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CombinatoricsOperations ResearchOptimization·Captain: mikedeng1

Optimization and Approximation in Deterministic Sequencing and Scheduling: A Survey 2: The Optimal Preemptive Open Shop Makespan Equals the Largest Machine Load or Job LengthResearch Paper

Motivation

Open shops model production and service systems in which every job must visit every machine, but the order of the visits is free: a car that needs an inspection, a wash and a tyre change, a patient who needs several tests, a student who sits several exams. The survey of Graham, Lawler, Lenstra and Rinnooy Kan (Ann. Discrete Math. 5, 1979) fixed the three-field notation α∣β∣γ\alpha|\beta|\gammaα∣β∣γ that the scheduling literature still uses, and classified the complexity of the problems it can express. Among the polynomially solvable cases, the preemptive open shop with makespan objective, O∣pmtn∣Cmax⁡O|pmtn|C_{\max}O∣pmtn∣Cmax​, is one of the few multi-machine problems whose optimal value has a closed form for any number of machines and jobs.

Timeline.

  • 1976: Gonzalez and Sahni (J. ACM 23) prove that the optimal preemptive open-shop makespan is the largest machine load or job length, and give a polynomial algorithm. In the same paper they solve O2∥Cmax⁡O2\|C_{\max}O2∥Cmax​ in linear time and show O3∥Cmax⁡O3\|C_{\max}O3∥Cmax​ NP-hard.
  • 1978: Lawler and Labetoulle (J. ACM 25) give a linear-programming treatment of preemptive scheduling on unrelated machines and reformulate the open-shop construction in terms of decrementing sets, found by an assignment problem through the Birkhoff–von Neumann theorem.
  • 1979: the survey (§5.2.2, p. 313) presents this construction as the standard argument and records the O(r+min⁡{m4,n4,r2})O(r+\min\{m^4,n^4,r^2\})O(r+min{m4,n4,r2}) bound of Gonzalez (1976), where rrr is the number of nonzero processing times.

Setting

There are mmm machines M1,…,MmM_1,\dots,M_mM1​,…,Mm​ and nnn jobs J1,…,JnJ_1,\dots,J_nJ1​,…,Jn​. Job JjJ_jJj​ consists of operations O1j,…,OmjO_{1j},\dots,O_{mj}O1j​,…,Omj​; operation OijO_{ij}Oij​ must be processed on machine MiM_iMi​ for pij≥0p_{ij}\ge 0pij​≥0 time units. The processing-time matrix is P=(pij)P=(p_{ij})P=(pij​): its rows are machines and its columns are jobs. Every job is available at time 000.

Preemption is allowed: an operation may be interrupted and resumed later. A schedule is a finite list of pieces (i,j,s,e)(i,j,s,e)(i,j,s,e), each meaning that MiM_iMi​ processes JjJ_jJj​ during [s,e)[s,e)[s,e). A schedule is feasible if

  1. every piece satisfies 0≤s≤e0\le s\le e0≤s≤e;
  2. each machine processes at most one job at a time, and each job is processed on at most one machine at a time: two pieces that share a machine or a job do not overlap;
  3. for every pair (i,j)(i,j)(i,j) the pieces of OijO_{ij}Oij​ have total length exactly pijp_{ij}pij​.

The makespan Cmax⁡C_{\max}Cmax​ is the time at which the last piece ends, and Cmax⁡∗C^*_{\max}Cmax∗​ is its minimum over feasible schedules. The load of machine MiM_iMi​ is the row sum ∑jpij\sum_j p_{ij}∑j​pij​, the length of job JjJ_jJj​ is the column sum ∑ipij\sum_i p_{ij}∑i​pij​, and

C=max⁡{max⁡j∑ipij, max⁡i∑jpij}.C=\max\Big\{\max_j \sum_i p_{ij},\ \max_i \sum_j p_{ij}\Big\}.C=max{jmax​i∑​pij​, imax​j∑​pij​}.

A row or column is tight if its sum equals CCC and slack otherwise. A decrementing set is a set SSS of strictly positive entries of PPP with exactly one element in each tight row and each tight column and at most one in each slack row and each slack column.

Formalization targets

Goal: Cmax⁡∗=CC^*_{\max}=CCmax∗​=C

For every T≥0T\ge 0T≥0,

(∃ feasible schedule with Cmax⁡≤T)  ⟺  (∑jpij≤T ∀i  and  ∑ipij≤T ∀j).\big(\exists \text{ feasible schedule with } C_{\max}\le T\big)\iff \Big(\sum_j p_{ij}\le T\ \forall i\ \text{ and }\ \sum_i p_{ij}\le T\ \forall j\Big).(∃ feasible schedule with Cmax​≤T)⟺(j∑​pij​≤T ∀i  and  i∑​pij​≤T ∀j).

This says that the optimal makespan is exactly the largest machine load or job length, and that it is attained.

Milestones (all from §5.2.2, p. 313)

  1. Lower bound Cmax⁡∗≥CC^*_{\max}\ge CCmax∗​≥C.
  2. Existence of a decrementing set for every nonzero nonnegative PPP.
  3. Positive step: for a decrementing set, the largest δ\deltaδ satisfying the constraints (1)–(3) of the survey exists and is positive.
  4. Step property: after replacing each pij∈Sp_{ij}\in Spij​∈S by max⁡{0,pij−δ}\max\{0,p_{ij}-\delta\}max{0,pij​−δ}, the largest line sum is exactly C−δC-\deltaC−δ.
  5. Partial schedule: for each pij∈Sp_{ij}\in Spij​∈S, MiM_iMi​ processes JjJ_jJj​ for min⁡{pij,δ}\min\{p_{ij},\delta\}min{pij​,δ} time units, with no machine or job used twice.
  6. Termination: every run of the procedure reaches P′=(0)P'=(0)P′=(0) within a bounded number of stages.
  7. Joining: the concatenated partial schedules form a feasible schedule with Cmax⁡≤CC_{\max}\le CCmax​≤C.

Significance

The result. The theorem turns an optimization over continuous-time schedules into the computation of m+nm+nm+n sums. It certifies optimality by a counting argument, it is the base case for preemptive open shops with release dates and due dates, and it is used elsewhere in the survey (§4.4.6) to reduce problems on unrelated machines with preemption to open-shop instances. Because a nonnegative matrix whose row and column sums are all equal is a multiple of a doubly stochastic matrix, the theorem is a scheduling form of the Birkhoff–von Neumann decomposition. It also underlies timetabling and edge-colouring results for bipartite multigraphs.

Formalizing it. The theorem has been proved since 1976 and is textbook material. No machine-checked proof is known to exist: Mathlib has the Birkhoff–von Neumann theorem for doubly stochastic matrices but no model of open-shop schedules. A formalization adds a reusable model of preemptive multi-machine schedules with both disjointness requirements, a checked proof of the decrementing-set construction, and a termination argument the survey asserts without proof.

Difficulty

The lower bound is a one-line counting argument. The difficulty is the construction of a schedule of length exactly CCC. Scheduling each machine's operations back to back gives length max⁡i∑jpij\max_i\sum_j p_{ij}maxi​∑j​pij​, but may run one job on two machines at once. Scheduling job by job has the symmetric defect. A greedy list schedule that only respects both constraints can leave machines idle and overshoot CCC. The construction must keep every tight line busy at every moment while never letting a slack line fall behind. The existence of the decrementing set at each stage is the combinatorial core: it is a Hall-type matching condition, not a local choice. Termination is also not automatic, because a careless choice of step length can produce infinitely many shrinking steps.

Formalization scope

All objects live in the namespace SchedSurvey.OPmtn. Machines and jobs are Fin m and Fin n, both 0-based, and processing times and piece endpoints are real numbers; integer data are a special case. A schedule is a List of pieces. Feasibility requires nonnegative start times, disjointness for pieces sharing a machine or a job (touching intervals allowed), and exactly pijp_{ij}pij​ units of processing for every pair (i,j)(i,j)(i,j). Every theorem assumes pij≥0p_{ij}\ge 0pij​≥0.

"CCC is the maximum" is the predicate IsMaxLoad P C: all line sums are at most CCC and one equals CCC. The goal is stated in threshold form and mentions no maximum at all. The display defining CCC on p. 313 prints max⁡i{∑ipij}\max_i\{\sum_i p_{ij}\}maxi​{∑i​pij​} for the second term; the following sentence shows it means the row sums ∑jpij\sum_j p_{ij}∑j​pij​, and the formalization uses those. The hypothesis T≥0T\ge 0T≥0 matters only for P=0P=0P=0, where the empty schedule finishes by every TTT.

A trivializing formalization is ruled out: the goal mentions neither decrementing sets nor δ\deltaδ. Its "if" direction asserts that a schedule exists. Feasibility counts work per pair (machine, job), not per job, and forbids a job from running on two machines at once. Without either requirement the statement would be a different and easier theorem.

A complete development needs: list sums of interval lengths over disjoint intervals, the existence of decrementing sets (via Birkhoff–von Neumann, König's theorem or Hall's theorem on the bipartite graph of positive entries), the step and termination lemmas, and concatenation of schedules. The schedule model and the decrementing-set lemma are reusable for other preemptive shop problems. Contributions of alternative proofs of any milestone, for example a direct Hall-theorem proof of the existence of decrementing sets, are welcome.

Selected references

  • R. L. Graham, E. L. Lawler, J. K. Lenstra, A. H. G. Rinnooy Kan, Optimization and approximation in deterministic sequencing and scheduling: a survey, Annals of Discrete Mathematics 5 (1979) 287–326. https://doi.org/10.1016/S0167-5060(08)70356-X
  • T. Gonzalez, S. Sahni, Open shop scheduling to minimize finish time, Journal of the ACM 23 (1976) 665–679. https://doi.org/10.1145/321978.321985
  • E. L. Lawler, J. Labetoulle, On preemptive scheduling of unrelated parallel processors by linear programming, Journal of the ACM 25 (1978) 612–619. https://doi.org/10.1145/322077.322090
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CombinatoricsOperations ResearchOptimization·Captain: mikedeng1

Optimization and Approximation in Deterministic Sequencing and Scheduling: A Survey 1: The Optimal Two-Machine Open Shop Makespan Is max{T₁, T₂, maxⱼ(aⱼ + bⱼ)}Research Paper

Motivation

Shop scheduling asks how to sequence jobs that each need processing on several machines. In an open shop, a job's operations may be executed in any order, as in testing stations, repair bays, or classroom and examination timetables, where the order in which a candidate visits the stations is irrelevant. The objective studied here is the makespan Cmax⁡C_{\max}Cmax​, the time at which the last operation finishes.

The survey of Graham, Lawler, Lenstra and Rinnooy Kan (Ann. Discrete Math. 5, 1979) introduced the three-field notation α∣β∣γ\alpha|\beta|\gammaα∣β∣γ that the scheduling literature still uses, and classified the complexity of the problems it names. For the open shop, its §5.2.1 presents a simplified exposition of the result of Gonzalez and Sahni (J. ACM 23, 1976): with two machines and no preemption, the obvious lower bound on the makespan is always achieved. The same page records that the three-machine case O3∥Cmax⁡O3\|C_{\max}O3∥Cmax​ is binary NP-hard, so two machines is exactly where the problem is easy.

Timeline. Gonzalez and Sahni (1976) gave the linear-time algorithm for O2∥Cmax⁡O2\|C_{\max}O2∥Cmax​, proved NP-hardness for O3∥Cmax⁡O3\|C_{\max}O3∥Cmax​, and gave a polynomial algorithm for the preemptive problem O∣pmtn∣Cmax⁡O|pmtn|C_{\max}O∣pmtn∣Cmax​. Graham et al. (1979, §5.2.1) gave the shorter construction formalized here, and observed (§5.2.2) that it implies preemption brings no advantage for m=2m = 2m=2. Lenstra (cited as forthcoming in the survey) showed O2∣rj∣Cmax⁡O2|r_j|C_{\max}O2∣rj​∣Cmax​, O2∣tree∣Cmax⁡O2|tree|C_{\max}O2∣tree∣Cmax​ and O∥Cmax⁡O\|C_{\max}O∥Cmax​ unary NP-hard.

Setting

There are nnn jobs J1,…,JnJ_1, \dots, J_nJ1​,…,Jn​ and two machines M1M_1M1​, M2M_2M2​. Job JjJ_jJj​ has an operation on M1M_1M1​ of length aj≥0a_j \ge 0aj​≥0 and an operation on M2M_2M2​ of length bj≥0b_j \ge 0bj​≥0. There is no preemption, and every job is available at time 000. A schedule assigns start times s1(j)s_1(j)s1​(j) and s2(j)s_2(j)s2​(j) to the two operations of JjJ_jJj​, which then occupy [s1(j),s1(j)+aj)[s_1(j), s_1(j)+a_j)[s1​(j),s1​(j)+aj​) on M1M_1M1​ and [s2(j),s2(j)+bj)[s_2(j), s_2(j)+b_j)[s2​(j),s2​(j)+bj​) on M2M_2M2​.

A schedule is feasible if

  1. all start times are nonnegative;
  2. each machine processes at most one job at a time: the intervals of distinct jobs on the same machine do not overlap;
  3. each job is processed on at most one machine at a time: the two intervals of the same job do not overlap, in either order.

Write T1=∑jajT_1 = \sum_j a_jT1​=∑j​aj​ and T2=∑jbjT_2 = \sum_j b_jT2​=∑j​bj​ for the two machine loads. The survey's construction uses the sets

A={Jj∣aj≥bj},B={Jj∣aj<bj},A = \{J_j \mid a_j \ge b_j\}, \qquad B = \{J_j \mid a_j < b_j\},A={Jj​∣aj​≥bj​},B={Jj​∣aj​<bj​},

two distinct jobs JrJ_rJr​, JlJ_lJl​ with ar≥max⁡Jj∈Abja_r \ge \max_{J_j \in A} b_jar​≥maxJj​∈A​bj​ and bl≥max⁡Jj∈Bajb_l \ge \max_{J_j \in B} a_jbl​≥maxJj​∈B​aj​, and A′=A−{Jr,Jl}A' = A - \{J_r, J_l\}A′=A−{Jr​,Jl​}, B′=B−{Jr,Jl}B' = B - \{J_r, J_l\}B′=B−{Jr​,Jl​}.

Formalization targets

Goal: the optimal makespan

Cmax⁡∗=max⁡{T1, T2, max⁡j (aj+bj)},C^*_{\max} = \max\Big\{T_1,\ T_2,\ \max_j\,(a_j + b_j)\Big\},Cmax∗​=max{T1​, T2​, jmax​(aj​+bj​)},

and the optimum is attained. Formally, for every T≥0T \ge 0T≥0: a feasible schedule completing every operation by TTT exists if and only if T1≤TT_1 \le TT1​≤T, T2≤TT_2 \le TT2​≤T and aj+bj≤Ta_j + b_j \le Taj​+bj​≤T for all jjj. The goal mentions neither AAA, BBB, JrJ_rJr​, JlJ_lJl​ nor the case analysis; those are the milestones.

Milestones (in the order of the argument)

  1. Two distinct jobs JrJ_rJr​, JlJ_lJl​ with the required bounds exist when n≥2n \ge 2n≥2.
  2. Fig. 5.1: the blocks B′∪{Jl}B' \cup \{J_l\}B′∪{Jl​} and A′∪{Jr}A' \cup \{J_r\}A′∪{Jr​}, with A′A'A′ and B′B'B′ in arbitrary order, have feasible staircase schedules without idle time.
  3. Fig. 5.2: if T1−al≥T2−brT_1 - a_l \ge T_2 - b_rT1​−al​≥T2​−br​, the blocks combine into a feasible schedule of all jobs ending by T1+brT_1 + b_rT1​+br​.
  4. Case (1): if moreover ar≤T2−bra_r \le T_2 - b_rar​≤T2​−br​, some feasible schedule has length at most max⁡{T1,T2}\max\{T_1, T_2\}max{T1​,T2​}.
  5. Case (2): if moreover ar>T2−bra_r > T_2 - b_rar​>T2​−br​, some feasible schedule has length at most max⁡{T1,ar+br}\max\{T_1, a_r + b_r\}max{T1​,ar​+br​}.
  6. The symmetric case T1−al<T2−brT_1 - a_l < T_2 - b_rT1​−al​<T2​−br​: some feasible schedule has length at most max⁡{T1,T2,al+bl}\max\{T_1, T_2, a_l + b_l\}max{T1​,T2​,al​+bl​}.
  7. The lower bound: every feasible schedule has Cmax⁡≥max⁡{T1,T2,max⁡j(aj+bj)}C_{\max} \ge \max\{T_1, T_2, \max_j(a_j + b_j)\}Cmax​≥max{T1​,T2​,maxj​(aj​+bj​)}.

Significance

The result. The theorem gives a closed form for the optimal makespan of a two-machine open shop, together with a linear-time construction of an optimal schedule. The survey uses it immediately: since the bound is also a lower bound for preemptive schedules, O2∣pmtn∣Cmax⁡O2|pmtn|C_{\max}O2∣pmtn∣Cmax​ is solved by the same schedules, so preemption gives no advantage on two machines (§5.2.2). It is the standard example of a shop problem whose trivial lower bound is tight, and the contrast with the binary NP-hard O3∥Cmax⁡O3\|C_{\max}O3∥Cmax​ marks the complexity boundary for nonpreemptive open shops.

Formalizing it. The result is classical and proved on paper; no machine-checked proof is known to exist on this platform. The mission produces a reusable model of nonpreemptive two-machine open-shop schedules with real processing times, a verified lower bound, and a verified constructive argument. Unlike many existence-of-schedule results, the survey's construction is explicit (orders and start times), so it can be formalized directly rather than through an abstract existence argument.

Difficulty

The lower bound is the easy half. The difficulty is the construction: a schedule must meet the bound simultaneously on both machines and for every job. The natural first idea, running every job on M1M_1M1​ then M2M_2M2​ in some order (a flow-shop schedule), fails: Johnson's rule then gives a makespan that can exceed max⁡{T1,T2,max⁡j(aj+bj)}\max\{T_1, T_2, \max_j(a_j+b_j)\}max{T1​,T2​,maxj​(aj​+bj​)}, because the open shop needs some job to visit M2M_2M2​ first. The survey's construction moves exactly one job, JrJ_rJr​, to the front of M2M_2M2​, and its correctness depends on the choice of JrJ_rJr​ and JlJ_lJl​ and on the case split on T1−alT_1 - a_lT1​−al​ versus T2−brT_2 - b_rT2​−br​. Figures 5.3 and 5.4 are drawn for T1≥T2T_1 \ge T_2T1​≥T2​; in the other subcases the start times shown in the figures need adjustment, and the formal statements of the cases assert lengths rather than the figures' exact start times.

Formalization scope

All declarations live in the namespace SchedSurvey.O2. Jobs are Fin n, 0-based (JjJ_jJj​ is index j−1j-1j−1). Processing times and start times are real numbers with aj,bj≥0a_j, b_j \ge 0aj​,bj​≥0; the survey's integer data are a special case, and every claim of §5.2.1 holds over the reals. A schedule is a pair of start-time functions s₁ s₂ : Fin n → ℝ. Interval non-overlap is s + p ≤ s' ∨ s' + p' ≤ s, so touching intervals are allowed and a zero-length operation occupies nothing. Feasibility (IsFeasible) contains both disjointness constraints of §2.1, the machine constraint and the job constraint, with the two operations of a job in either order. The job constraint is essential: without it the optimum would be max⁡{T1,T2}\max\{T_1, T_2\}max{T1​,T2​} and the goal false.

"Length at most LLL" is CompletesBy a b S L: every operation ends by LLL. Optimality is stated in threshold form, which avoids taking a supremum or infimum over a possibly empty set and is equivalent to "Cmax⁡∗C^*_{\max}Cmax∗​ equals the maximum and is attained". A maximum over AAA or BBB appears as a bound on every member, which is also correct for empty AAA or BBB. The orders of A′A'A′ and B′B'B′ are duplicate-free lists whose members are exactly those sets; back-to-back start times are given by contigStart.

The milestone on the choice of JrJ_rJr​, JlJ_lJl​ assumes n≥2n \ge 2n≥2, which the page presupposes; the goal does not, and covers n≤1n \le 1n≤1 as well. The lower bound assumes T≥0T \ge 0T≥0, which matters only for n=0n = 0n=0.

A trivializing formalization is ruled out: feasibility includes both disjointness constraints and nonnegative start times, the threshold is quantified over all T≥0T \ge 0T≥0, and no constant is fixed.

Contributions welcome: proofs of the lower bound (a sum of disjoint intervals inside [0,T][0, T][0,T]), of the list-based block lemmas, of the case lemmas, and of the goal from them. The interval and back-to-back-schedule lemmas are reusable for other shop problems.

Selected references

  • R.L. Graham, E.L. Lawler, J.K. Lenstra, A.H.G. Rinnooy Kan, Optimization and approximation in deterministic sequencing and scheduling: a survey, Annals of Discrete Mathematics 5 (1979) 287–326. https://doi.org/10.1016/S0167-5060(08)70356-X
  • T. Gonzalez, S. Sahni, Open shop scheduling to minimize finish time, Journal of the ACM 23(4) (1976) 665–679. https://doi.org/10.1145/321978.321985
  • S.M. Johnson, Optimal two- and three-stage production schedules with setup times included, Naval Research Logistics Quarterly 1 (1954) 61–68. https://doi.org/10.1002/nav.3800010110
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Operations ResearchStochastic Systems·Captain: mikedeng1

Extensions of the Queueing Relations L = λW and H = λG: Under (14) and (15) the Time Average H(t) Converges if and only if the Customer Average G(s) Does, and Then H = λGResearch Paper

Motivation

Queueing results often relate an average accumulated over customers to an average accumulated over time. In the familiar relation L=λWL=\lambda WL=λW, the long-run average number in a system equals the arrival rate times the average time spent there. Glynn and Whitt study a broader relation, H=λGH=\lambda GH=λG, that can represent queue lengths and waiting times but also costs, work, and other cumulative inputs. Their framework is deterministic: a stochastic model may supply a sample path, yet the central comparison is a statement about functions on that path. This lets the same theorem apply to different queueing models without choosing a probability law for each one. Glynn and Whitt (1989)

The paper asks for more than the usual forward implication from a customer average to a time average. Its main theorem identifies conditions under which either average has a finite limit exactly when the other does. It also compares lim inf and lim sup when ordinary limits fail to exist. Both questions matter when sample paths fluctuate: convergence of one average cannot simply be inferred from a visual similarity between the two ways of indexing the input. Glynn and Whitt (1989), §§1–2

Setting

A cumulative input is a real-valued function F(s,t)F(s,t)F(s,t) on [0,∞)×[0,∞)[0,\infty)\times[0,\infty)[0,∞)×[0,∞), nondecreasing separately in the customer coordinate sss and the time coordinate ttt. Its marginal limits F(s,∞)F(s,\infty)F(s,∞) and F(∞,t)F(\infty,t)F(∞,t) are finite for every fixed argument. The first counts all eventual input associated with customers through index sss; the second counts all input accumulated through time ttt. The marginal averages are

G(s)=F(s,∞)s,H(t)=F(∞,t)t.G(s)=\frac{F(s,\infty)}{s},\qquad H(t)=\frac{F(\infty,t)}{t}.G(s)=sF(s,∞)​,H(t)=tF(∞,t)​.

The paper permits cumulative inputs that are not distribution functions of measures on rectangles. In particular, it does not require a rectangle-increment inequality or nonnegative values of FFF. The finite marginal limits and monotonicity are the actual assumptions of its general framework. Glynn and Whitt (1989), p. 635, (1)

A time change Ti(s)T_i(s)Ti​(s), for i=1,2i=1,2i=1,2, is finite, nonnegative, nondecreasing, and right-continuous, and tends to infinity with sss. Its right-continuous inverse is Si(t)=inf⁡{s≥0:Ti(s)>t}S_i(t)=\inf\{s\geq0:T_i(s)>t\}Si​(t)=inf{s≥0:Ti​(s)>t}. The two time changes may differ. Both have the same asymptotic rate Ti(s)/s→λ−1T_i(s)/s\to\lambda^{-1}Ti​(s)/s→λ−1 for a positive finite λ\lambdaλ. The paper's two approximation conditions are

F(s,T1(s−))−F(∞,T1(s−))s⟶0(14),F(s,∞)−F(s,T2(s))s⟶0(15),\frac{F(s,T_1(s-))-F(\infty,T_1(s-))}{s}\longrightarrow0 \quad(14), \qquad \frac{F(s,\infty)-F(s,T_2(s))}{s}\longrightarrow0 \quad(15),sF(s,T1​(s−))−F(∞,T1​(s−))​⟶0(14),sF(s,∞)−F(s,T2​(s))​⟶0(15),

as s→∞s\to\inftys→∞, where T1(s−)T_1(s-)T1​(s−) is the left limit. Condition (14) concerns input already present by a left-limit time; condition (15) concerns input not yet present by a right-limit time. Glynn and Whitt (1989), p. 638, (3), (14)–(15)

Formalization targets

One-sided asymptotic bounds

With only (14) and the rate for T1T_1T1​, the corrected upper bounds are

lim inf⁡H≤lim inf⁡λG,lim sup⁡H≤lim sup⁡λG.\liminf H\leq\liminf \lambda G,\qquad \limsup H\leq\limsup \lambda G.liminfH≤liminfλG,limsupH≤limsupλG.

With only (15) and the rate for T2T_2T2​, the corrected lower bounds reverse both inequalities. The two bounds remain useful separately when only one approximation condition holds. Their lim inf and lim sup may be infinite. Glynn and Whitt (1989), p. 639, Theorem 1(a)–(b) and Remark 2

Equality of asymptotic bounds and finite limits

Under both conditions, Theorem 1(c) asserts equality of the respective lim inf and lim sup. The mission goal is Theorem 1(f): for finite real limits,

H(t)→h⟺G(s)→g,and whenever these limits exist, h=λg.H(t)\to h\quad\Longleftrightarrow\quad G(s)\to g, \qquad\text{and whenever these limits exist, }h=\lambda g.H(t)→h⟺G(s)→g,and whenever these limits exist, h=λg.

Here the equivalence means existence of finite limits, with the second clause identifying their values. The lim inf and lim sup statement is retained as a milestone because it also covers nonconvergent paths. Glynn and Whitt (1989), p. 639, Theorem 1(c), (f)

Significance

The goal gives a two-way transfer between customer-indexed and time-indexed long-run averages. If an application establishes one finite average, the theorem supplies the other and fixes its value. The one-sided milestones give meaningful bounds when only one approximation condition is available; the lim inf and lim sup milestone retains information when neither average converges. These outcomes are stated for a general cumulative input, so applications can supply their own FFF, T1T_1T1​, and T2T_2T2​ without changing the theorem. Glynn and Whitt (1989), §§2–4

The paper proves these results on paper. The formalization target is a machine-checked interface for the paper's deterministic framework, its inversion lemmas, its asymptotic inequalities, and the two-way limit theorem. At this drafting stage the Lean theorem statements compile with proof placeholders; no machine-checked proofs of these new statements are claimed. The definitions and inverse-rate lemma can be reused in other sample-path results.

Difficulty

The two marginal averages examine different slices of FFF, and a time change may jump or have flat intervals. A direct substitution of t=Ti(s)t=T_i(s)t=Ti​(s) does not give an equality between F(s,∞)F(s,\infty)F(s,∞) and F(∞,t)F(\infty,t)F(∞,t) under the paper's assumptions. The left limit in (14) and the value in (15) also behave differently at jumps. The inverse SiS_iSi​ connects the coordinates, but its boundary behavior and rate must be handled before comparing the averages. These issues are present even without stochastic randomness. Glynn and Whitt (1989), pp. 638–639

Formalization scope

Lean represents s,ts,ts,t by nonnegative real numbers and FFF by a real-valued function with separate monotonicity and bounded marginal ranges. Real suprema represent F(s,∞)F(s,\infty)F(s,∞) and F(∞,t)F(\infty,t)F(∞,t); the boundedness fields ensure those suprema are the paper's finite limits. The inverse is an infimum of a nonempty set because Ti→∞T_i\to\inftyTi​→∞. The left limit is the supremum over earlier nonnegative arguments, with T(0−)=0T(0-)=0T(0−)=0. Ratios at zero use Lean's total division convention, but every ratio assertion is asymptotic at infinity.

Lim inf and lim sup are taken in the extended reals so an unbounded average retains an infinite limit. Multiplication by λ\lambdaλ happens in the reals before conversion. Ordinary limits in Theorem 1(f) are finite real limits. The two time changes are independent and share only the positive rate λ\lambdaλ. The goal assumes only (14), (15), and the stated time-change rates; it does not assume its own inverse-rate or asymptotic conclusions. No nonnegativity or rectangle inequality is imposed on FFF.

Theorem 1(a) and (b) have their hypothesis pairing reversed in print. The formalized one-sided bounds use the corrected pairing, and the milestone text preserves the printed source for audit. The intermediate expressions involving G(Si(t))G(S_i(t))G(Si​(t)) are excluded from the corrected statements because the framework does not assume customer-coordinate right continuity. Theorem 1(c) and (f) use both conditions and are true as printed. The scope includes the definitions, Lemmas 1–2, corrected parts (a)–(b), and parts (c) and (f). Contributions toward their proofs and reusable time-change lemmas are welcome. Glynn and Whitt (1989), p. 639, Theorem 1

Selected references

  • P. W. Glynn and W. Whitt, Extensions of the Queueing Relations L = λW and H = λG, Operations Research 37(4):634–644, 1989. DOI: 10.1287/opre.37.4.634
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Linear OptimizationOperations ResearchOptimization·Captain: mikedeng1

On the Relation Between Integer and Noninteger Solutions to Linear Programs: Deep in the Optimal-Basis Cone, z₂(b) = z₁(b) + φ(b) and the Group Problem Gives an Integer OptimumResearch Paper

Motivation

An integer program is a linear program whose variables must take integer values. Its linear relaxation can be solved efficiently, while the integer program itself is NP-hard in general, so a recurring question in integer programming is how much the optimal solution of the relaxation says about the integer optimum. Simple rounding of the fractional optimum does not answer it: examples show that the integer optimum need not lie within distance one of the LP optimum, even when the right-hand side is large.

R. E. Gomory's 1965 note in the Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences (doi:10.1073/pnas.53.2.260) showed that, for right-hand sides lying deep inside the cone of an optimal LP basis, the integer program is solved exactly by the LP solution plus a correction computed in a finite abelian group. The resulting group relaxation (the "corner polyhedron" of Gomory's later work, Gomory 1969) underlies a large body of work on cutting planes, the master group problem, Gomory–Johnson functions and asymptotic integer programming.

Timeline. Gomory's fractional cutting-plane algorithm (Gomory 1958) introduced the "fractional rows" of the simplex tableau; the 1965 note identifies the group they generate with M(I)/M(B)M(I)/M(B)M(I)/M(B) and proves the asymptotic theorem formalized here. Gomory 1969 develops the corner polyhedron; Gomory and Johnson (1972) study the continuous valid functions of the corner polyhedron.

Setting

Let AAA be an integer m×(m+n)m\times(m+n)m×(m+n) matrix of the form (A′,I)(A',I)(A′,I), let b∈Zmb\in\mathbb Z^mb∈Zm and c∈Rm+nc\in\mathbb R^{m+n}c∈Rm+n. Problem P1 is

max⁡ z1=cxs.t.Ax=b, x≥0,\max\ z_1=cx\quad\text{s.t.}\quad Ax=b,\ x\ge0,max z1​=cxs.t.Ax=b, x≥0,

and P2 is P1 with xxx integer. A basis is a nonsingular m×mm\times mm×m submatrix BBB of AAA; after rearranging, A=(B,N)A=(B,N)A=(B,N) with B=(α1,…,αm)B=(\alpha_1,\dots,\alpha_m)B=(α1​,…,αm​) and N=(αm+1,…,αm+n)N=(\alpha_{m+1},\dots,\alpha_{m+n})N=(αm+1​,…,αm+n​), and c=(cB,cN)c=(c_B,c_N)c=(cB​,cN​). The relative cost of a nonbasic column is ci∗=ci−cBB−1αic^*_i=c_i-c_BB^{-1}\alpha_ici∗​=ci​−cB​B−1αi​, and BBB is an optimal basis when all ci∗≤0c^*_i\le0ci∗​≤0. The cone of the basis is KB={β∈Rm:B−1β≥0}K^B=\{\beta\in\mathbb R^m: B^{-1}\beta\ge0\}KB={β∈Rm:B−1β≥0}; removing from it all points within Euclidean distance ddd of its boundary gives the reduced cone KB(d)K^B(d)KB(d).

Let M(I)=ZmM(I)=\mathbb Z^mM(I)=Zm and M(B)=LBM(B)=\mathfrak L_BM(B)=LB​ the lattice of integer combinations of α1,…,αm\alpha_1,\dots,\alpha_mα1​,…,αm​. The factor module M(I)/M(B)M(I)/M(B)M(I)/M(B) is a finite abelian group with D=∣det⁡B∣D=|\det B|D=∣detB∣ elements; write αˉi\bar\alpha_iαˉi​, bˉ\bar bbˉ for the classes of αi\alpha_iαi​, bbb. The group problem (4) is

max⁡ ∑i=1nci+m∗yis.t.∑i=1nαˉi+myi=bˉ,yi≥0 integer,\max\ \sum_{i=1}^n c^*_{i+m}y_i\quad\text{s.t.}\quad\sum_{i=1}^n\bar\alpha_{i+m}y_i=\bar b,\quad y_i\ge0\text{ integer},max i=1∑n​ci+m∗​yi​s.t.i=1∑n​αˉi+m​yi​=bˉ,yi​≥0 integer,

with optimal value φB(b)\varphi^B(b)φB(b). Finally l=max⁡i>m∥αi∥l=\max_{i>m}\|\alpha_i\|l=maxi>m​∥αi​∥.

Formalization targets

Goal: THEOREM 1 (p. 261)

If b∈KB(l(D−1))b\in K^B(l(D-1))b∈KB(l(D−1)), then P1, P2 and (4) attain their optima, the value z2(b)z_2(b)z2​(b) of P2 is

z2(b)=z1(b)+φB(b),z_2(b)=z_1(b)+\varphi^B(b),z2​(b)=z1​(b)+φB(b),

an optimal solution of P2 is

x(b)=(B−1(b−NyB(b)), yB(b))x(b)=\big(B^{-1}(b-Ny^B(b)),\ y^B(b)\big)x(b)=(B−1(b−NyB(b)), yB(b))

for an optimal solution yB(b)y^B(b)yB(b) of (4) with ∑iyiB(b)≤D−1\sum_iy^B_i(b)\le D-1∑i​yiB​(b)≤D−1, and φB\varphi^BφB, yBy^ByB are mmm-periodic: φB(b+αi)=φB(b)\varphi^B(b+\alpha_i)=\varphi^B(b)φB(b+αi​)=φB(b).

Milestones

In the order of the paper's proof: ∣M(I)/M(B)∣=D|M(I)/M(B)|=D∣M(I)/M(B)∣=D (p. 262); periodicity of (4) (p. 263); the cost identity (5)–(6); "cBB−1bc_BB^{-1}bcB​B−1b is z1(b)z_1(b)z1​(b)", the simplex optimality criterion (a published, proved theorem); the projection of a solution of P2 to a solution of (4); the bound (7), z2(b)≤z1(b)+φ(b)z_2(b)\le z_1(b)+\varphi(b)z2​(b)≤z1​(b)+φ(b); the extension of a solution of (4) to an integer solution; the LEMMA (an optimal solution of (4) with ∑yi≤D−1\sum y_i\le D-1∑yi​≤D−1); and the bound ∥Ny∥≤(D−1)l\|Ny\|\le(D-1)l∥Ny∥≤(D−1)l that places b−Nyb-Nyb−Ny in KBK^BKB.

Companions

THEOREM 2: the optimal x(b)x(b)x(b) satisfies ∑i>mxi=∑iyi≤D−1\sum_{i>m}x_i=\sum_iy_i\le D-1∑i>m​xi​=∑i​yi​≤D−1. THEOREM 4 (with the bound corrected, see below): if an optimal yyy of (4) has ∏i(yi+1)>D\prod_i(y_i+1)>D∏i​(yi​+1)>D, the optimum of (4) is not unique.

Significance

THEOREM 1 reduces integer programming, for right-hand sides far from the boundary of an optimal cone, to a shortest-path-type problem over a group of order DDD: the integer optimum is determined by the LP optimum and a periodic correction, and it can be computed in time polynomial in nnn and DDD (THEOREM 3, not formalized here). It explains why rounding fails while a structured correction succeeds, and it is the starting point of the corner-polyhedron and cutting-plane theory built on the group relaxation. THEOREM 2 bounds how far the integer optimum lies from a lattice point of LB\mathfrak L_BLB​, an early proximity result.

