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Information TheoryQuantum InformationStatistics·Captain: mikedeng1

Shadow Tomography of Quantum States 2: Even the Classical Special Case Needs Ω(min{D, log M}/ε²) CopiesResearch Paper

Why the copy count matters

Shadow tomography asks for predictions of many specified measurements of an unknown quantum state, while using as few prepared copies of that state as possible. The requested output is a list of acceptance probabilities, not a full description of the state. A procedure might exploit the fact that these are only MMM numbers, even when the state has dimension DDD. The natural question is how far this saving can go. Aaronson's paper gives upper bounds and separates two sources of difficulty: one already present for ordinary probability distributions, and one arising from noncommuting quantum measurements.

This mission concerns the first source. It formalizes Theorem 16, which says that even when the state and every requested measurement are diagonal in the same basis, the number of copies must grow with min⁡{D,log⁡M}/ε2\min\{D,\log M\}/\varepsilon^2min{D,logM}/ε2 in the relevant asymptotic regime. In that special case, the unknown state is an ordinary distribution on DDD outcomes. The theorem therefore puts a limit on any proposed improvement to shadow tomography that would promise fewer copies in all instances.

States, measurements, and estimates

A mixed state ρ\rhoρ on a DDD-dimensional system is a positive semidefinite D×DD\times DD×D complex matrix with trace one. A two-outcome measurement is represented by an effect EEE satisfying 0⪯E⪯I0\preceq E\preceq I0⪯E⪯I; it accepts ρ\rhoρ with probability Tr⁡(Eρ)\operatorname{Tr}(E\rho)Tr(Eρ). When ρ\rhoρ is diagonal, its diagonal entries are the probabilities of the DDD basis outcomes. When EEE is diagonal too, it specifies a randomized yes-or-no test on those outcomes. These conventions are stated in Section 3 of the paper.

Given effects E1,…,EME_1,\ldots,E_ME1​,…,EM​, a shadow-tomography strategy measures kkk independent copies ρ⊗k\rho^{\otimes k}ρ⊗k and outputs estimates b1,…,bMb_1,\ldots,b_Mb1​,…,bM​. It succeeds on ρ\rhoρ when every estimate differs from Tr⁡(Eiρ)\operatorname{Tr}(E_i\rho)Tr(Ei​ρ) by at most ε\varepsilonε. The lower bound requires success probability at least 2/32/32/3 for every diagonal mixed state. The strategy may make a joint quantum measurement on all copies and may choose its estimates from its observed outcome. This is the same measurement model used in Problem 1.

Formalization targets

Classical special-case lower bound

The goal is the classical clause of Theorem 16. There are absolute constants c>0c>0c>0 and N0N_0N0​ such that, for D≥N0D\ge N_0D≥N0​, log⁡2M≥N0\log_2 M\ge N_0log2​M≥N0​, and 0<ε≤1/60<\varepsilon\le1/60<ε≤1/6, there are MMM diagonal effects with 0/1 entries, corresponding to the known Boolean functions in Section 6.1, for which every strategy successful on all diagonal states must use

k≥c min⁡{D,log⁡2M}ε2.k\ge c\,\frac{\min\{D,\log_2 M\}}{\varepsilon^2}.k≥cε2min{D,log2​M}​.

The hard measurements are chosen before the strategy is quantified. The statement therefore also rules out a strategy with a smaller copy count that works uniformly for all quantum states and measurements. Its constants and threshold express the Ω\OmegaΩ notation in Theorem 16, rather than specifying a numerical optimum.

Supporting targets

Four milestones come from the proof on pages 20–21: the high-probability overlap bound for independently chosen half-size subsets (Eq. (1)); the acceptance probability of a subset under its associated biased distribution; an upper bound on the mutual information between the hidden subset index and the observed samples; and the exact entropy formula with a quadratic entropy deficit. These statements expose the combinatorial and information-theoretic parts of the lower bound while leaving the goal as the paper's copy-complexity result.

What the result supplies

Theorem 16 sets a floor for shadow tomography that survives even when all operators commute. Any uniform copy bound for the full quantum task must respect this floor. The result also distinguishes the difficulty of predicting many properties of a distribution from the extra difficulty possible for noncommuting states and measurements, which the paper treats in a separate lower bound. Section 6 presents both bounds.

A complete formalization would give machine-checked statements and proofs for the finite subset construction, the entropy calculation, the information inequality, and the reduction from a successful quantum measurement procedure on diagonal states to a lower bound on kkk. The theorem is proved on paper; these draft statements are open Lean goals and do not claim that its proof has been machine checked. The finite-distribution and information-theory infrastructure is reusable for other lower bounds based on hidden-index families.

Where the argument is delicate

Counting how many possible measurements there are does not by itself show that samples reveal enough about which distribution generated them. The lower bound needs a quantitative relation between estimation accuracy and information about a hidden index, while each individual sample carries limited information. The paper's printed overlap condition (1) is too weak for the next displayed ε/2\varepsilon/2ε/2 estimate: at its boundary it gives ε\varepsilonε. The milestone preserves Eq. (1) as printed; closing the goal requires the correspondingly sharper overlap fact with N/24N/24N/24, which follows from the same type of concentration statement after adjusting its constant. The printed assertion that learning the index requires mutual information at least log⁡2K\log_2 Klog2​K is also imprecise at success probability 2/32/32/3; a quantitative decoding inequality is needed. Neither incorrect display is a draft milestone.

Formalization scope

Matrices are indexed by Fin D. WildeQIT.IsDensityOperator supplies the mixed-state predicate ρ⪰0\rho\succeq0ρ⪰0 and Tr⁡(ρ)=1\operatorname{Tr}(\rho)=1Tr(ρ)=1. Diagonal states and effects use the standard matrix diagonal predicate. An effect is positive semidefinite together with its complement. The tensor power uses functions Fin k → Fin D as basis indices; at k=0k=0k=0 it is a one-by-one identity matrix. A strategy is a finite-outcome POVM on that tensor power, followed by a real estimate vector for each outcome. The output values are not restricted to [0,1][0,1][0,1]: clipping them to this interval cannot worsen an estimate of a probability. No restriction to classical estimators is placed in the goal; that would change the allowed strategies before the theorem has been proved.

The asymptotic threshold excludes the one-dimensional and single-measurement corners where the claimed rate does not describe the problem. The bound ε≤1/6\varepsilon\le1/6ε≤1/6 keeps the biased distributions used on page 20 nonnegative; ε≥1/2\varepsilon\ge1/2ε≥1/2 would permit a zero-copy constant estimate. Subset milestones require even NNN or explicitly require a half-size subset, so N/2N/2N/2 has its intended meaning. The natural logarithm appears nowhere in the lower-bound rate; entropy, mutual information, and log⁡2M\log_2 Mlog2​M use base two. At zero probability the entropy convention is 0log⁡0=00\log 0=00log0=0.

The finite distributions, entropy, conditional entropy, and mutual information reuse the published WildeQIT definitions. Contributions that prove the four source milestones, establish the sharper overlap fact, or supply the quantitative decoding step are welcome. The goal must retain its order of quantifiers: one hard measurement family, then every strategy, with success demanded on every diagonal state.

Selected references

  • Scott Aaronson, Shadow Tomography of Quantum States, arXiv preprint arXiv:1711.01053v2, 2018. Preprint.
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Machine LearningProbabilityStatistics·Captain: mikedeng1

Stability and Generalization 2: Exponential Generalization Bounds for Uniformly Stable AlgorithmsResearch Paper

Motivation

A learning algorithm is judged by its generalization error: the expected loss of the hypothesis it outputs on a fresh example. That quantity depends on an unknown distribution, so it is estimated from the training data, by the empirical error (the average loss on the training set) or the leave-one-out error (the average loss on each training point of the hypothesis trained without it). Classical learning theory controls the gap between these estimates and the true error uniformly over a hypothesis class, through its VC dimension or covering numbers. Such bounds say nothing useful about algorithms that search very large or infinite-dimensional spaces, such as support vector machines and regularization networks in a reproducing kernel Hilbert space.

Bousquet and Elisseeff (JMLR 2 (2002) 499–526) replaced the capacity of the class by a property of the algorithm, its stability: how much its output changes when one training example is removed. Their exponential bound for uniformly stable algorithms is the starting point of the stability approach to generalization, which was later used for stochastic gradient descent (Hardt, Recht and Singer, 2016) and differential privacy, and sharpened by Feldman and Vondrák (2019) and Bousquet, Klochkov and Zhivotovskiy (2020).

Timeline. Rogers and Wagner (1978) and Devroye and Wagner (1979) bounded the leave-one-out error of local rules such as k-nearest neighbours through their stability. McDiarmid (1989) proved the bounded-differences inequality. Lugosi and Pawlak (1994) combined it with smoothed error estimates. Kearns and Ron (1999) named hypothesis and error stability and related them to the VC dimension. Bousquet and Elisseeff (2002) introduced uniform stability and proved the exponential bounds this mission formalizes.

Setting

Let Z=X×YZ = X \times YZ=X×Y be a measurable space of labelled examples with an unknown probability distribution DDD. A training set S=(z1,…,zm)S = (z_1, \dots, z_m)S=(z1​,…,zm​) is drawn from DmD^mDm. A learning algorithm AAA maps a training set to a hypothesis AS:X→Y′A_S : X \to Y'AS​:X→Y′. It is deterministic and symmetric: it depends on the training set only as a multiset, so it is a function Multiset (X × Y) → (X → Y'), defined for training sets of every size. For a cost ccc, the loss of a hypothesis fff at z=(x,y)z = (x, y)z=(x,y) is ℓ(f,z)=c(f(x),y)\ell(f, z) = c(f(x), y)ℓ(f,z)=c(f(x),y).

Given SSS, write S∖iS^{\setminus i}S∖i for SSS with its iii-th example removed, and SiS^iSi for SSS with ziz_izi​ replaced by an independent draw zi′∼Dz_i' \sim Dzi′​∼D. The three errors are

R=Ez∼D[ℓ(AS,z)],Remp=1m∑i=1mℓ(AS,zi),Rloo=1m∑i=1mℓ(AS∖i,zi).R = \mathbb E_{z \sim D}[\ell(A_S, z)], \qquad R_{\mathrm{emp}} = \frac1m \sum_{i=1}^m \ell(A_S, z_i), \qquad R_{\mathrm{loo}} = \frac1m \sum_{i=1}^m \ell(A_{S^{\setminus i}}, z_i).R=Ez∼D​[ℓ(AS​,z)],Remp​=m1​i=1∑m​ℓ(AS​,zi​),Rloo​=m1​i=1∑m​ℓ(AS∖i​,zi​).

An algorithm has uniform stability β\betaβ at sample size mmm (Definition 6) if for every S∈ZmS \in Z^mS∈Zm, every iii and every z∈Zz \in Zz∈Z,

∣ℓ(AS,z)−ℓ(AS∖i,z)∣≤β.|\ell(A_S, z) - \ell(A_{S^{\setminus i}}, z)| \le \beta .∣ℓ(AS​,z)−ℓ(AS∖i​,z)∣≤β.

As a function of the sample size this constant is written βm\beta_mβm​.

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem 12

If AAA has uniform stability β\betaβ and 0≤ℓ(AS,z)≤M0 \le \ell(A_S, z) \le M0≤ℓ(AS​,z)≤M for all zzz and all training sets SSS, then for every m≥1m \ge 1m≥1 and δ∈(0,1)\delta \in (0,1)δ∈(0,1), each of the following holds, separately, with probability at least 1−δ1 - \delta1−δ over S∼DmS \sim D^mS∼Dm:

R≤Remp+2β+(4mβ+M)ln⁡(1/δ)2m,(11)R \le R_{\mathrm{emp}} + 2\beta + (4m\beta + M)\sqrt{\frac{\ln(1/\delta)}{2m}}, \qquad (11)R≤Remp​+2β+(4mβ+M)2mln(1/δ)​​,(11) R≤Rloo+β+(4mβ+M)ln⁡(1/δ)2m.(12)R \le R_{\mathrm{loo}} + \beta + (4m\beta + M)\sqrt{\frac{\ln(1/\delta)}{2m}}. \qquad (12)R≤Rloo​+β+(4mβ+M)2mln(1/δ)​​.(12)

Milestones

  1. McDiarmid's inequality (Theorem 2): for measurable F:Zm→RF : Z^m \to \mathbb RF:Zm→R with ∣F(S)−F(Si)∣≤ci|F(S) - F(S^i)| \le c_i∣F(S)−F(Si)∣≤ci​, PS[F−ESF≥ϵ]≤e−2ϵ2/∑ici2P_S[F - \mathbb E_S F \ge \epsilon] \le e^{-2\epsilon^2/\sum_i c_i^2}PS​[F−ES​F≥ϵ]≤e−2ϵ2/∑i​ci2​.
  2. Uniform stability β\betaβ implies ∣ℓ(AS,z)−ℓ(ASi,z)∣≤2β|\ell(A_S, z) - \ell(A_{S^i}, z)| \le 2\beta∣ℓ(AS​,z)−ℓ(ASi​,z)∣≤2β (p. 504).
  3. Lemma 7: the bias identities for ES[R−Remp]\mathbb E_S[R - R_{\mathrm{emp}}]ES​[R−Remp​], ES[R(A,S∖i)−Rloo]\mathbb E_S[R(A,S^{\setminus i}) - R_{\mathrm{loo}}]ES​[R(A,S∖i)−Rloo​] and ES[R−Rloo]\mathbb E_S[R - R_{\mathrm{loo}}]ES​[R−Rloo​].
  4. R−RempR - R_{\mathrm{emp}}R−Remp​ and R−RlooR - R_{\mathrm{loo}}R−Rloo​ have bounded differences ci=4β+M/mc_i = 4\beta + M/mci​=4β+M/m.
  5. ES[R−Remp]≤2β\mathbb E_S[R - R_{\mathrm{emp}}] \le 2\betaES​[R−Remp​]≤2β and ES[R−Rloo]≤β\mathbb E_S[R - R_{\mathrm{loo}}] \le \betaES​[R−Rloo​]≤β.
  6. The tail bounds PS[R−Remp>ϵ+2β]≤exp⁡(−2mϵ2/(4mβ+M)2)P_S[R - R_{\mathrm{emp}} > \epsilon + 2\beta] \le \exp(-2m\epsilon^2/(4m\beta+M)^2)PS​[R−Remp​>ϵ+2β]≤exp(−2mϵ2/(4mβ+M)2) and the leave-one-out analogue.

Significance

When β=O(1/m)\beta = O(1/m)β=O(1/m) both bounds are O(1/m)O(1/\sqrt m)O(1/m​), with constants that do not depend on any capacity of the hypothesis space. Later sections of the paper show that Tikhonov regularization in a reproducing kernel Hilbert space has β=O(1/(λm))\beta = O(1/(\lambda m))β=O(1/(λm)), so the theorem gives generalization bounds for support vector regression, kernel ridge regression and, through a smoothed loss, soft-margin classification. The theorem is also the template for later stability bounds: the decomposition into a bias term controlled by stability and a deviation term controlled by a concentration inequality recurs throughout the literature.

The result has been proved since 2002, and replace-one variants appear in textbooks (Mohri, Rostamizadeh and Talwalkar, Foundations of Machine Learning, Theorem 14.2; Shalev-Shwartz and Ben-David, Chapter 13). On Prove2Me the replace-one textbook version is not formalized, and Mathlib at the platform's environment has no McDiarmid inequality. This mission asks for a machine-checked proof of the paper's remove-one version with its exact constants, and a reusable McDiarmid inequality with per-coordinate constants.

Difficulty

The deterministic steps (the bias identity and the bounded-differences estimates) are short on paper. The central difficulty is McDiarmid's inequality itself: it needs a martingale argument along the coordinates of a product measure, or an equivalent tensorization of conditional sub-Gaussian bounds, with the Doob martingale E[F∣z1,…,zk]\mathbb E[F \mid z_1, \dots, z_k]E[F∣z1​,…,zk​] expressed through partial integration over Measure.pi. Hoeffding's inequality for sums, which Mathlib has, does not apply directly: R−RempR - R_{\mathrm{emp}}R−Remp​ is not a sum of independent terms. A second, bookkeeping difficulty is Lemma 7: the identities rest on exchanging ziz_izi​ with zi′z_i'zi′​ and on the symmetry of AAA, which in Lean means measure-preserving coordinate permutations of Dm⊗DD^m \otimes DDm⊗D and multiset equalities such as Si ∖i=S∖iS^{i\,\setminus i} = S^{\setminus i}Si∖i=S∖i.

Formalization scope

Conventions committed to by the Lean statements:

  • An algorithm is a function of a multiset; this is how symmetry is encoded. Samples are Fin m → X × Y, and SiS^iSi is Function.update.
  • The law of SSS is Measure.pi (fun _ => D) with D a probability measure; zi′z_i'zi′​ and zzz are independent draws, integrated against the product (Measure.pi fun _ => D).prod D.
  • The paper's standing assumption that all functions are measurable is one hypothesis: (S,z)↦ℓ(AS,z)(S, z) \mapsto \ell(A_S, z)(S,z)↦ℓ(AS​,z) is measurable for every sample size. With the bound 0≤ℓ(AT,z)≤M0 \le \ell(A_T, z) \le M0≤ℓ(AT​,z)≤M for training sets TTT of every size, every expectation is a genuine integral, so no bound can hold because a non-integrable expectation defaults to 000.
  • Uniform stability quantifies over every sample, every index and every point, not almost every one.
  • "With probability at least 1−δ1 - \delta1−δ" means the DmD^mDm-measure of the failure set is at most δ\deltaδ. The two bounds (11) and (12) are separate statements, joined by a conjunction; they are not claimed for one joint event.
  • The paper assumes βm\beta_mβm​ is non-increasing in mmm and bounds βm−1\beta_{m-1}βm−1​ by βm\beta_mβm​ (p. 504). The leave-one-out bound (12) and its milestones carry the explicit hypothesis of uniform stability β\betaβ at size m−1m-1m−1; the empirical bound (11) does not.
  • McDiarmid's inequality sums ci2c_i^2ci2​ over i=1,…,mi = 1, \dots, mi=1,…,m; the paper's printed upper index nnn is a slip.
  • When a displayed tail bound has a zero denominator, its formal statement uses the limiting bound 000. In McDiarmid's inequality this is the constant-function case; in the stability tails the loss is identically zero.

The stability notion is the paper's remove-one notion. A formalization with replace-one stability would prove a different theorem with different constants, and the published FoundationsML_Stability_UniformlyStable (replace-one) is therefore not used.

The development needs the published loss, empirical-error and generalization-error definitions from Foundations of Machine Learning, a McDiarmid inequality on product measures (reusable for any bounded-differences argument), and the coordinate-exchange lemmas for Measure.pi behind Lemma 7. Contributions of a general McDiarmid inequality, of exchangeability lemmas for product measures, and of proofs of any milestone are welcome.

Selected references

  • O. Bousquet and A. Elisseeff, Stability and Generalization, Journal of Machine Learning Research 2 (2002) 499–526. https://www.jmlr.org/papers/v2/bousquet02a.html
  • C. McDiarmid, On the method of bounded differences, Surveys in Combinatorics, LMS Lecture Note Series 141 (1989) 148–188. https://doi.org/10.1017/CBO9781107359949.008
  • L. Devroye and T. Wagner, Distribution-free performance bounds for potential function rules, IEEE Trans. Inform. Theory 25 (1979) 601–604. https://doi.org/10.1109/TIT.1979.1056087
  • M. Kearns and D. Ron, Algorithmic stability and sanity-check bounds for leave-one-out cross-validation, Neural Computation 11 (1999) 1427–1453. https://doi.org/10.1162/089976699300016304
  • M. Hardt, B. Recht and Y. Singer, Train faster, generalize better: stability of stochastic gradient descent, ICML 2016. https://arxiv.org/abs/1509.01240
  • V. Feldman and J. Vondrák, High probability generalization bounds for uniformly stable algorithms with nearly optimal rate, COLT 2019. https://arxiv.org/abs/1902.10710
  • O. Bousquet, Y. Klochkov and N. Zhivotovskiy, Sharper bounds for uniformly stable algorithms, COLT 2020. https://arxiv.org/abs/1910.07833
  • M. Mohri, A. Rostamizadeh and A. Talwalkar, Foundations of Machine Learning, 2nd ed., MIT Press, 2018, Chapter 14.
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Dynamical SystemsOperations ResearchProbability+1·Captain: mikedeng1

Dynamics of Stochastic Approximation Algorithms 6: An Attractor Whose Basin Meets the Attainable Set Contains the Limit Set with Positive ProbabilityResearch Paper

Motivation

A stochastic approximation algorithm is a recursion xn+1=xn+γn+1(F(xn)+Un+1)x_{n+1}=x_n+\gamma_{n+1}\big(F(x_n)+U_{n+1}\big)xn+1​=xn​+γn+1​(F(xn​)+Un+1​) with decreasing step sizes γn\gamma_nγn​ and a noise term Un+1U_{n+1}Un+1​. Recursions of this form appear in stochastic gradient methods, adaptive control, learning in games (fictitious play, reinforcement learning) and urn models. The ODE method compares the iterates with the solutions of x˙=F(x)\dot x=F(x)x˙=F(x). In Benaïm's lecture notes (Benaïm 1999), the comparison is phrased through the continuous-time interpolated process XXX. Under standard noise conditions, XXX is almost surely an asymptotic pseudotrajectory of the flow of FFF, and its limit set is almost surely internally chain transitive.

That theorem constrains where the process may end up. It does not say which of several candidate sets the process actually reaches. When the ODE has several attractors, for example several stable equilibria of a learning dynamic or several stable compositions of an urn, an application needs to know that each attractor is reached with positive probability. Section 7 of the notes answers this question. The answer is a criterion of attainability: if the process can, with positive probability and at arbitrarily late times, enter the basin of an attractor, then it converges to that attractor with positive probability.

Timeline.

  • Kushner and Clark (1978) proved convergence statements for processes that visit a compact subset of the domain of attraction of an asymptotically stable equilibrium infinitely often.
  • Arthur, Ermoliev and Kaniovski (1983) and Pemantle (1990) studied urn processes whose limit points depend on the trajectory.
  • Benaïm (1997) and Duflo (1997, Random Iterative Models) developed the attainability argument for general stochastic approximation processes.
  • Benaïm (1999) states it for arbitrary attractors of a semiflow on a locally compact metric space, under a single conditional shadowing condition (24).

Setting

Let (M,d)(M,d)(M,d) be a metric space and let Φ=(Φt)t≥0\Phi=(\Phi_t)_{t\ge0}Φ=(Φt​)t≥0​ be a semiflow on MMM: a continuous map (t,x)↦Φt(x)(t,x)\mapsto\Phi_t(x)(t,x)↦Φt​(x) with Φ0=Id\Phi_0=\mathrm{Id}Φ0​=Id and Φt+s=Φt∘Φs\Phi_{t+s}=\Phi_t\circ\Phi_sΦt+s​=Φt​∘Φs​.

  • A set AAA is invariant if Φt(A)=A\Phi_t(A)=AΦt​(A)=A for all t≥0t\ge0t≥0, and positively invariant if Φt(A)⊂A\Phi_t(A)\subset AΦt​(A)⊂A.
  • An attractor is a nonempty compact invariant set AAA with a neighbourhood WWW on which dist⁡(Φtx,A)→0\operatorname{dist}(\Phi_tx,A)\to0dist(Φt​x,A)→0 uniformly. Its basin B(A)B(A)B(A) is the set of points xxx with dist⁡(Φtx,A)→0\operatorname{dist}(\Phi_tx,A)\to0dist(Φt​x,A)→0.
  • A continuous curve X:R+→MX:\mathbb R_+\to MX:R+​→M is an asymptotic pseudotrajectory if sup⁡0≤h≤Td(X(t+h),Φh(X(t)))→0\sup_{0\le h\le T}d(X(t+h),\Phi_h(X(t)))\to0sup0≤h≤T​d(X(t+h),Φh​(X(t)))→0 as t→∞t\to\inftyt→∞, for every T>0T>0T>0.
  • The limit set of XXX is L(X)=⋂t≥0X([t,∞))‾L(X)=\bigcap_{t\ge0}\overline{X([t,\infty))}L(X)=⋂t≥0​X([t,∞))​.
  • For T>0T>0T>0, dX(T)=sup⁡k∈Nd(ΦT(X(kT)),X(kT+T))d_X(T)=\sup_{k\in\mathbb N}d(\Phi_T(X(kT)),X(kT+T))dX​(T)=supk∈N​d(ΦT​(X(kT)),X(kT+T)).

Now let X=(X(t))t≥0X=(X(t))_{t\ge0}X=(X(t))t≥0​ be a process on a probability space (Ω,F,P)(\Omega,\mathcal F,P)(Ω,F,P) with continuous paths in MMM, adapted to a filtration (Ft)t≥0(\mathcal F_t)_{t\ge0}(Ft​)t≥0​. The standing assumption of Section 7 is that for all δ>0\delta>0δ>0, T>0T>0T>0 and t≥0t\ge0t≥0,

P(sup⁡s≥t sup⁡0≤h≤Td(X(s+h),Φh(X(s)))≥δ ∣ Ft)≤w(t,δ,T)(24)P\Big(\sup_{s\ge t}\ \sup_{0\le h\le T}d\big(X(s+h),\Phi_h(X(s))\big)\ge\delta\ \Big|\ \mathcal F_t\Big)\le w(t,\delta,T)\tag{24}P(s≥tsup​ 0≤h≤Tsup​d(X(s+h),Φh​(X(s)))≥δ ​ Ft​)≤w(t,δ,T)(24)

for a function w≥0w\ge0w≥0 with w(t,δ,T)↓0w(t,\delta,T)\downarrow0w(t,δ,T)↓0 as t→∞t\to\inftyt→∞.

A point ppp is attainable if P(∃s≥t:X(s)∈U)>0P(\exists s\ge t: X(s)\in U)>0P(∃s≥t:X(s)∈U)>0 for every t>0t>0t>0 and every open neighbourhood UUU of ppp. Att(X)\mathrm{Att}(X)Att(X) is the set of attainable points.

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem 7.3, first statement

If MMM is locally compact, AAA is an attractor of Φ\PhiΦ, and Att(X)∩B(A)≠∅\mathrm{Att}(X)\cap B(A)\neq\emptysetAtt(X)∩B(A)=∅, then

P(L(X)⊂A)>0.P\big(L(X)\subset A\big)>0 .P(L(X)⊂A)>0.

This statement contains no constants and no rates, so it does not depend on how (24) is quantified for a particular algorithm.

Theorem 7.3, second statement

If UUU is open and relatively compact with U‾⊂B(A)\overline U\subset B(A)U⊂B(A), there are T,δ>0T,\delta>0T,δ>0, depending only on UUU (and on Φ\PhiΦ, AAA), such that for every process satisfying the standing assumption and every t≥0t\ge0t≥0

P(L(X)⊂A)≥(1−w(t,δ,T)) P(∃s≥t: X(s)∈U).P\big(L(X)\subset A\big)\ge\big(1-w(t,\delta,T)\big)\,P\big(\exists s\ge t:\ X(s)\in U\big).P(L(X)⊂A)≥(1−w(t,δ,T))P(∃s≥t: X(s)∈U).

Milestones

  • Lemma 6.8. For a nonempty compact K⊂B(A)K\subset B(A)K⊂B(A) there are T,δ>0T,\delta>0T,δ>0 such that every asymptotic pseudotrajectory with X(0)∈KX(0)\in KX(0)∈K and dX(T)<δd_X(T)<\deltadX​(T)<δ has L(X)⊂AL(X)\subset AL(X)⊂A.
  • Lemma 7.1, in three parts:
    • Att(X)\mathrm{Att}(X)Att(X) is closed;
    • it is positively invariant;
    • it contains L(X)L(X)L(X) almost surely.

Significance

The result. Theorem 7.3 turns a question about the long-run limit of a random process into a question about where the process can go. Attainability is usually checked by a controllability argument: the noise can push the iterates in every direction. For urn processes with an urn function mapping the simplex into its interior, every point is attainable (Example 7.2 of the notes). Then every attractor of the mean ODE is reached with positive probability. Combined with nonconvergence results for unstable sets (Section 9 of the notes), this characterizes the possible limits of many learning and urn processes. Theorem 7.3 is the positive half of that picture.

Formalizing it. The theorem has a published proof (p. 32 of the notes) and no machine-checked version. A formal proof needs the following:

  • a precise reading of the conditional shadowing condition (24) as a conditional expectation of an indicator;
  • the stopping-time decomposition of the event {∃s≥t:X(s)∈U}\{\exists s\ge t: X(s)\in U\}{∃s≥t:X(s)∈U} over dyadic times;
  • the deterministic Lemma 6.8, which rests on the limit set theorem for precompact asymptotic pseudotrajectories (Theorem 5.7 of the notes, the subject of mission 1 of this series).

Difficulty

The obvious argument says: once XXX enters a compact part of the basin, the flow carries it into AAA. That fails because XXX is not a trajectory of the flow. Each window of length TTT adds an error, and errors over infinitely many windows can push the process out of the basin.

Two things are needed instead:

  • A uniform version of the deterministic statement, with TTT and δ\deltaδ fixed in advance from the compact set alone. This is Lemma 6.8, which needs local compactness of MMM and the structure of limit sets of asymptotic pseudotrajectories.
  • A probabilistic step that applies (24) at the random time when XXX first enters UUU. That time is not a stopping time on a continuum, and conditioning at it needs care.

A naive union bound over all times is useless: it does not use the conditional form of (24).

Formalization scope

  • The semiflow is Mathlib's Flow ℝ≥0 M on a metric space; local compactness is LocallyCompactSpace M.
  • The process is X : ℝ≥0 → Ω → M with continuous paths. The paper's alternative of càdlàg paths is not covered.
  • Adaptedness is Borel measurability of X(t)X(t)X(t) with respect to Ft\mathcal F_tFt​, for a Mathlib Filtration ℝ≥0. PPP is a probability measure.
  • The suprema in (24) and in dX(T)d_X(T)dX​(T) are computed in [0,∞][0,\infty][0,∞] with the extended distance, so that "sup ≥δ\ge\delta≥δ" and "sup <δ<\delta<δ" are exact even when the supremum is infinite or not attained.
  • The conditional probability in (24) is the conditional expectation of the indicator of the event. The event is required to be measurable, so the condition cannot hold vacuously through a junk conditional expectation.
  • www is required to be both nonincreasing in ttt and convergent to 000.
  • The events {L(X)⊂A}\{L(X)\subset A\}{L(X)⊂A} and {∃s≥t:X(s)∈U}\{\exists s\ge t: X(s)\in U\}{∃s≥t:X(s)∈U} are measured with PPP as an outer measure, so no measurability hypothesis is added for them.
  • In the second statement of Theorem 7.3, TTT and δ\deltaδ are chosen before the probability space, the process, www and ttt.
  • Invariance in the definition of an attractor is the equality Φt(A)=A\Phi_t(A)=AΦt​(A)=A, not inclusion.
  • The almost-sure clause of Lemma 7.1 is stated for separable MMM. Without separability it cannot be proved in ordinary set theory.

These choices rule out the trivializing formalizations: a conditional-probability hypothesis that holds vacuously, invariance read as inclusion, constants T,δT,\deltaT,δ that depend on the process or on ttt, and a probability bound www without monotonicity.

A complete development needs:

  • limit sets of asymptotic pseudotrajectories and the fact that an internally chain transitive set meeting the basin of an attractor lies in the attractor (shared with missions 1 and 5 of this series);
  • measurability of path functionals of continuous processes;
  • conditioning on events of the form {τ=tn(k)}\{\tau=t_n(k)\}{τ=tn​(k)} at dyadic times.

The first and second are reusable well beyond this mission. Contributions toward either, and alternative proofs of Lemma 6.8, are welcome.

Selected references

  • M. Benaïm, Dynamics of stochastic approximation algorithms, Séminaire de Probabilités XXXIII, Lecture Notes in Mathematics 1709, Springer, 1999, pp. 1–68. https://doi.org/10.1007/BFb0096509
  • M. Benaïm, M. W. Hirsch, Asymptotic pseudotrajectories and chain recurrent flows, with applications, Journal of Dynamics and Differential Equations 8 (1996), 141–176. https://doi.org/10.1007/BF02218617
  • M. Benaïm, Vertex-reinforced random walks and a conjecture of Pemantle, Annals of Probability 25 (1997), 361–392. https://doi.org/10.1214/aop/1024404292
  • M. Duflo, Random Iterative Models, Applications of Mathematics 34, Springer, 1997. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-662-12880-0
  • H. J. Kushner, D. S. Clark, Stochastic Approximation Methods for Constrained and Unconstrained Systems, Springer, 1978. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-1-4684-9352-8
  • C. Conley, Isolated Invariant Sets and the Morse Index, CBMS Regional Conference Series in Mathematics 38, AMS, 1978. https://doi.org/10.1090/cbms/038
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Functional Analysis·Captain: savarin

Sharp diagonal Hlawka constants: lower the cutoff to 89Open Problem

The Hlawka inequality for Schatten ppp-norms is a cousin of the triangle inequality: it relates the norms of three matrices to the norms of their pairwise sums and their total sum. The question is how large a comparison constant is needed to make this inequality hold.

This mission asks whether the best possible constant for complex diagonal matrices, already proved in Lean for every real p≥90p\ge90p≥90, also holds for every real p≥89p\ge89p≥89. This is an open problem: no proof is known. The constant is the one from the foundation mission: the largest comparison constant required by the cyclic family of three 3×33\times33×3 diagonal matrices. Because the cutoff-90 mission already covers every p≥90p\ge90p≥90, the new work is the range from 89 to 90.

The argument for p≥90p\ge90p≥90 was reached by tightening its estimates step by step, starting from 256. With its current choices those estimates stop working below 90, and nobody has yet found a way past that point. It is not known whether 90 is a real limit of the method or only of the choices made so far, so this mission is the smallest test of whether the cutoff can move at all. The accepted proof for p≥90p\ge90p≥90 and its research note are the natural starting point. The goal theorem below gives the exact statement.

This is an open entry in the sharp diagonal Hlawka campaign, which asks for the smallest cutoff at which the same formula holds. Any proof for a cutoff of 89 or lower also settles this mission.

The broader question of optimal constants for Schatten norms appears in Audenaert and Kittaneh’s Problem 7. Extending the sharp diagonal constant to general matrices is a separate challenge.

