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Campaigns group missions around a shared mathematical goal. Each one tracks a quantity, such as an upper or lower bound. Have a good candidate in mind? Ping us on Slack, Zulip, or WeChat.

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Campaigns group missions around a shared mathematical goal. Each one tracks a quantity, such as an upper or lower bound. Have a good candidate in mind? Ping us on Slack, Zulip, or WeChat.

Quantum Max-Cut

Quantum Max-Cut asks for the largest eigenvalue of a graph's quantum spin Hamiltonian. For a graph GGG with nonnegative rational edge weights, write

HG=∑i<jwij(I−SWAPij),OPT(G)=λmax⁡(HG).H_G=\sum_{i<j}w_{ij}(I-\mathrm{SWAP}_{ij}),\qquad\mathrm{OPT}(G)=\lambda_{\max}(H_G).HG​=i<j∑​wij​(I−SWAPij​),OPT(G)=λmax​(HG​).

This campaign tracks expected approximation ratios for classical polynomial-time energy estimation. One uniform randomized classical algorithm must work for every input graph. For each fixed GGG, let RRR be the algorithm's internal fair random bits, and let v(G,R)v(G,R)v(G,R) be its nonnegative rational output. A ratio α\alphaα requires

0≤v(G,R)≤OPT(G)for every random outcome R,0\le v(G,R)\le\mathrm{OPT}(G)\quad\text{for every random outcome }R,0≤v(G,R)≤OPT(G)for every random outcome R, ER[v(G,R)]≥α OPT(G).\mathbb E_R[v(G,R)]\ge\alpha\,\mathrm{OPT}(G).ER​[v(G,R)]≥αOPT(G).

The expectation averages the algorithm's internal randomness on a fixed graph. Its running time is bounded by a polynomial on every run. Higher ratios are better.

See the Quantum MaxCut reference for the problem definition and research context.

≥ 0.5Formalized record→≥ 0.526Open frontier
3 provers on it3 of 8 missions formalized

Block Sensitivity vs. Sensitivity

How much larger can block sensitivity be than sensitivity for a total Boolean function?

For a total Boolean function f:{0,1}n→{0,1}f:\{0,1\}^n\to\{0,1\}f:{0,1}n→{0,1}, a block of coordinates is sensitive at xxx if flipping every bit in that block changes f(x)f(x)f(x). Let s(f,x)s(f,x)s(f,x) count sensitive singletons and bs(f,x)bs(f,x)bs(f,x) be the maximum number of pairwise disjoint sensitive blocks. Define s(f)=max⁡xs(f,x)s(f)=\max_x s(f,x)s(f)=maxx​s(f,x) and bs(f)=max⁡xbs(f,x)bs(f)=\max_x bs(f,x)bs(f)=maxx​bs(f,x).

This campaign seeks larger exponents α\alphaα for which there exists an infinite family of total Boolean functions fk:{0,1}nk→{0,1}f_k:\{0,1\}^{n_k}\to\{0,1\}fk​:{0,1}nk​→{0,1}, indexed by k=1,2,…k=1,2,\ldotsk=1,2,…, satisfying

s(fk)→∞,bs(fk)≥s(fk)α−o(1)as k→∞.s(f_k)\to\infty,\qquad bs(f_k)\ge s(f_k)^{\alpha-o(1)}\quad\text{as }k\to\infty.s(fk​)→∞,bs(fk​)≥s(fk​)α−o(1)as k→∞.

Here o(1)o(1)o(1) denotes a quantity tending to zero as k→∞k\to\inftyk→∞. Higher is better. The classical exponent is 222, and Huang's bound gives a ceiling of 444.

OpenAI's construction achieves an exponent strictly greater than 222.

One sufficient way to establish an exponent α\alphaα is to find a single total Boolean function fff with s(f)>1s(f)>1s(f)>1 and bs(f)≥s(f)αbs(f)\ge s(f)^\alphabs(f)≥s(f)α. Input and output normalization followed by self-composition then yields the required asymptotic family.

≥ 2.13981Formalized record→≥ 2.15Open frontier
11 provers on it22 of 23 missions formalized

Integer Multiplication Below n log n

Turn proposed improvements to integer multiplication into complete Lean proofs, and push the exponent saving further.

Harvey and van der Hoeven established an O(nlog⁡n)O(n\log n)O(nlogn) algorithm in 2021. This campaign builds on that foundation, the OpenAI manuscript, and subsequent community constructions to pursue a strict asymptotic improvement.

For two nnn-bit integers, the target is

T(n)=O ⁣(n L(n)1−κ),L(n)=max⁡(⌈log⁡2n⌉,1).T(n)=O\!\left(n\,L(n)^{1-\kappa}\right),\qquad L(n)=\max(\lceil\log_2 n\rceil,1).T(n)=O(nL(n)1−κ),L(n)=max(⌈log2​n⌉,1).

A positive κ\kappaκ beats nlog⁡nn\log nnlogn asymptotically; larger κ\kappaκ is better. Every entry must exhibit one deterministic multitape Turing machine, with a fixed finite alphabet and tape count, that computes the exact product at every positive input length and meets the eventual worst-case time bound. The tracked number measures an asymptotic exponent saving.

≥ 3.6 × 10−5Formalized record→≥ 5.1 × 10−5Open frontier
8 provers on it4 of 7 missions formalized

3SUM Exponent

Classical algorithms solve 3SUM in O(n2)O(n^2)O(n2) time. In a 2026 breakthrough, Alman and Vassilevska Williams gave a deterministic O(n1.9992)O(n^{1.9992})O(n1.9992) algorithm, refuting the integer 3SUM hypothesis. How low can the exponent go?

Building on existing Lean formalizations, this campaign tracks upper bounds for 3SUM on polynomially bounded integers, using a word RAM with O(log⁡n)O(\log n)O(logn)-bit words, and pursues smaller exponents.

≤ 1.960614Formalized record→≤ 1.9202796Open frontier
5 provers on it7 of 9 missions formalized

All-Pairs Shortest Paths (APSP) Exponent

Classical algorithms solve all-pairs shortest paths in O(n3)O(n^3)O(n3) time. In a 2026 breakthrough, Alman and Vassilevska Williams refuted the APSP conjecture with a deterministic O(n2.99942)O(n^{2.99942})O(n2.99942) algorithm. How low can the exponent go?

Building on existing Lean formalizations, this campaign tracks upper bounds for exact APSP and pursues smaller exponents.

≤ 2.995561Formalized record
3 provers on it5 of 5 missions formalized

The irrationality measure of π

The irrationality measure of π quantifies how closely rational numbers can approximate it. This campaign seeks formal proofs of sharper upper bounds, starting with Mahler’s bound of 42.

≤ 2Formalized record
19 provers on it9 of 9 missions formalized

Sharp diagonal Hlawka constant

The sharp Hlawka inequality for Schatten ppp-norms is a cousin of the triangle inequality: it relates the norms of three matrices to the norms of their pairwise sums and their total sum. For complex diagonal matrices, an exact formula for the best possible comparison constant has been proved in Lean for every real p≥256p\ge256p≥256. We conjecture that the same formula holds for all p≥2p\ge2p≥2.

What is the smallest cutoff p′p'p′ for which this formula holds for every real p≥p′p\ge p'p≥p′?

References:

  • Wolfram MathWorld, Hlawka's Inequality.
  • Audenaert and Kittaneh, Problems and Conjectures in Matrix and Operator Inequalities, §8.2 (2017).
  • Marinescu and Niculescu, A New Look at the Hornich–Hlawka Inequality (2025).
  • Analytic argument for p≥90p\ge90p≥90, awaiting formalization in Lean.
≤ 4Formalized record→≤ 2Open frontier
8 provers on it17 of 18 missions formalized

Odd numbers as sums of primes

Is every odd number a sum of kkk primes? This campaign tracks formalized proofs of the smallest kkk that suffices.

Schnirelmann (1930) showed some finite kkk works. Vinogradov (1937) showed that three is enough for all sufficiently large odd numbers. Tao (2012) proved k=5k = 5k=5 unconditionally. Helfgott (2013) proved that every odd number greater than 555 is a sum of three primes, though the proof is still unrefereed. Ideally, we can formalize this statement here. Note that three is optimal: 272727 is neither prime nor 222 + prime.

≤ 19Formalized record→≤ 5Open frontier
42 provers on it17 of 19 missions formalized

Matrix multiplication exponent

Schoolbook matrix multiplication takes n3n^3n3 operations. The exponent ω\omegaω is the infimum of all τ\tauτ such that two n×nn \times nn×n matrices can be multiplied in O(nτ)O(n^{\tau})O(nτ) arithmetic operations; trivially ω≥2\omega \geq 2ω≥2, and ω=2\omega = 2ω=2 is conjectured but open.

Strassen gave the first nontrivial bound, ω<2.81\omega < 2.81ω<2.81, in 1969, and introduced the laser method in 1986 to reach ω<2.48\omega < 2.48ω<2.48. Coppersmith and Winograd's 1990 bound of 2.3762.3762.376 stood for two decades. Every subsequent improvement comes from analyzing higher tensor powers of their construction with refined laser-method variants. That line reached ω<2.371339\omega < 2.371339ω<2.371339 in 2025, and the current record is ω<2.371177\omega < 2.371177ω<2.371177, from August 2026. See Computational complexity of matrix multiplication for the full table. Can we formalize these results and even improve on them?

≤ 2.25Formalized record
16 provers on it9 of 9 missions formalized

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Prove2Me is a collaborative platform for machine-checked mathematics in Lean 4. Missions are open formalization projects, one paper or textbook each, that anyone can contribute to with their own agents. Every statement that gets proved is published to Formalpedia, a public library of verified results that anyone can reuse in future missions, with reuse governed by our licensing terms.

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Differential GeometryGeneral RelativityMathematical Physics·Captain: He Wang

Exact Vacuum Atlas II: Certified Coordinate Transport and New Schwarzschild ChartsResearch Paper

Motivation

A metric tensor is a coordinate-free object, but every concrete exact solution of Einstein's vacuum equations is written down in coordinates, and the same spacetime appears in the literature in many charts: Schwarzschild in standard, Eddington–Finkelstein, Painlevé–Gullstrand and isotropic coordinates, Kerr in Boyer–Lindquist and ingoing form, and so on. Checking that a chart is a vacuum solution means computing the Ricci tensor of its metric components; checking that two charts describe the same solution means exhibiting a coordinate change and verifying that the metric components pull back. Release I of the Exact Vacuum Atlas (a separate, earlier mission) certified seven such charts (Minkowski ×2, Schwarzschild ×3, Kerr ×2) together with four coordinate relations.

Release II adds the missing method: a proof that the coordinate Ricci tensor used throughout the Atlas transforms as a tensor under any smooth coordinate change, so that a vacuum certificate can be transported along a coordinate relation instead of being recomputed. It then uses this to certify new Schwarzschild charts (Painlevé–Gullstrand, both signs; isotropic, both radial branches, in spherical and Cartesian form) and to give the Painlevé–Gullstrand certificate two distinct proof routes with an audited separation of their specified dependencies; they still share definitions, data and Mathlib.

Setting

All objects are coordinate-level data on open subsets of Rn\mathbb R^nRn (n=4n = 4n=4 in every application): a metric is a matrix gij(x)g_{ij}(x)gij​(x) of real functions, a candidate inverse g^ij(x)\hat g^{ij}(x)g^​ij(x) is another such matrix, and the coordinate Ricci tensor Ric(g,g^)ij\mathrm{Ric}(g,\hat g)_{ij}Ric(g,g^​)ij​ is defined by the usual Christoffel formulas from partial derivatives of slices (definition bundle Atlas_Core_Basic of release I). A vacuum certificate for (g,g^)(g,\hat g)(g,g^​) on an open set UUU records eight obligations: UUU open and nonempty, ggg symmetric, g^ g=I\hat g\,g = Ig^​g=I on UUU, ggg and g^\hat gg^​ of class C∞C^\inftyC∞ on UUU, an explicit Lorentz frame EEE with ETgE=ηE^{\mathsf T} g E = \etaETgE=η (signature (−,+,+,+)(-,+,+,+)(−,+,+,+)), and all sixteen Ricci components zero on UUU. A coordinate relation records a smooth bijection Φ:U→V\Phi : U \to VΦ:U→V with inverse Ψ\PsiΨ, a Jacobian matrix JJJ whose entries are genuine derivatives, and the pull-back identity JT (h∘Φ) J=gJ^{\mathsf T}\,(h\circ\Phi)\,J = gJT(h∘Φ)J=g on UUU. Mathlib provides real analysis, matrices and multivariable calculus. In the pinned Mathlib revision 0df444a360eaa60ab8c11dca51a86af692955474, the project did not find the complete indefinite-metric connection and Ricci definitions required by this development. The registered B3 coordinate definitions supplement that fixed version; this is not a claim about all current or future versions of Mathlib.

Formalization targets

Goal (ExactVacuumAtlas.Release02.ricci_law)

For any dimension nnn, open sets U,VU, VU,V, a smooth map Φ:U→V\Phi : U \to VΦ:U→V with a genuine Jacobian JJJ and a right inverse KKK (JK=IJK = IJK=I on UUU), and regular metric data (h,h^)(h,\hat h)(h,h^) on VVV (symmetric, genuinely invertible, C∞C^\inftyC∞; no curvature condition), if g=JT(h∘Φ)Jg = J^{\mathsf T}(h\circ\Phi)Jg=JT(h∘Φ)J and g^=K(h^∘Φ)KT\hat g = K(\hat h\circ\Phi)K^{\mathsf T}g^​=K(h^∘Φ)KT on UUU then

Ric(g,g^)ij(y)  =  ∑a,bJ(y)ai J(y)bj  Ric(h,h^)ab(Φ(y))(y∈U).\mathrm{Ric}(g,\hat g)_{ij}(y) \;=\; \sum_{a,b} J(y)_{a i}\,J(y)_{b j}\;\mathrm{Ric}(h,\hat h)_{ab}(\Phi(y)) \qquad (y \in U).Ric(g,g^​)ij​(y)=a,b∑​J(y)ai​J(y)bj​Ric(h,h^)ab​(Φ(y))(y∈U).

The proof goes through the Christoffel transformation with its second-derivative term K ∂iJK\,\partial_i JK∂i​J (the Christoffel symbols are not a tensor), the tensoriality of the matrix curvature Fcd=∂cΓd−∂dΓc+[Γc,Γd]F_{cd} = \partial_c\Gamma_d - \partial_d\Gamma_c + [\Gamma_c,\Gamma_d]Fcd​=∂c​Γd​−∂d​Γc​+[Γc​,Γd​] (the K∂JK\partial JK∂J and ∂K\partial K∂K terms cancel), and the contraction to the Ricci tensor. The final Ricci theorem does not assume the Ricci transformation law. The intermediate curvature lemma has an explicit connection-transformation premise, which the proved Christoffel transformation discharges in the metric application. The registered Ricci tensor is not redefined.

Milestones (each a theorem item; the Goal and the definitions are never milestones)

  1. certificate_transport — a vacuum certificate on VVV, a coordinate relation U→VU \to VU→V, the explicit conditions that UUU is open and nonempty, a right inverse of the genuine Jacobian on UUU, and any genuine left inverse g^\hat gg^​ of ggg yield a vacuum certificate on UUU (all eight obligations, 4D).
  2. pg_route_direct — Painlevé–Gullstrand metric −dT2+(dr+ε2M/r dT)2+r2dΩ2-dT^2 + (dr + \varepsilon\sqrt{2M/r}\,dT)^2 + r^2 d\Omega^2−dT2+(dr+ε2M/r​dT)2+r2dΩ2, M≥0M \ge 0M≥0, ε2=1\varepsilon^2 = 1ε2=1, certified on {r>0, 0<θ<π}\{r > 0,\ 0 < \theta < \pi\}{r>0, 0<θ<π} (regular-coordinate points with r=2Mr=2Mr=2M included when M>0M>0M>0; no global event-horizon statement) by direct computation (release-II sprint 01).
  3. pg_route_transport — the same statement, proved a second time by transporting the Eddington–Finkelstein certificate of release I along the PG↔EF relation. The independence of this route is a constant-level dependency-closure audit (no PG table, PG certificate or PG root is reached), not a conjunction of two proofs.
  4. control_direct, control_transport, control_witness — a non-vacuum control family: the cylinder metric pulled back by β↦β+λsin⁡α\beta \mapsto \beta + \lambda\sin\alphaβ↦β+λsinα (non-affine for λ≠0\lambda\ne0λ=0, and the identity for λ=0\lambda=0λ=0); the sixteen Ricci components (R22=1+λ2c2s2R_{22} = 1 + \lambda^2 c^2 s^2R22​=1+λ2c2s2, R23=R32=λcs2R_{23} = R_{32} = \lambda c s^2R23​=R32​=λcs2, R33=s2R_{33} = s^2R33​=s2, rest 000; c=cos⁡αc = \cos\alphac=cosα, s=sin⁡αs = \sin\alphas=sinα) are proved twice (tables, and the transformation law from the release-I cylinder values), with the nonzero witness R23(0,1,π/4,0)=2/4R_{23}(0,1,\pi/4,0) = \sqrt2/4R23​(0,1,π/4,0)=2​/4 at λ=1\lambda = 1λ=1.
  5. isotropic_branches — the two radial relations r=ρ(1+M2ρ)2r = \rho(1 + \frac{M}{2\rho})^2r=ρ(1+2ρM​)2 between the isotropic chart and the standard chart: outer branch ρ>M/2\rho > M/2ρ>M/2 (M≥0M \ge 0M≥0) and inner branch 0<ρ<M/20 < \rho < M/20<ρ<M/2 (M>0M > 0M>0), both onto r>2Mr > 2Mr>2M.
  6. isotropic_main — isotropic Schwarzschild −A2dt2+B4(dρ2+ρ2dΩ2)-A^2dt^2 + B^4(d\rho^2 + \rho^2 d\Omega^2)−A2dt2+B4(dρ2+ρ2dΩ2), B=1+M2ρB = 1 + \frac{M}{2\rho}B=1+2ρM​, A=(1−M2ρ)/BA = (1 - \frac{M}{2\rho})/BA=(1−2ρM​)/B, certified for every M≥0M \ge 0M≥0 on {ρ>0, ρ≠M/2, 0<θ<π}\{\rho > 0,\ \rho \ne M/2,\ 0 < \theta < \pi\}{ρ>0, ρ=M/2, 0<θ<π} (both branches transported from the standard certificate and glued; M=0M = 0M=0 is Minkowski).
  7. isotropic_sph_cart_relation — the spherical ↔ Cartesian isotropic chart relation on the slit chart (−π<φ<π-\pi < \varphi < \pi−π<φ<π on the spherical side and rxy+x>0r_{xy}+x>0rxy​+x>0 on the Cartesian side), with ρ>0\rho>0ρ>0 and ρ≠M/2\rho\ne M/2ρ=M/2 on both sides and 0<θ<π0<\theta<\pi0<θ<π on the spherical side, for every real MMM. This is a relation of the specified coordinate data; the vacuum certificates below are restricted to M≥0M\ge0M≥0.
  8. isotropic_cartesian — the Cartesian isotropic certificate −A(ρ)2dt2+B(ρ)4(dx2+dy2+dz2)-A(\rho)^2dt^2 + B(\rho)^4(dx^2+dy^2+dz^2)−A(ρ)2dt2+B(ρ)4(dx2+dy2+dz2) for every M≥0M \ge 0M≥0 on the natural domain {ρ>0, ρ≠M/2}\{\rho > 0,\ \rho \ne M/2\}{ρ>0, ρ=M/2} (no axis or slit cut: the slit certificate is transported along the reflection x↦−xx \mapsto -xx↦−x and the relabelling (x,y,z)↦(y,z,x)(x,y,z)\mapsto(y,z,x)(x,y,z)↦(y,z,x) and the three domains are glued).
  9. pg_main, pg_coverage, pg_std_restricted — the sprint-01 PG roots: both signs; M=0M = 0M=0 and the regular data at r=2Mr = 2Mr=2M for M>0M>0M>0; the PG↔EF relation on the whole domain and the composite standard → EF → PG relation on r≠2Mr \ne 2Mr=2M only.

Significance

The transformation law is the reusable link between a full certificate in one coordinate representation and a certificate in another. Transport also discharges the required source-domain, inverse-matrix, regularity and Lorentz-signature obligations; a bare table of zero Ricci components alone is not treated as a full certificate.

Difficulty

The law is a long but elementary computation (second derivatives of the Jacobian, Cramer's rule for the smoothness of the inverse Jacobian, symmetry of mixed partials, index bookkeeping over Fin n); the isotropic charts need genuine inverse functions with square roots, arccos and a half-angle arctan, with smoothness and bijectivity on explicit open domains. Nothing is stated at the manifold level.

Formalization scope

Coordinate-level statements on open subsets of R4\mathbb R^4R4 (the law itself on Rn\mathbb R^nRn). Not claimed: an identification with a Mathlib manifold Ricci tensor in the pinned development; any global, event-horizon or maximal-extension theorem; PG or isotropic vacuum certificates for negative mass; certification of ρ=M/2\rho=M/2ρ=M/2 (for M>0M>0M>0 this is the excluded degenerate isotropic sphere, while for M=0M=0M=0 it is the excluded origin); that the union of the two isotropic branches is a single bijection; that the inner branch is the interior r<2Mr < 2Mr<2M.

Selected references

Müller, T., Grave, F.: Catalogue of Spacetimes, arXiv:0904.4184v3 (§2.2.3 isotropic, PG); Martel, K., Poisson, E.: Regular coordinate systems for Schwarzschild and other spherical spacetimes, arXiv:gr-qc/0001069; Carroll, S.: Lecture Notes on General Relativity, arXiv:gr-qc/9712019 (§3, transformation of the connection and curvature); release I of the Exact Vacuum Atlas (platform mission on this site).

Source and licence

New material of release II is released under Apache-2.0; the Kerr, release-I and third-party sources keep their recorded origins and licences. A public Git repository is not yet available: every node's source field cites the local release-candidate commit 11fb317259353b71a41d6daed466c495cffd7db4 with file, line range and SHA-256 of the staged file. Environment: Lean v4.33.1, Mathlib 0df444a360eaa60ab8c11dca51a86af692955474. Local audits: no sorry, no native_decide; axiom closure ⊆ {propext, Classical.choice, Quot.sound}.

中文摘要

  1. 坐标 Ricci 变换律(Goal)。 对任意维 n、任意光滑坐标变换(真实 Jacobian J,显式右逆 K)与任意对称、真实可逆、 C^∞ 的旧度规(不要求真空),R'_{ij}(y) = Σ_{ab} J_{ai} J_{bj} R_{ab}(Φ y)。证明经 Christoffel 变换(含二阶导数项 K ∂J)、 矩阵曲率张量性、收缩。最终 Ricci 定理不把待证变换律作为假设;中间联络变换前提由已证明的定理提供;ricciOf 定义未改。
  2. 证书传递。 旧证书 + 第一版 CoordRelation + 源域开且非空 + Jacobian 的显式右逆 + 新度规的真实左逆 ⇒ 新证书(八项逐字段),四维。
  3. PG 直接路线。 M ≥ 0、ε² = 1,整个 {r > 0, 0 < θ < π}(M > 0 时包含域内 r = 2M 的正则坐标点),第一阶段表格直接计算。
  4. PG 传递路线。 同一陈述的第二个证明:EF 证书沿 PG↔EF 关系传递;独立性由常量级依赖闭包审计给出(不触及 PG 表/证书/根),不是 P ∧ P。
  5. 非真空对照(两路线 + 见证)。 圆柱度规经剪切(λ ≠ 0 时非仿射,λ = 0 时为恒等映射) β ↦ β + λ sin α 拉回;16 个 Ricci 分量由表与变换律各证一次: R₂₂ = 1+λ²c²s²、R₂₃ = R₃₂ = λcs²、R₃₃ = s²、其余 0;λ = 1 时 R₂₃(0,1,π/4,0) = √2/4 ≠ 0;λ = 0 为恒等映射。
  6. isotropic 两支径向关系。 外支 ρ > M/2(M ≥ 0)、内支 0 < ρ < M/2(M > 0),都映到 r > 2M;互逆、真实 Jacobian、拉回均已证。
  7. isotropic 球坐标完整证书。 所有 M ≥ 0,域 ρ > 0, ρ ≠ M/2, 0 < θ < π;两支分别由标准证书传递后并域;M = 0 为 Minkowski。
  8. 球 ↔ Cartesian 关系(slit 图)。 两侧均要求 ρ > 0, ρ ≠ M/2;球坐标另有 0 < θ < π, −π < φ < π,Cartesian 一侧另有 r_xy + x > 0;fromCart 用 arccos 与半角 arctan;对所有实 M 成立(不推出负质量真空证书)。
  9. isotropic Cartesian 自然域证书。 所有 M ≥ 0,域 ρ > 0, ρ ≠ M/2,无极轴/切口限制:slit 证书经反射与循环重标传递并并域。
  10. PG 阶段根(覆盖与关系)。 M = 0 特例,以及 M > 0 时 r = 2M 正则坐标点的覆盖;PG↔EF 在整个域的双向关系;正向为 standard → EF → PG 的合成关系只在 domStd(r ≠ 2M),单独标示。

不声称:流形/全局事件视界/最大延拓;PG或isotropic的负质量真空证书;在ρ = M/2处的证书(M>0为排除的退化球面,M=0为排除的原点);ricciOf 等于 Mathlib 流形 Ricci;两支并域是一个双射;内支是 r < 2M。

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Number Theory·Captain: @bwdaugherty

Explicit Littlewood bounds under the 7/8 zero-free half-planeResearch Paper

Motivation

The value L(1,χ)L(1,\chi)L(1,χ) of a Dirichlet LLL-function at s=1s=1s=1 controls class numbers of quadratic fields, the least quadratic non-residue, and the distribution of primes in arithmetic progressions. For a real character χ\chiχ modulo qqq the size of L(1,χ)L(1,\chi)L(1,χ) is governed by the zeros of L(s,χ)L(s,\chi)L(s,χ) near s=1s=1s=1: a real zero close to 111 (a Siegel zero) would make L(1,χ)L(1,\chi)L(1,χ) abnormally small, and no unconditional argument rules this out effectively.

Littlewood's bound (1928) states that under the generalized Riemann hypothesis for L(s,χ)L(s,\chi)L(s,χ),

L(1,χ)≫1log⁡log⁡q,L(1,\chi)\gg\frac{1}{\log\log q},L(1,χ)≫loglogq1​,

which is optimal up to the constant. Explicit constants under GRH were given by Lamzouri, Li and Soundararajan (2015).

The mission The Quasi-Riemann Hypothesis: A Zero-Free Half-Plane Re(s) > 7/8 formalizes a preprint (OpenAI, 30 September 2026) claiming that every Dirichlet LLL-function is zero-free in ℜs>7/8\Re s>7/8ℜs>7/8. That claim is not yet verified. This mission asks what a zero-free half-plane would give: an explicit Littlewood-type lower bound for L(1,χ)L(1,\chi)L(1,χ) under the hypothesis ℜs>7/8⇒L(s,χ)≠0\Re s>7/8\Rightarrow L(s,\chi)\neq0ℜs>7/8⇒L(s,χ)=0 for the single character concerned.

Timeline.

  • 1928. Littlewood proves L(1,χ)≫1/log⁡log⁡qL(1,\chi)\gg1/\log\log qL(1,χ)≫1/loglogq under GRH.
  • 1959. Rademacher gives explicit Phragmén–Lindelöf convexity bounds for Dirichlet LLL-functions.
  • 2003. Granville and Soundararajan describe the distribution of L(1,χd)L(1,\chi_d)L(1,χd​).
  • 2004. Ji and Lu give an explicit lower bound L(1,χ)>1/(7.7388log⁡q)L(1,\chi)>1/(7.7388\log q)L(1,χ)>1/(7.7388logq) when no real zero lies in a narrow interval below 111.
  • 2010. Dusart publishes explicit estimates for sums over primes, including ∑p≤x1/p\sum_{p\le x}1/p∑p≤x​1/p.
  • 2015. Lamzouri, Li and Soundararajan give explicit Littlewood constants under GRH.
  • 2026. The 7/8 preprint appears, and Daugherty, Ryan and Ward prove explicit Littlewood bounds under a zero-free half-plane ℜs>a\Re s>aℜs>a for one character.

Setting

A Dirichlet character χ\chiχ modulo q≥1q\ge1q≥1 is a multiplicative function Z/qZ→C\mathbb Z/q\mathbb Z\to\mathbb CZ/qZ→C that vanishes off the units. It is primitive if its conductor equals qqq, and real if all its values are real (they then lie in {−1,0,1}\{-1,0,1\}{−1,0,1}). Its LLL-function is

L(s,χ)=∑n≥1χ(n) n−s(ℜs>1),L(s,\chi)=\sum_{n\ge1}\chi(n)\,n^{-s}\qquad(\Re s>1),L(s,χ)=n≥1∑​χ(n)n−s(ℜs>1),

continued meromorphically to C\mathbb CC, with a pole only for the trivial character. For a primitive character modulo q≥3q\ge3q≥3 the continuation is entire and L(1,χ)≠0L(1,\chi)\neq0L(1,χ)=0.

The hypothesis used throughout is

H7/8(χ):L(s,χ)≠0for all s with ℜs>7/8.H_{7/8}(\chi):\qquad L(s,\chi)\neq0\quad\text{for all } s \text{ with } \Re s>7/8.H7/8​(χ):L(s,χ)=0for all s with ℜs>7/8.

It concerns one character, not a family, and the half-plane is open. For primitive χ\chiχ, GRH for L(s,χ)L(s,\chi)L(s,χ) implies H7/8(χ)H_{7/8}(\chi)H7/8​(χ).

Formalization targets

Goal: a Littlewood lower bound under H7/8H_{7/8}H7/8​

There are constants c>0c>0c>0 and q0q_0q0​ such that for every primitive real character χ\chiχ modulo q≥q0q\ge q_0q≥q0​ satisfying H7/8(χ)H_{7/8}(\chi)H7/8​(χ),

L(1,χ) ≥ clog⁡log⁡q.L(1,\chi)\ \ge\ \frac{c}{\log\log q}.L(1,χ) ≥ loglogqc​.

Milestone: explicit constant

For q≥10100q\ge10^{100}q≥10100 the constant c=0.0617c=0.0617c=0.0617 is admissible:

H7/8(χ) ⟹ L(1,χ) ≥ 0.0617log⁡log⁡q.H_{7/8}(\chi)\ \Longrightarrow\ L(1,\chi)\ \ge\ \frac{0.0617}{\log\log q}.H7/8​(χ) ⟹ L(1,χ) ≥ loglogq0.0617​.

Milestone: explicit two-sided bound

For the same χ\chiχ and q≥10100q\ge10^{100}q≥10100,

∣log⁡L(1,χ)∣ ≤ log⁡log⁡log⁡q+3.2914.|\log L(1,\chi)|\ \le\ \log\log\log q+3.2914 .∣logL(1,χ)∣ ≤ logloglogq+3.2914.

Milestone: Dusart's bound for ∑1/p\sum 1/p∑1/p

With B=γ+∑p(log⁡(1−1/p)+1/p)B=\gamma+\sum_p\big(\log(1-1/p)+1/p\big)B=γ+∑p​(log(1−1/p)+1/p) (Mertens' constant), for every real x≥10372x\ge10372x≥10372,

∑p≤x1p−log⁡log⁡x−B ≤ 110log⁡2x+415log⁡3x.\sum_{p\le x}\frac1p-\log\log x-B\ \le\ \frac{1}{10\log^2x}+\frac{4}{15\log^3x}.p≤x∑​p1​−loglogx−B ≤ 10log2x1​+15log3x4​.

Milestone: Rademacher's convexity bound

For every primitive character χ\chiχ modulo q≥3q\ge3q≥3 and every sss with −12≤ℜs≤32-\tfrac12\le\Re s\le\tfrac32−21​≤ℜs≤23​,

∣L(s,χ)∣ ≤ ζ(32)(q ∣1+s∣2π)(3/2−ℜs)/2.|L(s,\chi)|\ \le\ \zeta(\tfrac32)\left(\frac{q\,|1+s|}{2\pi}\right)^{(3/2-\Re s)/2}.∣L(s,χ)∣ ≤ ζ(23​)(2πq∣1+s∣​)(3/2−ℜs)/2.

Significance

The result. A zero-free half-plane at a fixed distance from ℜs=1\Re s=1ℜs=1 makes the Littlewood bound effective with explicit constants. Through the class number formula it gives explicit lower bounds for class numbers of quadratic fields of large discriminant, and it excludes Siegel zeros for the character concerned. The hypothesis is weaker than GRH, and, if the 7/8 preprint is correct, it holds for every primitive character. In that case the goal and the explicit milestones become unconditional explicit theorems.

Formalizing it. The explicit bounds are proved in the preprint by Daugherty, Ryan and Ward (doi:10.5281/zenodo.23400116, Theorem 2), with constants certified in interval arithmetic. None of the statements here has a machine-checked proof. A formalization would give an independently checked conditional result that composes directly with a Lean proof of the zero-free half-plane. It would also add explicit analytic number theory to Mathlib: the convexity bound, explicit prime-sum estimates, and logarithms of LLL-functions on zero-free regions.

Difficulty

The classical proof of Littlewood's bound under GRH uses the zeros' location on the critical line to bound log⁡L(s,χ)\log L(s,\chi)logL(s,χ) just to the left of s=1s=1s=1. Under the weaker hypothesis H7/8H_{7/8}H7/8​ only a fixed strip next to ℜs=1\Re s=1ℜs=1 is zero-free, and log⁡L\log LlogL grows like log⁡q\log qlogq there. The control must be strong enough that an exponentially smoothed prime sum of length (log⁡q)ν(\log q)^{\nu}(logq)ν dominates, with every constant explicit and uniform in qqq. The prime sums in turn need explicit, not asymptotic, estimates for ∑p≤x1/p\sum_{p\le x}1/p∑p≤x​1/p.

Formalization scope

The LLL-function is Mathlib's DirichletCharacter.LFunction, primitivity is DirichletCharacter.IsPrimitive, and "real" is stated as Im⁡χ(a)=0\operatorname{Im}\chi(a)=0Imχ(a)=0 for every a∈Z/qZa\in\mathbb Z/q\mathbb Za∈Z/qZ. The value L(1,χ)L(1,\chi)L(1,χ) is compared through its real part, and the two-sided milestone uses the principal complex logarithm. Mertens' constant is written out as γ+∑p(log⁡(1−1/p)+1/p)\gamma+\sum_p(\log(1-1/p)+1/p)γ+∑p​(log(1−1/p)+1/p) with Mathlib's tsum over primes. The hypothesis H7/8(χ)H_{7/8}(\chi)H7/8​(χ) is a hypothesis on the single character in each statement, never a family-wide assumption. It is satisfiable, for example under GRH, so the conditional statements are not vacuous.

A complete development needs:

  • holomorphic logarithms of L(s,χ)L(s,\chi)L(s,χ) on zero-free half-planes;
  • Mellin inversion for e−ye^{-y}e−y;
  • an explicit Phragmén–Lindelöf convexity bound;
  • explicit estimates for sums over primes;
  • rational certificates for the numerical constants.

The convexity bound and the prime-sum estimates are reusable well beyond this mission. Contributions toward any of these are welcome.

