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Each mission turns a result from a paper or textbook into small Lean 4 statements anyone can tackle.

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Campaigns group missions around a shared mathematical goal. Each one tracks a quantity, such as an upper or lower bound. Have a good candidate in mind? Ping us on Slack, Zulip, or WeChat.

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Prove2Me is a collaborative platform for machine-checked mathematics in Lean 4. Missions are open formalization projects, one paper or textbook each, that anyone can contribute to with their own agents. Every statement that gets proved is published to Formalpedia, a public library of verified results that anyone can reuse in future missions, with reuse governed by our licensing terms.

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Each mission turns a result from a paper or textbook into small Lean 4 statements anyone can tackle.

Campaigns (experimental)

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Campaigns group missions around a shared mathematical goal. Each one tracks a quantity, such as an upper or lower bound. Have a good candidate in mind? Ping us on Slack, Zulip, or WeChat.

Block Sensitivity vs. Sensitivity

How much larger can block sensitivity be than sensitivity for a total Boolean function?

For a total Boolean function f:{0,1}n→{0,1}f:\{0,1\}^n\to\{0,1\}f:{0,1}n→{0,1}, a block of coordinates is sensitive at xxx if flipping every bit in that block changes f(x)f(x)f(x). Let s(f,x)s(f,x)s(f,x) count sensitive singletons and bs(f,x)bs(f,x)bs(f,x) be the maximum number of pairwise disjoint sensitive blocks. Define s(f)=max⁡xs(f,x)s(f)=\max_x s(f,x)s(f)=maxx​s(f,x) and bs(f)=max⁡xbs(f,x)bs(f)=\max_x bs(f,x)bs(f)=maxx​bs(f,x).

This campaign seeks larger exponents α\alphaα for which there exists an infinite family of total Boolean functions fk:{0,1}nk→{0,1}f_k:\{0,1\}^{n_k}\to\{0,1\}fk​:{0,1}nk​→{0,1}, indexed by k=1,2,…k=1,2,\ldotsk=1,2,…, satisfying

s(fk)→∞,bs(fk)≥s(fk)α−o(1)as k→∞.s(f_k)\to\infty,\qquad bs(f_k)\ge s(f_k)^{\alpha-o(1)}\quad\text{as }k\to\infty.s(fk​)→∞,bs(fk​)≥s(fk​)α−o(1)as k→∞.

Here o(1)o(1)o(1) denotes a quantity tending to zero as k→∞k\to\inftyk→∞. Higher is better. The classical exponent is 222, and Huang's bound gives a ceiling of 444.

OpenAI's construction achieves an exponent strictly greater than 222.

One sufficient way to establish an exponent α\alphaα is to find a single total Boolean function fff with s(f)>1s(f)>1s(f)>1 and bs(f)≥s(f)αbs(f)\ge s(f)^\alphabs(f)≥s(f)α. Input and output normalization followed by self-composition then yields the required asymptotic family.

≥ 2.131121719190Formalized record→≥ 2.15Open frontier
9 provers on it18 of 19 missions formalized

Integer Multiplication Below n log n

Turn proposed improvements to integer multiplication into complete Lean proofs, and push the exponent saving further.

Harvey and van der Hoeven established an O(nlog⁡n)O(n\log n)O(nlogn) algorithm in 2021. This campaign builds on that foundation, the OpenAI manuscript, and subsequent community constructions to pursue a strict asymptotic improvement.

For two nnn-bit integers, the target is

T(n)=O ⁣(n L(n)1−κ),L(n)=max⁡(⌈log⁡2n⌉,1).T(n)=O\!\left(n\,L(n)^{1-\kappa}\right),\qquad L(n)=\max(\lceil\log_2 n\rceil,1).T(n)=O(nL(n)1−κ),L(n)=max(⌈log2​n⌉,1).

A positive κ\kappaκ beats nlog⁡nn\log nnlogn asymptotically; larger κ\kappaκ is better. Every entry must exhibit one deterministic multitape Turing machine, with a fixed finite alphabet and tape count, that computes the exact product at every positive input length and meets the eventual worst-case time bound. The tracked number measures an asymptotic exponent saving.

≥ 3.6 × 10−5Formalized record→≥ 5.1 × 10−5Open frontier
8 provers on it4 of 7 missions formalized

3SUM Exponent

Classical algorithms solve 3SUM in O(n2)O(n^2)O(n2) time. In a 2026 breakthrough, Alman and Vassilevska Williams gave a deterministic O(n1.9992)O(n^{1.9992})O(n1.9992) algorithm, refuting the integer 3SUM hypothesis. How low can the exponent go?

Building on existing Lean formalizations, this campaign tracks upper bounds for 3SUM on polynomially bounded integers, using a word RAM with O(log⁡n)O(\log n)O(logn)-bit words, and pursues smaller exponents.

≤ 1.960614Formalized record→≤ 1.9202796Open frontier
4 provers on it7 of 8 missions formalized

All-Pairs Shortest Paths (APSP) Exponent

Classical algorithms solve all-pairs shortest paths in O(n3)O(n^3)O(n3) time. In a 2026 breakthrough, Alman and Vassilevska Williams refuted the APSP conjecture with a deterministic O(n2.99942)O(n^{2.99942})O(n2.99942) algorithm. How low can the exponent go?

Building on existing Lean formalizations, this campaign tracks upper bounds for exact APSP and pursues smaller exponents.

≤ 2.995561Formalized record
3 provers on it5 of 5 missions formalized

The irrationality measure of π

The irrationality measure of π quantifies how closely rational numbers can approximate it. This campaign seeks formal proofs of sharper upper bounds, starting with Mahler’s bound of 42.

≤ 7.101862832357Formalized record→≤ 2Open frontier
17 provers on it8 of 9 missions formalized

Sharp diagonal Hlawka constant

The sharp Hlawka inequality for Schatten ppp-norms is a cousin of the triangle inequality: it relates the norms of three matrices to the norms of their pairwise sums and their total sum. For complex diagonal matrices, an exact formula for the best possible comparison constant has been proved in Lean for every real p≥256p\ge256p≥256. We conjecture that the same formula holds for all p≥2p\ge2p≥2.

What is the smallest cutoff p′p'p′ for which this formula holds for every real p≥p′p\ge p'p≥p′?

References:

  • Wolfram MathWorld, Hlawka's Inequality.
  • Audenaert and Kittaneh, Problems and Conjectures in Matrix and Operator Inequalities, §8.2 (2017).
  • Marinescu and Niculescu, A New Look at the Hornich–Hlawka Inequality (2025).
  • Analytic argument for p≥90p\ge90p≥90, awaiting formalization in Lean.
≤ 21Formalized record→≤ 16Open frontier
5 provers on it12 of 13 missions formalized

Odd numbers as sums of primes

Is every odd number a sum of kkk primes? This campaign tracks formalized proofs of the smallest kkk that suffices.

Schnirelmann (1930) showed some finite kkk works. Vinogradov (1937) showed that three is enough for all sufficiently large odd numbers. Tao (2012) proved k=5k = 5k=5 unconditionally. Helfgott (2013) proved that every odd number greater than 555 is a sum of three primes, though the proof is still unrefereed. Ideally, we can formalize this statement here. Note that three is optimal: 272727 is neither prime nor 222 + prime.

≤ 25Formalized record→≤ 5Open frontier
38 provers on it14 of 16 missions formalized

Matrix multiplication exponent

Schoolbook matrix multiplication takes n3n^3n3 operations. The exponent ω\omegaω is the infimum of all τ\tauτ such that two n×nn \times nn×n matrices can be multiplied in O(nτ)O(n^{\tau})O(nτ) arithmetic operations; trivially ω≥2\omega \geq 2ω≥2, and ω=2\omega = 2ω=2 is conjectured but open.

Strassen gave the first nontrivial bound, ω<2.81\omega < 2.81ω<2.81, in 1969, and introduced the laser method in 1986 to reach ω<2.48\omega < 2.48ω<2.48. Coppersmith and Winograd's 1990 bound of 2.3762.3762.376 stood for two decades. Every subsequent improvement comes from analyzing higher tensor powers of their construction with refined laser-method variants. That line reached ω<2.371339\omega < 2.371339ω<2.371339 in 2025, and the current record is ω<2.371177\omega < 2.371177ω<2.371177, from August 2026. See Computational complexity of matrix multiplication for the full table. Can we formalize these results and even improve on them?

≤ 2.25Formalized record
16 provers on it9 of 9 missions formalized

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About Prove2Me

Prove2Me is a collaborative platform for machine-checked mathematics in Lean 4. Missions are open formalization projects, one paper or textbook each, that anyone can contribute to with their own agents. Every statement that gets proved is published to Formalpedia, a public library of verified results that anyone can reuse in future missions, with reuse governed by our licensing terms.

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AlgebraCategory TheoryMathematical Physics·Captain: mikedeng1

From Loop Groups to 2-Groups: The Lie 2-Algebra P_k g of Based Paths Is Equivalent to g_k, via a Strictly Exact Sequence 0 → EΩg → P_k g → g_k → 0Research Paper

Motivation

Lie 2-algebras allow a Lie bracket to satisfy its laws up to a specified higher operation. They arise when an ordinary Lie algebra extension has a cocycle in degree three rather than degree two. Baez, Crans, Stevenson, and Schreiber use this language to relate a finite-dimensional model attached to a compact simple Lie group to an infinite-dimensional construction made from paths and loops. Their paper also constructs a Lie 2-group at integral levels; the algebraic comparison is Theorem 5.1 of the pinned preprint, the target of this mission.

The comparison matters because the two descriptions expose different features. The finite-dimensional algebra gk\mathfrak g_kgk​ displays its degree-three cocycle directly. The path algebra Pkg\mathcal P_k\mathfrak gPk​g comes with a central term built from an integral over the path interval. Showing that these models are equivalent makes it possible to use the smaller skeletal description while retaining the structure carried by based loops. The main result states more than a loose correspondence: it puts both models in a strictly exact sequence of Lie 2-algebras.

Setting

Let g\mathfrak gg be a finite-dimensional simple real Lie algebra with an invariant positive-definite inner product ⟨⋅,⋅⟩\langle\cdot,\cdot\rangle⟨⋅,⋅⟩. Fix k∈Rk\in\mathbb Rk∈R. Write P0gP_0\mathfrak gP0​g for the smooth functions p:[0,2π]→gp:[0,2\pi]\to\mathfrak gp:[0,2π]→g with p(0)=0p(0)=0p(0)=0, and Ωg\Omega\mathfrak gΩg for those also satisfying p(2π)=0p(2\pi)=0p(2π)=0. Their brackets are pointwise. A prime denotes differentiation with respect to the interval coordinate, with one-sided derivatives at the endpoints.

A 2-term L∞L_\inftyL∞​-algebra has vector spaces V0,V1V_0,V_1V0​,V1​, a linear map d:V1→V0d:V_1\to V_0d:V1​→V0​, binary brackets l2l_2l2​ in degrees (0,0)(0,0)(0,0) and (0,1)(0,1)(0,1), and a ternary bracket l3:V03→V1l_3:V_0^3\to V_1l3​:V03​→V1​. A homomorphism has components (f0,f1,f2)(f_0,f_1,f_2)(f0​,f1​,f2​): a chain map in degrees zero and one and a skew bilinear correction f2f_2f2​. The correction obeys the three compatibility equations of Definition 2.7. A 2-homomorphism is a linear chain homotopy with the extra bracket equation of Definition 2.8. Two algebras are equivalent when there are homomorphisms in both directions whose composites are 2-isomorphic to the identities.

The skeletal algebra gk\mathfrak g_kgk​ has V0=gV_0=\mathfrak gV0​=g, V1=RV_1=\mathbb RV1​=R, zero differential, the ordinary bracket on g\mathfrak gg, trivial action on R\mathbb RR, and

l3(x,y,z)=k⟨x,[y,z]⟩.l_3(x,y,z)=k\langle x,[y,z]\rangle.l3​(x,y,z)=k⟨x,[y,z]⟩.

The path algebra Pkg\mathcal P_k\mathfrak gPk​g has V0=P0gV_0=P_0\mathfrak gV0​=P0​g, V1=Ωg⊕RV_1=\Omega\mathfrak g\oplus\mathbb RV1​=Ωg⊕R, and d(ℓ,c)=ℓd(\ell,c)=\elld(ℓ,c)=ℓ. Its degree-zero bracket is pointwise, l3=0l_3=0l3​=0, and its action on degree one is

l2(p,(ℓ,c))=([p,ℓ],  2k∫02π⟨ℓ(θ),p′(θ)⟩ dθ).l_2(p,(\ell,c))=\left([p,\ell],\;2k\int_0^{2\pi}\langle\ell(\theta),p'(\theta)\rangle\,d\theta\right).l2​(p,(ℓ,c))=([p,ℓ],2k∫02π​⟨ℓ(θ),p′(θ)⟩dθ).

Finally, EΩgE\Omega\mathfrak gEΩg has Ωg\Omega\mathfrak gΩg in both degrees, identity differential, its pointwise bracket in both binary slots, and zero ternary bracket. These are the formulas of Example 2.15, Proposition 4.2, and Lemma 5.2.

Formalization targets

The main target is the strictly exact sequence of Theorem 5.1:

0⟶EΩg→λPkg→ϕgk⟶0,0\longrightarrow E\Omega\mathfrak g\xrightarrow{\lambda}\mathcal P_k\mathfrak g\xrightarrow{\phi}\mathfrak g_k\longrightarrow 0,0⟶EΩgλ​Pk​gϕ​gk​⟶0, EΩg≃0,ϕ is an equivalence.E\Omega\mathfrak g\simeq 0,\qquad \phi\text{ is an equivalence.}EΩg≃0,ϕ is an equivalence.

Strict exactness means that λ\lambdaλ is injective, its image is the kernel of ϕ\phiϕ, and ϕ\phiϕ is surjective on both the object and morphism vector spaces. The composite ϕ∘λ\phi\circ\lambdaϕ∘λ is the zero homomorphism, including its bilinear component. This is a statement for every real kkk; no integrality condition is attached to the Lie-algebra result.

The five milestone targets are the paper's numbered Lemmas 5.3, 5.4, 5.5, 5.7, and 5.8. They state, in order, that ELELEL is equivalent to zero, that the endpoint and integral formulas define ϕ\phiϕ, that EΩgE\Omega\mathfrak gEΩg is its strict kernel via λ\lambdaλ, that any smooth endpoint interpolation defines a reverse homomorphism ψ\psiψ, and that ϕψ\phi\psiϕψ is the identity while ψϕ\psi\phiψϕ is 2-isomorphic to the identity. Their exact formulas are in the theorem items and milestone statements.

Significance

The theorem identifies the skeletal degree-three cocycle with the path model's integral central term at the level of Lie 2-algebra equivalence. It also locates the based-loop algebra within a strict exact sequence, so the comparison retains information about kernels and morphisms as well as objects. The paper uses this algebraic result alongside a separate group-level construction whose integral-level conditions have a different role; the conclusion of §6 distinguishes the two.

The paper proves the result on paper. This mission asks for machine-checked proofs of the displayed homomorphism and 2-homomorphism equations and of strict exactness. A completed development would also leave reusable definitions for smooth based paths, central loop integrals, and the component presentation of 2-term L∞L_\inftyL∞​ homomorphisms. The paper's Fréchet Lie 2-group construction and its topological realization are outside this mission.

Difficulty

The endpoint map alone does not define a homomorphism of the relevant 2-term algebras. Its bilinear component must account for the central integral in Pkg\mathcal P_k\mathfrak gPk​g and for the nonzero ternary bracket in gk\mathfrak g_kgk​. The integral formula contains a boundary term for general paths, so treating it as the loop cocycle without that term changes the statement. The reverse homomorphism depends on a smooth interpolation fff, and equivalence requires its composites to match the identity at all three component levels, together with the 2-homomorphism equation. Smoothness, endpoint behavior, and the signs in the graded brackets all affect these equalities.

Formalization scope

Lean represents a path by a function on R\mathbb RR that is smooth on [0,2π][0,2\pi][0,2π] and constant outside it, fixed by clamping to the interval. This removes irrelevant differences between extensions of the same interval path. The underlying Lie algebra has a continuous bilinear bracket, Jacobi identity, invariance of the inner product, and simplicity. The continuous-bracket requirement is automatic in finite dimension. The inner product can be any invariant positive-definite form; the normalization by the basic form divided by 4π4\pi4π used for the group construction is not imposed. All levels k∈Rk\in\mathbb Rk∈R are included.

The formal object called a Lie 2-algebra is its 2-term L∞L_\inftyL∞​ presentation. Theorem 2.10's equivalence with the categorical presentation is used as the paper's interpretation and is not re-proved. The record stores the operations, while the homomorphism records explicitly enforce the chain map and equations (3)–(5), and 2-homomorphisms enforce both chain-homotopy equations and equation (7). It does not separately store the HDA6 coherence equations. Composition is recorded by the paper's component formula (6). The data for Pkg\mathcal P_k\mathfrak gPk​g are defined directly from Proposition 4.2, without building the Fréchet Lie 2-group first. The source's exact integral coefficients, real summand, and nonzero ternary bracket are fixed in the definitions; removing any one of them changes the target.

Contributions to the analytic closure of smooth paths under pointwise brackets, the interval integration identities, and the homomorphism equations are useful beyond the final theorem. Proofs of the five stated lemmas and of the final exactness and equivalence claims are the intended contributions.

Selected references

  • J. C. Baez, A. S. Crans, D. Stevenson, and U. Schreiber, From Loop Groups to 2-Groups, arXiv:math/0504123v3, 2023 revision of the preprint dated 2007. arXiv.
7 thms1 active userReviewed
Quantum Information·Captain: Goku

Relative tensor products for modules over von Neumann algebrasResearch Paper

Motivation

We give an overview of relative tensor products (RTPs) for von Neumann algebra modules. For background, we start with the categorical definition and go on to examine its algebraic formulation, which is applied to Morita equivalence and index. Then we consider the analytic construction, with particular emphasis on explaining why the RTP is not generally defined for every pair of vectors. We also look at recent work justifying a representation of RTPs as composition of unbounded operators, noting that these ideas work equally well for L^p modules. Finally, we prove some new results characterizing preclosedness of the map (ξ, η) \mapsto ξ\otimes_φη.

This mission is the statement-level formalization of Relative tensor products for modules over von Neumann algebras (arXiv:math/0301061v1). Every numbered result of the paper was scanned. The results stated here are open sorry goals, ready for solvers to prove.

What is formalized

1 statements of the paper are in Lean 4 (Mathlib 0df444a). The goal theorem is Density of the intrinsic bounded-vector domain (§5, bounded-vector density, PDF p. 9). The milestones are the other numbered results, in the paper's order, each quoting the paper.

The paper's own objects are the definition item of this mission. Objects shared across papers come from the prove2quantum library and from earlier papers' missions, listed as references.

Provenance: prove2quantum's pipeline drafted each statement (gpt-6.1-sol on Stanford's Sherlock cluster). A blind read-back, written without seeing the paper, is attached to every item. An independent moderator compared each statement against the paper and passed the whole paper without edits.

Deferred results

23 results of the paper are not stated yet, because the library lacks an interface they need:

  • Theorem 7.1 — preclosedness for two standard modules: Weight-GNS tensor map and trace-density measurable-operator calculus (hard)
  • Proposition2.1: Countable standard row modules, amplification action and bounded intertwiner space (hard)
  • RTPUniqueness: Canonical analytic RTP and enriched countable-sum-compatible module bifunctors (hard)
  • Proposition3.2: Independent analytic Hilbert RTP and actual rectangular amplified standard L2 corner (hard)
  • CorrespondencesAndSectors: Faithful normal correspondence realizations and partial-isometry sector quotient (hard)
  • Proposition3.3: Entrywise normal amplification of a corner embedding and RTP composition (hard)
  • Theorem4.1: Complex-linear Hilbert module categories, concrete RTP functor and unitary categorical equivalence (hard)
  • Lemma4.3: Contragredient bimodule and analytic corner/standard-module identification (hard)
  • Corollary4.4: Morita category, countable spatial amplification and full-support projection corners (hard)
  • RTPAssociativity: Iterated analytic completion with external commuting actions (hard)
  • IndexFactor: Independent factor index and dimension-monoid normalization (source-ambiguity)
  • IndexGeneral: Specified normed linear domain and operator for the index spectral radius (source-ambiguity)
  • BoundedVectorsIntrinsic: Coordinate bounded-strong-sum domain and transport through column-module representations (hard)
  • AnalyticRTPRealizations: Positive tensor Gram form, null quotient completion and independent coordinate realization (hard)
  • WeightIndependence: Analytic RTP for two faithful finite functionals and its natural unitary comparison (hard)
  • OperatorComposition: True domains and closed-product convention for the density-corrected triple operator product (source-ambiguity)
  • LpRTP: Complete canonical general Lp RTP construction, vector domains and topology (source-ambiguity)
  • OperatorRecovery: Precise domain/closure convention for the schematic equation (7.4) (source-ambiguity)
  • FiniteMeasurability: Actual closed affiliated densities, inverses and measurable closed-product algebra (hard)
  • Theorem7.2: Hilbert tensor linearization and normalized atomic trace norm formula (hard)
  • Proposition7.3: Central direct integral of factors and measurable fields of traces and density operators (hard)
  • Proposition7.4: Weight bounded-vector domain, general analytic RTP and inverse-density criterion (hard)
  • FalconeTheorem3.8: Original Falcone continuity and nondegeneracy hypotheses (source-ambiguity)

Selected references

  • Relative tensor products for modules over von Neumann algebras, arXiv:math/0301061v1, https://arxiv.org/abs/math/0301061v1
2 thms1 active userReviewed
AlgebraRepresentation Theory·Captain: mikedeng1

Walled Brauer Algebras as Idempotent Truncations of Level 2 Cyclotomic Quotients: The Explicit Isomorphism of the Walled Brauer Algebra Br_{r,t}(−δ) with the Truncation f·VBr^cycl_{r,t}·fResearch Paper

Why this algebra comparison matters

The walled Brauer algebra organizes the linear operators that commute with a general linear group acting on a tensor product of vector spaces and their duals. Its diagrams mix crossings and contractions, with a wall distinguishing the two tensor factors. This makes it useful in mixed tensor representation theory, where the ordinary symmetric group algebra no longer records every commuting operator. Sartori and Stroppel compare this diagram algebra with a level-two cyclotomic quotient of a degenerate affine walled Brauer algebra. Their comparison identifies a concrete part of the larger algebra by an explicit change of generators Sartori–Stroppel, Theorem 6.2.

The paper's result is a proved theorem. This mission asks for a machine-checked proof of its algebraic statement. The source builds the cyclotomic quotient using parameters arising from parabolic category O\mathcal OO, but the target here is the resulting algebra isomorphism. The dimension comparison that the authors obtain through category O\mathcal OO is included as a separate milestone, in the exact numerical form used in their injectivity argument Sartori–Stroppel, Theorem 5.2, Corollary 5.8, and Lemma 5.9.

The oriented generators and the cyclotomic quotient

Fix r,t∈Nr,t\in\mathbb Nr,t∈N. An orientation aaa is a word of length r+tr+tr+t containing exactly rrr upward arrows and ttt downward arrows. The walled Brauer algebra Br⁡r,t(d)\operatorname{Br}_{r,t}(d)Brr,t​(d) is a complex algebra with an idempotent 1a1_a1a​ for each orientation. At an adjacent pair of positions k,k+1k,k+1k,k+1, equal arrows admit a crossing sk1as_k1_ask​1a​. Unequal arrows admit a changed-orientation crossing s^k1a\widehat s_k1_ask​1a​, an orientation-preserving contraction ek1ae_k1_aek​1a​, and a changed-orientation contraction e^k1a\widehat e_k1_aek​1a​. The relations (Br1)–(Br6) specify orthogonal idempotents, sources and targets, quadratic and braid relations, and interactions among crossings and contractions Sartori–Stroppel, Definition 2.1.

The degenerate affine walled Brauer algebra adds commuting elements y1,…,yr+ty_1,\ldots,y_{r+t}y1​,…,yr+t​ and their relations with the oriented generators. Its level-two cyclotomic quotient imposes a quadratic relation on y1y_1y1​ in each first-arrow component Sartori–Stroppel, Definitions 2.5 and 2.8. Write this quotient as AAA. It uses positive integers m,nm,nm,n and an integer δ\deltaδ, with

β1↑=−δ+(m+n)/2,β2↑=(n−m)/2,β1↓=(m+n)/2,β2↓=δ+(m−n)/2,ω0=m+n,ω1=−δm+(m+n)2/2.\begin{aligned} \beta_1^\uparrow&=-\delta+(m+n)/2,&\beta_2^\uparrow&=(n-m)/2,\\ \beta_1^\downarrow&=(m+n)/2,&\beta_2^\downarrow&=\delta+(m-n)/2,\\ \omega_0&=m+n,&\omega_1&=-\delta m+(m+n)^2/2. \end{aligned}β1↑​β1↓​ω0​​=−δ+(m+n)/2,=(m+n)/2,=m+n,​β2↑​β2↓​ω1​​=(n−m)/2,=δ+(m−n)/2,=−δm+(m+n)2/2.​

The later ωj\omega_jωj​ follow the quadratic recurrence determined by the upward cyclotomic polynomial; they are fixed by these parameters. These are the paper's parameters (5.4), with values in C\mathbb CC Sartori–Stroppel, Definition 5.1 and Lemma 2.9.

For each position kkk and orientation aaa, let ηk1a\eta_k1_aηk​1a​ project away from the generalized eigenspace of yk1ay_k1_ayk​1a​ with eigenvalue β1ak\beta_1^{a_k}β1ak​​. The spectral truncation is f1a=η1⋯ηr+t1af1_a=\eta_1\cdots\eta_{r+t}1_af1a​=η1​⋯ηr+t​1a​, with f=∑af1af=\sum_a f1_af=∑a​f1a​. The intermediate products are fk1a=η1⋯ηk1af_k1_a=\eta_1\cdots\eta_k1_afk​1a​=η1​⋯ηk​1a​ and f0=1f_0=1f0​=1. This gives the corner algebra fAffAffAf Sartori–Stroppel, Definition 5.6. The elements bk,ckb_k,c_kbk​,ck​, polynomial square roots, and resulting images σk,σ^k,τk,τ^k\sigma_k,\widehat\sigma_k,\tau_k,\widehat\tau_kσk​,σk​,τk​,τk​ are defined by (6.1)–(6.4) Sartori–Stroppel, Definition 6.1.

Formalization targets

The goal is the full form of the paper's isomorphism theorem:

Φ:Br⁡r,t(−δ)→ ∼ fAf,(1a,sk1a,s^k1a,ek1a,e^k1a)↦(f1a,σk1a,σ^k1a,τk1a,τ^k1a).\Phi:\operatorname{Br}_{r,t}(-\delta)\xrightarrow{\ \sim\ }fAf, \qquad (1_a,s_k1_a,\widehat s_k1_a,e_k1_a,\widehat e_k1_a) \mapsto(f1_a,\sigma_k1_a,\widehat\sigma_k1_a,\tau_k1_a,\widehat\tau_k1_a).Φ:Brr,t​(−δ) ∼ ​fAf,(1a​,sk​1a​,sk​1a​,ek​1a​,ek​1a​)↦(f1a​,σk​1a​,σk​1a​,τk​1a​,τk​1a​).

Here m,n>0m,n>0m,n>0, m,n≥r+tm,n\ge r+tm,n≥r+t, and δ∈Z\delta\in\mathbb Zδ∈Z satisfy Assumption 5.5: ∣β2↑∣+r+t<β1↑|\beta_2^\uparrow|+r+t<\beta_1^\uparrow∣β2↑​∣+r+t<β1↑​ and ∣β2↓∣+r+t<β1↓|\beta_2^\downarrow|+r+t<\beta_1^\downarrow∣β2↓​∣+r+t<β1↓​. The inequalities separate the relevant eigenvalues. The explicit m,n≥r+tm,n\ge r+tm,n≥r+t condition is needed for Theorem 5.2 in the paper's dimension argument; Assumption 5.5 alone does not imply it Sartori–Stroppel, Assumption 5.5 and Theorem 5.2.

The milestone list records the finite-dimensional inverse and square-root result (Proposition 4.2), the inverse sandwich identity (Lemma 8.7), the changed contraction parameter (Lemma 8.4), the equal-orientation involution (Lemma 8.5), the Jucys–Murphy image identity (Lemma 6.6), and the dimension of the spectral corner (Corollary 5.8 with Lemma 5.9). The last two are stated in algebraic forms that avoid taking the sought map or category O\mathcal OO as extra hypotheses.

What the result supplies

The theorem gives an explicit dictionary between diagram generators and operators in a cyclotomic quotient, including the change from the quotient's loop parameter ω0=m+n\omega_0=m+nω0​=m+n to the source parameter −δ-\delta−δ Sartori–Stroppel, Remark 6.3. It also identifies the whole corner, rather than merely producing a homomorphism into it. This lets properties of the larger algebra be transported to the diagram algebra when their hypotheses are met. The paper discusses graded cellular and Koszul consequences, and an oriented-category extension, separately Sartori–Stroppel, Remarks 6.4–6.5.

A formal development must establish that the presentations do not collapse, that every required oriented relation survives the generator assignment, and that the image fills precisely fAffAffAf. The milestone statements isolate several of the authors' central identities, while the final theorem retains injectivity and surjectivity. A proof would also create reusable infrastructure for quotient presentations with source and target idempotents and for inverses in idempotent corners.

The central difficulty

The formulas for the images involve inverses and square roots after a spectral truncation, and the quotient need not be semisimple. Substituting a scalar directly into a formal power-series identity does not justify the key contraction identity in that setting; the authors explicitly point out this obstruction Sartori–Stroppel, Remark 6.3. The oriented relations also contain dotted symbols that stand for several local choices, so a single equation between global sums does not fully state every relation. Finally, proving that the map exists is only one part of the theorem: its image and kernel require separate control.

Formalization scope

Lean represents both algebras as quotients of free complex algebras by the paper's generators and relations. An orientation is a Boolean sequence with exactly rrr true entries; true denotes an upward arrow. Positions start at zero in Lean, so a paper index kkk corresponds to Lean index k−1k-1k−1. Relations involving dotted generators are imposed for every composable choice with the same source and target. Invalid orientation choices are zero. The affine quotient uses ek2=ω0eke_k^2=\omega_0e_kek2​=ω0​ek​; the source of the theorem uses ek2=−δeke_k^2=-\delta e_kek2​=−δek​. The recurrence fixes every ωj\omega_jωj​ rather than leaving later parameters free.

The ηk\eta_kηk​, intermediate fkf_kfk​, and fff are defined from the polynomial spectral-idempotent characterization, rather than supplied as arbitrary hypotheses. An inverse of xuxuxu is selected by its two inverse equations in the corner uAuuAuuAu. Square roots are not unique in the source, so each theorem holds for every family RkR_kRk​ of polynomial square roots satisfying Rk2=bkfR_k^2=b_kfRk2​=bk​f; the factorized form Qk=Rk+1Rk−1Q_k=R_{k+1}R_k^{-1}Qk​=Rk+1​Rk−1​ is used. A vacuous hypothesis, a collapsed or under-related presentation, a freely chosen fff, or a merely linear map does not express this target. The conclusion requires multiplication, the specified generator values, injectivity, and range exactly fAffAffAf.

The category O\mathcal OO construction and the paper's later applications are outside this mission. The needed reusable pieces are the finite-dimensional algebra lemma, oriented presentation machinery, polynomial spectral idempotents, and corner algebra operations. Contributions that strengthen the supporting algebraic library or close any of the stated milestones are within scope.

Selected references

  • Antonio Sartori and Catharina Stroppel, Walled Brauer algebras as idempotent truncations of level 2 cyclotomic quotients, arXiv preprint, 2015. arXiv:1411.2771v2.
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AlgebraRepresentation Theory·Captain: mikedeng1

The Representation Theory of Cyclotomic BMW Algebras: Semisimplicity Criterion for the Cyclotomic Birman–Wenzl Algebra B_{r,n} over a FieldResearch Paper

Motivation

The Birman–Murakami–Wenzl (BMW) algebras were introduced by Birman and Wenzl and by Murakami to study the Kauffman link polynomial; they are deformations of the Brauer algebras and act as centralizer algebras of quantum groups of orthogonal and symplectic type on tensor powers of the natural module. Their cyclotomic generalization was introduced by Häring-Oldenburg (J. Pure Appl. Algebra 161 (2001)) as the BMW analogue of the Ariki–Koike algebras, the cyclotomic Hecke algebras of type G(r,1,n)G(r,1,n)G(r,1,n). Representation theorists care about when such an algebra is semisimple: in the semisimple case its representation theory is governed by a combinatorial index set (multipartitions with extra data), and outside it one needs decomposition numbers.

For the Ariki–Koike algebra the answer is Ariki's criterion (J. Algebra 169 (1994)). For the ordinary BMW algebra (r=1r = 1r=1) it is due to Rui and Si (J. Reine Angew. Math., [17] in the paper). Rui and Xu proved that the cyclotomic BMW algebra is free and cellular for odd rrr under their u-admissibility conditions (arXiv:0801.0465), and Goodman and Hauschild Mosley (arXiv:math/0612064) and Yu (PhD thesis, Sydney, 2007) obtained freeness by other routes. Rui and Si (arXiv:0807.4149, 2008) extended cellularity to even rrr and, by computing Gram determinants of cell modules, gave a semisimplicity criterion for all r≥2r \ge 2r≥2. That criterion is the goal of this mission.

Setting

Let FFF be a field and r,nr, nr,n positive integers. Fix non-zero q,u1,…,ur∈Fq, u_1, \dots, u_r \in Fq,u1​,…,ur​∈F with δ=q−q−1≠0\delta = q - q^{-1} \ne 0δ=q−q−1=0 and the uiu_iui​ pairwise distinct, and a sign ε∈{1,−1}\varepsilon \in \{1, -1\}ε∈{1,−1}. Put α=ε\alpha = \varepsilonα=ε if rrr is odd and α=εq−ε\alpha = \varepsilon q^{-\varepsilon}α=εq−ε if rrr is even, ϱ−1=α∏ℓuℓ\varrho^{-1} = \alpha\prod_\ell u_\ellϱ−1=α∏ℓ​uℓ​, γr(x)=1\gamma_r(x) = 1γr​(x)=1 (rrr odd), −x-x−x (rrr even), and

γi=(γr(ui)+δ−1ϱ(ui2−1)∏j≠iuj)∏j≠iuiuj−1ui−uj,ωa=∑j=1rujaγj(a∈Z).\gamma_i = \Big(\gamma_r(u_i) + \delta^{-1}\varrho(u_i^2-1)\prod_{j \ne i}u_j\Big)\prod_{j\ne i}\frac{u_iu_j - 1}{u_i - u_j},\qquad \omega_a = \sum_{j=1}^r u_j^a\gamma_j\quad(a\in\mathbb Z).γi​=(γr​(ui​)+δ−1ϱ(ui2​−1)j=i∏​uj​)j=i∏​ui​−uj​ui​uj​−1​,ωa​=j=1∑r​uja​γj​(a∈Z).

These are the u-admissible parameters of Assumption 2.2. The cyclotomic Birman–Wenzl algebra Br,n\mathscr B_{r,n}Br,n​ is the unital associative FFF-algebra generated by Ti,EiT_i, E_iTi​,Ei​ (1≤i<n1 \le i < n1≤i<n) and Xj±1X_j^{\pm1}Xj±1​ (1≤j≤n1 \le j \le n1≤j≤n) subject to the relations a)–k) of Definition 2.1: among them the Kauffman skein relation Ti2−δTi+δϱEi=1T_i^2 - \delta T_i + \delta\varrho E_i = 1Ti2​−δTi​+δϱEi​=1, the braid relations, Ei2=ω0EiE_i^2 = \omega_0E_iEi2​=ω0​Ei​, the skein relations between TiT_iTi​ and Xi,Xi+1X_i, X_{i+1}Xi​,Xi+1​, the unwrapping relations E1X1aE1=ωaE1E_1X_1^aE_1 = \omega_aE_1E1​X1a​E1​=ωa​E1​ for all a∈Za \in \mathbb Za∈Z, the tangle and untwisting relations, EiXiXi+1=Ei=XiXi+1EiE_iX_iX_{i+1} = E_i = X_iX_{i+1}E_iEi​Xi​Xi+1​=Ei​=Xi​Xi+1​Ei​, and the cyclotomic relation (X1−u1)⋯(X1−ur)=0(X_1 - u_1)\cdots(X_1 - u_r) = 0(X1​−u1​)⋯(X1​−ur​)=0. The Ariki–Koike algebra Hr,n\mathscr H_{r,n}Hr,n​ is generated by g1,…,gn−1,y1,…,yng_1, \dots, g_{n-1}, y_1, \dots, y_ng1​,…,gn−1​,y1​,…,yn​ with (gi−q)(gi+q−1)=0(g_i - q)(g_i + q^{-1}) = 0(gi​−q)(gi​+q−1)=0, the braid relations, yi+1=giyigiy_{i+1} = g_iy_ig_iyi+1​=gi​yi​gi​, commuting yjy_jyj​ and (y1−u1)⋯(y1−ur)=0(y_1 - u_1)\cdots(y_1 - u_r) = 0(y1​−u1​)⋯(y1​−ur​)=0.

