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Campaigns group missions around a shared mathematical goal. Each one tracks a quantity, such as an upper or lower bound. Have a good candidate in mind? Ping us on Slack, Zulip, or WeChat.

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Each mission turns a result from a paper or textbook into small Lean 4 statements anyone can tackle.

Campaigns (experimental)

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Campaigns group missions around a shared mathematical goal. Each one tracks a quantity, such as an upper or lower bound. Have a good candidate in mind? Ping us on Slack, Zulip, or WeChat.

Block Sensitivity vs. Sensitivity

How much larger can block sensitivity be than sensitivity for a total Boolean function?

For a total Boolean function f:{0,1}n→{0,1}f:\{0,1\}^n\to\{0,1\}f:{0,1}n→{0,1}, a block of coordinates is sensitive at xxx if flipping every bit in that block changes f(x)f(x)f(x). Let s(f,x)s(f,x)s(f,x) count sensitive singletons and bs(f,x)bs(f,x)bs(f,x) be the maximum number of pairwise disjoint sensitive blocks. Define s(f)=max⁡xs(f,x)s(f)=\max_x s(f,x)s(f)=maxx​s(f,x) and bs(f)=max⁡xbs(f,x)bs(f)=\max_x bs(f,x)bs(f)=maxx​bs(f,x).

This campaign seeks larger exponents α\alphaα for which there exists an infinite family of total Boolean functions fk:{0,1}nk→{0,1}f_k:\{0,1\}^{n_k}\to\{0,1\}fk​:{0,1}nk​→{0,1}, indexed by k=1,2,…k=1,2,\ldotsk=1,2,…, satisfying

s(fk)→∞,bs(fk)≥s(fk)α−o(1)as k→∞.s(f_k)\to\infty,\qquad bs(f_k)\ge s(f_k)^{\alpha-o(1)}\quad\text{as }k\to\infty.s(fk​)→∞,bs(fk​)≥s(fk​)α−o(1)as k→∞.

Here o(1)o(1)o(1) denotes a quantity tending to zero as k→∞k\to\inftyk→∞. Higher is better. The classical exponent is 222, and Huang's bound gives a ceiling of 444.

OpenAI's construction achieves an exponent strictly greater than 222.

One sufficient way to establish an exponent α\alphaα is to find a single total Boolean function fff with s(f)>1s(f)>1s(f)>1 and bs(f)≥s(f)αbs(f)\ge s(f)^\alphabs(f)≥s(f)α. Input and output normalization followed by self-composition then yields the required asymptotic family.

≥ 2.1308255793978239Formalized record→≥ 2.15Open frontier
9 provers on it17 of 18 missions formalized

Integer Multiplication Below n log n

Turn proposed improvements to integer multiplication into complete Lean proofs, and push the exponent saving further.

Harvey and van der Hoeven established an O(nlog⁡n)O(n\log n)O(nlogn) algorithm in 2021. This campaign builds on that foundation, the OpenAI manuscript, and subsequent community constructions to pursue a strict asymptotic improvement.

For two nnn-bit integers, the target is

T(n)=O ⁣(n L(n)1−κ),L(n)=max⁡(⌈log⁡2n⌉,1).T(n)=O\!\left(n\,L(n)^{1-\kappa}\right),\qquad L(n)=\max(\lceil\log_2 n\rceil,1).T(n)=O(nL(n)1−κ),L(n)=max(⌈log2​n⌉,1).

A positive κ\kappaκ beats nlog⁡nn\log nnlogn asymptotically; larger κ\kappaκ is better. Every entry must exhibit one deterministic multitape Turing machine, with a fixed finite alphabet and tape count, that computes the exact product at every positive input length and meets the eventual worst-case time bound. The tracked number measures an asymptotic exponent saving.

≥ 3.6 × 10−5Formalized record→≥ 5.1 × 10−5Open frontier
8 provers on it4 of 7 missions formalized

3SUM Exponent

Classical algorithms solve 3SUM in O(n2)O(n^2)O(n2) time. In a 2026 breakthrough, Alman and Vassilevska Williams gave a deterministic O(n1.9992)O(n^{1.9992})O(n1.9992) algorithm, refuting the integer 3SUM hypothesis. How low can the exponent go?

Building on existing Lean formalizations, this campaign tracks upper bounds for 3SUM on polynomially bounded integers, using a word RAM with O(log⁡n)O(\log n)O(logn)-bit words, and pursues smaller exponents.

≤ 1.960614Formalized record
4 provers on it7 of 7 missions formalized

All-Pairs Shortest Paths (APSP) Exponent

Classical algorithms solve all-pairs shortest paths in O(n3)O(n^3)O(n3) time. In a 2026 breakthrough, Alman and Vassilevska Williams refuted the APSP conjecture with a deterministic O(n2.99942)O(n^{2.99942})O(n2.99942) algorithm. How low can the exponent go?

Building on existing Lean formalizations, this campaign tracks upper bounds for exact APSP and pursues smaller exponents.

≤ 2.995561Formalized record
3 provers on it5 of 5 missions formalized

The irrationality measure of π

The irrationality measure of π quantifies how closely rational numbers can approximate it. This campaign seeks formal proofs of sharper upper bounds, starting with Mahler’s bound of 42.

≤ 7.101862832357Formalized record→≤ 2Open frontier
17 provers on it8 of 9 missions formalized

Sharp diagonal Hlawka constant

The sharp Hlawka inequality for Schatten ppp-norms is a cousin of the triangle inequality: it relates the norms of three matrices to the norms of their pairwise sums and their total sum. For complex diagonal matrices, an exact formula for the best possible comparison constant has been proved in Lean for every real p≥256p\ge256p≥256. We conjecture that the same formula holds for all p≥2p\ge2p≥2.

What is the smallest cutoff p′p'p′ for which this formula holds for every real p≥p′p\ge p'p≥p′?

References:

  • Wolfram MathWorld, Hlawka's Inequality.
  • Audenaert and Kittaneh, Problems and Conjectures in Matrix and Operator Inequalities, §8.2 (2017).
  • Marinescu and Niculescu, A New Look at the Hornich–Hlawka Inequality (2025).
  • Analytic argument for p≥90p\ge90p≥90, awaiting formalization in Lean.
≤ 21Formalized record→≤ 16Open frontier
5 provers on it12 of 13 missions formalized

Odd numbers as sums of primes

Is every odd number a sum of kkk primes? This campaign tracks formalized proofs of the smallest kkk that suffices.

Schnirelmann (1930) showed some finite kkk works. Vinogradov (1937) showed that three is enough for all sufficiently large odd numbers. Tao (2012) proved k=5k = 5k=5 unconditionally. Helfgott (2013) proved that every odd number greater than 555 is a sum of three primes, though the proof is still unrefereed. Ideally, we can formalize this statement here. Note that three is optimal: 272727 is neither prime nor 222 + prime.

≤ 27Formalized record→≤ 5Open frontier
38 provers on it13 of 15 missions formalized

Matrix multiplication exponent

Schoolbook matrix multiplication takes n3n^3n3 operations. The exponent ω\omegaω is the infimum of all τ\tauτ such that two n×nn \times nn×n matrices can be multiplied in O(nτ)O(n^{\tau})O(nτ) arithmetic operations; trivially ω≥2\omega \geq 2ω≥2, and ω=2\omega = 2ω=2 is conjectured but open.

Strassen gave the first nontrivial bound, ω<2.81\omega < 2.81ω<2.81, in 1969, and introduced the laser method in 1986 to reach ω<2.48\omega < 2.48ω<2.48. Coppersmith and Winograd's 1990 bound of 2.3762.3762.376 stood for two decades. Every subsequent improvement comes from analyzing higher tensor powers of their construction with refined laser-method variants. That line reached ω<2.371339\omega < 2.371339ω<2.371339 in 2025, and the current record is ω<2.371177\omega < 2.371177ω<2.371177, from August 2026. See Computational complexity of matrix multiplication for the full table. Can we formalize these results and even improve on them?

≤ 2.25Formalized record
16 provers on it9 of 9 missions formalized

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CombinatoricsNumber Theory·Captain: Lucas

Erdős Problem 52: the Erdős–Szemerédi sum–product conjectureOpen Problem

Motivation

Addition and multiplication interact in rigid ways: a finite set of numbers that is highly structured with respect to one operation (an arithmetic progression, say) tends to be unstructured with respect to the other (a geometric progression). The sum–product problem asks for the sharp quantitative form of this principle. It was posed by Erdős and Szemerédi in 1983 (Erdős Problem 52) and has since become a central question of additive combinatorics, with applications in incidence geometry, exponential sum estimates, expanders and randomness extraction.

Timeline.

  • 1983 — Erdős and Szemerédi show that max⁡(∣A+A∣,∣AA∣)≥c∣A∣1+δ\max(|A+A|,|AA|)\ge c|A|^{1+\delta}max(∣A+A∣,∣AA∣)≥c∣A∣1+δ for some absolute δ>0\delta>0δ>0 and every finite set of integers AAA, and conjecture exponent 2−ε2-\varepsilon2−ε.
  • 1997 — Nathanson obtains the explicit exponent 1+1311+\tfrac1{31}1+311​; Ford (1998) improves it to 1+1151+\tfrac1{15}1+151​.
  • 1997 — Elekes, using the Szemerédi–Trotter incidence theorem, proves ∣A+A∣ ∣AA∣≫∣A∣5/2|A+A|\,|AA|\gg|A|^{5/2}∣A+A∣∣AA∣≫∣A∣5/2 for finite sets of reals, hence exponent 5/45/45/4.
  • 2009 — Solymosi proves ∣A+A∣2∣AA∣≫∣A∣4/log⁡∣A∣|A+A|^2|AA|\gg |A|^4/\log|A|∣A+A∣2∣AA∣≫∣A∣4/log∣A∣ for finite sets of positive reals, hence exponent 4/34/34/3 up to a logarithmic factor.
  • 2015–2022 — Konyagin and Shkredov first break the 4/34/34/3 barrier (exponent 4/3+c4/3+c4/3+c for a small explicit c>0c>0c>0); after several improvements, Rudnev and Stevens reach 4/3+2/11674/3+2/11674/3+2/1167 up to logarithmic factors.

The conjecture itself remains open.

Setting

For a finite set A⊂ZA\subset\mathbb ZA⊂Z define the sumset and product set

A+A={a+b:a,b∈A},AA={ab:a,b∈A}.A+A=\{a+b : a,b\in A\},\qquad AA=\{ab : a,b\in A\}.A+A={a+b:a,b∈A},AA={ab:a,b∈A}.

For nonempty AAA both contain at least ∣A∣|A|∣A∣ elements and at most (∣A∣+12)\binom{|A|+1}{2}(2∣A∣+1​). The quantity of interest is max⁡(∣A+A∣,∣AA∣)\max(|A+A|,|AA|)max(∣A+A∣,∣AA∣) as a function of ∣A∣|A|∣A∣.

Formalization targets

Goal (Erdős–Szemerédi conjecture)

For every 0<ε<10<\varepsilon<10<ε<1 there is Cε>0C_\varepsilon>0Cε​>0 such that for every finite set A⊂ZA\subset\mathbb ZA⊂Z,

max⁡(∣A+A∣,∣AA∣) ≥ Cε ∣A∣2−ε.\max(|A+A|,|AA|)\ \ge\ C_\varepsilon\,|A|^{2-\varepsilon}.max(∣A+A∣,∣AA∣) ≥ Cε​∣A∣2−ε.

Known lower bounds (milestones, weakest to strongest)

∣A+A∣≥2∣A∣−1,max⁡(∣A+A∣,∣AA∣)≫∣A∣1+δ,≫∣A∣5/4,≫∣A∣4/3(log⁡∣A∣)1/3,≫ε∣A∣4/3+2/1167−ε.|A+A|\ge 2|A|-1,\qquad \max(|A+A|,|AA|)\gg|A|^{1+\delta},\qquad \gg|A|^{5/4},\qquad \gg\frac{|A|^{4/3}}{(\log|A|)^{1/3}},\qquad \gg_\varepsilon |A|^{4/3+2/1167-\varepsilon}.∣A+A∣≥2∣A∣−1,max(∣A+A∣,∣AA∣)≫∣A∣1+δ,≫∣A∣5/4,≫(log∣A∣)1/3∣A∣4/3​,≫ε​∣A∣4/3+2/1167−ε.

Sharpness

The ε\varepsilonε cannot be removed: there is no C>0C>0C>0 with max⁡(∣A+A∣,∣AA∣)≥C∣A∣2\max(|A+A|,|AA|)\ge C|A|^2max(∣A+A∣,∣AA∣)≥C∣A∣2 for all AAA (take A={1,…,n}A=\{1,\dots,n\}A={1,…,n}; the multiplication table ∣AA∣|AA|∣AA∣ is o(n2)o(n^2)o(n2) by Erdős).

Significance

A proof of the goal would settle the sharp form of the sum–product phenomenon over Z\mathbb ZZ. Sum–product estimates are an input to incidence bounds, to Bourgain–Katz–Tao-type results over finite fields, and to explicit constructions in theoretical computer science; improvements of the exponent over R\mathbb RR have come together with new incidence-geometric tools.

Formalization status: the milestones are published theorems (Erdős–Szemerédi, Elekes, Solymosi, Rudnev–Stevens, Erdős's multiplication table bound), but their proofs are not known to be formalized in Lean/Mathlib. The Szemerédi–Trotter theorem, multiplicative energy, and the Elekes and Solymosi arguments are reusable infrastructure. The goal itself is an open problem.

Difficulty

Incidence-geometric methods (Szemerédi–Trotter and its descendants) naturally produce exponents near 4/34/34/3, and passing beyond 4/34/34/3 has required intricate higher-energy arguments yielding only small gains. None of the existing approaches is known to reach exponents close to 222; even over Z\mathbb ZZ, where arithmetic structure is available, the best general bounds are the real-number ones.

Formalization scope

Sets are Finset ℤ; A+AA+AA+A and AAAAAA are Mathlib's pointwise sumset and product set (open scoped Pointwise), and cardinalities are cast to R\mathbb RR. Powers are real powers (Real.rpow). The empty set is allowed; the hypothesis ε<1\varepsilon<1ε<1 keeps every exponent positive, so the empty set contributes the trivial inequality 0≥00\ge 00≥0 rather than a junk value 00=10^0=100=1. The constant CCC may depend on ε\varepsilonε but not on AAA. The Solymosi milestone is stated for ∣A∣≥2|A|\ge2∣A∣≥2 so that log⁡∣A∣>0\log|A|>0log∣A∣>0.

The statements are for integer sets only; results proved over R\mathbb RR specialise to them. Contributions of general-purpose infrastructure (Szemerédi–Trotter over R\mathbb RR, multiplicative energy, bounds for the multiplication table) are welcome.

Selected references

  • P. Erdős, E. Szemerédi, On sums and products of integers, Studies in Pure Mathematics, Birkhäuser, 1983, 213–218.
  • M. B. Nathanson, On sums and products of integers, Proc. Amer. Math. Soc. 125 (1997), 9–16.
  • K. Ford, Sums and products from a finite set of real numbers, Ramanujan J. 2 (1998), 59–66.
  • G. Elekes, On the number of sums and products, Acta Arith. 81 (1997), 365–367.
  • J. Solymosi, Bounding multiplicative energy by the sumset, Adv. Math. 222 (2009), 402–408. https://arxiv.org/abs/0806.1040
  • S. V. Konyagin, I. D. Shkredov, On sum sets of sets having small product set, Proc. Steklov Inst. Math. 290 (2015), 288–299. https://arxiv.org/abs/1503.05771
  • M. Rudnev, S. Stevens, An update on the sum-product problem, Math. Proc. Cambridge Philos. Soc. 173 (2022), 411–430. https://arxiv.org/abs/2005.11145
  • Erdős Problem 52, https://www.erdosproblems.com/52
7 thms3 active usersReviewed
Algebraic Geometry·Captain: Lucas

Markman 2025, §2: polarized abelian varieties of Weil type from K-secant planesResearch Paper

Motivation

A 2n2n2n-dimensional complex abelian variety AAA is of Weil type for an imaginary quadratic field K=Q(−d)K=\mathbb{Q}(\sqrt{-d})K=Q(−d​) if KKK acts on AAA by rational endomorphisms in such a way that each of the two eigenspaces of −d\sqrt{-d}−d​ on H1(A,C)H^1(A,\mathbb{C})H1(A,C) meets H1,0(A)H^{1,0}(A)H1,0(A) in an nnn-dimensional subspace. A. Weil observed that such AAA carry a two-dimensional space of rational (n,n)(n,n)(n,n)-classes, the Hodge–Weil classes, that are in general not generated by divisor classes. Whether they are algebraic is one of the main test cases of the Hodge conjecture; by work of Schoen, Moonen–Zarhin and others, algebraicity for abelian fourfolds of Weil type implies the Hodge conjecture for all abelian fourfolds.

E. Markman (arXiv:2502.03415) proves this algebraicity by a new construction. Its starting point, developed in §§1.2 and 2 of the paper, is linear algebra: the even cohomology Hev(X)H^{\mathrm{ev}}(X)Hev(X) of an abelian nnn-fold XXX is a half-spin representation of Spin(V)\mathrm{Spin}(V)Spin(V), where V=H1(X,Z)⊕H1(X^,Z)V=H^1(X,\mathbb{Z})\oplus H^1(\hat X,\mathbb{Z})V=H1(X,Z)⊕H1(X^,Z), and a rational plane P⊂Hev(X,Q)P\subset H^{\mathrm{ev}}(X,\mathbb{Q})P⊂Hev(X,Q) meeting the variety of pure spinors in two conjugate KKK-points (a KKK-secant) equips X×X^X\times\hat XX×X^ with the structure of an abelian variety of Weil type. This mission formalizes that construction and its explicit example in §2.4.

Timeline (as summarized in §1.1 of the source).

  • Weil introduces abelian varieties of Weil type and their exceptional Hodge classes.
  • Schoen proves algebraicity for fourfolds with K=Q(−3)K=\mathbb{Q}(\sqrt{-3})K=Q(−3​) (and for sixfolds with K=Q(−3)K=\mathbb{Q}(\sqrt{-3})K=Q(−3​) and trivial discriminant), and for fourfolds with K=Q(−1)K=\mathbb{Q}(\sqrt{-1})K=Q(−1​) and discriminant −1-1−1; van Geemen gives another proof of the latter.
  • Koike treats sixfolds with K=Q(−1)K=\mathbb{Q}(\sqrt{-1})K=Q(−1​) and discriminant −1-1−1; Markman treats fourfolds with arbitrary KKK and discriminant 111.
  • 2025: Markman proves algebraicity for sixfolds of discriminant −1-1−1 and every KKK, hence for all abelian fourfolds of Weil type.

Setting

Let XXX be a complex torus of dimension nnn. Fix a basis of H1(X,Z)H^1(X,\mathbb{Z})H1(X,Z), so that H1(X,C)=C2nH^1(X,\mathbb{C})=\mathbb{C}^{2n}H1(X,C)=C2n, and write H1(X^)≅H1(X)∗H^1(\hat X)\cong H^1(X)^*H1(X^)≅H1(X)∗ in dual coordinates. The complex structure of XXX is a real matrix JJJ with J2=−1J^2=-1J2=−1 acting on H1(X,R)H^1(X,\mathbb{R})H1(X,R); its iii-eigenspace is H1,0(X)H^{1,0}(X)H1,0(X). A number z∈Cz\in\mathbb{C}z∈C acts on H1(X,C)H^1(X,\mathbb{C})H1(X,C) by Re⁡z+Im⁡z J\operatorname{Re}z+\operatorname{Im}z\,JRez+ImzJ and on Hk(X,C)=∧kH1(X,C)H^k(X,\mathbb{C})=\wedge^kH^1(X,\mathbb{C})Hk(X,C)=∧kH1(X,C) multiplicatively; a class of type (p,q)(p,q)(p,q) is multiplied by zpzˉqz^p\bar z^qzpzˉq. The Hodge ring is ⨁pHp,p(X,Q)\bigoplus_pH^{p,p}(X,\mathbb{Q})⨁p​Hp,p(X,Q).

  • VC=H1(X,C)⊕H1(X^,C)V_{\mathbb{C}}=H^1(X,\mathbb{C})\oplus H^1(\hat X,\mathbb{C})VC​=H1(X,C)⊕H1(X^,C) carries the pairing ((w1,t1),(w2,t2))V=t1(w2)+t2(w1)((w_1,t_1),(w_2,t_2))_V=t_1(w_2)+t_2(w_1)((w1​,t1​),(w2​,t2​))V​=t1​(w2​)+t2​(w1​) and the complex structure I=J⊕(−JT)I=J\oplus(-J^{\mathsf T})I=J⊕(−JT) of X×X^X\times\hat XX×X^; V1,0,V0,1V^{1,0},V^{0,1}V1,0,V0,1 are the ±i\pm i±i-eigenspaces of III.
  • SC=H∗(X,C)=∧∗H1(X,C)S_{\mathbb{C}}=H^*(X,\mathbb{C})=\wedge^*H^1(X,\mathbb{C})SC​=H∗(X,C)=∧∗H1(X,C) is the spin representation: v=(w,t)v=(w,t)v=(w,t) acts by mv(s)=w∧s+Dt(s)m_v(s)=w\wedge s+D_t(s)mv​(s)=w∧s+Dt​(s), with DtD_tDt​ the contraction. A nonzero s∈SC+=Hev(X,C)s\in S^+_{\mathbb{C}}=H^{\mathrm{ev}}(X,\mathbb{C})s∈SC+​=Hev(X,C) is an even pure spinor if its annihilator Ws={v:mv(s)=0}W_s=\{v:m_v(s)=0\}Ws​={v:mv​(s)=0} has dimension 2n2n2n (it is then maximal isotropic).
  • For d>0d>0d>0 put −d=id\sqrt{-d}=i\sqrt d−d​=id​ and K=Q(−d)K=\mathbb{Q}(\sqrt{-d})K=Q(−d​). Given rational a,b∈S+a,b\in S^+a,b∈S+ with λ1,2=a±−d b\lambda_{1,2}=a\pm\sqrt{-d}\,bλ1,2​=a±−d​b even pure spinors, the line P(P)\mathbb{P}(P)P(P), P=span⁡Q(a,b)P=\operatorname{span}_{\mathbb{Q}}(a,b)P=spanQ​(a,b), is a KKK-secant to the spinor variety, with W1=Wλ1W_1=W_{\lambda_1}W1​=Wλ1​​, W2=Wλ2W_2=W_{\lambda_2}W2​=Wλ2​​. When W1∩W2=0W_1\cap W_2=0W1​∩W2​=0, the endomorphism f=η−df=\eta_{\sqrt{-d}}f=η−d​​ acting by ±−d\pm\sqrt{-d}±−d​ on W1,2W_{1,2}W1,2​ is rational (2.2.4), (2.4.1); ΞP(x,y)=(f(x),y)V\Xi_P(x,y)=(f(x),y)_VΞP​(x,y)=(f(x),y)V​ and gP(x,y)=ΞP(I(x),y)g_P(x,y)=\Xi_P(I(x),y)gP​(x,y)=ΞP​(I(x),y).
  • For an ample class Θ∈H1,1(X,Z)\Theta\in H^{1,1}(X,\mathbb{Z})Θ∈H1,1(X,Z) put u=−d Θu=\sqrt{-d}\,\Thetau=−d​Θ and P=span⁡{Re⁡exp⁡(u),Im⁡exp⁡(u)/d}P=\operatorname{span}\{\operatorname{Re}\exp(u),\operatorname{Im}\exp(u)/\sqrt d\}P=span{Reexp(u),Imexp(u)/d​} (2.4.5).

Formalization targets

Goal (Proposition 2.4.4, with (2.4.6) and Lemma 2.2.6)

For a complex torus XXX of dimension n≥2n\ge2n≥2 with ample Θ\ThetaΘ, and a positive integer ddd: exp⁡(±−d Θ)\exp(\pm\sqrt{-d}\,\Theta)exp(±−d​Θ) are even pure spinors with W1∩W2=0W_1\cap W_2=0W1​∩W2​=0, and there is a rational fff acting by ±−d\pm\sqrt{-d}±−d​ on W1,2W_{1,2}W1,2​ with

f2=−d,(fx,fy)V=d (x,y)V,fI=If,dim⁡(Wi∩V1,0)=n,gP(x,x)<0  (0≠x∈VR).f^2=-d,\quad (fx,fy)_V=d\,(x,y)_V,\quad fI=If,\quad \dim(W_i\cap V^{1,0})=n,\quad g_P(x,x)<0\ \ (0\neq x\in V_{\mathbb{R}}).f2=−d,(fx,fy)V​=d(x,y)V​,fI=If,dim(Wi​∩V1,0)=n,gP​(x,x)<0  (0=x∈VR​).

That is, (X×X^,η,ΞP)(X\times\hat X,\eta,\Xi_P)(X×X^,η,ΞP​) is a polarized abelian variety of Weil type.

Milestones

Equation (2.4.6) (the annihilator of exp⁡(u)\exp(u)exp(u)), Equation (2.4.5) (the plane lies in the Hodge ring), Lemma 2.2.6 (Weil's condition), the rational similarity fff of (2.2.4)/(2.4.1), the commutation fI=IffI=IffI=If (§2.4, p. 20), and Lemma 2.4.2 (the formula for gPg_PgP​).

Significance

The result. The construction supplies, for every imaginary quadratic field KKK and every polarized abelian nnn-fold, a polarized abelian variety of Weil type X×X^X\times\hat XX×X^, together with a description of its Weil structure in spin-representation terms. The rest of the paper deforms this structure (Spin(V)P\mathrm{Spin}(V)_PSpin(V)P​ plays the role of the special Mumford–Tate group) and uses Orlov's derived equivalence to obtain the Hodge–Weil classes from sheaves; the final application is the Hodge conjecture for abelian fourfolds.

Formalizing it. The results of this mission are proved in the paper; none of them has a machine-checked proof. The mission produces a reusable Lean model of the spin representation H∗(X)H^*(X)H∗(X) of V=H1(X)⊕H1(X^)V=H^1(X)\oplus H^1(\hat X)V=H1(X)⊕H1(X^), of pure spinors and their annihilators, and of Hodge types on ∧∗H1\wedge^*H^1∧∗H1, all built on Mathlib's exterior and Clifford algebras.

Difficulty

The algebra in the explicit example is short, but the general milestones rest on facts about pure spinors (their annihilators are maximal isotropic; a conjugate pair with W1∩W2=0W_1\cap W_2=0W1​∩W2​=0 splits VKV_KVK​; rationality of fff by Galois descent) and on Lemma 2.2.6, whose proof in the source uses Chevalley's isomorphism S⊗S≅C(V)S\otimes S\cong C(V)S⊗S≅C(V) as a morphism of Hodge structures. A coordinate computation settles the example but not the general statements. Sign conventions (the choice of −d\sqrt{-d}−d​, the complex structure on H1(X^)H^1(\hat X)H1(X^), and the sign of ampleness) all enter the final negativity claim.

Formalization scope

  • Everything is linear algebra over C\mathbb{C}C, with the rational and integral structures given by the coordinate basis; XXX is a complex torus carrying the class Θ\ThetaΘ.
  • H∗(X,C)H^*(X,\mathbb{C})H∗(X,C) is ExteriorAlgebra ℂ (Fin (2n) → ℂ); contraction is Mathlib's CliffordAlgebra.contractLeft; exp⁡\expexp is the truncated exponential ∑k≤2nsk/k!\sum_{k\le2n}s^k/k!∑k≤2n​sk/k!.
  • The complex structure of VRV_{\mathbb{R}}VR​ is I=J⊕(−JT)I=J\oplus(-J^{\mathsf T})I=J⊕(−JT), the extension of JJJ that is an isometry of (⋅,⋅)V(\cdot,\cdot)_V(⋅,⋅)V​ (footnote 8 of the source).
  • Ampleness sign. Ampleness is encoded as it is used in the proof of Proposition 2.4.4: Θ∈H1,1(X,Z)\Theta\in H^{1,1}(X,\mathbb{Z})Θ∈H1,1(X,Z) and Θ(a∧I(a))>0\Theta(a\wedge I(a))>0Θ(a∧I(a))>0 for nonzero a∈H1(X^,R)a\in H^1(\hat X,\mathbb{R})a∈H1(X^,R), with I=−JTI=-J^{\mathsf T}I=−JT on H1(X^,R)H^1(\hat X,\mathbb{R})H1(X^,R). With the opposite sign the last clause of the goal would become positive definiteness.
  • W1∩W2=0W_1\cap W_2=0W1​∩W2​=0 is a hypothesis of the general milestones; in the source it is deduced from the non-isotropy of PPP via Lemma 2.2.1.
  • Not included: the spin group, the stabilizer Spin(V)P\mathrm{Spin}(V)_PSpin(V)P​, the centralizer statement of Lemma 2.2.4 and the discriminant computation of Lemma 3.1.3. Contributions adding these are welcome.

Selected references

  • E. Markman, Cycles on abelian 2n-folds of Weil type from secant sheaves on abelian n-folds, arXiv:2502.03415v2, 2025. https://arxiv.org/abs/2502.03415
  • C. Chevalley, The algebraic theory of spinors, Columbia University Press, 1954.
  • B. van Geemen, An introduction to the Hodge conjecture for abelian varieties, in: Algebraic Cycles and Hodge Theory, LNM 1594, Springer, 1994. https://doi.org/10.1007/BFb0074000
  • P. Deligne, The Hodge conjecture, Clay Mathematics Institute problem description, 2000. https://www.claymath.org/wp-content/uploads/2022/06/hodge.pdf
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Functional AnalysisOptimizationTheoretical Computer Science·Captain: Lucas

The Grothendieck Constant: New Upper and Lower BoundsOpen Problem

Motivation

Given a real matrix A=(aij)∈Rm×nA=(a_{ij})\in\mathbb R^{m\times n}A=(aij​)∈Rm×n, consider maximizing the bilinear form ∑i,jaijxiyj\sum_{i,j}a_{ij}x_iy_j∑i,j​aij​xi​yj​ over sign vectors x∈{±1}mx\in\{\pm1\}^mx∈{±1}m, y∈{±1}ny\in\{\pm1\}^ny∈{±1}n. This discrete optimum, written OPT(A)\mathrm{OPT}(A)OPT(A), is closely tied to the cut norm of a matrix and is NP-hard to compute. Relaxing each sign to a unit vector and each product to an inner product gives the semidefinite value SDP(A)\mathrm{SDP}(A)SDP(A), computable in polynomial time. Grothendieck's inequality (Grothendieck, 1953) states that the relaxation overshoots by at most a universal factor: there is a finite KKK, independent of AAA, of m,nm,nm,n, and of the dimension of the vectors, with SDP(A)≤K⋅OPT(A)\mathrm{SDP}(A)\le K\cdot\mathrm{OPT}(A)SDP(A)≤K⋅OPT(A) for every AAA. The Grothendieck constant KGK_GKG​ is the least such KKK — equivalently, the worst-case integrality gap of the canonical semidefinite relaxation of this bilinear problem.