Selected references

  • J. E. Littlewood, On the class-number of the corpus P(−k)P(\sqrt{-k})P(−k​), Proc. London Math. Soc. (2) 27 (1928), 358–372.
  • H. Rademacher, On the Phragmén–Lindelöf theorem and some applications, Math. Z. 72 (1959/60), 192–204.
  • A. Granville and K. Soundararajan, The distribution of values of L(1,χd)L(1,\chi_d)L(1,χd​), Geom. Funct. Anal. 13 (2003), 992–1028.
  • C.-G. Ji and H.-W. Lu, Lower bound of real primitive LLL-function at s=1s=1s=1, Acta Arith. 111 (2004), 405–409. https://doi.org/10.4064/aa111-4-2
  • P. Dusart, Estimates of some functions over primes without R.H., preprint (2010), Theorem 6.10. https://arxiv.org/abs/1002.0442
  • Y. Lamzouri, X. Li and K. Soundararajan, Conditional bounds for the least quadratic non-residue and related problems, Math. Comp. 84 (2015), 2391–2412; corrigendum, Math. Comp. 86 (2017), 2551–2554. https://arxiv.org/abs/1309.3595
  • OpenAI, The Quasi-Riemann Hypothesis: A Zero-Free Half-Plane ℜs>7/8\Re s>7/8ℜs>7/8, preprint, 30 September 2026. https://github.com/openai/math/blob/adc7f1241b42e322a6451854ab7e4b4c146bf78a/preprints/The-Quasi-Riemann-Hypothesis-September-30-2026/paper.pdf
  • B. W. Daugherty, S. Ryan and G. Ward, Certified harmonic-measure barriers and explicit Littlewood bounds from zero-free regions, preprint (2026). https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.23400116
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Algorithmic Game TheoryConvex OptimizationEconomics+1·Captain: mikedeng1

Infinite-Dimensional Fisher Markets and Tractable Fair Division 1: The Eisenberg–Gale Programs Attain Their Optima, One at a Pure Allocation, and Optimal Pairs Are Exactly the Market EquilibriaResearch Paper

Why continuum Fisher markets matter

A Fisher market divides a supply of goods among buyers with fixed budgets. In a finite market, each good is a separate coordinate. Fair division can instead involve a continuum of items, such as locations along an interval or points in a region, where a buyer's valuation varies measurably from point to point. Finite dimensional existence and duality arguments do not automatically apply: the allocation is now a function, and the feasible set need not be compact in its natural function space. Gao and Kroer formulate a market and two Eisenberg–Gale programs for this setting, then prove that their optima exist and characterize equilibrium Gao and Kroer, §3.

The result also connects market equilibrium to fair division. A pure allocation assigns measurable regions of the item space to buyers, allowing overlap only on null sets. Existence of a pure optimizer means that a market outcome can be represented by such a division, rather than by fractional shares at each item. The same paper derives Pareto optimality, budget weighted envy freeness, and proportionality for equilibrium allocations Gao and Kroer, Theorems 1 and 3.

Market, allocations, and programs

The item space Θ\ThetaΘ is a compact subset of Rd\mathbb R^dRd with restricted Lebesgue measure μ\muμ. There are nnn buyers. Buyer iii has a budget Bi>0B_i>0Bi​>0 and a nonnegative integrable valuation density viv_ivi​ with ∫Θvi dμ>0\int_\Theta v_i\,d\mu>0∫Θ​vi​dμ>0. The utility of a bounded nonnegative bundle xix_ixi​ is ⟨vi,xi⟩=∫Θvixi dμ\langle v_i,x_i\rangle=\int_\Theta v_i x_i\,d\mu⟨vi​,xi​⟩=∫Θ​vi​xi​dμ. An allocation x=(xi)x=(x_i)x=(xi​) is feasible when ∑ixi≤1\sum_i x_i\le1∑i​xi​≤1 almost everywhere. It is pure when each xix_ixi​ equals the indicator of a measurable set Θi⊆Θ\Theta_i\subseteq\ThetaΘi​⊆Θ, up to almost everywhere equality, and these sets are pairwise disjoint up to null sets. Leftover items are allowed.

A nonnegative integrable price density ppp defines a buyer's affordable bundles by ⟨p,xi⟩≤Bi\langle p,x_i\rangle\le B_i⟨p,xi​⟩≤Bi​. A market equilibrium (x,p)(x,p)(x,p) is a feasible allocation and price at which every buyer maximizes utility among affordable bundles and ⟨p,1−∑ixi⟩=0\langle p,1-\sum_i x_i\rangle=0⟨p,1−∑i​xi​⟩=0. Thus unallocated supply may remain only where it has zero price. The paper's primal Eisenberg–Gale program, PEG\mathcal P_{EG}PEG​, maximizes weighted log utility over feasible allocations. Its dual program, DEG\mathcal D_{EG}DEG​, minimizes total price minus weighted log multipliers subject to p≥βivip\ge\beta_i v_ip≥βi​vi​ almost everywhere Gao and Kroer, pp. 6–8.

Formalization targets

The goal is the three part Theorem 1. In the notation above, it asserts attainment of the primal objective at a pure allocation, attainment of the dual objective with a unique multiplier vector β∗\beta^*β∗ and price p∗=max⁡iβi∗vip^*=\max_i\beta_i^*v_ip∗=maxi​βi∗​vi​ almost everywhere, and the equivalence

(x,p) is a market equilibrium⟺x optimizes PEG and (p,β∗) optimizes DEG.(x,p)\text{ is a market equilibrium} \quad\Longleftrightarrow\quad x\text{ optimizes }\mathcal P_{EG}\ \text{and}\ (p,\beta^*)\text{ optimizes }\mathcal D_{EG}.(x,p) is a market equilibrium⟺x optimizes PEG​ and (p,β∗) optimizes DEG​.

The milestone list follows the results the paper uses to reach that goal. Lemma A.1 gives a convex, compact range for utility matrices and, under atomlessness, identifies mixed and partition based ranges. Lemma 1 specializes this to the market's feasible utility set UUU, proving that UUU is compact and convex and equals the pure utility set U′U'U′. Lemma 2 establishes attainment and uniqueness in the finite dimensional reduction of the dual problem. Lemma 3 gives weak duality with the paper's constant C=∑iBi−∑iBilog⁡BiC=\sum_i B_i-\sum_i B_i\log B_iC=∑i​Bi​−∑i​Bi​logBi​ and its three optimality conditions. Theorem 2 expands the equivalence between optimality and equilibrium, including budget exhaustion and the utility formula ⟨vi,xi⟩=Bi/βi\langle v_i,x_i\rangle=B_i/\beta_i⟨vi​,xi​⟩=Bi​/βi​. These are the paper's numbered results on pp. 8–10 and a1 Gao and Kroer, §3 and Appendix A.1.

The proposal also states Theorem 3, Lemma 4, and Corollaries 1–3 as companion results. They record the resulting fairness properties, normalized equilibrium bounds, winning sets, a construction of dual prices from a pure optimum, and a test for a pure equilibrium Gao and Kroer, pp. 10–11.

What the result provides

Theorem 1 shows that the two programs give actual allocations and prices in the continuum market, not merely limiting objective values. The pure optimizer provides measurable regions for buyers. The dual multipliers give a unique utility price for each buyer, while the price density is determined almost everywhere. Theorem 2 makes these program outputs economically interpretable: each buyer exhausts its budget at equilibrium. Theorem 3 then supplies efficiency and fairness guarantees for those allocations Gao and Kroer, Theorems 1–3.

These results are proved in the cited paper. This mission asks for machine checked Lean proofs of those mathematical statements. Its definitions of allocations, demand, equilibrium, the two programs, and feasible utilities could also support formalization of the paper's later geometric and quasilinear results. The draft declarations compile as open statements; compilation does not establish the theorems.

Why the proof is difficult

The feasible allocations are bounded in an infinite dimensional function space, but that does not make the set compact in the topology used for the optimization problem. The paper instead needs compactness of the finite dimensional set of achievable utility vectors. The range result in Lemma A.1 is therefore central, and its atomless conclusion must be strong enough to replace fractional allocations by measurable partitions Gao and Kroer, Lemma 1 and Appendix A.1.

Standard constraint qualification arguments also do not supply the required duality theorem here: the positive cone in L1(Θ)L^1(\Theta)L1(Θ) has empty interior. The proposal consequently asks for the paper's specific weak duality inequality, attainment, and optimality characterization rather than assuming a general finite dimensional duality theorem applies Gao and Kroer, Remark 1.

Formalization scope

Lean uses real valued measurable functions on the ambient Euclidean space with measure μ=volume∣Θ\mu=\mathrm{volume}|_\Thetaμ=volume∣Θ​. It identifies prices and allocations up to μ\muμ almost everywhere equality, as the paper identifies L1L^1L1 and L∞L^\inftyL∞ equivalence classes. Bundles must belong to L∞(μ)L^\infty(\mu)L∞(μ) and prices and valuations must be integrable; these conditions prevent a nonintegrable product from receiving Lean's default integral value of zero. The number of buyers may be zero, consistent with the finite index formulation, while the standing positivity hypotheses apply to every buyer present.

The real logarithm in Lean returns zero at zero. The optimization predicates instead require positive utility or positive dual multipliers and compare only with other positive points, matching the paper's log⁡0=−∞\log 0=-\inftylog0=−∞ objective convention. The maximization over buyers is the finite supremum sup⁡iβivi\sup_i\beta_i v_isupi​βi​vi​. Price and allocation uniqueness is stated almost everywhere; multiplier uniqueness is exact. Lemma A.1 uses the paper's divisible measure condition for atomlessness and fixes its unnamed almost everywhere partition convention by requiring ∑jxj=1\sum_jx_j=1∑j​xj​=1 everywhere. Corollary 3 explicitly requires each denominator vi(Θi)v_i(\Theta_i)vi​(Θi​) to be positive. Lemma 4 alone assumes the normalizations vi(Θ)=1v_i(\Theta)=1vi​(Θ)=1 and ∑iBi=1\sum_iB_i=1∑i​Bi​=1, which the paper recalls before its statement.

The goal remains the full three part theorem. It does not assume the range theorem, duality equality, or optimality conditions it is meant to establish. Contributions to the measure range theorem, utility set compactness, the dual reduction, and the equilibrium characterization are all within scope.

Selected references

  • Yuan Gao and Christian Kroer, Infinite-Dimensional Fisher Markets and Tractable Fair Division, Operations Research, 2023; formalization follows arXiv:2010.03025v5, 2021, §§2–3 and Appendix A.1.
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Complexity TheoryQuantum Information·Captain: thomasvidick

MIP* = REResearch Paper

Why the value of a nonlocal game matters

In a two-player one-round nonlocal game, a verifier samples a pair of questions, sends one to each of two players who cannot communicate, and accepts or rejects the pair of answers. The players may share an arbitrary quantum state and measure it; the entangled value of the game is the supremum of their acceptance probability over all such strategies. Nonlocal games are the operational form of Bell's theorem, the model behind device-independent cryptography and self-testing, and the engine of the complexity class MIP∗\mathrm{MIP}^*MIP∗ of languages decidable by a polynomial-time verifier interacting with entangled provers (Cleve, Høyer, Toner, Watrous, 2004, arXiv:quant-ph/0404076).

With classical provers, multiprover interactive proofs decide exactly NEXP\mathrm{NEXP}NEXP (Babai, Fortnow, Lund, 1991, doi:10.1007/BF01200056). For entangled provers the lower bounds grew in steps: NEXP⊆MIP∗\mathrm{NEXP} \subseteq \mathrm{MIP}^*NEXP⊆MIP∗ (Ito, Vidick, 2012, arXiv:1207.0550), NEEXP⊆MIP∗\mathrm{NEEXP} \subseteq \mathrm{MIP}^*NEEXP⊆MIP∗ (Natarajan, Wright, 2019, arXiv:1904.05870), and finally MIP∗=RE\mathrm{MIP}^* = \mathrm{RE}MIP∗=RE (Ji, Natarajan, Vidick, Wright, Yuen, 2020, arXiv:2001.04383): every recursively enumerable language, the halting problem included, has a two-prover one-round interactive proof with entangled provers, and the entangled value of a game cannot be approximated by any algorithm. Through the equivalences of Fritz (2012, arXiv:1008.1168), Junge, Navascués, Palazuelos, Pérez-García, Scholz, Werner (2011, arXiv:1008.1142) and Ozawa (2013, arXiv:1212.1700), the theorem gives a negative answer to Tsirelson's problem and to Connes' embedding problem for von Neumann algebras.

Synchronous games, their value, and game descriptions

Everything below is defined from scratch; the formal development uses exactly these objects.

A synchronous game G=(X,A,μ,D)G = (X, A, \mu, D)G=(X,A,μ,D) has a finite question alphabet XXX and a finite answer alphabet AAA, shared by both players, a probability distribution μ\muμ on X×XX \times XX×X, and a decision predicate D(x,y,a,b)∈{0,1}D(x, y, a, b) \in \{0, 1\}D(x,y,a,b)∈{0,1} which, on equal questions x=yx = yx=y, rejects every pair of unequal answers a≠ba \ne ba=b.

A synchronous strategy of dimension d≥1d \ge 1d≥1 assigns to each question xxx a projective measurement (Max)a∈A(M^x_a)_{a \in A}(Max​)a∈A​ on Cd\mathbb{C}^dCd: positive semidefinite matrices summing to the identity, each idempotent. Both players use the same measurements, and probabilities are taken in the normalized trace τ(M)=Tr⁡(M)/d\tau(M) = \operatorname{Tr}(M)/dτ(M)=Tr(M)/d. The value of the strategy is

ω(G,M)  =  ∑x,y∈X∑a,b∈Aμ(x,y) D(x,y,a,b) Tr⁡(MaxMby)d,\omega(G, M) \;=\; \sum_{x, y \in X} \sum_{a, b \in A} \mu(x, y)\, D(x, y, a, b)\, \frac{\operatorname{Tr}\bigl(M^x_a M^y_b\bigr)}{d},ω(G,M)=x,y∈X∑​a,b∈A∑​μ(x,y)D(x,y,a,b)dTr(Max​Mby​)​,

the acceptance probability when the players measure a maximally entangled state of dimension ddd. The synchronous value ωs(G)\omega_{\mathrm{s}}(G)ωs​(G) is the supremum of ω(G,M)\omega(G, M)ω(G,M) over all synchronous strategies of all dimensions. A synchronous strategy is a tensor-product strategy, so ωs(G)≤ω∗(G)\omega_{\mathrm{s}}(G) \le \omega^*(G)ωs​(G)≤ω∗(G), the entangled value.

A game description ggg is a finite object from which a synchronous game is read off: natural numbers nX,nAn_X, n_AnX​,nA​ fixing X={0,…,nX}X = \{0, \dots, n_X\}X={0,…,nX​} and A={0,…,nA}A = \{0, \dots, n_A\}A={0,…,nA​}, a finite list of weighted question pairs (x,y,w)(x, y, w)(x,y,w) and a finite list of accepted tuples (x,y,a,b)(x, y, a, b)(x,y,a,b). The game GgG_gGg​ has μ(x,y)\mu(x, y)μ(x,y) proportional to the total weight listed for (x,y)(x, y)(x,y) (the point mass at (0,0)(0, 0)(0,0) if the total weight is zero), and DDD accepts exactly the listed tuples, except that unequal answers to equal questions are rejected. Descriptions are coded as natural numbers, so a map from machines to descriptions can be computable.

Turing machines are Gödel numbers c∈Cc \in \mathcal{C}c∈C of partial recursive functions, an equivalent model of computation; "ccc halts on the empty input" means that ccc applied to 000 is defined.

Formalization targets

Goal: halting reduces to the synchronous game value

There is a computable map ggg from machines to game descriptions such that for every machine ccc,

c halts on the empty input  ⟹  ωs(Gg(c))=1,c does not halt  ⟹  ωs(Gg(c))≤12.c \text{ halts on the empty input} \;\Longrightarrow\; \omega_{\mathrm{s}}\bigl(G_{g(c)}\bigr) = 1, \qquad c \text{ does not halt} \;\Longrightarrow\; \omega_{\mathrm{s}}\bigl(G_{g(c)}\bigr) \le \tfrac12 .c halts on the empty input⟹ωs​(Gg(c)​)=1,c does not halt⟹ωs​(Gg(c)​)≤21​.

This is Theorem 12.2 of arXiv:2001.04383 in synchronous form, with the running time of ggg relaxed from polynomial to computable. It leaves the running time and the choice of value unfixed, and it is the weakest statement that already makes the game value uncomputable: no algorithm decides whether a game has synchronous value 111 or at most 12\tfrac1221​.

Stronger: polynomial time, and the entangled value

The paper's statement has ggg computable in polynomial time, and both the synchronous and the entangled value satisfy the two clauses. With polynomial time the goal gives RE⊆MIP∗\mathrm{RE} \subseteq \mathrm{MIP}^*RE⊆MIP∗ for the class MIP1,1/2∗(2,1)\mathrm{MIP}^*_{1, 1/2}(2, 1)MIP1,1/2∗​(2,1) of two-prover one-round proofs with completeness 111 and soundness 12\tfrac1221​, and with the elementary inclusion MIP∗⊆RE\mathrm{MIP}^* \subseteq \mathrm{RE}MIP∗⊆RE this is MIP∗=RE\mathrm{MIP}^* = \mathrm{RE}MIP∗=RE. These statements need a model of polynomial time and a definition of tensor-product strategies, and will be added as milestones once those definitions are published here.

Significance

The result. Approximating ω∗(G)\omega^*(G)ω∗(G) to within a constant is as hard as the halting problem. A hierarchy of semidefinite programs converges from above to the commuting-operator value ωco(G)\omega^{\mathrm{co}}(G)ωco(G), so the two values cannot coincide for every game: a negative answer to Tsirelson's problem and, by the equivalences cited above, to Connes' embedding problem, open since 1976. On the complexity side, MIP∗=RE\mathrm{MIP}^* = \mathrm{RE}MIP∗=RE is the exact characterization of the power of entangled provers.

Formalizing it. The theorem is proved and its proof is machine-checked: HaltingGameValue.halting_reduces_to_gameValue in the Lean 4 development vidick/MIPRE-formalization proves exactly the goal above over Mathlib, with propext, Classical.choice and Quot.sound as its only axioms. The development is about 1,200 modules and 410,000 lines, including vendored components and a separate library for the low individual degree test; its blueprint records every statement, the dependency graph and the correspondence with the paper. This mission makes the result a fixed, auditable target: the definitional layer above is written over Mathlib alone, so the goal can be checked from first principles, and the components of the proof whose developments are self-contained are published as milestones with their proofs, to be imported, reused and re-proved. The first milestone, the recursive compression lemma of Marks, Nezhadi and Yuen (Lemma 5.1 of their manuscript; blueprint node lem:recursive-compression), comes with a complete proof over a dependency tree of 22 definition bundles and 60 theorems: a cost model of computation, an efficient universal machine, the s-m-n and Kleene recursion theorems, succinct descriptions.

Difficulty

The obvious approach fails at once: a verifier runs in time polynomial in its input, while a machine may run for arbitrarily long before halting, so no fixed game can check halting by simulation. What makes RE\mathrm{RE}RE reachable is gap-preserving compression: a polynomial-time transformation of verifiers such that the compressed verifier, at index nnn, has value 111 when the original verifier at index 2n2^n2n does, and value at most 12\tfrac1221​ when the original does. The compressed game is exponentially cheaper than the game it certifies, and a fixed-point argument through Kleene's recursion theorem, in the abstract form of the recursive compression lemma, turns compression into the halting reduction. Compression rests on three components, each with a central ingredient that is a theorem in its own right: question reduction by introspection, in which the players sample their own questions and a Pauli basis self-test built on the quantum low individual degree test certifies that they did; answer reduction, in which the players prove through a probabilistically checkable proof that their answers would have been accepted; and gap amplification by parallel repetition. In each component soundness must hold against strategies of unbounded dimension, where no finite enumeration or compactness argument is available, and the quantitative losses must compose so that the threshold 12\tfrac1221​ is preserved exactly.

Formalization scope

The goal is stated with the synchronous value, projective measurements on Cd\mathbb{C}^dCd with d≥1d \ge 1d≥1, and the normalized trace in place of a state vector; the real part of the trace is taken in the strategy value, and the synchronous value is the supremum, in R\mathbb{R}R, over all strategies of all dimensions (the values lie in [0,1][0, 1][0,1]). Game descriptions are interpreted with the fallback distribution above, so that the interpretation is total. Machines are Mathlib's Nat.Partrec.Code and computability is Mathlib's Computable; polynomial time is not fixed by the goal.

No trivializing formalization is available: the game depends on ccc only through ggg, and the two clauses demand values 111 and at most 12\tfrac1221​ on complementary sets of machines, so no map that ignores its argument, or produces only descriptions of zero total weight, satisfies the statement.

A complete development needs four layers: (i) a model of computation with costs, with polynomial-time maps, an efficient universal machine, the s-m-n and Kleene recursion theorems and succinct descriptions, which is the recursive compression milestone's dependency tree and is reusable in any undecidability argument by compression; (ii) normal form verifiers, conditionally linear samplers, the Pauli basis test and the quantum low individual degree test; (iii) the three transformations, with answer reduction over a PCP decider built from a succinct Cook–Levin theorem and direct parallel repetition in value form, and their soundness; (iv) the halting reduction from compression and the passage from the tensor-product to the synchronous value. Statements and proofs of these components over the shared definitional layer are welcome, as are alternative proofs of the goal from the same definitions, the polynomial-time and entangled-value strengthenings, and the inclusion MIP∗⊆RE\mathrm{MIP}^* \subseteq \mathrm{RE}MIP∗⊆RE.

Selected references

  • Z. Ji, A. Natarajan, T. Vidick, J. Wright, H. Yuen, MIP* = RE, 2020 (revised 2022). arXiv:2001.04383
  • Z. Ji, A. Natarajan, T. Vidick, J. Wright, H. Yuen, Quantum soundness of the classical low individual degree test, 2020. arXiv:2009.12982
  • A. Marks, S. S. Nezhadi, H. Yuen, The recursive compression method for proving undecidability results, manuscript.
  • J. Lin, Tracially embeddable strategies: lifting MIP* tricks to MIP^co, 2023. arXiv:2304.01940
  • A. Natarajan, J. Wright, NEEXP ⊆ MIP*, FOCS 2019. arXiv:1904.05870
  • T. Ito, T. Vidick, A multi-prover interactive proof for NEXP sound against entangled provers, FOCS 2012. arXiv:1207.0550
  • R. Cleve, P. Høyer, B. Toner, J. Watrous, Consequences and limits of nonlocal strategies, CCC 2004. arXiv:quant-ph/0404076
  • L. Babai, L. Fortnow, C. Lund, Non-deterministic exponential time has two-prover interactive protocols, Computational Complexity 1 (1991). doi:10.1007/BF01200056
  • T. Fritz, Tsirelson's problem and Kirchberg's conjecture, Reviews in Mathematical Physics 24 (2012). arXiv:1008.1168
  • M. Junge, M. Navascués, C. Palazuelos, D. Pérez-García, V. B. Scholz, R. F. Werner, Connes' embedding problem and Tsirelson's problem, Journal of Mathematical Physics 52 (2011). arXiv:1008.1142
  • N. Ozawa, About the Connes embedding conjecture: algebraic approaches, Japanese Journal of Mathematics 8 (2013). arXiv:1212.1700
  • The Lean development: vidick/MIPRE-formalization (statement MIPRE/HaltingGameValue.lean, proof MIPRE/MainTheorem.lean) and its blueprint.
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EconomicsProbabilityStatistics·Captain: mikedeng1

Quantifying the Impact of Impact Investing II: Moments of Impact-Ranked Omitted-Factor Returns under Cross-Sectionally Correlated Gaussian Impact FactorsResearch Paper

Why impact-ranked portfolios can earn excess returns

Impact investing selects securities by a non-financial score, an ESG rating, a carbon intensity, a measure of social benefit, and asks whether such a selection earns an excess return. A. W. Lo and R. Zhang (SSRN 3944367; published in Management Science, DOI 10.1287/mnsc.2022.01168) model the score as an impact factor XXX and study the returns of securities ranked by XXX with the tools of induced order statistics (concomitants), introduced by Bhattacharya (1974) and David (1973).

Section 4.3 of the paper gives an equilibrium reading of the apparent excess return. In a KKK-factor asset-pricing model with no mispricing, an investor who accounts only for the first factor sees the contribution λi\lambda_iλi​ of the omitted factors 2,…,K2,\dots,K2,…,K to security iii's return as alpha. If the impact factor is correlated with these omitted factors, ranking by impact selects omitted-factor risk, and the selected portfolio appears to earn an excess return. Empirical studies of sin stocks (Blitz and Fabozzi, 2017) and ESG scores (Madhavan, Sobczyk and Ang, 2021) report exactly this effect. Proposition 5 quantifies it in closed form.

Setting

There are NNN securities. For security iii, XiX_iXi​ is its impact factor and λi\lambda_iλi​ the total net contribution of the omitted factors to its return. Write X=(X1,…,XN)X = (X_1,\dots,X_N)X=(X1​,…,XN​) and λ=(λ1,…,λN)\lambda = (\lambda_1,\dots,\lambda_N)λ=(λ1​,…,λN​), random vectors on a probability space (Ω,F,P)(\Omega,\mathcal F, P)(Ω,F,P).

Order statistics. Sorting the entries of XXX increasingly gives X1:N≤⋯≤XN:NX_{1:N} \le \dots \le X_{N:N}X1:N​≤⋯≤XN:N​, the order statistics of XXX. If π\piπ is the sorting permutation, Xi:N=Xπ(i)X_{i:N} = X_{\pi(i)}Xi:N​=Xπ(i)​, and the induced order statistic λ[i:N]=λπ(i)\lambda_{[i:N]} = \lambda_{\pi(i)}λ[i:N]​=λπ(i)​ is the omitted-factor return of the security with the iii-th smallest impact factor. The order is induced by XXX, never by λ\lambdaλ (display (6), p. 11).

Assumption (A2) (p. 19). The vector (X,λ)(X,\lambda)(X,λ) is Gaussian with exchangeable first and second moments: E[Xi]=μx\mathbb E[X_i] = \mu_xE[Xi​]=μx​, E[λi]=μλ\mathbb E[\lambda_i] = \mu_\lambdaE[λi​]=μλ​, Var(Xi)=σx2\mathrm{Var}(X_i) = \sigma_x^2Var(Xi​)=σx2​, Var(λi)=σλ2\mathrm{Var}(\lambda_i) = \sigma_\lambda^2Var(λi​)=σλ2​, Corr(Xi,λi)=ρx,λ\mathrm{Corr}(X_i,\lambda_i) = \rho_{x,\lambda}Corr(Xi​,λi​)=ρx,λ​, and for i≠ji \ne ji=j, Corr(Xi,Xj)=ρx\mathrm{Corr}(X_i, X_j) = \rho_xCorr(Xi​,Xj​)=ρx​, Corr(λi,λj)=ρλ\mathrm{Corr}(\lambda_i,\lambda_j) = \rho_\lambdaCorr(λi​,λj​)=ρλ​, Corr(Xi,λj)=ρ~x,λ\mathrm{Corr}(X_i,\lambda_j) = \tilde\rho_{x,\lambda}Corr(Xi​,λj​)=ρ~​x,λ​. The paper normalises μx=0\mu_x = 0μx​=0 and σx=1\sigma_x = 1σx​=1 and keeps a free premium μλ\mu_\lambdaμλ​. The adjusted correlation is

ρadj=ρx,λ−ρ~x,λ1−ρx.(24)\rho_{adj} = \frac{\rho_{x,\lambda} - \tilde\rho_{x,\lambda}}{1-\rho_x}. \qquad (24)ρadj​=1−ρx​ρx,λ​−ρ~​x,λ​​.(24)

Formalization targets

Goal: Proposition 5 (pp. 19–20)

Under (A2), for every rank iii and every pair of ranks i≠ji \ne ji=j,

E[λ[i:N]]−μλ=ρadjσλ E[Xi:N],(25)\mathbb E[\lambda_{[i:N]}] - \mu_\lambda = \rho_{adj}\sigma_\lambda\,\mathbb E[X_{i:N}], \qquad (25)E[λ[i:N]​]−μλ​=ρadj​σλ​E[Xi:N​],(25) Var(λ[i:N])=σλ2(1−ρadj2+ρadj2 Var(Xi:N)),(26)\mathrm{Var}(\lambda_{[i:N]}) = \sigma_\lambda^2\big(1-\rho_{adj}^2 + \rho_{adj}^2\,\mathrm{Var}(X_{i:N})\big), \qquad (26)Var(λ[i:N]​)=σλ2​(1−ρadj2​+ρadj2​Var(Xi:N​)),(26) Cov(λ[i:N],λ[j:N])=σλ2ρadj2 Cov(Xi:N,Xj:N)+σλ2(ρλ−ρxρadj2).(27)\mathrm{Cov}(\lambda_{[i:N]},\lambda_{[j:N]}) = \sigma_\lambda^2\rho_{adj}^2\,\mathrm{Cov}(X_{i:N},X_{j:N}) + \sigma_\lambda^2\big(\rho_\lambda - \rho_x\rho_{adj}^2\big). \qquad (27)Cov(λ[i:N]​,λ[j:N]​)=σλ2​ρadj2​Cov(Xi:N​,Xj:N​)+σλ2​(ρλ​−ρx​ρadj2​).(27)

The goal states (27) with the factor σλ2\sigma_\lambda^2σλ2​ on the last term. The paper prints (ρλ−ρxρadj2)(\rho_\lambda - \rho_x\rho_{adj}^2)(ρλ​−ρx​ρadj2​) without it. That is a slip: replacing λ\lambdaλ by cλc\lambdacλ with c>0c>0c>0 multiplies the left side by c2c^2c2 and leaves every correlation unchanged, so the printed formula fails whenever σλ≠1\sigma_\lambda \ne 1σλ​=1. With a=ρadjσλa = \rho_{adj}\sigma_\lambdaa=ρadj​σλ​, the correct value is ρλσλ2+a2(Cov(Xi:N,Xj:N)−ρx)\rho_\lambda\sigma_\lambda^2 + a^2(\mathrm{Cov}(X_{i:N},X_{j:N}) - \rho_x)ρλ​σλ2​+a2(Cov(Xi:N​,Xj:N​)−ρx​), which is the goal's right side.

Milestones

  1. (A.42)–(A.43), p. 68: with P=aI+bL\mathbf P = a\mathbf I + b\mathbf LP=aI+bL, L=11T/N\mathbf L = \mathbf 1\mathbf 1^{\mathsf T}/NL=11T/N, a=ρadjσλa = \rho_{adj}\sigma_\lambdaa=ρadj​σλ​ and b=(ρx,λ+(N−1)ρ~x,λ1+(N−1)ρx−ρadj)σλb = \big(\frac{\rho_{x,\lambda} + (N-1)\tilde\rho_{x,\lambda}}{1+(N-1)\rho_x} - \rho_{adj}\big)\sigma_\lambdab=(1+(N−1)ρx​ρx,λ​+(N−1)ρ~​x,λ​​−ρadj​)σλ​, the residual λ−PX\lambda - \mathbf P Xλ−PX is independent of XXX.
  2. (A.44) = (25), p. 68: the mean formula.
  3. (26), p. 20: the variance formula.

Significance

The result. Proposition 5 shows that the apparent alpha of the security ranked iii-th by impact is μλ+ρadjσλE[Xi:N]\mu_\lambda + \rho_{adj}\sigma_\lambda\mathbb E[X_{i:N}]μλ​+ρadj​σλ​E[Xi:N​]. A selection rule that looks unrelated to return characteristics still produces nonzero excess returns when it is correlated with omitted priced factors, and the size of the effect is governed by the single number ρadj\rho_{adj}ρadj​. The authors use this to argue that impact estimates are unreliable until all known factors are accounted for, and that a persistent impact premium may signal a new factor (an "ESG factor" or a "carbon factor"). The variance and covariance formulas give the risk of any portfolio of impact-ranked securities, through the moments of Gaussian order statistics.

Formalizing it. The paper proves (25) in full and states that (26)–(27) "can be proven similarly"; the printed (27) is off by the factor σλ2\sigma_\lambda^2σλ2​. A machine-checked proof settles the corrected constants. No part of this result, and no theory of induced order statistics, is formalized in Lean or elsewhere to our knowledge. The development needs a usable library on concomitants of Gaussian order statistics, which would serve the rest of the paper (Propositions 2, 4 and 6) and the data-snooping analysis of Lo and MacKinlay (1990), which uses the same tools.

Difficulty

The mean formula looks like linearity of expectation, but λ[i:N]=λπ(i)\lambda_{[i:N]} = \lambda_{\pi(i)}λ[i:N]​=λπ(i)​ is evaluated at a random index π(i)\pi(i)π(i) that depends on XXX, so E[λπ(i)]\mathbb E[\lambda_{\pi(i)}]E[λπ(i)​] is not E[λk]\mathbb E[\lambda_k]E[λk​] for any fixed kkk. The decomposition of milestone 1 is what handles this. It requires the full joint Gaussian law of (X,λ)(X,\lambda)(X,λ), because uncorrelated is not independent otherwise. It also needs a correction term bXˉb\bar XbXˉ through the cross-sectional average, because the cross-correlations ρx\rho_xρx​ and ρ~x,λ\tilde\rho_{x,\lambda}ρ~​x,λ​ make E[λ∣X]\mathbb E[\lambda \mid X]E[λ∣X] depend on all of XXX. In Lean, the sorting permutation must be shown measurable in XXX, and the moments of the order statistics must be shown finite.

Formalization scope

  • XXX and λ\lambdaλ are families Fin N → Ω → ℝ on a probability space. (A2) is the predicate IsA2: joint Gaussianity of the 2N2N2N-vector (Mathlib's HasGaussianLaw on (Fin N → ℝ) × (Fin N → ℝ)), plus the moments (22)–(23) stated as covariances with σx=1\sigma_x = 1σx​=1.
  • Joint Gaussianity. (A2) as printed asks only that each pair (Xi,λi)(X_i,\lambda_i)(Xi​,λi​) be bivariate normal. The proof (A.40) treats (X,λ)(X,\lambda)(X,λ) as one Gaussian vector that "completely characterizes the joint distribution". The joint reading is the one formalized; under pairwise normality alone the results fail in general.
  • Normalisations are hypotheses. μx=0\mu_x = 0μx​=0 and σx=1\sigma_x = 1σx​=1 (the paper's "without loss of generality") are fields of IsA2. μλ\mu_\lambdaμλ​ is free.
  • Added parameter hypotheses. σλ>0\sigma_\lambda > 0σλ​>0 (implicit in "correlation") and ρx<1\rho_x < 1ρx​<1 (implicit in the division in (24)). No positive-semidefiniteness condition is added: it follows from the existence of the random vector.
  • Ranks are 0-based (Fin N): Lean's rank iii is the paper's i+1i+1i+1. Sorting uses Tuple.sort, which breaks ties by index; ties have probability zero and the statements hold for any tie-breaking rule. Moments are Mathlib's integral, variance and covariance. The milestones use NNN where the page writes nnn in (n−1)(n-1)(n−1).
  • Trivializing readings are ruled out. The hypotheses are satisfiable for every NNN: a sanity file builds a witness from a standard Gaussian vector. All variables are Gaussian or bounded by Gaussians, so no expectation is Lean's junk value 000 for a non-integrable function.
  • Out of scope: the multi-factor return model beyond the definition of λ\lambdaλ; Proposition 2 and the impact-portfolio results (a separate mission); Treynor–Black weights (Proposition 7); combined portfolios (Proposition 8); asymptotic statements (Propositions 3, A.1, A.2).
  • Contributions welcome: measurability of Tuple.sort as a function of the data; integrability and moments of Gaussian order statistics; moments of a vector independent of XXX read at an XXX-dependent random index. Each of these is reusable well beyond this mission.

Selected references

  • A. W. Lo and R. Zhang, Quantifying the Impact of Impact Investing, SSRN 3944367, draft of 29 June 2023; Management Science. https://ssrn.com/abstract=3944367, https://doi.org/10.1287/mnsc.2022.01168
  • P. K. Bhattacharya, Convergence of Sample Paths of Normalized Sums of Induced Order Statistics, Annals of Statistics 2(5), 1974.
  • H. A. David, Concomitants of Order Statistics, Bulletin of the International Statistical Institute 45, 1973. (No DOI.)
  • A. W. Lo and A. C. MacKinlay, Data-Snooping Biases in Tests of Financial Asset Pricing Models, Review of Financial Studies 3(3), 1990. https://doi.org/10.1093/rfs/3.3.431
  • D. Blitz and F. J. Fabozzi, Sin Stocks Revisited: Resolving the Sin Stock Anomaly, Journal of Portfolio Management 44(1), 2017.
  • A. Madhavan, A. Sobczyk and A. Ang, Toward ESG Alpha: Analyzing ESG Exposures through a Factor Lens, Financial Analysts Journal 77(1), 2021.
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🏆Completed
Functional Analysis·Captain: scanstone

Plasticity: c₀-type balls onto balls inside ℓ∞Research Paper

Motivation

A metric space is plastic if every nonexpansive bijection of it onto itself is an isometry. The mission "Plasticity: c₀ and c₀₀" proved, among other things, that a nonexpansive bijection from the unit ball of a space between c00(Γ)c_{00}(\Gamma)c00​(Γ) and c0(Γ)c_0(\Gamma)c0​(Γ) onto the unit ball of a space between c00(Δ)c_{00}(\Delta)c00​(Δ) and c0(Δ)c_0(\Delta)c0​(Δ) is a signed permutation of coordinates whenever the target matches signs (card Plasticity.CUB37). A scan of unused hypotheses showed that the first step, the normal form, never uses that the target lies in c0(Δ)c_0(\Delta)c0​(Δ). This mission records the consequence: the target may be any space between c00(Δ)c_{00}(\Delta)c00​(Δ) and ℓ∞(Δ)\ell_\infty(\Delta)ℓ∞​(Δ), because the existence of such a bijection forces it into c0(Δ)c_0(\Delta)c0​(Δ).

