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CombinatoricsDiscrete GeometryGraph Theory·Captain: mikedeng1

Triangle-Free Intersection Graphs of Line Segments with Large Chromatic Number: For Every k ≥ 1 There Is a Triangle-Free Family of Plane Line Segments with Chromatic Number Greater than kResearch Paper

Motivation

A proper coloring of a graph assigns colors to its vertices so that adjacent vertices get different colors; the least number of colors that suffices is the chromatic number χ(G)\chi(G)χ(G). The clique number ω(G)\omega(G)ω(G) is the size of a largest set of pairwise adjacent vertices, and χ(G)≥ω(G)\chi(G)\ge\omega(G)χ(G)≥ω(G) always. A class of graphs is χ\chiχ-bounded if χ\chiχ is bounded by a function of ω\omegaω on the class. Abstract triangle-free graphs (ω≤2\omega\le2ω≤2) of arbitrarily large chromatic number have been known since Zykov (1949) and Mycielski (1955), so the question is which geometric classes are χ\chiχ-bounded.

For geometric intersection graphs (one vertex per set, an edge for each intersecting pair) the history is as follows.

  • 1960: Asplund and Grünbaum prove that families of axis-aligned rectangles in the plane are χ\chiχ-bounded.
  • 1965: Burling constructs triangle-free families of axis-aligned boxes in R3\mathbb R^3R3 with arbitrarily large chromatic number.
  • 1970s: Erdős asks whether families of line segments in the plane are χ\chiχ-bounded (Brass–Moser–Pach, Research Problems in Discrete Geometry, §9.6, Problem 2; Gyárfás 1987, Problem 1.9).
  • 2000–2014: positive special cases. McGuinness (2000) obtains bounds for triangle-free families; Suk (2014) improves them, proving that families of segments meeting a common line, and families of unit-length segments, are χ\chiχ-bounded.
  • 2014: Pawlik, Kozik, Krawczyk, Lasoń, Micek, Trotter and Walczak answer Erdős's question negatively (arXiv:1209.1595).

The same construction disproves Scott's conjecture (1997) that graphs excluding induced subdivisions of a fixed graph are χ\chiχ-bounded, as first observed by Fox and Pach.

Setting

Points of the plane are pairs (x,y)∈R×R(x,y)\in\mathbb R\times\mathbb R(x,y)∈R×R. A line segment is a closed set seg⁡(u,v)={(1−t)u+tv:0≤t≤1}\operatorname{seg}(u,v)=\{(1-t)u+tv: 0\le t\le1\}seg(u,v)={(1−t)u+tv:0≤t≤1} with two distinct endpoints u≠vu\neq vu=v. A family of segments S=(σi)i<N\mathcal S=(\sigma_i)_{i<N}S=(σi​)i<N​ is a finite indexed list of pairwise distinct segments. Its intersection graph has vertex set {0,…,N−1}\{0,\dots,N-1\}{0,…,N−1}, and i≠ji\neq ji=j are adjacent exactly when σi∩σj≠∅\sigma_i\cap\sigma_j\neq\emptysetσi​∩σj​=∅. The family is triangle-free if no three of its segments pairwise intersect, and χ(S)\chi(\mathcal S)χ(S) is the chromatic number of its intersection graph.

The milestones use the paper's auxiliary notions. An axis-aligned rectangle is R=[a,c]×[b,d]R=[a,c]\times[b,d]R=[a,c]×[b,d], with x∈[a,c]x\in[a,c]x∈[a,c] and y∈[b,d]y\in[b,d]y∈[b,d]. For a family S\mathcal SS inside the open interior of RRR, a probe for (S,R)(\mathcal S,R)(S,R) is a rectangle P=[a′,c]×[b′,d′]P=[a',c]\times[b',d']P=[a′,c]×[b′,d′] sharing the right edge line of RRR such that (i) a<a′<ca<a'<ca<a′<c and b<b′<d′<db<b'<d'<db<b′<d′<d; (ii) no segment meets the left edge of PPP; (iii) no segment has an endpoint in the closed rectangle PPP; (iv) the segments meeting PPP are pairwise disjoint. The diagonal DPD_PDP​ runs from the bottom-left corner (a′,b′)(a',b')(a′,b′) to the top-right corner (c,d′)(c,d')(c,d′) of PPP. The sequences sk,pks_k,p_ksk​,pk​ are given by s1=p1=1s_1=p_1=1s1​=p1​=1, sk+1=(pk+1)sk+pk2s_{k+1}=(p_k+1)s_k+p_k^2sk+1​=(pk​+1)sk​+pk2​ and pk+1=2pk2p_{k+1}=2p_k^2pk+1​=2pk2​.

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem 1 (p. 2)

For every integer k≥1k\ge1k≥1 there is a finite family S\mathcal SS of distinct line segments in the plane with triangle-free intersection graph and

χ(S)>k.\chi(\mathcal S)>k .χ(S)>k.

The goal fixes no size for S\mathcal SS and no particular construction.

Milestones

  1. Base case of Lemma 2 (p. 3): one segment and one probe in any rectangle of positive area.
  2. Diagonal claim (p. 3): for a probe QQQ of a family inside the interior of RRR, a segment meets DQD_QDQ​ if and only if it meets QQQ.
  3. Color-count dichotomy (p. 4): for a proper coloring of an intersection graph and two index sets XXX, YYY each seeing at least kkk colors, if the color sets differ then X∪YX\cup YX∪Y sees at least k+1k+1k+1 colors; if they agree, a member adjacent to all of YYY gets a new color, and XXX together with it sees at least k+1k+1k+1 colors.
  4. Induction step (pp. 3–4): Lemma 2 at kkk for every rectangle gives Lemma 2 at k+1k+1k+1 for every rectangle.
  5. Lemma 2 (p. 3): for k≥1k\ge1k≥1 and a rectangle RRR of positive area there are a triangle-free family Sk\mathcal S_kSk​ of exactly sks_ksk​ segments in the interior of RRR and pkp_kpk​ pairwise disjoint probes for (Sk,R)(\mathcal S_k,R)(Sk​,R) such that every proper coloring of Sk\mathcal S_kSk​ uses at least kkk colors on the segments meeting some probe.
  6. The family S~k\tilde{\mathcal S}_kS~k​ (p. 4): adding the diagonals of all probes to a family with the conclusion of Lemma 2 gives a triangle-free family with χ>k\chi>kχ>k.

Significance

Theorem 1 shows that segment intersection graphs are not χ\chiχ-bounded, and it settles negatively the question for every class containing them: intersection graphs of curves crossing at most once (Kratochvíl–Nešetřil), McGuinness's class of arcwise connected sets with connected pairwise intersections, and string graphs in general. Through the Fox–Pach observation it refutes Scott's conjecture on induced subdivisions, a purely graph-theoretic statement. The counts in Lemma 2 give ∣S~k∣=sk+pk|\tilde{\mathcal S}_k|=s_k+p_k∣S~k​∣=sk​+pk​, so the maximum chromatic number of a triangle-free family of nnn segments is Ω(log⁡log⁡n)\Omega(\log\log n)Ω(loglogn) (§4 of the paper). The family S~k\tilde{\mathcal S}_kS~k​ has the same intersection graph as Burling's boxes.

The theorem is proved on paper; to the best of current knowledge no machine-checked proof exists. The mission produces a Lean 4 statement of the result about actual segments in R2\mathbb R^2R2, a reusable definition of intersection graphs of plane sets, and the paper's probe machinery stated precisely enough to support a full formal proof.

Difficulty

Abstract triangle-free graphs with large chromatic number are easy to build, but almost none of them are intersection graphs of segments, and the standard constructions (Mycielski, Zykov, shift graphs) do not come with a geometric realization. The difficulty is geometric: the construction has to place every new segment so that it meets exactly a prescribed independent set of old segments and nothing else, at every level of a doubly exponential nesting, while keeping finitely many rectangles disjoint and segment endpoints out of them. In a formal development the burden falls on the planar facts the paper treats as evident in one line each: which edges of a rectangle a segment can cross, when two segments must cross, and why the probe conditions survive when families are nested inside one another.

Formalization scope

  • The plane is ℝ × ℝ (first coordinate xxx, second yyy), and segments are Mathlib's closed segment ℝ u v. A family is e : Fin N → (ℝ × ℝ) × (ℝ × ℝ) (endpoint pairs) with seg (e i) the iii-th segment. "A family of line segments" is read as non-degenerate ((e i).1 ≠ (e i).2) and pairwise distinct (Function.Injective (fun i => seg (e i))).
  • interGraph F : SimpleGraph ι is the intersection graph of an indexed family of plane sets: i ≠ j ∧ (F i ∩ F j).Nonempty. Triangle-free is CliqueFree 3; χ\chiχ is Mathlib's chromaticNumber : ℕ∞, and the goal states the literal (k:N∞)<χ(k:\mathbb N_\infty)<\chi(k:N∞​)<χ.
  • Rectangles keep the page's letter order, Rect = ⟨a, c, b, d⟩ for [a,c]×[b,d][a,c]\times[b,d][a,c]×[b,d], with positive area as a separate hypothesis. A probe is stored as (a′,b′,d′)(a',b',d')(a′,b′,d′) and is the closed rectangle [a′,c]×[b′,d′][a',c]\times[b',d'][a′,c]×[b′,d′]; the interior of RRR is open.
  • sSeq k, pSeq k are sk,pks_k,p_ksk​,pk​, 1-based; every statement assumes k≥1k\ge1k≥1 (the value at 000 is junk).
  • Proper colorings take values in an arbitrary type, and "uses at least kkk colors on the segments meeting PPP" is k≤k\lek≤ ncard of the image of those segments.
  • The diagonal claim and the S~k\tilde{\mathcal S}_kS~k​ milestone are stated for any data with the relevant properties, not only for the paper's construction; the hypotheses are exactly those the page's sentences use.
  • The goal is about the intersection graph of the segments the existential provides. A statement about an abstract triangle-free graph with χ>k\chi>kχ>k is a different, much weaker theorem (already available via Mycielski's construction) and does not count.

Needed infrastructure: elementary planar geometry of segments and axis-aligned rectangles (membership, edges, crossing of two segments via the intermediate value theorem), affine images of segment families, and finite coloring counts. The segment and intersection-graph definitions are reusable for other questions on geometric intersection graphs. Contributions are welcome on any milestone, in particular a complete proof of the diagonal claim and of the induction step.

Selected references

  • A. Pawlik, J. Kozik, T. Krawczyk, M. Lasoń, P. Micek, W. T. Trotter, B. Walczak, Triangle-free intersection graphs of line segments with large chromatic number, J. Combin. Theory Ser. B 105 (2014) 6–10; preprint arXiv:1209.1595v5 (2014). https://arxiv.org/abs/1209.1595
  • A. Pawlik, J. Kozik, T. Krawczyk, M. Lasoń, P. Micek, W. T. Trotter, B. Walczak, Triangle-free geometric intersection graphs with large chromatic number, Discrete Comput. Geom. 50(3) (2013) 714–726. https://arxiv.org/abs/1212.2058
  • J. P. Burling, On coloring problems of families of prototypes, PhD thesis, University of Colorado, Boulder, 1965.
  • E. Asplund, B. Grünbaum, On a colouring problem, Math. Scand. 8 (1960) 181–188.
  • P. Brass, W. Moser, J. Pach, Research Problems in Discrete Geometry, Springer, 2005.
  • A. Gyárfás, Problems from the world surrounding perfect graphs, Zastos. Mat. 19 (1987) 413–441.
  • A. Suk, Coloring intersection graphs of x-monotone curves in the plane, Combinatorica 34(4) (2014) 487–505.
  • A. D. Scott, Induced trees in graphs of large chromatic number, J. Graph Theory 24(4) (1997) 297–311.
  • J. Mycielski, Sur le coloriage des graphes, Colloq. Math. 3 (1955) 161–162.
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Machine LearningOptimizationProbability·Captain: mikedeng1

On Nonconvex Optimization for Machine Learning: Gradients, Stochasticity, and Saddle Points 2: Perturbed GD (Variant) Makes Half Its Iterates ε-Second-Order Stationary within Õ(ℓΔ_f/ε²) IterationsResearch Paper

Why saddle points matter for nonconvex learning

Training a model in machine learning usually means minimizing a nonconvex function f:Rd→Rf:\mathbb R^d\to\mathbb Rf:Rd→R with first-order methods. Finding a global minimum of a general nonconvex function is NP-hard, so the classical guarantee for gradient descent (GD), xt+1=xt−η∇f(xt)x_{t+1}=x_t-\eta\nabla f(x_t)xt+1​=xt​−η∇f(xt​), is weaker: with step size η=1/ℓ\eta=1/\ellη=1/ℓ it reaches a point with ∥∇f(x)∥≤ε\|\nabla f(x)\|\le\varepsilon∥∇f(x)∥≤ε within ℓ(f(x0)−f⋆)/ε2\ell(f(x_0)-f^\star)/\varepsilon^2ℓ(f(x0​)−f⋆)/ε2 iterations, independently of the dimension (Nesterov, 1998). Such a point can be a saddle point. For many learning problems (matrix sensing and completion, phase retrieval, dictionary learning, tensor decomposition), every approximate second-order stationary point is an approximate global minimum, so an algorithm that avoids saddle points solves the problem.

Jin, Netrapalli, Ge, Kakade and Jordan (arXiv:1902.04811, J. ACM 2021) show that simple perturbed versions of GD and SGD find approximate second-order stationary points in essentially the number of iterations GD needs for first-order stationarity, up to polylogarithmic factors in the dimension. Their §5 gives a short, self-contained proof for a variant of perturbed GD (Algorithm 4). That proof is the subject of this mission.

Timeline:

  • 2015: Ge, Huang, Jin and Yuan show that noisy SGD escapes strict saddle points in polynomial time.
  • 2017: Jin, Ge, Netrapalli, Kakade and Jordan (ICML) prove that perturbed GD finds an ε\varepsilonε-second-order stationary point in O~(ℓΔf/ε2)\tilde O(\ell\Delta_f/\varepsilon^2)O~(ℓΔf​/ε2) iterations, with a geometric argument on the "stuck region".
  • 2019: arXiv:1902.04811 extends this to SGD and simplifies the deterministic proof through the improve or localize lemma (Lemma 21). §5 of that paper is formalized here.

Setting

Let f:Rd→Rf:\mathbb R^d\to\mathbb Rf:Rd→R, d≥1d\ge1d≥1, with gradient ∇f\nabla f∇f and Hessian ∇2f\nabla^2 f∇2f; ∥⋅∥\|\cdot\|∥⋅∥ is the Euclidean norm on vectors and the spectral norm on matrices. Assumption A: fff is ℓ\ellℓ-gradient Lipschitz, ∥∇f(x1)−∇f(x2)∥≤ℓ∥x1−x2∥\|\nabla f(x_1)-\nabla f(x_2)\|\le\ell\|x_1-x_2\|∥∇f(x1​)−∇f(x2​)∥≤ℓ∥x1​−x2​∥, and ρ\rhoρ-Hessian Lipschitz, ∥∇2f(x1)−∇2f(x2)∥≤ρ∥x1−x2∥\|\nabla^2f(x_1)-\nabla^2f(x_2)\|\le\rho\|x_1-x_2\|∥∇2f(x1​)−∇2f(x2​)∥≤ρ∥x1​−x2​∥. A point xxx is an ε\varepsilonε-second-order stationary point (ε\varepsilonε-SOSP) if

∥∇f(x)∥≤εand∇2f(x)⪰−ρε I.\|\nabla f(x)\|\le\varepsilon\qquad\text{and}\qquad\nabla^2 f(x)\succeq-\sqrt{\rho\varepsilon}\,I .∥∇f(x)∥≤εand∇2f(x)⪰−ρε​I.

Write f⋆=inf⁡ff^\star=\inf ff⋆=inff and Δf=f(x0)−f⋆\Delta_f=f(x_0)-f^\starΔf​=f(x0​)−f⋆.

Algorithm 4 (Perturbed GD, Variant). With step size η\etaη, radius rrr, time interval T\mathscr TT and tolerance ε\varepsilonε, start with tperturb=0t_{\text{perturb}}=0tperturb​=0. At iteration ttt: if ∥∇f(xt)∥≤ε\|\nabla f(x_t)\|\le\varepsilon∥∇f(xt​)∥≤ε and t−tperturb>Tt-t_{\text{perturb}}>\mathscr Tt−tperturb​>T, replace xtx_txt​ by xt−ηξtx_t-\eta\xi_txt​−ηξt​ with ξt∼Uniform(B0(r))\xi_t\sim\mathrm{Uniform}(B_0(r))ξt​∼Uniform(B0​(r)) and set tperturb=tt_{\text{perturb}}=ttperturb​=t; then xt+1=xt−η∇f(xt)x_{t+1}=x_t-\eta\nabla f(x_t)xt+1​=xt​−η∇f(xt​). The parameters are those of Eq. (6):

η=1ℓ,r=ε400ι3,T=ℓρε ι,F=150ι3ε3ρ,S=14ιερ,\eta=\frac1\ell,\quad r=\frac{\varepsilon}{400\iota^3},\quad\mathscr T=\frac{\ell}{\sqrt{\rho\varepsilon}}\,\iota,\quad\mathscr F=\frac{1}{50\iota^3}\sqrt{\frac{\varepsilon^3}{\rho}},\quad\mathscr S=\frac{1}{4\iota}\sqrt{\frac{\varepsilon}{\rho}},η=ℓ1​,r=400ι3ε​,T=ρε​ℓ​ι,F=50ι31​ρε3​​,S=4ι1​ρε​​,

where ι\iotaι is a logarithmic factor, and ω=22−ιℓS\omega=2^{2-\iota}\ell\mathscr Sω=22−ιℓS.

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem 18

For T=⌈8max⁡{ΔfT/F, Δf/(ηε2)}⌉T=\lceil 8\max\{\Delta_f\mathscr T/\mathscr F,\ \Delta_f/(\eta\varepsilon^2)\}\rceilT=⌈8max{Δf​T/F, Δf​/(ηε2)}⌉ (which equals ⌈400ι4ℓΔf/ε2⌉\lceil400\iota^4\ell\Delta_f/\varepsilon^2\rceil⌈400ι4ℓΔf​/ε2⌉) and every ι≥1\iota\ge1ι≥1 with

Tℓdρε ι228−ι≤δ,\frac{T\ell\sqrt d}{\sqrt{\rho\varepsilon}}\,\iota^2 2^{8-\iota}\le\delta,ρε​Tℓd​​ι228−ι≤δ,

with probability at least 1−δ1-\delta1−δ over the perturbations,

#{t<T: xt is an ε-SOSP} ≥ T/2.\#\{t<T:\ x_t\text{ is an }\varepsilon\text{-SOSP}\}\ \ge\ T/2 .#{t<T: xt​ is an ε-SOSP} ≥ T/2.

The paper writes the count as O~(ℓΔf/ε2)\tilde O(\ell\Delta_f/\varepsilon^2)O~(ℓΔf​/ε2) with ι=clog⁡(dℓΔf/(ρεδ))\iota=c\log(d\ell\Delta_f/(\rho\varepsilon\delta))ι=clog(dℓΔf​/(ρεδ)).

Milestones, in the order the proof uses them

  1. Lemma 19 (descent): f(xt+1)−f(xt)≤−η∥∇f(xt)∥2/2f(x_{t+1})-f(x_t)\le-\eta\|\nabla f(x_t)\|^2/2f(xt+1​)−f(xt​)≤−η∥∇f(xt​)∥2/2 for η≤1/ℓ\eta\le1/\ellη≤1/ℓ.
  2. Lemma 21 (improve or localize): ∥xτ−x0∥≤2ηt(f(x0)−f(xt))\|x_\tau-x_0\|\le\sqrt{2\eta t(f(x_0)-f(x_t))}∥xτ​−x0​∥≤2ηt(f(x0​)−f(xt​))​ for t≥τ>0t\ge\tau>0t≥τ>0.
  3. Lemma 22 (coupling sequence): if λmin⁡(∇2f(x~))≤−ρε\lambda_{\min}(\nabla^2f(\tilde x))\le-\sqrt{\rho\varepsilon}λmin​(∇2f(x~))≤−ρε​ and two GD runs start within ηr\eta rηr of x~\tilde xx~, ηr0\eta r_0ηr0​ apart along the bottom eigenvector with r0>ωr_0>\omegar0​>ω, one of them decreases fff by F\mathscr FF within T\mathscr TT steps.
  4. Volume display (§5, proof of Lemma 20, p. 15): w Vol(B0d−1(a))/Vol(B0d(a))=waπΓ(d/2+1)Γ(d/2+1/2)≤wad/πw\,\mathrm{Vol}(\mathbb B^{d-1}_0(a))/\mathrm{Vol}(\mathbb B^d_0(a))=\frac{w}{a\sqrt\pi}\frac{\Gamma(d/2+1)}{\Gamma(d/2+1/2)}\le\frac wa\sqrt{d/\pi}wVol(B0d−1​(a))/Vol(B0d​(a))=aπ​w​Γ(d/2+1/2)Γ(d/2+1)​≤aw​d/π​.
  5. Lemma 20 (escaping saddle points): at x~\tilde xx~ with ∥∇f(x~)∥≤ε\|\nabla f(\tilde x)\|\le\varepsilon∥∇f(x~)∥≤ε and λmin⁡≤−ρε\lambda_{\min}\le-\sqrt{\rho\varepsilon}λmin​≤−ρε​,
P(f(xT)−f(x~)≤−F/2)≥1−ℓdρε ι228−ιfor x0=x~+ηξ.\mathbb P\bigl(f(x_{\mathscr T})-f(\tilde x)\le-\mathscr F/2\bigr)\ge1-\frac{\ell\sqrt d}{\sqrt{\rho\varepsilon}}\,\iota^22^{8-\iota}\quad\text{for }x_0=\tilde x+\eta\xi .P(f(xT​)−f(x~)≤−F/2)≥1−ρε​ℓd​​ι228−ιfor x0​=x~+ηξ.

Significance

The result. Theorem 18 says that adding occasional small random perturbations to gradient descent costs only a polylogarithmic factor over the first-order rate ℓΔf/ε2\ell\Delta_f/\varepsilon^2ℓΔf​/ε2 and buys second-order stationarity. Combined with the landscape results above, it gives polynomial-time guarantees for gradient methods on those learning problems. Lemma 20, on its own, is a quantitative statement that strict saddle points are unstable under perturbed GD; Lemmas 21 and 22 are reusable tools for any analysis of first-order methods near saddle points.

Formalizing it. The results are proved in the paper; none of them is formalized. A formal development would give machine-checked versions of the descent lemma for Hessian-Lipschitz functions, the improve-or-localize lemma, the coupling argument and the probabilistic escape bound. It would also settle the issue disclosed under Formalization scope.

Difficulty

Lemmas 19 and 21 are short. The difficulty is in Lemma 22 and Lemma 20. The obvious approach, linearizing GD around the saddle and following the unstable eigendirection, fails because the stuck region (starting points that do not escape within T\mathscr TT steps) has no simple shape once fff is not quadratic. The coupling argument controls the difference of two runs instead. It needs an induction in which the non-quadratic error term stays below half of the leading term for all T\mathscr TT steps, with the constants of Eq. (6) used exactly (2ηρST=1/22\eta\rho\mathscr S\mathscr T=1/22ηρST=1/2). Lemma 20 then turns a statement about pairs of points into a measure bound: a set whose every line parallel to e1e_1e1​ meets it in a segment of length at most ηω\eta\omegaηω has volume at most ηω\eta\omegaηω times the (d−1)(d-1)(d−1)-volume of the ball. In Lean this needs Fubini over a rotated coordinate system and measurability of the stuck region. Theorem 18 requires a probabilistic accounting over the whole run, under the product law of the perturbations.

Formalization scope

Rd\mathbb R^dRd is EuclideanSpace ℝ (Fin d) with d≥1d\ge1d≥1. The Hessian is fderiv ℝ (gradient f) x, the derivative of the gradient map, with the operator norm. Statements about λmin⁡\lambda_{\min}λmin​ use the quadratic form: λmin⁡(H)≤−c\lambda_{\min}(H)\le-cλmin​(H)≤−c is "some unit vvv has ⟨Hv,v⟩≤−c\langle Hv,v\rangle\le-c⟨Hv,v⟩≤−c", and H⪰−cIH\succeq-cIH⪰−cI is "⟨Hv,v⟩≥−c∥v∥2\langle Hv,v\rangle\ge-c\|v\|^2⟨Hv,v⟩≥−c∥v∥2 for all vvv". Uniform(B0(r))\mathrm{Uniform}(B_0(r))Uniform(B0​(r)) is normalized Lebesgue measure on the open ball. Algorithm 4 is a deterministic function of the perturbation vectors, which have the product law on (Rd)T(\mathbb R^d)^T(Rd)T. The ttt-th iterate is the point tested at the start of iteration ttt, and "half of its iterations" counts t∈{0,…,T−1}t\in\{0,\dots,T-1\}t∈{0,…,T−1}. Probability statements bound the failure event from above.

The paper's O~(⋅)\tilde O(\cdot)O~(⋅) is instantiated as the proof does:

  • the parameters are exactly Eq. (6), and T=⌈8max⁡{ΔfT/F,Δf/(ηε2)}⌉T=\lceil8\max\{\Delta_f\mathscr T/\mathscr F,\Delta_f/(\eta\varepsilon^2)\}\rceilT=⌈8max{Δf​T/F,Δf​/(ηε2)}⌉ (p. 16);
  • ι\iotaι is any real ≥1\ge1≥1 satisfying the proof's condition (Tℓd/ρε)ι228−ι≤δ(T\ell\sqrt d/\sqrt{\rho\varepsilon})\iota^22^{8-\iota}\le\delta(Tℓd​/ρε​)ι228−ι≤δ, in place of ι=clog⁡(dℓΔf/(ρεδ))\iota=c\log(d\ell\Delta_f/(\rho\varepsilon\delta))ι=clog(dℓΔf​/(ρεδ)). The printed argument of the logarithm changes under rescaling x↦λxx\mapsto\lambda xx↦λx while every quantity in the proof does not, so the printed choice can give ι≤0\iota\le0ι≤0;
  • T\mathscr TT is a natural number equal to ℓι/ρε\ell\iota/\sqrt{\rho\varepsilon}ℓι/ρε​, with no rounding, because the proof uses xTx_{\mathscr T}xT​ and 2ηρST=1/22\eta\rho\mathscr S\mathscr T=1/22ηρST=1/2 exactly;
  • ℓ≥ρε\ell\ge\sqrt{\rho\varepsilon}ℓ≥ρε​ (footnote 1, p. 14), ι≥1\iota\ge1ι≥1, η>0\eta>0η>0 and fff bounded below are the standing assumptions of §5.

A Hessian not tied to fff, an arbitrary unit vector in place of the bottom eigenvector in Lemma 22, a per-realization or existential statement in place of the product-law probability, or a vacuous ι\iotaι would each trivialize the statements; none is used.

Disclosed gap. The proof of Theorem 18 (p. 16) bounds the number of perturbations by applying Lemma 20 at each one. Algorithm 4 also perturbs at points that are already ε\varepsilonε-SOSPs, where Lemma 20 does not apply, and the T\mathscr TT iterations after such a perturbation are not counted. The goal is posed as printed; a solver who finds it false should report this in the discussion. The milestones do not depend on the gap.

Needed infrastructure: second-order Taylor bounds for Hessian-Lipschitz functions, symmetry of the Hessian and existence of a bottom eigenvector, volumes of Euclidean balls (in Mathlib through Γ\GammaΓ), a Fubini-type slicing bound for sets of bounded width along a direction, and measurability of the GD iterates. The volume-ratio and slicing lemmas are reusable beyond this mission. Proofs of any milestone, and alternative proofs, are welcome.

Selected references

  • C. Jin, P. Netrapalli, R. Ge, S. M. Kakade, M. I. Jordan, On Nonconvex Optimization for Machine Learning: Gradients, Stochasticity, and Saddle Points, arXiv:1902.04811v2 (2019); J. ACM 68(2), 2021. https://arxiv.org/abs/1902.04811
  • C. Jin, R. Ge, P. Netrapalli, S. M. Kakade, M. I. Jordan, How to Escape Saddle Points Efficiently, ICML 2017. https://arxiv.org/abs/1703.00887
  • R. Ge, F. Huang, C. Jin, Y. Yuan, Escaping From Saddle Points — Online Stochastic Gradient for Tensor Decomposition, COLT 2015. https://arxiv.org/abs/1503.02101
  • Y. Nesterov, Introductory Lectures on Convex Programming, Volume I: Basic Course, 1998; Kluwer, 2004. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-1-4419-8853-9
  • Y. Nesterov, B. T. Polyak, Cubic regularization of Newton method and its global performance, Math. Program. 108 (2006). https://doi.org/10.1007/s10107-006-0706-8
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Algorithmic Game TheoryOptimizationProbability·Captain: mikedeng1

Distributed Algorithms for Aggregative Games on Graphs III: Equal-Stepsize Gossip under Strong Monotonicity, limsup E‖x^k − x*‖² ≤ (α/μ)(2C²N + BC√(2nN)/(1 − √λ))Research Paper

Motivation

In an aggregative game, each player's decision affects a common quantity, such as total production or total demand. An agent may be able to calculate its own preferred response while lacking direct access to that aggregate. Koshal, Nedić, and Shanbhag study how agents can estimate it by exchanging information only with neighbours on a communication graph. Their asynchronous gossip algorithm lets one randomly selected agent contact a neighbour at each tick; both agents update their estimates and decisions. The constant stepsize regime matters when agents cannot steadily reduce their stepsizes or want to keep responding to new information. It gives an error bound rather than exact convergence: the decisions remain near an equilibrium by an amount controlled by the step, the game, and the graph. The model and this bound are from Koshal, Nedić, and Shanbhag, 2016.

The same paper analyzes a synchronous scheme with diminishing steps and a gossip scheme with update-count steps. This mission isolates the constant-step case in §4.3, and targets the equal-probability, equal-stepsize display at the end of that section. It uses the paper's numbered Lemmas 2, 3, and 11 and relations (30), (31), (44), and (55) as intermediate targets. The restriction to the final special case is material: the argument printed for general player-specific steps and update probabilities has gaps in (53) and (54), while both problematic terms disappear when the steps and update probabilities are equal.

Setting

There are NNN players, each choosing xix_ixi​ from a nonempty compact convex set Ki⊆RnK_i\subseteq\mathbb R^nKi​⊆Rn. Write K=∏iKiK=\prod_iK_iK=∏i​Ki​ for feasible profiles and Kˉ={∑ixi:xi∈Ki}\bar K=\{\sum_i x_i:x_i\in K_i\}Kˉ={∑i​xi​:xi​∈Ki​} for feasible aggregates. Player iii has a component map Fi(xi,u)F_i(x_i,u)Fi​(xi​,u), evaluated at its own decision and an aggregate argument. At a feasible profile xxx, the game map is ϕ(x)i=Fi(xi,∑jxj)\phi(x)_i=F_i(x_i,\sum_jx_j)ϕ(x)i​=Fi​(xi​,∑j​xj​). An equilibrium target is the solution x∗x^*x∗ of the variational inequality VI⁡(K,ϕ)\operatorname{VI}(K,\phi)VI(K,ϕ): for every x∈Kx\in Kx∈K, ∑i⟨xi−xi∗,ϕ(x∗)i⟩≥0\sum_i\langle x_i-x_i^*,\phi(x^*)_i\rangle\ge0∑i​⟨xi​−xi∗​,ϕ(x∗)i​⟩≥0. The paper derives this map from player payoff gradients under its Assumption 1; the present formalization starts with the component maps used by the algorithm.

A connected undirected graph lists the players that may exchange information. At tick kkk, a uniform random player IkI^kIk wakes and contacts a neighbour JkJ^kJk with probability pIkJk>0p_{I^kJ^k}>0pIkJk​>0. These draws are independent across ticks. Only the contacted pair average their current estimates vikv_i^kvik​ to obtain v^ik\hat v_i^kv^ik​, then project a step using Fi(xik,Nv^ik)F_i(x_i^k,N\hat v_i^k)Fi​(xik​,Nv^ik​) onto KiK_iKi​. All agents update their estimate by vik+1=v^ik+xik+1−xikv_i^{k+1}=\hat v_i^k+x_i^{k+1}-x_i^kvik+1​=v^ik​+xik+1​−xik​; for agents outside the pair this leaves both state variables unchanged. The mean estimate is yk=N−1∑iviky^k=N^{-1}\sum_i v_i^kyk=N−1∑i​vik​. Lemma 2 identifies it with the mean decision. The update probability of player iii is pi=N−1(1+∑jpji)p_i=N^{-1}(1+\sum_jp_{ji})pi​=N−1(1+∑j​pji​). These definitions and the discrete gossip algorithm are given in §4.1 of the source.

Formalization targets

Constant-step error bound

Suppose ϕ\phiϕ is strongly monotone with modulus μ>0\mu>0μ>0, every player uses the same positive step α\alphaα, and all update probabilities equal ppp. Let CCC bound the gradient evaluations as in Lemma 3. Let λ∈(0,1)\lambda\in(0,1)λ∈(0,1) be a mean-square contraction constant for the gossip matrix D(k)=W(k)−N−111⊤D(k)=W(k)-N^{-1}\mathbf1\mathbf1^\topD(k)=W(k)−N−111⊤, as in (30). If Lˉi\bar L_iLˉi​ are the aggregate Lipschitz constants of Assumption 3 and MMM bounds the diameter of each KiK_iKi​, put B=(max⁡iLˉi)NMB=(\max_i\bar L_i)NMB=(maxi​Lˉi​)NM. Under the inherited assumptions of Proposition 4 and 0<α<1/(2μp)0<\alpha<1/(2\mu p)0<α<1/(2μp), the goal is existence and uniqueness of x∗x^*x∗ together with the last display on PDF page 29:

lim sup⁡k→∞E∥xk−x∗∥2≤αμ(2C2N+BC2nN1−λ).\limsup_{k\to\infty}\mathbb E\|x^k-x^*\|^2 \le \frac{\alpha}{\mu}\left(2C^2N+\frac{BC\sqrt{2nN}}{1-\sqrt\lambda}\right).k→∞limsup​E∥xk−x∗∥2≤μα​(2C2N+1−λ​BC2nN​​).

The milestones separately assert the unique VI solution, the aggregate identity, the bounded gradient evaluations, the contraction estimates (30)–(31), the one-step disagreement relation (44), Lemma 11's limiting disagreement bounds, and the equal-case recursion (55). Together they expose the quantities appearing in the target without weakening its constant or its dependence on nnn and NNN.

Significance

The bound separates the effects of the step, game regularity, number of agents, decision dimension, and communication quality. In particular, for fixed other parameters the right-hand side scales linearly in α\alphaα and worsens as λ\lambdaλ approaches one. It is a quantitative guarantee for a decentralized procedure that sees neighbour messages instead of the exact aggregate. The VI existence and uniqueness target also identifies the equilibrium to which the error is measured. The paper proves the special case in its concluding bound on page 29, subject to the domain correction described below; it is not an unresolved research conjecture.

Formalizing the result produces a reusable interface for graph gossip matrices, random pair draws, relational Euclidean projection, and nonnegative expected disagreement. The intermediate contraction and tracking statements can support other constant-step distributed optimization arguments. The theorem declarations in this proposal are open Lean proof obligations; a successful local build checks their types and definitions, not the mathematical claims. Contributions that establish these obligations, sharpen a bound under the same model, or isolate reusable probability and projection results are in scope.

Difficulty

The estimates vikv_i^kvik​ are coupled to both random pair averaging and the agents' decision changes, so graph connectivity alone does not state a numerical disagreement bound. The proof has to respect the actual distribution of waking and contacted agents when moving from a one-player inequality to an expected profile error. The printed general version illustrates the risk: Assumption 8 controls changes in xix_ixi​ at a fixed aggregate and therefore cannot justify (53), where the aggregate changes; (54) also replaces coefficients on signed terms by their minimum. The final equal-step, equal-probability case removes these two obstacles, but still requires the exact constants in Lemma 11 and the error recursion.

Formalization scope

Players are indexed by Fin N, decisions use EuclideanSpace ℝ (Fin n), and a profile's squared Euclidean norm is the sum of squared block norms. Coordinate vectors across players also use a Euclidean norm; the ordinary Lean norm on Fin N → ℝ would be a supremum norm. The run starts from a deterministic feasible profile. This fixes the initial state before the independent discrete gossip draws, representing the source's Poisson-clock protocol at its tick times. A projection is a nearest-point relation on a nonempty compact convex set, with no arbitrary value on an empty set. Positive contact probabilities on all graph edges keep the connected graph active.

