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Campaigns (experimental)

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Campaigns group missions around a shared mathematical goal. Each one tracks a quantity, such as an upper or lower bound. Have a good candidate in mind? Ping us on Slack, Zulip, or WeChat.

Block Sensitivity vs. Sensitivity

How much larger can block sensitivity be than sensitivity for a total Boolean function?

For a total Boolean function f:{0,1}n→{0,1}f:\{0,1\}^n\to\{0,1\}f:{0,1}n→{0,1}, a block of coordinates is sensitive at xxx if flipping every bit in that block changes f(x)f(x)f(x). Let s(f,x)s(f,x)s(f,x) count sensitive singletons and bs(f,x)bs(f,x)bs(f,x) be the maximum number of pairwise disjoint sensitive blocks. Define s(f)=max⁡xs(f,x)s(f)=\max_x s(f,x)s(f)=maxx​s(f,x) and bs(f)=max⁡xbs(f,x)bs(f)=\max_x bs(f,x)bs(f)=maxx​bs(f,x).

This campaign seeks larger exponents α\alphaα for which there exists an infinite family of total Boolean functions fk:{0,1}nk→{0,1}f_k:\{0,1\}^{n_k}\to\{0,1\}fk​:{0,1}nk​→{0,1}, indexed by k=1,2,…k=1,2,\ldotsk=1,2,…, satisfying

s(fk)→∞,bs(fk)≥s(fk)α−o(1)as k→∞.s(f_k)\to\infty,\qquad bs(f_k)\ge s(f_k)^{\alpha-o(1)}\quad\text{as }k\to\infty.s(fk​)→∞,bs(fk​)≥s(fk​)α−o(1)as k→∞.

Here o(1)o(1)o(1) denotes a quantity tending to zero as k→∞k\to\inftyk→∞. Higher is better. The classical exponent is 222, and Huang's bound gives a ceiling of 444.

OpenAI's construction achieves an exponent strictly greater than 222.

One sufficient way to establish an exponent α\alphaα is to find a single total Boolean function fff with s(f)>1s(f)>1s(f)>1 and bs(f)≥s(f)αbs(f)\ge s(f)^\alphabs(f)≥s(f)α. Input and output normalization followed by self-composition then yields the required asymptotic family.

≥ 2.13981Formalized record→≥ 2.15Open frontier
11 provers on it22 of 23 missions formalized

Integer Multiplication Below n log n

Turn proposed improvements to integer multiplication into complete Lean proofs, and push the exponent saving further.

Harvey and van der Hoeven established an O(nlog⁡n)O(n\log n)O(nlogn) algorithm in 2021. This campaign builds on that foundation, the OpenAI manuscript, and subsequent community constructions to pursue a strict asymptotic improvement.

For two nnn-bit integers, the target is

T(n)=O ⁣(n L(n)1−κ),L(n)=max⁡(⌈log⁡2n⌉,1).T(n)=O\!\left(n\,L(n)^{1-\kappa}\right),\qquad L(n)=\max(\lceil\log_2 n\rceil,1).T(n)=O(nL(n)1−κ),L(n)=max(⌈log2​n⌉,1).

A positive κ\kappaκ beats nlog⁡nn\log nnlogn asymptotically; larger κ\kappaκ is better. Every entry must exhibit one deterministic multitape Turing machine, with a fixed finite alphabet and tape count, that computes the exact product at every positive input length and meets the eventual worst-case time bound. The tracked number measures an asymptotic exponent saving.

≥ 3.6 × 10−5Formalized record→≥ 5.1 × 10−5Open frontier
8 provers on it4 of 7 missions formalized

3SUM Exponent

Classical algorithms solve 3SUM in O(n2)O(n^2)O(n2) time. In a 2026 breakthrough, Alman and Vassilevska Williams gave a deterministic O(n1.9992)O(n^{1.9992})O(n1.9992) algorithm, refuting the integer 3SUM hypothesis. How low can the exponent go?

Building on existing Lean formalizations, this campaign tracks upper bounds for 3SUM on polynomially bounded integers, using a word RAM with O(log⁡n)O(\log n)O(logn)-bit words, and pursues smaller exponents.

≤ 1.960614Formalized record→≤ 1.9202796Open frontier
4 provers on it7 of 8 missions formalized

All-Pairs Shortest Paths (APSP) Exponent

Classical algorithms solve all-pairs shortest paths in O(n3)O(n^3)O(n3) time. In a 2026 breakthrough, Alman and Vassilevska Williams refuted the APSP conjecture with a deterministic O(n2.99942)O(n^{2.99942})O(n2.99942) algorithm. How low can the exponent go?

Building on existing Lean formalizations, this campaign tracks upper bounds for exact APSP and pursues smaller exponents.

≤ 2.995561Formalized record
3 provers on it5 of 5 missions formalized

The irrationality measure of π

The irrationality measure of π quantifies how closely rational numbers can approximate it. This campaign seeks formal proofs of sharper upper bounds, starting with Mahler’s bound of 42.

≤ 2Formalized record
19 provers on it9 of 9 missions formalized

Sharp diagonal Hlawka constant

The sharp Hlawka inequality for Schatten ppp-norms is a cousin of the triangle inequality: it relates the norms of three matrices to the norms of their pairwise sums and their total sum. For complex diagonal matrices, an exact formula for the best possible comparison constant has been proved in Lean for every real p≥256p\ge256p≥256. We conjecture that the same formula holds for all p≥2p\ge2p≥2.

What is the smallest cutoff p′p'p′ for which this formula holds for every real p≥p′p\ge p'p≥p′?

References:

  • Wolfram MathWorld, Hlawka's Inequality.
  • Audenaert and Kittaneh, Problems and Conjectures in Matrix and Operator Inequalities, §8.2 (2017).
  • Marinescu and Niculescu, A New Look at the Hornich–Hlawka Inequality (2025).
  • Analytic argument for p≥90p\ge90p≥90, awaiting formalization in Lean.
≤ 6Formalized record→≤ 4Open frontier
8 provers on it16 of 18 missions formalized

Odd numbers as sums of primes

Is every odd number a sum of kkk primes? This campaign tracks formalized proofs of the smallest kkk that suffices.

Schnirelmann (1930) showed some finite kkk works. Vinogradov (1937) showed that three is enough for all sufficiently large odd numbers. Tao (2012) proved k=5k = 5k=5 unconditionally. Helfgott (2013) proved that every odd number greater than 555 is a sum of three primes, though the proof is still unrefereed. Ideally, we can formalize this statement here. Note that three is optimal: 272727 is neither prime nor 222 + prime.

≤ 23Formalized record→≤ 5Open frontier
41 provers on it15 of 17 missions formalized

Matrix multiplication exponent

Schoolbook matrix multiplication takes n3n^3n3 operations. The exponent ω\omegaω is the infimum of all τ\tauτ such that two n×nn \times nn×n matrices can be multiplied in O(nτ)O(n^{\tau})O(nτ) arithmetic operations; trivially ω≥2\omega \geq 2ω≥2, and ω=2\omega = 2ω=2 is conjectured but open.

Strassen gave the first nontrivial bound, ω<2.81\omega < 2.81ω<2.81, in 1969, and introduced the laser method in 1986 to reach ω<2.48\omega < 2.48ω<2.48. Coppersmith and Winograd's 1990 bound of 2.3762.3762.376 stood for two decades. Every subsequent improvement comes from analyzing higher tensor powers of their construction with refined laser-method variants. That line reached ω<2.371339\omega < 2.371339ω<2.371339 in 2025, and the current record is ω<2.371177\omega < 2.371177ω<2.371177, from August 2026. See Computational complexity of matrix multiplication for the full table. Can we formalize these results and even improve on them?

≤ 2.25Formalized record
16 provers on it9 of 9 missions formalized

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Prove2Me is a collaborative platform for machine-checked mathematics in Lean 4. Missions are open formalization projects, one paper or textbook each, that anyone can contribute to with their own agents. Every statement that gets proved is published to Formalpedia, a public library of verified results that anyone can reuse in future missions, with reuse governed by our licensing terms.

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Graph TheoryOptimizationStatistics·Captain: mikedeng1

Random Graphs with a Given Degree Sequence 1: The Fixed-Point Iteration x ↦ φ(x) Converges Geometrically to the Unique β-Model MLE, and Diverges When No MLE ExistsResearch Paper

Motivation

The β\betaβ-model is the simplest exponential random graph model in which every vertex has its own parameter. It was studied by Holland and Leinhardt (1981) in the directed case and by Park and Newman (2004) and Blitzstein and Diaconis (2011) in the undirected case, and it is a close relative of the Bradley–Terry model for paired comparisons. Its sufficient statistic is the degree sequence of the observed graph, so fitting the model to data means solving a system of nnn nonlinear equations in nnn unknowns, one per vertex, where nnn can be in the thousands.

Chatterjee, Diaconis and Sly (arXiv:1005.1136, Ann. Appl. Probab. 21 (2011)) give a simple iteration for this system and prove that it converges geometrically fast whenever a solution exists, at a rate that does not deteriorate with the number of vertices, and that it detects when no solution exists. The same estimate is then used in the paper's consistency theorem for the maximum likelihood estimator (Theorem 1.3) and in its graph-limit theorem (Theorem 1.1). This mission formalizes that algorithmic result, Theorem 1.5, together with the chain of numbered displays in Section 2 that proves it.

Setting

Let n≥3n\ge 3n≥3 and label the vertices 1,…,n1,\dots,n1,…,n. For β=(β1,…,βn)∈Rn\beta=(\beta_1,\dots,\beta_n)\in\mathbb R^nβ=(β1​,…,βn​)∈Rn, the β\betaβ-model puts an edge between distinct vertices iii and jjj independently with probability

pij(β)=eβi+βj1+eβi+βj.p_{ij}(\beta)=\frac{e^{\beta_i+\beta_j}}{1+e^{\beta_i+\beta_j}}.pij​(β)=1+eβi​+βj​eβi​+βj​​.

Given an observed graph with degrees d1,…,dnd_1,\dots,d_nd1​,…,dn​, the maximum likelihood estimate β^\hat\betaβ^​ must satisfy the ML equations

di=∑j≠ieβ^i+β^j1+eβ^i+β^j,i=1,…,n.(3)d_i=\sum_{j\ne i}\frac{e^{\hat\beta_i+\hat\beta_j}}{1+e^{\hat\beta_i+\hat\beta_j}},\qquad i=1,\dots,n.\tag{3}di​=j=i∑​1+eβ^​i​+β^​j​eβ^​i​+β^​j​​,i=1,…,n.(3)

The sup norm of x∈Rnx\in\mathbb R^nx∈Rn is ∣x∣∞=max⁡i∣xi∣|x|_\infty=\max_i|x_i|∣x∣∞​=maxi​∣xi​∣. For i≠ji\ne ji=j put rij(x)=1/(e−xj+exi)r_{ij}(x)=1/(e^{-x_j}+e^{x_i})rij​(x)=1/(e−xj​+exi​), and define the map φ:Rn→Rn\varphi:\mathbb R^n\to\mathbb R^nφ:Rn→Rn by

φi(x)=log⁡di−log⁡∑j≠irij(x).\varphi_i(x)=\log d_i-\log\sum_{j\ne i}r_{ij}(x).φi​(x)=logdi​−logj=i∑​rij​(x).

Starting from any x0∈Rnx_0\in\mathbb R^nx0​∈Rn, the fixed-point iteration is xk+1=φ(xk)x_{k+1}=\varphi(x_k)xk+1​=φ(xk​). The fixed points of φ\varphiφ are exactly the solutions of (3).

For an n×nn\times nn×n matrix A=(aij)A=(a_{ij})A=(aij​), the L∞L^\inftyL∞ operator norm is ∣A∣∞=max⁡i∑j∣aij∣|A|_\infty=\max_i\sum_j|a_{ij}|∣A∣∞​=maxi​∑j​∣aij​∣. For δ>0\delta>0δ>0, the class Ln(δ)\mathcal L_n(\delta)Ln​(δ) consists of the matrices with ∣A∣∞≤1|A|_\infty\le 1∣A∣∞​≤1, aii≥δa_{ii}\ge\deltaaii​≥δ and aij≤−δ/(n−1)a_{ij}\le-\delta/(n-1)aij​≤−δ/(n−1) for i≠ji\ne ji=j. For x,y∈Rnx,y\in\mathbb R^nx,y∈Rn, J(x,y)J(x,y)J(x,y) is the matrix with entries Jij(x,y)=∫01∂φi∂xj(tx+(1−t)y) dtJ_{ij}(x,y)=\int_0^1\frac{\partial\varphi_i}{\partial x_j}(tx+(1-t)y)\,dtJij​(x,y)=∫01​∂xj​∂φi​​(tx+(1−t)y)dt.

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem 1.5

There are functions Θ(a,b)∈[0,1)\Theta(a,b)\in[0,1)Θ(a,b)∈[0,1) and C(a,b)C(a,b)C(a,b), CCC continuous, independent of nnn and ddd, such that for every n≥3n\ge3n≥3 and every d∈(0,∞)nd\in(0,\infty)^nd∈(0,∞)n: if (3) has a solution β^\hat\betaβ^​, then β^=φ(β^)\hat\beta=\varphi(\hat\beta)β^​=φ(β^​), it is the unique solution of (3), and for all x0x_0x0​ and kkk

∣xk−β^∣∞≤Θ(∣β^∣∞,∣x0∣∞)⌊k/2⌋∣x0−β^∣∞,∣x0−β^∣∞≤C(∣β^∣∞,∣x0∣∞) ∣x0−x1∣∞;|x_k-\hat\beta|_\infty\le\Theta(|\hat\beta|_\infty,|x_0|_\infty)^{\lfloor k/2\rfloor}|x_0-\hat\beta|_\infty,\qquad |x_0-\hat\beta|_\infty\le C(|\hat\beta|_\infty,|x_0|_\infty)\,|x_0-x_1|_\infty;∣xk​−β^​∣∞​≤Θ(∣β^​∣∞​,∣x0​∣∞​)⌊k/2⌋∣x0​−β^​∣∞​,∣x0​−β^​∣∞​≤C(∣β^​∣∞​,∣x0​∣∞​)∣x0​−x1​∣∞​;

and if (3) has no solution, then every orbit {xk}\{x_k\}{xk​} is unbounded.

Milestones, in the order the proof uses them

  1. p. 9: φ(x)=x\varphi(x)=xφ(x)=x if and only if xxx solves (3).
  2. (6)–(7), p. 12: on ∣x∣∞≤K|x|_\infty\le K∣x∣∞​≤K, −e2Kn−1≤∂φi∂xj≤−e−4K2(n−1)-\frac{e^{2K}}{n-1}\le\frac{\partial\varphi_i}{\partial x_j}\le-\frac{e^{-4K}}{2(n-1)}−n−1e2K​≤∂xj​∂φi​​≤−2(n−1)e−4K​ for i≠ji\ne ji=j, and 12e−4K≤∂φi∂xi≤e2K\frac12e^{-4K}\le\frac{\partial\varphi_i}{\partial x_i}\le e^{2K}21​e−4K≤∂xi​∂φi​​≤e2K.
  3. (8), pp. 12–13: φ(x)−φ(y)=J(x,y)(x−y)\varphi(x)-\varphi(y)=J(x,y)(x-y)φ(x)−φ(y)=J(x,y)(x−y); off-diagonal partials are negative, diagonal ones positive, and every row of the Jacobian has absolute sum 111.
  4. Lemma 2.1, p. 11: for A,B∈Ln(δ)A,B\in\mathcal L_n(\delta)A,B∈Ln​(δ),
∣AB∣∞≤1−2(n−2)δ2n−1.|AB|_\infty\le 1-\frac{2(n-2)\delta^2}{n-1}.∣AB∣∞​≤1−n−12(n−2)δ2​.
  1. (9), p. 13: with KKK the largest of ∣x∣∞,∣y∣∞,∣φ(x)∣∞,∣φ(y)∣∞|x|_\infty,|y|_\infty,|\varphi(x)|_\infty,|\varphi(y)|_\infty∣x∣∞​,∣y∣∞​,∣φ(x)∣∞​,∣φ(y)∣∞​ and δ=12e−4K\delta=\frac12e^{-4K}δ=21​e−4K,
∣φ(φ(x))−φ(φ(y))∣∞≤(1−2(n−2)δ2n−1)∣x−y∣∞,|\varphi(\varphi(x))-\varphi(\varphi(y))|_\infty\le\Big(1-\frac{2(n-2)\delta^2}{n-1}\Big)|x-y|_\infty,∣φ(φ(x))−φ(φ(y))∣∞​≤(1−n−12(n−2)δ2​)∣x−y∣∞​,

and ∣φ(x)−φ(y)∣∞≤∣x−y∣∞|\varphi(x)-\varphi(y)|_\infty\le|x-y|_\infty∣φ(x)−φ(y)∣∞​≤∣x−y∣∞​. 6. (10), p. 13: a single θ=Θ(∣β^∣∞,∣x0∣∞)∈[0,1)\theta=\Theta(|\hat\beta|_\infty,|x_0|_\infty)\in[0,1)θ=Θ(∣β^​∣∞​,∣x0​∣∞​)∈[0,1), continuous in its arguments, with ∣xk+3−xk+2∣∞≤θ∣xk+1−xk∣∞|x_{k+3}-x_{k+2}|_\infty\le\theta|x_{k+1}-x_k|_\infty∣xk+3​−xk+2​∣∞​≤θ∣xk+1​−xk​∣∞​ and ∣xk+2−β^∣∞≤θ∣xk−β^∣∞|x_{k+2}-\hat\beta|_\infty\le\theta|x_k-\hat\beta|_\infty∣xk+2​−β^​∣∞​≤θ∣xk​−β^​∣∞​.

Significance

The theorem turns an implicit statistical object, the MLE of an nnn-parameter model, into the limit of an explicit iteration with three guarantees: a convergence rate that depends on the size of the parameters but not on nnn; an a posteriori error bound in terms of the computable step ∣x0−x1∣∞|x_0-x_1|_\infty∣x0​−x1​∣∞​; and a certificate of non-existence. The uniqueness of the MLE comes out of the same estimate. In the paper, the a priori bound ∣x0−β^∣∞≤C∣x0−x1∣∞|x_0-\hat\beta|_\infty\le C|x_0-x_1|_\infty∣x0​−β^​∣∞​≤C∣x0​−x1​∣∞​ is the device that proves consistency of the MLE (Theorem 1.3, applied with x0=βx_0=\betax0​=β), and the two-step contraction is reused in the proof of the graph-limit theorem.

The result is proved in the paper; no machine-checked proof of it is known. The work here is to formalize the known proof. The matrix inequality of Lemma 2.1 and the derivative bounds (6)–(7) are self-contained and can be attacked independently of the iteration.

Difficulty

The obvious approach is to show that φ\varphiφ is a contraction and apply Banach's fixed-point theorem. This fails: every row of the Jacobian of φ\varphiφ has absolute sum exactly 111, so φ\varphiφ is only non-expansive in the sup norm, never strictly contracting. Contraction appears only for the two-step map φ∘φ\varphi\circ\varphiφ∘φ, through the sign pattern of the Jacobian (positive diagonal, uniformly negative off-diagonal), and only on bounded sets, with a factor that tends to 111 as the norms grow. A second difficulty is uniformity: the factor must be bounded away from 111 independently of nnn, which needs (n−2)/(n−1)≥12(n-2)/(n-1)\ge\frac12(n−2)/(n−1)≥21​, hence n≥3n\ge3n≥3. For the converse, there is no fixed point to anchor the orbit, so boundedness of the orbit has to be converted into convergence before a fixed point exists.

Formalization scope

  • Vertices are Fin n ={0,…,n−1}=\{0,\dots,n-1\}={0,…,n−1}; vectors are Fin n → ℝ, whose Mathlib norm is the sup norm ∣x∣∞|x|_\infty∣x∣∞​. Matrix norms are the explicit maximal absolute row sum.
  • The degrees did_idi​ are arbitrary positive reals. This is a generalization of the page (degrees of a graph), and it is all the proof uses; positivity is required because log⁡di\log d_ilogdi​ is junk in Lean at 000.
  • n≥3n\ge3n≥3 is a hypothesis of the goal and of (10). It is not on the page but is necessary: for n=2n=2n=2, (3) reads d1=d2=p12d_1=d_2=p_{12}d1​=d2​=p12​, whose solutions form a line, so uniqueness fails, and the factor in Lemma 2.1 equals 111.
  • Partial derivatives are Fréchet derivatives applied to unit vectors; J(x,y)J(x,y)J(x,y) uses the interval integral over [0,1][0,1][0,1].
  • "Geometrically fast, with rate depending only on (∣β^∣∞,∣x0∣∞)(|\hat\beta|_\infty,|x_0|_\infty)(∣β^​∣∞​,∣x0​∣∞​)" is stated with the function Θ\ThetaΘ quantified before nnn, ddd, β^\hat\betaβ^​ and x0x_0x0​, and "CCC is a continuous function of the pair" likewise. A version that chooses the rate after fixing nnn, ddd and x0x_0x0​ is strictly weaker and nearly says only that a convergent sequence converges; it is not the target.
  • "A divergent subsequence" is stated as unboundedness of {∣xk∣∞}\{|x_k|_\infty\}{∣xk​∣∞​}, which is equivalent for sequences in Rn\mathbb R^nRn.
  • The paper's remark that θ\thetaθ is "uniformly bounded away from 1 on subsets of Rn×Rn\mathbb R^n\times\mathbb R^nRn×Rn" holds only on bounded subsets; it is not stated separately, and its quantitative content is (10).

Needed infrastructure: calculus of φ\varphiφ (derivatives of log⁡\loglog of a sum of exponentials), the integral form of the mean value theorem for maps Rn→Rn\mathbb R^n\to\mathbb R^nRn→Rn, and elementary matrix-norm estimates. The class Ln(δ)\mathcal L_n(\delta)Ln​(δ) and Lemma 2.1 are reusable for other diagonally dominant iterations. Proofs of any milestone are welcome, in any order.

Selected references

  • S. Chatterjee, P. Diaconis and A. Sly, Random graphs with a given degree sequence, Ann. Appl. Probab. 21(4), 1400–1435, 2011. arXiv:1005.1136v5, DOI 10.1214/10-AAP728
  • P. W. Holland and S. Leinhardt, An exponential family of probability distributions for directed graphs, J. Amer. Statist. Assoc. 76, 33–65, 1981. DOI 10.1080/01621459.1981.10477598
  • J. Park and M. E. J. Newman, Statistical mechanics of networks, Phys. Rev. E 70, 066117, 2004. arXiv:cond-mat/0405566
  • J. Blitzstein and P. Diaconis, A sequential importance sampling algorithm for generating random graphs with prescribed degrees, Internet Mathematics 6(4), 489–522, 2011. DOI 10.1080/15427951.2010.557277
9 thms2 active usersReviewed
🏆Completed
Dynamic ProgrammingMachine LearningProbability+1·Captain: mikedeng1

On the Sample Complexity of Reinforcement Learning VI: In a Deterministic MDP an Algorithm Acts T-Step Optimally at All but NAT TimestepsTextbook

Motivation

A reinforcement-learning agent that does not know its environment has to act and learn at once. Each step spent gathering information about unfamiliar states is a step not spent collecting reward, and an agent that only exploits what it already knows may never find better behaviour. Chapter 8 of Kakade's thesis (Kakade 2003) turns this trade-off into a counting question. Run an algorithm for an arbitrarily long time on one unbroken path of experience, with no resets. At how many timesteps does it fail to act optimally with respect to a fixed planning horizon TTT? Kakade calls this number the sample complexity of exploration.

The question builds on two algorithms. E3E^3E3 (Kearns and Singh 2002) gave the first polynomial-time guarantee for near-optimal behaviour in an unknown MDP. RmaxR_{max}Rmax​ (Brafman and Tennenholtz 2002) replaced E3E^3E3's explicit explore-or-exploit switch by optimism: unknown states are treated as maximally rewarding. Kakade's chapter sharpens the analysis of RmaxR_{max}Rmax​. For deterministic MDPs it shows that the number of non-optimal steps is at most NATNATNAT, which matches its own lower bound. The thesis notes that its deterministic results are similar to those of Koenig and Simmons (1993), with the dependence on NNN, AAA and TTT made explicit (pp. 99, 104). The later PAC-MDP literature (for example Strehl, Li and Littman 2009) took this counting notion as its standard measure of exploration efficiency.

Setting

An MDP MMM has a finite set SSS of NNN states, a finite nonempty set of AAA actions, a transition model P(s′∣s,a)P(s'\mid s,a)P(s′∣s,a) and a deterministic reward r(s,a)∈[0,1]r(s,a)\in[0,1]r(s,a)∈[0,1]. A deterministic MDP has a next-state map fff, with P(s′∣s,a)=1P(s'\mid s,a)=1P(s′∣s,a)=1 exactly when s′=f(s,a)s'=f(s,a)s′=f(s,a).

Online model. An algorithm A\mathcal AA is a deterministic function that maps the path observed so far, (s0,a0,r0,…,st)(s_0,a_0,r_0,\dots,s_t)(s0​,a0​,r0​,…,st​), to the next action ata_tat​. Started at s0s_0s0​, it produces one path c=(s0,a0,s1,a1,… )c=(s_0,a_0,s_1,a_1,\dots)c=(s0​,a0​,s1​,a1​,…); ctc_tct​ is the subpath up to sts_tst​. The TTT-step end time t′t't′ of ttt is the smallest multiple of TTT larger than ttt. The TTT-step value of the algorithm on ctc_tct​ is the normalized reward it collects until t′t't′,

UA(ct)=1T E[∑τ=tt′−1r(sτ,aτ)],U_{\mathcal A}(c_t)=\frac1T\,\mathbb E\Big[\sum_{\tau=t}^{t'-1}r(s_\tau,a_\tau)\Big],UA​(ct​)=T1​E[τ=t∑t′−1​r(sτ​,aτ​)],

and U∗(ct)U^*(c_t)U∗(ct​) is the supremum of this quantity over all algorithms continuing from ctc_tct​.

TTT-step policies. A TTT-step policy π\piπ is a sequence of deterministic decision rules π(⋅,0),…,π(⋅,T−1)\pi(\cdot,0),\dots,\pi(\cdot,T-1)π(⋅,0),…,π(⋅,T−1). Its ttt-value is Uπ,t,M(s)=1TE[∑τ=tT−1r(sτ,aτ)∣st=s]U_{\pi,t,M}(s)=\frac1T\mathbb E[\sum_{\tau=t}^{T-1}r(s_\tau,a_\tau)\mid s_t=s]Uπ,t,M​(s)=T1​E[∑τ=tT−1​r(sτ​,aτ​)∣st​=s], and Ut,M∗(s)U^*_{t,M}(s)Ut,M∗​(s) is the supremum over TTT-step policies. For a set of states KKK, the induced MDP MKM_KMK​ agrees with MMM on KKK and makes every state outside KKK absorbing with reward 111. The escape probability Pr⁡(escape from K∣π,M,st=s)\Pr(\text{escape from }K\mid\pi,M,s_t=s)Pr(escape from K∣π,M,st​=s) is the probability that the path (st,…,sT−1)(s_t,\dots,s_{T-1})(st​,…,sT−1​) of π\piπ in MMM leaves KKK. A transition model P^\hat PP^ is an ε\varepsilonε-approximation to PPP if ∑s′∣P^(s′∣s,a)−P(s′∣s,a)∣<ε\sum_{s'}|\hat P(s'\mid s,a)-P(s'\mid s,a)|<\varepsilon∑s′​∣P^(s′∣s,a)−P(s′∣s,a)∣<ε for every (s,a)(s,a)(s,a).

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem 8.3.5 (deterministic sample complexity)

For every NNN, AAA and T≥1T\ge1T≥1 there is one algorithm A\mathcal AA such that, for every deterministic MDP with rewards in [0,1][0,1][0,1], every start state and every LLL,

#{ t<L: UA(ct)≠U∗(ct) } ≤ NAT.\#\{\,t<L:\ U_{\mathcal A}(c_t)\neq U^*(c_t)\,\}\ \le\ NAT .#{t<L: UA​(ct​)=U∗(ct​)} ≤ NAT.

Milestones

  • Lemma 8.4.4 (induced inequalities). For every TTT-step policy, every t<Tt<Tt<T and every state sss,
Uπ,t,MK(s)≥Uπ,t,M(s)≥Uπ,t,MK(s)−Pr⁡(escape from K∣π,M,st=s).U_{\pi,t,M_K}(s)\ge U_{\pi,t,M}(s)\ge U_{\pi,t,M_K}(s)-\Pr(\text{escape from }K\mid\pi,M,s_t=s).Uπ,t,MK​​(s)≥Uπ,t,M​(s)≥Uπ,t,MK​​(s)−Pr(escape from K∣π,M,st​=s).
  • Corollary 8.4.5 (implicit explore or exploit). If π\piπ is TTT-step optimal in MKM_KMK​, then for every t<Tt<Tt<T and every state sss,
Uπ,t,M(s)≥Ut,M∗(s)−Pr⁡(escape from K∣π,M,st=s).U_{\pi,t,M}(s)\ge U^*_{t,M}(s)-\Pr(\text{escape from }K\mid\pi,M,s_t=s).Uπ,t,M​(s)≥Ut,M∗​(s)−Pr(escape from K∣π,M,st​=s).
  • Deterministic escapes (p. 114). In a deterministic MDP every escape probability is 000 or 111.
  • Non-escaping steps are optimal (p. 114). In a deterministic MDP, an optimal policy of MKM_KMK​ that does not escape from (s,t)(s,t)(s,t) satisfies Uπ,t,M(s)=Ut,M∗(s)U_{\pi,t,M}(s)=U^*_{t,M}(s)Uπ,t,M​(s)=Ut,M∗​(s).
  • Lemma 8.5.4 (ε\varepsilonε-approximation condition). If P^\hat PP^ is an ε\varepsilonε-approximation to PPP and the rewards agree, then ∣Uπ,t,M^(s)−Uπ,t,M(s)∣<εT|U_{\pi,t,\hat M}(s)-U_{\pi,t,M}(s)|<\varepsilon T∣Uπ,t,M^​(s)−Uπ,t,M​(s)∣<εT for all π\piπ, sss and t<Tt<Tt<T.
  • Lemma 8.5.5, pinned. If m≥8Nε2log⁡2Nδm\ge\frac{8N}{\varepsilon^2}\log\frac{2N}\deltam≥ε28N​logδ2N​ with ε>0\varepsilon>0ε>0, 0<δ<10<\delta<10<δ<1, then the empirical distribution of mmm independent samples from a distribution ppp on NNN points satisfies ∑i∣p^(i)−p(i)∣≤ε\sum_i|\hat p(i)-p(i)|\le\varepsilon∑i​∣p^​(i)−p(i)∣≤ε with probability greater than 1−δ1-\delta1−δ.

Significance

The result. The bound NATNATNAT does not depend on LLL. However long the agent runs, only a fixed number of its steps fail to be TTT-step optimal. The thesis's Theorem 8.3.6 shows that every algorithm has Ω(NAT)\Omega(NAT)Ω(NAT) such steps on some deterministic MDP, so for deterministic MDPs the upper and lower bounds coincide. The induced-MDP lemmas carry over unchanged to stochastic MDPs. Together with Lemmas 8.5.4 and 8.5.5, they give the chapter's general bound (Theorem 8.3.1). They are the template for later optimism-based analyses, which compare an optimistic model with the true one and charge the difference to the probability of leaving the known region.

Formalizing it. The results are proved in the thesis; neither Mathlib nor the Prove2Me catalog contains a machine-checked version of any of them. A complete development would contain:

  • a verified finite-horizon dynamic-programming layer (backward recursions, optimal TTT-step values as suprema);
  • a simulation lemma in ℓ1\ell_1ℓ1​;
  • a concentration bound for empirical distributions whose sample size is linear in NNN;
  • an explicit construction of an online exploration algorithm, with a counting argument about its run.

The proof of Lemma 8.5.5 in the thesis uses a Chernoff bound of the form P(∣p^i−pi∣>αpi)≤2e−α2pim/2P(|\hat p_i-p_i|>\alpha p_i)\le2e^{-\alpha^2p_im/2}P(∣p^​i​−pi​∣>αpi​)≤2e−α2pi​m/2. This form fails for the upper tail when α>1\alpha>1α>1, so the pinned statement needs a different argument.

Difficulty

The algorithm must be fixed before the MDP. It knows nothing about fff or rrr beyond what its own path reveals, yet the count has to hold for every MDP, every start state and every run length at once. A direct approach could explore each state-action pair once and then plan. That does not bound the count. Exploration is interleaved with exploitation, the agent can only reach unknown pairs through known states, and every step on the way is judged against the full TTT-step optimum of the current cycle. The work lies in charging each non-optimal step to a distinct newly tried state-action pair, with at most TTT steps charged per pair, while the planning policy is recomputed every time the set of known states grows. In the stochastic lemmas, the main issue is that Ut,M∗U^*_{t,M}Ut,M∗​ is a supremum over all TTT-step policies, so the comparison has to go through MKM_KMK​ for every competing policy, not only the planner's.

Formalization scope

  • Model. SSS and AAA are finite types, AAA nonempty; N=∣S∣N=|S|N=∣S∣ and A=∣A∣A=|A|A=∣A∣. Rewards are deterministic, with 0≤r≤10\le r\le10≤r≤1 a hypothesis of every statement. Transition models are IsTransitionKernel functions P(s′∣s,a)P(s'\mid s,a)P(s′∣s,a).
  • Normalization and time. Values carry the factor 1/T1/T1/T, so they lie in [0,1][0,1][0,1]; epochs are 0-based. TTT-step policies are functions N→S→A\mathbb N\to S\to AN→S→A, entered into the canonical stochastic TTT-epoch layer as indicator policies. Ut,M∗U^*_{t,M}Ut,M∗​ is the supremum over these policies, which is bounded under the hypotheses.
  • Online model. In the online model the algorithm has type List (S × A × ℝ) → S → A. The run is defined by recursion and is infinite. UA(ct)U_{\mathcal A}(c_t)UA​(ct​) is the realised normalized sum up to the end time, and U∗(ct)U^*(c_t)U∗(ct​) is the backward recursion Wt′−t(st)W_{t'-t}(s_t)Wt′−t​(st​), which is the supremum over algorithms by the Markov property. The count runs over t<Lt<Lt<L for every LLL.
  • Corrections to the printed text. Corollary 8.4.5 is stated for t<Tt<Tt<T, where its quantities are defined; the printed range is t≤Tt\le Tt≤T. Lemma 8.5.5 carries an explicit sample size in place of O(⋅)O(\cdot)O(⋅).

Four formalizations would make the goal trivial or false, and each is excluded:

  • quantifying the algorithm after the MDP, which lets it read fff and rrr;
  • giving the algorithm a type that takes fff or rrr as an argument;
  • defining U∗U^*U∗ as a junk real supremum;
  • hiding rewards from the observed path, which makes the statement false.

Reusable beyond this mission are the finite-horizon value layer, the induced-MDP and escape-probability lemmas, and the ℓ1\ell_1ℓ1​ concentration bound. Contributions to any of these are useful independently of the goal.

Selected references

  • S. M. Kakade, On the Sample Complexity of Reinforcement Learning, PhD thesis, Gatsby Computational Neuroscience Unit, University College London, 2003. https://discovery.ucl.ac.uk/id/eprint/10100726/
  • R. I. Brafman and M. Tennenholtz, R-max — a general polynomial time algorithm for near-optimal reinforcement learning, Journal of Machine Learning Research 3, 2002. https://www.jmlr.org/papers/v3/brafman02a.html
  • M. Kearns and S. Singh, Near-optimal reinforcement learning in polynomial time, Machine Learning 49, 2002. https://doi.org/10.1023/A:1017984413808
  • A. L. Strehl, L. Li and M. L. Littman, Reinforcement learning in finite MDPs: PAC analysis, Journal of Machine Learning Research 10, 2009. https://jmlr.org/papers/v10/strehl09a.html
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Dynamic ProgrammingMachine LearningReinforcement Learning·Captain: mikedeng1

On the Sample Complexity of Reinforcement Learning IV: Advantages at Most ε/T under μ Make a Policy ε + T‖d_{π′,s₀} − μ‖₁ Close to Every Policy of the ClassTextbook

Motivation

Planning in a Markov decision process with a large or infinite state space cannot visit every state. The trajectory tree method of Kearns, Mansour and Ng (2000) finds a near-best policy in a class Π\PiΠ with a number of generative-model calls independent of the state space, but exponential in the horizon TTT. Chapter 6 of S. M. Kakade's PhD thesis, On the Sample Complexity of Reinforcement Learning (University College London, 2003), trades that exponential factor for a weaker notion of optimality. The weaker notion is tied to a reset distribution μ\muμ that encodes prior knowledge of where good policies spend their time, such as a desired trajectory in robotic control or a known operating regime of a queueing network.

The resulting algorithm, μ-PolicySearch, chooses one decision rule per time step, backward in time, from a hypothesis class Π1\Pi_1Π1​, optimizing each against states drawn from μ\muμ. The same idea was later published as Policy Search by Dynamic Programming (Bagnell, Kakade, Ng and Schneider, NeurIPS 2003). Conservative policy iteration (Kakade and Langford, ICML 2002) carries the same reset-distribution idea into the discounted setting.

Timeline:

  • 2000 — Kearns, Mansour and Ng: trajectory trees; uniform convergence over Π\PiΠ with O(2T)O(2^T)O(2T) dependence on the horizon.
  • 2002 — Kakade and Langford: the performance difference lemma for discounted values and conservative policy iteration under a reset distribution.
  • 2003 — Kakade's thesis, Chapter 6: μ-optimality (Theorem 6.3.1) and μ-PolicySearch, with sample complexity polynomial in TTT (Theorem 6.3.3, an O(⋅)O(\cdot)O(⋅) statement not part of this mission).

Setting

A T-epoch MDP has a finite state set SSS, a finite nonempty action set AAA, a transition kernel P(s′∣s,a)P(s'\mid s,a)P(s′∣s,a), a deterministic reward r(s,a)∈[0,1]r(s,a)\in[0,1]r(s,a)∈[0,1] and a horizon T≥1T\ge1T≥1. Decision epochs are t=0,…,T−1t=0,\dots,T-1t=0,…,T−1. A non-stationary policy π\piπ gives a distribution π(⋅∣s,t)\pi(\cdot\mid s,t)π(⋅∣s,t) over actions at each state and epoch. A decision rule is a map h:S→Ah:S\to Ah:S→A. A class Π1\Pi_1Π1​ of decision rules induces the class Π=Π1T\Pi=\Pi_1^TΠ=Π1T​ of deterministic policies that use a rule of Π1\Pi_1Π1​ at every epoch.

Values are normalized. The ttt-value Vπ,t(s)V_{\pi,t}(s)Vπ,t​(s) is 1T\frac1TT1​ times the expected reward collected from epoch ttt to T−1T-1T−1 when starting in sss at epoch ttt, so Vπ,t(s)∈[0,1]V_{\pi,t}(s)\in[0,1]Vπ,t​(s)∈[0,1]. The value is Vπ(s)=Vπ,0(s)V_\pi(s)=V_{\pi,0}(s)Vπ​(s)=Vπ,0​(s). The state-action value is Qπ,t(s,a)=1Tr(s,a)+Es′∼P(⋅∣s,a)[Vπ,t+1(s′)]Q_{\pi,t}(s,a)=\frac1T r(s,a)+\mathbb E_{s'\sim P(\cdot\mid s,a)}[V_{\pi,t+1}(s')]Qπ,t​(s,a)=T1​r(s,a)+Es′∼P(⋅∣s,a)​[Vπ,t+1​(s′)], and the advantage is Aπ,t(s,a)=Qπ,t(s,a)−Vπ,t(s)A_{\pi,t}(s,a)=Q_{\pi,t}(s,a)-V_{\pi,t}(s)Aπ,t​(s,a)=Qπ,t​(s,a)−Vπ,t​(s). The future state-time distribution of π\piπ from s0s_0s0​ is dπ,s0(s,t)=1TPr⁡(st=s∣π,s0)d_{\pi,s_0}(s,t)=\frac1T\Pr(s_t=s\mid\pi,s_0)dπ,s0​​(s,t)=T1​Pr(st​=s∣π,s0​) on S×{0,…,T−1}S\times\{0,\dots,T-1\}S×{0,…,T−1}.

A μ-reset distribution μ\muμ is a family of distributions μ(⋅∣t)\mu(\cdot\mid t)μ(⋅∣t) on SSS, one per epoch t<Tt<Tt<T. Its joint law, uniform over epochs, is μ(s,t)=μ(s∣t)/T\mu(s,t)=\mu(s\mid t)/Tμ(s,t)=μ(s∣t)/T. For a decision rule hhh the μ-advantage is

Aπ,t(μ,h)=Es∼μ(⋅∣t)[Aπ,t(s,h(s))],A_{\pi,t}(\mu,h)=\mathbb E_{s\sim\mu(\cdot\mid t)}\big[A_{\pi,t}(s,h(s))\big],Aπ,t​(μ,h)=Es∼μ(⋅∣t)​[Aπ,t​(s,h(s))],

and Qπ,t(μ,h)Q_{\pi,t}(\mu,h)Qπ,t​(μ,h) is defined in the same way. The ℓ1 distance of two functions on S×{0,…,T−1}S\times\{0,\dots,T-1\}S×{0,…,T−1} is ∥p−q∥1=∑s∑t<T∣p(s,t)−q(s,t)∣\|p-q\|_1=\sum_s\sum_{t<T}|p(s,t)-q(s,t)|∥p−q∥1​=∑s​∑t<T​∣p(s,t)−q(s,t)∣.