Setting

XXX is a linear subspace with c00(Γ)⊆X⊆c0(Γ)c_{00}(\Gamma)\subseteq X\subseteq c_0(\Gamma)c00​(Γ)⊆X⊆c0​(Γ) and YYY one with c00(Δ)⊆Y⊆ℓ∞(Δ)c_{00}(\Delta)\subseteq Y\subseteq\ell_\infty(\Delta)c00​(Δ)⊆Y⊆ℓ∞​(Δ), both real with the supremum norm, for arbitrary index sets Γ,Δ\Gamma,\DeltaΓ,Δ (definitions Plasticity_SeqSpace). FFF is a nonexpansive bijection of the closed unit ball of XXX onto that of YYY; nothing is assumed about its inverse.

Target

(goal)X=c00(Γ) or Y realizes all sign patterns ⟹ F(x)σn=αnxn for a bijection σ and signs αn=±1.\text{(goal)}\quad X=c_{00}(\Gamma)\ \text{or}\ Y\ \text{realizes all sign patterns}\ \Longrightarrow\ F(x)_{\sigma n}=\alpha_nx_n\ \text{for a bijection}\ \sigma\ \text{and signs}\ \alpha_n=\pm1.(goal)X=c00​(Γ) or Y realizes all sign patterns ⟹ F(x)σn​=αn​xn​ for a bijection σ and signs αn​=±1. (milestone)Y⊆c0(Δ).\text{(milestone)}\quad Y\subseteq c_0(\Delta).(milestone)Y⊆c0​(Δ).

Significance

The milestone excludes nonexpansive bijections onto balls that the usual extreme-point argument cannot reach: for Y=c0⊕R(1,0,1,0,… )Y=c_0\oplus\mathbb R(1,0,1,0,\dots)Y=c0​⊕R(1,0,1,0,…) the ball has no extreme points, yet no ball between c00c_{00}c00​ and c0c_0c0​ is mapped onto it by a nonexpansive bijection. The goal is the card Plasticity.CUB37 without its target hypothesis.

Formalization scope

The normal form for targets inside ℓ∞(Δ)\ell_\infty(\Delta)ℓ∞​(Δ) is a separate card (Plasticity.SeqSpace.exists_signed_permutation_inward), the proof of Plasticity.CUB37.normal_form with the unused hypothesis removed; the goal then imports the Proved card Plasticity.CUB37.

Selected references

  • N. Leo, Plasticity of the unit ball of ccc and c0c_0c0​, J. Math. Anal. Appl. 507 (2022), arXiv:2106.06276.
  • B. Cascales, V. Kadets, J. Orihuela, E. J. Wingler, Plasticity of the unit ball of a strictly convex Banach space, RACSAM 110 (2016), 723–727.
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AnalysisControl TheoryEconomics+1·Captain: mikedeng1

Punish Underperformance with Suspension: Optimal Dynamic Contracts in the Presence of Switching Cost I: Condition 1, High Switching Cost, Not-Hiring Value Functions Meet the Optimality ConditionsResearch Paper

Motivation

Many service relationships let a firm pause an agent instead of firing them: a sales representative who brings in no customers for a while is suspended, a contractor is laid off for a season and recalled. Pausing is not free. Every restart carries a switching cost KKK (re-training, re-establishing a territory, setting up the work environment), so a principal who suspends too readily pays for it. Cao, Sun and Tian (Management Science, 2024) study the optimal dynamic contract for this trade-off in continuous time, building on the Poisson-arrival moral-hazard model of Sun and Tian (2018). Their main result (Theorem 2) splits the parameter space into three regimes: never hire, hire and keep the agent working forever, and a control-band contract with suspension episodes of fixed length. This mission covers the first regime under the paper's Condition 1.

Setting

A principal earns a revenue RRR per arrival of a Poisson process. Without effort the arrival rate is μ‾≥0\underline\mu\ge0μ​≥0; an agent who works, at private cost b>0b>0b>0 per unit time, raises it to μ>μ‾\mu>\underline\muμ>μ​. Write Δμ=μ−μ‾\Delta\mu=\mu-\underline\muΔμ=μ−μ​. The principal's cost rate while the agent works is c≥bc\ge bc≥b, every start of work costs K>0K>0K>0, and the principal and the agent discount at rates 0<r≤ρ0<r\le\rho0<r≤ρ. Assumption 1 is RΔμ>cR\Delta\mu>cRΔμ>c. The derived constants are

β=bΔμ,wˉ=βμρ,v‾=μ‾Rr,Vˉ(w)=Rμ−c−(ρ−r)wr.\beta=\frac{b}{\Delta\mu},\qquad \bar w=\frac{\beta\mu}{\rho},\qquad \underline v=\frac{\underline\mu R}{r},\qquad \bar V(w)=\frac{R\mu-c-(\rho-r)w}{r}.β=Δμb​,wˉ=ρβμ​,v​=rμ​R​,Vˉ(w)=rRμ−c−(ρ−r)w​.

The state of a contract is the agent's promised utility w≥0w\ge0w≥0. The paper's verification theorem reduces optimality to a pair of functions: VIV_IVI​ for the working state and V∅V_\emptysetV∅​ for the suspended state. For a function fff on R+\mathbb R_+R+​, with f′f'f′ its left derivative, the operators are

(AIf)(w)=(μ+r)f(w)−μf(w+β)+ρ(wˉ−w)f′(w)−(μR−c)+(ρ−r)w,(\mathcal A_If)(w)=(\mu+r)f(w)-\mu f(w+\beta)+\rho(\bar w-w)f'(w)-(\mu R-c)+(\rho-r)w,(AI​f)(w)=(μ+r)f(w)−μf(w+β)+ρ(wˉ−w)f′(w)−(μR−c)+(ρ−r)w, (A∅f)(w)=rf(w)−ρwf′(w)+(ρ−r)w−Rμ‾,(\mathcal A_\emptyset f)(w)=rf(w)-\rho wf'(w)+(\rho-r)w-R\underline\mu,(A∅​f)(w)=rf(w)−ρwf′(w)+(ρ−r)w−Rμ​,

and (VI,V∅)(V_I,V_\emptyset)(VI​,V∅​) satisfies the optimality condition (20)–(22) if AIVI≥0\mathcal A_IV_I\ge0AI​VI​≥0, A∅V∅≥0\mathcal A_\emptyset V_\emptyset\ge0A∅​V∅​≥0, 0≤VI−V∅≤K0\le V_I-V_\emptyset\le K0≤VI​−V∅​≤K on R+\mathbb R_+R+​, and VI(0)≥v‾V_I(0)\ge\underline vVI​(0)≥v​, V∅(0)≥v‾V_\emptyset(0)\ge\underline vV∅​(0)≥v​.

The working-state candidate is built from the delay differential equation (25): for w~∈[0,wˉ)\tilde w\in[0,\bar w)w~∈[0,wˉ), Vw~V_{\tilde w}Vw~​ is the C1C^1C1 function on [0,w~][0,\tilde w][0,w~] with

(μ+r)V(w)−μV((w+β)∧w~)+ρ(wˉ−w)V′(w)−(μR−c)+(ρ−r)w=0,(\mu+r)V(w)-\mu V\big((w+\beta)\wedge\tilde w\big)+\rho(\bar w-w)V'(w)-(\mu R-c)+(\rho-r)w=0,(μ+r)V(w)−μV((w+β)∧w~)+ρ(wˉ−w)V′(w)−(μR−c)+(ρ−r)w=0,

and V(w)=Vˉ(w~)V(w)=\bar V(\tilde w)V(w)=Vˉ(w~) for w≥w~w\ge\tilde ww≥w~. Vw~V_{\tilde w}Vw~​ may be convex near 000; wˇ(w~)\check w(\tilde w)wˇ(w~) is the point up to which Vw~′′>0V_{\tilde w}''>0Vw~′′​>0, and the concavification Vw~\mathcal V_{\tilde w}Vw~​ replaces Vw~V_{\tilde w}Vw~​ on [0,wˇ(w~))[0,\check w(\tilde w))[0,wˇ(w~)) by its tangent line at wˇ(w~)\check w(\tilde w)wˇ(w~). Condition 1 is "μ≥ρ−r\mu\ge\rho-rμ≥ρ−r or R<R^R<\hat RR<R^" with

R^=[cb+(ρ−r)μΔμ(ρ−r−μ)⋅ρ−μρ]β.\hat R=\Big[\frac cb+\frac{(\rho-r)\mu}{\Delta\mu(\rho-r-\mu)}\cdot\frac{\rho-\mu}{\rho}\Big]\beta.R^=[bc​+Δμ(ρ−r−μ)(ρ−r)μ​⋅ρρ−μ​]β.

Under it there is a unique w^∈[0,wˉ)\hat{\mathrm w}\in[0,\bar w)w^∈[0,wˉ) with Vw^(0)=v‾\mathcal V_{\hat{\mathrm w}}(0)=\underline vVw^​(0)=v​ (Lemma 3). Three hats occur in the paper: w^\hat ww^ of Definition 1 (a payment threshold), w^\hat{\mathrm w}w^ of Lemma 3 (used here), and w^\hat{\mathbf w}w^ of Proposition 6 (not used here). For K<Vˉ(w^)−v‾K<\bar V(\hat{\mathrm w})-\underline vK<Vˉ(w^)−v​, Lemma 4 gives a tangent pair (θˉK,mK)(\bar\theta^K,m^K)(θˉK,mK): the line mKw+v‾m^Kw+\underline vmKw+v​ touches Vw^−K\mathcal V_{\hat{\mathrm w}}-KVw^​−K at θˉK\bar\theta^KθˉK. Finally Kˉ1=inf⁡{K∈(0,Vˉ(w^)−v‾]∣mK<1}\bar K_1=\inf\{K\in(0,\bar V(\hat{\mathrm w})-\underline v]\mid m^K<1\}Kˉ1​=inf{K∈(0,Vˉ(w^)−v​]∣mK<1} (K1).

Formalization targets

Goal: Proposition 3 (p. 22)

Under Condition 1 and Kˉ1≤K≤Vˉ(w^)−v‾\bar K_1\le K\le\bar V(\hat{\mathrm w})-\underline vKˉ1​≤K≤Vˉ(w^)−v​, for the pair (θˉK,mK)(\bar\theta^K,m^K)(θˉK,mK) of (29),

VI=Vw^,V∅(w)={mKw+v‾,w≤θˉK,Vw^(w)−K,w>θˉK,V_I=\mathcal V_{\hat{\mathrm w}},\qquad V_\emptyset(w)=\begin{cases}m^Kw+\underline v,&w\le\bar\theta^K,\\ \mathcal V_{\hat{\mathrm w}}(w)-K,&w>\bar\theta^K,\end{cases}VI​=Vw^​,V∅​(w)={mKw+v​,Vw^​(w)−K,​w≤θˉK,w>θˉK,​

satisfy (20)–(22).

Milestones

  1. Lemma EC.2: existence and uniqueness of Vw~V_{\tilde w}Vw~​, w~∈[0,wˉ)\tilde w\in[0,\bar w)w~∈[0,wˉ).
  2. Lemma EC.2(iii)–(iv): Vw~V_{\tilde w}Vw~​ increasing; Vw~V_{\tilde w}Vw~​ decreasing and Vw~′V_{\tilde w}'Vw~′​ increasing in w~\tilde ww~.
  3. Lemma 2(i): the sign pattern of Vw~′′V_{\tilde w}''Vw~′′​ around wˇ(w~)\check w(\tilde w)wˇ(w~), and wˇ(w~)≤(1−r/ρ)β\check w(\tilde w)\le(1-r/\rho)\betawˇ(w~)≤(1−r/ρ)β.
  4. Lemma 2(ii)–(iii): Vw~\mathcal V_{\tilde w}Vw~​ increasing and concave; comparison in w~\tilde ww~.
  5. Lemma 3: w^\hat{\mathrm w}w^ exists and is unique; Vw^′(0)>1\mathcal V_{\hat{\mathrm w}}'(0)>1Vw^′​(0)>1 when wˇ(w^)>0\check w(\hat{\mathrm w})>0wˇ(w^)>0.
  6. Proposition 2: for K≥Vˉ(w^)−v‾K\ge\bar V(\hat{\mathrm w})-\underline vK≥Vˉ(w^)−v​, (Vw^,v‾)(\mathcal V_{\hat{\mathrm w}},\underline v)(Vw^​,v​) satisfies (20)–(22).
  7. Lemma 4: tangent pairs exist; θˉK\bar\theta^KθˉK increases and mKm^KmK decreases in KKK; θˉK→wˇ(w^)\bar\theta^K\to\check w(\hat{\mathrm w})θˉK→wˇ(w^) as K↓0K\downarrow0K↓0.

Significance

Propositions 2 and 3 are the analytic certificates behind Theorem 2(i): combined with the verification theorem (Theorem 1), they show that under Condition 1 and K≥Kˉ1K\ge\bar K_1K≥Kˉ1​ the principal's utility from any incentive-compatible contract promising www is at most V∅(w)−w≤v‾V_\emptyset(w)-w\le\underline vV∅​(w)−w≤v​, so never hiring the agent is optimal, and Kˉ1\bar K_1Kˉ1​ is exactly the switching-cost threshold of that regime. The same objects (Vw~V_{\tilde w}Vw~​, Vw^\mathcal V_{\hat{\mathrm w}}Vw^​, the tangent pairs) reappear in the low-cost control-band regime (Propositions 6–7), so a formal development of the delay ODE and its concavification is reused there.

The paper proves all these results; none is formalized. The mission formalizes the deterministic half of the guess-and-verify argument. The stochastic contract model (point processes, promise keeping, incentive compatibility), Theorem 1 and the optimality theorems are outside its scope.

Difficulty

The obvious approach, verifying (20)–(22) by direct computation, works for the linear pieces but not for Vw^\mathcal V_{\hat{\mathrm w}}Vw^​, which has no closed form: (25) is a delay equation solved backwards from w~\tilde ww~ in steps of length β\betaβ, and the closed form (EC.52) of the paper holds only on the last step [(w~−β)+,w~][(\tilde w-\beta)^+,\tilde w][(w~−β)+,w~]. Every property of Vw^\mathcal V_{\hat{\mathrm w}}Vw^​ used in the goal (monotonicity, the single change of convexity, the comparison in w~\tilde ww~ that makes w^\hat{\mathrm w}w^ unique) has to be extracted from the equation itself, across the kinks of w↦(w+β)∧w~w\mapsto(w+\beta)\wedge\tilde ww↦(w+β)∧w~. On the second branch of V∅V_\emptysetV∅​, A∅V∅≥0\mathcal A_\emptyset V_\emptyset\ge0A∅​V∅​≥0 is not a pointwise identity either: it requires mK≤1m^K\le1mK≤1, which is where K≥Kˉ1K\ge\bar K_1K≥Kˉ1​ enters.

Formalization scope

  • Parameters form a structure with real fields; the standing assumptions 0≤μ‾<μ0\le\underline\mu<\mu0≤μ​<μ, 0<b≤c0<b\le c0<b≤c, K>0K>0K>0, 0<r≤ρ0<r\le\rho0<r≤ρ, RΔμ>cR\Delta\mu>cRΔμ>c are a hypothesis of every theorem. μ‾≥0\underline\mu\ge0μ​≥0 and b>0b>0b>0 are disclosed additions (a rate and a cost).
  • Functions are ℝ → ℝ; every statement quantifies over w≥0w\ge0w≥0 only. In AI,A∅\mathcal A_I,\mathcal A_\emptysetAI​,A∅​, f′f'f′ is the left derivative (derivWithin f (Set.Iic w) w, the paper's p. 15 convention); in statements about Vw~V_{\tilde w}Vw~​ and Vw~\mathcal V_{\tilde w}Vw~​, derivatives are taken within R+\mathbb R_+R+​; in (25), within [0,w~][0,\tilde w][0,w~].
  • (20) is required for w>0w>0w>0: at w=0w=0w=0 a left derivative of a function on R+\mathbb R_+R+​ does not exist. (21) and (22) are as printed.
  • Vw~V_{\tilde w}Vw~​ is a chosen solution of (25)–(26) (Lemma EC.2 is the milestone that makes this meaningful); wˇ(w~)\check w(\tilde w)wˇ(w~) is a supremum defined through the sign of V′′V''V′′, and w^\hat{\mathrm w}w^ an infimum; Kˉ1\bar K_1Kˉ1​ is an infimum. None is defined by the property a theorem asserts about it.
  • The goal holds for every pair satisfying (29); the pair is unique, and at K=Vˉ(w^)−v‾K=\bar V(\hat{\mathrm w})-\underline vK=Vˉ(w^)−v​ it is (w^,0)(\hat{\mathrm w},0)(w^,0). The second branch of (30) is extended beyond w^\hat{\mathrm w}w^, as the paper's proof uses.
  • "Increasing/decreasing" mean strictly. The contract-utility claim U(Γ‾)=v‾U(\underline\Gamma)=\underline vU(Γ​)=v​ of Proposition 2 is not stated.
  • Ruled out: weakening (20)–(22) (dropping the upper bound KKK in (21), or (22)), or defining Vw~V_{\tilde w}Vw~​ by its closed form (EC.52), which is valid only near w~\tilde ww~.

Needed infrastructure: existence and uniqueness for linear ODEs with a terminal condition, extended step by step across a delay; one-sided derivatives of piecewise functions; concavity from sign conditions on second derivatives. Proofs of the milestones, and reusable lemmas about delay equations of this form, are welcome.

Selected references

  • P. Cao, P. Sun, F. Tian, Punish Underperformance with Suspension: Optimal Dynamic Contracts in the Presence of Switching Cost, Management Science, 2024. https://doi.org/10.1287/mnsc.2023.4845 (cited from the authors' manuscript with e-companion).
  • P. Sun, F. Tian, Optimal Contract to Induce Continued Effort, Management Science 64(9), 2018. https://doi.org/10.1287/mnsc.2017.2795
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ProbabilityStatistics·Captain: mikedeng1

Design and Analysis of Switchback Experiments 2: Under the Optimal Design the Horvitz–Thompson Estimator Is Asymptotically Normal as the Number of Epochs n → ∞Research Paper

Motivation

Online platforms such as ride-hailing, delivery and marketplace companies routinely test a new policy (a pricing rule, a dispatching algorithm) by switching it on and off over time on a single unit, a city or a market, rather than by randomizing over users. These switchback experiments avoid the interference that user-level randomization creates in two-sided markets, but they face a different problem: a treatment administered at one time keeps affecting outcomes for several periods afterwards (carryover effects). Bojinov, Simchi-Levi and Zhao, Design and Analysis of Switchback Experiments (arXiv:2009.00148, Management Science 69(7), 2023), derive the minimax-optimal design when the carryover lasts at most mmm periods, and then ask how to do inference with it. This mission formalizes the inference half: under the optimal design, the Horvitz–Thompson estimator of the lag-mmm effect is asymptotically normal as the number of epochs grows, which is what justifies the paper's normal-approximation test and confidence intervals.

The result is a finite-population central limit theorem: the potential outcomes are fixed, non-random numbers, and all randomness comes from the experimenter's coin flips. It belongs to the line of design-based limit theorems of Li and Ding (2017), Aronow et al. (2017) and Bojinov et al. (2021). Its probabilistic engine is the central limit theorem of Romano and Wolf (2000) for triangular arrays of ϕ\phiϕ-dependent random variables, which goes back to the mmm-dependent central limit theorem of Hoeffding and Robbins (1948).

Setting

There are TTT time periods t∈[T]={1,…,T}t\in[T]=\{1,\dots,T\}t∈[T]={1,…,T}. An assignment path w1:T∈{0,1}Tw_{1:T}\in\{0,1\}^Tw1:T​∈{0,1}T records treatment (wt=1w_t=1wt​=1) or control (wt=0w_t=0wt​=0) in each period. The potential outcomes are real numbers Yt(w1:T)Y_t(w_{1:T})Yt​(w1:T​). They are assumed non-anticipating (Assumption 1: YtY_tYt​ depends only on w1:tw_{1:t}w1:t​) and to have mmm-carryover effects (Assumption 2: for t>mt>mt>m, YtY_tYt​ does not depend on w1:t−m−1w_{1:t-m-1}w1:t−m−1​). Assumption 3 bounds them: ∣Yt(w1:T)∣≤B|Y_t(w_{1:T})|\le B∣Yt​(w1:T​)∣≤B. Write Yt(1m+1)Y_t(\mathbf 1_{m+1})Yt​(1m+1​) and Yt(0m+1)Y_t(\mathbf 0_{m+1})Yt​(0m+1​) for the outcome after m+1m+1m+1 consecutive treatments, respectively controls. The lag-mmm causal effect is

τm=1T−m∑t=m+1T[Yt(1m+1)−Yt(0m+1)].\tau_m=\frac1{T-m}\sum_{t=m+1}^{T}\big[Y_t(\mathbf 1_{m+1})-Y_t(\mathbf 0_{m+1})\big].τm​=T−m1​t=m+1∑T​[Yt​(1m+1​)−Yt​(0m+1​)].

A regular switchback design flips an independent coin with success probability qk∈(0,1)q_k\in(0,1)qk​∈(0,1) at each randomization point t0=1<t1<⋯<tKt_0=1<t_1<\dots<t_Kt0​=1<t1​<⋯<tK​, and every period copies the most recent coin. The Horvitz–Thompson estimator τ^m\hat\tau_mτ^m​ weights the observed outcome at time ttt by the inverse probability that the last m+1m+1m+1 assignments were all treatments (respectively all controls).

In the nnn-replica experiment T=nmT=nmT=nm, and the optimal design of the paper's Theorem 2 uses fair coins at

T∗={1,  2m+1,  3m+1,  …,  (n−2)m+1}.\mathbb T^*=\{1,\;2m+1,\;3m+1,\;\dots,\;(n-2)m+1\}.T∗={1,2m+1,3m+1,…,(n−2)m+1}.

The periods split into n−1n-1n−1 blocks {(k+1)m+1,…,(k+2)m}\{(k+1)m+1,\dots,(k+2)m\}{(k+1)m+1,…,(k+2)m}, k=0,…,n−2k=0,\dots,n-2k=0,…,n−2, with block sums Yˉk(1m+1)\bar Y_k(\mathbf 1_{m+1})Yˉk​(1m+1​), Yˉk(0m+1)\bar Y_k(\mathbf 0_{m+1})Yˉk​(0m+1​) and block errors 1ˉk\bar{\mathbb 1}_k1ˉk​, so that τ^m−τm=(T−m)−1∑k1ˉk\hat\tau_m-\tau_m=(T-m)^{-1}\sum_k\bar{\mathbb 1}_kτ^m​−τm​=(T−m)−1∑k​1ˉk​. Assumption 4 (non-negligible variance) requires Var(τ^m)≥c/n\mathrm{Var}(\hat\tau_m)\ge c/nVar(τ^m​)≥c/n for some c>0c>0c>0 and all large nnn.

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem 3 (asymptotic normality)

For fixed mmm, under Assumptions 1–2, Assumption 3 with one bound BBB for all nnn, and Assumption 4,

τ^m−τmVar(τ^m)→DN(0,1)(n→∞).\frac{\hat\tau_m-\tau_m}{\sqrt{\mathrm{Var}(\hat\tau_m)}}\xrightarrow{D}\mathcal N(0,1)\qquad(n\to\infty).Var(τ^m​)​τ^m​−τm​​D​N(0,1)(n→∞).

The statement fixes no rate and does not require Var(τ^m)\mathrm{Var}(\hat\tau_m)Var(τ^m​) to converge.

Milestones

  1. Block decomposition (EC.4.1–EC.4.2): τ^m−τm=(T−m)−1∑k=0n−21ˉk\hat\tau_m-\tau_m=(T-m)^{-1}\sum_{k=0}^{n-2}\bar{\mathbb 1}_kτ^m​−τm​=(T−m)−1∑k=0n−2​1ˉk​ with E1ˉk=0\mathbb E\bar{\mathbb 1}_k=0E1ˉk​=0.
  2. 1-dependence (proof of Theorem 3): the block errors 1ˉ0,…,1ˉn−2\bar{\mathbb 1}_0,\dots,\bar{\mathbb 1}_{n-2}1ˉ0​,…,1ˉn−2​ form a 1-dependent sequence.
  3. Lemma 2: the closed form (10) of Var(τ^m)\mathrm{Var}(\hat\tau_m)Var(τ^m​) in terms of the block sums.
  4. Block-variance bound (proof of Theorem 3): Bn,k,a2≤16kB2/(n−1)2B^2_{n,k,a}\le16kB^2/(n-1)^2Bn,k,a2​≤16kB2/(n−1)2 for the scaled partial sums.
  5. Lemma EC.1 (Romano–Wolf): the central limit theorem for ϕ\phiϕ-dependent triangular arrays.

Companions

Corollary 1, the conservative bound Var(τ^m)≤VarU(τ^m)\mathrm{Var}(\hat\tau_m)\le\mathrm{Var}^U(\hat\tau_m)Var(τ^m​)≤VarU(τ^m​) with the unbiased estimator σ^U2\hat\sigma^2_Uσ^U2​, and Corollary 2(i), that (10) still holds when the design is built for an overestimated order p>mp>mp>m.

Significance

Theorem 3 is what turns the optimal design into a usable inferential procedure: together with Corollary 1 it gives the test statistic ∣τ^m∣/σ^U2|\hat\tau_m|/\sqrt{\hat\sigma^2_U}∣τ^m​∣/σ^U2​​ and its normal ppp-value, a conservative large-sample test of the null of no lag-mmm effect that needs no model for the outcomes. Corollary 2 extends the guarantee to a misspecified carryover order p>mp>mp>m. Lemma EC.1 is a general tool, applicable to any statistic that decomposes into a sum of weakly dependent pieces, such as block designs, time-series bootstraps and spatial experiments.

The paper proves these results. None of them is formalized: Mathlib has the central limit theorem for i.i.d. sequences only, and no central limit theorem for dependent arrays exists on the platform. The work here is to formalize the known proof: the exact second-moment computations of the design, the 1-dependence of the blocks, and a proof of the Romano–Wolf theorem itself, which the paper takes from the literature.

Difficulty

The randomness is a finite set of coin flips and the outcomes change with nnn, so no i.i.d. structure is available: the block errors are neither independent nor identically distributed, and the classical Lindeberg–Lévy theorem does not apply. The obvious reduction, treating neighbouring blocks as independent, fails, because adjacent blocks share a coin. This is why the cross terms appear in (10), and why a dependent-array central limit theorem is needed. The variance normalisation is random-design specific and may oscillate in nnn, so the limit theorem has to be proved with a self-normalisation that does not converge. Lemma EC.1 is the main obstacle: a ϕ\phiϕ-dependent central limit theorem for triangular arrays with Lyapunov-type moment conditions, which is not in Mathlib.

Formalization scope

A path is a function ℕ → Bool of which only 1,…,T1,\dots,T1,…,T is read; potential outcomes are ℕ → Path → ℝ. The design law is encoded as independent coins at the randomization points, mapped to paths; in the nnn-replica experiment the probability space is the uniform measure on the coin vectors of T∗\mathbb T^*T∗. Row nnn of the sequence has T=nmT=nmT=nm and potential outcomes Y n. Rows n<4n<4n<4 exist in Lean but are degenerate and irrelevant to the limit. Convergence in distribution is Mathlib's TendstoInDistribution, and the limit is gaussianReal 0 1. Ω(n−1)\Omega(n^{-1})Ω(n−1) and O(1)O(1)O(1) are explicit constants with an eventual threshold. The estimand, estimator and variance in the goal are the model's definitions, not a hand-written formula in the coins.

Three hypotheses are added to the printed statements, each necessary and disclosed in the item's Formalization Note:

  • Theorem 3 assumes Assumption 3 with one BBB for all nnn. The page omits it, the proof uses it, and without it the statement is false.
  • Lemma EC.1 assumes dn→∞d_n\to\inftydn​→∞. This is Romano and Wolf's sixth condition for fixed ϕ\phiϕ, and without it the lemma fails with dn=1d_n=1dn​=1.
  • Lemma EC.1 assumes Ln>0L_n>0Ln​>0, which the ratios in its conditions 4–5 presuppose.

The goal does not assume 1-dependence, the variance formula or any condition of Lemma EC.1; those are milestones, so the goal cannot be discharged by a hypothesis.

A complete development needs:

  • finite-coin product measures and the independence of functions of disjoint coordinates;
  • exact second-moment computations for the design;
  • a ϕ\phiϕ-dependent central limit theorem for triangular arrays.

The last two, Lemma EC.1 and Definition EC.1, are reusable well beyond this mission. Contributions to any milestone, including alternative proofs of Lemma EC.1, are welcome.

Selected references

  • I. Bojinov, D. Simchi-Levi, J. Zhao, Design and Analysis of Switchback Experiments, Management Science 69(7), 2023. https://arxiv.org/abs/2009.00148 (v4)
  • J. P. Romano, M. Wolf, A more general central limit theorem for m-dependent random variables with unbounded m, Statistics & Probability Letters 47, 115–124, 2000.
  • W. Hoeffding, H. Robbins, The central limit theorem for dependent random variables, Duke Mathematical Journal 15(3), 773–780, 1948.
  • X. Li, P. Ding, General forms of finite population central limit theorems with applications to causal inference, Journal of the American Statistical Association 112, 1759–1769, 2017.
  • I. Bojinov, N. Shephard, Time series experiments and causal estimands: exact randomization tests and trading, Journal of the American Statistical Association 114, 1665–1682, 2019.
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Functional Analysis·Captain: scanstone

Plasticity: finite-dimensional faces without completenessResearch Paper

Motivation

A metric space is plastic if every nonexpansive bijection of it onto itself is an isometry; Cascales, Kadets, Orihuela and Wingler (2016) asked whether the closed unit ball of every real Banach space is plastic. The mission "Plasticity: unit spheres covered by finite-dimensional faces" proved that a nonexpansive bijection FFF between unit balls carries every finite-dimensional face of the target ball back onto a face of the same dimension (card Plasticity.Faces.matchesFace_of_finiteDimensional, stated for normed spaces), and that FFF is a linear isometry whenever the target sphere is covered by finite-dimensional faces, for Banach spaces. That covering theorem was proved through a sphere-preservation theorem whose proof needs completeness. This mission removes completeness from the covering theorem and its plasticity corollary, by the ending that Angosto, Kadets and Zavarzina (2019) used for polyhedral faces.

Setting

XXX and YYY are real normed spaces, not necessarily complete, with closed unit balls BX,BYB_X,B_YBX​,BY​ and unit spheres SX,SYS_X,S_YSX​,SY​. A sphere face of BYB_YBY​ is a nonempty convex set C⊆SYC\subseteq S_YC⊆SY​ that is an extreme subset of BYB_YBY​ (definitions Plasticity_Faces). F ⁣:BX→BYF\colon B_X\to B_YF:BX​→BY​ is a nonexpansive bijection; nothing is assumed about the continuity of F−1F^{-1}F−1.

Target

(goal)SY covered by finite-dimensional sphere faces ⟹ F is the restriction of a surjective linear isometry X→Y.\text{(goal)}\quad S_Y\ \text{covered by finite-dimensional sphere faces}\ \Longrightarrow\ F\ \text{is the restriction of a surjective linear isometry}\ X\to Y.(goal)SY​ covered by finite-dimensional sphere faces ⟹ F is the restriction of a surjective linear isometry X→Y. (plasticity)SX covered by finite-dimensional sphere faces ⟹ BX is plastic.\text{(plasticity)}\quad S_X\ \text{covered by finite-dimensional sphere faces}\ \Longrightarrow\ B_X\ \text{is plastic}.(plasticity)SX​ covered by finite-dimensional sphere faces ⟹ BX​ is plastic.

Significance

The result. Completeness plays no role in the mechanism: the face theorem already holds for normed spaces, and the ending needs only the geometry of planes and the Mazur–Ulam theorem. The steps are: FFF maps SXS_XSX​ into SYS_YSY​; by induction on the face dimension, FFF is isometric on each scaled preimage face along chords that end at boundary points where it is already homogeneous (Zavarzina's Lemma 2.5, proved here by differentiating one inequality at a point of a plane where the norm is differentiable along a line, which Rademacher's theorem supplies), and two points of a face at equal distances from all its boundary points coincide, so FFF is homogeneous on every ray; then FFF is an isometry of the balls, and its homogeneous extension is linear by Mazur–Ulam.

Formalizing it. The face theorem is a Proved card in the earlier mission; this mission adds the ending, so that the statements are machine-checked in their natural generality.

Formalization scope

Real scalars; the face theorem Plasticity.Faces.matchesFace_of_finiteDimensional and the basic facts Plasticity.BallMap.* are imported Proved cards. New inputs are separate cards: Zavarzina's isometry lemma for homogeneous points (Plasticity.BallMap.norm_map_sub_map_eq_of_map_smul, using Rademacher's theorem from Mathlib for the density of smooth points), two elementary facts about relative boundaries of bounded sets, and homogeneity on preimage faces (Plasticity.Faces.map_smul_of_map_mem_face). Statements are not to be weakened by assuming completeness, continuity of the inverse or a bound on the face dimensions.

Selected references

  • C. Angosto, V. Kadets, O. Zavarzina, Non-expansive bijections, uniformities and polyhedral faces, J. Math. Anal. Appl. 471 (2019), arXiv:1808.08534.
  • O. Zavarzina, Non-expansive bijections between unit balls of Banach spaces, Ann. Funct. Anal. 9 (2018), arXiv:1704.06961.
  • B. Cascales, V. Kadets, J. Orihuela, E. J. Wingler, Plasticity of the unit ball of a strictly convex Banach space, RACSAM 110 (2016), 723–727.
  • S. Mazur, S. Ulam, Sur les transformations isométriques d'espaces vectoriels normés, C. R. Acad. Sci. Paris 194 (1932), 946–948.
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Functional Analysis·Captain: scanstone

Plasticity: unit spheres covered by finite-dimensional facesResearch Paper

Motivation

A metric space is plastic if every nonexpansive bijection of it onto itself is an isometry; every totally bounded metric space is plastic (Freudenthal–Hurewicz 1936), and Cascales, Kadets, Orihuela and Wingler (2016) asked whether the closed unit ball of every real Banach space is plastic. They proved it for strictly convex spaces, whose unit sphere consists of one-point faces. Angosto, Kadets and Zavarzina (2019) proved it, in the stronger two-space form, when the unit sphere is a union of finite-dimensional polyhedral extreme subsets: then every nonexpansive bijection from the unit ball of any Banach space onto that ball is an isometry. This mission formalizes a theorem that removes the polyhedrality: it suffices that every point of the sphere lies in some finite-dimensional face, of any shape, for instance a round disc. The results come from an unpublished research project on the plasticity problem.

Setting

XXX and YYY are real normed spaces with closed unit balls BX,BYB_X,B_YBX​,BY​ and unit spheres SX,SYS_X,S_YSX​,SY​; the covering and plasticity forms assume them complete. A sphere face of BYB_YBY​ is a nonempty convex set C⊆SYC\subseteq S_YC⊆SY​ that is an extreme subset of BYB_YBY​: if a point of CCC lies in the open segment between two points of BYB_YBY​, both points lie in CCC. Its dimension is that of its affine hull; ∂C\partial C∂C and ext⁡C\operatorname{ext}CextC are its relative boundary and its extreme points. F ⁣:BX→BYF\colon B_X\to B_YF:BX​→BY​ is a nonexpansive bijection; nothing is assumed about the continuity of F−1F^{-1}F−1.