Assumption 1 is expressed through nonempty compact convex KiK_iKi​ and continuity of FiF_iFi​ on Ki×KˉK_i\times\bar KKi​×Kˉ, the part of the payoff regularity used by the algorithm. Assumption 3 is stated for every aggregate argument in Rn\mathbb R^nRn, a disclosed strengthening of its printed domain Kˉ\bar KKˉ: Nv^ikN\hat v_i^kNv^ik​ can leave Kˉ\bar KKˉ, as the paper's footnote on page 10 acknowledges. Assumption 8 remains a hypothesis inherited from Proposition 4 even though its term vanishes for equal steps. The constants CCC, λ\lambdaλ, and MMM carry their defining bounds as hypotheses; the conclusion does not assume Lemma 11 or (55). Expected nonnegative quantities use extended-real lintegrals and an extended-real limit superior, preventing a failed Bochner integral from silently becoming zero. The formalization asserts existence of a VI solution, so an empty solution set cannot trivialize the goal.

Selected references

  • J. Koshal, A. Nedić, and U. V. Shanbhag, Distributed Algorithms for Aggregative Games on Graphs, Operations Research 64(3):680–704, 2016. arXiv:1605.00267v2; DOI:10.1287/opre.2016.1501.
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CombinatoricsGraph TheoryProbability·Captain: mikedeng1

Algorithms for #BIS-Hard Problems on Expander Graphs 4: On Almost Every Δ-Regular Bipartite Graph with Δ ≥ Cq² log² q, Proper q-Colorings Reduce to Kotecký–Preiss Polymer ModelsResearch Paper

Motivation

Counting the proper qqq-colorings of a graph, and sampling one uniformly at random, are basic problems of approximate counting with a long history in statistical physics, where proper colorings are the zero-temperature antiferromagnetic Potts model. On bipartite graphs these problems are tied to #BIS, the problem of approximately counting independent sets in a bipartite graph, whose complexity is unresolved. Galanis, Štefankovič, Vigoda and Yang showed that approximately counting proper qqq-colorings is #BIS-hard on bipartite graphs of maximum degree Δ\DeltaΔ whenever q≤Δ/(2log⁡Δ)q \le \Delta/(2\log\Delta)q≤Δ/(2logΔ) (SIAM J. Comput. 45(6), 2016). A positive result in that regime therefore has to use structure beyond bipartiteness and bounded degree.

Jenssen, Keevash and Perkins (SIAM J. Comput. 49(4) 2020) use expansion. Their Theorem 5 says that for Δ≥Cq2log⁡2q\Delta \ge Cq^2\log^2 qΔ≥Cq2log2q there is an FPTAS and a polynomial-time sampler for proper qqq-colorings on almost every Δ\DeltaΔ-regular bipartite graph. This answered Conjecture 1 of the authors' SODA 2019 extended abstract. Liao, Lin, Lu and Mao (APPROX/RANDOM 2019) independently proved a similar result under a slightly stronger condition on Δ\DeltaΔ. The organizing idea, that most colorings of a strongly expanding bipartite graph follow one of a few patterns, comes from the work of Peled and Spinka on rigidity of colorings of Zd\mathbb Z^dZd (arXiv:1808.03597).

This mission is the fourth of a series formalizing the four main results of that paper; it covers Theorem 5.

Setting

Fix integers q≥3q \ge 3q≥3, Δ≥3\Delta \ge 3Δ≥3 and m≥1m \ge 1m≥1. The vertex set is V=O⊔EV = \mathcal O \sqcup \mathcal EV=O⊔E, two sides of mmm vertices each (so n=2mn = 2mn=2m). Gbip(2m,Δ)\mathcal G^{\mathrm{bip}}(2m,\Delta)Gbip(2m,Δ) is the finite set of labelled simple graphs on VVV whose edges all join O\mathcal OO to E\mathcal EE and in which every vertex has degree Δ\DeltaΔ. A property holds for almost every Δ\DeltaΔ-regular bipartite graph if the fraction of graphs in Gbip(2m,Δ)\mathcal G^{\mathrm{bip}}(2m,\Delta)Gbip(2m,Δ) having it tends to 111 as m→∞m \to \inftym→∞.

For S⊆VS \subseteq VS⊆V the vertex boundary ∂S\partial S∂S is the set of vertices outside SSS with a neighbour in SSS, and S+=S∪∂SS^+ = S \cup \partial SS+=S∪∂S. The graph is a bipartite (σ,ρ)(\sigma,\rho)(σ,ρ)-expander if ∣∂S∣≥ρ∣S∣|\partial S| \ge \rho|S|∣∂S∣≥ρ∣S∣ for every SSS inside one side with ∣S∣≤σm|S| \le \sigma m∣S∣≤σm.

A proper qqq-coloring is a map f:V→[q]f : V \to [q]f:V→[q] with f(u)≠f(v)f(u) \ne f(v)f(u)=f(v) on every edge; Xq(G)\mathcal X_q(G)Xq​(G) is their set and ZG(q)=∣Xq(G)∣Z_G(q) = |\mathcal X_q(G)|ZG​(q)=∣Xq​(G)∣. A pattern is a pair (A,B)(A,B)(A,B) of disjoint sets with A∪B=[q]A \cup B = [q]A∪B=[q]; there are 2q2^q2q of them. A coloring agrees with (A,B)(A,B)(A,B) at vvv if v∈Ov \in \mathcal Ov∈O and f(v)∈Af(v) \in Af(v)∈A, or v∈Ev \in \mathcal Ev∈E and f(v)∈Bf(v) \in Bf(v)∈B. For S⊆VS \subseteq VS⊆V, χA,B(S)\chi_{A,B}(S)χA,B​(S) is the set of proper colorings that disagree with (A,B)(A,B)(A,B) at every vertex of SSS and agree everywhere else.

G3G^3G3 joins two vertices at GGG-distance at most 333. A set is little if ∣S∣≤4qlog⁡ΔΔm|S| \le 4q\frac{\log\Delta}{\Delta}m∣S∣≤4qΔlogΔ​m. A polymer is a little set that is connected in G3G^3G3; C(G)\mathcal C(G)C(G) is the set of polymers, and two polymers are compatible if their GGG-distance exceeds 333. For a pattern (A,B)(A,B)(A,B), the weight and the polymer partition function are

wA,B(γ)=∣χA,B(γ)∣∣A∣m∣B∣m,ΞA,B(G)=∑Γ∏γ∈ΓwA,B(γ),w_{A,B}(\gamma) = \frac{|\chi_{A,B}(\gamma)|}{|A|^m|B|^m}, \qquad \Xi_{A,B}(G) = \sum_{\Gamma} \prod_{\gamma\in\Gamma} w_{A,B}(\gamma),wA,B​(γ)=∣A∣m∣B∣m∣χA,B​(γ)∣​,ΞA,B​(G)=Γ∑​γ∈Γ∏​wA,B​(γ),

the sum over all families Γ⊆C(G)\Gamma \subseteq \mathcal C(G)Γ⊆C(G) of pairwise compatible polymers, the empty family included. Finally Z^\hat ZZ^ is an ε\varepsilonε-relative approximation to ZZZ if e−εZ^≤Z≤eεZ^e^{-\varepsilon}\hat Z \le Z \le e^{\varepsilon}\hat Ze−εZ^≤Z≤eεZ^.

Formalization targets

Goal: the deterministic core of Theorem 5

There is an absolute constant C>0C > 0C>0 such that for all q≥3q \ge 3q≥3 and Δ≥Cq2log⁡2q\Delta \ge Cq^2\log^2 qΔ≥Cq2log2q, almost every Δ\DeltaΔ-regular bipartite graph GGG satisfies

e−εZ~G(q)≤ZG(q)≤eεZ~G(q),Z~G(q)=∑(A,B)∣A∣m∣B∣m ΞA,B(G),ε=e−m/(4q),e^{-\varepsilon}\tilde Z_G(q) \le Z_G(q) \le e^{\varepsilon}\tilde Z_G(q), \qquad \tilde Z_G(q) = \sum_{(A,B)} |A|^m|B|^m\,\Xi_{A,B}(G), \quad \varepsilon = e^{-m/(4q)},e−εZ~G​(q)≤ZG​(q)≤eεZ~G​(q),Z~G​(q)=(A,B)∑​∣A∣m∣B∣mΞA,B​(G),ε=e−m/(4q),

and, for every pattern (A,B)(A,B)(A,B) and every polymer γ∈C(G)\gamma \in \mathcal C(G)γ∈C(G), the Kotecký–Preiss condition

∑γ′∈C(G): d(γ′,γ)≤3wA,B(γ′) e∣γ′∣+g(γ′)≤∣γ∣,g(γ)=Δ10q2log⁡Δ∣γ∣.\sum_{\gamma' \in \mathcal C(G):\ d(\gamma',\gamma)\le 3} w_{A,B}(\gamma')\,e^{|\gamma'| + g(\gamma')} \le |\gamma|, \qquad g(\gamma) = \frac{\Delta}{10q^2\log\Delta}|\gamma|.γ′∈C(G): d(γ′,γ)≤3∑​wA,B​(γ′)e∣γ′∣+g(γ′)≤∣γ∣,g(γ)=10q2logΔΔ​∣γ∣.

The constant CCC is left existential, as in the paper.

Milestones

In the order of the proof:

  1. Lemma 23, the expansion of almost every regular bipartite graph;
  2. Lemma 27, the bound on ∣χA,B(S)∣|\chi_{A,B}(S)|∣χA,B​(S)∣;
  3. Lemma 28, the covering of Xq(G)\mathcal X_q(G)Xq​(G) by χA,B(S)\chi_{A,B}(S)χA,B​(S) with SSS little;
  4. the product formula after (13);
  5. Claim 30, the size bound for sparse sets;
  6. the binomial estimate, an existing platform theorem;
  7. Lemma 29, the reduction;
  8. the weight bound of §5.1;
  9. the per-vertex estimate (15).

Significance

The goal is the whole mathematical content of Theorem 5. The paper's algorithm (its Theorem 8, adapted from Helmuth, Perkins and Regts, Algorithmic Pirogov–Sinai theory) takes exactly these two facts as input. Given the Kotecký–Preiss condition, the cluster expansion of each log⁡ΞA,B(G)\log\Xi_{A,B}(G)logΞA,B​(G) converges and truncating it gives the estimator; the reduction transfers the estimate to ZG(q)Z_G(q)ZG​(q). With the goal proved, the remaining distance to the FPTAS is algorithmic bookkeeping, not combinatorics.

The result has been proved since 2019 and is not formalized anywhere. A formal proof would add a machine-checked polymer-model reduction for a spin system with exponentially many ground states, a reusable model of uniformly random regular bipartite graphs, and a checked instance of the "expansion implies few ground states" argument used throughout this literature.

Difficulty

The obvious first idea is a one-ground-state expansion, as for the hard-core model, where configurations are close to "all even" or "all odd". For colorings there are 2q2^q2q patterns. A coloring can lie close to several of them, so the reduction must show that the sets χA,B(S)\chi_{A,B}(S)χA,B​(S) with SSS little overlap only negligibly. That needs an inclusion–exclusion step whose error is exponentially small in m/qm/qm/q. A second difficulty is the size of polymers: little sets are qqq times larger than the sets of the hard-core analysis. Claim 30 is what keeps the union of compatible polymers from becoming a large set that the expansion no longer controls. Finally, the constants must be uniform in qqq. The single condition Δ≥Cq2log⁡2q\Delta \ge Cq^2\log^2 qΔ≥Cq2log2q has to cover the expansion lemma, the reduction and the Kotecký–Preiss estimate at once.

Formalization scope

The FPTAS and the sampling algorithm are not formalized. Mathlib has no machine model in which "polynomial time" could be stated, and the running times carry unquantified constants. The goal is the mathematics the algorithm rests on: the reduction and the Kotecký–Preiss condition, with the paper's constants e−m/(4q)e^{-m/(4q)}e−m/(4q), 4qlog⁡Δ/Δ4q\log\Delta/\Delta4qlogΔ/Δ and Δ/(10q2log⁡Δ)\Delta/(10q^2\log\Delta)Δ/(10q2logΔ). Neither half may be dropped. Replacing e−m/(4q)e^{-m/(4q)}e−m/(4q) by an existential error, or summing the Kotecký–Preiss condition over compatible rather than incompatible polymers, would make the goal trivial or wrong.

Conventions committed to in Lean:

  • Vertices are Fin m ⊕ Fin m, and Gbip(2m,Δ)\mathcal G^{\mathrm{bip}}(2m,\Delta)Gbip(2m,Δ) is the set of labelled Δ\DeltaΔ-regular graphs with edges only between the two fixed sides. The paper does not fix a bipartition; this fixed-sides model is a disclosed choice, matching §5's ∣O∣=∣E∣=m|\mathcal O| = |\mathcal E| = m∣O∣=∣E∣=m.
  • Distances are Mathlib's extended distance edist, so vertices in different components are at distance ∞\infty∞ and never incompatible.
  • A pattern is encoded by A⊆[q]A \subseteq [q]A⊆[q] with B=[q]∖AB = [q]\setminus AB=[q]∖A. Patterns with an empty side are kept: their weights are 000 under Lean's x/0=0x/0 = 0x/0=0, so they contribute 000 to Z~G(q)\tilde Z_G(q)Z~G​(q), as on the page for large mmm.
  • log is the natural logarithm; the binomial estimate is used in nats.

Added hypotheses:

  • A,B≠∅A, B \ne \emptysetA,B=∅ in Lemma 27 and in the product formula, which divide by ∣A∣|A|∣A∣ and ∣B∣|B|∣B∣;
  • Δ≥3\Delta \ge 3Δ≥3 in Lemma 28 and Claim 30, the paper's standing convention (§1.3);
  • m≥1m \ge 1m≥1 in Lemma 29, which fails on the empty vertex set.

The goal needs none of these, since its limit is in mmm and its constant absorbs Δ\DeltaΔ.

A complete development needs a counting theory of random regular bipartite graphs (for Lemma 23, through Bassalygo's expansion theorem), counts of connected sets in bounded-degree graphs, and inclusion–exclusion over patterns. The random-graph model and the polymer-model definitions are reusable across this series and beyond. Proofs of any milestone, and alternative routes to Lemma 23, are welcome.

Selected references

  • M. Jenssen, P. Keevash and W. Perkins, Algorithms for #BIS-hard problems on expander graphs, SIAM J. Comput. 49(4) (2020) 681–710. https://doi.org/10.1137/19M1286669
  • A. Galanis, D. Štefankovič, E. Vigoda and L. Yang, Ferromagnetic Potts model: refined #BIS-hardness and related results, SIAM J. Comput. 45(6) (2016) 2004–2065.
  • R. Peled and Y. Spinka, Rigidity of proper colorings of Zd\mathbb Z^dZd, arXiv:1808.03597 (2018). https://arxiv.org/abs/1808.03597
  • C. Liao, J. Lin, P. Lu and Z. Mao, Counting independent sets and colorings on random regular bipartite graphs, APPROX/RANDOM 2019, Schloss Dagstuhl–Leibniz-Zentrum für Informatik (2019).
  • T. Helmuth, W. Perkins and G. Regts, Algorithmic Pirogov–Sinai theory, Probab. Theory Related Fields (2020); extended abstract at STOC 2019.
  • R. Kotecký and D. Preiss, Cluster expansion for abstract polymer models, Comm. Math. Phys. 103(3) (1986) 491–498.
  • L. A. Bassalygo, Asymptotically optimal switching circuits, Problems Inform. Transmission 17(3) (1981) 206–211.
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Machine LearningOptimizationProbability·Captain: mikedeng1

On Nonconvex Optimization for Machine Learning: Gradients, Stochasticity, and Saddle Points 1: Perturbed SGD Makes Half Its Iterates ε-Second-Order Stationary within Õ(ℓΔ_f·𝔑/ε²) IterationsResearch Paper

Why saddle points matter for stochastic gradient methods

Most training objectives in machine learning are smooth and nonconvex, and they are minimized by stochastic gradient descent (SGD) and its variants. For nonconvex fff the classical guarantee is convergence to an ϵ\epsilonϵ-first-order stationary point, ∥∇f(x)∥≤ϵ\|\nabla f(x)\|\le\epsilon∥∇f(x)∥≤ϵ: Ghadimi and Lan (arXiv:1309.5549) showed that SGD reaches one in O~(ϵ−4)\tilde O(\epsilon^{-4})O~(ϵ−4) stochastic gradient queries, independently of the dimension. A first-order stationary point may be a saddle point, however, and for many problems (matrix sensing and completion, phase retrieval, tensor decomposition, dictionary learning) every second-order stationary point is a global minimum. For these problems, a guarantee for second-order stationary points is a guarantee of global optimality.

Timeline:

  • 2015. Ge, Huang, Jin and Yuan (arXiv:1503.02101) proved that noisy SGD escapes strict saddle points in polynomial time, with a large polynomial dependence on ddd and 1/ϵ1/\epsilon1/ϵ.
  • 2017. Jin, Ge, Netrapalli, Kakade and Jordan (arXiv:1703.00887) showed that gradient descent with occasional perturbations finds an ϵ\epsilonϵ-second-order stationary point in O~(ℓΔf/ϵ2)\tilde O(\ell\Delta_f/\epsilon^2)O~(ℓΔf​/ϵ2) iterations, only polylogarithmically worse than plain gradient descent for first-order points.
  • 2019. The paper of this mission, Jin, Netrapalli, Ge, Kakade and Jordan (arXiv:1902.04811; J. ACM 68(2), 2021), extends this to the stochastic setting with norm-subGaussian gradient noise: perturbed SGD needs O~(ϵ−4)\tilde O(\epsilon^{-4})O~(ϵ−4) queries when the stochastic gradients are Lipschitz and O~(dϵ−4)\tilde O(d\epsilon^{-4})O~(dϵ−4) in general.

Setting

Let f:Rd→Rf:\mathbb R^d\to\mathbb Rf:Rd→R be bounded below with f⋆=inf⁡ff^\star=\inf ff⋆=inff, and write Δf=f(x0)−f⋆\Delta_f=f(x_0)-f^\starΔf​=f(x0​)−f⋆. Assumption A: fff is ℓ\ellℓ-gradient Lipschitz, ∥∇f(x1)−∇f(x2)∥≤ℓ∥x1−x2∥\|\nabla f(x_1)-\nabla f(x_2)\|\le\ell\|x_1-x_2\|∥∇f(x1​)−∇f(x2​)∥≤ℓ∥x1​−x2​∥, and ρ\rhoρ-Hessian Lipschitz, ∥∇2f(x1)−∇2f(x2)∥≤ρ∥x1−x2∥\|\nabla^2 f(x_1)-\nabla^2 f(x_2)\|\le\rho\|x_1-x_2\|∥∇2f(x1​)−∇2f(x2​)∥≤ρ∥x1​−x2​∥ in operator norm. A point xxx is an ϵ\epsilonϵ-second-order stationary point if

∥∇f(x)∥≤ϵandλmin⁡(∇2f(x))≥−ρϵ.\|\nabla f(x)\|\le\epsilon\qquad\text{and}\qquad\lambda_{\min}(\nabla^2 f(x))\ge-\sqrt{\rho\epsilon}.∥∇f(x)∥≤ϵandλmin​(∇2f(x))≥−ρϵ​.

The algorithm sees only a stochastic gradient g(x;θ)g(x;\theta)g(x;θ) with θ∼D\theta\sim\mathcal Dθ∼D. Assumption B asks that E g(x;θ)=∇f(x)\mathbb E\,g(x;\theta)=\nabla f(x)Eg(x;θ)=∇f(x) and that the error is norm-subGaussian: P(∥g(x;θ)−∇f(x)∥≥t)≤2e−t2/(2σ2)\mathbb P(\|g(x;\theta)-\nabla f(x)\|\ge t)\le2e^{-t^2/(2\sigma^2)}P(∥g(x;θ)−∇f(x)∥≥t)≤2e−t2/(2σ2) for t≥0t\ge0t≥0. The optional Assumption C asks that each g(⋅;θ)g(\cdot;\theta)g(⋅;θ) is ℓ~\tilde\ellℓ~-Lipschitz. The two cases combine into

N=1+min⁡{σ2ϵ2+ℓ~2ℓρϵ, σ2dϵ2},\mathfrak N=1+\min\Big\{\frac{\sigma^2}{\epsilon^2}+\frac{\tilde\ell^2}{\ell\sqrt{\rho\epsilon}},\ \frac{\sigma^2d}{\epsilon^2}\Big\},N=1+min{ϵ2σ2​+ℓρϵ​ℓ~2​, ϵ2σ2d​},

with ℓ~=+∞\tilde\ell=+\inftyℓ~=+∞ when Assumption C is not used.

Perturbed SGD (PSGD, Algorithm 2) draws θt∼D\theta_t\sim\mathcal Dθt​∼D and an independent Gaussian ξt∼N(0,(r2/d)I)\xi_t\sim\mathcal N(0,(r^2/d)I)ξt​∼N(0,(r2/d)I) at every step and updates

xt+1=xt−η(g(xt;θt)+ξt).x_{t+1}=x_t-\eta\big(g(x_t;\theta_t)+\xi_t\big).xt+1​=xt​−η(g(xt​;θt​)+ξt​).

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem 16

For a log factor ι\iotaι, the proof uses the parameters of Eq. (8): η=1/(ι9ℓN)\eta=1/(\iota^9\ell\mathfrak N)η=1/(ι9ℓN), r=ιϵNr=\iota\epsilon\sqrt{\mathfrak N}r=ιϵN​, T=⌈ι/(ηρϵ)⌉\mathscr T=\lceil\iota/(\eta\sqrt{\rho\epsilon})\rceilT=⌈ι/(ηρϵ​)⌉, F=ι−5ϵ3/ρ\mathscr F=\iota^{-5}\sqrt{\epsilon^3/\rho}F=ι−5ϵ3/ρ​, and runs for T=⌈100max⁡{ΔfT/F,Δf/(ηϵ2)}⌉=O~(ℓΔfN/ϵ2)T=\lceil100\max\{\Delta_f\mathscr T/\mathscr F,\Delta_f/(\eta\epsilon^2)\}\rceil=\tilde O(\ell\Delta_f\mathfrak N/\epsilon^2)T=⌈100max{Δf​T/F,Δf​/(ηϵ2)}⌉=O~(ℓΔf​N/ϵ2) iterations. The goal states that there is an absolute constant μ0\mu_0μ0​ such that, for ι≥μ0(1+log⁡Q)\iota\ge\mu_0(1+\log Q)ι≥μ0​(1+logQ) with Q=d Nmax⁡{1,ℓΔf/ϵ2}(ℓ/ρϵ)/δQ=d\,\mathfrak N\max\{1,\ell\Delta_f/\epsilon^2\}(\ell/\sqrt{\rho\epsilon})/\deltaQ=dNmax{1,ℓΔf​/ϵ2}(ℓ/ρϵ​)/δ,

P(#{t<T: xt is an ϵ-second-order stationary point}≥T/2)≥1−δ.\mathbb P\Big(\#\{t<T:\ x_t\ \text{is an }\epsilon\text{-second-order stationary point}\}\ge T/2\Big)\ge1-\delta.P(#{t<T: xt​ is an ϵ-second-order stationary point}≥T/2)≥1−δ.

Milestones

The proof's two engines, in the paper's order: the concentration inequalities for norm-subGaussian martingale differences (Lemmas 36–39), the descent lemma (Lemma 23), improve-or-localize (Lemma 24), the coupling analysis around a saddle point (Lemmas 27–31), escape from a saddle point (Lemma 25), and the two claims that bound the number of iterates with large gradient and the number near saddle points.

Significance

The theorem shows that adding isotropic Gaussian noise to SGD suffices to find second-order stationary points at essentially the cost SGD pays for first-order points: O~(ϵ−4)\tilde O(\epsilon^{-4})O~(ϵ−4) queries when Assumption C holds (matching Ghadimi–Lan up to logarithms) and O~(dϵ−4)\tilde O(d\epsilon^{-4})O~(dϵ−4) in general. Combined with landscape results such as "every second-order stationary point is a global minimum", it yields global convergence of a simple first-order stochastic method from arbitrary initialization for the problems listed above.

The result is proved on paper. As far as is known, none of it is machine-checked: neither the escape-from-saddle-point argument by coupling sequences nor the vector-valued concentration inequalities of Appendix C, whose proofs the paper defers to a separate technical note (arXiv:1902.03736). Formalizing them yields reusable norm-subGaussian martingale bounds in Rd\mathbb R^dRd, a checked version of the coupling technique that later saddle-escape analyses reuse, and a check of every constant hidden in the paper's O~(⋅)\tilde O(\cdot)O~(⋅).

Difficulty

The descent lemma alone cannot rule out that the iterates stall near a strict saddle point, where the gradient is small and the negative curvature is invisible to first-order information. The obvious argument, which says that the perturbation has a component along the negative eigendirection and that component grows, fails as stated: the stochastic gradient noise, the Hessian's variation along the trajectory, and the perturbation all interact over T\mathscr TT steps. Controlling these interactions needs concentration bounds for vector-valued martingales whose scale is itself random (Lemma 37), which have no counterpart in Mathlib. Bounding how often the iterates can return to saddle regions over the whole run is a separate difficulty, since the times at which the iterates are near a saddle point are random.

Formalization scope

Rd\mathbb R^dRd is EuclideanSpace ℝ (Fin d) with d≥1d\ge1d≥1; the Hessian is the derivative of the gradient map, and λmin⁡\lambda_{\min}λmin​ is the Rayleigh-quotient infimum over the unit sphere. The randomness is the infinite product measure of the pairs (θt,ξt)(\theta_t,\xi_t)(θt​,ξt​), and the PSGD run is a deterministic function of it. Conventions committed to:

  • Explicit constants in place of O~(⋅)\tilde O(\cdot)O~(⋅). The paper writes η=Θ~(1/(ℓN))\eta=\tilde\Theta(1/(\ell\mathfrak N))η=Θ~(1/(ℓN)), r=Θ~(ϵN)r=\tilde\Theta(\epsilon\sqrt{\mathfrak N})r=Θ~(ϵN​) (Eq. (4)) and O~(ℓΔfN/ϵ2)\tilde O(\ell\Delta_f\mathfrak N/\epsilon^2)O~(ℓΔf​N/ϵ2); the statements use the proof's Eq. (8) and its TTT, with T\mathscr TT and TTT rounded up to integers. Every "absolute constant ccc" of a lemma is an existential quantified before the dimension, the oracle, the function and all parameters, so it cannot depend on them.
  • Calibration of ι\iotaι. The printed ι=μlog⁡(dℓΔfN/(ρϵδ))\iota=\mu\log(d\ell\Delta_f\mathfrak N/(\rho\epsilon\delta))ι=μlog(dℓΔf​N/(ρϵδ)) is not invariant under rescaling x↦λxx\mapsto\lambda xx↦λx and can be non-positive. The goal and the two claims assume ι≥μ0(1+log⁡Q)\iota\ge\mu_0(1+\log Q)ι≥μ0​(1+logQ) with the scale-invariant QQQ above.
  • Hypotheses made explicit. ρ>0\rho>0ρ>0, ϵ>0\epsilon>0ϵ>0, 0<δ<10<\delta<10<δ<1, ρϵ≤ℓ\sqrt{\rho\epsilon}\le\ellρϵ​≤ℓ (the paper's footnote 1, p. 14), σ>0\sigma>0σ>0, joint measurability of ggg, and integrability of the stochastic gradients. Assumption B and Condition 35 hold for t≥0t\ge0t≥0, since the printed "∀t∈R\forall t\in\mathbb R∀t∈R" cannot be satisfied.
  • Corrections. Lemma 29 requires ηγ>0\eta\gamma>0ηγ>0, Lemma 37 has failure probability 2d(log⁡(B/b)+1)e−ι2d(\log(B/b)+1)e^{-\iota}2d(log(B/b)+1)e−ι, and Lemma 25 is stated at t0=0t_0=0t0​=0 from a deterministic saddle point, the case the paper proves.

A formalization that keeps the printed "∀t∈R\forall t\in\mathbb R∀t∈R" in Assumption B, or allows σ=0\sigma=0σ=0 in the tail bound, makes every statement vacuous or trivial; both are excluded. Infrastructure needed: norm-subGaussian vectors and their martingale concentration (reusable well beyond this mission), Gaussian anti-concentration in one direction, and stopping-time arguments for the Markov chain of PSGD. Contributions to any milestone, and to the concentration layer in particular, are welcome.

Selected references

  • C. Jin, P. Netrapalli, R. Ge, S. M. Kakade, M. I. Jordan, On Nonconvex Optimization for Machine Learning: Gradients, Stochasticity, and Saddle Points, arXiv:1902.04811v2, 2019; J. ACM 68(2), 2021. https://arxiv.org/abs/1902.04811
  • C. Jin, P. Netrapalli, R. Ge, S. M. Kakade, M. I. Jordan, A Short Note on Concentration Inequalities for Random Vectors with SubGaussian Norm, arXiv:1902.03736, 2019. https://arxiv.org/abs/1902.03736
  • C. Jin, R. Ge, P. Netrapalli, S. M. Kakade, M. I. Jordan, How to Escape Saddle Points Efficiently, ICML 2017. https://arxiv.org/abs/1703.00887
  • R. Ge, F. Huang, C. Jin, Y. Yuan, Escaping From Saddle Points — Online Stochastic Gradient for Tensor Decomposition, COLT 2015. https://arxiv.org/abs/1503.02101
  • S. Ghadimi, G. Lan, Stochastic First- and Zeroth-Order Methods for Nonconvex Stochastic Programming, SIAM J. Optim. 23(4), 2013. https://arxiv.org/abs/1309.5549
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Bandit AlgorithmsOperations ResearchStatistics·Captain: mikedeng1

Dynamic Assortment Personalization in High Dimensions 1: The Nuclear-Norm Explore-Then-Exploit Policy Has Regret at Most ((Cr(m+n)+3) log T + 1)ωResearch Paper

Motivation

An online retailer that serves many kinds of customers must decide, for each arriving customer, which handful of products to display. Showing too many items is impossible (screen space, shelf space), and which items sell depends on who is looking. The retailer does not know the customers' preferences in advance and learns them only from the choices customers make among the items shown. This is dynamic assortment personalization: an online learning problem in which every display both earns revenue and produces data.

Kallus and Udell (arXiv:1610.05604) study the regime in which the number of customer types mmm and the number of items nnn are both large, so that learning each type's preferences separately would take on the order of mnmnmn interactions. Their premise is that preferences across types are governed by a few latent features, which makes the matrix of preference parameters approximately low rank. The non-contextual problem — one customer type, multinomial-logit choice — was studied by Rusmevichientong, Shen and Shmoys (2010) and Sauré and Zeevi (2013); the paper extends it to many types and proposes an explore-then-exploit policy whose estimates come from nuclear-norm regularized maximum likelihood, the standard convex surrogate for low rank used in matrix completion.

Setting

There are mmm customer types and nnn items. Each type iii has a revenue vector Wi∈RnW_i\in\mathbb R^nWi​∈Rn (row iii of W∈Rm×nW\in\mathbb R^{m\times n}W∈Rm×n; WijW_{ij}Wij​ is the expected revenue when type iii buys item jjj) and a preference vector Θi⋆\Theta^\star_iΘi⋆​ (row iii of the unknown matrix Θ⋆∈Rm×n\Theta^\star\in\mathbb R^{m\times n}Θ⋆∈Rm×n). Types arrive independently from an unknown distribution μ⋆\mu^\starμ⋆ in the simplex Δm\Delta^mΔm.

For an assortment S⊆{1,…,n}S\subseteq\{1,\dots,n\}S⊆{1,…,n} and a parameter vector θ∈Rn\theta\in\mathbb R^nθ∈Rn, the multinomial-logit (MNL) choice probability of item j∈Sj\in Sj∈S is

pj(S;θ)=eθj1+∑j′∈Seθj′,p_j(S;\theta)=\frac{e^{\theta_j}}{1+\sum_{j'\in S}e^{\theta_{j'}}},pj​(S;θ)=1+∑j′∈S​eθj′​eθj​​,

and the customer buys nothing with probability 1/(1+∑j′∈Seθj′)1/(1+\sum_{j'\in S}e^{\theta_{j'}})1/(1+∑j′∈S​eθj′​). The expected revenue of SSS is F(S;w,θ)=∑j∈Spj(S;θ)wjF(S;w,\theta)=\sum_{j\in S}p_j(S;\theta)w_jF(S;w,θ)=∑j∈S​pj​(S;θ)wj​, and S⋆(w,θ;K)S^\star(w,\theta;K)S⋆(w,θ;K) is the set of maximizers of F(⋅;w,θ)F(\cdot;w,\theta)F(⋅;w,θ) over ∣S∣≤K|S|\le K∣S∣≤K. The revenue gap δ(w,θ;K)\delta(w,\theta;K)δ(w,θ;K) is the optimal revenue minus the best revenue of a non-optimal assortment.

In round t=1,2,…t=1,2,\dotst=1,2,… a customer of type it∼μ⋆i_t\sim\mu^\starit​∼μ⋆ arrives, the retailer offers StS_tSt​ with ∣St∣≤K|S_t|\le K∣St​∣≤K, and the customer chooses jtj_tjt​ from the MNL law with parameters Θit⋆\Theta^\star_{i_t}Θit​⋆​. The regret (Definition 1) of a policy after TTT rounds is the expected revenue of the Θ⋆\Theta^\starΘ⋆-greedy policy, which always offers an element of S⋆(Wit,Θit⋆;K)S^\star(W_{i_t},\Theta^\star_{i_t};K)S⋆(Wit​​,Θit​⋆​;K), minus the expected revenue of the policy.

Algorithm 2, πnuc-norm(C,λ)\pi_{\text{nuc-norm}}(C,\lambda)πnuc-norm​(C,λ), keeps a sample O\mathcal OO of exploration observations. At round ttt, if ∣O∣≤Cr(m+n)log⁡t|\mathcal O|\le Cr(m+n)\log t∣O∣≤Cr(m+n)logt it explores: it offers a uniformly random subset of size exactly KKK and records (it,jt,St)(i_t,j_t,S_t)(it​,jt​,St​). Otherwise it exploits: it offers an element of S⋆(Wit,Θ^it;K)S^\star(W_{i_t},\widehat\Theta_{i_t};K)S⋆(Wit​​,Θit​​;K), where Θ^\widehat\ThetaΘ is a solution of

min⁡Θ L(Θ)+λ∥Θ∥∗s.t.∥Θ∥∞≤α/mn,(5)\min_{\Theta}\ L(\Theta)+\lambda\|\Theta\|_*\quad\text{s.t.}\quad\|\Theta\|_\infty\le\alpha/\sqrt{mn},\tag{5}Θmin​ L(Θ)+λ∥Θ∥∗​s.t.∥Θ∥∞​≤α/mn​,(5)

with LLL the average negative log-likelihood (4) of the sample, ∥⋅∥∗\|\cdot\|_*∥⋅∥∗​ the nuclear norm and ∥Θ∥∞\|\Theta\|_\infty∥Θ∥∞​ the largest absolute entry.

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem 6

Let r≥rank⁡Θ⋆r\ge\operatorname{rank}\Theta^\starr≥rankΘ⋆, 1/ρ≤mμi⋆≤ρ1/\rho\le m\mu^\star_i\le\rho1/ρ≤mμi⋆​≤ρ for all iii, ∥Θ⋆∥∞≤α/mn\|\Theta^\star\|_\infty\le\alpha/\sqrt{mn}∥Θ⋆∥∞​≤α/mn​, min⁡iδ(Wi,Θi⋆;K)≥δ>0\min_i\delta(W_i,\Theta^\star_i;K)\ge\delta>0mini​δ(Wi​,Θi⋆​;K)≥δ>0 and 0≤W0\le W0≤W, max⁡ij∣Wij∣≤ω\max_{ij}|W_{ij}|\le\omegamaxij​∣Wij​∣≤ω. With

C=4194304 K6ρ3ω2α2e16αδ2,λ=8ρKCrmn,(12)C=\frac{4194304\,K^6\rho^3\omega^2\alpha^2e^{16\alpha}}{\delta^2},\qquad\lambda=8\sqrt{\frac{\rho K}{Crmn}},\tag{12}C=δ24194304K6ρ3ω2α2e16α​,λ=8CrmnρK​​,(12)

for every selection of Θ^\widehat\ThetaΘ from the solutions of (5) and of the exploited assortment,

Regret(T;πnuc-norm(C,λ))≤((Cr(m+n)+3)log⁡T+1) ωfor 1≤T≤(m+n)mn/(Cr(m+n)).\mathrm{Regret}(T;\pi_{\text{nuc-norm}}(C,\lambda))\le\big((Cr(m+n)+3)\log T+1\big)\,\omega\qquad\text{for }1\le T\le(m+n)^{mn/(Cr(m+n))}.Regret(T;πnuc-norm​(C,λ))≤((Cr(m+n)+3)logT+1)ωfor 1≤T≤(m+n)mn/(Cr(m+n)).