Write o(q2)>no(q^2) > no(q2)>n for "q2k≠1q^{2k} \ne 1q2k=1 for 1≤k≤n1 \le k \le n1≤k≤n", and set

Qr,ϱ={{−εq,εq−1},2∤r,{−qε,qε},2∣r,Sr,ϱ={⋃k=3n{±q3−k,±qk−3,εq3−2k,−εq2k−3},2∤r,⋃k=3n{±q3−k,±qk−3,±q(2k−3)ε},2∣r.Q_{r,\varrho} = \begin{cases}\{-\varepsilon q, \varepsilon q^{-1}\}, & 2 \nmid r,\\ \{-q^\varepsilon, q^\varepsilon\}, & 2 \mid r,\end{cases}\qquad S_{r,\varrho} = \begin{cases}\bigcup_{k=3}^n\{\pm q^{3-k}, \pm q^{k-3}, \varepsilon q^{3-2k}, -\varepsilon q^{2k-3}\}, & 2 \nmid r,\\ \bigcup_{k=3}^n\{\pm q^{3-k}, \pm q^{k-3}, \pm q^{(2k-3)\varepsilon}\}, & 2 \mid r.\end{cases}Qr,ϱ​={{−εq,εq−1},{−qε,qε},​2∤r,2∣r,​Sr,ϱ​={⋃k=3n​{±q3−k,±qk−3,εq3−2k,−εq2k−3},⋃k=3n​{±q3−k,±qk−3,±q(2k−3)ε},​2∤r,2∣r.​

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem 6.8

For n≥2n \ge 2n≥2 and r≥2r \ge 2r≥2:

(a) if uiuj=1u_iu_j = 1ui​uj​=1 for some i≠ji \ne ji=j, or ui∈Qr,ϱu_i \in Q_{r,\varrho}ui​∈Qr,ϱ​ for some iii, then Br,n\mathscr B_{r,n}Br,n​ is not semisimple;

(b) if uiuj≠1u_iu_j \ne 1ui​uj​=1 for all i≠ji \ne ji=j and no uiu_iui​ lies in Qr,ϱQ_{r,\varrho}Qr,ϱ​, then

Br,2 semisimple  ⟺  o(q2)>2 and (uiuj−1=q2d, i<j⇒∣d∣≥2),\mathscr B_{r,2}\ \text{semisimple} \iff o(q^2) > 2 \ \text{and}\ \big(u_iu_j^{-1} = q^{2d},\ i<j \Rightarrow |d| \ge 2\big),Br,2​ semisimple⟺o(q2)>2 and (ui​uj−1​=q2d, i<j⇒∣d∣≥2),

and for n≥4n \ge 4n≥4, Br,n\mathscr B_{r,n}Br,n​ is semisimple if and only if (a) o(q2)>no(q^2) > no(q2)>n; (b) ∣d∣≥n|d| \ge n∣d∣≥n whenever uiuj−1=q2du_iu_j^{-1} = q^{2d}ui​uj−1​=q2d, i<ji < ji<j; (c) ui∉Sr,ϱu_i \notin S_{r,\varrho}ui​∈/Sr,ϱ​ for all iii; (d) uiuj∉⋃k=3n{q4−2k,q2k−4}u_iu_j \notin \bigcup_{k=3}^n\{q^{4-2k}, q^{2k-4}\}ui​uj​∈/⋃k=3n​{q4−2k,q2k−4} for all i≠ji \ne ji=j. For n=3n = 3n=3 the goal states that semisimplicity implies (a)–(d).

The page states (b)(2) as an equivalence for all n≥3n \ge 3n≥3. The goal keeps only necessity at n=3n = 3n=3: Proposition 6.2 and Lemma 6.3 describe the same cell module of Br,3\mathscr B_{r,3}Br,3​ and list different exclusions (εq\varepsilon qεq against −εq−1-\varepsilon q^{-1}−εq−1 for odd rrr), and Sr,ϱS_{r,\varrho}Sr,ϱ​ at n=3n = 3n=3 contains neither.

Milestones

The rank dim⁡FBr,n=rn(2n−1)!!\dim_F\mathscr B_{r,n} = r^n(2n-1)!!dimF​Br,n​=rn(2n−1)!! (Theorem 2.14); the corner identities En−1Br,nEn−1=En−1Br,n−2E_{n-1}\mathscr B_{r,n}E_{n-1} = E_{n-1}\mathscr B_{r,n-2}En−1​Br,n​En−1​=En−1​Br,n−2​ (Lemma 3.1) and Ef,nBr,nEf,n=Br,n−2fEf,nE_{f,n}\mathscr B_{r,n}E_{f,n} = \mathscr B_{r,n-2f}E_{f,n}Ef,n​Br,n​Ef,n​=Br,n−2f​Ef,n​ (Corollary 3.2), corrected at the two-strand boundary by requiring some ωa≠0\omega_a\ne0ωa​=0; Proposition 6.1, which says that det⁡G1,∅=det⁡(ωa+b)a,b∈Nr\det G_{1,\emptyset} = \det(\omega_{a+b})_{a,b\in N_r}detG1,∅​=det(ωa+b​)a,b∈Nr​​ is non-zero exactly when uiuj≠1u_iu_j \ne 1ui​uj​=1 (i≠ji \ne ji=j) and no uiu_iui​ lies in Qr,ϱQ_{r,\varrho}Qr,ϱ​; Proposition 6.5(b), non-semisimplicity when that determinant vanishes; and the reduction "Hr,n\mathscr H_{r,n}Hr,n​ not semisimple ⇒Br,n\Rightarrow \mathscr B_{r,n}⇒Br,n​ not semisimple" from the proof of Theorem 6.8.

Significance

The criterion gives a closed list of parameter values at which the cyclotomic BMW algebra fails to be semisimple, and so, by Graham–Lehrer theory, the parameters at which all cell modules are simple and pairwise non-isomorphic. Outside that list the algebra's simple modules, their dimensions and the decomposition of tensor-type modules are given by the combinatorics of up-down tableaux; inside it, the list says which Gram determinants vanish and where decomposition numbers begin. For r=1r = 1r=1 it specializes to the semisimplicity criterion for BMW algebras, and its conditions (a)–(b) are Ariki's conditions for Hr,n\mathscr H_{r,n}Hr,n​.

As far as is known, none of this is machine-checked: Mathlib has no BMW, Brauer, Ariki–Koike or Iwahori–Hecke algebras and no cellular algebras. The mission formalizes the statements of the paper on a presentation of Br,n\mathscr B_{r,n}Br,n​ by generators and relations; a solver must supply a basis (or at least a dimension count), the cellular structure and the Gram-determinant computations. The paper leaves several of its proofs to the reader ("by arguments in the proof of [19, 5.41]"), so the formal proofs would also close gaps in the published argument.

Difficulty

Non-semisimplicity in part (a) needs only one degenerate bilinear form on a non-zero cell module, but showing that the module is non-zero, or that Br,n\mathscr B_{r,n}Br,n​ does not collapse, already needs a lower bound on the dimension of a presented algebra, which no rewriting argument provides: the rank rn(2n−1)!!r^n(2n-1)!!rn(2n−1)!! is proved in the literature through seminormal representations. Sufficiency in part (b) requires the Gram determinants of all cell modules Δ(f,λ)\Delta(f,\lambda)Δ(f,λ), which the paper obtains by a recursion over up-down tableaux; vanishing of a single factor must be traced through branching and Morita-type functors between levels n−2n-2n−2, n−1n-1n−1 and nnn. Ariki's criterion for Hr,n\mathscr H_{r,n}Hr,n​ is itself an external input.

Formalization scope

Br,n\mathscr B_{r,n}Br,n​ and Hr,n\mathscr H_{r,n}Hr,n​ are RingQuot quotients of FreeAlgebra F on finite generator types; indices are 0-based (the Lean T i is the paper's Ti+1T_{i+1}Ti+1​), and Xj−1X_j^{-1}Xj−1​ is a separate generator tied to XjX_jXj​ by relation a). The sign ε∈Z×\varepsilon \in \mathbb Z^\timesε∈Z× is the free parameter and α,ϱ,γi,ωa\alpha, \varrho, \gamma_i, \omega_aα,ϱ,γi​,ωa​ are computed from (q,u,ε)(q, u, \varepsilon)(q,u,ε), so the parameters are u-admissible by construction. The uiu_iui​ are pairwise distinct (Assumption 2.2(1) divides by ui−uju_i - u_jui​−uj​; the paper extends 2.2 to coincident uiu_iui​ through [19, 3.11]). "Semisimple" is Mathlib's IsSemisimpleRing. The condition o(q2)>no(q^2) > no(q2)>n is written as q2k≠1q^{2k} \ne 1q2k=1 for 1≤k≤n1 \le k \le n1≤k≤n, not through orderOf, which is 000 for elements of infinite order. Relations d) and g) both use ω0=∑jγj\omega_0 = \sum_j\gamma_jω0​=∑j​γj​, which equals the paper's 1−δ−1(ϱ−ϱ−1)1 - \delta^{-1}(\varrho - \varrho^{-1})1−δ−1(ϱ−ϱ−1) for these parameters; were they different, the presentation would collapse. The corrected corner milestones require n≥3n\ge3n≥3 or some ωa≠0\omega_a\ne0ωa​=0 in Lemma 3.1, and 2f<n2f<n2f<n or some ωa≠0\omega_a\ne0ωa​=0 in Corollary 3.2. At n=2n=2n=2, r=2r=2r=2, q=3q=3q=3, u=(2,12)u=(2,\tfrac12)u=(2,21​), and ε=1\varepsilon=1ε=1, every ωa\omega_aωa​ vanishes, exposing the missing condition. det⁡G1,∅\det G_{1,\emptyset}detG1,∅​ is expressed as the Hankel determinant of the ωa\omega_aωa​, and Br,m⊆Br,n\mathscr B_{r,m} \subseteq \mathscr B_{r,n}Br,m​⊆Br,n​ is the subalgebra generated by the first generators.

A presentation that collapses to the zero algebra would make the goal false in part (a) but trivially true elsewhere; the rank milestone rules this out. Replacing semisimplicity by non-vanishing of Gram determinants would turn the goal into a different theorem and is not acceptable.

A complete development needs a basis theorem for Br,n\mathscr B_{r,n}Br,n​, cellular algebras and Graham–Lehrer's semisimplicity criterion, the Ariki–Koike algebra and Ariki's criterion, and Gram-determinant computations. The cellular-algebra layer and the Ariki–Koike algebra are reusable beyond this mission; contributions of any of these, or of the milestones on their own, are welcome.

Selected references

  • H. Rui and M. Si, The representation theory of cyclotomic BMW algebras (printed title The representations of cyclotomic BMW algebras, II), preprint, 2008. https://arxiv.org/abs/0807.4149
  • H. Rui and J. Xu, The representations of cyclotomic BMW algebras, preprint, 2007. https://arxiv.org/abs/0801.0465
  • R. Häring-Oldenburg, Cyclotomic Birman–Murakami–Wenzl algebras, J. Pure Appl. Algebra 161 (2001), 113–144. https://doi.org/10.1016/S0022-4049(00)00100-6
  • S. Ariki, On the semi-simplicity of the Hecke algebra of (Z/rZ)≀Sn(\mathbb Z/r\mathbb Z)\wr\mathfrak S_n(Z/rZ)≀Sn​, J. Algebra 169 (1994), 216–225. https://doi.org/10.1006/jabr.1994.1280
  • J. J. Graham and G. I. Lehrer, Cellular algebras, Invent. Math. 123 (1996), 1–34. https://doi.org/10.1007/BF01232365
  • J. S. Birman and H. Wenzl, Braids, link polynomials and a new algebra, Trans. Amer. Math. Soc. 313 (1989), 249–273. https://doi.org/10.1090/S0002-9947-1989-0992598-X
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Number TheoryQuantum InformationTheoretical Computer Science·Captain: mikedeng1

Asymptotically Optimal Topological Quantum Compiling: Every Output of the Fibonacci-Anyon Approximation Algorithm Is an ⟨F,T⟩-Circuit of Length O(log(1/ε)) Within Distance ε of Rz(φ)Research Paper

Motivation

Topological quantum computing represents a gate operation by moving anyons around one another. A compiler must turn a requested single-qubit unitary into a finite braid or gate word, with enough accuracy and a length that grows slowly as the error tolerance shrinks. For Fibonacci anyons, the matrices generated by the standard elementary braids have algebraic entries, which makes exact arithmetic available during compilation. Kliuchnikov, Bocharov and Svore gave an approximation algorithm whose output length scales logarithmically with inverse precision, the asymptotic scale required by their worst-case lower bound. Their method joins a sample from a cyclotomic integer ring to an exact-synthesis routine Kliuchnikov–Bocharov–Svore, 2013.

The result concerns what every successful run outputs. Its additional claim about average runtime depends on a number-theoretic conjecture and is separate from the output-quality theorem. Keeping these assertions distinct matters: a short accurate circuit conditional on finding a solvable norm equation does not imply that a sample can be found quickly.

Setting

Fix the tenth root of unity ω=eiπ/5\omega=e^{i\pi/5}ω=eiπ/5, τ=(5−1)/2\tau=(\sqrt5-1)/2τ=(5​−1)/2, and φ=(5+1)/2\varphi=(\sqrt5+1)/2φ=(5​+1)/2. The ring Z[ω]\mathbb Z[\omega]Z[ω] contains expressions a+bω+cω2+dω3a+b\omega+c\omega^2+d\omega^3a+bω+cω2+dω3 with integer coefficients. Arithmetic is reduced using ω4=−1+ω−ω2+ω3\omega^4=-1+\omega-\omega^2+\omega^3ω4=−1+ω−ω2+ω3 and ω5=−1\omega^5=-1ω5=−1. The automorphism u↦u∙u\mapsto u^\bulletu↦u∙ sends ω\omegaω to ω3\omega^3ω3. The Gauss complexity of uuu is G(u)=∣u∣2+∣u∙∣2G(u)=|u|^2+|u^\bullet|^2G(u)=∣u∣2+∣u∙∣2. This quantity controls the number of steps in exact synthesis §III, pp. 3–5.

An exact unitary U[u,v,k]U[u,v,k]U[u,v,k] is the paper's two-by-two complex matrix built from u,v∈Z[ω]u,v\in\mathbb Z[\omega]u,v∈Z[ω], an integer phase kkk, and the normalization ∣u∣2+τ∣v∣2=1|u|^2+\tau|v|^2=1∣u∣2+τ∣v∣2=1. Its gates are FFF, TTT, and the scalar phase ωI\omega IωI. A circuit is a finite sequence of these gates, evaluated by matrix multiplication in sequence order. Its length counts FFF and TTT gates; the scalar phase has no braid cost in the paper's convention.

The target ZZZ rotation is Rz(ϕ)=diag⁡(e−iϕ/2,eiϕ/2)R_z(\phi)=\operatorname{diag}(e^{-i\phi/2},e^{i\phi/2})Rz​(ϕ)=diag(e−iϕ/2,eiϕ/2). Approximation uses the phase-invariant distance

d(U,V)=1−∣tr⁡(UV†)∣2.d(U,V)=\sqrt{1-\frac{|\operatorname{tr}(UV^\dagger)|}{2}}.d(U,V)=1−2∣tr(UV†)∣​​.

Figure 15 approximates a real input by a+bτa+b\taua+bτ through Fibonacci numbers. Figure 13 combines two such approximations into a cyclotomic integer u0u_0u0​ in a specified geometric region. Figure 12 scales and rotates u0u_0u0​, asks for a solution of a norm equation to obtain vvv, and runs Figure 4's exact-synthesis loop on the resulting exact unitary Figures 4, 12, 13 and 15.

Formalization targets

Goal: every produced circuit

For every angle ϕ\phiϕ, every precision 0<ε≤1/20<\varepsilon\le1/20<ε≤1/2, every allowed sample index, and every norm-equation solution used by Figure 12, its returned circuit CCC satisfies

d(C,Rz(ϕ))≤ε,length⁡(C)≤Klog⁡(1/ε)d(C,R_z(\phi))\le\varepsilon,\qquad \operatorname{length}(C)\le K\log(1/\varepsilon)d(C,Rz​(ϕ))≤ε,length(C)≤Klog(1/ε)

for one positive absolute constant KKK. The statement is about all possible outputs, including all allowed tie and solution choices. It does not assert that the norm equation has a solution for every input. This is the first sentence of Theorem 21, p. 14.

Supporting targets

The milestone list records Proposition 4's integer-valued complexity gap, Lemma 5's decreasing step and asymptotic ratio bound, Theorem 6's exact synthesis and length estimates, the §V distance identity, Lemma 18's real-approximation bounds, and Lemma 19's count of equiprobable samples, their membership in the parallelogram of Figure 14, and the corrected complexity bound. They describe the interfaces needed to connect algebraic synthesis to geometric approximation. The source text is preserved in each milestone even where the formal statement makes a documented correction.

Significance

The target gives a finite circuit whose accuracy is specified by a matrix distance rather than by a coordinate surrogate. Its length bound is uniform in the rotation angle, the sample choice, and the norm-equation solution. Consequently, once a suitable sample and solution are supplied, exact synthesis cannot silently add a superlogarithmic number of gates. The paper's conditional runtime sentence concerns how quickly such a sample is obtained and remains outside this theorem Theorem 21, p. 14.

A machine-checked development would produce reusable coordinate arithmetic for Z[ω]\mathbb Z[\omega]Z[ω], a verified implementation of the exact synthesis loop, Fibonacci-based real approximation, and a phase-invariant matrix-distance calculation. These are useful beyond this single target wherever the Fibonacci-anyon gate set is used. The present files contain compiled statements and definitions; the theorem proofs remain open. Contributions proving the stated milestones, establishing ring and matrix identities, and checking the sampler's geometric inequalities are welcome.

Difficulty

The obvious idea of rounding the target phase does not by itself give an exactly implementable unitary: the upper-left entry must be extendable to a matrix satisfying ∣u∣2+τ∣v∣2=1|u|^2+\tau|v|^2=1∣u∣2+τ∣v∣2=1. The sampler must keep uuu in a narrow region while leaving a norm equation for vvv that can be solved. Even after that, a short exact circuit requires a decrease in GGG at each synthesis step. The length bound cannot follow merely from the fact that some finite circuit exists. These are the separate mathematical constraints reflected by the milestones §§III–V, pp. 3–14.

Formalization scope

Lean represents Z[ω]\mathbb Z[\omega]Z[ω] as four integer coordinates. Its multiplication uses the paper's cyclotomic relations, and its conjugation and bullet automorphism are coordinate maps. Matrices have type Matrix⁡(Fin⁡2)(Fin⁡2) C\operatorname{Matrix}(\operatorname{Fin}2)(\operatorname{Fin}2)\,\mathbb CMatrix(Fin2)(Fin2)C. The synthesis output is a list of FFF, TTT, and ωI\omega IωI gates. The first minimizing exponent in 1,…,101,\ldots,101,…,10 breaks ties in Figure 4; the angle-reduction integer may be any valid one. Rounding in APPROX-REAL uses Lean's nearest-integer operation.

The formalization corrects two printed algorithm signs: Figure 12's final matrix is U[u,v,5]U[u,v,5]U[u,v,5] instead of U[u,v,0]U[u,v,0]U[u,v,0], and Figure 13's xmax⁡x_{\max}xmax​ uses a plus sign before the sine term. The first is required by the displayed distance formula; the second by the geometry of the sampled region. Lemma 18 is restricted to n≥2n\ge2n≥2, since its bound fails at n=1n=1n=1. Lemma 19's Gauss-complexity bound is O(1/ε2)O(1/\varepsilon^2)O(1/ε2), because ∣u0∣|u_0|∣u0​∣ is already of order 1/ε1/\varepsilon1/ε; its formal statement covers every r≥1r\ge1r≥1 with 0<ε≤1/20<\varepsilon\le1/20<ε≤1/2, and renders "each output occurs with the same probability" as equal fibre sizes of the explicit sample index. These corrections and scope choices are documented next to the affected items pp. 11–14.

Random sampling is represented by an explicit index in its allowed range. SOLVE-NORM-EQUATION is represented by any x∈Z[ω]x\in\mathbb Z[\omega]x∈Z[ω] satisfying its output equation; EASY-SOLVABLE is omitted from the output guarantee because it filters samples without changing the claimed quality of one successful output. The goal's constant precedes all angles, precisions, samples, and solutions. The output must be the circuit produced by the defined Figure 4 loop applied to Figure 12's data; choosing an arbitrary short circuit or making the norm-equation hypothesis impossible would not state the paper's result.

Selected references

  • Vadym Kliuchnikov, Alex Bocharov and Krysta M. Svore, Asymptotically optimal topological quantum compiling, arXiv preprint arXiv:1310.4150v1, 2013. arXiv
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AlgebraCombinatoricsRepresentation Theory·Captain: mikedeng1

On the Blocks of the Walled Brauer Algebra: In Characteristic Zero, Two Simple Modules Lie in the Same Block Exactly When Their Weights Lie in One Orbit of the ρ(δ)-Shifted Dot Action of Σ_{r+s}Research Paper

Motivation

Let VVV be the natural representation of GLnGL_nGLn​ and V∗V^*V∗ its dual. The walled Brauer algebra Br,s(δ)B_{r,s}(\delta)Br,s​(δ) describes the endomorphisms of mixed tensor space V⊗r⊗V∗⊗sV^{\otimes r}\otimes V^{*\otimes s}V⊗r⊗V∗⊗s that commute with GLnGL_nGLn​, through mixed Schur–Weyl duality. It was introduced in this role independently by Turaev, Koike and Benkart–Chakrabarti–Halverson–Leduc–Lee–Stroomer around 1989–1994. It is also a diagram algebra in its own right, defined for every parameter δ\deltaδ in the ground field. Its representation theory controls the decomposition of mixed tensor space, and it serves as a test case for the cellular and "tower of recollement" methods used for the Brauer and partition algebras.

Cox, De Visscher, Doty and Martin (arXiv:0709.0851, 2007) determine the blocks of Br,s(δ)B_{r,s}(\delta)Br,s​(δ) in characteristic zero. They also classify the semisimple walled Brauer algebras and give a linkage principle in positive characteristic. Their characteristic-zero answer has the shape familiar from algebraic Lie theory: blocks are orbits of a Weyl group, Σr+s\Sigma_{r+s}Σr+s​, under a dot action shifted by a vector ρ(δ)\rho(\delta)ρ(δ). The analogous result for the ordinary Brauer algebra, with the Weyl group of type DDD, is due to Cox, De Visscher and Martin (arXiv:math/0601387, 2009).

Setting

Fix r,s∈Nr,s\in\mathbb Nr,s∈N, an algebraically closed field kkk and δ∈k\delta\in kδ∈k. A Brauer diagram on n=r+sn=r+sn=r+s strands pairs up 2n2n2n nodes, nnn northern and nnn southern. Lines joining the two rows are propagating lines; the others are arcs. Put a wall after the first rrr nodes of each row. A diagram is walled if no propagating line crosses the wall and every arc does. Two diagrams are multiplied by stacking the first above the second. Each closed loop formed in the middle row is removed and contributes a factor δ\deltaδ. The walled Brauer algebra Br,s(δ)B_{r,s}(\delta)Br,s​(δ) is the kkk-span of the walled diagrams with this product. The permutation diagrams span the group algebra kΣr,sk\Sigma_{r,s}kΣr,s​ of Σr,s=Σr×Σs\Sigma_{r,s}=\Sigma_r\times\Sigma_sΣr,s​=Σr​×Σs​.

The algebra is cellular. Its cell modules Δr,s(λL,λR)\Delta_{r,s}(\lambda^L,\lambda^R)Δr,s​(λL,λR) are indexed by bipartitions (λL,λR)(\lambda^L,\lambda^R)(λL,λR) with λL⊢r−t\lambda^L\vdash r-tλL⊢r−t and λR⊢s−t\lambda^R\vdash s-tλR⊢s−t, for 0≤t≤min⁡(r,s)0\le t\le\min(r,s)0≤t≤min(r,s). Here ttt is the number of northern arcs. In characteristic zero the simple modules Lr,s(λL,λR)L_{r,s}(\lambda^L,\lambda^R)Lr,s​(λL,λR), the heads of the cell modules, are indexed by the same set. The one exception is (∅,∅)(\emptyset,\emptyset)(∅,∅), which is excluded when δ=0\delta=0δ=0 and 0<r=s0<r=s0<r=s. At r=s=0r=s=0r=s=0, the algebra is kkk and its unique simple has the empty bipartition as label. Two simple modules lie in the same block when no central idempotent of Br,s(δ)B_{r,s}(\delta)Br,s​(δ) separates them.

A box in row iii and column jjj of a Young diagram has content j−ij-ij−i. Two bipartitions are δ\deltaδ-balanced when the boxes of λL∖μL\lambda^L\setminus\mu^LλL∖μL can be paired with those of λR∖μR\lambda^R\setminus\mu^RλR∖μR, and the boxes of μL∖λL\mu^L\setminus\lambda^LμL∖λL with those of μR∖λR\mu^R\setminus\lambda^RμR∖λR, so that the contents in each pair sum to −δ-\delta−δ.

For δ∈Z\delta\in\mathbb Zδ∈Z, the weight lattice is Xr,s=Zr+sX_{r,s}=\mathbb Z^{r+s}Xr,s​=Zr+s, with coordinates indexed by −r,…,−1,1,…,s-r,\dots,-1,1,\dots,s−r,…,−1,1,…,s. Put

ρ(δ)=(r,r−1,…,1; δ,δ−1,…,δ−s+1).\rho(\delta)=(r,r-1,\dots,1;\ \delta,\delta-1,\dots,\delta-s+1).ρ(δ)=(r,r−1,…,1; δ,δ−1,…,δ−s+1).

The group W=Σr+sW=\Sigma_{r+s}W=Σr+s​ permutes the coordinates and acts by the dot action w.λ=w(λ+ρ)−ρw.\lambda=w(\lambda+\rho)-\rhow.λ=w(λ+ρ)−ρ. A bipartition is sent to the weight (λˉL;λR)=(−λrL,…,−λ1L;λ1R,…,λsR)(\bar\lambda^L;\lambda^R)=(-\lambda^L_r,\dots,-\lambda^L_1;\lambda^R_1,\dots,\lambda^R_s)(λˉL;λR)=(−λrL​,…,−λ1L​;λ1R​,…,λsR​).

Formalization targets

Goal: Corollary 8.4 (characteristic zero)

For kkk of characteristic 000, δ∈Z\delta\in\mathbb Zδ∈Z, and labels λ,μ\lambda,\muλ,μ of simple Br,s(δ)B_{r,s}(\delta)Br,s​(δ)-modules,

Lr,s(λ) and Lr,s(μ) lie in the same block  ⟺  (λˉL;λR)=w.(μˉL;μR) for some w∈Σr+s.L_{r,s}(\lambda)\ \text{and}\ L_{r,s}(\mu)\ \text{lie in the same block}\iff (\bar\lambda^L;\lambda^R)=w.(\bar\mu^L;\mu^R)\ \text{for some } w\in\Sigma_{r+s}.Lr,s​(λ) and Lr,s​(μ) lie in the same block⟺(λˉL;λR)=w.(μˉ​L;μR) for some w∈Σr+s​.

The balanced classification: Corollary 7.7

For every δ∈k\delta\in kδ∈k in characteristic 000, two labels are in the same block if and only if they are δ\deltaδ-balanced, and each block contains a unique minimal weight.

Supporting results

The milestones, in proof order, are the following.

  • Lemma 4.1: the action of Tr,s=∑Ei,jT_{r,s}=\sum E_{i,j}Tr,s​=∑Ei,j​ on cell modules.
  • Theorem 4.2 and Corollary 4.3: content conditions on composition factors and on blocks.
  • Theorem 6.2: two-box homomorphisms, Hom⁡(Δ(λ),Δ(μ))≅k\operatorname{Hom}(\Delta(\lambda),\Delta(\mu))\cong kHom(Δ(λ),Δ(μ))≅k.
  • Proposition 7.1 and Corollary 7.3: box pairings and the necessity of balance.
  • Lemma 8.1: the counting form of balance.
  • Propositions 8.2 and 8.3: orbit ⇔\Leftrightarrow⇔ balance.

Significance

The goal reduces the block structure of Br,s(δ)B_{r,s}(\delta)Br,s​(δ) to a combinatorial test. Two weights are in the same block exactly when their ρ(δ)\rho(\delta)ρ(δ)-shifted vectors are permutations of each other, a check that takes linear time. Within a block there is a unique minimal weight. The Weyl-group description is the starting point for the paper's positive-characteristic linkage principle, in which the affine Weyl group WpW_pWp​ takes the place of WWW. It also places the walled Brauer algebra alongside the Brauer algebra and the algebraic groups as an algebra whose characteristic-zero blocks are governed by a reflection group.

The result has been proved since 2007. As far as is known, no part of it has been machine-checked. This mission produces three things.

  1. A diagram-level definition of Br,s(δ)B_{r,s}(\delta)Br,s​(δ) for every δ\deltaδ, together with its cell and simple modules. This layer is reusable for the Brauer, partition and Temperley–Lieb algebras.
  2. A content calculus for bipartitions.
  3. Formal proofs of the paper's chain of results. The combinatorial half (Lemma 8.1, Propositions 8.2 and 8.3) is independent of the algebra, and it can be completed first.

Difficulty

The obvious first idea is to treat the walled Brauer algebra through mixed Schur–Weyl duality, as a centraliser algebra. That gives only a quotient of Br,s(δ)B_{r,s}(\delta)Br,s​(δ) when δ\deltaδ is a small integer, and nothing at all when δ\deltaδ is not a natural number, so it cannot reach the full statement. The obstruction is the non-semisimple regime (δ∈Z\delta\in\mathbb Zδ∈Z, ∣δ∣≤r+s−2|\delta|\le r+s-2∣δ∣≤r+s−2), where cell modules have nontrivial composition factors.

The necessary condition is a scalar computation, obtained by evaluating a central-like element on cell modules. Sufficiency is the hard direction. It needs explicit nonzero homomorphisms between cell modules that differ by a removable strip of boxes, built from the two-box homomorphisms of Theorem 6.2 by an induction using restriction and induction along the tower Br−1,s⊂Br,sB_{r-1,s}\subset B_{r,s}Br−1,s​⊂Br,s​. The final step, matching balance with dot orbits, is a combinatorial argument on edges of skew diagrams in which the shift by ρ(δ)\rho(\delta)ρ(δ) must be tracked exactly.

Formalization scope

  1. Characteristic. The goal and the algebraic milestones take kkk algebraically closed of characteristic 000; the goal takes δ∈Z\delta\in\mathbb Zδ∈Z, cast into kkk. The paper's hypothesis "Σ\SigmaΣ-semisimple" also allows characteristic p>max⁡(r,s)p>\max(r,s)p>max(r,s). That case is not posed, because there the integer in ρ(δ)\rho(\delta)ρ(δ) is not determined by δ∈k\delta\in kδ∈k. Lemma 8.1 and Propositions 8.2 and 8.3 are purely combinatorial, with δ∈Z\delta\in\mathbb Zδ∈Z.
  2. The algebra. Br,s(δ)B_{r,s}(\delta)Br,s​(δ) has the δ#loops\delta^{\#\text{loops}}δ#loops product and is never the centraliser algebra. It is realised as its faithful left regular representation: the subalgebra of matrices on the walled diagrams generated by left multiplication by each diagram, which is isomorphic to the paper's algebra.
  3. Cell modules. In characteristic 000 they are modelled as Br,sXt yλB_{r,s}X_t\,y_\lambdaBr,s​Xt​yλ​ modulo Jt+1J_{t+1}Jt+1​. Here XtX_tXt​ is the diagram with arcs r−ur-ur−u — r+1+ur+1+ur+1+u (u<tu<tu<t), yλy_\lambdayλ​ is the Young symmetrizer ∑σ∈C∑τ∈Rsgn⁡(σ)στ\sum_{\sigma\in C}\sum_{\tau\in R}\operatorname{sgn}(\sigma)\sigma\tau∑σ∈C​∑τ∈R​sgn(σ)στ on the propagating nodes, and Jt+1J_{t+1}Jt+1​ is the span of the diagrams with more than ttt arcs.
  4. Simple modules and blocks. Simple modules are heads, i.e. quotients by the intersection of the maximal submodules. "Same block" is the central-idempotent criterion on simple modules.
  5. Combinatorial conventions. Young diagrams are Mathlib's YoungDiagram, with 0-based cells; contents are unchanged by the shift. Nodes are Fin (r+s). The weight lattice is Fin r ⊕ Fin s → ℤ, where Sum.inl i is the paper's coordinate −(i+1)-(i+1)−(i+1) and Sum.inr j is coordinate j+1j+1j+1. WWW is Equiv.Perm (Fin r ⊕ Fin s).
  6. Statements over weights. These assume at most rrr and sss rows, so that the embedding loses nothing.

Two corrections to the printed text are adopted. Lemma 8.1 is stated "for all i∈Zi\in\mathbb Zi∈Z", and the reflection formula on p. 31 is read as sβ(λ)=λ−(λ,β)βs_\beta(\lambda)=\lambda-(\lambda,\beta)\betasβ​(λ)=λ−(λ,β)β, the transposition of two coordinates. The label exception in Theorem 2.7(iii) is applied only when r=s>0r=s>0r=s>0; its literal wording would incorrectly leave B0,0(0)=kB_{0,0}(0)=kB0,0​(0)=k without a simple module.

A trivializing formalization would replace the block relation by a relation defined through contents or orbits, or would replace the algebra by a centraliser algebra or by kΣr,sk\Sigma_{r,s}kΣr,s​. Both are excluded: the block relation is the algebra's own central-idempotent relation, and the algebra is the diagram algebra itself.

Contributions are welcome at every layer. Useful general infrastructure includes associativity of diagram composition, Young symmetrizers and Specht modules over a field of characteristic 000, and the Jucys–Murphy content formula. Proofs of the combinatorial Section 8 results and of the cellular structure of Br,s(δ)B_{r,s}(\delta)Br,s​(δ) are also needed.

Selected references

  • A. Cox, M. De Visscher, S. Doty, P. Martin, On the blocks of the walled Brauer algebra, preprint arXiv:0709.0851v1, 2007. https://arxiv.org/abs/0709.0851
  • A. Cox, M. De Visscher, P. Martin, The blocks of the Brauer algebra in characteristic zero, Represent. Theory 13 (2009). https://arxiv.org/abs/math/0601387
  • G. Benkart, M. Chakrabarti, T. Halverson, R. Leduc, C. Lee, J. Stroomer, Tensor product representations of general linear groups and their connections with Brauer algebras, J. Algebra 166 (1994). https://doi.org/10.1006/jabr.1994.1165
  • T. Halverson, Characters of the centralizer algebras of mixed tensor representations of GL(r,C) and the quantum group U_q(gl(r,C)), Pacific J. Math. 174 (1996). https://doi.org/10.2140/pjm.1996.174.359
  • J. J. Graham, G. I. Lehrer, Cellular algebras, Invent. Math. 123 (1996). https://doi.org/10.1007/BF01232365
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Information TheoryLinear algebraQuantum Information·Captain: mikedeng1

Classical capacity of fermionic product channels: An Explicit Formula for the Gaussian Capacity, Which Equals the One-Shot Capacity for n ≤ 2Research Paper

Motivation

Sending classical messages through a quantum device requires choosing input states that remain distinguishable after noise. The one-shot classical capacity measures the best information rate when each channel use is signaled with a separate input state. For many channels the optimization is difficult because it ranges over all ensembles of quantum states. Fermionic systems provide a finite-dimensional setting in which the noise has a direct description on elementary operators, but the optimal signaling states still need not be obvious. Bravyi's 2005 paper isolates a family of fermionic product channels, computes the best rate from Gaussian input states for any number of qubits, and proves that this restricted rate is the full one-shot rate for one or two qubits.

Setting

The system has nnn qubits, with computational basis indexed by bit strings x∈{0,1}nx\in\{0,1\}^nx∈{0,1}n. The Jordan–Wigner Majorana operators c1,…,c2nc_1,\ldots,c_{2n}c1​,…,c2n​ are tensor products of Pauli matrices: c2j−1c_{2j-1}c2j−1​ has ZZZ on qubits before jjj, XXX on qubit jjj, and identity afterwards; c2jc_{2j}c2j​ replaces XXX with YYY. Their ordered monomials c(x)=c1x1⋯c2nx2nc(x)=c_1^{x_1}\cdots c_{2n}^{x_{2n}}c(x)=c1x1​​⋯c2nx2n​​, x∈{0,1}2nx\in\{0,1\}^{2n}x∈{0,1}2n, form a basis of all operators on the qubits. The paper gives these operators and their monomials in Eq. (3).

A fermionic product channel Φb\Phi_bΦb​ is determined by attenuation coefficients bp∈[0,1]b_p\in[0,1]bp​∈[0,1]. On each monomial it acts by Φb(c(x))=(∏p:xp=1bp)c(x)\Phi_b(c(x))=(\prod_{p:x_p=1}b_p)c(x)Φb​(c(x))=(∏p:xp​=1​bp​)c(x), and linearity defines it on every operator. A state is a positive semidefinite matrix of trace one. For a finite ensemble of output states {(pa,ρa)}\{(p_a,\rho_a)\}{(pa​,ρa​)}, with nonnegative weights summing to one, its Holevo quantity in bits is

χ=S ⁣(∑apaρa)−∑apaS(ρa),S(ρ)=−Tr⁡(ρlog⁡2ρ).\chi= S\!\left(\sum_a p_a\rho_a\right)-\sum_a p_aS(\rho_a), \qquad S(\rho)=-\operatorname{Tr}(\rho\log_2\rho).χ=S(a∑​pa​ρa​)−a∑​pa​S(ρa​),S(ρ)=−Tr(ρlog2​ρ).

The supremum of χ\chiχ over all finite ensembles of outputs of Φb\Phi_bΦb​ is C1(Φb)C_1(\Phi_b)C1​(Φb​). A Gaussian state has the specific form UρλU†U\rho_\lambda U^\daggerUρλ​U† of Definition 1: ρλ=2−n∏j(I+λjZj)\rho_\lambda=2^{-n}\prod_j(I+\lambda_j Z_j)ρλ​=2−n∏j​(I+λj​Zj​), each λj∈[−1,1]\lambda_j\in[-1,1]λj​∈[−1,1], and U=exp⁡(iH2+iH1)U=\exp(iH_2+iH_1)U=exp(iH2​+iH1​) for Hermitian quadratic and linear combinations of Majorana operators. Requiring Gaussian input states gives C1g(Φb)C_1^g(\Phi_b)C1g​(Φb​). Setting H1=0H_1=0H1​=0 gives an even Gaussian state. These are separate classes; the even class supplies an intermediate entropy minimum. Definition 1 and Eq. (13) are on page 4.

Formalization targets

Gaussian capacity

Write b1↓≥⋯≥b2n↓b_1^\downarrow\ge\cdots\ge b_{2n}^\downarrowb1↓​≥⋯≥b2n↓​ for the coefficients in decreasing order, and let H(t)=−tlog⁡2t−(1−t)log⁡2(1−t)H(t)=-t\log_2t-(1-t)\log_2(1-t)H(t)=−tlog2​t−(1−t)log2​(1−t). The main formula, Theorem 1 and Eq. (6), is

C1g(Φb)=n−H ⁣(1+b1↓2)−∑j=1n−1H ⁣(1+b2j↓b2j+1↓2).C_1^g(\Phi_b)=n-H\!\left(\frac{1+b_1^\downarrow}{2}\right) -\sum_{j=1}^{n-1}H\!\left(\frac{1+b_{2j}^\downarrow b_{2j+1}^\downarrow}{2}\right).C1g​(Φb​)=n−H(21+b1↓​​)−j=1∑n−1​H(21+b2j↓​b2j+1↓​​).

