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Functional AnalysisMachine LearningNumerical Analysis+2·Captain: Shuze Chen

The Nature of Statistical Learning Theory VII: Tikhonov Regularization of Ill-Posed ProblemsTextbook

Why ill-posed problems appear in learning

Estimating a probability density, a conditional probability or a conditional density from data can be written as solving a linear operator equation Af=FAf = FAf=F whose right-hand side FFF is a distribution function. The true FFF is unknown; only its empirical estimate FℓF_\ellFℓ​ is available, built from ℓ\ellℓ observations. The Glivenko–Cantelli theorem and the Kolmogorov–Smirnov law (Vapnik 2000, §7.3) guarantee that FℓF_\ellFℓ​ is close to FFF in the uniform metric. However, the operator AAA (for densities, integration) has an unbounded inverse. A small change in the right-hand side can produce an arbitrarily large change in the solution, so solving Af=FℓAf = F_\ellAf=Fℓ​ directly gives nonsense. Hadamard called such problems ill-posed.

Regularization handles this. Tikhonov (1963) proposed replacing the equation by the minimization of a penalized residual. Tikhonov and Arsenin (1977) proved that the regularized solutions converge to the true solution when the data error and the regularization parameter go to zero together in a controlled way. Vapnik and Stefanyuk (1978) extended this to random right-hand sides, the case of statistical estimation, and Stefanyuk (1986) to the case where the operator is estimated as well. Chapter 7 of The Nature of Statistical Learning Theory collects these results, without proofs, as the foundation of its SVM approach to density and conditional-probability estimation. This mission formalizes them.

Setting

Let (E1,ρE1)(E_1, \rho_{E_1})(E1​,ρE1​​) and (E2,ρE2)(E_2, \rho_{E_2})(E2​,ρE2​​) be metric spaces and A:E1→E2A : E_1 \to E_2A:E1​→E2​ a continuous one-to-one operator. The operator equation (7.12) is Af=FAf = FAf=F. Its solution fff exists and is unique, but A−1A^{-1}A−1 need not be continuous.

A regularization functional is a map Ω:E1→[0,∞]\Omega : E_1 \to [0, \infty]Ω:E1​→[0,∞] that is lower semicontinuous and whose sublevel sets {g:Ω(g)≤c}\{g : \Omega(g) \le c\}{g:Ω(g)≤c} are compact for every c>0c > 0c>0. Its domain is {Ω<∞}\{\Omega < \infty\}{Ω<∞}. In Lean this is NatureSLT.IllPosed.IsRegularizer.

Tikhonov's functional (Method T) for a parameter γ>0\gamma > 0γ>0 and a right-hand side F′F'F′ is

WT(g)=ρE22(Ag,F′)+γ Ω(g),W_T(g) = \rho^2_{E_2}(A g, F') + \gamma\, \Omega(g),WT​(g)=ρE2​2​(Ag,F′)+γΩ(g),

which is NatureSLT.IllPosed.tikhonovFunctional. A regularized solution is any minimizer of WTW_TWT​ over E1E_1E1​.

In the deterministic problem, for every δ>0\delta > 0δ>0 an approximation FδF_\deltaFδ​ with ρE2(F,Fδ)≤δ\rho_{E_2}(F, F_\delta) \le \deltaρE2​​(F,Fδ​)≤δ is given, and fδf_\deltafδ​ minimizes WTW_TWT​ with F′=FδF' = F_\deltaF′=Fδ​ and γ=γ(δ)\gamma = \gamma(\delta)γ=γ(δ). In the stochastic problem, FℓF_\ellFℓ​ are random elements of E2E_2E2​ converging to FFF in probability, and fℓf_\ellfℓ​ minimizes WTW_TWT​ with F′=FℓF' = F_\ellF′=Fℓ​ and γ=γℓ→0\gamma = \gamma_\ell \to 0γ=γℓ​→0. When the operator is also estimated by random continuous operators AℓA_\ellAℓ​, their distance to AAA is measured by (7.48),

∥Aℓ−A∥=sup⁡Ω(f)<∞ρE2(Aℓf,Af)Ω1/2(f),\|A_\ell - A\| = \sup_{\Omega(f) < \infty} \frac{\rho_{E_2}(A_\ell f, A f)}{\Omega^{1/2}(f)},∥Aℓ​−A∥=Ω(f)<∞sup​Ω1/2(f)ρE2​​(Aℓ​f,Af)​,

which is NatureSLT.IllPosed.operatorDistance.

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem 7.1 (p. 238)

Let the exact solution fff lie in the domain of Ω\OmegaΩ, and suppose γ(δ)>0\gamma(\delta) > 0γ(δ)>0 satisfies (7.17):

γ(δ)→0 (δ→0),lim sup⁡δ→0+δ2γ(δ)≤r<∞.\gamma(\delta) \to 0 \ (\delta \to 0), \qquad \limsup_{\delta \to 0^+} \frac{\delta^2}{\gamma(\delta)} \le r < \infty .γ(δ)→0 (δ→0),δ→0+limsup​γ(δ)δ2​≤r<∞.

Then every family of minimizers fδf_\deltafδ​ of ρE22(Ag,Fδ)+γ(δ)Ω(g)\rho^2_{E_2}(Ag, F_\delta) + \gamma(\delta)\Omega(g)ρE2​2​(Ag,Fδ​)+γ(δ)Ω(g) satisfies fδ→ff_\delta \to ffδ​→f in E1E_1E1​ as δ→0+\delta \to 0^+δ→0+. This is the weakest statement in the chapter: it fixes no rate and assumes only metric structure.

Milestones

  1. Theorem 7.2 (p. 238). E1E_1E1​ is a real Hilbert space, AAA is linear, Ω(f)=∥f∥2\Omega(f) = \|f\|^2Ω(f)=∥f∥2, γ(δ)→0\gamma(\delta) \to 0γ(δ)→0 and δ2/γ(δ)→0\delta^2/\gamma(\delta) \to 0δ2/γ(δ)→0 (7.18). Then minimizers of (7.19) converge to fff in norm.
  2. Theorem 7.3 (p. 239). For any ε,μ>0\varepsilon, \mu > 0ε,μ>0 there is n(ε,μ)n(\varepsilon,\mu)n(ε,μ) such that for all ℓ>n(ε,μ)\ell > n(\varepsilon,\mu)ℓ>n(ε,μ)
P{ρE1(fℓ,f)>ε}≤P{ρE2(Fℓ,F)>γℓ μ}.(7.21)P\{\rho_{E_1}(f_\ell, f) > \varepsilon\} \le P\{\rho_{E_2}(F_\ell, F) > \sqrt{\gamma_\ell\,\mu}\}. \tag{7.21}P{ρE1​​(fℓ​,f)>ε}≤P{ρE2​​(Fℓ​,F)>γℓ​μ​}.(7.21)
  1. Theorem 7.4 (p. 239). E1E_1E1​ Hilbert, AAA linear, Ω(f)=∥f∥2\Omega(f) = \|f\|^2Ω(f)=∥f∥2. For any ε>0\varepsilon > 0ε>0 there is n(ε)n(\varepsilon)n(ε) such that for all ℓ>n(ε)\ell > n(\varepsilon)ℓ>n(ε)
P{∥fℓ−f∥2>ε}<2 P{ρE22(Fℓ,F)>ε2γℓ}.P\{\|f_\ell - f\|^2 > \varepsilon\} < 2\,P\{\rho^2_{E_2}(F_\ell, F) > \tfrac{\varepsilon}{2}\gamma_\ell\}.P{∥fℓ​−f∥2>ε}<2P{ρE2​2​(Fℓ​,F)>2ε​γℓ​}.
  1. Theorem 7.5 (p. 251). For any ε>0\varepsilon > 0ε>0 and constants C1,C2>0C_1, C_2 > 0C1​,C2​>0 there is γ0>0\gamma_0 > 0γ0​>0 such that for any γℓ≤γ0\gamma_\ell \le \gamma_0γℓ​≤γ0​
P{ρE1(fℓ,f)>ε}≤P{ρE2(Fℓ,F)>C1γℓ}+P{∥Aℓ−A∥>C2γℓ}.(7.49)P\{\rho_{E_1}(f_\ell, f) > \varepsilon\} \le P\{\rho_{E_2}(F_\ell, F) > C_1\sqrt{\gamma_\ell}\} + P\{\|A_\ell - A\| > C_2\sqrt{\gamma_\ell}\}. \tag{7.49}P{ρE1​​(fℓ​,f)>ε}≤P{ρE2​​(Fℓ​,F)>C1​γℓ​​}+P{∥Aℓ​−A∥>C2​γℓ​​}.(7.49)

The constants are the book's: the rrr of (7.17), the γℓμ\sqrt{\gamma_\ell\mu}γℓ​μ​ of (7.21), the factor 222 and the threshold ε2γℓ\tfrac{\varepsilon}{2}\gamma_\ell2ε​γℓ​ of Theorem 7.4, and the C1γℓC_1\sqrt{\gamma_\ell}C1​γℓ​​, C2γℓC_2\sqrt{\gamma_\ell}C2​γℓ​​ of (7.49).

Significance

Theorem 7.1 is what makes regularization a method rather than a heuristic: it names the admissible parameter choices, γ(δ)→0\gamma(\delta) \to 0γ(δ)→0 no faster than δ2\delta^2δ2, under which the regularized solution recovers the true one. Theorems 7.3 and 7.4 turn it into probability statements. Combined with any rate of convergence of the empirical distribution function, they give consistency of density estimation by Method T, which is the Corollary on p. 239. Theorem 7.5 does the same when the operator itself is estimated from data, as in conditional probability estimation (§7.9). Chapter 7's SVM estimators of densities and conditional probabilities rest on these statements.

The results are classical and proved in the literature cited. None of them is machine-checked. The platform has Tikhonov-regularized dynamics (TikhonovHDD) and finite-dimensional ridge identities (RobustLS.Tikhonov), but not the convergence theory of Tikhonov's method for operator equations. A formalization supplies a reusable notion of regularization functional on a metric space, the Tikhonov functional over [0,∞][0,\infty][0,∞], and the operator distance (7.48), for later work on inverse problems and nonparametric estimation.

Difficulty

The obvious approach, inverting AAA and passing to the limit, fails because A−1A^{-1}A−1 is not continuous: ρE2(Afδ,F)→0\rho_{E_2}(Af_\delta, F) \to 0ρE2​​(Afδ​,F)→0 alone does not force fδ→ff_\delta \to ffδ​→f. The deterministic theorems need control of the regularized solutions that the residual does not give, and in Theorem 7.2 that control must be obtained without compact sublevel sets, since the balls of an infinite-dimensional Hilbert space are not compact. In the stochastic theorems the difficulty is uniformity: a deterministic convergence statement for each outcome does not give the explicit comparison of probabilities that (7.21) and (7.49) assert. In (7.49) the bound must hold for every parameter below a threshold that depends only on ε\varepsilonε, C1C_1C1​, C2C_2C2​.

Two warnings from reading the chapter apply. Theorem 7.4 as printed is false: with exact data (Fℓ=FF_\ell = FFℓ​=F) both probabilities vanish for all large ℓ\ellℓ, and the strict inequality 0<00 < 00<0 fails (finding F1). Also, the three "uniqueness" properties of Ω\OmegaΩ listed on p. 235 are mutually inconsistent at f=0f = 0f=0, which is why they are not assumed (finding F3).

Formalization scope

All statements live in NatureSLT.IllPosed. Ω\OmegaΩ takes values in ℝ≥0∞. The book's "positive" is nonnegativity and its domain F\mathcal FF is {Ω≠∞}\{\Omega \ne \infty\}{Ω=∞}. "Semicontinuous" is lower semicontinuity. The exact solution is assumed to lie in the domain of Ω\OmegaΩ (the book assumes this tacitly); otherwise every point could minimize WTW_TWT​. Every theorem is stated for every family of minimizers, given as a hypothesis, never for a chosen sequence, and does not assert that minimizers exist. Statements of the form "there exists a sequence that converges" are a trivializing formalization and are ruled out. The limit in (7.17) is read as a limsup in [0,∞][0,\infty][0,∞], and δ→0\delta \to 0δ→0 is taken along δ>0\delta > 0δ>0. Hilbert spaces are real. Linearity of AAA (Theorems 7.2 and 7.4) makes E2E_2E2​ a real normed space. In the stochastic theorems the probability space (S,P)(S, P)(S,P) is arbitrary, and the random elements FℓF_\ellFℓ​, fℓf_\ellfℓ​ (and in 7.5 the random distance ∥Aℓ−A∥\|A_\ell - A\|∥Aℓ​−A∥) are Borel measurable by hypothesis, so no event gets probability zero by convention. In (7.48) a point with Ω(f)=0\Omega(f) = 0Ω(f)=0 contributes 000 if Aℓf=AfA_\ell f = AfAℓ​f=Af and ∞\infty∞ otherwise. In Theorem 7.5, γ0\gamma_0γ0​ is quantified before the random data, so it is uniform over all of them.

Beyond the paper. One variant item is posed: [Corrected] Theorem 7.4, the same statement with ≤\le≤ in place of <<<. Its evidence is the exact-data counterexample above, which has been checked in Lean. The faithful Theorem 7.4 stays a milestone.

Not included: the Glivenko–Cantelli theorem in the book's in-probability form (the platform's GlivenkoCantelli.glivenko_cantelli is the almost-sure form), the Kolmogorov–Smirnov limit laws (7.10)–(7.11), and Theorem 7.6, whose notion of consistency is not pinned down on the page. Contributions welcome: compactness arguments in metric spaces, weak compactness and the Radon–Riesz property in Hilbert spaces, and measurability lemmas for minimizers.

Selected references

  • V. N. Vapnik, The Nature of Statistical Learning Theory, 2nd ed., Springer, 2000, Chapter 7. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-1-4757-3264-1
  • A. N. Tikhonov, "On solving ill-posed problem and method of regularization", Doklady Akademii Nauk USSR 153 (1963), 501–504 (as cited in Vapnik 2000; no stable link).
  • A. N. Tikhonov and V. Y. Arsenin, Solution of Ill-Posed Problems, W. H. Winston, Washington, DC, 1977 (no stable link).
  • V. N. Vapnik and A. R. Stefanyuk, "Nonparametric methods for estimating probability densities", Automation and Remote Control (8), 1978 (as cited in Vapnik 2000; no stable link).
  • A. R. Stefanyuk, 1986, cited in Vapnik 2000, p. 251, for Theorem 7.5; the book's bibliography gives no entry for it.
  • V. N. Vapnik, Statistical Learning Theory, Wiley, 1998, which contains the proofs the 2000 book omits (no stable link).
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AnalysisHarmonic AnalysisMachine Learning+2·Captain: Shuze Chen

The Nature of Statistical Learning Theory VI: Kernels Generating Regularized Fourier ExpansionsTextbook

Motivation

A support vector machine never computes its feature map. It only evaluates a kernel K(x,y)K(x, y)K(x,y), the inner product of the feature vectors of xxx and yyy. When the features are the first NNN terms of an expansion, or infinitely many terms damped by regularizing weights, the learning algorithm is practical only if that inner product has a closed form. Chapter 6 of V. N. Vapnik, The Nature of Statistical Learning Theory (2nd ed., Springer 2000, doi:10.1007/978-1-4757-3264-1), §6.3–6.5, gives such closed forms for the kernels generating orthogonal-polynomial, spline and Fourier expansions. It also states Theorem 6.1, which lifts any one-dimensional kernel to nnn dimensions. The book prints these identities without proof and cites classical sources (Mikhlin 1964; Gradshtein and Ryzhik 1980). Several of them, as printed, are off by a constant factor, which a formal check settles.

Setting

Kernels in this mission are real functions of two real variables (or of two vectors of Rn\mathbb R^nRn) of the form K(x,y)=∑iri ψi(x) ψi(y)K(x, y) = \sum_i r_i\, \psi_i(x)\, \psi_i(y)K(x,y)=∑i​ri​ψi​(x)ψi​(y), a finite or convergent sum over basis functions ψi\psi_iψi​ with weights ri≥0r_i \ge 0ri​≥0.

  • Orthonormal polynomials. P1,P2,…P_1, P_2, \dotsP1​,P2​,… are real polynomials with deg⁡Pk=k−1\deg P_k = k - 1degPk​=k−1 that are orthonormal for a measure μ\muμ on R\mathbb RR with finite moments. Kn(x,y)=∑k=1nPk(x)Pk(y)K_n(x, y) = \sum_{k=1}^n P_k(x) P_k(y)Kn​(x,y)=∑k=1n​Pk​(x)Pk​(y) is the kernel of the first nnn of them.
  • Hermite. Pk(x)=(−1)kex2(d/dx)ke−x2P_k(x) = (-1)^k e^{x^2} (d/dx)^k e^{-x^2}Pk​(x)=(−1)kex2(d/dx)ke−x2, and Hk(x)=μkPk(x)e−x2H_k(x) = \mu_k P_k(x) e^{-x^2}Hk​(x)=μk​Pk​(x)e−x2 with normalization constants μk\mu_kμk​ (6.23). The regularized kernel is ∑i≥0qiHi(x)Hi(y)\sum_{i \ge 0} q^i H_i(x) H_i(y)∑i≥0​qiHi​(x)Hi​(y) with 0≤q<10 \le q < 10≤q<1.
  • Tensor products. Given coordinatewise basis functions bib_ibi​ on a set XXX, the nnn-dimensional basis is bi1…in(x)=bi1(x1)⋯bin(xn)b_{i_1 \dots i_n}(x) = b_{i_1}(x^1) \cdots b_{i_n}(x^n)bi1​…in​​(x)=bi1​​(x1)⋯bin​​(xn) (6.25).
  • Splines. The truncated power (x−t)+d(x - t)^d_+(x−t)+d​ is 000 for x≤tx \le tx≤t and (x−t)d(x - t)^d(x−t)d for x>tx > tx>t. The spline kernel with infinitely many nodes on (0,a)(0, a)(0,a) is ∫0a(xj−t)+d(xi−t)+d dt+∑r=0dxjrxir\int_0^a (x_j - t)^d_+ (x_i - t)^d_+\, dt + \sum_{r=0}^d x_j^r x_i^r∫0a​(xj​−t)+d​(xi​−t)+d​dt+∑r=0d​xjr​xir​ for xj,xi∈[0,a]x_j, x_i \in [0, a]xj​,xi​∈[0,a].
  • Fourier. KN(x,xi)=12+∑k=1N(sin⁡kxsin⁡kxi+cos⁡kxcos⁡kxi)K_N(x, x_i) = \tfrac12 + \sum_{k=1}^N (\sin kx \sin kx_i + \cos kx \cos kx_i)KN​(x,xi​)=21​+∑k=1N​(sinkxsinkxi​+coskxcoskxi​) is the kernel of the trigonometric polynomials of degree NNN. Its regularized versions damp the kkk-th harmonic by qkq^kqk (0<q<10 < q < 10<q<1) or by 1/(1+γ2k2)1/(1 + \gamma^2 k^2)1/(1+γ2k2) (γ>0\gamma > 0γ>0).

Formalization targets

Goal: Eq. (6.33)

For γ>0\gamma > 0γ>0 and real xi,xjx_i, x_jxi​,xj​ with 0≤∣xi−xj∣≤2π0 \le |x_i - x_j| \le 2\pi0≤∣xi​−xj​∣≤2π, the series converges and

12+∑k=1∞cos⁡kxicos⁡kxj+sin⁡kxisin⁡kxj1+γ2k2=π2γ cosh⁡π−∣xi−xj∣γsinh⁡πγ.\frac12 + \sum_{k=1}^{\infty} \frac{\cos kx_i \cos kx_j + \sin kx_i \sin kx_j}{1 + \gamma^2 k^2} = \frac{\pi}{2\gamma}\, \frac{\cosh\frac{\pi - |x_i - x_j|}{\gamma}}{\sinh\frac{\pi}{\gamma}} .21​+k=1∑∞​1+γ2k2coskxi​coskxj​+sinkxi​sinkxj​​=2γπ​sinhγπ​coshγπ−∣xi​−xj​∣​​.

The only numbered theorem of the section, Theorem 6.1, is close to an unfolding of the definitions. The goal is therefore the deepest identity of the section that is correct as printed.

Milestones

  1. (6.21), Christoffel–Darboux. There is a constant ana_nan​ such that Kn(x,y)=anPn+1(x)Pn(y)−Pn(x)Pn+1(y)x−yK_n(x, y) = a_n \frac{P_{n+1}(x)P_n(y) - P_n(x)P_{n+1}(y)}{x - y}Kn​(x,y)=an​x−yPn+1​(x)Pn​(y)−Pn​(x)Pn+1​(y)​ for x≠yx \ne yx=y and Kn(x,x)=an[Pn+1′(x)Pn(x)−Pn′(x)Pn+1(x)]K_n(x, x) = a_n[P'_{n+1}(x)P_n(x) - P'_n(x)P_{n+1}(x)]Kn​(x,x)=an​[Pn+1′​(x)Pn​(x)−Pn′​(x)Pn+1​(x)].
  2. (6.24), Hermite kernel. For some constants μk\mu_kμk​: ∑i≥0qiHi(x)Hi(y)=1π(1−q2)exp⁡{2xyq1+q−(x−y)2q21−q2}\sum_{i \ge 0} q^i H_i(x)H_i(y) = \frac{1}{\sqrt{\pi(1-q^2)}} \exp\{\frac{2xyq}{1+q} - \frac{(x-y)^2q^2}{1-q^2}\}∑i≥0​qiHi​(x)Hi​(y)=π(1−q2)​1​exp{1+q2xyq​−1−q2(x−y)2q2​} for all 0≤q<10 \le q < 10≤q<1 and real x,yx, yx,y.
  3. Theorem 6.1. ∑(i1,…,in)bi1…in(x) bi1…in(y)=∏k=1n∑ibi(xk)bi(yk)\sum_{(i_1, \dots, i_n)} b_{i_1 \dots i_n}(x)\, b_{i_1 \dots i_n}(y) = \prod_{k=1}^n \sum_i b_i(x^k) b_i(y^k)∑(i1​,…,in​)​bi1​…in​​(x)bi1​…in​​(y)=∏k=1n​∑i​bi​(xk)bi​(yk), for finite bases or bases whose one-dimensional kernel converges.
  4. (6.26). ∏i=1n1π(1−q2)exp⁡{⋯ }=1(1−q2)n/2exp⁡{2(x∗y)q1+q−∣x−y∣2q21−q2}\prod_{i=1}^n \frac{1}{\sqrt{\pi(1-q^2)}} \exp\{\cdots\} = \frac{1}{(1-q^2)^{n/2}} \exp\{\frac{2(x*y)q}{1+q} - \frac{|x-y|^2q^2}{1-q^2}\}∏i=1n​π(1−q2)​1​exp{⋯}=(1−q2)n/21​exp{1+q2(x∗y)q​−1−q2∣x−y∣2q2​}.
  5. (6.30), splines. For d≥0d \ge 0d≥0, the spline kernel equals ∑r=0dCdr2d−r+1(xj∧xi)2d−r+1∣xj−xi∣r+∑r=0dxjrxir\sum_{r=0}^d \frac{C_d^r}{2d - r + 1} (x_j \wedge x_i)^{2d-r+1} |x_j - x_i|^r + \sum_{r=0}^d x_j^r x_i^r∑r=0d​2d−r+1Cdr​​(xj​∧xi​)2d−r+1∣xj​−xi​∣r+∑r=0d​xjr​xir​. For d=1d = 1d=1 this is 1+xjxi+12∣xj−xi∣(xj∧xi)2+(xj∧xi)3/31 + x_jx_i + \frac12|x_j - x_i|(x_j \wedge x_i)^2 + (x_j \wedge x_i)^3/31+xj​xi​+21​∣xj​−xi​∣(xj​∧xi​)2+(xj​∧xi​)3/3.
  6. Dirichlet kernel (p. 197). KN(x,xi)=12+∑k=1Ncos⁡k(x−xi)=sin⁡(2N+1)(x−xi)2/sin⁡x−xi2K_N(x, x_i) = \frac12 + \sum_{k=1}^N \cos k(x - x_i) = \sin\frac{(2N+1)(x - x_i)}{2} \big/ \sin\frac{x - x_i}{2}KN​(x,xi​)=21​+∑k=1N​cosk(x−xi​)=sin2(2N+1)(x−xi​)​/sin2x−xi​​ for x−xi∉2πZx - x_i \notin 2\pi\mathbb Zx−xi​∈/2πZ.
  7. (6.32), Poisson kernel. For 0<q<10 < q < 10<q<1: 12+∑k≥1qkcos⁡k(xi−xj)=1−q22(1−2qcos⁡(xi−xj)+q2)\frac12 + \sum_{k \ge 1} q^k \cos k(x_i - x_j) = \frac{1 - q^2}{2(1 - 2q\cos(x_i - x_j) + q^2)}21​+∑k≥1​qkcosk(xi​−xj​)=2(1−2qcos(xi​−xj​)+q2)1−q2​.

Milestones 2, 4 and 6 are stated exactly as printed and are believed false (see Formalization scope). A disproof of each is a complete answer.

Significance

The result itself. Each closed form replaces an infinite or high-dimensional inner product by a constant number of elementary operations. That is what makes the regularized Fourier, Hermite and spline kernels usable in an SVM. Theorem 6.1 is the mechanism by which every multidimensional kernel of Chapter 6 is obtained from a one-dimensional one. The constants matter in practice. A wrong prefactor rescales the kernel matrix, and so the effective regularization of the SVM solution.

Formalizing it. The identities themselves are classical (Christoffel 1858, Darboux 1878, Mehler 1866, and the Fourier series of cosh⁡\coshcosh on [0,2π][0, 2\pi][0,2π]). As far as a search of the platform shows, none is stated on Prove2Me in these forms. SpikedWishart.Separated.eq_299 (Open) is one Christoffel–Darboux instance for a specific Hermite family. AronszajnRK.Product.direct_product_kernel concerns reproducing-kernel Hilbert spaces, not finite or summable feature sums. The mission produces machine-checked versions of the book's catalogue, together with a formal verdict on the three displays that are off by a constant.

Difficulty

The goal and (6.32) are infinite-series identities with no ready-made counterpart in the library, and the goal holds only on ∣xi−xj∣≤2π|x_i - x_j| \le 2\pi∣xi​−xj​∣≤2π. Outside that range the left side is 2π2\pi2π-periodic and the right side is not, so no argument that ignores the range can succeed. The Christoffel–Darboux formula needs a theory of orthogonal polynomials for a general measure, which Mathlib does not yet provide. (6.24) involves the iterated derivatives of e−x2e^{-x^2}e−x2 and a doubly infinite parameter family. The spline identity requires evaluating a piecewise-polynomial integral exactly. Theorem 6.1 for infinite bases requires summability over a product index set ιn\iota^nιn. The three false displays (2, 4, 6) hide their error in a constant factor. Two of them still reduce to an identity a solver may expect to hold.

Formalization scope

Everything is over R\mathbb RR. Series are stated with HasSum, or as Summable together with an equation for tsum. A divergent series therefore never reads as 000. Sums over k≥1k \ge 1k≥1 are written over k∈Nk \in \mathbb Nk∈N with k+1k + 1k+1 in place of kkk. The Christoffel–Darboux polynomials are indexed as in the book (P1P_1P1​ is the constant), they are orthonormal up to Pn+1P_{n+1}Pn+1​, and the measure has all moments finite. The Hermite PkP_kPk​ is the physicists' family, defined through iteratedDeriv. It is not Mathlib's probabilists' Polynomial.hermite. The normalization constants of (6.24) are existentially quantified, since the book does not give them. The range of qqq in (6.24) and (6.26) is 0≤q<10 \le q < 10≤q<1: the book's 0≤q≤10 \le q \le 10≤q≤1 without the singular point q=1q = 1q=1. The Dirichlet display is stated where sin⁡x−xi2≠0\sin\frac{x - x_i}{2} \ne 0sin2x−xi​​=0. The goal adds γ>0\gamma > 0γ>0, which the page leaves unstated. Spline points lie in [0,a][0, a][0,a] with a>0a > 0a>0. In Theorem 6.1, the multidimensional kernel is the sum over multi-indices of products of basis functions, a statement to be proved and not the product of kernels by definition. A formalization that defined the nnn-dimensional kernel as ∏kK(xk,yk)\prod_k K(x^k, y^k)∏k​K(xk,yk) would make the theorem trivial, and is ruled out.

Beyond the paper. Three corrected variants sit beside the faithful statements. Each changes one clause only. dirichlet_kernel_corrected (finding F1) uses the denominator 2sin⁡x−xi22\sin\frac{x - x_i}{2}2sin2x−xi​​, since at N=0N = 0N=0 and x−xi=πx - x_i = \pix−xi​=π the printed display reads 12=1\frac12 = 121​=1. hermite_kernel_corrected (F2) takes Hk=μkPkH_k = \mu_k P_kHk​=μk​Pk​ without the Gaussian factor. At q=0q = 0q=0 the printed (6.24) forces μ02e−x2−y2=π−1/2\mu_0^2 e^{-x^2-y^2} = \pi^{-1/2}μ02​e−x2−y2=π−1/2 for all x,yx, yx,y, and the corrected form is Mehler's formula. hermite_kernel_multidim_corrected (F3) uses the prefactor (π(1−q2))−n/2(\pi(1 - q^2))^{-n/2}(π(1−q2))−n/2, since at n=1n = 1n=1, x=y=0x = y = 0x=y=0, q=0q = 0q=0 the printed (6.26) reads π−1/2=1\pi^{-1/2} = 1π−1/2=1. One further observation is recorded without a variant: (6.33) also holds for γ<0\gamma < 0γ<0, because both sides are even in γ\gammaγ.

Reusable beyond this mission are the two definitions (the physicists' Hermite functions and the truncated power) and any proof of the summable form of Theorem 6.1. Proofs, disproofs of the three false milestones, and general lemmas on Fourier series of cosh⁡\coshcosh and qkcos⁡kθq^k\cos k\thetaqkcoskθ are all welcome.

Selected references

  • V. N. Vapnik, The Nature of Statistical Learning Theory, 2nd ed., Springer, 2000. doi:10.1007/978-1-4757-3264-1
  • I. S. Gradshteyn and I. M. Ryzhik, Table of Integrals, Series, and Products, Academic Press, 1980 (7th ed. 2007). doi:10.1016/C2009-0-22516-5
  • G. Szegő, Orthogonal Polynomials, AMS Colloquium Publications 23, 1939 (Christoffel–Darboux formula, §3.2). doi:10.1090/coll/023
  • F. G. Mehler, Ueber die Entwicklung einer Function von beliebig vielen Variablen nach Laplaceschen Functionen höherer Ordnung, J. reine angew. Math. 66 (1866), 161–176. doi:10.1515/crll.1866.66.161
  • S. G. Mikhlin, Variational Methods in Mathematical Physics, Pergamon, 1964.
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Primal-Dual Interior-Point Methods I: The Primal-Dual Log Barrier Has a Unique Minimizer, So the Central Path ExistsTextbook

Motivation

Primal-dual interior-point methods are the standard polynomial-time algorithms for linear programming and the basis of most commercial LP solvers. They do not move along the boundary of the feasible polyhedron, as the simplex method does. Instead they follow a curve through its interior, the central path, toward the solution set. Every convergence and complexity result about these methods assumes that this curve exists. Stephen J. Wright's monograph Primal-Dual Interior-Point Methods (SIAM, 1997, doi:10.1137/1.9781611971453) proves existence in its Chapter 2 from the standard LP background: existence of solutions, boundedness of solution sets, the Goldman–Tucker partition, and a primal-dual logarithmic barrier.

This mission is the first in a series that formalizes the book chapter by chapter. Later missions (potential reduction, path following, infeasible methods, finite termination, the homogeneous self-dual form) take the objects defined here as given.

Setting

Let A∈Rm×nA \in \mathbb{R}^{m\times n}A∈Rm×n, b∈Rmb \in \mathbb{R}^mb∈Rm and c∈Rnc \in \mathbb{R}^nc∈Rn. Nothing is assumed about the rank of AAA. The primal and dual linear programs in standard form are

(2.1)min⁡x cTx  s.t. Ax=b, x≥0,(2.2)max⁡λ,s bTλ  s.t. ATλ+s=c, s≥0,\text{(2.1)}\quad \min_x\ c^{\mathsf T}x \ \ \text{s.t.}\ Ax = b,\ x \ge 0, \qquad\qquad \text{(2.2)}\quad \max_{\lambda,s}\ b^{\mathsf T}\lambda \ \ \text{s.t.}\ A^{\mathsf T}\lambda + s = c,\ s \ge 0,(2.1)xmin​ cTx  s.t. Ax=b, x≥0,(2.2)λ,smax​ bTλ  s.t. ATλ+s=c, s≥0,

with all vector inequalities componentwise. The primal-dual feasible set F\mathcal FF consists of the triples (x,λ,s)(x,\lambda,s)(x,λ,s) with Ax=bAx = bAx=b, ATλ+s=cA^{\mathsf T}\lambda + s = cATλ+s=c and (x,s)≥0(x,s) \ge 0(x,s)≥0. The strictly feasible set F∘\mathcal F^\circF∘ is the same set with (x,s)>0(x,s) > 0(x,s)>0. The solution sets are ΩP\Omega_PΩP​, the minimizers of (2.1); ΩD\Omega_DΩD​, the maximizers (λ∗,s∗)(\lambda^*, s^*)(λ∗,s∗) of (2.2); and Ω=ΩP×ΩD\Omega = \Omega_P \times \Omega_DΩ=ΩP​×ΩD​. The index sets B\mathcal BB and N\mathcal NN collect the coordinates jjj for which some x∗∈ΩPx^* \in \Omega_Px∗∈ΩP​ has xj∗≠0x^*_j \neq 0xj∗​=0, and some (λ∗,s∗)∈ΩD(\lambda^*, s^*) \in \Omega_D(λ∗,s∗)∈ΩD​ has sj∗≠0s^*_j \ne 0sj∗​=0, respectively.

For τ>0\tau > 0τ>0, the central path conditions (2.25) ask for (x,λ,s)(x,\lambda,s)(x,λ,s) with

ATλ+s=c,Ax=b,xjsj=τ  (j=1,…,n),(x,s)>0.A^{\mathsf T}\lambda + s = c, \qquad Ax = b, \qquad x_j s_j = \tau \ \ (j = 1,\dots,n), \qquad (x,s) > 0 .ATλ+s=c,Ax=b,xj​sj​=τ  (j=1,…,n),(x,s)>0.

The reduced strictly feasible set H∘\mathcal H^\circH∘ is the set of pairs (x,s)(x,s)(x,s) such that (x,λ,s)∈F∘(x,\lambda,s) \in \mathcal F^\circ(x,λ,s)∈F∘ for some λ∈Rm\lambda \in \mathbb{R}^mλ∈Rm. The primal-dual log barrier on it is

fτ(x,s)=1τ xTs−∑j=1nlog⁡(xjsj).f_\tau(x,s) = \frac1\tau\, x^{\mathsf T}s - \sum_{j=1}^n \log(x_j s_j).fτ​(x,s)=τ1​xTs−j=1∑n​log(xj​sj​).

In Lean all of these objects live in the single definition module WrightPDIPM.CentralPath.LP, under the names F, Fo, OmegaP, OmegaD, Omega, indexB, indexN, Hcirc, ftau and CentralPathConditions.

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem 2.8 (p. 39)

If F∘≠∅\mathcal F^\circ \ne \emptysetF∘=∅ and τ>0\tau > 0τ>0, then two things hold. First, fτf_\taufτ​ has exactly one local minimizer relative to H∘\mathcal H^\circH∘:

∃! (x,s)∈H∘ such that (x,s) is a local minimizer of fτ on H∘.\exists!\,(x,s) \in \mathcal H^\circ \ \text{such that}\ (x,s) \text{ is a local minimizer of } f_\tau \text{ on } \mathcal H^\circ .∃!(x,s)∈H∘ such that (x,s) is a local minimizer of fτ​ on H∘.

Second, the central path conditions (2.25) have a solution (x,λ,s)(x,\lambda,s)(x,λ,s).

Milestones

  1. Theorem 2.1 (p. 25). If F≠∅\mathcal F \neq \emptysetF=∅, then Ω≠∅\Omega \ne \emptysetΩ=∅. If either problem has an optimal solution, so does the other, and the optimal values agree.
  2. Theorem 2.3 (p. 26). Suppose F≠∅\mathcal F \neq \emptysetF=∅. If the dual is strictly feasible, then ΩP\Omega_PΩP​ is nonempty and bounded. If the primal is strictly feasible, then {s∗:(λ∗,s∗)∈ΩD}\{s^* : (\lambda^*, s^*) \in \Omega_D\}{s∗:(λ∗,s∗)∈ΩD​} is nonempty and bounded.
  3. Theorem 2.4 (Goldman–Tucker, p. 28). B∪N={1,…,n}\mathcal B \cup \mathcal N = \{1,\dots,n\}B∪N={1,…,n}; equivalently, some x∗∈ΩPx^* \in \Omega_Px∗∈ΩP​ and (λ∗,s∗)∈ΩD(\lambda^*, s^*) \in \Omega_D(λ∗,s∗)∈ΩD​ satisfy x∗+s∗>0x^* + s^* > 0x∗+s∗>0. It is stated here under F≠∅\mathcal F \ne \emptysetF=∅.
  4. Lemma 2.5 (p. 30). If F∘≠∅\mathcal F^\circ \ne \emptysetF∘=∅, then for every K≥0K \ge 0K≥0 the set {(x,s):(x,λ,s)∈F for some λ, xTs≤K}\{(x,s) : (x,\lambda,s) \in \mathcal F \text{ for some } \lambda,\ x^{\mathsf T}s \le K\}{(x,s):(x,λ,s)∈F for some λ, xTs≤K} is bounded.

Significance

The result itself. Theorem 2.8 shows that the central path {(xτ,λτ,sτ):τ>0}\{(x_\tau, \lambda_\tau, s_\tau) : \tau > 0\}{(xτ​,λτ​,sτ​):τ>0} exists as soon as the problem has a strictly feasible primal-dual point. Every path-following and potential-reduction method in the book either tracks this curve or measures its iterates against neighbourhoods of it, so the theorem is the foundation the book's convergence and complexity results stand on. Theorem 2.4 provides the strictly complementary partition B∪N\mathcal B \cup \mathcal NB∪N, which the local and superlinear convergence analysis and the finite-termination results use. Theorems 2.1 and 2.3 are the duality and boundedness facts beneath both.

Formalizing it. These are classical results with complete textbook proofs. The work left is machine-checking them in the book's own form: standard-form LP, no rank assumption, the primal-dual barrier rather than the primal barrier, and minimality relative to H∘\mathcal H^\circH∘. Related statements are already on the platform: Farkas's lemma and LP strong duality in Bertsimas–Tsitsiklis form, a central-path theorem in Matoušek–Gärtner form under the assumption rank⁡A=m\operatorname{rank} A = mrankA=m with the primal barrier, and Goldman–Tucker for the inequality-form LP. None of them is any of the statements above, but their proofs may be reusable.

Difficulty

The natural first step is to minimize fτf_\taufτ​ by compactness. This does not work directly, because H∘\mathcal H^\circH∘ is neither closed nor bounded and fτf_\taufτ​ is not coercive on all of R2n\mathbb{R}^{2n}R2n. The quadratic term xTsx^{\mathsf T}sxTs is indefinite in general, and only its restriction to the affine set of feasible pairs is linear. To obtain a minimizer one must show that the level sets of fτf_\taufτ​ inside H∘\mathcal H^\circH∘ are compact. This needs a boundedness statement (Lemma 2.5) that uses a strictly feasible point in an essential way, together with lower bounds that keep xjsjx_j s_jxj​sj​ away from 000. A second difficulty is that H∘\mathcal H^\circH∘ has empty interior in R2n\mathbb{R}^{2n}R2n whenever A≠0A \ne 0A=0. Passing from the minimizer to the conditions (2.25) is therefore a constrained first-order argument with multipliers, and it must work without AAA having full row rank, so the multiplier λ\lambdaλ is not unique. For Goldman–Tucker, the obstacle is the step from "every index is positive at some optimum" to a single optimum that is positive on every index of B\mathcal BB and of N\mathcal NN at once.

Formalization scope

Vectors are Fin n → ℝ and matrices are Matrix (Fin m) (Fin n) ℝ. Inequalities are componentwise. Indices are 0-based in Lean and {1,…,n}\{1,\dots,n\}{1,…,n} is Set.univ. Primal-dual points are triples (x, λ, s). "Bounded" means Bornology.IsBounded. ΩP\Omega_PΩP​ and ΩD\Omega_DΩD​ are defined as sets of optimal points (feasible, and at least as good as every feasible point), so no infimum or supremum is taken and an unattained optimum gives the empty set. No rank assumption on AAA is made anywhere. No result in this chapter has an O(⋅)O(\cdot)O(⋅) or an unspecified constant, so no constants are instantiated.