Milestones

From the printed proof of Theorem 6 (pp. 47–48): the Lipschitz bound ∣pj(S;θ)−pj(S;θ′)∣≤14∣S∣∥θ−θ′∥2|p_j(S;\theta)-p_j(S;\theta')|\le\frac14\sqrt{|S|}\|\theta-\theta'\|_2∣pj​(S;θ)−pj​(S;θ′)∣≤41​∣S∣​∥θ−θ′∥2​; the revenue bound ∣F(S;w,θ)−F(S;w,θ′)∣≤14∥w∥∞K3/2∥θ−θ′∥2|F(S;w,\theta)-F(S;w,\theta')|\le\frac14\|w\|_\infty K^{3/2}\|\theta-\theta'\|_2∣F(S;w,θ)−F(S;w,θ′)∣≤41​∥w∥∞​K3/2∥θ−θ′∥2​; the comparison F(S′;w,θ)≥F(S;w,θ)−12∥w∥∞K3/2∥θ−θ′∥2F(S';w,\theta)\ge F(S;w,\theta)-\frac12\|w\|_\infty K^{3/2}\|\theta-\theta'\|_2F(S′;w,θ)≥F(S;w,θ)−21​∥w∥∞​K3/2∥θ−θ′∥2​ of optimal sets; the stability of the optimal set; and the count of exploration rounds. From the deterministic part of the recovery analysis (Sec. 8): Lemma 2 (a quadratic lower bound on the Bregman divergence of LLL), Lemma 5 (an upper bound from the regularized objective) and Lemma 6 (the nuclear-norm error is controlled by r\sqrt rr​ times the Frobenius error and the spectral tail of Θ⋆\Theta^\starΘ⋆).

Significance

Theorem 6 is the paper's guarantee that a policy exploiting low-rank structure pays regret of order r(m+n)log⁡Tr(m+n)\log Tr(m+n)logT rather than the order mnlog⁡Tmn\log TmnlogT that the paper shows (Theorem 5) for policies treating each type separately. The intermediate results are reusable: the Lipschitz bounds for MNL choice probabilities and revenue apply to any MNL assortment policy that plugs in estimated parameters, and Lemmas 2, 5 and 6 are the deterministic core of nuclear-norm regularized estimation for a likelihood that is not an entrywise loss.

To the best of current knowledge none of these results has a machine-checked proof. The mission produces a formal model of a contextual MNL assortment process with an adaptive policy, its trajectory law and regret, together with formal statements and proofs of the Lipschitz and stability facts that any explore-then-exploit analysis of MNL assortment needs. Several printed statements needed correction (see Formalization scope); machine-checked proofs settle the corrected forms.

Difficulty

The goal is a statement about the law of a TTT-round adaptive process: the offered set at round ttt depends on the whole past through the exploration test and through an estimate defined only as some minimizer of (5). Any argument must handle this dependence exactly, for every admissible selection of minimizer and of optimal assortment, rather than for one convenient choice.

The constants are explicit and the horizon is restricted, so the inequality has to hold with the paper's normalization exactly as stated, including the box constraint of (5). The printed proof routes through the paper's high-probability recovery bound (Theorem 3), which is believed false as printed and is not part of this mission, so a proof cannot simply cite it. Lemmas 5 and 6 require Hölder's inequality for the spectral/nuclear pairing and a decomposition of the error relative to the singular subspaces of Θ⋆\Theta^\starΘ⋆; Lemma 2 requires a curvature estimate for the log-sum-exp function uniformly on the box.

Formalization scope

The source is the arXiv preprint arXiv:1610.05604, an unstamped PDF pinned by sha256 2b010481…216a; its printed page numbers equal the PDF page numbers.

Types and items are Fin m and Fin n, 0-based; the no-purchase option is none. Matrices are MatrixCompletion.RealMatrix m n; the nuclear, spectral and Frobenius norms, the Frobenius inner product and ∥⋅∥∞\|\cdot\|_\infty∥⋅∥∞​ are the published MatrixCompletion definitions, and FFF is the published ChoiceCDLP.MNL.mnlObjective with weights eθje^{\theta_j}eθj​ and no-purchase weight 111. All probabilities and expectations are finite sums over histories in Fin T → Fin m × Finset (Fin n) × Option (Fin n). Regret is Definition 1 after the tower property: the greedy policy earns ∑iμi⋆max⁡∣S∣≤KF(S;Wi,Θi⋆)\sum_i\mu^\star_i\max_{|S|\le K}F(S;W_i,\Theta^\star_i)∑i​μi⋆​max∣S∣≤K​F(S;Wi​,Θi⋆​) per round and Algorithm 2 earns F(St;Wit,Θit⋆)F(S_t;W_{i_t},\Theta^\star_{i_t})F(St​;Wit​​,Θit​⋆​) in expectation. The gap condition δ(w,θ;K)≥d\delta(w,\theta;K)\ge dδ(w,θ;K)≥d is stated as "every non-optimal assortment of size at most KKK earns at most the optimum minus ddd", since δ\deltaδ itself is undefined when every assortment is optimal.

Added hypotheses and corrections, each disclosed in the item's note:

  • Theorem 6 assumes W≥0W\ge0W≥0, δ>0\delta>0δ>0, 1≤K≤n1\le K\le n1≤K≤n, m,n≥1m,n\ge1m,n≥1 and T≥1T\ge1T≥1. The horizon is read as T≤(m+n)mn/(Cr(m+n))T\le(m+n)^{mn/(Cr(m+n))}T≤(m+n)mn/(Cr(m+n)) (the page sets rrr beside the fraction in the exponent); for r≥1r\ge1r≥1 this is the smaller range. If r=0r=0r=0, Lean's division by zero gives λ=0\lambda=0λ=0 and horizon T≤1T\le1T≤1.
  • The stability of the optimal set (p. 47) is false as printed (an equality of optimal sets) and is stated as the inclusion S⋆(w,θ′;K)⊆S⋆(w,θ;K)S^\star(w,\theta';K)\subseteq S^\star(w,\theta;K)S⋆(w,θ′;K)⊆S⋆(w,θ;K) under the page's (non-strict) closeness hypothesis, multiplied out.
  • The exploration count (p. 48) is stated as Cr(m+n)log⁡T+1Cr(m+n)\log T+1Cr(m+n)logT+1, the form the next display uses, instead of the printed Clog⁡T+1C\log T+1ClogT+1.
  • Lemma 2 is false as printed and carries an extra factor 12\frac1221​; it assumes Θ⋆\Theta^\starΘ⋆ and Θ⋆+Δ\Theta^\star+\DeltaΘ⋆+Δ both feasible for (5).
  • Lemmas 5 and 6 carry the standing assumptions of Sec. 8: Θ^\widehat\ThetaΘ solves (5), Θ⋆\Theta^\starΘ⋆ is feasible, λ>0\lambda>0λ>0.

Theorem 3 (static recovery) and Lemma 4 (gradient concentration) are not posed: both are believed false as printed. Lemmas 3 and 7 are not posed either.

A trivializing formalization is ruled out: the estimator is any minimizer of (5) with its box constraint, the exploited set is any optimal assortment for the estimate, and both are quantified universally; exploration draws uniformly from subsets of size exactly KKK; and the benchmark is the Θ⋆\Theta^\starΘ⋆-greedy policy under the same arrival law. Fixing the estimator to Θ⋆\Theta^\starΘ⋆, dropping the box, or comparing to the best fixed assortment would change the theorem.

Contributions welcome: proofs of the milestones (the Lipschitz lemmas are calculus on the softmax function; Lemmas 5 and 6 are matrix analysis reusable for other nuclear-norm estimators), a proof that the definition of ∇L\nabla L∇L is the gradient of LLL, and a proof that the history weights form a probability distribution.

Selected references

  • N. Kallus, M. Udell, Dynamic Assortment Personalization in High Dimensions, arXiv preprint, 2016–2017; Operations Research 68(4), 2020. https://arxiv.org/abs/1610.05604
  • P. Rusmevichientong, Z.-J. M. Shen, D. B. Shmoys, Dynamic assortment optimization with a multinomial logit choice model and capacity constraint, Operations Research 58(6), 2010. https://doi.org/10.1287/opre.1100.0866
  • D. Sauré, A. Zeevi, Optimal dynamic assortment planning with demand learning, Manufacturing & Service Operations Management 15(3), 2013. https://doi.org/10.1287/msom.1120.0412
  • B. Recht, M. Fazel, P. A. Parrilo, Guaranteed minimum-rank solutions of linear matrix equations via nuclear norm minimization, SIAM Review 52(3), 2010. https://doi.org/10.1137/070697835
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Machine LearningOptimizationProbability+1·Captain: mikedeng1

Robustness May Be at Odds with Accuracy 2: The Unit-Norm Soft-Margin SVM Is >99% Accurate but <1% Robust at ε ≥ 2η, While Adversarial Training Gives Accuracy pResearch Paper

Motivation

Adversarial training asks a classifier to work even after an input has been changed within a prescribed perturbation budget. Tsipras, Santurkar, Engstrom, Turner, and Mądry studied why the classifier that performs best on ordinary inputs can behave very differently under these changes. Their explicit model separates one reliably predictive feature from many individually weak features. It lets the same distribution support a highly accurate ordinary classifier and a less accurate but robust classifier Tsipras et al., §2.1–2.2. This mission formalizes the paper's comparison for soft-margin support vector machines at the population level.

The model is relevant to anyone using a training objective as a proxy for performance under perturbations. Its conclusion concerns the optimizer of an expected loss, not the effect of a particular finite sample or optimization algorithm. That distinction makes the example a direct statement about the objectives being optimized.

Setting

A label yyy is drawn uniformly from {−1,+1}\{-1,+1\}{−1,+1}. An input xxx has d+1d+1d+1 real coordinates. Its first coordinate, x1x_1x1​, equals yyy with probability ppp and −y-y−y with probability 1−p1-p1−p, where p≥1/2p\ge1/2p≥1/2. Conditional on yyy, each of the remaining coordinates is an independent Gaussian variable with mean ηy\eta yηy and variance one, independently of x1x_1x1​. Thus x1x_1x1​ is a moderately reliable feature while the other coordinates can be weak predictors individually. These are exactly the ingredients of distribution DDD in equation (3) Tsipras et al., p. 4.

For a weight vector www, the linear classifier fwf_wfw​ assigns the sign of w⊤xw^\top xw⊤x. Its standard accuracy is the probability that fw(x)=yf_w(x)=yfw​(x)=y for a fresh pair (x,y)(x,y)(x,y) from DDD. Its robust accuracy at radius ε\varepsilonε is the probability that this equality holds for every perturbation δ\deltaδ with ∥δ∥∞≤ε\|\delta\|_\infty\le\varepsilon∥δ∥∞​≤ε. Both accuracies average the two labels with probability 1/21/21/2 each.

The soft-margin SVM objective combines expected hinge loss and quadratic regularization:

Jλ(w)=ED ⁣[max⁡{0,1−yw⊤x}]+λ2∥w∥22.J_\lambda(w)=\mathbb E_D\!\left[\max\{0,1-yw^\top x\}\right] +\frac{\lambda}{2}\|w\|_2^2.Jλ​(w)=ED​[max{0,1−yw⊤x}]+2λ​∥w∥22​.

The distributional adversarial objective replaces the hinge loss for each observed pair by its maximum over the ℓ∞\ell_\inftyℓ∞​ ball before taking the expectation:

Jε,λadv(w)=ED ⁣[max⁡∥δ∥∞≤εmax⁡{0,1−yw⊤(x+δ)}]+λ2∥w∥22.J^{\mathrm{adv}}_{\varepsilon,\lambda}(w)= \mathbb E_D\!\left[ \max_{\|\delta\|_\infty\le\varepsilon} \max\{0,1-yw^\top(x+\delta)\}\right] +\frac{\lambda}{2}\|w\|_2^2.Jε,λadv​(w)=ED​[∥δ∥∞​≤εmax​max{0,1−yw⊤(x+δ)}]+2λ​∥w∥22​.

This order follows equation (2), the distributional adversarial loss Tsipras et al., pp. 2, 16–18.

Formalization targets

The goal is Theorem 2.2 Tsipras et al., p. 6. Under d≥1d\ge1d≥1, 1/2≤p≤0.9751/2\le p\le0.9751/2≤p≤0.975, and η≥4/d\eta\ge4/\sqrt dη≥4/d​, a global minimizer w∗w^*w∗ of JλJ_\lambdaJλ​ whose squared Euclidean norm is one satisfies

StdAcc⁡(fw∗)>0.99,RobAcc⁡ε(fw∗)<0.01for every ε≥2η.\operatorname{StdAcc}(f_{w^*})>0.99, \qquad \operatorname{RobAcc}_{\varepsilon}(f_{w^*})<0.01 \quad\text{for every }\varepsilon\ge2\eta.StdAcc(fw∗​)>0.99,RobAccε​(fw∗​)<0.01for every ε≥2η.

For a global minimizer of Jεtr,λadvJ^{\mathrm{adv}}_{\varepsilon_{\mathrm{tr}},\lambda}Jεtr​,λadv​ with εtr≥2η\varepsilon_{\mathrm{tr}}\ge2\etaεtr​≥2η and either εtr<2p−1\varepsilon_{\mathrm{tr}}<2p-1εtr​<2p−1 or p=1/2p=1/2p=1/2, the target is

StdAcc⁡(fw∗)=RobAcc⁡ε(fw∗)=pfor every 0≤ε<1.\operatorname{StdAcc}(f_{w^*}) =\operatorname{RobAcc}_{\varepsilon}(f_{w^*})=p \quad\text{for every }0\le\varepsilon<1.StdAcc(fw∗​)=RobAccε​(fw∗​)=pfor every 0≤ε<1.

The milestone list follows Appendix D's stated claims: the Gaussian law of the pooled weak feature, Lemmas D.1–D.5, and the displayed adversarial objective identity. The lemmas give nonstrict 99%99\%99% and 1%1\%1% bounds where the theorem states strict inequalities Tsipras et al., pp. 16–18.

Significance

The result gives a concrete distribution on which the ordinary population hinge objective favors weak features enough to achieve near-perfect standard accuracy while remaining vulnerable to a small coordinatewise perturbation. The adversarial objective instead selects a classifier using the first feature, whose standard and robust accuracies are both ppp. It therefore distinguishes the behavior of the two objectives even without sampling error or a particular training algorithm.

The paper proves these claims informally. The Lean items here compile as definitions and theorem statements with open proofs; they are not yet machine-checked proofs. A completed development would supply the Gaussian probability estimates, optimizer properties, and accuracy calculations needed to close the statements. The law of a pooled Gaussian vector and the relation between ℓ∞\ell_\inftyℓ∞​ perturbations and the ℓ1\ell_1ℓ1​ weight norm are reusable beyond this example.

Difficulty

The first weak feature alone carries little information, but their normalized sum has a strong Gaussian signal. Consequently, reasoning about one coordinate at a time does not determine what the ordinary SVM minimizer predicts. The theorem also concerns every global minimizer with the stipulated norm, so testing a convenient weight vector does not settle it. The stated strict accuracy constants require quantitative Gaussian tails and an optimizer comparison at the specified ppp and η\etaη thresholds. In the adversarial part, the conclusion about accuracy ppp requires more than proving that weak-feature weights vanish: the remaining first-feature coefficient must have the correct sign and be nonzero.

Formalization scope

Lean represents an input as a function on Fin (d+1); index zero is the paper's x1x_1x1​, and index i.succ is xi+2x_{i+2}xi+2​. The function norm is the sup norm, so ∥δ∥≤ε\|\delta\|\le\varepsilon∥δ∥≤ε is exactly the ℓ∞\ell_\inftyℓ∞​ ball. Squared ℓ2\ell_2ℓ2​ norm and ℓ1\ell_1ℓ1​ norm of a weight vector are written as ∑iwi2\sum_iw_i^2∑i​wi2​ and ∑i∣wi∣\sum_i|w_i|∑i​∣wi​∣. The conditional law is a product of the two-point first-feature law and the independent Gaussian weak-feature law, assembled into one input vector. GaussianReal's variance argument is one. Labels and predictions are real ±1\pm1±1, and a zero score is assigned −1-1−1. The tie has probability zero for the nondegenerate classifiers in the theorem.

The robust event can be outside the Borel sigma algebra. Its measure in Lean is an outer measure, agreeing with probability under completion. Gaussian affine hinge functions are integrable; the adversarial hinge has the explicit finite closed form supplied by a milestone when the radius is nonnegative. The supremum is over exactly the admissible perturbations. The mission does not reduce the target to a chosen classifier or assume any of the milestone conclusions as goal hypotheses.

Several hypotheses make implicit conditions or a necessary correction explicit. The condition d≥1d\ge1d≥1 prevents 4/d4/\sqrt d4/d​ from becoming Lean's default value at zero. Appendix D assumes that λ>0\lambda>0λ>0 has been tuned so an ordinary global minimizer has ∥w∗∥2=1\|w^*\|_2=1∥w∗∥2​=1; that is represented directly. Evaluation radii are nonnegative, so their balls are not empty. The upper bound εtr<2p−1\varepsilon_{\mathrm{tr}}<2p-1εtr​<2p−1 is needed for the second claim: for larger training radii the zero vector may minimize the adversarial objective and its constant classifier has accuracy 1/21/21/2, contrary to the printed sentence when p>1/2p>1/2p>1/2. At p=1/2p=1/2p=1/2 that constant classifier has accuracy 1/2=p1/2=p1/2=p, so the case p=1/2p=1/2p=1/2 is kept for every training radius. This correction is disclosed rather than silently attributing it to the paper. Appendix D's displayed maximum outside expectation also differs from equation (2); the formalization follows (2), whose per-sample maximum has the displayed closed form. The paper's proof specializes to η=4/d\eta=4/\sqrt dη=4/d​ although Theorem 2.2 states η≥4/d\eta\ge4/\sqrt dη≥4/d​; the target retains the printed theorem's range.

Selected references

  • Dimitris Tsipras, Shibani Santurkar, Logan Engstrom, Alexander Turner, and Aleksander Mądry, Robustness May Be at Odds with Accuracy, International Conference on Learning Representations, 2019. arXiv:1805.12152v5.
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Graph TheoryMathematical PhysicsProbability·Captain: mikedeng1

Algorithms for #BIS-Hard Problems on Expander Graphs 3: On Almost Every Δ-Regular Bipartite Graph, the Hard-Core Model at λ > 50 log²Δ/Δ Reduces to Two Kotecký–Preiss Polymer ModelsResearch Paper

Motivation

The hard-core model assigns weight to independent vertex sets of a graph. Its partition function counts those sets when the activity is one and weights larger sets more heavily when the activity increases. Counting independent sets on bipartite graphs is a standard benchmark for approximate counting: the general problem is difficult, while random regular graphs have additional expansion that can make approximation possible. Jenssen, Keevash and Perkins prove an approximation and sampling theorem for almost every sufficiently high degree regular bipartite graph when the activity is above an explicit threshold Jenssen–Keevash–Perkins, Theorem 2.

The question is specific to a random graph model. It does not assert the same conclusion for every regular bipartite graph. The authors use a criterion attributed to Bassalygo to show that almost every graph in the model has the expansion needed by their argument Jenssen–Keevash–Perkins, Theorem 22 and Lemma 23. Liao, Lin, Lu and Mao independently obtained related counting results under somewhat stronger parameter conditions Liao–Lin–Lu–Mao, 2019.

Setting

Let GGG be a simple graph with two labelled sides O\mathcal OO and E\mathcal EE, each containing mmm vertices, and let every vertex have degree Δ\DeltaΔ. An independent set III contains no adjacent pair. For activity λ>0\lambda>0λ>0, the hard-core partition function is

ZG(λ)=∑I independentλ∣I∣.Z_G(\lambda)=\sum_{I\text{ independent}}\lambda^{|I|}.ZG​(λ)=I independent∑​λ∣I∣.

For a vertex set SSS, its vertex boundary ∂S\partial S∂S consists of vertices outside SSS with a neighbor in SSS. The graph is a bipartite (σ,ρ)(\sigma,\rho)(σ,ρ)-expander when every subset of either side with size at most σm\sigma mσm has boundary of size at least ρ\rhoρ times its size. The expansion parameters used here are σ=4log⁡Δ/Δ\sigma=4\log\Delta/\Deltaσ=4logΔ/Δ and ρ=Δ/(4log⁡Δ)−1/2\rho=\Delta/(4\log\Delta)-1/2ρ=Δ/(4logΔ)−1/2. A set is tiny when its size is at most σm\sigma mσm Jenssen–Keevash–Perkins, Definition 21 and §4.4.

The graph G2G^2G2 joins distinct vertices whose distance in GGG is at most two. On either side, a polymer is a nonempty, tiny, G2G^2G2-connected vertex set. Two polymers on the same side are compatible if every pair of their vertices is more than distance two apart in GGG. A polymer γ\gammaγ has weight wγ=λ∣γ∣/(1+λ)∣∂γ∣w_\gamma=\lambda^{|\gamma|}/(1+\lambda)^{|\partial\gamma|}wγ​=λ∣γ∣/(1+λ)∣∂γ∣. Summing products of weights over mutually compatible polymer families gives the partition functions ΞE(G)\Xi^{\mathcal E}(G)ΞE(G) and ΞO(G)\Xi^{\mathcal O}(G)ΞO(G) Jenssen–Keevash–Perkins, §§4.1, 4.4.

“Almost every” means that, for fixed Δ\DeltaΔ, the fraction of labelled Δ\DeltaΔ-regular bipartite graphs satisfying a property tends to one as mmm tends to infinity. The random graph is chosen uniformly from graphs on the two fixed sides Jenssen–Keevash–Perkins, p. 3.

Formalization targets

The first target is the authors' expansion premise: for all sufficiently large Δ\DeltaΔ, almost every graph is a bipartite (4log⁡Δ/Δ,Δ/(4log⁡Δ)−1/2)(4\log\Delta/\Delta,\Delta/(4\log\Delta)-1/2)(4logΔ/Δ,Δ/(4logΔ)−1/2)-expander. The main target combines two deterministic claims on almost every such graph. For every λ>50log⁡2Δ/Δ\lambda>50\log^2\Delta/\Deltaλ>50log2Δ/Δ, write n=2mn=2mn=2m and

Z^G(λ)=(1+λ)m(ΞE(G)+ΞO(G)),ε0=(1+λ)−n/4.\widehat Z_G(\lambda)=(1+\lambda)^m\bigl(\Xi^{\mathcal E}(G)+\Xi^{\mathcal O}(G)\bigr),\qquad \varepsilon_0=(1+\lambda)^{-n/4}.ZG​(λ)=(1+λ)m(ΞE(G)+ΞO(G)),ε0​=(1+λ)−n/4.

First, Z^G\widehat Z_GZG​ is an ε0\varepsilon_0ε0​-relative approximation in the paper's exponential convention:

e−ε0Z^G(λ)≤ZG(λ)≤eε0Z^G(λ).e^{-\varepsilon_0}\widehat Z_G(\lambda)\le Z_G(\lambda)\le e^{\varepsilon_0}\widehat Z_G(\lambda).e−ε0​ZG​(λ)≤ZG​(λ)≤eε0​ZG​(λ).

Second, each of the two polymer models obeys the Kotecký–Preiss condition with decay g(γ)=∣γ∣Δlog⁡(1+λ)/(10log⁡Δ)g(\gamma)=|\gamma|\Delta\log(1+\lambda)/(10\log\Delta)g(γ)=∣γ∣Δlog(1+λ)/(10logΔ):

∑γ′ incompatible with γwγ′e∣γ′∣+g(γ′)≤∣γ∣.\sum_{\gamma'\text{ incompatible with }\gamma}w_{\gamma'}e^{|\gamma'|+g(\gamma')}\le |\gamma|.γ′ incompatible with γ∑​wγ′​e∣γ′∣+g(γ′)≤∣γ∣.

The same graph event must support every activity above the threshold; the activity quantifier is inside the limiting probability. The intermediate targets are Bassalygo's entropy criterion, the high probability expansion lemma, the tiny-side lemma for independent sets, the approximation lemma at its weaker activity threshold, a published binomial-entropy estimate, and the per-vertex polymer sum bound Jenssen–Keevash–Perkins, Theorem 22, Lemmas 23–25 and §4.5.

Significance

The reduction expresses a weighted independent-set count through two finite polymer partition functions whose weights decay under the same expansion condition. The KP bound supplies the convergence condition used by the paper's general polymer approximation theorem. Together these are the mathematical inputs to its algorithmic Theorem 2 Jenssen–Keevash–Perkins, Theorems 2, 8.

A formal proof would make the expansion assumptions, distance convention, graph probability limit, and error normalization explicit. The target is a formalization of a published result, not an open conjecture. The proposal contains statements and definitions; their proofs remain to be supplied. The binomial estimate is already machine checked on Prove2Me and is included by reference.

Difficulty

An independent set can occupy vertices on both sides of a bipartite graph. Merely taking one side as the dominant phase double counts sets that are sparse on both sides. The tiny-side lemma and the polymer decomposition identify and control that overlap. The random graph step also requires an expansion estimate strong enough to apply to every small subset of either side, rather than only to a typical subset Jenssen–Keevash–Perkins, §§4.4–4.5.

Formalization scope

Lean uses finite simple graphs on Fin(m)⊕Fin(m)\mathrm{Fin}(m)\oplus\mathrm{Fin}(m)Fin(m)⊕Fin(m), with the left and right summands serving as the odd and even sides. This fixes a labelled bipartition for the uniform random graph model. Distances use extended natural graph distance, so vertices in different components have infinite distance. Polymer families include the empty family, and graph connectivity excludes the empty polymer. Sizes are natural numbers; thresholds involving logarithms are real inequalities. Binary entropy in the cited expansion theorem is measured in bits, while Mathlib's binary entropy is converted from natural units. The approximation uses exponential relative error exactly as in Definition 10 of the paper.

The FPTAS, sampling algorithm, and running-time assertion are outside this mission because Mathlib has no matching machine and cost model. The goal formalizes both the partition-function reduction and its KP condition, the mathematical inputs consumed by the paper's algorithm theorem. It quantifies over all activities above the threshold within the almost-every event, preventing a separate favorable graph set for each activity. The fixed-sides model and the explicit domain of Bassalygo's entropy formula are disclosed representation choices. The tiny-side milestone (Lemma 24) carries a graph-size threshold depending on the degree: as printed, for every graph size, it fails on small dense graphs (the complete bipartite graph minus disjoint complete blocks), and the main result uses it only as the graph size grows. Reusable contributions include finite graph expansion lemmas, polymer partition-function identities, and bounds on connected vertex sets.

Selected references

  • M. Jenssen, P. Keevash and W. Perkins, Algorithms for #BIS-hard problems on expander graphs, SIAM Journal on Computing 49(4), 2020, 681–710. DOI.
  • L. Bassalygo, Asymptotically optimal switching circuits, Problems of Information Transmission 17(3), 1981, 206–211. Publisher record.
  • C. Liao, J. Lin, P. Lu and Z. Mao, Counting independent sets and colorings on random regular bipartite graphs, APPROX/RANDOM, 2019. DOI.
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Algorithmic Game TheoryOptimizationProbability·Captain: mikedeng1

Distributed Algorithms for Aggregative Games on Graphs II: The Gossip Algorithm with Stepsizes 1/Γ_k(i) Converges Almost Surely to the Unique EquilibriumResearch Paper

Motivation

In an aggregative game, each player's cost depends on its own decision and on the sum of all players' decisions. That form appears in resource sharing, production, and network games: a player may know its own choice while lacking a central feed of the aggregate. A distributed algorithm therefore has to estimate the aggregate through local communication as it updates decisions. Koshal, Nedić, and Shanbhag study this setting and give both synchronous and gossip schemes in Distributed Algorithms for Aggregative Games on Graphs. This mission concerns their asynchronous scheme, in which a random pair communicates at each tick.

The question is whether irregular, local updates still find the game's equilibrium when no agent knows in advance how often it will be selected. Each agent uses its own update count to set its step length. The paper's Proposition 3 states almost-sure convergence under strict monotonicity, compact strategy sets, and a connected graph. The result is a convergence claim about the complete random process, including who wakes, whom they contact, which estimate they exchange, and which projected step they take.

Setting

There are N≥1N\ge1N≥1 agents. Agent iii chooses xi∈Ki⊆Rnx_i\in K_i\subseteq\mathbb R^nxi​∈Ki​⊆Rn, with KiK_iKi​ nonempty, compact, and convex. A strategy profile is x=(x1,…,xN)x=(x_1,\ldots,x_N)x=(x1​,…,xN​) in K=∏iKiK=\prod_i K_iK=∏i​Ki​, and its aggregate is xˉ=∑ixi\bar x=\sum_i x_ixˉ=∑i​xi​. The map Fi(xi,u)F_i(x_i,u)Fi​(xi​,u) is the player's first-order response when its own decision is xix_ixi​ and its aggregate argument is uuu. The game map is ϕi(x)=Fi(xi,xˉ)\phi_i(x)=F_i(x_i,\bar x)ϕi​(x)=Fi​(xi​,xˉ). A solution x∗x^*x∗ of the variational inequality VI(K,ϕ)\mathrm{VI}(K,\phi)VI(K,ϕ) is feasible and satisfies

∑i⟨xi−xi∗,ϕi(x∗)⟩≥0for every x∈K.\sum_i\langle x_i-x_i^*,\phi_i(x^*)\rangle\ge0 \quad\text{for every }x\in K.i∑​⟨xi​−xi∗​,ϕi​(x∗)⟩≥0for every x∈K.

The paper obtains FiF_iFi​ from differentiable convex player costs, making VI solutions Nash equilibria. The formal statements take FiF_iFi​ as the primitive map used by the algorithm. Strict monotonicity means ∑i⟨ϕi(x)−ϕi(y),xi−yi⟩>0\sum_i\langle\phi_i(x)-\phi_i(y),x_i-y_i\rangle>0∑i​⟨ϕi​(x)−ϕi​(y),xi​−yi​⟩>0 for different feasible profiles x,yx,yx,y. Along with continuity and compact convex strategy sets, it makes the VI solution unique. The paper's Assumptions 1–3 also impose a uniform Lipschitz bound on how Fi(xi,u)F_i(x_i,u)Fi​(xi​,u) changes with uuu.

Agents occupy a connected, undirected graph. At a discrete tick kkk, a uniformly selected agent IkI^kIk contacts a neighbour JkJ^kJk with probability pIkJk>0p_{I^kJ^k}>0pIkJk​>0 on every edge. The ordered pairs are independent across ticks. Each agent maintains an aggregate estimate vikv_i^kvik​; the selected pair average their estimates to form v^ik\hat v_i^kv^ik​. Those agents take a projected step using Fi(xik,Nv^ik)F_i(x_i^k,N\hat v_i^k)Fi​(xik​,Nv^ik​) and then add their decision change to the estimate. Other agents retain their decisions and estimates. Initially vi0=xi0v_i^0=x_i^0vi0​=xi0​. The number Γk(i)\Gamma_k(i)Γk​(i) counts agent iii's updates through tick kkk, and its step length at an update is αk,i=1/Γk(i)\alpha_{k,i}=1/\Gamma_k(i)αk,i​=1/Γk​(i). Equations (23)–(29) of the paper define these operations.

Formalization targets

Goal: almost-sure equilibrium convergence

Under Assumptions 1–3 and connectedness of the gossip graph, Proposition 3 asserts that there is a unique x∗x^*x∗ solving VI(K,ϕ)\mathrm{VI}(K,\phi)VI(K,ϕ) and that the generated process satisfies

Pr⁡(lim⁡k→∞xk=x∗)=1.\Pr\bigl(\lim_{k\to\infty}x^k=x^*\bigr)=1.Pr(k→∞lim​xk=x∗)=1.

The goal includes existence and uniqueness of x∗x^*x∗, rather than conditioning convergence on a possibly nonexistent solution. Its random draws have the rate-one-clock law: Pr⁡(Ik=i,Jk=j)=pij/N\Pr(I^k=i,J^k=j)=p_{ij}/NPr(Ik=i,Jk=j)=pij​/N.

Milestones

The five milestones record the VI's unique solution from the proof of Proposition 1, conservation of the agents' average estimate in Lemma 2, the almost-sure stepsize bounds of Lemma 7, their summability consequences in Corollary 1, and the mean-square gossip contraction in relations (30)–(31). They cover the equilibrium, tracking, step length, and network-mixing parts of the claim. Their source wording, indices, and PDF pages are attached to the mission items.

Significance

The result shows that a shared aggregate can be learned well enough through pairwise, random exchanges to reach the same equilibrium characterized by the centralized VI. Update counts permit agents to choose diminishing steps without a common iteration clock or a schedule ensuring equal participation on each finite interval. Connectedness and positive contact probabilities ensure every graph edge can carry information. The convergence assertion is almost sure, so it concerns individual sample paths outside a null set, rather than merely an average error.

Formalizing the result would connect finite graph gossip, random update counts, projected VI iteration, and almost-sure convergence in one reusable development. The paper proves Proposition 3; this mission supplies an open machine-checked target, not a claim that the result is unresolved mathematically. A proof would need honest probability statements for the draw law and summability and a projection interface that does not assign arbitrary values on empty sets. The VI existence and uniqueness milestone can also serve other compact, strictly monotone games.

Difficulty

Pairwise averaging preserves the mean estimate, but it does not make each agent's estimate equal to that mean at every step. A projected decision change immediately perturbs the local estimate again. The selected agents and their step lengths also depend on the same update history, so deterministic simultaneous-update arguments do not directly apply. The paper controls this interaction using update-count asymptotics, contraction of the random gossip matrix, and almost-sure summability. None of those conclusions follows from connectedness alone if a nominal edge has zero contact probability.

Formalization scope

Lean represents each decision in EuclideanSpace ℝ (Fin n) and profiles as functions on Fin N. The aggregate is a finite sum. A projection is the relation saying that the selected point lies in its set and minimizes Euclidean distance, rather than a total function with an arbitrary output on an empty set. The profile topology used for convergence is the finite product topology. For vectors indexed by agents, relations (30)–(31) use the explicit Euclidean coordinate norm; the default norm of Fin N → ℝ is a sup norm.

The continuous-time Poisson clocks are encoded through their induced independent discrete tick pairs and exact joint law. Initial decisions are fixed and feasible. The source allows random initial decisions; the formal goal covers every deterministic start. This restriction is recorded because the paper's stated random initialization would require an explicit independence relation with future clock draws. Tick indices start at zero in Lean; a selected agent has Γk(i)≥1\Gamma_k(i)\ge1Γk​(i)≥1, so the value assigned to 1/01/01/0 never drives an update. The positive-time series and bounds still begin at k=1k=1k=1.

The paper gives the Lipschitz condition on aggregate arguments only in the feasible aggregate set Kˉ\bar KKˉ. Its algorithm can evaluate FiF_iFi​ outside that set, as its own footnote acknowledges. This development explicitly extends that condition to all of Rn\mathbb R^nRn to make those evaluations controlled. The change is substantive and disclosed on each affected item; the preprint's Lemma 3 proof contains the corresponding domain gap. The goal assumes neither the stepsize estimates nor the network contraction nor convergence of the estimate errors; they remain mathematical work. Further contributions may formalize the omitted intermediate lemmas, or refine the initialization and domain assumptions while preserving a meaningful statement.

Selected references

  • J. Koshal, A. Nedić, and U. V. Shanbhag, Distributed Algorithms for Aggregative Games on Graphs, Operations Research 64(3), 680–704, 2016. arXiv:1605.00267v2; DOI:10.1287/opre.2016.1501.
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ProbabilityStatisticsStochastic Systems·Captain: mikedeng1

Limit Theorems for Nearly Unstable Hawkes Processes 3: The Nearly Unstable Hawkes-Based Price Model Converges in Law to a Heston-Type ProcessResearch Paper

Why prices built from self-exciting order flow

High-frequency prices move by discrete ticks, and successive moves are strongly correlated: an upward tick tends to be followed by a downward one. Bacry, Delattre, Hoffmann and Muzy (BDHM12, BDHM13b) proposed to model the upward and downward price jumps as the two components of a bidimensional Hawkes process, a pair of counting processes in which every event raises the rate of future events of both kinds. In this model the price is the difference N+−N−N^{+}-N^{-}N+−N−, and its microstructure features (discreteness, negative autocorrelation of increments) are built in. Under the stability condition ∫ϕ1+∫ϕ2<1\int\phi_1+\int\phi_2<1∫ϕ1​+∫ϕ2​<1 on the excitation kernels, the price rescaled over long horizons converges to a Brownian motion with a constant volatility BDHM12.

Empirical calibrations of Hawkes models on financial data, however, find kernel norms (branching ratios) very close to the critical value 111 (HBB13, FS12). Jaisson and Rosenbaum (JR15) study exactly this regime: a sequence of models whose stability condition is almost violated, observed over a time horizon of the right order. Their Theorem 3.1 shows that the rescaled price then converges to a Heston-type process, a Brownian motion time-changed by a Cox–Ingersoll–Ross (CIR) variance. This gives a microstructural foundation for stochastic volatility models of Heston type Hes93, which are standard in option pricing.