The results are classical and proved in the paper; none of them has a machine-checked proof that this mission is aware of. The mission produces a Lean statement and proof of the asymptotic theorem, together with reusable statements about the group Zm/BZm\mathbb Z^m/B\mathbb Z^mZm/BZm and the zero-sum shortening argument of the LEMMA.

Difficulty

The decomposition z2≤z1+φz_2\le z_1+\varphiz2​≤z1​+φ is a direct computation. The difficulty is the converse: an optimal solution yyy of the group problem extends to an integer point xB=B−1(b−Ny)x_B=B^{-1}(b-Ny)xB​=B−1(b−Ny), but nothing in (4) forces xB≥0x_B\ge0xB​≥0. Optimality of yyy alone does not bound yyy: an optimal solution may carry zero-cost cycles of arbitrary length, and then b−Nyb-Nyb−Ny can leave the cone KBK^BKB. The theorem therefore depends on choosing the right optimal solution of (4), one whose total size is bounded by the group order, and on relating that combinatorial bound to the Euclidean geometry of the cone.

Formalization scope

  • The basis is fixed: BBB is an integer m×mm\times mm×m matrix and NNN an integer m×nm\times nm×n matrix; column jjj of NNN (000-based) is the paper's αm+1+j\alpha_{m+1+j}αm+1+j​. The costs cBc_BcB​, cNc_NcN​ are real.
  • The standing assumptions of pp. 260–262 are hypotheses of the goal: det⁡B≠0\det B\neq0detB=0; every unit vector of Zm\mathbb Z^mZm is a column of BBB or of NNN (the paper's A=(A′,I)A=(A',I)A=(A′,I), without which P2 can be infeasible); all relative costs ci∗≤0c^*_i\le0ci∗​≤0 (BBB is optimal, without which (4) is unbounded).
  • P2's variables are natural numbers (integer and nonnegative). The group problem is written as "b−Ny∈BZmb-Ny\in B\mathbb Z^mb−Ny∈BZm", which is equivalent to ∑αˉi+myi=bˉ\sum\bar\alpha_{i+m}y_i=\bar b∑αˉi+m​yi​=bˉ.
  • Optimal values are greatest elements of the sets of objective values, never suprema; the goal asserts that they are attained.
  • The norm in lll and in KB(d)K^B(d)KB(d) is Euclidean. KB(d)K^B(d)KB(d) is the set of points whose closed ball of radius ddd lies in KBK^BKB. l=0l=0l=0 when n=0n=0n=0.
  • In part (3) of the goal, yB(b)y^B(b)yB(b) ranges over optimal solutions of (4) with ∑iyi≤D−1\sum_iy_i\le D-1∑i​yi​≤D−1, the solutions the paper's LEMMA and dynamic program produce.
  • THEOREM 4 is stated with the hypothesis ∏(yi+1)>D\prod(y_i+1)>D∏(yi​+1)>D: the printed >D−1>D-1>D−1 is false (m=n=1m=n=1m=n=1, B=(2)B=(2)B=(2), N=(1)N=(1)N=(1), c=(2,0)c=(2,0)c=(2,0), b=1b=1b=1 has the unique optimum y=1y=1y=1 with ∏(yi+1)=2\prod(y_i+1)=2∏(yi​+1)=2).
  • A trivializing formalization is ruled out: the goal assumes none of the LEMMA, the inequality (7), integrality of B−1(b−Ny)B^{-1}(b-Ny)B−1(b−Ny) or the norm bound, and it states the existence of the optima instead of assuming them.
  • Not in scope: the operation counts of THEOREM 3 and the recursion (8), which need a machine model the paper does not define.

Needed infrastructure: the cardinality of Zm/BZm\mathbb Z^m/B\mathbb Z^mZm/BZm (available in Mathlib through determinants of basis changes), a zero-sum/pigeonhole argument in a finite abelian group, the simplex optimality criterion (published), and elementary Euclidean estimates. The group-theoretic lemmas are reusable for other group-relaxation and proximity missions. Proofs of the milestones, alternative arguments and the extension to the open-ball reading of KB(d)K^B(d)KB(d) are welcome.

Selected references

  • R. E. Gomory, On the relation between integer and noninteger solutions to linear programs, Proc. Natl. Acad. Sci. USA 53(2):260–265, 1965. https://doi.org/10.1073/pnas.53.2.260
  • R. E. Gomory, Outline of an algorithm for integer solutions to linear programs, Bull. Amer. Math. Soc. 64:275–278, 1958. https://doi.org/10.1090/S0002-9904-1958-10224-4
  • R. E. Gomory, Some polyhedra related to combinatorial problems, Linear Algebra Appl. 2:451–558, 1969. https://doi.org/10.1016/0024-3795(69)90017-2
  • R. E. Gomory and E. L. Johnson, Some continuous functions related to corner polyhedra, Math. Programming 3:23–85, 1972.
  • J. Matoušek and B. Gärtner, Understanding and Using Linear Programming, Springer, 2007 (simplex optimality criterion). https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-540-30717-4
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Graph TheoryLinear OptimizationOperations Research·Captain: mikedeng1

A Suggested Computation for Maximal Multi-Commodity Network Flows: With Nonnegative Simplex Multipliers, Shortest-Chain Labels Prove the Arc-Chain Basis Optimal or Find an Entering ChainResearch Paper

Motivation

The maximal multi-commodity flow problem asks how much total flow several commodities, each travelling from its own sources to its own sinks, can send through a network whose arcs have shared capacities. It arises in communication and transportation planning: Kalaba and Juncosa's 1956 study of communication networks (Management Science 3(1)) leads to linear programs of this form. For a single commodity the problem has a clean combinatorial theory: the max-flow min-cut theorem of Ford and Fulkerson (1956, doi:10.4153/CJM-1956-045-5) and the labeling algorithm. With several commodities both fail: the min-cut equality is false, and simplex bases are no longer triangular.

In a short note received in October 1957 and published in Management Science in 1958, L. R. Ford Jr. and D. R. Fulkerson proposed a way to solve the multi-commodity problem with the simplex method anyway (doi:10.1287/mnsc.1040.0269, reprinted 2004). They use the arc-chain formulation, which has one variable per chain from a source to a sink of a commodity. That formulation has far too many variables to write down. The note's point is that the simplex method never needs them explicitly. The "pricing" step (finding a variable to enter the basis, or recognizing that none exists) can be carried out by one shortest-chain computation per commodity, with the simplex multipliers as arc lengths.

Timeline. Ford (1956, RAND P-923) gave the label-correcting shortest-chain procedure the note uses. Ford and Fulkerson (1958) applied it to price the columns of the arc-chain program. Dantzig and Wolfe (1960) generalized the idea into the decomposition principle. Gilmore and Gomory (1961) applied the same pattern to the cutting-stock problem, and it is now called column generation.

Setting

A network has finitely many nodes P1,…,PNP_1,\dots,P_NP1​,…,PN​ and arcs A1,…,AmA_1,\dots,A_mA1​,…,Am​. Each arc ArA_rAr​ joins two nodes, has a capacity brb_rbr​, and is either directed (traversable one way only) or undirected (traversable both ways). There are finitely many commodities; commodity kkk has a set of sources SkS_kSk​ and a set of sinks TkT_kTk​.

A chain from uuu to www is the arc set of a path u=v0,v1,…,vp=wu = v_0, v_1, \dots, v_p = wu=v0​,v1​,…,vp​=w with distinct nodes, each arc traversable from vi−1v_{i-1}vi−1​ to viv_ivi​. A commodity chain of kkk is a chain from a node of SkS_kSk​ to a node of TkT_kTk​. List the commodity chains, for all commodities, as C1,…,CnC_1,\dots,C_nC1​,…,Cn​, and let A=(ars)A = (a_{rs})A=(ars​) be the incidence matrix: ars=1a_{rs} = 1ars​=1 if CsC_sCs​ contains ArA_rAr​ and 000 otherwise. With xsx_sxs​ the flow along CsC_sCs​ and xn+rx_{n+r}xn+r​ the slack of arc ArA_rAr​, the problem is the linear program

maximize ∑s=1nxssubject to∑s=1narsxs+xn+r=br,x1,…,xn+m≥0.(2–3)\text{maximize } \sum_{s=1}^{n} x_s \quad\text{subject to}\quad \sum_{s=1}^{n} a_{rs}x_s + x_{n+r} = b_r,\qquad x_1,\dots,x_{n+m} \ge 0. \tag{2–3}maximize s=1∑n​xs​subject tos=1∑n​ars​xs​+xn+r​=br​,x1​,…,xn+m​≥0.(2–3)

A basis is a set of mmm columns of [A∣I][A \mid I][A∣I] forming an invertible matrix B=(brj)B = (b_{rj})B=(brj​). Its simplex multipliers α1,…,αm\alpha_1,\dots,\alpha_mα1​,…,αm​ satisfy, for every basic column jjj,

∑r=1mαrbrj={1j≤n,0j>n.(4)\sum_{r=1}^{m} \alpha_r b_{rj} = \begin{cases} 1 & j \le n,\\ 0 & j > n.\end{cases} \tag{4}r=1∑m​αr​brj​={10​j≤n,j>n.​(4)

Read as arc lengths, the αr\alpha_rαr​ give each chain CsC_sCs​ the length ∑rαrars\sum_r \alpha_r a_{rs}∑r​αr​ars​. The labeling process for a source set SSS starts with labels πi=0\pi_i = 0πi​=0 on SSS and πi=∞\pi_i = \inftyπi​=∞ elsewhere. It repeatedly finds an arc traversable from PiP_iPi​ to PjP_jPj​ with πi+lij<πj\pi_i + l_{ij} < \pi_jπi​+lij​<πj​ and replaces πj\pi_jπj​ by πi+lij\pi_i + l_{ij}πi​+lij​. In Lean the labels are lab : V → WithTop ℝ, the multipliers are α : E → ℝ, and all objects live in the namespace FordFulkerson58.ArcChain.

Formalization targets

Goal: the shortest-chain pricing test (§3, pp. 1779–1780)

Let BBB be a basis with basic feasible solution zzz and multipliers α≥0\alpha \ge 0α≥0. Then:

(a) for every commodity, every run of the labeling process with lengths α is finite;(b) if all final sink labels are ≥1, then ∑sxs≤∑szs for every feasible x;(c) if a final sink label πt<1, some non-basic chain column to t has length πt and 1−∑rαrars>0.\begin{aligned} &\text{(a) for every commodity, every run of the labeling process with lengths } \alpha \text{ is finite;}\\ &\text{(b) if all final sink labels are } \ge 1, \text{ then } \textstyle\sum_s x_s \le \sum_s z_s \text{ for every feasible } x;\\ &\text{(c) if a final sink label } \pi_t < 1, \text{ some non-basic chain column to } t \text{ has length } \pi_t \text{ and } 1 - \textstyle\sum_r \alpha_r a_{rs} > 0. \end{aligned}​(a) for every commodity, every run of the labeling process with lengths α is finite;(b) if all final sink labels are ≥1, then ∑s​xs​≤∑s​zs​ for every feasible x;(c) if a final sink label πt​<1, some non-basic chain column to t has length πt​ and 1−∑r​αr​ars​>0.​

Milestones (§3, the labeling process and the test)

  1. Termination of the labeling process for non-negative lengths (p. 1780).
  2. Final labels are shortest-chain lengths from SSS; the smallest label on TTT is the SSS-to-TTT distance (p. 1780).
  3. The trace-back: a chain of tight arcs from SSS to every labeled node, of length its label (p. 1780).
  4. If α≥0\alpha \ge 0α≥0 and every commodity chain has length ≥1\ge 1≥1, the basis is optimal (p. 1779).

Further items state the remarks of §3–§4: a negative multiplier lets a slack enter; the slack basis is a feasible start; dominated chains can be ignored; limited supplies reduce to the same problem by adding new directed source arcs; Figure 2 is the incidence matrix of Figure 1; with negative lengths the labeling process may not terminate.

Significance

The result. The test turns a linear program with exponentially many columns into one whose pricing step costs one shortest-path computation per commodity. Only the m×mm \times mm×m basis is ever stored. This is the first instance of column generation, which now underlies solvers for multi-commodity flow, cutting stock, vehicle routing, crew scheduling and many other set-partitioning models, typically inside branch-and-price. Part (a) together with milestones 2–3 also gives the correctness of Ford's label-correcting algorithm with non-negative lengths, started from a source set and with any order of arc scans.

Formalizing it. The results are classical and proved in the paper's informal style. None of them is formalized: the platform has no arc-chain LP, no column pricing, and no formal statement of Ford's label-correcting process. The general LP facts are on the platform (the simplex optimality criterion and weak duality, both proved) and are included as references. This mission adds the network-specific layer: chains as arc sets of simple paths, the labeling process as a relation on labelings, and the link from final labels to reduced costs. One sentence of the paper is corrected. The trace-back "eventually" reaches SSS only along some backward path, because zero-length cycles can trap a naive backward search, and milestone 3 states the true version.

Difficulty

The obvious argument for termination says each step lowers a label and there are finitely many chains. It fails: labels are lengths of walks, not chains, and with zero-length arcs (multipliers are often 000) there are infinitely many walks. Termination needs the finiteness of the set of walk lengths below a bound, not positivity. The correctness of the final labels needs both properties of the labeling: it is produced by the process (so every label is the length of a walk from SSS), and it is terminal. A terminal labeling alone, such as all labels 000, is not a distance labeling. Finally, the optimality claim is an LP statement about the full, never-enumerated column set. It must be derived from (4), α≥0\alpha \ge 0α≥0 and the shortest-chain lengths, with the chain columns indexed abstractly.

Formalization scope

Nodes, arcs and commodities are finite types V, E, ι. Each arc has tail, head, a per-arc directed flag and a capacity b : E → ℝ; commodities have src snk : ι → Finset V. Parallel arcs and mixed directed/undirected networks are allowed. No sign of the capacities and no disjointness of sources and sinks is assumed, except 0 ≤ b in the zero-flow item, where it is disclosed. Chains are arc sets of simple paths. The null chain at a source is a chain, so sources have distance 000. Columns are pairs (commodity, chain), so one arc set used by two commodities gives two columns. The columns of [A∣I][A \mid I][A∣I] are indexed by Col N ⊕ E. A basis is β : E → Col N ⊕ E with IsUnit (basisMatrix N β).det; its basic feasible solution and multipliers (4) are hypotheses about this β. Labels are in WithTop ℝ with ⊤ for ∞\infty∞. Shortest-chain lengths are finite infima (Finset.inf), equal to ⊤ when there is no chain. The process scans arcs, not node pairs, which handles parallel arcs and the undirected case lij=ljil_{ij} = l_{ji}lij​=lji​.

The standing assumption of §3 ("a stage has been reached in the computation where all αr\alpha_rαr​ are non-negative", p. 1779) is a hypothesis of the goal and of milestones 1–4. Milestones 1–3 are stated for any non-negative length function. The paper has no numbered theorems; every milestone is an unnumbered sentence of §3, cited by page and position.

A trivializing formalization is ruled out: the goal does not assume shortest-chain lengths, the trace-back, or any reduced-cost fact beyond (4). Statements about final labels require labelings that are both reachable from the initial labels and terminal, and part (a) shows such labelings exist.

Reusable beyond this mission: the chain and labeling layer (a label-correcting shortest-path algorithm from a source set over mixed networks) and the arc-chain LP. Contributions to the LP layer, which can import the referenced Matoušek–Gärtner results after reindexing, are particularly welcome.

Selected references

  • L. R. Ford Jr., D. R. Fulkerson, A suggested computation for maximal multi-commodity network flows, Management Science 5(1):97–101, 1958; reprinted Management Science 50(12S):1778–1780, 2004. https://doi.org/10.1287/mnsc.1040.0269
  • L. R. Ford Jr., D. R. Fulkerson, Maximal flow through a network, Canadian Journal of Mathematics 8:399–404, 1956. https://doi.org/10.4153/CJM-1956-045-5
  • L. R. Ford Jr., Network Flow Theory, RAND Corporation Paper P-923, 1956. https://www.rand.org/pubs/papers/P923.html
  • G. B. Dantzig, P. Wolfe, Decomposition principle for linear programs, Operations Research 8(1):101–111, 1960. https://doi.org/10.1287/opre.8.1.101
  • P. C. Gilmore, R. E. Gomory, A linear programming approach to the cutting-stock problem, Operations Research 9(6):849–859, 1961. https://doi.org/10.1287/opre.9.6.849
  • J. Matoušek, B. Gärtner, Understanding and Using Linear Programming, Springer, 2007. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-540-30717-4
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A Variational Inequality Formulation of the Dynamic Network User Equilibrium Problem II: Under Linear Arc Delay αx(t) + β the Arc Exit Time Is Strictly Increasing (FIFO Holds)Research Paper

Motivation

Dynamic traffic assignment models how commuters choose routes and departure times when travel times change over the day. In the model of Friesz, Bernstein, Smith, Tobin and Wie (Oper. Res. 41 (1993)), the time to traverse a path is built recursively from arc exit-time functions: a vehicle that enters an arc at time ttt leaves it at time τ(t)\tau(t)τ(t). The equilibrium conditions of that model refer to the inverses of these functions, so the model is only well defined when every arc exit-time function is invertible.

Invertibility has a direct traffic meaning. A strictly increasing exit time is the first-in-first-out (FIFO) property: a vehicle that enters later cannot leave earlier, so no overtaking occurs on the arc. Whether a given delay model respects FIFO was an active question in the early 1990s, because several delay functions used in practice violate it for some inflow patterns.

Timeline:

  • 1969. Vickrey's bottleneck model introduces deterministic queueing at a single bottleneck (Vickrey 1969).
  • 1986. Ben-Akiva and De Palma show (Trans. Sci. 20 (1986)), for uniform entry rates and deterministic queueing delays, that it is not possible to "arrive earlier by departing later".
  • 1993. Friesz et al. prove (Theorem 1, p. 185) that for every linear arc delay D=αx+βD = \alpha x + \betaD=αx+β the exit time is strictly increasing, extending the 1986 result to all continuous entry-rate patterns (remark, p. 186).

Setting

Consider one arc. Vehicles enter it at the entry rate u(t)≥0u(t) \ge 0u(t)≥0, a continuous function of time t≥0t \ge 0t≥0; the first vehicle enters at time 000. For an exit-time function τ\tauτ, the arc volume at time t≥0t \ge 0t≥0 is the inflow mass of the vehicles that entered during [0,t][0,t][0,t] and have not left by time ttt:

x(t)=∫{s∈[0,t] : τ(s)>t}u(s) ds.x(t) = \int_{\{s \in [0,t]\,:\,\tau(s) > t\}} u(s)\,ds .x(t)=∫{s∈[0,t]:τ(s)>t}​u(s)ds.

The linear delay function (18) of the paper is

D(t)=α x(t)+β,α,β>0,D(t) = \alpha\, x(t) + \beta, \qquad \alpha, \beta > 0,D(t)=αx(t)+β,α,β>0,

a fixed free-flow travel time β\betaβ plus a queueing time determined by the service rate 1/α1/\alpha1/α. The exit time is entry time plus delay, so τ\tauτ is pinned by the exit-time equation

τ(t)=t+α x(t)+β(t≥0).\tau(t) = t + \alpha\, x(t) + \beta \qquad (t \ge 0).τ(t)=t+αx(t)+β(t≥0).

The equation is implicit: τ\tauτ appears on the right through the volume. The proof partitions time at t0=0t_0 = 0t0​=0, tn+1=τ(tn)t_{n+1} = \tau(t_n)tn+1​=τ(tn​); in particular t1=τ(0)=βt_1 = \tau(0) = \betat1​=τ(0)=β is the exit time of the first vehicle. In Lean these objects are linearDelay, arcVolume, IsLinearExitTime and tSeq in FrieszDUE.FIFO.

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem 1 (p. 185)

For α,β>0\alpha, \beta > 0α,β>0 and a nonnegative continuous entry rate uuu, every τ\tauτ satisfying the exit-time equation is strictly increasing on [0,∞)[0, \infty)[0,∞):

0≤s<t  ⟹  τ(s)<τ(t),0 \le s < t \implies \tau(s) < \tau(t),0≤s<t⟹τ(s)<τ(t),

and hence injective there, so τ−1\tau^{-1}τ−1 exists.

Milestones

  1. Lemma 1 (19): for a differentiable invertible fff, [f−1]′(z)=1/f′[f−1(z)][f^{-1}]'(z) = 1/f'[f^{-1}(z)][f−1]′(z)=1/f′[f−1(z)].
  2. First interval (21)–(24): t1=βt_1 = \betat1​=β; on [0,t1][0, t_1][0,t1​], x(t)=∫0tux(t) = \int_0^t ux(t)=∫0t​u, τ(t)=t+α∫0tu+β\tau(t) = t + \alpha\int_0^t u + \betaτ(t)=t+α∫0t​u+β, and τ′=1+αu>0\tau' = 1 + \alpha u > 0τ′=1+αu>0.
  3. Second interval (25)–(28): on [t1,t2][t_1, t_2][t1​,t2​], τ(t)=t+α∫τ−1(t)tu+β\tau(t) = t + \alpha\int_{\tau^{-1}(t)}^t u + \betaτ(t)=t+α∫τ−1(t)t​u+β and τ′(t)=αu(t)+1/(1+αu[τ−1(t)])>αu(t)\tau'(t) = \alpha u(t) + 1/(1 + \alpha u[\tau^{-1}(t)]) > \alpha u(t)τ′(t)=αu(t)+1/(1+αu[τ−1(t)])>αu(t).
  4. Induction (29)–(34): the same representation and τ′(t)>αu(t)\tau'(t) > \alpha u(t)τ′(t)>αu(t) on every [tn+1,tn+2][t_{n+1}, t_{n+2}][tn+1​,tn+2​], with τ\tauτ strictly increasing there.
  5. Covering: tn+1−tn≥βt_{n+1} - t_n \ge \betatn+1​−tn​≥β and R+=⋃n≥0[tn,tn+1]\mathbb R_+ = \bigcup_{n \ge 0}[t_n, t_{n+1}]R+​=⋃n≥0​[tn​,tn+1​].

A supporting, non-milestone item states that the exit-time equation has a solution for every admissible uuu.

Significance

The result makes the path exit-time functions of the dynamic network model invertible whenever the arc delays are linear in volume. That invertibility is what allows the path costs, and through them the variational inequality of Theorem 2 of the same paper, to be written down. In traffic terms it certifies that linear volume-based delays never let a later entrant overtake an earlier one, whatever the continuous inflow profile.

The theorem is proved in the paper. As far as is known it has no machine-checked proof. The mission produces one, together with a formal model of a single arc whose exit time is defined implicitly through the volume, which is reusable for other delay functions and for FIFO questions in dynamic traffic assignment.

Difficulty

The obvious argument differentiates τ(t)=t+αx(t)+β\tau(t) = t + \alpha x(t) + \betaτ(t)=t+αx(t)+β and bounds the outflow rate. But the volume can only be written as ∫τ−1(t)tu\int_{\tau^{-1}(t)}^t u∫τ−1(t)t​u once τ\tauτ is known to be invertible, which is the conclusion. The paper breaks the circularity by working forward in time: on [tn,tn+1][t_n, t_{n+1}][tn​,tn+1​] the volume depends only on τ\tauτ restricted to the earlier interval, whose invertibility is already established. A formal proof must make this forward dependence rigorous for an exit time given only by the implicit equation, handle one-sided derivatives at the junctions tnt_ntn​, where τ\tauτ is generally not differentiable, and show that the junctions do not accumulate.

Formalization scope

Time is real; the entry rate is a function u:R→Ru : \mathbb R \to \mathbb Ru:R→R with u(t)≥0u(t) \ge 0u(t)≥0 and uuu continuous on [0,∞)[0, \infty)[0,∞). Both are added hypotheses: Theorem 1 names none, nonnegativity is implicit in "entry rate", and the remark after the proof covers "all continuous entry rate patterns". Integrals are Lebesgue integrals. Monotonicity is claimed on [0,∞)[0,\infty)[0,∞) only, the entry times that the equation constrains. Derivative claims in the milestones are taken within the closed interval [tn,tn+1][t_n, t_{n+1}][tn​,tn+1​]. The paper's separate pieces τk\tau_kτk​ are one global function here, so the junction identities (27), (30), (33) are automatic. Lemma 1 adds the hypothesis f′[f−1(z)]≠0f'[f^{-1}(z)] \ne 0f′[f−1(z)]=0, without which it is false.

The exit time τ is pinned by the implicit equation τ(t) = t + αx(t) + β, where x(t) is the inflow mass of vehicles that entered by time t and have not exited by time t; no monotonicity or invertibility of τ is assumed. A formalization that defined the volume through τ−1\tau^{-1}τ−1 or assumed τ\tauτ monotone would assume the conclusion and is ruled out.

The development needs one-sided derivatives of parametric integrals, the inverse-function derivative on an interval, and a forward induction over the partition. Contributions of proofs for any milestone, of the existence item, and of a uniqueness result for the exit-time equation are welcome.

Selected references

  • T. L. Friesz, D. Bernstein, T. E. Smith, R. L. Tobin and B. W. Wie, A variational inequality formulation of the dynamic network user equilibrium problem, Operations Research 41(1):179–191, 1993. https://doi.org/10.1287/opre.41.1.179
  • M. Ben-Akiva and A. de Palma, Some circumstances in which vehicles will reach their destinations earlier by starting later: revisited, Transportation Science 20(1):52–55, 1986. https://doi.org/10.1287/trsc.20.1.52
  • M. Ben-Akiva, A. de Palma and P. Kanaroglou, Dynamic model of peak period traffic congestion with elastic arrival rates, Transportation Science 20(3):164–181, 1986. https://doi.org/10.1287/trsc.20.3.164
  • W. S. Vickrey, Congestion theory and transport investment, American Economic Review 59(2):251–261, 1969. https://www.jstor.org/stable/1823678
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Data-Driven Distributionally Robust Optimization Using the Wasserstein Metric: Performance Guarantees and Tractable Reformulations III: Asymptotic Consistency of Wasserstein Robust SolutionsResearch Paper

Motivation

Many decisions in operations research and machine learning minimize an expected cost EP[h(x,ξ)]\mathbb E^{P}[h(x,\xi)]EP[h(x,ξ)] whose distribution PPP is unknown and is seen only through NNN independent samples. The sample-average approximation replaces PPP by the empirical distribution and is known to produce decisions with poor out-of-sample performance when NNN is small. Distributionally robust optimization instead minimizes the worst-case expected cost over a set of distributions that are plausible given the data. Mohajerin Esfahani and Kuhn (arXiv:1505.05116v3, published in Mathematical Programming 171, 2018) take this set to be a ball in the Wasserstein metric around the empirical distribution, and show that such balls deliver both finite-sample certificates and asymptotic consistency. This mission formalizes the statistical half of that paper: Section 3 and Appendix A.

A data-driven method should, at a minimum, be consistent: as the sample grows, its optimal value and decisions should approach those of the true problem. For Wasserstein balls this requires a measure concentration inequality for empirical distributions in the Wasserstein metric, which was supplied by Fournier and Guillin (PTRF 2015). The paper combines that inequality with the Kantorovich–Rubinstein duality and the Borel–Cantelli lemma.

Setting

Let EEE be Rm\mathbb R^mRm with an arbitrary norm ∥⋅∥\|\cdot\|∥⋅∥ and its Borel σ\sigmaσ-algebra. A decision xxx ranges over a feasible set X⊆RnX\subseteq\mathbb R^nX⊆Rn; the random vector ξ\xiξ has distribution PPP, supported on the uncertainty set Ξ⊆E\Xi\subseteq EΞ⊆E; the loss is h:Rn×E→Rh:\mathbb R^n\times E\to\mathbb Rh:Rn×E→R. The true problem (1) has optimal value

J⋆=inf⁡x∈XEP[h(x,ξ)].J^\star=\inf_{x\in X}\mathbb E^P[h(x,\xi)].J⋆=x∈Xinf​EP[h(x,ξ)].

The Wasserstein distance between distributions Q1,Q2Q_1,Q_2Q1​,Q2​ with finite first moment is

dW(Q1,Q2)=inf⁡{∫∥ξ1−ξ2∥ Π(dξ1,dξ2): Π a coupling of Q1 and Q2}.d_W(Q_1,Q_2)=\inf\Big\{\int\|\xi_1-\xi_2\|\,\Pi(d\xi_1,d\xi_2):\ \Pi\text{ a coupling of }Q_1\text{ and }Q_2\Big\}.dW​(Q1​,Q2​)=inf{∫∥ξ1​−ξ2​∥Π(dξ1​,dξ2​): Π a coupling of Q1​ and Q2​}.

Given samples ξ^1,…,ξ^N\hat\xi_1,\dots,\hat\xi_Nξ^​1​,…,ξ^​N​ drawn independently from PPP (joint law PNP^NPN, and P∞P^\inftyP∞ for the infinite sequence), the empirical distribution is P^N=1N∑i=1Nδξ^i\widehat P_N=\frac1N\sum_{i=1}^N\delta_{\hat\xi_i}PN​=N1​∑i=1N​δξ^​i​​, and the Wasserstein ball Bε(P^N)\mathbb B_\varepsilon(\widehat P_N)Bε​(PN​) is the set of distributions QQQ on Ξ\XiΞ with dW(P^N,Q)≤εd_W(\widehat P_N,Q)\le\varepsilondW​(PN​,Q)≤ε. The distributionally robust program (5) has optimal value

J^N=inf⁡x∈X sup⁡Q∈Bε(P^N)EQ[h(x,ξ)],\widehat J_N=\inf_{x\in X}\ \sup_{Q\in\mathbb B_\varepsilon(\widehat P_N)}\mathbb E^Q[h(x,\xi)],JN​=x∈Xinf​ Q∈Bε​(PN​)sup​EQ[h(x,ξ)],

and an optimizer of it is written x^N\widehat x_NxN​.

The light-tail condition (Assumption 3.3) asks for an exponent a>1a>1a>1 with A=EP[exp⁡(∥ξ∥a)]<∞A=\mathbb E^P[\exp(\|\xi\|^a)]<\inftyA=EP[exp(∥ξ∥a)]<∞. Under it, and for m≠2m\ne2m=2, Theorem 3.4 (Fournier–Guillin) gives constants c1,c2>0c_1,c_2>0c1​,c2​>0 with

PN{dW(P,P^N)≥ε}≤{c1e−c2Nεmax⁡{m,2},ε≤1,c1e−c2Nεa,ε>1,(7)P^N\{d_W(P,\widehat P_N)\ge\varepsilon\}\le\begin{cases}c_1e^{-c_2N\varepsilon^{\max\{m,2\}}},&\varepsilon\le1,\\ c_1e^{-c_2N\varepsilon^{a}},&\varepsilon>1,\end{cases}\tag{7}PN{dW​(P,PN​)≥ε}≤{c1​e−c2​Nεmax{m,2},c1​e−c2​Nεa,​ε≤1,ε>1,​(7)

for all N≥1N\ge1N≥1, ε>0\varepsilon>0ε>0. Solving the right-hand side =β=\beta=β for ε\varepsilonε gives the radius

εN(β)=(log⁡(c1β−1)c2N)1/max⁡{m,2} if N≥log⁡(c1β−1)c2,(log⁡(c1β−1)c2N)1/a otherwise.(8)\varepsilon_N(\beta)=\Big(\frac{\log(c_1\beta^{-1})}{c_2N}\Big)^{1/\max\{m,2\}}\text{ if }N\ge\frac{\log(c_1\beta^{-1})}{c_2},\qquad\Big(\frac{\log(c_1\beta^{-1})}{c_2N}\Big)^{1/a}\text{ otherwise}.\tag{8}εN​(β)=(c2​Nlog(c1​β−1)​)1/max{m,2} if N≥c2​log(c1​β−1)​,(c2​Nlog(c1​β−1)​)1/a otherwise.(8)

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem 3.6 (asymptotic consistency)

Let βN∈(0,1)\beta_N\in(0,1)βN​∈(0,1) with ∑NβN<∞\sum_N\beta_N<\infty∑N​βN​<∞ and εN(βN)→0\varepsilon_N(\beta_N)\to0εN​(βN​)→0, and use the radius εN(βN)\varepsilon_N(\beta_N)εN​(βN​) in (5).

(i) If h(x,⋅)h(x,\cdot)h(x,⋅) is upper semicontinuous on Ξ\XiΞ and ∣h(x,ξ)∣≤L(1+∥ξ∥)|h(x,\xi)|\le L(1+\|\xi\|)∣h(x,ξ)∣≤L(1+∥ξ∥) on X×ΞX\times\XiX×Ξ, then P∞P^\inftyP∞-almost surely

J^N≥J⋆ for all large NandJ^N→J⋆.\widehat J_N\ge J^\star\ \text{for all large }N\quad\text{and}\quad\widehat J_N\to J^\star.JN​≥J⋆ for all large NandJN​→J⋆.

(ii) If moreover XXX is closed and h(⋅,ξ)h(\cdot,\xi)h(⋅,ξ) is lower semicontinuous on XXX, then P∞P^\inftyP∞-almost surely every accumulation point of (x^N)(\widehat x_N)(xN​) is an optimal solution of (1).

Milestones

  1. Theorem 3.5 (finite sample guarantee). For fixed N≥1N\ge1N≥1 and β∈(0,1)\beta\in(0,1)β∈(0,1), with radius εN(β)\varepsilon_N(\beta)εN​(β),
PN{EP[h(x^N,ξ)]>J^N}≤β.P^N\big\{\mathbb E^P[h(\widehat x_N,\xi)]>\widehat J_N\big\}\le\beta.PN{EP[h(xN​,ξ)]>JN​}≤β.
  1. Lemma A.1. An upper semicontinuous hhh on Ξ\XiΞ with h(ξ)≤L(1+∥ξ∥)h(\xi)\le L(1+\|\xi\|)h(ξ)≤L(1+∥ξ∥) is the pointwise limit on Ξ\XiΞ of a non-increasing sequence of Lipschitz functions.
  2. Lemma 3.7 (convergence of distributions). Any data-dependent Q^N∈BεN(βN)(P^N)\widehat Q_N\in\mathbb B_{\varepsilon_N(\beta_N)}(\widehat P_N)Q​N​∈BεN​(βN​)​(PN​) satisfies
P∞{lim⁡N→∞dW(P,Q^N)=0}=1.P^\infty\Big\{\lim_{N\to\infty}d_W(P,\widehat Q_N)=0\Big\}=1.P∞{N→∞lim​dW​(P,Q​N​)=0}=1.

Theorem 3.2 (Kantorovich–Rubinstein duality, dW(Q1,Q2)=sup⁡{∫f dQ1−∫f dQ2: f 1-Lipschitz}d_W(Q_1,Q_2)=\sup\{\int f\,dQ_1-\int f\,dQ_2:\ f\ 1\text{-Lipschitz}\}dW​(Q1​,Q2​)=sup{∫fdQ1​−∫fdQ2​: f 1-Lipschitz}), which the proof of (i) uses, enters as a reference item: the open platform theorem WassersteinDRO.Duality.kantorovich_rubinstein, stated on the whole space for all Borel probability measures. It is not a milestone, because that statement is more general than the paper's version on M(Ξ)\mathcal M(\Xi)M(Ξ) (the two agree for distributions in M(Ξ)\mathcal M(\Xi)M(Ξ) by extending Lipschitz functions from Ξ\XiΞ to the whole space).

A companion item, Example 1 (1), records that upper semicontinuity cannot be dropped in (i): for Ξ=[0,1]\Xi=[0,1]Ξ=[0,1], P=δ0P=\delta_0P=δ0​ and h=1(0,1](ξ)h=\mathbb 1_{(0,1]}(\xi)h=1(0,1]​(ξ) one has J⋆=0J^\star=0J⋆=0 but J^N≥1\widehat J_N\ge1JN​≥1 for every radius ε>0\varepsilon>0ε>0.

Significance

Theorem 3.5 makes the robust optimal value an upper confidence bound on the out-of-sample cost of the robust decision. Theorem 3.6 shows that this protection does not cost consistency: with radii shrinking at a rate governed by summable confidence levels, such as βN=e−N\beta_N=e^{-\sqrt N}βN​=e−N​, both the certificate and the decisions converge to their true counterparts. Together they are the statistical justification for the Wasserstein ambiguity sets that the rest of the paper reformulates as finite convex programs, and they are cited as the reference consistency results for Wasserstein distributionally robust optimization.