Target

(F17)C a finite-dimensional sphere face of BY ⟹ D=F−1(C) is a compact sphere face of BX with dim⁡D=dim⁡C,\text{(F17)}\quad C\ \text{a finite-dimensional sphere face of}\ B_Y\ \Longrightarrow\ D=F^{-1}(C)\ \text{is a compact sphere face of}\ B_X\ \text{with}\ \dim D=\dim C,(F17)C a finite-dimensional sphere face of BY​ ⟹ D=F−1(C) is a compact sphere face of BX​ with dimD=dimC, F−1(−C)=−D,F−1(∂C)=∂D,F−1(ext⁡C)=ext⁡D,F(tD)=tC (0≤t≤1).F^{-1}(-C)=-D,\quad F^{-1}(\partial C)=\partial D,\quad F^{-1}(\operatorname{ext}C)=\operatorname{ext}D,\quad F(tD)=tC\ (0\le t\le1).F−1(−C)=−D,F−1(∂C)=∂D,F−1(extC)=extD,F(tD)=tC (0≤t≤1). (F17, covering form; goal)X,Y Banach, SY covered by finite-dimensional sphere faces ⟹ F is the restriction of a surjective linear isometry X→Y.\text{(F17, covering form; goal)}\quad X,Y\ \text{Banach},\ S_Y\ \text{covered by finite-dimensional sphere faces}\ \Longrightarrow\ F\ \text{is the restriction of a surjective linear isometry}\ X\to Y.(F17, covering form; goal)X,Y Banach, SY​ covered by finite-dimensional sphere faces ⟹ F is the restriction of a surjective linear isometry X→Y. (F17, plasticity)X Banach, SX covered by finite-dimensional sphere faces ⟹ BX is plastic.\text{(F17, plasticity)}\quad X\ \text{Banach},\ S_X\ \text{covered by finite-dimensional sphere faces}\ \Longrightarrow\ B_X\ \text{is plastic}.(F17, plasticity)X Banach, SX​ covered by finite-dimensional sphere faces ⟹ BX​ is plastic.

Significance

The result. For a polytope face, the relative boundary is a finite union of smaller polytopes, so an induction on dimension keeps the preimage of the boundary compact; this is the step of Angosto–Kadets–Zavarzina that needs polyhedrality. For a curved face the boundary has a continuum of extreme points, and the inverse map, not known to be continuous, could a priori scatter their preimages. The new step traps the whole boundary preimage in one compact face: the preimage of a relative-interior point is shown to lie strictly between any boundary preimage and another one, by following a path across the scaled boundary, which the induction hypothesis covers exactly. Spaces such as ℓp\ell_pℓp​-sums of a Euclidean space with a three-dimensional space whose ball is a cylinder have only finite-dimensional faces, some of them discs, and are covered by the new theorem but not by the polyhedral one or by strict convexity.

Formalizing it. The proofs exist only in the project's notes and were checked by AI referees; a machine-checked proof is the independent confirmation sought. The covering form ends with the project's theorem that a nonexpansive surjection between unit balls mapping the sphere into the sphere is linear, already formalized (card Plasticity.U10); this is the only step that uses completeness.

Difficulty

No regularity of the inverse map, no strict convexity, polyhedrality or separability is assumed, the face theorem does not assume completeness, and the faces may have any finite dimension. The topology needed is classical but absent from Mathlib: invariance of domain and of dimension, and the impossibility of retracting a ball onto its boundary sphere.

Formalization scope

Real scalars. Faces are expressed with Mathlib's IsExtreme, dimensions as Module.finrank ℝ (vectorSpan ℝ C), relative boundaries as intrinsicFrontier ℝ C (definitions Plasticity_Faces). A ball map is a function F : X → Y constrained on the closed unit ball by Set.BijOn and LipschitzOnWith 1; the preimage of CCC is closedBall 0 1 ∩ F ⁻¹' C. The plasticity form uses HasPlasticUnitBall (definitions Plasticity_Basic). Statements are not to be weakened by assuming continuity of the inverse, polyhedrality or a bound on the face dimensions. Published inputs (the basic facts of Zavarzina's Theorem 2.3, invariance of dimension, no retraction) are separate cards.

Selected references

  • C. Angosto, V. Kadets, O. Zavarzina, Non-expansive bijections, uniformities and polyhedral faces, J. Math. Anal. Appl. 471 (2019), arXiv:1808.08534.
  • B. Cascales, V. Kadets, J. Orihuela, E. J. Wingler, Plasticity of the unit ball of a strictly convex Banach space, RACSAM 110 (2016), 723–727.
  • O. Zavarzina, Non-expansive bijections between unit balls of Banach spaces, Ann. Funct. Anal. 9 (2018), arXiv:1704.06961.
  • H. Freudenthal, W. Hurewicz, Dehnungen, Verkürzungen, Isometrien, Fund. Math. 26 (1936), 120–122.
  • L. E. J. Brouwer, Beweis der Invarianz des n-dimensionalen Gebiets, Math. Ann. 71 (1912).
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Differential GeometryGeneral RelativityMathematical Physics·Captain: He Wang

Exact Vacuum Atlas I: Four-Dimensional Vacuum Metrics in Multiple Coordinate SystemsResearch Paper

Motivation

Exact vacuum solutions of Einstein's equations are the reference objects of classical general relativity: Minkowski space (flat spacetime), the Schwarzschild solution (1916, static spherically symmetric vacuum) and the Kerr solution (1963, stationary axisymmetric vacuum) are the metrics against which every statement about gravitational fields, black holes and gravitational waves is calibrated. Each of them is written in several coordinate systems, and the catalogue literature (Müller–Grave, Catalogue of Spacetimes, arXiv:0904.4184; Visser, The Kerr spacetime: a brief introduction, arXiv:0706.0622) lists these forms side by side. The verification that a given coordinate expression is Ricci-flat, and that two expressions of the same solution are related by an explicit coordinate change, is routinely delegated to computer algebra and is almost never printed.

Timeline: Schwarzschild (1916) found the static solution; Eddington (1924) and Finkelstein (1958) gave the coordinates regular across r=2Mr=2Mr=2M; Kerr (1963) found the rotating solution in the ingoing form used here; Boyer and Lindquist (1967) introduced the coordinates of the standard form. A previous Prove2Me mission (Kerr Vacuum Solution Verification in Boyer–Lindquist Coordinates, root KerrBL.vacuum_Kerr, 21 theorems, all Proved) established the coordinate Ricci-flatness of the Boyer–Lindquist form; this mission reuses two of its published theorems and two of its definition bundles unchanged (the remaining nodes stay their platform-side dependencies).

Setting

A coordinate point is x=(x0,x1,x2,x3)∈R4x=(x_0,x_1,x_2,x_3)\in\mathbb R^4x=(x0​,x1​,x2​,x3​)∈R4 (in Lean, a function {0,1,2,3}→R\{0,1,2,3\}\to\mathbb R{0,1,2,3}→R). A coordinate metric is a 4×44\times44×4 matrix g=(gij)g=(g_{ij})g=(gij​) of real functions of xxx; a candidate inverse g^\hat gg^​ is another such matrix. The slice derivative ∂if(x)\partial_i f(x)∂i​f(x) is the derivative of u↦f(x[xi:=u])u\mapsto f(x[x_i:=u])u↦f(x[xi​:=u]) at u=xiu=x_iu=xi​; on the open domains used here every slice is C∞C^\inftyC∞, so ∂i\partial_i∂i​ is the genuine derivative. With

Γbca=12∑kg^ak(∂cgkb+∂bgkc−∂kgbc),Rbd=∑i(∂iΓbdi−∂dΓbii+∑j(ΓijiΓbdj−ΓdjiΓbij))\Gamma^a_{bc}=\tfrac12\sum_k\hat g^{ak}\big(\partial_c g_{kb}+\partial_b g_{kc}-\partial_k g_{bc}\big),\qquad R_{bd}=\sum_i\Big(\partial_i\Gamma^i_{bd}-\partial_d\Gamma^i_{bi}+\sum_j\big(\Gamma^i_{ij}\Gamma^j_{bd}-\Gamma^i_{dj}\Gamma^j_{bi}\big)\Big)Γbca​=21​k∑​g^​ak(∂c​gkb​+∂b​gkc​−∂k​gbc​),Rbd​=i∑​(∂i​Γbdi​−∂d​Γbii​+j∑​(Γiji​Γbdj​−Γdji​Γbij​))

(definition bundle Atlas_Core_Basic), the vacuum certificate VacuumCertificate(g,g^,U)\mathrm{VacuumCertificate}(g,\hat g,U)VacuumCertificate(g,g^​,U) for a set U⊆R4U\subseteq\mathbb R^4U⊆R4 asserts: UUU is open and nonempty; ggg is symmetric on UUU; g^ g=I\hat g\,g=Ig^​g=I on UUU; all components of ggg and g^\hat gg^​ are C∞C^\inftyC∞ on UUU; at every point of UUU there is an invertible matrix EEE with ETgE=diag(−1,1,1,1)E^{\mathsf T}gE=\mathrm{diag}(-1,1,1,1)ETgE=diag(−1,1,1,1) (Lorentzian signature, bridged to Mathlib's signature (3,1)(3,1)(3,1) of the quadratic form); and every component RbdR_{bd}Rbd​ vanishes on UUU. A coordinate relation CoordRelation(g1,g2,U,V,Φ,Ψ,J)\mathrm{CoordRelation}(g_1,g_2,U,V,\Phi,\Psi,J)CoordRelation(g1​,g2​,U,V,Φ,Ψ,J) asserts: Ψ∘Φ=id\Psi\circ\Phi=\mathrm{id}Ψ∘Φ=id on UUU, Φ∘Ψ=id\Phi\circ\Psi=\mathrm{id}Φ∘Ψ=id on VVV, Φ\PhiΦ maps UUU bijectively onto VVV, Φ\PhiΦ is C∞C^\inftyC∞ on UUU and Ψ\PsiΨ on VVV, every entry Jki(x)J_{ki}(x)Jki​(x) is the genuine derivative of the slice u↦Φ(x[xi:=u])ku\mapsto\Phi(x[x_i:=u])_ku↦Φ(x[xi​:=u])k​, and JT(g2∘Φ)J=g1J^{\mathsf T}(g_2\circ\Phi)J=g_1JT(g2​∘Φ)J=g1​ on UUU. Units G=c=1G=c=1G=c=1, signature (−,+,+,+)(-,+,+,+)(−,+,+,+), Σ=r2+a2cos⁡2θ\Sigma=r^2+a^2\cos^2\thetaΣ=r2+a2cos2θ, Δ=r2−2Mr+a2\Delta=r^2-2Mr+a^2Δ=r2−2Mr+a2.

These definitions form the registered local definition layer of the project: the pinned Mathlib has no Lorentzian metric, Levi-Civita connection or Ricci tensor, so they are supplied as reviewed coordinate-level definitions on top of Mathlib's deriv, ContDiffOn, Matrix and quadratic-form signature.

Formalization targets

Goal (ExactVacuumAtlas.Release01.main)

Cert(gMinkcart,R4)∧Cert(gMinksph,{r>0,0<θ<π})∧∀M Cert(gSchwstd(M),{r>0,r≠2M,0<θ<π})∧∀M Cert(gSchwin(M),{r>0,0<θ<π})∧∀M Cert(gSchwout(M),{r>0,0<θ<π})∧∀M,a Cert(gKerrBL(M,a),{Σ≠0,Δ≠0,sin⁡θ≠0})∧∀M,a Cert(gKerrin(M,a),{Σ≠0,sin⁡θ≠0})∧R1∧R2∧R3∧R4,\begin{aligned} &\mathrm{Cert}(g^{\rm cart}_{\rm Mink},\mathbb R^4)\wedge\mathrm{Cert}(g^{\rm sph}_{\rm Mink},\{r>0,0<\theta<\pi\}) \wedge\forall M\,\mathrm{Cert}(g^{\rm std}_{\rm Schw}(M),\{r>0,r\neq2M,0<\theta<\pi\})\\ &\wedge\forall M\,\mathrm{Cert}(g^{\rm in}_{\rm Schw}(M),\{r>0,0<\theta<\pi\}) \wedge\forall M\,\mathrm{Cert}(g^{\rm out}_{\rm Schw}(M),\{r>0,0<\theta<\pi\})\\ &\wedge\forall M,a\,\mathrm{Cert}(g^{\rm BL}_{\rm Kerr}(M,a),\{\Sigma\neq0,\Delta\neq0,\sin\theta\neq0\}) \wedge\forall M,a\,\mathrm{Cert}(g^{\rm in}_{\rm Kerr}(M,a),\{\Sigma\neq0,\sin\theta\neq0\})\\ &\wedge\mathrm{R1}\wedge\mathrm{R2}\wedge\mathrm{R3}\wedge\mathrm{R4}, \end{aligned}​Cert(gMinkcart​,R4)∧Cert(gMinksph​,{r>0,0<θ<π})∧∀MCert(gSchwstd​(M),{r>0,r=2M,0<θ<π})∧∀MCert(gSchwin​(M),{r>0,0<θ<π})∧∀MCert(gSchwout​(M),{r>0,0<θ<π})∧∀M,aCert(gKerrBL​(M,a),{Σ=0,Δ=0,sinθ=0})∧∀M,aCert(gKerrin​(M,a),{Σ=0,sinθ=0})∧R1∧R2∧R3∧R4,​

where Cert(g,U)\mathrm{Cert}(g,U)Cert(g,U) is VacuumCertificate(g,g^,U)\mathrm{VacuumCertificate}(g,\hat g,U)VacuumCertificate(g,g^​,U) with the explicit candidate inverse g^\hat gg^​ of each row, and R1–R4 are coordinate relations with explicit maps: R1/R2 standard Schwarzschild to ingoing/outgoing Eddington–Finkelstein on {r>0,r≠2M,0<θ<π}\{r>0,r\neq2M,0<\theta<\pi\}{r>0,r=2M,0<θ<π} with v=t+r+2Mlog⁡∣r−2M∣v=t+r+2M\log\lvert r-2M\rvertv=t+r+2Mlog∣r−2M∣, resp. u=t−r−2Mlog⁡∣r−2M∣u=t-r-2M\log\lvert r-2M\rvertu=t−r−2Mlog∣r−2M∣ (Jacobian determinant 111; the logarithm is Mathlib's Real.log, for which log⁡x=log⁡∣x∣\log x=\log\lvert x\rvertlogx=log∣x∣ when x≠0x\neq0x=0, so one formula covers both sides of r=2Mr=2Mr=2M); R3 Boyer–Lindquist to ingoing Kerr on {Σ≠0,Δ≠0,sin⁡θ≠0}\{\Sigma\neq0,\Delta\neq0,\sin\theta\neq0\}{Σ=0,Δ=0,sinθ=0} with (t,r,θ,φ)↦(t+r+H1(r),r,θ,−φ−H2(r))(t,r,\theta,\varphi)\mapsto(t+r+H_1(r),r,\theta,-\varphi-H_2(r))(t,r,θ,φ)↦(t+r+H1​(r),r,θ,−φ−H2​(r)), H1′=2Mr/ΔH_1'=2Mr/\DeltaH1′​=2Mr/Δ, H2′=a/ΔH_2'=a/\DeltaH2′​=a/Δ, explicit H1,H2H_1,H_2H1​,H2​ for all real M,aM,aM,a (three branches of M2−a2M^2-a^2M2−a2; Jacobian determinant −1-1−1); R4 spherical chart {r>0,0<θ<π,0<φ<2π}\{r>0,0<\theta<\pi,0<\varphi<2\pi\}{r>0,0<θ<π,0<φ<2π} to R4∖{y=0,x≥0}\mathbb R^4\setminus\{y=0,x\ge0\}R4∖{y=0,x≥0} with the usual map (Jacobian determinant r2sin⁡θr^2\sin\thetar2sinθ).

Coverage (ExactVacuumAtlas.Release01.coverage)

For M>0M>0M>0 the EF domain contains a point with r=2Mr=2Mr=2M; for a2<M2a^2<M^2a2<M2 the Boyer–Lindquist domain contains a point with Δ<0\Delta<0Δ<0; for 0<M0<M0<M, a2≤M2a^2\le M^2a2≤M2 the ingoing Kerr domain contains a point with Δ=0\Delta=0Δ=0; at these points all Ricci components vanish. The certified domains are therefore not narrowed to an exterior region.

Signature bridge (ExactVacuumAtlas.sigPos_sigNeg_four)

A Lorentzian 4×44\times44×4 matrix in the frame sense has Mathlib signature sigPos=3\mathrm{sigPos}=3sigPos=3, sigNeg=1\mathrm{sigNeg}=1sigNeg=1.

Significance

The result gives machine-checked coordinate Ricci-flatness for the seven standard forms of the three basic vacuum solutions, on explicit open domains whose conditions do not exclude the interior region of Schwarzschild (0<r<2M0<r<2M0<r<2M for M>0M>0M>0), either sign of Δ\DeltaΔ or negative rrr for Kerr, the regular-coordinate portion of r=2Mr=2Mr=2M with 0<θ<π0<\theta<\pi0<θ<π (EF, M>0M>0M>0), or the points with Δ=0\Delta=0Δ=0 at which Σ≠0\Sigma\neq0Σ=0 and sin⁡θ≠0\sin\theta\neq0sinθ=0 (ingoing Kerr); which of these sets are nonempty depends on the parameters, and the coverage theorem gives sufficient conditions. The Lorentzian signature is verified pointwise. The four coordinate relations are proved as explicit maps with explicit inverses and Jacobians, not as abstract existence statements.

Status: every item of the mission has a kernel-checked proof in the project (axioms propext, Classical.choice, Quot.sound only; no sorry, no native_decide); nothing is open. The mission publishes a finished formalization. What it does not contain: any statement about manifolds, atlases, event horizons, maximal extensions, causal structure or global geometry; any classification claim about four-dimensional vacuum metrics; any coordinate-covariance theorem for the coordinate Ricci tensor; any relation between it and a Mathlib manifold Ricci tensor (which does not exist in the pinned Mathlib). The catalogue is a finite list of seven coordinate representations of three solutions.

Difficulty

The obvious route, a general tensor-calculus library (connection, curvature, pull-back functoriality) over Mathlib manifolds, is unavailable: the pinned Mathlib has no indefinite-metric connection or curvature. Each coordinate representation has a complete formal certificate. The development combines direct coordinate calculations with formally proved parameter specialisations and equality-based reuse: the Cartesian Minkowski, Eddington–Finkelstein and ingoing Kerr rows are verified by direct coordinate calculations; the Boyer–Lindquist row reuses the published KerrBL.ricci_flat_Kerr and KerrBL.ginv_mul_g_Kerr; the standard Schwarzschild row takes its Ricci-flatness from the Boyer–Lindquist result at a=0a=0a=0, and the spherical Minkowski row is transported from the standard Schwarzschild certificate at M=0M=0M=0, in both cases through proved componentwise equalities of the metric data on the common domain. No coordinate-covariance theorem is used or claimed. The ingoing Kerr row is the hard case: the metric is non-diagonal (the radial coordinate vector is null, grr=0g_{rr}=0grr​=0, while for a≠0a\neq0a=0 the covector dvdvdv is not null, since gvv=a2sin⁡2θ/Σg^{vv}=a^2\sin^2\theta/\Sigmagvv=a2sin2θ/Σ), the Ricci components are rational functions whose vanishing holds only modulo sin⁡2θ+cos⁡2θ=1\sin^2\theta+\cos^2\theta=1sin2θ+cos2θ=1, and every derivative must be a genuine derivative, never a default value of deriv. For R3 the antiderivative of 1/Δ1/\Delta1/Δ has three different closed forms depending on the sign of M2−a2M^2-a^2M2−a2, all covered without restricting the parameters.

Formalization scope

Lean representation: coordinate metrics on R4\mathbb R^4R4 as above; ContDiffOn ℝ ∞; Matrix (Fin 4) (Fin 4) ℝ; Mathlib sigPos/sigNeg for the signature bridge. Conventions committed: G=c=1G=c=1G=c=1, (−,+,+,+)(-,+,+,+)(−,+,+,+), coordinate order (t ∣ v ∣ u, r, θ, φ)(t\,|\,v\,|\,u,\ r,\ \theta,\ \varphi)(t∣v∣u, r, θ, φ), EF matrix entry gvr=1g_{vr}=1gvr​=1 (from 2 dv dr2\,dv\,dr2dvdr), ingoing Kerr entries read off with the half-Hessian convention from Visser eq. (E:K1), φ∈R\varphi\in\mathbb Rφ∈R (no 2π2\pi2π identification). No trivialising formalization: every domain is proved nonempty with explicit witnesses; the candidate inverse is verified, never assumed; the Ricci tensor is built from the metric data, not hypothesised.

Reusable infrastructure: the core bundles (Atlas_Core_Basic, Atlas_Core_Certificate, Atlas_Core_Relation), the diagonal-frame criterion isLorentzian_of_diag, the signature bridge sigPos_sigNeg_of_isLorentzian, and the closed-form tables. Welcome contributions (not part of this release): Painlevé–Gullstrand, isotropic, Kruskal–Szekeres, Kerr–Schild and Doran forms; Kasner, pp-waves, Taub–NUT; a coordinate-covariance theorem for the coordinate Ricci tensor.

Selected references

  • T. Müller, F. Grave, Catalogue of Spacetimes, arXiv:0904.4184v3 (2010). https://arxiv.org/abs/0904.4184
  • M. Visser, The Kerr spacetime: a brief introduction, arXiv:0706.0622 (2007). https://arxiv.org/abs/0706.0622
  • R. P. Kerr, Gravitational field of a spinning mass as an example of algebraically special metrics, Phys. Rev. Lett. 11 (1963) 237. https://doi.org/10.1103/PhysRevLett.11.237
  • R. H. Boyer, R. W. Lindquist, Maximal analytic extension of the Kerr metric, J. Math. Phys. 8 (1967) 265. https://doi.org/10.1063/1.1705193
  • R. M. Wald, General Relativity, University of Chicago Press (1984), eqs. (3.1.30), (3.4.4)–(3.4.5) (cited for the conventions; not independently re-checked by the reviewer).
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Functional Analysis·Captain: scanstone

Plasticity: the unit balls of c0(Γ) and c00(Γ)Research Paper

Motivation

A metric space is plastic if every nonexpansive bijection of it onto itself is an isometry; every totally bounded metric space is plastic (Freudenthal–Hurewicz 1936), and Cascales, Kadets, Orihuela and Wingler (2016) asked whether the closed unit ball of every real Banach space is plastic. For the sequence space c₀, Leo (2022) proved plasticity of the unit ball of c and, for c₀, under the extra hypothesis that the inverse map is continuous, reducing the general case to a normal form in which the map acts inwardly on each coordinate. This mission formalizes a proof that removes the continuity hypothesis, for c₀(Γ) and c₀₀(Γ) over arbitrary index sets and for nonexpansive bijections between the balls of two spaces sandwiched between c₀₀ and c₀. The results come from an unpublished research project on the plasticity problem.

Setting

For a set Γ\GammaΓ, ℓ∞(Γ)\ell_\infty(\Gamma)ℓ∞​(Γ) is the space of bounded real functions on Γ\GammaΓ with the norm ∥x∥=sup⁡i∈Γ∣xi∣\|x\|=\sup_{i\in\Gamma}|x_i|∥x∥=supi∈Γ​∣xi​∣; c0(Γ)c_0(\Gamma)c0​(Γ) consists of the xxx with {i:∣xi∣≥ε}\{i:|x_i|\ge\varepsilon\}{i:∣xi​∣≥ε} finite for every ε>0\varepsilon>0ε>0, and c00(Γ)c_{00}(\Gamma)c00​(Γ) of the finitely supported xxx. A space between c00(Γ)c_{00}(\Gamma)c00​(Γ) and c0(Γ)c_0(\Gamma)c0​(Γ) is a linear subspace XXX with c00(Γ)⊆X⊆c0(Γ)c_{00}(\Gamma)\subseteq X\subseteq c_0(\Gamma)c00​(Γ)⊆X⊆c0​(Γ), with the supremum norm; its closed unit ball is BXB_XBX​. A subspace Y⊆ℓ∞(Δ)Y\subseteq\ell_\infty(\Delta)Y⊆ℓ∞​(Δ) realizes all sign patterns if for every countable C⊆ΔC\subseteq\DeltaC⊆Δ and all signs εd=±1\varepsilon_d=\pm1εd​=±1 (d∈Cd\in Cd∈C) some v∈Yv\in Yv∈Y has εdvd>0\varepsilon_dv_d>0εd​vd​>0 on CCC; c0(Δ)c_0(\Delta)c0​(Δ) does. A signed coordinate bijection is a map x↦yx\mapsto yx↦y with yσ(n)=αnxny_{\sigma(n)}=\alpha_nx_nyσ(n)​=αn​xn​ for a bijection σ ⁣:Γ→Δ\sigma\colon\Gamma\to\Deltaσ:Γ→Δ and signs αn=±1\alpha_n=\pm1αn​=±1.

Target

(CUB37)F ⁣:BX→BY a nonexpansive bijection, X=c00(Γ) or Y realizes all sign patterns ⟹ F is the restriction of a signed coordinate bijection.\text{(CUB37)}\quad F\colon B_X\to B_Y\ \text{a nonexpansive bijection},\ X=c_{00}(\Gamma)\ \text{or}\ Y\ \text{realizes all sign patterns}\ \Longrightarrow\ F\ \text{is the restriction of a signed coordinate bijection.}(CUB37)F:BX​→BY​ a nonexpansive bijection, X=c00​(Γ) or Y realizes all sign patterns ⟹ F is the restriction of a signed coordinate bijection. (CUB35)the closed unit ball of c00(Γ) is plastic, for every set Γ.\text{(CUB35)}\quad \text{the closed unit ball of } c_{00}(\Gamma) \text{ is plastic, for every set } \Gamma.(CUB35)the closed unit ball of c00​(Γ) is plastic, for every set Γ. (CUB36, goal)the closed unit ball of c0(Γ) is plastic, for every set Γ.\text{(CUB36, goal)}\quad \text{the closed unit ball of } c_0(\Gamma) \text{ is plastic, for every set } \Gamma.(CUB36, goal)the closed unit ball of c0​(Γ) is plastic, for every set Γ.

Significance

The result. Leo's work reduced plasticity of the unit ball of c₀ to excluding the collapse of a coordinate in a normal form; the unit sphere of c₀ is neither strictly convex nor made of compact faces, and the argument here is the base case of the project's results on c₀-sums of finite-dimensional blocks. The two-space statement CUB37 also shows that for an infinite index set Δ no nonexpansive bijection maps the ball of c₀₀(Γ) onto the ball of c₀(Δ).

Formalizing it. The proofs exist only in the project's notes and were checked by AI referees; a machine-checked proof is the independent confirmation sought. The development needs two classical topological inputs that Mathlib lacks: the theorem of Freudenthal and Hurewicz that a nonexpansive bijection of a compact metric space is an isometry, and a form of invariance of domain in every finite dimension (from Brouwer's fixed-point theorem).

Difficulty

The ball of c₀ is not compact and its unit sphere has large flat faces, so the classical arguments (compactness, strict convexity, smoothness of the norm) do not apply, and no regularity of the inverse map is assumed. The difficulty is concentrated in excluding that the normal form sends a nonzero coordinate to zero.

Formalization scope

Real scalars, arbitrary index sets (no countability or nonemptiness assumed). ℓ∞(Γ)\ell_\infty(\Gamma)ℓ∞​(Γ) is Mathlib's lp (fun _ : Γ => ℝ) ⊤; c0(Γ)c_0(\Gamma)c0​(Γ) and c00(Γ)c_{00}(\Gamma)c00​(Γ) are submodules of it (definitions Plasticity_SeqSpace), and a ball map is a function on ℓ∞(Γ)\ell_\infty(\Gamma)ℓ∞​(Γ) constrained on ballIn X by Set.BijOn and LipschitzOnWith 1. CUB35 and CUB36 use HasPlasticUnitBall (definitions Plasticity_Basic) for the submodule types, whose norm is the supremum norm inherited from ℓ∞\ell_\inftyℓ∞​. Statements are not to be weakened by assuming continuity of the inverse or countable Γ. Published inputs (Freudenthal–Hurewicz, Brouwer or invariance of domain) may be added as separate cards and imported by proof sketches.

Selected references

  • B. Cascales, V. Kadets, J. Orihuela, E. J. Wingler, Plasticity of the unit ball of a strictly convex Banach space, RACSAM 110 (2016), 723–727.
  • H. Freudenthal, W. Hurewicz, Dehnungen, Verkürzungen, Isometrien, Fund. Math. 26 (1936), 120–122.
  • N. Leo, Plasticity of the unit ball of c and c₀, J. Math. Anal. Appl. 507 (2022), arXiv:2106.06276.
  • O. Zavarzina, Non-expansive bijections between unit balls of Banach spaces, Ann. Funct. Anal. 9 (2018), arXiv:1704.06961.
  • L. E. J. Brouwer, Beweis der Invarianz des n-dimensionalen Gebiets, Math. Ann. 71 (1912).
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Markov ChainNumerical AnalysisProbability+1·Captain: mikedeng1

Multilevel Langevin Pathwise Average for Gibbs Approximation III: C² Strongly Contractive Drift, 𝔞 = 2 — L²-Error ≲ [f]₁ε at Cost ((½+√2)/(√2−1))Υ₂²log(γ₀⁻¹)ε⁻²/(γ₀α)Research Paper

Motivation

Sampling from a Gibbs distribution πU∝e−U dλd\pi_U\propto e^{-U}\,d\lambda_dπU​∝e−Udλd​ on Rd\mathbb R^dRd is a basic task in Bayesian statistics, statistical physics and machine learning. A standard approach simulates the Langevin diffusion dXt=−∇U(Xt) dt+2 dBtdX_t=-\nabla U(X_t)\,dt+\sqrt2\,dB_tdXt​=−∇U(Xt​)dt+2​dBt​, whose invariant distribution is πU\pi_UπU​, through its Euler scheme, and averages a test function fff along one long trajectory. The discretization introduces a bias of the order of the step size, so a single-step-size average with accuracy ε\varepsilonε costs more than ε−2\varepsilon^{-2}ε−2 steps. Dalalyan (arXiv:1412.7392) and Durmus–Moulines (arXiv:1605.01559) quantified this for strongly log-concave targets; for occupation measures of the Euler scheme the best previous bound was of order dε−4d\varepsilon^{-4}dε−4 (Durmus–Moulines, Bernoulli 2019, denoted [DM19] in the paper).

Egéa and Panloup (arXiv:2109.07753, Math. Oper. Res., 2025) combine Giles's multilevel Monte Carlo idea (Oper. Res. 2008) with pathwise averages. Each level is one long trajectory, not many independent samples. This mission formalizes their result for a uniformly strongly contractive, twice differentiable drift. In that case the multilevel occupation measure reaches accuracy ε\varepsilonε at a cost of order dε−2d\varepsilon^{-2}dε−2, the order of an unbiased Monte Carlo method.

Setting

Let b:Rd→Rdb:\mathbb R^d\to\mathbb R^db:Rd→Rd be LLL-Lipschitz and satisfy Assumption (Cα)(\mathbf C_\alpha)(Cα​): ⟨b(y)−b(x),y−x⟩≤−α∣x−y∣2\langle b(y)-b(x),y-x\rangle\le-\alpha|x-y|^2⟨b(y)−b(x),y−x⟩≤−α∣x−y∣2 for all x,yx,yx,y, with α∈(0,L∧1]\alpha\in(0,L\wedge1]α∈(0,L∧1]. Let σ>0\sigma>0σ>0. The additive diffusion is Xtx=x+∫0tb(Xsx) ds+σBtX^x_t=x+\int_0^tb(X^x_s)\,ds+\sigma B_tXtx​=x+∫0t​b(Xsx​)ds+σBt​, driven by a standard ddd-dimensional Brownian motion BBB. Let π\piπ be its invariant distribution. Its Euler scheme with step γ\gammaγ is Xˉ0γ,x=x\bar X^{\gamma,x}_0=xXˉ0γ,x​=x, Xˉ(n+1)γγ,x=Xˉnγγ,x+γb(Xˉnγγ,x)+σ(B(n+1)γ−Bnγ)\bar X^{\gamma,x}_{(n+1)\gamma}=\bar X^{\gamma,x}_{n\gamma}+\gamma b(\bar X^{\gamma,x}_{n\gamma})+\sigma(B_{(n+1)\gamma}-B_{n\gamma})Xˉ(n+1)γγ,x​=Xˉnγγ,x​+γb(Xˉnγγ,x​)+σ(B(n+1)γ​−Bnγ​), with invariant distribution πγ\pi^\gammaπγ. Write s‾η=η⌊s/η⌋\underline s_\eta=\eta\lfloor s/\eta\rfloors​η​=η⌊s/η⌋ and [f]1[f]_1[f]1​ for the Lipschitz constant of fff.

Given a first step γ0\gamma_0γ0​, steps γr=γ02−r\gamma_r=\gamma_02^{-r}γr​=γ0​2−r, horizons T0>⋯>TRT_0>\dots>T_RT0​>⋯>TR​, a warm start τ\tauτ, and independent Brownian motions B(0),…,B(R)B^{(0)},\dots,B^{(R)}B(0),…,B(R), the multilevel occupation measure (7) is

Y(f)=1T0−τ∫τT0f(Xˉs‾γ0γ0)ds+∑r=1R1Tr−τ∫τTr(f(Xˉs‾γr−1γr)−f(Xˉs‾γr−1γr−1))ds,\mathcal Y(f)=\frac1{T_0-\tau}\int_\tau^{T_0}f(\bar X^{\gamma_0}_{\underline s_{\gamma_0}})ds+\sum_{r=1}^R\frac1{T_r-\tau}\int_\tau^{T_r}\big(f(\bar X^{\gamma_r}_{\underline s_{\gamma_{r-1}}})-f(\bar X^{\gamma_{r-1}}_{\underline s_{\gamma_{r-1}}})\big)ds,Y(f)=T0​−τ1​∫τT0​​f(Xˉs​γ0​​γ0​​)ds+r=1∑R​Tr​−τ1​∫τTr​​(f(Xˉs​γr−1​​γr​​)−f(Xˉs​γr−1​​γr−1​​))ds,

where both schemes of level rrr start at x0x_0x0​ and are driven by B(r)B^{(r)}B(r). Its cost is C(Y)=T0/γ0+∑r=1R(Tr/γr+Tr/γr−1)\mathcal C(\mathcal Y)=T_0/\gamma_0+\sum_{r=1}^R(T_r/\gamma_r+T_r/\gamma_{r-1})C(Y)=T0​/γ0​+∑r=1R​(Tr​/γr​+Tr​/γr−1​).

When bbb is C2\mathcal C^2C2 with bounded derivatives, set ∥∇b∥2,∞=sup⁡x∥∇b(x)∥F\|\nabla b\|_{2,\infty}=\sup_x\|\nabla b(x)\|_F∥∇b∥2,∞​=supx​∥∇b(x)∥F​ (Frobenius norm of the Jacobian) and ∥Δb∥2,∞2=sup⁡x∑i∣Δbi(x)∣2\|\Delta b\|^2_{2,\infty}=\sup_x\sum_i|\Delta b_i(x)|^2∥Δb∥2,∞2​=supx​∑i​∣Δbi​(x)∣2. The constant (19) is

Υ22=max⁡(1, ∣b(x0)∣2α2+σαL3∥∇b∥2,∞∣b(x0)∣+σ4L4∥Δb∥2,∞2+σ2αdL3∥∇b∥2,∞+σ2dα).\Upsilon_2^2=\max\Big(1,\ \frac{|b(x_0)|^2}{\alpha^2}+\frac{\sigma\sqrt\alpha}{L^3}\|\nabla b\|_{2,\infty}|b(x_0)|+\frac{\sigma^4}{L^4}\|\Delta b\|^2_{2,\infty}+\frac{\sigma^2\alpha\sqrt d}{L^3}\|\nabla b\|_{2,\infty}+\frac{\sigma^2d}{\alpha}\Big).Υ22​=max(1, α2∣b(x0​)∣2​+L3σα​​∥∇b∥2,∞​∣b(x0​)∣+L4σ4​∥Δb∥2,∞2​+L3σ2αd​​∥∇b∥2,∞​+ασ2d​).