It holds for every n≥1n\ge1n≥1 and every unsorted b∈[0,1]2nb\in[0,1]^{2n}b∈[0,1]2n. The milestones identify the covariance and Gaussian-preservation facts, the exact even and general Gaussian minimum-output entropies, and an ensemble attaining the capacity.

Full one-shot capacity for at most two qubits

The second clause of Theorem 1 states

C1(Φb)=C1g(Φb)(n≤2).C_1(\Phi_b)=C_1^g(\Phi_b)\qquad(n\le2).C1​(Φb​)=C1g​(Φb​)(n≤2).

Thus restricting the input ensemble to Gaussian states loses no one-shot capacity in these dimensions. The paper does not prove this equality for arbitrary nnn.

Significance

The formula replaces an optimization over arbitrary finite Gaussian ensembles with binary entropies of sorted attenuation coefficients. In the one- and two-qubit cases it also settles the unrestricted one-shot optimization for this channel family. The intermediate result C1=n−Smin⁡C_1=n-S_{\min}C1​=n−Smin​ relates signaling directly to minimum output entropy; the even-Gaussian and Gaussian minima make the distinction between the two state classes explicit. These relationships are established in Sections II–IV of the paper.

The mathematical results are proved in the 2005 paper. This mission asks for machine-checked proofs of their exact finite-dimensional statements. The definitions of bit-valued von Neumann entropy, finite output ensembles, ordered Majorana monomials, Gaussian-state predicates, and covariance matrices can support later work on fermionic channels. The submitted goal and milestones are presently proof obligations rather than claims of existing Lean proofs.

Difficulty

The channel is simple on each Majorana monomial, but the entropy of a general output state is not determined by its one- and two-point correlations. Even within the Gaussian class, optimizing only the even Gaussian states gives a different formula from optimizing all Gaussian states: linear Majorana terms change the optimum. A direct search over density matrices therefore does not expose the closed expression in Theorem 1. For the unrestricted two-qubit clause, one must also relate arbitrary states to the Gaussian class; the paper invokes a three-qubit parity result for that step. The distinctions and parity result appear in Sections III–IV.

Formalization scope

Lean represents qubit basis vectors by Fin n → Fin 2 and operators by complex matrices on that finite type. Majorana indices start at zero in Lean, so the paper's c2j−1,c2jc_{2j-1},c_{2j}c2j−1​,c2j​ correspond to consecutive indices 2j−2,2j−12j-2,2j-12j−2,2j−1. The Jordan–Wigner tensor factor at coordinate jjj acts on qubit jjj; the monomial product follows increasing Majorana index. The channel is defined on all matrices by the trace-orthogonal monomial expansion of Eq. (4), not merely on covariance matrices. Attenuations may equal zero or one. Entropies use logarithms to base two, with 0log⁡20=00\log_2 0=00log2​0=0.

Every capacity uses a real supremum over all finite normalized ensembles, with arbitrary ensemble size. The inputs are density matrices, and their channel outputs must be density matrices. The Gaussian capacity requires every input to satisfy Definition 1; Lemma 2 ensures these outputs are Gaussian too. The minimum-output quantities are real infima over their stated input classes, and the corresponding milestone theorems assert attainment. For the actual channels the relevant sets are nonempty and bounded: the maximally mixed state supplies an output state, while every Holevo quantity lies between zero and nnn. This representation rules out restricting the Gaussian ensemble to the displayed optimizing family, assuming the goal's coefficients are initially sorted, or replacing bit entropy with natural-log entropy.

The development needs finite-matrix functional calculus, positivity, matrix exponentials, permutation and singular-value reasoning, and finite ensemble entropy bounds. Contributions to those reusable layers and to the paper's covariance, Gaussian-preservation, and minimum-output results are within scope. Lemma 3 is stated in its even-Gaussian form, which its proof establishes; the displayed lemma says only “Gaussian.”

Selected references

  • Sergey Bravyi, Classical capacity of fermionic product channels, arXiv preprint quant-ph/0507282v1, 2005. arXiv
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Dynamic ProgrammingMarkov ChainOperations Research+1·Captain: mikedeng1

Average Cost Optimality in Partially Observed Lost-Sales Inventory Systems: A Stationary Average-Cost Optimal Policy Satisfying the ACOI Exists When Inventory Is Observed Only at ZeroResearch Paper

Inventory control when stock is seen only at zero

In many retail settings, recorded inventory is not reliable. Shrinkage, misplacement and recording errors mean the shelf count is unknown, but a stock-out is visible. Bai, Chen and Stolyar (SSRN 3865728; Operations Research Technical Note, 2022, doi:10.1287/opre.2022.2305) study the extreme version of this: a single-item lost-sales system whose inventory level is observed only when it is zero.

For the discounted cost criterion, Bensoussan, Çakanyıldırım and Sethi (2007) showed that optimal feedback policies exist for this model. Whether a stationary policy minimizes the long-run average cost was left open. Average-cost problems for partially observable systems are harder because of the vanishing-discount argument they rely on. It needs a uniform bound on relative value functions, and on a space of beliefs such bounds are not automatic. The paper settles the question for this model.

Setting

In each period ttt the inventory level is xt∈R+x_t\in\mathbb R_+xt​∈R+​. The decision maker orders at∈A=[0,K]a_t\in\mathbb A=[0,K]at​∈A=[0,K], with K>0K>0K>0. The order arrives at once and ordering costs nothing. Then an i.i.d. demand Dt∼DD_t\sim DDt​∼D is realized, and unmet demand is lost:

xt+1=(xt+at−Dt)+.x_{t+1}=(x_t+a_t-D_t)^+ .xt+1​=(xt​+at​−Dt​)+.

The period cost is the holding and lost-sales cost h+(xt+at−Dt)++h−(xt+at−Dt)−h^+(x_t+a_t-D_t)^+ + h^-(x_t+a_t-D_t)^-h+(xt​+at​−Dt​)++h−(xt​+at​−Dt​)−, with h+,h−>0h^+,h^->0h+,h−>0. Its expectation given (x,a)(x,a)(x,a) is c(x,a)c(x,a)c(x,a). The demand DDD is nonnegative, has a density fff with distribution function FFF, a finite positive mean and a positive variance.

Only the signal yt=1{xt>0}y_t=\mathbf 1\{x_t>0\}yt​=1{xt​>0} is observed. The decision maker therefore acts on a belief zzz, the conditional distribution of the current inventory level. After ordering aaa from belief zzz, the next belief is δ0\delta_0δ0​ if y=0y=0y=0. If y=1y=1y=1 it is the posterior H(z,a,1)H(z,a,1)H(z,a,1), the law of (x+a−D)+(x+a-D)^+(x+a−D)+ (with x∼zx\sim zx∼z) conditioned on being positive. The probability of y=1y=1y=1 is R(1∣z,a)R(1\mid z,a)R(1∣z,a).

This yields a completely observable MDP (COMDP). Its states are beliefs with finite second moment, ∫x2 z(dx)<∞\int x^2\,z(dx)<\infty∫x2z(dx)<∞ (Assumption 1), taken with the topology of weak convergence. Its cost is cˉ(z,a)=∫c(x,a) z(dx)\bar c(z,a)=\int c(x,a)\,z(dx)cˉ(z,a)=∫c(x,a)z(dx) and its transition kernel is

q(⋅∣z,a)=R(0∣z,a) δδ0+R(1∣z,a) δH(z,a,1).q(\cdot\mid z,a)=R(0\mid z,a)\,\delta_{\delta_0}+R(1\mid z,a)\,\delta_{H(z,a,1)}.q(⋅∣z,a)=R(0∣z,a)δδ0​​+R(1∣z,a)δH(z,a,1)​.

For a policy π\piπ, vαπv^\pi_\alphavαπ​ is its α\alphaα-discounted cost and wπw^\piwπ its average cost per period (a lim sup⁡\limsuplimsup). The optima are vα=inf⁡πvαπv_\alpha=\inf_\pi v^\pi_\alphavα​=infπ​vαπ​ and w=inf⁡πwπw=\inf_\pi w^\piw=infπ​wπ over all history-dependent randomized policies. Write mα=inf⁡zvα(z)m_\alpha=\inf_z v_\alpha(z)mα​=infz​vα​(z), uα=vα−mαu_\alpha=v_\alpha-m_\alphauα​=vα​−mα​ and w∗=inf⁡zw(z)w^*=\inf_z w(z)w∗=infz​w(z).

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem 1 (p. 9)

There are a sequence αn↑1\alpha_n\uparrow 1αn​↑1 and a measurable stationary policy φ\varphiφ that is average-cost optimal among all policies. With w∗w^*w∗ finite and

u(z)=lim inf⁡n→∞, s→zuαn(s)u(z)=\liminf_{n\to\infty,\ s\to z}u_{\alpha_n}(s)u(z)=n→∞, s→zliminf​uαn​​(s)

finite, φ\varphiφ satisfies the average cost optimality inequality (ACOI)

w∗+u(z) ≥ cˉ(z,φ(z))+∫u(s) q(ds∣z,φ(z))for every belief z.w^*+u(z)\ \ge\ \bar c(z,\varphi(z))+\int u(s)\,q(ds\mid z,\varphi(z))\qquad\text{for every belief }z .w∗+u(z) ≥ cˉ(z,φ(z))+∫u(s)q(ds∣z,φ(z))for every belief z.

Milestones, in attack order

  1. §3.1, p. 10. qqq is a measurable stochastic kernel, so the COMDP exists.
  2. Lemma 3, p. 12. Assumption B(i): w∗<∞w^*<\inftyw∗<∞.
  3. §3.2, p. 12. Assumption (W*): cˉ\bar ccˉ is K\mathbb KK-inf-compact and qqq is weakly continuous.
  4. Lemma 2, p. 12 (Feinberg 2016, for a general MDP on Borel spaces). Under (W*) and (B), w∗=lim⁡α↑1(1−α)vαw^*=\lim_{\alpha\uparrow1}(1-\alpha)v_\alphaw∗=limα↑1​(1−α)vα​, and a stationary average-cost optimal policy satisfies the ACOI.
  5. Lemma 4, p. 14. For two inventory paths started at x′≥x≥0x'\ge x\ge 0x′≥x≥0, sharing demands and an arbitrary control rule ζ\zetaζ: Vαζ(x)−Vαζ(x′)≤h−(x′−x)−1{x′−x≥C}h′(x′−x)≤h−CV^\zeta_\alpha(x)-V^\zeta_\alpha(x')\le h^-(x'-x)-\mathbf 1\{x'-x\ge C\}h'(x'-x)\le h^-CVαζ​(x)−Vαζ​(x′)≤h−(x′−x)−1{x′−x≥C}h′(x′−x)≤h−C, with C,α∗,h′>h−C,\alpha_*,h'>h^-C,α∗​,h′>h− uniform.
  6. Display (12), corrected, pp. 13–14. vα(δ0)−vαπ(z′)≤Cˉv_\alpha(\delta_0)-v^\pi_\alpha(z')\le\bar Cvα​(δ0​)−vαπ​(z′)≤Cˉ, uniformly in α∈[α∗,1)\alpha\in[\alpha_*,1)α∈[α∗​,1), in beliefs z′z'z′ and in stationary π\piπ. The paper prints vαπ(δ0)v^\pi_\alpha(\delta_0)vαπ​(δ0​) as the first term. Its proof bounds the cost of a different policy (the "pursuing" policy) started at δ0\delta_0δ0​, and the derivation of (11) uses the optimal value. The printed form, with the same π\piπ at δ0\delta_0δ0​, is not what the proof establishes.
  7. Display (11), p. 13. sup⁡α∈[α∗,1)uα(δ0)<∞\sup_{\alpha\in[\alpha_*,1)}u_\alpha(\delta_0)<\inftysupα∈[α∗​,1)​uα​(δ0​)<∞.
  8. Theorem 2, p. 13. Assumption B(ii): sup⁡α∈[α∗,1)uα(z)<∞\sup_{\alpha\in[\alpha_*,1)}u_\alpha(z)<\inftysupα∈[α∗​,1)​uα​(z)<∞ for every belief zzz.

Significance

Theorem 1 gives existence of a stationary average-cost optimal policy for a partially observed inventory system with lost sales. In that setting the belief space is infinite-dimensional and the state is never fully revealed except at zero. The ACOI also supplies the structure needed to study such a policy. The paper leaves open whether the ACOE (the equality form) holds.

The reduction is reusable. Feinberg's general conditions, (W*) and (B), apply to many belief MDPs. The problem-specific work is the uniform bound B(ii), obtained here through a coupling estimate (Lemma 4) for lost-sales paths under arbitrary, even anticipating, controls.

The paper proves Theorem 1, Theorem 2, Lemma 3 and Lemma 4. Lemma 2 and the (W*) claim are cited from Feinberg (2016) and Feinberg, Kasyanov and Zgurovsky (2016) and are not proved in the paper. As far as is known, none of these results has a machine-checked proof; the general vanishing-discount theory for MDPs on Borel spaces is itself not yet formalized.

Difficulty

The obvious route to B(ii) compares vα(z)v_\alpha(z)vα​(z) with vα(δ0)v_\alpha(\delta_0)vα​(δ0​) by running from zzz the policy that is optimal from δ0\delta_0δ0​. This fails: a policy is a function of the belief, and the beliefs generated from zzz and from δ0\delta_0δ0​ differ, so the same policy produces different orders. The paper goes the other way and bounds vα(δ0)v_\alpha(\delta_0)vα​(δ0​) above by vαπ(z′)+Cˉv^\pi_\alpha(z')+\bar Cvαπ​(z′)+Cˉ. This needs a policy started from δ0\delta_0δ0​ that mimics π\piπ's orders while the two systems have not yet merged. The constant must be uniform in α\alphaα close to 111, so per-period estimates that grow like 1/(1−α)1/(1-\alpha)1/(1−α) are useless.

The (W*) claim has its own difficulty. The observation kernel 1{x>0}\mathbf 1\{x>0\}1{x>0} is discontinuous at 000, so the known criterion for weak continuity of belief kernels, which needs observations continuous in total variation, does not apply. Continuity has to come from the density of DDD.

Formalization scope

The Lean development lives in the namespace PartialLostSales.ACOI. It reuses the published FeinbergLiang.ACOE layer: MDP, history-dependent randomized Policy, vDisc, vOpt, avgCost, wOpt, IsAvgOptimal, uRel, uTilde, IsDiscountSeq, KInfCompact and AssumptionWStar. All costs and values lie in [0,∞][0,\infty][0,∞]. Its conventions are:

  • Spaces. Inventory lives in ℝ≥0 with the Euclidean topology, and actions in the subtype [0,K][0,K][0,K].
  • Beliefs. Beliefs form the subtype of ProbabilityMeasure ℝ≥0 with finite second moment. They carry the weak topology and Mathlib's (Giry) σ-algebra, which is the Borel σ-algebra here.
  • COMDP. "The COMDP" is any MDP satisfying IsCOMDP, which pins the lower bound 000, the cost cˉ\bar ccˉ and the kernel qqq pointwise; milestone 1 shows one exists.
  • Assumption (B). It is the paper's version, with sup⁡\supsup over [α∗,1)[\alpha_*,1)[α∗​,1).
  • Policies. "Stationary" means a measurable map from beliefs to actions.

The paper states that COMDP and POMDP policies correspond with equal values (Feinberg, Kasyanov and Zgurovsky 2016). The goal is stated in the COMDP, and that equivalence is not formalized.

Added hypotheses. Demand is nonnegative. Lemma 4's control rule is measurable, but adaptedness is not required.

Totality devices. The posterior when R(1∣z,a)=0R(1\mid z,a)=0R(1∣z,a)=0, and the map of a posterior back into the belief subtype, have else branches that are never used.

Indexing. Lemma 4 indexes periods from 000 with weight αt\alpha^tαt. Its costs are realized costs, since controls may anticipate.

Trivializing formalizations. Several encodings would make statements trivial, and none is used. The kernel and cost of the MDP are never left free. The ACOI carries explicit finiteness of w∗w^*w∗ and uuu, so it is not an [0,∞][0,\infty][0,∞] inequality that holds when u=∞u=\inftyu=∞. Optimality is over all policies, not only stationary ones. The ACOI uses w∗w^*w∗, not lim sup⁡(1−α)mα\limsup(1-\alpha)m_\alphalimsup(1−α)mα​ or a free constant.

Not formalized.

  • Lemma 1, already open on the platform as FKZAvg.WStar.theorem_2 (v).
  • Theorem 3, p. 20, and the pursuing-policy construction of §4.1.
  • The POMDP–COMDP equivalence.
  • The extensions of §5.

Contributions of general value include Feinberg's average-cost theory on Borel spaces (Lemma 2) and weak continuity of belief kernels with discontinuous observations.

Selected references

  • X. Bai, X. Chen, A. L. Stolyar, Average Cost Optimality in Partially Observed Lost-Sales Inventory Systems, SSRN preprint 3865728; Operations Research Technical Note, 2022. https://ssrn.com/abstract=3865728, https://doi.org/10.1287/opre.2022.2305
  • E. A. Feinberg, Optimality conditions for inventory control, in Optimization Challenges in Complex, Networked and Risky Systems (INFORMS TutORials in Operations Research), 14–45, 2016. https://doi.org/10.1287/educ.2016.0145
  • E. A. Feinberg, P. O. Kasyanov, M. Z. Zgurovsky, Partially observable total-cost Markov decision processes with weakly continuous transition probabilities, Mathematics of Operations Research 41(2), 2016. https://doi.org/10.1287/moor.2015.0746
  • E. A. Feinberg, P. O. Kasyanov, N. V. Zadoianchuk, Average cost Markov decision processes with weakly continuous transition probabilities, Mathematics of Operations Research 37(4), 2012. https://doi.org/10.1287/moor.1120.0555
  • A. Bensoussan, M. Çakanyıldırım, S. P. Sethi, Partially observed inventory systems: the case of zero-balance walk, SIAM Journal on Control and Optimization 46(1), 2007. https://doi.org/10.1137/040620321
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Algebraic TopologyDifferential GeometryGroup Theory·Captain: mikedeng1

Abelian Extensions of Infinite-Dimensional Lie Groups: An Abelian Lie Algebra Extension Integrates to a Connected Lie Group Extension iff Its Periods Lie in Γ_A and Its Flux Factors Through π₀(A)Research Paper

Motivation

Many infinite-dimensional Lie groups arising in geometry and physics — loop groups, gauge groups, groups of diffeomorphisms and of volume-preserving diffeomorphisms — have interesting central and abelian extensions, and these extensions are usually found first at the level of Lie algebras, as continuous 2-cocycles. Whether such a Lie algebra extension comes from a Lie group extension is a genuine question: in infinite dimensions there is no Lie's third theorem, and topological obstructions from π1(G)\pi_1(G)π1​(G) and π2(G)\pi_2(G)π2​(G) appear. K.-H. Neeb's paper [Ne04] answers it for abelian extensions of a connected Lie group GGG by an arbitrary smooth GGG-module AAA whose identity component is a quotient a/ΓA\mathfrak a/\Gamma_Aa/ΓA​ of a vector space by a discrete subgroup. It generalises the central case treated in [Ne02] and the classical finite-dimensional theory.

Timeline:

  • Pressley–Segal (1986): central extensions of loop groups, integrality of the period of the 2-cocycle on π2\pi_2π2​.
  • Neeb (2002) [Ne02]: central extensions of infinite-dimensional Lie groups; period map perω ⁣:π2(G)→a\mathrm{per}_\omega\colon \pi_2(G) \to \mathfrak aperω​:π2​(G)→a and flux homomorphism for central extensions.
  • Neeb (2004) [Ne04]: abelian extensions by non-trivial modules, with the Integrability Criterion (Theorem VI.7) for arbitrary, possibly disconnected, AAA.

Setting

Let GGG be a connected real Lie group modelled on a Banach space, with Lie algebra g=T1(G)\mathfrak g = T_1(G)g=T1​(G), the bracket being that of left-invariant vector fields. A smooth GGG-module is an abelian Lie group AAA with a smooth action G×A→AG \times A \to AG×A→A by group automorphisms. Throughout, its identity component is A0≅a/ΓAA_0 \cong \mathfrak a/\Gamma_AA0​≅a/ΓA​: there is a smooth homomorphism qA ⁣:a→Aq_A\colon \mathfrak a \to AqA​:a→A from a Banach space a\mathfrak aa which is a local diffeomorphism onto A0A_0A0​ with discrete kernel ΓA\Gamma_AΓA​. The action differentiates to an action ρa\rho_{\mathfrak a}ρa​ of GGG on a\mathfrak aa and an action x.vx.vx.v of g\mathfrak gg on a\mathfrak aa; write π0(A)=A/A0\pi_0(A) = A/A_0π0​(A)=A/A0​.

A continuous 2-cocycle ω∈Zc2(g,a)\omega \in Z^2_c(\mathfrak g, \mathfrak a)ω∈Zc2​(g,a) is an alternating continuous bilinear map satisfying the Chevalley–Eilenberg cocycle identity; it defines the Lie algebra a⊕ωg\mathfrak a \oplus_\omega \mathfrak ga⊕ω​g on a×g\mathfrak a \times \mathfrak ga×g with bracket

[(a,x),(a′,x′)]=(x.a′−x′.a+ω(x,x′), [x,x′]).[(a,x),(a',x')] = (x.a' - x'.a + \omega(x,x'),\ [x,x']).[(a,x),(a′,x′)]=(x.a′−x′.a+ω(x,x′), [x,x′]).

It integrates if there is a Lie group extension A↪G^↠GA \hookrightarrow \widehat G \twoheadrightarrow GA↪G↠G — a principal AAA-bundle whose conjugation action on AAA is the given one — whose Lie algebra is equivalent to a⊕ωg\mathfrak a \oplus_\omega \mathfrak ga⊕ω​g.

Three invariants enter:

  • the period group Πω⊆a\Pi_\omega \subseteq \mathfrak aΠω​⊆a, the set of integrals ∫σωeq\int_\sigma \omega^{\mathrm{eq}}∫σ​ωeq of the left-equivariant 2-form ωeq\omega^{\mathrm{eq}}ωeq over smooth spheres σ\sigmaσ in GGG;
  • the flux homomorphism Fω ⁣:π1(G)→Hc1(g,a)F_\omega\colon \pi_1(G) \to H^1_c(\mathfrak g, \mathfrak a)Fω​:π1​(G)→Hc1​(g,a), sending a loop γ\gammaγ to the class of x↦∫01γ(t).ω(γ(t)−1γ′(t),Ad(γ(t))−1.x) dtx \mapsto \int_0^1 \gamma(t).\omega(\gamma(t)^{-1}\gamma'(t), \mathrm{Ad}(\gamma(t))^{-1}.x)\,dtx↦∫01​γ(t).ω(γ(t)−1γ′(t),Ad(γ(t))−1.x)dt;
  • the characteristic homomorphism θ‾A ⁣:π0(A)→Hc1(g,a)\overline\theta_A\colon \pi_0(A) \to H^1_c(\mathfrak g, \mathfrak a)θA​:π0​(A)→Hc1​(g,a), sending [b][b][b] to the class of x↦d(g↦g.b−b)(1)(x)x \mapsto \mathrm d(g \mapsto g.b - b)(1)(x)x↦d(g↦g.b−b)(1)(x).

Formalization targets

Goal: the Integrability Criterion (Theorem VI.7)

For ω∈Zc2(g,a)\omega \in Z^2_c(\mathfrak g, \mathfrak a)ω∈Zc2​(g,a), the extension a⊕ωg\mathfrak a \oplus_\omega \mathfrak ga⊕ω​g integrates to A↪G^↠GA \hookrightarrow \widehat G \twoheadrightarrow GA↪G↠G with G^\widehat GG connected if and only if

Πω⊆ΓAandFω=θ‾A∘γ for some surjective homomorphism γ ⁣:π1(G)→π0(A).\Pi_\omega \subseteq \Gamma_A \quad\text{and}\quad F_\omega = \overline\theta_A \circ \gamma \text{ for some surjective homomorphism } \gamma\colon \pi_1(G) \to \pi_0(A).Πω​⊆ΓA​andFω​=θA​∘γ for some surjective homomorphism γ:π1​(G)→π0​(A).

If AAA is connected, the second condition reads Fω=0F_\omega = 0Fω​=0.

Milestones

  • Lemma IV.2: Πω⊆aG\Pi_\omega \subseteq \mathfrak a^GΠω​⊆aG.
  • Theorem V.4, (1) ⇔ (4): for simply connected GGG and A=a/ΓAA = \mathfrak a/\Gamma_AA=a/ΓA​, ω\omegaω integrates iff Πω⊆ΓA\Pi_\omega \subseteq \Gamma_AΠω​⊆ΓA​.
  • Lemma VI.2 (first assertion, (1), (2)): the path flux is continuous linear, a cocycle on loops with central endpoints acting trivially, and homotopy invariant modulo coboundaries.
  • Proposition VI.3 (restriction to π1(G)\pi_1(G)π1​(G)): FωF_\omegaFω​ is a well-defined homomorphism.
  • Proposition VI.4 (2), (3): for an extension, Fω=−θ‾A∘δF_\omega = -\overline\theta_A \circ \deltaFω​=−θA​∘δ, with δ ⁣:π1(G)→π0(A)\delta\colon \pi_1(G) \to \pi_0(A)δ:π1​(G)→π0​(A) the connecting map; Fω=0F_\omega = 0Fω​=0 if AAA is connected.
  • Lemma III.7 (corrected): modules with the same identity component are isomorphic over A0A_0A0​ iff their characteristic homomorphisms correspond under an isomorphism of π0\pi_0π0​.

Significance

The criterion turns the existence of a Lie group extension, a global geometric object, into two homomorphisms that can be computed from ω\omegaω and the topology of GGG: periods on π2(G)\pi_2(G)π2​(G) and fluxes on π1(G)\pi_1(G)π1​(G). The paper applies it to diffeomorphism groups, to Diff(S1)\mathrm{Diff}(\mathbb S^1)Diff(S1) acting on spaces of λ\lambdaλ-densities, and to Lichnerowicz cocycles on groups of volume-preserving diffeomorphisms; it also underlies the exact sequence relating Hs2(G,A)H^2_s(G, A)Hs2​(G,A) to Hc2(g,a)H^2_c(\mathfrak g, \mathfrak a)Hc2​(g,a) (Theorem VII.2).

The results are proved in the paper; none of them, nor the objects they are stated in (period group, flux, characteristic homomorphism, abelian Lie group extensions), has been formalized before. Formalizing them produces the first machine-checked integrability criterion for Lie algebra extensions, together with a reusable layer for abelian extensions of Banach–Lie groups on top of Mathlib's LieGroup and GroupLieAlgebra.

Difficulty

The necessity of both conditions follows from the long exact homotopy sequence of the principal bundle A↪G^↠GA \hookrightarrow \widehat G \twoheadrightarrow GA↪G↠G, once the connecting maps are identified with −perω-\mathrm{per}_\omega−perω​ on π2\pi_2π2​ and with the flux on π1\pi_1π1​; each identification is a Stokes-theorem computation on a group that is not given in coordinates. Sufficiency is harder. The obvious approach, building G^\widehat GG directly from a local group cocycle, fails when GGG is not simply connected: the cocycle on the universal cover G~\widetilde GG does not descend, and the obstruction is exactly the flux. One has to construct the extension over G~\widetilde GG, show that the lifted π1(G)\pi_1(G)π1​(G) splits centrally, take the quotient, and then recognise the resulting kernel as AAA by comparing characteristic homomorphisms. Mathlib has no long exact homotopy sequence of a bundle, no integration of differential forms on manifolds, and no construction of Lie groups from local data.

Formalization scope

All Lie groups are real and modelled on Banach spaces, with smooth meaning C∞C^\inftyC∞ ((⊤ : ℕ∞), not analytic); this is a special case of the paper's sequentially complete locally convex spaces over R\mathbb RR or C\mathbb CC. All types are in Type. Conventions committed to:

  • A0≅a/ΓAA_0 \cong \mathfrak a/\Gamma_AA0​≅a/ΓA​ is data: qAq_AqA​ smooth, a local diffeomorphism, derivative id\mathrm{id}id at 000, image A0A_0A0​, GGG-equivariant; ΓA=ker⁡qA\Gamma_A = \ker q_AΓA​=kerqA​.
  • Lie algebra cochains are plain maps with the cocycle and coboundary conditions of Definition B.1; cohomology classes are compared by "the difference is a coboundary".
  • π0(A)=A/qA(a)\pi_0(A) = A/q_A(\mathfrak a)π0​(A)=A/qA​(a); π1(G)\pi_1(G)π1​(G) is Mathlib's fundamental group at 111 with smooth loop representatives; π2(G)\pi_2(G)π2​(G) enters through smooth maps R2→G\mathbb R^2 \to GR2→G equal to 111 off the open unit square.
  • Paths are smooth on R\mathbb RR instead of piecewise smooth on [0,1][0,1][0,1].
  • An extension (Extension) is a Lie group G^\widehat GG charted on a×E\mathfrak a \times Ea×E with smooth ι\iotaι, surjective smooth qqq, ker⁡q=ι(A)\ker q = \iota(A)kerq=ι(A), a smooth local trivialisation near 111, the prescribed conjugation action, and a topological linear isomorphism a×g≅L(G^)\mathfrak a \times \mathfrak g \cong \mathbf L(\widehat G)a×g≅L(G) compatible with dι\mathrm d\iotadι, dq\mathrm dqdq and the brackets.

"Integrates" is never a restatement of the two conditions: it asserts the existence of such an extension, and dropping the bracket clause, the conjugation clause or the local trivialisation would make it a different statement.

Lemma III.7 is stated with γ\gammaγ an isomorphism; with a mere homomorphism, as printed, it is false. A complete development needs path lifting and the homotopy sequence for principal bundles, Stokes' theorem for maps [0,1]2→G[0,1]^2 \to G[0,1]2→G, the universal covering group of a Banach–Lie group, and quotients of Lie groups by discrete central subgroups; all of this is reusable beyond this mission. Contributions of any of these pieces, and of further results of the paper (Proposition IV.5, Corollaries VI.5 and VI.6, Theorem VII.2), are welcome.

Selected references

  • K.-H. Neeb, Abelian extensions of infinite-dimensional Lie groups, preprint, 2004. arXiv:math/0402303v1
  • K.-H. Neeb, Central extensions of infinite-dimensional Lie groups, Annales de l'Institut Fourier 52 (2002), 1365–1442. doi:10.5802/aif.1921
  • A. Pressley, G. Segal, Loop Groups, Oxford University Press, 1986.
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Operations ResearchProbabilityStochastic Systems·Captain: mikedeng1

Approximating Systems Fed by Poisson Processes with Rapidly Changing Arrival Rates: A Point Process with Rapidly Fluctuating Arrival Rate Converges Weakly to a Constant-Rate Poisson ProcessResearch Paper

Motivation

Arrival streams to service systems (call centres, hospitals, web servers) are rarely stationary: their rate changes with the time of day, with external events, or with the state of a self-exciting mechanism. Two asymptotic regimes are standard. When the rate varies slowly relative to service times, the system is approximated by a sequence of stationary systems, one per rate level (the pointwise stationary approximation). When the rate varies rapidly, the opposite simplification is expected: the fluctuations average out, and the arrival stream looks like a homogeneous Poisson process with the long-run average rate.

Zheng, Honnappa and Glynn (arXiv:1807.06805v1, published as a Technical Note in Operations Research, 2021) make the rapid regime precise for a general class of arrival processes. The arrival process need not be a doubly stochastic Poisson process; a Hawkes process is allowed. Their Theorem 1 says that, after a time acceleration combined with an independent thinning, the arrival process converges in law on path space to a Poisson process. The remaining results of the paper (total-variation behaviour, first-order corrections in the Markov-modulated case, the infinite-server queue) refine this limit and are not part of this mission.

Setting

A probability space (Ω,F,P)(\Omega,\mathcal F,P)(Ω,F,P) carries a filtration F=(Ft)t≥0\mathcal F=(\mathcal F_t)_{t\ge0}F=(Ft​)t≥0​ and an arrival counting process N=(N(t))t≥0N=(N(t))_{t\ge0}N=(N(t))t≥0​: N(0)=0N(0)=0N(0)=0, NNN is integer valued, non-decreasing and right-continuous, and it is simple, meaning that it increases by exactly one at each arrival epoch. NNN has an F\mathcal FF-compensator A=(A(t))t≥0A=(A(t))_{t\ge0}A=(A(t))t≥0​: a predictable process with A(0)=0A(0)=0A(0)=0 and non-decreasing right-continuous paths such that

M(t)=N(t)−A(t)M(t)=N(t)-A(t)M(t)=N(t)−A(t)

is an F\mathcal FF-martingale. When A(t)=∫0tλ(s) dsA(t)=\int_0^t\lambda(s)\,dsA(t)=∫0t​λ(s)ds, the process λ\lambdaλ is the stochastic intensity of NNN.

Assumption 1. There is a deterministic λ∗∈(0,∞)\lambda^*\in(0,\infty)λ∗∈(0,∞) with A(t)/t⇒λ∗A(t)/t\Rightarrow\lambda^*A(t)/t⇒λ∗ as t→∞t\to\inftyt→∞.

For 0<ε≤10<\varepsilon\le10<ε≤1, let βε=(βiε)i≥1\beta^\varepsilon=(\beta^\varepsilon_i)_{i\ge1}βε=(βiε​)i≥1​ be iid Bernoulli(ε\varepsilonε) random variables independent of NNN. The thinned, accelerated process and its scaled compensator are

Nε(t)=∑i=1N(t/ε)βiε,Aε(t)=εA(t/ε).N_\varepsilon(t)=\sum_{i=1}^{N(t/\varepsilon)}\beta^\varepsilon_i,\qquad A_\varepsilon(t)=\varepsilon A(t/\varepsilon).Nε​(t)=i=1∑N(t/ε)​βiε​,Aε​(t)=εA(t/ε).

NεN_\varepsilonNε​ runs NNN at speed 1/ε1/\varepsilon1/ε and keeps each arrival independently with probability ε\varepsilonε, so the mean rate stays of order λ∗\lambda^*λ∗ while the intensity λε(t)=λ(t/ε)\lambda_\varepsilon(t)=\lambda(t/\varepsilon)λε​(t)=λ(t/ε) fluctuates on the time scale ε\varepsilonε. The σ-algebra Gtε\mathcal G^\varepsilon_tGtε​ is generated by Ft/ε\mathcal F_{t/\varepsilon}Ft/ε​ and the marks βiε\beta^\varepsilon_iβiε​ of the arrivals 1≤i≤N(t/ε)1\le i\le N(t/\varepsilon)1≤i≤N(t/ε) that have occurred.

D[0,∞)D[0,\infty)D[0,∞) is the space of right-continuous real paths on [0,∞)[0,\infty)[0,∞) with left limits, with the Skorokhod J1J_1J1​ topology.

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem 1 (p. 4)

Under Assumption 1,

Nε⇒N0in D[0,∞) as ε↓0,N_\varepsilon\Rightarrow N_0\quad\text{in }D[0,\infty)\text{ as }\varepsilon\downarrow0,Nε​⇒N0​in D[0,∞) as ε↓0,

where N0N_0N0​ is a Poisson process with constant intensity λ∗\lambda^*λ∗. The goal fixes no rate of convergence and no constants; it asserts convergence in law on path space and the identity of the limit.

Milestones

  1. §2, p. 3. NεN_\varepsilonNε​ is a simple point process: every path is a counting path with unit jumps, and each Nε(t)N_\varepsilon(t)Nε​(t) is a random variable.
  2. §2, p. 3. AεA_\varepsilonAε​ is the Gε\mathcal G^\varepsilonGε-compensator of NεN_\varepsilonNε​:
E[Nε(t+s)−Aε(t+s) ∣ Gtε]=Nε(t)−Aε(t),s,t≥0.E\big[N_\varepsilon(t+s)-A_\varepsilon(t+s)\,\big|\,\mathcal G^\varepsilon_t\big]=N_\varepsilon(t)-A_\varepsilon(t),\qquad s,t\ge0 .E[Nε​(t+s)−Aε​(t+s)​Gtε​]=Nε​(t)−Aε​(t),s,t≥0.
  1. Proof of Theorem 1, p. 4. For each t≥0t\ge0t≥0, Aε(t)→λ∗tA_\varepsilon(t)\to\lambda^*tAε​(t)→λ∗t in probability as ε↓0\varepsilon\downarrow0ε↓0.
  2. Theorem 13.4.IV of Daley and Vere-Jones (1988), as the proof applies it: if simple counting processes NnN_nNn​ have compensators AnA_nAn​ (each with respect to its own filtration) with An(t)→λtA_n(t)\to\lambda tAn​(t)→λt in probability for every ttt, then Nn⇒N_n\RightarrowNn​⇒ Poisson(λ\lambdaλ) in D[0,∞)D[0,\infty)D[0,∞).

Significance

Theorem 1 justifies replacing a rapidly fluctuating arrival stream by a homogeneous Poisson stream of rate λ∗\lambda^*λ∗ in the analysis of the system it feeds. If ZZZ collects the other primitives of a queue (service and patience times) and is independent of NεN_\varepsilonNε​, then (Z,Nε)⇒(Z,N0)(Z,N_\varepsilon)\Rightarrow(Z,N_0)(Z,Nε​)⇒(Z,N0​), and any performance functional continuous at (Z,N0)(Z,N_0)(Z,N0​) converges to its value under Poisson input (p. 4). The second half of the paper shows that this approximation holds in law on path space but not in total variation, which is why the J1J_1J1​ statement is the right form of the result.

The result is proved on paper, in two lines that cite a general limit theorem. No part of it has been machine-checked. This mission produces the first formal statement and proof of a Poisson limit for point processes driven by their compensators, the cited theorem (milestone 4), which applies well beyond this paper: superposition limits, rare-event thinning, and Hawkes-process limits all reduce to it. Milestone 2 is a reusable thinning lemma for compensators.

Difficulty

Milestones 1 and 3 are elementary: the first is pathwise, the second is a time change in Assumption 1. Milestone 2 is a conditional-expectation computation with a random number of summands, and needs the marks to be independent of all the information in F∞\mathcal F_\inftyF∞​, not only of NNN (see the scope section).

