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EconomicsOperations ResearchOptimization·Captain: mikedeng1

The Bright Side of the GDPR: Welfare-Improving Privacy Management I: The Equilibrium Price Is Higher After the GDPR for Every Opt-in Benefit and Data RevenueResearch Paper

Motivation

The European Union's General Data Protection Regulation (GDPR, in force since 2018) requires a firm to obtain a consumer's explicit opt-in consent before it collects her personal data. Most of the economic literature reads such consent rules as a cost to data-driven firms. Choe, Matsushima and Shekhar (ISER Discussion Paper No. 1246, Osaka University, June 2024; published in Management Science, 2025, doi:10.1287/mnsc.2024.06653) ask what happens to the price of a digital service when consumers gain the right to buy it without sharing data. Their model is a monopoly with two-dimensional consumer heterogeneity, simple enough to be solved in closed form, and it lets the answer be stated for every value of the firm's opt-in benefit and every mix of usage-based and data-based revenue.

This mission formalizes the paper's general price comparison, Proposition A1: the equilibrium price is higher after the GDPR.

Setting

A monopolist sells an online service at zero marginal cost and price p∈Rp \in \mathbb{R}p∈R. A consumer has a type (v,c)∈[0,1]2(v, c) \in [0,1]^2(v,c)∈[0,1]2, where vvv is her valuation for the service and ccc her privacy cost of sharing data; types are independent and uniform on [0,1]2[0,1]^2[0,1]2, so the mass of a set of consumers is its area. A consumer who shares data receives an opt-in benefit x∈(0,1)x \in (0, 1)x∈(0,1), and the firm earns an exogenous data revenue α≥0\alpha \ge 0α≥0 per unit of shared data.

The utilities of opt-in purchase (buy and share) and opt-out purchase (buy without sharing) are

US(v,c)=v+(x−c)−p,UN(v,c)=v−p.U_S(v,c) = v + (x - c) - p, \qquad U_N(v,c) = v - p.US​(v,c)=v+(x−c)−p,UN​(v,c)=v−p.
  • Before the GDPR opt-out purchase is unavailable. A consumer buys, and shares data, iff US≥0U_S \ge 0US​≥0. The demand D^(p)\widehat D(p)D(p) is the area of {(v,c)∈[0,1]2:c≤v+x−p}\{(v,c) \in [0,1]^2 : c \le v + x - p\}{(v,c)∈[0,1]2:c≤v+x−p}, and the profit is Π^(p)=(p+α)D^(p)\widehat\Pi(p) = (p + \alpha)\widehat D(p)Π(p)=(p+α)D(p).
  • After the GDPR a consumer opts in iff US≥max⁡{UN,0}U_S \ge \max\{U_N, 0\}US​≥max{UN​,0} and opts out iff UN≥max⁡{US,0}U_N \ge \max\{U_S, 0\}UN​≥max{US​,0}. The opt-in set is {c≤v+x−p, c≤x}\{c \le v + x - p,\ c \le x\}{c≤v+x−p, c≤x}, the opt-out set is {v≥p, c>x}\{v \ge p,\ c > x\}{v≥p, c>x}, their areas are D~S(p)\widetilde D_S(p)DS​(p) and D~N(p)\widetilde D_N(p)DN​(p), and the profit is Π~(p)=p (D~S(p)+D~N(p))+α D~S(p)\widetilde\Pi(p) = p\,(\widetilde D_S(p) + \widetilde D_N(p)) + \alpha\,\widetilde D_S(p)Π(p)=p(DS​(p)+DN​(p))+αDS​(p).

The firm chooses the price first and consumers respond, so the equilibrium price in each regime is a maximizer over R\mathbb{R}R of the corresponding profit: p^⋆\hat p^\starp^​⋆ for Π^\widehat\PiΠ and p~⋆\tilde p^\starp~​⋆ for Π~\widetilde\PiΠ. The paper's appendix expresses them through the thresholds

α1(x)=max⁡{1−2x2,0},α2(x)=max⁡{2−4x+x22x,0}\alpha_1(x) = \max\Big\{\tfrac{1-2x}{2}, 0\Big\}, \qquad \alpha_2(x) = \max\Big\{\tfrac{2-4x+x^2}{2x}, 0\Big\}α1​(x)=max{21−2x​,0},α2​(x)=max{2x2−4x+x2​,0}

and the radicals β=6+(x+α−1)2\beta = \sqrt{6 + (x+\alpha-1)^2}β=6+(x+α−1)2​, Γ=6+(2−2x+α)2\Gamma = \sqrt{6 + (2-2x+\alpha)^2}Γ=6+(2−2x+α)2​.

Formalization targets

Goal: Proposition A1 (p. 34)

For every 0<x<10 < x < 10<x<1 and α≥0\alpha \ge 0α≥0, both profits attain a global maximum on R\mathbb{R}R, and every pair of maximizers satisfies

p~⋆>p^⋆.\tilde p^\star > \hat p^\star.p~​⋆>p^​⋆.

Milestones

  1. Display (4) (p. 11): D^(p)=(1+x−p)2/2\widehat D(p) = (1+x-p)^2/2D(p)=(1+x−p)2/2 for x<p<1+xx < p < 1+xx<p<1+x, and 1−(1−x+p)2/21 - (1-x+p)^2/21−(1−x+p)2/2 for x−1≤p≤xx-1 \le p \le xx−1≤p≤x.
  2. Display (5) (p. 14): D~S(p)\widetilde D_S(p)DS​(p) equals (1+x−p)2/2(1+x-p)^2/2(1+x−p)2/2, x2/2+x(1−p)x^2/2 + x(1-p)x2/2+x(1−p) or x−p2/2x - p^2/2x−p2/2 on (1,1+x)(1, 1+x)(1,1+x), (x,1](x, 1](x,1], [0,x][0, x][0,x].
  3. Display (6) (p. 14): D~N(p)=(1−x)(1−p)\widetilde D_N(p) = (1-x)(1-p)DN​(p)=(1−x)(1−p) for 0≤p≤10 \le p \le 10≤p≤1, and 000 for 1<p<1+x1 < p < 1 + x1<p<1+x.
  4. Online Appendix A.1 (OA p. 2): p^\hat pp^​ maximizes Π^\widehat\PiΠ iff p^=(1+x−2α)/3\hat p = (1+x-2\alpha)/3p^​=(1+x−2α)/3 when α<α1(x)\alpha < \alpha_1(x)α<α1​(x) and p^=(2(x−1)−α+β)/3\hat p = (2(x-1) - \alpha + \beta)/3p^​=(2(x−1)−α+β)/3 otherwise.
  5. Online Appendix A.2 (OA p. 4): p~\tilde pp~​ maximizes Π~\widetilde\PiΠ iff p~=(2(1−αx)+x2)/4\tilde p = (2(1-\alpha x) + x^2)/4p~​=(2(1−αx)+x2)/4 when α<α2(x)\alpha < \alpha_2(x)α<α2​(x) and p~=(Γ−(2−2x+α))/3\tilde p = (\Gamma - (2 - 2x + \alpha))/3p~​=(Γ−(2−2x+α))/3 otherwise.
  6. p. 14: α1(x)≤α2(x)\alpha_1(x) \le \alpha_2(x)α1​(x)≤α2​(x) for all x∈(0,1)x \in (0,1)x∈(0,1).
  7. Lemma A3 (pp. 33–34): the three possible pairs of equilibrium regimes (case 1a/2a, 1b/2a, 1b/2b), located by price intervals.
  8. Online Appendix D, first display (OA p. 7): the closed form of p~⋆−p^⋆\tilde p^\star - \hat p^\starp~​⋆−p^​⋆ in each of the three regions.

Significance

The result. Proposition A1 says the price rise is robust: it holds for every opt-in benefit and every revenue model, from a firm that earns nothing from data (α=0\alpha = 0α=0) to one whose data revenue dominates. The paper's welfare results (on demand, profit and consumer surplus) are comparisons of the same two equilibria, and the price comparison is the one among them that holds uniformly; the others change sign with (x,α)(x, \alpha)(x,α) and are established in the paper only numerically. The main text's Proposition 1 is the instance x=1/4x = 1/4x=1/4.

Formalizing it. The paper's proof is a chain of closed-form computations spread over the appendix and online appendix: areas of polygons, the maximization of piecewise cubic profits over all of R\mathbb{R}R, and a sign argument with nested square roots. Several steps are stated as "one can verify", and the online appendix contains printed slips (a derivative written with respect to the wrong variable in §D, a pair of cases listed incorrectly on p. 14). A machine-checked proof turns the chain into a verified one. The milestones isolate the parts that are reusable on their own: the demand formulas (4)–(6) and the closed-form equilibria, on which the paper's companion profit comparison (Proposition A3) also rests. None of these results has been formalized before.

Difficulty

The obvious route, solving the first-order condition on each demand piece, gives candidates, not maximizers. The profits are only piecewise smooth, the pieces meet at p=xp = xp=x and p=1p = 1p=1, and the price ranges over all of R\mathbb{R}R, including negative prices before the GDPR. Showing that the candidate is the unique global maximizer requires comparing values across pieces and controlling the profit outside the paper's displayed price ranges. The comparison step is the second difficulty: in the middle region α1(x)≤α<α2(x)\alpha_1(x) \le \alpha < \alpha_2(x)α1​(x)≤α<α2​(x) the gap (14+4α+3x2−8x−6xα−4β)/12(14 + 4\alpha + 3x^2 - 8x - 6x\alpha - 4\beta)/12(14+4α+3x2−8x−6xα−4β)/12 mixes a polynomial with a square root, and its positivity is not a one-line estimate. The gap tends to 000 as x→1x \to 1x→1, so no uniform margin is available.

Formalization scope

  • Types are pairs q : ℝ × ℝ with q.1 = v, q.2 = c; the type square is Set.Icc 0 1 ×ˢ Set.Icc 0 1, and every demand is (volume S).toReal for the Lebesgue measure on ℝ × ℝ.
  • The after-GDPR sets are copied from p. 13; they send the tie US=UN≥0U_S = U_N \ge 0US​=UN​≥0 to opt-in, which changes only a null set.
  • Profits are functions ℝ → ℝ of the price, and an equilibrium price is IsMaxOn profit Set.univ p. The price is never restricted to the paper's case ranges, and p~⋆≥0\tilde p^\star \ge 0p~​⋆≥0 is a consequence, not an assumption.
  • Standing assumptions on every theorem: 0<x0 < x0<x, x<1x < 1x<1, α≥0\alpha \ge 0α≥0 (pp. 7–8). The data revenue is written α in Lean.
  • "Case 1a/1b/2a/2b equilibrium" means the maximizer lies in (x,1+x)(x, 1+x)(x,1+x), [x−1,x][x-1, x][x−1,x], (x,1+x)(x, 1+x)(x,1+x), [0,x][0, x][0,x] respectively.
  • The thresholds α1,α2\alpha_1, \alpha_2α1​,α2​ and radicals β,Γ\beta, \Gammaβ,Γ are plain definitions with the paper's formulas.

A formalization that compares the two closed-form prices instead of maximizers of the modelled profits, that asserts a property of "every maximizer" without proving one exists, or that restricts prices to a bounded interval, would not state Proposition A1; the goal and the milestones rule all three out. Results of the paper established only numerically (Propositions 2–4, A2, the second and third bullets of A3, A4) are not posed, and neither are the comparative statics of Lemmas A1–A2.

A complete development needs areas of polygons under the Lebesgue measure on R2\mathbb{R}^2R2 (via MeasureTheory.volume_regionBetween or Fubini), elementary calculus on piecewise polynomials, and inequalities with square roots. The demand computations and the global-maximization arguments are reusable for the companion mission on the paper's profit comparison. Contributions of any milestone, or of further intermediate lemmas such as the continuity of the demands in the price, are welcome.

Selected references

  • C. Choe, N. Matsushima, S. Shekhar, The Bright Side of the GDPR: Welfare-Improving Privacy Management, ISER Discussion Paper No. 1246, Osaka University, June 2024 (the version formalized; theorem and page numbers refer to it).
  • C. Choe, N. Matsushima, S. Shekhar, The Bright Side of the GDPR: Welfare-Improving Privacy Management, Management Science, 2025. https://doi.org/10.1287/mnsc.2024.06653
  • Regulation (EU) 2016/679 (General Data Protection Regulation), Official Journal of the European Union L 119, 2016. https://eur-lex.europa.eu/eli/reg/2016/679/oj
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Algorithmic Game TheoryMechanism Design·Captain: mikedeng1

Round-Robin Beyond Additive Agents: Existence and Fairness of Approximate Equilibria 1: For Cancelable Valuations the Bluff Profile Is an Exact Pure Nash Equilibrium of Round-RobinResearch Paper

Round-Robin as a game

Round-Robin is the simplest allocation procedure for indivisible goods: agents take turns, in a fixed order, and at each turn the active agent takes her favourite good among those still available. Run on truthful preferences with additive valuations it returns an allocation that is envy-free up to one good (EF1), which is why it is the default baseline of discrete fair division. The procedure, however, only asks each agent for a ranking of the goods, and an agent may gain by misreporting: taking a good that others want early, and a good nobody else wants later, can improve her bundle. Round-Robin is therefore a game whose strategies are rankings, and the natural questions are whether it has pure Nash equilibria and whether the allocations at equilibrium are still fair.

For additive valuations the answer to the first question is known: an exact equilibrium exists, given by a profile now called the bluff profile, with a proof fragmented over Aziz, Goldberg and Walsh (2017), Bouveret and Lemaître (2016) and Amanatidis et al. (2021), as recalled on p. 7 of the paper below. Amanatidis, Birmpas, Lazos, Leonardi and Reiffenhäuser (arXiv:2301.13652, Mathematics of Operations Research, 2025) move beyond additive agents, to valuations for which the goods already held change the value of the remaining ones. This mission formalizes their first result: for cancelable valuations, the bluff profile is an exact pure Nash equilibrium.

Setting

There are n≥1n \ge 1n≥1 agents N=[n]N = [n]N=[n] and a finite set MMM of mmm goods. Agent iii has a valuation function vi:2M→Rv_i : 2^M \to \mathbb Rvi​:2M→R that is normalized (vi(∅)=0v_i(\emptyset) = 0vi​(∅)=0) and non-decreasing. A valuation vvv is cancelable if for all S,T⊆MS, T \subseteq MS,T⊆M and every good g∉S∪Tg \notin S \cup Tg∈/S∪T,

v(S∪{g})>v(T∪{g})  ⟹  v(S)>v(T).v(S \cup \{g\}) > v(T \cup \{g\}) \;\Longrightarrow\; v(S) > v(T).v(S∪{g})>v(T∪{g})⟹v(S)>v(T).

Cancelability says that adding a common good never reverses a strict comparison. Additive valuations are cancelable; the paper notes (p. 3) that cancelable functions also generalize budget-additive, unit-demand and multiplicative valuations, and (p. 5) that neither the cancelable nor the submodular class contains the other.

A ranking ≻i\succ_i≻i​ is a total order on MMM. Given a profile ≻=(≻1,…,≻n)\boldsymbol\succ = (\succ_1, \dots, \succ_n)≻=(≻1​,…,≻n​), Round-Robin (Mechanism 1) runs m/nm/nm/n rounds; in each round agents 1,…,n1, \dots, n1,…,n in turn receive top(≻i,S)\mathrm{top}(\succ_i, S)top(≻i​,S), the ≻i\succ_i≻i​-largest good of the set SSS of goods still available. The bundle of agent iii is Ai(≻)A_i(\boldsymbol\succ)Ai​(≻). The profile ≻\boldsymbol\succ≻ is an exact pure Nash equilibrium (PNE) if for every agent iii and every ranking ≻i′\succ_i'≻i′​,

vi(Ai(≻i′,≻−i))≤vi(Ai(≻)).v_i\big(A_i(\succ_i', \boldsymbol\succ_{-i})\big) \le v_i\big(A_i(\boldsymbol\succ)\big).vi​(Ai​(≻i′​,≻−i​))≤vi​(Ai​(≻)).

A strict truthful profile ≻∗\boldsymbol\succ^*≻∗ has every agent rank the goods by non-increasing singleton value vi({g})v_i(\{g\})vi​({g}), with ties broken in any fixed way. Let h1,…,hmh_1, \dots, h_mh1​,…,hm​ be the goods in the order Round-Robin(≻∗)(\boldsymbol\succ^*)(≻∗) allocates them. The bluff profile ≻b\boldsymbol\succ^{\mathrm b}≻b has every agent report the same ranking h1≻h2≻⋯≻hmh_1 \succ h_2 \succ \cdots \succ h_mh1​≻h2​≻⋯≻hm​.

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem 3.2

For cancelable valuations and every strict truthful profile ≻∗\boldsymbol\succ^*≻∗, the bluff profile is an exact PNE of Round-Robin:

∀i∈N, ∀≻i′:vi(Ai(≻i′,≻−ib))≤vi(Ai(≻b)).\forall i \in N,\ \forall \succ_i' :\quad v_i\big(A_i(\succ_i', \boldsymbol\succ^{\mathrm b}_{-i})\big) \le v_i\big(A_i(\boldsymbol\succ^{\mathrm b})\big).∀i∈N, ∀≻i′​:vi​(Ai​(≻i′​,≻−ib​))≤vi​(Ai​(≻b)).

Milestones

  1. Lemma 2.2. If vvv is cancelable and R∩(S∪T)=∅R \cap (S \cup T) = \emptysetR∩(S∪T)=∅, then v(S∪R)>v(T∪R)⇒v(S)>v(T)v(S \cup R) > v(T \cup R) \Rightarrow v(S) > v(T)v(S∪R)>v(T∪R)⇒v(S)>v(T), v(S)≥v(T)⇒v(S∪R)≥v(T∪R)v(S) \ge v(T) \Rightarrow v(S \cup R) \ge v(T \cup R)v(S)≥v(T)⇒v(S∪R)≥v(T∪R), and v(S)=v(T)⇒v(S∪R)=v(T∪R)v(S) = v(T) \Rightarrow v(S \cup R) = v(T \cup R)v(S)=v(T)⇒v(S∪R)=v(T∪R).
  2. Lemma 3.3. For a cancelable valuation and kkk-element sets X={x1,…,xk}X = \{x_1, \dots, x_k\}X={x1​,…,xk​}, Y={y1,…,yk}Y = \{y_1, \dots, y_k\}Y={y1​,…,yk​}: if v({xj})≥v({yj})v(\{x_j\}) \ge v(\{y_j\})v({xj​})≥v({yj​}) for every jjj, then v(X)≥v(Y)v(X) \ge v(Y)v(X)≥v(Y).
  3. Fact 3.1. Round-Robin(≻b)(\boldsymbol\succ^{\mathrm b})(≻b) and Round-Robin(≻∗)(\boldsymbol\succ^*)(≻∗) return the same allocation.
  4. The ordering Y∗Y^*Y∗ (proof of Theorem 3.2). If agent iii deviates to any ranking and receives AiA_iAi​, then AiA_iAi​ has an ordering (y1∗,…,yk∗)(y^*_1, \dots, y^*_k)(y1∗​,…,yk∗​) with vi({yr∗})≤vi({h(r−1)n+i})v_i(\{y^*_r\}) \le v_i(\{h_{(r-1)n+i}\})vi​({yr∗​})≤vi​({h(r−1)n+i​}) for every round rrr.

A companion item, Proposition 2.5, states that Round-Robin(≻∗)(\boldsymbol\succ^*)(≻∗) is EF1 for cancelable valuations; with Fact 3.1 and Theorem 3.2 it exhibits an exact PNE whose allocation is EF1.

Significance

The theorem gives an explicit equilibrium of Round-Robin, computable by one run of the mechanism on truthful singleton rankings, for a valuation class strictly larger than the additive one. Combined with Proposition 2.5 it shows that Round-Robin with cancelable agents always has an exact equilibrium that is EF1, so strategic behaviour need not cost fairness. The same paper shows that this fails for submodular valuations, where the best one can guarantee is a 1/21/21/2-approximate equilibrium (the second mission of this series), and that every approximate equilibrium remains approximately EF1 (the third and fourth missions).

The result is proved in the paper; nothing about its truth is open. As far as is known, no part of it, and no part of the Round-Robin mechanism, the EF1 notion or the class of cancelable valuations, has been machine-checked. This mission formalizes the known proof and, on the way, builds a reusable model of Round-Robin as a function of reported rankings.

Difficulty

The proof compares two executions of Round-Robin: one in which everybody reports the bluff order, and one in which agent iii reports a different ranking. A deviation changes which goods are available at every later step, and so changes what every other agent takes; the obvious attempt, comparing agent iii's rrr-th good in the two runs directly, fails because her rrr-th good under the deviation may be a good that was already gone in round rrr of the bluff run. The argument needs a reordering of the deviation bundle under which the round-by-round comparison holds, and then a set-level inequality that cancelable (not additive) valuations still support. In Lean, the main work is in the bookkeeping of the two executions: which goods are allocated before a given step, and how a change of one report propagates.

Formalization scope

Agents are Fin n with n≥1n \ge 1n≥1, numbered from 000; goods form a finite type MMM with decidable equality. Valuations are real-valued functions on Finset M, normalized and non-decreasing, hence nonnegative. A ranking is a list of all goods without repetition, most preferred first. Round-Robin is defined by recursion on steps: step ttt (from 000) belongs to agent t mod nt \bmod ntmodn, and agent iii's bundle collects the goods picked at her steps among the first mmm; the paper's step (r−1)n+i(r-1)n + i(r−1)n+i is step (r−1)n+(i−1)(r-1)n + (i-1)(r−1)n+(i−1). The bluff profile is computed from the strict truthful profile, and the theorem quantifies over every strict truthful profile, i.e. every tie-breaking. Deviations range over rankings only, as in Definition 2.4.

The paper assumes m=knm = knm=kn "for simplicity", noting that dummy goods reduce the general case to it. Every statement that uses the round structure carries the hypothesis ∣M∣=kn|M| = kn∣M∣=kn; the dummy-goods reduction is not formalized. Lemma 2.2 is stated for any real-valued cancelable function, which the page's proof covers. A bluff profile defined as an arbitrary equilibrium, deviations over arbitrary lists, or an EF1 computed from reports instead of true valuations would each trivialize or change the statement; none is used.

Definitions needed: valuations, cancelability, rankings and top, Round-Robin with its step bookkeeping, approximate PNE and EF1, strict truthful profiles and the bluff profile. All are in one definitions file, written to be shared with the other missions of the series. Proofs of the milestones, and lemmas about Round-Robin executions (one good per step, bundles of size kkk, the effect of changing one report), are welcome contributions.

Selected references

  • G. Amanatidis, G. Birmpas, P. Lazos, S. Leonardi, R. Reiffenhäuser, Round-Robin Beyond Additive Agents: Existence and Fairness of Approximate Equilibria, arXiv:2301.13652v1, 2023; Mathematics of Operations Research, 2025. https://arxiv.org/abs/2301.13652
  • G. Amanatidis, G. Birmpas, F. Fusco, P. Lazos, S. Leonardi, R. Reiffenhäuser, Allocating Indivisible Goods to Strategic Agents: Pure Nash Equilibria and Fairness, WINE 2021, LNCS 13112, pp. 149–166.
  • H. Aziz, P. Goldberg, T. Walsh, Equilibria in Sequential Allocation, ADT 2017, LNCS 10576, pp. 270–283.
  • S. Bouveret, M. Lemaître, Characterizing Conflicts in Fair Division of Indivisible Goods Using a Scale of Criteria, Autonomous Agents and Multi-Agent Systems 30(2):259–290, 2016.
  • R. J. Lipton, E. Markakis, E. Mossel, A. Saberi, On Approximately Fair Allocations of Indivisible Goods, EC 2004, pp. 125–131.
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EconomicsOperations ResearchOptimization·Captain: mikedeng1

Asset Pricing with Costly Short Sales 1: The Lending Agent Charges Half the Pessimist's Frictionless Sharpe Ratio, and Lending Is Active Exactly When Her Net Sharpe Ratio Is NegativeResearch Paper

Why the price of borrowing a stock matters

To sell a stock short, an investor must first borrow it, and the owner who lends it charges a lending fee. Securities lending is a large market, and the fee varies across stocks: D'Avolio (2002) documents that shorting costs are positively related to the dispersion of investors' beliefs. Short-sale constraints have a long history in asset pricing (Miller 1977; Harrison and Kreps 1978; Jones and Lamont 2002), but most models either forbid short sales outright or take the fee as an exogenous parameter. Neither explains where the fee comes from, nor when a lending market is active at all.

Evgeniou, Hugonnier and Prieto build a dynamic general equilibrium model in which the fee is endogenous: two investors with logarithmic utility disagree about the expected return of a risky asset, and a lending agent, acting for the asset owners, sets the fee charged to short sellers to maximize the owners' fee revenue. Their §3 derives the equilibrium shorting cost in closed form at every state of the economy. This mission formalizes that derivation.

Setting

The economy has a riskless asset and two risky assets with strictly positive volatilities σ1,σ2\sigma_1,\sigma_2σ1​,σ2​. Asset 1 can be shorted at a cost; asset 2 cannot be shorted at all. There are two investors, an optimist ooo and a pessimist ppp, with wealths W(o),W(p)>0W^{(o)},W^{(p)}>0W(o),W(p)>0. Each investor aaa perceives market prices of risk (Sharpe ratios) θ1(a),θ2(a)\theta^{(a)}_1,\theta^{(a)}_2θ1(a)​,θ2(a)​, and the optimist is more optimistic about asset 1: θ1(p)≤θ1(o)\theta^{(p)}_1\le\theta^{(o)}_1θ1(p)​≤θ1(o)​, the disagreement Δ≥0\Delta\ge0Δ≥0.

A short position in asset 1 pays a shorting cost Φ\PhiΦ per dollar shorted, and a long position earns a lending yield Γ\GammaΓ. Both are measured per unit of volatility of asset 1: ϕ=Φ/σ1\phi=\Phi/\sigma_1ϕ=Φ/σ1​ and γ=Γ/σ1\gamma=\Gamma/\sigma_1γ=Γ/σ1​. A position mmm in asset 1 earns fees at the rate

Λ(m;Φ,Γ)=m+Γ−m−Φ,\Lambda(m;\Phi,\Gamma)=m^+\Gamma-m^-\Phi ,Λ(m;Φ,Γ)=m+Γ−m−Φ,

with m+=max⁡{m,0}m^+=\max\{m,0\}m+=max{m,0} and m−=max⁡{−m,0}m^-=\max\{-m,0\}m−=max{−m,0}. Investor aaa chooses wealth fractions p=(p1,p2)p=(p_1,p_2)p=(p1​,p2​) with p2≥0p_2\ge0p2​≥0 to solve the mean-variance problem

max⁡p∈R×R+{Λ(p1;Φ,Γ)+p1σ1θ1(a)+p2σ2θ2(a)−12(p1σ1+p2σ2)2},\max_{p\in\mathbb R\times\mathbb R_+}\Big\{\Lambda(p_1;\Phi,\Gamma)+p_1\sigma_1\theta^{(a)}_1+p_2\sigma_2\theta^{(a)}_2-\tfrac12(p_1\sigma_1+p_2\sigma_2)^2\Big\},p∈R×R+​max​{Λ(p1​;Φ,Γ)+p1​σ1​θ1(a)​+p2​σ2​θ2(a)​−21​(p1​σ1​+p2​σ2​)2},

which is what logarithmic utility reduces to at each instant. The lending agent's revenue per unit of volatility at fee yyy is

R(y)=∑ay (θ1(a)+y)− W(a).R(y)=\sum_a y\,\big(\theta^{(a)}_1+y\big)^-\,W^{(a)} .R(y)=a∑​y(θ1(a)​+y)−W(a).

An equilibrium at a state consists of these quantities such that: the no-dominance condition θ2(a)=θ1(a)+γ\theta^{(a)}_2=\theta^{(a)}_1+\gammaθ2(a)​=θ1(a)​+γ holds for both investors (equation (7)); each investor's portfolio is optimal; asset 1, in positive supply S1>0S_1>0S1​>0, clears; the lending market clears (fees paid by short sellers equal fees received by long holders); and ϕ\phiϕ is the least maximizer of RRR over y≥γy\ge\gammay≥γ. The inactive set is L={γ=0}\mathcal L=\{\gamma=0\}L={γ=0} and the active set S\mathcal SS is its complement.

Formalization targets

Goal: equations (15)–(17)

At every equilibrium state,

γ=0  ⟺  θ2(p)≥0,ϕ=−12 θ1(p) 1{θ2(p)<0}.\gamma=0\iff\theta^{(p)}_2\ge0,\qquad \phi=-\tfrac12\,\theta^{(p)}_1\,\mathbb 1_{\{\theta^{(p)}_2<0\}} .γ=0⟺θ2(p)​≥0,ϕ=−21​θ1(p)​1{θ2(p)​<0}​.

Lending is active exactly where the pessimist perceives a strictly negative net Sharpe ratio on long positions, and there the lending agent charges half the Sharpe ratio −θ1(p)-\theta^{(p)}_1−θ1(p)​ the pessimist could earn by shorting absent frictions.

