goal, never a hypothesis; assuming it would delete the theorem's content. ∇f\nabla f∇f is defined by the formula (3.3), and Lemma 3.11 is the theorem that it is the gradient. ∥⋅∥F\|\cdot\|_F∥⋅∥F​ is ∑Mij2\sqrt{\sum M_{ij}^2}∑Mij2​​, ∥⋅∥\|\cdot\|∥⋅∥ is the spectral (operator) norm, and λ1,λn\lambda_1,\lambda_nλ1​,λn​ are the minimum and maximum eigenvalue of a symmetric matrix. State feedback is the instance r=nr=nr=n, C=1C=1C=1. In (4.6) the Frobenius norm replaces the paper's spectral norm, which is equivalent because ccc is existential. The minimum over 0≤j≤k0\le j\le k0≤j≤k requires k≥1k\ge1k≥1.

Deviations from the printed text, each recorded in the item's Formalization Note:

  • The smoothness constant. The explicit LLL of (3.8) is false as printed (for n=m=1n=m=1n=m=1, A=0A=0A=0, B=100B=100B=100, Q=100Q=100Q=100, R=10−3R=10^{-3}R=10−3, Σ=0.1\Sigma=0.1Σ=0.1, K0=10−6K_0=10^{-6}K0​=10−6, one has f′′(K0)=2Lf''(K_0)=2Lf′′(K0​)=2L). The goal therefore takes LLL as any Lipschitz constant of ∇f\nabla f∇f on S0\mathcal S_0S0​, which is the paper's definition of LLL-smoothness (§3.6) and all that its proof uses. Theorem 3.15 enters only as "some such L>0L>0L>0 exists".
  • Lemma C.1. It is stated with λ12(Σ)\lambda_1^2(\Sigma)λ12​(Σ) in the denominator, as its proof concludes and as (3.11) requires.
  • Lemma A.5. It is stated for A⊤X+XA+Q=0A^\top X+XA+Q=0A⊤X+XA+Q=0; the printed −Q-Q−Q admits no positive definite solution.
  • The gain space. S⊆Rm×r\mathcal S\subseteq\mathbb R^{m\times r}S⊆Rm×r, where p. 3 prints Rm×n\mathbb R^{m\times n}Rm×n.

Not stated: Theorem 4.3 and Algorithm 4.1, Lemma 3.6, Lemmas 3.12–3.14, Corollary 3.16 and the explicit constant (3.8). Welcome contributions include a Lyapunov-equation library (existence, uniqueness, integral representation, positivity), continuity of the spectrum, and the exit-time argument, which is reusable for any descent method on a sublevel set of an open domain.

Selected references

  • I. Fatkhullin, B. Polyak, Optimizing Static Linear Feedback: Gradient Method, SIAM J. Control Optim. 59(5), 2021; preprint arXiv:2004.09875v2. https://arxiv.org/abs/2004.09875
  • M. Fazel, R. Ge, S. Kakade, M. Mesbahi, Global Convergence of Policy Gradient Methods for the Linear Quadratic Regulator, ICML 2018. https://arxiv.org/abs/1801.05039
  • W. Levine, M. Athans, On the determination of the optimal constant output feedback gains for linear multivariable systems, IEEE Trans. Automat. Control 15(1), 1970. https://doi.org/10.1109/TAC.1970.1099363
  • H. Karimi, J. Nutini, M. Schmidt, Linear Convergence of Gradient and Proximal-Gradient Methods Under the Polyak–Łojasiewicz Condition, ECML PKDD 2016. https://arxiv.org/abs/1608.04636
  • R. E. Kalman, Contributions to the theory of optimal control, Bol. Soc. Mat. Mexicana 5, 1960.
16 thms2 active usersReviewed
AnalysisDynamic ProgrammingOperations Research·Captain: mikedeng1

Wait Time Based Pricing for Queues with Customer-Chosen Service Times: The Delay Differential Optimality Equations Have a Decreasing Concave SolutionResearch Paper

Motivation

Service systems such as public fast-charging stations for electric vehicles let each customer choose how long to be served. Lin, Shang and Sun (SSRN 3709573, 2020; later in Management Science, doi:10.1287/mnsc.2022.4474) study a firm that announces to every arriving customer the current wait time www (the work already in the queue) and a price rate ppp per unit of service time. The customer then decides whether to join and, if so, how long a service to buy. Queue pricing usually conditions on the queue length with random service times (Low 1974; Paschalidis and Tsitsiklis 2000; Kim and Randhawa 2018). Here the state is the wait time, and it moves deterministically between arrivals.

The firm maximizes long-run average revenue or social welfare. The optimality condition the paper derives is not an ordinary differential equation but a delay differential equation (DDE) that looks ahead: the value at www depends on the value at w+t(p)>ww + \mathtt t(p) > ww+t(p)>w. This mission formalizes the paper's existence theorem for that equation.

Setting

A model has a usage utility UUU, a waiting cost ccc, a Poisson arrival rate λ>0\lambda > 0λ>0 and a maximum service time C>0C > 0C>0, under Assumption 1 (p. 7):

  1. U(t)≥0U(t) \ge 0U(t)≥0, U(0)=0U(0) = 0U(0)=0, 0≤U′(t)≤U′(0)0 \le U'(t) \le U'(0)0≤U′(t)≤U′(0) and U′′(t)<0U''(t) < 0U′′(t)<0 on [0,C][0, C][0,C];
  2. d2dt2[U′(t)t]<0\frac{d^2}{dt^2}[U'(t)t] < 0dt2d2​[U′(t)t]<0 on [0,C][0, C][0,C];
  3. c(0)=0c(0) = 0c(0)=0, c′(w)>0c'(w) > 0c′(w)>0 and c′′(w)≥0c''(w) \ge 0c′′(w)≥0 for w≥0w \ge 0w≥0.

At price p∈[0,U′(0)]p \in [0, U'(0)]p∈[0,U′(0)] a joining customer chooses the service time t(p)=min⁡{(U′)−1(p),C}\mathtt t(p) = \min\{(U')^{-1}(p), C\}t(p)=min{(U′)−1(p),C} (5). They join when U(t(p))−p t(p)−c(w)≥0U(\mathtt t(p)) - p\,\mathtt t(p) - c(w) \ge 0U(t(p))−pt(p)−c(w)≥0. Three thresholds follow:

  • wˉ\bar wwˉ solves U(C)=c(wˉ)U(C) = c(\bar w)U(C)=c(wˉ); above it nobody joins.
  • Γ(w)\Gamma(w)Γ(w), for w∈[0,wˉ]w \in [0, \bar w]w∈[0,wˉ], is the highest price at which a customer still joins (Proposition 2).
  • w^\hat ww^ and L(w)L(w)L(w) (Proposition 1) describe when the marginal price U′(t)U'(t)U′(t) still attracts a customer.

The per-customer value is v(p)−αc(w)\mathbf v(p) - \alpha c(w)v(p)−αc(w), with v(p)=p t(p)\mathbf v(p) = p\,\mathtt t(p)v(p)=pt(p), α=0\alpha = 0α=0 for revenue and v(p)=U(t(p))\mathbf v(p) = U(\mathtt t(p))v(p)=U(t(p)), α=1\alpha = 1α=1 for welfare (Lemma 1).

The optimality equations (12)–(15) ask for a constant g\mathsf gg (the average rate) and a relative value function VVV with

g=−V′(w)+λmax⁡{max⁡p∈[0,Γ(w)][v(p)−αc(w)+V(w+t(p))−V(w)], 0},w∈(0,wˉ],\mathsf g = -V'(w) + \lambda \max\Big\{\max_{p \in [0, \Gamma(w)]} \big[\mathbf v(p) - \alpha c(w) + V(w + \mathtt t(p)) - V(w)\big],\ 0\Big\}, \quad w \in (0, \bar w],g=−V′(w)+λmax{p∈[0,Γ(w)]max​[v(p)−αc(w)+V(w+t(p))−V(w)], 0},w∈(0,wˉ], g=λmax⁡{max⁡p∈[0,Γ(0)][v(p)+V(t(p))−V(0)], 0},g=−V′(w) (w>wˉ),V(wˉ)=0.\mathsf g = \lambda \max\Big\{\max_{p \in [0, \Gamma(0)]} \big[\mathbf v(p) + V(\mathtt t(p)) - V(0)\big],\ 0\Big\}, \qquad \mathsf g = -V'(w) \ (w > \bar w), \qquad V(\bar w) = 0.g=λmax{p∈[0,Γ(0)]max​[v(p)+V(t(p))−V(0)], 0},g=−V′(w) (w>wˉ),V(wˉ)=0.

Algorithm 1 (p. 14) is a backward explicit-Euler shooting scheme. For a guess g≥0g \ge 0g≥0 and NNN grid cells on [0,wˉ][0, \bar w][0,wˉ], it starts from VNg(w)=−(w−wˉ)gV^g_N(w) = -(w - \bar w)gVNg​(w)=−(w−wˉ)g for w≥wˉw \ge \bar ww≥wˉ. It then builds a piecewise-linear VNgV^g_NVNg​ cell by cell from right to left. On the cell ending at xxx the slope is −g+KNg(x)-g + K^g_N(x)−g+KNg​(x), where the slope adjustment KNg(x)K^g_N(x)KNg​(x) is λ\lambdaλ times the positive part of the inner maximum at xxx. The shooting value is gN=min⁡{g≥0:g≥KNg(0)}g_N = \min\{g \ge 0 : g \ge K^g_N(0)\}gN​=min{g≥0:g≥KNg​(0)} (23). Finally gˉ=lim⁡jg2j\bar g = \lim_j g_{2^j}gˉ​=limj​g2j​ (24) and Vgˉ(w)=lim⁡jV2jgˉ(w)V^{\bar g}(w) = \lim_j V^{\bar g}_{2^j}(w)Vgˉ​(w)=limj​V2jgˉ​​(w) (Proposition 6).

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem 1 (p. 17)

gˉ=lim⁡j→∞g2j exists,V2jgˉ(w)→Vgˉ(w) (w≥0),(gˉ,Vgˉ) solves (12)–(15),Vgˉ is nonincreasing and concave on [0,wˉ+C].\bar g = \lim_{j\to\infty} g_{2^j} \ \text{exists},\quad V^{\bar g}_{2^j}(w) \to V^{\bar g}(w)\ (w \ge 0),\quad (\bar g, V^{\bar g}) \text{ solves (12)–(15)},\quad V^{\bar g} \text{ is nonincreasing and concave on } [0, \bar w + C].gˉ​=j→∞lim​g2j​ exists,V2jgˉ​​(w)→Vgˉ​(w) (w≥0),(gˉ​,Vgˉ​) solves (12)–(15),Vgˉ​ is nonincreasing and concave on [0,wˉ+C].

Milestones

The milestones follow the paper's proof in order:

  • Thresholds and the value function (Propositions 1–3, pp. 8–11): uniqueness of w^\hat ww^ and wˉ\bar wwˉ, the characterization (8) of Γ\GammaΓ, Γ(0)=U′(0)\Gamma(0) = U'(0)Γ(0)=U′(0) with Γ\GammaΓ decreasing, and the bounds (V1)–(V2) on v\mathbf vv.
  • The finite-NNN scheme (Proposition 4, Lemmas 2, 3, 5): VNgV^g_NVNg​ is concave and KNgK^g_NKNg​ is nonincreasing; KKK increases when the grid is refined and decreases in ggg; and KNU′(0)≡0K^{U'(0)}_N \equiv 0KNU′(0)​≡0.
  • The limits (Proposition 5, Lemma 6, Proposition 6): g2jg_{2^j}g2j​ increases to gˉ≤U′(0)\bar g \le U'(0)gˉ​≤U′(0), the V2jgˉV^{\bar g}_{2^j}V2jgˉ​​ are uniformly gˉ\bar ggˉ​-Lipschitz, and they converge uniformly to a concave, nonincreasing, Lipschitz VgˉV^{\bar g}Vgˉ​.
  • The equations in the limit (Lemma 7, Propositions 7–8): K2jgˉ(0)→gˉK^{\bar g}_{2^j}(0) \to \bar gK2jgˉ​​(0)→gˉ​; the boundary condition (13); differentiability of VgˉV^{\bar g}Vgˉ​ on [0,wˉ][0, \bar w][0,wˉ] and the DDE (12).

Significance

Theorem 1 is the existence half of the paper's verification argument. Its Theorem 2 then shows that the constructed gˉ\bar ggˉ​ equals the optimal long-run average rate over all predictable price processes. Its Theorem 3 reads the structure of the optimal price and service-time policies off VgˉV^{\bar g}Vgˉ​. Without a solution of (12)–(15) neither result has an object to talk about. The construction also gives a convergent numerical method (Algorithm 1) for a class of look-ahead DDEs that standard ODE theory does not cover.

The proofs are written out in the paper's Appendix B, except Lemma 12, an internal step of Proposition 8 whose proof the authors leave out. None of it is machine-checked. A complete formalization would check every step of the shooting argument and supply the omitted lemma. It would also yield a reusable framework: Euler-type schemes for delay equations whose delay points forward, monotone in the grid and in a scalar parameter.

Difficulty

The obvious approach, Cauchy–Lipschitz, fails: (12) is not an initial-value problem. V′(w)V'(w)V′(w) depends on VVV on [w,w+C][w, w + C][w,w+C], so the equation must be integrated backwards from wˉ\bar wwˉ, and then the value g\mathsf gg is unknown. The shooting scheme fixes ggg, integrates backwards, and tunes ggg so that the boundary condition (13) at w=0w = 0w=0 holds in the limit. For fixed ggg the approximations need not converge as N→∞N \to \inftyN→∞ (the slope at 000 can diverge), so ggg and NNN must be coupled through gNg_NgN​.

The hard step is Proposition 8. Each V2jgˉV^{\bar g}_{2^j}V2jgˉ​​ has kinks at every grid point, yet the limit has to be differentiable. One has to show that the left and right derivatives of the concave limit coincide and equal the right-hand side of (12), which requires passing a maximum over a www-dependent price set to the limit.

Formalization scope

All declarations live in the namespace WaitTimePricing.Existence, and only Mathlib is imported. Conventions:

  • U,c:R→RU, c : \mathbb R \to \mathbb RU,c:R→R are C3C^3C3 and C2C^2C2 on R\mathbb RR, a disclosed strengthening of "three/two times differentiable". Assumption 1's inequalities are imposed exactly on [0,C][0, C][0,C] and [0,∞)[0, \infty)[0,∞). λ>0\lambda > 0λ>0 and C>0C > 0C>0 are added; the paper uses them without stating them.
  • t(p)=sup⁡{t∈[0,C]:p≤U′(t)}\mathtt t(p) = \sup\{t \in [0, C] : p \le U'(t)\}t(p)=sup{t∈[0,C]:p≤U′(t)}, meaningful for p∈[0,U′(0)]p \in [0, U'(0)]p∈[0,U′(0)]. w^\hat ww^, L(w)L(w)L(w), wˉ\bar wwˉ and Γ(w)\Gamma(w)Γ(w) are defined by their characterizing sets, not by closed forms. Propositions 1–2 are theorems about these sets.
  • The objective is one of Lemma 1's two cases. The paper's remark that any v\mathbf vv satisfying (V1)–(V2) would do is not formalized, because it silently needs continuity of v\mathbf vv.
  • Every "max" in (12), (13), (19) and (22) is a real supremum over [0,Γ(w)][0, \Gamma(w)][0,Γ(w)]. For the continuous VVV used here this set is nonempty and bounded, and the supremum is attained.
  • V′V'V′ is never a default-valued derivative. (12) and (14) assert that VVV has the prescribed derivative, two-sided for w∈(0,wˉ]w \in (0, \bar w]w∈(0,wˉ] and w>wˉw > \bar ww>wˉ; Proposition 8 states the case w=0w = 0w=0 with a right derivative.
  • Algorithm 1 is a recursion over the passes of its loop, with N≥1N \ge 1N≥1. The initialization (16) is extended from [wˉ,wˉ+C][\bar w, \bar w + C][wˉ,wˉ+C] to [wˉ,∞)[\bar w, \infty)[wˉ,∞) so that (14) can hold as printed on (wˉ,∞)(\bar w, \infty)(wˉ,∞). Only values on [0,wˉ+C][0, \bar w + C][0,wˉ+C] enter the loop, so the construction is unchanged.
  • gˉ\bar ggˉ​ and VgˉV^{\bar g}Vgˉ​ are defined as limits that take a default value when the limit does not exist. Propositions 5–6 and the goal assert the convergence.
  • "Decreasing" is nonincreasing everywhere (including Γ\GammaΓ, Proposition 2(iii)), the reading the proofs establish.

Trivializations ruled out. The goal names the paper's gˉ\bar ggˉ​ and VgˉV^{\bar g}Vgˉ​ together with their convergence, not an arbitrary solution and not default values of undefined limits. It cannot be met at a kink through a default-valued derivative. Its inner maxima cannot vanish through an empty or unbounded set. Γ\GammaΓ and t\mathtt tt are not closed forms that would make (8) true by definition. The weaker statement "some (g,V)(\mathsf g, V)(g,V) solves (12)–(15)" is not the goal.

Contributions are welcome at every milestone. Reusable pieces include monotonicity of a max-operator under backward induction, Dini-type uniform convergence of monotone sequences of equi-Lipschitz concave functions, and the differentiability of a concave limit of piecewise-linear functions. Theorem 2 (optimality over predictable controls) and Theorem 3 (policy structure) are outside this mission. Theorem 3 appears to fail as printed when gˉ>U′(C)\bar g > U'(C)gˉ​>U′(C).

Selected references

  • C.-A. Lin, K. Shang, P. Sun, Wait Time Based Pricing for Queues with Customer-Chosen Service Times, SSRN 3709573, version of October 12, 2020. https://ssrn.com/abstract=3709573 (journal version: Management Science, https://doi.org/10.1287/mnsc.2022.4474)
  • D. W. Low, Optimal dynamic pricing policies for an M/M/s queue, Operations Research 22(3), 1974. https://doi.org/10.1287/opre.22.3.545
  • I. C. Paschalidis, J. N. Tsitsiklis, Congestion-dependent pricing of network services, IEEE/ACM Transactions on Networking 8(2), 2000. https://doi.org/10.1109/90.842140
  • J. Kim, R. S. Randhawa, The value of dynamic pricing in large queueing systems, Operations Research 66(2), 2018. https://doi.org/10.1287/opre.2017.1668
  • D. P. Bertsekas, Dynamic Programming and Optimal Control, 2nd ed., Athena Scientific, 2000. http://www.athenasc.com/dpbook.html
19 thms1 active userReviewed
Operations ResearchProbabilityStochastic Systems·Captain: mikedeng1

An Approximate Analysis of Dynamic Pricing, Outsourcing, and Scheduling Policies for a Multiclass Make-to-Stock Queue in the Heavy Traffic Regime: The Two-Barrier Drift-Rate Control Policy Is OptimalResearch Paper

Motivation

A manufacturer that makes several products to stock for price-sensitive customers controls three levers at once: the prices it posts, which shape demand; outsourcing, which clears a large backlog at a cost; and scheduling, which decides which product the single server makes next. Ata and Barjesteh (Operations Research 71(1), 2023) study this multiclass make-to-stock queue in the heavy-traffic regime, where the queue is nearly saturated and the system is approximated by a Brownian control problem. The approximation collapses to a one-dimensional problem in the workload, the total amount of work in the system. Its solution is a two-barrier policy whose state-dependent drift translates back into a dynamic pricing rule, an outsourcing threshold and a scheduling priority (§7 of the paper).

The one-dimensional problem belongs to the family of drift-rate control problems for Brownian motion under a long-run average cost criterion (Ata, Harrison and Shepp, Ann. Appl. Probab. 2005; Rubino and Ata, Oper. Res. 2009). Problems of this kind are solved by a Bellman equation with free boundaries and a verification argument; the present paper adds two-sided singular control (outsourcing at the bottom, idling at the top) to a quadratic drift cost and a piecewise linear state cost.

Setting

There are K≥1K\ge1K≥1 products with mean production times mk>0m_k>0mk​>0 and holding, backorder and outsourcing cost rates hk,bk,rk>0h_k,b_k,r_k>0hk​,bk​,rk​>0. A symmetric positive definite matrix HHH describes the curvature of the revenue rate. Write a=m′H−1ma=m'H^{-1}ma=m′H−1m and

h⋆=min⁡khkmk,b⋆=min⁡kbkmk,κ=min⁡krkmk.h^\star=\min_k\frac{h_k}{m_k},\qquad b^\star=\min_k\frac{b_k}{m_k},\qquad \kappa=\min_k\frac{r_k}{m_k}.h⋆=kmin​mk​hk​​,b⋆=kmin​mk​bk​​,κ=kmin​mk​rk​​.

The drift cost and the effective holding cost are

c(x)=min⁡{ζ′Hζ: m′ζ=x},h(w)=h⋆w (w≥0),h(w)=−b⋆w (w<0).c(x)=\min\{\zeta'H\zeta:\ m'\zeta=x\},\qquad h(w)=h^\star w\ (w\ge0),\quad h(w)=-b^\star w\ (w<0).c(x)=min{ζ′Hζ: m′ζ=x},h(w)=h⋆w (w≥0),h(w)=−b⋆w (w<0).

Let BBB be a Brownian motion with drift μ≥0\mu\ge0μ≥0 and variance σ2>0\sigma^2>0σ2>0, started at 000, with respect to a filtration F\mathbb FF. An admissible control consists of a progressively measurable drift rate θ\thetaθ and nondecreasing, right-continuous, adapted processes LLL (effective outsourcing) and UUU (idleness) with L(0)=U(0)=0L(0)=U(0)=0L(0)=U(0)=0. The workload is

W(t)=B(t)−∫0tθ(s) ds−U(t)+L(t),W(t)=B(t)-\int_0^t\theta(s)\,ds-U(t)+L(t),W(t)=B(t)−∫0t​θ(s)ds−U(t)+L(t),

and admissibility also requires E∣W(t)∣/t→0\mathbb E|W(t)|/t\to0E∣W(t)∣/t→0. The equivalent workload formulation (EWF) is to minimize

lim sup⁡t→∞1t E[∫0tc(θ(s)) ds+∫0th(W(s)) ds+κL(t)].(29)\limsup_{t\to\infty}\frac1t\,\mathbb E\Big[\int_0^tc(\theta(s))\,ds+\int_0^th(W(s))\,ds+\kappa L(t)\Big]. \tag{29}t→∞limsup​t1​E[∫0t​c(θ(s))ds+∫0t​h(W(s))ds+κL(t)].(29)

A barrier policy with barriers l<ul<ul<u keeps WWW in [l,u][l,u][l,u], increases LLL only when W=lW=lW=l and UUU only when W=uW=uW=u.

For γ≥0\gamma\ge0γ≥0 put lγ=−1b⋆(γ+μκ+a4κ2)l_\gamma=-\frac1{b^\star}(\gamma+\mu\kappa+\frac a4\kappa^2)lγ​=−b⋆1​(γ+μκ+4a​κ2) and uγ=γ/h⋆u_\gamma=\gamma/h^\staruγ​=γ/h⋆. Let vγ−v^-_\gammavγ−​ solve the Riccati equation

v′=a2σ2(v2−κ2)−2μσ2(v+κ)+2(h(lγ)−h(w))σ2 on [lγ,0],v(lγ)=−κ,v'=\frac a{2\sigma^2}(v^2-\kappa^2)-\frac{2\mu}{\sigma^2}(v+\kappa)+\frac{2(h(l_\gamma)-h(w))}{\sigma^2}\ \text{on }[l_\gamma,0],\qquad v(l_\gamma)=-\kappa,v′=2σ2a​(v2−κ2)−σ22μ​(v+κ)+σ22(h(lγ​)−h(w))​ on [lγ​,0],v(lγ​)=−κ,

and vγ+v^+_\gammavγ+​ solve v′=a2σ2v2−2μσ2v+2(h(uγ)−h(w))σ2v'=\frac a{2\sigma^2}v^2-\frac{2\mu}{\sigma^2}v+\frac{2(h(u_\gamma)-h(w))}{\sigma^2}v′=2σ2a​v2−σ22μ​v+σ22(h(uγ​)−h(w))​ on [0,uγ][0,u_\gamma][0,uγ​] with v(uγ)=0v(u_\gamma)=0v(uγ​)=0. The paper's γ⋆\gamma^\starγ⋆ is the unique γ\gammaγ with vγ−(0)=vγ+(0)v^-_{\gamma}(0)=v^+_{\gamma}(0)vγ−​(0)=vγ+​(0); vvv pastes vγ⋆−v^-_{\gamma^\star}vγ⋆−​ and vγ⋆+v^+_{\gamma^\star}vγ⋆+​ at 000, and the candidate drift is θ(w)=a2v(w)\theta(w)=\frac a2v(w)θ(w)=2a​v(w).

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem 1

For every filtered probability space carrying such a Brownian motion,

lim⁡t→∞Jcand(t)t=γ⋆for every barrier policy at (lγ⋆,uγ⋆) with drift θ(W),lim sup⁡t→∞J(t)t≥γ⋆ for every admissible control,\lim_{t\to\infty}\frac{J_{\text{cand}}(t)}t=\gamma^\star\quad\text{for every barrier policy at }(l_{\gamma^\star},u_{\gamma^\star})\text{ with drift }\theta(W),\qquad \limsup_{t\to\infty}\frac{J(t)}t\ge\gamma^\star\ \text{for every admissible control},t→∞lim​tJcand​(t)​=γ⋆for every barrier policy at (lγ⋆​,uγ⋆​) with drift θ(W),t→∞limsup​tJ(t)​≥γ⋆ for every admissible control,

where JJJ is the expected cumulative cost in (29). The constant γ⋆\gamma^\starγ⋆ is the paper's construction, not a parameter.

Milestones

  1. Lemma 1 and Lemma 2: the closed forms c(x)=x2/ac(x)=x^2/ac(x)=x2/a and its conjugate φ(y)=a4y2\varphi(y)=\frac a4y^2φ(y)=4a​y2, maximized at ψ(y)=a2y\psi(y)=\frac a2yψ(y)=2a​y.
  2. Proposition 2: a barrier policy whose (γ,f)(\gamma,f)(γ,f) solves the ODE (35)–(36) has long-run average cost γ\gammaγ.
  3. Lemma 3: any solution of the Riccati-form Bellman equation (43)–(45) has γ>0\gamma>0γ>0, l=lγ<0l=l_\gamma<0l=lγ​<0, u=uγ>0u=u_\gamma>0u=uγ​>0.
  4. Lemmas 18–20 and Corollary 6: sign and monotonicity of the Riccati solutions.
  5. §6.3 well-posedness, Lemma 4(i)–(ii), Corollary 1: uniqueness of vγ±v^\pm_\gammavγ±​, their monotone dependence on γ\gammaγ, and the unique crossing γ⋆\gamma^\starγ⋆.
  6. Proposition 3 and Corollary 2: (lγ⋆,uγ⋆,γ⋆,v)(l_{\gamma^\star},u_{\gamma^\star},\gamma^\star,v)(lγ⋆​,uγ⋆​,γ⋆,v) is the unique solution of (43)–(45), and f=∫vf=\int vf=∫v solves the Bellman equation (37)–(39), uniquely up to a constant.

Significance

The theorem identifies an explicit optimal policy for a two-sided singular drift-control problem: two barriers and a strictly increasing, non-positive drift, all determined by a scalar root γ⋆\gamma^\starγ⋆ of a monotone equation. In the paper it drives the proposed pricing, outsourcing and scheduling policy (§7) and its asymptotic analysis; the Riccati structure is what makes γ⋆\gamma^\starγ⋆ computable by line search.

The result is proved in the paper; none of it has been machine-checked. Formalizing it gives a checked verification theorem for an average-cost Brownian control problem with singular controls, and checked statements of the Riccati comparison lemmas on which it rests. Several printed statements of the paper are corrected here (see the scope section), so the formal versions are the first fully precise ones.

Difficulty

The optimality half of Theorem 1 is a verification argument: apply Itô's formula to f(W(t))f(W(t))f(W(t)) for an arbitrary admissible control with jumps in LLL and UUU, use the Bellman inequality pointwise, and control Ef(W(t))/t\mathbb E f(W(t))/tEf(W(t))/t with the growth condition (32). Mathlib does not yet have Itô's formula for continuous semimartingales with finite-variation, possibly discontinuous parts, and the candidate's average cost (Proposition 2) needs the same tool plus the fact that a reflected diffusion spends zero time at the barriers.

The deterministic half is not routine either. The obvious reading of the paper, solving each Riccati problem for every γ≥0\gamma\ge0γ≥0 and passing γ→∞\gamma\to\inftyγ→∞, fails: the solutions blow up in finite time, so vγ±v^\pm_\gammavγ±​ exist only for γ\gammaγ in a bounded initial interval, and the crossing argument must be run on that interval. The comparison arguments of Lemmas 18–20 also need second derivatives of solutions whose right-hand side has a kink at w=0w=0w=0.

Formalization scope

Time is indexed by R\mathbb RR and only t≥0t\ge0t≥0 matters. The Brownian motion is defined locally (drift, variance, start at 000, independence of increments from the filtration). Expected costs are computed in [0,∞][0,\infty][0,∞], so a control with infinite cost counts as +∞+\infty+∞. The integrals in (34) are Lebesgue–Stieltjes integrals against the paths of LLL and UUU, jumps included. Derivatives at the barriers are one-sided; C1C^1C1 and C2C^2C2 up to the boundary are ContDiffOn on the closed interval. Minima and maxima (in ccc, (37), (40)) are stated as attained.

Standing assumptions added to every statement, all implicit in the paper: K≥1K\ge1K≥1; mk,hk,bk,rk>0m_k,h_k,b_k,r_k>0mk​,hk​,bk​,rk​>0; HHH symmetric positive definite; μ≥0\mu\ge0μ≥0, σ>0\sigma>0σ>0; BBB starts at 000; L,UL,UL,U right-continuous; θ\thetaθ progressively measurable with locally integrable paths; l<ul<ul<u in the Bellman equations.

Corrected statements. Lemmas 18–20 are printed for solutions on [0,∞)[0,\infty)[0,∞), which do not exist; they are posed on every bounded interval where a solution exists. The §6.3 claim that vγ±v^\pm_\gammavγ±​ exist for every γ≥0\gamma\ge0γ≥0 is replaced by uniqueness, solvability at γ=0\gamma=0γ=0 and order-connectedness of the solvability sets. Lemma 4's limits as γ→∞\gamma\to\inftyγ→∞ become unboundedness on those sets. Theorem 1's comparison class is every admissible control, which the paper's proof treats, and which contains the stationary Markov policies to which §6 restricts attention.

Not posed. The existence of the reflected diffusion realizing the candidate policy is presupposed by the paper and not claimed: the first half of the goal quantifies over all barrier policies with the given data. The second half is a statement about every admissible control and is not vacuous.

γ⋆\gamma^\starγ⋆, vvv, fff and θ\thetaθ are built from the Riccati solutions by choice, exactly as the paper constructs them; taking them as hypotheses-constrained parameters, or defining ccc by its closed form, would trivialize the goal and is ruled out. Contributions are welcome on the Riccati lemmas (pure real analysis, reusable for other drift-control problems), on Itô's formula for semimartingales with finite-variation parts, and on Skorokhod-type existence of reflected diffusions.

Selected references

  • B. Ata and N. Barjesteh, An Approximate Analysis of Dynamic Pricing, Outsourcing, and Scheduling Policies for a Multiclass Make-to-Stock Queue in the Heavy Traffic Regime, Operations Research 71(1):341–357, 2023. https://doi.org/10.1287/opre.2022.2361 (accepted manuscript: https://ssrn.com/abstract=3464763)
  • B. Ata, J. M. Harrison and L. A. Shepp, Drift rate control of a Brownian processing system, Annals of Applied Probability 15(2):1145–1160, 2005. https://doi.org/10.1214/105051604000000855
  • M. Rubino and B. Ata, Dynamic control of a make-to-order, parallel-server system with cancellations, Operations Research 57(1):94–108, 2009. https://doi.org/10.1287/opre.1080.0532
  • J. M. Harrison, Brownian Models of Performance and Control, Cambridge University Press, 2013. https://doi.org/10.1017/CBO9781139087698
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Dynamic ProgrammingOperations ResearchStochastic Systems·Captain: mikedeng1

A Dynamic Model for Managing Volunteer Engagement I: The Bellman Equation of the Drift-Rate Control Problem Has a SolutionResearch Paper

Motivation

Non-profit organizations depend on volunteers whose availability they cannot schedule. They can only influence it, through recruiting drives, reminders and recognition events. Ata, Tongarlak, Lee and Field (arXiv:2312.02920) model a food-recovery non-profit's volunteer pool as a queueing network. Repeat volunteers rest between shifts, one-time volunteers arrive at random, and all signed-up volunteers wait on one sign-up list, from which they may abandon. The organization pays for engagement activities that speed up volunteers' return, and it is penalized when tasks go uncovered because the list is empty.

In heavy traffic the problem reduces to a one-dimensional drift-rate control problem. A workload process W≥0W \ge 0W≥0 behaves like a reflected Ornstein–Uhlenbeck process whose drift θ(t)\theta(t)θ(t) the controller chooses from an interval A=[θ0,θL]A = [\theta_0, \theta_L]A=[θ0​,θL​] at cost c(θ(t))c(\theta(t))c(θ(t)), plus a penalty ppp per unit of idleness at W=0W = 0W=0. The analytic core of the paper is the Bellman equation of this problem: a first-order ordinary differential equation on [0,∞)[0,\infty)[0,∞) with an unknown constant. Its solution yields the optimal long-run average cost and a nested threshold policy for when to run each engagement activity.

Setting

There are L≥1L \ge 1L≥1 engagement activities. The data are a lowest drift θ0<0\theta_0 < 0θ0​<0, drift increments η1,…,ηL>0\eta_1, \dots, \eta_L > 0η1​,…,ηL​>0, per-unit-drift costs 0<c1<c2<⋯<cL<p0 < c_1 < c_2 < \dots < c_L < p0<c1​<c2​<⋯<cL​<p, an idleness cost rate p>0p > 0p>0, a mean-reversion rate κ>0\kappa > 0κ>0 and a volatility σ>0\sigma > 0σ>0. The breakpoints are

θl=θ0+∑i=1lηi,l=0,1,…,L,\theta_l = \theta_0 + \sum_{i=1}^{l} \eta_i, \qquad l = 0, 1, \dots, L,θl​=θ0​+i=1∑l​ηi​,l=0,1,…,L,

and A=[θ0,θL]A = [\theta_0, \theta_L]A=[θ0​,θL​]. The engagement cost c:A→R+c : A \to \mathbb{R}_+c:A→R+​ is piecewise linear and convex: c(θ0)=0c(\theta_0) = 0c(θ0​)=0, with slope clc_lcl​ on (θl−1,θl](\theta_{l-1}, \theta_l](θl−1​,θl​], so that c(x)=∑i=1l−1ciηi+cl(x−θl−1)c(x) = \sum_{i=1}^{l-1} c_i \eta_i + c_l (x - \theta_{l-1})c(x)=∑i=1l−1​ci​ηi​+cl​(x−θl−1​) for θl−1<x≤θl\theta_{l-1} < x \le \theta_lθl−1​<x≤θl​. Its convex conjugate is

ϕ(y)=sup⁡x∈A{yx−c(x)},y∈R.\phi(y) = \sup_{x \in A} \{ y x - c(x) \}, \qquad y \in \mathbb{R}.ϕ(y)=x∈Asup​{yx−c(x)},y∈R.

The Bellman equation (68)–(69) asks for a constant β>0\beta > 0β>0 and a continuously differentiable function vvv on [0,∞)[0,\infty)[0,∞) such that

β=12σ2v′(x)+xκ (p−v(x))−ϕ(p−v(x)),x≥0,\beta = \tfrac12 \sigma^2 v'(x) + x\kappa\,(p - v(x)) - \phi(p - v(x)), \qquad x \ge 0,β=21​σ2v′(x)+xκ(p−v(x))−ϕ(p−v(x)),x≥0,

with v(0)=0v(0) = 0v(0)=0, vvv strictly increasing, and lim⁡x→∞v(x)=p\lim_{x\to\infty} v(x) = plimx→∞​v(x)=p.

The milestones use the shooting objects of the paper's Online Supplement §F:

  • the lower bound β‾=−inf⁡{ϕ(y):y≤p}\underline\beta = -\inf\{\phi(y) : y \le p\}β​=−inf{ϕ(y):y≤p};
  • the initial value problem IVP(β\betaβ): the same equation with only the condition v(0)=0v(0) = 0v(0)=0; its solution is vβv_\betavβ​;
  • the set I\mathcal II of β>β‾\beta > \underline\betaβ>β​ for which vβv_\betavβ​ is increasing;
  • the set D\mathcal DD of β>β‾\beta > \underline\betaβ>β​ for which vβv_\betavβ​ is nondecreasing on (0,xβ)(0, x_\beta)(0,xβ​) and nonincreasing on (xβ,∞)(x_\beta, \infty)(xβ​,∞) for some xβx_\betaxβ​;
  • the constant β∗=inf⁡I\beta^* = \inf \mathcal Iβ∗=infI.

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem 1 (p. 21)

∃ β>0, ∃ v∈C1[0,∞):β=12σ2v′+xκ(p−v)−ϕ(p−v)  (x≥0),v(0)=0,v↑,v(x)→p.\exists\, \beta > 0,\ \exists\, v \in C^1[0,\infty):\quad \beta = \tfrac12\sigma^2 v' + x\kappa(p - v) - \phi(p - v)\ \ (x \ge 0),\quad v(0) = 0,\quad v \uparrow,\quad v(x) \to p.∃β>0, ∃v∈C1[0,∞):β=21​σ2v′+xκ(p−v)−ϕ(p−v)  (x≥0),v(0)=0,v↑,v(x)→p.

The goal asserts existence only. It does not identify β\betaβ with inf⁡I\inf\mathcal IinfI, and it does not claim uniqueness.