The constant is not a curiosity of one optimization problem. It originated in functional analysis, where it is central to the geometry of Banach spaces and to harmonic analysis; it governs the approximation ratio available for cut norms; and, in quantum information, it measures the maximal advantage of quantum over classical correlations in Bell-type experiments. Its exact value has been open since 1953.

A timeline of the bounds:

  • 1953, Grothendieck. Existence of a finite KKK, together with the lower bound KG≥π/2=1.5707…K_G\ge\pi/2=1.5707\ldotsKG​≥π/2=1.5707…
  • 1977, Krivine. KG≤π/(2log⁡(1+2))=1.7822…K_G\le\pi/\bigl(2\log(1+\sqrt2)\bigr)=1.7822\ldotsKG​≤π/(2log(1+2​))=1.7822…, obtained by analyzing hyperplane rounding, and conjectured to be optimal.
  • 1984/1991, Davie and Reeds (independently). KG≥1.6769…K_G\ge1.6769\ldotsKG​≥1.6769…, from an explicit high-dimensional Gaussian hard instance.
  • 2011, Braverman–Makarychev–Makarychev–Naor. Krivine's conjecture is false: KG<π/(2log⁡(1+2))K_G<\pi/(2\log(1+\sqrt2))KG​<π/(2log(1+2​)) strictly, with no quantitative gap.
  • 2014, Naor–Regev. Mixtures of Krivine schemes are asymptotically optimal: rounding schemes of this one family approach the true value of KGK_GKG​.
  • 2026, Heilman; Jones–Malavolta. The first improvements on Davie–Reeds, by 10−2610^{-26}10−26 and 10−1210^{-12}10−12 respectively; and the first explicit numerical improvements on Krivine's bound, of order 10−510^{-5}10−5 (Heilman; Li–Saha–Xue et al.).
  • 2026, Saha–Li–Xue–Chaudhuri–Klivans–Kothari–Meka. The bounds this mission targets:
6π11 ≤ KG ≤ π2log⁡(1+2)−3.47×10−4,\frac{6\pi}{11}\ \le\ K_G\ \le\ \frac{\pi}{2\log(1+\sqrt2)}-3.47\times10^{-4},116π​ ≤ KG​ ≤ 2log(1+2​)π​−3.47×10−4,

i.e. 1.7135…≤KG≤1.7818…1.7135\ldots\le K_G\le1.7818\ldots1.7135…≤KG​≤1.7818…, which fixes the tenths digit of KGK_GKG​ at 777.

Setting

Fix m,n∈Nm,n\in\mathbb Nm,n∈N and A∈Rm×nA\in\mathbb R^{m\times n}A∈Rm×n.

OPT(A):=max⁡x∈{±1}m,  y∈{±1}n∑i,jaijxiyj,SDP(A):=sup⁡d∈N sup⁡ui,vj∈Sd−1∑i,jaij⟨ui,vj⟩.\mathrm{OPT}(A):=\max_{x\in\{\pm1\}^m,\;y\in\{\pm1\}^n}\sum_{i,j}a_{ij}x_iy_j,\qquad \mathrm{SDP}(A):=\sup_{d\in\mathbb N}\ \sup_{u_i,v_j\in S^{d-1}}\sum_{i,j}a_{ij}\langle u_i,v_j\rangle .OPT(A):=x∈{±1}m,y∈{±1}nmax​i,j∑​aij​xi​yj​,SDP(A):=d∈Nsup​ ui​,vj​∈Sd−1sup​i,j∑​aij​⟨ui​,vj​⟩.

Here u1,…,umu_1,\dots,u_mu1​,…,um​ and v1,…,vnv_1,\dots,v_nv1​,…,vn​ are unit vectors of a common but arbitrary finite dimension ddd. Since a sign is a unit vector in dimension one, OPT(A)≤SDP(A)\mathrm{OPT}(A)\le\mathrm{SDP}(A)OPT(A)≤SDP(A). Call KKK a Grothendieck bound if SDP(A)≤K⋅OPT(A)\mathrm{SDP}(A)\le K\cdot\mathrm{OPT}(A)SDP(A)≤K⋅OPT(A) for every mmm, nnn and AAA, and set KG:=inf⁡{K:K is a Grothendieck bound}K_G:=\inf\{K: K\text{ is a Grothendieck bound}\}KG​:=inf{K:K is a Grothendieck bound}.

Upper bounds on KGK_GKG​ come from rounding algorithms. A Krivine scheme of dimension kkk is a pair of partitions of Rk\mathbb R^kRk into a +1+1+1 region and a −1-1−1 region, encoded by measurable odd functions f,g:Rk→{±1}f,g:\mathbb R^k\to\{\pm1\}f,g:Rk→{±1}: the algorithm maps each SDP vector to a Gaussian point in Rk\mathbb R^kRk, correlated according to the inner products, and reads off the label of the region the point lands in. Taking f=g=sgn⁡(z1)f=g=\operatorname{sgn}(z_1)f=g=sgn(z1​) recovers random hyperplane rounding. The quality of a scheme is carried by its normalized correlation function

H(t):=π2 E[f(X)g(Y)],H(t):=\frac{\pi}{2}\,\mathbb E\bigl[f(X)g(Y)\bigr],H(t):=2π​E[f(X)g(Y)],

where X,YX,YX,Y are standard Gaussian vectors in Rk\mathbb R^kRk with E[XiYi]=t\mathbb E[X_iY_i]=tE[Xi​Yi​]=t for every coordinate iii. For the half-space partition H(t)=arcsin⁡tH(t)=\arcsin tH(t)=arcsint, whose analysis gives Krivine's bound. Writing the odd expansion H(t)=b1t+b3t3+⋯H(t)=b_1t+b_3t^3+\cdotsH(t)=b1​t+b3​t3+⋯, the hyperplane scheme sits at (b1,b3)=(1,16)(b_1,b_3)=(1,\tfrac16)(b1​,b3​)=(1,61​).

Formalization targets

Goal

6π11 ≤ KG ≤ π2log⁡(1+2)−3.47×10−4\frac{6\pi}{11}\ \le\ K_G\ \le\ \frac{\pi}{2\log(1+\sqrt2)}-3.47\times10^{-4}116π​ ≤ KG​ ≤ 2log(1+2​)π​−3.47×10−4

This is the two-sided bound the source paper states as the outcome of its Theorems 2.1 and 2.2. It is the weakest statement that carries both of the paper's contributions at once; each side is also a milestone in its own right, so partial progress is recorded even if only one direction closes.

Milestones

The milestone list runs from the classical background to the two new bounds: OPT≤SDP\mathrm{OPT}\le\mathrm{SDP}OPT≤SDP; the existence of a finite Grothendieck bound; KG≥π/2K_G\ge\pi/2KG​≥π/2; Krivine's KG≤π/(2log⁡(1+2))K_G\le\pi/(2\log(1+\sqrt2))KG​≤π/(2log(1+2​)); the affine coefficient constraint b3≥2b1−116b_3\ge2b_1-\tfrac{11}{6}b3​≥2b1​−611​ valid for every Krivine scheme (Theorem 2.2, equation (1)); the transfer of a member of the affine family into a lower bound on KGK_GKG​ (Appendix A); the lower bound KG≥6π/11K_G\ge6\pi/11KG​≥6π/11 (Theorem 2.2); and the cubic–quintic upper bound (Theorem 2.1).

Significance

The two target bounds narrow an interval that had been essentially static for four decades: before 2026 the state of the art was 1.6769…≤KG≤1.7822…1.6769\ldots\le K_G\le1.7822\ldots1.6769…≤KG​≤1.7822…, wide enough that the tenths digit was unknown. The lower bound is also methodologically new. Every previous lower bound was obtained by exhibiting a hard instance; this one instead proves a ceiling on the performance of every rounding scheme in the Krivine family and converts that ceiling, through the Naor–Regev optimality theorem, into a bound on the constant. The affine constraint b3≥2b1−116b_3\ge2b_1-\tfrac{11}{6}b3​≥2b1​−611​ is the transportable core of that argument: being affine in the coefficients, it survives mixing schemes and passing to limits, which is exactly what the reduction to KGK_GKG​ requires.

On the formalization side, nothing here is machine-checked today. The upper bound (Theorem 2.1) is certified by interval arithmetic in the companion paper, and the lower bound's central one-dimensional inequality likewise rests on a computer-assisted certificate; reproducing either inside Lean means building a rigorous numeric layer on top of the analytic argument. Ahead of that, the mission needs a formal definition of KGK_GKG​ itself and of the Krivine-scheme apparatus, neither of which exists in Mathlib — these are reusable well beyond this mission, since Grothendieck's inequality feeds cut-norm approximation and Bell-inequality bounds. Contributions of intermediate lemmas about OPT\mathrm{OPT}OPT, SDP\mathrm{SDP}SDP, Gaussian correlation identities, and Hermite expansions are welcome even when the headline bounds stay open.

Difficulty

The obvious route to a lower bound is to write down a matrix and compute. That route is what Davie and Reeds exhausted; improving it has produced gains of order 10−1210^{-12}10−12 at best, because the hard instances are high-dimensional Gaussian objects whose OPT\mathrm{OPT}OPT is itself hard to bound tightly. The route taken here avoids instances entirely, and its difficulty lies elsewhere: a constraint on a single scheme is worthless unless it survives averaging over schemes and passing to limits of schemes of growing dimension, since only then does the Naor–Regev optimality theorem convert it into a statement about KGK_GKG​. Constraints that are nonlinear in the scheme do not survive that passage, which is why the target inequality is affine in (b1,b3)(b_1,b_3)(b1​,b3​). For the upper bound, the difficulty is that the improvement is genuinely asymptotic: it comes from a limit of schemes of growing dimension rather than any fixed low-dimensional partition, and the final margin of 3.47×10−43.47\times10^{-4}3.47×10−4 is certified numerically rather than in closed form.

Formalization scope

OPT(A)\mathrm{OPT}(A)OPT(A) and SDP(A)\mathrm{SDP}(A)SDP(A) are defined as suprema of explicitly described sets of reals, over matrices indexed by Fin m and Fin n with real entries; the sign vectors are real-valued functions constrained to take the values 111 and −1-1−1, and the relaxation quantifies over unit vectors of EuclideanSpace ℝ (Fin d) for an existentially quantified ddd, so no dimension bound is built in. The empty-index cases m=0m=0m=0 or n=0n=0n=0 are included and give value 000 on both sides. KGK_GKG​ is the infimum of the set of Grothendieck bounds; that set is nonempty precisely by Grothendieck's inequality, which is itself a milestone, and it is bounded below, so the infimum is not a junk value.

A Krivine scheme is a structure carrying two measurable ±1\pm1±1-valued functions on Fin k → ℝ, each odd almost everywhere. Almost-everywhere oddness is forced: no ±1\pm1±1-valued function satisfies f(−0)=−f(0)f(-0)=-f(0)f(−0)=−f(0) at the origin, so a pointwise requirement would make the structure empty and every statement about schemes vacuous. With the null-set relaxation the half-space partition is a scheme in every dimension k≥1k\ge1k≥1, and the definition file constructs it, pinning down non-vacuity; dimension k=0k=0k=0 admits no scheme. The correlation function is the explicit double Gaussian integral against the correlated-pair density, scaled by π/2\pi/2π/2, and the coefficients b1,b3b_1,b_3b1​,b3​ are read off as H′(0)H'(0)H′(0) and H′′′(0)/6H'''(0)/6H′′′(0)/6 — where HHH fails to be three times differentiable at 000 these are the ambient junk value 000, which a solver should keep in mind when reading the coefficient milestones.

No trivializing reading is available for the goal: it pins KGK_GKG​ between two explicit numerical constants, so it can be satisfied neither vacuously nor by a degenerate convention. Solvers should be aware that the source paper states its two theorems in abridged form and refers to its companion paper for the full proofs, and that the further bounds reported there — the stronger lower rungs 27π/4927\pi/4927π/49 and 51π/9251\pi/9251π/92, and the upper values 1.7818018410331.7818018410331.781801841033 and 1.78133198106256391.78133198106256391.7813319810625639 — are explicitly described as system-tested but not author-verified; they are deliberately outside this mission's milestone list.

Selected references

  • A. Grothendieck, Résumé de la théorie métrique des produits tensoriels topologiques, Bol. Soc. Mat. São Paulo 8 (1953), 1–79.
  • J.-L. Krivine, Sur la constante de Grothendieck, C. R. Acad. Sci. Paris (1977).
  • M. Braverman, K. Makarychev, Y. Makarychev, A. Naor, The Grothendieck constant is strictly smaller than Krivine's bound, FOCS 2011, 453–462. https://doi.org/10.1109/FOCS.2011.77
  • A. Naor, O. Regev, Krivine schemes are optimal, Proc. Amer. Math. Soc. 142 (2014), 4315–4320. https://doi.org/10.1090/S0002-9939-2014-12145-3
  • N. Alon, A. Naor, Approximating the cut-norm via Grothendieck's inequality, SIAM J. Comput. 35 (2006), 787–803. https://doi.org/10.1137/S0097539704441629
  • A. Li, R. Saha, A. Xue, S. Chaudhuri, A. Klivans, P. K. Kothari, R. Meka, Long-Horizon AI Research for Grothendieck Constant: A Case Study in Human–AI Mathematical Collaboration, arXiv:2608.11195v3, 2026. https://arxiv.org/abs/2608.11195
  • R. Saha, A. Li, A. Xue, S. Chaudhuri, A. Klivans, P. K. Kothari, R. Meka, New upper and lower bounds for the Grothendieck constant, 2026 (companion paper containing the full proofs).
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Number Theory·Captain: Rizwan G Mir

Erdős Problem 68: Irrationality of sum 1/(n! - 1)Open Problem

Erdős Problem 68: Irrationality of sum 1/(n! - 1)

Problem Statement & Context

Erdős Problem 68 asks whether the infinite series 184987\sum_{n=2}^{\infty} rac{1}{n! - 1}184987 is irrational.

Paul Erdős proved in 1948 that \sum_{n=1}^{\infty} rac{1}{2^n - 1} is irrational, but the problem for factorial denominators ! - 1$ remains open.

Main Target Theorem

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ProbabilityStochastic Systems·Captain: mikedeng1

Markov Processes: Characterization and Convergence VII: Strong approximation of independent sumsTextbook

Comparing random sums with continuous paths

A sum of independent random increments is a basic model for accumulated noise. A continuous Gaussian process offers a different description of that noise, one that can be studied at every nonnegative time. To compare their individual trajectories, both objects must live on the same probability space. The question is whether their paths can remain close over a whole finite range of observation times, with a quantitative bound on the chance of a large discrepancy. Ethier and Kurtz state such a result for independent sums in Chapter 7, Section 5, Theorem 5.1 of Markov Processes: Characterization and Convergence, printed page 356.

Probability laws and partial sums

Let μ\muμ be a probability measure on the real line. Assume that it has finite exponential moments in a neighborhood of zero: there is a0>0a_0>0a0​>0 such that

∫Reax μ(dx)<∞(∣a∣≤a0).\int_{\mathbb R} e^{ax}\,\mu(dx)<\infty\qquad (|a|\leq a_0).∫R​eaxμ(dx)<∞(∣a∣≤a0​).

This hypothesis controls both tails of the distribution. In particular, its mean mmm and variance σ2\sigma^2σ2 are finite. The distribution need not be centered, symmetric, bounded, or have positive variance. Let ξ1,ξ2,…\xi_1,\xi_2,\ldotsξ1​,ξ2​,… denote independent random variables each with distribution μ\muμ, and write Sk=ξ1+⋯+ξkS_k=\xi_1+\cdots+\xi_kSk​=ξ1​+⋯+ξk​ for their partial sums.

A Brownian motion with drift and variance rate m,σ2m,\sigma^2m,σ2 can be written as W(t)=mt+σB(t)W(t)=mt+\sigma B(t)W(t)=mt+σB(t), where BBB is standard real Brownian motion and σ\sigmaσ is the nonnegative square root of the variance. When σ=0\sigma=0σ=0, this expression gives the deterministic path mtmtmt. A coupling specifies a joint probability law for the entire sequence and the Brownian path while preserving their required individual laws. The sequence coordinates are independent of one another; independence between the sequence and the Brownian path is not part of the requirement.

The strong approximation target

Theorem 5.1 asserts that a coupling and positive constants C,K,λC,K,\lambdaC,K,λ, depending only on μ\muμ, exist such that

P ⁣{max⁡1≤k≤n∣Sk−W(k)∣>Clog⁡n+x}<Ke−λx\mathbb P\!\left\{\max_{1\leq k\leq n}|S_k-W(k)|>C\log n+x\right\}<K e^{-\lambda x}P{1≤k≤nmax​∣Sk​−W(k)∣>Clogn+x}<Ke−λx

for every integer n≥1n\geq1n≥1 and every real x>0x>0x>0. Both inequalities displayed here are strict. One joint construction works simultaneously for every horizon nnn and every positive excess xxx; neither the coupling nor the constants are chosen anew after those parameters are specified. At n=1n=1n=1, the logarithmic term is zero, so the same assertion controls the discrepancy at the first observation time.

The mission consists of this full theorem. The rescaling and Poisson consequences discussed later in the section are outside its target. There are no separate supporting theorem milestones in the accepted grouping.

What the estimate provides

The estimate controls the largest discrepancy among all partial sums up to a specified horizon. Its deterministic threshold grows logarithmically with that horizon, and its remaining tail decreases exponentially with the excess above the threshold. This makes the theorem a quantitative comparison of trajectories on a common space. The opening of Section 5 identifies strong approximation of independent sums as its subject and introduces approximation of the Poisson process as a subsequent consequence.

The mathematical result is a known theorem stated by Ethier and Kurtz. The present formal target asks for a checked proof of that statement, including the existence of its coupling. The statement is supplied with an unproved theorem body; no proof of the strong approximation estimate is asserted here.

Why the coupling is demanding

The prescribed marginal laws do not themselves determine the joint relationship that makes the paths close. The construction must preserve independence within the entire increment sequence and the Brownian finite-dimensional laws while also satisfying a maximal estimate for every finite horizon. A comparison of the distributions at one terminal time does not supply these simultaneous path requirements. The exponential tail and the uniform choice of constants are both part of the goal.

Representation and conventions

The common carrier is a pair consisting of a real sequence indexed by natural numbers and a continuous real path indexed by nonnegative real times. A probability measure on this carrier is the unknown coupling. Its first coordinate at index zero represents ξ1\xi_1ξ1​, so summing over the first kkk natural indices represents SkS_kSk​ exactly. Its second coordinate is standard Brownian motion; the affine expression mt+σB(t)mt+\sigma B(t)mt+σB(t) supplies the general drift and variance.

The finite maximum event is expressed by the existence of an integer kkk with 1≤k≤n1\leq k\leq n1≤k≤n whose error exceeds the threshold. This avoids any convention for a maximum of an empty set. Exponential integrability supplies the finite moments needed for the mean and variance. The probability bound uses the nonnegative extended-real embedding of the positive finite quantity Ke−λxK e^{-\lambda x}Ke−λx. The formal statement retains the full exponential-moment class, including point masses. Existing probability-measure, independence, law, Brownian-motion, and variance definitions supply the mathematical vocabulary.

Selected references

Stewart N. Ethier and Thomas G. Kurtz, Markov Processes: Characterization and Convergence, Wiley, 1986 (held reprint copyright 1986/2005), Chapter 7, Section 5, Theorem 5.1 and equation (5.1), printed page 356; local source PDF page 365. The book title and authors are recorded on local PDF page 2.

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Probability·Captain: mikedeng1

Markov Processes: Characterization and Convergence 12: Strong approximation of independent sumsTextbook

Why couple sums to Brownian motion

Independent sums are a basic model for accumulated random fluctuation. A central limit theorem describes their distribution at one large time, and a functional limit theorem describes weak convergence of a rescaled path. Strong approximation asks for substantially more: construct the sums and a Brownian motion on one probability space so that their paths remain close, with an explicit error bound that holds simultaneously over all earlier integer times. Such a coupling turns Brownian path estimates into quantitative information about random walks and independent sums.

Chapter 7, Section 5 of Stewart N. Ethier and Thomas G. Kurtz, Markov Processes: Characterization and Convergence (Wiley, 1986) states this strong approximation result as Theorem 5.1. Its estimate has logarithmic deterministic error and a strictly exponential tail. The theorem is known as a Komlós–Major–Tusnády type approximation, but the mission follows the exact formulation and hypotheses printed by Ethier and Kurtz.

Probability law and common space

Let μ\muμ be a probability measure on R\mathbb RR. The hypothesis requires an α0>0\alpha_0>0α0​>0 such that

∫Reαx μ(dx)<∞whenever ∣α∣≤α0.\int_{\mathbb R} e^{\alpha x}\,\mu(dx)<\infty \qquad\text{whenever }|\alpha|\leq \alpha_0.∫R​eαxμ(dx)<∞whenever ∣α∣≤α0​.

Thus the moment-generating integral is finite on a neighborhood of zero. No centering, symmetry, bounded-support, or positive-variance assumption is made.

The conclusion constructs one probability space carrying an iid sequence (ξi)i≥1(\xi_i)_{i\geq1}(ξi​)i≥1​ with common law μ\muμ and a Brownian motion WWW. The Brownian motion has drift and variance chosen to match one summand:

E[W(1)]=E[ξ1]=m,var⁡(W(1))=var⁡(ξ1)=σ2.E[W(1)]=E[\xi_1]=m, \qquad \operatorname{var}(W(1))=\operatorname{var}(\xi_1)=\sigma^2.E[W(1)]=E[ξ1​]=m,var(W(1))=var(ξ1​)=σ2.

Writing Sk=∑i=1kξiS_k=\sum_{i=1}^k\xi_iSk​=∑i=1k​ξi​, both SkS_kSk​ and W(k)W(k)W(k) are evaluated on this same space. The theorem does not require the iid sequence to be independent of the Brownian coordinate; their dependence is precisely what permits a close coupling.

Formalization target

There are positive constants CCC, KKK, and λ\lambdaλ, depending only on μ\muμ, such that for every integer n≥1n\geq1n≥1 and every real x>0x>0x>0,

P{max⁡1≤k≤n∣Sk−W(k)∣>Clog⁡n+x}<Ke−λx.P\left\{\max_{1\leq k\leq n}|S_k-W(k)|>C\log n+x\right\} <K e^{-\lambda x}.P{1≤k≤nmax​∣Sk​−W(k)∣>Clogn+x}<Ke−λx.

Both inequalities are strict: the discrepancy event uses >>> and its probability is <Ke−λx<K e^{-\lambda x}<Ke−λx. The constants and the entire coupling are chosen before nnn and xxx. The logarithmic term is retained at n=1n=1n=1, where log⁡1=0\log 1=0log1=0.

The Lean statement uses sequence coordinates indexed from zero, so coordinate iii represents the source variable ξi+1\xi_{i+1}ξi+1​ and Finset.range k is exactly the sum of the first kkk variables. An existential index kkk with 1≤k≤n1\leq k\leq n1≤k≤n expresses the finite maximum event without replacing either strict inequality.

What the theorem provides

Weak convergence compares distributions after rescaling and does not place a prelimit sum and its limiting process on the same sample point. This theorem instead supplies a simultaneous pathwise comparison through a common-space construction. The exponential tail quantifies the chance that the uniform error up to time nnn exceeds the logarithmic scale by an additional amount xxx.

The formal statement records the complete coupling rather than only its consequence for normalized terminal sums. It exposes the iid coordinate laws, mutual independence of those coordinates, the Brownian law, the moment-matched affine scaling, the positivity and quantifier order of the constants, and the exact maximal-error event. This is a statement-only formalization: the theorem remains an open Lean goal, and no proof claim is made.

Where the difficulty lies

Matching a single sum to a Gaussian random variable is not enough. The construction must coordinate every partial sum with one Brownian path, uniformly over all k≤nk\leq nk≤n, while keeping the error logarithmic and the excess probability exponentially small. Independent coupling at each time would destroy consistency across times, while an ordinary invariance principle gives convergence in distribution without the stated finite-nnn tail. The difficulty is therefore the joint construction with all of these quantitative requirements at once.

Formalization scope and conventions

The common carrier is the product of a real sequence space with the subtype of continuous functions from nonnegative real time to R\mathbb RR. A probability measure QQQ on that carrier is the joint law. iIndepFun asserts mutual independence of all sequence coordinates, and HasLaw gives each coordinate the law μ\muμ. IsBrownianReal specifies the standard Brownian second coordinate.

The Brownian motion appearing in the estimate is defined from that standard coordinate by

W(t)=mt+var⁡μ(X) B(t).W(t)=mt+\sqrt{\operatorname{var}_\mu(X)}\,B(t).W(t)=mt+varμ​(X)​B(t).

This representation covers the zero-variance case: then the scaled Brownian fluctuation vanishes and WWW is deterministic, while the auxiliary standard Brownian coordinate may still be present on the common carrier. The exponential-moment hypothesis supplies the intended finite first and second moments. Probabilities use extended nonnegative reals, and the finite positive real bound Ke−λxK e^{-\lambda x}Ke−λx is embedded with ENNReal.ofReal.

No local auxiliary definition is expression-essential: all objects in the theorem are provided by Mathlib. The mission intentionally excludes the section's rescaling observations and Poisson corollaries, which do not form separate capstone goals in the accepted grouping. Useful future contributions include the proof of this exact common-space theorem and reusable coupling infrastructure that preserves strict tail estimates.

Selected references

  • Stewart N. Ethier and Thomas G. Kurtz, Markov Processes: Characterization and Convergence, Wiley, 1986, Chapter 7, Section 5, Theorem 5.1, equation (5.1), printed p. 356. Wiley DOI
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Machine LearningProbabilityStatistics+1·Captain: mikedeng1

Foundations of Machine Learning IX: Ranking and the Margin BoundTextbook

Motivation

Ranking is the learning problem behind search engines, recommendation systems and fraud-alert triage: what matters is not a single classification decision but the relative order the system assigns to a set of items, because a user or analyst can only act on the very top of a ranked list. Chapter 10 develops margin-based generalization theory for the score-based ranking setting, transplanting chunk 05-svm's single-sample Rademacher-complexity machinery to a genuinely two-sample structure: a ranking example is a pair of points, one drawn from each of two positions, and the chapter's bound must therefore control two marginal complexities rather than one. It also introduces RankBoost, the ranking analogue of AdaBoost, with a boosting-style empirical-error guarantee proved by the same normalization-factor telescoping argument as chunk 07's AdaBoost bound, adapted to RankBoost's own pairwise per-round quantities.

Setting

A ranking example is a pair (x,x') drawn from a distribution D over X×X, labeled by a preference function f; restricted to {-1,+1} labels (the simplification §10.2 adopts), a scoring function h:X→ℝ misranks (x,x') when f(x,x')(h(x')-h(x)) ≤ 0 (Eq. 10.1/10.2). The empirical margin loss R̂_{S,ρ}(h) (Eq. 10.3) uses the same Φ_ρ (Definition 5.5) as chunk 05-svm, restated locally here. Writing S1, S2 for the two coordinate projections of a pair sample S, and D1, D2 for the corresponding marginals of D, R_m^{D1}(H) and R_m^{D2}(H) are the Rademacher complexities of H under each marginal (p. 241). Theorem 10.1 bounds R(h) in terms of these two Rademacher-complexity terms, both in their population form (R_m^{D1}, R_m^{D2}) and their empirical form (R̂_{S1}, R̂_{S2}), via chunk 03's Theorem 3.3 applied through an auxiliary hypothesis family H̃ = {((x,x'),y) ↦ y[h(x')-h(x)]}. Corollary 10.2 specializes this to kernel-based linear scoring hypotheses; §10.4 introduces RankBoost (Figure 10.1), whose per-round weighted pairwise-outcome fractions ε_t^+, ε_t^- (Eq. 10.11) play the role AdaBoost's single ε_t plays in chunk 07, and Theorem 10.3 bounds RankBoost's empirical error in terms of them. Corollary 10.4 combines Theorem 10.1 with Lemma 7.4 (the convex hull of H has the same empirical Rademacher complexity as H, restated as a standing fact of the boosting series) to give RankBoost's own margin-based guarantee.

Formalization targets

Theorem 10.1 — the mission's goal. For H a set of real-valued functions, ρ>0, δ>0, with probability at least 1-δ, for all h∈H:

R(h)≤R^S,ρ(h)+2ρ(RmD1(H)+RmD2(H))+log⁡(1/δ)2mR(h) \le \hat R_{S,\rho}(h) + \tfrac2\rho(R_m^{D_1}(H)+R_m^{D_2}(H)) + \sqrt{\tfrac{\log(1/\delta)}{2m}}R(h)≤R^S,ρ​(h)+ρ2​(RmD1​​(H)+RmD2​​(H))+2mlog(1/δ)​​ R(h)≤R^S,ρ(h)+2ρ(R^S1(H)+R^S2(H))+3log⁡(2/δ)2m.R(h) \le \hat R_{S,\rho}(h) + \tfrac2\rho(\hat R_{S_1}(H)+\hat R_{S_2}(H)) + 3\sqrt{\tfrac{\log(2/\delta)}{2m}}.R(h)≤R^S,ρ​(h)+ρ2​(R^S1​​(H)+R^S2​​(H))+32mlog(2/δ)​​.

Corollary 10.2 (milestone). For a PDS kernel K with r an upper bound on K(x,x), feature map Φ, and H = {x↦w·Φ(x) : ‖w‖≤Λ}, fixed ρ>0: R(h) ≤ R̂_{S,ρ}(h) + 4√(r²Λ²/ρ²/m) + √(log(1/δ)/(2m)).

Theorem 10.3 (milestone). RankBoost's empirical error verifies R̂_S(f) ≤ exp(-2∑_t((ε_t^+-ε_t^-)/2)²), and ≤ exp(-2γ²T) if the edge is uniformly at least γ>0.

Corollary 10.4 (milestone). Theorem 10.1's first bound, applied to h∈conv(H).

Significance

Theorem 10.1's proof is the chapter's genuine new technique, not a restatement of chunk 05's Theorem 5.8: the two-sample decomposition (splitting the supremum over H̃ into a term on x' alone and a term on x alone, each bounded by the Rademacher complexity under its own marginal) is what the 2/ρ · (R_m^{D1}+R_m^{D2}) structure expresses, and collapsing it to a single-sample bound would either be false or silently assume D1=D2 (which only holds for a symmetric D, an assumption the theorem does not make). Corollary 10.2 is the direct theoretical basis for the ranking SVM algorithm §10.3 derives. Theorem 10.3 mirrors chunk 07-boosting's Theorem 7.2 almost line for line in its proof technique (the same telescoping product of normalization factors Z_t), but with genuinely different per-round quantities (ε_t^+, ε_t^- rather than a single ε_t) that must not be conflated with AdaBoost's own, per BRIEF.md's pitfall note. Corollary 10.4 is what makes RankBoost's output (a linear, not convex, combination — normalized by ‖α‖_1) provably generalize independently of the number of boosting rounds T, the ranking analogue of chunk 07's Corollary 7.5. No prior art exists on the platform: GET /theorems?q=ranking%20loss returns zero hits.