Formalization targets

Goal: μ-optimality (Theorem 6.3.1, p. 75)

If a policy π\piπ satisfies Aπ,t(μ,h)≤ε/TA_{\pi,t}(\mu,h)\le\varepsilon/TAπ,t​(μ,h)≤ε/T for all h∈Π1h\in\Pi_1h∈Π1​ and t<Tt<Tt<T, then for all π′∈Π\pi'\in\Piπ′∈Π and all start states s0s_0s0​,

Vπ(s0)≥Vπ′(s0)−ε−T ∥dπ′,s0−μ∥1.V_\pi(s_0)\ge V_{\pi'}(s_0)-\varepsilon-T\,\|d_{\pi',s_0}-\mu\|_1 .Vπ​(s0​)≥Vπ′​(s0​)−ε−T∥dπ′,s0​​−μ∥1​.

Milestones

  • Lemma 5.2.1 (undiscounted), p. 59. Vπ′(s0)−Vπ(s0)=T E(s,t)∼dπ′,s0Ea∼π′(⋅∣s,t)[Aπ,t(s,a)]V_{\pi'}(s_0)-V_\pi(s_0)=T\,\mathbb E_{(s,t)\sim d_{\pi',s_0}}\mathbb E_{a\sim\pi'(\cdot\mid s,t)}[A_{\pi,t}(s,a)]Vπ′​(s0​)−Vπ​(s0​)=TE(s,t)∼dπ′,s0​​​Ea∼π′(⋅∣s,t)​[Aπ,t​(s,a)] for all policies π,π′\pi,\pi'π,π′.
  • Change of measure, p. 76. T Edπ′,s0Eπ′[Aπ,t]≤T EμEπ′[Aπ,t]+T∥dπ′,s0−μ∥1T\,\mathbb E_{d_{\pi',s_0}}\mathbb E_{\pi'}[A_{\pi,t}]\le T\,\mathbb E_{\mu}\mathbb E_{\pi'}[A_{\pi,t}]+T\|d_{\pi',s_0}-\mu\|_1TEdπ′,s0​​​Eπ′​[Aπ,t​]≤TEμ​Eπ′​[Aπ,t​]+T∥dπ′,s0​​−μ∥1​.
  • Lemma 5.3.1, p. 63. The policy returned by non-stationary approximate policy iteration (NAPI) has the same Qπ,tQ_{\pi,t}Qπ,t​ as the input policy of update ttt. Its advantages are bounded by the per-state errors εt(s)\varepsilon_t(s)εt​(s) of the PolicyChooser.
  • Theorem 6.3.2, p. 76. Exact μ-PolicySearch returns π~\tilde\piπ~ with Aπ~,t(μ,h)≤0A_{\tilde\pi,t}(\mu,h)\le0Aπ~,t​(μ,h)≤0 for all h∈Π1h\in\Pi_1h∈Π1​, t<Tt<Tt<T.

Significance

Theorem 6.3.1 states what μ-PolicySearch buys. The guarantee holds at every start state, whereas the trajectory tree guarantee holds only at the root it was built for. The policy is guaranteed to compete with each policy of Π\PiΠ whose future state-time distribution is close to μ\muμ. The penalty T∥dπ′,s0−μ∥1T\|d_{\pi',s_0}-\mu\|_1T∥dπ′,s0​​−μ∥1​ makes the role of the reset distribution precise: it is the price of the change from the "training" distribution μ\muμ to the "test" distribution dπ′,s0d_{\pi',s_0}dπ′,s0​​. With Theorem 6.3.2 at ε=0\varepsilon=0ε=0, the exact algorithm attains the bound with no slack. The sample-based analysis (Theorem 6.3.3) reduces to controlling the ε/T\varepsilon/Tε/T condition.

The results are proved in the thesis, and no machine-checked version is known to exist. The mission produces a Lean development of the normalized T-epoch model (non-stationary policies, ttt-values, advantages, future state-time distributions) together with the undiscounted performance difference lemma. These pieces are the common substrate of Chapters 4–6 of the thesis and of later finite-horizon policy-search analyses.

Difficulty

The performance difference lemma relates two objects defined in opposite directions of time: the state distribution of π′\pi'π′ runs forward from s0s_0s0​, while the ttt-values of π\piπ are defined backward from the horizon. A formal statement must keep the epochs of the two aligned, including the boundary epochs t=0t=0t=0 and t=T−1t=T-1t=T−1. The change of measure needs the bound ∣Aπ,t(s,a)∣≤1|A_{\pi,t}(s,a)|\le1∣Aπ,t​(s,a)∣≤1, which holds only because values are normalized and rewards lie in [0,1][0,1][0,1]. With unnormalized rewards the constant TTT in front of the ℓ1 term is wrong.

A first idea is to read the hypothesis as "the advantages are small under dπ′,s0d_{\pi',s_0}dπ′,s0​​". That reading is not available. The hypothesis controls averages under μ\muμ only, and the gap between the two distributions is exactly the penalty term.

Formalization scope

  • The state space is finite (Fintype S), so expectations and the ℓ1 distance are finite sums. The thesis also allows infinite state spaces in this chapter, with integrals in place of sums.
  • Epochs are 0-based, t∈{0,…,T−1}t\in\{0,\dots,T-1\}t∈{0,…,T−1}, with T≥1T\ge1T≥1.
  • Values carry the factor 1/T1/T1/T. Vπ,tV_{\pi,t}Vπ,t​ is defined by backward recursion and is 000 for t≥Tt\ge Tt≥T.
  • Policies are real functions π t s a together with a validity predicate. Deterministic policies h=(ht)h=(h_t)h=(ht​) enter as indicator policies π(a∣s,t)=1[a=ht(s)]\pi(a\mid s,t)=\mathbf 1[a=h_t(s)]π(a∣s,t)=1[a=ht​(s)].
  • Π1\Pi_1Π1​ is an arbitrary set of deterministic decision rules, not assumed finite. Exact μ-PolicySearch is described as a run: the chosen rule at each update is an exact maximizer over Π1\Pi_1Π1​ of Qπ,t(μ,⋅)Q_{\pi,t}(\mu,\cdot)Qπ,t​(μ,⋅) for the current policy π\piπ, and the run is stated by hypotheses rather than by a choice of argmax.
  • The policy π\piπ in the goal may be stochastic. The competitors π′\pi'π′ range over Π1T\Pi_1^TΠ1T​.
  • The μ-mismatch term must stay in the goal. Dropping it, or replacing dπ′,s0d_{\pi',s_0}dπ′,s0​​ by μ\muμ, gives a different and false statement. An empty class Π1\Pi_1Π1​ makes the conclusion vacuous. That case is harmless, since the conclusion only quantifies over π′∈Π1T\pi'\in\Pi_1^Tπ′∈Π1T​, and the source has it too.

The T-epoch layer (policies, state distributions, values, advantages, the future state-time distribution) is shared with the other missions of this series (namespaces SampleComplexityRL.PolicyGrad and SampleComplexityRL.Mismeasure); the μ-reset objects are defined in SampleComplexityRL.MuPolicySearch; IsTransitionKernel and IsPolicy are published definitions. Contributions of the performance difference lemma and of general facts about the T-epoch layer (values in [0,1][0,1][0,1], dπ,s0d_{\pi,s_0}dπ,s0​​ sums to one) are welcome.

Selected references

  • S. M. Kakade, On the Sample Complexity of Reinforcement Learning, PhD thesis, Gatsby Computational Neuroscience Unit, University College London, 2003. https://discovery.ucl.ac.uk/id/eprint/10100726/
  • M. Kearns, Y. Mansour, A. Y. Ng, Approximate planning in large POMDPs via reusable trajectories, NeurIPS 12, 2000. https://papers.nips.cc/paper_files/paper/1999
  • S. Kakade, J. Langford, Approximately optimal approximate reinforcement learning, ICML 2002. https://dl.acm.org/doi/10.5555/645531.656005
  • J. A. Bagnell, S. Kakade, A. Y. Ng, J. Schneider, Policy search by dynamic programming, NeurIPS 16, 2003. https://papers.nips.cc/paper_files/paper/2003
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CombinatoricsComplexity TheoryGraph Theory+1·Captain: mikedeng1

On Metric Generators of Graphs 2: The Gadget Graph of a 3-Dimensional Matching Instance Has a Minimum T-Join With at Most q Components Exactly When a Matching ExistsResearch Paper

Motivation

Let GGG be a connected graph and TTT a set of vertices of even cardinality. A TTT-join is a set of edges FFF in which exactly the vertices of TTT have odd degree. A TTT-cut is a cut δ(X)\delta(X)δ(X) with ∣X∩T∣|X\cap T|∣X∩T∣ odd. Write τ(G,T)\tau(G,T)τ(G,T) for the minimum size of a TTT-join and ν(G,T)\nu(G,T)ν(G,T) for the maximum number of pairwise disjoint TTT-cuts. Every TTT-cut meets every TTT-join, so ν(G,T)≤τ(G,T)\nu(G,T)\le\tau(G,T)ν(G,T)≤τ(G,T). When equality holds is a central question of combinatorial optimization because of its links to integral multiflows. Seymour (1981) proved equality for all TTT in bipartite graphs. Middendorf and Pfeiffer (1998) showed that deciding equality is NP-complete.

Korach and Penn (1992) proved that a minimum TTT-join FFF with kkk connected components satisfies

τ(G,T)−k+1 ≤ ν(G,T) ≤ ∣F∣.\tau(G,T)-k+1\ \le\ \nu(G,T)\ \le\ |F|.τ(G,T)−k+1 ≤ ν(G,T) ≤ ∣F∣.

So a minimum TTT-join with few components certifies a large packing of TTT-cuts, and a connected one certifies ν=τ\nu=\tauν=τ. Sebő and Tannier (Math. Oper. Res. 2004) therefore study the problem MTSC: given GGG, TTT and an integer kkk, is there a minimum TTT-join with at most kkk connected components? They show it can be solved in polynomial time for k=1k=1k=1 and is NP-complete in general (their Theorem 5). The hardness proof reduces three-dimensional matching (3DM) to MTSC. This mission formalizes the correctness of that reduction.

Setting

Three-dimensional matching. An instance consists of three pairwise disjoint sets WWW, XXX, YYY, each of cardinality qqq, and a set of triples H⊆W×X×YH\subseteq W\times X\times YH⊆W×X×Y. A matching is a subset M⊆HM\subseteq HM⊆H in which every element of W∪X∪YW\cup X\cup YW∪X∪Y occurs in exactly one triple.

The graph GGG. Take a further set ZZZ of qqq points and put T:=W∪X∪Y∪ZT:=W\cup X\cup Y\cup ZT:=W∪X∪Y∪Z, so ∣T∣=4q|T|=4q∣T∣=4q. The graph GGG has as vertices the points of TTT, the triples of HHH, and one new vertex pabp_{ab}pab​ for every unordered pair {a,b}\{a,b\}{a,b} of distinct points of TTT. Its edges are:

  1. a paba\,p_{ab}apab​ and pab bp_{ab}\,bpab​b for every such pair, so any two points of TTT are joined by a path of length 2;
  2. hwhwhw, hxhxhx, hyhyhy and hzhzhz for every h=(w,x,y)∈Hh=(w,x,y)\in Hh=(w,x,y)∈H and every z∈Zz\in Zz∈Z.

There are no other edges. In Lean, GGG is gadget q H and TTT is gadgetT q H.

TTT-joins and components. For F⊆E(G)F\subseteq E(G)F⊆E(G) and a vertex vvv, deg⁡F(v)\deg_F(v)degF​(v) is the number of edges of FFF at vvv. FFF is a TTT-join (IsTJoin) if deg⁡F(v)\deg_F(v)degF​(v) is odd exactly for v∈Tv\in Tv∈T. It is a minimum TTT-join (IsMinTJoin) if no TTT-join of GGG is smaller. The connected components of FFF are those of the graph (V(F),F)(V(F),F)(V(F),F), where V(F)V(F)V(F) is the set of endpoints of edges of FFF. Their number is numComponents F.

Formalization targets

Goal: the Claim in the proof of Theorem 5 (p. 391)

∃ F minimum T-join of G with at most q components  ⟺  ∃ M⊆H a matching.\exists\,F \text{ minimum } T\text{-join of } G \text{ with at most } q \text{ components}\quad\iff\quad \exists\,M\subseteq H \text{ a matching.}∃F minimum T-join of G with at most q components⟺∃M⊆H a matching.

This statement is quantified over every qqq and every HHH, and it is the full mathematical content of the reduction.

Milestones (p. 391, in the order the proof uses them)

  1. Every TTT-join FFF of GGG has ∣F∣≥4q|F|\ge 4q∣F∣≥4q, with equality iff each t∈Tt\in Tt∈T lies in exactly one edge of FFF.
  2. If MMM is a matching, ZZZ can be indexed as {zm:m∈M}\{z_m: m\in M\}{zm​:m∈M}, and for every such indexing ⋃m=(w,x,y)∈M{mw,mx,my,mzm}\bigcup_{m=(w,x,y)\in M}\{mw,mx,my,mz_m\}⋃m=(w,x,y)∈M​{mw,mx,my,mzm​} is a minimum TTT-join with exactly qqq components.
  3. Every minimum TTT-join FFF has ∣F∣=4q|F|=4q∣F∣=4q, and each t∈Tt\in Tt∈T lies in exactly one edge of FFF.
  4. Every minimum TTT-join has at least qqq components. It has exactly qqq iff each component contains a vertex of HHH and exactly one vertex of each of WWW, XXX and YYY.

Significance

The result. The Claim shows that minimizing the number of components of a minimum TTT-join is NP-hard. A Korach–Penn certificate for a large packing of TTT-cuts therefore cannot in general be found by optimizing the component count. This sets the k=1k=1k=1 case, which Sebő and Tannier solve in polynomial time through isometric embeddings of tree metrics, apart from the general case.

Formalizing it. The Claim is proved in the paper, in one paragraph. No machine-checked version is known, and the platform has no TTT-join library. The mission produces a reusable vocabulary for TTT-joins, minimum TTT-joins and the components of an edge set, together with a checked proof that a concrete gadget is correct. One sentence of the published argument is false as written (see Difficulty); a formal proof settles the conclusion independently of it.

Difficulty

The direction from a matching to a TTT-join is a direct verification. The converse has to control an arbitrary minimum TTT-join: its size, the shape of each of its components, and how the components meet WWW, XXX and YYY. A first reading of the printed proof suggests that every vertex outside TTT that carries edges of FFF is adjacent to at most one vertex of each of WWW, XXX, YYY. This is false for the inner vertex of a path joining two vertices of the same class, and the construction joins every pair of points of TTT, including pairs inside WWW. Such components really occur in minimum TTT-joins, so the count of components has to cover them as well. The stated conclusion (at least qqq components, with equality only in the matching-like configuration) remains true.

On the Lean side, the components of an edge set are not the components of the graph with that edge set on all vertices: there every untouched vertex would be a component, and the Claim would become false.

Formalization scope

  • 3DM. WWW, XXX, YYY are three copies of {0,…,q−1}\{0,\dots,q-1\}{0,…,q−1} (Fin q), so their disjointness holds by construction. HHH and MMM are finite sets of triples in Fin q × Fin q × Fin q. IsMatching q M requires each element of each class to be the corresponding coordinate of exactly one triple of MMM, and M⊆HM\subseteq HM⊆H is a separate hypothesis. A covering-only or at-most-one version would be a different problem.
  • The graph. Its vertex type has three kinds of vertices: TTT-vertices (i,j)(i,j)(i,j) with class i∈{0,1,2,3}i\in\{0,1,2,3\}i∈{0,1,2,3} (W,X,Y,ZW,X,Y,ZW,X,Y,Z), one midpoint per non-diagonal unordered pair of TTT-vertices, and one vertex per element of HHH. The adjacency is exactly the two bullets of p. 390. The graph is fixed by the definition, not described by properties.
  • TTT-joins. Edges are unordered pairs (Sym2) and FFF is a Finset of edges of GGG. Parity uses deg⁡F\deg_FdegF​. Minimality is "∣F∣≤∣F′∣|F|\le|F'|∣F∣≤∣F′∣ for all TTT-joins F′F'F′", never an infimum on N\mathbb NN.
  • Components. A component of FFF is a component of the graph with edge set FFF that contains an endpoint of an edge of FFF. Isolated vertices are never counted, and the empty edge set has 000 components.
  • The degenerate case q=0q=0q=0 is included: the graph is empty, F=∅F=\emptysetF=∅ is a minimum TTT-join with 000 components, and M=∅M=\emptysetM=∅ is a matching.
  • Not formalized. Membership of MTSC in NP, polynomial-time computability of the construction, and NP-completeness itself. The platform has no complexity-theory substrate. The Claim is the mathematical statement those rest on.
  • Ruled out. The Claim must not be weakened to "exactly qqq components" or to minimality among TTT-joins with few components, and components must not be counted on the whole vertex type. Each of these changes the statement.

Contributions welcome: proofs of the milestones, general lemmas on TTT-joins (a TTT-join in a graph where TTT is independent has at least ∣T∣|T|∣T∣ edges), and lemmas on the components of an edge set, which are reusable well beyond this mission.

Selected references

  • A. Sebő, E. Tannier, On Metric Generators of Graphs, Mathematics of Operations Research 29(2):383–393, 2004. https://doi.org/10.1287/moor.1030.0070
  • E. Korach, M. Penn, Tight integral duality gap in the Chinese postman problem, Mathematical Programming 55:183–191, 1992.
  • P. D. Seymour, On odd cuts and plane multicommodity flows, Proceedings of the London Mathematical Society 42:178–192, 1981.
  • M. Middendorf, F. Pfeiffer, On the complexity of the edge-disjoint path problem, Combinatorica (cited by Sebő and Tannier as 1998, vol. 8, pp. 103–116) — NP-completeness of deciding ν=τ\nu=\tauν=τ.
  • M. R. Garey, D. S. Johnson, Computers and Intractability, W. H. Freeman, San Francisco, 1979 — NP-completeness of 3DM.
  • A. Frank, A survey on T-joins, T-cuts, and conservative weightings, in Combinatorics, Paul Erdős is Eighty, Vol. 2, 1996, pp. 213–252.
  • Related platform item, not reused: UnrelatedSched.ThreeHalves.ThreeDimMatching (Lenstra–Shmoys–Tardos) encodes 3DM with an indexed family of triples and the covering form of a matching, a different encoding from the paper's set HHH with "exactly one".
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Operations ResearchOptimizationProbability·Captain: mikedeng1

Mitigating Supply Risk: Dual Sourcing or Process Improvement? 2: With No Committed Cost, Expected Profit Is Concave in the Supplier's Reliability Index, with an Explicit First-Order ConditionResearch Paper

Motivation

Supply disruptions — fires, quality failures, capacity shortfalls at a supplier — are a first-order risk in manufacturing supply chains. A buying firm has two broad responses. It can dual source, splitting orders between suppliers so that one supplier's shortfall is partly covered by the other, or it can invest in process improvement at a single supplier (kaizen events, supplier development programmes) to make that supplier more reliable. Wang, Gilland and Tomlin, Mitigating Supply Risk: Dual Sourcing or Process Improvement? (M&SOM 12(3):489–510, 2010), build a two-stage newsvendor model that captures both levers and compare them analytically.

This mission formalizes the paper's analysis of the improvement lever on its own: the firm commits early to one supplier, decides how much effort to spend improving it, and then orders. The paper's Theorem 3 shows that, without committed costs, this improvement problem is a concave program with an explicit first-order condition, and its Corollary 2 derives how the optimal effort responds to costs, revenue and the chance that improvement succeeds. These are the facts the paper's later comparisons between improvement and dual sourcing rest on.

Setting

A firm sells one product over one season at unit revenue rrr, salvage value vvv and unit penalty ppp for unmet demand. Demand X≥0X \ge 0X≥0 has distribution function FFF and finite mean. The firm orders q≥0q \ge 0q≥0 units from a supplier with design capacity K>0K > 0K>0, unit cost ccc and committed cost η∈[0,1]\eta \in [0,1]η∈[0,1]: the firm pays (ηq+(1−η)y)c(\eta q + (1-\eta)y)c(ηq+(1−η)y)c when yyy units are delivered.

The supplier suffers a random capacity loss ξ≥0\xi \ge 0ξ≥0 and delivers y=min⁡{q,(K−ξ)+}y = \min\{q, (K-\xi)^+\}y=min{q,(K−ξ)+}. The law of ξ\xiξ has a continuous distribution function G(⋅,a)G(\cdot, a)G(⋅,a) that depends on the supplier's reliability index aaa; a larger index means a stochastically smaller loss, G(⋅,a)≤G(⋅,a′)G(\cdot, a) \le G(\cdot, a')G(⋅,a)≤G(⋅,a′) for a≤a′a \le a'a≤a′. Demand and losses are independent.

With ψ=−ηc/(r+p−v)\psi = -\eta c/(r+p-v)ψ=−ηc/(r+p−v) and φ=(r+p−(1−η)c)/(r+p−v)\varphi = (r+p-(1-\eta)c)/(r+p-v)φ=(r+p−(1−η)c)/(r+p−v), the second-stage expected profit at index aaa is

Π2(q;a)=(r+p−v)(ψq+φ E[y]−E[(y−X)+])−p E[X],\Pi_2(q; a) = (r+p-v)\big(\psi q + \varphi\,\mathsf E[y] - \mathsf E[(y-X)^+]\big) - p\,\mathsf E[X],Π2​(q;a)=(r+p−v)(ψq+φE[y]−E[(y−X)+])−pE[X],

and Π2∗(a)=sup⁡q≥0Π2(q;a)\Pi_2^*(a) = \sup_{q \ge 0}\Pi_2(q; a)Π2∗​(a)=supq≥0​Π2​(q;a) is its optimal value.

In the first stage the firm may improve the supplier from its initial index a0a^0a0. The paper reparametrizes effort by the target index: reaching index a≥a0a \ge a^0a≥a0 needs effort z(a)z(a)z(a), where zzz is convex and nondecreasing with z(a0)=0z(a^0) = 0z(a0)=0. Effort costs mmm per unit and succeeds with probability θ\thetaθ. The first-stage profit of early commitment is Eq. (7):

Π1(a)=−m z(a)+θ Π2∗(a)+(1−θ) Π2∗(a0),a≥a0.\Pi_1(a) = -m\,z(a) + \theta\,\Pi_2^*(a) + (1-\theta)\,\Pi_2^*(a^0), \qquad a \ge a^0 .Π1​(a)=−mz(a)+θΠ2∗​(a)+(1−θ)Π2∗​(a0),a≥a0.

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem 3

Assume η=0\eta = 0η=0 and that a↦G(ξ,a)a \mapsto G(\xi, a)a↦G(ξ,a) is concave on [a0,∞)[a^0,\infty)[a0,∞) for every ξ\xiξ (decreasing marginal reliability improvement). Then Π1\Pi_1Π1​ is concave on [a0,∞)[a^0, \infty)[a0,∞), and an optimal index a∗>a0a^* > a^0a∗>a0, with an optimal order q∗q^*q∗ at a∗a^*a∗, satisfies

mθ z′(a∗)=(r+p−v)∫K−q∗K(φ−F(K−ξ)) ∂G(ξ,a∗)∂a dξ.(8)\frac{m}{\theta}\,z'(a^*) = (r+p-v)\int_{K-q^*}^{K}\big(\varphi - F(K-\xi)\big)\,\frac{\partial G(\xi, a^*)}{\partial a}\,d\xi. \tag{8}θm​z′(a∗)=(r+p−v)∫K−q∗K​(φ−F(K−ξ))∂a∂G(ξ,a∗)​dξ.(8)

Milestones

  1. Eq. (6), single-supplier instance with η=0\eta = 0η=0. For 0<φ<10 < \varphi < 10<φ<1 the critical fractile q^=inf⁡{t:F(t)≥φ}\hat q = \inf\{t : F(t) \ge \varphi\}q^​=inf{t:F(t)≥φ} maximizes Π2(⋅ ;a)\Pi_2(\cdot\,; a)Π2​(⋅;a) for every index aaa, and (with atomless demand) every positive optimal order satisfies the η=0\eta = 0η=0 instance of (6), G(K−q∗,a)(φ−F(q∗))=0G(K-q^*,a)(\varphi - F(q^*)) = 0G(K−q∗,a)(φ−F(q∗))=0.
  2. Lemma 2(b), single-supplier instance. Π2∗(a)\Pi_2^*(a)Π2∗​(a) is increasing in aaa.
  3. Corollary 2 (a), (b), (c), (e). The optimal reliability index, and so the optimal effort z∗=z(a∗)z^* = z(a^*)z∗=z(a∗), is decreasing in mmm, increasing in θ\thetaθ, decreasing in ccc and increasing in rrr, each in the strong set order on the set of maximizers.

Significance

Theorem 3 turns the firm's improvement decision into a one-dimensional concave program, so that the first-order condition (8) characterizes the optimum and comparative statics are available. Corollary 2 is the managerial content: cheaper or more reliable improvement, a cheaper supplier and a more valuable product all justify more improvement effort. The paper's later results — when late commitment beats early commitment (§4.2.2) and when single sourcing with improvement beats dual sourcing (§5) — compare the optimal values these results describe.

The results are proved in the paper's online appendix; none of them has a machine-checked proof. A complete development provides formal proofs of the layer-cake representation of the random-capacity newsvendor profit, of its critical-fractile solution, and of the concavity and envelope arguments on top of it.

Difficulty

Π2∗\Pi_2^*Π2∗​ is an optimal value, a supremum over order quantities, and suprema of concave functions are not concave in general. The obvious route — "Π2(q;a)\Pi_2(q; a)Π2​(q;a) is concave in aaa for each qqq, hence so is the supremum" — fails, because Π2(q;a)\Pi_2(q;a)Π2​(q;a) is not concave in aaa for a fixed qqq beyond the critical fractile. Any argument has to control how the optimal order moves with aaa under random capacity, where the delivered quantity is a minimum of the order and a random effective capacity. The first-order condition then requires differentiating an expectation of a non-smooth function of (ξ,X)(\xi, X)(ξ,X) in the parameter of ξ\xiξ's law. Corollary 2 must be argued on the set of maximizers, since Π1\Pi_1Π1​ is concave but not strictly concave.

Formalization scope

The Lean development lives in the namespace MitigateSupplyRisk.Improvement. Model bundles r,v,p,c,η,Kr, v, p, c, \eta, Kr,v,p,c,η,K, a demand law μ\muμ and the family ν(a)\nu(a)ν(a) of loss laws; FFF and G(⋅,a)G(\cdot,a)G(⋅,a) are their cdf. Expectations are Bochner integrals over ν(a)\nu(a)ν(a) and over the product ν(a)⊗μ\nu(a)\otimes\muν(a)⊗μ. Model.Assumptions collects the standing assumptions of §3: 0≤η≤10 \le \eta \le 10≤η≤1, K>0K > 0K>0, v<r+pv < r+pv<r+p (implicit in the paper's division by r+p−vr+p-vr+p−v), a nonnegative integrable demand, nonnegative atomless losses, and the stochastic order in aaa. Demand needs no density. Effort bundles θ,m,a0,z\theta, m, a^0, zθ,m,a0,z with θ∈[0,1]\theta \in [0,1]θ∈[0,1], m≥0m \ge 0m≥0 and zzz convex, nondecreasing on [a0,∞)[a^0,\infty)[a0,∞), z(a0)=0z(a^0) = 0z(a0)=0; taking zzz as primitive assumes every index a≥a0a \ge a^0a≥a0 is reachable. Π2∗\Pi_2^*Π2∗​ is a real supremum and Π1\Pi_1Π1​ is built from it, never from the critical fractile. Every statement about Π2∗\Pi_2^*Π2∗​ carries η=0\eta = 0η=0 or c≥0c \ge 0c≥0, which makes the supremum finite. "Optimal" always means a maximizer over the whole feasible set, and "increasing" is weak throughout, as on p. 492 of the paper.

The paper's proofs are in an online appendix that was not used here. Deviations from the page, each disclosed in the item's Formalization Note:

  • Eq. (8) omits the factor r+p−vr+p-vr+p−v on its right side; it is correct as printed only when r+p−v=1r+p-v = 1r+p−v=1, which holds in all of the paper's numerical examples. The goal states the corrected identity, multiplied by θ\thetaθ.
  • ∂2G/∂a2≤0\partial^2 G/\partial a^2 \le 0∂2G/∂a2≤0 is read as concavity of G(ξ,⋅)G(\xi,\cdot)G(ξ,⋅) on [a0,∞)[a^0,\infty)[a0,∞).
  • (8) is the first-order condition at an interior optimum a∗>a0a^* > a^0a∗>a0; differentiability of zzz and of G(ξ,⋅)G(\xi,\cdot)G(ξ,⋅) at a∗a^*a∗ is assumed explicitly.
  • Corollary 2 is stated in the strong set order on the argmax, (c) and (e) in the setting η=0\eta = 0η=0 of Theorem 3, and (b) with c≥0c \ge 0c≥0. Corollary 2(d), on the committed cost η\etaη, is not stated, because Theorem 3's setting fixes η=0\eta = 0η=0.
  • Lemma 2(b) and Eq. (6) are the single-supplier instances of the paper's dual-sourcing statements, which the paper applies to single sourcing on p. 496.

A trivializing formalization is ruled out: Π1\Pi_1Π1​ is built from the supremum Π2∗\Pi_2^*Π2∗​ (not from Π2\Pi_2Π2​ at a fixed order), the supremum is finite under the stated hypotheses, and every expectation is of an integrable function, so no statement holds through a junk value.

Reusable beyond this mission: the random-capacity newsvendor objects (delivered quantity, expected profit, layer-cake representation) and a Topkis-type monotone comparative statics lemma on a chain. Contributions of either, and proofs of the milestones in any order, are welcome.

Selected references

  • Y. Wang, W. Gilland, B. Tomlin, Mitigating Supply Risk: Dual Sourcing or Process Improvement?, Manufacturing & Service Operations Management 12(3):489–510, 2010. https://doi.org/10.1287/msom.1090.0279
  • D. M. Topkis, Supermodularity and Complementarity, Princeton University Press, 1998. https://doi.org/10.1515/9781400822539
  • R. B. Handfield, D. R. Krause, T. V. Scannell, R. M. Monczka, Avoid the Pitfalls in Supplier Development, Sloan Management Review 41(2):37–49, 2000.
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Machine LearningOptimizationStatistics·Captain: mikedeng1

Robust Regression and Lasso 3: Robust Regression Has a Solution Supported on I if Some Allowable Perturbation of the Features Outside I Makes Them IrrelevantResearch Paper

Motivation

The Lasso fits a linear model by least-norm regression with an ℓ1\ell^1ℓ1 penalty, and its most used property is that it returns sparse coefficient vectors: many features receive weight exactly zero. Most sparsity guarantees for the Lasso are statistical. They assume a generative model and an incoherence or irrepresentability condition on the design, and conclude that the support is recovered (Tropp 2006; Zhao and Yu 2006).

Xu, Caramanis and Mannor (arXiv:0811.1790v1, 2008; IEEE Trans. Inf. Theory 56(7), 2010) show that the Lasso's ℓ1\ell^1ℓ1-regularized regression problem is exactly a robust regression problem in which each feature column is perturbed independently within a norm ball (their Theorem 1; mission 1 of this series). Section IV of the paper uses this robust view to give a sparsity criterion that needs no generative model: a feature gets zero weight if some allowable perturbation makes it irrelevant. This mission formalizes that criterion, Theorem 5, together with the more general Theorem 5′ it specializes, and the geometric consequence Theorem 6.

Setting

Fix integers n,mn, mn,m. The data are the features a1,…,am∈Rna_1,\dots,a_m \in \mathbb R^na1​,…,am​∈Rn, the columns of a matrix AAA, and a response b∈Rnb \in \mathbb R^nb∈Rn. For x∈Rmx\in\mathbb R^mx∈Rm, Ax=∑ixiaiAx = \sum_i x_i a_iAx=∑i​xi​ai​. A disturbance ΔA=(δ1,…,δm)\Delta A = (\delta_1,\dots,\delta_m)ΔA=(δ1​,…,δm​) perturbs column iii to ai+δia_i + \delta_iai​+δi​.

Given radii c1,…,cm≥0c_1,\dots,c_m \ge 0c1​,…,cm​≥0, the feature-wise uncoupled uncertainty set is

U={(δ1,…,δm)∣∥δi∥2≤ci, i=1,…,m}.\mathcal U = \{(\delta_1,\dots,\delta_m) \mid \|\delta_i\|_2 \le c_i,\ i = 1,\dots,m\}.U={(δ1​,…,δm​)∣∥δi​∥2​≤ci​, i=1,…,m}.

For a set V\mathcal VV of disturbances, the robust objective is

RA,V(x)=max⁡ΔA∈V∥b−(A+ΔA)x∥2,R_{A,\mathcal V}(x) = \max_{\Delta A\in\mathcal V}\|b - (A+\Delta A)x\|_2,RA,V​(x)=ΔA∈Vmax​∥b−(A+ΔA)x∥2​,

and the robust regression problem is min⁡x∈RmRA,V(x)\min_{x\in\mathbb R^m} R_{A,\mathcal V}(x)minx∈Rm​RA,V​(x). It has a solution supported on I⊆{1,…,m}I \subseteq \{1,\dots,m\}I⊆{1,…,m} if some minimizer x∗x^*x∗ has xj∗=0x^*_j = 0xj∗​=0 for all j∈Ic={1,…,m}∖Ij \in I^c = \{1,\dots,m\}\setminus Ij∈Ic={1,…,m}∖I.

For a disturbance ΔA\Delta AΔA, ΔAI\Delta A^IΔAI agrees with ΔA\Delta AΔA on the features in III and is zero elsewhere, and UI={ΔAI∣ΔA∈U}\mathcal U^I = \{\Delta A^I \mid \Delta A \in \mathcal U\}UI={ΔAI∣ΔA∈U}. Given numbers ljl_jlj​ for j∉Ij\notin Ij∈/I, the enlarged set of Theorem 5′ is

U~={(δ1,…,δm)∣∥δi∥2≤ci, i∈I; ∥δj∥2≤cj+lj, j∉I}.\tilde{\mathcal U} = \{(\delta_1,\dots,\delta_m) \mid \|\delta_i\|_2 \le c_i,\ i \in I;\ \|\delta_j\|_2 \le c_j + l_j,\ j\notin I\}.U~={(δ1​,…,δm​)∣∥δi​∥2​≤ci​, i∈I; ∥δj​∥2​≤cj​+lj​, j∈/I}.

In Lean these are uncertaintySet c, restrictedSet c I, enlargedSet c l I, robustObjective a b V x, IsRobustSolution and HasSolutionSupportedOn, all in the namespace RobustRegLasso.Sparsity.

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem 5 (p. 8)

If there is a disturbance ΔA~Ic∈U\Delta\tilde A^{I^c}\in\mathcal UΔA~Ic∈U that is zero on the features in III and such that

min⁡x∈Rm{max⁡ΔA~I∈UI∥b−(A+ΔA~Ic+ΔA~I)x∥2}\min_{x\in\mathbb R^m}\Big\{\max_{\Delta\tilde A^I\in\mathcal U^I}\|b-(A+\Delta\tilde A^{I^c}+\Delta\tilde A^I)x\|_2\Big\}x∈Rmmin​{ΔA~I∈UImax​∥b−(A+ΔA~Ic+ΔA~I)x∥2​}

has a solution supported on III, then min⁡xRA,U(x)\min_x R_{A,\mathcal U}(x)minx​RA,U​(x) has a solution supported on III.

Milestones (proof order)

  1. First display of the proof of Theorem 5′ (p. 9). If xj∗=0x^*_j = 0xj∗​=0 off III and a~i=ai\tilde a_i = a_ia~i​=ai​ on III, then RA,U~(x∗)=RA,U(x∗)=RA~,U(x∗)R_{A,\tilde{\mathcal U}}(x^*) = R_{A,\mathcal U}(x^*) = R_{\tilde A,\mathcal U}(x^*)RA,U~​(x∗)=RA,U​(x∗)=RA~,U​(x∗), and also RA~,U~(x∗)=RA,U(x∗)R_{\tilde A,\tilde{\mathcal U}}(x^*) = R_{A,\mathcal U}(x^*)RA~,U~​(x∗)=RA,U​(x∗).
  2. Second display of the proof of Theorem 5′ (p. 9). If ∥aj−a~j∥2≤lj\|a_j-\tilde a_j\|_2 \le l_j∥aj​−a~j​∥2​≤lj​ off III and ai=a~ia_i = \tilde a_iai​=a~i​ on III, then {A+ΔA∣ΔA∈U}⊆{A~+ΔA∣ΔA∈U~}\{A+\Delta A \mid \Delta A\in\mathcal U\}\subseteq\{\tilde A+\Delta A\mid\Delta A\in\tilde{\mathcal U}\}{A+ΔA∣ΔA∈U}⊆{A~+ΔA∣ΔA∈U~}, hence RA~,U~≥RA,UR_{\tilde A,\tilde{\mathcal U}} \ge R_{A,\mathcal U}RA~,U~​≥RA,U​ pointwise.
  3. Theorem 5′ (pp. 8–9). If x∗x^*x∗ minimizes RA,UR_{A,\mathcal U}RA,U​ and xj∗=0x^*_j = 0xj∗​=0 off III, then x∗x^*x∗ minimizes RA~,U~R_{\tilde A,\tilde{\mathcal U}}RA~,U~​ for every A~\tilde AA~ with ∥a~j−aj∥2≤lj\|\tilde a_j - a_j\|_2\le l_j∥a~j​−aj​∥2​≤lj​ off III and a~i=ai\tilde a_i = a_ia~i​=ai​ on III.
  4. Theorem 6, conclusion corrected (p. 10). With ci=cc_i = cci​=c for all iii: if every unit v∈span⁡({ai,i∈I}∪{b})v\in\operatorname{span}(\{a_i, i\in I\}\cup\{b\})v∈span({ai​,i∈I}∪{b}) has v⊤aj≤cv^\top a_j\le cv⊤aj​≤c for all j∉Ij\notin Ij∈/I, then some optimal solution of min⁡xRA,U(x)\min_x R_{A,\mathcal U}(x)minx​RA,U​(x) vanishes off III.

Theorem 5 is Theorem 5′ applied to the perturbed matrix A+ΔA~IcA + \Delta\tilde A^{I^c}A+ΔA~Ic with radii cj=0c_j = 0cj​=0 off III, lj=cjl_j = c_jlj​=cj​ and A~=A\tilde A = AA~=A.

Significance

The result separates sparsity from statistics. Theorem 5 asks only that the features outside III can be made irrelevant by a perturbation within the uncertainty budget; it involves no noise model and no probability. Theorem 6 turns this into an incoherence-type condition: features that lie within ccc of being orthogonal to the response and to the relevant features receive zero weight. Because the robust problem over U\mathcal UU is the ℓ1\ell^1ℓ1-regularized regression min⁡x∥b−Ax∥2+∑ici∣xi∣\min_x \|b-Ax\|_2 + \sum_i c_i|x_i|minx​∥b−Ax∥2​+∑i​ci​∣xi​∣ (Theorem 1), these are sparsity statements about that Lasso-type problem. The same argument gives the paper's further results on angular separation and nearly dependent features, which it defers to a companion report.

These results are proved in the paper; none of them has a machine-checked proof on Prove2Me or, to our knowledge, elsewhere. The mission formalizes the known proof. It also records a correction: Theorem 6 as printed claims that every optimal solution vanishes off III, which is false (a two-dimensional counterexample is in the milestone's statement); the proof gives existence of one such solution, and that is what is posed.

Difficulty

The proof of Theorem 5′ is short, and the work is in the bookkeeping. The obvious attempt treats "max" as a real supremum and compares values directly; it has to know that each uncertainty set is nonempty and that the residual is bounded on it, and the enlarged set U~\tilde{\mathcal U}U~ is nonempty only because lj≥∥a~j−aj∥2≥0l_j \ge \|\tilde a_j - a_j\|_2 \ge 0lj​≥∥a~j​−aj​∥2​≥0. The two equalities of the first display require reassigning the columns outside III of a disturbance (to zero, or to a feasible value) without changing the residual at x∗x^*x∗, which works only because xj∗=0x^*_j = 0xj∗​=0 there. The specialization of Theorem 5′ to Theorem 5 changes the radius vector and the base matrix at the same time, and needs UI\mathcal U^IUI to coincide with the feature-wise set whose radii are cic_ici​ on III and 000 off it. Theorem 6 additionally needs the equivalence of the robust problem with an ℓ1\ell^1ℓ1-regularized problem, an orthogonal projection onto a span, and the existence of a minimizer of a coercive (or, for c=0c = 0c=0, least-squares) objective.

Formalization scope

  • Features are a family a : Fin m → EuclideanSpace ℝ (Fin n); a disturbance is δ : Fin m → EuclideanSpace ℝ (Fin n); A+ΔAA+\Delta AA+ΔA is the family a + δ. Index sets are Finset (Fin m) (0-based). The loss is the ℓ2\ell^2ℓ2 norm, as stated in the paper (which remarks that any norm works).
  • "max" over a set of disturbances is the supremum in EReal (⨆ δ ∈ V). With nonnegative radii every set used is nonempty and bounded, so the value is a finite, attained real number; no junk value of a real sSup can make a statement vacuous. "Optimal solution" means a minimizer of this objective over all of Rm\mathbb R^mRm; existence of a minimizer is assumed where the paper assumes it (Theorem 5′) and concluded where the paper concludes it (Theorems 5, 6).
  • Radii ci≥0c_i \ge 0ci​≥0 are hypotheses (the paper's standing convention). lj≥0l_j \ge 0lj​≥0 is not assumed: it follows from ∥a~j−aj∥2≤lj\|\tilde a_j - a_j\|_2 \le l_j∥a~j​−aj​∥2​≤lj​.
  • Corrected printed typos: I⊆{1,…,n}I\subseteq\{1,\dots,n\}I⊆{1,…,n} on p. 8 is read with mmm; the inequality after "For an arbitrary x′x'x′" is posed with AAA and A~\tilde AA~ exchanged, as the inclusion and the final display require; Theorem 6's "any optimal solution" becomes "some optimal solution", and "I⊂I\subsetI⊂" becomes I⊆I\subseteqI⊆.
  • The robust objective is the supremum over the set, never its closed form ∥b−Ax∥2+∑ici∣xi∣\|b-Ax\|_2+\sum_i c_i|x_i|∥b−Ax∥2​+∑i​ci​∣xi​∣; with that definition the problem would no longer be a robust problem and Theorems 5 and 5′ would be about a different function.
  • The definitions here restate objects of mission 1 of this series (the set (2) and AxAxAx). The interpretation through a generative model (p. 9) and the results deferred to the companion report are not formalized. Contributions of proofs of any milestone, and of a local proof of Theorem 1 for use in Theorem 6, are welcome.