Milestones (Online Supplement §F, in attack order)

  1. β‾>0\underline\beta > 0β​>0 (OS p. 13).
  2. Lemma 3: ϕ\phiϕ is Lipschitz with constant max⁡0≤k≤L∣θk∣\max_{0\le k\le L} |\theta_k|max0≤k≤L​∣θk​∣.
  3. Lemma 4: IVP(β\betaβ) has a unique C1C^1C1 solution on [0,∞)[0,\infty)[0,∞) for β>β‾\beta > \underline\betaβ>β​.
  4. Lemma 6: vβ(x)v_\beta(x)vβ​(x) is strictly increasing in β\betaβ for x>0x > 0x>0 and continuous in β\betaβ.
  5. Corollary 2: vβv_\betavβ​ has no flat pieces.
  6. Lemmas 10, 12, 15, 16: descriptions of D\mathcal DD. Membership in D\mathcal DD is equivalent to vβ′<0v_\beta' < 0vβ′​<0 somewhere, to vβ<0v_\beta < 0vβ​<0 somewhere, and to vβ→−∞v_\beta \to -\inftyvβ​→−∞. D\mathcal DD is closed downward.
  7. Lemmas 13, 14: I,D≠∅\mathcal I, \mathcal D \ne \emptysetI,D=∅, and a characterization of the solutions in I\mathcal II that overshoot ppp.
  8. Lemmas 17, 18, 20: β∗>β‾\beta^* > \underline\betaβ∗>β​, β∗∈I\beta^* \in \mathcal Iβ∗∈I with vβ∗v_{\beta^*}vβ∗​ bounded, and vβ∗(x)→pv_{\beta^*}(x) \to pvβ∗​(x)→p.
  9. Corollary 4: (β∗,vβ∗)(\beta^*, v_{\beta^*})(β∗,vβ∗​) solves (68)–(69).

Significance

The Bellman equation is what makes the paper's policy computable. Theorem 1 provides the constant β∗\beta^*β∗, which the paper's Theorem 2 identifies as the optimal long-run average cost of the workload problem. It also provides the increasing function vvv, whose level sets τl=v−1(p−cl)\tau_l = v^{-1}(p - c_l)τl​=v−1(p−cl​) are the thresholds of the optimal nested policy: engagement activity lll is used when the workload is below τl\tau_lτl​. The companion mission (II) gives vvv in closed form between consecutive thresholds. Both results presuppose the existence proved here.

The paper proves Theorem 1 in its Online Supplement, partly by citation: Lemma 4 is called standard and its proof is omitted. As far as is known, none of these statements has a machine-checked proof. A formalization would also settle two points that the printed argument leaves loose. The lower bound β‾\underline\betaβ​ is written as an infimum over all of R\mathbb{R}R, which is −∞-\infty−∞ when θL<0\theta_L < 0θL​<0. And one step in the proof of Lemma 9 claims that a set of positive measure contains an interval, which is false; the formal chain avoids this step by posing Corollary 2 directly.

Difficulty

The equation is first order but nonlinear through ϕ\phiϕ, and it is posed on an unbounded interval with a boundary condition at infinity. A local existence theorem does not suffice: the right-hand side has linear growth with a coefficient that grows with xxx, so global existence on [0,∞)[0,\infty)[0,∞) and monotone, continuous dependence on β\betaβ must be established separately.

The main difficulty is the shooting step. For a fixed β\betaβ the initial value problem has a solution, but it generally fails the condition v(x)→pv(x) \to pv(x)→p: either it eventually turns down and tends to −∞-\infty−∞, or it crosses ppp and grows without bound. The proof must show the following:

  • the parameter range splits cleanly into these two behaviours, with no third behaviour such as a plateau or a limit strictly between 000 and ppp;
  • both behaviours occur;
  • at the infimum β∗\beta^*β∗ of the increasing regime, the solution is increasing and bounded and converges exactly to ppp.

Continuity in β\betaβ alone does not give the last point: it needs a separate argument at infinity.

Formalization scope

Everything is stated for one fixed parameter set satisfying an explicit predicate Standing: L≥1L \ge 1L≥1, θ0<0\theta_0 < 0θ0​<0, ηl>0\eta_l > 0ηl​>0, 0<c1<⋯<cL<p0 < c_1 < \dots < c_L < p0<c1​<⋯<cL​<p, p,κ,σ>0p, \kappa, \sigma > 0p,κ,σ>0. These are disclosed additions. The paper never restates them for the abstract control problem, but they follow from its queueing primitives ((24), (43), (50), p. 18). No hypothesis θL≥0\theta_L \ge 0θL​≥0 is made.

Conventions:

  • η\etaη and ccc are sequences indexed by N\mathbb{N}N and used at 1,…,L1, \dots, L1,…,L.
  • The cost is (52) written as one sum. It agrees with (52) on AAA, and its values off AAA are never used.
  • ϕ\phiϕ is the real supremum over the compact interval AAA (attained). It is never defined by its closed form.
  • β‾\underline\betaβ​ is −inf⁡{ϕ(y):y≤p}-\inf\{\phi(y) : y \le p\}−inf{ϕ(y):y≤p}. This is the reading the paper's proofs use, and it agrees with the printed −inf⁡y∈Rϕ(y)-\inf_{y \in \mathbb{R}} \phi(y)−infy∈R​ϕ(y) whenever θL≥0\theta_L \ge 0θL​≥0.
  • "Continuously differentiable on [0,∞)[0,\infty)[0,∞)" is a pair (v,v′)(v, v')(v,v′): v′v'v′ is continuous on [0,∞)[0,\infty)[0,∞) and is the derivative of vvv within [0,∞)[0,\infty)[0,∞) at every point (one-sided at 000).
  • "Increasing" means strictly increasing.
  • β∗=inf⁡I\beta^* = \inf \mathcal Iβ∗=infI is a real infimum. Lemmas 13, 17 and 18 make it meaningful; no property of I\mathcal II is assumed.

Trivializing formalizations are ruled out. The solution vβv_\betavβ​ is never chosen: every lemma quantifies over all solutions of IVP(β\betaβ). The goal quantifies β\betaβ and vvv existentially and requires all of (69), including the limit ppp and strict monotonicity.

The source is the arXiv preprint v2, including its Online Supplement. The queueing network (§2) and the Brownian control problem (§3) motivate the equation but are not part of any formal statement.

A complete development needs:

  • global existence, uniqueness and comparison for scalar Lipschitz ODEs on [0,∞)[0,\infty)[0,∞) (Mathlib's IsPicardLindelof and Gronwall bounds are the starting point);
  • the elementary theory of the conjugate of a piecewise linear convex function.

Both are reusable beyond this mission. Proofs of individual milestones are welcome in any order. Lemmas 3, 4 and 6 are independent of the shooting lemmas.

Selected references

  • B. Ata, M. H. Tongarlak, D. Lee, J. Field, A Dynamic Model for Managing Volunteer Engagement, arXiv:2312.02920v2, 2023 (Operations Research, 2024). https://arxiv.org/abs/2312.02920
  • B. Ata, J. M. Harrison, L. A. Shepp, Drift rate control of a Brownian processing system, Annals of Applied Probability 15(2), 1145–1160, 2005 (cited in the paper for the conjugate's minimal maximizer).
  • H. B. Keller, Numerical Methods for Two-Point Boundary-Value Problems, Dover, 2018 (cited for Lemma 4).
17 thms1 active userReviewed
Dynamic ProgrammingOperations ResearchProbability·Captain: mikedeng1

A Dynamic Model for Managing Volunteer Engagement II: The Bellman Solution in Closed Form Between Consecutive Engagement ThresholdsResearch Paper

Motivation

Non-profit organizations such as food banks run on volunteer labour. Volunteers sign up for shifts, wait on a sign-up list, work, rest, and may or may not return; the organization can spend money on engagement activities (reminders, recognition events, recruitment drives) that raise the rate at which volunteers come back or arrive. Spending too little leaves shifts unstaffed; spending too much wastes a scarce budget. Ata, Tongarlak, Lee and Field (arXiv:2312.02920, Operations Research, 2024) model this as a multiclass queueing network, pass to a heavy-traffic limit, and obtain a one-dimensional drift-rate control problem: a reflected diffusion for the scaled workload whose drift is chosen, at a cost, from an interval of feasible drifts. The optimal policy they derive is a nested threshold policy: as the workload falls below successive thresholds τ1>τ2>⋯>τL\tau_1>\tau_2>\dots>\tau_Lτ1​>τ2​>⋯>τL​, one more engagement activity is switched on.

To compute that policy one needs the thresholds, and the paper obtains them from a closed-form description of the solution of the Bellman equation between consecutive thresholds. That closed form, Proposition 3 of the paper, is the goal of this mission. A companion mission formalizes Theorem 1, the existence of a solution of the same Bellman equation.

Setting

There are L≥1L\ge1L≥1 engagement activities. The data are a lowest drift θ0<0\theta_0<0θ0​<0, drift increments η1,…,ηL>0\eta_1,\dots,\eta_L>0η1​,…,ηL​>0, per-unit-drift costs 0<c1<c2<⋯<cL<p0<c_1<c_2<\dots<c_L<p0<c1​<c2​<⋯<cL​<p, an idleness cost rate ppp, a mean-reversion rate κ>0\kappa>0κ>0 and a volatility σ>0\sigma>0σ>0. The breakpoints are

θl=θ0+∑i=1lηi,l=0,…,L,\theta_l=\theta_0+\sum_{i=1}^{l}\eta_i,\qquad l=0,\dots,L,θl​=θ0​+i=1∑l​ηi​,l=0,…,L,

and the feasible drifts form the interval A=[θ0,θL]A=[\theta_0,\theta_L]A=[θ0​,θL​]. The engagement cost c:A→R+c:A\to\mathbb R_+c:A→R+​ is the convex, increasing, piecewise linear function with c(θ0)=0c(\theta_0)=0c(θ0​)=0 and slope clc_lcl​ on (θl−1,θl](\theta_{l-1},\theta_l](θl−1​,θl​]:

c(x)=∑i=1l−1ciηi+cl(x−θl−1),θl−1<x≤θl.c(x)=\sum_{i=1}^{l-1}c_i\eta_i+c_l(x-\theta_{l-1}),\qquad \theta_{l-1}<x\le\theta_l .c(x)=i=1∑l−1​ci​ηi​+cl​(x−θl−1​),θl−1​<x≤θl​.

Its convex conjugate is

ϕ(y)=sup⁡x∈A{yx−c(x)},y∈R.\phi(y)=\sup_{x\in A}\{yx-c(x)\},\qquad y\in\mathbb R .ϕ(y)=x∈Asup​{yx−c(x)},y∈R.

The Bellman equation of the drift-rate control problem asks for a constant β>0\beta>0β>0 and a continuously differentiable function vvv on [0,∞)[0,\infty)[0,∞) with

β=12σ2v′(x)+xκ (p−v(x))−ϕ(p−v(x)),x≥0,\beta=\tfrac12\sigma^2v'(x)+x\kappa\,\big(p-v(x)\big)-\phi\big(p-v(x)\big),\qquad x\ge0,β=21​σ2v′(x)+xκ(p−v(x))−ϕ(p−v(x)),x≥0,

such that v(0)=0v(0)=0v(0)=0, vvv is strictly increasing, and v(x)→pv(x)\to pv(x)→p as x→∞x\to\inftyx→∞. Here β\betaβ is the optimal long-run average cost and v=g′v=g'v=g′ is the derivative of the transformed relative value function ggg of the paper's §4 (p. 20).

Put c^l=cl\hat c_l=c_lc^l​=cl​ for l=1,…,Ll=1,\dots,Ll=1,…,L and c^L+1=p\hat c_{L+1}=pc^L+1​=p. Since vvv is strictly increasing from 000 towards ppp, each level p−c^l∈(0,p)p-\hat c_l\in(0,p)p−c^l​∈(0,p) is attained exactly once; the thresholds are

τl=v−1(p−c^l),l=1,…,L,τL+1=0,τ0=∞.\tau_l=v^{-1}(p-\hat c_l),\quad l=1,\dots,L,\qquad \tau_{L+1}=0,\qquad \tau_0=\infty .τl​=v−1(p−c^l​),l=1,…,L,τL+1​=0,τ0​=∞.

With Φ\PhiΦ the standard normal cumulative distribution function, the paper defines for l=1,…,L+1l=1,\dots,L+1l=1,…,L+1

ul(x)=p−c^lexp⁡{−2θl−1(x−τl)+κ(x2−τl2)σ2}+2(β−c(θl−1))πσκexp⁡{(κx−θl−1)2κσ2}[Φ(κx−θl−1σκ/2)−Φ(κτl−θl−1σκ/2)].u_l(x)=p-\hat c_l\exp\Big\{\tfrac{-2\theta_{l-1}(x-\tau_l)+\kappa(x^2-\tau_l^2)}{\sigma^2}\Big\}+\tfrac{2(\beta-c(\theta_{l-1}))\sqrt\pi}{\sigma\sqrt\kappa}\exp\Big\{\tfrac{(\kappa x-\theta_{l-1})^2}{\kappa\sigma^2}\Big\}\Big[\Phi\Big(\tfrac{\kappa x-\theta_{l-1}}{\sigma\sqrt{\kappa/2}}\Big)-\Phi\Big(\tfrac{\kappa\tau_l-\theta_{l-1}}{\sigma\sqrt{\kappa/2}}\Big)\Big].ul​(x)=p−c^l​exp{σ2−2θl−1​(x−τl​)+κ(x2−τl2​)​}+σκ​2(β−c(θl−1​))π​​exp{κσ2(κx−θl−1​)2​}[Φ(σκ/2​κx−θl−1​​)−Φ(σκ/2​κτl​−θl−1​​)].

Formalization targets

Goal: Proposition 3 (p. 25)

For every solution (β,v)(\beta,v)(β,v) of the Bellman equation and every l=1,…,L+1l=1,\dots,L+1l=1,…,L+1,

v(x)=ul(x)for all x∈[τl,τl−1).v(x)=u_l(x)\qquad\text{for all }x\in[\tau_l,\tau_{l-1}).v(x)=ul​(x)for all x∈[τl​,τl−1​).

The statement fixes nothing beyond the model: it holds for any solution, with the thresholds defined from that solution.

Milestones

  1. (E9), Online Supplement p. 13: the conjugate is piecewise linear,
ϕ(y)=θ0y (y≤c1),ϕ(y)=θm−1y−c(θm−1) (cm−1<y≤cm),ϕ(y)=θLy−c(θL) (y>cL).\phi(y)=\theta_0y\ (y\le c_1),\qquad \phi(y)=\theta_{m-1}y-c(\theta_{m-1})\ (c_{m-1}<y\le c_m),\qquad \phi(y)=\theta_Ly-c(\theta_L)\ (y>c_L).ϕ(y)=θ0​y (y≤c1​),ϕ(y)=θm−1​y−c(θm−1​) (cm−1​<y≤cm​),ϕ(y)=θL​y−c(θL​) (y>cL​).
  1. Lemma 2(i), (D1), Online Supplement p. 9: for κ,σ>0\kappa,\sigma>0κ,σ>0,
∫τxe(2θz−κz2)/σ2 dz=σπκeθ2/(κσ2)[Φ(x−θ/κσ/2κ)−Φ(τ−θ/κσ/2κ)].\int_\tau^x e^{(2\theta z-\kappa z^2)/\sigma^2}\,dz=\frac{\sigma\sqrt\pi}{\sqrt\kappa}e^{\theta^2/(\kappa\sigma^2)}\Big[\Phi\Big(\tfrac{x-\theta/\kappa}{\sigma/\sqrt{2\kappa}}\Big)-\Phi\Big(\tfrac{\tau-\theta/\kappa}{\sigma/\sqrt{2\kappa}}\Big)\Big].∫τx​e(2θz−κz2)/σ2dz=κ​σπ​​eθ2/(κσ2)[Φ(σ/2κ​x−θ/κ​)−Φ(σ/2κ​τ−θ/κ​)].
  1. Lemma 2(ii), (D2), Online Supplement p. 9: the companion formula for ∫τxz e(2θz−κz2)/σ2dz\int_\tau^x z\,e^{(2\theta z-\kappa z^2)/\sigma^2}dz∫τx​ze(2θz−κz2)/σ2dz.

Significance

The result. Proposition 3 turns the nested threshold policy into something computable. Evaluating ulu_lul​ at the right end of its interval and inverting gives τl−1\tau_{l-1}τl−1​ from τl\tau_lτl​, so the thresholds τL,τL−1,…,τ1\tau_L,\tau_{L-1},\dots,\tau_1τL​,τL−1​,…,τ1​ follow by a one-dimensional recursion once β\betaβ is known. The paper's simulation study of a food bank (§5) uses these thresholds to set engagement policy. The result also shows that the value-function derivative, although defined through a nonlinear equation involving a supremum, is an explicit combination of Gaussian-type functions on each threshold interval.

Formalizing it. The result is proved in the paper (Online Supplement §D); no machine-checked version of it, of the conjugate formula (E9), or of the truncated Gaussian integrals (D1)–(D2) is known to exist. A formal proof checks the transcription of a long explicit formula with many constants, which is exactly where printed closed forms tend to go wrong, and produces reusable pieces: the conjugate of a convex piecewise linear function and two interval-integral identities for the normal cdf.

Difficulty

The Bellman equation is nonlinear in vvv through ϕ(p−v)\phi(p-v)ϕ(p−v). The obvious approach, solving it directly, fails because ϕ\phiϕ has no single formula. What makes it tractable is that on [τl,τl−1)[\tau_l,\tau_{l-1})[τl​,τl−1​) the argument p−v(x)p-v(x)p−v(x) stays in one linearity interval of ϕ\phiϕ; this is a property of the solution, derived from its monotonicity and the definition of the thresholds, not a hypothesis. A complete proof must therefore combine the piecewise description of a supremum, a uniqueness argument for a linear first-order equation on a half-open interval (with the one-sided derivative at the left end and, for l=1l=1l=1, an unbounded interval), and the evaluation of Gaussian integrals over finite intervals in terms of the normal cdf, matching every constant of the printed formula. The two expressions for the Φ\PhiΦ arguments, (κx−θ)/(σκ/2)(\kappa x-\theta)/(\sigma\sqrt{\kappa/2})(κx−θ)/(σκ/2​) in ulu_lul​ and (x−θ/κ)/(σ/2κ)(x-\theta/\kappa)/(\sigma/\sqrt{2\kappa})(x−θ/κ)/(σ/2κ​) in (D1)–(D2), are equal, but the identification must be made.

Formalization scope

All objects live in the namespace VolunteerEngage.Thresholds, Lean 4 with Mathlib.

  • The parameters form a structure Model; η\etaη and ccc are N\mathbb NN-indexed sequences of which the indices 1,…,L1,\dots,L1,…,L are used. The standing assumptions (L≥1L\ge1L≥1, θ0<0\theta_0<0θ0​<0, ηl>0\eta_l>0ηl​>0, 0<c1<⋯<cL<p0<c_1<\dots<c_L<p0<c1​<⋯<cL​<p, p>0p>0p>0, κ>0\kappa>0κ>0, σ>0\sigma>0σ>0) form the predicate Standing, a hypothesis of every model-level theorem. The paper states them in the model's derivation ((15), (24), (42), (43), (50), p. 18) rather than for the abstract control problem.
  • The cost (52) is written as one sum, equal to (52) on AAA; values off AAA are never used. ϕ\phiϕ is the supremum (66) over AAA, never its closed form, so (E9) is a genuine statement.
  • A solution of the Bellman equation includes β>0\beta>0β>0 and a pair (v,v′)(v,v')(v,v′) with v′v'v′ continuous on [0,∞)[0,\infty)[0,∞) and the one-sided derivative of vvv within [0,∞)[0,\infty)[0,∞) at every point. "Increasing" is strict.
  • The thresholds enter the goal as a sequence τ\tauτ with τL+1=0\tau_{L+1}=0τL+1​=0 and, for l≤Ll\le Ll≤L, τl≥0\tau_l\ge0τl​≥0 and v(τl)=p−c^lv(\tau_l)=p-\hat c_lv(τl​)=p−c^l​; strict monotonicity makes this the definition τl=v−1(p−c^l)\tau_l=v^{-1}(p-\hat c_l)τl​=v−1(p−c^l​), so the proposition's clause "τl=v−1(p−c^l)\tau_l=v^{-1}(p-\hat c_l)τl​=v−1(p−c^l​)", which restates that definition, is not posed separately. τ0=∞\tau_0=\inftyτ0​=∞ is encoded by dropping the upper bound for l=1l=1l=1.
  • The goal is stated for every solution (β,v)(\beta,v)(β,v); β>0\beta>0β>0 is part of the solution predicate, as on p. 21. It is not vacuous: the companion mission's goal (Theorem 1) asserts that a solution exists. A formalization that assumed the closed form of ϕ\phiϕ, that p−vp-vp−v stays in one linearity interval, or that took ulu_lul​ as the definition of vvv would make the goal trivial and is ruled out.
  • Φ\PhiΦ is the published definition Cohen2019.Robust.Phi, which is Mathlib's cdf (gaussianReal 0 1). Integrals in (D1)–(D2) are oriented interval integrals of continuous functions.

The source is the arXiv preprint v2 including its Online Supplement. The queueing network (§2) and the Brownian control problem (§3) motivate the Bellman equation but are not part of any formal statement; the optimality of the threshold policy (Theorem 2) is not formalized here. Proofs of any milestone, of the goal, and general lemmas on conjugates of piecewise linear functions or on Gaussian integrals over intervals are welcome.

Selected references

  • B. Ata, M. H. Tongarlak, D. Lee, J. Field, A Dynamic Model for Managing Volunteer Engagement, arXiv:2312.02920v2, 2023; Operations Research, 2024. https://arxiv.org/abs/2312.02920
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Punish Underperformance with Suspension: Optimal Dynamic Contracts in the Presence of Switching Cost IV: Low Switching Cost, Control-Band Value Functions Meet the Optimality ConditionsResearch Paper

Motivation

Many service relationships are dynamic contracts in which the principal cannot observe the agent's effort, only its noisy consequences. Cao, Sun and Tian (Management Science, 2024) study such a relationship when the principal can suspend the agent and must pay a fixed switching cost to restart work. Suspension is a punishment that does not end the relationship, and it is used in practice for platform workers, contractors and franchisees. The paper shows that, when the switching cost and the revenue are low, the optimal contract has a control-band structure: the agent's promised utility is kept inside an interval, the agent is suspended when it falls below the lower end, and work resumes at the upper end. Two-threshold policies of this kind are standard in optimal switching problems with switching costs (Duckworth and Zervos, 2001; Vath and Pham, 2007), whose verification arguments the paper compares with its own.

This mission is the fourth of a series formalizing the analytic core of the paper. It covers the low-switching-cost region (Area III of the paper's Figure 2).

Setting

A Poisson process of arrivals brings revenue RRR each. The base arrival rate is μ‾≥0\underline\mu\ge0μ​≥0; if the agent works, at cost b>0b>0b>0 per unit of time, the rate becomes μ>μ‾\mu>\underline\muμ>μ​. Write Δμ=μ−μ‾\Delta\mu=\mu-\underline\muΔμ=μ−μ​. The principal's cost rate while the agent works is c≥bc\ge bc≥b, restarting work costs K>0K>0K>0, and the principal and the agent discount at rates 0<r≤ρ0<r\le\rho0<r≤ρ. Assumption 1 is RΔμ>cR\Delta\mu>cRΔμ>c. The constants are

β=bΔμ,wˉ=βμρ,v‾=μ‾Rr,Vˉ=Rμ−c−(ρ−r)wˉr,Vˉ(w)=Rμ−c−(ρ−r)wr.\beta=\frac b{\Delta\mu},\quad \bar w=\frac{\beta\mu}\rho,\quad \underline v=\frac{\underline\mu R}r,\quad \bar V=\frac{R\mu-c-(\rho-r)\bar w}r,\quad \bar V(w)=\frac{R\mu-c-(\rho-r)w}r .β=Δμb​,wˉ=ρβμ​,v​=rμ​R​,Vˉ=rRμ−c−(ρ−r)wˉ​,Vˉ(w)=rRμ−c−(ρ−r)w​.

The promised utility w≥0w\ge0w≥0 is the state. For a function fff on R+\mathbb R_+R+​ with left derivative f′f'f′, the paper's operators are

(AIf)(w)=(μ+r)f(w)−μf(w+β)+ρ(wˉ−w)f′(w)−(μR−c)+(ρ−r)w,(\mathcal A_If)(w)=(\mu+r)f(w)-\mu f(w+\beta)+\rho(\bar w-w)f'(w)-(\mu R-c)+(\rho-r)w,(AI​f)(w)=(μ+r)f(w)−μf(w+β)+ρ(wˉ−w)f′(w)−(μR−c)+(ρ−r)w, (A∅f)(w)=rf(w)−ρwf′(w)+(ρ−r)w−Rμ‾,(\mathcal A_\emptyset f)(w)=rf(w)-\rho wf'(w)+(\rho-r)w-R\underline\mu,(A∅​f)(w)=rf(w)−ρwf′(w)+(ρ−r)w−Rμ​,

for the working state III and the suspended state ∅\emptyset∅. A pair (VI,V∅)(V_I,V_\emptyset)(VI​,V∅​) satisfies the optimality condition (20)–(22) if AIVI≥0\mathcal A_IV_I\ge0AI​VI​≥0, A∅V∅≥0\mathcal A_\emptyset V_\emptyset\ge0A∅​V∅​≥0, 0≤VI−V∅≤K0\le V_I-V_\emptyset\le K0≤VI​−V∅​≤K and VI(0),V∅(0)≥v‾V_I(0),V_\emptyset(0)\ge\underline vVI​(0),V∅​(0)≥v​.

Two families of functions enter. In the suspended state, Vc(w)=v‾+w+c wr/ρV_c(w)=\underline v+w+c\,w^{r/\rho}Vc​(w)=v​+w+cwr/ρ (24) solves A∅V=0\mathcal A_\emptyset V=0A∅​V=0 with V(0)=v‾V(0)=\underline vV(0)=v​. In the working state, for w~<wˉ\tilde w<\bar ww~<wˉ, Vw~V_{\tilde w}Vw~​ is the C1C^1C1 solution of the delay differential equation (25), in which V(w)V(w)V(w) is coupled to the look-ahead value V((w+β)∧w~)V((w+\beta)\wedge\tilde w)V((w+β)∧w~), with Vw~=Vˉ(w~)V_{\tilde w}=\bar V(\tilde w)Vw~​=Vˉ(w~) beyond w~\tilde ww~; Vw~\mathcal V_{\tilde w}Vw~​ is its concavification (Lemma 2), linear below a threshold wˇ(w~)\check w(\tilde w)wˇ(w~). Lemma 3's w^\hat{\mathrm w}w^ is the unique w~\tilde ww~ with Vw~(0)=v‾\mathcal V_{\tilde w}(0)=\underline vVw~​(0)=v​ under Condition 1.

The parameter regions are Condition 1 (μ≥ρ−r\mu\ge\rho-rμ≥ρ−r or R<R^R<\hat RR<R^), Condition 2 (its negation) and Condition 3: Condition 1 and K<Kˉ1K<\bar K_1K<Kˉ1​, or Condition 2 and K<K‾K<\underline KK<K​, with R^\hat RR^ (28), Kˉ1\bar K_1Kˉ1​ (K1) and K‾\underline KK​ (33) explicit thresholds.

The paper uses three different hats: Definition 1's payment threshold w^\hat ww^, Lemma 3's upright w^\hat{\mathrm w}w^, and Proposition 6's bold w^\hat{\mathbf w}w^, the upper end of the control band.

Formalization targets

Goal: Proposition 7, first claim

Under Condition 3 there are parameters (c,w^,ϑˉ,ϑ‾)(\mathsf c,\hat{\mathbf w},\bar\vartheta,\underline\vartheta)(c,w^,ϑˉ,ϑ​) satisfying Proposition 6 such that

VI(w)={Vc(w),w<ϑ‾Vw^(w),w≥ϑ‾,V∅(w)={Vc(w),w<ϑˉVw^(w)−K,w≥ϑˉ(46)V_I(w)=\begin{cases}V_{\mathsf c}(w),&w<\underline\vartheta\\ \mathcal V_{\hat{\mathbf w}}(w),&w\ge\underline\vartheta\end{cases},\qquad V_\emptyset(w)=\begin{cases}V_{\mathsf c}(w),&w<\bar\vartheta\\ \mathcal V_{\hat{\mathbf w}}(w)-K,&w\ge\bar\vartheta\end{cases}\qquad(46)VI​(w)={Vc​(w),Vw^​(w),​w<ϑ​w≥ϑ​​,V∅​(w)={Vc​(w),Vw^​(w)−K,​w<ϑˉw≥ϑˉ​(46)

satisfy (20)–(22).

Proposition 6

Under Condition 3 there is (c,w^,ϑˉ,ϑ‾)(\mathsf c,\hat{\mathbf w},\bar\vartheta,\underline\vartheta)(c,w^,ϑˉ,ϑ​) with c>0\mathsf c>0c>0, ϑ‾<ϑˉ<w^\underline\vartheta<\bar\vartheta<\hat{\mathbf w}ϑ​<ϑˉ<w^ and value matching and smooth pasting at both thresholds:

Vw^(ϑ‾)=Vc(ϑ‾),Vw^′(ϑ‾)=Vc′(ϑ‾),Vw^(ϑˉ)=Vc(ϑˉ)+K,Vw^′(ϑˉ)=Vc′(ϑˉ)>1.\mathcal V_{\hat{\mathbf w}}(\underline\vartheta)=V_{\mathsf c}(\underline\vartheta),\quad \mathcal V_{\hat{\mathbf w}}'(\underline\vartheta)=V_{\mathsf c}'(\underline\vartheta),\quad \mathcal V_{\hat{\mathbf w}}(\bar\vartheta)=V_{\mathsf c}(\bar\vartheta)+K,\quad \mathcal V_{\hat{\mathbf w}}'(\bar\vartheta)=V_{\mathsf c}'(\bar\vartheta)>1 .Vw^​(ϑ​)=Vc​(ϑ​),Vw^′​(ϑ​)=Vc′​(ϑ​),Vw^​(ϑˉ)=Vc​(ϑˉ)+K,Vw^′​(ϑˉ)=Vc′​(ϑˉ)>1.

Milestones

Lemma EC.4 (the first step of the EC.3.9 construction), Proposition 6, and the two hardest parts of (20) at the constructed tuple: Lemma EC.12 (A∅V∅≥0\mathcal A_\emptyset V_\emptyset\ge0A∅​V∅​≥0 on [ϑˉ,w^)[\bar\vartheta,\hat{\mathbf w})[ϑˉ,w^)) and Lemma EC.13 (AIVI≥0\mathcal A_IV_I\ge0AI​VI​≥0 below ϑ‾\underline\varthetaϑ​). The other steps of the construction are posed as further statements of the mission without milestone status: Lemma EC.7 (the root of ψ=K\psi=Kψ=K under Condition 1), Lemma EC.8 and Lemma EC.11 (the Condition 2 counterparts of EC.4 and EC.7).

Significance

Proposition 7 is the analytic certificate behind the paper's Theorem 5: combined with the verification Theorem 1, it shows that the control-band contract is optimal in the low-cost region, and that the principal's value is V∅(w)−wV_\emptyset(w)-wV∅​(w)−w. Without it the third case of the paper's main Theorem 2 is unproved. The construction of Proposition 6 also gives a computable description of the band, which the paper uses for its numerical illustrations.

The results are proved in the paper's e-companion; none of them has a machine-checked proof. This mission states the analytic part as Lean targets. The delay-ODE layer (existence, uniqueness and shape of Vw~V_{\tilde w}Vw~​) is shared with the first mission of the series, and Proposition 7's proof depends on it. The stochastic contract model, the verification theorem and the optimality Theorems 1–5 are not formalized in this series.

Difficulty

Each piece of (20)–(22) is a one-variable inequality, but the functions are not explicit. Vw^\mathcal V_{\hat{\mathbf w}}Vw^​ is defined through a delay equation, and the band's endpoints are defined implicitly through four nested steps: matching at θ‾\underline\thetaθ​, a range bound θ‾0\underline\theta^0θ​0, an upper threshold θˉ(θ‾)\bar\theta(\underline\theta)θˉ(θ​) and a root of a gap function ψ\psiψ. The natural argument, convexity or concavity of AIVI\mathcal A_IV_IAI​VI​ on the suspension region, fails: on [0,ϑ‾)[0,\underline\vartheta)[0,ϑ​) the function AIVI\mathcal A_IV_IAI​VI​ mixes VcV_{\mathsf c}Vc​ with the look-ahead value VI(w+β)V_I(w+\beta)VI​(w+β) and is not convex (p. 28), so the convexity arguments of the switching literature do not apply. The paper's proof of this single inequality occupies EC.3.12, with eight auxiliary lemmas.

Formalization scope

Functions are ℝ → ℝ and every statement quantifies over w≥0w\ge0w≥0. The standing assumptions are 0≤μ‾<μ0\le\underline\mu<\mu0≤μ​<μ, 0<b≤c0<b\le c0<b≤c, K>0K>0K>0, 0<r≤ρ0<r\le\rho0<r≤ρ and Assumption 1; μ‾≥0\underline\mu\ge0μ​≥0 and b>0b>0b>0 are disclosed additions. Conventions:

  • f′f'f′ in AI,A∅\mathcal A_I,\mathcal A_\emptysetAI​,A∅​ is the left derivative; derivatives of Vw~V_{\tilde w}Vw~​, Vw~\mathcal V_{\tilde w}Vw~​ are taken within R+\mathbb R_+R+​.
  • (20) is posed for w>0w>0w>0: at 000 the left derivative does not exist and Vc′(0+)=+∞V_{\mathsf c}'(0^+)=+\inftyVc′​(0+)=+∞.
  • Vw~V_{\tilde w}Vw~​ is a solution of (25)–(26) chosen when one exists; wˇ\check wwˇ, w^\hat{\mathrm w}w^, Kˉ1\bar K_1Kˉ1​, θ‾0\underline\theta^0θ​0, θˉ\bar\thetaθˉ are infima or suprema of sets the paper describes; w~(θ‾)\tilde w(\underline\theta)w~(θ​), C(θ‾)C(\underline\theta)C(θ​) are chosen matching pairs.
  • "Increasing/decreasing" is strict.
  • K‾\underline KK​ (33) uses the corrected bracket ((ρ−μ)/ρ)β((\rho-\mu)/\rho)\beta((ρ−μ)/ρ)β in place of the printed (r/ρ)β(r/\rho)\beta(r/ρ)β; the printed form contradicts the proof's (EC.69).
  • Proposition 6's "w^<w^\hat{\mathbf w}<\hat{\mathrm w}w^<w^" is read as w^<wˉ\hat{\mathbf w}<\bar ww^<wˉ in the Condition 2 case, where w^\hat{\mathrm w}w^ does not exist; 0<ϑ‾0<\underline\vartheta0<ϑ​ is stated.
  • The goal is existential over Proposition 6 tuples. Lemmas EC.12 and EC.13 are stated at the tuple constructed in EC.3.9, in both cases of Condition 3; EC.13 is posed on (0,ϑ‾)(0,\underline\vartheta)(0,ϑ​).
  • Lemma EC.11's second limit is printed at 000; it is stated at θ‾˘\breve{\underline\theta}θ​˘​, as the proof computes it.

The tuple is never defined by the property that (46) satisfies (20)–(22); the construction definitions are Steps 1–4 of EC.3.9 only, and the goal requires all of Proposition 6's conclusions. The second claim of Proposition 7, (48) on the contract's utility, is out of scope.

A complete development needs existence, uniqueness and regularity for the linear delay equation (25) (reusable for other delay problems), implicit-function arguments for w~(θ‾)\tilde w(\underline\theta)w~(θ​), and the sign analysis of EC.3.12. Proofs of single milestones, and of the delay-ODE lemmas of the series' first mission, are welcome.

Selected references

  • P. Cao, P. Sun, F. Tian, Punish Underperformance with Suspension: Optimal Dynamic Contracts in the Presence of Switching Cost, Management Science, 2024. https://doi.org/10.1287/mnsc.2023.4845
  • K. Duckworth, M. Zervos, A model for investment decisions with switching costs, Annals of Applied Probability 11(1), 2001. https://doi.org/10.1214/aoap/998926992
  • V. L. Vath, H. Pham, Explicit solution to an optimal switching problem in the two-regime case, SIAM Journal on Control and Optimization 46(2), 2007. https://doi.org/10.1137/050638783
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Punish Underperformance with Suspension: Optimal Dynamic Contracts in the Presence of Switching Cost I: Condition 1, High Switching Cost, Not-Hiring Value Functions Meet the Optimality ConditionsResearch Paper

Motivation

Many service relationships let a firm pause an agent instead of firing them: a sales representative who brings in no customers for a while is suspended, a contractor is laid off for a season and recalled. Pausing is not free. Every restart carries a switching cost KKK (re-training, re-establishing a territory, setting up the work environment), so a principal who suspends too readily pays for it. Cao, Sun and Tian (Management Science, 2024) study the optimal dynamic contract for this trade-off in continuous time, building on the Poisson-arrival moral-hazard model of Sun and Tian (2018). Their main result (Theorem 2) splits the parameter space into three regimes: never hire, hire and keep the agent working forever, and a control-band contract with suspension episodes of fixed length. This mission covers the first regime under the paper's Condition 1.