References

  • K. M. R. Audenaert and F. Kittaneh, Problems and Conjectures in Matrix and Operator Inequalities, arXiv preprint, 2012, §8.2, Problem 7. arXiv:1201.5232
  • Ezzeri Esa, Hlawka–Schatten inequalities: sharp diagonal construction, Lean source repository, 2026, revision 79aa498bfcf7b22bd91d771fb32ec278e2d4704b. Source library
  • Ezzeri Esa and project contributors, The cyclic bound for every real p ≥ 90, research note with appendices and exact certificates, 2026. Research note

Established results on Prove2Me

  • The accepted sharp diagonal bound for every real p ≥ 90.
  • The accepted real coordinate bound for every real p ≥ 90.
  • The accepted diagonal Schatten norm identity.
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Machine LearningNumerical AnalysisOptimization·Captain: mikedeng1

Gradient Convergence in Gradient Methods with Errors I: With Deterministic Errors Proportional to the Stepsize, Either f(x_t) → −∞ or f(x_t) Converges and ∇f(x_t) → 0Research Paper

Motivation

Gradient methods are the workhorse of large-scale nonlinear optimization and of the training of statistical models. In practice the direction actually used is rarely the exact negative gradient: it may be scaled, computed incrementally one data component at a time, or perturbed by approximation error. The classical convergence theory of such methods often assumes that the iterates stay bounded, that the objective is bounded below, or that the errors vanish at a prescribed rate, and these assumptions must then be checked separately for each method.

Bertsekas and Tsitsiklis (2000) proved convergence results for gradient methods with errors that need none of these assumptions. Their deterministic result (Proposition 1) allows a general descent direction together with an error whose size is proportional to the stepsize, and concludes that either the objective values diverge to −∞-\infty−∞ or they converge and the gradients tend to zero. It applies, among others, to the incremental gradient method for a sum of functions (Proposition 2 of the same paper), which underlies backpropagation-style training. The stochastic counterpart (Proposition 3, zero-mean errors) is the subject of a companion mission.

Setting

Throughout, f:Rn→Rf:\mathbb R^n\to\mathbb Rf:Rn→R is a continuously differentiable function whose gradient is Lipschitz continuous: for some constant LLL,

∥∇f(x)−∇f(xˉ)∥≤L∥x−xˉ∥∀x,xˉ∈Rn.(2.1)\|\nabla f(x)-\nabla f(\bar x)\|\le L\|x-\bar x\|\qquad\forall x,\bar x\in\mathbb R^n. \tag{2.1}∥∇f(x)−∇f(xˉ)∥≤L∥x−xˉ∥∀x,xˉ∈Rn.(2.1)

Here ∥⋅∥\|\cdot\|∥⋅∥ is the Euclidean norm and x′yx'yx′y the standard inner product. The gradient method with errors generates a sequence of iterates

xt+1=xt+γt(st+wt),t=0,1,…,x_{t+1}=x_t+\gamma_t(s_t+w_t),\qquad t=0,1,\dots,xt+1​=xt​+γt​(st​+wt​),t=0,1,…,

where γt>0\gamma_t>0γt​>0 is the stepsize, sts_tst​ is a descent direction and wtw_twt​ is an error vector. Nothing is assumed about how sts_tst​ and wtw_twt​ are produced, beyond the two conditions below, which hold for some positive scalars c1,c2,p,qc_1,c_2,p,qc1​,c2​,p,q and every ttt:

c1∥∇f(xt)∥2≤−∇f(xt)′st,∥st∥≤c2(1+∥∇f(xt)∥),(2.2)c_1\|\nabla f(x_t)\|^2\le-\nabla f(x_t)'s_t,\qquad\|s_t\|\le c_2\bigl(1+\|\nabla f(x_t)\|\bigr), \tag{2.2}c1​∥∇f(xt​)∥2≤−∇f(xt​)′st​,∥st​∥≤c2​(1+∥∇f(xt​)∥),(2.2) ∥wt∥≤γt(q+p∥∇f(xt)∥).(2.3)\|w_t\|\le\gamma_t\bigl(q+p\|\nabla f(x_t)\|\bigr). \tag{2.3}∥wt​∥≤γt​(q+p∥∇f(xt​)∥).(2.3)

The stepsizes are diminishing in the standard sense:

∑t=0∞γt=∞,∑t=0∞γt2<∞.\sum_{t=0}^\infty\gamma_t=\infty,\qquad\sum_{t=0}^\infty\gamma_t^2<\infty.t=0∑∞​γt​=∞,t=0∑∞​γt2​<∞.

A stationary point of fff is a point xˉ\bar xxˉ with ∇f(xˉ)=0\nabla f(\bar x)=0∇f(xˉ)=0; a limit point of (xt)(x_t)(xt​) is the limit of some subsequence.

Formalization targets

Goal: Proposition 1 (p. 630)

Under (2.1), (2.2), (2.3) and the stepsize conditions, either

f(xt)→−∞,f(x_t)\to-\infty,f(xt​)→−∞,

or else f(xt)f(x_t)f(xt​) converges to a finite value and

lim⁡t→∞∇f(xt)=0.\lim_{t\to\infty}\nabla f(x_t)=0.t→∞lim​∇f(xt​)=0.

Furthermore, every limit point of (xt)(x_t)(xt​) is a stationary point of fff.

Milestones

The milestones follow the paper's own argument, in order.

  1. Lemma 1 (p. 629). For real sequences with Wt≥0W_t\ge0Wt​≥0, Yt+1≤Yt−Wt+ZtY_{t+1}\le Y_t-W_t+Z_tYt+1​≤Yt​−Wt​+Zt​ and ∑t=0TZt\sum_{t=0}^T Z_t∑t=0T​Zt​ convergent, either Yt→−∞Y_t\to-\inftyYt​→−∞, or YtY_tYt​ converges and ∑tWt<∞\sum_t W_t<\infty∑t​Wt​<∞.
  2. (2.4) (p. 630). Under (2.1), f(x+z)≤f(x)+z′∇f(x)+L2∥z∥2f(x+z)\le f(x)+z'\nabla f(x)+\tfrac L2\|z\|^2f(x+z)≤f(x)+z′∇f(x)+2L​∥z∥2 for all x,zx,zx,z.
  3. (2.5) (p. 631). For some β1,β2>0\beta_1,\beta_2>0β1​,β2​>0 and all sufficiently large ttt, f(xt+1)≤f(xt)−γtβ1∥∇f(xt)∥2+γt2β2f(x_{t+1})\le f(x_t)-\gamma_t\beta_1\|\nabla f(x_t)\|^2+\gamma_t^2\beta_2f(xt+1​)≤f(xt​)−γt​β1​∥∇f(xt​)∥2+γt2​β2​.
  4. (2.6) (p. 631). Either f(xt)→−∞f(x_t)\to-\inftyf(xt​)→−∞, or f(xt)f(x_t)f(xt​) converges and ∑tγt∥∇f(xt)∥2<∞\sum_t\gamma_t\|\nabla f(x_t)\|^2<\infty∑t​γt​∥∇f(xt​)∥2<∞.
  5. After (2.6) (p. 631). If f(xt)↛−∞f(x_t)\not\to-\inftyf(xt​)→−∞, then lim inf⁡t→∞∥∇f(xt)∥=0\liminf_{t\to\infty}\|\nabla f(x_t)\|=0liminft→∞​∥∇f(xt​)∥=0.

Significance

The result. Proposition 1 separates two concerns that are usually entangled: what the method guarantees, and what must be known about fff. It concludes stationarity of all limit points and convergence of the gradients to zero without assuming that the iterates are bounded or that fff is bounded below; when fff is bounded below the first alternative is excluded and ∇f(xt)→0\nabla f(x_t)\to0∇f(xt​)→0 follows outright. Because sts_tst​ need not be the negative gradient and wtw_twt​ need not vanish faster than the stepsize, the result covers scaled gradient methods, incremental gradient methods for sums of functions, and gradient methods with deterministic approximation error. The descent inequality (2.4) and the deterministic supermartingale-type Lemma 1 are standard tools that recur throughout optimization theory.

Formalizing it. The proposition is proved in the paper; it has not been machine-checked. A formal proof would give a reusable, verified convergence theorem for a broad class of first-order methods on Rn\mathbb R^nRn, together with a formal descent lemma for functions with Lipschitz gradient, which Mathlib does not currently state in this form, and a deterministic Robbins–Siegmund-type lemma for sequences.

Difficulty

The summability estimate (2.6) gives only lim inf⁡∥∇f(xt)∥=0\liminf\|\nabla f(x_t)\|=0liminf∥∇f(xt​)∥=0. Passing to lim⁡∇f(xt)=0\lim\nabla f(x_t)=0lim∇f(xt​)=0 is the main step: the obvious argument (a summable series ∑tγt∥∇f(xt)∥2\sum_t\gamma_t\|\nabla f(x_t)\|^2∑t​γt​∥∇f(xt​)∥2 with ∑tγt=∞\sum_t\gamma_t=\infty∑t​γt​=∞ forces the gradient norms to zero) is false in general, because a nonnegative sequence with these two properties may still have infinitely many large terms. What is missing is a bound on how far ∥∇f(xt)∥\|\nabla f(x_t)\|∥∇f(xt​)∥ can travel while the stepsizes are small, and only (2.1) and (2.2)–(2.3) together supply it. A second difficulty is that there is no boundedness of the iterates: every estimate must hold globally, and the error wtw_twt​ is controlled only relative to ∥∇f(xt)∥\|\nabla f(x_t)\|∥∇f(xt​)∥, which may be unbounded along the sequence.

Formalization scope

  • Rn\mathbb R^nRn is EuclideanSpace ℝ (Fin n), x′yx'yx′y is the real inner product ⟪x, y⟫_ℝ, and ∇f\nabla f∇f is Mathlib's gradient f; the hypothesis ContDiff ℝ 1 f makes it the true gradient. The paper's statement is for Rn\mathbb R^nRn and the formalization does not generalize to Hilbert spaces.
  • The standing assumption (2.1) of §2 is part of every statement about fff, as LipschitzWith L (gradient f) with L : ℝ≥0; this is equivalent to (2.1) for some real constant.
  • The sequences xt,st,wtx_t,s_t,w_txt​,st​,wt​ and γt\gamma_tγt​ are arbitrary data indexed from t=0t=0t=0, constrained only by the recursion and by (2.2), (2.3), γt>0\gamma_t>0γt​>0 (all four constants c1,c2,p,qc_1,c_2,p,qc1​,c2​,p,q are positive, as printed).
  • ∑tγt=∞\sum_t\gamma_t=\infty∑t​γt​=∞ is divergence of the partial sums to +∞+\infty+∞; ∑tγt2<∞\sum_t\gamma_t^2<\infty∑t​γt2​<∞ is summability of nonnegative terms. In Lemma 1 the convergence of ∑tZt\sum_t Z_t∑t​Zt​ is convergence of the partial sums, not absolute convergence, since ZtZ_tZt​ may change sign.
  • lim⁡inf⁡\lim\infliminf is written out as "for every ϵ>0\epsilon>0ϵ>0, infinitely often below ϵ\epsilonϵ", avoiding junk values of a lim inf of an unbounded sequence. Limit points are cluster points of the sequence.
  • "Every limit point is stationary" is a separate conjunct, outside the dichotomy, exactly as on the page.
  • The constants β1,β2\beta_1,\beta_2β1​,β2​ in (2.5) are existential. The milestones (2.5) and (2.6) retain the stepsize hypotheses of Proposition 1, where the paper derives them.
  • A trivializing formalization would drop the "−∞-\infty−∞" alternative or require fff bounded below; neither is done. Instances satisfying all hypotheses with f(xt)→−∞f(x_t)\to-\inftyf(xt​)→−∞ and ∇f↛0\nabla f\not\to0∇f→0 exist (a linear fff), so the first alternative is genuinely needed.
  • Out of scope: Proposition 2 (the incremental gradient method of §3), which is a corollary of the goal, and the stochastic results of §4–§5.

Contributions welcome: proofs of the descent lemma and Lemma 1 (both reusable well beyond this mission), and of the steps (2.5)–(2.6) and the excursion argument.

Selected references

  • D. P. Bertsekas and J. N. Tsitsiklis, Gradient Convergence in Gradient Methods with Errors, SIAM Journal on Optimization 10(3):627–642, 2000. https://doi.org/10.1137/S1052623497331063
  • D. P. Bertsekas, Nonlinear Programming, 2nd ed., Athena Scientific, 1999.
  • H. Robbins and D. Siegmund, A convergence theorem for non negative almost supermartingales and some applications, in Optimizing Methods in Statistics, Academic Press, 1971, 233–257. https://doi.org/10.1016/B978-0-12-604550-5.50015-8
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Dynamical SystemsOperations ResearchProbability+1·Captain: mikedeng1

Dynamics of Stochastic Approximation Algorithms 3: Martingale Noise with Bounded q-th Moments and Summable γ_n^(1+q/2) Satisfies Assumption A1 Almost SurelyResearch Paper

Motivation

A stochastic approximation algorithm is a recursion

xn+1−xn=γn+1(F(xn)+Un+1)x_{n+1}-x_n=\gamma_{n+1}\big(F(x_n)+U_{n+1}\big)xn+1​−xn​=γn+1​(F(xn​)+Un+1​)

in Rd\mathbb R^dRd, where FFF is a vector field, γn\gamma_nγn​ are small step sizes and Un+1U_{n+1}Un+1​ is noise. Such recursions go back to Robbins and Monro's root-finding scheme (Robbins–Monro 1951) and underlie stochastic gradient descent, temporal-difference learning, adaptive control and learning in games. The ODE method studies them by comparing the iterates with the trajectories of x˙=F(x)\dot x=F(x)x˙=F(x).

Benaïm's lecture notes (Benaïm 1999) organize the ODE method in two steps. A deterministic step, Proposition 4.1, shows that whenever the noise satisfies a condition called A1 (and the iterates are bounded, or FFF is Lipschitz and bounded on a neighbourhood of them), the interpolated process is an asymptotic pseudotrajectory of the flow of FFF. A probabilistic step then verifies A1 for concrete noise models. This mission formalizes the first such verification, Proposition 4.2: martingale difference noise with bounded qqq-th moments and step sizes with ∑nγn1+q/2<∞\sum_n\gamma_n^{1+q/2}<\infty∑n​γn1+q/2​<∞. The result is described as a particular case of a general theorem of Métivier and Priouret (1987); the same estimates reappear later in the notes.

Setting

Let {γn}n≥1\{\gamma_n\}_{n\ge1}{γn​}n≥1​ be a deterministic sequence with γn≥0\gamma_n\ge0γn​≥0, ∑nγn=∞\sum_n\gamma_n=\infty∑n​γn​=∞ and γn→0\gamma_n\to0γn​→0 (a step sequence). Put τ0=0\tau_0=0τ0​=0, τn=∑i=1nγi\tau_n=\sum_{i=1}^n\gamma_iτn​=∑i=1n​γi​, and let

m(t)=sup⁡{k≥0: t≥τk}m(t)=\sup\{k\ge0:\ t\ge\tau_k\}m(t)=sup{k≥0: t≥τk​}

be the index of the step that contains time t≥0t\ge0t≥0. For a sequence {Un}n≥1\{U_n\}_{n\ge1}{Un​}n≥1​ define the piecewise constant processes Uˉ(t)=Um(t)+1\bar U(t)=U_{m(t)+1}Uˉ(t)=Um(t)+1​ and γˉ(t)=γm(t)+1\bar\gamma(t)=\gamma_{m(t)+1}γˉ​(t)=γm(t)+1​, so that step n+1n+1n+1 occupies the time interval [τn,τn+1)[\tau_n,\tau_{n+1})[τn​,τn+1​) of length γn+1\gamma_{n+1}γn+1​.

Assumption A1 asks that for every T>0T>0T>0

lim⁡n→∞sup⁡{∥∑i=nk−1γi+1Ui+1∥: k=n+1,…,m(τn+T)}=0,\lim_{n\to\infty}\sup\Big\{\Big\|\sum_{i=n}^{k-1}\gamma_{i+1}U_{i+1}\Big\|:\ k=n+1,\dots,m(\tau_n+T)\Big\}=0,n→∞lim​sup{​i=n∑k−1​γi+1​Ui+1​​: k=n+1,…,m(τn​+T)}=0,

or, in the form the notes call equivalent, lim⁡t→∞Δ(t,T)=0\lim_{t\to\infty}\Delta(t,T)=0limt→∞​Δ(t,T)=0 for every T>0T>0T>0, where

Δ(t,T)=sup⁡0≤h≤T∥∫tt+hUˉ(s) ds∥.\Delta(t,T)=\sup_{0\le h\le T}\Big\|\int_t^{t+h}\bar U(s)\,ds\Big\|.Δ(t,T)=0≤h≤Tsup​​∫tt+h​Uˉ(s)ds​.

Let (Ω,F,P)(\Omega,\mathcal F,P)(Ω,F,P) be a probability space with a nondecreasing sequence {Fn}\{\mathcal F_n\}{Fn​} of sub-σ\sigmaσ-algebras, and F:Rd→RdF:\mathbb R^d\to\mathbb R^dF:Rd→Rd continuous. A sequence {xn}\{x_n\}{xn​} given by the recursion above is a Robbins–Monro algorithm if γ\gammaγ is deterministic, UnU_nUn​ is Fn\mathcal F_nFn​-measurable, and E(Un+1∣Fn)=0E(U_{n+1}\mid\mathcal F_n)=0E(Un+1​∣Fn​)=0.

Formalization targets

Goal: Proposition 4.2

For a Robbins–Monro algorithm and some real q≥2q\ge2q≥2, if

sup⁡nE(∥Un+1∥q)<∞and∑nγn1+q/2<∞,\sup_nE\big(\|U_{n+1}\|^q\big)<\infty\qquad\text{and}\qquad\sum_n\gamma_n^{1+q/2}<\infty,nsup​E(∥Un+1​∥q)<∞andn∑​γn1+q/2​<∞,

then with probability one the realised noise sequence satisfies A1, in both of its forms, simultaneously for all T>0T>0T>0.

Milestones

  1. Eq. (13), an instance of Burkholder's inequality with a universal constant CqC_qCq​:
E{sup⁡n<k≤m(τn+T)∥∑i=nk−1γi+1Ui+1∥q}≤Cq E{[∑i=nm(τn+T)−1γi+12∥Ui+1∥2]q/2}.E\Big\{\sup_{n<k\le m(\tau_n+T)}\Big\|\sum_{i=n}^{k-1}\gamma_{i+1}U_{i+1}\Big\|^q\Big\}\le C_q\,E\Big\{\Big[\sum_{i=n}^{m(\tau_n+T)-1}\gamma_{i+1}^2\|U_{i+1}\|^2\Big]^{q/2}\Big\}.E{n<k≤m(τn​+T)sup​​i=n∑k−1​γi+1​Ui+1​​q}≤Cq​E{[i=n∑m(τn​+T)−1​γi+12​∥Ui+1​∥2]q/2}.
  1. Inequality (14), for finite families with αi≥0\alpha_i\ge0αi​≥0, u>1u>1u>1, 0<δ<10<\delta<10<δ<1:
(∑i∣αiβi∣)u≤(∑iαiδu/(u−1))u−1∑iαi(1−δ)u∣βi∣u.\Big(\sum_i|\alpha_i\beta_i|\Big)^u\le\Big(\sum_i\alpha_i^{\delta u/(u-1)}\Big)^{u-1}\sum_i\alpha_i^{(1-\delta)u}|\beta_i|^u.(i∑​∣αi​βi​∣)u≤(i∑​αiδu/(u−1)​)u−1i∑​αi(1−δ)u​∣βi​∣u.
  1. Eq. (16): for every T>0T>0T>0 there is C(q,T)C(q,T)C(q,T) with E(Δ(t,T)q)≤C(q,T)∫tt+Tγˉq/2(s) dsE(\Delta(t,T)^q)\le C(q,T)\int_t^{t+T}\bar\gamma^{q/2}(s)\,dsE(Δ(t,T)q)≤C(q,T)∫tt+T​γˉ​q/2(s)ds for all t≥0t\ge0t≥0.
  2. Eq. (17): ∑k≥0E(Δ(kT,T)q)<∞\sum_{k\ge0}E(\Delta(kT,T)^q)<\infty∑k≥0​E(Δ(kT,T)q)<∞ for every T>0T>0T>0.
  3. Block comparison: Δ(t,T)≤2Δ(kT,T)+Δ((k+1)T,T)\Delta(t,T)\le2\Delta(kT,T)+\Delta((k+1)T,T)Δ(t,T)≤2Δ(kT,T)+Δ((k+1)T,T) for kT≤t<(k+1)TkT\le t<(k+1)TkT≤t<(k+1)T.

Significance

Proposition 4.2 is the standard sufficient condition under which the ODE method applies to stochastic gradient-type recursions with martingale noise. With q=2q=2q=2 it covers step sizes with ∑γn2<∞\sum\gamma_n^2<\infty∑γn2​<∞ (for example γn=1/n\gamma_n=1/nγn​=1/n) and noise with bounded variance; larger qqq trades stronger moment assumptions for slower decay of the steps, down to ∑γn1+q/2<∞\sum\gamma_n^{1+q/2}<\infty∑γn1+q/2​<∞. Combined with Proposition 4.1 it shows that the interpolated process of a Robbins–Monro algorithm with bounded iterates is almost surely an asymptotic pseudotrajectory of the flow of FFF; the limit set theorems of the notes then locate the limit points of the algorithm.

The result is proved in the notes and in the cited literature; it has not, to our knowledge, been machine-checked. A formal proof would supply reusable pieces that Mathlib currently lacks, most notably a Burkholder (or Burkholder–Davis–Gundy) inequality for discrete-time vector martingales in LqL^qLq, and the continuous-time bookkeeping of the step processes Uˉ\bar UUˉ, γˉ\bar\gammaγˉ​ and the noise deviation Δ\DeltaΔ, shared by the other missions of this series.

Difficulty

The obvious argument controls each window by Doob's L2L^2L2 maximal inequality and sums over windows. That works for q=2q=2q=2 only. For q>2q>2q>2 the second moment of the window sums is not summable under ∑γn1+q/2<∞\sum\gamma_n^{1+q/2}<\infty∑γn1+q/2​<∞, and one needs an LqL^qLq maximal inequality whose right-hand side is the q/2q/2q/2-th moment of the square function. That inequality, Burkholder's, is not in Mathlib. Converting the square function into the moment bound requires a Hölder-type inequality with tuned exponents, and passing from the discrete sums to Δ(t,T)\Delta(t,T)Δ(t,T) requires handling partial steps at both ends of [t,t+h][t,t+h][t,t+h]. A second subtlety is that A1 quantifies over all T>0T>0T>0: the almost-sure statement must hold on a single event of full probability for every TTT, not on an event that depends on TTT.

Formalization scope

The space is Rd\mathbb R^dRd as EuclideanSpace ℝ (Fin d); time is real; qqq is a real number with q≥2q\ge2q≥2, and all powers are real powers of nonnegative quantities. The sequences γ\gammaγ and UUU are indexed by N\mathbb NN, and their values at 000 are unused, as the paper indexes them from 111. The filtration is a Mathlib Filtration ℕ, Un+1U_{n+1}Un+1​ is required to be Fn+1\mathcal F_{n+1}Fn+1​-strongly measurable and integrable, and the martingale difference condition is E(Un+1∣Fn)=0E(U_{n+1}\mid\mathcal F_n)=0E(Un+1​∣Fn​)=0 almost surely. Expectations of nonnegative quantities, the suprema in A1 and Δ\DeltaΔ, and the moment bound are taken in [0,∞][0,\infty][0,∞], so no default value of a non-integrable expectation or of an empty supremum can make a statement hold vacuously; the supremum over an empty range of kkk is 000.

The following readings are excluded and are not acceptable formalizations: a moment hypothesis that holds vacuously, a conditional expectation hypothesis on non-integrable noise, the conclusion "for each TTT, A1 holds almost surely" in place of "almost surely, A1 holds for all TTT", and qqq fixed to 222 or restricted to integers.

All hypotheses are satisfiable: U=0U=0U=0, x=0x=0x=0, F=0F=0F=0 and γn=1/n\gamma_n=1/nγn​=1/n with q=2q=2q=2 satisfy every one of them.

Contributions welcome: a general Burkholder inequality for discrete-time martingales in finite-dimensional spaces (reusable well beyond this mission), lemmas on the step processes and Δ\DeltaΔ (measurability, local integrability, additivity), and the proofs of the milestones.

Selected references

  • M. Benaïm, Dynamics of Stochastic Approximation Algorithms, Séminaire de Probabilités XXXIII, Lecture Notes in Mathematics 1709, Springer, 1999, pp. 1–68. https://doi.org/10.1007/BFb0096509
  • M. Benaïm and M. W. Hirsch, Asymptotic pseudotrajectories and chain recurrent flows, with applications, Journal of Dynamics and Differential Equations 8 (1996), 141–176. https://doi.org/10.1007/BF02218617
  • M. Métivier and P. Priouret, Théorèmes de convergence presque sûre pour une classe d'algorithmes stochastiques à pas décroissant, Probability Theory and Related Fields 74 (1987), 403–428.
  • D. L. Burkholder, Distribution function inequalities for martingales, Annals of Probability 1 (1973), 19–42. https://doi.org/10.1214/aop/1176997023
  • D. W. Stroock, Probability Theory: An Analytic View, Cambridge University Press, 1993.
  • H. Robbins and S. Monro, A stochastic approximation method, Annals of Mathematical Statistics 22 (1951), 400–407. https://doi.org/10.1214/aoms/1177729586
  • H. J. Kushner and G. G. Yin, Stochastic Approximation Algorithms and Applications, Springer, 1997.
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Number Theory·Captain: xuanji

The irrationality measure of π is at most 7.606309 (Salikhov 2008)Research Paper

Motivation

The irrationality measure μ(π)\mu(\pi)μ(π) is the supremum of the μ\muμ for which ∣π−p/q∣<q−μ|\pi - p/q| < q^{-\mu}∣π−p/q∣<q−μ has infinitely many rational solutions p/qp/qp/q. Every irrational number has μ≥2\mu \ge 2μ≥2 (Dirichlet), almost every real number has μ=2\mu = 2μ=2, and it is conjectured that μ(π)=2\mu(\pi) = 2μ(π)=2. Known upper bounds:

  • Mahler (1953): 424242, the first proof that π\piπ is not a Liouville number.
  • Mignotte (1974): 20.620.620.6.
  • Chudnovsky (1982): 19.8899944…19.8899944\ldots19.8899944…
  • Rhin–Viola (1993): 14.79707414.79707414.797074.
  • Hata (1993): 8.016045…8.016045\ldots8.016045…
  • Salikhov (2008): 7.606308…7.606308\ldots7.606308…
  • Zeilberger–Zudilin (2020): 7.103205334137…7.103205334137\ldots7.103205334137…, the current record.

The campaign's first proved value is Mahler's 424242. This entry records Salikhov's bound.

Formalization target

The campaign template with the value 7.6063097.6063097.606309 filled in: PiIrrationality.UpperBound (7.606309 : ℝ), i.e. μ(π)≤7.606309\mu(\pi) \le 7.606309μ(π)≤7.606309.

Value. The bound is quoted as 7.606308…7.606308\ldots7.606308… (e.g. by Zeilberger–Zudilin), a truncation. This entry rounds the last digit up to 7.6063097.6063097.606309.

How the bound arises

Salikhov uses integrals of rational functions that are symmetric under a group of transformations (in the spirit of Rhin–Viola), which gives larger arithmetic savings in the common denominators than Hata's construction.

Significance

Each step down the list replaces Mahler's approximations with a sharper family. Formalizing 7.6063097.6063097.606309 would build reusable explicit machinery: integral constructions of rational approximations to π\piπ, bounds on their common denominators via prime-number estimates, and the standard lemma turning a sequence of good approximations into an irrationality-measure bound.

Selected references

  • V. Kh. Salikhov, On the irrationality measure of π\piπ, Russian Math. Surveys 63 (2008), no. 3, 570–572.
  • K. Mahler, On the approximation of π\piπ, Indag. Math. 15 (1953), 30–42.
  • F. Beukers, A rational approach to π\piπ, Nieuw Arch. Wiskd. (5) 1 (2000), 372–379.
  • Source table: https://teorth.github.io/optimizationproblems/constants/7a.html
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Number Theory·Captain: xuanji

The irrationality measure of π is at most 7.103205334138 (Zeilberger–Zudilin 2020)Research Paper

Motivation

The irrationality measure μ(π)\mu(\pi)μ(π) is the supremum of the μ\muμ for which ∣π−p/q∣<q−μ|\pi - p/q| < q^{-\mu}∣π−p/q∣<q−μ has infinitely many rational solutions p/qp/qp/q. Every irrational number has μ≥2\mu \ge 2μ≥2 (Dirichlet), almost every real number has μ=2\mu = 2μ=2, and it is conjectured that μ(π)=2\mu(\pi) = 2μ(π)=2. Known upper bounds:

  • Mahler (1953): 424242, the first proof that π\piπ is not a Liouville number.
  • Mignotte (1974): 20.620.620.6.
  • Chudnovsky (1982): 19.8899944…19.8899944\ldots19.8899944…
  • Rhin–Viola (1993): 14.79707414.79707414.797074.
  • Hata (1993): 8.016045…8.016045\ldots8.016045…
  • Salikhov (2008): 7.606308…7.606308\ldots7.606308…
  • Zeilberger–Zudilin (2020): 7.103205334137…7.103205334137\ldots7.103205334137…, the current record.

The campaign's first proved value is Mahler's 424242. This entry records Zeilberger–Zudilin's bound.

Formalization target

The campaign template with the value 7.1032053341387.1032053341387.103205334138 filled in: PiIrrationality.UpperBound (7.103205334138 : ℝ), i.e. μ(π)≤7.103205334138\mu(\pi) \le 7.103205334138μ(π)≤7.103205334138.

Value. The paper states its bound as 7.103205334137…7.103205334137\ldots7.103205334137…, a truncation. This entry rounds the last digit up to 7.1032053341387.1032053341387.103205334138 so that the goal follows from the published proof.

How the bound arises

Zeilberger and Zudilin modify Salikhov's integrals and use the Almkvist–Zeilberger algorithm (creative telescoping) to find recurrences for them, then optimise the arithmetic and analytic estimates. This is the current record.

Significance

Each step down the list replaces Mahler's approximations with a sharper family. Formalizing 7.1032053341387.1032053341387.103205334138 would build reusable explicit machinery: integral constructions of rational approximations to π\piπ, bounds on their common denominators via prime-number estimates, and the standard lemma turning a sequence of good approximations into an irrationality-measure bound.

Selected references

  • D. Zeilberger, W. Zudilin, The irrationality measure of π\piπ is at most 7.103205334137…7.103205334137\ldots7.103205334137…, Moscow J. Combin. Number Theory 9 (2020), no. 4, 407–419. https://arxiv.org/abs/1912.06345
  • K. Mahler, On the approximation of π\piπ, Indag. Math. 15 (1953), 30–42.
  • F. Beukers, A rational approach to π\piπ, Nieuw Arch. Wiskd. (5) 1 (2000), 372–379.
  • Source table: https://teorth.github.io/optimizationproblems/constants/7a.html
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Number Theory·Captain: xuanji

The irrationality measure of π is at most 8.016046 (Hata 1993)Research Paper

Motivation

The irrationality measure μ(π)\mu(\pi)μ(π) is the supremum of the μ\muμ for which ∣π−p/q∣<q−μ|\pi - p/q| < q^{-\mu}∣π−p/q∣<q−μ has infinitely many rational solutions p/qp/qp/q. Every irrational number has μ≥2\mu \ge 2μ≥2 (Dirichlet), almost every real number has μ=2\mu = 2μ=2, and it is conjectured that μ(π)=2\mu(\pi) = 2μ(π)=2. Known upper bounds:

  • Mahler (1953): 424242, the first proof that π\piπ is not a Liouville number.
  • Mignotte (1974): 20.620.620.6.
  • Chudnovsky (1982): 19.8899944…19.8899944\ldots19.8899944…
  • Rhin–Viola (1993): 14.79707414.79707414.797074.
  • Hata (1993): 8.016045…8.016045\ldots8.016045…
  • Salikhov (2008): 7.606308…7.606308\ldots7.606308…
  • Zeilberger–Zudilin (2020): 7.103205334137…7.103205334137\ldots7.103205334137…, the current record.

The campaign's first proved value is Mahler's 424242. This entry records Hata's bound.

Formalization target

The campaign template with the value 8.0160468.0160468.016046 filled in: PiIrrationality.UpperBound (8.016046 : ℝ), i.e. μ(π)≤8.016046\mu(\pi) \le 8.016046μ(π)≤8.016046.

Value. The paper computes the exponent as 7.016045…+17.016045\ldots + 17.016045…+1 and states the rounded bound 8.01618.01618.0161. This entry rounds the computed value's last digit up to 8.0160468.0160468.016046, which is still below the paper's 8.01618.01618.0161 and above 8.016045…8.016045\ldots8.016045….

How the bound arises

Hata obtains simultaneous approximations to 1,π,log⁡21, \pi, \log 21,π,log2 from complex contour integrals of Legendre type, with extra arithmetic savings from primes that divide the coefficients to a predictable extent. His linear-form measure is 7.016045…7.016045\ldots7.016045…, giving μ(π)≤8.016045…\mu(\pi) \le 8.016045\ldotsμ(π)≤8.016045… (stated in the paper as 8.01618.01618.0161). It stood as the record for about fifteen years.

Significance

Each step down the list replaces Mahler's approximations with a sharper family. Formalizing 8.0160468.0160468.016046 would build reusable explicit machinery: integral constructions of rational approximations to π\piπ, bounds on their common denominators via prime-number estimates, and the standard lemma turning a sequence of good approximations into an irrationality-measure bound.

Selected references

  • M. Hata, Rational approximations to π\piπ and some other numbers, Acta Arith. 63 (1993), no. 4, 335–349. http://matwbn.icm.edu.pl/ksiazki/aa/aa63/aa6344.pdf
  • K. Mahler, On the approximation of π\piπ, Indag. Math. 15 (1953), 30–42.
  • F. Beukers, A rational approach to π\piπ, Nieuw Arch. Wiskd. (5) 1 (2000), 372–379.
  • Source table: https://teorth.github.io/optimizationproblems/constants/7a.html
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Dynamical SystemsOperations ResearchStochastic Systems·Captain: mikedeng1

Dynamics of Stochastic Approximation Algorithms 5: If V(Λ) Has Empty Interior for a Lyapunov Function V, Every Internally Chain Transitive Set Lies in ΛResearch Paper

Motivation

A stochastic approximation algorithm is a recursion xn+1=xn+γn+1(F(xn)+Un+1)x_{n+1}=x_n+\gamma_{n+1}\big(F(x_n)+U_{n+1}\big)xn+1​=xn​+γn+1​(F(xn​)+Un+1​) with decreasing steps γn\gamma_nγn​ and noise UnU_nUn​. Stochastic gradient descent, the Robbins–Monro procedure, reinforcement-learning updates and learning dynamics in games all have this form. The ODE method compares such a recursion with the deterministic dynamics x˙=F(x)\dot x=F(x)x˙=F(x). Benaïm's lecture notes (Séminaire de Probabilités XXXIII, 1999) do this in two steps. First, the limit set of the interpolated process is internally chain transitive for the semiflow of FFF (Theorem 5.7, the subject of mission 1 of this series). Second, internally chain transitive sets are located using properties of the dynamics alone.

