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Convex OptimizationDiscrete GeometryOperations Research·Captain: Shuze Chen

Discrete Convex Analysis XVII: Fenchel Duality and Linear-Programming IntegralityTextbook

Motivation

Duality is the organizing principle of convex optimization: a minimization problem's optimal value equals a maximization problem's optimal value, and this coincidence, rather than being a lucky accident, follows from a separating-hyperplane argument that applies whenever the two problems' feasible regions are shaped compatibly enough. Werner Fenchel formalized this in the 1950s for pairs of convex and concave functions related by the Legendre-Fenchel transform, and the resulting Fenchel duality theorem specializes, for linear objectives over polyhedral feasible regions, to linear programming duality — the fact, central to the entire theory of combinatorial optimization, that a linear program's optimal value can always be certified from above and below by a pair of primal and dual feasible solutions. Murota's Discrete Convex Analysis (SIAM, 2003) collects this classical machinery, together with the integrality theory that lets it produce combinatorial (integer-valued) certificates rather than merely real ones, as the technical foundation the rest of the book builds its discrete theory on top of.

Setting

For f:Rn→R∪{+∞}f : \mathbb R^n \to \mathbb R \cup \{+\infty\}f:Rn→R∪{+∞}, the epigraph is epi⁡f={(x,Y):Y≥f(x)}\operatorname{epi} f = \{(x,Y) : Y \ge f(x)\}epif={(x,Y):Y≥f(x)}, and fff is convex iff epi⁡f\operatorname{epi} fepif is a convex set; fff is proper if additionally its effective domain dom⁡f={x:f(x)<+∞}\operatorname{dom} f = \{x : f(x) < +\infty\}domf={x:f(x)<+∞} is nonempty, and closed if epi⁡f\operatorname{epi} fepif is topologically closed. A function h:Rn→R∪{−∞}h : \mathbb R^n \to \mathbb R \cup \{-\infty\}h:Rn→R∪{−∞} is concave, proper, closed analogously via its hypograph. The convex conjugate is f∙(p)=sup⁡x{⟨p,x⟩−f(x)}f^\bullet(p) = \sup_x\{\langle p,x\rangle - f(x)\}f∙(p)=supx​{⟨p,x⟩−f(x)}, and the concave conjugate h∘(p)=inf⁡x{⟨p,x⟩−h(x)}h^\circ(p) = \inf_x\{\langle p,x\rangle - h(x)\}h∘(p)=infx​{⟨p,x⟩−h(x)}. The relative interior ri⁡S\operatorname{ri} SriS of a set SSS is the interior of SSS relative to its affine hull. A function is polyhedral if its epigraph (or hypograph) is a finite intersection of half-spaces. Given an m×nm \times nm×n matrix AAA, b∈Rmb \in \mathbb R^mb∈Rm, c∈Rnc \in \mathbb R^nc∈Rn, the primal and dual linear programs are min⁡{c⊤x:Ax=b, x≥0}\min\{c^\top x : Ax=b,\ x\ge0\}min{c⊤x:Ax=b, x≥0} and max⁡{b⊤y:A⊤y≤c}\max\{b^\top y : A^\top y \le c\}max{b⊤y:A⊤y≤c}, with feasible regions PPP, DDD. A matrix is totally unimodular if every square submatrix has determinant 000, 111, or −1-1−1. A discrete set S⊆ZnS \subseteq \mathbb Z^nS⊆Zn is hole free if S=Sˉ∩ZnS = \bar S \cap \mathbb Z^nS=Sˉ∩Zn, where Sˉ\bar SSˉ is the convex hull of SSS's real embedding; the discrete Minkowski sum is S1+S2={x1+x2:x1∈S1,x2∈S2}S_1+S_2 = \{x_1+x_2 : x_1\in S_1, x_2\in S_2\}S1​+S2​={x1​+x2​:x1​∈S1​,x2​∈S2​}.

Formalization targets

Goal (Theorem 3.6, Fenchel duality). For proper convex fff and proper concave hhh satisfying at least one of four alternative conditions — a relative-interior condition on dom⁡f∩dom⁡h\operatorname{dom} f \cap \operatorname{dom} hdomf∩domh, a polyhedrality condition on the same, or the analogous pair of conditions on dom⁡f∙∩dom⁡h∘\operatorname{dom} f^\bullet \cap \operatorname{dom} h^\circdomf∙∩domh∘ together with closedness of fff, hhh —

inf⁡x{f(x)−h(x)}=sup⁡p{h∘(p)−f∙(p)},\inf_x\{f(x)-h(x)\} = \sup_p\{h^\circ(p)-f^\bullet(p)\},xinf​{f(x)−h(x)}=psup​{h∘(p)−f∙(p)},

with the extremum on the appropriate side attained whenever the common value is finite. This is the mission's capstone: the four alternative hypotheses make it the most broadly applicable statement of the four convex-duality results in this mission, each of the other three being either a special case in substance (Theorem 3.5, separation, which 3.6 is proved from) or a literal specialization to linear data (Theorem 3.10, LP duality).

Supporting milestones. Theorem 3.2 (biconjugation: f∙f^\bulletf∙ is always closed proper convex, and g∙∙=gg^{\bullet\bullet}=gg∙∙=g for closed proper convex ggg); Theorem 3.5 (the separation theorem for convex/concave functions, under two of Theorem 3.6's four hypotheses); Theorem 3.9 (the Farkas lemma, equality form); Theorem 3.10 (LP duality: weak duality, strong duality with attainment, and complementary slackness); Theorem 3.13 (total unimodularity of the constraint matrix guarantees an integral optimal solution whenever an optimal solution exists); Proposition 3.14 (an explicit potential function certifying a minimum-weight bipartite perfect matching, via the totally unimodular incidence-matrix LP); and Proposition 3.16 (for a translation-invariant family of hole-free discrete sets, the property that discrete disjointness implies closure disjointness is equivalent to the discrete Minkowski sum matching the integer points of the closures' Minkowski sum).

Significance

Fenchel duality is the single result from which the separation theorem, LP duality, and (via the totally-unimodular incidence matrix of a bipartite graph) the combinatorial duality underlying weighted bipartite matching all descend, in one unbroken chain of specialization; formalizing this chain in one mission exhibits that structure directly, rather than treating each result as an independent fact. Proposition 3.16 plays a different role: it is the chapter's warning that naive discrete analogues of convexity (hole-freeness) do not automatically inherit convexity's good closure properties under Minkowski sums, which is exactly the gap the book's later M-convexity and L-convexity machinery is built to close — this mission's Proposition 3.16 is therefore the motivating negative result for the rest of the book's positive theory, not a loose end. So far as a platform search shows, no existing formalization matches this chunk's specific combination of extended-valued (possibly ±∞\pm\infty±∞) functions, the four-alternative Fenchel duality hypothesis, or the bipartite-matching-via-total-unimodularity argument; the one related platform result (VectorSpaceOpt.fenchel_duality, from Luenberger) is for real-valued functions on general normed spaces under a single relative-interior-and-solidness hypothesis, a different generality from the extended-valued, four-hypothesis statement here.

Difficulty

The naive approach to Theorem 3.6 tries to prove the duality gap is zero directly from the definitions of the two conjugates, which only gives the easy inequality inf⁡≥sup⁡\inf \ge \supinf≥sup (a one-line computation, shown in the book's own proof in three lines); the substantive content is the reverse inequality, and it genuinely fails without a constraint-qualification hypothesis like (a1)-(b2) — Example 3.8 in the book exhibits a convex/concave pair with inf⁡=0≠−1=sup⁡\inf = 0 \ne -1 = \supinf=0=−1=sup when none of the four conditions hold. The book's actual route reduces Theorem 3.6 to the separation theorem (Theorem 3.5) applied to fff shifted down by the (assumed finite) infimum, which produces the separating affine function directly; this is why Theorem 3.5, although logically a special case in spirit, earns its own milestone rather than being subsumed silently.

Formalization scope

All convex and concave functions are represented uniformly as (V → ℝ) → EReal-valued (Fintype V), rather than mixing WithTop ℝ for convex and WithBot ℝ for concave functions, so that Theorem 3.2's biconjugate — whose properness is a conclusion, not an assumption — has a well-defined codomain without extra casts. Convexity is defined via the epigraph being a convex subset of the ordinary real vector space (V→R)×R(V\to\mathbb R)\times\mathbb R(V→R)×R (Mathlib's Convex ℝ), following the book's own equivalent characterization, rather than unfolding the direct inequality definition, which would require a extended-arithmetic scalar-multiplication convention (0\cdot(+\infty)=0) that Mathlib does not provide for EReal. The relative interior is defined directly from the book's own metric-ball-intersected-with-affine-hull description, since Mathlib has no relative-interior primitive at the pinned revision. Polyhedra are finite intersections of explicit half-spaces. A bipartite perfect matching is represented as a bijection between the two vertex sides restricted to the edge set — a faithful, not narrower, representation since every perfect matching between equal-size parts arises this way. The formalization does not trivialize: Theorem 3.6's four hypotheses are carried in full (not reduced to the easiest single case), and no result is stated only for finite-valued (never ±∞\pm\infty±∞) functions, which would discard the entire point of the extended-value convex-analysis framework this chapter sets up for the rest of the book. Infrastructure needed beyond Mathlib's Convex, Matrix, and EReal API: all epigraph/hypograph, conjugate, relative-interior, and polyhedral apparatus is defined fresh in DiscreteConvex.IntegralConvexityB; a contribution proving any of the seven milestones independently, or supplying Mathlib-quality relative-interior lemmas, would be a natural entry point.

Selected references

  • K. Murota, Discrete Convex Analysis, SIAM, 2003, DOI 10.1137/1.9780898718508, Chapter 3.
  • R. T. Rockafellar, Convex Analysis, Princeton University Press, 1970.
  • A. Schrijver, Theory of Linear and Integer Programming, Wiley, 1986.
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Dynamic ProgrammingOperations ResearchProbability·Captain: Shuze Chen

Markov Decision Processes VII: Consumption-Investment Problems and Regime SwitchingTextbook

Motivation

Real investors do not merely accumulate wealth for a single terminal payoff; they consume along the way, and the market they invest in is rarely a single fixed statistical regime for years at a time — bull and bear markets, business cycles, and volatility regimes shift the distribution of returns. Bäuerle and Rieder's §4.3 extends the terminal-wealth theory of chunk 04a by adding a consumption choice at every stage (the Ramsey/Merton consumption-investment problem), and §4.4 extends it again by letting the return distribution itself depend on a hidden, Markov-modulated environment state. Both extensions are shown to be genuine instances of the same abstract finite-horizon Markov Decision Process machinery from Chapter 2 — the joint consumption-investment choice and the extra regime coordinate change the state and action spaces, but not the proof strategy, which is exactly the point.

Setting

The consumption-investment problem: state E:=dom UpE := \mathrm{dom}\,U_pE:=domUp​ (wealth), action R≥0×Rd\mathbb{R}_{\ge0}\times\mathbb{R}^dR≥0​×Rd (consumption ccc, amounts aaa invested), transition Tn(x,c,a,z)=(1+in+1)(x−c+a⋅z)T_n(x,c,a,z) = (1+i_{n+1})(x-c+a\cdot z)Tn​(x,c,a,z)=(1+in+1​)(x−c+a⋅z), reward rn(x,c,a):=Uc(c)r_n(x,c,a) := U_c(c)rn​(x,c,a):=Uc​(c), terminal reward gN:=Upg_N := U_pgN​:=Up​. Value functions Vn(x):=sup⁡πEn,xπ[∑k=nN−1Uc(ck(Xk))+Up(XN)]V_n(x) := \sup_\pi \mathbb{E}^\pi_{n,x}[\sum_{k=n}^{N-1} U_c(c_k(X_k)) + U_p(X_N)]Vn​(x):=supπ​En,xπ​[∑k=nN−1​Uc​(ck​(Xk​))+Up​(XN​)]. The one-period sub-problem: D(x):={(c,a):0≤c≤x, (1+i)(x−c+a⋅R)∈dom Up a.s.}D(x) := \{(c,a) : 0\le c\le x,\ (1+i)(x-c+a\cdot R)\in\mathrm{dom}\,U_p \text{ a.s.}\}D(x):={(c,a):0≤c≤x, (1+i)(x−c+a⋅R)∈domUp​ a.s.}, u(x,c,a):=Uc(c)+E[Up((1+i)(x−c+a⋅R))]u(x,c,a) := U_c(c) + \mathbb{E}[U_p((1+i)(x-c+a\cdot R))]u(x,c,a):=Uc​(c)+E[Up​((1+i)(x−c+a⋅R))], v(x):=sup⁡(c,a)∈D(x)u(x,c,a)v(x) := \sup_{(c,a)\in D(x)} u(x,c,a)v(x):=sup(c,a)∈D(x)​u(x,c,a).

The regime-switching extension (§4.4): an environment process (Yn)(Y_n)(Yn​), a finite-state Markov chain with transition probabilities pjkp_{jk}pjk​, modulates the risky-asset return law: given Yn=jY_n=jYn​=j, the next relative risk Rn+1R_{n+1}Rn+1​ has law QjQ_jQj​, and (Rn+1,Yn+1)(R_{n+1},Y_{n+1})(Rn+1​,Yn+1​) has joint law Qj(dz)pjkQ_j(dz)p_{jk}Qj​(dz)pjk​ given Yn=jY_n=jYn​=j, Yn+1=kY_{n+1}=kYn+1​=k. The augmented state is (x,j)∈[0,∞)×EY(x,j) \in [0,\infty)\times E_Y(x,j)∈[0,∞)×EY​; value functions Jn(x,j)J_n(x,j)Jn​(x,j) are defined analogously, with the recursion incorporating a finite sum over the next regime.

Formalization targets

Goal — Theorem 4.3.3

VN=Up,Vn(x)=sup⁡(c,a)∈Dn(x)[Uc(c)+E Vn+1((1+in+1)(x−c+a⋅Rn+1))],V_N = U_p, \qquad V_n(x) = \sup_{(c,a)\in D_n(x)} \bigl[U_c(c) + \mathbb{E}\,V_{n+1}\bigl((1+ i_{n+1})(x-c+a\cdot R_{n+1})\bigr)\bigr],VN​=Up​,Vn​(x)=(c,a)∈Dn​(x)sup​[Uc​(c)+EVn+1​((1+in+1​)(x−c+a⋅Rn+1​))],

with VnV_nVn​ strictly increasing, strictly concave, continuous, and an optimal strategy realized by per-stage maximizers. This is chunk 04a's Theorem 4.2.2 with consumption added, and every closed-form corollary below specializes it.

Eight milestones: the one-period existence/regularity theorem (Theorem 4.3.1); the zero-mean special case (Theorem 4.3.5); power- and logarithmic-utility closed forms (Theorems 4.3.6, 4.3.7); the regime-switching generalization of the goal itself (Theorem 4.4.1), its power-utility closed form (Theorem 4.4.2), and two comparative-statics results on how the optimal policy moves across regimes under a stochastic order (Theorems 4.4.4, 4.4.5).

Significance

Theorem 4.3.3's consumption-investment structure theorem is the basis for every result about optimal spending and saving under uncertainty; its power/log closed forms (Theorems 4.3.6/4.3.7) recover the classical facts that a power-utility investor consumes and invests constant fractions of current wealth (myopic, wealth-independent policy fractions) while a log-utility investor's optimal consumption fraction, 1/(N−n+1)1/(N-n+1)1/(N−n+1), is the textbook "consume your remaining horizon's worth" rule. The regime-switching extension (§4.4) is the discrete-time analogue of Hamilton's regime-switching models, now standard in empirical finance; Theorems 4.4.4-4.4.5 give a rigorous comparative-statics answer to "does a riskier regime call for more or less stock exposure," using the increasing-concave stochastic order rather than a first- moment heuristic — the mathematically correct notion of "regime kkk's returns dominate regime jjj's for every risk-averse (concave, monotone) preference," not merely "regime kkk has a higher mean."

No result of this chunk was found on the platform (searched "consumption investment", "regime switching", "stochastic order"). The proofs largely mirror chunk 04a's (the book itself says so explicitly for Theorems 4.3.1, 4.3.7, 4.4.2), so this mission's contribution is the precise joint-choice statement of each result and, for the comparative-statics theorems, the correct increasing-concave order (≤_icv, Definition B.3.9c) rather than the plain concave order (≤_cv) chunk 02c already needed for a different theorem — the two are genuinely different relations and must not be conflated.

Difficulty

The naive approach to the goal decouples the consumption and investment choices into two independent optimizations; the book's own proof shows they do separate at the level of the per-stage optimization (Theorem 4.3.6's proof: the transformed problem factors into a consumption fraction ζ\zetaζ and an investment fraction α\alphaα optimized independently once the wealth scale is normalized out), but the admissible sets remain jointly constrained (0≤c≤x0\le c\le x0≤c≤x interacts with the investable amount x−cx-cx−c), so treating them as literally independent unconstrained problems would silently solve an easier, different problem. For the regime-switching comparative statics (Theorem 4.4.5), the natural first attempt tries to prove monotonicity of dn(j)d_n(j)dn​(j) in jjj directly from Qj≤icvQkQ_j\le_{\mathrm{icv}}Q_kQj​≤icv​Qk​ alone; the book's own induction needs both hypotheses simultaneously (the environment chain's own stochastic monotonicity, governing how the regime itself evolves, and the return-distribution order, governing the one-period objective) — Theorem 4.4.4's monotonicity of α∗(j)\alpha^*(j)α∗(j) handles the second factor of the induction's product (Eq. (4.22)) while the chain's stochastic monotonicity handles the first; dropping either hypothesis breaks the induction step.

Formalization scope

The consumption-investment vocabulary (ConsumptionInvestmentMarket, its value function, the one-period sub-problem) mirrors chunk 04a's pure-investment TerminalWealthMarket pattern exactly, extended to a joint (c,a)(c,a)(c,a) action. The regime-switching model (RegimeSwitchingMarket) represents the finite regime set EYE_YEY​ abstractly (a Fintype with a row-stochastic transition matrix p : EY → EY → ℝ, not a PMF/product-measure construction on the joint disturbance): the book's own formula for JnπJ_n^\piJnπ​ is already a finite sum over the next regime of an integral against QjQ_jQj​, so this is the direct, faithful representation and needs no additional measure-theoretic machinery — Jpi/J are built via an accumulator recursing through this finite-sum-of-integrals at each step (the natural generalization of chunk 04a's EFromToAcc pattern to a kernel that depends on an evolving state coordinate, rather than an exogenous process). Theorem 4.4.4/4.4.5 introduce LEIncreasingConcaveOrder (Definition B.3.9c) fresh, since chunk 02c's stochastic-order triple (≤_st/≤_cv/≤_cx) does not include the increasing-concave order this chunk's theorems actually use — reusing one of those three would silently substitute a different hypothesis, exactly the trap the chunk brief warns against. IsStochasticallyMonotoneChain (Definition B.3.13) is likewise restated fresh for a finite chain given by its transition matrix.

No trivializing formalization: D_n(x) is a genuine joint constraint on (c,a) (not two independent unconstrained choices); the six closed-form theorems (4.3.6, 4.3.7, 4.4.2, plus the comparative-statics pair) each state their own explicit recursion for dnd_ndn​ — matching the brief's own note that the index-base convention is not uniform across them (Theorem 4.3.6 gives dNd_NdN​ and recurses backward; Theorem 4.4.2 gives d0(j)d_0(j)d0​(j) and recurses forward) — encoded exactly as each theorem states it, not standardized to one direction.

Selected references

  • N. Bäuerle and U. Rieder, Markov Decision Processes with Applications to Finance, Universitext, Springer, 2011. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-642-18324-9
  • J. D. Hamilton, "A new approach to the economic analysis of nonstationary time series and the business cycle", Econometrica, 1989 (the regime-switching framework §4.4 specializes to a portfolio-choice setting).
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Dynamic ProgrammingOperations ResearchProbability·Captain: Shuze Chen

Markov Decision Processes VI: Multiperiod Terminal Wealth ProblemsTextbook

Motivation

An investor with a fixed planning horizon, an initial fortune, and a personal attitude toward risk (a utility function) wants to allocate wealth between a riskless bond and several risky assets, rebalancing at each of NNN periods, to maximize the expected utility of terminal wealth. This is the oldest and most basic problem of mathematical finance's dynamic-programming tradition, going back to Samuelson (1969) and Merton (1969, continuous time). Bäuerle and Rieder's Chapter 4 is where the abstract finite-horizon Markov Decision Process theory built up in Chapter 2 — the Bellman equation, existence of optimal policies under compactness and continuity, propagation of concavity through the value function — is first put to genuine financial work: the multiperiod terminal-wealth problem is shown to be exactly an instance of that general theory, and the reduction pays off immediately in six closed-form solutions for the standard families of utility functions used throughout the literature (power, HARA, logarithmic, exponential).

Setting

An investor with utility function U:dom U→RU : \mathrm{dom}\,U \to \mathbb{R}U:domU→R (Definition 3.4.1: strictly increasing, strictly concave, continuous) and wealth xxx invests in a bond (interest rate in+1i_{n+1}in+1​ on [n,n+1)[n,n+1)[n,n+1)) and ddd risky assets with relative risk Rn+1R_{n+1}Rn+1​ (Chapter 3). The one-period problem: admissible investments D(x):={a∈Rd:(1+i)(x+a⋅R)∈dom U a.s.}D(x) := \{a \in \mathbb{R}^d : (1+i)(x+a\cdot R) \in \mathrm{dom}\,U \text{ a.s.}\}D(x):={a∈Rd:(1+i)(x+a⋅R)∈domU a.s.}, u(x,a):=E[U((1+i)(x+a⋅R))]u(x,a) := \mathbb{E}[U((1+i)(x+a\cdot R))]u(x,a):=E[U((1+i)(x+a⋅R))], v(x):=sup⁡a∈D(x)u(x,a)v(x) := \sup_{a \in D(x)} u(x,a)v(x):=supa∈D(x)​u(x,a). The multiperiod problem is the NNN-stage Markov Decision Model with state space E:=dom UE := \mathrm{dom}\,UE:=domU (wealth), action space Rd\mathbb{R}^dRd, transition Tn(x,a,z)=(1+in+1)(x+a⋅z)T_n(x,a,z) = (1+i_{n+1})(x+a\cdot z)Tn​(x,a,z)=(1+in+1​)(x+a⋅z), zero one-stage reward, terminal reward gN:=Ug_N := UgN​:=U; its value functions are Vn(x):=sup⁡πEn,xπ[U(XN)]V_n(x) := \sup_\pi \mathbb{E}^\pi_{n,x}[U(X_N)]Vn​(x):=supπ​En,xπ​[U(XN​)] over Markov portfolio strategies π\piπ.

Formalization targets

Goal — Theorem 4.2.2

VN=U,Vn(x)=sup⁡a∈Dn(x)E[Vn+1((1+in+1)(x+a⋅Rn+1))],V_N = U, \qquad V_n(x) = \sup_{a \in D_n(x)} \mathbb{E}\bigl[V_{n+1}\bigl((1+i_{n+1})(x+a\cdot R_{n+1})\bigr)\bigr],VN​=U,Vn​(x)=a∈Dn​(x)sup​E[Vn+1​((1+in+1​)(x+a⋅Rn+1​))],

with VnV_nVn​ strictly increasing, strictly concave and continuous, and an optimal portfolio strategy (f0∗,…,fN−1∗)(f_0^*,\dots,f_{N-1}^*)(f0∗​,…,fN−1∗​) realized by maximizers of the recursion. This is the structural result every closed-form solution below specializes.

Eight milestones: the one-period existence/regularity theorem the induction step reduces to (Theorem 4.1.1); the upper bounding function that makes Chapter 2's existence machinery apply (Proposition 4.2.1); the zero-mean special case (Theorem 4.2.4); and four utility-specific closed forms plus the binomial-model comparative-statics lemma (Theorems 4.2.6, 4.2.11, 4.2.13, 4.2.15; Lemma 4.2.9).

Significance

Theorem 4.2.2 is the template for every dynamic portfolio problem in the rest of this book (consumption-investment in Chapter 4 §4.3-4.4, mean-variance and index tracking later in Chapter 4, and the partially-observed and jump-market analogues in Chapters 6 and 9): check a handful of structural conditions on the market data, and the existence, regularity, and recursive computability of the optimal policy follow automatically from Chapter 2's general theory rather than needing a bespoke argument each time. The six closed-form corollaries are the results practitioners actually use: the power/HARA/log/exponential-utility feedback rules are the standard textbook portfolio formulas (the logarithmic case is Kelly betting; the exponential case's wealth-independent optimal amount is the CARA-utility hallmark used throughout insurance and reinsurance mathematics), and Lemma 4.2.9's monotonicity result is the discrete-time analogue of the Merton ratio's dependence on the market's risk premium.

No result of this chunk was found on the platform (searched "terminal wealth", "portfolio optimization", "power utility", "HARA utility"). The proofs are complete in the book and mostly short (each utility-specific theorem reduces to checking the Structure Assumption via a transformation to a fraction-of-wealth variable); this mission's contribution is the precise formal statement of each closed form, with its own explicit recursion for dnd_ndn​, since the six theorems share a structure but genuinely differ in which one-period sub-problem and which scaling variable (xxx, x+bSn0/SN0x+bS^0_n/S^0_Nx+bSn0​/SN0​, or a wealth-independent constant) each uses.

Difficulty

The obvious shortcut for the goal is to prove existence of an optimal policy and its concavity/monotonicity properties by separate, ad hoc arguments at each stage; the actual content of Theorem 4.2.2 is that both reduce, via Theorem 4.1.1, to a single one-period fact applied identically at every stage — the induction step is exactly "if v∈I ⁣Mn+1v \in \mathrm{I\!M}_{n+1}v∈IMn+1​ [strictly increasing/concave/continuous with linear growth], then vvv is a utility function on EEE up to the growth bound, so Theorem 4.1.1 applies directly to TnvT_n vTn​v." Missing this reduction leads to reproving compactness/upper-semicontinuity arguments from Chapter 2 by hand at every stage instead of invoking Theorem 4.1.1 once per stage. For the six closed-form theorems, the shared trap is conflating the different one-period sub-problems: the power- and HARA-utility theorems solve the same sub-problem (4.7) after a wealth-shift transformation, while the exponential-utility theorem's sub-problem (4.13) has a fundamentally different scaling (the optimal amount, not fraction, is wealth-independent) — collapsing these into one "utility-agnostic" statement would hide exactly the distinction the book is making.

Formalization scope

The multiperiod value function V is defined as an explicit supremum over admissible Markov portfolio strategies (not the Bellman recursion itself, and not full history-dependent strategies), following the book's own citation of Theorem 2.2.3 to justify restricting to Markov strategies for this model; this keeps the goal's parts (b)/(c) genuine content rather than restatements of the value function's own definition. The one-period vocabulary (OnePeriodD/OnePeriodU/OnePeriodV, NoArbitrageOnePeriod) is a self-contained restatement matching §4.1's own notation (a single iii, RRR, no time index), independent of chunk 03's full market/portfolio apparatus, since Theorem 4.1.1's own content is exactly this one-period reduction. Proposition 4.2.1's proof cites two facts as already established elsewhere in the book (a concave function is dominated by an affine function; no-arbitrage bounds admissible actions linearly in wealth) — both are taken as explicit hypotheses of the Lean statement rather than re-derived, since re-deriving them is not this proposition's own content. HARA and power utility share one sub-problem definition (Afrac/vPower, Eq. (4.7)); logarithmic and exponential utility each need their own (AfracLog/vLog, vExp, Eqs. (4.11), (4.13)) since their admissibility sets and objective functions genuinely differ (a strict vs. non-strict inequality; a fraction vs. an absolute amount).

No trivializing formalization: each of the six closed-form theorems states its own explicit recursion for dnd_ndn​ (a finite product or sum over k=n,…,N−1k=n,\dots,N-1k=n,…,N−1 of genuinely different per-stage terms) rather than a shared abstract "some sequence dnd_ndn​ exists with Vn=dn⋅(shape)V_n = d_n \cdot (\text{shape})Vn​=dn​⋅(shape)" — the latter would hide exactly which recursion each utility function produces, the actual content the brief for this chunk flags as the point of having six near-identical theorems rather than one parametrized statement. Optimal strategies are stated in their exact feedback form (fn∗(x)=αn∗xf_n^*(x) = \alpha_n^* xfn∗​(x)=αn∗​x, or the HARA-specific affine shift, or the wealth-independent exponential-utility amount), not merely asserted to exist.

Selected references

  • N. Bäuerle and U. Rieder, Markov Decision Processes with Applications to Finance, Universitext, Springer, 2011. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-642-18324-9
  • R. C. Merton, "Lifetime portfolio selection under uncertainty: the continuous-time case", Review of Economics and Statistics, 1969 (the continuous-time analogue this discrete-time theory approximates, per Chapter 3's binomial-to-Black-Scholes convergence result).
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Linear-Time Approximation for Maximum Weight Matching: The Approximation Guarantee of the Scaling AlgorithmResearch Paper

Motivation

The maximum weight matching (MWM) problem asks, for a graph with edge weights, for a set of vertex-disjoint edges of largest total weight. It is a central problem of combinatorial optimization, with applications to transportation, assignment and scheduling, and as a subroutine for shortest paths, planar max cut, Chinese postman tours and metric TSP. Edmonds' blossom algorithm (1965) solves it on general graphs; the fastest implementation, due to Gabow, runs in O(mn+n2log⁡n)O(mn+n^2\log n)O(mn+n2logn) time, and the scaling algorithm of Gabow and Tarjan (1991) runs in O(mnlog⁡n log⁡(nN))O(m\sqrt{n\log n}\,\log(nN))O(mnlogn​log(nN)) time on graphs with nnn vertices, mmm edges and integer weights of magnitude at most NNN. Applications such as switch scheduling, graph clustering and sparse linear solvers accept a slightly suboptimal matching in exchange for speed. This motivates (1−ϵ)(1-\epsilon)(1−ϵ)-approximate maximum weight matchings: matchings whose weight is at least a 1−ϵ1-\epsilon1−ϵ fraction of the optimum.

Timeline of linear and near-linear time approximation for general graphs (Section 1.3 and Table IV of the paper; the entries below are as the paper attributes them):

  • Folklore: the greedy algorithm, which repeatedly takes the heaviest remaining edge, gives a 12\tfrac1221​-MWM in O(mlog⁡n)O(m\log n)O(mlogn) time.
  • Preis (STACS 1999): a 12\tfrac1221​-MWM in linear time; Drake and Hougardy (2003) gave a simpler one.
  • Drake and Hougardy (2003; journal version Vinkemeier and Hougardy, ACM Trans. Algorithms 2005): a (23−ϵ)(\tfrac23-\epsilon)(32​−ϵ)-MWM in O(mϵ−1)O(m\epsilon^{-1})O(mϵ−1) time; Pettie and Sanders (2004) improved this to O(mlog⁡ϵ−1)O(m\log\epsilon^{-1})O(mlogϵ−1).
  • Duan and Pettie (FOCS 2010) and Hanke and Hougardy (2010): a (34−ϵ)(\tfrac34-\epsilon)(43​−ϵ)-MWM in O(mlog⁡nlog⁡ϵ−1)O(m\log n\log\epsilon^{-1})O(mlognlogϵ−1) time.
  • Duan and Pettie (2014): a (1−ϵ)(1-\epsilon)(1−ϵ)-MWM in O(mϵ−1log⁡ϵ−1)O(m\epsilon^{-1}\log\epsilon^{-1})O(mϵ−1logϵ−1) time, which is linear for every fixed ϵ\epsilonϵ.

Setting

Let G=(V,E)G=(V,E)G=(V,E) be a finite simple graph with integer weights w:E→{1,…,N}w:E\to\{1,\dots,N\}w:E→{1,…,N}, N=2LN=2^LN=2L. A matching MMM is a set of vertex-disjoint edges, with weight w(M)=∑e∈Mw(e)w(M)=\sum_{e\in M}w(e)w(M)=∑e∈M​w(e); a vertex is free if no edge of MMM touches it. MMM is a ccc-MWM if c⋅w(M′)≤w(M)c\cdot w(M')\le w(M)c⋅w(M′)≤w(M) for every matching M′M'M′.

A blossom is built recursively: a single vertex {v}\{v\}{v} is a trivial blossom with E{v}=∅E_{\{v\}}=\emptysetE{v}​=∅; an odd number ≥3\ge3≥3 of disjoint blossoms A0,…,AℓA_0,\dots,A_\ellA0​,…,Aℓ​ joined in a cycle by edges ei∈Ai×Ai+1e_i\in A_i\times A_{i+1}ei​∈Ai​×Ai+1​ form the blossom B=⋃AiB=\bigcup A_iB=⋃Ai​ with edge set EB=⋃EAi∪{e0,…,eℓ}E_B=\bigcup E_{A_i}\cup\{e_0,\dots,e_\ell\}EB​=⋃EAi​​∪{e0​,…,eℓ​}. It is full if ∣M∩EB∣=(∣B∣−1)/2|M\cap E_B|=(|B|-1)/2∣M∩EB​∣=(∣B∣−1)/2. The algorithm keeps a laminar set Ω\OmegaΩ of full blossoms; a root blossom is a maximal one, and G/ΩG/\OmegaG/Ω contracts each root blossom to a single vertex.

Dual values y:V→Ry:V\to\mathbb Ry:V→R and zzz on odd vertex sets give each edge the value

yz(u,v)=y(u)+y(v)+∑B odd, u,v∈Bz(B).yz(u,v)=y(u)+y(v)+\sum_{B\ \text{odd},\ u,v\in B} z(B).yz(u,v)=y(u)+y(v)+B odd, u,v∈B∑​z(B).

The scaling algorithm (Figure 2 of the paper) has parameters NNN and ϵ′=2−g≤14\epsilon'=2^{-g}\le\tfrac14ϵ′=2−g≤41​. It runs scales i=0,…,Li=0,\dots,Li=0,…,L with granularity δi=ϵ′N/2i\delta_i=\epsilon'N/2^iδi​=ϵ′N/2i and truncated weights wi(e)=δi⌊w(e)/δi⌋w_i(e)=\delta_i\lfloor w(e)/\delta_i\rfloorwi​(e)=δi​⌊w(e)/δi​⌋. Each scale repeats four steps: augment along a maximal set of vertex-disjoint augmenting paths of the eligible graph GeligG_{\mathrm{elig}}Gelig​, shrink a maximal set of new blossoms, adjust the duals by ±δi/2\pm\delta_i/2±δi​/2, and dissolve root blossoms whose zzz-value has reached zero. It stops when the free vertices' yyy-values reach a scale-dependent value, which is 000 at scale LLL. Eligibility is given by Definition 3.2; the linear-time variant keeps the algorithm unchanged and uses Definition 3.10, which additionally ignores an edge eee in scales i>scale(e)+log⁡ϵ′−1i>\mathrm{scale}(e)+\log\epsilon'^{-1}i>scale(e)+logϵ′−1 unless it is a blossom edge.