All results here are proved in the paper. None of them, nor the Fournier–Guillin inequality, is formalized on Prove2Me or in Mathlib to our knowledge. The mission adds machine-checked versions of the finite-sample and consistency statements, a monotone Lipschitz approximation lemma for semicontinuous functions with linear growth (useful wherever Lipschitz duality has to be extended to semicontinuous integrands), and a convergence lemma for measures in shrinking Wasserstein balls.

Difficulty

The obvious argument for (i) bounds the worst-case expectation by the true expectation plus a Lipschitz constant times the radius. That fails, because hhh is only upper semicontinuous in ξ\xiξ, not Lipschitz, and has no Lipschitz constant to multiply. The expectations of a merely semicontinuous loss must be controlled uniformly over every distribution in the ball, including data-dependent worst-case distributions, and the almost-sure convergence of the empirical distribution alone does not give this. Example 1 of the paper shows that each regularity hypothesis is needed. On the formal side, the Wasserstein distance is an infimum over couplings on a Polish space; even its triangle inequality (gluing of couplings) and the Kantorovich–Rubinstein duality are substantial.

Formalization scope

EEE is a finite-dimensional real normed space with its Borel σ\sigmaσ-algebra (BorelSpace), and mmm is its dimension; decisions live in EuclideanSpace ℝ (Fin n). The definitions dWd_WdW​ (type p=1p=1p=1), P^N\widehat P_NPN​, Bε(P^N)\mathbb B_\varepsilon(\widehat P_N)Bε​(PN​), EQ\mathbb E^QEQ and the worst-case expectation are the published WassersteinDRO.Duality definitions. The optimal values J⋆J^\starJ⋆ and J^N\widehat J_NJN​ are extended reals. Standing conventions and pinned hypotheses:

  • "Supported on Ξ\XiΞ" is P(Ξc)=0P(\Xi^c)=0P(Ξc)=0; Ξ\XiΞ is neither closed nor convex in general. The samples lie in Ξ\XiΞ almost surely, and optimizers and ball selections are required only for samples in Ξ\XiΞ.
  • The constants c1,c2>0c_1,c_2>0c1​,c2​>0 enter as any constants for which (7) holds, which is how (8) is defined from Theorem 3.4. The theorem of Fournier and Guillin is not part of this mission, and m≠2m\ne2m=2 is assumed because (7) and (8) are printed only for m≠2m\ne2m=2.
  • The loss is real-valued. In Theorem 3.5 it is assumed PPP-integrable on XXX, because the worst-case expectation counts only distributions under which the loss is integrable. In Theorem 3.6 the linear growth bound makes this automatic.
  • Probabilities "at least 1−β1-\beta1−β" are stated as bounds on the outer measure of the failure event, and "P∞P^\inftyP∞-almost surely" as an almost-everywhere statement for the product measure on sequences.
  • The paper's "J^N↓J⋆\widehat J_N\downarrow J^\starJN​↓J⋆" is stated as eventual domination J^N≥J⋆\widehat J_N\ge J^\starJN​≥J⋆ plus convergence, which is what its proof establishes; monotonicity in NNN is not claimed.

A statement in which (7) could not hold for any constants would make the goal vacuous. The concentration inequality is satisfiable (for instance by a Dirac distribution with any constants), and εN(β)\varepsilon_N(\beta)εN​(β) is defined by the paper's formula, not chosen freely.

Welcome contributions: the triangle inequality and Kantorovich–Rubinstein duality for dWd_WdW​, the Borel–Cantelli step for product measures, Lemma A.1, and the Fatou argument of (ii).

Selected references

  • P. Mohajerin Esfahani and D. Kuhn, Data-driven distributionally robust optimization using the Wasserstein metric: performance guarantees and tractable reformulations, Mathematical Programming 171 (2018); source version arXiv:1505.05116v3. https://arxiv.org/abs/1505.05116v3
  • N. Fournier and A. Guillin, On the rate of convergence in Wasserstein distance of the empirical measure, Probability Theory and Related Fields 162 (2015). https://doi.org/10.1007/s00440-014-0583-7
  • L. V. Kantorovich and G. S. Rubinstein, On a space of totally additive functions, Vestnik Leningrad. Univ. 13 (1958).
  • C. Villani, Optimal Transport: Old and New, Springer, 2009. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-540-71050-9
  • D. Bertsimas, V. Gupta and N. Kallus, Robust sample average approximation, Mathematical Programming 171 (2018). https://arxiv.org/abs/1408.4445
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Learning to Predict by the Methods of Temporal Differences: Linear TD(0) Converges in Expected Value to the Ideal Predictions on Absorbing Markov ChainsResearch Paper

Motivation

Temporal-difference (TD) methods learn to predict an eventual outcome from the differences between successive predictions rather than from the difference between each prediction and the final outcome. Sutton's 1988 paper Learning to predict by the methods of temporal differences introduced the TD(λ\lambdaλ) family and gave the first convergence proof for a TD method; before it, as the paper notes (p. 23), "no TD method has ever been proved stable or convergent to the correct predictions". TD learning is now the core of policy evaluation in reinforcement learning, and later analyses (Dayan 1992, Tsitsiklis and Van Roy 1997) start from the setting fixed here.

Timeline:

  • 1960 — Widrow and Hoff introduce the LMS (Widrow–Hoff) rule; its predictions converge in expected value to the ideal predictions for small step sizes (Widrow and Stearns 1985).
  • 1977 — Witten sketches a convergence proof for a TD-like procedure on discounted costs; many steps were left out, and Sutton (footnote 4) writes that it "now appears that the theorem he proposed is not true".
  • 1988 — Sutton proves Theorem 2 (linear TD(0), expected-value convergence on absorbing chains) and Theorem 3 (convergence of batch linear TD(0) to the maximum-likelihood predictions).
  • 1992–1997 — Dayan extends expected convergence to TD(λ\lambdaλ); Tsitsiklis and Van Roy prove almost-sure convergence of linear TD(λ\lambdaλ) under decreasing step sizes.

Setting

An absorbing Markov chain has a finite set NNN of nonterminal states, a finite set TTT of terminal states and transition probabilities pij≥0p_{ij}\ge0pij​≥0 (i∈Ni\in Ni∈N, j∈N∪Tj\in N\cup Tj∈N∪T) with ∑j∈N∪Tpij=1\sum_{j\in N\cup T}p_{ij}=1∑j∈N∪T​pij​=1. Let QQQ be the N×NN\times NN×N matrix [Q]ij=pij[Q]_{ij}=p_{ij}[Q]ij​=pij​. "Absorbing" means that every sequence terminates with probability one; for a finite chain this is Qk→0Q^k\to0Qk→0.

A sequence starts in a nonterminal state drawn from a distribution μ\muμ, follows the chain through nonterminal states q1,…,qmq_1,\dots,q_mq1​,…,qm​ until it enters a terminal state qm+1=jq_{m+1}=jqm+1​=j, and then produces a scalar outcome zzz drawn from a distribution νj\nu_jνj​ with finite mean zˉj\bar z_jzˉj​. Let [h]i=∑j∈Tpijzˉj[h]_i=\sum_{j\in T}p_{ij}\bar z_j[h]i​=∑j∈T​pij​zˉj​. The ideal prediction of state iii is the expected outcome from iii,

E{z∣i}=[∑k≥0Qkh]i=[(I−Q)−1h]i.E\{z\mid i\}=\Bigl[\sum_{k\ge0}Q^kh\Bigr]_i=\bigl[(I-Q)^{-1}h\bigr]_i .E{z∣i}=[k≥0∑​Qkh]i​=[(I−Q)−1h]i​.

The learner does not see states, only an observation vector xi∈RKx_i\in\mathbb R^Kxi​∈RK for each i∈Ni\in Ni∈N, and predicts linearly, Pt=w⊤xqtP_t=w^\top x_{q_t}Pt​=w⊤xqt​​. Linear TD(0) with weight updates after each sequence keeps www fixed during a sequence and then sets, with Pm+1=zP_{m+1}=zPm+1​=z,

w←w+∑t=1mα (Pt+1−Pt) xqt.w\leftarrow w+\sum_{t=1}^m\alpha\,(P_{t+1}-P_t)\,x_{q_t}.w←w+t=1∑m​α(Pt+1​−Pt​)xqt​​.

Sequences are experienced independently; wnw_nwn​ is the weight vector after nnn sequences. Let did_idi​ be the expected number of visits to iii in one sequence, D=diag⁡(d)D=\operatorname{diag}(d)D=diag(d), and XXX the matrix with columns xix_ixi​.

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem 2

For every absorbing chain, start distribution μ\muμ, outcome laws with finite means and linearly independent {xi}\{x_i\}{xi​}, with every di>0d_i>0di​>0, there is ε>0\varepsilon>0ε>0 such that for 0<α<ε0<\alpha<\varepsilon0<α<ε and every w0w_0w0​,

lim⁡n→∞E{xi⊤wn}=[(I−Q)−1h]i∀i∈N.\lim_{n\to\infty}E\{x_i^\top w_n\}=\bigl[(I-Q)^{-1}h\bigr]_i\qquad\forall i\in N .n→∞lim​E{xi⊤​wn​}=[(I−Q)−1h]i​∀i∈N.

The threshold ε\varepsilonε is existential, as in the paper; no explicit value is fixed.

Milestones on the goal's path

Theorem A.1 (Neumann series under An→0A^n\to0An→0); (5) the ideal predictions; (7) d⊤=μ⊤(I−Q)−1d^\top=\mu^\top(I-Q)^{-1}d⊤=μ⊤(I−Q)−1; the mean recursion wˉn+1=wˉn+αXD(h+QX⊤wˉn−X⊤wˉn)\bar w_{n+1}=\bar w_n+\alpha XD(h+QX^\top\bar w_n-X^\top\bar w_n)wˉn+1​=wˉn​+αXD(h+QX⊤wˉn​−X⊤wˉn​); Theorem A.2 (A⊤AA^\top AA⊤A nonsingular); Theorem A.3 (A≻0  ⟺  A+A⊤≻0A\succ0\iff A+A^\top\succ0A≻0⟺A+A⊤≻0); the Lemma of p. 27; D(I−Q)D(I-Q)D(I−Q) positive definite; the eigenvalues of X⊤XD(I−Q)X^\top XD(I-Q)X⊤XD(I−Q) have positive real parts; and (I−αX⊤XD(I−Q))n→0(I-\alpha X^\top XD(I-Q))^n\to0(I−αX⊤XD(I−Q))n→0 for small α\alphaα.

Further results

Theorem 3: under repeated presentations of a finite training set, batch linear TD(0) converges (deterministically) to the maximum-likelihood predictions [(I−Q^)−1h^]i[(I-\hat Q)^{-1}\hat h]_i[(I−Q^​)−1h^]i​, with its two supporting steps (Q^n→0\hat Q^n\to0Q^​n→0 and d^⊤=μ^⊤(I−Q^)−1\hat d^\top=\hat\mu^\top(I-\hat Q)^{-1}d^⊤=μ^​⊤(I−Q^​)−1). Theorem 1: linear TD(1) and Widrow–Hoff produce the same per-sequence weight changes.

Significance

Theorem 2 shows that a bootstrapping method, which learns from its own earlier predictions, is not biased by them in the limit: in expectation it reaches the same predictions as supervised (Widrow–Hoff) learning. Theorem 3 says more: on a fixed data set, TD(0) converges to the predictions that would be exact if the maximum-likelihood model of the process were correct, which differs from the least-squares answer Widrow–Hoff converges to. Together they are the formal basis for preferring TD to Monte-Carlo targets in multi-step prediction.

The results are proved on paper, and not formalized in Lean. A formalization adds a precise model of the experience (i.i.d. sequences of an absorbing chain with terminal-dependent outcome laws), the integrability facts the paper leaves implicit, and a correct proof of the positive definiteness of D(I−Q)D(I-Q)D(I−Q), whose printed argument has a gap (see below). The matrix lemmas (Neumann series under An→0A^n\to0An→0; real-part positivity of eigenvalues of GMGMGM for G≻0G\succ0G≻0 symmetric and MMM positive definite in the non-symmetric sense; the step-size threshold) are reusable for other linear stochastic-approximation analyses.

Difficulty

The obvious argument writes E{wn+1}E\{w_{n+1}\}E{wn+1​} as a linear function of E{wn}E\{w_n\}E{wn​} and observes that the iteration matrix I−αX⊤XD(I−Q)I-\alpha X^\top XD(I-Q)I−αX⊤XD(I−Q) is a contraction for small α\alphaα. Two steps of this fail as printed. First, the paper proves that D(I−Q)D(I-Q)D(I−Q) is positive definite through the Lemma of p. 27 with a weakened notion of diagonal dominance (weak in every row, strict in one), under which the Lemma is false; with the standard notion, D(I−Q)+(D(I−Q))⊤D(I-Q)+(D(I-Q))^\topD(I−Q)+(D(I−Q))⊤ is in general not strictly diagonally dominant (a row with μi=0\mu_i=0μi​=0 that cannot leave NNN in one step has row sum 000). A correct proof combines weak dominance with reachability of every state from the support of μ\muμ, which is where di>0d_i>0di​>0 enters. Second, X⊤XD(I−Q)X^\top XD(I-Q)X⊤XD(I−Q) is not symmetric, so a small α\alphaα does not make I−αX⊤XD(I−Q)I-\alpha X^\top XD(I-Q)I−αX⊤XD(I−Q) a contraction in the Euclidean norm; the argument goes through its eigenvalues, and turning eigenvalues of modulus below one into (I−αX⊤XD(I−Q))n→0(I-\alpha X^\top XD(I-Q))^n\to0(I−αX⊤XD(I−Q))n→0 is a spectral-radius argument. The probabilistic step is also not free: wnw_nwn​ is a polynomial in nnn random sequences of unbounded length, and its integrability and the factorization E{ηijwn}=dipijE{wn}E\{\eta_{ij}w_n\}=d_ip_{ij}E\{w_n\}E{ηij​wn​}=di​pij​E{wn​} need independence across sequences.

Formalization scope

States are finite types N (nonempty) and T; the chain is the structure AbsorbingChain with blocks pN, pT and the field Qk→0Q^k\to0Qk→0. Observation vectors are x : N → Fin K → ℝ with LinearIndependent ℝ x; XXX is Matrix (Fin K) N ℝ. A sequence is an Episode (list of nonterminal states, terminal state, outcome); IsEpisodeStream states measurability, mutual independence (iIndepFun) and the law P(path=s,term=j,out∈B)=μs1ps1s2⋯psmj νj(B)P(\text{path}=s,\text{term}=j,\text{out}\in B)=\mu_{s_1}p_{s_1s_2}\cdots p_{s_mj}\,\nu_j(B)P(path=s,term=j,out∈B)=μs1​​ps1​s2​​⋯psm​j​νj​(B). Expectations are Bochner integrals, and the goal asserts integrability of xi⊤wnx_i^\top w_nxi⊤​wn​, so a non-integrable junk value 000 cannot satisfy it. did_idi​ is defined as an expectation (a sum over sequences), not as [μ⊤(I−Q)−1]i[\mu^\top(I-Q)^{-1}]_i[μ⊤(I−Q)−1]i​, so (7) is not circular. "Positive definite" is the paper's footnote 6 (y⊤Ay>0y^\top Ay>0y⊤Ay>0 for real y≠0y\ne0y=0, no symmetry), not Mathlib's Matrix.PosDef.

Trivializations ruled out: the hypothesis di>0d_i>0di​>0 is the paper's own discarding of never-visited states (without it the goal is false: an unvisited state's weight never moves); N is nonempty and μ\muμ sums to one, so the hypotheses are satisfiable and the goal is not vacuous; the sequences cannot be arbitrary random variables or a fixed sequence, since their law is pinned to μ\muμ, ppp and ν\nuν; ε\varepsilonε is chosen before α\alphaα, w0w_0w0​ and the probability space; and the update is per sequence, not the intra-sequence variant of §5.

Corrected slips: "For each nonterminal state jjj" (p. 24) means terminal; the diagonal-dominance definition of p. 27 is replaced by the standard one; I−αXD(I−Q)X⊤I-\alpha XD(I-Q)X^\topI−αXD(I−Q)X⊤ (p. 28) means I−αX⊤XD(I−Q)I-\alpha X^\top XD(I-Q)I−αX⊤XD(I−Q). Not formalized: the variance and TD(λ\lambdaλ) conjectures of p. 29, §4.3, and the extension claims of §5.

Related open goals on this platform (different models, credited, not re-posed): SuttonBartoRL.BatchTD.batch_td_converges_to_certainty_equivalence (tabular, discounted analogue of Theorem 3), and SuttonBartoRL.LinearTD.keyMatrix_posDef, posDef_of_row_col_sums, expected_td_update (continuing discounted chain with stationary DDD, where every row sum of D(I−γP)D(I-\gamma P)D(I−γP) is positive). Contributions of any milestone, of general matrix lemmas, and of reusable infrastructure for i.i.d. episode streams are welcome.

Selected references

  • R. S. Sutton, Learning to predict by the methods of temporal differences, Machine Learning 3(1), 9–44, 1988. https://doi.org/10.1023/A:1022633531479
  • B. Widrow and M. E. Hoff, Adaptive switching circuits, IRE WESCON Convention Record, 96–104, 1960.
  • B. Widrow and S. D. Stearns, Adaptive Signal Processing, Prentice-Hall, 1985.
  • J. G. Kemeny and J. L. Snell, Finite Markov Chains, Springer, 1976. https://link.springer.com/book/9780387901923
  • R. S. Varga, Matrix Iterative Analysis, Prentice-Hall, 1962 (2nd ed., Springer, 2000: https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-642-05156-2).
  • P. Dayan, The convergence of TD(λ) for general λ, Machine Learning 8, 341–362, 1992. https://doi.org/10.1007/BF00992701
  • J. N. Tsitsiklis and B. Van Roy, An analysis of temporal-difference learning with function approximation, IEEE Transactions on Automatic Control 42(5), 674–690, 1997. https://doi.org/10.1109/9.580874
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Data-Driven Distributionally Robust Optimization Using the Wasserstein Metric: Performance Guarantees and Tractable Reformulations II: Worst-Case Distributions from a Finite Convex ProgramResearch Paper

Motivation

In data-driven stochastic optimization a decision maker knows the distribution of an uncertain parameter ξ\xiξ only through NNN samples ξ^1,…,ξ^N\hat\xi_1,\dots,\hat\xi_Nξ^​1​,…,ξ^​N​. Wasserstein distributionally robust optimization hedges against this ignorance by evaluating a loss ℓ\ellℓ under the worst distribution in a ball, measured in the Wasserstein metric, around the empirical distribution of the samples. Mohajerin Esfahani and Kuhn (arXiv:1505.05116v3, published in Mathematical Programming 171, 2018) showed that for piecewise concave losses the worst-case expectation is the optimal value of a finite convex program (their Theorem 4.2), which made the approach computationally practical.

Knowing the worst-case value is often not enough. Stress tests of a candidate decision require the extremal distributions themselves: the distributions inside the ball that (nearly) achieve the worst case. Section 4.2 of the paper answers this question. Its Theorem 4.4 shows that the worst case is approached by discrete distributions with at most NKNKNK atoms, read off from near-optimal solutions of a second finite convex program, and its Example 2 shows that a worst-case distribution need not exist at all. This mission formalizes that section. The source is the arXiv preprint version 3 (13 June 2017); all numbering below refers to it.

Setting

Let EEE be a finite-dimensional real vector space with an arbitrary norm ∥⋅∥\|\cdot\|∥⋅∥ (the paper's Rm\mathbb R^mRm), equipped with its Borel σ\sigmaσ-algebra. Linear functionals zzz on EEE act by ⟨z,ξ⟩\langle z,\xi\rangle⟨z,ξ⟩, and the dual norm is ∥z∥∗=sup⁡∥ξ∥≤1⟨z,ξ⟩\|z\|_* = \sup_{\|\xi\|\le 1}\langle z,\xi\rangle∥z∥∗​=sup∥ξ∥≤1​⟨z,ξ⟩. Extended reals R‾=[−∞,+∞]\overline{\mathbb R} = [-\infty,+\infty]R=[−∞,+∞] follow the paper's conventions 0⋅∞=0/0=00\cdot\infty = 0/0 = 00⋅∞=0/0=0 and ∞−∞=∞\infty - \infty = \infty∞−∞=∞.

  • Samples and empirical distribution. ξ^1,…,ξ^N\hat\xi_1,\dots,\hat\xi_Nξ^​1​,…,ξ^​N​ lie in a set Ξ⊆E\Xi\subseteq EΞ⊆E, and P^N=1N∑iδξ^i\widehat{\mathbb P}_N = \frac1N\sum_i\delta_{\hat\xi_i}PN​=N1​∑i​δξ^​i​​.
  • Wasserstein ball. dW(Q1,Q2)d_W(\mathbb Q_1,\mathbb Q_2)dW​(Q1​,Q2​) is the infimum of ∫∥ξ1−ξ2∥ Π(dξ1,dξ2)\int\|\xi_1-\xi_2\|\,\Pi(d\xi_1,d\xi_2)∫∥ξ1​−ξ2​∥Π(dξ1​,dξ2​) over couplings Π\PiΠ of Q1\mathbb Q_1Q1​ and Q2\mathbb Q_2Q2​, and Bε(P^N)\mathbb B_\varepsilon(\widehat{\mathbb P}_N)Bε​(PN​) is the set of probability distributions supported on Ξ\XiΞ within distance ε\varepsilonε of P^N\widehat{\mathbb P}_NPN​.
  • Loss. ℓ(ξ)=max⁡k≤Kℓk(ξ)\ell(\xi) = \max_{k\le K}\ell_k(\xi)ℓ(ξ)=maxk≤K​ℓk​(ξ) for measurable pieces ℓk:E→R‾\ell_k : E\to\overline{\mathbb R}ℓk​:E→R, and EQ[ℓ(ξ)]=EQ[max⁡{ℓ,0}]+EQ[min⁡{ℓ,0}]\mathbb E^{\mathbb Q}[\ell(\xi)] = \mathbb E^{\mathbb Q}[\max\{\ell,0\}] + \mathbb E^{\mathbb Q}[\min\{\ell,0\}]EQ[ℓ(ξ)]=EQ[max{ℓ,0}]+EQ[min{ℓ,0}].
  • Worst-case expectation (10). sup⁡Q∈Bε(P^N)EQ[ℓ(ξ)]\sup_{\mathbb Q\in\mathbb B_\varepsilon(\widehat{\mathbb P}_N)}\mathbb E^{\mathbb Q}[\ell(\xi)]supQ∈Bε​(PN​)​EQ[ℓ(ξ)].
  • Assumption 4.1. Ξ\XiΞ is convex and closed; every −ℓk-\ell_k−ℓk​ is proper, convex and lower semicontinuous; and no ℓk\ell_kℓk​ is identically −∞-\infty−∞ on Ξ\XiΞ.
  • Program (13). Over weights αik≥0\alpha_{ik}\ge 0αik​≥0 and displacements qik∈Eq_{ik}\in Eqik​∈E,
sup⁡αik,qik 1N∑i=1N∑k=1Kαik ℓk(ξ^i−qikαik)s.t.1N∑i,k∥qik∥≤ε,  ∑kαik=1,  ξ^i−qikαik∈Ξ.\sup_{\alpha_{ik},q_{ik}}\ \frac1N\sum_{i=1}^N\sum_{k=1}^K\alpha_{ik}\,\ell_k\Big(\hat\xi_i-\frac{q_{ik}}{\alpha_{ik}}\Big)\quad\text{s.t.}\quad\frac1N\sum_{i,k}\|q_{ik}\|\le\varepsilon,\ \ \sum_k\alpha_{ik}=1,\ \ \hat\xi_i-\frac{q_{ik}}{\alpha_{ik}}\in\Xi .αik​,qik​sup​ N1​i=1∑N​k=1∑K​αik​ℓk​(ξ^​i​−αik​qik​​)s.t.N1​i,k∑​∥qik​∥≤ε,  k∑​αik​=1,  ξ^​i​−αik​qik​​∈Ξ.

When αik=0\alpha_{ik}=0αik​=0 the last constraint forces qik=0q_{ik}=0qik​=0 and the ikikik-th objective term is 000.

  • Candidate distributions. Q=1N∑i,kαik δξik\mathbb Q = \frac1N\sum_{i,k}\alpha_{ik}\,\delta_{\xi_{ik}}Q=N1​∑i,k​αik​δξik​​ with ξik=ξ^i−qik/αik\xi_{ik} = \hat\xi_i - q_{ik}/\alpha_{ik}ξik​=ξ^​i​−qik​/αik​.

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem 4.4 (worst-case distributions)

Under Assumption 4.1 and for every ε≥0\varepsilon\ge 0ε≥0,

sup⁡Q∈Bε(P^N)EQ[ℓ(ξ)]=optimal value of (13),\sup_{\mathbb Q\in\mathbb B_\varepsilon(\widehat{\mathbb P}_N)}\mathbb E^{\mathbb Q}[\ell(\xi)] = \text{optimal value of (13)},Q∈Bε​(PN​)sup​EQ[ℓ(ξ)]=optimal value of (13),

and for every feasible sequence (αik(r),qik(r))r(\alpha_{ik}(r),q_{ik}(r))_r(αik​(r),qik​(r))r​ of (13) whose objective values converge to that optimal value, the distributions Qr\mathbb Q_rQr​ lie in Bε(P^N)\mathbb B_\varepsilon(\widehat{\mathbb P}_N)Bε​(PN​) and

sup⁡Q∈Bε(P^N)EQ[ℓ(ξ)]=lim⁡r→∞EQr[ℓ(ξ)]=lim⁡r→∞1N∑i,kαik(r) ℓ(ξik(r)).\sup_{\mathbb Q\in\mathbb B_\varepsilon(\widehat{\mathbb P}_N)}\mathbb E^{\mathbb Q}[\ell(\xi)] = \lim_{r\to\infty}\mathbb E^{\mathbb Q_r}[\ell(\xi)] = \lim_{r\to\infty}\frac1N\sum_{i,k}\alpha_{ik}(r)\,\ell(\xi_{ik}(r)).Q∈Bε​(PN​)sup​EQ[ℓ(ξ)]=r→∞lim​EQr​[ℓ(ξ)]=r→∞lim​N1​i,k∑​αik​(r)ℓ(ξik​(r)).

The limits may be +∞+\infty+∞; no finiteness is assumed.

Milestones, in the order of the proof

The proof starts from (10) = (12f) (proof of Theorem 4.2, p. 13), which is posed in mission I of this series, Wasserstein Worst-Case Expectations as Finite Convex Programs, and is not restated here; it will be linked as a milestone once that mission is live.

  1. Lemma 4.5: inf⁡z⟨z,q−αξ^⟩+αf∗(z)\inf_z\langle z,q-\alpha\hat\xi\rangle+\alpha f^*(z)infz​⟨z,q−αξ^​⟩+αf∗(z) is the extended perspective of q↦−f(ξ^−q)q\mapsto -f(\hat\xi-q)q↦−f(ξ^​−q) for proper, convex, lower semicontinuous fff.
  2. (14d)–(14f): the ikikik-th dual term equals αℓk(ξ^−q/α)−χΞ(ξ^−q/α)\alpha\ell_k(\hat\xi-q/\alpha)-\chi_\Xi(\hat\xi-q/\alpha)αℓk​(ξ^​−q/α)−χΞ​(ξ^​−q/α) under the extended-arithmetic conventions.
  3. (12f) = (13), the first part of the proof of Theorem 4.4.
  4. Qr∈Bε(P^N)\mathbb Q_r\in\mathbb B_\varepsilon(\widehat{\mathbb P}_N)Qr​∈Bε​(PN​) for every feasible point of (13).
  5. EQr[ℓ(ξ)]\mathbb E^{\mathbb Q_r}[\ell(\xi)]EQr​[ℓ(ξ)] equals 1N∑i,kαikℓ(ξik)\frac1N\sum_{i,k}\alpha_{ik}\ell(\xi_{ik})N1​∑i,k​αik​ℓ(ξik​) and is at least the objective of (13) for every feasible point.

Companion results

Corollary 4.6: if Ξ\XiΞ is compact or K=1K=1K=1, the sequence has an accumulation point that defines a worst-case distribution. Example 2: for Ξ=R\Xi=\mathbb RΞ=R, N=1N=1N=1, ξ^1=0\hat\xi_1=0ξ^​1​=0, ℓ=max⁡{0,ξ−1}\ell=\max\{0,\xi-1\}ℓ=max{0,ξ−1}, the worst-case expectation is ε\varepsilonε and, for ε>0\varepsilon>0ε>0, is attained by no distribution in the ball.

Significance

Theorem 4.4 turns the abstract supremum over an infinite-dimensional ball of distributions into a finite-dimensional convex program whose near-optimal solutions are near-worst-case distributions. The atoms ξik\xi_{ik}ξik​ sit within total weighted distance ∑i,kαik∥ξik−ξ^i∥≤Nε\sum_{i,k}\alpha_{ik}\|\xi_{ik}-\hat\xi_i\|\le N\varepsilon∑i,k​αik​∥ξik​−ξ^​i​∥≤Nε of the data, and they may lie off the data, which distinguishes Wasserstein balls from ambiguity sets based on the total variation distance or the Kullback–Leibler divergence. Example 2 marks the boundary: the theorem cannot be upgraded to the existence of a maximizer in general, while Corollary 4.6 names two cases where it can.

The results are proved in the paper; to our knowledge none of them has a machine-checked proof. The formalization adds a precise account of the extended-arithmetic conventions the paper relies on (0⋅∞=00\cdot\infty=00⋅∞=0, q/0∉Eq/0\notin Eq/0∈/E, ∞−∞=∞\infty-\infty=\infty∞−∞=∞), each of which is made explicit in the definitions, and a reusable Lean treatment of extended-valued conjugates and perspective functions on a normed space with an arbitrary norm.

Difficulty

The first claim goes through Lagrangian duality for program (12f), whose constraints involve conjugates that may take the value +∞+\infty+∞; the strong duality and the minimax interchange (14c) must be justified for extended-valued convex functions, not just finite ones. Lemma 4.5 needs the Fenchel–Moreau theorem f∗∗=ff^{**}=ff∗∗=f for proper, convex, lower semicontinuous R‾\overline{\mathbb R}R-valued functions on a finite-dimensional normed space, together with its degenerate case α=0\alpha=0α=0. The second claim is a squeeze argument, but it rests on computing an extended expectation of an R‾\overline{\mathbb R}R-valued function under a discrete measure and on an explicit coupling for the Wasserstein distance. A tempting shortcut, attaining the supremum by a limit distribution, fails: Example 2 shows the maximizing atoms can escape to infinity.

Formalization scope

  • The space is a finite-dimensional real normed space E with [BorelSpace E]; the dual space is StrongDual ℝ E, and the dual norm is the operator norm. All values are in EReal.
  • The Wasserstein distance, the ball (6) and P^N\widehat{\mathbb P}_NPN​ are the published WassersteinDRO.Duality.wassersteinDistance, ambiguitySet (with p=1p=1p=1) and empiricalDistribution.
  • The extended expectation is the published DupacovaWets.Consistency.expect; it integrates the positive and negative parts separately and returns +∞+\infty+∞ when the positive part is infinite; there is no integrability guard, so a distribution with infinite expected loss pushes (10) to +∞+\infty+∞ as in the paper.
  • Program values are infima or suprema over feasibility predicates, so an empty feasible set gives ±∞\pm\infty±∞, never a junk 000. Program (13) encodes αik=0\alpha_{ik}=0αik​=0 by the clauses "qik=0q_{ik}=0qik​=0" and "objective term =0=0=0" (p. 14).
  • Standing assumptions carried as hypotheses: N≥1N\ge1N≥1, K≥1K\ge1K≥1, ξ^i∈Ξ\hat\xi_i\in\Xiξ^​i​∈Ξ (§2), measurability of each ℓk\ell_kℓk​ (p. 11).
  • A trivializing formalization is ruled out: dropping the clause αik=0⇒qik=0\alpha_{ik}=0\Rightarrow q_{ik}=0αik​=0⇒qik​=0 or the hypothesis ξ^i∈Ξ\hat\xi_i\in\Xiξ^​i​∈Ξ would change program (13) or make the ball empty, and both are kept explicitly.
  • The objects shared with mission I (extended expectation, worst-case expectation, conjugate, Assumption 4.1, program (12f)) are restated verbatim in this mission's namespace; they will be merged with mission I's copies. Contributions to the convex-analysis groundwork (extended-valued Fenchel–Moreau, perspective functions) are welcome and reusable beyond this mission.

Selected references

  • P. Mohajerin Esfahani and D. Kuhn, Data-Driven Distributionally Robust Optimization Using the Wasserstein Metric: Performance Guarantees and Tractable Reformulations, Mathematical Programming 171, 2018. Version formalized: arXiv:1505.05116v3.
  • D. P. Bertsekas, Convex Optimization Theory, Athena Scientific, 2009 (Propositions 1.6.1 and 5.5.4, used in the proofs).
  • R. T. Rockafellar and R. J.-B. Wets, Variational Analysis, Springer, 1998. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-642-02431-3
  • C. Villani, Optimal Transport: Old and New, Springer, 2009. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-540-71050-9
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Data-Driven Distributionally Robust Optimization Using the Wasserstein Metric: Performance Guarantees and Tractable Reformulations I: Wasserstein Worst-Case Expectations as Finite Convex ProgramsResearch Paper

Motivation

A decision maker who must minimize an expected cost EP[h(x,ξ)]\mathbb E^{\mathbb P}[h(x,\xi)]EP[h(x,ξ)] rarely knows the distribution P\mathbb PP of the uncertain parameter ξ\xiξ; usually only NNN samples ξ^1,…,ξ^N\hat\xi_1,\dots,\hat\xi_Nξ^​1​,…,ξ^​N​ are available. Replacing P\mathbb PP by the empirical distribution (sample average approximation) tends to produce decisions that perform poorly out of sample when NNN is small. Distributionally robust optimization instead minimizes the worst expected cost over a set of distributions that are plausible given the data. Mohajerin Esfahani and Kuhn (arXiv:1505.05116v3, published in Mathematical Programming 171, 2018) take that set to be a ball in the Wasserstein metric around the empirical distribution. Such balls give finite-sample and asymptotic guarantees, but each evaluation of the robust objective is an optimization over infinitely many probability distributions. Section 4.1 of the paper shows that, for a large class of losses, this inner problem is a finite convex program. That result, Theorem 4.2, is the subject of this mission.

Timeline. Wasserstein ambiguity sets for portfolio selection were proposed by Pflug and Wozabal (2007); before this paper, robust problems over such sets were solved with global optimization algorithms (Pflug and Pichler 2014). Strong duality for conic linear and moment problems (Shapiro 2001) underlies the reduction. Mohajerin Esfahani and Kuhn (preprint 2015, journal 2018) proved the convex reduction for piecewise concave losses; Gao and Kleywegt (arXiv:1604.02199) and Blanchet and Murthy (arXiv:1604.01446) proved strong duality for general transport costs in 2016.

Setting

Let EEE be a finite-dimensional real vector space with an arbitrary norm ∥⋅∥\|\cdot\|∥⋅∥ (the paper's Rm\mathbb R^mRm) and its Borel σ-algebra. Its dual norm is ∥z∥∗=sup⁡∥ξ∥≤1⟨z,ξ⟩\|z\|_* = \sup_{\|\xi\|\le 1}\langle z,\xi\rangle∥z∥∗​=sup∥ξ∥≤1​⟨z,ξ⟩, where ⟨z,ξ⟩\langle z,\xi\rangle⟨z,ξ⟩ is the value of the linear functional zzz at ξ\xiξ. Let Ξ⊆E\Xi\subseteq EΞ⊆E be the support set and ξ^1,…,ξ^N∈Ξ\hat\xi_1,\dots,\hat\xi_N\in\Xiξ^​1​,…,ξ^​N​∈Ξ the samples, with empirical distribution P^N=1N∑i=1Nδξ^i\widehat{\mathbb P}_N=\frac1N\sum_{i=1}^N\delta_{\hat\xi_i}PN​=N1​∑i=1N​δξ^​i​​.

The 1-Wasserstein distance between two distributions is the least transport cost ∫∥ξ−ξ′∥ Π(dξ,dξ′)\int\|\xi-\xi'\|\,\Pi(d\xi,d\xi')∫∥ξ−ξ′∥Π(dξ,dξ′) over all couplings Π\PiΠ with the given marginals. The Wasserstein ball Bε(P^N)\mathbb B_\varepsilon(\widehat{\mathbb P}_N)Bε​(PN​) is the set of probability distributions on Ξ\XiΞ within distance ε≥0\varepsilon\ge 0ε≥0 of P^N\widehat{\mathbb P}_NPN​.