Setting

Fix μ>0\mu>0μ>0 and two nonnegative measurable kernels ϕ1,ϕ2\phi_1,\phi_2ϕ1​,ϕ2​ on R+\mathbb R_+R+​ with ∫0∞(ϕ1+ϕ2)=1\int_0^\infty(\phi_1+\phi_2)=1∫0∞​(ϕ1​+ϕ2​)=1, finite mean m=∫0∞s(ϕ1+ϕ2)(s) dsm=\int_0^\infty s(\phi_1+\phi_2)(s)\,dsm=∫0∞​s(ϕ1​+ϕ2​)(s)ds, ϕ2\phi_2ϕ2​ nonzero on a set of positive measure, and differentiable with bounded integrable derivatives (Assumption 3). Let (aT)(a_T)(aT​) be positive numbers with aT<1a_T<1aT​<1, aT→1a_T\to1aT​→1, and set ϕiT=aTϕi\phi^T_i=a_T\phi_iϕiT​=aT​ϕi​.

For each observation horizon TTT (along a sequence T→∞T\to\inftyT→∞), the bidimensional Hawkes process (NT+,NT−)(N^{T+},N^{T-})(NT+,NT−) is a pair of counting processes started at 000, with unit jumps and no common jumps, whose intensities with respect to their joint history are

λtT+=μ+∫0tϕ1T(t−s) dNsT++∫0tϕ2T(t−s) dNsT−,λtT−=μ+∫0tϕ2T(t−s) dNsT++∫0tϕ1T(t−s) dNsT−.\lambda^{T+}_t=\mu+\int_0^t\phi^T_1(t-s)\,dN^{T+}_s+\int_0^t\phi^T_2(t-s)\,dN^{T-}_s,\qquad \lambda^{T-}_t=\mu+\int_0^t\phi^T_2(t-s)\,dN^{T+}_s+\int_0^t\phi^T_1(t-s)\,dN^{T-}_s .λtT+​=μ+∫0t​ϕ1T​(t−s)dNsT+​+∫0t​ϕ2T​(t−s)dNsT−​,λtT−​=μ+∫0t​ϕ2T​(t−s)dNsT+​+∫0t​ϕ1T​(t−s)dNsT−​.

"Intensity" means: for 0≤a<b≤T0\le a<b\le T0≤a<b≤T and every event AAA of the history up to time aaa, E[(NbT±−NaT±)1A]=E[∫abλsT±1A ds]\mathbb E[(N^{T\pm}_b-N^{T\pm}_a)\mathbf 1_A]=\mathbb E[\int_a^b\lambda^{T\pm}_s\mathbf 1_A\,ds]E[(NbT±​−NaT±​)1A​]=E[∫ab​λsT±​1A​ds].

The renormalized price is

PtT=1T(NTtT+−NTtT−),t∈[0,1].P^T_t=\frac1T\big(N^{T+}_{Tt}-N^{T-}_{Tt}\big),\qquad t\in[0,1].PtT​=T1​(NTtT+​−NTtT−​),t∈[0,1].

Two further conditions fix the regime. Display (3): T(1−aT)→λT(1-a_T)\to\lambdaT(1−aT​)→λ for some λ>0\lambda>0λ>0. Assumption 4: with ψ+T=∑k≥1(aT(ϕ1+ϕ2))∗k\psi^T_+=\sum_{k\ge1}(a_T(\phi_1+\phi_2))^{*k}ψ+T​=∑k≥1​(aT​(ϕ1​+ϕ2​))∗k and ρT(x)=Tψ+T(Tx)/∥ψ+T∥1\rho^T(x)=T\psi^T_+(Tx)/\|\psi^T_+\|_1ρT(x)=Tψ+T​(Tx)/∥ψ+T​∥1​, there is KρK_\rhoKρ​ with ∣ρT(x)∣≤Kρ|\rho^T(x)|\le K_\rho∣ρT(x)∣≤Kρ​ for all x≥0x\ge0x≥0 and all TTT. Write ϕ=ϕ1−ϕ2\phi=\phi_1-\phi_2ϕ=ϕ1​−ϕ2​ and ∥ϕ∥1=∫0∞(ϕ1−ϕ2)\|\phi\|_1=\int_0^\infty(\phi_1-\phi_2)∥ϕ∥1​=∫0∞​(ϕ1​−ϕ2​).

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem 3.1

Under (3) and Assumptions 3 and 4, PTP^TPT converges in law, for the Skorohod topology on [0,1][0,1][0,1], to the process PPP defined by

dCt=(2μλ−Ct)λm dt+1mCt dBt1,C0=0,dPt=11−∥ϕ∥1Ct dBt2,P0=0,dC_t=\Big(\frac{2\mu}{\lambda}-C_t\Big)\frac{\lambda}{m}\,dt+\frac1m\sqrt{C_t}\,dB^1_t,\quad C_0=0,\qquad dP_t=\frac{1}{1-\|\phi\|_1}\sqrt{C_t}\,dB^2_t,\quad P_0=0,dCt​=(λ2μ​−Ct​)mλ​dt+m1​Ct​​dBt1​,C0​=0,dPt​=1−∥ϕ∥1​1​Ct​​dBt2​,P0​=0,

with (B1,B2)(B^1,B^2)(B1,B2) a two-dimensional Brownian motion. The goal asserts that this system has a solution and that PTP^TPT converges in law to the PPP-coordinate of every solution.

Milestones

In the order of the proof (§4.4):

  1. Display (11): NtT+−NtT−=∫0t(1+ΨT(t−u))(dMuT+−dMuT−)N^{T+}_t-N^{T-}_t=\int_0^t(1+\Psi^T(t-u))(dM^{T+}_u-dM^{T-}_u)NtT+​−NtT−​=∫0t​(1+ΨT(t−u))(dMuT+​−dMuT−​), with ψT\psi^TψT the resolvent of ϕ1T−ϕ2T\phi^T_1-\phi^T_2ϕ1T​−ϕ2T​, ΨT(x)=∫0xψT\Psi^T(x)=\int_0^x\psi^TΨT(x)=∫0x​ψT and MT±M^{T\pm}MT± the compensated counting processes.
  2. Lemma 4.12: XsT=(λsTT+−λsTT−)/T→0X^T_s=(\lambda^{T+}_{sT}-\lambda^{T-}_{sT})/T\to0XsT​=(λsTT+​−λsTT−​)/T→0 uniformly in probability on [0,1][0,1][0,1].
  3. Lemma 4.13: the brackets of (B1)T=∫0⋅TdMT++dMT−T(λT++λT−)(B^1)^T=\int_0^{\cdot T}\frac{dM^{T+}+dM^{T-}}{\sqrt{T(\lambda^{T+}+\lambda^{T-})}}(B1)T=∫0⋅T​T(λT++λT−)​dMT++dMT−​ and (B2)T(B^2)^T(B2)T (same with dMT+−dMT−dM^{T+}-dM^{T-}dMT+−dMT−) satisfy [(Bi)T,(Bj)T]t→t1i=j[(B^i)^T,(B^j)^T]_t\to t\mathbf 1_{i=j}[(Bi)T,(Bj)T]t​→t1i=j​ in probability.
  4. Lemma 4.14: ((B1)T,(B2)T)⇒(B1,B2)((B^1)^T,(B^2)^T)\Rightarrow(B^1,B^2)((B1)T,(B2)T)⇒(B1,B2) jointly.
  5. Lemma 4.15: (CT,(B2)T)⇒(C,B2)(C^T,(B^2)^T)\Rightarrow(C,B^2)(CT,(B2)T)⇒(C,B2) jointly, with CtT=(λtTT++λtTT−)/TC^T_t=(\lambda^{T+}_{tT}+\lambda^{T-}_{tT})/TCtT​=(λtTT+​+λtTT−​)/T, CCC the CIR process above and B2B^2B2 independent of CCC.
  6. Lemma 4.16: RtT=∫0t∫T(t−u)∞ψT d(M‾uT+−M‾uT−)→0R^T_t=\int_0^t\int_{T(t-u)}^\infty\psi^T\,d(\overline M^{T+}_u-\overline M^{T-}_u)\to0RtT​=∫0t​∫T(t−u)∞​ψTd(MuT+​−MuT−​)→0 u.c.p.
  7. Lemma 4.17: ∫0∞∫x∞ϕi(s) ds dx<∞\int_0^\infty\int_x^\infty\phi_i(s)\,ds\,dx<\infty∫0∞​∫x∞​ϕi​(s)dsdx<∞.
  8. The Step 6 decomposition of PtTP^T_tPtT​ into a multiple of M‾tT+−M‾tT−\overline M^{T+}_t-\overline M^{T-}_tMtT+​−MtT−​, minus RtTR^T_tRtT​, minus a vanishing multiple of M‾tT+−M‾tT−\overline M^{T+}_t-\overline M^{T-}_tMtT+​−MtT−​.

Significance

The theorem identifies the scaling limit of a microstructure price model at near-criticality, and the limit is not a Brownian motion with constant volatility but a stochastic-volatility process: the variance CCC is itself a CIR diffusion driven by a Brownian motion independent of the one driving the price. It explains, from the order-flow level, why Heston-type dynamics arise at macroscopic scales, and it identifies which features of the microscopic excitation survive in the macroscopic volatility and price diffusion.

The result is proved in the paper; nothing about it is open. It has not been formalized. A machine-checked version would formalize a complete scaling-limit argument for point processes: the resolvent calculus of Hawkes processes, the martingale central limit theorem for pure-jump martingales, joint Skorohod convergence, and the identification of the limit of stochastic integrals. Each of these is reusable well beyond this paper.

Difficulty

The price is a difference of two processes whose sum is nearly unstable. One might expect the CIR limit of the one-dimensional case (Theorem 2.2 of the same paper, applied to NT++NT−N^{T+}+N^{T-}NT++NT−) to give the result directly. It does not: the price is driven by the difference of the martingales, with a volatility that depends on the sum of the intensities, and the limit requires the joint convergence of the variance proxy CTC^TCT and the price martingale (B2)T(B^2)^T(B2)T, with one time change for both coordinates. Marginal convergence of each coordinate is not enough to pass to the limit in ∫CT d(B2)T\int\sqrt{C^T}\,d(B^2)^T∫CT​d(B2)T. Joint convergence in turn needs the cross-bracket of (B1)T(B^1)^T(B1)T and (B2)T(B^2)^T(B2)T to vanish, which depends on the imbalance XTX^TXT being negligible (Lemma 4.12), and the zero set of the CIR process having Lebesgue measure zero. The signed kernel ϕ1−ϕ2\phi_1-\phi_2ϕ1​−ϕ2​ produces a signed resolvent, for which the positivity arguments of the one-dimensional case are unavailable.

Formalization scope

  • Asymptotics. TTT runs along a sequence Tn→∞T_n\to\inftyTn​→∞; each Hawkes pair lives on its own probability space.
  • Hawkes pair. Time is real with all conditions imposed for t≥0t\ge0t≥0; NT±N^{T\pm}NT± are N\mathbb NN-valued, nondecreasing, right-continuous, with unit jumps and no common jumps. The filtration is the joint natural filtration. The intensity identity is stated with lower Lebesgue integrals in [0,∞][0,\infty][0,∞], so no integrability is assumed silently. The intensity counts jumps at s≤ts\le ts≤t (cadlag); inside stochastic integrands ((Bi)T(B^i)^T(Bi)T, brackets) its left limit is used.
  • Integrals. Integrals against dNdNdN and dMdMdM have deterministic or predictable integrands and are written pathwise, as sums over jump times minus Lebesgue integrals. Brackets are sums of products of jumps.
  • ∥ϕ∥1\|\phi\|_1∥ϕ∥1​ is the signed integral ∫(ϕ1−ϕ2)\int(\phi_1-\phi_2)∫(ϕ1​−ϕ2​), the value the proof uses (Step 6, p. 31). It coincides with the L1L^1L1 norm when ϕ1≥ϕ2\phi_1\ge\phi_2ϕ1​≥ϕ2​; reading it as ∫∣ϕ1−ϕ2∣\int|\phi_1-\phi_2|∫∣ϕ1​−ϕ2​∣ would give a different limit when ϕ1−ϕ2\phi_1-\phi_2ϕ1​−ϕ2​ changes sign.
  • Convergence in law for the Skorohod topology on [0,1][0,1][0,1] is stated in coupling form (copies of the laws converging almost surely in D[0,1]D[0,1]D[0,1]), equivalent to weak convergence on the Polish space D[0,1]D[0,1]D[0,1]. Joint statements use R2\mathbb R^2R2-valued paths with one time change.
  • Limit SDEs use the published Ethier–Kurtz substrate (EthierKurtz.SolvesBrownianSDE, IsStandardBrownian, state space R2\mathbb R^2R2): strong solutions, global in time, restricted to [0,1][0,1][0,1]. "The process defined by" the system is encoded as existence of a solution plus convergence to every solution.

The formalization rules out the trivializing readings: the Hawkes predicate follows p. 5 clause by clause and is satisfied by a pair of independent Poisson processes when ϕi≡0\phi_i\equiv0ϕi​≡0, so it is not vacuous; the kernels are ϕiT=aTϕi\phi^T_i=a_T\phi_iϕiT​=aT​ϕi​, not ϕi\phi_iϕi​; the limit is pinned by its equation, its coefficients and its initial value, not "some process"; and the convergence is in the Skorohod topology, not of finite-dimensional laws only.

Needed infrastructure: convolution powers and resolvents on R+\mathbb R_+R+​, pathwise Stieltjes integrals against counting processes, the martingale property of compensated Hawkes processes, a martingale functional CLT for pure-jump martingales, Skorohod-topology tools on D[0,1]D[0,1]D[0,1], and convergence of stochastic integrals under joint convergence. The one-dimensional CIR limit (mission 2 of this series) is used inside Lemma 4.15; the definitions are restated here. The martingale functional CLT used for Lemma 4.14 is Theorem VIII.3.11 of Jacod and Shiryaev (1987), as cited in JR15. Contributions to any milestone, or to reusable lemmas they need, are welcome.

Selected references

  • [JR15] T. Jaisson, M. Rosenbaum, Limit theorems for nearly unstable Hawkes processes, Ann. Appl. Probab. 25(2):600–631, 2015. arXiv:1310.2033v2, https://arxiv.org/abs/1310.2033 ; https://doi.org/10.1214/14-AAP1005
  • [BDHM12] E. Bacry, S. Delattre, M. Hoffmann, J.-F. Muzy, Scaling limits for Hawkes processes and application to financial statistics, preprint, 2012. https://arxiv.org/abs/1202.0842
  • [BDHM13b] E. Bacry, S. Delattre, M. Hoffmann, J.-F. Muzy, Modelling microstructure noise with mutually exciting point processes, Quant. Finance 13(1):65–77, 2013. https://doi.org/10.1080/14697688.2011.647054
  • [HBB13] S. J. Hardiman, N. Bercot, J.-P. Bouchaud, Critical reflexivity in financial markets: a Hawkes process analysis, preprint, 2013. https://arxiv.org/abs/1302.1405
  • [FS12] V. Filimonov, D. Sornette, Quantifying reflexivity in financial markets: toward a prediction of flash crashes, Phys. Rev. E 85:056108, 2012. https://doi.org/10.1103/PhysRevE.85.056108
  • [Hes93] S. L. Heston, A closed-form solution for options with stochastic volatility with applications to bond and currency options, Rev. Financ. Stud. 6(2):327–343, 1993. https://doi.org/10.1093/rfs/6.2.327
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Algorithmic Game TheoryOperations ResearchOptimization·Captain: mikedeng1

Distributed Algorithms for Aggregative Games on Graphs I: Synchronous Aggregate-Tracking Projected Gradients on Time-Varying Graphs Converge to the Unique EquilibriumResearch Paper

Motivation

In an aggregative game, a player's cost depends on its own decision and on a summary of all players' decisions. An electricity producer, for example, may choose its output while the market price depends on total output. When players communicate only with neighbours, each player must estimate the aggregate before making an update. Koshal, Nedić, and Shanbhag study this setting with communication links that can change over time, and prove convergence of a synchronous algorithm using only local messages Koshal–Nedić–Shanbhag, 2016.

The mission targets Proposition 2 of the pinned preprint. It treats the algorithm itself as a mathematical object: the claim must hold for every sequence satisfying its graph, weight, stepsize, and projected update conditions. The result addresses a concrete information constraint. Players cannot read the true aggregate while the algorithm runs; they have individual estimates constructed from their neighbours' estimates.

Setting

There are N≥1N\ge1N≥1 players. Player iii chooses xi∈Ki⊆Rnx_i\in K_i\subseteq\mathbb R^nxi​∈Ki​⊆Rn, with each KiK_iKi​ nonempty, compact, and convex. Write x=(xi)ix=(x_i)_ix=(xi​)i​, K=∏iKiK=\prod_i K_iK=∏i​Ki​, and xˉ=∑ixi\bar x=\sum_i x_ixˉ=∑i​xi​. The attainable aggregate set is Kˉ={∑ixi:x∈K}\bar K=\{\sum_i x_i:x\in K\}Kˉ={∑i​xi​:x∈K}. A map Fi(xi,u)F_i(x_i,u)Fi​(xi​,u) gives the component of the game's gradient field at player iii's decision and aggregate argument uuu. Its profile field is ϕi(x)=Fi(xi,xˉ)\phi_i(x)=F_i(x_i,\bar x)ϕi​(x)=Fi​(xi​,xˉ).

The target point is a solution of the variational inequality VI⁡(K,ϕ)\operatorname{VI}(K,\phi)VI(K,ϕ): it belongs to KKK and satisfies

∑i=1N(xi−xi∗)⊤ϕi(x∗)≥0for every x∈K.\sum_{i=1}^N (x_i-x_i^*)^\top\phi_i(x^*)\ge0\qquad\text{for every }x\in K.i=1∑N​(xi​−xi∗​)⊤ϕi​(x∗)≥0for every x∈K.

The paper obtains this field from differentiable player costs. The convergence theorem is stated for the field and the VI, while the connection to a Nash equilibrium is established separately in Proposition 1 Koshal–Nedić–Shanbhag, pp. 4–6. Strict monotonicity of ϕ\phiϕ on KKK says that (ϕ(x)−ϕ(x′))⊤(x−x′)>0(\phi(x)-\phi(x'))^\top(x-x')>0(ϕ(x)−ϕ(x′))⊤(x−x′)>0 whenever feasible x≠x′x\ne x'x=x′. Together with compactness and continuity, this yields the unique VI solution used in the target.

At time kkk, player iii keeps a decision xikx_i^kxik​ and an estimate vikv_i^kvik​ of the average decision, initially vi0=xi0v_i^0=x_i^0vi0​=xi0​. A matrix W(k)=(wij(k))W(k)=(w_{ij}(k))W(k)=(wij​(k)) mixes estimates along an undirected communication graph. Each row and column of W(k)W(k)W(k) sums to one; non-neighbours receive zero weight, while every neighbour and the player itself receive at least δ>0\delta>0δ>0. The union of the communication graphs over any Q≥1Q\ge1Q≥1 consecutive times is connected. The local aligned estimate and the two updates are

v^ik=∑jwij(k)vjk,xik+1=ΠKi[xik−αkFi(xik,Nv^ik)],vik+1=v^ik+xik+1−xik.\hat v_i^k=\sum_j w_{ij}(k)v_j^k,\qquad x_i^{k+1}=\Pi_{K_i}\bigl[x_i^k-\alpha_k F_i(x_i^k,N\hat v_i^k)\bigr],\qquad v_i^{k+1}=\hat v_i^k+x_i^{k+1}-x_i^k.v^ik​=j∑​wij​(k)vjk​,xik+1​=ΠKi​​[xik​−αk​Fi​(xik​,Nv^ik​)],vik+1​=v^ik​+xik+1​−xik​.

Here ΠKi\Pi_{K_i}ΠKi​​ denotes Euclidean nearest-point projection. The stepsizes αk\alpha_kαk​ decrease, their sum diverges to +∞+\infty+∞, and their squares are summable. The paper calls these graph, weight, and stepsize conditions Assumptions 4–6 Koshal–Nedić–Shanbhag, pp. 7–9.

Formalization targets

Unique VI solution

The first milestone makes the existence and uniqueness statement used in the proof explicit:

∃!x∗∈K:(x−x∗)⊤ϕ(x∗)≥0for all x∈K.\exists!x^*\in K:\quad(x-x^*)^\top\phi(x^*)\ge0\quad\text{for all }x\in K.∃!x∗∈K:(x−x∗)⊤ϕ(x∗)≥0for all x∈K.

The other milestones follow the paper's numbered Lemmas 1–4 and 6 and its displayed relations (19)–(20). They state that the mean of the players' estimates is the true mean decision, that the matrix products mix geometrically, that the relevant gradients and estimate errors are controlled, and that the weighted estimate errors have finite total sum Koshal–Nedić–Shanbhag, pp. 9–14.

Proposition 2

For every synchronous run under Assumptions 1–6, the goal asserts both a unique VI solution and convergence of the whole decision sequence:

∃!x∗∈K solving VI⁡(K,ϕ),xk⟶x∗.\exists!x^*\in K\text{ solving }\operatorname{VI}(K,\phi), \qquad x^k\longrightarrow x^*.∃!x∗∈K solving VI(K,ϕ),xk⟶x∗.

The target is a qualitative convergence result. It does not prescribe a convergence rate for xkx^kxk Koshal–Nedić–Shanbhag, Proposition 2, p. 13.

Significance

The theorem says that local estimate mixing is sufficient for every player's projected gradient decision to approach the same equilibrium, even when the communication graph changes, provided connectivity recurs within a fixed window. The result gives a precise condition under which access to the aggregate can be replaced by neighbour messages. Its milestone on the matrix products supplies an explicit estimate for how information spreads; the summability milestones connect that estimate to the optimization error.

The paper contains a mathematical proof, but this mission's Lean declarations are open statements with sorry bodies. A completed formalization would turn the paper's VI existence, mixing, projection, and convergence arguments into individually reusable verified results. The general product-set VI and nearest-point relation are separated from the paper's particular synchronous model so later developments can use them without importing graph-specific definitions.

Difficulty

The obvious single-agent projected-gradient argument assumes each update uses Fi(xik,xˉk)F_i(x_i^k,\bar x^k)Fi​(xik​,xˉk). Here it uses Fi(xik,Nv^ik)F_i(x_i^k,N\hat v_i^k)Fi​(xik​,Nv^ik​) instead, and the estimate errors depend on a changing product of weight matrices. Connectivity of each individual graph is not assumed, so a one-step contraction statement is unavailable. The proof must control time-varying mixing and accumulate its error without losing convergence. Strict monotonicity then identifies the limit, but it does not by itself bound the transient disagreement.

The printed hypotheses also leave a domain issue. The algorithm evaluates FiF_iFi​ at Nv^ikN\hat v_i^kNv^ik​, which need not lie in Kˉ\bar KKˉ; the paper's footnote on p. 10 acknowledges that v^ik\hat v_i^kv^ik​ may leave its apparent feasible aggregate region. The printed Lipschitz condition covers only Kˉ\bar KKˉ, so the target explicitly requires it for all aggregate arguments. The printed Lemma 3 also gives only unit column sums, which allow arbitrarily large negative and positive entries; its mission item carries the graph and positive-weight assumptions needed for the bound. These changes are recorded in the item notes and in the source analysis Koshal–Nedić–Shanbhag, pp. 7–10.

Formalization scope

Decisions live in EuclideanSpace ℝ (Fin n) and players in Fin N; Lean player zero is the paper's player one. A profile is a finite function, and its squared Euclidean norm is the sum of the squared norms of its blocks. The conclusion uses the equivalent finite product topology. The variational inequality's inner product is written as a sum over players, avoiding the sup norm carried by a Lean function space. Graphs are undirected SimpleGraphs; self-neighbours are included explicitly. The product Φ(k,s)\Phi(k,s)Φ(k,s) places the newest matrix on the left. Projection is a relation requiring a genuine nearest point in KiK_iKi​, rather than a total function with an arbitrary value on an empty set.

The target fixes N≥1N\ge1N≥1, δ>0\delta>0δ>0, and nonempty KiK_iKi​. It uses continuity of FiF_iFi​ on Ki×KˉK_i\times\bar KKi​×Kˉ as the field-level part of Assumption 1, and the extended all-Rn\mathbb R^nRn form of Assumption 3 stated above. The stepsize sum is represented by partial sums tending to +∞+\infty+∞, and ∑kαk2<∞\sum_k\alpha_k^2<\infty∑k​αk2​<∞ by summability. Existence and uniqueness are part of the goal conclusion; no bound on the gradients or summability of the estimate error is assumed by the goal. A complete development needs reusable compact-product VI existence, Euclidean projection facts, matrix-product mixing for changing graphs, finite-dimensional norm estimates, and real-series convergence. Contributions proving these milestones and their intermediate lemmas are welcome.

Selected references

  • J. Koshal, A. Nedić, U. V. Shanbhag, Distributed Algorithms for Aggregative Games on Graphs, Operations Research 64(3):680–704, 2016. arXiv:1605.00267v2; DOI:10.1287/opre.2016.1501. This mission cites the pinned arXiv page indices.
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AnalysisConvex OptimizationDynamical Systems+1·Captain: mikedeng1

A Differential Equation for Modeling Nesterov's Accelerated Gradient Method: Theory and Insights I: The ODE Ẍ + (3/t)Ẋ + ∇f(X) = 0 with X(0) = x₀, Ẋ(0) = 0 Has a Unique Global SolutionResearch Paper

Why this ODE needs a well-posedness theorem

Nesterov’s accelerated gradient method is a discrete procedure for minimizing a smooth convex function. Its iterates use both a gradient step and a momentum term, so the position at the next step depends on recent motion as well as on the current gradient. Su, Boyd, and Candès study a continuous-time model of that behavior: a trajectory whose acceleration is driven by the negative gradient and opposed by a time-dependent damping term. The model is useful only if its prescribed starting point determines an actual trajectory. The first theorem of the paper supplies that guarantee for the damping coefficient 3/t3/t3/t. Su, Boyd, and Candès, 2015, Theorem 1.

The coefficient 3/t3/t3/t is undefined at the stated initial time t=0t=0t=0. Standard results for differential equations with a continuous right-hand side at the initial time therefore cannot be applied directly. The existence and uniqueness claim is substantive: it makes the trajectory used in the paper’s later rate and restart theorems a defined mathematical object, including its behavior at the singular endpoint. The source proves the result; this mission asks for a machine-checked formalization of its statement and its supporting appendix lemmas.

The setting

Fix a dimension nnn, a starting point x0∈Rnx_0\in\mathbb R^nx0​∈Rn, and a real-valued objective fff. For a constant L>0L>0L>0, the paper’s class FL\mathcal F_LFL​ consists of functions that are convex, continuously differentiable, and have an LLL-Lipschitz gradient:

∥∇f(x)−∇f(y)∥≤L∥x−y∥for all x,y∈Rn.\|\nabla f(x)-\nabla f(y)\|\le L\|x-y\| \qquad\text{for all }x,y\in\mathbb R^n.∥∇f(x)−∇f(y)∥≤L∥x−y∥for all x,y∈Rn.

The larger class F∞\mathcal F_\inftyF∞​ is the union of these classes over positive LLL. In particular, the objective need not be strongly convex and need not have a minimizer for this mission.

A solution is a position X:[0,∞)→RnX:[0,\infty)\to\mathbb R^nX:[0,∞)→Rn and its velocity V=X˙V=\dot XV=X˙, starting at X(0)=x0X(0)=x_0X(0)=x0​ and V(0)=0V(0)=0V(0)=0, that satisfy equation (3) at every positive time:

V˙(t)+3tV(t)+∇f(X(t))=0,t>0.\dot V(t)+\frac{3}{t}V(t)+\nabla f(X(t))=0,\qquad t>0.V˙(t)+t3​V(t)+∇f(X(t))=0,t>0.

The trajectory is continuously differentiable through the initial endpoint, with a right derivative there, and twice continuously differentiable for t>0t>0t>0. The paper also uses a smoothed equation indexed by δ>0\delta>0δ>0, replacing 3/t3/t3/t with 3/max⁡(δ,t)3/\max(\delta,t)3/max(δ,t). Its solutions are denoted XδX_\deltaXδ​, and its velocity-growth quantity is

Mδ(t)=sup⁡0<u≤t∥X˙δ(u)∥u.M_\delta(t)=\sup_{0<u\le t}\frac{\|\dot X_\delta(u)\|}{u}.Mδ​(t)=0<u≤tsup​u∥X˙δ​(u)∥​.

For local uniqueness, two solutions X,YX,YX,Y on [0,a)[0,a)[0,a) are compared using M~(t)=sup⁡0≤u<t∥X˙(u)−Y˙(u)∥\widetilde M(t)=\sup_{0\le u<t}\|\dot X(u)-\dot Y(u)\|M(t)=sup0≤u<t​∥X˙(u)−Y˙(u)∥. These quantities appear in the appendix lemmas and are represented by pointwise bounds in the formal statements.

Formalization targets

The goal is Theorem 1, the well-posedness of equation (3). For every f∈F∞f\in\mathcal F_\inftyf∈F∞​ and every x0x_0x0​, it asserts both existence of a global trajectory with the regularity above and uniqueness on nonnegative time:

∃X solving (3) from (x0,0),X,Y both solve (3) from (x0,0)⟹X(t)=Y(t)(t≥0).\exists X\ \text{solving (3) from }(x_0,0), \qquad X,Y\ \text{both solve (3) from }(x_0,0) \Longrightarrow X(t)=Y(t)\quad(t\ge0).∃X solving (3) from (x0​,0),X,Y both solve (3) from (x0​,0)⟹X(t)=Y(t)(t≥0).

The milestone list follows the numbered statements in Appendix A. Lemma 16 controls the change in ∇f\nabla f∇f along a smoothed trajectory. Lemmas 15 and 17 bound MδM_\deltaMδ​ on the initial smoothing interval and beyond it, with the explicit thresholds δ<6/L\delta<\sqrt{6/L}δ<6/L​ and t<12/Lt<\sqrt{12/L}t<12/L​. Lemma 18 states that the family of smoothed trajectories with δ=3/L/2m\delta=\sqrt{3/L}/2^mδ=3/L​/2m is uniformly bounded and equicontinuous on [0,6/L][0,\sqrt{6/L}][0,6/L​]. Lemma 14 gives existence for equation (3). Lemma 20 bounds the difference between gradients along two local solutions, and Lemma 19 gives uniqueness in a neighborhood of zero. The goal and milestones preserve the source’s domains, constants, and order of dependence.

What the result provides

Theorem 1 permits the rest of the paper to refer to “the” trajectory of equation (3) from a specified initial point. In particular, statements about its objective value, energy, and restarts need an actual trajectory, and uniqueness makes those statements independent of a choice of solution. The appendix estimates also provide reusable facts about this singular second-order equation: quantitative control of smoothed velocities and local agreement at the singular time.

The paper proves Theorem 1 and the seven listed lemmas on pp. 6 and 28–32. This mission does not claim a new analytical result. Its output would be checked Lean statements and, when solvers finish the proofs, a machine-checked development of the singular initial-value problem. The formal definitions are shared by all items in this mission; the lemmas can be reused in later formal work on accelerated gradient trajectories. No machine-checked proof of these particular statements is being claimed by the draft proposal.

The central difficulty

The initial time is precisely where the damping 3/t3/t3/t has no finite value. Treating the problem as an ordinary initial-value problem at t=0t=0t=0 leaves the differential equation undefined there. Imposing the equation at t=0t=0t=0 after Lean’s total division would instead change it: Lean assigns a value to division by zero, while the paper imposes equation (3) only for t>0t>0t>0. The demanded derivative at zero is one-sided, and control of the behavior as t↓0t\downarrow0t↓0 is part of the result.

The smoothed equations are regular at zero, but a statement about each smoothed trajectory does not by itself give a solution of the original singular equation. The appendix’s uniform bounds and equicontinuity are formulated on a common compact interval for a specified sequence of smoothing parameters. Uniqueness has a second boundary issue: local agreement near zero must be connected to ordinary uniqueness at positive time to obtain agreement for every t≥0t\ge0t≥0.

Formalization scope

The Lean space is EuclideanSpace R (Fin n)\mathrm{EuclideanSpace}\ \mathbb R\ (\mathrm{Fin}\ n)EuclideanSpace R (Fin n), with its Euclidean norm; nnn is arbitrary. The objective class includes convexity, C1C^1C1 regularity, a positive Lipschitz constant, and a globally Lipschitz gradient. A solution is encoded as a pair (X,V)(X,V)(X,V), so V=X˙V=\dot XV=X˙ is witnessed by derivative assertions rather than by a total derivative operator. The initial conditions specify X(0)=x0X(0)=x_0X(0)=x0​, V(0)=0V(0)=0V(0)=0, a right derivative of XXX, and right continuity of VVV. The differential equation and ordinary derivatives are required only at positive times. For the smoothed equation, δ>0\delta>0δ>0 is part of the solution predicate.

These choices rule out a vacuous solution predicate and prevent division by zero from defining a different equation. Lean functions are represented on all real times, but the source’s solution lives on [0,∞)[0,\infty)[0,∞); uniqueness is therefore equality on that half-line. At negative times the formal representatives are unrestricted. The paper’s real suprema MδM_\deltaMδ​ and M~\widetilde MM are expressed as bounds on every member of their defining ranges, so an empty or unbounded real supremum cannot acquire a misleading default value. Every denominator in Lemmas 15 and 17 has the paper’s strict threshold in its hypotheses.

A full proof development needs ordinary differential equation existence and uniqueness at positive time, continuity and derivative facts at the right endpoint, and compactness of uniformly bounded equicontinuous families. The definitions of the objective class and solution predicates, the quantitative estimates, and the local uniqueness statement are welcome solver contributions. The target is the source theorem with its stated hypotheses and conclusion; a special objective, a weakened time interval, or a proof by an impossible hypothesis does not close it.

Selected references

  • Weijie Su, Stephen Boyd, and Emmanuel J. Candès, A Differential Equation for Modeling Nesterov’s Accelerated Gradient Method: Theory and Insights, arXiv:1503.01243v2, 2015; published in Journal of Machine Learning Research 17(153), 2016. Preprint.
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Machine LearningOperations ResearchOptimization·Captain: mikedeng1

A Modern Introduction to Online Learning IX: Cover's Universal Portfolio with Uniform or Dirichlet(1/2) Prior Has Logarithmic Regret Against Constantly Rebalanced PortfoliosTextbook

Why sequential portfolios matter

A portfolio manager chooses fractions of current wealth to place in several stocks before seeing that day’s market gains. The gains need not follow a statistical model: a sequence may be selected adversarially, with some stocks losing all value on a given day. A useful benchmark is the best constantly rebalanced portfolio, which holds the same fractions each day but trades at the end of every round to restore them. Its fixed allocation is an active strategy, and it can grow even when buying and holding each individual stock does not. Chapter 10 of Orabona’s online learning text studies guarantees against this benchmark without imposing a positive lower bound or a finite upper bound on nonzero market gains.

The chapter presents a universal portfolio: an allocation determined by a prior distribution over all fixed portfolios and reweighted according to their wealth so far. The mission focuses on the uniform-prior part of Theorem 10.1. It asks for a worst-case logarithmic regret guarantee against every fixed comparator and every admissible market sequence. This is a deterministic guarantee; no distributional assumption about the market enters its statement.

Market and strategy

There are d≥2d\ge2d≥2 stocks and T≥1T\ge1T≥1 rounds. In round ttt, the market supplies a vector wt∈R≥0d∖{0}w_t\in\mathbb R_{≥0}^d\setminus\{0\}wt​∈R≥0d​∖{0} of nonnegative gains. A portfolio is u∈Δd−1u\in\Delta^{d-1}u∈Δd−1, the simplex of vectors with nonnegative coordinates summing to one. If one unit is invested initially and the allocation stays fixed, its wealth after TTT rounds is

WT(u)=∏t=1T⟨wt,u⟩.W_T(u)=\prod_{t=1}^{T}\langle w_t,u\rangle.WT​(u)=t=1∏T​⟨wt​,u⟩.

A sequential strategy chooses xt∈Δd−1x_t\in\Delta^{d-1}xt​∈Δd−1 before seeing wtw_twt​, and has wealth WT=∏t=1T⟨wt,xt⟩W_T=\prod_{t=1}^{T}\langle w_t,x_t\rangleWT​=∏t=1T​⟨wt​,xt​⟩. The quantity of interest is the difference between the logarithms of benchmark wealth and sequential wealth. A fixed portfolio can have zero wealth when all the stocks it holds have a zero gain on some day; its log wealth is then −∞-\infty−∞ in the mathematical convention of the book.

