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AnalysisOperations ResearchOptimization·Captain: mikedeng1

The Łojasiewicz Inequality for Nonsmooth Subanalytic Functions with Applications to Subgradient Dynamical Systems I: The Łojasiewicz Inequality at Critical Points of Continuous Subanalytic FunctionsResearch Paper

Motivation

For a real-analytic function f:U→Rf : U \to \mathbb{R}f:U→R on an open set U⊆RnU \subseteq \mathbb{R}^nU⊆Rn and a critical point aaa (so ∇f(a)=0\nabla f(a) = 0∇f(a)=0), the Łojasiewicz gradient inequality says that there is an exponent θ∈[0,1)\theta \in [0,1)θ∈[0,1) such that ∣f−f(a)∣θ/∥∇f∥|f - f(a)|^{\theta} / \|\nabla f\|∣f−f(a)∣θ/∥∇f∥ stays bounded near aaa. It is the standard tool for proving that bounded gradient trajectories x˙=−∇f(x)\dot x = -\nabla f(x)x˙=−∇f(x) have finite length and converge to a single critical point, and, in its descendants (the Kurdyka–Łojasiewicz property), for proving convergence of the whole iterate sequence of nonconvex descent methods: proximal gradient, alternating minimization, PALM, ADMM. Those algorithmic results all assume a nonsmooth version of the inequality, for functions that may take the value +∞+\infty+∞ and are not differentiable.

Bolte, Daniilidis and Lewis (SIAM J. Optim. 17 (2007)) supplied that nonsmooth version. This mission formalizes their first main result, Theorem 3.1: the inequality at critical points of subanalytic functions that are continuous on a closed domain.

Timeline.

  • 1963: Łojasiewicz proves the inequality for real-analytic functions (Une propriété topologique des sous-ensembles analytiques réels), and in 1984 derives convergence of bounded analytic gradient trajectories.
  • 1998: Kurdyka (Ann. Inst. Fourier 48) extends it to C1C^1C1 functions definable in an o-minimal structure, with a desingularizing function in place of the power.
  • 2006: Bolte, Daniilidis and Lewis prove a nonsmooth Sard theorem (J. Math. Anal. Appl. 321): a subanalytic function continuous on its closed domain is constant on each connected component of its critical set.
  • 2007: The present paper proves the nonsmooth inequality for continuous subanalytic functions (Theorem 3.1) and for lower semicontinuous convex ones (Theorem 3.3).
  • 2007: Bolte, Daniilidis, Lewis and Shiota (SIAM J. Optim. 18) extend it to lower semicontinuous functions definable in o-minimal structures (the KL property).

Setting

Write Rn\mathbb{R}^nRn with its Euclidean norm. A function f:Rn→R∪{+∞}f : \mathbb{R}^n \to \mathbb{R} \cup \{+\infty\}f:Rn→R∪{+∞} has domain dom⁡f={x:f(x)<+∞}\operatorname{dom} f = \{x : f(x) < +\infty\}domf={x:f(x)<+∞}.

Subanalytic sets (Definition 2.1). A set A⊆RnA \subseteq \mathbb{R}^nA⊆Rn is semianalytic if every point of Rn\mathbb{R}^nRn has a neighbourhood VVV on which A∩V=⋃i=1p⋂j=1q{x∈V:fij(x)=0, gij(x)>0}A \cap V = \bigcup_{i=1}^{p}\bigcap_{j=1}^{q}\{x \in V : f_{ij}(x) = 0,\ g_{ij}(x) > 0\}A∩V=⋃i=1p​⋂j=1q​{x∈V:fij​(x)=0, gij​(x)>0} with fij,gijf_{ij}, g_{ij}fij​,gij​ real-analytic on VVV. It is subanalytic if every point of Rn\mathbb{R}^nRn has a neighbourhood VVV such that A∩VA \cap VA∩V is the projection onto Rn\mathbb{R}^nRn of a bounded semianalytic subset of Rn×Rm\mathbb{R}^n \times \mathbb{R}^mRn×Rm, m≥1m \ge 1m≥1. A function fff is subanalytic if its graph {(x,λ)∈Rn×R:f(x)=λ}\{(x,\lambda) \in \mathbb{R}^n \times \mathbb{R} : f(x) = \lambda\}{(x,λ)∈Rn×R:f(x)=λ} is subanalytic. Semialgebraic functions, and functions locally built from analytic ones by finitely many algebraic operations, max/min and compositions, are subanalytic.

Subdifferentials (Definition 2.10). The Fréchet subdifferential ∂^f(x)\hat\partial f(x)∂^f(x) is the set of x∗x^*x∗ with lim inf⁡y→x, y≠xf(y)−f(x)−⟨x∗,y−x⟩∥y−x∥≥0\liminf_{y \to x,\, y \ne x} \frac{f(y) - f(x) - \langle x^*, y - x\rangle}{\|y - x\|} \ge 0liminfy→x,y=x​∥y−x∥f(y)−f(x)−⟨x∗,y−x⟩​≥0 (empty off dom⁡f\operatorname{dom} fdomf). The limiting subdifferential ∂f(x)\partial f(x)∂f(x) is the set of limits of xk∗∈∂^f(xk)x^*_k \in \hat\partial f(x_k)xk∗​∈∂^f(xk​) along xk→xx_k \to xxk​→x with f(xk)→f(x)f(x_k) \to f(x)f(xk​)→f(x).

Slope and critical points. The nonsmooth slope is mf(x)=inf⁡{∥x∗∥:x∗∈∂f(x)}m_f(x) = \inf\{\|x^*\| : x^* \in \partial f(x)\}mf​(x)=inf{∥x∗∥:x∗∈∂f(x)}, equal to +∞+\infty+∞ when ∂f(x)=∅\partial f(x) = \emptyset∂f(x)=∅ (equation (4)). The critical set is crit⁡f={x:0∈∂f(x)}\operatorname{crit} f = \{x : 0 \in \partial f(x)\}critf={x:0∈∂f(x)} (Definition 2.11).

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem 3.1

Let fff be subanalytic with closed domain and f∣dom⁡ff|_{\operatorname{dom} f}f∣domf​ continuous, and let a∈crit⁡fa \in \operatorname{crit} fa∈critf. Then there is θ∈[0,1)\theta \in [0,1)θ∈[0,1) such that

∣f−f(a)∣θmf  is bounded around a,\frac{|f - f(a)|^{\theta}}{m_f} \ \text{ is bounded around } a,mf​∣f−f(a)∣θ​  is bounded around a,

with the conventions 00=10^0 = 100=1 and ∞/∞=0/0=0\infty/\infty = 0/0 = 0∞/∞=0/0=0. In division-free form: there are CCC and a neighbourhood UUU of aaa with ∣f(x)−f(a)∣θ≤C∥x∗∥|f(x) - f(a)|^{\theta} \le C\|x^*\|∣f(x)−f(a)∣θ≤C∥x∗∥ for all x∈Ux \in Ux∈U and x∗∈∂f(x)x^* \in \partial f(x)x∗∈∂f(x). The exponent is existential; the goal fixes no value of θ\thetaθ or CCC.

Milestones

  1. Remark 2.12, for fff continuous on a closed domain: the graph of ∂f\partial f∂f is closed; crit⁡f\operatorname{crit} fcritf is closed; mfm_fmf​ is lower semicontinuous; crit⁡f=mf−1(0)\operatorname{crit} f = m_f^{-1}(0)critf=mf−1​(0).
  2. Proposition 2.13(ii), its clause on the critical set: if fff is subanalytic and relatively bounded on its domain, then crit⁡f\operatorname{crit} fcritf is subanalytic.
  3. Equation (6), recalled from the nonsmooth Sard theorem: fff is constant on the connected component of crit⁡f\operatorname{crit} fcritf containing aaa.
  4. The curve selection lemma, recalled from Bierstone–Milman: a boundary point of a subanalytic set is the origin of an analytic arc entering the set.

Significance

The result. Theorem 3.1 is the nonsmooth Łojasiewicz inequality at critical points. With the subgradient in place of the gradient, it yields finite length of bounded trajectories of subgradient systems x˙∈−∂f(x)\dot x \in -\partial f(x)x˙∈−∂f(x) (Section 4 of the paper) and is the template for the Kurdyka–Łojasiewicz property that underlies convergence proofs for proximal and splitting methods on nonconvex, nonsmooth problems (e.g. Attouch–Bolte–Redont–Soubeyran 2010, Bolte–Sabach–Teboulle 2014). Those papers assume the KL property and cite this line of results to know it holds for semialgebraic and subanalytic objectives.

Formalizing it. The theorem is proved; this mission produces a machine-checked proof. To our knowledge no proof assistant has a formal definition of subanalytic sets or of the nonsmooth Łojasiewicz inequality. The definitions layer (semianalytic and subanalytic sets, the slope, the inequality) is reusable by any later formalization of KL-based convergence analyses, and the milestones on Remark 2.12 are general facts about limiting subdifferentials that apply well beyond subanalytic geometry.

Difficulty

The obvious argument restricts fff and mfm_fmf​ to an analytic curve and compares their Puiseux expansions. That step needs three pieces of subanalytic geometry that no library has: curve selection, the structure of one-variable subanalytic functions (monotonicity and Puiseux expansions), and the fact that the sets built in the proof (sets of points with a subgradient satisfying an inequality, level-wise infima of mfm_fmf​) are again subanalytic, which in the paper goes through global subanalyticity and the projection theorem. The second obstacle is that fff is not smooth: the classical proof differentiates fff along a curve, while here only Fréchet subgradients are available, and the chain rule along an analytic curve holds only almost everywhere. The constancy of fff on critical components, equation (6), is itself a nonsmooth Sard-type theorem whose published proof uses stratification. A solver who replaces subanalytic by semialgebraic, or assumes fff real-valued and C1C^1C1, proves a different and much weaker statement.

Formalization scope

  • Space and values. The space is EuclideanSpace ℝ (Fin n). The function is f : E → EReal with f x ≠ ⊥ for every x. The domain is {x | f x ≠ ⊤}; it is assumed closed, and f is assumed ContinuousOn it.
  • Subdifferentials. ∂^f\hat\partial f∂^f and ∂f\partial f∂f are the published platform definitions NonconvexSplitting.Shared.IsRegularSubgrad and LimitingSubdiff, which match Definition 2.10 for functions never equal to −∞-\infty−∞.
  • Subanalyticity. It is defined on any finite-dimensional real normed space, so that the same definition covers Rn\mathbb{R}^nRn, Rn×R\mathbb{R}^n \times \mathbb{R}Rn×R and Rn×Rm\mathbb{R}^n \times \mathbb{R}^mRn×Rm. Analyticity is AnalyticOnNhd ℝ. The boundedness of the semianalytic set in Definition 2.1(ii) is part of the definition: without it every projection of a semianalytic set would count.
  • Slope. The slope is valued in [0,+∞][0,+\infty][0,+∞], with +∞+\infty+∞ on points without subgradients.
  • The inequality. It is the predicate LojIneqAt f a θ: one constant CCC and one neighbourhood of aaa, quantified over all limiting subgradients. Under 00=10^0 = 100=1 the value θ=0\theta = 0θ=0 never works at a critical point, as under the paper's conventions.
  • Not assumed. The goal does not assume lower semicontinuity, real values, global subanalyticity, compactness of the critical set, or f(a)=0f(a) = 0f(a)=0. These are reductions inside the paper's proof. Any formalization that adds them, fixes θ\thetaθ, or replaces the class of fff by semialgebraic or C1C^1C1 functions trivializes the target.
  • Infrastructure. A complete proof needs: curve selection; the monotonicity lemma and Puiseux expansions for one-variable globally subanalytic functions; the projection theorem or an equivalent definability argument; the nonsmooth Sard theorem (6); and a chain rule for Fréchet subgradients along analytic curves. Each of these is welcome as a separate contribution, and the subanalytic-geometry results are reusable well beyond this mission.

Selected references

  • J. Bolte, A. Daniilidis, A. Lewis, The Łojasiewicz inequality for nonsmooth subanalytic functions with applications to subgradient dynamical systems, SIAM J. Optim. 17 (2007) 1205–1223. https://doi.org/10.1137/050644641
  • J. Bolte, A. Daniilidis, A. Lewis, A Sard theorem for non-differentiable functions, J. Math. Anal. Appl. 321 (2006) 729–740.
  • E. Bierstone, P. Milman, Semianalytic and subanalytic sets, Publ. Math. IHÉS 67 (1988) 5–42. https://doi.org/10.1007/BF02699126
  • K. Kurdyka, On gradients of functions definable in o-minimal structures, Ann. Inst. Fourier 48 (1998) 769–783. https://doi.org/10.5802/aif.1638
  • J. Bolte, A. Daniilidis, A. Lewis, M. Shiota, Clarke subgradients of stratifiable functions, SIAM J. Optim. 18 (2007) 556–572. https://doi.org/10.1137/060670080
  • S. Łojasiewicz, Une propriété topologique des sous-ensembles analytiques réels, in Les Équations aux Dérivées Partielles, CNRS, Paris, 1963, 87–89.
  • R. T. Rockafellar, R. J.-B. Wets, Variational Analysis, Grundlehren 317, Springer, 1998. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-642-02431-3
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Machine LearningProbabilityStatistics·Captain: mikedeng1

Stability and Generalization 1: Polynomial Generalization Bounds from Hypothesis Stability for the Empirical and Leave-One-Out ErrorsResearch Paper

Why stability bounds

A learning algorithm is judged by its generalization error, its expected loss on a fresh example, which cannot be computed because the data distribution is unknown. Practitioners estimate it either by the empirical error on the training set or by the leave-one-out error, which retrains the algorithm once per example. Classical learning theory justifies these estimates through uniform convergence over the whole hypothesis space (VC dimension, covering numbers). That route says nothing useful about algorithms such as nearest-neighbour rules or regularized kernel methods, whose effective hypothesis space is huge or unknown.

An alternative is to bound the deviation through a property of the algorithm itself: how much its output changes when one training example is removed. This idea goes back to Rogers and Wagner (1978) and Devroye and Wagner (1979) for local rules, and Kearns and Ron (1999) gave it a name. Bousquet and Elisseeff (JMLR 2002) systematized it with several stability notions and corresponding bounds; their paper is the standard reference for algorithmic stability in learning theory. This mission formalizes its first family of results, the polynomial bounds of §4.1.

Setting

Let Z=X×YZ = X \times YZ=X×Y and let DDD be a probability distribution on ZZZ. A training set S={z1,…,zm}S = \{z_1, \dots, z_m\}S={z1​,…,zm​} consists of mmm examples drawn i.i.d. from DDD. A learning algorithm AAA maps a training set SSS to a hypothesis AS:X→Y′A_S : X \to Y'AS​:X→Y′; it is deterministic and symmetric, meaning it does not depend on the order of the examples. A cost ccc with 0≤c(y′,y)≤M0 \le c(y', y) \le M0≤c(y′,y)≤M defines the loss ℓ(f,z)=c(f(x),y)\ell(f, z) = c(f(x), y)ℓ(f,z)=c(f(x),y) of a hypothesis fff at z=(x,y)z = (x, y)z=(x,y).

For each index iii, S∖iS^{\setminus i}S∖i is SSS with ziz_izi​ removed, and SiS^iSi is SSS with ziz_izi​ replaced by an independent fresh draw zi′∼Dz'_i \sim Dzi′​∼D. The three error quantities are

R(A,S)=Ez[ℓ(AS,z)],Remp(A,S)=1m∑i=1mℓ(AS,zi),Rloo(A,S)=1m∑i=1mℓ(AS∖i,zi).R(A,S) = \mathbb E_z[\ell(A_S, z)], \qquad R_{\mathrm{emp}}(A,S) = \frac1m \sum_{i=1}^m \ell(A_S, z_i), \qquad R_{\mathrm{loo}}(A,S) = \frac1m \sum_{i=1}^m \ell(A_{S^{\setminus i}}, z_i).R(A,S)=Ez​[ℓ(AS​,z)],Remp​(A,S)=m1​i=1∑m​ℓ(AS​,zi​),Rloo​(A,S)=m1​i=1∑m​ℓ(AS∖i​,zi​).

Two stability notions (Definitions 3 and 4) control them. AAA has hypothesis stability β1\beta_1β1​ if ES,z[∣ℓ(AS,z)−ℓ(AS∖i,z)∣]≤β1\mathbb E_{S,z}[|\ell(A_S,z) - \ell(A_{S^{\setminus i}},z)|] \le \beta_1ES,z​[∣ℓ(AS​,z)−ℓ(AS∖i​,z)∣]≤β1​ for every iii, and pointwise hypothesis stability β2\beta_2β2​ if ES[∣ℓ(AS,zi)−ℓ(AS∖i,zi)∣]≤β2\mathbb E_{S}[|\ell(A_S,z_i) - \ell(A_{S^{\setminus i}},z_i)|] \le \beta_2ES​[∣ℓ(AS​,zi​)−ℓ(AS∖i​,zi​)∣]≤β2​ for every iii.

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem 11

For m≥1m \ge 1m≥1, under hypothesis stability β1\beta_1β1​ and pointwise hypothesis stability β2\beta_2β2​, for every δ>0\delta > 0δ>0, each of the following holds with probability at least 1−δ1 - \delta1−δ over S∼DmS \sim D^mS∼Dm:

R(A,S)≤Remp(A,S)+M2+6Mm(β1+β2)2mδ,R(A,S)≤Rloo(A,S)+M2+6Mmβ12mδ.R(A,S) \le R_{\mathrm{emp}}(A,S) + \sqrt{\frac{M^2 + 6Mm(\beta_1+\beta_2)}{2m\delta}}, \qquad R(A,S) \le R_{\mathrm{loo}}(A,S) + \sqrt{\frac{M^2 + 6Mm\beta_1}{2m\delta}} .R(A,S)≤Remp​(A,S)+2mδM2+6Mm(β1​+β2​)​​,R(A,S)≤Rloo​(A,S)+2mδM2+6Mmβ1​​​.

Milestones

  1. Lemma 25 (p. 520), a generalized Rogers–Wagner identity: upper bounds on ES[(R−Remp)2]\mathbb E_S[(R - R_{\mathrm{emp}})^2]ES​[(R−Remp​)2] and ES[(R−Rloo)2]\mathbb E_S[(R - R_{\mathrm{loo}})^2]ES​[(R−Rloo​)2] by correlations of the loss.
  2. Lemma 9, (8) and (9) (p. 505): ES[(R−Remp)2]≤M22m+3M ES,zi′[∣ℓ(AS,zi)−ℓ(ASi,zi)∣]\mathbb E_S[(R - R_{\mathrm{emp}})^2] \le \frac{M^2}{2m} + 3M\,\mathbb E_{S,z'_i}[|\ell(A_S,z_i) - \ell(A_{S^i},z_i)|]ES​[(R−Remp​)2]≤2mM2​+3MES,zi′​​[∣ℓ(AS​,zi​)−ℓ(ASi​,zi​)∣] and ES[(R−Rloo)2]≤M22m+3M ES,z[∣ℓ(AS,z)−ℓ(AS∖i,z)∣]\mathbb E_S[(R - R_{\mathrm{loo}})^2] \le \frac{M^2}{2m} + 3M\,\mathbb E_{S,z}[|\ell(A_S,z) - \ell(A_{S^{\setminus i}},z)|]ES​[(R−Rloo​)2]≤2mM2​+3MES,z​[∣ℓ(AS​,z)−ℓ(AS∖i​,z)∣].
  3. The replace-one term (proof of Theorem 11): ES,zi′[∣ℓ(AS,zi)−ℓ(ASi,zi)∣]≤β1+β2\mathbb E_{S,z'_i}[|\ell(A_S,z_i) - \ell(A_{S^i},z_i)|] \le \beta_1 + \beta_2ES,zi′​​[∣ℓ(AS​,zi​)−ℓ(ASi​,zi​)∣]≤β1​+β2​.
  4. The second-moment bounds (proof of Theorem 11): ES[(R−Remp)2]≤M22m+3M(β1+β2)\mathbb E_S[(R - R_{\mathrm{emp}})^2] \le \frac{M^2}{2m} + 3M(\beta_1+\beta_2)ES​[(R−Remp​)2]≤2mM2​+3M(β1​+β2​) and ES[(R−Rloo)2]≤M22m+3Mβ1\mathbb E_S[(R - R_{\mathrm{loo}})^2] \le \frac{M^2}{2m} + 3M\beta_1ES​[(R−Rloo​)2]≤2mM2​+3Mβ1​.

Significance

Theorem 11 is the weakest-assumption bound in the paper: it requires only average-case stability, not the uniform (worst-case) stability behind the exponential bounds of §4.2. It shows that both the resubstitution and the deleted estimate are within O(1/mδ)O(1/\sqrt{m\delta})O(1/mδ​) of the risk whenever the stability parameters decay like 1/m1/m1/m, with no reference to the size of the hypothesis class. It also extends Devroye and Wagner's leave-one-out analysis for classification to bounded regression losses and to the empirical estimator. Later work on average stability and on generalization of stochastic gradient methods (for example Hardt, Recht and Singer, 2016) starts from these notions.

The result is proved in the paper; as far as is known it has no machine-checked proof. A formal development has two concrete payoffs. First, it fixes the constants: in checking the argument, two printed slips were found (the empirical constant in Theorem 11 and the third term of Lemma 25's first inequality), and the formal statements record the versions that the paper's proof actually establishes. Second, the Lemma 25 and Lemma 9 machinery — exchangeability of i.i.d. samples under renaming, and second-moment control through stability — is reusable for any later stability result.

Difficulty

The obvious route is the Efron–Stein (Steele) variance inequality, Theorem 1 of the paper. It bounds the variance of R−RempR - R_{\mathrm{emp}}R−Remp​, not its second moment, and leaves the bias to be handled separately; the paper notes that it gives worse constants. The direct route of Appendix A instead expands ES[(R−Remp)2]\mathbb E_S[(R - R_{\mathrm{emp}})^2]ES​[(R−Remp​)2] and rewrites each correlation term by renaming i.i.d. variables: training points, fresh test points and replacement points are exchanged with one another, and the algorithm is retrained on sets T∪{z,z′}T \cup \{z, z'\}T∪{z,z′} with T=S∖{i,j}T = S^{\setminus \{i,j\}}T=S∖{i,j}. Every renaming is a measure-preserving map on a product of m+2m + 2m+2 copies of DDD, and each must be justified by the symmetry of AAA. Doing this rigorously, rather than as "a matter of renaming", is the core of the work. The leave-one-out case is only sketched in the paper ("it is easy to see"), so its formal proof has to be reconstructed.

Formalization scope

  • An algorithm is a function Multiset (X × Y) → (X → Y'). Symmetry in the training set is built into the type, and the same algorithm acts on sets of every size, as SSS and S∖iS^{\setminus i}S∖i require. A sample is S : Fin m → X × Y with law DmD^mDm (Measure.pi); fresh points zzz, z′z'z′, zi′z'_izi′​ are further independent coordinates, via product measures Dm⊗DD^m \otimes DDm⊗D and (Dm⊗D)⊗D(D^m \otimes D) \otimes D(Dm⊗D)⊗D.
  • The loss, empirical error and generalization error are the published FoundationsML.Stability definitions (Loss, EmpiricalError, GeneralizationError).
  • The cost satisfies 0≤c≤M0 \le c \le M0≤c≤M everywhere. The paper's assumption that "all functions are measurable" becomes one hypothesis: for every nnn, (S,z)↦ℓ(AS,z)(S, z) \mapsto \ell(A_S, z)(S,z)↦ℓ(AS​,z) is measurable on (X×Y)n×(X×Y)(X \times Y)^n \times (X \times Y)(X×Y)n×(X×Y). Both stability definitions also require their integrands to be integrable. Together these rule out the trivializing reading in which a non-integrable expectation equals Lean's default value 000 and the stability hypotheses hold vacuously.
  • "With probability 1−δ1 - \delta1−δ" is stated as a bound on the failure event: Dm{S:R>Remp+⋯ }≤δD^m\{S : R > R_{\mathrm{emp}} + \cdots\} \le \deltaDm{S:R>Remp​+⋯}≤δ for every δ>0\delta > 0δ>0, separately for each estimator.
  • m≥2m \ge 2m≥2 is assumed in Lemmas 9 and 25 and in the two second-moment steps of the proof, because the lemmas refer to two distinct indices. Theorem 11 itself is stated for every m≥1m \ge 1m≥1, as printed.
  • Corrected statements. (i) Theorem 11's empirical bound is stated with 6Mm(β1+β2)6Mm(\beta_1+\beta_2)6Mm(β1​+β2​), not the printed 12Mmβ212Mm\beta_212Mmβ2​: the proof bounds a hypothesis-stability term by β2\beta_2β2​ when it is bounded by β1\beta_1β1​. The two coincide when β1=β2\beta_1 = \beta_2β1​=β2​. Accordingly the replace-one milestone is stated as ≤β1+β2\le \beta_1 + \beta_2≤β1​+β2​ (printed 2β22\beta_22β2​), and the empirical second-moment bound as M22m+3M(β1+β2)\frac{M^2}{2m} + 3M(\beta_1+\beta_2)2mM2​+3M(β1​+β2​) (printed 6Mβ26M\beta_26Mβ2​). (ii) Lemma 25's empirical inequality has ES[ℓ(AS,zi)ℓ(AS,zj)]\mathbb E_S[\ell(A_S,z_i)\ell(A_S,z_j)]ES​[ℓ(AS​,zi​)ℓ(AS​,zj​)] as its third term, as its proof gives, not the printed leave-one-out term. (iii) The leave-one-out second-moment bound follows from (9), not from (10) as printed.

Contributions are welcome at every level: proofs of the milestones, a general exchangeability lemma for symmetric algorithms on product measures, and Markov/Chebyshev glue for the final step.

Selected references

  • O. Bousquet and A. Elisseeff, Stability and Generalization, Journal of Machine Learning Research 2 (2002), 499–526. https://www.jmlr.org/papers/v2/bousquet02a.html
  • W. H. Rogers and T. J. Wagner, A finite sample distribution-free performance bound for local discrimination rules, Annals of Statistics 6(3) (1978), 506–514. https://doi.org/10.1214/aos/1176344196
  • L. Devroye and T. J. Wagner, Distribution-free performance bounds for potential function rules, IEEE Transactions on Information Theory 25(5) (1979), 601–604. https://doi.org/10.1109/TIT.1979.1056087
  • M. Kearns and D. Ron, Algorithmic stability and sanity-check bounds for leave-one-out cross-validation, Neural Computation 11(6) (1999), 1427–1453. https://doi.org/10.1162/089976699300016304
  • M. Hardt, B. Recht and Y. Singer, Train faster, generalize better: stability of stochastic gradient descent, ICML 2016. https://arxiv.org/abs/1509.01240
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Convex OptimizationMachine LearningStatistics·Captain: mikedeng1

Stability and Generalization 3: Tikhonov Regularization in a Reproducing Kernel Hilbert Space Has Uniform Stability σ²κ²/(2λm)Research Paper

Motivation

Learning from a finite sample is useful only if changing the sample has a controlled effect on the learned predictor. Uniform stability asks for a bound on the change in loss at every test point when one training example is removed. Bousquet and Elisseeff use this property to obtain generalization bounds for learning algorithms, and identify regularization as a source of stability in methods built from reproducing kernels. The present mission isolates their result for a squared norm penalty in a reproducing kernel Hilbert space (RKHS). It concerns the sensitivity of the optimizer itself, before any probability bound on a random training sample is applied. The result is Theorem 22 of Bousquet and Elisseeff (2002).

Setting

Let XXX be an input space, YYY a label space, and HHH a real reproducing kernel Hilbert space of real-valued predictors on XXX. A kernel K:X×X→RK:X\times X\to\mathbb RK:X×X→R and a feature representative Φ(x)∈H\Phi(x)\in HΦ(x)∈H express the reproducing identity f(x)=⟨f,Φ(x)⟩Hf(x)=\langle f,\Phi(x)\rangle_Hf(x)=⟨f,Φ(x)⟩H​ and K(x,x′)=⟨Φ(x),Φ(x′)⟩HK(x,x')=\langle\Phi(x),\Phi(x')\rangle_HK(x,x′)=⟨Φ(x),Φ(x′)⟩H​. Thus K(x,x)=∥Φ(x)∥H2K(x,x)=\|\Phi(x)\|_H^2K(x,x)=∥Φ(x)∥H2​. The source assumes that all diagonal kernel values satisfy K(x,x)≤κ2K(x,x)\le\kappa^2K(x,x)≤κ2.

A labeled example is z=(x,y)∈X×Yz=(x,y)\in X\times Yz=(x,y)∈X×Y. Its loss under fff is ℓ(f,z)=c(f(x),y)\ell(f,z)=c(f(x),y)ℓ(f,z)=c(f(x),y), where ccc is a real-valued cost. Let DHD_HDH​ be the set of predictions that some element of HHH can produce at some input. The loss is σ\sigmaσ-admissible when c(⋅,y)c(\cdot,y)c(⋅,y) is convex for every label yyy and ∣c(a,y)−c(b,y)∣≤σ∣a−b∣|c(a,y)-c(b,y)|\le\sigma|a-b|∣c(a,y)−c(b,y)∣≤σ∣a−b∣ for all a,b∈DHa,b\in D_Ha,b∈DH​ and y∈Yy\in Yy∈Y. Here σ\sigmaσ is a nonnegative Lipschitz constant. The definition compares any two attainable predictions, even when they arise at different inputs.

Fix a sample S=(z1,…,zm)S=(z_1,\ldots,z_m)S=(z1​,…,zm​), a deleted index iii, and a regularization weight λ>0\lambda>0λ>0. The paper's full and truncated objectives, with squared RKHS norm regularization, are

Rr(g)=1m∑j=1mℓ(g,zj)+λ∥g∥H2,Rr∖i(g)=1m∑j≠iℓ(g,zj)+λ∥g∥H2.R_r(g)=\frac1m\sum_{j=1}^{m}\ell(g,z_j)+\lambda\|g\|_H^2, \qquad R_r^{\setminus i}(g)=\frac1m\sum_{j\ne i}\ell(g,z_j)+\lambda\|g\|_H^2.Rr​(g)=m1​j=1∑m​ℓ(g,zj​)+λ∥g∥H2​,Rr∖i​(g)=m1​j=i∑​ℓ(g,zj​)+λ∥g∥H2​.

The factor in both objectives is 1/m1/m1/m. Let fff and f∖if^{\setminus i}f∖i be minimizers of these respective objectives over all of HHH. The statements allow any minimizer satisfying the relevant global optimality condition; they do not choose one by an arbitrary fallback rule.

Formalization targets

The central target is the explicit deletion stability estimate of Theorem 22. For every test point z∈X×Yz\in X\times Yz∈X×Y,

∣ℓ(f,z)−ℓ(f∖i,z)∣≤σ2κ22λm.|\ell(f,z)-\ell(f^{\setminus i},z)| \le \frac{\sigma^2\kappa^2}{2\lambda m}.∣ℓ(f,z)−ℓ(f∖i,z)∣≤2λmσ2κ2​.

Its four milestones follow the paper's route through Lemma 20, the point-evaluation inequality (25), and the two quantitative inequalities displayed in the proof of Theorem 22. In particular, the intermediate RKHS distance bound is ∥f∖i−f∥H≤κσ/(2λm)\|f^{\setminus i}-f\|_H\le\kappa\sigma/(2\lambda m)∥f∖i−f∥H​≤κσ/(2λm) when κ≥0\kappa\ge0κ≥0. The main theorem uses κ2\kappa^2κ2, so it does not need a choice of sign for κ\kappaκ. These numerical constants are part of the target, rather than placeholders for unspecified bounds.

Significance

The theorem supplies a deterministic, uniform sensitivity estimate for kernel methods trained by squared norm regularization. The bound applies simultaneously to every test example and decreases as either the sample size or the regularization weight increases. It is one of the ingredients that lets the paper apply its earlier stability-to-generalization results to concrete learning procedures. The loss need not be bounded for this theorem; bounding it is a separate question addressed later in the paper.

The result is proved in the source article. This mission asks for a machine-checked version of its exact pairwise claim and the reusable infrastructure around it: the paper's admissibility condition, the two objectives, the general regularizer inequality, and the RKHS evaluation bound. The existing Prove2Me library already has definitions for loss, empirical error, and the RKHS reproducing identity, so the new definitions concentrate on what is specific to these pages. The related replace-one estimate in Mohri, Rostamizadeh and Talwalkar's Foundations of Machine Learning uses a different perturbation and constant; it is not interchangeable with this result.

Difficulty

The two minimizers solve different objectives, and the deleted example appears in only one of them. A comparison of their objective values alone does not directly give a bound on their distance in the Hilbert norm. The source also distinguishes an abstract convex class of functions in Lemma 20 from the full RKHS used in Theorem 22. A proof must keep those domains straight while preserving the precise normalization of the truncated objective. Another delicate point is that the kernel bound controls evaluations through the reproducing identity; a bound on K(x,x)K(x,x)K(x,x) is not by itself a bound on loss unless the admissibility condition is also used.

Formalization scope

The Lean model uses an abstract complete real inner product space HHH, an evaluation map ev⁡:H→(X→R)\operatorname{ev}:H\to(X\to\mathbb R)ev:H→(X→R), a feature map Φ:X→H\Phi:X\to HΦ:X→H, and the published IsRKHSOf predicate tying these to KKK. The completeness instance matches the source's Hilbert-space assumption. Samples have type Fin m → X × Y, so an index i : Fin m already forces m≥1m\ge1m≥1. Minimization ranges over the entire HHH for Theorem 22 and over the declared convex class for Lemma 20. The objective definitions use the published Loss and EmpiricalError objects. No probability measure or measurability assumption is needed for these deterministic assertions.

There is a printed mismatch that affects what “deletion” means. Theorem 22 names an algorithm defined by equation (26), which, run afresh on m−1m-1m−1 points, would normalize its data term by 1/(m−1)1/(m-1)1/(m−1). Lemma 20 and the proof of Theorem 22 instead compare the full objective with equation (20), whose data term uses 1/m1/m1/m. The formalized goal states that comparison, with its explicit constant, and records the discrepancy for audit. This excludes the tempting shortcut of treating the two normalizations as identical. The regularizer is the genuine squared norm and the second minimizer is required to minimize the genuine truncated objective; neither a restricted hypothesis ball nor an artificially assumed distance bound enters the goal. Contributions that establish minimizer existence or connect the pairwise bound to an algorithmic selection would extend this core without changing its statement.

Selected references

  • Olivier Bousquet and André Elisseeff, Stability and Generalization, Journal of Machine Learning Research 2 (2002), 499–526. Article and PDF.
  • Mehryar Mohri, Afshin Rostamizadeh, and Ameet Talwalkar, Foundations of Machine Learning, second edition, MIT Press, 2018, Chapter 14. Book information.
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Linear algebraMachine LearningReinforcement Learning·Captain: mikedeng1

Reinforcement Learning: An Introduction XI: Dutch Traces and the Equivalence of Forward and Backward Views in Monte Carlo LearningTextbook

Motivation

Eligibility traces are one of the basic mechanisms of reinforcement learning. A trace is a short-term memory vector ztz_tzt​ with one component per weight. It records which components contributed to recent value estimates, so that an error observed now can be credited to the right components without storing the past. Chapter 12 of Sutton and Barto's Reinforcement Learning: An Introduction (2nd ed., 2018) organizes the topic around two ways of describing an algorithm. A forward view updates each state toward a target built from rewards that arrive later. A backward view makes an update at every step from the current error and the trace.

The chapter proves one exact equivalence between the two views itself, in §12.6: "This is the only equivalence of forward- and backward-views that we explicitly demonstrate in this book" (p. 301). The setting is linear Monte Carlo prediction, and the backward view uses a dutch trace. The same trace appears in true online TD(λ\lambdaλ), whose exact equivalence to the online λ\lambdaλ-return algorithm (van Seijen and Sutton, 2014; van Seijen et al., 2016) the book cites without proof. Of that proof, §12.6 "gives some of the flavor ... but is much simpler" (p. 301).

The older equivalence of §§12.1–12.2 goes back to Sutton (1988). If the weights are held fixed during an episode, the summed updates of TD(λ\lambdaλ) with accumulating traces equal the summed updates of the off-line λ\lambdaλ-return algorithm. The book leaves it as Exercises 12.3–12.4.

Setting

Fix a dimension ddd, a step size α\alphaα and an episode of length T≥1T \ge 1T≥1 with feature vectors x0,…,xT−1∈Rdx_0, \dots, x_{T-1} \in \mathbb R^dx0​,…,xT−1​∈Rd. The episode ends with a single return G∈RG \in \mathbb RG∈R ("a single reward received at the end of the episode ... and ... no discounting", p. 301). The forward view is the linear gradient Monte Carlo, or LMS, rule (12.13): from an initial w0w_0w0​,

wt+1=wt+α [G−wt⊤xt] xt,0≤t<T.w_{t+1} = w_t + \alpha\,[G - w_t^\top x_t]\,x_t, \qquad 0 \le t < T .wt+1​=wt​+α[G−wt⊤​xt​]xt​,0≤t<T.

Let Ft=I−αxtxt⊤F_t = I - \alpha x_t x_t^\topFt​=I−αxt​xt⊤​ be the fading matrix. The backward view keeps two vectors that are updated at each step in O(d)O(d)O(d) time without knowledge of GGG. The dutch trace is z0=x0z_0 = x_0z0​=x0​, zt=zt−1+(1−αzt−1⊤xt) xtz_t = z_{t-1} + (1 - \alpha z_{t-1}^\top x_t)\,x_tzt​=zt−1​+(1−αzt−1⊤​xt​)xt​. The auxiliary vector is at=at−1−αxtxt⊤at−1a_t = a_{t-1} - \alpha x_t x_t^\top a_{t-1}at​=at−1​−αxt​xt⊤​at−1​, with a0=F0w0a_0 = F_0 w_0a0​=F0​w0​.

For the second part, an episode S0,R1,S1,…,RT,STS_0, R_1, S_1, \dots, R_T, S_TS0​,R1​,S1​,…,RT​,ST​ carries states and rewards, and v^(s,w)\hat v(s, w)v^(s,w) is a differentiable value function with v^(terminal,⋅)=0\hat v(\text{terminal}, \cdot) = 0v^(terminal,⋅)=0. For one fixed weight vector www, define the following, with γ∈[0,1]\gamma \in [0,1]γ∈[0,1] and λ∈[0,1)\lambda \in [0,1)λ∈[0,1):

  • the return GtG_tGt​;
  • the nnn-step return Gt:t+nG_{t:t+n}Gt:t+n​ (12.1), with Gt:t+n=GtG_{t:t+n} = G_tGt:t+n​=Gt​ once t+n≥Tt + n \ge Tt+n≥T;
  • the λ\lambdaλ-return Gtλ=(1−λ)∑n≥1λn−1Gt:t+nG^\lambda_t = (1-\lambda)\sum_{n \ge 1}\lambda^{n-1} G_{t:t+n}Gtλ​=(1−λ)∑n≥1​λn−1Gt:t+n​ (12.2);
  • the TD error δt=Rt+1+γv^(St+1,w)−v^(St,w)\delta_t = R_{t+1} + \gamma\hat v(S_{t+1}, w) - \hat v(S_t, w)δt​=Rt+1​+γv^(St+1​,w)−v^(St​,w) (12.6);
  • the accumulating trace z−1=0z_{-1} = 0z−1​=0, zt=γλzt−1+∇v^(St,w)z_t = \gamma\lambda z_{t-1} + \nabla\hat v(S_t, w)zt​=γλzt−1​+∇v^(St​,w) (12.5).