"Local minimizer in H∘\mathcal H^\circH∘" means IsLocalMinOn (ftau τ) (Hcirc A b c), that is, minimality among nearby points of H∘\mathcal H^\circH∘. Local minimality in all of R2n\mathbb{R}^{2n}R2n would make the claim false. Uniqueness is asserted for the minimizer (x,s)(x,s)(x,s) only, never for λ\lambdaλ. fτf_\taufτ​ uses Real.log and is only ever evaluated on H∘\mathcal H^\circH∘, where every xjsj>0x_j s_j > 0xj​sj​>0.

The hypothesis F∘≠∅\mathcal F^\circ \neq \emptysetF∘=∅ is part of the goal and cannot be weakened. If F∘=∅\mathcal F^\circ = \emptysetF∘=∅, then H∘=∅\mathcal H^\circ = \emptysetH∘=∅ and the first conclusion becomes false. A formalization that drops it, or one that replaces "unique local minimizer on H∘\mathcal H^\circH∘" with "a global minimizer exists", is not this theorem.

The book prints Theorem 2.4 without a hypothesis. The faithful item carries the section's standing case F≠∅\mathcal F \ne \emptysetF=∅, which by Theorem 2.1 gives Ω≠∅\Omega \neq \emptysetΩ=∅.

Beyond the paper. One sharpness probe, theorem_2_4_probe, states Theorem 2.4 exactly as printed, with no hypothesis. It is expected to be false. For m=n=1m = n = 1m=n=1, A=(1)A = (1)A=(1), b=−1b = -1b=−1, c=0c = 0c=0 the primal is infeasible and the dual objective is unbounded, so B∪N=∅\mathcal B \cup \mathcal N = \emptysetB∪N=∅. A disproof is the sought outcome.

Infrastructure that is reusable beyond this mission includes the standard-form LP objects, the solution sets and the B\mathcal BB/N\mathcal NN partition, all of which later chapters use; KKT conditions for linearly constrained convex minimization; and strict convexity of ∑j−log⁡tj\sum_j -\log t_j∑j​−logtj​. Contributions of general lemmas toward any of these are welcome.

Selected references

  • S. J. Wright, Primal-Dual Interior-Point Methods, SIAM, Philadelphia, 1997, Chapter 2. doi:10.1137/1.9781611971453
  • A. J. Goldman and A. W. Tucker, "Theory of linear programming," in Linear Inequalities and Related Systems, Annals of Mathematics Studies 38, Princeton University Press, 1956, pp. 53–97.
  • N. Megiddo, "Pathways to the optimal set in linear programming," in Progress in Mathematical Programming, Springer, 1989, pp. 131–158.
  • D. Bertsimas and J. N. Tsitsiklis, Introduction to Linear Optimization, Athena Scientific, 1997.
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The Nature of Statistical Learning Theory V: The VC Dimension of Δ-Margin Separating HyperplanesTextbook

Motivation

A separating hyperplane in Rn\mathbb R^nRn is a classifier of VC dimension n+1n + 1n+1, so a bound on its generalization error that goes through the VC dimension degrades with the dimension of the space. Support vector machines construct hyperplanes in feature spaces of enormous dimension and still generalize. Chapter 5 of V. N. Vapnik, The Nature of Statistical Learning Theory (2nd ed., Springer 2000, doi:10.1007/978-1-4757-3264-1) explains this by a different capacity measure. When a hyperplane is required to separate the data with a margin Δ\DeltaΔ, and the data lie in a ball of radius RRR, the VC dimension is bounded by roughly R2/Δ2R^2/\Delta^2R2/Δ2, independently of nnn.

Timeline. The optimal (maximal margin) hyperplane goes back to Vapnik and Chervonenkis (1965, 1974). Its use with kernels, in place of an explicit feature space, is due to Boser, Guyon and Vapnik (COLT 1992), and the soft-margin support vector machine to Cortes and Vapnik (Machine Learning 20 (1995)). The margin bound appears as Theorem 5.1 of the book, which prints no proofs (Preface, p. xi). In Burges's tutorial (Data Min. Knowl. Disc. 2 (1998)) the bound for "gap tolerant classifiers" carries a ceiling, min⁡(⌈D2/M2⌉,d)+1\min(\lceil D^2/M^2\rceil, d) + 1min(⌈D2/M2⌉,d)+1.

Setting

Vectors live in Rn\mathbb R^nRn with the Euclidean inner product (w⋅x)(w \cdot x)(w⋅x). A Δ\DeltaΔ-margin separating hyperplane is a hyperplane (w∗⋅x)−b=0(w^* \cdot x) - b = 0(w∗⋅x)−b=0 with ∣w∗∣=1|w^*| = 1∣w∗∣=1 and b∈Rb \in \mathbb Rb∈R. It classifies xxx as y=1y = 1y=1 if (w∗⋅x)−b≥Δ(w^* \cdot x) - b \ge \Delta(w∗⋅x)−b≥Δ and as y=−1y = -1y=−1 if (w∗⋅x)−b≤−Δ(w^* \cdot x) - b \le -\Delta(w∗⋅x)−b≤−Δ; vectors in the strip ∣(w∗⋅x)−b∣<Δ|(w^* \cdot x) - b| < \Delta∣(w∗⋅x)−b∣<Δ get no label (§5.4.2, p. 132). Vectors x1,…,xhx_1, \dots, x_hx1​,…,xh​ are shattered by these hyperplanes if each of the 2h2^h2h labelings y1,…,yh∈{1,−1}y_1, \dots, y_h \in \{1, -1\}y1​,…,yh​∈{1,−1} is realized by one hyperplane that classifies every xix_ixi​ with label yiy_iyi​. The VC dimension on a set XXX is the largest hhh for which some x1,…,xh∈Xx_1, \dots, x_h \in Xx1​,…,xh​∈X are shattered, or ∞\infty∞. In Lean these are MarginClassifies, MarginShatters and marginVCDim in NatureSLT.Margin.

For training data (x1,y1),…,(xℓ,yℓ)(x_1, y_1), \dots, (x_\ell, y_\ell)(x1​,y1​),…,(xℓ​,yℓ​) with yi∈{+1,−1}y_i \in \{+1, -1\}yi​∈{+1,−1}, a hyperplane (w⋅x)−b=0(w \cdot x) - b = 0(w⋅x)−b=0 is in canonical form if yi[(w⋅xi)−b]≥1y_i[(w \cdot x_i) - b] \ge 1yi​[(w⋅xi​)−b]≥1 for all iii (5.8). The optimal hyperplane (w0,b0)(w_0, b_0)(w0​,b0​) satisfies (5.8) and minimizes Φ(w)=∥w∥2\Phi(w) = \|w\|^2Φ(w)=∥w∥2 over www and bbb (5.9). Its support vectors are the xix_ixi​ with equality in (5.8). The dual functional is W(α)=∑iαi−12∑i,jαiαjyiyj(xi⋅xj)W(\alpha) = \sum_i \alpha_i - \frac12\sum_{i,j}\alpha_i\alpha_j y_i y_j (x_i \cdot x_j)W(α)=∑i​αi​−21​∑i,j​αi​αj​yi​yj​(xi​⋅xj​) (5.17). In Lean: IsCanonicalSeparating, IsOptimalHyperplane, supportVectors and dualW.

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem 5.1 (pp. 132–133)

If every x∈Xx \in Xx∈X lies in a sphere (closed ball) of radius R>0R > 0R>0 and Δ>0\Delta > 0Δ>0, then

h≤min⁡([R2Δ2],n)+1,h \le \min\left(\left[\frac{R^2}{\Delta^2}\right], n\right) + 1,h≤min([Δ2R2​],n)+1,

with [⋅][\cdot][⋅] the integer part. As printed this is false (see Beyond the paper), and a disproof of the goal is a legitimate outcome of the mission.

Milestones

  1. §5.4.1, (5.8)–(5.9): the canonical hyperplane minimizing ∥w∥2\|w\|^2∥w∥2 separates the data without error with maximal distance from the closest vector. Conversely, a maximal-margin hyperplane, rescaled to canonical form, minimizes ∥w∥2\|w\|^2∥w∥2.
  2. §5.4.2: the optimal hyperplane, normalized to ∣w∗∣=1|w^*| = 1∣w∗∣=1, is a Δ\DeltaΔ-margin separating hyperplane with Δ=1/∣w0∣\Delta = 1/|w_0|Δ=1/∣w0​∣.
  3. (5.13)–(5.16): a hyperplane satisfying (5.11) is optimal if and only if there are αi0≥0\alpha^0_i \ge 0αi0​≥0 with ∑iαi0yi=0\sum_i \alpha^0_i y_i = 0∑i​αi0​yi​=0, w0=∑iyiαi0xiw_0 = \sum_i y_i \alpha^0_i x_iw0​=∑i​yi​αi0​xi​ (a sum over support vectors only), and αi0{[(xi⋅w0)−b0]yi−1}=0\alpha^0_i\{[(x_i \cdot w_0) - b_0]y_i - 1\} = 0αi0​{[(xi​⋅w0​)−b0​]yi​−1}=0.
  4. Display after (5.19): for a solution α0\alpha_0α0​ of the dual problem, ∣w0∣2=2W(α0)=∑support vectorsαi0αj0(xi⋅xj)yiyj|w_0|^2 = 2W(\alpha_0) = \sum_{\text{support vectors}} \alpha^0_i\alpha^0_j (x_i \cdot x_j) y_i y_j∣w0​∣2=2W(α0​)=∑support vectors​αi0​αj0​(xi​⋅xj​)yi​yj​.
  5. Theorem 5.3 (Mercer): a symmetric K∈L2K \in L_2K∈L2​ has an expansion K(u,v)=∑kakψk(u)ψk(v)K(u, v) = \sum_k a_k \psi_k(u)\psi_k(v)K(u,v)=∑k​ak​ψk​(u)ψk​(v) with ak>0a_k > 0ak​>0 if and only if ∬K(u,v)g(u)g(v) du dv>0\iint K(u, v) g(u) g(v)\, du\, dv > 0∬K(u,v)g(u)g(v)dudv>0 for all g≠0g \ne 0g=0 in L2L_2L2​.

Significance

Theorem 5.1 is the reason the book gives for the generalization of the optimal hyperplane in high-dimensional feature spaces (§5.6.1). With the bound (3.24) it drives the Corollary on p. 133 and the choice of Δ\DeltaΔ in structural risk minimization. Milestones 1–4 are the convex-optimization facts on which the construction of the support vector machine rests: margin maximization as a quadratic program, its Kühn–Tucker characterization and the dual problem. Milestone 5 is the condition under which a kernel can replace the feature-space inner product.

On the platform, UnderstandingML.hard_svm_max_margin (the analogue of milestone 1 with the convention +b+b+b) and UnderstandingML.support_vectors (the bias-free Hard-SVM) are proved. UnderstandingML.kernel_iff_posSemidef characterizes kernels by positive semidefinite Gram matrices, and HighDimStat.Rkhs.thm12_20_mercer_v2 (open) is the eigen-expansion of a continuous kernel on a compact space. There is no margin-dependent VC dimension bound; the BartlettNN.Margin.* results bound fat-shattering dimensions of real-valued classes. The mission adds the book's bias-carrying statements, the first formal Δ-margin VC bound, and machine-checked settlements of the misprinted statements.

Difficulty

The dimension part of the bound, h≤n+1h \le n + 1h≤n+1, is the classical VC dimension of affine half-spaces; the content is the radius part. A solver has to control how far apart the two classes of an arbitrary dichotomy of hhh points in a ball can be pushed by a unit-normal hyperplane with a free bias. The bias does not cancel for unbalanced dichotomies, and this is exactly where the printed integer part and the correct bound part ways. The Kühn–Tucker milestone requires optimality conditions for a convex quadratic program with linear inequality constraints. The Mercer milestone requires the spectral theory of Hilbert–Schmidt integral operators on L2L_2L2​ of a set of positive Lebesgue measure. Neither is packaged in Mathlib in this form.

Formalization scope

Vectors are EuclideanSpace ℝ (Fin n); training data are indexed by Fin ℓ; labels are real numbers with yi∈{+1,−1}y_i \in \{+1, -1\}yi​∈{+1,−1} as a hypothesis, and both classes present, the setting of §5.5. In the shattering definition, labels are booleans. "Sphere of radius RRR" is a closed ball about an arbitrary center; R>0R > 0R>0 and Δ>0\Delta > 0Δ>0 are hypotheses. The VC dimension takes values in N∪{∞}\mathbb N \cup \{\infty\}N∪{∞}, so an unbounded family is ∞\infty∞, never a junk value. Shattering requires every point to be classified with its margin: a definition that let points fall into the strip would make the bound trivial, and is ruled out. Optimality is a predicate on a given pair (w0,b0)(w_0, b_0)(w0​,b0​); no item asserts that an optimum exists. The typo "Δ=1/∣w∗∣\Delta = 1/|w^*|Δ=1/∣w∗∣" of §5.4.2 is read as 1/∣w0∣1/|w_0|1/∣w0​∣. The Mercer items take U⊆RdU \subseteq \mathbb R^dU⊆Rd (d≥1d \ge 1d≥1) measurable of positive Lebesgue measure, with ψk\psi_kψk​ orthonormal in L2(U)L_2(U)L2​(U) and the expansion converging in L2(U×U)L_2(U \times U)L2​(U×U).

Not drafted: the Corollary on p. 133 and Theorem 5.2 (p. 139). Both are probabilistic, and their hypotheses (what the VC dimension of a set of partial classifiers means inside (3.24), the training-set size in the leave-one-out argument) are not pinned down on the page.

Beyond the paper. Two [Corrected] variants are posed beside the faithful items. (1) Theorem 5.1 with the ceiling ⌈R2/Δ2⌉\lceil R^2/\Delta^2\rceil⌈R2/Δ2⌉: the vertices of an equilateral triangle inscribed in the unit circle of R2\mathbb R^2R2 are shattered with Δ=3/4\Delta = 3/4Δ=3/4, while min⁡([16/9],2)+1=2\min([16/9], 2) + 1 = 2min([16/9],2)+1=2, a counterexample to the printed bound that has been checked in Lean. (2) Mercer's theorem with ≥0\ge 0≥0 in the condition and the coefficients: a kernel ∑k2−kψk(u)ψk(v)\sum_k 2^{-k}\psi_k(u)\psi_k(v)∑k​2−kψk​(u)ψk​(v) over the incomplete system 2sin⁡(2πku)\sqrt2\sin(2\pi k u)2​sin(2πku) on [0,1][0,1][0,1] has positive coefficients, yet ∬Kgg=0\iint Kgg = 0∬Kgg=0 for g≡1g \equiv 1g≡1.

Contributions welcome: a convex-quadratic-programming KKT library for finitely many linear constraints; integral operators with L2L_2L2​ kernels and their spectral expansion; disproofs of the faithful Theorem 5.1 and Theorem 5.3.

Selected references

  • V. N. Vapnik, The Nature of Statistical Learning Theory, 2nd ed., Springer, 2000. doi:10.1007/978-1-4757-3264-1
  • V. N. Vapnik, Statistical Learning Theory, Wiley, 1998. ISBN 978-0-471-03003-4.
  • B. E. Boser, I. M. Guyon, V. N. Vapnik, A training algorithm for optimal margin classifiers, COLT 1992. doi:10.1145/130385.130401
  • C. Cortes, V. Vapnik, Support-vector networks, Machine Learning 20, 1995. doi:10.1007/BF00994018
  • C. J. C. Burges, A tutorial on support vector machines for pattern recognition, Data Mining and Knowledge Discovery 2, 1998. doi:10.1023/A:1009715923555
  • J. Mercer, Functions of positive and negative type, and their connection with the theory of integral equations, Phil. Trans. R. Soc. A 209, 1909. doi:10.1098/rsta.1909.0016
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Machine LearningOptimizationProbability+1·Captain: Shuze Chen

The Nature of Statistical Learning Theory IV: The Asymptotic Rate of Structural Risk MinimizationTextbook

Motivation

Empirical risk minimization (ERM) chooses, from a fixed set of functions, the one with the smallest average loss on the training sample. Its risk is controlled by bounds whose confidence term grows with the VC dimension of the set and shrinks with the sample size ℓ\ellℓ. When the ratio ℓ/h\ell/hℓ/h is small, a fixed set is either too poor to approximate the target or too rich to be estimated reliably. The structural risk minimization (SRM) principle of Vapnik and Chervonenkis (1974) resolves this by nesting sets of growing capacity and choosing, as a function of the sample size, the element in which to minimize the empirical risk. It is the conceptual ancestor of model selection by complexity penalties, of support vector machines' margin control, and of the minimum description length principle.

Chapter 4 of Vapnik's The Nature of Statistical Learning Theory (2nd ed., Springer 2000, doi:10.1007/978-1-4757-3264-1) states the asymptotic rate of SRM (Theorem 4.1) together with the two finite-sample risk bounds it rests on, (4.1) and (4.2), and the finite-class bound (4.25) from which the book derives its minimum description length bound. The book prints no proofs; the standard ones are in Vapnik, Statistical Learning Theory (Wiley 1998), and Vapnik–Chervonenkis, Theory of Pattern Recognition (1974).

Setting

Let FFF be a probability measure on a set ZZZ and Q(z,α)Q(z, \alpha)Q(z,α), α∈Λ\alpha \in \Lambdaα∈Λ, a set of nonnegative measurable functions indexed by an arbitrary set Λ\LambdaΛ. The risk is R(α)=∫Q(z,α) dF(z)R(\alpha) = \int Q(z,\alpha)\,dF(z)R(α)=∫Q(z,α)dF(z) and the empirical risk on an i.i.d. sample z1,…,zℓz_1, \dots, z_\ellz1​,…,zℓ​ is Remp(α)=1ℓ∑i=1ℓQ(zi,α)R_{\mathrm{emp}}(\alpha) = \frac1\ell \sum_{i=1}^\ell Q(z_i, \alpha)Remp​(α)=ℓ1​∑i=1ℓ​Q(zi​,α).

The VC dimension of a set of real functions A≤Q≤BA \le Q \le BA≤Q≤B is the largest number of points shattered by the indicators θ{Q(z,α)−β}\theta\{Q(z,\alpha) - \beta\}θ{Q(z,α)−β}, α∈Λ\alpha \in \Lambdaα∈Λ, β∈(A,B)\beta \in (A, B)β∈(A,B), where θ(u)=1\theta(u) = 1θ(u)=1 for u≥0u \ge 0u≥0 and 000 otherwise (§3.6). In Lean: NatureSLT.SRM.vcDimReal Q A B : ℕ∞.

A structure is a sequence of nested nonempty subsets Sk={Q(z,α),α∈Λk}S_k = \{Q(z,\alpha), \alpha \in \Lambda_k\}Sk​={Q(z,α),α∈Λk​}, S1⊂S2⊂⋯S_1 \subset S_2 \subset \cdotsS1​⊂S2​⊂⋯ (4.3). It is admissible if each SkS_kSk​ has finite VC dimension hkh_khk​ and either (i) 0≤Q≤Bk0 \le Q \le B_k0≤Q≤Bk​ on SkS_kSk​, or (ii) sup⁡α∈Λk(∫Qp dF)1/p/∫Q dF≤τk\sup_{\alpha \in \Lambda_k} (\int Q^p\,dF)^{1/p} / \int Q\,dF \le \tau_ksupα∈Λk​​(∫QpdF)1/p/∫QdF≤τk​ for some p>2p > 2p>2 (4.4). Write Tk=BkT_k = B_kTk​=Bk​ in case (i) and Tk=τkT_k = \tau_kTk​=τk​ in case (ii). The union S∗=⋃kSkS^* = \bigcup_k S_kS∗=⋃k​Sk​ is assumed dense in SSS for the metric ρ(Q1,Q2)=∫∣Q1−Q2∣ dF\rho(Q_1, Q_2) = \int |Q_1 - Q_2|\,dFρ(Q1​,Q2​)=∫∣Q1​−Q2​∣dF.

A law n=n(ℓ)n = n(\ell)n=n(ℓ) (4.5) chooses an element, and αℓn(ℓ)\alpha^{n(\ell)}_\ellαℓn(ℓ)​ minimizes RempR_{\mathrm{emp}}Remp​ over Λn(ℓ)\Lambda_{n(\ell)}Λn(ℓ)​. The rate of approximation is rn=inf⁡ΛnR−inf⁡ΛRr_n = \inf_{\Lambda_n} R - \inf_\Lambda Rrn​=infΛn​​R−infΛ​R (4.8).

Following footnote 3 (p. 97), random variables ξℓ\xi_\ellξℓ​ converge to ξ0\xi_0ξ0​ with asymptotic rate V(ℓ)V(\ell)V(ℓ) if, for some constant CCC, V−1(ℓ)∣ξℓ−ξ0∣→CV^{-1}(\ell)|\xi_\ell - \xi_0| \to CV−1(ℓ)∣ξℓ​−ξ0​∣→C in probability. In Lean: NatureSLT.SRM.ConvergesWithRate.

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem 4.1 (pp. 97–98)

If the law satisfies

lim⁡ℓ→∞Tn(ℓ)2 hn(ℓ)ln⁡ℓℓ=0(4.7),\lim_{\ell\to\infty} \frac{T^2_{n(\ell)}\, h_{n(\ell)} \ln \ell}{\ell} = 0 \qquad (4.7),ℓ→∞lim​ℓTn(ℓ)2​hn(ℓ)​lnℓ​=0(4.7),

then R(αℓn(ℓ))R(\alpha^{n(\ell)}_\ell)R(αℓn(ℓ)​) converges in probability to R(α0)=inf⁡α∈ΛR(α)R(\alpha_0) = \inf_{\alpha \in \Lambda} R(\alpha)R(α0​)=infα∈Λ​R(α) with asymptotic rate

V(ℓ)=rn(ℓ)+Tn(ℓ)hn(ℓ)ln⁡ℓℓ(4.6).V(\ell) = r_{n(\ell)} + T_{n(\ell)} \sqrt{\frac{h_{n(\ell)} \ln \ell}{\ell}} \qquad (4.6).V(ℓ)=rn(ℓ)​+Tn(ℓ)​ℓhn(ℓ)​lnℓ​​(4.6).

This is NatureSLT.SRM.theorem_4_1, stated as printed. Finding F1 shows that as printed it is false: a law that keeps returning to a small element satisfies (4.7) while the risks oscillate. Finding F4 shows that the footnote-3 notion of rate can fail even when n(ℓ)→∞n(\ell) \to \inftyn(ℓ)→∞. A disproof of the goal is therefore a legitimate outcome.

Milestones

  • (4.1) For an infinite set of functions 0≤Q≤B0 \le Q \le B0≤Q≤B with VC dimension hhh, 1≤h≤2ℓ1 \le h \le 2\ell1≤h≤2ℓ, and E=4 (h(ln⁡(2ℓ/h)+1)−ln⁡(η/4))/ℓ\mathcal E = 4\,(h(\ln(2\ell/h) + 1) - \ln(\eta/4))/\ellE=4(h(ln(2ℓ/h)+1)−ln(η/4))/ℓ, with probability at least 1−η1 - \eta1−η, for all α\alphaα:
R(α)≤Remp(α)+BE2(1+1+4Remp(α)BE).R(\alpha) \le R_{\mathrm{emp}}(\alpha) + \frac{B\mathcal E}{2}\left(1 + \sqrt{1 + \frac{4 R_{\mathrm{emp}}(\alpha)}{B \mathcal E}}\right).R(α)≤Remp​(α)+2BE​(1+1+BE4Remp​(α)​​).
  • (4.2) For an infinite set of nonnegative functions QQQ with (∫Qp)1/p≤τ∫Q(\int Q^p)^{1/p} \le \tau \int Q(∫Qp)1/p≤τ∫Q, p>2p > 2p>2, the same E\mathcal EE and a(p)=12((p−1)/(p−2))p−1pa(p) = \sqrt[p]{\tfrac12 ((p-1)/(p-2))^{p-1}}a(p)=p21​((p−1)/(p−2))p−1​, with probability at least 1−η1 - \eta1−η, for all α\alphaα:
R(α)≤Remp(α)(1−a(p)τE)+.R(\alpha) \le \frac{R_{\mathrm{emp}}(\alpha)}{\left(1 - a(p)\tau\sqrt{\mathcal E}\right)_+}.R(α)≤(1−a(p)τE​)+​Remp​(α)​.
  • (4.25) For NNN indicator functions, with probability at least 1−η1 - \eta1−η, for all α\alphaα:
R(α)≤Remp(α)+ln⁡N−ln⁡ηℓ(1+1+2Remp(α) ℓln⁡N−ln⁡η).R(\alpha) \le R_{\mathrm{emp}}(\alpha) + \frac{\ln N - \ln \eta}{\ell}\left(1 + \sqrt{1 + \frac{2 R_{\mathrm{emp}}(\alpha)\,\ell}{\ln N - \ln \eta}}\right).R(α)≤Remp​(α)+ℓlnN−lnη​(1+1+lnN−lnη2Remp​(α)ℓ​​).

Every constant is the book's: the 444 and ln⁡(η/4)\ln(\eta/4)ln(η/4) of E\mathcal EE, the BE/2B\mathcal E/2BE/2 and the 444 under the root in (4.1), a(p)a(p)a(p) in (4.2), and the 222 under the root in (4.25).

Significance

Theorem 4.1 is the book's asymptotic statement that SRM is consistent and adapts to the target. The rate is the sum of an approximation term and an estimation term, so a priori knowledge of the approximation rate rnr_nrn​ yields the best law n(ℓ)n(\ell)n(ℓ), as in the Example (4.9) on p. 98, where rn=n−cr_n = n^{-c}rn​=n−c gives the rate (ln⁡ℓ/ℓ)c/(2c+1)(\ln \ell/\ell)^{c/(2c+1)}(lnℓ/ℓ)c/(2c+1). The bounds (4.1) and (4.2) are the finite-sample inequalities SRM minimizes in practice, for bounded and for heavy-but-not-too-heavy-tailed losses. (4.25) is the starting point of the book's comparison of SRM with the minimum description length principle (Theorem 4.3).

The platform holds related but different statements: UnderstandingML.srm_bound and UnderstandingML.srm_nonuniform_rate (SRM as nonuniform learning over a countable union with weights), UnderstandingML.mdl_bound (a prefix-free description-length bound with other constants), and FoundationsML.ModelSelection.srm_learning_guarantee_v2 (Open, Mohri et al.'s form). None states the asymptotic rate of Theorem 4.1 or the relative-deviation bounds (4.1), (4.2), (4.25) in the book's form. As far as is known, none of the four statements of this mission has a machine-checked proof.

Difficulty

The goal combines three things that each fail in a naive treatment. First, the uniform bound must be applied to a different class Sn(ℓ)S_{n(\ell)}Sn(ℓ)​ at every sample size, so its constants must be uniform in the element. Second, the approximation term rn(ℓ)r_{n(\ell)}rn(ℓ)​ tends to 000 only if n(ℓ)→∞n(\ell) \to \inftyn(ℓ)→∞, which (4.7) does not imply; a proof that assumes it proves a different theorem. Third, the footnote-3 rate is a statement about the limit of a normalized error, not a bound on it, so an OPO_POP​ bound alone does not establish it.

For (4.1) and (4.2), the step from a VC dimension to a bound with these exact constants goes through the relative-deviation inequality with the annealed entropy at 2ℓ2\ell2ℓ and the bound on the growth function in terms of hhh. For (4.25) the obstacle is the relative (not additive) form: Hoeffding's inequality gives the wrong shape and does not suffice.

Formalization scope

Samples are functions {0,…,ℓ−1}→Z\{0, \dots, \ell-1\} \to Z{0,…,ℓ−1}→Z under the product measure FℓF^\ellFℓ (Measure.pi). Λ\LambdaΛ is a type, the structure is Λs : ℕ → Set Λ (monotone, every element nonempty, indexed from 000), and hk∈Nh_k \in \mathbb Nhk​∈N, Tk∈RT_k \in \mathbb RTk​∈R are given sequences tied to the structure by the two admissibility cases. The empirical minimizer is a given map from samples to Λn(ℓ)\Lambda_{n(\ell)}Λn(ℓ)​, and its existence is not claimed. Measurability is explicit throughout. Each Q(⋅,α)Q(\cdot,\alpha)Q(⋅,α) is measurable and integrable, and the risk of the minimizer is a measurable function of the sample. In (4.1) and (4.2), the event "the bound holds for all α\alphaα" is assumed measurable. The ratio in (4.4) and (3.19) is multiplied out, with QpQ^pQp assumed integrable. Infima are over nonempty sets bounded below by 000, so no junk value of ⨅ enters. In (4.1) and (4.2) the range 1≤h≤2ℓ1 \le h \le 2\ell1≤h≤2ℓ is assumed: the page leaves it implicit, and outside it the printed E\mathcal EE can be negative and the printed bound false (finding F5). The trivializing formalization the series warns about, a non-measurable event read as probability 000 or an infimum over an empty element read as 000, is ruled out by those hypotheses.

Beyond the paper. One variant is posed: NatureSLT.SRM.theorem_4_1_corrected ([Corrected], finding F1). It adds n(ℓ)→∞n(\ell) \to \inftyn(ℓ)→∞ and reads the rate as P{∣R(αℓn(ℓ))−R(α0)∣>C V(ℓ)}→0P\{|R(\alpha^{n(\ell)}_\ell) - R(\alpha_0)| > C\,V(\ell)\} \to 0P{∣R(αℓn(ℓ)​)−R(α0​)∣>CV(ℓ)}→0 for some constant CCC. It is not a milestone. The planner also notes (F3) that the printed derivation of (4.27) from (4.25)–(4.26) has a gap. Those statements are not part of this mission.

Reusable infrastructure: the VC dimension of a real class, the product-measure sample space, and the footnote-3 notion of rate. Contributions welcome: proofs or disproofs of each item, and a published definition of vcDimReal that the other missions of this series could reference.

Selected references

  • V. N. Vapnik, The Nature of Statistical Learning Theory, 2nd ed., Springer, 2000. doi:10.1007/978-1-4757-3264-1
  • V. N. Vapnik, Statistical Learning Theory, Wiley, 1998. ISBN 978-0-471-03003-4.
  • V. N. Vapnik, A. Ya. Chervonenkis, Theory of Pattern Recognition (in Russian), Nauka, Moscow, 1974.
  • V. N. Vapnik, Estimation of Dependences Based on Empirical Data, Springer, 1982. doi:10.1007/0-387-34239-7
  • S. Shalev-Shwartz, S. Ben-David, Understanding Machine Learning: From Theory to Algorithms, Cambridge University Press, 2014. doi:10.1017/CBO9781107298019
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CombinatoricsMachine LearningProbability+1·Captain: Shuze Chen

The Nature of Statistical Learning Theory III: The Growth Function Is Linear or LogarithmicTextbook

Motivation

Statistical learning theory asks when minimizing the error on a finite sample also controls the error on unseen data. For a set of classifiers, the answer given by Vapnik and Chervonenkis is governed by a single combinatorial quantity: how many different ways the set can label ℓ\ellℓ points. Bounds on the generalization error of empirical risk minimization are stated in terms of the logarithm of this number, the growth function, and they are informative only if the growth function grows sublinearly in ℓ\ellℓ.

The theorem at the centre of this mission says that there is no middle ground: the growth function is either exactly ℓln⁡2\ell \ln 2ℓln2 for every ℓ\ellℓ, or, from some point on, it is bounded by a logarithmic function h(ln⁡(ℓ/h)+1)h(\ln(\ell/h) + 1)h(ln(ℓ/h)+1). The integer hhh is the VC dimension. This dichotomy is what turns the abstract bounds of Chapter 3 of V. N. Vapnik, The Nature of Statistical Learning Theory (2nd ed., Springer 2000, doi:10.1007/978-1-4757-3264-1) into constructive ones (Eq. (3.24) of the book).

Timeline. Vapnik and Chervonenkis announced the connection between the growth function and the shattering number in 1968 and proved it in 1971 (Theory Probab. Appl. 16 (1971)), in the form mS(r)=2rm^S(r) = 2^rmS(r)=2r for all rrr or mS(r)≤rn+1m^S(r) \le r^n + 1mS(r)≤rn+1. Sauer (J. Combin. Theory A 13 (1972)) and Shelah (Pacific J. Math. 41 (1972)) independently proved the sharp polynomial bound ∑i=0h(ℓi)\sum_{i=0}^{h}\binom{\ell}{i}∑i=0h​(iℓ​). The logarithmic form used in the book follows from that sum together with the estimate ∑i≤h(ℓi)≤(eℓ/h)h\sum_{i \le h}\binom{\ell}{i} \le (e\ell/h)^h∑i≤h​(iℓ​)≤(eℓ/h)h. The book states its results without proofs (Preface, p. xi).

Setting

Let ZZZ be a nonempty set and Λ\LambdaΛ a nonempty set of parameters, and let Q(z,α)Q(z, \alpha)Q(z,α), α∈Λ\alpha \in \Lambdaα∈Λ, be a set of indicator functions on ZZZ: each takes only the values 000 and 111. For a sample z1,…,zℓ∈Zz_1, \dots, z_\ell \in Zz1​,…,zℓ​∈Z (repetitions allowed), let

NΛ(z1,…,zℓ)N^\Lambda(z_1, \dots, z_\ell)NΛ(z1​,…,zℓ​)

be the number of different binary vectors (Q(z1,α),…,Q(zℓ,α))(Q(z_1, \alpha), \dots, Q(z_\ell, \alpha))(Q(z1​,α),…,Q(zℓ​,α)) obtained as α\alphaα ranges over Λ\LambdaΛ (Section 2.3.2, p. 42). The growth function is

GΛ(ℓ)=ln⁡sup⁡z1,…,zℓNΛ(z1,…,zℓ)G^\Lambda(\ell) = \ln \sup_{z_1, \dots, z_\ell} N^\Lambda(z_1, \dots, z_\ell)GΛ(ℓ)=lnz1​,…,zℓ​sup​NΛ(z1​,…,zℓ​)

(Section 2.7, p. 55), with ln⁡\lnln the natural logarithm. Since NΛ≤2ℓN^\Lambda \le 2^\ellNΛ≤2ℓ, always GΛ(ℓ)≤ℓln⁡2G^\Lambda(\ell) \le \ell \ln 2GΛ(ℓ)≤ℓln2.

Points z1,…,zhz_1, \dots, z_hz1​,…,zh​ are shattered if for every δ1,…,δh∈{0,1}\delta_1, \dots, \delta_h \in \{0, 1\}δ1​,…,δh​∈{0,1} some α\alphaα has Q(zi,α)=δiQ(z_i, \alpha) = \delta_iQ(zi​,α)=δi​ for all iii. The VC dimension is the maximum number of shattered points, or ∞\infty∞ if arbitrarily many points are shattered (Section 3.6, p. 80). For a set of real functions A≤Q(z,α)≤BA \le Q(z, \alpha) \le BA≤Q(z,α)≤B, the VC dimension is that of the indicators θ{Q(z,α)−β}\theta\{Q(z, \alpha) - \beta\}θ{Q(z,α)−β}, β∈(A,B)\beta \in (A, B)β∈(A,B) (Eq. (3.22)), where the step function is θ(u)=0\theta(u) = 0θ(u)=0 for u<0u < 0u<0 and θ(u)=1\theta(u) = 1θ(u)=1 for u≥0u \ge 0u≥0.

In the Lean development these are numSeparations, growthFunction, Shatters, vcDim, stepFunction and vcDimReal in the namespace NatureSLT.GrowthFunction.

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem 3.3 (p. 79)

Either

GΛ(ℓ)=ℓln⁡2for every ℓ,G^\Lambda(\ell) = \ell \ln 2 \quad \text{for every } \ell,GΛ(ℓ)=ℓln2for every ℓ,

or there is an integer h≥0h \ge 0h≥0 with GΛ(h)=hln⁡2G^\Lambda(h) = h \ln 2GΛ(h)=hln2 and GΛ(h+1)<(h+1)ln⁡2G^\Lambda(h+1) < (h+1)\ln 2GΛ(h+1)<(h+1)ln2 such that

GΛ(ℓ)≤h(ln⁡ℓh+1)for every ℓ>h.G^\Lambda(\ell) \le h\left(\ln\frac{\ell}{h} + 1\right) \qquad \text{for every } \ell > h .GΛ(ℓ)≤h(lnhℓ​+1)for every ℓ>h.

The range ℓ>h\ell > hℓ>h is the one the book gives in both of its restatements of the theorem: the display after the Definition on p. 79 and Eq. (3.23) on p. 83.

Milestones

  1. Equivalent definition of the VC dimension (Section 3.6, p. 80): the VC dimension is infinite if and only if GΛ(ℓ)=ℓln⁡2G^\Lambda(\ell) = \ell\ln 2GΛ(ℓ)=ℓln2 for all ℓ\ellℓ, and equals hhh if and only if GΛ(h)=hln⁡2G^\Lambda(h) = h\ln 2GΛ(h)=hln2 and GΛ(h+1)<(h+1)ln⁡2G^\Lambda(h+1) < (h+1)\ln 2GΛ(h+1)<(h+1)ln2.
  2. Eq. (3.23) (p. 83): if the VC dimension is a finite hhh, then GΛ(ℓ)≤h(ln⁡(ℓ/h)+1)G^\Lambda(\ell) \le h(\ln(\ell/h) + 1)GΛ(ℓ)≤h(ln(ℓ/h)+1) for ℓ>h\ell > hℓ>h.
  3. Example 1(i) (p. 81): the linear indicator functions θ{∑p=1nαpzp+α0}\theta\{\sum_{p=1}^n \alpha_p z_p + \alpha_0\}θ{∑p=1n​αp​zp​+α0​} on Rn\mathbb R^nRn have VC dimension n+1n + 1n+1.
  4. Example 1(ii) (p. 81): the real linear functions ∑p=1nαpzp+α0\sum_{p=1}^n \alpha_p z_p + \alpha_0∑p=1n​αp​zp​+α0​ have VC dimension n+1n + 1n+1.
  5. Example 2(i) (p. 82): θ(sin⁡αz)\theta(\sin \alpha z)θ(sinαz), α∈R\alpha \in \mathbb Rα∈R, has infinite VC dimension; the points 10−1,…,10−ℓ10^{-1}, \dots, 10^{-\ell}10−1,…,10−ℓ are shattered by the explicit parameter α=π(∑i=1ℓ(1−δi)10i+1)\alpha = \pi(\sum_{i=1}^\ell (1 - \delta_i)10^i + 1)α=π(∑i=1ℓ​(1−δi​)10i+1).

Significance

The dichotomy is what makes the VC dimension a usable complexity measure. Combined with the bounds of Section 3.3, it gives distribution-free generalization bounds whose confidence term depends on ℓ\ellℓ and hhh only (Eq. (3.24)). It also explains why finiteness of the VC dimension is a sufficient condition for consistency of empirical risk minimization for every probability measure (p. 80): the growth function, divided by ℓ\ellℓ, tends to zero exactly when it is not linear. Examples 1 and 2 show that the VC dimension is not the number of parameters: linear functions have as many as their parameters, while a one-parameter family of sines has infinitely many.

The theorem is classical and has been proved many times. Related statements are already machine-checked on the platform in other forms: Sauer's lemma for concept classes (ComputationalLearning.sauer_lemma, FoundationsML.RademacherVC.sauer_lemma, HighDimProb.Chaining.sauer_shelah), the bound Φd(m)≤(em/d)d\Phi_d(m) \le (em/d)^dΦd​(m)≤(em/d)d (ComputationalLearning.phi_polynomial_bound), the 1971 dichotomy with the bound rn+1r^n + 1rn+1 for sets of events (VapnikChervonenkis.GrowthFunction.theorem1_growth_dichotomy), and the VC dimension of open halfspaces with ±\pm± labels (UnderstandingML.vcDim_halfspaces). What is not on the platform is the book's statement: the logarithmic bound for the growth function of an indexed set of {0,1}\{0,1\}{0,1}-valued functions, with hhh characterized through the growth function itself, and the book's examples with the closed half-space convention θ(0)=1\theta(0) = 1θ(0)=1. This mission produces that statement and connects it to the shattering definition.

Difficulty

The obvious argument proves only half. That GΛ(h)=hln⁡2G^\Lambda(h) = h\ln 2GΛ(h)=hln2 and GΛ(h+1)<(h+1)ln⁡2G^\Lambda(h+1) < (h+1)\ln 2GΛ(h+1)<(h+1)ln2 pin down the largest shattered set is elementary; the content lies in the bound for ℓ>h\ell > hℓ>h: a class that shatters no h+1h + 1h+1 points must realize only polynomially many labelings of every ℓ\ellℓ points, with the explicit constant of the logarithmic form, and nothing in the definition of the growth function gives this directly. A tempting shortcut is to read the bound as valid for every ℓ\ellℓ, as the theorem's display does in isolation: this is false whenever h≥2h \ge 2h≥2, since GΛ(1)=ln⁡2G^\Lambda(1) = \ln 2GΛ(1)=ln2 exceeds h(ln⁡(1/h)+1)h(\ln(1/h) + 1)h(ln(1/h)+1). The range ℓ>h\ell > hℓ>h is essential. For the examples, the upper bound n+1n + 1n+1 in Example 1 is a Radon-type statement about n+2n + 2n+2 points in Rn\mathbb R^nRn, and Example 2 requires controlling the sign of sin⁡(α 10−i)\sin(\alpha\, 10^{-i})sin(α10−i) simultaneously for all iii with one parameter.