The most common tool in the second step is a Lyapounov function: a function that decreases strictly along every trajectory outside a set Λ\LambdaΛ and is constant on Λ\LambdaΛ. Proposition 6.4 of the notes states exactly when such a function forces every internally chain transitive set into Λ\LambdaΛ. It is the step behind the convergence of stochastic gradient algorithms to critical points (Corollary 6.7) and behind convergence results for learning in potential games.

Timeline.

  • Conley (Isolated Invariant Sets and the Morse Index, CBMS 38, 1978) introduced chain recurrence and the attractor–repeller description of it.
  • Benaïm and Hirsch (J. Dyn. Diff. Eq. 8, 1996) identified limit sets of asymptotic pseudotrajectories with internally chain transitive sets.
  • Benaïm (SIAM J. Control Optim. 34, 1996) developed the dynamical-systems approach to stochastic approximation built on these notions.
  • Bowen (J. Differential Equations 18, 1975) characterized chain transitivity by the absence of proper attractors, the content of Proposition 5.3 of the notes.
  • The 1999 notes state the Lyapounov criterion in the form used here, for semiflows on arbitrary metric spaces.

Setting

Let (M,d)(M,d)(M,d) be a metric space, with no compactness or completeness assumed. A semiflow Φ\PhiΦ on MMM is a continuous map R+×M→M\mathbb R_+\times M\to MR+​×M→M, (t,x)↦Φt(x)(t,x)\mapsto\Phi_t(x)(t,x)↦Φt​(x), with Φ0=Id\Phi_0=\mathrm{Id}Φ0​=Id and Φt+s=Φt∘Φs\Phi_{t+s}=\Phi_t\circ\Phi_sΦt+s​=Φt​∘Φs​.

  • A set AAA is invariant if Φt(A)=A\Phi_t(A)=AΦt​(A)=A for every t≥0t\ge0t≥0. For an invariant Λ\LambdaΛ, the restriction Φ∣Λ\Phi|\LambdaΦ∣Λ is the semiflow Φ\PhiΦ acting on Λ\LambdaΛ.
  • For δ,T>0\delta,T>0δ,T>0, a (δ,T)(\delta,T)(δ,T)-pseudo-orbit from aaa to bbb is a list of points y0,…,yky_0,\dots,y_ky0​,…,yk​ (k≥1k\ge1k≥1) and times t0,…,tk−1≥Tt_0,\dots,t_{k-1}\ge Tt0​,…,tk−1​≥T with d(y0,a)<δd(y_0,a)<\deltad(y0​,a)<δ, d(Φtj(yj),yj+1)<δd(\Phi_{t_j}(y_j),y_{j+1})<\deltad(Φtj​​(yj​),yj+1​)<δ for j<kj<kj<k, and yk=by_k=byk​=b.
  • A set LLL is internally chain transitive if it is nonempty, compact and invariant, and for all a,b∈La,b\in La,b∈L and all δ,T>0\delta,T>0δ,T>0 there is a (δ,T)(\delta,T)(δ,T)-pseudo-orbit of Φ∣L\Phi|LΦ∣L, so with every yi∈Ly_i\in Lyi​∈L, from aaa to bbb.
  • An attractor is a nonempty compact invariant set AAA with a neighbourhood WWW on which dist(Φtx,A)→0\mathrm{dist}(\Phi_t x,A)\to0dist(Φt​x,A)→0 uniformly. Its basin is the set of points xxx with dist(Φtx,A)→0\mathrm{dist}(\Phi_t x,A)\to0dist(Φt​x,A)→0.
  • Let Λ⊂M\Lambda\subset MΛ⊂M be compact and invariant. A continuous V:M→RV:M\to\mathbb RV:M→R is a Lyapounov function for Λ\LambdaΛ if t↦V(Φt(x))t\mapsto V(\Phi_t(x))t↦V(Φt​(x)) is constant for x∈Λx\in\Lambdax∈Λ and strictly decreasing for x∉Λx\notin\Lambdax∈/Λ.

Formalization targets

Goal: Proposition 6.4

Let Λ\LambdaΛ be compact invariant and VVV a Lyapounov function for Λ\LambdaΛ, and assume that V(Λ)V(\Lambda)V(Λ) has empty interior in R\mathbb RR. Then for every internally chain transitive set LLL,

L⊂ΛandV∣L is constant.L\subset\Lambda\qquad\text{and}\qquad V|_L\ \text{is constant}.L⊂ΛandV∣L​ is constant.

Milestones

  1. Lemma 5.2. If UUU is open with compact closure and ΦT(U‾)⊂U\Phi_T(\overline U)\subset UΦT​(U)⊂U for some T>0T>0T>0, there is an attractor A⊂UA\subset UA⊂U whose basin contains U‾\overline UU.
  2. Proposition 5.3. For nonempty Λ\LambdaΛ: internally chain transitive   ⟺  \iff⟺ connected and internally chain recurrent   ⟺  \iff⟺ compact invariant, and Φ∣Λ\Phi|\LambdaΦ∣Λ has no proper attractor.
  3. The claim of the proof of 6.4. For LLL internally chain transitive and v∗=inf⁡LVv^*=\inf_L Vv∗=infL​V: L∩Λ≠∅L\cap\Lambda\ne\emptysetL∩Λ=∅ and v∗=inf⁡L∩ΛVv^*=\inf_{L\cap\Lambda}Vv∗=infL∩Λ​V.
  4. The sublevel step of the proof of 6.4. For every c>v∗c>v^*c>v∗ with c∉V(Λ)c\notin V(\Lambda)c∈/V(Λ), V<cV<cV<c on all of LLL.

Significance

The result. Proposition 6.4 converts a statement about real numbers, that V(Λ)V(\Lambda)V(Λ) has empty interior, into a statement about dynamics: the chain recurrent behaviour of Φ\PhiΦ is confined to Λ\LambdaΛ. With Theorem 5.7 it gives the following. If Φ\PhiΦ has such a Lyapounov function, then the limit set of any precompact asymptotic pseudotrajectory, in particular of a bounded stochastic approximation process, lies in Λ\LambdaΛ, and VVV is constant on it. When Λ\LambdaΛ is the set of equilibria and V(Λ)V(\Lambda)V(Λ) is Lebesgue-null by Sard's theorem, this is the convergence of stochastic gradient algorithms to connected sets of critical points (Corollary 6.7). Remark 6.5 gives a flow on the circle with a strict Lyapounov function, where the circle itself is internally chain transitive. So the empty-interior hypothesis cannot be removed.

Formalizing it. The result is proved, in the notes and in the earlier literature. No machine-checked version of chain recurrence for semiflows on metric spaces, Conley's attractor lemma, or Bowen's characterization of chain transitive sets is known to us. The mission therefore adds the following:

  • a formal definition layer for these notions on Mathlib's Flow;
  • formal proofs of Lemma 5.2 and Proposition 5.3, which are reused across this series (missions 1 and 6);
  • the Lyapounov criterion itself.

Difficulty

The obvious argument does not work. It runs: VVV decreases along trajectories, so along an orbit in LLL the value of VVV must settle on Λ\LambdaΛ. But points of an internally chain transitive set are joined only by pseudo-orbits. At each of the kkk jumps, VVV may increase by an amount that is small but not controlled in number, so monotonicity of VVV along true trajectories says nothing directly about LLL. Remark 6.5 shows that the conclusion is genuinely false without a condition on V(Λ)V(\Lambda)V(Λ). The difficulty is therefore global: pseudo-orbits that climb back up VVV through many small jumps must be excluded using information about the restricted semiflow Φ∣L\Phi|LΦ∣L as a whole, not the monotonicity of VVV along single trajectories. Milestones 1 and 2 are the general facts about chain transitive sets that this requires, and their own proofs involve compactness and uniform-continuity estimates over arbitrarily long pseudo-orbits.

Formalization scope

  • Representation. MMM is any MetricSpace, and the semiflow is Flow ℝ≥0 M.
  • Invariance is equality Φt(A)=A\Phi_t(A)=AΦt​(A)=A for every ttt, not inclusion.
  • Pseudo-orbits have at least one trajectory piece (k≥1k\ge1k≥1), times ≥T\ge T≥T, an exact endpoint, and, in the internal notions, all their points in the set.
  • Nonemptiness. Internally chain transitive and internally chain recurrent sets are nonempty by definition. Accordingly, Proposition 5.3 assumes Λ≠∅\Lambda\neq\emptysetΛ=∅ and Lemma 5.2 assumes U≠∅U\neq\emptysetU=∅.
  • Lyapounov function. The predicate contains the standing assumptions of its definition: Λ\LambdaΛ is compact and invariant, VVV is continuous, V(Φtx)=V(x)V(\Phi_t x)=V(x)V(Φt​x)=V(x) on Λ\LambdaΛ, and t↦V(Φtx)t\mapsto V(\Phi_t x)t↦V(Φt​x) is strictly antitone off Λ\LambdaΛ.
  • Empty interior is interior (V '' Λ) = ∅ in R\mathbb RR, not countability, finiteness or measure zero.
  • Infima are stated with IsGLB, not a real sInf.

The following formalizations are trivializing and are excluded:

  • chains with no jumps, under which every point is chain recurrent;
  • invariance as inclusion;
  • a non-strict decrease condition, under which constant functions are Lyapounov functions and the goal is false;
  • chains of Φ\PhiΦ that leave LLL, a strictly weaker notion;
  • quantifying only over limit sets instead of every internally chain transitive set.

A complete development needs elementary facts about ω-limit sets of points of a compact invariant set: they are nonempty, compact and invariant. It also needs the attractor construction A=⋂t≥0⋃s≥tΦs(U)‾A=\bigcap_{t\ge0}\overline{\bigcup_{s\ge t}\Phi_s(U)}A=⋂t≥0​⋃s≥t​Φs​(U)​ and the open sets {y:x↪δ,Ty}\{y: x\hookrightarrow_{\delta,T}y\}{y:x↪δ,T​y} used in Proposition 5.3. These are reusable for any work on Conley theory. Contributions of any of these lemmas, or of proofs of the milestones in any order, are welcome.

Selected references

  • M. Benaïm, Dynamics of Stochastic Approximation Algorithms, Séminaire de Probabilités XXXIII, Lecture Notes in Mathematics 1709, Springer, 1999, pp. 1–68. https://doi.org/10.1007/BFb0096509
  • M. Benaïm, M. W. Hirsch, Asymptotic pseudotrajectories and chain recurrent flows, with applications, J. Dynam. Differential Equations 8 (1996), 141–176. https://doi.org/10.1007/BF02218613
  • M. Benaïm, A dynamical system approach to stochastic approximations, SIAM J. Control Optim. 34 (1996), 437–472. https://doi.org/10.1137/S0363012993253534
  • C. Conley, Isolated Invariant Sets and the Morse Index, CBMS Regional Conference Series in Mathematics 38, AMS, 1978. https://doi.org/10.1090/cbms/038
  • R. Bowen, ω-limit sets for Axiom A diffeomorphisms, J. Differential Equations 18 (1975), 333–339. https://doi.org/10.1016/0022-0396(75)90065-0
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Dynamic ProgrammingMachine LearningMarkov Chain+1·Captain: mikedeng1

Reinforcement Learning: An Introduction IX: Average Reward and the Futility of Discounting in Continuing ProblemsTextbook

Motivation

Reinforcement learning formulates control as maximizing reward accumulated over time. For continuing tasks, where interaction never terminates, the standard textbook objective is the discounted return with a discount rate γ<1\gamma < 1γ<1. Chapter 10 of Sutton and Barto, Reinforcement Learning: An Introduction (2nd ed., MIT Press, 2018), argues that once values are approximated by a function of features rather than stored per state, this objective is the wrong one, and it proposes the average-reward setting, long standard in dynamic programming (Puterman, Markov Decision Processes, 1994), as its replacement.

The central piece of evidence is a short calculation printed in the box The Futility of Discounting in Continuing Problems (p. 254). If one tries to rescue discounting by averaging discounted values over the states the policy actually visits, the resulting objective is a constant multiple of the average reward, so the discount rate has no effect on which policy is preferred. This mission formalizes that calculation together with the definitions of §10.3 that it rests on, and the two exercises of §10.3 that illustrate the differential value (10.13).

Setting

A finite MDP has finite state set S\mathcal SS, finite action set A\mathcal AA, finite reward set R⊂R\mathcal R \subset \mathbb RR⊂R and dynamics p(s′,r∣s,a)p(s', r \mid s, a)p(s′,r∣s,a), a probability distribution over next state and reward for each state–action pair (3.2)–(3.3). Write p(s′∣s,a)=∑rp(s′,r∣s,a)p(s' \mid s, a) = \sum_r p(s', r\mid s,a)p(s′∣s,a)=∑r​p(s′,r∣s,a). A policy π(a∣s)\pi(a \mid s)π(a∣s) is a distribution over actions for each state. It turns the MDP into a Markov chain with transition matrix Pπ(s,s′)=∑aπ(a∣s) p(s′∣s,a)P_\pi(s, s') = \sum_a \pi(a\mid s)\, p(s'\mid s,a)Pπ​(s,s′)=∑a​π(a∣s)p(s′∣s,a) and expected one-step reward rπ(s)=∑aπ(a∣s)∑s′,rp(s′,r∣s,a) rr_\pi(s) = \sum_a \pi(a\mid s)\sum_{s',r} p(s',r\mid s,a)\, rrπ​(s)=∑a​π(a∣s)∑s′,r​p(s′,r∣s,a)r, so that Pr⁡{St=s∣S0=s0}=Pπt(s0,s)\Pr\{S_t = s\mid S_0=s_0\} = P_\pi^t(s_0,s)Pr{St​=s∣S0​=s0​}=Pπt​(s0​,s) and E[Rt+1∣S0=s0]=(Pπtrπ)(s0)\mathbb E[R_{t+1}\mid S_0 = s_0] = (P_\pi^t r_\pi)(s_0)E[Rt+1​∣S0​=s0​]=(Pπt​rπ​)(s0​).

A stationary distribution of π\piπ is a probability vector μ\muμ on S\mathcal SS with

∑sμ(s)∑aπ(a∣s) p(s′∣s,a)=μ(s′)for all s′(10.8).\sum_s \mu(s)\sum_a \pi(a\mid s)\,p(s'\mid s,a) = \mu(s') \quad\text{for all } s' \qquad (10.8).s∑​μ(s)a∑​π(a∣s)p(s′∣s,a)=μ(s′)for all s′(10.8).

The average reward of π\piπ is

r(π)=lim⁡h→∞1h∑t=1hE[Rt∣S0,A0:t−1∼π](10.6),r(π)=∑sμπ(s)∑aπ(a∣s)∑s′,rp(s′,r∣s,a) r(10.7),r(\pi) = \lim_{h\to\infty}\frac1h\sum_{t=1}^h \mathbb E[R_t\mid S_0, A_{0:t-1}\sim\pi] \quad (10.6), \qquad r(\pi) = \sum_s \mu_\pi(s)\sum_a\pi(a\mid s)\sum_{s',r}p(s',r\mid s,a)\,r \quad (10.7),r(π)=h→∞lim​h1​t=1∑h​E[Rt​∣S0​,A0:t−1​∼π](10.6),r(π)=s∑​μπ​(s)a∑​π(a∣s)s′,r∑​p(s′,r∣s,a)r(10.7),

the second form holding when the steady-state distribution μπ(s)=lim⁡t→∞Pr⁡{St=s}\mu_\pi(s) = \lim_{t\to\infty}\Pr\{S_t = s\}μπ​(s)=limt→∞​Pr{St​=s} exists and does not depend on S0S_0S0​ (an ergodic MDP).

The discounted value function is vπγ(s)=Eπ[∑k≥0γkRt+k+1∣St=s]v^\gamma_\pi(s) = \mathbb E_\pi\big[\sum_{k\ge0}\gamma^k R_{t+k+1}\mid S_t = s\big]vπγ​(s)=Eπ​[∑k≥0​γkRt+k+1​∣St​=s], and the objective of the box is

J(π)=∑sμπ(s) vπγ(s).J(\pi) = \sum_s \mu_\pi(s)\, v^\gamma_\pi(s).J(π)=s∑​μπ​(s)vπγ​(s).

Finally, the differential value of a state (10.13) is vπ(s)=lim⁡γ→1lim⁡h→∞∑t=0hγt(Eπ[Rt+1∣S0=s]−r(π))v_\pi(s) = \lim_{\gamma\to1}\lim_{h\to\infty}\sum_{t=0}^h\gamma^t\big(\mathbb E_\pi[R_{t+1}\mid S_0 = s] - r(\pi)\big)vπ​(s)=limγ→1​limh→∞​∑t=0h​γt(Eπ​[Rt+1​∣S0​=s]−r(π)).

Formalization targets

Goal: the futility of discounting

For 0≤γ<10 \le \gamma < 10≤γ<1, every policy π\piπ and every stationary distribution μπ\mu_\piμπ​ of π\piπ,

J(π)=∑sμπ(s) vπγ(s)=11−γ r(π),J(\pi) = \sum_s \mu_\pi(s)\, v^\gamma_\pi(s) = \frac{1}{1-\gamma}\, r(\pi),J(π)=s∑​μπ​(s)vπγ​(s)=1−γ1​r(π),

and therefore, for a fixed γ\gammaγ and policies π,π′\pi, \pi'π,π′ with their own stationary distributions,

J(π)≤J(π′)  ⟺  r(π)≤r(π′).J(\pi) \le J(\pi') \iff r(\pi) \le r(\pi').J(π)≤J(π′)⟺r(π)≤r(π′).

Milestones

  1. (10.6)–(10.7): if Pr⁡{St=s∣S0=s0}→μ(s)\Pr\{S_t = s\mid S_0 = s_0\}\to\mu(s)Pr{St​=s∣S0​=s0​}→μ(s) for all s0,ss_0, ss0​,s, then from every start both lim⁡tE[Rt]\lim_t \mathbb E[R_t]limt​E[Rt​] and the Cesàro limit (10.6) exist and equal the μ\muμ-sum.
  2. (10.8): such a limit μ\muμ is a stationary distribution.
  3. (3.14): vπγv^\gamma_\pivπγ​ satisfies the Bellman equation, the step "(Bellman Eq.)" of the box.
  4. Offset invariance (p. 250): the differential Bellman equations for vπ,qπ,v∗,q∗v_\pi, q_\pi, v_*, q_*vπ​,qπ​,v∗​,q∗​ and the differential TD errors (10.10)–(10.11) are unchanged when all values are shifted by a constant.
  5. Exercise 10.6: for expected rewards 1,0,1,0,…1,0,1,0,\dots1,0,1,0,… from A\mathsf AA and 0,1,0,1,…0,1,0,1,\dots0,1,0,1,… from B\mathsf BB, the average reward is 12\tfrac1221​, the limit (10.7) and a steady-state distribution do not exist, and vπ(A)=14v_\pi(\mathsf A) = \tfrac14vπ​(A)=41​, vπ(B)=−14v_\pi(\mathsf B) = -\tfrac14vπ​(B)=−41​.
  6. Exercise 10.7: in the three-state ring with reward +1+1+1 on arrival in A\mathsf AA, the average reward is 13\tfrac1331​ and the differential values are v(A)=−13v(\mathsf A) = -\tfrac13v(A)=−31​, v(B)=0v(\mathsf B) = 0v(B)=0, v(C)=13v(\mathsf C) = \tfrac13v(C)=31​.

The book prints no answers to Exercises 10.6 and 10.7; the values above were computed for this mission.

Significance

The result itself. The identity shows that the discount rate cannot enter the ranking of policies once performance is measured over the on-policy state distribution: any objective of the form "discounted value averaged over where the policy goes" is the average reward up to a positive factor. The book draws from it the conclusion (p. 253) that γ\gammaγ changes from a problem parameter to a solution-method parameter, and that discounting algorithms with function approximation, which do not optimize this averaged objective, are not guaranteed to optimize average reward either. Milestones 1–2 connect the closed form of r(π)r(\pi)r(π) to its definition as a long-run rate; milestone 4 explains why differential methods determine values only up to an offset; the exercises show that (10.13) gives finite differential values in periodic chains where the differential return (10.9) has no limit.

Formalizing it. The results are classical and elementary, but the book's derivation is informal: it takes the Bellman equation for granted, sums a geometric series of equalities, and leaves implicit which distribution μπ\mu_\piμπ​ is meant and when (10.6) and (10.7) agree. This mission fixes each of those points: vπγv^\gamma_\pivπγ​ is defined from returns, the identity is proved for every stationary distribution, and the ergodicity hypothesis is made the exact limit condition the text states. No machine-checked version of these statements is known to exist; the platform's Markov-chain and average-reward libraries (Puterman's unichain optimality equation, Doeblin convergence) state different results.

Difficulty

The box reads as a chain of equalities, and each individual step is short. The one step that is not algebra is "(Bellman Eq.)": with vπγv^\gamma_\pivπγ​ defined as an expected discounted return, the Bellman equation requires exchanging an infinite sum with a finite expectation and shifting the index of a convergent series, which needs absolute convergence for γ<1\gamma < 1γ<1 and bounded rewards. The final line, which unrolls J=r+γJJ = r + \gamma JJ=r+γJ into a geometric series, is only valid because JJJ is finite. For milestone 1, the book's hypothesis is the existence of an S0S_0S0​-independent limiting distribution, not irreducibility or aperiodicity; replacing it by either would change the statement. The exercises require the iterated limit in (10.13) to be computed explicitly: the inner limit is a periodic series summed in closed form, and the outer limit is a removable singularity at γ=1\gamma = 1γ=1.

Formalization scope

The Lean development lives in the namespace SuttonBartoRL.AverageReward. States, actions and rewards are finite; one action set serves every state; the dynamics are the four-argument p(s′,r∣s,a)p(s', r\mid s,a)p(s′,r∣s,a). Probabilities Pr⁡{St=s∣S0=s0}\Pr\{S_t = s\mid S_0 = s_0\}Pr{St​=s∣S0​=s0​} and E[Rt+1∣S0=s0]\mathbb E[R_{t+1}\mid S_0=s_0]E[Rt+1​∣S0​=s0​] are computed from the matrix powers PπtP_\pi^tPπt​. The discounted value vπγv^\gamma_\pivπγ​ is a real series ∑kγk(Pπkrπ)(s)\sum_k \gamma^k (P_\pi^k r_\pi)(s)∑k​γk(Pπk​rπ​)(s); it is not defined as the solution of the Bellman equation, since that definition would reduce the goal to three lines of algebra. The average reward and JJJ take the state distribution μ\muμ as an explicit argument; the goal holds for every stationary distribution of π\piπ and assumes no ergodicity, which is all the box uses (under ergodicity μπ\mu_\piμπ​ is the unique one). γ=0\gamma = 0γ=0 is allowed. The differential value (10.13) is stated as the existence of both limits with the given value, with γ→1\gamma \to 1γ→1 from below, so no default value of a nonexistent limit can make a statement true. The optimality equations use a nonempty action set. The sum ∑t=1hE[Rt]\sum_{t=1}^h \mathbb E[R_t]∑t=1h​E[Rt​] of (10.6) is written with the index shifted to t=0,…,h−1t = 0,\dots,h-1t=0,…,h−1.

The Lean does not formalize a trajectory probability space: expectations and probabilities are the matrix expressions above, which is what they equal for a Markov chain. The Exercise 10.6 hypothesis constrains expected rewards of one policy, which is all the exercise uses.

Reusable parts: the finite-MDP layer duplicates the one drafted for the other missions of this series and is expected to be merged with it; the Cesàro and stationary-distribution lemmas of milestones 1–2 are general facts about finite Markov chains. Contributions welcome: proofs of any milestone, and a proof of the goal from milestone 3.

Selected references

  • R. S. Sutton, A. G. Barto, Reinforcement Learning: An Introduction, 2nd ed., MIT Press, 2018, ISBN 9780262039246, §§10.3–10.4, pp. 249–254. http://incompleteideas.net/book/the-book-2nd.html
  • M. L. Puterman, Markov Decision Processes: Discrete Stochastic Dynamic Programming, Wiley, 1994. https://doi.org/10.1002/9780470316887
  • S. Mahadevan, "Average reward reinforcement learning: foundations, algorithms, and empirical results", Machine Learning 22, 159–195, 1996. https://doi.org/10.1007/BF00114727
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Convex OptimizationOptimization·Captain: mikedeng1

On Conjugate Convex Functions: Conjugation Is a Symmetric Correspondence Between Lower Semicontinuous Convex FunctionsResearch Paper

Motivation

Convex duality in optimization rests on one transformation: to a convex function fff one associates the function φ(ξ)=sup⁡x(Σxξ−f(x))\varphi(\xi) = \sup_x(\Sigma x\xi - f(x))φ(ξ)=supx​(Σxξ−f(x)), which records, for each slope ξ\xiξ, the best affine lower bound of fff with that slope. Lagrangian duality, the duality theory of linear and conic programming, the analysis of first-order methods through smoothness and strong convexity of conjugates, and the dual representations of risk measures and divergences all read off properties of fff from properties of φ\varphiφ. Each of these uses needs one fact: that the transformation loses no information, so that applying it twice returns fff.

That fact, for functions on Rn\mathbb R^nRn, is the theorem of W. Fenchel's five-page note On conjugate convex functions (Canad. J. Math. 1 (1949) 73–77). Its timeline:

  • 1912. W. H. Young proves the inequality ab≤F(a)+G(b)ab \le F(a) + G(b)ab≤F(a)+G(b) for a pair of mutually inverse increasing functions F′,G′F', G'F′,G′ of one variable (Proc. R. Soc. Lond. A 87, 1912).
  • 1949. Fenchel defines the conjugate of a convex function on a convex subset of Rn\mathbb R^nRn, without any differentiability, and proves that conjugation is a symmetric correspondence on convex functions that are semi-continuous from below and whose domain is closed relative to the function (Fenchel 1949).
  • 1965. J.-J. Moreau develops conjugation for convex functions with values in (−∞,+∞](-\infty, +\infty](−∞,+∞] on a real Hilbert space, together with the proximal map (Bull. SMF 93, 1965); the biconjugation theorem in this generality is called the Fenchel–Moreau theorem.
  • 1970. R. T. Rockafellar's Convex Analysis makes the conjugate the central object of finite-dimensional convex analysis (Princeton, 1970).

Setting

Points of Rn\mathbb R^nRn are x=(x1,…,xn)x = (x_1,\dots,x_n)x=(x1​,…,xn​), and Σxξ=x1ξ1+⋯+xnξn\Sigma x\xi = x_1\xi_1 + \dots + x_n\xi_nΣxξ=x1​ξ1​+⋯+xn​ξn​.

A standing pair (G,f)(G, f)(G,f) consists of a set G⊆RnG \subseteq \mathbb R^nG⊆Rn and a real function fff defined in GGG such that

  1. GGG is nonempty and convex;
  2. fff is convex on GGG: f((1−θ)x′+θx′′)≤(1−θ)f(x′)+θf(x′′)f((1-\theta)x' + \theta x'') \le (1-\theta)f(x') + \theta f(x'')f((1−θ)x′+θx′′)≤(1−θ)f(x′)+θf(x′′) for x′,x′′∈Gx', x'' \in Gx′,x′′∈G, 0<θ<10 < \theta < 10<θ<1;
  3. fff is semi-continuous from below on GGG: lim inf⁡x→x∗, x∈Gf(x)≥f(x∗)\liminf_{x \to x^*,\, x \in G} f(x) \ge f(x^*)liminfx→x∗,x∈G​f(x)≥f(x∗) for x∗∈Gx^* \in Gx∗∈G;
  4. GGG is closed relative to fff: f(x)→+∞f(x) \to +\inftyf(x)→+∞ as x→x∗x \to x^*x→x∗ within GGG, for every boundary point x∗x^*x∗ of GGG not in GGG.

GGG need be neither open, nor closed, nor bounded. The paper writes the lower limit as a "lim" with a bar under it; the milestone texts write it lim⁡x→x∗\lim_{x\to x^*}limx→x∗​, and it always means lim inf⁡\liminfliminf.

The conjugate pair of (G,f)(G, f)(G,f) is

Γ={ξ∈Rn:x↦Σxξ−f(x) is bounded above on G},φ(ξ)=sup⁡x∈G(Σxξ−f(x))(ξ∈Γ).\Gamma = \{\xi \in \mathbb R^n : x \mapsto \Sigma x\xi - f(x) \text{ is bounded above on } G\}, \qquad \varphi(\xi) = \sup_{x \in G}\bigl(\Sigma x\xi - f(x)\bigr)\quad (\xi \in \Gamma).Γ={ξ∈Rn:x↦Σxξ−f(x) is bounded above on G},φ(ξ)=x∈Gsup​(Σxξ−f(x))(ξ∈Γ).

The same construction applied to (Γ,φ)(\Gamma, \varphi)(Γ,φ) gives the pair (G∗,f∗)(G^*, f^*)(G∗,f∗), with f∗(x)=sup⁡ξ∈Γ(Σξx−φ(ξ))f^*(x) = \sup_{\xi\in\Gamma}(\Sigma\xi x - \varphi(\xi))f∗(x)=supξ∈Γ​(Σξx−φ(ξ)). An interior point of GGG is a point of the relative interior of GGG, its interior within its affine hull.

In Lean: IsClosedConvexPair G f, conjDomain G f =Γ= \Gamma=Γ, conjFun G f =φ= \varphi=φ, and (G∗,f∗)(G^*, f^*)(G∗,f∗) is conjDomain (conjDomain G f) (conjFun G f), conjFun (conjDomain G f) (conjFun G f).

Formalization targets

Goal: Fenchel's theorem (§3, p. 75)

For every standing pair (G,f)(G, f)(G,f):

(Γ,φ) is a standing pair,Σxξ≤f(x)+φ(ξ)  (x∈G, ξ∈Γ),(5)(\Gamma,\varphi) \text{ is a standing pair},\qquad \Sigma x\xi \le f(x) + \varphi(\xi)\ \ (x\in G,\ \xi\in\Gamma), \tag{5}(Γ,φ) is a standing pair,Σxξ≤f(x)+φ(ξ)  (x∈G, ξ∈Γ),(5)

with equality for some ξ∈Γ\xi \in \Gammaξ∈Γ at every interior point xxx of GGG;

G∗=G,f∗(x)=f(x)  (x∈G);G^* = G, \qquad f^*(x) = f(x)\ \ (x \in G);G∗=G,f∗(x)=f(x)  (x∈G);

and every standing pair (Γ′,φ′)(\Gamma', \varphi')(Γ′,φ′) whose conjugate pair is (G,f)(G, f)(G,f) equals (Γ,φ)(\Gamma, \varphi)(Γ,φ).

Milestones, in the order of the proof

  1. (5), with no hypothesis on (G,f)(G, f)(G,f).
  2. Γ≠∅\Gamma \ne \emptysetΓ=∅, and φ(ξ)=Σx∘ξ−f(x∘)\varphi(\xi) = \Sigma x^\circ\xi - f(x^\circ)φ(ξ)=Σx∘ξ−f(x∘) for some ξ∈Γ\xi\in\Gammaξ∈Γ at each interior point x∘x^\circx∘.
  3. Γ\GammaΓ and φ\varphiφ are convex.
  4. φ\varphiφ is semi-continuous from below and Γ\GammaΓ is closed relative to φ\varphiφ.
  5. (6): G⊆G∗G \subseteq G^*G⊆G∗ and f∗≤ff^* \le ff∗≤f on GGG.
  6. Two convex functions, semi-continuous from below on GGG and equal at the interior points of GGG, are equal on GGG.
  7. f∗=ff^* = ff∗=f on GGG.
  8. (7): sup⁡ξ∈Γ(Σξx∘−φ(ξ))=∞\sup_{\xi\in\Gamma}(\Sigma\xi x^\circ - \varphi(\xi)) = \inftysupξ∈Γ​(Σξx∘−φ(ξ))=∞ for every x∘∉Gx^\circ \notin Gx∘∈/G.

Significance

The theorem identifies, among convex functions on convex subsets of Rn\mathbb R^nRn, exactly the class on which conjugation is a bijection and an involution. It is the finite-dimensional base case of the Fenchel–Moreau theorem and underlies Fenchel's duality theorem for inf⁡(f−g)\inf(f - g)inf(f−g), the conjugate-based optimality conditions of convex programming, and the inversion of gradients of conjugate differentiable convex functions (the paper's §6, the Legendre transformation). The pair form is also how the result is used in practice: the conjugate of a function finite on a set comes with an explicit domain Γ\GammaΓ, and the theorem says that domain determines and is determined by GGG.

The result has been proved for 75 years. What a formalization adds is the theorem in Fenchel's own form: a real-valued function on an explicit convex domain rather than an extended-real function on all of Rn\mathbb R^nRn, the domain identity G∗=GG^* = GG∗=G together with the identity of values, and the attainment of equality in (5) at relative-interior points. Machine-checked versions of biconjugation exist in other forms: for extended-real functions on Hilbert spaces, for finite convex functions on all of Rn\mathbb R^nRn, and for functions on a set with a closed restricted epigraph over continuous linear functionals. None of them states the domain identity or the attained equality, and none is in the paper's pair form.

Difficulty

Milestones 1, 3, 4 and 5 follow from the definition of the conjugate alone. The content sits in three places.

  • Supporting hyperplanes at relative-interior points. When GGG is lower-dimensional, the topological interior of GGG is empty, and a supporting hyperplane must be produced inside the affine hull of GGG and then extended. Points that are interior to a segment of GGG but on its relative boundary do not suffice.
  • Passing from the interior to the boundary of GGG. Equality f∗=ff^* = ff∗=f at interior points does not by itself give equality at boundary points of GGG; it needs semi-continuity from below of both functions and convexity along segments ending at the boundary point.
  • G∗⊆GG^* \subseteq GG∗⊆G. Points outside the closure of GGG and boundary points of GGG not in GGG behave differently: a boundary point cannot be separated from GGG by a hyperplane, and the inclusion there depends on the condition that GGG be closed relative to fff. Without that condition the inclusion is false: for G=(0,1]G = (0, 1]G=(0,1] and f≡0f \equiv 0f≡0, the point 000 lies in G∗G^*G∗.

