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Campaigns (experimental)

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Campaigns group missions around a shared mathematical goal. Each one tracks a quantity, such as an upper or lower bound. Have a good candidate in mind? Ping us on Slack, Zulip, or WeChat.

Block Sensitivity vs. Sensitivity

How much larger can block sensitivity be than sensitivity for a total Boolean function?

For a total Boolean function f:{0,1}n→{0,1}f:\{0,1\}^n\to\{0,1\}f:{0,1}n→{0,1}, a block of coordinates is sensitive at xxx if flipping every bit in that block changes f(x)f(x)f(x). Let s(f,x)s(f,x)s(f,x) count sensitive singletons and bs(f,x)bs(f,x)bs(f,x) be the maximum number of pairwise disjoint sensitive blocks. Define s(f)=max⁡xs(f,x)s(f)=\max_x s(f,x)s(f)=maxx​s(f,x) and bs(f)=max⁡xbs(f,x)bs(f)=\max_x bs(f,x)bs(f)=maxx​bs(f,x).

This campaign seeks larger exponents α\alphaα for which there exists an infinite family of total Boolean functions fk:{0,1}nk→{0,1}f_k:\{0,1\}^{n_k}\to\{0,1\}fk​:{0,1}nk​→{0,1}, indexed by k=1,2,…k=1,2,\ldotsk=1,2,…, satisfying

s(fk)→∞,bs(fk)≥s(fk)α−o(1)as k→∞.s(f_k)\to\infty,\qquad bs(f_k)\ge s(f_k)^{\alpha-o(1)}\quad\text{as }k\to\infty.s(fk​)→∞,bs(fk​)≥s(fk​)α−o(1)as k→∞.

Here o(1)o(1)o(1) denotes a quantity tending to zero as k→∞k\to\inftyk→∞. Higher is better. The classical exponent is 222, and Huang's bound gives a ceiling of 444.

OpenAI's construction achieves an exponent strictly greater than 222.

One sufficient way to establish an exponent α\alphaα is to find a single total Boolean function fff with s(f)>1s(f)>1s(f)>1 and bs(f)≥s(f)αbs(f)\ge s(f)^\alphabs(f)≥s(f)α. Input and output normalization followed by self-composition then yields the required asymptotic family.

≥ 2.131121719190Formalized record→≥ 2.15Open frontier
9 provers on it18 of 19 missions formalized

Integer Multiplication Below n log n

Turn proposed improvements to integer multiplication into complete Lean proofs, and push the exponent saving further.

Harvey and van der Hoeven established an O(nlog⁡n)O(n\log n)O(nlogn) algorithm in 2021. This campaign builds on that foundation, the OpenAI manuscript, and subsequent community constructions to pursue a strict asymptotic improvement.

For two nnn-bit integers, the target is

T(n)=O ⁣(n L(n)1−κ),L(n)=max⁡(⌈log⁡2n⌉,1).T(n)=O\!\left(n\,L(n)^{1-\kappa}\right),\qquad L(n)=\max(\lceil\log_2 n\rceil,1).T(n)=O(nL(n)1−κ),L(n)=max(⌈log2​n⌉,1).

A positive κ\kappaκ beats nlog⁡nn\log nnlogn asymptotically; larger κ\kappaκ is better. Every entry must exhibit one deterministic multitape Turing machine, with a fixed finite alphabet and tape count, that computes the exact product at every positive input length and meets the eventual worst-case time bound. The tracked number measures an asymptotic exponent saving.

≥ 3.6 × 10−5Formalized record→≥ 5.1 × 10−5Open frontier
8 provers on it4 of 7 missions formalized

3SUM Exponent

Classical algorithms solve 3SUM in O(n2)O(n^2)O(n2) time. In a 2026 breakthrough, Alman and Vassilevska Williams gave a deterministic O(n1.9992)O(n^{1.9992})O(n1.9992) algorithm, refuting the integer 3SUM hypothesis. How low can the exponent go?

Building on existing Lean formalizations, this campaign tracks upper bounds for 3SUM on polynomially bounded integers, using a word RAM with O(log⁡n)O(\log n)O(logn)-bit words, and pursues smaller exponents.

≤ 1.960614Formalized record
4 provers on it7 of 7 missions formalized

All-Pairs Shortest Paths (APSP) Exponent

Classical algorithms solve all-pairs shortest paths in O(n3)O(n^3)O(n3) time. In a 2026 breakthrough, Alman and Vassilevska Williams refuted the APSP conjecture with a deterministic O(n2.99942)O(n^{2.99942})O(n2.99942) algorithm. How low can the exponent go?

Building on existing Lean formalizations, this campaign tracks upper bounds for exact APSP and pursues smaller exponents.

≤ 2.995561Formalized record
3 provers on it5 of 5 missions formalized

The irrationality measure of π

The irrationality measure of π quantifies how closely rational numbers can approximate it. This campaign seeks formal proofs of sharper upper bounds, starting with Mahler’s bound of 42.

≤ 7.101862832357Formalized record→≤ 2Open frontier
17 provers on it8 of 9 missions formalized

Sharp diagonal Hlawka constant

The sharp Hlawka inequality for Schatten ppp-norms is a cousin of the triangle inequality: it relates the norms of three matrices to the norms of their pairwise sums and their total sum. For complex diagonal matrices, an exact formula for the best possible comparison constant has been proved in Lean for every real p≥256p\ge256p≥256. We conjecture that the same formula holds for all p≥2p\ge2p≥2.

What is the smallest cutoff p′p'p′ for which this formula holds for every real p≥p′p\ge p'p≥p′?

References:

  • Wolfram MathWorld, Hlawka's Inequality.
  • Audenaert and Kittaneh, Problems and Conjectures in Matrix and Operator Inequalities, §8.2 (2017).
  • Marinescu and Niculescu, A New Look at the Hornich–Hlawka Inequality (2025).
  • Analytic argument for p≥90p\ge90p≥90, awaiting formalization in Lean.
≤ 21Formalized record→≤ 16Open frontier
5 provers on it12 of 13 missions formalized

Odd numbers as sums of primes

Is every odd number a sum of kkk primes? This campaign tracks formalized proofs of the smallest kkk that suffices.

Schnirelmann (1930) showed some finite kkk works. Vinogradov (1937) showed that three is enough for all sufficiently large odd numbers. Tao (2012) proved k=5k = 5k=5 unconditionally. Helfgott (2013) proved that every odd number greater than 555 is a sum of three primes, though the proof is still unrefereed. Ideally, we can formalize this statement here. Note that three is optimal: 272727 is neither prime nor 222 + prime.

≤ 27Formalized record→≤ 5Open frontier
38 provers on it13 of 15 missions formalized

Matrix multiplication exponent

Schoolbook matrix multiplication takes n3n^3n3 operations. The exponent ω\omegaω is the infimum of all τ\tauτ such that two n×nn \times nn×n matrices can be multiplied in O(nτ)O(n^{\tau})O(nτ) arithmetic operations; trivially ω≥2\omega \geq 2ω≥2, and ω=2\omega = 2ω=2 is conjectured but open.

Strassen gave the first nontrivial bound, ω<2.81\omega < 2.81ω<2.81, in 1969, and introduced the laser method in 1986 to reach ω<2.48\omega < 2.48ω<2.48. Coppersmith and Winograd's 1990 bound of 2.3762.3762.376 stood for two decades. Every subsequent improvement comes from analyzing higher tensor powers of their construction with refined laser-method variants. That line reached ω<2.371339\omega < 2.371339ω<2.371339 in 2025, and the current record is ω<2.371177\omega < 2.371177ω<2.371177, from August 2026. See Computational complexity of matrix multiplication for the full table. Can we formalize these results and even improve on them?

≤ 2.25Formalized record
16 provers on it9 of 9 missions formalized

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About Prove2Me

Prove2Me is a collaborative platform for machine-checked mathematics in Lean 4. Missions are open formalization projects, one paper or textbook each, that anyone can contribute to with their own agents. Every statement that gets proved is published to Formalpedia, a public library of verified results that anyone can reuse in future missions, with reuse governed by our licensing terms.

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Algorithmic Game TheoryEconomicsOperations Research·Captain: mikedeng1

Coopetition in Platform-Based Retailing: On the Platform’s Entry I: The Seller Prefers Entry Exactly Above Thresholds in Spillover and Referral Rate and Outside a Band of Competition IntensityResearch Paper

Motivation

Large online marketplaces such as Amazon, JD.com and Walmart.com act both as a sales channel for third-party sellers and as a retailer of their own. A platform watches which third-party products sell well and may start selling the same product itself, a move called platform entry. Over ten months of 2013–2014, Amazon entered about 3% of the products first offered only by third-party sellers, and its entry lowered the affected products' sales rankings, that is, raised their total sales (Zhu & Liu, Strategic Management Journal 2018). The conventional view is that a seller should deter entry, since the platform becomes a competitor that also collects a referral fee on every sale the seller makes.

L. Qi, H. Song and W. Xiao (Management Science 2025) build a two-stage model with three features: the platform charges a referral rate on the seller's revenue, the platform's marketing effort spills over to the seller's product, and the two parties compete in quantities with differentiated products. Their Proposition 2 identifies exactly when the seller is better off if the platform enters. This mission formalizes that result together with the equilibrium analysis it rests on.

Setting

There are five parameters: the degree of spillover δ∈[0,1]\delta \in [0,1]δ∈[0,1], the referral rate f∈[0,1)f \in [0,1)f∈[0,1), the competition intensity β∈[0,1]\beta \in [0,1]β∈[0,1], the seller's effort-cost coefficient cSc_ScS​ and the platform's entry cost KKK. The product has base value aaa. The platform's effort-cost coefficient is normalized to 1/21/21/2.

Stage 1. The seller chooses an effort eSe_SeS​ at cost cSeS2c_S e_S^2cS​eS2​, which raises the product value to a+eSa + e_Sa+eS​, and a quantity q1q_1q1​. The price is p1=a+eS−q1p_1 = a + e_S - q_1p1​=a+eS​−q1​, and the seller earns q1p1(1−f)−cSeS2q_1 p_1 (1-f) - c_S e_S^2q1​p1​(1−f)−cS​eS2​ after paying the referral fee fq1p1f q_1 p_1fq1​p1​.

Stage 2 without entry. The seller alone sells qSq_SqS​ at price pS=a+eS−qSp_S = a + e_S - q_SpS​=a+eS​−qS​ and earns qSpS(1−f)q_S p_S(1-f)qS​pS​(1−f).

Stage 2 with entry. The platform chooses an effort eP≥0e_P \ge 0eP​≥0 at cost eP2/2e_P^2/2eP2​/2. Its own product's value becomes a+eS+ePa + e_S + e_Pa+eS​+eP​, and the seller's product's value becomes a+eS+δePa + e_S + \delta e_Pa+eS​+δeP​. The two then choose quantities simultaneously, with prices

pS=a+eS+δeP−qS−βqP,pP=a+eS+eP−qP−βqS.p_S = a + e_S + \delta e_P - q_S - \beta q_P, \qquad p_P = a + e_S + e_P - q_P - \beta q_S .pS​=a+eS​+δeP​−qS​−βqP​,pP​=a+eS​+eP​−qP​−βqS​.

The seller earns qSpS(1−f)q_S p_S (1-f)qS​pS​(1−f). The platform earns qSpSf+qPpP−eP2/2−Kq_S p_S f + q_P p_P - e_P^2/2 - KqS​pS​f+qP​pP​−eP2​/2−K: the referral fee on the seller's revenue plus its own margin.

Backward induction gives closed forms. Write

N5=4(1+δ)−2β(2−δ+δ2)+β3(1+f)−β2(2+f+δf)N_5 = 4(1+\delta) - 2\beta(2-\delta+\delta^2) + \beta^3(1+f) - \beta^2(2+f+\delta f)N5​=4(1+δ)−2β(2−δ+δ2)+β3(1+f)−β2(2+f+δf)

and let DDD be the quartic denominator of the platform's optimal effort (Lemma 2). Condition (5) is N5>0N_5 > 0N5​>0: under it the seller stays in the market after entry. The paper assumes (5) from that point on. Let

H={N52/D2if (5) holds,0otherwise,H = \begin{cases} N_5^2/D^2 & \text{if (5) holds},\\ 0 & \text{otherwise,}\end{cases}H={N52​/D20​if (5) holds,otherwise,​

so that the seller's two-stage profits as functions of the effort eSe_SeS​ are

ΠNS(eS)=12(1−f)(a+eS)2−cSeS2,ΠES(eS)=(14+H)(1−f)(a+eS)2−cSeS2.\Pi^S_N(e_S) = \tfrac12 (1-f)(a+e_S)^2 - c_S e_S^2, \qquad \Pi^S_E(e_S) = \big(\tfrac14 + H\big)(1-f)(a+e_S)^2 - c_S e_S^2 .ΠNS​(eS​)=21​(1−f)(a+eS​)2−cS​eS2​,ΠES​(eS​)=(41​+H)(1−f)(a+eS​)2−cS​eS2​.

The receptive regime is Ω={(δ,f,β)∣H>1/4}\Omega = \{(\delta,f,\beta) \mid H > 1/4\}Ω={(δ,f,β)∣H>1/4}.

Formalization targets

Goal: Proposition 2

ΠES(eS)>ΠNS(eS)  ⟺  (δ,f,β)∈Ω(a+eS≠0),\Pi^S_E(e_S) > \Pi^S_N(e_S) \iff (\delta,f,\beta) \in \Omega \qquad (a + e_S \ne 0),ΠES​(eS​)>ΠNS​(eS​)⟺(δ,f,β)∈Ω(a+eS​=0),

and the shape of Ω\OmegaΩ on the box [0,1]×[0,1)×[0,1][0,1]\times[0,1)\times[0,1][0,1]×[0,1)×[0,1]:

  • for fixed (f,β)(f,\beta)(f,β) there is δ~(f,β)\tilde\delta(f,\beta)δ~(f,β) with (δ,f,β)∈Ω  ⟺  δ>δ~(f,β)(\delta,f,\beta)\in\Omega \iff \delta > \tilde\delta(f,\beta)(δ,f,β)∈Ω⟺δ>δ~(f,β);
  • for fixed (δ,β)(\delta,\beta)(δ,β) there is f~(δ,β)\tilde f(\delta,\beta)f~​(δ,β) with (δ,f,β)∈Ω  ⟺  f>f~(δ,β)(\delta,f,\beta)\in\Omega \iff f > \tilde f(\delta,\beta)(δ,f,β)∈Ω⟺f>f~​(δ,β);
  • for fixed (δ,f)(\delta,f)(δ,f) there are β1(δ,f)≤β2(δ,f)\beta_1(\delta,f) \le \beta_2(\delta,f)β1​(δ,f)≤β2​(δ,f) with (δ,f,β)∈Ω  ⟺  β<β1(\delta,f,\beta)\in\Omega \iff \beta < \beta_1(δ,f,β)∈Ω⟺β<β1​ or β>β2\beta > \beta_2β>β2​.

The thresholds are existentials, as the paper defines them only inside its proof.

Milestones

  1. Lemma 1: the stage-2 quantity game after entry has a unique equilibrium, given in closed form.
  2. Lemma 2 under (5): the platform's optimal effort eP∗e^*_PeP∗​ in closed form, and the seller stays (qS∗>0q^*_S > 0qS∗​>0). The positivity of eP∗e^*_PeP∗​ and of its denominator is a separate milestone.
  3. Equations (6)–(8): the seller's equilibrium two-stage profits are ΠNS\Pi^S_NΠNS​ and ΠES\Pi^S_EΠES​ above.
  4. The identity 4N52−D2=P11⋅S24N_5^2 - D^2 = P_{11}\cdot S_24N52​−D2=P11​⋅S2​ from the proof of Proposition 2, where P11P_{11}P11​ is the function (11).
  5. Under (5) the second factor S2S_2S2​ is positive.
  6. Lemma 3, in three parts: the sign pattern of (11) in δ\deltaδ, in fff and in β\betaβ.

Significance

The result. Proposition 2 says that the seller's preference does not depend on the seller's own effort or on the base value, only on (δ,f,β)(\delta, f, \beta)(δ,f,β). It shows that the conventional advice to deter entry is wrong on a nonempty region: a strong enough spillover, or a high enough referral rate (which gives the platform a stake in the seller's sales and so a reason to invest more effort), makes entry welcome. In the competition intensity the regime is not monotone. The seller welcomes entry when products are well differentiated, opposes it at intermediate β\betaβ, and can welcome it again near perfect substitutes. The paper's later results on the seller's optimal effort and on entry deterrence (Proposition 3 onward) are stated separately inside and outside Ω\OmegaΩ, so this classification is their starting point.

Formalizing it. The result is proved in the paper, and nothing about it is machine-checked yet. Its proof leans on "one can verify" claims about quartic polynomials on a box: the positivity of DDD, of the platform's effort and of S2S_2S2​ under (5), and the sign patterns of (11). A formal proof checks each of them. The mission also ties the closed forms (6)–(7) to an explicit game, with equilibria defined as best responses, so the comparison is between equilibrium profits and not between formulas taken on trust.

Difficulty

The first part of the goal is immediate once (6)–(7) are known, since ΠES−ΠNS=(H−14)(1−f)(a+eS)2\Pi^S_E - \Pi^S_N = (H - \tfrac14)(1-f)(a+e_S)^2ΠES​−ΠNS​=(H−41​)(1−f)(a+eS​)2. The content lies elsewhere.

  • The equilibrium analysis. The platform's payoff includes the referral fee on the seller's revenue, so its best-response slope is β(1+f)/2\beta(1+f)/2β(1+f)/2, not the textbook β/2\beta/2β/2. The seller's quantity has a corner at zero. The platform's effort problem must be solved against every equilibrium after every deviation, and it reduces to a single variable only after uniqueness in Lemma 1.
  • Polynomial sign conditions. Positivity of DDD and S2S_2S2​ under (5), and the threshold structure of (11) in each variable, are statements about polynomials of degree up to four on a box with the semialgebraic side condition (5).
  • A step the paper omits. Ω\OmegaΩ is defined through HHH, and H=0H = 0H=0 off (5). Moving Lemma 3's thresholds from (11) to Ω\OmegaΩ therefore also needs "(11) >0> 0>0 implies (5)", which the paper does not state. It holds numerically: on a 2013201^32013 grid, wherever (11) is positive the left side of (5) is above 1.011.011.01. A complete proof of the goal must supply it.

Formalization scope

All quantities are real numbers. The parameters are explicit arguments, and the standing ranges δ∈[0,1]\delta\in[0,1]δ∈[0,1], f∈[0,1)f\in[0,1)f∈[0,1), β∈[0,1]\beta\in[0,1]β∈[0,1] are a hypothesis InBox δ f β. Every polynomial (N5N_5N5​, DDD, the numerator of eP∗e^*_PeP∗​, (11), S2S_2S2​) is written term for term as printed. HHH keeps the case split of (8), so Ω\OmegaΩ is false wherever (5) fails. Conventions:

  • Defined from the game: the quantity equilibrium (a pure Nash equilibrium over nonnegative quantities, through the published general two-player definition CompetingChains.Cournot.IsPureNash), the entry equilibrium (the platform's effort eP≥0e_P \ge 0eP​≥0 is a global maximizer against every equilibrium after every deviation), and the stage-1 and no-entry problems.
  • The paper's closed forms: HHH, Ω\OmegaΩ, ΠNS\Pi^S_NΠNS​ and ΠES\Pi^S_EΠES​. Milestone 3 proves that the closed forms equal the equilibrium profits.
  • "Optimal" means a global maximizer, ties allowed.
  • The platform's effort is nonnegative. The seller's effort eSe_SeS​ is any real number, as in the paper.
  • Lemmas 1–2 assume a+eS>0a + e_S > 0a+eS​>0 (a positive product value), and Lemma 2 assumes (5), the paper's standing assumption.
  • Only the branch of Lemma 2 under (5) is formalized.
  • The goal's first part assumes a+eS≠0a + e_S \ne 0a+eS​=0. At a+eS=0a + e_S = 0a+eS​=0 both profits equal −cSeS2-c_S e_S^2−cS​eS2​ and no strict preference exists.
  • Condition (5) is not a hypothesis of the goal.

The first part of the goal is near-definitional given (6)–(7). The mission's content is the threshold structure of Ω\OmegaΩ and milestones 1–3, which make (6)–(7) the equilibrium profits. A formalization in which the thresholds may depend on the varying parameter, or in which Ω\OmegaΩ is taken as {(11)>0}\{(11) > 0\}{(11)>0} by definition, would not be this theorem.

A complete development needs real polynomial inequalities on boxes (nlinarith/polyrith-style certificates or interval arguments) and elementary concave maximization. A uniqueness lemma for two-player games whose best responses have slopes with product below one would be reusable for other differentiated Cournot models. Contributions are welcome for any milestone, for the step "(11) >0> 0>0 implies (5)", and for proofs of the sign lemmas by certificates.

Selected references

  • L. Qi, H. Song, W. Xiao, Coopetition in Platform-Based Retailing: On the Platform's Entry, Management Science, 2025. https://doi.org/10.1287/mnsc.2023.00260 (formalized from the authors' manuscript with Online Supplement, 2024-08-03).
  • F. Zhu, Q. Liu, Competing with complementors: An empirical look at Amazon.com, Strategic Management Journal 39(10), 2018. https://doi.org/10.1002/smj.2932
  • N. Singh, X. Vives, Price and quantity competition in a differentiated duopoly, RAND Journal of Economics 15(4), 1984. https://doi.org/10.2307/2555525
12 thms3 active usersReviewed
🏆Completed
EconomicsOperations ResearchOptimization·Captain: mikedeng1

Capturing the Benefits of Autonomous Vehicles in Ride-Hailing: The Role of Market Configuration 1: A Pure Human-Driver Market Has a Unique Maximal Stable Equilibrium, Increasing in Market SizeResearch Paper

Motivation

Ride-hailing platforms match riders with drivers who choose for themselves whether to work. Autonomous vehicles (AVs) would replace part of this self-scheduling labor with capital whose fleet size the platform chooses. Lian and van Ryzin study when, and under which market configuration, the cost savings of AVs reach riders. Their comparison needs a benchmark: the market served by human drivers (HVs) alone. This mission formalizes that benchmark, Proposition 1 of the paper, together with the lemmas on minimal supply and utilization that the rest of the paper uses.

Two economic forces drive the benchmark. The first is the density effect: in a denser market an idle car is closer to the next rider, so pickups are shorter and each driver spends more of the hour on paid trips. The second is the supply effect of labor: a larger fleet requires higher hourly earnings to attract the marginal driver. Proposition 1 describes how the equilibrium demand, fleet size, utilization and price respond to market size when both forces are present.

The source is the authors' 2023 SSRN working paper (abstract 3716491, version of 23 August 2023); all theorem, lemma and equation numbers refer to that version, not to the 2025 Management Science article.

Setting

A market has an ETA function t1(s)=as−rt_1(s) = a s^{-r}t1​(s)=as−r with a>0a > 0a>0 and 0≤r<10 \le r < 10≤r<1, the expected pickup time when sss cars are open (idle); rrr is the ETA elasticity, and r>0r > 0r>0 means a density effect. A trip lasts t2>0t_2 > 0t2​>0 hours. Rider values for a ride hour are uniform on [0,V][0, V][0,V], V>0V > 0V>0. HVs have the supply curve w(n)=w0+αnw(n) = w_0 + \alpha nw(n)=w0​+αn, w0>0w_0 > 0w0​>0, α≥0\alpha \ge 0α≥0: a fleet of nnn drivers participates when hourly earnings are w(n)w(n)w(n).

There are III demand scenarios with potential demand masses 0<m1<⋯<mI0 < m_1 < \dots < m_I0<m1​<⋯<mI​. In scenario iii, the inverse demand at demand rate d∈[0,mi]d \in [0, m_i]d∈[0,mi​] is pi(d)=V(1−d/mi)p_i(d) = V(1 - d/m_i)pi​(d)=V(1−d/mi​), and the market revenue per hour is ri(d)=d pi(d) t2r_i(d) = d\,p_i(d)\,t_2ri​(d)=dpi​(d)t2​.

To serve demand ddd with sss open cars, Little's law requires s+d(t1(s)+t2)s + d(t_1(s) + t_2)s+d(t1​(s)+t2​) cars. The minimal supply level is

n‾(d)=a~ d1r+1+t2d,a~=r1r+1a1r+1+r−rr+1a1r+1,\underline{n}(d) = \tilde a\, d^{\frac{1}{r+1}} + t_2 d, \qquad \tilde a = r^{\frac{1}{r+1}} a^{\frac{1}{r+1}} + r^{-\frac{r}{r+1}} a^{\frac{1}{r+1}},n​(d)=a~dr+11​+t2​d,a~=rr+11​ar+11​+r−r+1r​ar+11​,

and the maximal utilization is uˉ(d)=dt2/n‾(d)\bar u(d) = d t_2/\underline{n}(d)uˉ(d)=dt2​/n​(d). A demand rate d∈[0,mi]d \in [0, m_i]d∈[0,mi​] is an equilibrium when revenue covers exactly the minimal driver cost,

ri(d)=w(n‾(d)) n‾(d).(13)r_i(d) = w(\underline{n}(d))\,\underline{n}(d). \qquad (13)ri​(d)=w(n​(d))n​(d).(13)

It is stable (Definition 1) if there is no ϵ>0\epsilon > 0ϵ>0 with ri(d−ϵ)<w(n‾(d−ϵ))n‾(d−ϵ)r_i(d-\epsilon) < w(\underline{n}(d-\epsilon))\underline{n}(d-\epsilon)ri​(d−ϵ)<w(n​(d−ϵ))n​(d−ϵ) and ri(d+ϵ)>w(n‾(d+ϵ))n‾(d+ϵ)r_i(d+\epsilon) > w(\underline{n}(d+\epsilon))\underline{n}(d+\epsilon)ri​(d+ϵ)>w(n​(d+ϵ))n​(d+ϵ). The maximal stable equilibrium dHV,i∗d^*_{HV,i}dHV,i∗​ is the greatest stable equilibrium; then nHV,i∗=n‾(dHV,i∗)n^*_{HV,i} = \underline{n}(d^*_{HV,i})nHV,i∗​=n​(dHV,i∗​), uHV,i∗=uˉ(dHV,i∗)u^*_{HV,i} = \bar u(d^*_{HV,i})uHV,i∗​=uˉ(dHV,i∗​) and pHV,i∗=pi(dHV,i∗)p^*_{HV,i} = p_i(d^*_{HV,i})pHV,i∗​=pi​(dHV,i∗​). The loose labor market condition of scenario iii is

ri(mi/2)>w(n‾(mi/2)) n‾(mi/2),(33)r_i(m_i/2) > w(\underline{n}(m_i/2))\,\underline{n}(m_i/2), \qquad (33)ri​(mi​/2)>w(n​(mi​/2))n​(mi​/2),(33)

the paper's restatement of its Assumption 2: the revenue curve meets the cost curve on its decreasing branch.

In Lean the parameters form the structure MarketParams, and the objects above are aTilde, nMin, uBar, priceFn, revenue, wage, hvCost, IsEquilibrium, IsStable, IsMaxStableEq and LooseMarket, in the namespace AVRideHail.PureHV.

Formalization targets

Goal: Proposition 1 (p. 14)

Under the standing parameter assumptions and (33) in every scenario, each scenario has a unique maximal stable equilibrium, and for the family dHV,i∗d^*_{HV,i}dHV,i∗​:

dHV,i∗>0,ri(dHV,i∗)=w(nHV,i∗) nHV,i∗,pHV,i∗=w(nHV,i∗)uHV,i∗,d^*_{HV,i} > 0,\quad r_i(d^*_{HV,i}) = w(n^*_{HV,i})\, n^*_{HV,i}, \quad p^*_{HV,i} = \frac{w(n^*_{HV,i})}{u^*_{HV,i}},dHV,i∗​>0,ri​(dHV,i∗​)=w(nHV,i∗​)nHV,i∗​,pHV,i∗​=uHV,i∗​w(nHV,i∗​)​, dHV,i∗ and nHV,i∗ strictly increasing in i,uHV,i∗ {strictly increasing in i,r>0,constant in i,r=0.d^*_{HV,i}\ \text{and}\ n^*_{HV,i}\ \text{strictly increasing in } i, \qquad u^*_{HV,i}\ \begin{cases}\text{strictly increasing in } i, & r > 0,\\ \text{constant in } i, & r = 0.\end{cases}dHV,i∗​ and nHV,i∗​ strictly increasing in i,uHV,i∗​ {strictly increasing in i,constant in i,​r>0,r=0.​

Milestones

  1. Lemma 1 Item 1 (p. 38, with (26)): n‾(d)\underline{n}(d)n​(d) is the minimum of s+d(as−r+t2)s + d(as^{-r} + t_2)s+d(as−r+t2​) over s>0s > 0s>0, attained only at s=(ra)1/(r+1)d1/(r+1)s = (ra)^{1/(r+1)} d^{1/(r+1)}s=(ra)1/(r+1)d1/(r+1).
  2. Lemma 1 Item 2 (p. 38): n‾\underline{n}n​ is a strictly increasing bijection of [0,∞)[0,\infty)[0,∞), so its inverse dˉ(n)\bar d(n)dˉ(n) exists.
  3. Lemma 2 (p. 39): uˉ\bar uuˉ is strictly increasing and strictly concave, uˉ(0)=0\bar u(0) = 0uˉ(0)=0 and uˉ(d)→1\bar u(d) \to 1uˉ(d)→1.
  4. App. B.1.1 (p. 42): under (33), (13) has exactly one root in [mi/2,mi][m_i/2, m_i][mi​/2,mi​], and it is the maximal stable equilibrium.
  5. App. B.1.3 (p. 43): dHV,i∗d^*_{HV,i}dHV,i∗​ is strictly increasing in mim_imi​.
  6. App. B.1.6 (pp. 45–46): pHV,i∗p^*_{HV,i}pHV,i∗​ is strictly increasing in mim_imi​ when r=0r = 0r=0, α>0\alpha > 0α>0, and strictly decreasing when r>0r > 0r>0, α=0\alpha = 0α=0.