Formalization targets

Goal: the dutch-trace equivalence (12.14), corrected

wT=aT−1+αG zT−1.w_T = a_{T-1} + \alpha G\, z_{T-1}.wT​=aT−1​+αGzT−1​.

The left side is the forward view after TTT LMS updates. On the right, aT−1a_{T-1}aT−1​ and zT−1z_{T-1}zT−1​ are produced by the incremental recursions above. The goal is about the two algorithms, not only about the closed-form product identity.

Milestones on the goal's path (§12.6, p. 302)

  1. wt+1=Ftwt+αGxtw_{t+1} = F_t w_t + \alpha G x_twt+1​=Ft​wt​+αGxt​.
  2. wT=FT−1⋯F0w0+αG∑k=0T−1FT−1⋯Fk+1xkw_T = F_{T-1}\cdots F_0 w_0 + \alpha G \sum_{k=0}^{T-1} F_{T-1}\cdots F_{k+1} x_kwT​=FT−1​⋯F0​w0​+αG∑k=0T−1​FT−1​⋯Fk+1​xk​, the first line of (12.14).
  3. zt=∑k=0tFt⋯Fk+1xkz_t = \sum_{k=0}^{t} F_t \cdots F_{k+1} x_kzt​=∑k=0t​Ft​⋯Fk+1​xk​ for the dutch-trace recursion.
  4. at=Ft⋯F0w0a_t = F_t \cdots F_0 w_0at​=Ft​⋯F0​w0​ for the auxiliary-vector recursion (corrected initialization).

Milestones on the λ\lambdaλ-return (§§12.1–12.2)

  1. (12.3): Gtλ=(1−λ)∑n=1T−t−1λn−1Gt:t+n+λT−t−1GtG^\lambda_t = (1-\lambda)\sum_{n=1}^{T-t-1}\lambda^{n-1}G_{t:t+n} + \lambda^{T-t-1}G_tGtλ​=(1−λ)∑n=1T−t−1​λn−1Gt:t+n​+λT−t−1Gt​ for t<Tt < Tt<T.
  2. Exercise 12.1: Gtλ=Rt+1+γ[(1−λ)v^(St+1,w)+λGt+1λ]G^\lambda_t = R_{t+1} + \gamma[(1-\lambda)\hat v(S_{t+1}, w) + \lambda G^\lambda_{t+1}]Gtλ​=Rt+1​+γ[(1−λ)v^(St+1​,w)+λGt+1λ​].
  3. Exercise 12.3: Gtλ−v^(St,w)=∑k=tT−1(γλ)k−tδkG^\lambda_t - \hat v(S_t, w) = \sum_{k=t}^{T-1}(\gamma\lambda)^{k-t}\delta_kGtλ​−v^(St​,w)=∑k=tT−1​(γλ)k−tδk​.
  4. Exercise 12.4: ∑t<Tαδtzt=∑t<Tα[Gtλ−v^(St,w)]∇v^(St,w)\sum_{t<T}\alpha\delta_t z_t = \sum_{t<T}\alpha[G^\lambda_t - \hat v(S_t, w)]\nabla\hat v(S_t, w)∑t<T​αδt​zt​=∑t<T​α[Gtλ​−v^(St​,w)]∇v^(St​,w).

Significance

The goal says that an O(d)O(d)O(d)-per-step algorithm reproduces the Monte Carlo/LMS result exactly. That algorithm never stores the feature vectors or the TTT intermediate weight vectors. The book draws the conclusion that eligibility traces "are not specific to TD learning at all" (p. 303). The dutch trace in the case γλ=1\gamma\lambda = 1γλ=1 is the same object that true online TD(λ\lambdaλ) (12.11) uses for general γλ\gamma\lambdaγλ. The fading-matrix products and their incremental forms are therefore the vocabulary of any later formalization of true online TD(λ\lambdaλ) and of the online λ\lambdaλ-return algorithm.

Exercises 12.3–12.4 are the fixed-weight equivalence of TD(λ\lambdaλ) and the off-line λ\lambdaλ-return algorithm. They are the standard justification for calling TD(λ\lambdaλ) an approximation of the λ\lambdaλ-return algorithm. Exercise 12.1 and (12.3) are the identities the rest of the chapter uses to manipulate λ\lambdaλ-returns.

On status: all of these results are known and elementary on paper, and the book prints the derivation of (12.14). To our knowledge none of them has a machine-checked proof, and the platform has no statement about λ\lambdaλ-returns, eligibility traces or TD(λ\lambdaλ). What this mission adds is formal statements with every convention fixed, including one correction to the printed text. It also adds reusable definitions of nnn-step returns, λ\lambdaλ-returns and traces.

Difficulty

The algebra is elementary. The difficulty lies in the conventions, and a careless reading of the page produces a false statement. The book initializes a0=w0a_0 = w_0a0​=w0​, and taken literally that makes the goal false. The λ\lambdaλ-return is an infinite series, whose tail collapses only because every nnn-step return that reaches past termination equals the full return. That convention has to be built into the definition of Gt:t+nG_{t:t+n}Gt:t+n​, together with the terminal value v^(terminal,⋅)=0\hat v(\text{terminal}, \cdot) = 0v^(terminal,⋅)=0. Exercises 12.3 and 12.4 are true only when the weights stay fixed. With the algorithms' changing weights wtw_twt​ the nnn-step returns (12.1) use wt+n−1w_{t+n-1}wt+n−1​, and neither identity holds. The boundary indices (t=T−1t = T-1t=T−1, the empty product at k=T−1k = T-1k=T−1, GTλ=0G^\lambda_T = 0GTλ​=0) must come out right.

Formalization scope

Namespace SuttonBartoRL.Traces. Vectors of §12.6 are Fin d → ℝ, matrices Matrix (Fin d) (Fin d) ℝ, and xx⊤x x^\topxx⊤ is Matrix.vecMulVec x x. The ordered product fadeProd α x j t is Ft⋯FjF_t \cdots F_jFt​⋯Fj​, the identity when t<jt < jt<j. Feature sequences are indexed by N\mathbb NN; only x0,…,xT−1x_0, \dots, x_{T-1}x0​,…,xT−1​ enter. T≥1T \ge 1T≥1 is a hypothesis wherever T−1T - 1T−1 appears. The identities of §12.6 are stated for every real α\alphaα and GGG, a harmless strengthening of the book's positive step size.

For §§12.1–12.2, weights are EuclideanSpace ℝ (Fin d), ∇\nabla∇ is Mathlib's gradient, and each v^(s,⋅)\hat v(s,\cdot)v^(s,⋅) is assumed differentiable in Exercise 12.4. An episode is a length TTT, states and rewards. The value at time t≥Tt \ge Tt≥T is 000. (12.2) is a tsum over n≥0n \ge 0n≥0 of λnGt:t+n+1\lambda^n G_{t:t+n+1}λnGt:t+n+1​, and λ∈[0,1)\lambda \in [0,1)λ∈[0,1), the range the book gives with (12.2). Milestone 5 concludes summability, so the junk value of a divergent tsum cannot make it trivial. Exercises 12.3–12.4 take one weight binder w, used in every return, TD error and gradient. That is the book's fixed-www assumption, stated in the binders.

Correction. The printed initialization a0=w0a_0 = w_0a0​=w0​ (p. 302) contradicts the printed definition at≐Ft⋯F0w0a_t \doteq F_t\cdots F_0 w_0at​≐Ft​⋯F0​w0​ and (12.14). The counterexample is d=1d = 1d=1, T=1T = 1T=1, x0=1x_0 = 1x0​=1, α=1/2\alpha = 1/2α=1/2, w0=1w_0 = 1w0​=1, G=0G = 0G=0: the forward view gives w1=1/2w_1 = 1/2w1​=1/2, while a0+αGz0=1a_0 + \alpha G z_0 = 1a0​+αGz0​=1. The mission states the corrected result with a0=F0w0a_0 = F_0 w_0a0​=F0​w0​, equivalently the same recursion started from a−1=w0a_{-1} = w_0a−1​=w0​. The printed text is kept verbatim in the milestone.

A trivializing formalization is ruled out: the goal is not the closed-form identity with aT−1a_{T-1}aT−1​ and zT−1z_{T-1}zT−1​ defined as the products and sums. Those vectors are defined by their GGG-free incremental recursions, and the closed forms are separate milestones.

Out of scope: the equivalence of true online TD(λ\lambdaλ) and the online λ\lambdaλ-return algorithm (cited, p. 300), the truncated-return identity (12.10), the error bound (12.8), and all convergence claims. Proofs of the milestones, and reuse of the definitions in later missions on true online TD(λ\lambdaλ), are welcome.

Selected references

  • R. S. Sutton and A. G. Barto, Reinforcement Learning: An Introduction, 2nd ed., MIT Press, 2018, ISBN 9780262039246, Chapter 12, pp. 287–320. http://incompleteideas.net/book/the-book-2nd.html
  • R. S. Sutton, "Learning to predict by the methods of temporal differences", Machine Learning 3 (1988), 9–44. https://doi.org/10.1007/BF00115009
  • H. van Seijen and R. S. Sutton, "True online TD(λ)", Proceedings of ICML 2014, PMLR 32, 692–700. https://proceedings.mlr.press/v32/seijen14.html
  • H. van Seijen, A. R. Mahmood, P. M. Pilarski, M. C. Machado and R. S. Sutton, "True online temporal-difference learning", Journal of Machine Learning Research 17 (2016), 1–40. https://jmlr.org/papers/v17/15-599.html
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Dynamical SystemsOperations ResearchProbability+1·Captain: mikedeng1

Dynamics of Stochastic Approximation Algorithms 7: Weak Limit Points of the Occupation Measures of a Weak Asymptotic Pseudotrajectory Are InvariantResearch Paper

Motivation

Stochastic approximation algorithms are recursions xn+1−xn=γn+1(F(xn)+Un+1)x_{n+1}-x_n=\gamma_{n+1}(F(x_n)+U_{n+1})xn+1​−xn​=γn+1​(F(xn​)+Un+1​) driven by small steps γn\gamma_nγn​ and noise Un+1U_{n+1}Un+1​; they include the Robbins–Monro scheme, stochastic gradient methods and learning dynamics in games. The ODE method studies their long-run behaviour by comparing a time-interpolation of the iterates with the trajectories of a deterministic dynamical system. In Benaïm's lecture notes (Benaïm 1999) this comparison is formalized by the notion of an asymptotic pseudotrajectory, introduced in Benaïm and Hirsch (1996): a path that, over every window of fixed length, shadows the deterministic orbit started at its current position with an error that vanishes as time goes to infinity.

The pathwise results of the earlier sections of the notes concern algorithms whose step sizes decrease fast enough, typically γn=o(1/log⁡n)\gamma_n=o(1/\log n)γn​=o(1/logn) or γn=O(n−α)\gamma_n=O(n^{-\alpha})γn​=O(n−α). When the step sizes go to zero more slowly, the limit sets of the process can no longer be characterized precisely: with steps of order 1/log⁡n1/\log n1/logn the process may fail to converge even when the chain recurrent set of the ODE consists of isolated equilibria. Section 10, which is mainly based on work of Benaïm and Schreiber, describes instead the statistical behaviour of such processes in terms of the deterministic dynamics. It introduces a weaker, conditional notion, the weak asymptotic pseudotrajectory, and proves in Theorem 10.1 that the empirical distribution of the time spent by the process in different regions of the state space accumulates only on invariant measures of the deterministic dynamics. This is an ergodic-theoretic counterpart of the limit-set theorems of Section 5.

Setting

A semiflow on a metric space (M,d)(M,d)(M,d) is a continuous map Φ:R+×M→M\Phi:\mathbb R_+\times M\to MΦ:R+​×M→M, (t,x)↦Φt(x)(t,x)\mapsto\Phi_t(x)(t,x)↦Φt​(x), with Φ0=Id\Phi_0=\mathrm{Id}Φ0​=Id and Φt+s=Φt∘Φs\Phi_{t+s}=\Phi_t\circ\Phi_sΦt+s​=Φt​∘Φs​ for t,s≥0t,s\ge0t,s≥0. Throughout, MMM is a separable metric space with its Borel σ\sigmaσ-algebra.

Let (Ω,F,P)(\Omega,\mathcal F,P)(Ω,F,P) be a probability space and {Ft}t≥0\{\mathcal F_t\}_{t\ge0}{Ft​}t≥0​ a nondecreasing family of sub-σ\sigmaσ-algebras. A process X:R+×Ω→MX:\mathbb R_+\times\Omega\to MX:R+​×Ω→M is a weak asymptotic pseudotrajectory of Φ\PhiΦ if

  1. it is progressively measurable: for every T>0T>0T>0 the restriction of XXX to [0,T]×Ω[0,T]\times\Omega[0,T]×Ω is measurable for the product of the Borel σ\sigmaσ-field of [0,T][0,T][0,T] and FT\mathcal F_TFT​;
  2. for each α>0\alpha>0α>0 and T>0T>0T>0, almost surely
lim⁡t→∞P{sup⁡0≤h≤Td(X(t+h),Φh(X(t)))≥α ∣ Ft}=0.\lim_{t\to\infty}P\Big\{\sup_{0\le h\le T}d\big(X(t+h),\Phi_h(X(t))\big)\ge\alpha\ \Big|\ \mathcal F_t\Big\}=0 .t→∞lim​P{0≤h≤Tsup​d(X(t+h),Φh​(X(t)))≥α ​ Ft​}=0.

Let P(M)\mathcal P(M)P(M) be the space of Borel probability measures on MMM with the topology of weak convergence. A measure μ∈P(M)\mu\in\mathcal P(M)μ∈P(M) is Φ\PhiΦ-invariant if (Φt)∗μ=μ(\Phi_t)_*\mu=\mu(Φt​)∗​μ=μ for every t≥0t\ge0t≥0; the set of invariant measures is M(Φ)\mathcal M(\Phi)M(Φ). The occupation measure of the process at time t>0t>0t>0 is the random probability measure

μt(ω)=1t∫0tδX(s,ω) ds,\mu_t(\omega)=\frac1t\int_0^t\delta_{X(s,\omega)}\,ds ,μt​(ω)=t1​∫0t​δX(s,ω)​ds,

and M(X,ω)⊂P(M)\mathcal M(X,\omega)\subset\mathcal P(M)M(X,ω)⊂P(M) is the set of its weak limit points as t→∞t\to\inftyt→∞.

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem 10.1

If XXX is a weak asymptotic pseudotrajectory of Φ\PhiΦ, there is a set Ω~⊂Ω\tilde\Omega\subset\OmegaΩ~⊂Ω with P(Ω~)=1P(\tilde\Omega)=1P(Ω~)=1 such that for all ω∈Ω~\omega\in\tilde\Omegaω∈Ω~

M(X,ω)⊂M(Φ).\mathcal M(X,\omega)\subset\mathcal M(\Phi).M(X,ω)⊂M(Φ).

No tightness is assumed, so M(X,ω)\mathcal M(X,\omega)M(X,ω) may be empty; the statement asserts the inclusion, not nonemptiness.

Milestones

Fix a uniformly continuous f:M→[0,1]f:M\to[0,1]f:M→[0,1] and T>0T>0T>0, and set Un(f,T)=∫(n−1)TnTf(X(s)) dsU_n(f,T)=\int_{(n-1)T}^{nT}f(X(s))\,dsUn​(f,T)=∫(n−1)TnT​f(X(s))ds for n≥1n\ge1n≥1. The milestones are the numbered displays of the proof on pp. 62–63:

  • Eq. (47): 1n∑i=1n[Ui(f,T)−E(Ui(f,T)∣F(i−1)T)]→0\frac1n\sum_{i=1}^n[U_i(f,T)-E(U_i(f,T)\mid\mathcal F_{(i-1)T})]\to0n1​∑i=1n​[Ui​(f,T)−E(Ui​(f,T)∣F(i−1)T​)]→0 almost surely (stated for every continuous fff with values in [0,1][0,1][0,1], since the proof also applies it to f∘ΦTf\circ\Phi_Tf∘ΦT​);
  • Eq. (50): the same with Ui+1(f,T)U_{i+1}(f,T)Ui+1​(f,T) conditioned on F(i−1)T\mathcal F_{(i-1)T}F(i−1)T​;
  • Eq. (51): E(Ui+1(f,T)−Ui(f∘ΦT,T)∣F(i−1)T)→0E(U_{i+1}(f,T)-U_i(f\circ\Phi_T,T)\mid\mathcal F_{(i-1)T})\to0E(Ui+1​(f,T)−Ui​(f∘ΦT​,T)∣F(i−1)T​)→0 almost surely;
  • Eq. (52): 1n∑i=1nUi+1(f,T)−1n∑i=1nUi(f∘ΦT,T)→0\frac1n\sum_{i=1}^nU_{i+1}(f,T)-\frac1n\sum_{i=1}^nU_i(f\circ\Phi_T,T)\to0n1​∑i=1n​Ui+1​(f,T)−n1​∑i=1n​Ui​(f∘ΦT​,T)→0 almost surely;
  • Eq. (53): for a single measurable path whose occupation measures converge weakly to μ\muμ along tj→∞t_j\to\inftytj​→∞, the averages 1njT∑i=0nj−1∫iT(i+1)Tf(xs) ds\frac1{n_jT}\sum_{i=0}^{n_j-1}\int_{iT}^{(i+1)T}f(x_s)\,dsnj​T1​∑i=0nj​−1​∫iT(i+1)T​f(xs​)ds with nj=⌊tj/T⌋n_j=\lfloor t_j/T\rfloornj​=⌊tj​/T⌋ converge to ∫f dμ\int f\,d\mu∫fdμ for every bounded continuous fff.

Significance

The result. Theorem 10.1 locates the long-run statistics of a stochastic process that only shadows a deterministic semiflow in conditional probability. When the occupation measures are tight, for example when the path has compact closure, M(X,ω)\mathcal M(X,\omega)M(X,ω) is nonempty, and the theorem restricts where the process spends its time to the supports of invariant measures. Right after the theorem the notes define the minimal center of attraction of the process from the supports of the measures in M(X,ω)\mathcal M(X,\omega)M(X,ω); the conclusion applies to processes, such as slowly decreasing step-size algorithms, for which the pathwise limit-set theorem of Section 5 is not available.

Formalizing it. The theorem has a complete published proof. No machine-checked version of it, of weak asymptotic pseudotrajectories, or of occupation-measure limit theorems for continuous-time processes is known to exist. The mission produces a formal definition of progressively measurable weak asymptotic pseudotrajectories, occupation measures of measurable paths and their weak limit points, and a proof that combines a martingale law of large numbers in discrete time with weak convergence in P(M)\mathcal P(M)P(M).

Difficulty

The obvious route is to apply the pathwise argument for asymptotic pseudotrajectories along each path. It fails, because condition 2 controls only conditional probabilities: the deviation events may occur infinitely often along almost every path while their conditional probabilities tend to zero. The proof therefore has to work with averages and conditional expectations instead of with individual paths: a strong law of large numbers for bounded martingale differences transfers conditional statements to time averages, and this must be done for one test function and one horizon at a time. Passing from countably many test functions to invariance requires a countable family of uniformly continuous functions that determines weak convergence on the separable space MMM, and the a.s. sets must be intersected over that family and over rational horizons. Measurability is a second difficulty: paths are not assumed continuous, so the integrals, suprema and conditional expectations involved must be shown to be well defined from progressive measurability alone.

Formalization scope

Time is R≥0\mathbb R_{\ge0}R≥0​; the semiflow is Mathlib's Flow ℝ≥0 M; the filtration is a Filtration ℝ≥0; P(M)\mathcal P(M)P(M) is ProbabilityMeasure M with its topology of weak convergence. MMM is a separable metric space with its Borel σ\sigmaσ-algebra; it is not assumed compact, complete or Polish. Progressive measurability is stated literally for every T>0T>0T>0. The conditional probability in condition 2 is the conditional expectation of the indicator of the deviation event, which is required to be measurable (the paper's P{⋅∣Ft}P\{\cdot\mid\mathcal F_t\}P{⋅∣Ft​} presupposes an event); the supremum over h∈[0,T]h\in[0,T]h∈[0,T] is taken in [0,∞][0,\infty][0,∞]. Invariance for the semiflow is (Φt)∗μ=μ(\Phi_t)_*\mu=\mu(Φt​)∗​μ=μ for all t≥0t\ge0t≥0, the form the proof establishes; for a flow it agrees with the definition μ(A)=μ(Φt(A))\mu(A)=\mu(\Phi_t(A))μ(A)=μ(Φt​(A)) of Section 8.3. Weak limit points are cluster points of t↦μt(ω)t\mapsto\mu_t(\omega)t↦μt​(ω) as t→∞t\to\inftyt→∞; the occupation measure is a genuine probability measure for every measurable path and t>0t>0t>0.

The following formalizations would trivialize the statement and are excluded by the definitions: an "occupation measure" equal to the zero measure for a non-measurable path; a conditional probability of a non-measurable event, which Lean evaluates to 000 and which would make condition 2 vacuous; invariance defined through images Φt(A)\Phi_t(A)Φt​(A), which need not be Borel for a semiflow; and a compactness or Polish assumption on MMM, which the theorem does not make.

A complete development needs: Fubini-type measurability for progressively measurable processes, square-integrable martingale convergence and Kronecker's lemma (both largely in Mathlib), conditional expectations of time integrals, a convergence-determining countable family of uniformly continuous functions on a separable metric space, and the identification of weak convergence with convergence of integrals of bounded continuous functions. The martingale law of large numbers (Eqs. (47), (50)) and Eq. (53) are reusable outside this mission. Proofs of any milestone, and alternative arguments for the goal, are welcome.

Selected references

  • M. Benaïm, Dynamics of Stochastic Approximation Algorithms, Séminaire de Probabilités XXXIII, Lecture Notes in Mathematics 1709, Springer, 1999, pp. 1–68. Section 10, Theorem 10.1, pp. 60–63. https://doi.org/10.1007/BFb0096509
  • M. Benaïm and M. W. Hirsch, Asymptotic pseudotrajectories and chain recurrent flows, with applications, Journal of Dynamics and Differential Equations 8 (1996), 141–176. https://doi.org/10.1007/BF02218617
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Dynamics of Stochastic Approximation Algorithms 1: Limit Sets of Precompact Asymptotic Pseudotrajectories Are Internally Chain TransitiveResearch Paper

Motivation

A stochastic approximation algorithm updates an estimate by small noisy steps, xn+1−xn=γn+1(F(xn)+Un+1)x_{n+1}-x_n=\gamma_{n+1}(F(x_n)+U_{n+1})xn+1​−xn​=γn+1​(F(xn​)+Un+1​), with step sizes γn→0\gamma_n\to0γn​→0 and noise UnU_nUn​. Such recursions underlie stochastic gradient descent, adaptive control, reinforcement learning (Q-learning, temporal-difference methods) and learning in games (fictitious play, reinforcement models). The ODE method compares the long-run behaviour of the algorithm with that of the ordinary differential equation x˙=F(x)\dot x=F(x)x˙=F(x). Classical versions of this comparison (Ljung 1977, Kushner and Clark 1978) assume the ODE has a globally asymptotically stable equilibrium, or a Lyapunov function, and cannot describe algorithms whose ODE has periodic orbits, heteroclinic cycles or chaotic sets.

Benaïm and Hirsch (1996) replaced these special assumptions by a single dynamical statement: the interpolated algorithm is an asymptotic pseudotrajectory of the flow of FFF, and the limit set of every precompact asymptotic pseudotrajectory is internally chain transitive. This mission formalizes that limit set theorem as it is presented in Michel Benaïm's lecture notes Dynamics of Stochastic Approximation Algorithms (Séminaire de Probabilités XXXIII, 1999).

Timeline. Bowen (1975) and Conley (1978) introduced (δ,T)(\delta,T)(δ,T)-pseudo-orbits and chain recurrence, and Conley proved that the chain recurrent set of a flow on a compact space is internally chain recurrent. Benaïm (1996, SIAM J. Control Optim.) related limit sets of stochastic approximation processes to the chain recurrence of the ODE; Benaïm and Hirsch (1996) introduced asymptotic pseudotrajectories for semiflows on metric spaces and proved the limit set theorem in the form formalized here. The 1999 notes give a self-contained proof through the translation semiflow on a space of curves.

Setting

Let (M,d)(M,d)(M,d) be a metric space. A semiflow Φ\PhiΦ on MMM is a continuous map R+×M→M\mathbb R_+\times M\to MR+​×M→M, (t,x)↦Φt(x)(t,x)\mapsto\Phi_t(x)(t,x)↦Φt​(x), with Φ0=Id\Phi_0=\mathrm{Id}Φ0​=Id and Φt+s=Φt∘Φs\Phi_{t+s}=\Phi_t\circ\Phi_sΦt+s​=Φt​∘Φs​. A set AAA is invariant if Φt(A)=A\Phi_t(A)=AΦt​(A)=A for every t≥0t\ge0t≥0; then Φ∣A\Phi|AΦ∣A denotes the restricted semiflow on AAA.

A continuous curve X:R+→MX:\mathbb R_+\to MX:R+​→M is an asymptotic pseudotrajectory of Φ\PhiΦ if

lim⁡t→∞sup⁡0≤h≤Td(X(t+h),Φh(X(t)))=0for every T>0,\lim_{t\to\infty}\sup_{0\le h\le T}d\big(X(t+h),\Phi_h(X(t))\big)=0\quad\text{for every }T>0,t→∞lim​0≤h≤Tsup​d(X(t+h),Φh​(X(t)))=0for every T>0,

and it is precompact if X(R+)X(\mathbb R_+)X(R+​) has compact closure. Its limit set is L(X)=⋂t≥0X([t,∞))‾L(X)=\bigcap_{t\ge0}\overline{X([t,\infty))}L(X)=⋂t≥0​X([t,∞))​.

For δ>0\delta>0δ>0, T>0T>0T>0, a (δ,T)(\delta,T)(δ,T)-pseudo-orbit from aaa to bbb consists of k≥1k\ge1k≥1 partial trajectories, given by points y0,…,yk−1y_0,\dots,y_{k-1}y0​,…,yk−1​ (and an endpoint yky_kyk​) and times t0,…,tk−1≥Tt_0,\dots,t_{k-1}\ge Tt0​,…,tk−1​≥T with d(y0,a)<δd(y_0,a)<\deltad(y0​,a)<δ, d(Φtj(yj),yj+1)<δd(\Phi_{t_j}(y_j),y_{j+1})<\deltad(Φtj​​(yj​),yj+1​)<δ for j<kj<kj<k, and yk=by_k=byk​=b. One writes a↪ba\hookrightarrow ba↪b if such pseudo-orbits exist for all δ,T>0\delta,T>0δ,T>0. A nonempty compact invariant set Λ\LambdaΛ is internally chain transitive if a↪ba\hookrightarrow ba↪b for the restricted semiflow Φ∣Λ\Phi|\LambdaΦ∣Λ for all a,b∈Λa,b\in\Lambdaa,b∈Λ, so that all yiy_iyi​ lie in Λ\LambdaΛ; it is internally chain recurrent if a↪aa\hookrightarrow aa↪a for Φ∣Λ\Phi|\LambdaΦ∣Λ for every a∈Λa\in\Lambdaa∈Λ. An attractor is a nonempty compact invariant set AAA with a neighbourhood WWW such that dist⁡(Φtx,A)→0\operatorname{dist}(\Phi_tx,A)\to0dist(Φt​x,A)→0 uniformly in x∈Wx\in Wx∈W.

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem 5.7 (i)

For every semiflow Φ\PhiΦ on a metric space MMM and every precompact asymptotic pseudotrajectory XXX of Φ\PhiΦ,

L(X) is internally chain transitive.L(X)\ \text{is internally chain transitive.}L(X) is internally chain transitive.

Milestones (in the order of the proof)

  • Lemma 3.1. XXX is an asymptotic pseudotrajectory iff d(Θt(X),Φ^∘Θt(X))→0d(\Theta^t(X),\hat\Phi\circ\Theta^t(X))\to0d(Θt(X),Φ^∘Θt(X))→0, where Θ\ThetaΘ is the translation semiflow on C0(R+,M)C^0(\mathbb R_+,M)C0(R+​,M) and Φ^(Y)=ΦY(0)\hat\Phi(Y)=\Phi^{Y(0)}Φ^(Y)=ΦY(0).
  • Theorem 3.2. For precompact continuous XXX: XXX is an asymptotic pseudotrajectory iff XXX is uniformly continuous and every limit point of Θt(X)\Theta^{t}(X)Θt(X), t→∞t\to\inftyt→∞, is a trajectory of Φ\PhiΦ; and then {Θt(X)}t≥0\{\Theta^t(X)\}_{t\ge0}{Θt(X)}t≥0​ is relatively compact.
  • Lemma 5.2. A nonempty open UUU with compact closure and ΦT(U‾)⊂U\Phi_T(\overline U)\subset UΦT​(U)⊂U for some T>0T>0T>0 contains an attractor whose basin contains U‾\overline UU.
  • Proposition 5.3. For nonempty Λ\LambdaΛ: internally chain transitive   ⟺  \iff⟺ connected and internally chain recurrent   ⟺  \iff⟺ compact, invariant and Φ∣Λ\Phi|\LambdaΦ∣Λ has no proper attractor.
  • Theorem 5.5. On a nonempty compact MMM, the chain recurrent set R(Φ)R(\Phi)R(Φ) is internally chain recurrent.
  • Corollary 5.6. If γ+(x)‾\overline{\gamma^+(x)}γ+(x)​ is compact, then ω(x)\omega(x)ω(x) is internally chain transitive.

Significance

The result. Theorem 5.7 (i) is the bridge between probability and dynamics in the ODE method. Once a stochastic approximation process is shown to be an asymptotic pseudotrajectory (missions 2 to 4 of this series do that under martingale-noise conditions), every statement about its limit points becomes a statement about internally chain transitive sets of the ODE: convergence to equilibria when a Lyapunov function exists (Proposition 6.4), convergence to attractors with positive probability (Theorem 7.3), and the analysis of learning dynamics in games. The theorem is sharp in the sense that every internally chain transitive set is a limit set of some asymptotic pseudotrajectory (Theorem 5.7 (ii), proved in Benaïm and Hirsch 1996 and not part of this mission).

Formalizing it. The result is proved in the literature; it is not formalized. Mathlib has semiflows (Flow), omega limit sets and the compact-open topology, but no pseudo-orbits, chain recurrence, Conley's theory of attractors, or asymptotic pseudotrajectories. This mission produces that layer for semiflows on general metric spaces, which is reusable for any later formalization of the ODE method, of Conley theory, or of learning in games.

Difficulty

The obvious approach follows XXX from a point a∈L(X)a\in L(X)a∈L(X) to a point b∈L(X)b\in L(X)b∈L(X): XXX returns near aaa and near bbb infinitely often, and on windows of length TTT it is close to a trajectory, so concatenating windows gives a pseudo-orbit. The pseudo-orbit obtained this way has its points on the curve XXX, not in L(X)L(X)L(X); this only shows that L(X)L(X)L(X) is chain transitive for Φ\PhiΦ on MMM, a strictly weaker property. Producing pseudo-orbits whose points lie in L(X)L(X)L(X) itself is the central difficulty, and it is where precompactness of XXX is used. Invariance Φt(L(X))=L(X)\Phi_t(L(X))=L(X)Φt​(L(X))=L(X), with equality, also needs a compactness argument, since a semiflow is not invertible.

Formalization scope

A semiflow is Mathlib's Flow ℝ≥0 M on a [MetricSpace M]; MMM is arbitrary, with no compactness, completeness or local compactness. Time is ℝ≥0. Curves are functions ℝ≥0 → M; continuity is part of being an asymptotic pseudotrajectory, and precompactness is IsCompact (closure (Set.range X)). Invariance is equality Φt(A)=A\Phi_t(A)=AΦt​(A)=A. Internally chain recurrent and internally chain transitive sets are nonempty by definition, and their pseudo-orbits are those of the restricted semiflow on the subtype Λ\LambdaΛ, so every point of the pseudo-orbit lies in Λ\LambdaΛ. Attractors converge uniformly on a neighbourhood. Lemma 3.1 and Theorem 3.2 are stated on C0(R+,M)C^0(\mathbb R_+,M)C0(R+​,M) (C(ℝ≥0, M), compact-open topology) with the half-line distance; the notes write C0(R,M)C^0(\mathbb R,M)C0(R,M), but with the convention Φp(t)=p\Phi^p(t)=pΦp(t)=p for t<0t<0t<0 that version fails for semiflows (a periodic trajectory is a counterexample), and the notes themselves describe asymptotic pseudotrajectories as points of C0(R+,M)C^0(\mathbb R_+,M)C0(R+​,M).

Ruled out: pseudo-orbits with no trajectory piece (k=0k=0k=0), pseudo-orbits allowed to leave L(X)L(X)L(X), invariance as mere inclusion Φt(A)⊂A\Phi_t(A)\subset AΦt​(A)⊂A, and any compactness assumption on MMM. Each of these makes the goal weaker than the theorem of the notes.

A complete development needs: elementary properties of pseudo-orbits (concatenation, continuity estimates), Arzelà–Ascoli on C(ℝ≥0, M), Conley's attractor construction, and the conjugacy between Φ\PhiΦ and the translation semiflow on SΦS_\PhiSΦ​. Proofs of the milestones, alternative direct proofs of the goal (Benaïm 1996), and reusable lemmas about chain recurrence for Flow are all welcome.

Selected references

  • M. Benaïm, Dynamics of stochastic approximation algorithms, Séminaire de Probabilités XXXIII, Lecture Notes in Math. 1709, Springer, 1999, pp. 1–68. https://doi.org/10.1007/BFb0096509
  • M. Benaïm and M. W. Hirsch, Asymptotic pseudotrajectories and chain recurrent flows, with applications, J. Dynam. Differential Equations 8 (1996), 141–176. https://doi.org/10.1007/BF02218617
  • M. Benaïm, A dynamical system approach to stochastic approximations, SIAM J. Control Optim. 34 (1996), 437–472. https://doi.org/10.1137/S0363012993253534
  • C. Conley, Isolated Invariant Sets and the Morse Index, CBMS Regional Conference Series in Mathematics 38, AMS, 1978. https://doi.org/10.1090/cbms/038
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Dynamics of Stochastic Approximation Algorithms 2: Under A1 and A2 the Interpolated Process Is an Asymptotic Pseudotrajectory of the Flow of FResearch Paper

Motivation

A stochastic approximation algorithm is a recursion

xn+1−xn=γn+1(F(xn)+Un+1)x_{n+1}-x_n=\gamma_{n+1}\big(F(x_n)+U_{n+1}\big)xn+1​−xn​=γn+1​(F(xn​)+Un+1​)

in Rd\mathbb R^dRd, driven by a vector field FFF, decreasing step sizes γn\gamma_nγn​ and perturbations UnU_nUn​. Robbins–Monro root finding, stochastic gradient descent, adaptive filters, learning dynamics in games (fictitious play, reinforcement learning) and urn models all have this form. The ODE method, introduced by Ljung (1977) and developed by Kushner and Clark (1978), Métivier and Priouret (1987) and Kushner and Yin (1997), studies such a recursion by comparing it with the differential equation x˙=F(x)\dot x=F(x)x˙=F(x).

Benaïm and Hirsch (1996) gave the comparison a dynamical form: the continuous-time interpolation of {xn}\{x_n\}{xn​} is an asymptotic pseudotrajectory of the flow of FFF. Proposition 4.1 of Benaïm's lecture notes (Séminaire de Probabilités XXXIII, 1999) states that deterministic comparison theorem under two assumptions: a noise condition (A1) and either bounded iterates (A2) or a Lipschitz, bounded vector field near the iterates (A2′). The notes then verify A1 almost surely for martingale noise (Propositions 4.2 and 4.4) and use the asymptotic pseudotrajectory property to describe limit sets, attractors and nonconvergence.

Setting

Let F:Rd→RdF:\mathbb R^d\to\mathbb R^dF:Rd→Rd be continuous. It is globally integrable if through every point there is exactly one integral curve y:R→Rdy:\mathbb R\to\mathbb R^dy:R→Rd, y˙=F(y)\dot y=F(y)y˙​=F(y); the flow Φt(p)\Phi_t(p)Φt​(p) is the value at time ttt of the integral curve through ppp.

The step sizes satisfy γn≥0\gamma_n\ge0γn​≥0, ∑nγn=∞\sum_n\gamma_n=\infty∑n​γn​=∞ and γn→0\gamma_n\to0γn​→0. Set τ0=0\tau_0=0τ0​=0, τn=∑i=1nγi\tau_n=\sum_{i=1}^n\gamma_iτn​=∑i=1n​γi​, and m(t)=sup⁡{k≥0:τk≤t}m(t)=\sup\{k\ge0:\tau_k\le t\}m(t)=sup{k≥0:τk​≤t}. The affine interpolated process X:R+→RdX:\mathbb R_+\to\mathbb R^dX:R+​→Rd and the piecewise constant processes X‾,U‾,γˉ\overline X,\overline U,\bar\gammaX,U,γˉ​ are, for 0≤s<γn+10\le s<\gamma_{n+1}0≤s<γn+1​,

X(τn+s)=xn+s xn+1−xnγn+1,X‾(τn+s)=xn,U‾(τn+s)=Un+1,γˉ(τn+s)=γn+1.X(\tau_n+s)=x_n+s\,\frac{x_{n+1}-x_n}{\gamma_{n+1}},\qquad \overline X(\tau_n+s)=x_n,\quad \overline U(\tau_n+s)=U_{n+1},\quad \bar\gamma(\tau_n+s)=\gamma_{n+1}.X(τn​+s)=xn​+sγn+1​xn+1​−xn​​,X(τn​+s)=xn​,U(τn​+s)=Un+1​,γˉ​(τn​+s)=γn+1​.

The noise enters through

Δ(t,T)=sup⁡0≤h≤T∥∫tt+hU‾(s) ds∥.\Delta(t,T)=\sup_{0\le h\le T}\Big\|\int_t^{t+h}\overline U(s)\,ds\Big\| .Δ(t,T)=0≤h≤Tsup​​∫tt+h​U(s)ds​.
  • A1: for every T>0T>0T>0, sup⁡{∥∑i=nk−1γi+1Ui+1∥:n<k≤m(τn+T)}→0\sup\{\|\sum_{i=n}^{k-1}\gamma_{i+1}U_{i+1}\|:n<k\le m(\tau_n+T)\}\to0sup{∥∑i=nk−1​γi+1​Ui+1​∥:n<k≤m(τn​+T)}→0 as n→∞n\to\inftyn→∞; equivalently Δ(t,T)→0\Delta(t,T)\to0Δ(t,T)→0 as t→∞t\to\inftyt→∞.
  • A2: sup⁡n∥xn∥<∞\sup_n\|x_n\|<\inftysupn​∥xn​∥<∞.
  • A2′: FFF is Lipschitz and bounded on a neighbourhood of {xn}\{x_n\}{xn​}.