Formalization scope

  • Rn\mathbb R^nRn is Fin n → ℝ with its product topology, which is the Euclidean one; Σxξ\Sigma x\xiΣxξ is Mathlib's x ⬝ᵥ ξ. The paper's Σξx\Sigma\xi xΣξx in G∗,f∗G^*, f^*G∗,f∗ is ξ ⬝ᵥ x, equal by commutativity.
  • fff is a total function (Fin n → ℝ) → ℝ, but every hypothesis and conclusion concerns its values on GGG only: ConvexOn ℝ G f, LowerSemicontinuousOn f G, and Tendsto f (𝓝[G] x) atTop for x ∈ closure G \ G.
  • φ\varphiφ is the real sSup, which is 000 on unbounded sets; it is evaluated only on Γ\GammaΓ.
  • Three readings are fixed and disclosed in the goal's Formalization Note:
    • (P1) GGG is nonempty. The paper assumes it tacitly and proves Γ≠∅\Gamma \neq \emptysetΓ=∅.
    • (P2) Interior points are relative-interior points (intrinsicInterior ℝ G). The paper's segment definition makes the equality clause false, and the topological interior makes it vacuous for lower-dimensional GGG.
    • (P3) Uniqueness is stated as the symmetry gives it. The literal "one and only one Γ\GammaΓ, φ\varphiφ with these properties, (5) and equality at interior points" is false: for G=[0,1]G = [0,1]G=[0,1], f≡0f \equiv 0f≡0, the pair Γ′={0}\Gamma' = \{0\}Γ′={0}, φ′(0)=0\varphi'(0) = 0φ′(0)=0 also qualifies.
  • A statement of the goal that asserts only f∗=ff^* = ff∗=f on GGG and drops G∗=GG^* = GG∗=G is a different and much weaker theorem; the goal carries the domain identity.
  • Needed infrastructure: supporting hyperplanes to convex sets at relative-interior points (Mathlib has separation theorems for Fin n → ℝ and the intrinsic interior), affine minorants of convex functions on lower-dimensional domains, and the boundary-limit argument of milestone 6. All of these are reusable beyond this mission. Proofs of any milestone, and alternative routes to the goal, are welcome.

Selected references

  • W. Fenchel, On conjugate convex functions, Canadian Journal of Mathematics 1 (1949), 73–77. https://doi.org/10.4153/CJM-1949-007-x
  • W. H. Young, On classes of summable functions and their Fourier series, Proceedings of the Royal Society of London A 87 (1912), 225–229. https://doi.org/10.1098/rspa.1912.0076
  • J.-J. Moreau, Proximité et dualité dans un espace hilbertien, Bulletin de la Société Mathématique de France 93 (1965), 273–299. https://doi.org/10.24033/bsmf.1625
  • R. T. Rockafellar, Convex Analysis, Princeton University Press, 1970. https://doi.org/10.1515/9781400873173
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Dynamic ProgrammingMarkov ChainOperations Research+1·Captain: mikedeng1

An Inventory Model with Limited Production Capacity and Uncertain Demands I. The Average-Cost Criterion: With Finite Storage a Modified Base-Stock Policy Is Strongly Average-Cost OptimalResearch Paper

Motivation

A manufacturer that makes one product to stock faces random demand, can produce at most bbb units per period, and can store at most UUU units. The classical result without the production limit is that a base-stock policy is optimal: raise inventory to a fixed level yˉ\bar yyˉ​ each period. With a production limit, the natural modification is to produce up to yˉ\bar yyˉ​ when that is possible and to produce at full capacity otherwise. Federgruen and Zipkin (1986) proved that this modified base-stock (critical-number) policy is optimal under the long-run average-cost criterion, for discrete demand with a general convex cost. Production-capacity models of this type are standard in operations management texts, and the result underlies the computational and comparative-static work that followed, starting with Part II of the same paper, which treats discounted costs.

Timeline.

  • 1950s–60s: optimality of base-stock (critical-number) policies for uncapacitated periodic-review models; see Heyman and Sobel's Stochastic Models in Operations Research, Vol. II (1984).
  • 1986: Federgruen and Zipkin, Part I (average cost, MOR 11(2):193–207) and Part II (discounted cost, MOR 11(2):208–215) establish the capacitated case. Part I handles the unbounded state space with a general average-cost theory for countable-state Markov decision processes by Federgruen, Schweitzer and Tijms (1983).

Setting

Time is divided into periods t=0,1,…t = 0, 1, \dotst=0,1,…. The demands D0,D1,…D_0, D_1, \dotsD0​,D1​,… are independent copies of a random variable DDD with values in {0,1,2,… }\{0, 1, 2, \dots\}{0,1,2,…} and probability mass function p(j)p(j)p(j); write μ=E(D)\mu = E(D)μ=E(D) and P(j)=Pr⁡{D≤j}P(j) = \Pr\{D \le j\}P(j)=Pr{D≤j}. At the start of period ttt the inventory is an integer xtx_txt​ (negative values are backorders). The decision maker raises it to

yt∈Y(xt)={y∈Z:xt≤y≤xt+b, y≤U},y_t \in Y(x_t) = \{y \in \mathbb Z : x_t \le y \le x_t + b,\ y \le U\},yt​∈Y(xt​)={y∈Z:xt​≤y≤xt​+b, y≤U},

pays the expected one-period cost G(yt)G(y_t)G(yt​), and demand is subtracted: xt+1=yt−Dtx_{t+1} = y_t - D_txt+1​=yt​−Dt​. The order cost per unit is set to zero, as in the paper; this loses no generality because every policy with finite average cost has the same average order cost.

The standing assumptions are: G≥0G \ge 0G≥0 is convex and G(y)→∞G(y) \to \inftyG(y)→∞ as ∣y∣→∞|y| \to \infty∣y∣→∞ (Assumption 1); the characteristic function of DDD is analytic at the origin (Assumption 2), and 0<μ0 < \mu0<μ; G(y)≤A+B∣y∣ρG(y) \le A + B|y|^\rhoG(y)≤A+B∣y∣ρ for some positive integer ρ\rhoρ (Assumption 3); b>μb > \mub>μ and P(b)<1P(b) < 1P(b)<1 (Assumption 4). The smallest global minimizer of GGG is yˉ∞\bar y^\inftyyˉ​∞, and U≥yˉ∞U \ge \bar y^\inftyU≥yˉ​∞.

A Markov policy is a sequence π=(π0,π1,… )\pi = (\pi_0, \pi_1, \dots)π=(π0​,π1​,…) of maps with πt(x)∈Y(x)\pi_t(x) \in Y(x)πt​(x)∈Y(x). The critical-number policy with critical number yˉ\bar yyˉ​ is δ[yˉ](x)=max⁡(x,min⁡(yˉ,x+b))\delta[\bar y](x) = \max(x, \min(\bar y, x + b))δ[yˉ​](x)=max(x,min(yˉ​,x+b)). A stationary policy δ\deltaδ is strongly optimal with average cost ggg if, from every initial state x≤Ux \le Ux≤U, its average cost t−1E{∑i<tG(yi)}t^{-1}E\{\sum_{i<t} G(y_i)\}t−1E{∑i<t​G(yi​)} converges to ggg, while every Markov policy has lim-inf average cost at least ggg from every initial state.

The analysis uses the operators Rv(y)=G(y)+E v(y−D)Rv(y) = G(y) + E\,v(y - D)Rv(y)=G(y)+Ev(y−D) and Sv(x)=min⁡y∈Y(x)Rv(y)Sv(x) = \min_{y \in Y(x)} Rv(y)Sv(x)=miny∈Y(x)​Rv(y), and the optimality equation

g+v(x)=Sv(x),x≤U.(6)g + v(x) = Sv(x),\qquad x \le U. \tag{6}g+v(x)=Sv(x),x≤U.(6)

For an interval ι=[l,u]\iota = [l, u]ι=[l,u], Hιv(x)H_\iota v(x)Hι​v(x) is the largest expected sum of v(yt)v(y_t)v(yt​), over policies forced to produce at capacity below lll and to produce nothing above uuu, until the inventory first returns to ι\iotaι.

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem 1 (p. 202)

There exist g∗g^*g∗, v∗v^*v∗ and y∗≥yˉ∞y^* \ge \bar y^\inftyy∗≥yˉ​∞ such that (g∗,v∗)(g^*, v^*)(g∗,v∗) solves (6), v∗v^*v∗ is convex with global minimizer y∗y^*y∗, and

δ∗=δ[y∗] is strongly optimal with average cost g∗.\delta^* = \delta[y^*] \text{ is strongly optimal with average cost } g^*.δ∗=δ[y∗] is strongly optimal with average cost g∗.

The y∗y^*y∗ in the optimality claim is the minimizer constructed in part (a).

Milestones

  • Lemma 2(a)–(c) (pp. 196–197): a normal-tail inequality and two series estimates.
  • Lemma 3 (p. 198): if v(x)=O(∣x∣q)v(x) = O(|x|^q)v(x)=O(∣x∣q) then Hιv(x)=O(∣x∣q+3)H_\iota v(x) = O(|x|^{q+3})Hι​v(x)=O(∣x∣q+3).
  • Corollary 1 (p. 200): Hι1=O(∣x∣3)H_\iota 1 = O(|x|^3)Hι​1=O(∣x∣3) and HιG=O(∣x∣ρ+3)H_\iota G = O(|x|^{\rho+3})Hι​G=O(∣x∣ρ+3), both finite.
  • Corollary 2 (p. 201): (t+1)−1P[δ0t]⋯P[δtt](Hι1+HιG)(x)→0(t+1)^{-1}P[\delta_{0t}]\cdots P[\delta_{tt}](H_\iota 1 + H_\iota G)(x) \to 0(t+1)−1P[δ0t​]⋯P[δtt​](Hι​1+Hι​G)(x)→0.
  • Lemma 4 (p. 201): reachability of every state in [L,U−D−][L, U - D_-][L,U−D−​] under some policy that produces at capacity below LLL.
  • Lemma 5 (p. 202): SSS and QQQ preserve the class VVV of convex functions of growth O(∣x∣ρ+3)O(|x|^{\rho+3})O(∣x∣ρ+3) that are nonincreasing below yˉ∞\bar y^\inftyyˉ​∞.

Significance

The result. Theorem 1 reduces an infinite-state average-cost control problem to a one-parameter search over critical numbers. The paper then evaluates the average cost of δ[yˉ]\delta[\bar y]δ[yˉ​] by a renewal formula, proves it convex in yˉ\bar yyˉ​ (Theorem 2), and in §5 extends optimality to unlimited storage. The strong form of optimality matters: it compares with every Markov policy from every starting state, and it compares lim-infs, not only lim-sups.

Formalizing it. The theorem has a published proof, but no machine-checked one, and its proof relies on external results that are themselves unformalized: the countable-state average-cost theory of Federgruen, Schweitzer and Tijms, a fixed-point theorem on a compact convex subset of a product space, and a large-deviation estimate quoted from Feller. A formal development produces reusable infrastructure: expected first-passage sums for integer-valued random walks with a reflecting control, polynomial moment bounds for them, and the convexity-preservation argument for capacitated value iteration.

Difficulty

The state space is unbounded below, so the finite-state theory of average-cost Markov decision processes does not apply, and the one-period cost is unbounded. The obvious approach, letting the discount factor tend to one in the discounted problem, needs uniform bounds on relative value functions. Those bounds come from the expected cost until the inventory returns to a fixed interval, and with capacity limits that expectation must be controlled with growth O(∣x∣ρ+3)O(|x|^{\rho+3})O(∣x∣ρ+3) uniformly over a class of policies. This is the content of Lemma 3, whose proof combines a large-deviation estimate for the demand sums with a renewal-type recursion. A second obstacle is strong optimality: comparing with policies whose lim-inf average cost is smaller requires that the relative value function grows sublinearly along every admissible trajectory (Corollary 2).

Formalization scope

All objects are in the namespace FedergruenZipkin.AvgCost, defined in one file. States x,yx, yx,y and the capacity UUU are integers; demands are natural numbers with a real probability mass function p; bbb is a positive natural number. Convexity on Z\mathbb ZZ is the second-difference inequality. Expectations of a real function are series ∑jp(j) v(y−j)\sum_j p(j)\,v(y-j)∑j​p(j)v(y−j); expected policy costs and hitting sums are [0,∞][0,\infty][0,∞]-valued and need no integrability side condition. Feasibility and all properties of value functions are required only on states x≤Ux \le Ux≤U, which are the only states visited. Assumption 2 is stated literally, as real-analyticity of θ↦∑jp(j)eiθj\theta \mapsto \sum_j p(j)e^{i\theta j}θ↦∑j​p(j)eiθj at 000. The order cost is zero, as in the paper. yˉ∞\bar y^\inftyyˉ​∞ is a parameter characterised as the least minimizer of GGG, not an infimum.

"Strongly optimal" has no displayed definition in the paper; it is read from eq. (7) in the proof of Theorem 1(b): convergence of the average cost of δ∗\delta^*δ∗ to g∗g^*g∗ from every state, together with a lim-inf lower bound for every Markov (memoryless, possibly nonstationary) policy from every state. The class is neither widened to history-dependent policies nor narrowed to stationary ones. The goal additionally records that E v∗(y−D)E\,v^*(y-D)Ev∗(y−D) converges, that v∗v^*v∗ has growth O(∣x∣ρ+3)O(|x|^{\rho+3})O(∣x∣ρ+3), and that g∗≥0g^* \ge 0g∗≥0; all three follow from the paper's proof.

A trivializing reading is ruled out: the existence of ggg, vvv and y∗y^*y∗ is one existential, so y∗y^*y∗ cannot be decoupled from the solution of (6), and strong optimality includes the convergence of δ∗\delta^*δ∗'s own average cost to g∗g^*g∗, so g=0g = 0g=0 does not satisfy it vacuously.

Not posed: Lemma 1 (quoted from Feller, and replaceable by a Chernoff bound); the renewal formulas (10)–(11) and Theorem 2; and §5 (unlimited storage). Useful contributions include a formal theory of expected hitting sums for skip-free-upward random walks, and a proof of Lemma 3 by any route.

Selected references

  • A. Federgruen and P. Zipkin, An Inventory Model with Limited Production Capacity and Uncertain Demands I. The Average-Cost Criterion, Mathematics of Operations Research 11(2):193–207, 1986. https://doi.org/10.1287/moor.11.2.193
  • A. Federgruen and P. Zipkin, An Inventory Model with Limited Production Capacity and Uncertain Demands II. The Discounted-Cost Criterion, Mathematics of Operations Research 11(2):208–215, 1986. https://doi.org/10.1287/moor.11.2.208
  • A. Federgruen, P. J. Schweitzer and H. C. Tijms, Denumerable Undiscounted Semi-Markov Decision Processes with Unbounded Rewards, Mathematics of Operations Research 8(2):298–314, 1983. https://doi.org/10.1287/moor.8.2.298
  • D. P. Heyman and M. J. Sobel, Stochastic Models in Operations Research, Vol. II, McGraw-Hill, 1984.
  • W. Feller, An Introduction to Probability Theory and Its Applications, Vol. II, 2nd ed., Wiley, 1971.
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Convex OptimizationMachine LearningOptimization·Captain: mikedeng1

SAGA: A Fast Incremental Gradient Method With Support for Non-Strongly Convex Composite Objectives II: The 4n/k Rate of the Averaged Iterate without Strong ConvexityResearch Paper

Motivation

Many problems in statistics and machine learning minimize an average of nnn losses, one per data point, plus a regularizer: least squares, logistic regression, and their ℓ1\ell_1ℓ1​- or ℓ2\ell_2ℓ2​-penalized versions. When nnn is large, a full gradient costs nnn component gradients, while stochastic gradient descent, which uses one component per step, needs decreasing step sizes and converges slowly. Incremental gradient methods with variance reduction (SAG, SVRG, SDCA, Finito, MISO) use one component gradient per step but converge at the rate of a full-gradient method.

SAGA (Defazio, Bach and Lacoste-Julien, NIPS 2014, arXiv:1407.0202) is a method of this family. It handles a non-smooth regularizer through its proximal operator, and it comes with a guarantee when the losses are convex but not strongly convex. This mission covers that second guarantee, Theorem 2 of the paper. A companion mission covers the linear rate under strong convexity (Theorem 1, Corollary 1).

Timeline.

  • 2012: SAG (Le Roux, Schmidt and Bach) gives a linear rate for smooth, strongly convex finite sums. Its analysis does not cover a proximal term.
  • 2013: SVRG (Johnson and Zhang) gives a linear rate for the strongly convex case, using periodic full-gradient passes.
  • 2013: SDCA (Shalev-Shwartz and Zhang) works on the dual and needs strong convexity.
  • 2014: Prox-SVRG (Xiao and Zhang, arXiv:1403.4699) extends SVRG to composite objectives. Its key inequality is reused by SAGA's Theorem 2.
  • 2014: SAGA proves both a linear rate under strong convexity and an O(n/k)O(n/k)O(n/k) rate for the averaged iterate under convexity alone, for composite objectives.

Setting

Let d≥0d\ge 0d≥0 and n≥1n\ge 1n≥1. The components f1,…,fn:Rd→Rf_1,\dots,f_n:\mathbb R^d\to\mathbb Rf1​,…,fn​:Rd→R are convex and differentiable, and each gradient fi′f_i'fi′​ is LLL-Lipschitz (L>0L>0L>0). Write

f(x)=1n∑i=1nfi(x),f′(x)=1n∑i=1nfi′(x).f(x)=\frac1n\sum_{i=1}^n f_i(x),\qquad f'(x)=\frac1n\sum_{i=1}^n f_i'(x).f(x)=n1​i=1∑n​fi​(x),f′(x)=n1​i=1∑n​fi′​(x).

The regularizer h:Rd→Rh:\mathbb R^d\to\mathbb Rh:Rd→R is convex but possibly non-differentiable. The objective is the composite function F=f+hF=f+hF=f+h, and x∗x^*x∗ is any minimizer of FFF. Minimizers need not be unique, and f′(x∗)f'(x^*)f′(x∗) need not vanish.

The proximal operator with parameter γ>0\gamma>0γ>0 is

proxγh(y)=arg⁡min⁡x∈Rd{h(x)+12γ∥x−y∥2}.\mathrm{prox}_\gamma^h(y)=\arg\min_{x\in\mathbb R^d}\Big\{h(x)+\frac1{2\gamma}\|x-y\|^2\Big\}.proxγh​(y)=argx∈Rdmin​{h(x)+2γ1​∥x−y∥2}.

SAGA keeps an iterate xkx^kxk and a table of points ϕ1k,…,ϕnk\phi_1^k,\dots,\phi_n^kϕ1k​,…,ϕnk​, initialized as ϕi0=x0\phi_i^0=x^0ϕi0​=x0. At step k+1k+1k+1 it draws an index jjj uniformly from {1,…,n}\{1,\dots,n\}{1,…,n}, independently of the past, and sets

wk+1=xk−γ[fj′(xk)−fj′(ϕjk)+1n∑i=1nfi′(ϕik)],xk+1=proxγh(wk+1).w^{k+1}=x^k-\gamma\Big[f_j'(x^k)-f_j'(\phi_j^k)+\frac1n\sum_{i=1}^n f_i'(\phi_i^k)\Big],\qquad x^{k+1}=\mathrm{prox}_\gamma^h(w^{k+1}).wk+1=xk−γ[fj′​(xk)−fj′​(ϕjk​)+n1​i=1∑n​fi′​(ϕik​)],xk+1=proxγh​(wk+1).

It then sets ϕjk+1=xk\phi_j^{k+1}=x^kϕjk+1​=xk and leaves the other table entries unchanged. The averaged iterate is xˉk=1k∑t=1kxt\bar x^k=\frac1k\sum_{t=1}^k x^txˉk=k1​∑t=1k​xt, which excludes x0x^0x0.

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem 2 (p. 11)

With step size γ=1/(3L)\gamma=1/(3L)γ=1/(3L), for every k≥1k\ge1k≥1,

E[F(xˉk)]−F(x∗)≤4nk[2Ln∥x0−x∗∥2+f(x0)−⟨f′(x∗),x0−x∗⟩−f(x∗)].\mathbb E\big[F(\bar x^k)\big]-F(x^*)\le\frac{4n}{k}\Big[\frac{2L}{n}\|x^0-x^*\|^2+f(x^0)-\langle f'(x^*),x^0-x^*\rangle-f(x^*)\Big].E[F(xˉk)]−F(x∗)≤k4n​[n2L​∥x0−x∗∥2+f(x0)−⟨f′(x∗),x0−x∗⟩−f(x∗)].

The expectation is over the indices j1,…,jkj^1,\dots,j^kj1,…,jk. The constants are those printed in the paper.

Milestones (in attack order)

  1. Lemma 1 (p. 6) is an inner-product bound for averages of μ\muμ-strongly convex functions with LLL-Lipschitz gradients. It is stated for μ≥0\mu\ge0μ≥0, and Theorem 2 uses the case μ=0\mu=0μ=0.
  2. Lemma 2 (p. 7): 1n∑i∥fi′(ϕi)−fi′(x∗)∥2≤2L[1n∑ifi(ϕi)−f(x∗)−1n∑i⟨fi′(x∗),ϕi−x∗⟩]\frac1n\sum_i\|f_i'(\phi_i)-f_i'(x^*)\|^2\le 2L\big[\frac1n\sum_i f_i(\phi_i)-f(x^*)-\frac1n\sum_i\langle f_i'(x^*),\phi_i-x^*\rangle\big]n1​∑i​∥fi′​(ϕi​)−fi′​(x∗)∥2≤2L[n1​∑i​fi​(ϕi​)−f(x∗)−n1​∑i​⟨fi′​(x∗),ϕi​−x∗⟩].
  3. The bound on Δ\DeltaΔ (p. 12). Write Δ=−1γ(wk+1−xk)−f′(xk)\Delta=-\frac1\gamma(w^{k+1}-x^k)-f'(x^k)Δ=−γ1​(wk+1−xk)−f′(xk) for the gradient error. For every β>0\beta>0β>0, E∥Δ∥2≤(1+β−1)E∥fj′(ϕjk)−fj′(x∗)∥2+(1+β)E∥fj′(xk)−fj′(x∗)∥2\mathbb E\|\Delta\|^2\le(1+\beta^{-1})\mathbb E\|f_j'(\phi_j^k)-f_j'(x^*)\|^2+(1+\beta)\mathbb E\|f_j'(x^k)-f_j'(x^*)\|^2E∥Δ∥2≤(1+β−1)E∥fj′​(ϕjk​)−fj′​(x∗)∥2+(1+β)E∥fj′​(xk)−fj′​(x∗)∥2.
  4. The prox-SVRG inequality (p. 12): αE∥xk+1−x∗∥2≤α∥xk−x∗∥2−2αγE[F(xk+1)−F(x∗)]+2αγ2E∥Δ∥2\alpha\mathbb E\|x^{k+1}-x^*\|^2\le\alpha\|x^k-x^*\|^2-2\alpha\gamma\mathbb E[F(x^{k+1})-F(x^*)]+2\alpha\gamma^2\mathbb E\|\Delta\|^2αE∥xk+1−x∗∥2≤α∥xk−x∗∥2−2αγE[F(xk+1)−F(x∗)]+2αγ2E∥Δ∥2.
  5. The one-step Lyapunov decrease (p. 12): E[Tk+1]−Tk≤−14nE[F(xk+1)−F(x∗)]\mathbb E[T^{k+1}]-T^k\le-\frac1{4n}\mathbb E[F(x^{k+1})-F(x^*)]E[Tk+1]−Tk≤−4n1​E[F(xk+1)−F(x∗)]. Here T(x,ϕ)=1n∑ifi(ϕi)−f(x∗)−1n∑i⟨fi′(x∗),ϕi−x∗⟩+(c+α)∥x−x∗∥2T(x,\phi)=\frac1n\sum_i f_i(\phi_i)-f(x^*)-\frac1n\sum_i\langle f_i'(x^*),\phi_i-x^*\rangle+(c+\alpha)\|x-x^*\|^2T(x,ϕ)=n1​∑i​fi​(ϕi​)−f(x∗)−n1​∑i​⟨fi′​(x∗),ϕi​−x∗⟩+(c+α)∥x−x∗∥2, with c=3L2nc=\frac{3L}{2n}c=2n3L​ and α=3L8n\alpha=\frac{3L}{8n}α=8n3L​.

In milestones 3–5, E\mathbb EE is the expectation over the single index jjj of the next step, given the current state.

Significance

The result. Theorem 2 shows that one method, with a step size that depends only on LLL, covers composite problems that are not strongly convex. Examples are ℓ1\ell_1ℓ1​-regularized least squares and logistic regression without a ridge term. On these problems the method converges in expected objective value at rate O(n/k)O(n/k)O(n/k). SAG has no proximal analysis, and SDCA requires strong convexity. With the same step size 1/(3L)1/(3L)1/(3L), the paper also states adaptivity to strong convexity, so no strong convexity constant has to be known in advance. The bound is in terms of T0T^0T0, a quantity computable from the starting point.

Formalizing it. The result is proved on paper, but the proof is not self-contained. Its central inequality (milestone 4) is quoted from the prox-SVRG analysis of Xiao and Zhang, with only the remark that their argument uses E[Δ]=0\mathbb E[\Delta]=0E[Δ]=0. A machine-checked proof must therefore reconstruct that argument for SAGA's estimator. To our knowledge, no machine-checked proof of SAGA, SVRG or prox-SVRG exists in Lean or Mathlib. The mission also produces reusable statements about convex functions with Lipschitz gradients (Lemmas 1 and 2) and an explicit finite model of a randomized incremental method.

Difficulty

The naive approach applies the non-expansiveness of the proximal operator to ∥xk+1−x∗∥2\|x^{k+1}-x^*\|^2∥xk+1−x∗∥2, as in the strongly convex proof. That bounds distances, but it produces no term in F(xk+1)−F(x∗)F(x^{k+1})-F(x^*)F(xk+1)−F(x∗). Without strong convexity, the distance terms cannot be traded for function values, so the argument yields no rate.

The function-value term comes from the prox-SVRG inequality (milestone 4), which the paper does not prove. Its difficulty is that xk+1x^{k+1}xk+1 depends on the same random index as Δ\DeltaΔ, so the cross term between them does not vanish in expectation even though E[Δ]=0\mathbb E[\Delta]=0E[Δ]=0. A second difficulty is bookkeeping: wk+1w^{k+1}wk+1 uses the old table, the table entry jjj receives xkx^kxk and not xk+1x^{k+1}xk+1, and the constants must make three coefficients vanish exactly. A final step converts the bound on 1k∑tE[F(xt)]\frac1k\sum_t\mathbb E[F(x^t)]k1​∑t​E[F(xt)] into a bound on E[F(xˉk)]\mathbb E[F(\bar x^k)]E[F(xˉk)], which requires Jensen's inequality for the convex FFF.

Formalization scope

  • Space and indices. Points live in EuclideanSpace ℝ (Fin d). Components are indexed by Fin n (0-based), with n≥1n\ge1n≥1.
  • Gradients and smoothness. The gradients are given maps f' with HasGradientAt (f i) (f' i x) x at every point. Smoothness is the Lipschitz bound ∥fi′(x)−fi′(y)∥≤L∥x−y∥\|f_i'(x)-f_i'(y)\|\le L\|x-y\|∥fi′​(x)−fi′​(y)∥≤L∥x−y∥.
  • Convexity. Convexity is ConvexOn ℝ Set.univ. Lemma 1 uses StrongConvexOn Set.univ μ, whose modulus μ2∥x−y∥2\frac\mu2\|x-y\|^22μ​∥x−y∥2 is the paper's.
  • The regularizer. hhh is real-valued and convex. Extended-valued regularizers such as indicator functions are outside the statement.
  • The proximal map. The proximal operator enters as any map PPP such that P(y)P(y)P(y) minimizes h(z)+12γ∥z−y∥2h(z)+\frac1{2\gamma}\|z-y\|^2h(z)+2γ1​∥z−y∥2 for every yyy. For convex hhh this determines P=proxγhP=\mathrm{prox}_\gamma^hP=proxγh​.
  • State and expectation. The state is the pair (xk,ϕk)(x^k,\phi^k)(xk,ϕk). The expectation over kkk steps is the uniform average over the nkn^knk index sequences, which is exactly the law of kkk independent uniform indices.

Two trivializations are excluded. The averaged-iterate bound carries k≥1k\ge1k≥1, since at k=0k=0k=0 the factor 4n/k4n/k4n/k collapses to 000. The left side is FFF evaluated at the averaged point, not the average of F(xt)F(x^t)F(xt), which is a weaker intermediate step.

A complete development needs the descent lemma and co-coercivity for convex functions with Lipschitz gradients, the characterization and non-expansiveness of the proximal operator, and finite-sum manipulations over index sequences. The lemmas on smooth convex functions and on proximal operators are reusable beyond this mission. Contributions are welcome at every level: proofs of the milestones, a reusable proximal-operator library, and the telescoping argument for the goal.

Selected references

  • A. Defazio, F. Bach, S. Lacoste-Julien, SAGA: A Fast Incremental Gradient Method With Support for Non-Strongly Convex Composite Objectives, NIPS 2014. arXiv:1407.0202
  • L. Xiao, T. Zhang, A Proximal Stochastic Gradient Method with Progressive Variance Reduction, SIAM J. Optim. 24(4), 2014. arXiv:1403.4699
  • N. Le Roux, M. Schmidt, F. Bach, A Stochastic Gradient Method with an Exponential Convergence Rate for Finite Training Sets, NIPS 2012. arXiv:1202.6258
  • R. Johnson, T. Zhang, Accelerating Stochastic Gradient Descent using Predictive Variance Reduction, NIPS 2013. NeurIPS proceedings
  • S. Shalev-Shwartz, T. Zhang, Stochastic Dual Coordinate Ascent Methods for Regularized Loss Minimization, JMLR 14, 2013. arXiv:1209.1873
  • Y. Nesterov, Introductory Lectures on Convex Optimization, Kluwer, 2004. doi:10.1007/978-1-4419-8853-9
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Convex OptimizationOperations ResearchOptimization+1·Captain: mikedeng1

Twice Regularized MDPs and the Equivalence Between Robustness and Regularization 1: The Robust Value Function Is the Optimum of a Policy- and Value-Regularized Convex ProgramResearch Paper

Motivation

A Markov decision process (MDP) is solved for one model of its dynamics and rewards, but in practice that model is estimated from data, and a policy that is optimal for the estimate can perform poorly on the true system (Mannor et al., 2007). Robust MDPs address this by evaluating a policy against the worst model in an uncertainty set U\mathcal UU (Iyengar, 2005; Nilim and El Ghaoui, 2005; Wiesemann, Kuhn and Rustem, 2013). Robust planning, however, solves an inner optimization over U\mathcal UU at every Bellman update, which is expensive and does not scale to learning settings.

A separate line of work regularizes the policy (entropy, KL, Tsallis penalties) and observes empirically that regularized policies are robust to perturbations (Geist, Scherrer and Pietquin, 2019). Derman, Geist and Mannor (arXiv:2110.06267, NeurIPS 2021) make this precise: for uncertainty sets centred at a nominal model, the robust value function is the solution of a regularized problem posed on the nominal model alone, with a regularizer that is the support function of the uncertainty set. This mission formalizes that equivalence: Proposition 3.1, Theorem 3.1 and Theorem 4.1 of the paper.

Setting

Let S\mathcal SS and A\mathcal AA be finite sets of states and actions, A\mathcal AA nonempty, and X:=S×A\mathcal X := \mathcal S\times\mathcal AX:=S×A. Fix a discount factor γ∈(0,1)\gamma\in(0,1)γ∈(0,1) and a strictly positive initial distribution μ0∈ΔS\mu_0\in\Delta_{\mathcal S}μ0​∈ΔS​. A transition kernel PPP assigns to every pair (s,a)(s,a)(s,a) a probability distribution P(⋅∣s,a)P(\cdot\mid s,a)P(⋅∣s,a) on S\mathcal SS; a reward is r∈RXr\in\mathbb R^{\mathcal X}r∈RX. A policy π∈ΔAS\pi\in\Delta_{\mathcal A}^{\mathcal S}π∈ΔAS​ assigns to every state an action distribution πs\pi_sπs​.

For v∈RSv\in\mathbb R^{\mathcal S}v∈RS write rπ(s)=∑aπs(a)r(s,a)r^\pi(s) = \sum_a\pi_s(a)r(s,a)rπ(s)=∑a​πs​(a)r(s,a), Pπ(s′∣s)=∑aπs(a)P(s′∣s,a)P^\pi(s'\mid s) = \sum_a\pi_s(a)P(s'\mid s,a)Pπ(s′∣s)=∑a​πs​(a)P(s′∣s,a), and define the evaluation Bellman operator

T(P,r)πv:=rπ+γPπv.T^\pi_{(P,r)}v := r^\pi + \gamma P^\pi v .T(P,r)π​v:=rπ+γPπv.

The inner product on RS\mathbb R^{\mathcal S}RS is ⟨v,μ⟩=∑sv(s)μ(s)\langle v,\mu\rangle = \sum_s v(s)\mu(s)⟨v,μ⟩=∑s​v(s)μ(s), and the support function of a set C⊆RιC\subseteq\mathbb R^{\iota}C⊆Rι is σC(y)=max⁡a∈C⟨a,y⟩\sigma_C(y) = \max_{a\in C}\langle a,y\rangleσC​(y)=maxa∈C​⟨a,y⟩.

Given a set U\mathcal UU of models (P,r)(P,r)(P,r), the robust Bellman operator is

[Tπ,Uv](s):=min⁡(P,r)∈UT(P,r)πv(s),[T^{\pi,\mathcal U}v](s) := \min_{(P,r)\in\mathcal U}T^\pi_{(P,r)}v(s),[Tπ,Uv](s):=(P,r)∈Umin​T(P,r)π​v(s),

and the robust value function vπ,Uv^{\pi,\mathcal U}vπ,U is its fixed point. Around a nominal model (P0,r0)(P_0,r_0)(P0​,r0​), an s-rectangular uncertainty set U=(P0+P)×(r0+R)\mathcal U = (P_0+\mathcal P)\times(r_0+\mathcal R)U=(P0​+P)×(r0​+R) is given by sets Ps⊆RX\mathcal P_s\subseteq\mathbb R^{\mathcal X}Ps​⊆RX and Rs⊆RA\mathcal R_s\subseteq\mathbb R^{\mathcal A}Rs​⊆RA, one per state: its models are P(s′∣s,a)=P0(s′∣s,a)+Ps(s′,a)P(s'\mid s,a) = P_0(s'\mid s,a)+P_s(s',a)P(s′∣s,a)=P0​(s′∣s,a)+Ps​(s′,a) and r(s,a)=r0(s,a)+rs(a)r(s,a) = r_0(s,a)+r_s(a)r(s,a)=r0​(s,a)+rs​(a), with Ps∈PsP_s\in\mathcal P_sPs​∈Ps​ and rs∈Rsr_s\in\mathcal R_srs​∈Rs​ chosen independently for each sss. Finally [v⋅πs](s′,a):=v(s′)πs(a)[v\cdot\pi_s](s',a) := v(s')\pi_s(a)[v⋅πs​](s′,a):=v(s′)πs​(a).