Milestones, in attack order

  1. Proposition 1 (p. 17): the optimal portfolios of the mean-variance problem under (7) and ϕ≥γ\phi\ge\gammaϕ≥γ.
  2. (11) (p. 18): the optimist is long, θ2(o)=θ1(o)+γ>0\theta^{(o)}_2=\theta^{(o)}_1+\gamma>0θ2(o)​=θ1(o)​+γ>0.
  3. (14) (p. 18): γσ1S1=(ϕ−γ)(θ1(p)+ϕ)−W(p)\gamma\sigma_1S_1=(\phi-\gamma)(\theta^{(p)}_1+\phi)^-W^{(p)}γσ1​S1​=(ϕ−γ)(θ1(p)​+ϕ)−W(p).
  4. (12)–(13) (p. 18): the maximizers of the revenue over y≥γy\ge\gammay≥γ, and their least element max⁡{γ,−12θ1(p)}\max\{\gamma,-\tfrac12\theta^{(p)}_1\}max{γ,−21​θ1(p)​}.

Two companion statements are also included: (18) (p. 20), that the pessimist is strictly short on S\mathcal SS, and the fee flow (π1(p))−Φ=14(θ1(p))2W(p)1S(\pi^{(p)}_1)^-\Phi=\tfrac14(\theta^{(p)}_1)^2W^{(p)}\mathbb 1_{\mathcal S}(π1(p)​)−Φ=41​(θ1(p)​)2W(p)1S​ (p. 19).

Significance

The goal is the paper's description of the short market. It identifies the active set by a condition on one observable-in-principle quantity, the pessimist's net Sharpe ratio, and it gives the fee as a fixed fraction of the pessimist's frictionless Sharpe ratio. The rest of the paper rests on it: the one-asset closed forms of §4.1, the trading regions of §3.3, and the pricing results of Proposition 2 all start from (15)–(16). The fee-flow identity shows that the optimist captures a quarter of the pessimist's frictionless excess return, which is the upper bound Remark 1 attributes to any alternative fee-setting mechanism.

The result is proved in the paper, partly in the text and partly in Appendix A. Some steps are argued informally: (11) rests on the sentence "agents cannot be short simultaneously in equilibrium", and (14) on "substituting the optimal portfolios of Proposition 1 into the market clearing conditions". As far as is known, none of it has been machine-checked. A formalization makes each step explicit, including the degenerate states the text passes over. In checking the statements against each other, three printed slips were found and are corrected here (see Formalization scope).

Difficulty

The goal combines optimality, clearing and revenue maximization, and the obvious argument fails at its degenerate edge. On the inactive set the shorting cost equals the lending yield (ϕ=γ=0\phi=\gamma=0ϕ=γ=0). There Proposition 1's characterization of optimal portfolios no longer holds: portfolios that short asset 1 to buy asset 2 are also optimal. So the step "substitute the optimal portfolios" is not available, and (14) must be obtained from the clearing conditions directly in that case. Similarly the revenue maximizer is not unique on the inactive set; the shorting cost is pinned down only by the paper's selection of the least maximizer, and (16) is false for any other selection. Finally, (11) requires an argument that the two investors cannot both be short while asset 1 is in positive supply. This uses optimality of both portfolios, not just of one.

Formalization scope

Everything is stated at one state (ω,t)(\omega,t)(ω,t) of the paper's continuous-time economy, about real numbers. The continuous-time economy of §2 (Brownian filtrations, consumption streams, the dynamics of wealth) is the paper's motivation and is not formalized; the formalized statements are its instantaneous equilibrium conditions. The time index is dropped throughout, and the paper's "arbitrary process xtx_txt​" in Proposition 1 becomes an arbitrary real number.

Conventions:

  • Rates are per unit of volatility; the dollar rates are Φ=ϕσ1\Phi=\phi\sigma_1Φ=ϕσ1​ and Γ=γσ1\Gamma=\gamma\sigma_1Γ=γσ1​, never obtained by division.
  • m+m^+m+ and m−m^-m− are written as max⁡{m,0}\max\{m,0\}max{m,0} and max⁡{−m,0}\max\{-m,0\}max{−m,0}; indicators are if … then … else 0.
  • Dollar positions are π1(a)=W(a)p1(a)\pi^{(a)}_1=W^{(a)}p^{(a)}_1π1(a)​=W(a)p1(a)​.
  • The standing assumptions are hypotheses of every equilibrium statement: σ1,σ2>0\sigma_1,\sigma_2>0σ1​,σ2​>0 (the standing assumption of §3), S1>0S_1>0S1​>0, W(o),W(p)>0W^{(o)},W^{(p)}>0W(o),W(p)>0, and θ1(p)≤θ1(o)\theta^{(p)}_1\le\theta^{(o)}_1θ1(p)​≤θ1(o)​.
  • The shorting-cost condition (4) is stated in its per-volatility form (10), over y≥γy\ge\gammay≥γ, with the least maximizer selected as in (13). A single lending agent is built in.
  • Consumption clearing and asset-2 clearing are not part of the equilibrium predicate; no statement uses them, so leaving them out makes every statement more general.

Corrected slips of the page, each disclosed in the item concerned:

  1. Proposition 1's "the optimal portfolio satisfies (9)" fails when ϕ=γ\phi=\gammaϕ=γ; the converse direction is stated under ϕ>γ\phi>\gammaϕ>γ, and the constraint 0≤x≤θ20\le x\le\theta_20≤x≤θ2​ only where θ2≥0\theta_2\ge0θ2​≥0.
  2. The indicator in (12) should be 1{θ1(p)+γ≥0}\mathbb 1_{\{\theta^{(p)}_1+\gamma\ge0\}}1{θ1(p)​+γ≥0}​, not 1{θ1(p)≥0}\mathbb 1_{\{\theta^{(p)}_1\ge0\}}1{θ1(p)​≥0}​; the least maximizer (13) is unaffected.
  3. (18) prints "≠∅\neq\emptyset=∅"; its proof shows the set is empty, which is what is stated.

The results (11), (13) and (14) are not built into the equilibrium predicate. With them assumed, the goal would reduce to a four-line computation; they are separate items to be proved. The definitions are short and self-contained, needing only real arithmetic from Mathlib. Proofs of the milestones, and proofs of the goal that use the milestones, are welcome.

Selected references

  • T. Evgeniou, J. Hugonnier, R. Prieto, Asset Pricing with Costly Short Sales, Swiss Finance Institute Research Paper N°22-21, version of September 22, 2022 — the source of this mission. Published as J. Hugonnier, R. Prieto, Asset Pricing with Costly Short Sales, Management Science (2024), https://doi.org/10.1287/mnsc.2023.01887, whose numbering is not used here.
  • G. D'Avolio, The market for borrowing stock, Journal of Financial Economics 66 (2002), 271–306.
  • C. Jones, O. Lamont, Short-sale constraints and stock returns, Journal of Financial Economics 66 (2002).
  • R. Radner, Existence of equilibrium of plans, prices and price expectations in a sequence of markets, Econometrica 40 (2) (1972), 289–303.
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Dynamic ProgrammingOperations ResearchOptimization+1·Captain: mikedeng1

Coordinating Inventory Control and Pricing Strategies for Perishable Products 2: With Zero Lead Time and Minimal Disposal, Two Myopic Solutions Bound the Optimal Order-Up-To LevelResearch Paper

Why bound the order-up-to level of a perishable product

Food, blood products, pharmaceuticals and many retail goods are perishable: a unit is usable for a fixed number of periods and is then discarded. A seller of such a product decides every period how much to order, what price to charge, and how much stock to deplete or dispose of. Because units of different ages coexist, the state of the system is a vector of inventory levels by remaining lifetime, and the exact dynamic program suffers from the curse of dimensionality in that vector. Nahmias's survey (Nahmias 1982) records this obstacle for the pure ordering problem; adding pricing makes it worse.

Chen, Pang and Pan (Operations Research 62(2), 2014) analyse the joint ordering, pricing and disposal problem with the tools of L♮-concavity (Murota's discrete convex analysis, extended to real vectors). Their §4 shows that the optimal profit-to-go is L♮-concave, which yields monotone policies with bounded sensitivity. Their §6.1 then shows that two one-dimensional, myopic problems bracket the optimal order-up-to level, which is the starting point of the heuristics of §6.2. This mission formalizes the backlogging case of that bracketing result, Theorem 3.

Setting

A single product has lifetime l≥2l\ge 2l≥2 periods; the replenishment lead time is zero, and unmet demand is backlogged. The unit costs are ccc (ordering), h+h^+h+ (holding), h−h^-h− (backlogging) and θ\thetaθ (disposal); γ\gammaγ is the discount factor. The seller chooses the expected demand ddd in an interval D=[d‾,dˉ]\mathcal D=[\underline d,\bar d]D=[d​,dˉ], which is equivalent to choosing the price P(d)P(d)P(d), where PPP is strictly decreasing. The expected revenue P(d) dP(d)\,dP(d)d is continuous and concave on D\mathcal DD (Assumption 1). Realized demand is dt=d+εtd_t=d+\varepsilon_tdt​=d+εt​, with independent, identically distributed, zero-mean noise supported in [A,B][A,B][A,B], A≤0≤BA\le 0\le BA≤0≤B, and d‾+A≥0\underline d+A\ge 0d​+A≥0.

The state s=(s1,…,sl−1)s=(s_1,\dots,s_{l-1})s=(s1​,…,sl−1​) lies in S={s1≤⋯≤sl−1}\mathcal S=\{s_1\le\dots\le s_{l-1}\}S={s1​≤⋯≤sl−1​}: sis_isi​ is the inventory with residual lifetime at most iii periods (negative values are backorders), and sl−1s_{l-1}sl−1​ is the inventory position. Each period the seller picks an order-up-to level sl≥sl−1s_l\ge s_{l-1}sl​≥sl−1​, the demand level ddd, and, after demand is realized, a depletion aaa with s1∨dt≤a≤sl∨dts_1\vee d_t\le a\le s_l\vee d_ts1​∨dt​≤a≤sl​∨dt​. The next state is s~=(s2−a,…,sl−a)\tilde s=(s_2-a,\dots,s_l-a)s~=(s2​−a,…,sl​−a). The one-period objective is

φt(s,sl,d,a∣εt)=γc s~l−1−csl−θ(a−dt)−h+(sl−a)+−h−(a−sl)++γft+1(s~),\varphi_t(s,s_l,d,a\mid\varepsilon_t)=\gamma c\,\tilde s_{l-1}-cs_l-\theta(a-d_t)-h^+(s_l-a)^+-h^-(a-s_l)^++\gamma f_{t+1}(\tilde s),φt​(s,sl​,d,a∣εt​)=γcs~l−1​−csl​−θ(a−dt​)−h+(sl​−a)+−h−(a−sl​)++γft+1​(s~),

gtg_tgt​ maximizes it over aaa, Gt(s,sl,d)=P(d)d+E[gt]G_t(s,s_l,d)=P(d)d+\mathbb E[g_t]Gt​(s,sl​,d)=P(d)d+E[gt​], and the profit-to-go is ft(s)=max⁡sl≥sl−1, d∈DGt(s,sl,d)f_t(s)=\max_{s_l\ge s_{l-1},\,d\in\mathcal D}G_t(s,s_l,d)ft​(s)=maxsl​≥sl−1​,d∈D​Gt​(s,sl​,d) with fT+1=0f_{T+1}=0fT+1​=0.

Under θ≥h+/(1−γ)\theta\ge h^+/(1-\gamma)θ≥h+/(1−γ) only expiring stock is disposed of (Proposition 1). With θ~=θ+γc−h+\tilde\theta=\theta+\gamma c-h^+θ~=θ+γc−h+ and vt(sl,dt)=−(1−γ)csl−γcdt−h+(sl−dt)+−h−(dt−sl)+v_t(s_l,d_t)=-(1-\gamma)cs_l-\gamma cd_t-h^+(s_l-d_t)^+-h^-(d_t-s_l)^+vt​(sl​,dt​)=−(1−γ)csl​−γcdt​−h+(sl​−dt​)+−h−(dt​−sl​)+, the two myopic objectives are

Πt(sl,d)=P(d)d+E[vt(sl,dt)],Π~t(sl,d)=Πt(sl,d)−γcsl−K E[(sl−dt)+],\Pi_t(s_l,d)=P(d)d+\mathbb E[v_t(s_l,d_t)],\qquad \tilde\Pi_t(s_l,d)=\Pi_t(s_l,d)-\gamma cs_l-K\,\mathbb E[(s_l-d_t)^+],Πt​(sl​,d)=P(d)d+E[vt​(sl​,dt​)],Π~t​(sl​,d)=Πt​(sl​,d)−γcsl​−KE[(sl​−dt​)+],

with K=γh++⋯+γl−2h++γl−1θ~K=\gamma h^++\dots+\gamma^{l-2}h^++\gamma^{l-1}\tilde\thetaK=γh++⋯+γl−2h++γl−1θ~. Sˉt(d)\bar S_t(d)Sˉt​(d) and S‾t(d)\underline S_t(d)S​t​(d) are their largest maximizers over sl≥0s_l\ge0sl​≥0.

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem 3 (Bounds), backlogging case

For every period, every state s∈Ss\in\mathcal Ss∈S and every d∈Dd\in\mathcal Dd∈D, the largest optimal order-up-to level slt(s,d)s_{lt}(s,d)slt​(s,d) satisfies

S‾t(d)∨sl−1 ≤ slt(s,d) ≤ Sˉt(d)∨sl−1.\underline S_t(d)\vee s_{l-1}\ \le\ s_{lt}(s,d)\ \le\ \bar S_t(d)\vee s_{l-1}.S​t​(d)∨sl−1​ ≤ slt​(s,d) ≤ Sˉt​(d)∨sl−1​.

Milestones, in attack order

  1. Lemma 6 (p. 290): ftf_tft​ is nonincreasing in each coordinate of the state.
  2. Proposition 1 (p. 292): if θ≥h+/(1−γ)\theta\ge h^+/(1-\gamma)θ≥h+/(1−γ), depleting dt∨s1d_t\vee s_1dt​∨s1​ is optimal.
  3. The p. 294 decomposition: φt\varphi_tφt​ at a=dt∨s1a=d_t\vee s_1a=dt​∨s1​ equals vt(sl,dt)−θ~(s1−dt)++γft+1(s~)v_t(s_l,d_t)-\tilde\theta(s_1-d_t)^++\gamma f_{t+1}(\tilde s)vt​(sl​,dt​)−θ~(s1​−dt​)++γft+1​(s~).
  4. Theorem 1, first sentence (p. 291), at zero lead time: ftf_tft​, gtg_tgt​, φt\varphi_tφt​ are L♮-concave.
  5. Concavity in sls_lsl​ (p. 295): Πt(⋅,d)\Pi_t(\cdot,d)Πt​(⋅,d) and Gt(s,⋅,d)G_t(s,\cdot,d)Gt​(s,⋅,d) are concave.
  6. Upper step (p. 295): Gt(s,sl′,d)−Gt(s,sl,d)≤Πt(sl′,d)−Πt(sl,d)G_t(s,s'_l,d)-G_t(s,s_l,d)\le\Pi_t(s'_l,d)-\Pi_t(s_l,d)Gt​(s,sl′​,d)−Gt​(s,sl​,d)≤Πt​(sl′​,d)−Πt​(sl​,d) for sl′>sl≥sl−1s'_l>s_l\ge s_{l-1}sl′​>sl​≥sl−1​.

The proof's lower-bound display (p. 295) is not a milestone: as printed, for arbitrary sl′>sl≥sl−1s'_l>s_l\ge s_{l-1}sl′​>sl​≥sl−1​, it is false when h+>γch^+>\gamma ch+>γc (see Formalization scope).

Significance

The result. The bounds reduce an (l−1)(l-1)(l−1)-dimensional optimization to two scalar newsvendor-type problems whose solutions do not depend on the period (Remark 6), and they give interpretable brackets: Sˉt(d)\bar S_t(d)Sˉt​(d) ignores the future cost of excess stock, while S‾t(d)\underline S_t(d)S​t​(d) charges every excess unit holding until expiry and then disposal. They justify the one-dimensional heuristics of §6.2 and give a check on any computed policy.

Formalizing it. The paper's proof is short but compresses three steps that need care: the structural results of §4 at zero lead time, the minimal-disposal property, and a coupling argument for the lower bound whose printed display is not correct as stated (see below). A machine-checked development would make the whole chain from the recursion to the bounds explicit, including the existence conventions for optimal decisions. To the knowledge of this mission, none of these results has been formalized in any proof assistant.

Difficulty

The central obstacle is the concavity of Gt(s,⋅,d)G_t(s,\cdot,d)Gt​(s,⋅,d) in the order-up-to level. It is not visible from the one-period terms: it rests on L♮-concavity of the whole recursion (Theorem 1), and the depletion constraint s1∨dt≤a≤sl∨dts_1\vee d_t\le a\le s_l\vee d_ts1​∨dt​≤a≤sl​∨dt​ is not an L♮-convex set, so the standard preservation lemma does not apply to (5) as written.

The lower bound needs a quantitative estimate of how much an extra unit of fresh stock can cost in the future. The printed estimate charges the expiring unit θ~\tilde\thetaθ~ where an unused unit actually costs θ\thetaθ, so it cannot hold for every pair of order-up-to levels; the lower bound must use that the comparison is only needed below S‾t(d)\underline S_t(d)S​t​(d), where excess stock is not pushed past the next period's optimal order-up-to level.

Formalization scope

The Lean development lives in the namespace PerishablePricing.Bounds. Its conventions are:

  • Carrier R\mathbb RR. The paper treats real and integer vectors at once; only the real case is formalized. L♮-convexity is defined on an explicit domain with real values, the paper's convention for "L♮-convex on a set".
  • Indices. States are Fin L → ℝ with L=l−1≥1L=l-1\ge1L=l−1≥1, 0-based.
  • Time. Time counts periods to go: f 0 = 0 is fT+1f_{T+1}fT+1​, and GtG_tGt​, gtg_tgt​, φt\varphi_tφt​ use the continuation f n.
  • Maxima and expectations. The maxima in the recursion are suprema over nonempty sets whose values are bounded above, and expectations are Bochner integrals against the noise law.
  • Optimal decisions. Every optimal decision is a largest maximizer, taken as a hypothesis at the points where it is used. With an arbitrary maximizer the upper bound fails when Πt(⋅,d)\Pi_t(\cdot,d)Πt​(⋅,d) is flat.

The standing assumptions are the hypotheses of every statement:

  • nonnegative unit costs and 0≤γ≤10\le\gamma\le10≤γ≤1;
  • the noise conditions and the strictly decreasing inverse demand;
  • Assumption 1;
  • (1−γ)c≤h−(1-\gamma)c\le h^-(1−γ)c≤h−, the §4 assumption c≤h−/(1−γ)c\le h^-/(1-\gamma)c≤h−/(1−γ);
  • h+≤(1−γ)θh^+\le(1-\gamma)\thetah+≤(1−γ)θ with γ<1\gamma<1γ<1, the §6.1 assumption θ≥h+/(1−γ)\theta\ge h^+/(1-\gamma)θ≥h+/(1−γ), which divides by 1−γ1-\gamma1−γ.

Deviations from the page, all disclosed in the items:

  • Only the backlogging case of Theorem 3 is stated. The lost-sales case rests on Theorem 2, which is not posed.
  • The hypothesis "the starting inventory level of the planning horizon is zero" constrains no object of the statement, and the conclusion is stated for every state.
  • Π~t\tilde\Pi_tΠ~t​'s printed term −γc s~l−1-\gamma c\,\tilde s_{l-1}−γcs~l−1​ depends on the state and the noise. It is read as −γc sl-\gamma c\,s_l−γcsl​, which leaves the maximizers unchanged.
  • The objective missing from the printed definition of Sˉt(d)\bar S_t(d)Sˉt​(d) is Πt\Pi_tΠt​.
  • The upper step's "Gt=Πt+γE[ft+1]G_t=\Pi_t+\gamma\mathbb E[f_{t+1}]Gt​=Πt​+γE[ft+1​]" omits a term constant in sls_lsl​.
  • The lower-bound display of the proof of Theorem 3 is not stated. Its exponents t+l−3t+l-3t+l−3, t+l−2t+l-2t+l−2 should read l−3l-3l−3, l−2l-2l−2, and even then, for arbitrary sl′>sl≥sl−1s'_l>s_l\ge s_{l-1}sl′​>sl​≥sl−1​, it fails when h+>γch^+>\gamma ch+>γc. Example: l=2l=2l=2, deterministic demand, c=1c=1c=1, γ=12\gamma=\tfrac12γ=21​, h+=h−=1h^+=h^-=1h+=h−=1, θ=2\theta=2θ=2, one period after the current one, s1=0s_1=0s1​=0, d=12d=\tfrac12d=21​, sl=100s_l=100sl​=100, sl′=101s'_l=101sl′​=101: the left side is −3-3−3 and the right side is −2.75-2.75−2.75. In that case an unused unit is disposed of at cost θ\thetaθ, not θ~\tilde\thetaθ~. Theorem 3 itself is stated as printed, with S‾t(d)\underline S_t(d)S​t​(d) defined through Π~t\tilde\Pi_tΠ~t​.

The goal must not be trivialized. Its continuation, the concavity of GtG_tGt​ and the monotonicity of ft+1f_{t+1}ft+1​ are properties of the model's own recursion, never hypotheses on abstract functions. Likewise slt(s,d)s_{lt}(s,d)slt​(s,d) is defined through GtG_tGt​, never through Πt\Pi_tΠt​ or Π~t\tilde\Pi_tΠ~t​.

A complete development needs:

  • L♮-concavity preservation under partial maximization over an L♮-convex set and under expectation;
  • concavity of expectations of piecewise-linear functions of the noise;
  • measurability and integrability of the stage value gtg_tgt​ in the noise;
  • the coupling arguments for Proposition 1 and the lower bound.

The L♮ preservation lemmas are reusable for other discrete-convexity models in inventory theory. Contributions toward any milestone, or toward that infrastructure, are welcome.

The source is the published Operations Research article. In the held scan, printed page = PDF page + 282.

Selected references

  • X. Chen, Z. Pang, L. Pan, Coordinating Inventory Control and Pricing Strategies for Perishable Products, Operations Research 62(2):284–300, 2014. https://doi.org/10.1287/opre.2014.1261
  • K. Murota, Discrete Convex Analysis, SIAM, 2003. https://doi.org/10.1137/1.9780898718508
  • P. Zipkin, On the Structure of Lost-Sales Inventory Models, Operations Research 56(4):937–944, 2008. https://doi.org/10.1287/opre.1070.0482
  • S. Nahmias, Perishable Inventory Theory: A Review, Operations Research 30(4):680–708, 1982. https://doi.org/10.1287/opre.30.4.680
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EconomicsOperations ResearchOptimization·Captain: mikedeng1

Advance Selling and Upgrading in Priority Queues: With Only Online Customers, Upgrading Raises the Optimal Revenue Exactly When Bₛ − Bₐ > α(p(λₕ) − p(λₗ))Research Paper

Motivation

Amusement parks and similar attractions sell two kinds of ticket for the same ride: a regular ticket, which joins a first-come-first-served queue, and a fast-track ticket, which joins a separate queue served with non-preemptive priority. Increasingly these tickets are sold online in advance, before the customer knows whether the park will be crowded on the day, and some parks also let a customer who bought a regular ticket online upgrade to fast track on arrival for a fee. Whether such an upgrading option earns the seller anything beyond what advance selling already earns is a pricing question that combines two literatures: the economics of priority queues, going back to Naor's toll model (Naor 1969) and equilibrium threshold strategies in priority queues (Hassin and Haviv 1997), and advance selling under demand uncertainty (Xie and Shugan 2001), where upgrades had been studied for inventory but not for queues (Cui, Duenyas and Sahin 2018).

Wang, Cao, Xie and Zhan (MSOM 2025) answer it in a stylised M/M/1 model. This mission formalizes their main result for the case in which every customer buys online, Theorem 1, together with the propositions its proof rests on.

Setting

A single server has exponential service times with rate μ\muμ. The day is crowded (arrival rate λh\lambda_hλh​) or uncrowded (rate λl\lambda_lλl​), with 0<λl<λh<μ0<\lambda_l<\lambda_h<\mu0<λl​<λh​<μ; an arriving customer sees a crowded day with probability α∈(0,1)\alpha\in(0,1)α∈(0,1). Each customer has a cost ccc per unit of waiting time, uniform on [0,cˉ][0,\bar c][0,cˉ] with cˉ>0\bar c>0cˉ>0. Regular tickets cost BaB_aBa​ in advance and BsB_sBs​ on the spot; these prices are exogenous and may be any real numbers. The seller chooses the fast-track prices PaP_aPa​ (advance) and PsP_sPs​ (spot), and in the upgrading scheme also the fee KKK.

Customers sort themselves by two delay-sensitivity cutoffs 0<cr≤cf≤cˉ0<c_r\le c_f\le\bar c0<cr​≤cf​≤cˉ. If on a day of rate λ\lambdaλ the customers with cost above a cutoff ccc use the fast track, the expected waits are

WF(c)=λμ(μ−(1−c/cˉ)λ),WR(c)=μWF(c)μ−λ,W_F(c)=\frac{\lambda}{\mu\bigl(\mu-(1-c/\bar c)\lambda\bigr)},\qquad W_R(c)=\frac{\mu W_F(c)}{\mu-\lambda},WF​(c)=μ(μ−(1−c/cˉ)λ)λ​,WR​(c)=μ−λμWF​(c)​,

Cobham's formulas for a two-class priority queue. The crowded-day waits WhW^hWh are evaluated at (λh,cr)(\lambda_h,c_r)(λh​,cr​) and the uncrowded-day waits WlW^lWl at (λl,cf)(\lambda_l,c_f)(λl​,cf​).

The paper reduces the seller's problem to two explicit programs. Under AS (advance and spot selling) the seller maximises

ΠAS=Pa(1−cfcˉ)+(αPs+(1−α)Bs)cf−crcˉ+min⁡{Ba,Bs}crcˉ\Pi^{AS}=P_a\Bigl(1-\frac{c_f}{\bar c}\Bigr)+\bigl(\alpha P_s+(1-\alpha)B_s\bigr)\frac{c_f-c_r}{\bar c}+\min\{B_a,B_s\}\frac{c_r}{\bar c}ΠAS=Pa​(1−cˉcf​​)+(αPs​+(1−α)Bs​)cˉcf​−cr​​+min{Ba​,Bs​}cˉcr​​

over (cr,cf,Pa,Ps)(c_r,c_f,P_a,P_s)(cr​,cf​,Pa​,Ps​) subject to Pa≤PsP_a\le P_sPa​≤Ps​, 0<cr≤cf≤cˉ0<c_r\le c_f\le\bar c0<cr​≤cf​≤cˉ, and three indifference conditions that apply only when cr<cfc_r<c_fcr​<cf​, when cf<cˉc_f<\bar ccf​<cˉ, and when cf=cˉc_f=\bar ccf​=cˉ respectively (program (7)). Under AUS (advance and spot selling with upgrading), the term αPs+(1−α)Bs\alpha P_s+(1-\alpha)B_sαPs​+(1−α)Bs​ becomes min⁡{αPs+(1−α)Bs, Ba+αK}\min\{\alpha P_s+(1-\alpha)B_s,\ B_a+\alpha K\}min{αPs​+(1−α)Bs​, Ba​+αK} and Pa≤Ba+KP_a\le B_a+KPa​≤Ba​+K is added (program (8)). Write ΠAS⋆\Pi^{AS\star}ΠAS⋆ and ΠAUS⋆\Pi^{AUS\star}ΠAUS⋆ for their optimal values, and

p(λ)=(μ−μ(μ−λ))λcˉ(μ−λ)μ2,c(λ)=(μ(μ−λ)−(μ−λ))cˉλ,π(λ)=(μ−μ−λ)2cˉμ(μ−λ).p(\lambda)=\frac{\bigl(\mu-\sqrt{\mu(\mu-\lambda)}\bigr)\lambda\bar c}{(\mu-\lambda)\mu^2},\quad c(\lambda)=\frac{\bigl(\sqrt{\mu(\mu-\lambda)}-(\mu-\lambda)\bigr)\bar c}{\lambda},\quad \pi(\lambda)=\frac{(\sqrt\mu-\sqrt{\mu-\lambda})^2\bar c}{\mu(\mu-\lambda)}.p(λ)=(μ−λ)μ2(μ−μ(μ−λ)​)λcˉ​,c(λ)=λ(μ(μ−λ)​−(μ−λ))cˉ​,π(λ)=μ(μ−λ)(μ​−μ−λ​)2cˉ​.

These are the optimal price premium, cutoff and revenue gain when the rate λ\lambdaλ is known.

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem 1

ΠAS⋆=ΠAUS⋆  if Bs−Ba≤α(p(λh)−p(λl)),ΠAUS⋆>ΠAS⋆  if Bs−Ba>α(p(λh)−p(λl)).\Pi^{AS\star}=\Pi^{AUS\star}\ \text{ if } B_s-B_a\le\alpha\bigl(p(\lambda_h)-p(\lambda_l)\bigr),\qquad \Pi^{AUS\star}>\Pi^{AS\star}\ \text{ if } B_s-B_a>\alpha\bigl(p(\lambda_h)-p(\lambda_l)\bigr).ΠAS⋆=ΠAUS⋆  if Bs​−Ba​≤α(p(λh​)−p(λl​)),ΠAUS⋆>ΠAS⋆  if Bs​−Ba​>α(p(λh​)−p(λl​)).

The goal compares the two optima and does not mention their common value. It asserts that the AS supremum exists, that the AUS maximum is attained, and the comparison.