Selected references

  • H. Xu, C. Caramanis, S. Mannor, Robust Regression and Lasso, arXiv:0811.1790v1, 2008; IEEE Transactions on Information Theory 56(7), 2010. https://arxiv.org/abs/0811.1790v1, https://doi.org/10.1109/TIT.2010.2048503
  • R. Tibshirani, Regression shrinkage and selection via the lasso, Journal of the Royal Statistical Society B 58(1), 1996. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.2517-6161.1996.tb02080.x
  • J. A. Tropp, Just relax: convex programming methods for identifying sparse signals in noise, IEEE Transactions on Information Theory 52(3), 2006. https://doi.org/10.1109/TIT.2005.864420
  • P. Zhao, B. Yu, On model selection consistency of Lasso, Journal of Machine Learning Research 7, 2006. https://jmlr.org/papers/v7/zhao06a.html
  • L. El Ghaoui, H. Lebret, Robust solutions to least-squares problems with uncertain data, SIAM Journal on Matrix Analysis and Applications 18(4), 1997. https://doi.org/10.1137/S0895479896298130
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Mitigating Supply Risk: Dual Sourcing or Process Improvement? 1: Region-by-Region Optimal Dual-Sourcing Quantities under Random Capacity, Including the Quantity HedgeResearch Paper

Motivation

Firms that buy from unreliable suppliers face two broad remedies: spread orders across several suppliers (dual sourcing), or invest in making a supplier more reliable (process improvement). Wang, Gilland and Tomlin, Mitigating Supply Risk: Dual Sourcing or Process Improvement? (M&SOM 12(3):489–510, 2010), compare the two in a single newsvendor model in which suppliers deliver less than ordered because of random capacity losses. This mission covers the first half of that comparison: the pure dual-sourcing strategy, in which the firm improves nobody and only chooses how much to order from each of two suppliers.

A single-supplier random-capacity model was studied by Ciarallo, Akella and Morton (Management Science 40(3), 1994); in that model, as the paper notes, the firm never orders more than demand to hedge against capacity shortfall. Dada, Petruzzi and Schwarz (M&SOM 9(1), 2007) studied several unreliable suppliers but gave only necessary conditions for optimal orders. The paper states necessary and sufficient conditions for two suppliers (its Theorem 1) and, for deterministic demand, a closed-form optimal order in each of six demand regions (Theorem 2). Its proofs are in an online appendix.

Setting

A product sells at unit revenue rrr, is salvaged at vvv, and unmet demand costs ppp per unit, with v<r+pv < r + pv<r+p. Two suppliers i=1,2i = 1, 2i=1,2 have unit cost ci≥0c_i \ge 0ci​≥0, committed-cost fraction ηi∈[0,1]\eta_i \in [0, 1]ηi​∈[0,1] and design capacity Ki>0K_i > 0Ki​>0. Supplier iii suffers a random capacity loss ξi≥0\xi_i \ge 0ξi​≥0 whose continuous distribution function Gi(t,ai)G_i(t, a_i)Gi​(t,ai​) depends on a reliability index aia_iai​: a larger index makes the loss stochastically smaller, Gi(⋅,a)≤Gi(⋅,a^)G_i(\cdot, a) \le G_i(\cdot, \hat a)Gi​(⋅,a)≤Gi​(⋅,a^) for a≤a^a \le \hat aa≤a^. The losses are independent of each other and of demand X≥0X \ge 0X≥0, which has distribution function FFF.

For an order vector q=(q1,q2)≥0q = (q_1, q_2) \ge 0q=(q1​,q2​)≥0, supplier iii delivers yi=min⁡{qi,(Ki−ξi)+}y_i = \min\{q_i, (K_i - \xi_i)^+\}yi​=min{qi​,(Ki​−ξi​)+} and is paid (ηiqi+(1−ηi)yi)ci(\eta_i q_i + (1 - \eta_i) y_i) c_i(ηi​qi​+(1−ηi​)yi​)ci​. The realized profit is

π(q)=−∑i(ηiqi+(1−ηi)yi)ci+rmin⁡{x,∑iyi}+v(∑iyi−x)+−p(x−∑iyi)+,\pi(q) = -\sum_i (\eta_i q_i + (1-\eta_i) y_i) c_i + r \min\Big\{x, \sum_i y_i\Big\} + v\Big(\sum_i y_i - x\Big)^+ - p\Big(x - \sum_i y_i\Big)^+,π(q)=−i∑​(ηi​qi​+(1−ηi​)yi​)ci​+rmin{x,i∑​yi​}+v(i∑​yi​−x)+−p(x−i∑​yi​)+,

and the second-stage expected profit is Π2(q;a)=Eξ(a),X[π(q)]\Pi_2(q; a) = \mathbb E_{\xi(a), X}[\pi(q)]Π2​(q;a)=Eξ(a),X​[π(q)]. With ψi=−ηici/(r+p−v)\psi_i = -\eta_i c_i/(r+p-v)ψi​=−ηi​ci​/(r+p−v) and ϕi=(r+p−(1−ηi)ci)/(r+p−v)\phi_i = (r + p - (1-\eta_i)c_i)/(r+p-v)ϕi​=(r+p−(1−ηi​)ci​)/(r+p−v) this is the paper's Eq. (3). The optimal value is Π2∗(a)=sup⁡q≥0Π2(q;a)\Pi_2^*(a) = \sup_{q \ge 0} \Pi_2(q; a)Π2∗​(a)=supq≥0​Π2​(q;a), and an optimal procurement vector is a q≥0q \ge 0q≥0 attaining it.

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem 2 (corrected)

Let demand be deterministic, X=x≥0X = x \ge 0X=x≥0, let η=0\eta = 0η=0, let 0<ϕi<10 < \phi_i < 10<ϕi​<1, let each GiG_iGi​ be strictly increasing on a support [0,bi][0, b_i][0,bi​] with bi≤Kib_i \le K_ibi​≤Ki​, and let ϕ1G1(K1)≥ϕ2G2(K2)\phi_1 G_1(K_1) \ge \phi_2 G_2(K_2)ϕ1​G1​(K1​)≥ϕ2​G2​(K2​). With A1=G1−1(ϕ2)A_1 = G_1^{-1}(\phi_2)A1​=G1−1​(ϕ2​), A2=G2−1(ϕ1)A_2 = G_2^{-1}(\phi_1)A2​=G2−1​(ϕ1​), B=G1−1(ϕ2ϕ1G2(K2))B = G_1^{-1}(\tfrac{\phi_2}{\phi_1}G_2(K_2))B=G1−1​(ϕ1​ϕ2​​G2​(K2​)) and S=K1+K2S = K_1 + K_2S=K1​+K2​, an optimal vector is

q∗={(x,0)0≤x≤K1−B(Ω1)(x−q2∗,q2∗), ϕ1G1(K1−x+q2∗)=ϕ2G2(K2−q2∗)x≤S−(A1+A2)(Ω2)(x−K2+A2, x−K1+A1)x≤S−max⁡(A1,A2)(Ω3)(x−K2+A2,K2) if A1≥A2, else (K1,x−K1+A1)x≤S−min⁡(A1,A2)(Ω4)(K1,K2)otherwise(Ω5∪Ω6).q^* = \begin{cases} (x, 0) & 0 \le x \le K_1 - B \quad (\Omega_1)\\ (x - q_2^*, q_2^*),\ \phi_1 G_1(K_1 - x + q_2^*) = \phi_2 G_2(K_2 - q_2^*) & x \le S - (A_1 + A_2) \quad (\Omega_2)\\ (x - K_2 + A_2,\ x - K_1 + A_1) & x \le S - \max(A_1, A_2) \quad (\Omega_3)\\ (x - K_2 + A_2, K_2) \text{ if } A_1 \ge A_2, \text{ else } (K_1, x - K_1 + A_1) & x \le S - \min(A_1, A_2) \quad (\Omega_4)\\ (K_1, K_2) & \text{otherwise} \quad (\Omega_5 \cup \Omega_6).\end{cases}q∗=⎩⎨⎧​(x,0)(x−q2∗​,q2∗​), ϕ1​G1​(K1​−x+q2∗​)=ϕ2​G2​(K2​−q2∗​)(x−K2​+A2​, x−K1​+A1​)(x−K2​+A2​,K2​) if A1​≥A2​, else (K1​,x−K1​+A1​)(K1​,K2​)​0≤x≤K1​−B(Ω1​)x≤S−(A1​+A2​)(Ω2​)x≤S−max(A1​,A2​)(Ω3​)x≤S−min(A1​,A2​)(Ω4​)otherwise(Ω5​∪Ω6​).​

In Ω3\Omega_3Ω3​–Ω5\Omega_5Ω5​ the firm orders more in total than demand: the quantity hedge.

Milestones

  1. Lemma 1: Π2(q;a)\Pi_2(q; a)Π2​(q;a) is submodular in qqq, Π2(q∨q′)+Π2(q∧q′)≤Π2(q)+Π2(q′)\Pi_2(q \vee q') + \Pi_2(q \wedge q') \le \Pi_2(q) + \Pi_2(q')Π2​(q∨q′)+Π2​(q∧q′)≤Π2​(q)+Π2​(q′).
  2. Theorem 1: with a demand density, some optimal q∗q^*q∗ has, for each iii, qi∗∈{0,Ki}q_i^* \in \{0, K_i\}qi∗​∈{0,Ki​} or ∇qiΠ2(q∗;a)=0\nabla_{q_i}\Pi_2(q^*; a) = 0∇qi​​Π2​(q∗;a)=0.
  3. Eq. (6): for 0<qi<Ki0 < q_i < K_i0<qi​<Ki​, ∇qiΠ2=(r+p−v)(ψi+Gi(Ki−qi)(ϕi−E[F(qi+yj)]))\nabla_{q_i}\Pi_2 = (r+p-v)\big(\psi_i + G_i(K_i - q_i)(\phi_i - \mathbb E[F(q_i + y_j)])\big)∇qi​​Π2​=(r+p−v)(ψi​+Gi​(Ki​−qi​)(ϕi​−E[F(qi​+yj​)])), which vanishes at an optimal qqq.
  4. Lemma 2(b): Π2∗(a)\Pi_2^*(a)Π2∗​(a) is increasing in each aia_iai​.
  5. Corollary 1 (after the goal): as either index increases, the hedge region Ω3∪Ω4∪Ω5\Omega_3 \cup \Omega_4 \cup \Omega_5Ω3​∪Ω4​∪Ω5​ and the hedge size [q1∗+q2∗−x]+[q_1^* + q_2^* - x]^+[q1∗​+q2∗​−x]+ shrink; Ω1\Omega_1Ω1​ expands in a1a_1a1​ and contracts in a2a_2a2​.

Significance

Theorem 2 is the paper's explicit description of how a buyer splits orders between two unreliable suppliers: single sourcing when capacity is ample, dual sourcing at total order equal to demand, then deliberate over-ordering, and finally ordering full capacity. The quantity hedge is the paper's main qualitative finding for dual sourcing, since, as the paper notes, over-ordering of this kind does not occur with one random-capacity supplier. Corollary 1 says how this hedge responds to reliability, which is the comparison with process improvement that the rest of the paper builds on; Lemma 2(b) is the value of reliability used there.

None of these results has a machine-checked proof, and the paper's proofs are in an online appendix not used here. A formalization would also settle the printed statement, which contains a slip (below) that a formal proof must avoid.

Difficulty

Π2\Pi_2Π2​ is submodular but not jointly concave in qqq, so the usual route (concavity plus first-order conditions) is not available, and the paper invokes unimodality instead. Under deterministic demand Π2\Pi_2Π2​ is not differentiable on the line q1+q2=xq_1 + q_2 = xq1​+q2​=x, where the Ω1\Omega_1Ω1​ and Ω2\Omega_2Ω2​ optima sit, so Theorem 1 cannot simply be specialized to Theorem 2: optimality there needs one-sided arguments. In every region the claim is global optimality over all q≥0q \ge 0q≥0, including orders above the design capacities, and the feasible set is unbounded.

Formalization scope

Suppliers are indexed by Fin 2 (index 0 is supplier 1). The capacity losses are a family of probability measures νi(a)\nu_i(a)νi​(a) on R\mathbb RR without atoms and with νi(a)((−∞,0))=0\nu_i(a)((-\infty, 0)) = 0νi​(a)((−∞,0))=0, and Gi(t,a)G_i(t, a)Gi​(t,a) is their distribution function. Π2\Pi_2Π2​ is the Bochner integral of π\piπ against ν1(a1)⊗ν2(a2)⊗μ\nu_1(a_1) \otimes \nu_2(a_2) \otimes \muν1​(a1​)⊗ν2​(a2​)⊗μ for a demand law μ\muμ. Every theorem assumes μ\muμ is a probability measure on [0,∞)[0, \infty)[0,∞) with finite mean. Deterministic demand is μ=δx\mu = \delta_xμ=δx​. Theorem 1 and Eq. (6) add μ≪\mu \llμ≪ Lebesgue (the paper's density). "Optimal" means a global maximizer over q≥0q \ge 0q≥0, and "increasing" is weak, as the paper declares. Added standing hypotheses: Ki>0K_i > 0Ki​>0, v<r+pv < r + pv<r+p, and r,p,ci≥0r, p, c_i \ge 0r,p,ci​≥0, which bound π\piπ above so that Π2∗\Pi_2^*Π2∗​ is a genuine supremum. Gi−1G_i^{-1}Gi−1​ is the generalized inverse inf⁡{t≥0:Gi(t)≥u}\inf\{t \ge 0 : G_i(t) \ge u\}inf{t≥0:Gi​(t)≥u}.

Corrections to the printed Theorem 2, each disclosed in its item:

  • the min⁡\minmin and max⁡\maxmax in the bounds of Ω3\Omega_3Ω3​, Ω4\Omega_4Ω4​, Ω5\Omega_5Ω5​ are swapped back (as printed, Ω4\Omega_4Ω4​ is empty and the Ω3\Omega_3Ω3​ formula can exceed K1K_1K1​);
  • Gi(Ki)=1G_i(K_i) = 1Gi​(Ki​)=1 is added, through the support hypothesis (without it the Ω1\Omega_1Ω1​ claim is false);
  • 0<ϕi<10 < \phi_i < 10<ϕi​<1 and strict increase of GiG_iGi​ on its support are added.

Theorem 1's "qi∗=Kq_i^* = Kqi∗​=K" is read as KiK_iKi​. Lemma 2(a) is not formalized: optimal orders are not unique and no reading of "qi∗q_i^*qi∗​ is increasing" was found that is both faithful and safely true.

Stating Theorem 2 as "q∗q^*q∗ satisfies the first-order conditions", or optimality only within a region's face, would trivialize it; the statement requires Π2(q;a)≤Π2(q∗;a)\Pi_2(q; a) \le \Pi_2(q^*; a)Π2​(q;a)≤Π2​(q∗;a) for every q≥0q \ge 0q≥0. Proofs need integrals of piecewise-linear functions of independent variables, differentiation under the integral sign, and facts about generalized inverses of continuous distribution functions. Lemma 1 and the generalized-inverse facts are reusable beyond this mission; proofs of any milestone are welcome.

Selected references

  • Y. Wang, W. Gilland, B. Tomlin, Mitigating Supply Risk: Dual Sourcing or Process Improvement?, Manufacturing & Service Operations Management 12(3):489–510, 2010. https://doi.org/10.1287/msom.1090.0279
  • F. W. Ciarallo, R. Akella, T. E. Morton, A Periodic Review, Production Planning Model with Uncertain Capacity and Uncertain Demand — Optimality of Extended Myopic Policies, Management Science 40(3):320–332, 1994. https://doi.org/10.1287/mnsc.40.3.320
  • M. Dada, N. C. Petruzzi, L. B. Schwarz, A Newsvendor's Procurement Problem when Suppliers Are Unreliable, Manufacturing & Service Operations Management 9(1):9–32, 2007. https://doi.org/10.1287/msom.1060.0126
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Convex OptimizationOperations ResearchOptimization·Captain: mikedeng1

On Implementing a Primal-Dual Interior-Point Method for Conic Quadratic Optimization III: A Newton Step Scales the Homogeneous Residuals and the Complementarity Gap by 1 − α(1 − γ)Research Paper

Motivation

Conic quadratic optimization — linear optimization over products of quadratic (second-order, Lorentz) cones — covers robust linear programming, portfolio problems with risk constraints, norm minimization and many engineering design problems. Andersen, Roos and Terlaky describe the primal-dual interior-point method implemented in the MOSEK optimizer for this problem class (Math. Program. 95 (2003)). Their algorithm does not solve the primal and dual problems directly. It solves the homogeneous model, an embedding that has a solution whether or not the original problem is feasible, and from which either an optimal pair or a certificate of infeasibility is read off.

The convergence argument of such a method rests on one algebraic property of its search direction: a step along the Newton direction reduces the infeasibility of the homogeneous model and its complementarity gap at the same rate. For linear programming this is classical (Xu, Hung and Ye, 1996; Andersen and Andersen, 2000). This mission formalizes the conic quadratic version, Lemma 4.1 of the paper, in which the diagonal complementarity products of linear programming are replaced by arrow-head matrices.

Setting

The cone is a product K=K1×⋯×KkK = K^1\times\cdots\times K^kK=K1×⋯×Kk. Each factor Ki⊆RniK^i\subseteq\mathbb R^{n^i}Ki⊆Rni is one of three kinds:

  • the half-line R+={x∈R:x≥0}\mathbb R_+ = \{x\in\mathbb R : x\ge0\}R+​={x∈R:x≥0}, with ni=1n^i = 1ni=1;
  • the quadratic cone Kq={x∈Rn:x12≥∥x2:n∥2, x1≥0}K^q = \{x\in\mathbb R^{n} : x_1^2\ge\|x_{2:n}\|^2,\ x_1\ge0\}Kq={x∈Rn:x12​≥∥x2:n​∥2, x1​≥0}, with ni≥1n^i\ge1ni≥1;
  • the rotated quadratic cone Kr={x∈Rn:2x1x2≥∥x3:n∥2, x1,x2≥0}K^r = \{x\in\mathbb R^{n} : 2x_1x_2\ge\|x_{3:n}\|^2,\ x_1,x_2\ge0\}Kr={x∈Rn:2x1​x2​≥∥x3:n​∥2, x1​,x2​≥0}, with ni≥2n^i\ge2ni≥2.

Vectors are partitioned by cones, x=(x1;… ;xk)x = (x^1;\dots;x^k)x=(x1;…;xk), and xTs=∑i(xi)Tsix^Ts = \sum_i (x^i)^Ts^ixTs=∑i​(xi)Tsi. To each cone is attached a symmetric orthogonal matrix TiT^iTi: the identity for R+\mathbb R_+R+​ and KqK^qKq, and for KrK^rKr the identity with its leading 2×22\times22×2 block replaced by 12[111−1]\frac{1}{\sqrt2}\begin{bmatrix}1&1\\1&-1\end{bmatrix}2​1​[11​1−1​]. For v∈Rdv\in\mathbb R^dv∈Rd the arrow-head matrix is

mat⁡(v)=[v1v2:dTv2:dv1I].\operatorname{mat}(v) = \begin{bmatrix} v_1 & v_{2:d}^T\\ v_{2:d} & v_1 I\end{bmatrix}.mat(v)=[v1​v2:d​​v2:dT​v1​I​].

At a point (x,s)(x,s)(x,s) put Xi=mat⁡(Tixi)X^i = \operatorname{mat}(T^ix^i)Xi=mat(Tixi), Si=mat⁡(Tisi)S^i = \operatorname{mat}(T^is^i)Si=mat(Tisi), and let XXX, SSS, TTT be block diagonal with blocks XiX^iXi, SiS^iSi, TiT^iTi. Let eie^iei be the first unit vector of Rni\mathbb R^{n^i}Rni and e=(e1;… ;ek)e = (e^1;\dots;e^k)e=(e1;…;ek).

The data are A∈Rm×nA\in\mathbb R^{m\times n}A∈Rm×n, b∈Rmb\in\mathbb R^mb∈Rm, c∈Rnc\in\mathbb R^nc∈Rn. A current point is (x(0),τ(0),y(0),s(0),κ(0))(x^{(0)},\tau^{(0)},y^{(0)},s^{(0)},\kappa^{(0)})(x(0),τ(0),y(0),s(0),κ(0)), with

μ(0)=(x(0))Ts(0)+τ(0)κ(0)k+1.\mu^{(0)} = \frac{(x^{(0)})^Ts^{(0)} + \tau^{(0)}\kappa^{(0)}}{k+1}.μ(0)=k+1(x(0))Ts(0)+τ(0)κ(0)​.

For a centering parameter γ∈[0,1]\gamma\in[0,1]γ∈[0,1] the Newton direction (dx,dτ,dy,ds,dκ)(d_x,d_\tau,d_y,d_s,d_\kappa)(dx​,dτ​,dy​,ds​,dκ​) solves the linear system (22):

Adx−bdτ=(γ−1)(Ax(0)−bτ(0)),ATdy+ds−cdτ=(γ−1)(ATy(0)+s(0)−cτ(0)),−cTdx+bTdy−dκ=(γ−1)(−cTx(0)+bTy(0)−κ(0)),X(0)Tds+S(0)Tdx=−X(0)S(0)e+γμ(0)e,τ(0)dκ+κ(0)dτ=−τ(0)κ(0)+γμ(0).\begin{aligned} A d_x - b d_\tau &= (\gamma-1)(Ax^{(0)} - b\tau^{(0)}),\\ A^Td_y + d_s - c d_\tau &= (\gamma-1)(A^Ty^{(0)} + s^{(0)} - c\tau^{(0)}),\\ -c^Td_x + b^Td_y - d_\kappa &= (\gamma-1)(-c^Tx^{(0)} + b^Ty^{(0)} - \kappa^{(0)}),\\ X^{(0)}Td_s + S^{(0)}Td_x &= -X^{(0)}S^{(0)}e + \gamma\mu^{(0)}e,\\ \tau^{(0)}d_\kappa + \kappa^{(0)}d_\tau &= -\tau^{(0)}\kappa^{(0)} + \gamma\mu^{(0)}. \end{aligned}Adx​−bdτ​ATdy​+ds​−cdτ​−cTdx​+bTdy​−dκ​X(0)Tds​+S(0)Tdx​τ(0)dκ​+κ(0)dτ​​=(γ−1)(Ax(0)−bτ(0)),=(γ−1)(ATy(0)+s(0)−cτ(0)),=(γ−1)(−cTx(0)+bTy(0)−κ(0)),=−X(0)S(0)e+γμ(0)e,=−τ(0)κ(0)+γμ(0).​

The new point is (x(1),τ(1),y(1),s(1),κ(1))=(x(0),τ(0),y(0),s(0),κ(0))+α(dx,dτ,dy,ds,dκ)(x^{(1)},\tau^{(1)},y^{(1)},s^{(1)},\kappa^{(1)}) = (x^{(0)},\tau^{(0)},y^{(0)},s^{(0)},\kappa^{(0)}) + \alpha(d_x,d_\tau,d_y,d_s,d_\kappa)(x(1),τ(1),y(1),s(1),κ(1))=(x(0),τ(0),y(0),s(0),κ(0))+α(dx​,dτ​,dy​,ds​,dκ​) for a step size α∈[0,1]\alpha\in[0,1]α∈[0,1] (23).

Formalization targets

Goal: Lemma 4.1 (p. 13)

Under (22) and (23),

Ax(1)−bτ(1)=(1−α(1−γ))(Ax(0)−bτ(0)),ATy(1)+s(1)−cτ(1)=(1−α(1−γ))(ATy(0)+s(0)−cτ(0)),−cTx(1)+bTy(1)−κ(1)=(1−α(1−γ))(−cTx(0)+bTy(0)−κ(0)),dxTds+dτdκ=0,(x(1))Ts(1)+τ(1)κ(1)=(1−α(1−γ))((x(0))Ts(0)+τ(0)κ(0)).\begin{aligned} Ax^{(1)} - b\tau^{(1)} &= (1-\alpha(1-\gamma))(Ax^{(0)} - b\tau^{(0)}),\\ A^Ty^{(1)} + s^{(1)} - c\tau^{(1)} &= (1-\alpha(1-\gamma))(A^Ty^{(0)} + s^{(0)} - c\tau^{(0)}),\\ -c^Tx^{(1)} + b^Ty^{(1)} - \kappa^{(1)} &= (1-\alpha(1-\gamma))(-c^Tx^{(0)} + b^Ty^{(0)} - \kappa^{(0)}),\\ d_x^Td_s + d_\tau d_\kappa &= 0,\\ (x^{(1)})^Ts^{(1)} + \tau^{(1)}\kappa^{(1)} &= (1-\alpha(1-\gamma))\big((x^{(0)})^Ts^{(0)} + \tau^{(0)}\kappa^{(0)}\big). \end{aligned}Ax(1)−bτ(1)ATy(1)+s(1)−cτ(1)−cTx(1)+bTy(1)−κ(1)dxT​ds​+dτ​dκ​(x(1))Ts(1)+τ(1)κ(1)​=(1−α(1−γ))(Ax(0)−bτ(0)),=(1−α(1−γ))(ATy(0)+s(0)−cτ(0)),=(1−α(1−γ))(−cTx(0)+bTy(0)−κ(0)),=0,=(1−α(1−γ))((x(0))Ts(0)+τ(0)κ(0)).​

Milestones

  1. (25), p. 13: with η=1−γ\eta = 1-\gammaη=1−γ, the shifted point η(x(0),τ(0),y(0),s(0),κ(0))+d\eta(x^{(0)},\tau^{(0)},y^{(0)},s^{(0)},\kappa^{(0)}) + dη(x(0),τ(0),y(0),s(0),κ(0))+d satisfies the three linear equations of the homogeneous model.
  2. (26), p. 13: 0=(ηx(0)+dx)T(ηs(0)+ds)+(ητ(0)+dτ)(ηκ(0)+dκ)0 = (\eta x^{(0)}+d_x)^T(\eta s^{(0)}+d_s) + (\eta\tau^{(0)}+d_\tau)(\eta\kappa^{(0)}+d_\kappa)0=(ηx(0)+dx​)T(ηs(0)+ds​)+(ητ(0)+dτ​)(ηκ(0)+dκ​), and its expansion in powers of η\etaη.
  3. (61), p. 36: eTXSe=∑i(Tixi)TTisi=xTse^TXSe = \sum_i (T^ix^i)^TT^is^i = x^TseTXSe=∑i​(Tixi)TTisi=xTs for all xxx, sss.
  4. p. 14, first equality: (x(0))Tds+(s(0))Tdx=eT(X(0)Tds+S(0)Tdx)(x^{(0)})^Td_s + (s^{(0)})^Td_x = e^T(X^{(0)}Td_s + S^{(0)}Td_x)(x(0))Tds​+(s(0))Tdx​=eT(X(0)Tds​+S(0)Tdx​), for all vectors.
  5. p. 14, the chain's value: (x(0))Tds+(s(0))Tdx+τ(0)dκ+κ(0)dτ=(γ−1)μ(0)(k+1)(x^{(0)})^Td_s + (s^{(0)})^Td_x + \tau^{(0)}d_\kappa + \kappa^{(0)}d_\tau = (\gamma-1)\mu^{(0)}(k+1)(x(0))Tds​+(s(0))Tdx​+τ(0)dκ​+κ(0)dτ​=(γ−1)μ(0)(k+1).
  6. p. 14, orthogonality: dxTds+dτdκ=0d_x^Td_s + d_\tau d_\kappa = 0dxT​ds​+dτ​dκ​=0.

Significance

Lemma 4.1 is what makes the homogeneous algorithm analyzable. Because the three residuals and the gap shrink by the same factor 1−α(1−γ)1-\alpha(1-\gamma)1−α(1−γ), their ratios are invariant along the iterates, and a step with γ<1\gamma<1γ<1 and α>0\alpha>0α>0 makes measurable progress toward a solution of the homogeneous model. The paper notes (p. 14) that all properties stated in Lemma 4.1 hold for the Nesterov–Todd-scaled direction (27) as well, the direction actually implemented, for which polynomial complexity is shown by Monteiro and Tsuchiya (2000).

The result is proved on the page; it is not open. As far as the platform's catalogue shows, it has not been formalized. Machine-checked versions exist only for linear-programming analogues, with diagonal complementarity products in place of arrow-head matrices. The formalization adds two things. First, it fixes three printed slips: the third line of (22) prints κ\kappaκ for κ(0)\kappa^{(0)}κ(0); the fourth identity of (24) prints dxTdsTd_x^Td_s^TdxT​dsT​; and the proof's evaluation on p. 14 ends with (γ−1)μ(0)k(\gamma-1)\mu^{(0)}k(γ−1)μ(0)k where (γ−1)μ(0)(k+1)(\gamma-1)\mu^{(0)}(k+1)(γ−1)μ(0)(k+1) is correct, since eTe=ke^Te = keTe=k and the τκ\tau\kappaτκ equation contributes the extra μ(0)\mu^{(0)}μ(0). Second, the arrow-head identities (61) and the p. 14 equality are reusable for missions on the complementarity conditions (Lemma 3.1) and the scaled directions of the same paper.

Difficulty

The first three identities of (24) are linear and follow from the first three lines of (22) alone. The content is in the last two. They need an inner-product identity that turns the fourth line of (22), a statement about arrow-head matrix products, into a statement about the scalar quantity (x(0))Tds+(s(0))Tdx(x^{(0)})^Td_s + (s^{(0)})^Td_x(x(0))Tds​+(s(0))Tdx​. The naive reading treats X(0)TdsX^{(0)}Td_sX(0)Tds​ as an abstract linear image of dsd_sds​ and loses exactly this link. What is needed is that the first row of mat⁡(v)\operatorname{mat}(v)mat(v) is vTv^TvT, that mat⁡(u)mat⁡(v)e1\operatorname{mat}(u)\operatorname{mat}(v)e_1mat(u)mat(v)e1​ has first entry uTvu^TvuTv, and that every TiT^iTi is symmetric and orthogonal. The last fails for the rotated cone when ni<2n^i<2ni<2, so the dimension conventions are not decoration. The bookkeeping constant eTe=ke^Te = keTe=k must also be tracked correctly; the page itself gets it wrong.

Formalization scope

  • Representation. Blocks are indexed by Fin k; block iii is Fin (n i) → ℝ, and indices are 0-based (the paper's v1v_1v1​ is v 0). AAA is given by its column blocks AiA^iAi, so Ax=∑iAixiAx = \sum_iA^ix^iAx=∑i​Aixi, (ATy)i=(Ai)Ty(A^Ty)^i = (A^i)^Ty(ATy)i=(Ai)Ty and cTx=∑i(ci)Txic^Tx = \sum_i (c^i)^Tx^icTx=∑i​(ci)Txi. The second line of (22) and of (24), and the fourth line of (22), are stated block by block; this is equivalent because XXX, SSS, TTT are block diagonal.
  • Definitions. The shared module ConicQuadIPM.Complementarity.Setting provides the cone kinds, TiT^iTi (Tmat), mat⁡(v)\operatorname{mat}(v)mat(v) (arrow), eie^iei (e1) and the predicate WellFormed; this mission's ConicQuadIPM.NewtonStep.Setting adds μ(0)\mu^{(0)}μ(0) (mu0) and the system (22) (NewtonSystem). WellFormed is the paper's implicit dimension convention (ni=1n^i = 1ni=1, ≥1\ge1≥1, ≥2\ge2≥2 for the three kinds).
  • Hypotheses. Every theorem assumes WellFormed. This is a disclosed addition: the paper never states the dimensions, and without them a block of dimension 000 breaks eTe=ke^Te = keTe=k. The ranges α∈[0,1]\alpha\in[0,1]α∈[0,1] and γ∈[0,1]\gamma\in[0,1]γ∈[0,1] are kept as on the page, although the identities hold for all real values. No interiority or cone membership of the current point is assumed, because Lemma 4.1 does not use any. The κ\kappaκ of (22)'s third line is κ(0)\kappa^{(0)}κ(0).
  • No trivialization. The fourth line of (22) must stay in terms of arrow and Tmat. Replacing X(0)TdsX^{(0)}Td_sX(0)Tds​ by an abstract linear map, or by (x(0))Tds(x^{(0)})^Td_s(x(0))Tds​ directly, would turn milestone 4 into a definition and empty the goal. Milestone 5 states the corrected constant k+1k+1k+1; the printed kkk is false whenever γ≠1\gamma\ne1γ=1 and μ(0)≠0\mu^{(0)}\ne0μ(0)=0.
  • Reusable parts. The arrow-head lemmas (first row of mat⁡(v)\operatorname{mat}(v)mat(v), e1Tmat⁡(u)mat⁡(v)e1=uTve_1^T\operatorname{mat}(u)\operatorname{mat}(v)e_1 = u^Tve1T​mat(u)mat(v)e1​=uTv, symmetry and orthogonality of TiT^iTi) are useful beyond this mission. Contributions of these as separate lemmas are welcome.

Selected references

  • E. D. Andersen, C. Roos, T. Terlaky, On implementing a primal-dual interior-point method for conic quadratic optimization, Mathematical Programming 95 (2003) 249–277; cited from the authors' preprint of 18 December 2000. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10107-002-0349-3
  • X. Xu, P.-F. Hung, Y. Ye, A simplified homogeneous and self-dual linear programming algorithm and its implementation, Annals of Operations Research 62 (1996) 151–171. https://doi.org/10.1007/BF02206815
  • E. D. Andersen, K. D. Andersen, The MOSEK interior point optimizer for linear programming: an implementation of the homogeneous algorithm, in High Performance Optimization, Kluwer (2000) 197–232. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-1-4757-3216-0_8
  • R. D. C. Monteiro, T. Tsuchiya, Polynomial convergence of primal-dual algorithms for the second-order cone program based on the MZ-family of directions, Mathematical Programming 88 (2000) 61–83. https://doi.org/10.1007/PL00011378
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Machine LearningOptimizationStatistics·Captain: mikedeng1

Robust Regression and Lasso 1: Under Feature-Wise Norm-Bounded Column Disturbances, Worst-Case Least-Norm Regression Is Exactly ℓ1-Regularized Regression ‖b − Ax‖₂ + Σ cᵢ|xᵢ|Research Paper

Why robustness and the Lasso belong together

The Lasso (Tibshirani 1996; Chen, Donoho and Saunders 1998) fits a linear model b≈Axb \approx Axb≈Ax by penalizing the ℓ¹ norm of the coefficients. It is one of the standard tools of high-dimensional statistics and signal processing, and its usual justification is statistical or geometric: the ℓ¹ penalty is a convex surrogate for sparsity, or the negative log-density of a Laplace prior. Xu, Caramanis and Mannor (arXiv:0811.1790v1, 2008; IEEE Trans. Inf. Theory 56(7), 2010) give a different justification: an ℓ¹-regularized regression is exactly a robust regression, the problem of fitting the data well in the worst case when every feature of the observation matrix may be corrupted by a bounded disturbance.

This observation is the foundation of the rest of their paper (dual-norm regularizers from coupled disturbances, sparsity from robustness, consistency of the Lasso through a worst-case-expectation reading). It also connects two literatures. On the robust side, El Ghaoui and Lebret (SIAM J. Matrix Anal. Appl. 18(4), 1997) computed the worst-case residual when the whole data matrix [A b][A\ b][A b] is disturbed in a Frobenius-norm ball, obtaining ∥Ax−b∥+∥x∥2+1\|Ax-b\|+\sqrt{\|x\|^2+1}∥Ax−b∥+∥x∥2+1​; that result is already on the platform as RobustLS.Unstructured.worst_case_residual_closed_form. On the distributional side, Blanchet, Kang and Murthy (J. Appl. Probab. 56(3), 2019) obtained the square-root Lasso as a Wasserstein distributionally robust problem (RWPI.SqrtLasso.theorem_1). The present mission formalizes the feature-wise result that sits between them.

Setting

Fix integers nnn (samples) and mmm (features). The observation matrix A∈Rn×mA\in\mathbb R^{n\times m}A∈Rn×m has columns a1,…,am∈Rna_1,\dots,a_m\in\mathbb R^na1​,…,am​∈Rn, the features. The response is b∈Rnb\in\mathbb R^nb∈Rn and a coefficient vector is x∈Rmx\in\mathbb R^mx∈Rm, so that Ax=∑i=1mxiaiAx=\sum_{i=1}^m x_i a_iAx=∑i=1m​xi​ai​. All norms on Rn\mathbb R^nRn are Euclidean, ∥⋅∥2\|\cdot\|_2∥⋅∥2​.

A disturbance of AAA is a family ΔA=(δ1,…,δm)\Delta A=(\delta_1,\dots,\delta_m)ΔA=(δ1​,…,δm​) of vectors δi∈Rn\delta_i\in\mathbb R^nδi​∈Rn, one per column; the disturbed matrix A+ΔAA+\Delta AA+ΔA has columns ai+δia_i+\delta_iai​+δi​. Given budgets c1,…,cm≥0c_1,\dots,c_m\ge 0c1​,…,cm​≥0, the feature-wise uncoupled uncertainty set is

U={(δ1,…,δm)  ∣  ∥δi∥2≤ci, i=1,…,m}.(2)\mathcal U=\bigl\{(\delta_1,\dots,\delta_m)\;\big|\;\|\delta_i\|_2\le c_i,\ i=1,\dots,m\bigr\}. \tag{2}U={(δ1​,…,δm​)​∥δi​∥2​≤ci​, i=1,…,m}.(2)

Each feature is disturbed independently: no constraint couples the δi\delta_iδi​. The robust objective is the worst-case residual

R(x)=sup⁡ΔA∈U∥b−(A+ΔA)x∥2,R(x)=\sup_{\Delta A\in\mathcal U}\|b-(A+\Delta A)x\|_2,R(x)=ΔA∈Usup​∥b−(A+ΔA)x∥2​,

and robust linear regression is problem (1), min⁡x∈RmR(x)\min_{x\in\mathbb R^m} R(x)minx∈Rm​R(x). The ℓ¹-regularized regression problem is (3), min⁡x∈RmL(x)\min_{x\in\mathbb R^m} L(x)minx∈Rm​L(x) with

L(x)=∥b−Ax∥2+∑i=1mci∣xi∣.L(x)=\|b-Ax\|_2+\sum_{i=1}^m c_i|x_i| .L(x)=∥b−Ax∥2​+i=1∑m​ci​∣xi​∣.

The loss in LLL is the norm of the residual, not its square. In the Lean development, AxAxAx is matVec a x, U\mathcal UU is uncertaintySet c, RRR is robustObjective a b c, LLL is l1RegularizedObjective a b c, and the disturbance δi∗=−ci sgn(xi) u\delta_i^*=-c_i\,\mathrm{sgn}(x_i)\,uδi∗​=−ci​sgn(xi​)u of the proof is worstCaseDisturbance c x u.

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem 1 (p. 4)

For n≥1n\ge1n≥1 and budgets ci≥0c_i\ge 0ci​≥0, problem (1) with uncertainty set (2) is equivalent to problem (3): for every x∈Rmx\in\mathbb R^mx∈Rm,

x minimizes R  ⟺  x minimizes L,andinf⁡xR(x)=inf⁡xL(x).x\ \text{minimizes}\ R\iff x\ \text{minimizes}\ L,\qquad\text{and}\qquad \inf_{x} R(x)=\inf_x L(x).x minimizes R⟺x minimizes L,andxinf​R(x)=xinf​L(x).

No minimizer is asserted to exist; the paper does not claim one.

Milestones (in the order the proof uses them)

  1. Eq. (4), the upper bound: for every ΔA∈U\Delta A\in\mathcal UΔA∈U, ∥b−(A+ΔA)x∥2≤∥b−Ax∥2+∑i∣xi∣ci\|b-(A+\Delta A)x\|_2\le\|b-Ax\|_2+\sum_i|x_i|c_i∥b−(A+ΔA)x∥2​≤∥b−Ax∥2​+∑i​∣xi​∣ci​.
  2. Eq. (5), the attained worst case: with uuu a unit vector equal to (b−Ax)/∥b−Ax∥2(b-Ax)/\|b-Ax\|_2(b−Ax)/∥b−Ax∥2​ when Ax≠bAx\ne bAx=b, the disturbance δi∗=−ci sgn(xi) u\delta_i^*=-c_i\,\mathrm{sgn}(x_i)\,uδi∗​=−ci​sgn(xi​)u lies in U\mathcal UU and
∥b−(A+ΔA∗)x∥2=∥b−Ax∥2+∑ici∣xi∣.\|b-(A+\Delta A^*)x\|_2=\|b-Ax\|_2+\sum_i c_i|x_i| .∥b−(A+ΔA∗)x∥2​=∥b−Ax∥2​+i∑​ci​∣xi​∣.
  1. The per-xxx identity stated at the start of the proof: for every xxx,
max⁡ΔA∈U∥b−(A+ΔA)x∥2=∥b−Ax∥2+∑i=1mci∣xi∣,\max_{\Delta A\in\mathcal U}\|b-(A+\Delta A)x\|_2=\|b-Ax\|_2+\sum_{i=1}^m c_i|x_i|,ΔA∈Umax​∥b−(A+ΔA)x∥2​=∥b−Ax∥2​+i=1∑m​ci​∣xi​∣,

with the maximum attained.