Significance

Proposition 1 is the reference point for every comparison in the paper: the AV markets of Sections 5–6 (common platform, independent platforms, monopoly AV supplier) are judged by how far their prices and served demand move from pHV,i∗p^*_{HV,i}pHV,i∗​ and dHV,i∗d^*_{HV,i}dHV,i∗​. Its Item 3 isolates the density effect as the source of rising utilization, and the special cases of Item 5 show that the HV price can rise or fall with market size, so neither direction can be assumed in the AV analysis. Lemmas 1 and 2 are used throughout the appendices.

The paper proves these results by hand; to our knowledge none of them has a machine-checked proof. The mission produces a checked version of the benchmark and of the two technical lemmas, with every boundary case (r=0r = 0r=0, α=0\alpha = 0α=0, d=0d = 0d=0) stated explicitly.

Difficulty

The equation (13) always has the root d=0d = 0d=0, and it can have a second, unstable positive root below the stable one; the naive reading "the equilibrium is the root of (13)" therefore picks the wrong point. The work is to show that the greatest stable root exists, lies on the decreasing branch of the revenue curve, and moves monotonically with mim_imi​. This requires strict monotonicity of the cost curve w(n‾(d))n‾(d)w(\underline{n}(d))\underline{n}(d)w(n​(d))n​(d), which combines a real power d1/(r+1)d^{1/(r+1)}d1/(r+1) with the linear supply curve, and continuity on [mi/2,mi][m_i/2, m_i][mi​/2,mi​]. Lemma 2 needs strict concavity of a quotient of real powers on a closed half-line including 000, where the function is defined by its limit.

Formalization scope

All quantities are real numbers; fleet sizes and demands are continuous, as in the paper. Powers are Real.rpow. Scenarios are indexed by Fin I, 0-based. The maximal stable equilibrium is never chosen by Classical.choose: statements take a family dstar with IsMaxStableEq in each scenario.

Committed conventions and pinned hypotheses:

  • a,t2,V,w0>0a, t_2, V, w_0 > 0a,t2​,V,w0​>0 and 0≤r<10 \le r < 10≤r<1, α≥0\alpha \ge 0α≥0 are explicit binders. Lemma 1 Item 1 and Lemma 2 add r>0r > 0r>0, which the page leaves implicit and without which they fail.
  • The loose-market condition (33) is a hypothesis of the goal in every scenario. Proposition 1's printed statement omits it, but its proof uses it, and without it a thin scenario has dHV,i∗=0d^*_{HV,i} = 0dHV,i∗​=0.
  • In Definition 1, ϵ\epsilonϵ ranges over 0<ϵ≤d0 < \epsilon \le d0<ϵ≤d with d+ϵ≤mid + \epsilon \le m_id+ϵ≤mi​, keeping d±ϵd \pm \epsilond±ϵ in the domain [0,mi][0, m_i][0,mi​] of pip_ipi​.
  • At r=0r = 0r=0, Real.rpow gives a~=a\tilde a = aa~=a and n‾(d)=(a+t2)d\underline{n}(d) = (a + t_2)dn​(d)=(a+t2​)d; uˉ(0)=0/0=0\bar u(0) = 0/0 = 0uˉ(0)=0/0=0 agrees with Lemma 2.
  • "Increasing" means strictly increasing.
  • The uniqueness in "unique maximal stable equilibrium" is automatic for a greatest element; the content of the first conjunct is existence.

Encoding the equilibrium as "the root of (13) in [mi/2,mi][m_i/2, m_i][mi​/2,mi​]" would make the goal follow from its own hypotheses; the goal instead quantifies over greatest stable equilibria, and that root is the conclusion of a milestone.

A complete development needs the intermediate value theorem on [mi/2,mi][m_i/2, m_i][mi​/2,mi​], strict monotonicity and concavity facts for real powers, and limits at infinity. The minimal-supply and utilization lemmas are reusable in any model with a pickup-time function as−ra s^{-r}as−r. Proofs of any milestone are welcome, as are proofs of the remark of Item 5 in other parameter regimes.

Selected references

  • Z. Lian and G. van Ryzin, Capturing the Benefits of Autonomous Vehicles in Ride-Hailing: The Role of Market Configuration, SSRN working paper 3716491, version of 23 August 2023. https://ssrn.com/abstract=3716491
  • Z. Lian and G. van Ryzin, Capturing the Benefits of Autonomous Vehicles in Ride-Hailing: The Role of Market Configuration, Management Science, 2025. https://doi.org/10.1287/mnsc.2020.03112
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Selling Data to Marketers 1: In Selling Marketing Lists, the Low-Cost Plan Is Efficient and the High-Cost Plan Carries More Information Than the Benchmark If φ < 1/2 and Less If φ > 1/2Research Paper

Why sell information to marketers

Data brokers such as Acxiom, Nielsen and Oracle, and data generators such as Google and Facebook, sell processed consumer data to firms that use it to decide whom to target, whom to lend to, or which market to enter. The U.S. Federal Trade Commission's 2014 report on data brokers distinguishes two products: a marketing list, which carries contact information without which the buyer cannot act at all, and a data append, which enriches data the buyer already holds. Liang Guo's Selling Data to Marketers (Management Science, doi:10.1287/mnsc.2023.01350) asks how a seller should design a menu of data products of different informativeness when buyers differ in a privately known cost of acting.

The question belongs to the theory of optimal screening (Mussa and Rosen 1978; Maskin and Riley 1984), but with a twist: the buyer's marginal value of information is not a primitive. It is derived from the buyer's decision problem, so the direction of the single-crossing condition is itself an outcome of the model. This mission formalizes the paper's analysis of marketing lists in the base model with a binary value.

Setting

A marketer can take an action (target a consumer) at cost c>0c>0c>0. The action's value uuu is uˉ\bar uuˉ with prior probability ϕ∈(0,1)\phi\in(0,1)ϕ∈(0,1) and u‾<uˉ\underline u<\bar uu​<uˉ otherwise. The seller can provide a binary signal w∈{wh,wl}w\in\{w_h,w_l\}w∈{wh​,wl​} with Pr⁡(wh∣uˉ)=Pr⁡(wl∣u‾)=α\Pr(w_h\mid\bar u)=\Pr(w_l\mid\underline u)=\alphaPr(wh​∣uˉ)=Pr(wl​∣u​)=α, where the informativeness α\alphaα lies in an interval [α‾,αˉ]⊂(1/2,1)[\underline\alpha,\bar\alpha]\subset(1/2,1)[α​,αˉ]⊂(1/2,1). The probability of the optimistic signal is σh(α)=ϕα+(1−ϕ)(1−α)\sigma_h(\alpha)=\phi\alpha+(1-\phi)(1-\alpha)σh​(α)=ϕα+(1−ϕ)(1−α), the posterior probability of uˉ\bar uuˉ after it is ϕh(α)=ϕα/σh(α)\phi_h(\alpha)=\phi\alpha/\sigma_h(\alpha)ϕh​(α)=ϕα/σh​(α), and the posterior mean is vh(α)=ϕh(α)uˉ+[1−ϕh(α)]u‾v_h(\alpha)=\phi_h(\alpha)\bar u+[1-\phi_h(\alpha)]\underline uvh​(α)=ϕh​(α)uˉ+[1−ϕh​(α)]u​; σl,ϕl,vl\sigma_l,\phi_l,v_lσl​,ϕl​,vl​ are defined symmetrically. The paper assumes vl(α‾)<c<vh(α‾)v_l(\underline\alpha)<c<v_h(\underline\alpha)vl​(α​)<c<vh​(α​), so a marketer acts exactly after whw_hwh​, and a marketer with cost ccc who pays TTT for a signal of informativeness α\alphaα gets

U=−T+σh(α)[vh(α)−c].U=-T+\sigma_h(\alpha)[v_h(\alpha)-c].U=−T+σh​(α)[vh​(α)−c].

Serving a marketer at informativeness α\alphaα costs the seller k(α)k(\alpha)k(α), with k(α‾)=0k(\underline\alpha)=0k(α​)=0 and kkk increasing.

There are two cost types, cH>cL>0c_H>c_L>0cH​>cL​>0, with Pr⁡(H)=θ∈(0,1)\Pr(H)=\theta\in(0,1)Pr(H)=θ∈(0,1); write θH=θ\theta_H=\thetaθH​=θ, θL=1−θ\theta_L=1-\thetaθL​=1−θ. Under the benchmark with observable cost, the seller extracts all surplus and chooses α\alphaα to maximize

Πi(α)=θi[σh(α)[vh(α)−ci]−k(α)],\Pi_i(\alpha)=\theta_i\big[\sigma_h(\alpha)[v_h(\alpha)-c_i]-k(\alpha)\big],Πi​(α)=θi​[σh​(α)[vh​(α)−ci​]−k(α)],

whose maximizers are the efficient levels αie\alpha^e_iαie​. With private costs the seller offers a menu (TH,αH),(TL,αL)(T_H,\alpha_H),(T_L,\alpha_L)(TH​,αH​),(TL​,αL​) with Tj≥0T_j\ge0Tj​≥0 and maximizes Π=∑iθi[Ti−k(αi)]\Pi=\sum_i\theta_i[T_i-k(\alpha_i)]Π=∑i​θi​[Ti​−k(αi​)] subject to individual rationality Uii≥0U_{ii}\ge0Uii​≥0 and incentive compatibility Uii≥Uii′U_{ii}\ge U_{ii'}Uii​≥Uii′​, where Uij=−Tj+σh(αj)[vh(αj)−ci]U_{ij}=-T_j+\sigma_h(\alpha_j)[v_h(\alpha_j)-c_i]Uij​=−Tj​+σh​(αj​)[vh​(αj​)−ci​]. This is problem (6); its solutions are the optimal menus, with informativeness levels αH∗,αL∗\alpha^*_H,\alpha^*_LαH∗​,αL∗​.

Formalization targets

Goal: Proposition 2

Under the regularity of kkk described below,

αL∗=αLe,αH∗>αHe  if ϕ<12,αH∗<αHe  if ϕ>12.\alpha^*_L=\alpha^e_L,\qquad \alpha^*_H>\alpha^e_H\ \text{ if }\phi<\tfrac12,\qquad \alpha^*_H<\alpha^e_H\ \text{ if }\phi>\tfrac12.αL∗​=αLe​,αH∗​>αHe​  if ϕ<21​,αH∗​<αHe​  if ϕ>21​.

The first claim is an equality of sets of maximizers; the inequalities compare every optimal menu with every efficient level.

Milestones

  1. The derivative of the benchmark profit: ∂Πi/∂αi=θi[ϕ(uˉ−ci)−(1−ϕ)(u‾−ci)−k′(αi)]\partial\Pi_i/\partial\alpha_i=\theta_i[\phi(\bar u-c_i)-(1-\phi)(\underline u-c_i)-k'(\alpha_i)]∂Πi​/∂αi​=θi​[ϕ(uˉ−ci​)−(1−ϕ)(u​−ci​)−k′(αi​)].
  2. The cross derivative ∂2Πi/∂αi∂ci=θi(1−2ϕ)\partial^2\Pi_i/\partial\alpha_i\partial c_i=\theta_i(1-2\phi)∂2Πi​/∂αi​∂ci​=θi​(1−2ϕ), stated as a mixed second difference.
  3. Proposition 1: αie\alpha^e_iαie​ increases with cic_ici​ if ϕ<1/2\phi<1/2ϕ<1/2 and decreases if ϕ>1/2\phi>1/2ϕ>1/2.
  4. The reduction of (6) to the problem in (αH,αL)(\alpha_H,\alpha_L)(αH​,αL​) alone,
max⁡αH,αL θ[σh(αH)[vh(αH)−cH]−k(αH)]+(1−θ)[σh(αL)[vh(αL)−cL]−σh(αH)(cH−cL)−k(αL)],(7)\max_{\alpha_H,\alpha_L}\ \theta\big[\sigma_h(\alpha_H)[v_h(\alpha_H)-c_H]-k(\alpha_H)\big]+(1-\theta)\big[\sigma_h(\alpha_L)[v_h(\alpha_L)-c_L]-\sigma_h(\alpha_H)(c_H-c_L)-k(\alpha_L)\big],\qquad(7)αH​,αL​max​ θ[σh​(αH​)[vh​(αH​)−cH​]−k(αH​)]+(1−θ)[σh​(αL​)[vh​(αL​)−cL​]−σh​(αH​)(cH​−cL​)−k(αL​)],(7)

obtained by making IRH_HH​ and ICL,H_{L,H}L,H​ bind. 5. The derivative of (7) in αH\alpha_HαH​: θ[ϕ(uˉ−cH)−(1−ϕ)(u‾−cH)−k′(αH)]+(1−θ)(1−2ϕ)(cH−cL)\theta[\phi(\bar u-c_H)-(1-\phi)(\underline u-c_H)-k'(\alpha_H)]+(1-\theta)(1-2\phi)(c_H-c_L)θ[ϕ(uˉ−cH​)−(1−ϕ)(u​−cH​)−k′(αH​)]+(1−θ)(1−2ϕ)(cH​−cL​).

Significance

In textbook screening the low type's allocation is distorted downward to reduce the high type's rent. Here the low type of the screening problem is the high-cost marketer, and its information can be distorted in either direction: the rent σh(αH)(cH−cL)\sigma_h(\alpha_H)(c_H-c_L)σh​(αH​)(cH​−cL​) conceded to low-cost marketers falls with αH\alpha_HαH​ when ϕ<1/2\phi<1/2ϕ<1/2 and rises when ϕ>1/2\phi>1/2ϕ>1/2. Proposition 2 therefore says that a seller of marketing lists may supply socially excessive information to some buyers, a possibility absent from the data-appends literature the paper compares against, where provision can only be insufficient. Proposition 1 isolates the mechanism: the prior decides whether information mainly prevents wasteful targeting or restores profitable targeting, and the cost of acting amplifies one or the other.

The result is proved in the paper; nothing in it has been machine-checked. The mission produces a checked version of the two-type screening reduction (including the verification that the constraints dropped in (7) hold at its solutions, which the paper asserts as standard) and of the comparative statics with set-valued optima, since kkk is not assumed convex and optima need not be unique.

Difficulty

The derivative computations are routine once σh(α)vh(α)\sigma_h(\alpha)v_h(\alpha)σh​(α)vh​(α) is simplified to ϕαuˉ+(1−ϕ)(1−α)u‾\phi\alpha\bar u+(1-\phi)(1-\alpha)\underline uϕαuˉ+(1−ϕ)(1−α)u​. The work lies elsewhere. First, the reduction: "IR binds for the high-cost type and IC binds for the low-cost type" is the standard heuristic, but at a solution of (7) one still has to check the dropped constraint ICH,L_{H,L}H,L​ and the nonnegativity TL≥0T_L\ge0TL​≥0; both depend on the ordering of αH\alpha_HαH​ and αL\alpha_LαL​ at the optimum, which in turn depends on the sign of 1−2ϕ1-2\phi1−2ϕ. Second, strictness: comparative statics through increasing differences give only weak inequalities between maximizer sets. Upgrading αH∗≥αHe\alpha^*_H\ge\alpha^e_HαH∗​≥αHe​ to αH∗>αHe\alpha^*_H>\alpha^e_HαH∗​>αHe​ requires ruling out a common maximizer, which needs the optimum to be interior and kkk differentiable there; the naive argument by first-order conditions fails at the corners α‾,αˉ\underline\alpha,\bar\alphaα​,αˉ. Third, αL∗=αLe\alpha^*_L=\alpha^e_LαL∗​=αLe​ as sets requires existence of optimal menus, hence attainment of the maximum of (7).

Formalization scope

Everything is over R\mathbb RR. The model is a structure Model (values, prior, informativeness interval, selling cost) extended by Screening (type probability and the two costs); the standing assumptions u‾<uˉ\underline u<\bar uu​<uˉ, 0<ϕ<10<\phi<10<ϕ<1, 1/2<α‾<αˉ<11/2<\underline\alpha<\bar\alpha<11/2<α​<αˉ<1, k(α‾)=0k(\underline\alpha)=0k(α​)=0, kkk increasing on [α‾,αˉ][\underline\alpha,\bar\alpha][α​,αˉ] (weakly), 0<θ<10<\theta<10<θ<1, 0<cL<cH0<c_L<c_H0<cL​<cH​, and vl(α‾)<ci<vh(α‾)v_l(\underline\alpha)<c_i<v_h(\underline\alpha)vl​(α​)<ci​<vh​(α​) for both types are fields. The posteriors are defined with the divisions printed in (2). Efficient levels and optimal menus are sets of maximizers, never chosen by Classical.choose or a first-order condition. Menus include Tj≥0T_j\ge0Tj​≥0.

The goal additionally assumes the part of footnote 5 (p. 7) that makes optima interior: kkk continuous on [α‾,αˉ][\underline\alpha,\bar\alpha][α​,αˉ], differentiable on (α‾,αˉ)(\underline\alpha,\bar\alpha)(α​,αˉ), with right derivative k′(α‾)=0k'(\underline\alpha)=0k′(α​)=0 and k′(α)→+∞k'(\alpha)\to+\inftyk′(α)→+∞ as α→αˉ−\alpha\to\bar\alpha^-α→αˉ−. Convexity and twice differentiability, also in the footnote, are not assumed. The milestones carry no regularity beyond differentiability at the point considered (milestones 1, 5) and continuity for the optimality characterization in milestone 4.

The optimal menu is a maximizer of (6) under all four constraints, not a maximizer of (7): defining it through (7) would make half of the goal immediate and skip the reduction.

The development needs the algebra of the binary posterior, the two-type screening reduction, and a strict version of monotone comparative statics; Topkis's theorem on strictly increasing differences (Theorem 2.8.4) is already proved on the platform and referenced. Proofs of any milestone, and alternative arguments for the strict inequalities, are welcome.

Selected references

  • L. Guo, Selling Data to Marketers, Management Science, 2025 (author's manuscript). https://doi.org/10.1287/mnsc.2023.01350
  • D. M. Topkis, Supermodularity and Complementarity, Princeton University Press, 1998. https://doi.org/10.1515/9781400822539
  • M. Mussa and S. Rosen, Monopoly and Product Quality, Journal of Economic Theory 18(2), 1978. https://doi.org/10.1016/0022-0531(78)90085-6
  • E. Maskin and J. Riley, Monopoly with Incomplete Information, RAND Journal of Economics 15(2), 1984. https://doi.org/10.2307/2555674
  • Federal Trade Commission, Data Brokers: A Call for Transparency and Accountability, 2014. https://www.ftc.gov/reports/data-brokers-call-transparency-accountability-report-federal-trade-commission-may-2014
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Algorithmic Game TheoryEconomicsOperations Research·Captain: mikedeng1

Revenue Sharing at Music Streaming Platforms I: Homogeneity and Additivity Characterize Weighted Indices; Adding Equal Individual or Global Impact of Users Gives Pro-Rata or User-CentricResearch Paper

Motivation

Music streaming platforms collect a subscription fee from each user and pay part of the revenue to the artists whose content was played. The industry standard is the pro-rata method: the revenue pool is divided in proportion to each artist's total number of streams across all users. A competing method, the user-centric method, divides each user's own payment among the artists that user played, in proportion to that user's streams. SoundCloud adopted it in 2021 and Deezer has campaigned for it; the debate between the two methods is documented in the literature the paper cites, among others Dimont (2017), Haampland et al. (2022), Page and Safir (2018) and Meyn et al. (2023), listed below.

Bergantiños and Moreno-Ternero (arXiv:2310.11861, published in Management Science, 2025) put the debate on an axiomatic footing. Their Theorem 1 identifies the two basic principles every reasonable method in a large family satisfies, and isolates pro-rata and user-centric inside that family by one further principle each. This mission formalizes that theorem and the steps of its proof.

Setting

There are nnn artists NNN and a finite set MMM of users, m=∣M∣m=|M|m=∣M∣. A streaming problem (N,M,t)(N,M,t)(N,M,t) records, for every artist iii and user jjj, the number tij∈Nt_{ij}\in\mathbb Ntij​∈N of times jjj streamed content of iii. Each user pays 111, so the amount to share is mmm. Write

  • Ti=∑j∈MtijT_i=\sum_{j\in M}t_{ij}Ti​=∑j∈M​tij​, the streams of artist iii;
  • Tj=∑i∈NtijT^j=\sum_{i\in N}t_{ij}Tj=∑i∈N​tij​, the streams of user jjj;
  • Lj={i∈N:tij>0}L^j=\{i\in N : t_{ij}>0\}Lj={i∈N:tij​>0}, the artists user jjj played, assumed nonempty for every user;
  • t⋅j=(tij)i∈Nt_{\cdot j}=(t_{ij})_{i\in N}t⋅j​=(tij​)i∈N​, the profile of user jjj, and t−jt_{-j}t−j​ the table without user jjj.

A popularity index III assigns to every problem a vector I(N,M,t)∈R≥0NI(N,M,t)\in\mathbb R^N_{\ge 0}I(N,M,t)∈R≥0N​ with positive sum, and artist iii is paid the reward

RiI(N,M,t)=Ii(N,M,t)∑i′∈NIi′(N,M,t) m.R^I_i(N,M,t)=\frac{I_i(N,M,t)}{\sum_{i'\in N}I_{i'}(N,M,t)}\,m .RiI​(N,M,t)=∑i′∈N​Ii′​(N,M,t)Ii​(N,M,t)​m.

Since RcI=RIR^{cI}=R^IRcI=RI for every c>0c>0c>0, an index is identified with its positive multiples. The pro-rata index is Pi=TiP_i=T_iPi​=Ti​ and the user-centric index is Ui=∑j∈Mtij/TjU_i=\sum_{j\in M}t_{ij}/T^jUi​=∑j∈M​tij​/Tj. A weight system assigns a weight ω(j,x)>0\omega(j,x)>0ω(j,x)>0 to every user jjj and every profile x∈NNx\in\mathbb N^Nx∈NN; its weighted index is Iiω=∑j∈Mω(j,t⋅j) tijI^\omega_i=\sum_{j\in M}\omega(j,t_{\cdot j})\,t_{ij}Iiω​=∑j∈M​ω(j,t⋅j​)tij​. Pro-rata is ω≡1\omega\equiv 1ω≡1 and user-centric is ω(j,x)=1/∑ixi\omega(j,x)=1/\sum_i x_iω(j,x)=1/∑i​xi​.

The axioms are:

  • Homogeneity: if tij=λti′jt_{ij}=\lambda t_{i'j}tij​=λti′j​ for all j∈Mj\in Mj∈M, with λ≥0\lambda\ge 0λ≥0, then Ii=λIi′I_i=\lambda I_{i'}Ii​=λIi′​.
  • Additivity: if MMM splits into disjoint M1,M2M^1,M^2M1,M2, then I(N,M,t)=I(N,M1,t1)+I(N,M2,t2)I(N,M,t)=I(N,M^1,t^1)+I(N,M^2,t^2)I(N,M,t)=I(N,M1,t1)+I(N,M2,t2).
  • Equal individual impact of similar users: if tij=tij′t_{ij}=t_{ij'}tij​=tij′​, then Ii(N,M∖{j},t−j)=Ii(N,M∖{j′},t−j′)I_i(N,M\setminus\{j\},t_{-j})=I_i(N,M\setminus\{j'\},t_{-j'})Ii​(N,M∖{j},t−j​)=Ii​(N,M∖{j′},t−j′​).
  • Equal global impact of users: ∑iIi(N,M∖{j},t−j)=∑iIi(N,M∖{j′},t−j′)\sum_i I_i(N,M\setminus\{j\},t_{-j})=\sum_i I_i(N,M\setminus\{j'\},t_{-j'})∑i​Ii​(N,M∖{j},t−j​)=∑i​Ii​(N,M∖{j′},t−j′​) for all j,j′∈Mj,j'\in Mj,j′∈M.

Two further axioms of §3 compare the methods: reasonable lower bound (the artists played by a group CCC of users receive at least ∣C∣|C|∣C∣) and click-fraud-proofness (changing one user's streams moves no artist's reward by more than 111).

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem 1 (p. 12)

For every popularity index III:

(a)I satisfies homogeneity and additivity  ⟺  ∃ ω>0: I=Iω;\text{(a)}\quad I \text{ satisfies homogeneity and additivity} \iff \exists\,\omega>0:\ I=I^\omega ;(a)I satisfies homogeneity and additivity⟺∃ω>0: I=Iω; (b)(n≥2)homogeneity, additivity, equal individual impact  ⟺  ∃ c>0: I=c P;\text{(b)}\quad (n\ge 2)\quad \text{homogeneity, additivity, equal individual impact} \iff \exists\,c>0:\ I=c\,P ;(b)(n≥2)homogeneity, additivity, equal individual impact⟺∃c>0: I=cP; (c)homogeneity, additivity, equal global impact  ⟺  ∃ c>0: I=c U.\text{(c)}\quad \text{homogeneity, additivity, equal global impact} \iff \exists\,c>0:\ I=c\,U .(c)homogeneity, additivity, equal global impact⟺∃c>0: I=cU.

Milestones (the proof, Appendix pp. 18–20)

  1. Every weighted index satisfies homogeneity and additivity (p. 18).
  2. An additive index decomposes as Ii(N,M,t)=∑j∈MIi(N,{j},t⋅j)I_i(N,M,t)=\sum_{j\in M}I_i(N,\{j\},t_{\cdot j})Ii​(N,M,t)=∑j∈M​Ii​(N,{j},t⋅j​) (p. 18).
  3. On a one-user problem a homogeneous index is Ii(N,{j},x)=∑i′Ii′(N,{j},x)Tj xiI_i(N,\{j\},x)=\frac{\sum_{i'}I_{i'}(N,\{j\},x)}{T^j}\,x_iIi​(N,{j},x)=Tj∑i′​Ii′​(N,{j},x)​xi​ (pp. 18–19).
  4. Theorem 1(a) as a statement on its own (p. 12).
  5. Pro-rata satisfies the three axioms of (b) (p. 19).
  6. Under the axioms of (b), any representing weight ω(j,x)\omega(j,x)ω(j,x) is the same at every nonzero profile (pp. 19–20).
  7. ∑iUi(N,M∖{j},t−j)=m−1\sum_i U_i(N,M\setminus\{j\},t_{-j})=m-1∑i​Ui​(N,M∖{j},t−j​)=m−1, and user-centric satisfies the axioms of (c) (p. 20).
  8. Under equal global impact, ∑iIi(N,{j},x)\sum_i I_i(N,\{j\},x)∑i​Ii​(N,{j},x) is the same for every user and nonzero profile (p. 20).

Companions (§3, p. 13; Appendix, pp. 21–22): user-centric satisfies reasonable lower bound and click-fraud-proofness; with at least two artists, pro-rata satisfies neither.

Significance

Theorem 1 says that the choice between the two methods used in practice is a choice between two principles, and nothing else, once homogeneity and additivity are accepted: equal individual impact of similar users ("all streams count the same") gives pro-rata, and equal global impact of users ("all users count the same") gives user-centric. Part (a) describes the whole family of methods that respect the two basic axioms, which includes capped and hybrid schemes proposed in the industry (p. 10). The companion results show that the further axioms of §3 separate the two methods in favour of user-centric. The paper's further results, the core of the associated cooperative game (Theorem 2) and the core-selection characterization (Theorem 3), are separate missions of this series.

The result is proved in the paper; its proofs are in the appendix (pp. 18–22). No machine-checked version is known. A formalization fixes the model precisely, including the conventions the paper leaves implicit (the disjointness in additivity, nonempty user lists, the identification of indices up to a positive factor), and records exactly where two artists are needed.

Difficulty

The "if" directions are direct computations. The "only if" directions are a functional equation on indices: additivity reduces an index to its values on one-user problems, and homogeneity forces those values to be proportional to the profile, so the remaining freedom is one weight per user and profile. The work in (b) and (c) is to show that this weight is constant, using the extra axiom only on small auxiliary problems that contain users outside the given problem. The constant must be one number for all problems: a constant depending on the problem would make (b) and (c) much weaker, and is not what the paper proves.

Formalization scope

Artists are Fin n, indexed from 000. Users are natural numbers, an infinite universe, and a problem is a finitely supported table ℕ →₀ (Fin n → ℕ) whose support is the user set MMM; every user of a problem therefore has a nonzero profile, which is the paper's standing assumption Lj≠∅L^j\neq\varnothingLj=∅, and an index can only read the columns of users in MMM. Streams are natural numbers. An index is a function from problems to Fin n → ℝ; it is a popularity index when it is nonnegative with positive sum on every problem with at least one user. The empty problem has nothing to share, and no positivity is demanded there; additivity forces the index to vanish on it. Additivity is stated for disjoint user sets: the printed axiom only says M=M1∪M2M=M^1\cup M^2M=M1∪M2, which with M1=M2=MM^1=M^2=MM1=M2=M would force I=2II=2II=2I and leave no index at all. "Is the pro-rata (user-centric) index" means "is a positive multiple of it, with one constant for all problems". Part (b) assumes at least two artists: with one artist the user-centric index satisfies its axioms and is not a multiple of pro-rata (every index then pays the whole mmm to the single artist, so (b) holds at the level of rewards). Weights at the zero profile never enter a weighted index and are only required to be positive.

A formalization in which the positivity requirement applies to the empty problem, additivity allows overlapping user sets, or the constant in (b) or (c) depends on the problem is trivial or empty and is ruled out.

All objects are defined in one module, MusicStreaming.Axioms.Setting, on top of Mathlib's Finsupp and finite sums; nothing else is needed. Proofs of the milestones, alternative proofs of Theorem 1, and the verification that the definitions compute the paper's Example 1 are welcome.