Milestones

  1. The ordering 0<c(λh)<c(λl)<cˉ0<c(\lambda_h)<c(\lambda_l)<\bar c0<c(λh​)<c(λl​)<cˉ (§5.1, p. 15).
  2. Lemma 1: with all customers buying on the spot, the equilibrium cutoffs are the closed form (5).
  3. The single-rate cutoff problem from the proof of Proposition 3: ψ(c^)=c^(WR(c^)−WF(c^))\psi(\hat c)=\hat c(W_R(\hat c)-W_F(\hat c))ψ(c^)=c^(WR​(c^)−WF​(c^)) is strictly increasing, and the revenue as a function of the cutoff is maximised at c(λ)c(\lambda)c(λ) with value π(λ)\pi(\lambda)π(λ).
  4. Proposition 3: with a known rate λ\lambdaλ, the optimal spot price is Bs+p(λ)B_s+p(\lambda)Bs​+p(λ) and the optimal revenue π(λ)+Bs\pi(\lambda)+B_sπ(λ)+Bs​.
  5. Proposition 5, parts 1)–2): if Bs−Ba<α(p(λh)−p(λl))B_s-B_a<\alpha(p(\lambda_h)-p(\lambda_l))Bs​−Ba​<α(p(λh​)−p(λl​)), the AS optimum is απ(λh)+(1−α)π(λl)+min⁡{Ba,Bs}\alpha\pi(\lambda_h)+(1-\alpha)\pi(\lambda_l)+\min\{B_a,B_s\}απ(λh​)+(1−α)π(λl​)+min{Ba​,Bs​}, attained only at cutoffs (c(λh),c(λl))(c(\lambda_h),c(\lambda_l))(c(λh​),c(λl​)) and explicit prices.
  6. Proposition 5, last sentence: if Bs−Ba>α(p(λh)−p(λl))B_s-B_a>\alpha(p(\lambda_h)-p(\lambda_l))Bs​−Ba​>α(p(λh​)−p(λl​)), the AS supremum is strictly below απ(λh)+(1−α)π(λl)+Ba\alpha\pi(\lambda_h)+(1-\alpha)\pi(\lambda_l)+B_aαπ(λh​)+(1−α)π(λl​)+Ba​.
  7. Proposition 6: the AUS optimum is always απ(λh)+(1−α)π(λl)+min⁡{Ba,Bs}\alpha\pi(\lambda_h)+(1-\alpha)\pi(\lambda_l)+\min\{B_a,B_s\}απ(λh​)+(1−α)π(λl​)+min{Ba​,Bs​}, with explicit optimal prices and fees in three regimes.

Significance

The value απ(λh)+(1−α)π(λl)+B\alpha\pi(\lambda_h)+(1-\alpha)\pi(\lambda_l)+Bαπ(λh​)+(1−α)π(λl​)+B is what a seller would earn by charging a different fast-track price on crowded and uncrowded days. Theorem 1 says that the upgrading option always recovers this state-dependent benchmark, whereas advance selling alone recovers it only while the spot regular premium Bs−BaB_s-B_aBs​−Ba​ stays below the threshold α(p(λh)−p(λl))\alpha(p(\lambda_h)-p(\lambda_l))α(p(λh​)−p(λl​)). The threshold gives a concrete pricing rule: offer upgrades exactly when the spot regular ticket is much dearer than the advance one. The paper builds its welfare comparison (§5.4) and its extensions with balking and extra on-site waiting (§6) on the same programs.

The result is proved in the paper, with proofs in its Online Appendix. Nothing in this model has a machine-checked proof. A formalization would check the case analysis of the conditional constraints, which the printed statement gets wrong at the boundary (see Formalization scope), and would provide a Lean model of the waits, the single-rate optimum and the two programs that later missions on this paper can reuse.

Difficulty

Each single-rate step is one-variable calculus with square roots. The difficulty lies in the two programs. Their constraints switch on and off with the cutoffs. Treating them as equalities throughout, or as a disjunction of cases, changes the feasible set. The obvious argument shows that every feasible value is at most the benchmark, by maximising the separable revenue in each cutoff. That is enough for Proposition 6 and for the equality case of Theorem 1, but not for the strict inequality. There the benchmark's maximiser violates Pa≤PsP_a\le P_sPa​≤Ps​, the supremum of (7) need not be attained, and the AS value must be shown to stay a positive distance below the benchmark over a feasible set that is not closed.

Formalization scope

All objects are explicit real expressions in a definitions file, AdvSellUpgrade.Online.Setting. The parameters (μ,λh,λl,α,cˉ,Ba,Bs)(\mu,\lambda_h,\lambda_l,\alpha,\bar c,B_a,B_s)(μ,λh​,λl​,α,cˉ,Ba​,Bs​) are bundled in a structure. The standing assumptions are 0<λl<λh<μ0<\lambda_l<\lambda_h<\mu0<λl​<λh​<μ, cˉ>0\bar c>0cˉ>0 and 0<α<10<\alpha<10<α<1; no sign is assumed on any price. The conventions are:

  • The mission is stated on the reduced programs (7) and (8) as printed. The queueing game they come from (Definition 1, Propositions 1–2 and the revenue (3)) is not formalized; the waits are taken in Cobham's closed form.
  • α\alphaα is a free parameter in (0,1)(0,1)(0,1). The paper defines it as βλh/λˉ\beta\lambda_h/\bar\lambdaβλh​/λˉ, and every value in (0,1)(0,1)(0,1) arises from exactly one β\betaβ. Theorem 1 fails at α=1\alpha=1α=1.
  • The "if" constraints of (7) and (8) are implications.
  • The fourth constraint of (8) is printed with WhW^hWh. It is read with WlW^lWl, as in (7). It binds only at cf=cˉc_f=\bar ccf​=cˉ and does not affect any statement of the mission.
  • Optimal values are stated as a least upper bound (for AS) or a greatest element (for AUS) of the set of attainable objective values, never as a bare supremum, which Lean sets to 000 on an empty or unbounded set. This rules out the trivializing reading of Theorem 1 as 0=00=00=0. The goal does not contain the closed-form optimum.
  • Boundary repairs. Theorem 1 prints "<<<" for the equality case and "Otherwise" for the strict one. At Bs−Ba=α(p(λh)−p(λl))B_s-B_a=\alpha(p(\lambda_h)-p(\lambda_l))Bs​−Ba​=α(p(λh​)−p(λl​)) the AS program attains the AUS optimum, so the boundary point belongs to the equality case, as in the paper's own proof (Online Appendix p. 13). The same repair applies to the last sentence of Proposition 5.
  • Proposition 5 is formalized in parts 1)–2) and its last sentence. Parts 3)–4) use a threshold and a root defined only implicitly in the appendix.
  • Proposition 3 and the single-rate milestones are stated for every rate λ∈(0,μ)\lambda\in(0,\mu)λ∈(0,μ), which covers both states.

Useful contributions include the one-variable lemmas on ppp, ccc, π\piπ and the waits, and the reduction of (7) and (8) to the separable revenue in the cutoffs.

Selected references

  • Y. Wang, P. Cao, J. Xie, D. Zhan, Advance Selling and Upgrading in Priority Queues, Manufacturing & Service Operations Management, 2025. https://doi.org/10.1287/msom.2023.0410
  • A. Cobham, Priority assignment in waiting line problems, Journal of the Operations Research Society of America 2(1), 1954. https://doi.org/10.1287/opre.2.1.70
  • P. Naor, The regulation of queue size by levying tolls, Econometrica 37(1), 1969. https://doi.org/10.2307/1909200
  • R. Hassin, M. Haviv, Equilibrium threshold strategies: the case of queues with priorities, Operations Research 45(6), 1997. https://doi.org/10.1287/opre.45.6.966
  • J. Xie, S. M. Shugan, Electronic tickets, smart cards, and online prepayments: when and how to advance sell, Marketing Science 20(3), 2001. https://doi.org/10.1287/mksc.20.3.219.9765
  • Y. Cui, I. Duenyas, Ö. Şahin, Pricing of conditional upgrades in the presence of strategic consumers, Management Science 64(7), 2018. https://doi.org/10.1287/mnsc.2017.2783
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Functional Analysis·Captain: savarin

Sharp diagonal Hlawka constants: lower the cutoff to 50Open Problem

The Hlawka inequality for Schatten ppp-norms is a cousin of the triangle inequality: it relates the norms of three matrices to the norms of their pairwise sums and their total sum. The question is how large a comparison constant is needed to make this inequality hold.

This mission asks whether the best possible constant for complex diagonal matrices, already proved in Lean for every real p≥62p\ge62p≥62, also holds for every real p≥50p\ge50p≥50. This is an open problem: no proof is known, and the technique that reached 62 cannot go further. The constant is the one from the foundation mission: the largest comparison constant required by the cyclic family of three 3×33\times33×3 diagonal matrices. Because the cutoff-62 mission already covers every p≥62p\ge62p≥62, the new work is the range from 50 to 62.

The cutoff came down from 256 to 62 across nine missions. The step from 90 to 80 used a weighted pair-curvature and confinement estimate introduced by moona3k, and further refinement pushed it from 80 through 70 to 62. The confinement method is now exhausted: at p=61p=61p=61, every confinement radius whose tangent model stays positive already makes the budget-7 box factor larger than 1. Reaching 50 requires a fundamentally new idea. The goal theorem below gives the exact statement.

This is an entry in the sharp diagonal Hlawka campaign, which asks for the smallest cutoff at which the same formula holds. Any proof for a cutoff of 50 or lower also settles this mission.

The broader question of optimal constants for Schatten norms appears in Audenaert and Kittaneh's Problem 7. Extending the sharp diagonal constant to general matrices is a separate challenge.

References

  • K. M. R. Audenaert and F. Kittaneh, Problems and Conjectures in Matrix and Operator Inequalities, arXiv preprint, 2012, §8.2, Problem 7. arXiv:1201.5232
  • Ezzeri Esa, Hlawka–Schatten inequalities: sharp diagonal construction, Lean source repository, 2026, revision 79aa498bfcf7b22bd91d771fb32ec278e2d4704b. Source library
  • Ezzeri Esa and project contributors, The cyclic bound for every real p ≥ 90, research note with appendices and exact certificates, 2026. Research note

Established results on Prove2Me

  • The accepted sharp diagonal bound for every real p ≥ 62.
  • The accepted real coordinate bound for every real p ≥ 62.
  • The accepted diagonal Schatten norm identity.
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Functional AnalysisMathematical Physics·Captain: Lucas

Heathcote 1990: A Normalized State Outside the Domains of Position and MomentumResearch Paper

Motivation

Quantum mechanics represents the states of a system by unit vectors (normed rays) of a complex Hilbert space H\mathcal HH and its observables by self-adjoint operators on H\mathcal HH. The most important observables — position, momentum, energy — are unbounded. A. Heathcote's paper Unbounded Operators and the Incompleteness of Quantum Mechanics (Philosophy of Science 57, 1990, 523–534) draws attention to a mathematical fact that is routinely glossed over in physical texts: an unbounded self-adjoint operator cannot be defined on all of H\mathcal HH, and there are concrete normalized wave functions on which the position and momentum operators do not act at all. The paper uses this to argue that the standard postulates of quantum mechanics are, in a precise sense, incomplete.

This mission isolates the mathematical content of that argument, which is a clean and checkable piece of functional analysis on L2(R)L^2(\mathbb R)L2(R).

Setting

Let H\mathcal HH be a complex Hilbert space. A (partially defined) linear operator AAA has a domain D(A)⊆HD(A)\subseteq\mathcal HD(A)⊆H; it is bounded if there is k∈Rk\in\mathbb Rk∈R with ∥Aψ∥≤k∥ψ∥\|A\psi\|\le k\|\psi\|∥Aψ∥≤k∥ψ∥ for all ψ∈D(A)\psi\in D(A)ψ∈D(A), and unbounded otherwise. It is self-adjoint if it equals its Hilbert adjoint, A=A∗A=A^*A=A∗, which includes D(A)=D(A∗)D(A)=D(A^*)D(A)=D(A∗).

On H=L2(R)\mathcal H=L^2(\mathbb R)H=L2(R):

  1. The position operator acts by (Qψ)(x)=x ψ(x)(Q\psi)(x)=x\,\psi(x)(Qψ)(x)=xψ(x) on
D(Q)={ψ∈L2(R):∫Rx2∣ψ(x)∣2 dx<∞}(eq. (3)).D(Q)=\Big\{\psi\in L^2(\mathbb R): \int_{\mathbb R}x^2|\psi(x)|^2\,dx<\infty\Big\}\qquad\text{(eq. (3))}.D(Q)={ψ∈L2(R):∫R​x2∣ψ(x)∣2dx<∞}(eq. (3)).
  1. The momentum operator Pψ=ℏi−1 dψ/dxP\psi=\hbar i^{-1}\,d\psi/dxPψ=ℏi−1dψ/dx has, in the paper's description, domain D(P)D(P)D(P) consisting of the absolutely continuous functions in L2(R)L^2(\mathbb R)L2(R).
  2. Heathcote's wave function (eq. (4)) is
ψ(x)={x−1,x≥1,0,x<1.\psi(x)=\begin{cases}x^{-1}, & x\ge 1,\\ 0, & x<1.\end{cases}ψ(x)={x−1,0,​x≥1,x<1.​

Formalization targets

Goal

There is a unit vector of L2(R)L^2(\mathbb R)L2(R), namely the class of ψ\psiψ, lying in neither domain:

∃ φ∈L2(R):φ=ψ a.e.,∥φ∥=1,φ∉D(Q),φ∉D(P).\exists\,\varphi\in L^2(\mathbb R):\quad \varphi=\psi\ \text{a.e.},\qquad \|\varphi\|=1,\qquad \varphi\notin D(Q),\qquad \varphi\notin D(P).∃φ∈L2(R):φ=ψ a.e.,∥φ∥=1,φ∈/D(Q),φ∈/D(P).

Milestones

  1. Hellinger–Toeplitz (p. 2, footnote 1): a symmetric operator defined on all of a Hilbert space is bounded (an existing platform theorem).
  2. Unbounded self-adjoint operators (p. 2, footnote 2): if A=A∗A=A^*A=A∗ is unbounded then D(A)D(A)D(A) is dense and D(A)≠HD(A)\neq\mathcal HD(A)=H.
  3. Normalization (p. 5): ψ∈L2(R)\psi\in L^2(\mathbb R)ψ∈L2(R) and ∫∣ψ∣2=∫1∞x−2dx=1\int|\psi|^2=\int_1^\infty x^{-2}dx=1∫∣ψ∣2=∫1∞​x−2dx=1.
  4. Not in D(Q)D(Q)D(Q) (p. 5): ∫x2∣ψ(x)∣2dx=∞\int x^2|\psi(x)|^2dx=\infty∫x2∣ψ(x)∣2dx=∞.
  5. Not in D(P)D(P)D(P) (pp. 5–6): no a.e.-representative of ψ\psiψ is absolutely continuous on every compact interval.
  6. Infinite position expectation (p. 9): ∫∣x∣ ∣ψ(x)∣2dx=∫1∞x−1dx=∞\int|x|\,|\psi(x)|^2dx=\int_1^\infty x^{-1}dx=\infty∫∣x∣∣ψ(x)∣2dx=∫1∞​x−1dx=∞.

Significance

The result. The goal shows that the two postulates "every normed ray is a state" and "observables are self-adjoint operators" force the existence of states on which the position operator (and, independently, the momentum operator) is undefined. Milestone 5 is what the paper uses to separate this phenomenon from the canonical commutation relations: the failure of ψ∈D(Q)\psi\in D(Q)ψ∈D(Q) is not explained by ψ\psiψ being "sharp in momentum", because ψ\psiψ is not even in D(P)D(P)D(P). Milestone 6 records the physical reading: the mean position of this normalized state is infinite.

Formalizing it. The individual facts are standard and elementary; none of them is new. What the mission produces is a machine-checked version of the paper's argument stated against the actual L2L^2L2 space and Mathlib's notion of unbounded operators and adjoints, with the domain conventions made explicit.

Difficulty

The calculus is easy; the subtleties are in the bookkeeping. Elements of L2(R)L^2(\mathbb R)L2(R) are almost-everywhere classes, so "ψ\psiψ is discontinuous at 111" does not by itself show ψ∉D(P)\psi\notin D(P)ψ∈/D(P): one must rule out every a.e.-modification of ψ\psiψ being absolutely continuous. Similarly, the Hellinger–Toeplitz argument gives D(A)≠HD(A)\neq\mathcal HD(A)=H but not density, which comes from the adjoint being a genuine operator.

Formalization scope

  • Operators are Mathlib's partially defined linear maps H →ₗ.[ℂ] H; self-adjointness is IsSelfAdjoint with respect to the adjoint A†, over a complex complete inner product space.
  • L2(R)L^2(\mathbb R)L2(R) is Lp ℂ 2 volume on ℝ; D(Q)D(Q)D(Q) and D(P)D(P)D(P) are subsets of it. Integrals of non-negative quantities are Lebesgue integrals valued in [0,∞][0,\infty][0,∞], so "=∞=\infty=∞" is literal and not a junk value.
  • D(P)D(P)D(P) follows the paper (absolutely continuous elements, i.e. having a representative absolutely continuous on every [a,b][a,b][a,b]) and omits the standard requirement ψ′∈L2\psi'\in L^2ψ′∈L2. This set contains the standard domain, so non-membership is a stronger statement.
  • The paper's further claim that ψ∉D(H)\psi\notin D(H)ψ∈/D(H) for a Hamiltonian H=P2/2m+VH=P^2/2m+VH=P2/2m+V is stated there without proof and for an unspecified potential VVV, and is not included.
  • Trivialization is excluded: the goal pins φ\varphiφ to the explicit function ψ\psiψ and requires ∥φ∥=1\|\varphi\|=1∥φ∥=1.

Selected references

  • A. Heathcote, Unbounded Operators and the Incompleteness of Quantum Mechanics, Philosophy of Science 57 (1990), 523–534.
  • M. Reed and B. Simon, Methods of Modern Mathematical Physics I: Functional Analysis, revised ed., Academic Press, 1980.
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Quantum Error CorrectionQuantum Information·Captain: Lucas

Quantum Threshold Theorem: Polylogarithmic-Overhead Fault-Tolerant Simulation Below a Constant Fault RateTextbook

Motivation

A quantum computer cannot perform gate operations perfectly, so a small constant error per operation is unavoidable. A priori this could mean that a noisy quantum computer can apply only a bounded number of gates before the computation is destroyed by noise, which would rule out long quantum computations in practice. The threshold theorem (or quantum fault-tolerance theorem) says that this does not happen: if the error rate of the physical components is below a constant threshold, quantum error correction can suppress the logical error rate to arbitrarily low levels at a modest cost in size. It is the quantum analogue of von Neumann's threshold theorem for classical computation with unreliable components (von Neumann 1956).

Timeline.

  • 1956: von Neumann shows that reliable classical computation is possible with components that fail with a small constant probability.
  • 1996: Shor gives the first fault-tolerant quantum computation scheme, proving a weaker version of the threshold theorem (Shor 1996).
  • 1997-1999: the threshold theorem is proved independently, for various error models, by Aharonov and Ben-Or (arXiv:quant-ph/9906129); Knill, Laflamme and Zurek (arXiv:quant-ph/9702058); and Kitaev (arXiv:quant-ph/9707021).
  • 2000: Nielsen and Chuang give the general framework stated below in their textbook.

Setting

A register of qubits is labelled by a finite set QQQ, and its states are density matrices indexed by bit strings x:Q→{0,1}x:Q\to\{0,1\}x:Q→{0,1}. A location applies one elementary operation to an ordered tuple of distinct qubits. The elementary operations are the gates HHH, T=diag(1,eiπ/4)T=\mathrm{diag}(1,e^{i\pi/4})T=diag(1,eiπ/4) and CNOT\mathrm{CNOT}CNOT, the preparation of a qubit in ∣0⟩|0\rangle∣0⟩, and a single-qubit wait. A layer is a set of locations whose supports partition the register, so idle qubits carry explicit waits. A circuit CCC is a sequence of layers started in ∣0⋯0⟩|0\cdots0\rangle∣0⋯0⟩, and its size ∣C∣|C|∣C∣ is its total number of locations. Measuring every qubit at the end gives the outcome distribution Pideal(C)P_{\mathrm{ideal}}(C)Pideal​(C).

The hardware follows an independent stochastic noise model with fault rate at most ppp: each location, independently, is faulty with some probability q≤pq\le pq≤p, and a faulty location applies an arbitrary, adversarially chosen quantum channel to its own qubits instead of its ideal operation. Running a physical circuit C′C'C′ on such hardware gives the outcome distribution Pnoisy(C′)P_{\mathrm{noisy}}(C')Pnoisy​(C′). A physical circuit simulating nnn logical qubits acts on nnn blocks of bbb qubits; at the end each block's measured bits are decoded to one logical bit by a fixed map dec:{0,1}b→{0,1}\mathrm{dec}:\{0,1\}^b\to\{0,1\}dec:{0,1}b→{0,1}.

Formalization targets

Goal: threshold theorem

The source states the theorem as follows: a quantum circuit on nnn qubits containing p(n)p(n)p(n) gates may be simulated with probability of error at most ε\varepsilonε using O(log⁡c(p(n)/ε) p(n))O(\log^{c}(p(n)/\varepsilon)\,p(n))O(logc(p(n)/ε)p(n)) gates, for some constant ccc, on hardware whose components fail with probability at most ppp, provided ppp is below some constant threshold pthp_{\mathrm{th}}pth​, and given reasonable assumptions about the noise in the underlying hardware. Formally: there are pth>0p_{\mathrm{th}}>0pth​>0 and c∈Nc\in\mathbb Nc∈N such that for each 0≤p<pth0\le p<p_{\mathrm{th}}0≤p<pth​ there is AAA such that for all nnn, DDD and 0<ε<10<\varepsilon<10<ε<1 there are bbb and dec\mathrm{dec}dec such that every depth-DDD circuit CCC on nnn qubits has a simulation C′C'C′ with

∣C′∣≤A(log⁡∣C∣ε+1)c∣C∣,dTV(dec∗Pnoisy(C′),Pideal(C))≤ε|C'|\le A\Big(\log\tfrac{|C|}{\varepsilon}+1\Big)^{c}|C|,\qquad d_{\mathrm{TV}}\big(\mathrm{dec}_*P_{\mathrm{noisy}}(C'),P_{\mathrm{ideal}}(C)\big)\le\varepsilon∣C′∣≤A(logε∣C∣​+1)c∣C∣,dTV​(dec∗​Pnoisy​(C′),Pideal​(C))≤ε

for every noise model with fault rate at most ppp. The goal leaves the threshold, the exponent and the constants unspecified; it asserts only the shape of the result.

Milestones

  1. Errors accumulate at most linearly: without encoding, dTV≤p ∣C∣d_{\mathrm{TV}}\le p\,|C|dTV​≤p∣C∣.
  2. Better gates: one level of encoding gives dTV≤c p2∣C∣d_{\mathrm{TV}}\le c\,p^2|C|dTV​≤cp2∣C∣ with ∣C′∣≤A∣C∣|C'|\le A|C|∣C′∣≤A∣C∣.
  3. Recursion: ek+1≤c ek2e_{k+1}\le c\,e_k^2ek+1​≤cek2​ and e0≤pe_0\le pe0​≤p imply ek≤(cp)2k/ce_k\le (cp)^{2^k}/cek​≤(cp)2k/c.
  4. Concatenation: for every kkk, dTV≤(cp)2kc∣C∣d_{\mathrm{TV}}\le \frac{(cp)^{2^k}}{c}|C|dTV​≤c(cp)2k​∣C∣ with ∣C′∣≤Adk∣C∣|C'|\le A d^k|C|∣C′∣≤Adk∣C∣.
  5. Overhead: choosing kkk to make the total error at most ε\varepsilonε costs dk=O((log⁡(g/ε)+1)⌈log⁡2d⌉)d^k=O\big((\log(g/\varepsilon)+1)^{\lceil\log_2 d\rceil}\big)dk=O((log(g/ε)+1)⌈log2​d⌉).

Significance

The theorem shows that noise is not a fundamental obstacle to scalable quantum computation: any efficient ideal quantum algorithm remains efficient on noisy hardware once the physical error rate is below a constant. Current estimates put the threshold for the surface code on the order of 1%1\%1% (Fowler, Stephens, Groszkowski 2009), and the theorem underlies the resource estimates that guide current hardware development (Campbell, Terhal, Vuillot 2017).

The theorem has been proved on paper in several forms. A machine-checked proof requires an explicit model of noisy circuits, the construction of fault-tolerant gadgets for a universal gate set, and the probabilistic bookkeeping that is usually left informal. This mission provides the model and an attack path that follows the standard proof strategy.

Difficulty

Encoding a gate in an error-correcting code makes it larger, and therefore exposes it to more faults. The whole difficulty is to show that errors are corrected faster than they are created: every encoded gadget, including error correction itself and the non-Clifford TTT gate, must be designed so that a single fault cannot cause a logical failure, and this must hold uniformly at every level of concatenation. Simply repeating each operation and taking a majority vote does not work for quantum states, which cannot be copied, and measuring a qubit directly destroys the encoded information.

Formalization scope

All statements use one definition file. Qubits of the physical register are labelled by Fin n × Fin b; states are complex matrices indexed by Q → Fin 2; channels are lists of Kraus operators; noise is the independent stochastic model above, with per-location fault probabilities in [0,p][0,p][0,p] and arbitrary fault channels. No mid-circuit measurement is available, but qubits can be re-prepared in ∣0⟩|0\rangle∣0⟩ at any time. Sizes count every location, idle steps included. The block size and the decoder may depend on nnn, the depth, ε\varepsilonε and ppp, but never on the circuit being simulated; this rules out a decoder that simply writes down the answer, and the size bound rules out classical brute-force simulation inside the physical circuit.

A complete development needs: trace-distance and contractivity facts for channels, a quantum error-correcting code with fault-tolerant gadgets for HHH, TTT, CNOT\mathrm{CNOT}CNOT, preparation and error correction, a fault-counting argument for one level of encoding, and its iteration under concatenation. The channel and trace-distance infrastructure is reusable beyond this mission.

Selected references

  • J. von Neumann, Probabilistic Logics and the Synthesis of Reliable Organisms From Unreliable Components, Automata Studies, Princeton University Press, 1956. https://doi.org/10.1515/9781400882618-003
  • P. W. Shor, Fault-tolerant quantum computation, Proc. 37th FOCS, 1996. https://doi.org/10.1109/SFCS.1996.548464
  • D. Aharonov and M. Ben-Or, Fault-Tolerant Quantum Computation with Constant Error Rate, SIAM J. Comput. 38(4), 2008. https://arxiv.org/abs/quant-ph/9906129
  • E. Knill, Resilient Quantum Computation, Science 279, 1998. https://arxiv.org/abs/quant-ph/9702058
  • A. Yu. Kitaev, Fault-tolerant quantum computation by anyons, Annals of Physics 303, 2003. https://arxiv.org/abs/quant-ph/9707021
  • M. A. Nielsen and I. L. Chuang, Quantum Computation and Quantum Information, 10th anniversary ed., Cambridge University Press, 2010.
  • Wikipedia, Threshold theorem. https://en.wikipedia.org/w/index.php?title=Threshold_theorem&oldid=1360742213
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🏆Completed
Machine LearningQuantum Information·Captain: Goku

Quantum Algorithms and Learning Theory — Part II 7: Identifying a codeword state needs Ω(k) copiesTextbook

Motivation

This mission develops Chapter 7 of Quantum Algorithms and Learning Theory — Part II by Srinivasan Arunachalam. The chapter's selected results describe the mathematical guarantees below.

Setting and conventions

The linked theorem statements and shared definitions specify the register types, oracle access, normalization, and resource conventions. Their source locators and independent readbacks accompany each target.

Chapter goal

For a matrix M∈F2n×kM\in\mathbb F_2^{n\times k}M∈F2n×k​ of rank kkk (the generator matrix of an [n,k,d]2[n,k,d]_2[n,k,d]2​ linear code) and x∈{0,1}kx\in\{0,1\}^kx∈{0,1}k define the codeword state

∣ψx⟩=1n∑i∈[n]∣i,(Mx)i⟩.|\psi_x\rangle=\frac{1}{\sqrt n}\sum_{i\in[n]}|i,(Mx)_i\rangle .∣ψx​⟩=n​1​i∈[n]∑​∣i,(Mx)i​⟩.

For every rate c1>0c_1>0c1​>0 there is a constant c0>0c_0>0c0​>0 such that the following holds for all n,kn,kn,k and all rank-kkk matrices M∈F2n×kM\in\mathbb F_2^{n\times k}M∈F2n×k​ with k≥c1nk\ge c_1 nk≥c1​n: if a measurement (POVM {Ny}y∈{0,1}k\{N_y\}_{y\in\{0,1\}^k}{Ny​}y∈{0,1}k​) on TTT copies identifies xxx from ∣ψx⟩⊗T|\psi_x\rangle^{\otimes T}∣ψx​⟩⊗T, for xxx drawn uniformly from {0,1}k\{0,1\}^k{0,1}k, with average success probability

12k∑x∈{0,1}kTr⁡ ⁣(Nx ∣ψx⟩⟨ψx∣⊗T) ≥ 45,\frac{1}{2^k}\sum_{x\in\{0,1\}^k}\operatorname{Tr}\!\big(N_x\,|\psi_x\rangle\langle\psi_x|^{\otimes T}\big)\ \ge\ \frac45,2k1​x∈{0,1}k∑​Tr(Nx​∣ψx​⟩⟨ψx​∣⊗T) ≥ 54​,

then T≥c0 kT\ge c_0\,kT≥c0​k.