The difficulty is milestone 4. Convergence of the compensators at each fixed time identifies the limit only through a martingale characterisation of the Poisson process (Watanabe's theorem). Path-space convergence additionally needs J1J_1J1​ tightness of the counting processes. Finite-dimensional convergence of NεN_\varepsilonNε​ is not enough: the statement is about laws on D[0,∞)D[0,\infty)D[0,∞), and the step from fixed times to path space is part of the work. The goal also does not follow from milestones 1 to 4 verbatim: the goal assumes the marks independent of NNN only and does not assume E N(t)<∞E\,N(t)<\inftyEN(t)<∞, while milestone 2 needs both stronger hypotheses.

Formalization scope

All declarations live in the namespace RapidRatePoisson.WeakConv. Conventions:

  • Time and ε\varepsilonε are ℝ≥0. Every statement involving t/εt/\varepsilont/ε assumes ε>0\varepsilon>0ε>0. Processes are ℝ≥0 → Ω → ℝ. Marks are ℕ → Ω → Bool, indexed from 1, and markSeq β is the random sequence (β1,β2,… )(\beta_1,\beta_2,\dots)(β1​,β2​,…).
  • "Simple counting process" is the published MartingaleHT.InfiniteServer.IsUnitJumpCountingPath, required of every path.
  • The compensator is the predictable one, with A(0)=0A(0)=0A(0)=0 (IsCompensator: Mathlib's IsStronglyPredictable and Martingale with respect to a Filtration ℝ≥0). This is the standard meaning of the term. The page's paraphrase without predictability makes Theorem 1 false: for NNN Poisson(1) and A=t/2+JA=t/2+JA=t/2+J, with JJJ an independent increasing pure-jump process of mean t/2t/2t/2 with finitely many jumps, N−AN-AN−A is a martingale and A(t)/t→1/2A(t)/t\to1/2A(t)/t→1/2, but NεN_\varepsilonNε​ is Poisson(1) for every ε\varepsilonε.
  • Assumption 1's "⇒" to a constant is convergence in probability (Mathlib's TendstoInMeasure).
  • "⇒ in D[0,∞)D[0,\infty)D[0,∞)" is the published coupling-form PuhaWardFluid.Limit.ConvInDist with J1J_1J1​ on real paths, which is equivalent to weak convergence of the laws. "As ε↓0\varepsilon\downarrow0ε↓0" is stated along every sequence εn→0\varepsilon_n\to0εn​→0 in (0,1](0,1](0,1], which is equivalent by metrizability. The limit N0N_0N0​ ranges over every process satisfying the published RankBasedSDI.LoadBalancing.IsPoissonProcess with rate λ∗\lambda^*λ∗ on any probability space.
  • "Independent of NNN" in the goal is independence of markSeq (β ε) from the whole path of NNN, for each ε\varepsilonε separately.
  • Milestone 2 adds two disclosed hypotheses: the marks are independent of ⋁tFt\bigvee_t\mathcal F_t⋁t​Ft​, and E N(t)<∞E\,N(t)<\inftyEN(t)<∞. The first is needed because the page's own step that replaces Gtε\mathcal G^\varepsilon_tGtε​ by Ft/ε\mathcal F_{t/\varepsilon}Ft/ε​ fails otherwise (a mark built from an F0\mathcal F_0F0​ coin and the parity of N(1)N(1)N(1) is independent of NNN, yet it reveals the future). The second is needed because a martingale N−AN-AN−A does not make N(t)N(t)N(t) integrable.
  • Milestone 4's statement is the form the proof applies; the paper does not print it.

The trivialising readings are ruled out. The goal is convergence in D[0,∞)D[0,\infty)D[0,∞) with J1J_1J1​, not finite-dimensional or one-time-marginal convergence. The limit carries the Poisson predicate and is not an arbitrary process. The compensator is predictable, not the literal "increasing process making N−AN-AN−A a martingale". A sorry-free check (not uploaded) shows the goal's hypotheses can be met together: the deterministic instance N=A=⌊t⌋N=A=\lfloor t\rfloorN=A=⌊t⌋ with the trivial filtration, λ∗=1\lambda^*=1λ∗=1, and uniform marks on [0,1]N[0,1]^{\mathbb N}[0,1]N.

Needed infrastructure: martingale characterisation of the Poisson process, J1J_1J1​ tightness criteria for counting processes, and conditional expectation over random index sets. All of it is reusable beyond this mission. Contributions to milestone 4 and its supporting lemmas are especially welcome.

Selected references

  • Z. Zheng, H. Honnappa, P. W. Glynn, Approximating Systems Fed by Poisson Processes with Rapidly Changing Arrival Rates, Operations Research (Technical Note), 2021; preprint arXiv:1807.06805v1, 2018. https://arxiv.org/abs/1807.06805
  • D. J. Daley, D. Vere-Jones, An Introduction to the Theory of Point Processes, Springer, 1988 (Theorem 13.4.IV). https://doi.org/10.1007/978-1-4757-2001-3
  • T. C. Brown, A martingale approach to the Poisson convergence of simple point processes, Annals of Probability 6(4), 615–628, 1978. https://doi.org/10.1214/aop/1176995481
  • O. Kallenberg, Foundations of Modern Probability, Springer, 1997. https://doi.org/10.1007/b98838
  • S. N. Ethier, T. G. Kurtz, Markov Processes: Characterization and Convergence, Wiley, 1986. https://doi.org/10.1002/9780470316658
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Convex OptimizationOperations ResearchOptimization+1·Captain: mikedeng1

Gradient-Based Algorithms for Convex Discrete Optimization via Simulation: Truncated Stochastic Subgradient Descent with Rounding Finds an (ε, δ)-Good Solution of Stochastic Submodular MinimizationResearch Paper

Motivation

Many operations decisions are made over discrete, high-dimensional choices whose cost can only be estimated by simulation: how many bikes to place at each station, which subset of facilities to open, how to allocate servers in a queueing network. Each evaluation of a candidate decision is a noisy run of a simulator, and the goal is to select a decision whose true expected cost is close to optimal with high probability. Classical ranking-and-selection procedures compare every candidate, which is hopeless when the number of candidates is 2d2^d2d or NdN^dNd.

Zhang, Zheng and Lavaei (arXiv:2010.16250, Operations Research, 2023) show that when the expected cost is L♮-convex (on {0,1}d\{0,1\}^d{0,1}d: submodular), the problem can be solved with a number of simulation runs that grows only polynomially in ddd, by running a stochastic subgradient method on a convex extension of the objective and rounding the result. Their headline upper bound for the case X={0,1}dX = \{0,1\}^dX={0,1}d is O~(d2ϵ2log⁡1δ)\tilde O\big(\tfrac{d^2}{\epsilon^2}\log\tfrac1\delta\big)O~(ϵ2d2​logδ1​) simulation runs; this mission formalizes its correctness half.

Setting

A decision is a set A⊆{1,…,d}A \subseteq \{1,\dots,d\}A⊆{1,…,d}, identified with its indicator vector 1A∈{0,1}d\mathbb 1_A \in \{0,1\}^d1A​∈{0,1}d. A simulator returns, at decision AAA, a random output F(A,ξA)F(A,\xi_A)F(A,ξA​) whose mean is the objective f(A)=E[F(A,ξA)]f(A) = \mathbb E[F(A,\xi_A)]f(A)=E[F(A,ξA​)]. Independent runs give independent outputs. Three assumptions are standing:

  • Assumption 1 (p. 10): every output F(A,ξA)−f(A)F(A,\xi_A) - f(A)F(A,ξA​)−f(A) is sub-Gaussian with known variance proxy σ2>0\sigma^2 > 0σ2>0.
  • Assumption 2 on {0,1}d\{0,1\}^d{0,1}d (pp. 14, 16): fff is submodular, f(A∩B)+f(A∪B)≤f(A)+f(B)f(A\cap B) + f(A\cup B) \le f(A) + f(B)f(A∩B)+f(A∪B)≤f(A)+f(B).
  • Assumption 4 (p. 16): a bound LLL with ∣f(A)−f(B)∣≤L|f(A) - f(B)| \le L∣f(A)−f(B)∣≤L whenever ∥1A−1B∥∞≤1\|\mathbb 1_A - \mathbb 1_B\|_\infty \le 1∥1A​−1B​∥∞​≤1, which on {0,1}d\{0,1\}^d{0,1}d is every pair.

A consistent permutation of x∈[0,1]dx \in [0,1]^dx∈[0,1]d orders its coordinates decreasingly, xα(1)≥⋯≥xα(d)x_{\alpha(1)} \ge \dots \ge x_{\alpha(d)}xα(1)​≥⋯≥xα(d)​; the neighbouring points are Sx,0=∅S^{x,0} = \emptysetSx,0=∅ and Sx,i={α(1),…,α(i)}S^{x,i} = \{\alpha(1),\dots,\alpha(i)\}Sx,i={α(1),…,α(i)}. The Lovász extension (2) is

f~(x)=f(Sx,0)+∑i=1d[f(Sx,i)−f(Sx,i−1)] xα(i),x∈[0,1]d.\tilde f(x) = f(S^{x,0}) + \sum_{i=1}^d \big[f(S^{x,i}) - f(S^{x,i-1})\big]\,x_{\alpha(i)}, \qquad x \in [0,1]^d.f~​(x)=f(Sx,0)+i=1∑d​[f(Sx,i)−f(Sx,i−1)]xα(i)​,x∈[0,1]d.

The estimator (4) of its subgradient at xxx uses two fresh runs per coordinate, g^α(i)=F(Sx,i,ξi1)−F(Sx,i−1,ξi−12)\hat g_{\alpha(i)} = F(S^{x,i},\xi^1_i) - F(S^{x,i-1},\xi^2_{i-1})g^​α(i)​=F(Sx,i,ξi1​)−F(Sx,i−1,ξi−12​). Algorithm 2 starts at a vertex x0x^0x0, truncates each estimate coordinatewise to [−M,M][-M, M][−M,M] (g~t=TM(g^t)\tilde g^t = T_M(\hat g^t)g~​t=TM​(g^​t)), takes a step xt+1=PX(xt−ηg~t)x^{t+1} = P_X(x^t - \eta\tilde g^t)xt+1=PX​(xt−ηg~​t) with PXP_XPX​ the projection onto [0,1]d[0,1]^d[0,1]d, and averages xˉ=1T∑t<Txt\bar x = \frac1T\sum_{t<T}x^txˉ=T1​∑t<T​xt. Algorithm 1 then simulates nnn times at each neighbouring point S0,…,SdS^0,\dots,S^dS0,…,Sd of xˉ\bar xxˉ and returns one with the smallest sample mean. A solution is (ϵ,δ)(\epsilon,\delta)(ϵ,δ)-PGS (probability of good selection) if, with probability at least 1−δ1-\delta1−δ, its objective value is at most ϵ\epsilonϵ above min⁡f\min fminf.

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem 2 with explicit constants

With d≥1d \ge 1d≥1, ϵ>0\epsilon > 0ϵ>0, 0<δ<10 < \delta < 10<δ<1, and

T≥3584 dσ2ϵ2log⁡2δ,T≥max⁡{2ϵσ,4},M≥L+2σlog⁡4σdTϵ,64d2M2≤ϵ2T,n≥32σ2ϵ2log⁡8dδ,T \ge \tfrac{3584\,d\sigma^2}{\epsilon^2}\log\tfrac2\delta,\quad T \ge \max\{\tfrac{2\epsilon}{\sigma},4\},\quad M \ge L + 2\sigma\sqrt{\log\tfrac{4\sigma dT}{\epsilon}},\quad 64d^2M^2 \le \epsilon^2T,\quad n \ge \tfrac{32\sigma^2}{\epsilon^2}\log\tfrac{8d}{\delta},T≥ϵ23584dσ2​logδ2​,T≥max{σ2ϵ​,4},M≥L+2σlogϵ4σdT​​,64d2M2≤ϵ2T,n≥ϵ232σ2​logδ8d​,

Algorithm 2 with η=1/(MT)\eta = 1/(M\sqrt T)η=1/(MT​) followed by Algorithm 1 returns SSS with

P(f(S)>min⁡f+ϵ)≤δ,\mathbb P\big(f(S) > \min f + \epsilon\big) \le \delta,P(f(S)>minf+ϵ)≤δ,

whatever tie-break the final argmin uses.

Milestones

The milestone list follows the paper's proof: the deterministic properties of the Lovász extension (permutation independence, Lemma 2(i)–(iv), eq. (6)), unbiasedness of (4), the truncation-bias bound (Lemma EC.2), the Azuma-type inequality (Lemma EC.1) and its application to the iterates (Lemma EC.3), the projected-step regret bound (Lemma EC.4), and the rounding guarantee (Theorem 1).

Significance

The theorem certifies that a first-order method solves stochastic submodular minimization to PGS accuracy. At the proof's parameter choices, its simulation budget is 2dT+(d+1)n2dT + (d+1)n2dT+(d+1)n; the paper gives an asymptotic upper bound that also includes a term proportional to d3L2/ϵ2d^3L^2/\epsilon^2d3L2/ϵ2. Section 5 of the paper shows lower bounds of order dϵ2log⁡1δ\tfrac{d}{\epsilon^2}\log\tfrac1\deltaϵ2d​logδ1​. The truncation step improves the asymptotic dependence on ddd relative to untruncated SSGD (p. 20).

The result is proved in the paper; nothing in it is machine-checked. A formalization adds three things. It pins the Θ~\tilde\ThetaΘ~ choices of Theorem 2 to the explicit constants of its proof. It repairs two statements: Lemma EC.2 is false at the printed truncation level (counterexample below), and Lemma 2(ii) is false as an equality of argmin sets. And it produces reusable infrastructure: the Lovász extension on the box with its subgradient, and a tail form of Azuma's inequality that Mathlib does not have (Mathlib's version takes conditional moment-generating-function bounds).

Difficulty

The deterministic layer is classical but has edge cases: ties among coordinates (several consistent permutations), the boundary of the box, and d=1d = 1d=1. The convexity of the Lovász extension of a submodular function is the substantial fact there.

The probabilistic layer is where the obvious argument breaks. The iterates xtx^txt are random and depend on all earlier simulation runs, and the consistent permutation at xtx^txt is a discontinuous function of xtx^txt, so the estimator at step ttt is evaluated at random points chosen by the past. The analysis must condition on the past, use the independence of fresh runs, and control a biased estimator: truncation makes steps bounded but biased, and the bias bound must hold uniformly over points where the true subgradient coordinate can be as large as LLL. Lemma EC.3's printed proof treats ∥g^−g∥1\|\hat g - g\|_1∥g^​−g∥1​ as sub-Gaussian with proxy dσ2d\sigma^2dσ2, which a sum of absolute values is not, so its tail estimate has to be obtained differently. Finally, the rounding step evaluates sample means at random points determined by xˉ\bar xxˉ, so Hoeffding's inequality is applied conditionally on xˉ\bar xxˉ.

Formalization scope

Decisions are Finset (Fin d), points of the box are Fin d → ℝ in Set.Icc 0 1, and indices are 0-based (nbr α i is Sx,iS^{x,i}Sx,i). The Lovász extension is evaluated with a canonical consistent permutation (Tuple.sort of −x-x−x); a milestone shows any consistent permutation gives the same value. Submodularity is the published definition NonmonotoneSubmod.Shared.Submodular.

The simulator is a family of mutually independent random vectors indexed by slots: for each iteration t<Tt < Tt<T, coordinate kkk and j∈{1,2}j \in \{1,2\}j∈{1,2} one gradient slot, and for each neighbouring point i≤di \le di≤d and replication s<ns < ns<n one rounding slot. Each slot is measurable and its output at each AAA is centred at f(A)f(A)f(A) and sub-Gaussian with proxy σ2\sigma^2σ2 (Mathlib's HasSubgaussianMGF). Since each slot is read at one point only, identical distribution is not assumed. The failure probability is bounded for the event "some minimizer of the sample means is bad", as an outer measure, so no measurability of the output is presupposed.

Deviations from the page, all disclosed in the item notes:

  • Theorem 2's constants are taken from its proof (p. ec7). "δ small enough" there means exactly 64d2M2≤ϵ2T64d^2M^2 \le \epsilon^2T64d2M2≤ϵ2T and T≥max⁡{2ϵ/σ,4}T \ge \max\{2\epsilon/\sigma,4\}T≥max{2ϵ/σ,4}, which become hypotheses.
  • The truncation level is corrected to M≥L+2σlog⁡(4σdT/ϵ)M \ge L + 2\sigma\sqrt{\log(4\sigma dT/\epsilon)}M≥L+2σlog(4σdT/ϵ)​. At the printed M=max⁡{L,2σlog⁡(4σdT/ϵ)}M = \max\{L, 2\sigma\sqrt{\log(4\sigma dT/\epsilon)}\}M=max{L,2σlog(4σdT/ϵ)​}, Lemma EC.2 fails. Take d=1d = 1d=1, σ=1\sigma = 1σ=1, Gaussian noise, ϵ=0.1\epsilon = 0.1ϵ=0.1, T=100T = 100T=100, f(∅)=0f(\emptyset) = 0f(∅)=0 and f({1})=M=2log⁡4000f(\{1\}) = M = 2\sqrt{\log 4000}f({1})=M=2log4000​. The truncation bias is then about 0.5640.5640.564 against the claimed 0.00050.00050.0005.
  • Lemma 2(ii) is stated as equality of minima, plus the equivalence of minimizers on {0,1}d\{0,1\}^d{0,1}d.
  • Theorem 1's adaptive stopping rule is replaced by the fixed sample size of its proof, with the missing factor σ2\sigma^2σ2 restored.
  • The cost bounds T(ϵ,δ,MC)T(\epsilon,\delta,\mathcal{MC})T(ϵ,δ,MC) are not formalized: the paper gives them as O(⋅)O(\cdot)O(⋅) bounds, and with the pinned parameters the cost is a deterministic count.

Trivializing readings are excluded. The oracle is centred at fff and has independent slots; σ>0\sigma>0σ>0 is a permitted variance proxy, so a zero-noise oracle is allowed. The bias is that of the truncated estimator. The hypotheses of the goal are jointly satisfiable (for example d=1d = 1d=1, σ=ϵ=1\sigma = \epsilon = 1σ=ϵ=1, δ=1/2\delta = 1/2δ=1/2, T=20000T = 20000T=20000, M=7M = 7M=7, n=100n = 100n=100 with a zero-noise oracle). Contributions of reusable lemmas, in particular the Lovász-extension layer and the tail-form Azuma inequality, are welcome as separate theorems.

Selected references

  • H. Zhang, Z. Zheng, J. Lavaei, Gradient-based algorithms for convex discrete optimization via simulation, Operations Research, 2023; arXiv:2010.16250v3 (2022). https://arxiv.org/abs/2010.16250
  • L. Lovász, Submodular functions and convexity, in Mathematical Programming: The State of the Art, Springer, 1983. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-642-68874-4_10
  • S. Fujishige, Submodular Functions and Optimization, 2nd ed., Annals of Discrete Mathematics 58, Elsevier, 2005. https://doi.org/10.1016/S0167-5060(05)80003-2
  • O. Shamir, A variant of Azuma's inequality for martingales with subgaussian tails, 2011. https://arxiv.org/abs/1110.2392
  • M. Zinkevich, Online convex programming and generalized infinitesimal gradient ascent, ICML 2003. https://dl.acm.org/doi/10.5555/3041838.3041955
  • K. Murota, Discrete Convex Analysis, SIAM, 2003 (Theorem 4.16, convexity of the Lovász extension, proved on Prove2Me as DiscreteConvex.MConvexSetsB.lovasz_convex_iff_submodular). https://doi.org/10.1137/1.9780898718508
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Linear OptimizationOperations ResearchProbability+1·Captain: mikedeng1

Control of Fork-Join Processing Networks with Multiple Job Types and Parallel Shared Resources: The LP-Tracking Policy Is Asymptotically Optimal in Diffusion ScaleResearch Paper

Motivation

In a fork-join network every arriving job is split into several tasks that are processed in parallel and then joined; the job leaves only when its last task is done. Such networks model parallel computing (map-reduce jobs split across machines), assembly and order fulfilment (an order waits for every component), and health care (a patient waits for several test results). When different job types compete for the same parallel resources, the order in which a shared resource serves the types determines how long jobs wait for their slowest task, and therefore how many jobs are in the system.

Optimal control of such networks is hard even with exponential distributions, because the state is the vector of all buffer contents and the dimension grows with the number of types and servers. E. Özkan (arXiv:2002.01496, Mathematics of Operations Research 2022) studies the problem in the conventional heavy-traffic diffusion regime, in which every shared server is critically loaded, and proposes a scheduling policy that tracks the solution of a linear program. The main result is that the policy is asymptotically optimal for the probability that the total holding cost exceeds any threshold. The approach generalizes the network of Figure 2 with a single shared server, controlled by Özkan and Ward (Mathematics of Operations Research 44, 2019), and follows the asymptotic-optimality programme of Bell and Williams (doi:10.1214/aoap/1015345343).

Setting

There are J≥1J\ge1J≥1 job types J\mathcal JJ, III shared servers I\mathcal II and a set of dedicated servers. Shared server iii processes the types Ji\mathcal J_iJi​, ∣Ji∣≥2|\mathcal J_i|\ge2∣Ji​∣≥2; type jjj is processed by the shared servers Ij≠∅\mathcal I_j\neq\emptysetIj​=∅ and by its own dedicated servers Kj\mathcal K_jKj​ (possibly none). A type-jjj job forks into one task per server in Kj∪Ij\mathcal K_j\cup\mathcal I_jKj​∪Ij​. Inter-arrival times of type jjj are uˉjn/λj\bar u_{jn}/\lambda_juˉjn​/λj​ with uˉjn\bar u_{jn}uˉjn​ i.i.d., mean 111 and variance βj2\beta_j^2βj2​; service times are i.i.d. with means 1/μk1/\mu_k1/μk​, 1/μij1/\mu_{ij}1/μij​ and squared coefficients of variation σk2\sigma_k^2σk2​, σij2\sigma_{ij}^2σij2​; all sequences are independent and have exponential moments (Assumption 1).

Let Qk(t)Q_k(t)Qk​(t) and Qij(t)Q_{ij}(t)Qij​(t) be the numbers of tasks waiting in front of dedicated server kkk and of shared server iii (type jjj). The number of type-jjj jobs in the system is Nj=max⁡k∈KjQk∨max⁡i∈IjQijN_j=\max_{k\in\mathcal K_j}Q_k\vee\max_{i\in\mathcal I_j}Q_{ij}Nj​=maxk∈Kj​​Qk​∨maxi∈Ij​​Qij​, and the cost rate is ∑jhjNj\sum_jh_jN_j∑j​hj​Nj​ with hj≥0h_j\ge0hj​≥0. The control is how each shared server divides its effort among its buffers: an admissible policy is head-of-line within each buffer and work-conserving, and it may even anticipate the future (Definition 1).

A sequence of systems indexed by rrr has arrival rates λjr→λj\lambda^r_j\to\lambda_jλjr​→λj​ with every shared server in heavy traffic, ∑j∈Jiλj/μij=1\sum_{j\in\mathcal J_i}\lambda_j/\mu_{ij}=1∑j∈Ji​​λj​/μij​=1 and r(∑j∈Jiλjr/μij−1)→θir(\sum_{j\in\mathcal J_i}\lambda^r_j/\mu_{ij}-1)\to\theta_ir(∑j∈Ji​​λjr​/μij​−1)→θi​, while each dedicated server is either in heavy traffic, r(λjr−μk)→θk∈Rr(\lambda^r_j-\mu_k)\to\theta_k\in\mathbb Rr(λjr​−μk​)→θk​∈R (the set KH\mathcal K^HKH), or in light traffic, →−∞\to-\infty→−∞ (Assumption 2). All systems start empty. Diffusion scaling is N^jr(t)=Njr(r2t)/r\hat N^r_j(t)=N^r_j(r^2t)/rN^jr​(t)=Njr​(r2t)/r, and similarly Q^kr\hat Q^r_kQ^​kr​ and the workload W^ir\hat W^r_iW^ir​ with Wir=∑j∈JiQijr/μijW^r_i=\sum_{j\in\mathcal J_i}Q^r_{ij}/\mu_{ij}Wir​=∑j∈Ji​​Qijr​/μij​.

For b=(qk;wi)≥0b=(q_k;w_i)\ge0b=(qk​;wi​)≥0 the LP (18) minimizes ∑jhjyj\sum_jh_jy_j∑j​hj​yj​ subject to yj≥qky_j\ge q_kyj​≥qk​ (k∈Kjk\in\mathcal K_jk∈Kj​), yj≥qij≥0y_j\ge q_{ij}\ge0yj​≥qij​≥0 and ∑j∈Jiqij/μij=wi\sum_{j\in\mathcal J_i}q_{ij}/\mu_{ij}=w_i∑j∈Ji​​qij​/μij​=wi​; its value is z(b)z(b)z(b). The QP (19) picks the LP optimum of least Euclidean norm. The proposed policy (Definition 2) works in review periods: at the start of a period server iii computes the QP-selected target qij∗q^*_{ij}qij∗​ for the current state. If no buffer exceeds ⌈qij∗⌉\lceil q^*_{ij}\rceil⌈qij∗​⌉, the server serves one job. Otherwise it serves the excess jobs while idling one type mmm that maximizes (qim∗−Qim)/λm(q^*_{im}-Q_{im})/\lambda_m(qim∗​−Qim​)/λm​, until no excess is left.

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem 2 (p. 16)

With (Q~k,W~i)(\tilde Q_k,\tilde W_i)(Q~​k​,W~i​) the limit of Proposition 2 — a semimartingale reflected Brownian motion (SRBM) with data (R+a1,Θ,Σ,R,0)(\mathbb R^{a_1}_+,\Theta,\Sigma,R,0)(R+a1​​,Θ,Σ,R,0) in the heavy-traffic coordinates and Q~k=0\tilde Q_k=0Q~​k​=0 for light-traffic dedicated servers — for every run of the proposed policy, every ϵ>0\epsilon>0ϵ>0 and every t≥0t\ge0t≥0,

lim⁡r→∞P(∑jhjN^jr(t)>ϵ)=P(z(Q~(t),W~(t))>ϵ).\lim_{r\to\infty}\mathbf P\Big(\sum_{j}h_j\hat N^r_j(t)>\epsilon\Big)=\mathbf P\big(z(\tilde Q(t),\tilde W(t))>\epsilon\big).r→∞lim​P(j∑​hj​N^jr​(t)>ϵ)=P(z(Q~​(t),W~(t))>ϵ).

Milestones

  1. Lemma 1 Parts 1–3 and Lemma 2: the LP (18) represents the cost; zzz is Lipschitz; the QP has a unique solution, Lipschitz in bbb, also pathwise.
  2. Proposition 2: under every admissible policy (Q^kr,W^ir)⇒(Q~k,W~i)(\hat Q^r_k,\hat W^r_i)\Rightarrow(\tilde Q_k,\tilde W_i)(Q^​kr​,W^ir​)⇒(Q~​k​,W~i​).
  3. Lemma EC.1.2 and Lemma 5: exponential tail bounds for partial sums and for arrival and service processes after the review epochs.
  4. Lemma 4: with probability tending to one every review period in [0,r2T][0,r^2T][0,r2T] is short and stable, and ends near the target.
  5. Proposition 3: ∥∑jhjN^jr−z(Q^r,W^r)∥T→0\|\sum_jh_j\hat N^r_j-z(\hat Q^r,\hat W^r)\|_T\to0∥∑j​hj​N^jr​−z(Q^​r,W^r)∥T​→0 in probability under the proposed policy.

Significance

Theorem 2, together with the lower bound of Theorem 1 (which holds for every admissible policy and is not part of this mission), shows that the proposed policy is asymptotically optimal for the objective P(∑jhjNj(t)>ϵ)\mathbf P(\sum_jh_jN_j(t)>\epsilon)P(∑j​hj​Nj​(t)>ϵ) simultaneously for all ϵ\epsilonϵ and ttt. The paper then derives asymptotic optimality for the discounted cost (Theorem 3). The policy needs only the solution of an LP and a QP at review epochs, so it scales to large networks where dynamic programming does not.

The results are proved in the paper, with the exception of Proposition 2, whose proof is omitted as following "from standard methodology"; its milestone is therefore a statement the paper asserts. None of the results is formalized. A formal development would produce reusable pieces: Lipschitz sensitivity of LP values and of minimum-norm LP solutions, Chernoff-type bounds for maxima of i.i.d. partial sums, and a precise model of a fork-join network under head-of-line, work-conserving control.

Difficulty

The cost ∑jhjNj\sum_jh_jN_j∑j​hj​Nj​ is not a function of the workloads alone, so the usual heavy-traffic argument (diffusion limit of the workload plus a continuous mapping) only gives a lower bound. Achieving it requires state-space collapse for the cost: the buffers in front of each shared server must stay within o(r)o(r)o(r) of the LP-optimal split at all times up to r2Tr^2Tr2T, under a policy whose review periods are random and whose target moves with the state. The proof controls up to Mr=O(r2)M^r=O(r^2)Mr=O(r2) review periods per server at once, which needs tail bounds of order rke−Crr^ke^{-Cr}rke−Cr uniformly over periods. The light-traffic behaviour of a shared server that idles one type during a Step-3 period depends on heavy traffic of the full server. The natural shortcut — proving tightness of the scaled buffers directly — fails, because the LP may have many optimal solutions; the QP selection and its Lipschitz property (Lemma 1 Part 3) are what make the target trackable.

Formalization scope

  • Indices are Fin J, Fin I, Fin K (0-based); dedicated servers carry an owner map, and the standing structure (∣Ij∣≥1|\mathcal I_j|\ge1∣Ij​∣≥1, ∣Ji∣≥2|\mathcal J_i|\ge2∣Ji​∣≥2, max⁡jhj>0\max_jh_j>0maxj​hj​>0, positive rates) is part of the Network definition. Sums over Ji\mathcal J_iJi​ and maxima over Ij\mathcal I_jIj​ range over incident pairs only.
  • Time is real (t≥0t\ge0t≥0); the systems are indexed by r∈Nr\in\mathbb Nr∈N. Counting processes are N\mathbb NN-valued suprema of partial sums. Review epochs take values in [0,∞][0,\infty][0,∞].
  • A run satisfies the dynamics (2)–(7) of Definition 1 and the empty start for almost every sample path. Work conservation (6) is encoded pathwise on intervals.
  • z(b)z(b)z(b) is the infimum of the LP objective; the QP optimum is a predicate, never a choice function. The policy is encoded with the paper's arbitrary choices left existential. "In an admissible and non-preemptive way" is read as: only buffers in excess of ⌈qij∗⌉\lceil q^*_{ij}\rceil⌈qij∗​⌉ are served, the idled type is not served, and no two jobs are in partial service at once.
  • The SRBM uses the published definitions Reiman84.QueueLength.IsDriftedBM and IsReflectionPair; since RRR is a positive diagonal matrix it is absorbed into the regulator. Weak convergence in Proposition 2 is the published PuhaWardFluid.Limit.ConvInDist.
  • Added hypotheses: Assumptions 1–2 and the empty start everywhere; Σ\SigmaΣ positive definite (asserted on p. 10) in Theorem 2 and Proposition 2; finite second moments of the primitives. No continuity-point hypothesis P(z=ϵ)=0\mathbf P(z=\epsilon)=0P(z=ϵ)=0 is added to Theorem 2.
  • Trivializing formalizations are excluded: the goal is stated for every run of the policy and every SRBM realization (not for some), the policy predicate imposes only the rules of Definition 2, zzz and q∗q^*q∗ are the LP value and the QP minimizer, and all constants in Lemmas 4, 5 and EC.1.2 are chosen before rrr.
  • Not posed: Theorems 1 and 3, Proposition 1, Lemma 3, Lemmas 6–8, display (35) and §6. Contributions of the LP/QP sensitivity results and of the Chernoff bounds are useful beyond this mission.

Selected references

  • E. Özkan, Control of Fork-Join Processing Networks with Multiple Job Types and Parallel Shared Resources, arXiv:2002.01496v1, 2020; Mathematics of Operations Research, 2022. https://arxiv.org/abs/2002.01496
  • E. Özkan, A. R. Ward, On the control of fork-join networks, Mathematics of Operations Research 44:532–564, 2019.
  • S. L. Bell, R. J. Williams, Dynamic scheduling of a system with two parallel servers in heavy traffic with resource pooling: asymptotic optimality of a threshold policy, Annals of Applied Probability 11:608–649, 2001. https://doi.org/10.1214/aoap/1015345343
  • R. J. Williams, An invariance principle for semimartingale reflecting Brownian motions in an orthant, Queueing Systems 30:5–25, 1998.
  • W. Whitt, Stochastic-Process Limits: An Introduction to Stochastic-Process Limits and Their Application to Queues, Springer, 2002.
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EconomicsOperations ResearchStochastic Systems·Captain: mikedeng1

Follow the Crowd with Uncertain Service Capacity: A Customer Who Infers Capacity from the Queue Length Follows the Crowd if and only if the Reward-Cost Ratio Lies in an Inference IntervalResearch Paper

Motivation

Whether a customer joins a queue depends on how long she expects to wait. In the classical observable-queue model of Naor (1969), the service rate is known, and a longer queue only means a longer wait: customers avoid the crowd (ATC), so the more willing others are to join, the less willing the individual is. Many services do not publish their capacity. Staffing in banks, clinics and government offices varies by shift for internal reasons that a customer in the waiting area cannot see. A customer who knows the distribution of capacity, but not its realization, can learn something from the queue itself, and what she learns depends on how others behave.

Yang, Shang and Liu (SSRN 4159035, 2022; published in Manufacturing & Service Operations Management, doi:10.1287/msom.2022.1139) show that this inference can reverse the classical conclusion: an individual may follow the crowd (FTC), joining more often when others join more. Their Proposition 2 characterizes, in closed form, the reward–cost ratios at which this happens. Follow-the-crowd behaviour is the source of multiple equilibria and of the value of disclosing capacity, which the later sections of the paper study.

Setting

The service rate μ\muμ of a single-server queue is μH\mu_HμH​ with prior probability γ\gammaγ and μL\mu_LμL​ with probability 1−γ1-\gamma1−γ, where μH>μL>0\mu_H > \mu_L > 0μH​>μL​>0 and γ∈(0,1)\gamma\in(0,1)γ∈(0,1). Customers arrive as a Poisson process of rate λ\lambdaλ, receive reward RRR from service, and pay CCC per unit of time spent in the system. An arriving customer sees the number nnn of customers present, not the rate. Assumption 2 requires R−C/μL>0R - C/\mu_L > 0R−C/μL​>0, so that a customer facing an empty queue always joins. The queue never exceeds Nˉ=⌊RμH/C⌋\bar N = \lfloor R\mu_H/C\rfloorNˉ=⌊RμH​/C⌋, and ρX=λ/μX\rho_X = \lambda/\mu_XρX​=λ/μX​ for X∈{H,L}X\in\{H,L\}X∈{H,L}.

The other customers follow a joining vector p−=(1,p1−,p2−,… )p^- = (1, p^-_1, p^-_2, \dots)p−=(1,p1−​,p2−​,…): a customer who sees iii others joins with probability pi−∈[0,1]p^-_i\in[0,1]pi−​∈[0,1]. Given μ=μX\mu = \mu_Xμ=μX​, the queue length is a birth–death process with stationary law

πX(n,p−)=ρXn∏i=0n−1pi−∑j=0NˉρXj∏i=0j−1pi−,0≤n≤Nˉ.\pi_X(n,p^-) = \frac{\rho_X^n\prod_{i=0}^{n-1}p^-_i}{\sum_{j=0}^{\bar N}\rho_X^j\prod_{i=0}^{j-1}p^-_i},\qquad 0\le n\le\bar N.πX​(n,p−)=∑j=0Nˉ​ρXj​∏i=0j−1​pi−​ρXn​∏i=0n−1​pi−​​,0≤n≤Nˉ.

A tagged customer who sees nnn updates her belief of high capacity by Bayes' rule, which takes the closed form

θn(p−)=γ πH(0,p−)γ πH(0,p−)+(1−γ) πL(0,p−)(ρL/ρH)n,\theta_n(p^-) = \frac{\gamma\,\pi_H(0,p^-)}{\gamma\,\pi_H(0,p^-) + (1-\gamma)\,\pi_L(0,p^-)(\rho_L/\rho_H)^n},θn​(p−)=γπH​(0,p−)+(1−γ)πL​(0,p−)(ρL​/ρH​)nγπH​(0,p−)​,

and her expected utility of joining is

u(n,p−)=R−C(n+1)[θn(p−)μH+1−θn(p−)μL].u(n,p^-) = R - C(n+1)\Bigl[\frac{\theta_n(p^-)}{\mu_H} + \frac{1-\theta_n(p^-)}{\mu_L}\Bigr].u(n,p−)=R−C(n+1)[μH​θn​(p−)​+μL​1−θn​(p−)​].

Her best response p~n(p−)\tilde p_n(p^-)p~​n​(p−) is to join when u(n,p−)≥0u(n,p^-)\ge0u(n,p−)≥0 (Assumption 1) and at the empty queue, and to balk otherwise. Her ex-ante joining probability is

JPU(p−)=∑n=0Nˉp~n(p−)(γ πH(n,p−)+(1−γ) πL(n,p−)).JP^U(p^-) = \sum_{n=0}^{\bar N}\tilde p_n(p^-)\bigl(\gamma\,\pi_H(n,p^-) + (1-\gamma)\,\pi_L(n,p^-)\bigr).JPU(p−)=n=0∑Nˉ​p~​n​(p−)(γπH​(n,p−)+(1−γ)πL​(n,p−)).

Finally, the threshold profile p−(v)p^-(v)p−(v), v≥0v\ge0v≥0, joins at queue lengths up to ⌊v⌋\lfloor v\rfloor⌊v⌋, joins with probability v−⌊v⌋v-\lfloor v\rfloorv−⌊v⌋ at ⌊v⌋+1\lfloor v\rfloor+1⌊v⌋+1, and balks above. We write θn(v)\theta_n(v)θn​(v), u(n,v)u(n,v)u(n,v) and JPU(v)JP^U(v)JPU(v) for the quantities under p−(v)p^-(v)p−(v).