Selected references

  • G. Bergantiños and J. D. Moreno-Ternero, Revenue sharing at music streaming platforms, Management Science, 2025; preprint arXiv:2310.11861v1, 2023. https://arxiv.org/abs/2310.11861 (the source of every statement in this mission; Theorem 1 on p. 12, proofs on pp. 18–22).
  • J. Meyn, M. Kandziora, S. Albers, M. Clement, Consequences of platforms' remuneration models for digital content: initial evidence and a research agenda for streaming services, Journal of the Academy of Marketing Science 51, 114–131, 2023 (reference [39] of the paper).
  • J. Dimont, Royalty inequity: Why music streaming services should switch to a per-subscriber model, Hastings Law Journal 69, 675, 2017 (reference [22] of the paper).
  • W. Page and D. Safir, Money in, money out: Lessons from CMOs in allocating and distributing licensing revenue, technical report, 2018 (reference [45] of the paper).
  • O. Haampland, R. Johannessen, F. Moreau, P. Wikström, Fairness and royalty payment systems on music streaming platforms, mimeo, 2022 (reference [29] of the paper).
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Functional AnalysisPartial Differential EquationsSymplectic Geometry·Captain: Mazecto

Fredholm Theory and the Index Formula for Cauchy–Riemann Operators on the CylinderTextbook

Motivation

Linear Cauchy–Riemann operators are the linearizations of the nonlinear Cauchy–Riemann equation for pseudoholomorphic curves. On the cylinder R×S1\mathbb{R}\times S^1R×S1 with the trivial bundle they take the form

DS=∂s+J0 ∂t+S(s,t):W1,p(R×S1,R2n)→Lp(R×S1,R2n),D_S=\partial_s+J_0\,\partial_t+S(s,t):W^{1,p}(\mathbb{R}\times S^1,\mathbb{R}^{2n})\to L^p(\mathbb{R}\times S^1,\mathbb{R}^{2n}),DS​=∂s​+J0​∂t​+S(s,t):W1,p(R×S1,R2n)→Lp(R×S1,R2n),

where S(s,⋅)S(s,\cdot)S(s,⋅) converges to loops S±S^\pmS± of symmetric matrices as s→±∞s\to\pm\inftys→±∞. These are the operators of Floer homology, of symplectic field theory and of contact homology. The dimension of their moduli spaces is the Fredholm index of DSD_SDS​, and the Riemann–Roch formula with punctures computes it from the Conley–Zehnder indices of the asymptotic operators A±=−J0∂t−S±(t)A^\pm=-J_0\partial_t-S^\pm(t)A±=−J0​∂t​−S±(t):

ind⁡DS=μCZ(A+)−μCZ(A−).\operatorname{ind}D_S=\mu_{CZ}(A^+)-\mu_{CZ}(A^-).indDS​=μCZ​(A+)−μCZ​(A−).

This mission formalizes this formula, together with the Fredholm property of DSD_SDS​, following C. Wendl, Lectures on Symplectic Field Theory, Lectures 3–5, in the case of the cylinder (the sphere with one positive and one negative puncture). Mathlib has the notion of a Fredholm operator but no Sobolev spaces on cylinders, no Cauchy–Riemann operators and no Conley–Zehnder index.

Setting

  • Cylinder. S1=R/ZS^1=\mathbb{R}/\mathbb{Z}S1=R/Z. Maps on R×S1\mathbb{R}\times S^1R×S1 are maps u(s,t)u(s,t)u(s,t) on R2\mathbb{R}^2R2 with u(s,t+1)=u(s,t)u(s,t+1)=u(s,t)u(s,t+1)=u(s,t), and Lp(R×S1)L^p(\mathbb{R}\times S^1)Lp(R×S1) is LpL^pLp of the strip R×[0,1)\mathbb{R}\times[0,1)R×[0,1) with Lebesgue measure. R2n=Cn\mathbb{R}^{2n}=\mathbb{C}^nR2n=Cn with J0=(0−110)J_0=\begin{pmatrix}0&-1\\1&0\end{pmatrix}J0​=(01​−10​), multiplication by iii.
  • Sobolev space. W1,p(R×S1,R2n)W^{1,p}(\mathbb{R}\times S^1,\mathbb{R}^{2n})W1,p(R×S1,R2n) is the closure of the smooth maps that vanish for large ∣s∣|s|∣s∣ under the norm ∥u∥p+∥∂su∥p+∥∂tu∥p\|u\|_p+\|\partial_su\|_p+\|\partial_tu\|_p∥u∥p​+∥∂s​u∥p​+∥∂t​u∥p​.
  • Asymptotic operators. For a loop S∞S_\inftyS∞​ of symmetric matrices, A=−J0∂t−S∞(t)A=-J_0\partial_t-S_\infty(t)A=−J0​∂t​−S∞​(t). Its fundamental solution Ψ\PsiΨ solves Ψ′=J0S∞Ψ\Psi'=J_0S_\infty\PsiΨ′=J0​S∞​Ψ, Ψ(0)=Id\Psi(0)=\mathrm{Id}Ψ(0)=Id. AAA is nondegenerate if 111 is not an eigenvalue of Ψ(1)\Psi(1)Ψ(1), and μCZ(A)\mu_{CZ}(A)μCZ​(A) is the Conley–Zehnder index of the symplectic path Ψ∣[0,1]\Psi|_{[0,1]}Ψ∣[0,1]​.
  • Cauchy–Riemann operators. S:R×S1→R2n×2nS:\mathbb{R}\times S^1\to\mathbb{R}^{2n\times2n}S:R×S1→R2n×2n is continuous and S(s,⋅)→S±S(s,\cdot)\to S^\pmS(s,⋅)→S± uniformly as s→±∞s\to\pm\inftys→±∞. DSD_SDS​ acts on W1,pW^{1,p}W1,p; its index is dim⁡ker⁡DS−dim⁡coker⁡DS\dim\ker D_S-\dim\operatorname{coker}D_SdimkerDS​−dimcokerDS​.

Formalization targets

Goal: the index formula on the cylinder

If 1<p<∞1<p<\infty1<p<∞ and the asymptotic operators A±A^\pmA± are nondegenerate, then DS:W1,p→LpD_S:W^{1,p}\to L^pDS​:W1,p→Lp is Fredholm and ind⁡DS=μCZ(A+)−μCZ(A−)\operatorname{ind}D_S=\mu_{CZ}(A^+)-\mu_{CZ}(A^-)indDS​=μCZ​(A+)−μCZ​(A−) (Wendl, Theorem 5.4 with Theorem 4.3, for the cylinder).

Milestones

  1. Translation-invariant operators. For a nondegenerate loop S∞S_\inftyS∞​, ∂s+J0∂t+S∞(t):W1,p→Lp\partial_s+J_0\partial_t+S_\infty(t):W^{1,p}\to L^p∂s​+J0​∂t​+S∞​(t):W1,p→Lp is an isomorphism (Theorem 4.11).
  2. Global regularity. An LpL^pLp weak solution of DSη=f∈LpD_S\eta=f\in L^pDS​η=f∈Lp lies in W1,pW^{1,p}W1,p (Proposition 4.6).
  3. Local estimate. ∥η∥W1,p≤c∥DSη∥p+c∥η∥p\|\eta\|_{W^{1,p}}\le c\|D_S\eta\|_p+c\|\eta\|_p∥η∥W1,p​≤c∥DS​η∥p​+c∥η∥p​ for η\etaη supported in [−R,R]×S1[-R,R]\times S^1[−R,R]×S1 (Proposition 4.8).
  4. Estimate on the ends. ∥η∥W1,p≤c∥DSη∥p\|\eta\|_{W^{1,p}}\le c\|D_S\eta\|_p∥η∥W1,p​≤c∥DS​η∥p​ for η\etaη supported far out in an end with nondegenerate asymptotic operator (Proposition 4.9).
  5. An abstract estimate. If ∥x∥≤c∥Tx∥+c∥Kx∥\|x\|\le c\|Tx\|+c\|Kx\|∥x∥≤c∥Tx∥+c∥Kx∥ with KKK compact, then ker⁡T\ker TkerT is finite-dimensional and TTT has closed range (Lemma 4.12).
  6. Global estimate. ∥η∥W1,p≤c∥DSη∥p+c∥η∥Lp([−R,R]×S1)\|\eta\|_{W^{1,p}}\le c\|D_S\eta\|_p+c\|\eta\|_{L^p([-R,R]\times S^1)}∥η∥W1,p​≤c∥DS​η∥p​+c∥η∥Lp([−R,R]×S1)​ (Lemma 4.13).
  7. Compactness on finite cylinders. Bounded sequences in W1,pW^{1,p}W1,p have subsequences converging in Lp([−R,R]×S1)L^p([-R,R]\times S^1)Lp([−R,R]×S1) (Wendl, p. 74).
  8. Semi-Fredholm property of DSD_SDS​ (Corollary 4.14).
  9. Cokernel and formal adjoint. dim⁡coker⁡DS\dim\operatorname{coker}D_SdimcokerDS​ is finite and equals the kernel dimension of the Cauchy–Riemann operator DSˉD_{\bar S}DSˉ​ on W1,qW^{1,q}W1,q, Sˉ=−CSTC\bar S=-CS^{\mathsf T}CSˉ=−CSTC, 1/p+1/q=11/p+1/q=11/p+1/q=1, with CCC complex conjugation (Lemma 4.17, Proposition 4.18, Theorem 4.20).
  10. Fredholm property of DSD_SDS​ (Theorem 4.3).
  11. Independence of ppp of the kernel dimension and of the index (Theorem 4.3).
  12. Classification of nondegenerate asymptotic operators. Two nondegenerate loops have the same Conley–Zehnder index if and only if they are joined by a path of nondegenerate loops (Theorem 3.34).
  13. Conjugation. μCZ(−J0∂t+CS∞C)=−μCZ(−J0∂t−S∞)\mu_{CZ}(-J_0\partial_t+CS_\infty C)=-\mu_{CZ}(-J_0\partial_t-S_\infty)μCZ​(−J0​∂t​+CS∞​C)=−μCZ​(−J0​∂t​−S∞​) (Lemma 5.8).
  14. Model operators. η↦−J0η˙−πkη−σe2πiktηˉ\eta\mapsto-J_0\dot\eta-\pi k\eta-\sigma e^{2\pi ikt}\bar\etaη↦−J0​η˙​−πkη−σe2πiktηˉ​ on loops in C\mathbb{C}C is nondegenerate with Conley–Zehnder index kkk, for k∈Zk\in\mathbb{Z}k∈Z and σ>0\sigma>0σ>0 (Lemma 5.29).
  15. A plane equation without L2L^2L2 solutions. ∂ˉf+zˉfˉ=0\bar\partial f+\bar z\bar f=0∂ˉf+zˉfˉ​=0 has no nonzero smooth solution in L2(C)L^2(\mathbb{C})L2(C) (Proposition 5.20).
  16. A plane equation with Gaussian solutions. The smooth L2L^2L2 solutions of ∂ˉf+zfˉ=0\bar\partial f+z\bar f=0∂ˉf+zfˉ​=0 are the real multiples of e−∣z∣2/2e^{-|z|^2/2}e−∣z∣2/2 (Proposition 5.21).
  17. Large antilinear perturbations. For a function β\betaβ on the cylinder with normalized zeros, DS+σβ ⋅ ˉD_S+\sigma\beta\bar{\ \cdot\ }DS​+σβ ⋅ ˉ is onto with kernel of dimension #Z+\#Z^+#Z+ when all zeros are positive, and injective with cokernel of dimension #Z−\#Z^-#Z− when all zeros are negative, for all large σ\sigmaσ (Proposition 5.27).
  18. Antilinear deformations of asymptotic operators. If each asymptotic operator has the Conley–Zehnder index of an operator −J0∂t−S′±-J_0\partial_t-S'^\pm−J0​∂t​−S′± whose deformations −J0∂t−S′±−σβ± ⋅ ˉ-J_0\partial_t-S'^\pm-\sigma\beta_\pm\bar{\ \cdot\ }−J0​∂t​−S′±−σβ±​ ⋅ ˉ, σ≥0\sigma\ge0σ≥0, are all nondegenerate, then ind⁡DS=wind⁡β+−wind⁡β−\operatorname{ind}D_S=\operatorname{wind}\beta_+-\operatorname{wind}\beta_-indDS​=windβ+​−windβ−​ (Lemma 5.28).

Significance

The result. The index formula is the dimension formula for moduli spaces of pseudoholomorphic cylinders: Floer trajectories in Hamiltonian Floer homology and holomorphic cylinders in symplectizations. It fixes the grading of these theories, and its sign conventions are those of the Conley–Zehnder index of the asymptotic orbits.

Formalizing it. The mission builds Sobolev spaces on the cylinder, the Fredholm theory of Cauchy–Riemann operators with cylindrical ends, and the Conley–Zehnder index of asymptotic operators. These are the analytic foundations of Floer theory and symplectic field theory and are reusable for transversality arguments and for the indices of other operators. Milestone 5 is a general statement about Banach spaces.

Difficulty

The operators act between infinite-dimensional spaces of functions on a non-compact domain, so finiteness of kernel and cokernel is a global statement that sees the behaviour at both ends. The Sobolev space is defined as a closure, and the operator acts on its elements through their weak derivatives. The Conley–Zehnder index is defined through a continuous argument of a normalized complex determinant along a path of symplectic matrices, extended to a normal form; the conventions (sign of J0J_0J0​, orientation of the cylinder, which end is positive) all enter the final formula. Several milestones are uniform estimates in which the constant is chosen before the function.

Formalization scope

  • Namespace CauchyRiemannIndex. The definition module CauchyRiemannIndex_Setting defines the cylinder measure, W1p, crKernel, crRange, crIndex, IsFredholmCR, asymptotic operators through IsFundamentalSolution, IsNondegenerate and asymptoticCZIndex, and the Conley–Zehnder index czIndex of a symplectic path. The mission is standalone; czIndex and its auxiliary definitions repeat those of the ConleyZehnder mission word for word.
  • Spaces. R2n\mathbb{R}^{2n}R2n is EuclideanSpace ℝ (Fin n ⊕ Fin n), matrices are Matrix (Fin n ⊕ Fin n) (Fin n ⊕ Fin n) ℝ, and J0J_0J0​ is Matrix.J. Maps on the cylinder are maps ℝ × ℝ → ℝ²ⁿ, periodic in the second variable, and LpL^pLp is taken on the strip R×[0,1)\mathbb{R}\times[0,1)R×[0,1). W1,pW^{1,p}W1,p is a closed subspace of Lp × Lp × Lp, consisting of triples (u,∂su,∂tu)(u,\partial_su,\partial_tu)(u,∂s​u,∂t​u).
  • Exponents. ppp is in ℝ≥0∞ with 1<p1<p1<p and p≠∞p\ne\inftyp=∞. Norms of smooth maps are eLpNorm in ℝ≥0∞; constants are in ℝ≥0.
  • Indices. The Fredholm index is finrank ker - finrank (Lp ⧸ range) in ℤ; statements that use it also assert that both are finite-dimensional.
  • Smoothness. Smoothness is ContDiff ℝ ∞ (C∞C^\inftyC∞, not analytic). The coefficient SSS is only assumed continuous, with uniform convergence at the ends.

Contributions welcome: general lemmas on Sobolev spaces of periodic functions, on Fredholm operators between Banach spaces, and on the Conley–Zehnder index.

Selected references

  • C. Wendl, Lectures on Symplectic Field Theory, arXiv:1612.01009, Lectures 3–5. https://arxiv.org/abs/1612.01009
  • J. Gutt, Generalized Conley–Zehnder index, Ann. Fac. Sci. Toulouse Math. (6) 23 (2014), 907–932, arXiv:1307.7239. https://arxiv.org/abs/1307.7239
  • D. Salamon, Lectures on Floer homology, in Symplectic Geometry and Topology, IAS/Park City Math. Ser. 7, AMS (1999), 143–229.
  • M. Schwarz, Cohomology operations from S¹-cobordisms in Floer homology, PhD thesis, ETH Zürich (1995).
97 thms3 active usersReviewed
EconomicsOperations ResearchOptimization·Captain: mikedeng1

The Bright Side of the GDPR: Welfare-Improving Privacy Management I: The Equilibrium Price Is Higher After the GDPR for Every Opt-in Benefit and Data RevenueResearch Paper

Motivation

The European Union's General Data Protection Regulation (GDPR, in force since 2018) requires a firm to obtain a consumer's explicit opt-in consent before it collects her personal data. Most of the economic literature reads such consent rules as a cost to data-driven firms. Choe, Matsushima and Shekhar (ISER Discussion Paper No. 1246, Osaka University, June 2024; published in Management Science, 2025, doi:10.1287/mnsc.2024.06653) ask what happens to the price of a digital service when consumers gain the right to buy it without sharing data. Their model is a monopoly with two-dimensional consumer heterogeneity, simple enough to be solved in closed form, and it lets the answer be stated for every value of the firm's opt-in benefit and every mix of usage-based and data-based revenue.

This mission formalizes the paper's general price comparison, Proposition A1: the equilibrium price is higher after the GDPR.

Setting

A monopolist sells an online service at zero marginal cost and price p∈Rp \in \mathbb{R}p∈R. A consumer has a type (v,c)∈[0,1]2(v, c) \in [0,1]^2(v,c)∈[0,1]2, where vvv is her valuation for the service and ccc her privacy cost of sharing data; types are independent and uniform on [0,1]2[0,1]^2[0,1]2, so the mass of a set of consumers is its area. A consumer who shares data receives an opt-in benefit x∈(0,1)x \in (0, 1)x∈(0,1), and the firm earns an exogenous data revenue α≥0\alpha \ge 0α≥0 per unit of shared data.

The utilities of opt-in purchase (buy and share) and opt-out purchase (buy without sharing) are

US(v,c)=v+(x−c)−p,UN(v,c)=v−p.U_S(v,c) = v + (x - c) - p, \qquad U_N(v,c) = v - p.US​(v,c)=v+(x−c)−p,UN​(v,c)=v−p.
  • Before the GDPR opt-out purchase is unavailable. A consumer buys, and shares data, iff US≥0U_S \ge 0US​≥0. The demand D^(p)\widehat D(p)D(p) is the area of {(v,c)∈[0,1]2:c≤v+x−p}\{(v,c) \in [0,1]^2 : c \le v + x - p\}{(v,c)∈[0,1]2:c≤v+x−p}, and the profit is Π^(p)=(p+α)D^(p)\widehat\Pi(p) = (p + \alpha)\widehat D(p)Π(p)=(p+α)D(p).
  • After the GDPR a consumer opts in iff US≥max⁡{UN,0}U_S \ge \max\{U_N, 0\}US​≥max{UN​,0} and opts out iff UN≥max⁡{US,0}U_N \ge \max\{U_S, 0\}UN​≥max{US​,0}. The opt-in set is {c≤v+x−p, c≤x}\{c \le v + x - p,\ c \le x\}{c≤v+x−p, c≤x}, the opt-out set is {v≥p, c>x}\{v \ge p,\ c > x\}{v≥p, c>x}, their areas are D~S(p)\widetilde D_S(p)DS​(p) and D~N(p)\widetilde D_N(p)DN​(p), and the profit is Π~(p)=p (D~S(p)+D~N(p))+α D~S(p)\widetilde\Pi(p) = p\,(\widetilde D_S(p) + \widetilde D_N(p)) + \alpha\,\widetilde D_S(p)Π(p)=p(DS​(p)+DN​(p))+αDS​(p).

The firm chooses the price first and consumers respond, so the equilibrium price in each regime is a maximizer over R\mathbb{R}R of the corresponding profit: p^⋆\hat p^\starp^​⋆ for Π^\widehat\PiΠ and p~⋆\tilde p^\starp~​⋆ for Π~\widetilde\PiΠ. The paper's appendix expresses them through the thresholds

α1(x)=max⁡{1−2x2,0},α2(x)=max⁡{2−4x+x22x,0}\alpha_1(x) = \max\Big\{\tfrac{1-2x}{2}, 0\Big\}, \qquad \alpha_2(x) = \max\Big\{\tfrac{2-4x+x^2}{2x}, 0\Big\}α1​(x)=max{21−2x​,0},α2​(x)=max{2x2−4x+x2​,0}

and the radicals β=6+(x+α−1)2\beta = \sqrt{6 + (x+\alpha-1)^2}β=6+(x+α−1)2​, Γ=6+(2−2x+α)2\Gamma = \sqrt{6 + (2-2x+\alpha)^2}Γ=6+(2−2x+α)2​.

Formalization targets

Goal: Proposition A1 (p. 34)

For every 0<x<10 < x < 10<x<1 and α≥0\alpha \ge 0α≥0, both profits attain a global maximum on R\mathbb{R}R, and every pair of maximizers satisfies

p~⋆>p^⋆.\tilde p^\star > \hat p^\star.p~​⋆>p^​⋆.

Milestones

  1. Display (4) (p. 11): D^(p)=(1+x−p)2/2\widehat D(p) = (1+x-p)^2/2D(p)=(1+x−p)2/2 for x<p<1+xx < p < 1+xx<p<1+x, and 1−(1−x+p)2/21 - (1-x+p)^2/21−(1−x+p)2/2 for x−1≤p≤xx-1 \le p \le xx−1≤p≤x.
  2. Display (5) (p. 14): D~S(p)\widetilde D_S(p)DS​(p) equals (1+x−p)2/2(1+x-p)^2/2(1+x−p)2/2, x2/2+x(1−p)x^2/2 + x(1-p)x2/2+x(1−p) or x−p2/2x - p^2/2x−p2/2 on (1,1+x)(1, 1+x)(1,1+x), (x,1](x, 1](x,1], [0,x][0, x][0,x].
  3. Display (6) (p. 14): D~N(p)=(1−x)(1−p)\widetilde D_N(p) = (1-x)(1-p)DN​(p)=(1−x)(1−p) for 0≤p≤10 \le p \le 10≤p≤1, and 000 for 1<p<1+x1 < p < 1 + x1<p<1+x.
  4. Online Appendix A.1 (OA p. 2): p^\hat pp^​ maximizes Π^\widehat\PiΠ iff p^=(1+x−2α)/3\hat p = (1+x-2\alpha)/3p^​=(1+x−2α)/3 when α<α1(x)\alpha < \alpha_1(x)α<α1​(x) and p^=(2(x−1)−α+β)/3\hat p = (2(x-1) - \alpha + \beta)/3p^​=(2(x−1)−α+β)/3 otherwise.
  5. Online Appendix A.2 (OA p. 4): p~\tilde pp~​ maximizes Π~\widetilde\PiΠ iff p~=(2(1−αx)+x2)/4\tilde p = (2(1-\alpha x) + x^2)/4p~​=(2(1−αx)+x2)/4 when α<α2(x)\alpha < \alpha_2(x)α<α2​(x) and p~=(Γ−(2−2x+α))/3\tilde p = (\Gamma - (2 - 2x + \alpha))/3p~​=(Γ−(2−2x+α))/3 otherwise.
  6. p. 14: α1(x)≤α2(x)\alpha_1(x) \le \alpha_2(x)α1​(x)≤α2​(x) for all x∈(0,1)x \in (0,1)x∈(0,1).
  7. Lemma A3 (pp. 33–34): the three possible pairs of equilibrium regimes (case 1a/2a, 1b/2a, 1b/2b), located by price intervals.
  8. Online Appendix D, first display (OA p. 7): the closed form of p~⋆−p^⋆\tilde p^\star - \hat p^\starp~​⋆−p^​⋆ in each of the three regions.

Significance

The result. Proposition A1 says the price rise is robust: it holds for every opt-in benefit and every revenue model, from a firm that earns nothing from data (α=0\alpha = 0α=0) to one whose data revenue dominates. The paper's welfare results (on demand, profit and consumer surplus) are comparisons of the same two equilibria, and the price comparison is the one among them that holds uniformly; the others change sign with (x,α)(x, \alpha)(x,α) and are established in the paper only numerically. The main text's Proposition 1 is the instance x=1/4x = 1/4x=1/4.

Formalizing it. The paper's proof is a chain of closed-form computations spread over the appendix and online appendix: areas of polygons, the maximization of piecewise cubic profits over all of R\mathbb{R}R, and a sign argument with nested square roots. Several steps are stated as "one can verify", and the online appendix contains printed slips (a derivative written with respect to the wrong variable in §D, a pair of cases listed incorrectly on p. 14). A machine-checked proof turns the chain into a verified one. The milestones isolate the parts that are reusable on their own: the demand formulas (4)–(6) and the closed-form equilibria, on which the paper's companion profit comparison (Proposition A3) also rests. None of these results has been formalized before.

Difficulty

The obvious route, solving the first-order condition on each demand piece, gives candidates, not maximizers. The profits are only piecewise smooth, the pieces meet at p=xp = xp=x and p=1p = 1p=1, and the price ranges over all of R\mathbb{R}R, including negative prices before the GDPR. Showing that the candidate is the unique global maximizer requires comparing values across pieces and controlling the profit outside the paper's displayed price ranges. The comparison step is the second difficulty: in the middle region α1(x)≤α<α2(x)\alpha_1(x) \le \alpha < \alpha_2(x)α1​(x)≤α<α2​(x) the gap (14+4α+3x2−8x−6xα−4β)/12(14 + 4\alpha + 3x^2 - 8x - 6x\alpha - 4\beta)/12(14+4α+3x2−8x−6xα−4β)/12 mixes a polynomial with a square root, and its positivity is not a one-line estimate. The gap tends to 000 as x→1x \to 1x→1, so no uniform margin is available.

Formalization scope

  • Types are pairs q : ℝ × ℝ with q.1 = v, q.2 = c; the type square is Set.Icc 0 1 ×ˢ Set.Icc 0 1, and every demand is (volume S).toReal for the Lebesgue measure on ℝ × ℝ.
  • The after-GDPR sets are copied from p. 13; they send the tie US=UN≥0U_S = U_N \ge 0US​=UN​≥0 to opt-in, which changes only a null set.
  • Profits are functions ℝ → ℝ of the price, and an equilibrium price is IsMaxOn profit Set.univ p. The price is never restricted to the paper's case ranges, and p~⋆≥0\tilde p^\star \ge 0p~​⋆≥0 is a consequence, not an assumption.
  • Standing assumptions on every theorem: 0<x0 < x0<x, x<1x < 1x<1, α≥0\alpha \ge 0α≥0 (pp. 7–8). The data revenue is written α in Lean.
  • "Case 1a/1b/2a/2b equilibrium" means the maximizer lies in (x,1+x)(x, 1+x)(x,1+x), [x−1,x][x-1, x][x−1,x], (x,1+x)(x, 1+x)(x,1+x), [0,x][0, x][0,x] respectively.
  • The thresholds α1,α2\alpha_1, \alpha_2α1​,α2​ and radicals β,Γ\beta, \Gammaβ,Γ are plain definitions with the paper's formulas.

A formalization that compares the two closed-form prices instead of maximizers of the modelled profits, that asserts a property of "every maximizer" without proving one exists, or that restricts prices to a bounded interval, would not state Proposition A1; the goal and the milestones rule all three out. Results of the paper established only numerically (Propositions 2–4, A2, the second and third bullets of A3, A4) are not posed, and neither are the comparative statics of Lemmas A1–A2.

A complete development needs areas of polygons under the Lebesgue measure on R2\mathbb{R}^2R2 (via MeasureTheory.volume_regionBetween or Fubini), elementary calculus on piecewise polynomials, and inequalities with square roots. The demand computations and the global-maximization arguments are reusable for the companion mission on the paper's profit comparison. Contributions of any milestone, or of further intermediate lemmas such as the continuity of the demands in the price, are welcome.

Selected references

  • C. Choe, N. Matsushima, S. Shekhar, The Bright Side of the GDPR: Welfare-Improving Privacy Management, ISER Discussion Paper No. 1246, Osaka University, June 2024 (the version formalized; theorem and page numbers refer to it).
  • C. Choe, N. Matsushima, S. Shekhar, The Bright Side of the GDPR: Welfare-Improving Privacy Management, Management Science, 2025. https://doi.org/10.1287/mnsc.2024.06653
  • Regulation (EU) 2016/679 (General Data Protection Regulation), Official Journal of the European Union L 119, 2016. https://eur-lex.europa.eu/eli/reg/2016/679/oj
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Algorithmic Game TheoryEconomicsOperations Research+1·Captain: mikedeng1

Imperfect Targeting and Advertising Strategies: With Costless Advertising and A < 1/4, Equilibrium Industry Profit Falls as Targeting Improves, Jumps Up at α̂₂(A), Then Stays ConstantResearch Paper

Motivation

Online advertising lets a firm aim its messages at the consumers most likely to want its product, but the data behind that aim is noisy: a platform's prediction of who belongs to a demographic or interest segment is right only with some probability. A natural expectation is that sharper targeting raises firms' profits, since fewer messages are wasted. Karle and Reisinger (SSRN 4626076, March 2024; published in Management Science, doi:10.1287/mnsc.2023.03632) show that this can fail: when both firms chase the same valuable consumers, better targeting also increases the number of consumers who see both firms' advertisements, which intensifies price competition.

The model combines a targeting stage with the clearinghouse price-competition model of Varian (1980) and Narasimhan (1988), in which some consumers are informed about one firm only (loyal consumers) and others about both (shoppers), and equilibrium prices are dispersed. This mission formalizes the paper's result for costless advertising: industry profit first falls as targeting improves, then jumps up when firms switch to segmenting the market, then stays flat.

Setting

There are two consumer groups aaa and bbb, each of mass one. Group-bbb consumers value the product at 111, group-aaa consumers at AAA, with 0<A<10 < A < 10<A<1. Two firms produce at zero cost. For every consumer each firm receives a signal of the consumer's group that is correct with probability α∈(1/2,1]\alpha \in (1/2, 1]α∈(1/2,1], independently across firms. Only consumers of the group a firm targets are interested in its product.

Stage 1. Each firm chooses a target group k∈{a,b}k \in \{a, b\}k∈{a,b} and a message scope: expected (message only the consumers its signal places in group kkk, which reaches a mass α\alphaα of group kkk) or all (message every consumer, which reaches all of group kkk). Messages cost c≥0c \ge 0c≥0 each; in this mission c=0c = 0c=0.

Stage 2. Having observed stage 1, firms set prices. For a stage-1 profile sss, if both firms target the same group, the shoppers S(s)=r1r2S(s) = r_1 r_2S(s)=r1​r2​ are the targeted consumers reached by both, where ri∈{α,1}r_i \in \{\alpha, 1\}ri​∈{α,1} is firm iii's reach; firm iii's loyal mass is Li(s)=ri−S(s)L_i(s) = r_i - S(s)Li​(s)=ri​−S(s). If they target different groups, S(s)=0S(s) = 0S(s)=0 and Li(s)=riL_i(s) = r_iLi​(s)=ri​. A consumer buys if the price does not exceed her valuation; shoppers buy from the cheaper firm and split equally on ties. Firm iii's profit at prices (p,q)(p, q)(p,q) is p (Li+S)p\,(L_i + S)p(Li​+S), p (Li+S/2)p\,(L_i + S/2)p(Li​+S/2) or p Lip\,L_ipLi​ according as p<qp < qp<q, p=qp = qp=q or p>qp > qp>q, and 000 if ppp exceeds the valuation.