Setting

A principal earns a revenue RRR per arrival of a Poisson process. Without effort the arrival rate is μ‾≥0\underline\mu\ge0μ​≥0; an agent who works, at private cost b>0b>0b>0 per unit time, raises it to μ>μ‾\mu>\underline\muμ>μ​. Write Δμ=μ−μ‾\Delta\mu=\mu-\underline\muΔμ=μ−μ​. The principal's cost rate while the agent works is c≥bc\ge bc≥b, every start of work costs K>0K>0K>0, and the principal and the agent discount at rates 0<r≤ρ0<r\le\rho0<r≤ρ. Assumption 1 is RΔμ>cR\Delta\mu>cRΔμ>c. The derived constants are

β=bΔμ,wˉ=βμρ,v‾=μ‾Rr,Vˉ(w)=Rμ−c−(ρ−r)wr.\beta=\frac{b}{\Delta\mu},\qquad \bar w=\frac{\beta\mu}{\rho},\qquad \underline v=\frac{\underline\mu R}{r},\qquad \bar V(w)=\frac{R\mu-c-(\rho-r)w}{r}.β=Δμb​,wˉ=ρβμ​,v​=rμ​R​,Vˉ(w)=rRμ−c−(ρ−r)w​.

The state of a contract is the agent's promised utility w≥0w\ge0w≥0. The paper's verification theorem reduces optimality to a pair of functions: VIV_IVI​ for the working state and V∅V_\emptysetV∅​ for the suspended state. For a function fff on R+\mathbb R_+R+​, with f′f'f′ its left derivative, the operators are

(AIf)(w)=(μ+r)f(w)−μf(w+β)+ρ(wˉ−w)f′(w)−(μR−c)+(ρ−r)w,(\mathcal A_If)(w)=(\mu+r)f(w)-\mu f(w+\beta)+\rho(\bar w-w)f'(w)-(\mu R-c)+(\rho-r)w,(AI​f)(w)=(μ+r)f(w)−μf(w+β)+ρ(wˉ−w)f′(w)−(μR−c)+(ρ−r)w, (A∅f)(w)=rf(w)−ρwf′(w)+(ρ−r)w−Rμ‾,(\mathcal A_\emptyset f)(w)=rf(w)-\rho wf'(w)+(\rho-r)w-R\underline\mu,(A∅​f)(w)=rf(w)−ρwf′(w)+(ρ−r)w−Rμ​,

and (VI,V∅)(V_I,V_\emptyset)(VI​,V∅​) satisfies the optimality condition (20)–(22) if AIVI≥0\mathcal A_IV_I\ge0AI​VI​≥0, A∅V∅≥0\mathcal A_\emptyset V_\emptyset\ge0A∅​V∅​≥0, 0≤VI−V∅≤K0\le V_I-V_\emptyset\le K0≤VI​−V∅​≤K on R+\mathbb R_+R+​, and VI(0)≥v‾V_I(0)\ge\underline vVI​(0)≥v​, V∅(0)≥v‾V_\emptyset(0)\ge\underline vV∅​(0)≥v​.

The working-state candidate is built from the delay differential equation (25): for w~∈[0,wˉ)\tilde w\in[0,\bar w)w~∈[0,wˉ), Vw~V_{\tilde w}Vw~​ is the C1C^1C1 function on [0,w~][0,\tilde w][0,w~] with

(μ+r)V(w)−μV((w+β)∧w~)+ρ(wˉ−w)V′(w)−(μR−c)+(ρ−r)w=0,(\mu+r)V(w)-\mu V\big((w+\beta)\wedge\tilde w\big)+\rho(\bar w-w)V'(w)-(\mu R-c)+(\rho-r)w=0,(μ+r)V(w)−μV((w+β)∧w~)+ρ(wˉ−w)V′(w)−(μR−c)+(ρ−r)w=0,

and V(w)=Vˉ(w~)V(w)=\bar V(\tilde w)V(w)=Vˉ(w~) for w≥w~w\ge\tilde ww≥w~. Vw~V_{\tilde w}Vw~​ may be convex near 000; wˇ(w~)\check w(\tilde w)wˇ(w~) is the point up to which Vw~′′>0V_{\tilde w}''>0Vw~′′​>0, and the concavification Vw~\mathcal V_{\tilde w}Vw~​ replaces Vw~V_{\tilde w}Vw~​ on [0,wˇ(w~))[0,\check w(\tilde w))[0,wˇ(w~)) by its tangent line at wˇ(w~)\check w(\tilde w)wˇ(w~). Condition 1 is "μ≥ρ−r\mu\ge\rho-rμ≥ρ−r or R<R^R<\hat RR<R^" with

R^=[cb+(ρ−r)μΔμ(ρ−r−μ)⋅ρ−μρ]β.\hat R=\Big[\frac cb+\frac{(\rho-r)\mu}{\Delta\mu(\rho-r-\mu)}\cdot\frac{\rho-\mu}{\rho}\Big]\beta.R^=[bc​+Δμ(ρ−r−μ)(ρ−r)μ​⋅ρρ−μ​]β.

Under it there is a unique w^∈[0,wˉ)\hat{\mathrm w}\in[0,\bar w)w^∈[0,wˉ) with Vw^(0)=v‾\mathcal V_{\hat{\mathrm w}}(0)=\underline vVw^​(0)=v​ (Lemma 3). Three hats occur in the paper: w^\hat ww^ of Definition 1 (a payment threshold), w^\hat{\mathrm w}w^ of Lemma 3 (used here), and w^\hat{\mathbf w}w^ of Proposition 6 (not used here). For K<Vˉ(w^)−v‾K<\bar V(\hat{\mathrm w})-\underline vK<Vˉ(w^)−v​, Lemma 4 gives a tangent pair (θˉK,mK)(\bar\theta^K,m^K)(θˉK,mK): the line mKw+v‾m^Kw+\underline vmKw+v​ touches Vw^−K\mathcal V_{\hat{\mathrm w}}-KVw^​−K at θˉK\bar\theta^KθˉK. Finally Kˉ1=inf⁡{K∈(0,Vˉ(w^)−v‾]∣mK<1}\bar K_1=\inf\{K\in(0,\bar V(\hat{\mathrm w})-\underline v]\mid m^K<1\}Kˉ1​=inf{K∈(0,Vˉ(w^)−v​]∣mK<1} (K1).

Formalization targets

Goal: Proposition 3 (p. 22)

Under Condition 1 and Kˉ1≤K≤Vˉ(w^)−v‾\bar K_1\le K\le\bar V(\hat{\mathrm w})-\underline vKˉ1​≤K≤Vˉ(w^)−v​, for the pair (θˉK,mK)(\bar\theta^K,m^K)(θˉK,mK) of (29),

VI=Vw^,V∅(w)={mKw+v‾,w≤θˉK,Vw^(w)−K,w>θˉK,V_I=\mathcal V_{\hat{\mathrm w}},\qquad V_\emptyset(w)=\begin{cases}m^Kw+\underline v,&w\le\bar\theta^K,\\ \mathcal V_{\hat{\mathrm w}}(w)-K,&w>\bar\theta^K,\end{cases}VI​=Vw^​,V∅​(w)={mKw+v​,Vw^​(w)−K,​w≤θˉK,w>θˉK,​

satisfy (20)–(22).

Milestones

  1. Lemma EC.2: existence and uniqueness of Vw~V_{\tilde w}Vw~​, w~∈[0,wˉ)\tilde w\in[0,\bar w)w~∈[0,wˉ).
  2. Lemma EC.2(iii)–(iv): Vw~V_{\tilde w}Vw~​ increasing; Vw~V_{\tilde w}Vw~​ decreasing and Vw~′V_{\tilde w}'Vw~′​ increasing in w~\tilde ww~.
  3. Lemma 2(i): the sign pattern of Vw~′′V_{\tilde w}''Vw~′′​ around wˇ(w~)\check w(\tilde w)wˇ(w~), and wˇ(w~)≤(1−r/ρ)β\check w(\tilde w)\le(1-r/\rho)\betawˇ(w~)≤(1−r/ρ)β.
  4. Lemma 2(ii)–(iii): Vw~\mathcal V_{\tilde w}Vw~​ increasing and concave; comparison in w~\tilde ww~.
  5. Lemma 3: w^\hat{\mathrm w}w^ exists and is unique; Vw^′(0)>1\mathcal V_{\hat{\mathrm w}}'(0)>1Vw^′​(0)>1 when wˇ(w^)>0\check w(\hat{\mathrm w})>0wˇ(w^)>0.
  6. Proposition 2: for K≥Vˉ(w^)−v‾K\ge\bar V(\hat{\mathrm w})-\underline vK≥Vˉ(w^)−v​, (Vw^,v‾)(\mathcal V_{\hat{\mathrm w}},\underline v)(Vw^​,v​) satisfies (20)–(22).
  7. Lemma 4: tangent pairs exist; θˉK\bar\theta^KθˉK increases and mKm^KmK decreases in KKK; θˉK→wˇ(w^)\bar\theta^K\to\check w(\hat{\mathrm w})θˉK→wˇ(w^) as K↓0K\downarrow0K↓0.

Significance

Propositions 2 and 3 are the analytic certificates behind Theorem 2(i): combined with the verification theorem (Theorem 1), they show that under Condition 1 and K≥Kˉ1K\ge\bar K_1K≥Kˉ1​ the principal's utility from any incentive-compatible contract promising www is at most V∅(w)−w≤v‾V_\emptyset(w)-w\le\underline vV∅​(w)−w≤v​, so never hiring the agent is optimal, and Kˉ1\bar K_1Kˉ1​ is exactly the switching-cost threshold of that regime. The same objects (Vw~V_{\tilde w}Vw~​, Vw^\mathcal V_{\hat{\mathrm w}}Vw^​, the tangent pairs) reappear in the low-cost control-band regime (Propositions 6–7), so a formal development of the delay ODE and its concavification is reused there.

The paper proves all these results; none is formalized. The mission formalizes the deterministic half of the guess-and-verify argument. The stochastic contract model (point processes, promise keeping, incentive compatibility), Theorem 1 and the optimality theorems are outside its scope.

Difficulty

The obvious approach, verifying (20)–(22) by direct computation, works for the linear pieces but not for Vw^\mathcal V_{\hat{\mathrm w}}Vw^​, which has no closed form: (25) is a delay equation solved backwards from w~\tilde ww~ in steps of length β\betaβ, and the closed form (EC.52) of the paper holds only on the last step [(w~−β)+,w~][(\tilde w-\beta)^+,\tilde w][(w~−β)+,w~]. Every property of Vw^\mathcal V_{\hat{\mathrm w}}Vw^​ used in the goal (monotonicity, the single change of convexity, the comparison in w~\tilde ww~ that makes w^\hat{\mathrm w}w^ unique) has to be extracted from the equation itself, across the kinks of w↦(w+β)∧w~w\mapsto(w+\beta)\wedge\tilde ww↦(w+β)∧w~. On the second branch of V∅V_\emptysetV∅​, A∅V∅≥0\mathcal A_\emptyset V_\emptyset\ge0A∅​V∅​≥0 is not a pointwise identity either: it requires mK≤1m^K\le1mK≤1, which is where K≥Kˉ1K\ge\bar K_1K≥Kˉ1​ enters.

Formalization scope

  • Parameters form a structure with real fields; the standing assumptions 0≤μ‾<μ0\le\underline\mu<\mu0≤μ​<μ, 0<b≤c0<b\le c0<b≤c, K>0K>0K>0, 0<r≤ρ0<r\le\rho0<r≤ρ, RΔμ>cR\Delta\mu>cRΔμ>c are a hypothesis of every theorem. μ‾≥0\underline\mu\ge0μ​≥0 and b>0b>0b>0 are disclosed additions (a rate and a cost).
  • Functions are ℝ → ℝ; every statement quantifies over w≥0w\ge0w≥0 only. In AI,A∅\mathcal A_I,\mathcal A_\emptysetAI​,A∅​, f′f'f′ is the left derivative (derivWithin f (Set.Iic w) w, the paper's p. 15 convention); in statements about Vw~V_{\tilde w}Vw~​ and Vw~\mathcal V_{\tilde w}Vw~​, derivatives are taken within R+\mathbb R_+R+​; in (25), within [0,w~][0,\tilde w][0,w~].
  • (20) is required for w>0w>0w>0: at w=0w=0w=0 a left derivative of a function on R+\mathbb R_+R+​ does not exist. (21) and (22) are as printed.
  • Vw~V_{\tilde w}Vw~​ is a chosen solution of (25)–(26) (Lemma EC.2 is the milestone that makes this meaningful); wˇ(w~)\check w(\tilde w)wˇ(w~) is a supremum defined through the sign of V′′V''V′′, and w^\hat{\mathrm w}w^ an infimum; Kˉ1\bar K_1Kˉ1​ is an infimum. None is defined by the property a theorem asserts about it.
  • The goal holds for every pair satisfying (29); the pair is unique, and at K=Vˉ(w^)−v‾K=\bar V(\hat{\mathrm w})-\underline vK=Vˉ(w^)−v​ it is (w^,0)(\hat{\mathrm w},0)(w^,0). The second branch of (30) is extended beyond w^\hat{\mathrm w}w^, as the paper's proof uses.
  • "Increasing/decreasing" mean strictly. The contract-utility claim U(Γ‾)=v‾U(\underline\Gamma)=\underline vU(Γ​)=v​ of Proposition 2 is not stated.
  • Ruled out: weakening (20)–(22) (dropping the upper bound KKK in (21), or (22)), or defining Vw~V_{\tilde w}Vw~​ by its closed form (EC.52), which is valid only near w~\tilde ww~.

Needed infrastructure: existence and uniqueness for linear ODEs with a terminal condition, extended step by step across a delay; one-sided derivatives of piecewise functions; concavity from sign conditions on second derivatives. Proofs of the milestones, and reusable lemmas about delay equations of this form, are welcome.

Selected references

  • P. Cao, P. Sun, F. Tian, Punish Underperformance with Suspension: Optimal Dynamic Contracts in the Presence of Switching Cost, Management Science, 2024. https://doi.org/10.1287/mnsc.2023.4845 (cited from the authors' manuscript with e-companion).
  • P. Sun, F. Tian, Optimal Contract to Induce Continued Effort, Management Science 64(9), 2018. https://doi.org/10.1287/mnsc.2017.2795
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Punish Underperformance with Suspension: Optimal Dynamic Contracts in the Presence of Switching Cost III: Condition 2, Medium Switching Cost, Always-Work Value Functions Meet the Optimality ConditionsResearch Paper

Motivation

Many service relationships pay an agent per unit of output whose arrival is random: a salesperson closing deals, a call-centre worker resolving tickets, a contractor delivering jobs. When effort is unobservable, the classical tool for keeping an agent motivated is the threat of termination after poor performance. In practice firms often use a milder punishment, suspension: the agent is sent home for a while and later called back. Restarting work is not free, and each restart costs the firm a fixed switching cost.

P. Cao, P. Sun and F. Tian, Punish Underperformance with Suspension: Optimal Dynamic Contracts in the Presence of Switching Cost (Management Science, 2024), characterise the optimal dynamic contract in this setting. The optimal contract depends on the size of the switching cost: when it is large the firm should not hire, when it is moderate the firm should keep the agent working forever, and when it is small the firm uses a control-band contract with suspension episodes. Their proof is "guess and verify": a stochastic verification theorem (their Theorem 1) turns any pair of functions satisfying a system of quasi-variational inequalities into an upper bound on the principal's value, and Propositions 2–7 exhibit such pairs in each parameter region.

This mission formalizes the certificate for the medium-switching-cost region under Condition 2 (Area II of the paper's Figure 2), where the agent is never suspended.

Setting

The principal faces a Poisson stream of arrivals, each worth revenue RRR. Without effort the arrival rate is μ‾≥0\underline\mu\ge0μ​≥0; an agent who exerts effort, at cost b>0b>0b>0 per unit time, raises it to μ>μ‾\mu>\underline\muμ>μ​. Write Δμ=μ−μ‾\Delta\mu=\mu-\underline\muΔμ=μ−μ​. The principal's total cost rate while the agent works is c≥bc\ge bc≥b, every start of work costs a switching cost K>0K>0K>0, and the principal and agent discount at rates 0<r≤ρ0<r\le\rho0<r≤ρ. Assumption 1 is RΔμ>cR\Delta\mu>cRΔμ>c.

The paper's derived constants are

β=bΔμ,wˉ=βμρ,v‾=μ‾Rr,Vˉ=Rμ−c−(ρ−r)wˉr,Kˉ2=Vˉ−v‾−wˉ,\beta=\frac{b}{\Delta\mu},\quad \bar w=\frac{\beta\mu}{\rho},\quad \underline v=\frac{\underline\mu R}{r},\quad \bar V=\frac{R\mu-c-(\rho-r)\bar w}{r},\quad \bar K_2=\bar V-\underline v-\bar w,β=Δμb​,wˉ=ρβμ​,v​=rμ​R​,Vˉ=rRμ−c−(ρ−r)wˉ​,Kˉ2​=Vˉ−v​−wˉ,

together with the revenue thresholds R^\hat RR^ (28) and Rˉ\bar RRˉ (34) and the switching-cost threshold K‾\underline KK​ (33). Condition 2 is μ<ρ−r\mu<\rho-rμ<ρ−r and R≥R^R\ge\hat RR≥R^: the agent is much more impatient than the principal and revenue is high.

The state variable is the agent's promised utility w≥0w\ge0w≥0. Two operators act on functions fff of www, where f′f'f′ is the left derivative:

(AIf)(w)=(μ+r)f(w)−μf(w+β)+ρ(wˉ−w)f′(w)−(μR−c)+(ρ−r)w,(\mathcal A_I f)(w)=(\mu+r)f(w)-\mu f(w+\beta)+\rho(\bar w-w)f'(w)-(\mu R-c)+(\rho-r)w,(AI​f)(w)=(μ+r)f(w)−μf(w+β)+ρ(wˉ−w)f′(w)−(μR−c)+(ρ−r)w, (A∅f)(w)=rf(w)−ρwf′(w)+(ρ−r)w−Rμ‾.(\mathcal A_\emptyset f)(w)=rf(w)-\rho wf'(w)+(\rho-r)w-R\underline\mu.(A∅​f)(w)=rf(w)−ρwf′(w)+(ρ−r)w−Rμ​.

The first is a delay-differential operator for the working state, the second a first-order operator for the suspended state. A pair (VI,V∅)(V_I,V_\emptyset)(VI​,V∅​) satisfies the optimality condition (20)–(22) when AIVI≥0\mathcal A_IV_I\ge0AI​VI​≥0, A∅V∅≥0\mathcal A_\emptyset V_\emptyset\ge0A∅​V∅​≥0, 0≤VI−V∅≤K0\le V_I-V_\emptyset\le K0≤VI​−V∅​≤K and VI(0),V∅(0)≥v‾V_I(0),V_\emptyset(0)\ge\underline vVI​(0),V∅​(0)≥v​.

The suspended-state equation A∅V=0\mathcal A_\emptyset V=0A∅​V=0 with V(0)=v‾V(0)=\underline vV(0)=v​ is solved by Vc(w)=v‾+w+c wr/ρV_c(w)=\underline v+w+c\,w^{r/\rho}Vc​(w)=v​+w+cwr/ρ (24). In the region of this mission the paper builds

V∅(w)={VcK(w),w≤wˉ,Vˉ−K,w>wˉ,VI(w)={VcK(w),w≤θ‾K,Vˉ+mK(w−wˉ),θ‾K<w≤wˉ,Vˉ,w>wˉ,V_\emptyset(w)=\begin{cases}V_{c_K}(w),&w\le\bar w,\\ \bar V-K,&w>\bar w,\end{cases}\qquad V_I(w)=\begin{cases}V_{c_K}(w),&w\le\underline\theta_K,\\ \bar V+m_K(w-\bar w),&\underline\theta_K<w\le\bar w,\\ \bar V,&w>\bar w,\end{cases}V∅​(w)={VcK​​(w),Vˉ−K,​w≤wˉ,w>wˉ,​VI​(w)=⎩⎨⎧​VcK​​(w),Vˉ+mK​(w−wˉ),Vˉ,​w≤θ​K​,θ​K​<w≤wˉ,w>wˉ,​

from parameters (cK,mK,θ‾K)(c_K,m_K,\underline\theta_K)(cK​,mK​,θ​K​) chosen so that VcKV_{c_K}VcK​​ pastes smoothly onto the line at θ‾K\underline\theta_Kθ​K​ and ends at Vˉ−K\bar V-KVˉ−K at wˉ\bar wwˉ.

Formalization targets

Goal: Proposition 5 (first claim)

Under Condition 2 and K∈[K‾,Kˉ2)K\in[\underline K,\bar K_2)K∈[K​,Kˉ2​), for every triple (cK,mK,θ‾K)(c_K,m_K,\underline\theta_K)(cK​,mK​,θ​K​) with θ‾K∈(0,wˉ)\underline\theta_K\in(0,\bar w)θ​K​∈(0,wˉ), cK>0c_K>0cK​>0, mK∈[ρ−rρ−r−μ,Vˉ−v‾wˉ)m_K\in[\frac{\rho-r}{\rho-r-\mu},\frac{\bar V-\underline v}{\bar w})mK​∈[ρ−r−μρ−r​,wˉVˉ−v​​) and

VcK(θ‾K)=Vˉ+mK(θ‾K−wˉ),VcK′(θ‾K)=mK,VcK(wˉ)=Vˉ−K,V_{c_K}(\underline\theta_K)=\bar V+m_K(\underline\theta_K-\bar w),\qquad V'_{c_K}(\underline\theta_K)=m_K,\qquad V_{c_K}(\bar w)=\bar V-K,VcK​​(θ​K​)=Vˉ+mK​(θ​K​−wˉ),VcK​′​(θ​K​)=mK​,VcK​​(wˉ)=Vˉ−K,

the functions VI,V∅V_I,V_\emptysetVI​,V∅​ above satisfy (20)–(22).

Milestones

  1. (EC.67): explicit C1(θ‾)C^1(\underline\theta)C1(θ​) and m(θ‾)m(\underline\theta)m(θ​) solve the value-matching and smooth-pasting equations at any θ‾∈(0,wˉ]\underline\theta\in(0,\bar w]θ​∈(0,wˉ].
  2. Lemma EC.3: ψ1(θ‾)=Vˉ−v‾−wˉ−C1(θ‾)wˉr/ρ\psi_1(\underline\theta)=\bar V-\underline v-\bar w-C^1(\underline\theta)\bar w^{r/\rho}ψ1​(θ​)=Vˉ−v​−wˉ−C1(θ​)wˉr/ρ is continuous and strictly decreasing on [0,wˉ][0,\bar w][0,wˉ], so ψ1=K\psi_1=Kψ1​=K has a unique root θ‾K∈(0,wˉ)\underline\theta_K\in(0,\bar w)θ​K​∈(0,wˉ) for K∈(0,Kˉ2)K\in(0,\bar K_2)K∈(0,Kˉ2​); the root decreases in KKK and tends to wˉ\bar wwˉ as K↓0K\downarrow0K↓0.
  3. Lemma 5: for every K∈[K‾,Kˉ2)K\in[\underline K,\bar K_2)K∈[K​,Kˉ2​) the triple exists, and cKc_KcK​, mKm_KmK​, θ‾K\underline\theta_Kθ​K​ are monotone in KKK.

Lemma 5 guarantees that the goal is not vacuous.

Significance

Proposition 5 is the analytic half of the paper's Theorem 4: combined with the verification theorem, it shows that in Area II the principal's optimal value is attained by a contract that pays the agent β\betaβ per arrival and never suspends. The threshold K‾\underline KK​ separates this region from the control-band region of Proposition 7, so the explicit formula for K‾\underline KK​ is the boundary of the phase diagram.

The result is proved in the paper. No machine-checked version exists. A formal proof checks a delicate sign argument near w=0w=0w=0, where VcKV_{c_K}VcK​​ has infinite slope, and it checks the threshold K‾\underline KK​, whose printed formula contains an error (see Formalization scope). The paper's companion identity (41), U(Γˉ)=Vˉ−wˉ−K=V∅(wˉ)−wˉU(\bar\Gamma)=\bar V-\bar w-K=V_\emptyset(\bar w)-\bar wU(Γˉ)=Vˉ−wˉ−K=V∅​(wˉ)−wˉ, is about the utility of a contract and is not part of this mission; its deterministic half is immediate from (39).

Difficulty

The cases w∈[θ‾K,wˉ]w\in[\underline\theta_K,\bar w]w∈[θ​K​,wˉ] and w>wˉw>\bar ww>wˉ are algebraic. The difficulty is w∈(0,θ‾K)w\in(0,\underline\theta_K)w∈(0,θ​K​): there VIV_IVI​ is the curve VcKV_{c_K}VcK​​, and w+βw+\betaw+β lands beyond wˉ\bar wwˉ (Condition 2 gives β>wˉ\beta>\bar wβ>wˉ), so AIVI\mathcal A_IV_IAI​VI​ couples the curve with the constant Vˉ\bar VVˉ. Positivity there needs more than the sign of the smooth-pasting slope: it uses the lower bound on mKm_KmK​ in (35), which is exactly where the threshold K‾\underline KK​ enters. A direct sign check at θ‾K\underline\theta_Kθ​K​ alone does not cover the interval. The existence lemma requires monotonicity of ψ1\psi_1ψ1​, whose expression mixes powers θ‾r/ρ−1\underline\theta^{r/\rho-1}θ​r/ρ−1 with a linear factor.

Formalization scope

All functions are ℝ → ℝ and every quantifier ranges over w≥0w\ge0w≥0; powers are Real.rpow. The standing assumptions 0≤μ‾<μ0\le\underline\mu<\mu0≤μ​<μ, 0<b≤c0<b\le c0<b≤c, K>0K>0K>0, 0<r≤ρ0<r\le\rho0<r≤ρ, RΔμ>cR\Delta\mu>cRΔμ>c are one hypothesis Standing; μ‾≥0\underline\mu\ge0μ​≥0 and b>0b>0b>0 are read off the model and stated explicitly. The left derivative is derivWithin f (Set.Iic w) w, following the paper's convention on p. 15. Condition (20) is posed for w>0w>0w>0 only: at w=0w=0w=0 the right derivative of VcKV_{c_K}VcK​​ is +∞+\infty+∞, so the paper's (20) there is an extended-real statement and Lean's junk derivative would make it false. (21) and (22) are posed as printed.

The threshold K‾\underline KK​ of (33) is corrected: the printed bracket contains rρβ\frac r\rho\betaρr​β, but the paper's own proof identifies K‾\underline KK​ with Kˇ2\check K_2Kˇ2​ of (EC.69), which gives ρ−μρβ\frac{\rho-\mu}{\rho}\betaρρ−μ​β. With the printed term Lemma 5 fails (for r=0.2,ρ=1.2,b=c=1,R=5,μ=0.9,μ‾=0.1r=0.2,\rho=1.2,b=c=1,R=5,\mu=0.9,\underline\mu=0.1r=0.2,ρ=1.2,b=c=1,R=5,μ=0.9,μ​=0.1, the printed value is −0.069-0.069−0.069, the corrected one 7.25337.25337.2533). Equation (36) is printed with a free www that should read θ‾K\underline\theta_Kθ​K​. The range θ‾K∈(0,wˉ)\underline\theta_K\in(0,\bar w)θ​K​∈(0,wˉ), given by the proof, is stated.

The goal quantifies over all triples satisfying Lemma 5's conclusions; such a triple is unique, so this is the paper's claim, and Lemma 5 rules out a vacuous goal. Dropping the bound KKK in (21), the condition (22), or the lower bound on mKm_KmK​ would trivialize or change the statement.

The development needs the derivative of w↦wr/ρw\mapsto w^{r/\rho}w↦wr/ρ, sign analysis of explicit real functions, and the intermediate value theorem. The Setting file is shared with the other missions of this series and will be consolidated. Proofs of the milestones in any order are welcome; (EC.67) is a self-contained calculus exercise.

Selected references

  • P. Cao, P. Sun, F. Tian, Punish Underperformance with Suspension: Optimal Dynamic Contracts in the Presence of Switching Cost, Management Science, 2024. https://doi.org/10.1287/mnsc.2023.4845 (cited from the authors' manuscript and e-companion: §4.2 pp. 24–26, EC.3.7–EC.3.8 pp. ec32–ec34).
  • Y. Sannikov, A Continuous-Time Version of the Principal-Agent Problem, Review of Economic Studies 75(3), 2008. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1467-937X.2008.00486.x
  • B. Biais, T. Mariotti, J.-C. Rochet, S. Villeneuve, Large Risks, Limited Liability, and Dynamic Moral Hazard, Econometrica 78(1), 2010. https://doi.org/10.3982/ECTA7261
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Punish Underperformance with Suspension: Optimal Dynamic Contracts in the Presence of Switching Cost II: Condition 2, High Switching Cost, Not-Hiring Value Functions Meet the Optimality ConditionsResearch Paper

Motivation

Firms that outsource work to an agent whose effort they cannot observe often punish poor performance by suspending the relationship for a while, even though restarting costs money: a new set-up, re-training, re-mobilisation. Cao, Sun and Tian (Management Science, 2024) study this trade-off in a continuous-time principal–agent model with Poisson arrivals and a fixed switching cost paid every time work (re)starts. They characterise the optimal dynamic contract in three regimes: never hire the agent, hire and keep the agent working forever, or a control-band contract with suspension episodes of fixed length. The model extends the Poisson-arrival contracting framework of Sun and Tian (2018) by adding the switching cost.

The proof follows a guess-and-verify pattern. A stochastic verification theorem (Theorem 1 of the paper) turns any pair of functions satisfying a system of quasi-variational inequalities into an upper bound on the principal's value. Propositions 2–7 then supply such a pair in each parameter region. This mission covers one region: the agent is much more impatient than the principal (Condition 2) and the switching cost is high.

Setting

A principal earns revenue RRR per arrival of a Poisson process. Without the agent's effort the arrival rate is μ‾≥0\underline\mu\ge0μ​≥0; with effort it is μ>μ‾\mu>\underline\muμ>μ​, and effort costs the agent b>0b>0b>0 per unit of time. While the agent works, the principal's total cost rate is c≥bc\ge bc≥b. Each time work starts or restarts, the principal pays a switching cost K>0K>0K>0. The principal discounts at rate rrr and the agent at rate ρ\rhoρ, with 0<r≤ρ0<r\le\rho0<r≤ρ. Write Δμ=μ−μ‾\Delta\mu=\mu-\underline\muΔμ=μ−μ​. Assumption 1 is RΔμ>cR\Delta\mu>cRΔμ>c.

The derived constants are

β=bΔμ,wˉ=βμρ,v‾=μ‾Rr,Vˉ=Rμ−c−(ρ−r)wˉr,Kˉ2=Vˉ−v‾−wˉ.\beta=\frac{b}{\Delta\mu},\qquad \bar w=\frac{\beta\mu}{\rho},\qquad \underline v=\frac{\underline\mu R}{r},\qquad \bar V=\frac{R\mu-c-(\rho-r)\bar w}{r},\qquad \bar K_2=\bar V-\underline v-\bar w .β=Δμb​,wˉ=ρβμ​,v​=rμ​R​,Vˉ=rRμ−c−(ρ−r)wˉ​,Kˉ2​=Vˉ−v​−wˉ.

The variable w≥0w\ge0w≥0 is the agent's promised utility. The revenue threshold is

R^=[cb+(ρ−r)μΔμ(ρ−r−μ)⋅ρ−μρ]β.\hat R=\Big[\frac cb+\frac{(\rho-r)\mu}{\Delta\mu(\rho-r-\mu)}\cdot\frac{\rho-\mu}{\rho}\Big]\beta .R^=[bc​+Δμ(ρ−r−μ)(ρ−r)μ​⋅ρρ−μ​]β.

Condition 2 is: μ<ρ−r\mu<\rho-rμ<ρ−r and R≥R^R\ge\hat RR≥R^.

For a function fff on R+\mathbb R_+R+​ with left derivative f′f'f′, the working-state operator and the suspension-state operator are

(AIf)(w)=(μ+r)f(w)−μf(w+β)+ρ(wˉ−w)f′(w)−(μR−c)+(ρ−r)w,(\mathcal A_I f)(w)=(\mu+r)f(w)-\mu f(w+\beta)+\rho(\bar w-w)f'(w)-(\mu R-c)+(\rho-r)w,(AI​f)(w)=(μ+r)f(w)−μf(w+β)+ρ(wˉ−w)f′(w)−(μR−c)+(ρ−r)w, (A∅f)(w)=rf(w)−ρwf′(w)+(ρ−r)w−Rμ‾.(\mathcal A_\emptyset f)(w)=rf(w)-\rho wf'(w)+(\rho-r)w-R\underline\mu .(A∅​f)(w)=rf(w)−ρwf′(w)+(ρ−r)w−Rμ​.

The first is a delay-differential operator: it evaluates fff at w+βw+\betaw+β. A pair (VI,V∅)(V_I,V_\emptyset)(VI​,V∅​) satisfies the optimality condition (20)–(22) if

(AIVI)(w)≥0,(A∅V∅)(w)≥0,0≤VI(w)−V∅(w)≤K,VI(0)≥v‾, V∅(0)≥v‾.(\mathcal A_IV_I)(w)\ge0,\quad(\mathcal A_\emptyset V_\emptyset)(w)\ge0,\qquad 0\le V_I(w)-V_\emptyset(w)\le K,\qquad V_I(0)\ge\underline v,\ V_\emptyset(0)\ge\underline v .(AI​VI​)(w)≥0,(A∅​V∅​)(w)≥0,0≤VI​(w)−V∅​(w)≤K,VI​(0)≥v​, V∅​(0)≥v​.

Formalization targets

Goal: Proposition 4

Under Condition 2, let VIV_IVI​ be the line from v‾\underline vv​ at w=0w=0w=0 to Vˉ\bar VVˉ at w=wˉw=\bar ww=wˉ, and let VIV_IVI​ be constant Vˉ\bar VVˉ beyond wˉ\bar wwˉ (display (31)). Then

K>Vˉ−v‾ ⟹ (VI, V∅≡v‾) satisfies (20)–(22),K>\bar V-\underline v\ \Longrightarrow\ (V_I,\ V_\emptyset\equiv\underline v)\ \text{satisfies (20)–(22)},K>Vˉ−v​ ⟹ (VI​, V∅​≡v​) satisfies (20)–(22), Kˉ2<K≤Vˉ−v‾ ⟹ (VI, V∅) satisfies (20)–(22),\bar K_2<K\le\bar V-\underline v\ \Longrightarrow\ (V_I,\ V_\emptyset)\ \text{satisfies (20)–(22)},Kˉ2​<K≤Vˉ−v​ ⟹ (VI​, V∅​) satisfies (20)–(22),

where in the second case V∅V_\emptysetV∅​ is the line from v‾\underline vv​ to Vˉ−K\bar V-KVˉ−K on [0,wˉ][0,\bar w][0,wˉ], constant Vˉ−K\bar V-KVˉ−K beyond (display (32)).

Milestones

  1. Lemma EC.2(vi), second claim: if ρ>r+μ\rho>r+\muρ>r+μ, then Vˉ−ρ−rρ−r−μwˉ≥v‾\bar V-\frac{\rho-r}{\rho-r-\mu}\bar w\ge\underline vVˉ−ρ−r−μρ−r​wˉ≥v​ if and only if R≥R^R\ge\hat RR≥R^.
  2. Proposition 4, first part: the case K>Vˉ−v‾K>\bar V-\underline vK>Vˉ−v​.
  3. Proposition 4, second part: the case Kˉ2<K≤Vˉ−v‾\bar K_2<K\le\bar V-\underline vKˉ2​<K≤Vˉ−v​.

Significance

Through the paper's verification theorem, Proposition 4 yields the "not hiring" half of the main Theorem 2 in the Condition 2 regime. If K≥Kˉ2K\ge\bar K_2K≥Kˉ2​, the principal's value is at most v‾\underline vv​, so it is optimal never to engage the agent (Theorem 3). The threshold Kˉ2=Vˉ−v‾−wˉ\bar K_2=\bar V-\underline v-\bar wKˉ2​=Vˉ−v​−wˉ is the switching cost above which the value of hiring, net of the set-up cost and of the agent's promised rent, falls below the outside value. Together with the companion missions of this series (Condition 1 with high cost, Condition 2 with medium cost, and the low-cost control-band regime), this result completes the partition of the parameter space behind Theorem 2.

The result is proved in the paper and has no machine-checked proof yet. This mission states the analytic certificate of the guess-and-verify argument, not the contract-optimality theorem. The contribution it asks for is a formal proof that these explicit functions satisfy the quasi-variational inequalities, including the left-derivative behaviour at the kink w=wˉw=\bar ww=wˉ and the algebra that links Condition 2 to the sign of AIVI\mathcal A_IV_IAI​VI​.

Difficulty

The functions are piecewise linear, so the difficulty is not analytic depth but bookkeeping that is easy to get wrong:

  • The operator AI\mathcal A_IAI​ is non-local. It evaluates VIV_IVI​ at w+βw+\betaw+β, and which branch of (31) applies there depends on how wˉ\bar wwˉ compares with β\betaβ, which Condition 2 settles.
  • At the kink w=wˉw=\bar ww=wˉ the functions are not differentiable, so the left-derivative convention must be used explicitly.
  • The sign of AIVI\mathcal A_IV_IAI​VI​ on [0,wˉ][0,\bar w][0,wˉ] reduces to an inequality between Vˉ\bar VVˉ, v‾\underline vv​ and wˉ\bar wwˉ, and showing that this inequality is the revenue condition R≥R^R\ge\hat RR≥R^ requires unfolding (8)–(10) and (28).

The naive check, that AIVI\mathcal A_IV_IAI​VI​ vanishes or is positive because VIV_IVI​ is "close to" a solution of the delay equation, does not work: VIV_IVI​ is not a solution of (25), and the inequality is strict in general.

Formalization scope

All parameters are real numbers in one structure Params. Its predicate Standing collects the paper's standing assumptions: 0≤μ‾<μ0\le\underline\mu<\mu0≤μ​<μ, 0<b≤c0<b\le c0<b≤c, K>0K>0K>0, 0<r≤ρ0<r\le\rho0<r≤ρ and RΔμ>cR\Delta\mu>cRΔμ>c. Two of these are added to the page and disclosed: μ‾≥0\underline\mu\ge0μ​≥0, since it is an arrival rate, and b>0b>0b>0, since (31)–(32) divide by wˉ=βμ/ρ\bar w=\beta\mu/\rhowˉ=βμ/ρ.