A continuous X:R+→RdX:\mathbb R_+\to\mathbb R^dX:R+​→Rd is an asymptotic pseudotrajectory of Φ\PhiΦ if for every T>0T>0T>0

lim⁡t→∞sup⁡0≤h≤T∥X(t+h)−Φh(X(t))∥=0.\lim_{t\to\infty}\sup_{0\le h\le T}\big\|X(t+h)-\Phi_h(X(t))\big\|=0 .t→∞lim​0≤h≤Tsup​​X(t+h)−Φh​(X(t))​=0.

Formalization targets

Goal: Proposition 4.1

F continuous, globally integrable,A1,A2 or A2′⟹X is an asymptotic pseudotrajectory of Φ.F\ \text{continuous, globally integrable},\quad \text{A1},\quad \text{A2 or A2}'\quad\Longrightarrow\quad X\ \text{is an asymptotic pseudotrajectory of}\ \Phi .F continuous, globally integrable,A1,A2 or A2′⟹X is an asymptotic pseudotrajectory of Φ.

No rate and no constant appear; the statement holds under either alternative.

Milestones

  1. Eq. (9): X(t)−X(0)=∫0t[F(X‾(s))+U‾(s)] dsX(t)-X(0)=\int_0^t[F(\overline X(s))+\overline U(s)]\,dsX(t)−X(0)=∫0t​[F(X(s))+U(s)]ds.
  2. A1: the discrete and the continuous forms of A1 are equivalent, for each T>0T>0T>0.
  3. Theorem 3.2: for a flow on a metric space and a continuous XXX with relatively compact image, XXX is an asymptotic pseudotrajectory iff XXX is uniformly continuous and every limit point of the translates Θt(X)\Theta^t(X)Θt(X) in C0(R,M)C^0(\mathbb R,M)C0(R,M) is a trajectory of the flow; both imply that {Θt(X)}\{\Theta^t(X)\}{Θt(X)} is relatively compact.
  4. Comparison of XXX and X‾\overline XX (p. 13): if ∥F(xn)∥≤K\|F(x_n)\|\le K∥F(xn​)∥≤K, then for ttt large, sup⁡t≤u≤t+T∥X(u)−X‾(u)∥≤2Δ(t−1,T+1)+sup⁡t≤u≤t+TKγˉ(u)\sup_{t\le u\le t+T}\|X(u)-\overline X(u)\|\le2\Delta(t-1,T+1)+\sup_{t\le u\le t+T}K\bar\gamma(u)supt≤u≤t+T​∥X(u)−X(u)∥≤2Δ(t−1,T+1)+supt≤u≤t+T​Kγˉ​(u).
  5. Estimate (11): under A1 and A2′, for ttt large,
sup⁡0≤h≤T∥X(t+h)−Φh(X(t))∥≤C(T)[Δ(t−1,T+1)+sup⁡t≤s≤t+Tγˉ(s)],\sup_{0\le h\le T}\|X(t+h)-\Phi_h(X(t))\|\le C(T)\Big[\Delta(t-1,T+1)+\sup_{t\le s\le t+T}\bar\gamma(s)\Big],0≤h≤Tsup​∥X(t+h)−Φh​(X(t))∥≤C(T)[Δ(t−1,T+1)+t≤s≤t+Tsup​γˉ​(s)],

with C(T)C(T)C(T) depending only on TTT and on FFF (through its Lipschitz constant and bound on the neighbourhood).

Significance

Proposition 4.1 separates the dynamics of a stochastic approximation algorithm from its noise. Any noise condition implying A1 almost surely (Propositions 4.2 and 4.4 of the notes for LqL^qLq-bounded and subgaussian martingale differences) combines with it to give: almost every sample path, after interpolation, is an asymptotic pseudotrajectory of x˙=F(x)\dot x=F(x)x˙=F(x). The limit set theorem (Theorem 5.7: limit sets are internally chain transitive), the Lyapunov-function criterion (Proposition 6.4) and the attractor results (Section 7) then apply path by path. Estimate (11) gives the quantitative version used for rates.

The result is proved in the notes, building on Benaïm and Hirsch (1996). No machine-checked proof of it, or of the asymptotic pseudotrajectory framework, is known to exist. A formal proof would supply a checked bridge between discrete recursions with step sizes and flows of vector fields, which every ODE-method convergence proof crosses.

Difficulty

The obvious argument compares XXX directly with the flow by Gronwall's inequality. It needs FFF Lipschitz along both the interpolated path and the flow line, which holds under A2′ but not under A2, where FFF is only continuous and solutions are unique without any Lipschitz bound. Under A2 the comparison must go through compactness instead: equicontinuity of the translates, identification of every limit point as an integral curve, and uniqueness of integral curves. The last step is where global integrability is used, and it cannot be replaced by a quantitative estimate.

Under A2′ the iterates may be unbounded, so no compactness is available, and the path and the flow line must be kept inside the region where FFF is controlled for the whole window [t,t+T][t,t+T][t,t+T].

Formalization scope

  • Space Rd\mathbb R^dRd is EuclideanSpace ℝ (Fin d); time is ℝ≥0 for the pseudotrajectory and ℝ inside integrals. Sequences are ℕ → · with the paper's indices; γ0\gamma_0γ0​ and U0U_0U0​ are unused.
  • m(t)m(t)m(t) is the largest kkk with τk≤t\tau_k\le tτk​≤t, so the divisor γm(t)+1\gamma_{m(t)+1}γm(t)+1​ is positive even when some steps vanish.
  • Limits are written with ε\varepsilonε; the suprema that remain (Δ\DeltaΔ, sup⁡γˉ\sup\bar\gammasupγˉ​) are over bounded nonempty sets, and U‾\overline UU is a step function with finitely many pieces on bounded intervals, so no integral or supremum takes a default value.
  • The flow of FFF is a function satisfying the integral-curve property, together with global integrability (existence and uniqueness of integral curves on R\mathbb RR); continuity of the flow is not assumed.
  • A2′ is read with a uniform neighbourhood: FFF is Lipschitz and bounded on {y:dist⁡(y,{xn})<r}\{y:\operatorname{dist}(y,\{x_n\})<r\}{y:dist(y,{xn​})<r} for some r>0r>0r>0. Under the reading "some open set containing {xn}\{x_n\}{xn​}" the proposition fails for unbounded iterates.
  • Theorem 3.2 is stated for flows on C0(R,M)C^0(\mathbb R,M)C0(R,M) (compact-open topology); for semiflows with the convention Φp(t)=p\Phi^p(t)=pΦp(t)=p for t<0t<0t<0, the implication (i)⇒(ii) is false as printed.

Trivializing formalizations are ruled out: the goal keeps both alternatives A2 and A2′ (neither a global Lipschitz condition nor bounded iterates is assumed in place of the disjunction), XXX is the explicit piecewise affine interpolation rather than any curve with the desired property, and the constant in (11) is fixed before the sequences, so it cannot depend on the run.

A complete development needs Gronwall's inequality (in Mathlib), Arzelà–Ascoli on C0(R,M)C^0(\mathbb R,M)C0(R,M), continuous dependence of solutions on initial data under uniqueness (Kamke's theorem, not in Mathlib), and interval integrals of step functions. The asymptotic pseudotrajectory definitions and Theorem 3.2 are reusable for the other missions on these notes. Proofs of individual milestones are welcome; Eq. (9) and the comparison of XXX and X‾\overline XX are the natural entry points.

Selected references

  • M. Benaïm, Dynamics of stochastic approximation algorithms, Séminaire de Probabilités XXXIII, Lecture Notes in Math. 1709, Springer, 1999, pp. 1–68. https://doi.org/10.1007/BFb0096509
  • M. Benaïm and M. W. Hirsch, Asymptotic pseudotrajectories and chain recurrent flows, with applications, J. Dynam. Differential Equations 8 (1996), 141–176. https://doi.org/10.1007/BF02218617
  • M. Métivier and P. Priouret, Théorèmes de convergence presque sûre pour une classe d'algorithmes stochastiques à pas décroissant, Probab. Theory Related Fields 74 (1987), 403–428. https://doi.org/10.1007/BF00699098
  • H. J. Kushner and G. G. Yin, Stochastic Approximation Algorithms and Applications, Springer, 1997. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-1-4899-2696-8
  • L. Ljung, Analysis of recursive stochastic algorithms, IEEE Trans. Automat. Control 22 (1977), 551–575. https://doi.org/10.1109/TAC.1977.1101561
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The Sample Complexity of Pattern Classification with Neural Networks: The Size of the Weights is More Important than the Size of the Network I: Fat-Shattering Margin Bound with d = fat_H(γ/16)Research Paper

Motivation

Classical generalization bounds for classifiers, built on the VC dimension, grow with the number of adjustable parameters. For neural networks this is at odds with practice: networks with many more weights than training examples often generalize well. Bartlett's 1998 paper (IEEE Trans. Inform. Theory 44(2), 525–536) explains part of this by measuring a real-valued classifier's confidence. If a hypothesis classifies most training examples correctly with a margin γ\gammaγ, its misclassification probability is controlled by a scale-sensitive dimension of the class at scale proportional to γ\gammaγ, not by its VC dimension. Later in the paper this yields bounds for networks with small weights that do not depend on the number of weights.

This mission formalizes the first of the paper's two main technical results, the margin bound of Theorem 2 (p. 527), together with the steps of its proof on pp. 527–528.

The fat-shattering dimension was introduced by Kearns and Schapire (JCSS 1994). Alon, Ben-David, Cesa-Bianchi and Haussler (J. ACM 1997) proved the scale-sensitive Sauer-type covering bound used here (Theorem 5 of the paper). Shawe-Taylor, Bartlett, Williamson and Anthony (IEEE Trans. Inform. Theory 1998) proved the zero-training-error version (Theorem 1 of the paper). Theorem 2 extends it to hypotheses that make margin errors on the training data.

Setting

Let XXX be a set and PPP a probability distribution on X×{−1,1}X\times\{-1,1\}X×{−1,1}. The threshold function is sgn⁡(α)=−1\operatorname{sgn}(\alpha)=-1sgn(α)=−1 for α<0\alpha<0α<0 and sgn⁡(α)=1\operatorname{sgn}(\alpha)=1sgn(α)=1 for α≥0\alpha\ge0α≥0. For a real-valued hypothesis hhh on XXX, the misclassification probability is er⁡P(h)=P{sgn⁡(h(x))≠y}\operatorname{er}_P(h)=P\{\operatorname{sgn}(h(x))\ne y\}erP​(h)=P{sgn(h(x))=y}. For a sample z=((x1,y1),…,(xm,ym))z=((x_1,y_1),\dots,(x_m,y_m))z=((x1​,y1​),…,(xm​,ym​)) drawn independently from PPP and γ>0\gamma>0γ>0, the margin error estimate is

er⁡^zγ(h)=1m ∣{i:yih(xi)<γ}∣.\widehat{\operatorname{er}}{}^{\gamma}_z(h)=\tfrac1m\,|\{i : y_ih(x_i)<\gamma\}|.erzγ​(h)=m1​∣{i:yi​h(xi​)<γ}∣.

Let HHH be a class of real functions on XXX. Points x1,…,xmx_1,\dots,x_mx1​,…,xm​ are γ\gammaγ-shattered by HHH if some r∈Rmr\in\mathbb R^mr∈Rm has the following property: for every sign vector b∈{−1,1}mb\in\{-1,1\}^mb∈{−1,1}m, some h∈Hh\in Hh∈H satisfies (h(xi)−ri)bi≥γ(h(x_i)-r_i)b_i\ge\gamma(h(xi​)−ri​)bi​≥γ for all iii. The fat-shattering dimension fat⁡H(γ)\operatorname{fat}_H(\gamma)fatH​(γ) is the largest such mmm, possibly ∞\infty∞.

The proof uses the following objects:

  • the squashing function πγ(α)=max⁡(−γ,min⁡(γ,α))\pi_\gamma(\alpha)=\max(-\gamma,\min(\gamma,\alpha))πγ​(α)=max(−γ,min(γ,α)) and the class πγ(H)={πγ∘h:h∈H}\pi_\gamma(H)=\{\pi_\gamma\circ h:h\in H\}πγ​(H)={πγ​∘h:h∈H};
  • the sample ℓ∞\ell_\inftyℓ∞​ pseudometric dℓ∞(x)(f,g)=max⁡i∣f(xi)−g(xi)∣d_{\ell_\infty(x)}(f,g)=\max_i|f(x_i)-g(x_i)|dℓ∞​(x)​(f,g)=maxi​∣f(xi​)−g(xi​)∣;
  • the covering number N∞(F,ϵ,m)\mathcal N_\infty(F,\epsilon,m)N∞​(F,ϵ,m), the largest over x∈Xmx\in X^mx∈Xm of the size of the smallest ϵ\epsilonϵ-cover (Definition 3), and the corresponding packing number M∞(F,α,m)\mathcal M_\infty(F,\alpha,m)M∞​(F,α,m);
  • the quantization Qα(x)=⌈(x−α/2)/α⌉αQ_\alpha(x)=\lceil (x-\alpha/2)/\alpha\rceil\alphaQα​(x)=⌈(x−α/2)/α⌉α.

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem 2

Assume 0<δ<1/20<\delta<1/20<δ<1/2, 0<γ<10<\gamma<10<γ<1, m≥1m\ge1m≥1, and d=fat⁡H(γ/16)d=\operatorname{fat}_H(\gamma/16)d=fatH​(γ/16) finite with d≤34md\le 34md≤34m. With probability at least 1−δ1-\delta1−δ over zzz, every h∈Hh\in Hh∈H satisfies

er⁡P(h)<er⁡^zγ(h)+2m(dln⁡34emdlog⁡2(578m)+ln⁡4δ).\operatorname{er}_P(h)<\widehat{\operatorname{er}}{}^{\gamma}_z(h)+\sqrt{\frac2m\Bigl(d\ln\frac{34em}{d}\log_2(578m)+\ln\frac4\delta\Bigr)} .erP​(h)<erzγ​(h)+m2​(dlnd34em​log2​(578m)+lnδ4​)​.

Milestones, in the order the proof uses them

  1. Lemma 4. er⁡P(h)<er⁡^zγ(h)+(2/m)ln⁡(2N∞(πγ(H),γ/2,2m)/δ)\operatorname{er}_P(h)<\widehat{\operatorname{er}}{}^{\gamma}_z(h)+\sqrt{(2/m)\ln(2\mathcal N_\infty(\pi_\gamma(H),\gamma/2,2m)/\delta)}erP​(h)<erzγ​(h)+(2/m)ln(2N∞​(πγ​(H),γ/2,2m)/δ)​ uniformly over HHH, with probability at least 1−δ1-\delta1−δ.
  2. Theorem 5 (Alon et al.). If F:{1,…,n}→{1,…,b}F:\{1,\dots,n\}\to\{1,\dots,b\}F:{1,…,n}→{1,…,b} and fat⁡F(1)≤d\operatorname{fat}_F(1)\le dfatF​(1)≤d, then log⁡2N∞(F,2,n)<1+log⁡2(nb2)log⁡2∑i≤d(ni)bi\log_2\mathcal N_\infty(F,2,n)<1+\log_2(nb^2)\log_2\sum_{i\le d}\binom ni b^ilog2​N∞​(F,2,n)<1+log2​(nb2)log2​∑i≤d​(in​)bi, provided nnn is large enough.
  3. Writing F=Qγ/8(πγ(H))F=Q_{\gamma/8}(\pi_\gamma(H))F=Qγ/8​(πγ​(H)): fat⁡F(γ/8)≤fat⁡πγ(H)(γ/16)\operatorname{fat}_F(\gamma/8)\le\operatorname{fat}_{\pi_\gamma(H)}(\gamma/16)fatF​(γ/8)≤fatπγ​(H)​(γ/16).
  4. M∞(πγ(H),γ/2,2m)≤M∞(F,γ/2,2m)\mathcal M_\infty(\pi_\gamma(H),\gamma/2,2m)\le\mathcal M_\infty(F,\gamma/2,2m)M∞​(πγ​(H),γ/2,2m)≤M∞​(F,γ/2,2m).
  5. N∞(πγ(H),γ/2,2m)≤N∞(F,γ/4,2m)\mathcal N_\infty(\pi_\gamma(H),\gamma/2,2m)\le\mathcal N_\infty(F,\gamma/4,2m)N∞​(πγ​(H),γ/2,2m)≤N∞​(F,γ/4,2m).
  6. log⁡2N∞(πγ(H),γ/2,2m)<1+dlog⁡2(34em/d)log⁡2(578m)\log_2\mathcal N_\infty(\pi_\gamma(H),\gamma/2,2m)<1+d\log_2(34em/d)\log_2(578m)log2​N∞​(πγ​(H),γ/2,2m)<1+dlog2​(34em/d)log2​(578m) when 1≤d≤2m1\le d\le 2m1≤d≤2m and m≥dlog⁡2(34em/d)+1m\ge d\log_2(34em/d)+1m≥dlog2​(34em/d)+1.
  7. fat⁡πγ(H)(γ/16)≤fat⁡H(γ/16)\operatorname{fat}_{\pi_\gamma(H)}(\gamma/16)\le\operatorname{fat}_H(\gamma/16)fatπγ​(H)​(γ/16)≤fatH​(γ/16).

A further item, Proposition 8 (p. 529), is the probabilistic device the paper uses to make such bounds uniform over γ\gammaγ.

Significance

Theorem 2 is the bound behind the paper's main message. Corollary 9 makes it uniform over γ\gammaγ, and Theorem 28 combines it with fat-shattering estimates for networks with bounded weights. Together they show that a network classifying the training data with a large margin generalizes at a rate governed by the size of its weights, not by its number of weights. The same template, a margin error plus a capacity term at scale γ\gammaγ, underlies later margin analyses of support vector machines and boosting.

All results in this mission are proved in the literature; none is open. None is machine-checked on this platform: the platform has Rademacher-complexity margin bounds, but no statement about fat-shattering dimension or ℓ∞\ell_\inftyℓ∞​ sample covering numbers of real-valued classes. A complete formalization would provide a reusable library of these objects, with their basic inequalities between squashing, quantization, packing and covering. It would also give a checked version of the explicit constants 34em/d34em/d34em/d and 578m578m578m, which differ from those in later textbook treatments.

Difficulty

The bound is uniform over a possibly uncountable class HHH, so a union bound over hypotheses does not apply. The obvious replacement is a union bound over a cover of HHH. Two steps make it hard:

  • Lemma 4. It needs a ghost-sample symmetrization and a random-swap argument, carried out with an ℓ∞\ell_\inftyℓ∞​ cover of the squashed class on the double sample, so the cover depends on the data.
  • Theorem 5. Bounding that covering number by the fat-shattering dimension is a combinatorial counting argument about strongly shattered pairs. It is the scale-sensitive analogue of the Sauer–Shelah lemma, and here the bookkeeping of constants is exact.

The quantization steps look routine but carry the factor-of-two losses that produce the constants γ/16\gamma/16γ/16, 171717 and 578578578.

Formalization scope

The model is in the namespace BartlettNN.Margin.

  • Labels and samples. Labels are Bool, read as ±1\pm1±1 through pm (true is +1+1+1). sgn⁡(0)=1\operatorname{sgn}(0)=1sgn(0)=1. Samples are functions Fin m → X × Bool, indexed from 000, with law Measure.pi (fun _ => P). The margin estimate uses the strict inequality yih(xi)<γy_ih(x_i)<\gammayi​h(xi​)<γ, and shattering uses ≥γ\ge\gamma≥γ.
  • Fat-shattering dimension. fat⁡\operatorname{fat}fat is valued in ℕ∞. A ℕ-valued supremum would be 000 on an unbounded set, so the goal assumes fat H (γ/16) = d with d : ℕ.
  • Covering and packing numbers. Covers are finite and external (centres are arbitrary functions), the cover inequality is strict, and covering numbers are ⊤ when no finite cover exists. N∞\mathcal N_\inftyN∞​ and M∞\mathcal M_\inftyM∞​ are suprema over all samples, with repetitions allowed. "α\alphaα-separated", which the paper leaves undefined, is read as distance ≥α\ge\alpha≥α.
  • Logarithms. ln⁡\lnln is Real.log, log⁡2\log_2log2​ is Real.logb 2, and eee is Real.exp 1.
  • High probability. "With probability at least 1−δ1-\delta1−δ, every hhh" bounds the measure of the event that some h∈Hh\in Hh∈H violates the inequality. It is not a per-hypothesis statement.

Measurability. The paper states "we ignore issues of measurability, and assume that all sets considered are measurable" (p. 526). This is made explicit, not removed, through three hypotheses:

  • every h∈Hh\in Hh∈H is measurable;
  • the bad events {z:∃h∈H, er⁡P(h)≥er⁡^zγ(h)+ϵ}\{z:\exists h\in H,\ \operatorname{er}_P(h)\ge\widehat{\operatorname{er}}{}^{\gamma}_z(h)+\epsilon\}{z:∃h∈H, erP​(h)≥erzγ​(h)+ϵ} are measurable;
  • the double-sample events of display (1) are measurable.

Replacing these by countability of HHH would weaken the theorem.

Corrections of the printed text.

  • Theorem 2. The goal adds d≤34md\le 34md≤34m. Beyond 34m34m34m the term dln⁡(34em/d)d\ln(34em/d)dln(34em/d) decreases, vanishes at d=34emd=34emd=34em and then turns negative, and the printed statement fails for rich classes. Within this range nothing is lost: the proof covers d≤2md\le2md≤2m, and for 2m<d≤34m2m<d\le34m2m<d≤34m the bound exceeds 111.
  • Milestone 6. It carries the hypothesis d≤2md\le 2md≤2m, the range of the binomial estimate behind 34em/d34em/d34em/d.
  • Milestone 3. Its printed justification ∣Qγ/8(a)−Qγ/8(b)∣<∣a−b∣+γ/16|Q_{\gamma/8}(a)-Q_{\gamma/8}(b)|<|a-b|+\gamma/16∣Qγ/8​(a)−Qγ/8​(b)∣<∣a−b∣+γ/16 is false; the correct term is γ/8\gamma/8γ/8. The milestone's conclusion is true as printed, and only the conclusion is formalized.

Trivializing formalizations, ruled out. The following would each make the statements empty or different, and none is used:

  • a ℕ-valued fat dimension or covering number;
  • Real.sign in place of sgn⁡\operatorname{sgn}sgn;
  • a per-hypothesis probability bound;
  • an unrestricted ddd, which makes ⋅\sqrt{\cdot}⋅​ of a negative number equal to 000;
  • a covering number that is 000 on classes without finite covers.

Infrastructure that a complete development needs, and contributions that are welcome:

  • product measures and Hoeffding's inequality, which Mathlib has;
  • a symmetrization (ghost-sample) lemma for margin events;
  • the combinatorics of Theorem 5;
  • the elementary inequalities between packing and covering numbers.

The covering/packing and fat-shattering lemmas apply beyond this mission. Proofs of individual milestones, or of Theorem 5 in the generality of Alon et al., are useful contributions in their own right.

Selected references

  • P. L. Bartlett, The Sample Complexity of Pattern Classification with Neural Networks: The Size of the Weights is More Important than the Size of the Network, IEEE Trans. Inform. Theory 44(2), 525–536, 1998. https://doi.org/10.1109/18.661502
  • N. Alon, S. Ben-David, N. Cesa-Bianchi, D. Haussler, Scale-sensitive dimensions, uniform convergence, and learnability, J. ACM 44(4), 615–631, 1997. https://doi.org/10.1145/263867.263927
  • J. Shawe-Taylor, P. L. Bartlett, R. C. Williamson, M. Anthony, Structural risk minimization over data-dependent hierarchies, IEEE Trans. Inform. Theory 44(5), 1926–1940, 1998. https://doi.org/10.1109/18.705570
  • M. J. Kearns, R. E. Schapire, Efficient distribution-free learning of probabilistic concepts, J. Comput. Syst. Sci. 48(3), 464–497, 1994. https://doi.org/10.1016/S0022-0000(05)80062-5
  • V. N. Vapnik, A. Ya. Chervonenkis, On the uniform convergence of relative frequencies of events to their probabilities, Theory Probab. Appl. 16(2), 264–280, 1971. https://doi.org/10.1137/1116025
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Operations ResearchOptimizationProbability·Captain: mikedeng1

Air Travel Demand and Airline Seat Inventory Management III: Gaussian EMSR Protection Levels and Their SensitivityTextbook

Why protection levels and their inputs matter

An airline sells the seats of one flight leg in several fare classes at different prices. Low-fare passengers usually book first, so the airline must decide how many seats to keep back, or protect, for later high-fare passengers. Peter Belobaba's 1987 MIT dissertation introduced the expected marginal seat revenue (EMSR) rule for this decision, and EMSR-type rules became a standard of airline revenue management practice (Talluri and van Ryzin 2004). A protection level is computed from a demand forecast, and forecasts are uncertain. Section 6.2 of the dissertation asks how the protection level moves when its inputs move: the mean of forecast demand, its standard deviation, and the ratio of the two fares. That question decides where forecasting effort pays off, and this mission formalizes the answers the dissertation gives for Gaussian demand.

This is the third mission in a series on the dissertation. The first treats marginal allocation among distinct fare classes, and the second the two-class nested protection level in the discrete model, including its revenue optimality. This mission takes the continuous Gaussian model of Chapter 6 on its own terms.

Setting

Let rrr be the number of requests for a fare class, a real random variable with law μ\muμ. For a seat level S∈RS \in \mathbb RS∈R the tail probability is

Pˉ(S)=P[r≥S],\bar P(S) = P[r \ge S],Pˉ(S)=P[r≥S],

and for the fare fff of the class the expected marginal seat revenue is EMSR(S)=Pˉ(S)⋅f\mathrm{EMSR}(S) = \bar P(S)\cdot fEMSR(S)=Pˉ(S)⋅f (Eqs. (6.1)–(6.2)).

There are two classes: class 1 with fare f1f_1f1​ and class 2 with fare f2f_2f2​, where 0<f2<f10 < f_2 < f_10<f2​<f1​. Requests for class 1 are Gaussian with estimated mean rˉ\bar rrˉ and estimated standard deviation σ^>0\hat\sigma > 0σ^>0, written r1∼N(rˉ,σ^2)r_1 \sim N(\bar r, \hat\sigma^2)r1​∼N(rˉ,σ^2). A real number SSS is an EMSR protection level for class 1 against class 2 when

Pˉ1(S)=P[r1≥S]=f2f1(Eq. (6.10)).\bar P_1(S) = P[r_1 \ge S] = \frac{f_2}{f_1} \qquad \text{(Eq. (6.10))}.Pˉ1​(S)=P[r1​≥S]=f1​f2​​(Eq. (6.10)).

The standardized level ZZZ is the value "which has a probability of f2/f1f_2/f_1f2​/f1​ of being exceeded" by a standard normal variable:

P[N(0,1)≥Z]=f2f1.P[N(0,1) \ge Z] = \frac{f_2}{f_1}.P[N(0,1)≥Z]=f1​f2​​.

In the Lean development these are tailProb, emsr, gaussianLaw rbar σ, stdNormal, IsProtectionLevel rbar σ f₁ f₂ S and IsStdNormalLevel f₁ f₂ Z, all in the namespace SeatInventory.Gaussian.

Formalization targets

Goal: the Gaussian protection level and its sensitivity to σ^\hat\sigmaσ^

For σ^>0\hat\sigma > 0σ^>0 and 0<f2<f10 < f_2 < f_10<f2​<f1​:

  1. Eq. (6.10) has exactly one solution SSS, and the standard normal equation has exactly one solution ZZZ;
  2. they satisfy
S=rˉ+Zσ^(Eq. (6.12));S = \bar r + Z\hat\sigma \qquad \text{(Eq. (6.12))};S=rˉ+Zσ^(Eq. (6.12));
  1. Z<0Z < 0Z<0 if f2/f1>1/2f_2/f_1 > 1/2f2​/f1​>1/2, Z>0Z > 0Z>0 if f2/f1<1/2f_2/f_1 < 1/2f2​/f1​<1/2, Z=0Z = 0Z=0 if f2/f1=1/2f_2/f_1 = 1/2f2​/f1​=1/2 (Eq. (6.14)), and S=rˉS = \bar rS=rˉ in the last case;
  2. if σ^′>σ^\hat\sigma' > \hat\sigmaσ^′>σ^ and S′S'S′ solves (6.10) for N(rˉ,σ^′2)N(\bar r, \hat\sigma'^2)N(rˉ,σ^′2), then S′<SS' < SS′<S, S′>SS' > SS′>S or S′=SS' = SS′=S according as f2/f1f_2/f_1f2​/f1​ is above, below or equal to 1/21/21/2.

The goal states no numerical constant and no particular fare ratio; it fixes only the shape of the dependence.

Milestones, in attack order

  • Eq. (6.1)–(6.2): for any request law, Pˉ\bar PPˉ and EMSR\mathrm{EMSR}EMSR are non-increasing in SSS.
  • Eq. (6.10): the Gaussian protection level exists and is unique.
  • Eq. (6.11)–(6.12): S=rˉ+Zσ^S = \bar r + Z\hat\sigmaS=rˉ+Zσ^.
  • p. 154: with σ^\hat\sigmaσ^ and the fares fixed, replacing rˉ\bar rrˉ by rˉ+c\bar r + crˉ+c replaces SSS by S+cS + cS+c.
  • Eq. (6.14): the sign of ZZZ, and S=rˉS = \bar rS=rˉ at fare ratio 1/21/21/2 for every σ^\hat\sigmaσ^.
  • p. 154: the effect of σ^\hat\sigmaσ^ on SSS (part 4 of the goal on its own).
  • p. 157: ZZZ and SSS decrease strictly as the fare ratio f2/f1f_2/f_1f2​/f1​ increases.

The dissertation's constant-coefficient-of-variation form, Eq. (6.13), S=rˉ(1+Zk)S = \bar r(1 + Zk)S=rˉ(1+Zk) with k=σ^/rˉk = \hat\sigma/\bar rk=σ^/rˉ, follows from (6.12) by substitution and is not stated separately.

Significance

The result gives every Gaussian protection level as a closed form in one standard normal quantile. From it come the three sensitivities that Sect. 6.2 uses to argue for better forecasts. The protection level moves one-for-one with mean demand. The standard deviation moves it in a direction fixed only by whether the discount fare is above or below half the full fare. A higher fare ratio always lowers it. The dissertation uses these facts, and its Figures 6.1 and 6.2, to argue that reducing the estimated standard deviation of demand narrows the range of protection levels a forecast can produce. The same quantile structure is behind Littlewood's rule and the newsvendor critical fractile, so the statements here are the Gaussian specialization of a pattern that recurs throughout revenue management and inventory theory.

All the statements are classical and easy to believe. None of them, to our knowledge, has a machine-checked proof. Mathlib provides the Gaussian law and its affine images, but no standard normal quantile and no statement that a Gaussian tail is a strictly decreasing bijection onto (0,1)(0,1)(0,1). Formalizing this mission produces both, in a form that can be used again wherever a normal critical fractile appears.

Difficulty

Most of the work is in the existence and uniqueness of the two tail solutions. The tail S↦P[r1≥S]S \mapsto P[r_1 \ge S]S↦P[r1​≥S] must be shown continuous, strictly decreasing, and to take every value in (0,1)(0,1)(0,1). Strictness needs the Gaussian density to be positive everywhere, and existence needs a limit argument at both ends. Monotonicity alone, which holds for every law (Eqs. (6.1)–(6.2)), gives neither, because a general law can have flat stretches and jumps in its tail. The relation S=rˉ+Zσ^S = \bar r + Z\hat\sigmaS=rˉ+Zσ^ then requires transporting the tail of N(rˉ,σ^2)N(\bar r,\hat\sigma^2)N(rˉ,σ^2) to that of N(0,1)N(0,1)N(0,1) through the affine map x↦(x−rˉ)/σ^x \mapsto (x - \bar r)/\hat\sigmax↦(x−rˉ)/σ^, and the sign of ZZZ requires the symmetry of N(0,1)N(0,1)N(0,1), namely P[N(0,1)≥0]=1/2P[N(0,1) \ge 0] = 1/2P[N(0,1)≥0]=1/2. Once uniqueness is available, each sensitivity statement follows from these facts. The tempting shortcut of reading S=rˉ+Zσ^S = \bar r + Z\hat\sigmaS=rˉ+Zσ^ as a definition is ruled out below.

Formalization scope

  • Continuous seats. Protection levels and ZZZ are real numbers, as in the dissertation's own Gaussian example (Z=−0.675Z = -0.675Z=−0.675 at fare ratio 0.750.750.75). This differs from the first two missions of the series, which count seats in N\mathbb NN. For a continuous law P[r≥S]=P[r>S]P[r \ge S] = P[r > S]P[r≥S]=P[r>S], so the two definitions of Pˉ\bar PPˉ the dissertation uses (Eq. (5.2) and Eq. (6.2)) coincide here.
  • Gaussian law. N(rˉ,σ^2)N(\bar r, \hat\sigma^2)N(rˉ,σ^2) is Mathlib's gaussianReal rbar (σ^2), parameterised by the variance. Every theorem assumes σ^>0\hat\sigma > 0σ^>0; at σ^=0\hat\sigma = 0σ^=0 the law is a Dirac mass and (6.10) has no solution.
  • Fares. 0<f2<f10 < f_2 < f_10<f2​<f1​, so f2/f1∈(0,1)f_2/f_1 \in (0,1)f2​/f1​∈(0,1). This is the dissertation's "f2<f1f_2 < f_1f2​<f1​" together with positive fares.
  • Relational sensitivity. The sensitivity statements compare any two solutions of (6.10) under the two input values. Together with uniqueness, this is the same as monotonicity of the solution map. No function is defined by a choice operator.
  • Tail as a real number. Pˉ(S)\bar P(S)Pˉ(S) is the measure of [S,∞)[S,\infty)[S,∞) as a real number. The law is a probability measure, so nothing is truncated.
  • No trivialization. SSS is defined only by the tail equation (6.10) for N(rˉ,σ^2)N(\bar r, \hat\sigma^2)N(rˉ,σ^2), and ZZZ only by the tail equation for N(0,1)N(0,1)N(0,1). Neither is defined by the formula S=rˉ+Zσ^S = \bar r + Z\hat\sigmaS=rˉ+Zσ^, which would make Eq. (6.12) true by definition.
  • Not covered. The revenue optimality of the level defined by (6.10) belongs to the second mission. The multi-class EMSR rules (5.19)–(5.29) are not optimal for three or more classes and are not stated. The empirical analysis of Sect. 6.1 is out of scope.

Useful infrastructure, all reusable: the strict monotonicity, continuity and range of Gaussian tails; the standard normal quantile; and tail transport under affine maps. Contributions of these as separate lemmas are welcome.

Selected references

  • P. P. Belobaba, Air Travel Demand and Airline Seat Inventory Management, PhD thesis, MIT Flight Transportation Laboratory Report R87-7, 1987. (no DOI; the source PDF of this mission).
  • P. P. Belobaba, Application of a probabilistic decision model to airline seat inventory control, Operations Research 37(2):183–197, 1989. https://doi.org/10.1287/opre.37.2.183
  • K. Littlewood, Forecasting and control of passenger bookings, AGIFORS Symposium Proceedings 12, 1972; reprinted in Journal of Revenue and Pricing Management 4:111–123, 2005. https://doi.org/10.1057/palgrave.rpm.5170134
  • K. T. Talluri and G. J. van Ryzin, The Theory and Practice of Revenue Management, Springer, 2004. https://doi.org/10.1007/b139000
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Machine LearningProbabilityReinforcement Learning·Captain: mikedeng1

Minimax Regret Bounds for Reinforcement Learning I: High-Probability Regret Bound for UCBVI with a Chernoff–Hoeffding BonusResearch Paper

Motivation

An agent learning to control an unknown environment must balance rewards it can collect now against information that improves later decisions. In a finite Markov decision process (MDP), every action changes the distribution of the next state, so a mistaken transition estimate can affect decisions many steps later. Regret measures this loss against a policy that already knows the transition probabilities. The paper of Azar, Osband and Munos gives high-probability regret bounds for two variants of upper confidence bound value iteration (UCBVI) in finite-horizon reinforcement learning. This mission targets its Chernoff–Hoeffding variant, UCBVI-CH, whose bonus depends only on the horizon and the visit count. Theorem 1 improves the paper's cited earlier dependence on the number of states from SSS to S\sqrt SS​ in the leading term for sufficiently many interactions. Azar, Osband and Munos, 2017, pp. 2, 4–5.

The paper was released in 2017 alongside work on the attainable dependence of episodic regret on the horizon HHH, state count SSS, action count AAA, and total interaction time TTT. Its second algorithm, UCBVI-BF, uses a variance-dependent bonus and is the subject of the next mission in this series. UCBVI-CH has a simpler bonus and its own explicit bound, making it a distinct mathematical target. Azar, Osband and Munos, 2017, pp. 1–5.

Setting

The state set S\mathcal SS and action set A\mathcal AA are finite and nonempty, with cardinalities SSS and AAA. A stationary transition kernel P(y∣x,a)P(y\mid x,a)P(y∣x,a) gives the probability of moving to state yyy after action aaa in state xxx; each row is nonnegative and sums to one. The known, deterministic reward R(x,a)R(x,a)R(x,a) lies in [0,1][0,1][0,1]. An episode lasts H≥1H\ge1H≥1 steps. The environment chooses its starting state xk,1x_{k,1}xk,1​ before episode kkk and may base that choice on earlier episodes. It cannot see the current episode's future random draws. Azar, Osband and Munos, 2017, §2 and Assumption 1, pp. 2–3.

A policy π\piπ selects an action from the current state and the step number. Its value Vhπ(x)V_h^\pi(x)Vhπ​(x) is the expected sum of rewards from step hhh through step HHH when starting in state xxx. The terminal value is VH+1π=0V_{H+1}^\pi=0VH+1π​=0, and Vh∗(x)V_h^*(x)Vh∗​(x) is the maximum of Vhπ(x)V_h^\pi(x)Vhπ​(x) over all such policies. Since the state, action and step sets are finite, this maximum is over a finite nonempty policy class. The paper's sentence describing H−hH-hH−h rewards uses a shifted terminal convention; this series follows the HHH reward steps of Algorithms 1–2. Azar, Osband and Munos, 2017, pp. 3–4.

At the start of episode kkk, UCBVI-CH forms visit counts Nk(x,a,y)N_k(x,a,y)Nk​(x,a,y) and Nk(x,a)N_k(x,a)Nk​(x,a) from earlier completed transitions. On a visited pair it uses the empirical row P^k(y∣x,a)=Nk(x,a,y)/Nk(x,a)\widehat P_k(y\mid x,a)=N_k(x,a,y)/N_k(x,a)Pk​(y∣x,a)=Nk​(x,a,y)/Nk​(x,a). Algorithm 2 computes values backward from zero at the terminal step. For a visited pair, Qk,h(x,a)Q_{k,h}(x,a)Qk,h​(x,a) is the minimum of the preceding episode's Qk−1,h(x,a)Q_{k-1,h}(x,a)Qk−1,h​(x,a), HHH, and the empirical Bellman value plus Algorithm 3's bonus. For an unvisited pair, Qk,h(x,a)=HQ_{k,h}(x,a)=HQk,h​(x,a)=H. A maximizing action is chosen at every state, including states outside the realized path. Azar, Osband and Munos, 2017, Algorithms 1–3, pp. 3–4.