Firms may randomize prices: a price strategy is a probability measure on [0,1][0,1][0,1], and Ui(s;μ,ν)U_i(s; \mu, \nu)Ui​(s;μ,ν) is firm iii's expected profit. A subgame perfect Nash equilibrium (SPNE) is a pure stage-1 profile s⋆s^\stars⋆ and a continuation that assigns to each of the sixteen stage-1 profiles a Nash equilibrium of its pricing subgame, such that no firm gains at stage 1 by changing its action. The sum of expected profits is V1(s⋆)+V2(s⋆)V_1(s^\star) + V_2(s^\star)V1​(s⋆)+V2​(s⋆).

Two cumulative distribution functions appear, on [1−α,1)[1-\alpha, 1)[1−α,1):

F(p)=1α−1−ααp,H(p)=p−(1−α)p,F(p) = \frac1\alpha - \frac{1-\alpha}{\alpha p}, \qquad H(p) = \frac{p - (1-\alpha)}{p},F(p)=α1​−αp1−α​,H(p)=pp−(1−α)​,

both 000 below 1−α1-\alpha1−α and 111 from 111 on, so HHH has an atom 1−α1 - \alpha1−α at p=1p = 1p=1. The thresholds are α^1(A)=1−A\hat\alpha_1(A) = 1 - Aα^1​(A)=1−A and α^2(A)=(1+1−4A)/2\hat\alpha_2(A) = \bigl(1 + \sqrt{1 - 4A}\bigr)/2α^2​(A)=(1+1−4A​)/2.

Formalization targets

Goal: Proposition 2 (p. 15)

For 0<A<1/40 < A < 1/40<A<1/4: 1/2<α^2(A)<α^1(A)1/2 < \hat\alpha_2(A) < \hat\alpha_1(A)1/2<α^2​(A)<α^1​(A); for every α∈(1/2,α^2(A))\alpha \in (1/2, \hat\alpha_2(A))α∈(1/2,α^2​(A)) there is an SPNE with

∑iE[πi⋆(α)]=1−α2,\textstyle\sum_i E[\pi_i^\star(\alpha)] = 1 - \alpha^2,∑i​E[πi⋆​(α)]=1−α2,

which is strictly decreasing in α\alphaα; for every α∈(α^2(A),1]\alpha \in (\hat\alpha_2(A), 1]α∈(α^2​(A),1] there is an SPNE with sum 1+A1 + A1+A; and 1−α^2(A)2<1+A1 - \hat\alpha_2(A)^2 < 1 + A1−α^2​(A)2<1+A (the upward jump).

Milestones

  1. Display (1), p. 11. If both firms target bbb and message expected consumers, both pricing by FFF is an equilibrium with profit α(1−α)\alpha(1-\alpha)α(1−α) each.
  2. Lemma 2 part 1, display (2), pp. 14–15. If firm 1 messages expected and firm 2 all group-bbb consumers, (F,H)(F, H)(F,H) is an equilibrium with profits α(1−α)\alpha(1-\alpha)α(1−α) and 1−α1-\alpha1−α.
  3. Bertrand, p. 13. If both message all group-bbb consumers, pricing at 000 is an equilibrium with zero profits.
  4. Segmentation, pp. 9, 13. If firm 1 targets aaa and firm 2 targets bbb, prices AAA and 111 are an equilibrium.
  5. Threshold, p. 14. For α∈(1/2,1]\alpha \in (1/2, 1]α∈(1/2,1] and A≤1/4A \le 1/4A≤1/4: α(1−α)≥A  ⟺  α≤α^2(A)\alpha(1-\alpha) \ge A \iff \alpha \le \hat\alpha_2(A)α(1−α)≥A⟺α≤α^2​(A).
  6. Footnote 36, p. 15. α^2(A)<α^1(A)\hat\alpha_2(A) < \hat\alpha_1(A)α^2​(A)<α^1​(A) for 0<A<1/40 < A < 1/40<A<1/4.
  7. Lemma 2, pp. 14–15. The SPNE with c=0c = 0c=0 in both regimes.

Significance

The proposition shows that the non-monotonicity of industry profit in targeting precision, which the paper first derives for high advertising costs, does not rely on advertising being costly. With free messages a firm could inform every consumer, which is equivalent to perfect targeting; the equilibrium instead has one firm refrain from doing so, because the resulting asymmetry keeps prices high. For regulation of consumer data and for platforms selling targeting precision, the result says that better targeting technology can lower sellers' profits over a range of precisions and raise them discontinuously elsewhere.

The result is proved in the paper (main text and Online Appendix A). It has not been machine-checked. Formalizing it means verifying mixed-strategy equilibria of a pricing game with a continuum of prices, including an atom at the valuation, in all sixteen subgames of a two-stage game, a pattern that recurs throughout the clearinghouse and price-dispersion literature.

Difficulty

The stage-1 comparison is arithmetic once the stage-2 payoffs are known; the work is in the pricing subgames. Each mixed equilibrium must be verified against every real price deviation, which needs the expected profit at price ppp against a distribution with an atom, where the tie-splitting rule matters exactly at the atom. Subgame perfection requires a pricing equilibrium in every off-path subgame too, including those where both firms target group aaa (the group-bbb equilibria rescaled by AAA) and the Bertrand subgames. The obvious shortcut, assigning each subgame its textbook profit as a number, is not available: the stage-1 values are defined as integrals against the equilibrium strategies.

Formalization scope

Lean 4 with Mathlib. The pricing game is a separate definition (a general clearinghouse duopoly with valuations viv_ivi​, loyal masses LiL_iLi​ and shopper mass SSS); the targeting game builds on it. Committed conventions:

  • price strategies are probability measures on R\mathbb RR with no mass outside [0,1][0,1][0,1]; expected profits are Bochner integrals; deviations range over all real prices;
  • a consumer buys at a price equal to her valuation (the page says "lower than"; the atom of HHH at 111 needs the sale);
  • targeting is in pure strategies (the paper's footnotes 26 and 34); the message scope is binary, the paper's options (1) and (2); the no-message option and the continuous message masses of the appendix proof are not modelled;
  • cdfs are Mathlib's ProbabilityTheory.cdf; statements about all measures with cdf FFF also assert that such a measure exists;
  • the paper's "firm iii / firm −i-i−i" are firm 1 (the expected-only firm, and the group-aaa firm) and firm 2;
  • for A>1/4A > 1/4A>1/4 Lean's square root gives α^2(A)=1/2\hat\alpha_2(A) = 1/2α^2​(A)=1/2, the reading Lemma 2's range (max⁡{1/2,α^2(A)},1](\max\{1/2, \hat\alpha_2(A)\}, 1](max{1/2,α^2​(A)},1] needs;
  • pricing-stage profits exclude the sunk message cost; the goal and Lemma 2 are at c=0c = 0c=0.

The goal is Proposition 2 in existence form: it asserts an SPNE with the stated total. The paper exhibits that equilibrium; uniqueness of equilibrium payoffs is not claimed. Propositions 1 and 3 (high and general costs) are not posed. Trivializing encodings are excluded by construction: stage-1 values are integrals of the continuation strategies, not a table; the equilibrium condition quantifies over all sixteen subgames, not just the path; strategies are probability measures on [0,1][0,1][0,1], so no integral takes a junk value; and statements quantifying over measures with a given cdf include the existence of one.

Contributions welcome: integration of the tie-split profit against cdfs with atoms, a reusable lemma that a clearinghouse with given loyal and shopper masses has an equilibrium, and the rescaling of equilibria by the valuation.

Selected references

  • H. Karle and M. Reisinger, Imperfect Targeting and Advertising Strategies, SSRN working paper 4626076, March 25, 2024. https://ssrn.com/abstract=4626076 ; published in Management Science, 2024. https://doi.org/10.1287/mnsc.2023.03632
  • H. R. Varian, A Model of Sales, American Economic Review 70(4), 651–659, 1980. https://www.jstor.org/stable/1805229
  • C. Narasimhan, Competitive Promotional Strategies, Journal of Business 61(4), 427–449, 1988. https://doi.org/10.1086/296442
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EconomicsOperations ResearchOptimization·Captain: mikedeng1

Asset Pricing with Costly Short Sales 1: The Lending Agent Charges Half the Pessimist's Frictionless Sharpe Ratio, and Lending Is Active Exactly When Her Net Sharpe Ratio Is NegativeResearch Paper

Why the price of borrowing a stock matters

To sell a stock short, an investor must first borrow it, and the owner who lends it charges a lending fee. Securities lending is a large market, and the fee varies across stocks: D'Avolio (2002) documents that shorting costs are positively related to the dispersion of investors' beliefs. Short-sale constraints have a long history in asset pricing (Miller 1977; Harrison and Kreps 1978; Jones and Lamont 2002), but most models either forbid short sales outright or take the fee as an exogenous parameter. Neither explains where the fee comes from, nor when a lending market is active at all.

Evgeniou, Hugonnier and Prieto build a dynamic general equilibrium model in which the fee is endogenous: two investors with logarithmic utility disagree about the expected return of a risky asset, and a lending agent, acting for the asset owners, sets the fee charged to short sellers to maximize the owners' fee revenue. Their §3 derives the equilibrium shorting cost in closed form at every state of the economy. This mission formalizes that derivation.

Setting

The economy has a riskless asset and two risky assets with strictly positive volatilities σ1,σ2\sigma_1,\sigma_2σ1​,σ2​. Asset 1 can be shorted at a cost; asset 2 cannot be shorted at all. There are two investors, an optimist ooo and a pessimist ppp, with wealths W(o),W(p)>0W^{(o)},W^{(p)}>0W(o),W(p)>0. Each investor aaa perceives market prices of risk (Sharpe ratios) θ1(a),θ2(a)\theta^{(a)}_1,\theta^{(a)}_2θ1(a)​,θ2(a)​, and the optimist is more optimistic about asset 1: θ1(p)≤θ1(o)\theta^{(p)}_1\le\theta^{(o)}_1θ1(p)​≤θ1(o)​, the disagreement Δ≥0\Delta\ge0Δ≥0.

A short position in asset 1 pays a shorting cost Φ\PhiΦ per dollar shorted, and a long position earns a lending yield Γ\GammaΓ. Both are measured per unit of volatility of asset 1: ϕ=Φ/σ1\phi=\Phi/\sigma_1ϕ=Φ/σ1​ and γ=Γ/σ1\gamma=\Gamma/\sigma_1γ=Γ/σ1​. A position mmm in asset 1 earns fees at the rate

Λ(m;Φ,Γ)=m+Γ−m−Φ,\Lambda(m;\Phi,\Gamma)=m^+\Gamma-m^-\Phi ,Λ(m;Φ,Γ)=m+Γ−m−Φ,

with m+=max⁡{m,0}m^+=\max\{m,0\}m+=max{m,0} and m−=max⁡{−m,0}m^-=\max\{-m,0\}m−=max{−m,0}. Investor aaa chooses wealth fractions p=(p1,p2)p=(p_1,p_2)p=(p1​,p2​) with p2≥0p_2\ge0p2​≥0 to solve the mean-variance problem

max⁡p∈R×R+{Λ(p1;Φ,Γ)+p1σ1θ1(a)+p2σ2θ2(a)−12(p1σ1+p2σ2)2},\max_{p\in\mathbb R\times\mathbb R_+}\Big\{\Lambda(p_1;\Phi,\Gamma)+p_1\sigma_1\theta^{(a)}_1+p_2\sigma_2\theta^{(a)}_2-\tfrac12(p_1\sigma_1+p_2\sigma_2)^2\Big\},p∈R×R+​max​{Λ(p1​;Φ,Γ)+p1​σ1​θ1(a)​+p2​σ2​θ2(a)​−21​(p1​σ1​+p2​σ2​)2},

which is what logarithmic utility reduces to at each instant. The lending agent's revenue per unit of volatility at fee yyy is

R(y)=∑ay (θ1(a)+y)− W(a).R(y)=\sum_a y\,\big(\theta^{(a)}_1+y\big)^-\,W^{(a)} .R(y)=a∑​y(θ1(a)​+y)−W(a).

An equilibrium at a state consists of these quantities such that: the no-dominance condition θ2(a)=θ1(a)+γ\theta^{(a)}_2=\theta^{(a)}_1+\gammaθ2(a)​=θ1(a)​+γ holds for both investors (equation (7)); each investor's portfolio is optimal; asset 1, in positive supply S1>0S_1>0S1​>0, clears; the lending market clears (fees paid by short sellers equal fees received by long holders); and ϕ\phiϕ is the least maximizer of RRR over y≥γy\ge\gammay≥γ. The inactive set is L={γ=0}\mathcal L=\{\gamma=0\}L={γ=0} and the active set S\mathcal SS is its complement.

Formalization targets

Goal: equations (15)–(17)

At every equilibrium state,

γ=0  ⟺  θ2(p)≥0,ϕ=−12 θ1(p) 1{θ2(p)<0}.\gamma=0\iff\theta^{(p)}_2\ge0,\qquad \phi=-\tfrac12\,\theta^{(p)}_1\,\mathbb 1_{\{\theta^{(p)}_2<0\}} .γ=0⟺θ2(p)​≥0,ϕ=−21​θ1(p)​1{θ2(p)​<0}​.

Lending is active exactly where the pessimist perceives a strictly negative net Sharpe ratio on long positions, and there the lending agent charges half the Sharpe ratio −θ1(p)-\theta^{(p)}_1−θ1(p)​ the pessimist could earn by shorting absent frictions.

Milestones, in attack order

  1. Proposition 1 (p. 17): the optimal portfolios of the mean-variance problem under (7) and ϕ≥γ\phi\ge\gammaϕ≥γ.
  2. (11) (p. 18): the optimist is long, θ2(o)=θ1(o)+γ>0\theta^{(o)}_2=\theta^{(o)}_1+\gamma>0θ2(o)​=θ1(o)​+γ>0.
  3. (14) (p. 18): γσ1S1=(ϕ−γ)(θ1(p)+ϕ)−W(p)\gamma\sigma_1S_1=(\phi-\gamma)(\theta^{(p)}_1+\phi)^-W^{(p)}γσ1​S1​=(ϕ−γ)(θ1(p)​+ϕ)−W(p).
  4. (12)–(13) (p. 18): the maximizers of the revenue over y≥γy\ge\gammay≥γ, and their least element max⁡{γ,−12θ1(p)}\max\{\gamma,-\tfrac12\theta^{(p)}_1\}max{γ,−21​θ1(p)​}.

Two companion statements are also included: (18) (p. 20), that the pessimist is strictly short on S\mathcal SS, and the fee flow (π1(p))−Φ=14(θ1(p))2W(p)1S(\pi^{(p)}_1)^-\Phi=\tfrac14(\theta^{(p)}_1)^2W^{(p)}\mathbb 1_{\mathcal S}(π1(p)​)−Φ=41​(θ1(p)​)2W(p)1S​ (p. 19).

Significance

The goal is the paper's description of the short market. It identifies the active set by a condition on one observable-in-principle quantity, the pessimist's net Sharpe ratio, and it gives the fee as a fixed fraction of the pessimist's frictionless Sharpe ratio. The rest of the paper rests on it: the one-asset closed forms of §4.1, the trading regions of §3.3, and the pricing results of Proposition 2 all start from (15)–(16). The fee-flow identity shows that the optimist captures a quarter of the pessimist's frictionless excess return, which is the upper bound Remark 1 attributes to any alternative fee-setting mechanism.

The result is proved in the paper, partly in the text and partly in Appendix A. Some steps are argued informally: (11) rests on the sentence "agents cannot be short simultaneously in equilibrium", and (14) on "substituting the optimal portfolios of Proposition 1 into the market clearing conditions". As far as is known, none of it has been machine-checked. A formalization makes each step explicit, including the degenerate states the text passes over. In checking the statements against each other, three printed slips were found and are corrected here (see Formalization scope).

Difficulty

The goal combines optimality, clearing and revenue maximization, and the obvious argument fails at its degenerate edge. On the inactive set the shorting cost equals the lending yield (ϕ=γ=0\phi=\gamma=0ϕ=γ=0). There Proposition 1's characterization of optimal portfolios no longer holds: portfolios that short asset 1 to buy asset 2 are also optimal. So the step "substitute the optimal portfolios" is not available, and (14) must be obtained from the clearing conditions directly in that case. Similarly the revenue maximizer is not unique on the inactive set; the shorting cost is pinned down only by the paper's selection of the least maximizer, and (16) is false for any other selection. Finally, (11) requires an argument that the two investors cannot both be short while asset 1 is in positive supply. This uses optimality of both portfolios, not just of one.

Formalization scope

Everything is stated at one state (ω,t)(\omega,t)(ω,t) of the paper's continuous-time economy, about real numbers. The continuous-time economy of §2 (Brownian filtrations, consumption streams, the dynamics of wealth) is the paper's motivation and is not formalized; the formalized statements are its instantaneous equilibrium conditions. The time index is dropped throughout, and the paper's "arbitrary process xtx_txt​" in Proposition 1 becomes an arbitrary real number.

Conventions:

  • Rates are per unit of volatility; the dollar rates are Φ=ϕσ1\Phi=\phi\sigma_1Φ=ϕσ1​ and Γ=γσ1\Gamma=\gamma\sigma_1Γ=γσ1​, never obtained by division.
  • m+m^+m+ and m−m^-m− are written as max⁡{m,0}\max\{m,0\}max{m,0} and max⁡{−m,0}\max\{-m,0\}max{−m,0}; indicators are if … then … else 0.
  • Dollar positions are π1(a)=W(a)p1(a)\pi^{(a)}_1=W^{(a)}p^{(a)}_1π1(a)​=W(a)p1(a)​.
  • The standing assumptions are hypotheses of every equilibrium statement: σ1,σ2>0\sigma_1,\sigma_2>0σ1​,σ2​>0 (the standing assumption of §3), S1>0S_1>0S1​>0, W(o),W(p)>0W^{(o)},W^{(p)}>0W(o),W(p)>0, and θ1(p)≤θ1(o)\theta^{(p)}_1\le\theta^{(o)}_1θ1(p)​≤θ1(o)​.
  • The shorting-cost condition (4) is stated in its per-volatility form (10), over y≥γy\ge\gammay≥γ, with the least maximizer selected as in (13). A single lending agent is built in.
  • Consumption clearing and asset-2 clearing are not part of the equilibrium predicate; no statement uses them, so leaving them out makes every statement more general.

Corrected slips of the page, each disclosed in the item concerned:

  1. Proposition 1's "the optimal portfolio satisfies (9)" fails when ϕ=γ\phi=\gammaϕ=γ; the converse direction is stated under ϕ>γ\phi>\gammaϕ>γ, and the constraint 0≤x≤θ20\le x\le\theta_20≤x≤θ2​ only where θ2≥0\theta_2\ge0θ2​≥0.
  2. The indicator in (12) should be 1{θ1(p)+γ≥0}\mathbb 1_{\{\theta^{(p)}_1+\gamma\ge0\}}1{θ1(p)​+γ≥0}​, not 1{θ1(p)≥0}\mathbb 1_{\{\theta^{(p)}_1\ge0\}}1{θ1(p)​≥0}​; the least maximizer (13) is unaffected.
  3. (18) prints "≠∅\neq\emptyset=∅"; its proof shows the set is empty, which is what is stated.

The results (11), (13) and (14) are not built into the equilibrium predicate. With them assumed, the goal would reduce to a four-line computation; they are separate items to be proved. The definitions are short and self-contained, needing only real arithmetic from Mathlib. Proofs of the milestones, and proofs of the goal that use the milestones, are welcome.

Selected references

  • T. Evgeniou, J. Hugonnier, R. Prieto, Asset Pricing with Costly Short Sales, Swiss Finance Institute Research Paper N°22-21, version of September 22, 2022 — the source of this mission. Published as J. Hugonnier, R. Prieto, Asset Pricing with Costly Short Sales, Management Science (2024), https://doi.org/10.1287/mnsc.2023.01887, whose numbering is not used here.
  • G. D'Avolio, The market for borrowing stock, Journal of Financial Economics 66 (2002), 271–306.
  • C. Jones, O. Lamont, Short-sale constraints and stock returns, Journal of Financial Economics 66 (2002).
  • R. Radner, Existence of equilibrium of plans, prices and price expectations in a sequence of markets, Econometrica 40 (2) (1972), 289–303.
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Functional Analysis·Captain: savarin

Sharp diagonal Hlawka constants: lower the cutoff to 50Open Problem

The Hlawka inequality for Schatten ppp-norms is a cousin of the triangle inequality: it relates the norms of three matrices to the norms of their pairwise sums and their total sum. The question is how large a comparison constant is needed to make this inequality hold.

This mission asks whether the best possible constant for complex diagonal matrices, already proved in Lean for every real p≥62p\ge62p≥62, also holds for every real p≥50p\ge50p≥50. This is an open problem: no proof is known, and the technique that reached 62 cannot go further. The constant is the one from the foundation mission: the largest comparison constant required by the cyclic family of three 3×33\times33×3 diagonal matrices. Because the cutoff-62 mission already covers every p≥62p\ge62p≥62, the new work is the range from 50 to 62.

The cutoff came down from 256 to 62 across nine missions. The step from 90 to 80 used a weighted pair-curvature and confinement estimate introduced by moona3k, and further refinement pushed it from 80 through 70 to 62. The confinement method is now exhausted: at p=61p=61p=61, every confinement radius whose tangent model stays positive already makes the budget-7 box factor larger than 1. Reaching 50 requires a fundamentally new idea. The goal theorem below gives the exact statement.

This is an entry in the sharp diagonal Hlawka campaign, which asks for the smallest cutoff at which the same formula holds. Any proof for a cutoff of 50 or lower also settles this mission.

The broader question of optimal constants for Schatten norms appears in Audenaert and Kittaneh's Problem 7. Extending the sharp diagonal constant to general matrices is a separate challenge.

References

  • K. M. R. Audenaert and F. Kittaneh, Problems and Conjectures in Matrix and Operator Inequalities, arXiv preprint, 2012, §8.2, Problem 7. arXiv:1201.5232
  • Ezzeri Esa, Hlawka–Schatten inequalities: sharp diagonal construction, Lean source repository, 2026, revision 79aa498bfcf7b22bd91d771fb32ec278e2d4704b. Source library
  • Ezzeri Esa and project contributors, The cyclic bound for every real p ≥ 90, research note with appendices and exact certificates, 2026. Research note

Established results on Prove2Me

  • The accepted sharp diagonal bound for every real p ≥ 62.
  • The accepted real coordinate bound for every real p ≥ 62.
  • The accepted diagonal Schatten norm identity.
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Functional AnalysisMathematical Physics·Captain: Lucas

Heathcote 1990: A Normalized State Outside the Domains of Position and MomentumResearch Paper

Motivation

Quantum mechanics represents the states of a system by unit vectors (normed rays) of a complex Hilbert space H\mathcal HH and its observables by self-adjoint operators on H\mathcal HH. The most important observables — position, momentum, energy — are unbounded. A. Heathcote's paper Unbounded Operators and the Incompleteness of Quantum Mechanics (Philosophy of Science 57, 1990, 523–534) draws attention to a mathematical fact that is routinely glossed over in physical texts: an unbounded self-adjoint operator cannot be defined on all of H\mathcal HH, and there are concrete normalized wave functions on which the position and momentum operators do not act at all. The paper uses this to argue that the standard postulates of quantum mechanics are, in a precise sense, incomplete.

This mission isolates the mathematical content of that argument, which is a clean and checkable piece of functional analysis on L2(R)L^2(\mathbb R)L2(R).

Setting

Let H\mathcal HH be a complex Hilbert space. A (partially defined) linear operator AAA has a domain D(A)⊆HD(A)\subseteq\mathcal HD(A)⊆H; it is bounded if there is k∈Rk\in\mathbb Rk∈R with ∥Aψ∥≤k∥ψ∥\|A\psi\|\le k\|\psi\|∥Aψ∥≤k∥ψ∥ for all ψ∈D(A)\psi\in D(A)ψ∈D(A), and unbounded otherwise. It is self-adjoint if it equals its Hilbert adjoint, A=A∗A=A^*A=A∗, which includes D(A)=D(A∗)D(A)=D(A^*)D(A)=D(A∗).

On H=L2(R)\mathcal H=L^2(\mathbb R)H=L2(R):

  1. The position operator acts by (Qψ)(x)=x ψ(x)(Q\psi)(x)=x\,\psi(x)(Qψ)(x)=xψ(x) on
D(Q)={ψ∈L2(R):∫Rx2∣ψ(x)∣2 dx<∞}(eq. (3)).D(Q)=\Big\{\psi\in L^2(\mathbb R): \int_{\mathbb R}x^2|\psi(x)|^2\,dx<\infty\Big\}\qquad\text{(eq. (3))}.D(Q)={ψ∈L2(R):∫R​x2∣ψ(x)∣2dx<∞}(eq. (3)).
  1. The momentum operator Pψ=ℏi−1 dψ/dxP\psi=\hbar i^{-1}\,d\psi/dxPψ=ℏi−1dψ/dx has, in the paper's description, domain D(P)D(P)D(P) consisting of the absolutely continuous functions in L2(R)L^2(\mathbb R)L2(R).
  2. Heathcote's wave function (eq. (4)) is
ψ(x)={x−1,x≥1,0,x<1.\psi(x)=\begin{cases}x^{-1}, & x\ge 1,\\ 0, & x<1.\end{cases}ψ(x)={x−1,0,​x≥1,x<1.​

Formalization targets

Goal

There is a unit vector of L2(R)L^2(\mathbb R)L2(R), namely the class of ψ\psiψ, lying in neither domain:

∃ φ∈L2(R):φ=ψ a.e.,∥φ∥=1,φ∉D(Q),φ∉D(P).\exists\,\varphi\in L^2(\mathbb R):\quad \varphi=\psi\ \text{a.e.},\qquad \|\varphi\|=1,\qquad \varphi\notin D(Q),\qquad \varphi\notin D(P).∃φ∈L2(R):φ=ψ a.e.,∥φ∥=1,φ∈/D(Q),φ∈/D(P).

Milestones

  1. Hellinger–Toeplitz (p. 2, footnote 1): a symmetric operator defined on all of a Hilbert space is bounded (an existing platform theorem).
  2. Unbounded self-adjoint operators (p. 2, footnote 2): if A=A∗A=A^*A=A∗ is unbounded then D(A)D(A)D(A) is dense and D(A)≠HD(A)\neq\mathcal HD(A)=H.
  3. Normalization (p. 5): ψ∈L2(R)\psi\in L^2(\mathbb R)ψ∈L2(R) and ∫∣ψ∣2=∫1∞x−2dx=1\int|\psi|^2=\int_1^\infty x^{-2}dx=1∫∣ψ∣2=∫1∞​x−2dx=1.
  4. Not in D(Q)D(Q)D(Q) (p. 5): ∫x2∣ψ(x)∣2dx=∞\int x^2|\psi(x)|^2dx=\infty∫x2∣ψ(x)∣2dx=∞.
  5. Not in D(P)D(P)D(P) (pp. 5–6): no a.e.-representative of ψ\psiψ is absolutely continuous on every compact interval.
  6. Infinite position expectation (p. 9): ∫∣x∣ ∣ψ(x)∣2dx=∫1∞x−1dx=∞\int|x|\,|\psi(x)|^2dx=\int_1^\infty x^{-1}dx=\infty∫∣x∣∣ψ(x)∣2dx=∫1∞​x−1dx=∞.

Significance

The result. The goal shows that the two postulates "every normed ray is a state" and "observables are self-adjoint operators" force the existence of states on which the position operator (and, independently, the momentum operator) is undefined. Milestone 5 is what the paper uses to separate this phenomenon from the canonical commutation relations: the failure of ψ∈D(Q)\psi\in D(Q)ψ∈D(Q) is not explained by ψ\psiψ being "sharp in momentum", because ψ\psiψ is not even in D(P)D(P)D(P). Milestone 6 records the physical reading: the mean position of this normalized state is infinite.

Formalizing it. The individual facts are standard and elementary; none of them is new. What the mission produces is a machine-checked version of the paper's argument stated against the actual L2L^2L2 space and Mathlib's notion of unbounded operators and adjoints, with the domain conventions made explicit.

Difficulty

The calculus is easy; the subtleties are in the bookkeeping. Elements of L2(R)L^2(\mathbb R)L2(R) are almost-everywhere classes, so "ψ\psiψ is discontinuous at 111" does not by itself show ψ∉D(P)\psi\notin D(P)ψ∈/D(P): one must rule out every a.e.-modification of ψ\psiψ being absolutely continuous. Similarly, the Hellinger–Toeplitz argument gives D(A)≠HD(A)\neq\mathcal HD(A)=H but not density, which comes from the adjoint being a genuine operator.

Formalization scope

  • Operators are Mathlib's partially defined linear maps H →ₗ.[ℂ] H; self-adjointness is IsSelfAdjoint with respect to the adjoint A†, over a complex complete inner product space.
  • L2(R)L^2(\mathbb R)L2(R) is Lp ℂ 2 volume on ℝ; D(Q)D(Q)D(Q) and D(P)D(P)D(P) are subsets of it. Integrals of non-negative quantities are Lebesgue integrals valued in [0,∞][0,\infty][0,∞], so "=∞=\infty=∞" is literal and not a junk value.
  • D(P)D(P)D(P) follows the paper (absolutely continuous elements, i.e. having a representative absolutely continuous on every [a,b][a,b][a,b]) and omits the standard requirement ψ′∈L2\psi'\in L^2ψ′∈L2. This set contains the standard domain, so non-membership is a stronger statement.
  • The paper's further claim that ψ∉D(H)\psi\notin D(H)ψ∈/D(H) for a Hamiltonian H=P2/2m+VH=P^2/2m+VH=P2/2m+V is stated there without proof and for an unspecified potential VVV, and is not included.
  • Trivialization is excluded: the goal pins φ\varphiφ to the explicit function ψ\psiψ and requires ∥φ∥=1\|\varphi\|=1∥φ∥=1.