Functions are ℝ → ℝ, and every condition is quantified over w≥0w\ge0w≥0 only. The derivative in AI\mathcal A_IAI​ and A∅\mathcal A_\emptysetA∅​ is the left derivative derivWithin f (Set.Iic w) w, as the paper prescribes on p. 15. Inequality (20) is required for w>0w>0w>0: on R+\mathbb R_+R+​ the left derivative at 000 does not exist. Inequalities (21) and (22) are required exactly as printed. "Satisfy the optimality condition (20)–(22)" means exactly these three conditions; the paper's Theorem 1 additionally asks for monotonicity and concavity, but Proposition 4 does not claim them and they are not added.

The threshold R^\hat RR^ is the printed formula. Its denominator ρ−r−μ\rho-r-\muρ−r−μ is positive under Condition 2, so Lean's convention x/0=0x/0=0x/0=0 never applies there.

None of the conditions is weakened: (21) keeps both bounds, (22) is kept, and the operators are not pre-simplified with the closed form of Vˉ\bar VVˉ. A formal proof therefore has to carry out the sign computation itself. The stochastic contract model (Poisson point processes, promise keeping, incentive compatibility), the verification Theorem 1 and the optimality Theorems 2–3 are not formalized.

Two hat symbols elsewhere in the paper are distinct objects from those used here: w^\hat{\mathrm w}w^ of Lemma 3 and the bold w^\hat{\mathbf w}w^ of Proposition 6. Neither appears in this mission. Proofs of the milestones, and proofs of the goal that use them, are welcome.

Selected references

  • P. Cao, P. Sun, F. Tian, Punish Underperformance with Suspension: Optimal Dynamic Contracts in the Presence of Switching Cost, Management Science, 2024. https://doi.org/10.1287/mnsc.2023.4845
  • P. Sun, F. Tian, Optimal Contract to Induce Continued Effort, Management Science 64(9), 4193–4217, 2018. https://doi.org/10.1287/mnsc.2017.2795
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EconomicsPartial Differential EquationsProbability·Captain: mikedeng1

A Dynamic Principal Agent Problem with One-sided Commitment: The Principal's Value Function Is the Minimal Continuous Viscosity Solution of the Type-Indexed HJB SystemResearch Paper

Motivation

In a principal–agent problem with moral hazard, a principal (an employer) pays an agent whose effort she cannot observe; she sees only an output process whose drift the effort controls. Continuous-time versions of the problem, starting with Holmström–Milgrom (1987) and Sannikov (2008), are solved by turning the agent's continuation utility into a state variable and writing a Hamilton–Jacobi–Bellman (HJB) equation for the principal's value.

Most of this literature assumes two-sided commitment: the agent cannot leave. In labour markets the agent can quit whenever an outside offer beats his continuation utility, and the principal must then hire someone else. Zhang and Zhu (arXiv:2208.06473; Mathematics of Operations Research, 2025) study this one-sided commitment: the principal is committed to the contract, the agent is free to quit at a stopping time of his choice, and after each quitting the principal pays a cost and hires a new agent, possibly of another type. The principal's value then depends on every future hire, and the paper characterises it by a coupled system of HJB equations.

Setting

Fix a horizon T>0T>0T>0 and a payment cap C0>0C_0>0C0​>0. A standard Brownian motion BBB on (Ω,F,P)(\Omega,\mathcal F,\mathbb P)(Ω,F,P) is the output. Agents have types θ∈Θ\theta\in\Thetaθ∈Θ. An agent of type θ\thetaθ receiving a payment rate η≤C0\eta\le C_0η≤C0​ and exerting effort α\alphaα has running utility f(θ;s,η)f(\theta;s,\eta)f(θ;s,η) and running cost h(θ;s,α)h(\theta;s,\alpha)h(θ;s,α); fff is increasing and concave in η\etaη, hhh is convex in α\alphaα (Assumption 2.2). Effort shifts the drift of BBB through the Girsanov measure Pα\mathbb P^\alphaPα (weak formulation). The agent's optimal effort against a sensitivity process ZZZ is α=Ih(θ;⋅,Z)\alpha=I^h(\theta;\cdot,Z)α=Ih(θ;⋅,Z), the inverse of ∂αh\partial_\alpha h∂α​h, and Eθ,Z\mathbb E^{\theta,Z}Eθ,Z denotes expectation under the corresponding measure.

A contract started at time ttt is described in forward form by (η,Z)(\eta,Z)(η,Z): the agent's continuation utility is

Xsθ;t,x,η,Z=x−∫ts[f(θ;r,ηr)+H(θ;r,Zr)]dr+∫tsZr dBr,\mathcal X^{\theta;t,x,\eta,Z}_s=x-\int_t^s\big[f(\theta;r,\eta_r)+H(\theta;r,Z_r)\big]dr+\int_t^sZ_r\,dB_r,Xsθ;t,x,η,Z​=x−∫ts​[f(θ;r,ηr​)+H(θ;r,Zr​)]dr+∫ts​Zr​dBr​,

with H(θ;s,z)=sup⁡α[αz−h(θ;s,α)]H(\theta;s,z)=\sup_\alpha[\alpha z-h(\theta;s,\alpha)]H(θ;s,z)=supα​[αz−h(θ;s,α)] and the constraint XT=0\mathcal X_T=0XT​=0. The agent's utility is capped by the upper barrier L‾tθ=∫tTf(θ;s,C0) ds\overline L^\theta_t=\int_t^Tf(\theta;s,C_0)\,dsLtθ​=∫tT​f(θ;s,C0​)ds. He quits at the first time X\mathcal XX reaches the lower barrier L‾tθ=Rtθ−ctθ\underline L^\theta_t=R^\theta_t-c^\theta_tL​tθ​=Rtθ​−ctθ​, where RθR^\thetaRθ is his market value and cθ≥1/Λ0c^\theta\ge1/\Lambda_0cθ≥1/Λ0​ his quitting cost (Assumptions 2.7, 3.1). The relevant domain is

Dθ={(t,x):0≤t<T, L‾tθ<x≤L‾tθ}.D_\theta=\{(t,x):0\le t<T,\ \underline L^\theta_t<x\le\overline L^\theta_t\}.Dθ​={(t,x):0≤t<T, L​tθ​<x≤Ltθ​}.

When the iii-th agent quits at τi<T\tau_i<Tτi​<T, the principal pays cτiPc^P_{\tau_i}cτi​P​ and hires an agent of type ζτi\zeta_{\tau_i}ζτi​​ at utility RτiζτiR^{\zeta_{\tau_i}}_{\tau_i}Rτi​ζτi​​​ (the quitting sequence (5.8)). The principal's value is

u∞(θ;t,x)=sup⁡(η,Z,ζ)Eζ,Z[∫tT[Ih(ζs;s,Zs)−ηs]ds−∑i≥1cτiP1{τi<T}],u_\infty(\theta;t,x)=\sup_{(\eta,Z,\zeta)}\mathbb E^{\zeta,Z}\Big[\int_t^T\big[I^h(\zeta_s;s,Z_s)-\eta_s\big]ds-\sum_{i\ge1}c^P_{\tau_i}\mathbf 1_{\{\tau_i<T\}}\Big],u∞​(θ;t,x)=(η,Z,ζ)sup​Eζ,Z[∫tT​[Ih(ζs​;s,Zs​)−ηs​]ds−i≥1∑​cτi​P​1{τi​<T}​],

and the value of the best new hire at time ttt is u‾∞(t)=sup⁡θu∞(θ;t,Rtθ)−ctP\overline u_\infty(t)=\sup_\theta u_\infty(\theta;t,R^\theta_t)-c^P_tu∞​(t)=supθ​u∞​(θ;t,Rtθ​)−ctP​.

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem 6.3

The family {u∞(θ;⋅,⋅)}θ∈Θ\{u_\infty(\theta;\cdot,\cdot)\}_{\theta\in\Theta}{u∞​(θ;⋅,⋅)}θ∈Θ​ is the minimal continuous viscosity solution of

∂tu+sup⁡η≤C0, z∈R[12∣z∣2∂xxu−[f(θ;t,η)+H~(θ;t,z)]∂xu+Ih(θ;t,z)−η]=0on Dθ, θ∈Θ,\partial_tu+\sup_{\eta\le C_0,\ z\in\mathbb R}\Big[\tfrac12|z|^2\partial_{xx}u-\big[f(\theta;t,\eta)+\tilde H(\theta;t,z)\big]\partial_xu+I^h(\theta;t,z)-\eta\Big]=0\quad\text{on }D_\theta,\ \theta\in\Theta,∂t​u+η≤C0​, z∈Rsup​[21​∣z∣2∂xx​u−[f(θ;t,η)+H~(θ;t,z)]∂x​u+Ih(θ;t,z)−η]=0on Dθ​, θ∈Θ,

with boundary conditions

u(θ;t,L‾tθ)=−C0(T−t),u(θ;T−,x)=0,u(θ;t,L‾tθ+)≥sup⁡θ′u(θ′;t,Rtθ′)−ctP.u(\theta;t,\overline L^\theta_t)=-C_0(T-t),\qquad u(\theta;T-,x)=0,\qquad u(\theta;t,\underline L^\theta_t+)\ge\sup_{\theta'}u(\theta';t,R^{\theta'}_t)-c^P_t.u(θ;t,Ltθ​)=−C0​(T−t),u(θ;T−,x)=0,u(θ;t,L​tθ​+)≥θ′sup​u(θ′;t,Rtθ′​)−ctP​.

The last condition couples the equations for different types. The goal also asserts that the value sets in (6.1) are nonempty and bounded above, so that u∞u_\inftyu∞​ is a genuine real-valued function.

Milestones

  1. Lemma 3.4: explicit contracts with ∫tT[C0−ηs]ds≤δ\int_t^T[C_0-\eta_s]ds\le\delta∫tT​[C0​−ηs​]ds≤δ under which the agent never quits.
  2. Lemma 2.5 (2.20): a priori estimates for admissible contracts.
  3. Proposition 2.8 and Lemma 3.6: the self-enforcing value V0PV^P_0V0P​ and the new-hire value u‾0\overline u_0u0​ are uniformly continuous with modulus CρC\sqrt\rhoCρ​.
  4. Theorem 4.5: with at most one quitting, u1u_1u1​ is the minimal continuous viscosity solution of the same equation with boundary datum u‾0\overline u_0u0​.
  5. Proposition 5.4: a non-recursive representation of unu_nun​ (at most nnn quittings).
  6. Proposition 6.1: Pζ,Z(τn<T)≤C/n\mathbb P^{\zeta,Z}(\tau_n<T)\le C/nPζ,Z(τn​<T)≤C/n, and ∣un−u∞∣≤C/n|u_n-u_\infty|\le C/n∣un​−u∞​∣≤C/n.
  7. Proposition 6.2: monotonicity and uniform continuity of u∞u_\inftyu∞​, regularity of u‾∞\overline u_\inftyu∞​, and the boundary conditions.
  8. (6.7): the dynamic programming principle for u∞u_\inftyu∞​.

Significance

The theorem identifies the principal's value under one-sided commitment as a PDE object, which makes it computable and comparable with other contracting regimes. Along the way the paper shows that the principal sees only finitely many quittings (Proposition 6.1) and that tolerating more quittings never lowers her value, so contracts that prevent quitting altogether (self-enforcing contracts) are in general suboptimal. The coupling through u‾∞\overline u_\inftyu∞​ turns the problem into an infinite system of HJB equations indexed by agent types, a structure that also appears in switching and re-hiring problems.

The result is proved in the paper; none of it is formalized. A formalization would add to the platform a continuous-time moral-hazard model in the weak formulation, hitting-time stopping driven by an Itô integral, a quitting sequence with random restarts and type switching, and a viscosity-solution notion for a fully nonlinear HJB equation on a time-dependent domain. The paper's own proof leaves several steps to the reader (the dynamic programming principle, the viscosity property, comparison for a truncated equation), so a complete development would also supply these.

Difficulty

The obvious route is "dynamic programming principle, then viscosity property, then comparison". Each step is harder here than in a textbook control problem. The control zzz is unbounded, so the Hamiltonian can be +∞+\infty+∞ and the viscosity property must be derived without a finite Hamiltonian. The process is stopped at a hitting time of a moving barrier and restarted at a random level with a new type, so the dynamic programming principle must handle restarts. Minimality cannot come from a standard comparison principle, because the boundary datum at L‾θ\underline L^\thetaL​θ depends on the competitor itself and no growth condition is imposed on competitors; the paper argues through approximation by unu_nun​ and Theorem 4.5 instead.

Formalization scope

All objects are defined in the namespace DynPrincipalAgent.HJB. Process time is R≥0\mathbb R_{\ge0}R≥0​; deterministic data are functions of real time. The Itô integral is the published Peng1990.SMP.IsItoIntegral, with a continuous version required wherever hitting times read paths. Controls started at ttt are progressively measurable for the filtration Ft\mathbb F^tFt of Bs−BtB_s-B_tBs​−Bt​. Value functions are real suprema of value sets that record an expectation only when it is genuine (integrable payoffs, almost surely integrable drifts and running rewards, summable quitting costs); these conditions hold for every admissible control.

Pinned readings, all disclosed in the items: viscosity solutions are the standard Crandall–Ishii–Lions notion with C2C^2C2 test functions on R2\mathbb R^2R2, tested on the interior of DθD_\thetaDθ​, with the supremum in the HJB operator never formed; the boundary condition at L‾θ\underline L^\thetaL​θ requires a real right limit compared against every u(θ′;t,Rtθ′)−ctPu(\theta';t,R^{\theta'}_t)-c^P_tu(θ′;t,Rtθ′​)−ctP​; Θ\ThetaΘ carries a σ-algebra and fff, hhh, ∂αh\partial_\alpha h∂α​h are jointly measurable; Assumption 2.7 (ii) is read as ∣Rsθ−Rs′θ∣≤ρ(∣s−s′∣)|R^\theta_s-R^\theta_{s'}|\le\rho(|s-s'|)∣Rsθ​−Rs′θ​∣≤ρ(∣s−s′∣); a modulus of continuity is nondecreasing, vanishes at 0+0^+0+ and satisfies ρ(δ)≥δ\rho(\delta)\ge\deltaρ(δ)≥δ; generic constants depend only on (T,C0,Λ0,Λ1)(T,C_0,\Lambda_0,\Lambda_1)(T,C0​,Λ0​,Λ1​) and are fixed before the model; HHH and H~\tilde HH~ take the closed forms of (2.11)–(2.12). The agent's BSDE and reflected BSDE (Propositions 2.3, 3.2), §7's standard contracts and the economic interpretation of RθR^\thetaRθ, cθc^\thetacθ, cPc^PcP are out of scope.

A formalization in which a value function equals a junk value (an empty or unbounded real supremum, a Bochner integral of a non-integrable payoff, a hitting time of an empty set) or in which the viscosity notion is vacuous does not count: the goal states that the value sets are nonempty and bounded, and the definitions avoid junk by construction. Competitors in the minimality clause satisfy exactly the printed boundary conditions, with no added growth bound.

Reusable infrastructure: Girsanov measures for BMO drifts, forward utility processes, hitting times of continuous semimartingales, and viscosity solutions of HJB equations on non-cylindrical domains. Contributions on any milestone, and on general lemmas such as the dynamic programming principle for controlled diffusions stopped at hitting times, are welcome.

Selected references

  • J. Zhang, Z. Zhu, A Dynamic Principal Agent Problem with One-sided Commitment, Mathematics of Operations Research, 2025. Preprint arXiv:2208.06473v3. https://arxiv.org/abs/2208.06473
  • Y. Sannikov, A Continuous-Time Version of the Principal–Agent Problem, Review of Economic Studies 75 (2008). https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1467-937X.2008.00486.x
  • B. Holmström, P. Milgrom, Aggregation and Linearity in the Provision of Intertemporal Incentives, Econometrica 55 (1987). https://doi.org/10.2307/1913238
  • M. G. Crandall, H. Ishii, P.-L. Lions, User's guide to viscosity solutions of second order partial differential equations, Bull. AMS 27 (1992). https://doi.org/10.1090/S0273-0979-1992-00266-5
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Operations ResearchProbabilityStochastic Systems·Captain: mikedeng1

Comparison Between Mean-Variance and Monotone Mean-Variance Preferences Under Jump Diffusion and Stochastic Factor Model: Optimal MMV and MV Utilities Coincide If and Only If Assumption 1 HoldsResearch Paper

Motivation

Mean-variance (MV) preferences, Uθ(X)=E[X]−θ2Var(X)U_\theta(X)=\mathbb E[X]-\frac\theta2\mathrm{Var}(X)Uθ​(X)=E[X]−2θ​Var(X), are the standard objective of portfolio selection since Markowitz. They are not monotone: an investor can prefer a terminal wealth XXX to a wealth X′≥XX'\ge XX′≥X that is larger in every state, because the extra upside raises the variance. Monotone mean-variance (MMV) preferences (Maccheroni, Marinacci, Rustichini and Taboga, 2009) repair this. They are the largest monotone preferences that agree with MV preferences on the domain of monotonicity Gθ={f∈L2:f−E[f]≤1/θ}\mathcal G_\theta=\{f\in\mathcal L^2:f-\mathbb E[f]\le1/\theta\}Gθ​={f∈L2:f−E[f]≤1/θ}.

A natural question is when switching from MV to MMV changes the optimal investment. In continuous-time markets driven only by Brownian motions, the optimal strategies under the two preferences coincide (Trybuła and Zawisza, 2019, for a stochastic factor model; Strub and Li, 2020, for continuous semimartingale markets), and whether this persists with jumps was left open by Trybuła and Zawisza. Li, Liang and Pang study a market whose risky asset also jumps and whose coefficients depend on a stochastic factor. They show that the two problems agree if and only if a pathwise condition on the jumps, Assumption 1, holds.

Setting

On a probability space (Ω,F,P)(\Omega,\mathcal F,\mathbb P)(Ω,F,P) live two independent Brownian motions W1,W2W^1,W^2W1,W2 and an independent Poisson random measure N(ds,dp)N(\mathrm ds,\mathrm dp)N(ds,dp) with finite Lévy measure ν\nuν and compensated measure N~\tilde NN~. The filtration {Ft}\{\mathcal F_t\}{Ft​} is generated by W1,W2,NW^1,W^2,NW1,W2,N. A stochastic factor follows

dZs=a(Zs) ds+b(Zs)(ρW dWs1+ρˉW dWs2),Zt=z,\mathrm dZ_s=a(Z_s)\,\mathrm ds+b(Z_s)(\rho_W\,\mathrm dW^1_s+\bar\rho_W\,\mathrm dW^2_s),\qquad Z_t=z,dZs​=a(Zs​)ds+b(Zs​)(ρW​dWs1​+ρˉ​W​dWs2​),Zt​=z,

with ρW2+ρˉW2=1\rho_W^2+\bar\rho_W^2=1ρW2​+ρˉ​W2​=1. Investing the amount πs\pi_sπs​ in the risky asset gives the (discounted) wealth

dXsπ=πs(μ(Zs)−r) ds+πsσ(Zs) dWs1+πs∫Rγ(Zs,p) N~(ds,dp),Xt=x,\mathrm dX^\pi_s=\pi_s(\mu(Z_s)-r)\,\mathrm ds+\pi_s\sigma(Z_s)\,\mathrm dW^1_s+\pi_s\int_{\mathbb R}\gamma(Z_s,p)\,\tilde N(\mathrm ds,\mathrm dp),\qquad X_t=x,dXsπ​=πs​(μ(Zs​)−r)ds+πs​σ(Zs​)dWs1​+πs​∫R​γ(Zs​,p)N~(ds,dp),Xt​=x,

on [t,T][t,T][t,T], with γ>−1\gamma>-1γ>−1. Write Σ(z)=σ(z)2+∫γ(z,p)2ν(dp)\Sigma(z)=\sigma(z)^2+\int\gamma(z,p)^2\nu(\mathrm dp)Σ(z)=σ(z)2+∫γ(z,p)2ν(dp) and λ(z)=(μ(z)−r)2/Σ(z)\lambda(z)=(\mu(z)-r)^2/\Sigma(z)λ(z)=(μ(z)−r)2/Σ(z).

The MMV preference is

Vθ(X)=inf⁡Q{EQ[X]+12θ(EP[(dQdP)2]−1)}.V_\theta(X)=\inf_{\mathbb Q}\Big\{\mathbb E^{\mathbb Q}[X]+\frac1{2\theta}\Big(\mathbb E^{\mathbb P}\Big[\Big(\frac{\mathrm d\mathbb Q}{\mathrm d\mathbb P}\Big)^2\Big]-1\Big)\Big\}.Vθ​(X)=Qinf​{EQ[X]+2θ1​(EP[(dPdQ​)2]−1)}.

The infimum runs either over the Doléans-Dade measures Qt\mathcal Q^tQt or over all of Q0={Q≪P:E[(dQ/dP)2]<∞}\mathcal Q_0=\{\mathbb Q\ll\mathbb P:\mathbb E[(\mathrm d\mathbb Q/\mathrm d\mathbb P)^2]<\infty\}Q0​={Q≪P:E[(dQ/dP)2]<∞}. A measure in Qt\mathcal Q^tQt has density ET\mathcal E_TET​, where E\mathcal EE is the stochastic exponential of ∫η1dW1+∫η2dW2+∫ ⁣∫ϕ dN~\int\eta_1\mathrm dW^1+\int\eta_2\mathrm dW^2+\int\!\int\phi\,\mathrm d\tilde N∫η1​dW1+∫η2​dW2+∫∫ϕdN~ with ET≥0\mathcal E_T\ge0ET​≥0, E[ET]=1\mathbb E[\mathcal E_T]=1E[ET​]=1 and ET∈L2\mathcal E_T\in L^2ET​∈L2.

The optimal utilities from (x,z,t)(x,z,t)(x,z,t) are suprema over the admissible strategies of the paper's Definitions 2 and 3: predictable π\piπ whose wealth has E[sup⁡s∣Xsπ∣2]<∞\mathbb E[\sup_s|X^\pi_s|^2]<\inftyE[sups​∣Xsπ​∣2]<∞, under P\mathbb PP for MV and under every Q∈Qt\mathbb Q\in\mathcal Q^tQ∈Qt for MMV. Both solutions are expressed through the solution G=−eFG=-e^FG=−eF of the nonlinear parabolic PDE (20),

Gt+α(z)Gz+12b(z)2Gzz−β(z)b(z)2Gz2G+λ(z)G=0,G(z,T)=−1.G_t+\alpha(z)G_z+\tfrac12b(z)^2G_{zz}-\beta(z)b(z)^2\frac{G_z^2}{G}+\lambda(z)G=0,\qquad G(z,T)=-1.Gt​+α(z)Gz​+21​b(z)2Gzz​−β(z)b(z)2GGz2​​+λ(z)G=0,G(z,T)=−1.

Through ζ(z,s)=−(μ(z)−r−σ(z)b(z)ρWGz/G)/Σ(z)\zeta(z,s)=-(\mu(z)-r-\sigma(z)b(z)\rho_WG_z/G)/\Sigma(z)ζ(z,s)=−(μ(z)−r−σ(z)b(z)ρW​Gz​/G)/Σ(z) it also enters Assumption 1. Let τ\tauτ be the first jump time after ttt at which ζ(Zs,s)γ(Zs,ΔLs)=−1\zeta(Z_s,s)\gamma(Z_s,\Delta L_s)=-1ζ(Zs​,s)γ(Zs​,ΔLs​)=−1. Assumption 1 requires ζγ≥−1\zeta\gamma\ge-1ζγ≥−1 at every jump in (t,T](t,T](t,T] up to time τ\tauτ.

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem 9

sup⁡π∈Bx,z,tUθ(XTπ)=sup⁡π∈Ax,1/(2θ),z,tVθ(XTπ)  ⟺  Assumption 1 holds at (z,t).\sup_{\pi\in\mathcal B_{x,z,t}}U_\theta(X^\pi_T)=\sup_{\pi\in\mathcal A_{x,1/(2\theta),z,t}}V_\theta(X^\pi_T)\iff\text{Assumption 1 holds at }(z,t).π∈Bx,z,t​sup​Uθ​(XTπ​)=π∈Ax,1/(2θ),z,t​sup​Vθ​(XTπ​)⟺Assumption 1 holds at (z,t).

The same holds when VθV_\thetaVθ​ ranges over Q0\mathcal Q_0Q0​ instead of Qt\mathcal Q^tQt.

Milestones

  1. Theorem 3 links the market player's density process to the wealth: 2YsG(Zs,s)=Xsπ∗−x+2yG(z,t)2Y_sG(Z_s,s)=X^{\pi^*}_s-x+2yG(z,t)2Ys​G(Zs​,s)=Xsπ∗​−x+2yG(z,t).
  2. Theorem 4 solves the MMV problem: the value is V(x,y,z,t)=−x+G(z,t)yV(x,y,z,t)=-x+G(z,t)yV(x,y,z,t)=−x+G(z,t)y, with an explicit saddle point.
  3. Theorem 6 solves the auxiliary quadratic problem: UD(x,z,t)=−(x−D)2/G(z,t)U_D(x,z,t)=-(x-D)^2/G(z,t)UD​(x,z,t)=−(x−D)2/G(z,t).
  4. Theorem 7 gives the Lagrange multiplier and the optimal target.
  5. (39) gives the optimal MV strategy.
  6. The moment identities E[RT]=E[RT2]=H(z,t)=−1/G(z,t)\mathbb E[R_T]=\mathbb E[R_T^2]=H(z,t)=-1/G(z,t)E[RT​]=E[RT2​]=H(z,t)=−1/G(z,t).
  7. Theorem 8: under Assumption 1 the optimal strategies coincide.
  8. Lemma 4: the optimal MV wealth lies in Gθ\mathcal G_\thetaGθ​ if and only if Assumption 1 holds.
  9. (44)–(45): the mean and variance of the optimal wealth.

Significance

The result separates the two preferences by an observable property of the market. The Brownian theory gives agreement for free. With jumps the MV-optimal wealth can leave Gθ\mathcal G_\thetaGθ​, and that happens exactly when a jump of size ζγ<−1\zeta\gamma<-1ζγ<−1 can occur before the first jump with ζγ=−1\zeta\gamma=-1ζγ=−1. In that case MMV and MV investors hold different portfolios. The paper's §5.4 examines in market data whether Assumption 1 is reasonable. The explicit closed forms (the value −x+G(z,t)y-x+G(z,t)y−x+G(z,t)y, the variance −(G(z,t)+1)/θ2-(G(z,t)+1)/\theta^2−(G(z,t)+1)/θ2 of the optimal wealth, the efficient frontier) are what applied work uses.

The result is proved on paper, in an arXiv preprint later published in Mathematics of Operations Research (2025). None of it is machine-checked. A formal proof would check the verification arguments for a stochastic differential game with jumps, a Feynman–Kac representation with a jump density, and the comparison with Maccheroni et al.'s monotone hull. The paper's own proofs are brief at several of these steps. The underlying infrastructure (Itô calculus with Poisson jumps, Doléans-Dade exponentials, verification theorems) would be reusable for most of continuous-time portfolio theory.

Difficulty

The obvious argument would show Uθ=VθU_\theta=V_\thetaUθ​=Vθ​ along the optimal wealth and conclude. Lemma 4 shows this argument breaks: the optimal MV wealth need not lie in Gθ\mathcal G_\thetaGθ​. Remark 7 also notes that membership in Gθ\mathcal G_\thetaGθ​ alone does not identify the optimal values; both optimal strategies must be found and compared.

Finding them needs a verification theorem for a two-player stochastic differential game with jumps (Theorems 1 and 4). That in turn needs Itô's formula for jump diffusions and martingale properties of Doléans-Dade exponentials that may vanish (Lemma 2, Mémin's criterion). Identifying the two strategies needs the moment identities E[RT]=E[RT2]=H\mathbb E[R_T]=\mathbb E[R_T^2]=HE[RT​]=E[RT2​]=H, which come from a Feynman–Kac argument with a jump-driven density (Lemma 3). The converse direction needs a stopping argument at the first "bad" jump. None of this exists in Mathlib, which has Brownian motion but no stochastic integral and no Poisson process.

Formalization scope

  • Time is [0,∞)[0,\infty)[0,∞); every process lives on [t,T][t,T][t,T] with t<Tt<Tt<T, and ∫ts\int_t^s∫ts​ is a difference of integral processes whose integrands vanish before ttt.
  • Brownian integrals are the L2L^2L2 Itô integrals of Peng1990.SMP.Stochastic. The admissible classes A\mathcal AA, B\mathcal BB, Mt\mathcal M^tMt therefore contain only strategies whose Brownian integrands are in L2L^2L2; all strategies used in the paper qualify.
  • The Poisson random measure is JacodTodorov10.LLN.IsFPoisson with ν\nuν finite and ν({0})=0\nu(\{0\})=0ν({0})=0. The compensated integral is the pathwise sum over atoms minus the compensator integral.
  • The filtration is the natural (uncompleted) filtration of (W1,W2,N)(W^1,W^2,N)(W1,W2,N).
  • Processes are adapted with càdlàg paths; Xs−X_{s-}Xs−​ is Mathlib's Function.leftLim. Feedback strategies come with an existence claim, never as bare assumptions.
  • All optimal values are infima/suprema in EReal over the full admissible classes. Measures in Q0\mathcal Q_0Q0​ are probability measures.
  • Mt\mathcal M^tMt is defined by the defining equation (5) of the stochastic exponential. The printed formula (4) has ΔX\Delta XΔX where ΔM\Delta MΔM is meant and is not used.
  • Proposition 1 is not formalized: its hypotheses do not deliver a classical solution. GGG is a hypothesis: G=−eFG=-e^FG=−eF with FFF bounded, C2,1C^{2,1}C2,1 with bounded derivatives, solving (20). The Conditions of Proposition 1 are kept as printed. Σ,λ,β>0\Sigma,\lambda,\beta>0Σ,λ,β>0 is a standing hypothesis (implicit on p. 12).
  • Assumption 1 uses τ\tauτ in [0,∞][0,\infty][0,∞] (inf⁡∅=∞\inf\emptyset=\inftyinf∅=∞), and "a.s." holds simultaneously for all s∈(t,T]s\in(t,T]s∈(t,T].
  • Printed slips: (37) evaluates Gz/GG_z/GGz​/G at (Zs,t)(Z_s,t)(Zs​,t); it is read at (Zs,s)(Z_s,s)(Zs​,s). Lemma 4's "Equation (1)" means (20)/(21).
  • Divisions by 1−E[RT]1-\mathbb E[R_T]1−E[RT​] and Var[RT]\mathrm{Var}[R_T]Var[RT​] carry the hypotheses E[RT]≠1\mathbb E[R_T]\neq1E[RT​]=1, Var[RT]>0\mathrm{Var}[R_T]>0Var[RT​]>0.

A formalization that replaces either optimal utility by a closed form or by the utility of one fixed strategy is out of scope: it assumes Theorems 4 and 7 and empties the goal. So is one that removes the jumps, freezes the factor, or replaces Assumption 1 by a sufficient condition such as γ≥0\gamma\ge0γ≥0; each of these makes the "only if" vacuous or false. Contributions that build general infrastructure (an Itô formula for jump diffusions, Doléans-Dade exponentials, a Feynman–Kac theorem) are especially welcome.

Selected references

  • B. Li, Z. Liang, L. Pang, Comparison Between Mean-Variance and Monotone Mean-Variance Preferences Under Jump Diffusion and Stochastic Factor Model, arXiv:2211.14473v2, 2023. https://arxiv.org/abs/2211.14473
  • F. Maccheroni, M. Marinacci, A. Rustichini, M. Taboga, Portfolio selection with monotone mean-variance preferences, Mathematical Finance 19(3):487–521, 2009. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1467-9965.2009.00376.x
  • J. Trybuła, D. Zawisza, Continuous-time portfolio choice under monotone mean-variance preferences—stochastic factor case, Mathematics of Operations Research 44(3):966–987, 2019 (cited as [Trybuła and Zawisza 2019] in arXiv:2211.14473v2).
  • M. S. Strub, D. Li, A note on monotone mean–variance preferences for continuous processes, Operations Research Letters 48(4):397–400, 2020 (cited as [Strub and Li 2020] in arXiv:2211.14473v2).
  • P. Protter, Stochastic Integration and Differential Equations, 2nd ed., Springer, 2005, ISBN 978-3-662-10061-5.
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EconomicsOperations ResearchOptimization·Captain: mikedeng1

Influencer Authenticity: To Grow or to Monetize 2: Under High Follower Turnover the Optimal Policy Is to Stay Authentic ForeverResearch Paper

Motivation

Social-media influencers earn money by endorsing products to their followers. An endorsement of a product that does not fit the audience brings in money today but costs followers, and followers are also what spreads awareness of the influencer to new people. Nistor, Selove and Villas-Boas (Influencer Authenticity: To Grow or to Monetize, Management Science, 2024) model this trade-off as a deterministic, infinite-horizon, discounted optimal-control problem with a single binary control. In their base model (§3) the optimal policy is to grow first and monetize later: authentic while awareness is small, permanently inauthentic once awareness passes a threshold.

Section 4.2 of the paper asks how this changes when the audience is not permanent: users join and leave the platform, or the influencer covers a topic that interests people only for a while. With follower turnover the influencer never reaches full awareness, and Proposition 3 says that if turnover is fast enough she never monetizes at all. The model gives a testable prediction: influencers on platforms with rapid user turnover, or in product categories with short-lived interest, should stay authentic.

Setting

Time is t∈[0,∞)t \in [0, \infty)t∈[0,∞). There is a unit mass of potential followers, and At∈[0,1]A_t \in [0,1]At​∈[0,1] is the share of them who are aware of the influencer, starting from A0A_0A0​. At each time she is either authentic or inauthentic. Following Table 1 of the paper:

  • authentic: Ft=AtF_t = A_tFt​=At​ followers and instantaneous profit πt=At\pi_t = A_tπt​=At​;
  • inauthentic: Ft=γAtF_t = \gamma A_tFt​=γAt​ followers and profit πt=γφAt\pi_t = \gamma\varphi A_tπt​=γφAt​,

with 0<γ<10 < \gamma < 10<γ<1 and φ>1\varphi > 1φ>1. These are the reduced-form parameters of §3.1: a fraction γ\gammaγ of aware people follow an inauthentic influencer, who earns φ\varphiφ per follower, and authentic profit per follower is normalized to 111. The paper assumes γφ>1\gamma\varphi > 1γφ>1 "for the remainder of the paper", so that being inauthentic pays more today.

Potential followers leave and are replaced at a turnover rate x∈(0,β)x \in (0, \beta)x∈(0,β), and awareness follows equation (6):

dAtdt=βFt(1−At)−xAt,\frac{dA_t}{dt} = \beta F_t (1 - A_t) - x A_t ,dtdAt​​=βFt​(1−At​)−xAt​,

where β>0\beta > 0β>0 is the word-of-mouth rate. Under the always-authentic policy this is the logistic equation dAtdt=At(β−x−βAt)\frac{dA_t}{dt} = A_t(\beta - x - \beta A_t)dtdAt​​=At​(β−x−βAt​), with steady state β−xβ\frac{\beta - x}{\beta}ββ−x​. The influencer maximizes the discounted profit (2), ∫0∞e−rtπt dt\int_0^\infty e^{-rt}\pi_t\,dt∫0∞​e−rtπt​dt, with discount rate r>0r > 0r>0.

In the Lean development (namespace InfluencerAuth.Turnover) a policy is a measurable set S⊆RS \subseteq \mathbb RS⊆R of the times at which she is inauthentic, so S=∅S = \emptysetS=∅ is "always authentic". IsPath β γ x A₀ S A says AAA is an admissible awareness path, discountedProfit γ φ r S A is (2) at time 000, and IsOptimalFrom β γ φ r x A₀ S A says that (S,A)(S, A)(S,A) earns at least as much as every measurable policy with any admissible path from the same A0A_0A0​. authValue β x r is the closed form V‾\overline VV of Lemma 5, and Condition2 γ φ β r x is

(1−γ)xr+β−x>γφ−1.\frac{(1-\gamma)x}{r + \beta - x} > \gamma\varphi - 1 .r+β−x(1−γ)x​>γφ−1.

Formalization targets

Goal: Proposition 3 (p. 9)

Under the standing assumptions 0<γ<10<\gamma<10<γ<1, φ>1\varphi>1φ>1, γφ>1\gamma\varphi>1γφ>1, β>0\beta>0β>0, r>0r>0r>0, with 0<x<β0 < x < \beta0<x<β and Condition 2,

∀A0∈(0,β−xβ),∃A,  (∅,A) is optimal from A0.\forall A_0 \in \Bigl(0, \tfrac{\beta - x}{\beta}\Bigr),\quad \exists A,\ \ (\emptyset, A) \text{ is optimal from } A_0 .∀A0​∈(0,ββ−x​),∃A,  (∅,A) is optimal from A0​.

The range of A0A_0A0​ is the paper's set of "all feasible levels of awareness". The statement fixes no constant beyond those of Condition 2.

Milestone: Lemma 5 (p. 9)

For 0<A0<10 < A_0 < 10<A0​<1 and every admissible always-authentic path AAA from A0A_0A0​,

∫0∞e−rtAt dt=V‾(A0)=∫0∞e−rsββ−x+1−A0β/(β−x)A0e−(β−x)s ds.\int_0^\infty e^{-rt} A_t\,dt = \overline V(A_0) = \int_0^\infty \frac{e^{-rs}}{\frac{\beta}{\beta - x} + \frac{1 - A_0\beta/(\beta - x)}{A_0} e^{-(\beta - x)s}}\,ds .∫0∞​e−rtAt​dt=V(A0​)=∫0∞​β−xβ​+A0​1−A0​β/(β−x)​e−(β−x)se−rs​ds.