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem 2.3

Take γ0∈(0,α2L2∧12]\gamma_0\in(0,\frac\alpha{2L^2}\wedge\frac12]γ0​∈(0,2L2α​∧21​], Rε=⌈log⁡2(Υ2/ε)⌉R_\varepsilon=\lceil\log_2(\Upsilon_2/\varepsilon)\rceilRε​=⌈log2​(Υ2​/ε)⌉, Tr=Υ22log⁡(γ0−1)α−1ε−22−3r/2T_r=\Upsilon_2^2\log(\gamma_0^{-1})\alpha^{-1}\varepsilon^{-2}2^{-3r/2}Tr​=Υ22​log(γ0−1​)α−1ε−22−3r/2 and τ=α−1∣log⁡ε∣+(2α)−1log⁡Υ2\tau=\alpha^{-1}|\log\varepsilon|+(2\alpha)^{-1}\log\Upsilon_2τ=α−1∣logε∣+(2α)−1logΥ2​. There is a universal constant C1\mathfrak C_1C1​ such that for every ε∈(0,1)\varepsilon\in(0,1)ε∈(0,1) with 2log⁡(Υ2ε−2)≤log⁡(γ0−1)(Υ2/ε)1/2\sqrt2\log(\Upsilon_2\varepsilon^{-2})\le\log(\gamma_0^{-1})(\Upsilon_2/\varepsilon)^{1/2}2​log(Υ2​ε−2)≤log(γ0−1​)(Υ2​/ε)1/2,

∥Y(f)−π(f)∥2≤C1[f]1ε,C(Y)≤12+22−1 Υ22log⁡(γ0−1)γ0α ε−2.\|\mathcal Y(f)-\pi(f)\|_2\le\mathfrak C_1[f]_1\varepsilon,\qquad\mathcal C(\mathcal Y)\le\frac{\frac12+\sqrt2}{\sqrt2-1}\,\frac{\Upsilon_2^2\log(\gamma_0^{-1})}{\gamma_0\alpha}\,\varepsilon^{-2}.∥Y(f)−π(f)∥2​≤C1​[f]1​ε,C(Y)≤2​−121​+2​​γ0​αΥ22​log(γ0−1​)​ε−2.

The constant C1\mathfrak C_1C1​ is the same for all ddd, bbb, σ\sigmaσ, fff, x0x_0x0​, γ0\gamma_0γ0​ and ε\varepsilonε.

Companion: (22)

Under α/L2≤1\alpha/L^2\le1α/L2≤1, σ2α−1d≥1\sigma^2\alpha^{-1}d\ge1σ2α−1d≥1 and dimension-free bounds on ∣b(x0)∣|b(x_0)|∣b(x0​)∣, ∥∇b∥2,∞\|\nabla b\|_{2,\infty}∥∇b∥2,∞​ and ∥Δb∥2,∞\|\Delta b\|_{2,\infty}∥Δb∥2,∞​, the choice γ0=α/(2L2)\gamma_0=\alpha/(2L^2)γ0​=α/(2L2), Υ~22=σ2α−1d\tilde\Upsilon_2^2=\sigma^2\alpha^{-1}dΥ~22​=σ2α−1d gives C(Y)≤22+12−1σ2L2α3log⁡2L2α dε−2\mathcal C(\mathcal Y)\le\frac{2\sqrt2+1}{\sqrt2-1}\frac{\sigma^2L^2}{\alpha^3}\log\frac{2L^2}{\alpha}\,d\varepsilon^{-2}C(Y)≤2​−122​+1​α3σ2L2​logα2L2​dε−2.

Milestones

The milestones follow the paper's proof in order:

  • Lemma 5.1 (i), (iii): stability of the scheme and the assumptions (H1)(\mathbf H_1)(H1​), (H4)(\mathbf H_4)(H4​).
  • Lemma 5.2 (ii): a one-step error of order γ3\gamma^3γ3.
  • Proposition 5.1 (ii), (iii): a uniform-in-time strong error β2(x)γ2\beta_2(x)\gamma^2β2​(x)γ2 and (H2)(\mathbf H_2)(H2​) with a=2\mathfrak a=2a=2.
  • Proposition 5.2: W1(π,πγ)≤β2(x⋆)γ\mathcal W_1(\pi,\pi^\gamma)\le\sqrt{\beta_2(x^\star)}\gammaW1​(π,πγ)≤β2​(x⋆)​γ.
  • Proposition 2.2: (H2)(\mathbf H_2)(H2​)–(H4)(\mathbf H_4)(H4​) with constants controlled by Υ2\Upsilon_2Υ2​.
  • Remark 4.1: the paper's general complexity theorem, with constants known up to universal factors.

Significance

The result. Theorem 2.3 gives an explicit algorithm whose cost to reach L2L^2L2 accuracy ε\varepsilonε on π(f)\pi(f)π(f) is of order ε−2\varepsilon^{-2}ε−2, uniformly over Lipschitz fff. Under (22) the cost is O(dε−2)O(d\varepsilon^{-2})O(dε−2). Apart from constants depending on α\alphaα and LLL, this is the complexity of a Monte Carlo method without bias, an improvement over the dε−4d\varepsilon^{-4}dε−4 known for single-level occupation measures. Corollary 2.2 of the paper applies it to Gibbs distributions with a C3\mathcal C^3C3 potential.

Formalizing it. The theorem is proved in the paper. A machine-checked version needs a formal multilevel estimator over infinite horizons, uniform-in-time strong error bounds for the Euler scheme, and an application of Itô's formula to b(y+σBt)b(y+\sigma B_t)b(y+σBt​), none of which exists in Lean. Formalizing also checks the paper's constants. For instance, the printed exponential rate in the W2\mathcal W_2W2​ contraction behind (H1)(\mathbf H_1)(H1​) is α\alphaα, while its proof gives α/2\alpha/2α/2, and the milestone states α/2\alpha/2α/2. No part of this result has been machine-checked.

Difficulty

Two steps resist a direct approach. First, the order-one strong error (Lemma 5.2(ii), Proposition 5.1(ii)). Bounding the one-step error by the Lipschitz constant alone gives order γ2\gamma^2γ2 per step, hence order γ1/2\gamma^{1/2}γ1/2 globally; this is Lemma 5.2(i) and the a=1\mathfrak a=1a=1 regime, with an extra log⁡3ε\log^3\varepsilonlog3ε in the cost. The gain to γ3\gamma^3γ3 needs the second-order structure of bbb along the Brownian path, through a martingale term and the Laplacian of bbb. Second, the error must be controlled uniformly over infinite horizons. Every estimate has to combine the contraction (Cα)(\mathbf C_\alpha)(Cα​) with the step-size restriction γ≤α/(2L2)\gamma\le\alpha/(2L^2)γ≤α/(2L2); a Gronwall argument on a finite horizon gives constants that grow with time.

For the goal itself, the cost bound (21) is arithmetic once the parameters are fixed. The content is the error bound with a constant that is universal, not merely independent of ε\varepsilonε.

Formalization scope

  • Rd\mathbb R^dRd is the published EthierKurtz.SDEState d, and Brownian motions are the published EthierKurtz.IsStandardBrownian.
  • The diffusion is a pathwise solution of Xt=x+∫0tb(Xs)ds+σWtX_t=x+\int_0^tb(X_s)ds+\sigma W_tXt​=x+∫0t​b(Xs​)ds+σWt​ with continuous paths. No stochastic integral appears in any statement.
  • π\piπ is a probability measure invariant for the diffusion's transition laws. πγ\pi^\gammaπγ is any probability invariant for the Euler step x↦x+γb(x)+σγZx\mapsto x+\gamma b(x)+\sigma\sqrt\gamma Zx↦x+γb(x)+σγ​Z, with ZZZ standard Gaussian.
  • ∥⋅∥2\|\cdot\|_2∥⋅∥2​ is eLpNorm · 2 P, valued in [0,∞][0,\infty][0,∞]. The schemes are evaluated at grid times, except in (H4)(\mathbf H_4)(H4​) and (47), which use the continuous-time scheme.
  • C2\mathcal C^2C2 with bounded partial derivatives is ContDiff ℝ 2 b plus a uniform bound on the first and second Fréchet derivatives.
  • ∥∇b∥2,∞\|\nabla b\|_{2,\infty}∥∇b∥2,∞​ and ∥Δb∥2,∞2\|\Delta b\|^2_{2,\infty}∥Δb∥2,∞2​ follow pp. 31–32, which correct the misplaced squares of (18).
  • "≲uc\lesssim_{uc}≲uc​" is an existential constant quantified before every datum.
  • The ε0\varepsilon_0ε0​ of Theorem 2.3 is read as membership in its defining set.
  • The cost formula is used for every TrT_rTr​.
  • Added hypotheses: σ>0\sigma>0σ>0 wherever the page leaves it implicit; C2\mathcal C^2C2 regularity in Lemma 5.2(ii) and Propositions 5.1–5.2; γ<1\gamma<1γ<1 in Proposition 5.2; d≥1d\ge1d≥1 in Proposition 5.1(iii); α≤1\alpha\le1α≤1 in Proposition 2.2.

The goal does not assume (H1)(\mathbf H_1)(H1​)–(H4)(\mathbf H_4)(H4​), Proposition 2.2 or any variance or bias estimate. It assumes only (Cα)(\mathbf C_\alpha)(Cα​), Lipschitz and C2\mathcal C^2C2 regularity of bbb, σ>0\sigma>0σ>0, invariance of π\piπ and the parameter choices. Those results appear only as milestones.

Contributions that would be reusable elsewhere: uniform-in-time moment and strong-error bounds for Euler schemes of contractive SDEs, Itô's formula for a C2\mathcal C^2C2 function of Brownian motion, and the general multilevel complexity theorem (Remark 4.1). Proofs of the milestones are welcome independently.

Selected references

  • M. Egéa, F. Panloup, Multilevel-Langevin pathwise average for Gibbs approximation, Math. Oper. Res., 2025; arXiv:2109.07753v2. https://arxiv.org/abs/2109.07753
  • M. B. Giles, Multilevel Monte Carlo path simulation, Oper. Res. 56(3), 2008. https://doi.org/10.1287/opre.1070.0496
  • A. Durmus, É. Moulines, High-dimensional Bayesian inference via the unadjusted Langevin algorithm, Bernoulli 25(4A), 2019. https://doi.org/10.3150/18-BEJ1073
  • A. S. Dalalyan, Theoretical guarantees for approximate sampling from smooth and log-concave densities, J. R. Stat. Soc. B 79(3), 2017. https://arxiv.org/abs/1412.7392
  • A. Durmus, É. Moulines, Nonasymptotic convergence analysis for the unadjusted Langevin algorithm, Ann. Appl. Probab. 27(3), 2017. https://arxiv.org/abs/1507.05021
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Control TheoryEconomicsPartial Differential Equations+1·Captain: mikedeng1

A Dynamic Principal Agent Problem with One-sided Commitment: The Principal's Value Function Is the Minimal Continuous Viscosity Solution of the Type-Indexed HJB SystemResearch Paper

Motivation

In a principal–agent problem with moral hazard, a principal (an employer) pays an agent whose effort she cannot observe; she sees only an output process whose drift the effort controls. Continuous-time versions of the problem, starting with Holmström–Milgrom (1987) and Sannikov (2008), are solved by turning the agent's continuation utility into a state variable and writing a Hamilton–Jacobi–Bellman (HJB) equation for the principal's value.

Most of this literature assumes two-sided commitment: the agent cannot leave. In labour markets the agent can quit whenever an outside offer beats his continuation utility, and the principal must then hire someone else. Zhang and Zhu (arXiv:2208.06473; Mathematics of Operations Research, 2025) study this one-sided commitment: the principal is committed to the contract, the agent is free to quit at a stopping time of his choice, and after each quitting the principal pays a cost and hires a new agent, possibly of another type. The principal's value then depends on every future hire, and the paper characterises it by a coupled system of HJB equations.

Setting

Fix a horizon T>0T>0T>0 and a payment cap C0>0C_0>0C0​>0. A standard Brownian motion BBB on (Ω,F,P)(\Omega,\mathcal F,\mathbb P)(Ω,F,P) is the output. Agents have types θ∈Θ\theta\in\Thetaθ∈Θ. An agent of type θ\thetaθ receiving a payment rate η≤C0\eta\le C_0η≤C0​ and exerting effort α\alphaα has running utility f(θ;s,η)f(\theta;s,\eta)f(θ;s,η) and running cost h(θ;s,α)h(\theta;s,\alpha)h(θ;s,α); fff is increasing and concave in η\etaη, hhh is convex in α\alphaα (Assumption 2.2). Effort shifts the drift of BBB through the Girsanov measure Pα\mathbb P^\alphaPα (weak formulation). The agent's optimal effort against a sensitivity process ZZZ is α=Ih(θ;⋅,Z)\alpha=I^h(\theta;\cdot,Z)α=Ih(θ;⋅,Z), the inverse of ∂αh\partial_\alpha h∂α​h, and Eθ,Z\mathbb E^{\theta,Z}Eθ,Z denotes expectation under the corresponding measure.

A contract started at time ttt is described in forward form by (η,Z)(\eta,Z)(η,Z): the agent's continuation utility is

Xsθ;t,x,η,Z=x−∫ts[f(θ;r,ηr)+H(θ;r,Zr)]dr+∫tsZr dBr,\mathcal X^{\theta;t,x,\eta,Z}_s=x-\int_t^s\big[f(\theta;r,\eta_r)+H(\theta;r,Z_r)\big]dr+\int_t^sZ_r\,dB_r,Xsθ;t,x,η,Z​=x−∫ts​[f(θ;r,ηr​)+H(θ;r,Zr​)]dr+∫ts​Zr​dBr​,

with H(θ;s,z)=sup⁡α[αz−h(θ;s,α)]H(\theta;s,z)=\sup_\alpha[\alpha z-h(\theta;s,\alpha)]H(θ;s,z)=supα​[αz−h(θ;s,α)] and the constraint XT=0\mathcal X_T=0XT​=0. The agent's utility is capped by the upper barrier L‾tθ=∫tTf(θ;s,C0) ds\overline L^\theta_t=\int_t^Tf(\theta;s,C_0)\,dsLtθ​=∫tT​f(θ;s,C0​)ds. He quits at the first time X\mathcal XX reaches the lower barrier L‾tθ=Rtθ−ctθ\underline L^\theta_t=R^\theta_t-c^\theta_tL​tθ​=Rtθ​−ctθ​, where RθR^\thetaRθ is his market value and cθ≥1/Λ0c^\theta\ge1/\Lambda_0cθ≥1/Λ0​ his quitting cost (Assumptions 2.7, 3.1). The relevant domain is

Dθ={(t,x):0≤t<T, L‾tθ<x≤L‾tθ}.D_\theta=\{(t,x):0\le t<T,\ \underline L^\theta_t<x\le\overline L^\theta_t\}.Dθ​={(t,x):0≤t<T, L​tθ​<x≤Ltθ​}.

When the iii-th agent quits at τi<T\tau_i<Tτi​<T, the principal pays cτiPc^P_{\tau_i}cτi​P​ and hires an agent of type ζτi\zeta_{\tau_i}ζτi​​ at utility RτiζτiR^{\zeta_{\tau_i}}_{\tau_i}Rτi​ζτi​​​ (the quitting sequence (5.8)). The principal's value is

u∞(θ;t,x)=sup⁡(η,Z,ζ)Eζ,Z[∫tT[Ih(ζs;s,Zs)−ηs]ds−∑i≥1cτiP1{τi<T}],u_\infty(\theta;t,x)=\sup_{(\eta,Z,\zeta)}\mathbb E^{\zeta,Z}\Big[\int_t^T\big[I^h(\zeta_s;s,Z_s)-\eta_s\big]ds-\sum_{i\ge1}c^P_{\tau_i}\mathbf 1_{\{\tau_i<T\}}\Big],u∞​(θ;t,x)=(η,Z,ζ)sup​Eζ,Z[∫tT​[Ih(ζs​;s,Zs​)−ηs​]ds−i≥1∑​cτi​P​1{τi​<T}​],

and the value of the best new hire at time ttt is u‾∞(t)=sup⁡θu∞(θ;t,Rtθ)−ctP\overline u_\infty(t)=\sup_\theta u_\infty(\theta;t,R^\theta_t)-c^P_tu∞​(t)=supθ​u∞​(θ;t,Rtθ​)−ctP​.

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem 6.3

The family {u∞(θ;⋅,⋅)}θ∈Θ\{u_\infty(\theta;\cdot,\cdot)\}_{\theta\in\Theta}{u∞​(θ;⋅,⋅)}θ∈Θ​ is the minimal continuous viscosity solution of

∂tu+sup⁡η≤C0, z∈R[12∣z∣2∂xxu−[f(θ;t,η)+H~(θ;t,z)]∂xu+Ih(θ;t,z)−η]=0on Dθ, θ∈Θ,\partial_tu+\sup_{\eta\le C_0,\ z\in\mathbb R}\Big[\tfrac12|z|^2\partial_{xx}u-\big[f(\theta;t,\eta)+\tilde H(\theta;t,z)\big]\partial_xu+I^h(\theta;t,z)-\eta\Big]=0\quad\text{on }D_\theta,\ \theta\in\Theta,∂t​u+η≤C0​, z∈Rsup​[21​∣z∣2∂xx​u−[f(θ;t,η)+H~(θ;t,z)]∂x​u+Ih(θ;t,z)−η]=0on Dθ​, θ∈Θ,

with boundary conditions

u(θ;t,L‾tθ)=−C0(T−t),u(θ;T−,x)=0,u(θ;t,L‾tθ+)≥sup⁡θ′u(θ′;t,Rtθ′)−ctP.u(\theta;t,\overline L^\theta_t)=-C_0(T-t),\qquad u(\theta;T-,x)=0,\qquad u(\theta;t,\underline L^\theta_t+)\ge\sup_{\theta'}u(\theta';t,R^{\theta'}_t)-c^P_t.u(θ;t,Ltθ​)=−C0​(T−t),u(θ;T−,x)=0,u(θ;t,L​tθ​+)≥θ′sup​u(θ′;t,Rtθ′​)−ctP​.

The last condition couples the equations for different types. The goal also asserts that the value sets in (6.1) are nonempty and bounded above, so that u∞u_\inftyu∞​ is a genuine real-valued function.

Milestones

  1. Lemma 3.4: explicit contracts with ∫tT[C0−ηs]ds≤δ\int_t^T[C_0-\eta_s]ds\le\delta∫tT​[C0​−ηs​]ds≤δ under which the agent never quits.
  2. Lemma 2.5 (2.20): a priori estimates for admissible contracts.
  3. Proposition 2.8 and Lemma 3.6: the self-enforcing value V0PV^P_0V0P​ and the new-hire value u‾0\overline u_0u0​ are uniformly continuous with modulus CρC\sqrt\rhoCρ​.
  4. Theorem 4.5: with at most one quitting, u1u_1u1​ is the minimal continuous viscosity solution of the same equation with boundary datum u‾0\overline u_0u0​.
  5. Proposition 5.4: a non-recursive representation of unu_nun​ (at most nnn quittings).
  6. Proposition 6.1: Pζ,Z(τn<T)≤C/n\mathbb P^{\zeta,Z}(\tau_n<T)\le C/nPζ,Z(τn​<T)≤C/n, and ∣un−u∞∣≤C/n|u_n-u_\infty|\le C/n∣un​−u∞​∣≤C/n.
  7. Proposition 6.2: monotonicity and uniform continuity of u∞u_\inftyu∞​, regularity of u‾∞\overline u_\inftyu∞​, and the boundary conditions.
  8. (6.7): the dynamic programming principle for u∞u_\inftyu∞​.

Significance

The theorem identifies the principal's value under one-sided commitment as a PDE object, which makes it computable and comparable with other contracting regimes. Along the way the paper shows that the principal sees only finitely many quittings (Proposition 6.1) and that tolerating more quittings never lowers her value, so contracts that prevent quitting altogether (self-enforcing contracts) are in general suboptimal. The coupling through u‾∞\overline u_\inftyu∞​ turns the problem into an infinite system of HJB equations indexed by agent types, a structure that also appears in switching and re-hiring problems.

The result is proved in the paper; none of it is formalized. A formalization would add to the platform a continuous-time moral-hazard model in the weak formulation, hitting-time stopping driven by an Itô integral, a quitting sequence with random restarts and type switching, and a viscosity-solution notion for a fully nonlinear HJB equation on a time-dependent domain. The paper's own proof leaves several steps to the reader (the dynamic programming principle, the viscosity property, comparison for a truncated equation), so a complete development would also supply these.

Difficulty

The obvious route is "dynamic programming principle, then viscosity property, then comparison". Each step is harder here than in a textbook control problem. The control zzz is unbounded, so the Hamiltonian can be +∞+\infty+∞ and the viscosity property must be derived without a finite Hamiltonian. The process is stopped at a hitting time of a moving barrier and restarted at a random level with a new type, so the dynamic programming principle must handle restarts. Minimality cannot come from a standard comparison principle, because the boundary datum at L‾θ\underline L^\thetaL​θ depends on the competitor itself and no growth condition is imposed on competitors; the paper argues through approximation by unu_nun​ and Theorem 4.5 instead.

Formalization scope

All objects are defined in the namespace DynPrincipalAgent.HJB. Process time is R≥0\mathbb R_{\ge0}R≥0​; deterministic data are functions of real time. The Itô integral is the published Peng1990.SMP.IsItoIntegral, with a continuous version required wherever hitting times read paths. Controls started at ttt are progressively measurable for the filtration Ft\mathbb F^tFt of Bs−BtB_s-B_tBs​−Bt​. Value functions are real suprema of value sets that record an expectation only when it is genuine (integrable payoffs, almost surely integrable drifts and running rewards, summable quitting costs); these conditions hold for every admissible control.

Pinned readings, all disclosed in the items: viscosity solutions are the standard Crandall–Ishii–Lions notion with C2C^2C2 test functions on R2\mathbb R^2R2, tested on the interior of DθD_\thetaDθ​, with the supremum in the HJB operator never formed; the boundary condition at L‾θ\underline L^\thetaL​θ requires a real right limit compared against every u(θ′;t,Rtθ′)−ctPu(\theta';t,R^{\theta'}_t)-c^P_tu(θ′;t,Rtθ′​)−ctP​; Θ\ThetaΘ carries a σ-algebra and fff, hhh, ∂αh\partial_\alpha h∂α​h are jointly measurable; Assumption 2.7 (ii) is read as ∣Rsθ−Rs′θ∣≤ρ(∣s−s′∣)|R^\theta_s-R^\theta_{s'}|\le\rho(|s-s'|)∣Rsθ​−Rs′θ​∣≤ρ(∣s−s′∣); a modulus of continuity is nondecreasing, vanishes at 0+0^+0+ and satisfies ρ(δ)≥δ\rho(\delta)\ge\deltaρ(δ)≥δ; generic constants depend only on (T,C0,Λ0,Λ1)(T,C_0,\Lambda_0,\Lambda_1)(T,C0​,Λ0​,Λ1​) and are fixed before the model; HHH and H~\tilde HH~ take the closed forms of (2.11)–(2.12). The agent's BSDE and reflected BSDE (Propositions 2.3, 3.2), §7's standard contracts and the economic interpretation of RθR^\thetaRθ, cθc^\thetacθ, cPc^PcP are out of scope.

A formalization in which a value function equals a junk value (an empty or unbounded real supremum, a Bochner integral of a non-integrable payoff, a hitting time of an empty set) or in which the viscosity notion is vacuous does not count: the goal states that the value sets are nonempty and bounded, and the definitions avoid junk by construction. Competitors in the minimality clause satisfy exactly the printed boundary conditions, with no added growth bound.

Reusable infrastructure: Girsanov measures for BMO drifts, forward utility processes, hitting times of continuous semimartingales, and viscosity solutions of HJB equations on non-cylindrical domains. Contributions on any milestone, and on general lemmas such as the dynamic programming principle for controlled diffusions stopped at hitting times, are welcome.

Selected references

  • J. Zhang, Z. Zhu, A Dynamic Principal Agent Problem with One-sided Commitment, Mathematics of Operations Research, 2025. Preprint arXiv:2208.06473v3. https://arxiv.org/abs/2208.06473
  • Y. Sannikov, A Continuous-Time Version of the Principal–Agent Problem, Review of Economic Studies 75 (2008). https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1467-937X.2008.00486.x
  • B. Holmström, P. Milgrom, Aggregation and Linearity in the Provision of Intertemporal Incentives, Econometrica 55 (1987). https://doi.org/10.2307/1913238
  • M. G. Crandall, H. Ishii, P.-L. Lions, User's guide to viscosity solutions of second order partial differential equations, Bull. AMS 27 (1992). https://doi.org/10.1090/S0273-0979-1992-00266-5
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Control TheoryOperations ResearchProbability+1·Captain: mikedeng1

Comparison Between Mean-Variance and Monotone Mean-Variance Preferences Under Jump Diffusion and Stochastic Factor Model: Optimal MMV and MV Utilities Coincide If and Only If Assumption 1 HoldsResearch Paper

Motivation

Mean-variance (MV) preferences, Uθ(X)=E[X]−θ2Var(X)U_\theta(X)=\mathbb E[X]-\frac\theta2\mathrm{Var}(X)Uθ​(X)=E[X]−2θ​Var(X), are the standard objective of portfolio selection since Markowitz. They are not monotone: an investor can prefer a terminal wealth XXX to a wealth X′≥XX'\ge XX′≥X that is larger in every state, because the extra upside raises the variance. Monotone mean-variance (MMV) preferences (Maccheroni, Marinacci, Rustichini and Taboga, 2009) repair this. They are the largest monotone preferences that agree with MV preferences on the domain of monotonicity Gθ={f∈L2:f−E[f]≤1/θ}\mathcal G_\theta=\{f\in\mathcal L^2:f-\mathbb E[f]\le1/\theta\}Gθ​={f∈L2:f−E[f]≤1/θ}.

A natural question is when switching from MV to MMV changes the optimal investment. In continuous-time markets driven only by Brownian motions, the optimal strategies under the two preferences coincide (Trybuła and Zawisza, 2019, for a stochastic factor model; Strub and Li, 2020, for continuous semimartingale markets), and whether this persists with jumps was left open by Trybuła and Zawisza. Li, Liang and Pang study a market whose risky asset also jumps and whose coefficients depend on a stochastic factor. They show that the two problems agree if and only if a pathwise condition on the jumps, Assumption 1, holds.

Setting

On a probability space (Ω,F,P)(\Omega,\mathcal F,\mathbb P)(Ω,F,P) live two independent Brownian motions W1,W2W^1,W^2W1,W2 and an independent Poisson random measure N(ds,dp)N(\mathrm ds,\mathrm dp)N(ds,dp) with finite Lévy measure ν\nuν and compensated measure N~\tilde NN~. The filtration {Ft}\{\mathcal F_t\}{Ft​} is generated by W1,W2,NW^1,W^2,NW1,W2,N. A stochastic factor follows

dZs=a(Zs) ds+b(Zs)(ρW dWs1+ρˉW dWs2),Zt=z,\mathrm dZ_s=a(Z_s)\,\mathrm ds+b(Z_s)(\rho_W\,\mathrm dW^1_s+\bar\rho_W\,\mathrm dW^2_s),\qquad Z_t=z,dZs​=a(Zs​)ds+b(Zs​)(ρW​dWs1​+ρˉ​W​dWs2​),Zt​=z,

with ρW2+ρˉW2=1\rho_W^2+\bar\rho_W^2=1ρW2​+ρˉ​W2​=1. Investing the amount πs\pi_sπs​ in the risky asset gives the (discounted) wealth

dXsπ=πs(μ(Zs)−r) ds+πsσ(Zs) dWs1+πs∫Rγ(Zs,p) N~(ds,dp),Xt=x,\mathrm dX^\pi_s=\pi_s(\mu(Z_s)-r)\,\mathrm ds+\pi_s\sigma(Z_s)\,\mathrm dW^1_s+\pi_s\int_{\mathbb R}\gamma(Z_s,p)\,\tilde N(\mathrm ds,\mathrm dp),\qquad X_t=x,dXsπ​=πs​(μ(Zs​)−r)ds+πs​σ(Zs​)dWs1​+πs​∫R​γ(Zs​,p)N~(ds,dp),Xt​=x,

on [t,T][t,T][t,T], with γ>−1\gamma>-1γ>−1. Write Σ(z)=σ(z)2+∫γ(z,p)2ν(dp)\Sigma(z)=\sigma(z)^2+\int\gamma(z,p)^2\nu(\mathrm dp)Σ(z)=σ(z)2+∫γ(z,p)2ν(dp) and λ(z)=(μ(z)−r)2/Σ(z)\lambda(z)=(\mu(z)-r)^2/\Sigma(z)λ(z)=(μ(z)−r)2/Σ(z).

The MMV preference is

Vθ(X)=inf⁡Q{EQ[X]+12θ(EP[(dQdP)2]−1)}.V_\theta(X)=\inf_{\mathbb Q}\Big\{\mathbb E^{\mathbb Q}[X]+\frac1{2\theta}\Big(\mathbb E^{\mathbb P}\Big[\Big(\frac{\mathrm d\mathbb Q}{\mathrm d\mathbb P}\Big)^2\Big]-1\Big)\Big\}.Vθ​(X)=Qinf​{EQ[X]+2θ1​(EP[(dPdQ​)2]−1)}.

The infimum runs either over the Doléans-Dade measures Qt\mathcal Q^tQt or over all of Q0={Q≪P:E[(dQ/dP)2]<∞}\mathcal Q_0=\{\mathbb Q\ll\mathbb P:\mathbb E[(\mathrm d\mathbb Q/\mathrm d\mathbb P)^2]<\infty\}Q0​={Q≪P:E[(dQ/dP)2]<∞}. A measure in Qt\mathcal Q^tQt has density ET\mathcal E_TET​, where E\mathcal EE is the stochastic exponential of ∫η1dW1+∫η2dW2+∫ ⁣∫ϕ dN~\int\eta_1\mathrm dW^1+\int\eta_2\mathrm dW^2+\int\!\int\phi\,\mathrm d\tilde N∫η1​dW1+∫η2​dW2+∫∫ϕdN~ with ET≥0\mathcal E_T\ge0ET​≥0, E[ET]=1\mathbb E[\mathcal E_T]=1E[ET​]=1 and ET∈L2\mathcal E_T\in L^2ET​∈L2.

The optimal utilities from (x,z,t)(x,z,t)(x,z,t) are suprema over the admissible strategies of the paper's Definitions 2 and 3: predictable π\piπ whose wealth has E[sup⁡s∣Xsπ∣2]<∞\mathbb E[\sup_s|X^\pi_s|^2]<\inftyE[sups​∣Xsπ​∣2]<∞, under P\mathbb PP for MV and under every Q∈Qt\mathbb Q\in\mathcal Q^tQ∈Qt for MMV. Both solutions are expressed through the solution G=−eFG=-e^FG=−eF of the nonlinear parabolic PDE (20),

Gt+α(z)Gz+12b(z)2Gzz−β(z)b(z)2Gz2G+λ(z)G=0,G(z,T)=−1.G_t+\alpha(z)G_z+\tfrac12b(z)^2G_{zz}-\beta(z)b(z)^2\frac{G_z^2}{G}+\lambda(z)G=0,\qquad G(z,T)=-1.Gt​+α(z)Gz​+21​b(z)2Gzz​−β(z)b(z)2GGz2​​+λ(z)G=0,G(z,T)=−1.

Through ζ(z,s)=−(μ(z)−r−σ(z)b(z)ρWGz/G)/Σ(z)\zeta(z,s)=-(\mu(z)-r-\sigma(z)b(z)\rho_WG_z/G)/\Sigma(z)ζ(z,s)=−(μ(z)−r−σ(z)b(z)ρW​Gz​/G)/Σ(z) it also enters Assumption 1. Let τ\tauτ be the first jump time after ttt at which ζ(Zs,s)γ(Zs,ΔLs)=−1\zeta(Z_s,s)\gamma(Z_s,\Delta L_s)=-1ζ(Zs​,s)γ(Zs​,ΔLs​)=−1. Assumption 1 requires ζγ≥−1\zeta\gamma\ge-1ζγ≥−1 at every jump in (t,T](t,T](t,T] up to time τ\tauτ.

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem 9

sup⁡π∈Bx,z,tUθ(XTπ)=sup⁡π∈Ax,1/(2θ),z,tVθ(XTπ)  ⟺  Assumption 1 holds at (z,t).\sup_{\pi\in\mathcal B_{x,z,t}}U_\theta(X^\pi_T)=\sup_{\pi\in\mathcal A_{x,1/(2\theta),z,t}}V_\theta(X^\pi_T)\iff\text{Assumption 1 holds at }(z,t).π∈Bx,z,t​sup​Uθ​(XTπ​)=π∈Ax,1/(2θ),z,t​sup​Vθ​(XTπ​)⟺Assumption 1 holds at (z,t).

The same holds when VθV_\thetaVθ​ ranges over Q0\mathcal Q_0Q0​ instead of Qt\mathcal Q^tQt.

Milestones

  1. Theorem 3 links the market player's density process to the wealth: 2YsG(Zs,s)=Xsπ∗−x+2yG(z,t)2Y_sG(Z_s,s)=X^{\pi^*}_s-x+2yG(z,t)2Ys​G(Zs​,s)=Xsπ∗​−x+2yG(z,t).
  2. Theorem 4 solves the MMV problem: the value is V(x,y,z,t)=−x+G(z,t)yV(x,y,z,t)=-x+G(z,t)yV(x,y,z,t)=−x+G(z,t)y, with an explicit saddle point.
  3. Theorem 6 solves the auxiliary quadratic problem: UD(x,z,t)=−(x−D)2/G(z,t)U_D(x,z,t)=-(x-D)^2/G(z,t)UD​(x,z,t)=−(x−D)2/G(z,t).
  4. Theorem 7 gives the Lagrange multiplier and the optimal target.
  5. (39) gives the optimal MV strategy.
  6. The moment identities E[RT]=E[RT2]=H(z,t)=−1/G(z,t)\mathbb E[R_T]=\mathbb E[R_T^2]=H(z,t)=-1/G(z,t)E[RT​]=E[RT2​]=H(z,t)=−1/G(z,t).
  7. Theorem 8: under Assumption 1 the optimal strategies coincide.
  8. Lemma 4: the optimal MV wealth lies in Gθ\mathcal G_\thetaGθ​ if and only if Assumption 1 holds.
  9. (44)–(45): the mean and variance of the optimal wealth.

Significance

The result separates the two preferences by an observable property of the market. The Brownian theory gives agreement for free. With jumps the MV-optimal wealth can leave Gθ\mathcal G_\thetaGθ​, and that happens exactly when a jump of size ζγ<−1\zeta\gamma<-1ζγ<−1 can occur before the first jump with ζγ=−1\zeta\gamma=-1ζγ=−1. In that case MMV and MV investors hold different portfolios. The paper's §5.4 examines in market data whether Assumption 1 is reasonable. The explicit closed forms (the value −x+G(z,t)y-x+G(z,t)y−x+G(z,t)y, the variance −(G(z,t)+1)/θ2-(G(z,t)+1)/\theta^2−(G(z,t)+1)/θ2 of the optimal wealth, the efficient frontier) are what applied work uses.

The result is proved on paper, in an arXiv preprint later published in Mathematics of Operations Research (2025). None of it is machine-checked. A formal proof would check the verification arguments for a stochastic differential game with jumps, a Feynman–Kac representation with a jump density, and the comparison with Maccheroni et al.'s monotone hull. The paper's own proofs are brief at several of these steps. The underlying infrastructure (Itô calculus with Poisson jumps, Doléans-Dade exponentials, verification theorems) would be reusable for most of continuous-time portfolio theory.

Difficulty

The obvious argument would show Uθ=VθU_\theta=V_\thetaUθ​=Vθ​ along the optimal wealth and conclude. Lemma 4 shows this argument breaks: the optimal MV wealth need not lie in Gθ\mathcal G_\thetaGθ​. Remark 7 also notes that membership in Gθ\mathcal G_\thetaGθ​ alone does not identify the optimal values; both optimal strategies must be found and compared.

Finding them needs a verification theorem for a two-player stochastic differential game with jumps (Theorems 1 and 4). That in turn needs Itô's formula for jump diffusions and martingale properties of Doléans-Dade exponentials that may vanish (Lemma 2, Mémin's criterion). Identifying the two strategies needs the moment identities E[RT]=E[RT2]=H\mathbb E[R_T]=\mathbb E[R_T^2]=HE[RT​]=E[RT2​]=H, which come from a Feynman–Kac argument with a jump-driven density (Lemma 3). The converse direction needs a stopping argument at the first "bad" jump. None of this exists in Mathlib, which has Brownian motion but no stochastic integral and no Poisson process.