Selected references

  • A. Heathcote, Unbounded Operators and the Incompleteness of Quantum Mechanics, Philosophy of Science 57 (1990), 523–534.
  • M. Reed and B. Simon, Methods of Modern Mathematical Physics I: Functional Analysis, revised ed., Academic Press, 1980.
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Machine LearningQuantum Information·Captain: Goku

Quantum Algorithms and Learning Theory — Part II 7: Identifying a codeword state needs Ω(k) copiesTextbook

Motivation

This mission develops Chapter 7 of Quantum Algorithms and Learning Theory — Part II by Srinivasan Arunachalam. The chapter's selected results describe the mathematical guarantees below.

Setting and conventions

The linked theorem statements and shared definitions specify the register types, oracle access, normalization, and resource conventions. Their source locators and independent readbacks accompany each target.

Chapter goal

For a matrix M∈F2n×kM\in\mathbb F_2^{n\times k}M∈F2n×k​ of rank kkk (the generator matrix of an [n,k,d]2[n,k,d]_2[n,k,d]2​ linear code) and x∈{0,1}kx\in\{0,1\}^kx∈{0,1}k define the codeword state

∣ψx⟩=1n∑i∈[n]∣i,(Mx)i⟩.|\psi_x\rangle=\frac{1}{\sqrt n}\sum_{i\in[n]}|i,(Mx)_i\rangle .∣ψx​⟩=n​1​i∈[n]∑​∣i,(Mx)i​⟩.

For every rate c1>0c_1>0c1​>0 there is a constant c0>0c_0>0c0​>0 such that the following holds for all n,kn,kn,k and all rank-kkk matrices M∈F2n×kM\in\mathbb F_2^{n\times k}M∈F2n×k​ with k≥c1nk\ge c_1 nk≥c1​n: if a measurement (POVM {Ny}y∈{0,1}k\{N_y\}_{y\in\{0,1\}^k}{Ny​}y∈{0,1}k​) on TTT copies identifies xxx from ∣ψx⟩⊗T|\psi_x\rangle^{\otimes T}∣ψx​⟩⊗T, for xxx drawn uniformly from {0,1}k\{0,1\}^k{0,1}k, with average success probability

12k∑x∈{0,1}kTr⁡ ⁣(Nx ∣ψx⟩⟨ψx∣⊗T) ≥ 45,\frac{1}{2^k}\sum_{x\in\{0,1\}^k}\operatorname{Tr}\!\big(N_x\,|\psi_x\rangle\langle\psi_x|^{\otimes T}\big)\ \ge\ \frac45,2k1​x∈{0,1}k∑​Tr(Nx​∣ψx​⟩⟨ψx​∣⊗T) ≥ 54​,

then T≥c0 kT\ge c_0\,kT≥c0​k.

This improves the Holevo-type bound Ω(k/log⁡n)\Omega(k/\log n)Ω(k/logn) to the optimal Ω(k)\Omega(k)Ω(k) for constant-rate codes, showing that codeword fingerprint states cannot be identified from few copies.

Formalization Note "k=Ω(n)k=\Omega(n)k=Ω(n)" is read as a fixed rate k≥c1nk\ge c_1 nk≥c1​n, and the constant of Ω(k)\Omega(k)Ω(k) may depend on c1c_1c1​ only. Identifying the state means outputting xxx, which is equivalent since x↦Mxx\mapsto Mxx↦Mx is injective for rank kkk. The code distance ddd plays no role and is not a hypothesis.

Significance

These are known mathematical results. Their Lean statements have been checked and reviewed against the cited source; formal proofs remain open for contributors.

Supporting targets

  • Theorem 7.3.1: Barnum–Knill: the pretty good measurement is at most quadratically worse than optimal.
  • Claim 7.3.5: Fourier coefficients of f composed with a linear map over F2.
  • Claim 7.3.6: The maximum of (c/√t)^t on [1, c²] is e^{c²/(2e)} (for c ≥ √e).
  • Fact 7.3.7: Binary entropy: H(ε) = O(ε log 1/ε) and 1 − H(1/2+ε) ≤ 2ε²/ln 2 + O(ε⁴).
  • Fact 7.3.8: Binomial coefficients and their partial sums are at most 2^{nH(·/n)}.
  • Fact 7.3.9: Helstrom bound for guessing a uniform bit from |ψ_b⟩, and its corollary.
  • Fact 7.3.10: Subadditivity of von Neumann entropy.
  • Lemma 7.4.1: Quantum PAC learners of a non-trivial class need Ω(log(1/δ)/ε) examples.
  • Lemma 7.4.2: Quantum agnostic learners of a non-trivial class need Ω(log(1/δ)/ε²) examples.
  • Theorem 7.4.3: Classical PAC sample complexity is Ω(d/ε + log(1/δ)/ε).
  • Theorem 7.4.4: Classical agnostic sample complexity is Ω(d/ε² + log(1/δ)/ε²).
  • Theorem 7.4.5: ε-average agnostic learners need (d/ε²)(1/62 − log(2d+2)/(4d)) samples.
  • Theorem 7.4.6: Quantum PAC sample complexity lower bound (information-theoretic).
  • Theorem 7.4.7: Quantum agnostic sample complexity lower bound (information-theoretic).
  • Claim 7.5.2: Eigenvalues of an XOR-convolution matrix are scaled Fourier coefficients.
  • Claim 7.5.3: Diagonal of √A in terms of Fourier coefficients of f.
  • Lemma 7.5.4: Fourier coefficients of (1 − β|z|/m)^T are nonnegative and small.
  • Claim 7.5.5: Counting index sequences whose basis vectors sum to S.
  • Theorem 7.5.6: Optimal quantum PAC sample complexity lower bound.
  • Lemma 7.5.7: PGM success bound for the PAC hard ensemble.
  • Theorem 7.5.8: Optimal quantum agnostic sample complexity lower bound.
  • Lemma 7.5.9: PGM success bound for the agnostic hard ensemble.
  • Theorem 7.6.1: Quantum PAC lower bound under random classification noise.
  • Theorem 7.6.2: Identifying a codeword state needs Ω(k) copies.

Formalization scope

Prove the existing statements under their stated hypotheses and definitions. Any correction to a printed source claim remains explicit in its target description. All listed target proofs are currently sorry; no proof is claimed. The mission goal is the designated chapter capstone; the remaining targets are separate milestones. Parts a, b, c and d are merged into their original chapter.

Selected references

  • Srinivasan Arunachalam, Quantum Algorithms and Learning Theory — Part II, 2018 thesis, ILLC DS-2018-08. https://ir.cwi.nl/pub/27536/Thesis_S_Arunachalam.
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OptimizationQuantum Information·Captain: Goku

Quantum algorithms for optimizers 1: Schmidt decompositionTextbook

Motivation

This mission develops Chapter 1 of Quantum algorithms for optimizers by Giacomo Nannicini. The chapter's selected results describe the mathematical guarantees below.

Setting and conventions

The linked theorem statements and shared definitions specify the register types, oracle access, normalization, and resource conventions. Their source locators and independent readbacks accompany each target.

Chapter goal

Let ABABAB be a register made of a register AAA of mam_ama​ qubits followed by a register BBB of mbm_bmb​ qubits. Let ∣ψ⟩|\psi\rangle∣ψ⟩ be a pure state of ABABAB, that is, a unit vector. Then there exist a finite index set {1,…,r}\{1,\dots,r\}{1,…,r}, an orthonormal family ∣ϕ1A⟩,…,∣ϕrA⟩|\phi^A_1\rangle,\dots,|\phi^A_r\rangle∣ϕ1A​⟩,…,∣ϕrA​⟩ of states of AAA, an orthonormal family ∣ϕ1B⟩,…,∣ϕrB⟩|\phi^B_1\rangle,\dots,|\phi^B_r\rangle∣ϕ1B​⟩,…,∣ϕrB​⟩ of states of BBB, and nonnegative reals λ1,…,λr\lambda_1,\dots,\lambda_rλ1​,…,λr​ with ∑jλj2=1\sum_j\lambda_j^2=1∑j​λj2​=1, such that

∣ψ⟩=∑j=1rλj ∣ϕjA⟩∣ϕjB⟩.|\psi\rangle=\sum_{j=1}^r\lambda_j\,|\phi^A_j\rangle|\phi^B_j\rangle .∣ψ⟩=j=1∑r​λj​∣ϕjA​⟩∣ϕjB​⟩.

This is the singular value decomposition rephrased for bipartite pure states. Classical simulation algorithms for quantum circuits use it.

Formalization Note The source leaves the index set unspecified; here it is Fin r for an existentially chosen r.

Significance

These are known mathematical results. Their Lean statements have been checked and reviewed against the cited source; formal proofs remain open for contributors.

Supporting targets

  • Proposition 1.4: Algebraic properties of the tensor (Kronecker) product.
  • Proposition 1.19: Basis states are exactly tensor products of single-qubit basis states.
  • Proposition 1.27: Measuring all qubits one at a time, in any order, yields j with probability |α_j|².
  • Theorem 1.32: No-cloning principle.
  • Proposition 1.37: Pauli matrices: a Hermitian basis of C^{2×2} with XYZ = iI.
  • Proposition 1.38: Hadamard on every qubit of |0⟩ gives the uniform superposition.
  • Proposition 1.41: Three CX gates implement SWAP.
  • Proposition 1.46: Errors of a product of unitaries add up.
  • Proposition 1.49: Close states give close measurement distributions.
  • Proposition 1.50: Principle of implicit measurement.
  • Theorem 1.60: Density matrices are exactly the unit-trace positive semidefinite matrices.
  • Proposition 1.67: The reduced density matrix gives the correct outcome probabilities on register A.
  • Theorem 1.70: Schmidt decomposition.

Formalization scope

Prove the existing statements under their stated hypotheses and definitions. Any correction to a printed source claim remains explicit in its target description. All listed target proofs are currently sorry; no proof is claimed. The mission goal is the designated chapter capstone; the remaining targets are separate milestones. Parts a, b, c and d are merged into their original chapter.

Selected references

  • Giacomo Nannicini, Quantum algorithms for optimizers, 2025, v5; notes dated 9 July 2025. https://arxiv.org/pdf/2408.07086v5.
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OptimizationQuantum Information·Captain: Goku

Quantum algorithms for optimizers 4: Quantum minimum finding (Dürr–Høyer), with explicit bit width, interruption and gate modelTextbook

Motivation

This mission develops Chapter 4 of Quantum algorithms for optimizers by Giacomo Nannicini. The chapter's selected results describe the mathematical guarantees below.

Setting and conventions

The linked theorem statements and shared definitions specify the register types, oracle access, normalization, and resource conventions. Their source locators and independent readbacks accompany each target.

Chapter goal

Let f:{0,1}n→Zf : \{0,1\}^n \to \mathbb{Z}f:{0,1}n→Z take values of bit width bbb, i.e. ∣f(j)∣<2b|f(j)| < 2^b∣f(j)∣<2b for all jjj, and let Uf:∣j⟩∣k⟩↦∣j⟩∣k⊕f(j)⟩U_f : |j\rangle|k\rangle \mapsto |j\rangle|k \oplus f(j)\rangleUf​:∣j⟩∣k⟩↦∣j⟩∣k⊕f(j)⟩ evaluate fff in binary. Algorithm 2 with budget TTT starts from a uniformly random incumbent ℓ\ellℓ and repeatedly runs Algorithm 1 (search with an unknown number of marked items) with the marking unitary Um:∣j⟩∣y⟩↦∣j⟩∣y⊕I(f(j)<f(ℓ))⟩U_m : |j\rangle|y\rangle \mapsto |j\rangle|y \oplus \mathbb{I}(f(j) < f(\ell))\rangleUm​:∣j⟩∣y⟩↦∣j⟩∣y⊕I(f(j)<f(ℓ))⟩, replacing ℓ\ellℓ by the returned index kkk whenever f(k)<f(ℓ)f(k) < f(\ell)f(k)<f(ℓ); a call of Algorithm 1 that would exceed the budget is interrupted at the TTT-th application of UfU_fUf​, and the algorithm then returns ℓ\ellℓ. Each application of UmU_mUm​ counts as one application of UfU_fUf​ and is charged 3n+2b+13n + 2b + 13n+2b+1 additional gates; each round of Algorithm 1 with mmm qubits of precision is charged m+m(m+1)/2m + m(m+1)/2m+m(m+1)/2 further gates (Hadamards and the inverse QFT).

There are absolute constants c,C>0c, C > 0c,C>0 such that for every nnn, bbb, every such fff and every δ∈(0,1)\delta \in (0,1)δ∈(0,1) the following holds. Run Algorithm 2 independently k=⌈log⁡3(1/δ)⌉k = \lceil \log_3(1/\delta) \rceilk=⌈log3​(1/δ)⌉ times with budget T=⌈c2n⌉T = \lceil c\sqrt{2^n} \rceilT=⌈c2n​⌉ and output an fff-minimal one of the kkk returned indices. Then:

  1. with probability at least 1−δ1 - \delta1−δ the output is a global minimizer of fff;
  2. on every outcome, the total number of applications of UfU_fUf​ (including the kkk evaluations used to select the output) is at most
C2n (1+log⁡(1/δ)),C\sqrt{2^n}\,\bigl(1 + \log(1/\delta)\bigr),C2n​(1+log(1/δ)),

and the number of additional gates is at most C2n (n+b+1) (1+log⁡(1/δ))C\sqrt{2^n}\,(n + b + 1)\,(1 + \log(1/\delta))C2n​(n+b+1)(1+log(1/δ)).

This is the quadratic quantum speedup for unstructured minimization, the basis of the optimization applications of Grover search.

Formalization Note The source's O~(2n)\tilde O(\sqrt{2^n})O~(2n​) gate bound is stated with the suppressed polylogarithmic factors n+b+1n + b + 1n+b+1 and 1+log⁡(1/δ)1 + \log(1/\delta)1+log(1/δ) explicit, the interruption rule for the budget is made explicit, and TTT, kkk are the choices of the source's proof. Algorithm 1 is the shared formalization of the earlier corollary; the outcome law is a weight on (returned index, applications of UfU_fUf​, gates).

Significance

These are known mathematical results. Their Lean statements have been checked and reviewed against the cited source; formal proofs remain open for contributors.

Supporting targets

  • Theorem 4.6: Amplitude amplification: overlap 2/3 with the good state using O(1/√p) applications of S and R.
  • Corollary 4.9: Search with a known number of marked elements in O(√(2^n/|M|)) oracle calls.
  • Corollary 4.10: Finding all marked elements with O(√(|M| 2^n)) oracle calls.
  • Lemma 4.11: Oblivious amplitude amplification: the partner state Ψ⊥ is orthogonal to |0⟩|ψ⟩ and has no flag-0 support.
  • Theorem 4.12: Oblivious amplitude amplification: each iteration rotates by 2θ.
  • Proposition 4.15: Eigenstates of the Grover operator in amplitude estimation.
  • Proposition 4.19: Angle error to probability error for sin².
  • Proposition 4.21: Error bound of amplitude estimation with m qubits.
  • Corollary 4.22: Amplitude estimation to additive error ε with O(log 1/ε) qubits and O(1/ε) queries.
  • Lemma 4.28: Near-orthogonality of the two amplitude-estimation output states.
  • Theorem 4.29: Quantum search without knowing the number of marked items: O(1/θ) expected queries.
  • Corollary 4.30: Search without knowing |M| with O(√(2^n/|M|)) expected oracle calls.
  • Theorem 4.31: Quantum minimum finding (Dürr–Høyer), with explicit bit width, interruption and gate model.

Formalization scope

Prove the existing statements under their stated hypotheses and definitions. Any correction to a printed source claim remains explicit in its target description. All listed target proofs are currently sorry; no proof is claimed. The mission goal is the designated chapter capstone; the remaining targets are separate milestones. Parts a, b, c and d are merged into their original chapter.

Selected references

  • Giacomo Nannicini, Quantum algorithms for optimizers, 2025, v5; notes dated 9 July 2025. https://arxiv.org/pdf/2408.07086v5.
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Number Theory·Captain: Lucas

Class Number Formula: Continuation of the Dedekind Zeta Function and Dirichlet's FormulaTextbook

Motivation

The class number formula connects the analytic behaviour of the Dedekind zeta function ζK(s)\zeta_K(s)ζK​(s) of a number field KKK at s=1s = 1s=1 with the basic arithmetic invariants of KKK: its class number, regulator, number of roots of unity and discriminant. It is the main tool for computing and bounding class numbers analytically, and its quadratic case, Dirichlet's class number formula, came out of Dirichlet's proof of his theorem on primes in arithmetic progressions.

Timeline.

  • 1801: Gauss appears to have known the quadratic case, stated for binary quadratic forms (MathOverflow 109330).
  • 1839: Dirichlet publishes a proof of the formula for quadratic discriminants, in the language of binary quadratic forms.
  • Later in the 19th century: Dedekind introduces ζK\zeta_KζK​ for an arbitrary number field, and the residue formula is established in general.

Setting

Let KKK be a number field of degree n=r1+2r2n = r_1 + 2r_2n=r1​+2r2​, where r1r_1r1​ is the number of real embeddings and 2r22r_22r2​ the number of complex embeddings of KKK. Write hKh_KhK​ for the class number (the order of the ideal class group), RegK\mathrm{Reg}_KRegK​ for the regulator, wKw_KwK​ for the number of roots of unity in KKK, and DKD_KDK​ for the discriminant of K/QK/\mathbb QK/Q. The Dedekind zeta function is the Dirichlet series

ζK(s)=∑n≥1anns,an=#{a⊆OK:N(a)=n}.\zeta_K(s) = \sum_{n \ge 1} \frac{a_n}{n^s}, \qquad a_n = \#\{\mathfrak a \subseteq \mathcal O_K : N(\mathfrak a) = n\}.ζK​(s)=n≥1∑​nsan​​,an​=#{a⊆OK​:N(a)=n}.

For the quadratic case, let ddd be a fundamental discriminant, let h(d)h(d)h(d) be the number of proper (SL2(Z)\mathrm{SL}_2(\mathbb Z)SL2​(Z)) equivalence classes of binary quadratic forms ax2+bxy+cy2ax^2 + bxy + cy^2ax2+bxy+cy2 of discriminant b2−4ac=db^2 - 4ac = db2−4ac=d (positive definite ones if d<0d < 0d<0), and let χ(m)=(dm)\chi(m) = \left(\frac{d}{m}\right)χ(m)=(md​) be the Kronecker symbol, a Dirichlet character modulo ∣d∣|d|∣d∣ with LLL-function L(s,χ)L(s,\chi)L(s,χ). For d<0d < 0d<0 let w=2,4,6w = 2, 4, 6w=2,4,6 according as d<−4d < -4d<−4, d=−4d = -4d=−4, d=−3d = -3d=−3. For d>0d > 0d>0 let t,u>0t, u > 0t,u>0 solve t2−du2=4t^2 - du^2 = 4t2−du2=4 with uuu minimal, and put ε=12(t+ud)\varepsilon = \frac12(t + u\sqrt d)ε=21​(t+ud​).

Formalization targets

Goal: the class number formula

ζK(s) converges absolutely for Re⁡(s)>1, and extends meromorphically to C with a single simple pole at s=1,\zeta_K(s) \text{ converges absolutely for } \operatorname{Re}(s) > 1, \text{ and extends meromorphically to } \mathbb C \text{ with a single simple pole at } s=1,ζK​(s) converges absolutely for Re(s)>1, and extends meromorphically to C with a single simple pole at s=1, lim⁡s→1(s−1) ζK(s)=2r1(2π)r2 RegK hKwK∣DK∣.\lim_{s\to 1}(s-1)\,\zeta_K(s) = \frac{2^{r_1}(2\pi)^{r_2}\,\mathrm{Reg}_K\,h_K}{w_K\sqrt{|D_K|}} .s→1lim​(s−1)ζK​(s)=wK​∣DK​∣​2r1​(2π)r2​RegK​hK​​.

Milestones

  1. Dirichlet's unit theorem, and the reduction of the residue to the average of the coefficients of ζK\zeta_KζK​.
  2. The case K=Q(i)K = \mathbb Q(i)K=Q(i): coefficients as sums of two squares, the lattice-point count in a quarter circle, and the residue π/4\pi/4π/4.
  3. The general ideal count #{a:N(a)≤N}∼ρKN\#\{\mathfrak a : N(\mathfrak a) \le N\} \sim \rho_K N#{a:N(a)≤N}∼ρK​N, and the residue at s=1s = 1s=1 approached from the right.
  4. Dirichlet's formula:
h(d)=w∣d∣2π L(1,χ)  (d<0),h(d)=dln⁡ε L(1,χ)  (d>0),h(d) = \frac{w\sqrt{|d|}}{2\pi}\,L(1,\chi)\ \ (d<0), \qquad h(d) = \frac{\sqrt d}{\ln\varepsilon}\,L(1,\chi)\ \ (d>0),h(d)=2πw∣d∣​​L(1,χ)  (d<0),h(d)=lnεd​​L(1,χ)  (d>0),

with the supporting facts that χ\chiχ is a Dirichlet character, that ζK(s)=ζ(s)L(s,χ)\zeta_K(s) = \zeta(s)L(s,\chi)ζK​(s)=ζ(s)L(s,χ) for a quadratic field, that the Pell equation t2−du2=4t^2 - du^2 = 4t2−du2=4 is solvable, and that ε\varepsilonε is a fundamental unit or its square. 5. Finite forms of L(1,χ)L(1,\chi)L(1,χ) for prime conductor qqq:

L(1,χ)=−πq3/2∑m=1q−1m(mq) (q≡3 mod 4),L(1,χ)=−1q1/2∑m=1q−1(mq)ln⁡sin⁡mπq (q≡1 mod 4).L(1,\chi) = -\frac{\pi}{q^{3/2}}\sum_{m=1}^{q-1} m\left(\frac mq\right)\ (q\equiv3\bmod 4), \qquad L(1,\chi) = -\frac{1}{q^{1/2}}\sum_{m=1}^{q-1}\left(\frac mq\right)\ln\sin\frac{m\pi}{q}\ (q\equiv1\bmod 4).L(1,χ)=−q3/2π​m=1∑q−1​m(qm​) (q≡3mod4),L(1,χ)=−q1/21​m=1∑q−1​(qm​)lnsinqmπ​ (q≡1mod4).

Significance

The result. The formula makes hKRegKh_K \mathrm{Reg}_KhK​RegK​ computable from LLL-values. In the quadratic case it gives closed formulas for class numbers, and it implies that L(1,χ)≠0L(1,\chi) \neq 0L(1,χ)=0 for real characters, which is the hardest step in Dirichlet's theorem on primes in arithmetic progressions. Its refinements for cyclotomic fields relate class numbers to cyclotomic units and lead into Iwasawa theory.

Formalizing it. The result is classical. Mathlib already proves the residue as a one-sided real limit, (s−1)ζK(s)→ρK(s-1)\zeta_K(s) \to \rho_K(s−1)ζK​(s)→ρK​ as s→1+s \to 1^+s→1+, and that statement is available on the platform as a proved theorem. What is not formalized is the meromorphic continuation of ζK\zeta_KζK​ to all of C\mathbb CC with a single simple pole, which is what the goal requires. Dirichlet's formula in terms of binary quadratic forms, its supporting facts, and the finite forms of L(1,χ)L(1,\chi)L(1,χ) are not formalized either.

Difficulty

The residue formula follows from counting ideals of bounded norm, but that only controls ζK\zeta_KζK​ for real s>1s > 1s>1. Continuing ζK\zeta_KζK​ to all of C\mathbb CC needs a separate analytic input, such as theta functions or Hecke's integral representation with a functional equation, or a decomposition into Hecke LLL-functions. Mathlib has such continuations for the Riemann zeta function and Dirichlet LLL-functions, but not for ζK\zeta_KζK​ in general. For Dirichlet's formula, the hard part is connecting classes of binary quadratic forms (proper equivalence, positive definiteness for d<0d<0d<0) with ideal classes of the quadratic order, keeping track of the unit and automorph conventions that decide the constants www and ε\varepsilonε.

Formalization scope

  • The goal uses Mathlib's NumberField.dedekindZeta (the Dirichlet series, meaningful for Re⁡(s)>1\operatorname{Re}(s) > 1Re(s)>1) together with nrRealPlaces, nrComplexPlaces, regulator, classNumber, torsionOrder and discr. The continuation is stated as an entire function GGG with ζK(s)=G(s)/(s−1)\zeta_K(s) = G(s)/(s-1)ζK​(s)=G(s)/(s−1) on Re⁡(s)>1\operatorname{Re}(s)>1Re(s)>1 and G(1)G(1)G(1) equal to the residue. Since the residue is positive, this rules out the trivial reading where ζK\zeta_KζK​ is continued with no pole.
  • L(s,χ)L(s,\chi)L(s,χ) is DirichletCharacter.LFunction, the analytic continuation, so L(1,χ)L(1,\chi)L(1,χ) is its value at s=1s=1s=1 and not the (conditionally convergent) series. The character is a hypothesis agreeing with the Kronecker symbol, and a separate milestone shows that such a character exists.
  • h(d)h(d)h(d) counts SL2(Z)\mathrm{SL}_2(\mathbb Z)SL2​(Z)-classes of integral forms of discriminant ddd, positive definite when d<0d < 0d<0 (Davenport's convention, which the source follows).
  • Corrections to the source. Two displayed constants in the source are off by a factor 222 and are corrected here: the d>0d>0d>0 case of Dirichlet's formula uses ln⁡ε\ln\varepsilonlnε in place of 2ln⁡ε2\ln\varepsilon2lnε (as in Davenport, Ch. 6), and the q≡1(mod4)q \equiv 1 \pmod 4q≡1(mod4) finite form uses −q−1/2-q^{-1/2}−q−1/2 in place of −12q−1/2-\frac12 q^{-1/2}−21​q−1/2. Each affected milestone checks the case d=q=5d = q = 5d=q=5 explicitly.
  • Not included: the sections on Galois and abelian extensions (Artin LLL-functions, Kummer's cyclotomic formulas). Mathlib has no Artin LLL-functions, and the source states those results only informally.
  • Reusable outputs: the Kronecker symbol, binary quadratic forms with proper equivalence, the Pell unit ε\varepsilonε, and the continuation of ζK\zeta_KζK​.

Selected references

  • Wikipedia, "Class number formula", revision 1366411311. https://en.wikipedia.org/w/index.php?title=Class_number_formula&oldid=1366411311
  • H. Davenport, Multiplicative Number Theory, 3rd ed., rev. H. L. Montgomery, Graduate Texts in Mathematics 74, Springer, 2000, Ch. 6, pp. 43–53. https://books.google.com/books?id=U91lsCaJJmsC
  • W. Narkiewicz, Elementary and Analytic Theory of Algebraic Numbers, 2nd ed., Springer/PWN, 1990, pp. 324–355. https://archive.org/details/elementaryanalyt0000nark
  • "Did Gauss know Dirichlet's class number formula in 1801?", MathOverflow, 2012. https://mathoverflow.net/q/109330
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Number Theory·Captain: Lucas

Ramanujan–Petersson Conjecture (Wikipedia): Coefficient Bounds for Holomorphic Cusp FormsTextbook

Motivation

The Fourier coefficients of modular forms are among the most studied arithmetic functions in number theory. In 1916 Srinivasa Ramanujan studied the coefficients τ(n)\tau(n)τ(n) of the discriminant modular form Δ\DeltaΔ and conjectured three properties: multiplicativity, a three-term recursion on prime powers, and the bound ∣τ(p)∣≤2p11/2|\tau(p)|\le 2p^{11/2}∣τ(p)∣≤2p11/2 for primes ppp (Ramanujan 1916). Hans Petersson extended the size bound to the coefficients of holomorphic cusp forms for congruence subgroups (Petersson 1930). The resulting Ramanujan–Petersson conjecture for holomorphic cusp forms is now a theorem of Deligne (weight k≥2k\ge 2k≥2) and Deligne–Serre (weight k=1k=1k=1). Its analogues for Maass forms and for general automorphic representations remain open.

Timeline (as recorded in the source article, Wikipedia: Ramanujan–Petersson conjecture):

  • 1916: Ramanujan conjectures that τ\tauτ is multiplicative, that it satisfies the prime-power recursion, and that ∣τ(p)∣≤2p11/2|\tau(p)|\le 2p^{11/2}∣τ(p)∣≤2p11/2.
  • 1917: Mordell proves the first two statements, using what are now called Hecke operators.
  • 1930: Petersson formulates the coefficient bound for holomorphic cusp forms for congruence subgroups.
  • 1937: Hecke extends Mordell's method to holomorphic cusp forms in general.
  • 1971: Deligne, building on Kuga, Sato, Shimura and Ihara, reduces the conjecture for weight k≥2k\ge 2k≥2 to the Weil conjectures via the Eichler–Shimura isomorphism (Deligne 1971).
  • 1974: Deligne proves the Riemann hypothesis part of the Weil conjectures, which settles the case k≥2k\ge 2k≥2 and in particular ∣τ(p)∣≤2p11/2|\tau(p)|\le 2p^{11/2}∣τ(p)∣≤2p11/2 (Deligne 1974). Deligne and Serre treat weight k=1k=1k=1 (Deligne–Serre 1974).

Setting

Let H={z∈C:Im⁡z>0}\mathbb H=\{z\in\mathbb C:\operatorname{Im}z>0\}H={z∈C:Imz>0} and q=e2πizq=e^{2\pi i z}q=e2πiz. The Dedekind eta function is η(z)=q1/24∏n≥1(1−qn)\eta(z)=q^{1/24}\prod_{n\ge1}(1-q^n)η(z)=q1/24∏n≥1​(1−qn). The discriminant modular form is

Δ(z)=q∏n>0(1−qn)24=η(z)24.\Delta(z)=q\prod_{n>0}(1-q^n)^{24}=\eta(z)^{24}.Δ(z)=qn>0∏​(1−qn)24=η(z)24.

It is a holomorphic cusp form of weight 121212 and level 111. Ramanujan's tau function τ:N→C\tau:\mathbb N\to\mathbb Cτ:N→C is defined by the Fourier expansion

Δ(z)=∑n≥1τ(n)qn=q−24q2+252q3−1472q4+4830q5−⋯ .\Delta(z)=\sum_{n\ge1}\tau(n)q^n=q-24q^2+252q^3-1472q^4+4830q^5-\cdots.Δ(z)=n≥1∑​τ(n)qn=q−24q2+252q3−1472q4+4830q5−⋯.