Formalization scope

Indicator functions are boolean-valued, true standing for 111, and written Q α z for the book's Q(z,α)Q(z, \alpha)Q(z,α); samples are maps Fin ℓ → Z, so indices run from 000. NΛN^\LambdaNΛ is the cardinality of the finite set of realized vectors in Fin ℓ → Bool; the supremum over samples is a supremum of natural numbers bounded by 2ℓ2^\ell2ℓ, and GΛG^\LambdaGΛ is Real.log of its cast. The VC dimension is valued in ℕ∞. ZZZ and Λ\LambdaΛ are assumed nonempty in every theorem, so the supremum is over a nonempty set of samples and is at least 111; the junk value ln⁡0=0\ln 0 = 0ln0=0 never enters. At h=0h = 0h=0 the book's expression h(ln⁡(ℓ/h)+1)h(\ln(\ell/h)+1)h(ln(ℓ/h)+1) is undefined; the formal statements evaluate it as 000, the limit as h→0+h \to 0^+h→0+, and the correct bound in that case, where GΛ≡0G^\Lambda \equiv 0GΛ≡0. The step function has θ(0)=1\theta(0) = 1θ(0)=1. Points of Rn\mathbb R^nRn are EuclideanSpace ℝ (Fin n); in Example 1(ii) the bounds of the real-function definition are A=−∞A = -\inftyA=−∞, B=+∞B = +\inftyB=+∞.

A trivializing formalization is ruled out: the goal is the disjunction of a linear growth function and the explicit bound h(ln⁡(ℓ/h)+1)h(\ln(\ell/h) + 1)h(ln(ℓ/h)+1) with hhh fixed by GΛ(h)=hln⁡2G^\Lambda(h) = h \ln 2GΛ(h)=hln2 and GΛ(h+1)<(h+1)ln⁡2G^\Lambda(h+1) < (h+1)\ln 2GΛ(h+1)<(h+1)ln2, not an existence statement over an arbitrary hhh and not a bound in which an empty parameter set makes the growth function vanish.

Beyond the paper. One variant is posed beside the faithful goal: a sharpness probe (growth_function_dichotomy_probe) claiming the logarithmic bound for every ℓ\ellℓ, i.e. without ℓ>h\ell > hℓ>h. Its evidence: for Z={1,…,10}Z = \{1, \dots, 10\}Z={1,…,10} and all subsets, h=10h = 10h=10 and GΛ(1)=ln⁡2>10(ln⁡(1/10)+1)G^\Lambda(1) = \ln 2 > 10(\ln(1/10) + 1)GΛ(1)=ln2>10(ln(1/10)+1). A disproof is the sought outcome.

A complete development needs: finite cardinality arguments for sets of binary vectors, the Sauer–Shelah lemma for an indexed family (Mathlib has Finset.card_shatterer_le_sum_vcDim for finite set families), the estimate ∑i≤h(ℓi)≤(eℓ/h)h\sum_{i\le h}\binom{\ell}{i} \le (e\ell/h)^h∑i≤h​(iℓ​)≤(eℓ/h)h, Radon's theorem or an affine-independence argument for Example 1, and elementary trigonometry for Example 2. The bridge between indexed families of indicator functions and set families is reusable by every later mission of this series. Contributions of any milestone, of bridge lemmas to the existing Sauer-type theorems, and of a disproof of the probe are welcome.

Selected references

  • V. N. Vapnik, The Nature of Statistical Learning Theory, 2nd ed., Springer, 2000. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-1-4757-3264-1
  • V. N. Vapnik and A. Ya. Chervonenkis, On the uniform convergence of relative frequencies of events to their probabilities, Theory of Probability and Its Applications 16(2), 1971. https://doi.org/10.1137/1116025
  • N. Sauer, On the density of families of sets, Journal of Combinatorial Theory, Series A 13(1), 1972. https://doi.org/10.1016/0097-3165(72)90019-2
  • S. Shelah, A combinatorial problem; stability and order for models and theories in infinitary languages, Pacific Journal of Mathematics 41(1), 1972. https://doi.org/10.2140/pjm.1972.41.247
  • V. N. Vapnik, Statistical Learning Theory, Wiley, 1998. ISBN 978-0-471-03003-4
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Markov ChainOperations ResearchProbability+1·Captain: Shuze Chen

Introduction to Matrix Analytic Methods in Stochastic Modeling XV: Independence of Level and Phase in QBDsTextbook

Motivation

A Jackson network of exponential single-server queues has a stationary distribution of product form: the numbers of customers at the nodes are independent in steady state, each geometric (Jackson, 1957; Jackson, 1963). The same property holds for a large family of networks (Kelly, Reversibility and Stochastic Networks, 1979), and it is what makes performance formulas for such networks explicit. A network can also be read as a quasi-birth-and-death process (QBD): take the number of customers at one node as the level and the vector of queue lengths at the other nodes as the phase. The phase set is then infinite, NK−1\mathbb N^{K-1}NK−1, and product form becomes the statement that level and phase are independent in steady state. Ramaswami and Taylor (Stochastic Models 12, 1996, pp. 121–142 and 143–164) characterized when a QBD has this independence property and used the characterization to find new product-form networks. Chapter 15 of Latouche and Ramaswami, Introduction to Matrix Analytic Methods in Stochastic Modeling (SIAM, 1999), gives a simplified version of these results, and this mission formalizes it.

Setting

Fix a countable set ι\iotaι of phases, finite or infinite, and four real matrices B,A0,A1,A2B, A_0, A_1, A_2B,A0​,A1​,A2​ indexed by ι\iotaι. A continuous-time QBD is the Markov process on the states (n,i)(n,i)(n,i), with level n≥0n\ge 0n≥0 and phase i∈ιi\in\iotai∈ι, whose infinitesimal generator is block-tridiagonal:

Q=[BA0A2A1A0A2A1⋱⋱⋱].Q=\begin{bmatrix} B & A_0 & & \\ A_2 & A_1 & A_0 & \\ & A_2 & A_1 & \ddots \\ & & \ddots & \ddots\end{bmatrix}.Q=​BA2​​A0​A1​A2​​A0​A1​⋱​⋱⋱​​.

A0A_0A0​ and A2A_2A2​ are nonnegative, A1A_1A1​ and BBB have nonnegative off-diagonal and strictly negative diagonal entries, and the rows of QQQ sum to zero. The level ℓ(n)\ell(n)ℓ(n) is the set {(n,i):i∈ι}\{(n,i): i\in\iota\}{(n,i):i∈ι}. The process stays in a state xxx for an exponential time of rate qx=−Qxxq_x=-Q_{xx}qx​=−Qxx​ and then jumps to y≠xy\ne xy=x with probability Qxy/qxQ_{xy}/q_xQxy​/qx​; this jump chain together with the mean sojourns 1/qx1/q_x1/qx​ describes it. It is assumed irreducible and regular (finitely many transitions in every bounded time interval). It is positive recurrent if it returns to every state with probability one and the expected return time is finite. A stationary probability vector π=(π0,π1,… )\pi=(\pi_0,\pi_1,\dots)π=(π0​,π1​,…), partitioned by levels, satisfies π≥0\pi\ge 0π≥0, π1=1\pi\mathbf 1=1π1=1 and πQ=0\pi Q=0πQ=0.

Two matrices indexed by phases are defined by what they mean for the process:

  • NijN_{ij}Nij​, the expected time spent in (n,j)(n,j)(n,j), starting from (n,i)(n,i)(n,i), before the first visit to ℓ(n−1)\ell(n-1)ℓ(n−1) (n≥1n\ge 1n≥1);
  • the rate matrix RijR_{ij}Rij​, the rate of sojourn in (n+1,j)(n+1,j)(n+1,j) per unit of local time in (n,i)(n,i)(n,i): q(n,i)q_{(n,i)}q(n,i)​ times the expected time spent in (n+1,j)(n+1,j)(n+1,j), starting from (n,i)(n,i)(n,i), before the first return to ℓ(0)∪⋯∪ℓ(n)\ell(0)\cup\dots\cup\ell(n)ℓ(0)∪⋯∪ℓ(n).

The level is independent of the phase in steady state if πn=αnv\pi_n=\alpha_nvπn​=αn​v for some probability vector vvv on ι\iotaι and some probability density {αn}\{\alpha_n\}{αn​} on the levels. A vector θ\boldsymbol\thetaθ is positive if θi>0\theta_i>0θi​>0 for every phase.

Formalization targets

Goal: the independence criterion (Theorem 15.1.3)

The process is positive recurrent with level and phase independent in steady state if and only if there are a positive vector θ\boldsymbol\thetaθ with θ1=1\boldsymbol\theta\mathbf 1=1θ1=1 and a scalar 0<η<10<\eta<10<η<1 with

θ(A0+ηA1+η2A2)=0,θ(B+ηA2)=0;\boldsymbol\theta(A_0+\eta A_1+\eta^2A_2)=\mathbf 0,\qquad \boldsymbol\theta(B+\eta A_2)=\mathbf 0;θ(A0​+ηA1​+η2A2​)=0,θ(B+ηA2​)=0;

then πn=(1−η)ηnθ\pi_n=(1-\eta)\eta^n\boldsymbol\thetaπn​=(1−η)ηnθ for all n≥0n\ge 0n≥0. The criterion uses only the blocks of QQQ, not RRR.

Milestones

  1. Theorem 6.4.1. For a positive recurrent continuous-time QBD, RRR and NNN are finite and the same at every level, R=A0NR=A_0NR=A0​N, and πn=π0Rn\pi_n=\pi_0R^nπn​=π0​Rn for n≥0n\ge 0n≥0.
  2. Theorem 15.1.1. The same equivalence as the goal, with θR=ηθ\boldsymbol\theta R=\eta\boldsymbol\thetaθR=ηθ in place of the first equation.
  3. Theorem 15.2.1. For a Jackson network written as a QBD (level n1n_1n1​, phase (n2,…,nK)(n_2,\dots,n_K)(n2​,…,nK​)), with y\boldsymbol yy the solution of the traffic equations y=λ+yP\boldsymbol y=\boldsymbol\lambda+\boldsymbol yPy=λ+yP and yi/μi<1y_i/\mu_i<1yi​/μi​<1 for all nodes, the scalar η=y1/μ1\eta=y_1/\mu_1η=y1​/μ1​ and the vector θr=c∏2≤j≤K(yj/μj)nj\theta_{\boldsymbol r}=c\prod_{2\le j\le K}(y_j/\mu_j)^{n_j}θr​=c∏2≤j≤K​(yj​/μj​)nj​, c=∏2≤j≤K(1−yj/μj)c=\prod_{2\le j\le K}(1-y_j/\mu_j)c=∏2≤j≤K​(1−yj​/μj​), satisfy the conditions of the goal.

Significance

The goal says that independence of level and phase forces the level to be geometric, and it reduces the question to a linear system in θ\boldsymbol\thetaθ for a fixed η\etaη. That system involves only the generator's blocks, so it can be checked for models whose rate matrix has no closed form. Together with Theorem 15.2.1 it gives a QBD proof of the product form of open Jackson networks, and the same approach led Ramaswami and Taylor to product-form networks beyond Jackson's. The level-dependent version (§15.3) is described in the book but not proved there.

Formalizing the chapter adds the continuous-time layer of the matrix-analytic series: a generator on a countable state space, regularity, and positive recurrence defined by return times, with expected sojourn times as sums over trajectories of the jump chain. The product form of open migration processes, which contains the Jackson case, is on the platform as KellyStochasticNetworks.open_migration_equilibrium. It is a balance-equation statement about a network and does not concern QBDs. No QBD statement is on the platform.

Difficulty

The "if" direction of the goal looks like a computation: (1−η)ηnθ(1-\eta)\eta^n\boldsymbol\theta(1−η)ηnθ satisfies πQ=0\pi Q=0πQ=0. But a solution of πQ=0\pi Q=0πQ=0 shows positive recurrence only through regularity, and on an infinite phase set that is a real hypothesis. Relating the generator condition θ(A0+ηA1+η2A2)=0\boldsymbol\theta(A_0+\eta A_1+\eta^2A_2)=\mathbf 0θ(A0​+ηA1​+η2A2​)=0 to the eigenvector condition θR=ηθ\boldsymbol\theta R=\eta\boldsymbol\thetaθR=ηθ is the hard part. The book notes that the finite-dimensional argument (Perron–Frobenius theory for RRR) "fails in the case of an infinite number of phases": spectral arguments for RRR are not available when ι\iotaι is infinite, and every product of infinite matrices must be justified by nonnegativity. For Theorem 15.2.1, positivity of θ\boldsymbol\thetaθ and η\etaη is not visible in the hypotheses on the load. It comes from irreducibility of the network.

Formalization scope

All declarations are in MatrixAnalytic.ProductForm. States are ℕ × ι with ι countable and arbitrary (levels from 000; no finiteness of phases is assumed anywhere). The generator is qbdQ B A₀ A₁ A₂, and the hypothesis IsGeneratorC encodes the sign and zero-row-sum conditions. The continuous-time process is encoded through its jump chain and mean holding times, without measure theory. Irreducibility is that of the jump chain. Regularity (RegularCT) says that the sum of mean holding times along the jump chain diverges almost surely. Positive recurrence (PositiveRecurrentCT) says the return probability is one and the expected return time is finite. RRR and NNN are sums over taboo trajectories valued in [0,+∞][0,+\infty][0,+∞], never solutions of A0+RA1+R2A2=0A_0+RA_1+R^2A_2=0A0​+RA1​+R2A2​=0. Defining RRR by that equation, or positive recurrence by the existence of a stationary vector, would make the milestones circular and is ruled out. Positive recurrence and stationarity are separate objects. "Level independent of phase" is the factorization π(n,i)=αnvi\pi_{(n,i)}=\alpha_nv_iπ(n,i)​=αn​vi​, not the geometric form, which is the conclusion. Vector equations over infinite phase sets are convergent sums; products of nonnegative matrices are computed in [0,+∞][0,+\infty][0,+∞]. The Jackson network indexes nodes by Option J with J finite, none being node 1. Its blocks are written out rate by rate, and the openness of the network (I−PI-PI−P invertible) is carried as the meaning of "the solution" of the traffic equations.

A complete development needs the theory of continuous-time chains on countable spaces through the jump chain (invariant measures, positive recurrence, the regular case), the continuous-time matrix-geometric property, and the series representation of RRR. These are reusable well beyond this mission, and contributions of any of them are welcome.

Selected references

  • G. Latouche and V. Ramaswami, Introduction to Matrix Analytic Methods in Stochastic Modeling, ASA-SIAM Series on Statistics and Applied Probability, SIAM, 1999. doi:10.1137/1.9780898719734
  • V. Ramaswami and P. G. Taylor, An operator-analytic approach to product-form networks, Communications in Statistics. Stochastic Models 12(1):121–142, 1996. (Reference [102] of Latouche & Ramaswami.)
  • V. Ramaswami and P. G. Taylor, Some properties of the rate operators in level dependent quasi-birth-and-death processes with a countable number of phases, Communications in Statistics. Stochastic Models 12(1):143–164, 1996. (Reference [103] of Latouche & Ramaswami.)
  • J. R. Jackson, Networks of waiting lines, Operations Research 5(4), 1957. doi:10.1287/opre.5.4.518
  • J. R. Jackson, Jobshop-like queueing systems, Management Science 10(1), 1963. doi:10.1287/mnsc.10.1.131
  • F. P. Kelly, Reversibility and Stochastic Networks, Wiley, 1979. statslab.cam.ac.uk
  • J. R. Norris, Markov Chains, Cambridge University Press, 1997. doi:10.1017/CBO9780511810633
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EconomicsOperations ResearchOptimization·Captain: Shuze Chen

Pricing and the Newsvendor Problem: A Review with Extensions: If 2r(z)² + r′(z) > 0 and a − b(c − 2s) + A > 0, the Additive-Demand Pricing Newsvendor Has a Unique Optimal Stocking Factor z*Research Paper

Motivation

A retailer of a seasonal or perishable product must commit to a stock level before demand is known, and must also choose the price at which to sell. The two decisions interact: the price shifts the demand distribution, and the stock level determines how much of that demand can be served. The price-setting newsvendor is the single-period model of this interaction. It goes back to Whitin (1955) and Mills (1959), and it is the building block of the joint pricing and inventory literature in operations research and economics.

Petruzzi and Dada, Pricing and the Newsvendor Problem: A Review with Extensions, Operations Research 47(2), 1999 (doi:10.1287/opre.47.2.183), unify the additive and multiplicative versions of the model and give conditions under which the joint optimum is characterized analytically. Their Theorem 1 treats additive demand. Earlier results required the demand noise to be a Pólya frequency function of order 2 (Ernst 1970) or extended this to the log-normal (Young 1978). Theorem 1 replaces those assumptions by a condition on the hazard rate that every distribution with a nondecreasing hazard rate satisfies.

Setting

Demand at price ppp is D(p,ε)=y(p)+εD(p,\varepsilon) = y(p) + \varepsilonD(p,ε)=y(p)+ε with y(p)=a−bpy(p) = a - bpy(p)=a−bp, where a>0a > 0a>0, b>0b > 0b>0. The noise ε\varepsilonε is a random variable on the range [A,B][A,B][A,B], A<BA < BA<B, with probability density fff (nonnegative, zero off [A,B][A,B][A,B], integrating to 111), distribution function F(z)=∫AzfF(z) = \int_A^z fF(z)=∫Az​f and mean μ\muμ. The paper requires A>−aA > -aA>−a. Stocking costs ccc per unit; each leftover unit is disposed of at cost hhh with h≥−ch \ge -ch≥−c (a negative hhh is a salvage value); each unit of unmet demand costs a penalty sss. No sign is imposed on ccc or sss.

The firm stocks q=y(p)+zq = y(p) + zq=y(p)+z units, where zzz is the stocking factor. Leftovers occur when ε<z\varepsilon < zε<z, shortages when ε>z\varepsilon > zε>z. The expected profit is

E[Π(z,p)]=∫Az(p[y(p)+u]−h[z−u])f(u) du+∫zB(p[y(p)+z]−s[u−z])f(u) du−c[y(p)+z].E[\Pi(z,p)] = \int_A^z \big(p[y(p)+u] - h[z-u]\big) f(u)\,du + \int_z^B \big(p[y(p)+z] - s[u-z]\big) f(u)\,du - c[y(p)+z].E[Π(z,p)]=∫Az​(p[y(p)+u]−h[z−u])f(u)du+∫zB​(p[y(p)+z]−s[u−z])f(u)du−c[y(p)+z].

With expected leftovers Λ(z)=∫Az(z−u)f(u) du\Lambda(z) = \int_A^z (z-u) f(u)\,duΛ(z)=∫Az​(z−u)f(u)du and expected shortages Θ(z)=∫zB(u−z)f(u) du\Theta(z) = \int_z^B (u-z) f(u)\,duΘ(z)=∫zB​(u−z)f(u)du, it splits as E[Π(z,p)]=Ψ(p)−L(z,p)E[\Pi(z,p)] = \Psi(p) - L(z,p)E[Π(z,p)]=Ψ(p)−L(z,p), a riskless profit Ψ(p)=(p−c)[y(p)+μ]\Psi(p) = (p-c)[y(p)+\mu]Ψ(p)=(p−c)[y(p)+μ] less a loss function L(z,p)=(c+h)Λ(z)+(p+s−c)Θ(z)L(z,p) = (c+h)\Lambda(z) + (p+s-c)\Theta(z)L(z,p)=(c+h)Λ(z)+(p+s−c)Θ(z) (eqs. (1)–(3)). The riskless price is p0=(a+bc+μ)/2bp^0 = (a + bc + \mu)/2bp0=(a+bc+μ)/2b. The firm solves

max⁡z∈[A,B], p∈RE[Π(z,p)].(4)\max_{z \in [A,B],\ p \in \mathbb R} E[\Pi(z,p)]. \qquad (4)z∈[A,B], p∈Rmax​E[Π(z,p)].(4)

For each fixed zzz the best price is p(z)=p0−Θ(z)/2bp(z) = p^0 - \Theta(z)/2bp(z)=p0−Θ(z)/2b (Lemma 1), so (4) reduces to maximizing E[Π(z,p(z))]E[\Pi(z,p(z))]E[Π(z,p(z))] over zzz. The hazard rate is r(z)=f(z)/[1−F(z)]r(z) = f(z)/[1-F(z)]r(z)=f(z)/[1−F(z)].

The Lean development lives in the namespace PetruzziDada.Additive. The definition Model carries the data a,b,c,h,s,A,B,fa,b,c,h,s,A,B,fa,b,c,h,s,A,B,f with the standing assumptions above, and defines y, F, μ, Λ, Θ, expProfit (the integral above), Ψ, L, p0, price, reducedProfit (z↦E[Π(z,p(z))]z \mapsto E[\Pi(z,p(z))]z↦E[Π(z,p(z))]), R (its derivative), hazard and HazardCondition.

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem 1(c)

If 2r(z)2+r′(z)>02r(z)^2 + r'(z) > 02r(z)2+r′(z)>0 for A≤z<BA \le z < BA≤z<B and a−b(c−2s)+A>0a - b(c-2s) + A > 0a−b(c−2s)+A>0, then there is z∗∈[A,B]z^* \in [A,B]z∗∈[A,B] with

{z∈[A,B]:ddzE[Π(z,p(z))]=0}={z∗},E[Π(z,p)]≤E[Π(z∗,p(z∗))]  ∀z∈[A,B], ∀p∈R.\Big\{ z \in [A,B] : \tfrac{d}{dz} E[\Pi(z,p(z))] = 0 \Big\} = \{z^*\}, \qquad E[\Pi(z,p)] \le E[\Pi(z^*,p(z^*))] \ \ \forall z \in [A,B],\ \forall p \in \mathbb R.{z∈[A,B]:dzd​E[Π(z,p(z))]=0}={z∗},E[Π(z,p)]≤E[Π(z∗,p(z∗))]  ∀z∈[A,B], ∀p∈R.

The optimal policy is then q∗=y(p∗)+z∗q^* = y(p^*) + z^*q∗=y(p∗)+z∗, p∗=p(z∗)p^* = p(z^*)p∗=p(z∗). The goal leaves the density arbitrary beyond the stated condition.

Milestones, in the order of the paper's proof

  1. Eqs. (1)–(3): E[Π(z,p)]=Ψ(p)−L(z,p)E[\Pi(z,p)] = \Psi(p) - L(z,p)E[Π(z,p)]=Ψ(p)−L(z,p).
  2. Eq. (5): ∂E[Π(z,p)]/∂z=−(c+h)+(p+s+h)[1−F(z)]\partial E[\Pi(z,p)]/\partial z = -(c+h) + (p+s+h)[1-F(z)]∂E[Π(z,p)]/∂z=−(c+h)+(p+s+h)[1−F(z)].
  3. Lemma 1: p(z)p(z)p(z) is the unique optimal price for each zzz.
  4. Theorem 1(a): an exhaustive search over z∈[A,B]z \in [A,B]z∈[A,B] determines the optimum.
  5. Appendix, p. 192: dE[Π(z,p(z))]/dz=−(c+h)+[p0+s+h−Θ(z)/2b][1−F(z)]=:R(z)dE[\Pi(z,p(z))]/dz = -(c+h) + [p^0+s+h-\Theta(z)/2b][1-F(z)] =: R(z)dE[Π(z,p(z))]/dz=−(c+h)+[p0+s+h−Θ(z)/2b][1−F(z)]=:R(z), and the formula for dR/dzdR/dzdR/dz.
  6. Appendix, p. 193: at a critical point of RRR, R′′=−f(1−F)2br2{2r2+r′}R'' = -\frac{f(1-F)}{2br^2}\{2r^2 + r'\}R′′=−2br2f(1−F)​{2r2+r′}.
  7. Appendix, p. 193: under the hazard condition, RRR is monotone or unimodal on [A,B][A,B][A,B] and has at most two roots.
  8. Appendix, p. 193: R(B)=−(c+h)R(B) = -(c+h)R(B)=−(c+h) and 2bR(A)=a−b(c−2s)+A2bR(A) = a - b(c-2s) + A2bR(A)=a−b(c−2s)+A.

Theorem 1(b) is also stated, as printed, but it is not a milestone (see Difficulty).

Significance

Theorem 1 tells a practitioner when the joint stocking and pricing problem needs only its first-order condition: one root-finding problem in zzz replaces a two-dimensional search. The hazard condition 2r2+r′>02r^2 + r' > 02r2+r′>0 holds for every density with a nondecreasing hazard rate, such as the uniform density on [A,B][A,B][A,B], and it tolerates a hazard rate that decreases, as long as it does not decrease faster than 2r22r^22r2. The result is the analytical core of much later work on joint pricing and inventory decisions.

The theorem is proved in the paper; it has not been machine-checked. Formalizing it puts the classical price-setting newsvendor on the platform: an objective defined by an integral whose limits move with the decision, a reduction by optimizing out the price, and a unimodality argument for a derivative. The definitions (the density model, Λ\LambdaΛ, Θ\ThetaΘ, the hazard rate) are reusable for the multiplicative case of the same paper and for other newsvendor results.

Difficulty

The objective is an integral with variable limits and a density that is assumed only integrable, so eq. (5) is a Leibniz rule in which pointwise continuity of fff cannot be used. The derivative RRR of the reduced objective is itself differentiable only where fff is, and its second derivative involves f′f'f′. The hazard condition, however, controls the sign of R′′R''R′′ only at critical points of RRR, and turning that local information into a global shape of RRR on a closed interval, with a density that may jump at AAA, is a real-analysis lemma that Mathlib does not provide in this form.

Two published steps need care. The printed proof says "R(B)=−(c+h)<0R(B) = -(c+h) < 0R(B)=−(c+h)<0", but the model allows c+h=0c + h = 0c+h=0; Theorem 1(c) still holds then, by a different argument (finding F3). Theorem 1(b) claims that z∗z^*z∗ is the largest root of RRR under the hazard condition alone, and this is false as printed: when a−b(c−2s)+A<0a - b(c-2s) + A < 0a−b(c−2s)+A<0 the maximum can sit at z=Az = Az=A, which need not be a root (finding F1; for ε\varepsilonε uniform on [0,1][0,1][0,1], a=0.5a = 0.5a=0.5, b=1b = 1b=1, c=1c = 1c=1, h=s=0h = s = 0h=s=0, no root exists). Theorem 1(c)'s extra hypothesis is exactly what excludes this.

Formalization scope

The distribution of ε\varepsilonε is given by its density f:R→Rf : \mathbb R \to \mathbb Rf:R→R, with f≥0f \ge 0f≥0, f=0f = 0f=0 off [A,B][A,B][A,B], fff interval-integrable on [A,B][A,B][A,B] and ∫ABf=1\int_A^B f = 1∫AB​f=1; the bounded range A<BA < BA<B is part of the model. All integrals are interval integrals. The expected profit is the integral of p. 184, not Ψ−L\Psi - LΨ−L, and optimality ranges over z∈[A,B]z \in [A,B]z∈[A,B] and every real price ppp. The hazard rate is f(z)/[1−F(z)]f(z)/[1-F(z)]f(z)/[1−F(z)], which Lean evaluates to 000 where F(z)=1F(z) = 1F(z)=1; the hazard condition is therefore required on [A,B)[A,B)[A,B) instead of the printed A≤z≤BA \le z \le BA≤z≤B, since r(B)r(B)r(B) is undefined. At each z∈[A,B)z \in [A,B)z∈[A,B) the condition asks for a genuine derivative r′r'r′ of rrr relative to [A,B][A,B][A,B] (one-sided at AAA) with 2r(z)2+r′>02r(z)^2 + r' > 02r(z)2+r′>0, never a junk derivative. The derivative dE[Π(z,p(z))]/dzdE[\Pi(z,p(z))]/dzdE[Π(z,p(z))]/dz is Mathlib's deriv; the reduced objective is differentiable everywhere, which is part of a milestone. The milestones on dR/dzdR/dzdR/dz and d2R/dz2d^2R/dz^2d2R/dz2 add continuity, respectively differentiability, of fff and f(z)>0f(z) > 0f(z)>0, which the paper uses silently; the goal adds nothing. The milestone on the endpoint values states R(B)=−(c+h)R(B) = -(c+h)R(B)=−(c+h) without the printed "<0< 0<0".

These choices rule out the trivializing formalizations: an objective defined as Ψ−L\Psi - LΨ−L (which would make eq. (1) definitional and Lemma 1 a quadratic identity), optimality over p(z)p(z)p(z) alone or over all real zzz, a hazard condition read through a junk derivative (which would reduce it to 2r2>02r^2 > 02r2>0), and a goal restricted to uniform, exponential or IFR densities.

Beyond the paper. Two variants are posed beside the faithful statements. theorem_1b_corrected (corrected, finding F1) replaces the conclusion of Theorem 1(b) by "z∗z^*z∗ is AAA or the largest root"; the uniform counterexample above shows the printed conclusion fails while the corrected one holds. theorem_1c_probe (sharpness probe, finding F2) is Theorem 1(c) with optimality over all real zzz; for z<Az < Az<A the reduced objective is bd2−(d+s)w+w2/4bb d^2 - (d+s)w + w^2/4bbd2−(d+s)w+w2/4b with w=μ−zw = \mu - zw=μ−z, which is unbounded, so a disproof is expected and shows that the restriction to [A,B][A,B][A,B] cannot be dropped.

Contributions welcome: proofs of the milestones, general lemmas on interval integrals with moving limits against an integrable density, and a reusable unimodality lemma ("a C1C^1C1 function whose critical points are all strict local maxima rises, then falls").

Selected references

  • N. C. Petruzzi, M. Dada, Pricing and the Newsvendor Problem: A Review with Extensions, Operations Research 47(2):183–194, 1999. doi:10.1287/opre.47.2.183
  • E. S. Mills, Uncertainty and Price Theory, Quarterly Journal of Economics 73(1):116–130, 1959.
  • T. M. Whitin, Inventory Control and Price Theory, Management Science 2(1):61–68, 1955.
  • R. E. Barlow, F. Proschan, Statistical Theory of Reliability and Life Testing, Holt, Rinehart and Winston, 1975.
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Introduction to Matrix Analytic Methods in Stochastic Modeling XIII: M/G/1- and GI/M/1-Type Chains as QBDsTextbook

Motivation

Many queueing, inventory and storage models are Markov chains on a two-dimensional state space (n,i)(n, i)(n,i): a level n≥0n \ge 0n≥0 (a queue length, a stock level) and a phase iii (the state of an arrival or service environment). When customers arrive in batches, the level can jump up by several units in one step but comes down one unit at a time; when services are grouped, it is the other way round. These two families, the M/G/1-type and GI/M/1-type chains, were developed by Neuts along separate lines (Neuts 1981; Neuts 1989, references 2 and 3), and they are the embedded chains of the classical M/G/1 queue at departures and the GI/M/1 queue at arrivals.

Chapter 13 of Latouche and Ramaswami, Introduction to Matrix Analytic Methods in Stochastic Modeling (SIAM 1999, doi:10.1137/1.9780898719734), shows that both families are embedded in quasi-birth-and-death processes (QBDs), and derives from the QBD theory of the earlier chapters the two central results: the first-passage matrix HHH of an M/G/1-type chain is the minimal nonnegative solution of H=∑nCnHnH = \sum_n C_n H^nH=∑n​Cn​Hn, and the stationary distribution of a GI/M/1-type chain is matrix-geometric, π~n=π~0Kn\tilde\pi_n = \tilde\pi_0 K^nπ~n​=π~0​Kn. This mission formalizes those statements.

Setting

Fix a countable set of phases ι\iotaι and two sequences of real ι×ι\iota \times \iotaι×ι matrices D0,D1,…D_0, D_1, \dotsD0​,D1​,… and C0,C1,…C_0, C_1, \dotsC0​,C1​,…. States are pairs (n,i)(n, i)(n,i), n≥0n \ge 0n≥0, i∈ιi \in \iotai∈ι; the level ℓ(n)\ell(n)ℓ(n) is the set of states with first coordinate nnn. Row vectors act on the left: π~n\tilde\pi_nπ~n​ is the row vector (π~(n,i))i(\tilde\pi_{(n,i)})_{i}(π~(n,i)​)i​.

The M/G/1-type chain (skip-free to the left) has transition matrix (13.1): from (0,i)(0,i)(0,i) it moves to (k,j)(k,j)(k,j) with probability (Dk)ij(D_k)_{ij}(Dk​)ij​; from (n,i)(n,i)(n,i), n≥1n \ge 1n≥1, it moves to (n−1+k,j)(n-1+k, j)(n−1+k,j) with probability (Ck)ij(C_k)_{ij}(Ck​)ij​, k≥0k \ge 0k≥0. The GI/M/1-type chain (skip-free to the right) has transition matrix (13.2): from (n,i)(n,i)(n,i) it moves to (0,j)(0,j)(0,j) with probability (Dn)ij(D_n)_{ij}(Dn​)ij​ and to (n+1−k,j)(n+1-k, j)(n+1−k,j) with probability (Ck)ij(C_k)_{ij}(Ck​)ij​, 0≤k≤n0 \le k \le n0≤k≤n. Both matrices are assumed stochastic: nonnegative entries, rows summing to one.

The M/G/1-type chain is embedded in a QBD (13.3) on the states (n,d,j)(n, d, j)(n,d,j): the level is nnn and the phase is the pair (d,j)(d, j)(d,j), where d≥0d \ge 0d≥0 counts the levels still to be climbed. A jump from (n,i)(n,i)(n,i) to (n+k,j)(n+k,j)(n+k,j) becomes the sequence (n,0,i)→(n,k,j)→(n+1,k−1,j)→⋯→(n+k,0,j)(n,0,i) \to (n,k,j) \to (n+1,k-1,j) \to \dots \to (n+k,0,j)(n,0,i)→(n,k,j)→(n+1,k−1,j)→⋯→(n+k,0,j), with probabilities (Ck+1)ij,1,…,1(C_{k+1})_{ij}, 1, \dots, 1(Ck+1​)ij​,1,…,1 (Table 13.1, blocks (13.4)–(13.7)). In this QBD,

Hij=P[τ<∞ & (Xτ,Dτ,Jτ)=(n−1,0,j)∣(X0,D0,J0)=(n,0,i)],(13.9)H_{ij} = \mathrm P[\tau < \infty \ \&\ (X_\tau, D_\tau, J_\tau) = (n-1, 0, j) \mid (X_0, D_0, J_0) = (n, 0, i)], \tag{13.9}Hij​=P[τ<∞ & (Xτ​,Dτ​,Jτ​)=(n−1,0,j)∣(X0​,D0​,J0​)=(n,0,i)],(13.9)

with τ\tauτ the first passage time from ℓ(n)\ell(n)ℓ(n) to ℓ(n−1)\ell(n-1)ℓ(n−1), and GGG is the QBD's matrix of first-passage probabilities from ℓ(n)\ell(n)ℓ(n) to ℓ(n−1)\ell(n-1)ℓ(n−1).

A state is positive recurrent when its expected return time is finite, and a stationary probability vector π~\tilde\piπ~ is nonnegative, sums to one and satisfies π~P~=π~\tilde\pi \tilde P = \tilde\piπ~P~=π~.

Formalization targets

Goal: HHH is the minimal solution of (13.10) (Theorem 13.1.4)

For a stochastic M/G/1-type chain and every level n≥1n \ge 1n≥1, the matrix HHH of (13.9) has finite entries and is the minimal nonnegative solution of

H=∑n≥0CnHn,(13.10)H = \sum_{n \ge 0} C_n H^n, \tag{13.10}H=n≥0∑​Cn​Hn,(13.10)

that is, it solves (13.10) and lies entrywise below every nonnegative real matrix YYY with Y=∑nCnYnY = \sum_n C_n Y^nY=∑n​Cn​Yn.

Milestones

  1. Theorem 13.1.3. The QBD's first-passage matrix has the block structure (13.8): G(k,i),(d,j)=(Hk+1)ijG_{(k,i),(d,j)} = (H^{k+1})_{ij}G(k,i),(d,j)​=(Hk+1)ij​ when d=0d = 0d=0, and 000 otherwise.
  2. Corollary 13.1.2. If π~\tilde\piπ~ is the stationary probability vector of an irreducible, positive recurrent M/G/1-type chain and π\piπ is a stationary probability vector of the QBD, then π~i=c πi,0\tilde\pi_i = c\,\pi_{i,0}π~i​=cπi,0​ for a constant ccc.
  3. Theorem 13.1.5. With Cˉn=∑i≥0Cn+iHi\bar C_n = \sum_{i \ge 0} C_{n+i} H^iCˉn​=∑i≥0​Cn+i​Hi and Dˉn=∑i≥0Dn+iHi\bar D_n = \sum_{i\ge 0} D_{n+i}H^iDˉn​=∑i≥0​Dn+i​Hi, the matrix (I−Cˉ1)−1=∑νCˉ1 ν(I - \bar C_1)^{-1} = \sum_\nu \bar C_1^{\,\nu}(I−Cˉ1​)−1=∑ν​Cˉ1ν​ is finite and, for n≥1n \ge 1n≥1,
π~n=(π~0Dˉn+∑1≤j≤n−1π~jCˉn−j+1)(I−Cˉ1)−1.(13.12)\tilde\pi_n = \Big(\tilde\pi_0 \bar D_n + \sum_{1 \le j \le n-1} \tilde\pi_j \bar C_{n-j+1}\Big)(I - \bar C_1)^{-1}. \tag{13.12}π~n​=(π~0​Dˉn​+1≤j≤n−1∑​π~j​Cˉn−j+1​)(I−Cˉ1​)−1.(13.12)
  1. Theorem 13.2.3. For an irreducible, positive recurrent GI/M/1-type chain with stationary probability vector π~\tilde\piπ~, there is a nonnegative KKK with
π~n=π~0Kn,(13.26)\tilde\pi_n = \tilde\pi_0 K^n, \tag{13.26}π~n​=π~0​Kn,(13.26)

KKK is the minimal nonnegative solution of K=C0+KC1+K2C2+⋯K = C_0 + KC_1 + K^2C_2 + \cdotsK=C0​+KC1​+K2C2​+⋯ (13.27), and, as printed, KijK_{ij}Kij​ is for every n≥1n\ge1n≥1 the expected number of visits to (n+1,j)(n+1, j)(n+1,j) before the first return to ℓ(n−1)\ell(n-1)ℓ(n−1), starting from (n,i)(n,i)(n,i).

Significance

Theorem 13.1.4 turns a probabilistic object, the matrix of first-passage probabilities one level down, into the minimal solution of a matrix equation of the size of one level. Every numerical method for M/G/1-type chains, including the quadratically convergent algorithms of Bini and Meini, computes this solution. Theorem 13.1.5 (Ramaswami's formula) then gives the stationary distribution recursively from HHH. Theorem 13.2.3 is the matrix-geometric property of GI/M/1-type chains, the origin of the matrix-analytic approach. Together these results cover the stationary analysis of batch-arrival and batch-service queues.

All four results are classical and proved in the book. None of them is formalized. Lean's Mathlib has no theory of first-passage matrices or of block-structured Markov chains. On Prove2Me the closest results are scalar ones: the geometric law of the G/M/1 arrival chain (QueueingFundamentals.GM1.arrival_point_geometric), the M/G/1 departure chain (QueueingFundamentals.MG1.*) and Foster-type classification of GI/M/1 chains (FosterQueues.GIM1.*). The matrix statements here contain those as the case of one phase.

Difficulty

The equation (13.10) follows formally from a first-step decomposition once HHH is known to be well defined independent of the level. The hard part is the passage between the chain and its QBD embedding. A first passage of the QBD from ℓ(n+k)\ell(n+k)ℓ(n+k) down to ℓ(n−1)\ell(n-1)ℓ(n−1) splits into k+1k+1k+1 successive one-level passages, a strong-Markov decomposition that must here be carried out as an identity of sums over trajectories. Minimality cannot be read off the equation: it needs the comparison of HHH with the iterates of the map Y↦∑nCnYnY \mapsto \sum_n C_n Y^nY↦∑n​Cn​Yn started from 000, with every series over a possibly infinite phase set. For Theorem 13.1.5 the inverse (I−Cˉ1)−1(I - \bar C_1)^{-1}(I−Cˉ1​)−1 has to be shown finite, which uses recurrence. Reading the interpretive clause of Theorem 13.2.3 literally is a trap (see below).

Formalization scope

Everything lives in the namespace MatrixAnalytic.SkipFree. Chains are real matrices ℕ × ι → ℕ × ι → ℝ on a countable phase type ι, and nothing requires finitely many phases. The QBD embedding has phase type ℕ × ι. Levels are counted from 000. Stochasticity, irreducibility, positive recurrence (finite expected return time) and stationary probability vectors restate the platform definition mm_countable. Probabilities and expected numbers of visits (HHH, GGG, and the visits in (13.26)) are sums over finite trajectories of products of one-step transition probabilities, valued in [0,∞][0,\infty][0,∞]. Products, powers and series of nonnegative matrices are also computed in [0,∞][0,\infty][0,∞]. The book's (I−M)−1(I - M)^{-1}(I−M)−1 is ∑νMν\sum_\nu M^\nu∑ν​Mν, and finiteness is a conclusion wherever the book asserts it. "Minimal" is entrywise, over nonnegative real matrices.