Algorithm 10.1 begins with a prior FFF on the simplex. Before round ttt, it gives each fixed portfolio uuu weight proportional to its wealth Wt−1(u)W_{t-1}(u)Wt−1​(u), and chooses the resulting mean allocation:

xt(i)=∫Δd−1uiWt−1(u) F(du)∫Δd−1Wt−1(u) F(du).x_t(i)=\frac{\int_{\Delta^{d-1}}u_i W_{t-1}(u)\,F(du)}{\int_{\Delta^{d-1}}W_{t-1}(u)\,F(du)}.xt​(i)=∫Δd−1​Wt−1​(u)F(du)∫Δd−1​ui​Wt−1​(u)F(du)​.

For this mission, FFF is the uniform probability measure on the simplex. It is represented by Lebesgue measure in the first d−1d-1d−1 coordinates, scaled by (d−1)!(d-1)!(d−1)!; the final coordinate is one minus their sum. This explicit density fixes what “uniform” means and prevents the prior from being chosen to suit a particular market sequence.

Formalization targets

The goal is the uniform-prior case of Theorem 10.1. With the notation above, for every fixed portfolio of positive wealth,

log⁡WT(u)−log⁡WT≤log⁡(T+d−1d−1)≤(d−1)[log⁡(Td−1+1)+1].\log W_T(u)-\log W_T \le \log\binom{T+d-1}{d-1} \le (d-1)\left[\log\left(\frac{T}{d-1}+1\right)+1\right].logWT​(u)−logWT​≤log(d−1T+d−1​)≤(d−1)[log(d−1T​+1)+1].

The goal also asserts WT>0W_T>0WT​>0, so the algorithm’s logarithmic wealth is defined. The first inequality gives an exact finite-horizon combinatorial bound; the second displays its logarithmic dependence on TTT for fixed ddd. The book also states a Dirichlet(1/2,…,1/2)(1/2,\ldots,1/2)(1/2,…,1/2) prior bound in the same theorem. That companion branch is not among this proposal’s draft items; its gamma-function normalization and integral identities would require a separate audited definition layer. The fixed series title follows the chapter plan, while the goal and milestone list specify the precise scope delivered here.

The attack path records four source statements. Lemma 10.5 bounds a ratio of nonnegative sums by the largest component ratio. Lemma 10.6 reduces a universal portfolio’s wealth ratio to a maximum over sequences of single-stock choices. Theorem 10.4 bounds the size of a type class, the set of sequences with the same empirical fractions of symbols. Equation (10.5) computes the monomial integral under the uniform simplex prior. These statements are from the chapter’s proof of Theorem 10.1; the equation is referred to as an exercise in Problem 10.3.

What the result provides

The theorem ensures that the uniform-prior strategy keeps its log wealth within O(dlog⁡(1+T/d))O(d\log(1+T/d))O(dlog(1+T/d)) of the best constantly rebalanced portfolio, while making no bounded-gain assumption. In particular, a stock may have gain zero on one day or a very large gain on another. The guarantee is pathwise: it applies to the realized market vectors, regardless of how they were chosen. For a fixed number of stocks, dividing regret by TTT therefore gives a vanishing average shortfall in log wealth.

The mathematical result is already proved in the cited text. This mission’s work is to give its exact algorithm, prior measure, combinatorial objects, and finite-horizon constants machine-checked statements and then proofs. The density-based prior, finite type classes, and simplex monomial integrals can also be reused in online aggregation and universal coding developments. The draft statements currently have Lean placeholders for proofs; a successful submission will still require solvers to close them.

Main difficulty

Applying a generic online convex optimization bound to the loss −log⁡⟨wt,x⟩-\log\langle w_t,x\rangle−log⟨wt​,x⟩ runs into unbounded gradients when a chosen portfolio has small gain. A bound based on one global Lipschitz constant cannot cover the market sequences allowed here. The integral strategy creates a different obstacle: its denominator must be positive at every round, including histories with zero gains for many fixed portfolios. Its uniform prior is a measure on a (d−1)(d-1)(d−1)-dimensional simplex embedded in Rd\mathbb R^dRd, so ambient ddd-dimensional volume would give it mass zero. A proof must work with the intrinsic coordinate measure and its normalization. The exact binomial coefficient also depends on counting all sequences of one type without losing the boundary cases where some symbol occurs zero times.

Formalization scope

Lean represents a portfolio as a function Fin d → ℝ in Mathlib’s stdSimplex; a market is a one-based sequence of vectors of the same type. The coordinate chart maps Rd−1\mathbb R^{d-1}Rd−1 into the simplex, and a scaled restricted Lebesgue measure is pushed forward to define the uniform prior. The chart’s measurability is proved in the definition file. Algorithm 10.1 is a componentwise ratio of real integrals, and the main theorem asserts positive realized wealth. All market vectors on rounds 1,…,T1,\ldots,T1,…,T are nonnegative and nonzero. The parameter restrictions d≥2d\ge2d≥2 and T≥1T\ge1T≥1 make the dimension and printed denominators meaningful.

For Lemma 10.5, quotients use extended nonnegative reals, with a/0=+∞a/0=+\inftya/0=+∞ when a>0a>0a>0 and 0/0=00/0=00/0=0 as printed. Lemma 10.6 is stated for a generic prior concentrated on the simplex, with its ratios in extended nonnegative reals under the same conventions, and with the hypothesis that the normalizing integral of Algorithm 10.1 is positive in every round, which is what makes the algorithm's prediction defined. A comparator with zero wealth is omitted only from the real-log statement, corresponding to log wealth −∞-\infty−∞ in the source. The prior cannot be replaced by an arbitrary point mass: the theorem names the chart-based uniform measure, and the prediction is the exact integral ratio. Contributions proving normalization, support, the integral identity, and the final regret bound are all within scope.

Selected references

  • Francesco Orabona, Online Learning: A Modern Introduction Using Convex Optimization, arXiv:1912.13213v10, 2026, Chapter 10 and Appendix A.2.2. arXiv
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Functional AnalysisNumber Theory·Captain: waitingintime

Connes–Weil arithmetic lower bound: cofinal actual-quartet certificatesOpen Problem

Why an arithmetic lower bound is needed

The Riemann hypothesis asks whether every nontrivial zero of the actual Riemann zeta function has real part one half. The Connes formalization has a certified implication from positivity of the Weil distribution to RH. That implication supplies a criterion; its positivity hypothesis still needs a proof. The Green realization formalization supplies an independently certified physical carrier, actual-zero columns and bounded synthesis operators. Their construction does not establish the arithmetic inequality.

This open problem isolates a finite-certificate formulation of that inequality. The goal is new research within the existing formal development, not a theorem asserted by the cited papers. It is an RH-equivalent target. A proof of the reductions below is already available; a proof of the target itself is not.

The relevant historical distinction is explicit: Riemann stated the zero-location hypothesis in 1859; Connes' 1999 paper relates trace-formula and positivity questions to the zeros; the present Lean development certifies the conditional positivity criterion and the Green realization. None of these citations is offered as an unconditional proof of the new arithmetic certificate bound.

Actual zeros and the fixed physical carrier

Let ZZZ be the subtype of complex numbers ρ\rhoρ satisfying ζ(ρ)=0\zeta(\rho)=0ζ(ρ)=0 and 0<Re⁡ρ<10<\operatorname{Re}\rho<10<Reρ<1. Multiplicities are the existing natural analytic multiplicities. Reflection is ρ↦1−ρ‾\rho\mapsto1-\overline\rhoρ↦1−ρ​, and conjugation is ρ↦ρ‾\rho\mapsto\overline\rhoρ↦ρ​. For each actual zero, let SρS_\rhoSρ​ be its finite reflection/conjugation orbit, called its quartet. Repeated orbit elements are removed by the finite-set construction, so the term does not assert four distinct zeros.

At a positive support radius TTT, the physical carrier HTH_THT​ is the existing closed Dirichlet energy-image completion on [−T,T][-T,T][−T,T]. Its energy convention is the integral of ∣u′∣2+∣u∣2/4|u'|^2+|u|^2/4∣u′∣2+∣u∣2/4. Source lifts, Green columns and their pair normalization retain their published definitions. The original admissible tests are smooth compactly supported functions; the carrier is not defined from an arbitrary replacement zero family.

Write pT,τp_{T,\tau}pT,τ​ for the original positive column of an actual zero τ\tauτ, with the original reflected-pair and multiplicity normalization. Their complete squared-norm sum is certified summable at each positive radius. For a finite set F⊂ZF\subset ZF⊂Z, PFP_FPF​ is the published synthesis of exactly these positive columns into HTH_THT​. Let NSN_SNS​ be the original selected negative synthesis on the coefficient space for the unchanged quartet S=SρS=S_\rhoS=Sρ​.

Formalization target

For a positive accuracy δ\deltaδ, define the already-published operators

BF=PF∗PF+δIF,CF,S=PF∗NS,B_F=P_F^*P_F+\delta I_F,\qquad C_{F,S}=P_F^*N_S,BF​=PF∗​PF​+δIF​,CF,S​=PF∗​NS​,

and the selected coefficient correction

DS(T,F,δ)=δIS−NS∗NS+CF,S∗BF−1CF,S.D_S(T,F,\delta)=\delta I_S-N_S^*N_S+C_{F,S}^*B_F^{-1}C_{F,S}.DS​(T,F,δ)=δIS​−NS∗​NS​+CF,S∗​BF−1​CF,S​.

The positive regularization makes BFB_FBF​ strictly positive, including dependent or repeated columns. Its ring inverse is certified to be a genuine inverse for positive δ\deltaδ.

The goal is

∀ρ∈Z  ∀b∈R  ∃T>max⁡(b,0)  ∀δ>0  ∃F⊂Z finite:\forall\rho\in Z\;\forall b\in\mathbb R\;\exists T>\max(b,0)\;\forall\delta>0\;\exists F\subset Z\text{ finite}:∀ρ∈Z∀b∈R∃T>max(b,0)∀δ>0∃F⊂Z finite: Sρ⊆F,F is reflection-closed,∑τ∉F∥pT,τ∥2<δ,DSρ(T,F,δ)⪰0.S_\rho\subseteq F,\quad F\text{ is reflection-closed},\quad \sum_{\tau\notin F}\|p_{T,\tau}\|^2<\delta,\quad D_{S_\rho}(T,F,\delta)\succeq0.Sρ​⊆F,F is reflection-closed,τ∈/F∑​∥pT,τ​∥2<δ,DSρ​​(T,F,δ)⪰0.

Here T>max⁡(b,0)T>\max(b,0)T>max(b,0) abbreviates the two strict inequalities in the Lean statement. The window is chosen before accuracy. The finite cutoff can depend on accuracy, but the selected negative quartet remains unchanged. The same accuracy occurs in the complete omitted tail and the correction operator.

What this target would establish

The certified fixed-window theorem identifies all-accuracy finite certificates with the original Picard marker being at least half the identity. The certified cofinal quartet criterion identifies arbitrarily large such quartet windows with Mathlib's Riemann hypothesis. Their composition has also been checked independently in the native Lean environment against the exact goal statement.

These two reductions are the principal milestones, alongside the existing literature-form positivity implication. Shared definitions and supporting theorems remain reusable library nodes. Certification of a reduction is distinct from establishing the nonnegative correction demanded by the goal. The goal is currently unproved and carries no RH or desired-positivity hypothesis.

The remaining difficulty

Finite tail cutoffs exist by summability, and regularized coefficient inverses exist by strict positivity. Those facts leave the sign of DSD_SDS​ undetermined. An arithmetic representation of the full Weil operator alone also leaves that sign undetermined. The selected negative packet and the unselected negative background are different parts of the original signed operator; replacing one by the other changes the obligation.

The arithmetic transfer audit ZP-WEIL-MARKER-TRANSFER / RH-ZERO-PROV-2 records this distinction. Endpoint estimates or neutral-shell arguments contribute only when they supply the original lower bound with the required window and accuracy quantifiers. A bound at one boundary, an accuracy-dependent choice of window, or an estimate with a positive residual error floor does not supply the displayed target. No easier status is implied by its finite coefficient representation.

Formalization scope

The proposal uses Lean 4.33.1 and Mathlib revision 0df444a360eaa60ab8c11dca51a86af692955474, with the published original quartet and selected-correction definitions. A separate native audit uses the existing Lean 4.34.0 repository environment. Complex Hilbert inner products are conjugate-linear in the first argument. Operator nonnegativity uses the existing continuous-linear-map order. Infinite tails are unordered sums on the actual-zero complement.

No simple-zero assumption, independence of columns, unregularized Gram inverse, replacement carrier, changed coefficient metric or silently restricted zero family is permitted. Quartets include zeros on the critical line; an empty actual-zero subtype would make the universal target vacuous, exactly as specified by the existing actual-zero indexing. New auxiliary definitions belong in shared definition bundles, and reusable algebraic lemmas belong in the library. The existing Green milestone history and dependency graph are retained.

Selected references

  • B. Riemann, Ueber die Anzahl der Primzahlen unter einer gegebenen Grösse, Monatsberichte der Berliner Akademie, 1859. Original paper and translations.
  • A. Connes, Trace formula in noncommutative Geometry and the zeros of the Riemann zeta function, Selecta Mathematica 5, 1999. arXiv:math/9811068. Source of the conditional positivity/RH context, not the new certificate inequality.
  • H. Brezis, Functional Analysis, Sobolev Spaces and Partial Differential Equations, Springer, 2011. DOI. Functional-analytic background for the certified carrier.
  • Published Lean results: cofinal quartet criterion, fixed-window selected certificates, and selected-correction definitions.
  • monocap-tech/provenance, RH-ZERO-PROV-2 arithmetic-transfer checkpoint, 2026. Its stated status is representation complete, lower-bound theorem open, RH not proved.

Literature and source audit

The exact cofinal-quartet finite-certificate goal remains open. An independent Lean audit verifies its equivalence to Mathlib RiemannHypothesis by composing the two certified milestone reductions. The window is chosen before every positive regularization parameter; the selected actual-zero quartet is fixed, and the same parameter controls the full positive tail and selected correction. Tail summability and existence of inverses alone do not establish the required sign.

The foreign graph export ConnesRZ.weil_positivity_implies_RH matches the native ConnesRZClosed.weil_positivity_implies_RH: the older native ConnesRZ theorem takes explicitFormula as an input, discharged in Closed. The foreign record has a staged source qualification; it has not been edited.

Arithmetic transfer checkpoint: monocap-tech/provenance 178c83225b2300506ff622899d08ec3c987137d5, rh/checkpoints/RH_ZERO_PROV_2_EULER_WEIL_MARKER_TRANSFER_20260920.md, SHA256 0bb48b950f09220f7b2f193c16b45b15add0333906f919f8b50ca915f77a1a0d. Retained local Git bytes were verified; public availability is unverified. Critical-window location, the prescribed ordered-limit interface, and arithmetic endpoint/neutral-shell control remain open. RH is not established.

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Theoretical Computer Science·Captain: wurtle

Two WordRAM models: equivalence with polylogarithmic overheadTextbook

Prove equivalence between two WordRAM models: one with unsigned pointers, bit operations, and shifts; the other with signed pointers and branching on sign. Both support bounded-word arithmetic and multiplication.

For input and observable output bounded by B(n)=K(n+1)qB(n)=K(n+1)^qB(n)=K(n+1)q words, transfer running time T(n)T(n)T(n) in either direction to

C(T(n)+B(n)+1)(⌊log⁡2n⌋+1)d,C\bigl(T(n)+B(n)+1\bigr) \bigl(\lfloor \log_2 n \rfloor+1\bigr)^d,C(T(n)+B(n)+1)(⌊log2​n⌋+1)d,

including input/output conversion, with one bound valid for every sufficiently large word width. We preserve halting and mapped memory as well.

References:

  1. Torben Hagerup, “Sorting and Searching on the Word RAM,” STACS 1998, pp. 366–398; model conventions pp. 369–372. https://doi.org/10.1007/BFb0028575
  2. Josh Alman and Virginia Vassilevska Williams, “Truly Subquadratic 3SUM and Truly Subcubic APSP via Triangles in Sparse Lopsided Graphs,” 2026. https://arxiv.org/abs/2610.06783
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Machine LearningProbabilityStatistics·Captain: mikedeng1

Learning without Concentration: Least-Squares ERM in a Convex Class Is Within 2 max{α_N(γ, δ/4), βN(τQ{F−F}(2τ)/16)} of f* in L₂ under a Small-Ball ConditionResearch Paper

Motivation

Least-squares regression over a class of functions is the basic problem of statistical learning theory: given an i.i.d. sample (Xi,Yi)i=1N(X_i,Y_i)_{i=1}^N(Xi​,Yi​)i=1N​ from an unknown joint law, select a function in a class FFF whose prediction error E(f(X)−Y)2\mathbb E(f(X)-Y)^2E(f(X)−Y)2 is close to the best possible in FFF. The standard analysis of empirical risk minimization (ERM) compares empirical means with true means uniformly over the class, which requires the class and the target to concentrate: bounded functions, or sub-Gaussian tails. Heavy-tailed classes and targets, which arise as soon as the data are not bounded, fall outside that analysis.

S. Mendelson, Learning without Concentration (arXiv:1401.0304, J. ACM 62(3), 2015), showed that concentration is not needed for the lower half of the argument. The only property used for the quadratic part of the loss is a small-ball condition: functions in F−FF-FF−F are not too concentrated near zero. Under that condition, ERM over a closed convex class attains an error governed by two localized complexity parameters, one intrinsic to the class and one measuring its interaction with the noise. The same lower-bound mechanism appears, for random matrices, in Koltchinskii–Mendelson (arXiv:1312.3580); the localized complexity parameters follow Lecué–Mendelson (arXiv:1305.4825).

Setting

Let (Ω,μ)(\Omega,\mu)(Ω,μ) be a probability space and let (X,Y)(X,Y)(X,Y) have joint law ν\nuν on Ω×R\Omega\times\mathbb RΩ×R, with X∼μX\sim\muX∼μ and EY2<∞\mathbb EY^2<\inftyEY2<∞. Let F⊂L2(μ)F\subset L_2(\mu)F⊂L2​(μ) be a closed, convex class of real functions on Ω\OmegaΩ, and let f∗∈Ff^*\in Ff∗∈F minimize E(f(X)−Y)2\mathbb E(f(X)-Y)^2E(f(X)−Y)2 over FFF. The noise is ξ=f∗(X)−Y\xi=f^*(X)-Yξ=f∗(X)−Y. Given an i.i.d. sample (Xi,Yi)i=1N(X_i,Y_i)_{i=1}^N(Xi​,Yi​)i=1N​ from ν\nuν, an empirical minimizer f^\hat ff^​ minimizes 1N∑i=1N(f(Xi)−Yi)2\frac1N\sum_{i=1}^N(f(X_i)-Y_i)^2N1​∑i=1N​(f(Xi​)−Yi​)2 over FFF. Let (εi)i=1N(\varepsilon_i)_{i=1}^N(εi​)i=1N​ be independent random signs, independent of the sample, and write F∩rDf∗={f∈F:∥f−f∗∥L2≤r}F\cap rD_{f^*}=\{f\in F:\|f-f^*\|_{L_2}\le r\}F∩rDf∗​={f∈F:∥f−f∗∥L2​​≤r}.

  • The small-ball function of a class HHH is QH(u)=inf⁡h∈HPr⁡(∣h(X)∣≥u∥h∥L2)Q_H(u)=\inf_{h\in H}\Pr(|h(X)|\ge u\|h\|_{L_2})QH​(u)=infh∈H​Pr(∣h(X)∣≥u∥h∥L2​​); it is applied to F−F={f−h:f,h∈F}F-F=\{f-h:f,h\in F\}F−F={f−h:f,h∈F}.
  • The intrinsic parameter (Definition 2.1) is
βN∗(γ)=inf⁡{r>0:Esup⁡f∈F∩rDf∗∣1N∑iεi(f−f∗)(Xi)∣≤γNr}.\beta^*_N(\gamma)=\inf\Bigl\{r>0:\mathbb E\sup_{f\in F\cap rD_{f^*}}\Bigl|\tfrac1{\sqrt N}\textstyle\sum_{i}\varepsilon_i(f-f^*)(X_i)\Bigr|\le\gamma\sqrt N r\Bigr\}.βN∗​(γ)=inf{r>0:Ef∈F∩rDf∗​sup​​N​1​∑i​εi​(f−f∗)(Xi​)​≤γN​r}.
  • The multiplier process (2.2) is ϕN(s)=sup⁡f∈F∩sDf∗∣1N∑iεiξi(f−f∗)(Xi)∣\phi_N(s)=\sup_{f\in F\cap sD_{f^*}}\bigl|\tfrac1{\sqrt N}\sum_i\varepsilon_i\xi_i(f-f^*)(X_i)\bigr|ϕN​(s)=supf∈F∩sDf∗​​​N​1​∑i​εi​ξi​(f−f∗)(Xi​)​ with ξi=f∗(Xi)−Yi\xi_i=f^*(X_i)-Y_iξi​=f∗(Xi​)−Yi​, and the noise parameter is
αN∗(γ,δ)=inf⁡{s>0:Pr⁡(ϕN(s)≤γs2N)≥1−δ}.\alpha^*_N(\gamma,\delta)=\inf\bigl\{s>0:\Pr(\phi_N(s)\le\gamma s^2\sqrt N)\ge1-\delta\bigr\}.αN∗​(γ,δ)=inf{s>0:Pr(ϕN​(s)≤γs2N​)≥1−δ}.
  • For the proof (§5), βN(H,γ)=inf⁡{r>0:Esup⁡h∈H∩rD∣1N∑iεih(Xi)∣≤γr}\beta_N(H,\gamma)=\inf\{r>0:\mathbb E\sup_{h\in H\cap rD}|\frac1N\sum_i\varepsilon_ih(X_i)|\le\gamma r\}βN​(H,γ)=inf{r>0:Esuph∈H∩rD​∣N1​∑i​εi​h(Xi​)∣≤γr}, with DDD the unit ball of L2(μ)L_2(\mu)L2​(μ), and HHH is star-shaped around 0 if λh∈H\lambda h\in Hλh∈H for all h∈Hh\in Hh∈H, 0<λ≤10<\lambda\le10<λ≤1.

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem 3.1

Fix τ>0\tau>0τ>0 with QF−F(2τ)>0Q_{F-F}(2\tau)>0QF−F​(2τ)>0 and γ<τ2QF−F(2τ)/16\gamma<\tau^2Q_{F-F}(2\tau)/16γ<τ2QF−F​(2τ)/16. For every 0<δ<10<\delta<10<δ<1, with probability at least 1−δ−exp⁡(−NQF−F2(2τ)/2)1-\delta-\exp(-NQ^2_{F-F}(2\tau)/2)1−δ−exp(−NQF−F2​(2τ)/2), every empirical minimizer satisfies

∥f^−f∗∥L2≤2max⁡{αN∗(γ,δ/4), βN∗(τQF−F(2τ)16)}.\|\hat f-f^*\|_{L_2}\le2\max\Bigl\{\alpha^*_N(\gamma,\delta/4),\ \beta^*_N\Bigl(\frac{\tau Q_{F-F}(2\tau)}{16}\Bigr)\Bigr\}.∥f^​−f∗∥L2​​≤2max{αN∗​(γ,δ/4), βN∗​(16τQF−F​(2τ)​)}.

The joint law, the class and the target are arbitrary subject to the hypotheses above; no boundedness, moment or tail condition beyond L2L_2L2​ is imposed.

Milestones

In attack order:

  1. Localization for a star-shaped class (§5, p. 20): r>βN(H,γ)r>\beta_N(H,\gamma)r>βN​(H,γ) implies Esup⁡h∈H∩rD∣1N∑iεih(Xi)∣≤γr\mathbb E\sup_{h\in H\cap rD}|\frac1N\sum_i\varepsilon_ih(X_i)|\le\gamma rEsuph∈H∩rD​∣N1​∑i​εi​h(Xi​)∣≤γr.
  2. βN∗(γ)=βN(F−f∗,γ)\beta^*_N(\gamma)=\beta_N(F-f^*,\gamma)βN∗​(γ)=βN​(F−f∗,γ) (§5, p. 20).
  3. Theorem 5.4 (p. 21), the uniform empirical small-ball estimate: for HHH in the unit sphere of L2(μ)L_2(\mu)L2​(μ), if Esup⁡h∈H∣1N∑iεih(Xi)∣≤τQH(2τ)/16\mathbb E\sup_{h\in H}|\frac1N\sum_i\varepsilon_ih(X_i)|\le\tau Q_H(2\tau)/16Esuph∈H​∣N1​∑i​εi​h(Xi​)∣≤τQH​(2τ)/16, then with probability at least 1−2exp⁡(−NQH2(2τ)/2)1-2\exp(-NQ_H^2(2\tau)/2)1−2exp(−NQH2​(2τ)/2), inf⁡h∈H∣{i:∣h(Xi)∣≥τ}∣≥NQH(2τ)/4\inf_{h\in H}|\{i:|h(X_i)|\ge\tau\}|\ge NQ_H(2\tau)/4infh∈H​∣{i:∣h(Xi​)∣≥τ}∣≥NQH​(2τ)/4.
  4. Corollary 5.5 (p. 22): the same estimate, ∣{i:∣h(Xi)∣≥τ∥h∥L2}∣≥NQH(2τ)/4|\{i:|h(X_i)|\ge\tau\|h\|_{L_2}\}|\ge NQ_H(2\tau)/4∣{i:∣h(Xi​)∣≥τ∥h∥L2​​}∣≥NQH​(2τ)/4, for every hhh of a star-shaped class with ∥h∥L2≥r>βN(H,τQH(2τ)/16)\|h\|_{L_2}\ge r>\beta_N(H,\tau Q_H(2\tau)/16)∥h∥L2​​≥r>βN​(H,τQH​(2τ)/16).
  5. F−f∗F-f^*F−f∗ is star-shaped when FFF is convex (proof of Theorem 5.3, p. 23).
  6. Theorem 5.3 (p. 21): estimate (5.1) for H=F−f∗H=F-f^*H=F−f∗.
  7. The projection inequality Eξ(f−f∗)(X)≥0\mathbb E\xi(f-f^*)(X)\ge0Eξ(f−f∗)(X)≥0 for f∈Ff\in Ff∈F (§5, p. 23).
  8. Display (5.3) (p. 23): with probability at least 1−2exp⁡(−NQF−F2(2τ)/2)1-2\exp(-NQ^2_{F-F}(2\tau)/2)1−2exp(−NQF−F2​(2τ)/2),
1N∑i=1N(f−f∗)2(Xi)≥τ24QF−F(2τ)∥f−f∗∥L22\frac1N\sum_{i=1}^N(f-f^*)^2(X_i)\ge\frac{\tau^2}4Q_{F-F}(2\tau)\|f-f^*\|^2_{L_2}N1​i=1∑N​(f−f∗)2(Xi​)≥4τ2​QF−F​(2τ)∥f−f∗∥L2​2​

for all f∈Ff\in Ff∈F with ∥f−f∗∥L2≥r\|f-f^*\|_{L_2}\ge r∥f−f∗∥L2​​≥r. 9. Display (5.5) (p. 24): a bound 4γα24\gamma\alpha^24γα2 on ∣PNξ(f−f∗)−Eξ(f−f∗)∣|P_N\xi(f-f^*)-\mathbb E\xi(f-f^*)|∣PN​ξ(f−f∗)−Eξ(f−f∗)∣ on the sphere ∥f−f∗∥L2=α\|f-f^*\|_{L_2}=\alpha∥f−f∗∥L2​​=α extends to 4γ∥f−f∗∥L224\gamma\|f-f^*\|^2_{L_2}4γ∥f−f∗∥L2​2​ outside it (deterministic).

Significance

Theorem 3.1 separates the error of ERM into a "low-noise" term βN∗\beta^*_NβN∗​, which depends on the class only and matches the realizable rate, and a "high-noise" term αN∗\alpha^*_NαN∗​, which depends on how the class correlates with the actual noise. Both are computable for heavy-tailed classes: the paper derives from it sharp rates for linear regression with heavy-tailed design and for the persistence problem in ℓ1n\ell_1^nℓ1n​ (§4). The small-ball lower bound (Theorem 5.4 and (5.3)) is reusable on its own: it gives lower isometry estimates for random matrices with heavy-tailed rows (the setting of Koltchinskii–Mendelson).

The result is proved in the paper. As far as is known, none of it has been machine-checked: there is no formal statement of Theorem 3.1, of the small-ball estimate, or of the localized parameters αN∗,βN∗\alpha^*_N,\beta^*_NαN∗​,βN∗​ in Lean. The mission produces the first formal statements of these objects, and a formal proof would also check the constants of the printed argument.

Difficulty

The obvious approach, a uniform law of large numbers for the squared loss over FFF, fails: without concentration, 1N∑i(f−f∗)2(Xi)\frac1N\sum_i(f-f^*)^2(X_i)N1​∑i​(f−f∗)2(Xi​) need not be close to ∥f−f∗∥L22\|f-f^*\|^2_{L_2}∥f−f∗∥L2​2​ uniformly, and an upper estimate is unavailable. The proof needs only a one-sided lower estimate, and the difficulty is to obtain it uniformly over an infinite, unbounded class from the small-ball condition alone, with a probability that is exponential in NNN. A second difficulty is the multiplier term 1N∑iξi(f−f∗)(Xi)\frac1N\sum_i\xi_i(f-f^*)(X_i)N1​∑i​ξi​(f−f∗)(Xi​), where the noise ξ\xiξ may be heavy-tailed and dependent on XXX; it must be controlled through the random-sign process defining αN∗\alpha^*_NαN∗​, not through a bound on ξ\xiξ. The standard tools involved (bounded differences, symmetrization, contraction for Bernoulli processes) are not in Mathlib.

Formalization scope

All objects live in one definitions file, LearnNoConc.ERM.Setting. The conventions are:

  • The data are a joint law ν on Ω × ℝ; the law of XXX is ν.map Prod.fst. The sample is a point of Fin N → Ω × ℝ under Measure.pi; N≥1N\ge1N≥1 is assumed.
  • ∥⋅∥L2\|\cdot\|_{L_2}∥⋅∥L2​​ is eLpNorm · 2 μ, valued in [0,∞][0,\infty][0,∞]. The expectation over random signs is the average over all 2N2^N2N sign vectors.
  • Suprema and expectations of suprema are taken in [0,∞][0,\infty][0,∞] (⨆, ‖·‖ₑ, lower Lebesgue integral), and αN∗,βN∗,βN\alpha^*_N,\beta^*_N,\beta_NαN∗​,βN∗​,βN​ are [0,∞][0,\infty][0,∞]-valued infima, so an empty set of admissible radii gives +∞+\infty+∞ and a vacuous bound, as on the page. Defining inequalities are compared in the extended reals.
  • "With probability at least 1−p1-p1−p, AAA" is stated as "the outer probability of the complement of AAA is at most ppp".
  • The goal quantifies over every empirical minimizer, and f∗f^*f∗ is any minimizer of the risk over FFF.
  • Added, disclosed hypotheses: EY2<∞\mathbb EY^2<\inftyEY2<∞; every f∈Ff\in Ff∈F measurable; and pointwise separability of FFF (a countable subclass approximating every element pointwise and in L2L_2L2​), which stands in for the measurability of suprema the paper takes for granted. Without it the lower integral of a non-measurable supremum would make βN∗\beta^*_NβN∗​ smaller and the goal stronger than the paper.

A formalization in which an infimum over an empty set is 000, a supremum or an integral of a non-integrable function is truncated to 000, f∗f^*f∗ is an arbitrary element of FFF, or f^\hat ff^​ is one chosen minimizer would trivialize or change the statement; all of these are ruled out above.

A complete development needs McDiarmid's bounded differences inequality, Giné–Zinn symmetrization (in expectation and in probability), the Ledoux–Talagrand contraction inequality for Bernoulli processes, and the measurability theory of suprema over separable classes. These are reusable well beyond this mission, and contributions of any of them are welcome, as are proofs of the milestones independently of the goal.

Selected references

  • S. Mendelson, Learning without Concentration, J. ACM 62(3), Article 21, 2015. Preprint arXiv:1401.0304v2 (the version cited here). https://arxiv.org/abs/1401.0304, https://doi.org/10.1145/2699439
  • V. Koltchinskii, S. Mendelson, Bounding the smallest singular value of a random matrix without concentration, preprint, 2013. https://arxiv.org/abs/1312.3580
  • G. Lecué, S. Mendelson, Learning subgaussian classes: Upper and minimax bounds, preprint, 2013. https://arxiv.org/abs/1305.4825
  • A. W. van der Vaart, J. A. Wellner, Weak Convergence and Empirical Processes, Springer, 1996, §2.3.3 (pointwise separable classes). https://doi.org/10.1007/978-1-4757-2545-2
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Dynamic ProgrammingOperations ResearchOptimization·Captain: mikedeng1

Dynamic Type Matching: Under the Modified Monge Condition There Is an Optimal Matching Policy That Respects the Priority Relation ≻MsResearch Paper

Motivation

Many platforms match two sides of a market over time: ride-hailing platforms match riders with drivers, blood banks match donated units with patients, organ allocation matches donors with recipients, and retailers pool inventory across fulfilment centres to serve orders from several regions. Demand and supply arrive in several types (locations, blood groups, quality grades), the reward of a match depends on both types, and whatever is not matched today partly waits for tomorrow. A central operational question is which pairs to match first. Static versions of this question go back to the transportation problem and to Monge sequences: Hoffman (1963) characterized the cost matrices for which a fixed greedy order of the arcs solves a transportation problem.

Hu and Zhou (arXiv:1811.07048, published in Manufacturing & Service Operations Management 24(1), 2022) extend this to a stochastic, multi-period setting. They identify conditions on the rewards, the (weak) modified Monge conditions, under which an optimal dynamic policy matches a dominant pair before the neighbouring pairs it dominates. This mission formalizes their main structural result, Theorem 1, and the chain of results it rests on.

Setting

There are mmm demand types D={1,…,m}\mathcal D=\{1,\dots,m\}D={1,…,m}, nnn supply types S={1,…,n}\mathcal S=\{1,\dots,n\}S={1,…,n}, and TTT periods t=1,…,Tt=1,\dots,Tt=1,…,T. In period ttt the state is a pair of vectors (x,y)∈R+m×R+n(\mathbf x,\mathbf y)\in\mathbb R^m_+\times\mathbb R^n_+(x,y)∈R+m​×R+n​ of available demand and supply. The firm chooses a matching decision Q=(qij)∈Rm×n\mathbf Q=(q_{ij})\in\mathbb R^{m\times n}Q=(qij​)∈Rm×n, collecting the reward

Rt∘Q=∑i=1m∑j=1nrijtqij,\mathbf R^t\circ\mathbf Q=\sum_{i=1}^m\sum_{j=1}^n r^t_{ij}q_{ij},Rt∘Q=i=1∑m​j=1∑n​rijt​qij​,

where the rewards rijtr^t_{ij}rijt​ are arbitrary real numbers. The post-matching levels are ui=xi−∑jqiju_i=x_i-\sum_j q_{ij}ui​=xi​−∑j​qij​ and vj=yj−∑iqijv_j=y_j-\sum_i q_{ij}vj​=yj​−∑i​qij​, and Q\mathbf QQ is feasible if Q≥0\mathbf Q\ge0Q≥0, u≥0\mathbf u\ge0u≥0 and v≥0\mathbf v\ge0v≥0. A fraction α∈[0,1]\alpha\in[0,1]α∈[0,1] of unmatched demand and β∈[0,1]\beta\in[0,1]β∈[0,1] of unmatched supply carries over, and new random quantities (Dt+1,St+1)≥0(\mathbf D^{t+1},\mathbf S^{t+1})\ge0(Dt+1,St+1)≥0 arrive. The value function VtV_tVt​ is defined by the dynamic program

Vt(x,y)=max⁡Q feasibleHt(Q,x,y),Ht(Q,x,y)=Rt∘Q+E Vt+1(αu+Dt+1,βv+St+1),V_t(\mathbf x,\mathbf y)=\max_{\mathbf Q\ \text{feasible}}H_t(\mathbf Q,\mathbf x,\mathbf y),\qquad H_t(\mathbf Q,\mathbf x,\mathbf y)=\mathbf R^t\circ\mathbf Q+\mathbb E\,V_{t+1}(\alpha\mathbf u+\mathbf D^{t+1},\beta\mathbf v+\mathbf S^{t+1}),Vt​(x,y)=Q feasiblemax​Ht​(Q,x,y),Ht​(Q,x,y)=Rt∘Q+EVt+1​(αu+Dt+1,βv+St+1),

with VT+1≡0V_{T+1}\equiv0VT+1​≡0. A matching policy assigns a feasible decision Qt(x,y)\mathbf Q^t(\mathbf x,\mathbf y)Qt(x,y) to every period and state; it is optimal if each of these decisions maximizes HtH_tHt​.