Its Ramanujan LLL-function is the Dirichlet series L(s,τ)=∑n≥1τ(n)n−sL(s,\tau)=\sum_{n\ge1}\tau(n)n^{-s}L(s,τ)=∑n≥1​τ(n)n−s.

More generally, let Γ⊆SL(2,Z)\Gamma\subseteq SL(2,\mathbb Z)Γ⊆SL(2,Z) be a congruence subgroup, meaning that Γ\GammaΓ contains the principal congruence subgroup Γ(N)\Gamma(N)Γ(N) for some N≥1N\ge1N≥1. A holomorphic cusp form of weight kkk for Γ\GammaΓ is a holomorphic function f:H→Cf:\mathbb H\to\mathbb Cf:H→C with f(γz)=(cz+d)kf(z)f(\gamma z)=(cz+d)^k f(z)f(γz)=(cz+d)kf(z) for every γ=(abcd)∈Γ\gamma=\begin{pmatrix}a&b\\c&d\end{pmatrix}\in\Gammaγ=(ac​bd​)∈Γ, which vanishes at every cusp. Such an fff is periodic with some least period h>0h>0h>0, and it has a Fourier expansion f(z)=∑n≥1anqhnf(z)=\sum_{n\ge1}a_n q_h^nf(z)=∑n≥1​an​qhn​ with qh=e2πiz/hq_h=e^{2\pi i z/h}qh​=e2πiz/h. When Γ\GammaΓ contains z↦z+1z\mapsto z+1z↦z+1 (for example Γ0(N)\Gamma_0(N)Γ0​(N), Γ1(N)\Gamma_1(N)Γ1​(N), or SL(2,Z)SL(2,\mathbb Z)SL(2,Z) itself), h=1h=1h=1 and qh=qq_h=qqh​=q.

Formalization targets

Goal: the Ramanujan–Petersson conjecture for holomorphic cusp forms

For every congruence subgroup Γ\GammaΓ, every weight k≥1k\ge1k≥1, every cusp form fff of weight kkk for Γ\GammaΓ with coefficients ana_nan​, and every ε>0\varepsilon>0ε>0,

an=Oε ⁣(n(k−1)/2+ε).a_n=O_\varepsilon\!\left(n^{(k-1)/2+\varepsilon}\right).an​=Oε​(n(k−1)/2+ε).

The goal splits by weight into Deligne's theorem (k≥2k\ge2k≥2) and the Deligne–Serre theorem (k=1k=1k=1), both listed as milestones.

The tau function

  1. Values: τ(1)=1\tau(1)=1τ(1)=1, τ(2)=−24\tau(2)=-24τ(2)=−24, τ(3)=252\tau(3)=252τ(3)=252, τ(4)=−1472\tau(4)=-1472τ(4)=−1472, τ(5)=4830\tau(5)=4830τ(5)=4830.
  2. Multiplicativity (Mordell): τ(mn)=τ(m)τ(n)\tau(mn)=\tau(m)\tau(n)τ(mn)=τ(m)τ(n) whenever gcd⁡(m,n)=1\gcd(m,n)=1gcd(m,n)=1.
  3. Recursion (Mordell): τ\tauτ is not completely multiplicative, and τ(pj+1)=τ(p)τ(pj)−p11τ(pj−1)\tau(p^{j+1})=\tau(p)\tau(p^j)-p^{11}\tau(p^{j-1})τ(pj+1)=τ(p)τ(pj)−p11τ(pj−1) for primes ppp and j≥2j\ge2j≥2.
  4. Ramanujan's bound (Deligne): ∣τ(p)∣≤2p11/2|\tau(p)|\le 2p^{11/2}∣τ(p)∣≤2p11/2 for all primes ppp.
  5. Consequences: ∣τ(n)∣≤d(n)n11/2|\tau(n)|\le d(n)n^{11/2}∣τ(n)∣≤d(n)n11/2 for all n≥1n\ge1n≥1, where d(n)d(n)d(n) is the number of divisors, and hence τ(n)=O(n11/2+ε)\tau(n)=O(n^{11/2+\varepsilon})τ(n)=O(n11/2+ε).

The Ramanujan LLL-function

  1. ∑k≤nτ(k)=O(n13/2+ε)\sum_{k\le n}\tau(k)=O(n^{13/2+\varepsilon})∑k≤n​τ(k)=O(n13/2+ε), and L(s,τ)L(s,\tau)L(s,τ) converges absolutely for Re⁡s>13/2\operatorname{Re}s>13/2Res>13/2.
  2. L(s,τ)L(s,\tau)L(s,τ) continues to an entire function satisfying Γ(s)L(s,τ)(2π)s=Γ(12−s)L(12−s,τ)(2π)12−s\dfrac{\Gamma(s)L(s,\tau)}{(2\pi)^s}=\dfrac{\Gamma(12-s)L(12-s,\tau)}{(2\pi)^{12-s}}(2π)sΓ(s)L(s,τ)​=(2π)12−sΓ(12−s)L(12−s,τ)​.
  3. Euler product: L(s,τ)=∏p∑n≥0τ(pn)p−ns=∏p(1−τ(p)p−s+p11−2s)−1L(s,\tau)=\prod_p\sum_{n\ge0}\tau(p^n)p^{-ns}=\prod_p\big(1-\tau(p)p^{-s}+p^{11-2s}\big)^{-1}L(s,τ)=∏p​∑n≥0​τ(pn)p−ns=∏p​(1−τ(p)p−s+p11−2s)−1 for Re⁡s>13/2\operatorname{Re}s>13/2Res>13/2.

Significance

The bound ∣τ(p)∣≤2p11/2|\tau(p)|\le 2p^{11/2}∣τ(p)∣≤2p11/2 says that the roots of 1−τ(p)u+p11u21-\tau(p)u+p^{11}u^21−τ(p)u+p11u2 have equal absolute value p−11/2p^{-11/2}p−11/2, an analogue of the Riemann hypothesis for the local factors of L(s,τ)L(s,\tau)L(s,τ). The bounds for general cusp forms are used throughout analytic number theory to control sums of Fourier coefficients. They are also used in the explicit construction of Ramanujan graphs by Lubotzky, Phillips and Sarnak, which are optimal expander graphs. The generalized conjecture for GL(n)GL(n)GL(n) implies Selberg's 1/41/41/4 conjecture on Laplace eigenvalues.

All targets in this mission are proved theorems in the literature. At the pinned Mathlib revision, none of them is formalized except the identity τ(1)=1\tau(1)=1τ(1)=1. Mathlib does contain the definitions they need: η\etaη, Δ\DeltaΔ as a cusp form of weight 12 and level 1, qqq-expansions, congruence subgroups, and the LLL-function of a cusp form. Mathlib also proves the analytic continuation of that LLL-function. The remaining work is to formalize Hecke theory for Δ\DeltaΔ, the elementary consequences of Deligne's bound, the LLL-function statements, and ultimately Deligne's and Deligne–Serre's theorems.

Difficulty

The algebraic statements about τ\tauτ (multiplicativity, the recursion, the Euler product) and the functional equation are classical, but formalizing them needs infrastructure that Mathlib does not yet have, such as Hecke operators on cusp forms. The size bounds are of a different kind. Estimates from the Petersson inner product or from Hecke's method give only the exponent k/2k/2k/2 (Hecke's bound). That exponent is attainable by complex analysis alone, but the improvement to (k−1)/2(k-1)/2(k−1)/2 is not. In the literature it depends on arithmetic geometry: Deligne's proof of the Weil conjectures for k≥2k\ge2k≥2, and Galois representations for k=1k=1k=1. The analytically similar statement for Maass forms is still open.

Formalization scope

  • τ(n)\tau(n)τ(n) is defined as the nnn-th coefficient of Mathlib's qqq-expansion of ModularForm.discriminant with period 111, as a complex number. The source's description of τ\tauτ is taken as the definition, and integrality is not assumed.
  • Absolute values are complex norms. n11/2n^{11/2}n11/2 and similar powers are real powers of nonnegative reals.
  • O(⋅)O(\cdot)O(⋅) is Mathlib's big-O along atTop on N\mathbb NN, with the constant allowed to depend on ε\varepsilonε.
  • In the general goal, the coefficients are taken with respect to qh=e2πiz/hq_h=e^{2\pi i z/h}qh​=e2πiz/h, where hhh is the strict width of the cusp ∞\infty∞ for Γ\GammaΓ (Subgroup.strictWidthInfty). This equals 111 whenever z↦z+1z\mapsto z+1z↦z+1 lies in Γ\GammaΓ. A congruence subgroup is CongruenceSubgroup.IsCongruenceSubgroup.
  • The functional equation is stated only at points sss where neither sss nor 12−s12-s12−s is a pole of Γ\GammaΓ. This avoids Mathlib's convention that Γ\GammaΓ is 000 at its poles.
  • The recursion is stated for j≥2j\ge2j≥2, exactly as in the source.
  • The Maass-form and automorphic-representation versions, the function-field results and the bounds towards Ramanujan over number fields are outside this mission's scope. Mathlib lacks the definitions they need.

Selected references

  • S. Ramanujan, On certain arithmetical functions, Trans. Cambridge Philos. Soc. 22 (1916), 159–184. http://ramanujan.sirinudi.org/Volumes/published/ram18.pdf
  • H. Petersson, Theorie der automorphen Formen beliebiger reeller Dimension …, Math. Ann. 103 (1930), 369–436. https://doi.org/10.1007/BF01455702
  • P. Deligne, Formes modulaires et représentations l-adiques, Sém. Bourbaki 1968/69, LNM 179 (1971). https://doi.org/10.1007/BFb0058801
  • P. Deligne, La conjecture de Weil. I, Publ. Math. IHÉS 43 (1974), 273–307. https://doi.org/10.1007/BF02684373
  • P. Deligne, J.-P. Serre, Formes modulaires de poids 1, Ann. Sci. ÉNS 7 (1974), 507–530. https://doi.org/10.24033/asens.1277
  • P. Sarnak, Notes on the generalized Ramanujan conjectures, Clay Math. Proc. 4 (2005). http://www.claymath.org/publications/Harmonic_Analysis/chapter9.pdf
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Actuarial ScienceProbability·Captain: WillR

Actuarial Mathematics XC: Structural Corporate Default and Rating-Migration Credit ValuationTextbook

Motivation

Credit risk matters to insurer bond holdings, pension scheme fixed-income investment and counterparty guarantees. Merton's corporate debt model derives terminal shareholder and bondholder payoffs from limited liability and asset value. Jarrow–Lando–Turnbull introduces observable ratings with Markov state migrations and default, motivating a second, independently defined view of risky fixed-income valuation.

Setting

A firm has nonnegative terminal assets and a single promise of face-value debt. Creditors are paid no more than the promise and no more than available assets; equity gets the residual. Finite genuine probability masses attach to terminal asset scenarios and yield discounted debt and equity claim valuations. Separately, a three-state rating matrix contains two non-default ratings and a terminal default state, with nonnegative row probabilities and full row-sum constraints.

Formalization targets

The formalisation develops a connected set of actuarial identities, beginning with precise model definitions and ending with the prospective valuation result.

Merton limited liability and terminal default payoffs

Strict asset deficit is equivalent to zero equity except for solvent zero-cashflow special cases.

ET=(VT−D)+,BT=min⁡(VT,D)E_T=(V_T-D)^+,\quad B_T=\min(V_T,D)ET​=(VT​−D)+,BT​=min(VT​,D)

Finite default risk premiums and risk-neutral debt pricing

A bond priced equally to risk-free debt has zero model spread.

B0=e−rTEQ[min⁡(VT,D)]B_0=e^{-rT}\mathbb E^{\mathbb Q}[\min(V_T,D)]B0​=e−rTEQ[min(VT​,D)]

Three-state rating migration and recoverable default claims

Structural terminal solvency and an independent absorbing-rating transition system reconcile riskier defaultable debt prices, nonnegative credit value deductions and genuinely two-period probability conservation.

∑jPij=1,Pdefault,default=1\sum_j P_{ij}=1,\quad P_{\text{default,default}}=1j∑​Pij​=1,Pdefault,default​=1

Capstone theorem

Structural terminal solvency and an independent absorbing-rating transition system reconcile riskier defaultable debt prices, nonnegative credit value deductions and genuinely two-period probability conservation.

∑jPij=1,Pdefault,default=1\sum_j P_{ij}=1,\quad P_{\text{default,default}}=1j∑​Pij​=1,Pdefault,default​=1

Significance

As discussed in Merton's corporate-credit model, The mission connects terminal firm claims to an actual finite risk-neutral weighted value: equity plus debt exhaust firm assets, expected discounted defaultable debt is bounded above by its risk-free counterpart, and credit value deductions are nonnegative. The genuine two-step rating migration law preserves total probability mass. These independently defined results jointly give an actuarial foundation for pricing defaultable corporate securities and recognising credit exposures in asset-liability valuation.

Difficulty

It must be proved that the limited-liability payoffs partition total assets, with exact boundary conditions where assets equal or fall below face value. The pricing theorem must distinguish actual discounted expected creditor payments from assuming a closed-form Black–Scholes price; no lognormal risk-neutral firm distribution is postulated. Credit spreads require positive debt prices and maturities. A rating transition matrix must be proved stochastic under composition, and an absorbing default state is a model condition rather than automatically true for arbitrary matrices.

Formalization scope

Limited liability and rating-migration probabilities are distinct mathematical constructs in this model. The complete diffusion-based Merton option value and continuous-time rating default models remain future mathematical research. The current target is nontrivial because it derives the bond valuation from limited-liability terminal payouts and an actual probability space, and the migration law from an independent finite transition kernel. Existing bond-present-value and state-reward missions are useful, but they do not identify shareholder and debt recovery claims. Its expected payoff and finite rating matrix infrastructure is reusable in asset-liability modelling and insurer counterparty credit valuation.

A firm's terminal assets must be partitioned consistently between equity and creditor payoffs. Above the promised debt face amount bondholders receive the promise and owners receive remaining assets. At the strict default threshold the owners' limited liability makes equity worthless and bondholders recover the remaining assets. The source values these payoffs using a proper finite risk-neutral scenario law, proving that discounted risky debt is no more valuable than the risk-free debt promise. The other branch builds a genuinely stochastic three-state rating transition matrix and derives two-step migration probabilities from matrix multiplication. Those observed or risk-neutral migration probabilities are not interchangeable without an additional measure-change argument. This is precise finite corporate credit mathematics; it is not a fabricated full closed-form structural diffusion model or a continuous-time default-intensity theory.

The new credit mission establishes exact one-period finite-state structural debt/equity payoff pricing and two-step rating probability conservation. It does not claim Merton's Black–Scholes closed-form equity value, stochastic diffusion replication, or the full continuous-time JLT risk-neutral generator model. The default-state absorbing property needs additional row restrictions and is not asserted for unrestricted transition matrices. Those are substantial extensions, and the current theorem bodies remain unproved.

These are original derived finite/analytic Actuarial formalisation targets rather than reproductions of a numbered textbook theorem. Exact Lean binder declarations are authoritative. The complete source uses targeted Mathlib imports and no local Lean compilation. All proof bodies remain genuinely open and do not constitute accepted results. Assumptions about negative rates, survival, policyholder independence, discounting and benefit timing must be preserved exactly.

Selected references

  • Robert C. Merton (1974), On the Pricing of Corporate Debt: The Risk Structure of Interest Rates, Journal of Finance 29(2), 449–470. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1540-6261.1974.tb03058.x
  • Robert A. Jarrow, David Lando and Stuart M. Turnbull (1997), A Markov Model for the Term Structure of Credit Risk Spreads, Review of Financial Studies 10(2), 481–523. https://doi.org/10.1093/rfs/10.2.481
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Actuarial ScienceProbability·Captain: WillR

Actuarial Mathematics LXXXIX: Expected Utility, Certainty Equivalents and Stochastic Risk OrdersTextbook

Motivation

Insurance economics prices risk using the utility of wealth rather than merely its variance. Pratt's seminal work derives risk aversion and the certainty-equivalent insurance premium, while Rothschild and Stiglitz connect comparative risk to probability order. Earlier actuarial entropic premium missions contain special finite retention objectives but do not derive an independently constructed expected wealth utility with premium indifference and finite stochastic dominance.

Setting

Losses are monetary outcomes on a genuinely finite scenario probability model, whose masses are nonnegative and sum to one. The exponential CARA wealth utility is strictly increasing and concave for positive aversion. The certainty-equivalent premium is constructed from the actual exponential moment of loss. Full insurance replaces the uncertain loss with a fixed premium and its utility is compared with the truly weighted uninsured outcome.

Formalization targets

The formalisation develops a connected set of actuarial identities, beginning with precise model definitions and ending with the prospective valuation result.

Expected exponential utility and absolute risk aversion

Utility of deterministic wealth equals its scenario expectation.

ua(w)=−e−aw,A(w)=−ua′′(w)/ua′(w)=au_a(w)=-e^{-aw},\quad A(w)=-u''_a(w)/u'_a(w)=aua​(w)=−e−aw,A(w)=−ua′′​(w)/ua′​(w)=a

Actuarial insurance certainty equivalents and premium indifference

Risk-averse exponential expected utility demands at least the expected claim cost.

πa(X)=1alog⁡E[eaX]\pi_a(X)=\frac{1}{a}\log\mathbb E[e^{aX}]πa​(X)=a1​logE[eaX]

Genuine pathwise coupling and finite first-order stochastic dominance

The actuarial insurer and policyholder indifference premium follows from genuinely averaged utility, with positive risk loading and a finite-scenario stochastic risk ordering.

X≤Y a.s.⟹E[ϕ(X)]≤E[ϕ(Y)]X\le Y\ \text{a.s.}\Longrightarrow \mathbb E[\phi(X)]\le\mathbb E[\phi(Y)]X≤Y a.s.⟹E[ϕ(X)]≤E[ϕ(Y)]

Capstone theorem

The actuarial insurer and policyholder indifference premium follows from genuinely averaged utility, with positive risk loading and a finite-scenario stochastic risk ordering.

X≤Y a.s.⟹E[ϕ(X)]≤E[ϕ(Y)]X\le Y\ \text{a.s.}\Longrightarrow \mathbb E[\phi(X)]\le\mathbb E[\phi(Y)]X≤Y a.s.⟹E[ϕ(X)]≤E[ϕ(Y)]

Significance

As discussed in Pratt's utility-risk treatment, The capstone proves a complete indifference premium identity, not merely its algebraic definition, and derives risk loading above expected loss from convexity of the exponential. A coupled stochastic order implies both the ordering of actual finite distribution functions and higher expected utility for increasing utility functions. The same ordering is related to excess-of-loss premiums through statewise monotonicity. These results supply core insurer and policyholder pricing foundations.

Difficulty

The logarithmic certainty equivalent requires strictly positive exponential moments and a nonzero risk-aversion parameter. The actual expected utility factorization must account for the sign of negative exponential utility. Risk loading requires Jensen's inequality or an equivalent discrete exponential-convexity argument, not the assertion that every risk is profitable to insure. The comparison of finite CDFs must reverse the inequality for higher wealth, while a higher loss severity raises stop-loss costs. Pathwise coupling is stronger than the entire stochastic-dominance order and is identified as such.

Formalization scope

Certainty-equivalent premium and stochastic risk ordering are distinct mathematical constructs in this model. A future generalisation will derive second-order stochastic dominance via integrals of real CDFs and concave expected utility, not merely a pathwise coupling. The current project is nontrivial because the CARA indifference identity follows by differentiating and averaging the actual utility, and the insurer's risk loading is derived from Jensen's inequality. Existing specialised exponential risk-price examples provide a useful benchmark but do not replace these general sources. The premium and coupling functions are reusable for nonproportional reinsurance, risk classification and comparative risk analysis.

Under constant absolute risk aversion the negative exponential utility function is increasing and concave in wealth when risk aversion is positive, even though its numerical utility level is negative. A fair premium is not obtained by simply assuming a desired level of profit. The expected uninsured utility is calculated from true scenario probabilities, the utility with full insurance is calculated using a fixed premium and the resulting indifference equation is solved from the loss exponential moment. The log moment premium must then be compared against expected claim cost using convexity, and the sign of this loading depends on risk aversion. Finite distribution functions and expected excess claims are independently defined for comparison. The pathwise coupling order in the source is stronger than first-order stochastic dominance, so no false claim of characterising all stochastic orders is made. Second-order dominance requires a separate distribution-integral analysis.

This is a genuine finite-probability CARA model with exactly derived insured/uninsured premium indifference. The stochastic order is proven for explicit statewise couplings and thus yields a strong sufficient condition for first-order stochastic dominance, not a complete characterisation of arbitrary second-order stochastic dominance. General concave utility risk orders, mean-preserving spreads, Arrow–Pratt comparative aversion for all utility families, and infinite random variables are future developments. All proof obligations are open.

These are original derived finite/analytic Actuarial formalisation targets rather than reproductions of a numbered textbook theorem. Exact Lean binder declarations are authoritative. The complete source uses targeted Mathlib imports and no local Lean compilation. All proof bodies remain genuinely open and do not constitute accepted results. Assumptions about negative rates, survival, policyholder independence, discounting and benefit timing must be preserved exactly.

Selected references

  • John W. Pratt (1964), Risk Aversion in the Small and in the Large, Econometrica 32, 122–136. https://doi.org/10.2307/1913738
  • Michael Rothschild and Joseph E. Stiglitz (1970), Increasing Risk: I. A Definition, Journal of Economic Theory 2, 225–243. https://doi.org/10.1016/0022-0531(70)90038-4
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Actuarial ScienceProbability·Captain: WillR

Actuarial Mathematics XCI: Joint-Life Mortality Profit and Contingent Survivor BenefitsTextbook

Motivation

Mortality experience in joint-life assurance and pensions depends not only on whether someone died, but on which insured life survives and which survivor or joint reserve must then be held. Standard multiple-life actuarial valuations motivate last-survivor, reversionary and guaranteed pension benefits. Earlier actuarial missions XLV and XLVI treat basic reversionary annuities and single-life mortality profit separately; this connects them through a genuine four-outcome death-strain model.

Setting

Two members start alive and experience independent yearly survival outcomes. Exactly four mutually exclusive joint states follow: both survive, only the first survives, only the second survives, or neither survives. Their probabilities use product and complement survival factors. The year-end reserve and any benefits can differ for every one of these states. Opening reserves plus premiums earn the annual return before payment and the next state contingent reserve is recognized.

Formalization targets

The formalisation develops a connected set of actuarial identities, beginning with precise model definitions and ending with the prospective valuation result.

Independent joint-life outcomes and probabilities

Each valid joint-life outcome has nonnegative mass.

pxy=pxpy,px†y=(1−px)pyp_{xy}=p_xp_y,\quad p_{x\dagger y}=(1-p_x)p_ypxy​=px​py​,px†y​=(1−px​)py​

Outcome-dependent reserves, benefits and death strain

Additional state-specific benefit claims add to expected death strain.

Ds=Bs+Vs−(V0+P)(1+i)D_{s}=B_s+V_s-(V_0+P)(1+i)Ds​=Bs​+Vs​−(V0​+P)(1+i)

Joint mortality profit and limited-contingent survivor benefits

An exhaustive, correctly normalized two-life outcome model makes the mortality experience profit mean zero, retaining separate survivor reserves, death benefits and guaranteed payment conventions.

Πmort=∑spsDs−Dobserved\Pi_{\text{mort}}=\sum_s p_s D_s-D_{\text{observed}}Πmort​=s∑​ps​Ds​−Dobserved​

Capstone theorem

An exhaustive, correctly normalized two-life outcome model makes the mortality experience profit mean zero, retaining separate survivor reserves, death benefits and guaranteed payment conventions.

Πmort=∑spsDs−Dobserved\Pi_{\text{mort}}=\sum_s p_s D_s-D_{\text{observed}}Πmort​=s∑​ps​Ds​−Dobserved​

Significance

As discussed in Dickson, Hardy and Waters' multiple-life analysis, The capstone derives actual four-state normalization and reconciles joint mortality profit as expected death strain less observed state-specific death strain, whose expected result is zero under its own properly normalized law. The state-specific reserve functions distinguish the two possible remaining single-life liabilities rather than collapsing them into a single average. Limited-reversionary and certain guarantee payments are represented as separate conditional benefits.

Difficulty

Four disjoint probabilities must be normalized with exact endpoint treatment. Reserve releases after each death outcome may have opposite signs to death-benefit payments, so the state strain must include both payout and next-state reserve less the accumulated starting fund. Expected mortality profit cannot be asserted by defining it to have zero mean: it must follow from the actual weighted expectation of the observed strain. Independence is an explicit current assumption; arbitrary dependent lives need a separate four-state probability law.

Formalization scope

Joint-life mortality profit and state-dependent death strain are distinct mathematical constructs in this model. A future mission could introduce dependent lifetimes and within-year order of deaths, then compute first-to-die and last-survivor benefit present values directly from the joint survival law. The present work is nontrivial because both survivor reserves and actual death claims differ across the four states, while the mean mortality profit emerges from their normalised probability distribution. Existing joint-life annuity and single-life profit missions do not establish this combination. The outcome-specific reserve and mortality gain functions are reusable for spouse's pensions, death-in-service benefits and multi-life experience analysis.

Four disjoint annual outcomes must be considered for a policy whose two insured lives begin the year alive. They are both alive, only the first alive, only the second alive and both dead. Each outcome has a separate year-end reserve and may have a different death or survivor benefit. Accordingly, its actual death strain includes the benefit paid plus the new reserve less accumulated beginning-year funds. Expected strain is a genuine probability-weighted average of those four observed strains. The mortality experience profit for any one realised outcome equals the expected strain less that outcome's actual strain. Its expectation must be shown to vanish under the normalised four-outcome probability distribution, rather than by assuming zero mean. This framework supplies an actuarial bridge from joint-life/reversionary benefits to experience profit analysis and guarantee-period pensions. Within-year timing and dependent life outcomes require additional formal work.

This is a complete one-year joint mortality-experience model with explicit separate survivor reserves, not a full continuous-time ordering of first and second deaths inside the same policy year. Guarantee-period timing is represented by a separate deterministic indicator input. Exact age differences, policy options, death-payment timing and dependence-copula extensions can build on these definitions later. All theorem statements remain unproved.

These are original derived finite/analytic Actuarial formalisation targets rather than reproductions of a numbered textbook theorem. Exact Lean binder declarations are authoritative. The complete source uses targeted Mathlib imports and no local Lean compilation. All proof bodies remain genuinely open and do not constitute accepted results. Assumptions about negative rates, survival, policyholder independence, discounting and benefit timing must be preserved exactly.

Selected references

  • David C. M. Dickson, Mary R. Hardy and Howard R. Waters (2020), Actuarial Mathematics for Life Contingent Risks, Cambridge University Press. https://www.cambridge.org/core/books/actuarial-mathematics-for-life-contingent-risks/
  • S. David Promislow (2015), Fundamentals of Actuarial Mathematics, Wiley. https://www.wiley.com/en-us/Fundamentals+of+Actuarial+Mathematics%2C+3rd+Edition-p-9781118782521
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Actuarial ScienceProbability·Captain: WillR

Actuarial Mathematics LXXVII: Compound Aggregate Masses and the Full Finite Panjer RecursionTextbook

Motivation

Panjer's original 1981 result derives the aggregate claims recursion from a special frequency probability law and arbitrary nonnegative-integer severity mass distribution, including claims worth zero. The original article and the Sundt–Jewell extension underpin the mission. Earlier actuarial mission LIV handles direct recurrence algebra, while LXXIII derives the Bernoulli first positive aggregate mass identity. This mission formalises a full positive-aggregate-severity recursion for a genuinely constructed compound law.

Setting

A claim count N has probability weights p_n supported on {0,...,m}, with no artificial truncation of an otherwise infinite count distribution. Independent severity masses f_j on nonnegative integer amounts admit a genuine n-fold convolution, with count-zero convolution equal to a unit atom at zero. Thus g_k=Σ_{n=0}^m p_n(f^{*n})k is defined independently of Panjer's formula. The count recursion p_n=(a+b/n)p{n−1} is assumed only for 1≤n≤m+1, including its boundary p_{m+1}=0, and p_n=0 above m. No conclusion about the aggregate g is assumed.

Formalization targets

Aggregate claims from an actual frequency distribution

Write pnp_npn​ for the probability of exactly nnn claims and fjf_jfj​ for the probability that one claim has size jjj. The frequency law is genuinely supported on 0,…,m0,\ldots,m0,…,m; an infinite Poisson distribution is not silently truncated. The empty portfolio has aggregate size zero, while f∗nf^{*n}f∗n denotes the distribution obtained by summing nnn independent severities.

The first group constructs the aggregate probability gkg_kgk​ directly from the frequency and severity laws:

gk=∑n=0mpn(f∗n)k,(f∗0)0=1.g_k=\sum_{n=0}^{m}p_n(f^{*n})_k,\qquad (f^{*0})_0=1.gk​=n=0∑m​pn​(f∗n)k​,(f∗0)0​=1.

It also proves the zero-severity convolution identities, nonnegative mass preservation, and finite frequency and severity generating-function relationships.

The Panjer law and its upper support boundary

The count probabilities obey a Panjer recurrence with coefficients aaa and bbb. Crucially, the finite-support model includes the transition from mmm to the compulsory zero probability at m+1m+1m+1:

pn=(a+bn)pn−1,1≤n≤m+1,pm+1=0.p_n=\left(a+\frac{b}{n}\right)p_{n-1}, \qquad 1\le n\le m+1,\qquad p_{m+1}=0.pn​=(a+nb​)pn−1​,1≤n≤m+1,pm+1​=0.

This makes the assumed count law compatible with the finite aggregate distribution. For a claim size that may equal zero, the aggregate zero atom involves every possible claim count:

g0=GN(f0)=∑n=0mpnf0 n.g_0=G_N(f_0)=\sum_{n=0}^{m}p_n f_0^{\,n}.g0​=GN​(f0​)=n=0∑m​pn​f0n​.

Corrected aggregate recursion and valuation

The central target is the entire positive-aggregate-size Panjer recurrence, not merely its first positive atom. For every integer k≥1k\ge1k≥1, the result is

(1−af0)gk=∑j=1k(a+bjk)fjgk−j.(1-af_0)g_k= \sum_{j=1}^{k}\left(a+\frac{bj}{k}\right) f_jg_{k-j}.(1−af0​)gk​=j=1∑k​(a+kbj​)fj​gk−j​.