HHH and KKK are never defined as solutions of (13.10) or (13.27), nor as "the minimal nonnegative solution". That definition would make Theorems 13.1.4 and 13.2.3 true by construction. HHH is the first-passage probability (13.9), and KKK is existentially quantified with its probabilistic meaning stated.

Beyond the paper. Finding F1/F2: the interpretive clause of Theorem 13.2.3 names the wrong taboo set. With one phase, C0=0.2C_0 = 0.2C0​=0.2, C1=0.3C_1 = 0.3C1​=0.3, C2=0.5C_2 = 0.5C2​=0.5, the minimal solution of (13.27) is K=0.4K = 0.4K=0.4, but the expected number of visits to n+1n+1n+1 from nnn before reaching n−1n-1n−1 is 0.80.80.8. The faithful item states the page and is expected to be disproved. The corrected variant gm1_matrix_geometric_corrected counts visits before the return to ℓ(0)∪⋯∪ℓ(n)\ell(0) \cup \dots \cup \ell(n)ℓ(0)∪⋯∪ℓ(n), which is what the proof's K=R00(1)K = R^{(1)}_{00}K=R00(1)​ records.

Infrastructure needed: path-sum decompositions (first step, last exit, concatenation at a first-passage time) for countable chains, monotone iteration for matrix power series in [0,∞][0,\infty][0,∞], and censoring of a chain on a subset of states. All of these are reusable for the other chapters of this series. Proofs that go directly through the skip-free chain, without the QBD embedding, are welcome.

Selected references

  1. G. Latouche and V. Ramaswami, Introduction to Matrix Analytic Methods in Stochastic Modeling, ASA-SIAM Series on Statistics and Applied Probability, SIAM, 1999. doi:10.1137/1.9780898719734
  2. M. F. Neuts, Matrix-Geometric Solutions in Stochastic Models: An Algorithmic Approach, Johns Hopkins University Press, 1981; Dover reprint 1994.
  3. M. F. Neuts, Structured Stochastic Matrices of M/G/1 Type and Their Applications, Marcel Dekker, 1989.
  4. V. Ramaswami, "Stable recursion for the steady state vector for Markov chains of M/G/1 type", Communications in Statistics. Stochastic Models 4 (1988) 183–188 (reference [94] of the book; cited there in Remark 13.1.6).
  5. D. A. Bini and B. Meini, "On cyclic reduction applied to a class of Toeplitz-like matrices arising in queueing problems", in W. J. Stewart (ed.), Computations with Markov Chains, Kluwer, 1995, pp. 21–38 (reference [6] of the book).
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Introduction to Matrix Analytic Methods in Stochastic Modeling XIV: The Matrix-Product Form for Tree-Structured ProcessesTextbook

Why tree-structured processes

A quasi-birth-and-death process moves on levels 0,1,2,…0, 1, 2, \dots0,1,2,… and, within a level, among finitely or infinitely many phases; its stationary distribution is matrix-geometric, πn=π0Rn\pi_n = \pi_0 R^nπn​=π0​Rn, which is the central result of the matrix analytic method (Neuts, Matrix-Geometric Solutions in Stochastic Models, 1981; Latouche & Ramaswami 1999, Chapter 6). Several queueing models do not fit on a line of levels but on a tree. The standard example is a single-server queue with Poisson arrivals, phase-type service and last-come-first-served discipline: an arrival interrupts the customer in service, who keeps a record of the phase in which the service was interrupted. The state must then remember the whole stack of interrupted phases, not only its height, and the levels branch into an mmm-ary tree. Multi-class LIFO queues, some random-access protocols and stack-based models in telecommunications have the same shape (Yeung & Sengupta 1994; Takine, Sengupta & Yeung 1995).

Chapter 14 of Latouche and Ramaswami shows that the matrix analytic picture survives this branching: the stationary distribution on the infinite tree is a product of m×mm \times mm×m matrices, determined by one expected-time matrix NNN. This mission formalizes that chapter.

The tree process

Fix a set of phases {1,…,m}\{1, \dots, m\}{1,…,m}, with mmm finite or countably infinite. A state is either the empty stack ∅\emptyset∅ or a stack (i1,…,ik)(i_1, \dots, i_k)(i1​,…,ik​) of phases with k≥1k \ge 1k≥1. The states (i1,…,ik,j)(i_1, \dots, i_k, j)(i1​,…,ik​,j), jjj ranging over the phases, form the stack descriptor (or node) s{i1,…,ik}s\{i_1, \dots, i_k\}s{i1​,…,ik​}; these nodes form an mmm-ary tree whose root is s{⋅}s\{\cdot\}s{⋅} (stacks of size one) and whose root's parent is ∅\emptyset∅.

The process is a continuous-time Markov process. Its data are two vectors a,d\boldsymbol a, \boldsymbol da,d and matrices C,A1,…,Am,D1,…,DmC, A_1, \dots, A_m, D_1, \dots, D_mC,A1​,…,Am​,D1​,…,Dm​ indexed by the phases, and its only transitions are

  • (i1,…,ik−1,i)→(i1,…,ik−1,j)(i_1, \dots, i_{k-1}, i) \to (i_1, \dots, i_{k-1}, j)(i1​,…,ik−1​,i)→(i1​,…,ik−1​,j) at rate CijC_{ij}Cij​;
  • ∅→(j)\emptyset \to (j)∅→(j) at rate aja_jaj​;
  • (i1,…,ik−1,i)→(i1,…,ik−1,j,i′)(i_1, \dots, i_{k-1}, i) \to (i_1, \dots, i_{k-1}, j, i')(i1​,…,ik−1​,i)→(i1​,…,ik−1​,j,i′) at rate [Aj]ii′[A_j]_{ii'}[Aj​]ii′​;
  • (i)→∅(i) \to \emptyset(i)→∅ at rate did_idi​;
  • (i1,…,ik−1,j,i)→(i1,…,ik−1,i′)(i_1, \dots, i_{k-1}, j, i) \to (i_1, \dots, i_{k-1}, i')(i1​,…,ik−1​,j,i)→(i1​,…,ik−1​,i′) at rate [Dj]ii′[D_j]_{ii'}[Dj​]ii′​.

Its generator QQQ (the book's (14.2)–(14.3)) is assumed to be irreducible, and the data are otherwise arbitrary.

When the process is positive recurrent, meaning that the expected time to return to any state is finite, it has a unique stationary probability vector π\piπ with π≥0\pi \ge 0π≥0, π1=1\pi\mathbf 1 = 1π1=1 and πQ=0\pi Q = 0πQ=0. We write π0\pi_0π0​ for its value at ∅\emptyset∅ and π{n1,…,nk}\pi\{n_1, \dots, n_k\}π{n1​,…,nk​} for its subvector on the node s{n1,…,nk}s\{n_1, \dots, n_k\}s{n1​,…,nk​}.

The key object is the matrix NNN. Its entry NijN_{ij}Nij​ is the expected total time spent in the state (j)(j)(j), starting from (i)(i)(i), before the first visit to ∅\emptyset∅. From it the chapter builds:

  • R(i)=AiNR(i) = A_i NR(i)=Ai​N and R=∑iR(i)R = \sum_i R(i)R=∑i​R(i);
  • the generator UUU of the process watched only while it is in the root node s{⋅}s\{\cdot\}s{⋅} (its local time there) before it reaches ∅\emptyset∅.

Formalization targets

Goal: the matrix-product form (Theorem 14.3.1)

If the process is positive recurrent, then for all k≥0k \ge 0k≥0 and all phases n1,…,nkn_1, \dots, n_kn1​,…,nk​,

π{n1,n2,…,nk}=π0 aNR(n1)R(n2)⋯R(nk).\pi\{n_1, n_2, \dots, n_k\} = \pi_0\,\boldsymbol a N R(n_1) R(n_2) \cdots R(n_k).π{n1​,n2​,…,nk​}=π0​aNR(n1​)R(n2​)⋯R(nk​).

Milestones

  • Eq. (14.5): π{n,j}=π{n}AjN\pi\{\boldsymbol n, j\} = \pi\{\boldsymbol n\}A_jNπ{n,j}=π{n}Aj​N for every node s{n}s\{\boldsymbol n\}s{n} and phase jjj.
  • Corollary 14.3.2: the marginal law of the stack size and the phase at the top, p1=π0aN\boldsymbol p_1 = \pi_0\boldsymbol aNp1​=π0​aN and pn=π1Rn−1\boldsymbol p_n = \pi_1R^{n-1}pn​=π1​Rn−1 for n≥1n \ge 1n≥1, where π1\pi_1π1​, like π0\pi_0π0​ for level 0, is the stationary vector of level 1, i.e. p1\boldsymbol p_1p1​.
  • Eq. (14.6) (finitely many phases): N=(−U)−1N = (-U)^{-1}N=(−U)−1 and U=C+∑iAiNDiU = C + \sum_i A_i N D_iU=C+∑i​Ai​NDi​.
  • Lemma 14.3.4: recurrence forces Nd=1N\boldsymbol d = \mathbf 1Nd=1; for finite mmm, positive recurrence holds if and only if sp(R)<1\mathrm{sp}(R) < 1sp(R)<1.
  • Lemma 14.3.5: when Di=DD_i = DDi​=D for all iii, positive recurrence holds if and only if αA1<αD1\alpha A\mathbf 1 < \alpha D\mathbf 1αA1<αD1, where A=∑iAiA = \sum_i A_iA=∑i​Ai​ and α\alphaα is the stationary vector of A+C+DA + C + DA+C+D.
  • Lemma 14.3.6: when Di=d⋅δiD_i = \boldsymbol d \cdot \boldsymbol\delta_iDi​=d⋅δi​ with δi1=1\boldsymbol\delta_i\mathbf 1 = 1δi​1=1 and the process is recurrent, U=C+∑iAi1⋅δiU = C + \sum_i A_i\mathbf 1\cdot\boldsymbol\delta_iU=C+∑i​Ai​1⋅δi​.

Significance

The matrix-product form reduces the stationary distribution of a process on an infinite, exponentially branching state space to a single m×mm \times mm×m matrix. Equations (14.6) give a monotone fixed-point scheme for computing it, and Lemmas 14.3.4–14.3.6 turn the stability question into a spectral condition on RRR, which is explicit in the rank-one case covering M/PH/1 queues under LIFO. Later work on tree-like quasi-birth-and-death processes and on multi-type branching structures in queueing (Bini, Latouche & Meini 2005) builds on exactly these statements.

These results are proved in the book, but none of them is machine-checked, and the platform has no continuous-time Markov processes on countable state spaces with expected-time quantities. The mission adds that substrate: generators, jump chains, expected sojourn times, return-time positive recurrence and stationary vectors. It also states the chapter's results over it.

Difficulty

The proof in the book is three lines: it applies a general censoring theorem to the subtree below a node. A formal proof needs that theorem for continuous-time processes on a countable state space. It also needs the homogeneity of the tree: NNN is defined at the root node only, and the fact that every other node's expected-time matrix equals it is part of what must be shown, by an explicit isomorphism of subtrees. The stationary vector is characterized by πQ=0\pi Q = 0πQ=0, a system with infinitely many unknowns; its equality with occupation-time ratios requires recurrence and the absence of explosion. The stability lemma 14.3.4 has a one-line proof whose "if" direction leaves recurrence unaddressed, so a complete argument must supply more than the page does.

Formalization scope

Phases are an arbitrary countable type, with finiteness assumed only in (14.6), in the second statement of Lemma 14.3.4 ("if mmm is finite") and in Lemma 14.3.5. That lemma also carries the irreducibility of A+C+DA + C + DA+C+D, which is the hypothesis of the quasi-birth-and-death drift criterion to which the book reduces it. A state is none (the empty stack) or a pair of a list of phases (bottom first) and the phase at the top.

The process is encoded by its embedded jump chain and holding rates. Probabilities are sums over finite trajectories of products of jump probabilities. Expected times are expected visit counts multiplied by mean holding times, valued in [0,∞][0, \infty][0,∞]. NNN, R(i)R(i)R(i), RRR and UUU are defined by what they mean, never by (14.4) or (14.6) and never as "the minimal nonnegative solution" of an equation; this rules out the formalization in which the goal holds by definition. Positive recurrence is the return-time notion, never "a stationary vector exists", and the stationary vector is a probability vector, so the trivial solution π=0\pi = 0π=0 is excluded. Matrix identities involving stationary probabilities are stated coordinatewise in [0,∞][0, \infty][0,∞], which also asserts the finiteness of the right-hand sides. The inverse in (14.6) is stated as a two-sided inverse together with the finiteness of NNN.

Beyond the paper. No variant is posed. Corollary 14.3.2 writes π1\pi_1π1​, a symbol the chapter does not define otherwise; it is formalized as the level-1 vector p1\boldsymbol p_1p1​, the only reading consistent with the corollary's own case n=1n = 1n=1.

Useful contributions beyond the listed statements: a general censoring theorem for continuous-time chains on countable state spaces, and the equivalence between return-time positive recurrence and the existence of a stationary probability vector for nonexplosive irreducible generators.

Selected references

  • M. F. Neuts, Matrix-Geometric Solutions in Stochastic Models: An Algorithmic Approach, Johns Hopkins University Press, 1981.
  • G. Latouche and V. Ramaswami, Introduction to Matrix Analytic Methods in Stochastic Modeling, ASA-SIAM Series on Statistics and Applied Probability, SIAM, 1999, Chapter 14. https://doi.org/10.1137/1.9780898719734
  • R. W. Yeung and B. Sengupta, Matrix product-form solutions for Markov chains with a tree structure, Advances in Applied Probability 26 (1994) 965–987.
  • T. Takine, B. Sengupta and R. W. Yeung, A generalization of the matrix M/G/1 paradigm for Markov chains with a tree structure, Stochastic Models 11 (1995) 411–421.
  • D. A. Bini, G. Latouche and B. Meini, Numerical Methods for Structured Markov Chains, Oxford University Press, 2005. https://doi.org/10.1093/acprof:oso/9780198527688.001.0001
  • J. R. Norris, Markov Chains, Cambridge University Press, 1997. https://doi.org/10.1017/CBO9780511810633
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Introduction to Matrix Analytic Methods in Stochastic Modeling XI: First Passage Times by Reduction and BisectionTextbook

Motivation

In a quasi-birth-and-death process (QBD) a queue length or buffer content (the level) moves up or down by at most one per step while an auxiliary Markov environment (the phase) modulates the rates. When buffers are bounded the level lives in {0,1,…,M}\{0,1,\dots,M\}{0,1,…,M}, and a basic performance question is how long it takes, on average, for an initially empty buffer to fill: the expected first passage time from the bottom level to the top level. Overflow and loss analyses of finite-buffer queues in telecommunication and manufacturing models ask exactly this quantity, and higher moments follow from the same linear systems.

Chapter 11 of Latouche and Ramaswami's Introduction to Matrix Analytic Methods in Stochastic Modeling (SIAM 1999) gives two exact algorithms for it: a linear level reduction, adding one level at a time (Gaver, Jacobs and Latouche, Advances in Applied Probability, 1984), and a reduction by bisection that doubles the number of levels at each step (Latouche and Ramaswami, Stochastic Models, 1995), reaching MMM levels in about log⁡2M\log_2 Mlog2​M steps. This mission formalizes the probabilistic identities on which both algorithms rest.

Setting

Fix M≥2M\ge2M≥2 and a finite set of mmm phases. The states are pairs (n,i)(n,i)(n,i) with level 0≤n≤M0\le n\le M0≤n≤M and phase iii; the level ℓ(n)\ell(n)ℓ(n) is {(n,i)}i\{(n,i)\}_i{(n,i)}i​. A finite QBD is the discrete-time Markov chain (Xk)(X_k)(Xk​) with block-tridiagonal transition matrix (10.2): from level nnn it moves up one level with the m×mm\times mm×m probability matrix A0A_0A0​, down one level with A2A_2A2​, and stays in its level with P00P_{00}P00​ at level 000, PMMP_{MM}PMM​ at level MMM and A1A_1A1​ in between. The matrix is stochastic and the chain is irreducible.

Let τ(k)=inf⁡{j>0:Xj∈ℓ(k)}\tau(k)=\inf\{j>0 : X_j\in\ell(k)\}τ(k)=inf{j>0:Xj​∈ℓ(k)}. For levels n≠kn\neq kn=k:

  • tn→kt_{n\to k}tn→k​ is the vector of expected first passage times E[τ(k)∣X0=(n,i)]\mathrm E[\tau(k)\mid X_0=(n,i)]E[τ(k)∣X0​=(n,i)];
  • Γn→k\Gamma_{n\to k}Γn→k​ is the matrix of first passage probabilities P[Xτ(k)=(k,j)∣X0=(n,i)]\mathrm P[X_{\tau(k)}=(k,j)\mid X_0=(n,i)]P[Xτ(k)​=(k,j)∣X0​=(n,i)];

with tn→n=0t_{n\to n}=0tn→n​=0 and Γn→n=I\Gamma_{n\to n}=IΓn→n​=I. For 1≤i≤n≤M−11\le i\le n\le M-11≤i≤n≤M−1 let θ(n)=min⁡(τ(0),τ(n+1))\theta^{(n)}=\min(\tau(0),\tau(n+1))θ(n)=min(τ(0),τ(n+1)) be the first exit time from the block ℓ(1)∪⋯∪ℓ(n)\ell(1)\cup\dots\cup\ell(n)ℓ(1)∪⋯∪ℓ(n), and let

  • si(n)s_i^{(n)}si(n)​ be the vector of expected exit times E[θ(n)∣X0=(i,p)]\mathrm E[\theta^{(n)}\mid X_0=(i,p)]E[θ(n)∣X0​=(i,p)];
  • Gi(n)G_i^{(n)}Gi(n)​ and Γi(n)\Gamma_i^{(n)}Γi(n)​ be the matrices of probabilities, starting from ℓ(i)\ell(i)ℓ(i), that the exit is into ℓ(0)\ell(0)ℓ(0), respectively ℓ(n+1)\ell(n+1)ℓ(n+1), and in a given arrival phase.

All of these are taboo quantities of the chain: probabilities of sets of trajectories and expected values of hitting times.

Formalization targets

Goal: Lemma 11.3.1

For M≥2M\ge2M≥2, the matrix I−Γ0→1G1(M−1)I-\Gamma_{0\to1}G_1^{(M-1)}I−Γ0→1​G1(M−1)​ is nonsingular and

t0→M=(I−Γ0→1G1(M−1))−1{t0→1+Γ0→1s1(M−1)}.t_{0\to M}=(I-\Gamma_{0\to1}G_1^{(M-1)})^{-1}\{t_{0\to1}+\Gamma_{0\to1}s_1^{(M-1)}\}.t0→M​=(I−Γ0→1​G1(M−1)​)−1{t0→1​+Γ0→1​s1(M−1)​}.

Milestones

  1. Lemma 11.2.1. For 0≤n<k≤M0\le n<k\le M0≤n<k≤M: tn→k=tn→n+1+Γn→n+1tn+1→kt_{n\to k}=t_{n\to n+1}+\Gamma_{n\to n+1}t_{n+1\to k}tn→k​=tn→n+1​+Γn→n+1​tn+1→k​ and Γn→k=Γn→n+1Γn+1→k\Gamma_{n\to k}=\Gamma_{n\to n+1}\Gamma_{n+1\to k}Γn→k​=Γn→n+1​Γn+1→k​.
  2. Lemma 11.2.2. With C0=P00C_0=P_{00}C0​=P00​ and Cn=A1+A2Γn−1→nC_n=A_1+A_2\Gamma_{n-1\to n}Cn​=A1​+A2​Γn−1→n​: Γn→n+1=(I−Cn)−1A0\Gamma_{n\to n+1}=(I-C_n)^{-1}A_0Γn→n+1​=(I−Cn​)−1A0​ for 0≤n≤M−10\le n\le M-10≤n≤M−1, t0→1=(I−C0)−11t_{0\to1}=(I-C_0)^{-1}\mathbf 1t0→1​=(I−C0​)−11, and tn→n+1=(I−Cn)−11+(I−Cn)−1A2tn−1→nt_{n\to n+1}=(I-C_n)^{-1}\mathbf 1+(I-C_n)^{-1}A_2t_{n-1\to n}tn→n+1​=(I−Cn​)−11+(I−Cn​)−1A2​tn−1→n​ for 1≤n≤M−11\le n\le M-11≤n≤M−1.
  3. Lemma 11.3.2. For n,ν≥1n,\nu\ge1n,ν≥1 with n+ν≤M−1n+\nu\le M-1n+ν≤M−1, 1≤i≤n1\le i\le n1≤i≤n, 1≤j≤ν1\le j\le\nu1≤j≤ν: Gi(n+ν)=Gi(n)+Γi(n)G1(ν)Gn(n+ν)G_i^{(n+\nu)}=G_i^{(n)}+\Gamma_i^{(n)}G_1^{(\nu)}G_n^{(n+\nu)}Gi(n+ν)​=Gi(n)​+Γi(n)​G1(ν)​Gn(n+ν)​, Gn+j(n+ν)=Gj(ν)Gn(n+ν)G_{n+j}^{(n+\nu)}=G_j^{(\nu)}G_n^{(n+\nu)}Gn+j(n+ν)​=Gj(ν)​Gn(n+ν)​, Γi(n+ν)=Γi(n)Γn+1(n+ν)\Gamma_i^{(n+\nu)}=\Gamma_i^{(n)}\Gamma_{n+1}^{(n+\nu)}Γi(n+ν)​=Γi(n)​Γn+1(n+ν)​, Γn+j(n+ν)=Γj(ν)+Gj(ν)Γn(n)Γn+1(n+ν)\Gamma_{n+j}^{(n+\nu)}=\Gamma_j^{(\nu)}+G_j^{(\nu)}\Gamma_n^{(n)}\Gamma_{n+1}^{(n+\nu)}Γn+j(n+ν)​=Γj(ν)​+Gj(ν)​Γn(n)​Γn+1(n+ν)​, Gn(n+ν)=(I−Γn(n)G1(ν))−1Gn(n)G_n^{(n+\nu)}=(I-\Gamma_n^{(n)}G_1^{(\nu)})^{-1}G_n^{(n)}Gn(n+ν)​=(I−Γn(n)​G1(ν)​)−1Gn(n)​ and Γn+1(n+ν)=(I−G1(ν)Γn(n))−1Γ1(ν)\Gamma_{n+1}^{(n+\nu)}=(I-G_1^{(\nu)}\Gamma_n^{(n)})^{-1}\Gamma_1^{(\nu)}Γn+1(n+ν)​=(I−G1(ν)​Γn(n)​)−1Γ1(ν)​.
  4. Lemma 11.3.3. In the same range: si(n+ν)=si(n)+Γi(n)s1(ν)+Γi(n)G1(ν)sn(n+ν)s_i^{(n+\nu)}=s_i^{(n)}+\Gamma_i^{(n)}s_1^{(\nu)}+\Gamma_i^{(n)}G_1^{(\nu)}s_n^{(n+\nu)}si(n+ν)​=si(n)​+Γi(n)​s1(ν)​+Γi(n)​G1(ν)​sn(n+ν)​, sn(n+ν)=(I−Γn(n)G1(ν))−1{sn(n)+Γn(n)s1(ν)}s_n^{(n+\nu)}=(I-\Gamma_n^{(n)}G_1^{(\nu)})^{-1}\{s_n^{(n)}+\Gamma_n^{(n)}s_1^{(\nu)}\}sn(n+ν)​=(I−Γn(n)​G1(ν)​)−1{sn(n)​+Γn(n)​s1(ν)​} and sn+j(n+ν)=sj(ν)+Gj(ν)sn(n+ν)s_{n+j}^{(n+\nu)}=s_j^{(\nu)}+G_j^{(\nu)}s_n^{(n+\nu)}sn+j(n+ν)​=sj(ν)​+Gj(ν)​sn(n+ν)​.

The goal is the identity the bisection algorithm ends with. Milestones 3 and 4 are its doubling step, and milestones 1 and 2 give the linear algorithm.

Significance

Lemmas 11.2.1–11.2.2 justify the Linear Level Reduction Algorithm (Figure 11.1 of the book), which is block LU factorization of I−TI-TI−T for the transient part TTT of the chain. Lemmas 11.3.1–11.3.3 justify the Reduction by Bisection algorithm (Figure 11.2): it computes t0→Mt_{0\to M}t0→M​ with O(log⁡M)O(\log M)O(logM) products of m×mm\times mm×m matrices instead of O(M)O(M)O(M), using the fact that the levels 1,…,M−11,\dots,M-11,…,M−1 form a homogeneous block. The same decompositions, applied to the matrices GGG and Γ\GammaΓ, underlie the doubling and cyclic-reduction methods for infinite QBDs.

These results are proved in the book, partly in condensed form: Lemma 11.3.3 is left to the reader, and of the six relations of Lemma 11.3.2 only (11.13)–(11.15) and (11.17) are argued explicitly, the others "in a similar manner". No machine-checked version of any of them exists. The Prove2Me platform has finite and countable Markov chains (MarkovMixing) and scalar hitting-time results (MarkovMixing.gamblers_ruin), but no block-structured first passage theory. This mission supplies the strong-Markov decompositions at hitting times of level sets, in matrix form, together with the nonsingularity arguments that make the formulas well defined.

Difficulty

Every identity is a first-passage decomposition: condition on where the chain first enters a level, or first leaves a block of levels. Three points stop the obvious argument from being routine. First, the quantities are infinite sums over trajectories, and splitting a trajectory at a hitting time must be done as an exact bijection of taboo paths, with expected times given as tail sums. Second, the bisection lemmas compare exit probabilities of different blocks of levels. Gj(ν)G_j^{(\nu)}Gj(ν)​ is defined for the levels 1,…,ν1,\dots,\nu1,…,ν, but the relations use it for the shifted levels n+1,…,n+νn+1,\dots,n+\nun+1,…,n+ν. The shift is legitimate only because the transition matrix is homogeneous on the levels 1,…,M−11,\dots,M-11,…,M−1, and the identification has to be proved. Third, each inverse requires a spectral argument: the series ∑ν(Γ0→1G1(M−1))ν\sum_\nu(\Gamma_{0\to1}G_1^{(M-1)})^\nu∑ν​(Γ0→1​G1(M−1)​)ν converges because irreducibility forbids returning to ℓ(0)\ell(0)ℓ(0) forever without visiting ℓ(M)\ell(M)ℓ(M). Turning this into nonsingularity of a real matrix needs a bound on the spectral radius of a substochastic matrix, not a mere appeal to probability. Finiteness of every expectation likewise rests on irreducibility of the finite chain.

Formalization scope

States are pairs in N×ι\mathbb N\times\iotaN×ι with ι\iotaι a finite type. The transition matrix is (10.2) for the levels 0,…,M0,\dots,M0,…,M and 000 elsewhere. The standing assumptions (nonnegative blocks, stochastic rows, M≥1M\ge1M≥1, irreducibility on the levels 0,…,M0,\dots,M0,…,M) form one predicate. Probabilities and expectations are defined as sums over finite taboo trajectories of products of one-step probabilities, valued in [0,∞][0,\infty][0,∞]. Expectations are tail sums ∑t≥0P[τ>t]\sum_{t\ge0}\mathrm P[\tau>t]∑t≥0​P[τ>t]. The quantities Gi(n),Γi(n),si(n)G_i^{(n)},\Gamma_i^{(n)},s_i^{(n)}Gi(n)​,Γi(n)​,si(n)​ are defined, as in the book, for the chain itself, and the theorems use them only in the book's range n+ν≤M−1n+\nu\le M-1n+ν≤M−1. Identities without an inverse are stated in [0,∞][0,\infty][0,∞]. Identities with an inverse are stated between real matrices: each matrix inverted is proved nonsingular, and each expectation that is read as a real number is proved finite, both as part of the conclusion.

None of tn→kt_{n\to k}tn→k​, Γn→k\Gamma_{n\to k}Γn→k​, Gi(n)G_i^{(n)}Gi(n)​, Γi(n)\Gamma_i^{(n)}Γi(n)​, si(n)s_i^{(n)}si(n)​ may be defined as the solution of the chapter's equations. Doing so would make every target true by definition, so they are defined only as hitting quantities of the chain. Lemma 11.2.2 prints Cn=A1+A2(I−Cn−1−1)A0=A1+A2Γn−1→nC_n=A_1+A_2(I-C_{n-1}^{-1})A_0=A_1+A_2\Gamma_{n-1\to n}Cn​=A1​+A2​(I−Cn−1−1​)A0​=A1​+A2​Γn−1→n​, and the two printed expressions differ. The faithful statement uses the second one, A1+A2Γn−1→nA_1+A_2\Gamma_{n-1\to n}A1​+A2​Γn−1→n​.

Beyond the paper. One variant is posed, level_by_level_corrected (kind: corrected). It states Lemma 11.2.2 with Cn=A1+A2(I−Cn−1)−1A0C_n=A_1+A_2(I-C_{n-1})^{-1}A_0Cn​=A1​+A2​(I−Cn−1​)−1A0​, the recursion (10.3) the proof cites. Evidence: with one phase, P00=2/3P_{00}=2/3P00​=2/3 and A0=A1=A2=1/3A_0=A_1=A_2=1/3A0​=A1​=A2​=1/3, the printed first expression gives C1=5/18C_1=5/18C1​=5/18, whereas A1+A2Γ0→1=2/3A_1+A_2\Gamma_{0\to1}=2/3A1​+A2​Γ0→1​=2/3.

A complete development needs the following. Strong-Markov path splitting for path-sum hitting quantities is reusable for any countable chain. So are the convergence of ∑Mν\sum M^\nu∑Mν and the nonsingularity of I−MI-MI−M for substochastic matrices that cannot keep mass forever. Contributions of either as standalone lemmas are welcome.

Selected references

  • G. Latouche and V. Ramaswami, Introduction to Matrix Analytic Methods in Stochastic Modeling, ASA-SIAM Series on Statistics and Applied Probability, SIAM, 1999, Chapters 10–11. https://doi.org/10.1137/1.9780898719734
  • D. P. Gaver, P. A. Jacobs and G. Latouche, Finite birth-and-death models in randomly changing environments, Advances in Applied Probability 16 (1984), 715–731 (reference [26] of the book).
  • G. Latouche and V. Ramaswami, Expected passage times in homogeneous quasi-birth-and-death processes, Communications in Statistics. Stochastic Models 11 (1995), 103–122 (reference [54] of the book).
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Introduction to Matrix Analytic Methods in Stochastic Modeling VIII: The Logarithmic Reduction Series for GTextbook

Motivation

Quasi-birth-and-death processes (QBDs) are Markov chains on pairs (level, phase) in which the level moves by at most one at each step. They model queues in random environments, priority queues, and many other systems treated by matrix-analytic methods (Latouche & Ramaswami 1999). Their stationary distribution, when it exists, is matrix-geometric, and computing it reduces to computing one matrix: the first-passage matrix GGG, which records where the chain first lands when it moves down one level. Every algorithm for a QBD's stationary distribution is, at its core, an algorithm for GGG (or for the related matrices UUU and RRR).

The logarithmic reduction algorithm of Latouche & Ramaswami (1993) computes GGG with a number of iterations proportional to the logarithm of the number needed by the basic linear schemes. It is still among the fastest general-purpose methods, alongside the closely related cyclic reduction (Bini, Latouche & Meini 2005). Its correctness rests on one identity: an infinite series built from a purely algebraic recursion equals the probabilistically defined matrix GGG. This mission formalizes that identity, Theorem 8.4.1 of Latouche & Ramaswami's textbook, together with the intermediate equations of its proof and the convergence statement Theorem 8.4.2.

Setting

Let ι\iotaι be a countable set of phases, finite or infinite, and let B,A0,A1,A2B, A_0, A_1, A_2B,A0​,A1​,A2​ be nonnegative matrices indexed by ι\iotaι. The homogeneous QBD is the Markov chain {Xt}\{X_t\}{Xt​} on the states (n,i)(n, i)(n,i), n≥0n \ge 0n≥0 the level and i∈ιi \in \iotai∈ι the phase, whose transition matrix (8.1) is block tridiagonal:

  • from level 000 the chain stays in level 000 with probabilities BBB and moves to level 111 with probabilities A0A_0A0​;
  • from a level n≥1n \ge 1n≥1 it moves up with A0A_0A0​, stays in the level with A1A_1A1​, and moves down with A2A_2A2​.

The matrix is assumed stochastic and irreducible, which is the standing assumption of Chapter 8. Write ℓ(n)\ell(n)ℓ(n) for level nnn, γ(n)=inf⁡{t≥1:Xt∈ℓ(n)}\gamma(n) = \inf\{t \ge 1 : X_t \in \ell(n)\}γ(n)=inf{t≥1:Xt​∈ℓ(n)}, and δ(k)=inf⁡{t≥0:Xt∈ℓ(2k)}\delta(k) = \inf\{t \ge 0 : X_t \in \ell(2^k)\}δ(k)=inf{t≥0:Xt​∈ℓ(2k)}.

The first-passage matrix is

Gij=P[γ(0)<∞ & Xγ(0)=(0,j)∣X0=(1,i)].G_{ij} = \mathrm P[\gamma(0) < \infty \ \&\ X_{\gamma(0)} = (0, j) \mid X_0 = (1, i)].Gij​=P[γ(0)<∞ & Xγ(0)​=(0,j)∣X0​=(1,i)].

It is the probability, starting at level 1 in phase iii, of ever reaching level 0 and of doing so first in phase jjj.

With the book's convention (I−M)−1:=∑ν≥0Mν(I - M)^{-1} := \sum_{\nu \ge 0} M^\nu(I−M)−1:=∑ν≥0​Mν, the logarithmic reduction recursion is

H[0]=(I−A1)−1A0,L[0]=(I−A1)−1A2,H[k+1]=(I−U[k])−1(H[k])2,L[k+1]=(I−U[k])−1(L[k])2,H^{[0]} = (I - A_1)^{-1}A_0,\quad L^{[0]} = (I - A_1)^{-1}A_2,\quad H^{[k+1]} = (I - U^{[k]})^{-1}(H^{[k]})^2,\quad L^{[k+1]} = (I - U^{[k]})^{-1}(L^{[k]})^2,H[0]=(I−A1​)−1A0​,L[0]=(I−A1​)−1A2​,H[k+1]=(I−U[k])−1(H[k])2,L[k+1]=(I−U[k])−1(L[k])2,

with U[k]=H[k]L[k]+L[k]H[k]U^{[k]} = H^{[k]}L^{[k]} + L^{[k]}H^{[k]}U[k]=H[k]L[k]+L[k]H[k]. It involves only the blocks A0,A1,A2A_0, A_1, A_2A0​,A1​,A2​.

Formalization targets

Goal: the logarithmic reduction series (Theorem 8.4.1)

G=∑k≥0(∏0≤i≤k−1H[i])L[k],G = \sum_{k \ge 0}\Big(\prod_{0 \le i \le k-1} H^{[i]}\Big) L^{[k]},G=k≥0∑​(0≤i≤k−1∏​H[i])L[k],

where the empty product is the identity. The goal also asserts that every inverse (I−A1)−1(I - A_1)^{-1}(I−A1​)−1 and (I−U[k])−1(I - U^{[k]})^{-1}(I−U[k])−1 in the recursion has finite entries.

Milestones

  1. Eq. (8.37): G=∑k≥0P[δ(k)<γ(0)<δ(k+1) & Xγ(0)∣X0∈ℓ(1)]G = \sum_{k\ge0} \mathrm P[\delta(k) < \gamma(0) < \delta(k+1) \ \&\ X_{\gamma(0)} \mid X_0 \in \ell(1)]G=∑k≥0​P[δ(k)<γ(0)<δ(k+1) & Xγ(0)​∣X0​∈ℓ(1)].
  2. Eqs. (8.45)–(8.46): H[k]=P[δ(k+1)<γ(0) & Xδ(k+1)∣X0∈ℓ(2k)]H^{[k]} = \mathrm P[\delta(k+1) < \gamma(0) \ \&\ X_{\delta(k+1)} \mid X_0 \in \ell(2^k)]H[k]=P[δ(k+1)<γ(0) & Xδ(k+1)​∣X0​∈ℓ(2k)] and L[k]=P[γ(0)<δ(k+1) & Xγ(0)∣X0∈ℓ(2k)]L^{[k]} = \mathrm P[\gamma(0) < \delta(k+1) \ \&\ X_{\gamma(0)} \mid X_0 \in \ell(2^k)]L[k]=P[γ(0)<δ(k+1) & Xγ(0)​∣X0​∈ℓ(2k)], with U[k]U^{[k]}U[k] substochastic and (I−U[k])−1(I - U^{[k]})^{-1}(I−U[k])−1 finite.
  3. Eqs. (8.47)–(8.48): the products ∏0≤i≤kH[i]\prod_{0\le i\le k} H^{[i]}∏0≤i≤k​H[i] and (∏0≤i≤k−1H[i])L[k]\big(\prod_{0\le i\le k-1} H^{[i]}\big)L^{[k]}(∏0≤i≤k−1​H[i])L[k] are the corresponding first-passage probabilities from ℓ(1)\ell(1)ℓ(1).
  4. Theorem 8.4.2 (finitely many phases): for an ergodic QBD, H[k]→0H^{[k]} \to 0H[k]→0 and L[k]→1⋅gL^{[k]} \to \mathbf 1 \cdot gL[k]→1⋅g, with ggg the stationary probability vector of GGG. For a transient QBD, H[k]→1⋅g^H^{[k]} \to \mathbf 1 \cdot \hat gH[k]→1⋅g^​ and L[k]→0L^{[k]} \to 0L[k]→0, with g^\hat gg^​ that of G^\hat GG^, the matrix GGG of the level-reversed QBD. In both cases U[k]→0U^{[k]} \to 0U[k]→0.

Significance

The series identity is what makes the logarithmic reduction algorithm (Figure 8.6 of the book) correct. Its partial sums G∗(k)G^*(k)G∗(k) are the algorithm's iterates, and the identification G∗(k)=G(2k+1−1)G^*(k) = G(2^{k+1} - 1)G∗(k)=G(2k+1−1) with the linear-progression iterates gives the quadratic convergence and the iteration count KLR≤⌊log⁡2KLP⌋K_{LR} \le \lfloor \log_2 K_{LP} \rfloorKLR​≤⌊log2​KLP​⌋. Theorem 8.4.2 explains why the algorithm is numerically stable: the matrices I−U[k]I - U^{[k]}I−U[k] it inverts approach the identity.

The results are classical and proved on paper; none is machine-checked. A formalization yields a verified link between a fast numerical recursion and the probabilistic object it computes. It also yields a reusable path-sum encoding of first passages for level-structured chains, on which the other algorithms of Chapter 8 (linear progression, cyclic reduction, the series for RRR in Theorem 8.4.4) can be built.

Difficulty

The book's proof is short because it relies on the strong Markov property and spatial homogeneity. With an informal stopping-time calculus, each identity is "conditioning on the state at time δ(k+1)\delta(k+1)δ(k+1)". In a path-sum formalization each such step becomes a bijection between sets of finite trajectories: concatenation at a first-passage epoch, together with the shift of levels by a multiple of 2k2^k2k. That shift moves the trajectories between levels where the transition matrix is homogeneous. The infinite sums over trajectories, the series inverse ∑ν(U[k])ν\sum_\nu (U^{[k]})^\nu∑ν​(U[k])ν and the matrix products over infinitely many phases must be rearranged in [0,∞][0, \infty][0,∞]. Proving that each series inverse is finite needs irreducibility; it is not automatic.

Theorem 8.4.2 needs more. Its proof uses lim⁡kGk=1⋅g\lim_k G^k = \mathbf 1 \cdot glimk​Gk=1⋅g, which fails when GGG is periodic. As recorded under Beyond the paper, the printed limits for L[k]L^{[k]}L[k] (ergodic case) and H[k]H^{[k]}H[k] (transient case) are false in general, so a disproof of that milestone is a legitimate outcome.

Formalization scope

Phases form a countable type ι ([Fintype ι] only for Theorem 8.4.2). States are ℕ × ι with levels counted from 0, and the transition matrix is the function qbdP B A₀ A₁ A₂. Matrices with nonnegative entries take values in ℝ≥0∞: products are tsums there, and every inverse in the recursion is the series ∑νMν\sum_\nu M^\nu∑ν​Mν (seriesInvE, the book's convention on p. 109). Finiteness of those series is asserted in the conclusions, never assumed. GGG, G^\hat GG^ and the passage probabilities of (8.37) and (8.45)–(8.48) are sums over finite trajectories of products of one-step transition probabilities. Positive recurrence ("ergodic" in the book) is the return-time notion; transient means not recurrent. "The stationary probability vector" is a stationary probability vector assumed to be the only one. Limits are entrywise.

GGG is never defined as a solution of G=A2+A1G+A0G2G = A_2 + A_1G + A_0G^2G=A2​+A1​G+A0​G2 or of G=L+HG2G = L + HG^2G=L+HG2, nor as the value of the series; either would make the goal true by definition. Conversely, H[k]H^{[k]}H[k] and L[k]L^{[k]}L[k] are defined by the recursion, exactly as in the book, and their probabilistic meaning is a milestone.