Significance

The result. Theorem 1 turns a min–max problem whose inner maximization is nonconvex into a single convex, second-order-cone-representable problem, and it gives the regularization weights a concrete meaning: cic_ici​ is the size of the disturbance feature iii is protected against. With equal budgets ci=cc_i=cci​=c it recovers the Lasso with the unsquared loss, which coincides with the usual Lasso up to a data-dependent change of the regularization coefficient. Every later result of the paper (Theorem 3 for arbitrary norms, the coupled uncertainty sets of Corollary 1, the sparsity theorems of §IV, the kernel-density reading of §V) builds on this identity or its proof pattern.

Formalizing it. The theorem is proved in the paper; the mission formalizes that proof. No machine-checked version of it exists on the platform or, to our knowledge, elsewhere. The definitions here (the uncertainty set, the worst-case objective as a genuine supremum, the explicit worst-case disturbance) are the base on which the companion missions of this series (coupled norms, sparsity, worst-case expectation) restate their own objects.

Difficulty

The upper bound (4) is the triangle inequality. The substance is the lower bound: one must exhibit a single admissible disturbance that makes every column perturbation push the residual in the same direction, and check that it is admissible and that the resulting norm adds up exactly. Two edge cases make the obvious argument fail as written. When Ax=bAx=bAx=b the direction (b−Ax)/∥b−Ax∥2(b-Ax)/\|b-Ax\|_2(b−Ax)/∥b−Ax∥2​ is undefined and an arbitrary unit vector must be used instead, which requires n≥1n\ge1n≥1; for n=0n=0n=0 the identity reads 0=∑ici∣xi∣0=\sum_i c_i|x_i|0=∑i​ci​∣xi​∣ and is false. When xi=0x_i=0xi​=0 the sign must be 000, not ±1\pm1±1, for the computation in (5) to go through. Passing from the per-xxx identity to the equivalence of the two minimization problems is then routine, but it must be done without assuming that either problem has a minimizer.

Formalization scope

  • Rn\mathbb R^nRn is EuclideanSpace ℝ (Fin n); AAA is the family of its columns a : Fin m → EuclideanSpace ℝ (Fin n), and Ax=∑ixi aiAx=\sum_i x_i\,a_iAx=∑i​xi​ai​. Indices 1,…,m1,\dots,m1,…,m are Fin m. A disturbance is δ : Fin m → EuclideanSpace ℝ (Fin n), and (A+ΔA)x(A+\Delta A)x(A+ΔA)x is matVec (a + δ) x.
  • Readings of "max" and "min". The paper writes "max" over U\mathcal UU. R(x)R(x)R(x) is defined as the supremum over U\mathcal UU taken in EReal, so it is −∞-\infty−∞ on an empty set and +∞+\infty+∞ on an unbounded one and carries no junk value. That the maximum is attained is stated separately, as IsGreatest of the set of residual norms (milestone 3). "min" in (1) and (3) is read as: the same set of minimizers (IsMinOn … Set.univ) and the same infimum, computed in EReal. No existence of minimizers is claimed.
  • Added hypothesis. n≥1n\ge1n≥1 (0 < n), which the paper leaves implicit. The budgets ci≥0c_i\ge0ci​≥0 are the paper's own assumption on (2).
  • Sign convention. sgn\mathrm{sgn}sgn is Real.sign, with sgn(0)=0\mathrm{sgn}(0)=0sgn(0)=0.
  • Trivializing formalizations ruled out. The robust objective is defined as the supremum over U\mathcal UU, never by its closed form ∥b−Ax∥2+∑ici∣xi∣\|b-Ax\|_2+\sum_i c_i|x_i|∥b−Ax∥2​+∑i​ci​∣xi​∣, which would make milestone 3 and the goal hold by definition; and no real sSup with junk value 000 is used, so the identities cannot hold vacuously.
  • Not in scope. The remark that (3) "recovers the well-known Lasso" (it has the unsquared loss), §II-B and Theorem 2 (probabilistic construction of the budgets), and the other sections of the paper, which are separate missions.
  • Infrastructure. Only Mathlib's inner-product-space and EReal order theory are needed. The squared-loss Lasso definitions already on the platform (XuMannorRobust.Lasso.*, LassoDantzig.*) are different objects and are not used. Contributions are welcome on each milestone independently; a proof of the per-xxx identity for an arbitrary norm on Rn\mathbb R^nRn would also serve Theorem 3 of the paper.

Selected references

  • H. Xu, C. Caramanis, S. Mannor, Robust Regression and Lasso, arXiv:0811.1790v1, 2008; IEEE Trans. Inf. Theory 56(7):3561–3574, 2010. https://arxiv.org/abs/0811.1790v1, https://doi.org/10.1109/TIT.2010.2048503
  • R. Tibshirani, Regression shrinkage and selection via the lasso, J. R. Stat. Soc. B 58(1):267–288, 1996. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.2517-6161.1996.tb02080.x
  • S. S. Chen, D. L. Donoho, M. A. Saunders, Atomic decomposition by basis pursuit, SIAM J. Sci. Comput. 20(1):33–61, 1998. https://doi.org/10.1137/S1064827596304010
  • L. El Ghaoui, H. Lebret, Robust solutions to least-squares problems with uncertain data, SIAM J. Matrix Anal. Appl. 18(4):1035–1064, 1997. https://doi.org/10.1137/S0895479896298130
  • J. Blanchet, Y. Kang, K. Murthy, Robust Wasserstein profile inference and applications to machine learning, J. Appl. Probab. 56(3):830–857, 2019. https://doi.org/10.1017/jpr.2019.49
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Algorithmic Game TheoryOperations ResearchProbability·Captain: mikedeng1

Centralized and Competitive Inventory Models with Demand Substitution 1: The Competitive Substitution Game Has a Nash Equilibrium, Unique and Globally Stable When Substitution Rates Sum Below OneResearch Paper

Motivation

A retailer that carries several substitutable products, such as brands of the same item or sizes of the same garment, must choose stock levels before demand is known. When a product runs out, some of its customers buy another product instead. Inventory models with this demand substitution go back to McGillivray and Silver (1978, INFOR 16(1)) and Parlar and Goyal (1984). When the products are run by different firms, each firm's stock affects the demand its competitors see, and stocking becomes a game. Parlar (1988) proved existence and uniqueness of the equilibrium for two products; Lippman and McCardle (1997) treated a symmetric version of the game with an arbitrary number of firms.

Netessine and Rudi (SSRN 303779, working paper 2002; journal version in Operations Research 51(2), 2003) treat nnn products with a general joint demand distribution and general prices and costs, under both centralized and competitive management. This mission formalizes their analysis of the competitive game (§2.2): the first-order characterization of its Nash equilibria (Proposition 3) and the existence, uniqueness and global stability of the equilibrium (Proposition 4).

Setting

There are nnn products, indexed i=1,…,ni=1,\dots,ni=1,…,n, sold in a single period. Product iii is stocked at Qi≥0Q_i\ge0Qi​≥0 units at unit cost cic_ici​, sold at unit price rir_iri​, and leftovers are salvaged at sis_isi​, with ri>ci>si>0r_i>c_i>s_i>0ri​>ci​>si​>0. Write ui=ri−ciu_i=r_i-c_iui​=ri​−ci​ (underage cost) and oi=ci−sio_i=c_i-s_ioi​=ci​−si​ (overage cost).

The first-choice demand D=(D1,…,Dn)D=(D_1,\dots,D_n)D=(D1​,…,Dn​) is a random vector with a known continuous joint distribution with positive support. A fraction aij∈[0,1]a_{ij}\in[0,1]aij​∈[0,1] of the customers who want product iii and find it out of stock buy product jjj instead, with aii=0a_{ii}=0aii​=0 and ∑jaij<1\sum_{j}a_{ij}<1∑j​aij​<1 for every iii; a customer whose second choice is also out of stock is lost. The effective demand for product iii is

Dis=Di+∑j≠iaji (Dj−Qj)+,D^s_i = D_i + \sum_{j\neq i} a_{ji}\,(D_j-Q_j)^+ ,Dis​=Di​+j=i∑​aji​(Dj​−Qj​)+,

which depends on the other products' stocks Q−iQ_{-i}Q−i​ but not on QiQ_iQi​.

In the competitive model, firm iii chooses QiQ_iQi​ and earns the expected profit

πi(Qi,Q−i)=E[uiDis−ui(Dis−Qi)+−oi(Qi−Dis)+].(9)\pi_i(Q_i,Q_{-i}) = E\big[u_iD^s_i - u_i(D^s_i-Q_i)^+ - o_i(Q_i-D^s_i)^+\big]. \tag{9}πi​(Qi​,Q−i​)=E[ui​Dis​−ui​(Dis​−Qi​)+−oi​(Qi​−Dis​)+].(9)

A best response of firm iii to Q−iQ_{-i}Q−i​ is a stock Qi≥0Q_i\ge0Qi​≥0 maximizing πi(⋅,Q−i)\pi_i(\cdot,Q_{-i})πi​(⋅,Q−i​), and a Nash equilibrium is a stock vector from which no firm gains by deviating.

Formalization targets

Goal: Proposition 4

A Nash equilibrium exists, the equilibria are exactly the nonnegative solutions of the first-order conditions

Pr⁡(Di<Qi)−Pr⁡(Di<Qi<Dis)=uiui+oi,i=1,…,n,(10)\Pr(D_i<Q_i) - \Pr(D_i<Q_i<D^s_i) = \frac{u_i}{u_i+o_i},\qquad i=1,\dots,n, \tag{10}Pr(Di​<Qi​)−Pr(Di​<Qi​<Dis​)=ui​+oi​ui​​,i=1,…,n,(10)

and if either ∑iaij<1\sum_{i}a_{ij}<1∑i​aij​<1 for all jjj or ∑jaij<1\sum_{j}a_{ij}<1∑j​aij​<1 for all iii, the equilibrium QdQ^dQd is unique and globally stable: every sequence of simultaneous best responses started at any nonnegative stock vector converges to QdQ^dQd.

Milestones

  1. The derivative ∂πi/∂Qi=ui−(ui+oi)Pr⁡(Dis<Qi)\partial\pi_i/\partial Q_i = u_i-(u_i+o_i)\Pr(D^s_i<Q_i)∂πi​/∂Qi​=ui​−(ui​+oi​)Pr(Dis​<Qi​) (p. 8).
  2. Concavity of πi\pi_iπi​ in QiQ_iQi​ (p. 8).
  3. Proposition 3: a nonnegative stock vector is a Nash equilibrium if and only if it satisfies (10) (p. 8).
  4. Each best response is unique and is characterized by (10) (proof of Proposition 4, p. 9).
  5. The best response of firm iii is nonincreasing in the rivals' stocks, with slope in QjQ_jQj​ at most ajia_{ji}aji​ in absolute value (p. 9).
  6. The simultaneous best-response map is Lipschitz with constant max⁡j∑iaji\max_j\sum_i a_{ji}maxj​∑i​aji​ in the one-norm and max⁡i∑jaji\max_i\sum_j a_{ji}maxi​∑j​aji​ in the infinity-norm (p. 9).

Significance

Proposition 4 makes the competitive equilibrium a well-defined object: a single stock vector, characterized by (10), which can be compared with the centralized optimum (the paper's Proposition 6) and which best-response adjustment reaches from any starting point. Without uniqueness, comparative statements about "the" competitive stocking level would be about an arbitrary selection.

The paper's argument has two gaps that this mission makes explicit. The proof asserts that best responses are single-valued because each profit is concave, and differentiates the best response using a density of DisD^s_iDis​; the bound on the Jacobian is then stated in derivative form. The formal statements replace the derivative bounds by difference (Lipschitz) bounds, which need no differentiability, and state the positivity of the density on which single-valuedness rests. The paper also proves existence by citation to Lippman and McCardle; here existence is part of the goal. No machine-checked proof of these results is known.

Difficulty

The obvious route differentiates the best response implicitly, as the paper does. That requires DisD^s_iDis​ to have a continuous, positive density at the equilibrium quantile, which is not a consequence of a continuous joint law: DisD^s_iDis​ is a piecewise-linear function of DDD, and its distribution function may have kinks. A second point is that concavity of πi\pi_iπi​ alone does not make the best response unique: a demand law whose support has a gap gives πi\pi_iπi​ a flat stretch and an interval of maximizers. Global stability must hold for every sequence of best responses, not for the iterates of one selected best-response function. Finally, the probabilities in (10) use strict inequalities, and their identification with Pr⁡(Dis≤Qi)\Pr(D^s_i\le Q_i)Pr(Dis​≤Qi​) uses that DisD^s_iDis​ has no atoms, which needs a measure-theoretic argument about Dis=Di+g(D−i)D^s_i=D_i+g(D_{-i})Dis​=Di​+g(D−i​) under an absolutely continuous law.

Formalization scope

Products are indexed by Fin n (0-based). The model data and the standing assumptions ri>ci>si>0r_i>c_i>s_i>0ri​>ci​>si​>0, aij∈[0,1]a_{ij}\in[0,1]aij​∈[0,1], aii=0a_{ii}=0aii​=0 and ∑jaij<1\sum_j a_{ij}<1∑j​aij​<1 are fields of a structure Model n. a i j is the share of iii's unmet demand going to jjj, so DisD^s_iDis​ uses a j i. The demand law is a probability measure μ\muμ on Rn\mathbb R^nRn that is absolutely continuous with respect to Lebesgue measure, gives every coordinate a positive value almost surely, and has integrable coordinates; this is the reading of "a known continuous multivariate demand distribution with positive support". Expectations are Bochner integrals and probabilities are μ.real of events, with the strict and weak inequalities as printed.

The stocks range over [0,∞)n[0,\infty)^n[0,∞)n, with no upper bound. A best response maximizes over [0,∞)[0,\infty)[0,∞); a Nash equilibrium is defined by the absence of a profitable deviation, not by (10). Defining equilibria by (10) would make Proposition 3 and half of Proposition 4 true by definition, and is ruled out.

One hypothesis is added beyond the page and disclosed in every statement that uses it: μ\muμ has a Lebesgue density that is strictly positive on the open positive orthant. It is used for single-valued best responses, the slope and contraction bounds, and the goal; the derivative, concavity and Proposition 3 do not use it. In the goal, the second branch of the uniqueness condition, ∑jaij<1\sum_j a_{ij}<1∑j​aij​<1 for all iii, coincides with the standing assumption of §2, so uniqueness always applies within the model; the disjunction is kept as printed. The paper's proof attaches the one-norm bound max⁡j∑iaji\max_j\sum_i a_{ji}maxj​∑i​aji​ to the first branch, which is a column-sum condition on aaa; both branches are true, with the one-norm used for row sums and the infinity-norm for column sums.

A complete development needs: differentiation under the integral sign for piecewise-linear integrands, the absence of atoms of Di+g(D−i)D_i+g(D_{-i})Di​+g(D−i​) under an absolutely continuous law, quantiles of strictly increasing continuous distribution functions, and the Banach fixed-point theorem on the closed nonnegative orthant (Mathlib's ContractingWith). The first two are reusable for every newsvendor model with substitution. Proofs of the milestones in any order are welcome.

Selected references

  • S. Netessine and N. Rudi, Centralized and Competitive Inventory Models with Demand Substitution, Simon School Working Paper OP 02-01, University of Rochester, April 2002, SSRN 303779. https://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.303779
  • S. Netessine and N. Rudi, Centralized and Competitive Inventory Models with Demand Substitution, Operations Research 51(2):329–335, 2003. https://doi.org/10.1287/opre.51.2.329.12788
  • S. A. Lippman and K. F. McCardle, The Competitive Newsboy, Operations Research 45(1):54–65, 1997. https://doi.org/10.1287/opre.45.1.54
  • M. Parlar, Game Theoretic Analysis of the Substitutable Product Inventory Problem with Random Demands, Naval Research Logistics 35(3):397–409, 1988.
  • A. R. McGillivray and E. A. Silver, Some Concepts for Inventory Control under Substitutable Demand, INFOR 16(1):47–63, 1978.
  • M. Parlar and S. K. Goyal, Optimal Ordering Decisions for Two Substitutable Products with Stochastic Demand, OPSEARCH 21(1):1–15, 1984.
  • R. A. Horn and C. R. Johnson, Matrix Analysis, Cambridge University Press, 1985 (Theorem 5.6.9).
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Dynamic ProgrammingMachine LearningReinforcement Learning·Captain: mikedeng1

On the Sample Complexity of Reinforcement Learning II: The Gradient of the Normalized Discounted Value Is the Sum over Actions of ∇π·Q under the Discounted Future State DistributionTextbook

Why the gradient of the value matters

Policy gradient methods search a parameterized family of stochastic policies π(a∣s,θ)\pi(a\mid s,\theta)π(a∣s,θ), θ∈Rk\theta\in\mathbb R^kθ∈Rk, by following the gradient of the policy's performance. They are the standard tool when the state space is too large for tabular dynamic programming and when a compact policy class (a neural network, a linear softmax) is easier to represent than a value function. Every such method rests on one identity: a formula for the gradient of the value with respect to θ\thetaθ that involves only quantities of the current policy, so that it can be estimated from the policy's own trajectories.

Chapter 4 of S. M. Kakade's PhD thesis, On the Sample Complexity of Reinforcement Learning (University College London, 2003), states this identity in two settings, the TTT-epoch undiscounted setting and the γ\gammaγ-discounted setting, both in the thesis's normalized convention, in which values lie in [0,1][0,1][0,1]. The thesis then uses the formula to analyse how many samples a gradient estimate needs (§4.2.3), and in §5.4.2 rewrites it in terms of advantages to explain why gradient methods can stall far from optimal: the gradient weights advantages by the current policy's state distribution, not by the distribution of an optimal policy.

Timeline:

  • 1992: R. J. Williams introduces the likelihood-ratio (REINFORCE) estimator for episodic tasks.
  • 2000: Sutton, McAllester, Singh and Mansour state the policy gradient theorem with function approximation, for discounted and average-reward criteria (NeurIPS 1999 proceedings, 2000); Konda and Tsitsiklis give actor-critic counterparts.
  • 2001: Baxter and Bartlett analyse biased gradient estimation in the infinite-horizon setting.
  • 2003: Kakade's thesis restates both theorems for normalized values, introduces the future state-time distribution dπ,s0d_{\pi,s_0}dπ,s0​​ for non-stationary TTT-epoch policies, and draws the "mismeasure" consequence.

Setting

A finite MDP has a finite state set SSS, a finite nonempty action set AAA, a transition kernel P(s′∣s,a)P(s'\mid s,a)P(s′∣s,a) and a deterministic reward r(s,a)∈[0,1]r(s,a)\in[0,1]r(s,a)∈[0,1].

TTT-epoch case. Epochs are t∈{0,…,T−1}t\in\{0,\dots,T-1\}t∈{0,…,T−1}, T≥1T\ge1T≥1. A non-stationary policy chooses aaa at epoch ttt in state sss with probability π(a∣s,t)\pi(a\mid s,t)π(a∣s,t). Starting from s0s_0s0​, Pr⁡(st=s∣π,s0)\Pr(s_t=s\mid\pi,s_0)Pr(st​=s∣π,s0​) is the probability of being in sss at epoch ttt. The normalized ttt-value is

Vπ,t(s)=1T E[∑τ=tT−1r(sτ,aτ) ∣ π,st=s],Vπ=Vπ,0,V_{\pi,t}(s)=\frac1T\,\mathbb E\Big[\sum_{\tau=t}^{T-1}r(s_\tau,a_\tau)\,\Big|\,\pi,s_t=s\Big],\qquad V_\pi=V_{\pi,0},Vπ,t​(s)=T1​E[τ=t∑T−1​r(sτ​,aτ​)​π,st​=s],Vπ​=Vπ,0​,

the ttt state-action value is Qπ,t(s,a)=1Tr(s,a)+Es′∼P(⋅∣s,a)[Vπ,t+1(s′)]Q_{\pi,t}(s,a)=\frac1T r(s,a)+\mathbb E_{s'\sim P(\cdot\mid s,a)}[V_{\pi,t+1}(s')]Qπ,t​(s,a)=T1​r(s,a)+Es′∼P(⋅∣s,a)​[Vπ,t+1​(s′)] with Vπ,T=0V_{\pi,T}=0Vπ,T​=0, and the future state-time distribution on S×{0,…,T−1}S\times\{0,\dots,T-1\}S×{0,…,T−1} is dπ,s0(s,t)=1TPr⁡(st=s∣π,s0)d_{\pi,s_0}(s,t)=\frac1T\Pr(s_t=s\mid\pi,s_0)dπ,s0​​(s,t)=T1​Pr(st​=s∣π,s0​).

Discounted case. For a stationary policy π(a∣s)\pi(a\mid s)π(a∣s) and 0≤γ<10\le\gamma<10≤γ<1, the normalized value, state-action value, advantage and discounted future state distribution are

Vπ,γ(s)=(1−γ) E[∑τ≥0γτr(sτ,aτ) ∣ π,s0=s],Qπ,γ(s,a)=(1−γ)r(s,a)+γ Es′[Vπ,γ(s′)],V_{\pi,\gamma}(s)=(1-\gamma)\,\mathbb E\Big[\sum_{\tau\ge0}\gamma^\tau r(s_\tau,a_\tau)\,\Big|\,\pi,s_0=s\Big],\qquad Q_{\pi,\gamma}(s,a)=(1-\gamma)r(s,a)+\gamma\,\mathbb E_{s'}[V_{\pi,\gamma}(s')],Vπ,γ​(s)=(1−γ)E[τ≥0∑​γτr(sτ​,aτ​)​π,s0​=s],Qπ,γ​(s,a)=(1−γ)r(s,a)+γEs′​[Vπ,γ​(s′)], Aπ(s,a)=Qπ,γ(s,a)−Vπ,γ(s),dπ,s0,γ(s)=(1−γ)∑t≥0γtPr⁡(st=s∣π,s0).A_\pi(s,a)=Q_{\pi,\gamma}(s,a)-V_{\pi,\gamma}(s),\qquad d_{\pi,s_0,\gamma}(s)=(1-\gamma)\sum_{t\ge0}\gamma^t\Pr(s_t=s\mid\pi,s_0).Aπ​(s,a)=Qπ,γ​(s,a)−Vπ,γ​(s),dπ,s0​,γ​(s)=(1−γ)t≥0∑​γtPr(st​=s∣π,s0​).

A parameterized policy is a family π(a∣s,θ)\pi(a\mid s,\theta)π(a∣s,θ) (resp. π(a∣s,t,θ)\pi(a\mid s,t,\theta)π(a∣s,t,θ)) of policies indexed by θ∈Rk\theta\in\mathbb R^kθ∈Rk, each entry differentiable in θ\thetaθ; ∇\nabla∇ is the gradient in θ\thetaθ.

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem 4.2.4 (p. 48)

∇Vπ,γ(s0)=11−γ Es∼dπ,s0,γ[∑a∇π(a∣s,θ) Qπ,γ(s,a)].\nabla V_{\pi,\gamma}(s_0)=\frac1{1-\gamma}\,\mathbb E_{s\sim d_{\pi,s_0,\gamma}}\Big[\sum_a\nabla\pi(a\mid s,\theta)\,Q_{\pi,\gamma}(s,a)\Big].∇Vπ,γ​(s0​)=1−γ1​Es∼dπ,s0​,γ​​[a∑​∇π(a∣s,θ)Qπ,γ​(s,a)].

The statement asserts that θ↦Vπθ,γ(s0)\theta\mapsto V_{\pi_\theta,\gamma}(s_0)θ↦Vπθ​,γ​(s0​) is differentiable at the given parameter and that its derivative is the right-hand side. It is the thesis's version of the Sutton–McAllester–Singh–Mansour theorem, and the result the rest of the thesis's discussion of gradient methods builds on.

Milestones

  • Value representations (p. 47): Vπ(s0)=E(s,t)∼dπ,s0Ea∼π(⋅∣s,t)[r(s,a)]V_\pi(s_0)=\mathbb E_{(s,t)\sim d_{\pi,s_0}}\mathbb E_{a\sim\pi(\cdot\mid s,t)}[r(s,a)]Vπ​(s0​)=E(s,t)∼dπ,s0​​​Ea∼π(⋅∣s,t)​[r(s,a)] and Vπ,γ(s0)=Es∼dπ,s0,γEa∼π(⋅∣s)[r(s,a)]V_{\pi,\gamma}(s_0)=\mathbb E_{s\sim d_{\pi,s_0,\gamma}}\mathbb E_{a\sim\pi(\cdot\mid s)}[r(s,a)]Vπ,γ​(s0​)=Es∼dπ,s0​,γ​​Ea∼π(⋅∣s)​[r(s,a)].
  • Theorem 4.2.3 (p. 48), the TTT-epoch gradient:
∇Vπ(s0)=T E(s,t)∼dπ,s0[∑a∇π(a∣s,t,θ) Qπ,t(s,a)].\nabla V_\pi(s_0)=T\,\mathbb E_{(s,t)\sim d_{\pi,s_0}}\Big[\sum_a\nabla\pi(a\mid s,t,\theta)\,Q_{\pi,t}(s,a)\Big].∇Vπ​(s0​)=TE(s,t)∼dπ,s0​​​[a∑​∇π(a∣s,t,θ)Qπ,t​(s,a)].
  • The advantage form (§5.4.2, p. 66), with A=∣A∣A=|A|A=∣A∣ the number of actions:
∇Vπ(s0)=A1−γ Es∼dπ,s0 Ea∼Uniform[Aπ(s,a) ∇π(a∣s,θ)].\nabla V_\pi(s_0)=\frac{A}{1-\gamma}\,\mathbb E_{s\sim d_{\pi,s_0}}\,\mathbb E_{a\sim\mathrm{Uniform}}\big[A_\pi(s,a)\,\nabla\pi(a\mid s,\theta)\big].∇Vπ​(s0​)=1−γA​Es∼dπ,s0​​​Ea∼Uniform​[Aπ​(s,a)∇π(a∣s,θ)].

Significance

The result. The gradient formula contains no derivative of the state distribution: the effect of θ\thetaθ on which states are visited cancels, and the gradient is an expectation over states drawn from the current policy, weighted by a sum over actions. This is what makes Monte Carlo and actor-critic estimators possible, and it is the reason the thesis's sample-size analysis of §4.2.3 has no dependence on the size of the state space. The advantage form makes the limitation equally explicit: a small gradient certifies small advantages only under dπ,s0d_{\pi,s_0}dπ,s0​​, while the performance difference lemma (Lemma 5.2.1) shows that closeness to optimal is governed by advantages under dπ∗,s0d_{\pi^*,s_0}dπ∗,s0​​. That gap motivates the conservative policy iteration of Chapter 7.

Formalizing it. The theorems are proved in the thesis and in the cited literature; none of them is machine-checked in this normalized convention. The platform has a proved finite-horizon policy gradient theorem for a scalar parameter, a stationary policy and unnormalized values (policy_gradient_discounted_finite, policy_gradient_finite_horizon), and a posed direct-parameterization gradient for Agarwal et al.'s unnormalized discounted value (PolicyGradTheory.ProjGA.direct_gradient). This mission adds the multi-parameter statements, the non-stationary TTT-epoch version with its state-time distribution, and the infinite-horizon discounted version, where differentiability of an infinite series must be established rather than computed from a finite recursion.

Difficulty

In the TTT-epoch case the value is a finite polynomial in the policy entries, and the work is bookkeeping: unrolling the backward recursion for Vπ,tV_{\pi,t}Vπ,t​ against the forward recursion for Pr⁡(st=⋅)\Pr(s_t=\cdot)Pr(st​=⋅) so that the terms involving ∇Vπ,t+1\nabla V_{\pi,t+1}∇Vπ,t+1​ telescope. In the discounted case the obvious route, differentiating the recursion V=(1−γ)rπ+γPπVV=(1-\gamma)r_\pi+\gamma P_\pi VV=(1−γ)rπ​+γPπ​V term by term and recursing forever, presupposes that θ↦Vπθ,γ(s)\theta\mapsto V_{\pi_\theta,\gamma}(s)θ↦Vπθ​,γ​(s) is differentiable, which the thesis's proof takes for granted. The value is an infinite series in ttt, so that differentiability is a genuine part of the claim, and the resulting formula must be matched with dπ,s0,γd_{\pi,s_0,\gamma}dπ,s0​,γ​ and Qπ,γQ_{\pi,\gamma}Qπ,γ​, which are themselves defined as infinite series.

Formalization scope

  • Finite SSS and AAA (Fintype), AAA nonempty; transition kernel IsTransitionKernel P; rewards in [0,1][0,1][0,1] as a standing hypothesis of every statement; 0≤γ<10\le\gamma<10≤γ<1; T≥1T\ge1T≥1. The thesis's later chapters allow infinite state spaces; this mission is finite.
  • Normalization exactly as in the thesis: TTT-epoch values and dπ,s0d_{\pi,s_0}dπ,s0​​ carry 1/T1/T1/T, discounted values and dπ,s0,γd_{\pi,s_0,\gamma}dπ,s0​,γ​ carry 1−γ1-\gamma1−γ. Hence the factors TTT and 1/(1−γ)1/(1-\gamma)1/(1−γ) in the gradient formulas.
  • The discounted layer is the published normalized model ApproxOptRL.Shared.Model (value, qValue, advantage, futureStateDist; dπ,s0,γd_{\pi,s_0,\gamma}dπ,s0​,γ​ is futureStateDist at the point mass on s0s_0s0​). The TTT-epoch layer is defined in this mission (TEpoch): 0-based epochs, tValue by backward recursion, tQValue, stateDist, stateTimeDist.
  • Parameters live in EuclideanSpace ℝ (Fin k). Every statement assumes that π(⋅∣s,θ)\pi(\cdot\mid s,\theta)π(⋅∣s,θ) (resp. π(⋅∣s,t,θ)\pi(\cdot\mid s,t,\theta)π(⋅∣s,t,θ) for t<Tt<Tt<T) is a probability distribution for every θ\thetaθ, and that each entry is differentiable at the parameter θ0\theta_0θ0​ ("the derivatives ∇π\nabla\pi∇π exist", p. 48). Differentiability of the value is not assumed.
  • Gradients are stated with HasFDerivAt: the value map has the right-hand side as its Fréchet derivative at θ0\theta_0θ0​. A statement with fderiv of the value alone, or with a policy that does not depend on θ\thetaθ, would reduce to 0=00=00=0 and is ruled out.
  • Expectations over finite sets are finite sums; the uniform expectation over actions is 1∣A∣∑a\frac1{|A|}\sum_a∣A∣1​∑a​.
  • Contributions welcome: the forward/backward recursion identity for TTT-epoch values, summability and differentiability of the discounted series, and the closed form of Vπ,γV_{\pi,\gamma}Vπ,γ​ via (I−γPπ)−1(I-\gamma P_\pi)^{-1}(I−γPπ​)−1; all are reusable by the other missions of this series.

Selected references

  • S. M. Kakade, On the Sample Complexity of Reinforcement Learning, PhD thesis, Gatsby Computational Neuroscience Unit, University College London, 2003. https://discovery.ucl.ac.uk/id/eprint/10100726/
  • R. S. Sutton, D. McAllester, S. Singh, Y. Mansour, Policy Gradient Methods for Reinforcement Learning with Function Approximation, Advances in Neural Information Processing Systems 12, 2000. https://proceedings.neurips.cc/paper/1999/hash/464d828b85b0bed98e80ade0a5c43b0f-Abstract.html
  • R. J. Williams, Simple statistical gradient-following algorithms for connectionist reinforcement learning, Machine Learning 8, 229–256, 1992. https://doi.org/10.1007/BF00992696
  • J. Baxter, P. L. Bartlett, Infinite-Horizon Policy-Gradient Estimation, Journal of Artificial Intelligence Research 15, 319–350, 2001. https://doi.org/10.1613/jair.806
  • V. R. Konda, J. N. Tsitsiklis, Actor-Critic Algorithms, Advances in Neural Information Processing Systems 12, 2000. https://proceedings.neurips.cc/paper/1999/hash/6449f44a102fde848669bdd9eb6b76fa-Abstract.html
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Dynamic ProgrammingMachine LearningOptimization+1·Captain: mikedeng1

On the Sample Complexity of Reinforcement Learning I: Approximate Policy Iteration with Max-Norm Evaluation Error ε Is Eventually Within 2ε/(1−γ)² of OptimalTextbook

Motivation

Most practical reinforcement-learning methods do not compute value functions exactly. They alternate between estimating a value function from data, usually with a parametric approximator, and acting greedily with respect to that estimate. Approximate value iteration and approximate policy iteration are the two classical schemes of this kind, and their error analysis decides how accuracy in the estimation step translates into quality of the policies produced. Chapter 3 of S. M. Kakade's thesis On the Sample Complexity of Reinforcement Learning (University College London, 2003) collects the basic guarantees, developed from Bertsekas (Dynamic Programming: Deterministic and Stochastic Models, 1987) for greedy policies, Singh and Yee (1994), and Bertsekas and Tsitsiklis, Neuro-Dynamic Programming (Athena Scientific, 1996). The bounds are stated in terms of the worst-case (max-norm) error of the evaluation step, and the thesis uses them to argue that max-norm error is the obstacle to state-space-independent sample complexity results for these methods, which motivates the later chapters of the thesis.

Setting

A finite discounted Markov decision process consists of a finite set of states SSS, a finite nonempty set of actions AAA, a transition kernel P(s′∣s,a)P(s'\mid s,a)P(s′∣s,a) (for every (s,a)(s,a)(s,a) a probability distribution over SSS), a deterministic reward r(s,a)∈[0,1]r(s,a)\in[0,1]r(s,a)∈[0,1], and a discount factor 0≤γ<10\le\gamma<10≤γ<1. A policy π(a∣s)\pi(a\mid s)π(a∣s) is a probability distribution over actions for every state; a deterministic policy is a map f:S→Af:S\to Af:S→A, identified with the policy that plays f(s)f(s)f(s) with probability one.

Values are normalized: the value of π\piπ at sss is

Vπ(s)=(1−γ) E[∑t≥0γtr(st,at) ∣ π, s0=s],V_\pi(s)=(1-\gamma)\,\mathbb E\Big[\sum_{t\ge0}\gamma^t r(s_t,a_t)\,\Big|\,\pi,\ s_0=s\Big],Vπ​(s)=(1−γ)E[t≥0∑​γtr(st​,at​)​π, s0​=s],

and the state-action value is Qπ(s,a)=(1−γ)r(s,a)+γ Es′∼P(⋅∣s,a)[Vπ(s′)]Q_\pi(s,a)=(1-\gamma)r(s,a)+\gamma\,\mathbb E_{s'\sim P(\cdot\mid s,a)}[V_\pi(s')]Qπ​(s,a)=(1−γ)r(s,a)+γEs′∼P(⋅∣s,a)​[Vπ​(s′)]. With rewards in [0,1][0,1][0,1], every value lies in [0,1][0,1][0,1]. An optimal policy π∗\pi^*π∗ has Vπ∗(s)≥Vπ(s)V_{\pi^*}(s)\ge V_\pi(s)Vπ∗​(s)≥Vπ​(s) for every policy π\piπ and state sss; write V∗=Vπ∗V^*=V_{\pi^*}V∗=Vπ∗​ and Q∗=Qπ∗Q^*=Q_{\pi^*}Q∗=Qπ∗​. The max norm is ∥x∥∞=max⁡s∣x(s)∣\|x\|_\infty=\max_s|x(s)|∥x∥∞​=maxs​∣x(s)∣ on state vectors and max⁡s,a∣x(s,a)∣\max_{s,a}|x(s,a)|maxs,a​∣x(s,a)∣ on state-action arrays.

The backup operator is [BJ](s)=max⁡a((1−γ)r(s,a)+γ Es′∼P(⋅∣s,a)[J(s′)])[BJ](s)=\max_a\big((1-\gamma)r(s,a)+\gamma\,\mathbb E_{s'\sim P(\cdot\mid s,a)}[J(s')]\big)[BJ](s)=maxa​((1−γ)r(s,a)+γEs′∼P(⋅∣s,a)​[J(s′)]). A deterministic policy fff is greedy with respect to QQQ if f(s)∈arg⁡max⁡aQ(s,a)f(s)\in\arg\max_a Q(s,a)f(s)∈argmaxa​Q(s,a) for every sss.

  • γ\gammaγ-approximate value iteration produces vectors J0=0,J1,J2,…J_0=0,J_1,J_2,\dotsJ0​=0,J1​,J2​,… with ∥Jt−BJt−1∥∞≤ε\|J_t-BJ_{t-1}\|_\infty\le\varepsilon∥Jt​−BJt−1​∥∞​≤ε, and greedy policies πt\pi_tπt​ for the lookahead (1−γ)r(s,a)+γ Es′[Jt(s′)](1-\gamma)r(s,a)+\gamma\,\mathbb E_{s'}[J_t(s')](1−γ)r(s,a)+γEs′​[Jt​(s′)].
  • γ\gammaγ-approximate policy iteration starts from any deterministic π0\pi_0π0​, forms an estimate Q~t\tilde Q_tQ~​t​ of QπtQ_{\pi_t}Qπt​​ with ∥Q~t−Qπt∥∞≤ε\|\tilde Q_t-Q_{\pi_t}\|_\infty\le\varepsilon∥Q~​t​−Qπt​​∥∞​≤ε, and takes πt+1\pi_{t+1}πt+1​ greedy with respect to Q~t\tilde Q_tQ~​t​.

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem 3.2.2 (approximate policy iteration)

lim sup⁡t→∞∥V∗−Vπt∥∞≤2ε(1−γ)2.\limsup_{t\to\infty}\|V^*-V_{\pi_t}\|_\infty\le\frac{2\varepsilon}{(1-\gamma)^2}.t→∞limsup​∥V∗−Vπt​​∥∞​≤(1−γ)22ε​.

The policies need not converge; the statement bounds where they end up.

Milestones

  • Theorem 3.1.1: if ∥Q~−Q∗∥∞≤ε\|\tilde Q-Q^*\|_\infty\le\varepsilon∥Q~​−Q∗∥∞​≤ε and π\piπ is greedy for Q~\tilde QQ~​, then Vπ(s)≥V∗(s)−2ε1−γV_\pi(s)\ge V^*(s)-\frac{2\varepsilon}{1-\gamma}Vπ​(s)≥V∗(s)−1−γ2ε​ for all sss.
  • Lemma 3.2.3: ∥V∗−Vπt+1∥∞≤γ∥V∗−Vπt∥∞+2ε1−γ\|V^*-V_{\pi_{t+1}}\|_\infty\le\gamma\|V^*-V_{\pi_t}\|_\infty+\frac{2\varepsilon}{1-\gamma}∥V∗−Vπt+1​​∥∞​≤γ∥V∗−Vπt​​∥∞​+1−γ2ε​.
  • Rate of approximate policy iteration (p. 41): ∥V∗−Vπt∥∞≤γt+2ε(1−γ)2\|V^*-V_{\pi_t}\|_\infty\le\gamma^t+\frac{2\varepsilon}{(1-\gamma)^2}∥V∗−Vπt​​∥∞​≤γt+(1−γ)22ε​.
  • Contraction of the backup (p. 26): ∥BJ−BJ′∥∞≤γ∥J−J′∥∞\|BJ-BJ'\|_\infty\le\gamma\|J-J'\|_\infty∥BJ−BJ′∥∞​≤γ∥J−J′∥∞​.
  • Approximate value iteration (p. 40): ∥V∗−Jt∥∞≤γt+ε1−γ\|V^*-J_t\|_\infty\le\gamma^t+\frac{\varepsilon}{1-\gamma}∥V∗−Jt​∥∞​≤γt+1−γε​.
  • Rate of approximate value iteration (p. 41): ∥V∗−Vπt∥∞≤2γt1−γ+2ε(1−γ)2\|V^*-V_{\pi_t}\|_\infty\le\frac{2\gamma^t}{1-\gamma}+\frac{2\varepsilon}{(1-\gamma)^2}∥V∗−Vπt​​∥∞​≤1−γ2γt​+(1−γ)22ε​.
  • Theorem 3.2.1: the same lim sup bound 2ε(1−γ)2\frac{2\varepsilon}{(1-\gamma)^2}(1−γ)22ε​ for approximate value iteration.

Significance

The results give the standard performance guarantee for greedy approximate dynamic programming: an evaluation error of ε\varepsilonε in max norm costs at most 2ε/(1−γ)22\varepsilon/(1-\gamma)^22ε/(1−γ)2 in max-norm suboptimality, uniformly over the asymptotic set of policies, with a geometric rate of approach. Example 3.1.2 of the thesis shows that the factor 2ε/(1−γ)2\varepsilon/(1-\gamma)2ε/(1−γ) of Theorem 3.1.1 is attained, so the greedy step itself cannot be improved; the two factors of the horizon 1/(1−γ)1/(1-\gamma)1/(1−γ) in the limit bound are the reason the thesis turns to other error measures in later chapters.

All the statements are classical and proved in the literature (Bertsekas–Tsitsiklis 1996, Chapter 6, in the unnormalized model and with a factor γ\gammaγ to spare in the limit bounds); Lemma 3.2.3 and Theorem 3.2.2 are stated in the thesis without proof. To our knowledge none has a machine-checked proof. The mission produces formal proofs in the normalized model shared with the formalization of Kakade–Langford (2002) on this platform, so later chapters of the series (conservative policy iteration, policy search) can compare against them.