The factor 1−af01-af_01−af0​ is essential because a positive number of claims may still produce aggregate size zero. Further targets establish properties of cumulative aggregate probabilities, capital exceedance tails and finite stop-loss expectations. Every aggregate probability is defined independently of the recurrence it is subsequently required to satisfy.

Significance

The original Panjer paper gives the classical aggregate-loss setting. The capstone derives (1-a f_0)g_k=Σ_{j=1}^k(a+bj/k) f_j g_{k-j} for every positive aggregate amount from the actual random sum, together with g_0=G_N(f_0). The generator gives a count-supported finite Panjer family; it does not claim an infinite Poisson/negative-binomial count law. The exact zero claim-size correction is essential even when count N is positive, because multiple claims may all have zero monetary size. The authoring graph also includes frequency PGFs, severity convolution, CDF/tail and stop-loss identities.

Difficulty

Existing actuarial probability and Panjer steps are established subject areas. Every formal result introduced in this mission is an open Lean theorem target; none has an accepted proof. A vacuous or trivial definition of the aggregate as the recurrence solution is explicitly ruled out. The proof must rearrange nested severity convolutions, differentiate coefficient identities or establish the equivalent frequency recursion, and manage the zero-severity term that multiplies g_k itself. The count-support cutoff must satisfy the Panjer multiplier at m+1 to avoid invalid boundary terms. The recurrence at k=0 is not defined due to division by k; zero aggregate mass follows separately from the frequency PGF. Because f_0 may be positive, truncating the count sum at arbitrary m with an infinite count law would be mathematically invalid; we avoid that by using a genuine finite count distribution.

Formalization scope

This mission supplies a full k≥1 Panjer relation under an exact finite-support frequency model, not general infinite Poisson or geometric counts and not continuous claim severities. Positivity and mass normalisation require additional explicit probability conditions beyond the purely algebraic count recurrence, so the capstone is a valid algebraic identity even before imposing proper probability weights. All formal results remain Lean theorem targets without accepted proofs. The finite model is a reusable foundation for formal-power-series and analytic infinite-frequency cases.

These are original derived finite/analytic Actuarial formalisation targets rather than reproductions of a numbered textbook theorem. Exact Lean binder declarations are authoritative. The complete source uses targeted Mathlib imports and no local Lean compilation. All proof bodies remain genuinely open and do not constitute accepted results. Assumptions about negative rates, survival, policyholder independence, discounting and benefit timing must be preserved exactly.

Selected references

  • Harry H. Panjer (1981), Recursive Evaluation of a Family of Compound Distributions, ASTIN Bulletin 12(1), 22–26. https://doi.org/10.1017/S0515036100006796
  • Bjørn Sundt and William S. Jewell (1981), Further Results on Recursive Evaluation of Compound Distributions, ASTIN Bulletin 12(1), 27–39. https://doi.org/10.1017/S0515036100006802
  • S. David Promislow (2015), Fundamentals of Actuarial Mathematics, third edition, Chapter 21, section 21.11. https://www.oreilly.com/library/view/fundamentals-of-actuarial/9781118782521/ftoc.xhtml
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Differential GeometryMathematical Physics·Captain: Lucas

Uhlenbeck, Equations of Gauge Theory I: Self-Dual Connections Minimize Yang-MillsTextbook

Motivation

The Yang–Mills functional measures the total curvature of a connection on a principal bundle. Its critical points, the Yang–Mills connections, are the non-abelian generalization of solutions of Maxwell's equations, and in four dimensions the most important among them are the self-dual and anti-self-dual connections (instantons), whose moduli spaces underlie Donaldson theory of smooth four-manifolds. A basic and frequently used fact, recorded as Proposition 3.1.1 in K. Uhlenbeck's lectures Equations of Gauge Theory (notes by L. Fredrickson, Temple University, 2012), is that instantons are not merely critical points: within a fixed topological class and with fixed boundary data they are absolute minimizers of the Yang–Mills energy. The same "energy identity" argument is the template the notes later apply to the Kapustin–Witten equations (Proposition 3.1.5).

Timeline of the ideas involved: Yang and Mills introduce the equations (1954); Belavin, Polyakov, Schwartz and Tyupkin observe the topological lower bound on the energy and its saturation by self-dual fields (1975); Atiyah, Hitchin and Singer study the deformation theory of instantons (1977–78); Donaldson uses the instanton moduli space in four-manifold topology (1983).

Setting

Work on the trivial principal SU(n)SU(n)SU(n)-bundle over a closed box Ω=[a,b]=∏μ=03[aμ,bμ]⊂R4\Omega=[a,b]=\prod_{\mu=0}^{3}[a_\mu,b_\mu]\subset\mathbb R^4Ω=[a,b]=∏μ=03​[aμ​,bμ​]⊂R4 with the Euclidean metric. A connection is DA=d+AD_A=d+ADA​=d+A with A=∑μAμ dxμA=\sum_\mu A_\mu\,dx^\muA=∑μ​Aμ​dxμ, where each AμA_\muAμ​ is a smooth map into the Lie algebra su(n)\mathfrak{su}(n)su(n) of traceless skew-Hermitian n×nn\times nn×n complex matrices. Its curvature is the su(n)\mathfrak{su}(n)su(n)-valued two-form FA=dA+A∧AF_A=dA+A\wedge AFA​=dA+A∧A with coefficients

(FA)μν=∂μAν−∂νAμ+[Aμ,Aν].(F_A)_{\mu\nu}=\partial_\mu A_\nu-\partial_\nu A_\mu+[A_\mu,A_\nu].(FA​)μν​=∂μ​Aν​−∂ν​Aμ​+[Aμ​,Aν​].

The Hodge star on two-forms is (⋆F)μν=12∑ρ,σεμνρσFρσ(\star F)_{\mu\nu}=\tfrac12\sum_{\rho,\sigma}\varepsilon_{\mu\nu\rho\sigma}F_{\rho\sigma}(⋆F)μν​=21​∑ρ,σ​εμνρσ​Fρσ​, with ε\varepsilonε the Levi-Civita symbol. A two-form is self-dual if ⋆F=F\star F=F⋆F=F and anti-self-dual if ⋆F=−F\star F=-F⋆F=−F. The pointwise norm is ∣F∣2=∑μ<νRe⁡tr⁡(FμνFμν∗)|F|^2=\sum_{\mu<\nu}\operatorname{Re}\operatorname{tr}(F_{\mu\nu}F_{\mu\nu}^{*})∣F∣2=∑μ<ν​Retr(Fμν​Fμν∗​), and the Yang–Mills functional on Ω\OmegaΩ is

YmΩ(A)=∫Ω∣FA∣2 dvol.\mathrm{Ym}_\Omega(A)=\int_\Omega |F_A|^2\,d\mathrm{vol}.YmΩ​(A)=∫Ω​∣FA​∣2dvol.

The Chern–Weil density tr⁡(F∧F)\operatorname{tr}(F\wedge F)tr(F∧F) is the coefficient 14∑εμνρσtr⁡(FμνFρσ)\tfrac14\sum\varepsilon_{\mu\nu\rho\sigma}\operatorname{tr}(F_{\mu\nu}F_{\rho\sigma})41​∑εμνρσ​tr(Fμν​Fρσ​) of dx0∧dx1∧dx2∧dx3dx^0\wedge dx^1\wedge dx^2\wedge dx^3dx0∧dx1∧dx2∧dx3, and the Chern–Simons three-form is CS(A)=tr⁡(A∧dA+23A∧A∧A)CS(A)=\operatorname{tr}(A\wedge dA+\tfrac23A\wedge A\wedge A)CS(A)=tr(A∧dA+32​A∧A∧A), with flux components Kμ=∑εμνρσtr⁡(Aν∂ρAσ+23AνAρAσ)K^\mu=\sum\varepsilon_{\mu\nu\rho\sigma}\operatorname{tr}(A_\nu\partial_\rho A_\sigma+\tfrac23A_\nu A_\rho A_\sigma)Kμ=∑εμνρσ​tr(Aν​∂ρ​Aσ​+32​Aν​Aρ​Aσ​).

Formalization targets

Goal (Proposition 3.1.1, box version)

If AAA and BBB are smooth SU(n)SU(n)SU(n)-connections on Ω\OmegaΩ that agree on ∂Ω\partial\Omega∂Ω, and FAF_AFA​ is self-dual on all of Ω\OmegaΩ or anti-self-dual on all of Ω\OmegaΩ, then

YmΩ(A)≤YmΩ(B).\mathrm{Ym}_\Omega(A)\le \mathrm{Ym}_\Omega(B).YmΩ​(A)≤YmΩ​(B).

Milestones

  1. Lemma 3.1.2. For an su(n)\mathfrak{su}(n)su(n)-valued two-form FFF: ∣F±⋆F∣2=2∣F∣2∓2tr⁡(F∧F)|F\pm\star F|^2=2|F|^2\mp2\operatorname{tr}(F\wedge F)∣F±⋆F∣2=2∣F∣2∓2tr(F∧F).
  2. Fact 3.1.3, local form. tr⁡(FA∧FA)=∑μ∂μKμ\operatorname{tr}(F_A\wedge F_A)=\sum_\mu\partial_\mu K^\mutr(FA​∧FA​)=∑μ​∂μ​Kμ, i.e. tr⁡(FA∧FA)=d CS(A)\operatorname{tr}(F_A\wedge F_A)=d\,CS(A)tr(FA​∧FA​)=dCS(A).
  3. Fact 3.1.3, box form. ∫Ωtr⁡(FA∧FA)=∫∂ΩCS(A)\int_\Omega\operatorname{tr}(F_A\wedge F_A)=\int_{\partial\Omega}CS(A)∫Ω​tr(FA​∧FA​)=∫∂Ω​CS(A) (the topological term vanishes for the trivial bundle).
  4. Energy bound (proof of Proposition 3.1.1). YmΩ(A)≥∓∫∂ΩCS(A)\mathrm{Ym}_\Omega(A)\ge \mp\int_{\partial\Omega}CS(A)YmΩ​(A)≥∓∫∂Ω​CS(A).
  5. Equality case (proof of Proposition 3.1.1). On a non-degenerate box, YmΩ(A)=−∫∂ΩCS(A)\mathrm{Ym}_\Omega(A)=-\int_{\partial\Omega}CS(A)YmΩ​(A)=−∫∂Ω​CS(A) iff FAF_AFA​ is self-dual on Ω\OmegaΩ, and YmΩ(A)=∫∂ΩCS(A)\mathrm{Ym}_\Omega(A)=\int_{\partial\Omega}CS(A)YmΩ​(A)=∫∂Ω​CS(A) iff FAF_AFA​ is anti-self-dual on Ω\OmegaΩ.

Significance

The energy identity turns a second-order variational problem into a first-order one: any connection satisfying the first-order self-duality equation is automatically a Yang–Mills connection, and in fact a global minimizer in its class. This is the reason instanton moduli spaces are the natural objects of four-dimensional gauge theory, and it is the model for the corresponding minimization statements for the Kapustin–Witten equations treated later in the same notes. The result is classical and its proof is known; the remaining work is formal: a machine-checked development of the curvature, Hodge star, Chern–Simons transgression and the boundary integration on boxes, none of which are currently packaged in this form in Mathlib.

Difficulty

The algebraic identity of Lemma 3.1.2 is a finite computation. The substantive step is the transgression formula tr⁡(FA∧FA)=d CS(A)\operatorname{tr}(F_A\wedge F_A)=d\,CS(A)tr(FA​∧FA​)=dCS(A), a cancellation between derivative terms and cubic terms that depends on cyclicity of the trace and on the antisymmetry of ε\varepsilonε, followed by Stokes' theorem on the box with correct face orientations. The naive approach of comparing ∣FA∣2|F_A|^2∣FA​∣2 and ∣FB∣2|F_B|^2∣FB​∣2 pointwise fails: the two connections agree only on the boundary, and only the integrated topological term is boundary-determined.

Formalization scope

The general setting of the notes (a GGG-bundle over a compact oriented Riemannian four-manifold with boundary, topological class c2(P)=kc_2(P)=kc2​(P)=k) is replaced by the trivial SU(n)SU(n)SU(n)-bundle over a closed axis-parallel box in Euclidean R4\mathbb R^4R4, so the topological term 8π2c2(P)8\pi^2c_2(P)8π2c2​(P) is zero. Connections are smooth on all of R4\mathbb R^4R4 (equivalently, smooth up to the boundary of the box) and every coefficient takes values in su(n)\mathfrak{su}(n)su(n). Two-forms are stored as antisymmetric 4×44\times44×4 families of matrices; partial derivatives are taken entrywise; integrals are Lebesgue integrals over the box and over its faces. "Fixed boundary data" means A=BA=BA=B at every point of ∂Ω\partial\Omega∂Ω. Self-duality is ⋆F=F\star F=F⋆F=F, matching F=⋆FF=\star FF=⋆F in Section 2.2 of the notes.

Two sign/normalization corrections relative to the printed notes are made deliberately: Lemma 3.1.2 is stated with the sign obtained in its own proof on p. 32 (∓\mp∓ rather than the printed ±\pm±, because B∗=−BB^*=-BB∗=−B on su(n)\mathfrak{su}(n)su(n)), and the Chern–Simons form uses the standard coefficient 23\tfrac2332​ in tr⁡(A∧dA+23A3)\operatorname{tr}(A\wedge dA+\tfrac23A^3)tr(A∧dA+32​A3), i.e. tr⁡(A∧FA)−13tr⁡(A3)\operatorname{tr}(A\wedge F_A)-\tfrac13\operatorname{tr}(A^3)tr(A∧FA​)−31​tr(A3), for which d CS=tr⁡(F∧F)d\,CS=\operatorname{tr}(F\wedge F)dCS=tr(F∧F) holds, instead of the printed 16\tfrac1661​.

A trivializing formalization would make the boundary condition or the self-duality hypothesis unsatisfiable; here the zero connection is self-dual and satisfies every hypothesis, and the statements are not vacuous.

Reusable infrastructure: Levi-Civita symbol and Hodge star on Λ2R4\Lambda^2\mathbb R^4Λ2R4 with matrix coefficients, curvature of matrix-valued connections, the Chern–Simons transgression, and Stokes' theorem for flux forms on boxes (Mathlib's divergence theorem on boxes is the natural tool). Contributions to any milestone are welcome.

Selected references

  • K. Uhlenbeck, Equations of Gauge Theory, notes by L. Fredrickson, Emil Grosswald Lectures, Temple University, 2012 (the source of all statements; Section 3.1, pp. 29–32).
  • C. N. Yang, R. L. Mills, Conservation of isotopic spin and isotopic gauge invariance, Phys. Rev. 96 (1954), 191–195. https://doi.org/10.1103/PhysRev.96.191
  • A. A. Belavin, A. M. Polyakov, A. S. Schwartz, Yu. S. Tyupkin, Pseudoparticle solutions of the Yang–Mills equations, Phys. Lett. B 59 (1975), 85–87. https://doi.org/10.1016/0370-2693(75)90163-X
  • S. K. Donaldson, An application of gauge theory to four-dimensional topology, J. Differential Geom. 18 (1983), 279–315. https://doi.org/10.4310/jdg/1214437665
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CombinatoricsGroup TheoryNumber Theory·Captain: Lucas

Landau's Function: Growth of the Maximal Order of a PermutationResearch Paper

Motivation

How large can the order of a single permutation of nnn objects be? The answer, Landau's function g(n)g(n)g(n), is a basic invariant of the symmetric group SnS_nSn​: it is the maximum number of times a permutation can be iterated before it returns to the identity. Because the order of a permutation is the least common multiple of its cycle lengths, g(n)g(n)g(n) is also the largest least common multiple of the parts of a partition of nnn, which ties the question to the distribution of prime numbers.

Timeline.

  • 1902–1903. E. Landau proved that ln⁡g(n)∼nln⁡n\ln g(n)\sim\sqrt{n\ln n}lng(n)∼nlnn​.
  • 1968. J.-L. Nicolas showed that ggg is constant on arbitrarily long runs of consecutive integers.
  • 1984. J.-P. Massias proved the explicit bound ln⁡g(n)≤1.05313836nln⁡n\ln g(n)\le 1.05313836\sqrt{n\ln n}lng(n)≤1.05313836nlnn​ for all n≥1n\ge 1n≥1.
  • 1988. Massias, Nicolas and Robin obtained a three-term asymptotic expansion of ln⁡g(n)\ln g(n)lng(n), its expression through the inverse logarithmic integral, and the equivalence of a one-sided inequality with the Riemann hypothesis.
  • 2002. K. Ford's bounds for the Riemann zeta function give the error term xexp⁡(−c(ln⁡x)3/5(ln⁡ln⁡x)−1/5)x\exp(-c(\ln x)^{3/5}(\ln\ln x)^{-1/5})xexp(−c(lnx)3/5(lnlnx)−1/5) in the prime number theorem, which can be fed into the 1988 result.

Setting

For a natural number nnn, let SnS_nSn​ be the group of all permutations of an nnn-element set. The order of σ∈Sn\sigma\in S_nσ∈Sn​ is the least k≥1k\ge 1k≥1 with σk=id\sigma^k=\mathrm{id}σk=id. Landau's function is

g(n)=max⁡σ∈Snord⁡(σ).g(n)=\max_{\sigma\in S_n}\operatorname{ord}(\sigma).g(n)=σ∈Sn​max​ord(σ).

A partition of nnn is a multiset of positive integers summing to nnn. The prime counting function π(x)\pi(x)π(x) is the number of primes p≤xp\le xp≤x, the (offset) logarithmic integral is Li(x)=∫2xdtln⁡t\mathrm{Li}(x)=\int_2^x\frac{dt}{\ln t}Li(x)=∫2x​lntdt​, and Li−1\mathrm{Li}^{-1}Li−1 is its inverse on [2,∞)[2,\infty)[2,∞). Throughout, ln⁡\lnln is the natural logarithm.

Formalization targets

Goal: Landau's theorem (1902)

lim⁡n→∞ln⁡g(n)nln⁡n=1.\lim_{n\to\infty}\frac{\ln g(n)}{\sqrt{n\ln n}}=1.n→∞lim​nlnn​lng(n)​=1.

Supporting milestones

  1. Partition characterization: g(n)=max⁡{lcm⁡(λ):λ⊢n}g(n)=\max\{\operatorname{lcm}(\lambda):\lambda\vdash n\}g(n)=max{lcm(λ):λ⊢n}.
  2. Initial values g(0),…,g(8)=1,1,2,3,4,6,6,12,15g(0),\dots,g(8)=1,1,2,3,4,6,6,12,15g(0),…,g(8)=1,1,2,3,4,6,6,12,15.
  3. Nicolas (1968): for every mmm there is nnn with g(n)=g(n+1)=⋯=g(n+m)g(n)=g(n+1)=\dots=g(n+m)g(n)=g(n+1)=⋯=g(n+m).
  4. Massias–Nicolas–Robin (1988): ln⁡g(n)=nln⁡n(1+ln⁡ln⁡n−12ln⁡n−(ln⁡ln⁡n)2−6ln⁡ln⁡n+98(ln⁡n)2+O((ln⁡ln⁡nln⁡n)3))\ln g(n)=\sqrt{n\ln n}\Bigl(1+\frac{\ln\ln n-1}{2\ln n}-\frac{(\ln\ln n)^2-6\ln\ln n+9}{8(\ln n)^2}+O\bigl((\tfrac{\ln\ln n}{\ln n})^3\bigr)\Bigr)lng(n)=nlnn​(1+2lnnlnlnn−1​−8(lnn)2(lnlnn)2−6lnlnn+9​+O((lnnlnlnn​)3)).
  5. Ford (2002): π(x)−Li(x)=O(xexp⁡(−c(ln⁡x)3/5(ln⁡ln⁡x)−1/5))\pi(x)-\mathrm{Li}(x)=O\bigl(x\exp(-c(\ln x)^{3/5}(\ln\ln x)^{-1/5})\bigr)π(x)−Li(x)=O(xexp(−c(lnx)3/5(lnlnx)−1/5)) for some c>0c>0c>0.
  6. Massias–Nicolas–Robin (1988): if π(x)−Li(x)=O(R(x))\pi(x)-\mathrm{Li}(x)=O(R(x))π(x)−Li(x)=O(R(x)) with R(x)=xexp⁡(−c(ln⁡x)3/5(ln⁡ln⁡x)−1/5)R(x)=x\exp(-c(\ln x)^{3/5}(\ln\ln x)^{-1/5})R(x)=xexp(−c(lnx)3/5(lnlnx)−1/5), then ln⁡g(n)=Li−1(n)+O(R(nln⁡n)ln⁡n)\ln g(n)=\sqrt{\mathrm{Li}^{-1}(n)}+O\bigl(R(\sqrt{n\ln n})\ln n\bigr)lng(n)=Li−1(n)​+O(R(nlnn​)lnn).
  7. Riemann hypothesis criterion: ln⁡g(n)<Li−1(n)\ln g(n)<\sqrt{\mathrm{Li}^{-1}(n)}lng(n)<Li−1(n)​ for all large nnn   ⟺  \iff⟺ RH.
  8. g(n)≤en/eg(n)\le e^{n/e}g(n)≤en/e for all nnn, with equality only at n=0n=0n=0.
  9. Massias (1984): g(n)≤exp⁡(1.05314nln⁡n)g(n)\le\exp(1.05314\sqrt{n\ln n})g(n)≤exp(1.05314nlnn​).

Significance

Landau's theorem pins down the growth rate of the largest element order in SnS_nSn​, which bounds, for example, how long any fixed shuffle of nnn cards can be repeated before the deck returns to its starting order. The refined statements quantify the second-order behaviour and connect it to the error term in the prime number theorem; the criterion in milestone 7 is one of the known elementary reformulations of the Riemann hypothesis, and is included as a faithful statement of the source, not as an expected deliverable. The other results are proved in the literature; formalizing them requires building the partition/lcm description of element orders in SnS_nSn​ and quantitative prime-counting estimates on top of Mathlib.

Difficulty

The order of a permutation is easy to compute from its cycle type, but maximizing an lcm over all partitions is a non-linear optimization: the optimum uses prime powers whose sizes are dictated by the distribution of primes, so even the leading-order asymptotics need Chebyshev-type or prime number theorem estimates, and the refined milestones need the prime number theorem with an explicit error term.

Formalization scope

  • SnS_nSn​ is Equiv.Perm (Fin n); g(n)g(n)g(n) is the supremum of orderOf σ over the finite group (a natural number; g(0)=1g(0)=1g(0)=1).
  • Partitions are Mathlib's Nat.Partition n; the lcm of a partition is the Multiset.lcm of its parts.
  • Real logarithms use Real.log (which returns 000 at 000 and is defined for negative input); all asymptotic statements are about n→∞n\to\inftyn→∞, so the values at small nnn are irrelevant there. The bounds in milestones 8–9 are stated for every nnn and are true at n=0,1n=0,1n=0,1.
  • π(x)\pi(x)π(x) for real xxx is Nat.primeCounting ⌊x⌋₊; Li\mathrm{Li}Li is the offset logarithmic integral ∫2xdt/ln⁡t\int_2^x dt/\ln t∫2x​dt/lnt; Li−1(y)\mathrm{Li}^{-1}(y)Li−1(y) is the least x≥2x\ge2x≥2 with Li(x)≥y\mathrm{Li}(x)\ge yLi(x)≥y, which for y≥0y\ge0y≥0 is the inverse function value. Replacing Li\mathrm{Li}Li by the full integral li\mathrm{li}li changes the inverse by O(ln⁡n)O(\ln n)O(lnn) and does not affect any of the asymptotic statements.
  • The Riemann hypothesis is Mathlib's RiemannHypothesis.

Contributions of reusable infrastructure (cycle-type lcm, prime-counting error terms, the logarithmic integral) are welcome.

Selected references

  • E. Landau, Über die Maximalordnung der Permutationen gegebenen Grades, Arch. Math. Phys. Ser. 3, vol. 5, 1903.
  • J.-L. Nicolas, Sur l'ordre maximum d'un élément dans le groupe SnS_nSn​ des permutations, Acta Arithmetica 14 (1968), 315–332.
  • J.-P. Massias, Majoration explicite de l'ordre maximum d'un élément du groupe symétrique, Ann. Fac. Sci. Toulouse Math. (5) 6 (1984), 269–281.
  • J.-P. Massias, J.-L. Nicolas, G. Robin, Évaluation asymptotique de l'ordre maximum d'un élément du groupe symétrique, Acta Arithmetica 50 (1988), 221–242.
  • K. Ford, Vinogradov's integral and bounds for the Riemann zeta function, Proc. London Math. Soc. 85 (2002), 565–633. https://doi.org/10.1112/S0024611502013655
  • W. Miller, The maximum order of an element of a finite symmetric group, Amer. Math. Monthly 94 (1987), 497–506.
  • OEIS A000793. https://oeis.org/A000793
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Economics·Captain: Lucas

Marginal Utility I: The Law of Diminishing Marginal UtilityTextbook

Motivation

Marginal utility is the change in utility (pleasure or satisfaction) that results from consuming one more unit of a good or service. It is the basic quantity of the marginalist theory of value, which explains prices and consumer choice by the additional satisfaction provided by each extra unit rather than by total usefulness. The law of diminishing marginal utility states that, other things being equal, the utility a consumer derives from additional units of a commodity goes on decreasing as the amount consumed increases; economists regard it as reflected in the concave shape of most utility functions.

Timeline. Gabriel Cramer (private letter, 1728) and Daniel Bernoulli (Specimen theoriae novae de mensura sortis, 1738) proposed that the desirability of money decreases as it accumulates, measuring it by the square root (Cramer) and the natural logarithm (Bernoulli), in order to resolve the St. Petersburg paradox. W. F. Lloyd (1833), N. W. Senior (1836), J. Dupuit (1844) and H. H. Gossen (1854) stated marginal-utility ideas with little contemporary influence. The theory entered the mainstream in the Marginal Revolution of Jevons (1862/1871), Menger (1871) and Walras (1874), and was consolidated by Marshall's Principles of Economics (1890), which treats utility as quantified. Ordinalist reformulations (Edgeworth 1881, Slutsky 1915, Hicks–Allen 1934) moved to indifference-curve analysis; cardinal utility returned with expected-utility theory (Ramsey 1926, von Neumann–Morgenstern 1944, Savage 1954), where diminishing marginal utility is linked to risk aversion.

Setting

A utility function of one quantified variable is a map U:R→RU:\mathbb R\to\mathbb RU:R→R, where ggg is the quantity of a single good and every other variable is held fixed (ceteris paribus, "c.p."). The change in utility from state s1s_1s1​ to state s2s_2s2​ is

ΔU(s1→s2)=U(s2)−U(s1).\Delta U(s_1\to s_2)=U(s_2)-U(s_1).ΔU(s1​→s2​)=U(s2​)−U(s1​).

The marginal utility at ggg is the limit of the ratio of the change in utility to the size of the change in ggg,

∂U∂g=lim⁡Δg→0ΔUΔg∣c.p.,\frac{\partial U}{\partial g}=\lim_{\Delta g\to 0}\left.\frac{\Delta U}{\Delta g}\right|_{c.p.},∂g∂U​=Δg→0lim​ΔgΔU​​c.p.​,

which mainstream neoclassical economics assumes to exist. The function UUU has diminishing marginal utility on a set DDD of quantities when

∂2U∂g2<0on D.\frac{\partial^2 U}{\partial g^2}<0\quad\text{on }D.∂g2∂2U​<0on D.

In the Lean development these are utilityChange, marginalUtility and HasDiminishingMarginalUtility in the namespace MarginalUtility.

Formalization targets

Goal: the law of diminishing marginal utility

For DDD an open interval and UUU with diminishing marginal utility on DDD:

g1<g2 in D  ⟹  ∂U∂g(g2)<∂U∂g(g1),U(x+2h)−U(x+h)<U(x+h)−U(x)  (h>0, x,x+2h∈D).g_1<g_2 \text{ in } D\;\Longrightarrow\; \frac{\partial U}{\partial g}(g_2)<\frac{\partial U}{\partial g}(g_1),\qquad U(x+2h)-U(x+h)<U(x+h)-U(x)\ \ (h>0,\ x,x+2h\in D).g1​<g2​ in D⟹∂g∂U​(g2​)<∂g∂U​(g1​),U(x+2h)−U(x+h)<U(x+h)−U(x)  (h>0, x,x+2h∈D).

The first clause is the law as stated ("marginal utility goes on decreasing"); the second is its reading in terms of successive equal gains.

Milestones

  1. Marginal utility is the limit of ΔU/Δg\Delta U/\Delta gΔU/Δg wherever UUU is differentiable.
  2. Positive marginal utility on an interval makes utility strictly increasing there; negative marginal utility makes it strictly decreasing.
  3. Diminishing marginal utility makes marginal utility strictly decreasing.
  4. Diminishing marginal utility makes UUU strictly concave.
  5. For a strictly concave UUU, each equal gain adds strictly less utility than the previous one.
  6. If marginal utility reaches zero at x0x_0x0​, total utility is maximal at x0x_0x0​ and marginal utility is negative beyond x0x_0x0​.
  7. Bernoulli's log⁡x\log xlogx and Cramer's x\sqrt xx​ have diminishing marginal utility on (0,∞)(0,\infty)(0,∞).

Significance

The law underlies the marginalist explanation of demand, the resolution of the water–diamond paradox, and, through the concavity of utility, the modelling of risk aversion in expected-utility theory. The concave-shape and satiation statements are the forms in which the law is used in consumer theory: under diminishing marginal utility, total utility is maximal exactly where marginal utility vanishes.

The mathematical content is classical single-variable calculus and is fully known. What this mission adds is a precise, machine-checked dictionary between the economic vocabulary ("marginal utility", "diminishing", "concave shape", "satiation") and standard analytic statements, on which later missions about consumer choice and risk aversion can build.

Difficulty

None of the statements is deep. The care required is in the hypotheses: the law is a statement about an open interval of quantities, marginal utility only makes sense where UUU is differentiable, and mere (non-strict) concavity gives only non-strict decrease of successive gains. The source's verbal statements must be matched exactly in strength (strict versus non-strict inequalities) and in domain.