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem 4.1 (general robust MDP)

For U=(P0+P)×(r0+R)\mathcal U = (P_0+\mathcal P)\times(r_0+\mathcal R)U=(P0​+P)×(r0​+R) and every policy π\piπ, Tπ,UT^{\pi,\mathcal U}Tπ,U has a unique fixed point vπ,Uv^{\pi,\mathcal U}vπ,U, and it is the optimal solution of

max⁡v∈RS⟨v,μ0⟩s.t.v(s)≤T(P0,r0)πv(s)−σRs(−πs)−σPs(−γv⋅πs)∀s∈S.(2)\max_{v\in\mathbb R^{\mathcal S}}\langle v,\mu_0\rangle\quad\text{s.t.}\quad v(s)\le T^\pi_{(P_0,r_0)}v(s)-\sigma_{\mathcal R_s}(-\pi_s)-\sigma_{\mathcal P_s}(-\gamma v\cdot\pi_s)\quad\forall s\in\mathcal S. \tag{2}v∈RSmax​⟨v,μ0​⟩s.t.v(s)≤T(P0​,r0​)π​v(s)−σRs​​(−πs​)−σPs​​(−γv⋅πs​)∀s∈S.(2)

Milestones

  1. Proposition 3.1. For any uncertainty set U=P×R\mathcal U = \mathcal P\times\mathcal RU=P×R with P\mathcal PP a nonempty compact set of kernels and R\mathcal RR a nonempty compact set of rewards, vπ,Uv^{\pi,\mathcal U}vπ,U is the optimal solution of the robust program \max_{v}\langle v,\mu_0\rangle\quad\text{s.t.}\quad v\le T^\pi_{(P,r)}v\ \ \forall(P,r)\in\mathcal U. \tag{$P_{\mathcal U}$}
  2. Theorem 3.1. For U={P0}×(r0+R)\mathcal U=\{P_0\}\times(r_0+\mathcal R)U={P0​}×(r0​+R), vπ,Uv^{\pi,\mathcal U}vπ,U is the optimal solution of max⁡v⟨v,μ0⟩\max_v\langle v,\mu_0\ranglemaxv​⟨v,μ0​⟩ s.t. v(s)≤T(P0,r0)πv(s)−σRs(−πs)v(s)\le T^\pi_{(P_0,r_0)}v(s)-\sigma_{\mathcal R_s}(-\pi_s)v(s)≤T(P0​,r0​)π​v(s)−σRs​​(−πs​) for all sss.
  3. Robust counterpart (proof of Theorem 4.1, App. B.1). For every vvv and sss,
max⁡(P,r)∈U{v(s)−rπ(s)−γPπv(s)}=σPs(−γv⋅πs)+σRs(−πs)+v(s)−T(P0,r0)πv(s).\max_{(P,r)\in\mathcal U}\{v(s)-r^\pi(s)-\gamma P^\pi v(s)\} = \sigma_{\mathcal P_s}(-\gamma v\cdot\pi_s)+\sigma_{\mathcal R_s}(-\pi_s)+v(s)-T^\pi_{(P_0,r_0)}v(s).(P,r)∈Umax​{v(s)−rπ(s)−γPπv(s)}=σPs​​(−γv⋅πs​)+σRs​​(−πs​)+v(s)−T(P0​,r0​)π​v(s).

Theorem 3.1 is the special case Ps={0}\mathcal P_s=\{0\}Ps​={0} of the goal; it is listed separately because it is the paper's statement that policy regularization is equivalent to reward uncertainty.

Significance

The goal says that a robust MDP with s-rectangular uncertainty in both reward and transitions is a regularized MDP on the nominal model, with two regularizers: a policy regularizer σRs(−πs)\sigma_{\mathcal R_s}(-\pi_s)σRs​​(−πs​) coming from reward uncertainty, and a regularizer σPs(−γv⋅πs)\sigma_{\mathcal P_s}(-\gamma v\cdot\pi_s)σPs​​(−γv⋅πs​) coming from transition uncertainty that depends on both the policy and the value. For ball-shaped sets these support functions are explicit (αsr∥πs∥\alpha^r_s\|\pi_s\|αsr​∥πs​∥ and αsPγ∥v∥∥πs∥\alpha^P_s\gamma\|v\|\|\pi_s\|αsP​γ∥v∥∥πs​∥, Corollary 4.1 of the paper), which leads to the twice regularized (R²) Bellman operators of Section 5 and to robust planning at the cost of non-robust planning. Theorem 3.1 also explains why standard policy regularizers (negative entropy, KL, Tsallis) yield robustness: each is the support function of a reward uncertainty set.

The results are proved in the paper (appendices A.1, A.2, B.1); none has a machine-checked proof. The mission produces formal statements and proofs of the equivalence, the robust Bellman operator's fixed-point theory for stochastic policies and general compact uncertainty sets, and a closed-form robust counterpart that later R² results can import. The paper's printed proof of Proposition 3.1 treats Tπ,UT^{\pi,\mathcal U}Tπ,U as linear in one step; a formal proof settles the statement independently of that step.

Difficulty

The obvious argument reads Proposition 3.1 as linear-programming duality, as for a single MDP. That fails: Tπ,UT^{\pi,\mathcal U}Tπ,U is a minimum of affine maps, hence concave and not affine, and the feasible set of (PU)(P_{\mathcal U})(PU​) is an intersection of infinitely many half-space systems; the argument has to go through monotonicity and contraction of Tπ,UT^{\pi,\mathcal U}Tπ,U, which in turn requires every model in U\mathcal UU to be a genuine transition kernel. For the goal, the paper invokes Fenchel–Rockafellar duality to evaluate the inner maximum; the work in Lean is to separate the maximum over the product set U\mathcal UU into per-state maxima, which needs the s-rectangular structure and attainment of every maximum (compactness), and to track the index order of the perturbation Ps(s′,a)P_s(s',a)Ps​(s′,a) against the kernel P(s′∣s,a)P(s'\mid s,a)P(s′∣s,a).

Formalization scope

  • States and actions are finite types, A nonempty; values are S → ℝ ordered pointwise; a transition array is P : S → A → S → ℝ with P s a s' =P(s′∣s,a)=P(s'\mid s,a)=P(s′∣s,a), and the kernel property is the published IsTransitionKernel; Pπ(s′∣s)P^\pi(s'\mid s)Pπ(s′∣s) is the published InducedTransition. A policy has π s ∈ stdSimplex ℝ A for every s.
  • Perturbations PsP_sPs​ are functions S × A → ℝ indexed (s′,a)(s',a)(s′,a), as in the paper's RX\mathbb R^{\mathcal X}RX; rewards perturbations are A → ℝ.
  • Minima and maxima (in Tπ,UT^{\pi,\mathcal U}Tπ,U and in σ\sigmaσ) are real sInf/sSup. Every theorem assumes the sets nonempty and compact, so these are attained; nothing is quantified over an unbounded set.
  • The robust value function is encoded as the fixed point of Tπ,UT^{\pi,\mathcal U}Tπ,U, and each theorem asserts its existence and uniqueness. The paper's definition vπ,U(s)=min⁡(P,r)∈Uv(P,r)π(s)v^{\pi,\mathcal U}(s)=\min_{(P,r)\in\mathcal U}v^\pi_{(P,r)}(s)vπ,U(s)=min(P,r)∈U​v(P,r)π​(s) (p. 4) coincides with it for rectangular sets by a cited result; the proofs use only the fixed-point property. For the non-rectangular sets of Proposition 3.1 the pointwise minimum can be strictly larger than the fixed point and is then not the optimum of (PU)(P_{\mathcal U})(PU​), so the fixed point is the object the proposition is true for.
  • "The optimal solution" means: feasible, objective-maximal, and the unique maximizer (uniqueness uses μ0>0\mu_0>0μ0​>0).
  • Disclosed hypotheses: U=P×R\mathcal U=\mathcal P\times\mathcal RU=P×R with P\mathcal PP, R\mathcal RR nonempty and compact and every transition in P\mathcal PP a kernel (Prop. 3.1); Ps\mathcal P_sPs​, Rs\mathcal R_sRs​ nonempty and compact and every perturbed row P0(⋅∣s,a)+Ps(⋅,a)P_0(\cdot\mid s,a)+P_s(\cdot,a)P0​(⋅∣s,a)+Ps​(⋅,a) in ΔS\Delta_{\mathcal S}ΔS​ (Thm 4.1); reward sets rectangular in Thm 3.1, as its proof uses. These are the robust-MDP standing assumptions of p. 4 (P⊆ΔSX\mathcal P\subseteq\Delta^{\mathcal X}_{\mathcal S}P⊆ΔSX​) and what makes "min" and "max" well defined.
  • Not drafted: Corollary 4.1, whose ℓ²-ball Ps\mathcal P_sPs​ contains perturbations that leave the simplex, so P0+PP_0+\mathcal PP0​+P is not a set of kernels; Corollary 3.1 and Proposition 3.2 (consequences after the goal; Prop. 3.2 depends on an unspecified policy parametrization).
  • A formalization that asserts only that the feasible sets of (PU)(P_{\mathcal U})(PU​) and (2) coincide, or that drops the kernel condition or the existence of the fixed point, does not count: the goal names the robust value function and its optimality.
  • "Convex" in the statement of Theorem 4.1 is descriptive and is not part of the formal goal.

Contributions welcome: the monotone-contraction fixed-point lemma for Tπ,UT^{\pi,\mathcal U}Tπ,U and the per-state separation of maxima over rectangular sets are reusable for any robust MDP mission.

Selected references

  • E. Derman, M. Geist, S. Mannor, Twice regularized MDPs and the equivalence between robustness and regularization, NeurIPS 2021. arXiv:2110.06267v1
  • G. N. Iyengar, Robust dynamic programming, Mathematics of Operations Research 30(2), 2005. doi:10.1287/moor.1040.0129
  • A. Nilim, L. El Ghaoui, Robust control of Markov decision processes with uncertain transition matrices, Operations Research 53(5), 2005. doi:10.1287/opre.1050.0216
  • W. Wiesemann, D. Kuhn, B. Rustem, Robust Markov decision processes, Mathematics of Operations Research 38(1), 2013. doi:10.1287/moor.1120.0566
  • M. Geist, B. Scherrer, O. Pietquin, A theory of regularized Markov decision processes, ICML 2019. PMLR 97
  • S. Mannor, D. Simester, P. Sun, J. N. Tsitsiklis, Bias and variance approximation in value function estimates, Management Science 53(2), 2007. doi:10.1287/mnsc.1060.0614
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Convex OptimizationMachine LearningOptimization·Captain: mikedeng1

SAGA: A Fast Incremental Gradient Method With Support for Non-Strongly Convex Composite Objectives I: Linear Convergence under Strong ConvexityResearch Paper

Motivation

Many problems in machine learning and statistics are finite sums: an empirical risk f(x)=1n∑i=1nfi(x)f(x)=\frac1n\sum_{i=1}^n f_i(x)f(x)=n1​∑i=1n​fi​(x) over nnn data points, often plus a regulariser hhh such as an ℓ1\ell_1ℓ1​ penalty. When nnn is large, a full gradient of fff costs nnn component gradients, while stochastic gradient descent uses one component per step but converges only sublinearly because its gradient estimate has non-vanishing variance. Incremental gradient methods with variance reduction keep the per-step cost of one component gradient and still converge linearly on strongly convex problems.

SAGA, introduced by Defazio, Bach and Lacoste-Julien at NIPS 2014 (arXiv:1407.0202), is one of the standard methods of this family, alongside SAG, SVRG, SDCA and Finito/MISO. It keeps a table of past component gradients and handles a non-smooth regulariser through its proximal operator.

Timeline. Le Roux, Schmidt and Bach (2012) gave SAG the first linear rate for strongly convex finite sums at the cost of one gradient per step. Shalev-Shwartz and Zhang (2013) proved linear rates for SDCA, a dual method. Johnson and Zhang (2013) introduced SVRG, with periodic full-gradient passes; Xiao and Zhang (2014) extended it to composite objectives (prox-SVRG). SAGA (2014) combines an unbiased SVRG-style estimator with a SAG-style table, and proves a linear rate in the composite strongly convex case with a simple Lyapunov argument.

Setting

Let Rd\mathbb R^dRd carry the Euclidean inner product. There are n≥1n\ge1n≥1 differentiable components f1,…,fn:Rd→Rf_1,\dots,f_n:\mathbb R^d\to\mathbb Rf1​,…,fn​:Rd→R with gradients fi′f_i'fi′​. Each fif_ifi​ is μ\muμ-strongly convex (μ>0\mu>0μ>0): fi(ax+by)≤afi(x)+bfi(y)−abμ2∥x−y∥2f_i(ax+by)\le af_i(x)+bf_i(y)-ab\frac\mu2\|x-y\|^2fi​(ax+by)≤afi​(x)+bfi​(y)−ab2μ​∥x−y∥2 for a,b≥0a,b\ge0a,b≥0, a+b=1a+b=1a+b=1. Each gradient is LLL-Lipschitz: ∥fi′(x)−fi′(y)∥≤L∥x−y∥\|f_i'(x)-f_i'(y)\|\le L\|x-y\|∥fi′​(x)−fi′​(y)∥≤L∥x−y∥. Write f=1n∑ifif=\frac1n\sum_i f_if=n1​∑i​fi​ and f′=1n∑ifi′f'=\frac1n\sum_i f_i'f′=n1​∑i​fi′​. The regulariser h:Rd→Rh:\mathbb R^d\to\mathbb Rh:Rd→R is convex, and the goal is to minimise the composite objective F=f+hF=f+hF=f+h; x∗x^*x∗ denotes its minimiser, which is unique.

The proximal operator with step γ>0\gamma>0γ>0 is

prox⁡γh(y)=argmin⁡x{h(x)+12γ∥x−y∥2}.\operatorname{prox}^h_\gamma(y)=\operatorname*{argmin}_{x}\Big\{h(x)+\tfrac1{2\gamma}\|x-y\|^2\Big\}.proxγh​(y)=xargmin​{h(x)+2γ1​∥x−y∥2}.

SAGA keeps an iterate xkx^kxk and points ϕ1k,…,ϕnk\phi_1^k,\dots,\phi_n^kϕ1k​,…,ϕnk​ at which the stored gradients fi′(ϕik)f_i'(\phi_i^k)fi′​(ϕik​) were taken. It starts from x0x^0x0 with ϕi0=x0\phi_i^0=x^0ϕi0​=x0. At iteration k+1k+1k+1 it draws jjj uniformly from {1,…,n}\{1,\dots,n\}{1,…,n}, independently of the past, and sets

wk+1=xk−γ[fj′(xk)−fj′(ϕjk)+1n∑i=1nfi′(ϕik)],xk+1=prox⁡γh(wk+1),w^{k+1}=x^k-\gamma\Big[f_j'(x^k)-f_j'(\phi_j^k)+\frac1n\sum_{i=1}^n f_i'(\phi_i^k)\Big],\qquad x^{k+1}=\operatorname{prox}^h_\gamma(w^{k+1}),wk+1=xk−γ[fj′​(xk)−fj′​(ϕjk​)+n1​i=1∑n​fi′​(ϕik​)],xk+1=proxγh​(wk+1),

then ϕjk+1=xk\phi_j^{k+1}=x^kϕjk+1​=xk, with every other entry unchanged.

The analysis uses the Lyapunov function

T(x,{ϕi})=1n∑ifi(ϕi)−f(x∗)−1n∑i⟨fi′(x∗),ϕi−x∗⟩+c∥x−x∗∥2.T(x,\{\phi_i\})=\frac1n\sum_i f_i(\phi_i)-f(x^*)-\frac1n\sum_i\langle f_i'(x^*),\phi_i-x^*\rangle+c\|x-x^*\|^2 .T(x,{ϕi​})=n1​i∑​fi​(ϕi​)−f(x∗)−n1​i∑​⟨fi′​(x∗),ϕi​−x∗⟩+c∥x−x∗∥2.

Formalization targets

Goal: Corollary 1 (p. 8)

With γ=12(μn+L)\gamma=\frac1{2(\mu n+L)}γ=2(μn+L)1​, for every k≥0k\ge0k≥0,

E∥xk−x∗∥2≤(1−μ2(μn+L))k[∥x0−x∗∥2+nμn+L(f(x0)−⟨f′(x∗),x0−x∗⟩−f(x∗))],\mathbb E\|x^k-x^*\|^2\le\Big(1-\frac{\mu}{2(\mu n+L)}\Big)^k\Big[\|x^0-x^*\|^2+\frac{n}{\mu n+L}\big(f(x^0)-\langle f'(x^*),x^0-x^*\rangle-f(x^*)\big)\Big],E∥xk−x∗∥2≤(1−2(μn+L)μ​)k[∥x0−x∗∥2+μn+Ln​(f(x0)−⟨f′(x∗),x0−x∗⟩−f(x∗))],

where the expectation is over the indices drawn in the first kkk iterations. The constants are the paper's.

Theorem 1 (p. 7)

With γ\gammaγ as above, c=12γ(1−γμ)nc=\frac1{2\gamma(1-\gamma\mu)n}c=2γ(1−γμ)n1​ and κ=1γμ\kappa=\frac1{\gamma\mu}κ=γμ1​, for every state (xk,{ϕik})(x^k,\{\phi^k_i\})(xk,{ϕik​}),

E[Tk+1]≤(1−1κ)Tk,\mathbb E\big[T^{k+1}\big]\le\Big(1-\frac1\kappa\Big)T^k ,E[Tk+1]≤(1−κ1​)Tk,

with the expectation over the next index only.

Supporting lemmas

Lemma 4 (p. 10), a lower bound combining strong convexity and smoothness; Lemma 1 (pp. 6–7), its average over the components; Lemma 2 (p. 7), which bounds the stale-gradient variance by the table part of TTT; and Lemma 3 (p. 7), a second-moment bound for the SAGA step.

Significance

The result. Corollary 1 gives an ε\varepsilonε-accurate iterate in expectation after O((n+L/μ)log⁡(1/ε))O\big((n+L/\mu)\log(1/\varepsilon)\big)O((n+L/μ)log(1/ε)) component-gradient evaluations. This is the complexity of full-gradient descent with the condition number decoupled from nnn, and it holds in the composite setting, so it covers the lasso and elastic-net problems that SAG's analysis does not reach. The paper notes that the rate improves on the published rates of SAG and SVRG and is within a factor 2 of SDCA's. Theorem 1 is the template of later Lyapunov analyses of variance-reduced methods.

Formalizing it. The result has been proved since 2014, and no machine-checked proof is known to this mission. The work left is to formalize the known proof: the convexity inequalities (Lemmas 4, 1, 2), the variance computation (Lemma 3), the one-step contraction (Theorem 1), and the passage from conditional to total expectation along the random index sequence (Corollary 1). The paper's Lemma 3 has a sign misprint, which the formalization corrects; see the scope section.

Difficulty

The obvious argument for SGD-type methods bounds E∥xk+1−x∗∥2\mathbb E\|x^{k+1}-x^*\|^2E∥xk+1−x∗∥2 in terms of ∥xk−x∗∥2\|x^k-x^*\|^2∥xk−x∗∥2 alone. That fails here: the variance of the SAGA estimator depends on the stale table points ϕik\phi_i^kϕik​, which can be far from x∗x^*x∗ even when xkx^kxk is close. One needs a potential that also measures the table. Balancing the terms of TTT then requires the four round-bracket coefficients in the paper's display (10) to be non-positive for the specific γ\gammaγ, ccc and an auxiliary β=(2μn+L)/L\beta=(2\mu n+L)/Lβ=(2μn+L)/L. Checking these coefficients is routine but long algebra in μ\muμ, LLL, nnn. The composite case adds one step: since f′(x∗)≠0f'(x^*)\neq0f′(x∗)=0 in general, the argument goes through the fixed-point identity x∗=prox⁡γh(x∗−γf′(x∗))x^*=\operatorname{prox}^h_\gamma(x^*-\gamma f'(x^*))x∗=proxγh​(x∗−γf′(x∗)) and the non-expansiveness of the proximal operator, neither of which is a numbered result of the paper.

Formalization scope

  • Space and data. The space is EuclideanSpace ℝ (Fin d). Components are indexed by Fin n (0-based), with 0 < n. The gradients fi′f_i'fi′​ are given maps with HasGradientAt (f i) (f' i x) x. Strong convexity is Mathlib's StrongConvexOn Set.univ μ, whose modulus μ2∥x−y∥2\frac\mu2\|x-y\|^22μ​∥x−y∥2 is the paper's.

  • Regulariser and minimiser. hhh is real-valued and convex; extended-valued regularisers are out of scope, as on the page. A minimiser x∗x^*x∗ of f+hf+hf+h is a hypothesis.

  • Proximal operator. It is any map PPP such that P(y)P(y)P(y) minimises h(x)+12γ∥x−y∥2h(x)+\frac1{2\gamma}\|x-y\|^2h(x)+2γ1​∥x−y∥2 for every yyy (IsProxPoint). The minimiser is unique, so PPP is prox⁡γh\operatorname{prox}^h_\gammaproxγh​.

  • State and expectation. The state is the pair (x,ϕ)(x,\phi)(x,ϕ). The run after kkk steps is a deterministic function of the index sequence in Fin k → Fin n. The expectation in Corollary 1 is the average over all nkn^knk sequences, which is exactly the law of kkk independent uniform indices; no measure theory is involved. Theorem 1's conditional expectation is the average over the next index.

  • Constants and corrections. Constants are as printed and fixed, not "for some constant" and not "for all small enough steps". Lemma 4 carries the hypothesis μ<L\mu<Lμ<L, which its fractions 1/(L−μ)1/(L-\mu)1/(L−μ) require. Lemma 3 is stated with +γf′(x∗)+\gamma f'(x^*)+γf′(x∗), as in its proof and its use in Theorem 1; the printed −γf′(x∗)-\gamma f'(x^*)−γf′(x∗) is false whenever f′(x∗)≠0f'(x^*)\neq0f′(x∗)=0.

  • Trivializing formalizations, ruled out. Taking the proximal step as merely non-expansive, fixing an index sequence instead of averaging over all of them, measuring x∗x^*x∗ against fff instead of f+hf+hf+h, or restricting Theorem 1 to reachable states changes the theorem and is excluded.

  • Infrastructure. A complete development needs:

    • the co-coercivity inequality for convex functions with Lipschitz gradient;
    • existence, uniqueness and non-expansiveness of the proximal map of a finite convex function;
    • the optimality condition x∗=prox⁡γh(x∗−γf′(x∗))x^*=\operatorname{prox}^h_\gamma(x^*-\gamma f'(x^*))x∗=proxγh​(x∗−γf′(x∗));
    • finite-sum variance identities.

    These pieces are reusable well beyond SAGA, by SVRG, SAG and proximal-gradient analyses. Contributions of any of them, or of proofs of the individual milestones, are welcome.

Selected references

  • A. Defazio, F. Bach, S. Lacoste-Julien, SAGA: A Fast Incremental Gradient Method With Support for Non-Strongly Convex Composite Objectives, NIPS 2014. arXiv:1407.0202
  • N. Le Roux, M. Schmidt, F. Bach, A Stochastic Gradient Method with an Exponential Convergence Rate for Finite Training Sets, NIPS 2012. arXiv:1202.6258
  • R. Johnson, T. Zhang, Accelerating Stochastic Gradient Descent using Predictive Variance Reduction, NIPS 2013. NeurIPS proceedings
  • L. Xiao, T. Zhang, A Proximal Stochastic Gradient Method with Progressive Variance Reduction, SIAM J. Optim. 24(4), 2014. arXiv:1403.4699
  • S. Shalev-Shwartz, T. Zhang, Stochastic Dual Coordinate Ascent Methods for Regularized Loss Minimization, JMLR 14, 2013. arXiv:1209.1873
  • Y. Nesterov, Introductory Lectures on Convex Optimization, Kluwer, 2004. doi:10.1007/978-1-4419-8853-9
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Dynamic ProgrammingMachine LearningReinforcement Learning·Captain: mikedeng1

Reinforcement Learning: An Introduction IV: Policy Iteration for ε-Soft PoliciesTextbook

Motivation

Policy iteration alternates two steps: evaluate the current policy, then replace it by a policy that is greedy with respect to the evaluated action values. The policy improvement theorem guarantees that each greedy step does not make the policy worse, and that the process stops only at an optimal policy. When the action values are estimated from experience rather than computed from a model, as in Monte Carlo control, a greedy policy is a problem: it never tries the actions it does not currently prefer, so their values are never re-estimated. Sutton and Barto, Reinforcement Learning: An Introduction (2nd ed., 2018), §5.4, resolve this without the unrealistic assumption of exploring starts by moving the policy only toward a greedy one, to an ε-greedy policy that keeps every action's probability at least ε/|A|.

The question this mission formalizes is whether policy iteration still works under that restriction. The book's answer (pp. 101–102) is yes, in a precise sense: an ε-greedy step never makes an ε-soft policy worse, and it fails to make it strictly better only when the policy is already the best among all ε-soft policies. This is the dynamic-programming fact that justifies on-policy first-visit Monte Carlo control for ε-soft policies, and more broadly every ε-greedy on-policy control scheme that is analysed with exact action values.

Setting

A finite Markov decision process has a finite state set S, a finite nonempty action set A used in every state, a finite reward set R ⊂ ℝ and dynamics p(s′, r | s, a) ≥ 0 with ∑s′,rp(s′,r∣s,a)=1\sum_{s', r} p(s', r \mid s, a) = 1∑s′,r​p(s′,r∣s,a)=1. A policy π gives, for each state s, a probability distribution π(· | s) on A. With a discount rate 0≤γ<10 \le \gamma < 10≤γ<1, the state value vπ(s)v_\pi(s)vπ​(s) is the expected discounted return Eπ[∑k≥0γkRt+k+1∣St=s]\mathbb E_\pi[\sum_{k \ge 0} \gamma^k R_{t+k+1} \mid S_t = s]Eπ​[∑k≥0​γkRt+k+1​∣St​=s], and the action value is

qπ(s,a)=∑s′,rp(s′,r∣s,a) [r+γvπ(s′)].q_\pi(s, a) = \sum_{s', r} p(s', r \mid s, a)\,[r + \gamma v_\pi(s')].qπ​(s,a)=s′,r∑​p(s′,r∣s,a)[r+γvπ​(s′)].

For ε > 0, a policy is ε-soft if π(a∣s)≥ε/∣A∣\pi(a \mid s) \ge \varepsilon/|A|π(a∣s)≥ε/∣A∣ for all s and a. A policy π′ is ε-greedy with respect to qπq_\piqπ​ if at each state some maximizer A∗(s)A^*(s)A∗(s) of qπ(s,⋅)q_\pi(s, \cdot)qπ​(s,⋅) receives probability 1−ε+ε/∣A∣1 - \varepsilon + \varepsilon/|A|1−ε+ε/∣A∣ and every other action receives ε/∣A∣\varepsilon/|A|ε/∣A∣; ties among maximizers are broken arbitrarily. A policy π is optimal among the ε-soft policies if it is ε-soft and vπ′′(s)≤vπ(s)v_{\pi''}(s) \le v_\pi(s)vπ′′​(s)≤vπ​(s) for every ε-soft π″ and every state s.

The book's analysis uses a new environment with the same states, actions and rewards, in which with probability 1 − ε the chosen action is executed and with probability ε a uniformly random action replaces it:

p~(s′,r∣s,a)=(1−ε) p(s′,r∣s,a)+∑a′ε∣A∣ p(s′,r∣s,a′).\tilde p(s', r \mid s, a) = (1 - \varepsilon)\, p(s', r \mid s, a) + \sum_{a'} \frac{\varepsilon}{|A|}\, p(s', r \mid s, a').p~​(s′,r∣s,a)=(1−ε)p(s′,r∣s,a)+a′∑​∣A∣ε​p(s′,r∣s,a′).

Its optimal value function is written v~∗\tilde v_*v~∗​.

Formalization targets

Goal: ε-greedy improvement with the equality case

For 0≤γ<10 \le \gamma < 10≤γ<1, 0<ε≤10 < \varepsilon \le 10<ε≤1, an ε-soft policy π and any ε-greedy policy π′ with respect to qπq_\piqπ​,

vπ′(s)≥vπ(s)for all s,andvπ′=vπ  ⟹  π,π′ are optimal among the ε-soft policies.v_{\pi'}(s) \ge v_\pi(s) \quad \text{for all } s, \qquad \text{and} \qquad v_{\pi'} = v_\pi \;\Longrightarrow\; \pi, \pi' \text{ are optimal among the ε-soft policies}.vπ′​(s)≥vπ​(s)for all s,andvπ′​=vπ​⟹π,π′ are optimal among the ε-soft policies.

The goal is stated in terms of the original MDP and ε-soft policies only; the new environment appears only in the milestones.

Milestones

  1. Policy improvement theorem for stochastic policies (4.7)–(4.8), p. 78: ∑aπ′(a∣s)qπ(s,a)≥vπ(s)\sum_a \pi'(a \mid s) q_\pi(s, a) \ge v_\pi(s)∑a​π′(a∣s)qπ​(s,a)≥vπ​(s) for all s implies vπ′≥vπv_{\pi'} \ge v_\pivπ′​≥vπ​, strictly at every state where the hypothesis is strict.
  2. Eq. (5.2), pp. 101–102: ∑aπ′(a∣s)qπ(s,a)=ε∣A∣∑aqπ(s,a)+(1−ε)max⁡aqπ(s,a)≥vπ(s)\sum_a \pi'(a \mid s) q_\pi(s, a) = \frac{\varepsilon}{|A|}\sum_a q_\pi(s, a) + (1-\varepsilon)\max_a q_\pi(s, a) \ge v_\pi(s)∑a​π′(a∣s)qπ​(s,a)=∣A∣ε​∑a​qπ​(s,a)+(1−ε)maxa​qπ​(s,a)≥vπ​(s).
  3. Characterization, p. 102: an ε-soft π is optimal among ε-soft policies if and only if vπ=v~∗v_\pi = \tilde v_*vπ​=v~∗​.
  4. Uniqueness, p. 102: v~∗\tilde v_*v~∗​ is the unique solution of the Bellman optimality equation with the altered transition probabilities p~\tilde pp~​, and that equation splits as (1−ε)max⁡a(⋅)+ε∣A∣∑a(⋅)(1-\varepsilon)\max_a(\cdot) + \frac{\varepsilon}{|A|}\sum_a(\cdot)(1−ε)maxa​(⋅)+∣A∣ε​∑a​(⋅).
  5. Fixed-point equation, p. 102: if vπ′=vπv_{\pi'} = v_\pivπ′​=vπ​, then vπ(s)=(1−ε)max⁡aqπ(s,a)+ε∣A∣∑aqπ(s,a)v_\pi(s) = (1-\varepsilon)\max_a q_\pi(s, a) + \frac{\varepsilon}{|A|}\sum_a q_\pi(s, a)vπ​(s)=(1−ε)maxa​qπ​(s,a)+∣A∣ε​∑a​qπ​(s,a).

Significance

The result is what makes ε-greedy on-policy control a form of generalized policy iteration: monotone improvement at every step, and a characterization of where the process can stop. It also locates precisely what is lost by exploring, namely that the fixed point is optimal among ε-soft policies, not among all policies. The value v~∗\tilde v_*v~∗​ of the new environment is the benchmark against which ε-greedy methods converge when action values are exact.

The book presents the argument informally and states the stochastic policy improvement theorem without proof ("we will not go through the details", p. 79). A formalization supplies the missing proof of the stochastic case, the identification of the best ε-soft policy value with the optimal value of a modified MDP, and the uniqueness of that value. As far as a search of the platform shows, no statement about ε-soft or ε-greedy policies has been formalized there; existing finite-MDP results (Bellman optimality in the Foundations of Machine Learning and Bertsekas series) use different reward models and do not cover the modified environment.

Difficulty

The improvement half follows from (5.2) and the policy improvement theorem, but both need work in the return-based model: the theorem requires comparing infinite discounted sums under two different Markov chains, and (5.2) uses the identity vπ(s)=∑aπ(a∣s)qπ(s,a)v_\pi(s) = \sum_a \pi(a \mid s) q_\pi(s, a)vπ​(s)=∑a​π(a∣s)qπ​(s,a), which is a theorem about returns, not a definition. The equality half is where the obvious argument fails. The deterministic-policy argument of Chapter 4 shows that an unimproved greedy policy satisfies the ordinary Bellman optimality equation; here the unimproved policy satisfies a different equation, and nothing in the original MDP identifies its solution with the best ε-soft value. That identification needs two further facts: every policy of the new environment corresponds to an ε-soft policy of the original one with the same values, and conversely (at ε = 1 only the uniform policy is ε-soft); and the altered optimality equation has exactly one solution.

Formalization scope

Everything is stated in the namespace SuttonBartoRL.EpsSoft on a finite MDP with four-argument dynamics, one finite nonempty action set for all states (so ∣A(s)∣=∣A∣|A(s)| = |A|∣A(s)∣=∣A∣, the book's footnote 3, p. 48), and a finite reward set. The conventions are:

  • vπv_\pivπ​ is defined from expected discounted returns as ∑kγk(Pπkrπ)(s)\sum_k \gamma^k (P_\pi^k r_\pi)(s)∑k​γk(Pπk​rπ​)(s) with 0≤γ<10 \le \gamma < 10≤γ<1; Bellman equations are theorems, never definitions. qπq_\piqπ​ is the one-step lookahead (4.6) on this vπv_\pivπ​.
  • v~∗\tilde v_*v~∗​ is the supremum of the new environment's policy values over all stochastic policies, a bounded family for γ<1\gamma < 1γ<1.
  • ε ranges over (0, 1]: the book requires ε > 0, and for ε > 1 no ε-soft policy exists. The equality in (5.2) is stated without the book's intermediate division by 1 − ε, so the case ε = 1 is included.
  • "Any ε-greedy policy" is encoded by quantifying over every choice of maximizer at every state.
  • "Optimal among ε-soft policies" means ε-soft and pointwise at least as good as every ε-soft policy.