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem 3.12, approximation half

For every ϵ\epsilonϵ with ϵ′≤ϵ/7\epsilon'\le\epsilon/7ϵ′≤ϵ/7, the algorithm of Figure 2 with Definition 3.10 eligibility has a terminating run, and every terminating run returns a matching MMM with

w(M) ≥ (1−ϵ) w(M′)for every matching M′ of G.w(M)\ \ge\ (1-\epsilon)\,w(M')\qquad\text{for every matching } M' \text{ of } G .w(M) ≥ (1−ϵ)w(M′)for every matching M′ of G.

Milestones, in attack order

  • Lemma 2.3: approximate complementary slackness (yz(e)≥(1−ϵ0)w(e)yz(e)\ge(1-\epsilon_0)w(e)yz(e)≥(1−ϵ0​)w(e) everywhere, yz(e)≤(1+ϵ1)w(e)yz(e)\le(1+\epsilon_1)w(e)yz(e)≤(1+ϵ1​)w(e) on matched and blossom edges, zero free duals) gives a (1+ϵ1)−1(1−ϵ0)(1+\epsilon_1)^{-1}(1-\epsilon_0)(1+ϵ1​)−1(1−ϵ0​)-MWM.
  • Section 2 rescaling: rounding real weights to ⌊w/γr⌋\lfloor w/\gamma_r\rfloor⌊w/γr​⌋, γr=ϵwmax⁡/n\gamma_r=\epsilon w_{\max}/nγr​=ϵwmax​/n, loses at most a factor 1−ϵ/21-\epsilon/21−ϵ/2.
  • Lemma 3.5: with Definition 3.2 the algorithm preserves Property 3.1, which consists of granularity, active blossoms, near domination yz(e)≥wi(e)−δiyz(e)\ge w_i(e)-\delta_iyz(e)≥wi​(e)−δi​, near tightness yz(e)≤wi(e)+2(δj−δi)yz(e)\le w_i(e)+2(\delta_j-\delta_i)yz(e)≤wi​(e)+2(δj​−δi​) for type-jjj edges, and equal free duals.
  • Lemma 3.6: eligible edges searched up to scale iii weigh at least N/2i+1+δiN/2^{i+1}+\delta_iN/2i+1+δi​, and matched edges satisfy yz(e)≤(1+4ϵ′)w(e)yz(e)\le(1+4\epsilon')w(e)yz(e)≤(1+4ϵ′)w(e).
  • Lemma 3.7: the output under Definition 3.2 is a (1−5ϵ′)(1-5\epsilon')(1−5ϵ′)-MWM.
  • Theorem 3.8: the approximation half of Theorem 3.8, with ϵ′≤ϵ/5\epsilon'\le\epsilon/5ϵ′≤ϵ/5.
  • Lemma 3.11: the invariants under Definition 3.10, including yz(e)>(1−ϵ′)wi(e)yz(e)>(1-\epsilon')w_i(e)yz(e)>(1−ϵ′)wi​(e) and yz(e)<(1+6ϵ′)wi(e)yz(e)<(1+6\epsilon')w_i(e)yz(e)<(1+6ϵ′)wi​(e) once i>scale(e)+γi>\mathrm{scale}(e)+\gammai>scale(e)+γ.

Significance

The result. Theorem 3.12 gives the first algorithm for (1−ϵ)(1-\epsilon)(1−ϵ)-approximate maximum weight matching on general graphs that runs in linear time for every fixed ϵ\epsilonϵ; earlier linear-time algorithms achieved only 12\tfrac1221​ or 23−ϵ\tfrac23-\epsilon32​−ϵ. Its analysis is a relaxation of Edmonds' complementary slackness conditions that grows weaker over the scales, but not uniformly, and Lemma 2.3 certifies an approximate matching by approximately feasible duals.

Formalizing it. The result is proved in the paper. Mathlib (at the pinned revision) has matchings, alternating walks and Tutte's theorem, but no blossoms, contracted graphs or weighted matching algorithms. A complete development gives a Lean model of blossoms, contraction and augmenting paths through blossoms, a verified primal–dual invariant for a scaling algorithm, and a checked approximate-slackness certificate for matchings. Each of these can be reused to formalize Edmonds' exact algorithm or the Gabow–Tarjan scaling algorithm.

Difficulty

The two halves of the argument pull against each other. Lemma 2.3 needs near domination and near tightness as multiplicative bounds. The algorithm maintains only additive bounds whose slack for an edge of type jjj is 2(δj−δi)2(\delta_j-\delta_i)2(δj​−δi​), and this slack does not shrink as the scales advance. Converting it into a factor 1+O(ϵ′)1+O(\epsilon')1+O(ϵ′) requires a lower bound on the weight of every edge that ever became eligible, which in turn depends on the free vertices' duals following an exact schedule across scales.

For Definition 3.10 the obvious argument breaks down: an edge that is ignored after scale scale(e)+γ\mathrm{scale}(e)+\gammascale(e)+γ may violate near domination and near tightness by an amount that grows with every later dual adjustment. The claim is that the accumulated violation stays within an O(ϵ′)O(\epsilon')O(ϵ′) fraction of wi(e)w_i(e)wi​(e), and establishing this requires tracking every adjustment that can reach an ignored edge.

On the combinatorial side, the Augmentation and Blossom Shrinking steps work in the contracted graph G/ΩG/\OmegaG/Ω. Their correctness uses the classical facts that augmenting paths lift through full blossoms and that blossoms stay full after augmentation (Lemma 2.1), which have to be formalized from scratch.

Formalization scope

Graphs are SimpleGraph V on a Fintype V with decidable equality; edges are Sym2 V; matchings are Finset (Sym2 V) with pairwise vertex-disjoint edges of GGG; weights are w:Sym2 V→Nw:\mathrm{Sym2}\,V\to\mathbb Nw:Sym2V→N with 1≤w(e)≤2L1\le w(e)\le 2^L1≤w(e)≤2L on edges. Duals, δi\delta_iδi​ and wiw_iwi​ are real numbers. zzz is a function on all finite vertex sets and yzyzyz sums it over the odd sets that contain the edge, as on the page. N=2LN=2^LN=2L and ϵ′=2−g\epsilon'=2^{-g}ϵ′=2−g, g≥2g\ge2g≥2, are given through their exponents. scale(e)\mathrm{scale}(e)scale(e) uses the convention μ−1=+∞\mu_{-1}=+\inftyμ−1​=+∞. The paper's standing assumption N≤n2N\le n^2N≤n2 is used only for running time and is omitted.

The algorithm is a nondeterministic relation. A state holds MMM, Ω\OmegaΩ with its blossom edge sets, yyy, zzz, a ghost record of the scale in which each edge last entered M∪⋃B∈ΩEBM\cup\bigcup_{B\in\Omega}E_BM∪⋃B∈Ω​EB​, and the common free-vertex dual that drives the loop test. The maximal sets of augmenting paths and of new blossoms and the lifts of paths through blossoms are choices. Invariants are stated for states reachable by a run, and the goal asserts both that a terminating run exists and that every terminating run returns a (1−ϵ)(1-\epsilon)(1−ϵ)-MWM.

The running times O(mϵ−1log⁡N)O(m\epsilon^{-1}\log N)O(mϵ−1logN) of Theorem 3.8 and O(mϵ−1log⁡ϵ−1)O(m\epsilon^{-1}\log\epsilon^{-1})O(mϵ−1logϵ−1) of Theorem 3.12 are not formalized: the paper fixes no cost model, and its bounds rely on a modified depth-first search and on word-RAM table lookups. The explicit constants ϵ′≤ϵ/5\epsilon'\le\epsilon/5ϵ′≤ϵ/5 (Theorem 3.8) and ϵ′≤ϵ/7\epsilon'\le\epsilon/7ϵ′≤ϵ/7 (Theorem 3.12) are the ones the proofs supply.

The following trivializing formalizations are ruled out: a "matching" that may contain non-edges or repeated edges; a goal about a state only assumed to satisfy Property 3.1 rather than reached by the algorithm; a run relation with no terminating run, which the existence conjunct excludes; eligibility or blossoms chosen freely instead of by the page's rules; and comparison only against matchings of the contracted graph instead of all matchings of GGG.

Welcome contributions include a Lean treatment of blossoms and their contraction (Lemma 2.1, which is not a milestone here), the lift of augmenting paths, Lemmas 3.3 and 3.4 as auxiliary results, and proofs of the milestones in the order listed.

Selected references

  • R. Duan and S. Pettie, Linear-Time Approximation for Maximum Weight Matching, Journal of the ACM 61(1), Article 1, 2014. https://doi.org/10.1145/2529989
  • J. Edmonds, Maximum matching and a polyhedron with 0,1-vertices, Journal of Research of the National Bureau of Standards 69B, 125–130, 1965. https://doi.org/10.6028/jres.069B.013
  • H. N. Gabow and R. E. Tarjan, Faster scaling algorithms for general graph-matching problems, Journal of the ACM 38(4), 815–853, 1991. https://doi.org/10.1145/115234.115366
  • R. Preis, Linear time 1/2-approximation algorithm for maximum weighted matching in general graphs, STACS 1999, LNCS 1563, 259–269 (cited from the bibliography of Duan and Pettie 2014).
  • D. E. D. Vinkemeier and S. Hougardy, A linear-time approximation algorithm for weighted matchings in graphs, ACM Transactions on Algorithms 1(1), 107–122, 2005 (cited from the bibliography of Duan and Pettie 2014).
  • S. Pettie and P. Sanders, A simpler linear time 2/3 − ϵ approximation to maximum weight matching, Information Processing Letters 91(6), 271–276, 2004 (cited from the bibliography of Duan and Pettie 2014).
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Optimizing Static Linear Feedback: Gradient Method I: The Gradient Method Converges to a Stationary Point, and Linearly to the Optimal Gain under State FeedbackResearch Paper

Motivation

The linear-quadratic regulator (LQR) is the basic problem of optimal control: steer a linear system x˙=Ax+Bu\dot x = Ax + Bux˙=Ax+Bu so as to minimize an integrated quadratic cost. When the full state is measured and the gain may be chosen freely, the optimal feedback is given by the algebraic Riccati equation (Kalman, 1960). In many applications only an output y=Cxy = Cxy=Cx is measured, and the controller is restricted to a static feedback u=−Kyu = -Kyu=−Ky. For this output-feedback problem no Riccati-type characterization exists; the design problem is a non-convex optimization over the gain matrix KKK.

Direct optimization of the gain by gradient descent, known in the control literature since Levine and Athans (1970) and revived in reinforcement learning as policy gradient (Fazel, Ge, Kakade and Mesbahi, 2018, arXiv:1801.05039), is therefore of interest both to control engineers and to the learning community. Fatkhullin and Polyak (arXiv:2004.09875, SIAM J. Control Optim. 2021) give a self-contained analysis of the continuous-time problem: the cost is coercive on the set of stabilizing gains, smooth on sublevel sets, and, for state feedback, satisfies a gradient-domination (Łežanski–Polyak–Łojasiewicz) inequality. From these they derive convergence guarantees for the gradient method.

Setting

Fix real matrices A∈Rn×nA\in\mathbb R^{n\times n}A∈Rn×n, B∈Rn×mB\in\mathbb R^{n\times m}B∈Rn×m, C∈Rr×nC\in\mathbb R^{r\times n}C∈Rr×n and weights Q∈Rn×nQ\in\mathbb R^{n\times n}Q∈Rn×n, R∈Rm×mR\in\mathbb R^{m\times m}R∈Rm×m, and an initial-state covariance Σ∈Rn×n\Sigma\in\mathbb R^{n\times n}Σ∈Rn×n. A gain is a matrix K∈Rm×rK\in\mathbb R^{m\times r}K∈Rm×r, and the closed-loop matrix is AK=A−BKCA_K = A - BKCAK​=A−BKC. A square matrix is Hurwitz if all its complex eigenvalues have negative real part. The set of stabilizing gains is

S={K∈Rm×r:AK is Hurwitz}.\mathcal S = \{K\in\mathbb R^{m\times r} : A_K \text{ is Hurwitz}\}.S={K∈Rm×r:AK​ is Hurwitz}.

For K∈SK\in\mathcal SK∈S let X(K)X(K)X(K) be the unique solution of the Lyapunov equation

AK⊤X+XAK+C⊤K⊤RKC+Q=0,A_K^\top X + XA_K + C^\top K^\top RKC + Q = 0,AK⊤​X+XAK​+C⊤K⊤RKC+Q=0,

and define the cost f(K)=Tr(X(K)Σ)f(K)=\mathrm{Tr}\big(X(K)\Sigma\big)f(K)=Tr(X(K)Σ), the expected integrated quadratic cost of the closed loop from a random initial state with covariance Σ\SigmaΣ. With Y(K)Y(K)Y(K) the solution of AKY+YAK⊤+Σ=0A_KY+YA_K^\top+\Sigma=0AK​Y+YAK⊤​+Σ=0, the gradient of fff in the Frobenius inner product is

∇f(K)=2(RKC−B⊤X(K))Y(K)C⊤.\nabla f(K)=2\big(RKC-B^\top X(K)\big)Y(K)C^\top .∇f(K)=2(RKC−B⊤X(K))Y(K)C⊤.

A known stabilizing gain K0∈SK_0\in\mathcal SK0​∈S is given, and S0={K∈S:f(K)≤f(K0)}\mathcal S_0=\{K\in\mathcal S: f(K)\le f(K_0)\}S0​={K∈S:f(K)≤f(K0​)} is its sublevel set. The standing assumptions are Q,R,Σ≻0Q,R,\Sigma\succ0Q,R,Σ≻0, rank⁡C=r\operatorname{rank}C=rrankC=r and B≠0B\neq0B=0. State feedback (SLQR) is the case C=IC=IC=I.

The gradient method with step sizes γj\gamma_jγj​ is

Kj+1=Kj−γj∇f(Kj),j≥0.K_{j+1}=K_j-\gamma_j\nabla f(K_j),\qquad j\ge0 .Kj+1​=Kj​−γj​∇f(Kj​),j≥0.

A number L>0L>0L>0 is a smoothness constant if ∥∇f(K)−∇f(K′)∥F≤L∥K−K′∥F\|\nabla f(K)-\nabla f(K')\|_F\le L\|K-K'\|_F∥∇f(K)−∇f(K′)∥F​≤L∥K−K′∥F​ for all K,K′∈S0K,K'\in\mathcal S_0K,K′∈S0​.

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem 4.2 for state feedback

For C=IC=IC=I, an optimal gain K∗∈SK_*\in\mathcal SK∗​∈S, and any smoothness constant LLL:

  1. if 0<γj≤2/L0<\gamma_j\le 2/L0<γj​≤2/L for all jjj, then every Kj∈S0K_j\in\mathcal S_0Kj​∈S0​ and
f(Kj+1)≤f(Kj)−γj(1−Lγj2)∥∇f(Kj)∥F2;f(K_{j+1})\le f(K_j)-\gamma_j\Big(1-\frac{L\gamma_j}{2}\Big)\|\nabla f(K_j)\|_F^2 ;f(Kj+1​)≤f(Kj​)−γj​(1−2Lγj​​)∥∇f(Kj​)∥F2​;
  1. if 0<ε1≤γj≤2/L−ε20<\varepsilon_1\le\gamma_j\le 2/L-\varepsilon_20<ε1​≤γj​≤2/L−ε2​ with ε2>0\varepsilon_2>0ε2​>0, then ∇f(Kj)→0\nabla f(K_j)\to0∇f(Kj​)→0,
min⁡0≤j≤k∥∇f(Kj)∥F2≤f(K0)c1k(k≥1),c1=ε1ε2L2,\min_{0\le j\le k}\|\nabla f(K_j)\|_F^2\le\frac{f(K_0)}{c_1k}\quad(k\ge1),\qquad c_1=\frac{\varepsilon_1\varepsilon_2L}{2},0≤j≤kmin​∥∇f(Kj​)∥F2​≤c1​kf(K0​)​(k≥1),c1​=2ε1​ε2​L​,

and there are c≥0c\ge0c≥0, 0≤q<10\le q<10≤q<1 with ∥Kj−K∗∥F≤c qj\|K_j-K_*\|_F\le c\,q^j∥Kj​−K∗​∥F​≤cqj.

Milestones

In attack order:

  • Appendix A lemmas. Trace duality of dual Lyapunov equations (Lemma A.1), the trace sandwich (Lemma A.4), and eigenvalue lower bounds for Lyapunov solutions (Lemma A.5).
  • Coercivity and existence. Coercivity of fff with the lower bounds (3.1)–(3.2) (Lemma 3.8), boundedness of S0\mathcal S_0S0​ (Corollary 3.9), and existence of a minimizer (Corollary 3.10).
  • Smoothness. The gradient formula (Lemma 3.11) and existence of a smoothness constant on S0\mathcal S_0S0​ (Theorem 3.15, qualitative form).
  • Gradient domination for state feedback. Lemmas C.2, C.3 and C.1, and the LPL inequality with the explicit constant (3.11):
12∥∇f(K)∥F2≥μ(f(K)−f(K∗)),K∈S0(Theorem 3.17).\tfrac12\|\nabla f(K)\|_F^2\ge\mu\big(f(K)-f(K_*)\big),\qquad K\in\mathcal S_0 \qquad\text{(Theorem 3.17)}.21​∥∇f(K)∥F2​≥μ(f(K)−f(K∗​)),K∈S0​(Theorem 3.17).
  • Theorem 4.2 for output feedback. Descent and stationarity, parts 1 and 2 without the linear rate, for general CCC.

Significance

The theorem shows that a plain first-order method, started from any stabilizing gain, never destabilizes the closed loop and decreases the cost monotonically, for output feedback as well as state feedback. For state feedback it converges globally and linearly to the optimal gain. The cost is non-convex, and its domain S\mathcal SS is open, possibly non-convex and unbounded, so this does not follow from convex optimization theory. It is the continuous-time counterpart of the policy-gradient guarantees of Fazel et al. for discrete-time LQR, and it underlies model-free and data-driven variants of gain tuning.

The result is proved in the paper, but it has not been formalized. The formalization adds three things. It makes the invariance argument (the iterates stay in S0\mathcal S_0S0​) explicit, and the paper describes that argument as the non-trivial part. It corrects the statements where the printed text is wrong (see below). It also produces a reusable library of Lyapunov-equation facts. Mathlib has no Lyapunov equation, no LQR cost and no Hurwitz stability theory, and the platform has no continuous-time LQR material. The nearest platform items treat discrete-time Riccati iteration (BertsekasDP.riccati_convergence_stability) and Polyak–Łojasiewicz rates on a whole normed space (ShiOptRates.pl_rate). Neither applies to a function defined only on a non-convex open subset.

Difficulty

The standard descent-lemma argument assumes fff is defined and LLL-smooth on the whole space. Here fff is defined only on S\mathcal SS, and it is not smooth on all of S\mathcal SS: it blows up at the boundary. A gradient step from a point of S0\mathcal S_0S0​ could in principle jump out of S\mathcal SS, where the Lyapunov equation has no meaningful solution. The smoothness bound is available only inside S0\mathcal S_0S0​, so the argument must show that the whole segment from KjK_jKj​ to Kj+1K_{j+1}Kj+1​ stays in S0\mathcal S_0S0​ before the descent inequality can be used on it. That requires coercivity, compactness of S0\mathcal S_0S0​ and an exit-time argument. For the linear rate, gradient domination has to be established on S0\mathcal S_0S0​ with constants controlled by f(K0)f(K_0)f(K0​), and passing from function values to distances to K∗K_*K∗​ needs that minimizer's structure. Gradient domination fails for output feedback (the paper's Example 3.4 has two disconnected components with different minima), so the linear rate is stated only for C=IC=IC=I.

Formalization scope

Matrices are Matrix (Fin p) (Fin q) ℝ. Hurwitz means every element of the complex spectrum has negative real part. X(K)X(K)X(K), Y(K)Y(K)Y(K) are "the unique solution of the Lyapunov equation, 000 if there is none or several"; this junk value is never used, because every statement evaluates fff and ∇f\nabla f∇f only at gains proved or assumed to lie in S\mathcal SS. The iterates' membership in S0\mathcal S_0S0​ is a conclusion of the goal, never a hypothesis; assuming it would delete the theorem's content. ∇f\nabla f∇f is defined by the formula (3.3), and Lemma 3.11 is the theorem that it is the gradient. ∥⋅∥F\|\cdot\|_F∥⋅∥F​ is ∑Mij2\sqrt{\sum M_{ij}^2}∑Mij2​​, ∥⋅∥\|\cdot\|∥⋅∥ is the spectral (operator) norm, and λ1,λn\lambda_1,\lambda_nλ1​,λn​ are the minimum and maximum eigenvalue of a symmetric matrix. State feedback is the instance r=nr=nr=n, C=1C=1C=1. In (4.6) the Frobenius norm replaces the paper's spectral norm, which is equivalent because ccc is existential. The minimum over 0≤j≤k0\le j\le k0≤j≤k requires k≥1k\ge1k≥1.

Deviations from the printed text, each recorded in the item's Formalization Note:

  • The smoothness constant. The explicit LLL of (3.8) is false as printed (for n=m=1n=m=1n=m=1, A=0A=0A=0, B=100B=100B=100, Q=100Q=100Q=100, R=10−3R=10^{-3}R=10−3, Σ=0.1\Sigma=0.1Σ=0.1, K0=10−6K_0=10^{-6}K0​=10−6, one has f′′(K0)=2Lf''(K_0)=2Lf′′(K0​)=2L). The goal therefore takes LLL as any Lipschitz constant of ∇f\nabla f∇f on S0\mathcal S_0S0​, which is the paper's definition of LLL-smoothness (§3.6) and all that its proof uses. Theorem 3.15 enters only as "some such L>0L>0L>0 exists".
  • Lemma C.1. It is stated with λ12(Σ)\lambda_1^2(\Sigma)λ12​(Σ) in the denominator, as its proof concludes and as (3.11) requires.
  • Lemma A.5. It is stated for A⊤X+XA+Q=0A^\top X+XA+Q=0A⊤X+XA+Q=0; the printed −Q-Q−Q admits no positive definite solution.
  • The gain space. S⊆Rm×r\mathcal S\subseteq\mathbb R^{m\times r}S⊆Rm×r, where p. 3 prints Rm×n\mathbb R^{m\times n}Rm×n.

Not stated: Theorem 4.3 and Algorithm 4.1, Lemma 3.6, Lemmas 3.12–3.14, Corollary 3.16 and the explicit constant (3.8). Welcome contributions include a Lyapunov-equation library (existence, uniqueness, integral representation, positivity), continuity of the spectrum, and the exit-time argument, which is reusable for any descent method on a sublevel set of an open domain.

Selected references

  • I. Fatkhullin, B. Polyak, Optimizing Static Linear Feedback: Gradient Method, SIAM J. Control Optim. 59(5), 2021; preprint arXiv:2004.09875v2. https://arxiv.org/abs/2004.09875
  • M. Fazel, R. Ge, S. Kakade, M. Mesbahi, Global Convergence of Policy Gradient Methods for the Linear Quadratic Regulator, ICML 2018. https://arxiv.org/abs/1801.05039
  • W. Levine, M. Athans, On the determination of the optimal constant output feedback gains for linear multivariable systems, IEEE Trans. Automat. Control 15(1), 1970. https://doi.org/10.1109/TAC.1970.1099363
  • H. Karimi, J. Nutini, M. Schmidt, Linear Convergence of Gradient and Proximal-Gradient Methods Under the Polyak–Łojasiewicz Condition, ECML PKDD 2016. https://arxiv.org/abs/1608.04636
  • R. E. Kalman, Contributions to the theory of optimal control, Bol. Soc. Mat. Mexicana 5, 1960.
16 thms2 active usersReviewed
Operations ResearchProbabilityStatistics+1·Captain: mikedeng1

Acceleration of Stochastic Approximation by Averaging: Almost-Sure Convergence and Asymptotic Normality of the Averaged IterateResearch Paper

Motivation

Stochastic approximation finds a root x∗x^*x∗ of an unknown map R:RN→RNR:\mathbb R^N\to\mathbb R^NR:RN→RN from noisy evaluations yt=R(xt−1)+ξty_t=R(x_{t-1})+\xi_tyt​=R(xt−1​)+ξt​, by the Robbins–Monro recursion xt=xt−1−γtytx_t=x_{t-1}-\gamma_ty_txt​=xt−1​−γt​yt​. It underlies stochastic gradient descent, recursive estimation in statistics, adaptive control and simulation-based optimization. The classical theory (Sacks 1958) shows that the fastest attainable rate, t(xt−x∗)⇒N(0,G−1S(G−1)T)\sqrt t(x_t-x^*)\Rightarrow N(0,G^{-1}S(G^{-1})^T)t​(xt​−x∗)⇒N(0,G−1S(G−1)T) with G=R′(x∗)G=R'(x^*)G=R′(x∗) and SSS the noise covariance, is achieved by the matrix step γt=t−1G−1\gamma_t=t^{-1}G^{-1}γt​=t−1G−1, which requires knowing GGG.

Polyak and Juditsky (SIAM J. Control Optim. 30 (1992) 838–855) proved that the same optimal covariance is attained without any knowledge of GGG: run the recursion with scalar steps that decrease more slowly than 1/t1/t1/t and output the running average xˉt\bar x_txˉt​ of the iterates. Ruppert (Cornell ORIE technical report, 1988) obtained the one-dimensional case independently. The method, known as Polyak–Ruppert averaging, is the standard device for variance reduction in stochastic approximation.

Timeline:

  • 1951, Robbins and Monro: the recursion and its convergence in probability.
  • 1958, Sacks: asymptotic normality of xtx_txt​ for γt=γ/t\gamma_t=\gamma/tγt​=γ/t.
  • 1988, Ruppert: averaging in one dimension, i.i.d.-type noise.
  • 1990–1992, Polyak; Polyak and Juditsky: averaging in RN\mathbb R^NRN for linear problems with martingale-difference noise (Theorem 1) and nonlinear problems (Theorem 2).

Setting

Let (Ω,F,(Ft)t≥0,P)(\Omega,\mathcal F,(\mathcal F_t)_{t\ge0},P)(Ω,F,(Ft​)t≥0​,P) be a filtered probability space and (ξt)t≥1(\xi_t)_{t\ge1}(ξt​)t≥1​ an adapted RN\mathbb R^NRN-valued noise process. Given a nonrandom x0∈RNx_0\in\mathbb R^Nx0​∈RN and step sizes γt>0\gamma_t>0γt​>0, algorithm (7) is

xt=xt−1−γt(R(xt−1)+ξt),xˉt=1t∑i=0t−1xi.x_t=x_{t-1}-\gamma_t\bigl(R(x_{t-1})+\xi_t\bigr),\qquad\bar x_t=\frac1t\sum_{i=0}^{t-1}x_i .xt​=xt−1​−γt​(R(xt−1​)+ξt​),xˉt​=t1​i=0∑t−1​xi​.

The error is Δt=xt−x∗\Delta_t=x_t-x^*Δt​=xt​−x∗ and the estimation error is Δˉt=xˉt−x∗\bar\Delta_t=\bar x_t-x^*Δˉt​=xˉt​−x∗.

The hypotheses are:

  • Assumption 3.1: a Lyapunov function VVV with V(x)≥α∣x∣2V(x)\ge\alpha|x|^2V(x)≥α∣x∣2, Lipschitz gradient, V(0)=0V(0)=0V(0)=0, ∇V(x−x∗)TR(x)>0\nabla V(x-x^*)^TR(x)>0∇V(x−x∗)TR(x)>0 for x≠x∗x\neq x^*x=x∗, and ∇V(x−x∗)TR(x)≥λ1V(x−x∗)\nabla V(x-x^*)^TR(x)\ge\lambda_1V(x-x^*)∇V(x−x∗)TR(x)≥λ1​V(x−x∗) near x∗x^*x∗.
  • Assumption 3.2: ∣R(x)−G(x−x∗)∣≤K1∣x−x∗∣1+λ|R(x)-G(x-x^*)|\le K_1|x-x^*|^{1+\lambda}∣R(x)−G(x−x∗)∣≤K1​∣x−x∗∣1+λ near x∗x^*x∗, with 0<λ≤10<\lambda\le10<λ≤1 and every eigenvalue of GGG having positive real part.
  • Assumption 3.3: ξt\xi_tξt​ is a martingale difference with E(∣ξt∣2∣Ft−1)+∣R(xt−1)∣2≤K2(1+∣xt−1∣2)E(|\xi_t|^2\mid\mathcal F_{t-1})+|R(x_{t-1})|^2\le K_2(1+|x_{t-1}|^2)E(∣ξt​∣2∣Ft−1​)+∣R(xt−1​)∣2≤K2​(1+∣xt−1​∣2). It splits as ξt=ξt(0)+ζt\xi_t=\xi_t(0)+\zeta_tξt​=ξt​(0)+ζt​, where ξt(0)\xi_t(0)ξt​(0) is a martingale difference whose conditional covariance tends to S≻0S\succ0S≻0 in probability and whose conditional second moments are uniformly integrable, and E(∣ζt∣2∣Ft−1)≤δ(xt−1−x∗)E(|\zeta_t|^2\mid\mathcal F_{t-1})\le\delta(x_{t-1}-x^*)E(∣ζt​∣2∣Ft−1​)≤δ(xt−1​−x∗) with δ(x)→0\delta(x)\to0δ(x)→0 as x→0x\to0x→0.
  • Assumption 3.4: (γt−γt+1)/γt=o(γt)(\gamma_t-\gamma_{t+1})/\gamma_t=o(\gamma_t)(γt​−γt+1​)/γt​=o(γt​), ∑tγt(1+λ)/2t−1/2<∞\sum_t\gamma_t^{(1+\lambda)/2}t^{-1/2}<\infty∑t​γt(1+λ)/2​t−1/2<∞, γt→0\gamma_t\to0γt​→0 and ∑tγt2<∞\sum_t\gamma_t^2<\infty∑t​γt2​<∞.

The linear case, algorithm (2), is R(x)=Ax−bR(x)=Ax-bR(x)=Ax−b with every eigenvalue of AAA having positive real part.

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem 2

Under Assumptions 3.1–3.4,

xˉt→x∗ a.s.,t (xˉt−x∗)→DN(0,  G−1S(G−1)T).\bar x_t\to x^*\ \text{a.s.},\qquad\sqrt t\,(\bar x_t-x^*)\xrightarrow{D}N\bigl(0,\;G^{-1}S(G^{-1})^T\bigr).xˉt​→x∗ a.s.,t​(xˉt​−x∗)D​N(0,G−1S(G−1)T).

Milestones

  • Lemma 1, Part 2: under condition (4) on the steps, tγt→∞t\gamma_t\to\inftytγt​→∞.
  • Lemma 1: the matrices φjt=A−1−γj∑i=jt−1∏k=ji−1(I−γkA)\varphi_j^t=A^{-1}-\gamma_j\sum_{i=j}^{t-1}\prod_{k=j}^{i-1}(I-\gamma_kA)φjt​=A−1−γj​∑i=jt−1​∏k=ji−1​(I−γk​A) are uniformly bounded, and 1t∑j<t∥φjt∥→0\frac1t\sum_{j<t}\|\varphi_j^t\|\to0t1​∑j<t​∥φjt​∥→0.
  • Lemma 2: the representation (A9) of t Δˉt\sqrt t\,\bar\Delta_tt​Δˉt​ for the linear error recursion.
  • Theorem 1(a): the linear case, t(xˉt−x∗)⇒N(0,A−1S(A−1)T)\sqrt t(\bar x_t-x^*)\Rightarrow N(0,A^{-1}S(A^{-1})^T)t​(xˉt​−x∗)⇒N(0,A−1S(A−1)T).
  • Proof of Theorem 2, Part 1: V(Δt)V(\Delta_t)V(Δt​) converges almost surely to a finite limit.
  • Proof of Theorem 2, p. 850: xt→x∗x_t\to x^*xt​→x∗ almost surely.
  • Proof of Theorem 2, Part 4: the average of the linearised process Δt1=Δt−11−γt(GΔt−11+ξt)\Delta^1_t=\Delta^1_{t-1}-\gamma_t(G\Delta^1_{t-1}+\xi_t)Δt1​=Δt−11​−γt​(GΔt−11​+ξt​) satisfies t(Δˉt1−Δˉt)→0\sqrt t(\bar\Delta^1_t-\bar\Delta_t)\to0t​(Δˉt1​−Δˉt​)→0 almost surely.

Significance

Theorem 2 shows that averaging turns a robust, slowly-stepped recursion into an asymptotically efficient estimator. The covariance G−1S(G−1)TG^{-1}S(G^{-1})^TG−1S(G−1)T is the lower bound for this class of problems: for linear recursive estimates with independent noise it is the bound of [26] in the paper. Downstream, the result is what is invoked for the asymptotic efficiency of averaged stochastic gradient descent (Theorem 3 of the paper) and of recursive M-estimators in regression (Theorem 4).

The result is proved, with a published proof, but has no machine-checked version. As far as a search of the platform shows, no statement of Theorem 1 or Theorem 2 exists on Prove2Me. The platform does have a scalar martingale central limit theorem (Martingale.clt_of_mds, proved, with unconditional Lindeberg condition), which is usable through the Cramér–Wold device. Formalizing Theorem 2 also requires the Robbins–Siegmund almost-supermartingale theorem, a multivariate CLT for martingale differences under conditional Lindeberg and conditional covariance conditions, and the Kronecker lemma. Mathlib has none of these three in the required form, and each is reusable well beyond this mission. Non-asymptotic SGD rates already on the platform (the Bottou–Curtis–Nocedal and Lan missions) are different results.

Difficulty

The obvious approach analyses xtx_txt​ directly. It fails: with steps decreasing more slowly than 1/t1/t1/t, t(xt−x∗)\sqrt t(x_t-x^*)t​(xt​−x∗) diverges, and only the average has the t\sqrt tt​ rate. The average must be compared with the averaged noise through the matrix sums of Lemma 1, whose bounds are uniform in both indices. Those bounds rely on the step condition (γt−γt+1)/γt=o(γt)(\gamma_t-\gamma_{t+1})/\gamma_t=o(\gamma_t)(γt​−γt+1​)/γt​=o(γt​) in a quantitative way.