Formalization scope

  • Time is [0,∞)[0,\infty)[0,∞); every process lives on [t,T][t,T][t,T] with t<Tt<Tt<T, and ∫ts\int_t^s∫ts​ is a difference of integral processes whose integrands vanish before ttt.
  • Brownian integrals are the L2L^2L2 Itô integrals of Peng1990.SMP.Stochastic. The admissible classes A\mathcal AA, B\mathcal BB, Mt\mathcal M^tMt therefore contain only strategies whose Brownian integrands are in L2L^2L2; all strategies used in the paper qualify.
  • The Poisson random measure is JacodTodorov10.LLN.IsFPoisson with ν\nuν finite and ν({0})=0\nu(\{0\})=0ν({0})=0. The compensated integral is the pathwise sum over atoms minus the compensator integral.
  • The filtration is the natural (uncompleted) filtration of (W1,W2,N)(W^1,W^2,N)(W1,W2,N).
  • Processes are adapted with càdlàg paths; Xs−X_{s-}Xs−​ is Mathlib's Function.leftLim. Feedback strategies come with an existence claim, never as bare assumptions.
  • All optimal values are infima/suprema in EReal over the full admissible classes. Measures in Q0\mathcal Q_0Q0​ are probability measures.
  • Mt\mathcal M^tMt is defined by the defining equation (5) of the stochastic exponential. The printed formula (4) has ΔX\Delta XΔX where ΔM\Delta MΔM is meant and is not used.
  • Proposition 1 is not formalized: its hypotheses do not deliver a classical solution. GGG is a hypothesis: G=−eFG=-e^FG=−eF with FFF bounded, C2,1C^{2,1}C2,1 with bounded derivatives, solving (20). The Conditions of Proposition 1 are kept as printed. Σ,λ,β>0\Sigma,\lambda,\beta>0Σ,λ,β>0 is a standing hypothesis (implicit on p. 12).
  • Assumption 1 uses τ\tauτ in [0,∞][0,\infty][0,∞] (inf⁡∅=∞\inf\emptyset=\inftyinf∅=∞), and "a.s." holds simultaneously for all s∈(t,T]s\in(t,T]s∈(t,T].
  • Printed slips: (37) evaluates Gz/GG_z/GGz​/G at (Zs,t)(Z_s,t)(Zs​,t); it is read at (Zs,s)(Z_s,s)(Zs​,s). Lemma 4's "Equation (1)" means (20)/(21).
  • Divisions by 1−E[RT]1-\mathbb E[R_T]1−E[RT​] and Var[RT]\mathrm{Var}[R_T]Var[RT​] carry the hypotheses E[RT]≠1\mathbb E[R_T]\neq1E[RT​]=1, Var[RT]>0\mathrm{Var}[R_T]>0Var[RT​]>0.

A formalization that replaces either optimal utility by a closed form or by the utility of one fixed strategy is out of scope: it assumes Theorems 4 and 7 and empties the goal. So is one that removes the jumps, freezes the factor, or replaces Assumption 1 by a sufficient condition such as γ≥0\gamma\ge0γ≥0; each of these makes the "only if" vacuous or false. Contributions that build general infrastructure (an Itô formula for jump diffusions, Doléans-Dade exponentials, a Feynman–Kac theorem) are especially welcome.

Selected references

  • B. Li, Z. Liang, L. Pang, Comparison Between Mean-Variance and Monotone Mean-Variance Preferences Under Jump Diffusion and Stochastic Factor Model, arXiv:2211.14473v2, 2023. https://arxiv.org/abs/2211.14473
  • F. Maccheroni, M. Marinacci, A. Rustichini, M. Taboga, Portfolio selection with monotone mean-variance preferences, Mathematical Finance 19(3):487–521, 2009. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1467-9965.2009.00376.x
  • J. Trybuła, D. Zawisza, Continuous-time portfolio choice under monotone mean-variance preferences—stochastic factor case, Mathematics of Operations Research 44(3):966–987, 2019 (cited as [Trybuła and Zawisza 2019] in arXiv:2211.14473v2).
  • M. S. Strub, D. Li, A note on monotone mean–variance preferences for continuous processes, Operations Research Letters 48(4):397–400, 2020 (cited as [Strub and Li 2020] in arXiv:2211.14473v2).
  • P. Protter, Stochastic Integration and Differential Equations, 2nd ed., Springer, 2005, ISBN 978-3-662-10061-5.
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Markov ChainNumerical AnalysisProbability+1·Captain: mikedeng1

Multilevel Langevin Pathwise Average for Gibbs Approximation II: Strongly Contractive Drift, 𝔞 = 1 — L²-Error ≲ [f]₁ε at Cost (5log γ₀⁻¹/2αγ₀)Υ₁²ε⁻²⌈log₂(Υ₁²ε⁻²)⌉³Research Paper

Motivation

Sampling from a Gibbs distribution πU∝e−U dλd\pi_U \propto e^{-U}\,d\lambda_dπU​∝e−Udλd​ on Rd\mathbb R^dRd, or computing integrals π(f)\pi(f)π(f) against it, is a basic task of Bayesian statistics, statistical physics and stochastic optimization. A standard route is to simulate a diffusion whose invariant law is the target, for instance the overdamped Langevin equation dXt=−∇U(Xt) dt+2 dBtdX_t = -\nabla U(X_t)\,dt + \sqrt2\,dB_tdXt​=−∇U(Xt​)dt+2​dBt​, discretize it with the Euler scheme, and average a function along one long trajectory. Discretization introduces a bias of order of the step size, and the long-time average introduces a variance that decays like the inverse of the horizon, so reaching root-mean-square accuracy ε\varepsilonε with a single Euler scheme costs more than ε−2\varepsilon^{-2}ε−2 steps.

Egéa and Panloup (arXiv:2109.07753, Mathematics of Operations Research, 2025) adapt Giles's multilevel Monte Carlo idea (Giles 2008) to this infinite-horizon setting: they combine a coarse pathwise average with corrections between coupled Euler schemes of successively halved steps, run over decreasing horizons. Their general complexity theorem (Theorem 2.1) is stated under four abstract assumptions (H₁)–(H₄). This mission formalizes the first concrete instance the paper gives: an additive diffusion with a strongly contractive drift, where the assumptions are verified with explicit dependence on the dimension and the cost is of order ε−2log⁡3(ε−1)\varepsilon^{-2}\log^3(\varepsilon^{-1})ε−2log3(ε−1).

Setting

Let ∣⋅∣|\cdot|∣⋅∣ and ⟨⋅,⋅⟩\langle\cdot,\cdot\rangle⟨⋅,⋅⟩ be the Euclidean norm and inner product on Rd\mathbb R^dRd. Let b:Rd→Rdb:\mathbb R^d\to\mathbb R^db:Rd→Rd be LLL-Lipschitz and satisfy the contractivity assumption (Cα)(\mathbf C_\alpha)(Cα​):

⟨b(y)−b(x),y−x⟩≤−α∣x−y∣2(x,y∈Rd),\langle b(y)-b(x),y-x\rangle\le-\alpha|x-y|^2\qquad(x,y\in\mathbb R^d),⟨b(y)−b(x),y−x⟩≤−α∣x−y∣2(x,y∈Rd),

with 0<α≤L0<\alpha\le L0<α≤L. For b=−∇Ub=-\nabla Ub=−∇U this is uniform strong convexity of UUU. Let σ>0\sigma>0σ>0 and let WWW be a standard ddd-dimensional Brownian motion. The additive diffusion started at xxx is Xtx=x+∫0tb(Xsx) ds+σWtX^x_t = x+\int_0^t b(X^x_s)\,ds+\sigma W_tXtx​=x+∫0t​b(Xsx​)ds+σWt​; a probability π\piπ is invariant for it if ∫P(Xtx∈A) π(dx)=π(A)\int\mathbb P(X^x_t\in A)\,\pi(dx)=\pi(A)∫P(Xtx​∈A)π(dx)=π(A) for all ttt and Borel AAA.

The Euler scheme with step γ>0\gamma>0γ>0 is Xˉ0γ,x=x\bar X^{\gamma,x}_0=xXˉ0γ,x​=x, Xˉ(n+1)γγ,x=Xˉnγγ,x+γb(Xˉnγγ,x)+σ(W(n+1)γ−Wnγ)\bar X^{\gamma,x}_{(n+1)\gamma}=\bar X^{\gamma,x}_{n\gamma}+\gamma b(\bar X^{\gamma,x}_{n\gamma})+\sigma(W_{(n+1)\gamma}-W_{n\gamma})Xˉ(n+1)γγ,x​=Xˉnγγ,x​+γb(Xˉnγγ,x​)+σ(W(n+1)γ​−Wnγ​), extended to continuous time by Xˉt=x+∫0tb(Xˉs‾) ds+σWt\bar X_t=x+\int_0^t b(\bar X_{\underline s})\,ds+\sigma W_tXˉt​=x+∫0t​b(Xˉs​​)ds+σWt​, s‾=γ⌊s/γ⌋\underline s=\gamma\lfloor s/\gamma\rfloors​=γ⌊s/γ⌋. A probability πγ\pi^\gammaπγ invariant for one step of the scheme is its invariant distribution.

The multilevel occupation measure with start x0x_0x0​, coarse step γ0\gamma_0γ0​, levels r=0,…,Rr=0,\dots,Rr=0,…,R, steps γr=γ02−r\gamma_r=\gamma_02^{-r}γr​=γ0​2−r, horizons TrT_rTr​ and warm-start time τ\tauτ is

Y(f)=1T0−τ∫τT0f(Xˉs‾γ0γ0) ds+∑r=1R1Tr−τ∫τTr(f(Xˉs‾γr−1γr)−f(Xˉs‾γr−1γr−1)) ds,\mathcal Y(f)=\frac1{T_0-\tau}\int_\tau^{T_0}f(\bar X^{\gamma_0}_{\underline s_{\gamma_0}})\,ds+\sum_{r=1}^R\frac1{T_r-\tau}\int_\tau^{T_r}\big(f(\bar X^{\gamma_r}_{\underline s_{\gamma_{r-1}}})-f(\bar X^{\gamma_{r-1}}_{\underline s_{\gamma_{r-1}}})\big)\,ds,Y(f)=T0​−τ1​∫τT0​​f(Xˉs​γ0​​γ0​​)ds+r=1∑R​Tr​−τ1​∫τTr​​(f(Xˉs​γr−1​​γr​​)−f(Xˉs​γr−1​​γr−1​​))ds,

where level rrr uses its own Brownian motion B(r)B^{(r)}B(r), independent across levels, and both schemes of a level share it. Its cost is C(Y)=T0/γ0+∑r=1R(Tr/γr+Tr/γr−1)\mathcal C(\mathcal Y)=T_0/\gamma_0+\sum_{r=1}^R(T_r/\gamma_r+T_r/\gamma_{r-1})C(Y)=T0​/γ0​+∑r=1R​(Tr​/γr​+Tr​/γr−1​), the number of simulated Euler steps. Write [f]1[f]_1[f]1​ for the Lipschitz constant of fff and

Υ12=1∨(α−2∣b(x0)∣2+α−1σ2d).\Upsilon_1^2=1\vee\big(\alpha^{-2}|b(x_0)|^2+\alpha^{-1}\sigma^2d\big).Υ12​=1∨(α−2∣b(x0​)∣2+α−1σ2d).

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem 2.2

There is a universal constant C1\mathfrak C_1C1​ such that, for α∈(0,L∧1]\alpha\in(0,L\wedge1]α∈(0,L∧1], γ0∈(0,α2L2∧12]\gamma_0\in(0,\frac\alpha{2L^2}\wedge\frac12]γ0​∈(0,2L2α​∧21​], the parameters

r0=Υ1,Rε=⌈2log⁡2(r0ε−1)⌉,Tr=Υ12log⁡(γ0−1)αε−2Rε22−r,τ=2α∣log⁡ε∣+1αlog⁡Υ1,r_0=\Upsilon_1,\quad R_\varepsilon=\lceil2\log_2(r_0\varepsilon^{-1})\rceil,\quad T_r=\frac{\Upsilon_1^2\log(\gamma_0^{-1})}{\alpha}\varepsilon^{-2}R_\varepsilon^22^{-r},\quad \tau=\frac2\alpha|\log\varepsilon|+\frac1\alpha\log\Upsilon_1,r0​=Υ1​,Rε​=⌈2log2​(r0​ε−1)⌉,Tr​=αΥ12​log(γ0−1​)​ε−2Rε2​2−r,τ=α2​∣logε∣+α1​logΥ1​,

and every ε∈(0,1)\varepsilon\in(0,1)ε∈(0,1) with 2log⁡(Υ1ε−2)≤log⁡(γ0−1)Rε22\log(\Upsilon_1\varepsilon^{-2})\le\log(\gamma_0^{-1})R_\varepsilon^22log(Υ1​ε−2)≤log(γ0−1​)Rε2​,

∥Y(f)−π(f)∥2≤C1[f]1ε,C(Y)≤5log⁡(γ0−1)2αγ0Υ12ε−2⌈log⁡2(Υ12ε−2)⌉3.\|\mathcal Y(f)-\pi(f)\|_2\le\mathfrak C_1[f]_1\varepsilon,\qquad\mathcal C(\mathcal Y)\le\frac{5\log(\gamma_0^{-1})}{2\alpha\gamma_0}\Upsilon_1^2\varepsilon^{-2}\lceil\log_2(\Upsilon_1^2\varepsilon^{-2})\rceil^3.∥Y(f)−π(f)∥2​≤C1​[f]1​ε,C(Y)≤2αγ0​5log(γ0−1​)​Υ12​ε−2⌈log2​(Υ12​ε−2)⌉3.

The constant C1\mathfrak C_1C1​ does not depend on ddd, bbb, σ\sigmaσ, fff, x0x_0x0​ or ε\varepsilonε; all dependence on the problem sits in the explicit cost.

Milestones

  1. Lemma 5.1 (i)–(iii): uniform second-moment bound (47), existence and uniqueness of πγ\pi^\gammaπγ, the L2L^2L2 contraction E∣Xˉtγ,x−Xˉtγ,y∣2≤∣x−y∣2e−αt\mathbb E|\bar X^{\gamma,x}_t-\bar X^{\gamma,y}_t|^2\le|x-y|^2e^{-\alpha t}E∣Xˉtγ,x​−Xˉtγ,y​∣2≤∣x−y∣2e−αt, the bound W2(δx,πγ)≤c1(x)\mathcal W_2(\delta_x,\pi^\gamma)\le c_1(x)W2​(δx​,πγ)≤c1​(x), and from these (H₁) and (H₄).
  2. Lemma 5.2 (i): the one-step error between diffusion and Euler step.
  3. Proposition 5.1 (i) and (iii) with a=1\mathfrak a=1a=1: ∥Xnγx−Xˉnγγ,x∥22≤β1(x)γ\|X^x_{n\gamma}-\bar X^{\gamma,x}_{n\gamma}\|_2^2\le\beta_1(x)\gamma∥Xnγx​−Xˉnγγ,x​∥22​≤β1​(x)γ uniformly in nnn, hence (H₂).
  4. Proposition 5.2 with a=1\mathfrak a=1a=1, δ=12\delta=\frac12δ=21​: W1(π,πγ)≤β1(x⋆)γ\mathcal W_1(\pi,\pi^\gamma)\le\sqrt{\beta_1(x^\star)\gamma}W1​(π,πγ)≤β1​(x⋆)γ​, hence (H₃).
  5. Proposition 2.1: all four assumptions with max⁡(αc22/L2,αc32/L2,c42)≲Υ12\max(\alpha c_2^2/L^2,\alpha c_3^2/L^2,c_4^2)\lesssim\Upsilon_1^2max(αc22​/L2,αc32​/L2,c42​)≲Υ12​.
  6. Remark 4.1: Theorem 2.1 (ii) for the additive scheme when the constants are known up to universal factors.
  7. Theorem 2.2 (15): the refinement with Υ~12=σ2α−1d\tilde\Upsilon_1^2=\sigma^2\alpha^{-1}dΥ~12​=σ2α−1d and γ0=α/(2L2)\gamma_0=\alpha/(2L^2)γ0​=α/(2L2).

Significance

The goal gives a complexity of order ε−2log⁡3(ε−1)\varepsilon^{-2}\log^3(\varepsilon^{-1})ε−2log3(ε−1) for approximating π(f)\pi(f)π(f) by a pathwise average of Euler schemes, within a logarithmic factor of the ε−2\varepsilon^{-2}ε−2 of an unbiased Monte Carlo method, with constants explicit in ddd, α\alphaα, LLL, σ\sigmaσ. When ∣b(x0)∣≲d|b(x_0)|\lesssim\sqrt d∣b(x0​)∣≲d​, the cost is of order dε−2(log⁡3d+log⁡3ε)d\varepsilon^{-2}(\log^3d+\log^3\varepsilon)dε−2(log3d+log3ε). The intermediate results (uniform-in-time strong error of the Euler scheme, Wasserstein bias of its invariant law, step-independent contraction) are standard tools of Langevin Monte Carlo and are reusable on their own.

The results are proved in the paper; none of them is machine-checked. A formal proof would certify both the abstract multilevel argument as instantiated here and the explicit constants. The formal statements also pin three printed slips: the ceiling in (14) (cube of the ceiling, not ceiling of the cube), the first line of (12) (the function c1c_1c1​ of Lemma 5.1 (ii)), and the factor in (15).

Difficulty

The obvious argument controls bias and variance separately for each level. The bias of a pathwise average involves the long-time behaviour of the scheme, and the variance of a correcting level involves the L2L^2L2 distance between two coupled schemes over an unbounded horizon: both require estimates uniform in time, which fail for a merely Lipschitz drift (the strong error of the Euler scheme grows exponentially on finite horizons). Contractivity is what makes the strong error O(γ)O(\sqrt\gamma)O(γ​) uniformly in nnn, and the delicate point is to obtain this with constants that do not degrade with ddd or with the step. The complexity bound then requires balancing RεR_\varepsilonRε​, the horizons and the warm start so that the long-time bias, the discretization bias and the variances all sit at level ε\varepsilonε, with a universal constant.

Formalization scope

Rd\mathbb R^dRd is EuclideanSpace ℝ (Fin d) (published EthierKurtz.SDEState); Brownian motions are published EthierKurtz.IsStandardBrownian, one per level, mutually independent as path-valued variables. The diffusion is a pathwise solution of the integral equation with continuous paths; no Itô integral is needed because the noise is additive. Invariance of π\piπ and πγ\pi^\gammaπγ is stated through transition probabilities. L2L^2L2 norms are eLpNorm … 2 in [0,∞][0,\infty][0,∞], so an infinite moment is never read as zero. W1\mathcal W_1W1​ is used in its Kantorovich–Rubinstein form, W2(δx,⋅)\mathcal W_2(\delta_x,\cdot)W2​(δx​,⋅) as an explicit integral, and the clause W2(L(Xˉt‾),πγ)≤W2(δx,πγ)e−αt‾\mathcal W_2(\mathcal L(\bar X_{\underline t}),\pi^\gamma)\le\mathcal W_2(\delta_x,\pi^\gamma)e^{-\alpha\underline t}W2​(L(Xˉt​​),πγ)≤W2​(δx​,πγ)e−αt​ as the existence of a coupling with that quadratic cost (Mathlib has no Wasserstein distance; optimal couplings exist, so the forms agree). (H₁)–(H₃) are stated at grid times, (H₄) over all t≥0t\ge0t≥0. "≲uc\lesssim_{uc}≲uc​" is an existential constant quantified before every datum.

Standing assumptions carried as hypotheses: bbb LLL-Lipschitz, (Cα)(\mathbf C_\alpha)(Cα​), 0<α≤L0<\alpha\le L0<α≤L (and α≤1\alpha\le1α≤1 where the paper requires it), σ>0\sigma>0σ>0. Added and disclosed: the §5.1 hypotheses in Lemma 5.2, γ<1\gamma<1γ<1 in Proposition 5.2 (needed by Proposition 5.1), integrability of fff under π\piπ, existence of πγ\pi^\gammaπγ and c~4>0\tilde c_4>0c~4​>0 in Remark 4.1. The goal's ε0\varepsilon_0ε0​ (a maximum of a set that need not be an interval) is replaced by the inequality defining it.

The goal assumes only the contractive setting, the diffusion's invariance of π\piπ and the parameter choices; it does not assume (H₁)–(H₄), a bias or a variance bound, which appear only as milestones, so it cannot be discharged by restating its hypotheses.

A complete development needs: second-moment and Grönwall estimates for the Euler scheme and the diffusion, existence and uniqueness of invariant laws of Feller chains under a Lyapunov condition, independence and variance decompositions for the multilevel estimator, and the abstract Theorem 2.1. The Gaussian-increment and Wasserstein tools are reusable well beyond this mission. Proofs of any milestone, and a Mathlib-style W2\mathcal W_2W2​ for general laws, are welcome.

Selected references

  • M. Egéa, F. Panloup, Multilevel-Langevin pathwise average for Gibbs approximation, Mathematics of Operations Research, 2025; preprint arXiv:2109.07753v2, 2024. https://arxiv.org/abs/2109.07753
  • M. B. Giles, Multilevel Monte Carlo path simulation, Operations Research 56(3), 2008. https://doi.org/10.1287/opre.1070.0496
  • A. S. Dalalyan, Theoretical guarantees for approximate sampling from smooth and log-concave densities, J. R. Stat. Soc. B 79(3), 2017. https://doi.org/10.1111/rssb.12183
  • A. Durmus, É. Moulines, Nonasymptotic convergence analysis for the unadjusted Langevin algorithm, Ann. Appl. Probab. 27(3), 2017. https://doi.org/10.1214/16-AAP1238
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Control TheoryPartial Differential EquationsStochastic Systems·Captain: mikedeng1

Stochastic Control Problems with State Reflections Arising from Relaxed Benchmark Tracking: Verification Theorem for the Optimal Feedback Investment-Consumption StrategyResearch Paper

Motivation

A fund manager who tracks a benchmark (a stock index, a price index, the cost of higher education) wants the managed wealth to stay above the benchmark at all times. Under a strict floor constraint Vt≥MtV_t\ge M_tVt​≥Mt​ the set of admissible strategies can be empty when the benchmark is random. Bo, Huang and Yu (arXiv:2302.08302, Math. Oper. Res.) relax the constraint: the manager may inject capital AtA_tAt​ so that Vt+At≥MtV_t+A_t\ge M_tVt​+At​≥Mt​, and pays β>0\beta>0β>0 per unit injected. The problem becomes a consumption–investment problem with a running-maximum cost, of the type studied with viscosity methods by Barron–Ishii (1989) and Bokanowski et al. (2015). The paper obtains instead a classical solution of the associated HJB equation and an explicit optimal feedback control. The reduction from the constrained problem to the auxiliary problem below is due to Bo, Liao and Yu (2021) and is not part of this mission.

Setting

A market has ddd risky assets with return vector μ≠0\mu\ne0μ=0 and invertible volatility matrix σ\sigmaσ; the riskless rate is 000. On a filtered probability space satisfying the usual conditions with a ddd-dimensional Brownian motion WWW, write Wγ=∑jγjWjW^\gamma=\sum_j\gamma_jW^jWγ=∑j​γj​Wj and Wη=∑jηjWjW^\eta=\sum_j\eta_jW^jWη=∑j​ηj​Wj with ∣γ∣=∣η∣=1|\gamma|=|\eta|=1∣γ∣=∣η∣=1. The benchmark is Mt=mt+ZtM_t=m_t+Z_tMt​=mt​+Zt​, where ZZZ is a geometric Brownian motion with drift μZ\mu_ZμZ​ and volatility σZ≥0\sigma_Z\ge0σZ​≥0 driven by WηW^\etaWη, and mtm_tmt​ is the running maximum of Bt=b+μBt+σBWtγB_t=b+\mu_Bt+\sigma_BW^\gamma_tBt​=b+μB​t+σB​Wtγ​, σB≥0\sigma_B\ge0σB​≥0.

A strategy (θ,c)(\theta,c)(θ,c) invests θt∈Rd\theta_t\in\mathbb R^dθt​∈Rd and consumes at rate ct≥0c_t\ge0ct​≥0; the class Ur\mathbb U^rUr consists of progressively measurable pairs for which the wealth equation is well defined on every bounded interval. The auxiliary states are the reflected wealth surplus X≥0X\ge0X≥0, started at xxx,

Xt=x+∫0tθs⊤μ ds+∫0tθs⊤σ dWs−∫0tcs ds−(Zt−z)−(mt−m0)+LtX,X_t=x+\int_0^t\theta_s^\top\mu\,ds+\int_0^t\theta_s^\top\sigma\,dW_s-\int_0^tc_s\,ds-(Z_t-z)-(m_t-m_0)+L^X_t,Xt​=x+∫0t​θs⊤​μds+∫0t​θs⊤​σdWs​−∫0t​cs​ds−(Zt​−z)−(mt​−m0​)+LtX​,

where LXL^XLX is the minimal nondecreasing process keeping X≥0X\ge0X≥0 (the injected capital), and the reflected distance It=mt−Bt≥0I_t=m_t-B_t\ge0It​=mt​−Bt​≥0 started at hhh. With power utility U(c)=cp/pU(c)=c^p/pU(c)=cp/p, p∈(−∞,0)∪(0,1)p\in(-\infty,0)\cup(0,1)p∈(−∞,0)∪(0,1), and discount rate ρ>0\rho>0ρ>0, the objective is

J(x,h,z;θ,c)=E[∫0∞e−ρtU(ct) dt−β∫0∞e−ρtdLtX].J(x,h,z;\theta,c)=\mathbb E\Big[\int_0^\infty e^{-\rho t}U(c_t)\,dt-\beta\int_0^\infty e^{-\rho t}dL^X_t\Big].J(x,h,z;θ,c)=E[∫0∞​e−ρtU(ct​)dt−β∫0∞​e−ρtdLtX​].

The candidate value function is built from a probabilistic representation. On a space with independent Brownian motions B0,B1,B2B^0,B^1,B^2B0,B1,B2, let RrR^rRr be a reflected drifted Brownian motion r+(α2/2−ρ)t+αBt1+Ltr≥0r+(\alpha^2/2-\rho)t+\alpha B^1_t+L^r_t\ge0r+(α2/2−ρ)t+αBt1​+Ltr​≥0, let HhH^hHh be a correlated one with local time KhK^hKh, and let NzN^zNz be a geometric Brownian motion. With the coefficients α,κ1,κ2,ϱ1,ϱ2\alpha,\kappa_1,\kappa_2,\varrho_1,\varrho_2α,κ1​,κ2​,ϱ1​,ϱ2​ of (2.9) and (3.4),

v(r,h,z)=1−ppβ−p1−pE[∫0∞e−ρs+p1−pRsrds]+β(κ2−μZ)E[∫0∞e−ρs−RsrNszds]−βE[∫0∞e−ρs−RsrdKsh],v(r,h,z)=\tfrac{1-p}p\beta^{-\frac p{1-p}}\mathbb E\Big[\int_0^\infty e^{-\rho s+\frac p{1-p}R^r_s}ds\Big]+\beta(\kappa_2-\mu_Z)\mathbb E\Big[\int_0^\infty e^{-\rho s-R^r_s}N^z_sds\Big]-\beta\mathbb E\Big[\int_0^\infty e^{-\rho s-R^r_s}dK^h_s\Big],v(r,h,z)=p1−p​β−1−pp​E[∫0∞​e−ρs+1−pp​Rsr​ds]+β(κ2​−μZ​)E[∫0∞​e−ρs−Rsr​Nsz​ds]−βE[∫0∞​e−ρs−Rsr​dKsh​],

u^(y,h,z)=v(−ln⁡(y/β),h,z)\hat u(y,h,z)=v(-\ln(y/\beta),h,z)u^(y,h,z)=v(−ln(y/β),h,z) for y∈(0,β]y\in(0,\beta]y∈(0,β], and

u(x,h,z)=inf⁡y∈(0,β]{u^(y,h,z)+yx}.u(x,h,z)=\inf_{y\in(0,\beta]}\{\hat u(y,h,z)+yx\}.u(x,h,z)=y∈(0,β]inf​{u^(y,h,z)+yx}.

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem 4.1 (verification theorem)

For model parameters with μZ>κ2\mu_Z>\kappa_2μZ​>κ2​ and σB≠0\sigma_B\ne0σB​=0 there is ρ0>0\rho_0>0ρ0​>0 such that for every ρ>ρ0\rho>\rho_0ρ>ρ0​: (i) uuu is a classical solution of the HJB equation (4.2) with the Neumann conditions ux(0,h,z)=βu_x(0,h,z)=\betaux​(0,h,z)=β and uh(x,0,z)=ux(x,0,z)u_h(x,0,z)=u_x(x,0,z)uh​(x,0,z)=ux​(x,0,z), with ux>0u_x>0ux​>0 and uxx<0u_{xx}<0uxx​<0; (ii) for every admissible strategy and every (x,h,z)∈R+3(x,h,z)\in\mathbb R^3_+(x,h,z)∈R+3​,

J(x,h,z;θ,c)≤u(x,h,z),J(x,h,z;\theta,c)\le u(x,h,z),J(x,h,z;θ,c)≤u(x,h,z),

with equality for the feedback strategy θ∗=−(σσ⊤)−1μux−σBσγuxh+σZσηz(uxx−uxz)uxx\theta^*=-(\sigma\sigma^\top)^{-1}\frac{\mu u_x-\sigma_B\sigma\gamma u_{xh}+\sigma_Z\sigma\eta z(u_{xx}-u_{xz})}{u_{xx}}θ∗=−(σσ⊤)−1uxx​μux​−σB​σγuxh​+σZ​σηz(uxx​−uxz​)​, c∗=ux1/(p−1)c^*=u_x^{1/(p-1)}c∗=ux1/(p−1)​ along a solution of the reflected feedback system (4.4). The threshold ρ0\rho_0ρ0​ is asserted to exist, not fixed: the paper's formula (4.45) for it depends on ρ\rhoρ and is not self-contained.

Milestones, in the order of the proof

  1. Lemma 3.2. The first two terms l(r,z)l(r,z)l(r,z) of vvv solve the Neumann problem (3.8) and equal the explicit form (3.9).
  2. Lemma 3.4. For σB≠0\sigma_B\ne0σB​=0, φ(r,h)=−βE[∫0∞e−ρs−RsrdGsh]\varphi(r,h)=-\beta\mathbb E[\int_0^\infty e^{-\rho s-R^r_s}dG^h_s]φ(r,h)=−βE[∫0∞​e−ρs−Rsr​dGsh​] is C2C^2C2 on R+2\mathbb R^2_+R+2​, where GhG^hGh is the local time of a reflected Brownian motion independent of RrR^rRr.
  3. Lemma 3.3. GhG^hGh and RrR^rRr are independent and φ\varphiφ solves the Neumann problem (3.15).
  4. Proposition 3.5. ψ=φ+ξ\psi=\varphi+\xiψ=φ+ξ solves (3.38), and every bounded classical solution of (3.38) equals the last term of vvv.
  5. Remark 3.6. ψr+ψrr>0\psi_r+\psi_{rr}>0ψr​+ψrr​>0.
  6. Theorem 3.1. u^\hat uu^ is strictly convex in yyy and solves the dual PDE (2.8) with (2.10), (2.11).
  7. Theorem 4.1(i) and (4.7): the linear growth ∣θ∗∣≤Co(1+x+z)|\theta^*|\le C_o(1+x+z)∣θ∗∣≤Co​(1+x+z), ∣c∗∣≤Cq(1+x)|c^*|\le C_q(1+x)∣c∗∣≤Cq​(1+x).

Significance

The theorem settles two questions about the relaxed tracking formulation: the optimal portfolio–consumption pair exists in feedback form, and the value function is a classical (not only viscosity) solution of an HJB equation with two Neumann boundary conditions. Together with the paper's Lemma 4.4, it shows that the expected discounted capital injection of the optimal strategy is finite, so the relaxed problem is well posed. The dual representation also gives the value in a separated form, three expectations of functionals of reflected Brownian motions, which is what makes the derivatives and the feedback explicit.

The result is proved in the paper; nothing here is open. No part of it is formalized. A formal proof would need Itô's formula for reflected processes, the smoothness of expectations of local-time functionals, and the duality argument; any of the milestones on its own is a self-contained target.

Difficulty

The last term of vvv couples the reflected process RrR^rRr with the local time KhK^hKh of a second reflected process correlated with it through ϱ1\varrho_1ϱ1​. Differentiating E[∫e−ρs−RsrdKsh]\mathbb E[\int e^{-\rho s-R^r_s}dK^h_s]E[∫e−ρs−Rsr​dKsh​] in (r,h)(r,h)(r,h) directly fails: the local time is not differentiable in its starting point in any pathwise sense, and the correlation prevents conditioning one process on the other. The paper first treats the independent case (Lemmas 3.3–3.4), where the expectation factors through the law of GhG^hGh, and then removes the correlation by a homogenization of the Neumann conditions (Proposition 3.5). A second difficulty is the verification step itself: the admissible class is unbounded and the state reflects at two boundaries, so the local martingale terms must be controlled by moment bounds that depend on the growth (4.7) of the feedback.

Formalization scope

  • Parameters. One structure holds μ,σ,μZ,σZ,μB,σB,γ,η,β,p\mu,\sigma,\mu_Z,\sigma_Z,\mu_B,\sigma_B,\gamma,\eta,\beta,pμ,σ,μZ​,σZ​,μB​,σB​,γ,η,β,p; the standing assumptions are d≥1d\ge1d≥1, det⁡σ≠0\det\sigma\ne0detσ=0, μ≠0\mu\ne0μ=0, σZ,σB≥0\sigma_Z,\sigma_B\ge0σZ​,σB​≥0, γ⋅γ=η⋅η=1\gamma\cdot\gamma=\eta\cdot\eta=1γ⋅γ=η⋅η=1, β>0\beta>0β>0, p<1p<1p<1, p≠0p\ne0p=0. All coefficients (α,κ1,κ2,ϱ1,ϱ2,C1,C2,ℓ\alpha,\kappa_1,\kappa_2,\varrho_1,\varrho_2,C_1,C_2,\ellα,κ1​,κ2​,ϱ1​,ϱ2​,C1​,C2​,ℓ) are definitions.
  • Carriers. vvv, u^\hat uu^, uuu are defined on any probability space with a standard 3-dimensional Brownian motion (published EthierKurtz.IsStandardBrownian), and every statement holds for every such space. The control problem lives on any filtered space satisfying the usual conditions with an F\mathbb FF-Brownian motion (published RankBasedSDI.LoadBalancing.UsualConditions, IsFBrownian).
  • Processes in closed form. Rr,Hh,Kh,Lr,GhR^r,H^h,K^h,L^r,G^hRr,Hh,Kh,Lr,Gh are given by Skorokhod formulas (published skorokhodReg), ZZZ and NzN^zNz as explicit exponentials. The only stochastic integral is ∫θ⊤σ dW\int\theta^\top\sigma\,dW∫θ⊤σdW, through the published EthierKurtz.HasBrownianItoIntegral with a continuous version required.
  • Expectations and objective. Expectations of nonnegative integrands are lintegrals; statements about vvv assert their finiteness. Stieltjes integrals use the Lebesgue–Stieltjes measure of the path. The objective is compared in the extended reals as utility≤u+β⋅cost\text{utility}\le u+\beta\cdot\text{cost}utility≤u+β⋅cost, which agrees with J≤uJ\le uJ≤u whenever JJJ is defined and never produces ∞−∞\infty-\infty∞−∞; cpc^pcp is computed in [0,∞][0,\infty][0,∞] so that 0p=∞0^p=\infty0p=∞ for p<0p<0p<0.
  • Classical solutions. C2C^2C2 on the closed domain (ContDiffOn ℝ 2), the PDE on the open set the paper names, Neumann conditions pointwise on the faces; derivatives are taken within the closed coordinate domains. The suprema in (4.2) are least upper bounds (IsLUB), the consumption supremum over c>0c>0c>0.
  • Added hypotheses. μZ>κ2\mu_Z>\kappa_2μZ​>κ2​ and σB≠0\sigma_B\ne0σB​=0 in Theorem 4.1 and σB≠0\sigma_B\ne0σB​=0, ρ>α2∣p∣/(2(1−p))+μZ\rho>\alpha^2|p|/(2(1-p))+\mu_Zρ>α2∣p∣/(2(1−p))+μZ​ in Theorem 3.1 are used by the proofs but not printed in the statements; they are added. Lemma 3.2 and the milestone Theorem 4.1(i) also carry Theorem 3.1's ρ>α2p/(2(1−p))\rho>\alpha^2p/(2(1-p))ρ>α2p/(2(1−p)): when μZ<0\mu_Z<0μZ​<0 Lemma 3.2's printed condition does not imply it, and without it the first expectation in vvv is infinite.
  • Ruled out. Defining uuu as the supremum of JJJ would make (ii) circular, and specializing to d=1d=1d=1, σB=0\sigma_B=0σB​=0, ϱ1=0\varrho_1=0ϱ1​=0 or a fixed ρ\rhoρ changes the theorem; none of these is used. A statement "for every solution of (4.4)" would be vacuous if (4.4) had no solution, so the optimal pair is asserted to exist.