This improves the Holevo-type bound Ω(k/log⁡n)\Omega(k/\log n)Ω(k/logn) to the optimal Ω(k)\Omega(k)Ω(k) for constant-rate codes, showing that codeword fingerprint states cannot be identified from few copies.

Formalization Note "k=Ω(n)k=\Omega(n)k=Ω(n)" is read as a fixed rate k≥c1nk\ge c_1 nk≥c1​n, and the constant of Ω(k)\Omega(k)Ω(k) may depend on c1c_1c1​ only. Identifying the state means outputting xxx, which is equivalent since x↦Mxx\mapsto Mxx↦Mx is injective for rank kkk. The code distance ddd plays no role and is not a hypothesis.

Significance

These are known mathematical results. Their Lean statements have been checked and reviewed against the cited source; formal proofs remain open for contributors.

Supporting targets

  • Theorem 7.3.1: Barnum–Knill: the pretty good measurement is at most quadratically worse than optimal.
  • Claim 7.3.5: Fourier coefficients of f composed with a linear map over F2.
  • Claim 7.3.6: The maximum of (c/√t)^t on [1, c²] is e^{c²/(2e)} (for c ≥ √e).
  • Fact 7.3.7: Binary entropy: H(ε) = O(ε log 1/ε) and 1 − H(1/2+ε) ≤ 2ε²/ln 2 + O(ε⁴).
  • Fact 7.3.8: Binomial coefficients and their partial sums are at most 2^{nH(·/n)}.
  • Fact 7.3.9: Helstrom bound for guessing a uniform bit from |ψ_b⟩, and its corollary.
  • Fact 7.3.10: Subadditivity of von Neumann entropy.
  • Lemma 7.4.1: Quantum PAC learners of a non-trivial class need Ω(log(1/δ)/ε) examples.
  • Lemma 7.4.2: Quantum agnostic learners of a non-trivial class need Ω(log(1/δ)/ε²) examples.
  • Theorem 7.4.3: Classical PAC sample complexity is Ω(d/ε + log(1/δ)/ε).
  • Theorem 7.4.4: Classical agnostic sample complexity is Ω(d/ε² + log(1/δ)/ε²).
  • Theorem 7.4.5: ε-average agnostic learners need (d/ε²)(1/62 − log(2d+2)/(4d)) samples.
  • Theorem 7.4.6: Quantum PAC sample complexity lower bound (information-theoretic).
  • Theorem 7.4.7: Quantum agnostic sample complexity lower bound (information-theoretic).
  • Claim 7.5.2: Eigenvalues of an XOR-convolution matrix are scaled Fourier coefficients.
  • Claim 7.5.3: Diagonal of √A in terms of Fourier coefficients of f.
  • Lemma 7.5.4: Fourier coefficients of (1 − β|z|/m)^T are nonnegative and small.
  • Claim 7.5.5: Counting index sequences whose basis vectors sum to S.
  • Theorem 7.5.6: Optimal quantum PAC sample complexity lower bound.
  • Lemma 7.5.7: PGM success bound for the PAC hard ensemble.
  • Theorem 7.5.8: Optimal quantum agnostic sample complexity lower bound.
  • Lemma 7.5.9: PGM success bound for the agnostic hard ensemble.
  • Theorem 7.6.1: Quantum PAC lower bound under random classification noise.
  • Theorem 7.6.2: Identifying a codeword state needs Ω(k) copies.

Formalization scope

Prove the existing statements under their stated hypotheses and definitions. Any correction to a printed source claim remains explicit in its target description. All listed target proofs are currently sorry; no proof is claimed. The mission goal is the designated chapter capstone; the remaining targets are separate milestones. Parts a, b, c and d are merged into their original chapter.

Selected references

  • Srinivasan Arunachalam, Quantum Algorithms and Learning Theory — Part II, 2018 thesis, ILLC DS-2018-08. https://ir.cwi.nl/pub/27536/Thesis_S_Arunachalam.
31 thms3 active usersReviewed
🏆Completed
OptimizationQuantum Information·Captain: Goku

Quantum algorithms for optimizers 1: Schmidt decompositionTextbook

Motivation

This mission develops Chapter 1 of Quantum algorithms for optimizers by Giacomo Nannicini. The chapter's selected results describe the mathematical guarantees below.

Setting and conventions

The linked theorem statements and shared definitions specify the register types, oracle access, normalization, and resource conventions. Their source locators and independent readbacks accompany each target.

Chapter goal

Let ABABAB be a register made of a register AAA of mam_ama​ qubits followed by a register BBB of mbm_bmb​ qubits. Let ∣ψ⟩|\psi\rangle∣ψ⟩ be a pure state of ABABAB, that is, a unit vector. Then there exist a finite index set {1,…,r}\{1,\dots,r\}{1,…,r}, an orthonormal family ∣ϕ1A⟩,…,∣ϕrA⟩|\phi^A_1\rangle,\dots,|\phi^A_r\rangle∣ϕ1A​⟩,…,∣ϕrA​⟩ of states of AAA, an orthonormal family ∣ϕ1B⟩,…,∣ϕrB⟩|\phi^B_1\rangle,\dots,|\phi^B_r\rangle∣ϕ1B​⟩,…,∣ϕrB​⟩ of states of BBB, and nonnegative reals λ1,…,λr\lambda_1,\dots,\lambda_rλ1​,…,λr​ with ∑jλj2=1\sum_j\lambda_j^2=1∑j​λj2​=1, such that

∣ψ⟩=∑j=1rλj ∣ϕjA⟩∣ϕjB⟩.|\psi\rangle=\sum_{j=1}^r\lambda_j\,|\phi^A_j\rangle|\phi^B_j\rangle .∣ψ⟩=j=1∑r​λj​∣ϕjA​⟩∣ϕjB​⟩.

This is the singular value decomposition rephrased for bipartite pure states. Classical simulation algorithms for quantum circuits use it.

Formalization Note The source leaves the index set unspecified; here it is Fin r for an existentially chosen r.

Significance

These are known mathematical results. Their Lean statements have been checked and reviewed against the cited source; formal proofs remain open for contributors.

Supporting targets

  • Proposition 1.4: Algebraic properties of the tensor (Kronecker) product.
  • Proposition 1.19: Basis states are exactly tensor products of single-qubit basis states.
  • Proposition 1.27: Measuring all qubits one at a time, in any order, yields j with probability |α_j|².
  • Theorem 1.32: No-cloning principle.
  • Proposition 1.37: Pauli matrices: a Hermitian basis of C^{2×2} with XYZ = iI.
  • Proposition 1.38: Hadamard on every qubit of |0⟩ gives the uniform superposition.
  • Proposition 1.41: Three CX gates implement SWAP.
  • Proposition 1.46: Errors of a product of unitaries add up.
  • Proposition 1.49: Close states give close measurement distributions.
  • Proposition 1.50: Principle of implicit measurement.
  • Theorem 1.60: Density matrices are exactly the unit-trace positive semidefinite matrices.
  • Proposition 1.67: The reduced density matrix gives the correct outcome probabilities on register A.
  • Theorem 1.70: Schmidt decomposition.

Formalization scope

Prove the existing statements under their stated hypotheses and definitions. Any correction to a printed source claim remains explicit in its target description. All listed target proofs are currently sorry; no proof is claimed. The mission goal is the designated chapter capstone; the remaining targets are separate milestones. Parts a, b, c and d are merged into their original chapter.

Selected references

  • Giacomo Nannicini, Quantum algorithms for optimizers, 2025, v5; notes dated 9 July 2025. https://arxiv.org/pdf/2408.07086v5.
14 thms3 active usersReviewed
🏆Completed
Quantum Information·Captain: Goku

Quantum Computing: Lecture Notes 15: 2-query locally decodable codes have exponential lengthTextbook

Motivation

This mission develops Chapter 15 of Quantum Computing: Lecture Notes by Ronald de Wolf. The chapter's selected results describe the mathematical guarantees below.

Setting and conventions

The linked theorem statements and shared definitions specify the register types, oracle access, normalization, and resource conventions. Their source locators and independent readbacks accompany each target.

Chapter goal

This is the exponential lower bound on the length of 2-query locally decodable codes.

A map C:{0,1}n→{0,1}NC : \{0,1\}^n \to \{0,1\}^NC:{0,1}n→{0,1}N is a (2,δ,ε)(2,\delta,\varepsilon)(2,δ,ε)-locally decodable code if for every i∈[n]i \in [n]i∈[n] a classical randomized algorithm making at most 222 queries to an NNN-bit string yyy outputs xix_ixi​ with probability at least 12+ε\frac12 + \varepsilon21​+ε, for every x∈{0,1}nx \in \{0,1\}^nx∈{0,1}n and every yyy within Hamming distance δN\delta NδN of C(x)C(x)C(x).

There are constants c>0c > 0c>0 and n0∈Nn_0 \in \mathbb Nn0​∈N such that for all n≥n0n \ge n_0n≥n0​, all NNN, all δ>0\delta > 0δ>0, ε>0\varepsilon > 0ε>0, and every (2,δ,ε)(2,\delta,\varepsilon)(2,δ,ε)-locally decodable code C:{0,1}n→{0,1}NC : \{0,1\}^n \to \{0,1\}^NC:{0,1}n→{0,1}N,

N≥2c δ2ε4n.N \ge 2^{c\,\delta^2 \varepsilon^4 n}.N≥2cδ2ε4n.

Hence the Hadamard code, of length 2n2^n2n, is essentially optimal among 2-query LDCs.

Formalization Note The asymptotic 2Ω(δ2ε4n)2^{\Omega(\delta^2\varepsilon^4 n)}2Ω(δ2ε4n) is read with absolute constants ccc and n0n_0n0​, quantified before N,δ,εN, \delta, \varepsilonN,δ,ε and CCC. The threshold n0n_0n0​ is needed: the identity code with n=N=1n = N = 1n=N=1 is a (2,δ,1/2)(2, \delta, 1/2)(2,δ,1/2)-LDC for every δ<1\delta < 1δ<1, while 1≥2cδ2ε41 \ge 2^{c\delta^2\varepsilon^4}1≥2cδ2ε4 fails for every c>0c > 0c>0.

Significance

These are known mathematical results. Their Lean statements have been checked and reviewed against the cited source; formal proofs remain open for contributors.

Supporting targets

  • §15.2, Theorem 4: Nayak: quantum random access codes need (1 - H(p))n qubits.
  • §15.3, Fact 1: Katz–Trevisan normal form for decoders of locally decodable codes.
  • §15.3, Theorem 5: 2-query locally decodable codes have exponential length.

Formalization scope

Prove the existing statements under their stated hypotheses and definitions. Any correction to a printed source claim remains explicit in its target description. All listed target proofs are currently sorry; no proof is claimed. The mission goal is the designated chapter capstone; the remaining targets are separate milestones. Parts a, b, c and d are merged into their original chapter.

Selected references

  • Ronald de Wolf, Quantum Computing: Lecture Notes, 27 August 2026. https://homepages.cwi.nl/~rdewolf/qcnotes.pdf.
11 thms3 active usersReviewed
OptimizationQuantum Information·Captain: Goku

Quantum algorithms for optimizers 4: Quantum minimum finding (Dürr–Høyer), with explicit bit width, interruption and gate modelTextbook

Motivation

This mission develops Chapter 4 of Quantum algorithms for optimizers by Giacomo Nannicini. The chapter's selected results describe the mathematical guarantees below.

Setting and conventions

The linked theorem statements and shared definitions specify the register types, oracle access, normalization, and resource conventions. Their source locators and independent readbacks accompany each target.

Chapter goal

Let f:{0,1}n→Zf : \{0,1\}^n \to \mathbb{Z}f:{0,1}n→Z take values of bit width bbb, i.e. ∣f(j)∣<2b|f(j)| < 2^b∣f(j)∣<2b for all jjj, and let Uf:∣j⟩∣k⟩↦∣j⟩∣k⊕f(j)⟩U_f : |j\rangle|k\rangle \mapsto |j\rangle|k \oplus f(j)\rangleUf​:∣j⟩∣k⟩↦∣j⟩∣k⊕f(j)⟩ evaluate fff in binary. Algorithm 2 with budget TTT starts from a uniformly random incumbent ℓ\ellℓ and repeatedly runs Algorithm 1 (search with an unknown number of marked items) with the marking unitary Um:∣j⟩∣y⟩↦∣j⟩∣y⊕I(f(j)<f(ℓ))⟩U_m : |j\rangle|y\rangle \mapsto |j\rangle|y \oplus \mathbb{I}(f(j) < f(\ell))\rangleUm​:∣j⟩∣y⟩↦∣j⟩∣y⊕I(f(j)<f(ℓ))⟩, replacing ℓ\ellℓ by the returned index kkk whenever f(k)<f(ℓ)f(k) < f(\ell)f(k)<f(ℓ); a call of Algorithm 1 that would exceed the budget is interrupted at the TTT-th application of UfU_fUf​, and the algorithm then returns ℓ\ellℓ. Each application of UmU_mUm​ counts as one application of UfU_fUf​ and is charged 3n+2b+13n + 2b + 13n+2b+1 additional gates; each round of Algorithm 1 with mmm qubits of precision is charged m+m(m+1)/2m + m(m+1)/2m+m(m+1)/2 further gates (Hadamards and the inverse QFT).

There are absolute constants c,C>0c, C > 0c,C>0 such that for every nnn, bbb, every such fff and every δ∈(0,1)\delta \in (0,1)δ∈(0,1) the following holds. Run Algorithm 2 independently k=⌈log⁡3(1/δ)⌉k = \lceil \log_3(1/\delta) \rceilk=⌈log3​(1/δ)⌉ times with budget T=⌈c2n⌉T = \lceil c\sqrt{2^n} \rceilT=⌈c2n​⌉ and output an fff-minimal one of the kkk returned indices. Then:

  1. with probability at least 1−δ1 - \delta1−δ the output is a global minimizer of fff;
  2. on every outcome, the total number of applications of UfU_fUf​ (including the kkk evaluations used to select the output) is at most
C2n (1+log⁡(1/δ)),C\sqrt{2^n}\,\bigl(1 + \log(1/\delta)\bigr),C2n​(1+log(1/δ)),

and the number of additional gates is at most C2n (n+b+1) (1+log⁡(1/δ))C\sqrt{2^n}\,(n + b + 1)\,(1 + \log(1/\delta))C2n​(n+b+1)(1+log(1/δ)).

This is the quadratic quantum speedup for unstructured minimization, the basis of the optimization applications of Grover search.

Formalization Note The source's O~(2n)\tilde O(\sqrt{2^n})O~(2n​) gate bound is stated with the suppressed polylogarithmic factors n+b+1n + b + 1n+b+1 and 1+log⁡(1/δ)1 + \log(1/\delta)1+log(1/δ) explicit, the interruption rule for the budget is made explicit, and TTT, kkk are the choices of the source's proof. Algorithm 1 is the shared formalization of the earlier corollary; the outcome law is a weight on (returned index, applications of UfU_fUf​, gates).

Significance

These are known mathematical results. Their Lean statements have been checked and reviewed against the cited source; formal proofs remain open for contributors.

Supporting targets

  • Theorem 4.6: Amplitude amplification: overlap 2/3 with the good state using O(1/√p) applications of S and R.
  • Corollary 4.9: Search with a known number of marked elements in O(√(2^n/|M|)) oracle calls.
  • Corollary 4.10: Finding all marked elements with O(√(|M| 2^n)) oracle calls.
  • Lemma 4.11: Oblivious amplitude amplification: the partner state Ψ⊥ is orthogonal to |0⟩|ψ⟩ and has no flag-0 support.
  • Theorem 4.12: Oblivious amplitude amplification: each iteration rotates by 2θ.
  • Proposition 4.15: Eigenstates of the Grover operator in amplitude estimation.
  • Proposition 4.19: Angle error to probability error for sin².
  • Proposition 4.21: Error bound of amplitude estimation with m qubits.
  • Corollary 4.22: Amplitude estimation to additive error ε with O(log 1/ε) qubits and O(1/ε) queries.
  • Lemma 4.28: Near-orthogonality of the two amplitude-estimation output states.
  • Theorem 4.29: Quantum search without knowing the number of marked items: O(1/θ) expected queries.
  • Corollary 4.30: Search without knowing |M| with O(√(2^n/|M|)) expected oracle calls.
  • Theorem 4.31: Quantum minimum finding (Dürr–Høyer), with explicit bit width, interruption and gate model.

Formalization scope

Prove the existing statements under their stated hypotheses and definitions. Any correction to a printed source claim remains explicit in its target description. All listed target proofs are currently sorry; no proof is claimed. The mission goal is the designated chapter capstone; the remaining targets are separate milestones. Parts a, b, c and d are merged into their original chapter.

Selected references

  • Giacomo Nannicini, Quantum algorithms for optimizers, 2025, v5; notes dated 9 July 2025. https://arxiv.org/pdf/2408.07086v5.
18 thms3 active usersReviewed
Convex OptimizationOperations ResearchOptimization+1·Captain: mikedeng1

A Soft Robust Model for Optimization Under Ambiguity: For Every δ > 0, Soft Robust Feasibility Is a Convex Risk Measure Constraint, and Every Normalized Convex Risk Measure Arises This WayResearch Paper

Motivation

Optimization under uncertainty usually fixes one probability distribution P\mathbb PP for the uncertain data and optimizes an expected payoff, or fixes a set Q\mathcal QQ of distributions and protects against the worst one (robust optimization). The first is sensitive to a misspecified P\mathbb PP; the second can be very conservative, because it treats a barely plausible distribution exactly like the nominal one. Ben-Tal, Bertsimas and Brown (Oper. Res. 58(4), 2010) propose a graded alternative, the soft robust model: the decision maker accepts a loss of at most ε\varepsilonε in expected payoff under every distribution of a set Q(ε)\mathcal Q(\varepsilon)Q(ε), simultaneously for all levels ε\varepsilonε up to a budget δ\deltaδ. Larger sets of distributions are allowed a larger shortfall.

The paper's central result, Theorem 2.1, shows that this model is exactly a constraint on a convex risk measure in the sense of Föllmer and Schied (Finance Stoch. 6, 2002), and that every normalized convex risk measure arises from some soft robust model. This connects distributionally robust optimization with the theory of monetary risk measures, and gives a tractable convex reformulation of soft robust constraints. Related earlier work connected coherent risk measures with standard robust optimization (Bertsimas and Brown, Oper. Res. 57(6), 2009).

Setting

Let (Ω,F)(\Omega,\mathcal F)(Ω,F) be a measurable space and P\mathcal PP the set of all probability measures on it. A decision xxx ranges over a nonempty, closed, convex set X⊆RnX\subseteq\mathbb R^nX⊆Rn; a random variable u:Ω→Rmu:\Omega\to\mathbb R^mu:Ω→Rm carries the uncertain parameters, and f(x,u(ω))f(x,u(\omega))f(x,u(ω)) is the payoff, concave in x∈Xx\in Xx∈X for every ω\omegaω. For each x∈Xx\in Xx∈X the random variable f(x)=f(x,u(⋅))f(x)=f(x,u(\cdot))f(x)=f(x,u(⋅)) is assumed bounded and measurable.

A family of measures is Q={Q(ε)⊆P:ε≥0}\mathbf Q=\{\mathcal Q(\varepsilon)\subseteq\mathcal P:\varepsilon\ge0\}Q={Q(ε)⊆P:ε≥0}. It is nondecreasing if Q(ε1)⊆Q(ε2)\mathcal Q(\varepsilon_1)\subseteq\mathcal Q(\varepsilon_2)Q(ε1​)⊆Q(ε2​) for ε1≤ε2\varepsilon_1\le\varepsilon_2ε1​≤ε2​, and convex if Qi∈Q(εi)\mathbb Q_i\in\mathcal Q(\varepsilon_i)Qi​∈Q(εi​) implies λQ1+(1−λ)Q2∈Q(λε1+(1−λ)ε2)\lambda\mathbb Q_1+(1-\lambda)\mathbb Q_2\in\mathcal Q(\lambda\varepsilon_1+(1-\lambda)\varepsilon_2)λQ1​+(1−λ)Q2​∈Q(λε1​+(1−λ)ε2​) for λ∈[0,1]\lambda\in[0,1]λ∈[0,1]. The standing assumptions are that Q\mathbf QQ is nondecreasing and convex and that Q(0)≠∅\mathcal Q(0)\neq\emptysetQ(0)=∅. The soft robust feasible set at level δ≥0\delta\ge0δ≥0 is

XQ(δ)={x∈X: inf⁡Q∈Q(ε)EQ[f(x)] ≥ −ε∀ ε∈[0,δ]}.(5)X^Q(\delta)=\Big\{x\in X:\ \inf_{\mathbb Q\in\mathcal Q(\varepsilon)}\mathbb E_{\mathbb Q}[f(x)]\ \ge\ -\varepsilon\quad\forall\,\varepsilon\in[0,\delta]\Big\}.\tag{5}XQ(δ)={x∈X: Q∈Q(ε)inf​EQ​[f(x)] ≥ −ε∀ε∈[0,δ]}.(5)

A risk measure, on the space Y\mathcal YY of bounded payoffs, is a map ρ:Y→R\rho:\mathcal Y\to\mathbb Rρ:Y→R with Y1≥Y2⇒ρ(Y1)≤ρ(Y2)Y_1\ge Y_2\Rightarrow\rho(Y_1)\le\rho(Y_2)Y1​≥Y2​⇒ρ(Y1​)≤ρ(Y2​) and ρ(Y+c)=ρ(Y)−c\rho(Y+c)=\rho(Y)-cρ(Y+c)=ρ(Y)−c for c∈Rc\in\mathbb Rc∈R; it is convex if ρ(λY1+(1−λ)Y2)≤λρ(Y1)+(1−λ)ρ(Y2)\rho(\lambda Y_1+(1-\lambda)Y_2)\le\lambda\rho(Y_1)+(1-\lambda)\rho(Y_2)ρ(λY1​+(1−λ)Y2​)≤λρ(Y1​)+(1−λ)ρ(Y2​). It is generated by a convex penalty α:P→[0,∞]\alpha:\mathcal P\to[0,\infty]α:P→[0,∞] if ρ(Y)=sup⁡Q∈P{−EQ[Y]−α(Q)}\rho(Y)=\sup_{\mathbb Q\in\mathcal P}\{-\mathbb E_{\mathbb Q}[Y]-\alpha(\mathbb Q)\}ρ(Y)=supQ∈P​{−EQ​[Y]−α(Q)}, and normalized if in addition α(Q)=0\alpha(\mathbb Q)=0α(Q)=0 for some Q\mathbb QQ. A family and a penalty determine each other:

αQ(Q)=inf⁡{ε≥0:Q∈Q(ε)},Qα(ε)={Q∈P:α(Q)≤ε},\alpha^Q(\mathbb Q)=\inf\{\varepsilon\ge0:\mathbb Q\in\mathcal Q(\varepsilon)\},\qquad \mathcal Q^\alpha(\varepsilon)=\{\mathbb Q\in\mathcal P:\alpha(\mathbb Q)\le\varepsilon\},αQ(Q)=inf{ε≥0:Q∈Q(ε)},Qα(ε)={Q∈P:α(Q)≤ε},

and ρQ\rho^QρQ denotes the risk measure generated by αQ\alpha^QαQ.

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem 2.1 for δ>0\delta>0δ>0

For every nondecreasing, convex family Q\mathbf QQ with Q(0)≠∅\mathcal Q(0)\ne\emptysetQ(0)=∅, ρQ\rho^QρQ is a convex risk measure generated by the normalized convex penalty αQ\alpha^QαQ, the minimum below is attained for every x∈Xx\in Xx∈X, and

XQ(δ)={x∈X: min⁡λ≥0{λδ+(λ+1) ρQ(f(x)λ+1)}≤0}.(6)X^Q(\delta)=\Big\{x\in X:\ \min_{\lambda\ge0}\Big\{\lambda\delta+(\lambda+1)\,\rho^Q\Big(\frac{f(x)}{\lambda+1}\Big)\Big\}\le0\Big\}.\tag{6}XQ(δ)={x∈X: λ≥0min​{λδ+(λ+1)ρQ(λ+1f(x)​)}≤0}.(6)

Conversely, for every convex risk measure ρ\rhoρ generated by a normalized convex penalty α\alphaα, the family Qα\mathbf Q^\alphaQα is nondecreasing and convex with Qα(0)≠∅\mathcal Q^\alpha(0)\ne\emptysetQα(0)=∅, and (6) holds with ρ\rhoρ on the right and Qα\mathbf Q^\alphaQα on the left.

Milestones: the steps of the proof (p. 1224)

  1. The soft robust infimum inf⁡{EQ[f(x)]+ε:ε∈[0,δ], Q∈Q(ε)}\inf\{\mathbb E_{\mathbb Q}[f(x)]+\varepsilon:\varepsilon\in[0,\delta],\ \mathbb Q\in\mathcal Q(\varepsilon)\}inf{EQ​[f(x)]+ε:ε∈[0,δ], Q∈Q(ε)} equals inf⁡{EQ[f(x)]+αQ(Q):αQ(Q)≤δ}\inf\{\mathbb E_{\mathbb Q}[f(x)]+\alpha^Q(\mathbb Q):\alpha^Q(\mathbb Q)\le\delta\}inf{EQ​[f(x)]+αQ(Q):αQ(Q)≤δ}.
  2. Strong duality with an attained multiplier: that infimum equals max⁡λ≥0{−λδ+inf⁡Q{EQ[f(x)]+(λ+1)αQ(Q)}}\max_{\lambda\ge0}\{-\lambda\delta+\inf_{\mathbb Q}\{\mathbb E_{\mathbb Q}[f(x)]+(\lambda+1)\alpha^Q(\mathbb Q)\}\}maxλ≥0​{−λδ+infQ​{EQ​[f(x)]+(λ+1)αQ(Q)}}.
  3. The scaling identity inf⁡Q{EQ[Y]+(λ+1)αQ(Q)}=−(λ+1)ρQ(Y/(λ+1))\inf_{\mathbb Q}\{\mathbb E_{\mathbb Q}[Y]+(\lambda+1)\alpha^Q(\mathbb Q)\}=-(\lambda+1)\rho^Q(Y/(\lambda+1))infQ​{EQ​[Y]+(λ+1)αQ(Q)}=−(λ+1)ρQ(Y/(λ+1)).
  4. ρQ\rho^QρQ is a convex risk measure generated by the convex, normalized penalty αQ\alpha^QαQ.
  5. For a convex normalized α\alphaα, Qα\mathbf Q^\alphaQα is nondecreasing and convex with Qα(0)≠∅\mathcal Q^\alpha(0)\ne\emptysetQα(0)=∅.
  6. αQα=α\alpha^{Q^\alpha}=\alphaαQα=α.

Significance

Theorem 2.1 makes the soft robust constraint usable: the right side of (6) is a single constraint in (λ,x)(\lambda,x)(λ,x), and the function (λ+1)ρ(f(x)/(λ+1))(\lambda+1)\rho(f(x)/(\lambda+1))(λ+1)ρ(f(x)/(λ+1)) is jointly convex in (λ,x)(\lambda,x)(λ,x) for λ≥0\lambda\ge0λ≥0, so soft robust problems are convex programs whenever the risk measure can be evaluated. Read in the other direction, it gives every normalized convex risk measure an interpretation as a graded robustness requirement over the level sets of its penalty, which is how the paper derives soft robust counterparts of optimized certainty equivalents, CVaR and entropic risk, and its later bounds on the probability of a loss.

The theorem is proved in the paper; to our knowledge it has no machine-checked proof. Formalizing it produces a Lean development of convex risk measures generated by penalties on an arbitrary measurable space, with extended-valued penalties and mixtures of probability measures, and a one-constraint Lagrange duality theorem over a convex set of probability measures. Mathlib does not currently provide Lagrange duality in this form.

Difficulty

The equalities of the proof read as routine, and two of them are not. The first equality is described as "the definition of αQ\alpha^QαQ", but a measure with αQ(Q)=δ\alpha^Q(\mathbb Q)=\deltaαQ(Q)=δ need not belong to Q(δ)\mathcal Q(\delta)Q(δ), because the infimum defining αQ\alpha^QαQ need not be attained; the equality relies on the convexity of the family, the nonemptiness of Q(0)\mathcal Q(0)Q(0) and the boundedness of f(x)f(x)f(x). The second equality is Lagrange duality with dual attainment for a convex program whose variable is a probability measure and whose objective and constraint are extended-valued; the classical theorem applies to convex subsets of vector spaces, and transferring it to mixtures of probability measures with [0,∞][0,\infty][0,∞]-valued penalties is the main formal work. Attainment of the minimum in (6), which the paper asserts by writing "min", is exactly dual attainment and does not follow from the inequality alone.

Formalization scope

The probability measures are ProbabilityMeasure Ω on a measurable space; a family is a map from levels ε∈R≥0\varepsilon\in\mathbb R_{\ge0}ε∈R≥0​ to sets of probability measures, and mixtures are built from the measures t Q1+(1−t) Q2t\,\mathbb Q_1+(1-t)\,\mathbb Q_2tQ1​+(1−t)Q2​. Penalties, including αQ\alpha^QαQ, take values in [0,∞][0,\infty][0,∞], so that a measure in no Q(ε)\mathcal Q(\varepsilon)Q(ε) has penalty +∞+\infty+∞; a real-valued αQ\alpha^QαQ would give such measures penalty 000 through the junk value of an empty infimum, and is excluded. Risk measures are real functions whose axioms are imposed on bounded measurable payoffs, "generated by" includes the least-upper-bound property of the supremum, and "min" in (6) is attainment on [0,∞)[0,\infty)[0,∞) together with a nonpositive minimum. The decision set and payoff carry the paper's assumptions; concavity of the payoff and closedness and convexity of XXX are kept although Theorem 2.1 does not use them. Infima over measures in the milestones are taken in the extended reals.