Two neighbouring pairs are compared by the relation ≻M\succ_{\mathcal M}≻M​. For i′≠ii'\ne ii′=i, (i,j)≻M(i′,j)(i,j)\succ_{\mathcal M}(i',j)(i,j)≻M​(i′,j) means rijt>ri′jtr^t_{ij}>r^t_{i'j}rijt​>ri′jt​ for all ttt, and rijt−ri′jt≥α(rij′′t+1−ri′j′′t+1)r^t_{ij}-r^t_{i'j}\ge\alpha(r^{t+1}_{ij''}-r^{t+1}_{i'j''})rijt​−ri′jt​≥α(rij′′t+1​−ri′j′′t+1​) for all t≤T−1t\le T-1t≤T−1 and all j′′j''j′′; the relation (i,j)≻M(i,j′)(i,j)\succ_{\mathcal M}(i,j')(i,j)≻M​(i,j′) is defined symmetrically with β\betaβ. The modified Monge condition requires rijt+ri′j′t≥rij′t+ri′jtr^t_{ij}+r^t_{i'j'}\ge r^t_{ij'}+r^t_{i'j}rijt​+ri′j′t​≥rij′t​+ri′jt​ whenever (i,j)(i,j)(i,j) dominates both (i′,j)(i',j)(i′,j) and (i,j′)(i,j')(i,j′); the paper then writes ≻Ms\succ_{\mathcal M_s}≻Ms​​. For a pair (i,j)(i,j)(i,j), let aia_iai​ be the type-iii demand left after matching iii through all pairs that (i,j)(i,j)(i,j) does not dominate, and bjb_jbj​ the analogous supply residual. A decision respects ≻Ms\succ_{\mathcal M_s}≻Ms​​ if (i,j)≻(i′,j)(i,j)\succ(i',j)(i,j)≻(i′,j) implies qi′j=0q_{i'j}=0qi′j​=0 or ai=0a_i=0ai​=0, and (i,j)≻(i,j′)(i,j)\succ(i,j')(i,j)≻(i,j′) implies qij′=0q_{ij'}=0qij′​=0 or bj=0b_j=0bj​=0.

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem 1 (p. 12)

Under the modified Monge condition there is a single policy PPP such that, for all 1≤t≤T1\le t\le T1≤t≤T and all x,y≥0\mathbf x,\mathbf y\ge0x,y≥0,

Pt(x,y) is optimalandPt(x,y) respects ≻Ms.P_t(\mathbf x,\mathbf y)\ \text{is optimal}\quad\text{and}\quad P_t(\mathbf x,\mathbf y)\ \text{respects}\ \succ_{\mathcal M_s}.Pt​(x,y) is optimalandPt​(x,y) respects ≻Ms​​.

Milestones

  • Proposition 1 (p. 10): VtV_tVt​ and HtH_tHt​ are continuous and concave, and an optimal policy exists.
  • Lemma A.1 (Online Appendix A, p. 1): shifting ε\varepsilonε units of demand from type iii to type i′i'i′ (or of supply from jjj to j′j'j′) changes VtV_tVt​ by at least −∑τ∑j′λj′τ(rij′τ−ri′j′τ)-\sum_\tau\sum_{j'}\lambda^\tau_{j'}(r^\tau_{ij'}-r^\tau_{i'j'})−∑τ​∑j′​λj′τ​(rij′τ​−ri′j′τ​) for some nonnegative multipliers with ∑τα−(τ−t)∑j′λj′τ≤ε\sum_\tau\alpha^{-(\tau-t)}\sum_{j'}\lambda^\tau_{j'}\le\varepsilon∑τ​α−(τ−t)∑j′​λj′τ​≤ε.
  • Lemma A.2 (p. 3): transferring matching quantity from a dominated pair to a dominant one weakly increases HtH_tHt​.
  • Theorem 2 (p. 28): without the Monge condition, some optimal policy weakly respects ≻M\succ_{\mathcal M}≻M​: qi′j=0q_{i'j}=0qi′j​=0 or ui=0u_i=0ui​=0, and qij′=0q_{ij'}=0qij′​=0 or vj=0v_j=0vj​=0.
  • Monge exchange (proof of Theorem 1, p. 4): the transfer Q+ε(eij+ei′j′−ei′j−eij′)\mathbf Q+\varepsilon(\mathbf e_{ij}+\mathbf e_{i'j'}-\mathbf e_{i'j}-\mathbf e_{ij'})Q+ε(eij​+ei′j′​−ei′j​−eij′​) stays feasible and weakly increases HtH_tHt​.
  • Properties (i)–(iii) imply compatibility (proof of Theorem 1, p. 5).

Significance

Theorem 1 replaces the search over all optimal policies, which are state-dependent and generally complex, by a priority structure: whenever (i,j)(i,j)(i,j) dominates a neighbour, the neighbour is matched only once the residual capacity of (i,j)(i,j)(i,j) is exhausted. The paper derives from it the optimality of greedy matching for "perfect" pairs (Proposition 2), the priority order for horizontal (distance-based) and vertical (quality-based) reward structures, and the match-down-to threshold structure of the optimal policy in those models. These results generalize inventory rationing and capacity allocation with upgrading.

The result is proved in the paper, but not completely: the limit argument in the printed proofs of Theorems 1 and 2 ("the quantity transferred converges to zero") is not justified, and Proposition 1 has no printed proof in this version. A machine-checked development would close these gaps and would provide a reusable finite-horizon model with continuous states, concave value functions and an exchange-argument toolkit. No part of this mission is known to be formalized.

Difficulty

The obvious argument starts from an optimal decision and repeatedly applies the transfers of Lemma A.2 and the Monge exchange. Each transfer preserves optimality, but nothing in the printed argument guarantees that the procedure terminates or that its limit has the required property: transfers of different kinds can undo each other's progress, and with equal rewards they can cycle forever. A complete proof has to select the right optimal decision without relying on such an iteration. Before that, the dynamic program itself needs care: the value function is a supremum of an expectation of the next value function, so continuity, concavity, measurability and integrability have to be established together by backward induction, and attainment of the maximum is needed for any optimal policy to exist. Lemma A.1 is a further backward induction in which the multipliers become random and must be averaged.

Formalization scope

The Lean development lives in the namespace DynTypeMatching.Priority. Types are Fin m and Fin n; states are Fin m → ℝ, Fin n → ℝ; decisions are Fin m → Fin n → ℝ. Periods are natural numbers with the paper's 1-based indexing, and Vt=0V_t=0Vt​=0 for t>Tt>Tt>T. A model Model m n carries TTT, the rewards, α\alphaα, β\betaβ and one arrival law per period on Rm×Rn\mathbb R^m\times\mathbb R^nRm×Rn. The paper permits exogenous correlation between periods; its recursion (1) uses per-period laws and does not specify a joint arrival process. The expectation in HtH_tHt​ is over the law of the arrivals entering period t+1t+1t+1.

Every result assumes Model.WellPosed: each arrival law is a probability measure, supported on the nonnegative orthant and integrable, and 0≤α,β≤10\le\alpha,\beta\le10≤α,β≤1. Integrability is not stated in the paper, but without it the expectation in (1) is undefined. The value function is a real supremum and the expectation a Bochner integral, so outside the nonnegative orthant, or for non-integrable integrands, Lean returns the junk value 0. All statements therefore quantify over nonnegative states and feasible decisions.

The following hypotheses are added relative to the page, and each is disclosed in the item where it occurs:

  • Definition 1(i) is strict, rijt>ri′jtr^t_{ij}>r^t_{i'j}rijt​>ri′jt​, and the neighbours are distinct. With the printed weak inequality, Theorems 1 and 2 are false. Take m=3m=3m=3, n=1n=1n=1, T=1T=1T=1, all rewards equal to 2, x=(0,1,1)\mathbf x=(0,1,1)x=(0,1,1), y=(1)\mathbf y=(1)y=(1). Then types 2 and 3 dominate each other, every optimal decision matches one unit, and no such decision respects the relation.
  • Definition 1(ii) is required only for t+1≤Tt+1\le Tt+1≤T, because rT+1r^{T+1}rT+1 is not part of the model.
  • Lemma A.1 assumes α>0\alpha>0α>0 in part (i) and β>0\beta>0β>0 in part (ii), because α−(τ−t)\alpha^{-(\tau-t)}α−(τ−t) is undefined at α=0\alpha=0α=0.
  • Lemma A.2 assumes that Q\mathbf QQ itself is feasible.

Several printed index slips are corrected: the doubled εeij\varepsilon\mathbf e_{ij}εeij​ in the Monge exchange, the index ranges in Lemma A.1, and "and" for "or" in the compatibility step.

An optimal decision is defined as a feasible maximizer of HtH_tHt​ over feasible decisions, not through the equation Vt=HtV_t=H_tVt​=Ht​. This rules out a trivializing reading of the goal: a decision that respects the relation but is not optimal (for instance Q=0\mathbf Q=0Q=0) does not satisfy it. The goal asserts one policy that is optimal and compatible at the same time.

A complete development needs measurable-function and Bochner-integral calculus on finite-dimensional spaces, concavity and continuity of parametric suprema over polytopes, and compactness arguments for attainment. The model and the exchange lemmas are reusable for later missions on this paper (greedy matching, horizontal and vertical models). Proofs of any milestone are welcome, and so are alternative proofs of the goal.

Selected references

  • Ming Hu, Yun Zhou, Dynamic Type Matching, arXiv:1811.07048v1, 2018; Manufacturing & Service Operations Management 24(1), 2022. https://arxiv.org/abs/1811.07048 · https://doi.org/10.1287/msom.2020.0952
  • Alan J. Hoffman, On simple linear programming problems, Convexity, Proc. Symposia in Pure Mathematics 7, AMS, 1963, 317–327. https://doi.org/10.1090/pspum/007/0157783
  • Rainer E. Burkard, Bettina Klinz, Rüdiger Rudolf, Perspectives of Monge properties in optimization, Discrete Applied Mathematics 70(2), 1996, 95–161. https://doi.org/10.1016/0166-218X(95)00103-X
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Machine LearningOptimizationProbability·Captain: mikedeng1

Stochastic Model-Based Minimization of Weakly Convex Functions 2: The Proximal Stochastic Subgradient Method Drives E‖∇φ_{1/ρ̄}(x_{t*})‖² to Zero at Rate O(1/√T)Research Paper

Motivation

The proximal stochastic subgradient method is the workhorse of large-scale learning: to minimize a regularized population risk φ(x)=f(x)+r(x)\varphi(x) = f(x) + r(x)φ(x)=f(x)+r(x) with f(x)=Eξ∼P[f(x,ξ)]f(x) = \mathbb E_{\xi \sim P}[f(x,\xi)]f(x)=Eξ∼P​[f(x,ξ)], it samples a data point, takes a step against a sampled subgradient of fff, and applies the proximal map of the regularizer rrr. Its sample complexity is classical for convex problems (O(ε−2)O(\varepsilon^{-2})O(ε−2) samples for function accuracy ε\varepsilonε) and for smooth nonconvex problems (O(ε−4)O(\varepsilon^{-4})O(ε−4) samples for gradient norm ε\varepsilonε, Ghadimi–Lan 2013). For problems that are both nonsmooth and nonconvex, however, no complexity bound was known for any reasonably broad class before Davis–Drusvyatskiy 2019.

Many such problems — robust phase retrieval, nonlinear least squares with an ℓ1\ell_1ℓ1​ loss, conditional value-at-risk minimization with smooth losses, covariance estimation — are weakly convex: they become convex after adding a quadratic ρ2∥x∥2\frac{\rho}{2}\|x\|^22ρ​∥x∥2. This mission formalizes the complexity guarantee of Davis and Drusvyatskiy for the proximal stochastic subgradient method on weakly convex problems.

Timeline. Nurminskii (1973) showed that for weakly convex f(⋅,ξ)f(\cdot,\xi)f(⋅,ξ) and r=0r = 0r=0 the stochastic subgradient method has limit points that are stationary, without a rate. Ghadimi and Lan (2013) proved the O(ε−4)O(\varepsilon^{-4})O(ε−4) rate for smooth fff. Davis and Drusvyatskiy (arXiv 2018, SIAM J. Optim. 2019) proved the first rate for the proximal stochastic subgradient method under weak convexity, measured by the gradient of the Moreau envelope; this is Theorem 3.4 of their paper.

Setting

Work in Rd\mathbb R^dRd with the Euclidean norm. Let r:Rd→R∪{+∞}r : \mathbb R^d \to \mathbb R \cup \{+\infty\}r:Rd→R∪{+∞} be closed (its epigraph is closed) and convex, with nonempty domain D=dom⁡rD = \operatorname{dom} rD=domr, and let f:Rd→Rf : \mathbb R^d \to \mathbb Rf:Rd→R be ρ\rhoρ-weakly convex: x↦f(x)+ρ2∥x∥2x \mapsto f(x) + \frac{\rho}{2}\|x\|^2x↦f(x)+2ρ​∥x∥2 is convex. Set φ=f+r\varphi = f + rφ=f+r.

The subdifferential ∂ψ(x)\partial\psi(x)∂ψ(x) of a function ψ\psiψ at a point xxx of its domain is the set of vectors vvv with ψ(y)≥ψ(x)+⟨v,y−x⟩+o(∥y−x∥)\psi(y) \ge \psi(x) + \langle v, y - x\rangle + o(\|y - x\|)ψ(y)≥ψ(x)+⟨v,y−x⟩+o(∥y−x∥) as y→xy \to xy→x; it is empty off the domain. For λ>0\lambda > 0λ>0 the Moreau envelope and the proximal map are

ψλ(x)=min⁡y{ψ(y)+12λ∥y−x∥2},prox⁡λψ(x)=argmin⁡y{ψ(y)+12λ∥y−x∥2}.\psi_\lambda(x) = \min_y \Big\{\psi(y) + \tfrac{1}{2\lambda}\|y - x\|^2\Big\}, \qquad \operatorname{prox}_{\lambda\psi}(x) = \operatorname*{argmin}_y \Big\{\psi(y) + \tfrac{1}{2\lambda}\|y - x\|^2\Big\}.ψλ​(x)=ymin​{ψ(y)+2λ1​∥y−x∥2},proxλψ​(x)=yargmin​{ψ(y)+2λ1​∥y−x∥2}.

Assumption A (stochastic subgradient oracle): on a probability space (Ω,F,P)(\Omega, \mathcal F, P)(Ω,F,P) one can draw i.i.d. samples ξ0,ξ1,⋯∼P\xi_0, \xi_1, \dots \sim Pξ0​,ξ1​,⋯∼P (A1); there are an open set U⊇DU \supseteq DU⊇D and a measurable map GGG with Eξ[G(x,ξ)]∈∂f(x)\mathbb E_\xi[G(x,\xi)] \in \partial f(x)Eξ​[G(x,ξ)]∈∂f(x) for all x∈Ux \in Ux∈U (A2); and Eξ∥G(x,ξ)∥2≤L2\mathbb E_\xi\|G(x,\xi)\|^2 \le L^2Eξ​∥G(x,ξ)∥2≤L2 for all x∈Dx \in Dx∈D (A3).

Algorithm 3.1 starts at x0∈Dx_0 \in Dx0​∈D and, for t=0,…,Tt = 0, \dots, Tt=0,…,T, samples ξt\xi_tξt​ and sets xt+1=prox⁡αtr(xt−αtG(xt,ξt))x_{t+1} = \operatorname{prox}_{\alpha_t r}(x_t - \alpha_t G(x_t, \xi_t))xt+1​=proxαt​r​(xt​−αt​G(xt​,ξt​)). It returns xt∗x_{t^*}xt∗​ with t∗t^*t∗ drawn from {0,…,T}\{0, \dots, T\}{0,…,T} with probability αt/∑iαi\alpha_t / \sum_i \alpha_iαt​/∑i​αi​.

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem 3.4, (3.15) and (3.16)

For ρˉ∈(ρ,2ρ]\bar\rho \in (\rho, 2\rho]ρˉ​∈(ρ,2ρ] and stepsizes αt∈(0,1/ρˉ]\alpha_t \in (0, 1/\bar\rho]αt​∈(0,1/ρˉ​],

E[∥∇φ1/ρˉ(xt∗)∥2]≤ρˉρˉ−ρ⋅(φ1/ρˉ(x0)−min⁡φ)+2ρˉL2∑t=0Tαt2∑t=0Tαt,\mathbb E\big[\|\nabla\varphi_{1/\bar\rho}(x_{t^*})\|^2\big] \le \frac{\bar\rho}{\bar\rho - \rho}\cdot\frac{\big(\varphi_{1/\bar\rho}(x_0) - \min\varphi\big) + 2\bar\rho L^2\sum_{t=0}^T\alpha_t^2}{\sum_{t=0}^T\alpha_t},E[∥∇φ1/ρˉ​​(xt∗​)∥2]≤ρˉ​−ρρˉ​​⋅∑t=0T​αt​(φ1/ρˉ​​(x0​)−minφ)+2ρˉ​L2∑t=0T​αt2​​,

and with αt=γ/T+1\alpha_t = \gamma/\sqrt{T+1}αt​=γ/T+1​, γ∈(0,12ρ]\gamma \in (0, \frac{1}{2\rho}]γ∈(0,2ρ1​],

E[∥∇φ1/(2ρ)(xt∗)∥2]≤2⋅(φ1/(2ρ)(x0)−min⁡φ)+4ρL2γ2γT+1.\mathbb E\big[\|\nabla\varphi_{1/(2\rho)}(x_{t^*})\|^2\big] \le 2\cdot\frac{\big(\varphi_{1/(2\rho)}(x_0) - \min\varphi\big) + 4\rho L^2\gamma^2}{\gamma\sqrt{T+1}}.E[∥∇φ1/(2ρ)​(xt∗​)∥2]≤2⋅γT+1​(φ1/(2ρ)​(x0​)−minφ)+4ρL2γ2​.

Milestones

In the order the proof uses them: Lemma 2.1 (subdifferential characterization of weak convexity), the existence of v^t∈∂f(x^t)\hat v_t \in \partial f(\hat x_t)v^t​∈∂f(x^t​) with ρˉ(xt−x^t)∈∂r(x^t)+v^t\bar\rho(x_t - \hat x_t) \in \partial r(\hat x_t) + \hat v_tρˉ​(xt​−x^t​)∈∂r(x^t​)+v^t​ (§3.2), Lemma 3.2 (x^t\hat x_tx^t​ is a proximal point of rrr), Lemma 3.3 (one-step contraction towards x^t\hat x_tx^t​), Lemma 2.2 (the envelope is C1C^1C1 with ∇φλ(x)=λ−1(x−prox⁡λφ(x))\nabla\varphi_\lambda(x) = \lambda^{-1}(x - \operatorname{prox}_{\lambda\varphi}(x))∇φλ​(x)=λ−1(x−proxλφ​(x))), and the one-step descent estimate (3.14).

Significance

The result. A small ∥∇φλ(x)∥\|\nabla\varphi_\lambda(x)\|∥∇φλ​(x)∥ certifies that xxx is within λ∥∇φλ(x)∥\lambda\|\nabla\varphi_\lambda(x)\|λ∥∇φλ​(x)∥ of a point x^\hat xx^ with φ(x^)≤φ(x)\varphi(\hat x) \le \varphi(x)φ(x^)≤φ(x) and dist⁡(0,∂φ(x^))≤∥∇φλ(x)∥\operatorname{dist}(0, \partial\varphi(\hat x)) \le \|\nabla\varphi_\lambda(x)\|dist(0,∂φ(x^))≤∥∇φλ​(x)∥. Theorem 3.4 therefore gives a sample complexity of O(ε−4)O(\varepsilon^{-4})O(ε−4) for reaching an ε\varepsilonε-nearly stationary point, matching the smooth rate, for a method that is run in practice without modification. The underlying observation — the method is an approximate descent method on the Moreau envelope — is reused in the paper's model-based analysis (Theorem 4.3) and in subsequent work on stochastic nonsmooth nonconvex optimization.

Formalizing it. The theorem is proved in the paper; no machine-checked version exists. A complete development produces reusable infrastructure: the Fréchet subdifferential of extended-valued functions, weak convexity and its subgradient characterization, Moreau envelopes of weakly convex functions and their differentiability, nonexpansiveness of convex proximal maps, and the bookkeeping of iterates driven by i.i.d. samples under a product measure.

Difficulty

The obvious argument — show that φ(xt)\varphi(x_t)φ(xt​) decreases in expectation — fails: neither φ(xt)−min⁡φ\varphi(x_t) - \min\varphiφ(xt​)−minφ nor dist⁡(0,∂φ(xt))\operatorname{dist}(0, \partial\varphi(x_t))dist(0,∂φ(xt​)) need tend to zero, and the latter is discontinuous in xxx. Progress must be measured on the Moreau envelope, which requires comparing the iterate xt+1x_{t+1}xt+1​ with the proximal point x^t\hat x_tx^t​ of φ\varphiφ, not of rrr. In Lean, the heaviest single ingredient is Lemma 2.2 (differentiability of the envelope of an extended-valued weakly convex function), and the direction 4⇒14 \Rightarrow 14⇒1 of Lemma 2.1, which in the paper rests on Rockafellar–Wets' characterization of convexity by monotonicity of the subdifferential.

Formalization scope

  • Carrier. Rd\mathbb R^dRd is EuclideanSpace ℝ (Fin d). An extended-valued function is a pair (domain DDD, real values on DDD); closedness is closedness of {(x,t):x∈D, ψ(x)≤t}\{(x,t) : x \in D,\ \psi(x) \le t\}{(x,t):x∈D, ψ(x)≤t}. The subdifferential is the published regular subgradient NonconvexSplitting.Shared.IsRegularSubgrad of the +∞+\infty+∞-extended lift.
  • Proximal map. prox a z is a function constrained, for every a>0a > 0a>0, to return a minimizer over DDD of r(y)+12a∥y−z∥2r(y) + \frac{1}{2a}\|y - z\|^2r(y)+2a1​∥y−z∥2; this determines it uniquely.
  • Randomness. The samples ξ0,…,ξT\xi_0, \dots, \xi_Tξ0​,…,ξT​ form a point of ΩT+1\Omega^{T+1}ΩT+1 under the product measure P⊗(T+1)P^{\otimes(T+1)}P⊗(T+1); E\mathbb EE is the Bochner integral, and every bounded expectation is accompanied by a conclusion that its integrand is integrable. The conditional expectation Et\mathbb E_tEt​ in Lemma 3.3 is the integral over one sample with the iterate held fixed.
  • Output index. Because t∗t^*t∗ is independent of the samples, E∥∇φ1/ρˉ(xt∗)∥2\mathbb E\|\nabla\varphi_{1/\bar\rho}(x_{t^*})\|^2E∥∇φ1/ρˉ​​(xt∗​)∥2 is the α\alphaα-weighted average of E∥∇φ1/ρˉ(xt)∥2\mathbb E\|\nabla\varphi_{1/\bar\rho}(x_t)\|^2E∥∇φ1/ρˉ​​(xt​)∥2, as in the paper's (3.17).
  • min⁡φ\min\varphiminφ is an arbitrary real lower bound φ∗\varphi^*φ∗ of φ\varphiφ on DDD.
  • Corrected constant in (3.14). The paper prints the last term of (3.14) as αt2ρˉL2\alpha_t^2\bar\rho L^2αt2​ρˉ​L2; its proof, and the unfolded sum leading to (3.15), give 2αt2ρˉL22\alpha_t^2\bar\rho L^22αt2​ρˉ​L2, and that is what is stated. (3.15) and (3.16) are stated as printed.
  • Lemma 2.1 is stated for items 1–4; the clause for C2C^2C2-smooth functions is not stated. Lemma 2.2 adds the implicit hypotheses that φ\varphiφ is closed and proper, and includes existence and uniqueness of the proximal point.
  • Ruling out trivializations. The proximal map is tied to rrr, GGG is tied to ∂f\partial f∂f by (A2), min⁡φ\min\varphiminφ is not a real infimum, and integrability is concluded, so neither a junk value nor an unconstrained selection can make the statements hold vacuously; the hypotheses are satisfied by r=f=0r = f = 0r=f=0, G=0G = 0G=0.
  • Contributions welcome: proofs of the milestones, general lemmas on Moreau envelopes of weakly convex functions, and the nonexpansiveness of convex proximal maps on a closed convex domain.

Selected references

  • D. Davis and D. Drusvyatskiy, Stochastic Model-Based Minimization of Weakly Convex Functions, SIAM J. Optim. 29(1), 2019; arXiv:1803.06523v3, 2018. https://arxiv.org/abs/1803.06523
  • S. Ghadimi and G. Lan, Stochastic First- and Zeroth-Order Methods for Nonconvex Stochastic Programming, SIAM J. Optim. 23(4), 2013. https://doi.org/10.1137/120880811
  • R. T. Rockafellar and R. J.-B. Wets, Variational Analysis, Springer, 1998. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-642-02431-3
  • H. Robbins and S. Monro, A Stochastic Approximation Method, Ann. Math. Statist. 22(3), 1951. https://doi.org/10.1214/aoms/1177729586
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Greed Works – Online Algorithms For Unrelated Machine Stochastic Scheduling 2: Greedy Assignment With Nominal Start Times Is (7.216 + 3.608Δ)h(Δ)-Competitive in the Online-Time ModelResearch Paper

Motivation

Scheduling jobs on parallel machines to minimize the total weighted completion time ∑jwjCj\sum_j w_jC_j∑j​wj​Cj​ is a basic model of service and computing systems. Two features of practice are hard to combine with performance guarantees: jobs are not known in advance but arrive over time, and their processing times are random, with only their distributions known when they arrive. Machines are moreover often unrelated: a job's processing time distribution depends arbitrarily on the machine, and some jobs cannot run on some machines at all.

Gupta, Moseley, Uetz and Xie (arXiv:1703.01634, Math. Oper. Res. 2020) give the first performance guarantee for this combination: a simple greedy policy whose expected cost is within a factor depending only on the variability of the processing times of the best nonanticipatory policy, which knows all jobs in advance.

Timeline. For deterministic jobs arriving over time, Hall, Schulz, Shmoys and Wein (1997) gave an 8-competitive algorithm on unrelated machines. Megow, Uetz and Vredeveld (2006) introduced the stochastic online model and analysed greedy policies on identical machines with modified release dates. Skutella, Sviridenko and Uetz (2016) gave LP-based approximation algorithms for offline stochastic scheduling on unrelated machines, with guarantees linear in the squared coefficient of variation. The present paper (conference version IPCO 2017) treats the online, stochastic, unrelated case with release dates.

Setting

There is a finite set MMM of machines and jobs j=1,…,nj=1,\dots,nj=1,…,n. Job jjj is released at an integer time rj≥0r_j\ge0rj​≥0, jobs are indexed so that r1≤⋯≤rnr_1\le\dots\le r_nr1​≤⋯≤rn​, and job jjj has weight wj≥0w_j\ge0wj​≥0. If job jjj runs on machine iii its processing time is a random variable PijP_{ij}Pij​ with values in {0,1,2,… }\{0,1,2,\dots\}{0,1,2,…}; on forbidden pairs the page writes E[Pij]=∞\mathbb E[P_{ij}]=\inftyE[Pij​]=∞, and every job has an allowed machine. On allowed pairs E[Pij]≥1\mathbb E[P_{ij}]\ge1E[Pij​]≥1 and the variance is finite. Different jobs are independent; one job's times on different machines need not be. The squared coefficient of variation is CV[Pij]2=Var⁡[Pij]/E[Pij]2\mathbb{CV}[P_{ij}]^2=\operatorname{Var}[P_{ij}]/\mathbb E[P_{ij}]^2CV[Pij​]2=Var[Pij​]/E[Pij​]2, and Δ\DeltaΔ bounds it on every allowed pair.

A policy decides, for each job, a machine and a start time; jobs are nonpreemptive and a machine runs one job at a time. It is nonanticipatory if its decisions up to time ttt use only what is known at ttt: the processing time of a job is learned when the job completes. OPT\mathsf{OPT}OPT is the least expected cost E[∑jwjCj]\mathbb E[\sum_jw_jC_j]E[∑j​wj​Cj​] of a nonanticipatory policy that knows all jobs, release dates and distributions in advance.

The greedy algorithm (§6.1) is first defined for deterministic times pijp_{ij}pij​. On machine iii job jjj gets the modified release date rij=max⁡{rj,c pij}r_{ij}=\max\{r_j,c\,p_{ij}\}rij​=max{rj​,cpij​}. On arrival, job jjj is assigned to a machine m(j)m(j)m(j) minimizing an explicit upper bound cost⁡(j→i)\operatorname{cost}(j\to i)cost(j→i) on the increase of the objective (Definition 4), and each machine runs WSPT (largest wk/pikw_k/p_{ik}wk​/pik​ first) among its jobs whose modified release dates have passed. Run on pij=E[Pij]p_{ij}=\mathbb E[P_{ij}]pij​=E[Pij​] with c=23c=\frac23c=32​ it yields the nominal schedule (m,s)(m,s)(m,s). The stochastic greedy policy (§6.3) keeps mmm and the nominal order on each machine, and starts the ℓ\ellℓth job on machine iii at Si,ℓ=max⁡{si,ℓ,Si,ℓ−1+Pi,ℓ−1}S_{i,\ell}=\max\{s_{i,\ell},S_{i,\ell-1}+P_{i,\ell-1}\}Si,ℓ​=max{si,ℓ​,Si,ℓ−1​+Pi,ℓ−1​}, never before its nominal start. Its expected cost is ALG\mathsf{ALG}ALG, and

h(Δ)=1+Δ2 (Δ≤1),h(Δ)=1+ΔΔ+1 (Δ≥1).h(\Delta)=1+\tfrac{\sqrt\Delta}2\ (\Delta\le1),\qquad h(\Delta)=1+\tfrac{\Delta}{\Delta+1}\ (\Delta\ge1).h(Δ)=1+2Δ​​ (Δ≤1),h(Δ)=1+Δ+1Δ​ (Δ≥1).

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem 4

ALG  ≤  (7.216+3.608 Δ) h(Δ) OPT.\mathsf{ALG}\;\le\;(7.216+3.608\,\Delta)\,h(\Delta)\,\mathsf{OPT}.ALG≤(7.216+3.608Δ)h(Δ)OPT.

The goal is stated against every admissible nonanticipatory policy, for every tie-breaking of the greedy algorithm.

Milestones

  1. Lemma 6: the deterministic greedy schedule has ALG≤∑jcost⁡(j→m(j))\mathsf{ALG}\le\sum_j\operatorname{cost}(j\to m(j))ALG≤∑j​cost(j→m(j)).
  2. Lemma 7, feasibility: with αj=cost⁡(j→m(j))\alpha_j=\operatorname{cost}(j\to m(j))αj​=cost(j→m(j)), βi,t\beta_{i,t}βi,t​ the weight of jobs on machine iii released by ttt and unfinished at ttt, and the speed-scaled values (12), (αf/a,βf/b)(\alpha^f/a,\beta^f/b)(αf/a,βf/b) is feasible for the dual (Dr)(\mathrm D_r)(Dr​) when af≥2(2+c)af\ge2(2+c)af≥2(2+c), 1/c≤f(a−1)1/c\le f(a-1)1/c≤f(a−1), af≥baf\ge baf≥b.
  3. (13): zPr≤(1+Δ2)zSr≤(1+Δ2)OPTz^{P_r}\le(1+\frac\Delta2)z^{S_r}\le(1+\frac\Delta2)\mathsf{OPT}zPr​≤(1+2Δ​)zSr​≤(1+2Δ​)OPT for the time-indexed relaxations with release dates.
  4. Lemma 10: E[(X−μ)+]≤μΔ/2\mathbb E[(X-\mu)^+]\le\mu\sqrt\Delta/2E[(X−μ)+]≤μΔ​/2 for Δ≤1\Delta\le1Δ≤1 and ≤μΔ/(Δ+1)\le\mu\Delta/(\Delta+1)≤μΔ/(Δ+1) for Δ≥1\Delta\ge1Δ≥1.
  5. Lemma 8: E[Sj]≤h(Δ) sj\mathbb E[S_j]\le h(\Delta)\,s_jE[Sj​]≤h(Δ)sj​ for every job.

Significance

The result. Theorem 4 is the first constant-factor guarantee, for fixed Δ\DeltaΔ, for stochastic online scheduling on unrelated machines with release dates, and it is achieved by a combinatorial policy that needs no LP solution. For deterministic jobs (Δ=0\Delta=0Δ=0, h=1h=1h=1) it gives a deterministic 7.216-competitive algorithm (Theorem 3), improving the ratio 8 of Hall et al.; for exponential processing times (Δ=1\Delta=1Δ=1) the factor is (7.216+3.608)⋅32(7.216+3.608)\cdot\frac32(7.216+3.608)⋅23​. The order O(Δ)O(\Delta)O(Δ) matches earlier offline results on unrelated machines and online results on identical machines.

Formalizing it. The result is proved on paper and has no machine-checked proof. A formalization needs nonanticipatory policies with machine choice, a time-indexed LP relaxation with countably many variables and its weak duality, and a dual-fitting argument. It also exposes a gap: the second sentence of Lemma 7, the bound zDr(αf/a,βf/b)≥ALG/(7+1151)z^{D_r}(\alpha^f/a,\beta^f/b)\ge\mathsf{ALG}/(7+\frac{11}{51})zDr​(αf/a,βf/b)≥ALG/(7+5111​), fails as printed. On one machine with jobs r=(0,0,0,5)r=(0,0,0,5)r=(0,0,0,5), p=(54,54,1,3)p=(\frac54,\frac54,1,3)p=(45​,45​,1,3), w=(2,1,11000,1100)w=(2,1,\frac1{1000},\frac1{100})w=(2,1,10001​,1001​) the greedy schedule has ALG=6049600\mathsf{ALG}=\frac{6049}{600}ALG=6006049​ while zDr=88796400<ALG/(7+1151)=44713200z^{D_r}=\frac{8879}{6400}<\mathsf{ALG}/(7+\frac{11}{51})=\frac{4471}{3200}zDr​=64008879​<ALG/(7+5111​)=32004471​. The step ∑i,sβisf=ALG/f\sum_{i,s}\beta^f_{is}=\mathsf{ALG}/f∑i,s​βisf​=ALG/f counts a job at ⌊Ck/f⌋−⌈rk/f⌉+1\lfloor C_k/f\rfloor-\lceil r_k/f\rceil+1⌊Ck​/f⌋−⌈rk​/f⌉+1 integer slots, up to one more than Ck/fC_k/fCk​/f. A complete proof of the goal has to close this gap.

Difficulty

Three parts are hard. First, the comparison is with an optimal adaptive policy, so the lower bound has to come from a relaxation that every nonanticipatory policy satisfies in expectation. Writing the time-indexed LP for policies that choose machines at start time, idle deliberately and start at real times, and showing it is a relaxation, requires nonanticipation and job independence to decouple a job's machine from its own processing time. Second, the dual fitting runs through a speed-scaled instance with a non-integer speed f=236f=\frac{23}6f=623​, so the dual's integer slots and the schedule's real times do not align; this is where the printed objective bound breaks. Third, the obvious stochastic policy, WSEPT list scheduling without forced idleness, fails: Remark 2 of the paper gives an instance where it has E[C]=Ω(n)\mathbb E[C]=\Omega(n)E[C]=Ω(n) against O(1)O(1)O(1). The analysis therefore has to work with deliberately delayed starts.

Formalization scope

Machines are a Fintype, Nonempty type; jobs are Fin n in release order. Processing times are ℕ-valued measurable functions on a probability space, with finite second moment and mean at least one on eligible pairs, and with jobs independent (iIndepFun over jobs of the machine-indexed vectors). Forbidden pairs are an eligibility relation, never a zero or junk mean. Release dates are natural numbers: the relaxation of §6.2 has integer slots s≥rjs\ge r_js≥rj​, and (13) is false for a fractional release date. Weights are nonnegative; Δ\DeltaΔ is any upper bound on the squared coefficients of variation, which is at least as strong as the page's maximum.

OPT\mathsf{OPT}OPT is never written as an infimum. The goal and (13) quantify over every admissible policy: a map from realizations to machines and real start times that is feasible (eligible machine, start at or after release, disjoint half-open processing intervals per machine), nonanticipatory, and has integrable completion times. A non-integrable comparator would have Bochner integral 000 and would make the bound trivial or false; the integrability requirement rules this out. The greedy algorithm is a predicate on an outcome (assignment and start times): cost-minimal assignment, no start before the modified release date, no unnecessary idleness, and the WSPT priority. Every tie-breaking is covered, and the goal fixes c=23c=\frac23c=32​. The stochastic policy is the recursion Si,ℓ=max⁡{si,ℓ,Si,ℓ−1+Pi,ℓ−1}S_{i,\ell}=\max\{s_{i,\ell},S_{i,\ell-1}+P_{i,\ell-1}\}Si,ℓ​=max{si,ℓ​,Si,ℓ−1​+Pi,ℓ−1​} itself. LP feasibility includes summability of every series, and LP optima appear only through "for every feasible point there is a feasible point" statements.