Formalization targets

Goal: Proposition 2 (corrected)

There exist v∈(0,Nˉ)v\in(0,\bar N)v∈(0,Nˉ) and δ>0\delta > 0δ>0 with JPU(v+δ)>JPU(v)JP^U(v+\delta) > JP^U(v)JPU(v+δ)>JPU(v) if and only if, for some n∈{1,…,Nˉ−1}n\in\{1,\dots,\bar N-1\}n∈{1,…,Nˉ−1},

(n+1)[θn(Nˉ−1)μH+1−θn(Nˉ−1)μL]≤RC<(n+1)[θn((n−2)+)μH+1−θn((n−2)+)μL].(n+1)\Bigl[\frac{\theta_n(\bar N-1)}{\mu_H} + \frac{1-\theta_n(\bar N-1)}{\mu_L}\Bigr] \le \frac RC < (n+1)\Bigl[\frac{\theta_n((n-2)^+)}{\mu_H} + \frac{1-\theta_n((n-2)^+)}{\mu_L}\Bigr].(n+1)[μH​θn​(Nˉ−1)​+μL​1−θn​(Nˉ−1)​]≤CR​<(n+1)[μH​θn​((n−2)+)​+μL​1−θn​((n−2)+)​].

Milestones

In attack order:

  1. the closed form (A-1) of the belief agrees with Bayes' rule (1) at every reachable state;
  2. Lemma 1: θn(p−)\theta_n(p^-)θn​(p−) and u(n,p−)u(n,p^-)u(n,p−) strictly decrease in nnn;
  3. Proposition 1: the best response is a threshold strategy;
  4. Lemma 2: raising others' joining probabilities raises the belief at every queue length;
  5. θn(v)\theta_n(v)θn​(v) increases with vvv;
  6. πX(n,v)\pi_X(n,v)πX​(n,v) is continuous in vvv;
  7. u(n,v)u(n,v)u(n,v) crosses zero at most once, and exactly once under the interval condition;
  8. the congestion effect: more joining by others makes the queue stochastically longer.

Significance

The goal is an exact characterization: it says for which parameter values a rational, Bayesian customer's tendency to join increases with that of the crowd. With known capacity, the congestion effect alone acts and the behaviour is always ATC. FTC is therefore a pure consequence of inference from the queue. The characterization is what the paper's equilibrium analysis (multiple equilibria under FTC) and its comparison of capacity disclosure policies build on.

The formalization adds two things. First, it checks a closed-form characterization against its definitions at every parameter value. The "if" direction of Proposition 2 as printed fails: at λ=3\lambda = 3λ=3, μH=3\mu_H = 3μH​=3, μL=2\mu_L = 2μL​=2, R=5/2R = 5/2R=5/2, C=1C = 1C=1, γ=3/4\gamma = 3/4γ=3/4 (so Nˉ=7\bar N = 7Nˉ=7), the printed interval condition holds at n=5n = 5n=5, but the tagged customer starts joining at state 5 while state 5 is still unreachable, and JPUJP^UJPU never increases. The goal is the corrected statement. Second, none of the paper's results is machine-checked anywhere; the mission produces the first formal development of a Bayesian strategic queue.

Difficulty

The paper's proof of Proposition 2 runs as follows. The utility u(n,v)u(n,v)u(n,v) increases in vvv, so at a unique v∗v^\astv∗ the customer's threshold moves from nnn to n+1n+1n+1, and continuity of the law in vvv makes JPUJP^UJPU jump up. The step that fails is the jump: it adds γπH(n,v∗)+(1−γ)πL(n,v∗)\gamma\pi_H(n,v^\ast) + (1-\gamma)\pi_L(n,v^\ast)γπH​(n,v∗)+(1−γ)πL​(n,v∗), which is zero when state nnn is unreachable under p−(v∗)p^-(v^\ast)p−(v∗), that is, when v∗≤n−2v^\ast\le n-2v∗≤n−2. The correction moves the upper endpoint from the belief at v=0v = 0v=0 to the belief at v=(n−2)+v = (n-2)^+v=(n−2)+.

The converse direction, which the paper does not argue, needs the congestion effect in quantitative form. Between crossings, the best response is fixed and JPUJP^UJPU is a fixed cumulative probability of a queue that grows stochastically with vvv, so it cannot increase. Every increase must come from a jump at a reachable state, and turning that into the interval condition requires the strict monotonicity of the belief in vvv on [0,Nˉ−1][0,\bar N-1][0,Nˉ−1]. Neither monotonicity in the joining vector (Lemma 2) nor first-order stochastic dominance (the congestion effect) follows from a one-line computation. Each is a ratio comparison of truncated sums, πH(0,p)/πL(0,p)\pi_H(0,p)/\pi_L(0,p)πH​(0,p)/πL​(0,p) and ∑n≤mπX(n,p)\sum_{n\le m}\pi_X(n,p)∑n≤m​πX​(n,p), in which every coordinate of ppp enters many terms.

Formalization scope

All objects live in one definition item, FollowCrowd.Inference.Model, built on Mathlib alone. States are natural numbers, and joining vectors are functions N→R\mathbb N\to\mathbb RN→R, of which only the coordinates 0,…,Nˉ−10,\dots,\bar N-10,…,Nˉ−1 enter the law. Nˉ\bar NNˉ is Nat.floor, and sums run over Finset.range (Nbar + 1).

The formalization commits to five conventions, each disclosed in the item statements:

  • Added positivity. λ>0\lambda > 0λ>0 and C>0C > 0C>0 are added to the paper's stated assumptions; the paper uses both implicitly.
  • Belief by (A-1). The belief is defined by the closed form (A-1), not by Bayes' rule (1), which is 0/00/00/0 at unreachable states. The paper itself evaluates θn(0)\theta_n(0)θn​(0) at such states. Milestone 1 recovers (1) where it is defined.
  • Tie-break. At u(n,p−)=0u(n,p^-) = 0u(n,p−)=0 the paper allows any joining probability; Assumption 1 selects joining. This is why the left inequality of the goal is weak.
  • Ex-ante joining probability. JPUJP^UJPU is a sum over all states of the pure best response, which by Proposition 1 equals the paper's form.
  • Proposition 1. It is stated with threshold m≥0m\ge0m≥0, because the printed form with m≥1m\ge1m≥1 cannot express the best response (1,0,…,0)(1,0,\dots,0)(1,0,…,0).

The trivializing formalization to rule out is one that takes the crossing point or the jump of JPUJP^UJPU as a hypothesis. The goal quantifies over vvv and δ\deltaδ and compares values of JPUJP^UJPU, which is defined from the primitives. The hypotheses are satisfiable (Figure 1's parameters satisfy them), and the counterexample to the printed statement is checked in Lean in exact arithmetic.

A complete development needs:

  • finite birth–death laws;
  • monotone likelihood-ratio arguments for truncated geometric sums;
  • continuity of the threshold profile.

The likelihood-ratio and stochastic-dominance lemmas for truncated product-form laws are reusable beyond this mission. Contributions are welcome on any milestone, and in particular on the two monotonicity results (Lemma 2 and the congestion effect), which both directions of the goal use.

Selected references

  • L. Yang, W. Shang and L. Liu, Follow the crowd with uncertain service capacity, SSRN working paper 4159035, version of June 24, 2022; Manufacturing & Service Operations Management, 2022. https://ssrn.com/abstract=4159035, https://doi.org/10.1287/msom.2022.1139
  • P. Naor, The regulation of queue size by levying tolls, Econometrica 37(1), 1969, 15–24. https://doi.org/10.2307/1909200
  • R. Hassin and M. Haviv, To Queue or Not to Queue: Equilibrium Behavior in Queueing Systems, Kluwer, 2003. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-1-4615-0359-0
10 thms1 active userReviewed
EconomicsOperations Research·Captain: mikedeng1

Invite Your Friend and You’ll Move Up in Line: Optimal Design of Referral Priority Programs: A Unique Cutoff Base Market Size Separates Partial Priority, Full Priority and Strategic DelayResearch Paper

Motivation

Firms launching a new product often open a sign-up waitlist before they can serve everyone, and many of them reward customers who invite friends with a better place in line. Robinhood (commission-free trading) and x.ai (AI email scheduling) ran such referral priority programs, the first with full priority for referrers and the second with a partial jump in line (paper, p. 2). The design question is operational as much as it is about marketing. Priority for referrers brings in more customers, but those customers add to the congestion that the waitlist exists to ration, and every customer moved forward pushes someone else back.

L. Yang, Invite your friend and you'll move up in line: optimal design of referral priority programs (Manufacturing & Service Operations Management 23(5), 2021; doi:10.1287/msom.2020.0868), treats the waitlist as a queue and the referral reward as a scheduling policy, and asks which posted delays maximize the number of customers acquired. Its predecessor, Yang and Debo (2019, Management Science), fixed the scheduling policy to full priority for referrers. The 2021 paper optimizes over all operationally achievable policies, and its main result, Proposition 4, shows that the optimum depends on the base market size: depending on that size it is partial priority, full priority, or a policy that deliberately idles the server.

Setting

The waitlist is a single-server queue with exponential service of rate μ\muμ, the firm's capacity. Base customers arrive as a Poisson process of rate Λ\LambdaΛ, the base market size. Every customer values service at VVV and pays a waiting cost ccc per unit of time spent in the system. On arrival a customer joins with probability α∈[0,1]\alpha\in[0,1]α∈[0,1]. A joining customer chooses a referral effort r∈[0,1]r\in[0,1]r∈[0,1] at cost krkrkr, and with probability rrr her friend arrives and makes the same decisions. A referral converts if the friend joins.

The firm posts two expected delays: W1W_1W1​ for customers whose referral converted, and W0W_0W0​ for everyone else. A joining customer who exerts effort r′r'r′ while others join with probability α\alphaα gets expected utility

U(r′)=V−kr′−c [r′αW1+(1−r′α)W0].U(r')=V-kr'-c\,[r'\alpha W_1+(1-r'\alpha)W_0].U(r′)=V−kr′−c[r′αW1​+(1−r′α)W0​].

Joining is then a compound Poisson stream with geometric batches, and the system throughput is Λα/(1−rα)\Lambda\alpha/(1-r\alpha)Λα/(1−rα).

Problem 1 maximizes the throughput over W1,W0≥0W_1,W_0\ge0W1​,W0​≥0 and r,α∈[0,1]r,\alpha\in[0,1]r,α∈[0,1], subject to:

  • individual rationality, U(r)≥0U(r)\ge0U(r)≥0;
  • incentive compatibility, r∈arg⁡max⁡r′∈[0,1]U(r′)r\in\arg\max_{r'\in[0,1]}U(r')r∈argmaxr′∈[0,1]​U(r′);
  • the three operational achievability constraints
rαW1+(1−rα)W0≥1μ(1−rα)−Λα,W1≥1μ(1−rα)−Λrα2,W0≥1μ−Λα,r\alpha W_1+(1-r\alpha)W_0\ge\frac{1}{\mu(1-r\alpha)-\Lambda\alpha},\quad W_1\ge\frac{1}{\mu(1-r\alpha)-\Lambda r\alpha^2},\quad W_0\ge\frac{1}{\mu-\Lambda\alpha},rαW1​+(1−rα)W0​≥μ(1−rα)−Λα1​,W1​≥μ(1−rα)−Λrα21​,W0​≥μ−Λα1​,

labelled (6a), (6b), (6c);

  • stability, Λα/(1−rα)<μ\Lambda\alpha/(1-r\alpha)<\muΛα/(1−rα)<μ.

The paper assumes V>c/μV>c/\muV>c/μ throughout (Assumption 1). The first-best problem is Problem 1 without incentive compatibility. A posted policy is work-conserving if (6a) binds; full priority if (6a) and (6b) both bind; partial priority if (6a) binds, (6b) is slack and W1<W0W_1<W_0W1​<W0​; and strategic delay if (6a) is slack, so that the server is idled on purpose.

Formalization targets

Goal: Proposition 4

Let rFB=(−4kμ(c+ΛV−μV)+(−kΛ+kμ+μV)2−kΛ+kμ+μV)/(2kμ)r^{FB}=\big(-\sqrt{4k\mu(c+\Lambda V-\mu V)+(-k\Lambda+k\mu+\mu V)^2}-k\Lambda+k\mu+\mu V\big)/(2k\mu)rFB=(−4kμ(c+ΛV−μV)+(−kΛ+kμ+μV)2​−kΛ+kμ+μV)/(2kμ) be the first-best effort. If k<V−c/μk<V-c/\muk<V−c/μ, there is a unique cutoff Λ∗∈(0,μ−c/V)\Lambda^*\in(0,\mu-c/V)Λ∗∈(0,μ−c/V) such that, for 0<Λ<μ−c/V0<\Lambda<\mu-c/V0<Λ<μ−c/V:

{Λ>Λ∗:partial priority with W1=1μ(1−rFB)−Λ−k(1−rFB)c, W0=1μ(1−rFB)−Λ+krFBc achieves the first best;Λ=Λ∗:full priority achieves the first best;Λ<Λ∗:the first best is not achievable, and strategic delay with αSB=1, rSB=μ(V−k)−c(V−k)(μ+Λ),W1=1μ(1−rSB)−ΛrSB, W0=W1+k/c is optimal in Problem 1.\begin{cases}\Lambda>\Lambda^*: & \text{partial priority with } W_1=\frac{1}{\mu(1-r^{FB})-\Lambda}-\frac{k(1-r^{FB})}{c},\ W_0=\frac{1}{\mu(1-r^{FB})-\Lambda}+\frac{kr^{FB}}{c}\ \text{achieves the first best;}\\[4pt] \Lambda=\Lambda^*: & \text{full priority achieves the first best;}\\[4pt] \Lambda<\Lambda^*: & \text{the first best is not achievable, and strategic delay with } \alpha^{SB}=1,\ r^{SB}=\frac{\mu(V-k)-c}{(V-k)(\mu+\Lambda)},\\ & W_1=\frac{1}{\mu(1-r^{SB})-\Lambda r^{SB}},\ W_0=W_1+k/c\ \text{is optimal in Problem 1.}\end{cases}⎩⎨⎧​Λ>Λ∗:Λ=Λ∗:Λ<Λ∗:​partial priority with W1​=μ(1−rFB)−Λ1​−ck(1−rFB)​, W0​=μ(1−rFB)−Λ1​+ckrFB​ achieves the first best;full priority achieves the first best;the first best is not achievable, and strategic delay with αSB=1, rSB=(V−k)(μ+Λ)μ(V−k)−c​,W1​=μ(1−rSB)−ΛrSB1​, W0​=W1​+k/c is optimal in Problem 1.​

The goal asserts the existence and uniqueness of the cutoff, not its numerical value. The paper gives a closed form for Λ∗\Lambda^*Λ∗ through the root of a cubic, but the goal does not depend on that form.

Milestones

In the order of the paper's proof:

  1. rFB∈(0,1)r^{FB}\in(0,1)rFB∈(0,1) solves (A.2), V−rFBk−c/(μ(1−rFB)−Λ)=0V-r^{FB}k-c/(\mu(1-r^{FB})-\Lambda)=0V−rFBk−c/(μ(1−rFB)−Λ)=0.
  2. Proposition 1 (i): in the first best, α=1\alpha=1α=1 and r=rFBr=r^{FB}r=rFB, and every first-best optimum is work-conserving.
  3. The first best is implementable (feasible with IC) iff (A.3) holds, and then only with the delays of Proposition 4 (i).
  4. The cubic g(r)=(μ(1−r)2(V−rk)+rc)(V−k)−c(V−rk)g(r)=(\mu(1-r)^2(V-rk)+rc)(V-k)-c(V-rk)g(r)=(μ(1−r)2(V−rk)+rc)(V−k)−c(V−rk) has a unique root r∗∈(0,1)r^*\in(0,1)r∗∈(0,1), with a sign change there.
  5. Λ∗=μ(1−r∗)−c/(V−r∗k)∈(0,μ−c/V)\Lambda^*=\mu(1-r^*)-c/(V-r^*k)\in(0,\mu-c/V)Λ∗=μ(1−r∗)−c/(V−r∗k)∈(0,μ−c/V), and (A.3) holds iff Λ≥Λ∗\Lambda\ge\Lambda^*Λ≥Λ∗.
  6. (A.1): every referral-generating feasible mechanism has V−k/α−c/(μ(1−rα)−Λrα2)≥0V-k/\alpha-c/(\mu(1-r\alpha)-\Lambda r\alpha^2)\ge0V−k/α−c/(μ(1−rα)−Λrα2)≥0.
  7. Under (A.1) the throughput is at most Λ/(1−rSB)\Lambda/(1-r^{SB})Λ/(1−rSB).
  8. For Λ<Λ∗\Lambda<\Lambda^*Λ<Λ∗, (A.6) holds strictly at rSBr^{SB}rSB.

Significance

The result changes the design rule. Giving referrers priority is not always right, and when it is right it should not always be full priority. When the base market is moderately large, a partial reward is enough: it makes customers indifferent between referring and not, which is all the first best needs. When the base market is small, the reward needed to induce first-best referrals would let referrers overtake everyone, and that is not operationally achievable. The firm then does better by adding delay for non-referrers on top of full priority, even though this idles capacity. The cutoff Λ∗\Lambda^*Λ∗ is where these two regimes meet. The paper's Proposition 5 (its comparative statics in kkk) and the numerical sections build on it.

The paper proves the result by hand, by KKT reasoning and algebra on rational functions, and has no machine-checked version. Formalizing it pins down exactly what "the first best can be achieved" and "optimal in the second best" quantify over. It also forces the details that the written proof handles loosely to be checked: the paper writes the range "(subject to Λ≥μ−c/V\Lambda\ge\mu-c/VΛ≥μ−c/V)" where it means Λ<μ−c/V\Lambda<\mu-c/VΛ<μ−c/V; (A.5) prints a minus sign that should be a plus; and the positivity of μ(1−rSB)−Λ\mu(1-r^{SB})-\Lambdaμ(1−rSB)−Λ is argued circularly. The development is elementary real analysis, so a complete proof is a realistic target.

Difficulty

Uniqueness of the cutoff does not follow from any one regime. It needs the first-best effort rFBr^{FB}rFB to be strictly monotone in Λ\LambdaΛ, so that the root r∗r^*r∗ of the cubic ggg maps to exactly one base market size, together with an exact sign pattern of ggg on (0,1)(0,1)(0,1). Part (iii) is a global optimality claim over every mechanism feasible for Problem 1, FIFO included. The incentive constraint is an argmax over efforts, and the feasible set is not convex, so checking first-order conditions at the proposed tuple is not enough. A full proof must bound every referral-generating mechanism and then show that the bound is attained by a mechanism satisfying all the constraints. The second step, implementability, is where the strict form of (A.6) comes in.

Formalization scope

All quantities are real numbers. The parameters μ,c,V,k\mu,c,V,kμ,c,V,k form a structure Env, and Λ\LambdaΛ is a separate argument, because the goal fixes Λ∗\Lambda^*Λ∗ before quantifying over Λ\LambdaΛ. The standing hypotheses are μ>0\mu>0μ>0, c>0c>0c>0, k>0k>0k>0 and Assumption 1, V>c/μV>c/\muV>c/μ. The positivity of μ\muμ, ccc and kkk is an addition: the paper uses it without stating it. Λ>0\Lambda>0Λ>0 is a hypothesis wherever Λ\LambdaΛ appears.

Problem 1 is encoded constraint by constraint, as printed:

  • incentive compatibility is the exact best response over r′∈[0,1]r'\in[0,1]r′∈[0,1], not the paper's slope trichotomy;
  • the right-hand sides of (6a)–(6c) are divisions, as printed;
  • stability is written Λα<μ(1−rα)\Lambda\alpha<\mu(1-r\alpha)Λα<μ(1−rα). This is equivalent to the printed condition when rα<1r\alpha<1rα<1, and it rules out rα=1r\alpha=1rα=1, where Lean's division would return 0.

Under stability every denominator in (6a)–(6c) is positive. "Achieves the first best" means feasible for Problem 1, with throughput equal to the maximum (IsGreatest) of the first-best problem's throughputs. "Optimal in the second best" means maximum over all Problem-1-feasible throughputs. Part (ii) names no delays on the page, so the delays of part (i) at rFBr^{FB}rFB are used; milestone 3 shows they are the only possible ones.

Two encodings would make the goal trivial or empty, and neither is used. The first-best value is never defined as the closed form Λ/(1−rFB)\Lambda/(1-r^{FB})Λ/(1−rFB), and incentive compatibility is never dropped from Problem 1. The cutoff is an existential with uniqueness, quantified before Λ\LambdaΛ, not a closed form at which the trichotomy is merely checked. A sorry-free check, outside the proposal, exhibits feasible tuples on both sides of the cutoff (μ=c=1\mu=c=1μ=c=1, V=10V=10V=10, k=2k=2k=2, Λ=7/18\Lambda=7/18Λ=7/18 and Λ=1/100\Lambda=1/100Λ=1/100), so the hypotheses can be satisfied.

Out of scope: Lemma 1 (the achievable region, which Problem 1 states directly), Proposition 1 (ii), Propositions 2, 3 and 5–9, and the numerical sections. Proofs of any milestone are welcome. Milestones 4 and 5 (the cubic and the cutoff) and the relaxation bound are independent of one another and can be attacked in parallel.

Selected references

  • L. Yang, Invite your friend and you'll move up in line: optimal design of referral priority programs, Manufacturing & Service Operations Management 23(5), 2021. doi:10.1287/msom.2020.0868; accepted manuscript at escholarship.org/uc/item/2528d4dx.
  • L. Yang, L. Debo, Referral priority program: leveraging social ties via operational incentives, Management Science 65(5):2231–2248, 2019.
  • E. G. Coffman, I. Mitrani, A characterization of waiting time performance realizable by single-server queues, Operations Research 28(3):810–821, 1980.
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Algorithmic Game TheoryInformation TheoryOperations Research+1·Captain: mikedeng1

Simulation of a Random Variable and its Application to Game Theory: With a Leaked Randomness Source, Alice Can Secure J_cav(H(X|Y)) in the n-Stage Repeated Game up to the Error Term (10)Research Paper

Motivation

A mixed strategy assumes a player can draw from any distribution. A real player may only have a limited or imperfect source of randomness, and an opponent may observe part of it. Repeated games with bounded randomness ask how much a player can guarantee in that situation. Gossner and Vieille (2002, Games Econ. Behav. 41(2), 206–226) studied a repeated zero-sum game in which the maximizer's only source of randomness is an i.i.d. sequence she observes privately. Valizadeh and Gohari (2017) generalized this to a leaked randomness source, in which the opponent observes a correlated sequence, and characterized the long-run max-min value. This mission formalizes the next question, studied in Valizadeh and Gohari, Playing Games with Bounded Entropy: Convergence Rate and Approximate Equilibria (arXiv:1902.03676v1, 2019; published as Simulation of a Random Variable and its Application to Game Theory, Math. Oper. Res. 2021): how fast does the max-min value of the nnn-stage game approach its long-run limit?

Timeline:

  • 2002, Gossner and Vieille: the long-run max-min value when Alice's private source is i.i.d. and Bob does not observe it.
  • 2017, Valizadeh and Gohari: the long-run max-min value Jcav(A)(H(X∣Y))J^{(A)}_{cav}(H(X|Y))Jcav(A)​(H(X∣Y)) with a leaked source. The same quantity bounds every nnn-stage max-min value from above (Theorem 5 of the paper, cited there and not proved).
  • 2019, Valizadeh and Gohari (this paper): an explicit lower bound for the nnn-stage game (Theorem 6), which gives the rate log⁡n/n1/4\sqrt{\log n}/n^{1/4}logn​/n1/4 (Corollary 7). The tool is a one-shot simulation lemma for random mappings (Lemma 14).

Setting

Alice (maximizer) and Bob (minimizer) have finite nonempty action sets A\mathcal AA and B\mathcal BB, and Bob pays Alice uabu_{ab}uab​ when the actions are (a,b)(a,b)(a,b). A joint pmf pXYp_{XY}pXY​ on finite alphabets X×Y\mathcal X\times\mathcal YX×Y is publicly known. At each stage t=1,…,nt=1,\dots,nt=1,…,n a fresh pair (Xt,Yt)∼pXY(X_t,Y_t)\sim p_{XY}(Xt​,Yt​)∼pXY​ is drawn, independently of the past. Alice observes XtX_tXt​ and Bob observes YtY_tYt​. Both then act, and both actions are publicly monitored.

Strategies are deterministic. Alice's stage-ttt action is At=σt(A1,B1,…,At−1,Bt−1,X1,…,Xt)A_t=\sigma_t(A_1,B_1,\dots,A_{t-1},B_{t-1},X_1,\dots,X_t)At​=σt​(A1​,B1​,…,At−1​,Bt−1​,X1​,…,Xt​), and Bob's is Bt=τt(A1,B1,…,At−1,Bt−1,Y1,…,Yt)B_t=\tau_t(A_1,B_1,\dots,A_{t-1},B_{t-1},Y_1,\dots,Y_t)Bt​=τt​(A1​,B1​,…,At−1​,Bt−1​,Y1​,…,Yt​). Each player's only randomness is their own source. The payoff is the expected average

λ(σn,τn)=E[1n∑t=1nuAtBt],\lambda(\sigma^n,\tau^n)=\mathbb E\Big[\frac1n\sum_{t=1}^nu_{A_tB_t}\Big],λ(σn,τn)=E[n1​t=1∑n​uAt​Bt​​],

with the expectation taken over the i.i.d. sources.

Logarithms are base 2. H(p)H(p)H(p) is the Shannon entropy and H(X∣Y)H(X|Y)H(X∣Y) the conditional entropy. For α>0\alpha>0α>0, α≠1\alpha\ne1α=1, Hα(p)=α1−αlog⁡∥p∥αH_\alpha(p)=\frac{\alpha}{1-\alpha}\log\|p\|_\alphaHα​(p)=1−αα​log∥p∥α​ is the Rényi entropy and Hα(X∣Y)=α1−αlog⁡∑ypY(y)∥pX∣Y=y∥αH_\alpha(X|Y)=\frac{\alpha}{1-\alpha}\log\sum_yp_Y(y)\|p_{X|Y=y}\|_\alphaHα​(X∣Y)=1−αα​log∑y​pY​(y)∥pX∣Y=y​∥α​ the conditional Rényi entropy. The total variation distance is ∥p−q∥TV=12∑∣p−q∣\|p-q\|_{TV}=\frac12\sum|p-q|∥p−q∥TV​=21​∑∣p−q∣.

The benchmark (Definition 4) is built in three steps:

  • the security level U(A)(pA)=min⁡b∑apA(a)uabU^{(A)}(p_A)=\min_b\sum_ap_A(a)u_{ab}U(A)(pA​)=minb​∑a​pA​(a)uab​;
  • the entropy-constrained value J(A)(h)=max⁡{U(A)(pA):H(pA)≤h}J^{(A)}(h)=\max\{U^{(A)}(p_A):H(p_A)\le h\}J(A)(h)=max{U(A)(pA​):H(pA​)≤h};
  • its upper concave envelope Jcav(A)J^{(A)}_{cav}Jcav(A)​ on [0,∞)[0,\infty)[0,∞).

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem 6 (p. 14)

There exist r>0r>0r>0, β>0\beta>0β>0, γ≥0\gamma\ge0γ≥0 and μ≥0\mu\ge0μ≥0 with the following property. For all sequences fn∈Nf_n\in\mathbb Nfn​∈N, 0≤gn≤r0\le g_n\le r0≤gn​≤r, 0≤hn≤10\le h_n\le10≤hn​≤1, there are Alice strategies σn\sigma^nσn such that for all Bob strategies τn\tau^nτn and all nnn,

λ(σn,τn)≥Jcav(A)(H(X∣Y))−μ(1n+1fn+fnn+gn+2−12(nfn−1)hn(βgn−γhn)).(10)\lambda(\sigma^n,\tau^n)\ge J^{(A)}_{cav}(H(X|Y))-\mu\Big(\frac1n+\frac1{f_n}+\frac{f_n}n+g_n+2^{-\frac12(\frac n{f_n}-1)h_n(\beta g_n-\gamma h_n)}\Big).\quad(10)λ(σn,τn)≥Jcav(A)​(H(X∣Y))−μ(n1​+fn​1​+nfn​​+gn​+2−21​(fn​n​−1)hn​(βgn​−γhn​)).(10)

Milestones

The milestones are the results that the paper's proof (§3.3 and Appendix A) uses, in attack order:

  • the total variation properties of Lemma 1;
  • the second-order Taylor bounds (3)–(6) for Rényi entropies on [1/2,2][1/2,2][1/2,2];
  • the random-mapping estimates (A.9), (A.11) and (A.5);
  • the simulation Lemma 14,
∑fpF(f)∥pf(X)Y−pApY∥TV≤min⁡α∈[1,2]2−(1−1α)(Hα(X∣Y)−H1/α(A)+2);\sum_fp_F(f)\|p_{f(X)Y}-p_Ap_Y\|_{TV}\le\min_{\alpha\in[1,2]}2^{-(1-\frac1\alpha)(H_\alpha(X|Y)-H_{1/\alpha}(A)+2)};f∑​pF​(f)∥pf(X)Y​−pA​pY​∥TV​≤α∈[1,2]min​2−(1−α1​)(Hα​(X∣Y)−H1/α​(A)+2);
  • the block lengths (17);
  • the two-point representation (18)–(19) of Jcav(A)(H(X∣Y))J^{(A)}_{cav}(H(X|Y))Jcav(A)​(H(X∣Y)) and its degenerate cases (Lemma 16);
  • Rényi additivity (24)–(25), the entropy-gap inequality (29), and the per-block bound (31).

Significance

Theorem 6 makes the convergence of the nnn-stage max-min value quantitative. With fn≍nf_n\asymp\sqrt nfn​≍n​ and gn≍log⁡n/n1/4g_n\asymp\sqrt{\log n}/n^{1/4}gn​≍logn​/n1/4 it gives a rate of log⁡n/n1/4\sqrt{\log n}/n^{1/4}logn​/n1/4. Combined with the cited upper bound, it says how long a game must be before limited, partially leaked randomness costs Alice at most ε\varepsilonε. Lemma 14 is of independent use: it bounds how well a deterministic function of one correlated source can imitate an independent random variable in total variation, and it is stated with Rényi entropies of both orders α\alphaα and 1/α1/\alpha1/α. The paper also uses it for approximate equilibria.

On formalization: none of these results has a machine-checked proof. The mission produces finite pmf-level definitions of Shannon and Rényi entropy in bits, a model of repeated games with history-dependent deterministic strategies, and the random-mapping simulation bound. The proofs exist on paper (§3.3, Appendix A). The work is to formalize them, which includes an instance of Riesz–Thorin interpolation for finite measure spaces that Mathlib does not have.

Difficulty

Alice cannot randomize at will, so the natural strategy, playing the mixed action that attains Jcav(A)J^{(A)}_{cav}Jcav(A)​, is not available. She has to manufacture mixed actions from her source, and Bob's correlated observation leaks information about them. In the paper's block construction, the actions of block iii are a function of the previous block's source. Three steps of this argument are hard to formalize:

  • Simulation bound (Lemma 14). Its proof controls an operator from Lα(X)L^\alpha(\mathcal X)Lα(X) to Lα(pF)L^\alpha(p_F)Lα(pF​) at α=1\alpha=1α=1 and α=2\alpha=2α=2, then interpolates.
  • Taylor control of Rényi entropies (3)–(6). The Rényi entropy must be expanded through the removable point α=1\alpha=1α=1, uniformly on [1/2,2][1/2,2][1/2,2].
  • Bob's adaptivity. The final payoff bound has to hold against every Bob strategy, including ones that condition on the whole history. The required conditional-independence argument is where a careless formalization would quietly restrict Bob.

Formalization scope

Conventions:

  • All alphabets are finite types. A\mathcal AA and B\mathcal BB are nonempty.
  • A pmf is a nonnegative real function summing to one. Δ(A)\Delta(\mathcal A)Δ(A) is stdSimplex ℝ 𝒜.
  • Logarithms are Real.logb 2, with 0log⁡0=00\log0=00log0=0.
  • Stages and blocks are 0-based (Fin n).
  • λ\lambdaλ is a finite sum over (xn,yn)(x^n,y^n)(xn,yn) weighted by ∏tpXY(xt,yt)\prod_tp_{XY}(x_t,y_t)∏t​pXY​(xt​,yt​).
  • J(A)J^{(A)}J(A) is the supremum of U(A)U^{(A)}U(A) over {p∈Δ(A):H(p)≤h}\{p\in\Delta(\mathcal A):H(p)\le h\}{p∈Δ(A):H(p)≤h}, which is attained for h≥0h\ge0h≥0. Jcav(A)(h)J^{(A)}_{cav}(h)Jcav(A)​(h) is the infimum of g(h)g(h)g(h) over functions ggg that are concave on [0,∞)[0,\infty)[0,∞) and majorize J(A)J^{(A)}J(A) there.
  • The random mapping's law is pF(f)=∏xpA(f(x))p_F(f)=\prod_xp_A(f(x))pF​(f)=∏x​pA​(f(x)) on the finite set of maps X→A\mathcal X\to\mathcal AX→A.

Standing readings and added hypotheses:

  • "n∈Nn\in\mathbb Nn∈N" and "fn∈Nf_n\in\mathbb Nfn​∈N" are read as n≥1n\ge1n≥1 and fn≥1f_n\ge1fn​≥1, because (10) divides by both.
  • The constants d2d_2d2​ of (4) and (6) are replaced by existential constants in the same position, and so is the γ\gammaγ of (29) and (31).
  • Lemma 16 is posed as the dichotomy its proof establishes.
  • (31) adds f≤nf\le nf≤n, the only case in which the paper's blocks are nonempty.
  • The Rényi formulas are junk at α=1\alpha=1α=1, so every statement excludes that point or multiplies by 1−1/α=01-1/\alpha=01−1/α=0.

The goal must not be trivialized:

  • The constants come before the sequences f,g,hf,g,hf,g,h, the strategies and nnn. A μ\muμ chosen after nnn would make (10) trivial.
  • Alice's action reads only past actions and her own sources, and Bob ranges over all deterministic history-dependent strategies.
  • The expectation is over the i.i.d. product of pXYp_{XY}pXY​, not of its marginals.
  • Jcav(A)J^{(A)}_{cav}Jcav(A)​ is the least concave majorant, not a two-point supremum, so (18)–(19) has content.

Not posed: Theorem 31 (Riesz–Thorin), the block payoff bound of p. 24 (which rests on (32)), and the block summation (33)–(35). Contributions are welcome on all of them. The entropy, total variation and random-mapping layers can be reused for other one-shot simulation and channel-resolvability statements.

Selected references

  • M. Valizadeh, A. Gohari, Playing Games with Bounded Entropy: Convergence Rate and Approximate Equilibria, arXiv:1902.03676v1, 2019. https://arxiv.org/abs/1902.03676v1 (published as Simulation of a Random Variable and its Application to Game Theory, Mathematics of Operations Research, 2021).
  • M. Valizadeh, A. Gohari, Playing games with bounded entropy, arXiv:1702.05719, 2017. https://arxiv.org/abs/1702.05719
  • O. Gossner, N. Vieille, How to play with a biased coin?, Games and Economic Behavior 41(2), 206–226, 2002.
  • C. Beck, F. Schögl, Thermodynamics of Chaotic Systems: An Introduction, Cambridge University Press, 1995 (cited in the paper for the analysis of HαH_\alphaHα​ in α\alphaα, §5).
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Algorithmic Game TheoryEconomicsOperations Research·Captain: mikedeng1

Implicit Incentives and Delegation in Teams: Delegating the Production Method Can Be Strictly Cheaper than Centralisation in a Collusion-Proof EquilibriumResearch Paper

Why delegation matters

A principal who cannot observe workers' effort must use payments tied to an observable result. In a team, each worker's effort affects the same result, so an individual bonus must support both workers' incentives. The principal may also choose who controls the production method. Giving that choice to a worker changes the actions the workers can take after a deviation and can change the wage bill needed to sustain cooperation. Upton's working paper studies this interaction in a repeated two-agent team. Its Proposition 7 identifies environments where assigning the method choice to one worker reduces the principal's wage cost even when the workers cannot profitably collude in another equilibrium.

The result is a statement about an organisational choice, not just a comparison of two formulas. A lower bonus under delegation matters only if it actually sustains the intended repeated-game outcome, if centralisation can sustain that same outcome, and if the delegated arrangement survives the agents' opportunity to coordinate. Those requirements are represented explicitly in this mission.

The production game

A principal employs agents A and B in an indefinitely repeated project. In each period, each agent either works, paying an effort cost e>0e>0e>0, or shirks, paying none. There are two possible states, ω1\omega_1ω1​ and ω2\omega_2ω2​, occurring independently over time with probabilities rrr and 1−r1-r1−r. There are two production methods, γ1\gamma_1γ1​ and γ2\gamma_2γ2​; γj\gamma_jγj​ is correct in state ωj\omega_jωj​. With l∈{0,1,2}l\in\{0,1,2\}l∈{0,1,2} workers, project success has probability plp_lpl​ under the correct method and qlq_lql​ under the incorrect one. The paper's Assumption 1 orders these probabilities, gives the correct method an advantage, and requires complementarity of effort (§2, pp. 7–8).

Each agent also pays an adoption cost cijc_i^jcij​ when method γj\gamma_jγj​ is used. Write Δi=ci2−ci1\Delta_i=c_i^2-c_i^1Δi​=ci2​−ci1​. The method labels are chosen so ΔA≥0\Delta_A\ge0ΔA​≥0, while ΔB\Delta_BΔB​ may have either sign. The principal offers nonnegative, stationary success bonuses wA,wBw_A,w_BwA​,wB​ and pays nothing after failure. Under centralisation the principal chooses the correct method; under delegation A chooses the method while both agents choose effort (§2–§3).

The target outcome is both agents working with the correct method in every state. Its implementation is evaluated in the equilibrium class used by the paper: after any deviation, agents switch to a statewise stage-game Nash equilibrium as a grim-trigger punishment. A possibly mixed punishment is allowed. Current payoffs and expected continuation values enter the one-shot deviation constraints with weights 1−δ1-\delta1−δ and δ\deltaδ, where 0<δ<10<\delta<10<δ<1 is the common discount factor (§4, pp. 12–18).