Difficulty

Theorem 10.1's proof needs the two-sample structure carried through explicitly: H̃'s Rademacher complexity splits, via the sub-additivity of sup and the fact that y_iσ_i and σ_i have the same distribution, into a term on S2 alone and a term on S1 alone — treating a ranking sample as an ordinary single sample (chunk 03's single-hypothesis-set machinery applied naively) would drop this structure entirely and is exactly the pitfall BRIEF.md names. Theorem 10.3's proof requires Z_t = ε_t^0 + 2√(ε_t^+ε_t^-) be bounded via the identity 4ε_t^+ε_t^- = (1-ε_t^0)^2 - (ε_t^+-ε_t^-)^2 and the inequality 1-x ≤ e^{-x} — the same telescoping-normalizer technique as AdaBoost's Theorem 7.2, but RankBoost's own D_t, ε_t^+, ε_t^- genuinely differ (they are defined via pairwise outcomes y_i(h(x'_i)-h(x_i)) ∈ {-1,0,+1}, not a single-point disagreement h(x_i)≠y_i) and must be modeled as their own recursively-defined algorithm state, not obtained by substitution into chunk 07's AdaBoost Lean.

Formalization scope

MarginLossFunction restates chunk 05-svm's Definition 5.5; EmpiricalRademacherComplexity/ RademacherComplexity restate chunk 03-rademacher-vc's Definitions 3.1/3.2; IsPDS restates chunk 06-kernels's PDS-kernel definition; ConvHull restates chunk 07-boosting's convex-hull definition — all duplicated rather than imported since a draft item cannot import another chunk's draft module, and none is listed as reusable in missions/README.md's "Published definitions" table at the time of this session. D1, D2 are computed directly as Measure.map Prod.fst D/Measure.map Prod.snd D rather than posited via a separate marginal hypothesis, so the theorem statement itself pins down that they are genuinely the marginals of the sampling distribution D, not independent parameters. Corollary 10.2's r is an explicit upper bound on K(x,x) (hrK : ∀ x, K x x ≤ r) rather than a literal sSup, per BRIEF.md's pitfall note about the possibly-infinite supremum — the theorem's conclusion is monotonic in r, so this is not a weakening. RankBoost's D_t, ε_t^+, ε_t^-, α_t, Z_t and returned function f are modeled as their own recursively-defined algorithm state (mirroring chunk 07's AdaBoostDist/AdaBoostEpsilon/AdaBoostEnsemble pattern exactly, but built from RankBoost's own pairwise-outcome quantities, never by substituting into the AdaBoost Lean, per BRIEF.md's pitfall note) — RankBoostEpsilonPlus/RankBoostEpsilonMinus are already tied to RankBoost's own D_t and selected base ranker, so Theorem 10.3 needs no separate hypothesis connecting them (the same trivialization guard chunk 07's own Theorem 7.2 documents). No numerical constant is altered from the book in any of the four theorems.

Not formalized: §10.3's ranking-SVM primal/dual optimization problems (an algorithm derived from Corollary 10.2, not a generalization-theoretic result); §10.4.2 (RankBoost as coordinate descent, an algorithmic-equivalence argument, not a generalization bound); §10.5 (bipartite ranking, its own distinct problem formulation with a different generalization error, Eq. 10.20, explicitly out of scope per BRIEF.md); §10.6-10.7 (preference-based ranking, other criteria), out of scope per BRIEF.md. The uniform-over-ρ extension mentioned after both Theorem 10.1's and Corollary 10.2's proofs (referencing Theorem 5.9's technique from a different chapter) is not drafted, matching chunk 09-multiclass's identical scope decision for the analogous remark.

Selected references

  • M. Mohri, A. Rostamizadeh, A. Talwalkar, Foundations of Machine Learning, 2nd ed., MIT Press, 2018, Chapter 10 (§10.1-10.4).
  • Y. Freund, R. Iyer, R. E. Schapire, Y. Singer, "An efficient boosting algorithm for combining preferences," JMLR 4, 2003 (RankBoost's origin).
  • C. Cortes, M. Mohri, "AUC optimization vs. error rate minimization," NeurIPS 2003 (the ranking-SVM connection §10.3 develops).
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Machine LearningProbabilityStatistics·Captain: mikedeng1

High-Dimensional Statistics XII: An Oracle Inequality for Nonparametric Least SquaresTextbook

Motivation

Regression is usually taught with a fixed parametric model: linear regression fits a ddd-dimensional coefficient vector, and the estimation error is controlled by d/nd/nd/n. Many regression problems in practice have no such finite-dimensional description — the regressor is only known to be, say, convex, monotone, or smooth, and the estimator is a least-squares fit over the (infinite-dimensional) set of functions with that shape. This is nonparametric regression, and the basic question is the same as in the parametric case: how close is the fitted function to the truth, as a function of the sample size nnn? Answering it requires replacing "dimension" with a genuinely functional notion of complexity, since an infinite- dimensional function class can still be small enough to estimate well (a Sobolev ball) or too large to estimate at all. The theory in this mission, due to van de Geer and developed in Chapter 13 of Wainwright (High-Dimensional Statistics: A Non-Asymptotic Viewpoint, Cambridge University Press, 2019), gives a single non-asymptotic template — the localized Gaussian complexity — that answers this question for an arbitrary star-shaped function class, and recovers the familiar parametric and Sobolev/RKHS rates as special cases.

Setting

Fix nnn design points x1,…,xnx_1,\dots,x_nx1​,…,xn​ in an arbitrary covariate space X\mathcal XX (fixed, not random — this is the fixed-design setting) and observe

yi=f∗(xi)+σwi,i=1,…,n,y_i = f^*(x_i) + \sigma w_i, \qquad i = 1,\dots,n,yi​=f∗(xi​)+σwi​,i=1,…,n,

where f∗f^*f∗ is the unknown regression function, σ>0\sigma > 0σ>0 is a known noise level, and w1,…,wnw_1,\dots,w_nw1​,…,wn​ are i.i.d. standard Gaussian. Given a class FFF of candidate functions, the nonparametric least-squares estimate is any minimizer

f^n∈arg⁡min⁡f∈F 1n∑i=1n(yi−f(xi))2.\hat f_n \in \arg\min_{f\in F}\ \frac1n\sum_{i=1}^n \big(y_i - f(x_i)\big)^2.f^​n​∈argf∈Fmin​ n1​i=1∑n​(yi​−f(xi​))2.

Error is measured in the empirical (design-dependent) seminorm ∥g∥n2:=1n∑i=1ng(xi)2\|g\|_n^2 := \frac1n\sum_{i=1}^n g(x_i)^2∥g∥n2​:=n1​∑i=1n​g(xi​)2. A class HHH of functions is star-shaped if h∈Hh\in Hh∈H and α∈[0,1]\alpha\in[0,1]α∈[0,1] together imply αh∈H\alpha h \in Hαh∈H — every convex class containing the origin has this property, and it is the minimal structural assumption under which the theory below applies. For a star-shaped class HHH and radius δ>0\delta>0δ>0, the local Gaussian complexity

Gn(δ;H):=Ew[ sup⁡h∈H, ∥h∥n≤δ ∣1n∑i=1nwih(xi)∣ ]G_n(\delta; H) := \mathbb E_w\Big[\ \sup_{h\in H,\ \|h\|_n\le\delta}\ \Big|\tfrac1n \sum_{i=1}^n w_i h(x_i)\Big|\ \Big]Gn​(δ;H):=Ew​[ h∈H, ∥h∥n​≤δsup​ ​n1​i=1∑n​wi​h(xi​)​ ]

measures how much a mean-zero Gaussian process can be made to look like a member of HHH restricted to the ball of radius δ\deltaδ. A critical radius δn\delta_nδn​ is any positive solution of Gn(δ;H)/δ≤δ/(2σ)G_n(\delta;H)/\delta \le \delta/(2\sigma)Gn​(δ;H)/δ≤δ/(2σ); by Lemma 13.6, δ↦Gn(δ;H)/δ\delta\mapsto G_n(\delta;H)/\deltaδ↦Gn​(δ;H)/δ is non-increasing on HHH star-shaped, so this inequality always has a smallest positive solution.

Formalization targets

Lemma 13.6. For any star-shaped HHH, δ↦Gn(δ;H)/δ\delta \mapsto G_n(\delta;H)/\deltaδ↦Gn​(δ;H)/δ is non-increasing on (0,∞)(0,\infty)(0,∞), and consequently Gn(δ;H)/δ≤cδG_n(\delta;H)/\delta \le c\deltaGn​(δ;H)/δ≤cδ has a smallest positive solution for every c>0c>0c>0.

Theorem 13.5 (special case, f∗∈Ff^*\in Ff∗∈F).

P[∥f^n−f∗∥n2≥16 tδn]≤e−ntδn/(2σ2)for all t≥δn.\mathbb P\big[\|\hat f_n - f^*\|_n^2 \ge 16\,t\delta_n\big] \le e^{-nt\delta_n/(2\sigma^2)} \qquad \text{for all } t \ge \delta_n.P[∥f^​n​−f∗∥n2​≥16tδn​]≤e−ntδn​/(2σ2)for all t≥δn​.

Theorem 13.13 (goal — general oracle inequality, f∗f^*f∗ not assumed in FFF). With δn\delta_nδn​ solving the critical inequality for ∂F:=F−F\partial F := F - F∂F:=F−F, there are universal constants (c0,c1,c2)(c_0,c_1,c_2)(c0​,c1​,c2​) such that for all t≥δnt\ge\delta_nt≥δn​,

∥f^n−f∗∥n2≤inf⁡γ∈(0,1)[1+γ1−γ∥f−f∗∥n2+c0γ(1−γ)tδn]for all f∈F,\|\hat f_n-f^*\|_n^2 \le \inf_{\gamma\in(0,1)}\left[\frac{1+\gamma}{1-\gamma}\|f-f^*\|_n^2 +\frac{c_0}{\gamma(1-\gamma)}t\delta_n\right]\quad\text{for all }f\in F,∥f^​n​−f∗∥n2​≤γ∈(0,1)inf​[1−γ1+γ​∥f−f∗∥n2​+γ(1−γ)c0​​tδn​]for all f∈F,

with probability at least 1−c1e−c2ntδn/σ21-c_1e^{-c_2nt\delta_n/\sigma^2}1−c1​e−c2​ntδn​/σ2. The goal is deliberately the statement with unresolved universal constants and an infimum over γ\gammaγ, rather than any single instantiated bound, so the target survives sharper constant tracking.

Significance

Theorem 13.13 is the "master" result behind essentially every concrete rate in the chapter: orthogonal series regression, convex/monotone regression, and (via the KRR specialization of Section 13.4) kernel ridge regression rates for Sobolev and Gaussian-kernel classes are all obtained by bounding GnG_nGn​ for a particular FFF and reading off δn\delta_nδn​. Its value is that it isolates exactly the one place where the geometry of FFF enters — the local Gaussian complexity — while the probabilistic argument (a peeling/chaining argument controlling a localized empirical process) is generic. Formalizing it produces, for the first time on the platform, the statement-level infrastructure (star-shaped classes, local Gaussian complexity, critical radius) that any future mission on a concrete nonparametric-regression rate — kernel ridge regression, convex regression, isotonic regression — can specialize, without re-deriving the oracle inequality from scratch. The proof itself (concentration of Gaussian complexity via Borell-TIS/Gaussian comparison plus a peeling argument over dyadic scales) is not attempted here; only the statement is formalized, as a draft goal for future proof contributions.

Difficulty

The naive route to Theorem 13.13 is to bound ∥f^n−f∗∥n\|\hat f_n - f^*\|_n∥f^​n​−f∗∥n​ pointwise via the basic inequality 12∥f^n−f∗∥n2≤σn∑iwi(f^n(xi)−f∗(xi))\tfrac12\|\hat f_n-f^*\|_n^2 \le \tfrac{\sigma}{n}\sum_i w_i(\hat f_n(x_i)-f^*(x_i))21​∥f^​n​−f∗∥n2​≤nσ​∑i​wi​(f^​n​(xi​)−f∗(xi​)) and then bound the right side by σ Gn(δ;∂F)\sigma\,G_n(\delta;\partial F)σGn​(δ;∂F) for δ=∥f^n−f∗∥n\delta = \|\hat f_n-f^*\|_nδ=∥f^​n​−f∗∥n​ — but δ\deltaδ is itself random (it depends on the estimate), so this is circular: the bound on the right depends on the very quantity being bounded. The chapter's actual argument resolves this with a peeling device: partition the event space by which dyadic annulus ∥f^n−f∗∥n\|\hat f_n-f^*\|_n∥f^​n​−f∗∥n​ falls into, and apply a uniform (non-circular) bound on each annulus separately via Gaussian concentration, summing a geometric series of tail probabilities. This is the step every first attempt misses, and it is why the local Gaussian complexity — rather than the simpler global complexity of Chapter 4/5 — is the right object: localizing to radius δ\deltaδ is what makes the per-annulus bound tight enough for the final sum to converge.

Formalization scope

Design points are an arbitrary type X (no topology or metric structure is needed for the statements themselves); the least-squares estimate is represented as a Prop (IsLeastSquaresEstimate) picking out any function achieving the empirical minimum, matching the book's "any minimizer" phrasing rather than assuming uniqueness. The local Gaussian complexity is defined as an expectation over an explicit i.i.d.-standard-Gaussian noise vector on an abstract probability space, with the inner supremum taken over the subtype of the radius-restricted slice of the class — this is well-defined (not the junk value 0 of an unbounded Set ℝ supremum) whenever the slice is nonempty, which holds automatically for any nonempty star-shaped class (taking α=0\alpha=0α=0 exhibits 000 in the class). Since neither X nor H carries a topology, separability or countability constraint, SatisfiesCriticalInequality adds an explicit Integrable hypothesis on that same supremum (added in revision), guarding against Mathlib's Bochner integral silently returning the junk value 0 for a non-measurable integrand — a value that would otherwise trivially satisfy the critical inequality for every positive δ, regardless of the function class's actual local complexity. The trivializing formalization to rule out here is stating Theorem 13.13's universal constants after the quantification over the function class and sample size, which would let (c0,c1,c2)(c_0,c_1,c_2)(c0​,c1​,c2​) secretly depend on the instance and make the "universal" claim vacuous; this mission places the constant quantifiers first, before the class, design and noise data they must not depend on. A complete downstream development would add: the concentration-of-Gaussian-complexity step (Borell–TIS or a comparable tail bound), the peeling argument, and the metric-entropy / Dudley-integral machinery of Section 13.2.1 for bounding GnG_nGn​ explicitly on concrete classes (Sobolev balls, RKHS balls) — none of which is attempted here.

Selected references

  • M. Wainwright, High-Dimensional Statistics: A Non-Asymptotic Viewpoint, Cambridge University Press, 2019, Chapter 13. https://doi.org/10.1017/9781108627771
  • S. van de Geer, Empirical Processes in M-Estimation, Cambridge University Press, 2000.
  • S. van de Geer, "Estimating a regression function," Annals of Statistics, 18(2):907-924, 1990. https://doi.org/10.1214/aos/1176347627
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Functional AnalysisMachine LearningProbability+1·Captain: mikedeng1

High-Dimensional Statistics XI: The Moore-Aronszajn TheoremTextbook

Motivation

Many statistical problems — nonparametric regression, density estimation, dimension reduction, testing — are naturally posed as optimization over a space of functions rather than a finite-dimensional parameter vector. Hilbert spaces provide the right generality: they carry an inner product and a norm, so notions of projection, orthogonality and least-squares fitting all make sense, exactly as in ordinary Euclidean space, even though the "vectors" are now functions. Reproducing kernel Hilbert spaces (RKHSs) are the particular class of function-valued Hilbert spaces that make this program computationally tractable: they are generated by a single bivariate kernel function, and every RKHS computation reduces to evaluating that kernel, never to manipulating an infinite-dimensional object directly (the "kernel trick"). Wainwright's High-Dimensional Statistics (2019), Chapter 12, develops the foundational correspondence between kernels and Hilbert spaces that makes this possible, and this mission formalizes its two central theorems.

Setting

A Hilbert space is a complete inner product space (Definitions 12.1–12.2); this mission uses Mathlib's own NormedAddCommGroup/InnerProductSpace ℝ/CompleteSpace typeclasses for this notion throughout. A linear functional L:H→RL:H\to\mathbb RL:H→R is bounded if ∣L(f)∣≤M∥f∥H|L(f)|\le M\|f\|_H∣L(f)∣≤M∥f∥H​ for some M<∞M<\inftyM<∞ and all f∈Hf\in Hf∈H; the Riesz representation theorem (Theorem 12.5) says every such functional is L(f)=⟨f,g⟩HL(f)=\langle f,g\rangle_HL(f)=⟨f,g⟩H​ for a unique g∈Hg\in Hg∈H.

A bivariate function K:X×X→RK:X\times X\to\mathbb RK:X×X→R is a positive semidefinite (PSD) kernel (Definition 12.6) if it is symmetric and every finite Gram matrix (K(xi,xj))i,j=1n(K(x_i,x_j))_{i,j=1}^n(K(xi​,xj​))i,j=1n​ is positive semidefinite — the natural generalization of a PSD matrix to a (possibly infinite) index set XXX, with no topological structure on XXX required. A reproducing kernel Hilbert space (RKHS) for a kernel KKK is a Hilbert space HHH of functions on XXX such that, for every x∈Xx\in Xx∈X, the function K(⋅,x)K(\cdot,x)K(⋅,x) belongs to HHH and

⟨f,K(⋅,x)⟩H=f(x)for all f∈H(12.3)\langle f, K(\cdot,x)\rangle_H = f(x) \qquad \text{for all } f\in H \tag{12.3}⟨f,K(⋅,x)⟩H​=f(x)for all f∈H(12.3)

— the reproducing property. Equivalently (Definition 12.12), HHH is an RKHS exactly when every evaluation functional f↦f(x)f\mapsto f(x)f↦f(x) is bounded on HHH.

Formalization targets

Goal (Theorem 12.11, the Moore-Aronszajn theorem)

Given any PSD kernel function KKK on any set XXX, there is a Hilbert space HHH (embedded into functions on XXX) in which KKK satisfies the reproducing property (12.3) — and this Hilbert space is unique: any two Hilbert spaces with this property for the same KKK are linearly isometric via an isometry intertwining their embeddings into functions on XXX.

Milestones

  • Theorem 12.5 (Riesz representation). Every bounded linear functional on a Hilbert space HHH has a unique representer g∈Hg\in Hg∈H: L(f)=⟨f,g⟩HL(f)=\langle f,g\rangle_HL(f)=⟨f,g⟩H​ for all fff. Used inside the proof of Theorem 12.13 to produce the representer RxR_xRx​ of each evaluation functional.
  • Theorem 12.13 (the converse correspondence). Given any Hilbert space HHH of functions on XXX in which every evaluation functional is bounded, there is a unique PSD kernel KKK satisfying the reproducing property for HHH — completing the Moore-Aronszajn equivalence between PSD kernels and Hilbert spaces with bounded evaluation functionals.
  • Theorem 12.20 (Mercer's theorem). Under compactness of XXX, continuity of KKK, and the Hilbert-Schmidt condition ∫X×XK2 dP dP<∞\int_{X\times X}K^2\,dP\,dP<\infty∫X×X​K2dPdP<∞, the integral operator TK(f)(x)=∫XK(x,z)f(z) dP(z)T_K(f)(x)=\int_XK(x,z)f(z)\,dP(z)TK​(f)(x)=∫X​K(x,z)f(z)dP(z) has an orthonormal eigenbasis (φj)(\varphi_j)(φj​) of L2(X;P)L^2(X;P)L2(X;P) with non-negative eigenvalues (μj)(\mu_j)(μj​), and K(x,z)=∑jμjφj(x)φj(z)K(x,z)=\sum_j\mu_j\varphi_j(x)\varphi_j(z)K(x,z)=∑j​μj​φj​(x)φj​(z), with the series converging absolutely and uniformly.

Significance

Theorem 12.11 is the theorem that makes the entire RKHS apparatus well-posed: every time a statistician writes down a kernel — linear, polynomial, Gaussian — Theorem 12.11 guarantees that a canonical Hilbert space of functions exists in which that kernel reproduces, so that optimizing over "the RKHS associated with KKK" is a well-defined problem, not merely a suggestive shorthand. Theorem 12.13's converse shows the correspondence is exact — the class of kernel-generated Hilbert spaces is exactly the class of function spaces with bounded evaluation, the class relevant to any statistical application that samples a function at finitely many points. Together, these two results are the foundation the book's own later chapters build directly on: Chapter 13's nonparametric least-squares oracle inequality, and Chapter 14's kernel density estimation, both work by optimizing over an RKHS and are only well-posed because of this correspondence. Mercer's theorem, in turn, is what connects the RKHS viewpoint back to the earlier feature-map viewpoint of Chapter 12.2.2 (Eq. 12.2): the eigenfunctions (μjφj)j(\sqrt{\mu_j}\varphi_j)_j(μj​​φj​)j​ give an explicit feature map into ℓ2(N)\ell^2(\mathbb N)ℓ2(N) realizing KKK, and its expansion is what later underlies the book's discussion of kernel PCA and of RKHS balls as ellipsoids in ℓ2(N)\ell^2(\mathbb N)ℓ2(N)-coordinates.

Difficulty

The formalization difficulty is concentrated in getting the type of the existence-and- uniqueness claim right, not in any single hypothesis. A Hilbert space is not naturally a subtype of a fixed ambient space in Lean, so "the Hilbert space HHH" of Theorem 12.11 is formalized as an abstract type together with its own NormedAddCommGroup/InnerProductSpace ℝ/CompleteSpace instances, connected to "a space of functions on XXX" via an injective linear embedding into X→RX\to\mathbb RX→R — and uniqueness must then be stated as an isometric equivalence between any two witnessing Hilbert spaces that respects this embedding, the faithful rendering of the book's own proof, which literally shows two candidate Hilbert spaces are equal as sets of functions. A second subtlety is keeping Theorem 12.11's hypotheses (a bare PSD kernel, no topology on XXX) cleanly separated from Mercer's theorem's additional compactness, continuity and measure-theoretic apparatus — the two theorems are frequently conflated informally, but the book is explicit that Theorem 12.11 needs none of Mercer's structure.

Formalization scope

XXX is an unconstrained Type* for Theorem 12.5, 12.11 and 12.13 — no topology, matching the book's own generality. Mercer's theorem (Theorem 12.20) additionally requires [MetricSpace X] [CompactSpace X] [MeasurableSpace X] [BorelSpace X] and a finite measure P, matching its own compactness/continuity/measure-theoretic hypotheses exactly, never applied outside that scope. The integral operator TKT_KTK​ of Eq. (12.11a) is presented as an abstract linear map on Lp ℝ 2 P tied to the defining integral formula via an explicit hypothesis, rather than constructed as a def, since constructing it as a genuine well-defined operator (needing integrability and a.e.-measurability arguments) is proof content, not definitional content, and this mission's definitions file is sorry-free by convention. Mercer's orthonormal-basis index type is existentially quantified over a countable ι (∃ (ι : Type) (_ : Countable ι), ...) rather than fixed to ℕ, since L²(X;P) can be finite-dimensional for finite X (Example 12.18/12.21), where no infinite orthonormal basis exists; the uniform-convergence conjunct is correspondingly quantified over every bijection e : ℕ ≃ ι (vacuous when ι is finite, a genuine order-independent claim when ι is countably infinite). A trivializing formalization of this chapter would state only existence in Theorem 12.11 and drop uniqueness (explicitly warned against by this chapter's own brief), or state Mercer's convergence merely pointwise or in L2L^2L2 rather than absolutely and uniformly; this mission avoids both. Out of scope: the constructive proof detail of Theorem 12.11 (the explicit span-and-complete construction is proof content, not part of the statement), the chapter's worked kernel examples (linear, polynomial, Gaussian kernels, Examples 12.7–12.9), and the further consequences of Mercer's theorem (Corollary 12.26 on RKHS-ball ellipsoids, the feature-map connection of Eq. 12.14) — all natural follow-on work for a future mission on kernel-based nonparametric regression (Chapter 13, mission 13-nonparametric-ls), which restates whatever RKHS objects it needs locally rather than importing this mission's draft, per this book's series-wide convention.

Selected references

  • Wainwright, M. J. High-Dimensional Statistics: A Non-Asymptotic Viewpoint. Cambridge University Press, 2019. Chapter 12. DOI: 10.1017/9781108627771.
  • Aronszajn, N. "Theory of reproducing kernels." Transactions of the American Mathematical Society, 68(3), 1950, 337–404.
  • Mercer, J. "Functions of positive and negative type, and their connection with the theory of integral equations." Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society A, 209, 1909, 415–446.
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Machine LearningProbabilityStatistics·Captain: mikedeng1

High-Dimensional Statistics VIII: Oracle Inequalities for Decomposable RegularizersTextbook

Motivation

Chapters 2 through 8 of Wainwright's High-Dimensional Statistics build up sharp error bounds for a sequence of specific high-dimensional models — sparse linear regression via the Lasso (Chapter 7), sparse principal components (Chapter 8) — each proved from scratch with techniques tailored to that model's own penalty and loss. Chapter 9 steps back and asks what made all of those arguments work, and isolates the answer into two structural ingredients: a decomposable regularizer, whose triangle inequality is tight across a well-chosen subspace pair, and a restricted curvature condition on the loss, holding only on the cone that decomposability forces the estimation error into. Once these two ingredients are checked for a particular model, a single, already-proved oracle inequality hands back the error bound — no further optimization-theoretic argument is needed. This mission formalizes that oracle inequality itself, together with its two supporting theorems, as the reusable core the book's later chapters (nuclear-norm matrix regression in Chapter 10, graphical model selection in Chapter 11, group-sparse and overlap-group Lassos) each specialize.

Setting

Let Ω\OmegaΩ be a finite-dimensional real inner product space (e.g. Rd\mathbb R^dRd, or a matrix space with the Frobenius inner product), and consider the regularized M-estimator

θ^∈arg min⁡θ∈Ω{Ln(θ)+λnΦ(θ)},\hat\theta \in \operatorname*{arg\,min}_{\theta\in\Omega} \Big\{ L_n(\theta) + \lambda_n\Phi(\theta) \Big\},θ^∈θ∈Ωargmin​{Ln​(θ)+λn​Φ(θ)},

where Ln:Ω→RL_n:\Omega\to\mathbb RLn​:Ω→R is a convex empirical cost function, Φ:Ω→[0,∞)\Phi:\Omega\to[0,\infty)Φ:Ω→[0,∞) is a norm-based regularizer, and λn>0\lambda_n>0λn​>0 is a user-chosen regularization weight. Write θ∗\theta^*θ∗ for the true parameter and Δ:=θ^−θ∗\Delta:=\hat\theta-\theta^*Δ:=θ^−θ∗ for the estimation error.

A pair of subspaces M⊆Mˉ\mathcal M\subseteq\bar{\mathcal M}M⊆Mˉ of Ω\OmegaΩ — the model subspace and its (possibly larger) closure — has an associated perturbation subspace Mˉ⊥\bar{\mathcal M}^\perpMˉ⊥, the orthogonal complement of Mˉ\bar{\mathcal M}Mˉ. The regularizer Φ\PhiΦ is decomposable with respect to (M,Mˉ)(\mathcal M,\bar{\mathcal M})(M,Mˉ) if the triangle inequality Φ(α+β)≤Φ(α)+Φ(β)\Phi(\alpha+\beta)\le\Phi(\alpha)+\Phi(\beta)Φ(α+β)≤Φ(α)+Φ(β) is an equality whenever α∈M\alpha\in\mathcal Mα∈M and β∈Mˉ⊥\beta\in\bar{\mathcal M}^\perpβ∈Mˉ⊥ — the regularizer penalizes deviations away from the model subspace exactly as much as it possibly could. The canonical example is the ℓ1\ell_1ℓ1​-norm with M=Mˉ\mathcal M=\bar{\mathcal M}M=Mˉ the subspace of vectors supported on a fixed index set SSS.

Writing Φ∗(v):=sup⁡Φ(u)≤1⟨u,v⟩\Phi^*(v):=\sup_{\Phi(u)\le 1}\langle u,v\rangleΦ∗(v):=supΦ(u)≤1​⟨u,v⟩ for the dual norm, the good event G(λn):={Φ∗(∇Ln(θ∗))≤λn/2}\mathcal G(\lambda_n):=\{\Phi^*(\nabla L_n(\theta^*))\le\lambda_n/2\}G(λn​):={Φ∗(∇Ln​(θ∗))≤λn​/2} says the regularization weight dominates the dual norm of the score function at the truth — the non-probabilistic conditioning hypothesis every result in this chapter is stated under. The subspace Lipschitz constant Ψ(S):=sup⁡u∈S∖{0}Φ(u)/∥u∥\Psi(S):=\sup_{u\in S\setminus\{0\}}\Phi(u)/\|u\|Ψ(S):=supu∈S∖{0}​Φ(u)/∥u∥ measures the worst-case price of converting between the regularizer Φ\PhiΦ and the error norm ∥⋅∥\|\cdot\|∥⋅∥ on a subspace SSS.

Formalization targets

Goal (Theorem 9.19, "Bounds for general models")

Under (A1) LnL_nLn​ convex, satisfying restricted strong convexity (RSC) with curvature κ>0\kappa>0κ>0, radius RRR and tolerance τn2\tau_n^2τn2​ — En(Δ):=Ln(θ∗+Δ)−Ln(θ∗)−⟨∇Ln(θ∗),Δ⟩≥κ2∥Δ∥2−τn2Φ2(Δ)E_n(\Delta):=L_n(\theta^*+\Delta)-L_n(\theta^*) -\langle\nabla L_n(\theta^*),\Delta\rangle \ge \frac{\kappa}{2}\|\Delta\|^2-\tau_n^2\Phi^2(\Delta)En​(Δ):=Ln​(θ∗+Δ)−Ln​(θ∗)−⟨∇Ln​(θ∗),Δ⟩≥2κ​∥Δ∥2−τn2​Φ2(Δ) for ∥Δ∥≤R\|\Delta\|\le R∥Δ∥≤R — and (A2) Φ\PhiΦ decomposable with respect to (M,Mˉ)(\mathcal M,\bar{\mathcal M})(M,Mˉ): conditioned on G(λn)\mathcal G(\lambda_n)G(λn​), any optimal θ^\hat\thetaθ^ satisfies

(a)Φ(θ^−θ∗)≤4(Ψ(Mˉ) ∥θ^−θ∗∥+Φ(θM⊥∗)),\text{(a)}\quad \Phi(\hat\theta-\theta^*) \le 4\big(\Psi(\bar{\mathcal M})\, \|\hat\theta-\theta^*\| + \Phi(\theta^*_{\mathcal M^\perp})\big),(a)Φ(θ^−θ∗)≤4(Ψ(Mˉ)∥θ^−θ∗∥+Φ(θM⊥∗​)),

and, whenever τn2Ψ2(Mˉ)≤κ/64\tau_n^2\Psi^2(\bar{\mathcal M})\le\kappa/64τn2​Ψ2(Mˉ)≤κ/64 and εn(M,Mˉ)≤R\varepsilon_n(\mathcal M,\bar{\mathcal M})\le Rεn​(M,Mˉ)≤R,

(b)∥θ^−θ∗∥2≤εn2(M,Mˉ):=9λn2κ2Ψ2(Mˉ)+8κ(λnΦ(θM⊥∗)+16τn2Φ2(θM⊥∗)).\text{(b)}\quad \|\hat\theta-\theta^*\|^2 \le \varepsilon_n^2(\mathcal M,\bar{\mathcal M}) := \frac{9\lambda_n^2}{\kappa^2}\Psi^2(\bar{\mathcal M}) + \frac{8}{\kappa}\Big(\lambda_n\Phi(\theta^*_{\mathcal M^\perp}) + 16\tau_n^2\Phi^2(\theta^*_{\mathcal M^\perp})\Big).(b)∥θ^−θ∗∥2≤εn2​(M,Mˉ):=κ29λn2​​Ψ2(Mˉ)+κ8​(λn​Φ(θM⊥∗​)+16τn2​Φ2(θM⊥∗​)).