Formalization targets

Theorem 1: UCBVI-CH regret

For KKK episodes and T=KHT=KHT=KH, regret sums the gap V1∗(xk,1)−V1πk(xk,1)V_1^*(x_{k,1})-V_1^{\pi_k}(x_{k,1})V1∗​(xk,1​)−V1πk​​(xk,1​). The goal is the paper's printed bound, with its constants:

Pr⁡ ⁣{Regret⁡(K)>20H3/2LSAK+250H2S2AL2}≤δ,L=ln⁡(5HSAT/δ),δ>0.\Pr\!\left\{\operatorname{Regret}(K)>20H^{3/2}L\sqrt{SAK}+250H^2S^2AL^2\right\}\le\delta, \qquad L=\ln(5HSAT/\delta),\quad \delta>0.Pr{Regret(K)>20H3/2LSAK​+250H2S2AL2}≤δ,L=ln(5HSAT/δ),δ>0.

Algorithm 3 itself uses Lalg=ln⁡(5SAT/δ)L_{\rm alg}=\ln(5SAT/\delta)Lalg​=ln(5SAT/δ) in its bonus 7HLalg/Nk(x,a)7HL_{\rm alg}/\sqrt{N_k(x,a)}7HLalg​/Nk​(x,a)​. Both logarithms remain as printed. The probability is over the MDP's next-state draws, for every admissible starting-state rule and every way of breaking ties between maximizing actions. Azar, Osband and Munos, 2017, Algorithm 3, p. 4; Theorem 1, p. 5.

Supporting results

Four milestones retain the source's indexed attack path: the Bernstein bound (9) for the empirical value error, the count-deviation display before (11), Lemma 18 on optimism, and the weighted recursion displayed in the proof of Lemma 3. The last milestone preserves the signed weights that appear before the paper's final simplification. Azar, Osband and Munos, 2017, pp. 17, 20–21, 28.

Significance

Theorem 1 gives a finite-sample failure probability with explicit dependence on H,S,A,KH,S,A,KH,S,A,K and δ\deltaδ. It covers a learner whose initial state can change between episodes, a feature that matters in episodic learning where the experimenter does not fix a single starting distribution. For the regime stated after Theorem 1, the leading rate is O~(HSAT)\widetilde O(H\sqrt{SAT})O(HSAT​). This is a result claimed by the paper; the present Lean declarations are open proof targets, not machine-checked proofs of that claim. Azar, Osband and Munos, 2017, p. 5.

Formalizing the result creates reusable finite objects for adaptive interaction: a constructed probability law on complete paths, empirical transition counts pooled across steps, a policy value defined by its expected reward, and confidence events with their domains stated explicitly. The concentration and optimism milestones can then be investigated independently of the final regret bound. The later UCBVI-BF mission uses the same paper's model with a different bonus. Azar, Osband and Munos, 2017, pp. 3–5, 14–17.

Difficulty

The visit count Nk(x,a)N_k(x,a)Nk​(x,a) is random and depends on earlier observations and decisions. A concentration inequality for a predetermined number of samples therefore does not immediately give a statement that holds at every episode start. The algorithm also reuses the previous episode's QQQ estimate through a minimum. Any optimism claim must account for this dependence across episodes as well as the backward dependence across steps. In the regret analysis, the terms called martingale differences can have either sign, so replacing a positive weight by a larger common bound can reverse an inequality. These are concrete obstacles to the printed chain of estimates. Azar, Osband and Munos, 2017, pp. 4, 17, 20–21, 28.

Formalization scope

States, actions, steps, episodes and complete outcome arrays are finite. Probabilities are finite sums of products of transition rows. The transition-row predicate is a published general definition; this mission defines the paper-specific reward-bounded MDP, policies, UCBVI-CH recursion, and path law on top of it. The starting-state rule can inspect only earlier episodes. Greedy tie-breaking is universally quantified. V∗V^*V∗ is a maximum over policies, and the bonus is read only at positive counts. A model that assigns an arbitrary probability law, fixes one starting state, or omits Algorithm 2's minimum does not represent this target. Azar, Osband and Munos, 2017, pp. 2–4.

Lean uses steps 0,…,H−10,\dots,H-10,…,H−1 and terminal index HHH in place of the paper's algorithmic 1,…,H+11,\dots,H+11,…,H+1. The appendix sometimes puts the terminal value at HHH. The weighted recursion therefore runs through the final reward step, rather than ending one step early. Its typical-state threshold is 4H2L4H^2L4H2L, as required by (34)–(36), whereas Appendix B.1 prints 2H2L2H^2L2H2L. The proof's correction term c4c_4c4​ dominates its other terms under A≥2A\ge2A≥2, which is made explicit in that milestone. The printed (11) loses a factor of two from the count display before it; only the preceding display is a milestone. Lemma 18 is stated under the empirical-model part of the confidence event and δ≤1\delta\le1δ≤1, the domain on which its bonus comparison holds. The weighted milestone retains its coefficients because the bracketed martingale terms can be negative. Azar, Osband and Munos, 2017, pp. 14–17, 20–21, 28.

The goal retains Theorem 1's constant 202020. Appendix C.1 cites Lemmas 15 and 18, but the sketch of Lemma 15 does not track that constant explicitly. Formalizing the printed bound may therefore expose a gap in its proof; the mission records the claim without weakening its constants. Contributions establishing or repairing the explicit bound, as well as the four stated milestones and reusable finite concentration results, are within scope. Azar, Osband and Munos, 2017, pp. 5, 27, 29.

Selected references

  • M. G. Azar, I. Osband and R. Munos, Minimax Regret Bounds for Reinforcement Learning, arXiv:1703.05449v2, 2017. Pinned preprint.
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Operations ResearchProbabilityTheoretical Computer Science·Captain: mikedeng1

Secretary Problems: Weights and Discounts 4: A Threshold Rule Earns Z/4 for Any Z ≤ E[OPT] in the Discounted Secretary ProblemResearch Paper

Motivation

In the classical secretary problem a decision maker sees nnn candidates in a uniformly random order and must accept or reject each one on arrival, irrevocably, aiming to accept a valuable one. Its online, random-order structure models hiring, selling an item to sequentially arriving buyers, and posting prices in online markets. Babaioff, Dinitz, Gupta, Immorlica and Talwar (SODA 2009) study the discounted secretary problem, where the reward of a selection depends on when it is made: a candidate accepted late is worth less (or more) by a time-dependent factor, as with a seller whose revenue decays with time, or a firm that loses value the longer a position stays empty.

Timeline of the setting:

  • Dynkin (1963) introduced the classical problem; the rule "observe a 1/e1/e1/e fraction, then accept the first record" selects the best candidate with probability tending to 1/e1/e1/e.
  • Rasmussen and Pliska (1975/76) and Mahdian, McAfee and Pennock (2008, personal communication cited by the paper) studied secretary problems with specific "well-behaved" discount functions such as d(t)=βtd(t)=\beta^td(t)=βt.
  • Babaioff et al. (2009) treat an arbitrary discount function ddd. Without prior knowledge, no algorithm is better than Ω(log⁡n/log⁡log⁡n)\Omega(\log n/\log\log n)Ω(logn/loglogn)-competitive (their Theorem 4.3), and O(log⁡n)O(\log n)O(logn) is achievable (Theorem 4.4). If the algorithm knows a good estimate ZZZ of the expected offline optimum, a single threshold rule recovers a constant fraction (Theorem 4.7, headlined as Theorem 1.2). This mission formalizes that last result.

Setting

There are n≥1n\ge1n≥1 elements, indexed by Fin n\mathrm{Fin}\,nFinn. Element eee has a value v(e)≥0v(e)\ge0v(e)≥0, and each time t∈{1,…,n}t\in\{1,\dots,n\}t∈{1,…,n} has a discount d(t)≥0d(t)\ge0d(t)≥0. The elements arrive in a uniformly random order π\piπ, a bijection from times to elements: element π(t)\pi(t)π(t) arrives at time ttt. Selecting the element that arrives at time iii earns d(i) v(π(i))d(i)\,v(\pi(i))d(i)v(π(i)), and an algorithm selects at most one element.

The offline optimum on the order π\piπ is OPT(π)=max⁡i=1nd(i) v(π(i))\mathrm{OPT}(\pi)=\max_{i=1}^n d(i)\,v(\pi(i))OPT(π)=maxi=1n​d(i)v(π(i)). It is a random variable, and the benchmark is its expectation

E[OPT]=∑π∈Sn1n!max⁡i=1n{d(i) v(π(i))}.\mathbf E[\mathrm{OPT}]=\sum_{\pi\in S_n}\frac1{n!}\max_{i=1}^n\{d(i)\,v(\pi(i))\}.E[OPT]=π∈Sn​∑​n!1​i=1maxn​{d(i)v(π(i))}.

For a real parameter ZZZ, algorithm A\mathcal AA selects the first time jjj at which d(j) v(π(j))≥Z/2d(j)\,v(\pi(j))\ge Z/2d(j)v(π(j))≥Z/2 and earns that product; if no time qualifies, it selects nothing and earns 000. It knows ZZZ and ddd, sees the values one at a time, and never sees the future of π\piπ. Its expected value is E[A]=∑π∈Sn1n! A(π)\mathbf E[\mathcal A]=\sum_{\pi\in S_n}\frac1{n!}\,\mathcal A(\pi)E[A]=∑π∈Sn​​n!1​A(π).

The proof uses three derived objects:

  • the accepting permutations Sacc={π:max⁡id(i)v(π(i))≥Z/2}S_{acc}=\{\pi:\max_i d(i)v(\pi(i))\ge Z/2\}Sacc​={π:maxi​d(i)v(π(i))≥Z/2}, on which A\mathcal AA selects something;
  • their contribution L=∑π∈Sacc1n!max⁡id(i)v(π(i))L=\sum_{\pi\in S_{acc}}\frac1{n!}\max_i d(i)v(\pi(i))L=∑π∈Sacc​​n!1​maxi​d(i)v(π(i)) to E[OPT]\mathbf E[\mathrm{OPT}]E[OPT];
  • for a time iii and an element jjj, the set GijG_{ij}Gij​ of orders on which A\mathcal AA selects jjj at time iii. These are the orders with π(i)=j\pi(i)=jπ(i)=j and d(k)v(π(k))<Z/2d(k)v(\pi(k))<Z/2d(k)v(π(k))<Z/2 for every k<ik<ik<i.

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem 4.7

For every n≥1n\ge1n≥1, all discounts d≥0d\ge0d≥0, all values v≥0v\ge0v≥0 and every real ZZZ,

Z≤E[OPT] ⟹ E[A] ≥ Z4.Z\le\mathbf E[\mathrm{OPT}]\ \Longrightarrow\ \mathbf E[\mathcal A]\ \ge\ \frac Z4.Z≤E[OPT] ⟹ E[A] ≥ 4Z​.

Taking Z=E[OPT]Z=\mathbf E[\mathrm{OPT}]Z=E[OPT] gives E[OPT]≤4 E[A]\mathbf E[\mathrm{OPT}]\le4\,\mathbf E[\mathcal A]E[OPT]≤4E[A], a 444-competitive algorithm when the expected optimum is known.

Milestones (in the order of the paper's proof, p. 8)

  1. Eq. (4.1). If Z≤E[OPT]Z\le\mathbf E[\mathrm{OPT}]Z≤E[OPT] then L≥Z/2L\ge Z/2L≥Z/2.
  2. Eq. (4.3). If Z≤E[OPT]Z\le\mathbf E[\mathrm{OPT}]Z≤E[OPT] then
∑i=1n∑j: d(i)v(j)≥Z/21n d(i)v(j) ≥ Z2.\sum_{i=1}^n\sum_{j:\,d(i)v(j)\ge Z/2}\frac1n\,d(i)v(j)\ \ge\ \frac Z2.i=1∑n​j:d(i)v(j)≥Z/2∑​n1​d(i)v(j) ≥ 2Z​.
  1. Eq. (4.4). E[A]=∑i=1n∑j: d(i)v(j)≥Z/2d(i)v(j) ∣Gij∣∣Sn∣\displaystyle\mathbf E[\mathcal A]=\sum_{i=1}^n\sum_{j:\,d(i)v(j)\ge Z/2}d(i)v(j)\,\frac{|G_{ij}|}{|S_n|}E[A]=i=1∑n​j:d(i)v(j)≥Z/2∑​d(i)v(j)∣Sn​∣∣Gij​∣​.
  2. Claim 4.8. For every i,ji,ji,j with d(i)v(j)≥Z/2d(i)v(j)\ge Z/2d(i)v(j)≥Z/2, n∣Gij∣≥∣Sn∖Sacc∣n|G_{ij}|\ge|S_n\setminus S_{acc}|n∣Gij​∣≥∣Sn​∖Sacc​∣; and if 2∣Sacc∣≤n!2|S_{acc}|\le n!2∣Sacc​∣≤n! then 2n∣Gij∣≥n!2n|G_{ij}|\ge n!2n∣Gij​∣≥n!.

Significance

The result. The discounted problem separates sharply by information: a logarithmic gap is unavoidable without prior knowledge, while knowledge of the single number E[OPT]\mathbf E[\mathrm{OPT}]E[OPT], or of any lower estimate ZZZ of it, closes the gap to a constant. The algorithm is a fixed posted threshold, so read as a mechanism it is a posted price, which is truthful for single-parameter agents (§1). The paper also notes that when all values are known, E[OPT]\mathbf E[\mathrm{OPT}]E[OPT] can be estimated by sampling (its Lemma A.1), which yields a constant-competitive algorithm in that setting. The companion lower bound (Theorem 4.6) shows that even complete knowledge of the values does not give a ratio better than 2\sqrt22​.

Formalizing it. The result is proved on paper; no machine-checked proof is known. The formalization yields a checked version of the paper's counting argument on permutations (Claim 4.8) and of the tie-breaking step behind Eq. (4.3), and reusable finite random-order bookkeeping: expectations over SnS_nSn​ as averages, threshold stopping rules, and the decomposition of an online algorithm's value by the time and element it selects.

Difficulty

The obvious argument fails when A\mathcal AA rarely selects. A\mathcal AA earns at least Z/2Z/2Z/2 whenever it selects anything, so E[A]≥Z2Pr⁡[A selects]\mathbf E[\mathcal A]\ge\frac Z2\Pr[\mathcal A\text{ selects}]E[A]≥2Z​Pr[A selects]. That settles the case Pr⁡[A selects]≥1/2\Pr[\mathcal A\text{ selects}]\ge1/2Pr[A selects]≥1/2 and nothing else: the probability of selecting can be tiny while E[OPT]\mathbf E[\mathrm{OPT}]E[OPT] is still large, because the optimum may be concentrated on a few orders with a large product. In that case the bound must come from comparing the algorithm with the optimum pair by pair: every time–element pair (i,j)(i,j)(i,j) with d(i)v(j)≥Z/2d(i)v(j)\ge Z/2d(i)v(j)≥Z/2 must be realized by A\mathcal AA on a positive fraction of the orders.

Two points need care in a formal proof:

  • Eq. (4.2) rewrites LLL as a sum over pairs weighted by the conditional probability that d(i)v(j)d(i)v(j)d(i)v(j) is the highest product. It relies on a consistent tie-breaking rule, which the paper leaves implicit.
  • Claim 4.8 is a counting argument on SnS_nSn​. A map from the rejecting orders into GijG_{ij}Gij​ swaps element jjj into position iii, and must be shown to be at most nnn-to-111 and to land in GijG_{ij}Gij​.

Neither (4.2) nor the map appears in the statements, so solvers may replace either with any argument they like.

Formalization scope

  • Types. Times and elements are Fin n; the paper's time ttt is the index t−1t-1t−1. An order is π : Equiv.Perm (Fin n), read as time ↦ element, as on p. 3. The instance [NeZero n] encodes n≥1n\ge1n≥1, so the maximum over times is a genuine maximum (Finset.sup').
  • Expectations. Expectations over the uniform order are finite averages 1n!∑π\frac1{n!}\sum_\pin!1​∑π​. No measure theory is used.
  • Values and constants. Values, discounts and ZZZ are real numbers, and the hypotheses d≥0d\ge0d≥0, v≥0v\ge0v≥0 are explicit. The constant 1/41/41/4 is the paper's. The bound is stated multiplicatively, Z/4≤E[A]Z/4\le\mathbf E[\mathcal A]Z/4≤E[A], never as a ratio.
  • Thresholds and ties. Every threshold is non-strict (≥Z/2\ge Z/2≥Z/2), exactly as on pp. 7–8. A\mathcal AA selects the first qualifying time, so it needs no tie-breaking. The tie-breaking remark at Eq. (4.2) concerns only the paper's intermediate identity (4.2), which is not a milestone.
  • Claim 4.8. Both inequalities are stated with cleared denominators. The second carries the proof's case hypothesis 2∣Sacc∣≤n!2|S_{acc}|\le n!2∣Sacc​∣≤n!, which the paper uses in the same place ("at most half the permutations are in SaccS_{acc}Sacc​").
  • What is not this theorem. A\mathcal AA is the online threshold rule with threshold Z/2Z/2Z/2 applied to π\piπ as it unfolds. An algorithm that inspects the whole order, or that chooses its threshold after seeing the values, would make the bound trivial and is not this theorem.
  • Contributions welcome. Proofs of each milestone, including the counting argument of Claim 4.8. Lemmas on averages over Equiv.Perm (Fin n) and on first-hitting times are reusable beyond this mission.

Selected references

  • M. Babaioff, M. Dinitz, A. Gupta, N. Immorlica, K. Talwar, Secretary Problems: Weights and Discounts, Proceedings of the 20th ACM-SIAM Symposium on Discrete Algorithms (SODA), 2009.
  • E. B. Dynkin, Optimal choice of the stopping moment of a Markov process, Doklady Akademii Nauk SSSR 150:238–240, 1963.
  • W. T. Rasmussen, S. R. Pliska, Choosing the maximum from a sequence with a discount function, Applied Mathematics and Optimization 2(3):279–289, 1975/76.
  • M. Mahdian, P. McAfee, D. Pennock, The secretary problem with durable employment, personal communication, 2008 (cited as [MMP08]).
  • M. Babaioff, N. Immorlica, R. Kleinberg, Matroids, secretary problems, and online mechanisms, SODA 2007, pp. 434–443.
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Secretary Problems: Weights and Discounts 2: An Ω(log n / log log n) Lower Bound on the Competitive Ratio of the Discounted Secretary ProblemResearch Paper

Motivation

In the classical secretary problem a decision maker sees nnn candidates in uniformly random order, learns each candidate's value on arrival, and must accept or reject it on the spot; the goal is to pick a valuable one. A simple sample-then-select rule picks the best candidate with probability at least 1/e1/e1/e, so the problem is constant-competitive. The secretary problem is also a model of online mechanism design: a rule that accepts the first agent above a threshold computed from earlier agents is a truthful posted-price mechanism (as the paper notes in §1).

Babaioff, Dinitz, Gupta, Immorlica and Talwar (SODA 2009; authors' version) study the discounted secretary problem, where accepting at time ttt is worth d(t) v(e)d(t)\,v(e)d(t)v(e) for a known discount function ddd. Discounts model settings where a sale is worth more at some times than at others. The case d(t)=βtd(t)=\beta^td(t)=βt had been studied before (Rasmussen and Pliska 1976); the paper asks what happens for arbitrary ddd. Its answer has two sides: an O(log⁡n)O(\log n)O(logn)-competitive algorithm, and the result of this mission, a lower bound showing that no online algorithm is better than Ω(log⁡n/log⁡log⁡n)\Omega(\log n/\log\log n)Ω(logn/loglogn)-competitive. So, unlike the classical problem, the discounted problem with a general discount is not constant-competitive.

Setting

There are nnn elements e∈{0,…,n−1}e\in\{0,\dots,n-1\}e∈{0,…,n−1} with values v(e)≥0v(e)\ge 0v(e)≥0, and a discount function ddd on the times. The elements arrive in a uniformly random order π\piπ: element π(t)\pi(t)π(t) arrives at time ttt. A randomized online stopping rule AAA specifies, for each time ttt and each sequence of values seen so far h=(v(π(0)),…,v(π(t)))h=(v(\pi(0)),\dots,v(\pi(t)))h=(v(π(0)),…,v(π(t))), a probability pt(h)∈[0,1]p_t(h)\in[0,1]pt​(h)∈[0,1] of stopping at ttt if it has not stopped yet. Stopping at ttt selects π(t)\pi(t)π(t) and earns d(t) v(π(t))d(t)\,v(\pi(t))d(t)v(π(t)); the rule selects at most one element and may select none. The rule knows nnn and ddd, but it sees only values, only as they arrive, and it is not told which instance it is facing.

The expected value of AAA is

E[A]=Eπ[∑td(t) v(π(t)) pt(ht)∏s<t(1−ps(hs))],\mathbb E[A]=\mathbb E_\pi\Bigl[\sum_t d(t)\,v(\pi(t))\,p_t(h_t)\prod_{s<t}\bigl(1-p_s(h_s)\bigr)\Bigr],E[A]=Eπ​[t∑​d(t)v(π(t))pt​(ht​)s<t∏​(1−ps​(hs​))],

and the benchmark is the expected offline optimum

E[OPT]=Eπ[max⁡td(t) v(π(t))],\mathbb E[\mathrm{OPT}]=\mathbb E_\pi\Bigl[\max_t d(t)\,v(\pi(t))\Bigr],E[OPT]=Eπ​[tmax​d(t)v(π(t))],

which is itself a random variable averaged over the order. AAA is α\alphaα-competitive on an instance when E[OPT]≤α E[A]\mathbb E[\mathrm{OPT}]\le\alpha\,\mathbb E[A]E[OPT]≤αE[A].

The hard family (§4.1.1 of the paper): fix an integer c≥1c\ge1c≥1 and put L=cL=cL=c, n=L4cn=L^{4c}n=L4c, nt=L2tn_t=L^{2t}nt​=L2t for t≤2ct\le 2ct≤2c, and K=n2K=n^2K=n2. The step discount is d(j)=L−1d(j)=L^{-1}d(j)=L−1 on the times 1≤j≤n11\le j\le n_11≤j≤n1​ and d(j)=L−td(j)=L^{-t}d(j)=L−t on nt−1<j≤ntn_{t-1}<j\le n_tnt−1​<j≤nt​. The instance I1\mathcal I_1I1​ has n/n1n/n_1n/n1​ elements of value KKK and the rest 000; It+1\mathcal I_{t+1}It+1​ is obtained from It\mathcal I_tIt​ by raising n/nt+1n/n_{t+1}n/nt+1​ of its values KtK^tKt to Kt+1K^{t+1}Kt+1, so It\mathcal I_tIt​ has n/ntn/n_tn/nt​ elements of value KtK^tKt.

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem 4.3 in the form its proof establishes

For every integer c≥1c\ge1c≥1 and every randomized online stopping rule AAA for horizon n=c4cn=c^{4c}n=c4c and the step discount,

∃ t∈{1,…,2c}:c⋅E[A(It)] < 10⋅E[OPT(It)].\exists\,t\in\{1,\dots,2c\}:\qquad c\cdot\mathbb E[A(\mathcal I_t)]\ <\ 10\cdot\mathbb E[\mathrm{OPT}(\mathcal I_t)].∃t∈{1,…,2c}:c⋅E[A(It​)] < 10⋅E[OPT(It​)].

That is, no online rule is c/10c/10c/10-competitive on all of I1,…,I2c\mathcal I_1,\dots,\mathcal I_{2c}I1​,…,I2c​.

Milestones

  1. Lemma 4.1: E[OPT(It)]≥(1−1/e)KtL−t\mathbb E[\mathrm{OPT}(\mathcal I_t)]\ge(1-1/e)K^tL^{-t}E[OPT(It​)]≥(1−1/e)KtL−t for 1≤t≤2c1\le t\le 2c1≤t≤2c.
  2. Coupling step of Lemma 4.2's proof: for every rule and 1≤t<2c1\le t<2c1≤t<2c, the probability of stopping among the first ntn_tnt​ arrivals drops by at most 1/L21/L^21/L2 from It\mathcal I_tIt​ to It+1\mathcal I_{t+1}It+1​.
  3. Lemma 4.2: a rule that is c/10c/10c/10-competitive on I1,…,I2c\mathcal I_1,\dots,\mathcal I_{2c}I1​,…,I2c​ stops among the first ntn_tnt​ arrivals of It\mathcal I_tIt​ with probability at least t/ct/ct/c.
  4. Theorem 4.3, asymptotic form: for c≥2c\ge2c≥2 and n=c4cn=c^{4c}n=c4c, every rule has some It\mathcal I_tIt​ with
140⋅log⁡nlog⁡log⁡n⋅E[A(It)]<E[OPT(It)].\frac1{40}\cdot\frac{\log n}{\log\log n}\cdot\mathbb E[A(\mathcal I_t)]<\mathbb E[\mathrm{OPT}(\mathcal I_t)].401​⋅loglognlogn​⋅E[A(It​)]<E[OPT(It​)].

Significance

The result separates the discounted secretary problem from its classical and weighted relatives, which admit constant-competitive algorithms (the paper's Theorem 3.4 and the eee-competitive classical rule). Together with the paper's O(log⁡n)O(\log n)O(logn) upper bound (Theorem 4.4) it pins the competitive ratio for general discounts between log⁡n/log⁡log⁡n\log n/\log\log nlogn/loglogn and log⁡n\log nlogn up to constants, and it motivates the paper's known-OPT\mathrm{OPT}OPT model (§4.2), where an estimate of E[OPT]\mathbb E[\mathrm{OPT}]E[OPT] restores a constant ratio. The construction is a template for lower bounds against randomized online algorithms in random-order models: geometrically nested instances that a rule cannot tell apart early, played against a discount that punishes waiting.

The theorem is proved in the paper, in about a page. To our knowledge no part of it has a machine-checked proof. This mission produces the formal model of randomized online stopping rules in the random-order discounted setting, a reusable object for the paper's other discounted results (the O(log⁡n)O(\log n)O(logn) upper bound, and the 2\sqrt22​ lower bound with known values of Theorem 4.6), and a checked version of the lower bound with explicit constants.

Difficulty

The obvious attempt is to fix one instance and show that every rule loses on it. That fails: for any single instance there is a rule tuned to it (a rule that waits exactly as long as that instance warrants). The lower bound has to play the 2c2c2c instances against each other. A rule that does well on It\mathcal I_tIt​ must commit early, within the first ntn_tnt​ steps, yet the rule cannot distinguish It\mathcal I_tIt​ from It+1\mathcal I_{t+1}It+1​ during those steps except with probability L−2L^{-2}L−2. Making "cannot distinguish" precise is the central step: it needs a coupling of the two runs over the same random order and the same internal randomness, which works only because the rule's decision at time ttt depends on the values observed so far and nothing else. The accounting then has to show that the rule's early earnings on It+1\mathcal I_{t+1}It+1​ and its late earnings are both small compared with E[OPT(It+1)]\mathbb E[\mathrm{OPT}(\mathcal I_{t+1})]E[OPT(It+1​)], which uses L≥2L\ge 2L≥2 and that K=n2K=n^2K=n2 dwarfs L2cL^{2c}L2c.

Formalization scope

  • Elements and times are Fin n, 0-based: index jjj is the paper's time j+1j+1j+1, so the paper's block (nt−1,nt](n_{t-1},n_t](nt−1​,nt​] is the index range [nt−1,nt)[n_{t-1},n_t)[nt−1​,nt​). The random order is π : Equiv.Perm (Fin n) read as time ↦\mapsto↦ element, and every expectation over it is the finite average 1n!∑π\frac1{n!}\sum_\pin!1​∑π​. Values and discounts are real.
  • Algorithms are the structure StoppingRule n: stopping probabilities pt(h)∈[0,1]p_t(h)\in[0,1]pt​(h)∈[0,1] indexed by time and the arrival-ordered value sequence, with the non-anticipation condition that pt(h)p_t(h)pt​(h) depends only on h0,…,hth_0,\dots,h_th0​,…,ht​. The theorem quantifies over all such rules, so it covers deterministic and randomized online algorithms that observe values only. A rule may depend on nnn and ddd but not on the instance index.
  • OPT is Eπ[max⁡td(t)v(π(t))]\mathbb E_\pi[\max_t d(t)v(\pi(t))]Eπ​[maxt​d(t)v(π(t))] (a supremum over the finite type Fin n), and competitiveness is multiplicative, E[OPT]≤α E[A]\mathbb E[\mathrm{OPT}]\le\alpha\,\mathbb E[A]E[OPT]≤αE[A], never a quotient.
  • Constants. The goal uses the paper's constant 101010 (from "if AAA is c/10c/10c/10-competitive"); the asymptotic form uses 1/401/401/40, from log⁡n/log⁡log⁡n≤4c\log n/\log\log n\le 4clogn/loglogn≤4c for c≥2c\ge2c≥2, with the natural logarithm. K=n2K=n^2K=n2, the value the paper suggests.
  • The construction (nnn, ntn_tnt​, ddd, KKK, It\mathcal I_tIt​) is fixed by explicit formulas in the definition file. A solver cannot choose the discount or the instances, and the goal is not stated for a restricted class of algorithms; a formalization that let the rule see the instance index or future values, or quantified only over threshold rules, would be a different and trivial or weaker theorem. For c<10c<10c<10 the goal is immediate, since E[A]≤E[OPT]\mathbb E[A]\le\mathbb E[\mathrm{OPT}]E[A]≤E[OPT] and E[OPT(It)]>0\mathbb E[\mathrm{OPT}(\mathcal I_t)]>0E[OPT(It​)]>0; the content lies in c≥10c\ge10c≥10. The bound is stated only for the horizons n=c4cn=c^{4c}n=c4c the paper constructs.
  • Needed infrastructure: counting arguments over permutations of Fin n (the probability that a set of mmm elements misses the first kkk positions), the coupling of two value sequences that agree on a prefix, and elementary estimates on geometric sums. The rule model and the permutation-counting lemmas are reusable for the paper's other discounted results. Contributions of these supporting lemmas, as well as proofs of the milestones, are welcome.

Selected references

  • M. Babaioff, M. Dinitz, A. Gupta, N. Immorlica, K. Talwar, Secretary Problems: Weights and Discounts, Proceedings of the 20th ACM-SIAM Symposium on Discrete Algorithms (SODA), 2009. https://doi.org/10.1137/1.9781611973068.135 (authors' full version, the one cited here: https://www.cs.jhu.edu/~mdinitz/papers/secretary.pdf)
  • E. B. Dynkin, Optimal choice of the stopping moment of a Markov process, Doklady Akademii Nauk SSSR, 1963.
  • W. T. Rasmussen, S. R. Pliska, Choosing the maximum from a sequence with a discount function, Applied Mathematics and Optimization 2(3), 1976.
  • T. S. Ferguson, Who solved the secretary problem?, Statistical Science 4(3), 1989. https://doi.org/10.1214/ss/1177012493
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Correlated Equilibrium as an Expression of Bayesian Rationality II: Two-Person Correlated Equilibrium Distributions Are the Solutions of Linear InequalitiesResearch Paper

Motivation

A correlated equilibrium is the equilibrium notion that arises when the players of a game take their actions on the advice of a common randomizing device, each player seeing only his own recommendation. It was introduced by Aumann in 1974 (Aumann 1974). Aumann's 1987 paper (Aumann 1987) gives the simple, finite form of the definition used today (Definition 2.1) and shows that the notion is what Bayesian rationality with a common prior predicts. On the way it records, as Proposition 2.3, the fact that makes correlated equilibrium tractable in practice: for a finite two-person game, the distributions over action pairs that come from correlated equilibria are exactly the solutions of an explicit finite system of linear inequalities.

That characterization is the starting point of the computational theory of correlated equilibria. Because the set is a polyhedron, an optimal correlated equilibrium can be found by linear programming, and no-swap-regret learning dynamics converge to this set (Foster and Vohra 1997; Hart and Mas-Colell 2000). In each of these works the linear-inequality description is taken as the definition; the paper's Proposition 2.3 is the bridge back to the strategic definition.

Setting

Player 1 has a finite set S1S^1S1 of actions and player 2 a finite set S2S^2S2. For j∈S1j \in S^1j∈S1 and k∈S2k \in S^2k∈S2, hjk1h^1_{jk}hjk1​ and hjk2h^2_{jk}hjk2​ are the two players' payoffs at the action pair (j,k)(j,k)(j,k).

A correlated strategy pair is a pair of functions f1:Γ→S1f^1 : \Gamma \to S^1f1:Γ→S1, f2:Γ→S2f^2 : \Gamma \to S^2f2:Γ→S2 on a finite probability space (Γ,μ)(\Gamma, \mu)(Γ,μ): a finite set Γ\GammaΓ with nonnegative weights μ(γ)\mu(\gamma)μ(γ) summing to 111. Chance draws γ\gammaγ and suggests the action fi(γ)f^i(\gamma)fi(γ) to player iii. The pair is a correlated equilibrium (Definition 2.1, condition (2.2)) if no player gains by a deviation that depends only on his own suggestion: for every φ:S1→S1\varphi : S^1 \to S^1φ:S1→S1,

E h1(φ(f1),f2)≤E h1(f1,f2),\mathbb E\, h^1(\varphi(f^1), f^2) \le \mathbb E\, h^1(f^1, f^2),Eh1(φ(f1),f2)≤Eh1(f1,f2),

and the analogous inequality holds for player 2 and every ψ:S2→S2\psi : S^2 \to S^2ψ:S2→S2.

A distribution is a family (pjk)j∈S1,k∈S2(p_{jk})_{j \in S^1, k \in S^2}(pjk​)j∈S1,k∈S2​ with pjk≥0p_{jk} \ge 0pjk​≥0 and ∑j∑kpjk=1\sum_j \sum_k p_{jk} = 1∑j​∑k​pjk​=1. The distribution of a correlated strategy pair assigns to (j,k)(j,k)(j,k) the probability μ{f1=j, f2=k}\mu\{f^1 = j,\ f^2 = k\}μ{f1=j, f2=k}. A correlated equilibrium distribution (c.e.d.) is the distribution of some correlated equilibrium on some finite probability space.

In the Lean development these are IsDistribution p, IsProbVec μ, IsCE h₁ h₂ μ f₁ f₂, distr μ f₁ f₂ and IsCED h₁ h₂ p, with h₁ j k =hjk1= h^1_{jk}=hjk1​ and p j k =pjk= p_{jk}=pjk​.

Formalization targets

Goal: Proposition 2.3

For every distribution (pjk)(p_{jk})(pjk​): (pjk)(p_{jk})(pjk​) is a correlated equilibrium distribution if and only if

∑k(hjk1−hqk1) pjk≥0for all j,q∈S1,(2.4)\sum_k \big(h^1_{jk} - h^1_{qk}\big)\, p_{jk} \ge 0 \quad \text{for all } j, q \in S^1, \tag{2.4}k∑​(hjk1​−hqk1​)pjk​≥0for all j,q∈S1,(2.4) ∑j(hjk2−hjr2) pjk≥0for all k,r∈S2.(2.5)\sum_j \big(h^2_{jk} - h^2_{jr}\big)\, p_{jk} \ge 0 \quad \text{for all } k, r \in S^2. \tag{2.5}j∑​(hjk2​−hjr2​)pjk​≥0for all k,r∈S2.(2.5)

Milestones

  1. Identification with distributions (Sect. 2, p. 4). A correlated strategy pair is a correlated equilibrium if and only if its distribution ppp satisfies ∑j∑kpjkhφ(j)k1≤∑j∑kpjkhjk1\sum_j\sum_k p_{jk} h^1_{\varphi(j)k} \le \sum_j\sum_k p_{jk} h^1_{jk}∑j​∑k​pjk​hφ(j)k1​≤∑j​∑k​pjk​hjk1​ for all φ\varphiφ, and the analogous condition for player 2.
  2. Conditioning on possible suggestions (proof of Prop. 2.3, p. 6). For a distribution, player 1's condition holds if and only if H1(q∣j)≤H1(j∣j)H^1(q \mid j) \le H^1(j \mid j)H1(q∣j)≤H1(j∣j) for every suggestion jjj of positive probability and every qqq, where H1(q∣j)=∑khqk1pjk/∑kpjkH^1(q\mid j) = \sum_k h^1_{qk} p_{jk} / \sum_k p_{jk}H1(q∣j)=∑k​hqk1​pjk​/∑k​pjk​; likewise for player 2.
  3. Player 1 gives (2.4): player 1's condition on ppp is equivalent to (2.4).
  4. Player 2 gives (2.5): player 2's condition on ppp is equivalent to (2.5).

A further statement, not a milestone, records the paper's example on p. 5: in the game of chicken (Figure 4) the distribution of Figure 5 is a c.e.d. with expected payoff (5,5)(5,5)(5,5).

Significance

The result. Proposition 2.3 turns an existential statement — there is some probability space and some correlated strategy pair that is an equilibrium and has distribution ppp — into finitely many linear inequalities on ppp alone. Consequently the set of c.e.d.'s is a compact convex polyhedron, membership is decidable by evaluating ∣S1∣2+∣S2∣2|S^1|^2 + |S^2|^2∣S1∣2+∣S2∣2 linear forms, and optimizing a linear objective over it is a linear program. The paper states the two-person case and remarks that "the principle, however, is no different in the general case".

Formalizing it. The proposition is classical and its proof is short; to our knowledge it has no machine-checked proof. The platform already has the linear-inequality (swap) form of correlated equilibrium for two-player games on Fin m × Fin n (Foster–Vohra 1997 missions) and Aumann's 1974 randomizing-structure model, but no statement that connects the strategic definition over arbitrary finite probability spaces with the linear system. This mission supplies that connection, so that results proved about the polyhedron apply to equilibria in Aumann's sense and conversely.

Difficulty

The mathematics is elementary; the care is in the statement. Two points need attention. First, the direction from the inequalities to a c.e.d. requires constructing a probability space and a correlated strategy pair whose distribution is the given ppp; the c.e.d. notion quantifies over probability spaces, not over distributions. Second, the paper's argument divides by the probability ∑kpjk\sum_k p_{jk}∑k​pjk​ of a suggestion, which may be zero; the conditional formulation (milestone 2) holds only over possible suggestions, while (2.4) and (2.5) quantify over all actions and hold trivially at impossible ones. Deviations must be functions of the player's own suggestion: restricting to constant deviations gives coarse correlated equilibrium, which (2.4)–(2.5) do not characterize, and allowing arbitrary functions of γ\gammaγ gives a stronger notion.

