The Aaronson-Ambainis ConjectureOpen Problem
Motivation
Quantum query algorithms are known to beat classical ones on problems with algebraic structure -- period finding, hidden subgroups, forrelation. No such speedup is known for a problem with no structure at all. Aaronson and Ambainis proposed making that observation into a theorem, and reduced it to a question with no quantum content: a statement about bounded low-degree polynomials on the Boolean cube (Aaronson--Ambainis 2009).
The question has resisted since. A timeline of what is actually established:
- 2009. Aaronson and Ambainis state the conjecture and prove that it implies almost-everywhere classical simulation of quantum query algorithms.
- 2012. Montanaro settles the case of block-multilinear forms whose coefficients all have the same magnitude.
- 2016. O'Donnell and Zhao reduce the general conjecture to a restricted class, the one-block decoupled polynomials.
- 2019. Aaronson surveys a decade of partial progress (retrospective).
- 2022. Bansal, Sinha and de Wolf prove the conjecture for completely bounded degree- block-multilinear forms, obtaining influence at constant variance (arXiv:2203.00212).
- 2024. The conjecture is established for a non-negligible fraction of random restrictions (arXiv:2402.13952).
The cases that are settled are settled under structural hypotheses -- block-multilinearity, complete boundedness, symmetry, Boolean range. The general statement is open.
Setting
Let be a positive integer. The Boolean cube is , carrying the uniform distribution; a point is identified with the real vector it names, so a real multivariate polynomial in variables has a value at each cube point. For a function on the cube write
The variance of is . Writing for with its -th bit flipped, the influence of coordinate on is
These are the combinatorial forms of both quantities, as used in the source; no Fourier--Walsh expansion is required to state anything below. The degree of is its total degree as a polynomial. Call bounded when at every cube point -- a condition imposed only on the cube, not on all of .
Target
The goal is the conjecture in the shape stated by its authors: there is an absolute constant such that for all , all , every polynomial of degree at most that is bounded on the cube, and every with , some coordinate satisfies
The constant is quantified outermost and may depend on nothing. That uniformity is the entire content: bounds that degrade exponentially in are already known, and a goal naming a specific exponent would be superseded by the next improvement.
Significance
The result itself. Aaronson and Ambainis prove that the conjecture implies that the acceptance probability of any bounded-error -query quantum algorithm on a Boolean input can be approximated, to small error on all but a small fraction of inputs, by a classical algorithm making queries. Quantum speedups would then require structure in a precise sense. The conjecture also has purely classical content, asserting that boundedness plus low degree forces variance to concentrate on some single coordinate rather than spread across all . Without it, no such concentration is known at any rate polynomial in .
Formalizing it. The conjecture is open, so this mission does not formalize a known proof of the goal. What it produces is a machine-checked statement of the conjecture together with formalizations of the partial results above, each currently existing only on paper. The milestone chain also yields reusable infrastructure for analysis of Boolean functions, of which Mathlib currently contains none: no Fourier--Walsh expansion, no influence, no variance on the cube.
Difficulty
The elementary bound is the Poincare inequality on the cube, , which yields a coordinate with influence at least . This is tight for the dictator and depends on , so it says nothing: the conjecture demands a bound free of entirely.
The natural repair is the route available when takes only the values and . A Boolean-valued polynomial of degree depends on boundedly many coordinates, which immediately produces an influential one. That argument does not survive relaxing the range to the interval : a bounded real-valued polynomial of low degree need not depend on boundedly many coordinates, and every known substitute loses a factor exponential in . Closing the gap between exponential and polynomial dependence on is the difficulty, and it is where all of the partial results stop.
Formalization scope
Polynomials are MvPolynomial (Fin N) ℝ and degree is Mathlib's totalDegree, so the
statement needs no bespoke notion of degree. Expectation is a finite sum scaled by
rather than a measure-theoretic integral, keeping every definition elementary. Bit flipping
is Function.update x i (!x i). Boundedness is asserted at cube points only. Variance and
influence are the combinatorial definitions above, published as the definition
AaronsonAmbainis.
Three points close off degenerate readings. The exponent of the source is rendered as an existentially quantified natural number with no leading multiplicative constant, since admitting one weakens the claim. Taking that exponent to be would demand influence at least and is therefore not a trivializing choice, while larger exponents only weaken the bound; the content is that some fixed exponent suffices for all and at once. The hypothesis is universally quantified over , which is equivalent to the source's exact-degree form because the smallest admissible gives the strongest conclusion. The cases and are vacuous, since fails for a constant polynomial.
A complete development needs, beyond the published definitions, a Fourier--Walsh layer with Parseval's identity, the level- machinery used by the partial results, and -- for the completely bounded case -- operator-space norms on multilinear forms. All of the Boolean-analysis material is reusable well beyond this mission. Contributions of any milestone are welcome, as are alternative formalizations of the definitions in function-level rather than polynomial-level form.
Out of scope: the quantum simulation consequence is not formalized here. Stating it requires a formal quantum query model, which no Lean library currently provides.
Selected references
- S. Aaronson, A. Ambainis, The Need for Structure in Quantum Speedups, Theory of Computing 10 (2014) 133--166; arXiv:0911.0996. Conjecture 6.
- N. Bansal, M. Sinha, R. de Wolf, Influence in Completely Bounded Block-multilinear Forms and Classical Simulation of Quantum Algorithms, CCC 2022; arXiv:2203.00212.
- Aaronson--Ambainis Conjecture Is True For Random Restrictions, 2024; arXiv:2402.13952.
- S. Aaronson, The Aaronson-Ambainis Conjecture (2008-2019), blog retrospective.
- S. Arunachalam, J. Briet, C. Palazuelos, Quantum query algorithms are completely bounded forms, SIAM J. Comput. 48 (2019); arXiv:1711.07285.
- AIM problem list, Analysis on the hypercube with applications to quantum computing, aimpl.org/hypercubequantum.