The nonlinear case adds a second difficulty. The iterates are first shown to converge almost surely, by a Lyapunov argument. The nonlinear error is then transferred to a linearised process at the t\sqrt tt​ scale, which needs a summability estimate on ∣Δi∣1+λi−1/2|\Delta_i|^{1+\lambda}i^{-1/2}∣Δi​∣1+λi−1/2 obtained through stopping times. A central limit theorem for the linear process alone does not give the result, because the linearisation error must vanish after multiplication by t\sqrt tt​.

Formalization scope

Points are in EuclideanSpace ℝ (Fin N) and matrices are Matrix (Fin N) (Fin N) ℝ, acting through Matrix.toEuclideanLin. Matrix norms are operator norms. Conditional expectations are MeasureTheory.condExp on a Filtration ℕ. "Given Ft−1\mathcal F_{t-1}Ft−1​" is written with shifted indices (ξt+1\xi_{t+1}ξt+1​ given Ft\mathcal F_tFt​). The algorithm is a recursive definition from (x0,γ,R,ξ)(x_0,\gamma,R,\xi)(x0​,γ,R,ξ), with γ0,ξ0\gamma_0,\xi_0γ0​,ξ0​ unused and xˉt\bar x_txˉt​ averaging x0,…,xt−1x_0,\dots,x_{t-1}x0​,…,xt−1​. Convergence in distribution is TendstoInDistribution to multivariateGaussian 0 V. Convergence of conditional covariances in probability is entrywise TendstoInMeasure. A limsup or supremum "tending to 0 in probability" is unfolded into its η\etaη–δ\deltaδ definition.

Corrections of the printed text, each used by the paper's own proof:

  1. Assumption 3.1 prints V(x∗)=0V(x^*)=0V(x∗)=0 and ≥λV(x)\ge\lambda V(x)≥λV(x). Stated as V(0)=0V(0)=0V(0)=0 and ≥λ1V(x−x∗)\ge\lambda_1V(x-x^*)≥λ1​V(x−x∗) (as printed they force x∗=0x^*=0x∗=0). The drift constant is renamed λ1\lambda_1λ1​, since the paper uses λ\lambdaλ also in Assumption 3.2.
  2. Eq. (10) is garbled as printed. It is stated as ∑γt(1+λ)/2t−1/2<∞\sum\gamma_t^{(1+\lambda)/2}t^{-1/2}<\infty∑γt(1+λ)/2​t−1/2<∞, the form of Assumptions 4.7 and 5.6 and of p. 851.
  3. Assumption 3.3's δ(xt−1)\delta(x_{t-1})δ(xt−1​) is stated as δ(xt−1−x∗)\delta(x_{t-1}-x^*)δ(xt−1​−x∗).
  4. γt→0\gamma_t\to0γt​→0 and ∑γt2<∞\sum\gamma_t^2<\infty∑γt2​<∞ are added to Assumption 3.4. The proof uses them (p. 849), and they do not follow from it.
  5. RRR is assumed continuous. The paper states no regularity of RRR, but its proof of almost sure convergence (pp. 849–850) needs ∇V(x−x∗)TR(x)\nabla V(x-x^*)^TR(x)∇V(x−x∗)TR(x) bounded away from 000 on annuli around x∗x^*x∗, which continuity and Assumption 3.1 provide.
  6. Lemma 1 and Theorem 1(a) are stated under condition (4) only. The constant-step condition (3) is false as printed (A=diag(1,10)A=\mathrm{diag}(1,10)A=diag(1,10), γ=1\gamma=1γ=1), and Theorem 2 does not use it.
  7. (A3) is stated with the norm inside, as its proof establishes.
  8. (A9) and the linearised process of Part 4 are stated with −γtξt-\gamma_t\xi_t−γt​ξt​ noise signs, and with Δ01=Δ0\Delta^1_0=\Delta_0Δ01​=Δ0​. The printed +++ signs contradict (A8) at t=2t=2t=2.

Several formalizations would make the goal trivial, and all are ruled out:

  • conditional expectations of non-integrable functions, which are 000 in Lean (every noise process is required to be in L2L^2L2);
  • a real supremum for the uniform integrability in Assumption 3.3, which is 000 on unbounded families;
  • an arbitrary process with a property in place of the recursion (7);
  • a degenerate Dirac target (the covariance G−1S(G−1)TG^{-1}S(G^{-1})^TG−1S(G−1)T is positive definite under the hypotheses).

Welcome contributions: the Robbins–Siegmund theorem, a vector martingale CLT under conditional Lindeberg conditions, the Kronecker lemma, and the matrix estimates of Lemma 1.

Selected references

  • B. T. Polyak, A. B. Juditsky, Acceleration of stochastic approximation by averaging, SIAM J. Control Optim. 30(4), 838–855, 1992. https://doi.org/10.1137/0330046
  • H. Robbins, S. Monro, A stochastic approximation method, Ann. Math. Statist. 22, 400–407, 1951. https://doi.org/10.1214/aoms/1177729586
  • J. Sacks, Asymptotic distribution of stochastic approximation procedures, Ann. Math. Statist. 29, 373–405, 1958. https://doi.org/10.1214/aoms/1177706619
  • D. Ruppert, Efficient estimations from a slowly convergent Robbins–Monro process, Cornell University ORIE Technical Report 781, 1988 (no stable online link located).
  • H. Robbins, D. Siegmund, A convergence theorem for non negative almost supermartingales and some applications, in Optimizing Methods in Statistics, Academic Press, 233–257, 1971. https://doi.org/10.1016/B978-0-12-604550-5.50015-8
10 thms2 active usersReviewed
Theoretical Computer Science·Captain: mikedeng1

The Design of Approximation Algorithms 11: Planar weighted independent-set PTASTextbook

Motivation

A graph records pairs of objects that cannot be chosen together. An independent set is a choice with no conflicting pair. When each vertex has a nonnegative weight, maximum weighted independent set asks for a conflict-free set with the greatest total weight. This model occurs when choices have values and pairwise incompatibilities. On general graphs the optimization problem is difficult; the planar restriction gives a concrete geometric promise under which approximation is possible. Williamson and Shmoys state a polynomial-time approximation scheme for planar maximum independent set as Theorem 10.11 of The Design of Approximation Algorithms, in the author electronic manuscript at PDF/manuscript page 271.

Setting

The instance has vertices labeled by Fin n, an adjacency table edge : Fin n → Fin n → Bool, and a real weight weight i for each vertex. SimpleGraph.fromRel turns the table into an undirected simple graph G. The theorem requires every weight to be nonnegative. A finite set S is feasible when G.IsIndepSet (S : Set (Fin n)) holds. Its value is ∑ i ∈ S, weight i.

Planarity is expressed by HasPlanarDrawing G: vertices are placed at distinct points of the real plane, and every edge is represented by a continuous simple arc. An arc has no vertex in its interior, and distinct edges can meet only at endpoints. This is a concrete local drawing convention for the planar graph promise. The drawing witnesses the hypothesis; it is not passed as part of the algorithm's input.

The computational model is a fixed finite unit-cost RAM program. Its input includes the vertex count, an integer accuracy parameter, a complete adjacency table, and the real weights in named memory cells. Its instructions include natural-number and real addition and subtraction, exact comparisons, random-access loads and stores, branches, jumps, and halt. The machine starts with the instance preloaded and produces a bitmap after the adjacency table. This precise instruction set is a formalization convention: the book states an arithmetic-operation running time but does not specify a machine language.

Formalization targets

For every real ε>0\varepsilon>0ε>0, let k=max⁡(1,⌈1/ε⌉)k=\max(1,\lceil1/\varepsilon\rceil)k=max(1,⌈1/ε⌉). The goal asserts that a single finite program and fixed positive natural constants C,dC,dC,d work for every planar instance and every vector of nonnegative real weights. The program must halt after a number ttt of operations satisfying

t+1≤C 2dk(n+1)2.t+1\le C\,2^{dk}(n+1)^2.t+1≤C2dk(n+1)2.

Its bitmap must represent an independent set AAA, and for every independent set SSS,

(1−ε)∑i∈Swi≤∑i∈Awi.(1-\varepsilon)\sum_{i\in S}w_i\le\sum_{i\in A}w_i.(1−ε)i∈S∑​wi​≤i∈A∑​wi​.

Comparison with every feasible SSS includes an optimal solution. The same program and constants precede all accuracy and instance quantifiers. The (n+1)2(n+1)^2(n+1)2 form includes the empty graph without imposing zero running time. The result corresponds to the O(2O(1/ε)n2)O(2^{O(1/\varepsilon)}n^2)O(2O(1/ε)n2) bound in Theorem 10.11; the formal statement makes the constants and accuracy parameter explicit.

Significance

The result supplies an accuracy-time tradeoff for planar weighted independent set: any fixed positive accuracy has a quadratic dependence on graph size in this operation model, while the accuracy dependence is exponential. It separates the planar setting from the general graph problem. The finite instruction set and input layout make the computational claim inspectable, including what information the program receives and what counts as an operation.

The cited result is known in the textbook. This mission asks for a Lean proof of the packaged statement; the theorem currently has sorry, and no machine construction or correctness proof is claimed. The original local statement was compiled and source reviewed before packaging. That prior result establishes statement validity in its source workspace, while the upload payload is checked separately.

Difficulty

A high-quality independent set in each planar region does not immediately give a high-quality global set: edges across regions can create conflicts, and discarding boundary vertices can lose weight. A proof must coordinate the approximation inequality with a uniform operation bound for one program across all graph sizes, accuracies, and real weight vectors. It must also show the computed bitmap is always independent and that execution reaches an explicit halt instruction within the bound. These requirements rule out treating an optimizer, an embedding, or a best solution as preloaded input.

Formalization scope

The goal uses finite labeled graphs, nonnegative arbitrary real weights, exact real arithmetic, and the concrete drawing predicate above. It does not claim a bit-complexity bound for encoded reals. The RAM starts from a complete adjacency table and weight vector, with no supplied drawing or optimum. Its step function is deterministic; an invalid program counter is stuck, so the theorem explicitly requires a halt instruction. Outputs are bits in designated natural memory cells and are checked for validity before their weighted value is compared.

The packaged definitions are the drawing predicate, instruction type, state, transition, iteration, input layout, and output decoder. They contain no proof axioms or optimization oracle. The rational-input polynomial bit-time fragment in the source workspace is a separate statement and is outside this goal. A complete contribution would construct the finite program and prove its running time and approximation guarantee in the specified model.

Selected references

  • David P. Williamson and David B. Shmoys, The Design of Approximation Algorithms, Cambridge University Press, 2011, author electronic manuscript, Theorem 10.11, PDF/manuscript p. 271; weighted independent-set setting p. 269 and context pp. 270–272. DOI.
5 thms2 active usersReviewed
EconomicsOperations Research·Captain: mikedeng1

Addictive Platforms 1: Monopoly versus Duopoly — Competition Raises Addictiveness and Hurts the Consumer When Attention Is Scarce, and Lowers Addictiveness When It Is AbundantResearch Paper

Motivation

Digital services are paid for with attention: an ad-financed platform earns more the longer its users stay. Policy reports on digital markets (Crémer, de Montjoye and Schweitzer, 2019; the U.K. Digital Competition Expert Panel, 2019; Scott Morton et al., 2019) worry that such firms degrade their services with features that capture attention at the user's expense, and they usually recommend more competition. Ichihashi and Kim, Addictive Platforms (Bank of Canada Staff Working Paper 2022-16; Management Science, 2023), ask whether competition actually helps. Their answer depends on how scarce attention is. When attention is scarce, platforms compete by making their services more addictive rather than better, and a monopoly serves the consumer better than a duopoly. This mission formalizes that comparison, the paper's headline result, together with the two equilibrium characterizations it rests on.

Setting

There are KKK platforms and a single consumer. Each platform kkk chooses an addictiveness dk≥0d_k \ge 0dk​≥0. The consumer observes d=(d1,…,dK)d = (d_1, \dots, d_K)d=(d1​,…,dK​), joins a set JJJ of platforms and allocates attention ak≥0a_k \ge 0ak​≥0 to each k∈Jk \in Jk∈J. She receives 000 if J=∅J = \emptysetJ=∅, and otherwise

∑k∈Ju(ak,dk)−C(∑k∈Jak),\sum_{k\in J} u(a_k, d_k) - C\Big(\sum_{k\in J} a_k\Big),k∈J∑​u(ak​,dk​)−C(k∈J∑​ak​),

subject to the attention cap ∑k∈Jak≤A‾\sum_{k\in J} a_k \le \overline{A}∑k∈J​ak​≤A, where A‾∈R+∪{∞}\overline{A} \in \mathbb{R}_+ \cup \{\infty\}A∈R+​∪{∞}. Platform kkk earns the attention aka_kak​ if the consumer joins it and 000 otherwise.

The service utility u(a,d)u(a, d)u(a,d) is twice differentiable, strictly increasing and concave in attention aaa, and strictly decreasing in ddd. The marginal utility u1(a,d)=∂u/∂au_1(a, d) = \partial u/\partial au1​(a,d)=∂u/∂a is strictly increasing in ddd, so a more addictive service is worse to join but harder to stop using. There is some ddd at which no amount of attention makes the service worth joining, and u(0,0)≥0u(0,0) \ge 0u(0,0)≥0. The attention cost C:R+→R+C : \mathbb{R}_+ \to \mathbb{R}_+C:R+​→R+​ is strictly increasing, convex and twice differentiable, with lim⁡a→0[u1(a,0)−C′(a)]>0\lim_{a\to0}[u_1(a,0) - C'(a)] > 0lima→0​[u1​(a,0)−C′(a)]>0. These are Assumptions 1 and 2 of the paper.

Platforms choose addictiveness simultaneously, and then the consumer chooses JJJ and aaa. The solution concept is pure-strategy subgame perfect equilibrium: the consumer chooses optimally at every profile ddd, and no platform gains by changing its own dkd_kdk​. A monopolist (K=1K = 1K=1) breaks ties in the consumer's favour. Consumer surplus is the consumer's payoff in the equilibrium outcome.

The monopoly benchmark uses three quantities. The first is A(d)=arg⁡max⁡A≥0u(A,d)−C(A)A(d) = \arg\max_{A\ge0} u(A,d) - C(A)A(d)=argmaxA≥0​u(A,d)−C(A), the consumer's attention on one platform when there is no cap. The second is dA(A‾)=min⁡{d∈[0,∞]:A(d)≥A‾}d^A(\overline{A}) = \min\{d \in [0,\infty] : A(d) \ge \overline{A}\}dA(A)=min{d∈[0,∞]:A(d)≥A}, the lowest addictiveness at which she exhausts her attention. The third is dP(A‾)d^P(\overline{A})dP(A), the addictiveness at which her best capped payoff from one platform falls to zero. Under competition, AK(d)=arg⁡max⁡A∈[0,A‾]K u(A/K,d)−C(A)A_K(d) = \arg\max_{A\in[0,\overline{A}]} K\,u(A/K, d) - C(A)AK​(d)=argmaxA∈[0,A]​Ku(A/K,d)−C(A) is the total attention she spends on KKK platforms of common addictiveness ddd.

Formalization targets

Goal: Proposition 3 (monopoly versus duopoly)

Let A‾M\overline{A}^MAM be the least cap from which on monopoly consumer surplus is zero. For every monopoly equilibrium with addictiveness dMd^MdM and every duopoly equilibrium with (d1,d2)(d_1, d_2)(d1​,d2​):

0<A‾≤A(0)  ⟹  dM<d1, dM<d2, CSduo<CSmono,0 < \overline{A} \le A(0) \;\Longrightarrow\; d^M < d_1,\ d^M < d_2,\ CS^{\mathrm{duo}} < CS^{\mathrm{mono}},0<A≤A(0)⟹dM<d1​, dM<d2​, CSduo<CSmono, A‾≥A‾M  ⟹  d1≤dM, d2≤dM, CSmono≤CSduo.\overline{A} \ge \overline{A}^M \;\Longrightarrow\; d_1 \le d^M,\ d_2 \le d^M,\ CS^{\mathrm{mono}} \le CS^{\mathrm{duo}}.A≥AM⟹d1​≤dM, d2​≤dM, CSmono≤CSduo.

The proposition is silent about intermediate caps, and so is the goal.

Milestones

  1. Proposition 1 (monopoly). The monopolist sets min⁡{dA(A‾),dP(A‾)}\min\{d^A(\overline{A}), d^P(\overline{A})\}min{dA(A),dP(A)}, which is increasing in A‾\overline{A}A. The consumer's payoff rises on [0,A(0)][0, A(0)][0,A(0)], falls on [A(0),A‾M][A(0), \overline{A}^M][A(0),AM] and is zero from some A‾M>A(0)\overline{A}^M > A(0)AM>A(0) on.
  2. Lemmas B.1–B.4. These are comparative statics of the consumer's problem: the tangent intercept u(x)−xu′(x)u(x) - xu'(x)u(x)−xu′(x) is increasing, the value of spreading attention over yyy platforms is concave in yyy, and the incremental gain from one more platform falls with the addictiveness and the number of the platforms already joined.
  3. Step 1 of the proof of Proposition 2. For K≥2K \ge 2K≥2 there is a unique d∗>0d^* > 0d∗>0 solving the indifference condition (3) between joining KKK and K−1K - 1K−1 platforms.
  4. Proposition 2 (competition). For K≥2K \ge 2K≥2, every platform chooses d∗d^*d∗ in the unique equilibrium.

Significance

Proposition 3 separates two effects of competition. Business stealing pushes duopolists to raise addictiveness, because a more addictive service captures a larger share of a fixed attention budget. Competition for participation restrains them, because a consumer can drop a platform and spend her time on its rival. When attention is scarce the first effect dominates and the consumer is strictly worse off under duopoly. When it is abundant the monopolist extracts the whole surplus and duopoly cannot be worse. The result is the basis of the paper's policy discussion: digital curfews and the comparison between the equilibrium and the joint-profit outcome (Propositions 4 and 6). Propositions 1 and 2 are used throughout the paper.

The paper proves these results on paper. No machine-checked proof exists. A formal proof would check several delicate points. One is the role of the monopolist's tie-break, without which every d∈[0,dP]d \in [0, d^P]d∈[0,dP] is a monopoly equilibrium when attention is scarce. Another is that the uniqueness argument for the duopoly needs a consumer who best-responds off the equilibrium path. The appendix also asserts a few claims without argument or slightly too strongly, recorded below. Verifying them is part of the work.

Difficulty

The obvious argument for Proposition 3 compares equilibrium payoffs through the closed forms of Figure 3, and closed forms do not exist in general. Every object is defined by an optimization problem whose maximizer has no formula. The value functions are concave but need not be differentiable, so the envelope-theorem steps of Appendix B cannot be applied as written; they have to be replaced by monotone comparative statics or one-sided derivatives. Proposition 2's uniqueness is the hardest part. It rules out asymmetric equilibria by a deviation argument that controls which platforms the consumer joins after a small change in one platform's addictiveness (Lemma B.4). It also needs the consumer's whole strategy, not only her choice on the path.

Formalization scope

Platforms are Fin K; the paper's platform 1 is the index 0. Addictiveness and attention are real numbers restricted to [0,∞)[0,\infty)[0,∞), and only the values of uuu and CCC there matter. The cap A‾\overline{A}A is an extended nonnegative real (ℝ≥0∞), so A‾=∞\overline{A} = \inftyA=∞ is a genuine case and "A‾≥A‾M\overline{A} \ge \overline{A}^MA≥AM" includes it. Derivatives on [0,∞)[0,\infty)[0,∞) are one-sided at 000.

The definition file states the paper's Assumptions 1–2 as printed and adds disclosed pins:

  • u(⋅,d)u(\cdot, d)u(⋅,d) is strictly concave. The page says "concave", but Lemma B.1 needs strict concavity and Lemma B.2 applies Lemma B.1 to u(⋅,d)u(\cdot,d)u(⋅,d).
  • C(0)=0C(0) = 0C(0)=0. Without it dPd^PdP need not exist.
  • The uncapped consumer problem has an optimal attention profile for every profile and every nonempty JJJ. The page (p. 6) assumes this for A‾=∞\overline{A} = \inftyA=∞, and A(d)A(d)A(d) presupposes it.
  • A‾>0\overline{A} > 0A>0 where the result needs it: Proposition 1's characterization, Step 1, Proposition 2 and the first half of Proposition 3. At A‾=0\overline{A} = 0A=0 every profile is an equilibrium.

"Increasing" and "decreasing" are weak unless the page says "strictly". The one exception is "higher addictiveness" in the first half of Proposition 3, which is stated strictly because the proof gives dM=0<d∗d^M = 0 < d^*dM=0<d∗.

Three statements differ from the printed text. Lemma B.2's "V∗V^*V∗ is strictly concave" is false on the paper's own Figure 3 instance and is stated as concavity. The strict clause of Lemma B.4 fails when CCC is linear and is not posed. The derivative claims of Lemmas B.2–B.4 are stated as decreasing differences of value functions.

Several trivializing formalizations are excluded:

  • An equilibrium requires the consumer to best-respond at every profile, not only at the equilibrium one.
  • The tie-break is part of the monopoly equilibrium.
  • Equilibria exist (Propositions 1 and 2 assert existence), and a sanity file checks the standing hypotheses on u(a,d)=1−e−(a−d)u(a,d) = 1 - e^{-(a-d)}u(a,d)=1−e−(a−d), C(a)=a/2C(a) = a/2C(a)=a/2.
  • No value function is a real supremum; maxima enter through maximizers.

Not posed: Proposition 4 and later results, and the side models of Remarks 2–3. A complete development needs maximizers of concave problems on intervals and simplices, monotone comparative statics (Topkis, Milgrom–Shannon), and envelope arguments for concave value functions. These pieces are reusable well beyond this paper, and contributions of them as separate lemmas are welcome.

Selected references

  • S. Ichihashi and B.-C. Kim, Addictive Platforms, Bank of Canada Staff Working Paper 2022-16, 2022. https://doi.org/10.34989/swp-2022-16. Published in Management Science, 2023. https://doi.org/10.1287/mnsc.2022.4392
  • P. Milgrom and I. Segal, Envelope Theorems for Arbitrary Choice Sets, Econometrica 70(2), 583–601, 2002. https://doi.org/10.1111/1468-0262.00296
  • P. Milgrom and C. Shannon, Monotone Comparative Statics, Econometrica 62(1), 157–180, 1994. https://doi.org/10.2307/2951479
  • J. Crémer, Y.-A. de Montjoye and H. Schweitzer, Competition Policy for the Digital Era, report for the European Commission, 2019. https://doi.org/10.2763/407537
9 thms1 active userReviewed
EconomicsOperations Research·Captain: mikedeng1

A Theory of Liquidity in Private Equity II: With a Secondary Market, Liquid LPs Stay Out of the Primary Market Below a Threshold and Their Capital Share Pins Down the Discount to NAVResearch Paper

Motivation

Private equity funds ask investors to commit capital before the timing of their own cash needs is known. If an investor needs liquidity before the fund pays out, selling a partnership claim can be more useful than holding it to maturity. The price at which such claims trade therefore affects both the return investors demand when a fund is raised and the way fund managers schedule capital calls. Maurin, Robinson, and Strömberg study these two markets together in A Theory of Liquidity in Private Equity. The mission follows the authors’ December 2020 working-paper draft, whose Proposition 3 characterizes equilibrium when L-fund claims can trade in a secondary market.

Setting

A unit mass of general partners (GPs) each has wealth AAA and raises one fund of size I>AI>AI>A. The fund makes two independent investments. A share xxx is invested at the first date and 1−x1-x1−x at the second. Each unit succeeds with probability ppp if the GP works, pays RRR when successful, and otherwise pays zero. Shirking lowers the success probability to q<pq<pq<p but gives the GP a private benefit BBB per unit. A contract assigns the GP a fee to each pair of success outcomes. The fee is subject to limited liability and must give the GP enough incentive to work on both investments. The GP chooses the fee, xxx, and III to maximize expected fee income, while meeting the investors’ promised return and the constraint that they will honor the second capital call.

The limited partners (LPs) have total capital KKK. A fraction μH\mu_HμH​ belongs to type H and the rest to type L. With probability λ\lambdaλ, a common liquidity shock makes period-two proceeds less useful at period one. Type iii values a unit of those later proceeds at δi\delta_iδi​, with 0<δL<δH<10<\delta_L<\delta_H<10<δL​<δH​<1. Type H is therefore more willing to hold an illiquid claim. Each LP chooses whether to supply capital to a primary fund or keep cash, and a cash holder may buy fund claims after the shock.

The secondary market has one actively traded asset: an L-fund claim. Its price is PLP_LPL​ and its promised expected payoff is RˉPE,L\bar R_{PE,L}RˉPE,L​. L-LPs supply claims when the price reaches their reservation value δLRˉPE,L\delta_L\bar R_{PE,L}δL​RˉPE,L​. H-LPs buy them when the price is at most δHRˉPE,L\delta_H\bar R_{PE,L}δH​RˉPE,L​, using capital left after any primary H-fund commitment. The discount to net asset value is

DL=1−PLRˉPE,L.D_L=1-\frac{P_L}{\bar R_{PE,L}}.DL​=1−RˉPE,L​PL​​.

An equilibrium specifies both funds’ contracts and promised returns, the fractions of GPs raising each fund type, primary capital supply, and secondary claims sold and bought. Contracts must be globally optimal among feasible contracts at their quoted returns, and both markets must clear.

Formalization targets

Return gap and market clearing

At a discount DL∈[1−δH,1−δL]D_L\in[1-\delta_H,1-\delta_L]DL​∈[1−δH​,1−δL​], the minimum returns acceptable to L- and H-LPs are described by (C.5) and (C.6). Lemma 3 asserts that the gap between the H and L minimum returns grows strictly with the discount. The gap is zero at DL=1−δHD_L=1-\delta_HDL​=1−δH​ and positive above it. For interior discounts, the secondary clearing equation is

(IL−A)PL=μHK.(I_L-A)P_L=\mu_H K.(IL​−A)PL​=μH​K.

These statements are milestones because they give solvers the return comparison and the equation that determines price when all claims sell.

Proposition 3: secondary-market equilibrium

Under the paper’s Assumptions 1–3 and 5–7, together with the capacity condition described below, the goal is a set of ordered capital-share thresholds

0<μH,1<μH,2<μH,3<μˉH.0<\mu_{H,1}<\mu_{H,2}<\mu_{H,3}<\bar\mu_H.0<μH,1​<μH,2​<μH,3​<μˉ​H​.

An equilibrium exists for every μH∈(0,1)\mu_H\in(0,1)μH​∈(0,1). H-funds are raised only at or above μH,3\mu_{H,3}μH,3​; if both fund types are raised, their promised returns agree. At or below μH,3\mu_{H,3}μH,3​, only L-funds are raised and their promised return is 1/(1−λDL)1/(1-\lambda D_L)1/(1−λDL​). Equation (22) gives DL=1−δLD_L=1-\delta_LDL​=1−δL​ below μH,1\mu_{H,1}μH,1​, a capital-clearing ratio between μH,1\mu_{H,1}μH,1​ and μH,3\mu_{H,3}μH,3​, and DL=1−δHD_L=1-\delta_HDL​=1−δH​ at the third threshold. It also describes the early capital call: the lower boundary x^(λ,δL)\hat x(\lambda,\delta_L)x^(λ,δL​) at small H capital shares, the binding no-default call in the middle, and an interval of undistorted optimal calls near the third threshold.

Significance

The result explains why more liquid investors may prefer to provide liquidity in the resale market instead of financing funds directly. It ties the observed secondary-market discount to the amount of H capital available to buy claims and identifies the ranges where that discount changes the GP’s early capital call. Without the return and clearing conditions, the discount would be an exogenous price rather than an equilibrium object.

The cited paper proves this characterization in its economic model; this mission asks for machine-checked proofs of the formal statements. The resulting definitions cover incentive-compatible partnership contracts, primary capital supply, and the secondary claims market. They can also support later formal work on the welfare comparison in Corollary 2. None of the goal or milestone statements is claimed to have a machine-checked proof here.

Difficulty

There are two linked optimization problems. A GP chooses a fee and an early call under incentive, limited-liability, and no-default constraints. LPs then compare the value of primary investment with cash that can be used to buy claims after the shock. Solving only the contract problem does not determine the secondary price: that price changes the LPs’ outside option and the no-default constraint at the same time. The return comparison in Lemma 3 and the capacity available to each LP type are central to ruling out an apparently attractive H-fund equilibrium.

Formalization scope

Lean represents amounts, probabilities, prices, and returns by real numbers. Fee schedules are functions on the four ordered pairs of investment outcomes; the source indexes them by cash flow, so two equal-cash-flow outcomes at x=1/2x=1/2x=1/2 are formally distinct. Fund size satisfies the multiplied identity (pR−fˉ)I=Rˉ(I−A)(pR-\bar f)I=\bar R(I-A)(pR−fˉ​)I=Rˉ(I−A) and I>AI>AI>A, avoiding a meaningless value from division by zero. An optimal contract is compared with every feasible contract at the same promised return. The secondary value of cash uses the two positive prices, and the discount is defined only from a positive L return.

The standing parameters impose q>0q>0q>0, p≤1p\leq1p≤1, strict Assumption 5 at δL\delta_LδL​, and B≤p(p−q)RB\leq p(p-q)RB≤p(p−q)R so a fee with the required incentives can satisfy limited liability. The equilibrium also specifies nonnegative GP fractions summing to one. A raised fund must maximize GP profit; at a profit tie either fund may be selected. The printed supply and demand schedules are extended by zero outside their quoted reservation-price range. These choices fix cases left implicit by the paper.

The goal adds a sufficient L-capital condition: at μH,3\mu_{H,3}μH,3​, L-LP capital covers the maximum primary external-financing need. The printed Proposition 3 lacks this condition. Its Step 1 assumes L-LP participation binds, yet Assumption 3 bounds only total KKK; for permitted smaller KKK, L-LPs can be scarce and the printed return formula fails. The added condition is explicit in the goal rather than hidden in the equilibrium definition. Assumption 7 is also a goal hypothesis, since it is specific to the no-segmentation result.

Assumption 4’s capital-call relief argument, Appendix A’s alternative contracts, the option for no GP fund, and the dynamic interpretation in Section 5.2 are outside this mission. The no-default constraint of (4) is imposed directly. A proof must establish equilibrium existence as well as properties of all equilibria, so a vacuous equilibrium predicate cannot meet the target. Contributions to the contract, return-gap, and clearing milestones are welcome.

Selected references

  • Vincent Maurin, David T. Robinson, and Per Strömberg, A Theory of Liquidity in Private Equity, Management Science, 2023. DOI: 10.1287/mnsc.2022.4612. The formal statements use the authors’ December 2020 working-paper draft, especially §§3–4, §6, and Appendix C.5–C.6.
9 thms1 active userReviewed
Algorithmic Game TheoryEconomicsOperations Research·Captain: mikedeng1

Precommitments in Two-Sided Market Competition 2: Commission Precommitment Beats No Commitment When γ ≥ β or γ ≪ β, and Loses to It When γ Is Just Below βResearch Paper

Motivation

Many service platforms set a price paid by customers and a wage paid to the providers who serve them. A platform may instead announce how much of each transaction's price it will pass to providers, then choose prices after both platforms have announced their shares. These are different games: a price change in the second game changes both customer demand and provider pay. Hu and Liu's study of precommitments in two-sided competition asks which timing gives platforms a more favorable equilibrium. This mission isolates their comparison between a commission precommitment and no commitment, Proposition 3(b) of the submitted manuscript. The authors' Online Appendix, included in that manuscript, contains the proofs.

The comparison is useful where a platform must choose a contract with providers before it can adjust customer prices. It is not enough to know that either side of the market is competitive: the answer changes as demand-side and supply-side competition intensities move relative to each other. The mission makes the claimed parameter regions precise and ties them to equilibria of the two games.

Setting

There are two platforms, indexed by i=1,2i=1,2i=1,2, with rival j≠ij\ne ij=i. Platform iii posts a consumer price pip_ipi​ and a provider wage wiw_iwi​. Fix a potential market size Ω>0\Omega>0Ω>0. The demand substitution factor γ∈[0,1)\gamma\in[0,1)γ∈[0,1) measures how a rival's price raises demand for platform iii. The supply substitution factor β∈[0,1)\beta\in[0,1)β∈[0,1) measures how a rival's wage draws providers away. The paper uses the positive part [x]+=max⁡{x,0}[x]^+=\max\{x,0\}[x]+=max{x,0}:

di(p)=[Ω−pi+γpj]+,si(w)=[wi−βwj]+.d_i(p)=[\Omega-p_i+\gamma p_j]^+,\qquad s_i(w)=[w_i-\beta w_j]^+.di​(p)=[Ω−pi​+γpj​]+,si​(w)=[wi​−βwj​]+.

The number of completed matches is zi=min⁡{di(p),si(w)}z_i=\min\{d_i(p),s_i(w)\}zi​=min{di​(p),si​(w)}. Profit is πi=(pi−wi)zi\pi_i=(p_i-w_i)z_iπi​=(pi​−wi​)zi​. Unmatched consumers or providers generate no revenue. Keeping the positive parts matters when a platform chooses a price or wage that leaves one side of the market empty.

In mode P, both platforms choose their prices and wages simultaneously, and each can change its own price and wage together while its rival's choices stay fixed. In mode C, each platform first commits to a pay-out ratio αi∈(0,1)\alpha_i\in(0,1)αi​∈(0,1). The provider then receives wi=αipiw_i=\alpha_i p_iwi​=αi​pi​ per match and the platform keeps 1−αi1-\alpha_i1−αi​ of its price. After observing both ratios, the platforms choose prices. Their profit in this second stage is

πi(α,p)=(1−αi)pimin⁡{di(p),si(αp)}.\pi_i(\alpha,p)=(1-\alpha_i)p_i\min\{d_i(p),s_i(\alpha p)\}.πi​(α,p)=(1−αi​)pi​min{di​(p),si​(αp)}.

A subgame-perfect equilibrium in mode C specifies a price equilibrium after every admissible pair of ratios and an initial pair of ratios that resists unilateral deviation when prices are chosen again. The mission compares symmetric commission equilibria to the positive-profit equilibrium of mode P. In the paper's platform preference ranking, X⪰YX\succeq YX⪰Y means that mode XXX gives each platform a weakly higher price and profit, and a weakly lower wage and matching quantity, than mode YYY.