Milestone: display (7) (p. 9)

dV‾(A)dA∣A=β−xβ=∫0∞e−(r+β−x)s ds=1r+β−x.\left.\frac{d\overline V(A)}{dA}\right|_{A = \frac{\beta - x}{\beta}} = \int_0^\infty e^{-(r + \beta - x)s}\,ds = \frac{1}{r + \beta - x}.dAdV(A)​​A=ββ−x​​=∫0∞​e−(r+β−x)sds=r+β−x1​.

Significance

Proposition 3 is the paper's result on when the grow-then-monetize pattern of the base model breaks down. Without turnover the influencer always monetizes once she is large enough (Proposition 1, §3). With turnover there is a whole parameter region, given by Condition 2, where monetizing is never optimal. The condition compares the extra current profit from being inauthentic, γφ−1\gamma\varphi - 1γφ−1, with the awareness lost by being inauthentic, (1−γ)x(1-\gamma)x(1−γ)x, valued at the marginal value of awareness at the steady state, 1/(r+β−x)1/(r+\beta-x)1/(r+β−x) from (7).

The proofs are in an online appendix that is not part of the published article, and this result has no machine-checked proof. The mission provides a precise statement of the control problem: optimality over every measurable switching pattern, with the dynamics in integral form. It also gives the closed-form always-authentic value and its derivative as separate targets. A complete development would be one of the first formal optimality proofs for an infinite-horizon, discounted, continuous-time deterministic control problem.

Difficulty

Optimality is claimed against every measurable policy, not only against constant or threshold policies. The natural argument is a verification theorem: show that V‾\overline VV satisfies the Hamilton–Jacobi–Bellman inequality on the feasible range, then integrate along an arbitrary competitor path. Condition 2 is stated only at the steady state (β−x)/β(\beta-x)/\beta(β−x)/β, where (7) gives the marginal value of awareness. At a lower awareness level the inequality comparing the two actions involves V‾′(A)\overline V'(A)V′(A) at that level, so it does not follow from Condition 2 alone; it needs control of V‾′\overline V'V′ on the whole interval. A competitor path may also switch infinitely often, so its awareness is only absolutely continuous, and the comparison must work almost everywhere. Above the steady state the always-authentic policy is in general not optimal, so any argument must use the restriction A0<(β−x)/βA_0 < (\beta - x)/\betaA0​<(β−x)/β.

Formalization scope

  • Policies and dynamics. A policy is a measurable Set ℝ. An admissible path is continuous on [0,∞)[0,\infty)[0,∞), starts at A0A_0A0​, stays in [0,1][0,1][0,1], and satisfies At=A0+∫0t(βfS(s)As(1−As)−xAs) dsA_t = A_0 + \int_0^t (\beta f_S(s) A_s(1-A_s) - xA_s)\,dsAt​=A0​+∫0t​(βfS​(s)As​(1−As​)−xAs​)ds for t≥0t \ge 0t≥0, with fS=γf_S = \gammafS​=γ on SSS and 111 off SSS. This is the Carathéodory form of (6). A derivative everywhere is not required, because that would exclude every switching policy. The clause At∈[0,1]A_t\in[0,1]At​∈[0,1] follows from the equation and is stated to make integrability explicit.
  • Objective. discountedProfit is ∫(0,∞)e−rtpS(t)At dt\int_{(0,\infty)} e^{-rt} p_S(t) A_t\,dt∫(0,∞)​e−rtpS​(t)At​dt with pS=γφp_S = \gamma\varphipS​=γφ on SSS and 111 off SSS; the paper's value from time ttt is the same object after the shift s=u−ts = u - ts=u−t. No optimal value is defined as a real supremum; optimality is a comparison with every competitor.
  • Hypotheses. The goal carries every standing assumption of the paper: 0<γ<10<\gamma<10<γ<1, φ>1\varphi>1φ>1, γφ>1\gamma\varphi>1γφ>1, β>0\beta>0β>0, 0<x<β0<x<\beta0<x<β. It also assumes r>0r>0r>0, which is how "discount rate rrr" is read and which makes (2) finite. The milestones drop γ\gammaγ, φ\varphiφ and their assumptions, which the always-authentic value does not involve.
  • No trivialization. The goal produces the optimal path existentially, so it cannot hold for lack of an admissible path. The competitor class is nonempty (the logistic solution is admissible), and every competitor's profit is the integral of a bounded measurable function, so no competitor collapses to the junk value 000. Widening A0A_0A0​ to (0,1)(0,1)(0,1) would make the statement false, not stronger.
  • Infrastructure. The development needs the explicit logistic solution with turnover, differentiation under the integral sign for V‾\overline VV, and a comparison or verification argument for scalar ODEs with measurable coefficients. The verification lemma for discounted bang-bang control of a one-dimensional state is reusable for chunk 1 of this series and for similar marketing-diffusion models. Proofs of either milestone, a sanity proof that the logistic path is admissible, and the verification argument are all welcome contributions.

Selected references

  • C. Nistor, M. Selove, J. M. Villas-Boas, Influencer Authenticity: To Grow or to Monetize, Management Science, Articles in Advance, 2024. https://doi.org/10.1287/mnsc.2023.03479
  • F. M. Bass, A New Product Growth for Model Consumer Durables, Management Science 15(5), 1969, 215–227. https://doi.org/10.1287/mnsc.15.5.215
  • W. H. Fleming, R. W. Rishel, Deterministic and Stochastic Optimal Control, Springer, 1975. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-1-4612-6380-7
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Operations ResearchProbabilityStochastic Systems·Captain: mikedeng1

A Stationary Mean-Field Equilibrium Model of Irreversible Investment in a Two-Regime Economy: A Unique Stationary Mean-Field Equilibrium Exists and Invests at Regime-Dependent BarriersResearch Paper

Motivation

Industries in which capacity can be built but not sold back (energy generation, manufacturing, mining) are studied through irreversible investment models: a firm controls a nondecreasing investment process and trades the cost of capacity against uncertain future revenues. When many small firms compete, each firm's revenue depends on aggregate production through the market price, and the natural equilibrium notion is a mean-field equilibrium: every firm optimizes against a given aggregate, and the aggregate generated by the optimal behaviour is the one that was assumed.

Aïd, Basei and Ferrari (arXiv:2305.00541; Operations Research, 2025) add a macroeconomic regime to this picture. The economy switches between two states according to a continuous-time Markov chain, and volatilities and prices depend on the state. They prove that a stationary mean-field equilibrium exists and is unique, and that the equilibrium firm invests at regime-dependent barriers. Related stationary mean-field games with singular controls include Cao and Guo (Stochastic Processes and their Applications, 2022) and Cao, Dianetti and Ferrari (doi:10.1287/moor.2022.1323); the stability of the reflected regime-switching diffusions that appear in the equilibrium is due to Budhiraja and Liu (Mathematics of Operations Research, 2012).

Setting

A real Brownian motion BBB and an independent two-state Markov chain ε\varepsilonε with generator

P=(−p1p1p2−p2),π=(p2p1+p2,p1p1+p2),p1,p2∈(0,1),P=\begin{pmatrix}-p_1&p_1\\p_2&-p_2\end{pmatrix},\qquad \pi=\Big(\frac{p_2}{p_1+p_2},\frac{p_1}{p_1+p_2}\Big),\qquad p_1,p_2\in(0,1),P=(−p1​p2​​p1​−p2​​),π=(p1​+p2​p2​​,p1​+p2​p1​​),p1​,p2​∈(0,1),

live on a complete probability space; F\mathbb FF is their augmented natural filtration. A control III is an adapted, nonnegative, nondecreasing càdlàg process with I0−=0I_{0-}=0I0−​=0. The production capacity is

XtI=xexp⁡(−(δt+12∫0tσεs2ds)+∫0tσεsdBs+It),x>0,X^I_t=x\exp\Big(-\Big(\delta t+\tfrac12\int_0^t\sigma^2_{\varepsilon_s}ds\Big)+\int_0^t\sigma_{\varepsilon_s}dB_s+I_t\Big),\qquad x>0,XtI​=xexp(−(δt+21​∫0t​σεs​2​ds)+∫0t​σεs​​dBs​+It​),x>0,

and investment costs κ XtI∘dIt\kappa\,X^I_t\circ dI_tκXtI​∘dIt​, the integral (2.3) that charges a jump ΔIt\Delta I_tΔIt​ the amount Xt−I(eΔIt−1)X^I_{t-}(e^{\Delta I_t}-1)Xt−I​(eΔIt​−1). Given aggregate productions Q=(Q1,Q2)∈(0,∞)2Q=(Q_1,Q_2)\in(0,\infty)^2Q=(Q1​,Q2​)∈(0,∞)2, the price in regime iii is ηi=φi+ζiQi−α\eta_i=\varphi_i+\zeta_iQ_i^{-\alpha}ηi​=φi​+ζi​Qi−α​, and a firm starting from (x,i)(x,i)(x,i) maximizes, over the admissible set A\mathcal AA of (2.5),

J(x,i)(I,Q)=E(x,i)[∫0∞e−ρt(ηεtXtIdt−c(XtI)2dt−κXtI∘dIt)].J_{(x,i)}(I,Q)=\mathbb E_{(x,i)}\Big[\int_0^\infty e^{-\rho t}\big(\eta_{\varepsilon_t}X^I_tdt-c(X^I_t)^2dt-\kappa X^I_t\circ dI_t\big)\Big].J(x,i)​(I,Q)=E(x,i)​[∫0∞​e−ρt(ηεt​​XtI​dt−c(XtI​)2dt−κXtI​∘dIt​)].

A stationary mean-field equilibrium (Definition 2.2) is a pair (I⋆,Q⋆)(I^\star,Q^\star)(I⋆,Q⋆) such that I⋆I^\starI⋆ maximizes J(x,i)(⋅,Q⋆)J_{(x,i)}(\cdot,Q^\star)J(x,i)​(⋅,Q⋆) over A\mathcal AA, and the controlled pair (XtI⋆,εt)(X^{I^\star}_t,\varepsilon_t)(XtI⋆​,εt​) has a stationary distribution p∞p_\inftyp∞​ with

Qj⋆=1πj∫0∞x p∞(dx,j),j=1,2.Q^\star_j=\frac1{\pi_j}\int_0^\infty x\,p_\infty(dx,j),\qquad j=1,2.Qj⋆​=πj​1​∫0∞​xp∞​(dx,j),j=1,2.

The barrier control at levels a1,a2>0a_1,a_2>0a1​,a2​>0 is

It⋆=0∨sup⁡0≤s≤t(ln⁡(aεs/x)+∫0s(δ+12σεu2)du−∫0sσεudBu),I^\star_t=0\vee\sup_{0\le s\le t}\Big(\ln(a_{\varepsilon_s}/x)+\int_0^s\big(\delta+\tfrac12\sigma^2_{\varepsilon_u}\big)du-\int_0^s\sigma_{\varepsilon_u}dB_u\Big),It⋆​=0∨0≤s≤tsup​(ln(aεs​​/x)+∫0s​(δ+21​σεu​2​)du−∫0s​σεu​​dBu​),

the minimal investment keeping XtI⋆≥aεtX^{I^\star}_t\ge a_{\varepsilon_t}XtI⋆​≥aεt​​. Finally ϕi(θ)=12σi2θ2+(δ+12σi2)θ−pi\phi_i(\theta)=\frac12\sigma_i^2\theta^2+(\delta+\frac12\sigma_i^2)\theta-p_iϕi​(θ)=21​σi2​θ2+(δ+21​σi2​)θ−pi​ and ϕˉ=ϕ1ϕ2−p1p2\bar\phi=\phi_1\phi_2-p_1p_2ϕˉ​=ϕ1​ϕ2​−p1​p2​, whose negative roots are θ1<θ2<0\theta_1<\theta_2<0θ1​<θ2​<0.

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem 4.1

Under Assumption 2.1, ρ>2max⁡{σ12,σ22}\rho>2\max\{\sigma_1^2,\sigma_2^2\}ρ>2max{σ12​,σ22​}, and 1+θ2<01+\theta_2<01+θ2​<0: for every (x,i)(x,i)(x,i) there are barriers a⋆∈(0,∞)2a^\star\in(0,\infty)^2a⋆∈(0,∞)2 and Q⋆∈(0,∞)2Q^\star\in(0,\infty)^2Q⋆∈(0,∞)2 with

(I⋆(a⋆),Q⋆) a stationary MFE, and every stationary MFE (I,Q) has Q=Q⋆, I=I⋆ a.s.(I^\star(a^\star),Q^\star)\ \text{a stationary MFE, and every stationary MFE } (I,Q)\text{ has } Q=Q^\star,\ I=I^\star\ \text{a.s.}(I⋆(a⋆),Q⋆) a stationary MFE, and every stationary MFE (I,Q) has Q=Q⋆, I=I⋆ a.s.

Milestones, in the order the proof uses them

  1. Proposition 4.1: a C2C^2C2 solution of the free-boundary problem (4.10) is the value function, and the barrier control is optimal.
  2. Proposition 4.2 (corrected): the stopping problem (4.13) has threshold regions, a C1C^1C1 value satisfying (4.17), and an optimal hitting time.
  3. Proposition 4.3 ((4.18) corrected): V(x,i)=ki+∫aixv(y,i)dyV(x,i)=k_i+\int_{a_i}^xv(y,i)dyV(x,i)=ki​+∫ai​x​v(y,i)dy.
  4. The root structure of (4.29): θ1<θ2<0<θ4\theta_1<\theta_2<0<\theta_4θ1​<θ2​<0<θ4​ are the nonzero roots of ϕˉ\bar\phiϕˉ​.
  5. Proposition 4.6: the stationary distribution function of the capacity reflected at 0<a1<a20<a_1<a_20<a1​<a2​ is the explicit Π(ln⁡x,i)\Pi(\ln x,i)Π(lnx,i) of (4.32).
  6. Corollary 4.7: the regime-wise stationary means (4.35)–(4.36).
  7. Step 1 of the proof of Theorem 4.1: the stopping value and the barriers decrease in QQQ.
  8. Theorem 2.4(ii): P(X∞≥x)/xθ2→C>0\mathbb P(X_\infty\ge x)/x^{\theta_2}\to C>0P(X∞​≥x)/xθ2​→C>0.

Significance

The theorem gives a fully explicit equilibrium in a model with common noise in the form of regime switching: the barriers solve a finite system of algebraic equations, and the stationary distribution of capacities is known in closed form, with a Pareto tail of exponent θ2\theta_2θ2​. This makes comparative statics of market concentration and of the industry's response to regime persistence computable, which is what Section 3 of the paper does numerically.

The result is proved on paper; none of it is formalized. A complete development would yield a machine-checked verification theorem for regime-switching singular control, a checked link between singular control and optimal stopping, and a checked stationary law for a reflected regime-switching geometric Brownian motion. The printed text contains slips the formalization corrects in the open: the continuation and stopping regions of Proposition 4.2 are printed swapped, a term of (4.18) carries a spurious factor aia_iai​, and an integration by parts in the proof drops κ\kappaκ.

Difficulty

The obvious route, solving the variational inequality (4.8) by guessing a smooth-fit solution, fails here: the two regimes couple the ordinary differential equations, and the smooth-fit and smooth-pasting equations become nonlinear in both barriers at once, so existence and uniqueness of their solution cannot be read off. The regularity a verification argument needs (C2C^2C2 value, a threshold structure of the investment region) is therefore the hard part, and with regime switching it is not covered by the one-dimensional theory. The stationary law requires positive recurrence of a reflected diffusion with switching and the identification of its limit law. The fixed point Q=RQQ=\mathcal RQQ=RQ, where (RQ)j=πj−1∫0∞x p∞Q(dx,j)(\mathcal RQ)_j=\pi_j^{-1}\int_0^\infty x\,p^Q_\infty(dx,j)(RQ)j​=πj−1​∫0∞​xp∞Q​(dx,j) is built from the stationary law under the barrier control optimal for QQQ, needs continuity and a priori bounds of R\mathcal RR for existence, and a monotonicity argument for uniqueness; the printed uniqueness argument treats ordered pairs of fixed points explicitly, and uniqueness of the optimal control itself is not argued on the page but is part of the goal.

Formalization scope

Lean represents regimes as Fin 2 (index 0 is regime 1) and time as R≥0\mathbb R_{\ge0}R≥0​. The model consists of: the chain, pinned by its closed-form transition function etPe^{tP}etP; Mathlib's IsBrownianReal for BBB; independence of BBB and ε\varepsilonε; the augmented filtration; M=∫σεdBM=\int\sigma_\varepsilon dBM=∫σε​dB through the platform relation EthierKurtz.HasBrownianItoIntegral, with continuous paths; the state (2.4); the integral (2.3), computed as ∫e−ρtYt d(eI)t\int e^{-\rho t}Y_t\,d(e^{I})_t∫e−ρtYt​d(eI)t​; the admissible set (2.5) with [0,∞][0,\infty][0,∞]-valued expectations; JJJ of (2.6); Definition 2.2; and the barrier control (4.11). E(x,i)\mathbb E_{(x,i)}E(x,i)​ is the expectation conditioned on ε0=i\varepsilon_0=iε0​=i.

Standing constants: δ,σi,ρ,c,κ,φi,ζi>0\delta,\sigma_i,\rho,c,\kappa,\varphi_i,\zeta_i>0δ,σi​,ρ,c,κ,φi​,ζi​>0, pi∈(0,1)p_i\in(0,1)pi​∈(0,1), 0<α<10<\alpha<10<α<1, min⁡iφi>ρ+δ\min_i\varphi_i>\rho+\deltamini​φi​>ρ+δ, and Assumption 2.1. The root condition 1+θ2<01+\theta_2<01+θ2​<0 is stated as "ϕˉ\bar\phiϕˉ​ has no root in [−1,0)[-1,0)[−1,0)". Pinned hypotheses, each disclosed in the item that carries it: the stationary distribution is the weak limit of the time-ttt laws; Qi>0Q_i>0Qi​>0; ai>0a_i>0ai​>0 wherever (4.11) is used; 0<a1<a20<a_1<a_20<a1​<a2​ for the §4.2 statements; (ρ+δ)κ<φi(\rho+\delta)\kappa<\varphi_i(ρ+δ)κ<φi​ on the goal; and "∼\sim∼" in Theorem 2.4(ii) as a ratio tending to a positive constant.

The equilibrium is defined from the model: optimality against every admissible control, including those with an initial jump, and the limit law of the actually controlled process. It is never defined through the paper's closed forms (4.23) or (4.32), which would make the goal a statement about formulas. The barrier control is the printed formula, not an arbitrary control keeping X≥aX\ge aX≥a.

Not formalized: Section 3 (numerics), Proposition 4.4 and Corollary 4.5 (semi-explicit value functions), the continuity part of Step 1, and Steps 2–4 of the proof as separate items. Contributions toward a general verification theorem for regime-switching singular control, regularity of regime-switching stopping problems, and stationary laws of reflected switching diffusions are reusable beyond this mission.

Selected references

  • R. Aïd, M. Basei, G. Ferrari, A Stationary Mean-Field Equilibrium Model of Irreversible Investment in a Two-Regime Economy, arXiv:2305.00541v1, 2023; Operations Research, 2025. https://arxiv.org/abs/2305.00541
  • A. Budhiraja, X. Liu, Stability of constrained Markov-modulated diffusions, Mathematics of Operations Research 37(4):626–653, 2012.
  • H. Cao, X. Guo, MFGs for partially reversible investment, Stochastic Processes and their Applications 150:995–1014, 2022.
  • H. Cao, J. Dianetti, G. Ferrari, Stationary discounted and ergodic mean-field games of singular controls, Mathematics of Operations Research, 2022. https://doi.org/10.1287/moor.2022.1323
  • G. Ferrari, N. Rodosthenous, Optimal control of debt-to-GDP ratio in an N-state regime switching economy, SIAM Journal on Control and Optimization 58(2):755–786, 2020.
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Partial Differential EquationsStochastic Systems·Captain: mikedeng1

Stochastic Control Problems with State Reflections Arising from Relaxed Benchmark Tracking: Verification Theorem for the Optimal Feedback Investment-Consumption StrategyResearch Paper

Motivation

A fund manager who tracks a benchmark (a stock index, a price index, the cost of higher education) wants the managed wealth to stay above the benchmark at all times. Under a strict floor constraint Vt≥MtV_t\ge M_tVt​≥Mt​ the set of admissible strategies can be empty when the benchmark is random. Bo, Huang and Yu (arXiv:2302.08302, Math. Oper. Res.) relax the constraint: the manager may inject capital AtA_tAt​ so that Vt+At≥MtV_t+A_t\ge M_tVt​+At​≥Mt​, and pays β>0\beta>0β>0 per unit injected. The problem becomes a consumption–investment problem with a running-maximum cost, of the type studied with viscosity methods by Barron–Ishii (1989) and Bokanowski et al. (2015). The paper obtains instead a classical solution of the associated HJB equation and an explicit optimal feedback control. The reduction from the constrained problem to the auxiliary problem below is due to Bo, Liao and Yu (2021) and is not part of this mission.

Setting

A market has ddd risky assets with return vector μ≠0\mu\ne0μ=0 and invertible volatility matrix σ\sigmaσ; the riskless rate is 000. On a filtered probability space satisfying the usual conditions with a ddd-dimensional Brownian motion WWW, write Wγ=∑jγjWjW^\gamma=\sum_j\gamma_jW^jWγ=∑j​γj​Wj and Wη=∑jηjWjW^\eta=\sum_j\eta_jW^jWη=∑j​ηj​Wj with ∣γ∣=∣η∣=1|\gamma|=|\eta|=1∣γ∣=∣η∣=1. The benchmark is Mt=mt+ZtM_t=m_t+Z_tMt​=mt​+Zt​, where ZZZ is a geometric Brownian motion with drift μZ\mu_ZμZ​ and volatility σZ≥0\sigma_Z\ge0σZ​≥0 driven by WηW^\etaWη, and mtm_tmt​ is the running maximum of Bt=b+μBt+σBWtγB_t=b+\mu_Bt+\sigma_BW^\gamma_tBt​=b+μB​t+σB​Wtγ​, σB≥0\sigma_B\ge0σB​≥0.

A strategy (θ,c)(\theta,c)(θ,c) invests θt∈Rd\theta_t\in\mathbb R^dθt​∈Rd and consumes at rate ct≥0c_t\ge0ct​≥0; the class Ur\mathbb U^rUr consists of progressively measurable pairs for which the wealth equation is well defined on every bounded interval. The auxiliary states are the reflected wealth surplus X≥0X\ge0X≥0, started at xxx,

Xt=x+∫0tθs⊤μ ds+∫0tθs⊤σ dWs−∫0tcs ds−(Zt−z)−(mt−m0)+LtX,X_t=x+\int_0^t\theta_s^\top\mu\,ds+\int_0^t\theta_s^\top\sigma\,dW_s-\int_0^tc_s\,ds-(Z_t-z)-(m_t-m_0)+L^X_t,Xt​=x+∫0t​θs⊤​μds+∫0t​θs⊤​σdWs​−∫0t​cs​ds−(Zt​−z)−(mt​−m0​)+LtX​,

where LXL^XLX is the minimal nondecreasing process keeping X≥0X\ge0X≥0 (the injected capital), and the reflected distance It=mt−Bt≥0I_t=m_t-B_t\ge0It​=mt​−Bt​≥0 started at hhh. With power utility U(c)=cp/pU(c)=c^p/pU(c)=cp/p, p∈(−∞,0)∪(0,1)p\in(-\infty,0)\cup(0,1)p∈(−∞,0)∪(0,1), and discount rate ρ>0\rho>0ρ>0, the objective is

J(x,h,z;θ,c)=E[∫0∞e−ρtU(ct) dt−β∫0∞e−ρtdLtX].J(x,h,z;\theta,c)=\mathbb E\Big[\int_0^\infty e^{-\rho t}U(c_t)\,dt-\beta\int_0^\infty e^{-\rho t}dL^X_t\Big].J(x,h,z;θ,c)=E[∫0∞​e−ρtU(ct​)dt−β∫0∞​e−ρtdLtX​].

The candidate value function is built from a probabilistic representation. On a space with independent Brownian motions B0,B1,B2B^0,B^1,B^2B0,B1,B2, let RrR^rRr be a reflected drifted Brownian motion r+(α2/2−ρ)t+αBt1+Ltr≥0r+(\alpha^2/2-\rho)t+\alpha B^1_t+L^r_t\ge0r+(α2/2−ρ)t+αBt1​+Ltr​≥0, let HhH^hHh be a correlated one with local time KhK^hKh, and let NzN^zNz be a geometric Brownian motion. With the coefficients α,κ1,κ2,ϱ1,ϱ2\alpha,\kappa_1,\kappa_2,\varrho_1,\varrho_2α,κ1​,κ2​,ϱ1​,ϱ2​ of (2.9) and (3.4),

v(r,h,z)=1−ppβ−p1−pE[∫0∞e−ρs+p1−pRsrds]+β(κ2−μZ)E[∫0∞e−ρs−RsrNszds]−βE[∫0∞e−ρs−RsrdKsh],v(r,h,z)=\tfrac{1-p}p\beta^{-\frac p{1-p}}\mathbb E\Big[\int_0^\infty e^{-\rho s+\frac p{1-p}R^r_s}ds\Big]+\beta(\kappa_2-\mu_Z)\mathbb E\Big[\int_0^\infty e^{-\rho s-R^r_s}N^z_sds\Big]-\beta\mathbb E\Big[\int_0^\infty e^{-\rho s-R^r_s}dK^h_s\Big],v(r,h,z)=p1−p​β−1−pp​E[∫0∞​e−ρs+1−pp​Rsr​ds]+β(κ2​−μZ​)E[∫0∞​e−ρs−Rsr​Nsz​ds]−βE[∫0∞​e−ρs−Rsr​dKsh​],

u^(y,h,z)=v(−ln⁡(y/β),h,z)\hat u(y,h,z)=v(-\ln(y/\beta),h,z)u^(y,h,z)=v(−ln(y/β),h,z) for y∈(0,β]y\in(0,\beta]y∈(0,β], and

u(x,h,z)=inf⁡y∈(0,β]{u^(y,h,z)+yx}.u(x,h,z)=\inf_{y\in(0,\beta]}\{\hat u(y,h,z)+yx\}.u(x,h,z)=y∈(0,β]inf​{u^(y,h,z)+yx}.

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem 4.1 (verification theorem)

For model parameters with μZ>κ2\mu_Z>\kappa_2μZ​>κ2​ and σB≠0\sigma_B\ne0σB​=0 there is ρ0>0\rho_0>0ρ0​>0 such that for every ρ>ρ0\rho>\rho_0ρ>ρ0​: (i) uuu is a classical solution of the HJB equation (4.2) with the Neumann conditions ux(0,h,z)=βu_x(0,h,z)=\betaux​(0,h,z)=β and uh(x,0,z)=ux(x,0,z)u_h(x,0,z)=u_x(x,0,z)uh​(x,0,z)=ux​(x,0,z), with ux>0u_x>0ux​>0 and uxx<0u_{xx}<0uxx​<0; (ii) for every admissible strategy and every (x,h,z)∈R+3(x,h,z)\in\mathbb R^3_+(x,h,z)∈R+3​,

J(x,h,z;θ,c)≤u(x,h,z),J(x,h,z;\theta,c)\le u(x,h,z),J(x,h,z;θ,c)≤u(x,h,z),

with equality for the feedback strategy θ∗=−(σσ⊤)−1μux−σBσγuxh+σZσηz(uxx−uxz)uxx\theta^*=-(\sigma\sigma^\top)^{-1}\frac{\mu u_x-\sigma_B\sigma\gamma u_{xh}+\sigma_Z\sigma\eta z(u_{xx}-u_{xz})}{u_{xx}}θ∗=−(σσ⊤)−1uxx​μux​−σB​σγuxh​+σZ​σηz(uxx​−uxz​)​, c∗=ux1/(p−1)c^*=u_x^{1/(p-1)}c∗=ux1/(p−1)​ along a solution of the reflected feedback system (4.4). The threshold ρ0\rho_0ρ0​ is asserted to exist, not fixed: the paper's formula (4.45) for it depends on ρ\rhoρ and is not self-contained.

Milestones, in the order of the proof

  1. Lemma 3.2. The first two terms l(r,z)l(r,z)l(r,z) of vvv solve the Neumann problem (3.8) and equal the explicit form (3.9).
  2. Lemma 3.4. For σB≠0\sigma_B\ne0σB​=0, φ(r,h)=−βE[∫0∞e−ρs−RsrdGsh]\varphi(r,h)=-\beta\mathbb E[\int_0^\infty e^{-\rho s-R^r_s}dG^h_s]φ(r,h)=−βE[∫0∞​e−ρs−Rsr​dGsh​] is C2C^2C2 on R+2\mathbb R^2_+R+2​, where GhG^hGh is the local time of a reflected Brownian motion independent of RrR^rRr.
  3. Lemma 3.3. GhG^hGh and RrR^rRr are independent and φ\varphiφ solves the Neumann problem (3.15).
  4. Proposition 3.5. ψ=φ+ξ\psi=\varphi+\xiψ=φ+ξ solves (3.38), and every bounded classical solution of (3.38) equals the last term of vvv.
  5. Remark 3.6. ψr+ψrr>0\psi_r+\psi_{rr}>0ψr​+ψrr​>0.
  6. Theorem 3.1. u^\hat uu^ is strictly convex in yyy and solves the dual PDE (2.8) with (2.10), (2.11).
  7. Theorem 4.1(i) and (4.7): the linear growth ∣θ∗∣≤Co(1+x+z)|\theta^*|\le C_o(1+x+z)∣θ∗∣≤Co​(1+x+z), ∣c∗∣≤Cq(1+x)|c^*|\le C_q(1+x)∣c∗∣≤Cq​(1+x).

Significance

The theorem settles two questions about the relaxed tracking formulation: the optimal portfolio–consumption pair exists in feedback form, and the value function is a classical (not only viscosity) solution of an HJB equation with two Neumann boundary conditions. Together with the paper's Lemma 4.4, it shows that the expected discounted capital injection of the optimal strategy is finite, so the relaxed problem is well posed. The dual representation also gives the value in a separated form, three expectations of functionals of reflected Brownian motions, which is what makes the derivatives and the feedback explicit.

The result is proved in the paper; nothing here is open. No part of it is formalized. A formal proof would need Itô's formula for reflected processes, the smoothness of expectations of local-time functionals, and the duality argument; any of the milestones on its own is a self-contained target.

Difficulty

The last term of vvv couples the reflected process RrR^rRr with the local time KhK^hKh of a second reflected process correlated with it through ϱ1\varrho_1ϱ1​. Differentiating E[∫e−ρs−RsrdKsh]\mathbb E[\int e^{-\rho s-R^r_s}dK^h_s]E[∫e−ρs−Rsr​dKsh​] in (r,h)(r,h)(r,h) directly fails: the local time is not differentiable in its starting point in any pathwise sense, and the correlation prevents conditioning one process on the other. The paper first treats the independent case (Lemmas 3.3–3.4), where the expectation factors through the law of GhG^hGh, and then removes the correlation by a homogenization of the Neumann conditions (Proposition 3.5). A second difficulty is the verification step itself: the admissible class is unbounded and the state reflects at two boundaries, so the local martingale terms must be controlled by moment bounds that depend on the growth (4.7) of the feedback.

Formalization scope

  • Parameters. One structure holds μ,σ,μZ,σZ,μB,σB,γ,η,β,p\mu,\sigma,\mu_Z,\sigma_Z,\mu_B,\sigma_B,\gamma,\eta,\beta,pμ,σ,μZ​,σZ​,μB​,σB​,γ,η,β,p; the standing assumptions are d≥1d\ge1d≥1, det⁡σ≠0\det\sigma\ne0detσ=0, μ≠0\mu\ne0μ=0, σZ,σB≥0\sigma_Z,\sigma_B\ge0σZ​,σB​≥0, γ⋅γ=η⋅η=1\gamma\cdot\gamma=\eta\cdot\eta=1γ⋅γ=η⋅η=1, β>0\beta>0β>0, p<1p<1p<1, p≠0p\ne0p=0. All coefficients (α,κ1,κ2,ϱ1,ϱ2,C1,C2,ℓ\alpha,\kappa_1,\kappa_2,\varrho_1,\varrho_2,C_1,C_2,\ellα,κ1​,κ2​,ϱ1​,ϱ2​,C1​,C2​,ℓ) are definitions.
  • Carriers. vvv, u^\hat uu^, uuu are defined on any probability space with a standard 3-dimensional Brownian motion (published EthierKurtz.IsStandardBrownian), and every statement holds for every such space. The control problem lives on any filtered space satisfying the usual conditions with an F\mathbb FF-Brownian motion (published RankBasedSDI.LoadBalancing.UsualConditions, IsFBrownian).
  • Processes in closed form. Rr,Hh,Kh,Lr,GhR^r,H^h,K^h,L^r,G^hRr,Hh,Kh,Lr,Gh are given by Skorokhod formulas (published skorokhodReg), ZZZ and NzN^zNz as explicit exponentials. The only stochastic integral is ∫θ⊤σ dW\int\theta^\top\sigma\,dW∫θ⊤σdW, through the published EthierKurtz.HasBrownianItoIntegral with a continuous version required.
  • Expectations and objective. Expectations of nonnegative integrands are lintegrals; statements about vvv assert their finiteness. Stieltjes integrals use the Lebesgue–Stieltjes measure of the path. The objective is compared in the extended reals as utility≤u+β⋅cost\text{utility}\le u+\beta\cdot\text{cost}utility≤u+β⋅cost, which agrees with J≤uJ\le uJ≤u whenever JJJ is defined and never produces ∞−∞\infty-\infty∞−∞; cpc^pcp is computed in [0,∞][0,\infty][0,∞] so that 0p=∞0^p=\infty0p=∞ for p<0p<0p<0.
  • Classical solutions. C2C^2C2 on the closed domain (ContDiffOn ℝ 2), the PDE on the open set the paper names, Neumann conditions pointwise on the faces; derivatives are taken within the closed coordinate domains. The suprema in (4.2) are least upper bounds (IsLUB), the consumption supremum over c>0c>0c>0.
  • Added hypotheses. μZ>κ2\mu_Z>\kappa_2μZ​>κ2​ and σB≠0\sigma_B\ne0σB​=0 in Theorem 4.1 and σB≠0\sigma_B\ne0σB​=0, ρ>α2∣p∣/(2(1−p))+μZ\rho>\alpha^2|p|/(2(1-p))+\mu_Zρ>α2∣p∣/(2(1−p))+μZ​ in Theorem 3.1 are used by the proofs but not printed in the statements; they are added. Lemma 3.2 and the milestone Theorem 4.1(i) also carry Theorem 3.1's ρ>α2p/(2(1−p))\rho>\alpha^2p/(2(1-p))ρ>α2p/(2(1−p)): when μZ<0\mu_Z<0μZ​<0 Lemma 3.2's printed condition does not imply it, and without it the first expectation in vvv is infinite.
  • Ruled out. Defining uuu as the supremum of JJJ would make (ii) circular, and specializing to d=1d=1d=1, σB=0\sigma_B=0σB​=0, ϱ1=0\varrho_1=0ϱ1​=0 or a fixed ρ\rhoρ changes the theorem; none of these is used. A statement "for every solution of (4.4)" would be vacuous if (4.4) had no solution, so the optimal pair is asserted to exist.

The definitions of reflected processes, Stieltjes integrals against local times, and classical Neumann solutions are reusable beyond this mission. Proofs of any milestone, and of the deterministic facts (0<ℓ<10<\ell<10<ℓ<1, ∣ϱi∣≤1|\varrho_i|\le1∣ϱi​∣≤1, (3.9) solving (3.8)), are welcome.

Selected references

  • G. Bo, Y. Huang, X. Yu, Stochastic control problems with state-reflections arising from relaxed benchmark tracking, arXiv:2302.08302v4 (Math. Oper. Res.). https://arxiv.org/abs/2302.08302
  • L. Bo, H. Liao, X. Yu, Optimal tracking portfolio with a ratcheting capital benchmark, SIAM J. Control Optim. 59(3), 2346–2380, 2021.
  • J. M. Harrison, Brownian Motion and Stochastic Flow Systems, Wiley, New York, 1985.
  • W. Łaukajtys, L. Słomiński, Penalization methods for the Skorokhod problem and reflecting SDEs with jumps, Bernoulli 19(5A), 1750–1775, 2013.
  • E. N. Barron, H. Ishii, The Bellman equation for minimizing the maximum cost, Nonlinear Anal. TMA 13(9), 1067–1090, 1989.
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EconomicsOperations ResearchOptimization·Captain: mikedeng1

Influencer Authenticity: To Grow or to Monetize 1: The Optimal Endorsement Policy Is Authentic Until a Threshold Awareness, Then Permanently InauthenticResearch Paper

Motivation

Social media influencers earn money by endorsing products to their followers. An influencer who endorses only products that fit her organic content keeps her audience; one who accepts every sponsorship offer earns more per follower today but loses part of her audience and grows more slowly. Practitioners describe this as the choice between growing and monetizing, and the marketing literature documents both sides of it: followers unsubscribe after poorly fitting sponsored posts (Cheng and Zhang 2022), and small influencers have deeper engagement than large ones (Bentley et al., J. Global Marketing 34(3), 2021, cited in the paper).

Nistor, Selove and Villas-Boas (Management Science, Articles in Advance 2024) turn this trade-off into a deterministic continuous-time control problem. Awareness of the influencer spreads by word of mouth as in the Bass (1969) diffusion model, and the influencer's authenticity is the control. The paper's first main result, Proposition 1, characterizes the optimal policy completely: depending on two explicit conditions, the influencer is always authentic, always inauthentic, or authentic until her awareness reaches a threshold and inauthentic forever after. This mission formalizes Proposition 1 and the lemmas of §3.3 that lead to it.