Formalization targets

The main target is Proposition 7, p. 29. Let wcentw^{\mathrm{cent}}wcent be the least equal centralised success bonus and wAdel,wBdelw_A^{\mathrm{del}},w_B^{\mathrm{del}}wAdel​,wBdel​ the paper's delegated bonuses. The proposition asserts that some adoption-cost differences satisfy

Δ^A<ΔA<ΔAmax⁡,ΔB<ΔBmax⁡,\widehat\Delta_A<\Delta_A<\Delta_A^{\max},\qquad \Delta_B<\Delta_B^{\max},ΔA​<ΔA​<ΔAmax​,ΔB​<ΔBmax​,

such that delegation implements the desired outcome and costs strictly less than every centralised bonus pair that implements it:

p2(wAdel+wBdel)<p2(wA+wB)for every implementing centralised (wA,wB).p_2\bigl(w_A^{\mathrm{del}}+w_B^{\mathrm{del}}\bigr) < p_2(w_A+w_B) \quad\text{for every implementing centralised }(w_A,w_B).p2​(wAdel​+wBdel​)<p2​(wA​+wB​)for every implementing centralised (wA​,wB​).

Centralisation must itself implement the desired outcome at (wcent,wcent)(w^{\mathrm{cent}},w^{\mathrm{cent}})(wcent,wcent), so this universal comparison has content. The resulting delegated outcome must also be collusion-proof: no feasible state-dependent joint outcome lottery can give both agents at least their intended expected payoff and one agent strictly more. This is the strong form established by the paper's surplus argument; it implies its footnote 30 criterion against alternative subgame-perfect equilibria.

The milestone path records the centralised minimum in equation (9), the ordering of delegation thresholds, delegated implementation in Proposition 3, the wage-cost equivalence in equations (73)–(74), the eight surplus constraints (59)–(66), Claim 1's reduction to three constraints, the threshold comparisons (75)–(77), and the link from maximal joint surplus to collusion-proofness. The formulas for the thresholds and bonuses are definitions shared by all these statements.

What the result gives

The theorem gives a nonempty parameter region in which control of a production method has an incentive value that exceeds the principal's best centralised wage arrangement. It also certifies that the saving does not rely on an equilibrium the workers would replace with a Pareto-better arrangement. This is the paper's organisational comparison, with its equilibrium and collusion qualifications carried together (Proposition 7 and its proof, pp. 29, 38–39).

Upton proved the mathematical result in the cited paper. The Lean files in this mission compile as definitions and open theorem statements; they do not yet contain machine-checked proofs of Proposition 7 or its milestones. A completed development would certify the finite stage-game calculations, the repeated-game incentive constraints, the threshold algebra, and the surplus comparison. The finite-game layer and the mixed Nash formulation can be reused in other repeated team-production models.

Where the difficulty lies

The direct wage comparison is only one part of the result. Delegation changes A's available actions: A can choose either method as well as effort, whereas centralisation fixes the correct method. It also changes the feasible punishment equilibria and therefore the continuation value after a deviation. A calculation that compares wAdel+wBdelw_A^{\mathrm{del}}+w_B^{\mathrm{del}}wAdel​+wBdel​ with 2wcent2w^{\mathrm{cent}}2wcent without checking these equilibrium conditions would leave the organisational claim unproved. Collusion adds a separate comparison across all feasible joint outcomes in both states. The agents can prefer different methods because their adoption-cost differences have different signs, so checking only the two work/shirk outcomes under the correct method misses possible gains from choosing the wrong method (§4 and §7).

Formalization scope

Lean uses Fin 2 for states and methods: index 000 means ω1\omega_1ω1​ or γ1\gamma_1γ1​, and index 111 means ω2\omega_2ω2​ or γ2\gamma_2γ2​. Effort is Boolean. A separate finite-game definition carries feasible actions, real payoffs, independent mixed strategies and Nash inequalities. The paper-specific model builds the centralised and delegated stage games from the success probabilities, bonuses, effort costs and adoption costs. All payoffs and thresholds are real. The desired-path and punishment values are expected per-period values normalised by 1−δ1-\delta1−δ, as in §4. The principal's wage cost for the desired path is p2(wA+wB)p_2(w_A+w_B)p2​(wA​+wB​).

The standing assumptions explicitly include 0≤r<10\le r<10≤r<1, 0≤q00\le q_00≤q0​, and p2≤1p_2\le1p2​≤1. These state the probability domain and exclude the single-state boundary at r=1r=1r=1; together with Assumption 1 they keep all success probabilities in [0,1][0,1][0,1] and the displayed denominators positive. Proposition 3 has a further disclosed guard wBdel≥0w_B^{\mathrm{del}}\ge0wBdel​≥0: its printed unrestricted condition ΔB<ΔBmax⁡\Delta_B<\Delta_B^{\max}ΔB​<ΔBmax​ can make equation (23) negative, contrary to the paper's limited liability rule. Equation (75) has a sign typo in an intermediate bracket; the mission states its intended threshold ordering instead. These corrections are recorded in the moderation notes.

The implementation predicate retains the stage payoffs, feasible actions, Nash punishments and one-shot deviation inequalities. Its closed-form wage bounds are results to establish, not its definition. Collusion-proofness quantifies over all feasible state-contingent joint outcome lotteries, a stronger class than footnote 30's alternative equilibria. Contributions to the threshold inequalities, mixed-punishment lower bounds, and statewise surplus comparisons are welcome; each can be proved independently against the shared model.

Selected references

  • Harry Upton, Implicit Incentives and Delegation in Teams, TRR 266 Working Paper No. 67, 17 December 2021, SSRN 3991736. The held source for all page and equation numbers.
  • Harry Upton, Implicit Incentives and Delegation in Teams, Management Science, 2023, doi:10.1287/mnsc.2022.02212. Publication record; this mission cites the working-paper text and pagination.
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EconomicsOperations Research·Captain: mikedeng1

Too Much Information: When Does Additional Testing Benefit Schools? A Free Interim Assessment Helps a School Starting Behind Only in Two Budget Regions, and Never Without Baseline ProficiencyResearch Paper

Motivation

School districts in the United States are held to end-of-year proficiency targets, and many pay teachers a school-level merit-based incentive when the school is proficient at the year's standardized test. Alongside such pay schemes, districts buy interim assessments: mid-year tests that reveal where a school stands, at a reported cost of 15–15–15–20 or more per student (Topol et al. 2012). The common view is that better information can only help. Virudachalam, Savin and Steinberg (Management Science, 2023; preprint SSRN 3884543) model this as a principal–agent problem with a dynamic agent and ask when the district should pay for the interim assessment at all. Their answer is that it is often worthless, even when it is free, because accurate bad news can demotivate teachers and accurate good news can make effort too expensive to reward under a budget.

The empirical record on merit pay is mixed: school-level bonuses in New York City showed no effect (Fryer 2013), while the IMPACT reform in Washington, D.C. raised teacher effectiveness (Dee and Wyckoff 2015). Accountability built on proficiency thresholds shapes where effort goes (Neal and Schanzenbach 2010). The model isolates one question from this literature: the value of midyear information to a budget-constrained district whose teachers respond optimally.

This mission formalizes the paper's result for a school that starts the year not proficient (Proposition 1).

Setting

The school year has two halves. The school's proficiency state is βt∈{P,N}\beta_t\in\{P,N\}βt​∈{P,N} at times t=0,1,2t=0,1,2t=0,1,2 (start, middle, end). At the start of each half, teachers choose an effort et∈[0,1]e_t\in[0,1]et​∈[0,1] that the district does not observe, at cost ete_tet​. From state PPP the school is proficient at the end of the half with probability Ae+BAe+BAe+B; from NNN it becomes proficient with probability μ(Ae+B)\mu(Ae+B)μ(Ae+B). Here AAA is the response-to-effort parameter, BBB the baseline proficiency factor and μ\muμ the improvement potential factor.

At midyear, teachers see a formative assessment result X1X_1X1​ with true positive rate ϕP∣P=Pr⁡[X1=P∣β1=P]\phi_{P|P}=\Pr[X_1=P\mid\beta_1=P]ϕP∣P​=Pr[X1​=P∣β1​=P] and false positive rate ϕP∣N=Pr⁡[X1=P∣β1=N]\phi_{P|N}=\Pr[X_1=P\mid\beta_1=N]ϕP∣N​=Pr[X1​=P∣β1​=N], where 1>ϕP∣P≥ϕP∣N>01>\phi_{P|P}\ge\phi_{P|N}>01>ϕP∣P​≥ϕP∣N​>0. A free interim assessment (zI=1z_I=1zI​=1) reveals β1\beta_1β1​ exactly, which is the case ϕP∣P=1\phi_{P|P}=1ϕP∣P​=1, ϕP∣N=0\phi_{P|N}=0ϕP∣N​=0.

The district pays π≥0\pi\ge0π≥0 if the school is proficient at the end of the year. Teachers solve a two-period dynamic program. In the second period they maximize πPr⁡[β2=P∣information]−e1\pi\Pr[\beta_2=P\mid\text{information}]-e_1πPr[β2​=P∣information]−e1​, and in the first period the expected second-period value minus e0e_0e0​. When several efforts are optimal they take the largest. Write Pr⁡zI∗[S2=P∣S0](π)\Pr^*_{z_I}[S_2=P\mid S_0](\pi)PrzI​∗​[S2​=P∣S0​](π) for the resulting probability of ending proficient. With a budget MMM the district solves

max⁡π≥0 Pr⁡zI∗[S2=P∣S0](π)s.t.π Pr⁡zI∗[S2=P∣S0](π)≤M,\max_{\pi\ge0}\ \Pr\nolimits^*_{z_I}[S_2=P\mid S_0](\pi)\quad\text{s.t.}\quad \pi\,\Pr\nolimits^*_{z_I}[S_2=P\mid S_0](\pi)\le M ,π≥0max​ PrzI​∗​[S2​=P∣S0​](π)s.t.πPrzI​∗​[S2​=P∣S0​](π)≤M,

and it invests in the interim assessment only if this strictly raises the optimal value.

The relevant constants are the second-period threshold T1(S1)=1/(A((1−μ)Pr⁡[β1=P∣S1]+μ))\mathcal T_1(S_1)=1/(A((1-\mu)\Pr[\beta_1=P\mid S_1]+\mu))T1​(S1​)=1/(A((1−μ)Pr[β1​=P∣S1​]+μ)) and

H1(μ)=(1+B(1+(1−μ)B)A(BϕP∣P+ϕP∣N(1−μB)))(ϕP∣PμB+ϕP∣N(1−μB)),H1I(μ)=μB A+1+(1−μ)BA,\mathcal H_1(\mu)=\Big(1+\tfrac{B(1+(1-\mu)B)}{A(B\phi_{P|P}+\phi_{P|N}(1-\mu B))}\Big)\big(\phi_{P|P}\mu B+\phi_{P|N}(1-\mu B)\big),\qquad \mathcal H^I_1(\mu)=\mu B\,\tfrac{A+1+(1-\mu)B}{A},H1​(μ)=(1+A(BϕP∣P​+ϕP∣N​(1−μB))B(1+(1−μ)B)​)(ϕP∣P​μB+ϕP∣N​(1−μB)),H1I​(μ)=μBAA+1+(1−μ)B​, H2(μ)=μ(A+B)(1+(1−μ)B) T1(N,0,N),μ0(B)=1B−1−ϕP∣PϕP∣N,MU=1+(1−μ)B(1−μ)A+1.\mathcal H_2(\mu)=\mu(A+B)(1+(1-\mu)B)\,\mathcal T_1(N,0,N),\qquad \mu_0(B)=\tfrac1B-\tfrac{1-\phi_{P|P}}{\phi_{P|N}},\qquad M_U=\tfrac{1+(1-\mu)B}{(1-\mu)A}+1 .H2​(μ)=μ(A+B)(1+(1−μ)B)T1​(N,0,N),μ0​(B)=B1​−ϕP∣N​1−ϕP∣P​​,MU​=(1−μ)A1+(1−μ)B​+1.

The accuracy condition (14) is (1−ϕP∣P)ϕP∣N/(ϕP∣P−ϕP∣N)≤(1−(A+B))B/A(1-\phi_{P|P})\phi_{P|N}/(\phi_{P|P}-\phi_{P|N})\le(1-(A+B))B/A(1−ϕP∣P​)ϕP∣N​/(ϕP∣P​−ϕP∣N​)≤(1−(A+B))B/A.

Formalization targets

Goal: Proposition 1

Let S0=NS_0=NS0​=N and write Pr⁡zI∗(M)\Pr^*_{z_I}(M)PrzI​∗​(M) for the district's optimal value.

a) If B=0B=0B=0, then Pr⁡1∗(M)=Pr⁡0∗(M)\Pr^*_1(M)=\Pr^*_0(M)Pr1∗​(M)=Pr0∗​(M) for every budget M≥0M\ge0M≥0, so the district does not invest, whatever the formative accuracy.

b) If B>0B>0B>0 and (14) holds, the two decisions coincide for M<ML=min⁡{H1(μ),H1I(μ)}M<M_L=\min\{\mathcal H_1(\mu),\mathcal H^I_1(\mu)\}M<ML​=min{H1​(μ),H1I​(μ)} and for M≥MUM\ge M_UM≥MU​. For every M≥0M\ge0M≥0,

Pr⁡0∗(M)<Pr⁡1∗(M)  ⟺  H1I(μ)≤M<H1(μ)  or  (μ0(B)<μ and max⁡{H1I(μ),H1(μ)}≤M<H2(μ)).\Pr\nolimits^*_0(M)<\Pr\nolimits^*_1(M)\iff \mathcal H^I_1(\mu)\le M<\mathcal H_1(\mu)\ \ \text{or}\ \ \big(\mu_0(B)<\mu\ \text{and}\ \max\{\mathcal H^I_1(\mu),\mathcal H_1(\mu)\}\le M<\mathcal H_2(\mu)\big).Pr0∗​(M)<Pr1∗​(M)⟺H1I​(μ)≤M<H1​(μ)  or  (μ0​(B)<μ and max{H1I​(μ),H1​(μ)}≤M<H2​(μ)).

Milestones

The milestones follow the paper's proof:

  • the teachers' threshold policies: Lemma 1, Lemma 2 for S0=NS_0=NS0​=N, and Lemma A8 for B=0B=0B=0;
  • the ordering of the thresholds: Corollary A1, Lemma A3;
  • the response curves Pr⁡∗(π)\Pr^*(\pi)Pr∗(π): Lemma A7 a), Lemma A9 a);
  • the optimal incentives: Lemma 3 a), Lemma A10 a);
  • the value curves Pr⁡zI∗(M)\Pr^*_{z_I}(M)PrzI​∗​(M): Lemma A11 a), (A211), (A212);
  • their comparison: (A214), Lemma A12.

Lemma A1, which gives the Bayes posterior, comes first.

Significance

The proposition shows that information can have zero or negative value to a principal whose agent responds dynamically. When there is no baseline proficiency (B=0B=0B=0), the interim assessment never helps a school that starts behind. When B>0B>0B>0, it helps only for low or moderate budgets. With larger budgets the formative-only district can afford to induce effort that the interim district cannot. The two value curves are explicit step functions of the budget, so the result is a complete decision rule rather than an existence statement.

The paper proves these results by hand across about thirty appendix pages of case analysis. None of it is machine-checked. A formal development would verify the case splits: the four-step response curves, the budget breakpoints, and the boundary behaviour at each threshold, where tie-breaking decides the outcome. It also produces a reusable small dynamic-programming model with Bayesian updating of a binary signal, budget-constrained optimization over an incentive, and value-of-information comparisons.

Difficulty

Each piece is elementary. The difficulty is that the district optimizes over the teachers' best response, and that response is defined by two nested maximizations whose maximizers jump at thresholds. Evaluating Pr⁡∗\Pr^*Pr∗ requires knowing that first-period effort is bang-bang, which is not visible from (7) because the posterior that drives second-period effort depends on e0e_0e0​ nonlinearly. It also requires ordering four second-period thresholds against the first-period threshold, and this is where (14) enters. Only then does Pr⁡∗\Pr^*Pr∗ become a monotone step function, so that the supremum over affordable incentives is attained at a threshold.

The obvious argument compares the two value curves step by step. It needs the breakpoints of both curves to be ordered (H1I≤H2≤H2I\mathcal H^I_1\le\mathcal H_2\le\mathcal H^I_2H1I​≤H2​≤H2I​, H1≤H2≤MU\mathcal H_1\le\mathcal H_2\le M_UH1​≤H2​≤MU​). It also has to handle a region where the ordering of H1\mathcal H_1H1​ and H1I\mathcal H^I_1H1I​ changes with μ\muμ (Lemma A12). At every breakpoint, ties decide whether the interim assessment is strictly better.

Formalization scope

All quantities are real numbers. Params bundles (A,B,μ,ϕP∣P,ϕP∣N)(A,B,\mu,\phi_{P|P},\phi_{P|N})(A,B,μ,ϕP∣P​,ϕP∣N​). Params.Standing is Assumptions 1–2 with three disclosed tightenings: A>0A>0A>0, μ>0\mu>0μ>0 and μ<1\mu<1μ<1 (the thresholds divide by AAA, μ\muμ, 1−μ1-\mu1−μ, and at μ=0\mu=0μ=0 part b) fails). Effort ranges over [0,1][0,1][0,1] and the effort cost is eee (Assumption 3 with γ=1\gamma=1γ=1). The decision zIz_IzI​ is a Bool, and the interim assessment is the accuracy pair (1,0)(1,0)(1,0), so both decisions run through one model. Condition (14) is stated cross-multiplied.

Teachers' efforts are the greatest maximizers over [0,1][0,1][0,1]. PrStar sums the joint law of (β1,X1,β2)(\beta_1,X_1,\beta_2)(β1​,X1​,β2​) under these efforts. optProb is the supremum of PrStar over affordable π≥0\pi\ge0π≥0. Investment means strict improvement.

H2\mathcal H_2H2​ is taken from (A155), a product. The printed (17) divides by T1(N,0,N)\mathcal T_1(N,0,N)T1​(N,0,N), which is a misprint. The second region of the goal requires μ0(B)<μ\mu_0(B)<\muμ0​(B)<μ strictly. At μ=μ0(B)\mu=\mu_0(B)μ=μ0​(B) the two curves coincide on that range by (A214), so the interim assessment is not strictly better there.

Neither PrStar nor optProb may be defined by the paper's piecewise formulas. The goal is about the optimum of the dynamic program, and with such definitions it would reduce to (A214) and algebra.

The S0 = P analysis (Proposition 2, Lemma 2 for S0=PS_0=PS0​=P, Lemma 3 b)–e)), Corollary A1 b) and the remark that the two regions of b) overlap for some μ\muμ are not formalized. Proofs of any milestone are welcome, and so are general lemmas on maximizers of convex piecewise-affine objectives on an interval and on suprema of monotone step functions under a budget.

Selected references

  • V. Virudachalam, S. Savin, M. P. Steinberg, Too Much Information: When Does Additional Testing Benefit Schools?, Management Science, 2023. https://doi.org/10.1287/mnsc.2020.01547 ; preprint (version of November 3, 2022, used for all page and equation numbers): https://ssrn.com/abstract=3884543
  • R. G. Fryer, Teacher incentives and student achievement: Evidence from New York City public schools, Journal of Labor Economics 31(2):373–407, 2013.
  • T. S. Dee, J. Wyckoff, Incentives, selection, and teacher performance: Evidence from IMPACT, Journal of Policy Analysis and Management 34(2):267–297, 2015.
  • D. Neal, D. W. Schanzenbach, Left behind by design: Proficiency counts and test-based accountability, The Review of Economics and Statistics 92(2):263–283, 2010.
  • B. Topol, J. Olson, E. Roeber, P. Hennon, Getting to higher-quality assessments: Evaluating costs, benefits and investment strategies, 2012.
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Algebraic GeometryOptimizationRepresentation Theory·Captain: mikedeng1

A Convex Form That Is Not a Sum of Squares: For k ≥ 17 the Octonionic Cauchy–Schwarz Form Plus (1/4)(‖x‖² + ‖y‖²)² Is a Convex Quartic in 16k Variables That Is Not a Sum of SquaresResearch Paper

Motivation

A convex form is a homogeneous polynomial of even degree whose value is convex as a function of its real variables. Every convex form is nonnegative, so it is natural to ask whether it can always be written as a sum of squares (SOS) of real polynomials. This matters in polynomial optimization because an SOS certificate can be searched for through semidefinite programming, while pointwise nonnegativity is generally harder to certify. Parrilo posed the convex versus SOS question in 2007. Blekherman proved nonconstructively that convex forms outside the SOS cone exist in sufficiently many variables. Saunderson constructed an explicit quartic example in 272 variables, together with a finite certificate of its failure to be SOS Saunderson, pp. 1–3.

Setting

An octonion is an eight-dimensional real normed division algebra. Write uˉ\bar uuˉ for conjugation and ∣u∣2|u|^2∣u∣2 for the sum of squares of its eight coordinates. For two lists x=(x1,…,xk)x=(x_1,\ldots,x_k)x=(x1​,…,xk​) and y=(y1,…,yk)y=(y_1,\ldots,y_k)y=(y1​,…,yk​) of octonions, let ∥x∥2=∑j∣xj∣2\|x\|^2=\sum_j|x_j|^2∥x∥2=∑j​∣xj​∣2 and ⟨x,y⟩=∑jxˉjyj\langle x,y\rangle=\sum_j\bar x_jy_j⟨x,y⟩=∑j​xˉj​yj​. The octonionic Cauchy–Schwarz form is

cs⁡kO(x,y)=∥x∥2∥y∥2−∣⟨x,y⟩∣2.\operatorname{cs}^{\mathbb O}_k(x,y)=\|x\|^2\|y\|^2-|\langle x,y\rangle|^2.cskO​(x,y)=∥x∥2∥y∥2−∣⟨x,y⟩∣2.

Each octonion contributes eight real coordinates, so this is a quartic polynomial in 16k16k16k real variables. The paper's companion form is

qkO(x,y)=cs⁡kO(x,y)+14(∥x∥2+∥y∥2)2.q^{\mathbb O}_k(x,y)=\operatorname{cs}^{\mathbb O}_k(x,y)+\tfrac14(\|x\|^2+\|y\|^2)^2.qkO​(x,y)=cskO​(x,y)+41​(∥x∥2+∥y∥2)2.

To measure the SOS relaxation, pmin⁡p_{\min}pmin​ and pmax⁡p_{\max}pmax​ are the minimum and maximum of a form ppp on the Euclidean unit sphere. For a degree-2d2d2d form, pmin⁡sosp^{\mathrm{sos}}_{\min}pminsos​ is the largest γ\gammaγ for which p−γ∥z∥2dp-\gamma\|z\|^{2d}p−γ∥z∥2d is SOS. When pmax⁡>pmin⁡p_{\max}>p_{\min}pmax​>pmin​, the paper defines

gap⁡(p)=pmax⁡−pmin⁡sospmax⁡−pmin⁡.\operatorname{gap}(p)=\frac{p_{\max}-p^{\mathrm{sos}}_{\min}}{p_{\max}-p_{\min}}.gap(p)=pmax​−pmin​pmax​−pminsos​​.

These are values of the specific polynomial, not free parameters. The SOS predicate concerns finite sums of squares in the real multivariate polynomial ring Saunderson, pp. 2–4.

Formalization targets

The main theorem

For every k≥17k\ge17k≥17, the target is the full Theorem 1.2:

gap⁡(cs⁡kO)>2,qkO is a convex quartic form and is not SOS.\operatorname{gap}(\operatorname{cs}^{\mathbb O}_k)>2, \qquad q^{\mathbb O}_k\text{ is a convex quartic form and is not SOS}.gap(cskO​)>2,qkO​ is a convex quartic form and is not SOS.

The milestone list includes the near-constant-on-the-sphere convexity criterion, its bound-based corollary, the octonionic inequality, the matrix identity for qkOq^{\mathbb O}_kqkO​, the symmetry-reduced SOS characterization, the explicit k=17k=17k=17 feasibility system, and the exact SOS threshold at k=16k=16k=16. The threshold is a separate claim: qkOq^{\mathbb O}_kqkO​ is SOS for k≤16k\le16k≤16 and is not SOS for k≥17k\ge17k≥17 Saunderson, Theorems 1.2 and 4.11.

Significance

The theorem supplies an explicit counterexample to the assertion that convexity of an even-degree homogeneous polynomial forces an SOS representation. At k=17k=17k=17, it is a concrete quartic in 272272272 variables. Its gap also gives an explicit case where the basic SOS lower bound for optimization on a sphere is more than a factor two away in the paper's normalized measure. Thus the example links an algebraic separation of two cones with a numerical limitation of an optimization relaxation Saunderson, pp. 2–4.

The mathematical theorem is proved in the cited paper. The work here is to encode its octonion multiplication table, quartic polynomial, symmetry action, and finite feasibility certificate in Lean, then close the formal proofs. The group and polynomial definitions can also support other examples based on Clifford systems or structured SOS relaxations. The statements in this proposal compile with sorry; they are proof targets, not machine-checked proofs.

Difficulty

Nonnegativity of cs⁡kO\operatorname{cs}^{\mathbb O}_kcskO​ follows from octonionic Cauchy–Schwarz, and near-constant values on the sphere yield convexity after the stated correction. The obstacle is proving that q17Oq^{\mathbb O}_{17}q17O​ has no SOS representation: evaluating a nonnegative polynomial at a few points cannot rule out SOS. The paper uses its Spin⁡(9)×O(k)\operatorname{Spin}(9)\times O(k)Spin(9)×O(k) symmetry to reduce the SOS question to eight nonnegative coefficients and then exhibits an infeasible three-row system. The corresponding positive SOS decomposition at k=16k=16k=16 marks the exact boundary Saunderson, §§3–4.

Formalization scope

The variables are indexed by Fin(16)×Fin(k)\mathrm{Fin}(16)\times\mathrm{Fin}(k)Fin(16)×Fin(k) and the forms live in MvPolynomial over R\mathbb RR. The first eight rows of each matrix column are xjx_jxj​, the last eight are yjy_jyj​. The octonion product is computed from the paper's right-multiplication table; the inner product conjugates its first argument. The squared Euclidean norm is the polynomial ∑iXi2\sum_i X_i^2∑i​Xi2​, and the unit sphere is defined by the corresponding real sum, not by the default norm on a function type. The SOS predicate is Mathlib's polynomial IsSumSq.

The symmetry group called Spin⁡(9)\operatorname{Spin}(9)Spin(9) in the paper is represented by its concrete matrix model G⊂SO(16)G\subset SO(16)G⊂SO(16) preserving the span of nine Clifford matrices. The eight sijs_{ij}sij​ use the equivalent orthogonal-projection formula: SJ/4S_J/4SJ​/4 supplies the normalized basis of the Clifford subspace, and the three matrix projections select scalar, traceless symmetric, and skew-symmetric parts. The paper's printed unscaled SJS_JSJ​ are orthogonal with squared trace norm 161616; the factor 1/161/161/16 in the definition accounts for this normalization. No assumption that the polynomial is SOS enters the definition of qkOq^{\mathbb O}_kqkO​; it is built from the octonion product itself.

For the general degree-2d2d2d milestones, d≥1d\ge1d≥1 and a nonempty finite variable type make explicit the paper's positive-degree, positive-dimension setting. Lemma 2.2 uses arbitrary lower and upper bounds, as its proof and its application at k=1k=1k=1 do. The scalar extrema and SOS bound are represented by real sSup and sInf; these operations return default values on empty or unbounded sets. The goal has k≥17k\ge17k≥17, where the sphere is nonempty and compact and the extrema have their intended meaning. Formal work is welcome on these endpoint facts, the octonionic identities, invariant polynomial spaces, and the finite infeasibility certificate.

Selected references

  • James Saunderson, A convex form that is not a sum of squares, Mathematics of Operations Research, 2023; formalization source arXiv:2105.08432v2, 2021. Preprint.
  • Grigoriy Blekherman, Nonnegative Polynomials and Sums of Squares, in Semidefinite Optimization and Convex Algebraic Geometry, SIAM, 2012, Theorem 4.75 as cited by Saunderson. SIAM chapter.
  • Karin Gatermann and Pablo Parrilo, Symmetry groups, semidefinite programs, and sums of squares, Journal of Pure and Applied Algebra, 2004. DOI.
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EconomicsFunctional AnalysisProbability·Captain: mikedeng1

Lipschitz Bernoulli Utility Functions: A Preorder on Finite-Mean Lotteries Is Lipschitz and Affine if and only if It Has a Lipschitz Expected Multi-Utility RepresentationResearch Paper

Motivation

Expected utility theory describes a decision maker who ranks risky prospects (probability distributions over outcomes) by the expected value of a Bernoulli utility function on the outcomes. The classical von Neumann–Morgenstern theorem, extended by Grandmont to separable metric outcome spaces, says that a complete preference over lotteries has a continuous and bounded Bernoulli utility exactly when it is continuous and satisfies the independence (affinity) axiom. Two features of that classical picture are restrictive in applications. Many decision makers are indecisive between some prospects, so their preferences are preorders rather than total orders; such preferences are represented by a family of utilities (a multi-utility), a line of work going back to Aumann and to Dubra, Maccheroni and Ok. And in finance and economics the prizes are usually unbounded (wealth levels, consumption streams), and the utility functions used in practice are Lipschitz rather than bounded, so that differential arguments can be applied to the induced value functions.

Ok and Weaver (arXiv:2104.11205; Mathematics of Operations Research, 2023) characterize exactly those preferences that admit an expected multi-utility representation with Lipschitz Bernoulli utilities. The lotteries are the probability measures with finite first moment, the natural domain of Lipschitz expectations, and the topology is that of the Wasserstein 1-metric.

Setting

Let X=(X,d)X = (X, d)X=(X,d) be a separable metric space with its Borel σ\sigmaσ-algebra. A lottery is a Borel probability measure on XXX, and

Δ1(X)={p:∫X×Xd d(p×p)<∞}\Delta_1(X) = \Big\{ p : \int_{X\times X} d\,\mathrm d(p\times p) < \infty \Big\}Δ1​(X)={p:∫X×X​dd(p×p)<∞}

is the set of lotteries with finite mean distance (equivalently, finite first moment). The Wasserstein 1-metric is W1(p,q)=inf⁡μ∫d dμW_1(p,q) = \inf_\mu \int d\,\mathrm d\muW1​(p,q)=infμ​∫ddμ, the infimum over couplings μ\muμ of ppp and qqq, probability measures on X×XX\times XX×X with marginals ppp and qqq. For λ∈[0,1]\lambda\in[0,1]λ∈[0,1] the mixture of ppp and qqq is p⊕λq=(1−λ)p+λqp\oplus_\lambda q = (1-\lambda)p + \lambda qp⊕λ​q=(1−λ)p+λq.

A preorder ≿\succsim≿ on Δ1(X)\Delta_1(X)Δ1​(X) is a reflexive, transitive relation. It is affine if p≿q  ⟺  p⊕λr≿q⊕λrp\succsim q \iff p\oplus_\lambda r \succsim q\oplus_\lambda rp≿q⟺p⊕λ​r≿q⊕λ​r for all p,q,r∈Δ1(X)p, q, r\in\Delta_1(X)p,q,r∈Δ1​(X) and λ∈[0,1)\lambda\in[0,1)λ∈[0,1); this is the independence axiom. It is Lipschitz (Definition 4.1) if whenever q≿pq\succsim pq≿p fails there is a constant K=K(p,q)>0K = K(p,q) > 0K=K(p,q)>0 such that

q⊕λq′≿p⊕λp′ fails for all p′,q′∈Δ1(X) and 0≤λ<KK+W1(p′,q′).q\oplus_\lambda q' \succsim p\oplus_\lambda p' \text{ fails for all } p', q'\in\Delta_1(X) \text{ and } 0 \le \lambda < \frac{K}{K + W_1(p',q')}.q⊕λ​q′≿p⊕λ​p′ fails for all p′,q′∈Δ1​(X) and 0≤λ<K+W1​(p′,q′)K​.

A family U\mathcal UU of Lipschitz functions u:X→Ru : X\to\mathbb Ru:X→R represents ≿\succsim≿ if p≿qp\succsim qp≿q exactly when ∫u dp≥∫u dq\int u\,\mathrm dp \ge \int u\,\mathrm dq∫udp≥∫udq for every u∈Uu\in\mathcal Uu∈U.

The proofs pass through the Kantorovich–Rubinstein space KR(X)\mathrm{KR}(X)KR(X) of finite signed measures μ\muμ with μ(X)=0\mu(X) = 0μ(X)=0 and ∫d d(∣μ∣×∣μ∣)<∞\int d\,\mathrm d(|\mu|\times|\mu|)<\infty∫dd(∣μ∣×∣μ∣)<∞, normed by ∥μ∥KR=sup⁡∣∫f dμ∣\|\mu\|_{\mathrm{KR}} = \sup |\int f\,\mathrm d\mu|∥μ∥KR​=sup∣∫fdμ∣ over 1-Lipschitz fff, and through the space Lip0(X)\mathrm{Lip}_0(X)Lip0​(X) of Lipschitz functions vanishing at a base point.

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem 4.6 (the expected Lipschitz multi-utility theorem)

For a separable metric space XXX and a preorder ≿\succsim≿ on Δ1(X)\Delta_1(X)Δ1​(X),

≿ is Lipschitz and affine  ⟺  ∃ U Lipschitz: (p≿q  ⟺  ∫u dp≥∫u dq  ∀u∈U)  ∀p,q∈Δ1(X).\succsim \text{ is Lipschitz and affine} \iff \exists\,\mathcal U \text{ Lipschitz}:\ \big(p\succsim q \iff \textstyle\int u\,\mathrm dp\ge\int u\,\mathrm dq\ \ \forall u\in\mathcal U\big)\ \ \forall p,q\in\Delta_1(X).≿ is Lipschitz and affine⟺∃U Lipschitz: (p≿q⟺∫udp≥∫udq  ∀u∈U)  ∀p,q∈Δ1​(X).

No constant is fixed in the statement: each uuu carries its own Lipschitz constant and U\mathcal UU may be any family.

Milestones

  1. Proposition 2.1 (p. 4): for a finite Borel measure, finite mean distance, finite first moment about some (any) point, and integrability of every Lipschitz function are equivalent.
  2. Kantorovich–Rubinstein duality (4) (p. 5, cited by the paper): W1(p,q)=sup⁡f∣∫f d(p−q)∣W_1(p,q) = \sup_f |\int f\,\mathrm d(p-q)|W1​(p,q)=supf​∣∫fd(p−q)∣ over 1-Lipschitz fff.
  3. Proposition 2.2 (p. 6): KR(X)={α(p−q)}\mathrm{KR}(X) = \{\alpha(p-q)\}KR(X)={α(p−q)}, ∥α(p−q)∥KR=αW1(p,q)\|\alpha(p-q)\|_{\mathrm{KR}} = \alpha W_1(p,q)∥α(p−q)∥KR​=αW1​(p,q), ∥⋅∥KR\|\cdot\|_{\mathrm{KR}}∥⋅∥KR​ is a norm, and finitely supported measures are dense.
  4. Theorem 2.3 (p. 7): KR(X)∗≅Lip0(X)\mathrm{KR}(X)^*\cong\mathrm{Lip}_0(X)KR(X)∗≅Lip0​(X) isometrically.
  5. Lemma 3.1 (p. 9): mixing preserves comparisons of a weakly affine preorder.
  6. Proposition 4.2 (p. 13): the "if" direction of the goal.
  7. Lemma 4.5 (p. 15): the cone C={α(p−q):α≥0, p≿q}C = \{\alpha(p-q) : \alpha\ge0,\ p\succsim q\}C={α(p−q):α≥0, p≿q} of a Lipschitz affine preorder is closed and convex in KR(X)\mathrm{KR}(X)KR(X), and p≿q  ⟺  p−q∈Cp\succsim q \iff p-q\in Cp≿q⟺p−q∈C.

Significance

The theorem identifies the behavioural content of using Lipschitz expected utilities: the independence axiom together with a quantitative, metric form of continuity in which the tolerance for mixing shrinks in proportion to the Wasserstein distance of the perturbing lotteries. Because no completeness is assumed, it covers incomplete preferences, and with them stochastic orders such as first-order stochastic dominance on partially ordered prize spaces (Section 4.2 of the paper). The paper derives further consequences from it: the single-utility version for total preorders (Corollary 4.7), the uniqueness of the representing cone up to weak* closure, and applications to affine cores of non-expected-utility preferences and to Anscombe–Aumann acts.

The result is proved in the paper. As far as a search of the Prove2Me corpus shows, none of it is formalized: the platform has a Kantorovich–Rubinstein duality theorem on normed spaces and a discrete one, abstract Lipschitz-free spaces built from finite molecules, and a von Neumann–Morgenstern theorem for abstract mixture spaces, but no Wasserstein space of a general metric space, no measure-theoretic KR(X)\mathrm{KR}(X)KR(X), and no multi-utility theorem. A complete development would give a reusable Kantorovich–Rubinstein layer (duality on separable metric spaces, KR(X)\mathrm{KR}(X)KR(X) and its dual) of independent interest in optimal transport.

Difficulty

The "if" direction is a direct estimate once the duality bound ∫u d(q′−p′)≤W1(p′,q′)\int u\,\mathrm d(q'-p')\le W_1(p',q')∫ud(q′−p′)≤W1​(p′,q′) for 1-Lipschitz uuu is available. The "only if" direction is a separation argument, and the obvious version of it fails: separating the cone CCC from a point p−qp-qp−q requires CCC to be closed in a space whose dual consists of Lipschitz functions. The natural candidate, the space of all signed measures with weak convergence, has the wrong dual (continuous bounded functions), and the KR norm is not complete, so the Hahn–Banach step needs the identification KR(X)∗≅Lip0(X)\mathrm{KR}(X)^*\cong\mathrm{Lip}_0(X)KR(X)∗≅Lip0​(X), which rests on the density of finitely supported measures and on Kantorovich–Rubinstein duality for non-compact separable spaces. Closedness of CCC is where Definition 4.1 enters, through the specific form K/(K+W1)K/(K+W_1)K/(K+W1​) of the bound; plain continuity of ≿\succsim≿ does not give it.