Formalization scope

Two players with finite action types S₁ S₂ : Type* (Fintype, DecidableEq); payoffs h₁ h₂ : S₁ → S₂ → ℝ; distributions p : S₁ → S₂ → ℝ with the sign and sum conditions as an explicit hypothesis of every statement about distributions. Finite probability spaces are finite types Γ : Type with a probability vector μ : Γ → ℝ; deviations are compositions φ ∘ f₁ with φ : S₁ → S₁. The conditional payoffs H1H^1H1, H2H^2H2 use Lean's x / 0 = 0 and are only ever used at possible suggestions. Empty action sets admit no distribution, so the statements are then vacuous, exactly as in the paper.

A trivializing formalization is ruled out: "c.e.d." is the existential notion over finite probability spaces with a genuine probability vector and an equilibrium in the sense of Definition 2.1, not the inequalities themselves or the swap form on ppp.

No infrastructure beyond finite sums and Finset.filter is needed. Contributions welcome: proofs of the milestones, and the nnn-player generalization the paper alludes to.

Selected references

  • R. J. Aumann, Correlated Equilibrium as an Expression of Bayesian Rationality, Econometrica 55 (1987), 1–18. https://doi.org/10.2307/1911154
  • R. J. Aumann, Subjectivity and Correlation in Randomized Strategies, Journal of Mathematical Economics 1 (1974), 67–96. https://doi.org/10.1016/0304-4068(74)90037-8
  • D. P. Foster and R. V. Vohra, Calibrated Learning and Correlated Equilibrium, Games and Economic Behavior 21 (1997), 40–55. https://doi.org/10.1006/game.1997.0595
  • S. Hart and A. Mas-Colell, A Simple Adaptive Procedure Leading to Correlated Equilibrium, Econometrica 68 (2000), 1127–1150. https://doi.org/10.1111/1468-0262.00153
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Theory of Reproducing Kernels VI: The Projection onto the Closed Sum of Two Subspaces as a Series in the Two ProjectionsResearch Paper

Motivation

An orthogonal projection onto a closed subspace is straightforward to describe when that subspace is given directly. It is less straightforward when the subspace is specified as the closed sum of two others: a vector can have contributions from both, and the two component projections generally do not commute. In §12 of Aronszajn's 1950 paper, this problem arises while expressing the reproducing kernel of a sum of two closed subspaces of a reproducing-kernel Hilbert space through their individual kernels. The projection formula is the analytic heart of that calculation. It also gives a series whose finite partial sums can be applied without first describing a basis for the closed sum.

Aronszajn states the result for closed subspaces of a complex Hilbert space of functions. The projection identity itself uses only Hilbert-space geometry; evaluation at a point and the reproducing property enter when the operator formula is translated into a kernel formula later in the section. This mission isolates the projection theorem so that the same formal result can be used both in that kernel calculation and in other settings with two closed subspaces.

Setting

Let EEE be a complex Hilbert space and let F1,F2F_1,F_2F1​,F2​ be closed linear subspaces. The algebraic sum F1+F2F_1+F_2F1​+F2​ is the set of all f1+f2f_1+f_2f1​+f2​ with fi∈Fif_i\in F_ifi​∈Fi​. It need not be closed. Write F′=F1+F2‾F'=\overline{F_1+F_2}F′=F1​+F2​​ for its closure and F0=F1∩F2F_0=F_1\cap F_2F0​=F1​∩F2​ for the intersection. All four subspaces are closed except possibly the algebraic sum itself. Let P1,P2,P,P0P_1,P_2,P,P_0P1​,P2​,P,P0​ be the orthogonal projections onto F1,F2,F′,F0F_1,F_2,F',F_0F1​,F2​,F′,F0​, respectively. Operator products denote composition, with the rightmost factor applied first; (P2P1)0(P_2P_1)^0(P2​P1​)0 is the identity.

The paper writes F1⊕F2F_1\oplus F_2F1​⊕F2​ for F′F'F′, even when F0F_0F0​ is nonzero, and uses a distinct dotted plus for the algebraic sum. These symbols can look like a direct sum in newer notation. Here the definitions of F′F'F′ and F0F_0F0​ remove that ambiguity. Aronszajn assumes complex scalars throughout Part I after §1, p. 343; the statements below keep that convention. Neither a topology on an underlying set of functions nor a measure is part of these operator assertions.

Formalization targets

The goal is the strong projection series, §12, Eq. (7). For each f∈Ef\in Ef∈E,

Pf=P0f+∑k=1∞[P1(P2P1)k−1+P2(P1P2)k−1−(P2P1)k−(P1P2)k]f.Pf=P_0f+\sum_{k=1}^{\infty}\left[P_1(P_2P_1)^{k-1}+P_2(P_1P_2)^{k-1}-(P_2P_1)^k-(P_1P_2)^k\right]f.Pf=P0​f+k=1∑∞​[P1​(P2​P1​)k−1+P2​(P1​P2​)k−1−(P2​P1​)k−(P1​P2​)k]f.

The sum means that its finite partial sums converge in the norm of EEE for each fixed fff. No operator-norm limit is claimed. The first term of the sum, at k=1k=1k=1, includes P1+P2−P2P1−P1P2P_1+P_2-P_2P_1-P_1P_2P1​+P2​−P2​P1​−P1​P2​ because both zero powers are identity operators.

Three source statements are milestones. Equation (1) is a finite identity that expresses a power of (P−P1)(P−P2)(P-P_1)(P-P_2)(P−P1​)(P−P2​) through a partial sum and a power of P2P1P_2P_1P2​P1​. The paragraph following Eq. (4) identifies the strong limit of (P2P1)m(P_2P_1)^m(P2​P1​)m as P0P_0P0​. The paragraph before Eq. (7) asserts that [(P−P1)(P−P2)]m[(P-P_1)(P-P_2)]^m[(P−P1​)(P−P2​)]m tends strongly to zero. Together these statements specify the finite and limiting parts of the displayed target. They require no assumption that F0F_0F0​ is zero.

Significance

The formula describes the orthogonal projection onto a closed sum in terms of projections onto its two constituents. In Aronszajn's application, an orthogonal projection on a closed subspace determines that subspace's reproducing kernel; therefore the operator expansion supplies a kernel expansion without constructing a basis of the sum. It also makes explicit why an intersection term survives when the subspaces overlap. The result is proved in the 1950 paper; this mission asks for a Lean proof of that known result, with its convergence mode and closure convention made explicit.

A machine-checked development would provide a reusable complex-Hilbert-space statement for alternating projections and closed sums. Mathlib already provides closed submodules and their orthogonal projections, so the new contribution is the finite identity and the strong-limit claims connecting them. The resulting theorem can support the paper's later kernel expression, §12, Eq. (18), once the correspondence between bounded operators and kernels from §11 is available. Equation (18) is outside this mission's target list.

Difficulty

The algebraic sum of two closed subspaces can fail to be closed, so projecting onto it directly would leave the target undefined as a Hilbert-space orthogonal projection. Passing to its closure gives the correct target but does not imply the two projections commute or that their product has a uniform contraction factor. In particular, strong convergence of the powers and of the final series does not generally improve to convergence in operator norm. The later special case in §12, where the intersection is zero and the minimal angle is positive, has a stronger uniform-convergence conclusion; that extra angle condition is absent from Eq. (7).

The finite formula also has four terms per summand whose order matters. Reversing P1P2P_1P_2P1​P2​ and P2P1P_2P_1P2​P1​, beginning the power at kkk rather than k−1k-1k−1, or omitting P0P_0P0​ changes the statement. Even a proof of pointwise convergence of each selected term would not by itself establish the convergence of the bracketed partial sums in the target.

Formalization scope

The Lean representation is an arbitrary complex Hilbert space E with two ClosedSubmodule ℂ E objects. Mathlib's Submodule.starProjection supplies P1P_1P1​ and P2P_2P2​. Two small definitions name PPP as projection onto the join of the closed submodules and P0P_0P0​ as projection onto their meet. The closed-submodule join is the closure of the algebraic sum; the meet is the intersection. These definitions are computed from F1,F2F_1,F_2F1​,F2​, not independently quantified projections. The theorem quantifies over every vector fff and uses Filter.Tendsto along natural-number partial sums, giving norm convergence of the resulting vectors.

The source's ambient class has a reproducing kernel, but no step in Eqs. (1)–(7) uses point evaluations. The formal statements therefore apply to any complex Hilbert space, including the paper's RKHS. The stronger scope is explicit here and does not assert a new kernel identity. The mmm-th Lean partial sum uses indices 0,…,m−10,\ldots,m-10,…,m−1 for the paper's 1,…,m1,\ldots,m1,…,m; it has the same terms and is defined at m=0m=0m=0 as P0fP_0fP0​f. The finite identity is stated only for m≥1m\ge1m≥1, as its m=0m=0m=0 version is false in general.

Eq. (1) on p. 375 is printed without the opening bracket of the summand (only the closing bracket appears); the formalization reads it as in Eq. (4) on p. 376, where both brackets are printed. There are two printing slips on p. 377: a running sentence drops brackets from the power of (P−P1)(P−P2)(P-P_1)(P-P_2)(P−P1​)(P−P2​), and it prints P⊖P2P\ominus P_2P⊖P2​ while discussing the projection P−P2P-P_2P−P2​. The formalization follows the bracketed expression in Eqs. (1) and (4), using ordinary operator subtraction. The corresponding milestone preserves the printed wording. No assumption from the later angle analysis, especially F0={0}F_0=\{0\}F0​={0}, is imported into these results. The series is stated through actual partial sums; it is not defined by an arbitrary RKHS chosen to have a desired kernel.

Selected references

  • N. Aronszajn, Theory of Reproducing Kernels, Transactions of the American Mathematical Society 68 (1950), 337–404, §12, pp. 375–380. DOI: 10.1090/S0002-9947-1950-0051437-7.
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Mathematical PhysicsProbability·Captain: mikedeng1

The Intermediate Disorder Regime for Directed Polymers in Dimension 1+1: The Rescaled Partition Function Converges in Law to a Wiener ChaosResearch Paper

Motivation

A directed polymer in a random environment is a simple random walk whose paths are reweighted by a random field of energies. It is a basic model of disordered statistical mechanics, and in dimension 1+11+11+1 it belongs to the Kardar–Parisi–Zhang (KPZ) universality class: at fixed temperature the free energy fluctuates on the scale n1/3n^{1/3}n1/3 and is expected to follow Tracy–Widom laws. Comets and Yoshida (Ann. Probab. 34 (2006)) showed that in dimension 1+11+11+1 every positive inverse temperature β\betaβ lies in the strong disorder regime, where the normalised partition function tends to zero. At β=0\beta=0β=0 the polymer is simply the random walk.

Alberts, Khanin and Quastel (arXiv:1202.4398, Ann. Probab. 42 (2014)) identified the regime in between. If the inverse temperature is scaled as βn−1/4\beta n^{-1/4}βn−1/4, the partition function neither concentrates nor vanishes: it converges in law to a universal random variable, a Wiener chaos in a space–time white noise. That variable is the solution at time 111, integrated in space, of the stochastic heat equation with multiplicative noise, whose logarithm is the Hopf–Cole solution of the KPZ equation. The theorem therefore connects discrete polymers to the continuum KPZ equation under weak, nnn-dependent disorder, with no assumption on the environment beyond exponential moments.

Setting

The environment is a family ω=(ω(i,x))i≥1, x∈Z\omega=(\omega(i,x))_{i\ge1,\,x\in\mathbb Z}ω=(ω(i,x))i≥1,x∈Z​ of i.i.d. real random variables on a probability space (Ω,Q)(\Omega,Q)(Ω,Q), with mean 000 and variance 111. Write λ(β)=log⁡Q eβω\lambda(\beta)=\log Q\,e^{\beta\omega}λ(β)=logQeβω. The polymer is the symmetric simple random walk SSS on Z\mathbb ZZ started at 000, independent of ω\omegaω, under the uniform measure P\mathbf PP on the 2n2^n2n step sequences. The energy of an nnn-step path is Hnω(S)=∑i=1nω(i,Si)H_n^\omega(S)=\sum_{i=1}^n\omega(i,S_i)Hnω​(S)=∑i=1n​ω(i,Si​), and the point-to-line partition function is

Znω(β)=P[eβHnω(S)].Z_n^\omega(\beta)=\mathbf P\big[e^{\beta H_n^\omega(S)}\big].Znω​(β)=P[eβHnω​(S)].

The modified partition function replaces eβωe^{\beta\omega}eβω by 1+βω1+\beta\omega1+βω: znω(β)=P[∏i=1n(1+β ω(i,Si))]\mathfrak z_n^\omega(\beta)=\mathbf P\big[\prod_{i=1}^n(1+\beta\,\omega(i,S_i))\big]znω​(β)=P[∏i=1n​(1+βω(i,Si​))].

On the continuum side, a white noise on [0,1]×R[0,1]\times\mathbb R[0,1]×R is a centred Gaussian family {W(A)}\{W(A)\}{W(A)}, indexed by the Borel sets of finite Lebesgue measure, with E[W(A)W(B)]=∣A∩B∣E[W(A)W(B)]=|A\cap B|E[W(A)W(B)]=∣A∩B∣. Its multiple stochastic integrals are continuous linear maps Ik:L2([0,1]k×Rk)→L2I_k:L^2([0,1]^k\times\mathbb R^k)\to L^2Ik​:L2([0,1]k×Rk)→L2 with Ik(1A1×⋯×Ak)=∏jW(Aj)I_k(\mathbf 1_{A_1\times\dots\times A_k})=\prod_jW(A_j)Ik​(1A1​×⋯×Ak​​)=∏j​W(Aj​) for pairwise disjoint AjA_jAj​. Let ϱ(t,x)=e−x2/2t/2πt\varrho(t,x)=e^{-x^2/2t}/\sqrt{2\pi t}ϱ(t,x)=e−x2/2t/2πt​ be the heat kernel and Δk={0=t0<t1<⋯<tk≤1}\Delta_k=\{0=t_0<t_1<\dots<t_k\le1\}Δk​={0=t0​<t1​<⋯<tk​≤1}. Put ϱk(t,x)=∏j=1kϱ(tj−tj−1,xj−xj−1)\varrho_k(\mathbf t,\mathbf x)=\prod_{j=1}^k\varrho(t_j-t_{j-1},x_j-x_{j-1})ϱk​(t,x)=∏j=1k​ϱ(tj​−tj−1​,xj​−xj−1​) on Δk×Rk\Delta_k\times\mathbb R^kΔk​×Rk, with x0=0x_0=0x0​=0, and zero elsewhere. The Wiener chaos (7) is

Zβ=∑k≥0βkIk(ϱk)=1+∑k≥1βk∫Δk∫Rk∏i=1kW(ti,xi) ϱ(ti−ti−1,xi−xi−1) dxi dti.\mathcal Z_\beta=\sum_{k\ge0}\beta^kI_k(\varrho_k)=1+\sum_{k\ge1}\beta^k\int_{\Delta_k}\int_{\mathbb R^k}\prod_{i=1}^kW(t_i,x_i)\,\varrho(t_i-t_{i-1},x_i-x_{i-1})\,dx_i\,dt_i .Zβ​=k≥0∑​βkIk​(ϱk​)=1+k≥1∑​βk∫Δk​​∫Rk​i=1∏k​W(ti​,xi​)ϱ(ti​−ti−1​,xi​−xi−1​)dxi​dti​.

The discrete counterpart of IkI_kIk​ is the weighted U-statistic Skn(g)\mathcal S_k^n(g)Skn​(g) of (29): a sum of products ∏jω(ij,xj)\prod_j\omega(i_j,x_j)∏j​ω(ij​,xj​) over distinct times, weighted by averages of ggg over space–time rectangles of size 1n×2n\frac1n\times\frac2{\sqrt n}n1​×n​2​.

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem 2.1 (second bullet), proved as Proposition 5.4

If, in addition, λ(b)<∞\lambda(b)<\inftyλ(b)<∞ for all 0<b<β00<b<\beta_00<b<β0​ for some β0>0\beta_0>0β0​>0, then for every β>0\beta>0β>0

e−nλ(βn−1/4) Znω(βn−1/4)→(d)Z2β(n→∞).e^{-n\lambda(\beta n^{-1/4})}\,Z_n^\omega(\beta n^{-1/4})\xrightarrow{(d)}\mathcal Z_{\sqrt2\beta}\qquad(n\to\infty).e−nλ(βn−1/4)Znω​(βn−1/4)(d)​Z2​β​(n→∞).

Modified partition function: Proposition 5.3 (Theorem 2.1, first bullet)

Under mean zero and variance one alone, znω(βn−1/4)→(d)Z2β\mathfrak z_n^\omega(\beta n^{-1/4})\xrightarrow{(d)}\mathcal Z_{\sqrt2\beta}znω​(βn−1/4)(d)​Z2​β​.

Milestones

In the order the proof uses them:

  1. the norm ∥ϱk∥L22=1/(2kΓ(k/2+1))\|\varrho_k\|^2_{L^2}=1/(2^k\Gamma(k/2+1))∥ϱk​∥L22​=1/(2kΓ(k/2+1)) and the convergence of the chaos series (§3.4, Lemma 3.1);
  2. the L2L^2L2 structure of Skn\mathcal S_k^nSkn​ (Lemma 4.1);
  3. an approximation lemma for convergence in law (Lemma 4.2);
  4. convergence of n−3k/4Skn(g)n^{-3k/4}\mathcal S_k^n(g)n−3k/4Skn​(g) to Ik(g)I_k(g)Ik​(g), jointly over finitely many orders (Theorem 4.3);
  5. convergence of whole discrete chaos expansions (Lemma 4.4);
  6. the exact expansion znω(β)=∑k≤n2k/2βkSkn(pkn)\mathfrak z_n^\omega(\beta)=\sum_{k\le n}2^{k/2}\beta^k\mathcal S_k^n(p_k^n)znω​(β)=∑k≤n​2k/2βkSkn​(pkn​) (Lemma 5.2);
  7. a uniform L2L^2L2 bound on the discretised random walk kernels nk/2pknn^{k/2}p_k^nnk/2pkn​ (Lemma A.1);
  8. Proposition 5.3.

Significance

The theorem gives a universal scaling limit for the partition function in a regime where the polymer still moves diffusively but feels the disorder. As a corollary, log⁡Znω(βn−1/4)−nλ(βn−1/4)\log Z_n^\omega(\beta n^{-1/4})-n\lambda(\beta n^{-1/4})logZnω​(βn−1/4)−nλ(βn−1/4) converges in law, so the fluctuation exponent of the free energy is 000 in this regime. The companion results (point-to-point partition functions, Theorem 2.2) show that the rescaled polymer path measure converges to a continuum directed random polymer. Letting β\betaβ grow then interpolates between Gaussian behaviour and the Tracy–Widom GUE fluctuations of the KPZ class. The U-statistic machinery of Section 4 (discrete chaos expansions in an i.i.d. space–time field converging to multiple Wiener–Itô integrals) applies to other discrete models with polynomial chaos expansions.

The theorem is proved in the paper. To our knowledge it has no machine-checked proof, and Mathlib has no space–time white noise, no multiple Wiener integrals, no Wiener chaos, no Lindeberg–Feller theorem for triangular arrays and no local limit theorem for the simple random walk. A complete formalization would build each of these and check the paper's argument, including two statements that are false as printed (see Formalization scope).

Difficulty

The obvious route is to expand Znω(βn−1/4)Z_n^\omega(\beta n^{-1/4})Znω​(βn−1/4) in powers of β\betaβ and pass to the limit term by term. Two steps of that route do not go through as stated. First, the kkk-th term is a degenerate U-statistic of order kkk in the environment. Its convergence to IkI_kIk​ is not a classical central limit theorem: it needs joint control of all orders and a density argument in L2([0,1]k×Rk)L^2([0,1]^k\times\mathbb R^k)L2([0,1]k×Rk), and the space–time discretisation must respect the parity of the walk, which is why the rectangles have spatial length 2/n2/\sqrt n2/n​. Second, exchanging the limit with the infinite sum over kkk needs bounds on the discrete kernels nk/2pknn^{k/2}p_k^nnk/2pkn​ that are uniform in nnn and summable in kkk. Pointwise convergence from the local limit theorem is not enough. Passing from zn\mathfrak z_nzn​ to ZnZ_nZn​ also requires a central limit theorem for a triangular array whose law depends on nnn.

Formalization scope

The environment is ω : ℕ × ℤ → Ω → ℝ, independent and identically distributed, square integrable, with mean 000 and variance 111. Times i≥1i\ge1i≥1 are read. ZnZ_nZn​ and zn\mathfrak z_nzn​ are explicit averages over the 2n2^n2n step sequences. The white noise lives on [0,1]×R[0,1]\times\mathbb R[0,1]×R, since only t≤1t\le1t≤1 enters (7). IkI_kIk​ is a family of continuous linear maps on L2L^2L2 characterised by its values on indicators of products of disjoint sets. Every limit theorem quantifies over all white noises and all such families, and a separate item asserts that one exists. Zβ\mathcal Z_\betaZβ​ and Skn\mathcal S_k^nSkn​ are sums in L2L^2L2; real powers n−1/4n^{-1/4}n−1/4, n−3k/4n^{-3k/4}n−3k/4 are Real.rpow; λ\lambdaλ is Mathlib's cgf; convergence in law is TendstoInDistribution.

Normalisation of IkI_kIk​. The paper's normalisation of multiple integrals is not consistent (§3.2 and the remark on p. 19 differ by k!k!k!). The formalization follows (7) and the variance computation on p. 6: for ggg supported on Δk×Rk\Delta_k\times\mathbb R^kΔk​×Rk, E[Ik(g)2]=∥g∥2E[I_k(g)^2]=\|g\|^2E[Ik​(g)2]=∥g∥2.

Corrected statements. Two milestones are stated in the corrected form that the paper's proof establishes:

  • Lemma 4.1. The bound Q[Skn(g)2]≤n3k/2∥g∥2Q[\mathcal S_k^n(g)^2]\le n^{3k/2}\|g\|^2Q[Skn​(g)2]≤n3k/2∥g∥2 is false for general ggg when k≥2k\ge2k≥2, because permuted index vectors give the same product of environment variables. It is stated for ggg vanishing outside Δk×Rk\Delta_k\times\mathbb R^kΔk​×Rk, the only case Section 5 uses. "Mean zero" is stated for k≥1k\ge1k≥1, since S0n(g0)=g0\mathcal S_0^n(g_0)=g_0S0n​(g0​)=g0​.
  • Lemma 4.4. It is stated for Fock vectors whose components vanish outside the simplices, with square-summable norms, so that ∑kIk(gk)\sum_kI_k(g_k)∑k​Ik​(gk​) converges.

Theorem 4.5 and Lemma 4.6 (perturbed environments) are not part of the milestone list. Theorem 4.5 is false as printed: mean zero and a variance tending to 111 do not give a central limit theorem for a triangular array, and the Lindeberg condition named in its proof must be added. Lemma A.1 is stated for the point-to-line kernels only.

Trivializations ruled out. The limit is the chaos (7) built from a genuine white noise and its multiple integrals, not any random variable with a prescribed property. III is pinned down by WWW. Every infinite sum comes with a milestone proving its summability, and the partition function averages over all 2n2^n2n walk paths.

Infrastructure that would be reusable beyond this mission: space–time white noise and multiple Wiener–Itô integrals with their isometry, a Lindeberg–Feller central limit theorem, the local limit theorem for the simple random walk, and the Cramér–Wold device. Contributions of any of these, or of proofs of the milestones in any order, are welcome.

Selected references

  • T. Alberts, K. Khanin, J. Quastel, The intermediate disorder regime for directed polymers in dimension 1+1, Ann. Probab. 42 (2014), 1212–1256. arXiv:1202.4398
  • T. Alberts, K. Khanin, J. Quastel, The continuum directed random polymer, J. Stat. Phys. 154 (2014), 305–326. MR3162542
  • F. Comets, N. Yoshida, Directed polymers in random environment are diffusive at weak disorder, Ann. Probab. 34 (2006), 1746–1770. MR2271480
  • S. Janson, Gaussian Hilbert Spaces, Cambridge Tracts in Mathematics 129, Cambridge University Press, 1997. MR1474726
  • P. Billingsley, Convergence of Probability Measures, Wiley, 1968. MR0233396
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Control TheoryMechanism DesignOperations Research+1·Captain: mikedeng1

Optimal Electricity Demand Response Contracting with Responsiveness Incentives 2: The Producer's First-Best Value in Closed FormResearch Paper

Motivation

Electricity demand response asks consumers to lower their consumption during price events, when generation is expensive or scarce. Field trials such as the Low Carbon London experiment showed that consumers do react to price signals, but that the reaction is erratic: the average consumption falls while its variability stays high, and a producer that has to follow the load curve in real time pays for that variability. Aïd, Possamaï and Touzi (arXiv:1810.09063; Math. Oper. Res. 2022, doi:10.1287/moor.2021.1201) model this as a continuous-time principal–agent problem in which the consumer (the agent) controls both the level and the volatility of consumption, and the producer (the principal) designs a payment that rewards both.

The paper compares two benchmarks. In the second best, the producer observes only the consumption path and the consumer responds optimally to the contract; this is the subject of the companion mission of this series. In the first best, the producer dictates both the contract and the consumer's effort, subject only to the consumer's participation. The first best is the reference point against which the cost of moral hazard, the information rent, is measured. This mission formalizes the first-best value in closed form, Proposition 3.1 (i) of the paper.

The methodology follows the continuous-time principal–agent literature: Holmström and Milgrom (1987) for exponential utilities and linear contracts, Sannikov (2008) for the dynamic-programming view of the agent's continuation value, and Cvitanić, Possamaï and Touzi (2018) for contracts indexed on both the output and its quadratic variation.

Setting

Fix integers N,d≥0N,d\ge0N,d≥0 (usages for the mean effort and for the volatility effort), cost parameters μ∈(0,∞)N\mu\in(0,\infty)^Nμ∈(0,∞)N, λ∈(0,∞)d\lambda\in(0,\infty)^dλ∈(0,∞)d, nominal volatilities σ∈(0,∞)d\sigma\in(0,\infty)^dσ∈(0,∞)d, effort bounds Amax⁡>0A_{\max}>0Amax​>0 and 0<ε≤10<\varepsilon\le10<ε≤1, risk aversions r,p>0r,p>0r,p>0, a marginal volatility cost h>0h>0h>0, slopes κ,θ∈R\kappa,\theta\in\mathbb Rκ,θ∈R, a horizon T>0T>0T>0, an initial consumption X0∈RX_0\in\mathbb RX0​∈R and a reservation utility R0<0R_0<0R0​<0.

The consumer chooses a mean effort α\alphaα with values in A=∏i[0,μiAmax⁡]A=\prod_i[0,\mu_iA_{\max}]A=∏i​[0,μi​Amax​] and a responsiveness effort β\betaβ with values in B=[ε,1]dB=[\varepsilon,1]^dB=[ε,1]d, at cost

c(α,β)=c1(α)+12c2(β),c1(a)=12∑iai2μi,c2(b)=∑jσj2λj(bj−1−1).c(\alpha,\beta)=c_1(\alpha)+\tfrac12c_2(\beta),\qquad c_1(a)=\tfrac12\sum_i\frac{a_i^2}{\mu_i},\qquad c_2(b)=\sum_j\frac{\sigma_j^2}{\lambda_j}\big(b_j^{-1}-1\big).c(α,β)=c1​(α)+21​c2​(β),c1​(a)=21​i∑​μi​ai2​​,c2​(b)=j∑​λj​σj2​​(bj−1​−1).

The consumption XXX follows Xt=X0−∫0tαs⋅1 ds+∫0tσ(βs)⋅dWsX_t=X_0-\int_0^t\alpha_s\cdot\mathbf 1\,ds+\int_0^t\sigma(\beta_s)\cdot dW_sXt​=X0​−∫0t​αs​⋅1ds+∫0t​σ(βs​)⋅dWs​ with σ(b)=(σ1b1,…,σdbd)\sigma(b)=(\sigma_1\sqrt{b_1},\dots,\sigma_d\sqrt{b_d})σ(b)=(σ1​b1​​,…,σd​bd​​), in the weak sense: XXX is the canonical process on C([0,T],R)C([0,T],\mathbb R)C([0,T],R), and an admissible pair (ν,P)(\nu,\mathbb P)(ν,P) is a progressively measurable control ν=(α,β)\nu=(\alpha,\beta)ν=(α,β) with a probability measure under which XXX starts at X0X_0X0​ and solves the associated martingale problem.

The consumer values consumption by f(x)=κxf(x)=\kappa xf(x)=κx and the producer bears the generation cost g(x)=θxg(x)=\theta xg(x)=θx; write δ=κ−θ\delta=\kappa-\thetaδ=κ−θ. For a payment ξ\xiξ made at time TTT, the consumer's and the producer's criteria are

JA=EP[−e−r(ξ+∫0T(κXs−c(νs))ds)],JP=EP[−e−p(−ξ−∫0TθXsds−h2⟨X⟩T)].J_A=\mathbb E^{\mathbb P}\Big[-e^{-r\left(\xi+\int_0^T(\kappa X_s-c(\nu_s))ds\right)}\Big],\qquad J_P=\mathbb E^{\mathbb P}\Big[-e^{-p\left(-\xi-\int_0^T\theta X_sds-\frac h2\langle X\rangle_T\right)}\Big].JA​=EP[−e−r(ξ+∫0T​(κXs​−c(νs​))ds)],JP​=EP[−e−p(−ξ−∫0T​θXs​ds−2h​⟨X⟩T​)].

A contract is an FT\mathcal F_TFT​-measurable ξ\xiξ with uniform exponential moments (2.5). The first-best value is

VFB=sup⁡{JP(ξ,ν,P): ξ a contract, (ν,P) admissible, JA(ξ,ν,P)≥R0}.V^{FB}=\sup\big\{J_P(\xi,\nu,\mathbb P):\ \xi\text{ a contract},\ (\nu,\mathbb P)\text{ admissible},\ J_A(\xi,\nu,\mathbb P)\ge R_0\big\}.VFB=sup{JP​(ξ,ν,P): ξ a contract, (ν,P) admissible, JA​(ξ,ν,P)≥R0​}.

The consumer's Hamiltonians are Hm(z)=−inf⁡a∈A{a⋅1 z+c1(a)}H_m(z)=-\inf_{a\in A}\{a\cdot\mathbf 1\,z+c_1(a)\}Hm​(z)=−infa∈A​{a⋅1z+c1​(a)} and Hv(γ)=−12inf⁡b∈B{c2(b)−γ∣σ(b)∣2}H_v(\gamma)=-\frac12\inf_{b\in B}\{c_2(b)-\gamma|\sigma(b)|^2\}Hv​(γ)=−21​infb∈B​{c2​(b)−γ∣σ(b)∣2}. Finally ρ=rpr+p\rho=\frac{rp}{r+p}ρ=r+prp​, L0=−1rlog⁡(−R0)L_0=-\frac1r\log(-R_0)L0​=−r1​log(−R0​), U(x)=−e−pxU(x)=-e^{-px}U(x)=−e−px, μˉ=∑iμi\bar\mu=\sum_i\mu_iμˉ​=∑i​μi​ and x−=max⁡(0,−x)x^-=\max(0,-x)x−=max(0,−x).

Formalization targets

Goal: Proposition 3.1 (i)

Assume δ−T≤Amax⁡\delta^-T\le A_{\max}δ−T≤Amax​. Then

VFB=U(vˉ(0,X0)−L0),vˉ(0,X0)=δTX0+∫0T(12μˉ(δ−)2(T−t)2+Hv(−h−ρδ2(T−t)2))dt.V^{FB}=U\big(\bar v(0,X_0)-L_0\big),\quad \bar v(0,X_0)=\delta TX_0+\int_0^T\Big(\tfrac12\bar\mu(\delta^-)^2(T-t)^2+H_v\big(-h-\rho\delta^2(T-t)^2\big)\Big)dt.VFB=U(vˉ(0,X0​)−L0​),vˉ(0,X0​)=δTX0​+∫0T​(21​μˉ​(δ−)2(T−t)2+Hv​(−h−ρδ2(T−t)2))dt.

Milestones

  1. Proposition 2.1. The best responses a^(z)\hat a(z)a^(z), b^(γ)\hat b(\gamma)b^(γ) attain the infima defining HmH_mHm​, HvH_vHv​, and these Hamiltonians have explicit closed forms.
  2. (A.5). The auxiliary value Vˉ=sup⁡(ν,P)EP[−e−ρ(∫0T(δXt−c(νt))dt−h2⟨X⟩T)]\bar V=\sup_{(\nu,\mathbb P)}\mathbb E^{\mathbb P}\big[-e^{-\rho(\int_0^T(\delta X_t-c(\nu_t))dt-\frac h2\langle X\rangle_T)}\big]Vˉ=sup(ν,P)​EP[−e−ρ(∫0T​(δXt​−c(νt​))dt−2h​⟨X⟩T​)] is finite and negative, and VFB=R0(Vˉ/R0)1+p/rV^{FB}=R_0(\bar V/R_0)^{1+p/r}VFB=R0​(Vˉ/R0​)1+p/r.
  3. Proposition A.3 (i), with the explicit solution of p. 28.
Vˉ=−e−ρ(δTX0+∫0Tmˉ(t)dt),mˉ(t)=Hm(δ(T−t))+Hv(−h−ρδ2(T−t)2).\bar V=-e^{-\rho\left(\delta TX_0+\int_0^T\bar m(t)dt\right)},\qquad \bar m(t)=H_m(\delta(T-t))+H_v\big(-h-\rho\delta^2(T-t)^2\big).Vˉ=−e−ρ(δTX0​+∫0T​mˉ(t)dt),mˉ(t)=Hm​(δ(T−t))+Hv​(−h−ρδ2(T−t)2).

Significance

The closed form shows how the first-best value depends on each parameter: on the energy value discrepancy δ\deltaδ through the mean-effort term, on the volatility cost hhh and the effective risk aversion ρ\rhoρ through the volatility Hamiltonian, and on the reservation utility only through the shift by L0L_0L0​. It is one half of the paper's information rent (Proposition 3.4), the gap between the first- and second-best values, and it is the benchmark against which the calibrated contracts of the paper's Section 4 are judged.

The result is proved in the paper, partly by appeal to standard stochastic control arguments. To our knowledge it has no machine-checked proof. A formal proof requires a verification theorem for an exponential-utility control problem in the weak formulation, and a risk-sharing argument with a pathwise quadratic-variation term in the contract; both are reusable beyond this paper.

Difficulty

The deterministic parts, Proposition 2.1 and the algebra that turns (A.5) and the value of Vˉ\bar VVˉ into the goal, are calculus. The difficulty lies in the two stochastic steps. In (A.5), the producer's optimal payment for a given effort depends on ⟨X⟩T\langle X\rangle_T⟨X⟩T​; it must be realised as a measurable function of the path that is a contract in the sense of (2.5), uniformly over all admissible laws, and the participation constraint must be shown to bind. In Proposition A.3 (i), the upper bound on Vˉ\bar VVˉ must hold for every progressively measurable, path-dependent control, not only for Markov feedback controls; the paper invokes "standard stochastic control theory", which has to be made precise for controls of the volatility under a martingale-problem formulation, where no Brownian motion is given in advance.

Formalization scope

The canonical space is C([0,T],R)C([0,T],\mathbb R)C([0,T],R) with the coordinate σ-algebra and the canonical filtration; processes are indexed by [0,T][0,T][0,T]. Admissible pairs are given by a martingale problem: X0=X0X_0=X_0X0​=X0​ almost surely, and both Xt−X0+∫0tαs⋅1 dsX_t-X_0+\int_0^t\alpha_s\cdot\mathbf 1\,dsXt​−X0​+∫0t​αs​⋅1ds and its square minus ∫0t∣σ(βs)∣2ds\int_0^t|\sigma(\beta_s)|^2ds∫0t​∣σ(βs​)∣2ds are martingales. In the criteria, ⟨X⟩T\langle X\rangle_T⟨X⟩T​ is replaced by its almost-sure value ∫0T∣σ(βs)∣2ds\int_0^T|\sigma(\beta_s)|^2ds∫0T​∣σ(βs​)∣2ds; a contract remains any FT\mathcal F_TFT​-measurable function of the path. Expectations of utilities are negated lower Lebesgue integrals of exponentials in [−∞,0][-\infty,0][−∞,0], and every value is an extended-real supremum with sup⁡∅=−∞\sup\emptyset=-\inftysup∅=−∞. BBB is read as [ε,1]d[\varepsilon,1]^d[ε,1]d, with indices in Fin N and Fin d.

The Hamiltonians are defined by their infima, never by their closed forms, so that Proposition 2.1 is not true by definition, and the first-best value is a supremum over the model's own objects, not a variable pinned by hypotheses. Three hypotheses are added to the page: ε≤1\varepsilon\le1ε≤1 (so B≠∅B\ne\emptysetB=∅), R0<0R_0<0R0​<0 (so L0L_0L0​ is defined), and, for the goal only, δ−T≤Amax⁡\delta^-T\le A_{\max}δ−T≤Amax​, without which the printed 12μˉ(δ−)2(T−t)2\frac12\bar\mu(\delta^-)^2(T-t)^221​μˉ​(δ−)2(T−t)2 exceeds Hm(δ(T−t))H_m(\delta(T-t))Hm​(δ(T−t)) and contradicts the paper's own proof. Misprints corrected and disclosed in the items: the closed form of HmH_mHm​ in Proposition 2.1 is false for z−>Amax⁡z^->A_{\max}z−>Amax​ and is replaced by μˉ(mz−−m2/2)\bar\mu(m z^--m^2/2)μˉ​(mz−−m2/2) with m=z−∧Amax⁡m=z^-\wedge A_{\max}m=z−∧Amax​; the index range of b^\hat bb^ is j=1,…,dj=1,\dots,dj=1,…,d; on p. 28, ∫0tmˉ\int_0^t\bar m∫0t​mˉ is ∫tTmˉ\int_t^T\bar m∫tT​mˉ and "(A.11)" is (A.6).

The parts (ii)–(iii) of Proposition 3.1, the optimal efforts and the optimal contract, are not stated. Contributions welcome: a verification theorem for controlled martingale problems with bounded coefficients, exponential moment bounds uniform over admissible laws, and a pathwise quadratic variation on the canonical space.