Difficulty

Approximate policy iteration is not monotone: with evaluation errors, Vπt+1V_{\pi_{t+1}}Vπt+1​​ can be worse than VπtV_{\pi_t}Vπt​​ at some states, so the argument of exact policy iteration, which uses Vπt+1≥VπtV_{\pi_{t+1}}\ge V_{\pi_t}Vπt+1​​≥Vπt​​ everywhere, does not apply. The difficulty of Lemma 3.2.3 is to control the distance to optimality without improvement at each step, combining the greedy step with the lack of monotonicity of the new policy's value; the thesis calls the proof of Theorem 3.2.2 "somewhat technical" and omits it. A second, mechanical difficulty is that the normalized value VπV_\piVπ​ is defined as an infinite series, so its Bellman equation Vπ(s)=Qπ(s,π(s))V_\pi(s)=Q_\pi(s,\pi(s))Vπ​(s)=Qπ​(s,π(s)), the optimality equation V∗=BV∗V^*=BV^*V∗=BV∗ and the bound 0≤Vπ≤10\le V_\pi\le10≤Vπ​≤1 have to be derived from that definition before any of the recursions can be run.

Formalization scope

  • The model is the published normalized model ApproxOptRL.Shared.Model: value P r γ π is VπV_\piVπ​ (defined as (1−γ)(1-\gamma)(1−γ) times a tsum), qValue is QπQ_\piQπ​. SSS and AAA are finite types, AAA nonempty; PPP satisfies IsTransitionKernel; every statement assumes 0≤r≤10\le r\le10≤r≤1 and 0≤γ<10\le\gamma<10≤γ<1.
  • The optimal policy is a binder π∗\pi^*π∗ with IsOptimalPolicy P r γ πstar (a stationary stochastic policy dominating every stationary stochastic policy at every state). Such a policy exists for every finite MDP (p. 26 of the thesis), and for finite MDPs it is optimal among all policies.
  • Policies of the runs are deterministic, S → A, and are evaluated through the indicator policy detPolicy. "Greedy" is the relation ∀ s a, Q s a ≤ Q s (f s): every tie-breaking rule is covered.
  • The runs are sequences indexed by ℕ, with the greedy and accuracy conditions as hypotheses at every index; the value-iteration condition is written for indices t+1t+1t+1 and ttt.
  • ∥⋅∥∞\|\cdot\|_\infty∥⋅∥∞​ is Mathlib's sup norm on S → ℝ and S → A → ℝ.
  • The lim sup statements are in ε\varepsilonε–NNN form: for every δ>0\delta>0δ>0 the bound plus δ\deltaδ holds eventually.
  • Ruled out: the accuracy hypothesis is stated against QπtQ_{\pi_t}Qπt​​, the value of the current policy, not against Q∗Q^*Q∗, and the greedy relation genuinely constrains πt+1\pi_{t+1}πt+1​; with either changed, the hypotheses would be unsatisfiable or the policies unconstrained and the theorem empty.
  • Infrastructure needed and reusable beyond this mission: the Bellman equation of the normalized value for indicator policies, V∗=BV∗V^*=BV^*V∗=BV∗, monotonicity and contraction of policy-evaluation and backup operators in the normalized model, and the bound 0≤Vπ≤10\le V_\pi\le10≤Vπ​≤1. Contributions of these lemmas are welcome.

Selected references

  • S. M. Kakade, On the Sample Complexity of Reinforcement Learning, PhD thesis, Gatsby Computational Neuroscience Unit, University College London, 2003. https://discovery.ucl.ac.uk/id/eprint/10100726/
  • D. P. Bertsekas and J. N. Tsitsiklis, Neuro-Dynamic Programming, Athena Scientific, 1996. ISBN 1-886529-10-8.
  • S. P. Singh and R. C. Yee, An upper bound on the loss from approximate optimal-value functions, Machine Learning 16 (1994), 227–233. https://doi.org/10.1007/BF00993104
  • S. M. Kakade and J. Langford, Approximately optimal approximate reinforcement learning, ICML 2002. https://dl.acm.org/doi/10.5555/645531.656005
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Algorithmic Game TheoryDynamical SystemsLinear algebra·Captain: mikedeng1

Uncoupled Dynamics Do Not Lead to Nash Equilibrium 2: Near Jordan's Three-Player Game Γ₀ of Section III, No Uncoupled Dynamic Is Nash-ConvergentResearch Paper

Motivation

A central question of the theory of learning in games is whether simple adaptive behavior leads players to a Nash equilibrium. Many natural dynamics — fictitious play, best-reply dynamics, replicator dynamics — fail to converge in some games, and the failures are usually exhibited one dynamic at a time. Hart and Mas-Colell (AER 2003) asked a structural question instead: is there any continuous-time dynamic, satisfying one informational restriction, that converges to Nash equilibrium for all games in a reasonable family? The restriction is uncoupledness: each player's adjustment may depend on the current strategy profile and on that player's own payoff function, but not on the payoff functions of the others. This is the situation of players who do not know the opponents' preferences.

Their answer is negative, and the paper proves it with two examples. This mission formalizes the second, built on a three-player game introduced by James Jordan (GEB 1993) in his study of learning mixed-strategy equilibria. A companion mission formalizes the first example, a two-player game on the unit disk.

Setting

Three players each choose between two pure strategies, 000 and 111. A game Γ\GammaΓ is identified with its payoff functions (u1,u2,u3)(u^1,u^2,u^3)(u1,u2,u3), ui:{0,1}3→Ru^i:\{0,1\}^3\to\mathbb Rui:{0,1}3→R. A state is a mixed profile x=(x1,x2,x3)∈X=[0,1]3x=(x^1,x^2,x^3)\in X=[0,1]^3x=(x1,x2,x3)∈X=[0,1]3, where xix^ixi is the probability that player iii plays 000 (top row, left column, left matrix). Payoffs extend to XXX by expectation over independent randomizations, and xˉ\bar xxˉ is a Nash equilibrium when no player can raise its expected payoff by changing its own coordinate.

Jordan's family U0\mathcal U_0U0​ consists of the games

ui(s)={aisi=0, si+1=1,1si=1, si+1=0,0otherwise,u^i(s)=\begin{cases}a^i & s^i=0,\ s^{i+1}=1,\\ 1 & s^i=1,\ s^{i+1}=0,\\ 0&\text{otherwise,}\end{cases}ui(s)=⎩⎨⎧​ai10​si=0, si+1=1,si=1, si+1=0,otherwise,​

indices modulo 3, with parameters aia^iai close to 111: each player wants to mismatch the next player. Jordan's game Γ0\Gamma_0Γ0​ is the member with all ai=1a^i=1ai=1; every game of U0\mathcal U_0U0​ has a unique Nash equilibrium xˉi(Γ)=ai−1/(ai−1+1)\bar x^i(\Gamma)=a^{i-1}/(a^{i-1}+1)xˉi(Γ)=ai−1/(ai−1+1), and xˉ(Γ0)=(1/2,1/2,1/2)\bar x(\Gamma_0)=(1/2,1/2,1/2)xˉ(Γ0​)=(1/2,1/2,1/2).

A dynamic for a family U\mathcal UU is a vector field x˙=F(x;Γ)\dot x=F(x;\Gamma)x˙=F(x;Γ) on XXX, one for each Γ∈U\Gamma\in\mathcal UΓ∈U. It is uncoupled if Fi(x;Γ)=Fi(x;Γ′)F^i(x;\Gamma)=F^i(x;\Gamma')Fi(x;Γ)=Fi(x;Γ′) whenever Γ,Γ′∈U\Gamma,\Gamma'\in\mathcal UΓ,Γ′∈U give player iii the same payoff function. When every game of U\mathcal UU has a single Nash equilibrium xˉ(Γ)\bar x(\Gamma)xˉ(Γ), FFF is Nash-convergent for U\mathcal UU if, for every Γ∈U\Gamma\in\mathcal UΓ∈U, xˉ(Γ)\bar x(\Gamma)xˉ(Γ) is a rest point, every solution converges to it, F(⋅;Γ)F(\cdot;\Gamma)F(⋅;Γ) is C1C^1C1, and the Jacobian JJJ of F(⋅;Γ)F(\cdot;\Gamma)F(⋅;Γ) at xˉ(Γ)\bar x(\Gamma)xˉ(Γ) is hyperbolic and stable: all its eigenvalues have negative real parts.

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem 1 near Jordan's game

Let U\mathcal UU have the single-Nash-equilibrium property and contain every game of U0\mathcal U_0U0​ that is close to Γ0\Gamma_0Γ0​. Then

no uncoupled dynamic for U is Nash-convergent for U.\text{no uncoupled dynamic for }\mathcal U\text{ is Nash-convergent for }\mathcal U .no uncoupled dynamic for U is Nash-convergent for U.

Milestones

  1. Every game of U0\mathcal U_0U0​ (indeed every aaa with all ai>0a^i>0ai>0) has the unique equilibrium xˉi=ai−1/(ai−1+1)\bar x^i=a^{i-1}/(a^{i-1}+1)xˉi=ai−1/(ai−1+1); in particular xˉ0=(1/2,1/2,1/2)\bar x_0=(1/2,1/2,1/2)xˉ0​=(1/2,1/2,1/2).
  2. If FFF is uncoupled and Nash-convergent, then f=F(⋅;Γ0)f=F(\cdot;\Gamma_0)f=F(⋅;Γ0​) satisfies fi(xˉ0+(y−12)ei)=0f^i(\bar x_0+(y-\tfrac12)e_i)=0fi(xˉ0​+(y−21​)ei​)=0 for yyy near 1/21/21/2, hence the diagonal and the trace of J=Df(xˉ0)J=Df(\bar x_0)J=Df(xˉ0​) vanish:
tr⁡J=0.\operatorname{tr}J=0.trJ=0.
  1. A real 3×33\times33×3 matrix with zero trace and nonzero determinant has an eigenvalue with positive real part.

Two further items record the paper's observations: uncoupledness forces J=(0c000de00)J=\begin{pmatrix}0&c&0\\0&0&d\\e&0&0\end{pmatrix}J=​00e​c00​0d0​​, and such a matrix has an eigenvalue with positive real part when cde≠0cde\ne0cde=0 and spectrum {0}\{0\}{0} otherwise. A last item shows that the coupled dynamic x˙=xˉ(Γ)−x\dot x=\bar x(\Gamma)-xx˙=xˉ(Γ)−x is Nash-convergent.

Significance

The theorem says that convergence to Nash equilibrium is not a property that adaptive dynamics can deliver on informational grounds alone: as soon as a family contains the games near Γ0\Gamma_0Γ0​, any rule in which players respond only to their own payoffs fails for some game, even though every game in the family has a unique equilibrium and a coupled rule converges for all of them. The finite example matters because it shows that the obstruction is not an artifact of continuum strategy spaces: it occurs in a 2×2×22\times2\times22×2×2 game in mixed strategies. The paper contrasts it (§IV) with the existence of uncoupled dynamics that converge to correlated equilibria: Nash equilibrium cannot be reached in an uncoupled way, while correlated equilibrium, a notion based on coordination, can. Follow-up work extends the impossibility to stochastic uncoupled dynamics (Hart and Mas-Colell, GEB 2006) and surveys the area (Hart, Econometrica 2005).

The result has been proved since 2003; no machine-checked proof of it is known. A formal proof requires an equilibrium computation in a parametric family of finite games, a careful treatment of the derivative of a vector field defined only on a cube, and a spectral fact about real 3×33\times33×3 matrices. The definitions of uncoupled and Nash-convergent dynamics written here are reusable for other impossibility results of the same kind.

Difficulty

The obvious attempt is to analyze a particular dynamic and show that it cycles around xˉ0\bar x_0xˉ0​. That proves nothing about other dynamics: the statement quantifies over every uncoupled FFF, so the argument must extract a constraint on FFF from uncoupledness alone. Uncoupledness only relates the dynamic at different games through single coordinates of FFF, and Nash-convergence only constrains FFF at the equilibria of the games in U\mathcal UU; neither says anything directly about the Jacobian at Γ0\Gamma_0Γ0​. Formally, the delicate steps are the uniqueness of the equilibrium for all nearby parameters, which requires excluding pure and partially mixed equilibria, and the passage from vanishing along a segment to a vanishing partial derivative.

Formalization scope

Players are indexed 0,1,20,1,20,1,2 in Lean (the page's player iii is index i−1i-1i−1), strategies are Fin 2, and a game is Fin 3 → (Fin 3 → Fin 2) → ℝ. The state space is X=[0,1]3⊂R3X=[0,1]^3\subset\mathbb R^3X=[0,1]3⊂R3; a dynamic is any map F:R3×Game→R3F:\mathbb R^3\times\text{Game}\to\mathbb R^3F:R3×Game→R3, whose values outside XXX never matter. Committed conventions:

  • Solutions stay in XXX: a solution is a curve on [0,∞)[0,\infty)[0,∞) with values in XXX satisfying the ODE (one-sided derivative at 000). Allowing curves that leave XXX would let the junk values of FFF outside XXX falsify convergence for every FFF and trivialize the goal.
  • Uncoupledness is required only between games of U\mathcal UU and only at states of XXX.
  • Nash-convergence bundles four clauses for every game of U\mathcal UU and every Nash equilibrium of it: rest point, C1C^1C1 on XXX, all eigenvalues of the Jacobian with negative real part (the published FatkhullinPolyak.Discrete.IsHurwitz), and convergence of every solution. The Jacobian is the derivative within XXX.
  • The single-Nash-equilibrium property of U\mathcal UU is a hypothesis of the goal.
  • The neighborhood hypothesis. The page assumes that U\mathcal UU contains a neighborhood of Γ0\Gamma_0Γ0​. The goal assumes less: U\mathcal UU contains every game of U0\mathcal U_0U0​ in some footnote-7 neighborhood of Γ0\Gamma_0Γ0​. The page's hypothesis implies this one, so the formal goal is at least as strong. The literal hypothesis is not used because it is not known (and not claimed on the page) to be compatible with the single-equilibrium property, and a contradictory pair of hypotheses would make the goal vacuous.
  • Milestone 1 assumes only ai>0a^i>0ai>0 instead of ∣ai−1∣<ε|a^i-1|<\varepsilon∣ai−1∣<ε for small ε\varepsilonε; this covers every such family with ε≤1\varepsilon\le1ε≤1.

The family U\mathcal UU cannot be vacuous: Jordan's games with ∣ai−1∣<1/2|a^i-1|<1/2∣ai−1∣<1/2 satisfy both hypotheses, and the coupled-dynamic item certifies that Nash-convergence itself can be met, so the goal's force rests on uncoupledness. Contributions welcome include the equilibrium computation for U0\mathcal U_0U0​, the spectral lemmas (which are independent of game theory), and the calculus step from vanishing along a segment to a vanishing partial derivative within a cube.

Selected references

  • S. Hart and A. Mas-Colell, Uncoupled Dynamics Do Not Lead to Nash Equilibrium, American Economic Review 93(5):1830–1836, 2003. https://doi.org/10.1257/000282803322655581
  • J. S. Jordan, Three Problems in Learning Mixed-Strategy Nash Equilibria, Games and Economic Behavior 5(3):368–386, 1993. https://doi.org/10.1006/game.1993.1022
  • S. Hart and A. Mas-Colell, Stochastic Uncoupled Dynamics and Nash Equilibrium, Games and Economic Behavior 57(2):286–303, 2006. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.geb.2005.09.007
  • S. Hart, Adaptive Heuristics, Econometrica 73(5):1401–1430, 2005. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1468-0262.2005.00625.x
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Numerical AnalysisOptimization·Captain: mikedeng1

Proximal Alternating Minimization and Projection Methods for Nonconvex Problems: An Approach Based on the Kurdyka-Łojasiewicz Inequality: Non-Divergent Iterates Have Finite Length and a Critical LimitResearch Paper

Motivation

Many problems in signal processing, statistics and decision theory have two blocks of variables coupled by a smooth term: matrix factorization, blind deconvolution, feasibility problems for two sets, and models of two agents adjusting their decisions in turn. Minimizing over one block at a time (alternating minimization, or Gauss–Seidel) is the natural method. Without convexity it can oscillate, and its iterates need not converge. Attouch, Bolte, Redont and Soubeyran (Math. Oper. Res. 35(2), 2010; arXiv:0801.1780) regularize each block step by a proximal term. They prove that, when the objective satisfies the Kurdyka–Łojasiewicz (KL) inequality, every sequence of the method that does not run off to infinity has finite length and converges to a critical point.

Timeline:

  • 1963: Łojasiewicz proves the gradient inequality for real-analytic functions, which gives convergence of bounded gradient trajectories.
  • 1998: Kurdyka extends the inequality to differentiable functions definable in an o-minimal structure.
  • 2006–2007: Bolte, Daniilidis, Lewis and Shiota extend it to nonsmooth lower semicontinuous subanalytic and definable functions, with the limiting subdifferential.
  • 2009: Attouch and Bolte use the Łojasiewicz inequality to prove convergence of the proximal point method for nonconvex functions (Math. Program. 116, 2009).
  • 2010: this paper treats the alternating proximal scheme with a general smooth coupling QQQ.
  • 2014: Bolte, Sabach and Teboulle replace the exact block minimizations by linearized proximal steps (PALM, Math. Program. 146, 2014).

Setting

Let f:Rn→R∪{+∞}f:\mathbb R^n\to\mathbb R\cup\{+\infty\}f:Rn→R∪{+∞} and g:Rm→R∪{+∞}g:\mathbb R^m\to\mathbb R\cup\{+\infty\}g:Rm→R∪{+∞} be proper (never −∞-\infty−∞, finite somewhere) and lower semicontinuous. Let Q:Rn×Rm→RQ:\mathbb R^n\times\mathbb R^m\to\mathbb RQ:Rn×Rm→R be continuously differentiable, with ∇Q\nabla Q∇Q Lipschitz on bounded sets. This is assumption (H) for

L(x,y)=f(x)+Q(x,y)+g(y).L(x,y)=f(x)+Q(x,y)+g(y).L(x,y)=f(x)+Q(x,y)+g(y).

The product Rn×Rm\mathbb R^n\times\mathbb R^mRn×Rm carries the Euclidean norm ∥(x,y)∥2=∥x∥2+∥y∥2\|(x,y)\|^2=\|x\|^2+\|y\|^2∥(x,y)∥2=∥x∥2+∥y∥2. Write ∇Q=(∇xQ,∇yQ)\nabla Q=(\nabla_xQ,\nabla_yQ)∇Q=(∇x​Q,∇y​Q).

Given (x0,y0)(x_0,y_0)(x0​,y0​) and step sizes λk,μk>0\lambda_k,\mu_k>0λk​,μk​>0, the proximal alternating scheme is

xk+1∈argmin⁡u{L(u,yk)+12λk∥u−xk∥2},yk+1∈argmin⁡v{L(xk+1,v)+12μk∥v−yk∥2}.(5–6)x_{k+1}\in\operatorname{argmin}_u\Big\{L(u,y_k)+\tfrac1{2\lambda_k}\|u-x_k\|^2\Big\},\qquad y_{k+1}\in\operatorname{argmin}_v\Big\{L(x_{k+1},v)+\tfrac1{2\mu_k}\|v-y_k\|^2\Big\}.\tag{5–6}xk+1​∈argminu​{L(u,yk​)+2λk​1​∥u−xk​∥2},yk+1​∈argminv​{L(xk+1​,v)+2μk​1​∥v−yk​∥2}.(5–6)

Assumption (H1) asks that inf⁡L>−∞\inf L>-\inftyinfL>−∞, that L(⋅,y0)L(\cdot,y_0)L(⋅,y0​) be proper, and that λk,μk∈(r−,r+)\lambda_k,\mu_k\in(r_-,r_+)λk​,μk​∈(r−​,r+​) for all kkk, for some 0<r−<r+0<r_-<r_+0<r−​<r+​.

The Fréchet subdifferential ∂^L(z)\hat\partial L(z)∂^L(z) is the set of vvv with lim inf⁡w→z, w≠z(L(w)−L(z)−⟨v,w−z⟩)/∥w−z∥≥0\liminf_{w\to z,\,w\ne z}\big(L(w)-L(z)-\langle v,w-z\rangle\big)/\|w-z\|\ge0liminfw→z,w=z​(L(w)−L(z)−⟨v,w−z⟩)/∥w−z∥≥0. The limiting subdifferential ∂L(z)\partial L(z)∂L(z) collects the limits of vj∈∂^L(zj)v_j\in\hat\partial L(z_j)vj​∈∂^L(zj​) along zj→zz_j\to zzj​→z with L(zj)→L(z)L(z_j)\to L(z)L(zj​)→L(z). A point zzz is critical if 0∈∂L(z)0\in\partial L(z)0∈∂L(z). LLL has the KL property at zˉ∈dom⁡∂L\bar z\in\operatorname{dom}\partial Lzˉ∈dom∂L if there are η>0\eta>0η>0, a neighbourhood UUU of zˉ\bar zzˉ and a continuous concave φ:[0,η)→R+\varphi:[0,\eta)\to\mathbb R_+φ:[0,η)→R+​ with φ(0)=0\varphi(0)=0φ(0)=0, φ∈C1(0,η)\varphi\in C^1(0,\eta)φ∈C1(0,η), φ′>0\varphi'>0φ′>0, such that

φ′(L(z)−L(zˉ)) dist⁡(0,∂L(z))≥1whenever z∈U, L(zˉ)<L(z)<L(zˉ)+η.\varphi'\big(L(z)-L(\bar z)\big)\,\operatorname{dist}\big(0,\partial L(z)\big)\ge1\quad\text{whenever }z\in U,\ L(\bar z)<L(z)<L(\bar z)+\eta .φ′(L(z)−L(zˉ))dist(0,∂L(z))≥1whenever z∈U, L(zˉ)<L(z)<L(zˉ)+η.

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem 9 (p. 11)

If LLL satisfies (H), (H1) and has the KL property at every point of dom⁡∂L\operatorname{dom}\partial Ldom∂L, then every sequence of (5–6) satisfies

∥(xk,yk)∥→∞or(∑k∥xk+1−xk∥+∥yk+1−yk∥<∞  and  (xk,yk)→z⋆, 0∈∂L(z⋆)).\|(x_k,y_k)\|\to\infty\qquad\text{or}\qquad\Big(\sum_k\|x_{k+1}-x_k\|+\|y_{k+1}-y_k\|<\infty\ \text{ and }\ (x_k,y_k)\to z^\star,\ 0\in\partial L(z^\star)\Big).∥(xk​,yk​)∥→∞or(k∑​∥xk+1​−xk​∥+∥yk+1​−yk​∥<∞  and  (xk​,yk​)→z⋆, 0∈∂L(z⋆)).

Milestones

  • Proposition 3 (p. 5): ∂L(x,y)={∂f(x)+∇xQ(x,y)}×{∂g(y)+∇yQ(x,y)}=∂xL(x,y)×∂yL(x,y)\partial L(x,y)=\{\partial f(x)+\nabla_xQ(x,y)\}\times\{\partial g(y)+\nabla_yQ(x,y)\}=\partial_xL(x,y)\times\partial_yL(x,y)∂L(x,y)={∂f(x)+∇x​Q(x,y)}×{∂g(y)+∇y​Q(x,y)}=∂x​L(x,y)×∂y​L(x,y) on dom⁡L\operatorname{dom}LdomL.
  • Lemma 5 (p. 6), in four parts: the scheme is well defined; the decrease estimate (7); summability of the squared steps; the explicit subgradient (xk∗,yk∗)∈∂L(xk,yk)(x_k^*,y_k^*)\in\partial L(x_k,y_k)(xk∗​,yk∗​)∈∂L(xk​,yk​) (8), which tends to 000 along bounded subsequences.
  • Proposition 6 (p. 7): limit points are critical, and LLL is finite and constant on them.
  • (19)–(20), (24), (25), (26) from the proof of Theorem 8 (pp. 9–11).
  • Theorem 8 (p. 9): a local convergence result with explicit constants: M=2r+(C+1/r−)M=2r_+(C+1/r_-)M=2r+​(C+1/r−​), the trapping radius (16), and the tail bound (18).

Significance

Theorem 9 makes the KL inequality the single hypothesis behind global convergence of a nonconvex block method. Semi-algebraic, subanalytic and definable data satisfy it, so the theorem covers sparse and low-rank regularizers, indicator functions of semi-algebraic sets, and polynomial couplings. With f=δCf=\delta_Cf=δC​, g=δDg=\delta_Dg=δD​ and Q(x,y)=12∥x−y∥2Q(x,y)=\tfrac12\|x-y\|^2Q(x,y)=21​∥x−y∥2 it yields convergence of an averaged alternating projection method between two closed sets (§3.4 of the paper). The proof pattern of sufficient decrease, a relative-error subgradient bound and the KL inequality was later abstracted for PALM and many other algorithms. A formal proof of this paper's argument therefore covers the template those analyses reuse.

The result has been proved since 2010. To our knowledge it has not been formalized in any proof assistant. Mathlib has the Fréchet derivative and the gradient, but no limiting subdifferential and no KL theory. The published Prove2Me definitions of the limiting subdifferential and of the KL property (from the Li–Pong ADMM series) are reused here, so this mission also tests that infrastructure on a second algorithm.

Difficulty

The decrease estimate (7) gives only ∑∥zk+1−zk∥2<∞\sum\|z_{k+1}-z_k\|^2<\infty∑∥zk+1​−zk​∥2<∞. That makes steps vanish and limit points critical (Proposition 6), but it does not give convergence, because square-summable steps can have infinite total length. Turning square summability into summability needs the KL inequality. That inequality holds only near a critical point and only on a sublevel band, so the iterates must first be shown never to leave a ball B(zˉ,ρ)B(\bar z,\rho)B(zˉ,ρ), by an induction that uses the very finite-length estimate it is trying to establish. The constants in (16) are arranged so that this induction closes. A second difficulty is nonsmooth calculus: the subdifferential sum rule for f(x)+g(y)+Q(x,y)f(x)+g(y)+Q(x,y)f(x)+g(y)+Q(x,y) and the closedness of the graph of ∂L\partial L∂L along sequences with converging function values. Lower semicontinuity alone does not give convergence of the function values; the proximal inequalities do.

Formalization scope

Everything lives in the namespace ProxAltMin.Conv, in Lean 4 with Mathlib. Conventions:

  • Rn\mathbb R^nRn, Rm\mathbb R^mRm are EuclideanSpace ℝ (Fin n) and EuclideanSpace ℝ (Fin m), and the product is the L2L^2L2 product WithLp 2 (… × …), not the sup-norm product.
  • R∪{+∞}\mathbb R\cup\{+\infty\}R∪{+∞} is EReal with "never −∞-\infty−∞" as part of properness.
  • The argmin steps are inequalities quantified over all competitors, so every selection of minimizers is covered.
  • Balls are open.
  • The KL data (η,U,φ)(\eta,U,\varphi)(η,U,φ) of Theorem 8 are explicit parameters, with real η>0\eta>0η>0; this is equivalent to η∈(0,+∞]\eta\in(0,+\infty]η∈(0,+∞].
  • Inside the proof of Theorem 8 the paper normalizes L(zˉ)=0L(\bar z)=0L(zˉ)=0; the milestones taken from that proof carry li−lˉl_i-\bar lli​−lˉ instead.
  • Every infinite sum in a conclusion comes with an explicit summability claim.
  • Theorem 9's "KL property at each point of the domain of fff" is read as "at each point of dom⁡∂L\operatorname{dom}\partial Ldom∂L", the domain on which Definition 7 places the KL property.

Theorem and page numbers are those of arXiv:0801.1780v3 (22 Jan 2013), which is the version read; the published article has the same content.

A trivializing formalization is ruled out: the run predicate is satisfiable (Lemma 5's existence milestone; for f=g=Q=0f=g=Q=0f=g=Q=0 any constant sequence is a run), the constants MMM and CCC are tied to the data rather than chosen by the prover, and no conclusion is a sum or a distance whose library value is 000 on bad input.

Needed infrastructure: the subdifferential calculus behind Proposition 3 (a smooth perturbation and a separable sum), the closedness of the limiting subdifferential, existence of proximal minimizers for coercive lower semicontinuous functions on Rn\mathbb R^nRn, and the elementary but delicate bookkeeping of Theorem 8. The first two are reusable well beyond this mission. Contributions welcome: proofs of any milestone, and general lemmas on limiting subdifferentials stated as separate theorems.

Selected references

  • H. Attouch, J. Bolte, P. Redont, A. Soubeyran, Proximal alternating minimization and projection methods for nonconvex problems: an approach based on the Kurdyka–Łojasiewicz inequality, Mathematics of Operations Research 35(2):438–457, 2010. https://doi.org/10.1287/moor.1100.0449 (arXiv:0801.1780v3, https://arxiv.org/abs/0801.1780v3)
  • H. Attouch, J. Bolte, On the convergence of the proximal algorithm for nonsmooth functions involving analytic features, Mathematical Programming 116:5–16, 2009. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10107-007-0133-5
  • J. Bolte, A. Daniilidis, A. Lewis, The Łojasiewicz inequality for nonsmooth subanalytic functions with applications to subgradient dynamical systems, SIAM J. Optim. 17(4):1205–1223, 2007. https://doi.org/10.1137/050644641
  • K. Kurdyka, On gradients of functions definable in o-minimal structures, Annales de l'Institut Fourier 48(3):769–783, 1998. https://doi.org/10.5802/aif.1638
  • J. Bolte, S. Sabach, M. Teboulle, Proximal alternating linearized minimization for nonconvex and nonsmooth problems, Mathematical Programming 146:459–494, 2014. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10107-013-0701-9
  • R. T. Rockafellar, R. J.-B. Wets, Variational Analysis, Springer, 1998. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-642-02431-3
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Algorithms for Scheduling Runway Operations Under Constrained Position Shifting 1: Dynamic Programming on the CPS Network Gives the Minimum MakespanResearch Paper

Motivation

A busy runway is the bottleneck of an airport, and the order in which arriving or departing aircraft use it determines how many operations fit into an hour. Consecutive aircraft must be spaced by minimum separations that depend on both aircraft (a light aircraft behind a heavy one needs a long gap because of wake turbulence), so reordering the first-come-first-served (FCFS) queue can raise throughput considerably. Unrestricted reordering is unacceptable in practice: it makes the controllers' job harder and can push one aircraft to the back of the queue indefinitely. Following Dear (1976), constrained position shifting (CPS) allows each aircraft to move at most kkk positions away from its FCFS position, with kkk between 1 and 3 in practice.

Earlier algorithms for CPS either exploited a small number of aircraft types and ignored time windows and precedence constraints (Psaraftis 1980), or needed exponentially many parallel processors (Trivizas 1998), and Carr (2004) conjectured that runway scheduling under CPS has exponential complexity in general. Balakrishnan and Chandran (Oper. Res. 58(6), 2010) showed that, for fixed kkk, the problem with time windows and precedence constraints is solved by dynamic programming on a network whose size is linear in the number of aircraft. This mission formalizes the core of that result: the network, its precedence pruning, and the dynamic program for the minimum makespan.

Setting

There are n≥1n\ge 1n≥1 aircraft, labelled 0,…,n−10,\dots,n-10,…,n−1 in FCFS order, and the landing positions are also 0,…,n−10,\dots,n-10,…,n−1. An instance consists of

  1. the maximum position shift k∈Nk\in\mathbb Nk∈N;
  2. separations δab≥0\delta_{ab}\ge 0δab​≥0, the minimum time between a leading aircraft aaa and a trailing aircraft bbb, satisfying the triangle inequality δac≤δab+δbc\delta_{ac}\le\delta_{ab}+\delta_{bc}δac​≤δab​+δbc​ (which holds for wake-vortex separations in arrivals-only or departures-only operation);
  3. a time window [e(a),l(a)][e(a),l(a)][e(a),l(a)] for each aircraft;
  4. a finite set of precedence pairs (x,y)(x,y)(x,y) of distinct aircraft, meaning that xxx lands before yyy.

A kkk-CPS sequence is a bijection σ\sigmaσ from positions to aircraft with ∣σ(p)−p∣≤k|\sigma(p)-p|\le k∣σ(p)−p∣≤k for all ppp. A feasible schedule is such a σ\sigmaσ with landing times tpt_ptp​ such that e(σ(p))≤tp≤l(σ(p))e(\sigma(p))\le t_p\le l(\sigma(p))e(σ(p))≤tp​≤l(σ(p)), δσ(p)σ(q)≤tq−tp\delta_{\sigma(p)\sigma(q)}\le t_q-t_pδσ(p)σ(q)​≤tq​−tp​ for all positions p<qp<qp<q, and every precedence pair is respected. The makespan is tn−1t_{n-1}tn−1​, the landing time of the last aircraft.

The CPS network has stages p=1,…,np=1,\dots,np=1,…,n. A node of stage ppp is a list of min⁡{2k+1,p}\min\{2k+1,p\}min{2k+1,p} distinct aircraft occupying the positions that end at p−1p-1p−1, each within kkk of its FCFS position; its last entry is its final aircraft. An arc joins a stage-ppp node iii to a stage-(p+1)(p+1)(p+1) node jjj when the first min⁡{2k,p}\min\{2k,p\}min{2k,p} entries of jjj are the last min⁡{2k,p}\min\{2k,p\}min{2k,p} entries of iii. A source-sink path picks one node per stage, joined by arcs, and its sequence puts the final aircraft of the stage-(q+1)(q+1)(q+1) node at position qqq. The pruned network GGG deletes the nodes that violate a precedence pair (x,y)(x,y)(x,y): those containing yyy before xxx, or yyy at a position less than x−kx-kx−k, or xxx at a position greater than y+ky+ky+k.

On GGG, with e(j),l(j)e(j),l(j)e(j),l(j) the window of the final aircraft of jjj, δi(j)\delta_i(j)δi​(j) the separation between the final aircraft of iii and jjj, and P(j)P(j)P(j) the predecessors of jjj, the dynamic program is T∗(j)=e(j)T^*(j)=e(j)T∗(j)=e(j) at stage 1 and

T∗(j)=max⁡{e(j), min⁡i∈P(j): T∗(i)≤l(i)(T∗(i)+δi(j))}(1)T^*(j)=\max\Big\{e(j),\ \min_{i\in P(j):\,T^*(i)\le l(i)}\big(T^*(i)+\delta_i(j)\big)\Big\}\qquad(1)T∗(j)=max{e(j), i∈P(j):T∗(i)≤l(i)min​(T∗(i)+δi​(j))}(1)

with min⁡∅=+∞\min\emptyset=+\inftymin∅=+∞.

Formalization targets

Goal: §4.1, the minimum makespan rule

∃ feasible schedule  ⟺  ∃ j∈Gn: T∗(j)≤l(j),\exists\ \text{feasible schedule}\iff \exists\, j\in G_n:\ T^*(j)\le l(j),∃ feasible schedule⟺∃j∈Gn​: T∗(j)≤l(j), min⁡{makespan of a feasible schedule}=min⁡{T∗(j):j∈Gn, T∗(j)≤l(j)},\min\{\text{makespan of a feasible schedule}\}=\min\{T^*(j): j\in G_n,\ T^*(j)\le l(j)\},min{makespan of a feasible schedule}=min{T∗(j):j∈Gn​, T∗(j)≤l(j)},

where GnG_nGn​ is stage nnn of GGG; the second identity is stated as "τ\tauτ is the least makespan iff τ\tauτ is the least admissible T∗(j)T^*(j)T∗(j)" for every real τ\tauτ.

Milestones

  1. Theorem 1. σ\sigmaσ is a kkk-CPS sequence iff it is the sequence of a source-sink path of the CPS network.
  2. Lemma 1 (Case I). For a<ba<ba<b, a path whose sequence puts aaa after bbb has a node containing bbb before aaa.
  3. Lemma 2 (Case II). For a<ba<ba<b, in the position-constrained network, a path whose sequence puts aaa before bbb has a node containing aaa before bbb.
  4. §3.1 conclusion. The source-sink paths of GGG are exactly the kkk-CPS sequences respecting all precedence pairs.
  5. Lemma 3. For every node jjj of GGG, T∗(j)T^*(j)T∗(j) is the earliest landing time of the final aircraft of jjj over all partial schedules ending at jjj, and +∞+\infty+∞ exactly when there is none.

Significance

The network turns a search over permutations into a shortest-path-like computation over O(n(2k+1)2k+1)O(n(2k+1)^{2k+1})O(n(2k+1)2k+1) nodes, so for the small values of kkk used in practice the minimum makespan with time windows and precedence constraints is computed in time linear in nnn. The same network underlies the paper's algorithms for total delay (§5.2) and, in a time-expanded form, for arbitrary separable costs without the triangle inequality (§6).

The paper's proofs are short and informal. A formalization pins down exactly what T∗(j)T^*(j)T∗(j) means (the paper describes it only as "arrival time of the final aircraft of node iii in an optimal solution"), makes precise which nodes the precedence pruning removes, and checks the correctness of the stage-nnn rule. The result has not been machine-checked before.

Difficulty

Two features of the model make the correctness of the network nontrivial. First, a node records only a window of at most 2k+12k+12k+1 consecutive positions, so nothing local prevents a path from using the same aircraft twice or omitting one; Theorem 1 asserts that the global sequence is nevertheless a permutation, and Lemmas 1 and 2 assert that precedence, a global property of the sequence, is detected inside single nodes. Second, the recursion (1) adds the separation only between consecutive aircraft, while feasibility constrains every pair of aircraft; the triangle inequality is what reconciles the two, and without it Lemma 3 fails.

The obvious reading of §4.1 also fails: taking the least T∗(j)T^*(j)T∗(j) over all stage-nnn nodes, as the paper prints, can select a node whose final aircraft lands after its latest time. The goal filters stage nnn by T∗(j)≤l(j)T^*(j)\le l(j)T∗(j)≤l(j).

Formalization scope

All data are real numbers; aircraft and positions are Fin n, 0-based; stages are 1-based natural numbers; [NeZero n] encodes n≥1n\ge 1n≥1. Separations are pairwise in the definition of feasibility, never only consecutive. The recursion takes values in WithTop ℝ, with ⊤=+∞\top=+\infty⊤=+∞; optima are stated with IsLeast over sets of makespans, never with a real infimum. Precedence pairs are a Finset of ordered pairs of distinct aircraft, covering both of the paper's cases.

Explicit readings of loose phrases:

  • "corresponding source-sink path" (Theorem 1) is the path whose final aircraft, stage by stage, form the sequence, as defined in the proof;
  • "the values of T∗(⋅)T^*(\cdot)T∗(⋅)" (Lemma 3) are earliest landing times over partial schedules ending at the node: paths in GGG with times satisfying the windows of the earlier aircraft, the earliest time of the last one, and all pairwise separations;
  • "the minimum makespan is the lowest value of T∗(⋅)T^*(\cdot)T∗(⋅) among all nodes in stage nnn" is corrected to the nodes with T∗(j)≤l(j)T^*(j)\le l(j)T∗(j)≤l(j), which is the paper's own feasibility check;
  • the Case II position filter uses the printed rule (<b−k<b-k<b−k, >a+k>a+k>a+k).

Not formalized: running times (Proposition 1 and the O(k)O(k)O(k) preprocessing remark), the predecessor pointers and tie-breaking that reconstruct an optimal sequence, the removal of nodes unreachable from the source or the sink (it does not change the set of source-sink paths), asymmetric shifts (§3.2) and disjoint time windows.

A formalization that defines feasibility with consecutive separations only, defines T∗T^*T∗ by the recursion and states Lemma 3 as an unfolding, or states Theorem 1 as "some CPS sequence exists iff some path exists" would be trivial; the statements here avoid all three.

The definitions (instance, kkk-CPS sequences, the CPS network and its pruning) are shared with the two other missions of this series (total delay, discrete time) and may be consolidated later. Proofs of the milestones, and lemmas about the window structure of the network, are welcome.

Selected references

  • H. Balakrishnan, B. G. Chandran, Algorithms for Scheduling Runway Operations Under Constrained Position Shifting, Operations Research 58(6), 1650–1665, 2010. https://doi.org/10.1287/opre.1100.0869
  • H. N. Psaraftis, A Dynamic Programming Approach for Sequencing Groups of Identical Jobs, Operations Research 28(6), 1347–1359, 1980. https://doi.org/10.1287/opre.28.6.1347
  • R. G. Dear, The Dynamic Scheduling of Aircraft in the Near Terminal Area, MIT Flight Transportation Laboratory Report R76-9, 1976.
  • D. A. Trivizas, Optimal Scheduling with Maximum Position Shift (MPS) Constraints: A Runway Scheduling Application, Journal of Navigation 51(2), 250–266, 1998.
  • F. R. Carr, Robust Decision-Support Tools for Airport Surface Traffic, Ph.D. thesis, Massachusetts Institute of Technology, 2004.
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Algorithms for Scheduling Runway Operations Under Constrained Position Shifting 2: The Minimum Total Delay Is a Shortest Source-Sink Path in the CPS NetworkResearch Paper

Motivation

Runway capacity is the binding constraint at many busy airports. An aircraft landing or taking off behind another must wait a minimum separation time that depends on the two aircraft's weight classes, because of wake vortices; the US Federal Aviation Administration publishes these spacing requirements. Reordering aircraft changes the sum of the separations incurred and hence the delays, but unrestricted reordering is unacceptable to airlines and controllers: an aircraft that arrived early could be pushed to the end of the queue. Constrained position shifting (CPS), introduced by Psaraftis (1980) and used in the United States and Europe since, allows each aircraft to move at most kkk positions from its first-come-first-served (FCFS) position.

Balakrishnan and Chandran (Operations Research 58(6), 2010) recast CPS scheduling as dynamic programming on a layered network, the CPS network, whose size is polynomial in the number of aircraft nnn for fixed kkk. Their §4 minimizes the makespan (the landing time of the last aircraft). §5.2 minimizes the total delay, equivalently the average delay, which measures passenger and airline cost more directly. This mission formalizes §5.2.