Setting

Time is t∈[0,∞)t\in[0,\infty)t∈[0,∞) and the mass of potential followers is one. The influencer's awareness At∈[0,1]A_t\in[0,1]At​∈[0,1] is the fraction of potential followers who know her, starting from 0<A0<10<A_0<10<A0​<1. At each time she is authentic or inauthentic. Following Table 1 of the paper, with parameters 0<γ<10<\gamma<10<γ<1 and φ>1\varphi>1φ>1 (the reduced-form parameters of §3.1, which aggregate the offer arrival rate, the share of good-fit offers and the followers' tolerance of bad-fit posts):

  • an authentic influencer has Ft=AtF_t=A_tFt​=At​ followers and instantaneous profit πt=At\pi_t=A_tπt​=At​;
  • an inauthentic influencer has Ft=γAtF_t=\gamma A_tFt​=γAt​ followers and instantaneous profit πt=γφAt\pi_t=\gamma\varphi A_tπt​=γφAt​.

Awareness grows according to the equation of motion (1),

dAtdt=βFt(1−At),β>0,\frac{dA_t}{dt}=\beta F_t(1-A_t),\qquad\beta>0,dtdAt​​=βFt​(1−At​),β>0,

so it grows at rate βAt(1−At)\beta A_t(1-A_t)βAt​(1−At​) when she is authentic and γβAt(1−At)\gamma\beta A_t(1-A_t)γβAt​(1−At​) when she is inauthentic. With discount rate r>0r>0r>0 the influencer maximizes the discounted profit (2),

Vt=∫t∞e−r(u−t)πu du,V_t=\int_t^\infty e^{-r(u-t)}\pi_u\,du ,Vt​=∫t∞​e−r(u−t)πu​du,

and V(A)V(A)V(A) is the value of starting at awareness AAA and following the optimal policy.

Two closed-form objects enter the main result. The value of always being inauthentic from awareness AAA is (Lemma 3)

V‾(A)=∫0∞e−rsγφ1+1−AAe−γβs ds,\underline V(A)=\int_0^\infty \frac{e^{-rs}\gamma\varphi}{1+\frac{1-A}{A}e^{-\gamma\beta s}}\,ds ,V​(A)=∫0∞​1+A1−A​e−γβse−rsγφ​ds,

and its derivative is (3)

m(A)=dV‾(A)dA=∫0∞e−(γβ+r)sγφ[A+(1−A)e−γβs]2 ds.m(A)=\frac{d\underline V(A)}{dA}=\int_0^\infty \frac{e^{-(\gamma\beta+r)s}\gamma\varphi}{\big[A+(1-A)e^{-\gamma\beta s}\big]^2}\,ds .m(A)=dAdV​(A)​=∫0∞​[A+(1−A)e−γβs]2e−(γβ+r)sγφ​ds.

Condition 1 (with footnote 4) holds if γβ≥r\gamma\beta\ge rγβ≥r or [β−γβr−γβ]γφ>γφ−1\big[\frac{\beta-\gamma\beta}{r-\gamma\beta}\big]\gamma\varphi>\gamma\varphi-1[r−γββ−γβ​]γφ>γφ−1.

Formalization targets

Goal: Proposition 1

For 0<γ<10<\gamma<10<γ<1, φ>1\varphi>1φ>1, β>0\beta>0β>0, r>0r>0r>0:

  1. if γφ≤1\gamma\varphi\le1γφ≤1, always being authentic is optimal from every A0∈(0,1)A_0\in(0,1)A0​∈(0,1);
  2. if γφ>1\gamma\varphi>1γφ>1 and Condition 1 fails, always being inauthentic is optimal from every A0∈(0,1)A_0\in(0,1)A0​∈(0,1);
  3. if γφ>1\gamma\varphi>1γφ>1 and Condition 1 holds, there is A∗∈(0,1)A^*\in(0,1)A∗∈(0,1) with
m(A∗)=γφ−1(1−γ)β(1−A∗),m(A^*)=\frac{\gamma\varphi-1}{(1-\gamma)\beta(1-A^*)},m(A∗)=(1−γ)β(1−A∗)γφ−1​,

and for all sufficiently small A0A_0A0​ the policy "authentic while At<A∗A_t<A^*At​<A∗, inauthentic once At≥A∗A_t\ge A^*At​≥A∗" is optimal.

Milestones

In the paper's order: Lemma 1 (corrected) bounds the growth of VVV above awareness 12\tfrac1221​; Lemma 2 (corrected) shows that permanent inauthenticity is optimal at large awareness; Lemma 3 gives V‾\underline VV​ in closed form; (3) identifies mmm as its derivative; (4) computes the limit of mmm at zero awareness,

lim⁡A→0+m(A)=γφr−γβ  (γβ<r),m(A)→+∞  (γβ≥r),\lim_{A\to0^+}m(A)=\frac{\gamma\varphi}{r-\gamma\beta}\ \ (\gamma\beta<r),\qquad m(A)\to+\infty\ \ (\gamma\beta\ge r),A→0+lim​m(A)=r−γβγφ​  (γβ<r),m(A)→+∞  (γβ≥r),

which is where Condition 1 comes from.

Significance

Proposition 1 is the benchmark of the paper: each of the six model extensions of §4 (celebrities, follower turnover, partial authenticity, viral content, two segments, commitment) is read against it. Its third clause explains an observed pattern in influencer marketing, that small influencers post fitting content and large ones accept most sponsorships, as an optimal policy rather than a change in preferences, and Condition 1 makes explicit when growth potential outweighs current profits; the paper notes it always holds when β>r\beta>rβ>r. The numerical example of §3.5 (Table 2) places the switch at about 73% awareness.

The proofs are in an online appendix and have not been machine-checked. Formalizing them requires an optimality argument against every measurable switching pattern, not only threshold policies. The mission also records two corrections: Lemma 1 and Lemma 2 are false as printed when γφ>1\gamma\varphi>1γφ>1 (explicit counterexamples are in the milestone statements), and they are stated here with the constant γφ/r\gamma\varphi/rγφ/r that the paper's own argument gives.

Difficulty

The natural argument compares, at each instant, the extra profit from inauthenticity, (γφ−1)At(\gamma\varphi-1)A_t(γφ−1)At​, with the value of the extra growth from authenticity, (1−γ)βAt(1−At)V′(At)(1-\gamma)\beta A_t(1-A_t)V'(A_t)(1−γ)βAt​(1−At​)V′(At​). This requires knowing the value function VVV, its differentiability, and the Bellman equation it satisfies, none of which is given; replacing VVV by V‾\underline VV​ is only justified along the part of the trajectory after the switch. The comparison must also hold against every measurable switching pattern, under which awareness solves (1) only almost everywhere. Clause 3 additionally needs the threshold equation to have a single crossing and the optimal trajectory to cross it exactly once. Optimality of a constant policy cannot be read off from instantaneous profits alone when γφ>1\gamma\varphi>1γφ>1: the instantaneously better choice (inauthenticity) can be the wrong one for a small influencer.

Formalization scope

  • Policies are measurable sets S⊆RS\subseteq\mathbb RS⊆R of times at which the influencer is inauthentic; constant policies are ∅\emptyset∅ and R\mathbb RR.
  • Admissible paths are continuous on [0,∞)[0,\infty)[0,∞), start at A0A_0A0​, take values in [0,1][0,1][0,1], and solve (1) in integral (Carathéodory) form, because a measurable control makes dA/dtdA/dtdA/dt exist only almost everywhere. The [0,1][0,1][0,1] clause is implied by the equation and makes every profit stream bounded.
  • Discounted profit is (2) at t=0t=0t=0, an integral over (0,∞)(0,\infty)(0,∞); the paper's shift s=u−ts=u-ts=u−t is notation. The value function VVV of Lemma 1 is the real supremum over admissible pairs, nonempty and bounded above by γφ/r\gamma\varphi/rγφ/r at every A0∈[0,1]A_0\in[0,1]A0​∈[0,1].
  • Optimality is against every admissible pair from the same A0A_0A0​, and every goal clause produces the optimal pair existentially. The threshold policy is the set {t≥0:At≥A∗}\{t\ge0: A_t\ge A^*\}{t≥0:At​≥A∗} of the same path it drives; a free switching time would not express a feedback rule.
  • Standing assumptions. 0<γ<10<\gamma<10<γ<1, φ>1\varphi>1φ>1, β>0\beta>0β>0, 0<A0<10<A_0<10<A0​<1 (§3.1–3.2); r>0r>0r>0 is the reading of "discount rate"; γφ>1\gamma\varphi>1γφ>1 is assumed in every milestone ("for the remainder of the paper", p. 5) but not in the goal, whose first clause is γφ≤1\gamma\varphi\le1γφ≤1. Condition 1 is the disjunction of footnote 4. Lemma 1 and Lemma 2 carry the corrected constant γφ/r\gamma\varphi/rγφ/r.

A trivializing formalization is ruled out: optimality is never assumed, the competitor class contains the constant policies' logistic paths, the threshold A∗A^*A∗ must solve the equation of (3) inside (0,1)(0,1)(0,1), and measurability of policies keeps every profit integral meaningful. The microfoundations of §3.1 (μ\muμ, θ\thetaθ, ω\omegaω, U^\hat UU^, ccc) do not enter any statement.

The development needs Carathéodory solutions of a scalar ODE with a measurable switching coefficient, comparison and uniqueness for such solutions, differentiation under an improper integral, and a verification argument for a one-dimensional deterministic control problem with bang-bang control. The last two are reusable for other continuous-time marketing and diffusion models. Proofs of any milestone are welcome, as are proofs of the logistic closed form underlying Lemma 3.

Selected references

  • C. Nistor, M. Selove, J. M. Villas-Boas, Influencer Authenticity: To Grow or to Monetize, Management Science, Articles in Advance, 2024. https://doi.org/10.1287/mnsc.2023.03479
  • F. M. Bass, A new product growth for model consumer durables, Management Science 15(5):215–227, 1969. https://doi.org/10.1287/mnsc.15.5.215
  • M. Cheng, S. Zhang, Reputation burning: Analyzing the impact of brand sponsorship on social influencers, preprint, 2022. https://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.4071188
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EconomicsOperations ResearchProbability·Captain: mikedeng1

Equilibrium Portfolio Selection for Smooth Ambiguity Preferences: The Closed-Form Equilibrium Strategy under a Gaussian PriorResearch Paper

Motivation

An investor who does not know the expected return of a stock faces two kinds of uncertainty: risk (the randomness of returns given the model) and ambiguity (uncertainty about which model is true). The smooth ambiguity criterion of Klibanoff, Marinacci and Mukerji (Econometrica 2005) separates the two: the investor first computes the expected utility E[U(XT)∣Z=z]\mathbb E[U(X_T)\mid Z=z]E[U(XT​)∣Z=z] under each candidate model zzz, then averages a transformation ϕ\phiϕ of these values over her belief about ZZZ. Risk aversion lives in UUU, ambiguity aversion in the curvature of ϕ\phiϕ.

When the investor also learns ZZZ from prices, her belief changes over time and the nonlinear ϕ\phiϕ makes the problem time-inconsistent: a strategy that is optimal today is no longer optimal tomorrow. Following Strotz and the continuous-time game-theoretic approach of Björk, Khapko and Murgoci (Finance and Stochastics 2017), the paper of Guan, Liang and Xia (arXiv:2302.08181, Mathematics of Operations Research, 2025) looks for an equilibrium strategy: a rule that no short deviation can improve to first order. It derives a verification theorem and, for a Gaussian prior with CARA utility and power or logarithmic ϕ\phiϕ, the equilibrium in closed form.

Setting

A bond pays the constant rate rrr. The stock satisfies dSt/St=Z dt+σ dWtdS_t/S_t=Z\,dt+\sigma\,dW_tdSt​/St​=Zdt+σdWt​ with volatility σ>0\sigma>0σ>0, a standard Brownian motion WWW, and an unknown constant drift ZZZ with prior N(β0,σ02)N(\beta_0,\sigma_0^2)N(β0​,σ02​), σ0>0\sigma_0>0σ0​>0. The horizon is T>0T>0T>0. Observing prices, the investor's posterior at time ttt is N(βt,ζ(t))N(\beta_t,\zeta(t))N(βt​,ζ(t)) with

ζ(t)=σ2σ02σ2+tσ02.\zeta(t)=\frac{\sigma^2\sigma_0^2}{\sigma^2+t\sigma_0^2}.ζ(t)=σ2+tσ02​σ2σ02​​.

A strategy is a feedback function π(t,x,β)\pi(t,x,\beta)π(t,x,β): the amount held in the stock given time, wealth xxx and posterior mean β\betaβ.

The inside system fixes a hypothetical drift value zzz and starts at (t,x,β)(t,x,\beta)(t,x,β): the posterior mean evolves by dβsz=ζ(s)σ2[(z−βsz)ds+σdWs]d\beta^z_s=\frac{\zeta(s)}{\sigma^2}[(z-\beta^z_s)ds+\sigma dW_s]dβsz​=σ2ζ(s)​[(z−βsz​)ds+σdWs​] and the wealth by

dXs=rXs ds+π(s,Xs,βsz)(z−r) ds+π(s,Xs,βsz) σ dWs.dX_s=rX_s\,ds+\pi(s,X_s,\beta^z_s)(z-r)\,ds+\pi(s,X_s,\beta^z_s)\,\sigma\,dW_s .dXs​=rXs​ds+π(s,Xs​,βsz​)(z−r)ds+π(s,Xs​,βsz​)σdWs​.

Utility is CARA, U(x)=−1ke−kxU(x)=-\frac1ke^{-kx}U(x)=−k1​e−kx with k>0k>0k>0, and ϕ(u)=−1α(−u)α\phi(u)=-\frac1\alpha(-u)^\alphaϕ(u)=−α1​(−u)α for α≠0\alpha\ne0α=0, ϕ(u)=−log⁡(−u)\phi(u)=-\log(-u)ϕ(u)=−log(−u) for α=0\alpha=0α=0, on u<0u<0u<0; ϕ\phiϕ is concave for α>1\alpha>1α>1, linear for α=1\alpha=1α=1 and convex for α<1\alpha<1α<1. The inside expected utility is gz,π(t,x,β)=E[U(XTz,π)∣Xt=x,βtz=β]g^{z,\pi}(t,x,\beta)=\mathbb E[U(X^{z,\pi}_T)\mid X_t=x,\beta^z_t=\beta]gz,π(t,x,β)=E[U(XTz,π​)∣Xt​=x,βtz​=β], and the objective is

J(t,x,β,π)=∫ϕ(gz,π(t,x,β)) N(β,ζ(t))(dz).J(t,x,\beta,\pi)=\int\phi\big(g^{z,\pi}(t,x,\beta)\big)\,N(\beta,\zeta(t))(dz).J(t,x,β,π)=∫ϕ(gz,π(t,x,β))N(β,ζ(t))(dz).

A strategy is admissible (π∈Π\pi\in\Piπ∈Π, Definition 5.1) if the wealth equation is well posed and certain exponential and power moments are bounded by Ceϵz2Ce^{\epsilon z^2}Ceϵz2 over short horizons. π∗∈Π\pi^*\in\Piπ∗∈Π is an equilibrium strategy (Definition 2.1) if for every (t,x,β)(t,x,\beta)(t,x,β) and π∈Π\pi\in\Piπ∈Π, the spike πt,h\pi_{t,h}πt,h​ (equal to π\piπ on [t,t+h)[t,t+h)[t,t+h) and π∗\pi^*π∗ afterwards) satisfies

lim sup⁡h→0+J(t,x,β,πt,h)−J(t,x,β,π∗)h≤0.\limsup_{h\to0^+}\frac{J(t,x,\beta,\pi_{t,h})-J(t,x,\beta,\pi^*)}{h}\le0 .h→0+limsup​hJ(t,x,β,πt,h​)−J(t,x,β,π∗)​≤0.

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem 5.5

Let α∗<0\alpha^*<0α∗<0 be the unique solution of (1+σ0−2σ2T−1)∫0∞e−x(1+(1−α∗)x)α∗/(1−α∗)dx=1\big(1+\sigma_0^{-2}\sigma^2T^{-1}\big)\int_0^\infty e^{-x}(1+(1-\alpha^*)x)^{\alpha^*/(1-\alpha^*)}dx=1(1+σ0−2​σ2T−1)∫0∞​e−x(1+(1−α∗)x)α∗/(1−α∗)dx=1 and assume α>max⁡{α∗,1−0.5σ0−2σ2T−1}\alpha>\max\{\alpha^*,1-0.5\sigma_0^{-2}\sigma^2T^{-1}\}α>max{α∗,1−0.5σ0−2​σ2T−1}. Let m1,…,m6m_1,\dots,m_6m1​,…,m6​ solve the ODE system (5.10) and put a1(t,m2,m3)=(1+ζm2)(ζ−1+αm2)ζ−1−αm3a_1(t,m_2,m_3)=\frac{(1+\zeta m_2)(\zeta^{-1}+\alpha m_2)}{\zeta^{-1}-\alpha m_3}a1​(t,m2​,m3​)=ζ−1−αm3​(1+ζm2​)(ζ−1+αm2​)​. Then

π∗(t,x,β)=e−r(T−t)kσ2{a1(t,m2(t),m3(t))+ζ(t)m1(t)}(β−r)\pi^*(t,x,\beta)=\frac{e^{-r(T-t)}}{k\sigma^2}\big\{a_1(t,m_2(t),m_3(t))+\zeta(t)m_1(t)\big\}(\beta-r)π∗(t,x,β)=kσ2e−r(T−t)​{a1​(t,m2​(t),m3​(t))+ζ(t)m1​(t)}(β−r)

is an equilibrium strategy, and its inside expected utility is

gz(t,x,β)=−1kexp⁡{−ker(T−t)x+12m1β2+m2βz+12m3z2+m4β+m5z+m6}.g^z(t,x,\beta)=-\frac1k\exp\Big\{-ke^{r(T-t)}x+\tfrac12m_1\beta^2+m_2\beta z+\tfrac12m_3z^2+m_4\beta+m_5z+m_6\Big\}.gz(t,x,β)=−k1​exp{−ker(T−t)x+21​m1​β2+m2​βz+21​m3​z2+m4​β+m5​z+m6​}.

Milestones

The milestones follow the paper's proof: the Gaussian moment formula (Lemma C.2) and short-horizon bounds on βz\beta^zβz (Lemma C.1); admissibility under a growth bound (Proposition 5.2) and of π∗\pi^*π∗; the critical exponent, unique solvability and closed form of the reduced system (5.16) with its sign bounds (Proposition 5.4); the closed-form remaining coefficients (5.18); the extended HJB conditions (Lemma 5.3); and three verification steps of Appendix G (a martingale property, uniform integrability, and continuity (G.5)).

Significance

Theorem 5.5 gives an explicit, time-consistent investment rule under learning and smooth ambiguity. The rule is linear in the posterior mean, and its coefficient splits into the myopic Merton demand and two hedging demands, one against ambiguity in ZZZ and one against changes in β\betaβ; the paper's numerical section uses this decomposition to study how ambiguity attitude changes the demand for the risky asset. At α=1\alpha=1α=1 the criterion is expected utility and π∗\pi^*π∗ is the Bayesian-learning Merton rule. The critical exponent α∗\alpha^*α∗ marks how much ambiguity seeking the closed form can tolerate.

The result is proved in the paper (Appendices C–G) but not formalized. The formalization would add to the platform its first smooth-ambiguity preference, its first equilibrium notion for a time-inconsistent continuous-time control problem with feedback strategies, and its first Bayesian drift-learning model. Lemma C.2 and the posterior-mean process are reusable beyond this paper.

Difficulty

Every quantity in the equilibrium inequality is a law-level functional of a controlled SDE: gz,πg^{z,\pi}gz,π is an expectation over the wealth under the hypothetical drift, and JJJ integrates ϕ(gz,π)\phi(g^{z,\pi})ϕ(gz,π) against the Gaussian posterior over zzz. The obvious route, a Taylor expansion of J(πt,h)J(\pi_{t,h})J(πt,h​) in hhh, needs to interchange the limit h→0+h\to0^+h→0+ with two nested expectations, one of which ranges over an unbounded drift zzz. Exponential utility makes gzg^zgz grow like ecz2e^{cz^2}ecz2, so every estimate has to be uniform in zzz up to a factor eϵz2e^{\epsilon z^2}eϵz2 that the Gaussian posterior can absorb, and the convex case α<1\alpha<1α<1 needs the extra lower bound on α\alphaα. On the deterministic side, the six-dimensional Riccati-type system (5.10) is nonlinear; its solvability on all of [0,T][0,T][0,T] is not automatic and fails beyond the critical exponent α∗\alpha^*α∗.

Formalization scope

Time is real, with t∈[0,T]t\in[0,T]t∈[0,T] explicit; Mathlib's Brownian motion IsBrownianReal is indexed by R≥0\mathbb R_{\ge0}R≥0​ and read at s.toNNReal. Every statement holds on every probability space carrying a Brownian motion. Standing hypotheses: σ,σ0,T,k>0\sigma,\sigma_0,T,k>0σ,σ0​,T,k>0; ZZZ ranges over R\mathbb RR.

Conventions committed to:

  1. Conditioning on a state E[⋅∣Xt=x,βt=β]\mathbb E[\cdot\mid X_t=x,\beta_t=\beta]E[⋅∣Xt​=x,βt​=β] is the inside system started at (t,x,β)(t,x,\beta)(t,x,β) and driven by Ws−WtW_s-W_tWs​−Wt​, as the paper's appendices use it; E[⋅∣βt=β]\mathbb E[\cdot\mid\beta_t=\beta]E[⋅∣βt​=β] for functions of ZZZ is the posterior N(β,ζ(t))N(\beta,\zeta(t))N(β,ζ(t)), cited from Bismuth, Guéant and Pu (2019), not re-derived.
  2. βz\beta^zβz is the explicit formula (C.1). The wealth is a strong solution of (5.2) with the published Itô integral EthierKurtz.HasBrownianItoIntegral against the shifted Brownian motion.
  3. Definition 5.1(i) is read on the inside system: for every zzz and every start, the wealth equation is uniquely solvable.
  4. The equilibrium predicate requires JJJ to be finite (for π∗\pi^*π∗, and for spikes with small hhh), the lim sup⁡\limsuplimsup is in ϵ\epsilonϵ-form, and t∈[0,T)t\in[0,T)t∈[0,T).
  5. Every ODE solution keeps ζ−1−αm3>0\zeta^{-1}-\alpha m_3>0ζ−1−αm3​>0 on [0,T][0,T][0,T]; time derivatives are taken within [0,T][0,T][0,T].
  6. Suprema claimed to equal 000 are least upper bounds; Ψ−1\Psi^{-1}Ψ−1 is written as an equation for Ψ\PsiΨ.

Each of these rules out a trivializing formalization: a Bochner expectation of a non-integrable utility is 000 in Lean, which would make ϕ(0)\phi(0)ϕ(0) and JJJ meaningless; a ⨆ of an unbounded set is 000, the claimed value; an ODE "solution" through a zero of the denominator would solve a junk system; and a goal over an empty set of α∗\alpha^*α∗ or of ODE solutions would be vacuous, which Proposition 5.4 and (5.18) exclude. Corrected readings of printed slips (the conditioning XTπ∗=xX^{\pi^*}_T=xXTπ∗​=x in Theorems 3.5/4.5 read as Xtπ∗=xX^{\pi^*}_t=xXtπ∗​=x; Step 1 stated from every start) are disclosed in the items.

The proofs use, beyond Mathlib: Itô's formula, the Burkholder–Davis–Gundy inequality, Novikov's criterion, the generalized Gronwall inequality (Willett–Wong 1965, Theorem 2), and the Gaussian filter. Contributions of these tools as separate results are welcome. Not included: Lemmas C.3 and D.1, Steps 2, 4 and 5 of Appendix G, and the verification Theorems 3.5 and 4.5.

Selected references

  • G. Guan, Z. Liang, J. Xia, Equilibrium Portfolio Selection for Smooth Ambiguity Preferences, Mathematics of Operations Research, 2025; preprint arXiv:2302.08181v1, 2023. https://arxiv.org/abs/2302.08181
  • P. Klibanoff, M. Marinacci, S. Mukerji, A Smooth Model of Decision Making under Ambiguity, Econometrica 73(6), 2005. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1468-0262.2005.00640.x
  • T. Björk, M. Khapko, A. Murgoci, On time-inconsistent stochastic control in continuous time, Finance and Stochastics 21(2), 331–360, 2017. https://arxiv.org/abs/1612.03650
  • A. Bismuth, O. Guéant, J. Pu, Portfolio choice, portfolio liquidation, and portfolio transition under drift uncertainty, Mathematics and Financial Economics 13(4), 661–719, 2019. https://arxiv.org/abs/1611.07843
  • D. Willett, J. S. W. Wong, On the discrete analogues of some generalizations of Gronwall's inequality, Monatshefte für Mathematik 69(4), 362–367, 1965. https://doi.org/10.1007/BF01297622
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Operations ResearchProbabilityStochastic Systems·Captain: mikedeng1

Scheduling in the High-Uncertainty Heavy Traffic Regime: The Value of the Scheduling Game Converges to the HJB Solution at ZeroResearch Paper

Motivation

Heavy-traffic analysis is the standard tool for scheduling queues whose servers are almost always busy: after diffusion scaling, a multiclass queue is approximated by a reflected Brownian motion, and asymptotically optimal policies are read off a limiting control problem. Classical results of this kind, such as the asymptotic optimality of the cµ rule (serve the class with the largest holding cost times service rate first; van Mieghem, 1995), assume that the job-size distributions are known.

In practice the first moments of service times are usually estimated well, while their variability is not. Atar, Castiel and Shadmi study a high-uncertainty regime: the means of the job-size distributions are pinned down to within O(n−1/2)O(n^{-1/2})O(n−1/2), but their variances are uncertain at order one, and an adversary chooses them job by job with full knowledge of the past. The scheduler wants to minimize, and the adversary to maximize, a discounted holding cost. The paper solves this game asymptotically: the nonpreemptive cµ policy is asymptotically optimal against every adversary, and the value of the game converges to the value at 000 of a one-dimensional Hamilton–Jacobi–Bellman (HJB) equation.

Setting

There are LLL job types and one server. In the nnn-th system one job of each type arrives at each time k/nk/nk/n, k=1,2,…k=1,2,\dotsk=1,2,…, and the server works at rate nnn, so that a job of size xxx occupies it for x/nx/nx/n time units. The system starts empty.

Adversary. For each nnn and type ℓ\ellℓ an uncertainty class Πℓn\Pi^{\ell n}Πℓn, a nonempty closed set of probability distributions on [0,∞)[0,\infty)[0,∞), is given. At each epoch k/nk/nk/n the adversary chooses πkℓn∈Πℓn\pi^{\ell n}_k\in\Pi^{\ell n}πkℓn​∈Πℓn for every ℓ\ellℓ, based on the past job sizes, and the job sizes JkℓnJ^{\ell n}_kJkℓn​ are then drawn independently across types from these distributions. The set of such controls is An\mathcal A^nAn.

Scheduler. The scheduler chooses the cumulative effort BtℓnB^{\ell n}_tBtℓn​ devoted to each type, an LLL-dimensional Lipschitz path whose increments over [s,t][s,t][s,t] lie in (t−s)⋅{x∈[0,1]L:∑ℓxℓ≤1}(t-s)\cdot\{x\in[0,1]^L:\sum_\ell x_\ell\le 1\}(t−s)⋅{x∈[0,1]L:∑ℓ​xℓ​≤1}. An admissible strategy βn∈Bn\beta^n\in\mathbb B^nβn∈Bn is a measurable, non-anticipating, work-conserving map from the adversary's control path to such an effort path that never serves more work than has arrived.

Cost and value. With Atℓn=∑k≤ntJkℓnA^{\ell n}_t=\sum_{k\le nt}J^{\ell n}_kAtℓn​=∑k≤nt​Jkℓn​, the workload is Wtℓn=Atℓn−nBtℓnW^{\ell n}_t=A^{\ell n}_t-nB^{\ell n}_tWtℓn​=Atℓn​−nBtℓn​, the queue length QtℓnQ^{\ell n}_tQtℓn​ is the number of arrived type-ℓ\ellℓ jobs not yet completed, and hats denote scaling by n−1/2n^{-1/2}n−1/2. For holding costs hℓ>0h^\ell>0hℓ>0,

Cn(βn(an),an)=E[∫0∞e−t h⋅Q^tn dt],Vn=inf⁡βn∈Bnsup⁡an∈AnCn(βn(an),an).C^n(\beta^n(a^n),a^n)=\mathbb E\Big[\int_0^\infty e^{-t}\,h\cdot\hat Q^n_t\,dt\Big],\qquad V^n=\inf_{\beta^n\in\mathbb B^n}\sup_{a^n\in\mathcal A^n}C^n(\beta^n(a^n),a^n).Cn(βn(an),an)=E[∫0∞​e−th⋅Q^​tn​dt],Vn=βn∈Bninf​an∈Ansup​Cn(βn(an),an).

Assumptions. With ξπ\xi^\piξπ the mean and qπq^\piqπ half the variance of π\piπ, and bπℓn=n1/2(ξπ−1/μℓ)b^{\pi\ell n}=n^{1/2}(\xi^\pi-1/\mu^\ell)bπℓn=n1/2(ξπ−1/μℓ), the sets Kℓn={(bπℓn,qπ):π∈Πℓn}K^{\ell n}=\{(b^{\pi\ell n},q^\pi):\pi\in\Pi^{\ell n}\}Kℓn={(bπℓn,qπ):π∈Πℓn} converge in the Hausdorff distance to compact sets Kℓ⊂R×(0,∞)K^\ell\subset\mathbb R\times(0,\infty)Kℓ⊂R×(0,∞); fourth moments are uniformly bounded; ∑ℓ1/μℓ=1\sum_\ell 1/\mu^\ell=1∑ℓ​1/μℓ=1 (heavy traffic); and types are labelled so that h1μ1≤⋯≤hLμLh^1\mu^1\le\dots\le h^L\mu^Lh1μ1≤⋯≤hLμL, with h1μ1=1h^1\mu^1=1h1μ1=1.

HJB equation. With Hℓ(v1,v2)=max⁡(b,q)∈ch(Kℓ)(bv1+qv2)H^\ell(v_1,v_2)=\max_{(b,q)\in\mathrm{ch}(K^\ell)}(bv_1+qv_2)Hℓ(v1​,v2​)=max(b,q)∈ch(Kℓ)​(bv1​+qv2​),

∑ℓ=1LHℓ(u′(w),u′′(w))−u(w)+w=0,w≥0,u′(0)=0,lim sup⁡w→∞∣u(w)∣/w<∞.\sum_{\ell=1}^L H^\ell(u'(w),u''(w))-u(w)+w=0,\quad w\ge0,\qquad u'(0)=0,\quad \limsup_{w\to\infty}|u(w)|/w<\infty .ℓ=1∑L​Hℓ(u′(w),u′′(w))−u(w)+w=0,w≥0,u′(0)=0,w→∞limsup​∣u(w)∣/w<∞.

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem 2.1

Vn⟶u(0)(n→∞),V^n\longrightarrow u(0)\qquad(n\to\infty),Vn⟶u(0)(n→∞),

for the classical solution uuu of the HJB equation. The paper states Vn→V(0)=u(0)V^n\to\mathsf V(0)=u(0)Vn→V(0)=u(0) with V\mathsf VV the value of a martingale control problem; the goal uses the u(0)u(0)u(0) form, which leaves the martingale problem out of the statement.

Milestones

  • β*ⁿ ∈ 𝔹ⁿ: the nonpreemptive cµ strategy is admissible.
  • Lemma 2: the total workload does not depend on the strategy.
  • Lemma 3: second moments of the scaled workload and queue length grow at most like (t+1)2(t+1)^2(t+1)2, uniformly in nnn, the control and the strategy.
  • Lemma 4: Q^ℓn−μℓW^ℓn→0\hat Q^{\ell n}-\mu^\ell\hat W^{\ell n}\to0Q^​ℓn−μℓW^ℓn→0 uniformly in probability over strategies (the snapshot principle).
  • Lemma 5: under the cµ policy the workload of types 2,…,L2,\dots,L2,…,L vanishes.
  • Theorem 1: inf⁡βnCn(βn(an),an)−Cn(β∗n(an),an)→0\inf_{\beta^n}C^n(\beta^n(a^n),a^n)-C^n(\beta^{*n}(a^n),a^n)\to0infβn​Cn(βn(an),an)−Cn(β∗n(an),an)→0 for every adversary.
  • Proposition 1.1: the HJB equation has a unique classical solution. Proposition 1.3: it is nonnegative, non-decreasing and convex.
  • (47): lim sup⁡nCn(β∗n(an),an)≤u(0)\limsup_nC^n(\beta^{*n}(a^n),a^n)\le u(0)limsupn​Cn(β∗n(an),an)≤u(0) for every control sequence.
  • Theorem 2.2: measurable selectors ψℓn\psi^{\ell n}ψℓn attaining the prelimit Hamiltonian.
  • (55): for the feedback control πkℓn=ψℓn(Wk−1n)\pi^{\ell n}_k=\psi^{\ell n}(\mathsf W^n_{k-1})πkℓn​=ψℓn(Wk−1n​), u(0)≤lim inf⁡nCn(β∗n(a∗n),a∗n)u(0)\le\liminf_nC^n(\beta^{*n}(a^{*n}),a^{*n})u(0)≤liminfn​Cn(β∗n(a∗n),a∗n).

Significance

The result gives the first-order asymptotics of a scheduling game with model uncertainty: the scheduler loses nothing by ignoring the adversary and using the cµ rule, and the adversary's best response is a state-feedback choice of drift and variance determined by u′u'u′ and u′′u''u′′. Theorem 1 is a robustness statement for one of the most widely used scheduling rules; Theorem 2 reduces a game on path space to a scalar nonlinear ODE.

The paper's proofs are complete, so the remaining work is formalization. No part of this result, and none of its objects (heavy-traffic queues with adversarial service distributions, the nonpreemptive cµ policy as a map on path space, the HJB equation of a reflected controlled diffusion), has a known machine-checked statement or proof.

Difficulty

The statement is a limit of a real sequence, but each term is an infimum over measurable, causal, work-conserving maps on path space of a supremum over feedback choices of distributions. The proofs (§§4–7 and the appendix) use uniform C-tightness of prelimit processes, weak convergence in D[0,∞)D[0,\infty)D[0,∞), the existence theory for fully nonlinear uniformly elliptic equations (Gilbarg–Trudinger, Thm 17.18), martingale characterizations of limits (Jacod–Shiryaev, Cor. VI.6.30; Karatzas–Shreve, Thm 5.5.15), measurable selection (Budhiraja–Dupuis, Lemma 8.10), and Taylor expansion of uuu along the prelimit workload. The obvious route through the uncontrolled diffusion limit fails because the adversary's variance choice is state dependent, so no single limiting Brownian motion describes all adversaries; the limit is a control problem, not a process.

Formalization scope

The Lean development lives in the namespace HighUncertHT.Game. Types are Fin L, 0-based (the paper's type 1 is index 0). Distributions are ProbabilityMeasure ℝ with no mass on (−∞,0)(-\infty,0)(−∞,0), with the weak topology. Systems are indexed by n≥1n\ge1n≥1; the class at n=0n=0n=0 is required to satisfy the same conditions so that control sequences indexed by N\mathbb NN exist. Costs and values are in [0,∞][0,\infty][0,∞] (lower Lebesgue integrals), sup norms are in [0,∞][0,\infty][0,∞], the Hausdorff distance is the extended one, and derivatives of uuu are one-sided on [0,∞)[0,\infty)[0,∞).

An adversary control is encoded by its feedback map from past job sizes to distributions and the measurable Markov kernel it induces; its law is the Ionescu–Tulcea trajectory measure. By (5), the Doob–Dynkin lemma and (7), this has the same laws, hence the same costs, as the paper's An\mathcal A^nAn. Strategies are measurable for the product σ-algebras. The cµ strategy β∗n\beta^{*n}β∗n is defined explicitly by an event recursion over service decisions.

The standing assumptions (Assumptions 1–2, labelling (14), h1μ1=1h^1\mu^1=1h1μ1=1) are fields of the Setting and hold in every statement. Corrected printed slips: the priority rule serves the highest index (p. 9 prints "lowest", contradicting the cµ rule and Lemma 5); the departure count is capped at the number of arrived jobs (p. 6); "→ 0 in probability" for processes is read as convergence of the sup norm on compact intervals (Lemma 5); (55) is stated for the control (61), not (15).

Trivializing formalizations are ruled out: Bn\mathbb B^nBn is nonempty because β∗n∈Bn\beta^{*n}\in\mathbb B^nβ∗n∈Bn is a milestone; the HJB has a classical solution (Proposition 1.1), so the goal is not vacuous; no expectation is a Bochner integral that could vanish for non-integrable integrands; u′u'u′ is not a junk deriv; and (55) asserts that its feedback control exists.

Needed infrastructure: diffusion-scaled processes and their tightness in D[0,∞)D[0,\infty)D[0,∞), the one-dimensional Skorokhod map and its Lipschitz property, martingale estimates for sums of conditionally centred job sizes, and the existence theory for the HJB equation. The Skorokhod map, the queue primitives and the cµ policy are reusable for other heavy-traffic missions. Contributions on any milestone, or on general lemmas they need, are welcome. Not included: Lemmas 1, 6, 7, 8, Proposition 1.2, Proposition 2, Theorem 2.3 and the martingale control problem.