The loss is a pointwise maximum ℓ(ξ)=max⁡k≤Kℓk(ξ)\ell(\xi)=\max_{k\le K}\ell_k(\xi)ℓ(ξ)=maxk≤K​ℓk​(ξ) of measurable functions ℓk:E→R‾=R∪{±∞}\ell_k:E\to\overline{\mathbb R}=\mathbb R\cup\{\pm\infty\}ℓk​:E→R=R∪{±∞}. Its expectation is EQ[ℓ]=EQ[max⁡{ℓ,0}]+EQ[min⁡{ℓ,0}]\mathbb E^{\mathbb Q}[\ell]=\mathbb E^{\mathbb Q}[\max\{\ell,0\}]+\mathbb E^{\mathbb Q}[\min\{\ell,0\}]EQ[ℓ]=EQ[max{ℓ,0}]+EQ[min{ℓ,0}] with ∞−∞=∞\infty-\infty=\infty∞−∞=∞. The worst-case expectation is

sup⁡Q∈Bε(P^N)EQ[ℓ(ξ)].(10)\sup_{\mathbb Q\in\mathbb B_\varepsilon(\widehat{\mathbb P}_N)}\mathbb E^{\mathbb Q}[\ell(\xi)].\tag{10}Q∈Bε​(PN​)sup​EQ[ℓ(ξ)].(10)

The conjugate of f:E→R‾f:E\to\overline{\mathbb R}f:E→R is f∗(z)=sup⁡ξ⟨z,ξ⟩−f(ξ)f^*(z)=\sup_\xi\langle z,\xi\rangle-f(\xi)f∗(z)=supξ​⟨z,ξ⟩−f(ξ), the characteristic function χΞ\chi_\XiχΞ​ is 000 on Ξ\XiΞ and +∞+\infty+∞ off it, and the support function is σΞ(z)=sup⁡ξ∈Ξ⟨z,ξ⟩\sigma_\Xi(z)=\sup_{\xi\in\Xi}\langle z,\xi\rangleσΞ​(z)=supξ∈Ξ​⟨z,ξ⟩. Assumption 4.1 requires Ξ\XiΞ to be convex and closed, each −ℓk-\ell_k−ℓk​ to be proper, convex and lower semicontinuous, and no ℓk\ell_kℓk​ to be identically −∞-\infty−∞ on Ξ\XiΞ.

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem 4.2 (convex reduction)

Under Assumption 4.1, for every ε≥0\varepsilon\ge0ε≥0, (10) equals

inf⁡λ,si,zik,νik λε+1N∑i=1Nsis.t.[−ℓk]∗(zik−νik)+σΞ(νik)−⟨zik,ξ^i⟩≤si,  ∥zik∥∗≤λ∀i,k.(11)\inf_{\lambda,s_i,z_{ik},\nu_{ik}}\ \lambda\varepsilon+\frac1N\sum_{i=1}^N s_i\quad\text{s.t.}\quad [-\ell_k]^*(z_{ik}-\nu_{ik})+\sigma_\Xi(\nu_{ik})-\langle z_{ik},\hat\xi_i\rangle\le s_i,\ \ \|z_{ik}\|_*\le\lambda\quad\forall i,k.\tag{11}λ,si​,zik​,νik​inf​ λε+N1​i=1∑N​si​s.t.[−ℓk​]∗(zik​−νik​)+σΞ​(νik​)−⟨zik​,ξ^​i​⟩≤si​,  ∥zik​∥∗​≤λ∀i,k.(11)

Milestones, in the order of the paper's proof

  1. (12a)–(12c). Without any convexity, (10) is at most the value of (12c): inf⁡{λε+1N∑isi: sup⁡ξ∈Ξ(ℓ(ξ)−λ∥ξ−ξ^i∥)≤si, λ≥0}\inf\{\lambda\varepsilon+\frac1N\sum_i s_i:\ \sup_{\xi\in\Xi}(\ell(\xi)-\lambda\|\xi-\hat\xi_i\|)\le s_i,\ \lambda\ge0\}inf{λε+N1​∑i​si​: supξ∈Ξ​(ℓ(ξ)−λ∥ξ−ξ^​i​∥)≤si​, λ≥0}.
  2. Corollary 4.3. Without Assumption 4.1, (10) is at most the value of (12f), the program with constraints [−ℓk+χΞ]∗(zik)−⟨zik,ξ^i⟩≤si[-\ell_k+\chi_\Xi]^*(z_{ik})-\langle z_{ik},\hat\xi_i\rangle\le s_i[−ℓk​+χΞ​]∗(zik​)−⟨zik​,ξ^​i​⟩≤si​ and ∥zik∥∗≤λ\|z_{ik}\|_*\le\lambda∥zik​∥∗​≤λ.
  3. (12a) is an equality for ε>0\varepsilon>0ε>0 under Assumption 4.1.
  4. The case ε=0\varepsilon=0ε=0. (10) is the sample average 1N∑iℓ(ξ^i)\frac1N\sum_i\ell(\hat\xi_i)N1​∑i​ℓ(ξ^​i​), the objective of (12b) converges to it as λ→∞\lambda\to\inftyλ→∞, and (12a) is again an equality.
  5. (12e) is an equality. For each constraint, sup⁡ξ∈Ξ(ℓk(ξ)−λ∥ξ−ξ^i∥)=min⁡∥z∥∗≤λsup⁡ξ∈Ξ(ℓk(ξ)−⟨z,ξ−ξ^i⟩)\sup_{\xi\in\Xi}(\ell_k(\xi)-\lambda\|\xi-\hat\xi_i\|)=\min_{\|z\|_*\le\lambda}\sup_{\xi\in\Xi}(\ell_k(\xi)-\langle z,\xi-\hat\xi_i\rangle)supξ∈Ξ​(ℓk​(ξ)−λ∥ξ−ξ^​i​∥)=min∥z∥∗​≤λ​supξ∈Ξ​(ℓk​(ξ)−⟨z,ξ−ξ^​i​⟩).
  6. (10) equals (12f) under Assumption 4.1.
  7. (12f) equals (11) under Assumption 4.1, as optimal values.

Significance

Theorem 4.2 is what makes Wasserstein distributionally robust optimization computable. Once the worst-case expectation is a convex program in (λ,s,z,ν)(\lambda,s,z,\nu)(λ,s,z,ν), minimizing over the decision xxx becomes one larger convex program. Section 5 of the paper derives linear and conic programs from it for piecewise affine losses, uncertainty quantification and two-stage problems. Theorem 4.4 of the same paper (mission II of this series) builds worst-case distributions from the same program. Corollary 4.3 gives a conservative convex bound for losses that are not piecewise concave.

The result is proved on paper; no machine-checked proof of it is known. A formal development needs a working theory of extended-valued conjugates, support functions and inf-convolution in a normed space, Kantorovich-type couplings of an empirical measure, and a minimax theorem over a compact dual ball. Each of these is reusable well beyond this paper.

Difficulty

The weak inequality, (10) ≤\le≤ (12f), is the elementary direction: integrate a pointwise bound against a near-optimal coupling. The difficulty lies in the two equalities. Equality in (12a) is strong duality for an infinite-dimensional moment problem whose loss may take the values ±∞\pm\infty±∞ and may be unbounded on an unbounded Ξ\XiΞ. A Slater point exists only for ε>0\varepsilon>0ε>0, so ε=0\varepsilon=0ε=0 needs a separate limit argument. The equality (12f) === (11) is subtle as well. The conjugate of −ℓk+χΞ-\ell_k+\chi_\Xi−ℓk​+χΞ​ is only the closure of the inf-convolution of [−ℓk]∗[-\ell_k]^*[−ℓk​]∗ and σΞ\sigma_\XiσΞ​, so the two constraint sets differ and only the optimal values agree. The paper's sentence "cl[f]≤0[f]\le 0[f]≤0 iff f≤0f\le0f≤0" is false pointwise and cannot be formalized as written.

Formalization scope

  • Space. EEE is a finite-dimensional real normed space with its Borel σ-algebra. The pairing ⟨z,ξ⟩\langle z,\xi\rangle⟨z,ξ⟩ is application of a continuous linear functional zzz, and ∥z∥∗\|z\|_*∥z∥∗​ is the operator norm. These choices keep the paper's arbitrary norm; §5 of the paper uses the 1- and ∞-norms.
  • Extended reals. Values are in EReal. Mathlib's EReal has ⊤+⊥=⊥\top+\bot=\bot⊤+⊥=⊥, whereas the paper has ∞−∞=∞\infty-\infty=\infty∞−∞=∞, so the expectation treats an infinite positive part separately, and [−ℓk+χΞ]∗(z)[-\ell_k+\chi_\Xi]^*(z)[−ℓk​+χΞ​]∗(z) is written as sup⁡ξ∈Ξ(⟨z,ξ⟩+ℓk(ξ))\sup_{\xi\in\Xi}(\langle z,\xi\rangle+\ell_k(\xi))supξ∈Ξ​(⟨z,ξ⟩+ℓk​(ξ)), with no addition at all. The one EReal sum, [−ℓk]∗+σΞ[-\ell_k]^*+\sigma_\Xi[−ℓk​]∗+σΞ​ in (11), never meets ⊤+⊥\top+\bot⊤+⊥ under Assumption 4.1.
  • Programs. Each optimal value is an infimum over a feasibility predicate with real epigraph variables, so an infeasible program has value +∞+\infty+∞.
  • Ball. The ball is the published WassersteinDRO.Duality.ambiguitySet with p=1p=1p=1 around empiricalDistribution. Its condition Q(Ξc)=0\mathbb Q(\Xi^{\mathrm c})=0Q(Ξc)=0 encodes Q∈M(Ξ)\mathbb Q\in\mathcal M(\Xi)Q∈M(Ξ). The finite first moment is automatic at finite distance from P^N\widehat{\mathbb P}_NPN​.
  • Standing assumptions. Every statement carries N≥1N\ge1N≥1, K≥1K\ge1K≥1, ξ^i∈Ξ\hat\xi_i\in\Xiξ^​i​∈Ξ (§2, p. 5) and measurability of each ℓk\ell_kℓk​ (p. 11). The radius condition is ε≥0\varepsilon\ge0ε≥0, or ε>0\varepsilon>0ε>0 in milestone 3.
  • Assumption 4.1. Convexity of −ℓk-\ell_k−ℓk​ is stated through its real epigraph, because ConvexOn cannot take an EReal codomain.
  • Not trivializable. The statements cannot be made vacuous by an empty ball, because the samples lie in Ξ\XiΞ. They cannot be trivialized by a junk expectation either: the expectation is not guarded by integrability, so a distribution with infinite expected loss makes (10) infinite, exactly as in the paper.

Welcome contributions are reusable lemmas on EReal-valued conjugates and support functions, the decomposition of a coupling with an empirical marginal into conditional distributions, the dual-norm identity max⁡∥z∥∗≤λ⟨z,v⟩=λ∥v∥\max_{\|z\|_*\le\lambda}\langle z,v\rangle=\lambda\|v\|max∥z∥∗​≤λ​⟨z,v⟩=λ∥v∥, and a Sion-type minimax theorem.

Selected references

  • P. Mohajerin Esfahani, D. Kuhn, Data-driven distributionally robust optimization using the Wasserstein metric: performance guarantees and tractable reformulations, arXiv:1505.05116v3, 2017; Math. Program. 171 (2018) 115–166. https://arxiv.org/abs/1505.05116v3
  • A. Shapiro, On duality theory of conic linear problems, in M. A. Goberna, M. A. López (eds.), Semi-Infinite Programming, Kluwer, 2001.
  • R. T. Rockafellar, R. J.-B. Wets, Variational Analysis, Springer, 2010 (Theorem 11.23(a), p. 493).
  • D. P. Bertsekas, Convex Optimization Theory, Athena Scientific, 2009 (Proposition 5.5.4).
  • G. Ch. Pflug, A. Pichler, Multistage Stochastic Optimization, Springer, 2014.
  • G. Ch. Pflug, D. Wozabal, Ambiguity in portfolio selection, Quantitative Finance 7 (2007) 435–442.
  • R. Gao, A. J. Kleywegt, Distributionally robust stochastic optimization with Wasserstein distance, arXiv:1604.02199, 2016. https://arxiv.org/abs/1604.02199
  • J. Blanchet, K. Murthy, Quantifying distributional model risk via optimal transport, arXiv:1604.01446, 2016. https://arxiv.org/abs/1604.01446
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Dynamic ProgrammingLinear OptimizationOperations Research+1·Captain: mikedeng1

On the Convergence of Stochastic Dual Dynamic Programming and Related Methods: DOASA Reaches an Optimal Policy in Finitely Many Iterations Almost SurelyResearch Paper

Motivation

Stochastic dual dynamic programming (SDDP), introduced by Pereira and Pinto in 1991, is the standard method for multistage stochastic linear programs with many stages, such as hydro-thermal scheduling and long-term energy planning. It approximates each stage's expected future cost from below by the maximum of finitely many linear functions (cuts), built from LP dual solutions at sampled states, and alternates a forward simulation pass with a backward cut-generation pass. Practitioners stop the method when a simulated upper bound is close to the lower bound C1kC^k_1C1k​. Whether this procedure converges at all is the question of this mission.

Timeline:

  • 1991: Pereira and Pinto publish SDDP, with no convergence proof.
  • 1999: Chen and Powell prove almost-sure convergence for CUPPS; Linowsky and Philpott (2005) extend the argument to SDDP, AND and ReSa. Both proofs rely on an unstated independence assumption between sampled outcomes and convergent subsequences of iterates.
  • 2008: Philpott and Guan (Oper. Res. Lett. 36(4), 450–455) give a proof based on the finiteness of the set of distinct cut coefficients, for a class they call DOASA (Dynamic Outer Approximation Sampling Algorithms).
  • Later work (Shapiro 2011; Girardeau, Leclère and Philpott 2015) extends convergence to convex nonlinear and continuous settings.

Setting

There are T≥2T\ge2T≥2 stages. Stage ttt has a decision xt≥0x_t\ge0xt​≥0 in Rnt\mathbb R^{n_t}Rnt​, costs ctc_tct​, a matrix AtA_tAt​ and, for t≤T−1t\le T-1t≤T−1, a matrix BtB_tBt​ coupling xtx_txt​ to the next stage. At stage 111 the constraint is A1x1=b1A_1x_1=b_1A1​x1​=b1​. For 2≤t≤T2\le t\le T2≤t≤T the right-hand side is random: Atxt=ωt−Bt−1xt−1A_tx_t=\omega_t-B_{t-1}x_{t-1}At​xt​=ωt​−Bt−1​xt−1​, where ωt\omega_tωt​ takes values ωt1,…,ωtqt\omega_{t1},\dots,\omega_{tq_t}ωt1​,…,ωtqt​​ with probabilities pti>0p_{ti}>0pti​>0, independently across stages. The expected cost-to-go is defined backwards from QT+1≡0\mathcal Q_{T+1}\equiv0QT+1​≡0:

Qt(xt−1,ωti)=min⁡{ct⊤xt+Qt+1(xt):Atxt=ωti−Bt−1xt−1, xt≥0},Qt=∑iptiQt(⋅,ωti),Q_t(x_{t-1},\omega_{ti})=\min\{c_t^\top x_t+\mathcal Q_{t+1}(x_t):A_tx_t=\omega_{ti}-B_{t-1}x_{t-1},\ x_t\ge0\},\qquad \mathcal Q_t=\sum_i p_{ti}Q_t(\cdot,\omega_{ti}),Qt​(xt−1​,ωti​)=min{ct⊤​xt​+Qt+1​(xt​):At​xt​=ωti​−Bt−1​xt−1​, xt​≥0},Qt​=i∑​pti​Qt​(⋅,ωti​),

and Q1=min⁡{c1⊤x1+Q2(x1):A1x1=b1,x1≥0}Q_1=\min\{c_1^\top x_1+\mathcal Q_2(x_1):A_1x_1=b_1,x_1\ge0\}Q1​=min{c1⊤​x1​+Q2​(x1​):A1​x1​=b1​,x1​≥0} is the problem [LP1]. Assumption (A4) says every stage problem met along the way has a nonempty, bounded feasible region.

The approximate problem [APtk_t^ktk​] replaces Qt+1\mathcal Q_{t+1}Qt+1​ by max⁡j{αt+1,j−(βt+1j)⊤xt}\max_j\{\alpha_{t+1,j}-(\beta^j_{t+1})^\top x_t\}maxj​{αt+1,j​−(βt+1j​)⊤xt​} over the cuts generated before iteration kkk; its value is CtkC^k_tCtk​. A scenario fixes one outcome per stage 2,…,T−12,\dots,T-12,…,T−1. Each DOASA iteration (i) samples one forward scenario ωk\omega^kωk and solves [APtk_t^ktk​] along it, giving states xtkx^k_txtk​; (ii) for t=T,…,2t=T,\dots,2t=T,…,2 runs the Cut Calculation Algorithm (CCA): it solves [APtk_t^ktk​] at xt−1kx^k_{t-1}xt−1k​ for the outcomes in a backward sample Ωtk\Omega^k_tΩtk​, stores optimal extreme-point dual solutions (π,ρ)(\pi,\rho)(π,ρ) in a collection Dt\mathcal D_tDt​, picks for every outcome the best stored dual, and averages them into a new cut on θt\theta_tθt​. DOASA-N instead traverses a fixed list of NNN scenarios in every iteration.

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem 4 under the joint sampling property J

If, with probability 1, every scenario prefix is followed by the forward pass jointly with each outcome being in the backward sample infinitely often (property J), then with probability 1 every DOASA run has an iteration KKK after which the cuts no longer change, the policy xˉ\bar xxˉ they induce is optimal for [LP1], and

C1K=Q1.C^K_1=Q_1 .C1K​=Q1​.

Milestones

  • Monotonicity (p. 4): Ctk+1≥CtkC^{k+1}_t\ge C^k_tCtk+1​≥Ctk​ and C1k+1≥C1kC^{k+1}_1\ge C^k_1C1k+1​≥C1k​.
  • Lower bound (p. 4): every cut is valid, so Ctk≤QtC^k_t\le Q_tCtk​≤Qt​ and C1k≤Q1C^k_1\le Q_1C1k​≤Q1​.
  • Lemma 1 (p. 6): the set Gtk\mathcal G^k_tGtk​ of distinct generated cuts is bounded in size and eventually constant.
  • Lemma 2 (p. 10): DOASA-N stops changing after finitely many iterations, with lim⁡kC1k≤Q1\lim_kC^k_1\le Q_1limk​C1k​≤Q1​.
  • Lemma 3 (p. 10): DOASA-N over all scenarios, with backward sampling infinitely often per scenario, converges almost surely to an optimal policy.

Significance

The theorem justifies SDDP, AND, ReSa and CUPPS as exact methods: on a finite scenario tree, sampling-based cutting-plane schemes reach an optimal policy and a tight lower bound after finitely many iterations, almost surely. The finiteness argument (Lemma 1) is the template for later finite-convergence proofs of SDDP variants.

The paper's proofs are informal. No part of this development is machine-checked, and the printed statement of Theorem 4 is false (see below), so a formal proof also settles exactly which sampling hypothesis is enough. The finite-cut lemma and the cut-validity milestone are reusable for any Benders-type multistage method.

Difficulty

The obvious argument goes: cut sets stabilize (Lemma 1), and every scenario and every outcome is sampled infinitely often, so the limiting cuts must be exact. The last step fails. A cut at a state is exact only if, for every outcome, a dual that is optimal at that state has been collected. Sampling the forward scenario and the backward outcomes infinitely often, but separately, does not ensure this. Lemma 1 itself is also delicate: the dual vectors ρ\rhoρ grow in dimension with kkk, so the collection of extreme-point duals can be infinite even though the cut coefficients take finitely many values. The algorithm's choices (extreme-point duals, ties among best duals) must be handled for every run, not for a convenient one.

Formalization scope

Stages are numbered 1,…,T1,\dots,T1,…,T with variable dimensions per stage. B t is the paper's BtB_tBt​, the matrix multiplying xtx_txt​ in stage t+1t+1t+1. Value functions are real infima, used only on reachable states. Iterations are numbered from 000 in Lean. Explicit choices, each recorded in the item statements:

  • The J correction. The paper states Theorem 4 under FPSP and BPSP. These do not suffice. In a three-stage instance whose last-stage backward sample is {c}\{c\}{c} after forward outcome aaa and {d}\{d\}{d} after bbb, alternating, both properties hold but the cuts stabilize at a suboptimal policy with C1kC^k_1C1k​ below Q1Q_1Q1​. The goal is stated under J, which implies FPSP and BPSP and holds for the schemes the paper names. Lemma 3's BPSP is read per scenario of DOASA-N.
  • Initial cut. The paper's trivial cut θt+1≥−∞\theta_{t+1}\ge-\inftyθt+1​≥−∞ makes [APt1_t^1t1​] unbounded; it is replaced by a finite cut θt+1≥Lt\theta_{t+1}\ge L_tθt+1​≥Lt​ assumed valid on reachable states. Stage TTT uses the exact cut θT+1≥0\theta_{T+1}\ge0θT+1​≥0.
  • (A4) is required on reachable states only.
  • The LP solver is a deterministic oracle on cut sets returning optimal solutions of [APt_tt​], so repeated cuts do not change forward solutions.
  • Duals. Collected duals are optimal extreme points of the dual region; best duals are chosen with arbitrary tie-breaks. No cut is added while the dual collection is empty. Dual multipliers ρ\rhoρ are sequences padded with zeros.
  • Runs are relations covering DOASA and DOASA-N (batched forward scenarios). The conclusions hold for every run consistent with the samples, inside the almost-sure quantifier.

A trivializing encoding, in which cuts are arbitrary valid hyperplanes, duals are taken for all outcomes, or the sampling hypotheses directly assume exactness of the cuts, is ruled out: the run relation transcribes CCA steps 1–3 as printed.

A complete development needs LP weak and strong duality (published on the platform as LinearOptimization.lp_weak_duality and LinearOptimization.lp_strong_duality, in their own encoding), finiteness of the set of extreme points of a polyhedron, and the almost-sure intersection of finitely many events (Mathlib). Contributions to any milestone, to the proof that J holds for independent sampling, and to the counterexample showing FPSP and BPSP are insufficient are welcome.

Selected references

  • A. B. Philpott, Z. Guan, On the convergence of stochastic dual dynamic programming and related methods, Oper. Res. Lett. 36(4) (2008) 450–455. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.orl.2008.01.013 (cited from the authors' manuscript v24, 2008-02-25)
  • M. V. F. Pereira, L. M. V. G. Pinto, Multi-stage stochastic optimization applied to energy planning, Math. Program. 52 (1991) 359–375. https://doi.org/10.1007/BF01582895
  • Z.-L. Chen, W. B. Powell, Convergent cutting-plane and partial-sampling algorithm for multistage stochastic linear programs with recourse, J. Optim. Theory Appl. 102 (1999) 497–524. https://doi.org/10.1023/A:1022641805263
  • A. Shapiro, Analysis of stochastic dual dynamic programming method, European J. Oper. Res. 209 (2011) 63–72. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ejor.2010.08.007
  • P. Girardeau, V. Leclère, A. B. Philpott, On the convergence of decomposition methods for multistage stochastic convex programs, Math. Oper. Res. 40(1) (2015) 130–145. https://doi.org/10.1287/moor.2014.0664
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ProbabilityStatistics·Captain: mikedeng1

Poisson Approximation for Dependent Trials 2: For φ-Mixing Bernoulli Trials, an Order-λ⁻¹ Bound on |Eh(W) − 𝒫_λh| in Var W − λ + 2(2m+1)Σp_i² and nφ(m+1)Research Paper

Motivation

The number of successes in many rare trials is approximately Poisson. For independent trials the quality of that approximation was quantified by Le Cam in 1960: if X1,…,XnX_1,\dots,X_nX1​,…,Xn​ are independent Bernoulli variables with P(Xi=1)=piP(X_i=1)=p_iP(Xi​=1)=pi​, W=∑iXiW=\sum_i X_iW=∑i​Xi​ and λ=∑ipi\lambda=\sum_i p_iλ=∑i​pi​, the total variation distance between the law of WWW and the Poisson law with mean λ\lambdaλ is bounded by a constant multiple of ∑ipi2\sum_i p_i^2∑i​pi2​, and by a constant multiple of λ−1∑ipi2\lambda^{-1}\sum_i p_i^2λ−1∑i​pi2​ when λ≥1\lambda\ge 1λ≥1. Many applications have dependent trials: occurrences of a pattern in a sequence, exceedances of a high level by a stationary process, failures in a system with local interactions. L. H. Y. Chen's 1975 paper extended Charles Stein's method of normal approximation to the Poisson case and obtained explicit bounds for dependent trials. The approach became known as the Stein–Chen method, and is now the standard tool for Poisson approximation of dependent counts.

Timeline.

  • 1960. Le Cam proves the independent-trial bounds (0.1)–(0.3) of Chen's introduction.
  • 1964. Kerstan extends them to independent nonnegative integer variables and improves the constant in (0.3).
  • 1970. Stein introduces his method of normal approximation for dependent variables.
  • 1975. Chen (Ann. Probab. 3) adapts it to Poisson approximation. He proves Theorems 4.1–4.4 for sequences satisfying Ibragimov's mixing condition, the mmm-dependent case, and a second-order expansion for independent trials.

This mission formalizes the order-λ−1\lambda^{-1}λ−1 bound of that paper, Theorem 4.2.

Setting

Let (Ω,F,P)(\Omega,\mathcal F,P)(Ω,F,P) be a probability space and let X1,…,XnX_1,\dots,X_nX1​,…,Xn​ be Bernoulli trials: random variables with values in {0,1}\{0,1\}{0,1} and pi=P(Xi=1)p_i=P(X_i=1)pi​=P(Xi​=1). Following the paper, set Xi≡0X_i\equiv0Xi​≡0 for i≤0i\le0i≤0 and i≥n+1i\ge n+1i≥n+1. Put

W=∑i=1nXi,λ=∑i=1npi.W=\sum_{i=1}^nX_i,\qquad \lambda=\sum_{i=1}^np_i .W=i=1∑n​Xi​,λ=i=1∑n​pi​.

For a bounded real function hhh on the nonnegative integers, the Poisson expectation is

Pλh=e−λ∑k=0∞h(k)λkk!,\mathcal P_\lambda h=e^{-\lambda}\sum_{k=0}^\infty h(k)\frac{\lambda^k}{k!},Pλ​h=e−λk=0∑∞​h(k)k!λk​,

the mean of hhh under the Poisson law with parameter λ\lambdaλ. The quantity of interest is ∣Eh(W)−Pλh∣|Eh(W)-\mathcal P_\lambda h|∣Eh(W)−Pλ​h∣ for all hhh with ∣h∣≤1|h|\le1∣h∣≤1. Its supremum over such hhh is twice the total variation distance between the law of WWW and the Poisson law.

Dependence is measured by Ibragimov's mixing condition (4.1). Let Ma,b=σ(Xi:a≤i≤b)\mathcal M_{a,b}=\sigma(X_i:a\le i\le b)Ma,b​=σ(Xi​:a≤i≤b). There must be a non-increasing sequence φ(k)↓0\varphi(k)\downarrow0φ(k)↓0 such that for all j,k≥1j,k\ge1j,k≥1 and every event B∈Mj+k,∞B\in\mathcal M_{j+k,\infty}B∈Mj+k,∞​,

∣P(B∣M1j)−P(B)∣≤φ(k)almost surely.|P(B\mid\mathcal M_{1j})-P(B)|\le\varphi(k)\quad\text{almost surely}.∣P(B∣M1j​)−P(B)∣≤φ(k)almost surely.

A sequence is mmm-dependent when (X1,…,Xr)(X_1,\dots,X_r)(X1​,…,Xr​) and (Xr+k,… )(X_{r+k},\dots)(Xr+k​,…) are independent for all k>mk>mk>m. It then satisfies (4.1) with φ(k)=0\varphi(k)=0φ(k)=0 for k>mk>mk>m.

The proof works with the partial sums V(i)=∑∣k−i∣>mXkV^{(i)}=\sum_{|k-i|>m}X_kV(i)=∑∣k−i∣>m​Xk​, V(i,j)=∑∣k−i∣>m,∣k−j∣>mXkV^{(i,j)}=\sum_{|k-i|>m,|k-j|>m}X_kV(i,j)=∑∣k−i∣>m,∣k−j∣>m​Xk​, Yij=V(i)+∑k=i−mjXkY_{ij}=V^{(i)}+\sum_{k=i-m}^jX_kYij​=V(i)+∑k=i−mj​Xk​ and Yij′=V(i)+∑k=i−m,k≠ijXkY'_{ij}=V^{(i)}+\sum_{k=i-m,k\ne i}^jX_kYij′​=V(i)+∑k=i−m,k=ij​Xk​. It also uses the Stein solution SλhS_\lambda hSλ​h, the solution for w≥1w\ge1w≥1 of wf(w)−λf(w+1)=h(w)−Pλhwf(w)-\lambda f(w+1)=h(w)-\mathcal P_\lambda hwf(w)−λf(w+1)=h(w)−Pλ​h.

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem 4.2, (4.13)

For every m=0,1,2,…m=0,1,2,\dotsm=0,1,2,… and every hhh with ∣h∣≤1|h|\le1∣h∣≤1,

∣Eh(W)−Pλh∣≤2λ−1[8m+5+4(nφ(m+1))1/2][Var⁡(W)−λ+2(2m+1)∑i=1npi2]+32[6m+3+(nφ(m+1))1/2]nφ(m+1).|Eh(W)-\mathcal P_\lambda h|\le2\lambda^{-1}\bigl[8m+5+4(n\varphi(m+1))^{1/2}\bigr]\Bigl[\operatorname{Var}(W)-\lambda+2(2m+1)\sum_{i=1}^np_i^2\Bigr]+32\bigl[6m+3+(n\varphi(m+1))^{1/2}\bigr]n\varphi(m+1).∣Eh(W)−Pλ​h∣≤2λ−1[8m+5+4(nφ(m+1))1/2][Var(W)−λ+2(2m+1)i=1∑n​pi2​]+32[6m+3+(nφ(m+1))1/2]nφ(m+1).

The bound involves only the law of WWW through Var⁡(W)\operatorname{Var}(W)Var(W), the success probabilities, the window mmm and the mixing rate. The window mmm is free, so the statement covers every trade-off between local dependence and mixing.

Consequences (companion items)

  • Theorem 4.3, (4.21). For mmm-dependent trials, ∣Eh(W)−Pλh∣≤2(8m+5)λ−1[∑∑i≠jCov⁡(Xi,Xj)+(4m+1)∑pi2]|Eh(W)-\mathcal P_\lambda h|\le2(8m+5)\lambda^{-1}\bigl[\sum\sum_{i\ne j}\operatorname{Cov}(X_i,X_j)+(4m+1)\sum p_i^2\bigr]∣Eh(W)−Pλ​h∣≤2(8m+5)λ−1[∑∑i=j​Cov(Xi​,Xj​)+(4m+1)∑pi2​].
  • Corollary 4.1, (4.23). For independent trials, ∣Eh(W)−Pλh∣≤10λ−1∑pi2|Eh(W)-\mathcal P_\lambda h|\le10\lambda^{-1}\sum p_i^2∣Eh(W)−Pλ​h∣≤10λ−1∑pi2​. This improves Le Cam's (0.3).
  • Theorem 4.4. For identically distributed trials with φ(m)=e−αm\varphi(m)=e^{-\alpha m}φ(m)=e−αm, there are bounds (4.24) and (4.25) whose constants depend only on α\alphaα.

Milestones

The milestones follow the paper's proof:

  • the basic identity (2.2), the Stein solution (2.5) and the expansion (2.6);
  • the bounds on SλhS_\lambda hSλ​h: Lemmas 3.1–3.3, (3.6) and Lemma 3.5;
  • the mixing inequalities, Lemmas 4.1–4.3 and 4.6;
  • the variance bound, Lemma 4.4;
  • the four displays (4.14) and (4.16)–(4.19) of the proof of Theorem 4.2;
  • Cauchy–Schwarz (4.10) and Lemma 4.5.

Significance

Theorem 4.2 gives an error of order λ−1\lambda^{-1}λ−1 times the excess variance Var⁡(W)−λ+O(m∑pi2)\operatorname{Var}(W)-\lambda+O(m\sum p_i^2)Var(W)−λ+O(m∑pi2​), plus a mixing remainder. When the trials are nearly uncorrelated, Var⁡(W)≈λ\operatorname{Var}(W)\approx\lambdaVar(W)≈λ and the bound is small even though λ\lambdaλ is large. This is the regime where the companion Theorem 4.1, which carries a factor min⁡(λ−1/2,1)\min(\lambda^{-1/2},1)min(λ−1/2,1), is weaker. The independent case recovers Le Cam's order λ−1∑pi2\lambda^{-1}\sum p_i^2λ−1∑pi2​ with constant 10. The mmm-dependent case gives explicit Poisson limit theorems for scan statistics and pattern counts.

All results of the paper are proved there, and the proofs are elementary apart from the measure theory of Lemma 4.1. To our knowledge none of them has a machine-checked proof. Mathlib has the Poisson distribution and conditional expectation, but no Stein–Chen bound and no mixing inequality of Ibragimov's type. A formal proof would give the first checked quantitative Poisson approximation for dependent trials. It would also give reusable covariance inequalities for φ\varphiφ-mixing sequences (Lemmas 4.2 and 4.3).

Difficulty

Most of the work is bookkeeping, and it is heavy. Identity (2.2) needs a telescoping over windows [i−m,j][i-m,j][i−m,j] whose ends can fall outside [1,n][1,n][1,n]. (4.15)–(4.18) need ∣Yi,j−1′+1−λ∣|Y'_{i,j-1}+1-\lambda|∣Yi,j−1′​+1−λ∣ to be compared with ∣V(i,j)−EV(i,j)∣|V^{(i,j)}-EV^{(i,j)}|∣V(i,j)−EV(i,j)∣ with explicit constants.

The genuinely probabilistic step is the decoupling of Lemma 4.2. Condition (4.1) controls conditional probabilities of events. Lemma 4.2 needs a bound on conditional expectations of functions of a whole random vector. Passing from one to the other requires a regular conditional distribution that is uniformly close to the unconditional law on a set of full measure (Lemma 4.1). The naive route, applying (4.1) to each level set of a simple function, loses a factor that grows with the number of levels and does not give the constant 2∥f∥2\|f\|2∥f∥.

The bound (4.16) applies Lemma 4.4 to a subsequence of the trials. This uses the fact that dropping variables preserves (4.1) with the same φ\varphiφ, because φ\varphiφ is non-increasing.

Formalization scope

  • Trials. The trials are a map X:N→Ω→NX:\mathbb N\to\Omega\to\mathbb NX:N→Ω→N that is measurable, vanishes at index 000 and above nnn, and is at most 111 almost surely. The constant padding adds nothing to any σ\sigmaσ-algebra, so (4.1), mmm-dependence and independence of the padded sequence are those of X1,…,XnX_1,\dots,X_nX1​,…,Xn​.
  • Probabilities and moments. pip_ipi​ is defined as P(Xi=1)P(X_i=1)P(Xi​=1), not taken as a parameter. Var⁡\operatorname{Var}Var and Cov⁡\operatorname{Cov}Cov are Mathlib's. All integrands are almost surely bounded, so no integrability hypotheses are needed.
  • Norms. Sup norms are replaced by bounds MMM with ∣h∣≤M|h|\le M∣h∣≤M. ∥Sλh∥\|S_\lambda h\|∥Sλ​h∥ ranges over w≥1w\ge1w≥1.
  • Mixing condition. In (4.1) the conditional probability is the conditional expectation of the indicator, and lags are k≥1k\ge1k≥1.
  • Added hypotheses. The §3 lemmas and (2.6), (4.14) assume λ>0\lambda>0λ>0, because they divide by λ\lambdaλ. The goal and the companions do not assume it: at λ=0\lambda=0λ=0 all pip_ipi​ vanish, W=0W=0W=0 almost surely, and both sides are 000 under Lean's convention 0−1=00^{-1}=00−1=0.
  • Lemmas 4.2 and 4.3. They are stated for an arbitrary measurable real sequence satisfying (4.1), as on the page. The independent copy Z′Z'Z′ is expressed through the law of ZZZ.
  • Theorem 4.4. Its constants are quantified before the probability space, nnn and the trials. This is what "depend only on α\alphaα" means.

A trivializing formalization is ruled out. Measurability of the trials is part of the definition, because otherwise conditional expectations in (4.1) collapse to 000. The goal mentions only WWW, λ\lambdaλ, pip_ipi​, Var⁡(W)\operatorname{Var}(W)Var(W), φ\varphiφ, mmm and hhh. It does not mention SλhS_\lambda hSλ​h or any milestone quantity.