Selected references

  • R. Aïd, D. Possamaï, N. Touzi, Optimal electricity demand response contracting with responsiveness incentives, arXiv:1810.09063v3, 2019; Math. Oper. Res. 2022. https://arxiv.org/abs/1810.09063
  • J. Cvitanić, D. Possamaï, N. Touzi, Dynamic programming approach to principal–agent problems, Finance Stoch. 22, 2018. https://arxiv.org/abs/1510.07111
  • B. Holmström, P. Milgrom, Aggregation and linearity in the provision of intertemporal incentives, Econometrica 55, 1987. https://doi.org/10.2307/1913238
  • Y. Sannikov, A continuous-time version of the principal–agent problem, Rev. Econ. Stud. 75, 2008. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1467-937X.2007.00463.x
  • I. Karatzas, S. Shreve, Brownian Motion and Stochastic Calculus, Springer, 1991, §5.4 (martingale problems and weak solutions). https://doi.org/10.1007/978-1-4612-0949-2
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Mathematical PhysicsOptimizationPartial Differential Equations+1·Captain: mikedeng1

Optimization of Mean-field Spin Glasses I: Every Minimizer of the Extended Parisi Functional Has Full SupportResearch Paper

Motivation

The Ising mixed ppp-spin model assigns to each configuration σ∈{−1,+1}N\sigma \in \{-1,+1\}^Nσ∈{−1,+1}N the energy of a random polynomial whose covariance is E{HN(σ)HN(σ′)}=Nξ(⟨σ,σ′⟩/N)\mathbb E\{H_N(\sigma)H_N(\sigma')\} = N\xi(\langle\sigma,\sigma'\rangle/N)E{HN​(σ)HN​(σ′)}=Nξ(⟨σ,σ′⟩/N). Its ground-state energy max⁡σHN(σ)/N\max_\sigma H_N(\sigma)/Nmaxσ​HN​(σ)/N converges to the value of a variational problem, the zero-temperature Parisi formula (Auffinger–Chen 2017), in which a functional P\mathsf PP is minimized over non-decreasing order parameters γ\gammaγ. El Alaoui, Montanari and Sellke (arXiv:2001.00904v1) ask how close a polynomial-time algorithm can get to this maximum. Their answer is an extended variational principle: the best value reachable by incremental approximate message passing is inf⁡γ∈LP(γ)\inf_{\gamma\in\mathscr L}\mathsf P(\gamma)infγ∈L​P(γ), where the space L\mathscr LL drops the monotonicity constraint.

The algorithm that reaches this value is built from a minimizer γ∗\gamma_*γ∗​ of P\mathsf PP over L\mathscr LL, and it runs along the set of times where γ∗\gamma_*γ∗​ is positive. Theorem 5 of the paper (p. 30) shows that this set is dense: a minimizer has full support. This mission formalizes that theorem and the first- and second-order optimality conditions it rests on (Section 6.1, pp. 22–31).

Timeline. Parisi proposed the variational formula in 1979. Talagrand (2006) and Panchenko (2013) proved it at positive temperature. Auffinger and Chen (2017) established the zero-temperature version with Φ(1,x)=∣x∣\Phi(1,x)=|x|Φ(1,x)=∣x∣ and proved that a minimizer over the monotone space exists. Jagannath and Tobasco (2016) developed the PDE and SDE tools for the Parisi functional that Section 6.1 of the present paper adapts to non-monotone order parameters. Montanari (2019) gave the first message passing algorithm for the Sherrington–Kirkpatrick case; the present paper (2020) extended it to general mixtures and introduced L\mathscr LL.

Setting

A mixture is ξ(t)=∑k≥2ck2tk\xi(t) = \sum_{k\ge2} c_k^2 t^kξ(t)=∑k≥2​ck2​tk with ξ(1+ε)<∞\xi(1+\varepsilon) < \inftyξ(1+ε)<∞ for some ε>0\varepsilon > 0ε>0; its derivatives ξ′\xi'ξ′, ξ′′\xi''ξ′′ are the termwise differentiated power series, non-negative and non-decreasing on [0,1][0,1][0,1].

An order parameter is a function γ:[0,1)→R≥0\gamma : [0,1) \to \mathbb R_{\ge0}γ:[0,1)→R≥0​. The extended space is

L={γ:[0,1)→R≥0:∥ξ′′γ∥TV[0,t]<∞ ∀t∈[0,1), ∫01ξ′′(t)γ(t) dt<∞},\mathscr L = \Bigl\{\gamma : [0,1)\to\mathbb R_{\ge0} : \|\xi''\gamma\|_{\mathrm{TV}[0,t]}<\infty\ \forall t\in[0,1),\ \int_0^1\xi''(t)\gamma(t)\,dt<\infty\Bigr\},L={γ:[0,1)→R≥0​:∥ξ′′γ∥TV[0,t]​<∞ ∀t∈[0,1), ∫01​ξ′′(t)γ(t)dt<∞},

with the weighted distance ∥γ1−γ2∥1,ξ′′=∫01ξ′′(t)∣γ1(t)−γ2(t)∣ dt\|\gamma_1-\gamma_2\|_{1,\xi''} = \int_0^1\xi''(t)|\gamma_1(t)-\gamma_2(t)|\,dt∥γ1​−γ2​∥1,ξ′′​=∫01​ξ′′(t)∣γ1​(t)−γ2​(t)∣dt. The non-negative step functions SF+\mathsf{SF}_+SF+​ are the finite sums ∑iaiI[ti−1,ti)\sum_i a_i\mathbb I_{[t_{i-1},t_i)}∑i​ai​I[ti−1​,ti​)​ with 0=t0<⋯<tm=10=t_0<\dots<t_m=10=t0​<⋯<tm​=1 and ai≥0a_i\ge0ai​≥0.

For a terminal condition f0f_0f0​ (convex, continuous, even, non-negative, differentiable off 000 with 0≤f0′≤10\le f_0'\le10≤f0′​≤1 on (0,∞)(0,\infty)(0,∞)) and γ∈SF+\gamma\in\mathsf{SF}_+γ∈SF+​, the Parisi PDE

∂tΦ+12ξ′′(t)(∂x2Φ+γ(t)(∂xΦ)2)=0,Φ(1,x)=f0(x),\partial_t\Phi + \tfrac12\xi''(t)\bigl(\partial_x^2\Phi + \gamma(t)(\partial_x\Phi)^2\bigr) = 0,\qquad \Phi(1,x) = f_0(x),∂t​Φ+21​ξ′′(t)(∂x2​Φ+γ(t)(∂x​Φ)2)=0,Φ(1,x)=f0​(x),

has the explicit Cole–Hopf solution Φγ\Phi^\gammaΦγ: on [ti−1,ti)[t_{i-1},t_i)[ti−1​,ti​), Φ(t,x)=γi−1log⁡Eexp⁡{γiΦ(ti,x+ξ′(ti)−ξ′(t) G)}\Phi(t,x) = \gamma_i^{-1}\log\mathbb E\exp\{\gamma_i\Phi(t_i, x+\sqrt{\xi'(t_i)-\xi'(t)}\,G)\}Φ(t,x)=γi−1​logEexp{γi​Φ(ti​,x+ξ′(ti​)−ξ′(t)​G)} with G∼N(0,1)G\sim\mathsf N(0,1)G∼N(0,1). For γ∈L\gamma\in\mathscr Lγ∈L, Φγ\Phi^\gammaΦγ is the limit of Φγn\Phi^{\gamma_n}Φγn​ along step functions γn→γ\gamma_n\to\gammaγn​→γ in the weighted distance. The Parisi functional is

P(γ)=Φγ(0,0)−12∫01t ξ′′(t)γ(t) dt.\mathsf P(\gamma) = \Phi^\gamma(0,0) - \frac12\int_0^1 t\,\xi''(t)\gamma(t)\,dt .P(γ)=Φγ(0,0)−21​∫01​tξ′′(t)γ(t)dt.

Given a Brownian motion BBB, the process XXX solves dXt=ξ′′(t)γ(t) ∂xΦγ(t,Xt) dt+ξ′′(t) dBtdX_t = \xi''(t)\gamma(t)\,\partial_x\Phi^\gamma(t,X_t)\,dt + \sqrt{\xi''(t)}\,dB_tdXt​=ξ′′(t)γ(t)∂x​Φγ(t,Xt​)dt+ξ′′(t)​dBt​, X0=0X_0 = 0X0​=0. The support of γ\gammaγ is S(γ)={t∈[0,1):γ(t)>0}S(\gamma) = \{t\in[0,1):\gamma(t)>0\}S(γ)={t∈[0,1):γ(t)>0}, and S‾(γ)\overline S(\gamma)S(γ) is its closure in [0,1)[0,1)[0,1).

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem 5

With f0(x)=∣x∣f_0(x) = |x|f0​(x)=∣x∣, if γ∗∈L\gamma_*\in\mathscr Lγ∗​∈L satisfies P(γ∗)=inf⁡γ∈LP(γ)\mathsf P(\gamma_*) = \inf_{\gamma\in\mathscr L}\mathsf P(\gamma)P(γ∗​)=infγ∈L​P(γ), then

S‾(γ∗)=[0,1).\overline S(\gamma_*) = [0,1).S(γ∗​)=[0,1).

Milestones

The path to the goal, in attack order:

  • Proposition 6.1(b),(c): on step functions, ∂xΦ\partial_x\Phi∂x​Φ is non-decreasing with ∣∂xΦ∣≤1|\partial_x\Phi|\le1∣∂x​Φ∣≤1, and ∥Φγ1−Φγ2∥∞≤∥ξ′′(γ1−γ2)∥1\|\Phi^{\gamma_1}-\Phi^{\gamma_2}\|_\infty\le\|\xi''(\gamma_1-\gamma_2)\|_1∥Φγ1​−Φγ2​∥∞​≤∥ξ′′(γ1​−γ2​)∥1​.
  • Lemma 6.2: these properties pass to γ∈L\gamma\in\mathscr Lγ∈L.
  • Lemma 6.5: the SDE has a unique strong solution on [0,1][0,1][0,1].
  • Corollary 6.6: E{∂xΦ(t2,Xt2)2}−E{∂xΦ(t1,Xt1)2}=∫t1t2ξ′′(s) E{(∂x2Φ(s,Xs))2} ds\mathbb E\{\partial_x\Phi(t_2,X_{t_2})^2\}-\mathbb E\{\partial_x\Phi(t_1,X_{t_1})^2\}=\int_{t_1}^{t_2}\xi''(s)\,\mathbb E\{(\partial_x^2\Phi(s,X_s))^2\}\,dsE{∂x​Φ(t2​,Xt2​​)2}−E{∂x​Φ(t1​,Xt1​​)2}=∫t1​t2​​ξ′′(s)E{(∂x2​Φ(s,Xs​))2}ds.
  • Lemma 6.7: the map t↦E{∂x2Φ(t,Xt)2}t\mapsto\mathbb E\{\partial_x^2\Phi(t,X_t)^2\}t↦E{∂x2​Φ(t,Xt​)2} is continuous on [0,1)[0,1)[0,1).
  • Proposition 6.8: the first variation ddsP(γ+sδ)∣s=0+=12∫01ξ′′δ (E{∂xΦ(t,Xt)2}−t) dt\frac{d}{ds}\mathsf P(\gamma+s\delta)|_{s=0+}=\frac12\int_0^1\xi''\delta\,(\mathbb E\{\partial_x\Phi(t,X_t)^2\}-t)\,dtdsd​P(γ+sδ)∣s=0+​=21​∫01​ξ′′δ(E{∂x​Φ(t,Xt​)2}−t)dt.
  • Lemma 6.9: S(γ)S(\gamma)S(γ) is a countable disjoint union of intervals.
  • Corollary 6.10: E{∂xΦγ∗(t,Xt)2}=t\mathbb E\{\partial_x\Phi^{\gamma_*}(t,X_t)^2\}=tE{∂x​Φγ∗​(t,Xt​)2}=t on S‾(γ∗)\overline S(\gamma_*)S(γ∗​) and ≥t\ge t≥t off it.
  • Corollary 6.11: ξ′′(t) E{∂x2Φγ∗(t,Xt)2}=1\xi''(t)\,\mathbb E\{\partial_x^2\Phi^{\gamma_*}(t,X_t)^2\}=1ξ′′(t)E{∂x2​Φγ∗​(t,Xt​)2}=1 on S‾(γ∗)\overline S(\gamma_*)S(γ∗​).
  • Lemma 6.12: the law of XtX_tXt​ has a density, bounded below on compact sets, once γ\gammaγ vanishes.

Significance

The result. Full support identifies the extended variational principle as one whose minimizers are "nowhere flat". The algorithm of Theorem 3 in the paper follows γ∗\gamma_*γ∗​ through incremental steps whose size is set by γ∗\gamma_*γ∗​, and it needs no special treatment of gaps where γ∗=0\gamma_* = 0γ∗​=0. The stationarity conditions (Corollaries 6.10–6.11) also characterize minimizers over L\mathscr LL the way the Auffinger–Chen conditions characterize minimizers over the monotone space. They are the starting point for comparing inf⁡LP\inf_{\mathscr L}\mathsf PinfL​P with the Parisi value.

Formalizing it. The theorem is proved in the paper; nothing here is open mathematics. The paper's proofs rely on cited PDE regularity (Jagannath–Tobasco 2016) and on standard SDE theory, often in one line. The mission produces a machine-checked chain from the explicit Cole–Hopf formula to the support theorem. Along the way it builds the Parisi PDE solution on a non-monotone class, a first-variation formula, and stationarity conditions, none of which have a formal counterpart. No formal statement of the Parisi functional or the Parisi PDE exists on Prove2Me (index search, 2026-10-03).

Difficulty

Two steps resist a direct argument. The first is the first variation (Proposition 6.8): differentiating Φγ(0,0)\Phi^\gamma(0,0)Φγ(0,0) in γ\gammaγ requires comparing the SDE for γ\gammaγ with the SDE for the perturbed parameter and controlling their difference uniformly, which needs bounds on ∂x2Φ\partial_x^2\Phi∂x2​Φ that degenerate as t→1t\to1t→1. The second is the exclusion of gaps: on an interval where γ∗=0\gamma_*=0γ∗​=0 the PDE is a time-changed heat equation, and the contradiction comes from a strict inequality, which requires the law of XtX_tXt​ to charge every interval (Lemma 6.12). The obvious idea of perturbing γ∗\gamma_*γ∗​ upward on a gap only yields the inequality (6.14), which is consistent with a gap; the second-order identity at the gap's endpoints is what closes the argument.

Formalization scope

Conventions committed to in Lean:

  • The mixture is a coefficient sequence ccc with c0=c1=0c_0=c_1=0c0​=c1​=0; ξ,ξ′,ξ′′\xi,\xi',\xi''ξ,ξ′,ξ′′ are explicit series.
  • Order parameters are functions R→R\mathbb R\to\mathbb RR→R read only on [0,1)[0,1)[0,1). Membership in L\mathscr LL uses eVariationOn for the total variation and IntegrableOn for the integral; the latter includes the a.e.-measurability that the paper takes for granted.
  • Φγ\Phi^\gammaΦγ for step functions is the Cole–Hopf recursion (7.3). For a piece with γi=0\gamma_i = 0γi​=0 the formula's limit, the heat semigroup, is used instead of a division by zero. E\mathbb EE over GGG is integration against gaussianReal 0 1. For γ∈L\gamma\in\mathscr Lγ∈L, Φγ\Phi^\gammaΦγ is a limit along the filter of step functions converging in the weighted L1L^1L1 distance; it is never "some solution of the PDE".
  • ∂xΦ\partial_x\Phi∂x​Φ and ∂x2Φ\partial_x^2\Phi∂x2​Φ are iterated derivs in xxx. Lemma 6.2's weak-derivative claim is stated as "convex and 1-Lipschitz", its equivalent.
  • The SDE uses the published strong-solution concept EthierKurtz.SolvesBrownianSDE in dimension one, with coefficients extended by zero after time 111. The driver is assumed to be a standard Brownian motion (IsBrownianReal). Statements about XXX hold for every strong solution, which by Lemma 6.5 is unique.
  • Section 6.1's results are stated for every admissible f0f_0f0​; P\mathsf PP is parametrized by f0f_0f0​, and Theorem 5 fixes f0=∣⋅∣f_0=|\cdot|f0​=∣⋅∣.
  • Minimality is "P(γ∗)≤P(γ)\mathsf P(\gamma_*)\le\mathsf P(\gamma)P(γ∗​)≤P(γ) for all γ∈L\gamma\in\mathscr Lγ∈L", never a real infimum. S‾(γ)\overline S(\gamma)S(γ) is closure (S γ) ∩ Ico 0 1. Right-continuity of γ∗\gamma_*γ∗​, the paper's convention from p. 28, is a hypothesis.
  • Disclosed hypothesis ξ≢0\xi\not\equiv0ξ≡0 (some ck≠0c_k\neq0ck​=0) on Theorem 5, Corollaries 6.10–6.11 and Lemma 6.12. For ξ≡0\xi\equiv0ξ≡0 every γ\gammaγ minimizes P\mathsf PP and X≡0X\equiv0X≡0, so γ∗≡0\gamma_*\equiv0γ∗​≡0 has empty support and each of those statements fails. When c2=0c_2=0c2​=0 no minimizer exists (Corollary 6.11 at t=0t=0t=0), and Theorem 5 is vacuous, as in the paper.
  • Lemma 6.12's density bound is stated without choosing density versions: ε Leb(A)≤P(Xt∈A)\varepsilon\,\mathrm{Leb}(A)\le\mathbb P(X_t\in A)εLeb(A)≤P(Xt​∈A) for measurable A⊆[−M,M]A\subseteq[-M,M]A⊆[−M,M].

A trivializing formalization is excluded: Φγ\Phi^\gammaΦγ and XXX are the paper's objects, built from the data, so the goal cannot be met by choosing a convenient solution, and minimality over L\mathscr LL cannot be satisfied by a junk infimum.

Not formalized: the weak formulation (6.4) of Lemma 6.2, printed with a wrong boundary term; the stochastic-integral identity (6.7) of Lemma 6.5; the regularity Lemmas 6.3–6.4; Proposition 6.1(a). The paper's algorithmic Theorems 2–4 are out of scope, because they concern algorithms in an informal model of computation and an AMP state-evolution theory that is not part of this mission.

Useful infrastructure beyond this mission: the Cole–Hopf solution and its Lipschitz dependence on γ\gammaγ, the Parisi functional on L\mathscr LL, and the SDE (6.3). Contributions that formalize Itô's formula for these processes or the regularity of Φγ\Phi^\gammaΦγ are welcome as supporting lemmas.

Selected references

  • A. El Alaoui, A. Montanari, M. Sellke, Optimization of Mean-field Spin Glasses, arXiv:2001.00904v1, 2020. https://arxiv.org/abs/2001.00904
  • A. Auffinger, W.-K. Chen, Parisi formula for the ground state energy in the mixed p-spin model, Annals of Probability, 2017. https://arxiv.org/abs/1606.05335
  • A. Jagannath, I. Tobasco, A dynamic programming approach to the Parisi functional, Proceedings of the AMS, 2016. https://arxiv.org/abs/1502.04398
  • A. Montanari, Optimization of the Sherrington–Kirkpatrick Hamiltonian, FOCS 2019. https://arxiv.org/abs/1812.10897
  • M. Talagrand, The Parisi formula, Annals of Mathematics 163(1), 2006. https://doi.org/10.4007/annals.2006.163.221
  • D. Panchenko, The Parisi ultrametricity conjecture, Annals of Mathematics 177(1), 2013. https://doi.org/10.4007/annals.2013.177.1.8
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Control TheoryMechanism DesignOperations Research+1·Captain: mikedeng1

Optimal Electricity Demand Response Contracting with Responsiveness Incentives 1: The Producer's Second-Best Value in Closed FormResearch Paper

Motivation

Demand response asks electricity consumers to lower or smooth their consumption when generation is expensive, in exchange for payments. Field trials such as Low Carbon London showed two effects of such incentives: consumers reduce their average consumption, and the variability of their response depends on how much effort they put into it. A producer who cannot observe the consumer's individual usages, only the aggregate consumption path, faces a moral hazard problem: the payment can depend only on what is observed.

Aïd, Possamaï and Touzi (arXiv:1810.09063v3, 2019; Math. Oper. Res. 2022) cast this as a continuous-time principal–agent problem in which the consumer controls both the drift and the volatility of his consumption, and the producer pays for reductions in both. The volatility channel is what makes the problem new: the classical Holmström–Milgrom model (Econometrica 1987) controls only the drift. The paper uses the general reduction of Cvitanić, Possamaï and Touzi (Finance Stoch. 2018) to optimal contracts with volatility control, and obtains the producer's value in closed form up to a scalar minimisation. This mission formalizes that closed form.

Setting

Fix integers N,d≥0N,d\ge0N,d≥0, cost parameters μ∈(0,∞)N\mu\in(0,\infty)^Nμ∈(0,∞)N and λ∈(0,∞)d\lambda\in(0,\infty)^dλ∈(0,∞)d, nominal volatilities σ∈(0,∞)d\sigma\in(0,\infty)^dσ∈(0,∞)d, effort bounds Amax⁡>0A_{\max}>0Amax​>0 and ε∈(0,1]\varepsilon\in(0,1]ε∈(0,1], risk aversions r,p>0r,p>0r,p>0, a marginal cost of volatility h>0h>0h>0, marginal energy value κ\kappaκ and cost θ\thetaθ with δ:=κ−θ\delta:=\kappa-\thetaδ:=κ−θ, a horizon T>0T>0T>0, an initial consumption X0X_0X0​ and a reservation utility R0<0R_0<0R0​<0. Write μˉ:=∑iμi\bar\mu:=\sum_i\mu_iμˉ​:=∑i​μi​ and x−:=max⁡(0,−x)x^-:=\max(0,-x)x−:=max(0,−x).

Consumption. XXX is the canonical process on Ω=C([0,T],R)\Omega=C([0,T],\mathbb R)Ω=C([0,T],R) with its natural filtration F\mathbb FF. A control ν=(α,β)\nu=(\alpha,\beta)ν=(α,β) is progressively measurable, with αt∈A:=∏i[0,μiAmax⁡]\alpha_t\in A:=\prod_i[0,\mu_iA_{\max}]αt​∈A:=∏i​[0,μi​Amax​] (effort to reduce consumption) and βt∈B:=[ε,1]d\beta_t\in B:=[\varepsilon,1]^dβt​∈B:=[ε,1]d (effort to reduce volatility). Under ν\nuν the consumption follows, in the weak sense,

Xt=X0−∫0tαs⋅1 ds+∫0tσ(βs)⋅dWs,∣σ(b)∣2=∑jσj2bj.X_t=X_0-\int_0^t\alpha_s\cdot\mathbf 1\,ds+\int_0^t\sigma(\beta_s)\cdot dW_s,\qquad |\sigma(b)|^2=\sum_j\sigma_j^2b_j .Xt​=X0​−∫0t​αs​⋅1ds+∫0t​σ(βs​)⋅dWs​,∣σ(b)∣2=j∑​σj2​bj​.

Effort costs c(ν)=c1(α)+12c2(β)c(\nu)=c_1(\alpha)+\frac12c_2(\beta)c(ν)=c1​(α)+21​c2​(β) per unit time, with c1(a)=12∑iai2/μic_1(a)=\frac12\sum_ia_i^2/\mu_ic1​(a)=21​∑i​ai2​/μi​ and c2(b)=∑jσj2λj(bj−1−1)c_2(b)=\sum_j\frac{\sigma_j^2}{\lambda_j}(b_j^{-1}-1)c2​(b)=∑j​λj​σj2​​(bj−1​−1).

Criteria. For a payment ξ\xiξ at time TTT, the consumer's criterion is JA=E[−e−r(ξ+∫0T(κXs−c(νs))ds)]J_A=\mathbb E[-e^{-r(\xi+\int_0^T(\kappa X_s-c(\nu_s))ds)}]JA​=E[−e−r(ξ+∫0T​(κXs​−c(νs​))ds)] and the producer's is JP=E[U(−ξ−∫0TθXsds−h2⟨X⟩T)]J_P=\mathbb E[U(-\xi-\int_0^T\theta X_sds-\frac h2\langle X\rangle_T)]JP​=E[U(−ξ−∫0T​θXs​ds−2h​⟨X⟩T​)] with U(x)=−e−pxU(x)=-e^{-px}U(x)=−e−px. Contracts C\mathcal CC are the FT\mathcal F_TFT​-measurable ξ\xiξ with exponential moments of order m>1m>1m>1 uniformly over the consumer's responses (2.5). The consumer's value is VA(ξ)=sup⁡JAV_A(\xi)=\sup J_AVA​(ξ)=supJA​, and P⋆(ξ)\mathcal P^\star(\xi)P⋆(ξ) is the set of his optimal responses.

Second best. The producer offers ξ\xiξ, the consumer responds optimally, ties are broken in the producer's favour, and participation requires VA(ξ)≥R0V_A(\xi)\ge R_0VA​(ξ)≥R0​:

VSB:=sup⁡ξ∈C, VA(ξ)≥R0 sup⁡P⋆(ξ)JP(ξ,⋅),sup⁡∅=−∞.V^{SB}:=\sup_{\xi\in\mathcal C,\ V_A(\xi)\ge R_0}\ \sup_{\mathcal P^\star(\xi)}J_P(\xi,\cdot),\qquad\sup\emptyset=-\infty .VSB:=ξ∈C, VA​(ξ)≥R0​sup​ P⋆(ξ)sup​JP​(ξ,⋅),sup∅=−∞.

Hamiltonians. Hm(z)=−inf⁡a∈A{a⋅1 z+c1(a)}H_m(z)=-\inf_{a\in A}\{a\cdot\mathbf 1\,z+c_1(a)\}Hm​(z)=−infa∈A​{a⋅1z+c1​(a)} and Hv(γ)=−12inf⁡b∈B{c2(b)−γ∣σ(b)∣2}H_v(\gamma)=-\frac12\inf_{b\in B}\{c_2(b)-\gamma|\sigma(b)|^2\}Hv​(γ)=−21​infb∈B​{c2​(b)−γ∣σ(b)∣2}.

Formalization targets

Goal: Proposition 3.2 (i)

Assume δ−T≤Amax⁡\delta^-T\le A_{\max}δ−T≤Amax​. With qt(z)=h+rz2+p(z−δ(T−t))2q_t(z)=h+rz^2+p(z-\delta(T-t))^2qt​(z)=h+rz2+p(z−δ(T−t))2, L0=−1rlog⁡(−R0)L_0=-\frac1r\log(-R_0)L0​=−r1​log(−R0​),

mSB(t)=12μˉδ2(T−t)2−12inf⁡z∈R{μˉ(z−+δ(T−t))2−2Hv(−qt(z))},m_{SB}(t)=\frac12\bar\mu\delta^2(T-t)^2-\frac12\inf_{z\in\mathbb R}\Big\{\bar\mu\big(z^-+\delta(T-t)\big)^2-2H_v\big(-q_t(z)\big)\Big\},mSB​(t)=21​μˉ​δ2(T−t)2−21​z∈Rinf​{μˉ​(z−+δ(T−t))2−2Hv​(−qt​(z))}, VSB=U(v(0,X0)−L0),v(0,X0)=δTX0+∫0TmSB(s) ds.V^{SB}=U\big(v(0,X_0)-L_0\big),\qquad v(0,X_0)=\delta TX_0+\int_0^Tm_{SB}(s)\,ds .VSB=U(v(0,X0​)−L0​),v(0,X0​)=δTX0​+∫0T​mSB​(s)ds.

Milestones

  1. Proposition 2.1. The consumer's best responses a^i(z)=μi(z−∧Amax⁡)\hat a_i(z)=\mu_i(z^-\wedge A_{\max})a^i​(z)=μi​(z−∧Amax​) and b^j(γ)=(1∧(λjγ−)−1/2)∨ε\hat b_j(\gamma)=(1\wedge(\lambda_j\gamma^-)^{-1/2})\vee\varepsilonb^j​(γ)=(1∧(λj​γ−)−1/2)∨ε attain the infima defining HmH_mHm​ and HvH_vHv​, and
Hm(z)=μˉ(mz−−m22), m=z−∧Amax⁡;Hv(γ)=−12(c^2(γ)−γ∣σ^(γ)∣2).H_m(z)=\bar\mu\big(m z^--\tfrac{m^2}2\big),\ m=z^-\wedge A_{\max};\qquad H_v(\gamma)=-\tfrac12\big(\hat c_2(\gamma)-\gamma|\hat\sigma(\gamma)|^2\big).Hm​(z)=μˉ​(mz−−2m2​), m=z−∧Amax​;Hv​(γ)=−21​(c^2​(γ)−γ∣σ^(γ)∣2).
  1. Lemma A.1. With f0(q,γ)=q∣σ^(γ)∣2+c^2(γ)f_0(q,\gamma)=q|\hat\sigma(\gamma)|^2+\hat c_2(\gamma)f0​(q,γ)=q∣σ^(γ)∣2+c^2​(γ), F0(q):=inf⁡γ≤0f0(q,γ)=f0(q,−q)=−2Hv(−q)F_0(q):=\inf_{\gamma\le0}f_0(q,\gamma)=f_0(q,-q)=-2H_v(-q)F0​(q):=infγ≤0​f0​(q,γ)=f0​(q,−q)=−2Hv​(−q), and F0F_0F0​ is non-decreasing.
  2. Proposition A.4 (ii). A minimiser of z↦F0(h−k+rz2+p(z−y)2)+μˉ(z−+y)2z\mapsto F_0(h-k+rz^2+p(z-y)^2)+\bar\mu(z^-+y)^2z↦F0​(h−k+rz2+p(z−y)2)+μˉ​(z−+y)2 is pr+py\frac p{r+p}yr+pp​y when y≥0y\ge0y≥0, and lies in [y,pr+py][y,\frac p{r+p}y][y,r+pp​y] when y≤0y\le0y≤0.

A companion statement, Corollary 3.1 (i), gives the explicit off-peak payment rates zSB(t)=pr+pδ(T−t)z_{SB}(t)=\frac p{r+p}\delta(T-t)zSB​(t)=r+pp​δ(T−t) and γSB(t)=−h−rpr+pδ2(T−t)2\gamma_{SB}(t)=-h-\frac{rp}{r+p}\delta^2(T-t)^2γSB​(t)=−h−r+prp​δ2(T−t)2 when δ≥0\delta\ge0δ≥0.

Significance

The closed form reduces an infinite-dimensional contracting problem, a supremum over all path-dependent payments and all consumer responses, to a deterministic one-dimensional minimisation at each time. It is the basis of the paper's comparisons: with the first-best value it measures the cost of moral hazard, and its minimiser gives the price of energy and of responsiveness that the optimal contract charges, which the paper calibrates on Low Carbon London data.

The result is proved on paper. No part of it is machine-checked. A complete formalization would give a checked instance of a continuous-time principal–agent theorem with volatility control. It would also fix, in exact terms, the conventions the paper leaves implicit (weak solutions, the effort cap), and the printed misprints that this mission corrects.

Difficulty

The deterministic milestones are calculus on boxes. The goal is not. The upper bound VSB≤U(v(0,X0)−L0)V^{SB}\le U(v(0,X_0)-L_0)VSB≤U(v(0,X0​)−L0​) must hold for every FT\mathcal F_TFT​-measurable contract, not only for contracts of a convenient form. The step that fails in a direct attempt is the representation of an arbitrary contract: one needs that every ξ∈C\xi\in\mathcal Cξ∈C inducing an optimal response can be written as YTy0,Z,ΓY_T^{y_0,Z,\Gamma}YTy0​,Z,Γ​, an integral against dXdXdX and d⟨X⟩d\langle X\rangled⟨X⟩ driven by the consumer's continuation certainty equivalent. This is the main theorem of Cvitanić–Possamaï–Touzi (2018) and rests on second-order backward SDEs; it has no counterpart in Mathlib. Restricting the supremum to linear or representable contracts at the outset would assume exactly that theorem. The lower bound needs, for the candidate contract, existence of the consumer's optimal response as a weak solution and a verification argument for the producer's HJB equation.

Formalization scope

All objects live in the namespace DemandResponse.SecondBest, and all hypotheses are fields of a structure Params. Conventions:

  • Weak formulation. An admissible pair (ν,P)(\nu,\mathbb P)(ν,P) is a control and a probability measure on C([0,T],R)C([0,T],\mathbb R)C([0,T],R) with X0=X0X_0=X_0X0​=X0​ a.s., under which Xt−X0+∫0tαs⋅1 dsX_t-X_0+\int_0^t\alpha_s\cdot\mathbf 1\,dsXt​−X0​+∫0t​αs​⋅1ds and its square minus ∫0t∣σ(βs)∣2ds\int_0^t|\sigma(\beta_s)|^2ds∫0t​∣σ(βs​)∣2ds are F\mathbb FF-martingales. This is the martingale problem equivalent to weak solutions of (2.1); the paper deliberately leaves weak solutions informal (footnote 2). The pair, not the law alone, is the admissible object, because the cost depends on ν\nuν.
  • Quadratic variation. ⟨X⟩T\langle X\rangle_T⟨X⟩T​ in JPJ_PJP​ is its almost-sure value ∫0T∣σ(βs)∣2ds\int_0^T|\sigma(\beta_s)|^2ds∫0T​∣σ(βs​)∣2ds.
  • Values. Expected utilities are negated lower Lebesgue integrals, in [−∞,0][-\infty,0][−∞,0]; all suprema are in the extended reals, so the empty supremum is −∞-\infty−∞, as on p. 9.
  • Hamiltonians are defined by their infima, not by the closed forms of Proposition 2.1.
  • Indices are Fin N, Fin d; N=0N=0N=0, d=0d=0d=0 are allowed. b^j(γ)=1\hat b_j(\gamma)=1b^j​(γ)=1 when λjγ−≤1\lambda_j\gamma^-\le1λj​γ−≤1 (the paper's 0−1/2=+∞0^{-1/2}=+\infty0−1/2=+∞).
  • Added hypotheses. ε≤1\varepsilon\le1ε≤1 (B≠∅B\neq\emptysetB=∅), R0<0R_0<0R0​<0 (log⁡(−R0)\log(-R_0)log(−R0​) defined), and for the goal δ−T≤Amax⁡\delta^-T\le A_{\max}δ−T≤Amax​. The paper's closed form is computed with the effort cap removed ("ηA→0\eta_A\to0ηA​→0 as A↗∞A\nearrow\inftyA↗∞", p. 30), and with the capped effort of the model it is correct exactly under this hypothesis.
  • Corrected misprints. −2Hm(−q(z))-2H_m(-q(z))−2Hm​(−q(z)) in mSBm_{SB}mSB​ is read as −2Hv(−q(z))-2H_v(-q(z))−2Hv​(−q(z)); with HmH_mHm​ the infimum is −∞-\infty−∞. The printed Hm(z)=12μˉ(z−∧Amax⁡)2H_m(z)=\frac12\bar\mu(z^-\wedge A_{\max})^2Hm​(z)=21​μˉ​(z−∧Amax​)2 is false for z−>Amax⁡z^->A_{\max}z−>Amax​ and is corrected. "j=1,…,Nj=1,\dots,Nj=1,…,N" for b^\hat bb^ means j=1,…,dj=1,\dots,dj=1,…,d. In Proposition A.4 (ii) the open interval becomes closed, and "for large AAA" is read as ηA≡0\eta_A\equiv0ηA​≡0.

The goal is an equality of extended reals between VSBV^{SB}VSB, defined from the model, and an explicit real number. A formalization that defines VSBV^{SB}VSB over a restricted class of contracts, or with a real-valued supremum that returns 000 on unbounded sets, would trivialize or change it and is not the goal.

Needed infrastructure: continuous-time martingales on the canonical path space (Mathlib has Martingale and progressive measurability), existence of weak solutions with bounded coefficients, a representation theorem for contracts (Cvitanić–Possamaï–Touzi), and a verification theorem for the producer's HJB equation. The weak-formulation layer and the contract representation are reusable for any continuous-time principal–agent model with drift and volatility control. Contributions of any of these pieces, and proofs of the deterministic milestones, are welcome.

Selected references

  • R. Aïd, D. Possamaï, N. Touzi, Optimal Electricity Demand Response Contracting with Responsiveness Incentives, arXiv:1810.09063v3, 2019; Mathematics of Operations Research 47 (2022). https://arxiv.org/abs/1810.09063v3
  • J. Cvitanić, D. Possamaï, N. Touzi, Dynamic programming approach to principal–agent problems, Finance and Stochastics 22 (2018) 1–37. https://doi.org/10.1007/s00780-017-0344-4
  • B. Holmström, P. Milgrom, Aggregation and Linearity in the Provision of Intertemporal Incentives, Econometrica 55 (1987) 303–328. https://doi.org/10.2307/1913238
  • Y. Sannikov, A Continuous-Time Version of the Principal–Agent Problem, Review of Economic Studies 75 (2008) 957–984. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1467-937X.2008.00486.x
  • I. Karatzas, S. Shreve, Brownian Motion and Stochastic Calculus, 2nd ed., Springer 1991, §5.4 (martingale problem and weak solutions). https://doi.org/10.1007/978-1-4612-0949-2
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Algorithmic Game TheoryConvex OptimizationMachine Learning+1·Captain: mikedeng1

Blackwell Approachability and No-Regret Learning are Equivalent 1: Any Approachability Algorithm Yields Online Linear Optimization with Regret/T at Most 2κ Times Its Approachability RateResearch Paper

Motivation

Online decision makers often have to choose an action before seeing the cost assigned to it. A no-regret algorithm performs almost as well, in total, as the best single action that could have been chosen after the costs were known. In a related repeated-game problem, Blackwell approachability asks a player to keep the average of vector payoffs close to a desired set despite an adversary's choices. These two performance criteria look different: one compares scalar costs to a fixed benchmark, while the other measures a geometric distance. Abernethy, Bartlett, and Hazan establish algorithmic reductions between them, with explicit finite-horizon bounds in their COLT 2011 paper. This mission isolates the direction that turns an approachability algorithm into an online linear optimization algorithm.

The bound matters even when the input algorithm has no known rate. It relates the regret of the resulting online algorithm to the actual distance attained on the corresponding sequence. Any subsequent guarantee on that distance then yields a regret guarantee through the same reduction. The paper also gives the reverse reduction and an application to calibrated forecasting; those are separate missions in this series.

Setting

Fix a dimension ddd and a nonempty compact convex decision set K⊆RdK\subseteq\mathbb R^dK⊆Rd. On round ttt, an algorithm selects xt∈Kx_t\in Kxt​∈K using only the preceding cost vectors f1,…,ft−1f_1,\ldots,f_{t-1}f1​,…,ft−1​. The adversary then reveals ftf_tft​ in the Euclidean unit ball B2(1)B_2(1)B2​(1). The incurred linear cost is ⟨ft,xt⟩\langle f_t,x_t\rangle⟨ft​,xt​⟩. For a horizon TTT, regret compares these costs with the cost of the best single point of KKK evaluated on all TTT rounds:

Regret⁡T=∑t=1T⟨ft,xt⟩−min⁡x∈K∑t=1T⟨ft,x⟩.\operatorname{Regret}_T = \sum_{t=1}^T\langle f_t,x_t\rangle - \min_{x\in K}\sum_{t=1}^T\langle f_t,x\rangle.RegretT​=t=1∑T​⟨ft​,xt​⟩−x∈Kmin​t=1∑T​⟨ft​,x⟩.

The minimum exists because KKK is nonempty and compact. No probabilistic model for the cost sequence is assumed. The round index begins at one, and xtx_txt​ cannot depend on ftf_tft​.

The reduction uses κ=max⁡x∈K∥x∥\kappa=\max_{x\in K}\|x\|κ=maxx∈K​∥x∥, the maximum norm of a decision. Write a⊕xa\oplus xa⊕x for Euclidean concatenation of a scalar and a vector, an element of Rd+1\mathbb R^{d+1}Rd+1. The generated cone of a set MMM consists of its nonnegative scalar multiples, cone⁡(M)={αm:α≥0, m∈M}\operatorname{cone}(M)=\{\alpha m:\alpha\ge0,\ m\in M\}cone(M)={αm:α≥0, m∈M}. For a set CCC, its polar cone is C0={θ:⟨θ,z⟩≤0 for every z∈C}C^0=\{\theta:\langle\theta,z\rangle\le0\text{ for every }z\in C\}C0={θ:⟨θ,z⟩≤0 for every z∈C}. This negative-sign convention is fixed throughout the mission.