Defining vπv_\pivπ​ as the solution of the Bellman expectation equation, or v~∗\tilde v_*v~∗​ as the solution of the altered optimality equation, would make milestones 3–5 and the goal's equality half hold by definition; the formalization does neither. The goal is not the statement "vπ′≥vπv_{\pi'} \ge v_\pivπ′​≥vπ​" alone: the equality case is part of the book's claim and part of the goal.

The finite-MDP definitions duplicate those of other missions in this series and are expected to be merged later. Useful contributions include the Neumann-series identity vπ=(I−γPπ)−1rπv_\pi = (I - \gamma P_\pi)^{-1} r_\pivπ​=(I−γPπ​)−1rπ​, the Bellman expectation equation, the contraction property of Bellman operators, and the correspondence between policies of the new environment and ε-soft policies of the original one; these are reusable for the other finite-MDP missions of the series.

Selected references

  • R. S. Sutton and A. G. Barto, Reinforcement Learning: An Introduction, 2nd ed., MIT Press, 2018, ISBN 9780262039246, §4.2 (pp. 76–79) and §5.4 (pp. 100–103). http://incompleteideas.net/book/the-book-2nd.html
  • R. A. Howard, Dynamic Programming and Markov Processes, MIT Press, 1960 (policy iteration).
  • M. L. Puterman, Markov Decision Processes: Discrete Stochastic Dynamic Programming, Wiley, 1994, doi:10.1002/9780470316887.
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Operations ResearchProbabilityStochastic Systems·Captain: mikedeng1

Quantifying the Bullwhip Effect in a Simple Supply Chain: The Impact of Forecasting, Lead Times, and Information 1: Centralizing Demand Information Does Not Eliminate the Bullwhip EffectResearch Paper

Motivation

The bullwhip effect is the observation that the variability of orders increases as one moves up a supply chain, from the retailer towards the manufacturer and its suppliers. It was documented in industry and in classroom experiments such as the Beer Game (Sterman 1989), and analysed by Lee, Padmanabhan and Whang (1997), who named demand forecasting, lead times, batch ordering, rationing and price variations as its main causes. A remedy often proposed is to centralize demand information: give every stage of the chain the customer demand data, so that no stage forecasts from the distorted orders of its downstream neighbour.

Chen, Drezner, Ryan and Simchi-Levi (2000) quantified the effect for a retailer that forecasts with a moving average and orders with an order-up-to policy. They gave an explicit lower bound on the ratio of the order variance to the demand variance in terms of the lead time, the forecasting window and the demand autocorrelation. They then showed that in a multistage chain with fully centralized demand information this ratio still grows with the total lead time upstream of each stage. This mission formalizes that result, Theorem 3.1 of the paper, together with the single-stage analysis it rests on.

Setting

Time is indexed by the integers. The customer demands DtD_tDt​ seen by the retailer follow the AR(1) model

Dt=μ+ρDt−1+ϵt,(1)D_t = \mu + \rho D_{t-1} + \epsilon_t, \tag{1}Dt​=μ+ρDt−1​+ϵt​,(1)

where μ≥0\mu \ge 0μ≥0, ∣ρ∣<1|\rho| < 1∣ρ∣<1, and the errors ϵt\epsilon_tϵt​ are independent and identically distributed from a symmetric distribution with mean 000 and variance σ2\sigma^2σ2. The demand is in steady state, so that E(Dt)=μ/(1−ρ)E(D_t) = \mu/(1-\rho)E(Dt​)=μ/(1−ρ) and Var(D)=Var(Dt)=σ2/(1−ρ2)\mathrm{Var}(D) = \mathrm{Var}(D_t) = \sigma^2/(1-\rho^2)Var(D)=Var(Dt​)=σ2/(1−ρ2) for every ttt.

The retailer does not know the demand process. With a window of p≥1p \ge 1p≥1 past observations it forms the moving-average estimates

D^tL=L ∑i=1pDt−ip,et=Dt−D^t1,σ^etL=CL,ρ∑i=1pet−i2p,\hat D^L_t = L\,\frac{\sum_{i=1}^p D_{t-i}}{p}, \qquad e_t = D_t - \hat D^1_t, \qquad \hat\sigma^L_{et} = C_{L,\rho}\sqrt{\frac{\sum_{i=1}^p e_{t-i}^2}{p}},D^tL​=Lp∑i=1p​Dt−i​​,et​=Dt​−D^t1​,σ^etL​=CL,ρ​p∑i=1p​et−i2​​​,

where LLL is the lead-time parameter (L=1L = 1L=1 means an order placed at the end of period ttt arrives at the start of period t+1t+1t+1) and CL,ρC_{L,\rho}CL,ρ​ is a constant the paper leaves unspecified. The order-up-to point is yt=D^tL+z σ^etLy_t = \hat D^L_t + z\,\hat\sigma^L_{et}yt​=D^tL​+zσ^etL​ for a safety factor zzz, and the order placed in period ttt is qt=yt−yt−1+Dt−1q_t = y_t - y_{t-1} + D_{t-1}qt​=yt​−yt−1​+Dt−1​. It may be negative: excess inventory is returned without cost.

In the multistage chain with centralized information, stages k=1,2,…k = 1, 2, \dotsk=1,2,… (stage 111 is the retailer) all observe DtD_tDt​ and use the same estimate D^t=∑i=1pDt−i/p\hat D_t = \sum_{i=1}^p D_{t-i}/pD^t​=∑i=1p​Dt−i​/p. Stage kkk has lead time LkL_kLk​ and safety factor zkz_kzk​ and uses the order-up-to point ytk=LkD^t+zkσ^etLky^k_t = L_k\hat D_t + z_k\hat\sigma^{L_k}_{et}ytk​=Lk​D^t​+zk​σ^etLk​​. Following the paper's sequence of events, stage 111 orders qt1=yt1−yt−11+Dt−1q^1_t = y^1_t - y^1_{t-1} + D_{t-1}qt1​=yt1​−yt−11​+Dt−1​, and stage k≥2k \ge 2k≥2, receiving qtk−1q^{k-1}_tqtk−1​, orders qtk=ytk−yt−1k+qtk−1q^k_t = y^k_t - y^k_{t-1} + q^{k-1}_tqtk​=ytk​−yt−1k​+qtk−1​.

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem 3.1 (p. 441)

For every stage k≥1k \ge 1k≥1 and every period ttt,

Var(qtk)Var(D)≥1+(2∑i=1kLip+2(∑i=1kLi)2p2)(1−ρp),\frac{\mathrm{Var}(q^k_t)}{\mathrm{Var}(D)} \ge 1 + \left(\frac{2\sum_{i=1}^k L_i}{p} + \frac{2\left(\sum_{i=1}^k L_i\right)^2}{p^2}\right)(1-\rho^p),Var(D)Var(qtk​)​≥1+​p2∑i=1k​Li​​+p22(∑i=1k​Li​)2​​(1−ρp),

with equality when z1=⋯=zk=0z_1 = \dots = z_k = 0z1​=⋯=zk​=0. The bound holds for every choice of the constants CLk,ρC_{L_k,\rho}CLk​,ρ​ and of the safety factors.

Milestones (p. 438)

  1. The AR(1) moments Var(Dt)=σ2/(1−ρ2)\mathrm{Var}(D_t) = \sigma^2/(1-\rho^2)Var(Dt​)=σ2/(1−ρ2) and Cov(Dt−1,Dt−p−1)=ρpσ2/(1−ρ2)\mathrm{Cov}(D_{t-1}, D_{t-p-1}) = \rho^p\sigma^2/(1-\rho^2)Cov(Dt−1​,Dt−p−1​)=ρpσ2/(1−ρ2).
  2. Eq. (4): qt=(1+L/p)Dt−1−(L/p)Dt−p−1+z(σ^etL−σ^e,t−1L)q_t = (1 + L/p)D_{t-1} - (L/p)D_{t-p-1} + z(\hat\sigma^L_{et} - \hat\sigma^L_{e,t-1})qt​=(1+L/p)Dt−1​−(L/p)Dt−p−1​+z(σ^etL​−σ^e,t−1L​) for every outcome.
  3. Lemma 2.1: Cov(Dt−i,σ^etL)=0\mathrm{Cov}(D_{t-i}, \hat\sigma^L_{et}) = 0Cov(Dt−i​,σ^etL​)=0 for i=1,…,pi = 1, \dots, pi=1,…,p.
  4. The variance identity after Eq. (4):
Var(qt)=[1+(2Lp+2L2p2)(1−ρp)]Var(D)+2z(1+2Lp)Cov(Dt−1,σ^etL)+z2 Var(σ^etL−σ^e,t−1L).\mathrm{Var}(q_t) = \left[1 + \left(\tfrac{2L}{p} + \tfrac{2L^2}{p^2}\right)(1-\rho^p)\right]\mathrm{Var}(D) + 2z\left(1+\tfrac{2L}{p}\right)\mathrm{Cov}(D_{t-1}, \hat\sigma^L_{et}) + z^2\,\mathrm{Var}(\hat\sigma^L_{et} - \hat\sigma^L_{e,t-1}).Var(qt​)=[1+(p2L​+p22L2​)(1−ρp)]Var(D)+2z(1+p2L​)Cov(Dt−1​,σ^etL​)+z2Var(σ^etL​−σ^e,t−1L​).
  1. Theorem 2.2, the single-stage case:
Var(q)Var(D)≥1+(2Lp+2L2p2)(1−ρp),(5)\frac{\mathrm{Var}(q)}{\mathrm{Var}(D)} \ge 1 + \left(\frac{2L}{p} + \frac{2L^2}{p^2}\right)(1-\rho^p), \tag{5}Var(D)Var(q)​≥1+(p2L​+p22L2​)(1−ρp),(5)

with equality when z=0z = 0z=0.

Significance

Theorem 2.2 shows that forecasting with a positive lead time is enough to make orders more variable than demand, even for independent demands (ρ=0\rho = 0ρ=0). It also says how the effect depends on each parameter: the bound decreases in the window ppp and increases in the lead time LLL. Theorem 3.1 is the paper's answer to the centralization remedy. When every stage sees the true customer demand and uses the same forecast and the same policy, the variability of orders at stage kkk is still bounded below by the single-stage expression with the cumulative lead time ∑i≤kLi\sum_{i\le k}L_i∑i≤k​Li​. Centralization reduces the bullwhip effect but does not remove it. The decentralized comparison (Theorem 3.2, where the bound becomes multiplicative across stages) is a separate mission in this series.

On the formalization side, the Gaussian special case of the single-stage results is on the platform. Snyder and Shen's Fundamentals of Supply Chain Theory states Theorem 2.2, Lemma 2.1, Eq. (4) and the AR(1) moments for normally distributed errors, as the items SupplyChainTheory.bullwhip_signal_processing, bullwhip_lemma_13_1, bullwhip_order_identity and ar1_moments. This mission states them under the paper's weaker hypothesis of a symmetric error distribution. The multistage Theorem 3.1 has no machine-checked counterpart. The paper proves only Theorem 2.2 in print. For the proofs of Lemma 2.1 and Theorem 3.1 it refers to Ryan (1997) and to a working paper, so a formalization supplies arguments the published article does not contain.

Difficulty

Most of the algebra is routine. The difficulty is Lemma 2.1 and the covariances like it. The estimate σ^etL\hat\sigma^L_{et}σ^etL​ is a square root of a quadratic form in past demands, so its covariance with a demand cannot be computed from second moments. Under Gaussian errors one can appeal to properties of Gaussian vectors. With only a symmetric error law, every distributional fact has to come from the symmetry of the errors and from the representation of the steady-state demand as an infinite series in past errors.

The printed derivation also moves faster than a proof. Expanding Var(qt)\mathrm{Var}(q_t)Var(qt​) from Eq. (4) produces the cross terms Cov(Dt−1,σ^e,t−1L)\mathrm{Cov}(D_{t-1}, \hat\sigma^L_{e,t-1})Cov(Dt−1​,σ^e,t−1L​) and Cov(Dt−p−1,σ^etL)\mathrm{Cov}(D_{t-p-1}, \hat\sigma^L_{et})Cov(Dt−p−1​,σ^etL​), which lie outside the lags 1,…,p1, \dots, p1,…,p of Lemma 2.1. The display after Eq. (4) does not account for them. A complete proof of milestone 4 must show that these terms vanish too. For the chain, the stage orders are defined by a recursion across stages, and the variance of qtkq^k_tqtk​ involves the estimates σ^etLi\hat\sigma^{L_i}_{et}σ^etLi​​ of all stages i≤ki \le ki≤k.

Formalization scope

Random variables are real functions on a probability space (Ω,P)(\Omega, P)(Ω,P), and time is Z\mathbb ZZ, so that Dt−p−1D_{t-p-1}Dt−p−1​ exists for every ttt. Variance and covariance are Mathlib's ProbabilityTheory.variance and ProbabilityTheory.covariance. The demand structure ChenBullwhip.Centralized.AR1Demand records (1) for every outcome and the paper's error hypotheses: independence, identical distribution, symmetry, mean 000 and variance σ2\sigma^2σ2. It adds four disclosed conditions:

  1. σ>0\sigma > 0σ>0, since the results divide by Var(D)\mathrm{Var}(D)Var(D);
  2. square integrability of errors and demands, since Mathlib's variance of a non-square-integrable function is 000;
  3. a steady-state condition: every DtD_tDt​ is square integrable with the law of D0D_0D0​, which is the stationary solution the paper's moment formulas presuppose;
  4. p≥1p \ge 1p≥1 in every result.

The published Gaussian structure SupplyChainTheory.AR1Demand satisfies these conditions, so this mission generalizes the Snyder–Shen items rather than referencing them. The constants CL,ρC_{L,\rho}CL,ρ​ are free real parameters, and in the chain CLk,ρC_{L_k,\rho}CLk​,ρ​ is C(Lk)C(L_k)C(Lk​) for an arbitrary function CCC. Lead times are natural numbers, L=0L = 0L=0 included. Sums ∑i=1p\sum_{i=1}^p∑i=1p​ and ∑i=1k\sum_{i=1}^k∑i=1k​ run over {1,…,p}\{1,\dots,p\}{1,…,p} and {1,…,k}\{1,\dots,k\}{1,…,k}, and stages are numbered from 111. The order recursion qtk=ytk−yt−1k+qtk−1q^k_t = y^k_t - y^k_{t-1} + q^{k-1}_tqtk​=ytk​−yt−1k​+qtk−1​ is read from the paper's sequence of events, because the paper prints no formula for qtkq^k_tqtk​.

The orders are computed from the demands through the definitions above. They are never arbitrary random variables with assumed moments. "Tight" is formalized as equality, and orders are never truncated at zero. Without the steady-state condition, a process started from an arbitrary D0D_0D0​ satisfies (1) but has time-dependent moments, and the results fail; with σ=0\sigma = 0σ=0 the ratio form would be false. Both cases are excluded by the structure, not by vacuous hypotheses. The structure is satisfiable: i.i.d. standard Gaussian demands on Z→R\mathbb Z \to \mathbb RZ→R form an instance.

A complete development needs: the L2L^2L2 series representation of a stationary AR(1) process; distributional symmetry facts for i.i.d. sequences with a symmetric law; and covariance bookkeeping for finite linear combinations. The first two are reusable for any linear time-series model with symmetric innovations. Contributions to any milestone, and to general lemmas about stationary AR(1) processes, are welcome.

Selected references

  • F. Chen, Z. Drezner, J. K. Ryan, D. Simchi-Levi, Quantifying the Bullwhip Effect in a Simple Supply Chain: The Impact of Forecasting, Lead Times, and Information, Management Science 46(3):436–443, 2000. https://doi.org/10.1287/mnsc.46.3.436.12069
  • H. L. Lee, V. Padmanabhan, S. Whang, Information Distortion in a Supply Chain: The Bullwhip Effect, Management Science 43(4):546–558, 1997. https://doi.org/10.1287/mnsc.43.4.546
  • J. D. Sterman, Modeling Managerial Behavior: Misperceptions of Feedback in a Dynamic Decision Making Experiment, Management Science 35(3):321–339, 1989. https://doi.org/10.1287/mnsc.35.3.321
  • L. V. Snyder, Z.-J. M. Shen, Fundamentals of Supply Chain Theory, 2nd ed., Wiley, 2019, Chapter 13. https://doi.org/10.1002/9781119584445
  • J. K. Ryan, Analysis of Inventory Models with Limited Demand Information, Ph.D. dissertation, Northwestern University, 1997 (cited by the paper for the proofs of Lemma 2.1 and Theorem 3.1).
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CombinatoricsComplexity TheoryDiscrete Geometry+2·Captain: mikedeng1

Exponential Lower Bounds for Polytopes in Combinatorial Optimization: The TSP Polytope Has Extension Complexity 2^Ω(√n)Research Paper

Motivation

Combinatorial optimization problems are routinely solved by writing the convex hull of their feasible solutions as the feasible region of a linear program. When that convex hull has exponentially many facets, a classical trick is to add auxiliary variables: a polytope with many facets may be the linear projection of a higher-dimensional polyhedron with few. The spanning tree polytope, the permutahedron and the parity polytope all have compact descriptions of this kind. This raises the question of whether every polytope of an NP-hard problem might also have one, which would yield a polynomial-size linear program for that problem.

In the late 1980s several papers claimed polynomial-size linear programs for the traveling salesman problem (TSP). Yannakakis (STOC 1988; JCSS 1991) refuted all such claims at once by showing that every symmetric extended formulation of the TSP polytope has exponential size. He asked whether the symmetry assumption could be removed. Fiorini, Massar, Pokutta, Tiwary and de Wolf (STOC 2012; J. ACM 2015) answered the question: every extended formulation of the TSP polytope, symmetric or not, has 2Ω(n)2^{\Omega(\sqrt n)}2Ω(n​) inequalities.

Timeline.

  • 1990: De Simone shows that the correlation polytope is linearly isomorphic to the cut polytope.
  • 1991: Yannakakis proves the factorization theorem (extension complexity equals the nonnegative rank of a slack matrix) and the exponential lower bound for symmetric formulations of the TSP and perfect matching polytopes.
  • 1992: Razborov proves the distributional lower bound for set disjointness.
  • 2003: de Wolf shows that the support of M(n)ab=(1−a⊤b)2M(n)_{ab}=(1-a^\top b)^2M(n)ab​=(1−a⊤b)2 needs 2Ω(n)2^{\Omega(n)}2Ω(n) rectangles to cover.
  • 2012/2015: Fiorini et al. prove xc(CUT(n))=2Ω(n)\mathrm{xc}(\mathrm{CUT}(n))=2^{\Omega(n)}xc(CUT(n))=2Ω(n), xc(TSP(n))=2Ω(n)\mathrm{xc}(\mathrm{TSP}(n))=2^{\Omega(\sqrt n)}xc(TSP(n))=2Ω(n​), and a 2Ω(n)2^{\Omega(\sqrt n)}2Ω(n​) bound for stable set polytopes of some graphs on nnn vertices.
  • 2013: Kaibel and Weltge give a short combinatorial proof of the correlation-polytope bound, with constant C=log⁡2(3/2)C=\log_2(3/2)C=log2​(3/2).
  • 2014: Rothvoss proves 2Ω(n)2^{\Omega(n)}2Ω(n) for the perfect matching polytope.

Setting

Let ι\iotaι be a finite index set. An extended formulation (EF) of a set P⊆RιP\subseteq\mathbb R^{\iota}P⊆Rι is a linear system E=x+F=y=g=E^{=}x+F^{=}y=g^{=}E=x+F=y=g=, E≤x+F≤y≤g≤E^{\le}x+F^{\le}y\le g^{\le}E≤x+F≤y≤g≤ in variables (x,y)∈Rι×Rk(x,y)\in\mathbb R^{\iota}\times\mathbb R^{k}(x,y)∈Rι×Rk such that x∈Px\in Px∈P exactly when some yyy satisfies it. Its size is the number of inequalities. The extension complexity xc(P)\mathrm{xc}(P)xc(P) is the least size of an EF of PPP.

A polytope is the convex hull of finitely many points. A face of PPP is PPP itself or its intersection with a valid hyperplane, and a facet is a maximal proper face. A polytope QQQ is an extension of PPP if π(Q)=P\pi(Q)=Pπ(Q)=P for some linear map π\piπ. Given P={x:Ax≤b}=conv(V)P=\{x : Ax\le b\}=\mathrm{conv}(V)P={x:Ax≤b}=conv(V), the slack matrix has entries Sij=bi−AivjS_{ij}=b_i-A_iv_jSij​=bi​−Ai​vj​. The nonnegative rank rank+(M)\mathrm{rank}_+(M)rank+​(M) is the least rrr with M=TUM=TUM=TU, where T≥0T\ge 0T≥0 has rrr columns and U≥0U\ge 0U≥0 has rrr rows.

For nnn-bit strings a,ba,ba,b, a⊤ba^\top ba⊤b is the number of common ones, and M(n)M(n)M(n) is the 2n×2n2^n\times 2^n2n×2n matrix Mab=(1−a⊤b)2M_{ab}=(1-a^\top b)^2Mab​=(1−a⊤b)2. A 1-monochromatic rectangle cover of its support is a family of products R1×R2R_1\times R_2R1​×R2​, each containing only entries with Mab≠0M_{ab}\ne 0Mab​=0, that together contain all of them.

On the complete graph Kn=(Vn,En)K_n=(V_n,E_n)Kn​=(Vn​,En​), χF∈REn\chi^F\in\mathbb R^{E_n}χF∈REn​ is the characteristic vector of an edge set FFF and δ(X)\delta(X)δ(X) is the cut of X⊆VnX\subseteq V_nX⊆Vn​. The polytopes are

CUT(n)=conv{χδ(X)},COR(n)=conv{bb⊤:b∈{0,1}n}⊆Rn×n,\mathrm{CUT}(n)=\mathrm{conv}\{\chi^{\delta(X)}\},\qquad \mathrm{COR}(n)=\mathrm{conv}\{bb^\top : b\in\{0,1\}^n\}\subseteq\mathbb R^{n\times n},CUT(n)=conv{χδ(X)},COR(n)=conv{bb⊤:b∈{0,1}n}⊆Rn×n, TSP(n)=conv{χF:F⊆En is a tour (Hamiltonian cycle) of Kn}.\mathrm{TSP}(n)=\mathrm{conv}\{\chi^F : F\subseteq E_n \text{ is a tour (Hamiltonian cycle) of } K_n\}.TSP(n)=conv{χF:F⊆En​ is a tour (Hamiltonian cycle) of Kn​}.

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem 12

∃ C>0 ∃ N ∀n≥N:xc(TSP(n)) ≥ 2Cn.\exists\,C>0\ \exists\,N\ \forall n\ge N:\qquad \mathrm{xc}(\mathrm{TSP}(n))\ \ge\ 2^{C\sqrt n}.∃C>0 ∃N ∀n≥N:xc(TSP(n)) ≥ 2Cn​.

The constant is left unfixed, so the goal survives any improvement of it.

Milestones, in attack order

  • Razborov's distributional bound (displayed in the proof of Theorem 1) and Theorem 1: every 1-rectangle cover of the support of M(n)M(n)M(n) has 2Ω(n)2^{\Omega(n)}2Ω(n) rectangles.
  • Lemma 2 and Theorem 3 (Yannakakis): rank+(S)≤r\mathrm{rank}_+(S)\le rrank+​(S)≤r   ⟺  \iff⟺ an extension with at most rrr facets   ⟺  \iff⟺ an EF with at most rrr inequalities.
  • Theorem 4: rank+(M)\mathrm{rank}_+(M)rank+​(M) is at least the rectangle covering bound of its support (already proved on the platform, referenced).
  • Theorem 5: COR(n)\mathrm{COR}(n)COR(n) is linearly isomorphic to CUT(n+1)\mathrm{CUT}(n+1)CUT(n+1). Lemma 6: ⟨2 diag(a)−aa⊤,x⟩≤1\langle 2\,\mathrm{diag}(a)-aa^\top,x\rangle\le 1⟨2diag(a)−aa⊤,x⟩≤1 is valid for COR(n)\mathrm{COR}(n)COR(n), with slack MabM_{ab}Mab​ at bb⊤bb^\topbb⊤.
  • Theorem 7: xc(CUT(n+1))=xc(COR(n))≥2Cn\mathrm{xc}(\mathrm{CUT}(n+1))=\mathrm{xc}(\mathrm{COR}(n))\ge 2^{Cn}xc(CUT(n+1))=xc(COR(n))≥2Cn.
  • Lemma 9: xc\mathrm{xc}xc does not increase under taking faces or linear images. Lemma 11: TSP(q)\mathrm{TSP}(q)TSP(q) with q=O(n2)q=O(n^2)q=O(n2) has a face that is an extension of COR(n)\mathrm{COR}(n)COR(n).
  • Stable sets: Lemma 8 and Theorem 10, xc(STAB(Gn))=2Ω(n)\mathrm{xc}(\mathrm{STAB}(G_n))=2^{\Omega(\sqrt n)}xc(STAB(Gn​))=2Ω(n​) for some graph GnG_nGn​ on nnn vertices.

Significance

The theorem rules out every polynomial-size linear programming formulation of the TSP polytope, in any number of auxiliary variables, which settles Yannakakis's question. The cut polytope bound does the same for max-cut, and the stable set bound for the stable set problem on general graphs. The results do not depend on P vs NP: they concern one specific model of computation, linear programs whose feasible region projects onto the polytope. They started a line of work on extension complexity, including perfect matching (Rothvoss), approximate EFs and semidefinite lifts.

Formalizing the result would produce a machine-checked chain from a communication-complexity bound to a polyhedral one. The paper's results are proved; the input of Theorem 1, Razborov's bound, is only cited, and is posed here as a separate target. To our knowledge none of these statements has a formal proof in Lean or another proof assistant. The polyhedral layer (Yannakakis's theorem, faces and extensions) and the matrix layer (nonnegative rank, rectangle covers) can be reused for later extension-complexity results.

Difficulty

The obvious approach, bounding the number of facets of the TSP polytope, does not work: extended formulations exist precisely because a projection can have far more facets than the lifted polyhedron. Any lower bound must cover every lifting at once, which means working with the nonnegative rank of a slack matrix rather than with any concrete formulation. Ordinary rank is no help, because M(n)M(n)M(n) has rank O(n2)O(n^2)O(n2). The step that carries the weight is Razborov's distributional bound for disjointness, a nontrivial piece of communication complexity. On the polyhedral side, Lemma 11 needs a reduction from 3SAT to a directed and then an undirected Hamiltonian cycle problem, realized as a face of TSP(q)\mathrm{TSP}(q)TSP(q) with q=O(n2)q=O(n^2)q=O(n2). Theorem 12 also needs a monotonicity of xc(TSP(n))\mathrm{xc}(\mathrm{TSP}(n))xc(TSP(n)) in nnn that the paper only indicates.

Formalization scope

  • Everything is over R\mathbb RR. Points of Rd\mathbb R^dRd are functions ι→R\iota\to\mathbb Rι→R on a finite type. REn\mathbb R^{E_n}REn​ has one coordinate per unordered edge of KnK_nKn​ (non-diagonal elements of Sym2 (Fin n)). Rn×n\mathbb R^{n\times n}Rn×n is indexed by ordered pairs, and the Frobenius product is the dot product over ordered pairs. Bit strings are Fin n → Bool.
  • xc\mathrm{xc}xc and rank+\mathrm{rank}_+rank+​ are natural numbers (sInf of the attainable sizes), never ∞\infty∞, so no lower bound can hold through an infinite value. The size of an EF counts inequalities only.
  • Every 2Ω(f(n))2^{\Omega(f(n))}2Ω(f(n)) is ∃C>0 ∃N ∀n≥N\exists C>0\,\exists N\,\forall n\ge N∃C>0∃N∀n≥N, 2Cf(n)≤⋅2^{Cf(n)}\le\cdot2Cf(n)≤⋅ (real power). Every O(n2)O(n^2)O(n2) is a constant ccc with ≤c n2\le c\,n^2≤cn2, uniform in nnn.
  • Theorem 7 and Lemma 11 carry an added n≥1n\ge 1n≥1: at n=0n=0n=0 the printed statements fail, since COR(0)\mathrm{COR}(0)COR(0) is a point with xc=0\mathrm{xc}=0xc=0 and no positive q≤c⋅0q\le c\cdot 0q≤c⋅0 exists.
  • "Linearly isomorphic" in Theorem 5 is an injective linear map carrying CUT(n+1)\mathrm{CUT}(n+1)CUT(n+1) onto COR(n)\mathrm{COR}(n)COR(n), because the two ambient spaces have different dimensions.
  • In Theorem 3, dim⁡P≥1\dim P\ge 1dimP≥1 is "PPP has two distinct points". Faces include ∅\emptyset∅ and PPP, facets are maximal proper faces, and facets are counted with an explicit finite family.
  • Ruled out: a TSP polytope over ordered pairs, all cycles or directed tours, a weakened isomorphism in Theorem 5, and an extension complexity valued in N∪{∞}\mathbb N\cup\{\infty\}N∪{∞} that is infinite on a broken EF definition.
  • Welcome contributions: proofs of any milestone, in particular Lemma 2 and the factorization theorem (reusable for every later extension-complexity result), Theorem 5, and the face construction of Lemma 11; a proof of the monotonicity of xc(TSP(n))\mathrm{xc}(\mathrm{TSP}(n))xc(TSP(n)) in nnn as a supporting lemma.

Selected references

  • S. Fiorini, S. Massar, S. Pokutta, H. R. Tiwary, R. de Wolf, Exponential lower bounds for polytopes in combinatorial optimization, J. ACM 62(2), Art. 17, 2015. https://doi.org/10.1145/2716307
  • M. Yannakakis, Expressing combinatorial optimization problems by linear programs, J. Comput. Syst. Sci. 43(3), 441–466, 1991. https://doi.org/10.1016/0022-0000(91)90024-Y
  • A. A. Razborov, On the distributional complexity of disjointness, Theoret. Comput. Sci. 106(2), 385–390, 1992. https://doi.org/10.1016/0304-3975(92)90260-M
  • R. de Wolf, Nondeterministic quantum query and communication complexities, SIAM J. Comput. 32(3), 681–699, 2003. https://doi.org/10.1137/S0097539702407345
  • C. De Simone, The cut polytope and the Boolean quadric polytope, Discrete Math. 79(1), 71–75, 1990. https://doi.org/10.1016/0012-365X(90)90056-N
  • V. Kaibel, S. Weltge, A short proof that the extension complexity of the correlation polytope grows exponentially, Discrete Comput. Geom. 53, 397–401, 2015. https://doi.org/10.1007/s00454-014-9655-9
  • T. Rothvoss, The matching polytope has exponential extension complexity, J. ACM 64(6), Art. 41, 2017. https://doi.org/10.1145/3127497
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Operations ResearchOptimizationTheoretical Computer Science·Captain: mikedeng1

A Simple Forward Algorithm to Solve General Dynamic Lot Sizing Models with n Periods in O(n log n) or O(n) Time: Minimal Optimal Predecessor Lists Are Characterized by Strictly Increasing BreakpointsResearch Paper

Motivation

The dynamic lot size model asks when, and how much, to order of a single item over a planning horizon of nnn periods with known, time-varying demands, setup costs, unit order costs and holding costs. It is the textbook model of production planning and the building block of material requirements planning, multi-item scheduling and many decomposition schemes for larger supply-chain problems.

Wagner and Whitin (1958) showed that some optimal policy orders only when inventory is zero, which turns the problem into a shortest-path recursion with O(n2)O(n^2)O(n2) running time. For more than thirty years this was the standard algorithm. In 1991 three groups independently reduced the complexity: Federgruen and Tzur (Management Science 37(8), 1991), Wagelmans, van Hoesel and Kolen (Operations Research 40, 1992) and Aggarwal and Park (Operations Research 41, 1993). Each obtained O(nlog⁡n)O(n \log n)O(nlogn) in general and O(n)O(n)O(n) under special cost structures. The Federgruen–Tzur algorithm is a forward algorithm: at iteration jjj it keeps a short list of periods that could still be the best last setup period for some future horizon, and updates it by local tests on neighbouring entries. This mission formalizes the theorem that justifies those tests.

Setting

For periods i=1,2,…i = 1, 2, \dotsi=1,2,… let did_idi​ be the demand, KiK_iKi​ the setup cost, cic_ici​ the variable per unit order cost and hih_ihi​ the cost of carrying a unit of inventory at the end of period iii. Write D(i)=∑k=1idkD(i) = \sum_{k=1}^{i} d_kD(i)=∑k=1i​dk​ and H(i)=∑k=1ihkH(i) = \sum_{k=1}^{i} h_kH(i)=∑k=1i​hk​, so D(0)=H(0)=0D(0) = H(0) = 0D(0)=H(0)=0. For i<ji < ji<j let cij=ci+hi+⋯+hj−1c_{ij} = c_i + h_i + \dots + h_{j-1}cij​=ci​+hi​+⋯+hj−1​, let C~(i)=ci−H(i−1)\tilde C(i) = c_i - H(i-1)C~(i)=ci​−H(i−1), and let

S(i,j)=∑r=ij−1hr (D(j)−D(r))S(i, j) = \sum_{r=i}^{j-1} h_r\,\bigl(D(j) - D(r)\bigr)S(i,j)=r=i∑j−1​hr​(D(j)−D(r))

be the carrying cost of an order placed in period iii that covers the demands of periods i,…,ji, \dots, ji,…,j.

The costs are given by the zero-inventory recursion (2): F(0)=0F(0) = 0F(0)=0 and, for 1≤l≤t1 \le l \le t1≤l≤t,

F(l,t)=F(l−1)+Kl+S(l,t)+cl [D(t)−D(l−1)],F(t)=min⁡1≤l≤tF(l,t).F(l, t) = F(l-1) + K_l + S(l, t) + c_l\,[D(t) - D(l-1)], \qquad F(t) = \min_{1 \le l \le t} F(l, t).F(l,t)=F(l−1)+Kl​+S(l,t)+cl​[D(t)−D(l−1)],F(t)=1≤l≤tmin​F(l,t).

F(l,t)F(l, t)F(l,t) is the cost of the first ttt periods when the last setup is in period lll.