Formalization targets

No commitment and commission outcomes

Lemma 1 gives the simultaneous price-and-wage outcome. Writing D=4−3β−3γ+2βγD=4-3\beta-3\gamma+2\beta\gammaD=4−3β−3γ+2βγ, its price, wage, matching quantity, and profit are

pP∗=3−2βDΩ,wP∗=ΩD,zP∗=1−βDΩ,πP∗=2(1−β)2D2Ω2.p_P^*=\frac{3-2\beta}{D}\Omega,\quad w_P^*=\frac{\Omega}{D},\quad z_P^*=\frac{1-\beta}{D}\Omega,\quad \pi_P^*=\frac{2(1-\beta)^2}{D^2}\Omega^2.pP∗​=D3−2β​Ω,wP∗​=DΩ​,zP∗​=D1−β​Ω,πP∗​=D22(1−β)2​Ω2.

Lemma F.2 says that second-stage commission prices equate demand and supply. Lemma 4 characterizes the symmetric commission equilibrium by the radical α∗\alpha^*α∗ in equation (7), its price pC∗=Ω/[1−γ+(1−β)α∗]p_C^*=\Omega/[1-\gamma+(1-\beta)\alpha^*]pC∗​=Ω/[1−γ+(1−β)α∗], and its profit in equation (9). These are the three milestones. The radical is transcribed exactly in the Lean definition associated with equation (7).

Proposition 3(b)

The goal compares the two equilibrium outcomes using all four components of the platform preference ranking:

γ≥β ⟹ C⪰P;γ≪β ⟹ C⪰P;γ≤β and sufficiently close to β ⟹ P⪰C.\gamma\geq\beta\ \Longrightarrow\ C\succeq P;\qquad \gamma\ll\beta\ \Longrightarrow\ C\succeq P;\qquad \gamma\leq\beta\text{ and sufficiently close to }\beta\ \Longrightarrow\ P\succeq C.γ≥β ⟹ C⪰P;γ≪β ⟹ C⪰P;γ≤β and sufficiently close to β ⟹ P⪰C.

The two informal proximity phrases are expressed by the existence of positive thresholds, with the threshold allowed to depend on β\betaβ. At γ=β\gamma=\betaγ=β, both rankings can hold because the outcomes coincide. The goal also asserts that the equilibria being compared exist for every admissible parameter pair.

Significance

The result identifies when committing to a provider share yields a platform outcome that is preferable to choosing price and wage together. Its four-way comparison is stronger than a profit-only ranking: the associated prices, wages, and match counts all move in specified directions. It makes clear that the relative competition intensities on the two sides determine whether the timing of the provider contract helps or hurts platforms. Without the comparison, the closed-form equilibrium results for modes P and C would not say which contract timing platforms prefer.

The result is proved in the cited manuscript, with derivations in Online Appendix §F; it is not an open mathematical conjecture. The remaining work in this mission is a machine-checked Lean proof of the equilibrium statements and the parameter-region comparison. The development will also provide a reusable formal model of simultaneous and two-stage decisions in a two-sided market. No existing machine-checked proof of this particular comparison is identified in the local Prove2Me index.

Difficulty

A change in a commission ratio changes the wage at any given price, while the subsequent price decision changes both demand and the wage again. That coupling makes the comparison more delicate than ordering two prices by inspection. The commission equilibrium ratio contains a square root, and the ranking must establish the directions of four outcome quantities in several parameter regions. The apparent shortcut of comparing profits alone would leave three of Definition 1's required inequalities unresolved. The positive-part demand and supply functions also admit zero-match equilibria that complicate an unqualified uniqueness statement.

Formalization scope

The Lean development uses real-valued prices and wages, two platforms indexed by Fin 2, and all unilateral deviations in the stated strategy sets. Market size is positive, both substitution factors lie in [0,1)[0,1)[0,1), and pay-out ratios lie in (0,1)(0,1)(0,1). The paper does not spell out the strategy sets; these choices preserve the derivations in §3 and Appendix §F. The no-commitment uniqueness statement is restricted to equilibria where both platforms profit, because the literal unrestricted claim has zero-profit counterexamples. A second-stage strategy in mode C selects an equilibrium with positive profits for both platforms whenever one exists. This condition prevents off-path zero-profit punishments from making the printed symmetric SPE claim false.

The goal quantifies over equilibria derived from the demand, supply, match, and profit functions. It does not define an outcome to equal the paper's closed form, and it asserts equilibrium existence so that its universal comparisons have content. The radical for α∗\alpha^*α∗ is a named expression; Lemma 4, rather than its definition, establishes its equilibrium role. A full proof needs reasoning about unilateral deviations, positive-part functions, equilibrium existence and uniqueness, the radical expression, and real inequalities. The general Nash condition and the paper's market primitives are intended for reuse in other two-player platform games. Contributions addressing these foundations and any of the three cited milestones are within scope. Wage- and price-precommitment modes are outside this mission.

Selected references

  • Ming Hu and Yan Liu, Precommitments in Two-Sided Market Competition, submitted manuscript with Online Appendix associated with the 2023 publication, SSRN 3734828. Manuscript.
  • Ming Hu and Yan Liu, Precommitments in Two-Sided Market Competition, Manufacturing & Service Operations Management 25(2), 704–718, 2023. DOI.
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EconomicsOperations Research·Captain: mikedeng1

Output-Oriented Agricultural Subsidy Design II: The Combined Subsidy Needs the Least Budget, and the Selective Subsidy Needs Less Than Either Single SubsidyResearch Paper

Why compare subsidy formats?

Governments sometimes pay crop producers to increase supply. A payment for each unit planted and a payment for each unit harvested create different incentives when farmers have different yields. An agency choosing among those formats needs to know how much it must spend to attain the same total output. Fan, Feng, Li, Shanthikumar, and Wu study that question in an agricultural Cournot market and compare four programs: planting-only, harvesting-only, combined, and selective subsidies. Their Proposition 10 orders the minimum budgets required by those programs, with the order of the two single subsidies changing at a specified output threshold. The source for this mission is the 2023-03-18 SSRN version of their paper; the proof is in Online Appendix A.

The comparison matters because the payment format changes both who receives money and how much each farmer produces. The government seeks a target output, while each farmer chooses output in response to the market price and the payment offered. A budget comparison therefore has to account for the farmers' equilibrium response, rather than compare payment rates alone. The paper's Section 5 and Proposition 10 give the target and the resulting ordering.

Market and government programs

There are N>0N>0N>0 farmers. Farmer jjj plants xj=zjqjx_j=z_jq_jxj​=zj​qj​ units of input to harvest qjq_jqj​ units of output, so zjz_jzj​ is an input-to-output ratio. The farmers are indexed in nondecreasing order of zjz_jzj​. Planting costs cPc_PcP​ per input unit and harvesting costs cHc_HcH​ per output unit. If total output is Q=∑jqjQ=\sum_jq_jQ=∑j​qj​, the market-clearing price is p(Q)=α−βQp(Q)=\alpha-\beta Qp(Q)=α−βQ, with α,β>0\alpha,\beta>0α,β>0. An output profile is a Cournot equilibrium when every qjq_jqj​ is nonnegative and no farmer can earn more by changing its own output while the other outputs stay fixed. These are the objects in the paper's Section 3 and equation (1).

A subsidy profile gives farmer jjj a payment tjt_jtj​ for each unit of output. Under a combined subsidy (sP,sH)(s_P,s_H)(sP​,sH​), tj=zjsP+sHt_j=z_js_P+s_Htj​=zj​sP​+sH​: the planting part pays for zjqjz_jq_jzj​qj​ units of input and the harvesting part pays for qjq_jqj​ units of output. Under a selective subsidy, the farmer chooses one payment, so tj=max⁡(zjsP,sH)t_j=\max(z_js_P,s_H)tj​=max(zj​sP​,sH​). Planting-only sets sH=0s_H=0sH​=0; harvesting-only sets sP=0s_P=0sP​=0. The model allows negative subsidy rates, which are taxes. When the two selective payments tie, either choice pays the same amount. These formats come from Sections 3, 4.1, and 4.2.

The government budget at equilibrium is ∑jtjqj\sum_jt_jq_j∑j​tj​qj​. A profile is feasible when every farmer produces a positive quantity and ∑jqj≥Qˉ\sum_jq_j\ge\bar Q∑j​qj​≥Qˉ​, where Qˉ\bar QQˉ​ is the target output. For each program, its optimum is the infimum of its feasible budgets. This matches the paper's requirement that output reach at least the target, and the all-active regime used for the comparisons. The average ratio and its variability are zˉ=N−1∑jzj\bar z=N^{-1}\sum_jz_jzˉ=N−1∑j​zj​ and vz=N−1∑jzj2−zˉ2v_z=N^{-1}\sum_jz_j^2-\bar z^2vz​=N−1∑j​zj2​−zˉ2. The paper introduces these statistics in Section 3.

Formalization targets

Write BC,BS,BP,BHB_C,B_S,B_P,B_HBC​,BS​,BP​,BH​ for the least feasible budgets under the combined, selective, planting-only, and harvesting-only programs. The goal is Proposition 10:

Qˉ≤QC(cP,0)⟹BC≤BS≤BP≤BH,\bar Q\le Q^C(c_P,0)\quad\Longrightarrow\quad B_C\le B_S\le B_P\le B_H,Qˉ​≤QC(cP​,0)⟹BC​≤BS​≤BP​≤BH​, Qˉ>QC(cP,0)⟹BC≤BS≤BH≤BP.\bar Q>Q^C(c_P,0)\quad\Longrightarrow\quad B_C\le B_S\le B_H\le B_P.Qˉ​>QC(cP​,0)⟹BC​≤BS​≤BH​≤BP​.

Here QC(cP,0)Q^C(c_P,0)QC(cP​,0) is the all-active expression for market output under a combined subsidy with planting rate cPc_PcP​ and harvesting rate zero, as given by equation (5). In addition, vz=0v_z=0vz​=0 implies BC=BS=BP=BHB_C=B_S=B_P=B_HBC​=BS​=BP​=BH​. The target exceeds the no-subsidy output, as required at the start of Section 5. All farmers are assumed to produce at the three closed-form designs of Proposition 8.

The milestones record the market quantities in Proposition 3, equations (2)–(6), the three minimizing designs of Proposition 8, and the single-subsidy budget difference in the proof of Proposition 10, Online Appendix A, page 13. A separate theorem item states the selective optimum's lower bound from the same proof.

What the result establishes

The ordering identifies a minimum-spending format for any target in the stated all-active regime. The combined program never requires a higher optimal budget than the other three, and the selective program never requires a higher optimal budget than either single subsidy. The threshold tells the government which single subsidy is cheaper. When farmer input-to-output ratios have zero variability, the choice among all four formats has no budget effect. These conclusions are the specific content of Proposition 10, rather than a claim about all policy objectives or about equilibria with inactive farmers.

The mathematical result is proved in the paper. This mission asks for a machine-checked proof of its stated all-active comparison. It also creates reusable Lean definitions for a finite Cournot equilibrium with affine inverse demand, per-farmer subsidy payments, and budget optimization over equilibrium-feasible profiles. The formalization has not yet proved the goal or milestones; each theorem is offered as a statement for solvers. The paper's proofs are in Online Appendix A of the SSRN version.

Where the formalization is difficult

The government controls subsidy rates, but feasibility and spending are determined after farmers respond. The four programs therefore have different sets of possible payment vectors, and the output constraint may be met by several profiles. Comparing one chosen profile from each program does not by itself establish a comparison of their minima. The selective program adds another difficulty: farmers can receive different types of payments within the same equilibrium. The proof of Proposition 10 records a separate budget inequality for that program.

Formalization scope

Farmers are represented by Fin N, with Lean index 000 corresponding to the paper's farmer 111. A generic Cournot game is a separate definition; the agricultural market supplies its unit costs. Equilibrium is a best-response predicate over nonnegative real outputs. Subsidies are per-output payment vectors, and the government budget is the finite sum of payment times output. The combined program contains all pairs (sP,sH)(s_P,s_H)(sP​,sH​); its definition does not fix the optimal planting rate cP/2c_P/2cP​/2. The output constraint is Q≥QˉQ\ge\bar QQ≥Qˉ​, exactly as printed in Section 5. Subsidy rates and costs have no added sign restrictions.

The formalization explicitly assumes N>0N>0N>0, α>0\alpha>0α>0, β>0\beta>0β>0, nondecreasing zjz_jzj​, and zj>0z_j>0zj​>0. The last condition states the physical meaning of an input-to-output ratio and is a disclosed addition. For Proposition 10, Qˉ\bar QQˉ​ is strictly above the no-subsidy output in the all-active regime, and the planting-only, harvesting-only, and combined designs of Proposition 8 each have an all-positive equilibrium. Every feasible budget set is restricted to all-active equilibria. This is the fixed-active-set reading of the paper's phrase “all farmers produce”; a variable-active-set version is outside this mission. The three design assumptions make the single-subsidy and combined feasible sets nonempty, and a single-subsidy profile also belongs to the selective program. The separate selective lower-bound theorem assumes that the paper's chosen optimal selective budget is attained. These conditions and the budget lower bounds ensure that real sInf represents a finite budget value.

The equilibrium formulas, optimality statements, and budget inequalities are proof obligations; none is built into the definitions. Contributions establishing those claims or reusable finite-game and finite-sum facts are in scope. Results on inactive farmers, random yields, or convex production costs are outside this mission.

Selected references

  • Fan, T., Q. Feng, Y. Li, J. G. Shanthikumar, and Y. Wu, Output-Oriented Agricultural Subsidy Design, forthcoming in Management Science, SSRN version dated March 18, 2023, SSRN 4378693, DOI 10.1287/mnsc.2023.4749.
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Algorithmic Game TheoryEconomicsOperations Research·Captain: mikedeng1

Precommitments in Two-Sided Market Competition 1: Committing to a Matching Capacity, Then Competing in Price and Wage, Yields the Quantity-Competition OutcomeResearch Paper

Motivation

A service platform makes decisions on two sides of a market. It charges consumers a price and pays independent providers a wage, then earns a margin only when it can match a consumer with a provider. Capacity is another decision available to the platform: it can limit how many matches it will carry, for example by limiting the active provider pool. Hu and Liu ask whether committing to this limit before setting price and wage changes the competitive outcome. Their submitted manuscript models this question for two competing platforms and states a two-sided counterpart of the quantity-precommitment result associated with Kreps and Scheinkman. The point matters for platform operations because a capacity decision can determine the price, wage, volume, and profit that emerge after both platforms react. Hu and Liu, submitted manuscript, §3.5.

Setting

There are two platforms, indexed by i∈{1,2}i\in\{1,2\}i∈{1,2}; jjj denotes the other platform. The potential market size is Ω>0\Omega>0Ω>0. Each platform posts a consumer price pi∈Rp_i\in\mathbb Rpi​∈R and a provider wage wi∈Rw_i\in\mathbb Rwi​∈R. Demand and supply are the positive parts

di(p)=[Ω−pi+γpj]+,si(w)=[wi−βwj]+,d_i(p)=[\Omega-p_i+\gamma p_j]^+, \qquad s_i(w)=[w_i-\beta w_j]^+,di​(p)=[Ω−pi​+γpj​]+,si​(w)=[wi​−βwj​]+,

where [x]+=max⁡{x,0}[x]^+=\max\{x,0\}[x]+=max{x,0}. The demand substitution factor γ\gammaγ and the supply substitution factor β\betaβ both lie in [0,1)[0,1)[0,1). Higher rival prices raise a platform's demand; higher rival wages reduce its supply. A platform can serve only the smaller of its demand and supply. Its profit without a capacity limit is the margin pi−wip_i-w_ipi​−wi​ times that number of matches. These are the manuscript's displays (1)–(3). Hu and Liu, submitted manuscript, pp. 8–9.

The first game is quantity competition. Each platform chooses a nonnegative matching quantity ziz_izi​. The prices and wages that clear demand and supply at those quantities are

pi(z)=(1+γ)Ω−zi−γzj1−γ2,wi(z)=zi+βzj1−β2.p_i(z)=\frac{(1+\gamma)\Omega-z_i-\gamma z_j}{1-\gamma^2}, \qquad w_i(z)=\frac{z_i+\beta z_j}{1-\beta^2}.pi​(z)=1−γ2(1+γ)Ω−zi​−γzj​​,wi​(z)=1−β2zi​+βzj​​.

A platform earns (pi(z)−wi(z))zi(p_i(z)-w_i(z))z_i(pi​(z)−wi​(z))zi​. A quantity Nash equilibrium is a nonnegative vector zzz at which neither platform can gain by choosing any other nonnegative quantity while the rival quantity stays fixed. The inverse price and wage appear in the proof of Lemma 6, where the profit function is written as (F.3). Hu and Liu, submitted manuscript, p. 14 and Online Appendix p. 32.

The second game is capacity precommitment. In stage one, each platform chooses a nonnegative capacity qiq_iqi​, the most matches it can make. In stage two, both platforms simultaneously choose prices and wages. Platform iii then serves mi=min⁡{di(p),si(w),qi}m_i=\min\{d_i(p),s_i(w),q_i\}mi​=min{di​(p),si​(w),qi​} matches and earns (pi−wi)mi(p_i-w_i)m_i(pi​−wi​)mi​. A second-stage Nash equilibrium lets a platform change its price and wage together. A subgame-perfect equilibrium specifies stage-two play after every admissible capacity vector and requires that no platform benefit from changing its stage-one capacity and then following the continuation for the changed vector. Hu and Liu, submitted manuscript, pp. 14–15 and Online Appendix §A.

Formalization targets

The goal is Proposition 1: capacity precommitment and quantity competition have the same equilibrium price, wage, matching quantity, and profit for each platform. Writing q,σq,\sigmaq,σ for a capacity profile and its continuation plan, and zzz for a quantity equilibrium, the target is

∀i∈{1,2},(pi(σ(q)),wi(σ(q)),mi(q,σ(q)),πi(q,σ(q)))=(pi(z),wi(z),zi,(pi(z)−wi(z))zi).\forall i\in\{1,2\},\qquad \bigl(p_i(\sigma(q)),w_i(\sigma(q)),m_i(q,\sigma(q)),\pi_i(q,\sigma(q))\bigr) = \bigl(p_i(z),w_i(z),z_i,(p_i(z)-w_i(z))z_i\bigr).∀i∈{1,2},(pi​(σ(q)),wi​(σ(q)),mi​(q,σ(q)),πi​(q,σ(q)))=(pi​(z),wi​(z),zi​,(pi​(z)−wi​(z))zi​).

The goal also asserts that an equilibrium of each game exists, so this comparison has actual outcomes to compare. Lemma 6 gives the unique quantity equilibrium and its closed forms. The subgame analysis in Online Appendix §A.1 gives a platform's best response to fixed rival price and wage. Lemma 7 states that demand and supply both equal committed capacity in the two-stage equilibrium. These three statements are the mission's milestones. Hu and Liu, submitted manuscript, pp. 14–15 and Online Appendix p. 1.

Significance

Proposition 1 supplies an operational interpretation of quantity competition in a market where each platform controls both consumer price and provider wage. A quantity outcome can arise through an earlier capacity choice followed by ordinary spot-market price and wage decisions. The conclusion covers four separate outcomes for each firm, so it supports comparisons of capacity policies in terms of what consumers pay, what providers receive, how many matches occur, and platform profit. The result is proved in the manuscript; its proofs are in Online Appendix §F of the same cited artifact. Hu and Liu, submitted manuscript, p. 15 and Online Appendix p. 33.

The formalization asks for machine-checked proofs of these known statements under explicit equilibrium conventions. It also creates reusable definitions for a two-sided market with positive-part demand and supply, a quantity game, and a two-stage capacity game. The paper's displayed formulas become auditable statements about every equilibrium of those games rather than numbers inserted into the definition of an outcome. No machine-checked proof of this specific proposition is asserted here.

Difficulty

The central issue is the full two-stage game. A stage-two platform changes price and wage jointly, and a stage-one capacity deviation leads to a new stage-two equilibrium. Checking a price deviation while holding wages fixed, or checking only capacities near a proposed equilibrium, does not establish the proposition. The positive parts in demand and supply also create zero-profit price-and-wage equilibria. Such equilibria can be used as off-path continuations and can change the set of stage-one equilibria. The formal target therefore selects positive profit for each platform whenever a subgame equilibrium permits it. The manuscript's Appendix §A distinguishes several regions of capacity profiles; this regime structure is part of the difficulty of proving a statement about all deviations. Hu and Liu, submitted manuscript, Online Appendix §§A.1–A.2.

Formalization scope

Lean uses Fin 2 for platforms and a named rival map. Prices and wages are real-valued. Capacities and chosen quantities are nonnegative reals. The standing parameters are Ω>0\Omega>0Ω>0 and 0≤β,γ<10\le\beta,\gamma<10≤β,γ<1; these ranges keep the market-clearing denominators 1−β21-\beta^21−β2 and 1−γ21-\gamma^21−γ2 nonzero. Demand and supply retain the manuscript's positive-part operation even when it is inactive at a positive equilibrium.

A continuation plan maps every capacity profile to a pair of price and wage profiles. At every nonnegative capacity profile it must choose a second-stage Nash equilibrium. For each platform, if that subgame has an equilibrium in which it earns positive profit, the chosen equilibrium must give it positive profit. This includes a subgame in which its rival committed zero capacity. This selection is an explicit addition to the printed equilibrium language, needed because the unqualified statement admits zero-profit off-path punishments. The stage-one Nash condition evaluates a capacity deviation using the continuation plan at the deviated capacity. The manuscript does not specify strategy sets; the stated real and nonnegative domains make them explicit. The goal ranges over equilibria rather than defining outcomes from Lemma 6's closed forms, and it asserts existence to prevent a vacuous comparison.

Contributions can establish the market-clearing identities, the quantity equilibrium and its uniqueness, joint price-and-wage best responses, the capacity-binding result, and the existence and outcome claims of Proposition 1. The generic two-player Nash predicate and the positive-part market model are reusable beyond this mission.

Selected references

  • Ming Hu and Yan Liu, Precommitments in Two-Sided Market Competition, submitted manuscript (SSRN 3734828; TSpace), published in Manufacturing & Service Operations Management 25(2), 2023, DOI 10.1287/msom.2022.1173. Mission statements follow the submitted manuscript and its Online Appendix, not the journal pagination.
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Algorithmic Game TheoryEconomicsOperations Research·Captain: mikedeng1

Quality Signaling Through Crowdfunding Pricing II: With Price Commitment and a Small Quality Gap, the Unique Refined Separating Equilibrium Lowers the Funding Price and Raises the Regular PriceResearch Paper

Motivation

In reward-based crowdfunding, a seller asks customers to pay before the product's quality is known to them. A high-quality seller can try to communicate private quality through the prices he posts. That signal is costly because a price that deters imitation may also reduce the seller's own expected revenue. Bolandifar, Chen, Kouvelis and Zhou study this tradeoff when a campaign must meet a financing target and a successful campaign leads to a later retail period (SSRN manuscript, §§3–5). Their model asks whether a high-quality seller can separate himself from a low-quality seller by committing in advance to both the crowdfunding price and the later retail price.

The manuscript treats price commitment separately from the case in which the seller chooses the retail price after the campaign. This mission concerns the commitment case, specifically Proposition 2 and the lemmas that support it. The theorem describes a separating equilibrium after applying the intuitive criterion: the high-quality seller chooses a lower crowdfunding price and a higher retail price than he would under full information. The cited artifact is the authors' SSRN manuscript dated 2022-05-30; its proofs are in Appendix A (manuscript, pp. 38–43).

Setting

There are two privately known product qualities, 0<qL<qH0<q_L<q_H0<qL​<qH​. A seller commits to a price pair x=(P1,P2)x=(P_1,P_2)x=(P1​,P2​), where P1P_1P1​ is paid by crowdfunding backers and P2P_2P2​ is charged in the regular selling period. The project needs a financing target T>0T>0T>0, so a feasible pair satisfies P1≥TP_1\ge TP1​≥T and P2>0P_2>0P2​>0. Both period market sizes are normalized to one; production and salvage costs are zero, and future revenue is not discounted (manuscript, pp. 9–13).

All funding customers have the same taste θc\theta_cθc​, uniformly distributed on [0,1][0,1][0,1] and unknown to the seller. They believe quality is qjq_jqj​ and back the campaign when θcqj≥P1\theta_c q_j\ge P_1θc​qj​≥P1​. Thus success has probability max⁡{0,1−P1/qj}\max\{0,1-P_1/q_j\}max{0,1−P1​/qj​}. After a successful campaign, true quality qiq_iqi​ becomes known. A fraction α∈(0,1)\alpha\in(0,1)α∈(0,1) of regular customers have the same taste as the funding customers; success updates their conditional taste distribution. The remaining fraction has independent uniform tastes. A customer in the regular period buys if taste times qiq_iqi​ is at least P2P_2P2​ (manuscript, pp. 10–11).

Write Πij(P1,P2)\Pi^{ij}(P_1,P_2)Πij(P1​,P2​) for the seller's expected total profit when true quality is qiq_iqi​ and customers believe qjq_jqj​. The expressions VijV^{ij}Vij and WijW^{ij}Wij distinguish the regions in which returning customers buy for sure or with a conditional probability. Write Πij∗\Pi^{ij*}Πij∗ for the maximum of Πij\Pi^{ij}Πij over feasible pairs. In particular, ΠL∗=ΠLL∗\Pi^{L*}=\Pi^{LL*}ΠL∗=ΠLL∗ is the low type's full-information payoff. These are outcomes of optimization, not inserted formulas (manuscript, pp. 22–24, (7)–(11)).

In a separating equilibrium, the two seller types choose different feasible pairs xHx_HxH​ and xLx_LxL​. Funding customers believe the product is high quality exactly at xHx_HxH​ and low quality at every other pair, including off-path pairs. Neither seller type can gain by deviating under those beliefs. The intuitive criterion then checks whether an off-path pair would be profitable to the high type if believed high while being unattractive to the low type (manuscript, pp. 13, 19).

Formalization targets

Lemma 4 identifies an attained full-information optimum for any choice of true and believed quality in {qL,qH}\{q_L,q_H\}{qL​,qH​}. Its crowdfunding price is

P1ij∗=max⁡{4qj−(1−α)qi8,T},P_1^{ij*}=\max\left\{\frac{4q_j-(1-\alpha)q_i}{8},T\right\},P1ij∗​=max{84qj​−(1−α)qi​​,T},

and its retail price follows the three cases of equation (11), depending on whether TTT lies below qj/2q_j/2qj​/2, between that threshold and qj/[2(1−α)]q_j/[2(1-\alpha)]qj​/[2(1−α)], or above the second threshold (manuscript, p. 23, Lemma 4).

The goal is Proposition 2 in the small-quality-gap regime qL<qH≤(α2+6α+25)qL/16q_L<q_H\le(\alpha^2+6\alpha+25)q_L/16qL​<qH​≤(α2+6α+25)qL​/16. Define (P˙1,P˙2)(\dot P_1,\dot P_2)(P˙1​,P˙2​) by its equations, requiring P˙2>qH/2\dot P_2>q_H/2P˙2​>qH​/2:

4P˙1+(1−α)P˙2=2qH,WLH(P˙1,P˙2)=ΠL∗.4\dot P_1+(1-\alpha)\dot P_2=2q_H,\qquad W^{LH}(\dot P_1,\dot P_2)=\Pi^{L*}.4P˙1​+(1−α)P˙2​=2qH​,WLH(P˙1​,P˙2​)=ΠL∗.

When T≤P˙1T\le\dot P_1T≤P˙1​, the goal states that the unique separating equilibrium surviving the intuitive criterion has xH=(P˙1,P˙2)x_H=(\dot P_1,\dot P_2)xH​=(P˙1​,P˙2​) and the low type at his full-information optimum. Relative to every full-information optimum (P1fH,P2fH)(P^H_{1f},P^H_{2f})(P1fH​,P2fH​) of the high type, it also states

P˙1<P1fH,P˙2>P2fH.\dot P_1<P^H_{1f},\qquad \dot P_2>P^H_{2f}.P˙1​<P1fH​,P˙2​>P2fH​.

The mission separately targets uniqueness of the dotted pair, the first claim of Lemma 6 concerning profitable imitation of the high type's full-information pair, and the constrained optimum in equations (A.13)–(A.14) (manuscript, pp. 26–27, 41).

Significance

The result identifies how a commitment to the later price changes the signal available during crowdfunding. The high type's retail price is raised while his crowdfunding price is lowered, so the signal is encoded in the pair, rather than in a single crowdfunding price. The theorem also determines which separating outcome survives a refinement intended to remove equilibria supported only by arbitrary off-path beliefs (manuscript, pp. 26–27).

The mathematical result is already proved in the manuscript. The remaining formalization work is to give the economic model an exact Lean meaning, prove the optimization and equilibrium assertions, and make the boundary conventions explicit. The five open Lean theorems in this proposal are statements to be proved; their sorry bodies are not machine-checked proofs.

Difficulty

The seller's payoff changes expression when the regular price crosses a threshold determined by the funding price and the two qualities. The low type can mimic a pair whose regular price exceeds qLq_LqL​, in which case regular sales vanish but the crowdfunding payoff can still rise. This makes a direct comparison of the printed WLHW^{LH}WLH expression with the actual mimicking payoff invalid outside its demand region. The intuitive criterion adds a second layer: it tests deviations under a different belief from the default off-path belief. These regime changes and belief-dependent deviations are the central obstacles to a concise, faithful Lean statement (manuscript, pp. 23, 26–27, 41–43).

Formalization scope

Lean represents qualities, prices, probabilities and payoffs as real numbers. Its parameter structure contains qL,qH,α,Tq_L,q_H,\alpha,TqL​,qH​,α,T, with 0<qL<qH0<q_L<q_H0<qL​<qH​, 0<α<10<\alpha<10<α<1 and T>0T>0T>0. The prior high-quality belief is omitted because the separating statements use beliefs fixed by the observed pair. Market sizes, zero costs, salvage value and discount rate are incorporated into the payoff. The funding success probability and purchase probabilities are clipped at zero outside their printed domains. The printed VijV^{ij}Vij and WijW^{ij}Wij remain available for the page 41 equations; WijW^{ij}Wij is only used away from its zero denominator. Suprema range over all feasible pairs P1≥TP_1\ge TP1​≥T, P2>0P_2>0P2​>0, and “optimal” means the displayed pair attains that supremum.

The manuscript's Proposition 2 needs the additional bound T≤(3+α)qL/8T\le(3+\alpha)q_L/8T≤(3+α)qL​/8. Without it, the low type's constrained full-information payoff can be too small and he can profitably mimic a dotted pair with P˙2>qL\dot P_2>q_LP˙2​>qL​; a numerical counterexample and the discrepancy are recorded in the local moderation notes. This proposal states that bound openly rather than treating the printed proposition as valid for all T≤P˙1T\le\dot P_1T≤P˙1​. Lemma 4 also records its displayed domain T≤qjT\le q_jT≤qj​. The goal does not define the optimum by a formula, the equilibrium by the paper's necessary conditions (13)–(14), or the dotted pair by an arbitrary choice.

The foundational setting is a reusable two-type, two-price payoff and equilibrium model. A complete development must establish the payoff's agreement with the manuscript's regions, attainment and comparison of the full-information optima, uniqueness of the dotted pair, optimization on the relevant iso-profit curve, and the no-deviation and intuitive-criterion conclusions. Contributions proving these targets or reusable real optimization lemmas are within scope.

Selected references

  • E. Bolandifar, Z. Chen, P. Kouvelis and W. Zhou, Quality Signaling through Crowdfunding Pricing, SSRN manuscript 3689946, 2022-05-30, SSRN. Published as Manufacturing & Service Operations Management, doi:10.1287/msom.2022.1177.
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Algorithmic Game TheoryOperations Research·Captain: mikedeng1

Competition and Collaboration on Fundraising for Short-Term Disaster Response: The Impact on Earmarking and Performance III: Partial-Collaboration Equilibria: KKT Utilities and Free-Riding EffortsResearch Paper

Motivation

After a sudden-onset disaster, humanitarian organizations (HOs) raise most of their response budget from private donors within days. Donors increasingly earmark their gifts, restricting them to a region, a program or a type of expense. Earmarking makes an appeal more attractive to a donor but lowers the share of each dollar that the HO can deploy immediately. Aflaki and Pedraza-Martinez (SSRN 3705595, published in Manufacturing & Service Operations Management, 2023, doi:10.1287/msom.2023.1202) model how HOs set earmarking and fundraising effort under three institutional arrangements: competition, full collaboration (a coalition that fundraises and decides as one), and partial collaboration, in which HOs pool the cost of reaching donors on a common platform while each donor still chooses which HO to give to. Joint appeals such as the UK's Disasters Emergency Committee are of the last kind.

This mission formalizes the paper's equilibrium result for partial collaboration (Proposition 4): equilibria exist, equilibrium earmarking is determined by first-order conditions that do not involve the efforts, and only the HOs with the largest required funding relative to their unit performance pay for the platform, while the others free-ride.

Setting

There are n≥1n \ge 1n≥1 HOs i∈I={1,…,n}i \in I = \{1, \dots, n\}i∈I={1,…,n}. HO iii chooses a base utility si∈[ai,bi]s_i \in [a_i, b_i]si​∈[ai​,bi​], the attractiveness to donors that its earmarking level induces, and an effort xi∈[0,1]x_i \in [0, 1]xi​∈[0,1], the fraction of donors it pays to contact, at cost Ci(xi)C_i(x_i)Ci​(xi​). Its unit performance δi(si)∈(0,1]\delta_i(s_i) \in (0, 1]δi​(si​)∈(0,1] is the fraction of each donated dollar usable now, and Bi>0B_i > 0Bi​>0 is its required funding. The mean donation is normalized to 111.