Algorithm 1 of the paper constructs a vector-payoff game. Its player actions are KKK, its adversary actions are B2(1)B_2(1)B2​(1), its payoff and target are

u(x,f)=(⟨f,x⟩/κ)⊕(−f),S=cone⁡({κ}×K)0.u(x,f)=\bigl(\langle f,x\rangle/\kappa\bigr)\oplus(-f), \qquad S=\operatorname{cone}(\{\kappa\}\times K)^0.u(x,f)=(⟨f,x⟩/κ)⊕(−f),S=cone({κ}×K)0.

A Blackwell approachability algorithm for this game chooses each xtx_txt​ from the preceding adversary moves. Its finite-horizon approachability rate on a given sequence is DT(A)=dist⁡(T−1∑t=1Tu(xt,ft),S)D_T(A)=\operatorname{dist}(T^{-1}\sum_{t=1}^T u(x_t,f_t),S)DT​(A)=dist(T−1∑t=1T​u(xt​,ft​),S), where distance means the Euclidean distance from a point to a set. The online algorithm created by Algorithm 1 uses precisely the same choices xtx_txt​.

Formalization targets

The goal is Theorem 16 of the paper. For every admissible history-based algorithm, every sequence of unit-ball costs, and every T≥1T\ge1T≥1, it asserts

Regret⁡TT≤2κDT(A).\frac{\operatorname{Regret}_T}{T}\le 2\kappa D_T(A).TRegretT​​≤2κDT​(A).

This is a statement about the rate actually obtained on the chosen cost sequence. It assumes no upper bound on DT(A)D_T(A)DT​(A) and does not require an oracle call in the statement. Thus it also covers algorithms whose behavior is specified directly rather than through an implementation of the oracle.

The milestone targets are the distance formula of Lemma 13, the conic distance identity in display (8) of Theorem 16's proof, and the existence of a valid halfspace oracle in Lemma 15. Lemma 13 says distance to a nonempty convex cone equals the attained maximum of a linear functional over the polar cone's unit ball. Display (8) specializes this geometry to Algorithm 1's lifted target. Lemma 15 says that every halfspace containing that target admits a player action whose payoff remains in the halfspace against every permitted adversary move. Together these statements specify the geometry and the oracle needed by the reduction.

Significance

Theorem 16 gives a numerical transfer rule: a bound on approachability distance for Algorithm 1's game immediately bounds average regret for the same sequence. Its factor depends only on the size κ\kappaκ of the decision set. This permits comparison of algorithms in a common finite-horizon language, without replacing the online cost sequence by a distribution or an asymptotic limit. The source paper uses this direction as one half of its equivalence between approachability and no-regret learning Abernethy, Bartlett, and Hazan, 2011.

The mathematical results are established in that paper; the goal here is a machine-checked Lean development of their statements and eventually their proofs. The mission also supplies reusable definitions of generated and polar cones, a Euclidean lift, a finite-history online algorithm, and regret over a compact decision set. Lemma 13 is useful outside this reduction whenever distance to a cone is compared with linear functionals on its polar. The proposed theorem items currently carry open proofs, while their statements and definition files are checked for elaboration in the pinned Lean environment.

Difficulty

The main obstacle is the change of viewpoint from a scalar regret comparison to distance from a set of lifted vector payoffs. A direct comparison of individual round costs does not describe that distance. The target is a polar cone in one additional Euclidean dimension, so a faithful account must keep the lift's geometry, the cone's sign convention, and the normalization by κ\kappaκ aligned. The distance formula also asserts that its maximum is attained. An encoding that merely writes an infimum or supremum with default values can silently make an edge case look valid without representing the paper's claim.

The oracle milestone has a separate quantifier demand. One selected action must work against every adversary move for each halfspace containing the target. It cannot be replaced by a possibly different action for each move, or by a claim only about tangent halfspaces. The theorem includes halfspaces with arbitrary offsets and zero normals because the source oracle accepts any containing halfspace.

Formalization scope

Vectors live in EuclideanSpace ℝ (Fin d), and a⊕xa\oplus xa⊕x lives in EuclideanSpace ℝ (Fin (d+1)) with the Euclidean norm. The generated cone uses exactly one nonnegative multiple of a point of the generating set, as in Definition 11. The polar uses ⟨θ,z⟩≤0\langle\theta,z\rangle\le0⟨θ,z⟩≤0, the opposite sign from a positive dual-cone convention. Distances are Euclidean point-to-set distances. All arithmetic is over exact real numbers, and the regret minimum ranges over the image of the nonempty compact set KKK.

The statements require κ>0\kappa>0κ>0 because the source payoff divides by κ\kappaκ. This excludes the degenerate case K={0}K=\{0\}K={0}, in which the source instance is undefined. They require T≥1T\ge1T≥1 wherever an average is formed. Admissible histories consist of unit-ball adversary moves, and each round's decision belongs to KKK. The dimension may be zero syntactically, but the positive-κ\kappaκ hypothesis excludes that case in results using Algorithm 1. These conditions keep the bound from being satisfied through Lean's default values for division by zero, distance to an empty set, or infima over empty sets.

The paper's display (8) writes cone⁡(κ⊕K)\operatorname{cone}(\kappa\oplus K)cone(κ⊕K) and labels its unit ball with dimension ddd; the formalization uses the cone of {κ}×K\{\kappa\}\times K{κ}×K in Rd+1\mathbb R^{d+1}Rd+1, matching Algorithm 1. Lemma 12's printed bipolar claim omits closedness; this mission does not use that uncorrected sentence as a milestone. The oracle statement covers all containing halfspaces. Contributions are welcome for the distance identity, the oracle existence result, and the final regret inequality, as well as geometric lemmas supporting those proofs.

Selected references

  • Jacob Abernethy, Peter L. Bartlett, and Elad Hazan, Blackwell Approachability and No-Regret Learning are Equivalent, Proceedings of the 24th Annual Conference on Learning Theory, JMLR Workshop and Conference Proceedings 19, 2011, pp. 27–46. Published paper.
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Machine LearningQuantum InformationTheoretical Computer Science·Captain: mikedeng1

Shadow Tomography of Quantum States 1: Polylogarithmically Many Copies Suffice to Estimate Every Acceptance Probability to Within εResearch Paper

Motivation

Learning an unknown quantum state is expensive. Full quantum state tomography of a DDD-dimensional mixed state ρ\rhoρ to accuracy ε\varepsilonε in trace distance needs on the order of D2/ε2D^2/\varepsilon^2D2/ε2 copies of ρ\rhoρ (O'Donnell–Wright 2016; Haah et al. 2017), and this is optimal. For a system of nnn qubits, D=2nD = 2^nD=2n, so full tomography is out of reach beyond a few dozen qubits.

Often one does not need the whole density matrix, only the behaviour of ρ\rhoρ on a fixed list of tests: acceptance probabilities of verification circuits, expectation values of observables, or the answers a piece of quantum advice gives to a set of questions. Aaronson (arXiv:1711.01053, STOC 2018) named this task shadow tomography and asked whether the number of copies can be polylogarithmic in both the dimension and the number of tests. Measuring each test on separate copies costs O~(M/ε2)\tilde O(M/\varepsilon^2)O~(M/ε2) copies, which is linear in MMM.

Timeline.

  • 2016: the question was posed at a mini-course without a name (Aaronson, The Complexity of Quantum States and Transformations, §8.3.1).
  • 2016: Harrow, Lin and Montanaro gave a correct "quantum OR" test, repairing an earlier flawed claim (arXiv:1607.03236, Corollary 11).
  • 2017–2018: Aaronson proved the first polylogarithmic bound, the theorem of this mission.
  • Later work improved the exponents, notably Bădescu–O'Donnell 2021, and introduced the related "classical shadows" of Huang–Kueng–Preskill 2020.

Setting

A mixed state of dimension DDD is a D×DD\times DD×D Hermitian positive semidefinite matrix ρ\rhoρ with Tr ρ=1\mathrm{Tr}\,\rho = 1Trρ=1. A two-outcome measurement is a D×DD\times DD×D Hermitian matrix EEE with all eigenvalues in [0,1][0,1][0,1]. Equivalently, 0⪯E⪯10 \preceq E \preceq \mathbb 10⪯E⪯1. It accepts ρ\rhoρ with probability Tr(Eρ)\mathrm{Tr}(E\rho)Tr(Eρ).

The state ρ⊗k\rho^{\otimes k}ρ⊗k consists of kkk independent copies of ρ\rhoρ. A measurement of ρ⊗k\rho^{\otimes k}ρ⊗k with classical output is a POVM: a finite family of positive semidefinite matrices PωP_\omegaPω​ on the kkk-register space with ∑ωPω=1\sum_\omega P_\omega = \mathbb 1∑ω​Pω​=1. Outcome ω\omegaω occurs with probability Tr(Pωρ⊗k)\mathrm{Tr}(P_\omega\rho^{\otimes k})Tr(Pω​ρ⊗k). An adaptive procedure that measures the copies one after another is described by one such POVM.

Problem 1 (shadow tomography). Given an unknown ρ\rhoρ and known two-outcome measurements E1,…,EME_1,\dots,E_ME1​,…,EM​, output numbers b1,…,bM∈[0,1]b_1,\dots,b_M\in[0,1]b1​,…,bM​∈[0,1] with ∣bi−Tr(Eiρ)∣≤ε|b_i-\mathrm{Tr}(E_i\rho)|\le\varepsilon∣bi​−Tr(Ei​ρ)∣≤ε for all iii, with success probability at least 1−δ1-\delta1−δ. The output must come from a measurement of ρ⊗k\rho^{\otimes k}ρ⊗k, with k=k(D,M,ε,δ)k=k(D,M,\varepsilon,\delta)k=k(D,M,ε,δ) as small as possible. The measurement may depend on the EiE_iEi​, but not on ρ\rhoρ.

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem 2, in the explicit form proved in §5

There is a universal constant CCC such that, for M≥2M\ge2M≥2 and 0<ε,δ≤1/20<\varepsilon,\delta\le 1/20<ε,δ≤1/2, Problem 1 is solvable with

k≤C log⁡Dε(log⁡log⁡D+log⁡1εε2)2log⁡4M(log⁡log⁡M+log⁡log⁡D+log⁡1ε+log⁡1δ)=O~(log⁡1/δε5log⁡4Mlog⁡D)k \le C\,\frac{\log D}{\varepsilon}\Big(\frac{\log\log D+\log\frac1\varepsilon}{\varepsilon^{2}}\Big)^{2}\log^4 M\Big(\log\log M+\log\log D+\log\frac1\varepsilon+\log\frac1\delta\Big) = \tilde O\Big(\frac{\log 1/\delta}{\varepsilon^5}\log^4 M\log D\Big)k≤CεlogD​(ε2loglogD+logε1​​)2log4M(loglogM+loglogD+logε1​+logδ1​)=O~(ε5log1/δ​log4MlogD)

copies. This is the last display of the proof (p. 19). The goal fixes no constant, so any improvement of CCC remains consistent with it.

Milestones

  • Theorem 13 (Harrow–Lin–Montanaro). A one-copy test that accepts with probability at least (1−ϵ)2/7(1-\epsilon)^2/7(1−ϵ)2/7 if some Tr(Eiρ)≥1−ϵ\mathrm{Tr}(E_i\rho)\ge1-\epsilonTr(Ei​ρ)≥1−ϵ, and at most 4ΔM4\Delta M4ΔM if ∑iTr(Eiρ)≤ΔM\sum_i\mathrm{Tr}(E_i\rho)\le\Delta M∑i​Tr(Ei​ρ)≤ΔM.
  • Lemma 14 (Quantum OR Bound). Deciding whether max⁡iTr(Eiρ)≥c\max_i\mathrm{Tr}(E_i\rho)\ge cmaxi​Tr(Ei​ρ)≥c or ≤c−ε\le c-\varepsilon≤c−ε with O(log⁡(1/δ)log⁡M/ε2)O(\log(1/\delta)\log M/\varepsilon^2)O(log(1/δ)logM/ε2) copies, independent of DDD.
  • Lemma 15 (Gentle Search). Finding jjj with Tr(Ejρ)≥c−ε\mathrm{Tr}(E_j\rho)\ge c-\varepsilonTr(Ej​ρ)≥c−ε with O(log⁡4Mε2(log⁡log⁡M+log⁡1δ))O(\frac{\log^4M}{\varepsilon^2}(\log\log M+\log\frac1\delta))O(ε2log4M​(loglogM+logδ1​)) copies.
  • Amplification claims (p. 16). The threshold tests Ei,t,±∗E^*_{i,t,\pm}Ei,t,±∗​ on ρ⊗q\rho^{\otimes q}ρ⊗q accept with probability at least 5/65/65/6 when the hypothesis is off by ε\varepsilonε, and at most 1/31/31/3 when it is within ε/2\varepsilon/2ε/2.
  • Markov claim (p. 17). The postselection test FtF_tFt​ on an arbitrary, possibly entangled, qqq-register state accepts with probability at most aq(a+ε/4)q\frac{a q}{(a+\varepsilon/4)q}(a+ε/4)qaq​.
  • Lemma 12 (Quantum Union Bound, probability part). Measurements each accepting with probability at least 1−ε1-\varepsilon1−ε all accept in succession with probability at least 1−2Mε1-2M\sqrt\varepsilon1−2Mε​.
  • Chernoff claim (p. 18). 1−Tr(Ftρ⊗q)≤ε4/log⁡2D1-\mathrm{Tr}(F_t\rho^{\otimes q})\le\varepsilon^4/\log^2D1−Tr(Ft​ρ⊗q)≤ε4/log2D.
  • Proposition 20. Promise-gap thresholds for all iii at once can be decided with O(log⁡(M/δ)/ε2)O(\log(M/\delta)/\varepsilon^2)O(log(M/δ)/ε2) copies.

Significance

The result. Theorem 2 shows that a state of exponential dimension can be learned "for all practical purposes" on exponentially many tests from polynomially many copies. Applications in the paper include a bound on quantum advice and one-way communication, and implications for quantum money and copy-protection. It also shows that the information needed to predict many measurement outcomes is far smaller than the description of ρ\rhoρ.

Formalizing it. The theorem is proved in the paper, and later work improves its exponents. As far as is known it has not been machine-checked. A complete development formalizes the gentle-measurement toolkit (Lemma 12, Lemma 14, Lemma 15), the amplification of two-outcome measurements on tensor powers, and the postselection argument. These are standard tools of quantum learning theory and quantum complexity with no formal counterpart yet. Lemma 14 and Lemma 15 are reusable beyond this mission.

Difficulty

The naive approach measures the EiE_iEi​ directly on shared copies. A measurement that is likely to reject disturbs the state, so later measurements see a damaged state, and separate copies per measurement cost MMM copies.

The proof needs three ingredients:

  • a gentle search that finds a measurement on which the current hypothesis is wrong while damaging the copies only slightly;
  • a potential argument showing that postselection cannot happen too often;
  • a uniform control of the damage.

The potential argument has to hold for the state after postselection, which is correlated or entangled across registers. Independence-based concentration fails there, which is why the Markov claim, not a Chernoff bound, governs that step. Theorem 13 itself rests on a delicate ancilla-based procedure of Harrow, Lin and Montanaro, and the mission cites it as a milestone without its proof.

Formalization scope

  • Representation.
    • Operators are complex matrices over a finite index type, and states use the published WildeQIT.IsDensityOperator (positive semidefinite, trace one).
    • A two-outcome measurement is IsEffect E: both EEE and 1−E\mathbb 1-E1−E are positive semidefinite.
    • ρ⊗k\rho^{\otimes k}ρ⊗k is a matrix indexed by kkk-tuples Fin k → n.
    • A measurement with output is a POVM structure with a finite outcome type. Probabilities are real parts of traces.
  • Quantifier order of the goal. ∃C\exists C∃C, then for all D,M,ε,δD,M,\varepsilon,\deltaD,M,ε,δ there is kkk; then for all EiE_iEi​ there are a POVM and outputs bbb; then for all ρ\rhoρ. Choosing the measurement after ρ\rhoρ would make the goal trivial (output the true values with k=0k=0k=0), and this order rules that out.
  • Disclosed hypotheses.
    • Theorem 2 assumes M≥2M\ge2M≥2, ε≤1/2\varepsilon\le1/2ε≤1/2 and δ≤1/2\delta\le1/2δ≤1/2. These keep the logarithmic factors positive; at M=1M=1M=1 the bound would force k=0k=0k=0.
    • Lemma 14 assumes M≥2M\ge2M≥2, and Lemmas 14 and 15 bound δ\deltaδ.
    • Theorem 13 assumes ϵ≤1/2\epsilon\le1/2ϵ≤1/2, as in Harrow–Lin–Montanaro's Corollary 11.
    • The Chernoff claim assumes D≥2D\ge2D≥2.
  • Conventions.
    • All logarithms are natural, including inside log⁡log⁡\log\logloglog.
    • Amplified tests use real thresholds.
    • "Applied in succession" in Lemma 12 uses Lüders instruments (E\sqrt{E}E​ Kraus operators), in the order E1,E2,…E_1,E_2,\dotsE1​,E2​,….
    • The hypothesis ρt\rho_tρt​ enters the amplification claims only as the number a=Tr(Eρt)a=\mathrm{Tr}(E\rho_t)a=Tr(Eρt​).
  • Printed steps not drafted.
    • The printed ε−4\varepsilon^{-4}ε−4 form of Theorem 2 relies on an external online-learning algorithm that is only sketched.
    • The halting rule of §5 is unspecified, because Lemma 15 always returns an index.
    • The asymptotic claims pt≥0.9/Dqp_t\ge0.9/D^qpt​≥0.9/Dq for t=o(log⁡2D/ε4)t=o(\log^2D/\varepsilon^4)t=o(log2D/ε4) and t=O(qlog⁡D/ε)t=O(q\log D/\varepsilon)t=O(qlogD/ε) use a circular o(⋅)o(\cdot)o(⋅).
    • The trace-distance part of Lemma 12 has an unquantified O(⋅)O(\cdot)O(⋅).
    • Lemma 12's printed bound 1−2Mε1-2M\sqrt\varepsilon1−2Mε​ is weaker than its use on p. 18. It is stated as printed. The proof of the goal must retune constants or use Wilde's stronger 1−2Mε1-2\sqrt{M\varepsilon}1−2Mε​-type bound.
  • Contributions welcome. Proofs of any milestone; a formal Hoeffding bound for binomial counts of product effects; the gentle measurement lemma for Lüders instruments; Naimark dilation for effects.

Selected references

  • S. Aaronson, Shadow Tomography of Quantum States, STOC 2018; arXiv:1711.01053v2, 2018. https://arxiv.org/abs/1711.01053
  • A. W. Harrow, C. Y.-Y. Lin, A. Montanaro, Sequential measurements, disturbance and property testing, SODA 2017. https://arxiv.org/abs/1607.03236
  • M. M. Wilde, Sequential decoding of a general classical-quantum channel, Proc. R. Soc. A, 2013. https://arxiv.org/abs/1303.0808
  • R. O'Donnell, J. Wright, Efficient quantum tomography, STOC 2016. https://arxiv.org/abs/1508.01907
  • J. Haah, A. W. Harrow, Z. Ji, X. Wu, N. Yu, Sample-optimal tomography of quantum states, IEEE Trans. Inf. Theory, 2017. https://arxiv.org/abs/1508.01797
  • C. Bădescu, R. O'Donnell, Improved quantum data analysis, STOC 2021. https://arxiv.org/abs/2011.10908
  • H.-Y. Huang, R. Kueng, J. Preskill, Predicting many properties of a quantum system from very few measurements, Nature Physics, 2020. https://arxiv.org/abs/2002.08953
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Differential GeometryLinear algebraOptimization·Captain: mikedeng1

Projection-like Retractions on Matrix Manifolds III: Near a Locally Symmetric Point, the Projection onto a Spectral Manifold Is U Diag(P_M(λ(X))) UᵀResearch Paper

Motivation

Riemannian optimization algorithms move along a manifold by taking a step in a tangent direction and then coming back to the manifold. The map that does the coming back is a retraction, and the most natural candidate on a submanifold of a Euclidean space is the projective retraction: add the tangent step, then take the nearest point of the manifold. Its practical value depends on whether that nearest point can be computed.

For many manifolds of symmetric matrices the defining property is a property of the eigenvalues: matrices whose largest eigenvalue has multiplicity ppp, matrices with prescribed spectrum, and similar sets that arise in eigenvalue optimization and in alternating projection methods (Lewis and Malick 2008). Daniilidis, Malick and Sendov (reference [8] of the paper) showed that such a spectral set is a smooth manifold when the underlying set of eigenvalue vectors is a smooth, locally symmetric manifold. P.-A. Absil and J. Malick (SIAM J. Optim. 2012; authors' version hal-00651608v2) then showed that, close to such a manifold, the metric projection onto it has a closed form: one eigendecomposition and one projection in Rn\mathbb R^nRn. This mission formalizes that result, Theorem 3.9 of the paper.

Setting

Write Sn\mathbf S_nSn​ for the real symmetric n×nn \times nn×n matrices with the Frobenius norm ∥X∥2=∑i,jXij2\|X\|^2 = \sum_{i,j} X_{ij}^2∥X∥2=∑i,j​Xij2​, On\mathbf O_nOn​ for the orthogonal matrices, and Σn\mathbf \Sigma_nΣn​ for the permutation matrices, which act on Rn\mathbb R^nRn (with the Euclidean norm) by permuting coordinates. Let

R↓n={x∈Rn:x1≥x2≥⋯≥xn}.\mathbb R^n_\downarrow = \{x \in \mathbb R^n : x_1 \ge x_2 \ge \cdots \ge x_n\}.R↓n​={x∈Rn:x1​≥x2​≥⋯≥xn​}.

For X∈SnX \in \mathbf S_nX∈Sn​, λ(X)∈R↓n\lambda(X) \in \mathbb R^n_\downarrowλ(X)∈R↓n​ is the vector of its eigenvalues, with multiplicity, in nonincreasing order; every XXX has an eigendecomposition X=UDiag⁡(λ(X))U⊤X = U \operatorname{Diag}(\lambda(X)) U^\topX=UDiag(λ(X))U⊤ with U∈OnU \in \mathbf O_nU∈On​. For M⊆RnM \subseteq \mathbb R^nM⊆Rn the spectral set of MMM is

λ−1(M)={X∈Sn:λ(X)∈M}.\lambda^{-1}(M) = \{X \in \mathbf S_n : \lambda(X) \in M\}.λ−1(M)={X∈Sn​:λ(X)∈M}.

For a set QQQ and a point yyy, PQ(y)P_Q(y)PQ​(y) is the set of nearest points of QQQ to yyy (it may be empty or contain several points).

Let M\mathcal MM be a C2C^2C2 submanifold of Rn\mathbb R^nRn: around each of its points it is a coordinate slice of a C2C^2C2 chart with C2C^2C2 inverse. Let S=λ−1(M∩R↓n)\mathcal S = \lambda^{-1}(\mathcal M \cap \mathbb R^n_\downarrow)S=λ−1(M∩R↓n​), let Xˉ∈S\bar X \in \mathcal SXˉ∈S and xˉ=λ(Xˉ)\bar x = \lambda(\bar X)xˉ=λ(Xˉ). The set M∩B(xˉ,δ)\mathcal M \cap B(\bar x, \delta)M∩B(xˉ,δ) (open ball) is strongly locally symmetric if for every x∈M∩B(xˉ,δ)x \in \mathcal M \cap B(\bar x, \delta)x∈M∩B(xˉ,δ) and every P∈ΣnP \in \mathbf \Sigma_nP∈Σn​ with Px=xPx = xPx=x,

P(M∩B(xˉ,δ))=M∩B(xˉ,δ).(3.15)P\big(\mathcal M \cap B(\bar x, \delta)\big) = \mathcal M \cap B(\bar x, \delta). \qquad (3.15)P(M∩B(xˉ,δ))=M∩B(xˉ,δ).(3.15)

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem 3.9 (projection onto spectral manifolds)

Assume M\mathcal MM is a C2C^2C2 submanifold of Rn\mathbb R^nRn, Xˉ∈S\bar X \in \mathcal SXˉ∈S, δ>0\delta > 0δ>0 and (3.15). Then there is δ0∈(0,δ]\delta_0 \in (0, \delta]δ0​∈(0,δ] such that for every X∈SnX \in \mathbf S_nX∈Sn​ with ∥X−Xˉ∥≤δ0/2\|X - \bar X\| \le \delta_0/2∥X−Xˉ∥≤δ0​/2, the set PM(λ(X))P_{\mathcal M}(\lambda(X))PM​(λ(X)) is a single point ppp, and for every U∈OnU \in \mathbf O_nU∈On​ with X=UDiag⁡(λ(X))U⊤X = U \operatorname{Diag}(\lambda(X)) U^\topX=UDiag(λ(X))U⊤,

PS(X)={ UDiag⁡(p) U⊤ }.P_{\mathcal S}(X) = \{\, U \operatorname{Diag}(p)\, U^\top \,\}.PS​(X)={UDiag(p)U⊤}.

The goal fixes no constant: δ0\delta_0δ0​ is only asserted to exist, as the paper's proof restricts δ\deltaδ to make the local uniqueness of PMP_{\mathcal M}PM​ and Lemma 3.8 apply.

Milestones

  1. (3.11): ∥λ(X)−λ(Y)∥≤∥X−Y∥\|\lambda(X) - \lambda(Y)\| \le \|X - Y\|∥λ(X)−λ(Y)∥≤∥X−Y∥ for X,Y∈SnX, Y \in \mathbf S_nX,Y∈Sn​.
  2. Lemma 3.7: for closed M⊆R↓nM \subseteq \mathbb R^n_\downarrowM⊆R↓n​, an eigendecomposition X=UDiag⁡(λ(X))U⊤X = U\operatorname{Diag}(\lambda(X))U^\topX=UDiag(λ(X))U⊤ and sorted zzz, UDiag⁡(z)U⊤∈Pλ−1(M)(X)  ⟺  z∈PM(λ(X))U \operatorname{Diag}(z) U^\top \in P_{\lambda^{-1}(M)}(X) \iff z \in P_M(\lambda(X))UDiag(z)U⊤∈Pλ−1(M)​(X)⟺z∈PM​(λ(X)).
  3. Lemma 3.8: for xˉ∈R↓n\bar x \in \mathbb R^n_\downarrowxˉ∈R↓n​ and all small δ>0\delta > 0δ>0, for y∈B(xˉ,δ)y \in B(\bar x, \delta)y∈B(xˉ,δ) and sorted x∈B(xˉ,δ)x \in B(\bar x, \delta)x∈B(xˉ,δ), the maximum of x⊤Pyx^\top P yx⊤Py over permutations fixing xˉ\bar xxˉ is attained at some PPP with PyPyPy sorted.
  4. (3.20): under (3.15) and for small δ\deltaδ, the distance from a sorted x∈B(xˉ,δ)x \in B(\bar x, \delta)x∈B(xˉ,δ) to M∩B(xˉ,δ)\mathcal M \cap B(\bar x, \delta)M∩B(xˉ,δ) is attained up to equality on sorted points.

Significance

The theorem turns the projective retraction on a spectral manifold, an optimization problem over n×nn \times nn×n matrices, into a projection in Rn\mathbb R^nRn onto M\mathcal MM plus one eigendecomposition. For the matrices whose largest eigenvalue has multiplicity ppp, the projection onto Mp\mathcal M_pMp​ is an explicit averaging of the top ppp eigenvalues (Example 3.10 of the paper), which completes a partial result of Oustry (reference [29, Th. 13] of the paper). Together with Theorem 3.5, it is what makes the projective retraction a practical alternative on manifolds where the Riemannian exponential has no known efficient formula.

The result is proved in the paper; to our knowledge none of it is formalized. The mission produces a machine-checked version of the theorem and of the spectral-set toolkit beneath it: the Lipschitz property of sorted eigenvalues, the reduction of projections onto spectral sets to projections onto sets of vectors, and the permutation rearrangement lemma. The formalization also corrects a misstatement: Lemma 3.7 as printed quantifies over all z∈Rnz \in \mathbb R^nz∈Rn, and its direction "⇒\Rightarrow⇒" fails for unsorted zzz (for n=2n = 2n=2, M={(2,0)}M = \{(2, 0)\}M={(2,0)}, X=U=IX = U = IX=U=I, z=(0,2)z = (0, 2)z=(0,2)). The mission states it for z∈R↓nz \in \mathbb R^n_\downarrowz∈R↓n​, which is the only case Theorem 3.9 uses.

Difficulty

The obvious argument shows only half of the goal. Lemma 3.7 characterizes the nearest points of S\mathcal SS that share the eigenvectors UUU of XXX; it does not exclude a nearest point with other eigenvectors, and the goal asserts that PS(X)P_{\mathcal S}(X)PS​(X) is a single point. Excluding the others needs the equality case of the trace inequality trace⁡(XY)≤λ(X)⊤λ(Y)\operatorname{trace}(XY) \le \lambda(X)^\top \lambda(Y)trace(XY)≤λ(X)⊤λ(Y) (3.10), which the paper quotes from the literature without proof, and the fact that the projection ppp inherits the ties of λ(X)\lambda(X)λ(X), which comes from strong local symmetry and uniqueness of PMP_{\mathcal M}PM​.

The local uniqueness of PMP_{\mathcal M}PM​ near a point of a C2C^2C2 submanifold (Lemma 3.1 of the paper) is itself a tubular-neighbourhood argument through the inverse function theorem. Mathlib has no metric projection onto embedded submanifolds, no von Neumann trace inequality for sorted eigenvalues, and no Hoffman–Wielandt inequality. Finally, the radii interact: the restriction δ0\delta_0δ0​ must make Lemma 3.1, Lemma 3.8 and the ball inclusion PM(x)∈B(xˉ,δ)P_{\mathcal M}(x) \in B(\bar x, \delta)PM​(x)∈B(xˉ,δ) all hold at once.

Formalization scope

  • Vectors are EuclideanSpace ℝ (Fin n), with the Euclidean norm (not the sup norm of Fin n → ℝ). Matrices are Matrix (Fin n) (Fin n) ℝ with Mathlib's Frobenius norm (open scoped Matrix.Norms.Frobenius); Sn\mathbf S_nSn​ is IsHermitian (symmetry over R\mathbb RR) and On\mathbf O_nOn​ is Matrix.orthogonalGroup.
  • λ(X)\lambda(X)λ(X) is eig X, built from Mathlib's sorted IsHermitian.eigenvalues₀; on a non-symmetric matrix it returns 000, and every statement assumes symmetry. R↓n\mathbb R^n_\downarrowR↓n​ is sortedDesc n, spectral sets are specSet, permutations act by permAct (an isometry), and (3.15) is IsStronglyLocallySymmetric on the open ball.
  • Nearest points are the platform predicate RandomGradFree.Nonsmooth.IsMetricProjection; PQ(y)P_Q(y)PQ​(y) is {z | IsMetricProjection Q y z}.
  • The submanifold hypothesis is a local slice-chart predicate IsSubmanifold 2 d M. The paper allows k=2k = 2k=2 or ∞\infty∞; k=2k = 2k=2 covers both. Only the hypotheses of Theorem 3.5 (cited from Daniilidis–Malick–Sendov without proof) are assumed, not its conclusion that S\mathcal SS is a manifold.
  • "For δ\deltaδ small enough" is ∃δ1>0,∀δ∈(0,δ1]\exists \delta_1 > 0, \forall \delta \in (0, \delta_1]∃δ1​>0,∀δ∈(0,δ1​]; the radius of Theorem 3.9 is an existential δ0≤δ\delta_0 \le \deltaδ0​≤δ, with the paper's non-strict ∥X−Xˉ∥≤δ0/2\|X - \bar X\| \le \delta_0/2∥X−Xˉ∥≤δ0​/2.
  • Both singleton claims of Theorem 3.9 are part of the conclusion. A version proving only ⊆\subseteq⊆ would be satisfied by the empty set, and a version that assumes PM(λ(X))P_{\mathcal M}(\lambda(X))PM​(λ(X)) is a singleton would delete the theorem's local-uniqueness content; neither is the target.

Infrastructure that a full development needs and that is reusable beyond this mission: the von Neumann/Fan trace inequality and its equality case for real symmetric matrices, the Hoffman–Wielandt inequality (3.11), the rearrangement inequality over permutations fixing a vector, and the local existence and uniqueness of metric projections onto C2C^2C2 submanifolds. Useful platform items: RHLinalg.vonNeumann_trace_ineq (the trace inequality for Hermitian matrices), RHLinalg.bilinear_doublyStochastic_le_of_monovary (the rearrangement step), and Bhatia.trace_mul_perm_bounds (trace pairings between permutation pairings of unsorted spectra). Contributions of these lemmas, of alternative proofs of (3.11), and of the equality case of (3.10) are welcome.

Selected references

  • P.-A. Absil and J. Malick, Projection-like retractions on matrix manifolds, SIAM J. Optim. 22(1):135–158, 2012. https://doi.org/10.1137/100802529; authors' version https://hal.science/hal-00651608v2
  • A. Daniilidis, J. Malick and H. Sendov, Locally symmetric submanifolds lift up to spectral manifolds, preprint, 2009 (reference [8] of the paper; the source of Theorem 3.5).
  • A. S. Lewis and J. Malick, Alternating projections on manifolds, Math. Oper. Res. 33(1):216–234, 2008. https://doi.org/10.1287/moor.1070.0291
  • F. Oustry, A second-order bundle method to minimize the maximum eigenvalue function, Math. Program. 89:1–34, 2000 (reference [29] of the paper).
  • A. S. Lewis, Convex analysis on the Hermitian matrices, SIAM J. Optim. 6(1):164–177, 1996. https://doi.org/10.1137/0806009
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Bandit AlgorithmsMachine LearningOptimization+1·Captain: mikedeng1

Reinforcement Learning: An Introduction I: The Gradient Bandit Algorithm Is Stochastic Gradient AscentTextbook

Motivation

The multi-armed bandit is the simplest setting in which a learner must trade off exploiting what it knows against exploring what it does not: one situation, kkk actions, and a reward drawn from an unknown distribution each time an action is taken. Chapter 2 of Sutton and Barto's Reinforcement Learning: An Introduction (2nd ed., MIT Press, 2018) uses it to introduce, in the smallest possible setting, ideas that run through the rest of the book: incremental estimation with a step size, the bias introduced by the initial estimate, soft-max policies over learned preferences, and learning by following the gradient of expected reward.

The chapter ends with the gradient bandit algorithm (§2.8), which learns a numerical preference for each action instead of a value estimate. A shaded box on pp. 38–40 shows that its expected update is exactly a gradient-ascent step on the expected reward, so the algorithm is an instance of stochastic gradient ascent. The same argument, a score-function (likelihood-ratio) identity with a baseline, reappears in Chapter 13 as the REINFORCE algorithm and the policy gradient theorem. The bandit case is where the book first carries it out in full.

Setting

Actions are 1,…,k1, \dots, k1,…,k. Each action xxx has a reward distribution νx\nu_xνx​ on R\mathbb RR with finite mean q∗(x)q_*(x)q∗​(x), the true action value. At each step the learner holds a vector of action preferences H=(H(1),…,H(k))∈RkH = (H(1), \dots, H(k)) \in \mathbb R^kH=(H(1),…,H(k))∈Rk and selects action AAA with the soft-max probability

π(a)=eH(a)∑b=1keH(b)(2.11).\pi(a) = \frac{e^{H(a)}}{\sum_{b=1}^k e^{H(b)}} \qquad (2.11).π(a)=∑b=1k​eH(b)eH(a)​(2.11).

Given A=xA = xA=x, a reward R∼νxR \sim \nu_xR∼νx​ is received. The expected reward is E[R]=∑xπ(x) q∗(x)\mathbb E[R] = \sum_x \pi(x)\, q_*(x)E[R]=∑x​π(x)q∗​(x), a smooth function of HHH. With a step size α>0\alpha > 0α>0 and a baseline B∈RB \in \mathbb RB∈R, the gradient bandit update (2.12) is

H′(A)=H(A)+α(R−B)(1−π(A)),H′(a)=H(a)−α(R−B) π(a)  (a≠A).H'(A) = H(A) + \alpha (R - B)(1 - \pi(A)), \qquad H'(a) = H(a) - \alpha (R - B)\,\pi(a) \ \ (a \ne A).H′(A)=H(A)+α(R−B)(1−π(A)),H′(a)=H(a)−α(R−B)π(a)  (a=A).

The chapter's estimation sections use a single action's rewards R1,R2,…R_1, R_2, \dotsR1​,R2​,…. The sample average after n−1n-1n−1 selections is Qn=(R1+⋯+Rn−1)/(n−1)Q_n = (R_1 + \cdots + R_{n-1})/(n-1)Qn​=(R1​+⋯+Rn−1​)/(n−1), with an arbitrary initial value Q1Q_1Q1​. A constant step size α∈(0,1]\alpha \in (0,1]α∈(0,1] updates Qn+1=Qn+α[Rn−Qn]Q_{n+1} = Q_n + \alpha [R_n - Q_n]Qn+1​=Qn​+α[Rn​−Qn​] (2.5). The trace of one oˉ0=0\bar o_0 = 0oˉ0​=0, oˉn=oˉn−1+α(1−oˉn−1)\bar o_n = \bar o_{n-1} + \alpha (1 - \bar o_{n-1})oˉn​=oˉn−1​+α(1−oˉn−1​) defines the step size βn=α/oˉn\beta_n = \alpha / \bar o_nβn​=α/oˉn​ (2.8)–(2.9).

Formalization targets

Goal: the expected update is the gradient step

For every action aaa, with A∼πA \sim \piA∼π and R∣A=x∼νxR \mid A = x \sim \nu_xR∣A=x∼νx​,

E[H′(a)]=H(a)+α ∂ E[R]∂H(a),\mathbb E\bigl[H'(a)\bigr] = H(a) + \alpha\, \frac{\partial\, \mathbb E[R]}{\partial H(a)} ,E[H′(a)]=H(a)+α∂H(a)∂E[R]​,

that is, the update (2.12) equals the exact gradient-ascent step (2.13) in expected value, for every baseline BBB that does not depend on the selected action.