For two periods k<lk < lk<l the difference Δk,l(t)=F(k,t)−F(l,t)\Delta_{k,l}(t) = F(k,t) - F(l,t)Δk,l​(t)=F(k,t)−F(l,t) is affine in D(t)D(t)D(t), with intercept A(k,l)A(k,l)A(k,l) given by (4) and slope ck,l−cl=C~(k)−C~(l)c_{k,l} - c_l = \tilde C(k) - \tilde C(l)ck,l​−cl​=C~(k)−C~(l). Its root G(k,l)G(k,l)G(k,l) is defined by (5): A(k,l)/(C~(l)−C~(k))A(k,l)/(\tilde C(l) - \tilde C(k))A(k,l)/(C~(l)−C~(k)) when the slopes differ, and +∞+\infty+∞ or −∞-\infty−∞ according to the sign of A(k,l)A(k,l)A(k,l) when they agree. It is extended symmetrically, G(l,k)=G(k,l)G(l,k) = G(k,l)G(l,k)=G(k,l).

At iteration jjj the future demands are unknown, so a future horizon has a potential cumulative demand x≥D(j)x \ge D(j)x≥D(j). The jjjth Minimal Optimal Predecessors list Ω(j)\Omega(j)Ω(j) is the set of periods l≤jl \le jl≤j that are the lowest-index optimal last setup period, among {1,…,j}\{1, \dots, j\}{1,…,j}, for every potential cumulative demand in some open interval above D(j)D(j)D(j).

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem 1(a)

Let j≥1j \ge 1j≥1 and let S={i1,…,ir}S = \{i_1, \dots, i_r\}S={i1​,…,ir​} with Ω(j)⊆S⊆{1,…,j}\Omega(j) \subseteq S \subseteq \{1, \dots, j\}Ω(j)⊆S⊆{1,…,j}, ranked so that C~(i1)≥⋯≥C~(ir)\tilde C(i_1) \ge \dots \ge \tilde C(i_r)C~(i1​)≥⋯≥C~(ir​), with equal C~\tilde CC~-values in ascending order of index. Put g(1)=D(j)g(1) = D(j)g(1)=D(j) and g(l)=G(il,il−1)g(l) = G(i_l, i_{l-1})g(l)=G(il​,il−1​) for l=2,…,rl = 2, \dots, rl=2,…,r. Then

S=Ω(j)  ⟺  g(1)<g(2)<⋯<g(r)<∞.(6)S = \Omega(j) \iff g(1) < g(2) < \dots < g(r) < \infty. \tag{6}S=Ω(j)⟺g(1)<g(2)<⋯<g(r)<∞.(6)

Milestones

In attack order:

  • identity (1a) for the carrying costs;
  • Lemma 2(a)–(d), the linearity of Δk,l\Delta_{k,l}Δk,l​ and the sign test against its root G(k,l)G(k,l)G(k,l);
  • the claim that Ω(j)\Omega(j)Ω(j) contains an optimal last setup period for the horizon jjj;
  • the strict chains (7)–(8) of the Appendix;
  • Theorem 1(b), that under (6) the first entry i1i_1i1​ is an optimal last setup period l(j)l(j)l(j);
  • Theorem 1(c)(i)–(iii), the three elimination rules: g(2)≤D(j)g(2) \le D(j)g(2)≤D(j) removes i1i_1i1​, g(k+1)≤g(k)g(k+1) \le g(k)g(k+1)≤g(k) removes iki_kik​, and g(r)=∞g(r) = \inftyg(r)=∞ removes iri_rir​.

A supporting item potCost_spec certifies that the potential costs used to define Ω(j)\Omega(j)Ω(j) agree with the paper's F(l,t)F(l,t)F(l,t), up to a term that does not depend on lll.

Significance

Theorem 1 is what makes the forward algorithm correct. Part (a) reduces the minimality of a candidate list to a condition on consecutive pairs of a sorted list. Part (c) says which entry to delete when the condition fails. Part (b) says where to read off the optimal last setup period. With these, Ω(j)\Omega(j)Ω(j) is maintained by deletions at the ends and in the interior of a list ordered by C~\tilde CC~, and each period is inserted and deleted at most once; the O(nlog⁡n)O(n \log n)O(nlogn) bound, and the O(n)O(n)O(n) bound under the paper's special cost structures, follow from this bookkeeping. The same lower-envelope reasoning appears in the other 1991–1993 algorithms and in later extensions to backlogging and capacitated variants.

The result has a complete published proof. To our knowledge there is no machine-checked development of the Wagner–Whitin recursion or of any of the fast lot-sizing algorithms. This mission produces the model, the breakpoints and the Minimal Optimal Predecessors lists as reusable definitions, and a checked proof of the characterization. It also records two small corrections that a formal reading forces on the printed text (see Formalization scope).

Difficulty

Each piece in isolation is elementary algebra on affine functions. The difficulty is in the combinatorics of the lower envelope with ties. The natural argument "consecutive breakpoints increase, so each line owns an interval" must handle three things:

  • equal slopes, where G=±∞G = \pm\inftyG=±∞;
  • several lines meeting at one point;
  • the lowest-index tie-breaking that makes Ω(j)\Omega(j)Ω(j) minimal.

The "only if" direction needs every failure of (6) to be traced to an element that is never the unique lowest-index optimum on an interval. Ties are exactly where the printed definition of Ω(j)\Omega(j)Ω(j), read literally at a single demand value, breaks the theorem. A proof that ignores ties proves a statement that is false.

Formalization scope

  • Data and costs. The data are four functions N→R\mathbb N \to \mathbb RN→R bundled in a structure; values at index 000 are unused, and no sign conditions are imposed. FFF is defined by the recursion (2) with F(0)=0F(0) = 0F(0)=0. Its identification with the minimum cost over all feasible policies is the paper's Lemma 1 (Wagner–Whitin), which is not part of this mission. The horizon nnn is not a parameter.
  • Breakpoints. GGG and the critical values g(⋅)g(\cdot)g(⋅) take values in EReal, so ±∞\pm\infty±∞ are kept distinct from every real number. The final "<∞< \infty<∞" of (6) is part of the condition.
  • Ranked lists. A ranked set is a duplicate-free List ℕ. Lean lists are 0-based, so the paper's im+1i_{m+1}im+1​ and g(m+1)g(m+1)g(m+1) are entry mmm and gval j L m.
  • Disclosed change 1, Ω(j)\Omega(j)Ω(j). The page asks for a single potential cumulative demand D≥D(j)D \ge D(j)D≥D(j) at which lll is the lowest-index optimum. With that reading, Theorem 1(a) "only if" and Theorem 1(c) fail when two lines tie exactly at a breakpoint (an explicit five-period instance is in the definition's note). The formalization requires lll to be the lowest-index optimum on a nondegenerate open interval of potential demands above D(j)D(j)D(j). This is the paper's own description of the list on p. 915: "the unique optimal last setup period for any horizon … with potential cumulative demand g(k)<D<g(k+1)g(k) < D < g(k+1)g(k)<D<g(k+1)".
  • Disclosed change 2, Lemma 2(d). The printed hypothesis "ck,l<clc_{k,l} < c_lck,l​<cl​" duplicates part (c) and is read as "ck,l=clc_{k,l} = c_lck,l​=cl​". The equivalence "Δk,l≥0\Delta_{k,l} \ge 0Δk,l​≥0 iff D(t)≥G(k,l)D(t) \ge G(k,l)D(t)≥G(k,l)" is stated under A(k,l)≠0A(k,l) \ne 0A(k,l)=0, since A(k,l)=0A(k,l) = 0A(k,l)=0 gives G=+∞G = +\inftyG=+∞ by (5).
  • Ruling out trivial formalizations. The hypotheses of the goal are satisfiable for every j≥1j \ge 1j≥1: rank {1,…,j}\{1, \dots, j\}{1,…,j} itself. Ω(j)\Omega(j)Ω(j) is nonempty (a milestone). F(t)F(t)F(t) for t≥1t \ge 1t≥1 is a minimum over the nonempty set {1,…,t}\{1, \dots, t\}{1,…,t}, never a default value. GGG is never replaced by a real-valued junk value at equal slopes.
  • Out of scope. Lemma 1, Lemma 3, Corollaries 1–5, Theorem 2, the Algorithm's pseudo-code and its complexity analysis, and the submodularity discussion of §5.
  • Reusable infrastructure. The model, the recursion (2), AAA, GGG and Ω(j)\Omega(j)Ω(j) can be reused for the paper's algorithmic results and for related lot-sizing papers. Proofs of the milestones, in any order, are welcome.

Selected references

  • A. Federgruen and M. Tzur, A Simple Forward Algorithm to Solve General Dynamic Lot Sizing Models with n Periods in O(n log n) or O(n) Time, Management Science 37(8):909–925, 1991. https://doi.org/10.1287/mnsc.37.8.909
  • H. M. Wagner and T. M. Whitin, Dynamic Version of the Economic Lot Size Model, Management Science 5(1):89–96, 1958. https://doi.org/10.1287/mnsc.5.1.89
  • A. Wagelmans, S. van Hoesel and A. Kolen, Economic Lot-Sizing: An O(n log n) Algorithm That Runs in Linear Time in the Wagner-Whitin Case, Operations Research 40(1-supplement-1):S145–S156, 1992. https://doi.org/10.1287/opre.40.1.S145
  • A. Aggarwal and J. K. Park, Improved Algorithms for Economic Lot Size Problems, Operations Research 41(3):549–571, 1993. https://doi.org/10.1287/opre.41.3.549
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Operations ResearchOptimizationStochastic Systems·Captain: mikedeng1

An Efficient Algorithm for Computing an Optimal (r, Q) Policy in Continuous Review Stochastic Inventory Systems: Algorithm OPT Returns an Optimal Reorder Point and Order QuantityResearch Paper

Motivation

(r, Q) policies are the standard replenishment rule for a single item under continuous review: whenever the inventory position (stock on hand plus on order minus backorders) drops to the reorder point rrr, an order of size QQQ is placed. They are known to be optimal in the classical models with Poisson or compound renewal demand, constant or exogenous lead times and full backlogging, and they are used widely in practice and in multi-item and multi-echelon systems where they are applied item by item.

For decades, computing an optimal pair (r,Q)(r, Q)(r,Q) exactly was not routine. The textbook treatment of Hadley and Whitin (1963) gives approximations; as Browne and Zipkin (1991) put it, "until recently, there was no reliable, straightforward method for computing an optimal (r, Q) policy, even in the simple case of Poisson demand processes." Many heuristics were proposed (surveyed by Lee and Nahmias, 1989); the only exact procedure in circulation was in Zipkin's classnotes, based on a result of Sahin (1982).

Federgruen and Zheng (1992) give a short exact algorithm, Algorithm OPT, whose work is linear in the optimal order quantity Q∗Q^*Q∗. It rests only on the form of the cost, not on a particular demand model.

Setting

Inventory positions are integers (demand arrives unit by unit). A fixed cost κ>0\kappa>0κ>0 is charged per order, and G:Z→RG:\mathbb Z\to\mathbb RG:Z→R is the expected holding and backlogging cost rate as a function of the inventory position yyy. In all the models of the paper the long-run average cost of the (r,Q)(r,Q)(r,Q) policy, for an integer rrr and an integer Q≥1Q\ge1Q≥1, has the form

C(r,Q)=[κ+∑y=r+1r+QG(y)]/Q.(1)C(r,Q)=\Big[\kappa+\sum_{y=r+1}^{r+Q}G(y)\Big]\Big/Q. \tag{1}C(r,Q)=[κ+y=r+1∑r+Q​G(y)]/Q.(1)

The paper's standing assumptions on GGG are:

  1. −G-G−G is unimodal: there is an integer mmm with GGG nonincreasing on {y≤m}\{y\le m\}{y≤m} and nondecreasing on {y≥m}\{y\ge m\}{y≥m} (flat stretches allowed);
  2. lim⁡∣y∣→∞G(y)=∞\lim_{|y|\to\infty}G(y)=\inftylim∣y∣→∞​G(y)=∞.

The sequence yQy_QyQ​. Let y1y_1y1​ be an integer minimizing GGG. Given y1,…,yQy_1,\dots,y_Qy1​,…,yQ​, let L(Q)=min⁡{y1,…,yQ}L(Q)=\min\{y_1,\dots,y_Q\}L(Q)=min{y1​,…,yQ​} and R(Q)=max⁡{y1,…,yQ}R(Q)=\max\{y_1,\dots,y_Q\}R(Q)=max{y1​,…,yQ​}, and set

yQ+1={L(Q)−1if G(L(Q)−1)≤G(R(Q)+1),R(Q)+1otherwise.y_{Q+1}=\begin{cases}L(Q)-1 & \text{if } G(L(Q)-1)\le G(R(Q)+1),\\ R(Q)+1 & \text{otherwise.}\end{cases}yQ+1​={L(Q)−1R(Q)+1​if G(L(Q)−1)≤G(R(Q)+1),otherwise.​

So the window [L(Q),R(Q)][L(Q),R(Q)][L(Q),R(Q)] grows by one point at a time towards the smaller neighbouring value, ties going left. Write r∗(Q)r^*(Q)r∗(Q) for an optimal reorder point for a given QQQ, and

C∗(Q)=[κ+∑i=1QG(yi)]/Q.C^*(Q)=\Big[\kappa+\sum_{i=1}^{Q}G(y_i)\Big]\Big/Q .C∗(Q)=[κ+i=1∑Q​G(yi​)]/Q.

Algorithm OPT, Step 1. Variables S,Q,C∗,r,RS,Q,C^*,r,RS,Q,C∗,r,R start at S=κ+G(y1)S=\kappa+G(y_1)S=κ+G(y1​), Q=1Q=1Q=1, C∗=SC^*=SC∗=S, r=y1−1r=y_1-1r=y1​−1, R=y1+1R=y_1+1R=y1​+1. Each pass compares G(r)G(r)G(r) and G(R)G(R)G(R); on the smaller side (left on ties) it stops if C∗C^*C∗ is at most that value, and otherwise adds the value to SSS and moves rrr one step left or RRR one step right; then Q:=Q+1Q:=Q+1Q:=Q+1 and C∗:=S/QC^*:=S/QC∗:=S/Q. The output is the final (r,Q)(r,Q)(r,Q).

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem 1

Under the standing assumptions, Step 1 of Algorithm OPT, started from any global minimizer y1y_1y1​ of GGG, stops after finitely many passes, and its output (r,Q)(r,Q)(r,Q) satisfies Q≥1Q\ge1Q≥1 and

C(r,Q)≤C(r′,Q′)for all integers r′ and all integers Q′≥1.C(r,Q)\le C(r',Q')\qquad\text{for all integers } r' \text{ and all integers } Q'\ge 1 .C(r,Q)≤C(r′,Q′)for all integers r′ and all integers Q′≥1.

The goal fixes no constants and no demand model: it is a statement about every GGG satisfying the standing assumptions.

Milestones, in proof order

  • §2, p. 811: {y1,…,yQ}\{y_1,\dots,y_Q\}{y1​,…,yQ​} is the contiguous block [L(Q),R(Q)][L(Q),R(Q)][L(Q),R(Q)] of QQQ integers and carries the QQQ smallest values of GGG.
  • Figure 1 (p. 809): yQ+1y_{Q+1}yQ+1​ has the least GGG-value outside the window; in particular G(y1)≤G(y2)≤⋯G(y_1)\le G(y_2)\le\cdotsG(y1​)≤G(y2​)≤⋯.
  • Lemma 1: L(Q)−1L(Q)-1L(Q)−1 is an optimal reorder point for QQQ.
  • Corollary 1: r∗(Q)−1≤r∗(Q+1)≤r∗(Q)r^*(Q)-1\le r^*(Q+1)\le r^*(Q)r∗(Q)−1≤r∗(Q+1)≤r∗(Q).
  • Display before (6): min⁡rC(r,Q)=C∗(Q)\min_r C(r,Q)=C^*(Q)minr​C(r,Q)=C∗(Q).
  • (6): C∗(Q+1)=[QC∗(Q)+G(yQ+1)]/(Q+1)C^*(Q+1)=[QC^*(Q)+G(y_{Q+1})]/(Q+1)C∗(Q+1)=[QC∗(Q)+G(yQ+1​)]/(Q+1), and C∗(Q+1)<C∗(Q)C^*(Q+1)<C^*(Q)C∗(Q+1)<C∗(Q) iff G(yQ+1)<C∗(Q)G(y_{Q+1})<C^*(Q)G(yQ+1​)<C∗(Q).
  • Lemma 2: the smallest qqq with C∗(q)≤G(yq+1)C^*(q)\le G(y_{q+1})C∗(q)≤G(yq+1​) exists and is an optimal order size.
  • Step 1 tracks the sequence: from the state (κ+∑i≤QG(yi), Q, C∗(Q), L(Q)−1, R(Q)+1)(\kappa+\sum_{i\le Q}G(y_i),\,Q,\,C^*(Q),\,L(Q)-1,\,R(Q)+1)(κ+∑i≤Q​G(yi​),Q,C∗(Q),L(Q)−1,R(Q)+1) one pass stops with (L(Q)−1,Q)(L(Q)-1,Q)(L(Q)−1,Q) exactly when C∗(Q)≤G(yQ+1)C^*(Q)\le G(y_{Q+1})C∗(Q)≤G(yQ+1​) and otherwise moves to the same state for Q+1Q+1Q+1.

Significance

The result turns the joint minimization of (1) over (r,Q)∈Z×Z≥1(r,Q)\in\mathbb Z\times\mathbb Z_{\ge1}(r,Q)∈Z×Z≥1​, an unbounded two-dimensional integer problem, into a single scan whose length is Q∗Q^*Q∗ plus the distance to the minimizer of GGG. Because it uses only the form (1) and the unimodality of −G-G−G, it applies at once to Poisson and compound Poisson demand, to stochastic lead times with an equilibrium lead-time demand, and to cost structures with stockout penalties; the paper also notes extensions to (r,nQ)(r,nQ)(r,nQ) policies. Lemma 1 and Corollary 1 additionally give the structure of the optimal reorder point as a function of QQQ.

The result has been proved on paper since 1992. What this mission adds is a machine-checked proof of the algorithm's correctness for general GGG under exactly the paper's hypotheses. The platform already has the linear-cost special case of the underlying lemmas for one discrete demand model (InventoryControl.rq_discrete_recursion, rq_discrete_joint_optimal), but with C(Q)C(Q)C(Q) and Q∗Q^*Q∗ given as hypotheses and no algorithm; nothing on the platform states the algorithm or treats general unimodal −G-G−G.

Difficulty

The obvious argument says: for fixed QQQ the sum in (1) should cover the QQQ smallest values of GGG, and the greedy window collects exactly those. Both halves need care on the integers with flat stretches of GGG: "the QQQ smallest values" is ambiguous under ties, and the claim that a greedy window holds them relies on y1y_1y1​ being a global minimizer together with the unimodality of −G-G−G, not on convexity.

The stopping rule is the second point. Lemma 2 looks like a first-order condition, but C∗(⋅)C^*(\cdot)C∗(⋅) need not be convex; optimality of the first stopping qqq for all larger QQQ uses that the values G(yi)G(y_i)G(yi​) are nondecreasing along the sequence, which the paper uses without stating. Termination of the algorithm is not discussed on the page; it needs G→∞G\to\inftyG→∞, and fails for constant GGG.

Finally, the goal is about an imperative loop. Connecting its five variables to yQy_QyQ​, C∗(Q)C^*(Q)C∗(Q) and L(Q)L(Q)L(Q) is an invariant argument that has to match the tie-breaking and the non-strict stopping tests exactly.

Formalization scope

  • Types. G:Z→RG:\mathbb Z\to\mathbb RG:Z→R, κ∈R\kappa\in\mathbb Rκ∈R with κ>0\kappa>0κ>0, reorder points in Z\mathbb ZZ, order quantities in N\mathbb NN with Q≥1Q\ge1Q≥1 required wherever a cost appears. Lean's x/0=0x/0=0x/0=0 makes C(r,0)=0C(r,0)=0C(r,0)=0, so optimality is always quantified over Q′≥1Q'\ge1Q′≥1 and the goal asserts that the returned QQQ is ≥1\ge1≥1.
  • Assumptions. "−G-G−G unimodal" is NegUnimodal G: ∃m\exists m∃m, GGG antitone on (−∞,m](-\infty,m](−∞,m] and monotone on [m,∞)[m,\infty)[m,∞). "lim⁡∣y∣→∞G=∞\lim_{|y|\to\infty}G=\inftylim∣y∣→∞​G=∞" is Coercive G: G→+∞G\to+\inftyG→+∞ along atBot and atTop. Mathlib's QuasiconvexOn ℤ is not used: over Z\mathbb ZZ-weights it holds for every function.
  • The sequence. L(Q),R(Q)L(Q),R(Q)L(Q),R(Q) are defined by recursion on the window, and yyy is 1-based with an unused value at index 0; that L,RL,RL,R are the minimum and maximum of {y1,…,yQ}\{y_1,\dots,y_Q\}{y1​,…,yQ​}, as the paper defines them, is the first milestone.
  • The algorithm. Step 1 is transcribed literally, including G(r)≤G(R)G(r)\le G(R)G(r)≤G(R) → left and the non-strict tests C∗≤G(r)C^*\le G(r)C∗≤G(r), C∗≤G(R)C^*\le G(R)C∗≤G(R); GGG is evaluated directly instead of through the ΔG\Delta GΔG bookkeeping. The loop runs with a pass budget and returns nothing when the budget runs out; the goal states that for every large enough budget it returns an optimal pair.
  • Step 0 is not formalized. It scans L=0,1,…L=0,1,\dotsL=0,1,… for the first LLL with ΔG(L)≥0\Delta G(L)\ge0ΔG(L)≥0, under the paper's simplification y1>0y_1>0y1​>0; under unimodality alone it can stop on a plateau before the minimum. The goal starts Step 1 from a given global minimizer y1y_1y1​, which is the paper's own §2 setup and matches its p. 812 remark that Step 0 may be replaced by a bisection search.
  • Not formalized: Theorem 1's second sentence (the operation count), the derivations of (1) for specific demand models, and (5).
  • Corrected slips. The printed proof of Lemma 2 writes C(Q)−C(Q∗)C(Q)-C(Q^*)C(Q)−C(Q∗) with C∗(Q)C^*(Q)C∗(Q) inside the bracket; the correct identity has C∗(Q)−C∗(Q∗)C^*(Q)-C^*(Q^*)C∗(Q)−C∗(Q∗) and C∗(Q∗)C^*(Q^*)C∗(Q∗). Lemma 2's "Q∗Q^*Q∗" is formalized as existence of the smallest qqq with the property plus its optimality, since minimizers need not be unique; likewise "r∗(Q)=L(Q)−1r^*(Q)=L(Q)-1r∗(Q)=L(Q)−1" means L(Q)−1L(Q)-1L(Q)−1 is an optimal reorder point.
  • Ruled out. Defining the algorithm's output as an argmin of CCC, or by searching for Lemma 2's qqq, would make the goal trivial; the algorithm is defined by its steps. A statement of the form "if the run returns a pair, it is optimal" would be vacuous for a loop that never stops; termination is part of the goal.

Proofs of any milestone are welcome, as are general lemmas on windows of unimodal integer sequences, which are reusable beyond this mission.

Selected references

  • A. Federgruen and Y.-S. Zheng, An Efficient Algorithm for Computing an Optimal (r, Q) Policy in Continuous Review Stochastic Inventory Systems, Operations Research 40(4):808–813, 1992. https://doi.org/10.1287/opre.40.4.808
  • G. Hadley and T. M. Whitin, Analysis of Inventory Systems, Prentice-Hall, 1963.
  • S. Browne and P. Zipkin, Inventory Models with Continuous, Stochastic Demands, Annals of Applied Probability 1(3):419–435, 1991. https://doi.org/10.1214/aoap/1177005875
  • H. L. Lee and S. Nahmias, Single-Product, Single-Location Models, in Handbooks in OR & MS vol. 4, 1993 (cited by the paper as a 1989 working paper).
  • I. Sahin, On the Objective Function Behavior in (s, S) Inventory Models, Operations Research 30(4):709–724, 1982. https://doi.org/10.1287/opre.30.4.709
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Algorithmic Game TheoryMechanism DesignOperations Research+1·Captain: mikedeng1

Multi-parameter Mechanism Design and Sequential Posted Pricing 3: Order-Oblivious Posted Prices 2-Approximate the Optimal Revenue under a Uniform Matroid ConstraintResearch Paper

Motivation

Myerson's optimal auction (Myerson 1981) maximizes a seller's expected revenue when buyers have independent private values, but it is a sealed-bid mechanism: every buyer reports a value, and the allocation and payments are computed from all reports at once. Real sellers more often post prices: buyers arrive, each sees a take-it-or-leave-it price, and buys or leaves. Chawla, Hartline, Malec and Sivan (arXiv:0907.2435) ask how much revenue such simple mechanisms lose. Their strongest notion is the order-oblivious posted-price mechanism (OPM): the prices are fixed in advance, and the guarantee must hold whatever order the buyers arrive in, even an adversarial one.

The tool behind the guarantee for sellers of kkk identical units is a prophet inequality. In the single-choice version, a gambler inspects independent random rewards one at a time and must accept or reject each on the spot; Krengel and Sucheston, and Samuel-Cahn (Ann. Probab. 1984), showed that a single fixed threshold earns at least half of what a prophet who sees all rewards earns. The paper extends Samuel-Cahn's threshold rule to kkk choices (Appendix D.2) and turns it into a revenue guarantee (Theorem 10).

Setting

There are nnn agents [n][n][n]. Agent iii's value viv_ivi​ for being served is drawn independently from a distribution FiF_iFi​ with density fif_ifi​; the virtual valuation is ϕi(v)=v−(1−Fi(v))/fi(v)\phi_i(v) = v - (1 - F_i(v))/f_i(v)ϕi​(v)=v−(1−Fi​(v))/fi​(v) (Definition 1), and FiF_iFi​ is regular if ϕi\phi_iϕi​ is non-decreasing (Definition 2). The seller may serve any set of agents in a downward-closed set system J\mathcal JJ; this mission uses the kkk-uniform matroid, where a set is feasible exactly when it has at most kkk members.

A mechanism MMM maps reported values v\mathbf vv to an allocation M(v)∈JM(\mathbf v) \in \mathcal JM(v)∈J and payments πi(v)\pi_i(\mathbf v)πi​(v). It is truthful if reporting the true value is a dominant strategy and no agent ever gets negative utility. Its expected revenue is RM=Ev[∑iπi(v)]\mathcal R^M = \mathbb E_{\mathbf v}[\sum_i \pi_i(\mathbf v)]RM=Ev​[∑i​πi​(v)], and RM\mathcal R^{\mathcal M}RM denotes the revenue of Myerson's mechanism, the largest over truthful mechanisms (Theorem 19).

Given prices p\mathbf pp and values v\mathbf vv, agent iii desires service if vi≥piv_i \ge p_ivi​≥pi​. Let Sv\mathcal S_{\mathbf v}Sv​ be the class of maximal feasible sets of desiring agents. When agents arrive in an arbitrary order and each buys if it desires service and can still be feasibly served, the set of buyers lies in Sv\mathcal S_{\mathbf v}Sv​. The paper's pessimistic revenue estimate is

Rpobl=Ev∼F min⁡S∈Sv∑i∈Spi.\mathcal R^{\mathrm{obl}}_{\mathbf p} = \mathbb E_{\mathbf v \sim \mathbf F}\ \min_{S \in \mathcal S_{\mathbf v}} \sum_{i \in S} p_i .Rpobl​=Ev∼F​ S∈Sv​min​i∈S∑​pi​.

For the prophet inequality, X1,…,XnX_1, \dots, X_nX1​,…,Xn​ are independent nonnegative random variables with order statistics X(1)≥⋯≥X(n)X_{(1)} \ge \dots \ge X_{(n)}X(1)​≥⋯≥X(n)​, and (x)+=max⁡(0,x)(x)^+ = \max(0, x)(x)+=max(0,x). The threshold rule with threshold ccc picks indices t1(c),…,tk(c)t_1(c), \dots, t_k(c)t1​(c),…,tk​(c), where ti(c)t_i(c)ti​(c) is the lesser of n−k+in-k+in−k+i and the iii-th smallest index jjj with Xj≥cX_j \ge cXj​≥c (or n−k+in - k + in−k+i if there is none). The numbers a∗a^*a∗ and b∗b^*b∗ are the unique solutions of

a=∑i=1kE(X(i)−a/k)+,b=∑i=1nE(Xi−b/k)+.a = \sum_{i=1}^k \mathbb E\big(X_{(i)} - a/k\big)^+, \qquad b = \sum_{i=1}^n \mathbb E\big(X_i - b/k\big)^+ .a=i=1∑k​E(X(i)​−a/k)+,b=i=1∑n​E(Xi​−b/k)+.

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem 10 (p. 9)

∃ p  ∀M truthful:RM≤2 Rpobl\exists\, \mathbf p\ \ \forall M \text{ truthful}:\qquad \mathcal R^M \le 2\, \mathcal R^{\mathrm{obl}}_{\mathbf p}∃p  ∀M truthful:RM≤2Rpobl​

for every instance with regular distributions and a kkk-uniform matroid constraint. The prices are chosen once, before the mechanism it is compared with; this is the paper's "Rpobl\mathcal R^{\mathrm{obl}}_{\mathbf p}Rpobl​ 2-approximates RM\mathcal R^{\mathcal M}RM".

Milestones

  1. Proposition 1 (p. 5): under regularity, the expected revenue of a truthful mechanism equals its expected virtual surplus E[∑i∈M(v)ϕi(vi)]\mathbb E[\sum_{i \in M(\mathbf v)} \phi_i(v_i)]E[∑i∈M(v)​ϕi​(vi​)] (with the lowest type receiving zero utility).
  2. a∗a^*a∗ and b∗b^*b∗ exist and are unique (App. D.2, p. 18).
  3. The claim a∗≤b∗a^* \le b^*a∗≤b∗ (App. D.2, p. 18).
  4. Theorem 24 (p. 18), the kkk-choice prophet inequality: for a∗≤kc≤b∗a^* \le k c \le b^*a∗≤kc≤b∗,
∑i=1kE[X(i)]≤2∑i=1kE[Xti(c)].\sum_{i=1}^k \mathbb E\big[X_{(i)}\big] \le 2 \sum_{i=1}^k \mathbb E\big[X_{t_i(c)}\big].i=1∑k​E[X(i)​]≤2i=1∑k​E[Xti​(c)​].

Significance

The theorem says that a seller of kkk identical units can fix one price per buyer, ignore the arrival order entirely, and still collect half of the optimal revenue. The factor 2 is tight: Appendix D.2 gives a single-item example with two buyers where no order-oblivious pricing does better. Corollary 11 extends the result to partition matroids, and Theorem 24 is reused for the graphical-matroid result (Theorem 12, App. D.3). Theorem 24 is a statement in optimal stopping independent of mechanism design, and kkk-choice prophet inequalities are now a standard tool for online allocation.

The results are proved in the paper (preprint arXiv:0907.2435v2; a conference version appeared at STOC 2010). To our knowledge none of them, nor any prophet inequality, has a machine-checked proof; Mathlib has independence of random variables but no order statistics, stopping-rule prophet inequalities, or Myerson's revenue characterization in this multi-agent dominant-strategy form. A related single-unit, Bayesian-incentive-compatible form of Proposition 1 exists on the platform (MechanismDesign.Auctions.revenue_eq_virtual_surplus), in a different model.

Difficulty

The threshold rule picks the first values above ccc, not the largest, and its picks are dependent random indices; the expectation E[Xti(c)]\mathbb E[X_{t_i(c)}]E[Xti​(c)​] does not factor. The obvious comparison of the gambler with the prophet term by term fails, because the gambler can exhaust its kkk picks on early, small values. The bound has to balance two events: either at least kkk values reach ccc, or a value is picked whenever it exceeds ccc; independence enters exactly in the second. The rule also has forced picks at the end of the sequence, which must be handled as stated.

On the mechanism side, Rpobl\mathcal R^{\mathrm{obl}}_{\mathbf p}Rpobl​ is a minimum over an adversarially chosen family, not the revenue of one run, so it cannot be read off from a single sequential mechanism. Proposition 1 needs the full revenue-equivalence argument: monotone allocations, the payment identity, and an integration by parts against the density.

Formalization scope

  • Distributions: each FiF_iFi​ has a bounded support [v‾i,v‾i][\underline v_i, \overline v_i][v​i​,vi​] with 0≤v‾i0 \le \underline v_i0≤v​i​, and a measurable density positive on it (a pinned convention; the paper says only "with density fif_ifi​"). Regularity is required on the support. The prior is the product of the marginals.
  • Mechanisms: deterministic, dominant-strategy incentive compatible and ex-post individually rational on the type space, with measurable allocation events and measurable, integrable payments. Payments of unserved agents are not forced to be zero.
  • RM\mathcal R^{\mathcal M}RM is not constructed. The goal is stated against every truthful mechanism, which by Theorem 19 is equivalent. Quantifier order matters: "for every mechanism there are prices" is a weaker statement and is not the goal.
  • Proposition 1 carries the normalization that an agent of the lowest type gets zero utility, which the paper presupposes on p. 12.
  • Rpobl\mathcal R^{\mathrm{obl}}_{\mathbf p}Rpobl​ is a genuine minimum over the finite, nonempty family Sv\mathcal S_{\mathbf v}Sv​; maximality is essential, since without it the empty set makes the estimate 000 and the goal false. Prices are arbitrary reals.
  • a∗a^*a∗ and b∗b^*b∗ are characterised by their equations as hypotheses, not defined by an infimum. Order statistics count multiplicity. Lean indices are 0-based. The threshold rule includes the page's forced picks ti(c)=n−k+it_i(c) = n - k + iti​(c)=n−k+i; it is not replaced by a pure threshold rule. Theorem 24 and the claims about a∗,b∗a^*, b^*a∗,b∗ assume 1≤k≤n1 \le k \le n1≤k≤n; the goal assumes nothing about kkk.
  • Out of scope: non-regular distributions (ironing), Corollary 11, and the p. 19 identity rewriting Rpobl\mathcal R^{\mathrm{obl}}_{\mathbf p}Rpobl​ as a sum of virtual values (a proof step, not a milestone).

Useful reusable infrastructure: order statistics and their measurability, Samuel-Cahn-type threshold rules, and Myerson's payment identity for dominant-strategy mechanisms. Proofs of any milestone, and supporting lemmas on these objects, are welcome.