A complete development needs the Stein solution and its bounds, a Bernoulli-sum calculus over integer windows, regular conditional distributions on standard Borel spaces, and the mixing covariance inequalities. The last two are reusable beyond this mission. Contributions to any milestone are welcome, as are alternative proofs of Lemma 4.2 through Mathlib's condDistrib.

Selected references

  • L. H. Y. Chen, Poisson approximation for dependent trials, Annals of Probability 3(3):534–545, 1975. https://doi.org/10.1214/aop/1176996359
  • L. Le Cam, An approximation theorem for the Poisson binomial distribution, Pacific Journal of Mathematics 10(4):1181–1197, 1960. https://doi.org/10.2140/pjm.1960.10.1181
  • C. Stein, A bound for the error in the normal approximation to the distribution of a sum of dependent random variables, Proc. Sixth Berkeley Symp. Math. Statist. Probab. 2:583–602, 1972. https://projecteuclid.org/euclid.bsmsp/1200514239
  • I. A. Ibragimov, Some limit theorems for stationary processes, Theory of Probability and its Applications 7(4):349–382, 1962. https://doi.org/10.1137/1107036
  • A. D. Barbour, L. Holst, S. Janson, Poisson Approximation, Oxford University Press, 1992. ISBN 978-0-19-852235-9
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Efficient Monte Carlo Procedures for Generating Points Uniformly Distributed over Bounded Regions 1: Symmetric Mixing Algorithms Converge to the Uniform Distribution from Every Starting PointResearch Paper

Motivation

Sampling uniformly from a bounded region can be difficult when direct transformation of a familiar random variable is unavailable and rejection sampling spends most of its trials outside the region. Robert L. Smith studied procedures that move within the region: from the current point, choose a direction, form the line set through that point inside the region, and choose the next point uniformly on that line set. The resulting sequence is a homogeneous Markov chain. The Random Directions Algorithm, later commonly called hit-and-run, is a central instance of this construction. Smith's 1984 paper establishes conditions under which the chain approaches the uniform distribution even when its initial point is fixed rather than sampled uniformly (Smith 1984, pp. 1298–1301).

For simulation, the initial point is usually chosen because it is known to be feasible. The question is therefore whether the distribution after many moves forgets that particular choice. A stationary distribution alone does not answer this: stationarity describes what happens if the chain already starts with that distribution. Smith's Theorem 2 gives the stronger, pointwise starting-state statement for the class of symmetric mixing algorithms satisfying his two regularity assumptions (Smith 1984, p. 1301).

Setting

Let SSS be the state region and VVV its finite, nonzero content measure. In Smith's geometric setting, SSS is a bounded kkk-dimensional measurable region in Rn\mathbb R^nRn, and VVV is kkk-dimensional content; at k=0k=0k=0, content is counting measure. A Markov transition kernel PPP assigns to every current point x∈Sx\in Sx∈S a probability P(x,A)P(x,A)P(x,A) of entering a measurable set A⊆SA\subseteq SA⊆S on the next move. For the associated chain (X0,X1,…)(X_0,X_1,\ldots)(X0​,X1​,…), the mmm-step transition probability is Pm(x,A)=P(Xm∈A∣X0=x)P^m(x,A)=\mathbb P(X_m\in A\mid X_0=x)Pm(x,A)=P(Xm​∈A∣X0​=x).

The uniform law is λ(A)=V(A)/V(S)\lambda(A)=V(A)/V(S)λ(A)=V(A)/V(S). Smith's Assumption (a) gives a measurable transition density f(y∣x)f(y\mid x)f(y∣x) relative to VVV:

P(x,A)=∫Af(y∣x) V(dy).P(x,A)=\int_A f(y\mid x)\,V(dy).P(x,A)=∫A​f(y∣x)V(dy).

For a symmetric mixing algorithm, the paper states that this density satisfies f(y∣x)=f(x∣y)f(y\mid x)=f(x\mid y)f(y∣x)=f(x∣y) for all x,y∈Sx,y\in Sx,y∈S. Assumption (b) says f(y∣x)>0f(y\mid x)>0f(y∣x)>0 for all such pairs. These are pointwise conditions, including states of zero VVV-measure. A nonempty measurable set AAA is closed if P(x,A)=1P(x,A)=1P(x,A)=1 for every x∈Ax\in Ax∈A. The chain is indecomposable in the paper's sense when it has no two disjoint closed sets (Smith 1984, pp. 1299–1300).

Formalization targets

Stationarity and indecomposability

Lemma 1 asserts that λ\lambdaλ is stationary: λ(A)=∫SP(x,A) λ(dx)\lambda(A)=\int_S P(x,A)\,\lambda(dx)λ(A)=∫S​P(x,A)λ(dx) for every measurable AAA. Lemma 2 excludes two disjoint closed sets. Both are direct prerequisites of the goal. Smith's Theorem 1 also establishes uniqueness of the stationary distribution and almost-sure convergence of empirical visit frequencies under a stationary start; it is described in the source, but its trajectory-level formalization is outside this proposal (Smith 1984, p. 1300).

Convergence from every starting point

The mission goal is Smith's Theorem 2. For every x∈Sx\in Sx∈S and every measurable A⊆SA\subseteq SA⊆S,

lim⁡m→∞Pm(x,A)=λ(A).\lim_{m\to\infty}P^m(x,A)=\lambda(A).m→∞lim​Pm(x,A)=λ(A).

This is the paper's explicit meaning of strongly mixing. The milestone list also records the proof's stated nonperiodicity condition: for every n≥2n\ge2n≥2, the nnn-step transition law has no two disjoint closed sets. It is a target in its own right because it concerns all higher-step kernels, not only the one-step chain (Smith 1984, p. 1301).

Significance

Theorem 2 makes the uniform law the limiting distribution of the sample at time mmm, for any fixed feasible initial point. The paper's Theorem 1 supplies a different guarantee about long-run empirical frequencies under a stationary start, although it is not a target of this proposal. Smith later specializes the framework to the Random Directions Algorithm and gives a quantitative rate under additional geometric conditions; that rate is the subject of the companion mission (Smith 1984, pp. 1303–1304).

These results are proved in the paper but the declarations in this proposal are theorem statements with sorry, not machine-checked proofs. A completed formalization would turn the paper's measure-theoretic claims into reusable statements about general measurable state spaces and kernels. The normalized content law, the density interface, and closed-set predicate can be reused when studying other Monte Carlo kernels with the same hypotheses.

Difficulty

The main obstacle is the jump from stationary behavior to convergence from every starting point. Symmetry identifies the candidate stationary law, and strict positivity limits how the chain can split into closed parts, but neither sentence by itself establishes the claimed limit of Pm(x,A)P^m(x,A)Pm(x,A). The distinction matters especially at starting points in VVV-null sets: an almost-everywhere starting-state result would leave out precisely the universal claim in Theorem 2. The paper appeals to a general-state Markov-chain convergence result for this step (Smith 1984, p. 1301).

Formalization scope

Lean uses a measurable type α\alphaα as the whole region SSS, a finite measure VVV with V(S)≠0V(S)\ne0V(S)=0, a Markov kernel PPP, and an extended-nonnegative density f:α→α→R≥0∞f:\alpha\to\alpha\to\mathbb R_{\ge0}^{\infty}f:α→α→R≥0∞​. The density is jointly measurable and is linked to PPP by the integral identity above; symmetry is pointwise, and positivity is added only for Lemma 2 and Theorems 1–2. This abstract representation retains the hypotheses those results use without fixing a particular Euclidean dimension. It covers the counting-content case as well as continuous content, although it does not construct the geometric direction-and-chord algorithm. The Random Directions kernel belongs to the companion mission.

The uniform law is normalized by V(S)V(S)V(S). Finiteness and nonzero total content prevent a meaningless inverse or an empty probability space. The mmm-step law is the published MarkovChainCLT.iterKernel. Theorem 2 quantifies over every xxx, rather than λ\lambdaλ-almost every xxx, and uses setwise convergence on each measurable AAA. No invariance, uniqueness, minorization, or convergence premise is added to the goal. Detaching fff from PPP would empty out the substantive assertion. Formal contributions can target the density-to-invariance argument, the closed-set conditions, and the general-state convergence theorem needed for the goal. The paper's separate pathwise Theorem 1 remains an appropriate later extension.

Selected references

  • Robert L. Smith, Efficient Monte Carlo Procedures for Generating Points Uniformly Distributed over Bounded Regions, Operations Research 32(6), 1296–1308, 1984. DOI: 10.1287/opre.32.6.1296.
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Optimal Auction Design: Giving the Object to a Bidder with the Highest Priority Level c̄ᵢ(tᵢ) ≥ t₀ and Charging (6.8) Is an Optimal Auction MechanismResearch Paper

Motivation

A seller with one indivisible object must decide whether to keep it or transfer it to one of several bidders whose values she does not observe. The allocation and the payment rule affect what bidders choose to report. Myerson's 1981 paper identifies a revenue-maximizing rule when bidders' private value estimates are independent, their densities are positive, and their valuations may be revised after learning other bidders' information. It covers value distributions for which the usual virtual-value rule is not monotone, by replacing each bidder's virtual value with an ironed priority level.

The question matters to auction design because a pointwise revenue-maximizing assignment can reward a bidder for understating a value. The seller must maximize expected utility subject to both incentive compatibility and each bidder's ability to decline participation. The paper's main theorem gives a specific allocation and payment pair that meets those constraints and attains the maximum. The result is proved in the source; this mission asks for a machine-checked formalization of it.

Setting

There is a finite nonempty set NNN of bidders and one seller. Bidder iii has a value estimate tit_iti​ in a finite interval [ai,bi][a_i,b_i][ai​,bi​], where ai<bia_i<b_iai​<bi​; endpoints may be negative and may differ between bidders. The continuous density fif_ifi​ is strictly positive on that interval and has total integral one. The bidders' estimates are independent, so a profile t=(ti)i∈Nt=(t_i)_{i\in N}t=(ti​)i∈N​ has density f(t)=∏ifi(ti)f(t)=\prod_i f_i(t_i)f(t)=∏i​fi​(ti​) on T=∏i[ai,bi]T=\prod_i[a_i,b_i]T=∏i​[ai​,bi​]. Write Fi(s)=∫aisfi(u) duF_i(s)=\int_{a_i}^{s}f_i(u)\,duFi​(s)=∫ai​s​fi​(u)du for the distribution function. The seller's known value for keeping the object is t0t_0t0​.

A revision effect ej(tj)e_j(t_j)ej​(tj​) describes the change in everyone else's valuation after bidder jjj's estimate becomes known. Bidder iii's revised value is vi(t)=ti+∑j≠iej(tj)v_i(t)=t_i+\sum_{j\ne i}e_j(t_j)vi​(t)=ti​+∑j=i​ej​(tj​), while the seller's is v0(t)=t0+∑jej(tj)v_0(t)=t_0+\sum_j e_j(t_j)v0​(t)=t0​+∑j​ej​(tj​). A direct mechanism assigns each profile an allocation probability pi(t)p_i(t)pi​(t) and expected payment xi(t)x_i(t)xi​(t) for each bidder. Payments may be negative and need not vanish when a bidder loses. Its feasibility conditions say that allocation probabilities are nonnegative and sum to at most one, each bidder's interim expected utility is nonnegative at every possible value, and truthful reporting yields at least as much interim utility as any other report. The seller maximizes her expected utility over all feasible mechanisms.

The virtual value is ci(s)=s−ei(s)−(1−Fi(s))/fi(s)c_i(s)=s-e_i(s)-(1-F_i(s))/f_i(s)ci​(s)=s−ei​(s)−(1−Fi​(s))/fi​(s). In the general case it need not increase with sss. Myerson transforms cic_ici​ through the quantile q=Fi(s)q=F_i(s)q=Fi​(s): hi(q)=ci(Fi−1(q))h_i(q)=c_i(F_i^{-1}(q))hi​(q)=ci​(Fi−1​(q)), Hi(q)=∫0qhi(r) drH_i(q)=\int_0^q h_i(r)\,drHi​(q)=∫0q​hi​(r)dr, and GiG_iGi​ is the convex envelope of HiH_iHi​ on [0,1][0,1][0,1]. The slope gig_igi​ of GiG_iGi​, extended across kinks, gives the ironed priority cˉi(s)=gi(Fi(s))\bar c_i(s)=g_i(F_i(s))cˉi​(s)=gi​(Fi​(s)). At profile ttt, the winning set M(t)M(t)M(t) contains exactly those bidders whose priority is maximal and at least t0t_0t0​.

Formalization targets

The goal is Myerson's §6 theorem. The proposed rule shares the object equally among bidders in M(t)M(t)M(t), or keeps it when M(t)M(t)M(t) is empty, and charges each bidder the envelope payment:

pˉi(t)={∣M(t)∣−1,i∈M(t),0,i∉M(t),xˉi(t)=pˉi(t)vi(t)−∫aitipˉi(t−i,s) ds.\bar p_i(t)=\begin{cases}|M(t)|^{-1},&i\in M(t),\\0,&i\notin M(t),\end{cases} \qquad \bar x_i(t)=\bar p_i(t)v_i(t)-\int_{a_i}^{t_i}\bar p_i(t_{-i},s)\,ds.pˉ​i​(t)={∣M(t)∣−1,0,​i∈M(t),i∈/M(t),​xˉi​(t)=pˉ​i​(t)vi​(t)−∫ai​ti​​pˉ​i​(t−i​,s)ds.

The target asserts that (pˉ,xˉ)(\bar p,\bar x)(pˉ​,xˉ) is feasible and that every feasible (p,x)(p,x)(p,x) has seller utility no greater than that of (pˉ,xˉ)(\bar p,\bar x)(pˉ​,xˉ). The milestone list follows the paper's reduction: Lemma 2 characterizes feasible direct mechanisms by a monotone interim allocation rule and an envelope identity; equation (4.12) rewrites seller utility using virtual values; Lemma 3 turns maximization of virtual surplus into optimality. Equations (6.9)–(6.13) compare virtual and ironed priorities and establish the optimality and monotonicity of the proposed allocation.

Significance

The theorem specifies both who receives the object and how payments are computed, including irregular distributions and bidder-specific supports. The ironed priorities preserve incentives while retaining the seller's maximal expected utility. Equation (4.12) also gives the revenue-equivalence consequence: once the allocation rule and each lowest-type interim utility are fixed, expected seller utility is fixed.

A formal proof would connect several reusable results: product distributions with bidder-specific densities, interim incentive constraints, an envelope characterization, virtual-surplus accounting, and one-dimensional convex ironing. The source theorem and milestones are currently statements to be proved in this development, not existing machine-checked results. Related Börgers auction statements on Prove2Me use a common nonnegative support, at least two bidders, zero revision effects, and zero seller value; they do not provide this general theorem.

Difficulty

Maximizing virtual surplus at each profile is straightforward only if each bidder's virtual value rises with her report. When it falls, the resulting win probability can also fall, violating the incentive constraint. Replacing virtual values by slopes of a convex envelope restores monotonicity, but then the proof must account exactly for the difference between the original and ironed objectives, including flat portions of the envelope. Payments must satisfy the interim envelope identity for every type, while the seller's objective includes both transfers and her value for retaining the object.

Formalization scope

The Lean model uses a finite nonempty bidder type, real-valued reports and payments, one object, independent continuous positive densities normalized on each finite support, and continuous revision effects. The latter regularity is implicit in the paper's assertion that cic_ici​ is continuous. No mean-zero condition on revision effects is imposed: the paper explicitly says its equation (2.9) is unnecessary. One bidder, negative support endpoints, unequal supports, and arbitrary seller value remain allowed.

The profile law is Lebesgue measure restricted to TTT and weighted by the product density. Integrating a function after replacing coordinate iii represents the T−iT_{-i}T−i​ integral, because bidder iii's marginal density has mass one. Mechanisms are total functions, but allocation and incentive conditions quantify over supported profiles and reports. Feasibility explicitly requires integrability of allocations, payments, and their report sections so no undefined Bochner expectation can acquire Lean's default value zero. The convex envelope is the two-point infimum of equation (6.3); its defining set is nonempty and bounded below on [0,1][0,1][0,1]. The slope uses the right derivative below quantile one and the left derivative at one. The theorem requires feasibility of the proposed pair as well as its utility bound, ruling out an empty or unconstrained maximization claim.

The Stieltjes expressions in (6.9), (6.12), and (6.13) are combined into equivalent ordinary-integral comparisons over the profile law. A complete proof needs the one-dimensional envelope theorem, product-measure integration and Fubini results, differentiation of the convex envelope, and a careful endpoint treatment. The definitions of interim utilities and ironing can be reused for related auction models; contributions that establish these analytic components or the listed source lemmas are in scope.

Selected references

  • Roger B. Myerson, Optimal Auction Design, Mathematics of Operations Research 6(1):58–73, 1981. DOI: 10.1287/moor.6.1.58.
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Poisson Approximation for Dependent Trials 3: For Independent Trials with max p_i ≤ λ/2, |Eh(W) − 𝒫_λh + (Σp_i²)𝒫_λU_λh| ≤ (24 + 96√2)λ⁻¹Σp_i³Research Paper

Motivation

The number of successes in many rare, roughly independent trials is approximately Poisson. This law of small numbers is used for counts of rare events in reliability, insurance, epidemiology, queueing and random combinatorics. A quantitative version says how large the error is. For independent Bernoulli trials with success probabilities p1,…,pnp_1,\dots,p_np1​,…,pn​ and λ=∑pi\lambda=\sum p_iλ=∑pi​, Le Cam (1960) showed that the error in total variation is of order ∑pi2\sum p_i^2∑pi2​. When all pip_ipi​ are small this tends to zero, but it does not say what the leading part of the error is.

L. H. Y. Chen's 1975 paper (Ann. Probab. 3, 534–545) adapted Charles Stein's method for normal approximation to the Poisson case. The result is now called the Stein–Chen method. The paper's §2–§4 give first-order error bounds for dependent (mixing) trials. Its §5, "A refinement", goes one order further for independent trials. It identifies the first-order correction explicitly and shows that what remains is of order λ−1∑pi3\lambda^{-1}\sum p_i^3λ−1∑pi3​. Kerstan (1964) had obtained a similar expansion by a different method. Chen's version comes from iterating the basic identity of the Stein–Chen method. This mission formalizes §5.

Timeline:

  • 1953: Prohorov bounds the distance between the binomial and the Poisson law.
  • 1960: Le Cam proves the ∑pi2\sum p_i^2∑pi2​ bound for independent, non-identical trials. Hodges and Le Cam give a short proof.
  • 1964: Kerstan gives a refinement of the Prohorov–Le Cam bounds.
  • 1975: Chen introduces the Stein–Chen method. It gives first-order bounds under Ibragimov's mixing condition and the second-order expansion (Theorem 5.1) for independent trials.

Setting

Let X1,…,XnX_1,\dots,X_nX1​,…,Xn​ be independent random variables on a probability space, each taking only the values 000 and 111, with success probabilities pi=P(Xi=1)p_i=P(X_i=1)pi​=P(Xi​=1). Put

W=∑i=1nXi,λ=∑i=1npi,W(i)=∑k≠iXk,λ(i)=∑j≠ipj.W=\sum_{i=1}^nX_i,\qquad\lambda=\sum_{i=1}^np_i,\qquad W^{(i)}=\sum_{k\ne i}X_k,\qquad\lambda^{(i)}=\sum_{j\ne i}p_j .W=i=1∑n​Xi​,λ=i=1∑n​pi​,W(i)=k=i∑​Xk​,λ(i)=j=i∑​pj​.

For a bounded real function hhh on the nonnegative integers, the Poisson expectation is

Pλh=e−λ∑k=0∞h(k)λkk!,\mathscr P_\lambda h=e^{-\lambda}\sum_{k=0}^\infty h(k)\frac{\lambda^k}{k!},Pλ​h=e−λk=0∑∞​h(k)k!λk​,

the mean of hhh under the Poisson law with parameter λ\lambdaλ. The Stein equation is wf(w)−λf(w+1)=h(w)−Pλhwf(w)-\lambda f(w+1)=h(w)-\mathscr P_\lambda hwf(w)−λf(w+1)=h(w)−Pλ​h. For w≥1w\ge1w≥1 its solution is

Sλh(w)=−(w−1)! λ−w∑k=0w−1[h(k)−Pλh]λkk!.S_\lambda h(w)=-(w-1)!\,\lambda^{-w}\sum_{k=0}^{w-1}\bigl[h(k)-\mathscr P_\lambda h\bigr]\frac{\lambda^k}{k!}.Sλ​h(w)=−(w−1)!λ−wk=0∑w−1​[h(k)−Pλ​h]k!λk​.

Write Δf(w)=f(w+1)−f(w)\Delta f(w)=f(w+1)-f(w)Δf(w)=f(w+1)−f(w) and Lf(w)=f(w+1)Lf(w)=f(w+1)Lf(w)=f(w+1). Chen's second-order operator is

Uλh(w)=ΔSλh(w+1)=Sλh(w+2)−Sλh(w+1),w≥0.U_\lambda h(w)=\Delta S_\lambda h(w+1)=S_\lambda h(w+2)-S_\lambda h(w+1),\qquad w\ge0 .Uλ​h(w)=ΔSλ​h(w+1)=Sλ​h(w+2)−Sλ​h(w+1),w≥0.

For another parameter b>0b>0b>0, SbUλhS_bU_\lambda hSb​Uλ​h and UbUλhU_bU_\lambda hUb​Uλ​h apply the Stein solution and the operator with parameter bbb to the function UλhU_\lambda hUλ​h.

In Lean: poissonExp, stein, delta, shiftL, stU, prob, lam, lamExcept, W, Wi, all in the namespace PoissonDepTrials.SecondOrder.

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem 5.1, (5.7)

If X1,…,XnX_1,\dots,X_nX1​,…,Xn​ are independent, n≥2n\ge2n≥2 and pˉ=max⁡ipi≤λ/2\bar p=\max_ip_i\le\lambda/2pˉ​=maxi​pi​≤λ/2, then for every hhh with ∣h∣≤1|h|\le1∣h∣≤1,

∣Eh(W)−Pλh+(∑i=1npi2)PλUλh∣≤(24+962)λ−1∑i=1npi3.\Bigl|Eh(W)-\mathscr P_\lambda h+\Bigl(\sum_{i=1}^np_i^2\Bigr)\mathscr P_\lambda U_\lambda h\Bigr|\le\bigl(24+96\sqrt2\bigr)\lambda^{-1}\sum_{i=1}^np_i^3 .​Eh(W)−Pλ​h+(i=1∑n​pi2​)Pλ​Uλ​h​≤(24+962​)λ−1i=1∑n​pi3​.

The paper writes the constant as "an absolute constant CCC not greater than 24+96(2)1/224+96(2)^{1/2}24+96(2)1/2". The formal goal fixes CCC at that value, which is the same statement.

Milestones

In order: the Stein solution (2.3)/(2.5); the difference identity (3.6); Lemmas 3.1, 3.2, 3.3 and 3.5 (bounds on SλhS_\lambda hSλ​h and ΔSλh\Delta S_\lambda hΔSλ​h); the first-order identity (5.8) Eh(W)=Pλh−∑ipi2EUλh(W(i))Eh(W)=\mathscr P_\lambda h-\sum_ip_i^2EU_\lambda h(W^{(i)})Eh(W)=Pλ​h−∑i​pi2​EUλ​h(W(i)); Lemmas 5.1 and 5.2 (dependence of Poisson expectations on the parameter); Lemmas 5.3–5.5 (bounds on Pb∣LmUλh∣\mathscr P_b|L^mU_\lambda h|Pb​∣LmUλ​h∣, SbUλhS_bU_\lambda hSb​Uλ​h and UbUλhU_bU_\lambda hUb​Uλ​h); the bound (5.9),

∣Eh(W)−Pλh+(∑pi2)PλUλh∣≤24λ−1∑ipi3+96λ−1∑i∑j≠ipi2pj2λ(i);\Bigl|Eh(W)-\mathscr P_\lambda h+\Bigl(\sum p_i^2\Bigr)\mathscr P_\lambda U_\lambda h\Bigr|\le24\lambda^{-1}\sum_ip_i^3+96\lambda^{-1}\sum_i\sum_{j\ne i}\frac{p_i^2p_j^2}{\lambda^{(i)}};​Eh(W)−Pλ​h+(∑pi2​)Pλ​Uλ​h​≤24λ−1i∑​pi3​+96λ−1i∑​j=i∑​λ(i)pi2​pj2​​;

and the closing inequality λ−1∑ipi2∑j≠ipj2/λ(i)≤2 λ−1∑ipi3\lambda^{-1}\sum_ip_i^2\sum_{j\ne i}p_j^2/\lambda^{(i)}\le\sqrt2\,\lambda^{-1}\sum_ip_i^3λ−1∑i​pi2​∑j=i​pj2​/λ(i)≤2​λ−1∑i​pi3​.

Significance

The theorem gives an explicit first correction to the Poisson approximation of a Poisson-binomial law, with a remainder of the next order. When all pip_ipi​ equal ppp, the first-order error ∑pi2=λp\sum p_i^2=\lambda p∑pi2​=λp is replaced by the remainder λ−1∑pi3=p2\lambda^{-1}\sum p_i^3=p^2λ−1∑pi3​=p2, which is smaller by the factor λ\lambdaλ. The correction term is a functional of the Poisson law alone, −(∑pi2)PλUλh-(\sum p_i^2)\mathscr P_\lambda U_\lambda h−(∑pi2​)Pλ​Uλ​h. It can be evaluated without knowing the distribution of WWW. The method of proof applies the basic identity twice. The paper notes that further iteration gives expansions to any order.

On the formal side, Mathlib has the Poisson distribution but no Stein–Chen machinery and no quantitative Poisson approximation. The theorem has, as far as is known, no machine-checked proof. This mission produces the Stein solution and its standard bounds (Lemmas 3.1–3.5), which are reusable by any Stein–Chen argument. It also produces the parameter-perturbation estimates of Lemmas 5.1–5.2 and a complete second-order expansion. Missions 1 and 2 of this series formalize the first-order bounds of §4 under a mixing condition. They share the Stein-solution layer.

Difficulty

The first-order bound needs only that ΔSλh\Delta S_\lambda hΔSλ​h is uniformly small (Lemma 3.4). A second-order bound needs more. After the first application of the identity, the error ∑pi2EUλh(W(i))\sum p_i^2EU_\lambda h(W^{(i)})∑pi2​EUλ​h(W(i)) has to be expanded again. That requires control of the iterated operator UbUλhU_bU_\lambda hUb​Uλ​h with a different parameter b=λ(i)b=\lambda^{(i)}b=λ(i), because W(i)W^{(i)}W(i) is approximately Poisson with mean λ(i)\lambda^{(i)}λ(i), not λ\lambdaλ. The bound on UbUλhU_bU_\lambda hUb​Uλ​h (Lemma 5.5) grows linearly in ∣w−λ∣|w-\lambda|∣w−λ∣. Applying the uniform bounds of §3 throughout loses a factor λ1/2\lambda^{1/2}λ1/2 and produces an error of order λ−1/2∑pi3\lambda^{-1/2}\sum p_i^3λ−1/2∑pi3​ instead of λ−1∑pi3\lambda^{-1}\sum p_i^3λ−1∑pi3​. The linear growth has to be paired with the variance of W(i,j)W^{(i,j)}W(i,j). The averaging over pairs (i,j)(i,j)(i,j) in the final step uses the condition pˉ≤λ/2\bar p\le\lambda/2pˉ​≤λ/2, which keeps every λ(i)\lambda^{(i)}λ(i) comparable to λ\lambdaλ.

Formalization scope

Conventions committed to in Lean:

  • The trials are a sequence X : ℕ → Ω → ℕ. Each XiX_iXi​ is measurable with values in {0,1}\{0,1\}{0,1} almost surely. Xi≡0X_i\equiv0Xi​≡0 for i=0i=0i=0 and i>ni>ni>n, which is the paper's own padding convention (p. 535). Independence is iIndepFun (fun i => X i) P over all of ℕ. Because the padding variables are constants, this is equivalent to independence of X1,…,XnX_1,\dots,X_nX1​,…,Xn​.
  • pip_ipi​ is defined from XXX, not taken as a parameter.
  • ∥h∥\|h\|∥h∥ is replaced by an arbitrary bound MMM with ∣h(k)∣≤M|h(k)|\le M∣h(k)∣≤M for all kkk. The norm of SλhS_\lambda hSλ​h is taken over its domain w≥1w\ge1w≥1.
  • pˉ≤λ/2\bar p\le\lambda/2pˉ​≤λ/2 is written as pi≤λ/2p_i\le\lambda/2pi​≤λ/2 for every i∈{1,…,n}i\in\{1,\dots,n\}i∈{1,…,n}.
  • The goal assumes neither λ>0\lambda>0λ>0 nor integrability. Every function involved is bounded, so every expectation and Poisson sum is genuine. At λ=0\lambda=0λ=0 both sides of (5.7) vanish.

Hypotheses added relative to the page, each disclosed in the item's Formalization Note:

  • λ>0\lambda>0λ>0 in the §3 and §5 lemmas, in (5.8) and in (5.9). These divide by λ\lambdaλ, by bbb or by λ(i)\lambda^{(i)}λ(i).
  • b>0b>0b>0 in Lemmas 5.3–5.5, which is the standing range of §5.
  • Boundedness of fff in Lemma 5.2. The lemma is only applied to bounded functions.

The random indices I,JI,JI,J that the paper introduces to shorten notation in (5.8)–(5.9) are not formalized. The same quantities are written as finite sums over indices.

Ruled out: the second-order term must be the operator Uλh=ΔSλh(⋅+1)U_\lambda h=\Delta S_\lambda h(\cdot+1)Uλ​h=ΔSλ​h(⋅+1) built from the Stein solution exactly as on p. 543. A free function, or UλhU_\lambda hUλ​h evaluated at the junk value Sλh(0)S_\lambda h(0)Sλ​h(0), would empty the theorem.

Welcome contributions include:

  • the Stein-solution bounds of §3, which are reusable well beyond this paper;
  • Poisson-sum manipulations (Lemmas 5.1–5.2);
  • the independence bookkeeping that turns (2.6) into (5.8).

Selected references

  • L. H. Y. Chen, Poisson approximation for dependent trials, Ann. Probab. 3(3):534–545, 1975. https://doi.org/10.1214/aop/1176996359
  • L. Le Cam, An approximation theorem for the Poisson binomial distribution, Pacific J. Math. 10:1181–1197, 1960. https://doi.org/10.2140/pjm.1960.10.1181
  • J. L. Hodges and L. Le Cam, The Poisson approximation to the Poisson binomial distribution, Ann. Math. Statist. 31:737–740, 1960. https://doi.org/10.1214/aoms/1177705799
  • J. Kerstan, Verallgemeinerung eines Satzes von Prochorow und Le Cam, Z. Wahrscheinlichkeitstheorie verw. Gebiete 2:173–179, 1964. https://doi.org/10.1007/BF00533419
  • C. Stein, A bound for the error in the normal approximation to the distribution of a sum of dependent random variables, Proc. Sixth Berkeley Symp. Math. Statist. Prob. 2, 1972. https://projecteuclid.org/euclid.bsmsp/1200514239
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The Complexity of Markov Decision Processes IV: In a Deterministic Process a Cheapest T-Arc Walk Is a Walk of Fewer Than n³ Arcs Plus One Repeated CycleResearch Paper

Motivation

Finite-horizon Markov decision processes ask which decisions minimize accumulated cost over a specified number of stages. In a stationary process, the same costs and transitions apply at every stage. This compact input can describe a horizon TTT much larger than the state set, so a method that processes all TTT stages one by one may take time exponential in the length of the written horizon. Papadimitriou and Tsitsiklis identified this issue while comparing sequential and parallel algorithms for decision processes. For the deterministic stationary case, their Theorem 5 states an NC classification, supported by a finite structural description of a cheapest long walk. Papadimitriou and Tsitsiklis (1987)

The structural description is the subject of this mission. It connects a policy optimization problem to bounded-length graph objects and an exact cost identity. This is useful independently of a particular model of parallel computation: it says which shorter walk and cycle costs determine the answer even when the horizon is very large. Papadimitriou and Tsitsiklis (1987), p. 447

Setting

Let SSS be a finite nonempty set of states, with n=∣S∣n=|S|n=∣S∣, and fix an initial state s0s_0s0​. At each state sss, a finite nonempty set DsD_sDs​ contains the available decisions. A decision d∈Dsd\in D_sd∈Ds​ has a certain successor state next⁡(s,d)\operatorname{next}(s,d)next(s,d) and a real cost c(s,d)c(s,d)c(s,d). The model is stationary: these data do not depend on time. The corresponding directed graph has one arc for each decision. It may have loops and parallel arcs, because distinct decisions can share endpoints. This is the deterministic graph translation made in §3 of the paper. Papadimitriou and Tsitsiklis (1987), pp. 444–445

A policy is a function δ(s,t)∈Ds\delta(s,t)\in D_sδ(s,t)∈Ds​ of both state and time. Starting at s0s_0s0​, it produces st+1=next⁡(st,δ(st,t))s_{t+1}=\operatorname{next}(s_t,\delta(s_t,t))st+1​=next(st​,δ(st​,t)). In the convention of the paragraph before Theorem 5, horizon TTT means TTT decisions and therefore a walk with TTT arcs. Its cost is

JT(s0,δ)=∑t=0T−1c(st,δ(st,t)),JT∗(s0)=inf⁡δJT(s0,δ).J_T(s_0,\delta)=\sum_{t=0}^{T-1}c(s_t,\delta(s_t,t)),\qquad J_T^*(s_0)=\inf_\delta J_T(s_0,\delta).JT​(s0​,δ)=t=0∑T−1​c(st​,δ(st​,t)),JT∗​(s0​)=δinf​JT​(s0​,δ).

A walk records the states and the decision arc used at each step; states may repeat. A simple path has no repeated state. A simple cycle has positive length, returns to its starting state, and has no other repeated state. A closed walk may repeat states internally and need not be a simple cycle. The distinction matters because the structural claim uses a simple cycle, whereas the computation in the target identity uses a cheapest closed walk of a chosen length.

Formalization targets

The first milestone identifies JT∗(s0)J_T^*(s_0)JT∗​(s0​) with the minimum cost of a TTT-arc walk from s0s_0s0​. The next milestones record a decomposition into a simple path and simple cycles, the restriction on cycles repeated more than nnn times, and the existence of a cheapest walk with a short prefix and one repeated simple cycle. These are claims in the paragraph preceding Theorem 5, with corrections to the printed exchange and its connectivity justification documented in the formal statements. Papadimitriou and Tsitsiklis (1987), p. 447

For l≤Tl\le Tl≤T and u∈Su\in Su∈S, let wl,uw_{l,u}wl,u​ be the cheapest lll-arc walk from s0s_0s0​ that visits uuu. Let rk,ur_{k,u}rk,u​ be the cheapest closed kkk-arc walk at uuu. Only choices for which these walks exist are included. The mission's goal is

JT∗(s0)=min⁡l≤T, l<n3, u∈S,1≤k≤n, k∣T−l(wl,u+T−lk rk,u),T>n2.J_T^*(s_0)=\min_{\substack{l\le T,\ l<n^3,\ u\in S,\\1\le k\le n,\ k\mid T-l}}\left(w_{l,u}+\frac{T-l}{k}\,r_{k,u}\right),\qquad T>n^2.JT∗​(s0​)=l≤T, l<n3, u∈S,1≤k≤n, k∣T−l​min​(wl,u​+kT−l​rk,u​),T>n2.

The l<n3l<n^3l<n3 bound is the paper's finite compression claim. The divisibility condition makes (T−l)/k(T-l)/k(T−l)/k an integer number of cycle copies. The goal states an exact value, with the inner minima taken over genuine walks and the outer optimum still taken over all policies. Papadimitriou and Tsitsiklis (1987), p. 447

Significance

The identity replaces an optimization over arbitrarily many time-dependent policy decisions with costs of walks having fewer than n3n^3n3 arcs and closed walks of at most nnn arcs. It gives the mathematical statement that must hold before the paper's proposed parallel calculation can be trusted. It also applies when several different decisions have the same endpoints, because each decision remains a separate weighted arc. Papadimitriou and Tsitsiklis (1987), pp. 445, 447

The paper proves the result informally and states the NC classification. The mission seeks machine-checked proofs of the graph and cost statements, including the printed argument's delicate boundary cases. The local proposal contains open Lean theorem statements, not proofs. Reusable outcomes include a decision-walk representation, a cycle decomposition that preserves the multiset of arcs, and finite-horizon policy-to-walk equivalence. A related published result, TropicalLA.exists_repeat, detects repetition for dense max-plus matrices; it does not state this weighted multigraph decomposition or the min-cost identity.