Pooled effort reaches xˉ=min⁡(∑i∈Ixi,1)\bar x = \min\left(\sum_{i \in I} x_i, 1\right)xˉ=min(∑i∈I​xi​,1) donors. A contacted donor gives to HO iii with the multinomial-logit probability

θip(s)=esi1+∑j∈Iesj,\theta^p_i(s) = \frac{e^{s_i}}{1 + \sum_{j \in I} e^{s_j}},θip​(s)=1+∑j∈I​esj​esi​​,

the 111 being the option of not donating, so HO iii expects donations xˉ θip(s)\bar x\,\theta^p_i(s)xˉθip​(s) and achieves total performance δi(si) xˉ θip(s)\delta_i(s_i)\,\bar x\,\theta^p_i(s)δi​(si​)xˉθip​(s), of which only min⁡(⋅,Bi)\min(\cdot, B_i)min(⋅,Bi​) is useful. HO iii is lexicographic (problem (10)): given the other HOs' strategies, it first minimizes its funding gap (Bi−δi(si)xˉθip(s))+\left(B_i - \delta_i(s_i)\bar x\theta^p_i(s)\right)^+(Bi​−δi​(si​)xˉθip​(s))+ over [ai,bi]×[0,1][a_i, b_i] \times [0,1][ai​,bi​]×[0,1]; among the gap minimizers it maximizes its utility min⁡(δi(si)xˉθip(s),Bi)−Ci(xi)\min\left(\delta_i(s_i)\bar x\theta^p_i(s), B_i\right) - C_i(x_i)min(δi​(si​)xˉθip​(s),Bi​)−Ci​(xi​); and an HO that is still indifferent picks a strategy maximizing its unconstrained total performance δi(si)xˉθip(s)\delta_i(s_i)\bar x\theta^p_i(s)δi​(si​)xˉθip​(s). A Nash equilibrium is a profile (s,x)(s, x)(s,x) in the product of the boxes at which every HO's strategy is such a best response. Finally,

αip(s)=min⁡(Biδi(si) θip(s),1)\alpha^p_i(s) = \min\left(\frac{B_i}{\delta_i(s_i)\,\theta^p_i(s)}, 1\right)αip​(s)=min(δi​(si​)θip​(s)Bi​​,1)

is the reach HO iii needs to close its own gap.

Formalization targets

Goal: Proposition 4

A pure Nash equilibrium exists. For every profile (s,x)(s, x)(s,x) in the box, labelled so that α1p(s)≥⋯≥αnp(s)\alpha^p_1(s) \ge \dots \ge \alpha^p_n(s)α1p​(s)≥⋯≥αnp​(s), with kˉ=#{i:αip(s)=α1p(s)}\bar k = \#\{i : \alpha^p_i(s) = \alpha^p_1(s)\}kˉ=#{i:αip​(s)=α1p​(s)}: (s,x)(s, x)(s,x) is an equilibrium if and only if (i) for every iii there are λi1p,λi2p≥0\lambda^p_{i1}, \lambda^p_{i2} \ge 0λi1p​,λi2p​≥0 with

δi′(si)δi(si)+∂θip(s)/∂siθip(s)+λi1p−λi2p=0,λi1p(ai−si)=0,λi2p(si−bi)=0,(11)\frac{\delta_i'(s_i)}{\delta_i(s_i)} + \frac{\partial \theta^p_i(s)/\partial s_i}{\theta^p_i(s)} + \lambda^p_{i1} - \lambda^p_{i2} = 0, \quad \lambda^p_{i1}(a_i - s_i) = 0, \quad \lambda^p_{i2}(s_i - b_i) = 0, \tag{11}δi​(si​)δi′​(si​)​+θip​(s)∂θip​(s)/∂si​​+λi1p​−λi2p​=0,λi1p​(ai​−si​)=0,λi2p​(si​−bi​)=0,(11)

and (ii) ∑i=1kˉxi=α1p(s)\sum_{i=1}^{\bar k} x_i = \alpha^p_1(s)∑i=1kˉ​xi​=α1p​(s) and xkˉ+1=⋯=xn=0x_{\bar k+1} = \dots = x_n = 0xkˉ+1​=⋯=xn​=0.

Milestones

  1. (S11): (s,x)(s, x)(s,x) is an equilibrium iff each sis_isi​ maximizes σ↦δi(σ)θip(σ,s−i)\sigma \mapsto \delta_i(\sigma)\theta^p_i(\sigma, s_{-i})σ↦δi​(σ)θip​(σ,s−i​) on [ai,bi][a_i, b_i][ai​,bi​] and xi=(αip(s)−∑j≠ixj)+x_i = \left(\alpha^p_i(s) - \sum_{j \ne i} x_j\right)^+xi​=(αip​(s)−∑j=i​xj​)+.
  2. Log-concavity: σ↦δi(σ)θip(σ,s−i)\sigma \mapsto \delta_i(\sigma)\theta^p_i(\sigma, s_{-i})σ↦δi​(σ)θip​(σ,s−i​) is log-concave on [ai,bi][a_i, b_i][ai​,bi​].
  3. Total effort: every solution of xi=(αi−∑j≠ixj)+x_i = (\alpha_i - \sum_{j \ne i} x_j)^+xi​=(αi​−∑j=i​xj​)+ with α\alphaα sorted decreasingly has ∑ixi≥α1\sum_i x_i \ge \alpha_1∑i​xi​≥α1​.
  4. Effort system: for 1≥α1≥⋯≥αn≥01 \ge \alpha_1 \ge \dots \ge \alpha_n \ge 01≥α1​≥⋯≥αn​≥0 and x∈[0,1]nx \in [0,1]^nx∈[0,1]n, that system holds iff ∑i≤kˉxi=α1\sum_{i \le \bar k} x_i = \alpha_1∑i≤kˉ​xi​=α1​ and xi=0x_i = 0xi​=0 for i>kˉi > \bar ki>kˉ.

Significance

The proposition separates the two decisions. Equilibrium earmarking solves each HO's own first-order condition (11) and does not depend on anyone's effort, because the pooled reach multiplies every HO's donations by the same factor. Equilibrium effort is a pure coordination outcome: the platform is funded exactly up to the largest required reach α1p\alpha^p_1α1p​, and only the HOs attaining it contribute. The paper uses these facts to compare earmarking and performance across the three arrangements (its Propositions 5 and 7), and the free-riding structure is what drives the comparison of partial collaboration with competition.

The result is proved in the paper's Online Supplement (pp. S13–S14). No machine-checked version exists. The mission asks for a Lean proof of the proposition as stated, with the equilibrium defined from the HOs' lexicographic problem rather than from its characterization; the effort-system milestones are self-contained statements about a piecewise-linear fixed-point system and are reusable for other pooled-contribution games.

Difficulty

The obvious argument, "each HO maximizes δiθip\delta_i\theta^p_iδi​θip​, and the rest is bookkeeping", skips the case analysis behind (S11). Whether HO iii's gap can be closed depends on the others' efforts. When the others' pooled effort already covers HO iii's requirement, HO iii's gap and utility no longer depend on its base utility. Only the third, tie-breaking level of the best response then pins sis_isi​ down, and without it (11) is false. The existence part needs a fixed point of the base-utility best-response map on ∏i[ai,bi]\prod_i [a_i, b_i]∏i​[ai​,bi​]; when HO iii's best response is not unique, that map is not even a function. In part (ii), the effort system xi=(αi−∑j≠ixj)+x_i = (\alpha_i - \sum_{j \ne i} x_j)^+xi​=(αi​−∑j=i​xj​)+ is not a contraction, and the paper's proof by successive elimination of indices is informal.

Formalization scope

HOs are Fin n with 0-based indices, so α1p\alpha^p_1α1p​ is the value at index 0, and [NeZero n] is assumed. Strategies are in base-utility coordinates: δi:R→R\delta_i : \mathbb R \to \mathbb Rδi​:R→R is a primitive function of sis_isi​, as in the paper's problem (10). The earmarking coordinates are not modelled. All definitions live in one Setting structure with a Standing predicate, which every theorem assumes:

  • ai≤bia_i \le b_iai​≤bi​ and Bi>0B_i > 0Bi​>0;
  • CiC_iCi​ is nonnegative and strictly increasing on [0,1][0,1][0,1];
  • on an open interval containing [ai,bi][a_i, b_i][ai​,bi​], δi\delta_iδi​ is positive, differentiable and concave;
  • δi≤1\delta_i \le 1δi​≤1 on [ai,bi][a_i, b_i][ai​,bi​].

Bi>0B_i > 0Bi​>0 is implicit in the paper; with all Bi=0B_i = 0Bi​=0 every base utility is an equilibrium strategy. Concavity of δi\delta_iδi​ is used by the paper's proof. The HO problem (10) is printed with decision (si,xˉ)(s_i, \bar x)(si​,xˉ) and cost Cp(xˉ)C^p(\bar x)Cp(xˉ). It is encoded with HO iii's own effort xix_ixi​ and own cost Ci(xi)C_i(x_i)Ci​(xi​), the reading used by the paper's proof and by part (ii). The paper's "without loss of generality" ordering is the hypothesis that αp(s)\alpha^p(s)αp(s) is antitone in the index, and kˉ\bar kkˉ is the number of entries tied with the first; this gives kˉ=n\bar k = nkˉ=n when all tie. Partial derivatives are Mathlib deriv of t↦θip(s with si:=t)t \mapsto \theta^p_i(s \text{ with } s_i := t)t↦θip​(s with si​:=t). Every function differentiated is differentiable at the point by Standing. The pure-algebra milestones 3–4 use no game objects.

The equilibrium must not be defined by (S11) or (11); that would make the goal a tautology. The Setting defines it as the three-level lexicographic best response over the full strategy box, and (S11) is a milestone to be proved. A sorry-free check that the standing hypotheses hold for the paper's numerical primitives (δi(s)=1−s/4\delta_i(s) = 1 - s/4δi​(s)=1−s/4, Ci(x)=x/10C_i(x) = x/10Ci​(x)=x/10, [ai,bi]=[0,1][a_i, b_i] = [0,1][ai​,bi​]=[0,1], B=(0.2,0.3)B = (0.2, 0.3)B=(0.2,0.3)) accompanies the draft.

A full development needs: KKT conditions for a differentiable concave function on a compact interval (including the degenerate interval ai=bia_i = b_iai​=bi​); log-concavity of the logistic share; a continuous-maximum (Berge-type) argument and Brouwer's fixed-point theorem on a product of intervals; and the algebra of the effort system. Contributions of the interval-KKT lemma and of the effort-system lemmas are welcome as separate theorems.

The source is the authors' SSRN version (abstract 3705595, dated December 2022); all proofs are in its Online Supplement, Section S3.

Selected references

  • A. Aflaki, A. J. Pedraza-Martinez, Competition and Collaboration on Fundraising for Short-Term Disaster Response: The Impact on Earmarking and Performance, SSRN 3705595, version of December 2022. https://ssrn.com/abstract=3705595
  • A. Aflaki, A. J. Pedraza-Martinez, same title, Manufacturing & Service Operations Management, 2023. https://doi.org/10.1287/msom.2023.1202
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Algorithmic Game TheoryOperations Research·Captain: mikedeng1

Competition and Collaboration on Fundraising for Short-Term Disaster Response: The Impact on Earmarking and Performance I: Existence and KKT Characterization of the Competition EquilibriumResearch Paper

Fundraising competition after a disaster

In the days after a sudden-onset disaster, several humanitarian organizations (HOs) appeal to the same pool of donors. Donors increasingly want to earmark their gifts (restrict them to a programme, region or item), and HOs can offer more or less of that control. Earmarked money is less useful in the response: renegotiating restrictions costs time and overhead, so each dollar delivers less immediate relief. HOs therefore face a trade-off between attracting donors and using donations well, and they face it while competing with each other for the same donors.

A. Aflaki and A. J. Pedraza-Martinez model this trade-off as a game among HOs whose donors choose by a multinomial logit (MNL) rule, and compare three regimes: competition, full collaboration and partial collaboration (SSRN 3705595, December 2022; published in Manufacturing & Service Operations Management, 2023, doi:10.1287/msom.2023.1202). This mission formalizes the equilibrium result for the competition regime, Proposition 1 of the paper. The source is the SSRN version dated December 2022; its proofs are in the bound-in Online Supplement (§S3).

The competition game

There are n≥1n \ge 1n≥1 HOs i∈I={1,…,n}i \in I = \{1, \dots, n\}i∈I={1,…,n}. HO iii chooses two numbers:

  • a base utility si∈[ai,bi]s_i \in [a_i, b_i]si​∈[ai​,bi​] that it offers donors (in the paper, a monotone reparametrization of its earmarking level, used from problem (6) on);
  • a fundraising effort xi∈[0,1]x_i \in [0,1]xi​∈[0,1], the fraction of donors it contacts, at cost Ci(xi)C_i(x_i)Ci​(xi​) with Ci:[0,1]→R+C_i : [0,1] \to \mathbb R_+Ci​:[0,1]→R+​ strictly increasing.

Each dollar HO iii receives produces δi(si)\delta_i(s_i)δi​(si​) dollars of immediate relief, the unit performance. HO iii needs Bi>0B_i > 0Bi​>0 dollars of effective funding. Donors have mean budget z>0z > 0z>0.

A donor contacted by the set JJJ of HOs gives HO i∈Ji \in Ji∈J the MNL share

θiJ(s)=esi1+∑j∈Jesj,(4)\theta^J_i(s) = \frac{e^{s_i}}{1 + \sum_{j\in J} e^{s_j}}, \tag{4}θiJ​(s)=1+∑j∈J​esj​esi​​,(4)

the 111 standing for not donating. Contacts are independent, so with wia=∏j≠ixjaj(1−xj)1−ajw^a_i = \prod_{j \ne i} x_j^{a_j}(1-x_j)^{1-a_j}wia​=∏j=i​xjaj​​(1−xj​)1−aj​ for a∈Ai={a∈{0,1}n:ai=1}a \in A_i = \{a \in \{0,1\}^n : a_i = 1\}a∈Ai​={a∈{0,1}n:ai​=1} and Ja={j:aj=1}J_a = \{j : a_j = 1\}Ja​={j:aj​=1}, HO iii's expected donations are

E[Di(s;x)]=z xi∑a∈Aiwia θiJa(s).(5)\mathbb E[D_i(s;x)] = z\, x_i \sum_{a\in A_i} w^a_i\, \theta^{J_a}_i(s). \tag{5}E[Di​(s;x)]=zxi​a∈Ai​∑​wia​θiJa​​(s).(5)

The unit performance per donor contacted is PPDi(s;x)=δi(si) z∑a∈Aiwia θiJa(s)PPD_i(s;x) = \delta_i(s_i)\, z \sum_{a\in A_i} w^a_i\, \theta^{J_a}_i(s)PPDi​(s;x)=δi​(si​)z∑a∈Ai​​wia​θiJa​​(s); it does not depend on xix_ixi​.

Each HO is lexicographic (problem (6)): given the others' strategies, it first minimizes its funding gap (Bi−δi(si)E[Di(s;x)])+(B_i - \delta_i(s_i)\mathbb E[D_i(s;x)])^+(Bi​−δi​(si​)E[Di​(s;x)])+ over [ai,bi]×[0,1][a_i,b_i]\times[0,1][ai​,bi​]×[0,1], and among the minimizers it maximizes

Ui(si,xi)=min⁡(δi(si)E[Di(s;x)], Bi)−Ci(xi).U_i(s_i,x_i) = \min\big(\delta_i(s_i)\mathbb E[D_i(s;x)],\, B_i\big) - C_i(x_i).Ui​(si​,xi​)=min(δi​(si​)E[Di​(s;x)],Bi​)−Ci​(xi​).

A Nash equilibrium is a profile (s;x)∈∏i[ai,bi]×[0,1]n(s;x) \in \prod_i [a_i,b_i]\times[0,1]^n(s;x)∈∏i​[ai​,bi​]×[0,1]n in which every HO's strategy solves its problem (6).

Assumption 1 (p. 16) asks that log⁡δi\log\delta_ilogδi​ be sufficiently concave: ∂2log⁡δi(si)/∂si2≤−14+esi/(1+esi)2\partial^2 \log\delta_i(s_i)/\partial s_i^2 \le -\tfrac14 + e^{s_i}/(1+e^{s_i})^2∂2logδi​(si​)/∂si2​≤−41​+esi​/(1+esi​)2 on [ai,bi][a_i,b_i][ai​,bi​].

Formalization targets

Goal: Proposition 1 (p. 16)

Under the standing hypotheses and Assumption 1, a Nash equilibrium exists, and a profile in the strategy box is an equilibrium if and only if for every iii

xi=min⁡(BiPPDi(s;x),1),δi′(si)δi(si)+∑a∈Aiwia ∂θiJa(s)/∂si∑a∈Aiwia θiJa(s)+λi1−λi2=0,x_i = \min\Big(\frac{B_i}{PPD_i(s;x)},1\Big),\qquad \frac{\delta_i'(s_i)}{\delta_i(s_i)} + \frac{\sum_{a\in A_i} w^a_i\,\partial\theta^{J_a}_i(s)/\partial s_i}{\sum_{a\in A_i} w^a_i\,\theta^{J_a}_i(s)} + \lambda_{i1}-\lambda_{i2} = 0,xi​=min(PPDi​(s;x)Bi​​,1),δi​(si​)δi′​(si​)​+∑a∈Ai​​wia​θiJa​​(s)∑a∈Ai​​wia​∂θiJa​​(s)/∂si​​+λi1​−λi2​=0,

with λi1,λi2≥0\lambda_{i1},\lambda_{i2}\ge 0λi1​,λi2​≥0, λi1(ai−si)=0\lambda_{i1}(a_i-s_i) = 0λi1​(ai​−si​)=0 and λi2(si−bi)=0\lambda_{i2}(s_i-b_i) = 0λi2​(si​−bi​)=0 (system (7)).

Milestones

  1. Lemma 2 (p. 15): E[Di]\mathbb E[D_i]E[Di​] is nondecreasing in xix_ixi​ and sis_isi​ and nonincreasing in xjx_jxj​, sjs_jsj​ for j≠ij\ne ij=i.
  2. Claim (S5) (p. S10): HO iii's strategy solves (6) iff sis_isi​ maximizes PPDiPPD_iPPDi​ over [ai,bi][a_i,b_i][ai​,bi​] and xi=min⁡(Bi/PPDi,1)x_i = \min(B_i/PPD_i,1)xi​=min(Bi​/PPDi​,1).
  3. (S8) (p. S12): ∂2log⁡[∑awiaθiJa(s)]/∂si2≤14−esi/(1+esi)2\partial^2 \log\big[\sum_{a} w^a_i\theta^{J_a}_i(s)\big]/\partial s_i^2 \le \tfrac14 - e^{s_i}/(1+e^{s_i})^2∂2log[∑a​wia​θiJa​​(s)]/∂si2​≤41​−esi​/(1+esi​)2 for efforts in [0,1][0,1][0,1].
  4. Log-concavity (p. S12): under Assumption 1, si↦PPDis_i \mapsto PPD_isi​↦PPDi​ is log-concave on [ai,bi][a_i,b_i][ai​,bi​].

Significance

Proposition 1 is the foundation of the paper's comparison of fundraising regimes: Propositions 2, 5, 6 and 7 compare equilibria characterized by (7) with the full- and partial-collaboration outcomes, and the numerical study of the Haiti response (§8) computes equilibria by solving (7). The proposition reduces a two-level game with a non-smooth objective to a per-HO KKT system plus a closed-form effort, and it shows that equilibrium earmarking balances the relative loss in unit performance against the relative gain in donor share.

The result is proved on paper, in the Online Supplement; no machine-checked version exists. Formalizing it would check the reduction from the lexicographic problem to (S5), which hinges on Bi>0B_i>0Bi​>0 and strictly increasing costs, and supply a sound proof of the bound (S8), whose printed derivation is loose (see below). The log-mixture-of-logit bound (S8) and the lexicographic best-response reduction are reusable for other MNL competition models.

Difficulty

The central difficulty is (S8). Each single share θiJ\theta^J_iθiJ​ is log-concave in sis_isi​, but a mixture of log-concave functions is not log-concave in general, so concavity of log⁡∑awaθJa\log\sum_a w^a\theta^{J_a}log∑a​waθJa​ fails and only the weaker, sis_isi​-dependent bound (S8) holds. The printed argument passes through a quasi-concavity step and a termwise inequality that do not combine as written; a correct argument must control the variance-like term of the mixture uniformly in the weights. Numerical tests on random instances support (S8).

Existence is a fixed-point argument, but Assumption 1 with "≤\le≤" yields only concavity, so best responses in sis_isi​ can be intervals rather than points, and a single-valued map need not exist. The correspondence is convex-valued, which is where the obvious Brouwer argument needs adjustment.

The reduction (S5) requires handling both regimes of the lexicographic problem: the gap can be closed (effort Bi/PPDiB_i/PPD_iBi​/PPDi​, minimal cost) or cannot (full effort).

Formalization scope

HOs are Fin n. The paper's sum over a∈Aia\in A_ia∈Ai​ is a sum over finite sets JJJ with i∈Ji\in Ji∈J; wiaw^a_iwia​ is the product of xjx_jxj​ over J∖{i}J\setminus\{i\}J∖{i} and of 1−xj1-x_j1−xj​ over j∉Jj\notin Jj∈/J. All statements live in base-utility coordinates: δi:R→R\delta_i:\mathbb R\to\mathbb Rδi​:R→R is a primitive function of sis_isi​ (earmarking eie_iei​ and the map si(ei,δi(ei))s_i(e_i,\delta_i(e_i))si​(ei​,δi​(ei​)) are not modelled), and expected donations are the formula (5) (Lemma 1's Gumbel derivation is not formalized).

The standing hypotheses, collected in one predicate, are: n≥1n\ge1n≥1; ai≤bia_i\le b_iai​≤bi​; Bi>0B_i>0Bi​>0; z>0z>0z>0; Ci≥0C_i\ge0Ci​≥0 and strictly increasing on [0,1][0,1][0,1]; δi\delta_iδi​ twice continuously differentiable on R\mathbb RR with 0<δi≤10<\delta_i\le10<δi​≤1 on [ai,bi][a_i,b_i][ai​,bi​]. The additions relative to the page are Bi>0B_i>0Bi​>0 (without it every sis_isi​ is a best response and the "only if" fails), z>0z>0z>0, δi>0\delta_i>0δi​>0 (needed for log⁡δi\log\delta_ilogδi​ and Bi/PPDiB_i/PPD_iBi​/PPDi​), and smoothness on all of R\mathbb RR rather than on [ai,bi][a_i,b_i][ai​,bi​]. Assumption 1 is a separate predicate, assumed only by the goal and the log-concavity milestone. Derivatives are Mathlib's deriv; ∂θiJ/∂si\partial\theta^{J}_i/\partial s_i∂θiJ​/∂si​ is the derivative of t↦θiJ(s−i,t)t\mapsto\theta^J_i(s_{-i},t)t↦θiJ​(s−i​,t).

The equilibrium is defined as the lexicographic best response of problem (6) over the full strategy box, never by (7), (S5) or an argmax of PPDiPPD_iPPDi​; with any of those as the definition the goal would be trivial. Multipliers are existential. Uniqueness of the equilibrium is not claimed.

Welcome contributions: proofs of the milestones, a reusable lemma that the KKT conditions characterize maximizers of a concave differentiable function on a closed interval, and Kakutani-type existence for convex-valued best responses.

Selected references

  • A. Aflaki, A. J. Pedraza-Martinez, Competition and Collaboration on Fundraising for Short-Term Disaster Response: The Impact on Earmarking and Performance, SSRN 3705595, version of December 2022. https://ssrn.com/abstract=3705595
  • A. Aflaki, A. J. Pedraza-Martinez, same title, Manufacturing & Service Operations Management, 2023. https://doi.org/10.1287/msom.2023.1202
  • D. McFadden, Conditional logit analysis of qualitative choice behavior, in Frontiers in Econometrics, 1973.
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Algorithmic Game TheoryEconomicsOperations Research·Captain: mikedeng1

Frontiers in Operations: Battery as a Service: Flexible Electric Vehicle Battery Leasing: Win-Win-Win of Flexible Leasing for a Large High-Capacity Range and Battery Cost near a(1−ρ)/2Research Paper

Motivation

Electric-vehicle makers such as NIO sell cars without the battery and lease the battery separately, a business model called Battery as a Service (BaaS). The leased battery can be swapped at a station in minutes, so a customer is not tied to one battery size: a driver who leases a small battery for the daily commute can rent a large one for a long holiday trip, and a driver who leases a large battery can downgrade for a while and pay less. Shi and Hu (M&SOM 2024, doi:10.1287/msom.2022.0587) ask whether such flexible battery leasing is good for all three parties at once: the manufacturer (profit), the customers (total cost) and the environment (total battery capacity that has to be produced). A business-model innovation of this kind is adopted only if it improves profit; it is defensible publicly only if it does not raise customer cost or the number of batteries in circulation. The paper's answer is a "win-win-win" region of parameters, and that result is the goal of this mission.

Setting

A manufacturer serves a unit mass of customers with two batteries. The low-capacity battery has range rl=0r_l=0rl​=0, lease rate pl=0p_l=0pl​=0 and acquisition cost cl=0c_l=0cl​=0 (normalizations). The high-capacity battery has range rhr_hrh​, lease rate php_hph​ and incremental acquisition cost chc_hch​. Driving a distance beyond the battery's range costs the customer the shortfall: a need xxx served by range rrr costs (x−r)+(x-r)^+(x−r)+ plus the lease rate.

Each customer has a regular need d∼U[0,1]d\sim\mathcal U[0,1]d∼U[0,1], known when choosing a primary battery, and a peak need D∼U[0,a]D\sim\mathcal U[0,a]D∼U[0,a] with a>1a>1a>1, independent of ddd and learned later. A fraction ρ\rhoρ of the time is regular usage, 1−ρ1-\rho1−ρ peak usage. The standing assumptions are a>1a>1a>1, a/(2+a)<ρ<1a/(2+a)<\rho<1a/(2+a)<ρ<1, 0<rh≤a0<r_h\le a0<rh​≤a and 0≤ch≤(1−ρ)a0\le c_h\le(1-\rho)a0≤ch​≤(1−ρ)a.

Simple leasing. The manufacturer sets php_hph​; each customer leases low capacity iff ρd+(1−ρ)E[D]≤ph+ρ(d−rh)++(1−ρ)E[(D−rh)+]\rho d+(1-\rho)\mathbb E[D]\le p_h+\rho(d-r_h)^++(1-\rho)\mathbb E[(D-r_h)^+]ρd+(1−ρ)E[D]≤ph​+ρ(d−rh​)++(1−ρ)E[(D−rh​)+]. With τb\tau^bτb the low-capacity volume, the profit is Πb=(1−τb)(ph−ch)\Pi^b=(1-\tau^b)(p_h-c_h)Πb=(1−τb)(ph​−ch​), the total customer cost CTbCT^bCTb is the integral over ddd of the cost each customer bears, and the total battery capacity is BTb=(1−τb)rhBT^b=(1-\tau^b)r_hBTb=(1−τb)rh​.

Flexible leasing. A two-period game. The manufacturer sets php_hph​; customers choose primary batteries anticipating the peak period; the manufacturer then sets an upgrade rate pˉh\bar p_hpˉ​h​ and a downgrade rate pˉl\bar p_lpˉ​l​; customers learn DDD and choose whether to swap according to Table 1 of the paper (a low lessee pays (D−rh)++pˉh(D-r_h)^++\bar p_h(D−rh​)++pˉ​h​ after upgrading, a high lessee pays D+pˉlD+\bar p_lD+pˉ​l​ after downgrading). Upgrades UUU in excess of downgrades VVV must be met by buying Qh=[U−V]+Q_h=[U-V]^+Qh​=[U−V]+ extra high-capacity batteries. The peak-period objective is (1): (1−τ)ph+V(pˉl−ph)+Upˉh−chQh/(1−ρ)(1-\tau)p_h+V(\bar p_l-p_h)+U\bar p_h-c_hQ_h/(1-\rho)(1−τ)ph​+V(pˉ​l​−ph​)+Upˉ​h​−ch​Qh​/(1−ρ), and the total profit is (2): Πf=ρ(1−τ)ph+(1−ρ)⋅(1)−(1−τ)ch\Pi^f=\rho(1-\tau)p_h+(1-\rho)\cdot(1)-(1-\tau)c_hΠf=ρ(1−τ)ph​+(1−ρ)⋅(1)−(1−τ)ch​. A flexible equilibrium is a lease rate php_hph​ with optimal peak rates, a lease volume τ\tauτ that customers rationally expect, and a profit no other lease rate and continuation can beat. CTfCT^fCTf is the total expected cost of the customers' choices, and BTf=(1−τ+Qh)rhBT^f=(1-\tau+Q_h)r_hBTf=(1−τ+Qh​)rh​.

Formalization targets

Write c0=a(1−ρ)/2c_0=a(1-\rho)/2c0​=a(1−ρ)/2; by Proposition 2 this is the cost at which the manufacturer stops buying extra batteries.

Goal: Proposition 6 (win-win-win)

For a>1a>1a>1, a/(2+a)<ρ<1a/(2+a)<\rho<1a/(2+a)<ρ<1:

  1. if ρ<7a/(8+7a)\rho<7a/(8+7a)ρ<7a/(8+7a), there is δ>0\delta>0δ>0 such that for each ch∈(c0−δ,c0)c_h\in(c_0-\delta,c_0)ch​∈(c0​−δ,c0​) there is R<aR<aR<a such that for all rh∈(R,a]r_h\in(R,a]rh​∈(R,a], a benchmark optimum and a flexible equilibrium exist, and every pair of them satisfies
Qhf>0,Πb<Πf,CTf<CTb,BTf<BTb;Q^f_h>0,\qquad \Pi^b<\Pi^f,\qquad CT^f<CT^b,\qquad BT^f<BT^b;Qhf​>0,Πb<Πf,CTf<CTb,BTf<BTb;
  1. there is δ>0\delta>0δ>0 such that for each ch∈(c0,c0+δ)c_h\in(c_0,c_0+\delta)ch​∈(c0​,c0​+δ) there is R<aR<aR<a such that for all rh∈(R,a]r_h\in(R,a]rh​∈(R,a], the same holds with Qhf=0Q^f_h=0Qhf​=0.

Milestones

Lemma 1 and Proposition 1 (the benchmark), Lemma 2 (peak volumes), Lemma 3 (optimal peak rates), Lemma 4 (flexible lease volume), Proposition 2 in its first case (the flexible equilibrium for ch<c0c_h<c_0ch​<c0​), Proposition 4 near the corner (rh,ch)=(a,c0)(r_h,c_h)=(a,c_0)(rh​,ch​)=(a,c0​) (customer cost), and Proposition 5 in its first bullet (capacity is smaller iff ρ<7a/(8+7a)\rho<7a/(8+7a)ρ<7a/(8+7a) and ch≤T(rh)c_h\le T(r_h)ch​≤T(rh​) for an explicit TTT).

Significance

The result identifies conditions under which a pricing innovation helps the firm, its customers and the environment at the same time: a battery cost near a(1−ρ)/2a(1-\rho)/2a(1−ρ)/2 and a high-capacity range close to the largest peak need. Flexible leasing reallocates high-capacity batteries from customers who do not need them in the peak period to customers who do, so fewer batteries have to be produced. But the manufacturer prices the up/downgrade options to extract the efficiency gain and may buy extra batteries, so lower customer cost and lower capacity are not automatic. Proposition 6 states where all three improvements coexist.

The paper proves its results by calculus on closed forms. Nothing here is machine-checked yet. A formalization adds three things. First, it derives the closed forms from the model itself (customer choices from Table 1, volumes as measures of customer sets, equilibria as maximizers), where the paper states them. Second, it settles which reading of "sufficiently close" and "sufficiently large" is true. Third, it records the regimes in which the intermediate lemmas hold, which the printed statements leave implicit.

Difficulty

The closed forms of Lemmas 1–4 are routine integrals of piecewise-linear functions. The difficulty is global optimality and the corner analysis.

  • Equilibrium is global. A flexible equilibrium must beat every lease rate together with every rationally expected continuation, including continuations in the regime where the manufacturer buys no extra batteries and at lease rates where customers all lease one type. A first-order condition on one regime does not establish this.
  • The Qhf=0Q^f_h=0Qhf​=0 side is not the printed one. For chc_hch​ just above c0c_0c0​ the equilibrium is a kink regime that the paper does not describe. The paper's second-case formulas in Proposition 2 are not the equilibrium there, so the goal's second branch cannot be obtained from them.
  • Order of limits. At the corner (rh,ch)=(a,c0)(r_h,c_h)=(a,c_0)(rh​,ch​)=(a,c0​) the two capacities coincide. Profit and customer cost are strictly better under flexible leasing there, but capacity is only weakly better. The capacity comparison holds only when rhr_hrh​ approaches aaa after chc_hch​ is fixed.

Formalization scope

The model is the paper's base model of §3–§4: flexible leasing introduced into an existing BaaS program with independent regular and peak needs. The extensions of §5 (correlated needs, range choice, launching with flexible leasing) and the numerical calibration (§4.1, Figures 2–5) are out of scope.

Representation. All parameters are real numbers. Expectations over D∼U[0,a]D\sim\mathcal U[0,a]D∼U[0,a] are interval integrals divided by aaa; volumes of customers are Lebesgue measures of subsets of [0,1][0,1][0,1]. Every volume, expected cost and equilibrium is defined from the model; the paper's closed forms are theorems, never definitions. Customers lease low when indifferent, upgrade on ≤\le≤ and downgrade on >>>, following the proofs. The lease rate ranges over all of R\mathbb RR; the paper's remark "we require ph<min⁡(1,rh)p_h<\min(1,r_h)ph​<min(1,rh​)" is not imposed, because the benchmark optimum can exceed 1. The peak rates range over the set pˉh≤a\bar p_h\le apˉ​h​≤a, ph−a≤pˉl≤php_h-a\le\bar p_l\le p_hph​−a≤pˉ​l​≤ph​ that the paper requires (p. 13). An equilibrium is optimal against every continuation at every lease rate.

Readings and added hypotheses.

  • Proposition 6 is posed as "chc_hch​ sufficiently close to c0c_0c0​, then rhr_hrh​ sufficiently large". A single neighbourhood of (a,c0)(a,c_0)(a,c0​) in both variables is false on both sides. On the Qhf>0Q^f_h>0Qhf​>0 side, Proposition 5's threshold T(rh)T(r_h)T(rh​) equals c0c_0c0​ at rh=ar_h=arh​=a and is below it for rh<ar_h<arh​<a. The point ch=c0c_h=c_0ch​=c0​ is excluded.
  • Each branch of the goal asserts existence of a benchmark optimum and a flexible equilibrium, so it is not vacuous. A goal of the form "every equilibrium is win-win-win" without existence would be trivially true where no equilibrium exists, and is ruled out.
  • Lemma 2's interior cases hold with rhr_hrh​ in place of aaa (and pˉh≥0\bar p_h\ge0pˉ​h​≥0). The statement also gives the missing outer cases for rates below zero or beyond rhr_hrh​, covering every real rate.
  • Lemma 3 is posed in the regime τ>ch/(a(1−ρ))\tau>c_h/(a(1-\rho))τ>ch​/(a(1−ρ)), the only one in which its acquisition quantity is nonnegative. Its rates are assumed to lie below rhr_hrh​.
  • Lemmas 1, 4 and Propositions 1, 2, 5 carry the proofs' interior conditions as explicit parameter inequalities: the indifferent customer lies below rhr_hrh​, and Proposition 1's range for chc_hch​ holds.
  • Proposition 5(i) is the ≤\le≤ form, as in its proof. Proposition 4 is posed in its corner-neighbourhood clauses only.
  • Proposition 2's second case, Proposition 3 and the remaining clauses of Propositions 4–5 are not posed: the second case of Proposition 2 is false on part of its range, and Proposition 3's threshold is garbled in the manuscript.