Selected references

  • R. Atar, E. Castiel, Y. Shadmi, Scheduling in the High Uncertainty Heavy Traffic Regime, Mathematics of Operations Research, 2025; preprint arXiv:2204.05733v1, 2022. https://arxiv.org/abs/2204.05733v1
  • J. A. van Mieghem, Dynamic scheduling with convex delay costs: the generalized cμ rule, Annals of Applied Probability 5(3), 1995. https://doi.org/10.1214/aoap/1177004702
  • M. I. Reiman, Some diffusion approximations with state space collapse, in Modelling and Performance Evaluation Methodology, Springer LNCIS 60, 1984. https://doi.org/10.1007/BFb0005161
  • D. Gilbarg, N. S. Trudinger, Elliptic Partial Differential Equations of Second Order, Springer, 2001. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-642-61798-0
  • A. Budhiraja, P. Dupuis, Analysis and Approximation of Rare Events, Springer, 2019. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-1-4939-9579-0
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Markov ChainStochastic Systems·Captain: mikedeng1

Strong and Weak Equilibria for Time-Inconsistent Stochastic Control in Continuous Time 2: Under Pseudo-Exponential Discounting, a Two-State Generator Is a Weak but Not a Strong EquilibriumResearch Paper

Motivation

An agent whose preferences change over time cannot simply optimize once: a plan that is optimal today may be abandoned tomorrow by the agent's own "future selves". This is time inconsistency, and its standard source is non-exponential discounting, studied since Strotz (1955). The usual response, going back to Strotz and made rigorous in continuous time by Ekeland and Lazrak (2006), is to look for an equilibrium strategy: a strategy from which no future self wants to deviate. In continuous time "no incentive to deviate" is encoded through a first-order condition, which Huang and Zhou call a weak equilibrium.

Björk, Khapko and Murgoci (2017, Remark 3.5) observed that this first-order condition need not express the absence of an incentive to deviate: it only says that a derivative vanishes or is nonnegative, and a stationary point need not be a maximum. Huang and Zhou (Math. Oper. Res. 46(2), 2021; read here as arXiv:1809.09243v3) introduce a strong equilibrium, which requires the agent's payoff to be no better after any short deviation, and study the two notions for continuous-time Markov chains with controlled generators. This mission formalizes their main example (Example 4.3): a concrete two-state model in which a weak equilibrium fails to be strong, so that an agent in one state strictly gains from deviating on every short interval.

Setting

The state space is S={1,…,N}S=\{1,\dots,N\}S={1,…,N}. A generator is a matrix Q∈RN×NQ\in\mathbb R^{N\times N}Q∈RN×N whose iii-th row QiQ_iQi​ lies in Ei={q:qj≥0 (j≠i), qi=−∑j≠iqj}E_i=\{q: q_j\ge0\ (j\ne i),\ q_i=-\sum_{j\ne i}q_j\}Ei​={q:qj​≥0 (j=i), qi​=−∑j=i​qj​}. Admissible rows form sets Di⊆EiD_i\subseteq E_iDi​⊆Ei​, and the control space is Q={Q:Qi∈Di ∀i}\mathcal Q=\{Q: Q_i\in D_i\ \forall i\}Q={Q:Qi​∈Di​ ∀i}. A payoff function f(t,i,q)f(t,i,q)f(t,i,q) gives the payment rate at time difference ttt in state iii when row qqq is in force. The expected payoff of using QQQ from state iii is

F(i,Q)=Ei,Q[∫0∞f(t,Xt,QXt) dt]=∫0∞∑j(etQ)ij f(t,j,Qj) dt.F(i,Q)=\mathbb E_{i,Q}\Big[\int_0^\infty f(t,X_t,Q_{X_t})\,dt\Big]=\int_0^\infty\sum_j (e^{tQ})_{ij}\,f(t,j,Q_j)\,dt .F(i,Q)=Ei,Q​[∫0∞​f(t,Xt​,QXt​​)dt]=∫0∞​j∑​(etQ)ij​f(t,j,Qj​)dt.

The concatenation Q⊗εQ∗Q\otimes_\varepsilon Q^*Q⊗ε​Q∗ uses QQQ on [0,ε][0,\varepsilon][0,ε] and Q∗Q^*Q∗ afterwards. A generator Q∗∈QQ^*\in\mathcal QQ∗∈Q is a weak equilibrium if lim inf⁡ε↓0[F(i,Q∗)−F(i,Q⊗εQ∗)]/ε≥0\liminf_{\varepsilon\downarrow0}[F(i,Q^*)-F(i,Q\otimes_\varepsilon Q^*)]/\varepsilon\ge0liminfε↓0​[F(i,Q∗)−F(i,Q⊗ε​Q∗)]/ε≥0 for all i∈Si\in Si∈S, Q∈QQ\in\mathcal QQ∈Q, and a strong equilibrium if for all i,Qi,Qi,Q there is ε>0\varepsilon>0ε>0 with F(i,Q∗)≥F(i,Q⊗ε′Q∗)F(i,Q^*)\ge F(i,Q\otimes_{\varepsilon'}Q^*)F(i,Q∗)≥F(i,Q⊗ε′​Q∗) for every ε′∈(0,ε]\varepsilon'\in(0,\varepsilon]ε′∈(0,ε].

The paper's first-order and second-order quantities are

ΓQ∗(Qi)=f(0,i,Qi)+Qi⋅F(Q∗),ΛQ∗(i,Q)=ft(0,i,Qi)+Qi⋅(2G(Q∗)+ΓQ∗(Q)),\Gamma^{Q^*}(Q_i)=f(0,i,Q_i)+Q_i\cdot F(Q^*),\qquad \Lambda^{Q^*}(i,Q)=f_t(0,i,Q_i)+Q_i\cdot\big(2G(Q^*)+\Gamma^{Q^*}(Q)\big),ΓQ∗(Qi​)=f(0,i,Qi​)+Qi​⋅F(Q∗),ΛQ∗(i,Q)=ft​(0,i,Qi​)+Qi​⋅(2G(Q∗)+ΓQ∗(Q)),

with GGG the payoff computed with the time derivative ftf_tft​ in place of fff.

In the two-state model of §4, S={1,2}S=\{1,2\}S={1,2}, Di=EiD_i=E_iDi​=Ei​, every generator is Q∼(a,b)=[−aab−b]Q\sim(a,b)=\begin{bmatrix}-a&a\\ b&-b\end{bmatrix}Q∼(a,b)=[−ab​a−b​] with a,b≥0a,b\ge0a,b≥0, and f(t,1,(−a,a))=δ(t)g1(a)f(t,1,(-a,a))=\delta(t)g_1(a)f(t,1,(−a,a))=δ(t)g1​(a), f(t,2,(b,−b))=δ(t)g2(b)f(t,2,(b,-b))=\delta(t)g_2(b)f(t,2,(b,−b))=δ(t)g2​(b) with the pseudo-exponential discount δ(t)=λe−ρt+(1−λ)e−ρ′t\delta(t)=\lambda e^{-\rho t}+(1-\lambda)e^{-\rho't}δ(t)=λe−ρt+(1−λ)e−ρ′t. Example 4.3 takes λ=12\lambda=\tfrac12λ=21​, ρ=1\rho=1ρ=1, ρ′=2\rho'=2ρ′=2, g1(a)=−a2g_1(a)=-a^2g1​(a)=−a2, and g2(b)=193144+56bg_2(b)=\tfrac{193}{144}+\tfrac56bg2​(b)=144193​+65​b for b<712b<\tfrac7{12}b<127​, g2(b)=2−(1−b)2g_2(b)=2-(1-b)^2g2​(b)=2−(1−b)2 for b≥712b\ge\tfrac7{12}b≥127​.

Formalization targets

Goal: Example 4.3

Q∗∼(512,712) is a weak equilibrium and not a strong equilibrium.Q^*\sim\Big(\frac5{12},\frac7{12}\Big)\ \text{is a weak equilibrium and not a strong equilibrium.}Q∗∼(125​,127​) is a weak equilibrium and not a strong equilibrium.

The statement is fully explicit and has no hypotheses.

Milestones

  1. (4.3)–(4.4): closed forms of F1−F2F_1-F_2F1​−F2​ and G1−G2G_1-G_2G1​−G2​ for Q∼(a,b)Q\sim(a,b)Q∼(a,b) under pseudo-exponential discounting.
  2. (4.5), (4.6), (4.8): ΓQ∗(Q1)\Gamma^{Q^*}(Q_1)ΓQ∗(Q1​), ΓQ∗(Q2)\Gamma^{Q^*}(Q_2)ΓQ∗(Q2​) and ΛQ∗(2,Q)\Lambda^{Q^*}(2,Q)ΛQ∗(2,Q) in the two-state model.
  3. Theorem 3.1: under (2.3) and (3.3), Q∗Q^*Q∗ is weak iff ΓQ∗(Qi∗)≥ΓQ∗(Qi)\Gamma^{Q^*}(Q^*_i)\ge\Gamma^{Q^*}(Q_i)ΓQ∗(Qi∗​)≥ΓQ∗(Qi​) for all (i,Q)(i,Q)(i,Q).
  4. (4.11): at Q∗Q^*Q∗, Γ1\Gamma_1Γ1​ is maximized uniquely at a∗a^*a∗ and arg max⁡b≥0Γ2(b)=[0,7/12]\operatorname{arg\,max}_{b\ge0}\Gamma_2(b)=[0,7/12]argmaxb≥0​Γ2​(b)=[0,7/12].
  5. Proposition 3.3: the second-order test on the set RRR of equality cases.
  6. (4.12): Λ2(a∗,b)=−b/12−579/288\Lambda_2(a^*,b)=-b/12-579/288Λ2​(a∗,b)=−b/12−579/288 on [0,7/12][0,7/12][0,7/12], so Λ2(a∗,b∗)<Λ2(a∗,b)\Lambda_2(a^*,b^*)<\Lambda_2(a^*,b)Λ2​(a∗,b∗)<Λ2​(a∗,b) for b∈[0,7/12)b\in[0,7/12)b∈[0,7/12).

Further statements

Remark 4.1: for Q∼(5/12,b)Q\sim(5/12,b)Q∼(5/12,b), b∈[0,7/12)b\in[0,7/12)b∈[0,7/12), F(2,Q∗)<F(2,Q⊗εQ∗)F(2,Q^*)<F(2,Q\otimes_\varepsilon Q^*)F(2,Q∗)<F(2,Q⊗ε​Q∗) for all small ε>0\varepsilon>0ε>0. And (4.13): the equation 56≤2a=12(11+a+12+a)(a2+193144)\tfrac56\le2a=\tfrac12(\tfrac1{1+a}+\tfrac1{2+a})(a^2+\tfrac{193}{144})65​≤2a=21​(1+a1​+2+a1​)(a2+144193​) has a unique solution aˉ≥0\bar a\ge0aˉ≥0, and Qˉ∗∼(aˉ,0)\bar Q^*\sim(\bar a,0)Qˉ​∗∼(aˉ,0) is a strong equilibrium.

Significance

The example shows that the weak equilibrium concept, the standard one in the time-inconsistency literature since Ekeland and Lazrak, admits strategies that an agent would abandon: Remark 4.1 exhibits a deviation that strictly increases the payoff on every short interval. Together with (4.13), it shows that in one and the same model a weak-but-not-strong equilibrium and a strong equilibrium coexist, so the choice of equilibrium concept changes which strategies are predicted. The example is the paper's justification for introducing strong equilibria.

The result is proved in the paper, through the first-order characterization (Theorem 3.1), the second-order test (Proposition 3.3, resting on the second-order expansion Lemma 3.2) and explicit computations in the two-state model. None of it has been machine-checked. A formal proof would provide checked versions of Theorem 3.1 and Proposition 3.3 for finite-state chains, reusable for any other example, and an independent check of the arithmetic of Example 4.3, where the source contains at least one misprinted formula.

Difficulty

Both conjuncts of the goal concern the small-ε\varepsilonε behaviour of F(2,Q⊗εQ∗)F(2,Q\otimes_\varepsilon Q^*)F(2,Q⊗ε​Q∗), an integral of products of matrix exponentials. Weakness reduces to a first-order comparison by Theorem 3.1, but its proof needs the expansion (3.6) with an o(ε)o(\varepsilon)o(ε) remainder controlled uniformly enough to pass under the integral over [0,∞)[0,\infty)[0,∞). Failure of strong equilibrium cannot be read off the first-order term: at b∗=7/12b^*=7/12b∗=7/12 the maximizer of Γ2\Gamma_2Γ2​ is not unique, every b∈[0,7/12)b\in[0,7/12)b∈[0,7/12) ties at first order, and the decision moves to the second-order coefficient Λ\LambdaΛ of Lemma 3.2, whose derivation needs a second-order expansion of the concatenated payoff. The regularity hypotheses of Lemma 3.2 and of (3.3) must also be verified for the example's discount function.

Formalization scope

States are Fin N; the paper's state kkk is index k−1k-1k−1, so in the two-state model state 1 is 0 : Fin 2 and state 2 is 1 : Fin 2. Expectations are written through the transition matrices etQe^{tQ}etQ (NormedSpace.exp (t • Q)) and Fubini, exactly as the paper computes on p. 23; no Markov process is constructed. Payoffs are Bochner integrals over (0,∞)(0,\infty)(0,∞). The weak-equilibrium condition is written as "for every η>0\eta>0η>0, eventually as ε↓0\varepsilon\downarrow0ε↓0 the quotient is ≥−η\ge-\eta≥−η", which is lim inf⁡≥0\liminf\ge0liminf≥0 without a real-valued liminf. The norm in (2.3) is the sup norm, equivalent to the paper's Euclidean norm because (2.3) quantifies over every c>0c>0c>0.

Standing assumptions: Di⊆EiD_i\subseteq E_iDi​⊆Ei​, continuity of fff in ttt (2.2) and the integrability condition (2.3). Theorem 3.1 adds the shift bound (3.3)–(3.5); Proposition 3.3 assumes the conditions of Lemma 3.2, with the derivative ftf_tft​ tied to fff. The closed forms (4.3)–(4.4) assume ρ,ρ′>0\rho,\rho'>0ρ,ρ′>0 (the page allows ρ,ρ′≥0\rho,\rho'\ge0ρ,ρ′≥0, but with a zero rate the payoff integral diverges); the algebraic identities (4.5)–(4.8) keep the page's ρ,ρ′≥0\rho,\rho'\ge0ρ,ρ′≥0; Example 4.3 has ρ=1\rho=1ρ=1, ρ′=2\rho'=2ρ′=2. Statement (4.11) gives Γ2(b)=g2(b)−56b\Gamma_2(b)=g_2(b)-\tfrac56bΓ2​(b)=g2​(b)−65​b and the argmax; the page's case formula for b≥7/12b\ge7/12b≥7/12 contains a misprint and is not used.

No trivializing reading is available: the goal has no hypotheses, FFF is built from etQe^{tQ}etQ and the concatenation uses QQQ before and Q∗Q^*Q∗ after ε\varepsilonε, so neither conjunct holds by a junk value. Integrability of every payoff follows from (2.3) and is never assumed.

Theorem 3.1 and the second-order package are also drafted in the companion mission on existence of equilibria; they are restated here in the sub-namespace StrongWeakEq.TwoState. The goal needs the verification of (2.3), (3.3) and the Lemma 3.2 conditions for the example (convexity of δ\deltaδ gives (3.15)), the closed forms of etQe^{tQ}etQ for two-state generators, and the expansions of the paper. Contributions of proofs of the general results (Theorem 3.1, Proposition 3.3) are welcome independently of the example.

Selected references

  • Y.-J. Huang and Z. Zhou, Strong and Weak Equilibria for Time-Inconsistent Stochastic Control in Continuous Time, Math. Oper. Res. 46(2), 2021; arXiv:1809.09243v3. https://arxiv.org/abs/1809.09243, https://doi.org/10.1287/moor.2020.1066
  • I. Ekeland and A. Lazrak, Being serious about non-commitment: subgame perfect equilibrium in continuous time, 2006. https://arxiv.org/abs/math/0604264
  • T. Björk, M. Khapko and A. Murgoci, On time-inconsistent stochastic control in continuous time, Finance Stoch. 21 (2017), pp. 331–360.
  • R. H. Strotz, Myopia and inconsistency in dynamic utility maximization, Rev. Econ. Stud. 23 (1955), pp. 165–180.
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Dynamic ProgrammingMarkov ChainStochastic Systems·Captain: mikedeng1

Strong and Weak Equilibria for Time-Inconsistent Stochastic Control in Continuous Time 4: Limits of Equilibria of the Time-Discretized Problems Are Weak Equilibria in Continuous TimeResearch Paper

Motivation

A decision maker is time-inconsistent when the plan that is optimal today stops being optimal tomorrow. The standard source is non-exponential discounting: a reward ttt units of time ahead is weighted by δ(t)\delta(t)δ(t), and unless δ\deltaδ is exponential the relative weight of two future dates changes as time passes. Hyperbolic and pseudo-exponential discount functions, which fit experimental and group-decision data better than exponential ones, all have this property. For such an agent "optimal control" is not a meaningful target, and the literature instead looks for equilibrium policies: plans that no current self wants to deviate from, given that all future selves follow the plan.

In discrete time the definition is unambiguous: a policy is an equilibrium if deviating at the current step alone does not help. In continuous time there is no "current step", and the usual definition, due to Ekeland and Lazrak (2006), compares the payoff of the plan with that of a deviation on a short interval [0,ε][0,\varepsilon][0,ε] through a first-order condition as ε↓0\varepsilon\downarrow0ε↓0. Huang and Zhou (arXiv:1809.09243, Math. Oper. Res. 2021) call this a weak equilibrium, introduce a strong equilibrium that requires the deviation to be unprofitable for every small ε\varepsilonε, and study both for a controlled finite-state Markov chain.

A natural question is whether continuous-time equilibria are the limits of the discrete-time ones as the time step shrinks. This mission formalizes the paper's answer (§5.1): limits of discrete equilibria are always weak equilibria. The paper's Example 5.1 shows they need not be strong.

Setting

The state space is S={1,…,N}S=\{1,\dots,N\}S={1,…,N}. A continuous-time Markov chain on SSS is controlled through its generator Q=(qij)Q=(q_{ij})Q=(qij​): in state iii the row QiQ_iQi​ is chosen from an admissible set Di⊆Ei={q:qj≥0 (j≠i), qi=−∑j≠iqj}D_i\subseteq E_i=\{q: q_j\ge0\ (j\ne i),\ q_i=-\sum_{j\ne i}q_j\}Di​⊆Ei​={q:qj​≥0 (j=i), qi​=−∑j=i​qj​}, and the control space is Q={Q:Qi∈Di ∀i}\mathcal Q=\{Q: Q_i\in D_i\ \forall i\}Q={Q:Qi​∈Di​ ∀i}. A payoff function f(t,i,q)f(t,i,q)f(t,i,q) gives the reward at time-distance ttt from now, in state iii, under row qqq. The standing assumptions are continuity of t↦f(t,i,q)t\mapsto f(t,i,q)t↦f(t,i,q) on [0,∞)[0,\infty)[0,∞) and, for each c>0c>0c>0, integrability over [0,∞)[0,\infty)[0,∞) of sup⁡i, q∈Di, ∥q∥≤c∣f(t,i,q)∣\sup_{i,\,q\in D_i,\,\|q\|\le c}|f(t,i,q)|supi,q∈Di​,∥q∥≤c​∣f(t,i,q)∣ (condition (2.3)). The expected payoff from state iii is

F(i,Q)=Ei,Q[∫0∞f(t,Xt,QXt) dt]=∫0∞∑j(etQ)ijf(t,j,Qj) dt,F(i,Q)=\mathbb E_{i,Q}\Big[\int_0^\infty f(t,X_t,Q_{X_t})\,dt\Big]=\int_0^\infty\sum_j(e^{tQ})_{ij}f(t,j,Q_j)\,dt,F(i,Q)=Ei,Q​[∫0∞​f(t,Xt​,QXt​​)dt]=∫0∞​j∑​(etQ)ij​f(t,j,Qj​)dt,

and F(Q)=(F(1,Q),…,F(N,Q))F(Q)=(F(1,Q),\dots,F(N,Q))F(Q)=(F(1,Q),…,F(N,Q)). With Q⊗εQ∗Q\otimes_\varepsilon Q^*Q⊗ε​Q∗ the generator that uses QQQ on [0,ε][0,\varepsilon][0,ε] and Q∗Q^*Q∗ afterwards, Q∗∈QQ^*\in\mathcal QQ∗∈Q is a weak equilibrium if lim inf⁡ε↓0(F(i,Q∗)−F(i,Q⊗εQ∗))/ε≥0\liminf_{\varepsilon\downarrow0}\big(F(i,Q^*)-F(i,Q\otimes_\varepsilon Q^*)\big)/\varepsilon\ge0liminfε↓0​(F(i,Q∗)−F(i,Q⊗ε​Q∗))/ε≥0 for all iii and Q∈QQ\in\mathcal QQ∈Q. The first-order quantity is ΓQ∗(q)=f(0,i,q)+q⋅F(Q∗)\Gamma^{Q^*}(q)=f(0,i,q)+q\cdot F(Q^*)ΓQ∗(q)=f(0,i,q)+q⋅F(Q∗).

Discretization. Fix a mesh δn>0\delta_n>0δn​>0. A transition matrix uuu (rows in the probability simplex P\mathfrak PP) has generator Qu,n=(u−I)/δnQ^{u,n}=(u-I)/\delta_nQu,n=(u−I)/δn​, the admissible matrices are An={u:Qu,n∈Q}\mathcal A^n=\{u: Q^{u,n}\in\mathcal Q\}An={u:Qu,n∈Q}, and the discrete payoff is κn(k,i,α)=f(kδn,i,(α−ei)/δn) δn\kappa^n(k,i,\alpha)=f\big(k\delta_n,i,(\alpha-e_i)/\delta_n\big)\,\delta_nκn(k,i,α)=f(kδn​,i,(α−ei​)/δn​)δn​. The discrete value is Vn(i,u)=Ei,u[∑k≥0κn(k,Xk,uXk)]V^n(i,u)=\mathbb E_{i,u}\big[\sum_{k\ge0}\kappa^n(k,X_k,u_{X_k})\big]Vn(i,u)=Ei,u​[∑k≥0​κn(k,Xk​,uXk​​)], and un∈Anu^n\in\mathcal A^nun∈An is a discrete equilibrium if Vn(i,un)≥Vn(i,u⊗1un)V^n(i,u^n)\ge V^n(i,u\otimes_1u^n)Vn(i,un)≥Vn(i,u⊗1​un) for all iii and u∈Anu\in\mathcal A^nu∈An, where u⊗1unu\otimes_1u^nu⊗1​un uses uuu at time 000 and unu^nun afterwards. The continuation values are Hin(un)=Ei,un[∑k≥0κn(k+1,Xk,uXkn)]H^n_i(u^n)=\mathbb E_{i,u^n}\big[\sum_{k\ge0}\kappa^n(k+1,X_k,u^n_{X_k})\big]Hin​(un)=Ei,un​[∑k≥0​κn(k+1,Xk​,uXk​n​)]. Theorem 5.2 additionally assumes (5.8): for some T>0T>0T>0, t↦∣f(t,i,q)∣t\mapsto|f(t,i,q)|t↦∣f(t,i,q)∣ is nonincreasing on [T,∞)[T,\infty)[T,∞).

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem 5.2

Let δn↓0\delta_n\downarrow0δn​↓0, let unu^nun be an equilibrium of the problem with mesh δn\delta_nδn​, Qn=Qun,nQ^n=Q^{u^n,n}Qn=Qun,n, and suppose f(⋅,i,⋅)f(\cdot,i,\cdot)f(⋅,i,⋅) is continuous on [0,∞)×Di[0,\infty)\times D_i[0,∞)×Di​. If Qnk→Q∗∈QQ^{n_k}\to Q^*\in\mathcal QQnk​→Q∗∈Q along a subsequence, then

ΓQ∗(Qi∗)≥ΓQ∗(Qi)for all (i,Q)∈S×Q,and Q∗ is a weak equilibrium.\Gamma^{Q^*}(Q^*_i)\ge\Gamma^{Q^*}(Q_i)\quad\text{for all }(i,Q)\in S\times\mathcal Q,\qquad\text{and } Q^* \text{ is a weak equilibrium.}ΓQ∗(Qi∗​)≥ΓQ∗(Qi​)for all (i,Q)∈S×Q,and Q∗ is a weak equilibrium.

Milestones

  1. (5.12): an equilibrium unu^nun satisfies κn(0,i,uin)+Hn(un)⋅uin≥κn(0,i,ui)+Hn(un)⋅ui\kappa^n(0,i,u^n_i)+H^n(u^n)\cdot u^n_i\ge\kappa^n(0,i,u_i)+H^n(u^n)\cdot u_iκn(0,i,uin​)+Hn(un)⋅uin​≥κn(0,i,ui​)+Hn(un)⋅ui​ for all u∈Anu\in\mathcal A^nu∈An.
  2. Generator form (proof of Theorem 5.2): dividing by δn\delta_nδn​, the same inequality reads f(0,i,Qin)+H⋅Qin≥f(0,i,Qiu,n)+H⋅Qiu,nf(0,i,Q^n_i)+H\cdot Q^n_i\ge f(0,i,Q^{u,n}_i)+H\cdot Q^{u,n}_if(0,i,Qin​)+H⋅Qin​≥f(0,i,Qiu,n​)+H⋅Qiu,n​.
  3. Continuity of Q↦F(Q)Q\mapsto F(Q)Q↦F(Q) on Q\mathcal QQ (proof of Theorem 3.3).
  4. Lemma 5.1: Hink(unk)→F(i,Q∗)H^{n_k}_i(u^{n_k})\to F(i,Q^*)Hink​​(unk​)→F(i,Q∗) along the subsequence.

Significance

The theorem justifies the weak-equilibrium notion from discrete time: whatever a time-inconsistent agent does on a fine time grid, the continuous-time limit satisfies the first-order condition (3.10). Combined with the paper's discrete existence result (Theorem 5.1) and compactness of Q\mathcal QQ, it yields weak equilibria by approximation (Remark 5.3). It also locates the gap between the two notions: the limit is weak but in general not strong.

The result is proved in the paper; nothing about it is open. No part of it has a machine-checked proof. A formal development adds a checked Euler-scheme comparison between (I+δQ)k(I+\delta Q)^k(I+δQ)k and ekδQe^{k\delta Q}ekδQ for generator matrices, a dominated passage to the limit for Riemann sums of the payoff, and continuity of the payoff in the generator, each reusable for other finite-state continuous-time control problems.

Difficulty

The obvious argument is to divide the discrete one-step inequality (5.12) by δn\delta_nδn​ and let n→∞n\to\inftyn→∞. Its algebraic part is immediate. The difficulty is the convergence of the discrete continuation values Hn(un)H^n(u^n)Hn(un), which are infinite sums along a discrete chain with transition matrix unu^nun, to the continuous payoff F(Q∗)F(Q^*)F(Q∗), an integral along the continuous chain with generator Q∗Q^*Q∗. Three errors must be controlled at once: the discrete chain against the chain sampled from etQne^{tQ^n}etQn (the difference of kkk-th powers grows with k≈M/δnk\approx M/\delta_nk≈M/δn​), the Riemann sum against the integral (needs uniform continuity of fff jointly in ttt and qqq), and F(Qn)F(Q^n)F(Qn) against F(Q∗)F(Q^*)F(Q∗). The tail of the infinite sums is not controlled by (2.3) alone: integrability of a majorant does not make its samples on a grid summable, which is why (5.8) is assumed. A second subtlety concerns the last step: the paper passes from (3.10) to the weak-equilibrium property through Theorem 3.1, which assumes a condition (3.3) that Theorem 5.2 does not. The conclusion is still true without (3.3), but no numbered statement of the paper provides that step.

Formalization scope

  • States are Fin N; rows are Fin N → ℝ with the sup norm, generators and transition matrices are Matrix (Fin N) (Fin N) ℝ with the product topology.
  • Expectations are written through marginals: F(i,Q)=∫0∞∑j(etQ)ijf(t,j,Qj) dtF(i,Q)=\int_0^\infty\sum_j(e^{tQ})_{ij}f(t,j,Q_j)\,dtF(i,Q)=∫0∞​∑j​(etQ)ij​f(t,j,Qj​)dt (Bochner integral) and Hin(u)=∑k∑j(uk)ijκn(k+1,j,uj)H^n_i(u)=\sum_k\sum_j(u^k)_{ij}\kappa^n(k+1,j,u_j)Hin​(u)=∑k​∑j​(uk)ij​κn(k+1,j,uj​) (tsum). No Markov process is constructed.
  • The weak-equilibrium liminf is encoded as "for every η>0\eta>0η>0, eventually as ε↓0\varepsilon\downarrow0ε↓0 the quotient is ≥−η\ge-\eta≥−η".
  • "f(⋅,i,⋅)f(\cdot,i,\cdot)f(⋅,i,⋅) is continuous" is joint continuity on [0,∞)×Di[0,\infty)\times D_i[0,∞)×Di​; (5.8) is required for q∈Diq\in D_iq∈Di​; δn↓0\delta_n\downarrow0δn​↓0 is positivity, monotonicity and convergence to 000; the subsequence is a strictly increasing φ:N→N\varphi:\mathbb N\to\mathbb Nφ:N→N.
  • Not assumed: integrability of FFF, summability of HnH^nHn or (5.2) for κn\kappa^nκn (they follow from (2.3) and (5.8)), compactness of DiD_iDi​, and condition (3.3).
  • The equilibria unu^nun, the generators Qn=(un−I)/δnQ^n=(u^n-I)/\delta_nQn=(un−I)/δn​ and the subsequence are part of the goal's data. A version that only assumes "Qn→Q∗Q^n\to Q^*Qn→Q∗" for arbitrary Qn∈QQ^n\in\mathcal QQn∈Q would be false and is ruled out.
  • The continuity milestone is proved in the paper for compact DiD_iDi​; it is stated here without compactness, since only convergent sequences in Q\mathcal QQ matter.
  • Needed infrastructure: bounds on ∥(I+δQ)k−ekδQ∥\|(I+\delta Q)^k-e^{k\delta Q}\|∥(I+δQ)k−ekδQ∥ for generator matrices, stochasticity of etQe^{tQ}etQ for generator QQQ, dominated convergence for the payoff integral and for the discrete series. Contributions of these general lemmas are welcome.

Selected references

  • Y.-J. Huang and Z. Zhou, Strong and Weak Equilibria for Time-Inconsistent Stochastic Control in Continuous Time, Math. Oper. Res. 46(2), 2021; read as arXiv:1809.09243v3. https://arxiv.org/abs/1809.09243 , https://doi.org/10.1287/moor.2020.1066
  • I. Ekeland and A. Lazrak, Being serious about non-commitment: subgame perfect equilibrium in continuous time, tech. rep., University of British Columbia, 2006. http://arxiv.org/abs/math/0604264
  • S. N. Ethier and T. G. Kurtz, Markov Processes: Characterization and Convergence, Wiley, 1986. https://doi.org/10.1002/9780470316658
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Convex OptimizationLinear algebraOptimization·Captain: mikedeng1

Quadratic Matrix Inequalities with Applications to Data-Based Control II: Matrix Finsler's Lemma — Z⁰ᵣ(N) ⊆ Zᵣ(M) iff M − αN ⪰ 0 for Some α ≥ 0Research Paper

Motivation

Finsler's lemma (P. Finsler, 1937) states that for symmetric matrices M,N∈SnM,N\in\mathbb S^nM,N∈Sn, the quadratic form x⊤Mxx^\top Mxx⊤Mx is positive on every nonzero xxx with x⊤Nx=0x^\top Nx=0x⊤Nx=0 if and only if M−αN>0M-\alpha N>0M−αN>0 for some real α\alphaα. Together with the S-lemma of Yakubovich it is one of the basic tools for converting a statement about all vectors satisfying a quadratic constraint into a single linear matrix inequality (LMI) in a multiplier, which can then be checked by semidefinite programming. Both results are used throughout robust control, where uncertainty is described by quadratic constraints.

In data-driven control the unknown object is a matrix, not a vector: the system matrices (A,B)(A,B)(A,B) consistent with noisy measurements form a set of the form

Zr(N)={Z∈Rr×q:[IZ]⊤N[IZ]⩾0},\mathcal Z_r(N)=\Big\{Z\in\mathbb R^{r\times q}:\begin{bmatrix}I\\ Z\end{bmatrix}^\top N\begin{bmatrix}I\\ Z\end{bmatrix}\geqslant0\Big\},Zr​(N)={Z∈Rr×q:[IZ​]⊤N[IZ​]⩾0},

and a controller has to work for every element of such a set. H. J. van Waarde, M. K. Camlibel, J. Eising and H. L. Trentelman (arXiv:2203.12959, SIAM J. Control Optim. 2023) develop matrix-valued versions of the S-lemma and of Finsler's lemma for exactly this purpose. Their matrix S-lemma (Theorem 4.7) requires a Slater-type condition: NNN must have a positive eigenvalue. This mission concerns the complementary case in which NNN has no positive eigenvalue, where the inequality defining Zr(N)\mathcal Z_r(N)Zr​(N) degenerates into an equality and a Finsler-type statement is needed.

Setting

All matrices are real. For a symmetric matrix AAA, A⩾0A\geqslant0A⩾0 (A>0A>0A>0) means positive semidefinite (definite); A⩽0A\leqslant0A⩽0 means −A⩾0-A\geqslant0−A⩾0. A†A^\daggerA† is the Moore–Penrose pseudo-inverse, the unique matrix XXX with AXA=AAXA=AAXA=A, XAX=XXAX=XXAX=X and AXAXAX, XAXAXA symmetric.

Fix integers q⩾1q\geqslant1q⩾1 and r⩾0r\geqslant0r⩾0. A symmetric matrix M∈Sq+rM\in\mathbb S^{q+r}M∈Sq+r is partitioned as

M=[M11M12M21M22],M=\begin{bmatrix}M_{11}&M_{12}\\ M_{21}&M_{22}\end{bmatrix},M=[M11​M21​​M12​M22​​],

with M11M_{11}M11​ of size q×qq\times qq×q and M22M_{22}M22​ of size r×rr\times rr×r, and likewise NNN. For Z∈Rr×qZ\in\mathbb R^{r\times q}Z∈Rr×q write FM(Z):=[IZ]⊤M[IZ]∈SqF_M(Z):=\begin{bmatrix}I\\ Z\end{bmatrix}^\top M\begin{bmatrix}I\\ Z\end{bmatrix}\in\mathbb S^qFM​(Z):=[IZ​]⊤M[IZ​]∈Sq, and define

Zr(M)={Z:FM(Z)⩾0},Zr0(N)={Z:FN(Z)=0}.\mathcal Z_r(M)=\{Z: F_M(Z)\geqslant0\},\qquad \mathcal Z_r^0(N)=\{Z: F_N(Z)=0\}.Zr​(M)={Z:FM​(Z)⩾0},Zr0​(N)={Z:FN​(Z)=0}.

The generalized Schur complement is M ∣ M22:=M11−M12M22†M21M\,|\,M_{22}:=M_{11}-M_{12}M_{22}^\dagger M_{21}M∣M22​:=M11​−M12​M22†​M21​, and the class Πq,r\boldsymbol\Pi_{q,r}Πq,r​ consists of the symmetric MMM with M22⩽0M_{22}\leqslant0M22​⩽0, M ∣ M22⩾0M\,|\,M_{22}\geqslant0M∣M22​⩾0 and ker⁡M22⊆ker⁡M12\ker M_{22}\subseteq\ker M_{12}kerM22​⊆kerM12​. For N∈Πq,rN\in\boldsymbol\Pi_{q,r}N∈Πq,r​, the condition N ∣ N22=0N\,|\,N_{22}=0N∣N22​=0 is equivalent to NNN having no positive eigenvalue; then Zr(N)=Zr0(N)\mathcal Z_r(N)=\mathcal Z_r^0(N)Zr​(N)=Zr0​(N). Finally, set

Θ:=[I−N22†N21]⊤M[I−N22†N21]=FM(−N22†N21).(4.4)\Theta:=\begin{bmatrix}I\\ -N_{22}^\dagger N_{21}\end{bmatrix}^\top M\begin{bmatrix}I\\ -N_{22}^\dagger N_{21}\end{bmatrix}=F_M(-N_{22}^\dagger N_{21}).\qquad(4.4)Θ:=[I−N22†​N21​​]⊤M[I−N22†​N21​​]=FM​(−N22†​N21​).(4.4)

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem 4.8 (Matrix Finsler's lemma), p. 12

First, if M−αN⩾0M-\alpha N\geqslant0M−αN⩾0 for some α∈R\alpha\in\mathbb Rα∈R, then Zr0(N)⊆Zr(M)\mathcal Z_r^0(N)\subseteq\mathcal Z_r(M)Zr0​(N)⊆Zr​(M). Second, if M,N∈Πq,rM,N\in\boldsymbol\Pi_{q,r}M,N∈Πq,r​, N ∣ N22=0N\,|\,N_{22}=0N∣N22​=0 and ker⁡Θ⊆ker⁡(M ∣ M22)\ker\Theta\subseteq\ker(M\,|\,M_{22})kerΘ⊆ker(M∣M22​), then

Zr0(N)⊆Zr(M)  ⟺  ∃ α⩾0: M−αN⩾0.\mathcal Z_r^0(N)\subseteq\mathcal Z_r(M)\iff\exists\,\alpha\geqslant0:\ M-\alpha N\geqslant0 .Zr0​(N)⊆Zr​(M)⟺∃α⩾0: M−αN⩾0.