Milestones

  1. (2.3): Qn+1=Qn+1n[Rn−Qn]Q_{n+1} = Q_n + \tfrac1n [R_n - Q_n]Qn+1​=Qn​+n1​[Rn​−Qn​] for n≥1n \ge 1n≥1, including Q2=R1Q_2 = R_1Q2​=R1​ for arbitrary Q1Q_1Q1​.
  2. (2.6): Qn+1=(1−α)nQ1+∑i=1nα(1−α)n−iRiQ_{n+1} = (1-\alpha)^n Q_1 + \sum_{i=1}^n \alpha(1-\alpha)^{n-i} R_iQn+1​=(1−α)nQ1​+∑i=1n​α(1−α)n−iRi​, with weights summing to one.
  3. Exercise 2.7: with βn=α/oˉn\beta_n = \alpha/\bar o_nβn​=α/oˉn​, Qn+1=∑i=1nα(1−α)n−ioˉnRiQ_{n+1} = \sum_{i=1}^n \frac{\alpha(1-\alpha)^{n-i}}{\bar o_n} R_iQn+1​=∑i=1n​oˉn​α(1−α)n−i​Ri​ for n≥1n \ge 1n≥1, weights summing to one, and no dependence on Q1Q_1Q1​.
  4. Shift invariance (p. 37): adding a constant ccc to every preference leaves π\piπ unchanged.
  5. Exercise 2.9: for k=2k = 2k=2, π(1)=σ(H(1)−H(2))\pi(1) = \sigma(H(1) - H(2))π(1)=σ(H(1)−H(2)) with σ(x)=1/(1+e−x)\sigma(x) = 1/(1+e^{-x})σ(x)=1/(1+e−x).
  6. Soft-max derivative (p. 40): ∂π(x)/∂H(a)=π(x)(1a=x−π(a))\partial \pi(x)/\partial H(a) = \pi(x)(\mathbb 1_{a=x} - \pi(a))∂π(x)/∂H(a)=π(x)(1a=x​−π(a)).
  7. Zero-sum gradient (p. 39): ∑x∂π(x)/∂H(a)=0\sum_x \partial \pi(x)/\partial H(a) = 0∑x​∂π(x)/∂H(a)=0.
  8. Performance gradient as an expectation (p. 39): ∂E[R]/∂H(a)=E[(R−B)(1a=A−π(a))]\partial \mathbb E[R]/\partial H(a) = \mathbb E[(R - B)(\mathbb 1_{a=A} - \pi(a))]∂E[R]/∂H(a)=E[(R−B)(1a=A​−π(a))].

Significance

The result. The identity makes a model-free algorithm, which uses only the sampled action and reward, an unbiased estimator of the gradient of a quantity that depends on the unknown q∗q_*q∗​. It therefore places the gradient bandit algorithm within stochastic approximation, where convergence theory for stochastic gradient methods applies. It also explains the role of the baseline: any baseline independent of the action leaves the expected update unchanged, so the choice of baseline can only affect the variance of the update, as Figure 2.5 shows empirically. The estimation milestones make precise two claims the chapter uses repeatedly: sample averages can be maintained incrementally, and constant step sizes produce an exponentially recency-weighted average biased by Q1Q_1Q1​. Exercise 2.7 removes that bias.

Formalizing it. All of these results are elementary and proved (or left as routine exercises) in the book. None of them is formalized on Prove2Me or, as far as is known, in Mathlib. What this mission adds is a machine-checked version of the book's argument with the reward model and baseline condition stated precisely, and a reusable soft-max layer (definition, partial derivatives, shift invariance) for later missions of this series, in particular the policy gradient theorem of Chapter 13.

Difficulty

The mathematics is beginning calculus, as the book says. The formal difficulty lies elsewhere. The goal is an identity between an expectation over a two-stage random experiment (an action from π\piπ, then a reward from νA\nu_AνA​) and a partial derivative in one coordinate of a vector-valued parameter. A proof has to justify exchanging the finite sum with the derivative and splitting the reward integral, and it has to use integrability of each νx\nu_xνx​. It also needs the fact that the baseline term vanishes because ∑x∂π(x)/∂H(a)=0\sum_x \partial\pi(x)/\partial H(a) = 0∑x​∂π(x)/∂H(a)=0. A scalar-parameter version of the log-sum-exp derivative does not suffice: the book differentiates in one coordinate H(a)H(a)H(a) while all other preferences are held fixed. For Exercise 2.7 the obvious unrolling of (2.6) does not apply directly, because the step size βn\beta_nβn​ varies with nnn and the book states neither the weights nor the range of α\alphaα.

Formalization scope

  • Actions are Fin k. Every statement quantifies over some action, so k≥1k \ge 1k≥1 whenever it has content. Preferences are vectors Fin k → ℝ. The partial derivative in coordinate aaa is the derivative of h↦f(update H a h)h \mapsto f(\text{update } H\ a\ h)h↦f(update H a h) at H(a)H(a)H(a). The soft-max derivative milestone is stated with HasDerivAt, so it also asserts differentiability.
  • Rewards: each νx\nu_xνx​ is a probability measure on R\mathbb RR with Integrable identity and mean q∗(x)q_*(x)q∗​(x). The expectation of a function of (A,R)(A, R)(A,R) is ∑xπ(x)∫⋅ dνx\sum_x \pi(x) \int \cdot \, d\nu_x∑x​π(x)∫⋅dνx​. The book's normal-distribution testbed is only an example.
  • The baseline is a fixed real BBB, the book's "any scalar that does not depend on" the action (pp. 39–40). The book's Bt=RˉtB_t = \bar R_tBt​=Rˉt​, the average of past rewards, is covered once one conditions on the past. Footnote 1 on p. 37 states that the chapter's experiments used a Rˉt\bar R_tRˉt​ that also included RtR_tRt​. That baseline depends on AtA_tAt​, and the identity does not cover it.
  • Rewards of one action are a sequence indexed from 111. Q1Q_1Q1​ is arbitrary, and 00=10^0 = 100=1 as in the book (p. 33), so α=1\alpha = 1α=1 is included in (2.6).
  • Exercise 2.7 speaks of "a conventional constant step size α>0\alpha > 0α>0". The formalization takes α∈(0,1]\alpha \in (0,1]α∈(0,1], the range of the constant step size in (2.5). For α=2\alpha = 2α=2 the trace oˉn\bar o_noˉn​ vanishes at every even nnn and βn\beta_nβn​ is undefined. "Without initial bias" is read as "for n≥1n \ge 1n≥1, Qn+1Q_{n+1}Qn+1​ is the displayed weighted average of R1,…,RnR_1, \dots, R_nR1​,…,Rn​ with weights summing to one", which in particular does not involve Q1Q_1Q1​.
  • Exercise 2.9 is read as the two equalities π(1)=σ(H(1)−H(2))\pi(1) = \sigma(H(1)-H(2))π(1)=σ(H(1)−H(2)) and π(2)=σ(H(2)−H(1))\pi(2) = \sigma(H(2)-H(1))π(2)=σ(H(2)−H(1)).
  • A trivializing formalization is ruled out: the goal is about the expected value of the algorithm's update (2.12) under the joint law of action and reward, not the soft-max derivative alone and not a version in which the reward is replaced by its mean or the expectation is taken over AAA only.
  • Not formalized: the UCB rule (2.10) and the 10-armed testbed, which carry no provable claim in the chapter, and the stochastic-approximation conditions (2.7), which the book cites without proof.
  • Welcome contributions: a general soft-max library (derivatives, Jacobian, log-sum-exp) over a finite type, reusable for Chapter 13, and proofs of the milestones in the listed order.

Selected references

  • R. S. Sutton, A. G. Barto, Reinforcement Learning: An Introduction, 2nd ed., MIT Press, 2018, ISBN 9780262039246, Chapter 2, pp. 25–46. http://incompleteideas.net/book/the-book-2nd.html
  • R. J. Williams, Simple statistical gradient-following algorithms for connectionist reinforcement learning, Machine Learning 8 (1992) 229–256. https://doi.org/10.1007/BF00992696
  • H. Robbins, S. Monro, A stochastic approximation method, Annals of Mathematical Statistics 22 (1951) 400–407. https://doi.org/10.1214/aoms/1177729586
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CombinatoricsOperations ResearchOptimization·Captain: mikedeng1

Project Scheduling with Time Windows and Scarce Resources V: A Schedule Is Inventory-Feasible iff It Resolves Every Minimal Surplus and Shortage SetTextbook

Motivation

In make-to-order production, chemical process industries and other manufacturing settings modelled as projects, activities do not only occupy machines for a while: they also consume intermediate products at their start and deposit products into storage facilities at their completion. Storage is bounded above by a tank or warehouse capacity and below by a safety stock. Resources of this kind are called cumulative resources (or inventory resources, reservoirs in the constraint-programming literature). They were introduced into resource-constrained project scheduling by Neumann and Schwindt (2002), and Chapter 2 of Neumann, Schwindt and Zimmermann, Project Scheduling with Time Windows and Scarce Resources (2nd ed., Springer 2003), develops their theory in §2.12.

A scheduler handling cumulative resources needs a finite combinatorial description of which schedules respect the inventory bounds at every instant, because the time axis is continuous and cannot be checked point by point in a search procedure. Theorem 2.12.4 of the book gives such a description, and it is the basis of the branch-and-bound procedure of Neumann and Schwindt for the problem PSc∣temp∣Cmax⁡PSc|temp|C_{\max}PSc∣temp∣Cmax​.

Setting

A project consists of activities V={0,1,…,n+1}V=\{0,1,\dots,n+1\}V={0,1,…,n+1} with n≥1n\ge 1n≥1, where 000 is the project beginning and n+1n+1n+1 the project completion. Activity iii has an integer duration pi≥0p_i\ge 0pi​≥0, with p0=pn+1=0p_0=p_{n+1}=0p0​=pn+1​=0 and pi>0p_i>0pi​>0 for the real activities.

For each cumulative resource kkk in a set Rγ\mathcal R^\gammaRγ, every activity iii has an integer demand rikr_{ik}rik​. If rik<0r_{ik}<0rik​<0, activity iii withdraws −rik-r_{ik}−rik​ units of kkk at its start; if rik>0r_{ik}>0rik​>0, it deposits rikr_{ik}rik​ units at its completion; rik=0r_{ik}=0rik​=0 means kkk is not used. The demand r0kr_{0k}r0k​ of the project beginning is the initial stock. Write Vk−={i∣rik<0}V_k^-=\{i\mid r_{ik}<0\}Vk−​={i∣rik​<0} and Vk+={i∣rik>0}V_k^+=\{i\mid r_{ik}>0\}Vk+​={i∣rik​>0}. Each resource has a safety stock R‾k∈Z\underline R_k\in\mathbb ZR​k​∈Z and a storage capacity R‾k∈Z\overline R_k\in\mathbb ZRk​∈Z.

A schedule is a vector S=(Si)i∈VS=(S_i)_{i\in V}S=(Si​)i∈V​ of real start times with S0=0S_0=0S0​=0 and Si≥0S_i\ge 0Si​≥0. The active set and the inventory of kkk at time t≥0t\ge 0t≥0 are

Ak(S,t)={i∈Vk−∣Si≤t}∪{i∈Vk+∣Si+pi≤t},rk(S,t)=∑i∈Ak(S,t)rik.\mathcal A_k(S,t)=\{i\in V_k^-\mid S_i\le t\}\cup\{i\in V_k^+\mid S_i+p_i\le t\},\qquad r_k(S,t)=\sum_{i\in\mathcal A_k(S,t)} r_{ik}.Ak​(S,t)={i∈Vk−​∣Si​≤t}∪{i∈Vk+​∣Si​+pi​≤t},rk​(S,t)=i∈Ak​(S,t)∑​rik​.

The schedule is inventory-feasible if R‾k≤rk(S,t)≤R‾k\underline R_k\le r_k(S,t)\le\overline R_kR​k​≤rk​(S,t)≤Rk​ for all kkk and all t≥0t\ge 0t≥0.

Two standing assumptions of the section are used throughout: (2.12.1) R‾k≤∑i∈Vrik≤R‾k\underline R_k\le\sum_{i\in V}r_{ik}\le\overline R_kR​k​≤∑i∈V​rik​≤Rk​, so the final inventory is admissible; and Remark 2.12.2, R‾k≤0≤R‾k\underline R_k\le 0\le\overline R_kR​k​≤0≤Rk​.

A nonempty F⊆VF\subseteq VF⊆V is a kkk-surplus set if ∑i∈Frik>R‾k\sum_{i\in F}r_{ik}>\overline R_k∑i∈F​rik​>Rk​, and a kkk-shortage set if ∑i∈Frik<R‾k\sum_{i\in F}r_{ik}<\underline R_k∑i∈F​rik​<R​k​. A kkk-surplus set FFF is minimal if no kkk-surplus set arises from FFF by removing a nonempty set of replenishing activities, and none arises by adding a nonempty set of depleting activities. Minimal kkk-shortage sets are defined with the roles of replenishing and depleting activities exchanged. Fk+\mathcal F_k^+Fk+​ and Fk−\mathcal F_k^-Fk−​ denote the minimal kkk-surplus and kkk-shortage sets.

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem 2.12.4

A schedule SSS is inventory-feasible if and only if

∀k, ∀F∈Fk+ ∃j∈F, i∉F: rjk>0, rik<0, Sj+pj≥Si,\forall k,\ \forall F\in\mathcal F_k^+\ \exists j\in F,\ i\notin F:\ r_{jk}>0,\ r_{ik}<0,\ S_j+p_j\ge S_i,∀k, ∀F∈Fk+​ ∃j∈F, i∈/F: rjk​>0, rik​<0, Sj​+pj​≥Si​, ∀k, ∀F∈Fk− ∃j∈F, i∉F: rjk<0, rik>0, Sj≥Si+pi.\forall k,\ \forall F\in\mathcal F_k^-\ \exists j\in F,\ i\notin F:\ r_{jk}<0,\ r_{ik}>0,\ S_j\ge S_i+p_i.∀k, ∀F∈Fk−​ ∃j∈F, i∈/F: rjk​<0, rik​>0, Sj​≥Si​+pi​.

Milestones

  1. The invariance claim after Remark 2.12.2 (p. 131): adding the same integer aka_kak​ to r0kr_{0k}r0k​, R‾k\underline R_kR​k​ and R‾k\overline R_kRk​ does not change the set of inventory-feasible schedules.
  2. Lemma 2.12.3 (a): for every kkk-surplus set FFF there is a minimal kkk-surplus set F′F'F′ with ∅≠F′∩Vk+⊆F∩Vk+\emptyset\ne F'\cap V_k^+\subseteq F\cap V_k^+∅=F′∩Vk+​⊆F∩Vk+​ and F′∩Vk−⊇F∩Vk−F'\cap V_k^-\supseteq F\cap V_k^-F′∩Vk−​⊇F∩Vk−​.
  3. Lemma 2.12.3 (b): the shortage counterpart.
  4. Theorem 2.12.4 (a) on its own: the upper constraints rk(S,t)≤R‾kr_k(S,t)\le\overline R_krk​(S,t)≤Rk​ hold for all t≥0t\ge 0t≥0 iff condition (a) holds.
  5. Theorem 2.12.4 (b) on its own: the lower constraints hold for all t≥0t\ge 0t≥0 iff condition (b) holds.

Significance

The theorem turns a constraint over a continuum of time points into finitely many disjunctions, each a choice among precedence relations. An inventory excess caused by a minimal surplus set is removed by a start-to-completion relation Sj+pj≥SiS_j+p_j\ge S_iSj​+pj​≥Si​ (a replenishment is postponed until after a withdrawal starts, equivalently a maximum time lag), and a shortage by a completion-to-start relation Sj≥Si+piS_j\ge S_i+p_iSj​≥Si​+pi​. Consequences stated in the book: the feasible region of PSc∣temp∣Cmax⁡PSc|temp|C_{\max}PSc∣temp∣Cmax​ is a finite union of polyhedra; branching on these relations, organized as pairs of strict orders and reflexive relations, is a complete search scheme; and minimal delaying alternatives for surplus and shortage sets can be enumerated. Because every problem with renewable resources can be rewritten as one with cumulative resources (p. 130), the book also concludes that this union of polyhedra is in general disconnected.

The result is proved in the book (and in Neumann and Schwindt, 2002). To our knowledge it has no machine-checked proof. This mission produces a Lean formalization of the model, of the one-sided minimality notion, and of the two-sided characterization with its supporting lemma.

Difficulty

The combinatorial core is simple to state but easy to state wrongly. The natural first idea, to use inclusion-minimal surplus sets as for renewable resources, gives a different family Fk+\mathcal F_k^+Fk+​ and a false theorem: the book's minimality allows removing only replenishing activities and adding only depleting ones. The existence lemma needs Remark 2.12.2 to keep at least one replenishing activity in the minimal set, and the sufficiency direction needs (2.12.1) to guarantee a depleting activity outside the minimal set. Both membership conditions of the active set are closed at ttt, so activities that deplete or replenish exactly at the critical instant must be counted on the correct side; a half-open reading changes which schedules are feasible. The initial stock r0kr_{0k}r0k​ is handled by the same active-set rule as any other demand, which matters for the invariance claim.

Formalization scope

  • Activities are Fin (n + 2), activity n+1n+1n+1 is Fin.last (n + 1); resources are an arbitrary type K. Demands, safety stocks and capacities are integers (ℤ); start times are reals (ℝ); durations are natural numbers cast to ℝ.
  • The inventory constraints are required for every t≥0t\ge 0t≥0. The book prints (2.12.2) for 0≤t≤dˉ0\le t\le\bar d0≤t≤dˉ, but its proof of Theorem 2.12.4 works with an arbitrary t≥0t\ge 0t≥0 (the necessity half uses the last completion time of a replenishing activity, which need not be at most dˉ\bar ddˉ). The two readings coincide for schedules with Sn+1≤dˉS_{n+1}\le\bar dSn+1​≤dˉ whose activities all finish by Sn+1S_{n+1}Sn+1​.
  • A schedule satisfies S0=0S_0=0S0​=0 and Si≥0S_i\ge 0Si​≥0 and is not required to be time-feasible; time lags play no role in this section's results and are not part of the model.
  • (2.12.1) and Remark 2.12.2 are explicit hypotheses (TotalDemandWithinBounds, BoundsStraddleZero) wherever the book's proofs use them. Surplus and shortage sets are nonempty by definition, and minimality uses proper inclusions.
  • A formalization in which Fk+\mathcal F_k^+Fk+​ is empty or trivial (for instance, minimality with non-strict inclusions, which no set satisfies) makes condition (a) vacuous; the definitions here follow p. 131 exactly, and a concrete instance with a nonempty Fk+\mathcal F_k^+Fk+​ has been checked locally.

Reusable parts: the cumulative-resource model and inventory profile, which later missions on continuous cumulative resources (§2.12.2) or on the NP-completeness of PSc∣temp∣Cmax⁡PSc|temp|C_{\max}PSc∣temp∣Cmax​ (Theorem 2.12.1) can build on. Contributions welcome: proofs of the lemmas, of either half of the theorem, and finite-sum lemmas about Finset.filter that the proofs need.

Selected references

  • K. Neumann, C. Schwindt, J. Zimmermann, Project Scheduling with Time Windows and Scarce Resources, 2nd ed., Springer, 2003, §2.12.1, pp. 128–135. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-540-24800-2
  • K. Neumann, C. Schwindt, Project scheduling with inventory constraints, Mathematical Methods of Operations Research 56 (2003) 513–533 (cited in the book as 2002). https://doi.org/10.1007/s001860200251
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Convex OptimizationDiscrete GeometryLinear Optimization+2·Captain: mikedeng1

Understanding and Using Linear Programming XI: The KKT Conditions and the Unique Smallest Enclosing BallTextbook

Motivation

The smallest enclosing ball problem asks, for finitely many points p1,…,pn∈Rdp_1,\dots,p_n\in\mathbb{R}^dp1​,…,pn​∈Rd, for a ball of the smallest radius that contains all of them. It appears in clustering, in collision detection and bounding-volume hierarchies, in facility location (placing one service point so that the farthest client is as close as possible), and in the analysis of geometric algorithms. Sylvester posed the planar version in 1857; Megiddo (1983) gave a linear-time algorithm in fixed dimension, and Welzl (1991) a simple randomized one.

This mission formalizes Section 8.7 of Matoušek and Gärtner, Understanding and Using Linear Programming (Springer, 2007), which uses the problem to introduce convex programming. Unlike the geometric problems of the book's Chapter 2, the smallest ball cannot be written as a linear program. The section shows instead that it is a convex quadratic program, derives the Karush–Kuhn–Tucker (KKT) conditions for convex programs in equational form from the duality theorem of linear programming, and uses them to prove that the smallest enclosing ball exists and is unique. It is the book's bridge from linear to convex optimization.

Setting

A function f:Rn→Rf:\mathbb{R}^n\to\mathbb{R}f:Rn→R is convex if f((1−t)x+ty)≤(1−t)f(x)+tf(y)f((1-t)x+ty)\le(1-t)f(x)+tf(y)f((1−t)x+ty)≤(1−t)f(x)+tf(y) for all x,y∈Rnx,y\in\mathbb{R}^nx,y∈Rn and t∈[0,1]t\in[0,1]t∈[0,1]. A convex program in equational form is

minimize f(x)subject to Ax=b, x≥0,\text{minimize } f(x)\quad\text{subject to } Ax=b,\ x\ge 0,minimize f(x)subject to Ax=b, x≥0,

with AAA a real m×nm\times nm×n matrix with columns a1,…,ana_1,\dots,a_na1​,…,an​, b∈Rmb\in\mathbb{R}^mb∈Rm and fff convex. A vector xxx is feasible if Ax=bAx=bAx=b and x≥0x\ge 0x≥0 componentwise, and optimal if it is feasible and f(x)≤f(x′)f(x)\le f(x')f(x)≤f(x′) for every feasible x′x'x′. For differentiable fff, ∇f(x)\nabla f(x)∇f(x) is the row vector of partial derivatives, so ∇f(x∗)(x−x∗)\nabla f(x^*)(x-x^*)∇f(x∗)(x−x∗) is a scalar.

For points p1,…,pn∈Rdp_1,\dots,p_n\in\mathbb{R}^dp1​,…,pn​∈Rd, write P={p1,…,pn}P=\{p_1,\dots,p_n\}P={p1​,…,pn​} and let QQQ be the d×nd\times nd×n matrix whose jjjth column is pjp_jpj​. The program studied is

(8.15)minimize f(x)=xTQTQx−∑j=1nxj pjTpjsubject to ∑j=1nxj=1, x≥0.\text{(8.15)}\qquad \text{minimize } f(x)=x^TQ^TQx-\sum_{j=1}^n x_j\,p_j^Tp_j\quad\text{subject to } \sum_{j=1}^n x_j=1,\ x\ge 0 .(8.15)minimize f(x)=xTQTQx−j=1∑n​xj​pjT​pj​subject to j=1∑n​xj​=1, x≥0.

A ball is a closed Euclidean ball B(c,r)={z∈Rd:∥z−c∥≤r}B(c,r)=\{z\in\mathbb{R}^d:\|z-c\|\le r\}B(c,r)={z∈Rd:∥z−c∥≤r}. The ball B(c,r)B(c,r)B(c,r) is the unique smallest enclosing ball of a set SSS if r≥0r\ge 0r≥0, S⊆B(c,r)S\subseteq B(c,r)S⊆B(c,r), every ball containing SSS has radius at least rrr, and every ball containing SSS of radius at most rrr has center ccc.

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem 8.7.4

For n≥1n\ge 1n≥1 points p1,…,pn∈Rdp_1,\dots,p_n\in\mathbb{R}^dp1​,…,pn​∈Rd, the objective fff of (8.15) is convex, and

  1. (8.15) has an optimal solution x∗x^*x∗;
  2. there is a point p∗p^*p∗ with p∗=Qx∗p^*=Qx^*p∗=Qx∗ for every optimal x∗x^*x∗, and for every optimal x∗x^*x∗
−f(x∗)≥0andB(p∗,−f(x∗)) is the unique smallest enclosing ball of P.-f(x^*)\ge 0\quad\text{and}\quad B\big(p^*,\sqrt{-f(x^*)}\big)\ \text{is the unique smallest enclosing ball of } P .−f(x∗)≥0andB(p∗,−f(x∗)​) is the unique smallest enclosing ball of P.

Milestones

  • Fact 8.7.1. For C⊆RnC\subseteq\mathbb{R}^nC⊆Rn convex, fff differentiable and convex, and x∗∈Cx^*\in Cx∗∈C: x∗x^*x∗ minimizes fff over CCC iff ∇f(x∗)(x−x∗)≥0\nabla f(x^*)(x-x^*)\ge 0∇f(x∗)(x−x∗)≥0 for all x∈Cx\in Cx∈C.
  • Proposition 8.7.2 (KKT conditions). For fff convex with continuous partial derivatives and x∗x^*x∗ feasible: x∗x^*x∗ is optimal iff there is y~∈Rm\tilde y\in\mathbb{R}^my~​∈Rm with
∇f(x∗)j+y~Taj {=0if xj∗>0,≥0otherwise,j=1,…,n.\nabla f(x^*)_j+\tilde y^Ta_j\ \begin{cases}=0&\text{if } x^*_j>0,\\ \ge 0&\text{otherwise,}\end{cases}\qquad j=1,\dots,n.∇f(x∗)j​+y~​Taj​ {=0≥0​if xj∗​>0,otherwise,​j=1,…,n.
  • Lemma 8.7.3. If s1,…,sks_1,\dots,s_ks1​,…,sk​ lie on the boundary of the ball BBB with center s∗s^*s∗, then BBB is the unique smallest enclosing ball of {s1,…,sk}\{s_1,\dots,s_k\}{s1​,…,sk​} iff for every u∈Rdu\in\mathbb{R}^du∈Rd some jjj has uT(sj−s∗)≤0u^T(s_j-s^*)\le 0uT(sj​−s∗)≤0.

Significance

The result. Theorem 8.7.4 gives existence and uniqueness of the smallest enclosing ball together with an explicit certificate: the center is a convex combination Qx∗Qx^*Qx∗ of the input points, the squared radius is the negated optimum value, and the points pjp_jpj​ with xj∗>0x^*_j>0xj∗​>0 lie on the boundary. It reduces the geometric problem to a convex quadratic program, for which interior-point and simplex-type solvers exist, and it is the basis of the combinatorial characterization "the center lies in the convex hull of the boundary points" used by Welzl-type algorithms. Proposition 8.7.2 is the KKT theorem for equational-form convex programs; it holds without any constraint qualification because the constraints are linear.

Formalizing it. All results here are classical and proved in the book; none is open. The mission produces machine-checked statements and, when solved, proofs of: the first-order optimality criterion for convex functions on convex sets in Rn\mathbb{R}^nRn; the equational-form KKT theorem derived from LP duality; the boundary characterization of unique smallest enclosing balls; and existence and uniqueness of the smallest enclosing ball in every dimension. Mathlib has first-order necessary conditions at local minima and general convexity theory, but no KKT theorem for linearly constrained convex programs in this form and no smallest-enclosing-ball theory.

Difficulty

Existence of an optimum and convexity of fff are routine. For the KKT conditions, the necessary direction needs multipliers, which do not come from calculus alone: the obvious Lagrange-multiplier argument handles only equality constraints and says nothing about the sign pattern forced by x≥0x\ge 0x≥0. For the goal, a solver must connect three layers — the gradient of a quadratic form in matrix notation, the multiplier conditions, and the Euclidean geometry of distances to p∗p^*p∗ — and uniqueness of the ball does not follow from uniqueness of the optimizer x∗x^*x∗, which in general is not unique (repeated or cospherical points). The statement quantifies over all optimal x∗x^*x∗ and asserts that they all yield the same center.

Formalization scope

  • Vectors of Rn\mathbb{R}^nRn are Fin n → ℝ, so the book's indices 1,…,n1,\dots,n1,…,n become 0,…,n−10,\dots,n-10,…,n−1. Points of Rd\mathbb{R}^dRd are EuclideanSpace ℝ (Fin d), so ∥⋅∥\|\cdot\|∥⋅∥ and pTqp^TqpTq are Euclidean. The matrix QQQ is Matrix (Fin d) (Fin n) ℝ.
  • Optimality is stated against every feasible point; no infimum or supremum is taken. ∇f(x∗)(x−x∗)\nabla f(x^*)(x-x^*)∇f(x∗)(x−x∗) is the Fréchet derivative applied to x−x∗x-x^*x−x∗, and ∇f(x∗)j\nabla f(x^*)_j∇f(x∗)j​ its value on the jjjth unit vector. "Continuous partial derivatives" is ContDiff ℝ 1 f. Convexity is ConvexOn ℝ Set.univ f.
  • Balls are closed. The squared radius −f(x∗)-f(x^*)−f(x∗) is expressed by asserting −f(x∗)≥0-f(x^*)\ge 0−f(x∗)≥0 and taking the radius −f(x∗)\sqrt{-f(x^*)}−f(x∗)​. "Unique ball of smallest radius" is written out as minimality of the radius among all enclosing closed balls plus equality of centers for every enclosing ball of radius at most the optimum; merely stating that the ball encloses PPP would not be the theorem.
  • The goal assumes n≥1n\ge 1n≥1 (for n=0n=0n=0 the feasible set is empty). In Fact 8.7.1 the minimizer x∗x^*x∗ is assumed to lie in CCC, as "minimizes fff over CCC" presupposes. In Lemma 8.7.3 the radius is nonnegative and each sjs_jsj​ is at distance exactly rrr from s∗s^*s∗.
  • Needed infrastructure: gradients of quadratic forms on Fin n → ℝ, LP duality for the pair (maximize cTxc^TxcTx, Ax=bAx=bAx=b, x≥0x\ge0x≥0) / (minimize bTyb^TybTy, ATy≥cA^Ty\ge cATy≥c), compactness of the standard simplex, and elementary Euclidean geometry. The first-order criterion and the KKT theorem are reusable beyond this mission; proofs through any route are welcome.

Selected references

  • J. Matoušek and B. Gärtner, Understanding and Using Linear Programming, Springer Universitext, 2007, §8.7, pp. 184–191. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-540-30717-4
  • S. Boyd and L. Vandenberghe, Convex Optimization, Cambridge University Press, 2004. https://doi.org/10.1017/CBO9780511804441
  • N. Megiddo, Linear-time algorithms for linear programming in R3\mathbb{R}^3R3 and related problems, SIAM J. Comput. 12(4), 1983. https://doi.org/10.1137/0212052
  • E. Welzl, Smallest enclosing disks (balls and ellipsoids), in New Results and New Trends in Computer Science, LNCS 555, Springer, 1991. https://doi.org/10.1007/BFb0038202
  • J. J. Sylvester, A question in the geometry of situation, Quarterly Journal of Pure and Applied Mathematics 1, 1857.
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Linear OptimizationOperations ResearchOptimization+1·Captain: mikedeng1

Understanding and Using Linear Programming III: The Simplex Method with Bland's Rule Never CyclesTextbook

Motivation

The simplex method, introduced by G. B. Dantzig in 1947, is the standard algorithm for linear programming and remains the core of commercial solvers. It moves from one basic feasible solution to another by pivot steps, and at each step a pivot rule chooses which variable enters and which leaves the basis. For several natural rules, including Dantzig's original largest-coefficient rule, the method can cycle: on a degenerate linear program it can return to a basis it has already visited and repeat forever without improving the objective. Hoffman (1953) and Beale (1955) gave cycling examples.

R. G. Bland (New finite pivoting rules for the simplex method, Mathematics of Operations Research 2(2), 1977) showed that a simple combinatorial rule, choosing the smallest eligible index for both the entering and the leaving variable, never cycles. This makes the simplex method a finite algorithm on every linear program in equational form, and it gives an algorithmic proof of the duality theorem. Chapter 5 of J. Matoušek and B. Gärtner, Understanding and Using Linear Programming (Springer, 2007, DOI 10.1007/978-3-540-30717-4), develops the general theory of simplex tableaus and proves Bland's theorem as Theorem 5.8.1. This mission is the third of a series formalizing that book.

Setting

A linear program in equational form is

maximize cTxsubject toAx=b, x≥0,\text{maximize } c^{T}x \quad\text{subject to}\quad Ax=b,\ x\ge 0,maximize cTxsubject toAx=b, x≥0,

with AAA a real m×nm\times nm×n matrix, b∈Rmb\in\mathbb{R}^mb∈Rm, c∈Rnc\in\mathbb{R}^nc∈Rn. Following §4.2 of the book, AAA has n≥mn\ge mn≥m columns and rank mmm. For an mmm-element set B={k1<⋯<km}⊆{1,…,n}B=\{k_1<\dots<k_m\}\subseteq\{1,\dots,n\}B={k1​<⋯<km​}⊆{1,…,n} let N={ℓ1<⋯<ℓn−m}N=\{\ell_1<\dots<\ell_{n-m}\}N={ℓ1​<⋯<ℓn−m​} be its complement, and ABA_BAB​, ANA_NAN​ the matrices of the columns of AAA indexed by BBB and NNN. BBB is a feasible basis if ABA_BAB​ is nonsingular and AB−1b≥0A_B^{-1}b\ge0AB−1​b≥0; its basic feasible solution is the unique xxx with Ax=bAx=bAx=b and xj=0x_j=0xj​=0 for j∉Bj\notin Bj∈/B.

A simplex tableau T(B)T(B)T(B) is a system

xB=p+Q xN,z=z0+rTxNx_B=p+Q\,x_N,\qquad z=z_0+r^{T}x_NxB​=p+QxN​,z=z0​+rTxN​

in the variables x1,…,xn,zx_1,\dots,x_n,zx1​,…,xn​,z with the same solutions as Ax=bAx=bAx=b, z=cTxz=c^Txz=cTx. A nonbasic variable xvx_vxv​, v=ℓβv=\ell_\betav=ℓβ​, may enter if rβ>0r_\beta>0rβ​>0; a basic variable xux_uxu​, u=kαu=k_\alphau=kα​, may then leave if

qαβ<0and−pαqαβ=min⁡{−piqiβ:qiβ<0}.(5.3)q_{\alpha\beta}<0\quad\text{and}\quad-\frac{p_\alpha}{q_{\alpha\beta}}=\min\Bigl\{-\frac{p_i}{q_{i\beta}}: q_{i\beta}<0\Bigr\}.\tag{5.3}qαβ​<0and−qαβ​pα​​=min{−qiβ​pi​​:qiβ​<0}.(5.3)

The pivot step replaces BBB by B′=(B∖{u})∪{v}B'=(B\setminus\{u\})\cup\{v\}B′=(B∖{u})∪{v}. Bland's rule takes the entering variable of smallest index among those with rβ>0r_\beta>0rβ​>0, and the leaving variable of smallest index among those satisfying (5.3).

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem 5.8.1 (p. 73)

There is no infinite sequence of bases

B0→B1→B2→⋯B_0\to B_1\to B_2\to\cdotsB0​→B1​→B2​→⋯

in which each Bt+1B_{t+1}Bt+1​ is obtained from the feasible basis BtB_tBt​ by a pivot step obeying Bland's rule. Since there are finitely many bases and a Bland step is determined by its starting basis, this is the book's "always finite; i.e., cycling is impossible".

Milestones

  1. Lemma 5.5.1 (p. 66): a feasible basis has exactly one simplex tableau, with Q=−AB−1ANQ=-A_B^{-1}A_NQ=−AB−1​AN​, p=AB−1bp=A_B^{-1}bp=AB−1​b, z0=cBTAB−1bz_0=c_B^TA_B^{-1}bz0​=cBT​AB−1​b, r=cN−(cBTAB−1AN)Tr=c_N-(c_B^TA_B^{-1}A_N)^Tr=cN​−(cBT​AB−1​AN​)T.
  2. Optimality criterion (§5.6, p. 67): if r≤0r\le0r≤0, the basic feasible solution of BBB is optimal.
  3. Lemma 5.6.1 (p. 68): a pivot step leads to a feasible basis; if no leaving variable exists, the program is unbounded along an explicit ray.
  4. Claim in the proof of Theorem 5.8.1 (p. 73): for any pivot rule, all bases of a cycle have the same basic feasible solution, and every variable that enters during the cycle is 000 in it.

Significance

With the optimality criterion and Lemma 5.6.1, Theorem 5.8.1 turns the simplex method into an algorithm: started from any feasible basis, it stops after finitely many pivot steps at an optimal basic feasible solution or with a ray certifying unboundedness. Combined with the auxiliary program of §5.6 for finding a first feasible basis, this yields a constructive proof that every feasible, bounded linear program has an optimal basic feasible solution, and the book remarks that the duality theorem follows easily. Bland's rule is also the model for later combinatorial anticycling rules in oriented matroid programming.

The theorem is classical and fully proved in the book. What the mission adds is a machine-checked version stated in the book's own tableau notation. On Prove2Me the simplex method is formalized in the Bertsimas–Tsitsiklis series (Introduction to Linear Optimization IV), for minimization with reduced costs, with termination proved under nondegeneracy and for the lexicographic rule; Bland's rule is not formalized there.

Difficulty

The obvious termination argument is that the objective value strictly increases at each step, so no basis repeats. That argument fails exactly at degenerate pivot steps, where the minimum in (5.3) is 000: the basis changes, the basic feasible solution and the objective value do not. Along a degenerate stretch the objective gives no progress measure, and for general pivot rules the method does cycle there. Any proof must therefore use the specific tie-breaking of Bland's rule, which is a statement about indices, not about values, and relate the tableaus of two different bases in the cycle to each other. Counting bases or tracking the objective value alone does not suffice.

Formalization scope

Vectors are Fin n → ℝ and the book's indices 1,…,n1,\dots,n1,…,n become 0,…,n−10,\dots,n-10,…,n−1. Bases are Finset (Fin n); the sorted enumerations k1<⋯<kmk_1<\dots<k_mk1​<⋯<km​ and ℓ1<⋯<ℓn−m\ell_1<\dots<\ell_{n-m}ℓ1​<⋯<ℓn−m​ are Finset.orderEmbOfFin, tableau rows are indexed by Fin m and nonbasic columns by Fin (n - m). Nonsingularity of ABA_BAB​ is IsUnit A_B.det, so the Mathlib inverse is the true inverse wherever it appears. The tableau parameters used by the pivot rules are the explicit formulas of Lemma 5.5.1; the tableau itself is also defined as in the book (same solution set) so that Lemma 5.5.1 is a genuine statement. "Smallest index" compares variable indices, not row positions. Optimality and unboundedness are stated against feasible points, not through a supremum. Every theorem assumes n≥mn\ge mn≥m and rank⁡A=m\operatorname{rank}A=mrankA=m, the standing assumption of §4.2.

A formalization in which any improving variable may enter proves a different, false statement, since cycling examples exist for such rules; the step relation here fixes both choices by Bland's rule. The step relation is not empty: it holds whenever the current tableau has a positive last-row coefficient and a negative entry in the entering column, so the goal is not vacuous.

The development needs basic linear algebra over Matrix, the uniqueness of basic feasible solutions, and bookkeeping for sorted index enumerations. Lemma 5.5.1 and Lemma 5.6.1 are reusable for any later formalization of the simplex method in this notation. Contributions are welcome for each milestone, for the cycle-form corollary, and for a sorry-free proof of the goal.

Selected references

  • J. Matoušek, B. Gärtner, Understanding and Using Linear Programming, Springer Universitext, 2007, Chapter 5. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-540-30717-4
  • R. G. Bland, New finite pivoting rules for the simplex method, Mathematics of Operations Research 2(2):103–107, 1977. https://doi.org/10.1287/moor.2.2.103
  • E. M. L. Beale, Cycling in the dual simplex algorithm, Naval Research Logistics Quarterly 2(4):269–275, 1955. https://doi.org/10.1002/nav.3800020407
  • D. Bertsimas, J. N. Tsitsiklis, Introduction to Linear Optimization, Athena Scientific, 1997, Chapter 3.
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