A complete development needs: weak duality for (Pr)(\mathrm P_r)(Pr​)/(Dr)(\mathrm D_r)(Dr​) with countably many variables; the identity E[Cj]=CjS\mathbb E[C_j]=C^S_jE[Cj​]=CjS​ for the expected occupation variables of a nonanticipatory policy (reusable for any time-indexed stochastic scheduling relaxation); Lemma 10, a self-contained probability inequality; and the dual fitting. Contributions are welcome on each milestone and on a repaired objective bound for Lemma 7.

Selected references

  • V. Gupta, B. Moseley, M. Uetz, Q. Xie, Greed Works – Online Algorithms For Unrelated Machine Stochastic Scheduling, Mathematics of Operations Research, 2020; arXiv:1703.01634v4. https://arxiv.org/abs/1703.01634, https://doi.org/10.1287/moor.2019.0999
  • L. A. Hall, A. S. Schulz, D. B. Shmoys, J. Wein, Scheduling to minimize average completion time: off-line and on-line approximation algorithms, Mathematics of Operations Research 22:513–544, 1997. https://doi.org/10.1287/moor.22.3.513
  • N. Megow, M. Uetz, T. Vredeveld, Models and algorithms for stochastic online scheduling, Mathematics of Operations Research 31(3):513–525, 2006. https://doi.org/10.1287/moor.1060.0201
  • M. Skutella, M. Sviridenko, M. Uetz, Unrelated machine scheduling with stochastic processing times, Mathematics of Operations Research 41(3):851–864, 2016. https://doi.org/10.1287/moor.2015.0757
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Functional AnalysisMarkov ChainProbability+1·Captain: mikedeng1

Spectral Gaps for a Metropolis–Hastings Algorithm in Infinite Dimensions I: The pCN Algorithm Has a Wasserstein Spectral Gap Uniform in the Dimension When the Potential Is Globally LipschitzResearch Paper

Motivation

Sampling from a distribution described relative to a Gaussian reference law is common in Bayesian inverse problems, where an unknown function or initial condition is inferred from noisy observations. Such a distribution is naturally infinite dimensional before it is approximated on a computer. A numerical method must therefore behave reliably as the approximation dimension grows. Hairer, Stuart and Vollmer study this question for Metropolis–Hastings chains and prove that the preconditioned Crank–Nicolson (pCN) chain admits a Wasserstein mixing bound with an iteration count independent of the projection dimension Hairer, Stuart and Vollmer (2014). This mission formalizes their globally Lipschitz case, Theorem 2.12.

The central practical concern is concrete: refining a discretization should improve the target approximation without forcing the number of Markov steps needed for a fixed contraction to grow with the number of coordinates. A bound on each finite dimensional chain separately would not settle that concern, because its constants could deteriorate with dimension. The theorem requires one set of constants for the infinite dimensional chain and every finite dimensional projection.

Setting

Let HHH be a separable real Hilbert space. Its Gaussian reference measure γ\gammaγ has mean zero and a covariance eigenbasis e1,e2,…e_1,e_2,\ldotse1​,e2​,…. The subspace KmK_mKm​ is the span of the first mmm eigenvectors, and γm\gamma_mγm​ is the law of the orthogonal projection of a γ\gammaγ-distributed vector onto KmK_mKm​. The potential Φ:H→R\Phi:H\to\mathbb RΦ:H→R determines the target measures

μ(dx)=Me−Φ(x)γ(dx),μm(dx)=Mme−Φ(x)γm(dx),\mu(dx)=M e^{-\Phi(x)}\gamma(dx),\qquad \mu_m(dx)=M_m e^{-\Phi(x)}\gamma_m(dx),μ(dx)=Me−Φ(x)γ(dx),μm​(dx)=Mm​e−Φ(x)γm​(dx),

where MMM and MmM_mMm​ normalize each measure. The paper's finite dimensional chain has state space KmK_mKm​, rather than the whole space HHH with unused coordinates Hairer, Stuart and Vollmer (2014), (1.1)–(1.2).

At step size 0<δ≤1/20<\delta\le1/20<δ≤1/2, the pCN proposal from xxx is y=1−2δ x+2δ ξy=\sqrt{1-2\delta}\,x+\sqrt{2\delta}\,\xiy=1−2δ​x+2δ​ξ, with ξ\xiξ drawn from γ\gammaγ or γm\gamma_mγm​ as appropriate. The move is accepted with probability 1∧eΦ(x)−Φ(y)1\wedge e^{\Phi(x)-\Phi(y)}1∧eΦ(x)−Φ(y); rejection leaves the state at xxx. Write PPP and PmP_mPm​ for these transition kernels Hairer, Stuart and Vollmer (2014), (1.3), (1.5)–(1.6).

The potential is globally Lipschitz, e−Φe^{-\Phi}e−Φ is γ\gammaγ-integrable, and the acceptance probability has a positive lower bound in specified balls centered at 1−2δ x\sqrt{1-2\delta}\,x1−2δ​x outside a bounded region. These are Assumptions 2.10 and 2.11 Hairer, Stuart and Vollmer (2014), p. 12. The allowed ball radius is either a positive constant or r0∥x∥ar_0\|x\|^ar0​∥x∥a with r0>0r_0>0r0​>0 and 1/2<a<11/2<a<11/2<a<1.

Formalization targets

Uniform Wasserstein contraction

For ε>0\varepsilon>0ε>0, set dε(x,y)=1∧∥x−y∥/εd_\varepsilon(x,y)=1\wedge\|x-y\|/\varepsilondε​(x,y)=1∧∥x−y∥/ε. Choose the Lyapunov function V(x)=∥x∥iV(x)=\|x\|^iV(x)=∥x∥i, where i≥1i\ge1i≥1, or, in the growing-radius case, V(x)=ev∥x∥V(x)=e^{v\|x\|}V(x)=ev∥x∥ with v>0v>0v>0. The weighted cost is d~(x,y)=dε(x,y)(1+V(x)+V(y))\widetilde d(x,y)=\sqrt{d_\varepsilon(x,y)(1+V(x)+V(y))}d(x,y)=dε​(x,y)(1+V(x)+V(y))​, and Wd~W_{\widetilde d}Wd​ is its infimum over couplings.

Theorem 2.12 asserts that μ\muμ and each μm\mu_mμm​ are the unique invariant probability measures of PPP and PmP_mPm​. It also asserts that, for every sufficiently small ε\varepsilonε, there is one integer n~\widetilde nn satisfying both bounds for all probability measures on the respective spaces and for every mmm Hairer, Stuart and Vollmer (2014), p. 12:

Wd~(ν1Pn~,ν2Pn~)≤12Wd~(ν1,ν2),W_{\widetilde d}(\nu_1P^{\widetilde n},\nu_2P^{\widetilde n})\le\tfrac12 W_{\widetilde d}(\nu_1,\nu_2),Wd​(ν1​Pn,ν2​Pn)≤21​Wd​(ν1​,ν2​), Wd~m(ν1Pmn~,ν2Pmn~)≤12Wd~m(ν1,ν2).W_{\widetilde d_m}(\nu_1P_m^{\widetilde n},\nu_2P_m^{\widetilde n})\le\tfrac12 W_{\widetilde d_m}(\nu_1,\nu_2).Wdm​​(ν1​Pmn​,ν2​Pmn​)≤21​Wdm​​(ν1​,ν2​).

Here d~m\widetilde d_mdm​ is the same formula restricted to KmK_mKm​. The milestone list includes the uniform Lyapunov, contraction and smallness claims and the cited weak Harris theorem; the Gaussian projection comparison of Lemma 3.1 is a further stated lemma of the mission. Fernique's Gaussian exponential-moment result is linked to its existing published formalization.

Significance

The result bounds the number of pCN iterations needed for a fixed Wasserstein contraction uniformly over the finite dimensional approximations. It also identifies the intended target as the only invariant probability measure, so the contraction describes convergence toward the measure used by the inverse problem. The weighted Wasserstein cost permits this statement on an unbounded Hilbert space, where an ordinary total variation small-set argument would impose a different kind of regularity Hairer, Stuart and Vollmer (2014), §§2.2–2.3.

The paper proved Theorem 2.12 in 2014. The remaining work here is a machine-checked development of the pCN kernels, Gaussian projections, Wasserstein estimates, and weak Harris application. A formalized Fernique theorem already exists in the platform library; the pCN estimates and Theorem 2.12 are open draft statements in this proposal. They will be reusable in the locally Lipschitz pCN regime and in analyses of other Metropolis kernels that satisfy the same abstract contraction conditions.

Difficulty

The pCN proposal contracts the starting points, but the accept–reject step can break that direct coupling: one chain may accept a proposal while the other rejects it. A bound on the proposal distance alone therefore does not imply a bound on the transition laws. The probability of that mismatched decision must be controlled near each pair of starting points, while the acceptance lower bound must remain uniform on the projected spaces. Large starting points also require a Lyapunov estimate to enter the bounded region used by the weak Harris theorem Hairer, Stuart and Vollmer (2014), §§3.1.1–3.1.3.

Formalization scope

The Lean development represents HHH as a complete separable real inner product space with Borel measurable structure, γ\gammaγ as a centered Gaussian probability measure, and the chosen Hilbert basis as diagonalizing its covariance. Second countability is stated explicitly for the measurable pCN construction; for a separable metric space it follows from the standing setting. The projected law is the pushforward by the orthogonal projection onto KmK_mKm​, a reading of the Karhunen–Loève formula in the paper. A measurable map is essential here: Mathlib's pushforward returns zero for a nonmeasurable map.

The target is Mathlib's normalized tilted measure. The theorem explicitly concludes that both the infinite dimensional and projected targets are probability measures, so the possible junk zero from a nonintegrable tilt cannot satisfy the result. Wasserstein costs and Lyapunov expectations use extended nonnegative integrals. This avoids the junk zero of a nonintegrable Bochner integral and the junk values of a real infimum. Couplings are measures with the prescribed marginals. The acceptance kernel uses the paper's 1∧eΦ(x)−Φ(y)1\wedge e^{\Phi(x)-\Phi(y)}1∧eΦ(x)−Φ(y), including the first proposal and its rejection probability.

“Sufficiently small ε\varepsilonε” means ∃ε0>0 ∀ε∈(0,ε0]\exists\varepsilon_0>0\,\forall\varepsilon\in(0,\varepsilon_0]∃ε0​>0∀ε∈(0,ε0​]. The iteration count is chosen before mmm and before the input probability measures. Positive radius, positive power exponent and positive exponential coefficient exclude empty acceptance balls and the constant Lyapunov function. The m=0m=0m=0 projection is retained as the zero dimensional subspace. Contributions that establish the Gaussian comparison, the three pCN estimates, or the abstract weak Harris statement are within scope.

Selected references

  • M. Hairer, A. M. Stuart and S. J. Vollmer, Spectral gaps for a Metropolis–Hastings algorithm in infinite dimensions, Annals of Applied Probability 24(6), 2014, 2455–2490. arXiv:1112.1392v4, DOI:10.1214/13-AAP982.
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Linear algebraMathematical PhysicsQuantum Information·Captain: mikedeng1

Quantum Algorithm for Simulating Real Time Evolution of Lattice Hamiltonians 1: Lieb–Robinson Bound ‖[A(t),B]‖ ≤ (2/√η)‖A‖‖B‖(e^{ζ|t|√(8η)}−1)Σ_{x∈X}e^{−μ dist(x,Y)} Under Small CommutatorsResearch Paper

Motivation

A local quantum system is built from degrees of freedom placed at sites of a lattice. Its Hamiltonian may contain many terms, each acting on a small group of sites. Even though a term is local, time evolution can spread an observable beyond its original support. A Lieb–Robinson bound limits the size of a commutator between the evolved observable and one supported elsewhere. It gives a quantitative way to say that information propagates with an effective finite velocity. The Appendix C bound of Haah, Hastings, Kothari and Low treats interactions with exponential spatial decay and makes the effect of almost commuting Hamiltonian terms explicit.

The paper studies quantum simulation, where a system's real time evolution is approximated by a circuit. Lemma 12 is an analytic ingredient: it controls how far a local observable can spread during the simulated evolution. The mission targets that lemma and the displayed estimates in its proof, with the constants printed in the pinned arXiv version. The paper proves the results; the remaining task here is to give the stated finite system version machine checked proofs.

Setting

Let Λ\LambdaΛ be a finite set of sites equipped with a metric dist⁡(x,y)\operatorname{dist}(x,y)dist(x,y). Each site has the same local Hilbert space Cq\mathbb C^qCq, and the whole system has product basis indexed by configurations σ:Λ→{0,…,q−1}\sigma:\Lambda\to\{0,\ldots,q-1\}σ:Λ→{0,…,q−1}. An operator supported on X⊆ΛX\subseteq\LambdaX⊆Λ is a matrix of the form mX⊗IΛ∖Xm_X\otimes I_{\Lambda\setminus X}mX​⊗IΛ∖X​: it may change the configuration on XXX, but acts as the identity on every site outside XXX. The matrix norm throughout is the spectral operator norm.

For every X⊆ΛX\subseteq\LambdaX⊆Λ, let hXh_XhX​ be a Hermitian operator supported on XXX, and define the time independent Hamiltonian H=∑X⊆ΛhXH=\sum_{X\subseteq\Lambda}h_XH=∑X⊆Λ​hX​. The sum includes all subsets, including the empty set. Let

O(t;J)=eiJtOe−iJt,O(t)=O(t;H).O(t;J)=e^{iJt}Oe^{-iJt},\qquad O(t)=O(t;H).O(t;J)=eiJtOe−iJt,O(t)=O(t;H).

For site sets, write X∼YX\sim YX∼Y when X∩Y≠∅X\cap Y\ne\varnothingX∩Y=∅, and dist⁡(x,Y)=min⁡y∈Ydist⁡(x,y)\operatorname{dist}(x,Y)=\min_{y\in Y}\operatorname{dist}(x,y)dist(x,Y)=miny∈Y​dist(x,y) when YYY is nonempty. The diameter is diam⁡(X)=max⁡x,y∈Xdist⁡(x,y)\operatorname{diam}(X)=\max_{x,y\in X}\operatorname{dist}(x,y)diam(X)=maxx,y∈X​dist(x,y) for nonempty XXX. The paper imposes two quantitative conditions. First, for some 0≤η≤10\le\eta\le10≤η≤1, every pair of terms has a small commutator:

∥[hX,hY]∥≤2η∥hX∥∥hY∥.(14)\|[h_X,h_Y]\|\le 2\eta\|h_X\|\|h_Y\|.\tag{14}∥[hX​,hY​]∥≤2η∥hX​∥∥hY​∥.(14)

Second, for some ζ,μ>0\zeta,\mu>0ζ,μ>0, the interactions decay in the weighted sense

∑X∋x∥hX∥ ∣X∣2eμdiam⁡(X)≤ζ(x∈Λ).(15)\sum_{X\ni x}\|h_X\|\,|X|^2e^{\mu\operatorname{diam}(X)}\le\zeta \qquad(x\in\Lambda).\tag{15}X∋x∑​∥hX​∥∣X∣2eμdiam(X)≤ζ(x∈Λ).(15)

Neither condition bounds each ∥hX∥\|h_X\|∥hX​∥ by one. This matters because the result is meant to include large but nearly commuting terms. These conventions are from Appendix C.1 of the source.

Formalization targets

The goal is Lemma 12. For an operator AAA supported on XXX and an operator BBB supported on a disjoint set YYY, and every real ttt, the proposed formal statement is

∥[A(t),B]∥≤2η∥A∥∥B∥(eζ∣t∣8η−1)∑x∈Xe−μdist⁡(x,Y).(16)\|[A(t),B]\|\le \frac{2}{\sqrt\eta}\|A\|\|B\| \bigl(e^{\zeta|t|\sqrt{8\eta}}-1\bigr) \sum_{x\in X}e^{-\mu\operatorname{dist}(x,Y)}. \tag{16}∥[A(t),B]∥≤η​2​∥A∥∥B∥(eζ∣t∣8η​−1)x∈X∑​e−μdist(x,Y).(16)

The coefficient of ∣t∣|t|∣t∣ in the exponential is proportional to η\sqrt\etaη​. The goal keeps the paper's explicit factor 2/η2/\sqrt\eta2/η​, its 8η\sqrt{8\eta}8η​ inside the exponential, and the full sum over sites in XXX. The statement is for η>0\eta>0η>0, as the displayed formula is undefined at η=0\eta=0η=0; a family satisfying (14) with η=0\eta=0η=0 also satisfies it for any positive η≤1\eta\le1η≤1.

The milestones follow the source's numbered displays: the initial estimates for CBC_BCB​ and DBD_BDB​ in (28), their integral inequalities (24) and (27), the linked set series (32), the four estimates of Proposition 13, and the bound on its kkkth line in (37). Here CB(X,t)C_B(X,t)CB​(X,t) takes a supremum over supported operators of norm at most one, and DB(X,t)=∥[hX(t),B]∥D_B(X,t)=\|[h_X(t),B]\|DB​(X,t)=∥[hX​(t),B]∥. The milestone list is a map of the quantities that the proof controls, while the goal itself mentions only the physical operators and the two hypotheses.

Significance

The bound shows that a commutator is small when the support of BBB is far from XXX, with a rate determined by the decay parameter μ\muμ and the small commutator parameter η\etaη. It applies to finite systems of any size with the same constants in (14) and (15). This makes it useful for reasoning about local approximations of time evolution in the quantum simulation setting of the paper. The authors also explain why a velocity proportional to η\sqrt\etaη​ can occur under their hypotheses, so a linear dependence on η\etaη is not generally available. See the discussion immediately after Lemma 12 in Appendix C.1.

Formalizing the result would supply a reusable finite matrix model of local observables and a checked version of the analytic estimates for near commuting interactions. The source paper provides a proof, but this proposed statement and its milestones currently have no machine checked proof in the mission. The definitions of support, Heisenberg evolution and linked interactions may also be reused in later formalizations of quantum lattice dynamics.

Difficulty

The obvious global norm bound ∥[A(t),B]∥≤2∥A∥∥B∥\|[A(t),B]\|\le2\|A\|\|B\|∥[A(t),B]∥≤2∥A∥∥B∥ ignores the distance between supports. Merely bounding ∥H∥\|H\|∥H∥ also loses spatial information and can grow with the whole system. The sharper statement simultaneously tracks where an interaction overlaps the current support and how the small commutator factor enters repeated interactions. A rigorous treatment must control a supremum over local operators, time dependent matrix exponentials, and an infinite series of finite linked set sums without changing any of the paper's constants.

Formalization scope

Sites form an arbitrary finite metric space, a disclosed generalization of the lattice setting used for the main algorithm. A common local dimension qqq is used at every site; qubits occur at q=2q=2q=2. Operators are complex matrices on the configuration space Λ→Fin⁡(q)\Lambda\to\operatorname{Fin}(q)Λ→Fin(q), with Mathlib's scoped L2 operator norm. Every term is Hermitian and explicitly supported on its stated set, and HHH is the sum over all subsets. Time is real and HHH is constant in time. The paper mentions a piecewise continuous time dependent extension, which this mission does not state.

The goal explicitly requires X∩Y=∅X\cap Y=\varnothingX∩Y=∅. The printed sentence of Lemma 12 omits this, but its derivation on page 24 assumes it; without disjointness the right side is zero at t=0t=0t=0 while the left side need not be. The positive η\etaη condition is likewise explicit. These are the two repairs to the printed lemma, and they are recorded on each relevant item. The milestones (24) and (27) are restricted to t≥0t\ge0t≥0, the direction for which the displayed forward integral uses DB(Z,s)D_B(Z,s)DB​(Z,s) and CB(Z∪X,s)C_B(Z\cup X,s)CB​(Z∪X,s).

For an empty set, the Lean point to set distance and the local set distance are taken to be zero; a supported operator on the empty set is a scalar, so its commutators vanish. CBC_BCB​ uses a real supremum of a nonempty, bounded set, and (32) states an actual sum with HasSum. The integral milestones involve continuous finite dimensional evolution. The support definition includes nonconstant single site operators, and the q=2q=2q=2 case is part of the goal. These choices prevent the result from being obtained through a vacuous support predicate, an entrywise norm, division by zero at η=0\eta=0η=0, a default value of an unbounded supremum or divergent sum, or omitted disjointness. Contributions that establish the support calculus, matrix evolution estimates, integral inequalities, or linked set bounds are all within scope.

Selected references

  • Jeongwan Haah, Matthew B. Hastings, Robin Kothari and Guang Hao Low, Quantum algorithm for simulating real time evolution of lattice Hamiltonians, SIAM Journal on Computing, 2021. arXiv:1801.03922v4, Appendix C.1–C.3, pp. 21–25.
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Markov ChainProbabilityStatistics·Captain: mikedeng1

Spectral Gaps for a Metropolis–Hastings Algorithm in Infinite Dimensions III: The L²-Spectral Gap of Random Walk Metropolis for a Gaussian Target Vanishes Faster Than Any Power of the DimensionResearch Paper

Motivation

Bayesian inverse problems and conditioned diffusions lead to probability measures on function spaces, and these are sampled in practice through finite-dimensional approximations on Rm\mathbb R^mRm with mmm large. A Markov chain Monte Carlo method is useful in this setting only if its convergence rate does not deteriorate as the discretisation is refined. Random walk Metropolis (RWM), the default Metropolis–Hastings algorithm, is known from diffusion-limit analyses to need step sizes of order 1/m1/m1/m for Gaussian-type targets (Roberts, Gelman and Gilks 1997; Beskos, Roberts and Stuart 2009). Those results describe a scaling limit of the chain in stationarity; they do not bound the speed of convergence of the chain itself.

Hairer, Stuart and Vollmer (arXiv:1112.1392v4, Ann. Appl. Probab. 2014) prove that the preconditioned Crank–Nicolson algorithm has a spectral gap bounded below uniformly in mmm, and in §2.4 they show by an explicit example that RWM does not: its L2L^2L2-spectral gap vanishes as m→∞m\to\inftym→∞, faster than any power of mmm unless the step size decays at least like 1/m1/m1/m. This mission formalizes that negative result.

Setting

Fix m≥1m\ge1m≥1. The target is the Gaussian measure

γm=L(∑i=1m1i ξiei),ξi i.i.d. N(0,1),\gamma_m=\mathcal L\Bigl(\sum_{i=1}^m\tfrac1i\,\xi_i e_i\Bigr),\qquad \xi_i\ \text{i.i.d.}\ \mathcal N(0,1),γm​=L(i=1∑m​i1​ξi​ei​),ξi​ i.i.d. N(0,1),

on Rm\mathbb R^mRm: the coordinates x1,…,xmx_1,\dots,x_mx1​,…,xm​ are independent and xi∼N(0,1/i2)x_i\sim\mathcal N(0,1/i^2)xi​∼N(0,1/i2). Its covariance CCC satisfies ⟨x,C−1x⟩=∑i=1mi2xi2\langle x,C^{-1}x\rangle=\sum_{i=1}^m i^2x_i^2⟨x,C−1x⟩=∑i=1m​i2xi2​.

A Metropolis–Hastings kernel with proposal kernel QQQ and acceptance probability α(x,y)∈[0,1]\alpha(x,y)\in[0,1]α(x,y)∈[0,1] is

P(x,dz)=Q(x,dz) α(x,z)+δx(dz)∫(1−α(x,u)) Q(x,du).P(x,dz)=Q(x,dz)\,\alpha(x,z)+\delta_x(dz)\int\bigl(1-\alpha(x,u)\bigr)\,Q(x,du).P(x,dz)=Q(x,dz)α(x,z)+δx​(dz)∫(1−α(x,u))Q(x,du).

RWM with step size δ>0\delta>0δ>0 proposes y=x+2δ ξy=x+\sqrt{2\delta}\,\xiy=x+2δ​ξ with ξ∼γm\xi\sim\gamma_mξ∼γm​ and accepts with probability α(x,y)=1∧exp⁡(∑i=1mi22(xi2−yi2))\alpha(x,y)=1\wedge\exp\bigl(\sum_{i=1}^m\frac{i^2}{2}(x_i^2-y_i^2)\bigr)α(x,y)=1∧exp(∑i=1m​2i2​(xi2​−yi2​)). The resulting kernel PmP_mPm​ is reversible with respect to γm\gamma_mγm​. The expected acceptance probability from xxx is α(x)=∫α(x,y) Q(x,dy)\alpha(x)=\int\alpha(x,y)\,Q(x,dy)α(x)=∫α(x,y)Q(x,dy).

For a Markov kernel PPP with invariant probability measure μ\muμ, write (Pf)(x)=∫f(y) P(x,dy)(Pf)(x)=\int f(y)\,P(x,dy)(Pf)(x)=∫f(y)P(x,dy), μ(f)=∫f dμ\mu(f)=\int f\,d\muμ(f)=∫fdμ and

β=∥P∥L02→L02=sup⁡f∈Lμ2∥Pf−μ(f)∥2∥f−μ(f)∥2;\beta=\|P\|_{L^2_0\to L^2_0}=\sup_{f\in L^2_\mu}\frac{\|Pf-\mu(f)\|_2}{\|f-\mu(f)\|_2};β=∥P∥L02​→L02​​=f∈Lμ2​sup​∥f−μ(f)∥2​∥Pf−μ(f)∥2​​;

1−β1-\beta1−β is the Lμ2L^2_\muLμ2​-spectral gap. The conductance is

C=inf⁡0<μ(A)≤1/2∫AP(x,Ac) dμ(x)μ(A).\mathsf C=\inf_{0<\mu(A)\le1/2}\frac{\int_A P(x,A^c)\,d\mu(x)}{\mu(A)}.C=0<μ(A)≤1/2inf​μ(A)∫A​P(x,Ac)dμ(x)​.

The step size is scaled with the dimension as δm=s m−a\delta_m=s\,m^{-a}δm​=sm−a with s>0s>0s>0 and a≥0a\ge0a≥0; βm\beta_mβm​ is β\betaβ for PmP_mPm​ and μ=γm\mu=\gamma_mμ=γm​.

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem 2.17 (1)

For a∈[0,1)a\in[0,1)a∈[0,1), s>0s>0s>0 and every ppp, there is a constant KKK, independent of mmm, such that

1−βm≤K m−pfor all m≥1.1-\beta_m\le K\,m^{-p}\qquad\text{for all } m\ge1 .1−βm​≤Km−pfor all m≥1.

Companion: Theorem 2.17 (2)

For a≥1a\ge1a≥1 and s>0s>0s>0 there is a constant KKK, independent of mmm, such that 1−βm≤K m−a/21-\beta_m\le K\,m^{-a/2}1−βm​≤Km−a/2 for all m≥1m\ge1m≥1.

Milestones

  1. Cheeger's inequality (2.7): 1−β≤2C1-\beta\le2\mathsf C1−β≤2C for a μ\muμ-reversible Markov kernel (cited by the paper).
  2. The conductance displays of p. 15: C≤inf⁡A∫Aα(x) μ(dx)/μ(A)\mathsf C\le\inf_A\int_A\alpha(x)\,\mu(dx)/\mu(A)C≤infA​∫A​α(x)μ(dx)/μ(A) and C≤sup⁡x∈Bα(x)\mathsf C\le\sup_{x\in B}\alpha(x)C≤supx∈B​α(x) for 0<μ(B)≤120<\mu(B)\le\frac120<μ(B)≤21​.
  3. Proposition 2.16: 1−β≤2C≤2sup⁡x∈Bα(x)1-\beta\le2\mathsf C\le2\sup_{x\in B}\alpha(x)1−β≤2C≤2supx∈B​α(x) (2.8) and 1−β≤2C≤2inf⁡A∫AQ(x,Ac) dμ/μ(A)1-\beta\le2\mathsf C\le2\inf_A\int_AQ(x,A^c)\,d\mu/\mu(A)1−β≤2C≤2infA​∫A​Q(x,Ac)dμ/μ(A) (2.9) for any Metropolis–Hastings kernel.
  4. Proposition 2.16, second branch of (2.8): 1−β≤2C≤2 Eμα(x)1-\beta\le2\mathsf C\le2\,\mathbb E_\mu\alpha(x)1−β≤2C≤2Eμ​α(x), for atomless μ\muμ.
  5. The acceptance bound of the proof of Theorem 2.17: for λ∈[0,1]\lambda\in[0,1]λ∈[0,1], α(x)≤(1+2λδ)−m/2exp⁡(∑i=1mδλ2i2xi2/(2δλ+1))\alpha(x)\le(1+2\lambda\delta)^{-m/2}\exp\bigl(\sum_{i=1}^m\delta\lambda^2i^2x_i^2/(2\delta\lambda+1)\bigr)α(x)≤(1+2λδ)−m/2exp(∑i=1m​δλ2i2xi2​/(2δλ+1)).
  6. The half-space estimate for part (2): A={x1≥0}A=\{x_1\ge0\}A={x1​≥0} has γm(A)=12\gamma_m(A)=\frac12γm​(A)=21​ and ∫AQ(x,Ac) γm(dx)≤cδ/(δ+1)\int_AQ(x,A^c)\,\gamma_m(dx)\le c\sqrt{\delta/(\delta+1)}∫A​Q(x,Ac)γm​(dx)≤cδ/(δ+1)​ with ccc independent of mmm and δ\deltaδ.
  7. Theorem 2.17 (2).

Significance

The theorem separates two algorithms that differ only in their proposal. For the same Gaussian targets (the case Φ=0\Phi=0Φ=0 of the paper), the preconditioned Crank–Nicolson algorithm has an L2L^2L2-spectral gap bounded below uniformly in mmm, while RWM's gap collapses. For a reversible chain the spectral gap determines the worst-case asymptotic variance of ergodic averages over Lμ2L^2_\muLμ2​ observables, so for RWM at a fixed step-size decay a<1a<1a<1 that worst case grows faster than any polynomial in mmm. Proposition 2.16 is reusable on its own: it bounds the spectral gap of every Metropolis–Hastings kernel by the acceptance probability or by the proposal's flow, on any measurable space. It also turns diffusion-limit statements about acceptance rates into bounds on the spectral gap.

The results are proved in the paper (Cheeger's inequality is cited from Lawler and Sokal 1988 and Sinclair and Jerrum 1989). No part has a machine-checked proof. The prove2me library has Cheeger's inequality for finite-state reversible chains (MarkovMixing.cheeger_upper), not for kernels on general measurable spaces with the L02L^2_0L02​ operator norm. A complete development would contain the first formal Cheeger upper bound in that generality, the Metropolis–Hastings conductance bounds, and an explicit Gaussian computation for RWM.

Difficulty

Three steps resist a direct transcription. First, Cheeger's inequality has to be stated and proved for the Markov operator on Lμ2L^2_\muLμ2​ of a general measurable space: PfPfPf is a Bochner integral that is finite only μ\muμ-almost everywhere, and every identity relating β\betaβ to the flow between sets passes through invariance and centring. Second, the acceptance bound is an exact Gaussian computation in mmm dimensions with explicit constants, where an off-by-one in the coordinate weights changes the target. Third, the asymptotic step: the acceptance probability is small only on sets where the weighted quantity ∑ii2xi2\sum_i i^2x_i^2∑i​i2xi2​ is controlled, but a typical draw from γm\gamma_mγm​ has ∑ii2xi2\sum_i i^2x_i^2∑i​i2xi2​ of order mmm. A bound on α(x)\alpha(x)α(x) over all of Rm\mathbb R^mRm, or over a Euclidean ball, gives no decay, and the set used in Proposition 2.16 must keep γm\gamma_mγm​-mass bounded away from 000 uniformly in mmm while α\alphaα decays on it faster than every power of mmm.

Formalization scope

  • State space Fin m → ℝ. The Lean coordinate i : Fin m is the paper's xi+1x_{i+1}xi+1​, with variance 1/(i+1)21/(i+1)^21/(i+1)2 and weight (i+1)2(i+1)^2(i+1)2. The target is Measure.pi of gaussianReal 0 (1/(i+1)^2).
  • Kernels. The Metropolis–Hastings kernel is Q.withDensity α + Kernel.id.withDensity (rejection mass), with α : X → X → ℝ≥0∞. Every statement assumes α ≤ 1 and joint measurability (without it withDensity is the zero kernel). The RWM acceptance probability is Algorithm 2's with Φ=0\Phi=0Φ=0, with the exponential (display (1.4) omits it, a misprint).
  • β\betaβ is the real supremum of the ratios over measurable f∈Lμ2f\in L^2_\muf∈Lμ2​ with ∥f−μ(f)∥2≠0\|f-\mu(f)\|_2\ne0∥f−μ(f)∥2​=0, norms via eLpNorm. For a μ\muμ-invariant Markov kernel the ratio set is bounded by 111, and for γm\gamma_mγm​ with m≥1m\ge1m≥1 it is nonempty, so βm\beta_mβm​ is not a junk value.
  • Conductance is in [0,∞][0,\infty][0,∞] with the infimum over measurable AAA with 0<μ(A)≤120<\mu(A)\le\frac120<μ(A)≤21​. The condition 0<μ(A)0<\mu(A)0<μ(A) is added: with 0/0=00/0=00/0=0 it would otherwise force C=0\mathsf C=0C=0. Cheeger's inequality and Proposition 2.16 are stated in [0,∞][0,\infty][0,∞] with max⁡(1−β,0)\max(1-\beta,0)max(1−β,0) on the left.
  • Added hypotheses and readings. "δm∼m−a\delta_m\sim m^{-a}δm​∼m−a" is read as δm=s m−a\delta_m=s\,m^{-a}δm​=sm−a for a fixed s>0s>0s>0 (p. 14), and KKK may depend on sss. The bounds hold for all m≥1m\ge1m≥1, not only for large mmm. "Any ppp" is every real ppp. Proposition 2.16's "Metropolis–Hastings kernel for a target μ\muμ" is formalized as reversibility of PPP with respect to μ\muμ. Its undefined middle term 1−Λ1-\Lambda1−Λ is dropped. Its Eμα\mathbb E_\mu\alphaEμ​α branch carries an added atomlessness hypothesis on μ\muμ.
  • Trivializations ruled out. No statement involves a Bochner integral of a possibly non-integrable function or a real supremum over a possibly empty or unbounded set at the relevant parameters. KKK is quantified before mmm. The target is a probability measure by construction.
  • Infrastructure. The development needs the Markov operator on Lμ2L^2_\muLμ2​, Jensen's inequality for kernels, Gaussian integrals on Rm\mathbb R^mRm with explicit constants, and tail estimates for γm\gamma_mγm​ in weighted norms. Cheeger's inequality and Proposition 2.16 are reusable beyond this mission. Contributions of any of the milestones, or of alternative proofs of the goal, are welcome.

Selected references

  • M. Hairer, A. M. Stuart and S. J. Vollmer, Spectral gaps for a Metropolis–Hastings algorithm in infinite dimensions, Ann. Appl. Probab. 24(6) (2014) 2455–2490; arXiv:1112.1392v4. https://arxiv.org/abs/1112.1392
  • G. F. Lawler and A. D. Sokal, Bounds on the L2L^2L2 spectrum for Markov chains and Markov processes: a generalization of Cheeger's inequality, Trans. Amer. Math. Soc. 309 (1988) 557–580. https://doi.org/10.1090/S0002-9947-1988-0930082-9
  • A. Sinclair and M. Jerrum, Approximate counting, uniform generation and rapidly mixing Markov chains, Inform. and Comput. 82 (1989) 93–133. https://doi.org/10.1016/0890-5401(89)90067-9
  • A. Beskos, G. Roberts and A. Stuart, Optimal scalings for local Metropolis–Hastings chains on nonproduct targets in high dimensions, Ann. Appl. Probab. 19(3) (2009) 863–898. https://doi.org/10.1214/08-AAP563
  • G. O. Roberts, A. Gelman and W. R. Gilks, Weak convergence and optimal scaling of random walk Metropolis algorithms, Ann. Appl. Probab. 7(1) (1997) 110–120. https://doi.org/10.1214/aoap/1034625254
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Dynamical SystemsMarkov ChainProbability+1·Captain: mikedeng1

Coexistence and Extinction for Stochastic Kolmogorov Systems 1: If Every Boundary Ergodic Measure Repels, X Converges Exponentially Fast in Total Variation to a Unique Interior Stationary LawResearch Paper

Motivation

Whether interacting species can coexist in a fluctuating environment is one of the basic questions of mathematical ecology. Deterministic models (Lotka–Volterra competition, predator–prey systems, food chains) answer it through invasion criteria: a population persists if, whenever it is rare, it grows. In a random environment the analogous criterion is phrased through Lyapunov exponents (long-run per-capita growth rates) computed against stationary distributions of the subcommunities in which some species are absent. Schreiber, Benaïm and Atchadé ([SBA11], J. Math. Biol. 62 (2011), MR 2786721) proved such a criterion for stochastic differential equations on a compact state space; A. Hening and D. H. Nguyen (arXiv:1704.06984, Ann. Appl. Probab. 2018) extended it to the non-compact orthant R+n\mathbb R^n_+R+n​, which is where population sizes actually live, and added an exponential rate of convergence.