Milestones (proof of Theorem 4.8, pp. 12–13)

  1. If Zr0(N)⊆Zr(M)\mathcal Z_r^0(N)\subseteq\mathcal Z_r(M)Zr0​(N)⊆Zr​(M), then ker⁡N22⊆ker⁡M22\ker N_{22}\subseteq\ker M_{22}kerN22​⊆kerM22​.
  2. With T:=[I0−N22†N21I]T:=\begin{bmatrix}I&0\\ -N_{22}^\dagger N_{21}&I\end{bmatrix}T:=[I−N22†​N21​​0I​], T⊤NT=diag⁡(0,N22)T^\top NT=\operatorname{diag}(0,N_{22})T⊤NT=diag(0,N22​) and
T⊤(M−αN)T=[ΘM12−N12N22†M22M21−M22N22†N21M22−αN22].(4.6)T^\top(M-\alpha N)T=\begin{bmatrix}\Theta&M_{12}-N_{12}N_{22}^\dagger M_{22}\\ M_{21}-M_{22}N_{22}^\dagger N_{21}&M_{22}-\alpha N_{22}\end{bmatrix}.\qquad(4.6)T⊤(M−αN)T=[ΘM21​−M22​N22†​N21​​M12​−N12​N22†​M22​M22​−αN22​​].(4.6)
  1. If ker⁡M22⊆ker⁡M12\ker M_{22}\subseteq\ker M_{12}kerM22​⊆kerM12​, then with D:=M22†M21−N22†N21D:=M_{22}^\dagger M_{21}-N_{22}^\dagger N_{21}D:=M22†​M21​−N22†​N21​, Θ=M ∣ M22+D⊤M22D\Theta=M\,|\,M_{22}+D^\top M_{22}DΘ=M∣M22​+D⊤M22​D and M22D=M21−M22N22†N21M_{22}D=M_{21}-M_{22}N_{22}^\dagger N_{21}M22​D=M21​−M22​N22†​N21​ (4.7a–b).
  2. Θ⩾0\Theta\geqslant0Θ⩾0 and ker⁡(M ∣ M22)=ker⁡Θ∩ker⁡(M21−M22N22†N21)\ker(M\,|\,M_{22})=\ker\Theta\cap\ker(M_{21}-M_{22}N_{22}^\dagger N_{21})ker(M∣M22​)=kerΘ∩ker(M21​−M22​N22†​N21​).
  3. T⊤(M−αN)T⩾0T^\top(M-\alpha N)T\geqslant0T⊤(M−αN)T⩾0 if and only if
M22−αN22−(M21−M22N22†N21) Θ† (M12−N12N22†M22)⩾0.(4.8)M_{22}-\alpha N_{22}-(M_{21}-M_{22}N_{22}^\dagger N_{21})\,\Theta^\dagger\,(M_{12}-N_{12}N_{22}^\dagger M_{22})\geqslant0.\qquad(4.8)M22​−αN22​−(M21​−M22​N22†​N21​)Θ†(M12​−N12​N22†​M22​)⩾0.(4.8)
  1. Some α⩾0\alpha\geqslant0α⩾0 satisfies (4.8), and then M−αN⩾0M-\alpha N\geqslant0M−αN⩾0.

A companion item formalizes Example 4.9 (p. 13): for N=[−111−1]N=\begin{bmatrix}-1&1\\1&-1\end{bmatrix}N=[−11​1−1​] and M=[100−1]M=\begin{bmatrix}1&0\\0&-1\end{bmatrix}M=[10​0−1​] all hypotheses except the one on Θ\ThetaΘ hold, the inclusion holds, and no α⩾0\alpha\geqslant0α⩾0 works.

Significance

The theorem turns an inclusion between two sets of matrices, a statement quantified over infinitely many ZZZ, into feasibility of a scalar-multiplier LMI. In the paper it is one of four matrix S-lemma variants (Theorems 4.7, 4.8, 4.10, 4.11) that together cover the cases arising in data-based control: whether the data-consistent set Zr(N)\mathcal Z_r(N)Zr​(N) has a Slater point, and whether the conclusion is non-strict or strict. Theorem 4.8 is the variant for noise models whose quadratic description has no interior, for instance exact equality constraints on the noise. Example 4.9 shows that the kernel hypothesis on Θ\ThetaΘ is genuinely needed, so the statement marks the boundary of when the lossless reduction holds.

The paper gives a complete proof. No machine-checked proof of this theorem, of the matrix S-lemma, or of Finsler's lemma in matrix form is known to exist, in Lean or elsewhere. Formalizing it produces reusable infrastructure: the Moore–Penrose pseudo-inverse of real matrices with its Penrose identities, the generalized Schur complement criterion for positive semidefiniteness of a block matrix, and congruence manipulations of 2×22\times22×2 block matrices, none of which is currently in Mathlib in this form.

Difficulty

The "if" direction is a one-line computation. For the "only if" direction the classical vector Finsler lemma is not directly applicable: it concerns vectors xxx with x⊤Nx=0x^\top Nx=0x⊤Nx=0, while the hypothesis here only controls matrices ZZZ with FN(Z)=0F_N(Z)=0FN​(Z)=0, which is a much smaller family when q>1q>1q>1, and the conclusion is non-strict. The natural first idea, applying the vector S-lemma, fails because NNN has no positive eigenvalue, so its Slater condition is violated. Instead one must exploit the structure of Πq,r\boldsymbol\Pi_{q,r}Πq,r​: the pseudo-inverse appears because N22N_{22}N22​ and M22M_{22}M22​ are typically singular, and every manipulation must track kernels and ranges exactly.

Formalization scope

The blocks are indexed by arbitrary finite types ι (size qqq) and κ (size rrr); a matrix in Sq+r\mathbb S^{q+r}Sq+r is Matrix (ι ⊕ κ) (ι ⊕ κ) ℝ, its blocks are toBlocks₁₁ etc., and Rr×q\mathbb R^{r\times q}Rr×q is Matrix κ ι ℝ. A⩾0A\geqslant0A⩾0 is Mathlib's PosSemidef, which includes symmetry. The pseudo-inverse is defined by Hilbert's choice among matrices satisfying the four Penrose conditions; since such a matrix exists and is unique, this is the pseudo-inverse and not a junk value. Kernel inclusions are stated with matrix–vector products.

One hypothesis is added and disclosed: q⩾1q\geqslant1q⩾1 (Nonempty ι) in the second statement of Theorem 4.8 and in the milestones that need it. The proof picks a nonzero vector of Rq\mathbb R^qRq, and at q=0q=0q=0 the equivalence is false (r=1r=1r=1, N=[0]N=[0]N=[0], M=[−1]M=[-1]M=[−1]). The first statement keeps a real multiplier of any sign; the second requires α⩾0\alpha\geqslant0α⩾0, as printed. The hypothesis N ∣ N22=0N\,|\,N_{22}=0N∣N22​=0 together with N∈Πq,rN\in\boldsymbol\Pi_{q,r}N∈Πq,r​ makes Zr0(N)\mathcal Z_r^0(N)Zr0​(N) nonempty, so the inclusion is never vacuous; a formalization in which Zr0(N)\mathcal Z_r^0(N)Zr0​(N) could be empty, or in which N22†N_{22}^\daggerN22†​ were replaced by the inverse (which is 000 on singular blocks in Lean), would not be this theorem.

Needed infrastructure: existence and uniqueness of the Moore–Penrose pseudo-inverse (needed to work with the definition at all), symmetry of A†A^\daggerA† for symmetric AAA, the generalized Schur complement criterion for [ABB⊤C]⩾0\begin{bmatrix}A&B\\B^\top&C\end{bmatrix}\geqslant0[AB⊤​BC​]⩾0, and positive semidefiniteness under congruence by an invertible matrix. These lemmas are reusable beyond this mission and contributions of them are welcome, as are proofs of the companion Example 4.9.

Selected references

  • H. J. van Waarde, M. K. Camlibel, J. Eising, H. L. Trentelman, Quadratic matrix inequalities with applications to data-based control, SIAM J. Control Optim., 2023; preprint arXiv:2203.12959v3. https://arxiv.org/abs/2203.12959
  • P. Finsler, Über das Vorkommen definiter und semidefiniter Formen in Scharen quadratischer Formen, Comment. Math. Helv. 9 (1937), 188–192. https://doi.org/10.1007/BF01258188
  • I. Pólik, T. Terlaky, A survey of the S-lemma, SIAM Review 49 (2007), 371–418. https://doi.org/10.1137/S003614450444614X
  • H. J. van Waarde, J. Eising, H. L. Trentelman, M. K. Camlibel, Data informativity: a new perspective on data-driven analysis and control, IEEE Trans. Automat. Control 65 (2020), 4753–4768. https://doi.org/10.1109/TAC.2020.2966717
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Viscosity Solutions to Parabolic Master Equations and McKean–Vlasov SDEs with Closed-Loop Controls 3: The Closed-Loop McKean–Vlasov Value Function Is a Viscosity Solution of the HJB Master EquationResearch Paper

Motivation

Mean field control asks a central planner to steer a large population of interacting agents. Each agent's state follows a stochastic differential equation whose coefficients depend on the agent's own state and on the empirical distribution of the population; as the population grows, the system is described by a single McKean–Vlasov equation whose coefficients depend on the law of the solution itself. The planner's value is then a function V(t,μ)V(t,\mu)V(t,μ) of time and of a probability measure, and its dynamic programming equation, the HJB master equation, is a partial differential equation on the Wasserstein space of measures.

C. Wu and J. Zhang (Ann. Appl. Probab. 30(2), 2020) develop a viscosity theory for such master equations in a path-dependent setting and apply it to McKean–Vlasov control with closed-loop controls, i.e. controls that depend on the observed state path rather than on the driving Brownian motion. Closed-loop information is the natural one when the noise is not observable, and it is the information structure relevant for games; but the value function is then not known to be smooth, so classical solutions are out of reach. This mission formalizes the paper's §5: the value function of the closed-loop problem with piecewise constant controls is a viscosity solution of the HJB master equation.

Setting

Fix d≥1d\ge1d≥1 and a horizon TTT. The path space is Ω=C([0,T],Rd)\Omega=C([0,T],\mathbb R^d)Ω=C([0,T],Rd) with the uniform norm, the canonical process is Xs(ω)=ωsX_s(\omega)=\omega_sXs​(ω)=ωs​, and F=(Ft)\mathbb F=(\mathcal F_t)F=(Ft​) is its natural filtration. P2\mathcal P_2P2​ is the set of probability measures μ\muμ on Ω\OmegaΩ with Eμ[∥X∥2]<∞\mathbb E^\mu[\|X\|^2]<\inftyEμ[∥X∥2]<∞; μ[0,t]\mu_{[0,t]}μ[0,t]​ is the law of the stopped path Xt∧⋅X_{t\wedge\cdot}Xt∧⋅​. On Θ=[0,T]×P2\Theta=[0,T]\times\mathcal P_2Θ=[0,T]×P2​ the pseudometric is

W2((t,μ),(t′,μ′))=(∣t−t′∣+W22(μ[0,t],μ[0,t′]′))1/2,\mathcal W_2\big((t,\mu),(t',\mu')\big)=\big(|t-t'|+\mathcal W_2^2(\mu_{[0,t]},\mu'_{[0,t']})\big)^{1/2},W2​((t,μ),(t′,μ′))=(∣t−t′∣+W22​(μ[0,t]​,μ[0,t′]′​))1/2,

with W2\mathcal W_2W2​ the 2-Wasserstein distance on laws of paths.

The data are a control set AAA and coefficients b(t,ω,μ,a)∈Rdb(t,\omega,\mu,a)\in\mathbb R^db(t,ω,μ,a)∈Rd, σ(t,ω,μ,a)∈Rd×d\sigma(t,\omega,\mu,a)\in\mathbb R^{d\times d}σ(t,ω,μ,a)∈Rd×d, f(t,ω,μ,a)∈Rf(t,\omega,\mu,a)\in\mathbb Rf(t,ω,μ,a)∈R, g(ω,μ)∈Rg(\omega,\mu)\in\mathbb Rg(ω,μ)∈R satisfying Assumption 5.1: measurability and adaptedness, boundedness of b,σb,\sigmab,σ by C0C_0C0​, Lipschitz continuity of b,σb,\sigmab,σ and uniform continuity of f,gf,gf,g in (ω,μ)(\omega,\mu)(ω,μ), local uniform continuity in ttt, and positive definiteness of σσ⊤\sigma\sigma^\topσσ⊤.

An admissible control α∈At\alpha\in\mathcal A_tα∈At​ (5.3) is piecewise constant: αs=∑i<nhi1[ti,ti+1)(s)\alpha_s=\sum_{i<n}h_i\mathbf 1_{[t_i,t_{i+1})}(s)αs​=∑i<n​hi​1[ti​,ti+1​)​(s) for a partition t=t0<⋯<tn=Tt=t_0<\dots<t_n=Tt=t0​<⋯<tn​=T, with hi:Ω→Ah_i:\Omega\to Ahi​:Ω→A Fti\mathcal F_{t_i}Fti​​-measurable. The controlled law Pt,μ,α∈P2\mathbb P^{t,\mu,\alpha}\in\mathcal P_2Pt,μ,α∈P2​ agrees with μ\muμ on [0,t][0,t][0,t] and solves, for a Brownian motion BαB^\alphaBα,

Xs=Xt+∫tsb(r,Xr∧⋅,P[0,r]t,μ,α,αr)dr+∫tsσ(r,Xr∧⋅,P[0,r]t,μ,α,αr)dBrα,s∈[t,T].X_s=X_t+\int_t^s b\big(r,X_{r\wedge\cdot},\mathbb P^{t,\mu,\alpha}_{[0,r]},\alpha_r\big)dr+\int_t^s\sigma\big(r,X_{r\wedge\cdot},\mathbb P^{t,\mu,\alpha}_{[0,r]},\alpha_r\big)dB^\alpha_r,\quad s\in[t,T].Xs​=Xt​+∫ts​b(r,Xr∧⋅​,P[0,r]t,μ,α​,αr​)dr+∫ts​σ(r,Xr∧⋅​,P[0,r]t,μ,α​,αr​)dBrα​,s∈[t,T].

The value function (3.20) is

V(t,μ)=sup⁡α∈AtEPt,μ,α[g(X,Pt,μ,α)+∫tTf(s,X,Pt,μ,α,αs) ds],V(t,\mu)=\sup_{\alpha\in\mathcal A_t}\mathbb E^{\mathbb P^{t,\mu,\alpha}}\Big[g(X,\mathbb P^{t,\mu,\alpha})+\int_t^Tf(s,X,\mathbb P^{t,\mu,\alpha},\alpha_s)\,ds\Big],V(t,μ)=α∈At​sup​EPt,μ,α[g(X,Pt,μ,α)+∫tT​f(s,X,Pt,μ,α,αs​)ds],

and V0V_0V0​ is the same supremum over the controls At0\mathcal A^0_tAt0​ (5.12) whose pieces depend on the path before ttt only through finitely many values Xs1,…,XsmX_{s_1},\dots,X_{s_m}Xs1​​,…,Xsm​​.

The HJB master equation (3.22) is LV=0\mathbb LV=0LV=0 with LV(t,μ)=∂tV(t,μ)+G(t,μ,∂μV(t,μ,⋅),∂ω∂μV(t,μ,⋅))\mathbb LV(t,\mu)=\partial_tV(t,\mu)+G(t,\mu,\partial_\mu V(t,\mu,\cdot),\partial_\omega\partial_\mu V(t,\mu,\cdot))LV(t,μ)=∂t​V(t,μ)+G(t,μ,∂μ​V(t,μ,⋅),∂ω​∂μ​V(t,μ,⋅)), where

G(t,μ,Z,Γ)=Eμ[sup⁡a∈A(12Γ(X):σσ⊤(t,X,μ,a)+Z(X)⋅b(t,X,μ,a)+f(t,X,μ,a))].G(t,\mu,Z,\Gamma)=\mathbb E^\mu\Big[\sup_{a\in A}\Big(\tfrac12\Gamma(X):\sigma\sigma^\top(t,X,\mu,a)+Z(X)\cdot b(t,X,\mu,a)+f(t,X,\mu,a)\Big)\Big].G(t,μ,Z,Γ)=Eμ[a∈Asup​(21​Γ(X):σσ⊤(t,X,μ,a)+Z(X)⋅b(t,X,μ,a)+f(t,X,μ,a))].

Viscosity solutions (Definition 4.4) are defined by test functions φ\varphiφ that satisfy a functional Itô formula on [t,t+δ]×PL(t,μ)[t,t+\delta]\times\mathcal P_L(t,\mu)[t,t+δ]×PL​(t,μ), where PL(t,μ)\mathcal P_L(t,\mu)PL​(t,μ) is the set of laws agreeing with μ\muμ on [0,t][0,t][0,t] under which XXX is a semimartingale on [t,T][t,T][t,T] with drift and diffusion bounded by LLL, and touch VVV from above or below at (t,μ)(t,\mu)(t,μ) on that set.

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem 5.8

Under Assumption 5.1, VVV is finite on Θ\ThetaΘ and is a viscosity solution of (3.22).

Milestones

  • (4.1)(4.1)(4.1): sup⁡P∈PL(t,μ)EP[sup⁡t≤s≤t+δ∣Xt,s∣p]≤Cp,Lδp/2\sup_{\mathbb P\in\mathcal P_L(t,\mu)}\mathbb E^{\mathbb P}[\sup_{t\le s\le t+\delta}|X_{t,s}|^p]\le C_{p,L}\delta^{p/2}supP∈PL​(t,μ)​EP[supt≤s≤t+δ​∣Xt,s​∣p]≤Cp,L​δp/2.
  • Remark 5.4(i): (3.18) has a unique solution, and it lies in PL(t,μ)\mathcal P_L(t,\mu)PL​(t,μ) for L≥C0∨12C02L\ge C_0\vee\frac12C_0^2L≥C0​∨21​C02​.
  • Remark 5.4(ii): the dynamic programming principle (3.21),
V(t1,μ)=sup⁡α∈At1[V(t2,Pt1,μ,α)+∫t1t2EPt1,μ,α[f(s,X,Pt1,μ,α,αs)]ds].V(t_1,\mu)=\sup_{\alpha\in\mathcal A_{t_1}}\Big[V(t_2,\mathbb P^{t_1,\mu,\alpha})+\int_{t_1}^{t_2}\mathbb E^{\mathbb P^{t_1,\mu,\alpha}}[f(s,X,\mathbb P^{t_1,\mu,\alpha},\alpha_s)]ds\Big].V(t1​,μ)=α∈At1​​sup​[V(t2​,Pt1​,μ,α)+∫t1​t2​​EPt1​,μ,α[f(s,X,Pt1​,μ,α,αs​)]ds].
  • Lemma 5.11: a coupling construction with an independent Brownian motion.
  • Lemma 5.13: ∣V0(t,μ)−V0(t,ν)∣≤ρ(W2(μ[0,t],ν[0,t]))|V_0(t,\mu)-V_0(t,\nu)|\le\rho(\mathcal W_2(\mu_{[0,t]},\nu_{[0,t]}))∣V0​(t,μ)−V0​(t,ν)∣≤ρ(W2​(μ[0,t]​,ν[0,t]​)) for a modulus ρ\rhoρ.
  • Lemma 5.14: V=V0V=V_0V=V0​.
  • Theorem 5.7: ∣V(t1,μ)−V(t2,ν)∣≤Cρ(W2((t1,μ),(t2,ν)))+C[1+W2(μ[0,t1],δ{0})][t2−t1]|V(t_1,\mu)-V(t_2,\nu)|\le C\rho(\mathcal W_2((t_1,\mu),(t_2,\nu)))+C[1+\mathcal W_2(\mu_{[0,t_1]},\delta_{\{0\}})][t_2-t_1]∣V(t1​,μ)−V(t2​,ν)∣≤Cρ(W2​((t1​,μ),(t2​,ν)))+C[1+W2​(μ[0,t1​]​,δ{0}​)][t2​−t1​], and uniform continuity when fff is bounded.

Significance

The result characterizes the closed-loop value function through a PDE on the space of path laws without assuming any smoothness of VVV. Combined with a comparison principle for (3.22), which the paper leaves open, it would identify the closed-loop and open-loop values (Remark 5.9). The regularity result (Theorem 5.7) is itself delicate: Example 5.6 shows that a natural restricted class of closed-loop controls produces a value function that is discontinuous in μ\muμ, and the piecewise constant class (5.3) is chosen to avoid this.

The theorems are proved in the paper; none of them is formalized. A formalization would supply a machine-checked path from a path-dependent McKean–Vlasov control problem to its HJB master equation, together with reusable statements on weak solutions of path-dependent McKean–Vlasov equations, their uniform moment bounds, and the dynamic programming principle in the Wasserstein space.

Difficulty

Definition 4.4 requires V∈C0(Θ)V\in C^0(\Theta)V∈C0(Θ), and the central difficulty is continuity in μ\muμ. Closed-loop controls are functions of the observed path; changing the initial law from μ\muμ to ν\nuν changes the information available to the control, and when ν[0,t]\nu_{[0,t]}ν[0,t]​ is degenerate a control adapted to μ\muμ cannot be written as a function of the ν\nuν-path. The obvious argument, transporting an ε\varepsilonε-optimal control for μ\muμ along an optimal coupling of μ\muμ and ν\nuν, fails for exactly this reason (Example 5.6).

Formalization scope

Time is R≥0\mathbb R_{\ge0}R≥0​ and every statement quantifies over t≤Tt\le Tt≤T and μ∈P2\mu\in\mathcal P_2μ∈P2​. Paths are continuous maps [0,T]→Rd[0,T]\to\mathbb R^d[0,T]→Rd with the sup norm and Borel σ\sigmaσ-algebra; W2\mathcal W_2W2​ is the published WassersteinDRO.Duality.wassersteinDistance with p=2p=2p=2. Brownian motion and Itô integrals are the published EthierKurtz.IsStandardBrownian and EthierKurtz.HasBrownianItoIntegral.

Committed conventions:

  • The control set AAA is a nonempty Polish space with its Borel σ\sigmaσ-algebra (the paper says "some appropriate set AAA"); this provides continuity in aaa, measurability of hih_ihi​ and of ω↦sup⁡aG2\omega\mapsto\sup_aG_2ω↦supa​G2​.
  • "Progressively measurable in all variables" is joint measurability (Giry σ\sigmaσ-algebra on laws) plus adaptedness in ω\omegaω and μ\muμ. The bound ∣σ∣≤C0|\sigma|\le C_0∣σ∣≤C0​ uses the Frobenius norm; the joint Lipschitz bound on (b,σ)(b,\sigma)(b,σ) is two bounds with the same L0L_0L0​. δ{0}\delta_{\{0\}}δ{0}​ is the Dirac mass at the zero path.
  • (3.18) is solved in the weak sense: a law with a semimartingale representation, carrying its own Brownian motion, whose characteristics are the controlled coefficients on [t,T)[t,T)[t,T). PL(t,μ)\mathcal P_L(t,\mu)PL​(t,μ) is defined through the same representations.
  • VVV and V0V_0V0​ are suprema in the extended reals over admissible pairs; statements that subtract values or use VVV as a real function assert finiteness explicitly.
  • Test functions carry their derivatives as witnesses; the Itô formula of Definition 4.2 is stated in drift form for every representation; "inf⁡(φ−V)=0\inf(\varphi-V)=0inf(φ−V)=0" is read as φ−V≥0\varphi-V\ge0φ−V≥0 on the test set with equality at (t,μ)(t,\mu)(t,μ), and the test function's data at (t,μ)(t,\mu)(t,μ) are those at (t,P)(t,\mathbb P)(t,P) for P∈PL(t,μ)\mathbb P\in\mathcal P_L(t,\mu)P∈PL​(t,μ).
  • Statements are for general ddd; §5.3 of the paper argues for d=1d=1d=1 only.

The test classes are not vacuous: constant functions satisfy every clause of the test-function class, and Assumption 5.1 holds for b≡0b\equiv0b≡0, σ≡I\sigma\equiv Iσ≡I, f≡g≡0f\equiv g\equiv0f≡g≡0. A formalization that makes PL(t,μ)\mathcal P_L(t,\mu)PL​(t,μ) or the admissible set empty, or that lets VVV be −∞-\infty−∞, does not prove the theorem.

Needed infrastructure: weak existence and uniqueness for path-dependent McKean–Vlasov SDEs with Lipschitz coefficients; Burkholder–Davis–Gundy-type moment bounds; measurable selection on Polish spaces; couplings and gluing on P2\mathcal P_2P2​ of a path space. The moment bound and the McKean–Vlasov well-posedness are reusable beyond this mission. Contributions to any milestone are welcome.

Selected references

  • C. Wu, J. Zhang, Viscosity solutions to parabolic master equations and McKean–Vlasov SDEs with closed-loop controls, Ann. Appl. Probab. 30(2), 936–986, 2020. https://doi.org/10.1214/19-AAP1521
  • R. Carmona, F. Delarue, Probabilistic Theory of Mean Field Games with Applications I, Springer, 2018. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-319-58920-6
  • D. Lacker, Limit theory for controlled McKean–Vlasov dynamics, SIAM J. Control Optim. 55(3), 2017. https://doi.org/10.1137/16M1095895
  • I. Ekren, N. Touzi, J. Zhang, Viscosity solutions of fully nonlinear parabolic path dependent PDEs: Part I, Ann. Probab. 44(2), 2016. https://doi.org/10.1214/14-AOP999
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Partial Differential EquationsProbability·Captain: mikedeng1

Viscosity Solutions to Parabolic Master Equations and McKean–Vlasov SDEs with Closed-Loop Controls 2: Comparison Principle and Uniqueness for Viscosity Solutions of Parabolic Master EquationsResearch Paper

Motivation

Master equations are partial differential equations whose state variable is a probability measure. They arise as the dynamic programming equations of mean-field control problems, as the limits of large particle systems, and as the pricing equations of options on a whole population. Their coefficients and solutions are functions on a Wasserstein space, which is infinite dimensional, and classical (smooth) solutions are known only under strong regularity assumptions (Cardaliaguet–Delarue–Lasry–Lions 2019). A notion of weak solution for which existence, comparison and uniqueness can all be proved is therefore the basic missing tool.

C. Wu and J. Zhang (Ann. Appl. Probab. 2020) propose such a notion for parabolic master equations on the space of laws of continuous paths, in the spirit of the viscosity theory for path-dependent PDEs of Ekren, Keller, Touzi and Zhang (Ann. Probab. 2014). This mission formalizes its §4: the definition of viscosity solutions and the comparison principle that makes them unique.

Setting

Fix a horizon TTT and a dimension ddd. The canonical space is Ω=C([0,T];Rd)\Omega=C([0,T];\mathbb R^d)Ω=C([0,T];Rd) with the uniform norm ∥ω∥\|\omega\|∥ω∥, the canonical process is Xt(ω)=ωtX_t(\omega)=\omega_tXt​(ω)=ωt​, and Ft=σ(Xs:s≤t)\mathcal F_t=\sigma(X_s:s\le t)Ft​=σ(Xs​:s≤t). P2\mathcal P_2P2​ is the set of probability measures μ\muμ on Ω\OmegaΩ with Eμ∥X∥2<∞\mathbb E^\mu\|X\|^2<\inftyEμ∥X∥2<∞; μ[0,t]\mu_{[0,t]}μ[0,t]​ is the law of the stopped path Xt∧⋅X_{t\wedge\cdot}Xt∧⋅​. The state space is Θ=[0,T]×P2\Theta=[0,T]\times\mathcal P_2Θ=[0,T]×P2​ with the pseudometric

W2((t,μ),(t′,μ′))=(∣t−t′∣+W22(μ[0,t],μ[0,t′]′))1/2,\mathcal W_2\big((t,\mu),(t',\mu')\big)=\big(|t-t'|+\mathcal W_2^2(\mu_{[0,t]},\mu'_{[0,t']})\big)^{1/2},W2​((t,μ),(t′,μ′))=(∣t−t′∣+W22​(μ[0,t]​,μ[0,t′]′​))1/2,

where W2\mathcal W_2W2​ on laws is the 2-Wasserstein distance. A function V:Θ→RV:\Theta\to\mathbb RV:Θ→R has a time derivative ∂tV\partial_tV∂t​V, a path derivative ∂μV(t,μ,ω)∈Rd\partial_\mu V(t,\mu,\omega)\in\mathbb R^d∂μ​V(t,μ,ω)∈Rd and a second derivative ∂ω∂μV(t,μ,ω)∈Rd×d\partial_\omega\partial_\mu V(t,\mu,\omega)\in\mathbb R^{d\times d}∂ω​∂μ​V(t,μ,ω)∈Rd×d, defined through a functional Itô formula along semimartingale laws.

The master equation (3.1) is

LV(t,μ):=∂tV(t,μ)+G(t,μ,V(t,μ),∂μV(t,μ,⋅),∂ω∂μV(t,μ,⋅))=0,\mathbb LV(t,\mu):=\partial_tV(t,\mu)+G\big(t,\mu,V(t,\mu),\partial_\mu V(t,\mu,\cdot),\partial_\omega\partial_\mu V(t,\mu,\cdot)\big)=0,LV(t,μ):=∂t​V(t,μ)+G(t,μ,V(t,μ),∂μ​V(t,μ,⋅),∂ω​∂μ​V(t,μ,⋅))=0,

with a generator GGG that is continuous in (t,μ)(t,\mu)(t,μ), Lipschitz in yyy, and Lipschitz in (Z,Γ)(Z,\Gamma)(Z,Γ) in the averaged sense (3.2) of Assumption 3.1.

For L>0L>0L>0, PL(t,μ)\mathcal P_L(t,\mu)PL​(t,μ) is the set of laws P∈P2\mathbb P\in\mathcal P_2P∈P2​ that agree with μ\muμ up to time ttt and under which XXX is a semimartingale on [t,T][t,T][t,T] with drift bounded by LLL and half squared diffusion bounded by LLL. Test functions at (t,μ)(t,\mu)(t,μ) are C1,1,1C^{1,1,1}C1,1,1 functions on [t,t+δ]×PL(t,μ)[t,t+\delta]\times\mathcal P_L(t,\mu)[t,t+δ]×PL​(t,μ) touching VVV from above or below there, (4.2). V∈C0(Θ)V\in C^0(\Theta)V∈C0(Θ) is an LLL-viscosity subsolution (supersolution) if Lφ(t,μ)≥0\mathbb L\varphi(t,\mu)\ge0Lφ(t,μ)≥0 (≤0\le0≤0) for every such test function, and a viscosity solution if it is both for one L>0L>0L>0 (Definition 4.4). The Perron envelopes V‾\overline VV, V‾\underline VV​ of (4.17) are the infimum of piecewise classical supersolutions above ggg and the supremum of piecewise classical subsolutions below ggg.

Formalization targets

Goal: comparison and uniqueness (Theorem 4.13)

Under Assumption 3.1 and g∈C0(P2)g\in C^0(\mathcal P_2)g∈C0(P2​), if V1V_1V1​ is a viscosity subsolution, V2V_2V2​ a viscosity supersolution, V1(T,⋅)≤g≤V2(T,⋅)V_1(T,\cdot)\le g\le V_2(T,\cdot)V1​(T,⋅)≤g≤V2​(T,⋅), the classes U‾g,U‾g\underline{\mathcal U}_g,\overline{\mathcal U}_gU​g​,Ug​ are nonempty, and

V‾=V‾=:V,(4.19)\overline V=\underline V=:V,\qquad(4.19)V=V​=:V,(4.19)

then V1≤V≤V2V_1\le V\le V_2V1​≤V≤V2​ on Θ\ThetaΘ, and VVV is the unique viscosity solution with terminal condition ggg.

Milestones

  1. the moment estimate (4.1) over PL(t,μ)\mathcal P_L(t,\mu)PL​(t,μ);
  2. Lemma 4.1: [t,T]×PL(t,μ)[t,T]\times\mathcal P_L(t,\mu)[t,T]×PL​(t,μ) is compact under W2\mathcal W_2W2​;
  3. Theorem 4.7: viscosity solutions are characterized by semi-jets of paraboloids;
  4. Theorem 4.9: the change of variable V~=eλtV\tilde V=e^{\lambda t}VV~=eλtV;
  5. Theorem 4.6: consistency with classical solutions;
  6. Theorem 4.11: partial comparison when one side is smooth;
  7. Proposition 4.12: a continuous lower envelope V‾\underline VV​ is a viscosity subsolution.

Significance

The comparison principle is what turns a definition into a theory: it gives uniqueness, it identifies value functions of mean-field control problems with the solution of their master equation, and it is the input of stability and convergence arguments for numerical schemes. Theorem 4.13 reduces well-posedness to condition (4.19), and the authors verify (4.19) in examples (§4.6) via Theorem 4.14. The compactness of PL(t,μ)\mathcal P_L(t,\mu)PL​(t,μ) (Lemma 4.1) is the device that replaces local compactness, which the Wasserstein space lacks; it is reusable for any viscosity theory over semimartingale laws.

These results are proved on paper. No machine-checked development of viscosity solutions on Wasserstein spaces, or of the path-dependent functional Itô calculus on laws, is known to exist. A formalization would produce a checked notion of viscosity solution for master equations, the compactness of bounded-characteristic semimartingale laws, and the comparison machinery, and would expose the points where the printed proofs are sketched (see below).

Difficulty

The obvious route, copying the finite-dimensional theory, fails at two places. First, the doubling-of-variables argument for comparison needs a penalization on the state space that is smooth and coercive; on P2\mathcal P_2P2​ under W2\mathcal W_2W2​ neither is available, which is why comparison is reached through partial comparison and Perron envelopes. Second, maxima of φ−V\varphi-Vφ−V need not be attained on Wasserstein balls, which are not compact; the theory therefore tests only on [t,T]×PL(t,μ)[t,T]\times\mathcal P_L(t,\mu)[t,T]×PL​(t,μ), and Lemma 4.1 (via Zheng's tightness criterion for semimartingale laws and uniform integrability of ∥X∥2\|X\|^2∥X∥2) is what makes the extrema exist. The printed proof of Theorem 4.13 opens with "V‾\overline VV is lower semicontinuous and V‾\underline VV​ is upper semicontinuous"; as printed the directions are swapped (an infimum of functions continuous in μ\muμ is upper semicontinuous in μ\muμ), and the members of U\mathcal UU are only càdlàg in ttt, so the continuity of VVV needed for the conclusion requires an argument of its own.

Formalization scope

Time is R≥0\mathbb R_{\ge0}R≥0​, and every condition is imposed only at t≤Tt\le Tt≤T, μ∈P2\mu\in\mathcal P_2μ∈P2​. Rd\mathbb R^dRd is the Euclidean space, matrices are d×dd\times dd×d real matrices with the Frobenius norm, and A:B=∑ijAijBijA:B=\sum_{ij}A_{ij}B_{ij}A:B=∑ij​Aij​Bij​. W2\mathcal W_2W2​ is the published WassersteinDRO.Duality.wassersteinDistance on laws of paths; Brownian motion and the Itô integral are the published EthierKurtz definitions. Membership in PL(t,μ)\mathcal P_L(t,\mu)PL​(t,μ) is the existence of a representation of P\mathbb PP as the law of an Itô process from time ttt with ∣b∣≤L|b|\le L∣b∣≤L, 12∣σ∣2≤L\tfrac12|\sigma|^2\le L21​∣σ∣2≤L (§2.4). A C1,1,1C^{1,1,1}C1,1,1 object is a record of a function and three derivative functions, and the functional Itô formula (2.25) is required in drift form for every representation, which equals (2.25) because the stochastic integral has mean zero. Test sets encode "inf⁡(φ−V)=0\inf(\varphi-V)=0inf(φ−V)=0" literally, and the data of a test function at (t,μ)(t,\mu)(t,μ) are its values at (t,P)(t,\mathbb P)(t,P), P∈PL(t,μ)\mathbb P\in\mathcal P_L(t,\mu)P∈PL​(t,μ). The Perron envelopes are extended-real infima and suprema over the classes (4.18); (4.19) is stated with a real-valued VVV.

Two readings are fixed. Assumption 3.1(i) is continuity of (t,μ)↦G(t,μ,y,Z(Xt∧⋅),Γ(Xt∧⋅))(t,\mu)\mapsto G(t,\mu,y,Z(X_{t\wedge\cdot}),\Gamma(X_{t\wedge\cdot}))(t,μ)↦G(t,μ,y,Z(Xt∧⋅​),Γ(Xt∧⋅​)) for fixed continuous Z,ΓZ,\GammaZ,Γ of linear growth. "V∈Cb1,1,1(Θ)V\in C_b^{1,1,1}(\Theta)V∈Cb1,1,1​(Θ)" in Theorems 4.6 and 4.11 is replaced by the larger class it is used through (Remark 4.3(i)): data continuous on Θ\ThetaΘ lying in Cb1,1,1([t1,t2]×PL(t1,μ))C_b^{1,1,1}([t_1,t_2]\times\mathcal P_L(t_1,\mu))Cb1,1,1​([t1​,t2​]×PL​(t1​,μ)) for all t1<t2t_1<t_2t1​<t2​, LLL, μ\muμ, so those statements are at least as strong as printed.

The definitions cannot be satisfied vacuously: every test set requires a witness law in PL(t,μ)\mathcal P_L(t,\mu)PL​(t,μ), the class Cb1,1,1C_b^{1,1,1}Cb1,1,1​ contains the constants (checked in Lean), and a viscosity solution uses one LLL for both halves. The semi-jets range only over Ft\mathcal F_tFt​-measurable continuous arguments of linear growth, as printed.

Contributions are welcome at every level: the moment bound (4.1) and Lemma 4.1 need tightness and uniform-integrability results for semimartingale laws on path space that Mathlib does not have; Theorems 4.7 and 4.9 are self-contained manipulations of the definitions; Theorems 4.6 and 4.11 and Proposition 4.12 need the compactness lemma and the Itô identity of test functions.

Selected references

  • C. Wu, J. Zhang, Viscosity solutions to parabolic master equations and McKean–Vlasov SDEs with closed-loop controls, Ann. Appl. Probab. 30(2) (2020) 936–986. https://doi.org/10.1214/19-AAP1521
  • I. Ekren, C. Keller, N. Touzi, J. Zhang, On viscosity solutions of path dependent PDEs, Ann. Probab. 42(1) (2014) 204–236. https://doi.org/10.1214/12-AOP788
  • P. Cardaliaguet, F. Delarue, J.-M. Lasry, P.-L. Lions, The Master Equation and the Convergence Problem in Mean Field Games, Annals of Mathematics Studies 201, Princeton University Press, 2019. https://doi.org/10.2307/j.ctvckq7qf
  • R. Carmona, F. Delarue, Probabilistic Theory of Mean Field Games with Applications I, Springer, 2018. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-319-58920-6
  • W. A. Zheng, Tightness results for laws of diffusion processes application to stochastic mechanics, Ann. Inst. H. Poincaré Probab. Statist. 21(2) (1985) 103–124. http://www.numdam.org/item/AIHPB_1985__21_2_103_0/
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