The case δ=0\delta=0δ=0 is excluded. The paper states Theorem 2.1 for δ≥0\delta\ge0δ≥0, but at δ=0\delta=0δ=0 its proof interchanges a limit in λ\lambdaλ with a supremum over measures without justification, and (6) fails: on Ω={a,b}\Omega=\{a,b\}Ω={a,b} with Q(0)\mathcal Q(0)Q(0) the measures giving aaa mass at most 1/41/41/4 and Q(ε)\mathcal Q(\varepsilon)Q(ε) those giving it mass at most 1/21/21/2 for ε>0\varepsilon>0ε>0, the payoff f(a)=−2f(a)=-2f(a)=−2, f(b)=1f(b)=1f(b)=1 is soft robust at level 000 while the right side of (6) is empty. The goal and the milestones therefore fix δ>0\delta>0δ>0, the case the paper's main argument treats.

A complete development needs: convex risk measures and their generation by penalties, mixtures of probability measures, Lagrange duality with Slater's condition over convex sets of measures, and the scaling identity for ρQ\rho^QρQ. The duality theorem and the risk-measure layer are reusable beyond this mission. Contributions of any milestone are welcome, as are general convex-duality lemmas that the strong-duality step can import.

Selected references

  • A. Ben-Tal, D. Bertsimas, D. B. Brown, A Soft Robust Model for Optimization Under Ambiguity, Operations Research 58(4, Part 2):1220–1234, 2010. https://doi.org/10.1287/opre.1100.0821
  • H. Föllmer, A. Schied, Convex measures of risk and trading constraints, Finance and Stochastics 6(4):429–447, 2002. https://doi.org/10.1007/s007800200072
  • H. Föllmer, A. Schied, Stochastic Finance: An Introduction in Discrete Time, 2nd ed., de Gruyter, 2004. https://doi.org/10.1515/9783110212075
  • D. G. Luenberger, Optimization by Vector Space Methods, Wiley, 1969, Chapter 8.
  • D. Bertsimas, D. B. Brown, Constructing Uncertainty Sets for Robust Linear Optimization, Operations Research 57(6):1483–1495, 2009. https://doi.org/10.1287/opre.1080.0695
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Mathematical LogicModel Theory·Captain: Lucas

Continuum Hypothesis: Independence from ZFCTextbook

Motivation

The continuum hypothesis (CH) asks how large the set of real numbers is. Cantor proved that ∣Z∣=∣Q∣<∣R∣|\mathbb Z|=|\mathbb Q|<|\mathbb R|∣Z∣=∣Q∣<∣R∣, and in 1878 he conjectured that no set has cardinality strictly between that of the integers and that of the reals. Settling CH was the first of Hilbert's problems at the 1900 International Congress of Mathematicians. The question was answered by showing that it cannot be answered from the standard axioms: CH is independent of Zermelo–Fraenkel set theory with choice (ZFC).

Timeline (as recorded in the source):

  • 1878 — Cantor formulates the (weak) continuum hypothesis; in 1882 he states CH in its modern form.
  • 1900 — Hilbert lists CH as the first of his problems.
  • 1906 — Kőnig proves a theorem that, combined with Hausdorff's notion of cofinality (1908), shows 2ℵ0≠ℵα2^{\aleph_0}\neq\aleph_\alpha2ℵ0​=ℵα​ whenever α\alphaα has cofinality ω\omegaω.
  • 1930 — Patai: if 2κ2^\kappa2κ is the γ\gammaγ-th successor of κ\kappaκ for every infinite κ\kappaκ, then γ\gammaγ is finite.
  • 1938/1940 — Gödel proves that AC and GCH hold in the constructible universe LLL, so Con(ZF)⇒Con(ZFC+GCH)\mathrm{Con}(\mathrm{ZF})\Rightarrow\mathrm{Con}(\mathrm{ZFC}+\mathrm{GCH})Con(ZF)⇒Con(ZFC+GCH).
  • 1947 — Sierpiński proves that ZF + GCH implies AC.
  • 1963 — Cohen invents forcing and proves Con(ZFC)⇒Con(ZFC+¬CH)\mathrm{Con}(\mathrm{ZFC})\Rightarrow\mathrm{Con}(\mathrm{ZFC}+\neg\mathrm{CH})Con(ZFC)⇒Con(ZFC+¬CH).
  • 1986 — Freiling shows that ¬\neg¬CH is equivalent to his axiom of symmetry.

Setting

A cardinal measures the size of a set; ∣A∣≤∣B∣|A|\le|B|∣A∣≤∣B∣ means there is an injection A→BA\to BA→B, and ∣A∣=∣B∣|A|=|B|∣A∣=∣B∣ a bijection. ℵ0=∣N∣\aleph_0=|\mathbb N|ℵ0​=∣N∣, 2κ=∣P(X)∣2^\kappa=|\mathcal P(X)|2κ=∣P(X)∣ for ∣X∣=κ|X|=\kappa∣X∣=κ, so ∣R∣=2ℵ0|\mathbb R|=2^{\aleph_0}∣R∣=2ℵ0​. ℵα\aleph_\alphaℵα​ is the α\alphaα-th infinite cardinal, ℶα\beth_\alphaℶα​ is defined by ℶ0=ℵ0\beth_0=\aleph_0ℶ0​=ℵ0​, ℶα+1=2ℶα\beth_{\alpha+1}=2^{\beth_\alpha}ℶα+1​=2ℶα​ and suprema at limits, and cf\mathrm{cf}cf denotes cofinality.

  • CH: there is no S⊆RS\subseteq\mathbb RS⊆R with ℵ0<∣S∣<2ℵ0\aleph_0<|S|<2^{\aleph_0}ℵ0​<∣S∣<2ℵ0​ (CH).
  • GCH: for every infinite cardinal κ\kappaκ there is no cardinal strictly between κ\kappaκ and 2κ2^\kappa2κ (GCH).

Independence is a statement about a first-order theory. The language of set theory has one binary relation symbol ∈\in∈ (setLang). ZF (ZF) consists of extensionality, foundation, pairing, union, power set, infinity, and all instances of the separation and replacement schemas; ZFC (ZFC) adds the axiom of choice (acSentence). CH and GCH are also written as first-order sentences (chSentence, gchSentence): CH says that every subset of P(ω)\mathcal P(\omega)P(ω) injects into ω\omegaω or receives an injection from P(ω)\mathcal P(\omega)P(ω). A theory is consistent if it has a model, and T⊨σT\models\sigmaT⊨σ means σ\sigmaσ holds in every model of TTT; by Gödel's completeness theorem these coincide with the proof-theoretic notions.

Formalization targets

Goal: independence of CH from ZFC

Con(ZFC) ⟹ ZFC⊭CH  and  ZFC⊭¬CH.\mathrm{Con}(\mathrm{ZFC})\ \Longrightarrow\ \mathrm{ZFC}\not\models\mathrm{CH}\ \text{ and }\ \mathrm{ZFC}\not\models\neg\mathrm{CH}.Con(ZFC) ⟹ ZFC⊨CH  and  ZFC⊨¬CH.

Milestones

  1. ∣Z∣=∣Q∣<∣R∣|\mathbb Z|=|\mathbb Q|<|\mathbb R|∣Z∣=∣Q∣<∣R∣.
  2. CH  ⟺  2ℵ0=ℵ1\mathrm{CH}\iff 2^{\aleph_0}=\aleph_1CH⟺2ℵ0​=ℵ1​.
  3. (Gödel) Con(ZF)⇒Con(ZFC+GCH)\mathrm{Con}(\mathrm{ZF})\Rightarrow\mathrm{Con}(\mathrm{ZFC}+\mathrm{GCH})Con(ZF)⇒Con(ZFC+GCH).
  4. ZFC+GCH⊨CH\mathrm{ZFC}+\mathrm{GCH}\models\mathrm{CH}ZFC+GCH⊨CH.
  5. (Cohen) Con(ZFC)⇒Con(ZFC+¬CH)\mathrm{Con}(\mathrm{ZFC})\Rightarrow\mathrm{Con}(\mathrm{ZFC}+\neg\mathrm{CH})Con(ZFC)⇒Con(ZFC+¬CH).
  6. (Kőnig) 2ℵ0≠ℵα2^{\aleph_0}\neq\aleph_\alpha2ℵ0​=ℵα​ when cf(α)=ω\mathrm{cf}(\alpha)=\omegacf(α)=ω; and cf(2ℵ0)>ℵ0\mathrm{cf}(2^{\aleph_0})>\aleph_0cf(2ℵ0​)>ℵ0​.
  7. (Sierpiński) ZF+GCH⊨AC\mathrm{ZF}+\mathrm{GCH}\models\mathrm{AC}ZF+GCH⊨AC.
  8. GCH  ⟺  ∀α, 2ℵα=ℵα+1  ⟺  ∀α, ℵα=ℶα\mathrm{GCH}\iff\forall\alpha,\ 2^{\aleph_\alpha}=\aleph_{\alpha+1}\iff\forall\alpha,\ \aleph_\alpha=\beth_\alphaGCH⟺∀α, 2ℵα​=ℵα+1​⟺∀α, ℵα​=ℶα​.
  9. Under GCH: A<B⇒2A<2BA<B\Rightarrow 2^A<2^BA<B⇒2A<2B for infinite AAA, and the three-case formula for ℵαℵβ\aleph_\alpha^{\aleph_\beta}ℵαℵβ​​.
  10. (Patai) ∀α, 2ℵα=ℵα+γ\forall\alpha,\ 2^{\aleph_\alpha}=\aleph_{\alpha+\gamma}∀α, 2ℵα​=ℵα+γ​ implies γ<ω\gamma<\omegaγ<ω.
  11. (Freiling) the axiom of symmetry is equivalent to ¬\neg¬CH.

Significance

The independence theorem shows that the ZFC axioms do not determine the size of the continuum, and it was among the first independence results for a mathematical statement. Its two halves introduced the two main tools of modern set theory: inner models (Gödel's LLL) and forcing (Cohen). Many statements in analysis, topology and measure theory were subsequently shown to be independent by the same methods.

For formalization, the goal requires a model theory of ZF inside Lean: interpreting the first-order theory, building LLL inside an arbitrary model of ZF, and building forcing extensions of an arbitrary model of ZFC. The independence of CH was formalized in Lean 3 by the Flypitch project (Han and van Doorn, 2019–2020); no Lean 4 / Mathlib formalization is known to this mission. The cardinal-arithmetic milestones (2, 6, 8–11) are theorems of ZFC that can be proved directly in Lean's cardinal library.

Difficulty

Neither half follows from cardinal arithmetic in Lean: Lean's foundations prove that models of ZFC exist, but (assuming they are consistent) they prove neither CH nor its negation about Lean's own Cardinal, so an argument inside Lean's cardinal arithmetic alone cannot produce the required models. Gödel's half needs relativization of formulas to a definable inner class and absoluteness of the construction of LLL; Cohen's half needs a generic extension in which a new family of ℵ2\aleph_2ℵ2​ reals is added while cardinals are preserved (the countable chain condition). Both require a theory of definability inside arbitrary, possibly non-well-founded, models of a first-order theory.

Formalization scope

  • Syntax and semantics are Mathlib's first-order logic (FirstOrder.Language, Theory.IsSatisfiable, Theory.ModelsBoundedFormula written ⊨ᵇ). Formulas name their variables by natural numbers; close φ is the universal closure. Equality is the built-in equality of first-order logic.
  • Consistency is satisfiability and provability is semantic consequence over models with universe in Type. By the completeness theorem these agree with the syntactic notions.
  • The first-order CH uses P(ω)\mathcal P(\omega)P(ω) in place of R\mathbb RR (they are equinumerous in ZF). The first-order GCH is the choice-free form "∣S∣≤∣T∣≤∣P(S)∣⇒∣T∣=∣S∣|S|\le|T|\le|\mathcal P(S)|\Rightarrow|T|=|S|∣S∣≤∣T∣≤∣P(S)∣⇒∣T∣=∣S∣ or ∣T∣=∣P(S)∣|T|=|\mathcal P(S)|∣T∣=∣P(S)∣, for SSS infinite".
  • The consistency results carry their hypotheses Con(ZF)\mathrm{Con}(\mathrm{ZF})Con(ZF) or Con(ZFC)\mathrm{Con}(\mathrm{ZFC})Con(ZFC) explicitly, even though these are provable in Lean. A solution may not replace a model of ZF by Lean's own universe in a way that assumes CH or its negation.
  • Results that need large-cardinal hypotheses or class forcing (Easton, Solovay, Foreman–Woodin, Merimovich) are not part of this mission.

Reusable infrastructure: the language of set theory with standard abbreviations (pairs, functions, ω\omegaω, power set), satisfaction lemmas for the abbreviations, relativization, absoluteness, the constructible hierarchy, and forcing over models of ZFC.

Selected references

  • G. Cantor, Ein Beitrag zur Mannigfaltigkeitslehre, J. Reine Angew. Math. 84 (1878) 242–258. https://doi.org/10.1515/crll.1878.84.242
  • K. Gödel, The Consistency of the Axiom of Choice and of the Generalized Continuum-Hypothesis, PNAS 24 (1938) 556–557. https://doi.org/10.1073/pnas.24.12.556
  • K. Gödel, The Consistency of the Axiom of Choice and of the Generalized Continuum-Hypothesis with the Axioms of Set Theory, Annals of Math. Studies 3, Princeton, 1940.
  • P. J. Cohen, The independence of the Continuum Hypothesis I, II, PNAS 50 (1963) 1143–1148; 51 (1964) 105–110. https://doi.org/10.1073/pnas.50.6.1143, https://doi.org/10.1073/pnas.51.1.105
  • C. Freiling, Axioms of symmetry: throwing darts at the real number line, J. Symbolic Logic 51 (1986) 190–200. https://doi.org/10.2307/2273955
  • L. Gillman, Two classical surprises concerning the Axiom of Choice and the Continuum Hypothesis, Amer. Math. Monthly 109 (2002) 544–553. https://doi.org/10.2307/2695444
  • K. Kunen, Set Theory: An Introduction to Independence Proofs, North-Holland, 1980.
  • Wikipedia, Continuum hypothesis (revision 1376315189). https://en.wikipedia.org/w/index.php?title=Continuum_hypothesis&oldid=1376315189
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Number Theory·Captain: Lucas

Class Number Formula: Continuation of the Dedekind Zeta Function and Dirichlet's FormulaTextbook

Motivation

The class number formula connects the analytic behaviour of the Dedekind zeta function ζK(s)\zeta_K(s)ζK​(s) of a number field KKK at s=1s = 1s=1 with the basic arithmetic invariants of KKK: its class number, regulator, number of roots of unity and discriminant. It is the main tool for computing and bounding class numbers analytically, and its quadratic case, Dirichlet's class number formula, came out of Dirichlet's proof of his theorem on primes in arithmetic progressions.

Timeline.

  • 1801: Gauss appears to have known the quadratic case, stated for binary quadratic forms (MathOverflow 109330).
  • 1839: Dirichlet publishes a proof of the formula for quadratic discriminants, in the language of binary quadratic forms.
  • Later in the 19th century: Dedekind introduces ζK\zeta_KζK​ for an arbitrary number field, and the residue formula is established in general.

Setting

Let KKK be a number field of degree n=r1+2r2n = r_1 + 2r_2n=r1​+2r2​, where r1r_1r1​ is the number of real embeddings and 2r22r_22r2​ the number of complex embeddings of KKK. Write hKh_KhK​ for the class number (the order of the ideal class group), RegK\mathrm{Reg}_KRegK​ for the regulator, wKw_KwK​ for the number of roots of unity in KKK, and DKD_KDK​ for the discriminant of K/QK/\mathbb QK/Q. The Dedekind zeta function is the Dirichlet series

ζK(s)=∑n≥1anns,an=#{a⊆OK:N(a)=n}.\zeta_K(s) = \sum_{n \ge 1} \frac{a_n}{n^s}, \qquad a_n = \#\{\mathfrak a \subseteq \mathcal O_K : N(\mathfrak a) = n\}.ζK​(s)=n≥1∑​nsan​​,an​=#{a⊆OK​:N(a)=n}.

For the quadratic case, let ddd be a fundamental discriminant, let h(d)h(d)h(d) be the number of proper (SL2(Z)\mathrm{SL}_2(\mathbb Z)SL2​(Z)) equivalence classes of binary quadratic forms ax2+bxy+cy2ax^2 + bxy + cy^2ax2+bxy+cy2 of discriminant b2−4ac=db^2 - 4ac = db2−4ac=d (positive definite ones if d<0d < 0d<0), and let χ(m)=(dm)\chi(m) = \left(\frac{d}{m}\right)χ(m)=(md​) be the Kronecker symbol, a Dirichlet character modulo ∣d∣|d|∣d∣ with LLL-function L(s,χ)L(s,\chi)L(s,χ). For d<0d < 0d<0 let w=2,4,6w = 2, 4, 6w=2,4,6 according as d<−4d < -4d<−4, d=−4d = -4d=−4, d=−3d = -3d=−3. For d>0d > 0d>0 let t,u>0t, u > 0t,u>0 solve t2−du2=4t^2 - du^2 = 4t2−du2=4 with uuu minimal, and put ε=12(t+ud)\varepsilon = \frac12(t + u\sqrt d)ε=21​(t+ud​).

Formalization targets

Goal: the class number formula

ζK(s) converges absolutely for Re⁡(s)>1, and extends meromorphically to C with a single simple pole at s=1,\zeta_K(s) \text{ converges absolutely for } \operatorname{Re}(s) > 1, \text{ and extends meromorphically to } \mathbb C \text{ with a single simple pole at } s=1,ζK​(s) converges absolutely for Re(s)>1, and extends meromorphically to C with a single simple pole at s=1, lim⁡s→1(s−1) ζK(s)=2r1(2π)r2 RegK hKwK∣DK∣.\lim_{s\to 1}(s-1)\,\zeta_K(s) = \frac{2^{r_1}(2\pi)^{r_2}\,\mathrm{Reg}_K\,h_K}{w_K\sqrt{|D_K|}} .s→1lim​(s−1)ζK​(s)=wK​∣DK​∣​2r1​(2π)r2​RegK​hK​​.

Milestones

  1. Dirichlet's unit theorem, and the reduction of the residue to the average of the coefficients of ζK\zeta_KζK​.
  2. The case K=Q(i)K = \mathbb Q(i)K=Q(i): coefficients as sums of two squares, the lattice-point count in a quarter circle, and the residue π/4\pi/4π/4.
  3. The general ideal count #{a:N(a)≤N}∼ρKN\#\{\mathfrak a : N(\mathfrak a) \le N\} \sim \rho_K N#{a:N(a)≤N}∼ρK​N, and the residue at s=1s = 1s=1 approached from the right.
  4. Dirichlet's formula:
h(d)=w∣d∣2π L(1,χ)  (d<0),h(d)=dln⁡ε L(1,χ)  (d>0),h(d) = \frac{w\sqrt{|d|}}{2\pi}\,L(1,\chi)\ \ (d<0), \qquad h(d) = \frac{\sqrt d}{\ln\varepsilon}\,L(1,\chi)\ \ (d>0),h(d)=2πw∣d∣​​L(1,χ)  (d<0),h(d)=lnεd​​L(1,χ)  (d>0),

with the supporting facts that χ\chiχ is a Dirichlet character, that ζK(s)=ζ(s)L(s,χ)\zeta_K(s) = \zeta(s)L(s,\chi)ζK​(s)=ζ(s)L(s,χ) for a quadratic field, that the Pell equation t2−du2=4t^2 - du^2 = 4t2−du2=4 is solvable, and that ε\varepsilonε is a fundamental unit or its square. 5. Finite forms of L(1,χ)L(1,\chi)L(1,χ) for prime conductor qqq:

L(1,χ)=−πq3/2∑m=1q−1m(mq) (q≡3 mod 4),L(1,χ)=−1q1/2∑m=1q−1(mq)ln⁡sin⁡mπq (q≡1 mod 4).L(1,\chi) = -\frac{\pi}{q^{3/2}}\sum_{m=1}^{q-1} m\left(\frac mq\right)\ (q\equiv3\bmod 4), \qquad L(1,\chi) = -\frac{1}{q^{1/2}}\sum_{m=1}^{q-1}\left(\frac mq\right)\ln\sin\frac{m\pi}{q}\ (q\equiv1\bmod 4).L(1,χ)=−q3/2π​m=1∑q−1​m(qm​) (q≡3mod4),L(1,χ)=−q1/21​m=1∑q−1​(qm​)lnsinqmπ​ (q≡1mod4).

Significance

The result. The formula makes hKRegKh_K \mathrm{Reg}_KhK​RegK​ computable from LLL-values. In the quadratic case it gives closed formulas for class numbers, and it implies that L(1,χ)≠0L(1,\chi) \neq 0L(1,χ)=0 for real characters, which is the hardest step in Dirichlet's theorem on primes in arithmetic progressions. Its refinements for cyclotomic fields relate class numbers to cyclotomic units and lead into Iwasawa theory.

Formalizing it. The result is classical. Mathlib already proves the residue as a one-sided real limit, (s−1)ζK(s)→ρK(s-1)\zeta_K(s) \to \rho_K(s−1)ζK​(s)→ρK​ as s→1+s \to 1^+s→1+, and that statement is available on the platform as a proved theorem. What is not formalized is the meromorphic continuation of ζK\zeta_KζK​ to all of C\mathbb CC with a single simple pole, which is what the goal requires. Dirichlet's formula in terms of binary quadratic forms, its supporting facts, and the finite forms of L(1,χ)L(1,\chi)L(1,χ) are not formalized either.

Difficulty

The residue formula follows from counting ideals of bounded norm, but that only controls ζK\zeta_KζK​ for real s>1s > 1s>1. Continuing ζK\zeta_KζK​ to all of C\mathbb CC needs a separate analytic input, such as theta functions or Hecke's integral representation with a functional equation, or a decomposition into Hecke LLL-functions. Mathlib has such continuations for the Riemann zeta function and Dirichlet LLL-functions, but not for ζK\zeta_KζK​ in general. For Dirichlet's formula, the hard part is connecting classes of binary quadratic forms (proper equivalence, positive definiteness for d<0d<0d<0) with ideal classes of the quadratic order, keeping track of the unit and automorph conventions that decide the constants www and ε\varepsilonε.

Formalization scope

  • The goal uses Mathlib's NumberField.dedekindZeta (the Dirichlet series, meaningful for Re⁡(s)>1\operatorname{Re}(s) > 1Re(s)>1) together with nrRealPlaces, nrComplexPlaces, regulator, classNumber, torsionOrder and discr. The continuation is stated as an entire function GGG with ζK(s)=G(s)/(s−1)\zeta_K(s) = G(s)/(s-1)ζK​(s)=G(s)/(s−1) on Re⁡(s)>1\operatorname{Re}(s)>1Re(s)>1 and G(1)G(1)G(1) equal to the residue. Since the residue is positive, this rules out the trivial reading where ζK\zeta_KζK​ is continued with no pole.
  • L(s,χ)L(s,\chi)L(s,χ) is DirichletCharacter.LFunction, the analytic continuation, so L(1,χ)L(1,\chi)L(1,χ) is its value at s=1s=1s=1 and not the (conditionally convergent) series. The character is a hypothesis agreeing with the Kronecker symbol, and a separate milestone shows that such a character exists.
  • h(d)h(d)h(d) counts SL2(Z)\mathrm{SL}_2(\mathbb Z)SL2​(Z)-classes of integral forms of discriminant ddd, positive definite when d<0d < 0d<0 (Davenport's convention, which the source follows).
  • Corrections to the source. Two displayed constants in the source are off by a factor 222 and are corrected here: the d>0d>0d>0 case of Dirichlet's formula uses ln⁡ε\ln\varepsilonlnε in place of 2ln⁡ε2\ln\varepsilon2lnε (as in Davenport, Ch. 6), and the q≡1(mod4)q \equiv 1 \pmod 4q≡1(mod4) finite form uses −q−1/2-q^{-1/2}−q−1/2 in place of −12q−1/2-\frac12 q^{-1/2}−21​q−1/2. Each affected milestone checks the case d=q=5d = q = 5d=q=5 explicitly.
  • Not included: the sections on Galois and abelian extensions (Artin LLL-functions, Kummer's cyclotomic formulas). Mathlib has no Artin LLL-functions, and the source states those results only informally.
  • Reusable outputs: the Kronecker symbol, binary quadratic forms with proper equivalence, the Pell unit ε\varepsilonε, and the continuation of ζK\zeta_KζK​.

Selected references

  • Wikipedia, "Class number formula", revision 1366411311. https://en.wikipedia.org/w/index.php?title=Class_number_formula&oldid=1366411311
  • H. Davenport, Multiplicative Number Theory, 3rd ed., rev. H. L. Montgomery, Graduate Texts in Mathematics 74, Springer, 2000, Ch. 6, pp. 43–53. https://books.google.com/books?id=U91lsCaJJmsC
  • W. Narkiewicz, Elementary and Analytic Theory of Algebraic Numbers, 2nd ed., Springer/PWN, 1990, pp. 324–355. https://archive.org/details/elementaryanalyt0000nark
  • "Did Gauss know Dirichlet's class number formula in 1801?", MathOverflow, 2012. https://mathoverflow.net/q/109330
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Number Theory·Captain: Lucas

Ramanujan–Petersson Conjecture (Wikipedia): Coefficient Bounds for Holomorphic Cusp FormsTextbook

Motivation

The Fourier coefficients of modular forms are among the most studied arithmetic functions in number theory. In 1916 Srinivasa Ramanujan studied the coefficients τ(n)\tau(n)τ(n) of the discriminant modular form Δ\DeltaΔ and conjectured three properties: multiplicativity, a three-term recursion on prime powers, and the bound ∣τ(p)∣≤2p11/2|\tau(p)|\le 2p^{11/2}∣τ(p)∣≤2p11/2 for primes ppp (Ramanujan 1916). Hans Petersson extended the size bound to the coefficients of holomorphic cusp forms for congruence subgroups (Petersson 1930). The resulting Ramanujan–Petersson conjecture for holomorphic cusp forms is now a theorem of Deligne (weight k≥2k\ge 2k≥2) and Deligne–Serre (weight k=1k=1k=1). Its analogues for Maass forms and for general automorphic representations remain open.

Timeline (as recorded in the source article, Wikipedia: Ramanujan–Petersson conjecture):

  • 1916: Ramanujan conjectures that τ\tauτ is multiplicative, that it satisfies the prime-power recursion, and that ∣τ(p)∣≤2p11/2|\tau(p)|\le 2p^{11/2}∣τ(p)∣≤2p11/2.
  • 1917: Mordell proves the first two statements, using what are now called Hecke operators.
  • 1930: Petersson formulates the coefficient bound for holomorphic cusp forms for congruence subgroups.
  • 1937: Hecke extends Mordell's method to holomorphic cusp forms in general.
  • 1971: Deligne, building on Kuga, Sato, Shimura and Ihara, reduces the conjecture for weight k≥2k\ge 2k≥2 to the Weil conjectures via the Eichler–Shimura isomorphism (Deligne 1971).
  • 1974: Deligne proves the Riemann hypothesis part of the Weil conjectures, which settles the case k≥2k\ge 2k≥2 and in particular ∣τ(p)∣≤2p11/2|\tau(p)|\le 2p^{11/2}∣τ(p)∣≤2p11/2 (Deligne 1974). Deligne and Serre treat weight k=1k=1k=1 (Deligne–Serre 1974).

Setting

Let H={z∈C:Im⁡z>0}\mathbb H=\{z\in\mathbb C:\operatorname{Im}z>0\}H={z∈C:Imz>0} and q=e2πizq=e^{2\pi i z}q=e2πiz. The Dedekind eta function is η(z)=q1/24∏n≥1(1−qn)\eta(z)=q^{1/24}\prod_{n\ge1}(1-q^n)η(z)=q1/24∏n≥1​(1−qn). The discriminant modular form is

Δ(z)=q∏n>0(1−qn)24=η(z)24.\Delta(z)=q\prod_{n>0}(1-q^n)^{24}=\eta(z)^{24}.Δ(z)=qn>0∏​(1−qn)24=η(z)24.

It is a holomorphic cusp form of weight 121212 and level 111. Ramanujan's tau function τ:N→C\tau:\mathbb N\to\mathbb Cτ:N→C is defined by the Fourier expansion

Δ(z)=∑n≥1τ(n)qn=q−24q2+252q3−1472q4+4830q5−⋯ .\Delta(z)=\sum_{n\ge1}\tau(n)q^n=q-24q^2+252q^3-1472q^4+4830q^5-\cdots.Δ(z)=n≥1∑​τ(n)qn=q−24q2+252q3−1472q4+4830q5−⋯.

Its Ramanujan LLL-function is the Dirichlet series L(s,τ)=∑n≥1τ(n)n−sL(s,\tau)=\sum_{n\ge1}\tau(n)n^{-s}L(s,τ)=∑n≥1​τ(n)n−s.