The definitions restate the Markov-chain notions of the platform definition mm_countable locally. Reusable pieces include the path-sum first-entrance and first-entrance-after-a-visit matrices and the ℝ≥0∞ matrix algebra. Contributions are welcome on any milestone, on the series inverse's finiteness, and on the disproof of Theorem 8.4.2.

Beyond the paper. One corrected variant is posed. HLU_limits_corrected replaces the false clauses of Theorem 8.4.2 by G2k−L[k]→0G^{2^k} - L^{[k]} \to 0G2k−L[k]→0 (ergodic) and G^2k−H[k]→0\hat G^{2^k} - H^{[k]} \to 0G^2k−H[k]→0 (transient). Evidence: a two-phase positive recurrent QBD with G=[0110]G = \begin{bmatrix}0&1\\1&0\end{bmatrix}G=[01​10​] has L[k]→I≠1⋅gL^{[k]} \to I \ne \mathbf 1\cdot gL[k]→I=1⋅g, and its level reversal is a transient QBD with H[k]→I≠1⋅g^H^{[k]} \to I \ne \mathbf 1 \cdot \hat gH[k]→I=1⋅g^​.

Selected references

  1. G. Latouche and V. Ramaswami, Introduction to Matrix Analytic Methods in Stochastic Modeling, ASA-SIAM Series on Statistics and Applied Probability, SIAM, 1999. doi:10.1137/1.9780898719734 (§8.4, pp. 187–197; §8.7, pp. 200–201).
  2. G. Latouche and V. Ramaswami, A logarithmic reduction algorithm for quasi-birth-death processes, Journal of Applied Probability 30(3), 650–674, 1993. doi:10.2307/3214773
  3. D. A. Bini, G. Latouche and B. Meini, Numerical Methods for Structured Markov Chains, Oxford University Press, 2005. doi:10.1093/acprof:oso/9780198527688.001.0001
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Introduction to Matrix Analytic Methods in Stochastic Modeling IX: The Roots of det(x²A₀ + x(A₁ − I) + A₂) and the Eigenvalues of GTextbook

Motivation

A quasi-birth-and-death process (QBD) is the matrix generalization of a birth-and-death chain: a Markov chain on pairs (level, phase) that moves at most one level per step. QBDs model queues in random environments, multi-server and priority systems, and communication links with correlated traffic, and their analysis rests on two matrices: the first-passage matrix GGG and the rate matrix RRR. Chapter 9 of Latouche and Ramaswami, Introduction to Matrix Analytic Methods in Stochastic Modeling (SIAM 1999, doi:10.1137/1.9780898719734), shows that the spectra of these probabilistic matrices are encoded in a polynomial written directly in the transition blocks. This links the matrix analytic method to the spectral approach to M/G/1- and GI/M/1-type chains (Gail, Hantler and Taylor, Adv. Appl. Probab. 28, 1996) and is the basis of spectral algorithms for GGG and RRR.

Timeline. The matrix-geometric form of the stationary distribution, with RRR as its rate matrix, is due to Neuts (Matrix-Geometric Solutions in Stochastic Models, 1981). The construction of the Jordan structure from the matrix polynomial is due to Rama Murthy, Kim and Coyle (Stochastic Models 7, 1991), who treated RRR; Latouche and Ramaswami adapt it to GGG (pp. 212–216).

Setting

Fix a finite set of m≥1m \ge 1m≥1 phases. A homogeneous QBD is a Markov chain on the states (n,i)(n, i)(n,i), with level n≥0n \ge 0n≥0 and phase iii, whose transition matrix is block tridiagonal: from level 000 it moves within level 000 with probabilities BBB and up to level 111 with probabilities A0A_0A0​; from a level n≥1n \ge 1n≥1 it moves up with probabilities A0A_0A0​, stays with probabilities A1A_1A1​ and moves down with probabilities A2A_2A2​. The four blocks are nonnegative m×mm \times mm×m matrices, and A=A0+A1+A2A = A_0 + A_1 + A_2A=A0​+A1​+A2​. Chapter 9 assumes that the QBD is irreducible and positive recurrent (every state has a finite expected return time), and that AAA is irreducible.

The first-passage matrix GGG has entries GijG_{ij}Gij​ = the probability, starting from (1,i)(1, i)(1,i), that the chain reaches level 000 in finite time and does so first in (0,j)(0, j)(0,j). The rate matrix RRR has entries RijR_{ij}Rij​ = the expected number of visits to (1,j)(1, j)(1,j), starting from (0,i)(0, i)(0,i), before the first return to level 000. The matrix polynomial of the chapter and its determinant are

Γ(x)=x2A0+x(A1−I)+A2,γ(x)=det⁡Γ(x),\Gamma(x) = x^2A_0 + x(A_1 - I) + A_2, \qquad \gamma(x) = \det\Gamma(x),Γ(x)=x2A0​+x(A1​−I)+A2​,γ(x)=detΓ(x),

with Γ(1)(x)=2xA0+A1−I\Gamma^{(1)}(x) = 2xA_0 + A_1 - IΓ(1)(x)=2xA0​+A1​−I, ΦG(x)=xA0+A1−I+A0G\Phi_G(x) = xA_0 + A_1 - I + A_0GΦG​(x)=xA0​+A1​−I+A0​G, Ξ(x)=x2A2+x(A1−I)+A0\Xi(x) = x^2A_2 + x(A_1 - I) + A_0Ξ(x)=x2A2​+x(A1​−I)+A0​ and ΦR(x)=xA2+A1−I+RA2\Phi_R(x) = xA_2 + A_1 - I + RA_2ΦR​(x)=xA2​+A1​−I+RA2​. Vectors vp,…,v1v_p, \dots, v_1vp​,…,v1​ are in a tower for GGG relative to an eigenvalue λ\lambdaλ if v1v_1v1​ is an eigenvector and vi=(λI−G)vi+1v_i = (\lambda I - G)v_{i+1}vi​=(λI−G)vi+1​ for 1≤i≤p−11 \le i \le p - 11≤i≤p−1 (a Jordan chain).

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem 9.3.1

For a positive recurrent QBD, γ\gammaγ is a nonzero polynomial and, counting multiplicities,

{z:γ(z)=0, ∣z∣≤1}=spec⁡(G)(exactly m roots),{z:γ(z)=0, ∣z∣>1}={1/η:η∈spec⁡(R), η≠0}(at most m).\{z : \gamma(z) = 0,\ |z| \le 1\} = \operatorname{spec}(G) \quad (\text{exactly } m \text{ roots}), \qquad \{z : \gamma(z) = 0,\ |z| > 1\} = \{1/\eta : \eta \in \operatorname{spec}(R),\ \eta \ne 0\} \quad (\text{at most } m).{z:γ(z)=0, ∣z∣≤1}=spec(G)(exactly m roots),{z:γ(z)=0, ∣z∣>1}={1/η:η∈spec(R), η=0}(at most m).

Milestones

  1. Eq. (9.1): A0G2+(A1−I)G+A2=0A_0G^2 + (A_1 - I)G + A_2 = 0A0​G2+(A1​−I)G+A2​=0.
  2. Eq. (9.3): Γ(x)=ΦG(x)(xI−G)\Gamma(x) = \Phi_G(x)(xI - G)Γ(x)=ΦG​(x)(xI−G) for every xxx.
  3. The factorization of the proof of Theorem 9.3.1: the entries of RRR are finite and Ξ(x)=(xI−R)ΦR(x)\Xi(x) = (xI - R)\Phi_R(x)Ξ(x)=(xI−R)ΦR​(x).
  4. Theorem 9.4.1: λ\lambdaλ is an eigenvalue of GGG iff γ(λ)=0\gamma(\lambda) = 0γ(λ)=0 and ∣λ∣≤1|\lambda| \le 1∣λ∣≤1; for such λ\lambdaλ, a nonzero vvv is an eigenvector of GGG iff Γ(λ)v=0\Gamma(\lambda)v = 0Γ(λ)v=0.
  5. Theorem 9.4.2: for an eigenvalue λ\lambdaλ of GGG and v1≠0v_1 \ne 0v1​=0, vp,…,v1v_p, \dots, v_1vp​,…,v1​ are in a tower iff Γ(λ)v1=0\Gamma(\lambda)v_1 = 0Γ(λ)v1​=0, Γ(λ)v2=Γ(1)(λ)v1\Gamma(\lambda)v_2 = \Gamma^{(1)}(\lambda)v_1Γ(λ)v2​=Γ(1)(λ)v1​ and Γ(λ)vi+1=Γ(1)(λ)vi−A0vi−1\Gamma(\lambda)v_{i+1} = \Gamma^{(1)}(\lambda)v_i - A_0v_{i-1}Γ(λ)vi+1​=Γ(1)(λ)vi​−A0​vi−1​ for 2≤i≤p−12 \le i \le p - 12≤i≤p−1.

Milestones 1–3 are the algebraic identities the goal's proof rests on; milestones 4–5 are the rest of the chapter's numbered results, which extend the goal from eigenvalues to the full Jordan structure of GGG.

Significance

The result. Theorem 9.3.1 separates the roots of one explicit polynomial into the spectrum of GGG (inside the closed unit disk) and the reciprocal spectrum of RRR (outside it). The eigenvalues of GGG and RRR, including the decay rate sp(R)\mathrm{sp}(R)sp(R) that governs the geometric tail of the stationary distribution (§9.1), can therefore be computed from the transition blocks without first computing GGG or RRR. Theorems 9.4.1 and 9.4.2 go further and recover eigenvectors and Jordan chains of GGG from the null spaces of Γ(λ)\Gamma(\lambda)Γ(λ) and its derivative, which is how §9.5 reconstructs GGG itself.

Formalizing it. The results are proved in the book; none is formalized. The platform has countable Markov chains (MarkovMixing) and no matrix analytic objects. This mission produces Lean statements of the first-passage and rate matrices as trajectory sums and connects them to polynomial matrices over C\mathbb CC, a bridge between Markov chain probability and Mathlib's characteristic polynomials and root multisets that later spectral results (M/G/1-type chains, the caudal characteristic) can reuse.

Difficulty

Two steps resist. First, the matrices are probabilistic: before any algebra, the matrix equations satisfied by GGG and RRR, the finiteness of RRR and the location of their spectra must be derived from first-passage probabilities and expected visit counts, that is, from series over trajectories of a chain with infinitely many states. Second, that every eigenvalue of GGG is a root of γ\gammaγ is a determinant identity, but the theorem says more: the closed unit disk contains no other root, and the roots outside it are exactly accounted for by RRR, with multiplicities, even when RRR is singular and γ\gammaγ has degree below 2m2m2m. Inclusion is easy; exhaustiveness is the content, and it is where the hypothesis of positive recurrence enters. The tempting shortcut, taking GGG to be any nonnegative solution of A0X2+(A1−I)X+A2=0A_0X^2 + (A_1 - I)X + A_2 = 0A0​X2+(A1​−I)X+A2​=0, does not work: such equations have several nonnegative solutions, and for the non-minimal ones the root count is false.

Formalization scope

Phases form a finite nonempty type ι with mmm = Fintype.card ι; blocks are real functions ι → ι → ℝ, mapped to complex matrices for every spectral statement. The QBD is the transition function qbdP B A₀ A₁ A₂ on ℕ × ι. Stochasticity, irreducibility and positive recurrence (summable return-time tails) are restated from the platform definition mm_countable. GGG is a sum, over first-passage trajectories, of products of one-step probabilities, and RRR a sum of taboo-trajectory probabilities; both are computed in ℝ≥0∞ and read in ℂ (matGc, matRc), and the finiteness of RRR is part of each conclusion that uses it. γ\gammaγ is the determinant of a matrix over ℂ[X]; roots are Polynomial.roots (with multiplicity), eigenvalues are roots of Matrix.charpoly, and ∣z∣≤1|z| \le 1∣z∣≤1 is ‖z‖ ≤ 1. An eigenvector is nonzero, so Theorems 9.4.1–9.4.2 carry v≠0v \ne 0v=0 (resp. v1≠0v_1 \ne 0v1​=0).

The trivializing formalization is excluded: GGG and RRR are never defined as solutions or minimal solutions of a matrix equation, positive recurrence is never "a stationary distribution exists", and the goal asserts γ≠0\gamma \ne 0γ=0 so that it cannot hold through the empty root multiset of the zero polynomial.

Beyond the paper. One strengthened variant restates Theorem 9.3.1 without the irreducibility of AAA, a standing restriction of Chapter 9 that its proof never uses (finding F3). Findings also record that "eigenvector" must be read as nonzero in Theorems 9.4.1–9.4.2 (F1) and that the proof of 9.3.1 omits the argument that γ≢0\gamma \not\equiv 0γ≡0, which follows from ΦR(0)=U−I\Phi_R(0) = U - IΦR​(0)=U−I being nonsingular (F2).

Contributions welcome: first-step analysis for trajectory-sum passage matrices (useful across the whole series), lemmas relating Matrix.det of a polynomial matrix to evaluation and to reversed polynomials, and root counting for products of determinants.

Selected references

  • G. Latouche and V. Ramaswami, Introduction to Matrix Analytic Methods in Stochastic Modeling, ASA-SIAM Series on Statistics and Applied Probability, SIAM, 1999. doi:10.1137/1.9780898719734
  • M. F. Neuts, Matrix-Geometric Solutions in Stochastic Models: An Algorithmic Approach, Johns Hopkins University Press, 1981; Dover reprint 1994.
  • G. Rama Murthy, M. Kim and E. J. Coyle, "Equilibrium analysis of skip free Markov chains: Nonlinear matrix equations", Communications in Statistics. Stochastic Models 7 (1991) 547–571.
  • H. R. Gail, S. L. Hantler and B. A. Taylor, "Spectral analysis of M/G/1 and GI/M/1 type Markov chains", Advances in Applied Probability 28 (1996) 114–165.
  • D. K. Faddeev and V. N. Faddeeva, Computational Methods of Linear Algebra, Freeman, 1963.
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Introduction to Matrix Analytic Methods in Stochastic Modeling X: Linear Level Reduction for Finite QBDsTextbook

Motivation

In a queue with a finite buffer, a multi-server system with a capacity limit, or a communication link with a bounded number of packets in transit, the number of customers is a level that takes only finitely many values, and the rest of the state (service phase, arrival phase, environment) is a phase. The resulting Markov chain is a finite quasi-birth-and-death process (finite QBD): it moves by at most one level per step, and its transition probabilities do not depend on the level except at the two boundaries. Finite QBDs model M/PH/1/K and PH/M/1/K queues, finite-buffer multiplexers and loss systems, and computing their stationary distribution is the routine numerical task behind blocking probabilities and buffer-dimensioning.

Chapter 10 of Latouche and Ramaswami, Introduction to Matrix Analytic Methods in Stochastic Modeling (SIAM 1999), gives the standard exact method, linear level reduction, adapted from Gaver, Jacobs and Latouche (Advances in Applied Probability, 1984): remove the levels one at a time, solve the chain watched on the last remaining level, and rebuild the stationary vector level by level. The chapter shows that every matrix the algorithm computes has a probabilistic meaning, which is what makes the algorithm a probabilistic form of block Gaussian elimination rather than an algebraic trick. This mission is the tenth of a series formalizing the book.

Setting

Fix M≥1M \ge 1M≥1 and a finite nonempty set ι\iotaι of phases. The state space is the set of pairs (n,j)(n, j)(n,j) with level 0≤n≤M0 \le n \le M0≤n≤M and phase j∈ιj \in \iotaj∈ι; the level ℓ(n)\ell(n)ℓ(n) is the set of states with first coordinate nnn, and Si=⋃i≤n≤Mℓ(n)S_i = \bigcup_{i \le n \le M} \ell(n)Si​=⋃i≤n≤M​ℓ(n). Five real ι×ι\iota \times \iotaι×ι matrices P00,A0,A1,A2,PMMP_{00}, A_0, A_1, A_2, P_{MM}P00​,A0​,A1​,A2​,PMM​ define the block tridiagonal transition matrix

P=[P00A0A2A1A0⋱⋱⋱A2A1A0A2PMM],P = \begin{bmatrix} P_{00} & A_0 & & & \\ A_2 & A_1 & A_0 & & \\ & \ddots & \ddots & \ddots & \\ & & A_2 & A_1 & A_0 \\ & & & A_2 & P_{MM}\end{bmatrix},P=​P00​A2​​A0​A1​⋱​A0​⋱A2​​⋱A1​A2​​A0​PMM​​​,

so A0A_0A0​ moves up one level, A2A_2A2​ down one level, and A1A_1A1​ (or P00P_{00}P00​, PMMP_{MM}PMM​ at the boundaries) stays. PPP is assumed stochastic (nonnegative, rows summing to one) and irreducible (every state reaches every state). Its stationary vector π\piπ is the row vector with π≥0\pi \ge 0π≥0, π1=1\pi\mathbf 1 = 1π1=1, πP=π\pi P = \piπP=π, partitioned into blocks π=(π0,…,πM)\pi = (\pi_0, \dots, \pi_M)π=(π0​,…,πM​).

For a set AAA of states, the probability, starting from xxx, that the first visit to AAA after time 000 is a visit to yyy is the sum, over all finite trajectories from xxx to yyy whose intermediate states avoid AAA, of the products of one-step transition probabilities. The process restricted on AAA has these first-return probabilities as its transition matrix.

Two families of matrices are defined by recursion. Upwards:

C0=P00,Ci=A1+A2(I−Ci−1)−1A0 (1≤i≤M−1),CM=PMM+A2(I−CM−1)−1A0.C_0 = P_{00}, \qquad C_i = A_1 + A_2(I - C_{i-1})^{-1}A_0 \ (1 \le i \le M-1), \qquad C_M = P_{MM} + A_2(I - C_{M-1})^{-1}A_0.C0​=P00​,Ci​=A1​+A2​(I−Ci−1​)−1A0​ (1≤i≤M−1),CM​=PMM​+A2​(I−CM−1​)−1A0​.

Downwards:

U(M)=PMM,U(i)=A1+A0(I−U(i+1))−1A2 (1≤i≤M−1),U(0)=P00+A0(I−U(1))−1A2,U^{(M)} = P_{MM}, \qquad U^{(i)} = A_1 + A_0(I - U^{(i+1)})^{-1}A_2 \ (1 \le i \le M-1), \qquad U^{(0)} = P_{00} + A_0(I - U^{(1)})^{-1}A_2,U(M)=PMM​,U(i)=A1​+A0​(I−U(i+1))−1A2​ (1≤i≤M−1),U(0)=P00​+A0​(I−U(1))−1A2​,

and R(i)=A0(I−U(i))−1R^{(i)} = A_0(I - U^{(i)})^{-1}R(i)=A0​(I−U(i))−1 for 1≤i≤M1 \le i \le M1≤i≤M.

Formalization targets

Goal: the matrix-product form (Theorem 10.1.3)

For an irreducible finite QBD, I−U(i)I - U^{(i)}I−U(i) is invertible for 1≤i≤M1 \le i \le M1≤i≤M, and

π0=π0U(0),πi=πi−1R(i)(1≤i≤M);\pi_0 = \pi_0U^{(0)}, \qquad \pi_i = \pi_{i-1}R^{(i)} \quad (1 \le i \le M);π0​=π0​U(0),πi​=πi−1​R(i)(1≤i≤M);

these equations determine π\piπ up to a multiplicative constant. Moreover, for 1≤i≤M1 \le i \le M1≤i≤M, U(i)U^{(i)}U(i) is the matrix of probabilities of returning from ℓ(i)\ell(i)ℓ(i) to ℓ(i)\ell(i)ℓ(i) before a visit to ℓ(i−1)\ell(i-1)ℓ(i−1), and (I−U(i))−1A2(I - U^{(i)})^{-1}A_2(I−U(i))−1A2​ is the matrix of first passage probabilities from ℓ(i)\ell(i)ℓ(i) to ℓ(i−1)\ell(i-1)ℓ(i−1).

Milestones

  1. Lemma 10.1.1. The process restricted on SiS_iSi​ has the transition matrix of the same block form with CiC_iCi​ in the corner; I−CiI - C_iI−Ci​ is invertible for i≤M−1i \le M-1i≤M−1; CiC_iCi​ is the matrix of returns from ℓ(i)\ell(i)ℓ(i) to ℓ(i)\ell(i)ℓ(i) before reaching ℓ(i+1)\ell(i+1)ℓ(i+1); (I−Ci)−1A0(I - C_i)^{-1}A_0(I−Ci​)−1A0​ is the first passage matrix from ℓ(i)\ell(i)ℓ(i) to ℓ(i+1)\ell(i+1)ℓ(i+1).
  2. Theorem 10.1.2. π\piπ is the unique real solution of πM=πMCM\pi_M = \pi_MC_MπM​=πM​CM​, πi=πi+1A2(I−Ci)−1\pi_i = \pi_{i+1}A_2(I - C_i)^{-1}πi​=πi+1​A2​(I−Ci​)−1 (0≤i≤M−10 \le i \le M-10≤i≤M−1), ∑iπi1=1\sum_i \pi_i\mathbf 1 = 1∑i​πi​1=1.
  3. Theorem 10.4.1. If A2=c⋅rA_2 = \boldsymbol c\cdot\boldsymbol rA2​=c⋅r has rank one with r1=1\boldsymbol r\mathbf 1 = 1r1=1, then πi=π0Ri\pi_i = \pi_0R^iπi​=π0​Ri (1≤i≤M−11 \le i \le M-11≤i≤M−1), πM=π0RM−1RM\pi_M = \pi_0R^{M-1}R_MπM​=π0​RM−1RM​, π0(I−P00−A01⋅r)=0\pi_0(I - P_{00} - A_0\mathbf 1\cdot\boldsymbol r) = \mathbf 0π0​(I−P00​−A0​1⋅r)=0, with R=A0(I−A1−A01⋅r)−1R = A_0(I - A_1 - A_0\mathbf 1\cdot\boldsymbol r)^{-1}R=A0​(I−A1​−A0​1⋅r)−1, RM=A0(I−PMM)−1R_M = A_0(I - P_{MM})^{-1}RM​=A0​(I−PMM​)−1; and symmetrically when A0A_0A0​ has rank one.

Significance

The goal is the finite counterpart of the matrix-geometric property πn=πn−1R\pi_n = \pi_{n-1}Rπn​=πn−1​R, R=A0(I−U)−1R = A_0(I - U)^{-1}R=A0​(I−U)−1 of the infinite QBD (Theorem 6.2.1 of the book): with a finite upper boundary the matrices U(i)U^{(i)}U(i) depend on the level, and the stationary vector is a product of level-dependent factors. Together with Lemma 10.1.1 and Theorem 10.1.2 it justifies the two block-elimination algorithms of the chapter (bottom-up and top-down), whose cost is linear in the number of levels, and Theorem 10.4.1 reduces the whole computation to one m×mm \times mm×m system for the M/PH/1/K and PH/M/1/K queues.

The results are classical and proved in the book, except that Theorem 10.1.3's proof is omitted as "a repetition of the argument" for Theorem 10.1.2. None of them is formalized. The mission produces a formal account of finite block tridiagonal chains, taboo first-entrance probabilities as trajectory sums, and the link between restricted (censored) chains and block Gaussian elimination, all reusable by the later chapters on first passage times and level-dependent QBDs.

Difficulty

The algebra of block elimination is routine once the inverses exist; the content is that they exist and that the recursively defined matrices are the probabilities claimed. The obvious approach, verifying πP=π\pi P = \piπP=π by substituting the recursions, proves neither: it presupposes invertibility of I−CiI - C_iI−Ci​ and I−U(i)I - U^{(i)}I−U(i), which holds only because the corresponding taboo matrices are strictly substochastic in an irreducible chain, and it says nothing about first passage probabilities. Identifying the recursion with the probabilities requires decomposing trajectories at their visits to a level, inductively in the number of removed levels, and passing to the limit in infinite sums of trajectory weights. Uniqueness of the solution, and the rank-one reduction of Theorem 10.4.1, then rest on the first passage matrices being stochastic.

Formalization scope

The state space is Fin (M + 1) × ι with ι a nonempty Fintype, levels counted from 000; the transition matrix is the explicit block tridiagonal qbdMatrix, and every theorem assumes M≥1M \ge 1M≥1, stochasticity and irreducibility. Row vectors act on the left (vecMul). The first-visit probabilities are sums over ttt of firstEntryStep, a finite sum of products of one-step probabilities over trajectories with ttt intermediate states avoiding the taboo set, and every statement asserts the convergence of that series (HasSum) to the stated matrix entry. CiC_iCi​, U(i)U^{(i)}U(i) and R(i)R^{(i)}R(i) are defined by the book's recursions with Mathlib's matrix inverse, which is 000 on a singular matrix; every theorem therefore concludes the invertibility of each matrix it inverts, and none assumes it. Defining CiC_iCi​ or U(i)U^{(i)}U(i) as the first-passage probabilities and the theorem as their recursion, or assuming the inverses exist, would trivialize the mission; both are excluded by this design. The probabilistic meanings in Lemma 10.1.1 and Theorem 10.1.3 are part of the conclusions. "Determined by" and "given by" are formalized as uniqueness of the solution (up to a constant for Theorem 10.1.3, which states no normalization).

The basic Markov chain notions restate the public platform definition mm_countable. Results stated in the chapter but not included: Lemma 10.3.1 and Theorem 10.3.2 (they need the rate matrices RRR, R^\hat RR^ of the infinite QBD and its level reversal) and the folding method of §10.2 (unnumbered). Contributions of general lemmas on censored finite chains and on substochastic taboo matrices are welcome.

Selected references

  • G. Latouche and V. Ramaswami, Introduction to Matrix Analytic Methods in Stochastic Modeling, ASA-SIAM Series on Statistics and Applied Probability, SIAM, 1999. https://doi.org/10.1137/1.9780898719734
  • D. P. Gaver, P. A. Jacobs and G. Latouche, Finite birth-and-death models in randomly changing environments, Advances in Applied Probability 16 (1984), 715–731.
  • M. F. Neuts, Matrix-Geometric Solutions in Stochastic Models: An Algorithmic Approach, Johns Hopkins University Press, 1981.
  • W. J. Stewart, Introduction to the Numerical Solution of Markov Chains, Princeton University Press, 1994.
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Introduction to Matrix Analytic Methods in Stochastic Modeling V: The Matrix-Geometric Stationary Distribution of a QBDTextbook

Motivation

Quasi-birth-and-death processes (QBDs) are the workhorse models of queueing theory, telecommunications and inventory systems whenever a counting variable (the number of customers, packets or items) moves up or down by one while a second, finite or countable, phase variable records the state of the environment: the phase of a service-time distribution, of an arrival process, of a server's availability. The single most used fact about them is that the stationary distribution is matrix-geometric: the probability vector of level n+1n+1n+1 is the vector of level nnn multiplied by a fixed nonnegative matrix RRR. The result goes back to Evans (1967) for scalar A0A_0A0​, was developed into a general theory by Neuts (Matrix-Geometric Solutions in Stochastic Models, 1981), and is proved in Chapter 6 of Latouche and Ramaswami (Introduction to Matrix Analytic Methods in Stochastic Modeling, SIAM 1999) by a direct probabilistic argument in which RRR is a matrix of expected numbers of visits. This mission formalizes that chapter: the matrix-geometric property, the probabilistic matrices UUU, GGG, RRR and the equations relating them, the spectral radius bound, and the boundary equations.

Setting

Fix a set ι\iotaι of phases, finite or countably infinite, and four square matrices B,A0,A1,A2B, A_0, A_1, A_2B,A0​,A1​,A2​ indexed by ι\iotaι. A homogeneous QBD is the discrete-time Markov chain on the states (n,i)(n,i)(n,i), with level n≥0n\ge0n≥0 and phase i∈ιi\in\iotai∈ι, whose transition matrix is block-tridiagonal:

P=(BA00⋯A2A1A0⋯0A2A1⋱⋮⋱⋱).P=\begin{pmatrix}B&A_0&0&\cdots\\A_2&A_1&A_0&\cdots\\0&A_2&A_1&\ddots\\\vdots&&\ddots&\ddots\end{pmatrix}.P=​BA2​0⋮​A0​A1​A2​​0A0​A1​⋱​⋯⋯⋱⋱​​.

From level n≥1n\ge1n≥1 the chain moves up one level with probabilities A0A_0A0​, stays with A1A_1A1​, moves down with A2A_2A2​; from level 000 it stays with BBB and moves up with A0A_0A0​. The level ℓ(n)\ell(n)ℓ(n) is the set {(n,i):i∈ι}\{(n,i):i\in\iota\}{(n,i):i∈ι}. The chain is assumed irreducible and positive recurrent (finite expected return time to every state), and π=(π0,π1,…)\pi=(\pi_0,\pi_1,\ldots)π=(π0​,π1​,…) denotes its stationary probability vector, partitioned by levels.

Four families of matrices indexed by phases carry the theory, all defined by what they mean for the chain:

  • NijN_{ij}Nij​: the expected number of visits to (n,j)(n,j)(n,j), starting from (n,i)(n,i)(n,i), before the first visit to ℓ(n−1)\ell(n-1)ℓ(n−1) (n≥1n\ge1n≥1);
  • RijR_{ij}Rij​: the expected number of visits to (n+1,j)(n+1,j)(n+1,j), starting from (n,i)(n,i)(n,i), before a return to ℓ(0)∪⋯∪ℓ(n)\ell(0)\cup\cdots\cup\ell(n)ℓ(0)∪⋯∪ℓ(n);
  • UijU_{ij}Uij​: the probability, starting from (n,i)(n,i)(n,i), of returning to ℓ(n)\ell(n)ℓ(n) before visiting ℓ(n−1)\ell(n-1)ℓ(n−1), and doing so at (n,j)(n,j)(n,j);
  • GijG_{ij}Gij​: the probability, starting from (n,i)(n,i)(n,i), of ever visiting ℓ(n−1)\ell(n-1)ℓ(n−1), and doing so first at (n−1,j)(n-1,j)(n−1,j).

The book writes (I−U)−1(I-U)^{-1}(I−U)−1 for the series ∑ν≥0Uν\sum_{\nu\ge0}U^\nu∑ν≥0​Uν.

Formalization targets

Goal: the matrix-geometric property (Theorem 6.2.1)

For a positive recurrent QBD there is a nonnegative matrix NNN with

πn+1=πnA0N(n≥0),πn=π0Rn(n≥0),R=A0N,\pi_{n+1}=\pi_nA_0N\quad(n\ge0),\qquad \pi_n=\pi_0R^n\quad(n\ge0),\qquad R=A_0N,πn+1​=πn​A0​N(n≥0),πn​=π0​Rn(n≥0),R=A0​N,

where NijN_{ij}Nij​ is the expected number of visits defined above at every level n≥1n\ge1n≥1 (in particular finite and independent of nnn) and RijR_{ij}Rij​ is the expected number of visits defined above at every level n≥0n\ge0n≥0. The goal includes these interpretations: they are what distinguishes the theorem from the bare existence of some matrix with πn+1=πnR\pi_{n+1}=\pi_nRπn+1​=πn​R.

Milestones

  1. Theorem 6.2.7. For the blocks N1kN_{1k}N1k​ of expected visits to ℓ(n+k)\ell(n+k)ℓ(n+k) from ℓ(n+1)\ell(n+1)ℓ(n+1) before ℓ(0)∪⋯∪ℓ(n)\ell(0)\cup\cdots\cup\ell(n)ℓ(0)∪⋯∪ℓ(n): N1,k+1=N11A0N1kN_{1,k+1}=N_{11}A_0N_{1k}N1,k+1​=N11​A0​N1k​, hence N1k=N11Rk−1N_{1k}=N_{11}R^{k-1}N1k​=N11​Rk−1.
  2. Theorem 6.2.9. R=A0(I−U)−1R=A_0(I-U)^{-1}R=A0​(I−U)−1, G=(I−U)−1A2G=(I-U)^{-1}A_2G=(I−U)−1A2​, U=A1+A0G=A1+RA2U=A_1+A_0G=A_1+RA_2U=A1​+A0​G=A1​+RA2​.
  3. Theorem 6.2.10. U=A1+A0(I−U)−1A2U=A_1+A_0(I-U)^{-1}A_2U=A1​+A0​(I−U)−1A2​, G=A2+A1G+A0G2G=A_2+A_1G+A_0G^2G=A2​+A1​G+A0​G2, R=A0+RA1+R2A2R=A_0+RA_1+R^2A_2R=A0​+RA1​+R2A2​.
  4. Corollary 6.2.4. If the number of phases is finite, the spectral radius of RRR is strictly less than 111.
  5. Lemma 6.3.1. With finitely many phases, π0\pi_0π0​ is the unique solution of π0(B+A0G)=π0\pi_0(B+A_0G)=\pi_0π0​(B+A0​G)=π0​, π0(I−R)−11=1\pi_0(I-R)^{-1}\mathbf 1=1π0​(I−R)−11=1, and B+A0G=B+RA2B+A_0G=B+RA_2B+A0​G=B+RA2​.

Significance

The matrix-geometric form reduces the infinite stationary system π=πP\pi=\pi Pπ=πP to a single matrix RRR and a finite boundary vector π0\pi_0π0​: every marginal distribution and moment of the level follows in closed form (for instance ∑nπn=π0(I−R)−1\sum_n\pi_n=\pi_0(I-R)^{-1}∑n​πn​=π0​(I−R)−1), the level has a discrete phase-type distribution, and the nonlinear equations for UUU, GGG, RRR are the starting point of every numerical method for QBDs (linear and logarithmic reduction, Chapter 8 of the book). Downstream chapters of this series (stability, minimal solutions, spectral analysis, level-dependent and tree-structured processes) all take these objects and relations as given.

Formalizing the chapter produces, on top of the textbook proof, a machine-checked bridge between path-level probability (expected numbers of visits as sums over taboo trajectories) and matrix algebra over a possibly infinite phase set. No part of the matrix analytic layer is formalized on the platform, which has countable Markov chains and scalar birth-and-death formulas only; the results here are classical and proved, not formalized.

Difficulty

The textbook proof is three lines long because it invokes two theorems on censored chains (Theorems 5.2.1 and 5.2.3 of the book) that express the stationary vector of one part of the state space through that of the complement and the expected-visits matrix (I−PTc)−1(I-P_{T^c})^{-1}(I−PTc​)−1. Neither is available: a solver must build the censoring argument, or an equivalent regenerative argument, from path sums. The second difficulty is homogeneity: NNN, UUU, GGG, RRR are defined level by level, and their independence of the level is a statement about a bijection between taboo trajectories at different levels, not a notational convenience. Third, the phase set may be infinite, so the matrix products are infinite series and the formal manipulations of the book (postmultiplying by (I−U)(I-U)(I−U), for instance) are not available as written. The obvious first idea, to define RRR as a solution of R=A0+RA1+R2A2R=A_0+RA_1+R^2A_2R=A0​+RA1​+R2A2​, is ruled out: that equation has several nonnegative solutions and taking one as a definition makes Theorem 6.2.10 vacuous.

Formalization scope

States are ℕ × ι with ι an arbitrary countable type with decidable equality; levels are counted from 000; the transition matrix qbdP B A₀ A₁ A₂ is (6.1) exactly, so the block structure is built in. Irreducibility, positive recurrence (the return-time notion at every state) and stationarity (nonnegative, summing to one, πP=π\pi P=\piπP=π) restate the platform definition mm_countable. The matrices NNN, RRR, N1kN_{1k}N1k​, UUU, GGG are sums over finite taboo trajectories of products of one-step transition probabilities, valued in [0,+∞][0,+\infty][0,+∞] (ℝ≥0∞); vector–matrix products, matrix powers and (I−U)−1:=∑νUν(I-U)^{-1}:=\sum_\nu U^\nu(I−U)−1:=∑ν​Uν are computed there, so no summability hypothesis appears and no junk value can occur. The goal asserts that these probabilistic quantities equal the entries of real nonnegative matrices. None of NNN, RRR, UUU, GGG is defined as a solution of the chapter's equations; a formalization that did so would make the milestones true by definition and is excluded.

Corollary 6.2.4 and Lemma 6.3.1 assume finitely many phases ([Fintype ι]): the first because the book does, the second because (I−R)−1(I-R)^{-1}(I−R)−1 is then a genuine matrix inverse and "the unique solution" ranges over all real vectors of Rm\mathbb R^mRm; invertibility of I−RI-RI−R and finiteness of the entries of RRR and GGG are conclusions, never hypotheses. The spectral radius is taken over C\mathbb CC. The section's temporary aperiodicity assumption, used in the book only to read π\piπ as a limit, is not imposed.

A complete development needs: the strong Markov property in path-sum form (first-passage decompositions of taboo sums), censored chains on a countable state space, uniqueness of the stationary vector of a positive recurrent irreducible chain, and the Perron–Frobenius-type fact that a convergent series ∑nRn\sum_nR^n∑n​Rn forces sp⁡(R)<1\operatorname{sp}(R)<1sp(R)<1. The path-sum decompositions and the [0,+∞][0,+\infty][0,+∞] matrix algebra are reusable across the whole series and in any countable-state Markov chain development; contributions of such general lemmas are welcome.

Selected references

  • G. Latouche and V. Ramaswami, Introduction to Matrix Analytic Methods in Stochastic Modeling, ASA-SIAM Series on Statistics and Applied Probability, SIAM, 1999. https://doi.org/10.1137/1.9780898719734
  • M. F. Neuts, Matrix-Geometric Solutions in Stochastic Models: An Algorithmic Approach, Johns Hopkins University Press, 1981; reprinted by Dover, 1994.
  • R. V. Evans, Geometric distribution in some two-dimensional queuing systems, Operations Research 15 (1967), 830–846. https://doi.org/10.1287/opre.15.5.830
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Introduction to Matrix Analytic Methods in Stochastic Modeling VI: The Mean-Drift Stability Criterion for QBDsTextbook

Motivation

Quasi-birth-and-death processes (QBDs) are the standard Markov models of queues with structured arrivals and service: a queue fed by a Markovian arrival process, a server with phase-type service times, a buffer in a telecommunication link with a fluctuating source. Their stationary distribution has the matrix-geometric form πn=π0Rn\pi_n = \pi_0 R^nπn​=π0​Rn (Neuts, Matrix-Geometric Solutions in Stochastic Models, 1981), but that form only describes a chain once it is known to be positive recurrent. Chapter 7 of Latouche and Ramaswami, Introduction to Matrix Analytic Methods in Stochastic Modeling (SIAM 1999, doi:10.1137/1.9780898719734), answers the prior question: when is a QBD stable? The authors stress that the two issues are distinct, "a fact which was somewhat blurred in early presentations of matrix analytic methods" (p. 147).

The answer for finitely many phases is the mean-drift criterion: average the one-step change of the level over the stationary law of the phase; the QBD is positive recurrent exactly when this average is negative. The criterion goes back to Neuts (1981); the book's proof follows the Markov-modulated random walk argument of Asmussen (Applied Probability and Queues, pp. 235–239).

Setting

A QBD is a Markov chain on the states (n,i)(n, i)(n,i), where n≥0n \ge 0n≥0 is the level and iii ranges over a set of phases, finite or countably infinite. The level ℓ(n)\ell(n)ℓ(n) is the set of states (n,i)(n,i)(n,i). Given matrices B,A0,A1,A2B, A_0, A_1, A_2B,A0​,A1​,A2​ indexed by phases, the transition matrix (6.1) is block tridiagonal. From level 000 the chain moves within ℓ(0)\ell(0)ℓ(0) according to BBB and up according to A0A_0A0​; from level n≥1n \ge 1n≥1 it moves up according to A0A_0A0​, stays according to A1A_1A1​ and moves down according to A2A_2A2​. The chain is assumed irreducible throughout. The phase matrix A=A0+A1+A2A = A_0 + A_1 + A_2A=A0​+A1​+A2​ is stochastic.

Let δ\deltaδ be the first passage time from ℓ(1)\ell(1)ℓ(1) to ℓ(0)\ell(0)ℓ(0). The first-passage matrix GGG has entries Gij=P[δ<∞, Xδ=(0,j)∣X0=(1,i)]G_{ij} = \mathrm P[\delta < \infty,\ X_\delta = (0,j) \mid X_0 = (1,i)]Gij​=P[δ<∞, Xδ​=(0,j)∣X0​=(1,i)]. GGG is stochastic if G1=1G\mathbf 1 = \mathbf 1G1=1 and substochastic if G1≤1G\mathbf 1 \le \mathbf 1G1≤1 with at least one strict inequality. The matrix G′(1)G'(1)G′(1), (7.2), has entries E[δ I{Xδ=(0,j)}∣X0=(1,i)]\mathrm E[\delta\, \mathcal I\{X_\delta = (0,j)\} \mid X_0 = (1,i)]E[δI{Xδ​=(0,j)}∣X0​=(1,i)]. The restricted chain on ℓ(0)\ell(0)ℓ(0) has transition matrix P{0}=B+A0GP^{\{0\}} = B + A_0 GP{0}=B+A0​G. MijM_{ij}Mij​ is the expected number of visits to (0,j)(0,j)(0,j) from (0,i)(0,i)(0,i) before the first return to (0,i)(0,i)(0,i), and m=M(1+A0G′(1)1)\boldsymbol m = M(\mathbf 1 + A_0G'(1)\mathbf 1)m=M(1+A0​G′(1)1). The rate matrix RRR has entries RijR_{ij}Rij​, the expected number of visits to (1,j)(1,j)(1,j) from (0,i)(0,i)(0,i) before the first return to ℓ(0)\ell(0)ℓ(0).