Selected references

  • S. Chawla, J. D. Hartline, D. Malec, B. Sivan, Multi-parameter Mechanism Design and Sequential Posted Pricing, arXiv:0907.2435v2, 2010 (STOC 2010). https://arxiv.org/abs/0907.2435
  • R. B. Myerson, Optimal Auction Design, Mathematics of Operations Research 6(1), 1981. https://doi.org/10.1287/moor.6.1.58
  • E. Samuel-Cahn, Comparison of Threshold Stop Rules and Maximum for Independent Nonnegative Random Variables, Annals of Probability 12(4), 1984. https://doi.org/10.1214/aop/1176993150
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Algorithmic Game TheoryCombinatoricsMechanism Design+2·Captain: mikedeng1

Multi-parameter Mechanism Design and Sequential Posted Pricing 2: Sequential Posted Prices e/(e−1)-Approximate the Optimal Revenue under a Partition Matroid ConstraintResearch Paper

Motivation

A seller who knows the distributions of buyers' values can maximise expected revenue with Myerson's optimal mechanism (Myerson 1981): collect bids, compute virtual values, serve a feasible set of maximum virtual surplus, and charge threshold payments. Real sellers seldom run such auctions. They post prices: a buyer is offered a take-it-or-leave-it price and either accepts or walks away. Posted prices need no bidding, involve no competition between buyers, and are trivially truthful. The question is how much revenue they give up.

Chawla, Hartline, Malec and Sivan (arXiv:0907.2435, STOC 2010) answer this for a range of feasibility constraints with a single construction, the sequential posted-price mechanism (SPM) S\mathcal SS. For general matroids it loses at most a factor 222 (Theorem 5). For uniform and partition matroids, that is, multi-unit sales and unions of multi-unit sales, it loses at most a factor e/(e−1)≈1.58e/(e-1)\approx1.58e/(e−1)≈1.58 (Theorem 6), and the paper shows this factor is tight for its mechanism. This mission targets Theorem 6.

Timeline. Myerson (1981) characterised the optimal single-parameter mechanism. Blumrosen and Holenstein (2008) showed that the best single-unit SPM can be a factor π/2\sqrt{\pi/2}π/2​ below Myerson's revenue even with i.i.d. buyers. Chawla, Hartline and Kleinberg (EC 2007) used posted prices to approximate multi-parameter unit-demand pricing. Chawla, Hartline, Malec and Sivan (2010) gave the matroid, partition-matroid and matroid-intersection bounds. Yan (SODA 2011) explained the e/(e−1)e/(e-1)e/(e−1) factor through the correlation gap of submodular functions and sharpened it for kkk units to 1−kke−k/k!1-k^ke^{-k}/k!1−kke−k/k!.

Setting

There are nnn agents. Agent iii has a private value viv_ivi​ for being served, drawn independently from a distribution FiF_iFi​ with density fif_ifi​. The virtual value is φi(v)=v−1−Fi(v)fi(v)\varphi_i(v)=v-\frac{1-F_i(v)}{f_i(v)}φi​(v)=v−fi​(v)1−Fi​(v)​, and FiF_iFi​ is regular if φi\varphi_iφi​ is non-decreasing. The seller may serve any set in a downward-closed family J⊆2[n]\mathcal J\subseteq2^{[n]}J⊆2[n].

A partition matroid assigns each agent iii to a part part(i)\mathrm{part}(i)part(i) and each part bbb a capacity cap(b)∈N\mathrm{cap}(b)\in\mathbb Ncap(b)∈N. A set is feasible iff it contains at most cap(b)\mathrm{cap}(b)cap(b) agents of every part bbb. With one part of capacity kkk this is the kkk-uniform matroid: at most kkk agents are served.

A truthful mechanism MMM maps a value vector v\mathbf vv to a feasible set M(v)M(\mathbf v)M(v) and payments πi(v)\pi_i(\mathbf v)πi​(v). It is dominant-strategy incentive compatible and individually rational. Its expected revenue is RM=E[∑iπi(v)]\mathcal R^M=\mathbb E[\sum_i\pi_i(\mathbf v)]RM=E[∑i​πi​(v)], and qiM=Pr⁡[i∈M(v)]q^M_i=\Pr[i\in M(\mathbf v)]qiM​=Pr[i∈M(v)] is its service probability for agent iii.

The sequential posted-price mechanism S\mathcal SS built from MMM sets the price pi=Fi−1(1−qiM)p_i=F_i^{-1}(1-q^M_i)pi​=Fi−1​(1−qiM​) for agent iii, so that agent iii accepts with probability exactly qiMq^M_iqiM​. It approaches the agents one at a time in decreasing order of price (σ\sigmaσ is the ordering). It offers agent iii the price pip_ipi​ if adding iii to the agents already served keeps the set feasible. The agent accepts iff pi≤vip_i\le v_ipi​≤vi​. Its expected revenue is Rpσ\mathcal R^\sigma_{\mathbf p}Rpσ​.

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem 6, partition matroids

For every partition matroid, every truthful MMM, and S\mathcal SS built from MMM as above,

RM≤ee−1 Rpσ.\mathcal R^M\le\frac{e}{e-1}\,\mathcal R^\sigma_{\mathbf p}.RM≤e−1e​Rpσ​.

Taking MMM to be Myerson's mechanism gives the paper's statement.

Milestones

  1. Lemma 2 (regular case): RM≤∑ipiMqiM\mathcal R^M\le\sum_ip^M_iq^M_iRM≤∑i​piM​qiM​ with piM=Fi−1(1−qiM)p^M_i=F_i^{-1}(1-q^M_i)piM​=Fi−1​(1−qiM​).
  2. Rank bound (§4): ∑i∈SqiM≤rank⁡(S)\sum_{i\in S}q^M_i\le\operatorname{rank}(S)∑i∈S​qiM​≤rank(S) for every set SSS; for a part bbb this reads ∑part(i)=bqiM≤cap(b)\sum_{\mathrm{part}(i)=b}q^M_i\le\mathrm{cap}(b)∑part(i)=b​qiM​≤cap(b).
  3. Single-unit revenue formula (App. C.2): RS=∑kckpkqk\mathcal R^{\mathcal S}=\sum_kc_kp_kq_kRS=∑k​ck​pk​qk​ with ck=∏j<k(1−qj)c_k=\prod_{j<k}(1-q_j)ck​=∏j<k​(1−qj​), positions in offer order.
  4. Lemma 20: with ppp defined by ∑kpkqk=p∑kqk\sum_kp_kq_k=p\sum_kq_k∑k​pk​qk​=p∑k​qk​ (equation (2)) and prices decreasing, p∑kckqk≤∑kckpkqkp\sum_kc_kq_k\le\sum_kc_kp_kq_kp∑k​ck​qk​≤∑k​ck​pk​qk​.
  5. Display (3): if ∑kqk=s≤1\sum_kq_k=s\le1∑k​qk​=s≤1, then p∑kckqk=p(1−∏k(1−qk))≥p(1−(1−s/n)n)≥(1−1/e)psp\sum_kc_kq_k=p(1-\prod_k(1-q_k))\ge p(1-(1-s/n)^n)\ge(1-1/e)psp∑k​ck​qk​=p(1−∏k​(1−qk​))≥p(1−(1−s/n)n)≥(1−1/e)ps.
  6. Theorem 21: the goal for the 111-uniform matroid.
  7. Theorem 22: the goal for the kkk-uniform matroid, every kkk.

Significance

The theorem shows that a mechanism with no bidding loses at most about 37%37\%37% of the optimal revenue when the constraint is a union of multi-unit supplies. That covers selling several kinds of goods, each in limited stock, to single-minded buyers. The prices are computed once from the distributions. The order is fixed before any value is seen. No agent's payment depends on another agent's report. The factor is tight for this mechanism (App. C.2), and the same template (prices from service probabilities, decreasing order) gives factor 222 for all matroids and m+1m+1m+1 for intersections of mmm matroids.

On the formal side, the paper's results are proved but none is machine-checked as far as we know. The platform has Myerson-type results for a single unit with Bayesian incentive compatibility and a common support (Börgers), and for i.i.d. buyers with a fixed number of units (Talluri and van Ryzin). Neither covers independent, non-identical buyers under a set-system constraint with dominant-strategy truthfulness. A complete development would include the ex-ante revenue bound of Lemma 2 for regular distributions, which is reusable for any posted-price or prophet-inequality argument, and the 1−1/e1-1/e1−1/e correlation-gap inequality.

Difficulty

The obvious argument compares S\mathcal SS with Myerson's mechanism one agent at a time. That fails, because S\mathcal SS may stop offering to an agent once the units of its part are gone, and the agents blocked this way can be the ones Myerson's mechanism serves. The loss has to be bounded in aggregate, using only the ex-ante constraint ∑part(i)=bqi≤cap(b)\sum_{\mathrm{part}(i)=b}q_i\le\mathrm{cap}(b)∑part(i)=b​qi​≤cap(b). The single-unit case reduces to an inequality about products ∏(1−qj)\prod(1-q_j)∏(1−qj​). For kkk units, the printed proof (pp. 15–16) is an induction that compares the run with a hypothetical single-unit instance with probabilities qi/kq_i/kqi​/k. Its second case is informal, so a formal proof needs its own argument for the kkk-unit bound. Passing from uniform to partition matroids needs the observation that with a global order the run inside each part depends only on that part's agents. Lemma 2 needs the revenue-curve concavity that regularity gives, stated through densities rather than derivatives.

Formalization scope

  • Values. Each FiF_iFi​ has a density that is measurable and strictly positive on a bounded interval [v‾i,vˉi][\underline v_i,\bar v_i][v​i​,vˉi​] with 0≤v‾i0\le\underline v_i0≤v​i​, integrates to 111 there, and has no mass outside. The paper says only "with density fif_ifi​". This pin rules out point masses, so the randomised-price variant of S\mathcal SS never arises. The prior is the product of these laws.
  • Regularity is φi\varphi_iφi​ non-decreasing on the support, assumed for every agent in the goal, as in the paper's §4 analyses. The non-regular extension (second paragraph of Lemma 2, Appendix E) is out of scope.
  • Truthful means deterministic, dominant-strategy incentive compatible over the support, ex-post individually rational, feasible, with measurable allocations and integrable payments.
  • Prices are arguments tied to MMM by pi∈[v‾i,vˉi]p_i\in[\underline v_i,\bar v_i]pi​∈[v​i​,vˉi​] and Fi(pi)=1−qiMF_i(p_i)=1-q^M_iFi​(pi​)=1−qiM​. No inverse distribution function is defined.
  • Order. The order σ\sigmaσ is a permutation with σ(0)\sigma(0)σ(0) first, decreasing in price, and ties are arbitrary. It is global across parts. Parts of capacity 000 are allowed.
  • Constant. The constant is exactly e/(e−1)e/(e-1)e/(e−1).
  • No free prices. The theorem is not stated with free or existentially chosen prices. Prices are pinned to MMM's service probabilities, and S\mathcal SS uses the same constraint as MMM. A statement in which the prices could be chosen after the fact, or in which MMM were not required to be individually rational, would be a different or false theorem.
  • Every truthful MMM. The comparison is with every truthful MMM, not with a constructed Myerson mechanism. This form is at least as strong as the paper's, and it is what the paper's proof shows.

Welcome contributions: proofs of the algebraic milestones (Lemma 20, display (3)), the revenue formula, Lemma 2 (reusable payment-identity infrastructure for dominant-strategy mechanisms), and a correlation-gap argument for kkk units.

Selected references

  • S. Chawla, J. D. Hartline, D. L. Malec, B. Sivan, Multi-parameter Mechanism Design and Sequential Posted Pricing, STOC 2010; arXiv:0907.2435v2, 2010. https://arxiv.org/abs/0907.2435
  • R. B. Myerson, Optimal Auction Design, Mathematics of Operations Research 6(1), 1981. https://doi.org/10.1287/moor.6.1.58
  • L. Blumrosen, T. Holenstein, Posted Prices vs. Negotiations: An Asymptotic Analysis, ACM EC 2008.
  • Q. Yan, Mechanism Design via Correlation Gap, ACM-SIAM SODA 2011.
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Algorithmic Game TheoryCombinatoricsMechanism Design+2·Captain: mikedeng1

Multi-parameter Mechanism Design and Sequential Posted Pricing 1: Sequential Posted Prices 2-Approximate the Optimal Revenue under a Matroid ConstraintResearch Paper

Why posted prices

A seller who must decide whom to serve among several buyers with private values can, in principle, run Myerson's revenue-optimal mechanism: collect bids, compute virtual values, serve the feasible set of largest virtual surplus, and charge threshold payments (Myerson 1981). In practice sellers rarely do this. Retail, ticketing and online platforms mostly use posted prices: each buyer is offered a take-it-or-leave-it price and accepts if and only if the price does not exceed the buyer's value. Posted prices are simple to explain, are trivially truthful, and do not require buyers to reveal their values.

Chawla, Hartline, Malec and Sivan (arXiv:0907.2435, STOC 2010) asked how much revenue is lost by this simplification, and showed that for a wide range of feasibility constraints a sequential posted-price mechanism recovers a constant fraction of the optimal revenue. The matroid case, a factor of 2, is the first and most widely cited of their results. It is a revenue analogue of the prophet inequality and was one of the starting points of the literature on "simple versus optimal" mechanisms.

Setting

There are nnn single-parameter agents, indexed by [n][n][n], and one seller. Agent iii has a private value viv_ivi​ for being served, drawn independently from a distribution FiF_iFi​ with density fif_ifi​. The virtual valuation of agent iii is

ϕi(vi)=vi−1−Fi(vi)fi(vi),\phi_i(v_i) = v_i - \frac{1 - F_i(v_i)}{f_i(v_i)},ϕi​(vi​)=vi​−fi​(vi​)1−Fi​(vi​)​,

and FiF_iFi​ is regular if ϕi\phi_iϕi​ is non-decreasing.

The seller faces a feasibility constraint: a downward-closed family J\mathcal JJ of subsets of [n][n][n], the sets of agents that can be served together. The rank of a set SSS is rank⁡(S)=max⁡S′⊆S, S′∈J∣S′∣\operatorname{rank}(S) = \max_{S' \subseteq S,\, S' \in \mathcal J} |S'|rank(S)=maxS′⊆S,S′∈J​∣S′∣. The constraint is a matroid if it satisfies the augmentation axiom: whenever A,B∈JA, B \in \mathcal JA,B∈J and ∣A∣>∣B∣|A| > |B|∣A∣>∣B∣, some e∈A∖Be \in A \setminus Be∈A∖B has B∪{e}∈JB \cup \{e\} \in \mathcal JB∪{e}∈J. Examples are kkk identical units (kkk-uniform matroids) and disjoint markets with separate capacities (partition matroids).

A mechanism MMM maps reported values v\mathbf vv to a feasible set M(v)∈JM(\mathbf v) \in \mathcal JM(v)∈J of served agents and a payment πi(v)\pi_i(\mathbf v)πi​(v) for each agent. It is truthful if reporting the true value is a dominant strategy and no agent ends with negative utility. Its expected revenue is RM=E[∑iπi(v)]\mathcal R^M = \mathbb E[\sum_i \pi_i(\mathbf v)]RM=E[∑i​πi​(v)], and qiM=Pr⁡[i∈M(v)]q^M_i = \Pr[i \in M(\mathbf v)]qiM​=Pr[i∈M(v)] is the probability that it serves agent iii.

A sequential posted-price mechanism (SPM) with ordering σ\sigmaσ and prices p\mathbf pp approaches the agents in the order σ\sigmaσ. When agent iii's turn comes, if adding iii to the set AAA of agents served so far keeps AAA feasible, iii is offered price pip_ipi​ and is served (and pays pip_ipi​) if pi≤vip_i \le v_ipi​≤vi​; otherwise iii is blocked. Its expected revenue is Rpσ\mathcal R^\sigma_{\mathbf p}Rpσ​.

The mechanism S\mathcal SS of the paper sets pi=Fi−1(1−qiM)p_i = F_i^{-1}(1 - q^M_i)pi​=Fi−1​(1−qiM​), so that agent iii accepts an offer with probability exactly qiMq^M_iqiM​, and approaches the agents in decreasing order of price.

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem 5

For regular, independent values and a matroid constraint, for every truthful mechanism MMM and the SPM S\mathcal SS built from its service probabilities,

RM≤2 Rpσ.\mathcal R^M \le 2\, \mathcal R^\sigma_{\mathbf p}.RM≤2Rpσ​.

Taking MMM to be Myerson's optimal mechanism gives the paper's statement that S\mathcal SS 2-approximates the optimal revenue.

Milestones

  1. Proposition 1 (p. 5): the expected revenue of a truthful mechanism equals its expected virtual surplus E[∑i∈M(v)ϕi(vi)]\mathbb E[\sum_{i \in M(\mathbf v)} \phi_i(v_i)]E[∑i∈M(v)​ϕi​(vi​)].
  2. Lemma 2 (p. 5): RM≤∑ipiMqiM\mathcal R^M \le \sum_i p^M_i q^M_iRM≤∑i​piM​qiM​ with piM=Fi−1(1−qiM)p^M_i = F_i^{-1}(1 - q^M_i)piM​=Fi−1​(1−qiM​).
  3. Revenue of an SPM (§2.2, p. 4): Rpσ=∑iciqipi\mathcal R^\sigma_{\mathbf p} = \sum_i c_i q_i p_iRpσ​=∑i​ci​qi​pi​, where cic_ici​ is the probability that agent iii is offered service and qi=1−Fi(pi)q_i = 1 - F_i(p_i)qi​=1−Fi​(pi​).
  4. Rank bound (§4, p. 6): ∑i∈SqiM≤rank⁡(S)\sum_{i \in S} q^M_i \le \operatorname{rank}(S)∑i∈S​qiM​≤rank(S) for every set SSS.
  5. Lost revenue (proof of Theorem 5, p. 7): in any run under a matroid, with prices in decreasing order and weights qqq satisfying the rank bound, ∑i blockedpiqi≤∑i servedpi\sum_{i \text{ blocked}} p_i q_i \le \sum_{i \text{ served}} p_i∑i blocked​pi​qi​≤∑i served​pi​.
  6. Half of the benchmark (p. 7): under the same conditions, ∑ipiqi≤2Rpσ\sum_i p_i q_i \le 2 \mathcal R^\sigma_{\mathbf p}∑i​pi​qi​≤2Rpσ​.

Significance

The theorem shows that under a matroid constraint the optimal mechanism's advantage over a single round of posted prices is at most a factor of 2, uniformly over all regular distributions. Prices, rather than an auction, then suffice up to a constant, which justifies posted pricing in settings where an auction is impractical. The same argument, with the matroid replaced by an intersection of mmm matroids, gives the paper's Theorems 7 and 8, and the bound underlies the analysis of VCG with reserve prices (Theorem 32). Lemma 2's benchmark ∑ipiMqiM\sum_i p^M_i q^M_i∑i​piM​qiM​ became a standard tool for "ex ante relaxation" arguments.

The results are proved in the paper; none of them has a machine-checked proof. Formalizing them requires Myerson's revenue characterization in a multi-agent, dominant-strategy setting with a general feasibility constraint, which Lean's libraries do not have, and a probabilistic analysis of a sequential process over a product measure. Related formalizations exist for narrower models: the single-unit, Bayesian incentive compatible revenue identity MechanismDesign.Auctions.revenue_eq_virtual_surplus (Börgers' textbook, common support) and the i.i.d. multi-unit RevenueManagement.revenue_equivalence. Neither covers per-agent supports, set-system constraints or dominant-strategy truthfulness.

Difficulty

The obvious argument compares the SPM with the hypothetical mechanism that ignores the feasibility constraint, whose revenue is exactly ∑ipiqi\sum_i p_i q_i∑i​pi​qi​. The SPM loses the revenue of agents who would have accepted but are blocked. The difficulty is that blocking is correlated with the values of earlier agents, and the lost revenue must be bounded by revenue actually collected. A naive per-agent charge fails in a general matroid, because one served agent can block many others; the bound has to use the matroid's rank structure together with the decreasing price order.

On the mechanism side, Lemma 2 needs the full Myerson theory: monotonicity of truthful allocations, the payment identity, and an optimization over interim allocation rules with a fixed service probability, where regularity is used.

Formalization scope

All objects live in the namespace CHMSPricing.SpmMatroid. Agents are Fin n. The following conventions are fixed.

  • Distributions. Each FiF_iFi​ is given by a measurable density, strictly positive on a bounded interval [v‾i,v‾i][\underline v_i, \overline v_i][v​i​,vi​] with 0≤v‾i<v‾i0 \le \underline v_i < \overline v_i0≤v​i​<vi​, integrating to 111 there, with no mass outside. There are no point masses, so the randomized variant of S\mathcal SS in §4 does not arise. The prior is the product measure.
  • Regularity. Monotone non-decreasing virtual values on the support (Definition 2). All goals assume regular distributions, as the body's analyses do; the non-regular case (the second paragraph of Lemma 2, Appendix E) uses randomized prices and is out of scope.
  • Truthfulness. Deterministic mechanisms, dominant-strategy incentive compatible with deviations within the support, ex-post individually rational, feasible on the type space, with measurable allocation events and measurable integrable payments. Payments of unserved agents are not forced to zero.
  • Benchmark. The goal is stated for every truthful MMM, with S\mathcal SS built from MMM's own service probabilities; this is stronger than comparing with Myerson's mechanism alone and avoids constructing it.
  • Prices. pi=Fi−1(1−qi)p_i = F_i^{-1}(1 - q_i)pi​=Fi−1​(1−qi​) is passed as an argument with the hypotheses pi∈[v‾i,v‾i]p_i \in [\underline v_i, \overline v_i]pi​∈[v​i​,vi​] and Fi(pi)=1−qiF_i(p_i) = 1 - q_iFi​(pi​)=1−qi​, rather than through a generalized inverse.
  • SPM. Positions are 000-based; the price belongs to the agent; acceptance is pi≤vip_i \le v_ipi​≤vi​; ties in the decreasing price order are arbitrary, and the goal holds for every such order.
  • Proposition 1 additionally assumes the normalization that an agent with value v‾i\underline v_iv​i​ has zero utility, which is how the paper's payments are pinned down.

The goal cannot be trivialized by a free choice of prices: the prices are tied to the mechanism's service probabilities, and the SPM uses the same matroid as the mechanism. Individual rationality is essential, since without it a "truthful" mechanism can extract unbounded revenue.

A complete development needs Myerson's lemma for dominant-strategy single-parameter mechanisms, a quantile/revenue-curve argument under regularity, matroid span and rank facts for the paper's finite set systems, and independence arguments for a sequential process on a product measure. The rank bound and the deterministic lost-revenue inequality are independent of the probabilistic parts and are good first contributions; the Myerson-side lemmas are reusable for the other missions of this series.

Selected references

  • S. Chawla, J. D. Hartline, D. Malec, B. Sivan, Multi-parameter Mechanism Design and Sequential Posted Pricing, arXiv:0907.2435v2, 2010; STOC 2010. https://arxiv.org/abs/0907.2435
  • R. B. Myerson, Optimal Auction Design, Mathematics of Operations Research 6(1):58–73, 1981. https://doi.org/10.1287/moor.6.1.58
  • J. Bulow, J. Roberts, The Simple Economics of Optimal Auctions, Journal of Political Economy 97(5):1060–1090, 1989. https://doi.org/10.1086/261643
  • R. Kleinberg, S. M. Weinberg, Matroid Prophet Inequalities, STOC 2012. https://arxiv.org/abs/1201.4764
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Operations ResearchOptimization·Captain: mikedeng1

One-Machine Sequencing to Minimize Certain Functions of Job Tardiness I: SPT Order Minimizes Total Tardiness When Each Due Date Plus Processing Time Is at Most the Next SPT Completion TimeResearch Paper

Why total tardiness on one machine

A shop that promises delivery dates is judged by how late its orders are, not by how early. For a single machine processing nnn jobs that are all available at time 000, the total tardiness of a processing order,

T=∑i∈Jmax⁡(0, Ci−di),T=\sum_{i\in J}\max(0,\,C_i-d_i),T=i∈J∑​max(0,Ci​−di​),

charges each job the amount by which its completion time CiC_iCi​ exceeds its due date did_idi​, and nothing for finishing early. It is one of the basic criteria of deterministic scheduling (Conway, Maxwell and Miller, Theory of Scheduling, 1967), and the single-machine problem of minimizing it is the core subproblem of many dispatching and decomposition methods.

Two contrasting rules are classical. Sequencing in order of shortest processing time (SPT) minimizes total lateness ∑i(Ci−di)\sum_i (C_i-d_i)∑i​(Ci​−di​) and total completion time (Smith, 1956), and it minimizes total tardiness when every job is tardy under it. Sequencing by earliest due date (EDD) minimizes total tardiness when at most one job is tardy under it. Between these extremes no simple rule is optimal, and before 1969 the proposed exact methods (Held and Karp, 1962; Lawler, 1964; Elmaghraby, 1968) searched subsets of schedules.

Timeline.

  • 1956: Smith's ratio rule for weighted completion time; SPT for flow time and lateness.
  • 1965: Root notes that SPT is optimal for total tardiness when all due dates are equal.
  • 1969: Emmons (Operations Research 17(4)) proves dominance theorems that fix the relative order of pairs of jobs in some optimal schedule, and derives from them general sufficient conditions for SPT and EDD optimality.
  • 1977: Lawler gives a pseudopolynomial algorithm, built on Emmons's dominance results (Annals of Discrete Mathematics 1).
  • 1990: Du and Leung prove the problem NP-hard (Mathematics of Operations Research 15(3)), so sufficient conditions of Emmons's kind are the most one can expect from a simple rule.

This mission formalizes Emmons's SPT side: the pairwise dominance theorem for a shorter job before a longer one, and its corollary that the SPT schedule is optimal under a condition far weaker than "every job is tardy".

Setting

A finite set JJJ of jobs is processed on one machine. Job iii has a processing time pi≥0p_i\ge 0pi​≥0 and a due date di∈Rd_i\in\mathbb Rdi​∈R. A schedule of JJJ is an ordering of the jobs of JJJ; the machine starts at time 000, never idles, and processes the jobs in that order, so a job's completion time CiC_iCi​ is the sum of the processing times of the jobs up to and including it. Its tardiness is Ti=max⁡(0,Ci−di)T_i=\max(0, C_i-d_i)Ti​=max(0,Ci​−di​), and the schedule's total tardiness is T=∑i∈JTiT=\sum_{i\in J}T_iT=∑i∈J​Ti​. A schedule is optimal if no schedule of JJJ has smaller total tardiness.

Following Emmons, jobs are SPT-indexed: J1,…,JnJ_1,\dots,J_nJ1​,…,Jn​ are numbered so that j<kj<kj<k implies pj<pkp_j<p_kpj​<pk​, or pj=pkp_j=p_kpj​=pk​ and dj≤dkd_j\le d_kdj​≤dk​. The SPT schedule processes J1,J2,…,JnJ_1,J_2,\dots,J_nJ1​,J2​,…,Jn​ in this order.

Emmons's notation j←kj\leftarrow kj←k ("JjJ_jJj​ precedes JkJ_kJk​ in an optimal schedule") means that there exists an optimal schedule having all properties already established and in which JjJ_jJj​ comes before JkJ_kJk​. The set BkB_kBk​ collects the jobs already known to precede JkJ_kJk​.

Formalization targets

Goal: Corollary 1.4 (p. 705)

dj+pj≤∑i=1j+1pi(j=1,…,n−1)⟹the SPT schedule minimizes ∑i∈Jmax⁡(0,Ci−di).d_j+p_j\le\sum_{i=1}^{j+1}p_i\quad(j=1,\dots,n-1)\quad\Longrightarrow\quad\text{the SPT schedule minimizes } \sum_{i\in J}\max(0,C_i-d_i).dj​+pj​≤i=1∑j+1​pi​(j=1,…,n−1)⟹the SPT schedule minimizes i∈J∑​max(0,Ci​−di​).

The condition can be read as dj≤Cj+(pj+1−pj)d_j\le C_j+(p_{j+1}-p_j)dj​≤Cj​+(pj+1​−pj​) with CjC_jCj​ the SPT completion time of JjJ_jJj​, so it allows jobs to be early. It is the paper's sufficient condition for SPT optimality, and the conclusion is optimality against every schedule of JJJ.

Milestones

  1. Interchange claim (proof of Theorem 1, p. 703): in a schedule where all of BBB precede JkJ_kJk​ and JkJ_kJk​ precedes JjJ_jJj​, with j<kj<kj<k and dj≤max⁡(∑Bpi+pk, dk)d_j\le\max(\sum_{B}p_i+p_k,\,d_k)dj​≤max(∑B​pi​+pk​,dk​), interchanging JjJ_jJj​ and JkJ_kJk​ does not increase total tardiness.
  2. Theorem 1 (p. 703): if some optimal schedule has all of BBB before JkJ_kJk​ and dj≤max⁡(∑Bpi+pk, dk)d_j\le\max(\sum_{B}p_i+p_k,\,d_k)dj​≤max(∑B​pi​+pk​,dk​), then some optimal schedule has all of BBB before JkJ_kJk​ and also JjJ_jJj​ before JkJ_kJk​.
  3. Corollary 1.1 (p. 704): if d1≤max⁡(pi,di)d_1\le\max(p_i,d_i)d1​≤max(pi​,di​) for all i>1i>1i>1, then J1J_1J1​ is first in an optimal schedule.
  4. Time re-referencing (p. 705): processing JkJ_kJk​ first leaves the problem on J∖{Jk}J\setminus\{J_k\}J∖{Jk​} with due dates di−pkd_i-p_kdi​−pk​.
  5. First-job reduction (p. 705): JkJ_kJk​ followed by an optimal schedule of that reduced problem is optimal, whenever some optimal schedule starts with JkJ_kJk​.

Two further results are included as supporting statements: Corollary 1.2 (p. 705, JnJ_nJn​ last) and Corollary 2.3 (p. 707, the adjacent-pair rule j←kj\leftarrow kj←k iff dj≤max⁡(W+pk,dk)d_j\le\max(W+p_k,d_k)dj​≤max(W+pk​,dk​) after a waiting time WWW).

Significance

Corollary 1.4 turns an NP-hard problem into a closed-form answer on a recognizable class of instances: one pass over the SPT order checks the condition, and if it holds no search is needed. Theorem 1 is the more general tool. It orders pairs of jobs in an optimal schedule, and together with Emmons's companion theorems it underlies later exact methods for total tardiness, including Lawler's decomposition and the branch-and-bound algorithms that use Emmons's dominance rules for pruning.

The results are proved in the paper. What a formalization adds is a checked account of the step that the paper treats informally: dominance statements are existential ("some optimal schedule has JjJ_jJj​ before JkJ_kJk​"), and the paper argues on p. 702 that such statements can be accumulated. Each statement here makes explicit which previously established properties the new optimal schedule keeps. No machine-checked proof of these results was found on Prove2Me or in Mathlib at the time of drafting.

Difficulty

The obvious argument is a pairwise interchange, but the interchanged jobs are not adjacent. Moving JkJ_kJk​ from before JjJ_jJj​ to JjJ_jJj​'s position shifts every job in between, changes two tardiness terms in different directions, and the comparison depends on where the due dates fall relative to the start of JkJ_kJk​ and the end of JjJ_jJj​. The hypothesis involving ∑Bkpi\sum_{B_k}p_i∑Bk​​pi​ only controls the start time of JkJ_kJk​ through the information that BkB_kBk​ precedes it, so the existence statement must carry that information along.

The goal is not a direct consequence of Theorem 1 applied pairwise: existential conclusions for different pairs need not hold in a common optimal schedule. Optimality of one fixed order requires all the pairwise decisions to be realized simultaneously, and the problem changes (due dates shift) once a job is fixed in place.

Formalization scope

Jobs are elements of a type ι\iotaι with a linear order that plays the role of the paper's index, and the job set is a Finset ι; this lets the reduction remove a job and keep the remaining labels. Schedules and completion times are the published definitions MooreLateJobs.Shared.IsSchedule and MooreLateJobs.Shared.completionTime (duplicate-free lists containing exactly the jobs of JJJ; prefix sums of processing times from time 000). Tardiness, total tardiness, optimality (against every schedule of JJJ), "precedes" (comparison of positions), the SPT indexing convention and the SPT schedule (the jobs sorted by index) are defined in EmmonsTardiness.SPT.Model. Processing times and due dates are real.

Conventions and deviations from the page:

  • Added: processing times are nonnegative, pi≥0p_i\ge0pi​≥0 for i∈Ji\in Ji∈J. They are durations; the proof of Theorem 1 uses that the start time of JkJ_kJk​ is at least ∑Bkpi\sum_{B_k}p_i∑Bk​​pi​, and Corollary 2.3's second direction is false without it.
  • Not imposed: the reduction di<∑Jpid_i<\sum_J p_idi​<∑J​pi​ of p. 703. It is a without-loss-of-generality preprocessing step that no statement needs, so dropping it makes the statements stronger.
  • Kept: the SPT indexing convention of p. 703 is a hypothesis of every statement that refers to job indices.
  • j←kj\leftarrow kj←k: the "properties already established" are the precedences named in hypothesis (1); the broader cumulative reading of p. 702 is not formalized.

A formalization of the goal as "some optimal schedule starts with J1J_1J1​", or of Theorem 1 with an arbitrary set BBB unrelated to optimal schedules, would be a different and weaker (or false) statement; the targets above state optimality of the SPT schedule itself and tie BBB to an optimal schedule.

Needed infrastructure: lemmas on prefix sums of lists, on the effect of a transposition on positions in a duplicate-free list, on removing the head of a schedule, and existence of an optimal schedule among the finitely many permutations of JJJ. These list-scheduling lemmas are reusable for other single-machine results (Moore 1968, and the EDD mission of this series). Proofs of the milestones, alternative arguments, and general interchange lemmas are all welcome.

Selected references

  • H. Emmons, One-Machine Sequencing to Minimize Certain Functions of Job Tardiness, Operations Research 17(4):701–715, 1969. https://doi.org/10.1287/opre.17.4.701
  • R. W. Conway, W. L. Maxwell, L. W. Miller, Theory of Scheduling, Addison-Wesley, 1967.
  • W. E. Smith, Various Optimizers for Single-Stage Production, Naval Research Logistics Quarterly 3:59–66, 1956. https://doi.org/10.1002/nav.3800030106
  • J. G. Root, Scheduling with Deadlines and Loss Functions on k Parallel Machines, Management Science 11:460–475, 1965. https://doi.org/10.1287/mnsc.11.4.460
  • J. M. Moore, An n Job, One Machine Sequencing Algorithm for Minimizing the Number of Late Jobs, Management Science 15(1):102–109, 1968. https://doi.org/10.1287/mnsc.15.1.102
  • E. L. Lawler, A "Pseudopolynomial" Algorithm for Sequencing Jobs to Minimize Total Tardiness, Annals of Discrete Mathematics 1:331–342, 1977. https://doi.org/10.1016/S0167-5060(08)70742-8
  • J. Du, J. Y.-T. Leung, Minimizing Total Tardiness on One Machine is NP-Hard, Mathematics of Operations Research 15(3):483–495, 1990. https://doi.org/10.1287/moor.15.3.483
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