More generally, let Γ⊆SL(2,Z)\Gamma\subseteq SL(2,\mathbb Z)Γ⊆SL(2,Z) be a congruence subgroup, meaning that Γ\GammaΓ contains the principal congruence subgroup Γ(N)\Gamma(N)Γ(N) for some N≥1N\ge1N≥1. A holomorphic cusp form of weight kkk for Γ\GammaΓ is a holomorphic function f:H→Cf:\mathbb H\to\mathbb Cf:H→C with f(γz)=(cz+d)kf(z)f(\gamma z)=(cz+d)^k f(z)f(γz)=(cz+d)kf(z) for every γ=(abcd)∈Γ\gamma=\begin{pmatrix}a&b\\c&d\end{pmatrix}\in\Gammaγ=(ac​bd​)∈Γ, which vanishes at every cusp. Such an fff is periodic with some least period h>0h>0h>0, and it has a Fourier expansion f(z)=∑n≥1anqhnf(z)=\sum_{n\ge1}a_n q_h^nf(z)=∑n≥1​an​qhn​ with qh=e2πiz/hq_h=e^{2\pi i z/h}qh​=e2πiz/h. When Γ\GammaΓ contains z↦z+1z\mapsto z+1z↦z+1 (for example Γ0(N)\Gamma_0(N)Γ0​(N), Γ1(N)\Gamma_1(N)Γ1​(N), or SL(2,Z)SL(2,\mathbb Z)SL(2,Z) itself), h=1h=1h=1 and qh=qq_h=qqh​=q.

Formalization targets

Goal: the Ramanujan–Petersson conjecture for holomorphic cusp forms

For every congruence subgroup Γ\GammaΓ, every weight k≥1k\ge1k≥1, every cusp form fff of weight kkk for Γ\GammaΓ with coefficients ana_nan​, and every ε>0\varepsilon>0ε>0,

an=Oε ⁣(n(k−1)/2+ε).a_n=O_\varepsilon\!\left(n^{(k-1)/2+\varepsilon}\right).an​=Oε​(n(k−1)/2+ε).

The goal splits by weight into Deligne's theorem (k≥2k\ge2k≥2) and the Deligne–Serre theorem (k=1k=1k=1), both listed as milestones.

The tau function

  1. Values: τ(1)=1\tau(1)=1τ(1)=1, τ(2)=−24\tau(2)=-24τ(2)=−24, τ(3)=252\tau(3)=252τ(3)=252, τ(4)=−1472\tau(4)=-1472τ(4)=−1472, τ(5)=4830\tau(5)=4830τ(5)=4830.
  2. Multiplicativity (Mordell): τ(mn)=τ(m)τ(n)\tau(mn)=\tau(m)\tau(n)τ(mn)=τ(m)τ(n) whenever gcd⁡(m,n)=1\gcd(m,n)=1gcd(m,n)=1.
  3. Recursion (Mordell): τ\tauτ is not completely multiplicative, and τ(pj+1)=τ(p)τ(pj)−p11τ(pj−1)\tau(p^{j+1})=\tau(p)\tau(p^j)-p^{11}\tau(p^{j-1})τ(pj+1)=τ(p)τ(pj)−p11τ(pj−1) for primes ppp and j≥2j\ge2j≥2.
  4. Ramanujan's bound (Deligne): ∣τ(p)∣≤2p11/2|\tau(p)|\le 2p^{11/2}∣τ(p)∣≤2p11/2 for all primes ppp.
  5. Consequences: ∣τ(n)∣≤d(n)n11/2|\tau(n)|\le d(n)n^{11/2}∣τ(n)∣≤d(n)n11/2 for all n≥1n\ge1n≥1, where d(n)d(n)d(n) is the number of divisors, and hence τ(n)=O(n11/2+ε)\tau(n)=O(n^{11/2+\varepsilon})τ(n)=O(n11/2+ε).

The Ramanujan LLL-function

  1. ∑k≤nτ(k)=O(n13/2+ε)\sum_{k\le n}\tau(k)=O(n^{13/2+\varepsilon})∑k≤n​τ(k)=O(n13/2+ε), and L(s,τ)L(s,\tau)L(s,τ) converges absolutely for Re⁡s>13/2\operatorname{Re}s>13/2Res>13/2.
  2. L(s,τ)L(s,\tau)L(s,τ) continues to an entire function satisfying Γ(s)L(s,τ)(2π)s=Γ(12−s)L(12−s,τ)(2π)12−s\dfrac{\Gamma(s)L(s,\tau)}{(2\pi)^s}=\dfrac{\Gamma(12-s)L(12-s,\tau)}{(2\pi)^{12-s}}(2π)sΓ(s)L(s,τ)​=(2π)12−sΓ(12−s)L(12−s,τ)​.
  3. Euler product: L(s,τ)=∏p∑n≥0τ(pn)p−ns=∏p(1−τ(p)p−s+p11−2s)−1L(s,\tau)=\prod_p\sum_{n\ge0}\tau(p^n)p^{-ns}=\prod_p\big(1-\tau(p)p^{-s}+p^{11-2s}\big)^{-1}L(s,τ)=∏p​∑n≥0​τ(pn)p−ns=∏p​(1−τ(p)p−s+p11−2s)−1 for Re⁡s>13/2\operatorname{Re}s>13/2Res>13/2.

Significance

The bound ∣τ(p)∣≤2p11/2|\tau(p)|\le 2p^{11/2}∣τ(p)∣≤2p11/2 says that the roots of 1−τ(p)u+p11u21-\tau(p)u+p^{11}u^21−τ(p)u+p11u2 have equal absolute value p−11/2p^{-11/2}p−11/2, an analogue of the Riemann hypothesis for the local factors of L(s,τ)L(s,\tau)L(s,τ). The bounds for general cusp forms are used throughout analytic number theory to control sums of Fourier coefficients. They are also used in the explicit construction of Ramanujan graphs by Lubotzky, Phillips and Sarnak, which are optimal expander graphs. The generalized conjecture for GL(n)GL(n)GL(n) implies Selberg's 1/41/41/4 conjecture on Laplace eigenvalues.

All targets in this mission are proved theorems in the literature. At the pinned Mathlib revision, none of them is formalized except the identity τ(1)=1\tau(1)=1τ(1)=1. Mathlib does contain the definitions they need: η\etaη, Δ\DeltaΔ as a cusp form of weight 12 and level 1, qqq-expansions, congruence subgroups, and the LLL-function of a cusp form. Mathlib also proves the analytic continuation of that LLL-function. The remaining work is to formalize Hecke theory for Δ\DeltaΔ, the elementary consequences of Deligne's bound, the LLL-function statements, and ultimately Deligne's and Deligne–Serre's theorems.

Difficulty

The algebraic statements about τ\tauτ (multiplicativity, the recursion, the Euler product) and the functional equation are classical, but formalizing them needs infrastructure that Mathlib does not yet have, such as Hecke operators on cusp forms. The size bounds are of a different kind. Estimates from the Petersson inner product or from Hecke's method give only the exponent k/2k/2k/2 (Hecke's bound). That exponent is attainable by complex analysis alone, but the improvement to (k−1)/2(k-1)/2(k−1)/2 is not. In the literature it depends on arithmetic geometry: Deligne's proof of the Weil conjectures for k≥2k\ge2k≥2, and Galois representations for k=1k=1k=1. The analytically similar statement for Maass forms is still open.

Formalization scope

  • τ(n)\tau(n)τ(n) is defined as the nnn-th coefficient of Mathlib's qqq-expansion of ModularForm.discriminant with period 111, as a complex number. The source's description of τ\tauτ is taken as the definition, and integrality is not assumed.
  • Absolute values are complex norms. n11/2n^{11/2}n11/2 and similar powers are real powers of nonnegative reals.
  • O(⋅)O(\cdot)O(⋅) is Mathlib's big-O along atTop on N\mathbb NN, with the constant allowed to depend on ε\varepsilonε.
  • In the general goal, the coefficients are taken with respect to qh=e2πiz/hq_h=e^{2\pi i z/h}qh​=e2πiz/h, where hhh is the strict width of the cusp ∞\infty∞ for Γ\GammaΓ (Subgroup.strictWidthInfty). This equals 111 whenever z↦z+1z\mapsto z+1z↦z+1 lies in Γ\GammaΓ. A congruence subgroup is CongruenceSubgroup.IsCongruenceSubgroup.
  • The functional equation is stated only at points sss where neither sss nor 12−s12-s12−s is a pole of Γ\GammaΓ. This avoids Mathlib's convention that Γ\GammaΓ is 000 at its poles.
  • The recursion is stated for j≥2j\ge2j≥2, exactly as in the source.
  • The Maass-form and automorphic-representation versions, the function-field results and the bounds towards Ramanujan over number fields are outside this mission's scope. Mathlib lacks the definitions they need.

Selected references

  • S. Ramanujan, On certain arithmetical functions, Trans. Cambridge Philos. Soc. 22 (1916), 159–184. http://ramanujan.sirinudi.org/Volumes/published/ram18.pdf
  • H. Petersson, Theorie der automorphen Formen beliebiger reeller Dimension …, Math. Ann. 103 (1930), 369–436. https://doi.org/10.1007/BF01455702
  • P. Deligne, Formes modulaires et représentations l-adiques, Sém. Bourbaki 1968/69, LNM 179 (1971). https://doi.org/10.1007/BFb0058801
  • P. Deligne, La conjecture de Weil. I, Publ. Math. IHÉS 43 (1974), 273–307. https://doi.org/10.1007/BF02684373
  • P. Deligne, J.-P. Serre, Formes modulaires de poids 1, Ann. Sci. ÉNS 7 (1974), 507–530. https://doi.org/10.24033/asens.1277
  • P. Sarnak, Notes on the generalized Ramanujan conjectures, Clay Math. Proc. 4 (2005). http://www.claymath.org/publications/Harmonic_Analysis/chapter9.pdf
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Actuarial ScienceProbability·Captain: WillR

Actuarial Mathematics XC: Structural Corporate Default and Rating-Migration Credit ValuationTextbook

Motivation

Credit risk matters to insurer bond holdings, pension scheme fixed-income investment and counterparty guarantees. Merton's corporate debt model derives terminal shareholder and bondholder payoffs from limited liability and asset value. Jarrow–Lando–Turnbull introduces observable ratings with Markov state migrations and default, motivating a second, independently defined view of risky fixed-income valuation.

Setting

A firm has nonnegative terminal assets and a single promise of face-value debt. Creditors are paid no more than the promise and no more than available assets; equity gets the residual. Finite genuine probability masses attach to terminal asset scenarios and yield discounted debt and equity claim valuations. Separately, a three-state rating matrix contains two non-default ratings and a terminal default state, with nonnegative row probabilities and full row-sum constraints.

Formalization targets

The formalisation develops a connected set of actuarial identities, beginning with precise model definitions and ending with the prospective valuation result.

Merton limited liability and terminal default payoffs

Strict asset deficit is equivalent to zero equity except for solvent zero-cashflow special cases.

ET=(VT−D)+,BT=min⁡(VT,D)E_T=(V_T-D)^+,\quad B_T=\min(V_T,D)ET​=(VT​−D)+,BT​=min(VT​,D)

Finite default risk premiums and risk-neutral debt pricing

A bond priced equally to risk-free debt has zero model spread.

B0=e−rTEQ[min⁡(VT,D)]B_0=e^{-rT}\mathbb E^{\mathbb Q}[\min(V_T,D)]B0​=e−rTEQ[min(VT​,D)]

Three-state rating migration and recoverable default claims

Structural terminal solvency and an independent absorbing-rating transition system reconcile riskier defaultable debt prices, nonnegative credit value deductions and genuinely two-period probability conservation.

∑jPij=1,Pdefault,default=1\sum_j P_{ij}=1,\quad P_{\text{default,default}}=1j∑​Pij​=1,Pdefault,default​=1

Capstone theorem

Structural terminal solvency and an independent absorbing-rating transition system reconcile riskier defaultable debt prices, nonnegative credit value deductions and genuinely two-period probability conservation.

∑jPij=1,Pdefault,default=1\sum_j P_{ij}=1,\quad P_{\text{default,default}}=1j∑​Pij​=1,Pdefault,default​=1

Significance

As discussed in Merton's corporate-credit model, The mission connects terminal firm claims to an actual finite risk-neutral weighted value: equity plus debt exhaust firm assets, expected discounted defaultable debt is bounded above by its risk-free counterpart, and credit value deductions are nonnegative. The genuine two-step rating migration law preserves total probability mass. These independently defined results jointly give an actuarial foundation for pricing defaultable corporate securities and recognising credit exposures in asset-liability valuation.

Difficulty

It must be proved that the limited-liability payoffs partition total assets, with exact boundary conditions where assets equal or fall below face value. The pricing theorem must distinguish actual discounted expected creditor payments from assuming a closed-form Black–Scholes price; no lognormal risk-neutral firm distribution is postulated. Credit spreads require positive debt prices and maturities. A rating transition matrix must be proved stochastic under composition, and an absorbing default state is a model condition rather than automatically true for arbitrary matrices.

Formalization scope

Limited liability and rating-migration probabilities are distinct mathematical constructs in this model. The complete diffusion-based Merton option value and continuous-time rating default models remain future mathematical research. The current target is nontrivial because it derives the bond valuation from limited-liability terminal payouts and an actual probability space, and the migration law from an independent finite transition kernel. Existing bond-present-value and state-reward missions are useful, but they do not identify shareholder and debt recovery claims. Its expected payoff and finite rating matrix infrastructure is reusable in asset-liability modelling and insurer counterparty credit valuation.

A firm's terminal assets must be partitioned consistently between equity and creditor payoffs. Above the promised debt face amount bondholders receive the promise and owners receive remaining assets. At the strict default threshold the owners' limited liability makes equity worthless and bondholders recover the remaining assets. The source values these payoffs using a proper finite risk-neutral scenario law, proving that discounted risky debt is no more valuable than the risk-free debt promise. The other branch builds a genuinely stochastic three-state rating transition matrix and derives two-step migration probabilities from matrix multiplication. Those observed or risk-neutral migration probabilities are not interchangeable without an additional measure-change argument. This is precise finite corporate credit mathematics; it is not a fabricated full closed-form structural diffusion model or a continuous-time default-intensity theory.

The new credit mission establishes exact one-period finite-state structural debt/equity payoff pricing and two-step rating probability conservation. It does not claim Merton's Black–Scholes closed-form equity value, stochastic diffusion replication, or the full continuous-time JLT risk-neutral generator model. The default-state absorbing property needs additional row restrictions and is not asserted for unrestricted transition matrices. Those are substantial extensions, and the current theorem bodies remain unproved.

These are original derived finite/analytic Actuarial formalisation targets rather than reproductions of a numbered textbook theorem. Exact Lean binder declarations are authoritative. The complete source uses targeted Mathlib imports and no local Lean compilation. All proof bodies remain genuinely open and do not constitute accepted results. Assumptions about negative rates, survival, policyholder independence, discounting and benefit timing must be preserved exactly.

Selected references

  • Robert C. Merton (1974), On the Pricing of Corporate Debt: The Risk Structure of Interest Rates, Journal of Finance 29(2), 449–470. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1540-6261.1974.tb03058.x
  • Robert A. Jarrow, David Lando and Stuart M. Turnbull (1997), A Markov Model for the Term Structure of Credit Risk Spreads, Review of Financial Studies 10(2), 481–523. https://doi.org/10.1093/rfs/10.2.481
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Actuarial ScienceProbability·Captain: WillR

Actuarial Mathematics LXXXIX: Expected Utility, Certainty Equivalents and Stochastic Risk OrdersTextbook

Motivation

Insurance economics prices risk using the utility of wealth rather than merely its variance. Pratt's seminal work derives risk aversion and the certainty-equivalent insurance premium, while Rothschild and Stiglitz connect comparative risk to probability order. Earlier actuarial entropic premium missions contain special finite retention objectives but do not derive an independently constructed expected wealth utility with premium indifference and finite stochastic dominance.

Setting

Losses are monetary outcomes on a genuinely finite scenario probability model, whose masses are nonnegative and sum to one. The exponential CARA wealth utility is strictly increasing and concave for positive aversion. The certainty-equivalent premium is constructed from the actual exponential moment of loss. Full insurance replaces the uncertain loss with a fixed premium and its utility is compared with the truly weighted uninsured outcome.

Formalization targets

The formalisation develops a connected set of actuarial identities, beginning with precise model definitions and ending with the prospective valuation result.

Expected exponential utility and absolute risk aversion

Utility of deterministic wealth equals its scenario expectation.

ua(w)=−e−aw,A(w)=−ua′′(w)/ua′(w)=au_a(w)=-e^{-aw},\quad A(w)=-u''_a(w)/u'_a(w)=aua​(w)=−e−aw,A(w)=−ua′′​(w)/ua′​(w)=a

Actuarial insurance certainty equivalents and premium indifference

Risk-averse exponential expected utility demands at least the expected claim cost.

πa(X)=1alog⁡E[eaX]\pi_a(X)=\frac{1}{a}\log\mathbb E[e^{aX}]πa​(X)=a1​logE[eaX]

Genuine pathwise coupling and finite first-order stochastic dominance

The actuarial insurer and policyholder indifference premium follows from genuinely averaged utility, with positive risk loading and a finite-scenario stochastic risk ordering.

X≤Y a.s.⟹E[ϕ(X)]≤E[ϕ(Y)]X\le Y\ \text{a.s.}\Longrightarrow \mathbb E[\phi(X)]\le\mathbb E[\phi(Y)]X≤Y a.s.⟹E[ϕ(X)]≤E[ϕ(Y)]

Capstone theorem

The actuarial insurer and policyholder indifference premium follows from genuinely averaged utility, with positive risk loading and a finite-scenario stochastic risk ordering.

X≤Y a.s.⟹E[ϕ(X)]≤E[ϕ(Y)]X\le Y\ \text{a.s.}\Longrightarrow \mathbb E[\phi(X)]\le\mathbb E[\phi(Y)]X≤Y a.s.⟹E[ϕ(X)]≤E[ϕ(Y)]

Significance

As discussed in Pratt's utility-risk treatment, The capstone proves a complete indifference premium identity, not merely its algebraic definition, and derives risk loading above expected loss from convexity of the exponential. A coupled stochastic order implies both the ordering of actual finite distribution functions and higher expected utility for increasing utility functions. The same ordering is related to excess-of-loss premiums through statewise monotonicity. These results supply core insurer and policyholder pricing foundations.

Difficulty

The logarithmic certainty equivalent requires strictly positive exponential moments and a nonzero risk-aversion parameter. The actual expected utility factorization must account for the sign of negative exponential utility. Risk loading requires Jensen's inequality or an equivalent discrete exponential-convexity argument, not the assertion that every risk is profitable to insure. The comparison of finite CDFs must reverse the inequality for higher wealth, while a higher loss severity raises stop-loss costs. Pathwise coupling is stronger than the entire stochastic-dominance order and is identified as such.

Formalization scope

Certainty-equivalent premium and stochastic risk ordering are distinct mathematical constructs in this model. A future generalisation will derive second-order stochastic dominance via integrals of real CDFs and concave expected utility, not merely a pathwise coupling. The current project is nontrivial because the CARA indifference identity follows by differentiating and averaging the actual utility, and the insurer's risk loading is derived from Jensen's inequality. Existing specialised exponential risk-price examples provide a useful benchmark but do not replace these general sources. The premium and coupling functions are reusable for nonproportional reinsurance, risk classification and comparative risk analysis.

Under constant absolute risk aversion the negative exponential utility function is increasing and concave in wealth when risk aversion is positive, even though its numerical utility level is negative. A fair premium is not obtained by simply assuming a desired level of profit. The expected uninsured utility is calculated from true scenario probabilities, the utility with full insurance is calculated using a fixed premium and the resulting indifference equation is solved from the loss exponential moment. The log moment premium must then be compared against expected claim cost using convexity, and the sign of this loading depends on risk aversion. Finite distribution functions and expected excess claims are independently defined for comparison. The pathwise coupling order in the source is stronger than first-order stochastic dominance, so no false claim of characterising all stochastic orders is made. Second-order dominance requires a separate distribution-integral analysis.

This is a genuine finite-probability CARA model with exactly derived insured/uninsured premium indifference. The stochastic order is proven for explicit statewise couplings and thus yields a strong sufficient condition for first-order stochastic dominance, not a complete characterisation of arbitrary second-order stochastic dominance. General concave utility risk orders, mean-preserving spreads, Arrow–Pratt comparative aversion for all utility families, and infinite random variables are future developments. All proof obligations are open.

These are original derived finite/analytic Actuarial formalisation targets rather than reproductions of a numbered textbook theorem. Exact Lean binder declarations are authoritative. The complete source uses targeted Mathlib imports and no local Lean compilation. All proof bodies remain genuinely open and do not constitute accepted results. Assumptions about negative rates, survival, policyholder independence, discounting and benefit timing must be preserved exactly.

Selected references

  • John W. Pratt (1964), Risk Aversion in the Small and in the Large, Econometrica 32, 122–136. https://doi.org/10.2307/1913738
  • Michael Rothschild and Joseph E. Stiglitz (1970), Increasing Risk: I. A Definition, Journal of Economic Theory 2, 225–243. https://doi.org/10.1016/0022-0531(70)90038-4
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Actuarial ScienceProbability·Captain: WillR

Actuarial Mathematics XCI: Joint-Life Mortality Profit and Contingent Survivor BenefitsTextbook

Motivation

Mortality experience in joint-life assurance and pensions depends not only on whether someone died, but on which insured life survives and which survivor or joint reserve must then be held. Standard multiple-life actuarial valuations motivate last-survivor, reversionary and guaranteed pension benefits. Earlier actuarial missions XLV and XLVI treat basic reversionary annuities and single-life mortality profit separately; this connects them through a genuine four-outcome death-strain model.

Setting

Two members start alive and experience independent yearly survival outcomes. Exactly four mutually exclusive joint states follow: both survive, only the first survives, only the second survives, or neither survives. Their probabilities use product and complement survival factors. The year-end reserve and any benefits can differ for every one of these states. Opening reserves plus premiums earn the annual return before payment and the next state contingent reserve is recognized.

Formalization targets

The formalisation develops a connected set of actuarial identities, beginning with precise model definitions and ending with the prospective valuation result.

Independent joint-life outcomes and probabilities

Each valid joint-life outcome has nonnegative mass.

pxy=pxpy,px†y=(1−px)pyp_{xy}=p_xp_y,\quad p_{x\dagger y}=(1-p_x)p_ypxy​=px​py​,px†y​=(1−px​)py​

Outcome-dependent reserves, benefits and death strain

Additional state-specific benefit claims add to expected death strain.

Ds=Bs+Vs−(V0+P)(1+i)D_{s}=B_s+V_s-(V_0+P)(1+i)Ds​=Bs​+Vs​−(V0​+P)(1+i)

Joint mortality profit and limited-contingent survivor benefits

An exhaustive, correctly normalized two-life outcome model makes the mortality experience profit mean zero, retaining separate survivor reserves, death benefits and guaranteed payment conventions.

Πmort=∑spsDs−Dobserved\Pi_{\text{mort}}=\sum_s p_s D_s-D_{\text{observed}}Πmort​=s∑​ps​Ds​−Dobserved​

Capstone theorem

An exhaustive, correctly normalized two-life outcome model makes the mortality experience profit mean zero, retaining separate survivor reserves, death benefits and guaranteed payment conventions.

Πmort=∑spsDs−Dobserved\Pi_{\text{mort}}=\sum_s p_s D_s-D_{\text{observed}}Πmort​=s∑​ps​Ds​−Dobserved​

Significance

As discussed in Dickson, Hardy and Waters' multiple-life analysis, The capstone derives actual four-state normalization and reconciles joint mortality profit as expected death strain less observed state-specific death strain, whose expected result is zero under its own properly normalized law. The state-specific reserve functions distinguish the two possible remaining single-life liabilities rather than collapsing them into a single average. Limited-reversionary and certain guarantee payments are represented as separate conditional benefits.

Difficulty

Four disjoint probabilities must be normalized with exact endpoint treatment. Reserve releases after each death outcome may have opposite signs to death-benefit payments, so the state strain must include both payout and next-state reserve less the accumulated starting fund. Expected mortality profit cannot be asserted by defining it to have zero mean: it must follow from the actual weighted expectation of the observed strain. Independence is an explicit current assumption; arbitrary dependent lives need a separate four-state probability law.

Formalization scope

Joint-life mortality profit and state-dependent death strain are distinct mathematical constructs in this model. A future mission could introduce dependent lifetimes and within-year order of deaths, then compute first-to-die and last-survivor benefit present values directly from the joint survival law. The present work is nontrivial because both survivor reserves and actual death claims differ across the four states, while the mean mortality profit emerges from their normalised probability distribution. Existing joint-life annuity and single-life profit missions do not establish this combination. The outcome-specific reserve and mortality gain functions are reusable for spouse's pensions, death-in-service benefits and multi-life experience analysis.

Four disjoint annual outcomes must be considered for a policy whose two insured lives begin the year alive. They are both alive, only the first alive, only the second alive and both dead. Each outcome has a separate year-end reserve and may have a different death or survivor benefit. Accordingly, its actual death strain includes the benefit paid plus the new reserve less accumulated beginning-year funds. Expected strain is a genuine probability-weighted average of those four observed strains. The mortality experience profit for any one realised outcome equals the expected strain less that outcome's actual strain. Its expectation must be shown to vanish under the normalised four-outcome probability distribution, rather than by assuming zero mean. This framework supplies an actuarial bridge from joint-life/reversionary benefits to experience profit analysis and guarantee-period pensions. Within-year timing and dependent life outcomes require additional formal work.

This is a complete one-year joint mortality-experience model with explicit separate survivor reserves, not a full continuous-time ordering of first and second deaths inside the same policy year. Guarantee-period timing is represented by a separate deterministic indicator input. Exact age differences, policy options, death-payment timing and dependence-copula extensions can build on these definitions later. All theorem statements remain unproved.

These are original derived finite/analytic Actuarial formalisation targets rather than reproductions of a numbered textbook theorem. Exact Lean binder declarations are authoritative. The complete source uses targeted Mathlib imports and no local Lean compilation. All proof bodies remain genuinely open and do not constitute accepted results. Assumptions about negative rates, survival, policyholder independence, discounting and benefit timing must be preserved exactly.

Selected references

  • David C. M. Dickson, Mary R. Hardy and Howard R. Waters (2020), Actuarial Mathematics for Life Contingent Risks, Cambridge University Press. https://www.cambridge.org/core/books/actuarial-mathematics-for-life-contingent-risks/
  • S. David Promislow (2015), Fundamentals of Actuarial Mathematics, Wiley. https://www.wiley.com/en-us/Fundamentals+of+Actuarial+Mathematics%2C+3rd+Edition-p-9781118782521
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Actuarial ScienceProbability·Captain: WillR

Actuarial Mathematics LXXVII: Compound Aggregate Masses and the Full Finite Panjer RecursionTextbook

Motivation

Panjer's original 1981 result derives the aggregate claims recursion from a special frequency probability law and arbitrary nonnegative-integer severity mass distribution, including claims worth zero. The original article and the Sundt–Jewell extension underpin the mission. Earlier actuarial mission LIV handles direct recurrence algebra, while LXXIII derives the Bernoulli first positive aggregate mass identity. This mission formalises a full positive-aggregate-severity recursion for a genuinely constructed compound law.

Setting

A claim count N has probability weights p_n supported on {0,...,m}, with no artificial truncation of an otherwise infinite count distribution. Independent severity masses f_j on nonnegative integer amounts admit a genuine n-fold convolution, with count-zero convolution equal to a unit atom at zero. Thus g_k=Σ_{n=0}^m p_n(f^{*n})k is defined independently of Panjer's formula. The count recursion p_n=(a+b/n)p{n−1} is assumed only for 1≤n≤m+1, including its boundary p_{m+1}=0, and p_n=0 above m. No conclusion about the aggregate g is assumed.

Formalization targets

Aggregate claims from an actual frequency distribution

Write pnp_npn​ for the probability of exactly nnn claims and fjf_jfj​ for the probability that one claim has size jjj. The frequency law is genuinely supported on 0,…,m0,\ldots,m0,…,m; an infinite Poisson distribution is not silently truncated. The empty portfolio has aggregate size zero, while f∗nf^{*n}f∗n denotes the distribution obtained by summing nnn independent severities.

The first group constructs the aggregate probability gkg_kgk​ directly from the frequency and severity laws:

gk=∑n=0mpn(f∗n)k,(f∗0)0=1.g_k=\sum_{n=0}^{m}p_n(f^{*n})_k,\qquad (f^{*0})_0=1.gk​=n=0∑m​pn​(f∗n)k​,(f∗0)0​=1.

It also proves the zero-severity convolution identities, nonnegative mass preservation, and finite frequency and severity generating-function relationships.

The Panjer law and its upper support boundary

The count probabilities obey a Panjer recurrence with coefficients aaa and bbb. Crucially, the finite-support model includes the transition from mmm to the compulsory zero probability at m+1m+1m+1:

pn=(a+bn)pn−1,1≤n≤m+1,pm+1=0.p_n=\left(a+\frac{b}{n}\right)p_{n-1}, \qquad 1\le n\le m+1,\qquad p_{m+1}=0.pn​=(a+nb​)pn−1​,1≤n≤m+1,pm+1​=0.

This makes the assumed count law compatible with the finite aggregate distribution. For a claim size that may equal zero, the aggregate zero atom involves every possible claim count:

g0=GN(f0)=∑n=0mpnf0 n.g_0=G_N(f_0)=\sum_{n=0}^{m}p_n f_0^{\,n}.g0​=GN​(f0​)=n=0∑m​pn​f0n​.