What a complete development needs. Lebesgue measure of intervals, interval integrals of piecewise-linear functions, and maximization of concave quadratics with a kink. It also needs the kink-regime equilibrium on the Qhf=0Q^f_h=0Qhf​=0 side and continuity arguments at the corner. Lemmas 1–4 are reusable for any variant of the model, and proofs of the milestones in any order are welcome.

Selected references

  • L. Shi and B. Hu, Battery as a Service: Flexible Electric Vehicle Battery Leasing, Manufacturing & Service Operations Management, Frontiers in Operations, 2024. Read as the authors' manuscript of 13 January 2024. https://doi.org/10.1287/msom.2022.0587
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Tokenomics: When Tokens Beat Equity IV: Under Moral Hazard Every Equity-Financeable Venture Is Token-Financeable and Every Token-Financeable One Is Debt-Financeable, Both StrictlyResearch Paper

Motivation

Start-ups that build a platform or a digital service increasingly raise their set-up capital by pre-selling tokens: claims on the future output of the service, redeemable once it exists. Between 2017 and 2019 such token offerings raised billions of dollars, and corporate finance asked whether a token is anything more than a disguised equity or debt claim. K. Malinova and A. Park (Tokenomics: When Tokens Beat Equity, SSRN 3286825, version of June 1, 2023; Management Science 2023) answer this in a stylized monopoly model. Without frictions, a well-designed token contract is equivalent to equity and to debt: all three leave the entrepreneur the project's full NPV (missions I–III of this series). With moral hazard, when the entrepreneur can influence demand through effort that investors cannot observe, the three instruments separate.

The question goes back to M. C. Jensen and W. H. Meckling (Theory of the firm, J. Financial Economics 3, 1976), who showed that outside equity dilutes the owner's incentive to exert effort, while debt, which leaves the owner the full upside above the repayment, dilutes it less. This mission formalizes where tokens sit in that ranking: strictly between debt and equity.

Setting

An entrepreneur needs a set-up cost C0>0C_0>0C0​>0 and then produces a quantity qqq at marginal cost c>0c>0c>0 against the linear inverse demand p(q)=x−qp(q)=x-qp(q)=x−q. The demand intercept xxx is uniformly distributed on (0,θ)(0,\theta)(0,θ), and the expectation of a payoff ggg is Eθ[g]=1θ∫0θg(x) dx\mathbb E_\theta[g]=\frac1\theta\int_0^\theta g(x)\,dxEθ​[g]=θ1​∫0θ​g(x)dx. Facing the realized xxx, a monopolist produces qm(x)=max⁡{(x−c)/2,0}q^m(x)=\max\{(x-c)/2,0\}qm(x)=max{(x−c)/2,0} and earns πm(x)=max⁡{x−c,0}2/4\pi^m(x)=\max\{x-c,0\}^2/4πm(x)=max{x−c,0}2/4; the project's NPV is NPV(θ)=Eθ[πm]−C0\mathrm{NPV}(\theta)=\mathbb E_\theta[\pi^m]-C_0NPV(θ)=Eθ​[πm]−C0​.

Moral hazard. With effort the intercept is uniform on (0,θh)(0,\theta_h)(0,θh​), without effort on (0,θl)(0,\theta_l)(0,θl​), with c<θl<θhc<\theta_l<\theta_hc<θl​<θh​. Effort costs the entrepreneur CeC_eCe​ in value. It is chosen after the financing contract is signed and cannot be contracted upon. The project has positive NPV only with effort (NPVl≤0<NPVh\mathrm{NPV}_l\le0<\mathrm{NPV}_hNPVl​≤0<NPVh​) and NPVh>Ce\mathrm{NPV}_h>C_eNPVh​>Ce​. Investors break even under effort, so every contract term is fixed by θh\theta_hθh​; a project can be financed by an instrument when the break-even terms make effort the entrepreneur's best choice.

  • Equity. Investors take the share αs=C0/Eθh[πm]\alpha_s=C_0/\mathbb E_{\theta_h}[\pi^m]αs​=C0​/Eθh​​[πm] (17); the incentive constraint is (1−αs)Eθh[πm]−Ce≥(1−αs)Eθl[πm](1-\alpha_s)\mathbb E_{\theta_h}[\pi^m]-C_e\ge(1-\alpha_s)\mathbb E_{\theta_l}[\pi^m](1−αs​)Eθh​​[πm]−Ce​≥(1−αs​)Eθl​​[πm] (18).
  • Debt. A face value D≥0D\ge0D≥0 with Eθh[min⁡{πm,D}]=C0\mathbb E_{\theta_h}[\min\{\pi^m,D\}]=C_0Eθh​​[min{πm,D}]=C0​ (21); the entrepreneur keeps max⁡{πm−D,0}\max\{\pi^m-D,0\}max{πm−D,0}, and the incentive constraint (22) compares its expectations under θh\theta_hθh​ (minus CeC_eCe​) and θl\theta_lθl​.
  • Optimal tokens. The entrepreneur pre-sells ttt tokens and gives token-holders the share αt=t/(t+c)\alpha_t=t/(t+c)αt​=t/(t+c) of all tokens issued later. At demand xxx and output q>tq>tq>t she earns πte(x,q)=(1−αt)(q−t)(x−q)−c(q−t)\pi^e_t(x,q)=(1-\alpha_t)(q-t)(x-q)-c(q-t)πte​(x,q)=(1−αt​)(q−t)(x−q)−c(q−t), and 000 when q≤tq\le tq≤t. The pre-sale solves the break-even condition (16) at θh\theta_hθh​,
cc+t 23θh(θh−c2−t)3=NPVh,0<t<θh−c2,\frac{c}{c+t}\,\frac{2}{3\theta_h}\Big(\frac{\theta_h-c}{2}-t\Big)^3=\mathrm{NPV}_h ,\qquad 0<t<\frac{\theta_h-c}{2},c+tc​3θh​2​(2θh​−c​−t)3=NPVh​,0<t<2θh​−c​,

and the incentive constraint (27) compares E[πte(x,qm(x))]\mathbb E[\pi^e_t(x,q^m(x))]E[πte​(x,qm(x))] under θh\theta_hθh​ (minus CeC_eCe​) and θl\theta_lθl​.

Write λ=(θl−c)/(θh−c)\lambda=(\theta_l-c)/(\theta_h-c)λ=(θl​−c)/(θh​−c) (19), δ=2D/(θh−c)\delta=2\sqrt D/(\theta_h-c)δ=2D​/(θh​−c) (23) and τ=2t/(θh−c)\tau=2t/(\theta_h-c)τ=2t/(θh​−c) (28).

Formalization targets

Goal: Proposition 8

Writing E,T,D\mathcal E,\mathcal T,\mathcal DE,T,D for the sets of parameters (c,C0,Ce,θl,θh)(c,C_0,C_e,\theta_l,\theta_h)(c,C0​,Ce​,θl​,θh​) satisfying the standing assumptions at which equity, optimal tokens and debt can finance the project,

E⊊T⊊D.\mathcal E\subsetneq\mathcal T\subsetneq\mathcal D .E⊊T⊊D.

The two inclusions are universal statements; strictness is posed as the existence of separating parameter values.

Milestones

  • The break-even terms exist and are unique; the token entrepreneur's expected profit is the left side of (26), and 000 under θl\theta_lθl​ when θl≤c+2t\theta_l\le c+2tθl​≤c+2t.
  • Proposition 5: equity finances the project iff NPVh−Ce≥λ3θhθlNPVh\mathrm{NPV}_h-C_e\ge\lambda^3\frac{\theta_h}{\theta_l}\mathrm{NPV}_hNPVh​−Ce​≥λ3θl​θh​​NPVh​ (20).
  • (48) and Proposition 6: NPVh=(θh−c)312θh(1−3δ2+2δ3)\mathrm{NPV}_h=\frac{(\theta_h-c)^3}{12\theta_h}(1-3\delta^2+2\delta^3)NPVh​=12θh​(θh​−c)3​(1−3δ2+2δ3); debt always induces effort when λ≤δ\lambda\le\deltaλ≤δ, and otherwise iff
NPVh−Ce≥(λ−δ)2(1−δ)2 λ+2δ1+2δ θhθl NPVh.\mathrm{NPV}_h-C_e\ge\frac{(\lambda-\delta)^2}{(1-\delta)^2}\,\frac{\lambda+2\delta}{1+2\delta}\,\frac{\theta_h}{\theta_l}\,\mathrm{NPV}_h .NPVh​−Ce​≥(1−δ)2(λ−δ)2​1+2δλ+2δ​θl​θh​​NPVh​.
  • Proposition 7: tokens always induce effort when λ≤τ\lambda\le\tauλ≤τ, and otherwise iff NPVh−Ce≥(λ−τ)3(1−τ)3θhθlNPVh\mathrm{NPV}_h-C_e\ge\frac{(\lambda-\tau)^3}{(1-\tau)^3}\frac{\theta_h}{\theta_l}\mathrm{NPV}_hNPVh​−Ce​≥(1−τ)3(λ−τ)3​θl​θh​​NPVh​ (29).
  • Lemmas 4–5 and Corollaries 2–3: equity's constraint is the strongest.
  • Lemma 6 (0<τ<δ2<δ<10<\tau<\delta^2<\delta<10<τ<δ2<δ<1) and Lemma 7 (for δ<λ<1\delta<\lambda<1δ<λ<1, λ3>(λ−τ)3(1−τ)3>(λ−δ)2(λ+2δ)(1−δ)2(1+2δ)\lambda^3>\frac{(\lambda-\tau)^3}{(1-\tau)^3}>\frac{(\lambda-\delta)^2(\lambda+2\delta)}{(1-\delta)^2(1+2\delta)}λ3>(1−τ)3(λ−τ)3​>(1−δ)2(1+2δ)(λ−δ)2(λ+2δ)​).
  • Appendix B: with C0=110C_0=110C0​=110, c=10c=10c=10, θl=50\theta_l=50θl​=50, Ce=25C_e=25Ce​=25, the case θh=60\theta_h=60θh​=60 is financed by debt and tokens but not by equity, and θh=57\theta_h=57θh​=57 by debt only.

Significance

The result places a new instrument in the classical ranking of financing by incentive strength. Under the optimal token contract the entrepreneur earns only from tokens issued beyond the pre-sale, so, like a debtor, she earns nothing in low-demand states; this makes effort more attractive than under equity. Because the break-even pre-sale is smaller in normalized terms than the break-even debt (τ<δ2\tau<\delta^2τ<δ2), tokens still leave more of the low-demand upside to the entrepreneur than debt does, and debt remains strictly better. The separating instances show that neither inclusion is an artefact of the model's parametrization.

The paper proves the result by hand in Appendix A and illustrates it numerically in Appendix B; none of it has been machine-checked. The mission produces a checked version of the whole chain, including the two points where the printed statements need repair (Lemmas 6 and 7, see below), and a verified treatment of the two Appendix B instances, whose contract terms are roots of cubic equations rather than the rounded values printed.

Difficulty

Each step is elementary real analysis, and there are many of them. Three require care.

  • Token versus debt. Comparing (24) and (29) for arbitrary τ<δ<λ\tau<\delta<\lambdaτ<δ<λ fails: the second inequality of Lemma 7 is false, for example, at δ=0.5\delta=0.5δ=0.5, τ=0.49\tau=0.49τ=0.49, λ=0.8\lambda=0.8λ=0.8. It holds only for the actual contract terms, which are tied to each other through the two break-even conditions, so the comparison cannot be made on the incentive constraints alone.
  • The two regimes of each incentive constraint. When θl≤c+2D\theta_l\le c+2\sqrt Dθl​≤c+2D​ (or ≤c+2t\le c+2t≤c+2t), the printed right-hand sides of (22) and (27) have reversed integration ranges; the no-effort profit is 000 there and the constraint holds trivially. Each inclusion must handle both regimes and their interaction across instruments.
  • The separating instances. DDD and ttt at θh∈{57,60}\theta_h\in\{57,60\}θh​∈{57,60} are roots of cubics and are only known to a few digits; the margins are small (equity at θh=60\theta_h=60θh​=60 fails by 38.6138.6138.61 against 39.0839.0839.08), so the roots must be bracketed tightly and the uniqueness of the break-even terms is needed to rule out other contracts.

Formalization scope

All objects are real functions of real parameters: the shared model (expect, pim, qm, npv, the debt and token payoffs, condition (16)) in TokenFinance.Debt, the financeability predicates and every theorem in TokenFinance.MoralHazard; there is no probability layer. Expectations are expect θ g, the interval integral over [0,θ][0,\theta][0,θ] divided by θ\thetaθ, and every expectation in a definition is of a realized payoff: the closed forms (20), (24), (26), (29), (48) are theorems. This rules out the trivializing formalization in which the incentive constraints are written as their closed forms, which would turn Propositions 5–8 into algebra. Debt and token payoffs carry positive parts, so the paper's case split ("the moral hazard problem does not arise") is a theorem, not a definition.

Conventions committed to:

  • The standing assumptions are 0<c<θl<θh0<c<\theta_l<\theta_h0<c<θl​<θh​, C0>0C_0>0C0​>0, NPVl≤0<NPVh\mathrm{NPV}_l\le0<\mathrm{NPV}_hNPVl​≤0<NPVh​ and Ce<NPVhC_e<\mathrm{NPV}_hCe​<NPVh​. Positive marginal cost is the paper's ("with a positive marginal cost", p. 22). NPVh>0\mathrm{NPV}_h>0NPVh​>0 is written out, reading "positive expected NPV only if the entrepreneur exerts effort" together with "exceeds CeC_eCe​"; without it a negative CeC_eCe​ would put a project with NPVh≤0\mathrm{NPV}_h\le0NPVh​≤0 in E\mathcal EE but not in T\mathcal TT. No sign is imposed on CeC_eCe​.
  • Financeability is existential in the contract terms (equity's share is determined by (17)); the token break-even is condition (16) as printed, which the proof of Proposition 3 derives from the token-holders' break-even (35).
  • Propositions 5–7 are posed as equivalences: (20), (24), (29) are rearrangements of (18), (22), (27).
  • Lemmas 4–5 add 0<δ0<\delta0<δ, 0<τ0<\tau0<τ, which their proofs assume (at 000 they are equalities). Lemma 6 is posed as 0<τ<δ2<δ<10<\tau<\delta^2<\delta<10<τ<δ2<δ<1, what its proof establishes; the printed "δ<λ\delta<\lambdaδ<λ" is not a property of the terms, since Proposition 6 treats λ≤δ\lambda\le\deltaλ≤δ. Lemma 7 carries the contract terms as hypotheses.
  • Out of scope: the secondary token market and redemption mechanics, bankruptcy costs, consumer welfare, and the institutional discussion of §I and §V.

Needed infrastructure: interval integrals of piecewise polynomials, the intermediate value theorem and strict monotonicity for the break-even terms, and polynomial inequalities. A lemma computing Eθ\mathbb E_\thetaEθ​ of truncated quadratics is reusable across all four missions of the series. Proofs of any milestone, and of the Appendix B root bracketing, are welcome.

Selected references

  • K. Malinova, A. Park, Tokenomics: When Tokens Beat Equity, SSRN 3286825, version of June 1, 2023; published in Management Science, 2023. https://ssrn.com/abstract=3286825, doi:10.1287/mnsc.2023.4882
  • M. C. Jensen, W. H. Meckling, Theory of the firm: Managerial behavior, agency costs and ownership structure, Journal of Financial Economics 3(4), 1976, 305–360. https://doi.org/10.1016/0304-405X(76)90026-X
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EconomicsOperations Research·Captain: mikedeng1

Tokenomics: When Tokens Beat Equity II: A Token Pre-Sale with Revenue Share t/(t+c) Induces Monopoly Output, Has a Unique Break-Even Size, and Leaves the Entrepreneur the NPVResearch Paper

Motivation

Entrepreneurs sometimes sell claims on a product before it exists. A token can represent a claim on a future unit, and its eventual market price can depend on how much the entrepreneur produces. That link creates a production incentive absent from a simple sale of equity. Malinova and Park study whether the token allocation can fund a venture while preserving the output choice that maximizes operating profit Malinova and Park, 2023. Their Proposition 3 gives a contract that does so under exogenous demand. This mission formalizes that proposition, including its investor break-even calculation and the uniqueness of the pre-sale size.

The paper first examines two simpler arrangements. Giving investors a fixed fraction of revenue leaves the entrepreneur paying the full marginal cost while receiving only part of the marginal revenue, which induces underproduction. Selling a fixed number of output units without a later revenue share induces overproduction: an extra unit reduces the price of units already promised to investors, a cost the entrepreneur does not bear. These comparisons are Lemmas 1 and 2 of the paper Malinova and Park, pp. 18–20. Proposition 3 combines an output pre-sale with a share of tokens issued after production.

Setting

At time zero, an entrepreneur must pay a set-up cost C0>0C_0>0C0​>0 and obtains financing from investors. At time one, the demand intercept xxx is observed. It is uniform on (0,θ)(0,\theta)(0,θ), and producing q≥0q\ge0q≥0 units gives the inverse price p(q)=x−qp(q)=x-qp(q)=x−q. Each unit costs ccc, where 0<c<θ0<c<\theta0<c<θ. With no financing distortion, monopoly output and operating profit are

qm(x)=max⁡{x−c2,0},πm(x)=max⁡{x−c,0}24.q^m(x)=\max\left\{\frac{x-c}{2},0\right\},\qquad \pi^m(x)=\frac{\max\{x-c,0\}^2}{4}.qm(x)=max{2x−c​,0},πm(x)=4max{x−c,0}2​.

For a realized payoff g(x)g(x)g(x), Eθ[g]=θ−1∫0θg(x) dxE_\theta[g]=\theta^{-1}\int_0^\theta g(x)\,dxEθ​[g]=θ−1∫0θ​g(x)dx. The project's net present value is V=Eθ[πm]−C0V=E_\theta[\pi^m]-C_0V=Eθ​[πm]−C0​. This mission assumes V>0V>0V>0, the positive-NPV case of Proposition 3. Equation (3) evaluates it as V=(θ−c)3/(12θ)−C0V=(\theta-c)^3/(12\theta)-C_0V=(θ−c)3/(12θ)−C0​ Malinova and Park, p. 14.

Under the proposed token contract, investors buy t>0t>0t>0 initial tokens at time zero, providing C0+ctC_0+ctC0​+ct. If production exceeds ttt, the entrepreneur issues q−tq-tq−t more tokens and grants the initial holders the fraction αt=t/(c+t)\alpha_t=t/(c+t)αt​=t/(c+t) of those new tokens. If production is at most ttt, token-holders receive the full output and a refund of the unused production funds, c(t−q)c(t-q)c(t−q). Let πte(x,q)\pi_t^e(x,q)πte​(x,q) and It(x,q)I_t(x,q)It​(x,q) be the resulting realized payments to the entrepreneur and investors. Their definitions follow the two output branches of the contract Malinova and Park, pp. 21–24, 39–40.

Formalization targets

Contract and output

For every demand realization and every feasible output, monopoly output maximizes the entrepreneur's realized payment under this contract:

∀t>0, ∀x, ∀q≥0,πte(x,q)≤πte(x,qm(x)).\forall t>0,\ \forall x,\ \forall q\ge0,\qquad \pi_t^e(x,q)\le\pi_t^e(x,q^m(x)).∀t>0, ∀x, ∀q≥0,πte​(x,q)≤πte​(x,qm(x)).

The claim includes the low-demand branch qm(x)≤tq^m(x)\le tqm(x)≤t, where several outputs can yield zero to the entrepreneur. No uniqueness of the production choice is claimed.

Break-even and expected profit

Investors must receive C0+ctC_0+ctC0​+ct in expectation. For 0<t<(θ−c)/20<t<(\theta-c)/20<t<(θ−c)/2, this requirement is equivalent to the paper's equation (16):

Eθ[It(x,qm(x))]=C0+ct⟺cc+t23θ(θ−c2−t)3=(θ−c)312θ−C0.E_\theta[I_t(x,q^m(x))]=C_0+ct \quad\Longleftrightarrow\quad \frac{c}{c+t}\frac{2}{3\theta}\left(\frac{\theta-c}{2}-t\right)^3 =\frac{(\theta-c)^3}{12\theta}-C_0.Eθ​[It​(x,qm(x))]=C0​+ct⟺c+tc​3θ2​(2θ−c​−t)3=12θ(θ−c)3​−C0​.

Proposition 3 and its Appendix A proof assert that the equation has exactly one positive solution ttt, that the solution lies below (θ−c)/2(\theta-c)/2(θ−c)/2, and that the entrepreneur then receives Eθ[πte(x,qm(x))]=VE_\theta[\pi_t^e(x,q^m(x))]=VEθ​[πte​(x,qm(x))]=V Malinova and Park, pp. 24, 39–41. Milestones cover the revenue share, the high- and low-demand cases, the investor integrals, the entrepreneur's expected payoff, and the existence and uniqueness of the break-even size.

Significance

The result shows that token financing can preserve monopoly output in this model even though the two simpler token arrangements distort it. It identifies both the later-token share and the unique number of units to pre-sell, with investor break-even and the entrepreneur's full positive NPV in one contract. That contract provides the baseline for the paper's comparative statics and its later moral-hazard comparison of equity, tokens, and debt Malinova and Park, Propositions 4 and 8.

The result is proved in the cited paper. The remaining work here is a machine-checked development of its piecewise payoffs, interval integrals, and real-analysis claims. This proposal contains open Lean statements and definitions; it does not claim that their proofs have been completed. The expectation, monopoly payoff, and contract representations can also support subsequent formalizations of the paper's cost and demand comparisons.

Difficulty

The simple first-order calculation behind the revenue share covers the branch q>tq>tq>t, but it does not establish the entrepreneur's incentives when output is at most the pre-sale. In that branch her contractual payment is zero, and the refund rule changes the investor payment. The output claim must compare every q≥0q\ge0q≥0 across both branches, including the threshold q=tq=tq=t.

The financing claim has a separate difficulty. Investors receive three different payments over the demand ranges x<cx<cx<c, c<x<c+2tc<x<c+2tc<x<c+2t, and x>c+2tx>c+2tx>c+2t. Their expectation must equal the explicit cubic equation, while the entrepreneur's expectation must equal its left-hand side. A root argument stated only for the cubic would omit the economic break-even assertion. The paper also uses the interior bound t<(θ−c)/2t<(\theta-c)/2t<(θ−c)/2 when evaluating the entrepreneur's expectation Malinova and Park, Appendix A, pp. 39–41.

Formalization scope

Lean uses real parameters and a real interval integral for uniform demand. The expect definition integrates the realized payoff over [0,θ][0,\theta][0,θ] and divides by θ\thetaθ; endpoints have zero mass. The definitions qm and pim use a nonnegative maximum to represent no production below cost. The entrepreneur and investor payments use the contract's two branches. NPV is defined from the integral, while the formula in equation (3) is a theorem. Equation (16) is a predicate on c,C0,θ,tc,C_0,\theta,tc,C0​,θ,t, while the corresponding expected-profit identity is another theorem. No closed form replaces an expected realized payment by definition.

The hypotheses c>0c>0c>0, c<θc<\thetac<θ, C0>0C_0>0C0​>0, and V>0V>0V>0 express the paper's positive-cost, productive, positive-NPV setting. A milestone about an integral over the upper demand region assumes c+2t≤θc+2t\le\thetac+2t≤θ; a milestone about the cubic expected profit uses the same range. Proposition 3 states the break-even equivalence on the interior and establishes that its unique positive solution lies there. Output optimality is among q≥0q\ge0q≥0 under the specified contract. The paper does not define a space of all possible financing contracts, so the Lean statement does not claim an optimization theorem over such a space.

The secondary token market, the physical redemption mechanism, bankruptcy costs, consumer welfare, and the institutional discussions of Sections I and V are outside this mission. Needed reusable work includes real interval integration of piecewise polynomial payments, algebraic comparisons of quadratic payoffs, and strict monotonicity of the break-even cubic. Contributions that prove the listed statements while retaining the realized-payoff definitions are welcome.

Selected references

  • Katya Malinova and Andreas Park, Tokenomics: When Tokens Beat Equity, SSRN 3286825, version of June 1, 2023; published in Management Science, 2023. SSRN preprint; journal DOI.
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Algorithmic Game TheoryEconomicsOperations Research·Captain: mikedeng1

Quality Signaling Through Crowdfunding Pricing I: Without Price Commitment, a Low Enough Funding Price Is the Unique Separating Equilibrium That Survives the Intuitive CriterionResearch Paper

Motivation

In reward based crowdfunding, customers must decide whether to back a product before its quality is known to them. The entrepreneur knows that quality and chooses a funding price. A high quality entrepreneur may therefore use price to convey information, but the same price is available to a low quality entrepreneur. The choice also changes the chance that the campaign meets its financing target. Bolandifar, Chen, Kouvelis, and Zhou study how these effects interact when the entrepreneur chooses a second, regular selling price after the campaign succeeds. The one price mechanism in this mission concerns the case in which only the funding price is posted in advance.

The question matters to the design and interpretation of crowdfunding campaigns. A lower funding price can be a credible quality signal even though it forgoes immediate revenue. Whether that signal is sustainable depends on the later selling opportunity, the financing target, and the different incentives of the two quality types. The paper gives a precise threshold for the financing target below which one separating outcome survives a refinement of the equilibrium concept.

Setting

The entrepreneur's product has privately known quality qiq_iqi​, either low qLq_LqL​ or high qHq_HqH​, with 0<qL<qH0<q_L<q_H0<qL​<qH​. The financing target is T>0T>0T>0. The entrepreneur posts a funding price p1≥Tp_1\ge Tp1​≥T. Funding period customers all share a taste θc\theta_cθc​ uniformly distributed on [0,1][0,1][0,1] and evaluate the product using believed quality qjq_jqj​. They back it when θcqj≥p1\theta_cq_j\ge p_1θc​qj​≥p1​. The funding market has size one, so a successful campaign raises at least TTT and occurs with probability 1−p1/qj1-p_1/q_j1−p1​/qj​ for T≤p1≤qjT\le p_1\le q_jT≤p1​≤qj​. The formal definition extends this probability by zero for larger prices.

After success, true quality is revealed and the entrepreneur sets a regular selling price p2∈(0,qi]p_2\in(0,q_i]p2​∈(0,qi​]. A fraction α∈(0,1)\alpha\in(0,1)α∈(0,1) of regular period customers have the same taste as the funding customers. Their taste distribution is therefore updated after success. The other regular customers have a fresh, independent uniform taste. The regular market also has size one. Production cost, salvage value, and discounting contribute no additional terms. Conditional regular period profit is π2ij(p2∣p1)\pi^{ij}_2(p_2\mid p_1)π2ij​(p2​∣p1​), the two branch function in equation (2) of the manuscript. Its optimal value π2ij∗(p1)\pi^{ij*}_2(p_1)π2ij∗​(p1​) is the supremum over feasible p2p_2p2​. The total expected profit πij(p1)\pi^{ij}(p_1)πij(p1​) is the success probability times p1+π2ij∗(p1)p_1+\pi^{ij*}_2(p_1)p1​+π2ij∗​(p1​).

A separating equilibrium assigns different feasible funding prices pHp_HpH​ and pLp_LpL​ to the two entrepreneur types. Customers believe quality is high at pHp_HpH​ and low at every other price, including off path prices. Under those beliefs, neither type benefits from a feasible deviation. The intuitive criterion removes an equilibrium if an off path price would strictly improve the high type's profit while strictly reducing the low type's profit, were customers to interpret that deviation as a high quality signal. This is the paper's stated test, with the strict low type comparison used in its appendix.

Formalization targets

The separating equilibrium

Define the price threshold

pˉ1=4qH−(1−α)qL−(qH−qL)(16qH−(1−α)2qL)8.\bar p_1=\frac{4q_H-(1-\alpha)q_L-\sqrt{(q_H-q_L)\bigl(16q_H-(1-\alpha)^2q_L\bigr)}}{8}.pˉ​1​=84qH​−(1−α)qL​−(qH​−qL​)(16qH​−(1−α)2qL​)​​.

The goal is Proposition 1 of the manuscript. If T≤pˉ1T\le\bar p_1T≤pˉ​1​, there is a separating equilibrium surviving the intuitive criterion, and every surviving separating equilibrium has exactly the prices

pH=pˉ1,pL=3+α8qL.p_H=\bar p_1,\qquad p_L=\frac{3+\alpha}{8}q_L.pH​=pˉ​1​,pL​=83+α​qL​.

The formal goal also says that no separating equilibrium exists when pˉ1<T<qL\bar p_1<T<q_Lpˉ​1​<T<qL​. Its scope on this side of the threshold follows the manuscript's proof and the nondegenerate funding market; the printed “otherwise” sentence does not hold literally when T≥qLT\ge q_LT≥qL​.

Supporting targets

Lemma 1 identifies the optimal regular price and its attained profit in each of three funding price ranges, split at qj/2q_j/2qj​/2 and min⁡{qj/[2(1−α)],qj}\min\{q_j/[2(1-\alpha)],q_j\}min{qj​/[2(1−α)],qj​}. Lemma 2 identifies the funding profit's single peak and the maximizing price max⁡{[4qj−(1−α)qi]/8,T}\max\{[4q_j-(1-\alpha)q_i]/8,T\}max{[4qj​−(1−α)qi​]/8,T}. The three parts of Lemma 3 characterize the low type's mimicking indifference prices, the high type's upper indifference price, and the ordering of these thresholds. These are the milestones leading to Proposition 1.

Significance

The proposition gives both types' prices and shows why the high type's credible signal is a lower funding price than the low type's. It also identifies a financing target above which this separation disappears within the paper's nondegenerate range. The result relates a platform design parameter, the target, to equilibrium information revealed by price.

The result is proved in the cited manuscript, with proofs in Appendix A. The remaining work in this mission is a machine checked proof of the model's price optimization and equilibrium claims. The definition of the two period payoff, the treatment of the later optimal price, and the explicit deviation predicates may be reusable for other crowdfunding signaling mechanisms. The draft statements are open proof targets; the present mission does not claim those proofs are already formalized.

Difficulty

The later optimal price changes form as the funding price crosses two thresholds. That makes total expected profit a piecewise function, even before the two types' incentives are compared. Maximizing either type's full information payoff alone does not determine a separating equilibrium: the low type might imitate the high type, while the high type might deviate to a price customers would interpret as low quality. The intuitive criterion imposes a further comparison at prices outside the equilibrium path. The claim requires all of these comparisons with the same underlying payoff definition.

Formalization scope

Lean uses one tuple of real parameters qL,qH,α,Tq_L,q_H,\alpha,TqL​,qH​,α,T and the standing restrictions 0<qL<qH0<q_L<q_H0<qL​<qH​, 0<α<10<\alpha<10<α<1, and T>0T>0T>0. The prior probability of high quality does not occur in the separating price statements. The regular profit is the printed equation (2), with a positive regular price at most true quality. Campaign success probability is clipped at zero for funding prices above believed quality. Funding prices range over all reals at least TTT; the maximum profits are defined as suprema over those feasible prices. Milestones assert attainment, so those suprema cannot be replaced by convenient formula values.

The model uses the paper's market size, cost, salvage, and discount normalizations. Lemma 1 excludes p1=qjp_1=q_jp1​=qj​: at that endpoint the printed third case can specify an infeasible regular price. Lemma 2 assumes T<qjT<q_jT<qj​ and quantifies only over the four true and believed quality combinations. Lemma 3 is stated for T≤pˉ1T\le\bar p_1T≤pˉ​1​ to avoid its circular printed preamble, and one threshold comparison is expressed as a strict profit inequality because the lower crossing can lie below TTT. Proposition 1 does not assert pooling existence, which would require the omitted prior; its no separation clause is restricted to T<qLT<q_LT<qL​.

Contributions toward the piecewise optimization lemmas, the threshold characterization, and the equilibrium theorem are welcome. The separating equilibrium is defined by incentive comparisons over all feasible deviations, and its refinement is defined by the off path deviation test. The optimal profits are supremum values of the model payoffs. These choices keep the goal from collapsing into a restatement of a closed form or of the paper's derived necessary and sufficient conditions.

Selected references

  • E. Bolandifar, Z. Chen, P. Kouvelis, and W. Zhou, Quality Signaling through Crowdfunding Pricing, SSRN manuscript 3689946, revision of 2022-05-30, §§3–4 and Appendix A. SSRN. Published as Manufacturing & Service Operations Management, DOI 10.1287/msom.2022.1177; the cited artifact here is the SSRN manuscript.
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EconomicsOperations Research·Captain: mikedeng1

Tokenomics: When Tokens Beat Equity I: Debt Financing Has a Unique Break-Even Repayment Between the Set-Up Cost and the Maximal Monopoly Profit, and the Entrepreneur Earns the Venture's NPVResearch Paper

Motivation

Since 2017, billions of dollars have been raised through the issuance of crypto-assets, many of them tokens: digital claims on a future product or service, issued before the product exists. Malinova and Park, Tokenomics: When Tokens Beat Equity (SSRN 3286825; Management Science, 2023, doi:10.1287/mnsc.2023.4882), ask when such a pre-sale is a better way to finance a venture than the two classical instruments, equity and debt. To answer, they first work out how equity and debt perform in a simple monopoly model in which demand is uncertain when the money is raised. This mission formalizes the debt half of that benchmark (Proposition 2), together with the equity half (Proposition 1). The other three missions of the series treat the optimal token contract (Proposition 3), its comparative statics (Proposition 4) and financing under moral hazard (Proposition 8); all of them compare against the benchmark proved here.