Difficulty

The obstacle is preserving both walk feasibility and the exact number of arcs when repeated cycles are rearranged. A cycle may be the only connection to other parts of a walk, so deleting its last copy can invalidate the remaining sequence. The printed exchange paragraph also reverses the cost-improving direction and appeals to a no-ties perturbation without carrying it through the bounded-prefix conclusion. Those issues affect the claimed n3n^3n3 bound; merely knowing that a long walk repeats a vertex does not establish the target identity. Papadimitriou and Tsitsiklis (1987), p. 447

Formalization scope

Lean represents SSS and each DsD_sDs​ as finite types and uses real costs. The decision sets are nonempty, making policies and arbitrarily long walks available. Policies depend on state and time, as in §2. A walk stores its decisions as well as its states, so loops and parallel arcs are represented. Cycle decompositions preserve endpoints, length, cost, and the multiset of decision arcs. A loop is a simple cycle of length one. Time starts at zero, and an lll-arc walk has states at indices 0,…,l0,\ldots,l0,…,l.

The paper's general finite-horizon definition sums costs from 000 through TTT, while the Theorem 5 paragraph explicitly asks for a TTT-arc walk. This mission follows the latter convention: decisions occur at 0,…,T−10,\ldots,T-10,…,T−1. The goal also imposes l≤Tl\le Tl≤T, which the printed loop leaves implicit, and uses a closed walk for rk,ur_{k,u}rk,u​ because that is what the length-kkk graph calculation computes. It does not assume distinct walk costs. The condition T>n2T>n^2T>n2 is retained from the paper even though related identities may hold in other ranges. Papadimitriou and Tsitsiklis (1987), pp. 444, 447

Theorem 5's NC membership, processor and parallel-time bounds, the membership-in-P discussion, log-space reductions, PSPACE membership, and Corollaries 1–2 are outside this mission. Mathlib does not supply the PRAM and complexity-class framework those claims require. The target is the exact cost identity behind the algorithm. Defining the optimum directly as the right-hand minimum, restricting policies to stationary policies, or allowing an empty policy class would trivialize or change it. Contributions proving the milestones, the goal, or reusable walk and cycle facts are welcome.

Selected references

  • Christos H. Papadimitriou and John N. Tsitsiklis, The Complexity of Markov Decision Processes, Mathematics of Operations Research 12(3), 441–450, 1987. DOI: 10.1287/moor.12.3.441
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The Bargaining Problem: The Nash Product Maximizer Is the Unique Solution Satisfying Invariance, Symmetry, IIA and Pareto EfficiencyResearch Paper

Motivation

Two parties who can cooperate for mutual benefit must still agree on how to share the benefit. In The Bargaining Problem (Econometrica, 1950) John Nash asked which agreement two rational bargainers of equal skill should reach. His answer is not a model of haggling: it is a list of conditions any reasonable rule should satisfy, together with a proof that exactly one point of the set of feasible agreements is compatible with them. That point maximizes the product of the two parties' utility gains. Known as the Nash bargaining solution, it is the reference point of cooperative bargaining theory. Economics, operations research and networking all use it: in supply contracts, in wage bargaining, and in fair bandwidth allocation, where maximizing a product of gains becomes maximizing a sum of logarithms (proportional fairness).

Timeline:

  • 1944. von Neumann and Morgenstern axiomatize expected utility. A utility is determined up to a positive affine transformation au+bau+bau+b. Nash quotes this on p. 157.
  • 1950. Nash introduces the two-person bargaining problem and the axioms of Pareto efficiency, independence of irrelevant alternatives and symmetry, the solution being invariant under the choice of utility scales. He proves that they force the maximizer of the product u1u2u_1u_2u1​u2​ (doi:10.2307/1907266).
  • 1953. Nash's Two-Person Cooperative Games adds the threat game that fixes the disagreement point.
  • 1975. Kalai and Smorodinsky replace independence of irrelevant alternatives by monotonicity and obtain a different solution.
  • 1986. Binmore, Rubinstein and Wolinsky show that the Nash solution is the limit of equilibria of alternating-offers bargaining as the time between offers vanishes.

Setting

A bargaining problem is a pair ⟨S,d⟩\langle S,d\rangle⟨S,d⟩. Here S⊆R2S\subseteq\mathbb R^2S⊆R2 is the set of utility pairs u=(u1,u2)u=(u_1,u_2)u=(u1​,u2​) the two players can reach by agreement, including lotteries over agreements. d∈Sd\in Sd∈S is the disagreement point, the utilities of no cooperation. As in the platform goal, SSS is compact and convex, and some s∈Ss\in Ss∈S has s1>d1s_1>d_1s1​>d1​ and s2>d2s_2>d_2s2​>d2​ (both individuals could gain). Write B\mathcal BB for the set of such pairs.

A bargaining solution is a map ggg from B\mathcal BB to R2\mathbb R^2R2. Nash requires:

  • Selection. g(S,d)∈Sg(S,d)\in Sg(S,d)∈S.
  • PAR (Nash's assumption 6). If s,t∈Ss,t\in Ss,t∈S and ttt is strictly better than sss for both players, then g(S,d)≠sg(S,d)\neq sg(S,d)=s.
  • IIA (assumption 7). If S⊆TS\subseteq TS⊆T and g(T,d)∈Sg(T,d)\in Sg(T,d)∈S, then g(S,d)=g(T,d)g(S,d)=g(T,d)g(S,d)=g(T,d).
  • SYM (assumption 8). If d1=d2d_1=d_2d1​=d2​ and SSS is symmetric in the line u1=u2u_1=u_2u1​=u2​, then g(S,d)g(S,d)g(S,d) lies on that line.
  • INV. For L(s)=(α1s1+β1, α2s2+β2)L(s)=(\alpha_1s_1+\beta_1,\ \alpha_2s_2+\beta_2)L(s)=(α1​s1​+β1​, α2​s2​+β2​) with α1,α2>0\alpha_1,\alpha_2>0α1​,α2​>0, g(L(S),L(d))=L(g(S,d))g(L(S),L(d))=L(g(S,d))g(L(S),L(d))=L(g(S,d)).

The paper has no separate INV axiom. It normalizes the disagreement utility to 000 and notes that each utility is then determined only up to a positive multiple (p. 158), so the solution must not depend on that choice.

Formalization targets

Goal

The goal is the platform theorem NashBargaining.nash_bargaining_solution_unique, posed by Nickrobbins95 and currently Open. This mission references it and does not restate it. It asserts that there is a solution fff such that a solution ggg satisfies selection, INV, SYM, IIA and PAR if and only if g=fg=fg=f, and that for every ⟨S,d⟩∈B\langle S,d\rangle\in\mathcal B⟨S,d⟩∈B

f(S,d)≥d,(s1−d1)(s2−d2)<(f1−d1)(f2−d2)  for all s∈S, s≥d, s≠f(S,d).f(S,d)\ge d,\qquad (s_1-d_1)(s_2-d_2)<(f_1-d_1)(f_2-d_2)\ \text{ for all } s\in S,\ s\ge d,\ s\neq f(S,d).f(S,d)≥d,(s1​−d1​)(s2​−d2​)<(f1​−d1​)(f2​−d2​)  for all s∈S, s≥d, s=f(S,d).

Nash's paper proves the necessity half: a solution satisfying the conditions must select the maximizer of the Nash product. The sufficiency half, that the maximizer map satisfies the five conditions, is not argued in the paper. It must be supplied by whoever closes the goal.

Milestones

  1. On a compact convex S∋(0,0)S\ni(0,0)S∋(0,0) that contains a point where both players gain, u1u2u_1u_2u1​u2​ has exactly one strict maximizer ppp in the closed first quadrant, and p1,p2>0p_1,p_2>0p1​,p2​>0.
  2. Multiplying the utilities by positive constants maps the maximizer to the maximizer, so ppp may be moved to (1,1)(1,1)(1,1).
  3. If SSS is convex and (1,1)(1,1)(1,1) maximizes u1u2u_1u_2u1​u2​, then u1+u2≤2u_1+u_2\le2u1​+u2​≤2 on all of SSS.
  4. A compact SSS under that line lies in a square Qh={2−2h≤u1+u2≤2, ∣u1−u2∣≤h}Q_h=\{2-2h\le u_1+u_2\le2,\ |u_1-u_2|\le h\}Qh​={2−2h≤u1​+u2​≤2, ∣u1​−u2​∣≤h}.
  5. (1,1)(1,1)(1,1) is the only point of QhQ_hQh​ on the diagonal that no point of QhQ_hQh​ strictly dominates.
  6. Necessity. Under the five conditions, g(S,d)g(S,d)g(S,d) is the strict maximizer of (s1−d1)(s2−d2)(s_1-d_1)(s_2-d_2)(s1​−d1​)(s2​−d2​) over S∩{s≥d}S\cap\{s\ge d\}S∩{s≥d}.

Two further items formalize the paper's examples: the Bill–Jack barter, whose solution is the vertex (12,5)(12,5)(12,5) reached by exactly one exchange, and trade with money, where the solution gives equal money profits.

Significance

The Nash product characterization is used, mostly without proof, wherever a "fair" split of a cooperative surplus is needed. Examples are generalized Nash bargaining in supply-chain contracting and labour economics, the proportional-fairness criterion in network rate control, and the Nash-in-Nash models of bilateral negotiations. Many papers that build on it apply it to a specific feasible set. They therefore rely on the necessity direction, which is the step that makes the maximizer the unique answer rather than one answer among several.

The result has been proved since 1950, while the referenced Prove2Me goal remains Open. This mission supplies the milestones of Nash's own argument in the encoding of that goal, so that the necessity direction can be assembled from them. Sufficiency remains as separate work. The two examples are small, concrete checks of the solution concept.

Difficulty

Each step is elementary. The difficulty is in keeping the bookkeeping honest across the normalizations. The axioms are stated on the class B\mathcal BB, and a solution is a function on a subtype. Every application of INV, SYM or IIA therefore needs a membership proof for a transformed set: the image of SSS under an affine map, or the enclosing square. It also needs the disagreement point to be carried along. The tempting short cut is to argue "without loss of generality d=0d=0d=0 and p=(1,1)p=(1,1)p=(1,1)". That is exactly what INV licenses, but only after compactness, convexity, the point where both gain, and the location of ddd inside the square have been re-established for each transformed problem. Uniqueness of the maximizer also needs care at the boundary of the quadrant, where the product vanishes.

Formalization scope

Utility pairs are ℝ × ℝ, with u.1 player 1's utility and u.2 player 2's. Milestones 1–5 work at d=(0,0)d=(0,0)d=(0,0), the paper's normalization. Milestone 6 has a general ddd and the goal's encoding. Milestones 1–5 make the following readings explicit:

  • "First quadrant" is the closed quadrant u1≥0, u2≥0u_1\ge0,\ u_2\ge0u1​≥0, u2​≥0.
  • "The point where u1u2u_1u_2u1​u2​ is maximized" is the strict maximizer over SSS in that quadrant, in the goal's form. Milestone 1 also states p1,p2>0p_1,p_2>0p1​,p2​>0, which follows from the point where both gain (p. 158).
  • Milestone 3's hypothesis is the weak maximum s1s2≤1s_1s_2\le1s1​s2​≤1. Its conclusion covers every point of SSS, not only first-quadrant points.
  • The square is the explicit set QhQ_hQh​. Its compactness, convexity and literal symmetry (a,b)∈Qh  ⟺  (b,a)∈Qh(a,b)\in Q_h\iff(b,a)\in Q_h(a,b)∈Qh​⟺(b,a)∈Qh​ are part of milestone 4's conclusion.
  • "Satisfying assumptions (6) and (8)" in the square means lying on u1=u2u_1=u_2u1​=u2​ and being strictly dominated by no point of the square.

Milestone 6's five hypotheses are copied verbatim from the goal, and its conclusion is the goal's last conjunct for the given ggg. It does not restate the goal: it has no existence claim and no "if and only if".

Trivializing formalizations are ruled out. The point where both gain is a hypothesis wherever uniqueness is claimed; without it a segment on an axis has many maximizers of u1u2=0u_1u_2=0u1​u2​=0. The square is a concrete set, not "some symmetric compact convex set", and the solution's properties are quantified over the goal's class B\mathcal BB, which is nonempty.

The examples need finite sums, convex hulls of finite sets, and extreme points, all in Mathlib. Contributions are welcome on each milestone and on the sufficiency half of the goal.

Related platform work treats other bargaining models. These are Rubinstein's alternating-offers game (RubinsteinBargaining.PEP) and the Chatterjee–Samuelson sealed-offer double auction (ChatterjeeSamuelson). Neither is used here. The von Neumann–Morgenstern utility theorem behind the normalization is formalized as TheoryOfGames.Utility.utility_existence_uniqueness.

Selected references

  • J. F. Nash, Jr., The Bargaining Problem, Econometrica 18(2), 155–162, 1950. doi:10.2307/1907266
  • J. von Neumann, O. Morgenstern, Theory of Games and Economic Behavior, Princeton University Press, 1944.
  • J. F. Nash, Jr., Two-Person Cooperative Games, Econometrica 21(1), 128–140, 1953. doi:10.2307/1906951
  • E. Kalai, M. Smorodinsky, Other Solutions to Nash's Bargaining Problem, Econometrica 43(3), 513–518, 1975. doi:10.2307/1914280
  • K. Binmore, A. Rubinstein, A. Wolinsky, The Nash Bargaining Solution in Economic Modelling, RAND Journal of Economics 17(2), 176–188, 1986. doi:10.2307/2555382
  • M. J. Osborne, A. Rubinstein, Bargaining and Markets, Academic Press, 1990, Theorem 2.3.
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Complexity of Machine Scheduling Problems 7: Makespan Reduces to Total Completion Time on Identical Machines with Precedence ConstraintsResearch Paper

Motivation

Scheduling jobs on parallel machines under precedence constraints is the core model of project and parallel-processing scheduling: a job may start only after its predecessors have finished. Two criteria dominate the literature, the makespan Cmax⁡C_{\max}Cmax​ (when does the last job finish?) and the total completion time ∑jCj\sum_j C_j∑j​Cj​ (how long do jobs wait on average?). Knowing that one criterion is at least as hard as the other lets a hardness proof for one transfer to the other without a new reduction from a combinatorial problem.

Brucker, Lenstra and Rinnooy Kan's report Complexity of Machine Scheduling Problems (Mathematisch Centrum, 1975; later in Annals of Discrete Mathematics 1, 1977) collected the complexity status of the standard scheduling problems and stated a set of elementary reductions among them as Theorem 1. Part (l) reduces makespan to total completion time for identical machines with precedence constraints and bounded processing times.

Timeline.

  • 1971–1972: Cook (doi:10.1145/800157.805047) and Karp (doi:10.1007/978-1-4684-2001-2_9) introduce NP-completeness and polynomial reducibility.
  • 1975: Ullman (doi:10.1016/S0022-0000(75)80008-0) proves that the makespan problems n∣2∣I,prec,1≤pj1≤2∣Cmax⁡n|2|I,\mathit{prec},1\le p_{j1}\le 2|C_{\max}n∣2∣I,prec,1≤pj1​≤2∣Cmax​ and n∣m∣I,prec,pj1=1∣Cmax⁡n|m|I,\mathit{prec},p_{j1}=1|C_{\max}n∣m∣I,prec,pj1​=1∣Cmax​ are NP-complete, by reductions from 3-SATISFIABILITY.
  • 1975: Brucker, Lenstra and Rinnooy Kan state Theorem 1(l); their Table III (p. 13) applies it to Ullman's two problems and concludes that the corresponding total completion time problems are NP-complete.

Setting

An instance has nnn jobs J1,…,JnJ_1,\dots,J_nJ1​,…,Jn​, a number m≥1m \ge 1m≥1 of identical machines, a processing time pjp_jpj​ for each job, and a precedence relation <<< on the jobs: Jj<JkJ_j < J_kJj​<Jk​ means that JkJ_kJk​ may start only after JjJ_jJj​ has completed. Each job is one operation, processed without interruption on any one machine. For a constant p∗p_*p∗​, the class n∣m∣I,prec,1≤pj1≤p∗n|m|I,\mathit{prec},1\le p_{j1}\le p_*n∣m∣I,prec,1≤pj1​≤p∗​ requires 1≤pj≤p∗1 \le p_j \le p_*1≤pj​≤p∗​ for every job and an acyclic precedence relation.

A schedule assigns to every job a machine and a starting time Bj∈NB_j \in \mathbb NBj​∈N; the completion time is Cj=Bj+pjC_j = B_j + p_jCj​=Bj​+pj​. It is feasible if two jobs on the same machine never overlap and Jj<JkJ_j < J_kJj​<Jk​ implies Cj≤BkC_j \le B_kCj​≤Bk​.

Following the paper, each optimization problem is replaced by its recognition version. Problem P′P'P′ asks, for an instance and a threshold y′y'y′, whether some feasible schedule has Cmax⁡=max⁡jCj≤y′C_{\max} = \max_j C_j \le y'Cmax​=maxj​Cj​≤y′. Problem PPP asks, for an instance of the same class and a threshold yyy, whether some feasible schedule has ∑jCj≤y\sum_j C_j \le y∑j​Cj​≤y (all weights wj=1w_j = 1wj​=1).

P′P'P′ is reducible to PPP, written P′∝PP' \propto PP′∝P, if every instance of P′P'P′ can be transformed in polynomial time into an instance of PPP with the same answer.

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem 1(l)

For every constant p∗≥1p_* \ge 1p∗​≥1,

n′∣m∣I,prec,1≤pj1≤p∗∣Cmax⁡  ∝  n∣m∣I,prec,1≤pj1≤p∗,wj=1∣∑wjCj.n'|m|I,\mathit{prec},1\le p_{j1}\le p_*|C_{\max} \;\propto\; n|m|I,\mathit{prec},1\le p_{j1}\le p_*,w_j=1|\textstyle\sum w_jC_j .n′∣m∣I,prec,1≤pj1​≤p∗​∣Cmax​∝n∣m∣I,prec,1≤pj1​≤p∗​,wj​=1∣∑wj​Cj​.

Milestones

  1. A trivial upper bound. Every instance of P′P'P′ with n′n'n′ jobs has a feasible schedule with Cmax⁡≤n′p∗C_{\max} \le n'p_*Cmax​≤n′p∗​.
  2. The construction and the forward direction. For 0≤y′≤n′p∗0 \le y' \le n'p_*0≤y′≤n′p∗​ let n′′=(n′−1)y′n'' = (n'-1)y'n′′=(n′−1)y′, n=n′+n′′n = n'+n''n=n′+n′′ and y=ny′+12n′′(n′′+1)y = ny' + \tfrac12 n''(n''+1)y=ny′+21​n′′(n′′+1), and add n′′n''n′′ unit-time jobs Jn′+kJ_{n'+k}Jn′+k​, each required to follow every original job and every earlier added job. If P′P'P′ has a schedule with Cmax⁡≤y′C_{\max} \le y'Cmax​≤y′, the new instance has a feasible schedule with ∑jCj≤y\sum_j C_j \le y∑j​Cj​≤y.
  3. The backward direction. If every feasible schedule of P′P'P′ has Cmax⁡>y′C_{\max} > y'Cmax​>y′, every feasible schedule of the new instance has ∑jCj>y\sum_j C_j > y∑j​Cj​>y.

Significance

The result. Theorem 1(l) makes the total completion time problem at least as hard as the makespan problem in the same class. Combined with Ullman's NP-completeness results and Theorem 1(b) (reducibility transfers NP-completeness), it shows that minimizing ∑jCj\sum_j C_j∑j​Cj​ on identical machines with precedence constraints is NP-complete, already for two machines with pj∈{1,2}p_j \in \{1, 2\}pj​∈{1,2} and for unit processing times on mmm machines. These are two rows of the paper's Table III.

Formalizing it. The result is proved on one page of a typewritten report; no machine-checked version exists. The mission produces a scheduling model for identical machines with precedence constraints, binary languages for the two recognition problems, and the reduction in Cook's Turing-machine model. The proof's displayed bounds contain a misprinted index range, which the formal statements correct.

Difficulty

The two criteria are not monotonically related: a schedule with a smaller makespan can have a larger total completion time than one with a larger makespan. So the obvious reduction, keeping the instance and asking for ∑jCj≤n′y′\sum_j C_j \le n'y'∑j​Cj​≤n′y′, is not an equivalence: a no-instance of P′P'P′ can have a schedule with small total completion time. The instance has to be changed so that the total completion time is governed by the makespan, and the comparison of the two thresholds must be exact, including the strict inequality on the "no" side, which depends on integral completion times and positive processing times.

The main formal difficulty lies in the reduction itself. A polynomial-time Turing machine must decode the binary instance, check that it belongs to the class (including acyclicity of the precedence relation), compare y′y'y′ with n′p∗n'p_*n′p∗​, and write out an instance with n′′=(n′−1)y′n'' = (n'-1)y'n′′=(n′−1)y′ additional jobs and a quadratic-size precedence matrix. The size of that output is polynomial only because p∗p_*p∗​ is a constant: a version with p∗p_*p∗​ part of the input would make n′′n''n′′ exponential in the input length.

Formalization scope

  • Jobs and machines are indexed from 000 (Fin n, Fin m). Starting times are natural numbers; Section 3 derives all times from processing orders on nonnegative integer data, and both criteria are regular. "Cmax⁡≤yC_{\max} \le yCmax​≤y" is written as "Cj≤yC_j \le yCj​≤y for every jjj".
  • The precedence relation is a Boolean matrix. Its acyclicity and m≥1m \ge 1m≥1 are part of the problem class; the paper leaves both implicit, and the claim "any instance has a solution with Cmax⁡≤n′p∗C_{\max} \le n'p_*Cmax​≤n′p∗​" fails without them.
  • p∗p_*p∗​ is a constant of the class and a parameter of both languages, not part of the input. All weights in the target problem equal 111 and are not written.
  • The threshold y=ny′+12n′′(n′′+1)y = ny' + \tfrac12 n''(n''+1)y=ny′+21​n′′(n′′+1) is stated in Q\mathbb QQ exactly as printed in the milestones; it is an integer, and the reduction uses its natural-number value.
  • The paper's displayed bounds n′y′+∑k=n′+1n(y′+k)=yn'y' + \sum_{k=n'+1}^{n}(y'+k) = yn′y′+∑k=n′+1n​(y′+k)=y and y′+∑k=n′+1n(y′+1+k)=yy' + \sum_{k=n'+1}^{n}(y'+1+k) = yy′+∑k=n′+1n​(y′+1+k)=y have a misprinted index range (the sums must run over k=1,…,n′′k = 1,\dots,n''k=1,…,n′′). The milestones state the end-to-end bounds ∑jCj≤y\sum_j C_j \le y∑j​Cj​≤y and ∑jCj>y\sum_j C_j > y∑j​Cj​>y.
  • "Cmax⁡>y′C_{\max} > y'Cmax​>y′" in the backward direction is read as the negation of the forward hypothesis: no feasible schedule of P′P'P′ has Cmax⁡≤y′C_{\max} \le y'Cmax​≤y′.
  • "Reducible" is Cook's polynomial-time many-one reducibility from the published definition CookPvsNP_defs; numbers are written in binary with the alphabet and code encNats of the published definition ProjSchedTW.Complexity.Encoding (Neumann, Schwindt and Zimmermann's encoding). The unit-time model ResourceScheduling.Chain.Model (Błażewicz, Lenstra and Rinnooy Kan) has the same feasibility conditions but unit processing times and real start times, so the model here is defined anew.
  • A trivializing formalization is ruled out: the goal asserts a polynomial-time computable map, not the bare equivalence, and codes of instances outside the class are excluded from both languages, so the reduction cannot exploit malformed inputs.
  • Contributions welcome: proofs of the three milestones, a Turing-machine library for arithmetic on binary codes (reusable across this series), and a proof of the goal from the milestones.

Selected references

  • P. Brucker, J. K. Lenstra, A. H. G. Rinnooy Kan, Complexity of Machine Scheduling Problems, Mathematisch Centrum Report BW 43/75, Amsterdam, 1975; published in Annals of Discrete Mathematics 1 (1977) 343–362. doi:10.1016/S0167-5060(08)70743-X
  • J. D. Ullman, NP-complete scheduling problems, Journal of Computer and System Sciences 10 (1975) 384–393. doi:10.1016/S0022-0000(75)80008-0
  • S. A. Cook, The complexity of theorem-proving procedures, STOC 1971, 151–158. doi:10.1145/800157.805047
  • R. M. Karp, Reducibility among combinatorial problems, in Complexity of Computer Computations, Plenum, 1972, 85–103. doi:10.1007/978-1-4684-2001-2_9
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Complexity of Machine Scheduling Problems 6: DIRECTED HAMILTON PATH Reduces to No-Wait Flow Shop Makespan and Total Completion TimeResearch Paper

Motivation

In a no-wait flow shop every job passes through the machines M1,…,MmM_1,\dots,M_mM1​,…,Mm​ in the same order, and once it has started it may never wait between two machines. The constraint comes from processes in which the material changes state if it is left standing, such as hot metal rolling, chemical and food processing, and some pharmaceutical lines; see the survey of Hall and Sriskandarajah (doi:10.1287/opre.44.3.510). The question of how hard it is to schedule such a shop well is the question this mission formalizes.

Brucker, Lenstra and Rinnooy Kan settled it for the case in which the number of machines is part of the input. In their report Complexity of Machine Scheduling Problems (Mathematisch Centrum, 1975; journal version in Annals of Discrete Mathematics 1, 1977, doi:10.1016/S0167-5060(08)70743-X), Theorem 5 reduces DIRECTED HAMILTON PATH to the no-wait flow shop. Both minimizing the makespan Cmax⁡C_{\max}Cmax​ and minimizing the total completion time ∑Cj\sum C_j∑Cj​ are thereby NP-complete.

Timeline.

  • 1964: Gilmore and Gomory solve the two-machine no-wait flow shop with makespan in polynomial time (doi:10.1287/opre.12.5.655).
  • 1972: Wismer (doi:10.1287/opre.20.3.689) and Reddi and Ramamoorthy (doi:10.1057/jors.1972.52) show that no-wait makespan minimization is a travelling-salesman problem with arc weights computed from the processing times.
  • 1972: Karp proves DIRECTED HAMILTON CIRCUIT NP-complete (doi:10.1007/978-1-4684-2001-2_9).
  • 1975: Brucker, Lenstra and Rinnooy Kan reduce DIRECTED HAMILTON CIRCUIT to DIRECTED HAMILTON PATH (their Theorem 2(d)), and DIRECTED HAMILTON PATH to n∣m∣F,no wait∣Cmax⁡n|m|F,\textit{no wait}|C_{\max}n∣m∣F,no wait∣Cmax​ and to n∣m∣F,no wait,wj=1∣∑wjCjn|m|F,\textit{no wait},w_j=1|\sum w_jC_jn∣m∣F,no wait,wj​=1∣∑wj​Cj​ (Theorem 5).
  • 1984: Röck shows that the problem stays NP-hard for three machines (doi:10.1145/62.65).

Setting

There are nnn jobs J1,…,JnJ_1,\dots,J_nJ1​,…,Jn​ and mmm machines. Job JℓJ_\ellJℓ​ needs processing time pℓi∈Np_{\ell i}\in\mathbb Npℓi​∈N on machine MiM_iMi​. Write

qℓi=∑r=1ipℓr,qℓ0=0,q_{\ell i}=\sum_{r=1}^{i}p_{\ell r},\qquad q_{\ell 0}=0,qℓi​=r=1∑i​pℓr​,qℓ0​=0,

for the time job JℓJ_\ellJℓ​ spends on its first iii machines. Because a job never waits, a schedule is determined by the start times Bℓ∈NB_\ell\in\mathbb NBℓ​∈N. The operation of JℓJ_\ellJℓ​ on MiM_iMi​ occupies [Bℓ+qℓ,i−1, Bℓ+qℓi)[B_\ell+q_{\ell,i-1},\,B_\ell+q_{\ell i})[Bℓ​+qℓ,i−1​,Bℓ​+qℓi​), and job JℓJ_\ellJℓ​ completes at Cℓ=Bℓ+qℓmC_\ell=B_\ell+q_{\ell m}Cℓ​=Bℓ​+qℓm​. A schedule is feasible when no two distinct jobs occupy the same machine at the same time. The delay

cjk=max⁡1≤i≤m{qji−qk,i−1}c_{jk}=\max_{1\le i\le m}\{q_{ji}-q_{k,i-1}\}cjk​=1≤i≤mmax​{qji​−qk,i−1​}

is the least gap Bk−BjB_k-B_jBk​−Bj​ that lets JkJ_kJk​ follow JjJ_jJj​ on every machine.

A directed graph G=(V,A)G=(V,A)G=(V,A) on V={0,…,n−1}V=\{0,\dots,n-1\}V={0,…,n−1} has a Hamilton path if its vertices can be ordered σ(0),…,σ(n−1)\sigma(0),\dots,\sigma(n-1)σ(0),…,σ(n−1) with every (σ(i),σ(i+1))∈A(\sigma(i),\sigma(i+1))\in A(σ(i),σ(i+1))∈A.

From GGG the paper builds an instance with nnn jobs and m=n(n−1)+2m=n(n-1)+2m=n(n−1)+2 machines. Each ordered pair (j,k)(j,k)(j,k) of distinct jobs is assigned a middle machine ι(j,k)∈{2,…,m−1}\iota(j,k)\in\{2,\dots,m-1\}ι(j,k)∈{2,…,m−1}, and the partial sums qℓiq_{\ell i}qℓi​ are perturbed from iμi\muiμ by ±λ\pm\lambda±λ or ±(λ+1)\pm(\lambda+1)±(λ+1) on the machines ι(ℓ,⋅)\iota(\ell,\cdot)ι(ℓ,⋅) and just before the machines ι(⋅,ℓ)\iota(\cdot,\ell)ι(⋅,ℓ), depending on whether the pair is an arc. The parameters satisfy λ≥1\lambda\ge1λ≥1 and μ≥2λ+3\mu\ge2\lambda+3μ≥2λ+3.

Formalization targets

Goal (Theorem 5)

DIRECTED HAMILTON PATH ∝ n∣m∣F,no wait∣Cmax⁡andDIRECTED HAMILTON PATH ∝ n∣m∣F,no wait,wj=1∣∑wjCj,\text{DIRECTED HAMILTON PATH}\ \propto\ n|m|F,\textit{no wait}|C_{\max}\quad\text{and}\quad \text{DIRECTED HAMILTON PATH}\ \propto\ n|m|F,\textit{no wait},w_j=1|\textstyle\sum w_jC_j,DIRECTED HAMILTON PATH ∝ n∣m∣F,no wait∣Cmax​andDIRECTED HAMILTON PATH ∝ n∣m∣F,no wait,wj​=1∣∑wj​Cj​,

where ∝\propto∝ is polynomial-time many-one reducibility between the binary-coded recognition languages.

Milestones, in the order the proof uses them

  1. Eq. (9): cjkc_{jk}cjk​ is the least gap between BjB_jBj​ and BkB_kBk​ for which JkJ_kJk​ follows JjJ_jJj​ on every machine.
  2. The travelling-salesman reformulation: if all processing times are positive, a feasible schedule with Cmax⁡≤yC_{\max}\le yCmax​≤y (resp. ∑Cℓ≤y\sum C_\ell\le y∑Cℓ​≤y) exists iff some job order has path length (resp. summed completion times along the path) at most yyy.
  3. An admissible ordering ι\iotaι exists for every n≠2n\ne2n=2.
  4. All processing times of the construction are at least 111.
  5. The delays of the construction: cjk=μ+2λc_{jk}=\mu+2\lambdacjk​=μ+2λ if (j,k)∈A(j,k)\in A(j,k)∈A, and μ+2λ+2\mu+2\lambda+2μ+2λ+2 otherwise.
  6. Theorem 5(a), the equivalence: GGG has a Hamilton path   ⟺  \iff⟺ Cmax⁡≤(n−1)(μ+2λ)+mμC_{\max}\le(n-1)(\mu+2\lambda)+m\muCmax​≤(n−1)(μ+2λ)+mμ.
  7. Theorem 5(b), the equivalence: GGG has a Hamilton path   ⟺  \iff⟺ ∑jCj≤12n(n−1)(μ+2λ)+nmμ\sum_jC_j\le\tfrac12n(n-1)(\mu+2\lambda)+nm\mu∑j​Cj​≤21​n(n−1)(μ+2λ)+nmμ.
  8. Theorem 2(d), off the goal's path: G′G'G′ has a Hamilton circuit iff the graph obtained by splitting a vertex v′v'v′ into v′v'v′ and a new sink v′′v''v′′ has a Hamilton path.

Significance

The result. Theorem 5, together with the NP-completeness of DIRECTED HAMILTON PATH, places both no-wait criteria among the NP-complete problems once mmm is part of the input. The Gilmore–Gomory algorithm for two machines therefore cannot be extended to arbitrary mmm unless P = NP, and heuristics and exact exponential methods for no-wait shops are justified. The reduction also gives a structural fact of independent use: every directed graph can be realized, up to two arc-weight values, as the delay matrix of a no-wait flow shop.

Formalizing it. The result has been proved for fifty years; to our knowledge no machine-checked version exists. This mission produces a checked no-wait flow shop model, a checked travelling-salesman reformulation of it, the correctness of the paper's construction, and a polynomial-time reduction in an explicit Turing-machine model. It also records a gap in the printed proof: the ordering ι\iotaι the paper calls easy to construct does not exist for n=2n=2n=2.

Difficulty

Three steps are not routine.

  1. The passage from schedules to job orders assumes that the order in which jobs start is the order in which they visit every machine. With zero processing times this fails, so the reformulation needs the positivity milestone.
  2. Computing the delays requires a case analysis over all machines and all pairs of perturbations. The property of ι\iotaι is exactly what keeps the "+++" and "−-−" cases from colliding, and the constants λ≥1\lambda\ge1λ≥1, μ≥2λ+3\mu\ge2\lambda+3μ≥2λ+3 are tight enough that the comparison must be done carefully.
  3. The goal asks for an actual Turing machine with a polynomial step bound. It has to build ι\iotaι for every n≠2n\ne2n=2 and handle n≤2n\le2n≤2 separately. The equivalences alone do not give this.

Formalization scope

Jobs and machines are 000-based (Fin n, Fin m); cum p ℓ i is the paper's qℓiq_{\ell i}qℓi​, and the machine indices ι(j,k)\iota(j,k)ι(j,k) are the paper's 111-based indices. Start times are natural numbers, and release dates are 000. Section 3 computes times from processing orders on integer data, and every criterion is regular, so real start times would not change the yes-instances. A zero-length operation occupies the empty interval. Cmax⁡≤yC_{\max}\le yCmax​≤y is stated as Cℓ≤yC_\ell\le yCℓ​≤y for every job. The delays, the partial sums of the construction and its processing times are computed in Z\mathbb ZZ. The instance uses their conversion to N\mathbb NN, which is exact by milestone 4. The threshold of Theorem 5(b) is compared in Q\mathbb QQ, as printed.

The paper's loose phrases are made explicit as follows:

  • "scheduled directly after" means "precedes on every machine";
  • "equivalent to solving the TRAVELLING SALESMAN problem" means the two threshold equivalences of milestone 2, with the ∑Cj\sum C_j∑Cj​ version as the reading of "constructed as in (a)";
  • "such an ordering can easily be constructed" is stated for n≠2n\ne2n=2, the only case in which it is true.

Directed graphs are Boolean adjacency matrices. A graph with 000 or 111 vertices has a Hamilton path, and a one-vertex graph has a Hamilton circuit iff it has a loop.

The goal is CookPvsNP.PolyReducible from the published definition CookPvsNP_defs, with polynomial time measured on Cook's one-tape Turing machines. Instances are coded with the alphabet BSym and binary code encNats of the published ProjSchedTW.Complexity.Encoding (Neumann, Schwindt and Zimmermann). A graph is coded as nnn followed by its adjacency matrix; a flow-shop instance as nnn, mmm, the matrix (pℓi)(p_{\ell i})(pℓi​) and the threshold yyy.

Stating only the equivalences 6–7 and calling the result "reducible" would drop polynomiality; the goal therefore asserts PolyReducible. The target languages contain exactly the no-wait flow-shop instances, with no waiting allowed, so the reduction cannot land in a looser problem. The parameters λ,μ\lambda,\muλ,μ always carry λ≥1\lambda\ge1λ≥1, μ≥2λ+3\mu\ge2\lambda+3μ≥2λ+3.

Contributions are welcome at every level:

  • the general travelling-salesman reformulation, which is reusable for any no-wait flow-shop result;
  • the combinatorial existence of ι\iotaι;
  • the arithmetic of the construction;
  • Turing-machine infrastructure for computing arithmetic list transformations in polynomial time, which every reduction in this series needs.