Corrected aggregate recursion and valuation

The central target is the entire positive-aggregate-size Panjer recurrence, not merely its first positive atom. For every integer k≥1k\ge1k≥1, the result is

(1−af0)gk=∑j=1k(a+bjk)fjgk−j.(1-af_0)g_k= \sum_{j=1}^{k}\left(a+\frac{bj}{k}\right) f_jg_{k-j}.(1−af0​)gk​=j=1∑k​(a+kbj​)fj​gk−j​.

The factor 1−af01-af_01−af0​ is essential because a positive number of claims may still produce aggregate size zero. Further targets establish properties of cumulative aggregate probabilities, capital exceedance tails and finite stop-loss expectations. Every aggregate probability is defined independently of the recurrence it is subsequently required to satisfy.

Significance

The original Panjer paper gives the classical aggregate-loss setting. The capstone derives (1-a f_0)g_k=Σ_{j=1}^k(a+bj/k) f_j g_{k-j} for every positive aggregate amount from the actual random sum, together with g_0=G_N(f_0). The generator gives a count-supported finite Panjer family; it does not claim an infinite Poisson/negative-binomial count law. The exact zero claim-size correction is essential even when count N is positive, because multiple claims may all have zero monetary size. The authoring graph also includes frequency PGFs, severity convolution, CDF/tail and stop-loss identities.

Difficulty

Existing actuarial probability and Panjer steps are established subject areas. Every formal result introduced in this mission is an open Lean theorem target; none has an accepted proof. A vacuous or trivial definition of the aggregate as the recurrence solution is explicitly ruled out. The proof must rearrange nested severity convolutions, differentiate coefficient identities or establish the equivalent frequency recursion, and manage the zero-severity term that multiplies g_k itself. The count-support cutoff must satisfy the Panjer multiplier at m+1 to avoid invalid boundary terms. The recurrence at k=0 is not defined due to division by k; zero aggregate mass follows separately from the frequency PGF. Because f_0 may be positive, truncating the count sum at arbitrary m with an infinite count law would be mathematically invalid; we avoid that by using a genuine finite count distribution.

Formalization scope

This mission supplies a full k≥1 Panjer relation under an exact finite-support frequency model, not general infinite Poisson or geometric counts and not continuous claim severities. Positivity and mass normalisation require additional explicit probability conditions beyond the purely algebraic count recurrence, so the capstone is a valid algebraic identity even before imposing proper probability weights. All formal results remain Lean theorem targets without accepted proofs. The finite model is a reusable foundation for formal-power-series and analytic infinite-frequency cases.

These are original derived finite/analytic Actuarial formalisation targets rather than reproductions of a numbered textbook theorem. Exact Lean binder declarations are authoritative. The complete source uses targeted Mathlib imports and no local Lean compilation. All proof bodies remain genuinely open and do not constitute accepted results. Assumptions about negative rates, survival, policyholder independence, discounting and benefit timing must be preserved exactly.

Selected references

  • Harry H. Panjer (1981), Recursive Evaluation of a Family of Compound Distributions, ASTIN Bulletin 12(1), 22–26. https://doi.org/10.1017/S0515036100006796
  • Bjørn Sundt and William S. Jewell (1981), Further Results on Recursive Evaluation of Compound Distributions, ASTIN Bulletin 12(1), 27–39. https://doi.org/10.1017/S0515036100006802
  • S. David Promislow (2015), Fundamentals of Actuarial Mathematics, third edition, Chapter 21, section 21.11. https://www.oreilly.com/library/view/fundamentals-of-actuarial/9781118782521/ftoc.xhtml
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Convex OptimizationOperations ResearchOptimization·Captain: mikedeng1

Convergence Analysis of Sampling-Based Decomposition Methods for Risk-Averse Multistage Stochastic Convex Programs 2: Subdifferential of the Value Function of a Convex ProgramResearch Paper

Why subgradients of value functions matter

Stochastic dual dynamic programming (SDDP) and related decomposition methods solve multistage stochastic programs by approximating each stage's recourse function from below by a maximum of affine cuts. Every cut needs a value and a slope: the value of a convex subproblem at a trial point, and a subgradient of that subproblem's optimal value as a function of the trial point. For linear subproblems the slope is a vector of dual multipliers. For convex subproblems in which the trial point enters the objective and the nonlinear constraints, the slope requires a formula for the subdifferential of the value function of a parametric convex program.

Vincent Guigues, in Convergence Analysis of Sampling-Based Decomposition Methods for Risk-Averse Multistage Stochastic Convex Programs (arXiv:1408.4439v4, SIAM J. Optim. 2016), states such a formula as Lemma 2.1 and announces it in the abstract and in contribution (C) as a result of independent interest. Earlier convergence proofs for convex SDDP (Girardeau, Leclère and Philpott, Math. Oper. Res. 2015) avoid the question by copying the trial point into new variables and linear constraints, so that only the classical formula for a value function of right-hand-side perturbations is needed. Lemma 2.1 removes that device.

This mission is the second in the series on Guigues' paper. The first mission formalizes the almost-sure convergence of the risk-averse algorithm (Theorem 4.1) and takes the subgradient property of cut slopes as part of its model, so the two missions are independent.

Setting

Write Rk\mathbb R^kRk for Euclidean space with the scalar product ⟨x,y⟩=x⊤y\langle x,y\rangle = x^\top y⟨x,y⟩=x⊤y, and pair Rm×Rn\mathbb R^m\times\mathbb R^nRm×Rn by ⟨(s,t),(x,y)⟩=⟨s,x⟩+⟨t,y⟩\langle (s,t),(x,y)\rangle=\langle s,x\rangle+\langle t,y\rangle⟨(s,t),(x,y)⟩=⟨s,x⟩+⟨t,y⟩. Let A∈Rq×mA\in\mathbb R^{q\times m}A∈Rq×m, B∈Rq×nB\in\mathbb R^{q\times n}B∈Rq×n, b∈Rqb\in\mathbb R^qb∈Rq, let f:Rm×Rn→R∪{+∞}f:\mathbb R^m\times\mathbb R^n\to\mathbb R\cup\{+\infty\}f:Rm×Rn→R∪{+∞}, let g=(g1,…,gp)g=(g_1,\dots,g_p)g=(g1​,…,gp​) be constraint functions on Rm×Rn\mathbb R^m\times\mathbb R^nRm×Rn, and let X⊆RmX\subseteq\mathbb R^mX⊆Rm and Y⊆RnY\subseteq\mathbb R^nY⊆Rn be nonempty, compact and convex. The value function (2.1) is

Q(x)=inf⁡{ f(x,y): y∈S(x) },S(x)={y∈Y: Ax+By=b, g(x,y)≤0},\mathcal Q(x)=\inf\{\,f(x,y):\ y\in S(x)\,\},\qquad S(x)=\{y\in Y:\ Ax+By=b,\ g(x,y)\le 0\},Q(x)=inf{f(x,y): y∈S(x)},S(x)={y∈Y: Ax+By=b, g(x,y)≤0},

defined for every x∈Rmx\in\mathbb R^mx∈Rm, with Q(x)=+∞\mathcal Q(x)=+\inftyQ(x)=+∞ when S(x)=∅S(x)=\emptysetS(x)=∅. The solution set is Sol⁡(x)={y∈S(x):f(x,y)=Q(x)}\operatorname{Sol}(x)=\{y\in S(x): f(x,y)=\mathcal Q(x)\}Sol(x)={y∈S(x):f(x,y)=Q(x)} and the active set is I(x,y)={i:gi(x,y)=0}I(x,y)=\{i: g_i(x,y)=0\}I(x,y)={i:gi​(x,y)=0}.

The subdifferential of an extended-real function hhh at z0z_0z0​ is ∂h(z0)={s:h(z0)∈R, h(z)≥h(z0)+⟨s,z−z0⟩ ∀z}\partial h(z_0)=\{s: h(z_0)\in\mathbb R,\ h(z)\ge h(z_0)+\langle s,z-z_0\rangle\ \forall z\}∂h(z0​)={s:h(z0​)∈R, h(z)≥h(z0​)+⟨s,z−z0​⟩ ∀z}, and the normal cone of a set CCC at z0∈Cz_0\in Cz0​∈C is NC(z0)={v:⟨v,z−z0⟩≤0 ∀z∈C}\mathcal N_C(z_0)=\{v:\langle v,z-z_0\rangle\le0\ \forall z\in C\}NC​(z0​)={v:⟨v,z−z0​⟩≤0 ∀z∈C}. The Lagrangian dual (2.3) maximizes

θx(λ,μ)=inf⁡y∈Y f(x,y)+λ⊤(Ax+By−b)+μ⊤g(x,y)\theta_x(\lambda,\mu)=\inf_{y\in Y}\ f(x,y)+\lambda^\top(Ax+By-b)+\mu^\top g(x,y)θx​(λ,μ)=y∈Yinf​ f(x,y)+λ⊤(Ax+By−b)+μ⊤g(x,y)

over λ∈Rq\lambda\in\mathbb R^qλ∈Rq, μ∈R+p\mu\in\mathbb R^p_+μ∈R+p​; its solution set is Λ(x)\Lambda(x)Λ(x).

Assumption (H): fff is lower semicontinuous, proper and convex; each gig_igi​ is convex and lower semicontinuous with values in R∪{+∞}\mathbb R\cup\{+\infty\}R∪{+∞}; and Xε×Y⊆dom⁡fX^\varepsilon\times Y\subseteq\operatorname{dom} fXε×Y⊆domf for some ε>0\varepsilon>0ε>0, where Xε=X+εBmX^\varepsilon=X+\varepsilon B_mXε=X+εBm​.

Formalization targets

Goal: Lemma 2.1, formula (2.4), repaired

Assume (H) and the repaired Slater condition: every gig_igi​ is real-valued (R1), and there is (xˉ,yˉ)∈X×ri⁡(Y)(\bar x,\bar y)\in X\times\operatorname{ri}(Y)(xˉ,yˉ​)∈X×ri(Y) with Axˉ+Byˉ=bA\bar x+B\bar y=bAxˉ+Byˉ​=b, gi(xˉ,yˉ)<0g_i(\bar x,\bar y)<0gi​(xˉ,yˉ​)<0 for all iii (R2), and (xˉ,yˉ)∈ri⁡(dom⁡f)(\bar x,\bar y)\in\operatorname{ri}(\operatorname{dom} f)(xˉ,yˉ​)∈ri(domf) (R3). For x0∈Xx_0\in Xx0​∈X with S(x0)≠∅S(x_0)\ne\emptysetS(x0​)=∅, the set Sol⁡(x0)\operatorname{Sol}(x_0)Sol(x0​) is nonempty and for every y0∈Sol⁡(x0)y_0\in\operatorname{Sol}(x_0)y0​∈Sol(x0​)

s∈∂Q(x0)  ⟺  (s,0)∈∂f(x0,y0)+{[A⊤;B⊤]λ}+{∑i∈I(x0,y0)μi ∂gi(x0,y0):μi≥0}+{0}×NY(y0).s\in\partial\mathcal Q(x_0)\iff (s,0)\in\partial f(x_0,y_0)+\{[A^\top;B^\top]\lambda\}+\Big\{\sum_{i\in I(x_0,y_0)}\mu_i\,\partial g_i(x_0,y_0):\mu_i\ge0\Big\}+\{0\}\times\mathcal N_Y(y_0).s∈∂Q(x0​)⟺(s,0)∈∂f(x0​,y0​)+{[A⊤;B⊤]λ}+{i∈I(x0​,y0​)∑​μi​∂gi​(x0​,y0​):μi​≥0}+{0}×NY​(y0​).

Differentiable case

If fff and the gig_igi​ are real-valued, convex and differentiable, then under (R2)

∂Q(x0)={∇xf(x0,y0)+A⊤λ+∑i∈I(x0,y0)μi∇xgi(x0,y0): (λ,μ)∈Λ(x0)}.\partial\mathcal Q(x_0)=\Big\{\nabla_x f(x_0,y_0)+A^\top\lambda+\sum_{i\in I(x_0,y_0)}\mu_i\nabla_x g_i(x_0,y_0):\ (\lambda,\mu)\in\Lambda(x_0)\Big\}.∂Q(x0​)={∇x​f(x0​,y0​)+A⊤λ+i∈I(x0​,y0​)∑​μi​∇x​gi​(x0​,y0​): (λ,μ)∈Λ(x0​)}.

Steps of the proof (milestones)

  1. Q(x)=inf⁡yf(x,y)+IGr⁡(S)(x,y)\mathcal Q(x)=\inf_y f(x,y)+\mathbb I_{\operatorname{Gr}(S)}(x,y)Q(x)=infy​f(x,y)+IGr(S)​(x,y), and s∈∂Q(x0)  ⟺  (s,0)∈∂(f+IGr⁡(S))(x0,y0)s\in\partial\mathcal Q(x_0)\iff(s,0)\in\partial(f+\mathbb I_{\operatorname{Gr}(S)})(x_0,y_0)s∈∂Q(x0​)⟺(s,0)∈∂(f+IGr(S)​)(x0​,y0​) — (2.5).
  2. The sum rule ∂(f+IGr⁡(S))=∂f+NGr⁡(S)\partial(f+\mathbb I_{\operatorname{Gr}(S)})=\partial f+\mathcal N_{\operatorname{Gr}(S)}∂(f+IGr(S)​)=∂f+NGr(S)​ under (2.6) — (2.5)-(a).
  3. NGr⁡(S)=NC1+NC2+NRm×Y\mathcal N_{\operatorname{Gr}(S)}=\mathcal N_{C_1}+\mathcal N_{C_2}+\mathcal N_{\mathbb R^m\times Y}NGr(S)​=NC1​​+NC2​​+NRm×Y​ and NRm×Y={0}×NY\mathcal N_{\mathbb R^m\times Y}=\{0\}\times\mathcal N_YNRm×Y​={0}×NY​.
  4. NC1(x0,y0)={(A⊤λ,B⊤λ)}\mathcal N_{C_1}(x_0,y_0)=\{(A^\top\lambda,B^\top\lambda)\}NC1​​(x0​,y0​)={(A⊤λ,B⊤λ)}.
  5. NC2(x0,y0)={∑i∈Iμi∂gi(x0,y0):μi≥0}\mathcal N_{C_2}(x_0,y_0)=\{\sum_{i\in I}\mu_i\partial g_i(x_0,y_0):\mu_i\ge0\}NC2​​(x0​,y0​)={∑i∈I​μi​∂gi​(x0​,y0​):μi​≥0} (repaired).
  6. Primal-dual solutions satisfy (2.7)-(b), and (2.7)-(b) with μ≥0\mu\ge0μ≥0 yields (λ,μ)∈Λ(x0)(\lambda,\mu)\in\Lambda(x_0)(λ,μ)∈Λ(x0​).
  7. The differentiable case above.

Significance

Formula (2.4) yields cut slopes for SDDP applied to convex multistage programs directly from a primal solution and multipliers of the stage subproblem, without auxiliary copies of the state, and it is the source of the subgradient property used in the convergence analysis of the paper's Algorithm 1. The differentiable case is the form an implementation uses: any optimal dual pair gives a subgradient, and every subgradient arises this way.

For formalization, the result is a self-contained piece of finite-dimensional convex analysis: infimal projection, the subdifferential sum rule under a relative-interior condition, normal cones of intersections, of affine sets and of convex sublevel sets, and Lagrangian duality under Slater's condition. None of these steps is in Mathlib in the extended-real form needed here. No machine-checked proof of Lemma 2.1 or of its differentiable case exists. The platform has Shor's subgradient formula for value functions (ShorNonsmooth.Decomposition.value_function_convex_and_subgradient, subgradient_formula, subgradient_formula_differentiable, proved). Those statements cover real-valued data with inequality constraints only and prove one inclusion. They have no equality block Ax+By=bAx+By=bAx+By=b, no set YYY and no converse, so they are related to this mission but are not instances of it.

Difficulty

The printed lemma is false. Two steps of its proof fail. First, the formula for NC2\mathcal N_{C_2}NC2​​ needs a strict Slater point: for g(x,y)=y2g(x,y)=y^2g(x,y)=y2, C2=R×{0}C_2=\mathbb R\times\{0\}C2​=R×{0} equals its own relative interior, but NC2(0,0)={0}×R\mathcal N_{C_2}(0,0)=\{0\}\times\mathbb RNC2​​(0,0)={0}×R is not generated by ∂g(0,0)={0}\partial g(0,0)=\{0\}∂g(0,0)={0}. With f(x,y)=yf(x,y)=yf(x,y)=y, X=Y=[−1,1]X=Y=[-1,1]X=Y=[−1,1] and A=B=0A=B=0A=B=0, all printed hypotheses hold, Q≡0\mathcal Q\equiv0Q≡0, and no sss satisfies (2.4). Second, Xε×Y⊆dom⁡fX^\varepsilon\times Y\subseteq\operatorname{dom} fXε×Y⊆domf does not give ri⁡(Xε×Y)⊆ri⁡(dom⁡f)\operatorname{ri}(X^\varepsilon\times Y)\subseteq\operatorname{ri}(\operatorname{dom}f)ri(Xε×Y)⊆ri(domf): with Y={0}Y=\{0\}Y={0}, g≡−1g\equiv-1g≡−1 and f(x,y)=−yf(x,y)=-\sqrt yf(x,y)=−y​, ∂f(x0,0)=∅\partial f(x_0,0)=\emptyset∂f(x0​,0)=∅ while ∂Q(x0)={0}\partial\mathcal Q(x_0)=\{0\}∂Q(x0​)={0}. The repair (R1)–(R3) adds hypotheses and leaves every step of the printed proof valid.

The remaining work is the relative-interior calculus. The sum rule and the intersection formula for normal cones hold only under qualification conditions phrased with relative interiors, and the converse direction of (2.4) needs that the qualification passes from (xˉ,yˉ)(\bar x,\bar y)(xˉ,yˉ​) to Gr⁡(S)\operatorname{Gr}(S)Gr(S). A proof that uses only interiors fails as soon as YYY is lower-dimensional, which the hypotheses allow.

Formalization scope

Vectors live in EuclideanSpace ℝ (Fin k). The product Rm×Rn\mathbb R^m\times\mathbb R^nRm×Rn is the Lean product type, and subgradients and normal cones on it use the explicit pairing ⟨s,x⟩+⟨t,y⟩\langle s,x\rangle+\langle t,y\rangle⟨s,x⟩+⟨t,y⟩. No norm of the product is involved. Extended values are EReal. Q\mathcal QQ is an EReal infimum on all of Rm\mathbb R^mRm, and ∂Q(x0)\partial\mathcal Q(x_0)∂Q(x0​) is its subdifferential on Rm\mathbb R^mRm, not relative to XXX. An encoding of Q\mathcal QQ on XXX only, or of ∂Q\partial\mathcal Q∂Q relative to XXX, would describe a different function, whose subdifferential is unbounded at boundary points of XXX; it is excluded. Subdifferentials require a finite value at the base point, so the equivalence cannot hold vacuously at a point where a function is +∞+\infty+∞. XεX^\varepsilonXε is Metric.cthickening ε X; relative interiors are intrinsicInterior ℝ. Indices are 0-based (Fin p, Fin q). The sums in (2.4) are written with explicit witnesses μi≥0\mu_i\ge0μi​≥0, wi∈∂giw_i\in\partial g_iwi​∈∂gi​ indexed by the active set, which avoids the convention 0⋅∅=∅0\cdot\emptyset=\emptyset0⋅∅=∅.

Repaired statements, each labelled "(repaired)" in its title:

  • Lemma 2.1 (2.4): adds (R1) real-valued gig_igi​, (R2) strict Slater point, (R3) Slater point in ri⁡(dom⁡f)\operatorname{ri}(\operatorname{dom}f)ri(domf), and concludes Sol⁡(x0)≠∅\operatorname{Sol}(x_0)\ne\emptysetSol(x0​)=∅, which the printed "where y0y_0y0​ is any element" presupposes.
  • NC2\mathcal N_{C_2}NC2​​ formula: assumes (R1) and (R2) instead of a point of ri⁡(C2)\operatorname{ri}(C_2)ri(C2​).
  • Differentiable case: "fff and ggg differentiable" is read as real-valued and differentiable on the whole space, and (R2) replaces the printed condition.

The sum-rule milestone keeps (2.6) as a hypothesis, as the page states it. The dual-solution milestone reads "primal-dual solution" as y0∈Sol⁡(x0)y_0\in\operatorname{Sol}(x_0)y0​∈Sol(x0​), (λ,μ)∈Λ(x0)(\lambda,\mu)\in\Lambda(x_0)(λ,μ)∈Λ(x0​) with zero duality gap, assumes only primal feasibility of y0y_0y0​ for the converse (as the page does), and extends μ\muμ by zero outside the active set.

A complete development needs: the subdifferential sum rule for proper convex extended-real functions under a relative-interior condition; normal cones of intersections of convex sets with one affine set; normal cones of sublevel sets of finite convex functions under Slater's condition; existence of minimizers of lower semicontinuous functions on compact sets; and a zero-duality-gap (minimax) theorem for Lagrangians of convex programs over a compact convex set. These are reusable well beyond this mission. Contributions of any of these lemmas, in the generality of an arbitrary finite-dimensional inner product space, are welcome.

Selected references

  • V. Guigues, Convergence Analysis of Sampling-Based Decomposition Methods for Risk-Averse Multistage Stochastic Convex Programs, arXiv:1408.4439v4, 2016; SIAM J. Optim. 26(4), 2016. https://arxiv.org/abs/1408.4439
  • R. T. Rockafellar, Convex Analysis, Princeton University Press, 1970 (Theorems 23.8, 24(a), 28.2; Corollary 23.8.1). https://doi.org/10.1515/9781400873173
  • P. Girardeau, V. Leclère, A. B. Philpott, On the Convergence of Decomposition Methods for Multistage Stochastic Convex Programs, Math. Oper. Res. 40(1), 2015. https://doi.org/10.1287/moor.2014.0664
  • M. V. F. Pereira, L. M. V. G. Pinto, Multi-stage stochastic optimization applied to energy planning, Math. Programming 52, 1991. https://doi.org/10.1007/BF01582895
  • N. Z. Shor, Nondifferentiable Optimization and Polynomial Problems, Kluwer, 1998. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-1-4757-6015-6
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Differential GeometryMathematical Physics·Captain: Lucas

Uhlenbeck, Equations of Gauge Theory I: Self-Dual Connections Minimize Yang-MillsTextbook

Motivation

The Yang–Mills functional measures the total curvature of a connection on a principal bundle. Its critical points, the Yang–Mills connections, are the non-abelian generalization of solutions of Maxwell's equations, and in four dimensions the most important among them are the self-dual and anti-self-dual connections (instantons), whose moduli spaces underlie Donaldson theory of smooth four-manifolds. A basic and frequently used fact, recorded as Proposition 3.1.1 in K. Uhlenbeck's lectures Equations of Gauge Theory (notes by L. Fredrickson, Temple University, 2012), is that instantons are not merely critical points: within a fixed topological class and with fixed boundary data they are absolute minimizers of the Yang–Mills energy. The same "energy identity" argument is the template the notes later apply to the Kapustin–Witten equations (Proposition 3.1.5).

Timeline of the ideas involved: Yang and Mills introduce the equations (1954); Belavin, Polyakov, Schwartz and Tyupkin observe the topological lower bound on the energy and its saturation by self-dual fields (1975); Atiyah, Hitchin and Singer study the deformation theory of instantons (1977–78); Donaldson uses the instanton moduli space in four-manifold topology (1983).

Setting

Work on the trivial principal SU(n)SU(n)SU(n)-bundle over a closed box Ω=[a,b]=∏μ=03[aμ,bμ]⊂R4\Omega=[a,b]=\prod_{\mu=0}^{3}[a_\mu,b_\mu]\subset\mathbb R^4Ω=[a,b]=∏μ=03​[aμ​,bμ​]⊂R4 with the Euclidean metric. A connection is DA=d+AD_A=d+ADA​=d+A with A=∑μAμ dxμA=\sum_\mu A_\mu\,dx^\muA=∑μ​Aμ​dxμ, where each AμA_\muAμ​ is a smooth map into the Lie algebra su(n)\mathfrak{su}(n)su(n) of traceless skew-Hermitian n×nn\times nn×n complex matrices. Its curvature is the su(n)\mathfrak{su}(n)su(n)-valued two-form FA=dA+A∧AF_A=dA+A\wedge AFA​=dA+A∧A with coefficients

(FA)μν=∂μAν−∂νAμ+[Aμ,Aν].(F_A)_{\mu\nu}=\partial_\mu A_\nu-\partial_\nu A_\mu+[A_\mu,A_\nu].(FA​)μν​=∂μ​Aν​−∂ν​Aμ​+[Aμ​,Aν​].

The Hodge star on two-forms is (⋆F)μν=12∑ρ,σεμνρσFρσ(\star F)_{\mu\nu}=\tfrac12\sum_{\rho,\sigma}\varepsilon_{\mu\nu\rho\sigma}F_{\rho\sigma}(⋆F)μν​=21​∑ρ,σ​εμνρσ​Fρσ​, with ε\varepsilonε the Levi-Civita symbol. A two-form is self-dual if ⋆F=F\star F=F⋆F=F and anti-self-dual if ⋆F=−F\star F=-F⋆F=−F. The pointwise norm is ∣F∣2=∑μ<νRe⁡tr⁡(FμνFμν∗)|F|^2=\sum_{\mu<\nu}\operatorname{Re}\operatorname{tr}(F_{\mu\nu}F_{\mu\nu}^{*})∣F∣2=∑μ<ν​Retr(Fμν​Fμν∗​), and the Yang–Mills functional on Ω\OmegaΩ is

YmΩ(A)=∫Ω∣FA∣2 dvol.\mathrm{Ym}_\Omega(A)=\int_\Omega |F_A|^2\,d\mathrm{vol}.YmΩ​(A)=∫Ω​∣FA​∣2dvol.

The Chern–Weil density tr⁡(F∧F)\operatorname{tr}(F\wedge F)tr(F∧F) is the coefficient 14∑εμνρσtr⁡(FμνFρσ)\tfrac14\sum\varepsilon_{\mu\nu\rho\sigma}\operatorname{tr}(F_{\mu\nu}F_{\rho\sigma})41​∑εμνρσ​tr(Fμν​Fρσ​) of dx0∧dx1∧dx2∧dx3dx^0\wedge dx^1\wedge dx^2\wedge dx^3dx0∧dx1∧dx2∧dx3, and the Chern–Simons three-form is CS(A)=tr⁡(A∧dA+23A∧A∧A)CS(A)=\operatorname{tr}(A\wedge dA+\tfrac23A\wedge A\wedge A)CS(A)=tr(A∧dA+32​A∧A∧A), with flux components Kμ=∑εμνρσtr⁡(Aν∂ρAσ+23AνAρAσ)K^\mu=\sum\varepsilon_{\mu\nu\rho\sigma}\operatorname{tr}(A_\nu\partial_\rho A_\sigma+\tfrac23A_\nu A_\rho A_\sigma)Kμ=∑εμνρσ​tr(Aν​∂ρ​Aσ​+32​Aν​Aρ​Aσ​).

Formalization targets

Goal (Proposition 3.1.1, box version)

If AAA and BBB are smooth SU(n)SU(n)SU(n)-connections on Ω\OmegaΩ that agree on ∂Ω\partial\Omega∂Ω, and FAF_AFA​ is self-dual on all of Ω\OmegaΩ or anti-self-dual on all of Ω\OmegaΩ, then

YmΩ(A)≤YmΩ(B).\mathrm{Ym}_\Omega(A)\le \mathrm{Ym}_\Omega(B).YmΩ​(A)≤YmΩ​(B).

Milestones

  1. Lemma 3.1.2. For an su(n)\mathfrak{su}(n)su(n)-valued two-form FFF: ∣F±⋆F∣2=2∣F∣2∓2tr⁡(F∧F)|F\pm\star F|^2=2|F|^2\mp2\operatorname{tr}(F\wedge F)∣F±⋆F∣2=2∣F∣2∓2tr(F∧F).
  2. Fact 3.1.3, local form. tr⁡(FA∧FA)=∑μ∂μKμ\operatorname{tr}(F_A\wedge F_A)=\sum_\mu\partial_\mu K^\mutr(FA​∧FA​)=∑μ​∂μ​Kμ, i.e. tr⁡(FA∧FA)=d CS(A)\operatorname{tr}(F_A\wedge F_A)=d\,CS(A)tr(FA​∧FA​)=dCS(A).
  3. Fact 3.1.3, box form. ∫Ωtr⁡(FA∧FA)=∫∂ΩCS(A)\int_\Omega\operatorname{tr}(F_A\wedge F_A)=\int_{\partial\Omega}CS(A)∫Ω​tr(FA​∧FA​)=∫∂Ω​CS(A) (the topological term vanishes for the trivial bundle).
  4. Energy bound (proof of Proposition 3.1.1). YmΩ(A)≥∓∫∂ΩCS(A)\mathrm{Ym}_\Omega(A)\ge \mp\int_{\partial\Omega}CS(A)YmΩ​(A)≥∓∫∂Ω​CS(A).
  5. Equality case (proof of Proposition 3.1.1). On a non-degenerate box, YmΩ(A)=−∫∂ΩCS(A)\mathrm{Ym}_\Omega(A)=-\int_{\partial\Omega}CS(A)YmΩ​(A)=−∫∂Ω​CS(A) iff FAF_AFA​ is self-dual on Ω\OmegaΩ, and YmΩ(A)=∫∂ΩCS(A)\mathrm{Ym}_\Omega(A)=\int_{\partial\Omega}CS(A)YmΩ​(A)=∫∂Ω​CS(A) iff FAF_AFA​ is anti-self-dual on Ω\OmegaΩ.