A state is recurrent if the chain returns to it with probability one and positive recurrent if the expected return time is finite. The QBD is null recurrent if it is recurrent but not positive recurrent, and transient if it is not recurrent.

When the number of phases is finite and AAA is irreducible, α\alphaα denotes the stationary probability vector of AAA (α≥0\alpha \ge 0α≥0, α1=1\alpha\mathbf 1 = 1α1=1, αA=α\alpha A = \alphaαA=α), and the mean drift is

μ=αA01−αA21.\mu = \alpha A_0\mathbf 1 - \alpha A_2 \mathbf 1 .μ=αA0​1−αA2​1.

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem 7.2.3 (p. 155)

For an irreducible QBD with finitely many phases and an irreducible AAA,

positive recurrent  ⟺  μ<0,μ=0  ⟹  null recurrent,μ>0  ⟹  transient.\text{positive recurrent} \iff \mu < 0, \qquad \mu = 0 \implies \text{null recurrent}, \qquad \mu > 0 \implies \text{transient}.positive recurrent⟺μ<0,μ=0⟹null recurrent,μ>0⟹transient.

Milestones

  1. Theorem 7.1.1 (p. 149), for any number of phases. If GGG is substochastic or P{0}P^{\{0\}}P{0} is transient, the QBD is transient. The QBD is recurrent iff GGG is stochastic and P{0}P^{\{0\}}P{0} is recurrent. It is positive recurrent iff, in addition, m\boldsymbol mm is finite.
  2. Theorem 7.1.1, last paragraph: with finitely many phases, positive recurrent   ⟺  \iff⟺ GGG stochastic and G′(1)G'(1)G′(1) finite.
  3. Corollary 7.1.2 (p. 151): with finitely many phases, positive recurrent   ⟺  sp⁡(R)<1\iff \operatorname{sp}(R) < 1⟺sp(R)<1.
  4. Theorem 7.2.1 (p. 152): if AAA is irreducible, GGG is irreducible or, after a permutation, G=[G10G∙1G∙]G = \begin{bmatrix} G_1 & 0 \\ G_{\bullet1} & G_\bullet\end{bmatrix}G=[G1​G∙1​​0G∙​​] with G1G_1G1​ irreducible and G∙G_\bulletG∙​ strictly lower triangular.
  5. Theorem 7.2.2 (p. 154): the same for RRR, with R=[R1R1∙0R∙]R = \begin{bmatrix} R_1 & R_{1\bullet} \\ 0 & R_\bullet\end{bmatrix}R=[R1​0​R1∙​R∙​​] and R∙R_\bulletR∙​ strictly upper triangular.
  6. Theorem 7.3.1 (p. 160): for a reducible AAA in the block form (7.11), with irreducible diagonal blocks C(k)C^{(k)}C(k) and remainder D(0)D^{(0)}D(0), each class kkk is tested by γ(k)C2(k)1\gamma^{(k)}C_2^{(k)}\mathbf 1γ(k)C2(k)​1 against γ(k)C0(k)1\gamma^{(k)}C_0^{(k)}\mathbf 1γ(k)C0(k)​1.

Significance

The result itself. Theorem 7.2.3 decides stability from A0A_0A0​, A1A_1A1​, A2A_2A2​ alone, by solving one finite linear system for α\alphaα. Theorem 7.1.1 and Corollary 7.1.2 give the same classification through GGG and RRR, but deciding numerically whether G1=1G\mathbf 1 = \mathbf 1G1=1 is fragile when G1G\mathbf 1G1 is close to 1\mathbf 11 (p. 151). The drift criterion is what licenses the matrix-geometric solution of Chapter 6 and the algorithms of Chapter 8 for a given model.

Formalizing it. All of these results are proved in the book, and none is machine-checked. The platform has countable Markov chains (recurrence and positive recurrence via return times) and scalar queueing classifications (M/G/1M/G/1M/G/1, GI/M/1GI/M/1GI/M/1 embedded chains), but no level–phase chain, no first-passage matrix and no drift criterion for Markov-modulated walks.

Difficulty

The obvious argument says: the level is a random walk whose increments have mean μ\muμ, so it drifts to −∞-\infty−∞ when μ<0\mu < 0μ<0. But the increments are not independent; they are driven by the phase chain. The law of large numbers for the Markov-modulated walk gives Lt/t→μL_t/t \to \muLt​/t→μ. That settles μ≠0\mu \ne 0μ=0 only up to recurrence; positive recurrence needs a separate expectation bound. At μ=0\mu = 0μ=0 it settles nothing. That case takes most of the book's proof: it shows the expected passage time is infinite, using the class structure of GGG (Theorem 7.2.1) to compare passage times to a fixed phase. In the reducible case the phases outside the closed classes must leave in finite expected time. The printed hypothesis of Theorem 7.3.1 does not guarantee that (see below). For Corollary 7.1.2, the passage from sp⁡(R)<1\operatorname{sp}(R) < 1sp(R)<1 to "GGG is stochastic" is left implicit in the printed proof, and the identity it displays for G′(1)1G'(1)\mathbf 1G′(1)1 carries a spurious "1+1 +1+" (finding F2).

Formalization scope

States are pairs in N×ι\mathbb N \times \iotaN×ι with a phase type ι\iotaι. It is countable in Theorem 7.1.1 and finite (Fintype) exactly where the book says "mmm is finite". The QBD is the function qbdP B A₀ A₁ A₂, and every theorem assumes it stochastic and irreducible. Recurrence, positive recurrence, null recurrence and transience are properties of this chain, defined through return-time tails (sums over trajectories of products of transition probabilities), for every state. GGG, G′(1)G'(1)G′(1), MMM, m\boldsymbol mm and RRR are defined in the same probabilistic way, with values in [0,∞][0,\infty][0,∞], so "finite" means ≠∞\ne \infty=∞.

The trivializing formalization is ruled out: positive recurrence is never defined as "sp⁡(R)<1\operatorname{sp}(R) < 1sp(R)<1", "GGG stochastic" or "a stationary distribution exists", and GGG, RRR are never defined as solutions of (7.1) or R=A0NR = A_0 NR=A0​N; with either shortcut Theorem 7.1.1 and Corollary 7.1.2 would hold by definition.

Irreducibility of a nonnegative matrix (GGG, RRR and their blocks) asks that some power t≥1t \ge 1t≥1 have a nonzero (i,j)(i,j)(i,j) entry. "After a permutation" is a bijection of the phases with {0,…,m−1}\{0, \dots, m-1\}{0,…,m−1}. The spectral radius is taken over C\mathbb CC, together with finiteness of the entries of RRR. The stationary vectors α\alphaα and γ(k)\gamma^{(k)}γ(k) are hypotheses, not choices. The countable-chain definitions restate the platform definition mm_countable locally.

Not formalized: Theorem 7.2.4 (continuous-time QBDs), which needs a continuous-time chain on a countable state space.

Beyond the paper. Theorem 7.3.1 is stated as printed, with D(0)D^{(0)}D(0) substochastic in the book's sense (row sums at most one, one strictly less), and as printed it is false (finding F3). If ϕ(0)\phi(0)ϕ(0) contains a closed class of AAA along which the level performs a symmetric random walk, the class criterion holds strictly yet the QBD is null recurrent; with an upward drift there it is transient. A corrected variant replaces "substochastic" by the convergence of ∑ν(D(0))ν1\sum_\nu (D^{(0)})^\nu \mathbf 1∑ν​(D(0))ν1, which is what the proof uses. A disproof of the printed item and a proof of the variant are both welcome.

A complete development needs Markov-modulated random walks, a strong law for them, the strong Markov property in path-sum form, and Perron–Frobenius facts for nonnegative matrices. These are reusable well beyond this mission (Chapters 8–13 of the book). Contributions are welcome at every milestone, including partial results such as transience for μ>0\mu > 0μ>0.

Selected references

  • G. Latouche and V. Ramaswami, Introduction to Matrix Analytic Methods in Stochastic Modeling, ASA-SIAM Series on Statistics and Applied Probability, SIAM, 1999. doi:10.1137/1.9780898719734
  • M. F. Neuts, Matrix-Geometric Solutions in Stochastic Models: An Algorithmic Approach, Johns Hopkins University Press, 1981; Dover reprint 1994, ISBN 0-486-68342-7.
  • S. Asmussen, Applied Probability and Queues, 2nd ed., Springer, 2003. doi:10.1007/b97236
  • D. A. Levin, Y. Peres and E. L. Wilmer, Markov Chains and Mixing Times, 2nd ed., AMS, 2017, Ch. 21 (countable chains). doi:10.1090/mbk/107
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Introduction to Matrix Analytic Methods in Stochastic Modeling IV: The Censored Markov Chain and Its Stationary DistributionTextbook

Motivation

Matrix analytic methods compute the stationary distribution of structured Markov chains (quasi-birth-and-death processes, M/G/1- and GI/M/1-type chains) by working on one block of states at a time. Every such computation rests on one device: watch the chain only while it is in a subset TTT of the state space, and describe what happens in between through expected numbers of visits to the complement. Chapter 5 of Latouche and Ramaswami, Introduction to Matrix Analytic Methods in Stochastic Modeling (SIAM, 1999, doi:10.1137/1.9780898719734), develops this device for a countable chain. It gives the relation πD=πT TRTD\boldsymbol\pi_D = \boldsymbol\pi_T\,{}_TR_{TD}πD​=πT​T​RTD​ between stationary probabilities on disjoint subsets, the Markov renewal identities between first-passage and expected-visit matrices, and the restricted (or censored) chain on TTT. Later chapters of the book use these results to derive the matrix-geometric form πn+1=πnR\boldsymbol\pi_{n+1} = \boldsymbol\pi_n Rπn+1​=πn​R and the linear level reduction algorithms. Outside queueing theory, the same censored chain appears as Meyer's stochastic complement in numerical linear algebra and as the Schur complement of I−PI - PI−P.

The censored chain goes back at least to Kemeny, Snell and Knapp, Denumerable Markov Chains (Springer, 1976, Chapter 6), whom the book cites for the proof. Freedman's Markov Chains (1971) calls it the restricted process. Grassmann, Taksar and Heyman (1985) turned the construction into the GTH algorithm, which is §5.4 of the book.

Setting

Let SSS be a countable set and P=(Pij)i,j∈SP = (P_{ij})_{i,j\in S}P=(Pij​)i,j∈S​ a stochastic matrix: Pij≥0P_{ij}\ge 0Pij​≥0 and ∑jPij=1\sum_j P_{ij} = 1∑j​Pij​=1. It is the transition matrix of a Markov chain {Xn:n≥0}\{X_n : n\ge 0\}{Xn​:n≥0}. The chapter's standing assumption is that the chain is irreducible (every state reaches every state with positive probability) and aperiodic. Its limiting probability vector is πj=lim⁡kP[Xk=j∣X0=i]\pi_j = \lim_k \mathrm P[X_k = j \mid X_0 = i]πj​=limk​P[Xk​=j∣X0​=i]. When the chain is positive recurrent (every state has a finite expected return time), π\boldsymbol\piπ is the stationary probability vector: π≥0\boldsymbol\pi \ge 0π≥0, π1=1\boldsymbol\pi\mathbf 1 = 1π1=1, πP=π\boldsymbol\pi P = \boldsymbol\piπP=π.

For T,D⊆ST, D\subseteq ST,D⊆S, write PDP_DPD​ for the submatrix of PPP on DDD and Tc=S∖TT^c = S\setminus TTc=S∖T. Let τ=inf⁡{n≥1:Xn∈T}\tau = \inf\{n\ge 1 : X_n\in T\}τ=inf{n≥1:Xn​∈T} and θ=inf⁡{n≥1:Xn∈D}\theta = \inf\{n\ge1 : X_n\in D\}θ=inf{n≥1:Xn​∈D}. The chapter's objects are expectations and probabilities of events of the chain:

  • [ND]ij[N_D]_{ij}[ND​]ij​, the expected time spent in jjj before the chain, started at iii, first leaves DDD;
  • TRij{}_TR_{ij}T​Rij​, the expected number of visits to jjj, starting from iii, before τ\tauτ (the time-000 visit included);
  • TFij=P[θ<τ, θ<∞, Xθ=j∣X0=i]{}_TF_{ij} = \mathrm P[\theta < \tau,\ \theta < \infty,\ X_\theta = j \mid X_0 = i]T​Fij​=P[θ<τ, θ<∞, Xθ​=j∣X0​=i] and Fij=P[τ<∞, Xτ=j∣X0=i]F_{ij} = \mathrm P[\tau<\infty,\ X_\tau = j\mid X_0 = i]Fij​=P[τ<∞, Xτ​=j∣X0​=i].

Products of these matrices sum over the indicated subset. Following the book's convention, (I−M)−1(I - M)^{-1}(I−M)−1 means the series ∑ν≥0Mν\sum_{\nu\ge0}M^\nu∑ν≥0​Mν for a nonnegative matrix MMM, also when MMM has infinite order.

The epochs of visits to TTT are τ0=inf⁡{i≥0:Xi∈T}\tau_0 = \inf\{i\ge 0 : X_i\in T\}τ0​=inf{i≥0:Xi​∈T} and τn+1=inf⁡{i≥τn+1:Xi∈T}\tau_{n+1} = \inf\{i\ge\tau_n+1 : X_i\in T\}τn+1​=inf{i≥τn​+1:Xi​∈T}. The restricted process is XnT=XτnX^T_n = X_{\tau_n}XnT​=Xτn​​.

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem 5.3.1

Let the chain be irreducible and positive recurrent with stationary vector π\boldsymbol\piπ, and let TTT be nonempty. Then the restricted process is defined at all times and is a homogeneous Markov chain on TTT with transition matrix

P(T)=PT+PTTc(I−PTc)−1PTcT.P(T) = P_T + P_{TT^c}(I - P_{T^c})^{-1}P_{T^cT}.P(T)=PT​+PTTc​(I−PTc​)−1PTcT​.

For every initial state iii and j0,…,jk∈Tj_0,\dots,j_k\in Tj0​,…,jk​∈T,

P[X0T=j0,…,XkT=jk∣X0=i]=P[X0T=j0∣X0=i] P(T)j0j1⋯P(T)jk−1jk.\mathrm P[X^T_0 = j_0,\dots,X^T_k = j_k\mid X_0 = i] = \mathrm P[X^T_0 = j_0\mid X_0 = i]\,P(T)_{j_0j_1}\cdots P(T)_{j_{k-1}j_k}.P[X0T​=j0​,…,XkT​=jk​∣X0​=i]=P[X0T​=j0​∣X0​=i]P(T)j0​j1​​⋯P(T)jk−1​jk​​.

P(T)P(T)P(T) is stochastic, irreducible and positive recurrent, and

πT P(T)=πT,\boldsymbol\pi_T\,P(T) = \boldsymbol\pi_T,πT​P(T)=πT​,

so πT/(πT1)\boldsymbol\pi_T/(\boldsymbol\pi_T\mathbf 1)πT​/(πT​1) is its unique stationary probability vector.

Milestones

  1. Lemma 5.1.2. For a proper subset DDD, ND=(I−PD)−1=∑n≥0PDnN_D = (I - P_D)^{-1} = \sum_{n\ge0}P_D^nND​=(I−PD​)−1=∑n≥0​PDn​ with finite entries. It is the minimal nonnegative solution of (I−PD)N=I(I - P_D)N = I(I−PD​)N=I and of N(I−PD)=IN(I - P_D) = IN(I−PD​)=I.
  2. Eq. (5.11). TRTTc=PTTcNTc{}_TR_{TT^c} = P_{TT^c}N_{T^c}T​RTTc​=PTTc​NTc​.
  3. Theorem 5.2.1. πD=πT TRTD\boldsymbol\pi_D = \boldsymbol\pi_T\,{}_TR_{TD}πD​=πT​T​RTD​ for disjoint TTT (nonempty) and DDD.
  4. Theorem 5.2.3. TRTD=TFTD TRDD{}_TR_{TD} = {}_TF_{TD}\,{}_TR_{DD}T​RTD​=T​FTD​T​RDD​, and TRDD=∑ν≥0(TFDD)ν=(I−TFDD)−1{}_TR_{DD} = \sum_{\nu\ge0}({}_TF_{DD})^\nu = (I - {}_TF_{DD})^{-1}T​RDD​=∑ν≥0​(T​FDD​)ν=(I−T​FDD​)−1, the series converging.
  5. Eq. (5.23). TRTcTc=NTc=∑ν≥0PTcν{}_TR_{T^cT^c} = N_{T^c} = \sum_{\nu\ge0}P_{T^c}^\nuT​RTcTc​=NTc​=∑ν≥0​PTcν​.
  6. Lemma 5.2.4. FDT=(I−TFDD)−1 DFDT=TRDD DFDTF_{DT} = (I - {}_TF_{DD})^{-1}\,{}_DF_{DT} = {}_TR_{DD}\,{}_DF_{DT}FDT​=(I−T​FDD​)−1D​FDT​=T​RDD​D​FDT​, and FTcT=NTcPTcTF_{T^cT} = N_{T^c}P_{T^cT}FTcT​=NTc​PTcT​.

Significance

Theorem 5.3.1 reduces the stationary distribution of a chain on SSS to that of a smaller chain on TTT, whose transition matrix is explicit in the blocks of PPP. Applied with TTT a set of levels, it gives the boundary equations of every matrix analytic model in the book. Applied one state at a time, it is the GTH elimination algorithm. Theorem 5.2.1 is the general form of πn=πn−1Rn\pi_n = \pi_{n-1}R_nπn​=πn−1​Rn​ for birth-and-death chains, and the mission's matrix-geometric and level-reduction results depend on it. The Markov renewal identities of Theorem 5.2.3 and Lemma 5.2.4 compute TR{}_TRT​R and FFF from first-passage kernels, which is how the matrices GGG, RRR and UUU of quasi-birth-and-death processes are characterized in later chapters.

The results are classical and proved in the book, partly by citation (Theorem 5.3.1 refers to Kemeny, Snell and Knapp for details, and the proof of Theorem 5.2.3 is left partly to the reader). No machine-checked version of any of them exists on this platform. The platform has countable chains and stationary distributions (mm_countable), and Sennott's first-passage identities for Markov decision processes, but no censored chain and no taboo-matrix calculus. What remains is the countable-state proof in full: the strong Markov decomposition of trajectories at the epochs τn\tau_nτn​, and the interchange of limits and infinite sums that the book handles with Fatou's lemma.

Difficulty

The algebraic identity πTP(T)=πT\boldsymbol\pi_TP(T) = \boldsymbol\pi_TπT​P(T)=πT​ is a short computation once Theorem 5.2.1 and (5.11) are available. The content is elsewhere.

  • Infinite TTT. The book's own proof of Theorem 5.2.1 notes that the limit interchange is immediate only when TTT is finite. For infinite TTT it needs a separate argument, and that argument uses positive recurrence.
  • Infinite TcT^cTc. (I−PTc)−1(I - P_{T^c})^{-1}(I−PTc​)−1 is a series of infinite matrices. Its convergence follows from irreducibility, not from any norm bound, and identifying it with an expected sojourn time is Lemma 5.1.2.
  • "Is a Markov chain." The censored process is defined through random times, and the claim concerns the joint law of its values at all times, not only its one-step transition probabilities.
  • Recurrence of the censored chain. Irreducibility and positive recurrence must be derived from those of the original chain through return times. They do not follow from the existence of a stationary vector of P(T)P(T)P(T) alone.

Formalization scope

The state space is a countable type S, and the transition matrix is a real function P : S → S → ℝ. Stochasticity, irreducibility, aperiodicity, positive recurrence (summable return-time tails) and stationarity have the bodies of the public definition mm_countable, restated in the namespace MatrixAnalytic.Taboo. Every probabilistic quantity (NDN_DND​, TP(k){}_TP(k)T​P(k), TR{}_TRT​R, TF{}_TFT​F, FFF, and the law of the restricted process) is a sum over finite trajectories of products of transition probabilities, valued in [0,∞][0,\infty][0,∞], so every series exists and an infinite expectation is ∞\infty∞. Finiteness, where the book asserts it, is a stated conclusion. (I−M)−1(I - M)^{-1}(I−M)−1 is always the series of powers, never a matrix inverse. P(T)P(T)P(T) is defined by its formula, and the theorem relates it to the restricted process's law. The restricted chain's irreducibility, positive recurrence and stationary vector are stated for P(T)P(T)P(T) read as a real matrix on the subtype of states of TTT.

A trivializing formalization is ruled out: defining NDN_DND​, TR{}_TRT​R or the restricted chain's transition matrix as the series or the formula the theorems assert would make Lemma 5.1.2, (5.23) and Theorem 5.3.1 true by definition, and that is why each is defined as an expectation over trajectories. Positive recurrence is the return-time notion, never "a stationary vector exists", which would make the restricted chain's positive recurrence follow from πTP(T)=πT\boldsymbol\pi_TP(T)=\boldsymbol\pi_TπT​P(T)=πT​ alone.

Committed conventions:

  • TTT is nonempty in Theorems 5.2.1, 5.2.3 and 5.3.1. The printed statements fail for T=∅T=\emptysetT=∅ (recorded as findings).
  • The limiting vector of Theorem 5.2.1 is a hypothesis given by its defining limits.
  • Aperiodicity is a hypothesis wherever the chapter's standing assumption applies, but not in Theorem 5.3.1, which lists its own hypotheses.

The continuous-time results of §5.5 are not part of this mission.

Contributions that would be reusable beyond it are welcome: a strong Markov decomposition of trajectory sums at hitting times, and a library of first-passage and taboo identities for countable chains in [0,∞][0,\infty][0,∞].

Selected references

  • G. Latouche and V. Ramaswami, Introduction to Matrix Analytic Methods in Stochastic Modeling, ASA-SIAM Series on Statistics and Applied Probability, SIAM, 1999, Chapter 5. doi:10.1137/1.9780898719734
  • J. G. Kemeny, J. L. Snell and A. W. Knapp, Denumerable Markov Chains, 2nd ed., Springer, 1976. doi:10.1007/978-1-4684-9455-6
  • D. Freedman, Markov Chains, Holden-Day, 1971; reprinted by Springer, 1983. doi:10.1007/978-1-4612-5500-0
  • W. K. Grassmann, M. I. Taksar and D. P. Heyman, Regenerative analysis and steady state distributions for Markov chains, Operations Research 33(5), 1107–1116, 1985. doi:10.1287/opre.33.5.1107
  • C. D. Meyer, Stochastic complementation, uncoupling Markov chains, and the theory of nearly reducible systems, SIAM Review 31(2), 240–272, 1989. doi:10.1137/1031050
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Introduction to Matrix Analytic Methods in Stochastic Modeling III: Recurrence of Birth-and-Death Chains and the Minimal Solution of G = a₂ + a₁G + a₀G²Textbook

Motivation

Birth-and-death chains are the simplest Markov chains with an unbounded state space. They model a queue that gains or loses one customer at a time, a population that grows or shrinks by one, and a random walk with a reflecting barrier. In matrix analytic methods they serve as the scalar model for quasi-birth-and-death processes (QBDs). A QBD is a chain on pairs (level, phase) that moves at most one level per step, and its theory is the subject of most of the book. Latouche and Ramaswami (SIAM 1999, Chapter 4) give birth-and-death chains a proof that, in their words, "may appear more involved than those usually given in the literature". They do this on purpose: they want to introduce, in the scalar case, the probabilistic objects and arguments that later carry over to block matrices.

There are three such objects:

  • the first-passage probability GnG_nGn​ from level nnn down to level n−1n-1n−1;
  • the return probability UnU_nUn​ to nnn before visiting n−1n-1n−1;
  • the expected number of visits RnR_nRn​ to nnn between two successive visits to n−1n-1n−1.

In the QBD chapters these become the matrices GGG, UUU and RRR. The facts that GGG is the minimal nonnegative solution of a quadratic matrix equation and that the stationary distribution is matrix-geometric, πn=πn−1R\pi_{n}=\pi_{n-1}Rπn​=πn−1​R, are the backbone of every algorithm in the field. This mission formalizes the scalar versions.

Setting

A discrete-time birth-and-death chain is a Markov chain (Xk)k≥0(X_k)_{k\ge0}(Xk​)k≥0​ on {0,1,2,… }\{0,1,2,\dots\}{0,1,2,…} with transition matrix P=(aij)P=(a_{ij})P=(aij​). Here aij=0a_{ij}=0aij​=0 whenever ∣i−j∣>1|i-j|>1∣i−j∣>1. Throughout, the chain is irreducible, i.e. ai,i+1>0a_{i,i+1}>0ai,i+1​>0 and ai+1,i>0a_{i+1,i}>0ai+1,i​>0 for every i≥0i\ge0i≥0. The spatially homogeneous chain has the following transitions:

  • from state 000 it stays with probability b0b_0b0​ and moves up with probability a0a_0a0​;
  • from every n≥1n\ge1n≥1 it moves down, stays or moves up with probabilities a2a_2a2​, a1a_1a1​, a0a_0a0​.

Here a0,a2>0a_0,a_2>0a0​,a2​>0, a1≥0a_1\ge0a1​≥0, b0+a0=1b_0+a_0=1b0​+a0​=1 and a0+a1+a2=1a_0+a_1+a_2=1a0​+a1​+a2​=1.

The taboo probability nPij(k){}_nP_{ij}(k)n​Pij​(k) is the probability that the chain started in iii is in jjj at time kkk without visiting {0,…,n}\{0,\dots,n\}{0,…,n} at times 1,…,k−11,\dots,k-11,…,k−1. It is the sum, over all such trajectories, of the products of their one-step transition probabilities. For n≥1n\ge1n≥1 the book defines:

  • Gn=∑k≥1n−1Pn,n−1(k)G_n=\sum_{k\ge1}{}_{n-1}P_{n,n-1}(k)Gn​=∑k≥1​n−1​Pn,n−1​(k), the probability of ever reaching n−1n-1n−1 from nnn;
  • Un=∑k≥1nPnn(k)U_n=\sum_{k\ge1}{}_nP_{nn}(k)Un​=∑k≥1​n​Pnn​(k), the probability of returning to nnn before visiting n−1n-1n−1;
  • Rn=∑k≥1n−1Pn−1,n(k)R_n=\sum_{k\ge1}{}_{n-1}P_{n-1,n}(k)Rn​=∑k≥1​n−1​Pn−1,n​(k), the expected number of visits to nnn between two successive visits to n−1n-1n−1.

Gn(z)G_n(z)Gn​(z), Un(z)U_n(z)Un​(z) and Rn(z)R_n(z)Rn​(z) are the corresponding generating functions ∑k≥1zk(⋅)\sum_{k\ge1}z^k(\cdot)∑k≥1​zk(⋅).

A state is recurrent if the chain returns to it with probability one. It is positive recurrent if, in addition, the expected return time is finite. A stationary distribution is a nonnegative vector π\piπ with ∑nπn=1\sum_n\pi_n=1∑n​πn​=1 and πP=π\pi P=\piπP=π. The limit probabilities of an aperiodic chain are πn=lim⁡k→∞P[Xk=n]\pi_n=\lim_{k\to\infty}\mathrm P[X_k=n]πn​=limk→∞​P[Xk​=n].

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem 4.2.5

For the spatially homogeneous chain:

recurrent  ⟺  a0≤a2,positive recurrent  ⟺  a0<a2,\text{recurrent}\iff a_0\le a_2,\qquad \text{positive recurrent}\iff a_0<a_2,recurrent⟺a0​≤a2​,positive recurrent⟺a0​<a2​,

and for every n≥1n\ge1n≥1 the first-passage probability G=GnG=G_nG=Gn​ is the minimal nonnegative solution of

G=a2+a1G+a0G2.G=a_2+a_1G+a_0G^2.G=a2​+a1​G+a0​G2.

Milestones

  1. Lemma 4.2.2. An irreducible birth-and-death chain is recurrent if and only if G1=1G_1=1G1​=1.
  2. Theorem 4.2.1. For an irreducible aperiodic chain, the limit probabilities satisfy πn=πn−1Rn\pi_n=\pi_{n-1}R_nπn​=πn−1​Rn​ for n≥1n\ge1n≥1. The chain is positive recurrent if and only if ∑k≥1R1⋯Rk<∞\sum_{k\ge1}R_1\cdots R_k<\infty∑k≥1​R1​⋯Rk​<∞, and then π0=(1+∑k≥1R1⋯Rk)−1\pi_0=(1+\sum_{k\ge1}R_1\cdots R_k)^{-1}π0​=(1+∑k≥1​R1​⋯Rk​)−1.
  3. Theorem 4.2.3. Recurrence holds if and only if Rn=an−1,n/an,n−1R_n=a_{n-1,n}/a_{n,n-1}Rn​=an−1,n​/an,n−1​ for all n≥1n\ge1n≥1. Positive recurrence holds if and only if ∑k≥1a01⋯ak−1,ka10⋯ak,k−1<∞\sum_{k\ge1}\frac{a_{01}\cdots a_{k-1,k}}{a_{10}\cdots a_{k,k-1}}<\infty∑k≥1​a10​⋯ak,k−1​a01​⋯ak−1,k​​<∞, and then the stationary distribution has the product form πn=π0a01⋯an−1,na10⋯an,n−1\pi_n=\pi_0\frac{a_{01}\cdots a_{n-1,n}}{a_{10}\cdots a_{n,n-1}}πn​=π0​a10​⋯an,n−1​a01​⋯an−1,n​​.
  4. Theorem 4.2.4. In the homogeneous case Rn≡RR_n\equiv RRn​≡R and πn=πn−1R\pi_n=\pi_{n-1}Rπn​=πn−1​R. When the chain is positive recurrent, R=a0/a2R=a_0/a_2R=a0​/a2​ and πn=(1−R)Rn\pi_n=(1-R)R^nπn​=(1−R)Rn.
  5. Theorem 4.3.1. For n≥1n\ge1n≥1 and ∣z∣<1|z|<1∣z∣<1:
Un(z)=zann+zan,n+1Gn+1(z)=zann+Rn+1(z)zan+1,n,U_n(z)=za_{nn}+za_{n,n+1}G_{n+1}(z)=za_{nn}+R_{n+1}(z)za_{n+1,n},Un​(z)=zann​+zan,n+1​Gn+1​(z)=zann​+Rn+1​(z)zan+1,n​, Gn(z)=(1−Un(z))−1zan,n−1,Rn(z)=zan−1,n(1−Un(z))−1.G_n(z)=(1-U_n(z))^{-1}za_{n,n-1},\qquad R_n(z)=za_{n-1,n}(1-U_n(z))^{-1}.Gn​(z)=(1−Un​(z))−1zan,n−1​,Rn​(z)=zan−1,n​(1−Un​(z))−1.
  1. Theorem 4.3.4. In the homogeneous case, G(1)=min⁡{1,a2/a0}G(1)=\min\{1,a_2/a_0\}G(1)=min{1,a2​/a0​} and R(1)=min⁡{1,a0/a2}R(1)=\min\{1,a_0/a_2\}R(1)=min{1,a0​/a2​}.

Significance

Theorem 4.2.5 is the scalar prototype of the minimal-solution characterization of the matrix GGG (Theorem 8.1.4 of the book). The quadratic G=a2+a1G+a0G2G=a_2+a_1G+a_0G^2G=a2​+a1​G+a0​G2 always has the root 111. That root is the first-passage probability only when the chain is recurrent. In the transient case the probability is the other root a2/a0<1a_2/a_0<1a2​/a0​<1. So "solves the equation" does not identify GGG, and minimality is the selection rule that does. Theorems 4.2.1 and 4.2.3 give the complete classification of birth-and-death chains and the product form of their stationary distribution, and Theorem 4.2.4 gives the geometric law πn=(1−R)Rn\pi_n=(1-R)R^nπn​=(1−R)Rn. These two are the scalar forms of the matrix-geometric theorem πn+1=πnR\pi_{n+1}=\pi_nRπn+1​=πn​R for QBDs.

The results are classical and proved in the book, except where the book says "the remainder of the theorem is easy to prove" or leaves a formal proof to the reader. None has a machine-checked proof on the platform. The mission produces formal proofs that work from the probabilistic definitions: the classification, the stationary distribution and the passage probabilities are all derived from sums over taboo trajectories. The platform has a related but different statement, QueueingFundamentals.BirthDeath.birth_death_steady_state. It is about solutions of the balance equations of a continuous-time birth–death process. It does not concern the recurrence or the stationary distribution of the chain itself.

Difficulty

The algebra is short once the probabilistic relations are available. The difficulty is in establishing those relations from path sums:

  • the renewal decomposition Rn=an−1,n(1−Un)−1R_n=a_{n-1,n}(1-U_n)^{-1}Rn​=an−1,n​(1−Un​)−1;
  • the first-step decomposition Un=ann+an,n+1Gn+1U_n=a_{nn}+a_{n,n+1}G_{n+1}Un​=ann​+an,n+1​Gn+1​;
  • the strong-Markov factorization behind "the passage time from n+1n+1n+1 to n−1n-1n−1 has generating function Gn+1(z)Gn(z)G_{n+1}(z)G_n(z)Gn+1​(z)Gn​(z)";
  • the limit theorem relating πn\pi_nπn​ to RnR_nRn​, which the book derives from the key renewal theorem for terminating renewal processes (Theorem 4.1.2).

There is an obvious shortcut: solve the quadratic and pick a root. It is not available, because the statement to prove is exactly which root is the probability. Showing that GGG solves the equation does not settle this: the root 111 also solves it, and it is the wrong value whenever the chain is transient. Positive recurrence is defined by the expected return time, so its equivalence with a0<a2a_0<a_2a0​<a2​ needs an argument that links return times to the stationary vector.

Formalization scope

  • States are natural numbers, and a transition matrix is a function ℕ → ℕ → ℝ.
  • The countable-chain notions (stochastic matrix, ttt-step probabilities, period, recurrence as return-time tails tending to 000, positive recurrence as summable return-time tails, stationary distribution) restate the platform definition mm_countable with the same bodies, in the namespace MatrixAnalytic.BirthDeath.
  • The taboo probabilities and GnG_nGn​, UnU_nUn​, RnR_nRn​ are defined as sums over finite taboo trajectories of products of transition probabilities, and their generating functions as complex power series.
  • None of these quantities is defined as a solution of the equation a theorem asserts. Defining GGG as the minimal root of (4.14) would make the goal true by definition, and that encoding is ruled out. Equally, positive recurrence is never defined as "a stationary distribution exists".
  • Recurrence and positive recurrence are stated at state 000. Irreducibility is part of every hypothesis.
  • Limit probabilities are a vector π\piπ with Pk(0,n)→πnP^k(0,n)\to\pi_nPk(0,n)→πn​.
  • Inverses (1−Un(z))−1(1-U_n(z))^{-1}(1−Un​(z))−1 come with the conclusion Un(z)≠1U_n(z)\ne1Un​(z)=1.

Beyond the paper. One variant is posed. It is a strengthening of Theorem 4.3.1 to the closed disc ∣z∣≤1|z|\le1∣z∣≤1 (finding F1). All coefficient sequences have finite sums, and ∣Un(z)∣≤Un(1)<1|U_n(z)|\le U_n(1)<1∣Un​(z)∣≤Un​(1)<1 there, so the identities extend by continuity. At z=1z=1z=1 they are exactly the relations of Section 4.2.

Reusable infrastructure includes the taboo path-sum calculus (first-step and last-exit decompositions, strong-Markov factorization of passage times) and the link between limit probabilities and expected visits. Both carry over to the QBD missions of the same series. Contributions of general lemmas about tabooProb are welcome.

Selected references

  • G. Latouche and V. Ramaswami, Introduction to Matrix Analytic Methods in Stochastic Modeling, ASA-SIAM Series on Statistics and Applied Probability, SIAM, 1999. https://doi.org/10.1137/1.9780898719734
  • K. L. Chung, A Course in Probability Theory, 2nd ed., Academic Press, 1974 (Chapter 8, random walks; cited by the book for Remark 4.2.6).
  • D. A. Levin, Y. Peres and E. L. Wilmer, Markov Chains and Mixing Times, 2nd ed., AMS, 2017, Chapter 21 (countable state spaces). https://doi.org/10.1090/mbk/107
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Introduction to Matrix Analytic Methods in Stochastic Modeling II: The Renewal Function of a PH Renewal ProcessTextbook

Motivation

Renewal processes model ordered sequences of events on [0,∞)[0,\infty)[0,∞): arrivals to a queue, service completions, equipment failures. Their defining feature is that successive intervals between events are independent and identically distributed. Two quantities answer most practical questions about such a process: the renewal function R(x)R(x)R(x), the expected number of renewals in [0,x][0,x][0,x], and the renewal density r(x)=R′(x)r(x)=R'(x)r(x)=R′(x). For a general interval distribution neither has a closed form; RRR solves a renewal integral equation.

When the intervals have a phase-type (PH) distribution, the time to absorption of a finite Markov process, both quantities become explicit matrix expressions. This is the starting point of Chapter 3 of Latouche and Ramaswami's Introduction to Matrix Analytic Methods in Stochastic Modeling (SIAM 1999). PH renewal processes are the arrival streams of most matrix-analytic queueing models, and the closed form of R(x)R(x)R(x) is the template for the corresponding formula for Markovian arrival processes (Section 3.6 of the book; Neuts 1979, Lucantoni 1991).

Setting

A PH representation (τ,T)(\boldsymbol\tau,T)(τ,T) on nnn phases consists of a nonnegative row vector τ\boldsymbol\tauτ and an n×nn\times nn×n matrix TTT with Tii<0T_{ii}<0Tii​<0, Tij≥0T_{ij}\ge0Tij​≥0 for i≠ji\ne ji=j, and nonnegative exit vector t=−T1\boldsymbol t=-T\mathbf 1t=−T1, where 1\mathbf 11 is the all-ones column vector. It describes a Markov process on {0,1,…,n}\{0,1,\dots,n\}{0,1,…,n} that starts in phase iii with probability τi\tau_iτi​, moves among the phases 1,…,n1,\dots,n1,…,n at the rates TijT_{ij}Tij​, and is absorbed into state 000 at rate tit_iti​. Throughout, TTT is nonsingular and there is no atom at 000: τ1=1\boldsymbol\tau\mathbf 1=1τ1=1.

The PH renewal process restarts the Markov process instantaneously after each absorption, in a phase drawn from τ\boldsymbol\tauτ; the absorption epochs are the renewals. Ignoring the instantaneous visits to 000, the phase J(x)J(x)J(x) at time xxx is a Markov process with generator

D=T+t⋅τ,D=T+\boldsymbol t\cdot\boldsymbol\tau,D=T+t⋅τ,

where t⋅τ\boldsymbol t\cdot\boldsymbol\taut⋅τ is the outer product. The representation is irreducible if every phase has a path of positive rates to the absorbing state and can be reached from a phase iii with τi>0\tau_i>0τi​>0.

Let N(x)N(x)N(x) be the number of renewals in (0,x](0,x](0,x]. The pair (N(x),J(x))(N(x),J(x))(N(x),J(x)) is a Markov process whose generator has TTT in its diagonal blocks and t⋅τ\boldsymbol t\cdot\boldsymbol\taut⋅τ just above them. Write

Pij(k,x)=P[N(x)=k, J(x)=j∣N(0)=0, J(0)=i].P_{ij}(k,x)=\mathrm P[N(x)=k,\ J(x)=j\mid N(0)=0,\ J(0)=i].Pij​(k,x)=P[N(x)=k, J(x)=j∣N(0)=0, J(0)=i].

The renewal function of the process started with a renewal at time 000 is R(x)=1+∑k≥0k τP(k,x)1R(x)=1+\sum_{k\ge0}k\,\boldsymbol\tau P(k,x)\mathbf 1R(x)=1+∑k≥0​kτP(k,x)1. The remaining objects are the stationary vector π=(τT−11)−1τT−1\boldsymbol\pi=(\boldsymbol\tau T^{-1}\mathbf 1)^{-1}\boldsymbol\tau T^{-1}π=(τT−11)−1τT−1 of the phase process, the matrix Π=1⋅π\Pi=\mathbf 1\cdot\boldsymbol\piΠ=1⋅π, and the mean interrenewal time M=τ(−T)−11M=\boldsymbol\tau(-T)^{-1}\mathbf 1M=τ(−T)−11.

Formalization targets

Goal: the renewal function (Theorem 3.1.4)

For an irreducible representation and every x≥0x\ge0x≥0, the matrix D−ΠD-\PiD−Π is nonsingular, the series defining R(x)R(x)R(x) converges, and

R(x)=1+xM−1+τ(exp⁡(Dx)−I)(D−Π)−1t.R(x)=1+xM^{-1}+\boldsymbol\tau\bigl(\exp(Dx)-I\bigr)(D-\Pi)^{-1}\boldsymbol t.R(x)=1+xM−1+τ(exp(Dx)−I)(D−Π)−1t.