Milestones

  • Proposition 9.13. Under (A2) alone, conditioned on G(λn)\mathcal G(\lambda_n)G(λn​), the error Δ=θ^−θ∗\Delta=\hat\theta-\theta^*Δ=θ^−θ∗ lies in the cone Cθ∗(M,Mˉ):={Δ∣Φ(ΔMˉ⊥)≤3Φ(ΔMˉ)+4Φ(θM⊥∗)}\mathbb C_{\theta^*}(\mathcal M,\bar{\mathcal M}):=\{\Delta\mid\Phi(\Delta_{\bar{\mathcal M}^\perp})\le 3\Phi(\Delta_{\bar{\mathcal M}})+4\Phi(\theta^*_{\mathcal M^\perp})\}Cθ∗​(M,Mˉ):={Δ∣Φ(ΔMˉ⊥​)≤3Φ(ΔMˉ​)+4Φ(θM⊥∗​)} — the purely geometric fact Theorem 9.19's curvature argument is built on.
  • Corollary 9.20. When θ∗∈M\theta^*\in\mathcal Mθ∗∈M exactly, the approximation-error term of εn2\varepsilon_n^2εn2​ vanishes and Theorem 9.19 collapses to Φ(θ^−θ∗)≤6λnκΨ2(Mˉ)\Phi(\hat\theta-\theta^*)\le\frac{6\lambda_n}{\kappa}\Psi^2(\bar{\mathcal M})Φ(θ^−θ∗)≤κ6λn​​Ψ2(Mˉ), ∥θ^−θ∗∥2≤9λn2κ2Ψ2(Mˉ)\|\hat\theta-\theta^*\|^2\le\frac{9\lambda_n^2}{\kappa^2}\Psi^2(\bar{\mathcal M})∥θ^−θ∗∥2≤κ29λn2​​Ψ2(Mˉ) — the form used directly against every concrete model in the rest of the book.
  • Theorem 9.24. Under an alternative, gradient-based curvature condition (Φ∗\Phi^*Φ∗-curvature, Definition 9.22) and θ∗∈M\theta^*\in\mathcal Mθ∗∈M, the dual-norm error is controlled directly: Φ∗(θ^−θ∗)≤3λn/κ\Phi^*(\hat\theta-\theta^*)\le 3\lambda_n/\kappaΦ∗(θ^−θ∗)≤3λn​/κ.

Significance

Theorem 9.19 is the book's own claimed unifying result: as it remarks explicitly, the theorem is a deterministic implication, and every later probabilistic corollary in Parts II and III of the book is obtained by (i) checking that a specific loss/regularizer pair is decomposable with respect to a natural subspace pair for the problem at hand, (ii) certifying the RSC condition with high probability for that loss (via concentration arguments from Chapters 2–6), and (iii) choosing λn\lambda_nλn​ large enough that the good event holds with high probability — then reading off the rate directly from εn2(M,Mˉ)\varepsilon_n^2(\mathcal M,\bar{\mathcal M})εn2​(M,Mˉ). Chapter 7's Lasso bound (Theorem 7.13, mission 07-sparse-linear) is exactly Corollary 9.20 specialized to Φ=∥⋅∥1\Phi=\|\cdot\|_1Φ=∥⋅∥1​ and M\mathcal MM the subspace of sss-sparse vectors — but Chapter 9 proves it once, in a form that Chapter 10's nuclear-norm-regularized low-rank matrix regression (mission 10-matrix-rank), Chapter 11's graphical model selection, and the chapter's own group-Lasso and overlap-group-Lasso examples all instantiate without re-deriving the optimization argument.

Difficulty

The formalization difficulty here is almost entirely conceptual rather than syntactic: getting the two-subspace apparatus (M,Mˉ)(\mathcal M,\bar{\mathcal M})(M,Mˉ) exactly right. The book explicitly allows Mˉ\bar{\mathcal M}Mˉ to be a strict superset of M\mathcal MM (needed for the nuclear norm in Chapter 10, where the naive choice M=Mˉ\mathcal M=\bar{\mathcal M}M=Mˉ fails to be decomposable at all), so every definition and theorem in this mission is parameterized by the pair, not by a single subspace — and three genuinely different projections appear across the statements: the error vector's projection onto Mˉ\bar{\mathcal M}Mˉ and onto Mˉ⊥\bar{\mathcal M}^\perpMˉ⊥ (both keep the bar), versus the true parameter's projection onto M⊥\mathcal M^\perpM⊥ (the complement of the small, unbarred subspace). A further subtlety specific to this printed source: several of the book's own displayed equations for Ψ(⋅)\Psi(\cdot)Ψ(⋅) in Theorem 9.19 and Corollary 9.20 lose the overbar on Mˉ\bar{\mathcal M}Mˉ in PDF text extraction (a rendering artifact, not a mathematical ambiguity); resolving which subspace is meant required reading the surrounding proof text line by line, since only Ψ(Mˉ)\Psi(\bar{\mathcal M})Ψ(Mˉ) — not Ψ(M)\Psi(\mathcal M)Ψ(M) — is mathematically consistent with how the constant is derived and used (see MODERATION_NOTES.md).

Formalization scope

Ω\OmegaΩ is [NormedAddCommGroup Ω] [InnerProductSpace ℝ Ω] [FiniteDimensional ℝ Ω], matching the book's implicit assumption of a finite-dimensional inner-product parameter space throughout this part of the book. The regularizer's norm axioms (IsRegularizerNorm), the dual norm, and the subspace Lipschitz constant are all defined via sSup/sInf-free explicit formulas or sSup over an explicitly-described set (never an unconstrained supremum over all of Ω\OmegaΩ), so no faithfulness trap from an unbounded or empty supremum arises (see MODERATION_NOTES.md's trap table). κ > 0 and λ_n > 0 are made explicit hypotheses of every theorem, matching Definition 9.15's own stated positivity of κ\kappaκ and the chapter's running convention that λn\lambda_nλn​ is a positive regularization weight — never a narrowing of the theorem's actual scope. A trivializing formalization of this chapter would either collapse the two-subspace machinery to a single subspace M=Mˉ\mathcal M=\bar{\mathcal M}M=Mˉ (which is faithful only for the ℓ1\ell_1ℓ1​/group-Lasso examples, not the general theorem, and not what Chapter 10 needs) or silently drop the second conjunct of Theorem 9.19's conclusion (part (b), the actual quantitative rate) in favor of only the qualitative part (a); this mission formalizes the full two-subspace statement and both conjuncts of the goal theorem. Out of scope: the chapter's worked examples (sparse GLMs, Corollary 9.26; group Lasso; nuclear-norm matrix regression) that specialize the goal to concrete models — Chapter 10's own mission (10-matrix-rank) restates the needed instance of this framework locally rather than importing this mission's draft, per this book's series-wide convention that no draft imports another chunk's draft. Also out of scope: the RSC-implies-restricted-eigenvalue correspondence (Example 9.16) and the μn(Φ∗)\mu_n(\Phi^*)μn​(Φ∗)-based general RSC certification (Theorem 9.36, Section 9.8), both purely probabilistic results that lie outside this chapter's own deterministic core.

Selected references

  • Wainwright, M. J. High-Dimensional Statistics: A Non-Asymptotic Viewpoint. Cambridge University Press, 2019. Chapter 9. DOI: 10.1017/9781108627771.
  • Negahban, S. N., Ravikumar, P., Wainwright, M. J., Yu, B. "A unified framework for high-dimensional analysis of M-estimators with decomposable regularizers." Statistical Science, 27(4), 2012, 538–557.
  • Tibshirani, R. "Regression shrinkage and selection via the Lasso." Journal of the Royal Statistical Society: Series B, 58(1), 1996, 267–288.
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Machine LearningProbabilityStatistics+1·Captain: mikedeng1

Foundations of Machine Learning II: Rademacher Complexity and VC-DimensionTextbook

Motivation

Chapter 2's finite-hypothesis-set learning bound is uninformative the moment HHH is infinite — log⁡∣H∣\log|H|log∣H∣ diverges — yet most hypothesis sets used in practice (linear separators, neural networks, decision trees) are infinite. Chapter 3 answers the question the previous chapter's own worked example (axis-aligned rectangles, Example 2.4) leaves open: is efficient learning from a finite sample still possible for an infinite hypothesis set, and can this be shown in general rather than case by case? The chapter's answer runs through two complementary notions of complexity — Rademacher complexity, a data-dependent measure of how well a function family correlates with random noise, and the VC-dimension, a purely combinatorial measure of the number of distinct labelings a hypothesis set can realize on a finite point set — connected by Massart's lemma and Sauer's lemma, and culminating in a generalization bound that replaces log⁡∣H∣\log|H|log∣H∣ with the VC-dimension ddd.

Setting

For a family GGG of functions Z→[0,1]Z\to[0,1]Z→[0,1] and a sample S=(z1,…,zm)S=(z_1,\dots,z_m)S=(z1​,…,zm​), the empirical Rademacher complexity R^S(G)=Eσ[sup⁡g∈G1m∑iσig(zi)]\hat R_S(G) = \mathbb E_\sigma[\sup_{g\in G}\frac1m\sum_i\sigma_i g(z_i)]R^S​(G)=Eσ​[supg∈G​m1​∑i​σi​g(zi​)] (Definition 3.1) measures how well GGG fits random sign noise σ\sigmaσ on SSS; the Rademacher complexity Rm(G)=ES∼Dm[R^S(G)]R_m(G) = \mathbb E_{S\sim D^m}[\hat R_S(G)]Rm​(G)=ES∼Dm​[R^S​(G)] (Definition 3.2) averages this over samples. Theorem 3.3 converts a Rademacher-complexity bound directly into a generalization bound via McDiarmid's inequality. For binary hypothesis sets H⊆(X→{−1,+1})H\subseteq(X\to\{-1,+1\})H⊆(X→{−1,+1}), the growth function ΠH(m)\Pi_H(m)ΠH​(m) (Definition 3.6) counts the maximum number of distinct dichotomies HHH realizes on mmm points, and the VC-dimension VCdim(H)\mathrm{VCdim}(H)VCdim(H) (Definition 3.10) is the largest mmm for which ΠH(m)=2m\Pi_H(m)=2^mΠH​(m)=2m (i.e. HHH shatters some set of mmm points). Massart's lemma (Theorem 3.7) is the purely combinatorial tool bounding the expected maximum of a sum of signed vector components by log⁡∣A∣\sqrt{\log|A|}log∣A∣​, and Sauer's lemma (Theorem 3.17) bounds the growth function itself, by induction on m+dm+dm+d, whenever the VC-dimension is finite.

Formalization targets

Theorem 3.3 (Rademacher generalization bound, milestone). For G:Z→[0,1]G:Z\to[0,1]G:Z→[0,1] and any δ>0\delta>0δ>0, with probability at least 1−δ1-\delta1−δ over an i.i.d. sample SSS of size mmm, for all g∈Gg\in Gg∈G: E[g(z)]≤1m∑ig(zi)+2Rm(G)+log⁡(1/δ)/(2m)\mathbb E[g(z)] \le \frac1m\sum_i g(z_i) + 2R_m(G) + \sqrt{\log(1/\delta)/(2m)}E[g(z)]≤m1​∑i​g(zi​)+2Rm​(G)+log(1/δ)/(2m)​.

Theorem 3.7 (Massart's lemma, milestone). For a finite A⊆RmA\subseteq\mathbb R^mA⊆Rm with r=max⁡x∈A∥x∥2r=\max_{x\in A}\|x\|_2r=maxx∈A​∥x∥2​: Eσ[1msup⁡x∈A∑iσixi]≤r2log⁡∣A∣/m\mathbb E_\sigma[\frac1m\sup_{x\in A}\sum_i\sigma_i x_i] \le r\sqrt{2\log|A|/m}Eσ​[m1​supx∈A​∑i​σi​xi​]≤r2log∣A∣/m​.

Theorem 3.17 (Sauer's lemma, milestone). For HHH with VCdim(H)=d\mathrm{VCdim}(H)=dVCdim(H)=d, for all m∈Nm\in\mathbb Nm∈N: ΠH(m)≤∑i=0d(mi)\Pi_H(m) \le \sum_{i=0}^d\binom{m}{i}ΠH​(m)≤∑i=0d​(im​).

Corollary 3.19 — the mission's goal. For H⊆(X→{−1,+1})H\subseteq(X\to\{-1,+1\})H⊆(X→{−1,+1}) with VCdim(H)=d\mathrm{VCdim}(H)=dVCdim(H)=d and any δ>0\delta>0δ>0, with probability at least 1−δ1-\delta1−δ, for all h∈Hh\in Hh∈H:

R(h)≤R^S(h)+2dlog⁡(em/d)m+log⁡(1/δ)2m.R(h) \le \hat R_S(h) + \sqrt{\frac{2d\log(em/d)}{m}} + \sqrt{\frac{\log(1/\delta)}{2m}}.R(h)≤R^S​(h)+m2dlog(em/d)​​+2mlog(1/δ)​​.

Significance

Corollary 3.19 is the chapter's answer to the question chapter 2 leaves open: it is Theorem 2.13's direct infinite-hypothesis-set generalization, replacing log⁡∣H∣\log|H|log∣H∣ (undefined for infinite HHH) with the VC-dimension ddd (finite even for many infinite hypothesis sets, such as halfspaces in Rk\mathbb R^kRk, which have VC-dimension k+1k+1k+1). It is also the template every later margin bound in the book specializes (Chapters 5, 9, 10's SVM, multi-class and ranking margin bounds all replace this bound's uniform log⁡∣H∣\log|H|log∣H∣/VC-dimension term with a scale-sensitive complexity measure derived from the same Rademacher-complexity machinery), and Sauer's lemma is independently one of the most cited results in learning theory and extremal combinatorics. No prior art on the Prove2Me platform is faithful to any of this chapter's content: RademacherSymmetrization.radS_chernoff (Aether Catalog) proves a different, Massart-optimized Chernoff bound for the empirical Rademacher complexity of a finite class — a different object (empirical vs. population) with a different bound form from Theorem 3.3/3.5 — and sauerShelah_full proves only the trivial identity sauerShelahBound k k = 2^k, not Sauer's lemma itself. A further hit, sauer_shelah (Aether Catalog, Algebra/SauerShelah.lean), does state the Sauer-Shelah bound itself (F.card ≤ ∑_{i≤d} C(n,i) for a family F of subsets of Fin n shattering no set larger than d) — checked and not reused: it is a different idiom from Theorem 3.17 as this chunk needs it, a fixed finite ambient domain Fin n with F a Finset of its subsets directly, rather than the book's own growth function Π_H(m) (a supremum over point-tuples drawn from an arbitrary, possibly infinite X, Definition 3.6) that this chunk's other items and the goal (Corollary 3.19) are built on; reusing it would require either abandoning GrowthFunction/HasVCDim (needed faithfully by the goal itself) or a nontrivial reduction lemma this mission's budget does not include, so sauer_lemma is drafted fresh against this chunk's own GrowthFunction/HasVCDim. All ten items are drafted fresh.

Difficulty

Sauer's lemma's proof is a genuine two-parameter induction (on m+dm+dm+d) with a real combinatorial construction: restricting HHH to a sample SSS of size mmm, then splitting the restricted family into G1G_1G1​ (its restriction to the first m−1m-1m−1 points) and G2G_2G2​ (the concepts whose membership in GGG changes with the addition of the mmm-th point), with ∣G1∣+∣G2∣=∣G∣|G_1|+|G_2|=|G|∣G1​∣+∣G2​∣=∣G∣ and VCdim(G2)≤VCdim(G)−1\mathrm{VCdim}(G_2) \le \mathrm{VCdim}(G)-1VCdim(G2​)≤VCdim(G)−1 — a genuinely combinatorial argument, not a statement that unfolds by simp; a weaker restatement using only the trivial bound ΠH(m)≤2d\Pi_H(m)\le 2^dΠH​(m)≤2d would be true but is explicitly not what Theorem 3.17 states (BRIEF.md's named trivializing formalization for this chapter). Massart's lemma needs the expectation of a supremum over a finite set of 2m2^m2m-many sign patterns kept as an honest average, not silently replaced by a looser union bound. Corollary 3.19's own em/dem/dem/d term inside the logarithm needs the side condition d≤md\le md≤m carried through explicitly — Corollary 3.18's own domain restricts to m≥dm\ge dm≥d, and the bound is false, not merely unproved, without it (at m<dm<dm<d, em/dem/dem/d can be smaller than 111, making the logarithm negative).

Formalization scope

GeneralizationError/EmpiricalError are restated locally in this chunk's RademacherVC namespace (byte-identical in content to chunk 02-pac's own copies), since a draft item cannot import another chunk's draft module; this duplication is expected and will collapse once 02-pac is moderated, uploaded and listed as reusable in missions/README.md's "Published definitions" table. EmpiricalRademacherComplexity/Massart's lemma model the Rademacher signs σ as ranging over the finite type Fin m → Bool rather than a measure-theoretic i.i.d. process, so the "expectation over σ" in both is the exact finite uniform average over its 2^m outcomes — faithful and simpler than a MeasureTheory construction, since σ's distribution really is uniform on a finite set of outcomes for every finite m. GrowthFunction takes a tuple of m points (Fin m → X) rather than a size-m subset of X, a harmless generalization (repeated points never increase the dichotomy count) documented in the item's own docstring. HasVCDim is a Prop parametrized by the candidate dimension rather than a total ℕ/ℕ∞-valued function, so it does not cover the book's VCdim(H)=+\infty case (Examples 3.15-3.16); every theorem using it takes HasVCDim H d as an explicit hypothesis, matching the book's own "let H... with VCdim(H)=d." Theorem 3.3 adds an explicit measurability hypothesis on G (hGm) beyond the book's own displayed statement, needed to keep the Bochner integral ∫ z, g z ∂D from silently evaluating to 0 for a non-measurable g — this is the book's own standing assumption (footnote 3, p. 30) made an explicit hypothesis rather than an implicit one. No numerical constant in any of the four theorems is altered from the book's own; Corollary 3.19's side condition d ≤ m is kept explicit, per BRIEF.md's pitfall note.

Not formalized: Lemma 3.4 and Theorem 3.5 (the binary-classification specialization of Theorem 3.3 via the zero-one-loss identity R^S(G)=12R^SX(H)\hat R_S(G)=\frac12\hat R_{S_X}(H)R^S​(G)=21​R^SX​​(H)), Corollary 3.8 and Corollary 3.9 (the intermediate Rademacher-to-growth-function and growth-function generalization bounds), and Corollary 3.18 (the VC-dimension bound on the growth function, ΠH(m)≤(em/d)d\Pi_H(m)\le(em/d)^dΠH​(m)≤(em/d)d for m≥dm\ge dm≥d) — five intermediate results in the proof chain Theorem 3.3 → Theorem 3.5 → Corollary 3.8/3.9 → Sauer's lemma → Corollary 3.18 → Corollary 3.19 that are not independently drafted as milestones, per the budget guidance to keep a chunk to a goal plus its most load-bearing 3-8 milestones rather than every numbered result on the page; the three drafted milestones (Theorem 3.3, Massart's lemma, Sauer's lemma) are the chain's three genuinely distinct proof techniques (McDiarmid's inequality, a probabilistic-maximum bound, and a combinatorial induction), and the goal theorem's own statement is Corollary 3.19 exactly as displayed, not a restatement of any intermediate corollary. Radon's theorem (Theorem 3.13, background for the hyperplane VC-dimension example) and the worked VC-dimension examples (intervals, hyperplanes, rectangles, convex polygons, sine functions) are illustrations, not general results, and are not formalized — drafting only the example computations (e.g. VCdim(hyperplanes) = d+1) instead of the general finite-H machinery is exactly the trivializing formalization this mission avoids.

Selected references

  • M. Mohri, A. Rostamizadeh, A. Talwalkar, Foundations of Machine Learning, 2nd ed., MIT Press, 2018, Chapter 3.
  • V. Vapnik, A. Chervonenkis, "On the uniform convergence of relative frequencies of events to their probabilities," Theory of Probability and its Applications 16(2), 1971, 264-280.
  • N. Sauer, "On the density of families of sets," Journal of Combinatorial Theory, Series A 13(1), 1972, 145-147.
12 thms3 active users
Convex OptimizationMachine LearningOptimization·Captain: mikedeng1

Introduction to Online Convex Optimization VI: Bandit Convex Optimization via Gradient EstimationTextbook

Motivation

Every algorithm in Chapters I–V observes the full cost function ftf_tft​ after playing xtx_txt​. Many applications only reveal the scalar cost ft(xt)f_t(x_t)ft​(xt​) incurred — routing a network and observing total latency, or placing an ad and observing the click-through revenue, without ever seeing the cost of a path or bid not taken. This is the bandit feedback model, and Chapter 6 asks whether sublinear regret survives it. The chapter's answer is a general two-part reduction — turn a first-order full-information algorithm into a bandit algorithm by feeding it an unbiased gradient estimator built from a single scalar observation — instantiated concretely on online gradient descent to produce the first historical bandit convex optimization algorithm, the FKM algorithm (Flaxman–Kalai–McMahan).

Setting

Let K⊆RnK \subseteq \mathbb R^nK⊆Rn be the decision set, containing the unit ball centered at 000, with diameter at most DDD. At each round t=1,…,Tt = 1,\dots,Tt=1,…,T the player picks yt∈Ky_t \in Kyt​∈K, an adversary has fixed a cost function ftf_tft​ (Lipschitz constant GGG, bounded by 111 in absolute value on KKK), and the player observes only the scalar ft(yt)f_t(y_t)ft​(yt​) — never ftf_tft​ itself or its gradient. Regret is ∑t=1Tft(yt)−min⁡x∈K∑t=1Tft(x)\sum_{t=1}^T f_t(y_t) - \min_{x\in K}\sum_{t=1}^T f_t(x)∑t=1T​ft​(yt​)−minx∈K​∑t=1T​ft​(x), exactly as in the full-information setting, but now the algorithm's plays are themselves random (they depend on the sampled gradient estimates), so the guarantee is on expected regret.

The chapter's construction has two independent parts. Part 1 (Lemma 6.5) is a black-box reduction: given any first order full-information algorithm AAA (Definition 6.4 — one that depends on each cost function only through its gradient at the played point) with a full-information regret bound BA(∇f1(x1),…,∇fT(xT))B_A(\nabla f_1(x_1),\dots,\nabla f_T(x_T))BA​(∇f1​(x1​),…,∇fT​(xT​)), feeding AAA an unbiased estimator gtg_tgt​ of ∇ft(xt)\nabla f_t(x_t)∇ft​(xt​) in place of the true gradient preserves the regret bound in expectation, up to BAB_ABA​ evaluated at the estimators instead of the true gradients. Part 2 (Lemma 6.7) supplies such an estimator using only one scalar observation per round: sample uuu uniformly from the unit sphere, play y=x+δuy = x + \delta uy=x+δu for a small radius δ\deltaδ, and g=nδf(y)ug = \frac{n}{\delta} f(y)ug=δn​f(y)u is (for linear fff) an unbiased estimator of ∇f(x)\nabla f(x)∇f(x) — more precisely, an unbiased estimator of the gradient of fff's δ\deltaδ-smoothed version f^δ(x)=Ev∈B[f(x+δv)]\hat f_\delta(x) = \mathbb E_{v\in B}[f(x+\delta v)]f^​δ​(x)=Ev∈B​[f(x+δv)], by a Stokes'-theorem identity relating a ball integral to a sphere integral.

Formalization targets

Lemma 6.5 (the reduction, milestone)

E[∑t=1Tft(xt)]−∑t=1Tft(u)≤E[BA(g1,…,gT)]\mathbb E\Big[\sum_{t=1}^T f_t(x_t)\Big] - \sum_{t=1}^T f_t(u) \le \mathbb E[B_A(g_1,\dots,g_T)]E[t=1∑T​ft​(xt​)]−t=1∑T​ft​(u)≤E[BA​(g1​,…,gT​)]

for any fixed u∈Ku \in Ku∈K, any first order algorithm AAA with full-information bound BAB_ABA​, and any sequence of estimators gtg_tgt​ with E[gt∣history through round t]=∇ft(xt)\mathbb E[g_t \mid \text{history through round } t] = \nabla f_t(x_t)E[gt​∣history through round t]=∇ft​(xt​).

Lemma 6.7 (the spherical estimator identity, milestone)

Eu∈S[f(x+δu) u]=δn∇f^δ(x).\mathbb E_{u\in S}[f(x+\delta u)\,u] = \frac{\delta}{n}\nabla \hat f_\delta(x).Eu∈S​[f(x+δu)u]=nδ​∇f^​δ​(x).

Theorem 6.9 — the mission's goal

The FKM algorithm (Algorithm 23: play yt=xt+δuty_t = x_t + \delta u_tyt​=xt​+δut​, form gt=nδft(yt)utg_t = \frac n\delta f_t(y_t)u_tgt​=δn​ft​(yt​)ut​, update xt+1=ΠKδ[xt−ηgt]x_{t+1} = \Pi_{K_\delta}[x_t - \eta g_t]xt+1​=ΠKδ​​[xt​−ηgt​] on the shrunk set Kδ={z∣(1−δ)−1z∈K}K_\delta = \{z \mid (1-\delta)^{-1}z \in K\}Kδ​={z∣(1−δ)−1z∈K}) with η=D/(nT3/4)\eta = D/(nT^{3/4})η=D/(nT3/4), δ=1/T1/4\delta = 1/T^{1/4}δ=1/T1/4 guarantees

∑t=1TE[ft(yt)]−min⁡x∈K∑t=1Tft(x)≤9nDGT3/4=O(T3/4).\sum_{t=1}^T \mathbb E[f_t(y_t)] - \min_{x\in K}\sum_{t=1}^T f_t(x) \le 9nDGT^{3/4} = O(T^{3/4}).t=1∑T​E[ft​(yt​)]−x∈Kmin​t=1∑T​ft​(x)≤9nDGT3/4=O(T3/4).

Significance

Theorem 6.9's O(T3/4)O(T^{3/4})O(T3/4) rate is strictly worse than the O(T)O(\sqrt T)O(T​) rate of full-information online gradient descent (Chapter III) — this gap, not a shared rate, is the chapter's real content: bandit feedback provably costs regret, and the FKM algorithm is the historically first algorithm to pin down how much, via the clean two-part reduction that later chapters' improved bandit algorithms (§6.5's self-concordant-barrier method, not formalized here) all refine. Lemma 6.5 is independently reusable: it is a template, quantified over an arbitrary first-order algorithm AAA and an arbitrary unbiased-estimator family, not tied to the sphere-sampling construction that instantiates it for Theorem 6.9. No prior art was found on the platform for bandit convex optimization, gradient-free methods, or Frank–Wolfe-style estimators; this mission's three items formalize the standard textbook account fresh.

Difficulty

Lemma 6.5's proof is a martingale-style argument: it introduces auxiliary deterministic functions ht(x)=ft(x)+ξt⊤xh_t(x) = f_t(x) + \xi_t^\top xht​(x)=ft​(x)+ξt⊤​x (where ξt=gt−∇ft(xt)\xi_t = g_t - \nabla f_t(x_t)ξt​=gt​−∇ft​(xt​)) whose gradient at xtx_txt​ is exactly gtg_tgt​, applies AAA's full-information bound to the hth_tht​'s (a genuinely random cost sequence, since ξt\xi_tξt​ is random), and then takes expectations, using unbiasedness (E[ξt∣history]=0\mathbb E[\xi_t \mid \text{history}] = 0E[ξt​∣history]=0) to show E[ht(xt)]=E[ft(xt)]\mathbb E[h_t(x_t)] = \mathbb E[f_t(x_t)]E[ht​(xt​)]=E[ft​(xt​)] and E[ht(u)]=ft(u)\mathbb E[h_t(u)] = f_t(u)E[ht​(u)]=ft​(u) for the fixed comparator uuu. This requires a genuine filtration and conditional expectation, not merely an unconditional expectation, since xtx_txt​ and gtg_tgt​ are themselves random and adapted to different points in the history. Lemma 6.7's proof invokes Stokes' theorem to relate ∇∫Bδf(x+v) dv\nabla \int_{B_\delta} f(x+v)\,dv∇∫Bδ​​f(x+v)dv to ∫Sδf(x+u)u∥u∥ du\int_{S_\delta} f(x+u)\frac{u}{\|u\|}\,du∫Sδ​​f(x+u)∥u∥u​du, then uses the volume ratio voln(Bδ)/voln−1(Sδ)=δ/n\mathrm{vol}_n(B_\delta)/\mathrm{vol}_{n-1}(S_\delta) = \delta/nvoln​(Bδ​)/voln−1​(Sδ​)=δ/n — a calculus fact about Euclidean balls and spheres, not itself re-derived in this mission's Lean (the identity is drafted as the statement Lemma 6.7 asserts, to be proved from Mathlib's own ball/sphere volume and divergence-theorem lemmas).

Formalization scope

IsFirstOrderOnlineAlgorithm formalizes only the substitution property of Definition 6.4 (the book's second bullet); the first bullet, a closure condition on the admissible family of loss functions, is a precondition on AAA's domain rather than a checkable mathematical property and is not formalized — see MODERATION_NOTES.md. SmoothedFunction (Eq. (6.4)) and IsUniformOnUnitSphere are declared once and shared by both milestones and the goal, rather than re-derived inline. Lemma 6.5's history is modeled by an explicit filtration 𝓕 (with x t adapted to 𝓕 t and g t to 𝓕 (t+1)), since Lean's conditional expectation needs a concrete σ-algebra to condition on; the book's informal "history x1,f1,…,xt,ftx_1,f_1,\dots,x_t,f_tx1​,f1​,…,xt​,ft​" is exactly this filtration once the (deterministic) fτf_\taufτ​'s are set aside as carrying no randomness. Kδ, the shrunk decision set Algorithm 23 actually projects onto, is kept a separate object from K throughout (a pitfall the chapter brief flags explicitly), and min⁡x∈K\min_{x\in K}minx∈K​ in Theorem 6.9 is rendered as an infimum, checked non-vacuous since KKK is nonempty and the objective is bounded below on KKK by the chapter's own ∣ft∣≤1|f_t|\le 1∣ft​∣≤1 assumption.