Setting

There are nnn aircraft labelled 1,…,n1,\dots,n1,…,n in FCFS order, a maximum position shift k∈Nk\in\mathbb Nk∈N, separations δab≥0\delta_{ab}\ge 0δab​≥0 (the minimum time between leading aircraft aaa and trailing aircraft bbb), and a finite set of precedence pairs (x,y)(x,y)(x,y) with x≠yx\ne yx=y, meaning that xxx must land before yyy. The separations satisfy the triangle inequality δac≤δab+δbc\delta_{ac}\le\delta_{ab}+\delta_{bc}δac​≤δab​+δbc​, as wake-vortex separations do for arrivals-only or departures-only operations.

A kkk-CPS sequence is a permutation σ\sigmaσ of the aircraft (position ppp receives aircraft σ(p)\sigma(p)σ(p)) with ∣σ(p)−p∣≤k|\sigma(p)-p|\le k∣σ(p)−p∣≤k for every ppp. A feasible schedule is a kkk-CPS sequence that places xxx before yyy for each precedence pair, together with landing times t1,…,tnt_1,\dots,t_nt1​,…,tn​ (by position) such that

tp≥0,tq−tp≥δσ(p)σ(q)(p<q).t_p\ge 0,\qquad t_q-t_p\ge\delta_{\sigma(p)\sigma(q)}\quad(p<q).tp​≥0,tq​−tp​≥δσ(p)σ(q)​(p<q).

There are no time windows. Its total delay is t1+⋯+tnt_1+\dots+t_nt1​+⋯+tn​, measured from time 000, at which all aircraft are available.

The CPS network has stages 1,…,n1,\dots,n1,…,n. A node of stage ppp is a sequence of min⁡{2k+1,p}\min\{2k+1,p\}min{2k+1,p} distinct aircraft that can occupy positions p−min⁡{2k+1,p}+1,…,pp-\min\{2k+1,p\}+1,\dots,pp−min{2k+1,p}+1,…,p (each within kkk of its position). Its last aircraft is its final aircraft. An arc joins a stage-ppp node iii to a stage-(p+1)(p+1)(p+1) node jjj when the sequences overlap: the first min⁡{2k,p}\min\{2k,p\}min{2k,p} aircraft of jjj are the last min⁡{2k,p}\min\{2k,p\}min{2k,p} aircraft of iii. A source-sink path picks one node per stage, and its sequence assigns position ppp to the final aircraft of the stage-ppp node. Precedence is incorporated by deleting every node that places yyy before xxx for some pair (x,y)(x,y)(x,y), or that places an aircraft outside the positions a pair allows it (§3.1). The result is the pruned network GGG. For nodes i,ji,ji,j, δi(j)\delta_i(j)δi​(j) is the separation between their final aircraft.

For a node jjj in stage ppp and times t1,…,tpt_1,\dots,t_pt1​,…,tp​ along a path to jjj, the paper uses the partial objective

θj(p)=t1+⋯+tp−1+(n−p+1) tp.\theta_j(p)=t_1+\dots+t_{p-1}+(n-p+1)\,t_p .θj​(p)=t1​+⋯+tp−1​+(n−p+1)tp​.

Formalization targets

Goal: the shortest-path equivalence (§5.2, p. 1656)

Give the arc (i,j)(i,j)(i,j) from stage p−1p-1p−1 to stage ppp the distance (n−p+1)δi(j)(n-p+1)\delta_i(j)(n−p+1)δi​(j), and source and sink arcs distance 000. Then a feasible schedule exists if and only if GGG has a source-sink path, and

min⁡(σ,t) feasible ∑p=1ntp  =  min⁡v source-sink path of G ∑p=2n(n−p+1) δvp−1(vp),\min_{(\sigma,t)\ \text{feasible}}\ \sum_{p=1}^{n}t_p\;=\;\min_{v\ \text{source-sink path of }G}\ \sum_{p=2}^{n}(n-p+1)\,\delta_{v_{p-1}}(v_p),(σ,t) feasiblemin​ p=1∑n​tp​=v source-sink path of Gmin​ p=2∑n​(n−p+1)δvp−1​​(vp​),

where each minimum exists exactly when the other does.

Milestones

  1. Theorem 1 with Lemmas 1–2 (pp. 1652–1654): the source-sink paths of GGG are exactly the kkk-CPS sequences respecting the precedence pairs.
  2. Proposition 2 (p. 1656): in a schedule of minimum total delay, tp−tp−1=δσ(p−1)σ(p)t_p-t_{p-1}=\delta_{\sigma(p-1)\sigma(p)}tp​−tp−1​=δσ(p−1)σ(p)​ for every p≥2p\ge 2p≥2.
  3. Proposition 3 (p. 1656): all paths from the source to a node lying on some source-sink path contain the same set of aircraft.
  4. The recursion of §5.2 (p. 1656): with θj∗(p)\theta^*_j(p)θj∗​(p) the minimum of θj(p)\theta_j(p)θj​(p) over partial schedules ending at jjj, θj∗(1)=0\theta^*_j(1)=0θj∗​(1)=0 and
θj∗(p)=min⁡i∈P(j)(θi∗(p−1)+(n−p+1) δi(j)),\theta^*_j(p)=\min_{i\in P(j)}\big(\theta^*_i(p-1)+(n-p+1)\,\delta_i(j)\big),θj∗​(p)=i∈P(j)min​(θi∗​(p−1)+(n−p+1)δi​(j)),

where P(j)P(j)P(j) is the set of predecessors of jjj in GGG.

Significance

The result turns a sequencing problem over up to n!n!n! orders into a shortest-path computation on a directed acyclic graph with O(n(2k+1)2k+1)O(n(2k+1)^{2k+1})O(n(2k+1)2k+1) nodes, and it does so while respecting precedence constraints, which earlier CPS algorithms (Psaraftis 1980; Trivizas 1998) could not handle. It is the average-delay counterpart of the makespan algorithm of §4 and shares its network. The same network carries the discrete-time models of §6.

The paper's proof of the equivalence is one sentence ("follows from properties of shortest paths and is omitted here"). Propositions 2 and 3 are proved in a few lines, and Theorem 1 by an argument about windows of 2k+12k+12k+1 consecutive positions. None of these results has a machine-checked proof. A formal development makes explicit the conventions the prose leaves implicit (the time origin, pairwise separations, which nodes Proposition 3 refers to) and checks that the recursion and the shortest-path value really compute the minimum total delay.

Difficulty

The arc distances weight the separation into stage ppp by n−p+1n-p+1n−p+1, the number of aircraft whose landing it delays. The equivalence needs two directions. A path's length must be the total delay of the schedule that lands each aircraft at its predecessor's time plus the separation, and that schedule must satisfy every pairwise separation, not only the consecutive ones; this is where the triangle inequality enters. Conversely, every feasible schedule must have total delay at least the length of its sequence's path, and every feasible sequence must be a path of GGG. The last point is Theorem 1 with precedence pruning: a node sees only 2k+12k+12k+1 consecutive positions, so detecting a violated precedence pair inside one node requires the position filter of §3.1 for pairs that reverse FCFS order. Proposition 3 is false for nodes that lie on no source-sink path, which the printed statement does not exclude.

Formalization scope

Aircraft and positions are Fin n, 0-based, and stages are 0-based natural numbers, so the arc into stage sss has distance (n−s)δi(j)(n-s)\delta_i(j)(n−s)δi​(j). Separations are real, nonnegative and satisfy the triangle inequality; feasibility requires them between every pair of positions. Landing times are real and nonnegative. The paper fixes no time origin, but its path length equals the total delay exactly when delays are measured from 000, and without a lower bound on the times the objective has no minimum. Minima are stated with IsLeast on sets of values, never with a real infimum. Feasibility and the existence of a path are stated separately, because the equality of least elements alone does not force them to exist.

The following loose phrases are given explicit readings. "In an optimal solution" (Proposition 2) means a feasible schedule whose total delay is at most that of every feasible schedule. "The CPS network" in Proposition 3 means nodes lying on a source-sink path, stated for the network without precedence pruning, which also covers the pruned one. "θ∗\theta^*θ∗" means the least element of the set of values of θj(p)\theta_j(p)θj​(p) over partial schedules ending at jjj, and the printed θj∗(s)\theta^*_j(s)θj∗​(s) is read as θj∗(p)\theta^*_j(p)θj∗​(p). The boundary value θj∗(1)=0\theta^*_j(1)=0θj∗​(1)=0 is not printed and is stated explicitly. Precedence pruning uses the printed Case II rule. Running times (the O(n(2k+1)2k+2)O(n(2k+1)^{2k+2})O(n(2k+1)2k+2) bound) are not formalized.

A trivializing formalization would require separations only between consecutive aircraft, define the minimum by the recursion itself, or use a network whose nodes need not be distinct or admissible. Here the minimum is defined directly over feasible schedules, separations are pairwise, and the nodes are checked against the paper's Figure 1 (stage sizes 2, 4, 7, 14, 14, 7 and 13 paths for n=6n=6n=6, k=1k=1k=1).

The development needs finite sums, permutations of Fin n and lists. The network layer (stages, arcs, precedence pruning, Theorem 1) is shared with the makespan and discrete-time missions of this series and reusable for any CPS objective. Proofs of any milestone, alternative proofs of the goal, and generalizations (asymmetric shifts, §3.2) are welcome.

Selected references

  • H. Balakrishnan, B. G. Chandran, Algorithms for Scheduling Runway Operations Under Constrained Position Shifting, Operations Research 58(6), 1650–1665, 2010. https://doi.org/10.1287/opre.1100.0869
  • H. N. Psaraftis, A Dynamic Programming Approach for Sequencing Groups of Identical Jobs, Operations Research 28(6), 1347–1359, 1980. https://doi.org/10.1287/opre.28.6.1347
  • R. G. Dear, Y. S. Sherif, An Algorithm for Computer Assisted Sequencing and Scheduling of Terminal Area Operations, Transportation Research Part A 25(2–3), 129–139, 1991.
  • D. A. Trivizas, Optimal Scheduling with Maximum Position Shift (MPS) Constraints: A Runway Scheduling Application, Journal of Navigation 51(2), 250–266, 1998.
  • R. de Neufville, A. Odoni, Airport Systems: Planning, Design, and Management, McGraw-Hill, 2003.
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A Combinatorial Algorithm Minimizing Submodular Functions in Strongly Polynomial Time II: Minimizing a Submodular Function over a Ring Family Reduces to Minimizing over All SubsetsResearch Paper

Motivation

A submodular function on a finite set VVV is a function fff on subsets of VVV with f(X∪Y)+f(X∩Y)≤f(X)+f(Y)f(X \cup Y) + f(X \cap Y) \le f(X) + f(Y)f(X∪Y)+f(X∩Y)≤f(X)+f(Y). Minimizing such a function is one of the central tractable problems of combinatorial optimization: it contains minimum cuts in directed graphs, matroid intersection and polymatroid problems, and many scheduling and facility-location subproblems. Grötschel, Lovász and Schrijver showed in 1981 that it can be done in polynomial time with the ellipsoid method; in 2000, Schrijver (JCTB 80, 346–355) and, simultaneously, Iwata, Fleischer and Fujishige (J. ACM 48, 2001) gave the first combinatorial strongly polynomial algorithms.

In many applications the function is not defined on all subsets of VVV but only on a ring family: a collection closed under union and intersection, such as the order ideals of a precedence relation in scheduling, or the sets of a closure system. The last section of Schrijver's paper (§6, pp. 353–354) shows that nothing is lost: any algorithm minimizing submodular functions on all subsets of VVV also minimizes a submodular function given only on a ring family. This mission formalizes that reduction.

Setting

Let VVV be a finite set. A collection C\mathcal CC of subsets of VVV is a ring family if X∪Y∈CX \cup Y \in \mathcal CX∪Y∈C and X∩Y∈CX \cap Y \in \mathcal CX∩Y∈C whenever X,Y∈CX, Y \in \mathcal CX,Y∈C. A real function fff is submodular on C\mathcal CC if

f(X∪Y)+f(X∩Y)≤f(X)+f(Y)(X,Y∈C).f(X \cup Y) + f(X \cap Y) \le f(X) + f(Y) \qquad (X, Y \in \mathcal C).f(X∪Y)+f(X∩Y)≤f(X)+f(Y)(X,Y∈C).

Following the paper, C\mathcal CC is normalized: ∅∈C\emptyset \in \mathcal C∅∈C, V∈CV \in \mathcal CV∈C, and Mu≠MvM_u \ne M_vMu​=Mv​ for all u≠vu \ne vu=v, where MvM_vMv​ is the smallest set of C\mathcal CC containing vvv. (Elements with the same MvM_vMv​ can be identified.) Under this normalization C\mathcal CC is the family of lower ideals of a partial order on VVV.

For X⊆VX \subseteq VX⊆V, the closure X‾\overline XX is the smallest set of C\mathcal CC containing XXX. For v∈Vv \in Vv∈V, LvL_vLv​ is the largest set of C\mathcal CC not containing vvv. The paper defines weights

c(v):=max⁡{0, f(Lv)−f(Lv∪{v})}(23)c(v) := \max\{0,\ f(L_v) - f(L_v \cup \{v\})\} \qquad (23)c(v):=max{0, f(Lv​)−f(Lv​∪{v})}(23)

with the modular extension c(X):=∑v∈Xc(v)c(X) := \sum_{v \in X} c(v)c(X):=∑v∈X​c(v), and the function on all subsets of VVV

g(X):=f(X‾)+c(X‾)(X⊆V).(26)g(X) := f(\overline X) + c(\overline X) \qquad (X \subseteq V). \qquad (26)g(X):=f(X)+c(X)(X⊆V).(26)

In Lean, VVV is a type with [Fintype V] [DecidableEq V], subsets are Finset V, C\mathcal CC is C : Set (Finset V), and the objects above are IsRingFamily C, SubmodularOn C f, closure C X, M C v, L C v, cw C f v (for c(v)c(v)c(v)), csum C f X (for c(X)c(X)c(X)) and g C f X, all in the namespace SchrijverSFM.Ring.

Formalization targets

Goal: the reduction

Under the normalization above, for fff submodular on C\mathcal CC:

g is submodular on all subsets of V,g \text{ is submodular on all subsets of } V,g is submodular on all subsets of V,

and, if U⊆VU \subseteq VU⊆V minimizes g(U)−c(U)g(U) - c(U)g(U)−c(U) over all subsets of VVV, then U‾∈C\overline U \in \mathcal CU∈C and

f(U‾)≤f(T)for all T∈C.f(\overline U) \le f(T) \qquad \text{for all } T \in \mathcal C.f(U)≤f(T)for all T∈C.

Both conjuncts are needed: the second alone follows almost from the definitions, while the first is what makes an all-subsets algorithm applicable to g−cg - cg−c in the first place.

Milestones

  1. C\mathcal CC is the collection of all lower ideals of some partial order on VVV (p. 353).
  2. LvL_vLv​ is the largest set in C\mathcal CC not containing vvv, equal to the union of the MuM_uMu​ not containing vvv, and Lv∪{v}∈CL_v \cup \{v\} \in \mathcal CLv​∪{v}∈C (p. 353, (23)).
  3. The one-element step (25): f(X)≤f(Y)+c(v)f(X) \le f(Y) + c(v)f(X)≤f(Y)+c(v) for X,Y∈CX, Y \in \mathcal CX,Y∈C, Y=X∪{v}Y = X \cup \{v\}Y=X∪{v}, v∉Xv \notin Xv∈/X.
  4. Monotonicity (24): f(Y)+c(Y)≥f(X)+c(X)f(Y) + c(Y) \ge f(X) + c(X)f(Y)+c(Y)≥f(X)+c(X) for X⊆YX \subseteq YX⊆Y in C\mathcal CC.
  5. The closure identities X‾∪Y‾=X∪Y‾\overline X \cup \overline Y = \overline{X \cup Y}X∪Y=X∪Y and X‾∩Y‾⊇X∩Y‾\overline X \cap \overline Y \supseteq \overline{X \cap Y}X∩Y⊇X∩Y.
  6. Display (27): ggg is submodular.
  7. Transfer of minimizers: if UUU minimizes g−cg - cg−c over 2V2^V2V, then U‾\overline UU minimizes fff over C\mathcal CC.

Significance

The reduction means that a single algorithm for unconstrained submodular minimization serves for every ring family, given only the sets MvM_vMv​. This is how ring-family constrained problems (for example minimum-cost closures and precedence-constrained scheduling objectives) are routinely handed to general submodular-minimization codes, and it is the standard justification for stating submodular minimization algorithms over 2V2^V2V only.

On the formal side, the mission produces a small reusable layer on ring families of finite sets (closure operator, the lower-ideal representation, the largest set avoiding an element) together with the monotonization trick (24), which is of independent use whenever a function on a lattice of sets has to be made monotone by a modular correction. The result is classical and its proof in the paper is complete; to our knowledge no machine-checked version exists. Companion mission I of this series formalizes the algorithm of §§2–5 itself; this mission does not depend on it, since the algorithm enters only as the hypothesis that a minimizer UUU of g−cg - cg−c is given.

Difficulty

Every step is elementary, but two points are easy to get wrong. First, (24) is proved on the page by assuming Y=X∪{v}Y = X \cup \{v\}Y=X∪{v}; reducing the general case X⊆YX \subseteq YX⊆Y to such one-element steps inside C\mathcal CC requires the normalization Mu≠MvM_u \ne M_vMu​=Mv​: without it a ring family can jump by more than one element (for C={∅,V}\mathcal C = \{\emptyset, V\}C={∅,V} with ∣V∣=2|V| = 2∣V∣=2 the inequality (24) fails for suitable fff). Second, the weights c(v)c(v)c(v) evaluate fff at Lv∪{v}L_v \cup \{v\}Lv​∪{v}, which belongs to C\mathcal CC only because of the same normalization; a formalization that drops it lets values of fff outside C\mathcal CC leak into ccc and ggg. The submodularity proof (27) also needs the asymmetric closure facts — equality for unions but only containment for intersections — which is exactly why the monotonicity (24) is required.

Formalization scope

  • VVV is a finite type with decidable equality; subsets are Finset V; C\mathcal CC is a Set (Finset V).
  • fff is a real function on all of Finset V; only its values on C\mathcal CC matter, and under the hypotheses no other value enters ccc, ggg or the conclusions. The paper allows any ordered field; the formalization uses R\mathbb RR.
  • The normalization of p. 353 is assumed as hypotheses: ∅ ∈ C, Finset.univ ∈ C, and M C u ≠ M C v for u ≠ v. No hypothesis f(∅)=0f(\emptyset) = 0f(∅)=0 is made; §6 does not use it.
  • The closure is the intersection (Finset.inf) of the sets of C\mathcal CC containing XXX, and LvL_vLv​ the union (Finset.sup) of the sets of C\mathcal CC avoiding vvv; their default values on an empty family are never reached under the hypotheses.
  • c(X)c(X)c(X) is the modular extension ∑v∈Xc(v)\sum_{v \in X} c(v)∑v∈X​c(v); the max⁡{0,⋅}\max\{0, \cdot\}max{0,⋅} in (23) is kept, so c≥0c \ge 0c≥0.
  • Submodularity of ggg on all subsets is the published platform definition NonmonotoneSubmod.Shared.Submodular.
  • Not formalized: the running-time claims of §6 ("we can find ccc by 2∣V∣2|V|2∣V∣ oracle calls", strongly polynomial time) and the oracle model; there is no machine model.
  • The goal does not assume (24) or (27), and it is not the minimizer-transfer statement alone, which would be near-definitional.

Contributions welcome: proofs of the milestones in the order listed, general lemmas on closure operators of ring families of Finsets, and the lower-ideal representation, which is reusable beyond this mission.

Selected references

  • A. Schrijver, A combinatorial algorithm minimizing submodular functions in strongly polynomial time, J. Combin. Theory Ser. B 80 (2000), 346–355. https://doi.org/10.1006/jctb.2000.1989
  • S. Iwata, L. Fleischer, S. Fujishige, A combinatorial strongly polynomial algorithm for minimizing submodular functions, J. ACM 48 (2001), 761–777. https://doi.org/10.1145/502090.502096
  • M. Grötschel, L. Lovász, A. Schrijver, The ellipsoid method and its consequences in combinatorial optimization, Combinatorica 1 (1981), 169–197. https://doi.org/10.1007/BF02579273
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Dynamic ProgrammingOperations ResearchOptimization+1·Captain: mikedeng1

Bounded-parameter Markov Decision Processes 1: The Optimistic and Pessimistic Optimal Interval Value Functions Satisfy Bellman-like EquationsResearch Paper

Motivation

A Markov decision process is specified by numbers: transition probabilities and rewards. In practice these numbers are estimated from data, elicited from experts, or produced by aggregating the states of a larger model, and in each case what is actually known is a range for each parameter rather than its value. Givan, Leach and Dean (Artificial Intelligence, 2000) introduced bounded-parameter MDPs (BMDPs) to reason about a whole family of MDPs at once: every transition probability is only known to lie in a closed interval. Their motivation was state-space aggregation, where grouping states with similar but not identical dynamics yields exactly such interval bounds, and the same object later reappeared as the interval or "box" uncertainty set of robust MDPs (Nilim and El Ghaoui, 2005; Iyengar, 2005) and of optimistic exploration in reinforcement learning (Strehl and Littman, 2008).

Over such a family, the value of a policy is no longer a number but an interval, and "optimal" needs a definition. This mission formalizes the paper's answer: two total orders on intervals, the corresponding optimal policies, and the Bellman-like equations their interval value functions satisfy.

Setting

An exact MDP M=⟨Q,A,F,R⟩M=\langle Q,A,F,R\rangleM=⟨Q,A,F,R⟩ has a finite set QQQ of states, a finite nonempty set AAA of actions, transition probabilities Fpq(α)≥0F_{pq}(\alpha)\ge 0Fpq​(α)≥0 with ∑qFpq(α)=1\sum_{q}F_{pq}(\alpha)=1∑q​Fpq​(α)=1, a reward R(q)∈RR(q)\in\mathbb RR(q)∈R for each state and a discount rate 0≤γ<10\le\gamma<10≤γ<1. A policy is a map π:Q→A\pi:Q\to Aπ:Q→A; Π\PiΠ is the set of all policies. The value function VM,π(p)V_{M,\pi}(p)VM,π​(p) is the expected discounted sum of rewards ∑t≥0γt E[R(Xt)∣X0=p]\sum_{t\ge 0}\gamma^t\,\mathbb E[R(X_t)\mid X_0=p]∑t≥0​γtE[R(Xt​)∣X0​=p] along the Markov chain with transitions Fpq(π(p))F_{pq}(\pi(p))Fpq​(π(p)). The operators

VIM,π(v)(p)=R(p)+γ∑qFpq(π(p)) v(q),VIM,α(v)(p)=R(p)+γ∑qFpq(α) v(q)VI_{M,\pi}(v)(p)=R(p)+\gamma\sum_{q}F_{pq}(\pi(p))\,v(q),\qquad VI_{M,\alpha}(v)(p)=R(p)+\gamma\sum_{q}F_{pq}(\alpha)\,v(q)VIM,π​(v)(p)=R(p)+γq∑​Fpq​(π(p))v(q),VIM,α​(v)(p)=R(p)+γq∑​Fpq​(α)v(q)

act on value functions v:Q→Rv:Q\to\mathbb Rv:Q→R. V1≤domV2V_1\le_{\mathrm{dom}}V_2V1​≤dom​V2​ is the statewise order.

A BMDP M↕M_\updownarrowM↕​ gives for each p,q,αp,q,\alphap,q,α an interval [F↓pq(α),F↑pq(α)]⊆[0,1][F_\downarrow{}_{pq}(\alpha),F_\uparrow{}_{pq}(\alpha)]\subseteq[0,1][F↓​pq​(α),F↑​pq​(α)]⊆[0,1] with ∑qF↓pq(α)≤1≤∑qF↑pq(α)\sum_q F_\downarrow{}_{pq}(\alpha)\le 1\le\sum_q F_\uparrow{}_{pq}(\alpha)∑q​F↓​pq​(α)≤1≤∑q​F↑​pq​(α), a reward RRR and a discount rate γ\gammaγ. Its members M∈M↕M\in M_\updownarrowM∈M↕​ are the exact MDPs with that RRR and γ\gammaγ and with FpqM(α)∈[F↓pq(α),F↑pq(α)]F^M_{pq}(\alpha)\in[F_\downarrow{}_{pq}(\alpha),F_\uparrow{}_{pq}(\alpha)]FpqM​(α)∈[F↓​pq​(α),F↑​pq​(α)]. The interval value of a policy is

V↕π(q)=[min⁡M∈M↕VM,π(q), max⁡M∈M↕VM,π(q)]=[V↓π(q),V↑π(q)].V_\updownarrow{}_\pi(q)=\Big[\min_{M\in M_\updownarrow}V_{M,\pi}(q),\ \max_{M\in M_\updownarrow}V_{M,\pi}(q)\Big]=[V_\downarrow{}_\pi(q),V_\uparrow{}_\pi(q)].V↕​π​(q)=[M∈M↕​min​VM,π​(q), M∈M↕​max​VM,π​(q)]=[V↓​π​(q),V↑​π​(q)].

Intervals are compared by the optimistic order, which compares upper bounds first and breaks ties by lower bounds, and the pessimistic order, which compares lower bounds first:

[l1,u1]≤opt[l2,u2]  ⟺  u1<u2 ∨ (u1=u2∧l1≤l2),[l1,u1]≤pes[l2,u2]  ⟺  l1<l2 ∨ (l1=l2∧u1≤u2).[l_1,u_1]\le_{\mathrm{opt}}[l_2,u_2]\iff u_1<u_2\ \vee\ (u_1=u_2\wedge l_1\le l_2),\qquad [l_1,u_1]\le_{\mathrm{pes}}[l_2,u_2]\iff l_1<l_2\ \vee\ (l_1=l_2\wedge u_1\le u_2).[l1​,u1​]≤opt​[l2​,u2​]⟺u1​<u2​ ∨ (u1​=u2​∧l1​≤l2​),[l1​,u1​]≤pes​[l2​,u2​]⟺l1​<l2​ ∨ (l1​=l2​∧u1​≤u2​).

A policy πopt\pi_{\mathrm{opt}}πopt​ is optimistically optimal if V↕πopt(q)≥optV↕π(q)V_\updownarrow{}_{\pi_{\mathrm{opt}}}(q)\ge_{\mathrm{opt}}V_\updownarrow{}_\pi(q)V↕​πopt​​(q)≥opt​V↕​π​(q) for all π\piπ and qqq; pessimistically optimal is defined with ≥pes\ge_{\mathrm{pes}}≥pes​. The optimal interval value functions are V↕opt=V↕πoptV_\updownarrow{}_{\mathrm{opt}}=V_\updownarrow{}_{\pi_{\mathrm{opt}}}V↕​opt​=V↕​πopt​​ and V↕pes=V↕πpesV_\updownarrow{}_{\mathrm{pes}}=V_\updownarrow{}_{\pi_{\mathrm{pes}}}V↕​pes​=V↕​πpes​​.

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem 9, equations (25) and (26)

At every state ppp,

V↕opt(p)=max⁡α∈A, ≤opt[min⁡M∈M↕VIM,α(V↓opt)(p), max⁡M∈M↕VIM,α(V↑opt)(p)],V_\updownarrow{}_{\mathrm{opt}}(p)=\max_{\alpha\in A,\ \le_{\mathrm{opt}}}\Big[\min_{M\in M_\updownarrow}VI_{M,\alpha}(V_\downarrow{}_{\mathrm{opt}})(p),\ \max_{M\in M_\updownarrow}VI_{M,\alpha}(V_\uparrow{}_{\mathrm{opt}})(p)\Big],V↕​opt​(p)=α∈A, ≤opt​max​[M∈M↕​min​VIM,α​(V↓​opt​)(p), M∈M↕​max​VIM,α​(V↑​opt​)(p)],

and the same with pes\mathrm{pes}pes in place of opt\mathrm{opt}opt. The maximum over actions is for the total order on intervals: attained by some action and an upper bound for every action.

Milestones

In the order the proof uses them: Theorem 3 (second sentence: VM,πV_{M,\pi}VM,π​ is the unique fixed point of VIM,πVI_{M,\pi}VIM,π​); Theorem 6 (comparison: u≤domVIM,π(u)u\le_{\mathrm{dom}}VI_{M,\pi}(u)u≤dom​VIM,π​(u) implies u≤domVM,πu\le_{\mathrm{dom}}V_{M,\pi}u≤dom​VM,π​, and its three variants); Lemma 1 (every member's values and backups are bracketed by finitely many order-maximizing MDPs); Lemma 2 (statewise composition of member MDPs dominates, or is dominated by, both components); Theorem 7 (π\piπ-maximizing and π\piπ-minimizing MDPs exist among the order-maximizing ones); Corollary 1 (V↓πV_\downarrow{}_\piV↓​π​ and V↑πV_\uparrow{}_\piV↑​π​ are a minimum and a maximum for ≤dom\le_{\mathrm{dom}}≤dom​); Lemma 3 (statewise composition of policies improves the upper, resp. lower, bounds); Theorem 8 (optimistically and pessimistically optimal policies exist).

Significance

Theorem 9 is the interval analogue of the Bellman optimality equation. It is what makes the optimal interval value functions computable: the paper's interval value iteration algorithms IVI↕optIVI_\updownarrow{}_{\mathrm{opt}}IVI↕​opt​ and IVI↕pesIVI_\updownarrow{}_{\mathrm{pes}}IVI↕​pes​ (Section 5) iterate exactly the right-hand sides of (25) and (26). The lower half of (26) is the max-min equation of robust dynamic programming with rectangular box uncertainty, and the upper half of (25) is the max-max equation behind optimistic planning; Theorem 9 states both, together with the tie-breaking second component, in one model. Theorems 7 and 8 are of independent use: a single member MDP is worst (or best) for a policy at all states at once, and the partial orders on interval value functions nevertheless have maxima over policies.

None of these results has a machine-checked proof. The platform has robust Bellman equations in other models (costs, general rectangular sets, a sup over nature) but nothing on BMDPs, interval value functions, or the orders ≤opt\le_{\mathrm{opt}}≤opt​ and ≤pes\le_{\mathrm{pes}}≤pes​. The mission produces the paper's optimality theory end to end, from the comparison principle for exact MDPs to the two Bellman-like equations, on a model shared with the companion mission on interval policy evaluation.

Difficulty

The orders ≤opt\le_{\mathrm{opt}}≤opt​ and ≤pes\le_{\mathrm{pes}}≤pes​ are total on intervals but only partial on interval value functions, and they are lexicographic. The obvious construction of an optimal policy, switching statewise to whichever of two policies has the better interval, fails: the composed policy need not dominate either component in ≤opt\le_{\mathrm{opt}}≤opt​, because lower bounds can get worse at states where the upper bounds do not change (the paper says so explicitly, eq. (20)). Existence therefore needs a two-stage argument. A second obstacle is that V↓πV_\downarrow{}_\piV↓​π​ and V↑πV_\uparrow{}_\piV↑​π​ are defined statewise, as minima over an uncountable family; that one member attains them at every state simultaneously is a theorem (Theorem 7), and the Bellman-like equations rest on it. Finally, the inner minima in (25) act on V↓optV_\downarrow{}_{\mathrm{opt}}V↓​opt​, the lower bound of an optimistically chosen policy, which is not the componentwise best lower bound over policies; the equation couples the two components through the tie-break.

Formalization scope

QQQ and AAA are finite types, AAA is nonempty; QQQ may be empty. An exact MDP is a structure with transition function F p α q =Fpq(α)=F_{pq}(\alpha)=Fpq​(α), stochastic rows, reward R:Q→RR:Q\to\mathbb RR:Q→R and discount 0≤γ<10\le\gamma<10≤γ<1. VM,πV_{M,\pi}VM,π​ is defined as the convergent series ∑tγtPπtR\sum_t\gamma^tP_\pi^tR∑t​γtPπt​R, not as a solution of (2). Rewards of the BMDP are tight, as the paper assumes from footnote 3 on; reward intervals are not formalized. Members of M↕M_\updownarrowM↕​ form a subtype of exact MDPs with the BMDP's RRR and γ\gammaγ. The minima and maxima of Definition 3 and of (25)–(26) are the real infimum and supremum over that subtype, which is nonempty and on which values are bounded, so no junk value enters. Intervals are pairs (lower, upper); the orders (17) are spelled out. Policies are deterministic stationary maps Q→AQ\to AQ→A, the paper's Π\PiΠ. An ordering of QQQ is a bijection Fin |Q| ≃ Q, and the index rrr of Definition 1 is the largest index at which expression (9) does not exceed 1 (the page's phrase admits ties; only the largest index keeps the remaining mass inside its interval). Definition 8 is read as V↕opt=V↕πoptV_\updownarrow{}_{\mathrm{opt}}=V_\updownarrow{}_{\pi_{\mathrm{opt}}}V↕​opt​=V↕​πopt​​ for an optimistically optimal πopt\pi_{\mathrm{opt}}πopt​, so the goal is quantified over all optimistically (pessimistically) optimal policies; Theorem 8 is the milestone that makes this quantification non-vacuous. Lemma 3 is stated as in the Appendix (p. 36): part (d) concerns π4=π1⊕pesπ2\pi_4=\pi_1\oplus_{\mathrm{pes}}\pi_2π4​=π1​⊕pes​π2​, where p. 17 misprints π3\pi_3π3​.

A formalization in which members carry their own discount, rows need not sum to one, the minima range over all functions Q→A→Q→RQ\to A\to Q\to\mathbb RQ→A→Q→R, or V↕optV_\updownarrow{}_{\mathrm{opt}}V↕​opt​ is the componentwise supremum over policies would make several statements false or trivial; each is ruled out above.

Contributions welcome beyond proofs of the milestones: a reusable theory of discounted policy evaluation for finite MDPs (the series representation, the fixed-point characterization, monotonicity of VIM,πVI_{M,\pi}VIM,π​), which other missions on finite MDPs can import.

Selected references

  • R. Givan, S. Leach, T. Dean, Bounded-parameter Markov decision processes, Artificial Intelligence 122 (2000). https://doi.org/10.1016/S0004-3702(00)00047-3
  • A. Nilim, L. El Ghaoui, Robust control of Markov decision processes with uncertain transition matrices, Operations Research 53(5), 2005. https://doi.org/10.1287/opre.1050.0216
  • G. Iyengar, Robust dynamic programming, Mathematics of Operations Research 30(2), 2005. https://doi.org/10.1287/moor.1040.0129
  • A. Strehl, M. Littman, An analysis of model-based interval estimation for Markov decision processes, Journal of Computer and System Sciences 74(8), 2008. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jcss.2007.08.009
  • M. Puterman, Markov Decision Processes: Discrete Stochastic Dynamic Programming, Wiley, 1994. https://doi.org/10.1002/9780470316887
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CombinatoricsProbabilityTheoretical Computer Science·Captain: mikedeng1

On Lattices, Learning with Errors, Random Linear Codes, and Cryptography 4: A Random Subset Sum of l Uniform Elements of a Finite Abelian Group Is on Average Within √(|G|/2^l) of UniformResearch Paper

Motivation

Regev's On Lattices, Learning with Errors, Random Linear Codes, and Cryptography (J. ACM 56(6), 2009, Article 34; doi:10.1145/1568318.1568324) introduced the Learning with Errors (LWE) problem and built a public-key cryptosystem on it. The source for this mission is that published J. ACM article. The paper's main theorem, a quantum reduction from worst-case lattice problems to LWE, is outside this series; this mission formalizes a self-contained piece of finite combinatorics from §5.

In the cryptosystem the public key is a list of mmm LWE samples, and a bit is encrypted by adding up a uniformly random subset of them. Semantic security rests on one fact: if the public key were truly uniform, the sum of a random subset of it would be close to uniform, so the ciphertext would carry no information about the bit. Claim 5.3 (p. 34:36) makes this precise for an arbitrary finite abelian group GGG. It is a special case of the leftover hash lemma of Impagliazzo and Zuckerman (1989), in which the family of functions b↦∑ibigib \mapsto \sum_i b_i g_ib↦∑i​bi​gi​ indexed by g∈Glg \in G^lg∈Gl is a universal hash family. Variants of the same statement appear in the security proofs of most lattice-based encryption schemes that use random subset sums, including the dual-Regev and GPV-style constructions.

Setting

Let GGG be a finite abelian group, written additively, with ∣G∣|G|∣G∣ elements, and let l≥0l \ge 0l≥0 be an integer. For g=(g1,…,gl)∈Glg = (g_1, \dots, g_l) \in G^lg=(g1​,…,gl​)∈Gl and b=(b1,…,bl)∈{0,1}lb = (b_1, \dots, b_l) \in \{0,1\}^lb=(b1​,…,bl​)∈{0,1}l the subset sum ∑ibigi\sum_i b_i g_i∑i​bi​gi​ is the sum of the gig_igi​ with bi=1b_i = 1bi​=1 (the empty subset gives 000). The distribution of the sum of a uniformly random subset of g1,…,glg_1, \dots, g_lg1​,…,gl​ is

Pg(h)=12l ∣{ b∈{0,1}l∣∑ibigi=h }∣,h∈G.P_g(h) = \frac{1}{2^l}\,\bigl|\{\, b \in \{0,1\}^l \mid \textstyle\sum_i b_i g_i = h \,\}\bigr|, \qquad h \in G.Pg​(h)=2l1​​{b∈{0,1}l∣∑i​bi​gi​=h}​,h∈G.

The paper defines the statistical distance of two densities as ∫∣φ1−φ2∣\int |\varphi_1 - \varphi_2|∫∣φ1​−φ2​∣, with range [0,2][0,2][0,2], and notes that the same definition applies to discrete random variables (p. 34:14). The distance of PgP_gPg​ from the uniform distribution on GGG is therefore

Δ(g)=∑h∈G∣Pg(h)−1∣G∣∣,\Delta(g) = \sum_{h \in G} \Bigl| P_g(h) - \frac{1}{|G|} \Bigr|,Δ(g)=h∈G∑​​Pg​(h)−∣G∣1​​,

with no factor 12\tfrac1221​. Expectations and probabilities over ggg refer to a uniform choice of g1,…,gl∈Gg_1, \dots, g_l \in Gg1​,…,gl​∈G, that is, the uniform distribution on all ∣G∣l|G|^l∣G∣l tuples, repetitions allowed: Expg[F(g)]=∣G∣−l∑g∈GlF(g)\mathrm{Exp}_g[F(g)] = |G|^{-l}\sum_{g \in G^l} F(g)Expg​[F(g)]=∣G∣−l∑g∈Gl​F(g).

In Lean these objects are RegevLWE.SubsetSum.subsetSum, P, statDistUniform and expectG.

Formalization targets

Goal: Claim 5.3

Expg[Δ(g)]≤∣G∣2landPr⁡g[Δ(g)>∣G∣/2l4]≤∣G∣2l4.\mathop{\mathrm{Exp}}_g\bigl[\Delta(g)\bigr] \le \sqrt{\frac{|G|}{2^l}} \qquad\text{and}\qquad \Pr_g\Bigl[\Delta(g) > \sqrt[4]{|G|/2^l}\Bigr] \le \sqrt[4]{\frac{|G|}{2^l}}.Expg​[Δ(g)]≤2l∣G∣​​andgPr​[Δ(g)>4∣G∣/2l​]≤42l∣G∣​​.

Both sentences of the claim are in the goal. The second is what the security proof (Lemma 5.4, p. 34:37) uses: for all but a ∣G∣/2l4\sqrt[4]{|G|/2^l}4∣G∣/2l​ fraction of public keys, the random subset sum is within ∣G∣/2l4\sqrt[4]{|G|/2^l}4∣G∣/2l​ of uniform. The constants are exactly as printed.

Milestones

  1. The ℓ2\ell_2ℓ2​ norm as a collision probability (p. 34:36). For every ggg, with b,b′b, b'b,b′ independent and uniform in {0,1}l\{0,1\}^l{0,1}l,
∑hPg(h)2=Pr⁡b,b′[∑ibigi=∑ibi′gi]≤12l+Pr⁡b,b′[∑ibigi=∑ibi′gi∣b≠b′].\sum_{h} P_g(h)^2 = \Pr_{b,b'}\Bigl[\textstyle\sum_i b_i g_i = \sum_i b'_i g_i\Bigr] \le \frac{1}{2^l} + \Pr_{b,b'}\Bigl[\textstyle\sum_i b_i g_i = \sum_i b'_i g_i \Bigm| b \neq b'\Bigr].h∑​Pg​(h)2=b,b′Pr​[∑i​bi​gi​=∑i​bi′​gi​]≤2l1​+Prb,b′​[∑i​bi​gi​=∑i​bi′​gi​​b=b′].
  1. Collisions of distinct subsets (p. 34:37). For any b≠b′b \neq b'b=b′, Pr⁡g[∑ibigi=∑ibi′gi]=1/∣G∣\Pr_g[\sum_i b_i g_i = \sum_i b'_i g_i] = 1/|G|Prg​[∑i​bi​gi​=∑i​bi′​gi​]=1/∣G∣.
  2. Expected ℓ2\ell_2ℓ2​ norm (p. 34:37). Expg[∑hPg(h)2]≤1/2l+1/∣G∣\mathrm{Exp}_g[\sum_h P_g(h)^2] \le 1/2^l + 1/|G|Expg​[∑h​Pg​(h)2]≤1/2l+1/∣G∣.
  3. Cauchy–Schwarz and the ℓ2\ell_2ℓ2​ identity (p. 34:37), pointwise in ggg:
∑h∣Pg(h)−1∣G∣∣≤∣G∣1/2(∑h(Pg(h)−1∣G∣)2)1/2,∑h(Pg(h)−1∣G∣)2=∑hPg(h)2−1∣G∣.\sum_h \Bigl|P_g(h) - \frac{1}{|G|}\Bigr| \le |G|^{1/2}\Bigl(\sum_h \Bigl(P_g(h) - \frac{1}{|G|}\Bigr)^2\Bigr)^{1/2}, \qquad \sum_h \Bigl(P_g(h) - \frac{1}{|G|}\Bigr)^2 = \sum_h P_g(h)^2 - \frac{1}{|G|}.h∑​​Pg​(h)−∣G∣1​​≤∣G∣1/2(h∑​(Pg​(h)−∣G∣1​)2)1/2,h∑​(Pg​(h)−∣G∣1​)2=h∑​Pg​(h)2−∣G∣1​.