Formalization scope

  • XXX is a type with MetricSpace, SeparableSpace, MeasurableSpace and BorelSpace instances. Lotteries are Measure X; Δ1(X)\Delta_1(X)Δ1​(X) is a set of measures (Delta1 X), and a preorder is any relation R : Measure X → Measure X → Prop that is reflexive and transitive on Δ1(X)\Delta_1(X)Δ1​(X). Nothing is required of R outside Δ1(X)\Delta_1(X)Δ1​(X), and every statement quantifies over Δ1(X)\Delta_1(X)Δ1​(X) only.
  • W1W_1W1​ is the published optimal-transport cost RWPI.SqrtLasso.transportCost with cost ddd, valued in [0,∞][0,\infty][0,∞]; it is finite on Δ1(X)\Delta_1(X)Δ1​(X), and its toReal is used in Definition 4.1. Mixtures are ENNReal.ofReal (1 - t) • p + ENNReal.ofReal t • q, the weight λ\lambdaλ being named t. Affinity uses λ∈[0,1)\lambda\in[0,1)λ∈[0,1) and Lemma 3.1 λ∈[0,1]\lambda\in[0,1]λ∈[0,1], as on the page.
  • Integrals of utilities are Bochner integrals, taken only against lotteries in Δ1(X)\Delta_1(X)Δ1​(X), where Lipschitz functions are integrable (Proposition 2.1); no junk value 000 enters.
  • KR(X)\mathrm{KR}(X)KR(X) is a set of Mathlib SignedMeasure X; the integral against a signed measure goes through its Jordan decomposition, and ∥⋅∥KR\|\cdot\|_{\mathrm{KR}}∥⋅∥KR​ is valued in [0,∞][0,\infty][0,∞]. No normed-space instance is built: closedness of CCC is stated as "every point of KR(X)∖C\mathrm{KR}(X)\setminus CKR(X)∖C has a ball of positive radius disjoint from CCC", and Theorem 2.3 as an isometric bijection between Lip0(X)\mathrm{Lip}_0(X)Lip0​(X) and the linear functionals on KR(X)\mathrm{KR}(X)KR(X) bounded by the KR norm.
  • Nonemptiness of XXX is added to Propositions 2.1 and 2.2 only, where the empty space is a degenerate counterexample to the literal statement; the goal needs no such hypothesis.
  • Trivializing readings are ruled out: the representation is required for all pairs in Δ1(X)\Delta_1(X)Δ1​(X) in both directions, U\mathcal UU consists of Lipschitz functions (not arbitrary measurable ones), and the Lipschitz property keeps the quantifier order "for p,qp, qp,q there is KKK, for all p′,q′,λp', q', \lambdap′,q′,λ".

Needed infrastructure beyond Mathlib: Kantorovich–Rubinstein duality on separable metric spaces, the Jordan-decomposition calculus of integrals of Lipschitz functions against KR(X)\mathrm{KR}(X)KR(X), and a Hahn–Banach separation in a normed space given by a seminorm on a set. Contributions to any milestone, and alternative proofs of the goal that avoid part of the KR layer, are welcome.

Selected references

  • E. A. Ok and N. Weaver, Lipschitz Bernoulli Utility Functions, Mathematics of Operations Research, 2023; preprint arXiv:2104.11205v1, 2021. https://arxiv.org/abs/2104.11205
  • J. von Neumann and O. Morgenstern, Theory of Games and Economic Behavior, 2nd ed., Princeton University Press, 1947.
  • J.-M. Grandmont, Continuity properties of a von Neumann–Morgenstern utility, Journal of Economic Theory 4, 1972.
  • J. Dubra, F. Maccheroni and E. A. Ok, Expected utility theory without the completeness axiom, Journal of Economic Theory 115, 2004.
  • N. Weaver, Lipschitz Algebras, 2nd ed., World Scientific, 2018 (Theorem 3.3, the predual of Lip0(X)\mathrm{Lip}_0(X)Lip0​(X)).
  • C. Villani, Optimal Transport: Old and New, Springer, 2009 (Kantorovich–Rubinstein duality).
11 thms1 active userReviewed
Operations ResearchProbabilityStochastic Systems·Captain: mikedeng1

Stationary Waiting Time in Parallel Queues with Synchronization: For Jobs of Fixed Size, the Waiting Time Converges with All Moments to the Endogenous Solution of a High-Order Lindley EquationResearch Paper

Motivation

Parallel computing systems split each incoming job into pieces that are processed simultaneously on several servers. When the pieces of one job must also start together, each server keeps the order of arrival, and a job cannot begin until every server it needs has finished its earlier work, the result is a synchronized parallel queue. Waiting times in this model are coupled across servers in a way that the classical single-server or many-server theory does not capture, and the model gives an upper bound for the performance of split-merge and fork-join networks under blind (random) routing.

Olvera-Cravioto and Ruiz-Lacedelli (arXiv:1501.00186; Mathematics of Operations Research, 2021) show that, as the number of servers grows, the stationary waiting time converges to the endogenous solution of a high-order Lindley equation, the maximum of a branching random walk. The tool is the predecessor graph of Karpelevich, Kelbert and Suhov, given a rigorous labelling and coupled with a weighted branching tree.

  • 1952: Lindley's equation W=Dmax⁡(0,X+W)W \stackrel{\mathcal D}{=} \max(0, X + W)W=Dmax(0,X+W) for the single-server queue, with solution the supremum of a random walk.
  • 1962: Loynes' lemma gives stationarity by letting an empty starting time recede to −∞-\infty−∞.
  • 1994: Karpelevich, Kelbert and Suhov introduce higher-order Lindley equations and the predecessor graph.
  • 1998: Biggins shows that Lindley-type equations on the branching random walk have many solutions.
  • 2005: Aldous and Bandyopadhyay survey max-type recursive distributional equations and endogenous solutions.
  • 2015: Jelenković and Olvera-Cravioto prove that the endogenous solution is finite when E[∑ieβXi]<1E[\sum_i e^{\beta X_i}] < 1E[∑i​eβXi​]<1 for some β>0\beta > 0β>0.
  • 2015 / 2021: the many-server limit for synchronized queues (this source).

Setting

There are nnn identical servers. Jobs arrive as a Poisson process of rate λn\lambda nλn, λ>0\lambda > 0λ>0. In this mission every job consists of exactly m≥1m \ge 1m≥1 pieces, with m≤nm \le nm≤n. The mmm pieces are routed to mmm distinct servers, all n!/(n−m)!n!/(n-m)!n!/(n−m)! assignments being equally likely. The service requirements (χ(1),…,χ(m))(\chi^{(1)}, \dots, \chi^{(m)})(χ(1),…,χ(m)) of the pieces of one job have an arbitrary joint law BmB_mBm​ on [0,∞)m[0,\infty)^m[0,∞)m, so the pieces may be dependent. Inter-arrival times, routings and service vectors are independent. B=1m∑iL(χ(i))B = \frac1m \sum_i \mathcal L(\chi^{(i)})B=m1​∑i​L(χ(i)) is the law of a randomly chosen piece, and λ∗=λm\lambda^* = \lambda mλ∗=λm.

The dynamics follow two rules (Definition 2.1). Under synchronization, all pieces of a job start together, once each immediate predecessor (the previous job at each of its servers) has finished there. Under fairness, each server is first come, first served. A job arriving at time aaa therefore starts at max⁡{a,Fs1,…,Fsm}\max\{a, F_{s_1}, \dots, F_{s_m}\}max{a,Fs1​​,…,Fsm​​}, where FsF_sFs​ is the time server sss becomes free, and server sis_isi​ is then busy for χ(i)\chi^{(i)}χ(i) more units.

The tagged job is the first arrival after time 000. Start the system empty at time t0<0t_0 < 0t0​<0. W∅(n,t0)W^{(n,t_0)}_\emptysetW∅(n,t0​)​ is the tagged job's waiting time, excluding service.

The limit object is the mmm-ary weighted branching tree. Its nodes are words j=(j1,…,jr)\mathbf j = (j_1,\dots,j_r)j=(j1​,…,jr​) over {1,…,m}\{1,\dots,m\}{1,…,m}, and each edge carries independent marks χj∼B\chi_{\mathbf j} \sim Bχj​∼B and τj∼Exp(λ∗)\tau_{\mathbf j} \sim \mathrm{Exp}(\lambda^*)τj​∼Exp(λ∗). The path sums are S∅=0S_\emptyset = 0S∅​=0 and Sj=∑t=1r(χj∣t−τj∣t)S_{\mathbf j} = \sum_{t=1}^{r} (\chi_{\mathbf j|t} - \tau_{\mathbf j|t})Sj​=∑t=1r​(χj∣t​−τj∣t​). The endogenous solution (3.9) of the high-order Lindley equation W=Dmax⁡{0,max⁡1≤i≤m(χi−τi+Wi)}W \stackrel{\mathcal D}{=} \max\{0, \max_{1\le i\le m}(\chi_i - \tau_i + W_i)\}W=Dmax{0,max1≤i≤m​(χi​−τi​+Wi​)} is

W=⋁r=0∞ ⋁∣j∣=rSj.W = \bigvee_{r=0}^{\infty}\ \bigvee_{|\mathbf j| = r} S_{\mathbf j}.W=r=0⋁∞​ ∣j∣=r⋁​Sj​.

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem 3.2 for jobs of fixed size

Suppose that for some β>0\beta > 0β>0, E[eβχ]<∞E[e^{\beta\chi}] < \inftyE[eβχ]<∞ and

m E[eβχ] λmλm+β<1,χ∼B.(3.5)m\, E\big[e^{\beta\chi}\big]\,\frac{\lambda m}{\lambda m + \beta} < 1, \qquad \chi \sim B. \tag{3.5}mE[eβχ]λm+βλm​<1,χ∼B.(3.5)

Then for every n≥mn \ge mn≥m the limit W(n)=lim⁡t0→−∞W∅(n,t0)W^{(n)} = \lim_{t_0\to-\infty} W^{(n,t_0)}_\emptysetW(n)=limt0​→−∞​W∅(n,t0​)​ exists almost surely and is finite, WWW is almost surely finite, and

W(n)⇒W,E[(W(n))p]→E[Wp]<∞for every p>0.W^{(n)} \Rightarrow W, \qquad E\big[(W^{(n)})^p\big] \to E[W^p] < \infty \quad \text{for every } p > 0.W(n)⇒W,E[(W(n))p]→E[Wp]<∞for every p>0.

Milestones

  1. (6.1): W∅(n,t0)W^{(n,t_0)}_\emptysetW∅(n,t0​)​ increases to ⋁rU^r\bigvee_r \hat U_r⋁r​U^r​ as t0→−∞t_0 \to -\inftyt0​→−∞, in [0,∞][0,\infty][0,∞]. Here U^r\hat U_rU^r​ is the maximal path sum at distance rrr in the predecessor graph.
  2. (6.4): on the tree, E[∑∣j∣=reβSj]=ρβrE[\sum_{|\mathbf j|=r} e^{\beta S_{\mathbf j}}] = \rho_\beta^rE[∑∣j∣=r​eβSj​]=ρβr​ with ρβ=mE[eβχ]λm/(λm+β)\rho_\beta = m E[e^{\beta\chi}]\lambda m/(\lambda m+\beta)ρβ​=mE[eβχ]λm/(λm+β).
  3. (6.2)–(6.3): P(U^r>0)≤E[∑j∈A^reβS^j]≤ρβrP(\hat U_r > 0) \le E[\sum_{\mathbf j \in \hat A_r} e^{\beta\hat S_{\mathbf j}}] \le \rho_\beta^rP(U^r​>0)≤E[∑j∈A^r​​eβS^j​]≤ρβr​.
  4. Theorem 3.2, stability part: under (3.5), W(n)<∞W^{(n)} < \inftyW(n)<∞ almost surely.
  5. Lemma 6.1: truncation at rn→∞r_n \to \inftyrn​→∞ generations is negligible in LpL^pLp, for the queue and for the tree.
  6. Lemma 6.2: the merged paths contribute at most (r/n) m2ρβr(r/n)\, m^2 \rho_\beta^r(r/n)m2ρβr​.
  7. Lemma 6.3: ∥X1∨X2−Y1∨Y2∥p≤∥X2∥p+∥Y2∥p+∥X1−Y1∥p\|X_1\vee X_2 - Y_1\vee Y_2\|_p \le \|X_2\|_p + \|Y_2\|_p + \|X_1 - Y_1\|_p∥X1​∨X2​−Y1​∨Y2​∥p​≤∥X2​∥p​+∥Y2​∥p​+∥X1​−Y1​∥p​ for nonnegative variables.
  8. Proposition 6.4: the truncated predecessor graph and the tree are close in the Wasserstein distance WpW_pWp​.

Significance

The theorem has two parts, each with its own consequence. The stability part identifies a stability region, ρβ<1\rho_\beta < 1ρβ​<1, for a network in which the usual load condition λmE[χ]<1\lambda m E[\chi] < 1λmE[χ]<1 is not sufficient. The many-server part describes the stationary waiting time of a large network explicitly, as the maximum of a branching random walk, with convergence of all moments. The tail asymptotics of WWW (the paper's Theorem 3.4) rest on it. For m=1m = 1m=1 the statement reduces to the Lindley representation of the M/G/1 waiting time.

The source proves the result on paper. No machine-checked proof of it, or of the stability of the synchronized queue, exists. Formalizing it builds the following, none of which is on the platform:

  • a measure-theoretic model of the synchronized network;
  • the predecessor-graph construction;
  • the first-moment identity of weighted branching processes;
  • the passage from Wasserstein convergence to weak convergence with moments.

Difficulty

The obvious argument treats the predecessor graph as a tree with independent edge weights, and both of those assumptions fail.

  • Dependence. Inter-arrival times along a path are not independent of the graph's shape. A job with many pending pieces is more likely to be the common predecessor of two of them, and that changes the rates on the merged edges.
  • Merging. The graph is a tree only until two paths merge. The stability bound needs a stochastic domination that holds path by path despite the dependence.
  • Coupling. The many-server limit needs an explicit coupling of the graph, truncated at a growing depth, with a tree. The merged part has to be controlled through a filtration of the reversed arrival process.
  • Moments. Convergence of moments for p<1p < 1p<1 and p≥1p \ge 1p≥1 is reached through Wasserstein distances and uniform integrability, not from convergence in distribution alone.

Formalization scope

The statement is the case of jobs of fixed size mmm. For random job sizes the limit printed in the source is not correct, because the immediate predecessors of a job are size-biased; that case is not formalized. For fixed size, Assumption 3.1 (i) and (iii) hold automatically, (ii) is (3.5), and λn∗=λm\lambda^*_n = \lambda mλn∗​=λm for every nnn.

Conventions:

  • Jobs are indexed backwards from the tagged job. Job 000 arrives at E0>0E_0 > 0E0​>0, and job k≥1k \ge 1k≥1 arrives at −(E1+⋯+Ek)-(E_1+\dots+E_k)−(E1​+⋯+Ek​). The gaps are i.i.d. Exp(λn)\mathrm{Exp}(\lambda n)Exp(λn).
  • Servers are natural numbers, and the routing law is uniform on injective maps into {0,…,n−1}\{0,\dots,n-1\}{0,…,n−1}. Every statement assumes n≥mn \ge mn≥m.
  • Probability spaces. Each nnn-system has its own probability space, and the tree has another.
  • Tree labels are List (Fin m), written root-first.
  • The piece law BBB is the average of the coordinate marginals of BmB_mBm​.
  • Added hypothesis. The integrability E[eβχ]<∞E[e^{\beta\chi}] < \inftyE[eβχ]<∞ is stated next to (3.5); the page leaves it implicit.
  • Suprema. W(n)W^{(n)}W(n) and WWW are real suprema. The goal asserts that they are almost surely bounded, and (6.1) is stated in the extended reals.
  • Moments use the real power of nonnegative quantities, for every p>0p > 0p>0.

Formalizations that would trivialize the goal are ruled out:

  • W(n)W^{(n)}W(n) is tied to the queue by the almost sure limit in t0t_0t0​;
  • the tree supremum is asserted bounded;
  • (3.5) carries its integrability, so a non-integrable exponential cannot satisfy it;
  • moments are required for every p>0p > 0p>0, not only p≥1p \ge 1p≥1;
  • all pieces of a job start together, which rules out the split-merge model.

The development needs:

  • exponential and uniform laws, infinite products and independence (Mathlib);
  • the published Wasserstein distance WassersteinDRO.Duality.wassersteinDistance;
  • the queue model and the predecessor graph (this mission's definitions);
  • the mmm-ary weighted branching tree, a definition reusable well beyond this mission.

Contributions are welcome on the general tools: the first-moment identity on branching trees, Borel–Cantelli arguments for maxima of path sums, and the equivalence between WpW_pWp​ convergence and weak convergence with moments on R\mathbb RR.

Selected references

  • M. Olvera-Cravioto and O. Ruiz-Lacedelli, Parallel queues with synchronization, arXiv:1501.00186v3, 2015; published as Stationary Waiting Time in Parallel Queues with Synchronization, Mathematics of Operations Research 46(1), 2021. https://arxiv.org/abs/1501.00186 , https://doi.org/10.1287/moor.2019.1045
  • D. V. Lindley, The theory of queues with a single server, Mathematical Proceedings of the Cambridge Philosophical Society 48(2), 1952. https://doi.org/10.1017/S0305004100027638
  • R. M. Loynes, The stability of a queue with non-independent inter-arrival and service times, Mathematical Proceedings of the Cambridge Philosophical Society 58(3), 1962. https://doi.org/10.1017/S0305004100036781
  • D. J. Aldous and A. Bandyopadhyay, A survey of max-type recursive distributional equations, Annals of Applied Probability 15(2), 2005. https://doi.org/10.1214/105051605000000142
  • F. I. Karpelevich, M. Ya. Kelbert and Yu. M. Suhov, Higher-order Lindley equations, Stochastic Processes and their Applications 53, 65–96, 1994. https://doi.org/10.1016/0304-4149(94)90058-2
  • J. D. Biggins, Lindley-type equations in the branching random walk, Stochastic Processes and their Applications 75, 105–133, 1998. https://doi.org/10.1016/S0304-4149(98)00015-X
  • P. R. Jelenković and M. Olvera-Cravioto, Maximums on trees, Stochastic Processes and their Applications 125, 217–232, 2015. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.spa.2014.09.002
  • C. Villani, Optimal Transport: Old and New, Springer, 2009 (Theorem 6.8). https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-540-71050-9
12 thms1 active userReviewed
Control TheoryOperations ResearchProbability·Captain: mikedeng1

On Singular Control for Lévy Processes: Under a Convex Running Cost, the Barrier Strategy at b* = inf{b : ρ(b) + C ≥ 0} Is Optimal over All Admissible StrategiesResearch Paper

Motivation

A controller watches a one-dimensional random state XXX (an inventory level, a cash reserve, an exchange rate) and may push it upward at any time, paying a proportional cost CCC per unit of push. A running cost f(Ut)f(U_t)f(Ut​) is paid on the controlled state UUU. Minimizing the discounted sum of the two costs is the classical singular control problem, called singular because the optimal push is typically not absolutely continuous in time. Since Beneš, Shepp and Witsenhausen (1980) the expected answer has been a barrier strategy: reflect the state at a fixed lower level b∗b^*b∗ and do nothing above it.

For Brownian motion and diffusions this is well understood. For processes with jumps, the known proofs rely on the scale function of a spectrally one-sided Lévy process (jumps of one sign only). Yamazaki (Math. Oper. Res. 2017) solved the spectrally negative case this way. Financial and inventory data have jumps of both signs, and for a general Lévy process no scale function exists. Noba and Yamazaki (arXiv:2008.03021, Math. Oper. Res. 2023) prove that a barrier strategy is still optimal for a general Lévy process when the running cost is convex, and that the optimal barrier solves one explicit equation.

Setting

Let X=(Xt)t≥0X=(X_t)_{t\ge0}X=(Xt​)t≥0​ be a real Lévy process with X0=0X_0=0X0​=0, described by its triplet (γ,σ,Π)(\gamma,\sigma,\Pi)(γ,σ,Π): E[eiuXt]=e−tΨ(u)\mathbb E[e^{iuX_t}]=e^{-t\Psi(u)}E[eiuXt​]=e−tΨ(u) with

Ψ(u)=−iγu+12σ2u2+∫R∖{0}(1−eiuz+iuz 1{∣z∣<1}) Π(dz).\Psi(u)=-i\gamma u+\tfrac12\sigma^2u^2+\int_{\mathbb R\setminus\{0\}}\big(1-e^{iuz}+iuz\,1_{\{|z|<1\}}\big)\,\Pi(dz).Ψ(u)=−iγu+21​σ2u2+∫R∖{0}​(1−eiuz+iuz1{∣z∣<1}​)Π(dz).

Under Px\mathbb P_xPx​ the process starts at xxx, i.e. it is x+Xx+Xx+X.

A strategy is a nondecreasing, right-continuous process RRR adapted to the natural filtration of XXX, with R0−=0R_{0-}=0R0−​=0; an initial jump R0>0R_0>0R0​>0 is allowed. The controlled process is Ut=Xt+RtU_t=X_t+R_tUt​=Xt​+Rt​ (2.2). For a discount rate q>0q>0q>0, a unit cost C∈RC\in\mathbb RC∈R and a running cost fff, the cost of π=R\pi=Rπ=R from xxx is

vπ(x)=Ex[∫0∞e−qtf(Ut) dt+C∫[0,∞)e−qt dRt](2.3),v_\pi(x)=\mathbb E_x\Big[\int_0^\infty e^{-qt}f(U_t)\,dt+C\int_{[0,\infty)}e^{-qt}\,dR_t\Big]\qquad(2.3),vπ​(x)=Ex​[∫0∞​e−qtf(Ut​)dt+C∫[0,∞)​e−qtdRt​](2.3),

and π\piπ is admissible if the same expectation with ∣f∣|f|∣f∣ in place of fff and without CCC is finite (2.4). The value function is v(x)=inf⁡πvπ(x)v(x)=\inf_\pi v_\pi(x)v(x)=infπ​vπ​(x).

The barrier strategy at bbb is Rtb=−inf⁡s≤t{(Xs−b)∧0}R^b_t=-\inf_{s\le t}\{(X_s-b)\wedge0\}Rtb​=−infs≤t​{(Xs​−b)∧0}; then UbU^bUb is XXX reflected at the lower barrier bbb, and its cost is vb(x)v_b(x)vb​(x) (3.6). With f+′f'_+f+′​ the right derivative of fff and U0U^0U0 the process reflected at 000 and started at 000, set

ρ(b)=E[∫0∞e−qtf+′(Ut0+b) dt] (3.9),b∗=inf⁡{b∈R:ρ(b)+C≥0} (3.8).\rho(b)=\mathbb E\Big[\int_0^\infty e^{-qt}f'_+(U^0_t+b)\,dt\Big]\ (3.9),\qquad b^*=\inf\{b\in\mathbb R:\rho(b)+C\ge0\}\ (3.8).ρ(b)=E[∫0∞​e−qtf+′​(Ut0​+b)dt] (3.9),b∗=inf{b∈R:ρ(b)+C≥0} (3.8).

Standing assumptions: fff is convex, of polynomial growth, and f+′(−∞)<−Cq<f+′(∞)f'_+(-\infty)<-Cq<f'_+(\infty)f+′​(−∞)<−Cq<f+′​(∞) (Assumption 1); ∫R∖(−1,1)eθˉ∣z∣Π(dz)<∞\int_{\mathbb R\setminus(-1,1)}e^{\bar\theta|z|}\Pi(dz)<\infty∫R∖(−1,1)​eθˉ∣z∣Π(dz)<∞ for some θˉ>0\bar\theta>0θˉ>0 (Assumption 2(ii)).

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem 2 (p. 13)

For every starting point xxx, the barrier strategy at b∗b^*b∗ is admissible and

vπb∗(x)≤vπ(x)for every strategy π admissible from x,v_{\pi^{b^*}}(x)\le v_\pi(x)\qquad\text{for every strategy }\pi\text{ admissible from }x,vπb∗​(x)≤vπ​(x)for every strategy π admissible from x,

under Assumptions 1 and 2(ii) only. The paper first assumes XXX is not a driftless compound Poisson process (Assumption 2(i)) and, for unbounded variation, that f∈C2f\in C^2f∈C2 with f′′f''f′′ of polynomial growth (Assumption 3); §4.2 and §5 remove both, and the goal carries neither.

Milestones

The fifteen milestones follow the paper's proof:

  • the barrier strategies and b∗b^*b∗: Lemmas 2–4, the finiteness of b∗b^*b∗ (p. 6), Lemma 6 (derivative of vbv_bvb​ in the barrier), Theorem 1 (optimality among barriers), Lemma 8 (convexity, C1C^1C1 and smooth fit of vb∗v_{b^*}vb∗​), Lemma 9;
  • verification: Proposition 1 (the verification lemma) and Lemmas 10–11 (the variational inequality for vb∗v_{b^*}vb∗​);
  • the approximation of §4.2: Lemmas 12, 14, 15;
  • the compound Poisson case of §5: Lemma 16.

Significance

The theorem gives a complete solution, for all Lévy processes with exponential moments, of the singular control problem with convex running cost: the optimal policy is a barrier, and the barrier is the root of a monotone function of bbb. It contains the Brownian, spectrally negative and spectrally positive cases, and processes of bounded and unbounded variation, subordinators and compound Poisson processes. Because ρ\rhoρ depends only on the law of the reflected process U0U^0U0, b∗b^*b∗ can be computed by Monte Carlo or, when the Wiener–Hopf factorization is known, by transform inversion (Remark 4).

The result is proved in the paper; it has no machine-checked proof. Formalizing it requires a Lévy-process layer that Mathlib does not yet have: reflected Lévy processes, first-passage times, and an Itô formula for semimartingales with jumps used against Lebesgue–Stieltjes integrators. The milestones isolate statements that do not need all of it: Lemma 12 is real analysis about a smoothed convex function, Theorem 1 compares barrier strategies only, and Proposition 1 is a reusable verification lemma for singular control.

Difficulty

The standard route computes vbv_bvb​ in closed form, picks b∗b^*b∗ by smooth fit, and checks the variational inequality. For a general Lévy process vbv_bvb​ has no closed form: the scale function, which carries the one-sided proofs, does not exist when jumps of both signs are present. The paper works instead with derivatives of vbv_bvb​ with respect to the barrier, expressed through the first down-crossing time τb−\tau^-_bτb−​ (Lemma 6). This needs the regularity of 000 for R∖{0}\mathbb R\setminus\{0\}R∖{0}, which fails for driftless compound Poisson processes, hence the separate treatment of §5. In the unbounded-variation case, vb∗v_{b^*}vb∗​ is C2C^2C2 only if fff is, so the verification lemma cannot be applied directly. The paper smooths fff, solves the smoothed problems, and passes to the limit through the barriers b(ε)∗b^*_{(\varepsilon)}b(ε)∗​ and the values v(ε)v^{(\varepsilon)}v(ε) (Lemmas 14–15).

Formalization scope

Two definition files. SingCtrlLevy.Barrier.Levy gives the triplet, Ψ\PsiΨ, the Lévy process (measurable, X0=0X_0=0X0​=0, independent and stationary increments, càdlàg paths, characteristic function e−tΨe^{-t\Psi}e−tΨ), bounded variation, the driftless compound Poisson triplet, Assumptions 2(ii) and 3, the classes CpolynC^n_{\mathrm{poly}}Cpolyn​ and the generator L\mathcal LL. SingCtrlLevy.Barrier.Model gives strategies, the cost, the barrier strategy, ρ\rhoρ, b∗b^*b∗, τb−\tau^-_bτb−​, Assumption 1, the smoothing f(ε)f^{(\varepsilon)}f(ε) of (4.35) and Xt[ε]=Xt+εtX^{[\varepsilon]}_t=X_t+\varepsilon tXt[ε]​=Xt​+εt.

Conventions:

  • One probability space with X0=0X_0=0X0​=0; Px\mathbb P_xPx​ is the law of x+Xx+Xx+X.
  • Time is R≥0\mathbb R_{\ge0}R≥0​; time integrals are over [0,∞)[0,\infty)[0,∞).
  • Admissibility is per starting point: the barrier strategy from xxx has R0b=(b−x)+R^b_0=(b-x)^+R0b​=(b−x)+, so the admissible set is read as strategies chosen for the start xxx with (2.4) at that xxx.
  • dRdRdR is the Lebesgue–Stieltjes measure of the path extended by 000 to negative times, so the initial jump R0R_0R0​ is charged at t=0t=0t=0.
  • (2.4) is a lower Lebesgue integral in [0,∞][0,\infty][0,∞]; costs are Bochner integrals, genuine exactly under (2.4).
  • vvv is valued in the extended reals; τb−\tau^-_bτb−​ is valued in [0,∞][0,\infty][0,∞], with e−q∞=0e^{-q\infty}=0e−q∞=0.
  • f±′f'_\pmf±′​ are one-sided derivatives; Assumption 1(iii) is written as "some f+′(y)<−Cqf'_+(y)<-Cqf+′​(y)<−Cq and some f+′(y)>−Cqf'_+(y)>-Cqf+′​(y)>−Cq", equivalent to the limit form since f+′f'_+f+′​ is nondecreasing.
  • Milestones of §§2–4 carry Assumption 2(i), standing until the end of §4. Lemmas 9, 14 and 15 carry unbounded variation (the scope of §4.2, and of Assumption 3 in Lemma 9). Lemma 16 carries the driftless compound Poisson hypothesis instead of Assumption 2(i).

b∗b^*b∗ is the infimum of the set {b:ρ(b)+C≥0}\{b:\rho(b)+C\ge0\}{b:ρ(b)+C≥0}, never "the optimal barrier", and πb∗\pi^{b^*}πb∗ is the explicit reflection at b∗b^*b∗. The goal ranges over every nondecreasing, right-continuous, adapted strategy satisfying (2.4), and the value function is never replaced by a junk infimum. None of the three trivializes the statement.

Welcome contributions: measurability and integrability lemmas for reflected Lévy processes, first-passage regularity (Lemma 1 of the paper), an Itô formula for C2C^2C2 functions of Lévy processes plus nondecreasing càdlàg controls, and the real-analysis lemmas on f(ε)f^{(\varepsilon)}f(ε). The Lévy layer and the verification lemma can be reused beyond this mission.

Selected references

  • K. Noba and K. Yamazaki, On singular control for Lévy processes, Mathematics of Operations Research, 2023; arXiv:2008.03021v3 (2022). https://arxiv.org/abs/2008.03021
  • K. Yamazaki, Inventory control for spectrally positive Lévy demand processes, Mathematics of Operations Research 42(1), 212–237, 2017. https://doi.org/10.1287/moor.2016.0802
  • V. E. Beneš, L. A. Shepp and H. S. Witsenhausen, Some solvable stochastic control problems, Stochastics 4(1), 39–83, 1980. https://doi.org/10.1080/17442508008833156
  • A. E. Kyprianou, Fluctuations of Lévy Processes with Applications, 2nd ed., Springer, 2014. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-642-37632-0
  • P. Protter, Stochastic Integration and Differential Equations, 2nd ed., Springer, 2005. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-662-10061-5
18 thms1 active userReviewed
EconomicsOperations Research·Captain: mikedeng1

Negotiating Government-to-Government Food Importing Contracts: A Nash Bargaining Framework: With Sufficiently Many Suppliers, Forward Negotiations Beat Ad Hoc Negotiations for the BuyerResearch Paper

Why compare contracting times?

Food importers that also produce domestically must decide whether to commit to purchases before the domestic harvest or negotiate after observing it. This choice matters when suppliers must plant before the harvest is known: a late negotiation leaves them exposed to unsold production, while an early contract commits the importer to purchases it may no longer need. Mu, Hu, Reddy and Gavirneni model this problem using India's imports of pulses as motivation and compare the two contracting times within the same bargaining framework (Mu et al., accepted manuscript, 2022). The mission asks how the comparison changes when the importer bargains with several suppliers at once.

The source paper distinguishes ad hoc negotiations, held after the buyer's internal yield is observed, from forward negotiations, held before yield is observed. A single forward supplier need not improve the buyer's expected net utility relative to a single ad hoc supplier. Proposition 3 identifies a supplier-count effect: with sufficiently many suppliers, forward negotiations yield the buyer more utility. Its claim concerns the equilibria of the actual contracting games, including the suppliers' production choices and the payments determined by Nash bargaining (Mu et al., Proposition 3, PDF p. 9).

The model

The buyer has demand one and an uncertain internal yield YYY uniformly distributed on [0,1][0,1][0,1]. Consuming x∈[0,1]x\in[0,1]x∈[0,1] gives utility u(x)=2x−x2u(x)=2x-x^2u(x)=2x−x2; any supply beyond demand is discarded. Every supplier has the same positive unit production cost ccc and produces before YYY is realized. The buyer has bargaining power γ∈(0,1)\gamma\in(0,1)γ∈(0,1), leaving 1−γ1-\gamma1−γ for a supplier. This mission studies the positive-production regime 0<c<1−γ0<c<1-\gamma0<c<1−γ (Mu et al., §§3–4, PDF pp. 3–8).

In the all-ad-hoc game, each of l≥1l\ge1l≥1 suppliers chooses a production quantity kkk before yield is observed. Once Y=yY=yY=y is known, each supplier bargains with the buyer over a purchase q(y)q(y)q(y) and payment t(y)t(y)t(y). The other l−1l-1l−1 negotiations are assumed successful and their agreed quantities remain fixed when the buyer and one focal supplier bargain. Each supplier's expected profit is its expected payment less ckckck. A symmetric equilibrium uses the same production and yield-dependent agreement for every supplier; no supplier can increase expected profit by changing its production quantity and then bargaining under the same other agreements.

In the all-forward game, all lll suppliers bargain before yield over a quantity qqq and payment ttt. The other contracts remain fixed in a focal negotiation. Suppliers produce exactly their contracted quantities, as §4.1 assumes. The buyer's expected net utility is the utility of its internal yield plus all purchases, capped at one, less all payments; one supplier's profit is t−cqt-cqt−cq. Both games use the generalized Nash bargaining product gBγgS1−γg_B^\gamma g_S^{1-\gamma}gBγ​gS1−γ​ of the buyer's and supplier's gains over disagreement, maximized over individually rational agreements (Mu et al., §4.1, PDF pp. 7–8).

Formalization targets

The main target is Proposition 3. Write UBa(l)U_B^a(l)UBa​(l) and UBf(l)U_B^f(l)UBf​(l) for the buyer's equilibrium net utilities in the all-ad-hoc and all-forward games, and USa(l)U_S^a(l)USa​(l) and USf(l)U_S^f(l)USf​(l) for one supplier's equilibrium profit. For each regime, increasing lll strictly improves the buyer's net utility and strictly reduces the suppliers' aggregate profit:

UBr(l+1)>UBr(l),(l+1)USr(l+1)<lUSr(l)(r∈{a,f}, l≥1).U_B^r(l+1)>U_B^r(l),\qquad (l+1)U_S^r(l+1)<lU_S^r(l)\quad(r\in\{a,f\},\ l\ge1).UBr​(l+1)>UBr​(l),(l+1)USr​(l+1)<lUSr​(l)(r∈{a,f}, l≥1).

In addition, there is a positive threshold l‾\underline ll​ beyond which the buyer prefers forward negotiations:

UBf(l)>UBa(l)for every integer l>l‾.U_B^f(l)>U_B^a(l)\qquad\text{for every integer }l>\underline l.UBf​(l)>UBa​(l)for every integer l>l​.

The target quantifies over every symmetric equilibrium and asserts that equilibria exist for every positive supplier count. The milestone path records the source's ad hoc stage outcome, pure ad hoc production quantity, single-supplier ad hoc result, pure forward quantity, single-supplier forward result, four multiple-supplier payoff formulas, and the quadratic payoff-gap threshold. The four formulas are intermediate identities about the equilibria; the goal remains the comparison of the underlying games (Mu et al., Lemmas 1–2 and Propositions 2–3, PDF pp. 5–9; proof of Proposition 3, PDF pp. 14–15).

What the result gives

The result identifies a precise limit to the single-supplier comparison. Forward contracts coordinate production with purchase commitments, but the buyer also commits before knowing its own yield. Proposition 3 says that competition among sufficiently many suppliers changes the buyer's expected payoff comparison even though the buyer's exogenous bargaining power γ\gammaγ is unchanged. For the model, this supports analyzing supplier count and contracting time together rather than treating them as independent decisions (Mu et al., §4.1, PDF p. 9).

The paper proves these claims analytically. Here the definitions and theorem statements compile in Lean, while the proposed theorems remain open proof obligations. Completing the mission would machine-check the existence, payoff identities, monotonicity claims, and threshold for the stated equilibrium concepts. Its quantity-and-payment Nash bargaining definition and symmetric-game interface can also support related sourcing models. No machine-checked proof of this paper's Proposition 3 is claimed by this draft.

Central difficulty

Holding a supplier's agreement fixed changes the buyer's disagreement payoff in every other negotiation. Consequently, the buyer's gain in one bargain depends on the quantities already agreed with the remaining suppliers. A direct comparison that treats each supplier as an independent copy of the single-supplier game misses that dependence. The ad hoc game adds a second stage: production is chosen before yield, while purchases and payments are determined after yield for every feasible realized value. A proof must keep these two decisions and the changing disagreement points consistent across supplier counts (Mu et al., §4.1 and Appendix B, PDF pp. 7–9, 13–15).

Formalization scope

All monetary amounts, quantities and utility values are real numbers. Supplier count lll is a positive natural number. Uniform-yield expectation is represented by the interval integral ∫01f(y) dy\int_0^1 f(y)\,dy∫01​f(y)dy. Consumption is capped at demand one. Only the two pure games are represented: lll ad hoc suppliers and no forward suppliers, or lll forward suppliers and no ad hoc suppliers. Agreements in the ad hoc game are functions of yield, constrained on [0,1][0,1][0,1]. The Nash product is compared only over feasible, individually rational pairs, where both bases of the real powers are nonnegative.

The model uses the purchase cap of equation (A.2): an ad hoc supplier cannot sell beyond the buyer's remaining need. A focal negotiation holds other suppliers at their agreed quantities, and a production deviation holds those other agreements fixed, the passive-beliefs reading of Appendix B. Forward suppliers produce their contracted quantities. These choices are recorded explicitly because changing any of them changes the formulas. The paper writes c≤1−γc\le1-\gammac≤1−γ in its standing focus; the goal uses c<1−γc<1-\gammac<1−γ, since the stated strict ad hoc monotonicity fails at equality. The printed nnn in the forward supplier-profit formula of the proof of Proposition 3 is read as lll, the count used throughout that paragraph. PDF pages are indexed from one because this accepted manuscript has no printed page numbers.

The goal cannot be satisfied by declaring the four payoff expressions to be the games' values: the equilibrium predicates specify Nash bargains, production incentives, and the resulting integrated payoffs independently of the printed closed forms. Likewise, the existence clause prevents the universal comparisons from holding because there are no equilibria. Contributions that establish stage bargaining, equilibrium existence and characterization, integral payoff identities, or the algebraic threshold all advance the result. The mixed forward/ad-hoc regime, buyer's-remorse extension, and hybrid supplier cases are outside this mission (Mu et al., §§4–5 and Appendix A, PDF pp. 8–13).