Selected references

  • P. Brucker, J. K. Lenstra, A. H. G. Rinnooy Kan, Complexity of Machine Scheduling Problems, Mathematisch Centrum Report BW 43/75, Amsterdam, 1975; Annals of Discrete Mathematics 1 (1977) 343–362. doi:10.1016/S0167-5060(08)70743-X
  • R. M. Karp, Reducibility among combinatorial problems, in Complexity of Computer Computations, Plenum, 1972, 85–103. doi:10.1007/978-1-4684-2001-2_9
  • P. C. Gilmore, R. E. Gomory, Sequencing a one state-variable machine: a solvable case of the traveling salesman problem, Operations Research 12 (1964) 655–679. doi:10.1287/opre.12.5.655
  • D. A. Wismer, Solution of the flowshop-scheduling problem with no intermediate queues, Operations Research 20 (1972) 689–697. doi:10.1287/opre.20.3.689
  • S. S. Reddi, C. V. Ramamoorthy, On the flow-shop sequencing problem with no wait in process, Operational Research Quarterly 23 (1972) 323–331. doi:10.1057/jors.1972.52
  • H. Röck, The three-machine no-wait flow shop is NP-complete, Journal of the ACM 31 (1984) 336–345. doi:10.1145/62.65
  • N. G. Hall, C. Sriskandarajah, A survey of machine scheduling problems with blocking and no-wait in process, Operations Research 44 (1996) 510–525. doi:10.1287/opre.44.3.510
  • S. A. Cook, The complexity of theorem-proving procedures, STOC 1971, 151–158. doi:10.1145/800157.805047
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🏆Completed
CombinatoricsOperations ResearchProbability+1·Captain: mikedeng1

An Optimal Algorithm for On-line Bipartite Matching 2: No Randomized On-line Algorithm Guarantees an Expected Matching Larger Than n(1 − 1/e) + o(n)Research Paper

Motivation

An online matching algorithm must commit to each assignment when a request arrives, before it sees later requests. This limitation arises whenever waiting for the full instance is impossible: an available resource can be assigned to a current request or saved for an unknown future request. The quality of the assignment is measured by how many requests can be matched. The central question is how much the lack of future information costs, even when an algorithm uses randomness. Karp, U. Vazirani, and V. Vazirani studied this question for bipartite graphs and proved an asymptotic ceiling of 1−1/e1-1/e1−1/e for the expected fraction matched by any randomized online rule on graphs with a perfect matching (Karp, Vazirani, and Vazirani, 1990).

The paper also analyzes RANKING and gives a matching asymptotic guarantee from below. This mission concerns the separate upper-bound result: the existence of hard instances for every algorithm. The upper bound matters independently of any particular proposed rule. It says that improving an algorithm's decisions cannot remove the worst-case loss due to decisions made before all columns are revealed. Its quantifiers make the adversarial model precise: the graph is selected with knowledge of the algorithm, before that algorithm's random choices are made.

Setting

There are nnn boys, represented by rows, and nnn girls, represented by columns. A bipartite graph G⊆[n]×[n]G\subseteq[n]\times[n]G⊆[n]×[n] records which boy and girl pairs may be matched. The graph is assumed to contain a perfect matching: some bijection between the two sides uses only edges of GGG. This assumption supplies an offline benchmark of nnn matches. Without it, a graph with no edges would make every upper bound on matching size empty of content.

Girls arrive one at a time. On arrival, the algorithm learns the edges incident to that girl, chooses an as-yet-unmatched adjacent boy, or declines to match her. A choice cannot later be changed. The paper labels columns so that they arrive in the order n,n−1,…,1n,n-1,\ldots,1n,n−1,…,1. A deterministic algorithm can base its action on the neighborhoods revealed so far. A randomized algorithm can additionally use internal random choices. Its performance p(A)p(A)p(A) is the minimum, over a graph with a perfect matching and a preselected arrival order, of its expected number of matches; the expectation is over its own randomness (Karp, Vazirani, and Vazirani, 1990, p. 352).

The paper's hard family begins with the complete upper-triangular graph TnT_nTn​, where row iii is adjacent to column jjj exactly when i≤ji\le ji≤j. Its columns arrive from largest to smallest. Relabeling the rows by a permutation π\piπ gives an instance TπT_\piTπ​ that still contains a perfect matching. The algorithm RANDOM takes an eligible boy uniformly whenever at least one is available. Write VTn(n,∅)V_{T_n}(n,\varnothing)VTn​​(n,∅) for RANDOM's expected number of matches on TnT_nTn​, beginning with no matched rows (Karp, Vazirani, and Vazirani, 1990, p. 357).

Formalization targets

Main theorem

For every ε>0\varepsilon>0ε>0, there is one threshold NNN such that, for every n≥Nn\ge Nn≥N and every randomized online algorithm AAA on nnn rows and columns, a graph GGG with a perfect matching satisfies

EA[∣M(G)∣]≤(1−e−1+ε)n.\mathbb E_A[|M(G)|]\le (1-e^{-1}+\varepsilon)n.EA​[∣M(G)∣]≤(1−e−1+ε)n.

The threshold is uniform over algorithms. The graph may depend on AAA. This is the quantified upper-bound reading of Theorem 2's p(A)≤n(1−1/e)+o(n)p(A)\le n(1-1/e)+o(n)p(A)≤n(1−1/e)+o(n) (Karp, Vazirani, and Vazirani, 1990, Theorem 2).

Milestone statements

Lemma 13 identifies the average size produced by any deterministic greedy algorithm on a uniformly permuted TnT_nTn​ with RANDOM's expected size on TnT_nTn​. Lemma 14 bounds the worst-case performance of every randomized algorithm, including non-greedy algorithms, by that value. Lemma 16 identifies the value itself by the two-sided limit

lim⁡n→∞VTn(n,∅)n=1−e−1.\lim_{n\to\infty}\frac{V_{T_n}(n,\varnothing)}{n}=1-e^{-1}.n→∞lim​nVTn​​(n,∅)​=1−e−1.

Together these statements give the finite-instance comparison and the asymptotic value named in the goal (Karp, Vazirani, and Vazirani, 1990, Lemmas 13, 14, 16).

Significance

Theorem 2 limits what any randomized online matching rule can guarantee under the paper's oblivious-adversary performance measure. Since the hard graph always admits a perfect matching, the gap from nnn is caused by the order of information and the required irrevocable decisions. The statement applies to the entire algorithm class, rather than comparing two selected procedures. It therefore provides the ceiling against which the paper's lower guarantee for RANKING is measured.

Formalizing the result requires a reusable description of finite online algorithms, their visible histories, and expected matching size. It also requires a definition of uniform random choice from currently eligible rows with an explicit empty-choice case. The 1990 result is proved in the paper; the statements in this mission are targets for machine-checked proofs, not claims of an existing formal proof. The model can support later statements about other matching rules and hard-input distributions without changing the meaning of an online decision.

Difficulty

For a fixed graph, an algorithm can be designed around the graph's particular perfect matching, so one hard graph cannot simply be announced in advance for all deterministic algorithms. The theorem instead has to bound each randomized algorithm against a graph selected for that algorithm. Even then, checking the triangular graph against one rule does not establish a universal bound: different rules can respond differently to the same revealed neighborhoods. The crucial mathematical obstacle is a comparison across all such rules while preserving the restriction that future columns remain unseen. A further asymptotic step is needed to determine RANDOM's value on the triangular family, including both sides of the o(n)o(n)o(n) claim in Lemma 16.

Formalization scope

Both sides are Fin n. An edge set is a subset of row-column pairs. The published perfect-matching predicate is reused: it asks for a bijection whose every selected pair is an edge. The paper's one-based column order n,…,1n,\ldots,1n,…,1 is represented by zero-based order n−1,…,0n-1,\ldots,0n−1,…,0; arrival number zero is the largest column. A deterministic rule receives only the neighborhoods of columns that have arrived, including the current column. A randomized rule is a probability mass function on the finite set of deterministic rules, allowing arbitrary correlations among its choices. The expected size is a finite sum over that mass function.

RANDOM is represented by the conditional-expectation recursion for uniform choice among eligible rows. If none is eligible, the column remains unmatched and there is no division by zero. For n=0n=0n=0, the matching and RANDOM value are zero; the main theorem is eventual in nnn and Lemma 16's value at zero does not affect the limit. Lemma 16 uses a two-sided limit. The paper's o(n)o(n)o(n) in Theorem 2 is stated as ∀ε>0,∃N,∀n≥N\forall\varepsilon>0,\exists N,\forall n\ge N∀ε>0,∃N,∀n≥N with NNN before the algorithm, so the error is uniform across algorithms. A hard graph must contain a perfect matching; dropping this condition would let the empty graph satisfy the inequality trivially.

Useful contributions include finite probabilistic averaging, the greedy comparison, analysis of the recursive RANDOM value, and a proof joining Lemmas 14 and 16 into the uniform goal. The history and matching-run definitions are reusable for other finite online bipartite matching statements. The two numbered claims inside the paper's proof of Lemma 13 and its later remarks are outside the mission's curated milestone list.

Selected references

  • Richard M. Karp, Umesh V. Vazirani, and Vijay V. Vazirani, An Optimal Algorithm for On-line Bipartite Matching, Proceedings of the 22nd Annual ACM Symposium on Theory of Computing, pp. 352–358, 1990. DOI: 10.1145/100216.100262.
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Convex OptimizationOperations ResearchOptimization+1·Captain: mikedeng1

Wait-and-Judge Scenario Optimization 1: For Convex Programs, Seeing s_N Support Constraints Gives P^N{V(x_N) > ε(s_N)} ≤ γ, the Value of the Variational Problem (10)Research Paper

Motivation

Many decision problems in control, finance and engineering must hold against an uncertain parameter δ\deltaδ whose distribution is unknown, while samples of δ\deltaδ (measurements, historical records, simulations) are available. The scenario approach replaces the uncertain constraint by the constraints of the NNN observed samples and solves the resulting convex program. The open question is then how robust its solution is: with what probability does a new, unseen δ\deltaδ violate it?

The classical answer, due to Calafiore and Campi (doi:10.1007/s10107-003-0499-y, 2005; doi:10.1109/TAC.2006.875041, 2006) and sharpened by Campi and Garatti (doi:10.1137/07069821X, 2008), is an a-priori bound: it depends only on NNN and the dimension ddd, and it is tight for the worst problems. It is conservative for the many problems whose solution is determined by far fewer than ddd samples. Campi and Garatti's wait-and-judge theorem (doi:10.1007/s10107-016-1056-9, Math. Program. 2018) replaces it by an a-posteriori certificate: after solving, count the samples that actually determine the solution and certify the solution at a level that depends on that count.

Timeline:

  • 2005–2006, Calafiore and Campi: a convex scenario program in Rd\mathbb R^dRd has at most ddd support constraints; first sample-size bounds.
  • 2008, Campi and Garatti: the exact bound PN{V(xN∗)>ϵ}≤∑i=0d−1(Ni)ϵi(1−ϵ)N−i\mathbb P^N\{V(x^*_N)>\epsilon\}\le\sum_{i=0}^{d-1}\binom Ni\epsilon^i(1-\epsilon)^{N-i}PN{V(xN∗​)>ϵ}≤∑i=0d−1​(iN​)ϵi(1−ϵ)N−i, with equality for fully-supported problems.
  • 2018, Campi and Garatti: the wait-and-judge bound, Theorem 1 below, with the 2008 bound as a corollary.

Setting

The decision variable is x∈Rdx\in\mathbb R^dx∈Rd. A problem consists of a cost vector c∈Rdc\in\mathbb R^dc∈Rd, a convex domain X⊆Rd\mathcal X\subseteq\mathbb R^dX⊆Rd, convex constraint sets Xδ⊆Rd\mathcal X_\delta\subseteq\mathbb R^dXδ​⊆Rd indexed by δ\deltaδ in a probability space (Δ,F,P)(\Delta,\mathcal F,\mathbb P)(Δ,F,P), and convex tie-break functions t1,…,tpt_1,\dots,t_pt1​,…,tp​. Given an i.i.d. sample δ(1),…,δ(N)\delta^{(1)},\dots,\delta^{(N)}δ(1),…,δ(N) with N>dN>dN>d, the scenario program is

min⁡x∈X cTxsubject tox∈⋂i=1NXδ(i).\min_{x\in\mathcal X}\ c^{\mathsf T}x\quad\text{subject to}\quad x\in\bigcap_{i=1}^N\mathcal X_{\delta^{(i)}}.x∈Xmin​ cTxsubject tox∈i=1⋂N​Xδ(i)​.

Ties are broken by minimising t1t_1t1​ among the minimisers, then t2t_2t2​, and so on; the resulting solution is xN∗x^*_NxN∗​.

  • The violation of a point is V(x)=P{δ∈Δ:x∉Xδ}V(x)=\mathbb P\{\delta\in\Delta: x\notin\mathcal X_\delta\}V(x)=P{δ∈Δ:x∈/Xδ​}.
  • A constraint is a support constraint if removing it changes the solution; sN∗s^*_NsN∗​ is their number.
  • Assumption 1: for every mmm and every sample of size mmm, the program with those mmm constraints has a unique tie-broken solution.
  • Assumption 2 (non-degeneracy): for every mmm, with probability one, keeping only the support constraints does not change the solution.

The variational problem (10) is: for a function ϵ:{0,…,d}→[0,1]\epsilon:\{0,\dots,d\}\to[0,1]ϵ:{0,…,d}→[0,1],

γ∗=inf⁡ξ∈Cd[0,1]ξ(1)s.t.1k!dkdtkξ(t)≥(Nk)tN−k 1[0,1−ϵ(k))(t),  t∈[0,1], k=0,…,d.\gamma^*=\inf_{\xi\in C^d[0,1]}\xi(1)\quad\text{s.t.}\quad\frac1{k!}\frac{\mathrm d^k}{\mathrm dt^k}\xi(t)\ge\binom Nk t^{N-k}\,\mathbf 1_{[0,1-\epsilon(k))}(t),\ \ t\in[0,1],\ k=0,\dots,d.γ∗=ξ∈Cd[0,1]inf​ξ(1)s.t.k!1​dtkdk​ξ(t)≥(kN​)tN−k1[0,1−ϵ(k))​(t),  t∈[0,1], k=0,…,d.

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem 1 (p. 10)

For every [0,1][0,1][0,1]-valued ϵ(k)\epsilon(k)ϵ(k), under Assumptions 1 and 2,

PN{V(xN∗)>ϵ(sN∗)} ≤ γ∗.\mathbb P^N\{V(x^*_N)>\epsilon(s^*_N)\}\ \le\ \gamma^*.PN{V(xN∗​)>ϵ(sN∗​)} ≤ γ∗.

The level ϵ\epsilonϵ is evaluated at the observed number of support constraints. The goal fixes no particular ϵ\epsilonϵ, which keeps it stable under any later choice of levels.

Milestones (the proof of Theorem 1, Sect. 5.1)

  1. sm∗≤ds^*_m\le dsm∗​≤d for every sample (quoted from [7]).
  2. (14): PN{V(xN∗)>ϵ(k)∧sN∗=k}=(Nk) PN{A}\mathbb P^N\{V(x^*_N)>\epsilon(k)\wedge s^*_N=k\}=\binom Nk\,\mathbb P^N\{A\}PN{V(xN∗​)>ϵ(k)∧sN∗​=k}=(kN​)PN{A}, where AAA adds "the first kkk constraints are of support".
  3. A=BA=BA=B up to a null set, where BBB concerns the program on the first kkk samples.
  4. (16): PN{A}=∫(ϵ(k),1](1−v)N−k dFk(v)\mathbb P^N\{A\}=\int_{(\epsilon(k),1]}(1-v)^{N-k}\,\mathrm dF_k(v)PN{A}=∫(ϵ(k),1]​(1−v)N−kdFk​(v), with Fk(v)=Pk{V(xk∗)≤v∧sk∗=k}F_k(v)=\mathbb P^k\{V(x^*_k)\le v\wedge s^*_k=k\}Fk​(v)=Pk{V(xk∗​)≤v∧sk∗​=k}.
  5. (17): PN{V(xN∗)>ϵ(sN∗)}=∑k=0d(Nk)∫(ϵ(k),1](1−v)N−k dFk(v)\mathbb P^N\{V(x^*_N)>\epsilon(s^*_N)\}=\sum_{k=0}^d\binom Nk\int_{(\epsilon(k),1]}(1-v)^{N-k}\,\mathrm dF_k(v)PN{V(xN∗​)>ϵ(sN∗​)}=∑k=0d​(kN​)∫(ϵ(k),1]​(1−v)N−kdFk​(v).
  6. (18): ∑k=0min⁡{m,d}(mk)∫[0,1](1−v)m−k dFk(v)=1\sum_{k=0}^{\min\{m,d\}}\binom mk\int_{[0,1]}(1-v)^{m-k}\,\mathrm dF_k(v)=1∑k=0min{m,d}​(km​)∫[0,1]​(1−v)m−kdFk​(v)=1 for every mmm.
  7. Weak duality between the truncated moment problem (20) and its dual (21), giving (22).
  8. (23): 1k!dkdtktm=(mk)tm−k\frac1{k!}\frac{\mathrm d^k}{\mathrm dt^k}t^m=\binom mk t^{m-k}k!1​dtkdk​tm=(km​)tm−k for m≥km\ge km≥k, and 000 otherwise.
  9. (24): the infimum of p(1)p(1)p(1) over polynomials feasible for (10) equals γ∗\gamma^*γ∗.

Companions

  • Theorem 2 (p. 11): for β∈(0,1)\beta\in(0,1)β∈(0,1) and ϵ(k)=1−t(k)\epsilon(k)=1-t(k)ϵ(k)=1−t(k), with t(k)t(k)t(k) the unique root in (0,1)(0,1)(0,1) of βN+1∑m=kN(mk)tm−k−(Nk)tN−k=0\frac{\beta}{N+1}\sum_{m=k}^N\binom mk t^{m-k}-\binom Nk t^{N-k}=0N+1β​∑m=kN​(km​)tm−k−(kN​)tN−k=0, the probability is at most β\betaβ.
  • The root lemma of Sect. 5.3, including its sign and divergence claims.
  • γ∗≤∑i<d(Ni)ϵi(1−ϵ)N−i\gamma^*\le\sum_{i<d}\binom Ni\epsilon^i(1-\epsilon)^{N-i}γ∗≤∑i<d​(iN​)ϵi(1−ϵ)N−i for constant ϵ\epsilonϵ (Sect. 5.2).
  • Corollary 1, the 2008 bound.

Significance

Theorem 1 turns the number of support constraints, which is observed after solving, into a confidence statement that holds uniformly over all convex problems and all distributions. With Theorem 2's choice of ϵ(k)\epsilon(k)ϵ(k), a user who finds k≪dk\ll dk≪d support constraints obtains a level ϵ(k)\epsilon(k)ϵ(k) comparable to that of a kkk-dimensional problem, which is far below the a-priori level for dimension ddd. The classical bound (2) is recovered as Corollary 1, so Theorem 1 contains the earlier theory.

The result is proved in the paper. As far as is known, it has no machine-checked proof. A formalization produces:

  • a formal account of scenario programs with lexicographic tie-break and of support constraints in the "changes the solution" sense;
  • the exchangeability argument (14) on product measures;
  • the representation (17) of a tail probability through generalized distribution functions;
  • a weak-duality argument for a generalized moment problem. The 2008 bound itself is posed on the platform as an open problem under other hypotheses; Corollary 1 states it under this paper's assumptions.

Difficulty

The obvious approach bounds the probability for each value of sN∗s^*_NsN∗​ separately by a binomial tail, then sums. This fails: the event sN∗=ks^*_N=ksN∗​=k is not known in advance, and summing the individual bounds over kkk loses the uniformity that makes the result useful. The paper instead characterises every convex problem by the (d+1)(d+1)(d+1)-tuple (F0,…,Fd)(F_0,\dots,F_d)(F0​,…,Fd​). It then maximises (17) over all tuples satisfying the infinitely many moment conditions (18), which is a generalized moment problem in d+1d+1d+1 measures, and solves it by duality.

Two steps carry most of the work. One is the almost-sure identity A=BA=BA=B, which depends on the precise interplay of Assumptions 1 and 2 with the tie-break. The other is passing from the polynomial dual problems to the variational problem (10), which needs a density argument in Cd[0,1]C^d[0,1]Cd[0,1]. The bound sN∗≤ds^*_N\le dsN∗​≤d itself is quoted from the earlier literature; it needs a Helly-type argument adapted to the lexicographic tie-break.

Formalization scope

  • Spaces. The decision space is EuclideanSpace ℝ (Fin d) with its Borel σ-algebra, and samples are Fin N → Δ, indexed from 000. P\mathbb PP is a probability measure and PN\mathbb P^NPN is the product measure.
  • Tie-break. The tie-broken solution is the lexicographic minimiser of (cTx,t1(x),…,tp(x))(c^{\mathsf T}x,t_1(x),\dots,t_p(x))(cTx,t1​(x),…,tp​(x)) and depends only on the feasible set, which is what makes the exchangeability step valid. A support constraint is one whose removal changes this solution; this is not the platform's earlier "removal lowers the cost" notion.
  • Assumptions. Assumption 1 is required for every sample, Assumption 2 almost surely.
  • Measurability. The paper takes measurability for granted (footnote 1). Here it is two explicit hypotheses: the relation {(x,δ):x∈Xδ}\{(x,\delta):x\in\mathcal X_\delta\}{(x,δ):x∈Xδ​} is measurable, and every solution map ω↦xm∗(ω)\omega\mapsto x^*_m(\omega)ω↦xm∗​(ω) is measurable. No event is assumed measurable directly.
  • FkF_kFk​. FkF_kFk​ is the finite measure on R\mathbb RR given by the law of V(xk∗)V(x^*_k)V(xk∗​) on the event {sk∗=k}\{s^*_k=k\}{sk∗​=k}; it is not normalised.
  • Problem (10). Cd[0,1]C^d[0,1]Cd[0,1] is ContDiffOn ℝ d on [0,1][0,1][0,1], with derivatives taken within [0,1][0,1][0,1]. γ∗\gamma^*γ∗ is a real infimum over a set that is nonempty (ξ(t)=tN\xi(t)=t^Nξ(t)=tN) and bounded below by 000.
  • Probabilities are compared with real quantities through ENNReal.ofReal.
  • Theorem 2 is stated for every ϵ\epsilonϵ whose values 1−ϵ(k)1-\epsilon(k)1−ϵ(k) are roots of (11) in (0,1)(0,1)(0,1), which by its first part is the paper's ϵ\epsilonϵ.
  • Added hypothesis. The constant-ϵ\epsilonϵ companion assumes d≥1d\ge1d≥1: at d=0d=0d=0, ϵ=0\epsilon=0ϵ=0 its inequality is false.

Ruled-out trivializations:

  • The solution is never a free function of the sample.
  • The goal does not mention FkF_kFk​, moments or polynomials.
  • Assumption 1 is not weakened to almost surely.
  • N>dN>dN>d is kept on Theorems 1, 2 and Corollary 1.
  • The indicators keep the paper's open and closed ends: [0,1−ϵ(k))[0,1-\epsilon(k))[0,1−ϵ(k)) in (10), (ϵ(k),1](\epsilon(k),1](ϵ(k),1] in (16)–(21).

Contributions welcome:

  • the support-constraint bound under lexicographic tie-break, which is reusable for any convex scenario result;
  • the exchangeability lemma on Measure.pi;
  • the duality and density lemmas, which are pure analysis.

Selected references

  • M. C. Campi, S. Garatti, Wait-and-judge scenario optimization, Mathematical Programming 167 (2018). https://doi.org/10.1007/s10107-016-1056-9
  • G. C. Calafiore, M. C. Campi, Uncertain convex programs: randomized solutions and confidence levels, Mathematical Programming 102 (2005). https://doi.org/10.1007/s10107-003-0499-y
  • G. C. Calafiore, M. C. Campi, The scenario approach to robust control design, IEEE Transactions on Automatic Control 51 (2006). https://doi.org/10.1109/TAC.2006.875041
  • M. C. Campi, S. Garatti, The exact feasibility of randomized solutions of uncertain convex programs, SIAM Journal on Optimization 19 (2008). https://doi.org/10.1137/07069821X
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Operations ResearchOptimizationProbability·Captain: mikedeng1

Supply Chain Coordination with Contracts VI: With a Forecast Update, Buy-Back Terms with w₁ − w₂ + λc₂ = λc₁ Give the Retailer λΩ₁(q₁) and a Lower Period-2 Margin w₂ − c₂ < w₁ − c₁Textbook

Motivation

A newsvendor retailer who may order twice faces a tradeoff. Ordering late lets the retailer use a better demand forecast. Ordering early lets the supplier produce more cheaply, with longer procurement lead times and no overtime labor. Fisher and Raman (1996) document such forecast improvements between ordering epochs in fashion apparel. A decentralized supply chain must balance cheap early production against well-informed late production, and it is not obvious that a simple contract can induce both firms to strike the balance an integrated firm would choose.

This mission formalizes §6.6 of G. P. Cachon's survey chapter Supply Chain Coordination with Contracts (Handbooks in OR & MS, Vol. 11, 2003), read in the author's January 2003 draft. The section builds on Donohue (2000), who studied the same two-mode production problem under forced compliance. The chapter's model lets the supplier operate under voluntary compliance: she may deliver less than the retailer orders, and she may produce more in period 1 than was ordered. The question is whether a buy back contract with one wholesale price per ordering epoch still coordinates the supply chain.

Setting

A demand signal ξ≥0\xi \ge 0ξ≥0 with density ggg and distribution function GGG is observed once before the selling season. Given ξ\xiξ, demand DDD has distribution function F(⋅ ∣ ξ)F(\cdot\,|\,\xi)F(⋅∣ξ), continuous and strictly increasing on [0,∞)[0,\infty)[0,∞). Demand is stochastically increasing in the signal: F(x ∣ ξh)<F(x ∣ ξl)F(x\,|\,\xi_h) < F(x\,|\,\xi_l)F(x∣ξh​)<F(x∣ξl​) for ξh>ξl\xi_h > \xi_lξh​>ξl​. Expected sales are S(q ∣ ξ)=E[min⁡(q,D) ∣ ξ]S(q\,|\,\xi) = E[\min(q,D)\,|\,\xi]S(q∣ξ)=E[min(q,D)∣ξ]. Period 1 is before the signal and period 2 is after it. The retailer's total order is q1q_1q1​ after period 1 and q2≥q1q_2 \ge q_1q2​≥q1​ after period 2. The supplier's unit production cost is cic_ici​ in period iii, with c1<c2<pc_1 < c_2 < pc1​<c2​<p, where ppp is the retail price. Salvage values and goodwill costs are zero.

The supply chain's period-2 objective is

Ω2(q2 ∣ q1,ξ)=pS(q2 ∣ ξ)−c2q2+c2q1,\Omega_2(q_2\,|\,q_1,\xi) = pS(q_2\,|\,\xi) - c_2 q_2 + c_2 q_1 ,Ω2​(q2​∣q1​,ξ)=pS(q2​∣ξ)−c2​q2​+c2​q1​,

and q2(q1,ξ)q_2(q_1,\xi)q2​(q1​,ξ) maximizes it over q2≥q1q_2 \ge q_1q2​≥q1​. The supply chain's expected profit is Ω1(q1)=−c1q1+E[Ω2(q2(q1,ξ) ∣ q1,ξ)]\Omega_1(q_1) = -c_1 q_1 + E[\Omega_2(q_2(q_1,\xi)\,|\,q_1,\xi)]Ω1​(q1​)=−c1​q1​+E[Ω2​(q2​(q1​,ξ)∣q1​,ξ)].

Under the buy back contract {w1,w2,b}\{w_1, w_2, b\}{w1​,w2​,b} the retailer pays wiw_iwi​ per unit ordered in period iii, and the supplier refunds bbb per unsold unit. The retailer's period-2 profit is π2(q2 ∣ q1,ξ)=(p−b)S(q2 ∣ ξ)−(w2−b)q2+w2q1\pi_2(q_2\,|\,q_1,\xi) = (p-b)S(q_2\,|\,\xi) - (w_2-b)q_2 + w_2 q_1π2​(q2​∣q1​,ξ)=(p−b)S(q2​∣ξ)−(w2​−b)q2​+w2​q1​, and his period-1 profit is π1(q1)=−w1q1+E[π2(q2(q1,ξ) ∣ q1,ξ)]\pi_1(q_1) = -w_1 q_1 + E[\pi_2(q_2(q_1,\xi)\,|\,q_1,\xi)]π1​(q1​)=−w1​q1​+E[π2​(q2​(q1​,ξ)∣q1​,ξ)]. The supplier's period-2 profit Π2\Pi_2Π2​ and her period-1 profit Π1(x ∣ q1)\Pi_1(x\,|\,q_1)Π1​(x∣q1​), as functions of the stock xxx she holds, are given in the mission's Profits definition.

Formalization targets

Goal: the buy back contract coordinates

For λ∈[0,1]\lambda \in [0,1]λ∈[0,1] with

p−b=λp,w2−b=λc2,w1−w2+λc2=λc1,p - b = \lambda p,\qquad w_2 - b = \lambda c_2,\qquad w_1 - w_2 + \lambda c_2 = \lambda c_1,p−b=λp,w2​−b=λc2​,w1​−w2​+λc2​=λc1​,

the identities

π2(q2 ∣ q1,ξ)=λ(Ω2(q2 ∣ q1,ξ)−c2q1)+w2q1,π1(q1)=λ Ω1(q1)\pi_2(q_2\,|\,q_1,\xi) = \lambda\big(\Omega_2(q_2\,|\,q_1,\xi) - c_2 q_1\big) + w_2 q_1,\qquad \pi_1(q_1) = \lambda\,\Omega_1(q_1)π2​(q2​∣q1​,ξ)=λ(Ω2​(q2​∣q1​,ξ)−c2​q1​)+w2​q1​,π1​(q1​)=λΩ1​(q1​)

hold, so the supply chain's optima in both periods are the retailer's optima (with equivalence for λ>0\lambda > 0λ>0). In addition,

w2−c2=w1−(λc1+(1−λ)c2)<w1−c1(λ<1).w_2 - c_2 = w_1 - \big(\lambda c_1 + (1-\lambda)c_2\big) < w_1 - c_1 \quad (\lambda < 1).w2​−c2​=w1​−(λc1​+(1−λ)c2​)<w1​−c1​(λ<1).

Milestones

  1. The structure of the period-2 problem, Eqs. (25)–(26): q2(ξ)q_2(\xi)q2​(ξ) solves F(q2(ξ) ∣ ξ)=(p−c2)/pF(q_2(\xi)\,|\,\xi) = (p-c_2)/pF(q2​(ξ)∣ξ)=(p−c2​)/p and increases in ξ\xiξ, and the threshold ξ(q1)\xi(q_1)ξ(q1​) splits the signals into those that trigger a period-2 order and those that do not.
  2. The retailer's period-2 identity (p. 65).
  3. The supplier fills any period-2 order up to q2(q1,ξ)q_2(q_1,\xi)q2​(q1​,ξ), and for λ<1\lambda < 1λ<1 she does not fill a larger one (p. 65).
  4. The retailer's period-1 identity (p. 66).
  5. The first-order condition (27) for q1oq_1^oq1o​.
  6. The supplier's period-2 profit increases in her stock below q1q_1q1​, so she produces at least the period-1 order (p. 66).
  7. The supplier produces exactly the period-1 order (p. 67).
  8. The margin comparison (p. 67).

Significance

The result shows that the buy back contract, which coordinates the single-period newsvendor, extends to a setting with a forecast update and two production modes, even when the supplier is free to under-deliver or to stockpile. Profit can be divided arbitrarily through λ\lambdaλ. Coordination also forces the supplier's margin on expensive late production below her margin on cheap early production, which contradicts the intuition that the better-informed late order should command a premium. Milestone 7 rules out stranded inventory: under the coordinating terms the supplier never stocks more than the retailer ordered in period 1.

These results are established on paper in Cachon's chapter. No machine-checked version is known. The identities are algebraic. The supplier's production result needs differentiation of an expectation over the signal across the moving threshold ξ(x)\xi(x)ξ(x).

Difficulty

The retailer's identities reduce to algebra once the contract terms are substituted, and the margin comparison is one line. The substantive steps are the derivative formulas (27) and ∂Π1(x ∣ q1)/∂x=−c1+c2(1−G(ξ(x)))\partial \Pi_1(x\,|\,q_1)/\partial x = -c_1 + c_2(1 - G(\xi(x)))∂Π1​(x∣q1​)/∂x=−c1​+c2​(1−G(ξ(x))). The obvious move, differentiating inside the expectation term by term, fails because the period-2 optimum max⁡(q1,q2(ξ))\max(q_1, q_2(\xi))max(q1​,q2​(ξ)) has a kink at ξ=ξ(q1)\xi = \xi(q_1)ξ=ξ(q1​). The integrand switches between two regimes, and the switch point moves with q1q_1q1​. The supplier's period-1 profit is not differentiable at x=q1x = q_1x=q1​; only its right derivative is negative at q1oq_1^oq1o​. Turning the page's derivative statements into the global claim that x=q1ox = q_1^ox=q1o​ is her unique optimum needs a monotonicity argument on both sides of q1oq_1^oq1o​.

Formalization scope

The conditional law is a measurable family ξ↦Dξ\xi \mapsto D_\xiξ↦Dξ​ of probability measures on R\mathbb RR supported on [0,∞)[0,\infty)[0,∞), each with a finite mean, a continuous distribution function, and a distribution function strictly increasing on [0,∞)[0,\infty)[0,∞). The signal has a measurable density g≥0g \ge 0g≥0 with ∫0∞g=1\int_0^\infty g = 1∫0∞​g=1, and demand has a finite unconditional mean. These standing assumptions follow the chapter's p. 7 newsvendor model, together with the measurability needed for expectations over the signal. 0<c2<p0 < c_2 < p0<c2​<p makes the critical ratio lie in (0,1)(0,1)(0,1). Expected sales reuse the platform definition SupplyChainTheory.expSales (from SupplyChainTheory_contracts).

The optimum q2(q1,ξ)q_2(q_1,\xi)q2​(q1​,ξ) is a hypothesis-carried selection maximizing Ω2\Omega_2Ω2​ over q2≥q1q_2 \ge q_1q2​≥q1​. It is never an arbitrary function: a formalization that let q2(q1,ξ)q_2(q_1,\xi)q2​(q1​,ξ) be unconstrained would make π1=λΩ1\pi_1 = \lambda\Omega_1π1​=λΩ1​ a statement about meaningless orders. The thresholds ξ(q1)\xi(q_1)ξ(q1​) enter as solutions of (26) whose existence is assumed where the page assumes it. Optimal order quantities are taken over q1≥0q_1 \ge 0q1​≥0 and q2≥q1q_2 \ge q_1q2​≥q1​. Derivatives are stated with HasDerivAt (or HasDerivWithinAt for the right derivative at a kink).

Three corrections of the print are disclosed in the item notes:

  • the strict margin inequality fails at λ=1\lambda = 1λ=1;
  • the p. 66 identity for Π2(x,q1,q2,ξ)\Pi_2(x, q_1, q_2, \xi)Π2​(x,q1​,q2​,ξ) is off by the constant (1−λ)c2q1(1-\lambda)c_2q_1(1−λ)c2​q1​;
  • "retailer optimal equals chain optimal" needs λ>0\lambda > 0λ>0 in the converse direction.

Contributions are welcome on all milestones. A lemma that differentiates q↦E[max⁡q2≥qΩ2]q \mapsto E[\max_{q_2 \ge q} \Omega_2]q↦E[maxq2​≥q​Ω2​] with a density-driven threshold would be reusable beyond this mission.

Selected references

  • G. P. Cachon, Supply Chain Coordination with Contracts, in S. Graves and T. de Kok (eds.), Handbooks in Operations Research and Management Science, Vol. 11: Supply Chain Management, North-Holland, 2003, Ch. 6. https://doi.org/10.1016/S0927-0507(03)11006-7
  • K. L. Donohue, Efficient Supply Contracts for Fashion Goods with Forecast Updating and Two Production Modes, Management Science 46(11), 1397–1411, 2000. https://doi.org/10.1287/mnsc.46.11.1397.12088
  • M. Fisher and A. Raman, Reducing the Cost of Demand Uncertainty Through Accurate Response to Early Sales, Operations Research 44(1), 87–99, 1996. https://doi.org/10.1287/opre.44.1.87
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Complexity TheoryOperations ResearchTheoretical Computer Science·Captain: mikedeng1

Complexity of Machine Scheduling Problems 3: KNAPSACK Reduces to Single-Machine Total Weighted TardinessResearch Paper

Motivation

Minimizing total weighted tardiness on a single machine, written n∣1∣∣∑wjTjn|1||\sum w_jT_jn∣1∣∣∑wj​Tj​, is one of the basic problems of deterministic scheduling. A job that finishes after its due date is penalized in proportion to its lateness and its weight. Practitioners use this criterion to model penalty clauses and customer priority. In the theory it was a reference problem for branch-and-bound methods and dominance rules throughout the 1960s and 1970s.