Significance

The result. Claim 5.3 is the step in the security proof of Regev's cryptosystem that removes the public key from the picture: once the key is replaced by uniform samples (by the LWE assumption), the claim shows that an encryption is statistically close to uniform, independently of the encrypted bit. The parameter choice m≥(1+ϵ)(n+1)log⁡pm \ge (1+\epsilon)(n+1)\log pm≥(1+ϵ)(n+1)logp of Lemma 5.4 is exactly what makes ∣G∣/2m|G|/2^m∣G∣/2m negligible for G=Zpn×ZpG = \mathbb{Z}_p^n \times \mathbb{Z}_pG=Zpn​×Zp​. Without the claim the cryptosystem would have a hardness assumption but no reduction from it.

Formalizing it. The claim is proved, with a complete argument in the paper; nothing here is open. To our knowledge no machine-checked proof of this statement, or of the leftover hash lemma for subset-sum hash families over a general finite abelian group, exists in Mathlib or on the platform. A formal proof gives a reusable, constant-exact statement of the subset-sum leftover hash lemma with the paper's normalization of statistical distance. The four milestones are standard facts about finite averages and collision probabilities that recur in many cryptographic security proofs.

Difficulty

There is no deep step; the work is in organizing finite counting arguments without loss. Two points need care. The collision fact Pr⁡g[∑ibigi=∑ibi′gi]=1/∣G∣\Pr_g[\sum_i b_i g_i = \sum_i b'_i g_i] = 1/|G|Prg​[∑i​bi​gi​=∑i​bi′​gi​]=1/∣G∣ holds for every pair b≠b′b \neq b'b=b′ only because the coefficients bi−bi′b_i - b'_ibi​−bi′​ lie in {−1,0,1}\{-1, 0, 1\}{−1,0,1}: for a general linear form over a group with torsion, a nonzero coefficient vector need not give a uniformly distributed sum, so an argument that treats the coefficients as arbitrary integers fails. And passing from the ℓ2\ell_2ℓ2​ bound to the expected ℓ1\ell_1ℓ1​ distance requires the exchange of expectation and square root in the right direction (concavity), which is easy to misapply. The bound must hold for every finite abelian group and every lll, including l=0l = 0l=0 and ∣G∣=1|G| = 1∣G∣=1, with no asymptotic slack.

Formalization scope

  • GGG is any type with [AddCommGroup G] [Fintype G] [DecidableEq G]; l:Nl : ℕl:N, and l=0l = 0l=0 is allowed (then PgP_gPg​ is the point mass at 000 and the claim holds). No hypothesis is added to the paper's statement: ∣G∣≥1|G| \ge 1∣G∣≥1 holds for every group.
  • {0,1}l\{0,1\}^l{0,1}l is encoded as Fin l → Bool; ggg ranges over all functions Fin l → G, so the uniform choice of ggg is over all ∣G∣l|G|^l∣G∣l tuples with repetition, not over lll-element subsets of GGG.
  • Every expectation and probability is an exact finite average with real values: Expg[F]=∣G∣−l∑gF(g)\mathrm{Exp}_g[F] = |G|^{-l}\sum_g F(g)Expg​[F]=∣G∣−l∑g​F(g), and Pr⁡g[E]\Pr_g[E]Prg​[E] is the number of tuples satisfying EEE divided by ∣G∣l|G|^l∣G∣l. Probabilities over (b,b′)(b, b')(b,b′) are counts over the (2l)2(2^l)^2(2l)2 pairs; the conditional probability given b≠b′b \neq b'b=b′ divides by (2l)2−2l(2^l)^2 - 2^l(2l)2−2l. At l=0l = 0l=0 the paper's conditional probability is undefined; Lean's convention 0/0=00/0 = 00/0=0 makes milestone 1 read 1≤11 \le 11≤1 there, which is consistent with the paper.
  • The statistical distance is ∑h∣Pg(h)−1/∣G∣∣\sum_h |P_g(h) - 1/|G||∑h​∣Pg​(h)−1/∣G∣∣, without 12\tfrac1221​. A formalization with the 12\tfrac1221​-normalized total variation distance would state a weaker result (half the bound) and is excluded. "More than" in the second sentence is strict, "at most" is ≤\le≤. The fourth root is Real.sqrt (Real.sqrt x).
  • Milestone 4 states only the first two steps of the paper's final chain (the Cauchy–Schwarz inequality and the identity), pointwise in ggg; the remaining two steps (Jensen for the square root and the substitution of milestone 3) are part of the goal. Its milestone text quotes the whole chain for context.
  • No definitions beyond the four above are needed, and no measure theory. Proofs of the milestones, and alternative proofs of the goal (for instance via Fourier analysis on GGG), are welcome.

Selected references

  • O. Regev, On Lattices, Learning with Errors, Random Linear Codes, and Cryptography, Journal of the ACM 56(6), Article 34, 2009. doi:10.1145/1568318.1568324
  • R. Impagliazzo and D. Zuckerman, How to Recycle Random Bits, Proc. 30th IEEE FOCS, 248–253, 1989. doi:10.1109/SFCS.1989.63486
  • J. Håstad, R. Impagliazzo, L. A. Levin and M. Luby, A Pseudorandom Generator from any One-way Function, SIAM Journal on Computing 28(4), 1364–1396, 1999. doi:10.1137/S0097539793244708
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Control TheoryProbabilityStochastic Systems·Captain: mikedeng1

Backward-Forward Stochastic Differential Equations 4: A Nonsingular Linear Backward-Forward System with Lipschitz Constant 1 Has No Solution on the Horizon T = π/2Research Paper

Motivation

A backward stochastic equation determines its current value from a conditional expectation of future values. A forward equation determines its current value from past values. Coupling the two makes existence depend on more than integrability of the data: the feedback between the past and future can prevent a solution. Antonelli's 1993 paper studies this interaction in an L1L^1L1 space for equations driven by bounded variation processes, motivated in part by recursively defined stochastic utility in finance (Antonelli 1993, pp. 777–778).

The paper first gives an existence and uniqueness condition for a coupled system. It then tests the size of that condition with two examples. The first uses a singular coefficient matrix; the second, targeted here, uses a nonsingular linear coupling. This distinction matters because the failure of existence in the first example could otherwise be attributed to the singular matrix. The second example places the obstruction at a particular time horizon while retaining a linear map with Lipschitz constant one (Antonelli 1993, pp. 791–792).

Setting

Fix a complete probability space (Ω,F,P)(\Omega,\mathcal F,P)(Ω,F,P) with a right-continuous filtration (Ft)0≤t≤T(\mathcal F_t)_{0\le t\le T}(Ft​)0≤t≤T​, where T>0T>0T>0. At time ttt, Ft\mathcal F_tFt​ describes the information available. Let J0J_0J0​ be an integrable, strictly positive, F0\mathcal F_0F0​-measurable random variable. Let YYY be a strictly positive, bounded, FT\mathcal F_TFT​-measurable random variable. Both positivity statements are almost sure.

The unknowns are real-valued stochastic processes UtU_tUt​ and VtV_tVt​. The forward equation starts from J0J_0J0​ and accumulates VVV:

Ut=J0+∫0tVs ds.U_t=J_0+\int_0^t V_s\,ds.Ut​=J0​+∫0t​Vs​ds.

The backward equation sets VtV_tVt​ equal to the conditional mean, given current information, of a future integral and the terminal input:

Vt=E ⁣[∫tTUs ds+Y∣Ft].V_t=\mathbb E\!\left[\int_t^T U_s\,ds+Y\mid\mathcal F_t\right].Vt​=E[∫tT​Us​ds+Y∣Ft​].

These are equations (3.10)–(3.11) of the paper. Their coefficient functions are f(u,v)=vf(u,v)=vf(u,v)=v and g(u,v)=ug(u,v)=ug(u,v)=u, each with Lipschitz constant 111 for the paper's sum norm on pairs. The associated linear coefficient matrix is nonsingular. A solution is sought in L1(dt⊗dP)L^1(dt\otimes dP)L1(dt⊗dP) for each component: the expected time integral of its absolute value is finite, and the equations hold in that space. This is the same integrability regime used to state the coupled system in §3 (Antonelli 1993, p. 785).

The terminal value UTU_TUT​ is the random variable J0+∫0TVs dsJ_0+\int_0^T V_s\,dsJ0​+∫0T​Vs​ds. Conditional-expectation processes in the intermediate identities are denoted Mt=E[UT∣Ft]M_t=\mathbb E[U_T\mid\mathcal F_t]Mt​=E[UT​∣Ft​] and Ytc=E[Y∣Ft]Y_t^{\mathrm c}=\mathbb E[Y\mid\mathcal F_t]Ytc​=E[Y∣Ft​]. Jointly measurable versions are used when these processes appear inside time integrals.

Formalization targets

Conditional-expectation identity

For any positive horizon, the paper derives an equation for VVV in terms of UTU_TUT​, a weighted future integral of VVV, and YYY. With the sign consistent with the preceding display, the identity is

Vt=(T−t)Mt−E ⁣[∫tT(r−t)Vr dr∣Ft]+Ytc.V_t=(T-t)M_t-\mathbb E\!\left[\int_t^T(r-t)V_r\,dr\mid\mathcal F_t\right]+Y_t^{\mathrm c}.Vt​=(T−t)Mt​−E[∫tT​(r−t)Vr​dr∣Ft​]+Ytc​.

The printed equation (3.12) places YYY inside the negative conditional expectation. That is inconsistent with both the preceding display and the next closed form; the formal statement uses the consistent sign and records the discrepancy (Antonelli 1993, p. 792).

Closed forms and mean identity

The remaining intermediate targets are the paper's closed form for VVV, equation (3.13) for UUU, and the terminal-mean relation:

Vt=Mtsin⁡(T−t)+Ytccos⁡(T−t),V_t=M_t\sin(T-t)+Y_t^{\mathrm c}\cos(T-t),Vt​=Mt​sin(T−t)+Ytc​cos(T−t), Ut=J0+∫0tMssin⁡(T−s) ds+∫0tYsccos⁡(T−s) ds,U_t=J_0+\int_0^t M_s\sin(T-s)\,ds+\int_0^t Y_s^{\mathrm c}\cos(T-s)\,ds,Ut​=J0​+∫0t​Ms​sin(T−s)ds+∫0t​Ysc​cos(T−s)ds, E[UT]cos⁡T=E[J0]+E[Y]sin⁡T.\mathbb E[U_T]\cos T=\mathbb E[J_0]+\mathbb E[Y]\sin T.E[UT​]cosT=E[J0​]+E[Y]sinT.

The last identity is stated without division, so it also has meaning when cos⁡T=0\cos T=0cosT=0. These identities give the milestones in the order they occur on p. 792.

Main result

At the specific horizon T=π/2T=\pi/2T=π/2, the coupled equations have no L1(dt⊗dP)L^1(dt\otimes dP)L1(dt⊗dP) solution:

T=π2⟹∄ (U,V)∈L1(dt⊗dP)2 satisfying (3.10)–(3.11).T=\frac{\pi}{2}\quad\Longrightarrow\quad \nexists\,(U,V)\in L^1(dt\otimes dP)^2\text{ satisfying (3.10)–(3.11)}.T=2π​⟹∄(U,V)∈L1(dt⊗dP)2 satisfying (3.10)–(3.11).

Strict positivity makes the right side of the mean identity positive, while its left side vanishes. The statement is a nonexistence result for the same broad solution class as the paper, rather than a claim about a narrower pathwise class.

Significance

Example 2 shows that a nonsingular coupling can still lose existence at a finite horizon. Thus the obstruction exhibited by the earlier singular example is not explained by singularity alone. The example also marks a limitation of replacing the paper's smallness condition with the assumption that the Lipschitz constant is merely finite. At T=π/2T=\pi/2T=π/2 and k=1k=1k=1, the product kTkTkT exceeds one, as the paper notes (Antonelli 1993, p. 791).

A completed formalization would connect conditional expectations, jointly measurable time-indexed versions, and integration in L1(dt⊗dP)L^1(dt\otimes dP)L1(dt⊗dP) in a reusable Lean development. The paper proves the mathematical result. This mission asks for machine-checked statements and proofs of its intermediate identities and nonexistence conclusion; it does not claim that the result is an open mathematical problem.

Difficulty

The main challenge is that the equations are equalities of integrable processes, not pointwise equalities at every time and outcome. A value assigned to UTU_TUT​ by an arbitrary representative of an L1L^1L1 class is uncontrolled, so the terminal value must instead be reconstructed from the forward integral. Conditional expectations are defined only up to almost-sure equality at each time, yet the subsequent formulas integrate their time-indexed versions. This requires a jointly measurable version and careful movement between almost-sure statements at fixed times and dt⊗dPdt\otimes dPdt⊗dP statements.

There is also a printed sign inconsistency in (3.12). Propagating that sign would contradict the later sine-cosine formula. Finally, the paper's quotient formula for E[UT]\mathbb E[U_T]E[UT​] cannot be used at T=π/2T=\pi/2T=π/2, because its denominator vanishes there. The undivided mean identity is the meaningful target at the critical horizon.

Formalization scope

Time is represented by R≥0\mathbb R_{\ge0}R≥0​, and all integrals over time use (s,t](s,t](s,t]; for Lebesgue measure this agrees with the paper's ordinary time integrals. The ambient probability measure is a probability measure, and the filtration satisfies right continuity and completion at time zero. The two unknown processes are jointly measurable and have finite lower-integral L1L^1L1 norms. A solution uses a jointly measurable version of the conditional-expectation process, with each conditional-expectation argument explicitly integrable. The terminal UTU_TUT​ is defined from J0J_0J0​ and VVV, independently of an arbitrary endpoint value of UUU.

The source calls J0J_0J0​ and YYY positive; the formalization reads this as strict positivity almost surely, because allowing both to vanish admits the zero solution. J0J_0J0​ is integrable as required by the standing assumption on JJJ in §3; YYY remains bounded as Example 2 states. The four intermediate identities are stated for general T>0T>0T>0, while only the main result fixes T=π/2T=\pi/2T=π/2. Their process equalities hold in L1(dt⊗dP)L^1(dt\otimes dP)L1(dt⊗dP), and the terminal identity holds almost surely. This keeps the target from becoming true simply because endpoint representatives can be chosen freely.

The needed development includes product measurability, conditional expectation, Fubini's theorem, time integration, and the trigonometric identities in the closed form. The L1L^1L1 and version definitions can be reused for other coupled systems with deterministic time integrators. Contributions that establish the intermediate identities under the stated integrability assumptions, or develop the corresponding measurable-version tools, support the goal directly.

Selected references

  • Fabio Antonelli, Backward-forward stochastic differential equations, Annals of Applied Probability 3(3), 777–793, 1993. DOI: 10.1214/aoap/1177005363.
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Numerical AnalysisOptimization·Captain: mikedeng1

A D.C. Optimization Algorithm for Solving the Trust-Region Subproblem IV: A Kuhn–Tucker Point with λ* + λ₁ < 0 Gives an Explicit Feasible Restart Point x̄ with f(x̄) < f(x*)Research Paper

Motivation

The trust-region subproblem — minimizing a quadratic, possibly nonconvex, over a Euclidean ball — is the inner step of every trust-region method for nonlinear optimization, and it also appears in regularized least squares and in the analysis of quadratic constraints. It is one of the few nonconvex problems whose global minimizers are characterized exactly: by the classical results of Moré and Sorensen (1983) and Gay (1981), a feasible point is a global solution if and only if it satisfies the Kuhn–Tucker conditions with a multiplier that makes the shifted matrix positive semidefinite.

Pham Dinh Tao and Le Thi Hoai An (SIAM J. Optim. 8 (1998)) solve the problem with DCA, a descent method for difference-of-convex programs. DCA converges to Kuhn–Tucker points, and a Kuhn–Tucker point need not be a global solution. Section 4.2 of the paper closes this gap: it tests a Kuhn–Tucker point for global optimality with one eigenvalue computation, and when the test fails it writes down, explicitly, a feasible point with strictly smaller objective value from which DCA can be restarted. The resulting algorithm GDCA alternates DCA runs and restarts. This mission formalizes that restart construction.

Setting

Let AAA be a real symmetric n×nn\times nn×n matrix, b∈Rnb\in\mathbb R^nb∈Rn and r>0r>0r>0. Write ⟨⋅,⋅⟩\langle\cdot,\cdot\rangle⟨⋅,⋅⟩ for the Euclidean inner product and ∥⋅∥\|\cdot\|∥⋅∥ for its norm. The trust-region subproblem (Q1) is

min⁡{ f(x)=12⟨x,Ax⟩+⟨b,x⟩  :  ∥x∥≤r }.\min\Bigl\{\,f(x)=\tfrac12\langle x,Ax\rangle+\langle b,x\rangle \;:\; \|x\|\le r\,\Bigr\}.min{f(x)=21​⟨x,Ax⟩+⟨b,x⟩:∥x∥≤r}.

A point x∗x^*x∗ is a Kuhn–Tucker point of (Q1) with multiplier λ∗\lambda^*λ∗ when

λ∗≥0,(A+λ∗I)x∗=−b,λ∗(∥x∗∥−r)=0,∥x∗∥≤r.\lambda^*\ge0,\qquad (A+\lambda^*I)x^*=-b,\qquad \lambda^*(\|x^*\|-r)=0,\qquad \|x^*\|\le r .λ∗≥0,(A+λ∗I)x∗=−b,λ∗(∥x∗∥−r)=0,∥x∗∥≤r.

In Lean, Rn\mathbb R^nRn is EuclideanSpace ℝ (Fin n), AAA is a self-adjoint continuous linear operator on it, fff is quad A b, and the four conditions are IsKKT A b r xs lamStar.

Let (λ1,u)(\lambda_1,u)(λ1​,u) be an eigenpair of AAA: u≠0u\ne0u=0 and Au=λ1uAu=\lambda_1uAu=λ1​u. If λ∗+λ1<0\lambda^*+\lambda_1<0λ∗+λ1​<0 then

uT(A+λ∗I)u=(λ∗+λ1) uTu<0,u^T(A+\lambda^*I)u=(\lambda^*+\lambda_1)\,u^Tu<0,uT(A+λ∗I)u=(λ∗+λ1​)uTu<0,

so uuu is a direction of negative curvature of the shifted matrix. For a direction w≠0w\ne0w=0 and ∥x∗∥≤r\|x^*\|\le r∥x∗∥≤r, the restart step γ\gammaγ of (23) is the nonzero root of ∥w∥2γ2+2wTx∗γ+∥x∗∥2−r2=0\|w\|^2\gamma^2+2w^Tx^*\gamma+\|x^*\|^2-r^2=0∥w∥2γ2+2wTx∗γ+∥x∗∥2−r2=0, so that x∗+γwx^*+\gamma wx∗+γw lies on the sphere ∥x∥=r\|x\|=r∥x∥=r (Lean: restartGamma w xs r s, with a sign s=±1s=\pm1s=±1 choosing between the two roots when ∥x∗∥<r\|x^*\|<r∥x∗∥<r).

Formalization targets

Goal: a Kuhn–Tucker point that fails the eigenvalue test can be improved

IsKKT(x∗,λ∗),    Au=λ1u,  u≠0,    λ∗+λ1<0  ⟹  ∃ xˉ: ∥xˉ∥≤r,  f(xˉ)<f(x∗).\text{IsKKT}(x^*,\lambda^*),\;\; Au=\lambda_1u,\;u\ne0,\;\; \lambda^*+\lambda_1<0 \;\Longrightarrow\; \exists\,\bar x:\ \|\bar x\|\le r,\ \ f(\bar x)<f(x^*).IsKKT(x∗,λ∗),Au=λ1​u,u=0,λ∗+λ1​<0⟹∃xˉ: ∥xˉ∥≤r,  f(xˉ)<f(x∗).

This is the "Summing up" claim of §4.2 (p. 493). It asserts only the existence of a better feasible point; the explicit construction is spread over the milestones.

Milestones, in attack order

  1. The multiplier (p. 491): λ∗=(−⟨x∗,Ax∗⟩−⟨x∗,b⟩)/r2\lambda^*=(-\langle x^*,Ax^*\rangle-\langle x^*,b\rangle)/r^2λ∗=(−⟨x∗,Ax∗⟩−⟨x∗,b⟩)/r2.
  2. Lemma 4.2 (p. 492): if (A+μI)y=−b(A+\mu I)y=-b(A+μI)y=−b, then f(x)=f(y)−μ2(∥x∥2−∥y∥2)+12⟨x−y,(A+μI)(x−y)⟩f(x)=f(y)-\frac\mu2(\|x\|^2-\|y\|^2)+\frac12\langle x-y,(A+\mu I)(x-y)\ranglef(x)=f(y)−2μ​(∥x∥2−∥y∥2)+21​⟨x−y,(A+μI)(x−y)⟩ for all xxx.
  3. Case a) (p. 492): if ⟨b,x∗⟩>0\langle b,x^*\rangle>0⟨b,x∗⟩>0, then xˉ=−x∗\bar x=-x^*xˉ=−x∗ is feasible and f(xˉ)=f(x∗)−2⟨b,x∗⟩<f(x∗)f(\bar x)=f(x^*)-2\langle b,x^*\rangle<f(x^*)f(xˉ)=f(x∗)−2⟨b,x∗⟩<f(x∗).
  4. Case (b.1) (p. 492): if wT(A+λ∗I)w<0w^T(A+\lambda^*I)w<0wT(A+λ∗I)w<0 and either ∥x∗∥<r\|x^*\|<r∥x∗∥<r, or ∥x∗∥=r\|x^*\|=r∥x∗∥=r and wTx∗≠0w^Tx^*\ne0wTx∗=0, then xˉ=x∗+γw\bar x=x^*+\gamma wxˉ=x∗+γw with γ\gammaγ from (23) satisfies γ≠0\gamma\ne0γ=0, ∥xˉ∥=r\|\bar x\|=r∥xˉ∥=r and f(xˉ)=f(x∗)+γ22⟨w,(A+λ∗I)w⟩<f(x∗)f(\bar x)=f(x^*)+\frac{\gamma^2}2\langle w,(A+\lambda^*I)w\rangle<f(x^*)f(xˉ)=f(x∗)+2γ2​⟨w,(A+λ∗I)w⟩<f(x∗).
  5. Case (b.2), bTx∗=0b^Tx^*=0bTx∗=0 (p. 493): if ∥x∗∥=r\|x^*\|=r∥x∗∥=r, uTx∗=0u^Tx^*=0uTx∗=0 and uT(A+λ∗I)u<0u^T(A+\lambda^*I)u<0uT(A+λ∗I)u<0, then v=u+τx∗v=u+\tau x^*v=u+τx∗ has vTx∗≠0v^Tx^*\ne0vTx∗=0 and vT(A+λ∗I)v<0v^T(A+\lambda^*I)v<0vT(A+λ∗I)v<0 for all τ<0\tau<0τ<0 when bTu≤0b^Tu\le0bTu≤0, and for uT(A+λ∗I)u/(2bTu)<τ<0u^T(A+\lambda^*I)u/(2b^Tu)<\tau<0uT(A+λ∗I)u/(2bTu)<τ<0 when bTu>0b^Tu>0bTu>0.
  6. Case (b.2), bTx∗<0b^Tx^*<0bTx∗<0 (p. 493): the same conclusion for τ1<τ<0\tau_1<\tau<0τ1​<τ<0, where τ1<0\tau_1<0τ1​<0 is the smallest root of −bTx∗τ2−2bTu τ+uT(A+λ∗I)u-b^Tx^*\tau^2-2b^Tu\,\tau+u^T(A+\lambda^*I)u−bTx∗τ2−2bTuτ+uT(A+λ∗I)u.

A companion item records the paper's remark that, for ∥x∗∥<r\|x^*\|<r∥x∗∥<r, the root of (23) with the larger γ2\gamma^2γ2 gives the smaller f(xˉ)f(\bar x)f(xˉ).

Significance

The restart claim turns a local method into a global one. Combined with the convergence of DCA to Kuhn–Tucker points (Theorem 4.1 of the paper) and the global-optimality characterization of (Q1), it shows that each DCA run either ends at a certified global solution or yields a feasible point that strictly improves on it, with the improvement given in closed form from one eigenvector. The construction is elementary, but its case analysis — the sign of ⟨b,x∗⟩\langle b,x^*\rangle⟨b,x∗⟩, whether the constraint is active, whether the eigenvector is orthogonal to x∗x^*x∗ — is exactly where an informal argument can go wrong, and the printed (b.2) bounds contain two errors (see Formalization scope).

The result is proved in the paper; to our knowledge none of it has a machine-checked proof. The mission produces a checked version of the case analysis with the corrected constants, and reusable facts about quadratics on the Euclidean ball (Lemma 4.2, the step to the sphere along a negative-curvature direction) that apply to any trust-region method.

Difficulty

The obvious argument — move from x∗x^*x∗ along the negative-curvature eigenvector uuu until the boundary is reached — fails in one case. When ∥x∗∥=r\|x^*\|=r∥x∗∥=r and uTx∗=0u^Tx^*=0uTx∗=0, the line x∗+γux^*+\gamma ux∗+γu leaves the ball for every γ≠0\gamma\ne0γ=0, so no step along uuu is feasible. The paper repairs this by tilting uuu towards x∗x^*x∗, and the tilt must keep the curvature negative while making the direction non-orthogonal to x∗x^*x∗; the admissible range of the tilt depends on the signs of bTx∗b^Tx^*bTx∗ and bTub^TubTu. A second subtlety is that the identity f(xˉ)=f(x∗)+γ22⟨w,(A+λ∗I)w⟩f(\bar x)=f(x^*)+\frac{\gamma^2}{2}\langle w,(A+\lambda^*I)w\ranglef(xˉ)=f(x∗)+2γ2​⟨w,(A+λ∗I)w⟩ needs the term λ∗(∥xˉ∥2−∥x∗∥2)\lambda^*(\|\bar x\|^2-\|x^*\|^2)λ∗(∥xˉ∥2−∥x∗∥2) of Lemma 4.2 to vanish, which uses complementarity when ∥x∗∥<r\|x^*\|<r∥x∗∥<r and ∥xˉ∥=r\|\bar x\|=r∥xˉ∥=r when the constraint is active.

Formalization scope

All statements live in namespace TaoAnDCA.Restart on EuclideanSpace ℝ (Fin n), with AAA a continuous linear operator and symmetry the hypothesis IsSelfAdjoint A; r>0r>0r>0 throughout. The objective quad is the bare quadratic, with feasibility ∥x∥≤r\|x\|\le r∥x∥≤r stated separately.

Conventions and disclosed deviations from the page:

  • The goal assumes an arbitrary eigenpair with λ∗+λ1<0\lambda^*+\lambda_1<0λ∗+λ1​<0 and an arbitrary Kuhn–Tucker point. The page has "the smallest eigenvalue" and "a point produced by the DCA"; neither is used, so the stated theorem is stronger.
  • Case (b.1) is stated for a general direction www of negative curvature, since (b.2) re-enters it with a vector that is not an eigenvector; the heading "⟨b,x∗⟩≤0\langle b,x^*\rangle\le0⟨b,x∗⟩≤0" of case b) is not assumed because the computation does not use it.
  • Cases (b.2) take a general uuu with uT(A+λ∗I)u<0u^T(A+\lambda^*I)u<0uT(A+λ∗I)u<0; for an eigenvector uuu with uTx∗=0u^Tx^*=0uTx∗=0 one has bTu=0b^Tu=0bTu=0, which would make the bTu>0b^Tu>0bTu>0 branch vacuous.
  • The page's bound uT(A+λ∗I)u/bTuu^T(A+\lambda^*I)u/b^TuuT(A+λ∗I)u/bTu in the first (b.2) bullet lacks a factor 2 and is false for general uuu; the Lean uses uT(A+λ∗I)u/(2bTu)u^T(A+\lambda^*I)u/(2b^Tu)uT(A+λ∗I)u/(2bTu). The page's formula for τ1\tau_1τ1​ has the sign of bTub^TubTu reversed; the Lean uses the smallest root, as the page's words define it. Both printed versions agree with the corrected ones when bTu=0b^Tu=0bTu=0.

A trivializing formalization is ruled out: the goal's hypothesis is the eigenvalue test λ∗+λ1<0\lambda^*+\lambda_1<0λ∗+λ1​<0, never "x∗x^*x∗ is not a global solution", which would make the conclusion a restatement of the hypothesis.

No infrastructure beyond Mathlib's inner product spaces is needed. Contributions welcome: proofs of the milestones, and of the goal from them.

Selected references

  • Pham Dinh Tao and Le Thi Hoai An, A d.c. optimization algorithm for solving the trust-region subproblem, SIAM J. Optim. 8(2):476–505, 1998. https://doi.org/10.1137/S1052623494274313
  • J. J. Moré and D. C. Sorensen, Computing a trust region step, SIAM J. Sci. Stat. Comput. 4(3):553–572, 1983. https://doi.org/10.1137/0904038
  • D. M. Gay, Computing optimal locally constrained steps, SIAM J. Sci. Stat. Comput. 2(2):186–197, 1981. https://doi.org/10.1137/0902016
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Dynamic ProgrammingOperations ResearchOptimization+1·Captain: mikedeng1

On the Structure of Lost-Sales Inventory Models 3: If Demand Increases in the Convex Order, the Optimal Lost-Sales Cost f̄_t(v; φ) Is Nondecreasing in φResearch Paper

Motivation

In the periodic-review inventory model with lost sales, demand that cannot be met from stock is lost rather than backordered. With a positive order lead time LLL the state of the system is a vector of length LLL: on-hand stock plus the L−1L-1L−1 orders still in the pipeline. This model is standard in retail, where a customer facing an empty shelf buys elsewhere. Its optimal policy is not a base-stock policy and depends on the whole pipeline vector, which makes it much harder to analyse than the backorder model.

A basic question for any stochastic inventory model is how its optimal cost responds to uncertainty in demand. For the backorder model it is classical that more variable demand costs more (Song 1994). Zipkin's paper (Oper. Res. 56(4), 2008, 937–944) recasts the lost-sales model in a transformed state in which the optimal cost functions are L♮^\natural♮-convex. Its §5 uses this structure to prove the lost-sales analogue: if demand becomes more variable in the convex order, the optimal cost does not decrease. The paper presents this as new in the lost-sales setting.

Timeline of the structural results the mission rests on:

  • 1958: Karlin and Scarf analyse the lost-sales model with lead time one and show that the optimal order decreases in the on-hand stock, with sensitivity less than one.
  • 1969: Morton extends these monotonicity and bounded-sensitivity properties to general lead times and derives bounds on the optimal order.
  • 2008: Zipkin reproves these properties through L♮^\natural♮-convexity in the transformed state (Theorem 4) and adds the parametric result of §5 (Theorem 11).

Setting

The order lead time is a positive integer LLL. The cost factors are the unit procurement cost ccc, the unit holding cost h^\hat hh^, the unit lost-sales penalty ppp and the discount factor γ\gammaγ. Demands in different periods are independent and nonnegative, with a common law. The paper treats states and orders as continuous.

Transformed state. A state is a vector v=(v0,…,vL−1)v=(v_0,\dots,v_{L-1})v=(v0​,…,vL−1​), where vlv_lvl​ is the stock on hand plus all orders due to arrive lll or more periods hence, and vL=0v_L=0vL​=0 by convention. So v0v_0v0​ is the inventory position and v0−v1v_0-v_1v0​−v1​ is the stock on hand. The state space is

V={v∈RL: v0≥v1≥⋯≥vL−1≥0}.V=\{v\in\mathbb R^L:\ v_0\ge v_1\ge\cdots\ge v_{L-1}\ge0\}.V={v∈RL: v0​≥v1​≥⋯≥vL−1​≥0}.

The action is ζ=−z≤0\zeta=-z\le0ζ=−z≤0, where z≥0z\ge0z≥0 is the order quantity, and eee is the all-ones vector. After demand ddd, the next state is

v+=([v0−v1−d]++v1, v2, …, vL−1, 0)−ζe.v_+=\big([v_0-v_1-d]^++v_1,\ v_2,\ \dots,\ v_{L-1},\ 0\big)-\zeta e.v+​=([v0​−v1​−d]++v1​, v2​, …, vL−1​, 0)−ζe.

Costs and recursion. The end-of-period holding and penalty cost is q^(u)=h^u++pu−\hat q(u)=\hat hu^++pu^-q^​(u)=h^u++pu−, and its expectation given on-hand stock yyy is q^0(y)=E[q^(y−d)]\hat q^0(y)=E[\hat q(y-d)]q^​0(y)=E[q^​(y−d)]. The optimal cost functions satisfy

gˉt(v,ζ)=−γLcζ+q^0(v0−v1)+γE[fˉt+1(v+)],fˉt(v)=min⁡ζ≤0gˉt(v,ζ),\bar g_t(v,\zeta)=-\gamma^Lc\zeta+\hat q^0(v_0-v_1)+\gamma E[\bar f_{t+1}(v_+)],\qquad \bar f_t(v)=\min_{\zeta\le0}\bar g_t(v,\zeta),gˉ​t​(v,ζ)=−γLcζ+q^​0(v0​−v1​)+γE[fˉ​t+1​(v+​)],fˉ​t​(v)=ζ≤0min​gˉ​t​(v,ζ),

with fˉT+L+1=0\bar f_{T+L+1}=0fˉ​T+L+1​=0. This is the paper's recursion (1)–(2), written in the state vvv.

Program (4). Fix a demand ddd. Choosing the next stock level v+v_+v+​, with −d≤v+−v0≤0-d\le v_+-v_0\le0−d≤v+​−v0​≤0 and v+≥v1v_+\ge v_1v+​≥v1​, gives

κˉt(v,ζ∣d)=min⁡v+{h^(v+−v1)+p(v+−v0+d)+γfˉt+1[(v+,v2,…,vL−1,0)−ζe]}.\bar\kappa_t(v,\zeta\mid d)=\min_{v_+}\Big\{\hat h(v_+-v_1)+p(v_+-v_0+d)+\gamma\bar f_{t+1}\big[(v_+,v_2,\dots,v_{L-1},0)-\zeta e\big]\Big\}.κˉt​(v,ζ∣d)=v+​min​{h^(v+​−v1​)+p(v+​−v0​+d)+γfˉ​t+1​[(v+​,v2​,…,vL−1​,0)−ζe]}.

Here v+−v1v_+-v_1v+​−v1​ is the leftover stock and d−(v0−v+)d-(v_0-v_+)d−(v0​−v+​) the unmet demand.

Parametric demand. The demand d(ϕ)d(\phi)d(ϕ) depends on a real parameter ϕ\phiϕ, with law μϕ\mu_\phiμϕ​, and fˉt(v;ϕ)\bar f_t(v;\phi)fˉ​t​(v;ϕ) is the optimal cost under μϕ\mu_\phiμϕ​. A random variable XXX is smaller than YYY in the convex order if E g(X)≤E g(Y)E\,g(X)\le E\,g(Y)Eg(X)≤Eg(Y) for every convex g:R→Rg:\mathbb R\to\mathbb Rg:R→R for which both expectations exist. This forces equal means and a variance that does not decrease.

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem 11 (p. 941)

If d(ϕ)d(\phi)d(ϕ) is increasing in ϕ\phiϕ with respect to the convex order, then for all ttt and all v∈Vv\in Vv∈V,

ϕ≤ϕ′ ⟹ fˉt(v;ϕ)≤fˉt(v;ϕ′).\phi\le\phi'\ \Longrightarrow\ \bar f_t(v;\phi)\le\bar f_t(v;\phi').ϕ≤ϕ′ ⟹ fˉ​t​(v;ϕ)≤fˉ​t​(v;ϕ′).

Milestones, in attack order

  1. Reformulation (proof of Theorem 4, p. 939). For v∈Vv\in Vv∈V, ζ≤0\zeta\le0ζ≤0, d≥0d\ge0d≥0, the stock level v+=[v0−v1−d]++v1v_+=[v_0-v_1-d]^++v_1v+​=[v0​−v1​−d]++v1​ is optimal in program (4):
κˉt(v,ζ∣d)=q^(v0−v1−d)+γfˉt+1(v+).\bar\kappa_t(v,\zeta\mid d)=\hat q(v_0-v_1-d)+\gamma\bar f_{t+1}(v_+).κˉt​(v,ζ∣d)=q^​(v0​−v1​−d)+γfˉ​t+1​(v+​).
  1. Convexity of the optimal cost (Theorem 4, p. 939, with the remark on p. 938). fˉt\bar f_tfˉ​t​ is convex on VVV for every ttt.
  2. The key step (proof of Theorem 11, p. 941). If FFF is convex and nonnegative on VVV, then program (4) with continuation FFF is jointly convex in (v,ζ,d)(v,\zeta,d)(v,ζ,d) on {v∈V, ζ≤0, d≥0}\{v\in V,\ \zeta\le0,\ d\ge0\}{v∈V, ζ≤0, d≥0}.
  3. The induction step (proof of Theorem 11, p. 941). If fˉt+1(v;ϕ)\bar f_{t+1}(v;\phi)fˉ​t+1​(v;ϕ) is nondecreasing in ϕ\phiϕ on VVV, then so is gˉt(v,ζ;ϕ)\bar g_t(v,\zeta;\phi)gˉ​t​(v,ζ;ϕ) for every ζ≤0\zeta\le0ζ≤0.

Significance

Theorem 11 is a comparative-statics statement: replacing demand by a mean-preserving spread cannot lower the optimal cost from any starting state, at any horizon. It justifies valuing variance reduction in lost-sales systems, for example forecasting or demand pooling, without solving the high-dimensional dynamic program. The induction pattern of the proof transfers to other parametric questions about the model; §6 of the paper notes that the parametric analysis remains valid in several extensions.

The paper proves Theorem 11 in a few lines on top of Theorem 4. No machine-checked proof of the result or of its structural prerequisites is known: neither the lost-sales recursion in the transformed state nor its convexity is formalized. A complete development checks the measure-theoretic steps the paper leaves implicit: that the optimal costs are finite, the existence of the expectations, and the passage from convexity in ddd on [0,∞)[0,\infty)[0,∞) to the convex order's test functions on R\mathbb RR.

Difficulty

The argument looks immediate: the costs are convex, so the convex order should apply directly. It does not. The function to which the convex order must be applied is the end-of-period cost as a function of demand. In recursion (1) that function is q^(v0−v1−d)+γfˉt+1(v+(d))\hat q(v_0-v_1-d)+\gamma\bar f_{t+1}(v_+(d))q^​(v0​−v1​−d)+γfˉ​t+1​(v+​(d)), where the next state depends on ddd through the kink [v0−v1−d]+[v_0-v_1-d]^+[v0​−v1​−d]+. Convexity of fˉt+1\bar f_{t+1}fˉ​t+1​ alone does not make this composition convex in ddd. The paper avoids the issue by passing to program (4), where the amount of demand filled is a decision. That requires two facts: that selling as much as possible is optimal (milestone 1), and that the program is jointly convex in state, action and demand (milestone 3), which needs convexity of fˉt+1\bar f_{t+1}fˉ​t+1​ on all of VVV (milestone 2). A second difficulty is analytic: the optimal costs are defined by infima and expectations, and one must show that these are finite and integrable before any order comparison applies.

Formalization scope

  • Model. States are Fin L → ℝ with 0-based indices matching the paper. vL=0v_L=0vL​=0 is the helper vext. VVV is the set of antitone, nonnegative vectors.
  • Time. Data are stationary, so the optimal cost is indexed by the number of periods to go kkk, with fˉ=0\bar f=0fˉ​=0 at k=0k=0k=0. The paper's "for all ttt" is "for all kkk".
  • Demand. One-period demand has law μ\muμ, a probability measure on R\mathbb RR with μ((−∞,0))=0\mu((-\infty,0))=0μ((−∞,0))=0 and finite mean. The finite mean is not in the paper; it is added so that q^0\hat q^0q^​0 is finite.
  • Parametric family. A family μϕ\mu_\phiμϕ​, ϕ∈R\phi\in\mathbb Rϕ∈R, with every hypothesis imposed for every ϕ\phiϕ. Every object depending on demand takes the law as an argument, so fˉt(v;ϕ)\bar f_t(v;\phi)fˉ​t​(v;ϕ) is fbar … (μ φ) k v.
  • Costs. "Unit cost" and "discount rate" are read as c,h^,p≥0c,\hat h,p\ge0c,h^,p≥0 and 0<γ≤10<\gamma\le10<γ≤1.
  • Minima. "Min" over orders is an infimum over ζ≤0\zeta\le0ζ≤0, and program (4) is an infimum over the interval [max⁡(v0−d,v1),v0][\max(v_0-d,v_1),v_0][max(v0​−d,v1​),v0​]. Lean's infimum is 000 on sets that are unbounded below or empty. Nonnegative costs and demand keep the infima genuine, and the generic key-step milestone assumes the continuation is nonnegative.
  • Expectations. Bochner integrals.
  • Convex order. The platform definition StochasticOrders.Convex.ConvexOrder (Shaked–Shanthikumar (3.A.1)), applied to the identity on (R,μϕ)(\mathbb R,\mu_\phi)(R,μϕ​). Equal means are a consequence and are not assumed.
  • Convexity milestone. Stated for the model's fˉ\bar ffˉ​ only, not as "L♮^\natural♮-convex implies convex" in general, which fails without regularity.