Not formalized: §6.5's self-concordant-barrier bandit linear optimization algorithm (starred, out of the recommended goal's scope) and Corollary 6.8's ellipsoidal-sampling generalization (a routine corollary of Lemma 6.7 the book itself derives, not independently central).

Selected references

  • E. Hazan, Introduction to Online Convex Optimization, 2nd ed., arXiv:1909.05207v3, Chapter 6.
  • A. Flaxman, A. Kalai, H.B. McMahan, "Online convex optimization in the bandit setting: gradient descent without a gradient," SODA 2005.
10 thms3 active users
Number Theory·Captain: Lucas

Gilbreath's ConjectureOpen Problem

Motivation

Write the primes in increasing order, take the absolute differences of consecutive entries, take the absolute differences of the resulting row, and repeat. Every row produced this way appears to begin with 111:

2357111317…122424…10222…1200…120…\begin{array}{llllllll} 2 & 3 & 5 & 7 & 11 & 13 & 17 & \dots\\ 1 & 2 & 2 & 4 & 2 & 4 & \dots\\ 1 & 0 & 2 & 2 & 2 & \dots\\ 1 & 2 & 0 & 0 & \dots\\ 1 & 2 & 0 & \dots \end{array}21111​32022​52200​7420…​1122…​134…​17……

Gilbreath's conjecture asserts that this never fails. The observation is due to Norman L. Gilbreath (1958), who rediscovered a statement already published by François Proth in 1878 together with an argument that is not accepted as a proof. It is attractive because it is elementary to state and because it is one of the few statements about the primes whose difficulty is not visibly analytic: it concerns the combinatorics of iterated differences rather than the distribution of primes directly.

Timeline.

  • 1878 — Proth states the property and publishes a proof that is now regarded as erroneous.
  • 1958 — Gilbreath rediscovers the pattern; it circulates as a conjecture.
  • 1959 — Killgrove and Ralston verify the leading entry for the first 63,41863{,}41863,418 rows (MTAC 13 (1959), 121–122).
  • 1993 — Odlyzko reports a verification of the leading entry for all rows of index at most π(1013)≈3.4×1011\pi(10^{13}) \approx 3.4 \times 10^{11}π(1013)≈3.4×1011, using an argument that propagates a long block of entries lying in {0,2}\{0,2\}{0,2} downwards through the triangle (Math. Comp. 61 (1993), 373–380).

No proof is known.

Setting

Let p0=2<p1=3<p2=5<…p_0 = 2 < p_1 = 3 < p_2 = 5 < \dotsp0​=2<p1​=3<p2​=5<… be the increasing enumeration of the prime numbers, indexed from 000. Define the rows of the Gilbreath triangle by

d0(n)=pn,dk+1(n)=∣dk(n+1)−dk(n)∣(k,n≥0).d^0(n) = p_n, \qquad d^{k+1}(n) = \bigl| d^{k}(n+1) - d^{k}(n) \bigr| \quad (k, n \ge 0).d0(n)=pn​,dk+1(n)=​dk(n+1)−dk(n)​(k,n≥0).

Thus dkd^kdk is an infinite sequence of natural numbers for every kkk, row 000 is the sequence of primes, row 111 is the sequence of prime gaps pn+1−pnp_{n+1}-p_npn+1​−pn​, and each later row is the sequence of absolute differences of consecutive entries of the row above it. Only the leading entry dk(0)d^k(0)dk(0) of each row is at issue.

More generally, for an arbitrary sequence a:N→Na : \mathbb{N} \to \mathbb{N}a:N→N write (Δa)(n)=∣a(n+1)−a(n)∣(\Delta a)(n) = |a(n+1) - a(n)|(Δa)(n)=∣a(n+1)−a(n)∣ and Δja\Delta^j aΔja for the jjj-fold iterate, so that dk=Δkpd^k = \Delta^k pdk=Δkp.

Formalization targets

Goal

∀k≥1,dk(0)=1.\forall k \ge 1,\qquad d^{k}(0) = 1 .∀k≥1,dk(0)=1.

This is the conjecture in its standard form: every row after the row of primes begins with 111. It fixes no constants and no ranges, so no computational advance can invalidate it.

Milestones

The milestone list collects the statements that a proof, or a further computational verification, would be built from: the two low-level structural facts about the triangle (row 111 is the gap sequence; from row 111 on, the leading entry is odd and all later entries are even), a finite verification of the first rows, and the two statements underlying Odlyzko's method — the propagation lemma for an arbitrary sequence beginning 111 and continuing in {0,2}\{0,2\}{0,2}, and the reduction of the conjecture to the existence, for each row index, of an earlier row with a long enough block of entries in {0,2}\{0,2\}{0,2}.

Significance

The result itself. The conjecture is not known to imply other open statements about the primes, and its interest lies elsewhere: it is a test case for how much of the fine structure of the prime sequence is forced by coarse information. The propagation mechanism shows that the conjecture for a given row index follows from purely local data about an earlier row, and that mechanism is what every verification to date has relied on. A proof would have to show that such blocks of entries in {0,2}\{0,2\}{0,2} always appear early enough, which is a statement about the density of small prime gaps in disguise.

Formalizing it. Nothing here is currently formalized: Mathlib has the prime enumeration n↦pnn \mapsto p_nn↦pn​ (Nat.nth Nat.Prime) and the basic facts about it, but not the iterated-difference triangle nor any of its properties. This mission contributes the definition of the triangle, the structural facts about its rows, and a machine-checked version of the reduction step that all computational work on the problem uses. The goal theorem itself is open — the milestones are known mathematics, and each is provable with current tools, while the goal is not.

Difficulty

The obvious attack is induction on the row index: to see that dk+1(0)=1d^{k+1}(0) = 1dk+1(0)=1 it suffices to know that dk(0)=1d^{k}(0) = 1dk(0)=1 and dk(1)∈{0,2}d^{k}(1) \in \{0,2\}dk(1)∈{0,2}. But controlling dk(1)d^{k}(1)dk(1) requires controlling dk−1(1)d^{k-1}(1)dk−1(1) and dk−1(2)d^{k-1}(2)dk−1(2), and so on: the invariant that closes is not "the row begins with 111" but "the row begins with 111 and its next mmm entries lie in {0,2}\{0,2\}{0,2}", and each application of the difference operator consumes one entry of that block. So a finite block of good entries only carries the conclusion a finite number of rows further down, and the conjecture needs such blocks to keep reappearing forever, arbitrarily far down the triangle. Nothing is known that produces them.

A second warning, due to Hallard Croft: the property is not specific to the primes. Sequences that start with 222, continue with odd numbers, and have gaps that are not too large empirically exhibit the same behaviour, so any proof that uses only such coarse features would prove a much more general statement — and conversely, an argument exploiting deep properties of primes is likely to be proving the wrong thing.

Formalization scope

Rows are total functions N→N\mathbb{N} \to \mathbb{N}N→N, defined for every index, and the whole triangle is a single family indexed by the row number. Differences are taken as Int.natAbs of a difference computed in Z\mathbb{Z}Z, so truncated natural subtraction never occurs; the one place where N\mathbb{N}N-subtraction does appear is the milestone identifying row 111 with the gap sequence, where the subtraction is justified by monotonicity of n↦pnn \mapsto p_nn↦pn​.

Primes are indexed from 000 via Mathlib's Nat.nth Nat.Prime, so p0=2p_0 = 2p0​=2; rows are indexed with row 000 the primes, and the goal quantifies over all k≥1k \ge 1k≥1 in the form d (k + 1) 0 = 1, with no upper bound and no extra hypothesis, so no vacuous or finitely-truncated reading of the goal is available. The general difference operator is stated for arbitrary sequences N→N\mathbb{N} \to \mathbb{N}N→N, which is what makes the propagation lemma usable as a black box, and reusable beyond this mission.

A complete development needs no analytic input for the milestones: Mathlib's Nat.nth, Nat.prime_nth_prime, Nat.nth_prime_zero_eq_two and the strict monotonicity of the prime enumeration suffice. Contributions that would extend the mission beyond its current list: a formal version of a concrete computational verification (checking that the leading entries of the first NNN rows are 111 for an NNN well beyond the hand-checkable range), and formalizations of the general statement for non-prime sequences of the Croft type.

Selected references

  • N. L. Gilbreath, as reported in R. B. Killgrove and K. E. Ralston, On a conjecture concerning the primes, Mathematical Tables and Other Aids to Computation 13 (1959), 121–122. https://doi.org/10.1090/S0025-5718-1959-0105398-3
  • A. M. Odlyzko, Iterated absolute values of differences of consecutive primes, Mathematics of Computation 61 (1993), 373–380. https://doi.org/10.1090/S0025-5718-1993-1192979-9
  • Gilbreath's conjecture, Wikipedia. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Gilbreath%27s_conjecture
23 thms3 active usersReviewed
Algebraic GeometryCategory TheoryDifferential Geometry·Captain: Lucas

Homological Mirror Symmetry for the Two-Torus (Kontsevich, ICM 1994)Research Paper

Motivation

Mirror symmetry was discovered in string theory as a duality between families of Calabi–Yau manifolds, and it entered mathematics as a prediction: the generating function counting rational curves on one manifold equals a period integral of a mirror manifold. In his 1994 ICM address, Homological algebra of mirror symmetry (alg-geom/9411018), M. Kontsevich proposed that these numerical coincidences are shadows of an equivalence of categories: the symplectic geometry of VVV should be encoded by Fukaya's A∞A_\inftyA∞​-category F(V)F(V)F(V), whose objects are Lagrangian submanifolds and whose products count pseudo-holomorphic discs, and the complex geometry of the mirror WWW by the derived category Db(Coh W)D^b(\mathrm{Coh}\,W)Db(CohW) of coherent sheaves. His Homological Mirror Conjecture asserts that the derived category built from F(V)F(V)F(V) embeds as a full triangulated subcategory of Db(Coh W)D^b(\mathrm{Coh}\,W)Db(CohW).

Kontsevich states the conjecture "in slightly vague form", because Fukaya's construction was not, and still is not, available in the generality the statement needs. He therefore closes the paper with the one instance he can compute by hand, in the section Two-dimensional tori: a return: for the flat torus Σ=R2/Z2\Sigma = \mathbb{R}^2/\mathbb{Z}^2Σ=R2/Z2, the objects are closed geodesics with unitary local systems, the products m2m_2m2​ are sums over triangles in the universal cover weighted by exp⁡(−area)\exp(-\text{area})exp(−area), and their structure constants are values of the classical theta-function. He predicts an equivalence with Db(Coh E)D^b(\mathrm{Coh}\,E)Db(CohE) for an elliptic curve EEE. This instance was proved by A. Polishchuk and E. Zaslow, Categorical mirror symmetry: the elliptic curve (math/9801119). Later instances include the four-torus (Abouzaid–Smith, arXiv:0903.3065) and Calabi–Yau hypersurfaces (Sheridan, arXiv:1111.0632). None of this has been formalized.

Setting

Fix a real number area>0\mathrm{area} > 0area>0, and let Σ\SigmaΣ be the torus R2/Z2\mathbb{R}^2/\mathbb{Z}^2R2/Z2 carrying the translation-invariant symplectic form of total area area\mathrm{area}area; a region of Euclidean area aaa in coordinates has symplectic area area⋅a\mathrm{area}\cdot aarea⋅a.

A brane bbb consists of: a primitive vector v∈Z2v \in \mathbb{Z}^2v∈Z2 and a point c∈R2c \in \mathbb{R}^2c∈R2, which together determine the closed geodesic Lb={ c+tv mod Z2 }L_b = \{\,c + tv \bmod \mathbb{Z}^2\,\}Lb​={c+tvmodZ2}; a grading α∈R\alpha \in \mathbb{R}α∈R, a real lift of the direction angle normalized so that (cos⁡πα,sin⁡πα)(\cos \pi\alpha, \sin \pi\alpha)(cosπα,sinπα) is parallel to vvv; and a real constant θ\thetaθ describing a flat unitary line bundle on LbL_bLb​, whose parallel transport along a path of parameter length sss is exp⁡(2πi θs)\exp(2\pi i\,\theta s)exp(2πiθs). Two branes are transverse when det⁡(v1,v2)≠0\det(v_1, v_2) \neq 0det(v1​,v2​)=0; their geodesics then meet in the finite set Lb1∩Lb2L_{b_1} \cap L_{b_2}Lb1​​∩Lb2​​, which indexes a basis of the Floer space Hom(b1,b2)\mathrm{Hom}(b_1, b_2)Hom(b1​,b2​). All of this space sits in a single degree, the Maslov index

μ(b1,b2)  =  ⌈α2−α1⌉.\mu(b_1, b_2) \;=\; \lceil \alpha_2 - \alpha_1 \rceil .μ(b1​,b2​)=⌈α2​−α1​⌉.

For three pairwise transverse branes and intersection points p∈L1∩L2p \in L_1 \cap L_2p∈L1​∩L2​, q∈L2∩L3q \in L_2 \cap L_3q∈L2​∩L3​, r∈L1∩L3r \in L_1 \cap L_3r∈L1​∩L3​, a triangle is a triple of lifts (P,Q,R)∈(R2)3(P, Q, R) \in (\mathbb{R}^2)^3(P,Q,R)∈(R2)3 of (p,q,r)(p,q,r)(p,q,r) with Q−PQ - PQ−P parallel to v2v_2v2​, R−QR - QR−Q parallel to v3v_3v3​, P−RP - RP−R parallel to v1v_1v1​, and positively oriented. Kontsevich's structure constant is

c(p,q,r)  =  ∑trianglesexp⁡(−symplectic area)⋅(holonomies along the three sides),c(p,q,r) \;=\; \sum_{\text{triangles}} \exp\bigl(-\text{symplectic area}\bigr)\cdot \bigl(\text{holonomies along the three sides}\bigr),c(p,q,r)=triangles∑​exp(−symplectic area)⋅(holonomies along the three sides),

the coefficient of rrr in m2(p,q)m_2(p, q)m2​(p,q). On the complex side, Dcohb(E)D^b_{\mathrm{coh}}(E)Dcohb​(E) denotes the complexes of OE\mathcal{O}_EOE​-modules with bounded, coherent cohomology.

Formalization targets

Goal — homological mirror symmetry for the two-torus

For every area>0\mathrm{area} > 0area>0 there exist a smooth proper curve EEE over C\mathbb{C}C, an assignment b↦Φ(b)b \mapsto \Phi(b)b↦Φ(b) of an object of Dcohb(E)D^b_{\mathrm{coh}}(E)Dcohb​(E) to each brane, and isomorphisms

C Lb1∩Lb2  → ∼   Hom(Φ(b1), Φ(b2)[μ(b1,b2)])(b1⋔b2),\mathbb{C}^{\,L_{b_1} \cap L_{b_2}} \;\xrightarrow{\ \sim\ }\; \mathrm{Hom}\bigl(\Phi(b_1),\, \Phi(b_2)[\mu(b_1,b_2)]\bigr) \qquad (b_1 \pitchfork b_2),CLb1​​∩Lb2​​ ∼ ​Hom(Φ(b1​),Φ(b2​)[μ(b1​,b2​)])(b1​⋔b2​),

with Hom(Φ(b1),Φ(b2)[d])=0\mathrm{Hom}(\Phi(b_1), \Phi(b_2)[d]) = 0Hom(Φ(b1​),Φ(b2​)[d])=0 for d≠μ(b1,b2)d \neq \mu(b_1,b_2)d=μ(b1​,b2​), carrying the products c(p,q,r)c(p,q,r)c(p,q,r) to composition in Dcohb(E)D^b_{\mathrm{coh}}(E)Dcohb​(E) whenever μ(b1,b2)+μ(b2,b3)=μ(b1,b3)\mu(b_1,b_2) + \mu(b_2,b_3) = \mu(b_1,b_3)μ(b1​,b2​)+μ(b2​,b3​)=μ(b1​,b3​).

Milestones

Existence of the Fukaya A∞A_\inftyA∞​-category of the torus; finiteness of Lb1∩Lb2L_{b_1} \cap L_{b_2}Lb1​​∩Lb2​​ with ∣det⁡(v1,v2)∣|\det(v_1,v_2)|∣det(v1​,v2​)∣ points; the Maslov relation μ(b1,b2)+μ(b2,b1)=1\mu(b_1,b_2) + \mu(b_2,b_1) = 1μ(b1​,b2​)+μ(b2​,b1​)=1; m12=0m_1^2 = 0m12​=0 together with associativity of m2m_2m2​ up to coboundary; the degeneration of an A∞A_\inftyA∞​-category with m≥3=0m_{\geq 3} = 0m≥3​=0 to a differential graded category; the theta-function shape of the structure constants; and their associativity equation.

Significance

The conjecture reorganizes mirror symmetry: the numerical predictions compare two elements of an uncountable set of power series, whereas the homological statement compares two objects in a countable set of triangulated categories, and the numerical statements are meant to follow from it. The torus case is the smallest instance in which every ingredient — Lagrangian branes, Maslov grading, disc counts, theta functions, and coherent sheaves on an elliptic curve — is present and computable, so it is the natural first target.

What this mission adds beyond the literature is machine-checked mathematics where none exists. Mathlib currently has no symplectic manifolds, no Lagrangian Floer theory, no Fukaya categories, and no A∞A_\inftyA∞​-categories; it does have schemes, sheaves of modules, and derived categories of abelian categories. The mission supplies the missing A∞A_\inftyA∞​ layer and the torus model, and asks for the comparison theorem. The A∞A_\inftyA∞​ definitions, the derived category with coherent cohomology, and the theta-function estimates are reusable outside this mission.

Difficulty

The obvious route — "transport the Polishchuk–Zaslow proof" — stalls at the point where the two sides are compared. Establishing that the triangle sums converge and equal theta-function values is analysis that Mathlib supports; producing an elliptic curve as a scheme with prescribed parameter, computing Ext\mathrm{Ext}Ext-groups between the mirror sheaves, and matching all products simultaneously is not currently supported by any library. A second difficulty is bookkeeping: gradings, Maslov indices and shifts must line up, since the product of two morphisms is nonzero only when μ(b1,b2)+μ(b2,b3)=μ(b1,b3)\mu(b_1,b_2)+\mu(b_2,b_3) = \mu(b_1,b_3)μ(b1​,b2​)+μ(b2​,b3​)=μ(b1​,b3​), and the same numerical condition controls which triples of branes bound triangles at all.

Formalization scope

Conventions committed to in Lean. An A∞A_\inftyA∞​-category is encoded as a single graded module AAA with morphism components hom⁡(X,Y)\hom(X,Y)hom(X,Y) and products given by a map on lists, m[f1,…,fn]=mn(f1⊗⋯⊗fn)m[f_1,\dots,f_n] = m_n(f_1 \otimes \cdots \otimes f_n)m[f1​,…,fn​]=mn​(f1​⊗⋯⊗fn​) of degree 2−n2-n2−n, with m0=0m_0 = 0m0​=0, and Stasheff signs (−1)r+st(-1)^{r+st}(−1)r+st in the bar-construction normalization; m2(f,g)m_2(f,g)m2​(f,g) is "fff then ggg". Triangles are normalized by requiring the first vertex to lie in [0,1)2[0,1)^2[0,1)2, which picks exactly one representative in each Z2\mathbb{Z}^2Z2-orbit; only positively oriented triangles are counted; sums are tsums, so convergence is part of the work. The hom-space isomorphisms in the goal are required to be additive, not a priori C\mathbb{C}C-linear, because the derived category of OE\mathcal{O}_EOE​-modules is not equipped with a C\mathbb{C}C-linear structure in Mathlib; the required compatibility with the structure constants pins down the algebra anyway. The goal asks only for the existence of a smooth proper curve EEE over C\mathbb{C}C; the paper's further prediction that EEE has parameter exp⁡(−area)\exp(-\mathrm{area})exp(−area) is deliberately left out of the statement.

The goal is not trivially satisfiable: the intersection set of two transverse branes is nonempty, so the required isomorphisms force the corresponding Hom\mathrm{Hom}Hom-groups to be nonzero of the right size, in the right degree, with the prescribed products.

The general conjecture, for an arbitrary symplectic manifold with c1=0c_1 = 0c1​=0, is not stated here, and deliberately so: without symplectic manifolds and Floer theory in Mathlib, any general statement would have to take the Fukaya category as an unconstrained parameter, which would make it either vacuous or false. Building that infrastructure — symplectic manifolds, graded Lagrangian branes, Floer cohomology, twisted complexes over an A∞A_\inftyA∞​-category and their triangulated structure — is the natural way to extend this mission, and such contributions are welcome.

Selected references

  • M. Kontsevich, Homological algebra of mirror symmetry, Proceedings of the International Congress of Mathematicians (Zürich, 1994), alg-geom/9411018.
  • A. Polishchuk and E. Zaslow, Categorical mirror symmetry: the elliptic curve, Adv. Theor. Math. Phys. 2 (1998), math/9801119.
  • M. Abouzaid and I. Smith, Homological mirror symmetry for the 4-torus, Duke Math. J. 152 (2010), arXiv:0903.3065.
  • N. Sheridan, Homological mirror symmetry for Calabi–Yau hypersurfaces in projective space, Invent. Math. 199 (2015), arXiv:1111.0632.
11 thms3 active usersReviewed
CombinatoricsComplexity TheoryTheoretical Computer Science·Captain: Lucas

4-to-1 Games with Perfect CompletenessResearch Paper

Motivation

Many approximation problems resist the standard PCP toolkit: the best known NP-hardness factors for Max-Cut, Vertex-Cover and approximate graph colouring are far from the best known polynomial-time algorithms. To explain this gap, Khot (CCC 2002) proposed the Unique-Games Conjecture and the family of ddd-to-1 Games Conjectures. The ddd-to-1 conjectures assert perfect completeness: the hard instances are either fully satisfiable, or satisfiable only to a vanishing extent. Perfect completeness is what makes these conjectures usable for colouring problems, where a "yes" instance must be genuinely 333-colourable rather than almost so.

A line of work culminating in Khot–Minzer–Safra and Dinur–Khot–Kindler–Minzer–Safra established the almost-perfect completeness version for 222-to-1 games: for every ε>0\varepsilon>0ε>0 there is an alphabet bound rrr such that distinguishing value ≥1−ε\ge 1-\varepsilon≥1−ε from value ≤ε\le\varepsilon≤ε is NP-hard. Their route goes through Håstad's hardness for linear equations, which cannot have perfect completeness, so the loss is intrinsic to the technique. The source paper of this mission removes that loss for d=4d = 4d=4.

Setting

A label-cover instance Ψ\PsiΨ (Definition 1.1 of the source) consists of a bipartite graph G=(L⊔R,E)G = (L \sqcup R, E)G=(L⊔R,E), two finite alphabets ΣL,ΣR\Sigma_L, \Sigma_RΣL​,ΣR​, and for each edge e=(u,v)e = (u,v)e=(u,v) a constraint Φe⊆ΣL×ΣR\Phi_e \subseteq \Sigma_L \times \Sigma_RΦe​⊆ΣL​×ΣR​. The constraint is a projection constraint if there is φe:ΣL→ΣR\varphi_e : \Sigma_L \to \Sigma_Rφe​:ΣL​→ΣR​ with Φe={(σ,φe(σ))}\Phi_e = \{(\sigma, \varphi_e(\sigma))\}Φe​={(σ,φe​(σ))}, and a ddd-to-1 constraint if in addition ∣φe−1(σ)∣=d|\varphi_e^{-1}(\sigma)| = d∣φe−1​(σ)∣=d for every σ∈ΣR\sigma \in \Sigma_Rσ∈ΣR​. Given assignments AL:L→ΣLA_L : L \to \Sigma_LAL​:L→ΣL​ and AR:R→ΣRA_R : R \to \Sigma_RAR​:R→ΣR​, the fraction of satisfied edges is valΨ(AL,AR)\mathrm{val}_\Psi(A_L, A_R)valΨ​(AL​,AR​), and

val(Ψ)  =  max⁡AL,ARvalΨ(AL,AR).\mathrm{val}(\Psi) \;=\; \max_{A_L, A_R} \mathrm{val}_\Psi(A_L, A_R).val(Ψ)=AL​,AR​max​valΨ​(AL​,AR​).

An instance all of whose constraints are ddd-to-1 is a ddd-to-1 game.

For 0<s<c≤10 < s < c \le 10<s<c≤1, Gap-d-to-1r(c,s)\mathrm{Gap\text{-}}d\mathrm{\text{-}to\text{-}}1_r(c,s)Gap-d-to-1r​(c,s) is the promise problem: given a ddd-to-1 game with both alphabets of size at most rrr, distinguish val(Ψ)≥c\mathrm{val}(\Psi) \ge cval(Ψ)≥c from val(Ψ)≤s\mathrm{val}(\Psi) \le sval(Ψ)≤s. Writing GapPLCr(c,s)\mathrm{GapPLC}_r(c,s)GapPLCr​(c,s) for the same promise problem over all projection instances, the PCP theorem together with the parallel repetition theorem gives that GapPLCr(1,ε)\mathrm{GapPLC}_{r}(1,\varepsilon)GapPLCr​(1,ε) is NP-hard for a suitable r=r(ε)r = r(\varepsilon)r=r(ε) (Theorem 1.2 of the source); this mission takes that statement as an external input.

Formalization targets

Goal — Theorem 1.6 of the source

∀ε>0 ∃r∈N+:Gap-4-to-1r(1,ε) is NP-hard.\forall \varepsilon > 0 \ \exists r \in \mathbb{N}^{+} : \quad \mathrm{Gap\text{-}4\text{-}to\text{-}1}_r(1,\varepsilon) \text{ is NP-hard.}∀ε>0 ∃r∈N+:Gap-4-to-1r​(1,ε) is NP-hard.

In Lean this is stated as a polynomial-time gap-preserving reduction: for every ε>0\varepsilon > 0ε>0 there is a soundness threshold s∈(0,1)s \in (0,1)s∈(0,1) such that for every source alphabet bound r0r_0r0​ there is a target alphabet bound rrr and a polynomial-time computable map sending projection label-cover instances with alphabets of size at most r0r_0r0​ and value 111 to 444-to-1 games with alphabets of size at most rrr and value 111, and instances of value at most sss to 444-to-1 games of value at most ε\varepsilonε. Combined with the NP-hardness of GapPLCr0(1,s)\mathrm{GapPLC}_{r_0}(1,s)GapPLCr0​​(1,s), this is exactly Theorem 1.6.

Supporting targets

The milestone list follows the source's own numbering: the hardness of approximate colouring of 333-uniform hypergraphs that starts the construction (Theorem 3.1), the two Grassmann decoding theorems the inner PCP rests on (Theorems 3.2 and 3.3), the sunflower bound on zoom-outs (Lemma 3.8), and the linear-algebraic layer connecting NAE-satisfying bilinear forms with their tensor decompositions (Propositions 4.13, 4.14 and Corollary 4.15).

Significance

Theorem 1.6 confirms the 444-to-1 Games Conjecture, the first of Khot's ddd-to-1 conjectures to be settled with perfect completeness. Via known reductions it yields: for every kkk, it is NP-hard to kkk-colour a 333-colourable graph (previously known for k=5k = 5k=5); for every δ>0\delta>0δ>0, it is NP-hard to find an independent set of relative size δ\deltaδ in a 222-colourable 333-uniform hypergraph; and hardness results for low-rank matrix completion.

None of this material is formalized today. Mathlib has no label cover, no PCP machinery, no Grassmann graph and no complexity classes beyond the computability layer. A complete development therefore contributes reusable infrastructure — finite two-prover games and their value, gap-preserving reductions, the Grassmann graph over F2\mathbb{F}_2F2​ and its agreement tests — well beyond this single theorem.

Difficulty

The obvious attempt is to redo the 222-to-1 construction with a perfectly complete outer PCP, namely hardness of systems of quadratic equations over F2\mathbb{F}_2F2​ in place of linear ones. This fails at composition: the Grassmann agreement test, the only known device that produces ddd-to-1 constraints, is a test for linear functions and cannot certify quadratic constraints. Linearizing the quadratic equations by a low-rank test destroys the covering property of the outer PCP, which is what makes the composed soundness analysis work. The source paper's answer is a three-layer construction (outer, middle and inner PCP) with a lazy parallel repetition in the middle layer and an inner PCP based on a tensor of the standard Grassmann encoding with Golowich's low-rank variant.

Formalization scope

All objects are finite and explicit. A label-cover instance carries left vertices {0,…,nL−1}\{0,\dots,n_L-1\}{0,…,nL​−1}, right vertices {0,…,nR−1}\{0,\dots,n_R-1\}{0,…,nR​−1}, alphabets {0,…,∣ΣL∣−1}\{0,\dots,|\Sigma_L|-1\}{0,…,∣ΣL​∣−1} and {0,…,∣ΣR∣−1}\{0,\dots,|\Sigma_R|-1\}{0,…,∣ΣR​∣−1}, a finite edge set, and a projection map for every pair of vertices; only projection instances are representable, as in Definition 1.1. The value is the supremum over all pairs of assignments of the fraction of satisfied edges, taken in R\mathbb{R}R; when there are no edges, or no assignments at all, the convention gives value 000. A tripled set (Definition 4.1) is modelled as ι×{0,1,2}\iota \times \{0,1,2\}ι×{0,1,2}, with the triple indexed by iii being {(i,0),(i,1),(i,2)}\{(i,0),(i,1),(i,2)\}{(i,0),(i,1),(i,2)}. The Grassmann objects live in F2n\mathbb{F}_2^nF2n​ modelled as Fin n→Z/2\mathrm{Fin}\,n \to \mathbb{Z}/2Finn→Z/2, and all probabilities are ratios of cardinalities of finite sets of subspaces, with the convention that an empty denominator gives 000.

Hardness is not stated as "NP-hard" — no notion of NP is available — but as the existence of a reduction. This matters: a reduction required only to preserve the gap, with no computability condition, would be trivially satisfiable by a map that inspects the value of its input and returns one of two fixed instances. The formalization therefore requires the reduction map to be computed by a Turing machine within a polynomial time bound, using Mathlib's Turing.TM2ComputableInPolyTime together with an explicit binary encoding of instances. The NP-hardness of the source problem GapPLCr0(1,s)\mathrm{GapPLC}_{r_0}(1,s)GapPLCr0​​(1,s) (Theorem 1.2, i.e. the PCP theorem plus parallel repetition) is an external input and is not part of this mission.

Contributions of intermediate infrastructure are welcome: the games of Sections 4–6 (Game1a, Game1b, Game2a, Game2b, Game2c, Game3) and their completeness and soundness lemmas are the natural next layer of milestones, as are the covering properties of Appendix C and the list-decoding bounds of Appendix E.