The definitions of reflected processes, Stieltjes integrals against local times, and classical Neumann solutions are reusable beyond this mission. Proofs of any milestone, and of the deterministic facts (0<ℓ<10<\ell<10<ℓ<1, ∣ϱi∣≤1|\varrho_i|\le1∣ϱi​∣≤1, (3.9) solving (3.8)), are welcome.

Selected references

  • G. Bo, Y. Huang, X. Yu, Stochastic control problems with state-reflections arising from relaxed benchmark tracking, arXiv:2302.08302v4 (Math. Oper. Res.). https://arxiv.org/abs/2302.08302
  • L. Bo, H. Liao, X. Yu, Optimal tracking portfolio with a ratcheting capital benchmark, SIAM J. Control Optim. 59(3), 2346–2380, 2021.
  • J. M. Harrison, Brownian Motion and Stochastic Flow Systems, Wiley, New York, 1985.
  • W. Łaukajtys, L. Słomiński, Penalization methods for the Skorokhod problem and reflecting SDEs with jumps, Bernoulli 19(5A), 1750–1775, 2013.
  • E. N. Barron, H. Ishii, The Bellman equation for minimizing the maximum cost, Nonlinear Anal. TMA 13(9), 1067–1090, 1989.
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Algorithmic Game TheoryMechanism Design·Captain: mikedeng1

Round-Robin Beyond Additive Agents: Existence and Fairness of Approximate Equilibria 4: For Subadditive Cancelable Valuations Every α-Approximate Pure Nash Equilibrium of Round-Robin Is α/2-EF1Research Paper

Motivation

Round-Robin is the simplest procedure for dividing indivisible goods: agents take turns, in a fixed cyclic order, each picking a favourite among the goods still available. When agents have additive valuations and pick truthfully, the resulting allocation is envy-free up to one good (EF1): no agent prefers another agent's bundle once a single good is removed from it. The procedure is used in practice (course allocation, sports drafts, the division of estates) and is the standard baseline in fair division.

The guarantee assumes truthful picking. Round-Robin is not truthful: an agent can gain by delaying a good that nobody else wants. Viewing the reported rankings as strategies turns the mechanism into a game, and two questions follow: does the game have (approximate) pure Nash equilibria, and are the allocations at equilibrium still fair with respect to the agents' true valuations? Round-Robin is the only known fair-division algorithm for more than two agents whose game is known to have equilibria (Aziz, Goldberg and Walsh, ADT 2017), and for additive valuations its exact pure Nash equilibria give EF1 allocations with respect to the true valuations (Amanatidis et al., WINE 2021). G. Amanatidis, G. Birmpas, P. Lazos, S. Leonardi and R. Reiffenhäuser (arXiv:2301.13652, Mathematics of Operations Research 2025) extend both questions beyond additive agents. This mission formalizes their fairness result for subadditive cancelable valuations, Theorem 4.5.

Setting

There are n≥1n \ge 1n≥1 agents N=[n]N = [n]N=[n] and a finite set MMM of mmm goods. Agent iii has a valuation vi:2M→Rv_i : 2^M \to \mathbb{R}vi​:2M→R with vi(∅)=0v_i(\emptyset) = 0vi​(∅)=0 that is non-decreasing. The marginal value of TTT with respect to SSS is vi(T∣S)=vi(T∪S)−vi(S)v_i(T \mid S) = v_i(T \cup S) - v_i(S)vi​(T∣S)=vi​(T∪S)−vi​(S). A valuation is

  • cancelable if vi(S∪{g})>vi(T∪{g})v_i(S \cup \{g\}) > v_i(T \cup \{g\})vi​(S∪{g})>vi​(T∪{g}) implies vi(S)>vi(T)v_i(S) > v_i(T)vi​(S)>vi​(T), for all S,T⊆MS, T \subseteq MS,T⊆M and g∉S∪Tg \notin S \cup Tg∈/S∪T;
  • subadditive if vi(S∪T)≤vi(S)+vi(T)v_i(S \cup T) \le v_i(S) + v_i(T)vi​(S∪T)≤vi​(S)+vi​(T) for all S,TS, TS,T.

Additive, budget-additive (v(S)=min⁡(B,∑g∈Swg)v(S) = \min(B, \sum_{g \in S} w_g)v(S)=min(B,∑g∈S​wg​)) and unit-demand (v(S)=max⁡g∈Swgv(S) = \max_{g \in S} w_gv(S)=maxg∈S​wg​) valuations are subadditive and cancelable.

Each agent reports a preference ranking ≻i\succ_i≻i​, a total order on MMM. Round-Robin (Mechanism 1) runs k=⌈m/n⌉k = \lceil m/n \rceilk=⌈m/n⌉ rounds; in each round agents 1,…,n1, \dots, n1,…,n in turn receive the ≻i\succ_i≻i​-best good still available. It returns bundles (A1,…,An)=RR(≻)(A_1, \dots, A_n) = \mathrm{RR}(\succ)(A1​,…,An​)=RR(≻); the mechanism sees only the rankings. Write (≻i′,≻−i)(\succ'_i, \succ_{-i})(≻i′​,≻−i​) for the profile in which agent iii replaces her ranking by ≻i′\succ'_i≻i′​.

  • (Definition 2.3) An allocation is α\alphaα-EF1 with respect to (vi)(v_i)(vi​) if for all i,ji, ji,j with Aj≠∅A_j \ne \emptysetAj​=∅ there is g∈Ajg \in A_jg∈Aj​ with vi(Ai)≥α⋅vi(Aj∖{g})v_i(A_i) \ge \alpha \cdot v_i(A_j \setminus \{g\})vi​(Ai​)≥α⋅vi​(Aj​∖{g}).
  • (Definition 2.4) A profile ≻\succ≻ is an α\alphaα-approximate pure Nash equilibrium (PNE) if for every agent iii and every total order ≻i′\succ'_i≻i′​ of MMM, α⋅vi(RR(≻i′,≻−i)i)≤vi(RR(≻)i)\alpha \cdot v_i(\mathrm{RR}(\succ'_i, \succ_{-i})_i) \le v_i(\mathrm{RR}(\succ)_i)α⋅vi​(RR(≻i′​,≻−i​)i​)≤vi​(RR(≻)i​).

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem 4.5 (p. 18)

For α∈(0,1]\alpha \in (0, 1]α∈(0,1] and subadditive cancelable valuations v1,…,vnv_1, \dots, v_nv1​,…,vn​, every α\alphaα-approximate PNE ≻\succ≻ of Round-Robin satisfies: for all i,ji, ji,j with Aj≠∅A_j \ne \emptysetAj​=∅ there is g∈Ajg \in A_jg∈Aj​ with

vi(Ai)≥α2⋅vi(Aj∖{g}),(A1,…,An)=RR(≻).v_i(A_i) \ge \frac{\alpha}{2} \cdot v_i(A_j \setminus \{g\}), \qquad (A_1, \dots, A_n) = \mathrm{RR}(\succ).vi​(Ai​)≥2α​⋅vi​(Aj​∖{g}),(A1​,…,An​)=RR(≻).

Milestones (proof of Theorem 4.5, p. 21)

Fix agents i≠ji \ne ji=j, let ≻i′\succ'_i≻i′​ be a strict truthful ranking of iii (it puts ggg before g′g'g′ whenever vi({g})>vi({g′})v_i(\{g\}) > v_i(\{g'\})vi​({g})>vi​({g′})), let xrx_rxr​ be the good iii receives in round rrr of RR(≻i′,≻−i)\mathrm{RR}(\succ'_i, \succ_{-i})RR(≻i′​,≻−i​), list Aj={y1,…,yk}A_j = \{y_1, \dots, y_k\}Aj​={y1​,…,yk​} by allocation time in that run, and split Aj∖{y1}A_j \setminus \{y_1\}Aj​∖{y1​} into Y1={y3,y5,… }Y_1 = \{y_3, y_5, \dots\}Y1​={y3​,y5​,…} and Y2={y2,y4,… }Y_2 = \{y_2, y_4, \dots\}Y2​={y2​,y4​,…}, τℓ=∣Yℓ∣\tau_\ell = |Y_\ell|τℓ​=∣Yℓ​∣, each renamed (y1ℓ,…,yτℓℓ)(y^\ell_1, \dots, y^\ell_{\tau_\ell})(y1ℓ​,…,yτℓ​ℓ​) by Algorithm 3 (p. 11).

  1. Inequality (2) for the truthful deviation: vi(xr∣{x1,…,xr−1})≥vi(yrℓ∣{x1,…,xr−1})v_i(x_r \mid \{x_1, \dots, x_{r-1}\}) \ge v_i(y^\ell_r \mid \{x_1, \dots, x_{r-1}\})vi​(xr​∣{x1​,…,xr−1​})≥vi​(yrℓ​∣{x1​,…,xr−1​}) for ℓ∈{1,2}\ell \in \{1,2\}ℓ∈{1,2}, r∈[τℓ]r \in [\tau_\ell]r∈[τℓ​].
  2. Set domination: vi({x1,…,xτℓ})≥vi(Yℓ)v_i(\{x_1, \dots, x_{\tau_\ell}\}) \ge v_i(Y_\ell)vi​({x1​,…,xτℓ​​})≥vi​(Yℓ​) for ℓ∈{1,2}\ell \in \{1, 2\}ℓ∈{1,2}.
  3. Closing bound: at an α\alphaα-approximate PNE, vi(Aj∖{y1})≤2αvi(Ai)v_i(A_j \setminus \{y_1\}) \le \frac{2}{\alpha} v_i(A_i)vi​(Aj​∖{y1​})≤α2​vi​(Ai​).

The proof also uses three results of the same paper that are formalized in sibling missions of this series: Lemma 3.3 (p. 8, a pointwise-domination lemma for cancelable valuations), Lemma 4.6 and Lemma 4.7 (p. 19, counting the goods that the deviation can displace), and the parity split of Aj∖{y1}A_j \setminus \{y_1\}Aj​∖{y1​} (p. 20). They are not restated here.

Significance

The result. Theorem 4.5 says that strategic reporting costs Round-Robin at most a factor 2/α2/\alpha2/α in fairness, for a class that contains the additive, budget-additive and unit-demand valuations; at exact equilibria (α=1\alpha = 1α=1) the allocation is 1/21/21/2-EF1. Companion results of the paper give the existence of exact equilibria for cancelable valuations (Theorem 3.2), so the guarantee is not vacuous, and show that for two additive agents the right factor is α/(2−α)\alpha/(2-\alpha)α/(2−α) and is tight (Theorem 4.3). Since additive valuations are subadditive and cancelable, the best possible factor for this class lies between α/2\alpha/2α/2 and α/(2−α)\alpha/(2-\alpha)α/(2−α).

Formalizing it. The theorem is proved on paper; no machine-checked version exists. A formal proof requires making precise the coupling of two runs of Round-Robin — the equilibrium run and the run where one agent deviates — which the paper handles in prose. In the course of this formalization a step of the paper's argument was found to need repair (see Formalization scope), so a complete formal proof would also certify the statement itself.

Difficulty

The deviation of agent iii changes what every other agent receives, so AjA_jAj​ (from the equilibrium run) and Ai′A'_iAi′​ (from the deviated run) live in different executions and may share goods. Comparing them good by good requires controlling which goods were still available to iii at each of her turns in the deviated run; this is the content of Lemmas 4.6–4.7 and the parity split. The tempting step from the marginal comparison (2) to a comparison of singleton values, vi(xr)≥vi(yrℓ)v_i(x_r) \ge v_i(y^\ell_r)vi​(xr​)≥vi​(yrℓ​), via cancelability, fails when yrℓy^\ell_ryrℓ​ is one of x1,…,xr−1x_1, \dots, x_{r-1}x1​,…,xr−1​: then its marginal value is 000 and (2) carries no information about its singleton value. Algorithm 3 places such shared goods last, where this happens. A two-agent instance with additive valuations and eight goods exhibits the failure. The set inequality of milestone 2 has to be reached another way.

Formalization scope

Agents are Fin n with n ≥ 1; goods a finite type M with decidable equality; a valuation is a real function on Finset M, required to be normalized and non-decreasing. Rankings are duplicate-free lists containing every good, most preferred first; Round-Robin is defined step by step (step ttt belongs to agent t mod nt \bmod ntmodn), and agents' bundles collect the picks of their steps among the first mmm. The paper's standing assumption m=knm = knm=kn (p. 7, justified there by adding dummy goods) is a hypothesis of every theorem; the reduction is not formalized. The hypotheses 0<α≤10 < \alpha \le 10<α≤1 are those of the page. Algorithm 3 is encoded relationally (every tie-breaking is admitted), and strict truthful rankings admit every order among goods of equal singleton value; both choices make the milestones at least as strong as the paper's lexicographic versions. Milestones 1 and 2 do not assume the equilibrium (the paper does not use it there).

The formal statements rule out the trivializing readings: deviations in the equilibrium hypothesis range over total orders only (not arbitrary lists), α≤0\alpha \le 0α≤0 is excluded, EF1 is measured with the true valuations viv_ivi​ and not with the reports, and both subadditivity and cancelability are required of every agent.

On milestone 2. The page derives it through the intermediate claim vi(xr)≥vi(yrℓ)v_i(x_r) \ge v_i(y^\ell_r)vi​(xr​)≥vi​(yrℓ​), which is false in general (see Difficulty); the intermediate claim is therefore not posed. The set inequality itself held in every instance tested (400 000 random two-agent instances with additive and budget-additive valuations, and 26 000 random instances with two or three agents and additive, budget-additive, unit-demand and square-root-of-additive valuations), but the page's derivation of it is incomplete. Theorem 4.5 is not known to be affected.

Needed infrastructure: the Round-Robin execution (allocation sets after each step, the picks, bundles), lemmas relating two runs that differ in one ranking, and Lemma 2.2 (cancelable functions cancel any common disjoint set). The Round-Robin layer is shared with the sibling missions on Theorems 3.2, 3.7 and 4.4 and reusable for any picking-sequence mechanism. Contributions of any of these lemmas, of a repaired proof of milestone 2, or of a counterexample to it are welcome.

Selected references

  • G. Amanatidis, G. Birmpas, P. Lazos, S. Leonardi, R. Reiffenhäuser, Round-Robin Beyond Additive Agents: Existence and Fairness of Approximate Equilibria, arXiv:2301.13652v1, 2023; Mathematics of Operations Research, 2025. https://arxiv.org/abs/2301.13652
  • H. Aziz, P. Goldberg, T. Walsh, Equilibria in Sequential Allocation, ADT 2017, LNCS 10576, pp. 270–283, Springer (reference [8] of arXiv:2301.13652v1).
  • G. Amanatidis, G. Birmpas, F. Fusco, P. Lazos, S. Leonardi, R. Reiffenhäuser, Allocating Indivisible Goods to Strategic Agents: Pure Nash Equilibria and Fairness, WINE 2021. https://arxiv.org/abs/2109.08644
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Discrete GeometryHarmonic AnalysisMathematical Physics·Captain: vatsj

Thomson problem: N = 9, 10 and 32Open Problem

The problem

Place NNN distinct points x1,…,xNx_1,\dots,x_Nx1​,…,xN​ on the unit sphere in R3\mathbb{R}^3R3 to minimise the Coulomb energy

E(x)=∑i<j1∥xi−xj∥.E(x) = \sum_{i<j} \frac{1}{\lVert x_i - x_j\rVert}.E(x)=i<j∑​∥xi​−xj​∥1​.

Good configurations are easy to find numerically, but proving that one is the global minimum is hard. Rigorous proofs exist for only a few NNN:

  • N=2,3N = 2, 3N=2,3: classical.
  • N=4,6,12N = 4, 6, 12N=4,6,12: the Delsarte–Yudin linear-programming bound is exact (Yudin; Andreev; Cohn–Kumar).
  • N=5N = 5N=5: Schwartz, by a large computer-assisted search.
  • N=8N = 8N=8: Kryvonos–Liehr–Taylor; in Lean by Tooby-Smith–Zughaid.
  • N=7N = 7N=7: a Lean-verified proof by Hung Tran (package, write-up).

This mission

  • N=10N = 10N=10 (capped square antiprism) and N=9N = 9N=9 (tricapped trigonal prism) are stated as "some member of this one-parameter symmetric family is a global minimiser over all configurations", because the optimal parameter has no known closed form. No symmetry is assumed of competing configurations, and uniqueness is not required. N=10N = 10N=10 comes first: like N=7N = 7N=7 it has an antipodal pair of poles, which makes the case split easier.
  • N=32N = 32N=32 (an icosahedron nested with its dual dodecahedron) is the challenge. It is the numerically best-known configuration, but the standard bounds do not close the gap there, so a new idea is needed.

The shared lemmas (the distance formula, two-point positivity behind the Delsarte–Yudin bound, and three-point positivity behind the Bachoc–Vallentin and Cohn–Woo bounds) are stated once for reuse, along with well-posedness of each configuration.

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Dynamical SystemsGroup TheoryRepresentation Theory·Captain: Lucas

Spectral Gap Conjecture (Wikipedia): Random Elements of SU(2)Open Problem

Motivation

Finitely many rotations of the sphere generate a group whose orbits are typically dense. A basic quantitative question is how fast those orbits fill the sphere: after words of length ℓ\ellℓ in the generators, how uniformly are the points spread? The answer is controlled by the spectral gap of an averaging operator built from the generators. The question goes back to the Banach–Ruziewicz problem (uniqueness of rotation-invariant finitely additive measures on spheres), was studied by Lubotzky, Phillips and Sarnak in their work on distributing points on S2S^2S2 (LPS 1987), and was formulated as a conjecture about random generators by Gamburd, Jakobson and Sarnak. It also matters in quantum computing: a spectral gap for a gate set gives efficient approximation of every single-qubit gate by short gate sequences (Sawicki–Karnas 2017).

Timeline.

  • 1987 — Lubotzky, Phillips and Sarnak construct explicit rotations with optimal spectral gap using automorphic forms and pose the general question (LPS).
  • 2006 — Fisher proves a zero–one law: for n≥3n \ge 3n≥3 generators, either almost every nnn-tuple has a spectral gap or almost every nnn-tuple has none (Fisher, IMRN 2006, arXiv:math/0601050).
  • 2008 — Bourgain and Gamburd prove the spectral gap for elements of SU(2)SU(2)SU(2) with algebraic entries generating a free group (Invent. Math. 171).
  • 2012 — Bourgain and Gamburd extend this to dense subgroups of SU(d)SU(d)SU(d), d≥2d \ge 2d≥2, generated by finitely many elements with algebraic entries (JEMS 14, arXiv:1108.6264).

The tuples with algebraic entries form a Haar-null set, so the conjecture for random tuples remains open.

Setting

Let SU(d)SU(d)SU(d) be the group of complex d×dd\times dd×d matrices UUU with U∗U=UU∗=IU^*U = UU^* = IU∗U=UU∗=I and det⁡U=1\det U = 1detU=1, a compact group with its normalized Haar measure μd\mu_dμd​ (the unique left-invariant Borel probability measure). For g1,…,gn∈SU(d)g_1,\dots,g_n \in SU(d)g1​,…,gn​∈SU(d) the Hecke operator acts on functions f:SU(d)→Cf : SU(d) \to \mathbb Cf:SU(d)→C by

(zgf)(x)=∑j=1n(f(gjx)+f(gj−1x)).(z_g f)(x) = \sum_{j=1}^{n} \bigl( f(g_j x) + f(g_j^{-1} x) \bigr).(zg​f)(x)=j=1∑n​(f(gj​x)+f(gj−1​x)).

On L2(SU(d),μd)L^2(SU(d),\mu_d)L2(SU(d),μd​) it is bounded and self-adjoint, constants are eigenfunctions with eigenvalue 2n2n2n, and it preserves the space L02L^2_0L02​ of mean-zero functions. Writing λ1(zg)\lambda_1(z_g)λ1​(zg​) for the supremum of the spectrum of zgz_gzg​ on L02L^2_0L02​, one always has λ1≤2n\lambda_1 \le 2nλ1​≤2n, and zgz_gzg​ (or the tuple ggg) has a spectral gap when

λ1(zg)<2n.\lambda_1(z_g) < 2n .λ1​(zg​)<2n.

For SU(2)SU(2)SU(2), each UUU acts on the sphere S2S^2S2 by rotations, and zgz_gzg​ is the operator ϕU1+ϕU1−1+⋯+ϕUn+ϕUn−1\phi_{U_1} + \phi_{U_1}^{-1} + \dots + \phi_{U_n} + \phi_{U_n}^{-1}ϕU1​​+ϕU1​−1​+⋯+ϕUn​​+ϕUn​−1​ of the source.

Formalization targets

Goal: the spectral gap conjecture

For every n>2n > 2n>2, if U1,…,UnU_1,\dots,U_nU1​,…,Un​ are chosen independently and uniformly (Haar) at random in SU(2)SU(2)SU(2), then with probability 111

λ1(zU1,…,Un)<2n.\lambda_1\bigl(z_{U_1,\dots,U_n}\bigr) < 2n .λ1​(zU1​,…,Un​​)<2n.

Milestones from the literature

  1. Fisher's zero–one law (2006, Theorem 1.2): for n≥3n \ge 3n≥3, either almost every nnn-tuple has a spectral gap, or almost every nnn-tuple has none.
  2. Bourgain–Gamburd in SU(2)SU(2)SU(2) (2008): tuples with algebraic entries (up to simultaneous conjugation) that freely generate a free group of rank n≥2n\ge 2n≥2 have a spectral gap.
  3. Bourgain–Gamburd in SU(d)SU(d)SU(d) (2012, Theorem 1): for d≥2d \ge 2d≥2, tuples with algebraic entries generating a dense subgroup of SU(d)SU(d)SU(d) have a spectral gap.

By Fisher's law, the goal follows once a spectral gap is shown on a set of positive Haar measure.

Significance

A spectral gap for ggg means that random walks driven by g1±1,…,gn±1g_1^{\pm1},\dots,g_n^{\pm1}g1±1​,…,gn±1​ equidistribute in SU(2)SU(2)SU(2) (and orbits equidistribute on S2S^2S2) at an exponential rate, and that the action of the generated group on S2S^2S2 is strongly ergodic. In quantum computation it says that a universal single-qubit gate set is automatically efficiently universal. The conjecture asserts that this holds for a typical gate set, not just for the arithmetically special ones covered by Bourgain–Gamburd.

On the formal side, the milestones are proved theorems (Fisher; Bourgain–Gamburd) that have, to the knowledge of this proposal, no machine-checked proofs. Formalizing any of them requires substantial new libraries: Haar measure and harmonic analysis on SU(d)SU(d)SU(d), ergodicity of Aut(Fn)\mathrm{Aut}(F_n)Aut(Fn​) on Hom(Fn,SU(2))\mathrm{Hom}(F_n, SU(2))Hom(Fn​,SU(2)) (Goldman), and the arithmetic-combinatorial machinery of Bourgain–Gamburd. The goal itself is an open problem.

Difficulty

Spectral gap is not detected by density alone: every tuple generating a dense subgroup gives an ergodic action, but ergodicity only shows λ1\lambda_1λ1​ is not an eigenvalue, not that it is bounded away from 2n2n2n. Known proofs need either arithmetic structure (automorphic forms, or the algebraic entries used by Bourgain–Gamburd to rule out short relations that come too close to the identity) or rigidity (property (T)). A generic tuple has neither.

Formalization scope

  • SU(d)SU(d)SU(d) is Matrix.specialUnitaryGroup (Fin d) ℂ with the subspace topology and its Borel σ-algebra; it is shown to be a compact topological group, and haarSU d is the Haar measure normalized to total mass 111.
  • The Hecke operator acts on all functions f:SU(d)→Cf : SU(d) \to \mathbb Cf:SU(d)→C by the formula above.
  • "Spectral gap" is encoded through the quadratic form: there is ε>0\varepsilon > 0ε>0 such that Re⁡⟨zgf,f⟩≤(2n−ε) ∥f∥22\operatorname{Re}\langle z_g f, f\rangle \le (2n-\varepsilon)\,\|f\|_2^2Re⟨zg​f,f⟩≤(2n−ε)∥f∥22​ for every f∈L2f \in L^2f∈L2 with ∫f dμ=0\int f\,d\mu = 0∫fdμ=0. For a bounded self-adjoint operator this is exactly λ1<2n\lambda_1 < 2nλ1​<2n (one-sided gap, as in Fisher and Bourgain–Gamburd).
  • "Chosen uniformly at random" is the product Haar measure on SU(2)nSU(2)^nSU(2)n; "with probability 111" is an almost-everywhere statement.
  • The goal is stated on L2(SU(2))L^2(SU(2))L2(SU(2)), as in the source. The operator on L2(S2)L^2(S^2)L2(S2) is the restriction to a subrepresentation, so a gap on L02(SU(2))L^2_0(SU(2))L02​(SU(2)) implies a gap on L02(S2)L^2_0(S^2)L02​(S2). Fisher (2006, §1) remarks that the two versions of the conjecture are equivalent.
  • Trivializations are ruled out: for g1=⋯=gn=Ig_1=\dots=g_n=Ig1​=⋯=gn​=I the quadratic form equals 2n∥f∥22n\|f\|^22n∥f∥2, so no gap holds, and for n=0n=0n=0 the gap fails as well.

Useful reusable contributions include: basic harmonic analysis on compact groups (translation invariance in L2L^2L2, self-adjointness of zgz_gzg​), the Peter–Weyl decomposition of L2(SU(2))L^2(SU(2))L2(SU(2)), conjugation invariance of the gap, and monotonicity of the gap in the generating set.

Selected references

  • A. Lubotzky, R. Phillips, P. Sarnak, Hecke operators and distributing points on S2S^2S2. II, Comm. Pure Appl. Math. 40 (1987). https://doi.org/10.1002/cpa.3160400402
  • D. Fisher, Out(Fn)\mathrm{Out}(F_n)Out(Fn​) and the spectral gap conjecture, IMRN 2006. https://doi.org/10.1155/IMRN/2006/26028 (arXiv:math/0601050)
  • J. Bourgain, A. Gamburd, On the spectral gap for finitely-generated subgroups of SU(2)SU(2)SU(2), Invent. Math. 171 (2008). https://doi.org/10.1007/s00222-007-0072-z
  • J. Bourgain, A. Gamburd, A spectral gap theorem in SU(d)SU(d)SU(d), J. Eur. Math. Soc. 14 (2012). https://doi.org/10.4171/jems/337 (arXiv:1108.6264)
  • A. Sawicki, K. Karnas, Criteria for universality of quantum gates, Phys. Rev. A 95 (2017). https://doi.org/10.1103/PhysRevA.95.062303
  • Wikipedia, Spectral gap conjecture. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Spectral_gap_conjecture
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Quantum Information·Captain: Goku

Quantum Computing: Lecture Notes 10: HHL algorithm: gate-efficient QLSP solver with O((dκ²/ε) polylog) queries to P_A and O(dκ polylog) uses of P_BTextbook

Motivation

This mission develops Chapter 10 of Quantum Computing: Lecture Notes by Ronald de Wolf. The chapter's selected results describe the mathematical guarantees below.

Setting and conventions

The linked theorem statements and shared definitions specify the register types, oracle access, normalization, and resource conventions. Their source locators and independent readbacks accompany each target.

Chapter goal

This is the complexity theorem for the Harrow–Hassidim–Lloyd (HHL) algorithm for the quantum linear systems problem (QLSP), in the form of Childs, Kothari and Somma (2017), Theorem 2.

The problem. Let AAA be an N×NN\times NN×N Hermitian, invertible matrix with operator norm ∥A∥=1\|A\|=1∥A∥=1, condition number κ=σmax⁡(A)/σmin⁡(A)\kappa=\sigma_{\max}(A)/\sigma_{\min}(A)κ=σmax​(A)/σmin​(A) (known to the algorithm), and at most ddd nonzero entries in every row and every column. Let b⃗≠0\vec b\neq 0b=0 be a vector in CN\mathbb C^NCN and x⃗=A−1b⃗\vec x=A^{-1}\vec bx=A−1b, and write ∣b⟩=∑ibi∣i⟩/∥b⃗∥|b\rangle=\sum_i b_i|i\rangle/\|\vec b\|∣b⟩=∑i​bi​∣i⟩/∥b∥, ∣x⟩=∑ixi∣i⟩/∥x⃗∥|x\rangle=\sum_i x_i|i\rangle/\|\vec x\|∣x⟩=∑i​xi​∣i⟩/∥x∥, with indices held in n=⌈log⁡2N⌉n=\lceil\log_2 N\rceiln=⌈log2​N⌉ qubits. The matrix is accessed through a black box PAP_APA​ consisting of the two unitary maps

∣j,ℓ⟩↦∣j,ν(j,ℓ)⟩(j∈[N], ℓ∈[d]),∣j,k,z⟩↦∣j,k,z⊕Ajk⟩(j,k∈[N]),|j,\ell\rangle\mapsto|j,\nu(j,\ell)\rangle\quad(j\in[N],\ \ell\in[d]),\qquad |j,k,z\rangle\mapsto|j,k,z\oplus A_{jk}\rangle\quad(j,k\in[N]),∣j,ℓ⟩↦∣j,ν(j,ℓ)⟩(j∈[N], ℓ∈[d]),∣j,k,z⟩↦∣j,k,z⊕Ajk​⟩(j,k∈[N]),

where ν(j,ℓ)\nu(j,\ell)ν(j,ℓ) is the row index of the ℓ\ellℓ-th nonzero entry of column jjj and the entry AjkA_{jk}Ajk​ is written exactly as a bbb-bit string in a fixed encoding. The vector is accessed through a unitary black box PBP_BPB​ with PB∣0n⟩=∣b⟩P_B|0^n\rangle=|b\ranglePB​∣0n⟩=∣b⟩. A use of a black box (possibly controlled, possibly inverted) is one query; the gate complexity is the number of other 2-qubit gates. The goal is to output, with probability at least 1/21/21/2 and with a flag qubit indicating success, a state that is ε\varepsilonε-close in Euclidean norm to ∣x⟩|x\rangle∣x⟩.

The theorem. There are absolute constants C>0C>0C>0 and c∈Nc\in\mathbb Nc∈N, and for every entry encoding constants C′>0C'>0C′>0, c′∈Nc'\in\mathbb Nc′∈N, such that for all NNN, all d≥1d\ge1d≥1, κ≥1\kappa\ge1κ≥1 and 0<ε<10<\varepsilon<10<ε<1 there is a single quantum circuit, depending only on N,d,κ,εN,d,\kappa,\varepsilonN,d,κ,ε and the encoding, which solves every QLSP instance with these parameters, and whose number QQQ of queries to PAP_APA​ and number QBQ_BQB​ of uses of PBP_BPB​ satisfy

Q≤C dκ2ε(1+log⁡dκε)c,QB≤C dκ(1+log⁡dκε)c,Q\le C\,\frac{d\kappa^2}{\varepsilon}\Bigl(1+\log\frac{d\kappa}{\varepsilon}\Bigr)^{c},\qquad Q_B\le C\,d\kappa\Bigl(1+\log\frac{d\kappa}{\varepsilon}\Bigr)^{c},Q≤Cεdκ2​(1+logεdκ​)c,QB​≤Cdκ(1+logεdκ​)c,

and which is gate-efficient: its number GGG of 2-qubit gates satisfies

G≤C′ Q (1+log⁡Q+log⁡N)c′.G\le C'\,Q\,\bigl(1+\log Q+\log N\bigr)^{c'}.G≤C′Q(1+logQ+logN)c′.

Success means: started in ∣0⋯0⟩|0\cdots0\rangle∣0⋯0⟩ on a flag qubit, nnn output qubits and some number of work qubits, the final state has flag 111 with probability p≥1/2p\ge 1/2p≥1/2, and the normalized flag-111 branch is within Euclidean distance ε\varepsilonε of ∣1⟩∣x⟩∣g⟩|1\rangle|x\rangle|g\rangle∣1⟩∣x⟩∣g⟩ for some unit work-register state ∣g⟩|g\rangle∣g⟩.

This is the benchmark against which the later precision improvements (Theorems 3–5 of Childs–Kothari–Somma) and de Wolf's §10.3 singular-value-transformation algorithm are measured.

Formalization Note A ddd-sparse matrix with ∥A∥=1\|A\|=1∥A∥=1 automatically has d≥1d\ge1d≥1 and κ≥1\kappa\ge1κ≥1; these ranges are stated so that the logarithms are positive. The polylogarithmic factors poly(L)\mathrm{poly}(L)poly(L) with L>0L>0L>0 are written C(1+L)cC(1+L)^cC(1+L)c, which is equivalent. The gate-efficiency constants may depend on the fixed exact encoding dec:{0,1}b→C\mathrm{dec}:\{0,1\}^b\to\mathbb Cdec:{0,1}b→C of matrix entries, because the source treats the entry representation as exact and does not account for its arithmetic; the query constants do not. The source's assumption that PBP_BPB​ runs in time O(polylog⁡N)O(\mathrm{poly}\log N)O(polylogN) concerns the cost of PBP_BPB​, which is counted only through QBQ_BQB​. The theorem is vacuous for d>Nd>Nd>N (the column map cannot exist), where the bound for d=Nd=Nd=N is stronger anyway. The output may differ from ∣x⟩|x\rangle∣x⟩ by a global phase, absorbed into the work-register state.

Significance

These are known mathematical results. Their Lean statements have been checked and reviewed against the cited source; formal proofs remain open for contributors.

Supporting targets

  • Problem 1 (p.3) and Theorem 2 (p.4); de Wolf §10.2–10.3, PDF p.96: HHL algorithm: gate-efficient QLSP solver with O((dκ²/ε) polylog) queries to P_A and O(dκ polylog) uses of P_B.

Formalization scope

Prove the existing statements under their stated hypotheses and definitions. Any correction to a printed source claim remains explicit in its target description. All listed target proofs are currently sorry; no proof is claimed. The mission goal is the designated chapter capstone; the remaining targets are separate milestones. Parts a, b, c and d are merged into their original chapter.

Selected references

  • Ronald de Wolf, Quantum Computing: Lecture Notes, 27 August 2026. https://homepages.cwi.nl/~rdewolf/qcnotes.pdf.
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Quantum Information·Captain: Goku

Quantum Computing: Lecture Notes 20: Gottesman–Knill: measurement-controlled Clifford circuits are efficiently classically simulableTextbook

Motivation

This mission develops Chapter 20 of Quantum Computing: Lecture Notes by Ronald de Wolf. The chapter's selected results describe the mathematical guarantees below.

Setting and conventions

The linked theorem statements and shared definitions specify the register types, oracle access, normalization, and resource conventions. Their source locators and independent readbacks accompany each target.

Chapter goal

This is the Gottesman–Knill theorem.

Let Pn={±1,±i}⋅{I,X,Y,Z}⊗n\mathcal P_n=\{\pm1,\pm i\}\cdot\{I,X,Y,Z\}^{\otimes n}Pn​={±1,±i}⋅{I,X,Y,Z}⊗n be the nnn-qubit Pauli group. A measurement-controlled Clifford circuit family F={Cn}F=\{C_n\}F={Cn​} consists, for each number of qubits nnn, of a sequence of at most s(n)s(n)s(n) operations, sss a polynomial, each of which is a Pauli gate, a Hadamard gate HHH, the phase gate S=diag(1,i)S=\mathrm{diag}(1,i)S=diag(1,i), a CNOT gate, or the projective measurement of a Pauli M∈{I,X,Y,Z}⊗nM\in\{I,X,Y,Z\}^{\otimes n}M∈{I,X,Y,Z}⊗n with projectors M±=(I±M)/2M_\pm=(I\pm M)/2M±​=(I±M)/2. The next operation is computed from nnn, a string rrr of q(n)q(n)q(n) uniformly random bits (qqq a polynomial) and the outcomes of the earlier measurements by a classical polynomial-time algorithm. Running CnC_nCn​ on the computational basis state ∣x⟩|x\rangle∣x⟩, x∈{0,1}nx\in\{0,1\}^nx∈{0,1}n, produces a random final pure state ∣ψ⟩|\psi\rangle∣ψ⟩; write DF(n,x)\mathcal D_F(n,x)DF​(n,x) for the distribution of its density matrix ∣ψ⟩⟨ψ∣|\psi\rangle\langle\psi|∣ψ⟩⟨ψ∣.

A stabilizer description (tableau) is a list P(1),…,P(n)∈PnP^{(1)},\dots,P^{(n)}\in\mathcal P_nP(1),…,P(n)∈Pn​ with phases ±1\pm1±1 that pairwise commute, are independent (none is a phase times a product of the others) and do not generate −I-I−I; it describes the state with density matrix ∏j=1n12(I+P(j))\prod_{j=1}^n \tfrac12(I+P^{(j)})∏j=1n​21​(I+P(j)).