Formalization scope

Utility is a function U:R→RU:\mathbb R\to\mathbb RU:R→R of one real quantity; the domain of interest is an open convex set D⊆RD\subseteq\mathbb RD⊆R (an open interval, possibly unbounded), passed as a hypothesis. Marginal utility is deriv U, which Lean sets to 000 where UUU is not differentiable; every statement that uses it assumes the needed differentiability. Diminishing marginal utility means UUU and U′U'U′ are differentiable on DDD and U′′<0U''<0U′′<0 on DDD. A statement that only assumed U′′<0U''<0U′′<0 without differentiability would be weaker than intended, because of the value-000 convention; the definition rules this out. Multivariate utility, ordinal utility and the qualitative assumptions listed in the source (identical units, constant tastes, and so on) are outside the scope of this mission. Proofs may use Mathlib's one-variable calculus and convexity libraries freely.

Selected references

  • Wikipedia, Marginal utility. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Marginal_utility
  • D. Bernoulli, Specimen theoriae novae de mensura sortis (1738); English translation: Exposition of a New Theory on the Measurement of Risk, Econometrica 22 (1954) 23–36. https://doi.org/10.2307/1909829
  • A. Marshall, Principles of Economics, Macmillan, 1890.
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Mathematical Physics·Captain: Lucas

Second Law of Thermodynamics (Wikipedia) I: Carnot's Theorem and the Thermodynamic Temperature ScaleTextbook

Motivation

The second law of thermodynamics is a physical law based on universal empirical observation concerning heat and energy interconversions. Two of its classical statements are impossibility statements about machines. Rudolf Clausius (1854): "Heat can never pass from a colder to a warmer body without some other change, connected therewith, occurring at the same time." Lord Kelvin: "It is impossible for any system to operate in a thermodynamic cycle and deliver a net amount of energy by work to its surroundings while receiving energy by heat transfer from a single thermal reservoir." The Wikipedia article Second law of thermodynamics records that these two have been shown to be equivalent.

The law is not only prohibitive. Sadi Carnot's analysis of heat engines (1824) yields an upper bound on the efficiency of any engine running between two heat reservoirs, attained by reversible engines and strictly missed by irreversible ones, and — crucially — the same for all reversible engines whatever the working substance. That substance-independence is what makes a thermodynamic temperature possible: as the article puts it, "The second law allows a distinguished temperature scale, which defines an absolute, thermodynamic temperature, independent of the properties of any particular reference thermometric body."

This mission formalizes that chain: from the two impossibility statements, through Carnot's theorem, to the existence and uniqueness of the absolute temperature scale normalized by the Kelvin convention at the triple point of water.

Setting

A cyclically operating device is recorded by the heat it exchanges with thermal reservoirs over one complete cycle. Reservoirs are labelled by empirical temperature, an element of a linearly ordered type Θ\ThetaΘ (s<ts<ts<t: the reservoir at sss is colder). A cycle is a finitely supported function c:Θ→Rc:\Theta\to\mathbb Rc:Θ→R, where c(t)c(t)c(t) is the net heat absorbed by the device from the reservoir at ttt (negative if rejected). Because the device returns to its initial state, the first law makes the net work delivered equal to the total heat absorbed:

W(c)=∑tc(t).W(c)=\sum_{t}c(t).W(c)=t∑​c(t).

The cycles that can actually be realized form a set C\mathcal CC, assumed to be a convex cone: the null cycle is realizable; two realizable devices can be run side by side, their heat exchanges adding; and a realizable device can be scaled by any factor r≥0r\ge0r≥0. A cycle is reversible when c∈Cc\in\mathcal Cc∈C and −c∈C-c\in\mathcal C−c∈C, and operates between hhh and kkk when it exchanges heat with no other reservoir. A Carnot engine between a hot hhh and a cold kkk is a reversible cycle operating between them with c(h)>0c(h)>0c(h)>0, c(k)<0c(k)<0c(k)<0 and W(c)>0W(c)>0W(c)>0. The efficiency relative to the hot reservoir is η=W(c)/c(h)\eta=W(c)/c(h)η=W(c)/c(h).

In this language:

  • Clausius statement. For k<hk<hk<h: every realizable cycle operating between hhh and kkk with W(c)=0W(c)=0W(c)=0 satisfies c(k)≤0c(k)\le0c(k)≤0.
  • Kelvin statement. Every realizable cycle exchanging heat with a single reservoir satisfies W(c)≤0W(c)\le0W(c)≤0.
  • C\mathcal CC admits Carnot engines when a Carnot engine exists between every pair of reservoirs at different temperatures.

Formalization targets

Goal: the thermodynamic temperature scale

Assume C\mathcal CC is a convex cone satisfying the Clausius statement and admitting Carnot engines, and fix a reference reservoir T0T_0T0​. Then there is exactly one T:Θ→RT:\Theta\to\mathbb RT:Θ→R with

T>0,T(T0)=273.16,∣e(k)∣∣e(h)∣=T(k)T(h)for every Carnot engine e between k<h.T>0,\qquad T(T_0)=273.16,\qquad \frac{|e(k)|}{|e(h)|}=\frac{T(k)}{T(h)}\quad\text{for every Carnot engine } e \text{ between } k<h.T>0,T(T0​)=273.16,∣e(h)∣∣e(k)∣​=T(h)T(k)​for every Carnot engine e between k<h.

The content is that the left-hand ratio, a property of an engine, depends on the engine only through its two reservoirs, and does so as a ratio of numbers attached to the reservoirs. The normalization 273.16273.16273.16 at T0T_0T0​ is the Kelvin convention; as the article notes, "any reference temperature and any positive numerical value could be used".

The two impossibility statements

Clausius(C)  ⟺  Kelvin(C)\text{Clausius}(\mathcal C)\iff\text{Kelvin}(\mathcal C)Clausius(C)⟺Kelvin(C)

for a convex cone admitting Carnot engines over at least two reservoir temperatures.

Carnot's theorem

For k<hk<hk<h and a Carnot engine eee between them, every realizable engine ccc between the same two reservoirs satisfies η(c)≤η(e)\eta(c)\le\eta(e)η(c)≤η(e), with strict inequality when ccc is irreversible (−c∉C-c\notin\mathcal C−c∈/C); and any two Carnot engines between hhh and kkk have equal efficiency.

Significance

The goal makes explicit which features of the realizable processes are used when a textbook defines absolute temperature. The three hypotheses — convex cone, Clausius statement, existence of Carnot engines — are exactly what the derivation needs; the working substance, the equation of state, and the mechanism of a device never appear. Uniqueness is the part that is usually left implicit: the Kelvin normalization at one reservoir pins the scale completely.

The milestones follow the article's own order: equation (1) for the efficiency of an arbitrary engine; the equivalence of the Clausius and Kelvin statements; the three clauses of Carnot's theorem; the composition law f(T1,T3)=f(T1,T2)f(T2,T3)f(T_1,T_3)=f(T_1,T_2)f(T_2,T_3)f(T1​,T3​)=f(T1​,T2​)f(T2​,T3​) for the reversible heat ratio across an intermediate reservoir; the conversion of that law into a scale; and the resulting Carnot efficiency η=1−TC/TH\eta=1-T_{\mathrm C}/T_{\mathrm H}η=1−TC​/TH​.

Difficulty

The mathematics is elementary — convex cones in a space of finitely supported real functions, and one functional equation — but the bookkeeping is where faithfulness is won or lost. Carnot's theorem is proved by scaling a candidate engine against a reversed Carnot engine so that the composite does no net work, which makes the Clausius statement applicable; the equality case has to identify the candidate as a positive multiple of the Carnot engine before concluding that it is reversible. The composition law requires the intermediate reservoir to be exactly balanced, so that the composite is again a two-reservoir engine — the article's remark that "the heat q2q_2q2​ flown from the engine 2 to the intermediate reservoir must be equal to the heat q2∗q_2^*q2∗​ flown out from the reservoir to the engine 3". The functional equation must be solved without assuming the reference reservoir is the hottest or the coldest, so the scale is defined by f(T0,⋅)f(T_0,\cdot)f(T0​,⋅) below T0T_0T0​ and by 1/f(⋅,T0)1/f(\cdot,T_0)1/f(⋅,T0​) above it, and the composition law is applied in four different orderings.

Formalization scope

  • Reservoir temperatures form an arbitrary linearly ordered type; the order is the empirical hotter/colder relation and nothing else is assumed of it.
  • Heat is positive into the device. Work is the sum of the heats, which is the first law for a cycle; the first law is therefore built into the model rather than stated.
  • A device is recorded only by its heat exchanges. Working substance, the states traversed, quasi-staticity and the internal construction do not appear; "reversible" means exactly that the reversed heat exchange pattern is also realizable.
  • The Clausius statement is formalized for a cycle with zero net work exchanging heat with exactly two reservoirs: that is the article's "without some other change, connected therewith, occurring at the same time".
  • Out of scope for this mission: the Clausius inequality ∮δQ/Tsurr≤0\oint \delta Q/T_{\mathrm{surr}}\le0∮δQ/Tsurr​≤0, the definition of entropy as a state function, Carathéodory's and Planck's formulations, the statistical-mechanical derivations, and the Clausius–Duhem inequality for continua.

Selected references

  • Wikipedia, Second law of thermodynamics, revision oldid=1378607758. https://en.wikipedia.org/w/index.php?title=Second_law_of_thermodynamics&oldid=1378607758
  • S. Carnot, Réflexions sur la puissance motrice du feu, 1824.
  • R. Clausius, Über eine veränderte Form des zweiten Hauptsatzes der mechanischen Wärmetheorie, Annalen der Physik 93 (1854), 481–506.
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Differential GeometryMathematical Physics·Captain: Lucas

Einstein Field Equations I: Local Energy–Momentum Conservation in D DimensionsTextbook

Motivation

The Einstein field equations (EFE) are the field equations of general relativity. They relate the curvature of spacetime, encoded in the metric gμνg_{\mu\nu}gμν​, to its matter–energy content, encoded in the stress–energy tensor TμνT_{\mu\nu}Tμν​:

Gμν+Λgμν=κTμν,κ=8πGc4.G_{\mu\nu}+\Lambda g_{\mu\nu}=\kappa T_{\mu\nu},\qquad \kappa=\frac{8\pi G}{c^4}.Gμν​+Λgμν​=κTμν​,κ=c48πG​.

They were published by Einstein in 1915. A structural requirement on any such equation is that it be compatible with the local conservation of energy and momentum, ∇βTαβ=0\nabla_\beta T^{\alpha\beta}=0∇β​Tαβ=0. For the EFE this compatibility is automatic: the left-hand side is identically divergence-free by the contracted Bianchi identity, so the field equations force conservation of the right-hand side. This mission formalizes that implication together with the standard algebraic reformulations of the equations, following the Wikipedia article Einstein field equations (revision 1374672993).

Setting

Everything is written in one coordinate chart. A point is x∈RDx\in\mathbb{R}^Dx∈RD, where DDD is the spacetime dimension (not fixed to 444). A 2-tensor field is a matrix-valued function x↦Tab(x)x\mapsto T_{ab}(x)x↦Tab​(x). A metric on an open set UUU is a 2-tensor field ggg whose components are C∞C^\inftyC∞ on UUU and which is symmetric and nondegenerate at each point of UUU; gabg^{ab}gab denotes the inverse matrix. Partial derivatives ∂a\partial_a∂a​ are coordinate (Fréchet) derivatives. Using the Misner–Thorne–Wheeler (+ + +)(+\,+\,+)(+++) convention adopted by the source:

  • Christoffel symbols Γabc=12gcs(∂agsb+∂bgsa−∂sgab)\Gamma^c_{ab}=\tfrac12g^{cs}(\partial_ag_{sb}+\partial_bg_{sa}-\partial_sg_{ab})Γabc​=21​gcs(∂a​gsb​+∂b​gsa​−∂s​gab​);
  • Riemann tensor Rμαβγ=∂βΓαγμ−∂γΓαβμ+ΓσβμΓγασ−ΓσγμΓβασR^\mu{}_{\alpha\beta\gamma}=\partial_\beta\Gamma^\mu_{\alpha\gamma}-\partial_\gamma\Gamma^\mu_{\alpha\beta}+\Gamma^\mu_{\sigma\beta}\Gamma^\sigma_{\gamma\alpha}-\Gamma^\mu_{\sigma\gamma}\Gamma^\sigma_{\beta\alpha}Rμαβγ​=∂β​Γαγμ​−∂γ​Γαβμ​+Γσβμ​Γγασ​−Γσγμ​Γβασ​;
  • Ricci tensor Rμν=RαμανR_{\mu\nu}=R^\alpha{}_{\mu\alpha\nu}Rμν​=Rαμαν​, scalar curvature R=gμνRμνR=g^{\mu\nu}R_{\mu\nu}R=gμνRμν​, Einstein tensor Gμν=Rμν−12RgμνG_{\mu\nu}=R_{\mu\nu}-\tfrac12Rg_{\mu\nu}Gμν​=Rμν​−21​Rgμν​;
  • covariant derivative ∇λTμν=∂λTμν−ΓλμσTσν−ΓλνσTμσ\nabla_\lambda T_{\mu\nu}=\partial_\lambda T_{\mu\nu}-\Gamma^\sigma_{\lambda\mu}T_{\sigma\nu}-\Gamma^\sigma_{\lambda\nu}T_{\mu\sigma}∇λ​Tμν​=∂λ​Tμν​−Γλμσ​Tσν​−Γλνσ​Tμσ​ and divergence (div⁡T)μ=gνλ∇λTμν(\operatorname{div}T)_\mu=g^{\nu\lambda}\nabla_\lambda T_{\mu\nu}(divT)μ​=gνλ∇λ​Tμν​, the index-lowered form of ∇νTμν\nabla_\nu T^{\mu\nu}∇ν​Tμν;
  • the field equations on UUU: Gμν(x)+Λgμν(x)=κTμν(x)G_{\mu\nu}(x)+\Lambda g_{\mu\nu}(x)=\kappa T_{\mu\nu}(x)Gμν​(x)+Λgμν​(x)=κTμν​(x) for all x∈Ux\in Ux∈U.

Formalization targets

Goal: local energy–momentum conservation

For a smooth nondegenerate symmetric metric ggg on an open U⊆RDU\subseteq\mathbb{R}^DU⊆RD, constants G,c>0G,c>0G,c>0, κ=8πG/c4\kappa=8\pi G/c^4κ=8πG/c4, any Λ\LambdaΛ, and any TTT such that the field equations hold on UUU:

gβλ∇λTαβ=0on U.g^{\beta\lambda}\nabla_\lambda T_{\alpha\beta}=0\quad\text{on }U.gβλ∇λ​Tαβ​=0on U.

Milestones

  • Symmetry of the Einstein tensor, Gμν=GνμG_{\mu\nu}=G_{\nu\mu}Gμν​=Gνμ​.
  • Metric compatibility, ∇λgμν=0\nabla_\lambda g_{\mu\nu}=0∇λ​gμν​=0.
  • The differential Bianchi identity Rμα[βγ;ε]=0R^\mu{}_{\alpha[\beta\gamma;\varepsilon]}=0Rμα[βγ;ε]​=0.
  • The contracted Bianchi identity, Gαβ;β=0G^{\alpha\beta}{}_{;\beta}=0Gαβ;β​=0.
  • The trace of the EFE, R−D2R+DΛ=κTR-\tfrac D2R+D\Lambda=\kappa TR−2D​R+DΛ=κT.
  • Equivalence with the trace-reversed form Rμν−2D−2Λgμν=κ(Tμν−1D−2Tgμν)R_{\mu\nu}-\tfrac2{D-2}\Lambda g_{\mu\nu}=\kappa(T_{\mu\nu}-\tfrac1{D-2}Tg_{\mu\nu})Rμν​−D−22​Λgμν​=κ(Tμν​−D−21​Tgμν​) for D≠2D\neq2D=2.
  • The vacuum equations Rμν=Λgμν/(D2−1)R_{\mu\nu}=\Lambda g_{\mu\nu}/(\tfrac D2-1)Rμν​=Λgμν​/(2D​−1) when T=0T=0T=0, D≠2D\neq2D=2.
  • The cosmological term as vacuum stress–energy Tμν(vac)=−ΛκgμνT^{(\mathrm{vac})}_{\mu\nu}=-\tfrac\Lambda\kappa g_{\mu\nu}Tμν(vac)​=−κΛ​gμν​, with ρvac=−pvac=Λ/κ\rho_{\mathrm{vac}}=-p_{\mathrm{vac}}=\Lambda/\kappaρvac​=−pvac​=Λ/κ.
  • Minkowski space diag⁡(−1,1,1,1)\operatorname{diag}(-1,1,1,1)diag(−1,1,1,1) is a vacuum solution.

Significance

Conservation of TμνT_{\mu\nu}Tμν​ is a consistency condition that any relativistic field equation for gravity has to satisfy; it is also the starting point for deriving the motion of matter (for dust, the geodesic equation) from the field equations alone. The trace-reversed and vacuum forms are the ones used in practice to study vacuum solutions such as Schwarzschild and Kerr, and Einstein manifolds in geometry.

All of these results are classical and fully proved in the literature. What is not yet available is a machine-checked development of the Levi-Civita curvature calculus in coordinates suitable for these statements: Mathlib currently has no Riemann or Ricci tensor of a pseudo-Riemannian metric. The mission produces that layer and the proofs on top of it.

Difficulty

The algebraic milestones (trace, trace reversal, vacuum form, vacuum energy) only need matrix algebra and the symmetry of ggg; without symmetry the identity gμνgμν=Dg^{\mu\nu}g_{\mu\nu}=Dgμνgμν​=D fails, so symmetry is essential. The analytic core is the contracted Bianchi identity: it needs the symmetry of mixed second and third partial derivatives (Schwarz's theorem on an open set), derivatives of the matrix inverse g−1g^{-1}g−1, and lengthy index bookkeeping with sums over Fin⁡D\operatorname{Fin} DFinD. Since all objects are total functions, every derivative step must be justified by differentiability on the open set UUU, not taken for granted.

Formalization scope

  • Coordinates: RD\mathbb{R}^DRD is represented as Fin D → ℝ; tensors are Matrix (Fin D) (Fin D) ℝ-valued functions; no manifold structure. DDD is arbitrary, and no Lorentzian signature is imposed (the results hold for any nondegenerate symmetric metric, which includes the Lorentzian case).
  • Regularity: the metric components are C∞C^\inftyC∞ on the open set UUU; TTT carries no assumptions, as the field equations determine it on UUU.
  • Total-function conventions: the inverse of a singular matrix is 000 and the derivative of a non-differentiable function is 000; nondegeneracy on UUU and openness of UUU make these junk values irrelevant at points of UUU.
  • Divergence is taken on the second index; for symmetric tensors such as GGG this is the same as the first.
  • Not formalized: the Newtonian limit (it rests on approximations), the Einstein–Maxwell system, and the polynomial form.
  • Reusable output: coordinate Christoffel/Riemann/Ricci calculus, metric compatibility, Bianchi identities.

Selected references

  • Wikipedia, Einstein field equations, revision 1374672993. https://en.wikipedia.org/w/index.php?title=Einstein_field_equations&oldid=1374672993
  • C. W. Misner, K. S. Thorne, J. A. Wheeler, Gravitation, W. H. Freeman, 1973.
  • S. Carroll, Spacetime and Geometry: An Introduction to General Relativity, Addison Wesley, 2004.
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Mathematical PhysicsQuantum Error CorrectionQuantum Gravity+1·Captain: Lucas

Harlow TASI 2017: Entanglement Wedge Reconstruction, Quantum RT and JLMS are EquivalentResearch Paper

Motivation

In the AdS/CFT correspondence a quantum theory of gravity in an asymptotically anti-de Sitter spacetime is equivalent to a conformal field theory on its boundary. A central question is how local bulk physics is encoded in the boundary theory, and in particular which bulk region is described by a given boundary subregion RRR. Harlow's TASI 2017 lectures (arXiv:1802.01040) review the answer that emerged from quantum error correction: the boundary Hilbert space is a code, bulk effective field theory lives in a code subspace, and the boundary subregion RRR can reconstruct every bulk operator in its entanglement wedge. The lectures state as their main technical target the theorem that this entanglement wedge reconstruction, the quantum Ryu–Takayanagi (RT) formula with a central area operator, and the JLMS formula (equality of boundary and bulk relative entropies) are mathematically equivalent. All of these statements are finite-dimensional linear algebra, which makes them formalizable now.

Timeline. Almheiri, Dong and Harlow proposed the quantum-error-correction interpretation of AdS/CFT in 2014 (arXiv:1411.7041). Jafferis, Lewkowycz, Maldacena and Suh derived the JLMS relation in 2015 (arXiv:1512.06431), and Dong, Harlow and Wall established the implications between JLMS and reconstruction for factors in 2016 (arXiv:1601.05416). Harlow proved the general three-way equivalence for arbitrary finite-dimensional von Neumann algebras in 2016 (arXiv:1607.03901, Comm. Math. Phys. 2017). The TASI lectures (2017, published 2018) present this theorem as Theorem 5.2.

Setting

All Hilbert spaces are finite-dimensional. The boundary space factorizes as H=HR⊗HR‾\mathcal H=\mathcal H_R\otimes\mathcal H_{\overline R}H=HR​⊗HR​. A code subspace Hcode⊆H\mathcal H_{code}\subseteq\mathcal HHcode​⊆H is described by an isometry VVV whose columns ∣i~⟩|\tilde i\rangle∣i~⟩ are an orthonormal basis of Hcode\mathcal H_{code}Hcode​. An operator ORO_ROR​ on HR\mathcal H_RHR​ represents a logical operator O~\tilde OO~ if OR∣ψ~⟩=O~∣ψ~⟩O_R|\tilde\psi\rangle=\tilde O|\tilde\psi\rangleOR​∣ψ~​⟩=O~∣ψ~​⟩ and OR†∣ψ~⟩=O~†∣ψ~⟩O_R^\dagger|\tilde\psi\rangle=\tilde O^\dagger|\tilde\psi\rangleOR†​∣ψ~​⟩=O~†∣ψ~​⟩ for every code state.

A von Neumann algebra MMM on Hcode\mathcal H_{code}Hcode​ is a set of operators closed under sums, products and adjoints and containing all multiples of the identity; M′M'M′ is its commutant and ZM=M∩M′Z_M=M\cap M'ZM​=M∩M′ its center. Every such MMM is block diagonal, Hcode=⨁αHrα⊗Hr‾α\mathcal H_{code}=\bigoplus_\alpha\mathcal H_{r_\alpha}\otimes\mathcal H_{\overline r_\alpha}Hcode​=⨁α​Hrα​​⊗Hrα​​ with M=⨁αL(Hrα)⊗Ir‾αM=\bigoplus_\alpha\mathcal L(\mathcal H_{r_\alpha})\otimes I_{\overline r_\alpha}M=⨁α​L(Hrα​​)⊗Irα​​. For a state ρ~\tilde\rhoρ~​ with diagonal blocks pαρ~rαr‾αp_\alpha\tilde\rho_{r_\alpha\overline r_\alpha}pα​ρ~​rα​rα​​, the algebraic entropy is S(ρ~,M)=−∑αpαlog⁡pα+∑αpαS(ρ~rα)S(\tilde\rho,M)=-\sum_\alpha p_\alpha\log p_\alpha+\sum_\alpha p_\alpha S(\tilde\rho_{r_\alpha})S(ρ~​,M)=−∑α​pα​logpα​+∑α​pα​S(ρ~​rα​​), and the algebraic relative entropy S(ρ~∣σ~,M)S(\tilde\rho|\tilde\sigma,M)S(ρ~​∣σ~,M) is defined analogously (eqs. (5.16), (5.18)).

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem 5.2 (entanglement wedge reconstruction theorem)

For Hcode⊆HR⊗HR‾\mathcal H_{code}\subseteq\mathcal H_R\otimes\mathcal H_{\overline R}Hcode​⊆HR​⊗HR​ and a von Neumann algebra MMM on Hcode\mathcal H_{code}Hcode​, the following are equivalent:

(1) every O~∈M is represented on R and every O~′∈M′ on R‾;\text{(1) every } \tilde O\in M \text{ is represented on } R \text{ and every } \tilde O'\in M' \text{ on } \overline R;(1) every O~∈M is represented on R and every O~′∈M′ on R; (2) ∃ LR∈ZM: S(ρ~R)=Tr(ρ~LR)+S(ρ~,M),  S(ρ~R‾)=Tr(ρ~LR)+S(ρ~,M′)  ∀ρ~;\text{(2) } \exists\,\mathcal L_R\in Z_M:\ S(\tilde\rho_R)=\mathrm{Tr}(\tilde\rho\mathcal L_R)+S(\tilde\rho,M),\ \ S(\tilde\rho_{\overline R})=\mathrm{Tr}(\tilde\rho\mathcal L_R)+S(\tilde\rho,M')\ \ \forall\tilde\rho;(2) ∃LR​∈ZM​: S(ρ~​R​)=Tr(ρ~​LR​)+S(ρ~​,M),  S(ρ~​R​)=Tr(ρ~​LR​)+S(ρ~​,M′)  ∀ρ~​; (3) S(ρ~R∣σ~R)=S(ρ~∣σ~,M),  S(ρ~R‾∣σ~R‾)=S(ρ~∣σ~,M′)  ∀ρ~,σ~.\text{(3) } S(\tilde\rho_R|\tilde\sigma_R)=S(\tilde\rho|\tilde\sigma,M),\ \ S(\tilde\rho_{\overline R}|\tilde\sigma_{\overline R})=S(\tilde\rho|\tilde\sigma,M')\ \ \forall\tilde\rho,\tilde\sigma.(3) S(ρ~​R​∣σ~R​)=S(ρ~​∣σ~,M),  S(ρ~​R​∣σ~R​)=S(ρ~​∣σ~,M′)  ∀ρ~​,σ~.

Milestones

  • Theorem 4.1: four equivalent characterizations of a correctable erasure of R‾\overline RR (operator reconstruction on RRR; PXR‾P=λPPX_{\overline R}P=\lambda PPXR​P=λP; decoupling of a reference system from R‾\overline RR; the explicit encoding ∣i~⟩=UR(∣i⟩R1∣χ⟩R2R‾)|\tilde i\rangle=U_R(|i\rangle_{R_1}|\chi\rangle_{R_2\overline R})∣i~⟩=UR​(∣i⟩R1​​∣χ⟩R2​R​)).
  • Eq. (4.25): the quantum Singleton bound m≥n+k2m\ge\frac{n+k}{2}m≥2n+k​ for codes whose accessibility depends only on the number of qudits.
  • Theorem 5.1: every von Neumann algebra on a finite-dimensional Hilbert space is a block-diagonal direct sum of factors, with the matching descriptions of M′M'M′ and ZMZ_MZM​.

Significance

Theorem 5.2 turns three separately motivated features of holography into a single mathematical statement. Since the RT formula is independently derived from the gravitational path integral, the theorem implies subregion duality in the entanglement wedge; it also shows that a non-trivial area operator requires an algebra with non-trivial center. Theorem 4.1 is the subsystem-code special case, and Theorem 5.1 is the structure result that gives the algebraic entropies their meaning.

The results are proved in the literature (Harlow 2017 for Theorem 5.2; Theorems 4.1 and 5.1 are standard), but the lectures state Theorem 5.2 without proof, and none of these statements has a machine-checked proof that this mission is aware of. The mission produces formal statements and, eventually, formal proofs of the finite-dimensional structure theory of operator-algebra quantum error correction.

Difficulty

The three conditions live at different levels: (1) is a statement about operators, (2) about von Neumann entropies of single states, and (3) about relative entropies of pairs of states. Passing between them requires control of the full block structure of MMM relative to the bipartition RR‾R\overline RRR, not only of a single factor, and the classical term ∑αpαlog⁡(pα/qα)\sum_\alpha p_\alpha\log(p_\alpha/q_\alpha)∑α​pα​log(pα​/qα​) of (5.18) couples different blocks, so the general case does not reduce to the factor case treated earlier in the literature. Relative entropies can be infinite (when supports are not nested), so the equalities in (3) are equalities of extended reals and every argument must remain valid at +∞+\infty+∞.

Formalization scope

Hilbert spaces are coordinate spaces Cι\mathbb C^{\iota}Cι for finite index types, operators are complex matrices, tensor products are Kronecker products, and Hcode\mathcal H_{code}Hcode​ is the image of an isometry VVV (an operator ORO_ROR​ acts on code states as OR⊗IR‾O_R\otimes I_{\overline R}OR​⊗IR​ applied to VVV). States are density matrices (positive semidefinite, trace one). Von Neumann entropy and relative entropy are defined from eigen-decompositions; relative entropy takes values in the extended reals. A von Neumann algebra is a ∗*∗-subalgebra of matrices; the algebraic entropies are computed in a block decomposition UUU of MMM, which every statement takes as an arbitrary decomposition realizing MMM (the value does not depend on the choice). The RT identity is stated as an equality of complex numbers. Theorem 4.1 assumes a nonzero code subspace; the Singleton bound assumes d≥2d\ge2d≥2 and k≥1k\ge1k≥1; both conditions are implicit in the lectures and are needed for the statements to be true.

A trivializing reading is excluded: the hypotheses of every statement are satisfiable, and the goal is a full equivalence of three non-trivial conditions rather than any single implication.

Useful reusable infrastructure: partial traces and their interaction with Kronecker products, entropies of block-diagonal states, relative entropy (Klein's inequality and its equality case), and the structure theory of finite-dimensional ∗*∗-algebras of matrices. Contributions of proofs of the individual implications (1)⇒(2), (2)⇒(3), (3)⇒(1) as sketches are welcome.

Selected references

  • D. Harlow, TASI Lectures on the Emergence of Bulk Physics in AdS/CFT, PoS(TASI2017)002, 2018. https://arxiv.org/abs/1802.01040
  • D. Harlow, The Ryu–Takayanagi Formula from Quantum Error Correction, Comm. Math. Phys. 354 (2017) 865–912. https://arxiv.org/abs/1607.03901
  • A. Almheiri, X. Dong, D. Harlow, Bulk Locality and Quantum Error Correction in AdS/CFT, JHEP 04 (2015) 163. https://arxiv.org/abs/1411.7041
  • D. Jafferis, A. Lewkowycz, J. Maldacena, S. J. Suh, Relative entropy equals bulk relative entropy, JHEP 06 (2016) 004. https://arxiv.org/abs/1512.06431
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