Milestones

  1. Lemma 3.1.1. DDD is irreducible whenever (τ,T)(\boldsymbol\tau,T)(τ,T) is.
  2. Lemma 3.1.3. D−ΠD-\PiD−Π is nonsingular; π\boldsymbol\piπ is the unique probability solution of πD=0\boldsymbol\pi D=\mathbf 0πD=0, π1=1\boldsymbol\pi\mathbf 1=1π1=1; and π(D−Π)−1=−π\boldsymbol\pi(D-\Pi)^{-1}=-\boldsymbol\piπ(D−Π)−1=−π.
  3. Theorem 3.2.1. P′(0,x)=TP(0,x)P'(0,x)=TP(0,x)P′(0,x)=TP(0,x), P′(k,x)=TP(k,x)+t⋅τP(k−1,x)P'(k,x)=TP(k,x)+\boldsymbol t\cdot\boldsymbol\tau P(k-1,x)P′(k,x)=TP(k,x)+t⋅τP(k−1,x) for k≥1k\ge1k≥1, with P(0,0)=IP(0,0)=IP(0,0)=I and P(k,0)=0P(k,0)=0P(k,0)=0 for k≥1k\ge1k≥1, and ∑k≥0zkP(k,x)=exp⁡{(T+z t⋅τ)x}\sum_{k\ge0}z^kP(k,x)=\exp\{(T+z\,\boldsymbol t\cdot\boldsymbol\tau)x\}∑k≥0​zkP(k,x)=exp{(T+zt⋅τ)x}.
  4. Lemma 3.2.3. With c=max⁡i∣Tii∣c=\max_i|T_{ii}|c=maxi​∣Tii​∣, P=c−1T+IP=c^{-1}T+IP=c−1T+I and p=c−1t\boldsymbol p=c^{-1}\boldsymbol tp=c−1t, P(ν,x)=∑m≥νe−cx(cx)mm!KmνP(\nu,x)=\sum_{m\ge\nu}e^{-cx}\frac{(cx)^m}{m!}K_{m\nu}P(ν,x)=∑m≥ν​e−cxm!(cx)m​Kmν​ for matrices Km,νK_{m,\nu}Km,ν​ given by an explicit recursion.
  5. Theorem 3.1.2. For an initial phase distribution β\boldsymbol\betaβ, the expected number of renewals in (0,x](0,x](0,x] is differentiable at every x>0x>0x>0, with derivative βexp⁡(Dx)t\boldsymbol\beta\exp(Dx)\boldsymbol tβexp(Dx)t.

Significance

The result itself. Theorem 3.1.4 gives the renewal function of a PH renewal process in closed form from the representation alone. It separates the linear term x/Mx/Mx/M, the content of the elementary renewal theorem, from a correction τ(exp⁡(Dx)−I)(D−Π)−1t\boldsymbol\tau(\exp(Dx)-I)(D-\Pi)^{-1}\boldsymbol tτ(exp(Dx)−I)(D−Π)−1t that converges as x→∞x\to\inftyx→∞ to −τ(D−Π)−1t-\boldsymbol\tau(D-\Pi)^{-1}\boldsymbol t−τ(D−Π)−1t. The matrix (D−Π)−1(D-\Pi)^{-1}(D−Π)−1 is the deviation matrix of the phase process, and the same argument, with t\boldsymbol tt replaced by the vector of batch rates, gives the expected count of a Markovian arrival process (Theorem 3.6.1). Theorem 3.2.1 and Lemma 3.2.3 are the two standard ways to compute the distribution of the number of renewals: by solving a linear system of differential equations, and by uniformization.

Formalizing it. These results are proved in the book, and in the earlier literature it cites, by hand. The platform has no continuous-time Markov chain layer and no phase-type objects. The mission builds the PH renewal process from a generator and the matrix exponential, and states the counting probabilities as transition probabilities of the process (N(x),J(x))(N(x),J(x))(N(x),J(x)). The definitions are reusable by every later mission on PH-driven queues.

Difficulty

The obvious route to the goal is to integrate the renewal density: R(x)=1+∫0xτexp⁡(Du)t duR(x)=1+\int_0^x\boldsymbol\tau\exp(Du)\boldsymbol t\,duR(x)=1+∫0x​τexp(Du)tdu. That route is unavailable here for two reasons. First, the density is itself a theorem (Theorem 3.1.2): it must be derived from the counting probabilities P(k,x)P(k,x)P(k,x), which requires exchanging a derivative with an infinite sum over kkk and controlling the tail of the number of renewals. Second, DDD is singular (D1=0D\mathbf 1=\mathbf 0D1=0), so ∫0xexp⁡(Du) du\int_0^x\exp(Du)\,du∫0x​exp(Du)du cannot be written as D−1(exp⁡(Dx)−I)D^{-1}(\exp(Dx)-I)D−1(exp(Dx)−I). The book's argument replaces D−1D^{-1}D−1 by (D−Π)−1(D-\Pi)^{-1}(D−Π)−1, which needs both the nonsingularity of D−ΠD-\PiD−Π (Lemma 3.1.3, which rests on the irreducibility of DDD, Lemma 3.1.1) and the identity π(D−Π)−1=−π\boldsymbol\pi(D-\Pi)^{-1}=-\boldsymbol\piπ(D−Π)−1=−π. A formal proof also has to relate the countable-state process (N(x),J(x))(N(x),J(x))(N(x),J(x)) to finite matrix exponentials, which the next section fixes by construction.

Formalization scope

Phases form an arbitrary finite type; row vectors act on the left, column vectors on the right; all quantities are real. The matrix exponential is Mathlib's NormedSpace.exp. The standing assumptions of the chapter (Tii<0T_{ii}<0Tii​<0, Tij≥0T_{ij}\ge0Tij​≥0, t≥0\boldsymbol t\ge\mathbf 0t≥0, τ≥0\boldsymbol\tau\ge\mathbf 0τ≥0, τ1=1\boldsymbol\tau\mathbf 1=1τ1=1, TTT nonsingular, irreducibility) are hypotheses of every theorem. The counting probabilities are encoded through the generator of (N(x),J(x))(N(x),J(x))(N(x),J(x)) restricted to the levels 0,…,k0,\dots,k0,…,k. Since the number of renewals never decreases, the restriction is the generator of the process killed on leaving level kkk, and P(k,x)P(k,x)P(k,x) is an entry block of its matrix exponential. Where the book inverts a matrix it proves nonsingular, nonsingularity is part of the conclusion. The renewal function is a series, and its convergence is asserted rather than assumed.

The renewal function is defined as an expected number of renewals, not as 1+∫0xτexp⁡(Du)t du1+\int_0^x\boldsymbol\tau\exp(Du)\boldsymbol t\,du1+∫0x​τexp(Du)tdu. That definition would make the renewal density true by construction and reduce the goal to matrix calculus.

Infrastructure that a complete development needs, and that is reusable: the matrix exponential of block upper-triangular matrices, termwise differentiation of matrix power series, uniformization of a finite generator, and the deviation matrix of an irreducible finite generator. Contributions of any of these as separate lemmas are welcome.

Selected references

  • G. Latouche and V. Ramaswami, Introduction to Matrix Analytic Methods in Stochastic Modeling, ASA-SIAM Series on Statistics and Applied Probability, SIAM, 1999, Chapter 3. https://doi.org/10.1137/1.9780898719734
  • M. F. Neuts, A versatile Markovian point process, Journal of Applied Probability 16(4), 764–779, 1979. https://doi.org/10.2307/3213143
  • D. M. Lucantoni, New results on the single server queue with a batch Markovian arrival process, Stochastic Models 7(1), 1–46, 1991. https://doi.org/10.1080/15326349108807174
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A Polynomial Approximation Scheme for Scheduling on Uniform Processors: Using the Dual Approximation Approach: Binary Search over all-pack Is a (1 + ε)-Approximation for Makespan on Uniform MachinesResearch Paper

Motivation

Scheduling independent jobs on machines that run at different speeds, so that the last job finishes as early as possible, is one of the basic problems of scheduling theory. In the classification of Graham, Lawler, Lenstra and Rinnooy Kan it is denoted Q∥Cmax⁡Q\|C_{\max}Q∥Cmax​, the minimum makespan problem on uniform parallel machines. It is strongly NP-hard, so the question is how close to the optimum a polynomial-time algorithm can get.

For identical machines, Graham's list scheduling (1966) is within a factor 2−1/m2-1/m2−1/m, and Hochbaum and Shmoys (J. ACM, 1987) gave a polynomial approximation scheme. For machines with speeds, the best guarantee published before 1988 was a relative error of 40 percent (Friesen and Langston). Hochbaum and Shmoys (SIAM J. Comput. 17(3), 1988) closed the gap with a polynomial approximation scheme: for every ε>0\varepsilon>0ε>0, a polynomial-time algorithm whose schedule has makespan at most (1+ε)(1+\varepsilon)(1+ε) times the optimum. Since the problem is strongly NP-hard, no fully polynomial scheme exists unless P = NP, so this is the best guarantee of its kind.

Setting

There are m≥1m\ge1m≥1 machines with speeds s1,…,sm>0s_1,\dots,s_m>0s1​,…,sm​>0 and nnn jobs with processing times p1,…,pn>0p_1,\dots,p_n>0p1​,…,pn​>0; job jjj takes pj/sip_j/s_ipj​/si​ time units on machine iii. A schedule is a map σ\sigmaσ from jobs to machines (no preemption), its makespan is

Cmax⁡(σ)=max⁡i∑j: σ(j)=ipjsi,C_{\max}(\sigma)=\max_i\sum_{j:\ \sigma(j)=i}\frac{p_j}{s_i},Cmax​(σ)=imax​j: σ(j)=i∑​si​pj​​,

and OPT\mathrm{OPT}OPT is the least makespan over all schedules.

A schedule has makespan at most TTT exactly when it packs pieces of sizes pjp_jpj​ into bins of sizes TsiTs_iTsi​. A packing is truly feasible if every bin holds total size at most its own size, and ε\varepsilonε-relaxed feasible if every bin holds at most (1+ε)(1+\varepsilon)(1+ε) times its size. An ε\varepsilonε-relaxed decision procedure returns, on every instance with positive sizes, either an ε\varepsilonε-relaxed feasible packing or the answer "none", and answers "none" only when no truly feasible packing exists.

The binary search of §2 starts from U0=∑jpj/max⁡isiU_0=\sum_jp_j/\max_is_iU0​=∑j​pj​/maxi​si​, L0=∑jpj/(mmax⁡isi)L_0=\sum_jp_j/(m\max_is_i)L0​=∑j​pj​/(mmaxi​si​) and the schedule with all jobs on a fastest machine. At each iteration it runs a decision procedure on the deadline-TTT instance, T=(L+U)/2T=(L+U)/2T=(L+U)/2, and sets U:=TU:=TU:=T (keeping the packing returned as the current schedule) or L:=TL:=TL:=T. It runs for ⌈log⁡2m+log⁡2(3/ε)⌉\lceil\log_2m+\log_2(3/\varepsilon)\rceil⌈log2​m+log2​(3/ε)⌉ iterations and outputs the current schedule.

The decision procedure of §3 is all-pack, run with a parameter δ=1/N\delta=1/Nδ=1/N, N≥2N\ge2N≥2 an integer. It sorts the bins by non-increasing size and normalizes sizes so that the largest bin is 111. Sizes are grouped into geometric intervals (δk+1,δk](\delta^{k+1},\delta^k](δk+1,δk], and a piece in interval kkk is rounded down to pˉj=⌊pj/δk+2⌋δk+2\bar p_j=\lfloor p_j/\delta^{k+2}\rfloor\delta^{k+2}pˉ​j​=⌊pj​/δk+2⌋δk+2. The procedure builds a multilayered graph whose nodes are state vectors: the counts of remaining pieces of the current bin interval and the next, by rounded size, and three slack counters in units δk+2,δk+3,δk+4\delta^{k+2},\delta^{k+3},\delta^{k+4}δk+2,δk+3,δk+4, capped at n/δ2n/\delta^2n/δ2. Configuration arcs pack one bin and update arcs pass from one bin interval to the next. all-pack answers with a packing traced from a path from "initial" to "success", or "none" if no packing can be traced. Its choices (ties, the path, which pieces fill a configuration, where small pieces go) are arbitrary.

Formalization targets

Goal: the polynomial approximation scheme

For every ε>0\varepsilon>0ε>0 there are N≥2N\ge2N≥2 and C,d∈NC,d\in\mathbb NC,d∈N, depending only on ε\varepsilonε, such that for every instance (m≥1m\ge1m≥1, si>0s_i>0si​>0, pj>0p_j>0pj​>0):

(i)Cmax⁡(BSD)≤(1+ε) Cmax⁡(τ)for every resolution D of all-pack at δ=1/N and every schedule τ,\text{(i)}\quad C_{\max}\big(\mathrm{BS}_{D}\big)\le(1+\varepsilon)\,C_{\max}(\tau)\quad\text{for every resolution } D \text{ of all-pack at } \delta=1/N \text{ and every schedule } \tau,(i)Cmax​(BSD​)≤(1+ε)Cmax​(τ)for every resolution D of all-pack at δ=1/N and every schedule τ, (ii)#arcs(graph of all-pack on the deadline-T instance)≤C⋅m⋅(n+1)dfor every T>0.\text{(ii)}\quad \#\mathrm{arcs}\big(\text{graph of all-pack on the deadline-}T\text{ instance}\big)\le C\cdot m\cdot(n+1)^d\quad\text{for every } T>0 .(ii)#arcs(graph of all-pack on the deadline-T instance)≤C⋅m⋅(n+1)dfor every T>0.

Here BSD\mathrm{BS}_DBSD​ is the output of the binary search driven by DDD. The goal fixes no exponent: it asserts the shape of the result (approximation ratio 1+ε1+\varepsilon1+ε, polynomial size for fixed ε\varepsilonε), not the constants of Theorem 2.

Milestones

The rounding bound pj≤(1+δ)pˉjp_j\le(1+\delta)\bar p_jpj​≤(1+δ)pˉ​j​; Lemma 1 (node count O(2m n2/δ2+3/δ6)O(2m\,n^{2/\delta^2+3}/\delta^6)O(2mn2/δ2+3/δ6)); Lemma 2 (out-degree O((1/δ2)2/δ2)O((1/\delta^2)^{2/\delta^2})O((1/δ2)2/δ2)); Corollary 2 (arc count O(2m(n/δ2)2/δ2+3)O(2m(n/\delta^2)^{2/\delta^2+3})O(2m(n/δ2)2/δ2+3)); Lemma 3 (a truly feasible packing gives an initial–success path); the proof of Lemma 4 (every packing traced from a path is (2δ+δ2)(2\delta+\delta^2)(2δ+δ2)-relaxed feasible) and Lemma 4 as printed; the sentence of p. 549 that all-pack is a (2δ+δ2)(2\delta+\delta^2)(2δ+δ2)-relaxed decision procedure; and Theorem 1 (binary search with an ε/2\varepsilon/2ε/2-relaxed procedure is an ε\varepsilonε-approximation).

Significance

The scheme settles the approximability of Q∥Cmax⁡Q\|C_{\max}Q∥Cmax​ up to the exponent's dependence on 1/ε1/\varepsilon1/ε. Its framework, the dual approximation approach, reduces approximate optimization to a relaxed decision problem: a procedure that may overfill bins slightly but never wrongly declares infeasibility. That framework reappears in Lenstra–Shmoys–Tardos for unrelated machines and in later schemes for bin packing and scheduling. The rounding-and-layered-graph technique of §3 is a template for dynamic programs over rounded item classes.

The result is proved on paper; no formalization of it is known. The platform has the Lenstra–Shmoys–Tardos scheme for a fixed number of unrelated machines, list scheduling, and Graham's LPT bound for identical machines. It has nothing for machines with speeds. A formalization would provide a checked binary-search/relaxed-decision framework over real deadlines, and a verified account of the state-vector bookkeeping of all-pack. Two printed claims need repair (below), so a formal proof also settles exactly which statements hold.

Difficulty

The definitions are elementary, but the bookkeeping is not. The slack counters of a state vector are kept in three different units, and the update arc re-expresses them for the next interval that contains bins. That interval may be one, two, or many intervals away, and each case consumes a different slack pool. Lemma 3 is an induction over stages: a truly feasible packing has to be read as a path whose capped counters still dominate the true slack. The proof writes "the reader can verify with little difficulty" and "the remaining cases … follow by similar calculations". Lemma 4 runs the other way, and the bound (1+δ)2(1+\delta)^2(1+δ)2 per bin depends on the granularity of rounded sizes and of usable slack.

Several printed details do not survive a literal reading. The rounding produces w+1w+1w+1 values per interval, while the state vectors of p. 544 have w=(1−δ)/δ2w=(1-\delta)/\delta^2w=(1−δ)/δ2 entries (finding F4). The packing rule of Lemma 4 places only the pieces of the current interval, although update also consumes pieces of later intervals (F5). Theorem 1 is false for ε=3\varepsilon=3ε=3 (F1). The exponent 10/ε2+310/\varepsilon^2+310/ε2+3 of Theorem 2 is not what its derivation gives (F2).

Formalization scope

Jobs and machines are indexed by Fin n and Fin m; schedules and packings are maps Fin n → Fin m, empty bins allowed. The makespan is a finite supremum over machines, and optimality is stated by comparison with every schedule τ\tauτ. The deadline-TTT instance has bins TsiTs_iTsi​ (not sizes rescaled by 1/T1/T1/T). The paper's "log" is base 2, rounded up, and 000 when negative. The binary search outputs the schedule kept with the final upper bound. A relaxed decision procedure is constrained on instances with positive sizes.

The paper's ε\varepsilonε is split in two: ε\varepsilonε is the target accuracy and δ=1/N\delta=1/Nδ=1/N the parameter of all-pack. This builds in the standing assumption that 1/δ1/\delta1/δ is a positive integer, and N≥2N\ge2N≥2 is δ≤1/2\delta\le1/2δ≤1/2. The §3 lemmas assume, as hypotheses, sorted bins normalized to β1=1\beta_1=1β1​=1 and pieces in (0,1](0,1](0,1]; all-pack sorts and normalizes itself, so Theorem 1, the p. 549 statement and the goal carry no sortedness hypothesis. State vectors are indexed by the w+1=N2−N+1w+1=N^2-N+1w+1=N2−N+1 rounding classes. The slack counters take values 0,…,nN2+10,\dots,nN^2+10,…,nN2+1, the top value standing for every multiple above n/δ2n/\delta^2n/δ2 (saturating addition). The first layer holds only the initial node, and success arcs leave the last stage when update with q=∞q=\inftyq=∞ succeeds, which is the variant p. 546 calls simpler. The enormous bins are those of intervals 0,…,k−20,\dots,k-20,…,k−2 (the printed "1,…,k−21,\dots,k-21,…,k−2" on p. 548 is a typo). all-pack is a relation: it may output any packing traced from an initial–success path, and answers "none" exactly when no packing can be traced. Every O(⋅)O(\cdot)O(⋅) is an explicit ∃C\exists C∃C placed before the parameter and the instance, with n+1n+1n+1 in place of nnn.

The goal is not "some schedule is (1+ε)(1+\varepsilon)(1+ε)-optimal", which an optimal schedule satisfies trivially. Its algorithm is the binary search driven by every resolution of all-pack, never an arbitrary relaxed decision procedure. Its constants N,C,dN,C,dN,C,d are fixed before the instance, and the counter cap and the w+1w+1w+1 classes are part of the definitions, so the graph is finite and Lemma 3 is not false.

Beyond the paper. One variant item is posed: theorem_1_corrected (kind corrected, finding F1) adds ε≤1\varepsilon\le1ε≤1 to Theorem 1 and changes nothing else. For ε=3\varepsilon=3ε=3, eight identical machines and 128 jobs of size 1/161/161/16, a valid 3/23/23/2-relaxed procedure can drive the binary search to makespan 4.6875>4=(1+ε)OPT4.6875>4=(1+\varepsilon)\mathrm{OPT}4.6875>4=(1+ε)OPT, while for ε≤1\varepsilon\le1ε≤1 the bound (1+ε/2)(1+ε/3)≤1+ε(1+\varepsilon/2)(1+\varepsilon/3)\le1+\varepsilon(1+ε/2)(1+ε/3)≤1+ε holds. Theorem 1 itself stays as printed; a disproof of it is a legitimate result.

Contributions welcome: proofs of the milestones, in particular Lemma 3 (the stage induction) and the tracing argument of Lemma 4, and reusable lemmas about the binary search over real deadlines. The definitions of packings, relaxed decision procedures and the binary search can be reused by later missions on dual approximation.

Selected references

  • D. S. Hochbaum and D. B. Shmoys, A Polynomial Approximation Scheme for Scheduling on Uniform Processors: Using the Dual Approximation Approach, SIAM J. Comput. 17(3):539–551, 1988. https://doi.org/10.1137/0217033
  • D. S. Hochbaum and D. B. Shmoys, Using dual approximation algorithms for scheduling problems: practical and theoretical results, J. ACM 34(1):144–162, 1987. https://doi.org/10.1145/7531.7535
  • R. L. Graham, Bounds for certain multiprocessing anomalies, Bell System Tech. J. 45(9):1563–1581, 1966. https://doi.org/10.1002/j.1538-7305.1966.tb01709.x
  • D. K. Friesen and M. A. Langston, Bounds for multifit scheduling on uniform processors, SIAM J. Comput. 12(1):60–70, 1983. https://doi.org/10.1137/0212004
  • J. K. Lenstra, D. B. Shmoys and É. Tardos, Approximation algorithms for scheduling unrelated parallel machines, Math. Programming 46:259–271, 1990. https://doi.org/10.1007/BF01585745
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Introduction to Matrix Analytic Methods in Stochastic Modeling I: PH Distributions and the Absorption CriterionTextbook

Motivation

Phase-type (PH) distributions are the distributions of absorption times of finite Markov chains. Introduced by Neuts in the 1970s (the book follows his framework, Latouche–Ramaswami, §2.3), they are the standard way to put non-exponential service times, interarrival times and lifetimes into a model while keeping it Markovian: a PH random variable is a walk through finitely many exponential (or geometric) "phases", so a queue or reliability model with PH ingredients is again a Markov chain, now on a state space of levels times phases. Every quasi-birth-and-death process in the matrix analytic literature has PH or Markovian-arrival inputs, and the matrices TTT, −T−1-T^{-1}−T−1 and exp⁡(Tx)\exp(Tx)exp(Tx) studied here reappear in every later chapter of Latouche and Ramaswami's book (SIAM 1999).

This mission formalizes Chapter 2 of that book: the definition of continuous and discrete PH distributions, the formulas for their distribution functions, the criterion for absorption in finite time, and the closure of the discrete family under sums, mixtures and minima.

Setting

Fix a finite set of phases and adjoin an absorbing state 000. A PH representation is a pair (τ,T)(\boldsymbol\tau, T)(τ,T) of a row vector τ\boldsymbol\tauτ and a square matrix TTT indexed by the phases, with

Tii<0,Tij≥0 (i≠j),t:=−T1≥0,τ≥0,τ0:=1−τ1≥0,T_{ii} < 0,\qquad T_{ij} \ge 0 \ (i \ne j),\qquad \boldsymbol t := -T\mathbf 1 \ge 0,\qquad \boldsymbol\tau \ge 0,\qquad \tau_0 := 1 - \boldsymbol\tau\mathbf 1 \ge 0,Tii​<0,Tij​≥0 (i=j),t:=−T1≥0,τ≥0,τ0​:=1−τ1≥0,

where 1\mathbf 11 is the all-ones column vector. The Markov process JJJ on {0}∪{phases}\{0\} \cup \{\text{phases}\}{0}∪{phases} with initial distribution (τ0,τ)(\tau_0, \boldsymbol\tau)(τ0​,τ) and generator

Q=[00tT]Q = \begin{bmatrix} 0 & \mathbf 0 \\ \boldsymbol t & T \end{bmatrix}Q=[0t​0T​]

has transition function P(x)=exp⁡(Qx)P(x) = \exp(Qx)P(x)=exp(Qx), Pab(x)=P[J(x)=b∣J(0)=a]P_{ab}(x) = \mathrm P[J(x) = b \mid J(0) = a]Pab​(x)=P[J(x)=b∣J(0)=a]. The time XXX until absorption into 000 has the PH distribution PH(τ,T)\mathrm{PH}(\boldsymbol\tau, T)PH(τ,T), with distribution function F(x)=P[J(x)=0]=∑a(τ0,τ)aPa0(x)F(x) = \mathrm P[J(x) = 0] = \sum_a (\tau_0, \boldsymbol\tau)_a P_{a0}(x)F(x)=P[J(x)=0]=∑a​(τ0​,τ)a​Pa0​(x). Absorption with probability 1 from phase iii means Pi0(x)→1P_{i0}(x) \to 1Pi0​(x)→1 as x→∞x \to \inftyx→∞; the distribution is nondefective if F(x)→1F(x) \to 1F(x)→1. The expected total time in phase jjj starting from phase iii is Eij=∫0∞Pij(x) dx∈[0,∞]E_{ij} = \int_0^\infty P_{ij}(x)\,dx \in [0, \infty]Eij​=∫0∞​Pij​(x)dx∈[0,∞].

The discrete analogue PHd(τ,T)\mathrm{PH}_d(\boldsymbol\tau, T)PHd​(τ,T) uses a substochastic T≥0T \ge 0T≥0 with t:=1−T1≥0\boldsymbol t := \mathbf 1 - T\mathbf 1 \ge 0t:=1−T1≥0, the transition matrix P=[10tT]P = \begin{bmatrix} 1 & \mathbf 0 \\ \boldsymbol t & T \end{bmatrix}P=[1t​0T​], and the absorption time XXX with P[X≤k]=∑a(τ0,τ)a(Pk)a0\mathrm P[X \le k] = \sum_a (\tau_0, \boldsymbol\tau)_a (P^k)_{a0}P[X≤k]=∑a​(τ0​,τ)a​(Pk)a0​.

Formalization targets

Goal: the absorption criterion (Theorem 2.4.3)

For every PH representation (τ,T)(\boldsymbol\tau, T)(τ,T),

(∀i: lim⁡x→∞Pi0(x)=1)  ⟺  T is nonsingular,\Big(\forall i:\ \lim_{x \to \infty} P_{i0}(x) = 1\Big) \iff T \text{ is nonsingular},(∀i: x→∞lim​Pi0​(x)=1)⟺T is nonsingular,

and if TTT is nonsingular then every expected sojourn time is finite and

Eij=(−T−1)ijfor all phases i,j.E_{ij} = (-T^{-1})_{ij} \qquad \text{for all phases } i, j.Eij​=(−T−1)ij​for all phases i,j.

Milestones

  1. Theorem 2.4.1. F(x)=1−τexp⁡(Tx)1F(x) = 1 - \boldsymbol\tau\exp(Tx)\mathbf 1F(x)=1−τexp(Tx)1 for x≥0x \ge 0x≥0, and F′(x)=τexp⁡(Tx)tF'(x) = \boldsymbol\tau\exp(Tx)\boldsymbol tF′(x)=τexp(Tx)t for x>0x > 0x>0.
  2. Theorem 2.4.2. Every nondefective PH distribution has a representation from every phase of which absorption occurs with probability 1.
  3. Eq. (2.11). For a nonsingular PH rate matrix TTT, ∫0∞exp⁡(Tx) dx=−T−1\int_0^\infty \exp(Tx)\,dx = -T^{-1}∫0∞​exp(Tx)dx=−T−1.
  4. Theorem 2.5.3. For PHd(τ,T)\mathrm{PH}_d(\boldsymbol\tau, T)PHd​(τ,T): P[X=0]=τ0\mathrm P[X = 0] = \tau_0P[X=0]=τ0​, P[X=k]=τTk−1t\mathrm P[X = k] = \boldsymbol\tau T^{k-1}\boldsymbol tP[X=k]=τTk−1t for k≥1k \ge 1k≥1, P[X≤k]=1−τTk1\mathrm P[X \le k] = 1 - \boldsymbol\tau T^k\mathbf 1P[X≤k]=1−τTk1.
  5. Theorem 2.6.1. The sum of independent PHd(τ,T)\mathrm{PH}_d(\boldsymbol\tau, T)PHd​(τ,T) and PHd(β,S)\mathrm{PH}_d(\boldsymbol\beta, S)PHd​(β,S) variables is PHd([τ,τ0β],[Tt⋅β0S])\mathrm{PH}_d\big([\boldsymbol\tau, \tau_0\boldsymbol\beta], \big[\begin{smallmatrix} T & \boldsymbol t\cdot\boldsymbol\beta \\ 0 & S \end{smallmatrix}\big]\big)PHd​([τ,τ0​β],[T0​t⋅βS​]).
  6. Theorem 2.6.2. The mixture θF+(1−θ)G\theta F + (1 - \theta)GθF+(1−θ)G of two discrete PH distribution functions is PHd([θτ,(1−θ)β],diag(T,S))\mathrm{PH}_d\big([\theta\boldsymbol\tau, (1-\theta)\boldsymbol\beta], \mathrm{diag}(T, S)\big)PHd​([θτ,(1−θ)β],diag(T,S)).
  7. Theorem 2.6.4. The minimum of independent PHd(τ,T)\mathrm{PH}_d(\boldsymbol\tau, T)PHd​(τ,T) and PHd(β,S)\mathrm{PH}_d(\boldsymbol\beta, S)PHd​(β,S) variables is PHd(τ⊗β,T⊗S)\mathrm{PH}_d(\boldsymbol\tau \otimes \boldsymbol\beta, T \otimes S)PHd​(τ⊗β,T⊗S).
  8. Theorem 2.6.5. Every probability distribution on N\mathbb NN with finite support is discrete PH.

Significance

The result itself. Theorem 2.4.3 converts a probabilistic property of the absorbing process (absorption in finite time from every phase) into an algebraic one (nonsingularity of TTT), and gives the matrix −T−1-T^{-1}−T−1 its meaning as the matrix of expected sojourn times. Every formula after it in the book assumes it: the Laplace–Stieltjes transform τ0+τ(sI−T)−1t\tau_0 + \boldsymbol\tau(sI - T)^{-1}\boldsymbol tτ0​+τ(sI−T)−1t, the moments k! τ(−T−1)k1k!\,\boldsymbol\tau(-T^{-1})^k\mathbf 1k!τ(−T−1)k1, the mean drift of PH renewal processes in Chapter 3, and the rate and first-passage matrices of the QBD chapters, which are built from PH-structured blocks. The closure theorems are the reason PH distributions are a modelling class at all: sums, mixtures and minima of PH variables stay inside the class, and finitely supported distributions are in it, so it is dense in the distributions on N\mathbb NN.

Formalizing it. All results are classical and proved in the book; none is formalized. Mathlib has the matrix exponential, Kronecker and block matrices, but no phase-type distributions, no generator-to-transition-function interface for absorbing chains, and no expected sojourn times. This mission builds that layer and states the chapter's results on it. It is the substrate for the remaining fourteen missions of the series.

Difficulty

The equivalence in Theorem 2.4.3 connects an asymptotic property of exp⁡(Qx)\exp(Qx)exp(Qx) with the determinant of its transient block. Neither direction is a finite computation: the forward direction must extract finiteness of all sojourn times from the hypothesis that absorption happens almost surely and then identify the sojourn-time matrix as an inverse of TTT; the reverse direction must show that a nonsingular TTT with the sign pattern (2.4) forces exp⁡(Tx)→0\exp(Tx) \to 0exp(Tx)→0 and the integrability of exp⁡(Tx)\exp(Tx)exp(Tx) on (0,∞)(0, \infty)(0,∞), a statement about all xxx that no finite expansion of the exponential series settles. A purely algebraic shortcut through eigenvalues ("TTT is stable") needs the spectral facts about semistable matrices that the book only sketches in Remark 2.4.5. Theorem 2.4.1 already requires the block form of exp⁡(Qx)\exp(Qx)exp(Qx) for the lower block-triangular QQQ, and the closure theorems require tracking powers of block and Kronecker-structured transition matrices.

Formalization scope

Phases form an arbitrary finite type ι; the absorbing state is none in Option ι. Vectors are functions ι → ℝ, row vectors act on the left. On a finite state space the law of the continuous-time process is its transition function, defined as Mathlib's NormedSpace.exp (x • Q); the discrete chain's kkk-step probabilities are the matrix power PkP^kPk. The distribution functions FFF and P[X≤k]\mathrm P[X \le k]P[X≤k] are defined from these transition probabilities, not by the closed formulas of Theorems 2.4.1 and 2.5.3, so those theorems carry content. Absorption with probability 1 is the limit Pi0(x)→1P_{i0}(x) \to 1Pi0​(x)→1; the expected sojourn time is a lower Lebesgue integral in [0,∞][0, \infty][0,∞], so an infinite expected time is never replaced by a junk real 000, and the goal asserts finiteness explicitly. Nonsingularity is IsUnit T.det; it is a hypothesis only where the book assumes it (the "moreover" part of Theorem 2.4.3 and Eq. (2.11)) and a conclusion in the equivalence. The closure theorems are stated through the laws: a convolution of probability mass functions for independent sums, a product of survival functions for independent minima, a convex combination of distribution functions for mixtures; each also asserts that the constructed pair is a valid discrete PH representation. The trivializing formalization, defining FFF by 1−τexp⁡(Tx)11 - \boldsymbol\tau\exp(Tx)\mathbf 11−τexp(Tx)1 or defining absorption by nonsingularity of TTT, is ruled out by these definitions.

Beyond the paper. No variant items are posed. Theorem 2.6.3 (the PH representation of ∑kpkF∗k\sum_k p_k F^{*k}∑k​pk​F∗k) is not in this mission; a planning finding records that its printed representation fails when FFF has an atom at 000.

Needed infrastructure: the block structure of exp⁡(Qx)\exp(Qx)exp(Qx) and of PkP^kPk; nonnegativity and row sums of exp⁡(Qx)\exp(Qx)exp(Qx) for a generator; limits and integrals of matrix exponentials; block-matrix and Kronecker power identities. Most of it is reusable for the PH renewal processes and QBDs of the later missions. Contributions of general lemmas about matrix exponentials of Metzler matrices are welcome.

Selected references

  • G. Latouche and V. Ramaswami, Introduction to Matrix Analytic Methods in Stochastic Modeling, ASA-SIAM Series on Statistics and Applied Probability, SIAM, 1999. https://doi.org/10.1137/1.9780898719734
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Flows in Networks VII: Maximal Dynamic Flows from Temporally Repeated FlowsTextbook

Motivation

Many transportation and evacuation questions ask how much can be shipped from a source to a sink within a time horizon, when every arc has both a capacity per period and a traversal time. Ford and Fulkerson posed this maximal dynamic flow problem in 1958 and solved it by a reduction that is now standard in network optimization: instead of solving a linear program on a network copied once per period, solve one minimal cost flow problem on the original network and repeat its chain flows over time. Their account in Chapter III, §9 of Flows in Networks (RAND Report R-375-PR, 1962; Princeton University Press, 1962) is the source of the notions of the time-expanded network and the temporally repeated flow, which underlie later work on earliest arrival flows, quickest flows and evacuation planning (see Skutella, 2009).

Timeline. Ford and Fulkerson, Constructing maximal dynamic flows from static flows (Operations Research 6, 1958), proved that a temporally repeated flow is optimal. Gale (1959) showed that a single dynamic flow can be maximal for every horizon simultaneously, a question the book raises right after the theorem formalized here. Hoppe and Tardos (2000) solved the quickest transshipment problem with several sources and sinks.

Setting

A network [N;A][N; \mathcal A][N;A] has a finite node set NNN, two distinct nodes sss (source) and ttt (sink), and a set A\mathcal AA of ordered pairs of distinct nodes (arcs); both (x,y)(x, y)(x,y) and (y,x)(y, x)(y,x) may be arcs. Each arc carries a positive integer capacity c(x,y)c(x, y)c(x,y) and a nonnegative integer cost a(x,y)a(x, y)a(x,y); in the dynamic problem a(x,y)a(x, y)a(x,y) is the traversal time, a positive integer.

A static flow from sss to ttt of value vvv is a real function fff on the arcs with 0≤f≤c0 \le f \le c0≤f≤c, net outflow vvv at sss, −v-v−v at ttt, and 000 at every other node. For an integer p≥0p \ge 0p≥0, the ppp-th related program maximizes pv−∑Aa(x,y)f(x,y)p v - \sum_{\mathcal A} a(x, y) f(x, y)pv−∑A​a(x,y)f(x,y) over static flows. Integer node numbers π\piπ and a flow fff satisfy the optimality properties (3.18)–(3.20) for this program when π(s)=0\pi(s) = 0π(s)=0, π(t)=p\pi(t) = pπ(t)=p, f(x,y)=0f(x, y) = 0f(x,y)=0 whenever π(y)−π(x)<a(x,y)\pi(y) - \pi(x) < a(x, y)π(y)−π(x)<a(x,y), and f(x,y)=c(x,y)f(x, y) = c(x, y)f(x,y)=c(x,y) whenever π(y)−π(x)>a(x,y)\pi(y) - \pi(x) > a(x, y)π(y)−π(x)>a(x,y). The arc numbers are γ(x,y)=max⁡(0,π(y)−π(x)−a(x,y))\gamma(x, y) = \max(0, \pi(y) - \pi(x) - a(x, y))γ(x,y)=max(0,π(y)−π(x)−a(x,y)).

A dynamic flow for ppp periods assigns to each arc and departure time τ=0,1,…,p\tau = 0, 1, \dots, pτ=0,1,…,p an amount f(x,y;τ)f(x, y; \tau)f(x,y;τ) with 0≤f(x,y;τ)≤c(x,y)0 \le f(x, y; \tau) \le c(x, y)0≤f(x,y;τ)≤c(x,y), arriving at yyy at time τ+a(x,y)\tau + a(x, y)τ+a(x,y), together with nonnegative hold-overs f(x,x;τ)f(x, x; \tau)f(x,x;τ) that wait at xxx from τ\tauτ to τ+1\tau + 1τ+1, with unbounded capacity. Conservation holds at every intermediate node at every time, and the value v(p)v(p)v(p) is the net amount leaving sss, equal to the net amount entering ttt, over the horizon: these are the constraints (9.2)–(9.5). Equivalently, it is a static flow in the time-expanded network G(p)G(p)G(p), whose nodes are the copies x(τ)x(\tau)x(τ), τ=0,…,p\tau = 0, \dots, pτ=0,…,p, with arcs [x(τ),y(τ+a(x,y))][x(\tau), y(\tau + a(x, y))][x(τ),y(τ+a(x,y))] of capacity c(x,y)c(x, y)c(x,y) and hold-over arcs [x(τ),x(τ+1)][x(\tau), x(\tau + 1)][x(τ),x(τ+1)] of infinite capacity. A dynamic cut is a node set XXX of G(p)G(p)G(p) containing every s(τ)s(\tau)s(τ) and no t(τ)t(\tau)t(τ); its capacity is the total capacity of the arcs of G(p)G(p)G(p) leading from XXX to its complement.

A chain decomposition of a static flow fff of value vvv is a finite family of chains CrC_rCr​ from sss to ttt with amounts hr>0h_r > 0hr​>0, using at most f(x,y)f(x, y)f(x,y) on each arc in total and of total value at least vvv. The temporally repeated flow it generates sends hrh_rhr​ along CrC_rCr​ starting at every time θ\thetaθ with θ+σr≤p\theta + \sigma_r \le pθ+σr​≤p, where σr\sigma_rσr​ is the traversal time of CrC_rCr​.

Formalization targets

Goal: Chapter III, "Theorem 8.1" (p. 90)

Let the traversal times be positive integers, let fff be an integral static flow of value vvv and π\piπ integer node numbers satisfying the optimality properties for the (p+1)(p+1)(p+1)-th related program. Then fff has a chain decomposition; every chain decomposition of fff generates a temporally repeated flow that is a maximal dynamic flow for ppp periods, with value

v(p)=(p+1)v−∑Aa(x,y)f(x,y);v(p) = (p + 1) v - \sum_{\mathcal A} a(x, y) f(x, y);v(p)=(p+1)v−A∑​a(x,y)f(x,y);

and the cut of G(p)G(p)G(p) determined by X={x(τ)∣π(x)≤τ}X = \{x(\tau) \mid \pi(x) \le \tau\}X={x(τ)∣π(x)≤τ} is a minimal dynamic cut. In the book fff and π\piπ are the outputs fp+1f_{p+1}fp+1​, πp+1\pi_{p+1}πp+1​ of the minimal cost flow routine of §3, which satisfy these properties by Theorem 3.1.

Milestones

  • Corollary 3.2 (p. 43): under the optimality properties, fff maximizes pv−∑afp v - \sum a fpv−∑af over all flows, (π,γ)(\pi, \gamma)(π,γ) solves the dual program, and pv−∑Aaf=∑Acγp v - \sum_{\mathcal A} a f = \sum_{\mathcal A} c \gammapv−∑A​af=∑A​cγ (3.29).
  • Corollary 3.3 (p. 43): if ppp exceeds every path cost from sss to ttt, fff is a maximal flow of minimal cost among maximal flows.
  • Theorem 3.5 (p. 48): every chain from sss to ttt satisfies ∑[a+γ]≥p\sum [a + \gamma] \ge p∑[a+γ]≥p along its arcs (3.35), with equality when fff is positive on all its arcs; if fff is also optimal for the (p−1)(p-1)(p−1)-th program, as the routine's fpf_pfp​ is by Theorem 3.1, such a chain has γ>0\gamma > 0γ>0 on some arc.
  • Eq. (9.20) (p. 90): vˉ(p)−vˉ(p−1)=vp+1\bar v(p) - \bar v(p - 1) = v_{p+1}vˉ(p)−vˉ(p−1)=vp+1​ for the maximal dynamic flow values vˉ\bar vvˉ.