Selected references

  • Yumou Fei, Dor Minzer, Shuo Wang, On the Hardness of 4-to-1 Games with Perfect Completeness, ECCC TR26-179 (2026), https://eccc.weizmann.ac.il/report/2026/179/
  • Subhash Khot, On the power of unique 2-prover 1-round games, STOC 2002, https://doi.org/10.1145/509907.509985
  • Irit Dinur, Subhash Khot, Guy Kindler, Dor Minzer, Muli Safra, Towards a proof of the 2-to-1 games conjecture?, STOC 2018, https://doi.org/10.1145/3188745.3188804
  • Subhash Khot, Dor Minzer, Muli Safra, Pseudorandom sets in Grassmann graph have near-perfect expansion, FOCS 2018, https://doi.org/10.1109/FOCS.2018.00062
  • Louis Golowich, New Explicit Constant-Degree Lossless Expanders, FOCS 2023, https://arxiv.org/abs/2306.07551
12 thms3 active usersReviewed
Geometry & TopologyGroup Theory·Captain: Lucas

Faithfulness of the Burau representation of B4Research Paper

Motivation

In 1935 Werner Burau attached to every braid on nnn strands a matrix over the ring of Laurent polynomials Z[t,t−1]\mathbb{Z}[t,t^{-1}]Z[t,t−1]. The resulting homomorphism ρn:Bn→GLn(Z[t,t−1])\rho_n : B_n \to \mathrm{GL}_n(\mathbb{Z}[t,t^{-1}])ρn​:Bn​→GLn​(Z[t,t−1]) is the oldest and most studied linear representation of the braid group, and whether it is faithful — whether a nontrivial braid can act as the identity matrix — became one of the best known questions about braid groups.

The history is short and sharp:

  • 1969 — Magnus and Peluso prove that ρ3\rho_3ρ3​ is faithful, by a direct algebraic computation.
  • 1991 — Moody proves ρn\rho_nρn​ is not faithful for n≥9n \ge 9n≥9.
  • 1993 — Long and Paton improve this to n≥6n \ge 6n≥6.
  • 1999 — Bigelow settles n=5n = 5n=5: ρ5\rho_5ρ5​ is not faithful.
  • This left exactly one open case, n=4n = 4n=4, which appears as Question 3.1 in Margalit's problem list for mapping class groups.
  • 2026 — Bharathram, Birman and Brendle prove that ρ4\rho_4ρ4​ is faithful (arXiv:2607.05283), closing the last case.

Setting

Let n≥1n \ge 1n≥1. The braid group BnB_nBn​ is taken here in Artin's presentation: generators σ1,…,σn−1\sigma_1,\dots,\sigma_{n-1}σ1​,…,σn−1​ subject to

σiσj=σjσi(∣i−j∣≥2),σiσi+1σi=σi+1σiσi+1.\sigma_i\sigma_j = \sigma_j\sigma_i \quad (|i-j| \ge 2), \qquad \sigma_i\sigma_{i+1}\sigma_i = \sigma_{i+1}\sigma_i\sigma_{i+1}.σi​σj​=σj​σi​(∣i−j∣≥2),σi​σi+1​σi​=σi+1​σi​σi+1​.

Let R=Z[t,t−1]R = \mathbb{Z}[t,t^{-1}]R=Z[t,t−1]. The unreduced Burau representation is the homomorphism

ρn:Bn⟶GLn(R),σi⟼Ii−1⊕(1−tt10)⊕In−i−1,\rho_n : B_n \longrightarrow \mathrm{GL}_n(R), \qquad \sigma_i \longmapsto I_{i-1} \oplus \begin{pmatrix} 1-t & t \\ 1 & 0\end{pmatrix} \oplus I_{n-i-1},ρn​:Bn​⟶GLn​(R),σi​⟼Ii−1​⊕(1−t1​t0​)⊕In−i−1​,

i.e. the identity matrix altered only in the two rows and columns iii, i+1i+1i+1. That these matrices satisfy the two families of braid relations — so that ρn\rho_nρn​ is well defined — is proved in the mission's definition file, together with the invertibility of each generator matrix (its inverse is the identity altered by the block (01t−11−t−1)\begin{pmatrix} 0 & 1 \\ t^{-1} & 1-t^{-1}\end{pmatrix}(0t−1​11−t−1​)).

Equivalently, ρn\rho_nρn​ is the action of the mapping class group of the nnn-punctured disk DnD_nDn​ on the relative homology H1(Dn~,{p~∗})H_1(\widetilde{D_n}, \{\tilde p_*\})H1​(Dn​​,{p~​∗​}) of the infinite cyclic cover determined by total winding number; this is the description used throughout the source paper.

A representation is faithful when it is injective.

Target

The goal of the mission is the Main Theorem of the paper:

ρ4:B4⟶GL4(Z[t,t−1])  is injective.\rho_4 : B_4 \longrightarrow \mathrm{GL}_4(\mathbb{Z}[t,t^{-1}]) \ \text{ is injective.}ρ4​:B4​⟶GL4​(Z[t,t−1])  is injective.

The milestones are three supporting results, each of which can be attacked independently:

  1. Theorem 4.1 (Magnus–Peluso). ρ3\rho_3ρ3​ is injective. The paper gives a new topological proof of this classical statement, and the same argument is the model for the four-strand case.
  2. Observation 2.1. If a braid Φ∈Bn\Phi \in B_nΦ∈Bn​ satisfies ρn(Φ)=I\rho_n(\Phi) = Iρn​(Φ)=I, then its image under the standard inclusion Bn↪Bn+1B_n \hookrightarrow B_{n+1}Bn​↪Bn+1​ (add one unbraided strand) satisfies ρn+1(ι(Φ))=I\rho_{n+1}(\iota(\Phi)) = Iρn+1​(ι(Φ))=I. The paper uses this to move a four-strand braid into B5B_5B5​, where a parity obstruction can be applied.
  3. Long's criterion ([Long 1986, Theorem 2.2], quoted in Section 1 of the paper). If N⊴BnN \trianglelefteq B_nN⊴Bn​ is nontrivial and not contained in the centre, and ρn\rho_nρn​ is injective on NNN, then ρn\rho_nρn​ is injective. This is what reduces the Main Theorem to faithfulness on the Brunnian subgroup Brun4\mathrm{Brun}_4Brun4​.

Significance

Faithfulness of ρ4\rho_4ρ4​ closes the classification of the faithful Burau representations: ρn\rho_nρn​ is faithful exactly for n≤4n \le 4n≤4. It immediately gives faithfulness of the Jones representation of B4B_4B4​ (Corollary 1.1 of the paper), since the Jones representation contains the reduced Burau representation as a summand. Beyond the statement itself, the kernel and the image of ρn\rho_nρn​ for n≥5n \ge 5n≥5 remain poorly understood, and the paper's disk-sequence and parity technology is proposed by its authors as a tool for that problem.

For formalization, essentially nothing of this is machine-checked today: Mathlib has neither braid groups nor the Burau representation. This mission puts in place a checked definition of ρn\rho_nρn​ over Z[t,t−1]\mathbb{Z}[t,t^{-1}]Z[t,t−1] (including well-definedness and invertibility), and then asks for the mathematics. Even the three-strand case — Magnus–Peluso, known since 1969 — is not formalized anywhere, and it is the natural first target.

Difficulty

The obvious approach fails in both directions. One cannot simply compute: a braid in the kernel would have to be found or excluded among infinitely many words, and no normal form for B4B_4B4​ turns injectivity of ρ4\rho_4ρ4​ into a finite check. Nor can one argue by a free-subgroup / ping-pong pattern, which is how non-faithfulness is proved for n≥5n \ge 5n≥5.

The source argument is topological. To a braid Φ\PhiΦ one associates the arc β=(β∗3)Φ\beta = (\beta_*^3)\Phiβ=(β∗3​)Φ and the sequence of punctured disks cut out by its intersections with a fixed arc α\alphaα; the Moody polynomial M(α,β)∈Z[t,t−1]M(\alpha,\beta) \in \mathbb{Z}[t,t^{-1}]M(α,β)∈Z[t,t−1] then obstructs membership in the kernel provided no cancellation occurs among its monomials. Three-strand braids always satisfy the relevant parity condition; four-strand braids do not, and the paper repairs this by pushing a point-pushing braid Φ∈K4\Phi \in K_4Φ∈K4​ into B5B_5B5​ and applying Moody's theorem there. A complete formalization therefore needs curves on punctured disks, minimal position, and the Birman exact sequence — none of which exist in Mathlib. Contributions that build any of that infrastructure are as welcome as contributions to the statements themselves.

Formalization scope

Conventions fixed by the Lean development:

  1. BnB_nBn​ is the abstract group given by Artin's presentation, with generators indexed by Fin(n−1)\mathrm{Fin}(n-1)Fin(n−1) using truncated subtraction; the generator of index iii is σi+1\sigma_{i+1}σi+1​. This is the already-published definition reused by the mission, so results proved here interoperate with other braid-group missions.
  2. The representation is the unreduced Burau representation, of size n×nn \times nn×n, not the reduced (n−1)(n-1)(n−1)-dimensional one; the variable is written ttt and the coefficient ring is Z[t,t−1]\mathbb{Z}[t,t^{-1}]Z[t,t−1].
  3. Faithfulness is stated as injectivity of the group homomorphism, not as triviality of the kernel on some subgroup, and it is the genuine homomorphism out of the presented group: the braid relations are verified for the Burau matrices in the definition file, so no statement here is vacuous or conditional on well-definedness.
  4. Long's criterion is stated for all nnn; for n≤2n \le 2n≤2 its noncentrality hypothesis cannot be satisfied, so its content is the case n≥3n \ge 3n≥3 that the paper uses.

A complete development will additionally need: point-pushing subgroups and the Brunnian group Brun4\mathrm{Brun}_4Brun4​, the Moody polynomial of a pair of arcs, and winding-number sequences. These are not yet formalized and are deliberately not part of the current statements; proposals for faithful formalizations of them are welcome in the mission discussion.

Selected references

  • V. Bharathram, J. S. Birman, T. E. Brendle, The Burau representation is faithful for n = 4, 2026, arXiv:2607.05283.
  • W. Magnus, A. Peluso, On a theorem of V. I. Arnold, Comm. Pure Appl. Math. 22 (1969), 683–692, DOI:10.1002/cpa.3160220508.
  • D. D. Long, A note on the normal subgroups of mapping class groups, Math. Proc. Cambridge Philos. Soc. 99 (1986), 79–87, DOI:10.1017/S0305004100063969.
  • J. A. Moody, The Burau representation of the braid group BnB_nBn​ is unfaithful for large nnn, Bull. Amer. Math. Soc. 25 (1991), 379–384, DOI:10.1090/S0273-0979-1991-16080-5.
  • D. D. Long, M. Paton, The Burau representation is not faithful for n≥6n \ge 6n≥6, Topology 32 (1993), 439–447, DOI:10.1016/0040-9383(93)90030-Y.
  • S. Bigelow, The Burau representation is not faithful for n=5n = 5n=5, Geom. Topol. 3 (1999), 397–404, DOI:10.2140/gt.1999.3.397.
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AlgebraGroup TheoryNumber Theory·Captain: Lucas

The Inverse Galois ProblemOpen Problem

Motivation

Galois theory attaches to every finite Galois extension L/KL/KL/K a finite group Gal(L/K)\mathrm{Gal}(L/K)Gal(L/K), the group of field automorphisms of LLL fixing KKK pointwise, and the fundamental theorem of Galois theory turns the subfield structure of L/KL/KL/K into the subgroup structure of that group. The inverse Galois problem asks whether this correspondence is surjective over the rationals: given an arbitrary finite group GGG, is there a Galois extension L/QL/\mathbb{Q}L/Q with Gal(L/Q)≅G\mathrm{Gal}(L/\mathbb{Q}) \cong GGal(L/Q)≅G? The question was posed in the early nineteenth century and is unsolved.

What makes it a live research question rather than a curiosity is that the known positive results come from genuinely different sources, and none of them covers all finite groups.

  • Cyclic and, more generally, finite abelian groups are realizable over Q\mathbb{Q}Q by an explicit cyclotomic construction resting on Dirichlet's theorem on primes in arithmetic progressions.
  • Symmetric and alternating groups are realizable over Q\mathbb{Q}Q; this is due to Hilbert, who realized them first over the rational function field Q(t)\mathbb{Q}(t)Q(t) and then specialized ttt using his irreducibility theorem.
  • Every finite solvable group is realizable over Q\mathbb{Q}Q; this is Shafarevich's theorem (I. R. Shafarevich, The imbedding problem for splitting extensions, Dokl. Akad. Nauk SSSR 120 (1958), 1217–1219), obtained by solving embedding problems.
  • Over C(t)\mathbb{C}(t)C(t) — and over K(t)K(t)K(t) for any algebraically closed KKK of characteristic zero — every finite group is realizable, by the Riemann existence theorem. The obstruction to the goal is not the group theory; it is descending the field of constants to Q\mathbb{Q}Q.
  • Case-by-case work covers large finite lists: all transitive permutation groups of degree at most 232323, and every sporadic simple group, are known to be realizable over Q\mathbb{Q}Q.

Setting

Fix a field KKK and a group GGG. A Galois realization of GGG over KKK is a field LLL equipped with a KKK-algebra structure such that the extension L/KL/KL/K is Galois — normal and separable — together with a group isomorphism

G  ≅  Gal(L/K),G \;\cong\; \mathrm{Gal}(L/K),G≅Gal(L/K),

where Gal(L/K)\mathrm{Gal}(L/K)Gal(L/K) denotes the group of KKK-algebra automorphisms of LLL under composition. The group GGG is realizable over KKK, written IsRealizable K G, when at least one Galois realization of GGG over KKK exists. No finiteness of L/KL/KL/K is imposed in the definition; it is automatic once GGG is finite, because an infinite Galois extension has infinite automorphism group.

Two base fields beyond Q\mathbb{Q}Q appear throughout. K(t)K(t)K(t) denotes the field of rational functions in one variable over KKK, written RatFunc K; and for the statement that a group is realizable over some number field, the base field ranges over the intermediate fields of C/Q\mathbb{C}/\mathbb{Q}C/Q.

Formalization targets

Goal — the inverse Galois problem

for every finite group G,∃ L/Q Galois with Gal(L/Q)≅G.\text{for every finite group } G, \qquad \exists\, L/\mathbb{Q} \text{ Galois with } \mathrm{Gal}(L/\mathbb{Q}) \cong G.for every finite group G,∃L/Q Galois with Gal(L/Q)≅G.

The goal fixes no degree, no polynomial and no construction: it asserts only the shape of the truth, so no later refinement of the known constructions can invalidate it.

Milestones — the known partial results

G cyclic  ⟹  G realizable over Q,G abelian  ⟹  G realizable over Q,G \text{ cyclic} \;\Longrightarrow\; G \text{ realizable over } \mathbb{Q}, \qquad G \text{ abelian} \;\Longrightarrow\; G \text{ realizable over } \mathbb{Q},G cyclic⟹G realizable over Q,G abelian⟹G realizable over Q, Sym(S),  An realizable over Q,G solvable  ⟹  G realizable over Q,\mathrm{Sym}(S),\; A_n \text{ realizable over } \mathbb{Q}, \qquad G \text{ solvable} \;\Longrightarrow\; G \text{ realizable over } \mathbb{Q},Sym(S),An​ realizable over Q,G solvable⟹G realizable over Q, ∃ K, Q⊆K⊆C, G realizable over K,\exists\, K,\ \mathbb{Q} \subseteq K \subseteq \mathbb{C},\ G \text{ realizable over } K,∃K, Q⊆K⊆C, G realizable over K, G realizable over C(t),G realizable over K(t) (K algebraically closed, char 0),G \text{ realizable over } \mathbb{C}(t), \qquad G \text{ realizable over } K(t) \ (K \text{ algebraically closed, char } 0),G realizable over C(t),G realizable over K(t) (K algebraically closed, char 0), G realizable over Q(t)  ⟹  G realizable over Q.G \text{ realizable over } \mathbb{Q}(t) \;\Longrightarrow\; G \text{ realizable over } \mathbb{Q}.G realizable over Q(t)⟹G realizable over Q.

The last milestone is the Hilbert-irreducibility descent step; together with the geometric milestones it makes precise which half of the classical programme is missing.

Significance

The result itself would settle a two-century-old question and, with it, the surjectivity of the Galois correspondence over Q\mathbb{Q}Q: every abstract finite group would be known to arise from an explicit arithmetic object, a polynomial with rational coefficients. Its absence is felt in practice — constructing a single new Galois group over Q\mathbb{Q}Q is publishable work, as the recent additions of the degree-171717 group 17T717T717T7 (van Bommel–Costa–Elkies–Keller–Schiavone–Voight, 2024) and of the Mathieu group M23M_{23}M23​ show.

Formalizing it produces something available today independently of the goal: a machine-checked library of the known realizability results. Mathlib has the fundamental theorem of Galois theory, cyclotomic extensions, the Kronecker–Weber theorem, solvability of groups and symmetric/alternating group theory, but it does not have a predicate for "GGG is a Galois group over KKK", nor any of the milestones above. Every milestone here is a proved theorem of classical number theory and an unformalized one; the cyclic and abelian cases are within reach of current Mathlib, while the Shafarevich and Riemann-existence milestones are substantial formalization projects in their own right.

Difficulty

The obvious strategy fails at a well-understood point. Over C(t)\mathbb{C}(t)C(t) the problem is solved: by the Riemann existence theorem every finite group occurs as the deck-transformation group of a branched cover of the projective line. Hilbert's irreducibility theorem then descends realizability from Q(t)\mathbb{Q}(t)Q(t) to Q\mathbb{Q}Q. What is missing is the step in between: producing the cover over Q\mathbb{Q}Q rather than over C\mathbb{C}C, i.e. showing that the geometric solution can be chosen with rational field of constants. The rigidity method makes this work for many groups, but there is no known argument covering all of them; an approach that only produces realizability over some number field is not enough, and that weaker statement is included as a milestone precisely to mark the line.

A second, purely formal difficulty: the milestones are classical but their published proofs are long. Shafarevich's theorem rests on a delicate analysis of embedding problems, and the Riemann existence theorem is analytic input that Mathlib does not currently have in the required form.

Formalization scope

The mission fixes one definition file, published first, carrying the structure GaloisRealization and the one-field class IsRealizable. Conventions it commits to:

  • IsGalois K L is Mathlib's Galois condition (normal and separable); finiteness of the extension is not assumed.
  • The isomorphism is with the full automorphism group L≃alg[K]LL \simeq_{\mathrm{alg}[K]} LL≃alg[K]​L, not with a quotient or a subgroup of it.
  • The carrier LLL of a realization is required to live in the same universe as KKK. This costs no generality for the statements of the mission — for finite GGG a realization is a finite extension of KKK — and keeps every statement universe-monomorphic.
  • Sym(S)\mathrm{Sym}(S)Sym(S) is Equiv.Perm S for a finite type SSS, and AnA_nAn​ is alternatingGroup (Fin n); degenerate small cases are included rather than excluded.
  • Solvability is Group.IsSolvable.

The statements cannot be satisfied vacuously: IsRealizable K G asserts the existence of data, so a solver must exhibit an extension; and the hypotheses of the milestones (cyclic, abelian, solvable, or none at all) are all satisfiable, so no milestone is empty. The one conditional milestone, Hilbert descent, is stated with realizability over Q(t)\mathbb{Q}(t)Q(t) as an explicit hypothesis.

Infrastructure a complete development needs, most of it reusable well beyond this mission: transport of a Galois realization along an isomorphism of groups and along an isomorphism of base fields; the fixed-field construction and the fundamental theorem in the form "Gal(L/LH)≅H\mathrm{Gal}(L/L^H) \cong HGal(L/LH)≅H"; Galois groups of cyclotomic fields; Dirichlet's theorem on primes in arithmetic progressions (already in Mathlib); Hilbert's irreducibility theorem (not in Mathlib). Contributions of any of these as reusable platform definitions or lemmas are welcome, as are decompositions of the harder milestones into sketches.

Selected references

  • Inverse Galois problem, Wikipedia. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Inverse_Galois_problem
  • I. R. Shafarevich, The imbedding problem for splitting extensions, Dokl. Akad. Nauk SSSR 120 (1958), 1217–1219.
  • C. U. Jensen, A. Ledet, N. Yui, Generic Polynomials: Constructive Aspects of the Inverse Galois Problem, MSRI Publications 45, Cambridge University Press, 2002. http://library.msri.org/books/Book45/files/book45.pdf
  • G. Malle, B. H. Matzat, Inverse Galois Theory, Springer Monographs in Mathematics, 1999.
  • R. van Bommel, E. Costa, N. D. Elkies, T. Keller, S. Schiavone, J. Voight, 17T7 is a Galois group over the rationals, arXiv:2411.07857, 2024. https://arxiv.org/abs/2411.07857
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Number Theory·Captain: xuanji

Lagarias criterion is equivalent to RHResearch Paper

Motivation

The Riemann hypothesis concerns the zeros of a complex analytic function, yet it admits an equivalent formulation involving only positive integers, finite sums, the real exponential, and the natural logarithm. Jeffrey C. Lagarias established this formulation in An Elementary Problem Equivalent to the Riemann Hypothesis (Theorem 1.1). It connects the distribution of divisors of an integer with the analytic behavior of the zeta function. For number theorists and formalizers, the interest lies in making that connection precise without confusing an elementary statement with an elementary proof.

The objective is the known equivalence selected by LeanEval v1, not a resolution of RH. Lagarias's paper builds on results of Guy Robin concerning large values of the divisor-sum function; those results remain substantial parts of the formalization workload (Lagarias, §3).

Setting

For a positive integer nnn, its divisor sum is

σ(n)=∑d∣nd,\sigma(n)=\sum_{d\mid n}d,σ(n)=d∣n∑​d,

where the sum runs over positive divisors, including 111 and nnn. Its harmonic number is

Hn=∑j=1n1j.H_n=\sum_{j=1}^{n}\frac1j.Hn​=j=1∑n​j1​.

All inequalities below are inequalities of real numbers. The symbols exp⁡\expexp and log⁡\loglog denote the real exponential and natural logarithm. The Euler–Mascheroni constant is γ=lim⁡n→∞(Hn−log⁡n)\gamma=\lim_{n\to\infty}(H_n-\log n)γ=limn→∞​(Hn​−logn).

The Riemann zeta function is obtained by analytic continuation of ∑m=1∞m−s\sum_{m=1}^{\infty}m^{-s}∑m=1∞​m−s from Re⁡(s)>1\operatorname{Re}(s)>1Re(s)>1. RH asserts that its nontrivial zeros have real part 1/21/21/2. The Lagarias elementary criterion in this mission is the assertion that σ(n)≤Hn+exp⁡(Hn)log⁡(Hn)\sigma(n)\le H_n+\exp(H_n)\log(H_n)σ(n)≤Hn​+exp(Hn​)log(Hn​) for every positive integer nnn. These conventions agree with the arithmetic quantities in Lagarias, Problem E, with the precise equality-clause distinction stated below.

Formalization targets

Main goal: the exact LeanEval equivalence

RH⟺∀n∈N,  n>0⟹σ(n)≤Hn+exp⁡(Hn)log⁡(Hn).\mathrm{RH}\quad\Longleftrightarrow\quad \forall n\in\mathbb N,\;n>0\Longrightarrow \sigma(n)\le H_n+\exp(H_n)\log(H_n).RH⟺∀n∈N,n>0⟹σ(n)≤Hn​+exp(Hn​)log(Hn​).

There are no hypotheses on the goal theorem. The quantifier ranges over all positive integers, not a bounded test set or an unspecified tail. The benchmark uses a non-strict inequality and does not include an equality characterization. Lagarias's Problem E additionally requires equality only at n=1n=1n=1; the proof of the reverse implication in Theorem 1.1, p. 8 uses the non-strict inequality alone. The stronger source formulation is therefore not silently substituted for the benchmark.

Supporting targets from the paper

The milestone list records the following source statements, with their thresholds unchanged:

  • Lemma 3.1: for n≥3n\ge3n≥3,
eγnlog⁡log⁡n≤exp⁡(Hn)log⁡(Hn).e^\gamma n\log\log n\le\exp(H_n)\log(H_n).eγnloglogn≤exp(Hn​)log(Hn​).
  • Lemma 3.2: for n≥20n\ge20n≥20,
Hn+exp⁡(Hn)log⁡(Hn)≤eγnlog⁡log⁡n+7nlog⁡n.H_n+\exp(H_n)\log(H_n)\le e^\gamma n\log\log n+\frac{7n}{\log n}.Hn​+exp(Hn​)log(Hn​)≤eγnloglogn+logn7n​.
  • The finite check in the proof of Theorem 1.1: the criterion holds for 1≤n≤50401\le n\le50401≤n≤5040, with equality exactly at n=1n=1n=1.
  • Proposition 3.1, attributed to Robin: assuming RH, for n≥5041n\ge5041n≥5041,
σ(n)≤eγnlog⁡log⁡n.\sigma(n)\le e^\gamma n\log\log n.σ(n)≤eγnloglogn.
  • Proposition 3.2, attributed to Robin: if RH is false, some fixed 0<β<1/20<\beta<1/20<β<1/2 and C>0C>0C>0 satisfy
σ(n)≥eγnlog⁡log⁡n+Cnlog⁡log⁡n(log⁡n)β\sigma(n)\ge e^\gamma n\log\log n+ \frac{Cn\log\log n}{(\log n)^\beta}σ(n)≥eγnloglogn+(logn)βCnloglogn​

for arbitrarily large integers nnn.

All five are taken from Lagarias, §3, pp. 6–8; the finite check is explicitly an unnumbered step, not a newly attributed lemma.

Significance

The result identifies an exact arithmetic reformulation of RH. It does not make either side unconditional. A proof of the equivalence gives a bridge between statements in different mathematical languages; it does not certify the universal inequality merely because many instances can be checked. This distinction is central to the interpretation of Lagarias's theorem.

The formalization would connect existing Mathlib definitions of the zeta function, divisor sums, harmonic numbers, and Euler's constant through a machine-checked argument. Reusable outputs include explicit harmonic/exponential comparisons, certified finite real inequalities, and formal versions of Robin's conditional and oscillation results. The mathematical results are known; this proposal supplies open formalization targets, not completed proofs. No accepted LeanEval result is claimed by creating or launching the mission.

Difficulty

The elementary appearance of the criterion hides its main analytic requirements. Bounding the divisor sum crudely, or checking any finite number of integers, cannot establish the universal equivalence. The conditional upper bound and especially the quantitative oscillation theorem connect zeta zeros with unusually large divisor sums. They must be proved, not packaged as definitions or presumed available because the paper cites them (Lagarias, Propositions 3.1–3.2).

The oscillation statement requires uniform positive constants and arbitrarily large indices. Replacing it with one counterexample loses essential information. The bounded computation also requires rigorous control of exponential and logarithmic values: an ordinary floating-point loop is not a Lean proof. Beyond the listed milestones, completion still requires standard growth comparisons, threshold bookkeeping, and assembly of the two implications. The short length of the source's final argument should not be read as an estimate of total formalization effort.

Formalization scope

The goal is LeanEval.NumberTheory.riemann_hypothesis_iff_lagarias_elementary_criterion, with type RiemannHypothesis ↔ LagariasElementaryCriterion. The criterion definition is copied from the benchmark. σ 1 n is natural-valued and cast to the reals; harmonic n is rational-valued and cast to the reals. RH remains Mathlib's predicate on riemannZeta, excluding negative even trivial zeros and the point s=1s=1s=1. No replacement axiom, hidden RH assumption, altered zeta function, or circular child restatement is permitted.

The goal excludes n=0n=0n=0 and includes n=1n=1n=1. Thresholds ensure positive logarithm arguments in the analytic milestones. The oscillation milestone expresses an infinite subset of the naturals as an unbounded set, retaining n≥3n\ge3n≥3; deletion of the finitely many smaller indices does not change the source's infinitude claim. Its real exponent is represented by Real.rpow, not natural exponentiation. Constants are chosen before the arbitrary cutoff.

The benchmark pins Lean 4.33.0 and Mathlib 6f1ef4e5dd604a435bddba4747b13970cd65d2a1. The proposal targets Prove2me's supported Lean 4.33.1 environment, Mathlib 0df444a360eaa60ab8c11dca51a86af692955474. These environments are distinct; eventual benchmark credit requires the benchmark's own validation. Contributions to analytic infrastructure, source-faithful supporting results, and certified finite inequalities are welcome. The five milestones are an initial source-backed structure, not a claim that all required infrastructure is already present.

Selected references

  • Jeffrey C. Lagarias, An Elementary Problem Equivalent to the Riemann Hypothesis, American Mathematical Monthly 109 (2002), 534–543. arXiv:math/0008177v2, posted 6 May 2001. The theorem, proposition, equation, and page numbers in this proposal refer to this nine-page arXiv version.
  • Guy Robin, Grandes valeurs de la fonction somme des diviseurs et hypothèse de Riemann, Journal de Mathématiques Pures et Appliquées 63 (1984), 187–213. Bibliography entry [18] in Lagarias. The milestone formulations are those explicitly reproduced and attributed in Lagarias's Propositions 3.1 and 3.2.
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Differential GeometryGeometry & TopologyNumber Theory·Captain: t4v1

Thurston's Question 23: rational relations among hyperbolic volumesOpen Problem

Motivation

In the last of the twenty-four questions that closed his 1982 survey Three-dimensional manifolds, Kleinian groups and hyperbolic geometry (Bull. Amer. Math. Soc. 6 (1982), 357–381), Thurston asked to "show that volumes of hyperbolic 333-manifolds are not all rationally related" (p. 380). Twenty-two of the twenty-four have since been answered — geometrization by Perelman, tameness by Agol and by Calegari–Gabai, the ending lamination conjecture by Brock–Canary–Minsky, virtual fibering by Agol — and this one is among the two that remain open.

Some rational relations are forced, and for a trivial reason: a degree nnn cover of a hyperbolic 333-manifold has nnn times its volume, so any two commensurable manifolds have rationally related volumes. The question, which remains open, is whether every rational relation arises that way — equivalently, whether some two hyperbolic 333-manifolds have irrational volume ratio. Remarkably, not a single such pair is known.

Setting

The bundle fixes the meaning of every term. Hyperbolic 333-space is the upper half-space {(x,y,z):z>0}\{(x,y,z) : z > 0\}{(x,y,z):z>0}. Its volume is Lebesgue measure with density z−3z^{-3}z−3 — the Riemannian volume of the metric (dx2+dy2+dz2)/z2(dx^2+dy^2+dz^2)/z^2(dx2+dy2+dz2)/z2 written out, so that no Riemannian machinery is required. The hyperbolic distance is given by its closed formula

cosh⁡d(p,q)  =  1+∣p−q∣22 p3 q3.\cosh d(p,q) \;=\; 1 + \frac{|p-q|^2}{2\,p_3\,q_3}.coshd(p,q)=1+2p3​q3​∣p−q∣2​.

A Kleinian action is a free, properly discontinuous action by hyperbolic isometries; the quotient is a complete hyperbolic 333-manifold, discreteness and torsion freeness being consequences rather than hypotheses. The volume of the quotient is the measure of a fundamental domain, in the sense of Mathlib's MeasureTheory.IsFundamentalDomain, and the set of volumes collects those that are finite and positive.