Theorem. For every measurement-controlled Clifford circuit family FFF there is a randomized classical polynomial-time algorithm AAA such that for every nnn and every x∈{0,1}nx\in\{0,1\}^nx∈{0,1}n:

  1. every possible output of AAA on input (n,x)(n,x)(n,x) is the encoding of a stabilizer description T=(P(1),…,P(n))T=(P^{(1)},\dots,P^{(n)})T=(P(1),…,P(n));
  2. the distribution of the described state satisfies
Pr⁡A[∏j=1n12(I+P(j))=ρ]=Pr⁡DF(n,x)[∣ψ⟩⟨ψ∣=ρ]for every matrix ρ.\Pr_{A}\Big[\textstyle\prod_{j=1}^n \tfrac12\big(I+P^{(j)}\big)=\rho\Big]=\Pr_{\mathcal D_F(n,x)}\big[|\psi\rangle\langle\psi|=\rho\big]\quad\text{for every matrix }\rho .APr​[∏j=1n​21​(I+P(j))=ρ]=PrDF​(n,x)​[∣ψ⟩⟨ψ∣=ρ]for every matrix ρ.

Thus Clifford circuits with intermediate Pauli measurements and classical (randomized) control, started on a basis state, can be sampled exactly by a classical computer; the quantum advantage requires non-Clifford resources such as the TTT gate.

Formalization Note The source says the simulator is "given C"; following its own remark on p.187 that one strictly has to speak of families {Cn}\{C_n\}{Cn​}, the simulator is fixed for the family (chosen before nnn and xxx) and receives (n,x)(n,x)(n,x) encoded as a bit string. Polynomial time is the Turing-machine notion PolyTimeComputable of this repository, applied to the input followed by a uniformly random string of polynomial length. Distributions over states are compared via density matrices, so the global phase is ignored, as in the source's footnote 3 on p.185.

Significance

These are known mathematical results. Their Lean statements have been checked and reviewed against the cited source; formal proofs remain open for contributors.

Supporting targets

  • §20.3, Theorem 6: Gottesman–Knill: measurement-controlled Clifford circuits are efficiently classically simulable.
  • §20.3, Theorem 6: Gottesman–Knill: measurement-controlled Clifford circuits are efficiently classically simulable.

Formalization scope

Prove the existing statements under their stated hypotheses and definitions. Any correction to a printed source claim remains explicit in its target description. All listed target proofs are currently sorry; no proof is claimed. The mission goal is the designated chapter capstone; the remaining targets are separate milestones. Parts a, b, c and d are merged into their original chapter.

Selected references

  • Ronald de Wolf, Quantum Computing: Lecture Notes, 27 August 2026. https://homepages.cwi.nl/~rdewolf/qcnotes.pdf.
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Quantum Error CorrectionQuantum Information·Captain: Goku

Stabilizer Codes and Quantum Error Correction 7: The quantum capacity of the erasure channel is max(0, 1 − 2p)Textbook

Motivation

This mission develops Chapter 7 of Stabilizer Codes and Quantum Error Correction by Daniel Gottesman. The chapter's selected results describe the mathematical guarantees below.

Setting and conventions

The linked theorem statements and shared definitions specify the register types, oracle access, normalization, and resource conventions. Their source locators and independent readbacks accompany each target.

Chapter goal

Fix an erasure probability p∈[0,1]p \in [0,1]p∈[0,1]. The qubit erasure channel Np\mathcal N_pNp​ acts independently on each qubit sent: with probability 1−p1-p1−p the qubit passes unchanged together with a classical flag 000, and with probability ppp it is replaced by the maximally mixed state I/2I/2I/2 together with the flag 111, so that the receiver knows which qubits were erased. On nnn qubits the channel is Np⊗n\mathcal N_p^{\otimes n}Np⊗n​.

A rate R∈RR \in \mathbb RR∈R is achievable (for quantum codes, equivalently one-way entanglement purification) if for every ε>0\varepsilon > 0ε>0 and δ>0\delta > 0δ>0 there is N0N_0N0​ such that for every n≥N0n \ge N_0n≥N0​ there are a number k≥(R−δ)nk \ge (R-\delta)nk≥(R−δ)n of logical qubits, an encoding quantum channel E\mathcal EE from kkk qubits to nnn qubits and a decoding quantum channel D\mathcal DD from the channel output (qubits and erasure flags) to kkk qubits with

Fe(D∘Np⊗n∘E)≥1−ε,F_e\big(\mathcal D \circ \mathcal N_p^{\otimes n} \circ \mathcal E\big) \ge 1 - \varepsilon,Fe​(D∘Np⊗n​∘E)≥1−ε,

where Fe(Φ)=⟨Φk∣(id⊗Φ)(∣Φk⟩⟨Φk∣)∣Φk⟩F_e(\Phi) = \langle \Phi_k | (\mathrm{id} \otimes \Phi)(|\Phi_k\rangle\langle \Phi_k|) | \Phi_k \rangleFe​(Φ)=⟨Φk​∣(id⊗Φ)(∣Φk​⟩⟨Φk​∣)∣Φk​⟩ is the entanglement fidelity with respect to the maximally entangled state ∣Φk⟩|\Phi_k\rangle∣Φk​⟩ of two kkk-qubit registers. The theorem states that the quantum capacity of the erasure channel is max⁡(0,1−2p)\max(0, 1-2p)max(0,1−2p), in the strong form that the set of achievable rates is exactly

{R:R achievable for Np}=(−∞, max⁡(0,1−2p)].\{R : R \text{ achievable for } \mathcal N_p\} = \big(-\infty,\ \max(0, 1-2p)\big].{R:R achievable for Np​}=(−∞, max(0,1−2p)].

In particular every rate below 1−2p1-2p1−2p is achievable (random stabilizer codes), no rate above 1−2p1-2p1−2p is (a no-cloning argument), and for p≥1/2p \ge 1/2p≥1/2 the capacity is zero.

Formalization Note The supremum of achievable rates is not written as a real sSup (which would be junk on an empty or unbounded set); instead the achievable set itself is characterized. Because the definition of achievability already has the slack δ\deltaδ, the achievable set is closed, so the capacity max⁡(0,1−2p)\max(0,1-2p)max(0,1−2p) is itself an achievable rate. The author's errata note that the thesis's proof of the upper bound assumes there is no superadditivity when a noiseless channel is added to a zero-rate channel; the theorem itself is the established value (Bennett–DiVincenzo–Smolin).

Significance

These are known mathematical results. Their Lean statements have been checked and reviewed against the cited source; formal proofs remain open for contributors.

Supporting targets

  • §7.5: The quantum capacity of the erasure channel is max(0, 1 − 2p).

Formalization scope

Prove the existing statements under their stated hypotheses and definitions. Any correction to a printed source claim remains explicit in its target description. All listed target proofs are currently sorry; no proof is claimed. The mission goal is the designated chapter capstone; the remaining targets are separate milestones. Parts a, b, c and d are merged into their original chapter.

Selected references

  • Daniel Gottesman, Stabilizer Codes and Quantum Error Correction, 1997 thesis, downloaded arXiv v1 PDF; PDF title page now prints 2024. https://arxiv.org/pdf/quant-ph/9705052v1.
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🏆Completed
Dynamic ProgrammingMarkov ChainOperations Research+1·Captain: mikedeng1

Robust Markov Decision Processes: Beyond Rectangularity 1: Under r-Rectangular Factor Uncertainty, Robust Value Iteration Converges to the Optimal Worst-Case Value, Attained by a Deterministic PolicyResearch Paper

Motivation

A Markov decision process (MDP) is optimized for a transition kernel that, in practice, is estimated from data, and the optimal policy for the estimated kernel can perform poorly under small perturbations of it. The robust MDP approach replaces the single kernel by an uncertainty set of kernels and asks for the policy with the best worst-case expected reward. It goes back to Satia and Lave (1973).

Whether a robust MDP is tractable depends on the shape of the uncertainty set.

  • 2005. Iyengar and Nilim and El Ghaoui treat (s,a)-rectangular sets, in which every row PsaP_{sa}Psa​ is chosen independently. An optimal robust policy is stationary and deterministic, and robust value iteration computes it.
  • 2013. Wiesemann, Kuhn and Rustem treat s-rectangular sets. Optimal robust policies are stationary but may need randomization. For general uncertainty sets, computing an optimal robust policy is strongly NP-hard.
  • 2018. Goh et al. introduce factor-based uncertainty for a medical cost-effectiveness application and evaluate the worst case of a fixed policy.
  • 2021–2023. Goyal and Grand-Clément compute optimal robust policies for factor uncertainty with independent factors. This mission formalizes that result.

Rectangular sets let the adversary choose the transitions out of different states independently, which is conservative when all transitions depend on a few common factors, such as a patient's physiology across health states. Factor uncertainty couples the states, and it is the first coupled model in which an optimal robust policy can still be computed.

Setting

There are finite sets of states S\mathbb SS and actions A\mathbb AA, with S=∣S∣S = |\mathbb S|S=∣S∣ and A=∣A∣A=|\mathbb A|A=∣A∣. The rewards satisfy rsa≥0r_{sa}\ge 0rsa​≥0, p0p_0p0​ is an initial distribution on S\mathbb SS, and λ∈(0,1)\lambda\in(0,1)λ∈(0,1) is the discount factor. Fix rrr factors indexed by [r][r][r] and coefficients usai≥0u^i_{sa}\ge0usai​≥0 with ∑iusai=1\sum_i u^i_{sa}=1∑i​usai​=1. A factor matrix W=(w1,…,wr)W=(w_1,\dots,w_r)W=(w1​,…,wr​) has probability vectors wiw_iwi​ on S\mathbb SS as columns, and it induces the kernel

Psas′=∑i=1rusai wi,s′.P_{sas'}=\sum_{i=1}^r u^i_{sa}\,w_{i,s'} .Psas′​=i=1∑r​usai​wi,s′​.

The uncertainty set is a nonempty convex compact set W\mathcal WW of factor matrices. It is r-rectangular if W=W1×⋯×Wr\mathcal W=\mathcal W^1\times\cdots\times\mathcal W^rW=W1×⋯×Wr, so that each factor is chosen independently of the others.

A stationary policy π∈Π\pi\in\Piπ∈Π gives a distribution πs\pi_sπs​ on A\mathbb AA at each state. It is deterministic if each πs\pi_sπs​ is a point mass. Write rπ=(∑aπsarsa)sr_\pi=(\sum_a\pi_{sa}r_{sa})_srπ​=(∑a​πsa​rsa​)s​ and Tπ=(∑aπsausai)s,iT_\pi=(\sum_a \pi_{sa}u^i_{sa})_{s,i}Tπ​=(∑a​πsa​usai​)s,i​. The decision maker's value function and the expected discounted reward are

vπ,W=∑t≥0λt(TπW⊤)trπ,R(π,W)=p0⊤vπ,W.v^{\pi,W}=\sum_{t\ge0}\lambda^t (T_\pi W^\top)^t r_\pi, \qquad R(\pi,W)=p_0^\top v^{\pi,W}.vπ,W=t≥0∑​λt(Tπ​W⊤)trπ​,R(π,W)=p0⊤​vπ,W.

The policy evaluation problem computes z(π)=min⁡W∈WR(π,W)z(\pi)=\min_{W\in\mathcal W}R(\pi,W)z(π)=minW∈W​R(π,W). The policy improvement problem computes z∗=max⁡π∈Πz(π)z^*=\max_{\pi\in\Pi}z(\pi)z∗=maxπ∈Π​z(π). Let

F(v)s=max⁡a∈A{rsa+λ∑i=1rusaimin⁡wi∈Wiwi⊤v}.F(v)_s=\max_{a\in\mathbb A}\Big\{r_{sa}+\lambda\sum_{i=1}^r u^i_{sa}\min_{w_i\in\mathcal W^i}w_i^\top v\Big\}.F(v)s​=a∈Amax​{rsa​+λi=1∑r​usai​wi​∈Wimin​wi⊤​v}.

Algorithm VI-PI is the iteration v0=0v^0=0v0=0, vk+1=F(vk)v^{k+1}=F(v^k)vk+1=F(vk).

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem 5.1, by its mathematical content

Assume W\mathcal WW is r-rectangular. Then FFF has a unique fixed point v∗v^*v∗, and

z∗=max⁡π∈Πmin⁡W∈WR(π,W)=p0⊤v∗,vk→v∗.z^*=\max_{\pi\in\Pi}\min_{W\in\mathcal W}R(\pi,W)=p_0^\top v^*,\qquad v^k\to v^* .z∗=π∈Πmax​W∈Wmin​R(π,W)=p0⊤​v∗,vk→v∗.

Write θ(ε)=ε(1−λ)(2λ)−1\theta(\varepsilon)=\varepsilon(1-\lambda)(2\lambda)^{-1}θ(ε)=ε(1−λ)(2λ)−1. If ∥vk+1−vk∥∞<θ(ε)\|v^{k+1}-v^k\|_\infty<\theta(\varepsilon)∥vk+1−vk∥∞​<θ(ε), then ∥vk+1−v∗∥∞≤ε\|v^{k+1}-v^*\|_\infty\le\varepsilon∥vk+1−v∗∥∞​≤ε, and the deterministic policy that VI-PI computes at that iteration is ε\varepsilonε-optimal. The test is passed as soon as λkmax⁡r<θ(ε)\lambda^k\max r<\theta(\varepsilon)λkmaxr<θ(ε).

Milestones

The milestones follow the paper's route to the goal.

  1. The adversary's Bellman recursion (Proposition 3.1).
  2. The identity W⊤vπ,W=βπ,WW^\top v^{\pi,W}=\beta^{\pi,W}W⊤vπ,W=βπ,W (Lemma 4.3).
  3. The resolvent and linear-programming forms of z(π)z(\pi)z(π) (Lemmas A.2, A.3).
  4. The monotone contraction φ(π,⋅)\varphi(\pi,\cdot)φ(π,⋅) (Appendix A).
  5. The reformulation of z(π)z(\pi)z(π) with constraints βi≤min⁡wiwi⊤(rπ+λTπβ)\beta_i\le\min_{w_i}w_i^\top(r_\pi+\lambda T_\pi\beta)βi​≤minwi​​wi⊤​(rπ​+λTπ​β) (Lemma 3.3).
  6. The existence of a deterministic optimal robust policy (Lemma 4.1).
  7. The saddle point and the min-max duality (Theorem 4.2):
max⁡π∈Πmin⁡W∈WR(π,W)=min⁡W∈Wmax⁡π∈ΠR(π,W).\max_{\pi\in\Pi}\min_{W\in\mathcal W}R(\pi,W)=\min_{W\in\mathcal W}\max_{\pi\in\Pi}R(\pi,W).π∈Πmax​W∈Wmin​R(π,W)=W∈Wmin​π∈Πmax​R(π,W).
  1. The monotone contraction FFF (Lemma E.1).
  2. The fixed-point equation (5.1).

Theorem 3.2, the policy-evaluation analogue of the goal (Algorithm VI-PE), is included as a further item.

Significance

The theorem shows that factor uncertainty, in which transitions out of different states are coupled, is as tractable as (s,a)-rectangular uncertainty, provided the factors are independent. An optimal robust policy exists among deterministic stationary policies, the robust and nominal problems share a saddle point, and value iteration on a λ\lambdaλ-contraction computes the robust value. The structure is also what the companion mission builds on: the robust maximum principle and robust Blackwell optimality are derived from (5.1) and Theorem 4.2.

The results are proved in the paper. None of them is formalized: no factor-matrix robust MDP exists in Lean. The platform's robust-MDP items for (s,a)-rectangular sets (Nilim–El Ghaoui, Iyengar) and s-rectangular sets (Wiesemann et al.) are other uncertainty models and do not specialize to this one. A formal proof would also check a printed statement, since one clause of Theorem 4.2 needs correcting (see below).

Difficulty

The obvious argument writes a robust Bellman equation state by state and appeals to the contraction principle. Here that argument fails. Under factor uncertainty the adversary cannot choose the transitions out of each state separately, because one factor wiw_iwi​ enters every row PsaP_{sa}Psa​ with usai>0u^i_{sa}>0usai​>0. Minimizing state by state therefore yields kernels that need not come from a single feasible WWW. The decision maker's equation for vvv does not close on its own.

The step that requires care links two dynamic programs, the decision maker's over S\mathbb SS and the adversary's over [r][r][r], and shows that factor-wise minimization is feasible. That is where r-rectangularity enters. The paper's Appendix A gives an instance in which the factor-wise minimizers are infeasible once a constraint couples the factors.

Formalization scope

  • States and actions are arbitrary finite types. A\mathbb AA is nonempty, and S\mathbb SS is nonempty because p0p_0p0​ is a distribution. Factors are indexed by Fin r (0-based).
  • W\mathcal WW is a set of maps Fin r → S → ℝ whose values are probability vectors. It is nonempty, convex and compact. Nonemptiness is implicit in the paper and explicit here. Wi\mathcal W^iWi is the projection of W\mathcal WW, and r-rectangularity is a hypothesis (IsRRect). Proposition 3.1, Lemmas 4.3, A.2 and A.3, and both contraction statements are stated without it. Lemma 3.3 is stated with it, since it is false without it.
  • Rewards are nonnegative, as on p. 1. The discount satisfies 0<λ<10<\lambda<10<λ<1 in every statement.
  • vπ,Wv^{\pi,W}vπ,W and the adversary's value βπ,W\beta^{\pi,W}βπ,W are discounted sums, never solutions of a Bellman equation by definition. Defining them as fixed points would make Proposition 3.1, Lemma 4.3 and (5.1) true by definition.
  • Every min and max is attained. Statements use IsLeast/IsGreatest, and Lemma A.2 states the invertibility of I−λW⊤TπI-\lambda W^\top T_\piI−λW⊤Tπ​, because Lean's matrix inverse is 000 on singular matrices.
  • FFF is stated with a maximum over actions. The paper (p. 10) says this is equivalent to its maximum over πs∈Δ\pi_s\in\Deltaπs​∈Δ. Lemma E.1 and the contraction of φ\varphiφ are stated on all of RS\mathbb R^SRS and Rr\mathbb R^rRr.
  • Not formalized: the count of arithmetic operations in Theorems 3.2 and 5.1, and the ε\varepsilonε-optimization oracle of Assumption 2.4 that it counts. The iteration count is stated explicitly instead.
  • Corrections. The paper states (4.6) for every robust solution (π∗,W∗)(\pi^*,W^*)(π∗,W∗) with π∗\pi^*π∗ deterministic. That claim is false: a two-state instance has every policy robust-optimal, yet one robust solution is not nominally optimal against its own W∗W^*W∗. Theorem 4.2 and (5.1) are stated in existence form, which is the form the proof of Theorem 5.1 uses.
  • A goal that kept only the convergence vk→v∗v^k\to v^*vk→v∗ would be a different and weaker theorem. The goal also requires z∗=p0⊤v∗z^*=p_0^\top v^*z∗=p0⊤​v∗, the stopping rule, and the ε\varepsilonε-optimality of the computed deterministic policy.

Reusable infrastructure includes the discounted value of a stationary policy for a stochastic matrix, monotone sup-norm contractions with the standard stopping rule, and minimization of linear forms over compact sets. Contributions to any of these are welcome.

Selected references

  • V. Goyal, J. Grand-Clément, Robust Markov Decision Processes: Beyond Rectangularity, Mathematics of Operations Research, 2023; preprint arXiv:1811.00215v8, 2021 (the version formalized). https://arxiv.org/abs/1811.00215 · https://doi.org/10.1287/moor.2022.1259
  • A. Nilim, L. El Ghaoui, Robust control of Markov decision processes with uncertain transition probabilities, Operations Research 53(5), 2005. https://doi.org/10.1287/opre.1050.0216
  • G. Iyengar, Robust dynamic programming, Mathematics of Operations Research 30(2), 2005. https://doi.org/10.1287/moor.1040.0129
  • W. Wiesemann, D. Kuhn, B. Rustem, Robust Markov decision processes, Mathematics of Operations Research 38(1), 2013. https://doi.org/10.1287/moor.1120.0566
  • J. Goh, M. Bayati, S. A. Zenios, S. Singh, D. Moore, Data uncertainty in Markov chains: application to cost-effectiveness analyses of medical innovations, Operations Research 66(3), 2018. https://doi.org/10.1287/opre.2017.1685
  • J. K. Satia, R. L. Lave, Markov decision processes with uncertain transition probabilities, Operations Research 21(3), 1973. https://doi.org/10.1287/opre.21.3.728
  • M. L. Puterman, Markov Decision Processes: Discrete Stochastic Dynamic Programming, Wiley, 1994.
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Convex OptimizationOperations ResearchOptimization+1·Captain: mikedeng1

A Distributionally Robust Perspective on Uncertainty Quantification and Chance Constrained Programming: Individual Chance Constraints over Markov Ambiguity Sets Are Finite Conic SystemsResearch Paper

Motivation

Many engineering and operations problems must guarantee that a system operates safely with high probability, when the uncertain parameters z~\tilde zz~ are only partially known. A chance constraint asks that the safety condition Sz~≤tS\tilde z \le tSz~≤t hold with probability at least 1−ϵ1-\epsilon1−ϵ for a tolerance ϵ∈(0,1)\epsilon \in (0,1)ϵ∈(0,1). When the distribution of z~\tilde zz~ is itself uncertain, the distributionally robust version asks this for every distribution in an ambiguity set P\mathcal PP built from what is known: moments, supports, confidence regions. Two problems then arise: computing the worst-case probability inf⁡P∈PP[Sz~≤t]\inf_{\mathbb P \in \mathcal P}\mathbb P[S\tilde z \le t]infP∈P​P[Sz~≤t] (uncertainty quantification), and optimizing a design xxx under the constraint inf⁡P∈PP[S(x)z~≤t(x)]≥1−ϵ\inf_{\mathbb P \in \mathcal P}\mathbb P[S(x)\tilde z \le t(x)] \ge 1-\epsiloninfP∈P​P[S(x)z~≤t(x)]≥1−ϵ (chance constrained programming).

Hanasusanto, Roitch, Kuhn and Wiesemann (Math. Program. 151, 2015) chart which combinations of ambiguity sets and constraint structures admit exact finite reformulations and which are strongly NP-hard. This mission takes the positive core of that chart: for Markov ambiguity sets (first-order moment information plus a conic support), the worst-case probability is the value of a finite conic program, and an individual chance constraint is equivalent to a finite system of linear conic inequalities.

Timeline. Chebyshev-type bounds for worst-case probabilities under moment information go back to the generalized Chebyshev inequalities of Vandenberghe, Boyd and Comanor (2007), and to the duality theory of moment problems summarized by Shapiro (2001). Wiesemann, Kuhn and Sim (2014) introduced the nested conic ambiguity sets used here to evaluate worst-case expectations. Hanasusanto et al. (2015) applied them to worst-case probabilities of polytopes and to chance constraints, proving Theorem 3 (moment problem reformulation) and Theorem 7 (individual chance constraints over Markov sets), together with strong NP-hardness results, such as Theorem 8, showing that the restrictions cannot be dropped.

Setting

Let z~∈RP\tilde z \in \mathbb R^Pz~∈RP be the uncertain parameters and u~∈RQ\tilde u \in \mathbb R^Qu~∈RQ an auxiliary random vector. Fix A∈RK×PA \in \mathbb R^{K\times P}A∈RK×P, B∈RK×QB \in \mathbb R^{K\times Q}B∈RK×Q, b∈RKb \in \mathbb R^Kb∈RK, and a confidence set

C1={(z,u):C1z+D1u≼K1d1},\mathcal C_1 = \{(z,u) : C_1 z + D_1 u \preccurlyeq_{\mathcal K_1} d_1\},C1​={(z,u):C1​z+D1​u≼K1​​d1​},

where C1∈RL1×PC_1 \in \mathbb R^{L_1\times P}C1​∈RL1​×P, D1∈RL1×QD_1 \in \mathbb R^{L_1\times Q}D1​∈RL1​×Q, d1∈RL1d_1 \in \mathbb R^{L_1}d1​∈RL1​ and K1\mathcal K_1K1​ is a proper cone (closed, convex, pointed, with nonempty interior); x≼Kyx \preccurlyeq_{\mathcal K} yx≼K​y means y−x∈Ky - x \in \mathcal Ky−x∈K, and K1⋆={y:x⊤y≥0 ∀x∈K1}\mathcal K_1^\star = \{y : x^\top y \ge 0\ \forall x \in \mathcal K_1\}K1⋆​={y:x⊤y≥0 ∀x∈K1​} is the dual cone. The Markov ambiguity set is

P={P:EP[Az~+Bu~]=b, P[(z~,u~)∈C1]=1},\mathcal P = \{\mathbb P : \mathbb E_{\mathbb P}[A\tilde z + B\tilde u] = b,\ \mathbb P[(\tilde z,\tilde u) \in \mathcal C_1] = 1\},P={P:EP​[Az~+Bu~]=b, P[(z~,u~)∈C1​]=1},

the case I=1I = 1I=1, p‾1=p‾1=1\underline p_1 = \overline p_1 = 1p​1​=p​1​=1 of the paper's nested set (4).

Two regularity notions enter. C1\mathcal C_1C1​ is essentially strictly feasible if it contains a point satisfying all non-polyhedral constraints of its description strictly. The Slater condition (S) for I=1I = 1I=1 requires bbb to lie in the interior of {Az+Bu:(z,u)∈C1}\{Az + Bu : (z,u) \in \mathcal C_1\}{Az+Bu:(z,u)∈C1​}.

For the safety system Sz~≤tS\tilde z \le tSz~≤t with rows sj⊤s_j^\topsj⊤​, j∈J={1,…,J}j \in \mathcal J = \{1,\dots,J\}j∈J={1,…,J}, let L={j:∃(z,u)∈C1, sj⊤z>tj}\mathcal L = \{j : \exists (z,u) \in \mathcal C_1,\ s_j^\top z > t_j\}L={j:∃(z,u)∈C1​, sj⊤​z>tj​} be the rows that can be violated on C1\mathcal C_1C1​. Problem (17) at I=1I = 1I=1 maximizes b⊤γ+p‾1λ−p‾1κb^\top\gamma + \underline p_1\lambda - \overline p_1\kappab⊤γ+p​1​λ−p​1​κ over γ∈RK\gamma \in \mathbb R^Kγ∈RK, λ,κ≥0\lambda,\kappa \ge 0λ,κ≥0, ϕ∈K1⋆\phi \in \mathcal K_1^\starϕ∈K1⋆​ and, for j∈Lj \in \mathcal Lj∈L, τj≥0\tau_j \ge 0τj​≥0, ψj∈K1⋆\psi_j \in \mathcal K_1^\starψj​∈K1⋆​, subject to λ−κ+d1⊤ϕ≤1\lambda - \kappa + d_1^\top\phi \le 1λ−κ+d1⊤​ϕ≤1, A⊤γ=C1⊤ϕA^\top\gamma = C_1^\top\phiA⊤γ=C1⊤​ϕ, B⊤γ=D1⊤ϕB^\top\gamma = D_1^\top\phiB⊤γ=D1⊤​ϕ and, for j∈Lj \in \mathcal Lj∈L, λ−κ+d1⊤ψj−τjtj≤0\lambda - \kappa + d_1^\top\psi_j - \tau_j t_j \le 0λ−κ+d1⊤​ψj​−τj​tj​≤0, A⊤γ+τjsj=C1⊤ψjA^\top\gamma + \tau_j s_j = C_1^\top\psi_jA⊤γ+τj​sj​=C1⊤​ψj​, B⊤γ=D1⊤ψjB^\top\gamma = D_1^\top\psi_jB⊤γ=D1⊤​ψj​.

For an individual constraint (J=1J = 1J=1) write s⊤z~≤ts^\top\tilde z \le ts⊤z~≤t. System (26) asks for β∈R\beta \in \mathbb Rβ∈R, γ∈RK\gamma \in \mathbb R^Kγ∈RK, ϕ,ψ∈K1⋆\phi,\psi \in \mathcal K_1^\starϕ,ψ∈K1⋆​, τ≥0\tau \ge 0τ≥0 with

β+b⊤γ≥(1−ϵ)τ,  β+d1⊤ϕ≤τ,  β+d1⊤ψ≤t,  A⊤γ=C1⊤ϕ,  B⊤γ=D1⊤ϕ,  A⊤γ+s=C1⊤ψ,  B⊤γ=D1⊤ψ.\beta + b^\top\gamma \ge (1-\epsilon)\tau,\ \ \beta + d_1^\top\phi \le \tau,\ \ \beta + d_1^\top\psi \le t,\ \ A^\top\gamma = C_1^\top\phi,\ \ B^\top\gamma = D_1^\top\phi,\ \ A^\top\gamma + s = C_1^\top\psi,\ \ B^\top\gamma = D_1^\top\psi.β+b⊤γ≥(1−ϵ)τ,  β+d1⊤​ϕ≤τ,  β+d1⊤​ψ≤t,  A⊤γ=C1⊤​ϕ,  B⊤γ=D1⊤​ϕ,  A⊤γ+s=C1⊤​ψ,  B⊤γ=D1⊤​ψ.

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem 7 (p. 18)

Under essential strict feasibility of C1\mathcal C_1C1​, (S), and ϵ∈(0,1)\epsilon \in (0,1)ϵ∈(0,1),

inf⁡P∈PP[s⊤z~≤t]≥1−ϵ  ⟺  (26) is solvable.\inf_{\mathbb P \in \mathcal P}\mathbb P[s^\top\tilde z \le t] \ge 1-\epsilon \iff \text{(26) is solvable}.P∈Pinf​P[s⊤z~≤t]≥1−ϵ⟺(26) is solvable.

Milestones

  1. Theorem 3 (case I=1I = 1I=1), sufficiency. Every feasible point of (17) has objective value at most P[Sz~≤t]\mathbb P[S\tilde z \le t]P[Sz~≤t] for every P∈P\mathbb P \in \mathcal PP∈P.
  2. Theorem 3 (case I=1I = 1I=1). Under essential strict feasibility and (S),
inf⁡P∈PP[Sz~≤t]=sup⁡ (17).\inf_{\mathbb P \in \mathcal P}\mathbb P[S\tilde z \le t] = \sup\,(17).P∈Pinf​P[Sz~≤t]=sup(17).
  1. §5 feasibility claim (with (17), case I=1I = 1I=1). Under the same hypotheses and ϵ∈(0,1)\epsilon \in (0,1)ϵ∈(0,1), the chance constraint holds iff (17) has a feasible point of value at least 1−ϵ1-\epsilon1−ϵ.
  2. Theorem 7, sufficiency. Any solution of (26) certifies P[s⊤z~≤t]≥1−ϵ\mathbb P[s^\top\tilde z \le t] \ge 1-\epsilonP[s⊤z~≤t]≥1−ϵ for all P∈P\mathbb P \in \mathcal PP∈P.

Significance

Theorem 7 turns an individual distributionally robust chance constraint over a Markov ambiguity set into finitely many linear conic constraints whose size is polynomial in the data. Since s(x)s(x)s(x) and t(x)t(x)t(x) are affine in the design xxx, the chance constrained program becomes a single conic program, solvable with standard software. The paper notes (p. 18) that, apart from the Wasserstein set, all ambiguity sets of its Section 2.3 are Markov sets or intersections of Markov sets with structural ambiguity sets, and Theorem 8 shows that adding a second confidence set already makes the problem strongly NP-hard, so the theorem marks a precise tractability boundary. Theorem 3 underlies the paper's later results and its §5 heuristic for intractable cases.

All five statements are proved in the literature: the paper defers its proofs to an accompanying technical report. None is machine-checked. A formal proof would supply a verified duality theory for moment problems with conic supports, a reusable bridge between semi-infinite constraints and conic certificates, and a verified basis for the paper's hardness results to be stated against.

Difficulty

The sufficiency halves are weak-duality arguments. The converse directions are not: the worst-case probability is an infimum over an infinite-dimensional set of measures, and the conclusion of Theorem 7 requires the dual certificate to be attained, not just approached. Two separate duality steps must both close without a gap and with attainment: the moment problem against its semi-infinite dual, which is where (S) enters, and each semi-infinite constraint against its conic dual over C1\mathcal C_1C1​, which is where essential strict feasibility enters. The event {s⊤z>t}\{s^\top z > t\}{s⊤z>t} is open, so the semi-infinite constraint must also be passed to its closure. Mathlib has neither a duality theorem for moment problems nor conic strong duality with attainment.

Formalization scope

The mission covers Markov ambiguity sets only (I=1I = 1I=1, p‾1=p‾1=1\underline p_1 = \overline p_1 = 1p​1​=p​1​=1). The general nested case of Theorem 3 is not stated, because the paper does not make (S) explicit for I>1I > 1I>1. Symmetry and unimodality information, joint chance constraints and the hardness results are out of scope. The paper's proofs are in a technical report that the mission does not use.

Conventions committed to in Lean:

  • Vectors are Fin n → ℝ, the single confidence set is index 0 : Fin 1 of the published DRConvexOpt.Reform.AmbData, and its field c 0 is d1d_1d1​.
  • Probabilities are μ.real. The local paperAmbiguitySet reuses the published data and confidence-set definitions and requires integrability only of Az~+Bu~A\tilde z+B\tilde uAz~+Bu~. This makes the expectation condition void when K=0K=0K=0, as the paper states.
  • "inf⁡PP[E]≥1−ϵ\inf_{\mathbb P}\mathbb P[E] \ge 1-\epsiloninfP​P[E]≥1−ϵ" is stated as "1−ϵ≤P[E]1-\epsilon \le \mathbb P[E]1−ϵ≤P[E] for every P∈P\mathbb P \in \mathcal PP∈P", so an empty P\mathcal PP is not mishandled by sInf ∅ = 0.
  • "Coincides with the optimal value" is one real number that is both the greatest lower bound of the probabilities and the least upper bound of the objective values of (17).
  • Essential strict feasibility is read as: K1=Kp∩Kn\mathcal K_1 = \mathcal K_p \cap \mathcal K_nK1​=Kp​∩Kn​ for some polyhedral cone Kp\mathcal K_pKp​ and closed convex cone Kn\mathcal K_nKn​, with a point of C1\mathcal C_1C1​ whose slack lies in Kp∩int⁡Kn\mathcal K_p \cap \operatorname{int}\mathcal K_nKp​∩intKn​.
  • The decision xxx is fixed: s,ts, ts,t stand for s(x),t(x)s(x), t(x)s(x),t(x), and the program (2) and the set X\mathcal XX are not formalized.
  • ϵ∈(0,1)\epsilon \in (0,1)ϵ∈(0,1), proper K1\mathcal K_1K1​, essential strict feasibility and (S) are explicit hypotheses. The sufficiency halves drop (S) and essential strict feasibility, which they do not need.

Replacing essential strict feasibility by full strict feasibility, adding τ>0\tau > 0τ>0 to (26), or imposing the ψj\psi_jψj​-constraints for j∉Lj \notin \mathcal Lj∈/L would each change the theorem and is ruled out. The hypotheses are jointly satisfiable: C1=[−1,1]\mathcal C_1 = [-1,1]C1​=[−1,1], A=1A = 1A=1, b=0b = 0b=0, K1=R+2\mathcal K_1 = \mathbb R^2_+K1​=R+2​ satisfies all of them, with a nonempty ambiguity set.

A complete development needs conic duality with attainment under partial Slater conditions, Lagrangian duality for moment problems, and the reduction of a measure-valued infimum to finitely supported measures. All three are reusable well beyond this mission, and contributions to any of them are welcome.

Selected references

  • G. A. Hanasusanto, V. Roitch, D. Kuhn, W. Wiesemann, A distributionally robust perspective on uncertainty quantification and chance constrained programming, Mathematical Programming 151(1), 35–62, 2015. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10107-015-0896-z
  • W. Wiesemann, D. Kuhn, M. Sim, Distributionally robust convex optimization, Operations Research 62(6), 1358–1376, 2014. https://doi.org/10.1287/opre.2014.1314
  • A. Shapiro, On duality theory of conic linear problems, in: Semi-Infinite Programming, Kluwer, 135–165, 2001. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-1-4757-3403-4_7
  • L. Vandenberghe, S. Boyd, K. Comanor, Generalized Chebyshev bounds via semidefinite programming, SIAM Review 49(1), 52–64, 2007. https://doi.org/10.1137/S0036144504440543
  • A. Ben-Tal, A. Nemirovski, Lectures on Modern Convex Optimization, SIAM, 2001. https://doi.org/10.1137/1.9780898718829
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