Stronger: any maximizer of (9.6)

A variant item states the goal for every real static flow maximizing (p+1)v−∑af(p+1)v - \sum a f(p+1)v−∑af, with no integrality and no node numbers assumed (finding F1).

Significance

The theorem turns a linear program whose size grows with the horizon ppp into a minimal cost flow problem of fixed size, and it identifies the optimal value as an explicit function of a static flow. Equation (9.20) then shows that vˉ(p)\bar v(p)vˉ(p) is a convex piecewise linear function of ppp, with slopes the values vp+1v_{p+1}vp+1​ of the successive static flows.

The result is proved, in 1958 and in the book. It has, as far as a search of the platform shows, no machine-checked proof: no item states a dynamic flow, a time-expanded network or a temporally repeated flow. A complete development would produce reusable formal notions of time-expanded networks and of chain decompositions of node-arc flows, and a formal proof of LP-duality-style optimality for the s–t minimal cost flow program.

Difficulty

Constructing the temporally repeated flow and checking that it is feasible is the easy half. The hard half is maximality over all dynamic flows, including those that use hold-overs and are generated by no static flow: an upper bound on every dynamic flow for ppp periods has to be matched exactly to a quantity computed on the original, much smaller network. A newcomer who tries to compare dynamic flows with temporally repeated ones directly finds no such comparison: the maximal dynamic flow of the book's Fig. 9.7 is not temporally repeated.

Two pitfalls are on the page. The printed definition (9.17) of the minimal cut has an upper limit under which the set is empty (finding F2); the statement uses the node set (9.18) that the text describes. And the clause "γ>0\gamma > 0γ>0 for some arc" of Theorem 3.5 depends on how the routine produced its flow and fails for an arbitrary pair satisfying the optimality properties (finding F3); the statement carries what Theorem 3.1 says of the routine's fpf_pfp​, that it is also optimal for the (p−1)(p-1)(p−1)-th program.

Formalization scope

Nodes form a Fintype with decidable equality; arcs a Finset (N × N) without loops; capacities and costs are natural numbers, with capacities positive on arcs and, in the §9 statements, traversal times positive. Static flows are real functions on the arcs in Chapter I's net form, which agrees with the §3 form (3.7)–(3.10) when no arc enters sss or leaves ttt. Node numbers are integer valued. The routine of §3 is not formalized: every statement quantifies over flows and node numbers satisfying the optimality properties, which is what Theorem 3.1 asserts of the routine's outputs. Dynamic flows are the linear program (9.2)–(9.5) itself, with times in N\mathbb NN, hold-overs as separate nonnegative variables (infinite capacity is never written as a number), and incoming terms present only when the departure time is nonnegative. A minimal dynamic cut is a dynamic cut that no hold-over arc crosses and whose capacity is at most that of every other such cut; cuts crossed by a hold-over arc have infinite capacity. Maxima are stated as attained.

The trivializing formalizations are ruled out: the maximal dynamic flow value is not defined through (9.6) but as the greatest value of the program (9.2)–(9.5), and "temporally repeated" is an explicit construction from a chain decomposition, so not every dynamic flow is one.

Needed: finite sums over arcs and times, list-based chains, and duality for both the static and the time-expanded network; Mathlib has no network flow theory, and these definitions are reusable beyond this mission. Proofs of the milestones, of the goal and of the strengthened variant are all welcome.

Selected references

  • L. R. Ford, Jr. and D. R. Fulkerson, Flows in Networks, RAND Corporation Report R-375-PR, 1962; Princeton University Press, 1962. https://doi.org/10.1515/9781400875184
  • L. R. Ford, Jr. and D. R. Fulkerson, Constructing maximal dynamic flows from static flows, Operations Research 6 (1958), 419–433. https://doi.org/10.1287/opre.6.3.419
  • D. Gale, Transient flows in networks, Michigan Mathematical Journal 6 (1959), 59–63. https://doi.org/10.1307/mmj/1028998140
  • B. Hoppe and É. Tardos, The quickest transshipment problem, Mathematics of Operations Research 25 (2000), 36–62. https://doi.org/10.1287/moor.25.1.36.15211
  • M. Skutella, An introduction to network flows over time, in Research Trends in Combinatorial Optimization, Springer, 2009, 451–482. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-540-76796-1_21
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Flows in Networks VIII: Flow Functions Realizable by TreesTextbook

Motivation

In a communication or transportation network, a planner often needs not one maximal flow value but all of them: the largest amount that can be sent between every pair of locations. For an undirected network with nnn nodes there are n(n−1)/2n(n-1)/2n(n−1)/2 such values. In 1961, R. E. Gomory and T. C. Hu (Multi-terminal network flows, J. SIAM 9 (1961)) answered two questions about them. Which tables of numbers can occur as the all-pairs maximal flow values of some network? And how many maximal flow computations are needed to find them all? Mayeda (1960) and Chien (1960) studied the same questions at about the same time.

Ford and Fulkerson's Flows in Networks (RAND Report R-375-PR, 1962; Princeton University Press, 1962) gives the theory in its fourth chapter, "Multi-Terminal Maximal Flows", following Gomory and Hu. This mission formalizes the first half of that chapter: the cycle criterion for maximal spanning subtrees (§1), the characterization of flow functions and their realization by trees (§2), and the condensation lemma behind the Gomory–Hu procedure (§3).

Setting

An undirected network GGG has a finite set NNN of nodes and a set of undirected arcs. An arc joins two distinct nodes, and at most one arc joins any two nodes. Each arc {x,y}\{x, y\}{x,y} carries a nonnegative real capacity c(x,y)=c(y,x)c(x, y) = c(y, x)c(x,y)=c(y,x).

A flow of value www from sss to ttt assigns to each ordered pair a number f(x,y)≥0f(x, y) \ge 0f(x,y)≥0, the flow from xxx to yyy. It vanishes unless {x,y}\{x, y\}{x,y} is an arc. On each arc it satisfies f(x,y)≤c(x,y)f(x, y) \le c(x, y)f(x,y)≤c(x,y), f(y,x)≤c(x,y)f(y, x) \le c(x, y)f(y,x)≤c(x,y) and f(x,y) f(y,x)=0f(x, y)\,f(y, x) = 0f(x,y)f(y,x)=0, so flow moves in only one direction. The net flow out of a node, f(x,N)−f(N,x)f(x, N) - f(N, x)f(x,N)−f(N,x), is www at sss, −w-w−w at ttt, and 000 at every other node. The maximal flow value from xxx to yyy is the largest value of a flow from xxx to yyy. The book calls the function v(x,y)v(x, y)v(x,y) giving this value for every pair of distinct nodes the flow function of GGG. It is symmetric, and v(x,x)v(x, x)v(x,x) is left undefined.

A symmetric function v≥0v \ge 0v≥0 on pairs of distinct nodes is realizable if some undirected network on NNN has flow function vvv. It is realizable by a tree if the arcs of such a network form a tree on NNN, that is, a connected graph without cycles.

For a set XXX of nodes with complement Xˉ=N−X\bar X = N - XXˉ=N−X, the cut capacity c(X,Xˉ)c(X, \bar X)c(X,Xˉ) is the total capacity of the arcs joining XXX to Xˉ\bar XXˉ. (X,Xˉ)(X, \bar X)(X,Xˉ) is a minimal cut separating sss and ttt if s∈Xs \in Xs∈X, t∈Xˉt \in \bar Xt∈Xˉ, and no other such node set has a smaller cut capacity. The condensed network shrinks all of Xˉ\bar XXˉ to a single node. Arcs between nodes of XXX (the ordinary nodes) are kept. The arcs from an ordinary node xxx to Xˉ\bar XXˉ become one arc whose capacity is their sum.

Given a connected graph GGG with real arc lengths a(x,y)a(x, y)a(x,y), a spanning subtree is a tree TTT obtained from GGG by deleting arcs. Arcs of TTT are in-tree and the rest are out-of-tree. TTT is maximal if no spanning subtree of GGG has a larger total length.

Formalization targets

Goal: Chapter IV, Theorem 2.1 (p. 8)

For a nonempty finite node set NNN and a symmetric v≥0v \ge 0v≥0 on pairs of distinct nodes, vvv is realizable if and only if, for all pairwise distinct x,y,zx, y, zx,y,z,

v(x,y)≥min⁡ [v(x,z),v(z,y)].(2.1)v(x, y) \ge \min\,[v(x, z), v(z, y)]. \tag{2.1}v(x,y)≥min[v(x,z),v(z,y)].(2.1)

Moreover, if vvv is realizable, it is realizable by a tree.

Milestones

  1. Theorem 1.1 (p. 5). A spanning subtree TTT is maximal if and only if, for each out-of-tree arc {x1,xk}\{x_1, x_k\}{x1​,xk​} with in-tree chain x1,x2,…,xkx_1, x_2, \dots, x_kx1​,x2​,…,xk​,
a(x1,xk)≤min⁡ [a(x1,x2),…,a(xk−1,xk)].(1.1)a(x_1, x_k) \le \min\,[a(x_1, x_2), \dots, a(x_{k-1}, x_k)]. \tag{1.1}a(x1​,xk​)≤min[a(x1​,x2​),…,a(xk−1​,xk​)].(1.1)
  1. Lemma 2.1 (p. 6). Every flow function satisfies (2.1).
  2. Lemma 2.2 (p. 8). Every symmetric v≥0v \ge 0v≥0 satisfying (2.1) is the flow function of some undirected network.
  3. Lemma 3.1 (p. 11). Let (X,Xˉ)(X, \bar X)(X,Xˉ) be an s,ts, ts,t minimal cut, and let x,yx, yx,y be two distinct nodes of XXX. The maximal flow value v′(x,y)v'(x, y)v′(x,y) in the network condensed at Xˉ\bar XXˉ equals the maximal flow value v(x,y)v(x, y)v(x,y) in the original network.

Significance

Theorem 2.1 says that the all-pairs maximal flow values of an undirected network take a very restricted form. Every network is flow-equivalent to a tree on the same nodes. At most n−1n - 1n−1 distinct values occur. Every value is a minimum of values along a path. The Gomory–Hu tree, with its n−1n - 1n−1 maximal flow computations instead of n(n−1)/2n(n-1)/2n(n−1)/2, rests on this structure, and Lemma 3.1 is what makes that procedure correct: each later flow problem can be solved on a smaller, condensed network without changing the answer. Gomory–Hu trees are used in network reliability, in the separation of odd-cut inequalities for matching polytopes (Padberg and Rao, 1982), and in graph clustering. Theorem 1.1 is the cycle-optimality criterion for maximum-weight spanning trees. It underlies the correctness of Kruskal's algorithm, which the book derives from it.

These are classical results, proved in the 1950s and 1960s. On Prove2Me, Padberg and Rao's odd-cut results take an odd cut-tree as a hypothesis and do not construct one. Minimum-spanning-tree exchange properties exist in other encodings (rooted parent functions, a list-scan Kruskal). No formal statement of the realizability theorem, of the triangle condition on flow functions, or of the condensation lemma is known on the platform. The work is to formalize the known proofs. They connect undirected maximal flows with the max-flow min-cut theorem, spanning-tree exchange arguments and cut submodularity, and every one of these is reusable on its own.

Difficulty

The obvious first step for Lemma 2.1 compares flows directly, and it does not work. The inequality is a statement about maxima, and a flow of value min⁡[v(x,z),v(z,y)]\min[v(x, z), v(z, y)]min[v(x,z),v(z,y)] from xxx to yyy cannot be assembled by concatenating an xxx–zzz flow and a zzz–yyy flow, because the two flows compete for the same arc capacities. Every statement here is about attained maxima of flow values, and nothing in the mission's statements supplies the max-flow min-cut theorem for undirected networks with the one-direction constraint f(x,y) f(y,x)=0f(x, y)\,f(y, x) = 0f(x,y)f(y,x)=0. A solver must bring that in. For Lemma 3.1, the two networks have different node types, so flows have to be transported between them in both directions, and the naive way of pushing a flow forward into the condensed network can lose value. For Theorem 1.1, necessity is a single exchange, but sufficiency is not: the book itself remarks that it is "not obvious".

Formalization scope

Nodes are a Fintype with decidable equality. Arcs are a Mathlib SimpleGraph, so they are undirected and loop-free with at most one arc per pair. Capacities are a symmetric real function, nonnegative on arcs. Flows are real functions on ordered pairs that satisfy the book's constraints (10.1) of Chapter I. The maximal flow value is an attained maximum (IsGreatest), never a bare supremum. A flow function v:N→N→Rv : N \to N \to \mathbb Rv:N→N→R is constrained only off the diagonal, matching the book's "v(x,x)v(x, x)v(x,x) undefined", so (2.1) is quantified over pairwise distinct nodes. The book's alternative convention v(x,x)=∞v(x, x) = \inftyv(x,x)=∞ is not used. Extending vvv by 000 on the diagonal would break (2.1) at z=xz = xz=x. The goal and Lemma 2.2 assume v≥0v \ge 0v≥0 off the diagonal. The book leaves this implicit (flow values are nonnegative), and without it the "if" direction fails for v≡−1v \equiv -1v≡−1. The goal assumes NNN nonempty, because a tree is connected. "Realizable by a tree" means the network's graph is a tree on all of NNN. Some tree arcs may have capacity 000. The condensed network has node type Option X, where none is the condensed node. Spanning subtrees are subgraphs T≤GT \le GT≤G with T.IsTree. Lengths are a function on unordered pairs, and "the chain of in-tree arcs" is any path in TTT, which is unique.

A trivializing formalization is excluded. The flow function is defined by actual flows, never by path minima in a tree or by cut capacities. Realizability is the existence of a network whose flows have those maximal values, never a restatement of (2.1).

Not included: Lemma 3.2 and Theorem 4.1. Both concern objects that the book defines by a construction ("the final tree TTT" of the Gomory–Hu procedure, and the network G∗G^*G∗ of §4), and stating them faithfully would require formalizing those constructions. Contributions welcome: an undirected max-flow min-cut theorem in this encoding, the tree-network flow computation, and a formal Gomory–Hu construction for a later mission.

Selected references

  • L. R. Ford, Jr. and D. R. Fulkerson, Flows in Networks, RAND Corporation Report R-375-PR, 1962; Princeton University Press, 1962. https://doi.org/10.1515/9781400875184
  • R. E. Gomory and T. C. Hu, Multi-terminal network flows, Journal of the Society for Industrial and Applied Mathematics 9 (1961), 551–570. https://doi.org/10.1137/0109047
  • J. B. Kruskal, On the shortest spanning subtree of a graph and the traveling salesman problem, Proceedings of the American Mathematical Society 7 (1956), 48–50. https://doi.org/10.1090/S0002-9939-1956-0078686-7
  • R. C. Prim, Shortest connection networks and some generalizations, Bell System Technical Journal 36 (1957), 1389–1401. https://doi.org/10.1002/j.1538-7305.1957.tb01515.x
  • M. W. Padberg and M. R. Rao, Odd minimum cut-sets and b-matchings, Mathematics of Operations Research 7 (1982), 67–80. https://doi.org/10.1287/moor.7.1.67
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Flows in Networks VI: Zero-One Matrices with Zero TraceTextbook

Motivation

An m×nm \times nm×n matrix of 000's and 111's is the incidence matrix of mmm sets against nnn elements, or the adjacency matrix of a bipartite graph, or, when m=nm = nm=n, the adjacency matrix of a directed graph on nnn nodes. The first question about such matrices is when one exists with prescribed row and column sums. Gale (1957) and Ryser (1957) answered it independently with a partial-sum criterion against the conjugate sequence. Ore (1956) solved the companion problem for directed graphs: when does a given directed graph have a subgraph with prescribed in- and out-degrees? Fulkerson (1960) treated the square case in which 111's are forbidden on the main diagonal, which is the degree problem for directed graphs without loops.

Ford and Fulkerson's Flows in Networks derives all of these from the supply-demand theorem for network flows. Chapter II, §11 states a two-sided version of Ore's theorem (Theorem 11.1, Corollary 11.2). §12 states the Gale–Ryser theorem in inequality form (Theorem 12.1, Corollaries 12.2–12.3) and Fulkerson's zero-trace theorem (Theorem 12.4, Corollaries 12.5–12.6). This mission formalizes those statements, citing the RAND typescript (Report R-375-PR, 1962), Chapter II, pp. 70–92.

Setting

A directed graph G=[N;A]G = [N; \mathcal A]G=[N;A] has a finite node set NNN and a set A\mathcal AA of ordered pairs (x,y)(x, y)(x,y) with x≠yx \ne yx=y, at most one per ordered pair. A subgraph HHH keeps the nodes and takes an arc set A′⊆A\mathcal A' \subseteq \mathcal AA′⊆A. Its local degree at xxx is the pair eH(x)e_H(x)eH​(x), iH(x)i_H(x)iH​(x): the numbers of arcs of HHH entering and leaving xxx. For X⊆NX \subseteq NX⊆N, A(X)A(X)A(X) is the set of heads of arcs leaving XXX and B(X)B(X)B(X) the set of tails of arcs entering XXX; ∣(X,y)∣|(X, y)|∣(X,y)∣ and ∣(y,X)∣|(y, X)|∣(y,X)∣ count the arcs from XXX to yyy and from yyy to XXX; a(X)=∑x∈Xa(x)a(X) = \sum_{x \in X} a(x)a(X)=∑x∈X​a(x).

A (0,1)(0, 1)(0,1)-matrix A=(aij)A = (a_{ij})A=(aij​) has every entry 000 or 111. For nonnegative integers a1,…,ama_1, \dots, a_ma1​,…,am​ the conjugate sequence is aj∗=∣{i∣ai≥j}∣a^*_j = |\{ i \mid a_i \ge j \}|aj∗​=∣{i∣ai​≥j}∣. For nonnegative integers a1,…,ana_1, \dots, a_na1​,…,an​, the diagonally restricted conjugate sequence (ak∗∗)(a^{**}_k)(ak∗∗​) is defined as follows. In an n×nn \times nn×n array, row iii places aia_iai​ dots in its leftmost columns other than column iii, and ak∗∗a^{**}_kak∗∗​ is the number of dots in column kkk:

ak∗∗=∣{i∣i<k, ai≥k−1}∣+∣{i∣i>k, ai≥k}∣.a^{**}_k = |\{ i \mid i < k,\ a_i \ge k - 1 \}| + |\{ i \mid i > k,\ a_i \ge k \}|.ak∗∗​=∣{i∣i<k, ai​≥k−1}∣+∣{i∣i>k, ai​≥k}∣.

For a=(4,3,3,2,2,1)a = (4, 3, 3, 2, 2, 1)a=(4,3,3,2,2,1) this gives a∗∗=(5,4,2,3,1,0)a^{**} = (5, 4, 2, 3, 1, 0)a∗∗=(5,4,2,3,1,0), which is not monotone.

In Lean these are Digraph, IsSubgraph, outDeg, inDeg, succSet, predSet, numArcsTo, numArcsFrom (file Def_FlowsNetworks_Matrices_Digraph) and IsZeroOne, conj, diagDot, diagConj (file Def_FlowsNetworks_Matrices_ZeroOne), all in the namespace FlowsNetworks.Matrices.

Formalization targets

Goal: the zero-trace theorem (Chapter II, Theorem 12.4, p. 89)

For nonnegative integers a1≥⋯≥ana_1 \ge \dots \ge a_na1​≥⋯≥an​ and b1≥⋯≥bnb_1 \ge \dots \ge b_nb1​≥⋯≥bn​, there is an n×nn \times nn×n (0,1)(0, 1)(0,1)-matrix with

∑jaij≤ai,∑iaij≥bj,∑iaii=0\sum_j a_{ij} \le a_i, \qquad \sum_i a_{ij} \ge b_j, \qquad \sum_i a_{ii} = 0j∑​aij​≤ai​,i∑​aij​≥bj​,i∑​aii​=0

if and only if

∑i=1kbi≤∑i=1kai∗∗,k=1,…,n.\sum_{i=1}^k b_i \le \sum_{i=1}^k a^{**}_i, \qquad k = 1, \dots, n.i=1∑k​bi​≤i=1∑k​ai∗∗​,k=1,…,n.

Milestones

  1. Theorem 11.1 (pp. 73–74). For integers 0≤a(x)≤a′(x)0 \le a(x) \le a'(x)0≤a(x)≤a′(x) and 0≤b(x)≤b′(x)0 \le b(x) \le b'(x)0≤b(x)≤b′(x), GGG has a subgraph with a≤iH≤a′a \le i_H \le a'a≤iH​≤a′ and b≤eH≤b′b \le e_H \le b'b≤eH​≤b′ iff, for all X⊆NX \subseteq NX⊆N,
a(X)≤∑y∈A(X)min⁡[b′(y),∣(X,y)∣],b(X)≤∑y∈B(X)min⁡[a′(y),∣(y,X)∣].a(X) \le \sum_{y \in A(X)} \min[b'(y), |(X, y)|], \qquad b(X) \le \sum_{y \in B(X)} \min[a'(y), |(y, X)|].a(X)≤y∈A(X)∑​min[b′(y),∣(X,y)∣],b(X)≤y∈B(X)∑​min[a′(y),∣(y,X)∣].
  1. Corollary 11.2 (Ore, pp. 74–75): exact degrees iH=ai_H = aiH​=a, eH=be_H = beH​=b iff a(N)=b(N)a(N) = b(N)a(N)=b(N) and the first inequality holds with bbb in place of b′b'b′.
  2. Theorem 12.1 (pp. 79–80). For nonnegative integers a1,…,ama_1, \dots, a_ma1​,…,am​ and b1≥⋯≥bnb_1 \ge \dots \ge b_nb1​≥⋯≥bn​, an m×nm \times nm×n (0,1)(0, 1)(0,1)-matrix with ∑iaij≥bj\sum_i a_{ij} \ge b_j∑i​aij​≥bj​ and ∑jaij≤ai\sum_j a_{ij} \le a_i∑j​aij​≤ai​ exists iff ∑j≤kbj≤∑j≤kaj∗\sum_{j \le k} b_j \le \sum_{j \le k} a^*_j∑j≤k​bj​≤∑j≤k​aj∗​ for k=1,…,nk = 1, \dots, nk=1,…,n.
  3. Corollaries 12.2 and 12.3 (p. 80): the cases bj=bb_j = bbj​=b (criterion nb≤∑jaj∗nb \le \sum_j a^*_jnb≤∑j​aj∗​) and ai=aa_i = aai​=a (criterion ∑jbj≤ma\sum_j b_j \le ma∑j​bj​≤ma, bj≤mb_j \le mbj​≤m).
  4. Corollaries 12.5 and 12.6 (p. 90): the zero-trace cases bi=bb_i = bbi​=b (criterion nb≤∑iai∗∗nb \le \sum_i a^{**}_inb≤∑i​ai∗∗​) and ai=aa_i = aai​=a (criterion ∑ibi≤na\sum_i b_i \le na∑i​bi​≤na, bi≤n−1b_i \le n - 1bi​≤n−1).

Significance

The result itself. Theorem 12.4 characterizes the out-degree upper bounds and in-degree lower bounds that a loopless directed graph on nnn labelled nodes can meet. With equal totals, it characterizes the degree sequences of such graphs (directed graphs with no loops and no parallel arcs). Theorem 12.1 is the inequality form of the Gale–Ryser theorem, which underlies the theory of the class A(R,S)\mathfrak A(R, S)A(R,S) of (0,1)(0, 1)(0,1)-matrices with given margins: Ryser's structure matrix, interchanges, and term rank. Ore's theorem is its counterpart for an arbitrary host graph. Corollaries 12.2–12.3 and 12.5–12.6 are the closed forms used in scheduling and seating problems, such as nnn families at mmm tables with no two relatives at one table.

Formalizing it. All results are classical and proved. On the platform, the Gale–Ryser theorem exists only as AppliedComb.ManyFaces.gale_ryser (Keller–Trotter, Theorem 16.12). That statement requires equal sums and exact margins, sorts both sequences, and requires positive parts. The book's version has one-sided bounds, arbitrary totals, an unsorted aaa and zero entries, so it is drafted here, not referenced. No zero-trace theorem, diagonally restricted conjugate, or directed-subgraph degree theorem was found on the platform.

Difficulty

Each criterion is a family of nnn inequalities, and the content is that these few inequalities suffice. A direct argument has to show that a deficiency in some arbitrary set of columns, or of nodes, is already seen by an initial segment of the sorted sequence. The diagonal restriction breaks the usual monotonicity: a∗∗a^{**}a∗∗ need not be monotone (the example above has a3∗∗<a4∗∗a^{**}_3 < a^{**}_4a3∗∗​<a4∗∗​), so the standard exchange argument for conjugate sequences does not apply unchanged. The ordering hypotheses are essential. Without b1≥⋯≥bnb_1 \ge \dots \ge b_nb1​≥⋯≥bn​ both Theorem 12.1 and Theorem 12.4 are false (findings F1, F2: a=(2)a = (2)a=(2), b=(0,2)b = (0, 2)b=(0,2) for 12.1; a=(1,1)a = (1, 1)a=(1,1), b=(0,2)b = (0, 2)b=(0,2) for 12.4). The existence side needs an integral object (a matrix or a subgraph), not a fractional one.

Formalization scope

Matrices are Matrix (Fin m) (Fin n) ℕ with entries at most 111. Every integer datum is a natural number, so nonnegativity is built in. Indices are 000-based: the book's index iii is i + 1, and ∑i=1k\sum_{i=1}^k∑i=1k​ is the sum over i.val < k. Orderings are Antitone. Zero trace is written ∑iaii=0\sum_i a_{ii} = 0∑i​aii​=0, as printed. Directed graphs have a finite node type with decidable equality, arcs form a Finset (N × N) with no loops, and a subgraph is an arc set H⊆AH \subseteq \mathcal AH⊆A. Corollaries 12.3, 12.5 and 12.6 carry the ordering hypotheses of the theorem they specialize. In Corollary 11.2 the page prints b′(y)b'(y)b′(y) in (11.19), which is read as b(y)b(y)b(y) because the corollary prescribes exact degrees. Its summation range, printed y∈A(x)y \in A(x)y∈A(x), is read as A(X)A(X)A(X), as in (11.14).

The trivializing formalization is ruled out: a∗a^*a∗ and a∗∗a^{**}a∗∗ are explicit counts computed from the integers aia_iai​, never defined through the existence of a matrix, and every partial-sum criterion is required for every k=1,…,nk = 1, \dots, nk=1,…,n, not only for k=nk = nk=n.

Beyond the paper. Two sharpness probes accompany the faithful statements. Each is expected to be false, and a disproof is the sought outcome. zero_one_matrix_existence_probe is Theorem 12.1 without b1≥⋯≥bnb_1 \ge \dots \ge b_nb1​≥⋯≥bn​ (F1: m=1m = 1m=1, a=(2)a = (2)a=(2), b=(0,2)b = (0, 2)b=(0,2) satisfies the criterion but admits no matrix). zero_trace_theorem_probe is Theorem 12.4 without b1≥⋯≥bnb_1 \ge \dots \ge b_nb1​≥⋯≥bn​ (F2: n=2n = 2n=2, a=(1,1)a = (1, 1)a=(1,1), b=(0,2)b = (0, 2)b=(0,2) likewise).

A complete development needs integral network-flow feasibility (the supply-demand theorem with integrality, or a direct combinatorial substitute), the bijection between integral flows on a bipartite network and (0,1)(0, 1)(0,1)-matrices or subgraphs, and conjugate-sequence identities such as ∑imin⁡(ai,k)=∑j≤kaj∗\sum_i \min(a_i, k) = \sum_{j \le k} a^*_j∑i​min(ai​,k)=∑j≤k​aj∗​. These pieces are reusable for the rest of Chapter II. Direct combinatorial proofs that avoid flows are equally welcome.

Selected references

  • L. R. Ford, Jr. and D. R. Fulkerson, Flows in Networks, The RAND Corporation, Report R-375-PR, 1962; Princeton University Press, 1962. https://doi.org/10.1515/9781400875184
  • D. Gale, A theorem on flows in networks, Pacific Journal of Mathematics 7 (1957), 1073–1082. https://doi.org/10.2140/pjm.1957.7.1073
  • H. J. Ryser, Combinatorial properties of matrices of zeros and ones, Canadian Journal of Mathematics 9 (1957), 371–377. https://doi.org/10.4153/CJM-1957-044-3
  • O. Ore, Studies on directed graphs, I, Annals of Mathematics 63 (1956), 383–406. https://doi.org/10.2307/1970010
  • D. R. Fulkerson, Zero-one matrices with zero trace, Pacific Journal of Mathematics 10 (1960), 831–836. https://doi.org/10.2140/pjm.1960.10.831
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Flows in Networks II: Maximal Flow Value as a Function of Two Arc CapacitiesTextbook

Why two capacities at a time

The value of a maximal flow is the basic output of network-flow models of transport, communication and supply systems. A planner who can enlarge the capacity of a link wants to know what the enlargement buys. For a single link the answer is simple. For two links it is a question about interaction: does enlarging one make enlarging the other more valuable (the links reinforce each other) or less valuable (they interfere)? L. S. Shapley answered it, and Ford and Fulkerson give his theorems and proofs in Section 13 of Chapter I of Flows in Networks. Any two arcs either always reinforce or always interfere, and in several positions the network's geometry alone decides which. These are early instances of supermodularity and submodularity of an optimal value in its parameters, a theme that later became central in parametric optimization and discrete convex analysis.

Setting

A network [N;A][N;\mathcal A][N;A] is a finite set NNN of nodes together with a set A\mathcal AA of ordered pairs (x,y)(x,y)(x,y) of distinct nodes, the arcs. The arc (x,y)(x,y)(x,y) has initial node xxx and terminal node yyy. There is at most one arc from xxx to yyy, but (x,y)(x,y)(x,y) and (y,x)(y,x)(y,x) may both be arcs. The nodes are split into a set SSS of sources, a disjoint set TTT of sinks, and the remaining intermediate nodes RRR. Each arc carries a capacity c(x,y)≥0c(x,y)\ge0c(x,y)≥0.

A flow from SSS to TTT is a function fff on the arcs with 0≤f(x,y)≤c(x,y)0\le f(x,y)\le c(x,y)0≤f(x,y)≤c(x,y) on every arc, and with conservation f(x,N)=f(N,x)f(x,N)=f(N,x)f(x,N)=f(N,x) at every intermediate node xxx. Here f(x,N)f(x,N)f(x,N) is the total flow on arcs leaving xxx and f(N,x)f(N,x)f(N,x) the total on arcs entering it. Its value is the net amount leaving the sources, v=f(S,N)−f(N,S)v=f(S,N)-f(N,S)v=f(S,N)−f(N,S). The maximal flow value vˉ\bar vvˉ is the largest value of a flow. A node set XXX containing every source and no sink determines the cut (X,Xˉ)(X,\bar X)(X,Xˉ), the set of arcs from XXX to its complement, with capacity c(X,Xˉ)c(X,\bar X)c(X,Xˉ), the sum of their capacities.

Fix two distinct arcs AiA_iAi​ and AjA_jAj​ and keep every other capacity fixed and finite. Write vˉi(ξ)\bar v_i(\xi)vˉi​(ξ) for the maximal flow value when c(Ai)c(A_i)c(Ai​) is replaced by ξ\xiξ, and vˉij(ξ,η)\bar v_{ij}(\xi,\eta)vˉij​(ξ,η) for the value when c(Ai)c(A_i)c(Ai​) and c(Aj)c(A_j)c(Aj​) are replaced by ξ\xiξ and η\etaη. These two capacities may also be ∞\infty∞, and then vˉ\bar vvˉ may be ∞\infty∞. For a rectangle with corners (ξ,η)(\xi,\eta)(ξ,η), (ξ+h,η)(\xi+h,\eta)(ξ+h,η), (ξ,η+k)(\xi,\eta+k)(ξ,η+k), (ξ+h,η+k)(\xi+h,\eta+k)(ξ+h,η+k) in the nonnegative quadrant, with hk≠0hk\neq0hk=0, the difference quotient is

qij=vˉij(ξ+h,η+k)−vˉij(ξ+h,η)−vˉij(ξ,η+k)+vˉij(ξ,η)hk.q_{ij}=\frac{\bar v_{ij}(\xi+h,\eta+k)-\bar v_{ij}(\xi+h,\eta)-\bar v_{ij}(\xi,\eta+k)+\bar v_{ij}(\xi,\eta)}{hk}.qij​=hkvˉij​(ξ+h,η+k)−vˉij​(ξ+h,η)−vˉij​(ξ,η+k)+vˉij​(ξ,η)​.

The interaction constant is

pij=vˉij(∞,∞)−vˉij(0,∞)−vˉij(∞,0)+vˉij(0,0),p_{ij}=\bar v_{ij}(\infty,\infty)-\bar v_{ij}(0,\infty)-\bar v_{ij}(\infty,0)+\bar v_{ij}(0,0),pij​=vˉij​(∞,∞)−vˉij​(0,∞)−vˉij​(∞,0)+vˉij​(0,0),

which may be +∞+\infty+∞, or indeterminate (∞−∞\infty-\infty∞−∞).

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem 13.1, one sign

(∀ rectangles: qij≥0) ∨ (∀ rectangles: qij≤0).\Bigl(\forall\,\text{rectangles: } q_{ij}\ge0\Bigr)\ \lor\ \Bigl(\forall\,\text{rectangles: } q_{ij}\le0\Bigr).(∀rectangles: qij​≥0) ∨ (∀rectangles: qij​≤0).

The goal leaves the sign open. Which sign occurs depends on the whole network: in the book's Fig. 13.3, removing a third arc turns p12=1p_{12}=1p12​=1 into p12=−1p_{12}=-1p12​=−1.

Milestones

  1. Eq. (13.1). vˉ=min⁡{c(X,Xˉ):S⊆X, T∩X=∅}\bar v=\min\{c(X,\bar X): S\subseteq X,\ T\cap X=\emptyset\}vˉ=min{c(X,Xˉ):S⊆X, T∩X=∅}, the max-flow min-cut theorem for several sources and sinks.
  2. Eq. (13.2). vˉi(ξ)=min⁡[vˉi(0)+ξ, vˉi(∞)]\bar v_i(\xi)=\min[\bar v_i(0)+\xi,\ \bar v_i(\infty)]vˉi​(ξ)=min[vˉi​(0)+ξ, vˉi​(∞)] for ξ∈[0,∞]\xi\in[0,\infty]ξ∈[0,∞].
  3. Eq. (13.4). vˉij(ξ,η)=min⁡[vˉij(0,0)+ξ+η, vˉij(0,∞)+ξ, vˉij(∞,0)+η, vˉij(∞,∞)]\bar v_{ij}(\xi,\eta)=\min[\bar v_{ij}(0,0)+\xi+\eta,\ \bar v_{ij}(0,\infty)+\xi,\ \bar v_{ij}(\infty,0)+\eta,\ \bar v_{ij}(\infty,\infty)]vˉij​(ξ,η)=min[vˉij​(0,0)+ξ+η, vˉij​(0,∞)+ξ, vˉij​(∞,0)+η, vˉij​(∞,∞)].
  4. Corollary 13.2. If pij>0p_{ij}>0pij​>0 (including +∞+\infty+∞), qijq_{ij}qij​ is sometimes >0>0>0 and never <0<0<0. If pij=0p_{ij}=0pij​=0 or pijp_{ij}pij​ is indeterminate, qij≡0q_{ij}\equiv0qij​≡0. If pij<0p_{ij}<0pij​<0, qijq_{ij}qij​ is sometimes <0<0<0 and never >0>0>0.
  5. Theorem 13.3. qij≥0q_{ij}\ge0qij​≥0 when the terminal node of AiA_iAi​ is the initial node of AjA_jAj​. qij≤0q_{ij}\le0qij​≤0 when AiA_iAi​ and AjA_jAj​ share their initial node. qij≥0q_{ij}\ge0qij​≥0 when AiA_iAi​ starts at a source and AjA_jAj​ ends at a sink.
  6. Corollary 13.4. qij≤0q_{ij}\le0qij​≤0 when AiA_iAi​ and AjA_jAj​ share their terminal node, when both start at sources, or when both end at sinks.

Corollary 13.2 refines the goal by naming the sign. Theorem 13.3 and Corollary 13.4 fix the sign from positions alone.

Significance

Theorem 13.1 says that the cross effect of two capacities on the maximal flow value never changes sign. The marginal value of capacity on one arc is monotone in the capacity of the other, in a direction fixed once and for all by the network. Corollary 13.2 reduces that direction to a single number computed from four maximal-flow values at the corners 000 and ∞\infty∞. Theorem 13.3 and Corollary 13.4 show that some directions are forced by position: arcs in series reinforce, and arcs that compete at a common node interfere. These facts underlie sensitivity analysis of maximal flows. They are also the two-parameter case of the lattice and submodularity structure of minimal cuts.

The theorems were proved by Shapley and printed with proofs by Ford and Fulkerson (RAND, 1962). Their proofs argue from a picture of how the regions of linearity of vˉij\bar v_{ij}vˉij​ can sit in the quadrant (Fig. 13.2). No machine-checked proof of any statement of Section 13 exists on Prove2Me. Proved max-flow min-cut statements exist there for a single source and sink and in other conventions, and are related to milestone 1 rather than identical to it. Formalizing the section gives a checked account of the parametric behaviour of the maximal flow value. That includes the infinite capacities the section allows, and the indeterminate case of pijp_{ij}pij​, which a picture handles only informally.

Difficulty

The first idea is to read the sign off formula (13.4): vˉij\bar v_{ij}vˉij​ is the minimum of four affine functions, so its mixed second difference is determined by which pieces are active at the four corners of a rectangle. A minimum of four arbitrary affine functions, however, can have mixed differences of both signs. The claim depends on constraints that the four corner values satisfy because they come from one network, and on how the regions of linearity can meet. The book's proof uses a case analysis of these configurations: at most one diagonal boundary segment, and its slope fixed by pijp_{ij}pij​. Making that analysis rigorous, including the degenerate configurations where regions are empty or corner values are infinite, is the core of the goal and of Corollary 13.2.

Milestone 1 also has to be established in the several-source form, with arcs allowed to enter sources and to leave sinks, where the reduction to a single source and sink must respect flows whose sources have net inflow.

Formalization scope

Nodes form a finite type with decidable equality; arcs are a finite set of ordered pairs without loops; sources and sinks are disjoint finite sets, either of which may be empty (then vˉ≡0\bar v\equiv0vˉ≡0 and every statement holds trivially, as in the book). Capacities of the fixed arcs are finite nonnegative reals. The two varied capacities and every maximal flow value lie in [0,∞][0,\infty][0,∞] (ℝ≥0∞). A flow is a real function vanishing off the arcs, and the maximal flow value is the supremum of flow values in [0,∞][0,\infty][0,∞]. That supremum is taken over a nonempty set (the zero flow), so it is never a default value, and it is ∞\infty∞ exactly when flow values are unbounded. The maximal flow value is not defined as a minimum cut capacity; equality with the minimum cut is milestone 1.

The difference quotient is taken at finite real arguments over every rectangle with ξ,η,ξ+h,η+k≥0\xi,\eta,\xi+h,\eta+k\ge0ξ,η,ξ+h,η+k≥0 and hk≠0hk\neq0hk=0; hhh and kkk may be negative. The book prints the third term of (13.12) as vˉij(ξ,η+h)\bar v_{ij}(\xi,\eta+h)vˉij​(ξ,η+h). The rectangle the theorem names needs vˉij(ξ,η+k)\bar v_{ij}(\xi,\eta+k)vˉij​(ξ,η+k), which is the formalized quotient; with the printed term the claim already fails for two arcs in series. The constant pijp_{ij}pij​ is a four-way value (indeterminate, +∞+\infty+∞, −∞-\infty−∞, real), so ∞−∞\infty-\infty∞−∞ is never silently assigned a number.

"Of one sign" is formalized as one sign for all rectangles at once. The rectangle-by-rectangle reading, under which every real number is trivially ≥0\ge0≥0 or ≤0\le0≤0, is ruled out.

A complete development needs flows with several sources and sinks, cuts, and the max-flow min-cut theorem in that form; the definitions here are self-contained and reusable for any parametric max-flow statement. Contributions of the general piecewise-linear structure of vˉ\bar vvˉ in one or two capacities are welcome.

Selected references

  • L. R. Ford, Jr. and D. R. Fulkerson, Flows in Networks, The RAND Corporation, Report R-375-PR, 1962, Chapter I, §§7 and 13; published by Princeton University Press, 1962. https://doi.org/10.1515/9781400875184
  • L. R. Ford, Jr. and D. R. Fulkerson, Maximal flow through a network, Canadian Journal of Mathematics 8 (1956), 399–404. https://doi.org/10.4153/CJM-1956-045-5
  • D. M. Topkis, Minimizing a submodular function on a lattice, Operations Research 26 (1978), 305–321. https://doi.org/10.1287/opre.26.2.305
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