Two conventions are stated rather than derived, and are worth flagging. Isometries are not required to preserve orientation, so the set of volumes also contains those of non-orientable quotients; this enlarges the set but not its Q\mathbb{Q}Q-span, so neither goal is affected. And preservation of the hyperbolic volume is a field of the structure rather than a consequence of preserving the distance: it holds for every hyperbolic isometry, but deriving it amounts to classifying Isom(H3)\mathrm{Isom}(\mathbb{H}^3)Isom(H3), which is not the subject of this mission.

Formalization targets

The goal is that the volumes are not all rationally related: there are two of them, vvv and www, with v≠qwv \neq q wv=qw for every rational qqq.

Two milestones support it. The first is that passing to a subgroup of index nnn multiplies the volume by nnn, a fundamental domain for the subgroup being the union of nnn translates of one for the whole group; this is the source of every known rational relation, and it is why the question is phrased as it is. The second is that the set of volumes is nonempty — that some finite-volume hyperbolic 333-manifold exists at all — without which the goal would be vacuously false rather than open.

A stronger form of the question, that the Q\mathbb{Q}Q-span of the set of volumes is infinite dimensional, is also stated.

Significance

The question is a geometric statement whose difficulty is arithmetic. For the Bianchi groups of an imaginary quadratic field FFF, Humbert's formula gives the covolume as ∣δF∣3/2ζF(2)/4π2|\delta_F|^{3/2}\zeta_F(2)/4\pi^2∣δF​∣3/2ζF​(2)/4π2, so the ratio of two such volumes is, up to explicit algebraic factors, a ratio of Dedekind zeta values at 222; and Neumann and Yang showed that the Bloch invariant of a hyperbolic 333-manifold lies in a subgroup of finite Q\mathbb{Q}Q-rank determined by its invariant trace field, so that manifolds sharing an invariant trace field with a single complex place, such as an imaginary quadratic one, have rationally related volumes. Producing one irrational ratio therefore means separating two such transcendentals — a statement of the same order of difficulty as the irrationality of ζ(5)\zeta(5)ζ(5). The value of formalizing the question is not that it will be closed, but that its statement, and the elementary relations that make its naive form false, are pinned down exactly.

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ProbabilityStochastic Systems·Captain: wenxinzhang

First-passage time of Brownian motion to an exponentially decaying boundaryOpen Problem

Submission hold — source-fidelity repair (2026-09-04). The public goal restricts answers to elementary expression trees and is only a stronger subquestion. It does not formalize the source's broader special-function closed-form question. The existing published target is preserved, with this scope warning. Do not confirm or submit this version as a faithful formalization of the full source. The legacy mathematical target below is retained for traceability while the replacement is prepared.

Motivation

A standard Brownian motion starts below the exponentially decaying boundary b(t)=b0 exp(-ct). The first time it crosses the boundary has a continuous density characterized by a generalized Abel--Volterra integral equation. The source asks for an explicit distribution, motivated in part by neuronal threshold models with a decaying refractory boundary.

This mission turns CUHK-Shenzhen AI Math Problem 13, First-passage time of Brownian motion to an exponentially decaying boundary, into an auditable Lean campaign. The objective is not merely to transcribe notation: it is to expose the mathematical model, the capstone, and a smaller attack surface as separate artifacts that other formalizers can inspect and reuse.

Setting

Construct one expression in a fixed elementary language whose evaluation is a continuous nonnegative density on positive times, solves the Abel equation, and integrates to one. The language contains real constants, rational constants, arithmetic, exp, log, square root, trigonometric functions, and the normal density. The first milestone drops elementary representability and normalization and asks for a continuous nonnegative Abel solution.

Significance

Solving this target would settle the precise finite or analytic core represented by the Lean statement and would create reusable infrastructure in Brownian motion, first-passage times, stochastic processes, Volterra integral equations. Even a rigorous disproof is valuable: several entries in this collection deliberately ask whether an attractive extrapolation is true, and Lean forces a counterexample to satisfy every side condition. The mission therefore treats theorem proving and model criticism as equally legitimate research outcomes.

Difficulty

Moving-boundary first-passage laws rarely have elementary closed forms. The Abel kernel is singular at the upper endpoint, and showing that a candidate equation solution is the actual passage density requires uniqueness and probability normalization. The capstone may be false under the selected expression language; a non-elementarity theorem would be a legitimate disproof of this precise formal target.

Suggested attack route

Formalize existence and uniqueness for the Volterra equation using weakly singular kernels, then connect it to Brownian first passage. Explore transformations suggested by the exponential boundary, Laplace transforms, and iterative resolvent kernels. Symbolic or numerical calculations may reveal special-function rather than elementary structure. If so, characterize the required extension of the expression language and prove why the current language is insufficient.

Formalization scope

The already-published goal uses finite elementary-expression trees with arithmetic, exp/log/sqrt, sin/cos and normal density. The source explicitly permits standard special functions beyond this language. Accordingly the published declaration is a stronger elementary-only subquestion, not a faithful replacement for the full closed-form question. It is preserved as an existing result; its proof or disproof must not be reported as settling every special-function formula. The Abel-solution milestone asserts only existence of a continuous nonnegative solution; uniqueness, normalization, and identification with the first-passage density remain separate obligations. A complete source-faithful replacement needs an agreed formula class or a concrete proposed formula, not an unrestricted function renamed a closed form.

Milestones

For each positive boundary height and decay parameter, there exists a continuous nonnegative solution of the stated Abel equation on positive times. This node asserts existence only, not uniqueness, unit mass, or an elementary closed form.

Timeline and literature status

The CUHK-Shenzhen AI Math Problems page added this problem on June 23, 2026. At the drafting date, August 31, 2026, the status and target corrections described above were checked against the source page and the cited primary material.

Acceptance criteria

A contribution may prove the displayed theorem or refute it by constructing data satisfying every Lean hypothesis while negating the conclusion. Informal changes of model do not count: any proposed correction must be submitted as a separately reviewed statement with an explanation of which source ambiguity or false implication it repairs. Definitions must remain computational or mathematically constrained; fields that simply assume the desired conclusion are not acceptable. Every proof must compile against the mission's pinned Mathlib revision, use no sorry, and expose a top-level theorem solution when submitted to Prove2Me.

The main theorem is intentionally separated from a smaller milestone. Contributors should preserve that dependency order, publish reusable lemmas rather than monolithic tactics, and report whether a lemma is analytic, algebraic, combinatorial, or infrastructure-only. Numerical evidence, external computer algebra, and exhaustive search are welcome for discovery, but a final certificate must be replayable by Lean. If an external result is invoked, its hypotheses must be represented in the formal statement or proved in the dependency tree.

Formal verification policy

The files were built locally with Lean 4.30.0 and Mathlib revision c5ea00351c28e24afc9f0f84379aa41082b1188f, the supported Prove2Me environment at drafting time. The mission definition file is ordered before all theorem files, and each theorem imports exactly that public definition module or Mathlib. Independent blind read-backs accompany the draft items so reviewers can compare what the Lean code literally says with this mathematical description. Human confirmation remains required before the public proposal can be submitted for moderation.

Selected references

  • Original CUHK-Shenzhen problem
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Combinatorics·Captain: Community (Bot)

The Hadamard ConjectureOpen Problem

A Hadamard matrix is a square array of +1s and −1s whose rows are mutually orthogonal — equivalently, one whose determinant attains the absolute maximum that Jacques Hadamard proved in 1893 any ±1 matrix can reach. The story opens earlier, with James Joseph Sylvester's 1867 doubling construction producing such matrices in every power-of-two order; Hadamard himself added orders 12 and 20. The conjecture bearing his name asserts that a Hadamard matrix exists for every order divisible by four. Raymond Paley's 1933 construction from finite fields settled vast new families, and computer searches filled stubborn gaps — beginning with order 92 at JPL in 1962 and reaching order 428 only in 2005, after which 668 became the smallest order whose existence is still unknown. Far from a curiosity, these matrices are workhorses of applied mathematics, underpinning error-correcting codes (the Reed–Muller code that sharpened Mariner spacecraft imagery), spread-spectrum and CDMA signal design, optimal statistical designs of experiments, and coded-aperture spectroscopy. Settling the conjecture would close a 130-year-old gap where combinatorics, number theory, and design theory meet.

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Markov ChainProbabilityReinforcement Learning+1·Captain: mikedeng1

Uncertainty Quantification and Exploration for Reinforcement Learning: Empirical Q-Values Are Strongly Consistent and √n(Q̂ₙ − Q) ⇒ N(0, Σ) with the Closed-Form Covariance (5)Research Paper

Motivation

A reinforcement-learning agent that learns a Markov decision process (MDP) from data ends up with point estimates of the Q-values: the long-run discounted reward of taking an action in a state and acting optimally afterwards. Point estimates say nothing about their own reliability. Choosing between two actions whose estimated values differ by a small margin, deciding how much more data to collect, or allocating exploration effort all need the sampling distribution of the estimate. Finite-sample bounds (Kearns and Singh 1998) give rates with loose constants. Asymptotic normality gives exact limiting constants.

Zhu, Dong and Lam establish a central limit theorem for the plug-in Q-value estimate of a finite MDP whose data are collected by an exploration policy, with an explicit covariance matrix. For a fixed policy, the analogous result for the value function was obtained by Mannor, Simester, Sun and Tsitsiklis (2007). The new step is the optimal Q-values, which depend on the data through a maximum over actions. The paper uses the covariance to design a pure-exploration policy (Q-OCBA) that allocates samples to maximize the probability of selecting the optimal policy.

Setting

Let S\mathcal SS and A\mathcal AA be finite nonempty sets of states and actions. A pair (s,a)(s,a)(s,a) has a random reward with law R(s,a)R(s,a)R(s,a) on R\mathbb RR, mean μR(s,a)\mu_R(s,a)μR​(s,a) and variance σR2(s,a)\sigma^2_R(s,a)σR2​(s,a), and moves to state kkk with probability P(k∣s,a)P(k\mid s,a)P(k∣s,a). The discount factor is γ∈[0,1)\gamma\in[0,1)γ∈[0,1). The Bellman operator is

Tr,P′(Q)(s,a)=r(s,a)+γ∑k∈SP′(k∣s,a)max⁡a′Q(k,a′),\mathcal T_{r,P'}(Q)(s,a)=r(s,a)+\gamma\sum_{k\in\mathcal S}P'(k\mid s,a)\max_{a'}Q(k,a'),Tr,P′​(Q)(s,a)=r(s,a)+γk∈S∑​P′(k∣s,a)a′max​Q(k,a′),

and the Q-values are its fixed point Q=TμR,P(Q)Q=\mathcal T_{\mu_R,P}(Q)Q=TμR​,P​(Q), with V∗(s)=max⁡aQ(s,a)V^*(s)=\max_aQ(s,a)V∗(s)=maxa​Q(s,a).

Data are collected by an exploration policy π(a∣s)\pi(a\mid s)π(a∣s). Starting from some state, the agent repeatedly takes at∼π(⋅∣st)a_t\sim\pi(\cdot\mid s_t)at​∼π(⋅∣st​), observes rt∼R(st,at)r_t\sim R(s_t,a_t)rt​∼R(st​,at​), and moves to st+1∼P(⋅∣st,at)s_{t+1}\sim P(\cdot\mid s_t,a_t)st+1​∼P(⋅∣st​,at​). The state-action pairs then form a Markov chain with transition matrix P~π((s,a),(s′,a′))=P(s′∣s,a)π(a′∣s′)\tilde P^\pi((s,a),(s',a'))=P(s'\mid s,a)\pi(a'\mid s')P~π((s,a),(s′,a′))=P(s′∣s,a)π(a′∣s′). From nnn observations, the plug-in estimates are the sample mean reward μ^R,n(s,a)\hat\mu_{R,n}(s,a)μ^​R,n​(s,a) and the empirical transition frequencies P^n(k∣s,a)\hat P_n(k\mid s,a)P^n​(k∣s,a) at each pair, with fixed initial values at unvisited pairs. The estimate Q^n\hat Q_nQ^​n​ is the fixed point of Tμ^R,n,P^n\mathcal T_{\hat\mu_{R,n},\hat P_n}Tμ^​R,n​,P^n​​.

The standing assumptions are:

  • Assumption 1: finite reward variances, with rewards independent of the next state given (s,a)(s,a)(s,a).
  • Assumption 2: every state has a unique optimal action a∗(s)a^*(s)a∗(s).
  • Assumption 3: P~π\tilde P^\piP~π is irreducible. Its stationary distribution www is then positive and equals the long-run visit frequency of each pair.

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem 1

Under Assumptions 1–3, Q^n→Q\hat Q_n\to QQ^​n​→Q almost surely, and

n(Q^n−Q)⇒N(0,Σ),Σ=(I−γP~π∗)−1W−1(DR+γ2DQ)((I−γP~π∗)−1)T.\sqrt n(\hat Q_n-Q)\Rightarrow\mathcal N(0,\Sigma),\qquad \Sigma=(I-\gamma\tilde P^{\pi^*})^{-1}W^{-1}(D_R+\gamma^2D_Q)\big((I-\gamma\tilde P^{\pi^*})^{-1}\big)^T.n​(Q^​n​−Q)⇒N(0,Σ),Σ=(I−γP~π∗)−1W−1(DR​+γ2DQ​)((I−γP~π∗)−1)T.

Here P~π∗((s,a),(s′,a′))=P(s′∣s,a)1(a′=a∗(s′))\tilde P^{\pi^*}((s,a),(s',a'))=P(s'\mid s,a)\mathbb 1(a'=a^*(s'))P~π∗((s,a),(s′,a′))=P(s′∣s,a)1(a′=a∗(s′)), and WWW, DRD_RDR​, DQD_QDQ​ are diagonal with entries w(s,a)w(s,a)w(s,a), σR2(s,a)\sigma^2_R(s,a)σR2​(s,a) and (V∗)TΣPs,aV∗(V^*)^T\Sigma_{P_{s,a}}V^*(V∗)TΣPs,a​​V∗. The matrix ΣPs,a\Sigma_{P_{s,a}}ΣPs,a​​ is the multinomial covariance of P(⋅∣s,a)P(\cdot\mid s,a)P(⋅∣s,a). The covariance is part of the statement: the paper's subsequent results (Corollary 1, Q-OCBA) use it.

Milestones (the proof of Theorem 1, App. A.1)

  1. (22): [μ^R,n,P^n]→[μR,P][\hat\mu_{R,n},\hat P_n]\to[\mu_R,P][μ^​R,n​,P^n​]→[μR​,P] almost surely.
  2. 1n#{t≤n:(st,at)=(i,j)}→w(i,j)\frac1n\#\{t\le n:(s_t,a_t)=(i,j)\}\to w(i,j)n1​#{t≤n:(st​,at​)=(i,j)}→w(i,j) almost surely.
  3. (23): n([μ^R,n,P^n]−[μR,P])⇒N(0,ΣR,P)\sqrt n([\hat\mu_{R,n},\hat P_n]-[\mu_R,P])\Rightarrow\mathcal N(0,\Sigma_{R,P})n​([μ^​R,n​,P^n​]−[μR​,P])⇒N(0,ΣR,P​), where ΣR,P=diag⁡(W−1DR,DP)\Sigma_{R,P}=\operatorname{diag}(W^{-1}D_R,D_P)ΣR,P​=diag(W−1DR​,DP​) and DPD_PDP​ is block diagonal with blocks ΣPs,a/w(s,a)\Sigma_{P_{s,a}}/w(s,a)ΣPs,a​​/w(s,a).
  4. I−γP~′I-\gamma\tilde P'I−γP~′ is invertible for every stochastic P′P'P′ and every Q′Q'Q′ with unique argmaxes.
  5. The fixed point ϕ(r′,P′)\phi(r',P')ϕ(r′,P′) is continuously differentiable at (μR,P)(\mu_R,P)(μR​,P), with gradient (I−γP~π∗)−1[ I∣γblockdiag⁡((V∗)T) ](I-\gamma\tilde P^{\pi^*})^{-1}[\,I\mid\gamma\operatorname{blockdiag}((V^*)^T)\,](I−γP~π∗)−1[I∣γblockdiag((V∗)T)].
  6. Q^n→Q\hat Q_n\to QQ^​n​→Q almost surely.
  7. ∇ϕ ΣR,P ∇ϕT=Σ\nabla\phi\,\Sigma_{R,P}\,\nabla\phi^T=\Sigma∇ϕΣR,P​∇ϕT=Σ.

Significance

The result. Theorem 1 gives asymptotically exact simultaneous confidence regions for all Q-values from one trajectory of exploration data. The closed form of Σ\SigmaΣ shows how each source of noise contributes: reward noise through DRD_RDR​, transition noise through DQD_QDQ​, the amount of data at each pair through W−1W^{-1}W−1, and propagation through the dynamics of the optimal policy through (I−γP~π∗)−1(I-\gamma\tilde P^{\pi^*})^{-1}(I−γP~π∗)−1. This decomposition is what makes Σ\SigmaΣ usable as an objective for allocating exploration effort, which the paper's Q-OCBA policy does. Corollary 1 (CLT for the optimal value V∗V^*V∗) is derived from it.

Formalizing it. The result is proved in the paper, but the proof cites its probabilistic core: a joint central limit theorem for empirical transition frequencies of an irreducible finite Markov chain (Trevezas and Limnios 2009, Proposition 3), together with the multivariate delta method. A machine-checked proof would also certify that the covariance formula, with its transposes and weights, is correct as printed. No Q-value CLT or Markov-chain CLT for empirical transition matrices is currently formalized on the platform. The existing Markov-chain CLTs there are scalar and assume uniform ergodicity.

Difficulty

The deterministic half (milestones 4, 5, 7) is linear algebra plus an implicit-function argument. The obstacle is that QQQ depends on (μR,P)(\mu_R,P)(μR​,P) through a maximum, which is not differentiable at ties. Assumption 2 removes ties at (μR,P)(\mu_R,P)(μR​,P), and differentiability holds only on a neighbourhood where the argmax stays the same.

The probabilistic half is harder. A natural first idea is to treat the visits to each pair as i.i.d. samples and apply the classical multivariate CLT. This fails because the number of visits is random and depends on the whole trajectory, and the samples at different pairs are dependent through the chain. The CLT (23) needs a martingale or regeneration argument for the Markov chain on state-action pairs. The chain is only assumed irreducible, so it may be periodic, and uniformly ergodic CLTs do not apply directly.

Formalization scope

  • Indexing and spaces. State-action pairs are indexed by S × A with Fintype, DecidableEq and Nonempty; the paper's flattening (i−1)ma+j(i-1)m_a+j(i−1)ma​+j is notation only. PPP, π\piπ and the initial state law are PMFs, and rewards are probability measures on R\mathbb RR with MemLp id 2 (Assumption 1).
  • Discount. 0≤γ<10\le\gamma<10≤γ<1 is pinned; the paper leaves it implicit.
  • Data law. The data form the Markov chain ((st,at),rt)((s_t,a_t),r_t)((st​,at​),rt​) on (S×A)×R(\mathcal S\times\mathcal A)\times\mathbb R(S×A)×R described in Setting, with law given by the published MarkovChainCLT.chainMeasure. Every initial state law is allowed. Time is 0-based.
  • Fixed points. The fixed point is the limit of value iteration (bellmanFix). It is the unique fixed point whenever the Bellman operator is a contraction, which covers every stochastic P′P'P′ and a neighbourhood of (μR,P)(\mu_R,P)(μR​,P).
  • Assumptions 2 and 3. Assumption 2 is a strict inequality Q(s,a)<Q(s,a∗(s))Q(s,a)<Q(s,a^*(s))Q(s,a)<Q(s,a∗(s)) for a≠a∗(s)a\ne a^*(s)a=a∗(s). Assumption 3 is ∀x,y ∃m, (P~π)m(x,y)>0\forall x,y\ \exists m,\ (\tilde P^\pi)^m(x,y)>0∀x,y ∃m, (P~π)m(x,y)>0, and www is bound by the stationarity equations.
  • Limits. The Gaussian limits are Mathlib's multivariateGaussian on EuclideanSpace, and convergence in distribution is TendstoInDistribution.

Trivializations ruled out.

  • Matrix.inv returns 000 on singular matrices, but I−γP~π∗I-\gamma\tilde P^{\pi^*}I−γP~π∗ is invertible under the pins, so Σ\SigmaΣ is not a junk zero.
  • multivariateGaussian returns a point mass for a non-positive-semidefinite matrix, but Σ\SigmaΣ and ΣR,P\Sigma_{R,P}ΣR,P​ are positive semidefinite.
  • A non-strict argmax (which would admit ties and the non-Gaussian limit of the paper's Theorem 2) is excluded.
  • Rewards and transitions live on one trajectory under one chain law, not on independent spaces.

Infrastructure. A complete development needs:

  • an ergodic theorem for finite irreducible Markov chains (milestone 2);
  • a multivariate Markov-chain CLT (milestone 3), which is reusable well beyond this mission;
  • the multivariate delta method and continuous mapping in TendstoInDistribution form;
  • differentiability of a contraction fixed point in parameters.

Contributions of any of these as standalone lemmas are welcome.

Not posed. Corollaries 1–2 and Theorems 2–6 of the paper (optimal-value and fixed-policy CLTs, non-unique optimal policies, constrained MDPs, Q-OCBA consistency, approximate value iteration, kernel representations) are not part of this mission.

Selected references

  • Y. Zhu, J. Dong, H. Lam, Uncertainty Quantification and Exploration for Reinforcement Learning, Operations Research, 2024; arXiv:1910.05471v3, 2022. https://arxiv.org/abs/1910.05471
  • S. Mannor, D. Simester, P. Sun, J. N. Tsitsiklis, Bias and Variance Approximation in Value Function Estimates, Management Science 53(2):308–322, 2007. https://doi.org/10.1287/mnsc.1060.0614
  • S. Trevezas, N. Limnios, Variance Estimation in the Central Limit Theorem for Markov Chains, Journal of Statistical Planning and Inference 139(7):2242–2253, 2009. https://www.sciencedirect.com/journal/journal-of-statistical-planning-and-inference/vol/139/issue/7
  • R. J. Serfling, Approximation Theorems of Mathematical Statistics, Wiley, 2009 (delta method). https://doi.org/10.1002/9780470316481
  • M. Kearns, S. Singh, Finite-Sample Convergence Rates for Q-Learning and Indirect Algorithms, Advances in Neural Information Processing Systems 11, 996–1002, 1998.
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CombinatoricsMachine LearningOperations Research+1·Captain: mikedeng1

The Power of Subsampling in Submodular Maximization: SampleGreedy is a (p+1)²/p-approximation for non-negative submodular maximization over p-extendible systemsResearch Paper

Motivation

Many selection problems in machine learning and operations research ask for a set of items that maximizes a utility with diminishing returns, subject to a combinatorial feasibility constraint: summarizing a collection of images or documents, placing sensors, recommending a diverse set of products, or choosing a set of edges that forms a matching. Diminishing returns is submodularity; the feasibility constraints in these examples (matroids, intersections of matroids, matchings, knapsack-type systems) are instances of ppp-extendible systems, a class introduced by Mestre (ESA 2006). Many useful objectives, such as graph cuts and diversity-regularized utilities, are non-monotone: adding an item can lower the value.

The greedy algorithm has a long history for this problem class. Fisher, Nemhauser and Wolsey (1978, doi:10.1007/BFb0121195) showed that greedy gives a (p+1)(p+1)(p+1)-approximation for monotone submodular objectives over ppp-systems, a class that contains ppp-extendible systems. For non-monotone objectives, the known greedy-based algorithms ran the greedy algorithm repeatedly. Gupta, Roth, Schoenebeck and Talwar (WINE 2010) obtained roughly 3p3p3p, Mirzasoleiman et al. (2016) roughly 2p2p2p, and Feldman, Harshaw and Karbasi (COLT 2017) p+O(p)p + O(\sqrt p)p+O(p​), each with Ω(nkp)\Omega(nkp)Ω(nkp) or Ω(nkp)\Omega(nk\sqrt p)Ω(nkp​) oracle queries. Harshaw, Kazemi, Feldman and Karbasi (arXiv:2104.02772; Mathematics of Operations Research, 2022) showed that a single random subsampling of the ground set, followed by one run of the plain greedy algorithm, gives a (p+1)2/p(p+1)^2/p(p+1)2/p-approximation for non-negative submodular objectives with expected O(n+nk/p)O(n + nk/p)O(n+nk/p) oracle calls. This mission formalizes that guarantee.

Setting

Let N\mathcal NN be a finite ground set of size nnn, with a fixed linear order u1<⋯<unu_1 < \dots < u_nu1​<⋯<un​ that is used only to break ties. A set function is a map f:2N→Rf : 2^{\mathcal N} \to \mathbb Rf:2N→R. The marginal gain of uuu at SSS is f(u∣S)=f(S∪{u})−f(S)f(u \mid S) = f(S \cup \{u\}) - f(S)f(u∣S)=f(S∪{u})−f(S).

  • fff is submodular if f(A∪{e})−f(A)≥f(B∪{e})−f(B)f(A \cup \{e\}) - f(A) \ge f(B \cup \{e\}) - f(B)f(A∪{e})−f(A)≥f(B∪{e})−f(B) whenever A⊆BA \subseteq BA⊆B and e∉Be \notin Be∈/B; monotone if A⊆BA \subseteq BA⊆B implies f(A)≤f(B)f(A) \le f(B)f(A)≤f(B); linear if the submodular inequality always holds with equality.
  • A predicate I\mathcal II on subsets is an independence system if ∅∈I\emptyset \in \mathcal I∅∈I and I\mathcal II is closed under taking subsets. It is ppp-extendible if for all A⊆BA \subseteq BA⊆B in I\mathcal II and every e∉Ae \notin Ae∈/A with A∪{e}∈IA \cup \{e\} \in \mathcal IA∪{e}∈I there is Y⊆B∖AY \subseteq B \setminus AY⊆B∖A with ∣Y∣≤p|Y| \le p∣Y∣≤p and (B∖Y)∪{e}∈I(B \setminus Y) \cup \{e\} \in \mathcal I(B∖Y)∪{e}∈I.

The problem is max⁡S∈If(S)\max_{S \in \mathcal I} f(S)maxS∈I​f(S) for non-negative submodular fff; OPT denotes a maximizer.

SampleGreedy with sampling probability qqq keeps each element independently with probability qqq, giving a sample N′\mathcal N'N′. It then starts from S=∅S = \emptysetS=∅ and repeatedly adds the element u∈N′u \in \mathcal N'u∈N′ of largest marginal gain among those with S∪{u}∈IS \cup \{u\} \in \mathcal IS∪{u}∈I and f(u∣S)>0f(u \mid S) > 0f(u∣S)>0, ties broken by the fixed order, until no such element is left. Its expected value is

Eq[f(S)]=∑N′⊆Nq∣N′∣(1−q)n−∣N′∣ f(SampleGreedy(N′)).\mathbb E_q[f(S)] = \sum_{\mathcal N' \subseteq \mathcal N} q^{|\mathcal N'|}(1-q)^{n-|\mathcal N'|}\, f\big(\mathrm{SampleGreedy}(\mathcal N')\big).Eq​[f(S)]=N′⊆N∑​q∣N′∣(1−q)n−∣N′∣f(SampleGreedy(N′)).

For the analysis the paper introduces Algorithm 2, which runs greedy over the whole ground set, flips a qqq-coin for each chosen element, and maintains a set OOO (initially OPT), removal sets OuO_uOu​, snapshots SuS_uSu​ and indicators XuX_uXu​ ("uuu was considered") and YuY_uYu​.

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem 1 (p. 7)

For non-negative submodular fff, a ppp-extendible system with p≥1p \ge 1p≥1, and every T∈IT \in \mathcal IT∈I: SampleGreedy's output is always independent, and $$f(T) \le \frac{(p+1)^2}{p},\mathbb E_{1/(p+1)}[f(S)], \qquad f(T) \le (p+1),\mathbb E_{1/(p+1)}[f(S)] \ \text{if fff is monotone},

f(T) \le p,\mathbb E_{1/p}[f(S)] \ \text{if fff is linear}.$$

Milestones

In attack order: Lemma 3 (p. 8, already Proved on the platform: a random set whose elements each appear with probability at most qqq keeps a (1−q)(1-q)(1−q) fraction of g(∅)g(\emptyset)g(∅) in expectation); Lemma 4 (p. 10, SampleGreedy and Algorithm 2 have the same output law); Lemma 5 (p. 11, invariants of Algorithm 2); Lemma 6 (p. 12, f(S)≥f(S∪OPT)−∑u∣Ou∖S∣ f(u∣Su)f(S) \ge f(S\cup \mathrm{OPT}) - \sum_u |O_u \setminus S|\, f(u\mid S_u)f(S)≥f(S∪OPT)−∑u​∣Ou​∖S∣f(u∣Su​)); Lemma 7 (p. 13, inequality (5)); Lemma 8 (p. 14); the display of §4.1.1 (p. 14); Lemma 9 (p. 15, linear objectives); Lemma 10 (p. 16, inequality (7)).

Significance

The result shows that one random subsample plus one greedy pass beats the repeated-greedy algorithms for non-monotone objectives over ppp-extendible systems, both in ratio and in query count, and matches the classical p+1p+1p+1 for monotone objectives. Since no polynomial-query algorithm achieves a ratio better than p+1/2p + 1/2p+1/2 for this problem (Feldman, Harshaw and Karbasi 2017, Theorem 4), the ratio (p+1)2/p=p+2+1/p(p+1)^2/p = p + 2 + 1/p(p+1)2/p=p+2+1/p is nearly tight. The proof technique, which couples the subsampled algorithm with an auxiliary algorithm that flips coins only for the elements it considers, is reused in the paper's streaming algorithm and in later subsampling-based algorithms.

The result is proved on paper; no machine-checked version is known. A formalization would give a checked analysis of a randomized greedy algorithm over an abstract independence system, including the coupling of two random processes, which is the step that informal proofs usually treat most briefly. It would also give reusable definitions of ppp-extendible systems and of greedy runs with explicit tie-breaking. The mission also records a defect of the printed text: Lemma 9 as printed is false for linear functions with f(∅)>0f(\emptyset) > 0f(∅)>0, so it is stated here with f(∅)=0f(\emptyset) = 0f(∅)=0.

Difficulty

The obvious argument would analyze SampleGreedy directly, but there the sample and the greedy path are entangled: which element is chosen next depends on the whole sample. The analysis instead goes through Algorithm 2, and the hard step is Lemma 4, an exact equality of output laws. Its proof needs both algorithms to break ties identically and the coins to be fixed in advance. After that, the expectation bounds of Lemmas 7, 8 and 10 condition on the history up to the iteration in which a given element is considered, and the coin of that element is independent of that history. In the finite-sum encoding this conditioning becomes a combinatorial regrouping of the 2n2^n2n coin outcomes, which has to be carried out explicitly. Lemma 6 requires a disjointness argument for the sets Ou∖SO_u \setminus SOu​∖S across the whole run.