Significance

The energy identity turns a second-order variational problem into a first-order one: any connection satisfying the first-order self-duality equation is automatically a Yang–Mills connection, and in fact a global minimizer in its class. This is the reason instanton moduli spaces are the natural objects of four-dimensional gauge theory, and it is the model for the corresponding minimization statements for the Kapustin–Witten equations treated later in the same notes. The result is classical and its proof is known; the remaining work is formal: a machine-checked development of the curvature, Hodge star, Chern–Simons transgression and the boundary integration on boxes, none of which are currently packaged in this form in Mathlib.

Difficulty

The algebraic identity of Lemma 3.1.2 is a finite computation. The substantive step is the transgression formula tr⁡(FA∧FA)=d CS(A)\operatorname{tr}(F_A\wedge F_A)=d\,CS(A)tr(FA​∧FA​)=dCS(A), a cancellation between derivative terms and cubic terms that depends on cyclicity of the trace and on the antisymmetry of ε\varepsilonε, followed by Stokes' theorem on the box with correct face orientations. The naive approach of comparing ∣FA∣2|F_A|^2∣FA​∣2 and ∣FB∣2|F_B|^2∣FB​∣2 pointwise fails: the two connections agree only on the boundary, and only the integrated topological term is boundary-determined.

Formalization scope

The general setting of the notes (a GGG-bundle over a compact oriented Riemannian four-manifold with boundary, topological class c2(P)=kc_2(P)=kc2​(P)=k) is replaced by the trivial SU(n)SU(n)SU(n)-bundle over a closed axis-parallel box in Euclidean R4\mathbb R^4R4, so the topological term 8π2c2(P)8\pi^2c_2(P)8π2c2​(P) is zero. Connections are smooth on all of R4\mathbb R^4R4 (equivalently, smooth up to the boundary of the box) and every coefficient takes values in su(n)\mathfrak{su}(n)su(n). Two-forms are stored as antisymmetric 4×44\times44×4 families of matrices; partial derivatives are taken entrywise; integrals are Lebesgue integrals over the box and over its faces. "Fixed boundary data" means A=BA=BA=B at every point of ∂Ω\partial\Omega∂Ω. Self-duality is ⋆F=F\star F=F⋆F=F, matching F=⋆FF=\star FF=⋆F in Section 2.2 of the notes.

Two sign/normalization corrections relative to the printed notes are made deliberately: Lemma 3.1.2 is stated with the sign obtained in its own proof on p. 32 (∓\mp∓ rather than the printed ±\pm±, because B∗=−BB^*=-BB∗=−B on su(n)\mathfrak{su}(n)su(n)), and the Chern–Simons form uses the standard coefficient 23\tfrac2332​ in tr⁡(A∧dA+23A3)\operatorname{tr}(A\wedge dA+\tfrac23A^3)tr(A∧dA+32​A3), i.e. tr⁡(A∧FA)−13tr⁡(A3)\operatorname{tr}(A\wedge F_A)-\tfrac13\operatorname{tr}(A^3)tr(A∧FA​)−31​tr(A3), for which d CS=tr⁡(F∧F)d\,CS=\operatorname{tr}(F\wedge F)dCS=tr(F∧F) holds, instead of the printed 16\tfrac1661​.

A trivializing formalization would make the boundary condition or the self-duality hypothesis unsatisfiable; here the zero connection is self-dual and satisfies every hypothesis, and the statements are not vacuous.

Reusable infrastructure: Levi-Civita symbol and Hodge star on Λ2R4\Lambda^2\mathbb R^4Λ2R4 with matrix coefficients, curvature of matrix-valued connections, the Chern–Simons transgression, and Stokes' theorem for flux forms on boxes (Mathlib's divergence theorem on boxes is the natural tool). Contributions to any milestone are welcome.

Selected references

  • K. Uhlenbeck, Equations of Gauge Theory, notes by L. Fredrickson, Emil Grosswald Lectures, Temple University, 2012 (the source of all statements; Section 3.1, pp. 29–32).
  • C. N. Yang, R. L. Mills, Conservation of isotopic spin and isotopic gauge invariance, Phys. Rev. 96 (1954), 191–195. https://doi.org/10.1103/PhysRev.96.191
  • A. A. Belavin, A. M. Polyakov, A. S. Schwartz, Yu. S. Tyupkin, Pseudoparticle solutions of the Yang–Mills equations, Phys. Lett. B 59 (1975), 85–87. https://doi.org/10.1016/0370-2693(75)90163-X
  • S. K. Donaldson, An application of gauge theory to four-dimensional topology, J. Differential Geom. 18 (1983), 279–315. https://doi.org/10.4310/jdg/1214437665
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CombinatoricsGroup TheoryNumber Theory·Captain: Lucas

Landau's Function: Growth of the Maximal Order of a PermutationResearch Paper

Motivation

How large can the order of a single permutation of nnn objects be? The answer, Landau's function g(n)g(n)g(n), is a basic invariant of the symmetric group SnS_nSn​: it is the maximum number of times a permutation can be iterated before it returns to the identity. Because the order of a permutation is the least common multiple of its cycle lengths, g(n)g(n)g(n) is also the largest least common multiple of the parts of a partition of nnn, which ties the question to the distribution of prime numbers.

Timeline.

  • 1902–1903. E. Landau proved that ln⁡g(n)∼nln⁡n\ln g(n)\sim\sqrt{n\ln n}lng(n)∼nlnn​.
  • 1968. J.-L. Nicolas showed that ggg is constant on arbitrarily long runs of consecutive integers.
  • 1984. J.-P. Massias proved the explicit bound ln⁡g(n)≤1.05313836nln⁡n\ln g(n)\le 1.05313836\sqrt{n\ln n}lng(n)≤1.05313836nlnn​ for all n≥1n\ge 1n≥1.
  • 1988. Massias, Nicolas and Robin obtained a three-term asymptotic expansion of ln⁡g(n)\ln g(n)lng(n), its expression through the inverse logarithmic integral, and the equivalence of a one-sided inequality with the Riemann hypothesis.
  • 2002. K. Ford's bounds for the Riemann zeta function give the error term xexp⁡(−c(ln⁡x)3/5(ln⁡ln⁡x)−1/5)x\exp(-c(\ln x)^{3/5}(\ln\ln x)^{-1/5})xexp(−c(lnx)3/5(lnlnx)−1/5) in the prime number theorem, which can be fed into the 1988 result.

Setting

For a natural number nnn, let SnS_nSn​ be the group of all permutations of an nnn-element set. The order of σ∈Sn\sigma\in S_nσ∈Sn​ is the least k≥1k\ge 1k≥1 with σk=id\sigma^k=\mathrm{id}σk=id. Landau's function is

g(n)=max⁡σ∈Snord⁡(σ).g(n)=\max_{\sigma\in S_n}\operatorname{ord}(\sigma).g(n)=σ∈Sn​max​ord(σ).

A partition of nnn is a multiset of positive integers summing to nnn. The prime counting function π(x)\pi(x)π(x) is the number of primes p≤xp\le xp≤x, the (offset) logarithmic integral is Li(x)=∫2xdtln⁡t\mathrm{Li}(x)=\int_2^x\frac{dt}{\ln t}Li(x)=∫2x​lntdt​, and Li−1\mathrm{Li}^{-1}Li−1 is its inverse on [2,∞)[2,\infty)[2,∞). Throughout, ln⁡\lnln is the natural logarithm.

Formalization targets

Goal: Landau's theorem (1902)

lim⁡n→∞ln⁡g(n)nln⁡n=1.\lim_{n\to\infty}\frac{\ln g(n)}{\sqrt{n\ln n}}=1.n→∞lim​nlnn​lng(n)​=1.

Supporting milestones

  1. Partition characterization: g(n)=max⁡{lcm⁡(λ):λ⊢n}g(n)=\max\{\operatorname{lcm}(\lambda):\lambda\vdash n\}g(n)=max{lcm(λ):λ⊢n}.
  2. Initial values g(0),…,g(8)=1,1,2,3,4,6,6,12,15g(0),\dots,g(8)=1,1,2,3,4,6,6,12,15g(0),…,g(8)=1,1,2,3,4,6,6,12,15.
  3. Nicolas (1968): for every mmm there is nnn with g(n)=g(n+1)=⋯=g(n+m)g(n)=g(n+1)=\dots=g(n+m)g(n)=g(n+1)=⋯=g(n+m).
  4. Massias–Nicolas–Robin (1988): ln⁡g(n)=nln⁡n(1+ln⁡ln⁡n−12ln⁡n−(ln⁡ln⁡n)2−6ln⁡ln⁡n+98(ln⁡n)2+O((ln⁡ln⁡nln⁡n)3))\ln g(n)=\sqrt{n\ln n}\Bigl(1+\frac{\ln\ln n-1}{2\ln n}-\frac{(\ln\ln n)^2-6\ln\ln n+9}{8(\ln n)^2}+O\bigl((\tfrac{\ln\ln n}{\ln n})^3\bigr)\Bigr)lng(n)=nlnn​(1+2lnnlnlnn−1​−8(lnn)2(lnlnn)2−6lnlnn+9​+O((lnnlnlnn​)3)).
  5. Ford (2002): π(x)−Li(x)=O(xexp⁡(−c(ln⁡x)3/5(ln⁡ln⁡x)−1/5))\pi(x)-\mathrm{Li}(x)=O\bigl(x\exp(-c(\ln x)^{3/5}(\ln\ln x)^{-1/5})\bigr)π(x)−Li(x)=O(xexp(−c(lnx)3/5(lnlnx)−1/5)) for some c>0c>0c>0.
  6. Massias–Nicolas–Robin (1988): if π(x)−Li(x)=O(R(x))\pi(x)-\mathrm{Li}(x)=O(R(x))π(x)−Li(x)=O(R(x)) with R(x)=xexp⁡(−c(ln⁡x)3/5(ln⁡ln⁡x)−1/5)R(x)=x\exp(-c(\ln x)^{3/5}(\ln\ln x)^{-1/5})R(x)=xexp(−c(lnx)3/5(lnlnx)−1/5), then ln⁡g(n)=Li−1(n)+O(R(nln⁡n)ln⁡n)\ln g(n)=\sqrt{\mathrm{Li}^{-1}(n)}+O\bigl(R(\sqrt{n\ln n})\ln n\bigr)lng(n)=Li−1(n)​+O(R(nlnn​)lnn).
  7. Riemann hypothesis criterion: ln⁡g(n)<Li−1(n)\ln g(n)<\sqrt{\mathrm{Li}^{-1}(n)}lng(n)<Li−1(n)​ for all large nnn   ⟺  \iff⟺ RH.
  8. g(n)≤en/eg(n)\le e^{n/e}g(n)≤en/e for all nnn, with equality only at n=0n=0n=0.
  9. Massias (1984): g(n)≤exp⁡(1.05314nln⁡n)g(n)\le\exp(1.05314\sqrt{n\ln n})g(n)≤exp(1.05314nlnn​).

Significance

Landau's theorem pins down the growth rate of the largest element order in SnS_nSn​, which bounds, for example, how long any fixed shuffle of nnn cards can be repeated before the deck returns to its starting order. The refined statements quantify the second-order behaviour and connect it to the error term in the prime number theorem; the criterion in milestone 7 is one of the known elementary reformulations of the Riemann hypothesis, and is included as a faithful statement of the source, not as an expected deliverable. The other results are proved in the literature; formalizing them requires building the partition/lcm description of element orders in SnS_nSn​ and quantitative prime-counting estimates on top of Mathlib.

Difficulty

The order of a permutation is easy to compute from its cycle type, but maximizing an lcm over all partitions is a non-linear optimization: the optimum uses prime powers whose sizes are dictated by the distribution of primes, so even the leading-order asymptotics need Chebyshev-type or prime number theorem estimates, and the refined milestones need the prime number theorem with an explicit error term.

Formalization scope

  • SnS_nSn​ is Equiv.Perm (Fin n); g(n)g(n)g(n) is the supremum of orderOf σ over the finite group (a natural number; g(0)=1g(0)=1g(0)=1).
  • Partitions are Mathlib's Nat.Partition n; the lcm of a partition is the Multiset.lcm of its parts.
  • Real logarithms use Real.log (which returns 000 at 000 and is defined for negative input); all asymptotic statements are about n→∞n\to\inftyn→∞, so the values at small nnn are irrelevant there. The bounds in milestones 8–9 are stated for every nnn and are true at n=0,1n=0,1n=0,1.
  • π(x)\pi(x)π(x) for real xxx is Nat.primeCounting ⌊x⌋₊; Li\mathrm{Li}Li is the offset logarithmic integral ∫2xdt/ln⁡t\int_2^x dt/\ln t∫2x​dt/lnt; Li−1(y)\mathrm{Li}^{-1}(y)Li−1(y) is the least x≥2x\ge2x≥2 with Li(x)≥y\mathrm{Li}(x)\ge yLi(x)≥y, which for y≥0y\ge0y≥0 is the inverse function value. Replacing Li\mathrm{Li}Li by the full integral li\mathrm{li}li changes the inverse by O(ln⁡n)O(\ln n)O(lnn) and does not affect any of the asymptotic statements.
  • The Riemann hypothesis is Mathlib's RiemannHypothesis.

Contributions of reusable infrastructure (cycle-type lcm, prime-counting error terms, the logarithmic integral) are welcome.

Selected references

  • E. Landau, Über die Maximalordnung der Permutationen gegebenen Grades, Arch. Math. Phys. Ser. 3, vol. 5, 1903.
  • J.-L. Nicolas, Sur l'ordre maximum d'un élément dans le groupe SnS_nSn​ des permutations, Acta Arithmetica 14 (1968), 315–332.
  • J.-P. Massias, Majoration explicite de l'ordre maximum d'un élément du groupe symétrique, Ann. Fac. Sci. Toulouse Math. (5) 6 (1984), 269–281.
  • J.-P. Massias, J.-L. Nicolas, G. Robin, Évaluation asymptotique de l'ordre maximum d'un élément du groupe symétrique, Acta Arithmetica 50 (1988), 221–242.
  • K. Ford, Vinogradov's integral and bounds for the Riemann zeta function, Proc. London Math. Soc. 85 (2002), 565–633. https://doi.org/10.1112/S0024611502013655
  • W. Miller, The maximum order of an element of a finite symmetric group, Amer. Math. Monthly 94 (1987), 497–506.
  • OEIS A000793. https://oeis.org/A000793
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Economics·Captain: Lucas

Marginal Utility I: The Law of Diminishing Marginal UtilityTextbook

Motivation

Marginal utility is the change in utility (pleasure or satisfaction) that results from consuming one more unit of a good or service. It is the basic quantity of the marginalist theory of value, which explains prices and consumer choice by the additional satisfaction provided by each extra unit rather than by total usefulness. The law of diminishing marginal utility states that, other things being equal, the utility a consumer derives from additional units of a commodity goes on decreasing as the amount consumed increases; economists regard it as reflected in the concave shape of most utility functions.

Timeline. Gabriel Cramer (private letter, 1728) and Daniel Bernoulli (Specimen theoriae novae de mensura sortis, 1738) proposed that the desirability of money decreases as it accumulates, measuring it by the square root (Cramer) and the natural logarithm (Bernoulli), in order to resolve the St. Petersburg paradox. W. F. Lloyd (1833), N. W. Senior (1836), J. Dupuit (1844) and H. H. Gossen (1854) stated marginal-utility ideas with little contemporary influence. The theory entered the mainstream in the Marginal Revolution of Jevons (1862/1871), Menger (1871) and Walras (1874), and was consolidated by Marshall's Principles of Economics (1890), which treats utility as quantified. Ordinalist reformulations (Edgeworth 1881, Slutsky 1915, Hicks–Allen 1934) moved to indifference-curve analysis; cardinal utility returned with expected-utility theory (Ramsey 1926, von Neumann–Morgenstern 1944, Savage 1954), where diminishing marginal utility is linked to risk aversion.

Setting

A utility function of one quantified variable is a map U:R→RU:\mathbb R\to\mathbb RU:R→R, where ggg is the quantity of a single good and every other variable is held fixed (ceteris paribus, "c.p."). The change in utility from state s1s_1s1​ to state s2s_2s2​ is

ΔU(s1→s2)=U(s2)−U(s1).\Delta U(s_1\to s_2)=U(s_2)-U(s_1).ΔU(s1​→s2​)=U(s2​)−U(s1​).

The marginal utility at ggg is the limit of the ratio of the change in utility to the size of the change in ggg,

∂U∂g=lim⁡Δg→0ΔUΔg∣c.p.,\frac{\partial U}{\partial g}=\lim_{\Delta g\to 0}\left.\frac{\Delta U}{\Delta g}\right|_{c.p.},∂g∂U​=Δg→0lim​ΔgΔU​​c.p.​,

which mainstream neoclassical economics assumes to exist. The function UUU has diminishing marginal utility on a set DDD of quantities when

∂2U∂g2<0on D.\frac{\partial^2 U}{\partial g^2}<0\quad\text{on }D.∂g2∂2U​<0on D.

In the Lean development these are utilityChange, marginalUtility and HasDiminishingMarginalUtility in the namespace MarginalUtility.

Formalization targets

Goal: the law of diminishing marginal utility

For DDD an open interval and UUU with diminishing marginal utility on DDD:

g1<g2 in D  ⟹  ∂U∂g(g2)<∂U∂g(g1),U(x+2h)−U(x+h)<U(x+h)−U(x)  (h>0, x,x+2h∈D).g_1<g_2 \text{ in } D\;\Longrightarrow\; \frac{\partial U}{\partial g}(g_2)<\frac{\partial U}{\partial g}(g_1),\qquad U(x+2h)-U(x+h)<U(x+h)-U(x)\ \ (h>0,\ x,x+2h\in D).g1​<g2​ in D⟹∂g∂U​(g2​)<∂g∂U​(g1​),U(x+2h)−U(x+h)<U(x+h)−U(x)  (h>0, x,x+2h∈D).

The first clause is the law as stated ("marginal utility goes on decreasing"); the second is its reading in terms of successive equal gains.

Milestones

  1. Marginal utility is the limit of ΔU/Δg\Delta U/\Delta gΔU/Δg wherever UUU is differentiable.
  2. Positive marginal utility on an interval makes utility strictly increasing there; negative marginal utility makes it strictly decreasing.
  3. Diminishing marginal utility makes marginal utility strictly decreasing.
  4. Diminishing marginal utility makes UUU strictly concave.
  5. For a strictly concave UUU, each equal gain adds strictly less utility than the previous one.
  6. If marginal utility reaches zero at x0x_0x0​, total utility is maximal at x0x_0x0​ and marginal utility is negative beyond x0x_0x0​.
  7. Bernoulli's log⁡x\log xlogx and Cramer's x\sqrt xx​ have diminishing marginal utility on (0,∞)(0,\infty)(0,∞).

Significance

The law underlies the marginalist explanation of demand, the resolution of the water–diamond paradox, and, through the concavity of utility, the modelling of risk aversion in expected-utility theory. The concave-shape and satiation statements are the forms in which the law is used in consumer theory: under diminishing marginal utility, total utility is maximal exactly where marginal utility vanishes.

The mathematical content is classical single-variable calculus and is fully known. What this mission adds is a precise, machine-checked dictionary between the economic vocabulary ("marginal utility", "diminishing", "concave shape", "satiation") and standard analytic statements, on which later missions about consumer choice and risk aversion can build.

Difficulty

None of the statements is deep. The care required is in the hypotheses: the law is a statement about an open interval of quantities, marginal utility only makes sense where UUU is differentiable, and mere (non-strict) concavity gives only non-strict decrease of successive gains. The source's verbal statements must be matched exactly in strength (strict versus non-strict inequalities) and in domain.

Formalization scope

Utility is a function U:R→RU:\mathbb R\to\mathbb RU:R→R of one real quantity; the domain of interest is an open convex set D⊆RD\subseteq\mathbb RD⊆R (an open interval, possibly unbounded), passed as a hypothesis. Marginal utility is deriv U, which Lean sets to 000 where UUU is not differentiable; every statement that uses it assumes the needed differentiability. Diminishing marginal utility means UUU and U′U'U′ are differentiable on DDD and U′′<0U''<0U′′<0 on DDD. A statement that only assumed U′′<0U''<0U′′<0 without differentiability would be weaker than intended, because of the value-000 convention; the definition rules this out. Multivariate utility, ordinal utility and the qualitative assumptions listed in the source (identical units, constant tastes, and so on) are outside the scope of this mission. Proofs may use Mathlib's one-variable calculus and convexity libraries freely.

Selected references

  • Wikipedia, Marginal utility. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Marginal_utility
  • D. Bernoulli, Specimen theoriae novae de mensura sortis (1738); English translation: Exposition of a New Theory on the Measurement of Risk, Econometrica 22 (1954) 23–36. https://doi.org/10.2307/1909829
  • A. Marshall, Principles of Economics, Macmillan, 1890.
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Mathematical Physics·Captain: Lucas

Second Law of Thermodynamics (Wikipedia) I: Carnot's Theorem and the Thermodynamic Temperature ScaleTextbook

Motivation

The second law of thermodynamics is a physical law based on universal empirical observation concerning heat and energy interconversions. Two of its classical statements are impossibility statements about machines. Rudolf Clausius (1854): "Heat can never pass from a colder to a warmer body without some other change, connected therewith, occurring at the same time." Lord Kelvin: "It is impossible for any system to operate in a thermodynamic cycle and deliver a net amount of energy by work to its surroundings while receiving energy by heat transfer from a single thermal reservoir." The Wikipedia article Second law of thermodynamics records that these two have been shown to be equivalent.

The law is not only prohibitive. Sadi Carnot's analysis of heat engines (1824) yields an upper bound on the efficiency of any engine running between two heat reservoirs, attained by reversible engines and strictly missed by irreversible ones, and — crucially — the same for all reversible engines whatever the working substance. That substance-independence is what makes a thermodynamic temperature possible: as the article puts it, "The second law allows a distinguished temperature scale, which defines an absolute, thermodynamic temperature, independent of the properties of any particular reference thermometric body."

This mission formalizes that chain: from the two impossibility statements, through Carnot's theorem, to the existence and uniqueness of the absolute temperature scale normalized by the Kelvin convention at the triple point of water.

Setting

A cyclically operating device is recorded by the heat it exchanges with thermal reservoirs over one complete cycle. Reservoirs are labelled by empirical temperature, an element of a linearly ordered type Θ\ThetaΘ (s<ts<ts<t: the reservoir at sss is colder). A cycle is a finitely supported function c:Θ→Rc:\Theta\to\mathbb Rc:Θ→R, where c(t)c(t)c(t) is the net heat absorbed by the device from the reservoir at ttt (negative if rejected). Because the device returns to its initial state, the first law makes the net work delivered equal to the total heat absorbed:

W(c)=∑tc(t).W(c)=\sum_{t}c(t).W(c)=t∑​c(t).

The cycles that can actually be realized form a set C\mathcal CC, assumed to be a convex cone: the null cycle is realizable; two realizable devices can be run side by side, their heat exchanges adding; and a realizable device can be scaled by any factor r≥0r\ge0r≥0. A cycle is reversible when c∈Cc\in\mathcal Cc∈C and −c∈C-c\in\mathcal C−c∈C, and operates between hhh and kkk when it exchanges heat with no other reservoir. A Carnot engine between a hot hhh and a cold kkk is a reversible cycle operating between them with c(h)>0c(h)>0c(h)>0, c(k)<0c(k)<0c(k)<0 and W(c)>0W(c)>0W(c)>0. The efficiency relative to the hot reservoir is η=W(c)/c(h)\eta=W(c)/c(h)η=W(c)/c(h).

In this language:

  • Clausius statement. For k<hk<hk<h: every realizable cycle operating between hhh and kkk with W(c)=0W(c)=0W(c)=0 satisfies c(k)≤0c(k)\le0c(k)≤0.
  • Kelvin statement. Every realizable cycle exchanging heat with a single reservoir satisfies W(c)≤0W(c)\le0W(c)≤0.
  • C\mathcal CC admits Carnot engines when a Carnot engine exists between every pair of reservoirs at different temperatures.

Formalization targets

Goal: the thermodynamic temperature scale

Assume C\mathcal CC is a convex cone satisfying the Clausius statement and admitting Carnot engines, and fix a reference reservoir T0T_0T0​. Then there is exactly one T:Θ→RT:\Theta\to\mathbb RT:Θ→R with

T>0,T(T0)=273.16,∣e(k)∣∣e(h)∣=T(k)T(h)for every Carnot engine e between k<h.T>0,\qquad T(T_0)=273.16,\qquad \frac{|e(k)|}{|e(h)|}=\frac{T(k)}{T(h)}\quad\text{for every Carnot engine } e \text{ between } k<h.T>0,T(T0​)=273.16,∣e(h)∣∣e(k)∣​=T(h)T(k)​for every Carnot engine e between k<h.

The content is that the left-hand ratio, a property of an engine, depends on the engine only through its two reservoirs, and does so as a ratio of numbers attached to the reservoirs. The normalization 273.16273.16273.16 at T0T_0T0​ is the Kelvin convention; as the article notes, "any reference temperature and any positive numerical value could be used".

The two impossibility statements

Clausius(C)  ⟺  Kelvin(C)\text{Clausius}(\mathcal C)\iff\text{Kelvin}(\mathcal C)Clausius(C)⟺Kelvin(C)

for a convex cone admitting Carnot engines over at least two reservoir temperatures.

Carnot's theorem

For k<hk<hk<h and a Carnot engine eee between them, every realizable engine ccc between the same two reservoirs satisfies η(c)≤η(e)\eta(c)\le\eta(e)η(c)≤η(e), with strict inequality when ccc is irreversible (−c∉C-c\notin\mathcal C−c∈/C); and any two Carnot engines between hhh and kkk have equal efficiency.

Significance

The goal makes explicit which features of the realizable processes are used when a textbook defines absolute temperature. The three hypotheses — convex cone, Clausius statement, existence of Carnot engines — are exactly what the derivation needs; the working substance, the equation of state, and the mechanism of a device never appear. Uniqueness is the part that is usually left implicit: the Kelvin normalization at one reservoir pins the scale completely.

The milestones follow the article's own order: equation (1) for the efficiency of an arbitrary engine; the equivalence of the Clausius and Kelvin statements; the three clauses of Carnot's theorem; the composition law f(T1,T3)=f(T1,T2)f(T2,T3)f(T_1,T_3)=f(T_1,T_2)f(T_2,T_3)f(T1​,T3​)=f(T1​,T2​)f(T2​,T3​) for the reversible heat ratio across an intermediate reservoir; the conversion of that law into a scale; and the resulting Carnot efficiency η=1−TC/TH\eta=1-T_{\mathrm C}/T_{\mathrm H}η=1−TC​/TH​.

Difficulty

The mathematics is elementary — convex cones in a space of finitely supported real functions, and one functional equation — but the bookkeeping is where faithfulness is won or lost. Carnot's theorem is proved by scaling a candidate engine against a reversed Carnot engine so that the composite does no net work, which makes the Clausius statement applicable; the equality case has to identify the candidate as a positive multiple of the Carnot engine before concluding that it is reversible. The composition law requires the intermediate reservoir to be exactly balanced, so that the composite is again a two-reservoir engine — the article's remark that "the heat q2q_2q2​ flown from the engine 2 to the intermediate reservoir must be equal to the heat q2∗q_2^*q2∗​ flown out from the reservoir to the engine 3". The functional equation must be solved without assuming the reference reservoir is the hottest or the coldest, so the scale is defined by f(T0,⋅)f(T_0,\cdot)f(T0​,⋅) below T0T_0T0​ and by 1/f(⋅,T0)1/f(\cdot,T_0)1/f(⋅,T0​) above it, and the composition law is applied in four different orderings.

Formalization scope

  • Reservoir temperatures form an arbitrary linearly ordered type; the order is the empirical hotter/colder relation and nothing else is assumed of it.
  • Heat is positive into the device. Work is the sum of the heats, which is the first law for a cycle; the first law is therefore built into the model rather than stated.
  • A device is recorded only by its heat exchanges. Working substance, the states traversed, quasi-staticity and the internal construction do not appear; "reversible" means exactly that the reversed heat exchange pattern is also realizable.
  • The Clausius statement is formalized for a cycle with zero net work exchanging heat with exactly two reservoirs: that is the article's "without some other change, connected therewith, occurring at the same time".
  • Out of scope for this mission: the Clausius inequality ∮δQ/Tsurr≤0\oint \delta Q/T_{\mathrm{surr}}\le0∮δQ/Tsurr​≤0, the definition of entropy as a state function, Carathéodory's and Planck's formulations, the statistical-mechanical derivations, and the Clausius–Duhem inequality for continua.

Selected references

  • Wikipedia, Second law of thermodynamics, revision oldid=1378607758. https://en.wikipedia.org/w/index.php?title=Second_law_of_thermodynamics&oldid=1378607758
  • S. Carnot, Réflexions sur la puissance motrice du feu, 1824.
  • R. Clausius, Über eine veränderte Form des zweiten Hauptsatzes der mechanischen Wärmetheorie, Annalen der Physik 93 (1854), 481–506.
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