Timeline. [SBA11] (2011) gave the compact-state SDE criterion via a minimax principle; Hening and Nguyen (2017/2018) removed compactness, proved convergence in total variation at a geometric rate, and in the same paper gave matching extinction results (the second and third missions of this series).

Setting

Let n≥1n\ge1n≥1 be the number of populations and X(t)=(X1(t),…,Xn(t))∈R+n=[0,∞)nX(t)=(X_1(t),\dots,X_n(t))\in\mathbb R^n_+=[0,\infty)^nX(t)=(X1​(t),…,Xn​(t))∈R+n​=[0,∞)n their sizes. The stochastic Kolmogorov system is

dXi(t)=Xi(t)fi(X(t)) dt+Xi(t)gi(X(t)) dEi(t),i=1,…,n,dX_i(t)=X_i(t)f_i(X(t))\,dt+X_i(t)g_i(X(t))\,dE_i(t),\qquad i=1,\dots,n,dXi​(t)=Xi​(t)fi​(X(t))dt+Xi​(t)gi​(X(t))dEi​(t),i=1,…,n,

where fif_ifi​ are per-capita growth rates, gig_igi​ noise intensities, and E(t)=Γ⊤B(t)E(t)=\Gamma^\top B(t)E(t)=Γ⊤B(t) with BBB an nnn-dimensional standard Brownian motion and Σ=Γ⊤Γ=(σij)\Sigma=\Gamma^\top\Gamma=(\sigma_{ij})Σ=Γ⊤Γ=(σij​). Write R+n,∘=(0,∞)n\mathbb R^{n,\circ}_+=(0,\infty)^nR+n,∘​=(0,∞)n for the states with all species present, ∂R+n\partial\mathbb R^n_+∂R+n​ for its complement (some species absent) and ∥x∥=∑i∣xi∣\|x\|=\sum_i|x_i|∥x∥=∑i​∣xi​∣.

Assumption 1.1 (standing) requires: the matrix (gi(x)gj(x)σij)(g_i(x)g_j(x)\sigma_{ij})(gi​(x)gj​(x)σij​) is positive definite on R+n\mathbb R^n_+R+n​; fi,gif_i,g_ifi​,gi​ are locally Lipschitz; and for some c∈R+n,∘c\in\mathbb R^{n,\circ}_+c∈R+n,∘​, γb>0\gamma_b>0γb​>0,

lim sup⁡∥x∥→∞[∑icixifi(x)1+c⊤x−12∑i,jσijcicjxixjgi(x)gj(x)(1+c⊤x)2+γb(1+∑i(∣fi(x)∣+gi2(x)))]<0,\limsup_{\|x\|\to\infty}\Big[\frac{\sum_ic_ix_if_i(x)}{1+c^\top x}-\frac12\frac{\sum_{i,j}\sigma_{ij}c_ic_jx_ix_jg_i(x)g_j(x)}{(1+c^\top x)^2}+\gamma_b\Big(1+\sum_i(|f_i(x)|+g_i^2(x))\Big)\Big]<0,∥x∥→∞limsup​[1+c⊤x∑i​ci​xi​fi​(x)​−21​(1+c⊤x)2∑i,j​σij​ci​cj​xi​xj​gi​(x)gj​(x)​+γb​(1+i∑​(∣fi​(x)∣+gi2​(x)))]<0,

a dissipativity condition satisfied by logistic and competitive Lotka–Volterra models.

PX(t,x,⋅)P_X(t,x,\cdot)PX​(t,x,⋅) is the law of X(t)X(t)X(t) started at xxx. A probability measure μ\muμ is invariant if ∫PX(t,x,⋅) μ(dx)=μ\int P_X(t,x,\cdot)\,\mu(dx)=\mu∫PX​(t,x,⋅)μ(dx)=μ for all ttt; ergodic invariant measures are the extreme points of that convex set. M\mathcal MM is the set of ergodic invariant probability measures supported on ∂R+n\partial\mathbb R^n_+∂R+n​ (it contains the Dirac mass δ∗\delta^*δ∗ at 000), and Conv(M)\mathrm{Conv}(\mathcal M)Conv(M) its finite convex combinations. The Lyapunov exponent of species iii at μ\muμ is

λi(μ)=∫(fi(x)−σiigi2(x)2)μ(dx).\lambda_i(\mu)=\int\Big(f_i(x)-\frac{\sigma_{ii}g_i^2(x)}{2}\Big)\mu(dx).λi​(μ)=∫(fi​(x)−2σii​gi2​(x)​)μ(dx).

Assumption 1.2: max⁡iλi(μ)>0\max_i\lambda_i(\mu)>0maxi​λi​(μ)>0 for every μ∈Conv(M)\mu\in\mathrm{Conv}(\mathcal M)μ∈Conv(M) — every boundary state is invadable by some missing species.

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem 1.1 (p. 6)

Under Assumptions 1.1 and 1.2 there is an invariant probability measure π∗\pi^*π∗ with π∗(R+n,∘)=1\pi^*(\mathbb R^{n,\circ}_+)=1π∗(R+n,∘​)=1, it is the only invariant probability measure concentrated on R+n,∘\mathbb R^{n,\circ}_+R+n,∘​, and for some r∈(0,1)r\in(0,1)r∈(0,1) and every x∈R+n,∘x\in\mathbb R^{n,\circ}_+x∈R+n,∘​ there is CxC_xCx​ with

∥PX(t,x,⋅)−π∗∥TV≤Cx rt,t≥0.\|P_X(t,x,\cdot)-\pi^*\|_{TV}\le C_x\,r^t,\qquad t\ge0.∥PX​(t,x,⋅)−π∗∥TV​≤Cx​rt,t≥0.

This is strong stochastic persistence (Definition 1.1) with an exponential rate; it leaves the rate rrr and the constants unspecified, as the paper does.

Milestones

The milestones follow the proof: well-posedness, invariant faces and the moment bound (3.6) (Lemma 3.1); uniform moment bounds and the Feller property (Lemma 3.2); integrability under invariant measures (Lemma 3.3); δ∗∈M\delta^*\in\mathcal Mδ∗∈M; convergence of occupation-measure integrals (Lemma 3.4); the log-Laplace bound (Lemma 3.5); irreducibility, aperiodicity and petite compacts for the skeleton chain (Lemma 3.6); the weighted invasion rate (4.1); boundary repulsion on average (Lemma 4.1); the Lyapunov contraction near the boundary (Proposition 4.1); the geometric drift (4.18); geometric ergodicity of the skeleton chain (4.26).

Significance

The result. Theorem 1.1 turns coexistence into a checkable condition on boundary subcommunities: one computes invasion rates of missing species against the stationary laws of the smaller systems. It is the persistence half of a dichotomy whose extinction half (Theorems 1.2–1.3) uses the same exponents, and it underlies the classification of stochastic food chains in the paper's own §2 (Theorem 2.1). The exponential rate gives quantitative mixing and supports further limit theorems for time averages.

Formalizing it. The theorem is proved in the paper but no machine-checked proof is recorded in this mission. A formalization exercises a chain of tools largely absent from current libraries: strong solutions of SDEs with locally Lipschitz coefficients on a closed orthant, the Feller property, tightness and weak limits of occupation measures, invariant and ergodic measures of diffusions, Meyn–Tweedie theory for skeleton chains, and log-Laplace (cumulant) estimates. Each milestone is a self-contained target; several (Lemma 3.5, the Meyn–Tweedie step) are independent of the population model.

Difficulty

The naive argument — positive invasion rates at each boundary ergodic measure imply that the process is pushed away from the boundary — fails twice. First, the state space is non-compact, so occupation measures need not be tight and the growth-rate functionals are unbounded; Assumption 1.1(3) and the moment bounds of Lemmas 3.2–3.4 are what replace compactness. Second, invasion rates are averages along the boundary dynamics, not pointwise drifts: the Lyapunov function V(x)=(1+c⊤x)/∏ixipiV(x)=(1+c^\top x)/\prod_ix_i^{p_i}V(x)=(1+c⊤x)/∏i​xipi​​ decreases only on average over a time window of length T∗T^*T∗, and turning this into a uniform contraction of VθV^\thetaVθ requires controlling the full log-Laplace transform of the increment ln⁡V(X(T))−ln⁡V(x)\ln V(X(T))-\ln V(x)lnV(X(T))−lnV(x) (Proposition 4.1), not just its mean. Uniformity of all constants in the starting point is the delicate part.

Formalization scope

The process is a family X x of strong solutions, one from each x∈R+nx\in\mathbb R^n_+x∈R+n​, on one probability space driven by one Brownian motion, using the published Ethier–Kurtz definitions SolvesBrownianSDE and IsStandardBrownian on Rn=\mathbb R^n=Rn= SDEState n. Coordinates are Fin n; n≥1n\ge1n≥1. The coefficients are functions on Rn\mathbb R^nRn read at the positive part x+x^+x+, which agrees with the model on R+n\mathbb R^n_+R+n​. The norm is ℓ1\ell^1ℓ1. Invariance is stated through the transition probabilities PX(t,x,⋅)=P_X(t,x,\cdot)=PX​(t,x,⋅)= law of Xx(t)X^x(t)Xx(t); ergodic means extremal invariant. The lim sup⁡<0\limsup<0limsup<0 of (1.2) is written as "≤−ε\le-\varepsilon≤−ε for ∥x∥≥R\|x\|\ge R∥x∥≥R". Total variation is the published MarkovChainCLT.tvDist, sup⁡A∣μ(A)−ν(A)∣\sup_A|\mu(A)-\nu(A)|supA​∣μ(A)−ν(A)∣; the paper does not fix the factor 222, and geometric convergence is insensitive to it. The constants M>0,δ0M>0,\delta_0M>0,δ0​ of §3 are data satisfying (3.1), (3.2); HHH is the supremum (3.5).

Deviations, all disclosed in the items: aperiodicity is the Meyn–Tweedie notion (no cycle of d≥2d\ge2d≥2 nonempty disjoint sets), because the literal definition on p. 15 makes every chain aperiodic; (4.1), cited from [SBA11, Lemma 4], retains the attained minimum 2ρ∗2\rho^*2ρ∗ and is stated only in the direction used. Lemma 3.5 allows K2K_2K2​ to depend on the fixed θ0\theta_0θ0​ as its proof requires, despite the page saying “only on K1K_1K1​”. Expectations of nonnegative quantities are lower Lebesgue integrals; wherever a Bochner integral appears, its integrability is part of the conclusion.

Trivializing readings are excluded: uniqueness is among invariant measures on R+n,∘\mathbb R^{n,\circ}_+R+n,∘​ only (boundary invariant measures always exist), M\mathcal MM is nonempty (δ∗∈M\delta^*\in\mathcal Mδ∗∈M is a milestone, so Assumption 1.2 is never vacuous), and every existential constant is quantified before the points it must be uniform in. The logistic model on p. 4 gives a nonvacuous instance of Assumption 1.1.

Contributions welcome: general SDE well-posedness on invariant closed sets, Feller and tightness results for diffusions, Meyn–Tweedie geometric ergodicity for kernels, and cumulant-generating-function bounds, all reusable beyond this mission.

Selected references

  • A. Hening, D. H. Nguyen, Coexistence and extinction for stochastic Kolmogorov systems, Ann. Appl. Probab. 28(3), 2018. arXiv:1704.06984v1. https://arxiv.org/abs/1704.06984
  • S. J. Schreiber, M. Benaïm, K. A. S. Atchadé, Persistence in fluctuating environments, J. Math. Biol. 62(5), 655–683, 2011. MR 2786721, https://mathscinet.ams.org/mathscinet-getitem?mr=2786721
  • S. P. Meyn, R. L. Tweedie, Stability of Markovian processes I: criteria for discrete-time chains, Adv. Appl. Probab. 24(3), 542–574, 1992. MR 1174380, https://mathscinet.ams.org/mathscinet-getitem?mr=1174380
  • R. Khasminskii, Stochastic Stability of Differential Equations, 2nd ed., Springer, 2012. MR 2894052, https://mathscinet.ams.org/mathscinet-getitem?mr=2894052
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Dynamical SystemsHarmonic AnalysisMachine Learning+1·Captain: mikedeng1

Approximation Bounds for Random Neural Networks and Reservoir Systems II: Echo State Networks with Random Weights Approximate Regular Functionals with an Explicit L² Error Bound (Theorem 2)Research Paper

Motivation

Reservoir computing learns an input/output system from data in two stages. A dynamical system, the reservoir, is driven by the input sequence and its state is recorded; then only a linear readout of that state is trained, by least squares. The echo state network (ESN) is the most widely used reservoir: its state evolves by xt=σ(Axt−1+Czt+ζ)x_t = \sigma(Ax_{t-1} + Cz_t + \zeta)xt​=σ(Axt−1​+Czt​+ζ), with the matrices A,CA, CA,C and the vector ζ\zetaζ drawn at random and never trained. ESNs predict chaotic systems well in practice (Jaeger & Haas, Science 2004), and they are known to be universal: for every fading-memory input/output map some ESN approximates it (Grigoryeva & Ortega, Neural Netw. 2018). Universality does not explain the practice, where the reservoir weights are random and fixed in advance. Gonon, Grigoryeva & Ortega (Ann. Appl. Probab. 2023) prove that an ESN whose weights are drawn from an explicit distribution that does not depend on the target approximates every sufficiently regular target, with an explicit L2L^2L2 error bound. This mission formalizes that result, Theorem 2, and the chain of results its proof rests on.

Setting

Time runs over Z−={0,−1,−2,… }\mathbb Z_- = \{0, -1, -2, \dots\}Z−​={0,−1,−2,…}. Inputs take values in a set DdD_dDd​ with 0∈Dd⊂BM⊂Rd0 \in D_d \subset B_M \subset \mathbb R^d0∈Dd​⊂BM​⊂Rd, where BMB_MBM​ is the closed Euclidean ball of radius M>0M > 0M>0. The input Z=(Zt)t∈Z−Z = (Z_t)_{t \in \mathbb Z_-}Z=(Zt​)t∈Z−​​ is a DdD_dDd​-valued process with law μZ\mu_ZμZ​. The target is a functional H∗:(Dd)Z−→RH^* : (D_d)^{\mathbb Z_-} \to \mathbb RH∗:(Dd​)Z−​→R, the present output as a function of the whole input history. All norms are Euclidean.

Regularity. Fix weights w−i>0w_{-i} > 0w−i​>0 with ∑ii w−i<∞\sum_i i\, w_{-i} < \infty∑i​iw−i​<∞. H∗H^*H∗ is www-Lipschitz with constant L>0L > 0L>0 if ∣H∗(u)−H∗(v)∣≤L∑i≥0w−i∥u−i−v−i∥|H^*(u) - H^*(v)| \le L\sum_{i \ge 0} w_{-i}\|u_{-i} - v_{-i}\|∣H∗(u)−H∗(v)∣≤L∑i≥0​w−i​∥u−i​−v−i​∥. Assumption 1 asks, in addition, for every T≥1T \ge 1T≥1: with q=d(T+1)q = d(T+1)q=d(T+1), the truncation HT∗(z0,…,z−T)=H∗(…,0,z−T,…,z0)H^*_T(z_0, \dots, z_{-T}) = H^*(\dots, 0, z_{-T}, \dots, z_0)HT∗​(z0​,…,z−T​)=H∗(…,0,z−T​,…,z0​) has a Fourier representation HT∗(u)=∫Rqei⟨w,u⟩gT(w) dwH^*_T(u) = \int_{\mathbb R^q} e^{i\langle w, u\rangle} g_T(w)\,dwHT∗​(u)=∫Rq​ei⟨w,u⟩gT​(w)dw on (Dd)T+1(D_d)^{T+1}(Dd​)T+1, with gT∈L1g_T \in L^1gT​∈L1 and ∫max⁡(1,∥w∥3)∣gT(w)∣2 dw<∞\int \max(1, \|w\|^3)|g_T(w)|^2\,dw < \infty∫max(1,∥w∥3)∣gT​(w)∣2dw<∞.

The random ESN. Fix T,N≥1T, N \ge 1T,N≥1, R>0R > 0R>0, and a bound MTM_TMT​ with ∥(Z0,…,Z−T)∥≤MT\|(Z_0, \dots, Z_{-T})\| \le M_T∥(Z0​,…,Z−T​)∥≤MT​ almost surely. Draw A1,…,ANA_1, \dots, A_NA1​,…,AN​ i.i.d. uniform on BR⊂RqB_R \subset \mathbb R^qBR​⊂Rq and, independently, ζ1,…,ζN\zeta_1, \dots, \zeta_Nζ1​,…,ζN​ i.i.d. uniform on [−max⁡(MTR,1),max⁡(MTR,1)][-\max(M_TR,1), \max(M_TR,1)][−max(MT​R,1),max(MT​R,1)]. With SSS the block shift on Rq\mathbb R^qRq and ccc the embedding of Rd\mathbb R^dRd into the first block, and aaa the matrix with rows Ai⊤A_i^\topAi⊤​, put

Aˉ=(S0aS0),Cˉ=(cac),ζˉ=(0ζ),A=(Aˉ−Aˉ−AˉAˉ),C=(Cˉ−Cˉ),ζ=(ζˉ−ζˉ).\bar A = \begin{pmatrix} S & 0\\ aS & 0\end{pmatrix},\quad \bar C = \begin{pmatrix} c\\ ac\end{pmatrix},\quad \bar\zeta = \begin{pmatrix} 0\\ \zeta\end{pmatrix},\quad A = \begin{pmatrix}\bar A & -\bar A\\ -\bar A & \bar A\end{pmatrix},\quad C = \begin{pmatrix}\bar C\\ -\bar C\end{pmatrix},\quad \zeta = \begin{pmatrix}\bar\zeta\\ -\bar\zeta\end{pmatrix}.Aˉ=(SaS​00​),Cˉ=(cac​),ζˉ​=(0ζ​),A=(Aˉ−Aˉ​−AˉAˉ​),C=(Cˉ−Cˉ​),ζ=(ζˉ​−ζˉ​​).

The ESN is Xt=σ(AXt−1+CZt+ζ)X_t = \sigma(AX_{t-1} + CZ_t + \zeta)Xt​=σ(AXt−1​+CZt​+ζ), Yt=WXtY_t = WX_tYt​=WXt​, with σ(x)=max⁡(x,0)\sigma(x) = \max(x, 0)σ(x)=max(x,0) and state space R2(N+d(T+1))\mathbb R^{2(N+d(T+1))}R2(N+d(T+1)).

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem 2 (p. 54)

For every H∗H^*H∗ satisfying Assumption 1 there is a readout WWW, a function of the random weights alone, such that the ESN has the echo state property (a unique state sequence for every input) and

E[∣Y0−H∗(Z)∣2]1/2≤CT,RN+∫Rq∖BR∣gT(u)∣ du+LM∑i>Tw−i,\mathbb E\big[|Y_0 - H^*(Z)|^2\big]^{1/2} \le \frac{\sqrt{C_{T,R}}}{\sqrt N} + \int_{\mathbb R^q \setminus B_R}|g_T(u)|\,du + LM\sum_{i > T} w_{-i},E[∣Y0​−H∗(Z)∣2]1/2≤N​CT,R​​​+∫Rq∖BR​​∣gT​(u)∣du+LMi>T∑​w−i​,

with CT,R=16max⁡(MTR,1)Volq(BR)(MT+1)2(MT3+MT+16)∫BRmax⁡(1,∥u∥3)∣gT(u)∣2 duC_{T,R} = 16\max(M_TR,1)\mathrm{Vol}_q(B_R)(M_T+1)^2(M_T^3+M_T+16)\int_{B_R}\max(1,\|u\|^3)|g_T(u)|^2\,duCT,R​=16max(MT​R,1)Volq​(BR​)(MT​+1)2(MT3​+MT​+16)∫BR​​max(1,∥u∥3)∣gT​(u)∣2du.

Milestones

  1. (8), p. 33: a scalar identity expressing eiz−iz−1e^{iz} - iz - 1eiz−iz−1 as an integral of ReLU ramps.
  2. Proposition 2, pp. 31–32: under a Fourier condition, fff is an integral of ReLU ridge functions with a compactly supported, square-integrable weight π\piπ.
  3. Proposition 3, pp. 41–42: a static ReLU network with uniformly sampled inner weights achieves mean-square error C∗/NC^*/NC∗/N.
  4. Corollary 1, p. 43: the same with a dimension-free integrability condition and a truncation term.
  5. Remark 10, p. 53: the shift reservoir is nilpotent, has K=IK = IK=I and stores the last T+1T+1T+1 inputs.
  6. Proposition 6, p. 51: a linear reservoir with a random ReLU readout satisfies the bound (54).
  7. (64)–(66), pp. 55–56: every solution of the ESN reduces to the linear shift reservoir, which gives uniqueness.

Significance

Theorem 2 is the first approximation bound for echo state networks whose recurrent and input weights are sampled from a generic distribution rather than constructed from the target. The bound separates three error sources: a Monte Carlo term decaying like N−1/2N^{-1/2}N−1/2, a truncation term in the sampling radius RRR, and a memory term in the window length TTT. Because the readout can be taken to be the least-squares readout, the bound also controls the trained networks used in practice, and it is the input to the paper's rate and universality corollaries (Corollaries 4 and 5).

Status: the result is proved on paper. No part of it is formalized; the only reservoir-computing material on the platform is the published definition ReservoirESN (the state equation), which this mission reuses. A formal proof would supply the first machine-checked random-feature approximation bound with explicit constants.

Difficulty

The obvious argument fails in two places. First, the classical integral representations of Barron type place the inner weights on unbounded sets, which cannot be sampled uniformly; Proposition 2 needs a change of variables that makes the weight compactly supported while keeping it square integrable, and this costs the factor R−(2q+2)R^{-(2q+2)}R−(2q+2) and the condition (5). Second, a ReLU network is not contractive, so the echo state property of the ESN cannot be taken from the standard contraction criterion; it has to be derived from the block structure of AAA, which makes the difference of the two state halves follow a nilpotent linear recursion.

Formalization scope

Rq\mathbb R^qRq is EuclideanSpace ℝ (Fin (T+1) × Fin d), block kkk holding z−kz_{-k}z−k​; input sequences are ℕ → EuclideanSpace ℝ (Fin d) with index k=−tk = -tk=−t, and xt=F(xt−1,zt)x_t = F(x_{t-1}, z_t)xt​=F(xt−1​,zt​) is the published ReservoirESN.IsSolution. Points of Rq+1\mathbb R^{q+1}Rq+1 are pairs with norm (∥w∥2+u2)1/2(\|w\|^2 + u^2)^{1/2}(∥w∥2+u2)1/2. The uniform laws are Lebesgue measure conditioned on the ball or interval; NNN i.i.d. rows have the product law. The input is independent of the weights (§4.1) and DdD_dDd​-valued with 0∈Dd⊂BM0 \in D_d \subset B_M0∈Dd​⊂BM​ (§5.1): expectations are iterated lower Lebesgue integrals over μZ\mu_ZμZ​ and the product law, and probability-(1−δ)(1-\delta)(1−δ) statements bound the product measure of the bad set. The scalar output case m=1m = 1m=1 is used, as in the paper. Assumption 1 is required for every T≥1T \ge 1T≥1, as printed.

A readout allowed to depend on the input would make every bound trivial; in every statement the readout is a measurable function of the inner weights alone.

Departures from the print, each disclosed in the item: the last term of Proposition 6 is the L2(μZ)L^2(\mu_Z)L2(μZ​) norm of ∥K−1ST+1X−T−1∥\|K^{-1}S^{T+1}X_{-T-1}\|∥K−1ST+1X−T−1​∥, which the page prints outside the expectation; the state space of the linear reservoir (52) is a parameter DND_NDN​, as in §2.1, and its solution is assumed to be a random process; Proposition 3 omits "C∗>0C^* > 0C∗>0" (the explicit value (33) is used); measurability of the Fourier density ggg is stated where the page leaves it implicit.

A complete development needs Fourier integrals on Euclidean spaces, change of variables under linear maps, product measures and Fubini–Tonelli, and an importance-sampling variance bound. The static results (Propositions 2, 3, Corollary 1) are reusable for random-feature models beyond reservoir computing. Proofs of any milestone, and alternative arguments, are welcome.

Selected references

  • L. Gonon, L. Grigoryeva, J.-P. Ortega, Approximation bounds for random neural networks and reservoir systems, Ann. Appl. Probab. 33(1), 28–69, 2023. https://doi.org/10.1214/22-AAP1806
  • L. Grigoryeva, J.-P. Ortega, Echo state networks are universal, Neural Netw. 108, 495–508, 2018. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.neunet.2018.08.025
  • H. Jaeger, H. Haas, Harnessing nonlinearity: predicting chaotic systems and saving energy in wireless communication, Science 304, 78–80, 2004. https://doi.org/10.1126/science.1091277
  • A. R. Barron, Universal approximation bounds for superpositions of a sigmoidal function, IEEE Trans. Inf. Theory 39, 930–945, 1993. https://doi.org/10.1109/18.256500
  • J. M. Klusowski, A. R. Barron, Approximation by combinations of ReLU and squared ReLU ridge functions with ℓ1 and ℓ0 controls, IEEE Trans. Inf. Theory 64, 7649–7656, 2018. https://doi.org/10.1109/tit.2018.2874447
  • C. Cuchiero, L. Gonon, L. Grigoryeva, J.-P. Ortega, J. Teichmann, Discrete-time signatures and randomness in reservoir computing, IEEE Trans. Neural Netw. Learn. Syst., 2021. https://doi.org/10.1109/TNNLS.2021.3076777
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Convex OptimizationMachine LearningOptimization·Captain: mikedeng1

A Two-Timescale Stochastic Algorithm Framework for Bilevel Optimization: Complexity Analysis and Application to Actor-Critic: Explicit Error Bounds for TTSA with a Strongly Convex Outer ObjectiveResearch Paper

Motivation

Bilevel optimization asks for an outer decision while an inner optimization problem responds to that decision. In hyperparameter selection, for example, the outer objective evaluates a model whose parameters are chosen by a training problem. A two-timescale algorithm updates both levels in one stochastic loop, so its outer step uses an inner solution that has not yet settled. The resulting error bound must account for both the outer decision and the inner tracking error. Hong, Wai, Wang and Yang study this setting and give finite-time bounds for their two-timescale stochastic approximation (TTSA) algorithm in the strongly convex outer case Hong et al., arXiv:2007.05170v4, §§1–3.

The paper states its main rates using ≲\lesssim≲, with numerical constants omitted. Appendix A gives explicit bounds for the two errors. This mission targets those displayed bounds, retaining their constants and the actual stochastic update. The selected source is the arXiv v4 preprint: page numbers and theorem labels below refer to that version Hong et al., Theorem 1 and App. A.

Setting

Let X⊆Rd1X\subseteq\mathbb R^{d_1}X⊆Rd1​ be closed and convex. For an outer point x∈Xx\in Xx∈X, the inner solution y⋆(x)∈Rd2y^\star(x)\in\mathbb R^{d_2}y⋆(x)∈Rd2​ minimizes g(x,⋅)g(x,\cdot)g(x,⋅). The outer objective is ℓ(x)=f(x,y⋆(x))\ell(x)=f(x,y^\star(x))ℓ(x)=f(x,y⋆(x)), and x⋆∈Xx^\star\in Xx⋆∈X is an optimal outer point. The inner objective is strongly convex in yyy, which gives a unique inner minimizer. The paper’s derivative and Lipschitz assumptions control how that minimizer and the outer gradient change as xxx and yyy move Hong et al., Assumptions 1–2, pp. 5–6.

The algorithm keeps iterates xk∈Xx^k\in Xxk∈X and yk∈Rd2y^k\in\mathbb R^{d_2}yk∈Rd2​. With deterministic step sizes αk,βk\alpha_k,\beta_kαk​,βk​ and stochastic estimates hfk,hgkh_f^k,h_g^khfk​,hgk​, it updates

yk+1=yk−βkhgk,xk+1=PX(xk−αkhfk),y^{k+1}=y^k-\beta_k h_g^k,\qquad x^{k+1}=P_X(x^k-\alpha_k h_f^k),yk+1=yk−βk​hgk​,xk+1=PX​(xk−αk​hfk​),

where PXP_XPX​ is the Euclidean nearest-point projection onto XXX. The inner estimate targets ∇yg(xk,yk)\nabla_y g(x^k,y^k)∇y​g(xk,yk). The outer estimate targets the surrogate gradient

∇ˉxf(x,y)=∇xf(x,y)−∇xy2g(x,y)[∇yy2g(x,y)]−1∇yf(x,y),\bar\nabla_xf(x,y)=\nabla_xf(x,y)-\nabla^2_{xy}g(x,y) [\nabla^2_{yy}g(x,y)]^{-1}\nabla_yf(x,y),∇ˉx​f(x,y)=∇x​f(x,y)−∇xy2​g(x,y)[∇yy2​g(x,y)]−1∇y​f(x,y),

with a bias bounded by bkb_kbk​. Assumption 3 bounds the conditional variances given the histories Fk\mathcal F_kFk​ and Fk′\mathcal F'_kFk′​. The surrogate at y⋆(x)y^\star(x)y⋆(x) is the paper’s ∇ℓ(x)\nabla\ell(x)∇ℓ(x) Hong et al., Algorithm 1, (5)–(7c), p. 6.

The two quantities being bounded are the outer error Δxk=E∥xk−x⋆∥2\Delta_x^k=\mathbb E\|x^k-x^\star\|^2Δxk​=E∥xk−x⋆∥2 and inner tracking error Δyk=E∥yk−y⋆(xk−1)∥2\Delta_y^k=\mathbb E\|y^k-y^\star(x^{k-1})\|^2Δyk​=E∥yk−y⋆(xk−1)∥2. At k=0k=0k=0, the convention is x−1=x0x^{-1}=x^0x−1=x0. The constants LLL and LyL_yLy​ are the exact functions of the derivative bounds in (13); σ~f2=σf2+3sup⁡x∈X∥∇ℓ(x)∥2\widetilde\sigma_f^2=\sigma_f^2+3\sup_{x\in X}\|\nabla\ell(x)\|^2σf2​=σf2​+3supx∈X​∥∇ℓ(x)∥2 is finite by the paper’s standing assumption after (14). The products Gm:n(1)G^{(1)}_{m:n}Gm:n(1)​ and Gm:n(2)G^{(2)}_{m:n}Gm:n(2)​ are those of (48) Hong et al., pp. 8–9, 20.

Formalization targets

The first target is the explicit inner bound (55): for every k≥0k\ge0k≥0,

Δyk+1≤G0:k(1)Δy0+Cy(1)βk,Cy(1)=8μg{σg2+4c02Ly2μg(σ~f2+3b02)}.\Delta_y^{k+1}\le G^{(1)}_{0:k}\Delta_y^0+C_y^{(1)}\beta_k, \qquad C_y^{(1)}=\frac8{\mu_g}\left\{\sigma_g^2+ \frac{4c_0^2L_y^2}{\mu_g}(\widetilde\sigma_f^2+3b_0^2)\right\}.Δyk+1​≤G0:k(1)​Δy0​+Cy(1)​βk​,Cy(1)​=μg​8​{σg2​+μg​4c02​Ly2​​(σf2​+3b02​)}.

The goal also includes the explicit outer bound displayed after (59):

Δxk+1≤G0:k(2){Δx0+[2L2μℓ2+3α0L2μℓ]Δy0}+2μℓ[2c~bμℓ+σ~f2+3b02]αk+2c1μℓ[2L2μℓ+3α0L2]Cy(1)αk2/3.\begin{aligned} \Delta_x^{k+1}\le{}&G^{(2)}_{0:k} \left\{\Delta_x^0+\left[\frac{2L^2}{\mu_\ell^2} +\frac{3\alpha_0L^2}{\mu_\ell}\right]\Delta_y^0\right\}\\ &+\frac2{\mu_\ell}\left[\frac{2\widetilde c_b}{\mu_\ell} +\widetilde\sigma_f^2+3b_0^2\right]\alpha_k\\ &+\frac{2c_1}{\mu_\ell}\left[\frac{2L^2}{\mu_\ell}+3\alpha_0L^2\right] C_y^{(1)}\alpha_k^{2/3}. \end{aligned}Δxk+1​≤​G0:k(2)​{Δx0​+[μℓ2​2L2​+μℓ​3α0​L2​]Δy0​}+μℓ​2​[μℓ​2cb​​+σf2​+3b02​]αk​+μℓ​2c1​​[μℓ​2L2​+3α0​L2]Cy(1)​αk2/3​.​

These formulas use the paper’s step-size conditions (20a)–(20b), the bias condition bk2≤c~bαk+1b_k^2\le\widetilde c_b\alpha_{k+1}bk2​≤cb​αk+1​, and a positive outer modulus μℓ\mu_\ellμℓ​. The milestones are the source’s Lemma 2 (12a), (14), (50), Lemma 10, (55), Lemma 11 and Lemma 4 (29). They supply independently stated targets for the two error quantities and the deterministic product estimates Hong et al., pp. 7–8, 13, 20–22, 34.

Significance

The bounds separate the effect of initialization from persistent stochastic error. Each GGG product carries an initial-error term, while the remaining terms show how the current step sizes, variance and bias govern the residual error. This makes the dependencies on LLL, LyL_yLy​, the strong convexity moduli and the estimator variances explicit, rather than hiding them in rate notation. The paper uses this strongly convex case as one part of its broader complexity analysis Hong et al., §3, Table 1.

The source proves the claimed rates on paper; this local development currently provides compiled Lean statements with open proofs. Completing it would add reusable formal interfaces for conditional stochastic-gradient assumptions, a moving strongly convex minimizer, and weighted products of varying contraction factors. The local mission does not claim a machine-checked proof of Theorem 1 yet.

Difficulty

The outer estimate depends on yk+1y^{k+1}yk+1, while the inner tracking error is measured against the minimizer at the preceding outer iterate. Treating the outer estimate as an ordinary unbiased gradient at xkx^kxk loses both the surrogate-gradient discrepancy and the bias. A distance contraction for the inner step alone also does not settle the outer error, because the target y⋆(xk)y^\star(x^k)y⋆(xk) moves with xkx^kxk. The assumptions must keep the two histories and their conditional estimates distinct Hong et al., (7a)–(7c), (17), App. A.

Formalization scope

Lean represents both spaces by EuclideanSpace ℝ (Fin d) with d1,d2≥1d_1,d_2\ge1d1​,d2​≥1, and Hessian blocks by continuous linear maps with operator norm. The mixed block maps inner directions to outer directions. The inner solution map is required to minimize g(x,⋅)g(x,\cdot)g(x,⋅) on every x∈Xx\in Xx∈X; the projection is characterized as a nearest-point map on the closed convex set. These clauses prevent an arbitrary solution map or arbitrary outer update from satisfying the theorem. The ∇ℓ\nabla\ell∇ℓ used in (2) is defined by the displayed surrogate formula (5), so boundary points of XXX have the same meaning as in the source.

The run starts at deterministic (x0,y0)(x^0,y^0)(x0,y0) and uses measurable estimates with integrable squared norms. Conditional expectations are almost-sure statements relative to the sigma-algebras generated by the iterates, and Δx,Δy\Delta_x,\Delta_yΔx​,Δy​ are Bochner integrals. These regularity assumptions prevent totalized conditional expectation or integral operations from giving spurious zero values. The supremum defining σ~f2\widetilde\sigma_f^2σf2​ is taken over XXX and has an explicit bounded-above hypothesis; XXX is nonempty because x0∈Xx^0\in Xx0∈X. The goal uses positive, nonincreasing step sizes, in line with the ratio conditions and the auxiliary lemmas. The paper prints 3/43/43/4 in the α\alphaα ratio of (20a), while its application of Lemma 10 with q=2q=2q=2 needs 1/21/21/2; the stronger ratio is disclosed in the Lean hypotheses. The initial error uses x−1=x0x^{-1}=x^0x−1=x0, and real exponents use nonnegative bases.

The definition file and the seven milestone theorems are open for proof contributions. Theorem 1’s two explicit bounds are the mission goal. Lemma 3 (28) is excluded because its printed product uses a 1/21/21/2 factor where (55) uses 1/41/41/4; (55) is the selected inner target Hong et al., pp. 13, 21.

Selected references

  • M. Hong, H.-T. Wai, Z. Wang and Z. Yang, A Two-Timescale Stochastic Algorithm Framework for Bilevel Optimization: Complexity Analysis and Application to Actor-Critic, SIAM Journal on Optimization, 2023; arXiv preprint v4, 2022. arXiv:2007.05170v4.
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