Setting

An entrepreneur must pay a set-up cost C0>0C_0 > 0C0​>0 before she learns demand. Afterwards she is a monopolist with constant marginal cost ccc, facing the linear inverse demand

p(q)=x−q,p(q) = x - q,p(q)=x−q,

where the demand intercept xxx is uniformly distributed on (0,θ)(0,\theta)(0,θ), with 0<c<θ0 < c < \theta0<c<θ. Investors require a zero expected return. For a payoff ggg of the demand realization write

Eθ[g]=1θ∫0θg(x) dx.\mathsf E_\theta[g] = \frac1\theta \int_0^\theta g(x)\,dx .Eθ​[g]=θ1​∫0θ​g(x)dx.

At demand xxx the monopolist produces qm(x)=max⁡{(x−c)/2,0}q^m(x) = \max\{(x-c)/2, 0\}qm(x)=max{(x−c)/2,0} and earns the monopoly profit

πm(x)=max⁡{x−c, 0}2/4,\pi^m(x) = \max\{x-c,\,0\}^2/4 ,πm(x)=max{x−c,0}2/4,

that is (x−c)2/4(x-c)^2/4(x−c)2/4 if x≥cx \ge cx≥c and 000 otherwise. The project's net present value is NPV=Eθ[πm]−C0\mathrm{NPV} = \mathsf E_\theta[\pi^m] - C_0NPV=Eθ​[πm]−C0​.

Under equity, investors receive a fraction αs\alpha_sαs​ of profits; break-even is αs Eθ[πm]=C0\alpha_s\,\mathsf E_\theta[\pi^m] = C_0αs​Eθ​[πm]=C0​ (5). Under debt with promised repayment D≥0D \ge 0D≥0, investors receive min⁡{πm(x),D}\min\{\pi^m(x), D\}min{πm(x),D}: the full DDD when the venture is solvent (x>c+2Dx > c + 2\sqrt Dx>c+2D​), the whole monopoly profit under the debtor-in-possession arrangement when c≤x≤c+2Dc \le x \le c + 2\sqrt Dc≤x≤c+2D​, and nothing when x<cx < cx<c. The entrepreneur keeps max⁡{πm(x)−D,0}\max\{\pi^m(x) - D, 0\}max{πm(x)−D,0}. The repayment breaks even when

Eθ[min⁡{πm(x),D}]=C0.(7)\mathsf E_\theta\big[\min\{\pi^m(x), D\}\big] = C_0. \qquad (7)Eθ​[min{πm(x),D}]=C0​.(7)

In Lean these are expect, pim, npv, equityShare, debtInv and debtEnt in the namespace TokenFinance.Debt.

Formalization targets

Goal: Proposition 2 (Debt Financing)

If NPV>0\mathrm{NPV} > 0NPV>0, then

∃! D≥0: Eθ[min⁡{πm,D}]=C0,\exists!\, D \ge 0:\ \mathsf E_\theta\big[\min\{\pi^m, D\}\big] = C_0,∃!D≥0: Eθ​[min{πm,D}]=C0​,

and every such DDD satisfies

C0<D<(θ−c)24,Eθ[max⁡{πm−D,0}]=NPV.C_0 < D < \frac{(\theta-c)^2}{4}, \qquad \mathsf E_\theta\big[\max\{\pi^m - D, 0\}\big] = \mathrm{NPV}.C0​<D<4(θ−c)2​,Eθ​[max{πm−D,0}]=NPV.

Uniqueness is asserted among all nonnegative repayments, which implies the paper's uniqueness in (C0,(θ−c)2/4)(C_0, (\theta-c)^2/4)(C0​,(θ−c)2/4).

Milestones

  1. (3): NPV=(θ−c)3/(12θ)−C0\mathrm{NPV} = (\theta-c)^3/(12\theta) - C_0NPV=(θ−c)3/(12θ)−C0​.
  2. (32)–(33): with D=(θ−c)2δ2/4D = (\theta-c)^2\delta^2/4D=(θ−c)2δ2/4 and 0≤δ≤10 \le \delta \le 10≤δ≤1, the left side of (7) minus C0C_0C0​ equals the split integral (32) and the cubic (θ−c)312θ(−2δ3+3δ2)−C0\frac{(\theta-c)^3}{12\theta}(-2\delta^3 + 3\delta^2) - C_012θ(θ−c)3​(−2δ3+3δ2)−C0​ of (33).
  3. Monotonicity of (33): the cubic is −C0-C_0−C0​ at δ=0\delta = 0δ=0, equals NPV at δ=1\delta = 1δ=1, has positive derivative and is strictly increasing on [0,1][0,1][0,1]; it has a unique root in (0,1)(0,1)(0,1) when NPV >0> 0>0.
  4. (34): at a root δ∈(0,1)\delta \in (0,1)δ∈(0,1), D=C0⋅θθ−c⋅33−2δ>C0D = C_0 \cdot \frac{\theta}{\theta-c}\cdot\frac{3}{3-2\delta} > C_0D=C0​⋅θ−cθ​⋅3−2δ3​>C0​.
  5. (8): at any break-even D≥0D \ge 0D≥0 the entrepreneur's expected payoff is the NPV.
  6. Proposition 1 (Equity Financing): if NPV >0> 0>0, then αs=12θC0/(θ−c)3∈(0,1)\alpha_s = 12\theta C_0/(\theta-c)^3 \in (0,1)αs​=12θC0​/(θ−c)3∈(0,1), investors break even and the entrepreneur earns (1−αs)Eθ[πm]=NPV(1-\alpha_s)\mathsf E_\theta[\pi^m] = \mathrm{NPV}(1−αs​)Eθ​[πm]=NPV.

Significance

Propositions 1 and 2 establish that, absent agency problems, equity and debt finance exactly the positive-NPV projects and leave the entrepreneur the entire surplus. This is the benchmark of the paper: Proposition 3 shows that a carefully designed token pre-sale matches it, while naive token contracts (revenue sharing, plain output pre-sales) distort output and fail to finance some profitable projects. Corollary 1 of the paper is the conjunction of Propositions 1–3. The debt repayment characterized here also reappears in the moral-hazard analysis (§IV), where the ranking of debt, tokens and equity depends on the size of DDD relative to the low-demand state.

On the formal side, the results are proved in the paper with short calculus arguments, and nothing about them is machine-checked. The mission produces a checked model of uniform-demand monopoly financing in which expectations are genuine integrals of realized payoffs, the cubic reduction of the break-even condition, and the uniqueness argument for the repayment. These are the pieces the token missions of the series build on.

Difficulty

The central step is the passage from (7) to the cubic (33). The investors' payoff min⁡{πm(x),D}\min\{\pi^m(x), D\}min{πm(x),D} changes form at x=cx = cx=c and at the solvency threshold c+2Dc + 2\sqrt Dc+2D​, so the expectation must be split at points that depend on DDD and may fall outside (0,θ)(0,\theta)(0,θ) for large DDD; only for D≤(θ−c)2/4D \le (\theta-c)^2/4D≤(θ−c)2/4 does the threshold stay inside the demand range. Uniqueness over all D≥0D \ge 0D≥0 also needs the regime D≥(θ−c)2/4D \ge (\theta-c)^2/4D≥(θ−c)2/4, where the investors receive the whole profit and the break-even condition reduces to NPV=0\mathrm{NPV} = 0NPV=0. A naive argument that solves the cubic in δ\deltaδ and stops gives uniqueness only inside [0,1][0,1][0,1].

Formalization scope

All objects are plain functions of real parameters; there is no probability space. Demand enters only through Eθ[g]=1θ∫0θg\mathsf E_\theta[g] = \frac1\theta\int_0^\theta gEθ​[g]=θ1​∫0θ​g, the expectation under U(0,θ)U(0,\theta)U(0,θ) (open or closed endpoints make no difference). Case distinctions of the paper are encoded with max⁡\maxmax and min⁡\minmin, so the break-even condition (7) is a single integral of the realized repayment rather than the paper's split integral with D\sqrt DD​ limits; the split form is a theorem (milestones 2 and 5). The standing assumptions are 0<c<θ0 < c < \theta0<c<θ and C0>0C_0 > 0C0​>0; 0<c0 < c0<c is the paper's "positive marginal cost" (p. 22) and is kept throughout the series although Proposition 2 itself needs only c≥0c \ge 0c≥0. "All positive NPV projects" is the hypothesis 0<NPV0 < \mathrm{NPV}0<NPV on the integral-defined NPV.

A trivializing formalization is ruled out: the NPV, the investors' break-even condition and the entrepreneur's payoff are expectations of realized payoffs, never their closed forms, so neither (3) nor the reduction to (33) is true by definition.

The definitions file also declares the token objects of Proposition 3 (the revenue share t/(t+c)t/(t+c)t/(t+c), the realized token payoffs and condition (16)), identical across the four missions of this series so that they can be merged later; they are not used here. Out of scope: the secondary token market, bankruptcy costs, consumer welfare and the institutional discussion of the paper. Useful infrastructure includes lemmas for integrals of piecewise polynomials on intervals and a reusable "strictly increasing continuous function with a sign change has a unique root" argument.

Selected references

  • K. Malinova and A. Park, Tokenomics: When Tokens Beat Equity, SSRN 3286825, version of June 1, 2023. https://ssrn.com/abstract=3286825
  • K. Malinova and A. Park, Tokenomics: When Tokens Beat Equity, Management Science, 2023. https://doi.org/10.1287/mnsc.2023.4882
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Algorithmic Game TheoryEconomicsOperations Research·Captain: mikedeng1

Personalized Pricing and Distribution Strategies I: With Positively Correlated Valuations and a Uniform Manufacturer Price, Dual Distribution Is Optimal Under Either Retailer Pricing PolicyResearch Paper

Why distribution and pricing interact

A manufacturer that already sells directly to consumers may also supply an independent retailer. Adding the retailer can reach consumers who prefer its service, but the two channels then compete for some of the same buyers. A wholesale price affects both the retailer's ability to serve consumers and its retail pricing. The manufacturer's choice of distribution channel therefore depends on the pricing tools available to each firm. Jullien, Reisinger, and Rey study this choice when either or both firms can charge prices tailored to individual consumers in Personalized Pricing and Distribution Strategies. The source used here is their authors' manuscript of March 2022, whose proof of Proposition 3 appears in Online Appendix A.

This mission addresses a particular case of that analysis: the manufacturer charges a single retail price, while the retailer may charge either a single price or a price tailored to each buyer. The consumers' valuations for both channels move in the same direction with their type. Under those conditions, the paper claims that opening the retailer channel raises total industry profit under either retailer pricing policy. This is a question about the distribution decision, with the downstream retail game determining the profit achieved by each decision.

The market and its two retail games

A consumer type is a real number xxx in [0,X][0,X][0,X], with unit density. Firm A is the manufacturer and direct seller; firm B is an independent retailer that obtains each unit from A. Their values to a consumer are

uA(x)=max⁡{1−x,0},uB(x)=max⁡{v−sx,0}.u_A(x)=\max\{1-x,0\},\qquad u_B(x)=\max\{v-sx,0\}.uA​(x)=max{1−x,0},uB​(x)=max{v−sx,0}.

There are no fixed costs of opening a channel and no variable production or distribution costs. The market parameters satisfy 0<s<v<10<s<v<10<s<v<1 and X≥v/sX\ge v/sX≥v/s. These conditions express the positively correlated case in §5 and keep the market large enough that its upper boundary does not limit B's demand. The two values cross at x^=(1−v)/(1−s)\hat x=(1-v)/(1-s)x^=(1−v)/(1−s), with common value u^=(v−s)/(1−s)>0\hat u=(v-s)/(1-s)>0u^=(v−s)/(1−s)>0. Types below x^\hat xx^ value A's offer more; types above it value B's offer more, until valuations fall to zero.

A two-part tariff has a fixed fee FFF and a wholesale price www per unit B buys from A. The fee divides profit between the firms. Total industry profit is what consumers pay, so FFF cancels from that total. The wholesale price is nonnegative. At the wholesale stage, the firms compare the total industry profit attainable with both channels against the profit from A selling alone. As on p. 9 of the manuscript, a tie is resolved in favor of mono distribution; a strictly greater profit is required for dual distribution.

When A sells alone and charges a uniform price ppp, its profit is ppp times the measure of types for whom uA(x)≥pu_A(x)\ge puA​(x)≥p. If both firms charge uniform prices, denoted UU, they set pAp_ApA​ and pBp_BpB​ simultaneously. A consumer buys the product with highest nonnegative net utility. A earns pAp_ApA​ on each of its retail sales and www on each B sale. B earns pB−wp_B-wpB​−w on each of its sales. A downstream Nash equilibrium requires each price to maximize its firm's variable profit against the other price, including deviations into market regions where demand is zero or the identity of the preferred firm changes.

If A charges a uniform price and B tailors its price, denoted UP, A announces pAp_ApA​ first. B then responds separately to each consumer. Under the continuation selected in the manuscript, B serves a type xxx when uB(x)−wu_B(x)-wuB​(x)−w exceeds both zero and A's nonnegative consumer surplus. Its price is uB(x)−max⁡{uA(x)−pA,0}u_B(x)-\max\{u_A(x)-p_A,0\}uB​(x)−max{uA​(x)−pA​,0}. Otherwise, A sells if its price does not exceed the consumer's value. A chooses its uniform price to maximize its retail receipts plus wholesale receipts. Industry profit is the integral over [0,X][0,X][0,X] of the price actually paid by each consumer.

Formalization targets

The mono-distribution benchmark is

ΠUm=max⁡pΠUm(p)=ΠUm(1/2)=14.\Pi_U^m=\max_p\Pi_U^m(p)=\Pi_U^m(1/2)=\frac14.ΠUm​=pmax​ΠUm​(p)=ΠUm​(1/2)=41​.

The paper derives a wholesale price wUU∗w^*_{UU}wUU∗​ and retail prices pA(wUU∗),pB(wUU∗)p_A(w^*_{UU}),p_B(w^*_{UU})pA​(wUU∗​),pB​(wUU∗​) for the UU game, together with a profit ΠUU∗\Pi^*_{UU}ΠUU∗​ satisfying

ΠUU∗−ΠUm=(1+s)(v−s)2s(4+5s)(1−s)>0.\Pi^*_{UU}-\Pi_U^m=\frac{(1+s)(v-s)^2}{s(4+5s)(1-s)}>0.ΠUU∗​−ΠUm​=s(4+5s)(1−s)(1+s)(v−s)2​>0.

For UP it derives wUP∗w^*_{UP}wUP∗​, A's leader price pA(wUP∗)p_A(w^*_{UP})pA​(wUP∗​), and a profit ΠUP∗\Pi^*_{UP}ΠUP∗​. Equation (15) gives ΠUP∗>ΠUU∗\Pi^*_{UP}>\Pi^*_{UU}ΠUP∗​>ΠUU∗​. The milestone list follows these source results, including the consumer demands and the two profit identities. Its last comparison completes the UP side after the UU gain is established.

The goal is Proposition 3: for each of UU and UP, some nonnegative wholesale price admits a downstream equilibrium and every equilibrium at that price yields industry profit strictly greater than A could earn with any uniform price in mono distribution. The goal leaves the wholesale price existential, as the proposition does. It does not assume the paper's calculated candidates are the only possible wholesale prices that work.

What the result establishes

Proposition 3 identifies a robust distribution choice within the positively correlated case: while A uses uniform pricing, permitting the retailer channel raises joint profit whether B uses uniform or personalized retail prices. The conclusion separates the effect of B's pricing technology from the effect of A's own pricing technology; the latter changes the distribution comparison in Proposition 4 of the same manuscript. The result also supplies a precise instance in which additional downstream competition and additional market coverage must be assessed together.

The paper proves Proposition 3 in its Online Appendix A. The remaining work for this mission is a machine-checked derivation of the downstream equilibrium conditions, the demand and payment integrals, and the strict profit comparisons. The Lean statements here are open proof obligations. A complete development would make the consumer-choice and profit model reusable for related distribution games, while the rational formulas and equilibrium calculations are specific to this paper's linear valuations.

Where the formalization is difficult

The paper writes simple linear demand expressions in the region where both firms have positive sales. Actual demands are measures of consumer choice sets and change formula at market boundaries, when a price excludes a product, or when all consumers refuse to buy. A first-order condition within one region does not by itself establish a global best response in the full retail game. The UU equilibrium milestone consequently states global Nash optimality and uniqueness at the selected wholesale price. In UP, A's leader price must likewise maximize its variable profit over every real uniform price after B's per-consumer response. The integral of actual payments must then be shown to equal the paper's closed form.

Formalization scope

Lean represents consumer types by real numbers in [0,X][0,X][0,X] and their mass by Lebesgue volume. The Model fields are v,s,Xv,s,Xv,s,X; Model.Standing records exactly 0<s<v<10<s<v<10<s<v<1 and X≥v/sX\ge v/sX≥v/s. The valuations and crossing point are defined from these fields. Retail demand is clipped to the consumer interval, and profit is calculated from demand or actual payments. The expressions printed as (12) and (14) are theorem conclusions, not definitions of industry profit. A real supremum is unnecessary for mono distribution: the theorem bounds profit at every price and proves attainment at 1/21/21/2.

The UP response uses the manuscript's selected personalized-pricing continuation. At indifference, the choice rules assign UU ties between the firms to A and give B a sale in UP only with a strict margin. Ties occur only at isolated types at the candidate equilibrium prices; zero-price deviations can create ties across the flat zero-valuation tail, and the rules specify their outcome. Global best responses quantify over all real retail prices, including zero and negative deviations. The goal restricts wholesale prices to w≥0w\ge0w≥0, the range used in the manuscript's analysis. The fixed fee is omitted from the model because it transfers profit between firms without changing industry profit. The goal includes existence of a continuation equilibrium, so a vacuous universal statement over an empty equilibrium set cannot establish dual distribution.

The development needs elementary properties of Lebesgue measure on real intervals, measurable piecewise choice sets, interval integration, and algebraic inequalities for the rational candidate prices. Proofs of the equilibrium and integral milestones, or reusable lemmas about volumes of intervals cut by affine utility comparisons, are welcome contributions. The shared primitives are duplicated in the companion mission on personalized pricing by A because unpublished draft definitions cannot be imported across proposals.

Selected references

  • B. Jullien, M. Reisinger, and P. Rey, Personalized Pricing and Distribution Strategies, authors' manuscript of March 2022; published in Management Science (2023). DOI: 10.1287/mnsc.2022.4437. Source artifact in this repository: source.pdf, SHA-256 25a6c84ac0c48c6720f6a9e1f9b1f1ec516412c31dac044ac84c1d4c72dfc253, printed pp. 5–14 and Online Appendix A, pp. 1–4.
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Numerical AnalysisOperations Research·Captain: mikedeng1

A First-Order Primal-Dual Method for Nonconvex Constrained Optimization Based on the Augmented Lagrangian 4: Metric Subregularity of ∂L_γ Implies the VP-EB Error BoundResearch Paper

Motivation

Many problems in signal processing, statistics and engineering design have the form of a nonconvex, possibly nonsmooth objective subject to nonlinear equality constraints. Zhu, Zhao and Zhang (arXiv:2007.12219v1, 2020; published in Mathematics of Operations Research, 2024) propose NAPP-AL, a first-order primal-dual method that takes one linearized step on the augmented Lagrangian per iteration. Their analysis has three layers: subsequential convergence with an o(1/k)o(1/\sqrt k)o(1/k​) stationarity rate (§4), linear convergence under a new value proximity error bound (VP-EB, §5), and sufficient conditions for VP-EB (§6).

This mission formalizes the second sufficient condition: metric subregularity of the stationarity map, together with a local value condition on nearby stationary points, implies VP-EB. Metric subregularity is a standard regularity notion of variational analysis (Dontchev–Rockafellar), and error bounds of this kind are the classical route to linear convergence (Luo–Tseng). The paper attributes the cost-to-go inequality it relies on to Tseng and Yun [18]. A companion mission treats the KL-property route (Proposition 6.1); a third proves linear convergence from VP-EB (Theorem 5.1).

Setting

Write w=(u,v,p)∈Rn×Rd×Rmw=(u,v,p)\in\mathbb R^n\times\mathbb R^d\times\mathbb R^mw=(u,v,p)∈Rn×Rd×Rm with the Euclidean norm of the stacked vector, ∥w∥=∥u∥2+∥v∥2+∥p∥2\|w\|=\sqrt{\|u\|^2+\|v\|^2+\|p\|^2}∥w∥=∥u∥2+∥v∥2+∥p∥2​, and B(wˉ;η)\mathbb B(\bar w;\eta)B(wˉ;η) the open ball. The problem (P) is

min⁡u∈U, v∈Rd F(u,v)=G(u,v)+J(u)+H(v)s.t.Θ(u)+Bv=0,Θ=Ω+Φ,\min_{u\in U,\,v\in\mathbb R^d}\ F(u,v)=G(u,v)+J(u)+H(v)\quad\text{s.t.}\quad \Theta(u)+Bv=0,\qquad \Theta=\Omega+\Phi,u∈U,v∈Rdmin​ F(u,v)=G(u,v)+J(u)+H(v)s.t.Θ(u)+Bv=0,Θ=Ω+Φ,

with G,HG,HG,H smooth with Lipschitz gradients, JJJ lower semicontinuous and locally Lipschitz near UUU, UUU closed and convex, Θ\ThetaΘ Lipschitz, each component of Ω\OmegaΩ with Lipschitz gradient, and BBB an m×dm\times dm×d matrix of full column rank with Im Θ⊆Im B\mathrm{Im}\,\Theta\subseteq\mathrm{Im}\,BImΘ⊆ImB; FFF is bounded below and coercive on the feasible set (Assumption 1).

The augmented Lagrangian is Lγ(w)=F(u,v)+⟨p,Θ(u)+Bv⟩+γ2∥Θ(u)+Bv∥2\mathcal L_\gamma(w)=F(u,v)+\langle p,\Theta(u)+Bv\rangle+\tfrac\gamma2\|\Theta(u)+Bv\|^2Lγ​(w)=F(u,v)+⟨p,Θ(u)+Bv⟩+2γ​∥Θ(u)+Bv∥2. The set ∂Lγ(w)\partial\mathcal L_\gamma(w)∂Lγ​(w) is the KKT display of p. 6: with r=Θ(u)+Bvr=\Theta(u)+Bvr=Θ(u)+Bv, it collects the triples

(∇uG+∂J(u)+NU(u)+(∇Θ(u))⊤[p+γr],  ∇vG+∇H(v)+B⊤[p+γr],  r),\big(\nabla_uG+\partial J(u)+N_U(u)+(\nabla\Theta(u))^\top[p+\gamma r],\ \ \nabla_vG+\nabla H(v)+B^\top[p+\gamma r],\ \ r\big),(∇u​G+∂J(u)+NU​(u)+(∇Θ(u))⊤[p+γr],  ∇v​G+∇H(v)+B⊤[p+γr],  r),

with ∂J\partial J∂J the limiting subdifferential and NUN_UNU​ the normal cone. A point is stationary if 0∈∂Lγ(w)0\in\partial\mathcal L_\gamma(w)0∈∂Lγ​(w); Wˉ\bar{\mathbf W}Wˉ is the set of stationary points. Distances follow the paper's convention: dist(x,C)=inf⁡z∈C∥x−z∥\mathrm{dist}(x,C)=\inf_{z\in C}\|x-z\|dist(x,C)=infz∈C​∥x−z∥, and dist(x,∅)=+∞\mathrm{dist}(x,\emptyset)=+\inftydist(x,∅)=+∞.

NAPP-AL keeps qk=pk+γ(Θ(uk)+Bvk)q^k=p^k+\gamma(\Theta(u^k)+Bv^k)qk=pk+γ(Θ(uk)+Bvk), takes uk+1u^{k+1}uk+1 as a global minimizer over UUU of a linearized model with a Bregman term D(u,uk)/ϵkD(u,u^k)/\epsilon^kD(u,uk)/ϵk, vk+1v^{k+1}vk+1 as the minimizer of a strongly convex quadratic, and sets pk+1=pk+γ(Θ(uk+1)+Bvk+1)p^{k+1}=p^k+\gamma(\Theta(u^{k+1})+Bv^{k+1})pk+1=pk+γ(Θ(uk+1)+Bvk+1). The step ϵk\epsilon^kϵk lies in [σδk,δk][\sigma\delta_k,\delta_k][σδk​,δk​] with δk\delta_kδk​ given explicitly by (8), and γ>(57+1)(LG+LH)/(2λmin⁡(B⊤B))\gamma>(\sqrt{57}+1)(L_G+L_H)/(2\lambda_{\min}(B^\top B))γ>(57​+1)(LG​+LH​)/(2λmin​(B⊤B)) (Assumption 2).

VP-EB at wˉ\bar wwˉ (Definition 5.1): there are κ1,η,ν>0\kappa_1,\eta,\nu>0κ1​,η,ν>0 such that Lγ(wk+1)−Lγ(wˉ)≤κ1∥wk−wk+1∥2\mathcal L_\gamma(w^{k+1})-\mathcal L_\gamma(\bar w)\le\kappa_1\|w^k-w^{k+1}\|^2Lγ​(wk+1)−Lγ​(wˉ)≤κ1​∥wk−wk+1∥2 whenever wk+1∈B(wˉ;η)w^{k+1}\in\mathbb B(\bar w;\eta)wk+1∈B(wˉ;η) and Lγ(wk+1)<Lγ(wˉ)+ν\mathcal L_\gamma(w^{k+1})<\mathcal L_\gamma(\bar w)+\nuLγ​(wk+1)<Lγ​(wˉ)+ν.

Metric subregularity (Definition 6.2): ∂Lγ\partial\mathcal L_\gamma∂Lγ​ is metrically subregular around (wˉ,0)(\bar w,0)(wˉ,0) if, for some η,κ3>0\eta,\kappa_3>0η,κ3​>0, dist(w,Wˉ)≤κ3 dist(0,∂Lγ(w))\mathrm{dist}(w,\bar{\mathbf W})\le\kappa_3\,\mathrm{dist}(0,\partial\mathcal L_\gamma(w))dist(w,Wˉ)≤κ3​dist(0,∂Lγ​(w)) for all w∈B(wˉ;η)w\in\mathbb B(\bar w;\eta)w∈B(wˉ;η). Assumption 3 at a stationary wˉ∈Wˉ\bar w\in\bar{\mathbf W}wˉ∈Wˉ: for some δ>0\delta>0δ>0, Lγ(w)≤Lγ(wˉ)\mathcal L_\gamma(w)\le\mathcal L_\gamma(\bar w)Lγ​(w)≤Lγ​(wˉ) for all w∈Wˉw\in\bar{\mathbf W}w∈Wˉ with ∥w−wˉ∥≤δ\|w-\bar w\|\le\delta∥w−wˉ∥≤δ.

Formalization targets

Goal: Proposition 6.2 (p. 26)

Let {wk}\{w^k\}{wk} be generated by NAPP-AL in the standing setting and let wˉ\bar wwˉ be a cluster point. If Assumption 3 holds at wˉ\bar wwˉ with δ\deltaδ, and ∂Lγ\partial\mathcal L_\gamma∂Lγ​ is metrically subregular around (wˉ,0)(\bar w,0)(wˉ,0) with κ3>0\kappa_3>0κ3​>0 and η>0\eta>0η>0, η<δ\eta<\deltaη<δ, then

∃ κ1,η′,ν>0:wk+1∈B(wˉ;η′), Lγ(wk+1)<Lγ(wˉ)+ν ⟹ Lγ(wk+1)−Lγ(wˉ)≤κ1∥wk−wk+1∥2.\exists\,\kappa_1,\eta',\nu>0:\quad w^{k+1}\in\mathbb B(\bar w;\eta'),\ \mathcal L_\gamma(w^{k+1})<\mathcal L_\gamma(\bar w)+\nu\ \Longrightarrow\ \mathcal L_\gamma(w^{k+1})-\mathcal L_\gamma(\bar w)\le\kappa_1\|w^k-w^{k+1}\|^2 .∃κ1​,η′,ν>0:wk+1∈B(wˉ;η′), Lγ​(wk+1)<Lγ​(wˉ)+ν ⟹ Lγ​(wk+1)−Lγ​(wˉ)≤κ1​∥wk−wk+1∥2.

The constants are existential, as in Definition 5.1, so the statement survives any improvement of them.

Milestone: Lemma 6.1 (p. 23), the cost-to-go inequality

∀wˉ∈Wˉ  ∃ c6>0  ∀k:Lγ(wk+1)−Lγ(wˉ)≤c6(∥wˉ−wk+1∥2+∥wk−wk+1∥2).\forall\bar w\in\bar{\mathbf W}\ \ \exists\,c_6>0\ \ \forall k:\quad \mathcal L_\gamma(w^{k+1})-\mathcal L_\gamma(\bar w)\le c_6\big(\|\bar w-w^{k+1}\|^2+\|w^k-w^{k+1}\|^2\big).∀wˉ∈Wˉ  ∃c6​>0  ∀k:Lγ​(wk+1)−Lγ​(wˉ)≤c6​(∥wˉ−wk+1∥2+∥wk−wk+1∥2).

Significance

The result. Combined with Theorem 5.1 of the paper, Proposition 6.2 gives finite length, convergence of the whole sequence, Q-linear convergence of the potential and R-linear convergence of the iterates whenever the stationarity map is metrically subregular at the limit and Assumption 3 holds there. Metric subregularity is known for broad classes, such as piecewise linear-quadratic problems and polyhedral multifunctions, so the proposition turns a structural property of the problem into a rate for this algorithm.

Formalizing it. The proposition is proved on paper; nothing about NAPP-AL has a machine-checked proof. The formalization makes two things exact that the paper leaves loose. First, the proposition’s proof needs a cost-to-go constant independent of the stationary point, and the proof of Lemma 6.1 supplies one even though the lemma’s printed statement fixes the point first. Second, the proposition's proof places the nearest stationary point wpk+1w_p^{k+1}wpk+1​ in B(wˉ;η)\mathbb B(\bar w;\eta)B(wˉ;η), while only ∥wpk+1−wˉ∥≤2η\|w_p^{k+1}-\bar w\|\le 2\eta∥wpk+1​−wˉ∥≤2η follows from its steps; the existential conclusion leaves room to shrink the radius. A formal proof settles both, and the general facts it needs (metric subregularity in [0,+∞][0,+\infty][0,+∞], closedness of limiting-subdifferential graphs) are reusable.

Difficulty

The obvious route is to combine subregularity with the residual bound of Theorem 4.1(iv), dist(0,∂Lγ(wk+1))≤c5∥wk−wk+1∥\mathrm{dist}(0,\partial\mathcal L_\gamma(w^{k+1}))\le c_5\|w^k-w^{k+1}\|dist(0,∂Lγ​(wk+1))≤c5​∥wk−wk+1∥, which bounds the distance from wk+1w^{k+1}wk+1 to Wˉ\bar{\mathbf W}Wˉ by the step. The difficulty is transferring a distance bound into a value bound of second order: local Lipschitz continuity of Lγ\mathcal L_\gammaLγ​ would bound Lγ(wk+1)−Lγ(wp)\mathcal L_\gamma(w^{k+1})-\mathcal L_\gamma(w_p)Lγ​(wk+1)−Lγ​(wp​) only by a multiple of ∥wk+1−wp∥\|w^{k+1}-w_p\|∥wk+1−wp​∥, which is first order in the step, while VP-EB asks for the square; and JJJ is nonsmooth and nonconvex, so no Taylor expansion at the stationary point is available. Moreover, the stationary point closest to wk+1w^{k+1}wk+1 changes with kkk. The proposition’s proof needs a cost-to-go inequality with a constant uniform over stationary points, which in turn rests on the boundedness of the iterates and on the lower bound for ϵk\epsilon^kϵk coming from (8). The radius bookkeeping between the subregularity ball, Assumption 3's radius and the VP-EB ball is a second, smaller obstacle.

Formalization scope

Rk\mathbb R^kRk is EuclideanSpace ℝ (Fin k) and points are triples E n × E d × E m; every norm and ball uses the stacked Euclidean norm tnorm, never Lean's product (sup) norm. BBB is a continuous linear map with its operator norm (the spectral norm), never a Matrix with the entrywise norm; λmin⁡(B⊤B)\lambda_{\min}(B^\top B)λmin​(B⊤B) is the Rayleigh minimum over the unit sphere. Distances dist(0,S)\mathrm{dist}(0,S)dist(0,S) and dist(w,S)\mathrm{dist}(w,S)dist(w,S) are infima in [0,+∞][0,+\infty][0,+∞], equal to +∞+\infty+∞ on the empty set; Metric.infDist, which returns 000 on ∅\emptyset∅ and would make subregularity and the residual bounds trivial, is not used. The normal cone NU(u)N_U(u)NU​(u) is empty for u∉Uu\notin Uu∈/U, so a nonempty normal cone off UUU cannot manufacture stationary points. (H3)'s local Lipschitz continuity is read on neighbourhoods in Rn\mathbb R^nRn of points of UUU, not Mathlib's relative LocallyLipschitzOn.

Disclosed readings of the arXiv v1 text: G,J,HG,J,HG,J,H are real-valued with globally Lipschitz gradients; λmin⁡(B⊤B)>0\lambda_{\min}(B^\top B)>0λmin​(B⊤B)>0; NAPP-AL is a relation on given sequences (any global minimizer may be selected; existence is not asserted); VP-EB is the inequality alone, without Definition 5.1's presupposition that the sequence converges to wˉ\bar wwˉ; "generated by NAPP-AL" in Lemma 6.1 and Proposition 6.2 carries the standing setting of Theorem 4.1 (Assumptions 1–2 and rule (8)); Lemma 6.1 follows the printed quantifier order; its proof supplies the uniform constant needed by Proposition 6.2. The radius of Assumption 3 is δ3 in Lean, distinct from the step sequence δk\delta_kδk​.

Welcome contributions: a proof of Lemma 6.1 from the optimality of (5)–(6), Lipschitz estimates and the bounds of Theorem 4.1(ii); the boundedness and residual results of Theorem 4.1 (formalized in the companion mission on the o(1/k)o(1/\sqrt k)o(1/k​) rate); closedness of Wˉ\bar{\mathbf W}Wˉ; and the radius argument of Proposition 6.2. The source is arXiv:2007.12219v1; numbering and constants of the published version are not used.