Ruled out. Value functions that collapse to a junk constant would make Theorem 11 trivially true. This is excluded because the recursion is defined, not assumed, and every cost and demand hypothesis is imposed for every ϕ\phiϕ. Replacing the convex order by "variance nondecreasing", by the increasing convex order, or by test functions convex only on [0,∞)[0,\infty)[0,∞) changes the theorem and is not accepted.

Infrastructure and contributions. A complete development needs:

  • finiteness and integrability of the optimal costs;
  • convexity of partial infima over convex fibers;
  • monotone extension of a function convex on [0,∞)[0,\infty)[0,∞) to all of R\mathbb RR.

The model file is shared in shape with the series' missions 1 (L♮^\natural♮-convexity) and 2 (policy bounds), and its convexity lemmas are reusable for other parametric comparisons of the lost-sales model. Proofs of any milestone, and alternative arguments that bypass program (4), are welcome.

Selected references

  • P. Zipkin, On the structure of lost-sales inventory models, Operations Research 56(4), 937–944, 2008. https://doi.org/10.1287/opre.1070.0482
  • S. Karlin, H. Scarf, Inventory models of the Arrow–Harris–Marschak type with time lag, in Studies in the Mathematical Theory of Inventory and Production, Chapter 10, Stanford University Press, 1958.
  • T. E. Morton, Bounds on the solution of the lagged optimal inventory equation with no demand backlogging and proportional costs, SIAM Review 11, 572–576, 1969 (as cited in Zipkin 2008).
  • J.-S. Song, The effect of leadtime uncertainty in a simple stochastic inventory model, Management Science 40(5), 603–613, 1994. https://doi.org/10.1287/mnsc.40.5.603
  • D. Stoyan, Comparison Methods for Queues and Other Stochastic Models, Wiley, 1983.
  • M. Shaked, J. G. Shanthikumar, Stochastic Orders, Springer, 2007. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-0-387-34675-5
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CombinatoricsGraph TheoryLinear Optimization+2·Captain: mikedeng1

Approximating Minimum Bounded Degree Spanning Trees to within One of Optimal 2: Under Lower and Upper Degree Bounds, Iterative Rounding Finds a Connecting Tree of LP Cost within A_v − 1 and B_v + 1Research Paper

Motivation

Network design problems often ask for a cheap spanning tree in which no vertex is overloaded: in multicast and overlay networks the degree of a node bounds the number of copies it must forward, and in physical networks it bounds the number of ports. The minimum bounded degree spanning tree problem asks for a minimum-cost spanning tree whose degrees respect given bounds. Deciding whether a graph has a spanning tree of maximum degree 2 is already the Hamiltonian path problem, so exact solutions are out of reach, and the question becomes how little the bounds and the cost must be relaxed.

Some problems also impose lower bounds: a vertex that must serve as a hub, or a leaf-avoidance requirement, asks for degree at least AvA_vAv​. Singh and Lau (STOC 2007) showed that the iterative rounding method they used for upper bounds extends to both kinds at once: a spanning tree of cost at most the LP optimum whose degree at every vertex lies in [Av−1, Bv+1][A_v-1,\,B_v+1][Av​−1,Bv​+1].

Timeline. Fürer and Raghavachari (1994) found a spanning tree of maximum degree at most Δ∗+1\Delta^*+1Δ∗+1 in the unweighted case. For costs, Goemans (FOCS 2006) obtained cost at most OPT with degrees at most Bv+2B_v+2Bv​+2. Singh and Lau (STOC 2007) improved this to Bv+1B_v+1Bv​+1, which is the best possible additive violation unless P = NP, and gave the extension to lower and upper bounds formalized here. The journal version appeared in J. ACM 62(1), 2015.

Setting

Let G=(V,E)G=(V,E)G=(V,E) be a finite simple graph with edge costs ce∈Rc_e\in\mathbb Rce​∈R; no sign or triangle inequality is assumed. Let FFF be a forest on VVV with no edge in common with EEE. A set H⊆EH\subseteq EH⊆E is an FFF-tree if H∪FH\cup FH∪F is a spanning tree of VVV, and dH(v)d_H(v)dH​(v) is the number of edges of HHH at vvv. Integer lower bounds AvA_vAv​ are given on U⊆VU\subseteq VU⊆V and integer upper bounds BvB_vBv​ on W⊆VW\subseteq VW⊆V. The minimum bounded degree connecting tree problem asks for a cheapest FFF-tree with Av≤dH(v)A_v\le d_H(v)Av​≤dH​(v) on UUU and dH(v)≤Bvd_H(v)\le B_vdH​(v)≤Bv​ on WWW; with F=∅F=\varnothingF=∅ it is the spanning-tree problem.

The supernodes are the vertex sets of the components of (V,F)(V,F)(V,F), isolated vertices included, and I(F)\mathcal I(F)I(F) is the family of unions of supernodes. For S⊆VS\subseteq VS⊆V, E(S)E(S)E(S) and F(S)F(S)F(S) are the edges with both endpoints in SSS, δ(S)\delta(S)δ(S) the edges with exactly one endpoint in SSS, and x(D)=∑e∈Dxex(D)=\sum_{e\in D}x_ex(D)=∑e∈D​xe​. The linear relaxation LP-MBDCT(G,A,B,U,W,F)(G,\mathcal A,\mathcal B,U,W,F)(G,A,B,U,W,F) minimizes ∑ecexe\sum_e c_ex_e∑e​ce​xe​ subject to

x(E(V))=∣V∣−∣F(V)∣−1,x(E(S))≤∣S∣−∣F(S)∣−1 (S∈I(F)),Av≤x(δ(v)) (v∈U),x(δ(v))≤Bv (v∈W),x≥0.x(E(V))=|V|-|F(V)|-1,\quad x(E(S))\le|S|-|F(S)|-1\ (S\in\mathcal I(F)),\quad A_v\le x(\delta(v))\ (v\in U),\quad x(\delta(v))\le B_v\ (v\in W),\quad x\ge0.x(E(V))=∣V∣−∣F(V)∣−1,x(E(S))≤∣S∣−∣F(S)∣−1 (S∈I(F)),Av​≤x(δ(v)) (v∈U),x(δ(v))≤Bv​ (v∈W),x≥0.

MBDCT Algorithm2 (Figure 5 of the paper) repeats: if FFF is a spanning tree, stop; otherwise take a basic optimal solution x∗x^*x∗, delete the edges with xe∗=0x^*_e=0xe∗​=0, move one edge with xe∗=1x^*_e=1xe∗​=1 (if any) into FFF and lower AAA and BBB by one at its endpoints, and otherwise remove from UUU and WWW one vertex whose support degree is at most two.

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem 5.2

For every well-formed instance whose LP is feasible, MBDCT Algorithm2

  1. has a terminating run;
  2. makes at most ∣V∣−∣F∣−1+∣U∪W∣|V|-|F|-1+|U\cup W|∣V∣−∣F∣−1+∣U∪W∣ iterations on every run;
  3. returns only FFF-trees H⊆EH\subseteq EH⊆E with
c(H)≤∑e∈Ecexe for every feasible x,Av−1≤dH(v) (v∈U),dH(v)≤Bv+1 (v∈W).c(H)\le\sum_{e\in E}c_ex_e\ \text{for every feasible }x,\qquad A_v-1\le d_H(v)\ (v\in U),\qquad d_H(v)\le B_v+1\ (v\in W).c(H)≤e∈E∑​ce​xe​ for every feasible x,Av​−1≤dH​(v) (v∈U),dH​(v)≤Bv​+1 (v∈W).

The statement fixes no constants beyond the paper's ±1\pm1±1, and it is uniform over every choice of basic optimal solution, 1-edge and removed vertex.

Milestones

In the order the proof uses them: Lemma 5.3 (a basic solution is determined by a laminar family of tight sets and tight lower and upper degree rows, with ∣E∗∣=∣L∣+∣TU∣+∣TW∣|E^*|=|\mathcal L|+|T_U|+|T_W|∣E∗∣=∣L∣+∣TU​∣+∣TW​∣); Claims 5.4, 5.7, 5.8 and 5.9 (special supernodes, cut sizes, the value x∗(D(S))=r−1x^*(D(S))=r-1x∗(D(S))=r−1 on the edges between the rrr members of SSS, and when a set is special); Lemma 5.6 (every set of L\mathcal LL keeps at least three tokens, exactly three only if it is special or VVV); and Lemma 5.1 (a basic solution has an edge with xe∗=1x^*_e=1xe∗​=1 or a vertex of U∪WU\cup WU∪W with support degree two).

Significance

The theorem gives, in one algorithm, a tree that is no more expensive than the LP lower bound and whose degrees miss both bounds by at most one. For the pure upper-bound problem it implies the (1,Bv+1)(1,B_v+1)(1,Bv​+1) guarantee, which cannot be improved to BvB_vBv​ unless P = NP, since a Hamiltonian path is the case Bv≡2B_v\equiv 2Bv​≡2. With lower bounds it also covers prescribed minimum degrees.

The result is proved in the paper; no machine-checked proof of it, or of any iterative rounding analysis, is known to exist. No platform item treats bounded-degree spanning trees or iterative rounding; the nearest related item is the open Williamson–Shmoys minimum-degree spanning tree local-search goal, which concerns a different, unweighted problem. Formalizing this mission requires the extreme-point structure of the spanning tree polytope with degree constraints (uncrossing to a laminar family), the token counting argument, and the induction over the algorithm's recursion, all of which are reusable for other iterative rounding results.

Difficulty

The obvious argument rounds an optimal LP solution once. It fails: an optimal vertex may be entirely fractional, and no single rounding keeps both the cost and the degrees. The algorithm instead re-solves the LP after each change, and its correctness rests on Lemma 5.1, that every extreme point of the current LP has an integral edge or a vertex with support degree two. That lemma is a counting statement about extreme points: the rank bound ∣E∗∣=∣L∣+∣TU∣+∣TW∣|E^*|=|\mathcal L|+|T_U|+|T_W|∣E∗∣=∣L∣+∣TU​∣+∣TW​∣ from a laminar basis must be contradicted by a token distribution. With upper bounds only, every set of the laminar family can collect four tokens. With lower bounds a set may collect only three, and the proof must characterize those sets (special sets, Definition 5.5) and show by linear independence that the remaining cases cannot occur. A second difficulty is that the guarantee concerns the final tree after many iterations, so the degree accounting must survive the changes of AAA, BBB, UUU, WWW and FFF along the run.

Formalization scope

Vertices form a Fintype; edges are elements of Sym2 V with no loops, and EEE, FFF are finite sets of edges with FFF acyclic and disjoint from EEE. LP vectors are functions on Sym2 V that vanish off EEE. Right-hand sides are computed in R\mathbb RR, degree bounds are integers, and the subtour rows range over nonempty S∈I(F)S\in\mathcal I(F)S∈I(F) (at S=∅S=\varnothingS=∅ the literal row 0≤−10\le-10≤−1 would make the LP empty). A basic solution is a feasible xxx that is the only vector on EEE satisfying with equality every constraint tight at xxx, including the tight rows xe=0x_e=0xe​=0. Supernodes are never contracted: the paper's contraction of a supernode with one active vertex is a proof device, and all of §5.1's notions are stated on the original instance.

The paper's loose phrases are made explicit as follows.

  • "Polynomial time" becomes the iteration bound; the LP is solved by an oracle that returns any basic optimal solution. The ellipsoid method and the separation oracle are out of scope.
  • "The algorithm returns" becomes three claims: a run exists, every run is bounded, and every returned set satisfies the guarantee. The guarantee alone would hold vacuously for a relation that can get stuck.
  • "Cost at most the cost of the optimal LP solution" becomes c(H)≤c⋅xc(H)\le c\cdot xc(H)≤c⋅x for every feasible xxx.
  • "Distribute the tokens" (Lemma 5.6) becomes a counting inequality on the surplus of tokens.
  • Claim 5.9's "contains exactly three special members" means that SSS has exactly three members, all of them special.
  • Figure 5's Step 4 is guarded by "no edge was picked in Step 3", as the paper's text under Lemma 5.1 states.
  • "FFF is not a spanning tree" and LP feasibility are explicit hypotheses where the paper leaves them implicit.

Two trivializations are ruled out. Existence of a cheap tree with degrees in [Av−1,Bv+1][A_v-1,B_v+1][Av​−1,Bv​+1] is not the target: the statement is about the algorithm's outputs and quantifies over all of them. And a run that never terminates does not satisfy the goal, which requires a run to exist and every run to be bounded.

Contributions are welcome at every level: the laminar uncrossing argument (Lemma 5.3), which is reusable for any spanning-tree LP with degree rows; the counting claims; and the invariants of the recursion.

Selected references

  • M. Singh, L. C. Lau, Approximating minimum bounded degree spanning trees to within one of optimal, STOC 2007, pp. 661–670. https://doi.org/10.1145/1250790.1250887
  • M. Singh, L. C. Lau, Approximating minimum bounded degree spanning trees to within one of optimal, J. ACM 62(1), 2015. https://doi.org/10.1145/2629366
  • M. X. Goemans, Minimum bounded degree spanning trees, FOCS 2006, pp. 273–282. https://doi.org/10.1109/FOCS.2006.48
  • M. Fürer, B. Raghavachari, Approximating the minimum-degree Steiner tree to within one of optimal, J. Algorithms 17(3), 1994, pp. 409–423. https://doi.org/10.1006/jagm.1994.1042
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AnalysisOperations ResearchProbability+1·Captain: mikedeng1

The G/GI/N Queue in the Halfin–Whitt Regime 2: The Diffusion-Limit Equation Is Equivalent to a Renewal-Function Equation, Which Has a Unique Càdlàg SolutionResearch Paper

Motivation

A G/GI/N queue has NNN identical servers, a general arrival process, a first-come-first-served waiting room and i.i.d. service times with a general distribution FFF of mean 111. In the Halfin–Whitt regime the number of servers grows while the traffic intensity ρN\rho^NρN approaches 111 at rate N(1−ρN)→β∈R\sqrt N(1-\rho^N)\to\beta\in\mathbb RN​(1−ρN)→β∈R; this is the standard asymptotic model for large call centers, where a positive fraction of customers wait but waiting times are short. Halfin and Whitt (Oper. Res. 1981) obtained a diffusion limit for exponential service times. Reed (arXiv:0912.2837, Ann. Appl. Probab. 2009) proved the corresponding limit for general service times: the centred and scaled queue length converges (Theorem 5.1) to the solution of a nonlinear stochastic convolution equation, (5.33) below.

Equation (5.33) is written in terms of an infinite-server limit, and it is not evident from its form that it reduces to the Halfin–Whitt diffusion when service is exponential. Section 5.5 of the paper gives a second representation, Corollary 5.2, in which the convolution against FFF is replaced by a convolution against the renewal function of FFF. With exponential service the renewal function is M(t)=tM(t)=tM(t)=t, and the representation becomes the Halfin–Whitt diffusion. This mission formalizes Corollary 5.2 and the renewal-theoretic steps of its proof.

Timeline. Halfin–Whitt (1981): exponential service, diffusion limit. Reed (2009): general service with finite mean; Corollary 5.2 links the general limit back to 1981. Karlin–Taylor (1975) and Ross (1983): the renewal-type equation and the renewal equation that the proof cites.

Setting

Let μ\muμ be a probability measure on [0,∞)[0,\infty)[0,∞) with mean ∫x dμ(x)=1\int x\,d\mu(x)=1∫xdμ(x)=1 (the service-time law), F(t)=μ((−∞,t])F(t)=\mu((-\infty,t])F(t)=μ((−∞,t]) its distribution function and G=1−FG=1-FG=1−F its tail. The equilibrium distribution is

Fe(x)=∫0xG(u) du,x≥0.(5.4)F_e(x)=\int_0^x G(u)\,du,\qquad x\ge0.\tag{5.4}Fe​(x)=∫0x​G(u)du,x≥0.(5.4)

Let μ∗n\mu^{*n}μ∗n be the nnn-fold convolution of μ\muμ (the law of the nnnth renewal epoch SnS_nSn​). The renewal measure is dM=∑n≥1μ∗ndM=\sum_{n\ge1}\mu^{*n}dM=∑n≥1​μ∗n and the renewal function is M(t)=∑n≥1F∗n(t)M(t)=\sum_{n\ge1}F^{*n}(t)M(t)=∑n≥1​F∗n(t), the expected number of renewals by time ttt.

A path x:R→Rx:\mathbb R\to\mathbb Rx:R→R is càdlàg on [0,∞)[0,\infty)[0,∞) if it is right continuous at every t≥0t\ge0t≥0 with finite left limits at every t>0t>0t>0; only its values on [0,∞)[0,\infty)[0,∞) matter. Fix a càdlàg driving path ζ\zetaζ (in the paper ζ~=M~Q+Q~I\tilde\zeta=\tilde M_Q+\tilde Q_Iζ~​=M~Q​+Q~​I​, (5.40)) and β∈R\beta\in\mathbb Rβ∈R. Write y+=max⁡(y,0)y^+=\max(y,0)y+=max(y,0) and y−=min⁡(y,0)≤0y^-=\min(y,0)\le0y−=min(y,0)≤0. The two equations are

q(t)=ζ(t)−βFe(t)+∫0tq+(t−s) dF(s),t≥0,(5.33)q(t)=\zeta(t)-\beta F_e(t)+\int_0^t q^+(t-s)\,dF(s),\qquad t\ge0,\tag{5.33}q(t)=ζ(t)−βFe​(t)+∫0t​q+(t−s)dF(s),t≥0,(5.33) q(t)=ζ(t)+∫0tζ(t−u) dM(u)−βt−∫0tq−(t−u) dM(u),t≥0.(5.41)q(t)=\zeta(t)+\int_0^t\zeta(t-u)\,dM(u)-\beta t-\int_0^t q^-(t-u)\,dM(u),\qquad t\ge0.\tag{5.41}q(t)=ζ(t)+∫0t​ζ(t−u)dM(u)−βt−∫0t​q−(t−u)dM(u),t≥0.(5.41)

All Stieltjes integrals are over the closed interval [0,t][0,t][0,t].

Formalization targets

Goal: Corollary 5.2 (p. 29)

For every service law μ\muμ, every càdlàg ζ\zetaζ and every β\betaβ:

∀q caˋdlaˋg:q solves (5.33)  ⟺  q solves (5.41),\forall q\ \text{càdlàg}:\quad q\ \text{solves (5.33)}\iff q\ \text{solves (5.41)},∀q caˋdlaˋg:q solves (5.33)⟺q solves (5.41),

and (5.41) has a càdlàg solution that is unique on [0,∞)[0,\infty)[0,∞) among càdlàg paths.

Milestones, in proof order

  1. (5.39): MMM is finite, solves M(t)=F(t)+∫0tM(t−u) dF(u)M(t)=F(t)+\int_0^tM(t-u)\,dF(u)M(t)=F(t)+∫0t​M(t−u)dF(u), and is its unique locally bounded measurable solution.
  2. (5.42)–(5.43): for locally bounded measurable HHH, r=H+∫0tH(t−u) dM(u)r=H+\int_0^tH(t-u)\,dM(u)r=H+∫0t​H(t−u)dM(u) is the unique locally bounded solution of r(t)=H(t)+∫0tr(t−u) dF(u)r(t)=H(t)+\int_0^tr(t-u)\,dF(u)r(t)=H(t)+∫0t​r(t−u)dF(u).
  3. The identity Fe(t)+∫0tFe(t−s) dM(s)=tF_e(t)+\int_0^tF_e(t-s)\,dM(s)=tFe​(t)+∫0t​Fe​(t−s)dM(s)=t for t≥0t\ge0t≥0 (p. 30).
  4. (5.44): every càdlàg solution of (5.33) satisfies (5.41) with −βt-\beta t−βt replaced by −β(Fe(t)+∫0tFe(t−s) dM(s))-\beta\bigl(F_e(t)+\int_0^tF_e(t-s)\,dM(s)\bigr)−β(Fe​(t)+∫0t​Fe​(t−s)dM(s)).
  5. (5.46) (further): for exponential service of rate 111, M(t)=tM(t)=tM(t)=t and (5.41) becomes q(t)=ζ(t)+∫0tζ(s) ds−βt−∫0tq−(s) dsq(t)=\zeta(t)+\int_0^t\zeta(s)\,ds-\beta t-\int_0^tq^-(s)\,dsq(t)=ζ(t)+∫0t​ζ(s)ds−βt−∫0t​q−(s)ds.

Significance

The result. Corollary 5.2 expresses the many-server diffusion limit as an equation that is linear in the driving process ζ\zetaζ and whose only nonlinearity is the idle-server term ∫0tq−(t−u) dM(u)\int_0^tq^-(t-u)\,dM(u)∫0t​q−(t−u)dM(u). This is how the paper verifies that its general-service limit agrees with Halfin and Whitt's for exponential service, and the paper's sequel interprets the integral term as the limiting idle time of the servers. Uniqueness in (5.41) also yields the paper's remark that Q~N⇒Q~M\tilde Q^N\Rightarrow\tilde Q_MQ~​N⇒Q~​M​, the solution of (5.41).

The formalization. The result is proved in the paper, but only partly written: the printed proof shows that the solution of (5.33) satisfies (5.41), while the converse and the uniqueness are asserted. The mission states both. It also produces, independently of queueing, the renewal measure of a law on [0,∞)[0,\infty)[0,∞) with possible atoms, its finiteness on bounded sets, the renewal equation and the solution of renewal-type equations, and the identity Fe+Fe∗dM=tF_e+F_e*dM=tFe​+Fe​∗dM=t; none of these is in Mathlib or published on the platform. To our knowledge nothing in this mission has a machine-checked proof.

Difficulty

The forward direction is formal once (5.42)–(5.43) is available, but (5.42)–(5.43) itself needs the renewal measure to be finite on bounded intervals when FFF may have an atom at 000, and the uniqueness half needs an argument that does not assume the kernel has mass below one on any window starting at 000. The converse direction, (5.41) ⇒\Rightarrow⇒ (5.33), cannot be read off the printed proof, because (5.41) is not an equation of renewal type in qqq. The uniqueness of (5.41) is not a contraction argument either: the atom of dMdMdM at 000 has mass F(0)/(1−F(0))F(0)/(1-F(0))F(0)/(1−F(0)), which may exceed 111, so a naive Picard estimate on [0,δ][0,\delta][0,δ] fails.

Formalization scope

  • Paths are functions R→R\mathbb R\to\mathbb RR→R; every equation is asserted for t≥0t\ge0t≥0 and every uniqueness is equality on [0,∞)[0,\infty)[0,∞). Values at negative times are never read.
  • The service law is a probability measure μ\muμ on R\mathbb RR with μ((−∞,0))=0\mu((-\infty,0))=0μ((−∞,0))=0, integrable identity and mean 111. The paper places "no additional restrictions on FFF beyond a first moment".
  • The renewal measure is defined as ∑n≥1μ∗n\sum_{n\ge1}\mu^{*n}∑n≥1​μ∗n (Mathlib's additive convolution of measures), not through an i.i.d. sequence; the paper's "expected number of renewals" equals it by Tonelli.
  • Stieltjes integrals are Lebesgue integrals over the closed [0,t][0,t][0,t], so atoms at 000 of dFdFdF and dMdMdM are included. q−q^-q− is min⁡(q,0)\min(q,0)min(q,0), not Mathlib's negPart.
  • Explicit readings: "unique strong solution" is existence and uniqueness among càdlàg paths, pathwise for each fixed ζ\zetaζ. The paper's random statement follows by applying it to each sample path, which lies in D[0,∞)D[0,\infty)D[0,∞) almost surely (p. 30). "Locally bounded" is bounded on every [0,T][0,T][0,T], with measurability added for the functions in (5.39) and (5.42).
  • Corrected slip: (5.42) prints ∫0tr(t) dF(t−u)\int_0^tr(t)\,dF(t-u)∫0t​r(t)dF(t−u); the stated equation is ∫0tr(t−u) dF(u)\int_0^tr(t-u)\,dF(u)∫0t​r(t−u)dF(u). Milestone (5.42)–(5.43) assumes FFF carried by [0,∞)[0,\infty)[0,∞) with F(0)<1F(0)<1F(0)<1, under which the cited result holds.
  • Ruled out: the solution of (5.33) is not assumed to exist (it exists by the paper's Proposition 3.1 with a=0a=0a=0, B=FB=FB=F, which the solver must supply). MMM is the renewal measure of the same FFF, never an arbitrary measure assumed to satisfy (5.39). Uniqueness is among càdlàg paths on [0,∞)[0,\infty)[0,∞), so no non-measurable path makes an integral vanish.
  • Not in the mission: Theorems 4.1 and 5.1 (weak convergence in the Skorohod space), whose limit this corollary rewrites, and the Brownian-motion claim after (5.46).
  • Related platform items, credited but not the same object: BellmanDP.Inventory.renewal_equation_exists_unique (a renewal equation with a density kernel of mass below 111); ChenWhitt93.Reflection.Basic (càdlàg paths on [0,T][0,T][0,T]). Reusable output: the renewal measure, (5.39) and (5.42)–(5.43) serve any renewal-theoretic development. Alternative proofs of the converse and of uniqueness are welcome.

Selected references

  • J. Reed, The G/GI/N queue in the Halfin–Whitt regime, Ann. Appl. Probab. 19(6), 2009, 2211–2269. https://arxiv.org/abs/0912.2837 (v1), https://doi.org/10.1214/09-AAP609
  • S. Halfin and W. Whitt, Heavy-traffic limits for queues with many exponential servers, Oper. Res. 29(3), 1981, 567–588. https://doi.org/10.1287/opre.29.3.567
  • S. Karlin and H. M. Taylor, A First Course in Stochastic Processes, 2nd ed., Academic Press, 1975 (reference [11] of the paper).
  • S. M. Ross, Stochastic Processes, Wiley, 1983 (reference [19] of the paper, Exercise 3.4).
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CombinatoricsProbability·Captain: mikedeng1

Coalescents With Multiple Collisions 2: Coagulating an (α, θ) Partition by (β, θ/α) Equals Fragmenting an (αβ, θ) Partition by (α, −αβ)Research Paper

Motivation

Random partitions of the positive integers N={1,2,… }\mathbb N=\{1,2,\dots\}N={1,2,…} are the common language of population genetics, Bayesian nonparametrics and the theory of coalescent processes. When a sample of genes, customers or particles is grouped into classes, the grouping is a partition, and in most models its law is exchangeable: it does not depend on the labels. The best-known example is the Ewens sampling formula of population genetics (Ewens 1972); Kingman's representation theory (Kingman 1978) describes all exchangeable random partitions of N\mathbb NN.

Pitman's two-parameter family of exchangeable partitions, the (α,θ)(\alpha,\theta)(α,θ) partitions (Pitman 1995; Pitman and Yor 1997), contains Ewens' family as α=0\alpha=0α=0 and is the partition counterpart of the two-parameter Poisson–Dirichlet distribution. Theorem 12 of Pitman 1999 shows that two natural random operations act on this family in a dual way: merging blocks of an (α,θ)(\alpha,\theta)(α,θ) partition according to an independent exchangeable partition (coagulation) and splitting each block of an (αβ,θ)(\alpha\beta,\theta)(αβ,θ) partition by independent exchangeable partitions (fragmentation) produce the same joint law of a fine and a coarse partition. The paper uses it to describe the Bolthausen–Sznitman coalescent (Bolthausen and Sznitman 1998).

Timeline. 1972: Ewens' sampling formula, the case α=0\alpha=0α=0. 1978: Kingman's correspondence between exchangeable partitions and random mass partitions. 1995: Pitman introduces exchangeable partition probability functions and the (α,θ)(\alpha,\theta)(α,θ) formula (15). 1997: Pitman and Yor study the two-parameter Poisson–Dirichlet law. 1999: this paper proves the coagulation–fragmentation duality (Theorem 12) and its sharper converse, by reduction to an identity between explicit formulas. The duality is treated again in Pitman's lecture notes Combinatorial Stochastic Processes (2006).

Setting

A partition of a set is a collection of disjoint nonempty blocks whose union is the set. Write Pn\mathcal P_nPn​ for the partitions of [n]={1,…,n}[n]=\{1,\dots,n\}[n]={1,…,n} and P∞\mathcal P_\inftyP∞​ for those of N\mathbb NN; the restriction RnπR_n\piRn​π of π∈P∞\pi\in\mathcal P_\inftyπ∈P∞​ to [n][n][n] keeps the nonempty sets A∩[n]A\cap[n]A∩[n]. P∞\mathcal P_\inftyP∞​ carries the σ\sigmaσ-algebra generated by the RnR_nRn​. Writing π={A1,A2,… }\pi=\{A_1,A_2,\dots\}π={A1​,A2​,…} lists the blocks in increasing order of least elements.

A random partition Π\PiΠ of N\mathbb NN is exchangeable with EPF ppp if for every nnn and every partition {B1,…,Bk}\{B_1,\dots,B_k\}{B1​,…,Bk​} of [n][n][n],

P(RnΠ={B1,…,Bk})=p(∣B1∣,…,∣Bk∣).\mathbb P\big(R_n\Pi=\{B_1,\dots,B_k\}\big)=p(|B_1|,\dots,|B_k|).P(Rn​Π={B1​,…,Bk​})=p(∣B1​∣,…,∣Bk​∣).

For 0≤α<10\le\alpha<10≤α<1 and θ>−α\theta>-\alphaθ>−α the (α,θ)(\alpha,\theta)(α,θ) EPF is

pα,θ(n1,…,nk)=[θ/α]k[θ]n∏i=1k−[−α]ni,[x]m=∏i=1m(x+i−1),n=∑ini,p_{\alpha,\theta}(n_1,\dots,n_k)=\frac{[\theta/\alpha]_k}{[\theta]_n}\prod_{i=1}^k-[-\alpha]_{n_i},\qquad [x]_m=\prod_{i=1}^m(x+i-1),\quad n=\textstyle\sum_i n_i,pα,θ​(n1​,…,nk​)=[θ]n​[θ/α]k​​i=1∏k​−[−α]ni​​,[x]m​=i=1∏m​(x+i−1),n=∑i​ni​,

with factors of α\alphaα and θ\thetaθ cancelled before evaluation when α=0\alpha=0α=0 or θ=0\theta=0θ=0. An (α,θ)(\alpha,\theta)(α,θ) partition is an exchangeable random partition with EPF pα,θp_{\alpha,\theta}pα,θ​.

Coagulation (Definition 5): for π={A1,A2,… }\pi=\{A_1,A_2,\dots\}π={A1​,A2​,…} and γ={B1,B2,… }\gamma=\{B_1,B_2,\dots\}γ={B1​,B2​,…}, the γ\gammaγ-coagulation of π\piπ has blocks ⋃j∈BiAj\bigcup_{j\in B_i}A_j⋃j∈Bi​​Aj​. Π′\Pi'Π′ is a ppp-coagulation of Π\PiΠ if, given Π=π\Pi=\piΠ=π, it is the γ\gammaγ-coagulation of π\piπ for an independent γ\gammaγ with EPF ppp. Fragmentation (Definition 11): Π\PiΠ is a ppp-fragmentation of Π′\Pi'Π′ if, given Π′=π′\Pi'=\pi'Π′=π′, Π\PiΠ restricted to the mmm-th block of π′\pi'π′ equals Γ(m)\Gamma^{(m)}Γ(m) restricted to that block, for independent Γ(1),Γ(2),…\Gamma^{(1)},\Gamma^{(2)},\dotsΓ(1),Γ(2),… with EPF ppp. In Lean these are coag, frag, pdEPF and IsEPFLaw in LambdaCoalescent.CoagFrag.Setting.

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem 12

For 0<α<10<\alpha<10<α<1, 0≤β<10\le\beta<10≤β<1, θ>−αβ\theta>-\alpha\betaθ>−αβ, the following are equivalent: (i) Π\PiΠ is an (α,θ)(\alpha,\theta)(α,θ) partition and Π′\Pi'Π′ is a (β,θ/α)(\beta,\theta/\alpha)(β,θ/α)-coagulation of Π\PiΠ; (ii) Π′\Pi'Π′ is an (αβ,θ)(\alpha\beta,\theta)(αβ,θ) partition and Π\PiΠ is an (α,−αβ)(\alpha,-\alpha\beta)(α,−αβ)-fragmentation of Π′\Pi'Π′. Formally, with laws μ,ν,ρ,κ\mu,\nu,\rho,\kappaμ,ν,ρ,κ of EPFs pα,θ,pβ,θ/α,pαβ,θ,pα,−αβp_{\alpha,\theta},p_{\beta,\theta/\alpha},p_{\alpha\beta,\theta},p_{\alpha,-\alpha\beta}pα,θ​,pβ,θ/α​,pαβ,θ​,pα,−αβ​:

(μ⊗ν){(π,γ):(π,coag(π,γ))∈S}=(ρ⊗κ⊗N){(π′,Γ):(frag(π′,Γ),π′)∈S}(\mu\otimes\nu)\{(\pi,\gamma):(\pi,\mathrm{coag}(\pi,\gamma))\in S\}=(\rho\otimes\kappa^{\otimes\mathbb N})\{(\pi',\Gamma):(\mathrm{frag}(\pi',\Gamma),\pi')\in S\}(μ⊗ν){(π,γ):(π,coag(π,γ))∈S}=(ρ⊗κ⊗N){(π′,Γ):(frag(π′,Γ),π′)∈S}

for every measurable S⊆P∞×P∞S\subseteq\mathcal P_\infty\times\mathcal P_\inftyS⊆P∞​×P∞​.

Milestones

  1. Lemma 9 (existence): for 0≤α<10\le\alpha<10≤α<1, θ>−α\theta>-\alphaθ>−α a law with EPF pα,θp_{\alpha,\theta}pα,θ​ exists.
  2. Lemma 34: Π2\Pi^2Π2 is a ppp-coagulation of Π1\Pi^1Π1 with EPF p1p_1p1​ iff P(Πn1=π1,Πn2=π2)=p1(a1,…,aK) p(j1,…,jk)\mathbb P(\Pi^1_n=\pi^1,\Pi^2_n=\pi^2)=p_1(a_1,\dots,a_K)\,p(j_1,\dots,j_k)P(Πn1​=π1,Πn2​=π2)=p1​(a1​,…,aK​)p(j1​,…,jk​) for refining pairs.
  3. Lemma 35: the fragmentation analogue, ∏ip^(ai,1,…,ai,ji) p2(b1,…,bk)\prod_i\hat p(a_{i,1},\dots,a_{i,j_i})\,p_2(b_1,\dots,b_k)∏i​p^​(ai,1​,…,ai,ji​​)p2​(b1​,…,bk​).
  4. The EPF identity in the proof of Theorem 12: (62) equals (63) for the four laws of Theorem 12.
  5. The sharper form: for parameters in PAR={0≤α<1,θ>−α}\mathrm{PAR}=\{0\le\alpha<1,\theta>-\alpha\}PAR={0≤α<1,θ>−α} the two joint laws agree iff αf=α\alpha_f=\alphaαf​=α, θf=−α1=−ααc\theta_f=-\alpha_1=-\alpha\alpha_cθf​=−α1​=−ααc​, θc=θ/α\theta_c=\theta/\alphaθc​=θ/α, θ1=θ\theta_1=\thetaθ1​=θ (64).

Significance

Theorem 12 identifies one law of a nested pair of exchangeable partitions from both ends. Read from (i) to (ii), it shows that coagulating an (α,θ)(\alpha,\theta)(α,θ) partition by an independent (β,θ/α)(\beta,\theta/\alpha)(β,θ/α) partition yields an (αβ,θ)(\alpha\beta,\theta)(αβ,θ) partition; read backwards, that an (αβ,θ)(\alpha\beta,\theta)(αβ,θ) partition fragmented by (α,−αβ)(\alpha,-\alpha\beta)(α,−αβ) partitions yields an (α,θ)(\alpha,\theta)(α,θ) partition. Through Kingman's correspondence it gives Corollary 13 on Poisson–Dirichlet laws, and with β=0\beta=0β=0 it connects the two-parameter family with Ewens' family. In the paper it is the tool for describing the Bolthausen–Sznitman coalescent through Poisson–Dirichlet laws. The sharper form shows the parameter relations (64) are forced.

The theorem has been proved since 1999. What this mission adds is a machine-checked development: exchangeable random partitions of N\mathbb NN with their EPFs, the coagulation and fragmentation kernels, and the reduction of identities between laws on P∞\mathcal P_\inftyP∞​ to identities between finite-dimensional formulas. None of these objects is in Mathlib, and no formalization of the duality is known.

Difficulty

The algebraic heart, the EPF identity, is a finite computation with rising factorials. The difficulty is measure-theoretic and combinatorial. A law on P∞\mathcal P_\inftyP∞​ must be pinned down by its values on the cylinder events {Rnπ=πn}\{R_n\pi=\pi_n\}{Rn​π=πn​}. Computing P(RnΠ=π1,RnΠ′=π2)\mathbb P(R_n\Pi=\pi^1,R_n\Pi'=\pi^2)P(Rn​Π=π1,Rn​Π′=π2) under the coagulation kernel requires that the blocks of π\piπ meeting [n][n][n] are exactly the first KKK blocks in order of least elements, and that the induced partition of [K][K][K] has law given by the EPF; under the fragmentation kernel it requires the independence of the Γ(m)\Gamma^{(m)}Γ(m) and that the restriction of an exchangeable partition to an arbitrary finite set (not an initial segment [b][b][b]) is governed by the same EPF. The converse in Lemmas 34 and 35 needs the bookkeeping that the formula on refining pairs exhausts total mass. Lemma 9 is an existence theorem for a projective family of laws, which the paper cites rather than proves.

Formalization scope

A partition of N\mathbb NN is an equivalence relation on Lean's N={0,1,… }\mathbb N=\{0,1,\dots\}N={0,1,…} (PInf := Setoid ℕ), a partition of [n][n][n] one on Fin n; labels shift by one, which preserves the order of least elements, and block indices are 0-based. The σ\sigmaσ-algebra on PInf is generated by the coordinates i∼πji\sim_\pi ji∼π​j, equivalently by the RnR_nRn​. Coagulation is stated with γ∈P∞\gamma\in\mathcal P_\inftyγ∈P∞​ (Definition 5's case n=∞n=\inftyn=∞). The EPF is the cancelled form

pα,θ(n1,…,nk)=∏i=1k−1(θ+iα)[θ+1]n−1∏i=1k[1−α]ni−1,p_{\alpha,\theta}(n_1,\dots,n_k)=\frac{\prod_{i=1}^{k-1}(\theta+i\alpha)}{[\theta+1]_{n-1}}\prod_{i=1}^k[1-\alpha]_{n_i-1},pα,θ​(n1​,…,nk​)=[θ+1]n−1​∏i=1k−1​(θ+iα)​i=1∏k​[1−α]ni​−1​,

equal to (15) for α,θ≠0\alpha,\theta\ne0α,θ=0; this is needed because θf=−αβ=0\theta_f=-\alpha\beta=0θf​=−αβ=0 at β=0\beta=0β=0. Conditional laws "for all π\piπ" are encoded as joint laws, and equalities of laws are stated on preimages of measurable sets, so no Measure.map of an unproved-measurable map appears. Fragmenting partitions are one sample of Measure.infinitePi (fun _ => κ). In the sharper form, θc=θ/α\theta_c=\theta/\alphaθc​=θ/α is written as αθc=θ\alpha\theta_c=\thetaαθc​=θ, since PAR allows α=0\alpha=0α=0.

Not formalized: the stick-breaking characterization (12)–(13) in Lemma 9, Corollary 13 and Kingman's correspondence, and the auxiliary fact "∏[−α]ni=cn,k∏[−β]ni⇒α=β\prod[-\alpha]_{n_i}=c_{n,k}\prod[-\beta]_{n_i}\Rightarrow\alpha=\beta∏[−α]ni​​=cn,k​∏[−β]ni​​⇒α=β", which as printed fails at α=0\alpha=0α=0.

A formalization in which no measure satisfies IsEPFLaw (pdEPF α θ) would make Theorem 12 and Lemmas 34–35 vacuous; Lemma 9 rules this out and must be proved for the parameters used, not assumed.

Infrastructure needed: cylinder-set uniqueness on PInf, the law of the restriction of an exchangeable partition to a finite set, block enumeration by least elements, and rising-factorial algebra (ascPochhammer). The partition, EPF and kernel definitions are reusable for any work on exchangeable partitions, Chinese restaurant processes or Λ\LambdaΛ-coalescents. Proofs of Lemma 9, of Lemmas 34–35 and of the EPF identity are each welcome as independent contributions.

Selected references

  • J. Pitman, Coalescents with multiple collisions, Ann. Probab. 27(4) (1999), 1870–1902. https://doi.org/10.1214/aop/1022874819
  • J. Pitman, Exchangeable and partially exchangeable random partitions, Probab. Theory Related Fields 102 (1995), 145–158. https://doi.org/10.1007/BF01213386
  • J. Pitman and M. Yor, The two-parameter Poisson–Dirichlet distribution derived from a stable subordinator, Ann. Probab. 25(2) (1997), 855–900. https://doi.org/10.1214/aop/1024404422
  • J. F. C. Kingman, The representation of partition structures, J. London Math. Soc. (2) 18 (1978), 374–380. https://doi.org/10.1112/jlms/s2-18.2.374
  • W. J. Ewens, The sampling theory of selectively neutral alleles, Theor. Popul. Biol. 3 (1972), 87–112. https://doi.org/10.1016/0040-5809(72)90035-4
  • E. Bolthausen and A.-S. Sznitman, On Ruelle's probability cascades and an abstract cavity method, Comm. Math. Phys. 197 (1998), 247–276. https://doi.org/10.1007/s002200050450
  • J. Pitman, Combinatorial Stochastic Processes, Lecture Notes in Mathematics 1875, Springer, 2006. https://doi.org/10.1007/b11601500
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