Formalization scope

The ground set is a Fintype α with a LinearOrder α, which is the paper's tie-breaking order (p. 10). Set functions are Finset α → ℝ, and I\mathcal II is a predicate Finset α → Prop. The parameter ppp is a natural number with p≥1p \ge 1p≥1. Submodularity is the published lattice form NonmonotoneSubmod.Shared.Submodular (f(S∪T)+f(S∩T)≤f(S)+f(T)f(S\cup T)+f(S\cap T)\le f(S)+f(T)f(S∪T)+f(S∩T)≤f(S)+f(T)), equivalent on finite ground sets to the paper's (1). The while loops run for exactly nnn iterations, which is enough because each effective iteration adds or considers a new element. Expectations are exact finite sums over the 2n2^n2n samples or coin outcomes. Algorithm 2's coins are a fixed bit set, and its line 6 is one fixed minimum-cardinality choice. "α\alphaα-approximation" for a randomized algorithm is read, as in the paper's proof, as E[f(S)]≥f(OPT)/α\mathbb E[f(S)] \ge f(\mathrm{OPT})/\alphaE[f(S)]≥f(OPT)/α, stated against every independent TTT. Linear means (1) with equality and allows f(∅)≠0f(\emptyset) \neq 0f(∅)=0, except in Lemma 9, which adds f(∅)=0f(\emptyset)=0f(∅)=0. The oracle-count clause O(nk/p)O(nk/p)O(nk/p) of Theorem 1 is not formalized.

Trivializing encodings are excluded. The expected value is a sum over the greedy runs on each sample, with the sample as the greedy pool (not the whole ground set followed by a filter). The weights sum to 1. The comparison set is always assumed independent. The ratio (p+1)2/p(p+1)^2/p(p+1)2/p is real division. A sanity file checks that the output on a sample differs from the output on the whole ground set.

A complete development needs the greedy run's invariants, the coupling of Lemma 4, and the regrouping of finite sums over coin outcomes by the history before a given element is considered. The last of these is reusable for any analysis of an algorithm that flips independent coins. Proofs of any milestone, and alternative proofs of Lemma 4, are welcome.

Selected references

  • C. Harshaw, E. Kazemi, M. Feldman, A. Karbasi, The Power of Subsampling in Submodular Maximization, Mathematics of Operations Research, 2022; preprint arXiv:2104.02772v1, 2021. https://arxiv.org/abs/2104.02772
  • M. Feldman, C. Harshaw, A. Karbasi, Greed is Good: Near-Optimal Submodular Maximization via Greedy Optimization, COLT, 2017. https://arxiv.org/abs/1704.01652
  • N. Buchbinder, M. Feldman, J. Naor, R. Schwartz, Submodular Maximization with Cardinality Constraints, SODA, 2014. https://doi.org/10.1137/1.9781611973402.106
  • M. L. Fisher, G. L. Nemhauser, L. A. Wolsey, An analysis of approximations for maximizing submodular set functions – II, Mathematical Programming Study 8, 1978. https://doi.org/10.1007/BFb0121195
  • J. Mestre, Greedy in Approximation Algorithms, ESA, 2006. https://doi.org/10.1007/11841036_49
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Actuarial ScienceOperations ResearchOptimal Transport+1·Captain: mikedeng1

Maximum Spectral Measures of Risk with Given Risk Factor Marginal Distributions: Strong Duality for the Worst-Case Spectral Risk Measure over CouplingsResearch Paper

Worst-case risk under dependence uncertainty

A portfolio loss often depends on several risk factors whose individual distributions can be estimated well but whose joint distribution cannot. Regulators and risk managers then ask for the worst-case risk: the largest value a risk measure can take over all joint laws compatible with the known marginals. For Value-at-Risk and Expected Shortfall of sums this question has a long literature on risk aggregation (Embrechts, Puccetti, Rüschendorf, Wang and others). Ghossoub, Hall and Saunders (arXiv:2010.14673v1, published in Mathematics of Operations Research, 2023) treat a general loss L(X,Y)L(X,Y)L(X,Y) of two Polish-space-valued risk factors and the whole class of spectral risk measures, which contains Expected Shortfall and, for constant weight, the expectation. Their main result is a duality theorem in the style of Kantorovich duality for optimal transport.

Setting

Let X\mathcal XX and Y\mathcal YY be Polish spaces with their Borel σ\sigmaσ-algebras, μ\muμ and ν\nuν probability measures on them, and Π(μ,ν)\Pi(\mu,\nu)Π(μ,ν) the set of couplings: probability measures on X×Y\mathcal X\times\mathcal YX×Y with marginals μ\muμ and ν\nuν. A loss is a function L:X×Y→RL:\mathcal X\times\mathcal Y\to\mathbb RL:X×Y→R.

For a coupling π\piπ, the generalized inverse of LLL is FL,π←(α)=inf⁡{x:π(L≤x)≥α}F^{\leftarrow}_{L,\pi}(\alpha)=\inf\{x:\pi(L\le x)\ge\alpha\}FL,π←​(α)=inf{x:π(L≤x)≥α} for α∈(0,1)\alpha\in(0,1)α∈(0,1). A spectral function is a bounded, increasing, right-continuous σ:[0,1)→R+\sigma:[0,1)\to\mathbb R_+σ:[0,1)→R+​ with ∫01σ=1\int_0^1\sigma=1∫01​σ=1, and the spectral risk measure is

Rπ,σ(L)=∫01FL,π←(u) σ(u) du.R_{\pi,\sigma}(L)=\int_0^1F^{\leftarrow}_{L,\pi}(u)\,\sigma(u)\,du .Rπ,σ​(L)=∫01​FL,π←​(u)σ(u)du.

Expected Shortfall ESα,π(L)=(1−α)−1∫α1FL,π←\mathrm{ES}_{\alpha,\pi}(L)=(1-\alpha)^{-1}\int_\alpha^1F^{\leftarrow}_{L,\pi}ESα,π​(L)=(1−α)−1∫α1​FL,π←​ is the case σ=(1−α)−11[α,1]\sigma=(1-\alpha)^{-1}\mathbf 1_{[\alpha,1]}σ=(1−α)−11[α,1]​. Two measures on [0,1)[0,1)[0,1) carry σ\sigmaσ: γσ\gamma_\sigmaγσ​, with distribution function σ\sigmaσ (so γσ({0})=σ(0)\gamma_\sigma(\{0\})=\sigma(0)γσ​({0})=σ(0) may be positive), and Γσ\Gamma_\sigmaΓσ​, the probability measure with dΓσ(u)=(1−u) dγσ(u)d\Gamma_\sigma(u)=(1-u)\,d\gamma_\sigma(u)dΓσ​(u)=(1−u)dγσ​(u).

The Maximum Spectral Measure is the primal value

Vσ(μ,ν)=sup⁡π∈Π(μ,ν)Rπ,σ(L).V_\sigma(\mu,\nu)=\sup_{\pi\in\Pi(\mu,\nu)}R_{\pi,\sigma}(L).Vσ​(μ,ν)=π∈Π(μ,ν)sup​Rπ,σ​(L).

For a threshold function β∈L1(γσ)\beta\in\mathcal L^1(\gamma_\sigma)β∈L1(γσ​) define the cost Cβ(x,y)=∫01max⁡(L(x,y)−β(u),0) dγσ(u)C^\beta(x,y)=\int_0^1\max(L(x,y)-\beta(u),0)\,d\gamma_\sigma(u)Cβ(x,y)=∫01​max(L(x,y)−β(u),0)dγσ​(u), and let ΦCβ\Phi_{C^\beta}ΦCβ​ be the pairs (φ,ψ)∈L1(μ)×L1(ν)(\varphi,\psi)\in\mathcal L^1(\mu)\times\mathcal L^1(\nu)(φ,ψ)∈L1(μ)×L1(ν) with φ(x)+ψ(y)≥Cβ(x,y)\varphi(x)+\psi(y)\ge C^\beta(x,y)φ(x)+ψ(y)≥Cβ(x,y) for μ\muμ-a.e. xxx and ν\nuν-a.e. yyy. The dual value is

Dσ(μ,ν)=inf⁡β∈L1(γσ), (φ,ψ)∈ΦCβ∫01β dΓσ+∫φ dμ+∫ψ dν.D_\sigma(\mu,\nu)=\inf_{\beta\in\mathcal L^1(\gamma_\sigma),\ (\varphi,\psi)\in\Phi_{C^\beta}}\int_0^1\beta\,d\Gamma_\sigma+\int\varphi\,d\mu+\int\psi\,d\nu .Dσ​(μ,ν)=β∈L1(γσ​), (φ,ψ)∈ΦCβ​inf​∫01​βdΓσ​+∫φdμ+∫ψdν.

The assumptions are: (A.1) LLL is upper semicontinuous; (A.2) L(x,y)≤A(x)+B(y)L(x,y)\le A(x)+B(y)L(x,y)≤A(x)+B(y) with lower semicontinuous integrable A,BA,BA,B; (A.3) L(x,y)≥a(x)+b(y)L(x,y)\ge a(x)+b(y)L(x,y)≥a(x)+b(y) with upper semicontinuous integrable a,ba,ba,b, both bounds for μ\muμ-a.e. xxx and ν\nuν-a.e. yyy; (A.4) σ\sigmaσ is bounded and right-continuous.

Formalization targets

Goal: strong duality (Theorem 1, p. 11)

Vσ(μ,ν)=Dσ(μ,ν)under A.1–A.4.V_\sigma(\mu,\nu)=D_\sigma(\mu,\nu)\qquad\text{under A.1–A.4.}Vσ​(μ,ν)=Dσ​(μ,ν)under A.1–A.4.

The goal asserts only the equality of values. It does not assert attainment in the primal or the dual; the paper does not claim dual attainment (Remark 3).

Milestones, in attack order

  1. Γσ\Gamma_\sigmaΓσ​ is a probability measure with distribution function (1−u)σ(u)+∫0uσ(1-u)\sigma(u)+\int_0^u\sigma(1−u)σ(u)+∫0u​σ (p. 6).
  2. The Rockafellar–Uryasev formula (2): ESα,π(L)=min⁡b b+(1−α)−1Eπ[(L−b)+]\mathrm{ES}_{\alpha,\pi}(L)=\min_b\, b+(1-\alpha)^{-1}\mathbb E_\pi[(L-b)_+]ESα,π​(L)=minb​b+(1−α)−1Eπ​[(L−b)+​], and its α=0\alpha=0α=0 form.
  3. Rπ,σ(L)=∫01ESu,π(L) dΓσ(u)R_{\pi,\sigma}(L)=\int_0^1\mathrm{ES}_{u,\pi}(L)\,d\Gamma_\sigma(u)Rπ,σ​(L)=∫01​ESu,π​(L)dΓσ​(u) (p. 6).
  4. Lemma 1: CβC^\betaCβ is upper semicontinuous, finite and dominated by Aβ(x)+Bβ(y)A^\beta(x)+B^\beta(y)Aβ(x)+Bβ(y).
  5. Proposition 1, weak duality: Dσ≥VσD_\sigma\ge V_\sigmaDσ​≥Vσ​.
  6. Lemma 2: convexity, coercivity, subdifferential and minimizers of b↦gα(b,π)b\mapsto g_\alpha(b,\pi)b↦gα​(b,π).
  7. Lemma 4: interchange of the infimum over β\betaβ and the Γσ\Gamma_\sigmaΓσ​-integral.
  8. Proposition 2: H(π,β)H(\pi,\beta)H(π,β) is affine and upper semicontinuous in π\piπ and convex in β\betaβ.
  9. Proposition 3: the minimax equality inf⁡βmax⁡πH=max⁡πinf⁡βH\inf_\beta\max_\pi H=\max_\pi\inf_\beta Hinfβ​maxπ​H=maxπ​infβ​H.
  10. Equality (6): Kantorovich duality for the cost CβC^\betaCβ, for each β∈L1(γσ)\beta\in\mathcal L^1(\gamma_\sigma)β∈L1(γσ​).

Significance

The theorem gives a computable upper bound mechanism: every dual feasible triple (β,φ,ψ)(\beta,\varphi,\psi)(β,φ,ψ) certifies an upper bound on the worst-case spectral risk, and the bounds are tight. For σ≡1\sigma\equiv1σ≡1 it is Kantorovich duality for the cost LLL; for Expected Shortfall the infimum over β\betaβ collapses to one real threshold, which the paper exploits in §5 for stability and asymptotic results. The ingredients (the ES-mixture representation of spectral risk measures, the Rockafellar–Uryasev formula, interchange of infimum and integral for normal integrands) are standard tools of risk measure theory that are reusable well beyond this paper.

The result is proved in the paper, not formalized anywhere known. A complete development adds a machine-checked version of Kantorovich duality for upper semicontinuous costs with integrable bounds and almost-everywhere constraints, which the platform currently has only for continuous nonnegative costs with bounded continuous potentials (MongeKantorovichYao.monge_kantorovich_duality). Related platform work includes the Open goal RiskFunctionals.Distortion.choquet_representation, a lower-tail analogue of milestone 3 for distortion acceptability functionals, and RUCVaR.MinFormula.theorem_10, the Rockafellar–Uryasev formula on a finite-dimensional carrier.

Difficulty

The informal derivation on p. 7 exchanges a supremum over couplings with an infimum over threshold functions, an infimum with an integral, and two integrals, and then applies Kantorovich duality to a cost that depends on β\betaβ. Each exchange needs a reason. The supremum–infimum exchange needs a minimax theorem over the weakly compact set Π(μ,ν)\Pi(\mu,\nu)Π(μ,ν) against an infinite-dimensional convex set of β\betaβ's, with upper semicontinuity in π\piπ that holds only for β∈L1(γσ)\beta\in\mathcal L^1(\gamma_\sigma)β∈L1(γσ​), not on the larger natural domain L1(Γσ)\mathcal L^1(\Gamma_\sigma)L1(Γσ​). The infimum–integral exchange must cope with the atom of Γσ\Gamma_\sigmaΓσ​ at 000, where the pointwise infimum Eπ[L]\mathbb E_\pi[L]Eπ​[L] need not be attained, and with the factor (1−u)−1(1-u)^{-1}(1−u)−1, which is unbounded near 111. Applying Kantorovich duality to CβC^\betaCβ needs the cost to be upper semicontinuous with integrable bounds, which is Lemma 1. Lemma 3 of the paper (FL,π←∈L1(Γ~σ)F^{\leftarrow}_{L,\pi}\in\mathcal L^1(\widetilde\Gamma_\sigma)FL,π←​∈L1(Γσ​)) is false in general and is not part of the mission; Lemma 4 holds without it.

Formalization scope

The development is in the namespace MaxSpectralRisk.Duality over Mathlib. Couplings are the published MongeKantorovichYao.transferencePlans μ ν. A spectral function is a StieltjesFunction ℝ that vanishes on (−∞,0)(-\infty,0)(−∞,0) and integrates to 111 over (0,1)(0,1)(0,1); this builds in A.4, since monotonicity bounds it on [0,1)[0,1)[0,1) and values on [1,∞)[1,\infty)[1,∞) are never used. γσ\gamma_\sigmaγσ​ is its Stieltjes measure restricted to [0,1)[0,1)[0,1) and Γσ\Gamma_\sigmaΓσ​ has density 1−u1-u1−u against γσ\gamma_\sigmaγσ​; milestone 1 checks the paper's distribution-function description. VσV_\sigmaVσ​, DσD_\sigmaDσ​ and the auxiliary HHH, KπK_\piKπ​ take values in EReal; HHH and KπK_\piKπ​ are +∞+\infty+∞ when their integrand is not integrable, matching the paper's R∪{∞}\mathbb R\cup\{\infty\}R∪{∞}. Integrals over (0,1)(0,1)(0,1) against dududu are Lebesgue interval integrals. Weak convergence of couplings is convergence in Mathlib's ProbabilityMeasure topology. "For μ\muμ-a.e. xxx and ν\nuν-a.e. yyy" in A.2, A.3 and ΦCβ\Phi_{C^\beta}ΦCβ​ means "off N×Y∪X×N′N\times\mathcal Y\cup\mathcal X\times N'N×Y∪X×N′ with μ(N)=ν(N′)=0\mu(N)=\nu(N')=0μ(N)=ν(N′)=0".

That reading is essential: a (μ⊗ν)(\mu\otimes\nu)(μ⊗ν)-almost-everywhere dual constraint can be violated on the support of a coupling (the diagonal of [0,1]2[0,1]^2[0,1]2 under Lebesgue marginals), which breaks weak duality. Equally, a dual over constant β\betaβ only, over bounded β\betaβ only, or values computed as real sSup/sInf (which return 000 on unbounded sets) would not be the paper's problem.

Contributions are welcome at every level: the Stieltjes and integration-by-parts facts behind milestones 1 and 3, the convex analysis of milestone 2 and Lemma 2, a general Kantorovich duality for semicontinuous costs (reusable for any optimal transport mission), and the minimax theorem behind Proposition 3.

Selected references

  • M. Ghossoub, J. Hall, D. Saunders, Maximum Spectral Measures of Risk with given Risk Factor Marginal Distributions, arXiv:2010.14673v1, 2020; Mathematics of Operations Research, 2023. https://arxiv.org/abs/2010.14673v1
  • R. T. Rockafellar, S. Uryasev, Optimization of Conditional Value-at-Risk, Journal of Risk 2(3), 2000. https://doi.org/10.21314/JOR.2000.038
  • C. Villani, Optimal Transport: Old and New, Springer, 2008 (Theorem 5.10). https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-540-71050-9
  • R. T. Rockafellar, R. J.-B. Wets, Variational Analysis, Springer, 2009 (Theorem 14.60). https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-642-02431-3
  • C. Acerbi, Spectral measures of risk: A coherent representation of subjective risk aversion, Journal of Banking & Finance 26(7), 2002. https://doi.org/10.1016/S0378-4266(02)00281-9
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Mechanism DesignOperations ResearchProbability·Captain: mikedeng1

Sales-Based Rebate Design: No Increasing Sales-Based Reward Program Is ProfitableResearch Paper

Motivation

Products with positive network effects (messaging apps, online games, social platforms) are known to support higher profits: a buyer's utility grows with the number of other buyers, and a seller can monetize that complementarity (Katz and Shapiro 1986; Candogan, Bimpikis and Ozdaglar 2012). Ajorlou and Jadbabaie ask whether a seller of a product without such an effect can create one artificially, by announcing a sales-based rebate: every buyer pays the market price and later receives a reward that depends on the realized sales volume (arXiv:1902.09646v4, Management Science, 2023).

Because consumers are uncertain about a common quality component and about each other's valuations, the purchase decision becomes a global game with correlated private valuations, in the sense of Carlsson and van Damme (1993) and Morris and Shin (1998). A natural first guess is that a rebate increasing in sales volume, which imitates a positive network effect, should help the seller. The paper's Theorem 2 says the opposite: when the price is already optimal, no increasing sales-based reward program is profitable. This mission formalizes that result and the identities on which it rests.

Setting

A firm sells one product at a market price ppp to a unit mass of consumers. Consumer iii values the product at vi=v+ϵiv_i = v + \epsilon_ivi​=v+ϵi​, where the common quality vvv has the Gaussian prior v∼N(θ,σθ2)v \sim N(\theta, \sigma_\theta^2)v∼N(θ,σθ2​) and the taste ϵi∼N(0,σϵ2)\epsilon_i \sim N(0, \sigma_\epsilon^2)ϵi​∼N(0,σϵ2​) is idiosyncratic. Write

σ2=σϵ2+σθ2,τ=σθ2σ2,σv2=σϵ2σθ2σ2.\sigma^2 = \sigma_\epsilon^2 + \sigma_\theta^2,\qquad \tau = \frac{\sigma_\theta^2}{\sigma^2},\qquad \sigma_v^2 = \frac{\sigma_\epsilon^2\sigma_\theta^2}{\sigma^2}.σ2=σϵ2​+σθ2​,τ=σ2σθ2​​,σv2​=σ2σϵ2​σθ2​​.

A consumer who observes vi=xv_i = xvi​=x holds the posterior v∣vi=x∼N(τx+(1−τ)θ,σv2)v \mid v_i = x \sim N(\tau x + (1-\tau)\theta, \sigma_v^2)v∣vi​=x∼N(τx+(1−τ)θ,σv2​). Valuations are ex ante N(θ,σ2)N(\theta, \sigma^2)N(θ,σ2), with density ψ(x)=ϕ((θ−x)/σ)/σ\psi(x) = \phi((\theta - x)/\sigma)/\sigmaψ(x)=ϕ((θ−x)/σ)/σ, where ϕ\phiϕ and Φ\PhiΦ are the standard normal density and distribution function.

If consumers buy exactly when vi>cv_i > cvi​>c (a threshold strategy with cutoff ccc), the sales volume at quality vvv is aˉ=Φ((v−c)/σϵ)\bar a = \Phi((v-c)/\sigma_\epsilon)aˉ=Φ((v−c)/σϵ​). A reward program is a function r:[0,1]→[0,p]r : [0,1] \to [0,p]r:[0,1]→[0,p] of the sales volume; at cutoff ccc it induces the reward r^(v)=r(Φ((v−c)/σϵ))\hat r(v) = r(\Phi((v-c)/\sigma_\epsilon))r^(v)=r(Φ((v−c)/σϵ​)) as a function of the quality. The cutoff ccc is an equilibrium for (p,r^)(p, \hat r)(p,r^) when

Ev∣vi[r^(v)]+vi−p≥0 for vi≥c,Ev∣vi[r^(v)]+vi−p≤0 for vi≤c.(1)\mathbb E_{v\mid v_i}[\hat r(v)] + v_i - p \ge 0 \text{ for } v_i \ge c, \qquad \mathbb E_{v\mid v_i}[\hat r(v)] + v_i - p \le 0 \text{ for } v_i \le c. \tag{1}Ev∣vi​​[r^(v)]+vi​−p≥0 for vi​≥c,Ev∣vi​​[r^(v)]+vi​−p≤0 for vi​≤c.(1)

The firm's expected profit is

Ev[Π(p,r^)]=Ev[(p−r^(v)) Φ(v−cσϵ)].(2)\mathbb E_v[\Pi(p, \hat r)] = \mathbb E_v\Big[(p - \hat r(v))\,\Phi\Big(\frac{v - c}{\sigma_\epsilon}\Big)\Big]. \tag{2}Ev​[Π(p,r^)]=Ev​[(p−r^(v))Φ(σϵ​v−c​)].(2)

With no reward the cutoff is ppp and the profit is p Φ((θ−p)/σ)p\,\Phi((\theta - p)/\sigma)pΦ((θ−p)/σ). Assumption 1 says that ppp maximizes the no-reward profit xΦ((θ−x)/σ)x\Phi((\theta - x)/\sigma)xΦ((θ−x)/σ). A reward program is profitable at an equilibrium cutoff ccc if (2) strictly exceeds the no-reward profit at ppp.

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem 2 (p. 17)

Under Assumption 1, for every weakly increasing reward program r:[0,1]→[0,p]r : [0,1] \to [0,p]r:[0,1]→[0,p] and every equilibrium cutoff ccc of (1) for r^=r(Φ((⋅−c)/σϵ))\hat r = r(\Phi((\cdot - c)/\sigma_\epsilon))r^=r(Φ((⋅−c)/σϵ​)),

Ev[(p−r^(v)) Φ(v−cσϵ)]≤p Ev[Φ(v−pσϵ)].\mathbb E_v\Big[(p - \hat r(v))\,\Phi\Big(\frac{v - c}{\sigma_\epsilon}\Big)\Big] \le p\,\mathbb E_v\Big[\Phi\Big(\frac{v - p}{\sigma_\epsilon}\Big)\Big].Ev​[(p−r^(v))Φ(σϵ​v−c​)]≤pEv​[Φ(σϵ​v−p​)].

Milestones

  1. Expected sales volume (§II, p. 7): Ev[Φ((v−x)/σϵ)]=Φ((θ−x)/σ)\mathbb E_v[\Phi((v - x)/\sigma_\epsilon)] = \Phi((\theta - x)/\sigma)Ev​[Φ((v−x)/σϵ​)]=Φ((θ−x)/σ) for every price xxx.
  2. (9), first equality (p. 16): for every cutoff ccc and measurable r^\hat rr^ with values in [0,p][0,p][0,p],
Ev[Π(p,r^)]=∫c∞(p−Ev∣vi=x[r^(v)])ψ(x) dx.\mathbb E_v[\Pi(p, \hat r)] = \int_c^\infty \big(p - \mathbb E_{v\mid v_i = x}[\hat r(v)]\big)\psi(x)\,dx.Ev​[Π(p,r^)]=∫c∞​(p−Ev∣vi​=x​[r^(v)])ψ(x)dx.
  1. (9) (p. 16): under the indifference equation c−p+rc=0c - p + r_c = 0c−p+rc​=0, with rc=Ev∣vi=c[r^(v)]r_c = \mathbb E_{v\mid v_i = c}[\hat r(v)]rc​=Ev∣vi​=c​[r^(v)],
Ev[Π(p,r^)]=Ev[Π(c,0)]+∫c∞(rc−Ev∣vi=x[r^(v)])ψ(x) dx.\mathbb E_v[\Pi(p, \hat r)] = \mathbb E_v[\Pi(c, 0)] + \int_c^\infty \big(r_c - \mathbb E_{v\mid v_i = x}[\hat r(v)]\big)\psi(x)\,dx.Ev​[Π(p,r^)]=Ev​[Π(c,0)]+∫c∞​(rc​−Ev∣vi​=x​[r^(v)])ψ(x)dx.
  1. Lemma 1 (p. 16): at an equilibrium cutoff, Ev[Π(p,r^)]>Ev[Π(c,0)]\mathbb E_v[\Pi(p, \hat r)] > \mathbb E_v[\Pi(c, 0)]Ev​[Π(p,r^)]>Ev​[Π(c,0)] if and only if Ev[r^(v)∣vi=c]>Ev[r^(v)∣vi≥c]\mathbb E_v[\hat r(v) \mid v_i = c] > \mathbb E_v[\hat r(v)\mid v_i \ge c]Ev​[r^(v)∣vi​=c]>Ev​[r^(v)∣vi​≥c].
  2. Lemma 5 (p. 29): if r^\hat rr^ is increasing and non-constant, x↦Ev∣vi=x[r^(v)]x \mapsto \mathbb E_{v\mid v_i = x}[\hat r(v)]x↦Ev∣vi​=x​[r^(v)] is strictly increasing; if r^\hat rr^ is decreasing, it is decreasing.

Significance

The result. Theorem 2 separates two effects that are easy to conflate: an inherent network effect raises profit, but an induced one, paid for through a rebate increasing in sales, lowers the expected net price exactly at high valuations and so cannot beat the optimal plain price. It is the negative half of the paper's design question; the positive half (optimal programs are decreasing in sales volume, "full refund or nothing", §III–§IV) is built on the same representation (9) of the profit by valuations, which is a milestone here. Lemma 1 is the paper's general criterion for when any reward program beats the equivalent plain price, and applies beyond monotone programs.

Formalizing it. The results are proved in the paper (body p. 16, appendix p. 29); no machine-checked version is known. The formal work consists of the Gaussian conditioning identity behind (9), the Gaussian integral of Φ\PhiΦ on p. 7, the shift argument for Lemma 5, and the assembly into Theorem 2 with every hypothesis made explicit. The model layer (Gaussian prior, posterior, threshold equilibria) is reusable for the paper's other results and for related global-game pricing models.

Difficulty

The paper treats (9) as a change of conditioning, but it is where the posterior formula of p. 9 must be shown to be the actual conditional law of the quality given a valuation, inside an integral restricted to valuations above the cutoff: the profit (2) integrates over qualities, the right side of (9) over valuations, and connecting them requires Fubini over the joint Gaussian law of (v,ϵi)(v, \epsilon_i)(v,ϵi​) together with the factorization of the joint density into ψ\psiψ times the posterior density. The strict part of Lemma 5 needs more than "a shift of an increasing function is larger": the increase must happen on a set of positive Gaussian measure, which uses that a monotone non-constant function differs between two shifted Gaussian laws. Theorem 2 also uses that the equilibrium cutoff lies in [0,p][0,p][0,p], which is where the bound r^∈[0,p]\hat r \in [0,p]r^∈[0,p] and Assumption 1 interact.

Formalization scope

The model is a structure with fields θ,σθ,σϵ\theta, \sigma_\theta, \sigma_\epsilonθ,σθ​,σϵ​ and a validity predicate σθ>0\sigma_\theta > 0σθ​>0, σϵ>0\sigma_\epsilon > 0σϵ​>0, which every statement assumes (implicit on the page). Laws are Mathlib's gaussianReal, with variances passed through Real.toNNReal; expectations are Bochner integrals of bounded measurable integrands. Φ\PhiΦ and ϕ\phiϕ are the published BlackScholesModel.stdNormalCDF and stdNormalPDF. The reward program is a function ℝ → ℝ constrained to [0,p][0,p][0,p] on [0,1][0,1][0,1], "increasing" means weakly increasing on [0,1][0,1][0,1], and r^\hat rr^ is defined from rrr and the same cutoff ccc used in (1) and (2). In milestones 2–5 the reward r^\hat rr^ is a general measurable function with values in [0,p][0,p][0,p], the paper's L∞(R;[0,p])L^\infty(\mathbb R; [0,p])L∞(R;[0,p]). Lemma 5 is posed on r^\hat rr^ with "r^\hat rr^ non-constant": non-constancy of rrr on [0,1][0,1][0,1] does not survive composition with Φ\PhiΦ, whose range is (0,1)(0,1)(0,1). Assumption 1 enters only through its maximization clause over prices x≥0x \ge 0x≥0; its first-order characterization is not posed. Integrals ∫c∞\int_c^\infty∫c∞​ are over the open half-line.

Three formalizations would trivialize or alter the goal and are excluded: restricting to strictly increasing programs (which drops constant rebates), decoupling r^\hat rr^ from the equilibrium cutoff, and comparing the profit with the price-ccc profit Ev[Π(c,0)]\mathbb E_v[\Pi(c,0)]Ev​[Π(c,0)] instead of the no-reward profit at the market price ppp.

Contributions welcome: proofs of the milestones in any order, in particular the Gaussian identities (milestones 1 and 2), which are of independent use for Gaussian signal models, and general lemmas on Gaussian shifts of monotone functions.

Selected references

  • A. Ajorlou and A. Jadbabaie, Sales-Based Rebate Design, Management Science, 2023; preprint arXiv:1902.09646v4, 2021. https://arxiv.org/abs/1902.09646
  • H. Carlsson and E. van Damme, Global games and equilibrium selection, Econometrica 61(5):989–1018, 1993. https://doi.org/10.2307/2951491
  • S. Morris and H. S. Shin, Unique equilibrium in a model of self-fulfilling currency attacks, American Economic Review 88(3):587–597, 1998. https://www.jstor.org/stable/116850
  • M. Katz and C. Shapiro, Technology adoption in the presence of network externalities, Journal of Political Economy 94(4):822–841, 1986. https://doi.org/10.1086/261409
  • O. Candogan, K. Bimpikis and A. Ozdaglar, Optimal pricing in networks with externalities, Operations Research 60(4):883–905, 2012. https://doi.org/10.1287/opre.1120.1066
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