Selected references

  • D. Zhu, L. Zhao, S. Zhang, A First-Order Primal-Dual Method for Nonconvex Constrained Optimization Based on the Augmented Lagrangian, arXiv:2007.12219v1, 2020; Mathematics of Operations Research, 2024. https://arxiv.org/abs/2007.12219v1
  • P. Tseng, S. Yun, A coordinate gradient descent method for nonsmooth separable minimization, Mathematical Programming 117, 2009. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10107-007-0170-0
  • Z.-Q. Luo, P. Tseng, Error bounds and convergence analysis of feasible descent methods: a general approach, Annals of Operations Research 46, 1993. https://doi.org/10.1007/BF02096261
  • A. L. Dontchev, R. T. Rockafellar, Implicit Functions and Solution Mappings, 2nd ed., Springer, 2014. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-1-4939-1037-3
  • R. T. Rockafellar, R. J.-B. Wets, Variational Analysis, Springer, 1998. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-642-02431-3
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AnalysisEconomicsOperations Research·Captain: mikedeng1

Courier Dispatch in On-Demand Delivery II: In a Crowded Market with Endogenous Demand, Batch Delivery Earns More Exactly Below One Threshold in Wait Cost and in Service RadiusResearch Paper

Why dispatch and pricing interact

A delivery vendor controls both how a courier serves orders and what customers pay. Serving one order per trip avoids waiting for a second order, but serving two together can save travel time when demand is high. If the vendor can change its price, it also changes the rate at which customers join the system. The preferred dispatch rule therefore depends on an economic decision as well as a queueing calculation. Chen and Hu study this interaction for a single courier in a disk-shaped market and compare the vendor's revenue under dedicated and two-order batch delivery in their paper. The present mission concerns their crowded-market results, Propositions 3 and 4, in the authors' SSRN version of 2022-09-21.

The paper first analyzes fixed demand rates, then lets the vendor choose a demand rate by setting a price. The latter decision changes the comparison: customers with a high cost of waiting favor a less crowded, dedicated service, while sufficiently patient customers can make batching more profitable. The service radius has an analogous effect. The paper's threshold is expressed through the product of wait cost and radius, so these two comparative statics describe the same switch Chen and Hu, §5 and Online Appendix A.

Delivery model and limiting revenue

A vendor is located at the center of a disk of radius r>0r>0r>0. Customers arrive at locations uniformly distributed over that disk. The vendor has one courier and chooses between dedicated delivery, one order per round trip, and batch delivery, two orders per trip. The effective demand rate is λ\lambdaλ. A customer incurs wait cost at rate c>0c>0c>0 and has a valuation in [0,1][0,1][0,1]. The vendor's price induces its chosen demand rate. Chen and Hu give the dedicated service rate μD=3/(4r)\mu_D=3/(4r)μD​=3/(4r) and batch service rate μB=45π/[4r(32+15π)]\mu_B=45\pi/[4r(32+15\pi)]μB​=45π/[4r(32+15π)] in equations (4) and (9).

The paper uses the following expected waiting times, with variation coefficients CD=9/8C_D=9/8CD​=9/8 and CB≈0.583C_B\approx0.583CB​≈0.583:

WD(λ,μ,C)=λC2μ(μ−λ),WB(r,λ,μ,C)=12λ+λC2μ(2μ−λ)+r3.W_D(\lambda,\mu,C)=\frac{\lambda C}{2\mu(\mu-\lambda)},\qquad W_B(r,\lambda,\mu,C)=\frac{1}{2\lambda}+\frac{\lambda C}{2\mu(2\mu-\lambda)}+\frac r3.WD​(λ,μ,C)=2μ(μ−λ)λC​,WB​(r,λ,μ,C)=2λ1​+2μ(2μ−λ)λC​+3r​.

Dedicated delivery is evaluated for 0≤λ<μD0\le\lambda<\mu_D0≤λ<μD​; batch delivery for 0<λ<2μB0<\lambda<2\mu_B0<λ<2μB​. The first batch term is the wait to form a pair. The final term represents travel while the other order is delivered. The batch in-line wait is the paper's Kingman-based approximation for an E2/G/1E_2/G/1E2​/G/1 queue, whereas the dedicated in-line wait uses its M/G/1M/G/1M/G/1 expression equations (5), (11), and (12).

In a finite market, the valuation distribution affects the price needed to induce demand. As the potential arrival rate grows, the paper's crowded-market revenue becomes

V∞(λ,w)=λ(1−cw).V_\infty(\lambda,w)=\lambda(1-cw).V∞​(λ,w)=λ(1−cw).

For each dispatch rule, insert its wait into this function and optimize over its stable demand range. The resulting optimal revenues are denoted Opt⁡D(c,r)\operatorname{Opt}_D(c,r)OptD​(c,r) and Opt⁡B(CB,c,r)\operatorname{Opt}_B(C_B,c,r)OptB​(CB​,c,r). The mission uses suprema to express these values. The paper motivates this limiting objective in (14)–(15) and Lemma 1 (16)–(17).

Formalization targets

One threshold for both parameters

The goal is a single α∗>0\alpha^*>0α∗>0 such that, for every c,r>0c,r>0c,r>0,

Opt⁡B(CB,c,r)>Opt⁡D(c,r)⟺cr<α∗,Opt⁡D(c,r)>Opt⁡B(CB,c,r)⟺cr>α∗.\operatorname{Opt}_B(C_B,c,r)>\operatorname{Opt}_D(c,r)\quad\Longleftrightarrow\quad cr<\alpha^*, \qquad \operatorname{Opt}_D(c,r)>\operatorname{Opt}_B(C_B,c,r)\quad\Longleftrightarrow\quad cr>\alpha^*.OptB​(CB​,c,r)>OptD​(c,r)⟺cr<α∗,OptD​(c,r)>OptB​(CB​,c,r)⟺cr>α∗.

Thus the wait-cost threshold at a fixed radius is c∞=α∗/rc_\infty=\alpha^*/rc∞​=α∗/r, and the radius threshold at a fixed wait cost is r∞=α∗/cr_\infty=\alpha^*/cr∞​=α∗/c. At the threshold the two optimized revenues agree. For the paper's numerical CB=0.583C_B=0.583CB​=0.583, it reports α∗≈0.1355\alpha^*\approx0.1355α∗≈0.1355 Online Appendix (A.7)–(A.8).

Demand and price at the switch

As either ccc or rrr increases through its threshold, the optimal demand rate has a downward jump and the corresponding optimal price has an upward jump. The formal statements require both one-sided limits to exist and the inequalities between them to be strict. They cover every selection of optimal demands, including any ambiguity at the tie. These are parts (ii) of Propositions 3 and 4.

The milestones cover strict concavity of the revenue objectives, their explicit optimizers and values where attained, the single crossing of the revenue gap, the demand comparison at the tie, and the two propositions individually. The goal combines those propositions through the common product crcrcr.

What the result and formalization establish

The threshold tells the vendor which dispatch rule maximizes limiting revenue after the price has been adjusted optimally. It also locates a discontinuous operational change: a small movement in customer impatience or service area across the threshold changes the chosen mode, demand rate, and price. Comparing the waiting-time formulas at one fixed demand would not provide this revenue decision, because each mode can choose a different demand rate Chen and Hu, §5.

Chen and Hu prove the paper result analytically, while the threshold and its supporting claims here are proposed Lean statements awaiting proofs. A completed formalization would connect exact claims about the rational waiting-time expressions, optimization over open stability ranges, the unique revenue crossing, and one-sided limits. It would also record which conclusions use the paper's approximated batch wait and numerically estimated coefficient. These are reusable patterns for queue-based pricing models, even though this mission formalizes this paper's particular geometry and service rules.

Where the argument is delicate

The two dispatch modes have different singular boundaries and different optimizers. The batch wait diverges as demand tends to zero, yet batch revenue can have a finite boundary supremum that is not attained for some parameter values. The dedicated objective has a different service-rate pole. Consequently, replacing either optimization with an unrestricted real supremum, or asserting that every batch supremum has a maximizer, changes the claim. The revenue comparison also needs one crossing for the full positive range of crcrcr, including values beyond the range where the appendix's interior batch optimizer applies. Finally, a strict jump in demand does not by itself supply the existence of both one-sided limits; the formal statements ask for those limits explicitly Online Appendix A.

Formalization scope

Lean uses real-valued r,c,λr,c,\lambdar,c,λ and the paper's closed-form waits, service rates, and limiting revenue. The name lam denotes λ\lambdaλ. The batch coefficient is a real parameter satisfying 0.58≤CB≤0.590.58\le C_B\le0.590.58≤CB​≤0.59, an explicit interval around the paper's numerical 0.5830.5830.583 rather than a claimed exact evaluation of its integral. Every threshold statement assumes c,r>0c,r>0c,r>0; the auxiliary optimum statements use the page's cr<TBcr<T_Bcr<TB​ range when they assert an interior maximizer. The domains are [0,μD)[0,\mu_D)[0,μD​) and (0,2μB)(0,2\mu_B)(0,2μB​), with zero excluded for batch because its 1/(2λ)1/(2\lambda)1/(2λ) wait is singular. The optimal revenues are defined as suprema of the actual objective images. The threshold is existential and is never defined from the desired answer.

The formal development does not construct the Poisson arrival process, random trip lengths, M/G/1M/G/1M/G/1 queue, or E2/G/1E_2/G/1E2​/G/1 approximation behind the waits. It takes the paper's equations (5) and (12) as definitions. The finite-density function VnV_nVn​ is recorded for context, but Lemma 1's convergence from finite to limiting optimized revenue is outside this mission's milestone list; the goal is explicitly the crowded-market limit. The printed (A.6)–(A.8) contain a coefficient error in the batch value, so the formal batch value uses the corrected expression and defines the revenue gap directly from the suprema. The printed batch optimization interval includes zero, which the stated waiting-time formula does not support. Definitions for objectives, stable domains, optimal demand, and one-sided jumps are reusable within related pricing formalizations. Contributions that establish the stated optimizer, crossing, or limit claims without changing their domains are within scope Chen and Hu, equations (12), (15), (A.3)–(A.8).

Selected references

  • Mingliu Chen and Ming Hu, Courier Dispatch in On-Demand Delivery, SSRN preprint 3675063, version of 2022-09-21. SSRN record and paper.
  • Mingliu Chen and Ming Hu, Courier Dispatch in On-Demand Delivery, Management Science, 2023, DOI 10.1287/mnsc.2023.4858. The formal statements use the SSRN version above.
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EconomicsOperations Research·Captain: mikedeng1

Social Media and News: Content Bundling and News Quality I: Unilateral Content Bundling Lowers Publisher Profit and Raises News Quality and Consumer Surplus iff c < c†Research Paper

Why content bundling matters

News publishers depend on direct visits for advertising revenue, while social platforms can show publishers' content inside their own feeds. That arrangement can move reading time from the publisher's site to the platform without changing how much news a consumer reads. It can therefore change the publisher's return from improving content quality. De Cornière and Sarvary study this question in a sequential model of a monopoly newspaper, a social platform, and consumers who divide a fixed amount of attention between the two sites. Their Proposition 1 says that unilateral content bundling lowers the publisher's profit, yet can either raise or lower its equilibrium quality depending on the cost of quality. De Cornière and Sarvary, working paper, pp. 7–12.

This mission concerns the paper's unilateral content bundling regime: the platform can incorporate news into its feed without a payment or a negotiated agreement with the newspaper. The source for theorem numbering is the Toulouse School of Economics Working Paper n° 1152, August 2021. The article later appeared in Management Science in 2023. The working paper's Proposition 1, Lemmas 1–4, and equation (2) are the targets here. The paper separately studies subscription pricing, voluntary participation, and negotiated bundling; those are separate settings. De Cornière and Sarvary, working paper, §§4–6.

The game

A newspaper first chooses news quality q∈[0,1]q\in[0,1]q∈[0,1]. A platform next chooses a news share λ∈[0,Λ]\lambda\in[0,\Lambda]λ∈[0,Λ] in its feed. Consumers finally allocate one unit of time between the newspaper's site and the platform. Write T1∈[0,1]T_1\in[0,1]T1​∈[0,1] for newspaper time and T0=1−T1T_0=1-T_1T0​=1−T1​ for platform time. The newspaper shows only news. A fraction λ\lambdaλ of platform time exposes the consumer to news; the remaining fraction exposes the consumer to user-generated content (UGC). News and UGC consumption are

xN=T1+λT0,xU=(1−λ)T0.x_N=T_1+\lambda T_0,\qquad x_U=(1-\lambda)T_0.xN​=T1​+λT0​,xU​=(1−λ)T0​.

The representative consumer obtains utility U(xU,xN)=xU+(1+q)xN−xN2/2U(x_U,x_N)=x_U+(1+q)x_N-x_N^2/2U(xU​,xN​)=xU​+(1+q)xN​−xN2​/2. When unconstrained by the available mix, the consumer wants news consumption xN=qx_N=qxN​=q. The platform earns R0=(1−λ+λϕ0)T0R_0=(1-\lambda+\lambda\phi_0)T_0R0​=(1−λ+λϕ0​)T0​, where one unit of UGC time yields one unit of revenue and one unit of news time yields ϕ0\phi_0ϕ0​. The newspaper earns R1=βT1+ϕ1λT0R_1=\beta T_1+\phi_1\lambda T_0R1​=βT1​+ϕ1​λT0​: direct time pays β\betaβ per unit and indirect news time pays ϕ1\phi_1ϕ1​. Producing quality costs cq2/2cq^2/2cq2/2, giving newspaper profit π1=R1−cq2/2\pi_1=R_1-cq^2/2π1​=R1​−cq2/2. De Cornière and Sarvary, working paper, pp. 8–9, equation (1).

A subgame-perfect equilibrium (SPE) specifies consumer attention after every feasible pair (q,λ)(q,\lambda)(q,λ), a platform news share after every feasible qqq, and an initial quality. At each stage the chosen action maximizes that stage's payoff given the continuation strategies. The no-bundling benchmark is the same game with Λ=0\Lambda=0Λ=0, which forces λ=0\lambda=0λ=0. Consumer surplus is utility at the equilibrium attention allocation. De Cornière and Sarvary, working paper, pp. 9–10, §4.1.

Formalization targets

The goal is Proposition 1, comparing every bundling SPE with every benchmark SPE. Both sorts of equilibrium must exist. Publisher profit is strictly lower under bundling. Away from the crossover cost, quality and consumer surplus increase exactly in the low-cost regime:

π1∗<π^1,q∗>q^ ⟺ c<c†,CS∗>CS^ ⟺ c<c†,(c≠c†),\pi_1^*<\hat\pi_1,\qquad q^*>\hat q\ \Longleftrightarrow\ c<c^\dagger,\qquad CS^*>\widehat{CS}\ \Longleftrightarrow\ c<c^\dagger, \quad(c\ne c^\dagger),π1∗​<π^1​,q∗>q^​ ⟺ c<c†,CS∗>CS ⟺ c<c†,(c=c†),

where c†=(β+ϕ1(1−2Λ))/(2Λ(1−Λ))c^\dagger=\bigl(\beta+\phi_1(1-2\Lambda)\bigr)/\bigl(2\Lambda(1-\Lambda)\bigr)c†=(β+ϕ1​(1−2Λ))/(2Λ(1−Λ)). A further clause records that at c=c†c=c^\daggerc=c† there is an equilibrium with quality below the benchmark. De Cornière and Sarvary, working paper, p. 12, Proposition 1; p. 31, proof.

The milestones follow the paper's named results and displays: Lemma 1 gives benchmark quality q^=β/c\hat q=\beta/cq^​=β/c and profit π^1=β2/(2c)\hat\pi_1=\beta^2/(2c)π^1​=β2/(2c); Lemma 2 gives consumer attention T1(q,λ)=max⁡{(q−λ)/(1−λ),0}T_1(q,\lambda)=\max\{(q-\lambda)/(1-\lambda),0\}T1​(q,λ)=max{(q−λ)/(1−λ),0}; Lemma 3 identifies the platform share min⁡{q,Λ}\min\{q,\Lambda\}min{q,Λ}; equation (2) gives the publisher's two-branch profit; the displayed definitions on p. 12 identify the branch maximizers and c†c^\daggerc†; and Lemma 4 characterizes equilibrium quality. The proof of Proposition 1 also states the ordering qL<q^<qHq_L<\hat q<q_HqL​<q^​<qH​ and relates surplus to the optimal content mix. De Cornière and Sarvary, working paper, pp. 10–12, 31.

What the result gives

The profit and quality effects answer different questions. Even if total news consumption stays at the consumer's preferred level, moving some of that consumption onto the platform reduces the publisher's direct traffic and hence its profit. Quality responds to a comparison of the publisher's gains from direct and indirect readers. The cost threshold distinguishes when the equilibrium moves toward a higher-quality strategy that attracts direct visits and when it moves toward a lower-quality strategy consumed through the platform. Because surplus in this model rises with equilibrium quality, the same threshold governs consumer surplus. De Cornière and Sarvary, working paper, pp. 12–13, 31.

The paper proves these claims mathematically; the Lean theorems in this proposal are open statements awaiting machine-checked proofs. Formalizing the complete sequential game would produce reusable specifications for attention allocation, contingent strategies, and equilibrium comparisons in platform markets. The first-stage profit identity and the best-response theorems are also usable independently of the final comparative-static result. This mission does not assert that the article's other models have already been formalized.

Where the proof is difficult

Checking only the realized quality and platform share does not establish subgame perfection. A different quality chosen by the newspaper changes the platform's subsequent action and then the consumer's allocation; those continuation choices must be valid after every feasible deviation. The publisher's resulting objective also changes form at q=Λq=\Lambdaq=Λ. At the cost c=c†c=c^\daggerc=c† the two candidate qualities both maximize profit, so an assertion about “the” equilibrium quality requires care. The article prints a low-quality choice at equality, while the game itself admits both. De Cornière and Sarvary, working paper, pp. 11–12, equation (2), Lemma 4; p. 31, proof.

Formalization scope

The Lean model uses real parameters β,ϕ0,ϕ1,c,Λ\beta,\phi_0,\phi_1,c,\Lambdaβ,ϕ0​,ϕ1​,c,Λ. The standing assumptions are exactly Table 1: 0<ϕ0,ϕ1<10<\phi_0,\phi_1<10<ϕ0​,ϕ1​<1, ϕ1<β\phi_1<\betaϕ1​<β, 2β<c2\beta<c2β<c, and 0<Λ<1/20<\Lambda<1/20<Λ<1/2. Quality, attention, and platform share range over [0,1][0,1][0,1], [0,1][0,1][0,1], and [0,Λ][0,\Lambda][0,Λ] respectively. The paper's earlier Λ∈[0,1/2]\Lambda\in[0,1/2]Λ∈[0,1/2] convention is superseded here by its Table 1 interior range; Λ=0\Lambda=0Λ=0 appears only as the benchmark instance. Real division in the candidate formulas is used under assumptions that make every denominator nonzero. De Cornière and Sarvary, working paper, pp. 8, 10, Table 1; p. 31, proof of Lemma 4.

The pin c≠c†c\ne c^\daggerc=c† applies only to Proposition 1's two “if and only if” comparisons. At equality, Lemma 4 is stated with both possible equilibrium qualities, and the goal retains the strict publisher-profit comparison. The platform's share theorem excludes q=1q=1q=1, where platform time is zero and its choice is indifferent. The consumer-attention theorem assumes λ<1\lambda<1λ<1 before dividing by 1−λ1-\lambda1−λ. The benchmark is an SPE with cap zero, and surplus is evaluated from utility; neither is inserted as a closed formula. Equilibrium strategies are defined by best responses after all feasible histories, and explicit existence clauses prevent claims about all SPEs from holding vacuously. These choices rule out defining equilibrium quality, benchmark quality, or surplus by the expressions that the milestones are meant to establish.

The development needs real arithmetic and interval sets from Mathlib, a model-specific strategy profile, utility and revenue definitions, and the three stagewise best-response conditions. Contributions establishing the consumer, platform, or publisher stages, the crossover case, and the final profit and surplus comparison are within scope. Subscription pricing and negotiated bundling require different games and are outside this mission.

Selected references

  • Alexandre de Cornière and Miklos Sarvary, Social Media and News: Content Bundling and News Quality, Toulouse School of Economics Working Paper n° 1152, August 2021; published in Management Science, 2023. DOI: 10.1287/mnsc.2022.4341.
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Numerical AnalysisOperations Research·Captain: mikedeng1

A First-Order Primal-Dual Method for Nonconvex Constrained Optimization Based on the Augmented Lagrangian 3: The Kurdyka–Łojasiewicz Property with Exponent 1/2 Implies the VP-EB Error BoundResearch Paper

Motivation

Augmented Lagrangian methods are a standard tool for constrained optimization, and first-order primal-dual variants of them are used when the objective is large, nonsmooth or nonconvex and second-order information is too expensive. Zhu, Zhao and Zhang (arXiv:2007.12219v1, published in Mathematics of Operations Research, 2024) analyse such a method, NAPP-AL (Nonconvex Auxiliary Problem Principle with Augmented Lagrangian), for problems with a nonlinear equality constraint, a closed convex set constraint, and a nonsmooth nonconvex term. They prove a sublinear rate in general and a linear rate under a local error bound they call the value proximity error bound (VP-EB).

An error bound is only useful if it holds in recognisable situations. Section 6 of the paper answers the question "can VP-EB ever be satisfied in a natural setting?" with two sufficient conditions. This mission formalizes the first: the Kurdyka–Łojasiewicz (KL) property with exponent 1/21/21/2, the condition behind most linear-rate results for nonconvex first-order methods since Attouch and Bolte (Math. Program. 2009) and Bolte, Sabach and Teboulle (Math. Program. 2014).

Setting

The problem (P) is

min⁡u,v  F(u,v):=G(u,v)+J(u)+H(v)s.t.Θ(u)+Bv=0,u∈U,\min_{u,v}\; F(u,v):=G(u,v)+J(u)+H(v)\quad\text{s.t.}\quad \Theta(u)+Bv=0,\quad u\in U,u,vmin​F(u,v):=G(u,v)+J(u)+H(v)s.t.Θ(u)+Bv=0,u∈U,

with u∈Rnu\in\mathbb R^nu∈Rn, v∈Rdv\in\mathbb R^dv∈Rd, Θ=Ω+Φ:Rn→Rm\Theta=\Omega+\Phi:\mathbb R^n\to\mathbb R^mΘ=Ω+Φ:Rn→Rm, a linear map B:Rd→RmB:\mathbb R^d\to\mathbb R^mB:Rd→Rm, GGG and HHH smooth, JJJ lower semicontinuous and possibly nonsmooth, and UUU closed and convex. Primal-dual points are w=(u,v,p)∈Rn×Rd×Rmw=(u,v,p)\in\mathbb R^n\times\mathbb R^d\times\mathbb R^mw=(u,v,p)∈Rn×Rd×Rm, with ∥w∥2=∥u∥2+∥v∥2+∥p∥2\|w\|^2=\|u\|^2+\|v\|^2+\|p\|^2∥w∥2=∥u∥2+∥v∥2+∥p∥2. The augmented Lagrangian with penalty γ>0\gamma>0γ>0 is

Lγ(w)=F(u,v)+⟨p,Θ(u)+Bv⟩+γ2∥Θ(u)+Bv∥2.\mathcal L_\gamma(w)=F(u,v)+\langle p,\Theta(u)+Bv\rangle+\tfrac\gamma2\|\Theta(u)+Bv\|^2.Lγ​(w)=F(u,v)+⟨p,Θ(u)+Bv⟩+2γ​∥Θ(u)+Bv∥2.

The stationarity set ∂Lγ(w)\partial\mathcal L_\gamma(w)∂Lγ​(w) (p. 6) collects the vectors (ξu,ξv,ξp)(\xi_u,\xi_v,\xi_p)(ξu​,ξv​,ξp​) with ξu∈∇uG+∂J(u)+NU(u)+(∇Θ(u))⊤y\xi_u\in\nabla_uG+\partial J(u)+N_U(u)+(\nabla\Theta(u))^\top yξu​∈∇u​G+∂J(u)+NU​(u)+(∇Θ(u))⊤y, ξv=∇vG+∇H(v)+B⊤y\xi_v=\nabla_vG+\nabla H(v)+B^\top yξv​=∇v​G+∇H(v)+B⊤y, ξp=Θ(u)+Bv\xi_p=\Theta(u)+Bvξp​=Θ(u)+Bv, where y=p+γ(Θ(u)+Bv)y=p+\gamma(\Theta(u)+Bv)y=p+γ(Θ(u)+Bv), ∂J\partial J∂J is the limiting subdifferential and NUN_UNU​ the normal cone. dist⁡(0,S)\operatorname{dist}(0,S)dist(0,S) is the least norm in SSS, and +∞+\infty+∞ when SSS is empty.

NAPP-AL updates uuu by minimizing over UUU a linearization of the smooth parts plus JJJ plus a Bregman term D(u,uk)/ϵkD(u,u^k)/\epsilon^kD(u,uk)/ϵk built from a strongly convex kernel KKK; it updates vvv by a linearized quadratic step and ppp by the multiplier step pk+1=pk+γ(Θ(uk+1)+Bvk+1)p^{k+1}=p^k+\gamma(\Theta(u^{k+1})+Bv^{k+1})pk+1=pk+γ(Θ(uk+1)+Bvk+1). The step ϵk\epsilon^kϵk lies in [σδk,δk][\sigma\delta_k,\delta_k][σδk​,δk​] with δk\delta_kδk​ given by the paper's formula (8). Assumptions 1 and 2 (Lipschitz gradients, Im⁡Θ⊆Im⁡B\operatorname{Im}\Theta\subseteq\operatorname{Im}BImΘ⊆ImB, coercivity on the feasible set, a lower bound on γ\gammaγ) are the paper's standing hypotheses.

For η,ν>0\eta,\nu>0η,ν>0 and Λ∗=Lγ(wˉ)\Lambda^*=\mathcal L_\gamma(\bar w)Λ∗=Lγ​(wˉ), let B(wˉ;η,ν)={w:∥w−wˉ∥<η, Λ∗<Lγ(w)<Λ∗+ν}\mathfrak B(\bar w;\eta,\nu)=\{w:\|w-\bar w\|<\eta,\ \Lambda^*<\mathcal L_\gamma(w)<\Lambda^*+\nu\}B(wˉ;η,ν)={w:∥w−wˉ∥<η, Λ∗<Lγ​(w)<Λ∗+ν}. Lγ\mathcal L_\gammaLγ​ has the KL property at wˉ\bar wwˉ with exponent θ\thetaθ if, for some η,ν,κ2>0\eta,\nu,\kappa_2>0η,ν,κ2​>0,

[Lγ(w)−Lγ(wˉ)]θ≤κ2dist⁡(0,∂Lγ(w))∀w∈B(wˉ;η,ν).[\mathcal L_\gamma(w)-\mathcal L_\gamma(\bar w)]^\theta\le\kappa_2\operatorname{dist}(0,\partial\mathcal L_\gamma(w))\qquad\forall w\in\mathfrak B(\bar w;\eta,\nu).[Lγ​(w)−Lγ​(wˉ)]θ≤κ2​dist(0,∂Lγ​(w))∀w∈B(wˉ;η,ν).

VP-EB holds at wˉ\bar wwˉ if, for some κ1,η,ν>0\kappa_1,\eta,\nu>0κ1​,η,ν>0, every iterate with ∥wk+1−wˉ∥<η\|w^{k+1}-\bar w\|<\eta∥wk+1−wˉ∥<η and Lγ(wk+1)<Lγ(wˉ)+ν\mathcal L_\gamma(w^{k+1})<\mathcal L_\gamma(\bar w)+\nuLγ​(wk+1)<Lγ​(wˉ)+ν satisfies Lγ(wk+1)−Lγ(wˉ)≤κ1∥wk−wk+1∥2\mathcal L_\gamma(w^{k+1})-\mathcal L_\gamma(\bar w)\le\kappa_1\|w^k-w^{k+1}\|^2Lγ​(wk+1)−Lγ​(wˉ)≤κ1​∥wk−wk+1∥2.

Formalization targets

Goal: Proposition 6.1 (p. 22)

For a run of NAPP-AL under Assumptions 1–2 and (8), and an accumulation point wˉ\bar wwˉ of {wk}\{w^k\}{wk}:

Lγ has the KL property at wˉ with exponent 12 ⟹ ∃ κ1,η′,ν′>0: VP-EB holds at wˉ.\mathcal L_\gamma\ \text{has the KL property at }\bar w\text{ with exponent }\tfrac12\ \Longrightarrow\ \exists\,\kappa_1,\eta',\nu'>0:\ \text{VP-EB holds at }\bar w.Lγ​ has the KL property at wˉ with exponent 21​ ⟹ ∃κ1​,η′,ν′>0: VP-EB holds at wˉ.

The constants of VP-EB are existential, as in Definition 5.1.

Milestone: Case 1 of the proof (p. 23)

There is c5>0c_5>0c5​>0 such that, whenever wk+1∈B(wˉ;η,ν)w^{k+1}\in\mathfrak B(\bar w;\eta,\nu)wk+1∈B(wˉ;η,ν),

Lγ(wk+1)−Λ∗≤κ22dist⁡2(0,∂Lγ(wk+1))≤(κ2c5)2∥wk−wk+1∥2.\mathcal L_\gamma(w^{k+1})-\Lambda^*\le\kappa_2^2\operatorname{dist}^2(0,\partial\mathcal L_\gamma(w^{k+1}))\le(\kappa_2c_5)^2\|w^k-w^{k+1}\|^2.Lγ​(wk+1)−Λ∗≤κ22​dist2(0,∂Lγ​(wk+1))≤(κ2​c5​)2∥wk−wk+1∥2.

Significance

Proposition 6.1 turns the paper's Theorem 5.1 (linear convergence under VP-EB) into a statement about a property that is known to hold for wide classes of functions: semialgebraic and subanalytic functions satisfy KL inequalities, and exponent 1/21/21/2 is established for many structured problems (for instance by Li and Pong, Found. Comput. Math. 2018). With it, a user who verifies the KL exponent of Lγ\mathcal L_\gammaLγ​ obtains a linear rate for NAPP-AL.

The result is proved in the paper; none of it is machine-checked. A formal proof requires the residual bound of Theorem 4.1(iv) for NAPP-AL, which the companion mission on the sublinear rate states as a milestone, and the conversion of a KL inequality on the strict level band into an error bound on the half band. A formal version also pins down a convention the paper leaves implicit: where the stationarity set is empty, the KL inequality is satisfied trivially because the distance is +∞+\infty+∞.

Difficulty

The deduction itself is short once Theorem 4.1(iv) is available; the difficulty is that Theorem 4.1(iv) is not. It asserts a uniform constant c5c_5c5​ with dist⁡(0,∂Lγ(wk+1))≤c5∥wk−wk+1∥\operatorname{dist}(0,\partial\mathcal L_\gamma(w^{k+1}))\le c_5\|w^k-w^{k+1}\|dist(0,∂Lγ​(wk+1))≤c5​∥wk−wk+1∥, which needs the boundedness of the iterates (from the sufficient decrease of the potential Λk\Lambda^kΛk and coercivity on the feasible set), a lower bound on the steps δk\delta_kδk​ through (8), and the optimality conditions of the nonsmooth, nonconvex subproblem (5), including the sum rule ∂(J+IU)⊆∂J+NU\partial(J+I_U)\subseteq\partial J+N_U∂(J+IU​)⊆∂J+NU​ under local Lipschitz continuity of JJJ. Applying the KL inequality directly, without a residual bound tied to the algorithm, gives nothing: the KL inequality controls Lγ\mathcal L_\gammaLγ​ by a distance to ∂Lγ\partial\mathcal L_\gamma∂Lγ​, and only the algorithm links that distance to the step.

Formalization scope

The Lean development works in EuclideanSpace ℝ (Fin k). Primal-dual points live in Rn×Rd×Rm\mathbb R^n\times\mathbb R^d\times\mathbb R^mRn×Rd×Rm with the Euclidean norm of the stacked vector written out explicitly (tnorm), not Mathlib's sup norm on the product. BBB is a continuous linear map with its operator (spectral) norm; λmin⁡(B⊤B)\lambda_{\min}(B^\top B)λmin​(B⊤B) is the infimum of ∥Bv∥2\|Bv\|^2∥Bv∥2 over unit vectors. dist⁡(0,⋅)\operatorname{dist}(0,\cdot)dist(0,⋅) is an infimum in [0,+∞][0,+\infty][0,+∞], equal to +∞+\infty+∞ on the empty set. The algorithm is a relation on given sequences: global minimality in (5) and (6) and the update (7); existence of minimizers is not asserted.

Readings disclosed relative to the page: G,H,JG,H,JG,H,J are real valued with gradients Lipschitz on the whole space; JJJ is Lipschitz on an Rn\mathbb R^nRn-neighbourhood of each point of UUU; λmin⁡(B⊤B)>0\lambda_{\min}(B^\top B)>0λmin​(B⊤B)>0; the normal cone is empty off UUU; VP-EB is the inequality of Definition 5.1 without its presupposition that the sequence converges; the KL property for Lγ\mathcal L_\gammaLγ​ uses the paper's set ∂Lγ\partial\mathcal L_\gamma∂Lγ​ of p. 6. Proposition 6.1 says only "generated by NAPP-AL"; the hypotheses of Theorem 4.1 (Assumptions 1–2 and the step rule (8)) are included because the proof uses Theorem 4.1(iv).

Trivializing encodings are ruled out: the distance is not Metric.infDist (which is 000 on the empty set), the product norm is not the sup norm, BBB is not a matrix with an entrywise norm, local Lipschitz continuity of JJJ is not Mathlib's relative notion, and the normal cone is not nonempty off UUU.

A complete development needs Theorem 4.1(iv) for NAPP-AL and thus most of §§3–4 of the paper (Proposition 3.1, Lemmas 4.1–4.3). That infrastructure is shared with the other missions of this series and is reusable; contributions of any of those lemmas are welcome. The source is the preprint arXiv:2007.12219v1, not the published version; all numbering is the preprint's.

Selected references

  • D. Zhu, L. Zhao, S. Zhang, A First-Order Primal-Dual Method for Nonconvex Constrained Optimization Based on the Augmented Lagrangian, arXiv:2007.12219v1, 2020; Mathematics of Operations Research, 2024. https://arxiv.org/abs/2007.12219v1
  • H. Attouch, J. Bolte, On the convergence of the proximal algorithm for nonsmooth functions involving analytic features, Mathematical Programming 116, 2009. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10107-007-0133-5
  • J. Bolte, S. Sabach, M. Teboulle, Proximal alternating linearized minimization for nonconvex and nonsmooth problems, Mathematical Programming 146, 2014. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10107-013-0701-9
  • G. Li, T. K. Pong, Calculus of the exponent of Kurdyka–Łojasiewicz inequality and its applications to linear convergence of first-order methods, Foundations of Computational Mathematics 18, 2018. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10208-017-9366-8
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