Close relatives are easy: with equal weights and a common due date, shortest-processing-time order is optimal. Whether the weighted problem admits a polynomial algorithm was open until the report of Brucker, Lenstra and Rinnooy Kan in 1975. Their Theorem 4(d) shows that KNAPSACK reduces to it, so the problem is NP-hard. The unweighted case n∣1∣∣∑Tjn|1||\sum T_jn∣1∣∣∑Tj​ is listed there as open (Section 5) and was settled only later by Du and Leung (1990).

Timeline:

  • 1972: Karp proves KNAPSACK NP-complete (Karp 1972).
  • 1975: Brucker, Lenstra and Rinnooy Kan, Mathematisch Centrum Report BW 43/75, Theorem 4(d), reduce KNAPSACK to n∣1∣∣∑wjTjn|1||\sum w_jT_jn∣1∣∣∑wj​Tj​ (journal version: Annals of Discrete Mathematics 1, 1977).
  • 1977: Lawler gives a pseudopolynomial algorithm for n∣1∣∣∑Tjn|1||\sum T_jn∣1∣∣∑Tj​ and shows that n∣1∣∣∑wjTjn|1||\sum w_jT_jn∣1∣∣∑wj​Tj​ is strongly NP-hard (Lawler 1977).
  • 1990: Du and Leung prove n∣1∣∣∑Tjn|1||\sum T_jn∣1∣∣∑Tj​ NP-hard (Du & Leung 1990).

Setting

A KNAPSACK instance consists of positive integers a1,…,ata_1,\dots,a_ta1​,…,at​ and bbb. It is a yes-instance if some subset S⊆T={1,…,t}S\subseteq T=\{1,\dots,t\}S⊆T={1,…,t} satisfies ∑j∈Saj=b\sum_{j\in S}a_j=b∑j∈S​aj​=b. Write A=∑j∈TajA=\sum_{j\in T}a_jA=∑j∈T​aj​ and a∗=max⁡j∈Taja_*=\max_{j\in T}a_ja∗​=maxj∈T​aj​.

An instance of n∣1∣∣∑wjTjn|1||\sum w_jT_jn∣1∣∣∑wj​Tj​ consists of nnn jobs. Job jjj has a processing time pjp_jpj​, a weight wjw_jwj​ and a due date djd_jdj​, all nonnegative integers, and every job is available at time 000. A schedule gives each job a start time Bj∈NB_j\in\mathbb NBj​∈N, and no two jobs may overlap on the machine. Job jjj completes at Cj=Bj+pjC_j=B_j+p_jCj​=Bj​+pj​ and has tardiness Tj=max⁡{0,Cj−dj}T_j=\max\{0,C_j-d_j\}Tj​=max{0,Cj​−dj​}. The instance with threshold yyy is a yes-instance if some schedule satisfies ∑jwjTj≤y\sum_jw_jT_j\le y∑j​wj​Tj​≤y. A processing order π=(π(1),…,π(n))\pi=(\pi(1),\dots,\pi(n))π=(π(1),…,π(n)) determines the schedule without idle time, in which Cπ(k)=∑i≤kpπ(i)C_{\pi(k)}=\sum_{i\le k}p_{\pi(i)}Cπ(k)​=∑i≤k​pπ(i)​.

Reducibility (Section 2 of the paper) is polynomial-time many-one reducibility between the recognition versions. A polynomial-time Turing machine must map codes of KNAPSACK instances to codes of scheduling instances so that yes-instances map exactly to yes-instances.

The paper's construction has n=t+t′n=t+t'n=t+t′ jobs: for j∈Tj\in Tj∈T, pj=τ+ajp_j=\tau+a_jpj​=τ+aj​, wj=τ+aj+1w_j=\tau+a_j+1wj​=τ+aj​+1, dj=tτ+bd_j=t\tau+bdj​=tτ+b; for each of the t′t't′ dummy jobs, pj=τp_j=\taupj​=τ, wj=τ+1w_j=\tau+1wj​=τ+1, dj=tτ+bd_j=t\tau+bdj​=tτ+b. The threshold is y=12t′(t′+1)τ(τ+1)+(t′+1)τ(A−b)+t′y=\tfrac12t'(t'+1)\tau(\tau+1)+(t'+1)\tau(A-b)+t'y=21​t′(t′+1)τ(τ+1)+(t′+1)τ(A−b)+t′, with t′=12(t+1)(A−b)+12t(t+1)a∗2t'=\tfrac12(t+1)(A-b)+\tfrac12t(t+1)a_*^2t′=21​(t+1)(A−b)+21​t(t+1)a∗2​ and τ>2t′+A\tau>2t'+Aτ>2t′+A. The proof is phrased in terms of cπ=Cπ(t)−(tτ+b)c_\pi=C_{\pi(t)}-(t\tau+b)cπ​=Cπ(t)​−(tτ+b), the amount by which the ttt-th job of the order misses the common due date.

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem 4(d)

KNAPSACK  ∝  n∣1∣∣∑wjTj,\text{KNAPSACK}\;\propto\;n|1||\textstyle\sum w_jT_j,KNAPSACK∝n∣1∣∣∑wj​Tj​,

stated as CookPvsNP.PolyReducible SchedComplexity.OneMachine.knapsackLang wtLangMult. The scheduling side uses the multiplicity encoding of the paper's Remark (p. 23), in which a class of identical jobs is written once together with its cardinality.

The equivalence and its claims

Each milestone is a statement of the paper's proof (pp. 20–21) about the construction above, for every admissible τ\tauτ:

  • removal of idle time: every schedule is matched or improved by the schedule without idle time of some processing order;
  • KNAPSACK has a solution iff some order has Cπ(t)=tτ+bC_{\pi(t)}=t\tau+bCπ(t)​=tτ+b; moreover −b≤cπ≤A−b-b\le c_\pi\le A-b−b≤cπ​≤A−b;
  • identities and bounds (2)–(7) for the tail sums ∑j>tvπ(j)(Cπ(j)−Cπ(t))\sum_{j>t}v_{\pi(j)}(C_{\pi(j)}-C_{\pi(t)})∑j>t​vπ(j)​(Cπ(j)​−Cπ(t)​);
  • claims (A) cπ=0⇒∃π′c_\pi=0\Rightarrow\exists\pi'cπ​=0⇒∃π′ with cπ′=0c_{\pi'}=0cπ′​=0 and ∑wjTj≤y\sum w_jT_j\le y∑wj​Tj​≤y; (B) cπ>0⇒∑wjTj>yc_\pi>0\Rightarrow\sum w_jT_j>ycπ​>0⇒∑wj​Tj​>y; (C) cπ<0⇒∑wjTj>yc_\pi<0\Rightarrow\sum w_jT_j>ycπ​<0⇒∑wj​Tj​>y;
  • the equivalence: KNAPSACK has a solution iff the constructed instance has a schedule with ∑wjTj≤y\sum w_jT_j\le y∑wj​Tj​≤y.

Significance

The theorem places n∣1∣∣∑wjTjn|1||\sum w_jT_jn∣1∣∣∑wj​Tj​ among the NP-hard problems, so (unless P = NP) the research on it has to aim at enumerative methods, pseudopolynomial algorithms or approximation, not at an exact polynomial algorithm. Together with the companion reductions of Theorem 4, it drew the boundary between easy and hard single-machine problems that the later classification of Lageweg, Lawler, Lenstra and Rinnooy Kan made systematic.

The result is proved in the paper, and Lawler's later strong NP-hardness proof supersedes it. No machine-checked proof is known to exist. A formal proof adds three things. It makes the paper's "it is easily seen" steps and the encoding argument of the Remark explicit. It produces a reusable single-machine tardiness model with processing orders. It also fixes a gap in the printed construction: the printed t′t't′ need not be an integer.

Difficulty

The equivalence is not a local exchange argument. The threshold yyy must separate orders with cπ=0c_\pi=0cπ​=0 from all others, and the objective is a quadratic function of the order. The orders with cπ=0c_\pi=0cπ​=0 can still differ in ∑wjTj\sum w_jT_j∑wj​Tj​ by the cross terms ∑aπ(j)aπ(k)\sum a_{\pi(j)}a_{\pi(k)}∑aπ(j)​aπ(k)​ and by how the late jobs are arranged. The construction therefore needs a slack t′t't′ that absorbs these terms, and a scale τ\tauτ large enough that a nonzero cπc_\picπ​ always costs more than the slack. Keeping exact track of every constant, including t′t't′ and yyy, is where errors creep in.

Polynomiality is a second, separate difficulty. The construction has Θ(t2a∗2+tA)\Theta(t^2a_*^2+tA)Θ(t2a∗2​+tA) jobs, which is exponential in the binary length of the KNAPSACK input. The goal holds only for the encoding of the Remark, and a solver must also produce an explicit polynomial-time Turing machine.

Formalization scope

  • Jobs of the order-based statements are Fin n, numbered from 000; a processing order is Equiv.Perm (Fin n) with π i the paper's π(i+1)\pi(i+1)π(i+1). posCompletion p π k is the paper's Cπ(k)C_{\pi(k)}Cπ(k)​ for the 1-based position kkk.
  • Start times are in N\mathbb NN. Every criterion is regular and the paper determines schedules by processing orders, so integer start times lose nothing. Tardiness and ∑wjTj\sum w_jT_j∑wj​Tj​ are computed in Z\mathbb ZZ; the bounds with halves are stated over R\mathbb RR exactly as printed.
  • Corrected gap: the printed t′=12(t+1)(A−b)+12t(t+1)a∗2t'=\tfrac12(t+1)(A-b)+\tfrac12t(t+1)a_*^2t′=21​(t+1)(A−b)+21​t(t+1)a∗2​ is a half-integer when (t+1)(A−b)(t+1)(A-b)(t+1)(A−b) is odd. The formalization uses its ceiling and computes yyy from the same t′t't′.
  • τ\tauτ is quantified over all integers with τ>2t′+A\tau>2t'+Aτ>2t′+A; the positivity of the aja_jaj​ and 0<b<A0<b<A0<b<A are hypotheses, as the paper assumes them.
  • Explicit readings of the paper's loose phrases: "we may assume [no idle time]" becomes a theorem that the schedule without idle time of some order is at least as good as any schedule; "easily seen" becomes the equivalence with Cπ(t)=tτ+bC_{\pi(t)}=t\tau+bCπ(t)​=tτ+b; "for some π\piπ" in (5) and (7) becomes a reordering that keeps the first ttt positions, and so keeps cπc_\picπ​; "we may assume 0<b<A0<b<A0<b<A" is a hypothesis of the milestones but not of the goal, whose reduction must handle every KNAPSACK instance.
  • Reducibility is CookPvsNP.PolyReducible from the published CookPvsNP_defs. Codes use the alphabet BSym and the binary numerals encNats of the published ProjSchedTW.Complexity.Encoding (Neumann, Schwindt and Zimmermann's encoding). KNAPSACK is restricted to positive integers, so that encoding's subsetSumLang is not reused.
  • The goal must not be weakened to the bare equivalence: polynomial-time computability of the reduction is part of the statement. The one-copy-per-job encoding of the target is ruled out: the paper does not claim polynomiality for it, and the goal uses the multiplicity encoding instead.
  • Welcome contributions: proofs of the claims, a reusable lemma that idle time can be removed for regular criteria, and Turing-machine constructions for arithmetic on binary numerals, which the sibling missions of this series also need.

Selected references

  • P. Brucker, J. K. Lenstra, A. H. G. Rinnooy Kan, Complexity of Machine Scheduling Problems, Mathematisch Centrum Report BW 43/75, Amsterdam, 1975; Annals of Discrete Mathematics 1 (1977) 343–362. https://ir.cwi.nl/pub/9725 , https://doi.org/10.1016/S0167-5060(08)70743-X
  • R. M. Karp, Reducibility among combinatorial problems, in Complexity of Computer Computations, Plenum, 1972, 85–103. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-1-4684-2001-2_9
  • E. L. Lawler, A "pseudopolynomial" algorithm for sequencing jobs to minimize total tardiness, Annals of Discrete Mathematics 1 (1977) 331–342. https://doi.org/10.1016/S0167-5060(08)70742-8
  • J. Du, J. Y.-T. Leung, Minimizing total tardiness on one machine is NP-hard, Mathematics of Operations Research 15 (1990) 483–495. https://doi.org/10.1287/moor.15.3.483
  • S. Cook, The P versus NP problem, Clay Mathematics Institute problem description, 2000. https://www.claymath.org/wp-content/uploads/2022/06/pvsnp.pdf
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Discrete GeometryLinear OptimizationNumber Theory+1·Captain: mikedeng1

Integer Programming with a Fixed Number of Variables 1: If B(p,r) ⊂ τK ⊂ B(p,R) with R/r ≤ c₁ and τK Misses the Lattice, Fewer Than 1 + c₁c₂√n Lattice Hyperplanes H + kbₙ Meet B(p,R)Research Paper

Motivation

The integer linear programming feasibility problem asks, for an integer m×nm\times nm×n matrix AAA and b∈Zmb\in\mathbb Z^mb∈Zm, whether some x∈Znx\in\mathbb Z^nx∈Zn satisfies Ax≤bAx\le bAx≤b. It is NP-complete, so no algorithm polynomial in the length of the data is expected. H. W. Lenstra, Jr. (Math. Oper. Res. 8 (1983) 538–548) showed that the picture changes when the number of variables nnn is fixed: the problem is then solvable in polynomial time. The proof is a short argument from the geometry of numbers, and it became the starting point of lattice methods in integer programming, including Kannan's improved algorithm and the later flatness-based branching schemes.

Lenstra's introduction (p. 538) describes the idea as transforming the problem into an equivalent one in which "either the existence of a vector x∈Znx \in \mathbb Z^nx∈Zn satisfying Ax≤bAx \le bAx≤b is obvious; or it is known that the last coordinate of any such xxx belongs to an interval whose length is bounded by a constant only depending on nnn." This mission formalizes the geometric statement behind that dichotomy, §1 of the paper.

Timeline. For n=2n = 2n=2, Hirschberg and Wong and Kannan gave polynomial algorithms in special cases, and Scarf treated the case n=2n=2n=2 completely; the case of general fixed nnn was conjectured by Hirschberg–Wong and Scarf (as recounted on p. 538). Lenstra's paper (received 1981, published 1983) settled the conjecture. Its lattice reduction step uses the algorithm of Lenstra, Lenstra and Lovász (1982). Kannan (1987) later reduced the dependence on nnn to nO(n)n^{O(n)}nO(n).

Setting

Work in Rn\mathbb R^nRn with the Euclidean length ∣⋅∣|\cdot|∣⋅∣, and write B(p,z)={x∈Rn:∣x−p∣≤z}B(p,z)=\{x\in\mathbb R^n : |x-p|\le z\}B(p,z)={x∈Rn:∣x−p∣≤z} for the closed ball with centre ppp and radius z>0z>0z>0.

A lattice is L=∑i=1nZbiL=\sum_{i=1}^n \mathbb Z b_iL=∑i=1n​Zbi​ for a basis b1,…,bnb_1,\dots,b_nb1​,…,bn​ of Rn\mathbb R^nRn. Its determinant d(L)=∣det⁡(b1,…,bn)∣d(L)=|\det(b_1,\dots,b_n)|d(L)=∣det(b1​,…,bn​)∣ (the bib_ibi​ as columns) is the volume of the parallelepiped ∑i[0,1) bi\sum_i[0,1)\,b_i∑i​[0,1)bi​ and does not depend on the basis. Hadamard's inequality (6) says d(L)≤∏i∣bi∣d(L)\le\prod_i|b_i|d(L)≤∏i​∣bi​∣. A basis is reduced in Lenstra's sense if, for a constant c2c_2c2​ depending only on nnn,

∏i=1n∣bi∣≤c2⋅d(L).(7)\prod_{i=1}^n |b_i| \le c_2\cdot d(L). \tag{7}i=1∏n​∣bi​∣≤c2​⋅d(L).(7)

Singling out bnb_nbn​, let H=∑i=1n−1RbiH=\sum_{i=1}^{n-1}\mathbb R b_iH=∑i=1n−1​Rbi​ be the hyperplane spanned by the other vectors, L′=∑i=1n−1ZbiL'=\sum_{i=1}^{n-1}\mathbb Z b_iL′=∑i=1n−1​Zbi​ the lattice inside it, and hhh the distance of bnb_nbn​ to HHH. Then L⊂⋃k∈Z(H+kbn)L\subset\bigcup_{k\in\mathbb Z}(H+kb_n)L⊂⋃k∈Z​(H+kbn​): the lattice lies on a family of parallel hyperplanes H+kbnH + kb_nH+kbn​ at successive distance hhh.

In the paper, K={x:Ax≤b}K=\{x : Ax\le b\}K={x:Ax≤b} is bounded with positive volume, and a linear map τ\tauτ makes it "round":

B(p,r)⊂τK⊂B(p,R)(3),R/r≤c1(4),B(p,r)\subset\tau K\subset B(p,R)\quad(3),\qquad R/r\le c_1\quad(4),B(p,r)⊂τK⊂B(p,R)(3),R/r≤c1​(4),

with c1c_1c1​ depending only on nnn. Then K∩Zn=∅K\cap\mathbb Z^n=\emptysetK∩Zn=∅ if and only if τK∩L=∅\tau K\cap L=\emptysetτK∩L=∅ for L=τZnL=\tau\mathbb Z^nL=τZn, a lattice with basis bi=τ(ei)b_i=\tau(e_i)bi​=τ(ei​).

Formalization targets

Goal (§1, p. 541)

Let b1,…,bnb_1,\dots,b_nb1​,…,bn​ be a basis with (7), numbered so that ∣bn∣=max⁡i∣bi∣|b_n|=\max_i|b_i|∣bn​∣=maxi​∣bi​∣, and let τK\tau KτK satisfy (3) and (4). Then

τK∩L≠∅ort−1<c1c2n,\tau K\cap L\neq\emptyset\quad\text{or}\quad t-1<c_1c_2\sqrt n,τK∩L=∅ort−1<c1​c2​n​,

where ttt is the number of hyperplanes H+kbnH+kb_nH+kbn​, k∈Zk\in\mathbb Zk∈Z, that meet B(p,R)B(p,R)B(p,R) (finiteness included).

Milestones, in the order the paper uses them

  1. LEMMA (8), p. 540: every xxx has y∈Ly\in Ly∈L with ∣x−y∣2≤14(∣b1∣2+⋯+∣bn∣2)|x-y|^2\le\frac14(|b_1|^2+\cdots+|b_n|^2)∣x−y∣2≤41​(∣b1​∣2+⋯+∣bn​∣2).
  2. (10), p. 540: if ∣bn∣|b_n|∣bn​∣ is maximal, ∣x−y∣≤12n ∣bn∣|x-y|\le\frac12\sqrt n\,|b_n|∣x−y∣≤21​n​∣bn​∣.
  3. (11), p. 540: d(L)=h⋅d(L′)d(L)=h\cdot d(L')d(L)=h⋅d(L′).
  4. (12), pp. 540–541: under (7), c2−1∣bn∣≤h≤∣bn∣c_2^{-1}|b_n|\le h\le|b_n|c2−1​∣bn​∣≤h≤∣bn​∣.
  5. p. 541: if B(p,r)⊂τKB(p,r)\subset\tau KB(p,r)⊂τK and τK∩L=∅\tau K\cap L=\emptysetτK∩L=∅, then r<12n ∣bn∣r<\frac12\sqrt n\,|b_n|r<21​n​∣bn​∣.
  6. p. 541: if precisely ttt hyperplanes H+kbnH+kb_nH+kbn​ meet B(p,R)B(p,R)B(p,R), then t−1≤2R/ht-1\le 2R/ht−1≤2R/h.

The goal leaves c1c_1c1​ and c2c_2c2​ free, so it remains valid for any reduction algorithm and any rounding procedure; the companion mission (Integer Programming with a Fixed Number of Variables 2) supplies c1=2n3/2c_1 = 2n^{3/2}c1​=2n3/2, and the LLL algorithm supplies c2=2n(n−1)/4c_2=2^{n(n-1)/4}c2​=2n(n−1)/4.

Significance

The result. The goal is the branching step of Lenstra's algorithm. It says that a lattice-point-free convex body that is well rounded is "flat" in the lattice direction dual to HHH: only boundedly many lattice hyperplanes meet it. The search for a lattice point in dimension nnn therefore reduces to fewer than 1+c1c2n1+c_1c_2\sqrt n1+c1​c2​n​ searches in dimension n−1n-1n−1, which with nnn fixed gives polynomial running time. Sharper forms of the same dichotomy, such as Kannan's bounds, are the basis of later lattice-based integer programming algorithms.

Formalizing it. The results are classical and proved on paper; to our knowledge none of the statements of §1 is machine-checked. Hadamard's inequality (6) is in Mathlib (Orientation.abs_volumeForm_apply_le). The published platform theorem KannanLattice.Core.exists_lattice_point_near_projection (Kannan 1987, Proposition 4.2) proves a stronger form of (8) and (10), with Gram–Schmidt lengths in place of ∣bi∣|b_i|∣bi​∣; for L=ZnL=\mathbb Z^nL=Zn, (10) is the published QFS.exists_lattice_mem_closedBall. What remains is the "base times height" identity (11) relating a full-rank determinant to the distance of a vector from a hyperplane, the spacing bound (12), the count of hyperplanes meeting a ball, and their assembly. This is one of the two geometric ingredients of Lenstra's polynomial algorithm; the algorithm itself and its running time are not formalized.

Difficulty

The argument is short on paper, and each step is "clear" there. The work lies in connecting three descriptions of the same geometry that Mathlib keeps apart: the determinant of a coordinate matrix (d(L)d(L)d(L)), the metric distance of a point to a subspace (hhh), and the (n−1)(n-1)(n−1)-dimensional volume of L′L'L′. Identity (11) needs exactly this bridge, and (12) needs Hadamard's inequality for the lower-dimensional lattice L′L'L′ inside a hyperplane of Rn\mathbb R^nRn, not for a full-rank matrix. Bounding the number of hyperplanes meeting a ball needs the normal direction of HHH and the fact that the hyperplanes are hhh apart along it. A tempting shortcut is to define hhh as the length of the last Gram–Schmidt vector and d(L)d(L)d(L) as the product of Gram–Schmidt lengths: that turns (11) into a tautology and is ruled out below.

Formalization scope

  • Rn\mathbb R^nRn is EuclideanSpace ℝ (Fin n), so norms are Euclidean and balls round; B(p,z)B(p,z)B(p,z) is Metric.closedBall p z with z>0z>0z>0 as a hypothesis where the paper writes a ball.
  • Where bnb_nbn​ is singled out, n=k+1n=k+1n=k+1, the basis is b : Fin (k+1) → ℝⁿ, bnb_nbn​ = b (Fin.last k) and b1,…,bn−1b_1,\dots,b_{n-1}b1​,…,bn−1​ = b ∘ Fin.castSucc. "Basis for LLL" is linear independence of the nnn vectors over R\mathbb RR, and LLL is the published KannanLattice.Core.lattice b, the Z\mathbb ZZ-span.
  • d(L)d(L)d(L) is the paper's definition, ∣det⁡∣|\det|∣det∣ of the column matrix (latDet). hhh is Metric.infDist from bnb_nbn​ to the span HHH. d(L′)d(L')d(L′), for which the paper writes no formula, is the published KannanLattice.Core.latticeDet (the product of Gram–Schmidt lengths of b1,…,bn−1b_1,\dots,b_{n-1}b1​,…,bn−1​, the (n−1)(n-1)(n−1)-volume of their parallelepiped).
  • The hyperplanes H+kbnH+kb_nH+kbn​ meeting B(p,R)B(p,R)B(p,R) are indexed by the set of integers hitIndices b p R; ttt is its cardinality, its finiteness is part of every conclusion (the cardinality of an infinite set is 000 in Lean), and t−1t-1t−1 is computed in R\mathbb RR.
  • The constants "only depending on nnn", c1c_1c1​ and c2c_2c2​, are arbitrary real numbers. The reducedness (7) is a hypothesis, and so is the maximality ∣bi∣≤∣bn∣|b_i|\le|b_n|∣bi​∣≤∣bn​∣, which enters (10), the radius bound and the goal only.
  • τK\tau KτK is an arbitrary set X⊆RnX\subseteq\mathbb R^nX⊆Rn satisfying (3); §1 never uses that KKK is a polyhedron or the map τ\tauτ, and every lattice is τZn\tau\mathbb Z^nτZn for τ(ei)=bi\tau(e_i)=b_iτ(ei​)=bi​. The paper's "for some p∈τKp\in\tau Kp∈τK" follows from (3).
  • The identity (11) is stated without (7), which the paper assumes in the surrounding sentence but does not use.
  • Ruled out: defining d(L)d(L)d(L) or hhh through Gram–Schmidt lengths (which makes (11) bookkeeping), dropping finiteness of the hyperplane count, and replacing the dichotomy "some lattice point lies in τK\tau KτK" by a statement about one computed lattice point.

Welcome contributions: the bridge between Matrix.det of a basis and products of Gram–Schmidt lengths (reusable for any lattice development), Hadamard's inequality for a family of fewer than nnn vectors, and the count of lattice hyperplanes meeting a ball.

Selected references

  • H. W. Lenstra, Jr., Integer Programming with a Fixed Number of Variables, Mathematics of Operations Research 8(4) (1983) 538–548. https://doi.org/10.1287/moor.8.4.538
  • A. K. Lenstra, H. W. Lenstra, Jr., L. Lovász, Factoring polynomials with rational coefficients, Mathematische Annalen 261 (1982) 515–534. https://doi.org/10.1007/BF01457454
  • R. Kannan, Minkowski's convex body theorem and integer programming, Mathematics of Operations Research 12(3) (1987) 415–440. https://doi.org/10.1287/moor.12.3.415
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Operations ResearchOptimizationProbability·Captain: mikedeng1

Supply Chain Coordination with Contracts VII: In the Single-Location Base-Stock Model the Transfers t_I = (1 − λ)h_r, t_B = β_r − λβ Make the Retailer's Cost λc(s_r)Textbook

Motivation

A retailer can keep too little inventory even when its own stocking decision is optimal. In the single-location model of Cachon, Supply Chain Coordination with Contracts (2003), the supplier suffers a cost when the retailer has backorders, but the retailer does not bear that part of the cost. The supplier and retailer therefore prefer different base-stock levels. Section 6.7 asks whether payments tied to expected inventory and backorders can make the retailer choose the level that minimizes their combined cost. The result also describes how the contract divides that cost between the firms.

The model concerns a continuing operation with repeated replenishment opportunities and backordered demand. A base-stock policy keeps the retailer's inventory position at a chosen level by replacing units as demand occurs. Cachon reduces the cost calculation for such a policy to the distribution of demand over one replenishment lead time. That reduction allows the coordination question to be stated with one real stock-level decision rather than a full inventory trajectory. The chapter presents this model as a building block for its two-location system in §6.8 Cachon (2003).

Setting

Let DrD_rDr​ denote lead-time demand, the amount demanded while the retailer waits for replenishment. It is nonnegative and has a finite mean μr=E[Dr]\mu_r=\mathbb E[D_r]μr​=E[Dr​], distribution function FrF_rFr​, and density frf_rfr​. At inventory level s∈Rs\in\mathbb Rs∈R, expected inventory is Ir(s)=E[(s−Dr)+]I_r(s)=\mathbb E[(s-D_r)^+]Ir​(s)=E[(s−Dr​)+] and expected backorders are Br(s)=E[(Dr−s)+]B_r(s)=\mathbb E[(D_r-s)^+]Br​(s)=E[(Dr​−s)+], where x+=max⁡(x,0)x^+=\max(x,0)x+=max(x,0). The section assumes Fr(0)=0F_r(0)=0Fr​(0)=0 and a strictly increasing differentiable FrF_rFr​ on nonnegative levels. These assumptions place the optimum above zero.

The retailer pays holding cost hrIr(s)h_r I_r(s)hr​Ir​(s) and its own backorder cost βrBr(s)\beta_r B_r(s)βr​Br​(s). The supplier pays a further backorder cost βsBr(s)\beta_s B_r(s)βs​Br​(s). All three cost rates are positive. Thus cr(s)=hrIr(s)+βrBr(s)c_r(s)=h_r I_r(s)+\beta_r B_r(s)cr​(s)=hr​Ir​(s)+βr​Br​(s) and cs(s)=βsBr(s)c_s(s)=\beta_s B_r(s)cs​(s)=βs​Br​(s) are the firms' costs, while c(s)=cr(s)+cs(s)c(s)=c_r(s)+c_s(s)c(s)=cr​(s)+cs​(s) is the channel cost. Write β=βr+βs\beta=\beta_r+\beta_sβ=βr​+βs​. Because demand is backordered rather than lost, the section treats the sales rate as constant across the stock decisions and compares costs alone Cachon (2003), §6.7.1.

The proposed contract pays the retailer tIIr(s)+tBBr(s)t_I I_r(s)+t_B B_r(s)tI​Ir​(s)+tB​Br​(s) from the supplier, where tIt_ItI​ and tBt_BtB​ are transfer rates. A positive rate is a subsidy; a negative rate charges the retailer. For a parameter λ∈(0,1]\lambda\in(0,1]λ∈(0,1], the contract sets tI=(1−λ)hrt_I=(1-\lambda)h_rtI​=(1−λ)hr​ and tB=βr−λβt_B=\beta_r-\lambda\betatB​=βr​−λβ. The retailer's contracted cost is its original cost minus this transfer; the supplier's contracted cost is its original cost plus it. The parameter λ\lambdaλ describes a family of printed contract rates and is not itself a payment term Cachon (2003), p. 74.

Formalization targets

The milestones establish the two expectation identities, the channel's cost formula and strict convexity, the channel's critical ratio, the retailer's lower uncontracted stock level, and the retailer's cost after the printed transfer. In the notation above, the channel optimum sr∘s_r^\circsr∘​ is unique and satisfies

Fr(sr∘)=βhr+β;F_r(s_r^\circ)=\frac{\beta}{h_r+\beta};Fr​(sr∘​)=hr​+ββ​;

the uncontracted retailer has its own unique optimum sr∗s_r^*sr∗​ with sr∗<sr∘s_r^*<s_r^\circsr∗​<sr∘​. Three further statements of §6.7.1 complete the section: the signs of the transfer rates over the family (tI≥0t_I\ge0tI​≥0, with tI>0t_I>0tI​>0 exactly for λ<1\lambda<1λ<1, and {tB:0<λ≤1}=[−βs,βr)\{t_B:0<\lambda\le1\}=[-\beta_s,\beta_r){tB​:0<λ≤1}=[−βs​,βr​)); the decomposition

tIIr(y)+tBBr(y)=(tI+tB)Ir(y)+tB(μr−y);t_I I_r(y)+t_B B_r(y)=(t_I+t_B)I_r(y)+t_B(\mu_r-y);tI​Ir​(y)+tB​Br​(y)=(tI​+tB​)Ir​(y)+tB​(μr​−y);

and the equivalence with the newsvendor model: with lead-time demand as newsvendor demand, retail price p=hr+βrp=h_r+\beta_rp=hr​+βr​ and wholesale price w=hrw=h_rw=hr​, the newsvendor retailer's profit pS(q)−wqpS(q)-wqpS(q)−wq, with expected sales S(q)=E[min⁡(q,Dr)]S(q)=\mathbb E[\min(q,D_r)]S(q)=E[min(q,Dr​)], equals −cr(q)+βrμr-c_r(q)+\beta_r\mu_r−cr​(q)+βr​μr​. The mission goal is the coordinating identity of Eq. (33), together with the unique optimality it implies:

crλ(s)=λc(s),csλ(s)=(1−λ)c(s)for all s∈R and 0<λ≤1.c_r^\lambda(s)=\lambda c(s),\qquad c_s^\lambda(s)=(1-\lambda)c(s) \quad\text{for all }s\in\mathbb R\text{ and }0<\lambda\le1.crλ​(s)=λc(s),csλ​(s)=(1−λ)c(s)for all s∈R and 0<λ≤1.

Consequently, the retailer's contracted cost has the same unique minimizer sr∘s_r^\circsr∘​ as the channel cost. At each stock level the retailer's contracted cost is strictly increasing in λ\lambdaλ, which is the page's statement that the retailer's share of the cost increases with λ\lambdaλ. The result does not prescribe one fixed allocation of cost: each λ\lambdaλ in the stated interval gives a contract with the same coordinated stock level and a different retailer share Cachon (2003), Eq. (33), p. 74.

Significance

The theorem identifies an explicit transfer that corrects an incentive gap created by the supplier's backorder cost. Without it, the retailer sets stock according to βr\beta_rβr​, while the channel's stock decision uses βr+βs\beta_r+\beta_sβr​+βs​. Under the contract, the retailer bears the fraction λ\lambdaλ of total cost at every stock level, so its decision agrees with the integrated channel's decision. This conclusion connects a decentralized cost objective to the base-stock target used in the next section's two-location analysis Cachon (2003), §§6.7–6.8.

The chapter proves these claims informally; this mission asks for machine-checked Lean proofs of the expectation identities, convexity and optimality claims, and the contract identity. Its reusable output is the precise treatment of expected positive-part inventory and backorders under a demand law with finite mean. The local definitions may also support later formalizations of inventory contracts. Expected sales in the newsvendor comparison is the published SupplyChainTheory.expSales (definition SupplyChainTheory_contracts), referenced rather than redefined. The existing proved SupplyChainTheory.chain_optimal_fractile concerns a single-period newsvendor profit objective; its critical ratio is related mathematically but belongs to a different model and is not substituted for Eq. (31).

Difficulty

The algebra of the transfer rates is short, but the unique-optimum claim depends on more than algebra. It requires expected inventory and backorders to match the distribution formulas, the cost to have the required curvature at nonnegative levels, and the optimum to occur at a positive level. A formal statement that defines the retailer's contracted cost directly as λc\lambda cλc would erase the coordinating claim. The negative-stock region also matters: since demand is nonnegative, expected inventory vanishes there and cost is affine rather than strictly convex. The formulation must keep strict convexity on the range where it holds while still identifying the unique optimum among all real stock levels.

Formalization scope

Lean represents DrD_rDr​ by a probability measure on R\mathbb RR supported on [0,∞)[0,\infty)[0,∞), with an explicit integrable first moment. The density is a measurable nonnegative function whose induced measure is the demand law; the cdf is continuous, strictly increasing on [0,∞)[0,\infty)[0,∞), equals zero at zero, and has that density as its derivative at positive levels. These are the section's distribution assumptions. The positive rates hr,βr,βsh_r,\beta_r,\beta_shr​,βr​,βs​ are fields of one model, and Ir,BrI_r,B_rIr​,Br​ are defined by expectations. This rules out accidental zero values from nonintegrable real integrals. The cost functions are constructed from the expected inventory and backorders; the transfer is constructed from the two printed rates. The identities in Eqs. (28)–(33) are theorem targets, not definitions.

Stock levels are real, including negative levels, because the section does not explicitly restrict the decision set. The formal result states strict convexity on nonnegative levels and uniqueness of the cost minimizers over all real levels. The page's sentence that tI>0t_I>0tI​>0 for all λ∈(0,1]\lambda\in(0,1]λ∈(0,1] fails at λ=1\lambda=1λ=1, where tI=0t_I=0tI​=0; the formal statement asserts tI≥0t_I\ge0tI​≥0 with strict positivity exactly for λ<1\lambda<1λ<1. The contract range is exactly 0<λ≤10<\lambda\le10<λ≤1; λ=0\lambda=0λ=0 would make every retailer stock level cost-equivalent. The transfer sign is positive from supplier to retailer, as on p. 73. Risk neutrality and full information are the chapter's standing conventions. The continuous-review state process, supplier capacity, and proof that a base-stock policy attains the displayed long-run average are not modeled; the mission formalizes the section's explicit lead-time-demand cost reduction. Contributions that establish integrability, distribution identities, strict convexity, and critical-ratio optimality are all needed for closure.

Selected references

  • Gérard P. Cachon, Supply Chain Coordination with Contracts, in Handbooks in Operations Research and Management Science, vol. 11, North-Holland, 2003; source used here: author's third draft, January 2003, §6.7. DOI.
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