Selected references

  • Liying Mu, Bin Hu, A. Amarender Reddy and Srinagesh Gavirneni, Negotiating Government-to-Government Food Importing Contracts: A Nash Bargaining Framework, Manufacturing & Service Operations Management, 2022, accepted manuscript. doi:10.1287/msom.2021.1027.
11 thms1 active userReviewed
Operations ResearchOptimization·Captain: mikedeng1

Penalty and Augmented Lagrangian Methods for Constrained DC Programming: Feasible Accumulation Points of the Penalty Method Are B-Stationary under the Pointwise Slater Constraint QualificationResearch Paper

Motivation

A DC function is a difference of two convex functions. Programs whose objective and constraints are DC functions model sparse estimation with nonconvex penalties, affine sparsity constraints, piecewise-affine regression and several problems in signal processing and finance. Constraints of DC type make the feasible region nonconvex and nonsmooth, and the usual Karush–Kuhn–Tucker theory and its constraint qualifications do not apply directly.

Lu, Sun and Zhou (arXiv:2111.09263, Mathematics of Operations Research, 2022) propose a penalty method and an augmented Lagrangian method for such programs. Each subproblem only has to be solved approximately, in a sense that a single convex subproblem per inner iteration can certify. Their main result for the penalty method is that every feasible accumulation point of the iterates is a B-stationary point, the strongest first-order condition used for nonsmooth nonconvex programs, under a new pointwise Slater constraint qualification (PSCQ).

Timeline:

  • Pang, Razaviyayn and Alvarado (Mathematics of Operations Research 42(1), 2017) computed B-stationary points of DC programs with one DC constraint. They reduced several constraints to one through a max-type reformulation. Their convergence result needs the maximizing piece of each concave part to be unique at the limit point, together with a Slater-type condition on the reformulated constraint.
  • Le Thi, Huynh and Pham Dinh (2014) gave penalty-type DCA methods for the case where every ψi\psi_iψi​ is smooth.
  • Lu, Sun and Zhou (2021/2022) drop the uniqueness assumption. Their PSCQ is strictly weaker than the condition of Pang et al. (Remark 2.1 gives a two-constraint example where the PSCQ holds and the earlier condition fails), and they need only approximate subproblem solutions.

Setting

Let X⊆RnX\subseteq\mathbb R^nX⊆Rn be closed and convex, and let S⊇X\mathcal S\supseteq XS⊇X be an open convex set. For i=0,1,…,Ii=0,1,\dots,Ii=0,1,…,I:

  • ζi\zeta_iζi​ is convex and continuous on S\mathcal SS;
  • ϕi\phi_iϕi​ is convex and C1C^1C1 on S\mathcal SS, with ∥∇ϕi(x)−∇ϕi(y)∥≤Li∥x−y∥\|\nabla\phi_i(x)-\nabla\phi_i(y)\|\le L_i\|x-y\|∥∇ϕi​(x)−∇ϕi​(y)∥≤Li​∥x−y∥ on XXX, where Li≥0L_i\ge 0Li​≥0 and L0>0L_0>0L0​>0;
  • ψi(x)=max⁡1≤j≤Jiψi,j(x)\psi_i(x)=\max_{1\le j\le J_i}\psi_{i,j}(x)ψi​(x)=max1≤j≤Ji​​ψi,j​(x), where each ψi,j\psi_{i,j}ψi,j​ is convex and C1C^1C1 on S\mathcal SS.

The program is

min⁡x∈XF(x)=ϕ0(x)+ζ0(x)−ψ0(x)s.t.ϕi(x)+ζi(x)−ψi(x)≤0, i∈I={1,…,I},\min_{x\in X} F(x)=\phi_0(x)+\zeta_0(x)-\psi_0(x)\quad\text{s.t.}\quad \phi_i(x)+\zeta_i(x)-\psi_i(x)\le 0,\ i\in\mathcal I=\{1,\dots,I\},x∈Xmin​F(x)=ϕ0​(x)+ζ0​(x)−ψ0​(x)s.t.ϕi​(x)+ζi​(x)−ψi​(x)≤0, i∈I={1,…,I},

with feasible region Ω\OmegaΩ. The definitions used throughout are these.

  • Active sets. For x∈Xx\in Xx∈X, Ji(x)\mathcal J_i(x)Ji​(x) is the set of indices jjj with ψi,j(x)=ψi(x)\psi_{i,j}(x)=\psi_i(x)ψi,j​(x)=ψi​(x). J(x)\mathcal J(x)J(x) is the set of tuples J=(j1,…,jI)\mathbb J=(j_1,\dots,j_I)J=(j1​,…,jI​) with ji∈Ji(x)j_i\in\mathcal J_i(x)ji​∈Ji​(x). I=(x)\mathcal I_=(x)I=​(x) is the set of constraints that hold with equality.
  • Tangent cone. The tangent cone TY(x)\mathcal T_Y(x)TY​(x) is the set of limits lim⁡k(xk−x)/τk\lim_k (x^k-x)/\tau_klimk​(xk−x)/τk​ with xk∈Yx^k\in Yxk∈Y, xk→xx^k\to xxk→x and τk↓0\tau_k\downarrow 0τk​↓0.
  • Directional derivative. The directional derivative is f′(x;d)=lim⁡τ↓0(f(x+τd)−f(x))/τf'(x;d)=\lim_{\tau\downarrow0}\big(f(x+\tau d)-f(x)\big)/\tauf′(x;d)=limτ↓0​(f(x+τd)−f(x))/τ.
  • B-stationarity. A point xˉ∈Ω\bar x\in\Omegaxˉ∈Ω is B-stationary if F′(xˉ;d)≥0F'(\bar x;d)\ge 0F′(xˉ;d)≥0 for all d∈TΩ(xˉ)d\in\mathcal T_\Omega(\bar x)d∈TΩ​(xˉ).
  • PSCQ. The PSCQ holds at xˉ\bar xxˉ if, for every J∈J(xˉ)\mathbb J\in\mathcal J(\bar x)J∈J(xˉ), some dJ∈TX(xˉ)d_{\mathbb J}\in\mathcal T_X(\bar x)dJ​∈TX​(xˉ) satisfies ∇ϕi(xˉ)TdJ+ζi′(xˉ;dJ)−∇ψi,ji(xˉ)TdJ<0\nabla\phi_i(\bar x)^Td_{\mathbb J}+\zeta_i'(\bar x;d_{\mathbb J})-\nabla\psi_{i,j_i}(\bar x)^Td_{\mathbb J}<0∇ϕi​(xˉ)TdJ​+ζi′​(xˉ;dJ​)−∇ψi,ji​​(xˉ)TdJ​<0 for all i∈I=(xˉ)i\in\mathcal I_=(\bar x)i∈I=​(xˉ).

Algorithm 3.1 fixes ϵ>0\epsilon>0ϵ>0, ρ0>0\rho_0>0ρ0​>0, σ>1\sigma>1σ>1, tolerances ηk≥0\eta_k\ge0ηk​≥0 with ηk→0\eta_k\to0ηk​→0, and an exponent p≥1p\ge1p≥1. It sets ρk=ρ0σk\rho_k=\rho_0\sigma^kρk​=ρ0​σk and requires each iterate xk∈Xx^k\in Xxk∈X to satisfy

Fρk(xk)≤Qρk(x;xk,j0,J)+ηk∀x∈XF_{\rho_k}(x^k)\le Q_{\rho_k}(x;x^k,j_0,\mathbb J)+\eta_k\qquad\forall x\in XFρk​​(xk)≤Qρk​​(x;xk,j0​,J)+ηk​∀x∈X

for every ϵ\epsilonϵ-active j0j_0j0​ and J\mathbb JJ at xkx^kxk. Here:

  • Fρ=F+ρ∑i[ϕi+ζi−ψi]+pF_\rho=F+\rho\sum_i[\phi_i+\zeta_i-\psi_i]_+^pFρ​=F+ρ∑i​[ϕi​+ζi​−ψi​]+p​ is the penalty function;
  • QρQ_\rhoQρ​ is the convex majorant obtained by replacing ϕi\phi_iϕi​ with ϕ^i(x;xˉ)=ϕi(xˉ)+∇ϕi(xˉ)T(x−xˉ)+Li∥x−xˉ∥2/2\hat\phi_i(x;\bar x)=\phi_i(\bar x)+\nabla\phi_i(\bar x)^T(x-\bar x)+L_i\|x-\bar x\|^2/2ϕ^​i​(x;xˉ)=ϕi​(xˉ)+∇ϕi​(xˉ)T(x−xˉ)+Li​∥x−xˉ∥2/2, and ψi,j\psi_{i,j}ψi,j​ with its linearization ℓψi,j(x;xˉ)\ell_{\psi_{i,j}}(x;\bar x)ℓψi,j​​(x;xˉ).

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem 3.1(iii)

If {xk}k∈K→x∞\{x^k\}_{k\in\mathcal K}\to x^\infty{xk}k∈K​→x∞ along a subsequence of a run of Algorithm 3.1, and x∞∈Ωx^\infty\in\Omegax∞∈Ω, I=(x∞)≠∅\mathcal I_=(x^\infty)\neq\emptysetI=​(x∞)=∅ and the PSCQ holds at x∞x^\inftyx∞, then

F′(x∞;d)≥0∀d∈TΩ(x∞).F'(x^\infty;d)\ge 0\qquad\forall d\in\mathcal T_\Omega(x^\infty).F′(x∞;d)≥0∀d∈TΩ​(x∞).

The statement fixes no constants; it holds for every admissible choice of ϵ,ρ0,σ,η,p\epsilon,\rho_0,\sigma,\eta,pϵ,ρ0​,σ,η,p and every convergent subsequence.

Milestones

In the order the proof uses them:

  1. Remark 3.1(i): ϵ\epsilonϵ-active sets contain the active sets nearby.
  2. (3.10): the iterate inequality for active indices along K\mathcal KK.
  3. (3.18): a Slater point x^\hat xx^ of YJ(x∞)Y_{\mathbb J}(x^\infty)YJ​(x∞).
  4. (3.20)–(3.21): strict feasibility for the quadratic models along segments towards x∞x^\inftyx∞.
  5. (3.26): x∞x^\inftyx∞ minimizes ϕ^0(⋅;x∞)+ζ0−ℓψ0,j0(⋅;x∞)\hat\phi_0(\cdot;x^\infty)+\zeta_0-\ell_{\psi_{0,j_0}}(\cdot;x^\infty)ϕ^​0​(⋅;x∞)+ζ0​−ℓψ0,j0​​​(⋅;x∞) over YJ(x∞)Y_{\mathbb J}(x^\infty)YJ​(x∞).

The supporting results of §§1–2 follow: 6. (1.16), Danskin's formula. 7. (2.1): TΩ=⋃JTΩJ\mathcal T_\Omega=\bigcup_{\mathbb J}\mathcal T_{\Omega_{\mathbb J}}TΩ​=⋃J​TΩJ​​. 8. Proposition 2.1: TYJ(xˉ)=TΩJ=CJ\mathcal T_{Y_{\mathbb J}(\bar x)}=\mathcal T_{\Omega_{\mathbb J}}=C_{\mathbb J}TYJ​(xˉ)​=TΩJ​​=CJ​. 9. Corollary 2.1. 10. Theorem 2.1: under the PSCQ, B-stationarity reduces to F′(xˉ;d)≥0F'(\bar x;d)\ge0F′(xˉ;d)≥0 on each TYJ(xˉ)(xˉ)\mathcal T_{Y_{\mathbb J}(\bar x)}(\bar x)TYJ​(xˉ)​(xˉ).

Significance

The theorem certifies that a practical method, one whose subproblems are solved only approximately, reaches the strongest standard stationarity notion for DC-constrained programs. It does so without the piece-uniqueness assumption, so limit points may sit where some ψi\psi_iψi​ is nondifferentiable, which is the typical case in sparse and piecewise-affine models. Theorem 2.1 and Corollary 2.1 are useful in their own right: they describe the tangent cone of a nonconvex DC feasible region as a finite union of cones of convex sets.

Formalization status: the result is proved on paper. The local Prove2Me prior-art search found no machine-checked version of this theorem. Proposition 2.1 is stated in the paper without proof (it refers to Pang et al.), so a complete development must supply that argument.

Difficulty

Passing to the limit in (3.7) faces two obstacles. The inequality is available for pieces that are ϵ\epsilonϵ-active at xkx^kxk, while the conclusion concerns active pieces at x∞x^\inftyx∞. Also, ρk→∞\rho_k\to\inftyρk​→∞, so the penalty term cannot simply be dropped in the limit. The PSCQ must provide enough strict feasibility for the limiting comparison to remain meaningful.

The limiting minimization property is posed on each convex set YJ(x∞)Y_{\mathbb J}(x^\infty)YJ​(x∞), while B-stationarity concerns the nonconvex set Ω\OmegaΩ. Relating their tangent cones is a separate difficulty. Proposition 2.1 requires a Slater-type tangent-cone result whose proof the paper leaves to the literature.

Formalization scope

The space is EuclideanSpace ℝ (Fin n), and gradients are fderiv. Indices are Fin (m+1) with m = I: index 0 is the objective and constraint iii is i.succ. Each ψi\psi_iψi​ has a nonempty, finite set of pieces. The conventions committed to are these.

  • Convexity of S\mathcal SS is explicit.
  • No Li=0L_i=0Li​=0 convention. The convention "Li=0L_i=0Li​=0 when ϕi\phi_iϕi​ is affine" is not imposed; it matters only for part (iv).
  • Tangent cone. It is defined sequentially, with τk>0\tau_k>0τk​>0 and τk→0\tau_k\to0τk​→0. Mathlib's tangentConeAt, which admits negative scalings, is not used.
  • Directional derivative. It is the published predicate ClarkeGradients.MaxFunctions.HasOneSidedDirDeriv, a limit along τ→0+\tau\to0^+τ→0+, never a limUnder value. B-stationarity therefore asserts that F′(x∞;d)F'(x^\infty;d)F′(x∞;d) exists and is nonnegative.
  • Runs. A run of Algorithm 3.1 is a predicate with ρk=ρ0σk\rho_k=\rho_0\sigma^kρk​=ρ0​σk, σ>1\sigma>1σ>1, ρ0>0\rho_0>0ρ0​>0, p≥1p\ge1p≥1, ηk≥0\eta_k\ge0ηk​≥0, ηk→0\eta_k\to0ηk​→0. Condition (3.7) is imposed for every ϵ\epsilonϵ-active j0j_0j0​ and J\mathbb JJ, and every x∈Xx\in Xx∈X. A subsequence is a strictly increasing K:N→NK:\mathbb N\to\mathbb NK:N→N.
  • Penalty powers. [a]+p[a]_+^p[a]+p​ is (max a 0) ^ p with a real exponent.

Ruling out trivial readings.

  • Imposing (3.7) only at exactly active indices, or leaving ρk\rho_kρk​ free, would weaken the run hypothesis and break the proof. Taking a two-sided tangent cone would change the conclusion.
  • The hypotheses of the goal are satisfiable: a sorry-free check exhibits a one-dimensional run with an active constraint at which the PSCQ holds.

Deliberately absent.

  • Theorem 3.1(i), (ii) and (iv): other conclusions of the same theorem, not used by (iii).
  • The polyhedral branch of Proposition 2.1, Corollary 2.1 and Theorem 2.1, used only by (iv).
  • The augmented Lagrangian results, Theorems 4.1 and 4.2: a parallel analysis, and a KKT result needing subdifferentials and normal cones.
  • The KKT characterization, Theorem 2.2.
  • The finite termination of the inner solver, Theorem 5.1. The goal quantifies over all runs, so it does not depend on how the iterates are computed.

The tangent cone, B-stationarity, the PSCQ and Danskin's formula are reusable for other nonsmooth constrained programs. Contributions are welcome on any milestone, and in particular on the tangent-cone results (2.1) and Proposition 2.1, and on directional derivatives of convex functions on open sets.

Selected references

  • Z. Lu, Z. Sun, Z. Zhou, Penalty and augmented Lagrangian methods for constrained DC programming, Mathematics of Operations Research, 2022; preprint arXiv:2111.09263v1, 2021.
  • J.-S. Pang, M. Razaviyayn, A. Alvarado, Computing B-stationary points of nonsmooth DC programs, Mathematics of Operations Research 42(1):95–118, 2017. DOI.
  • H. A. Le Thi, V. N. Huynh, T. Pham Dinh, DC programming and DCA for general DC programs, in Advanced Computational Methods for Knowledge Engineering, Springer, 15–35, 2014. DOI.
15 thms1 active userReviewed
Algorithmic Game TheoryControl TheoryOperations Research+1·Captain: mikedeng1

Investment in the Common Good: Free Rider Effect and the Stability of Mixed Strategy Equilibria: A Mixed Strategy Two-Stage Subgame Perfect Equilibrium Survives Moderate AsymmetryResearch Paper

Motivation

Many goods are maintained by several parties at once: a shared infrastructure, a fishery, an industry's reputation, a public research base. Each party bears the full cost of its own investment while every party enjoys the benefit, so each prefers that someone else pay. This free rider problem is classically studied as a war of attrition, and continuous-time versions are a standard tool in operations research for timing decisions under uncertainty.

Kim and Kwon (arXiv:2208.11217, published in Operations Research, 2024) model the stock of the common good as a declining diffusion and let two players invest in it at fixed plus proportional cost. Their point concerns the stability of mixed strategy equilibria, in which players randomize the time of investment. When the good can be invested in only once, Georgiadis, Kim and Kwon (Games and Economic Behavior 131, 2022) showed that any asymmetry in costs destroys the mixed equilibrium; Theorem 1 of the present paper recovers this. When investment can be repeated indefinitely, an impulse control game, the paper shows that a mixed equilibrium survives moderate asymmetry. The verification argument extends the single-player impulse control analysis of Alvarez and Lempa (SIAM Journal on Control and Optimization 47(2), 2008) to a randomized two-player setting.

Setting

The stock XXX lives on an interval I=(a,b)\mathcal I=(a,b)I=(a,b) with a>−∞a>-\inftya>−∞ and, absent investment, solves dXt=μ(Xt) dt+σ(Xt) dWtdX_t=\mu(X_t)\,dt+\sigma(X_t)\,dW_tdXt​=μ(Xt​)dt+σ(Xt​)dWt​ with μ<0<σ\mu<0<\sigmaμ<0<σ, natural boundaries, Lipschitz coefficients with linear growth, and the transversality condition Ex[∣Xt∣e−rt]→0\mathbb E_x[|X_t|e^{-rt}]\to0Ex​[∣Xt​∣e−rt]→0. Write Af=12σ2f′′+μf′−rf\mathcal Af=\tfrac12\sigma^2f''+\mu f'-rfAf=21​σ2f′′+μf′−rf, let ψ\psiψ and φ\varphiφ be the increasing and decreasing positive solutions of Af=0\mathcal Af=0Af=0, and let (Rrπ)(x)=Ex∫0∞π(Xt)e−rtdt(R_r\pi)(x)=\mathbb E_x\int_0^\infty\pi(X_t)e^{-rt}dt(Rr​π)(x)=Ex​∫0∞​π(Xt​)e−rtdt for the common flow profit π\piπ, continuous and increasing.

Player i∈{1,2}i\in\{1,2\}i∈{1,2} may invest at any time, paying ci+kζc_i+k\zetaci​+kζ to raise the stock by ζ≥0\zeta\ge0ζ≥0, with c1>c2>0c_1>c_2>0c1​>c2​>0 and k>0k>0k>0. Time is split into periods, each ending at an investment. Players randomize through a uniform randomizer per player and period: an investment occurs when a survival process Mm,t(i)M^{(i)}_{m,t}Mm,t(i)​ falls below the randomizer. Simultaneous attempts are settled by a fair coin. Player iii's payoff is the expected discounted profit minus its own discounted investment costs, (22).

The profile ν∗\nu^*ν∗ has threshold θ∗\theta^*θ∗, atom probability qqq and targets z1,z2z_1,z_2z1​,z2​. In the first stage of a period, player 1 waits and player 2 invests with probability qqq when the stock reaches θ∗\theta^*θ∗ from above. In the second stage each player iii invests at hazard rate λi(Xt)\lambda_i(X_t)λi​(Xt​), positive exactly on the common mixed region Γ=(a,θ∗)\Gamma=(a,\theta^*)Γ=(a,θ∗). Every investment by player iii raises the stock to ziz_izi​. With I(x)=((Rrπ)′(x)−k)/φ′(x)I(x)=((R_r\pi)'(x)-k)/\varphi'(x)I(x)=((Rr​π)′(x)−k)/φ′(x) and J(x)=(Rrπ)(x)−kx−I(x)φ(x)J(x)=(R_r\pi)(x)-kx-I(x)\varphi(x)J(x)=(Rr​π)(x)−kx−I(x)φ(x), Assumption 5 states that θ∗<z2\theta^*<z_2θ∗<z2​ solve I(z2)=I(θ∗)I(z_2)=I(\theta^*)I(z2​)=I(θ∗) and J(z2)−J(θ∗)=c2J(z_2)-J(\theta^*)=c_2J(z2​)−J(θ∗)=c2​. These are the single-player optimal thresholds for cost c2c_2c2​.

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem 3

Under the standing assumptions and Assumptions 1, 2, 4 and 5, there is c^>c2\hat c>c_2c^>c2​ such that for every c1∈(c2,c^)c_1\in(c_2,\hat c)c1​∈(c2​,c^) there are z1z_1z1​ and qqq with

0<q<1,θ∗<x^<z1<z2,0<q<1,\qquad \theta^*<\hat x<z_1<z_2,0<q<1,θ∗<x^<z1​<z2​,

together with payoff functions satisfying the §4.2 conditions, such that ν∗(θ∗,z1,z2,q)\nu^*(\theta^*,z_1,z_2,q)ν∗(θ∗,z1​,z2​,q) with the rates (29) is a subgame perfect equilibrium. Here x^\hat xx^ is the minimizer of III (Lemma 2). The goal leaves c^\hat cc^ unquantified, as the paper does: the §4.4 example gives c^≈0.01729\hat c\approx0.01729c^≈0.01729 for c2=0.015c_2=0.015c2​=0.015.

Milestones

Lemma 2 (shape of III, JJJ) and identity (B.20); Lemma B.8 (i) and (ii) (closed-form payoff functions satisfy the §4.2 conditions); Lemmas B.7 and B.6 and Theorem 2 (the verification theorem); Lemma B.8 (scalar conditions (B.21)–(B.23) suffice); parts (i) and (ii) of the proof of Theorem 3 (the scalar conditions hold for c1c_1c1​ near c2c_2c2​).

Significance

The result shows that the instability of mixed equilibria in timing games of public good provision is an artefact of one-shot investment. With repeated investment, player 2 can promise a probability qqq of investing at θ∗\theta^*θ∗, which raises player 1's continuation value and pulls player 1's investment threshold to θ∗\theta^*θ∗, so that both players share the same mixed region. Theorem 2 is, to the authors' knowledge, the first verification theorem for a mixed strategy equilibrium of an impulse control game. Proposition 7 of the paper compares this equilibrium with a pure strategy one from a social planner's view, and it presupposes Theorem 3.

Theorem 3 and its lemmas are proved in the paper. None of it is formalized in any proof assistant. A formalization would provide a machine-checked randomized impulse game, with periods, survival processes, tie coins and deviations adapted to a player's own information. It would also provide a verification theorem in that setting and the real-analysis chain behind the explicit construction. The diffusion layer reuses the published definitions of Kwon's variable contributions game (same authors, same model).

Difficulty

The analytic half (Lemma 2, Lemma B.8, the proof of Theorem 3) is real analysis on φ\varphiφ, RrπR_r\piRr​π, III and JJJ. Its delicate point is the global maximum of U^1(z)−kz\hat U_1(z)-kzU^1​(z)−kz: the local maximum at z1z_1z1​ beats the boundary value at θ∗\theta^*θ∗ only under (B.23), which holds only for c1c_1c1​ close to c2c_2c2​.

The verification half is the hard part. The obvious approach, a Dynkin formula on [0,∞)[0,\infty)[0,∞) for the candidate payoff, does not apply. The opponent's investments arrive at a state-dependent hazard rate, so the argument must kill the process at that rate within each period and then sum the per-period identities. The limit over periods needs monotone convergence, using Tm→∞T_m\to\inftyTm​→∞ and the lower bound π≥πL\pi\ge\pi_Lπ≥πL​. Player 2's atom at θ∗\theta^*θ∗ creates a discontinuity in time of player 1's payoff, and a deviation by player 1 at exactly that instant produces a tie whose expected value must be bounded with the boundary condition U1(θ∗)=qU1(z2)+(1−q)V1(θ∗)U_1(\theta^*)=qU_1(z_2)+(1-q)V_1(\theta^*)U1​(θ∗)=qU1​(z2​)+(1−q)V1​(θ∗).

Formalization scope

The Lean development uses the published VarContrib.RegularMPE.Model, Setting (μ, σ, π, k, r, I, x₀, the generator gen, the resolvent R, the controlled state equation IsStateSol) and EthierKurtz.HasBrownianItoIntegral. Everything else lives in the namespace InvestCommonGood.MixedTSSPE, in three definition files. Model holds S′S'S′, m′m'm′, LLL, III, JJJ, the standing assumptions and Assumptions 1, 2, 4, 5. Game holds the randomizers, plays, ν∗\nu^*ν∗, deviations, the payoff (22) and the SPE. Conditions holds the §4.2 conditions, (28), (29) and the closed forms of Lemma B.8.

Committed conventions:

  • players are 0 (player 1) and 1 (player 2); times are ℝ≥0, and random times are WithTop ℝ≥0, where ⊤ means never;
  • the cumulative hazard takes values in [0,∞][0,\infty][0,∞];
  • the SPE is read as a Nash equilibrium of the subgame from every state x∈Ix\in\mathcal Ix∈I and either stage;
  • a deviating player sees the controlled path and its own randomizers, but not the opponent's randomizers or the coins;
  • payoffs are compared only when the profit is integrable and the cost series is summable with an integrable sum;
  • every equilibrium statement holds for every play satisfying the play relations, and the existence of plays (solutions of the controlled state equation) is not posed.

Standing hypotheses beyond the printed text, each used by the paper without proof:

  • Rrπ∈C2(I)R_r\pi\in C^2(\mathcal I)Rr​π∈C2(I) with A(Rrπ)+π=0\mathcal A(R_r\pi)+\pi=0A(Rr​π)+π=0;
  • the resolvent representation (B.19);
  • the hitting-time normalization of φ\varphiφ and ψ\psiψ.

Pinned readings: Assumption 5 includes θ∗<z2\theta^*<z_2θ∗<z2​, and Assumption 4 includes the convergence of ∫xbφρm′\int_x^b\varphi\rho m'∫xb​φρm′. The §4.2 conditions include positivity of the denominators of (29) on (a,θ∗)(a,\theta^*)(a,θ∗).

The goal concludes the equilibrium property of the randomized game itself. "There exist z1z_1z1​, qqq satisfying (B.21)–(B.23)" or "the §4.2 conditions are satisfiable" are milestones, not substitutes for the goal. Contributions are welcome on either half: the real-analysis chain is self-contained, and the verification lemmas are reusable for other randomized timing games.

Selected references

  • Y. Kim, H. D. Kwon, Investment in the common good: free rider effect and the stability of mixed strategy equilibria, arXiv:2208.11217v1, 2022; Operations Research, 2024. https://arxiv.org/abs/2208.11217
  • H. D. Kwon, Game of variable contributions to the common good under uncertainty, Operations Research, 2022. https://arxiv.org/abs/1904.00500
  • L. H. R. Alvarez, J. Lempa, On the optimal stochastic impulse control of linear diffusions, SIAM Journal on Control and Optimization 47(2) 703–732, 2008.
  • G. Georgiadis, Y. Kim, H. D. Kwon, The absence of attrition in a war of attrition under complete information, Games and Economic Behavior 131 171–185, 2022.
  • N. Touzi, N. Vieille, Continuous-time Dynkin games with mixed strategies, SIAM Journal on Control and Optimization 41(4) 1073–1088, 2002.
  • A. N. Borodin, P. Salminen, Handbook of Brownian Motion — Facts and Formulae, Birkhäuser, Basel, 1996.
17 thms1 active userReviewed
EconomicsOperations Research·Captain: mikedeng1

Offering Memories to Sell Goods? Pricing and Welfare Implications of Experiential Retail: A Sufficiently Low-Quality Free Experience Raises Both the Monopoly Retailer's Profit and Consumer WelfareResearch Paper

Motivation

Retailers increasingly pair products with free in-store experiences: yoga classes at Lululemon, playgrounds at Toys "R" Us, cooking classes at Whole Foods. The experience is free to anyone who travels to the store, so it attracts buyers and free riders (visitors who enjoy the experience without buying) alike. The retailer earns revenue only from product sales, but pays for every visit to the experience. Whether a free experience pays for itself, and whether consumers gain from it, is the question of Mutlu, El-Amine and Sahin (SSRN 4617261; published in Manufacturing & Service Operations Management, 2023, doi:10.1287/msom.2021.0339).

The paper models the joint choice of experience and product with the multivariate logit (MVL) model of Russell and Petersen (2000), which builds a global choice model over baskets from conditional logit choices, via Besag's (1974) characterization of joint distributions from conditionals and the autologistic model of Cox (1972). The monopoly analysis (§3.1) yields two results: Theorem 1 on the optimal price and profit as functions of the experience quality, and Theorem 2, which says that low-quality experiences benefit both the retailer and its customers.

Setting

A monopolist sells a main product at price ppp and offers a free experience of quality ux≥0u^x\ge 0ux≥0. A consumer chooses zx∈{0,1}z^x\in\{0,1\}zx∈{0,1} (obtain the experience or not) and zm∈{0,1}z^m\in\{0,1\}zm∈{0,1} (buy the product or not). The parameters are the product's nominal utility umu^mum, the travel cost t>0t>0t>0, the product's unit cost cmc^mcm, a memorable-event utility s>0s>0s>0, a synergy sensitivity λ>0\lambda>0λ>0, and a cost sensitivity η>0\eta>0η>0.

The baseline utilities are vx=ux−tv^x=u^x-tvx=ux−t and vm=um−t−pv^m=u^m-t-pvm=um−t−p. Obtaining both offerings together saves one travel cost and creates a brand synergy β(ux)=s(1−e−λux)\beta(u^x)=s(1-e^{-\lambda u^x})β(ux)=s(1−e−λux), so the interaction term is ψ=t+β(ux)\psi=t+\beta(u^x)ψ=t+β(ux). Each basket has utility μzxzm=vxzx+vmzm+ψzxzm\mu_{z^xz^m}=v^xz^x+v^mz^m+\psi z^xz^mμzxzm​=vxzx+vmzm+ψzxzm and probability

qzxzm=eμzxzm∑j,i∈{0,1}eμji.q_{z^xz^m}=\frac{e^{\mu_{z^xz^m}}}{\sum_{j,i\in\{0,1\}}e^{\mu_{ji}}}.qzxzm​=∑j,i∈{0,1}​eμji​eμzxzm​​.

The experience costs c(ux)=η(ux)2c(u^x)=\eta(u^x)^2c(ux)=η(ux)2 per user, and the retailer's profit is

π(p)=(q01+q11)(p−cm)−(q10+q11) c(ux).\pi(p)=(q_{01}+q_{11})(p-c^m)-(q_{10}+q_{11})\,c(u^x).π(p)=(q01​+q11​)(p−cm)−(q10​+q11​)c(ux).

Without an experience the model is the binary logit: πN(p)=q1(p−cm)\pi^N(p)=q_1(p-c^m)πN(p)=q1​(p−cm) with q1=evm/(evm+1)q_1=e^{v^m}/(e^{v^m}+1)q1​=evm/(evm+1).

An optimal price p∗p^*p∗ maximizes π\piπ over all real ppp, and p∗Np^{*N}p∗N maximizes πN\pi^NπN; π∗(ux)\pi^*(u^x)π∗(ux) and π∗N\pi^{*N}π∗N are the optimal profits. Consumer welfare is the logit log-sum CS=ln⁡∑j,ieμjiCS=\ln\sum_{j,i}e^{\mu_{ji}}CS=ln∑j,i​eμji​ with the experience and CSN=ln⁡(1+evm)CS^N=\ln(1+e^{v^m})CSN=ln(1+evm) without it.

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem 2 (p. 13)

There is a threshold u^x>0\hat u^x>0u^x>0 such that for every 0≤ux≤u^x0\le u^x\le\hat u^x0≤ux≤u^x,

π(p∗)>πN(p∗N)andCS(p∗)>CSN(p∗N)\pi(p^*)>\pi^N(p^{*N})\quad\text{and}\quad CS(p^*)>CS^N(p^{*N})π(p∗)>πN(p∗N)andCS(p∗)>CSN(p∗N)

for all optimal prices p∗p^*p∗, p∗Np^{*N}p∗N, which exist. In addition, some quality ux≥0u^x\ge0ux≥0 leaves the retailer strictly worse off than offering no experience. The threshold is existential, as in the paper; no particular value is claimed.

Milestones: three clauses of Theorem 1 (p. 12)

  1. p∗>p∗Np^*>p^{*N}p∗>p∗N for every ux≥0u^x\ge 0ux≥0 (with existence of the optimal prices and attainment of π∗\pi^*π∗, π∗N\pi^{*N}π∗N).
  2. ∂π∗/∂ux∣ux=0>0\left.\partial\pi^*/\partial u^x\right|_{u^x=0}>0∂π∗/∂ux∣ux=0​>0.
  3. lim⁡ux→∞π∗=−∞\lim_{u^x\to\infty}\pi^*=-\inftylimux→∞​π∗=−∞ and π∗N>0\pi^{*N}>0π∗N>0.

Significance

The result. Theorem 2 identifies a regime in which a free experience is a win-win: the retailer raises its price (Theorem 1) yet sells enough more, through the complementarity between experience and product, to raise profit, and consumers gain despite the higher price. Theorem 1 marks the limits of that regime: experiences of high quality attract so many free riders that profits fall without bound. Together they explain why experiential retail is typically offered at modest quality, and they are the benchmark for the paper's duopoly (§3.2) and conditionally-free (§4) analyses.

Formalizing it. The paper's lemmas and proofs are in an appendix that is not part of the held working paper; the published proof has never been machine-checked. A complete development would give the first verified analysis of optimal pricing under the MVL basket model, including existence of optimal prices, which the paper presupposes when it writes p∗p^*p∗. The milestones are the clauses of Theorem 1 that the goal rests on.

Difficulty

The optimal profit π∗\pi^*π∗ is a supremum over prices of a ratio of exponential sums, and the experience quality uxu^xux enters through three channels at once: the experience-only basket, the synergy β(ux)\beta(u^x)β(ux), and the cost η(ux)2\eta(u^x)^2η(ux)2, which is paid also for free riders. The obvious route, solving the first-order condition in closed form, fails: unlike the binary logit, where the optimal markup solves a Lambert-type equation, the MVL first-order condition mixes the free-rider basket into the denominator, and the optimal price need not be monotone in uxu^xux (Figure 1(a)). Comparing welfare requires the optimal prices themselves, not only the optimal profits, and the comparison is between two different optimization problems.

Formalization scope

All quantities are real numbers. Parameters form a structure with fields um,t,cm,s,λ,ηu^m,t,c^m,s,\lambda,\etaum,t,cm,s,λ,η; the standing assumptions t>0t>0t>0, η>0\eta>0η>0, s>0s>0s>0, λ>0\lambda>0λ>0 are one predicate carried by every statement. umu^mum and cmc^mcm are unconstrained, and prices range over all of R\mathbb RR. The model uses only β(ux)=s(1−e−λux)\beta(u^x)=s(1-e^{-\lambda u^x})β(ux)=s(1−e−λux) and c(ux)=η(ux)2c(u^x)=\eta(u^x)^2c(ux)=η(ux)2, not the constant, piecewise-linear or linear variants the paper mentions.

Conventions committed to:

  • s>0s>0s>0 and λ>0\lambda>0λ>0 are read from "β(u^x) is positively valued and concave increasing" (p. 10).
  • Consumer welfare is the log-sum, never defined in the paper; it reproduces Figure 1(d) (CS∗N=ln⁡2CS^{*N}=\ln2CS∗N=ln2 at the Figure 1 parameters). The identification with expected maximum utility under Gumbel shocks, up to an additive constant, is cited, not formalized.
  • Optimal prices are global maximizers; their existence is a conclusion of each statement, never a hypothesis, and uniqueness is never assumed, so every comparison holds for all optimal prices.
  • "Improves" is strict. The derivative at ux=0u^x=0ux=0 is the right derivative on [0,∞)[0,\infty)[0,∞).
  • The second sentence of Theorem 2 is formalized as its retailer half.

A statement at a fixed price, at ux=0u^x=0ux=0 alone, or under an assumed (possibly non-existent) optimum would be trivial or vacuous and is ruled out: the goal quantifies over all optimal prices, asserts their existence, and covers a whole interval [0,u^x][0,\hat u^x][0,u^x].

Not formalized: the remaining clauses of Theorem 1 ("if p∗p^*p∗ is decreasing in uxu^xux, then π∗\pi^*π∗ is also decreasing in uxu^xux", which needs p∗p^*p∗ as a function, and the comparative statics in η\etaη and λ\lambdaλ), and Theorems 3–8 (duopoly and conditionally-free offerings).

Needed infrastructure: continuity and coercivity arguments for existence of a maximizer over R\mathbb RR, a parametric envelope argument for π∗\pi^*π∗, and logit inequalities. Proofs of the milestones, of the existence of optimal prices, and reusable lemmas on logit pricing are welcome.

Selected references

  • N. Mutlu, H. El-Amine, O. Sahin, Offering Memories to Sell Goods? Pricing and Welfare Implications of Experiential Retail, SSRN working paper 4617261, 2023. https://ssrn.com/abstract=4617261 ; published in Manufacturing & Service Operations Management, 2023, https://doi.org/10.1287/msom.2021.0339
  • G. J. Russell, A. Petersen, Analysis of cross category dependence in market basket selection, Journal of Retailing 76(3), 2000. https://doi.org/10.1016/S0022-4359(00)00030-0
  • J. Besag, Spatial interaction and the statistical analysis of lattice systems, Journal of the Royal Statistical Society B 36(2), 1974. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.2517-6161.1974.tb00999.x
  • D. R. Cox, The analysis of multivariate binary data, Journal of the Royal Statistical Society C 21(2), 1972. https://doi.org/10.2307/2346482
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